{"unit_id": "reply:1214665645335429133", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-07T21:50:31+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap oil stocks", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time to roll any remaining natural gas exposure into CDN midcap oil stocks trading at 15% FCF yields", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exit natural gas (trade DOA) and rotate into Canadian midcap oil equities at 15% FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap oil stocks: BTE, WCP, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Energy_Tidbits Time to roll any remaining natural gas exposure into CDN midcap oil stocks trading at 15% FCF yields as the natural gas trade of 2019/2020 is looking DOA #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For perspective on a mixed NOAA 6-10 outlook cold in west/warm in east. Colored EIA residential demand by state to link to NOAA - red font for warm, blue font for cold temp. So mixed temp forecast, but negative to #NatGas as Jan normally sees warm states ~25 bcfd vs cold ~7 bcfd. https://t.co/9jfsOOpB0X", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Energy_Tidbits", "ret_m1d": 0.061398692258084996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.061398692258084996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06669992301930347, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044651212793804206, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005301230761218467, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01674747946428079, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0019876666038929347, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0019876666038929347, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008767819914095032, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009356680191744182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006780153310202097, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0073690135878512475, "ret_p1w": -0.10277276550558545, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10277276550558545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11429969514236382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09758073451297589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011526929636778371, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005192030992609564, "ret_p1m": -0.19402921150038063, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19402921150038063, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22340181342319618, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10442949625218975, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029372601922815544, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08959971524819088, "ret_p3m": -0.7409820742976745, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7409820742976745, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5621173071443498, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2787957441410096, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.17886476715332467, "bench_c_p3m": -0.4621863301566649, "ret_p6m": -0.6206285604208573, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6206285604208573, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5928829894434335, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26817669389959353, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.027745570977423806, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3524518665212638, "ret_p1y": -0.4543708671946966, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4543708671946966, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6129188985212177, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13530852818991285, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15854803132652107, "bench_c_p1y": -0.31906233900478376, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19402921150038063, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22340181342319618, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10442949625218975, "price_path": [-0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1582, -0.1745, -0.1855, -0.2082, -0.2185, -0.2121, -0.2065, -0.2206, -0.2169, -0.2321, -0.2268, -0.2513, -0.2861, -0.2376, -0.2186, -0.1911, -0.1925, -0.2029, -0.2174, -0.2202, -0.2342, -0.244, -0.2448, -0.2308, -0.2699, -0.3071, -0.282, -0.2731, -0.2721, -0.2776, -0.3014, -0.2792, -0.2719, -0.2808, -0.2953, -0.31, -0.2821, -0.279, -0.2439, -0.2003, -0.1984, -0.2026, -0.1721, -0.1696, -0.1507, -0.1037, -0.1056, -0.0725, -0.0778, -0.0184, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0021, 0.0071, 0.0221, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0023, 0.0291, 0.0672, 0.0614, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0503, -0.0805, -0.0808, -0.1028, -0.0833, -0.0835, -0.0736, -0.0963, -0.118, -0.1352, -0.1774, -0.2167, -0.2032, -0.1948, -0.1995, -0.2223, -0.2343, -0.227, -0.1788, -0.194, -0.2221, -0.2472, -0.2402, -0.2086, -0.215, -0.2258, -0.2258, -0.237, -0.2065, -0.2036, -0.2176, -0.2702, -0.303, -0.3124, -0.3439, -0.3326, -0.3305, -0.3467, -0.3422, -0.3714, -0.4289, -0.638, -0.6369, -0.6864, -0.7507, -0.7329, -0.7753, -0.7824, -0.8269, -0.8092, -0.805, -0.8149, -0.8019, -0.771, -0.7908, -0.8141, -0.8058, -0.7854, -0.796, -0.7614, -0.7459, -0.741, -0.7478, -0.741, -0.7552, -0.7552, -0.7545, -0.765, -0.7814, -0.7919, -0.7797, -0.7951, -0.7945, -0.7854, -0.7722, -0.7808, -0.7915, -0.7816, -0.7472, -0.7229, -0.7336, -0.7289, -0.7248, -0.7341, -0.735, -0.7361, -0.7387, -0.7422, -0.7598, -0.7557, -0.7483, -0.7483, -0.7249, -0.7014, -0.7031, -0.7081, -0.7075, -0.7025, -0.7027, -0.7096, -0.7201, -0.7083, -0.673, -0.6578, -0.6238, -0.5464, -0.4899, -0.5198, -0.5522, -0.6285, -0.6084, -0.6142, -0.602, -0.6122, -0.6197, -0.6212, -0.6327, -0.6062, -0.6314, -0.6323, -0.641, -0.6424, -0.6303, -0.6303, -0.6206]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1428012963881959427", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-18T15:16:36+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't believe we need higher oil prices to get a meaningful rerating in energy stocks post-Summer trading doldrums", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long energy stocks: supportive oil inventory data and current ~$52 WTI pricing already discount enough; expects meaningful rerating after summer doldrums.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the market in a tizzy over delta surges oil inventory data continues to be supportive. Importantly, after the recent sell off with stocks discounting ~$52WTI I don't believe we need higher oil prices to get a meaningful rerating in energy stocks post-Summer trading doldrums https://t.co/4CD1hbKY9y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02127196924450736, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02127196924450736, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010205870390294303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010205870390294303, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011066098854213058, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011066098854213058, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025951879792257437, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025951879792257437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027500047978628595, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027500047978628595, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015481681863711572, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015481681863711572, "ret_p1w": 0.03743870452731213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03743870452731213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015283740730213324, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015283740730213324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022154963797098803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022154963797098803, "ret_p1m": 0.057008993546217246, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057008993546217246, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03881599658790025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03881599658790025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018192996958316998, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018192996958316998, "ret_p3m": 0.24941511990428533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24941511990428533, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18168088929537562, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18168088929537562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0677342306089097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0677342306089097, "ret_p6m": 0.4921913868384582, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4921913868384582, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4622193490829394, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4622193490829394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02997203775551882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02997203775551882, "ret_p1y": 0.6271128455209125, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6271128455209125, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.672268084661618, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.672268084661618, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.045155239140705516, "bench_c_p1y": -0.045155239140705516, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.057008993546217246, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03881599658790025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03881599658790025, "price_path": [0.0983, 0.1093, 0.0867, 0.0964, 0.0973, 0.0994, 0.0994, 0.1417, 0.163, 0.1661, 0.1739, 0.1689, 0.179, 0.1716, 0.1701, 0.1661, 0.1611, 0.1832, 0.1769, 0.1369, 0.1032, 0.1502, 0.1578, 0.161, 0.171, 0.1772, 0.1374, 0.1319, 0.1459, 0.1659, 0.1634, 0.1634, 0.1255, 0.1072, 0.1008, 0.1242, 0.1225, 0.114, 0.0808, 0.0657, 0.0355, -0.0011, 0.0123, 0.0476, 0.0359, 0.0321, 0.0576, 0.0479, 0.0574, 0.0676, 0.0506, 0.0428, 0.0606, 0.0319, 0.0436, 0.0532, 0.0383, 0.0566, 0.0649, 0.0638, 0.0513, 0.0319, 0.0213, 0.0, -0.026, -0.0238, 0.0128, 0.0296, 0.0374, 0.0217, 0.0489, 0.0366, 0.0296, 0.0145, 0.0402, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.0281, 0.0149, 0.017, 0.0166, 0.0457, 0.0306, 0.0691, 0.057, 0.0491, 0.0171, 0.0195, 0.0509, 0.0877, 0.0959, 0.1349, 0.1387, 0.1387, 0.1215, 0.1592, 0.1781, 0.185, 0.1726, 0.1816, 0.218, 0.2135, 0.2145, 0.2135, 0.2283, 0.2343, 0.2352, 0.2492, 0.2593, 0.2361, 0.2477, 0.266, 0.2733, 0.2367, 0.2455, 0.2374, 0.2587, 0.2468, 0.2365, 0.2382, 0.2544, 0.2658, 0.2709, 0.2374, 0.2421, 0.2391, 0.2494, 0.2514, 0.2322, 0.2249, 0.1771, 0.198, 0.2348, 0.2468, 0.2468, 0.1967, 0.2036, 0.1754, 0.1629, 0.1967, 0.1872, 0.2048, 0.2331, 0.2328, 0.2234, 0.2324, 0.1982, 0.1932, 0.1874, 0.1949, 0.1706, 0.1561, 0.189, 0.1967, 0.1973, 0.1973, 0.2235, 0.2226, 0.2148, 0.2074, 0.2104, 0.2479, 0.2911, 0.2909, 0.3197, 0.3378, 0.3336, 0.379, 0.3816, 0.3746, 0.4069, 0.4069, 0.4126, 0.4023, 0.3895, 0.362, 0.3711, 0.4244, 0.422, 0.4375, 0.4313, 0.4377, 0.4889, 0.4937, 0.4795, 0.5027, 0.5219, 0.4891, 0.5016, 0.4922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1220776200966156289", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-24T18:31:41+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy the panic...bull market post Q1 seasonal oil demand weakness", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&Ps: cheapest globally with highest FCF yields; normalized differentials + buybacks/dividends post Q1 panic.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "6) Canadian E&P's are the cheapest in the world yet have the highest free cash flow yields...without adequate egress. Normalized differentials in the medium term = another boost to FCF (and buybacks and dividends). Buy the panic...bull market post Q1 seasonal oil demand weakness https://t.co/vnGutgEdUL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "1) As the market freaks out over short-term demand destruction from the coronavirus (SARS dented demand by 0.26MM Bbl/d in '03) , I'm focusing on what will matter after the panic ends: US growth deceleration, peaking of global offshore production, and Canadian egress solutions: https://t.co/WmVYvxXKMw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.018306303337223717, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018306303337223717, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009333318581882022, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009333318581882022, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008972984755341695, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008972984755341695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026315637663152702, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026315637663152702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010286232933811479, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010286232933811479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016029404729341223, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016029404729341223, "ret_p1w": -0.04919904281352394, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04919904281352394, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027785908174263962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027785908174263962, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02141313463925998, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02141313463925998, "ret_p1m": -0.07551501981786468, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07551501981786468, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05620087353020975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05620087353020975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.019314146287654932, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019314146287654932, "ret_p3m": -0.5080055337046223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5080055337046223, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36191919474151746, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36191919474151746, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14608633896310486, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14608633896310486, "ret_p6m": -0.42995485472701933, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42995485472701933, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4265868240107905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4265868240107905, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0033680307162288203, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0033680307162288203, "ret_p1y": -0.2182602479511767, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2182602479511767, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.39185719891793525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.39185719891793525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17359695096675853, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17359695096675853, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07551501981786468, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05620087353020975, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05620087353020975, "price_path": [-0.075, -0.0864, -0.1046, -0.0762, -0.0467, -0.0353, -0.0512, -0.0104, -0.0081, -0.0104, -0.0194, -0.024, -0.0285, -0.0172, -0.0319, -0.0444, -0.0376, -0.0285, -0.0342, -0.0251, -0.0365, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0433, -0.0478, -0.0637, -0.041, -0.0478, -0.0047, -0.0047, 0.0021, -0.0058, 0.0169, 0.0157, 0.0226, 0.0407, 0.0384, 0.0555, 0.0498, 0.0657, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0629, 0.0709, 0.0938, 0.0927, 0.0721, 0.0812, 0.0744, 0.0652, 0.0686, 0.0584, 0.0572, 0.0481, 0.0469, 0.032, 0.024, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0263, -0.0217, -0.0195, -0.0206, -0.0492, -0.0572, -0.0549, -0.0183, -0.032, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0469, -0.0366, -0.0423, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0412, -0.0229, -0.0206, -0.0366, -0.0755, -0.1018, -0.1281, -0.1476, -0.1556, -0.1533, -0.1808, -0.1751, -0.1968, -0.2471, -0.4508, -0.4428, -0.4851, -0.5675, -0.5217, -0.6087, -0.6419, -0.6842, -0.6682, -0.6625, -0.6739, -0.6373, -0.6094, -0.6141, -0.6502, -0.6083, -0.55, -0.557, -0.515, -0.5243, -0.5115, -0.515, -0.4952, -0.5045, -0.5045, -0.508, -0.5173, -0.543, -0.5605, -0.5267, -0.5325, -0.5372, -0.508, -0.4975, -0.501, -0.4987, -0.4754, -0.4066, -0.4194, -0.445, -0.4439, -0.4439, -0.459, -0.4485, -0.4334, -0.4381, -0.4311, -0.4637, -0.4625, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4182, -0.3844, -0.3961, -0.4054, -0.4054, -0.3996, -0.3972, -0.4054, -0.4159, -0.4031, -0.3739, -0.3634, -0.3564, -0.304, -0.2842, -0.3098, -0.3378, -0.4007, -0.3891, -0.3926, -0.3809, -0.4101, -0.4124, -0.4159, -0.4147, -0.4007, -0.4241, -0.4217, -0.4358, -0.4158, -0.4205, -0.4205, -0.4123, -0.4135, -0.4135, -0.43, -0.4406, -0.4523, -0.4347, -0.4394, -0.4158, -0.404, -0.4111, -0.4194, -0.43]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1357753317548560386", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-02-05T18:09:51+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Generalists return en masse to the energy sector realizing that 40%+ free cashflow yields should not exist. Many stocks go up 100%+++", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-step bullish oil playbook: WTI $60+ through 2021-22 on inventory normalization, OPEC spare capacity exhaustion, and post-shale supply crunch; energy equities re-rate 100%+ higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My oil playbook: Step 1 is normalizing global inventory levels by ~June supporting a ~$60+WTI price for 2H'21. COVID demand shock is officially behind us while its structural impact on supply begins to become more obvious to the masses with the lack of meaningful US shale growth. https://t.co/qGXuQIjH7i\n\n---\n\nStep 2 is OPEC slowly brings back shut-in capacity throughout 2021 as demand normalizes (~4.8MM Bbl/ of OPEC \"core\" plus \"up to\" 1.8MM Bbl/d from Iran). This effectively exhausts OPEC spare capacity by YE'21. Oil firmly set at $60 or higher now. US discipline is tested and holds. https://t.co/zrqxEmeAes\n\n---\n\nStep 3: the world enters a post-Shale world in 2022 with exhausted OPEC spare capacity and plateauing/falling non-OPEC/US production due to 5 years of insufficient investment. Oil back then was >$70WTI...more bullish setup this time??? https://t.co/5jr3x29bec\n\n---\n\nStep 4: Generalists return en masse to the energy sector realizing that 40%+ free cashflow yields should not exist. Trading multiples re-rate from 2x-4x to 4x-6x and EV FCF yields fall to 10% or less. Many stocks go up 100%+++. https://t.co/fAq4zvheZq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00845898995182981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00845898995182981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004538479385822192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004538479385822192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04182338324723722, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04182338324723722, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03460128329670864, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03460128329670864, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "ret_p1w": 0.0495769306218532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0495769306218532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036860975112816385, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036860975112816385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "ret_p1m": 0.24647529370736065, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24647529370736065, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26192473321588994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26192473321588994, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "ret_p3m": 0.2447409490180692, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2447409490180692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16890653207944784, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16890653207944784, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "ret_p6m": 0.17590215567035017, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17590215567035017, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03984806060625501, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03984806060625501, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "ret_p1y": 0.606235859543582, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.606235859543582, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.47069262811043533, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.47069262811043533, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.606235859543582, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.47069262811043533, "alpha_c_stated": 0.47069262811043533, "price_path": [-0.2087, -0.2168, -0.242, -0.2145, -0.1627, -0.1542, -0.1787, -0.1653, -0.1697, -0.111, -0.0654, -0.0872, -0.0872, -0.0978, -0.1477, -0.1437, -0.1159, -0.1066, -0.0579, -0.08, -0.0663, -0.0642, -0.0355, -0.0466, -0.08, -0.0619, -0.0665, -0.0709, -0.0865, -0.1041, -0.1191, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.11, -0.1158, -0.102, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1081, -0.0681, -0.0397, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0115, 0.023, 0.015, 0.0451, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0247, 0.0284, -0.0063, -0.0115, -0.0216, -0.0425, -0.0555, -0.0444, -0.0761, -0.0695, -0.0594, -0.0193, -0.0085, 0.0, 0.0418, 0.0308, 0.0505, 0.0343, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0759, 0.0919, 0.0672, 0.0851, 0.1227, 0.1412, 0.1816, 0.1588, 0.1313, 0.1607, 0.1544, 0.1713, 0.1992, 0.2441, 0.2465, 0.2246, 0.2556, 0.2561, 0.2587, 0.2444, 0.2089, 0.2183, 0.1635, 0.1638, 0.1526, 0.1357, 0.1642, 0.1685, 0.1975, 0.1832, 0.173, 0.165, 0.1946, 0.1946, 0.1661, 0.1631, 0.1671, 0.1519, 0.1443, 0.1353, 0.1365, 0.168, 0.1585, 0.1493, 0.1481, 0.1177, 0.1319, 0.1187, 0.1289, 0.1365, 0.1502, 0.1899, 0.2032, 0.1728, 0.2051, 0.2058, 0.2447, 0.2512, 0.2735, 0.2739, 0.2412, 0.2471, 0.2319, 0.2701, 0.2996, 0.2694, 0.2379, 0.236, 0.2386, 0.2509, 0.2255, 0.2364, 0.2374, 0.2398, 0.2398, 0.2875, 0.3115, 0.315, 0.3238, 0.3181, 0.3295, 0.3212, 0.3195, 0.315, 0.3093, 0.3343, 0.3271, 0.282, 0.244, 0.297, 0.3057, 0.3093, 0.3206, 0.3275, 0.2826, 0.2764, 0.2922, 0.3148, 0.3119, 0.3119, 0.2692, 0.2486, 0.2414, 0.2678, 0.2659, 0.2563, 0.2188, 0.2018, 0.1677, 0.1265, 0.1416, 0.1814, 0.1682, 0.1639, 0.1927, 0.1817, 0.1925, 0.204, 0.1848, 0.1759]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1493677800963907587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-02-15T20:05:13+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Falling inventories, surging demand, and challenged supply growth is what matters...not geopolitics. Here is an 8 minute interview in which I speak to the incredible free cashflow being generated by the sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector on falling inventories, surging demand, supply constraints, and strong FCF generation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil -4% yet energy stocks in the green?!? Find out why as well as what I'm focusing on (and not on) in the coming months with @greg_bonnell at 3:30pm ET today on @BNNBloomberg\n\n---\n\nFalling inventories, surging demand, and challenged supply growth is what matters...not geopolitics. Here is an 8 minute interview in which I speak to the incredible free cashflow being generated by the sector https://t.co/GisRwCAli9 https://t.co/eihPtLTZ85", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010583743770810283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010583743770810283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026454466681292477, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026454466681292477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015870722910482193, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015870722910482193, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008084772605674306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008084772605674306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006963638243957737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006963638243957737, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011211343617165692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011211343617165692, "ret_p1w": -0.01587525740412621, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01587525740412621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021179248508117143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021179248508117143, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03705450591224335, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03705450591224335, "ret_p1m": 0.050860137211852896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050860137211852896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0743526157853871, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0743526157853871, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023492478573534203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023492478573534203, "ret_p3m": 0.19877584609698684, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19877584609698684, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2954626619992553, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2954626619992553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09668681590226846, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09668681590226846, "ret_p6m": 0.1298338140207882, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1298338140207882, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18135893022244876, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18135893022244876, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05152511620166056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05152511620166056, "ret_p1y": 0.32035917963658656, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.32035917963658656, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3709271980823651, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3709271980823651, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05056801844577852, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05056801844577852, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.050860137211852896, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0743526157853871, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0743526157853871, "price_path": [-0.1744, -0.2067, -0.1926, -0.1678, -0.1596, -0.1596, -0.1935, -0.1888, -0.2078, -0.2162, -0.1935, -0.1998, -0.1879, -0.1689, -0.1691, -0.1755, -0.1694, -0.1924, -0.1958, -0.1997, -0.1946, -0.211, -0.2208, -0.1986, -0.1934, -0.193, -0.193, -0.1754, -0.176, -0.1812, -0.1862, -0.1842, -0.1589, -0.1298, -0.1299, -0.1105, -0.0983, -0.1011, -0.0706, -0.0688, -0.0735, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0479, -0.0548, -0.0635, -0.082, -0.0758, -0.04, -0.0416, -0.0312, -0.0353, -0.031, 0.0035, 0.0068, -0.0028, 0.0128, 0.0257, 0.0037, 0.0121, 0.0057, 0.035, 0.0106, 0.0, 0.0081, 0.0065, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0159, -0.0057, -0.0135, 0.0125, 0.0375, 0.0479, 0.0719, 0.0748, 0.1058, 0.1222, 0.1398, 0.105, 0.1388, 0.1296, 0.0958, 0.0557, 0.0509, 0.087, 0.086, 0.1298, 0.1215, 0.1408, 0.1436, 0.1687, 0.1397, 0.1367, 0.15, 0.1344, 0.1436, 0.1451, 0.1271, 0.1338, 0.1486, 0.1802, 0.1448, 0.1638, 0.1811, 0.185, 0.185, 0.2023, 0.1925, 0.1971, 0.1592, 0.1308, 0.0934, 0.0949, 0.1109, 0.1446, 0.1152, 0.133, 0.1648, 0.2132, 0.1949, 0.2305, 0.1287, 0.139, 0.1543, 0.1592, 0.1988, 0.2304, 0.2446, 0.2127, 0.2083, 0.2135, 0.2455, 0.2503, 0.2761, 0.2902, 0.3138, 0.3138, 0.294, 0.3151, 0.311, 0.3283, 0.3268, 0.3665, 0.3694, 0.3392, 0.3165, 0.2477, 0.2501, 0.2225, 0.1537, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.1471, 0.1012, 0.0604, 0.0743, 0.1058, 0.1357, 0.0962, 0.0731, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.0459, 0.0281, 0.0652, 0.0647, 0.0545, 0.0339, 0.0323, 0.0128, 0.0293, 0.0529, 0.0853, 0.0958, 0.0766, 0.0677, 0.1069, 0.0968, 0.1216, 0.1279, 0.1768, 0.1525, 0.1498, 0.1168, 0.0754, 0.0967, 0.1024, 0.1217, 0.1298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1419639544580874244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-26T12:43:37+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not the worst setup heading into what will be a barrage of record free cashflow earnings releases", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Oil stocks near 10-year low vs oil strip with depressed speculative length — bullish setup into record FCF earnings season.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil stocks near a 10 year low versus the oil strip while net speculative length has fallen to the lowest level since December 2020…not the worst setup heading into what will be a barrage of record free cashflow earnings releases. https://t.co/qvGWifQbSj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02413504705215741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02413504705215741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021686345789132977, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021686345789132977, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002448701263024433, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002448701263024433, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00925162183674788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00925162183674788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004694285938649956, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004694285938649956, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004557335898097925, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004557335898097925, "ret_p1w": -0.014078686072146573, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014078686072146573, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006301314290188542, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006301314290188542, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007777371781958031, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007777371781958031, "ret_p1m": -0.026548442107438897, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026548442107438897, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04230744718990276, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04230744718990276, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01575900508246386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01575900508246386, "ret_p3m": 0.16869459651519714, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16869459651519714, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13689714832200317, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13689714832200317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03179744819319397, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03179744819319397, "ret_p6m": 0.3355941322299625, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3355941322299625, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29355207532976313, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.29355207532976313, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.042042056900199354, "bench_c_p6m": 0.042042056900199354, "ret_p1y": 0.4481168948710239, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4481168948710239, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5769178132946153, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5769178132946153, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.12880091842359143, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12880091842359143, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.026548442107438897, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04230744718990276, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04230744718990276, "price_path": [-0.0024, 0.0088, -0.0167, 0.0104, 0.011, 0.0436, 0.049, 0.0677, 0.0681, 0.0407, 0.0456, 0.0329, 0.0649, 0.0896, 0.0643, 0.0379, 0.0363, 0.0385, 0.0488, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0375, 0.0395, 0.0395, 0.0795, 0.0996, 0.1026, 0.1099, 0.1052, 0.1147, 0.1077, 0.1064, 0.1026, 0.0978, 0.1187, 0.1127, 0.0749, 0.043, 0.0875, 0.0947, 0.0977, 0.1072, 0.113, 0.0754, 0.0702, 0.0835, 0.1024, 0.1, 0.1, 0.0642, 0.0469, 0.0408, 0.063, 0.0613, 0.0533, 0.0219, 0.0076, -0.0209, -0.0555, -0.0428, -0.0095, -0.0205, -0.0241, 0.0, -0.0093, -0.0002, 0.0095, -0.0066, -0.0141, 0.0028, -0.0243, -0.0133, -0.0042, -0.0183, -0.001, 0.0068, 0.0058, -0.006, -0.0243, -0.0344, -0.0545, -0.079, -0.077, -0.0424, -0.0265, -0.0191, -0.034, -0.0082, -0.0199, -0.0265, -0.0408, -0.0165, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.028, -0.0404, -0.0384, -0.0388, -0.0113, -0.0255, 0.0109, -0.0006, -0.008, -0.0383, -0.0361, -0.0064, 0.0284, 0.0362, 0.073, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0604, 0.096, 0.1139, 0.1204, 0.1086, 0.1172, 0.1516, 0.1473, 0.1483, 0.1473, 0.1614, 0.1671, 0.1679, 0.1811, 0.1907, 0.1687, 0.1797, 0.197, 0.2039, 0.1693, 0.1777, 0.1699, 0.1901, 0.1789, 0.1691, 0.1707, 0.186, 0.1968, 0.2017, 0.1699, 0.1744, 0.1715, 0.1813, 0.1831, 0.165, 0.1581, 0.1129, 0.1327, 0.1675, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.1314, 0.138, 0.1113, 0.0995, 0.1314, 0.1225, 0.1392, 0.1658, 0.1656, 0.1567, 0.1652, 0.1329, 0.1282, 0.1227, 0.1298, 0.1068, 0.0931, 0.1242, 0.1315, 0.1321, 0.1321, 0.1568, 0.156, 0.1486, 0.1416, 0.1444, 0.1799, 0.2207, 0.2205, 0.2478, 0.2649, 0.2609, 0.3038, 0.3063, 0.2997, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.3356]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1329552264508416001", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-19T22:28:56+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks are exactly what global investors are going to want in 2021 with the backdrop of normalizing demand post-COVID and structural damage to supply growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks into 2021 on post-COVID demand normalization and structural supply damage; Goldman Sachs agrees.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Catch my presentation (starts at the 20:50 mark) from last night’s @theCAODC symposium where I explain why Canadian energy investors should feel bullish heading into a post-covid world in 2021 https://t.co/B3w8SmSqIn\n\n---\n\nLast night I said that Canadian energy stocks \"are exactly what global investors are going to want\" in 2021 with the backdrop of normalizing demand post-COVID and structural damage to supply growth. Tonight Goldman Sachs seems to agree: https://t.co/zXXhqhYzfU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00946980650569218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00946980650569218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016364839404412468, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016364839404412468, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006895032898720288, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006895032898720288, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07007581142242447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07007581142242447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06408124647240965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06408124647240965, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005994564950014825, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005994564950014825, "ret_p1w": 0.11174252763621406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11174252763621406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08827115744901337, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08827115744901337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02347137018720069, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02347137018720069, "ret_p1m": 0.10416657432884646, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10416657432884646, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06449057972590988, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06449057972590988, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03967599460293658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03967599460293658, "ret_p3m": 0.32692604351376087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32692604351376087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2179213362316259, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2179213362316259, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10900470728213496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10900470728213496, "ret_p6m": 0.6028696108179783, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6028696108179783, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4246465373250994, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4246465373250994, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17822307349287891, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17822307349287891, "ret_p1y": 1.1005851281012942, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.1005851281012942, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7667157203208768, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7667157203208768, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3338694077804174, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3338694077804174, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10416657432884646, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06449057972590988, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06449057972590988, "price_path": [0.0055, -0.0151, -0.017, -0.0113, -0.0414, -0.032, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.1314, -0.1202, -0.1389, -0.1408, -0.1445, -0.1502, -0.122, -0.1295, -0.137, -0.1746, -0.1633, -0.1877, -0.1742, -0.1932, -0.1648, -0.1989, -0.2064, -0.2348, -0.2273, -0.2064, -0.2083, -0.1913, -0.1515, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1723, -0.1742, -0.1723, -0.1856, -0.1913, -0.1818, -0.1989, -0.1667, -0.1648, -0.1932, -0.1951, -0.2273, -0.2273, -0.2178, -0.2027, -0.1856, -0.1875, -0.1856, -0.197, -0.0682, -0.0417, -0.0322, -0.0871, -0.0739, -0.0265, -0.0114, -0.0038, -0.0095, 0.0, 0.0701, 0.1174, 0.1098, 0.1061, 0.1117, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0663, 0.0739, 0.1345, 0.125, 0.1383, 0.1364, 0.1799, 0.1818, 0.1553, 0.1667, 0.1383, 0.1402, 0.1326, 0.1042, 0.0833, 0.1288, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.1155, 0.1349, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1292, 0.2129, 0.2243, 0.2452, 0.2281, 0.2205, 0.2452, 0.2281, 0.2566, 0.2091, 0.1901, 0.2129, 0.2129, 0.1939, 0.171, 0.171, 0.1292, 0.1216, 0.1292, 0.1064, 0.1482, 0.152, 0.192, 0.2015, 0.2129, 0.2414, 0.2338, 0.2566, 0.2547, 0.2794, 0.2794, 0.3155, 0.3269, 0.3098, 0.3117, 0.3783, 0.3897, 0.4201, 0.3783, 0.3535, 0.3687, 0.3783, 0.4125, 0.4486, 0.498, 0.4828, 0.4809, 0.536, 0.5512, 0.5551, 0.5379, 0.4866, 0.5094, 0.4315, 0.4619, 0.4353, 0.3802, 0.4277, 0.4309, 0.4596, 0.4405, 0.45, 0.4386, 0.4863, 0.4863, 0.45, 0.4634, 0.4558, 0.4558, 0.4405, 0.4328, 0.4195, 0.4749, 0.4672, 0.4539, 0.4481, 0.3908, 0.4023, 0.3851, 0.3985, 0.4004, 0.4118, 0.4558, 0.4691, 0.4539, 0.4978, 0.4902, 0.5284, 0.5436, 0.5723, 0.5513, 0.5322, 0.5513, 0.5188, 0.5608, 0.6029]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1250787602430603265", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-16T14:06:17+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks to decouple from ST depressed oil pricing", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on energy equities decoupling from near-term depressed oil prices as the worst of macro headwinds nears an end.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While short-term macro for oil is undeniably challenging with regional tank tops in the next 1-2 months, headlines like these should increasingly provide visibility that the worst is soon over + the end is in sight allowing energy stocks to decouple from ST depressed oil pricing. https://t.co/3OPbScPJOH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Big 3 weekly product build of 30.5MM Bbls (largest ever). It is amazing to see how much damage can be inflicted in just a few weeks (with more to come). Tank tops next 1-2 months likely with stock draws beginning by Q4. End is in sight. Peak fear within the next month??? #OOTT https://t.co/zlSTJ46Mwf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.04464000710149496, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04464000710149496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049440846690849805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.049440846690849805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004800839589354844, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004800839589354844, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10622356007688971, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10622356007688971, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07920810967723901, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07920810967723901, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.027015450399650698, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027015450399650698, "ret_p1w": 0.12544805127897463, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12544805127897463, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12551953960526396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12551953960526396, "bench_spy_p1w": -7.148832628933732e-05, "bench_c_p1w": -7.148832628933732e-05, "ret_p1m": 0.17269475168142168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17269475168142168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1469693027769594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1469693027769594, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025725448904462267, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025725448904462267, "ret_p3m": 0.2075340176826279, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2075340176826279, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.059832593375859444, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.059832593375859444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14770142430676847, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14770142430676847, "ret_p6m": 0.03284070916248161, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03284070916248161, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22036939621797247, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22036939621797247, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2532101053804541, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2532101053804541, "ret_p1y": 0.6871245906372054, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6871245906372054, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.207810231487229, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.207810231487229, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.47931435914997644, "bench_c_p1y": 0.47931435914997644, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17269475168142168, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1469693027769594, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1469693027769594, "price_path": [0.8842, 0.8504, 0.8326, 0.8256, 0.8045, 0.7545, 0.7625, 0.744, 0.758, 0.7032, 0.6809, 0.6869, 0.7503, 0.7325, 0.7204, 0.7118, 0.7309, 0.7542, 0.7487, 0.7395, 0.7395, 0.7252, 0.7481, 0.7462, 0.7255, 0.6458, 0.5731, 0.5257, 0.4441, 0.4428, 0.5011, 0.4552, 0.4896, 0.4351, 0.3545, 0.0817, 0.133, 0.0731, -0.0608, 0.0259, -0.1137, -0.1076, -0.2357, -0.1838, -0.1758, -0.232, -0.1088, -0.0668, -0.0098, -0.0769, -0.0674, -0.0531, -0.1, -0.0176, -0.028, 0.0235, 0.0453, 0.115, 0.1049, 0.1049, 0.1013, 0.0961, 0.0446, 0.0, 0.1062, 0.0717, 0.0528, 0.0903, 0.1254, 0.1281, 0.1525, 0.1789, 0.2662, 0.2382, 0.1681, 0.2085, 0.2095, 0.1779, 0.2085, 0.2636, 0.2414, 0.2196, 0.1642, 0.1773, 0.1727, 0.2685, 0.233, 0.2822, 0.2616, 0.2538, 0.2538, 0.2887, 0.3053, 0.2688, 0.263, 0.2851, 0.321, 0.3597, 0.3601, 0.4611, 0.5269, 0.4695, 0.3972, 0.2656, 0.2975, 0.3014, 0.3389, 0.2933, 0.3092, 0.2893, 0.2953, 0.2966, 0.2247, 0.2481, 0.2049, 0.2211, 0.2491, 0.2188, 0.2323, 0.2323, 0.2359, 0.1966, 0.1957, 0.1366, 0.1729, 0.1666, 0.2075, 0.2336, 0.228, 0.2108, 0.1907, 0.2626, 0.2471, 0.2448, 0.2379, 0.2392, 0.2181, 0.2435, 0.1947, 0.1891, 0.1933, 0.2224, 0.2353, 0.2254, 0.227, 0.265, 0.2607, 0.2732, 0.2485, 0.2603, 0.2531, 0.2372, 0.223, 0.1966, 0.1891, 0.2217, 0.2046, 0.1792, 0.1815, 0.2026, 0.1765, 0.1686, 0.163, 0.1544, 0.1508, 0.1508, 0.1089, 0.1164, 0.0755, 0.0765, 0.0848, 0.0768, 0.1201, 0.1217, 0.1092, 0.0724, 0.0614, 0.0134, 0.013, 0.0124, 0.0362, 0.0077, 0.0047, -0.0262, -0.0168, 0.0127, -0.0024, 0.0117, 0.0496, 0.0328]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1319718090666553346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-23T19:11:26+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Biden win = good for Canadian oil stocks (makes US less appealing), not bad", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Biden win is net positive for Canadian oil stocks as KXL death + US permitting hurdles make Canada more attractive relative to US shale.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm asked everyday now \"What will a Biden win mean for the energy sector?\" While a frac ban on federal land seems obvious and permitting will likely become more difficult in general (further challenging shale growth), the biggest impact will be on KXL... https://t.co/qj5ty5MfvM\n\n---\n\nWith a Biden win, KXL is likely dead. 10 years ago this would have been negative for Canada. Today in a world of \"no growth / maximize free cashflow\" TMX+Line 3 provides more than enough future takeaway. Biden win = good for Canadian oil stocks (makes US less appealing), not bad. https://t.co/x5ilqiWU9q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0022672118225836035, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0022672118225836035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0011165211051079593, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011165211051079593, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003383732927691563, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003383732927691563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.034013419222570396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.034013419222570396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01553351506390166, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01553351506390166, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.018479904158668736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018479904158668736, "ret_p1w": -0.06349209122689847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06349209122689847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007849678486315681, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007849678486315681, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05564241274058279, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05564241274058279, "ret_p1m": 0.2811793073724185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2811793073724185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24740053171819598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24740053171819598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03377877565422249, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03377877565422249, "ret_p3m": 0.45213603529793955, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45213603529793955, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33718889493786053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33718889493786053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11494714036007903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11494714036007903, "ret_p6m": 0.733807044315274, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.733807044315274, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5239465761700157, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5239465761700157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20986046814525827, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20986046814525827, "ret_p1y": 1.3142489933641635, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.3142489933641635, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.042549520641916, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.042549520641916, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2716994727222475, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2716994727222475, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2811793073724185, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24740053171819598, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24740053171819598, "price_path": [0.1096, 0.1298, 0.1073, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.1208, 0.1567, 0.1747, 0.1859, 0.2219, 0.2151, 0.2398, 0.2196, 0.2309, 0.2309, 0.2106, 0.2062, 0.1882, 0.1545, 0.2017, 0.2039, 0.1792, 0.177, 0.1837, 0.1478, 0.159, 0.1365, 0.1365, 0.1253, 0.1253, 0.0399, 0.0534, 0.031, 0.0287, 0.0242, 0.0175, 0.0512, 0.0422, 0.0332, -0.0117, 0.0018, -0.0274, -0.0113, -0.034, 0.0, -0.0408, -0.0499, -0.0839, -0.0748, -0.0499, -0.0522, -0.0317, 0.0159, 0.0045, 0.0045, -0.0091, -0.0113, -0.0091, -0.0249, -0.0317, -0.0204, -0.0408, -0.0023, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0363, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0635, -0.0454, -0.0249, -0.0272, -0.0249, -0.0385, 0.1156, 0.1474, 0.1587, 0.093, 0.1088, 0.1655, 0.1837, 0.1927, 0.1859, 0.1973, 0.2812, 0.3379, 0.3288, 0.3243, 0.3311, 0.2494, 0.2494, 0.2766, 0.2857, 0.3583, 0.3469, 0.3628, 0.3605, 0.4127, 0.415, 0.3832, 0.3968, 0.3628, 0.3651, 0.356, 0.322, 0.2971, 0.3515, 0.3447, 0.3447, 0.3447, 0.3356, 0.3588, 0.3361, 0.3361, 0.352, 0.4521, 0.4658, 0.4908, 0.4703, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4703, 0.5045, 0.4476, 0.4248, 0.4521, 0.4521, 0.4294, 0.4021, 0.4021, 0.352, 0.3429, 0.352, 0.3247, 0.3747, 0.3793, 0.4271, 0.4385, 0.4521, 0.4863, 0.4772, 0.5045, 0.5022, 0.5318, 0.5318, 0.575, 0.5887, 0.5682, 0.5705, 0.6502, 0.6638, 0.7002, 0.6502, 0.6206, 0.6388, 0.6502, 0.6911, 0.7344, 0.7935, 0.7753, 0.7731, 0.8391, 0.8573, 0.8618, 0.8413, 0.7799, 0.8072, 0.7139, 0.7503, 0.7184, 0.6524, 0.7093, 0.7132, 0.7475, 0.7247, 0.7361, 0.7224, 0.7796, 0.7796, 0.7361, 0.7521, 0.743, 0.743, 0.7247, 0.7155, 0.6995, 0.7658, 0.7567, 0.7407, 0.7338]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1572234445301628928", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-09-20T14:41:17+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks (still) represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Remains bullish on oil and energy stocks as a generational buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me tomorrow, Wednesday September 21st at 1pm ET, for a LIVE webcast. I'll be reviewing why we remain bullish on oil and why we believe energy stocks (still) represent a generational opportunity. https://t.co/dvKnDxKuwF https://t.co/RIVWZaxexI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0070041451922184805, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0070041451922184805, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004607602139290234, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004607602139290234, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011611747331508715, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011611747331508715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014656310814567641, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014656310814567641, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027876210399789825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027876210399789825, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017443931854546624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017443931854546624, "ret_p1w": -0.09831365436296624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09831365436296624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04439404851959128, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04439404851959128, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05391960584337496, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05391960584337496, "ret_p1m": 0.09481213867681748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09481213867681748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1354016317690101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1354016317690101, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04058949309219262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04058949309219262, "ret_p3m": 0.0941636727187185, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0941636727187185, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09171642994252682, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09171642994252682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0024472427761916826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0024472427761916826, "ret_p6m": 0.013706445185802885, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.013706445185802885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0044602026219739965, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0044602026219739965, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.01816664780777688, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01816664780777688, "ret_p1y": 0.21777017261535603, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21777017261535603, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.04548068424413043, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.04548068424413043, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1722894883712256, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1722894883712256, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21777017261535603, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04548068424413043, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04548068424413043, "price_path": [-0.0934, -0.0815, -0.0545, -0.029, -0.0627, -0.0825, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.1057, -0.121, -0.0893, -0.0897, -0.0984, -0.116, -0.1174, -0.1341, -0.12, -0.0998, -0.0721, -0.0631, -0.0796, -0.0871, -0.0536, -0.0622, -0.0411, -0.0357, 0.0062, -0.0146, -0.0169, -0.0452, -0.0806, -0.0624, -0.0575, -0.0409, -0.034, -0.0008, 0.0068, -0.0128, -0.0151, -0.0069, 0.0198, 0.0195, 0.0176, 0.0543, 0.0672, 0.0754, 0.0629, 0.0789, 0.0423, 0.0328, 0.0074, 0.0259, 0.0259, 0.0164, 0.0046, 0.009, 0.0341, 0.0531, 0.0266, 0.0555, 0.0283, 0.0064, 0.007, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0182, -0.0859, -0.1083, -0.0983, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0659, -0.0131, 0.0293, 0.0506, 0.0693, 0.061, 0.0392, 0.0309, 0.0392, 0.0816, 0.0412, 0.0542, 0.0634, 0.0948, 0.0958, 0.1275, 0.1328, 0.134, 0.1494, 0.1536, 0.1576, 0.1673, 0.1786, 0.1502, 0.1715, 0.1857, 0.2061, 0.2073, 0.1482, 0.1738, 0.2079, 0.2075, 0.2202, 0.1953, 0.1979, 0.1885, 0.1724, 0.2091, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1916, 0.1589, 0.1764, 0.1822, 0.1783, 0.1713, 0.1366, 0.1066, 0.104, 0.0991, 0.0724, 0.1005, 0.1214, 0.1145, 0.1078, 0.0942, 0.094, 0.1105, 0.1316, 0.1056, 0.1408, 0.1408, 0.153, 0.1272, 0.139, 0.1462, 0.1462, 0.106, 0.1058, 0.126, 0.1474, 0.1433, 0.1514, 0.155, 0.177, 0.1787, 0.1787, 0.1812, 0.1596, 0.174, 0.1856, 0.1872, 0.1826, 0.1827, 0.2201, 0.1955, 0.1681, 0.1784, 0.1552, 0.1289, 0.1264, 0.1213, 0.1577, 0.1474, 0.1375, 0.1821, 0.1791, 0.1795, 0.1594, 0.148, 0.1071, 0.1071, 0.1016, 0.0943, 0.1108, 0.1094, 0.1126, 0.0967, 0.1183, 0.1281, 0.1434, 0.144, 0.124, 0.1125, 0.0968, 0.0828, 0.0607, 0.0712, 0.0137]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1215341920458768390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-09T18:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks are the most mispriced in the world...15%+ free cash flow yields will not last forever", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian energy stocks; author argues they are the most mispriced globally and 15%+ FCF yields are unsustainable, implying re-rating ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Are foreign investors returning to the Canadian oil patch? YES! Canadian energy stocks are the most mispriced in the world and the Ninepoint Energy Fund has a 100% weighting to them...15%+ free cash flow yields will not last forever.  #OOTT https://t.co/GHUAapbZSc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008465236433828238, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008465236433828238, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017307440146943076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017307440146943076, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006734492419133931, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006734492419133931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00634891163308271, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00634891163308271, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003471507099816029, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003471507099816029, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002877404533266681, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002877404533266681, "ret_p1w": -0.022222038099370067, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022222038099370067, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03529436516782791, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03529436516782791, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013072327068457845, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013072327068457845, "ret_p1m": -0.1195764312371449, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1195764312371449, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13656759394738882, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13656759394738882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016991162710243923, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016991162710243923, "ret_p3m": -0.5514396356577003, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5514396356577003, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3678766940436794, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3678766940436794, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.18356294161402087, "bench_c_p3m": -0.18356294161402087, "ret_p6m": -0.45753352877137166, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45753352877137166, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4232403177122259, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4232403177122259, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.034293211059145734, "bench_c_p6m": -0.034293211059145734, "ret_p1y": -0.34787619311608176, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34787619311608176, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5085077663384926, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5085077663384926, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16063157322241084, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16063157322241084, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1195764312371449, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13656759394738882, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13656759394738882, "price_path": [-0.1435, -0.1477, -0.1519, -0.1498, -0.1582, -0.1498, -0.1477, -0.1435, -0.1508, -0.1414, -0.1487, -0.1445, -0.155, -0.1718, -0.1456, -0.1183, -0.1078, -0.1225, -0.0847, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0931, -0.0973, -0.1015, -0.091, -0.1047, -0.1162, -0.1099, -0.1015, -0.1068, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.1151, -0.1193, -0.134, -0.113, -0.1193, -0.0795, -0.0795, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0595, -0.0606, -0.0543, -0.0375, -0.0396, -0.0238, -0.0291, -0.0144, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0169, -0.0095, 0.0116, 0.0106, -0.0085, 0.0, -0.0063, -0.0148, -0.0116, -0.0212, -0.0222, -0.0307, -0.0317, -0.0455, -0.0529, -0.0582, -0.0751, -0.0995, -0.0952, -0.0931, -0.0942, -0.1206, -0.128, -0.1259, -0.0921, -0.1048, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1185, -0.109, -0.1143, -0.1153, -0.1153, -0.1132, -0.0963, -0.0942, -0.109, -0.145, -0.1693, -0.1937, -0.2116, -0.219, -0.2169, -0.2423, -0.237, -0.2571, -0.3037, -0.4921, -0.4847, -0.5238, -0.6, -0.5577, -0.6381, -0.6688, -0.7079, -0.6931, -0.6878, -0.6984, -0.6646, -0.6388, -0.6431, -0.6765, -0.6377, -0.5838, -0.5903, -0.5514, -0.5601, -0.5482, -0.5514, -0.5331, -0.5417, -0.5417, -0.545, -0.5536, -0.5773, -0.5935, -0.5622, -0.5676, -0.5719, -0.545, -0.5353, -0.5385, -0.5363, -0.5148, -0.4512, -0.463, -0.4867, -0.4857, -0.4857, -0.4997, -0.49, -0.476, -0.4803, -0.4738, -0.504, -0.5029, -0.4878, -0.4878, -0.4619, -0.4307, -0.4415, -0.4501, -0.4501, -0.4447, -0.4425, -0.4501, -0.4598, -0.4479, -0.421, -0.4113, -0.4048, -0.3563, -0.3379, -0.3617, -0.3875, -0.4458, -0.435, -0.4382, -0.4274, -0.4544, -0.4566, -0.4598, -0.4587, -0.4458, -0.4673, -0.4652, -0.4782, -0.4597, -0.4641, -0.4641, -0.4564, -0.4575]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1359530828829720579", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-10T15:53:03+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can we (and energy stocks) now finally look towards a post-COVID, post-US shale world???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish US energy stocks as oil market heals, inventories normalize, Big 3 below 5-year average for first time since Apr 2020.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Need another sign that the oil market is healing??? The US year-over-year oil surplus just fell by 35% in a single week (!) to now only 26.5MM Bbls while the \"Big 3\" YOY surplus fell by 18% to 44.8MM Bbls. Normalized inventory levels by Spring vs. Summer??? https://t.co/TGnCLEfwVJ\n\n---\n\nFor the first time since April '20 US \"Big 3\" inventories are now below the 5 year average.  Can we (and energy stocks) now finally look towards a post-COVID, post-US shale world??? https://t.co/XG0IvL8k7s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018787612832012135, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018787612832012135, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01922335172415801, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01922335172415801, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000435738892145876, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000435738892145876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015432504126324131, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015432504126324131, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017047469273935745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017047469273935745, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016149651476116134, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016149651476116134, "ret_p1w": 0.039364976611445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039364976611445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033443045557859374, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033443045557859374, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005921931053585627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005921931053585627, "ret_p1m": 0.19570582187766172, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19570582187766172, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1868612047698721, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1868612047698721, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00884461710778961, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00884461710778961, "ret_p3m": 0.21268718883988824, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21268718883988824, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13775665494755418, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13775665494755418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07493053389233406, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07493053389233406, "ret_p6m": 0.12026956230360408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12026956230360408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.019642540295803146, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.019642540295803146, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13991210259940723, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13991210259940723, "ret_p1y": 0.5364880131710399, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5364880131710399, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3884127605181169, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3884127605181169, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14807525265292298, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14807525265292298, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19570582187766172, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1868612047698721, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1868612047698721, "price_path": [-0.2522, -0.203, -0.1948, -0.2182, -0.2054, -0.2096, -0.1538, -0.1103, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1412, -0.1887, -0.1849, -0.1584, -0.1496, -0.1032, -0.1242, -0.1112, -0.1092, -0.0818, -0.0924, -0.1242, -0.107, -0.1114, -0.1156, -0.1304, -0.1472, -0.1615, -0.1429, -0.1474, -0.1474, -0.1528, -0.1584, -0.1452, -0.1523, -0.1523, -0.151, -0.1129, -0.0859, -0.0725, -0.0736, -0.059, -0.0262, -0.0338, -0.0051, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0246, -0.021, -0.0541, -0.059, -0.0687, -0.0886, -0.1009, -0.0904, -0.1206, -0.1143, -0.1047, -0.0664, -0.0561, -0.0481, -0.0083, -0.0188, 0.0, -0.0154, -0.0009, -0.0009, 0.0242, 0.0394, 0.0159, 0.0329, 0.0687, 0.0863, 0.1248, 0.1031, 0.0769, 0.1049, 0.0989, 0.115, 0.1416, 0.1843, 0.1865, 0.1657, 0.1953, 0.1957, 0.1982, 0.1845, 0.1507, 0.1597, 0.1076, 0.1078, 0.0972, 0.0811, 0.1083, 0.1123, 0.1399, 0.1263, 0.1166, 0.1089, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1101, 0.1071, 0.111, 0.0965, 0.0893, 0.0807, 0.0818, 0.1119, 0.1028, 0.094, 0.0929, 0.064, 0.0775, 0.0649, 0.0746, 0.0818, 0.0949, 0.1327, 0.1453, 0.1164, 0.1471, 0.1478, 0.1849, 0.191, 0.2122, 0.2127, 0.1815, 0.1871, 0.1727, 0.2091, 0.2371, 0.2084, 0.1783, 0.1765, 0.179, 0.1908, 0.1666, 0.177, 0.1779, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.2256, 0.2484, 0.2518, 0.2602, 0.2547, 0.2656, 0.2577, 0.2561, 0.2518, 0.2464, 0.2701, 0.2633, 0.2204, 0.1842, 0.2347, 0.2429, 0.2463, 0.257, 0.2637, 0.221, 0.215, 0.2301, 0.2516, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2082, 0.1885, 0.1817, 0.2068, 0.205, 0.1959, 0.1602, 0.144, 0.1116, 0.0723, 0.0867, 0.1246, 0.112, 0.1079, 0.1353, 0.1248, 0.1351, 0.1461, 0.1278, 0.1194, 0.1385, 0.1077, 0.1203]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1483500515065573377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-18T18:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Small corrections are not only normal but necessary, as they offer a chance for those who thought they 'missed it' to join the party", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy the dip in energy stocks; pullbacks after overbought rally are entry opportunities, not exits.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks have ripped and became technically overbought. Small corrections are not only normal but necessary, as they offer a chance for those who thought they \"missed it\" to join the party. https://t.co/OsfLYrzZeJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004013920031109786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004013920031109786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022042766781199763, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022042766781199763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018028846750089977, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018028846750089977, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0072563902195266206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0072563902195266206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003127235059736888, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003127235059736888, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010383625279263509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010383625279263509, "ret_p1w": 0.008337418861278145, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008337418861278145, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056575024520783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056575024520783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.048237605659504856, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048237605659504856, "ret_p1m": 0.058823666242173056, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.058823666242173056, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08048867046766739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08048867046766739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021665004225494333, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021665004225494333, "ret_p3m": 0.24461678386419194, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24461678386419194, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.282602153200745, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.282602153200745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.037985369336553054, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037985369336553054, "ret_p6m": 0.08424921907465155, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08424921907465155, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24819939190357132, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24819939190357132, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.16395017282891977, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16395017282891977, "ret_p1y": 0.38327401507077474, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.38327401507077474, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5387104811755776, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5387104811755776, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.15543646610480288, "bench_c_p1y": -0.15543646610480288, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.058823666242173056, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08048867046766739, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08048867046766739, "price_path": [-0.125, -0.1167, -0.1038, -0.0986, -0.1245, -0.1183, -0.124, -0.109, -0.1173, -0.1247, -0.1234, -0.112, -0.1039, -0.1003, -0.124, -0.1207, -0.1228, -0.1155, -0.1141, -0.1277, -0.1329, -0.1667, -0.1519, -0.1259, -0.1173, -0.1173, -0.1529, -0.148, -0.1679, -0.1768, -0.1529, -0.1596, -0.1471, -0.1271, -0.1272, -0.134, -0.1276, -0.1518, -0.1553, -0.1594, -0.1541, -0.1713, -0.1816, -0.1583, -0.1528, -0.1524, -0.1524, -0.1339, -0.1345, -0.14, -0.1453, -0.1431, -0.1166, -0.086, -0.0862, -0.0658, -0.053, -0.0559, -0.0238, -0.0219, -0.0269, -0.004, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0164, -0.0358, -0.0293, 0.0083, 0.0066, 0.0176, 0.0133, 0.0178, 0.054, 0.0574, 0.0474, 0.0638, 0.0774, 0.0542, 0.063, 0.0564, 0.0871, 0.0614, 0.0503, 0.0588, 0.0571, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0337, 0.0443, 0.0361, 0.0635, 0.0897, 0.1007, 0.1258, 0.1289, 0.1615, 0.1786, 0.1972, 0.1606, 0.1961, 0.1865, 0.151, 0.1088, 0.1038, 0.1417, 0.1407, 0.1866, 0.1779, 0.1982, 0.2011, 0.2275, 0.1971, 0.194, 0.2078, 0.1915, 0.2011, 0.2027, 0.1838, 0.1908, 0.2064, 0.2396, 0.2024, 0.2223, 0.2406, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2629, 0.2526, 0.2574, 0.2175, 0.1877, 0.1484, 0.15, 0.1668, 0.2022, 0.1714, 0.1901, 0.2234, 0.2742, 0.2551, 0.2925, 0.1855, 0.1963, 0.2124, 0.2175, 0.2591, 0.2923, 0.3073, 0.2738, 0.2691, 0.2745, 0.3082, 0.3132, 0.3403, 0.3551, 0.3799, 0.3799, 0.3592, 0.3813, 0.3769, 0.3952, 0.3936, 0.4352, 0.4384, 0.4066, 0.3827, 0.3105, 0.313, 0.2841, 0.2117, 0.1455, 0.1455, 0.2048, 0.1566, 0.1137, 0.1284, 0.1615, 0.1928, 0.1514, 0.1271, 0.144, 0.144, 0.0986, 0.0798, 0.1188, 0.1183, 0.1076, 0.086, 0.0842]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1442466056560418817", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-27T12:28:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we don't need $80+ for energy stocks to offer generational opportunity type returns IMO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long energy stocks: even at $70 WTI, generational returns available via 3X EV/CF and 30% FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While things are feeling pretty phenomenal just a reminder: we don't need $80+ for energy stocks to offer generational opportunity type returns IMO. Perhaps rising prices allow the holdouts to believe in a meagre $70WTI (my '22 base expectation) = 3X EV/CF + 30% FCF yields on avg\n\n---\n\nTime for investors to \"connect the dots\"... https://t.co/tgw8QA2J4I https://t.co/XZbungrg2X", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03433873745785365, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03433873745785365, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03720802386715971, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03720802386715971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00286928640930606, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00286928640930606, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034149688759419483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0034149688759419483, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023566714977025338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023566714977025338, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02015174610108339, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02015174610108339, "ret_p1w": 0.03813325140087631, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03813325140087631, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06976148306102636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06976148306102636, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03162823166015005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03162823166015005, "ret_p1m": 0.12198818598917516, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12198818598917516, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09189588285986927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09189588285986927, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030092303129305886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030092303129305886, "ret_p3m": 0.05503446051206984, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05503446051206984, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01186732110488542, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01186732110488542, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06690178161695526, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06690178161695526, "ret_p6m": 0.46614946803229085, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46614946803229085, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4437134114536183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4437134114536183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.022436056578672536, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022436056578672536, "ret_p1y": 0.6140364741361795, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6140364741361795, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7127794726321547, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7127794726321547, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09874299849597523, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09874299849597523, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12198818598917516, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09189588285986927, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09189588285986927, "price_path": [0.0097, 0.0274, 0.0251, 0.0251, -0.0083, -0.0244, -0.03, -0.0094, -0.0109, -0.0184, -0.0476, -0.0609, -0.0875, -0.1198, -0.108, -0.0769, -0.0872, -0.0905, -0.068, -0.0767, -0.0682, -0.0592, -0.0742, -0.0812, -0.0654, -0.0907, -0.0804, -0.072, -0.0851, -0.069, -0.0617, -0.0626, -0.0737, -0.0907, -0.1001, -0.1188, -0.1417, -0.1398, -0.1076, -0.0928, -0.0859, -0.0997, -0.0757, -0.0866, -0.0928, -0.1061, -0.0834, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0941, -0.1057, -0.1038, -0.1042, -0.0785, -0.0919, -0.0579, -0.0686, -0.0755, -0.1038, -0.1017, -0.074, -0.0415, -0.0343, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0034, -0.0118, 0.0214, 0.0381, 0.0442, 0.0332, 0.0412, 0.0732, 0.0692, 0.0702, 0.0692, 0.0823, 0.0876, 0.0884, 0.1007, 0.1097, 0.0892, 0.0994, 0.1155, 0.122, 0.0897, 0.0975, 0.0903, 0.1091, 0.0987, 0.0895, 0.0911, 0.1053, 0.1153, 0.1199, 0.0903, 0.0945, 0.0918, 0.1009, 0.1026, 0.0858, 0.0793, 0.0372, 0.0556, 0.088, 0.0987, 0.0987, 0.0544, 0.0605, 0.0357, 0.0247, 0.0544, 0.0461, 0.0617, 0.0865, 0.0863, 0.078, 0.0859, 0.0558, 0.0514, 0.0463, 0.0529, 0.0315, 0.0187, 0.0477, 0.0545, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0781, 0.0773, 0.0704, 0.0639, 0.0666, 0.0996, 0.1377, 0.1375, 0.1628, 0.1788, 0.1751, 0.2151, 0.2174, 0.2113, 0.2397, 0.2397, 0.2447, 0.2357, 0.2243, 0.2001, 0.2082, 0.2551, 0.253, 0.2666, 0.2612, 0.2668, 0.312, 0.3162, 0.3037, 0.3241, 0.341, 0.3122, 0.3231, 0.3149, 0.3531, 0.3212, 0.3074, 0.3179, 0.3158, 0.3077, 0.3077, 0.2866, 0.2999, 0.2897, 0.3237, 0.3564, 0.37, 0.4013, 0.4052, 0.4457, 0.4671, 0.4901, 0.4446, 0.4888, 0.4769, 0.4327, 0.3802, 0.3739, 0.4211, 0.4198, 0.477, 0.4661]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1166555760567955461", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2019-08-28T03:39:01+00:00", "symbol": "VET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "25%+ free cash flow yields will not last. Either companies begin to launch MEANINGFUL share buybacks or PE will eventually step in and resolve the disconnect between fundamental vs. Market valuations. I'm recently buying positions in names trading at 2.5x EV/CF...this is historic", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively buying Alberta energy names (CPG, PTE, VET) at 2.5x EV/CF; calls 25%+ FCF yields historically cheap with buybacks or PE re-rating as catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["VET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "25%+ free cash flow yields will not last. Either companies begin to launch MEANINGFUL share buybacks or PE will eventually step in and resolve the disconnect between fundamental vs. Market valuations. I’m recently buying positions in names trading at 2.5x EV/CF...this is historic", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It is just a matter of time before we see this in Alberta. $CPG $PTE $VET @ericnuttall https://t.co/aFGWT87U75", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054952168125891876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054952168125891876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04795936351901042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040830441287572294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006992804606881453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014121726838319582, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001853167431802638, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001853167431802638, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014625696242899777, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016504625140261964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012772528811097139, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014651457708459326, "ret_p1w": -0.0004802622556777658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0004802622556777658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018307000998419976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024310819496810132, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01782673874274221, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023830557241132366, "ret_p1m": 0.17045398803942535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17045398803942535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1376333654625228, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1080451844622572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03282062257690255, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06240880357716816, "ret_p3m": 0.0565637902300451, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0565637902300451, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033183503941310644, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010298326964936377, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08974729417135574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06686211719498147, "ret_p6m": 0.055600194884815046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.055600194884815046, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12190736892531473, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04059231445075473, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17750756381012978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015007880434060317, "ret_p1y": -0.6467813337585091, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6467813337585091, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8360369306745892, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3793740153524051, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18925559691608007, "bench_c_p1y": -0.267407318406104, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17045398803942535, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1376333654625228, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1080451844622572, "price_path": [0.3963, 0.4097, 0.4336, 0.393, 0.417, 0.4276, 0.4057, 0.3724, 0.337, 0.353, 0.3284, 0.3617, 0.3784, 0.3937, 0.4423, 0.4343, 0.4376, 0.4363, 0.4863, 0.4504, 0.4591, 0.4658, 0.402, 0.4228, 0.4228, 0.4577, 0.4557, 0.453, 0.4705, 0.4591, 0.4705, 0.4745, 0.447, 0.4181, 0.3476, 0.3416, 0.3362, 0.3409, 0.3201, 0.2818, 0.2395, 0.1442, 0.1784, 0.2171, 0.1845, 0.1404, 0.114, 0.0563, 0.057, 0.0685, 0.057, 0.019, 0.0441, 0.0014, -0.0068, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0163, 0.021, 0.0041, -0.0441, -0.0475, -0.055, 0.0, -0.0019, -0.0224, -0.0224, -0.0321, -0.0005, 0.0325, 0.0435, 0.0805, 0.0963, 0.0984, 0.097, 0.1251, 0.2556, 0.1938, 0.1746, 0.1828, 0.1972, 0.1979, 0.1643, 0.1725, 0.1705, 0.1762, 0.1589, 0.1027, 0.0514, 0.0777, 0.0604, 0.0361, 0.007, 0.0007, 0.0236, 0.05, 0.0396, 0.0514, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0222, 0.0451, 0.0673, 0.0791, 0.059, 0.0826, 0.0701, 0.0639, 0.0292, -0.0718, -0.0234, 0.0685, 0.0755, 0.039, 0.0531, 0.0531, 0.0552, 0.0355, 0.0257, 0.0117, 0.0376, 0.0229, 0.0075, 0.0243, 0.0524, 0.0397, 0.0566, 0.0326, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0234, -0.0057, -0.0106, 0.0291, 0.017, 0.0483, 0.0575, 0.0476, 0.0369, 0.0696, 0.0561, 0.0873, 0.1114, 0.11, 0.1263, 0.1114, 0.1632, 0.154, 0.154, 0.1859, 0.1647, 0.1572, 0.1737, 0.1737, 0.1586, 0.1766, 0.2096, 0.2067, 0.1744, 0.1845, 0.1737, 0.173, 0.1866, 0.1651, 0.178, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1651, 0.1464, 0.1522, 0.135, 0.0862, 0.1077, 0.1206, 0.1165, 0.0469, 0.0113, 0.015, 0.0563, 0.0556, 0.0324, 0.0171, 0.0309, 0.0469, 0.0317, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0273, 0.0462, 0.0556]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1314589341868527617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-09T15:31:37+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time for a rerate???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian nat-gas producers on better balance sheets, FCF, and infrastructure vs US peers; argues the valuation discount to US peers should close.", "resolved_tickers": ["TOU.TO", "AAV.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian nat gas producers: Tourmaline, Advantage, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm confused why Canadian natural gas producers still trade at such a humungous discount to their US peers (~1/2 the multiple)? We have better balance sheets, more free cash flow, and much improved regional infrastructure. Here is a chart from Peters & Co. Time for a rerate??? https://t.co/r2nW4Vghr1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018022761624557033, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018022761624557033, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009171519143756541, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034261852531011064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008851242480800492, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016239090906454035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016087499107795056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002598306448572174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016087499107795056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002598306448572174, "ret_p1w": 0.06757350155897675, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06757350155897675, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06630467223816112, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08706015112902461, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012688293208156232, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019486649570047865, "ret_p1m": 0.050737746584861375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050737746584861375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02850931478500692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02298764369540699, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022228431799854453, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07372539028026837, "ret_p3m": 0.003529075427162335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003529075427162335, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07804009665221419, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3416027465870522, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08156917207937653, "bench_c_p3m": 0.34513182201421455, "ret_p6m": 0.4350934324110356, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4350934324110356, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2546733633429836, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19838651824396414, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18042006906805197, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6334799506549997, "ret_p1y": 1.5655810966390862, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.5655810966390862, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.2975125229065108, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7668016541655345, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2680685737325754, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7987794424735517, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.050737746584861375, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02850931478500692, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02298764369540699, "price_path": [-0.1951, -0.1886, -0.209, -0.2125, -0.2264, -0.1947, -0.1858, -0.1925, -0.1824, -0.194, -0.2046, -0.1743, -0.172, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.1083, -0.0909, -0.0621, -0.0398, -0.005, -0.0112, 0.0176, 0.0098, 0.0514, 0.0506, 0.0597, 0.0665, 0.0644, 0.0447, 0.0849, 0.0949, 0.07, 0.0698, 0.0636, 0.0382, 0.0432, -0.0015, -0.0239, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.0735, -0.0777, -0.068, -0.0568, -0.0406, -0.043, -0.0297, -0.0542, -0.0523, -0.0402, -0.0194, -0.0473, -0.0184, -0.0518, -0.0647, -0.0664, -0.0786, -0.0368, -0.0505, -0.0392, -0.018, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0262, 0.0564, 0.0676, 0.0675, 0.1066, 0.1242, 0.1524, 0.13, 0.0993, 0.0926, 0.0541, 0.0701, 0.0621, 0.061, 0.0732, 0.0719, 0.1236, 0.1034, 0.0507, 0.0804, 0.0747, 0.0254, 0.029, 0.0243, 0.0288, 0.0308, 0.0156, 0.0152, 0.073, 0.0872, 0.0873, 0.0831, 0.0853, 0.0492, 0.0347, 0.0412, -0.0235, 0.0003, -0.0452, -0.0536, -0.0562, -0.0186, -0.0075, -0.0191, 0.0021, -0.0108, -0.0254, -0.0333, -0.0398, -0.0442, -0.0271, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.057, -0.0337, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0364, 0.0081, 0.0035, 0.0191, 0.015, 0.0211, 0.1218, 0.1714, 0.1859, 0.1977, 0.1617, 0.1592, 0.1458, 0.1172, 0.074, 0.0907, 0.0507, 0.0468, 0.0312, 0.0052, 0.0944, 0.1143, 0.1336, 0.1702, 0.202, 0.2655, 0.282, 0.2816, 0.3083, 0.3439, 0.3439, 0.3672, 0.3595, 0.343, 0.3184, 0.3391, 0.3403, 0.3753, 0.3187, 0.3119, 0.3002, 0.2982, 0.3201, 0.2947, 0.3117, 0.2784, 0.327, 0.3942, 0.4663, 0.4536, 0.387, 0.3423, 0.3248, 0.2879, 0.3498, 0.3319, 0.2613, 0.2744, 0.2557, 0.2977, 0.2924, 0.3243, 0.3013, 0.438, 0.438, 0.4351]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1550487775819988992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-22T14:27:47+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "32% avg. FCF yields will not last! ... this meaningful return of capital will drive a re-rating in valuations back closer to more reasonable levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: massive buybacks + 32% FCF yields signal a valuation re-rating higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Buyback update! In June, energy companies bought back $5.4BN of stock, which was the largest one-month repurchase of stock of any TSX sub-sector in ~2 years, and likely the busiest month for energy sector buybacks in history! https://t.co/GQg2CN6KIG\n\n---\n\nWith the average CDN energy company able to privatize and pay off all their debt in just 3.2 years with free cashflow, I believe this meaningful return of capital will drive a re-rating in valuations back closer to more reasonable levels...32% avg. FCF yields will not last! https://t.co/YnC0cVsxki", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01445077158731256, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01445077158731256, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005086088374421482, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005086088374421482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009364683212891078, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009364683212891078, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03612692896828129, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03612692896828129, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03491216976588696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03491216976588696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012147592023943332, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012147592023943332, "ret_p1w": 0.11343911410625651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11343911410625651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07066416389423447, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07066416389423447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042774950212022045, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042774950212022045, "ret_p1m": 0.11054911897332342, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11054911897332342, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06433186336193009, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06433186336193009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04621725561139334, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04621725561139334, "ret_p3m": 0.14656867797646211, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14656867797646211, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21003850523861378, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21003850523861378, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06346982726215167, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06346982726215167, "ret_p6m": 0.157292143805712, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.157292143805712, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13986734716165294, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13986734716165294, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.01742479664405905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01742479664405905, "ret_p1y": 0.12659834201353304, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12659834201353304, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.011585922148884098, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.011585922148884098, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13818426416241714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13818426416241714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11054911897332342, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06433186336193009, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06433186336193009, "price_path": [0.0468, 0.0813, 0.1365, 0.12, 0.1157, 0.1587, 0.1867, 0.1759, 0.1781, 0.0935, 0.0899, 0.1092, 0.0949, 0.1379, 0.1666, 0.1824, 0.1637, 0.1695, 0.1759, 0.1759, 0.2046, 0.2297, 0.2347, 0.2562, 0.2856, 0.2519, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2777, 0.2885, 0.3179, 0.3272, 0.3121, 0.2921, 0.2519, 0.229, 0.2125, 0.1508, 0.0856, 0.1114, 0.1379, 0.0777, 0.0031, 0.0361, 0.0845, 0.1301, 0.0896, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.0975, 0.0238, -0.0166, 0.0282, 0.0166, 0.0029, -0.0303, -0.034, -0.0499, -0.0361, -0.0022, 0.0224, 0.0368, 0.0145, 0.0, 0.0361, 0.0275, 0.0592, 0.0809, 0.1134, 0.1134, 0.091, 0.0448, 0.0007, 0.0195, 0.0253, 0.0325, 0.0434, 0.0838, 0.0932, 0.0759, 0.0621, 0.078, 0.1077, 0.1026, 0.1105, 0.1452, 0.1568, 0.1647, 0.1568, 0.1749, 0.1301, 0.1199, 0.0947, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.0954, 0.0614, 0.0708, 0.099, 0.1221, 0.1127, 0.1474, 0.1199, 0.1077, 0.1149, 0.1098, 0.086, 0.0672, -0.0163, -0.05, -0.028, 0.0116, 0.0138, 0.0145, 0.0725, 0.1209, 0.1422, 0.1649, 0.1664, 0.1664, 0.1202, 0.1194, 0.1554, 0.1165, 0.118, 0.1121, 0.1466, 0.1642, 0.1847, 0.1943, 0.1979, 0.2199, 0.2148, 0.2148, 0.2361, 0.2515, 0.2427, 0.2742, 0.2742, 0.2793, 0.2683, 0.2163, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2544, 0.2764, 0.2478, 0.2412, 0.2375, 0.2243, 0.2529, 0.2383, 0.2412, 0.239, 0.2192, 0.2368, 0.2251, 0.2141, 0.217, 0.181, 0.14, 0.1334, 0.1253, 0.1172, 0.1268, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.137, 0.107, 0.1026, 0.1172, 0.1466, 0.1187, 0.162, 0.162, 0.162, 0.1356, 0.1514, 0.1566, 0.1566, 0.0886, 0.0716, 0.0804, 0.1078, 0.1144, 0.1085, 0.1152, 0.1484, 0.1551, 0.1573]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1116315034404171777", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-04-11T12:20:18+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Funds flow into them is just beginning...everyone was afraid to be early", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares RBC's bullish WTI $67/bbl call with upside skew; separately bullish on undervalued energy midcaps as fund flows are just beginning.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Respected oil forecaster/barrel counter @michael___tran at RBC calling for WTI to average $67/bbl for the remainder of 2019 with price risk \"skewed to the upside\" #OOTT https://t.co/jCIpph4BGU\n\n---\n\nThe change in energy sentiment is palpable...2nd day in a row of generalist fund managers on @BNNBloomberg talking about how undervalued the sector is and highlighting midcaps. Funds flow into them is just beginning...everyone was afraid to be early.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007420403286438892, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007420403286438892, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001019558761404027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001019558761404027, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00027751843276013766, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00027751843276013766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026714384921815437, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026714384921815437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004094674826317091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004094674826317091, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006766113318498634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006766113318498634, "ret_p1w": -0.0028196443882724243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0028196443882724243, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009099718435503279, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009099718435503279, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006280074047230855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006280074047230855, "ret_p1m": -0.04942099004493372, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04942099004493372, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049039563821169696, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049039563821169696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00038142622376402535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00038142622376402535, "ret_p3m": -0.05302528590091493, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05302528590091493, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08919859704374422, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08919859704374422, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03617331114282929, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03617331114282929, "ret_p6m": -0.13277926411340413, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13277926411340413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16378986259054373, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16378986259054373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.031010598477139606, "bench_c_p6m": 0.031010598477139606, "ret_p1y": -0.5400994534654869, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5400994534654869, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4664942421841569, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4664942421841569, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07360521128133002, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07360521128133002, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04942099004493372, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.049039563821169696, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049039563821169696, "price_path": [-0.0891, -0.0858, -0.087, -0.0786, -0.0599, -0.0599, -0.0804, -0.0898, -0.0849, -0.0733, -0.0826, -0.0798, -0.0668, -0.0608, -0.0444, -0.0422, -0.0408, -0.0478, -0.0689, -0.0732, -0.0687, -0.057, -0.0452, -0.0418, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.0234, -0.0193, -0.0344, -0.0316, -0.03, -0.0331, -0.0294, -0.0391, -0.0215, -0.0197, -0.0229, -0.0353, -0.0411, -0.059, -0.0443, -0.0381, -0.0284, -0.0274, -0.0278, -0.0142, -0.0169, -0.0083, -0.0013, -0.0283, -0.0279, -0.014, -0.0209, -0.0172, -0.0187, -0.0058, -0.0126, -0.0221, -0.014, 0.0034, 0.0079, -0.0045, -0.0007, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0019, -0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0183, 0.0166, -0.0012, -0.0043, -0.0172, -0.0181, -0.0188, -0.0384, -0.0552, -0.0465, -0.0456, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0494, -0.0657, -0.0543, -0.0494, -0.0442, -0.0539, -0.0534, -0.0424, -0.0573, -0.0889, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.095, -0.1008, -0.1122, -0.1278, -0.1167, -0.1014, -0.1113, -0.0948, -0.0907, -0.088, -0.0862, -0.0991, -0.0886, -0.0945, -0.087, -0.0744, -0.0754, -0.0549, -0.0481, -0.0566, -0.0641, -0.0497, -0.0568, -0.0458, -0.0449, -0.0602, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0551, -0.0538, -0.053, -0.0409, -0.0389, -0.0349, -0.0436, -0.0538, -0.0646, -0.0644, -0.0601, -0.0557, -0.0532, -0.0491, -0.0599, -0.0647, -0.0685, -0.058, -0.061, -0.0822, -0.0954, -0.1224, -0.1234, -0.13, -0.105, -0.1149, -0.1254, -0.1173, -0.1519, -0.1571, -0.146, -0.1272, -0.1345, -0.129, -0.1329, -0.1619, -0.1583, -0.1636, -0.1516, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1433, -0.1314, -0.1206, -0.1159, -0.0983, -0.0876, -0.0867, -0.0924, -0.0852, -0.0545, -0.0677, -0.0722, -0.0746, -0.0738, -0.0735, -0.0882, -0.0867, -0.0986, -0.0988, -0.1053, -0.126, -0.1474, -0.1382, -0.1328]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1526549157862903809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-17T13:04:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks remain woefully undervalued despite the massively bullish backdrop", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks woefully undervalued vs bullish fundamentals; bearish macro fears create opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eric Nuttall: Energy stocks remain woefully undervalued despite the massively bullish backdrop. Why? Recession fears? Energy ignorance? Read my explanation in my 22nd column for the @financialpost.\nhttps://t.co/DNyLbMg7aC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011446423059519928, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011446423059519928, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008709282094764736, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008709282094764736, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020155705154284664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020155705154284664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02563515616356682, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02563515616356682, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014676175162181115, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014676175162181115, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.040311331325747934, "bench_c_p1d": -0.040311331325747934, "ret_p1w": 0.0045306729995189254, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0045306729995189254, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0398706675860363, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0398706675860363, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035339994586517376, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035339994586517376, "ret_p1m": -0.017765563682353047, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017765563682353047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05355102703048353, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05355102703048353, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07131659071283658, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07131659071283658, "ret_p3m": -0.053893300484227025, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.053893300484227025, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10440502623438808, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10440502623438808, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05051172575016105, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05051172575016105, "ret_p6m": 0.07903724821119229, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07903724821119229, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15503246532746473, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15503246532746473, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07599521711627244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07599521711627244, "ret_p1y": -0.028121970833334675, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.028121970833334675, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03711953587193628, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03711953587193628, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.008997565038601607, "bench_c_p1y": 0.008997565038601607, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017765563682353047, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05355102703048353, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05355102703048353, "price_path": [-0.1914, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.2093, -0.2012, -0.2074, -0.1865, -0.1664, -0.158, -0.1388, -0.1364, -0.1115, -0.0984, -0.0842, -0.1122, -0.0851, -0.0924, -0.1195, -0.1518, -0.1557, -0.1266, -0.1275, -0.0923, -0.099, -0.0835, -0.0812, -0.061, -0.0843, -0.0867, -0.0761, -0.0886, -0.0812, -0.08, -0.0944, -0.0891, -0.0771, -0.0517, -0.0802, -0.065, -0.051, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.034, -0.0419, -0.0382, -0.0687, -0.0915, -0.1215, -0.1203, -0.1074, -0.0804, -0.104, -0.0897, -0.0641, -0.0253, -0.0399, -0.0113, -0.0931, -0.0849, -0.0726, -0.0687, -0.0368, -0.0114, 0.0, -0.0256, -0.0292, -0.025, 0.0007, 0.0045, 0.0253, 0.0366, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0397, 0.0566, 0.0533, 0.0672, 0.0661, 0.0979, 0.1003, 0.076, 0.0577, 0.0025, 0.0044, -0.0178, -0.0731, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.0784, -0.1153, -0.1481, -0.1368, -0.1115, -0.0875, -0.1192, -0.1378, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1596, -0.174, -0.1442, -0.1446, -0.1528, -0.1693, -0.1706, -0.1863, -0.173, -0.1541, -0.128, -0.1196, -0.135, -0.1421, -0.1107, -0.1188, -0.0989, -0.0938, -0.0545, -0.074, -0.0762, -0.1027, -0.136, -0.1189, -0.1143, -0.0987, -0.0922, -0.061, -0.0539, -0.0723, -0.0745, -0.0668, -0.0417, -0.042, -0.0438, -0.0093, 0.0029, 0.0106, -0.0012, 0.0139, -0.0205, -0.0294, -0.0533, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0449, -0.0559, -0.0518, -0.0282, -0.0104, -0.0353, -0.0081, -0.0336, -0.0543, -0.0537, -0.0603, -0.074, -0.0773, -0.141, -0.162, -0.1527, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.1222, -0.0726, -0.0327, -0.0127, 0.0048, -0.003, -0.0235, -0.0313, -0.0235, 0.0164, -0.0215, -0.0093, -0.0007, 0.0288, 0.0298, 0.0595, 0.0645, 0.0656, 0.0801, 0.084, 0.0878, 0.097, 0.1076, 0.0809, 0.1009, 0.1143, 0.1334, 0.1345, 0.079]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1472967891813347330", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-12-20T16:31:26+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With energy stocks discounting ~ $55WTI versus my 2022 base case of $70WTI, fundamentals offer solace when the day-to-day volatility does not", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks and WTI crude; author's $70 base case vs market's ~$55 implied price signals sector undervaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At the risk of sounding redundant, reality is not matching up with the negative market narrative of imploding demand. With energy stocks discounting ~ $55WTI versus my 2022 base case of $70WTI, fundamentals offer solace when the day-to-day volatility does not. https://t.co/hP7Yl9MLZg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012544932151521193, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012544932151521193, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017971416779039018, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017971416779039018, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010747790473617291, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010747790473617291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028485151293276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028485151293276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01072617631442907, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01072617631442907, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01775897497884693, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01775897497884693, "ret_p1w": 0.05829081736077768, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05829081736077768, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009321740064683448, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009321740064683448, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04896907729609423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04896907729609423, "ret_p1m": 0.22184472662201093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22184472662201093, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21852599310902399, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21852599310902399, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003318733512986949, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003318733512986949, "ret_p3m": 0.395019660598362, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.395019660598362, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42559232433084404, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42559232433084404, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03057266373248202, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03057266373248202, "ret_p6m": 0.6043347525432887, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6043347525432887, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7800535685357802, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7800535685357802, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1757188159924915, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1757188159924915, "ret_p1y": 0.6571464826801241, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6571464826801241, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7830155393563423, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7830155393563423, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.12586905667621817, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12586905667621817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22184472662201093, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21852599310902399, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21852599310902399, "price_path": [-0.091, -0.0592, -0.0521, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.015, -0.0299, 0.0027, 0.0191, 0.025, 0.0142, 0.022, 0.0535, 0.0496, 0.0505, 0.0496, 0.0625, 0.0677, 0.0684, 0.0805, 0.0893, 0.0692, 0.0792, 0.095, 0.1014, 0.0697, 0.0774, 0.0703, 0.0887, 0.0785, 0.0695, 0.071, 0.085, 0.0949, 0.0993, 0.0703, 0.0744, 0.0718, 0.0807, 0.0824, 0.0658, 0.0595, 0.0181, 0.0362, 0.068, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0351, 0.041, 0.0166, 0.0058, 0.0351, 0.0269, 0.0422, 0.0666, 0.0664, 0.0582, 0.066, 0.0364, 0.0321, 0.0271, 0.0336, 0.0125, 0.0, 0.0285, 0.0351, 0.0357, 0.0357, 0.0583, 0.0575, 0.0507, 0.0443, 0.047, 0.0794, 0.1168, 0.1166, 0.1415, 0.1571, 0.1536, 0.1928, 0.1951, 0.189, 0.2169, 0.2169, 0.2218, 0.213, 0.2018, 0.1781, 0.186, 0.232, 0.23, 0.2434, 0.2381, 0.2435, 0.2879, 0.292, 0.2798, 0.2998, 0.3164, 0.2881, 0.2988, 0.2907, 0.3282, 0.2969, 0.2833, 0.2937, 0.2916, 0.2837, 0.2837, 0.263, 0.276, 0.266, 0.2994, 0.3314, 0.3448, 0.3756, 0.3794, 0.4192, 0.4401, 0.4627, 0.418, 0.4614, 0.4497, 0.4063, 0.3548, 0.3486, 0.395, 0.3937, 0.4499, 0.4392, 0.464, 0.4676, 0.4998, 0.4626, 0.4588, 0.4758, 0.4558, 0.4676, 0.4695, 0.4465, 0.455, 0.4741, 0.5146, 0.4691, 0.4935, 0.5158, 0.5207, 0.5207, 0.543, 0.5304, 0.5363, 0.4876, 0.4512, 0.4032, 0.4051, 0.4257, 0.4689, 0.4312, 0.4541, 0.4948, 0.5569, 0.5335, 0.5792, 0.4485, 0.4617, 0.4813, 0.4876, 0.5384, 0.579, 0.5973, 0.5563, 0.5506, 0.5573, 0.5984, 0.6045, 0.6377, 0.6558, 0.686, 0.686, 0.6607, 0.6878, 0.6824, 0.7047, 0.7028, 0.7536, 0.7575, 0.7186, 0.6895, 0.6013, 0.6043]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1167494897873620993", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-30T17:50:49+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US shale growth rate deceleration critical to repairing sentiment = allow energy stocks to better reflect actual fundamentals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US shale deceleration repairing sentiment; energy stocks should better reflect fundamentals — implied bullish on energy equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US shale growth rate deceleration critical to repairing sentiment = allow energy stocks to better reflect actual fundamentals. June data just out...down over May and the YOY growth rate further declined to only 1.1MM Bbl/d...below July oil demand YOY growth rate of 1.3MM #OOTT https://t.co/0MAmi8hBqF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004445117155236211, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004445117155236211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004445117155236211, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004445117155236211, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.0269657863118149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0269657863118149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00781719916394441, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00781719916394441, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01914858714787049, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01914858714787049, "ret_p1m": 0.039342914223436054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.039342914223436054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01988469054343467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01988469054343467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019458223680001385, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019458223680001385, "ret_p3m": 0.0444344745122105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0444344745122105, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03929592406009541, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03929592406009541, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08373039857230591, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08373039857230591, "ret_p6m": -0.05716116225844914, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05716116225844914, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17017734370684034, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17017734370684034, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1130161814483912, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1130161814483912, "ret_p1y": -0.2912198337540396, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2912198337540396, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47227674105225115, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47227674105225115, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18105690729821156, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18105690729821156, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.039342914223436054, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01988469054343467, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01988469054343467, "price_path": [0.0439, 0.0323, 0.0515, 0.0563, 0.0594, 0.0615, 0.0465, 0.0587, 0.0518, 0.0606, 0.0753, 0.0741, 0.0978, 0.1058, 0.0959, 0.0872, 0.1039, 0.0957, 0.1084, 0.1094, 0.0917, 0.096, 0.096, 0.0976, 0.0992, 0.1, 0.1141, 0.1164, 0.1211, 0.111, 0.0992, 0.0866, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0969, 0.0999, 0.1046, 0.092, 0.0865, 0.0821, 0.0943, 0.0908, 0.0661, 0.0508, 0.0195, 0.0183, 0.0106, 0.0397, 0.0282, 0.016, 0.0254, -0.0148, -0.0209, -0.008, 0.0139, 0.0054, 0.0118, 0.0073, -0.0264, -0.0223, -0.0284, -0.0144, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0049, 0.009, 0.0216, 0.027, 0.0475, 0.0598, 0.0609, 0.0543, 0.0626, 0.0983, 0.083, 0.0778, 0.075, 0.0759, 0.0762, 0.0592, 0.0609, 0.0471, 0.0469, 0.0393, 0.0153, -0.0096, 0.0011, 0.0074, -0.0016, -0.0186, -0.0096, 0.0028, 0.0163, 0.0158, 0.02, 0.0058, 0.0065, 0.0012, 0.0192, 0.0323, 0.0409, 0.0365, 0.045, 0.039, 0.0432, 0.022, 0.0176, 0.0407, 0.0746, 0.076, 0.0541, 0.0699, 0.0655, 0.0595, 0.0541, 0.0495, 0.0467, 0.0548, 0.042, 0.0265, 0.0369, 0.0539, 0.0504, 0.0515, 0.0418, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0339, 0.0339, 0.0185, 0.0337, 0.0288, 0.0485, 0.0472, 0.0494, 0.0476, 0.0669, 0.0588, 0.0731, 0.0738, 0.0778, 0.0774, 0.0878, 0.0989, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.0981, 0.0934, 0.09, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.1061, 0.1028, 0.1114, 0.1084, 0.0902, 0.0982, 0.092, 0.0924, 0.0926, 0.0845, 0.0863, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0601, 0.0498, 0.0458, 0.0338, 0.0051, 0.0097, -0.0009, 0.0071, -0.0243, -0.0371, -0.0336, 0.0027, -0.0075, -0.0144, -0.0194, -0.0084, 0.0049, 0.0018, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0117, 0.0014, 0.0004, -0.0115, -0.0572]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1325805007665590274", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-09T14:18:40+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A Biden Presidency will have a much more benign (and potentially positive) impact on Canadian energy stocks than many feared", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks will fare better under Biden than feared; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A Biden Presidency will have a much more benign (and potentially positive) impact on Canadian energy stocks than many feared.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Don't worry about Biden — 'Canada's oilpatch doesn't need Keystone XL anymore:' Eric Nuttall https://t.co/Ps3W72QzVH https://t.co/AdfcIrMikl", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13821150331413634, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13821150331413634, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1258017178084746, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1258017178084746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0284551440170715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0284551440170715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02992136167875936, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02992136167875936, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "ret_p1w": 0.04471525945904187, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04471525945904187, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022123752472154035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022123752472154035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "ret_p1m": 0.22154456595104577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22154456595104577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1775180171141404, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1775180171141404, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "ret_p3m": 0.2893687537283598, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2893687537283598, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19551680280742167, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19551680280742167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "ret_p6m": 0.5991882355643592, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5991882355643592, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41812228576061017, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41812228576061017, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "ret_p1y": 1.0784930685860434, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.0784930685860434, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7801671249922011, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7801671249922011, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22154456595104577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1775180171141404, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1775180171141404, "price_path": [0.1113, 0.0932, 0.1033, 0.1033, 0.0852, 0.0811, 0.065, 0.0348, 0.0771, 0.0791, 0.057, 0.055, 0.061, 0.0288, 0.0388, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0087, 0.0087, -0.0679, -0.0558, -0.0759, -0.0779, -0.0819, -0.088, -0.0578, -0.0658, -0.0739, -0.1142, -0.1021, -0.1283, -0.1138, -0.1341, -0.1037, -0.1402, -0.1484, -0.1789, -0.1707, -0.1484, -0.1504, -0.1321, -0.0894, -0.0996, -0.0996, -0.1118, -0.1138, -0.1118, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.122, -0.1402, -0.1057, -0.1037, -0.1341, -0.1362, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1606, -0.1443, -0.126, -0.128, -0.126, -0.1382, 0.0, 0.0285, 0.0386, -0.0203, -0.0061, 0.0447, 0.061, 0.0691, 0.063, 0.0732, 0.1484, 0.1992, 0.1911, 0.187, 0.1931, 0.1199, 0.1199, 0.1443, 0.1524, 0.2175, 0.2073, 0.2215, 0.2195, 0.2663, 0.2683, 0.2398, 0.252, 0.2215, 0.2236, 0.2154, 0.185, 0.1626, 0.2114, 0.2053, 0.2053, 0.2053, 0.1972, 0.218, 0.1976, 0.1976, 0.2118, 0.3016, 0.3139, 0.3363, 0.3179, 0.3098, 0.3363, 0.3179, 0.3485, 0.2975, 0.2771, 0.3016, 0.3016, 0.2812, 0.2567, 0.2567, 0.2118, 0.2037, 0.2118, 0.1874, 0.2322, 0.2363, 0.2792, 0.2894, 0.3016, 0.3322, 0.3241, 0.3485, 0.3465, 0.373, 0.373, 0.4118, 0.424, 0.4057, 0.4077, 0.4791, 0.4913, 0.524, 0.4791, 0.4526, 0.4689, 0.4791, 0.5158, 0.5546, 0.6076, 0.5913, 0.5893, 0.6484, 0.6648, 0.6688, 0.6505, 0.5954, 0.6199, 0.5362, 0.5689, 0.5403, 0.4811, 0.5321, 0.5356, 0.5664, 0.5459, 0.5561, 0.5438, 0.5951, 0.5951, 0.5561, 0.5705, 0.5623, 0.5623, 0.5459, 0.5377, 0.5233, 0.5828, 0.5746, 0.5602, 0.5541, 0.4926, 0.5049, 0.4864, 0.5008, 0.5028, 0.5151, 0.5623, 0.5766, 0.5602, 0.6074, 0.5992]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1252249102458519552", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-20T14:53:46+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The end of this oil bloodbath is in sight and Canadian energy producers will prosper once again", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy producers; calls the end of the oil downturn and expects a recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian energy producers ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jkenney The end of this oil bloodbath is in sight and Canadian energy producers will prosper once again https://t.co/Eu4cjAs7SL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Western Canadian Select oil is now trading at negative prices.👇\n\nKilling & delaying pipelines landlocked us.\n\n#Covid19 collapsed demand.\n\nThe Russian-Saudi price war surged supply, filling up inventories.\n\nThe future of hundreds of thousands of Canadian jobs is at stake. https://t.co/n2pGHsh30E", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jkenney", "ret_m1d": 0.01246887028626631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01246887028626631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005464933071467337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005464933071467337, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017933803357733646, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017933803357733646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00997500912751148, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00997500912751148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020388393435406993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020388393435406993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.030363402562918473, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030363402562918473, "ret_p1w": 0.0723192153896739, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0723192153896739, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05292950042837541, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05292950042837541, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019389714961298488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019389714961298488, "ret_p1m": 0.24438881239280175, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24438881239280175, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2075268613203447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2075268613203447, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.036861951072457044, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036861951072457044, "ret_p3m": 0.2596260587368975, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2596260587368975, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11540356611106795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11540356611106795, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14422249262582953, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14422249262582953, "ret_p6m": 0.1114373707540739, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1114373707540739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14243675826617386, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14243675826617386, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.25387412902024775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25387412902024775, "ret_p1y": 0.9549184403314792, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9549184403314792, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.48785541924829, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.48785541924829, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.4670630210831892, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4670630210831892, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24438881239280175, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2075268613203447, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2075268613203447, "price_path": [1.1904, 1.1781, 1.139, 1.0827, 1.0925, 1.0974, 1.0949, 1.0337, 1.0166, 1.0215, 1.0998, 1.0705, 1.0362, 1.0362, 1.0386, 1.0607, 1.0484, 1.046, 1.046, 1.0509, 1.09, 1.0949, 1.0607, 0.9775, 0.9212, 0.8649, 0.8233, 0.8061, 0.811, 0.7523, 0.7645, 0.718, 0.6104, 0.1747, 0.1919, 0.1013, -0.0749, 0.023, -0.163, -0.234, -0.3245, -0.2903, -0.278, -0.3025, -0.2242, -0.1646, -0.1746, -0.2519, -0.1621, -0.0374, -0.0524, 0.0374, 0.0175, 0.0449, 0.0374, 0.0798, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0524, 0.0324, -0.0224, -0.0599, 0.0125, 0.0, -0.01, 0.0524, 0.0748, 0.0673, 0.0723, 0.1222, 0.2693, 0.2419, 0.187, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1571, 0.1796, 0.212, 0.202, 0.217, 0.1471, 0.1496, 0.1845, 0.1845, 0.2444, 0.3167, 0.2918, 0.2718, 0.2718, 0.2843, 0.2893, 0.2718, 0.2494, 0.2768, 0.3392, 0.3616, 0.3766, 0.4888, 0.5312, 0.4763, 0.4165, 0.2818, 0.3067, 0.2993, 0.3242, 0.2618, 0.2569, 0.2494, 0.2519, 0.2818, 0.2319, 0.237, 0.2067, 0.2495, 0.2395, 0.2395, 0.2571, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.2193, 0.1966, 0.1715, 0.2092, 0.1992, 0.2495, 0.2747, 0.2596, 0.242, 0.2193, 0.3276, 0.3125, 0.2823, 0.2773, 0.2899, 0.2445, 0.2672, 0.242, 0.2168, 0.2168, 0.2571, 0.2974, 0.3176, 0.3302, 0.3705, 0.3629, 0.3906, 0.368, 0.3806, 0.3806, 0.3579, 0.3528, 0.3327, 0.2949, 0.3478, 0.3503, 0.3226, 0.3201, 0.3276, 0.2873, 0.2999, 0.2747, 0.2747, 0.2621, 0.2621, 0.1664, 0.1815, 0.1563, 0.1538, 0.1488, 0.1412, 0.179, 0.1689, 0.1589, 0.1085, 0.1236, 0.0908, 0.1089, 0.0835, 0.1216, 0.0758, 0.0657, 0.0275, 0.0377, 0.0657, 0.0631, 0.086, 0.1394, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.1114]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1138172719206477824", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-10T19:54:57+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "strong balance sheets, 8%+ dividend yields sustainable with oil>$50/bbl, FCF, YTD underperformance vs. WTI of 20%+, and catalysts on the way", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy names on strong fundamentals, 8%+ dividends, FCF, and deep YTD underperformance vs WTI; buyer strike seen as unjustified.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For those of us left (not many), to watch CDN energy names fall yet another 3%-6% despite strong balance sheets, 8%+ dividend yields sustainable with oil>$50/bbl, FCF, YTD underperformance vs. WTI of 20%+, and catalysts on the way, it is truly humbling. Total buyers strike #OOTT https://t.co/bTkxpMgPTk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004499094795070047, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004499094795070047, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009066750721926642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009066750721926642, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004567655926856595, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004567655926856595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006748642192604848, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006748642192604848, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006990964065219485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006990964065219485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000242321872614637, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000242321872614637, "ret_p1w": 0.016872356377348074, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016872356377348074, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015488179139824476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015488179139824476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0013841772375235983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0013841772375235983, "ret_p1m": 0.013626233679193689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013626233679193689, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019821922159913408, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019821922159913408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0334481558391071, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0334481558391071, "ret_p3m": -0.062338826181881024, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.062338826181881024, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09797760926418009, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09797760926418009, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035638783082299064, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035638783082299064, "ret_p6m": -0.05824623908700899, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05824623908700899, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13964575517011213, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13964575517011213, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08139951608310314, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08139951608310314, "ret_p1y": -0.3937401500385449, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3937401500385449, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4655882921847665, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4655882921847665, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0718481421462216, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0718481421462216, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013626233679193689, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019821922159913408, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019821922159913408, "price_path": [0.1235, 0.1247, 0.1202, 0.1403, 0.1314, 0.1515, 0.1616, 0.1291, 0.1091, 0.1271, 0.108, 0.1102, 0.1046, 0.1237, 0.1192, 0.1046, 0.1102, 0.1417, 0.1597, 0.1507, 0.171, 0.1687, 0.18, 0.1744, 0.1789, 0.1946, 0.1935, 0.1935, 0.2126, 0.2306, 0.2025, 0.1935, 0.1766, 0.1789, 0.1631, 0.1305, 0.1012, 0.1125, 0.1114, 0.0967, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.108, 0.0821, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1125, 0.0945, 0.0945, 0.1012, 0.0731, 0.0304, 0.0337, 0.0506, 0.0394, 0.0529, 0.0382, 0.027, 0.0157, 0.0191, -0.0067, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.0067, -0.0056, 0.0045, 0.0022, 0.0169, 0.0259, 0.017, 0.0352, 0.0272, 0.0261, 0.0193, 0.0352, 0.0091, 0.0114, 0.0114, -0.0022, 0.0023, 0.0091, 0.0068, -0.0011, 0.0136, 0.034, 0.0352, 0.034, 0.0295, 0.0125, 0.0, -0.017, -0.0091, -0.0034, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0385, -0.0465, -0.0635, -0.0408, -0.0295, -0.051, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0941, -0.0986, -0.0839, -0.0805, -0.093, -0.0839, -0.1145, -0.1213, -0.1134, -0.0907, -0.1032, -0.0941, -0.0998, -0.1281, -0.127, -0.1315, -0.1043, -0.0805, -0.0884, -0.0884, -0.0941, -0.0861, -0.0623, -0.0657, -0.0453, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0181, -0.0102, 0.0794, 0.0556, 0.0408, 0.0363, 0.042, 0.0408, 0.0228, 0.0171, 0.0114, 0.0068, -0.0023, -0.0354, -0.0571, -0.0537, -0.056, -0.0571, -0.0925, -0.0959, -0.0868, -0.0685, -0.0685, -0.0731, -0.0777, -0.0754, -0.0845, -0.0754, -0.0731, -0.0685, -0.0765, -0.0662, -0.0742, -0.0697, -0.0811, -0.0993, -0.0708, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0457, -0.0046, -0.0023, -0.0046, -0.0137, -0.0183, -0.0229, -0.0114, -0.0263, -0.0388, -0.032, -0.0229, -0.0286, -0.0194, -0.0308, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0377, -0.0423, -0.0582]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1204935593043648514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-12-12T01:26:46+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian E&P's = cheapest valuations + worst sentiment in the world + catalysts to change both. 2020 is the turn. Be exposed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish Canadian E&P sector: cheapest valuations, worst sentiment globally, catalysts ahead; 2020 is the inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BNNBloomberg Rafi and I are the 2 last remaining long-only energy fund managers of note left in Canada...and we both see profound opportunities domestically. Canadian E&P’s = cheapest valuations + worst sentiment in the world + catalysts to change both. 2020 is the turn. Be exposed. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Canadian energy ‘on the edge of extreme profitability’: Canoe Financial’s Tahmazian https://t.co/a1XzTqNP4x", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BNNBloomberg", "ret_m1d": -0.022321276913405574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022321276913405574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013775736251374626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013775736251374626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008545540662030948, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008545540662030948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011160504973806162, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011160504973806162, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001714980127593524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001714980127593524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005989296302129077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005989296302129077, "ret_p1w": 0.037946784774113285, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037946784774113285, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026058983975991934, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026058983975991934, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01188780079812135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01188780079812135, "ret_p1m": 0.05653347721009805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05653347721009805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0244289443074861, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0244289443074861, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03210453290261195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03210453290261195, "ret_p3m": -0.4520429323709573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4520429323709573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36598341104059695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36598341104059695, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08605952133036032, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08605952133036032, "ret_p6m": -0.31553514661394266, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31553514661394266, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33340483645728125, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33340483645728125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.017869689843338588, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017869689843338588, "ret_p1y": -0.3557174361966772, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3557174361966772, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.519471886899901, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.519471886899901, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1637544507032238, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1637544507032238, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05653347721009805, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0244289443074861, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0244289443074861, "price_path": [0.0553, 0.032, 0.0176, 0.0132, 0.0187, 0.0176, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0112, -0.0156, -0.0246, -0.0569, -0.0781, -0.0748, -0.077, -0.0781, -0.1127, -0.1161, -0.1071, -0.0893, -0.0893, -0.0937, -0.0982, -0.096, -0.1049, -0.096, -0.0937, -0.0893, -0.0971, -0.0871, -0.0949, -0.0904, -0.1016, -0.1194, -0.0915, -0.0625, -0.0513, -0.067, -0.0268, -0.0246, -0.0268, -0.0357, -0.0402, -0.0446, -0.0335, -0.048, -0.0603, -0.0536, -0.0446, -0.0502, -0.0413, -0.0525, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0592, -0.0636, -0.0792, -0.0569, -0.0636, -0.0212, -0.0212, -0.0145, -0.0223, 0.0, -0.0011, 0.0056, 0.0234, 0.0212, 0.0379, 0.0324, 0.048, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0453, 0.0532, 0.0757, 0.0745, 0.0543, 0.0633, 0.0565, 0.0475, 0.0509, 0.0408, 0.0397, 0.0307, 0.0295, 0.0149, 0.007, 0.0014, -0.0166, -0.0425, -0.038, -0.0357, -0.0369, -0.065, -0.0729, -0.0706, -0.0346, -0.0481, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0627, -0.0526, -0.0582, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0571, -0.0391, -0.0369, -0.0526, -0.0909, -0.1167, -0.1426, -0.1617, -0.1696, -0.1674, -0.1944, -0.1888, -0.2101, -0.2596, -0.4599, -0.452, -0.4937, -0.5747, -0.5297, -0.6152, -0.6478, -0.6895, -0.6737, -0.6681, -0.6793, -0.6433, -0.6159, -0.6205, -0.656, -0.6148, -0.5574, -0.5643, -0.5231, -0.5322, -0.5196, -0.5231, -0.5036, -0.5127, -0.5127, -0.5162, -0.5253, -0.5506, -0.5678, -0.5345, -0.5403, -0.5448, -0.5162, -0.5059, -0.5093, -0.507, -0.4841, -0.4164, -0.429, -0.4543, -0.4531, -0.4531, -0.468, -0.4577, -0.4428, -0.4474, -0.4405, -0.4726, -0.4715, -0.4554, -0.4554, -0.4279, -0.3946, -0.4061, -0.4153, -0.4153, -0.4095, -0.4073, -0.4153, -0.4256, -0.413, -0.3843, -0.374, -0.3671, -0.3155]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1194621640581287936", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-13T14:22:48+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US shale growth deceleration + US/China trade truce = potential for meaningful rally in energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on US energy stocks: shale deceleration + US/China trade truce sets up a meaningful rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US shale growth update: US Silica guides down Q4 frac sand volumes to -15% Q4/Q3 vs. 10% previously. Goldman cuts '20 growth to 600k bbl/d. US shale growth deceleration + US/China trade truce = potential for meaningful rally in energy stocks #OOTT https://t.co/T4eUYV6R53\n\n---\n\nSimmons: 13 US E&P's have provided 2020 capex budgets...$20.7BN vs. $24.6BN...down 16% YOY! Great for oil macro. Not so good for service stocks. Tempting valuations with massive discounts to replacement cost/book value but what can make them rally with this backdrop? #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004349289909743703, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004349289909743703, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004672602436573303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004672602436573303, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003233125268296, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003233125268296, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002676479478057714, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002676479478057714, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004132471518793701, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004132471518793701, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014559920407359872, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014559920407359872, "ret_p1w": -0.012044286746060506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012044286746060506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017447123514924168, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017447123514924168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005402836768863661, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005402836768863661, "ret_p1m": 0.016560625328331025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016560625328331025, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00941837216833119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00941837216833119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025978997496662215, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025978997496662215, "ret_p3m": -0.06564186623575397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06564186623575397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15372173072676698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15372173072676698, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08807986449101302, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08807986449101302, "ret_p6m": -0.3403308596474438, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3403308596474438, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28110864666547963, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28110864666547963, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05922221298196417, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05922221298196417, "ret_p1y": -0.47413516810897116, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47413516810897116, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5509862734621711, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5509862734621711, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07685110535319994, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07685110535319994, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016560625328331025, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00941837216833119, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00941837216833119, "price_path": [-0.0548, -0.0339, -0.0421, -0.0359, -0.0402, -0.0724, -0.0684, -0.0742, -0.0609, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0518, -0.0386, -0.0266, -0.0215, -0.0019, 0.0098, 0.0108, 0.0045, 0.0125, 0.0465, 0.0319, 0.0269, 0.0243, 0.0251, 0.0254, 0.0092, 0.0109, -0.0023, -0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0326, -0.0564, -0.0462, -0.0401, -0.0487, -0.0649, -0.0564, -0.0445, -0.0316, -0.0321, -0.0281, -0.0417, -0.041, -0.046, -0.0289, -0.0164, -0.0082, -0.0124, -0.0043, -0.01, -0.006, -0.0263, -0.0304, -0.0084, 0.0239, 0.0253, 0.0043, 0.0194, 0.0152, 0.0095, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0027, 0.005, -0.0072, -0.0219, -0.012, 0.0042, 0.0008, 0.0018, -0.0074, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0296, -0.0151, -0.0197, -0.001, -0.0022, -0.0002, -0.0018, 0.0166, 0.0089, 0.0224, 0.0231, 0.0269, 0.0266, 0.0364, 0.0471, 0.0466, 0.0466, 0.0462, 0.0419, 0.0386, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0539, 0.0507, 0.0589, 0.0561, 0.0387, 0.0464, 0.0405, 0.0408, 0.041, 0.0333, 0.0351, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.01, 0.0003, -0.0035, -0.015, -0.0423, -0.038, -0.0481, -0.0404, -0.0703, -0.0825, -0.0792, -0.0446, -0.0543, -0.0609, -0.0656, -0.0552, -0.0425, -0.0455, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0583, -0.0458, -0.0469, -0.0582, -0.1017, -0.1413, -0.1672, -0.2118, -0.2125, -0.1806, -0.2057, -0.1869, -0.2166, -0.2607, -0.4096, -0.3816, -0.4143, -0.4873, -0.44, -0.5162, -0.5129, -0.5828, -0.5545, -0.5501, -0.5808, -0.5136, -0.4906, -0.4595, -0.4961, -0.491, -0.4831, -0.5088, -0.4638, -0.4695, -0.4414, -0.4294, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3969, -0.3988, -0.4017, -0.4298, -0.4542, -0.3962, -0.415, -0.4253, -0.4049, -0.3857, -0.3843, -0.3709, -0.3565, -0.3089, -0.3241, -0.3624, -0.3403, -0.3398, -0.357, -0.3403]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1098372624713900032", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-21T00:03:35+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian resource sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Resource sector to rally if this continues to snowball", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian resource sector if political scandal around Wilson-Raybould continues to escalate.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO", "XMA.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian resource sector: energy + materials ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Privilege is not mine to waive” and hoping for the opportunity “to speak my truth” sound like fighting words to me. Resource sector to rally if this continues to snowball", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "‘I hope I have the opportunity to speak my truth’: Wilson-Raybould as vote on public inquiry quashed https://t.co/mZxAzAby6k", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005408155500093992, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005408155500093992, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018400162004459375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018400162004459375, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035681392996480543, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035681392996480543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013828575282992528, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013828575282992528, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004816848130718254, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004816848130718254, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006199705659017507, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006199705659017507, "ret_p1w": -0.00836062581715219, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00836062581715219, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01290207242004543, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01290207242004543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00454144660289324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00454144660289324, "ret_p1m": 0.002615135123503587, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002615135123503587, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00841492462410981, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00841492462410981, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011030059747613397, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011030059747613397, "ret_p3m": -0.05088961699444389, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05088961699444389, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0882044932830443, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0882044932830443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03731487628860042, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03731487628860042, "ret_p6m": -0.06124520937069128, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06124520937069128, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1121188064890491, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1121188064890491, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.050873597118357816, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050873597118357816, "ret_p1y": -0.020945909971202104, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.020945909971202104, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2501913935150048, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2501913935150048, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2292454835438027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2292454835438027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.002615135123503587, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00841492462410981, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00841492462410981, "price_path": [-0.0872, -0.1031, -0.0951, -0.0882, -0.0903, -0.0636, -0.0743, -0.0557, -0.0851, -0.0778, -0.0867, -0.0936, -0.0861, -0.0863, -0.1038, -0.1159, -0.1126, -0.1286, -0.1281, -0.138, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1133, -0.1097, -0.101, -0.101, -0.0952, -0.1008, -0.0845, -0.0894, -0.086, -0.0705, -0.0667, -0.0658, -0.0648, -0.0607, -0.0633, -0.0565, -0.0549, -0.0552, -0.0723, -0.0773, -0.0666, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0428, -0.0351, -0.0336, -0.0401, -0.0343, -0.0317, -0.0318, -0.0426, -0.0457, -0.045, -0.039, -0.0378, -0.0323, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0009, 0.0054, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0036, 0.0009, -0.0019, -0.0084, -0.004, -0.0086, -0.0048, -0.015, -0.0156, -0.0192, -0.0116, -0.0029, 0.0043, -0.0047, -0.0048, 0.002, -0.0021, 0.0104, 0.0213, 0.0026, -0.0003, 0.0112, 0.0015, -0.0021, -0.0065, -0.0013, -0.0011, -0.008, 0.0025, 0.0174, 0.0258, 0.021, 0.0274, 0.0219, 0.0273, 0.0233, 0.0234, 0.0293, 0.0269, 0.0269, 0.0294, 0.0386, 0.0256, 0.0185, 0.0197, 0.0131, 0.0068, -0.015, -0.0349, -0.0238, -0.0281, -0.0373, -0.0326, -0.0345, -0.0399, -0.0492, -0.0395, -0.0387, -0.039, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0509, -0.0715, -0.0929, -0.0895, -0.0804, -0.0873, -0.0786, -0.0818, -0.0758, -0.0672, -0.0607, -0.0716, -0.0678, -0.0688, -0.0735, -0.064, -0.0627, -0.0563, -0.0539, -0.0424, -0.0308, -0.0356, -0.0164, -0.0165, -0.0067, -0.0163, -0.0126, -0.0262, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0274, -0.0266, -0.0224, -0.0291, -0.0361, -0.0298, -0.0157, -0.0187, -0.0177, -0.0174, -0.0231, -0.0173, -0.0154, -0.0084, -0.0047, -0.0031, -0.0035, -0.0266, -0.0294, -0.0351, -0.02, -0.0286, -0.0295, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0469, -0.0402, -0.0279, -0.0355, -0.0449, -0.0442, -0.061, -0.061, -0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1425459918140846090", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-11T14:11:42+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rerating from currently deplorable valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian energy sector; deplorable valuations would re-rate if companies returned 50%+ FCF via buybacks and dividends.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here is my \"ask\" of CDN energy CEOs and Boards: commit at least 50% of your FCF to shareholder returns via dividends and share buybacks. The average company with a D/CF of 0.7x could buy back 10% of its stock and pay a 7% dividend = rerating from currently deplorable valuations. https://t.co/YQAo0crORS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001249899252808051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001249899252808051, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012288527290340578, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012288527290340578, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002478751981842109, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002478751981842109, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008749787937728959, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008749787937728959, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011746805744291766, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011746805744291766, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029970178065628073, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029970178065628073, "ret_p1w": -0.07374983302738125, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07374983302738125, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06338429636906417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06338429636906417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010365536658317076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010365536658317076, "ret_p1m": 0.008750069748056033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008750069748056033, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029674934309111833, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029674934309111833, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011717563178967216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011717563178967216, "ret_p3m": 0.3715020997687464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3715020997687464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3114447632176931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3114447632176931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.060057336551053275, "bench_c_p3m": 0.060057336551053275, "ret_p6m": 0.630281759601137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.630281759601137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6171561014945406, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6171561014945406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013125658106596383, "bench_c_p6m": 0.013125658106596383, "ret_p1y": 0.9711629128591743, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9711629128591743, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.0295980817821295, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.0295980817821295, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.058435168922955305, "bench_c_p1y": -0.058435168922955305, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008750069748056033, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029674934309111833, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029674934309111833, "price_path": [0.0172, 0.0446, 0.0347, 0.0048, -0.0039, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0089, 0.0073, 0.0197, 0.0259, 0.0421, 0.087, 0.1019, 0.1056, 0.1193, 0.1181, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1243, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1617, 0.1467, 0.0994, 0.0882, 0.1368, 0.1318, 0.138, 0.1425, 0.145, 0.11, 0.1188, 0.1313, 0.1313, 0.13, 0.155, 0.1213, 0.0975, 0.0913, 0.1, 0.0875, 0.0925, 0.0638, 0.0488, 0.0138, -0.0237, -0.01, 0.0163, 0.0138, 0.015, 0.03, 0.0013, 0.0075, 0.0125, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0113, -0.0312, -0.0187, -0.0087, -0.03, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.0087, -0.0225, -0.045, -0.0562, -0.0737, -0.0912, -0.085, -0.0525, -0.035, -0.035, -0.0312, -0.0012, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.01, 0.025, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0138, 0.005, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0525, 0.0388, 0.085, 0.0775, 0.0563, 0.0275, 0.0363, 0.0788, 0.1075, 0.1228, 0.1567, 0.1592, 0.1693, 0.1731, 0.1793, 0.2019, 0.2371, 0.2082, 0.2371, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2597, 0.2509, 0.2811, 0.2811, 0.2673, 0.2698, 0.2773, 0.2585, 0.2748, 0.2987, 0.2961, 0.2622, 0.3188, 0.3213, 0.3451, 0.3238, 0.31, 0.3238, 0.3577, 0.3715, 0.369, 0.3388, 0.3401, 0.3351, 0.3351, 0.3351, 0.3288, 0.3401, 0.2961, 0.3062, 0.3564, 0.3815, 0.3866, 0.3049, 0.3225, 0.2823, 0.2585, 0.2823, 0.2773, 0.3087, 0.3502, 0.3426, 0.32, 0.3275, 0.2899, 0.2698, 0.2685, 0.2735, 0.2472, 0.2497, 0.2987, 0.3162, 0.3112, 0.3175, 0.3175, 0.3175, 0.3426, 0.3297, 0.336, 0.336, 0.3866, 0.3941, 0.4358, 0.4484, 0.4484, 0.4977, 0.5204, 0.5103, 0.5533, 0.581, 0.5697, 0.5634, 0.5507, 0.4952, 0.4737, 0.5255, 0.5293, 0.552, 0.5608, 0.5735, 0.629, 0.6429, 0.6303]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1113776677958635520", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-04T12:13:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the valuations of today will not last", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy equities; current valuations are unsustainably cheap with 33% FCF yields at 2019 strip, M&A likely to close the gap.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors need to endure epic yet temporary frustration from the disconnect between oil and oil stocks knowing that the valuations of today will not last...ex: Company XYZ trading at a 33% free cash flow yield at 2019 WTI strip with 6 years of ~zero-capex production #OOTT https://t.co/DHkmlPHh9P\n\n---\n\nHow long until M&A? A corporate buyer could offer $6/share (a 50% premium) and would only be paying 3.9x EV/CF and 105% of proved NPV at $55WTI flat (and get $1.1BN of land and seismic for free) = 18% FCF yield at $60WTI with 6 years of zero-capex production", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008278083679814197, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008278083679814197, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005631672272193189, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005631672272193189, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026464114076210077, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026464114076210077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017609784659423644, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017609784659423644, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012769590914835316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012769590914835316, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004840193744588328, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004840193744588328, "ret_p1w": 0.014148011899622004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014148011899622004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010561542878230412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010561542878230412, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0035864690213915917, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0035864690213915917, "ret_p1m": -0.03296211086205236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03296211086205236, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05681449503879121, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05681449503879121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02385238417673885, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02385238417673885, "ret_p3m": -0.04691794662518756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04691794662518756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08414819173143806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08414819173143806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.037230245106250504, "bench_c_p3m": 0.037230245106250504, "ret_p6m": -0.08602283323771842, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08602283323771842, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12442186876149175, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12442186876149175, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03839903552377333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03839903552377333, "ret_p1y": -0.6158902932125234, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6158902932125234, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4080953883271493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4080953883271493, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.2077949048853741, "bench_c_p1y": -0.2077949048853741, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03296211086205236, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05681449503879121, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05681449503879121, "price_path": [-0.0926, -0.0856, -0.0711, -0.0684, -0.0739, -0.0762, -0.0729, -0.0741, -0.0656, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0674, -0.0769, -0.072, -0.0602, -0.0696, -0.0668, -0.0536, -0.0475, -0.0309, -0.0287, -0.0272, -0.0344, -0.0557, -0.0601, -0.0556, -0.0436, -0.0317, -0.0282, -0.0126, -0.0126, -0.0096, -0.0054, -0.0208, -0.0179, -0.0163, -0.0194, -0.0157, -0.0256, -0.0076, -0.0058, -0.0091, -0.0217, -0.0275, -0.0457, -0.0308, -0.0245, -0.0147, -0.0136, -0.014, -0.0003, -0.003, 0.0057, 0.0128, -0.0146, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.0033, -0.0048, 0.0083, 0.0014, -0.0083, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.0221, 0.0096, 0.0134, 0.0141, 0.0169, 0.0108, 0.0175, 0.0161, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0327, 0.031, 0.0129, 0.0098, -0.0033, -0.0042, -0.005, -0.0248, -0.0418, -0.033, -0.0321, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.036, -0.0525, -0.0409, -0.036, -0.0307, -0.0405, -0.04, -0.0289, -0.0439, -0.076, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0822, -0.088, -0.0996, -0.1154, -0.1042, -0.0887, -0.0987, -0.082, -0.0778, -0.0751, -0.0733, -0.0864, -0.0757, -0.0817, -0.0741, -0.0613, -0.0623, -0.0415, -0.0346, -0.0433, -0.0509, -0.0363, -0.0434, -0.0323, -0.0314, -0.0469, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0418, -0.0404, -0.0396, -0.0273, -0.0254, -0.0212, -0.0301, -0.0404, -0.0513, -0.0512, -0.0468, -0.0424, -0.0398, -0.0357, -0.0466, -0.0515, -0.0553, -0.0446, -0.0477, -0.0692, -0.0826, -0.11, -0.111, -0.1177, -0.0923, -0.1024, -0.113, -0.1048, -0.1399, -0.1452, -0.1339, -0.1148, -0.1223, -0.1166, -0.1206, -0.15, -0.1464, -0.1517, -0.1396, -0.127, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1312, -0.1191, -0.1081, -0.1034, -0.0855, -0.0747, -0.0738, -0.0796, -0.0723, -0.0411, -0.0545, -0.0591, -0.0615, -0.0607, -0.0604, -0.0753, -0.0738, -0.0859, -0.086]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1255228331512999937", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-28T20:12:09+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the worst of the energy selloff is likely over and why I see highly material upside in energy stocks in the months and quarters ahead", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks; selloff likely over with highly material upside seen over months/quarters ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me live this Friday at 11am ET for an all-access webcast...I'll be discussing why the worst of the energy selloff is likely over and why I see highly material upside in energy stocks in the months and quarters ahead #OOTT https://t.co/IfvzQOsXA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06896571690565312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06896571690565312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04345513502267373, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04345513502267373, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02551058188297939, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02551058188297939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022130700079021515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022130700079021515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012820219147334888, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012820219147334888, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009310480931686627, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009310480931686627, "ret_p1w": -0.06973750305389725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06973750305389725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039179469760804, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039179469760804, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030558033293093256, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030558033293093256, "ret_p1m": 0.002058594482538423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002058594482538423, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031228724264261487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031228724264261487, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03328731874679991, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328731874679991, "ret_p3m": -0.021319814083964106, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.021319814083964106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12852100629653873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12852100629653873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10720119221257463, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10720119221257463, "ret_p6m": -0.19092878573059802, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19092878573059802, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3761274195140455, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3761274195140455, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18519863378344747, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18519863378344747, "ret_p1y": 0.3131572727831944, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3131572727831944, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13274026188116528, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13274026188116528, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.44589753466435966, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44589753466435966, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021319814083964106, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12852100629653873, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12852100629653873, "price_path": [0.3451, 0.3275, 0.3323, 0.3823, 0.3683, 0.3587, 0.3519, 0.367, 0.3854, 0.3811, 0.3738, 0.3738, 0.3625, 0.3806, 0.3791, 0.3627, 0.2998, 0.2424, 0.2049, 0.1405, 0.1395, 0.1855, 0.1493, 0.1765, 0.1334, 0.0697, -0.1457, -0.1052, -0.1525, -0.2582, -0.1898, -0.3, -0.2952, -0.3964, -0.3554, -0.3491, -0.3935, -0.2962, -0.263, -0.218, -0.271, -0.2635, -0.2522, -0.2892, -0.2241, -0.2324, -0.1917, -0.1745, -0.1194, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.1302, -0.1343, -0.175, -0.2102, -0.1264, -0.1536, -0.1686, -0.139, -0.1112, -0.1091, -0.0898, -0.069, 0.0, -0.0221, -0.0775, -0.0455, -0.0448, -0.0697, -0.0455, -0.0021, -0.0196, -0.0368, -0.0805, -0.0703, -0.0739, 0.0018, -0.0262, 0.0126, -0.0036, -0.0098, -0.0098, 0.0178, 0.0309, 0.0021, -0.0026, 0.0149, 0.0432, 0.0739, 0.0741, 0.1539, 0.2059, 0.1606, 0.1034, -0.0005, 0.0247, 0.0278, 0.0574, 0.0214, 0.034, 0.0183, 0.023, 0.024, -0.0328, -0.0143, -0.0484, -0.0357, -0.0135, -0.0375, -0.0268, -0.0268, -0.0239, -0.0549, -0.0557, -0.1024, -0.0737, -0.0787, -0.0463, -0.0258, -0.0302, -0.0437, -0.0596, -0.0028, -0.0151, -0.0169, -0.0224, -0.0213, -0.038, -0.0179, -0.0565, -0.0609, -0.0575, -0.0346, -0.0244, -0.0323, -0.031, -0.001, -0.0044, 0.0055, -0.014, -0.0046, -0.0104, -0.0229, -0.0341, -0.0549, -0.0609, -0.0351, -0.0487, -0.0688, -0.0669, -0.0503, -0.0708, -0.0771, -0.0815, -0.0883, -0.0912, -0.0912, -0.1243, -0.1183, -0.1506, -0.1498, -0.1433, -0.1496, -0.1154, -0.1141, -0.124, -0.153, -0.1618, -0.1997, -0.1999, -0.2005, -0.1817, -0.2042, -0.2066, -0.2309, -0.2235, -0.2002, -0.2121, -0.201, -0.1711, -0.1843, -0.1822, -0.1949, -0.1915, -0.1817, -0.2002, -0.2172, -0.2079, -0.223, -0.1909]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1628469921725222915", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-22T19:00:59+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil stocks", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "heavy oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain very bullish on oil (once seasonal weakness passes and Chinese demand fully normalizes), and believe the best way to benefit from our \"multi-year oil bull market thesis\" is in Canadian heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year oil bull thesis; best expressed via Canadian heavy oil stocks once seasonal weakness and Chinese demand normalize.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "CNQ.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil stocks: ATH, CVE, CNQ", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't look now but the WCS differential just fell to a 9 month low! We remain very bullish on oil (once seasonal weakness passes and Chinese demand fully normalizes), and believe the best way to benefit from our \"multi-year oil bull market thesis\" is in Canadian heavy oil stocks. https://t.co/DeVLugMrku", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007875779767793745, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007875779767793745, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0064957526273399235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011700279382214074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013800271404538211, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705751829572337, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018865388268857048, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018865388268857048, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013546009475170335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003777497544458292, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005319378793686713, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015087890724398756, "ret_p1w": 0.07446102927828635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07446102927828635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08399581307922632, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05254748484435967, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009534783800939972, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02191354443392668, "ret_p1m": -0.018822955770030864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018822955770030864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009113961215295136, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04237015954137817, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009708994554735728, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06119311531140903, "ret_p3m": 0.02031055916781928, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02031055916781928, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0345103140761646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06069245378037742, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05482087324398388, "bench_c_p3m": -0.040381894612558145, "ret_p6m": 0.1995963348689802, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1995963348689802, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09661573344808816, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1261864597582898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10298060142089205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07340987511069041, "ret_p1y": 0.2327787041277077, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2327787041277077, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.043925164509236586, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.19854030499083838, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2767038686369443, "bench_c_p1y": 0.034238399136869324, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2327787041277077, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.043925164509236586, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19854030499083838, "price_path": [0.0668, 0.0528, 0.083, 0.0672, 0.0524, 0.0564, 0.0241, -0.0132, -0.0218, -0.0489, -0.0553, -0.057, -0.0394, -0.0441, -0.0475, -0.0784, -0.0832, -0.0662, -0.0302, -0.0606, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0264, -0.0125, -0.0017, -0.0017, -0.0572, -0.0768, -0.0661, -0.0475, -0.0336, -0.0381, -0.0389, -0.0049, -0.0035, -0.0029, 0.0074, 0.0027, 0.0129, 0.0196, 0.0243, 0.0135, 0.0062, 0.0465, 0.0792, 0.0716, 0.0965, 0.0571, 0.0259, 0.0347, 0.0349, 0.0743, 0.0832, 0.0719, 0.1025, 0.1, 0.0966, 0.0768, 0.0519, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0079, 0.0, 0.0189, 0.0483, 0.0666, 0.0628, 0.0745, 0.1082, 0.126, 0.1331, 0.0988, 0.0996, 0.1013, 0.081, 0.0273, 0.0194, -0.0345, -0.0132, -0.0434, -0.0228, 0.0128, -0.001, -0.0188, -0.0199, 0.0246, 0.0441, 0.0629, 0.0675, 0.0678, 0.1364, 0.1291, 0.1166, 0.1008, 0.1008, 0.1049, 0.1079, 0.1082, 0.1097, 0.121, 0.1231, 0.1395, 0.1308, 0.112, 0.1199, 0.1279, 0.0996, 0.0777, 0.0746, 0.1051, 0.0896, 0.0251, 0.0022, -0.009, 0.0259, 0.0258, 0.0305, 0.0137, -0.014, -0.019, 0.0005, -0.0176, 0.0003, 0.0136, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0374, 0.0406, 0.0152, 0.0202, 0.0304, 0.0048, -0.0145, 0.0041, 0.0282, 0.023, 0.028, 0.0362, 0.0298, 0.0299, -0.0108, 0.0062, -0.0125, -0.0016, -0.0123, -0.0095, -0.0359, -0.0212, -0.0451, -0.0538, -0.0322, -0.0366, -0.0181, -0.0018, 0.0126, 0.0126, 0.025, 0.0218, 0.0103, 0.0371, 0.0393, 0.0835, 0.086, 0.1086, 0.0849, 0.0582, 0.0856, 0.0802, 0.0843, 0.1039, 0.1311, 0.1377, 0.1296, 0.1137, 0.1411, 0.1408, 0.1499, 0.1568, 0.1849, 0.1952, 0.1952, 0.2034, 0.2045, 0.2033, 0.2195, 0.2131, 0.1858, 0.1883, 0.1996]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1083711696546553856", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-01-11T13:06:17+00:00", "symbol": "XOM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil set to rally further on OPEC+ cuts, low Iranian exports, and no demand slowdown per XOM/MPC/PSX signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beyond heavy technical/algo/quant selling oil has been weak due to global demand growth concerns and Iranian waivers. With 1.2MM+ Bbl/d OPEC+ cut AND low Iranian exports AND no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)  oil is set to further rally. https://t.co/wQTyOh5yK1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004601243477653449, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004601243477653449, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004987451102715035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0013660044413330574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00038620762506158535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005967247918986507, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012546878199972689, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0012546878199972689, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004845868584381519, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0011640248618181026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0061005564043787874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024187126818153715, "ret_p1w": 0.01770803292773726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01770803292773726, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01117430624887783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011803514671147042, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02888233917661509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029511547598884302, "ret_p1m": 0.04465527319668583, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04465527319668583, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00029032073204349196, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024819513018468742, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04494559392872932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019835760178217088, "ret_p3m": 0.14982559309394028, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14982559309394028, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.031747752188358014, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05551700183569119, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11807784090558227, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09430859125824909, "ret_p6m": 0.0905673986263591, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0905673986263591, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06619085379431988, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05433524614834084, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15675825242067898, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036232152478018254, "ret_p1y": 0.01954979911262056, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.01954979911262056, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24678210610431583, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.013892539786970692, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2663319052169364, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03344233889959125, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04465527319668583, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00029032073204349196, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024819513018468742, "price_path": [0.1208, 0.125, 0.1298, 0.1314, 0.1201, 0.102, 0.0714, 0.0809, 0.0702, 0.0635, 0.0874, 0.0998, 0.1135, 0.1312, 0.1269, 0.1317, 0.1461, 0.1279, 0.1276, 0.1131, 0.0876, 0.0791, 0.0902, 0.1009, 0.1046, 0.0732, 0.0814, 0.0814, 0.0526, 0.0733, 0.0743, 0.0938, 0.1023, 0.1085, 0.1325, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.093, 0.0825, 0.0672, 0.0692, 0.06, 0.0733, 0.0538, 0.0323, 0.0039, -0.0131, -0.0431, -0.0502, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0429, -0.0388, -0.0495, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0283, -0.0432, -0.0079, -0.0028, 0.0045, 0.0098, 0.0046, 0.0, -0.0013, -0.0007, -0.0011, 0.0057, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0024, -0.0059, -0.0045, 0.0, -0.0067, -0.0029, 0.0079, 0.0218, 0.0586, 0.0432, 0.054, 0.0494, 0.0413, 0.043, 0.0447, 0.063, 0.075, 0.0752, 0.0955, 0.0955, 0.1029, 0.1071, 0.0971, 0.1056, 0.1067, 0.1089, 0.1204, 0.1142, 0.1278, 0.1322, 0.1305, 0.1177, 0.1301, 0.1139, 0.1247, 0.1278, 0.1378, 0.134, 0.1299, 0.1431, 0.1401, 0.1464, 0.1531, 0.1346, 0.1267, 0.1414, 0.1326, 0.1383, 0.1391, 0.1522, 0.1473, 0.1405, 0.1567, 0.1629, 0.1701, 0.155, 0.1498, 0.1553, 0.1408, 0.137, 0.1448, 0.148, 0.1438, 0.1438, 0.1687, 0.1755, 0.1526, 0.1591, 0.1347, 0.1274, 0.1318, 0.1091, 0.0896, 0.0922, 0.0874, 0.0816, 0.0833, 0.0823, 0.0917, 0.0796, 0.081, 0.089, 0.0889, 0.0824, 0.0823, 0.0873, 0.0774, 0.0522, 0.0566, 0.0566, 0.0354, 0.029, 0.0263, 0.0091, 0.025, 0.0494, 0.0407, 0.0596, 0.0635, 0.0682, 0.0672, 0.0556, 0.0649, 0.0602, 0.0707, 0.08, 0.074, 0.0924, 0.1078, 0.0973, 0.0876, 0.0923, 0.0812, 0.0927, 0.0917, 0.0797, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0856, 0.0906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1083711696546553856", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2019-01-11T13:06:17+00:00", "symbol": "MPC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil set to rally further on OPEC+ cuts, low Iranian exports, and no demand slowdown per XOM/MPC/PSX signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["MPC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beyond heavy technical/algo/quant selling oil has been weak due to global demand growth concerns and Iranian waivers. With 1.2MM+ Bbl/d OPEC+ cut AND low Iranian exports AND no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)  oil is set to further rally. https://t.co/wQTyOh5yK1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01911521708427444, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01911521708427444, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018729009459212853, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025082465003260945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00038620762506158535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005967247918986507, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00015408667353100647, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00015408667353100647, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006254643077909794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002572799355346378, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0061005564043787874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024187126818153715, "ret_p1w": 0.018806746559443033, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018806746559443033, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010075592617172058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01070480103944127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02888233917661509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029511547598884302, "ret_p1m": -0.04855869896166831, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04855869896166831, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09350429289039763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0683944591398854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04494559392872932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019835760178217088, "ret_p3m": -0.011536663898703337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.011536663898703337, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1296145048042856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10584525515695242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11807784090558227, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09430859125824909, "ret_p6m": -0.14663954721400674, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14663954721400674, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3033977996346857, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.182871699692025, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15675825242067898, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036232152478018254, "ret_p1y": -0.03529996418264936, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03529996418264936, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30163186939958575, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06874230308224061, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2663319052169364, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03344233889959125, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04855869896166831, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09350429289039763, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0683944591398854, "price_path": [0.2254, 0.2113, 0.2062, 0.1312, 0.1345, 0.1032, 0.0416, 0.0706, 0.0538, 0.0289, 0.0529, 0.0781, 0.0878, 0.0634, 0.0676, 0.0463, 0.0685, 0.0361, 0.0281, 0.0085, -0.018, -0.023, 0.0002, 0.0015, -0.0296, -0.0459, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.0484, -0.0106, -0.0174, 0.0063, 0.0005, 0.0045, -0.0032, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0203, -0.051, -0.06, -0.0544, -0.0436, -0.0424, -0.0771, -0.093, -0.0911, -0.0962, -0.1148, -0.1253, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.1005, -0.0889, -0.1022, -0.0903, -0.0903, -0.0806, -0.094, -0.0496, -0.0402, -0.0308, -0.01, -0.0191, 0.0, 0.0002, -0.0083, -0.0082, 0.0142, 0.0188, 0.0188, -0.0008, -0.0003, -0.0271, -0.0122, -0.0177, -0.0113, 0.0071, 0.0214, 0.0092, 0.016, 0.0356, 0.0308, -0.018, -0.0331, -0.0486, -0.0462, -0.0188, -0.0128, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0104, 0.0119, 0.0049, 0.0105, 0.0063, 0.0038, -0.0146, -0.0362, -0.0258, -0.0362, -0.0549, -0.0686, -0.0855, -0.1063, -0.0799, -0.0852, -0.0742, -0.0723, -0.0605, -0.0352, -0.0359, -0.0335, -0.0241, -0.0473, -0.0493, -0.037, -0.0335, -0.0527, -0.0698, -0.0512, -0.0687, -0.0616, -0.0465, -0.0136, -0.0153, -0.0339, -0.0115, -0.0192, -0.0428, -0.0591, -0.0672, -0.0638, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0499, -0.051, -0.0753, -0.0574, -0.0614, -0.0521, -0.054, -0.0683, -0.0878, -0.0681, -0.0754, -0.0763, -0.1416, -0.1769, -0.1739, -0.2117, -0.2025, -0.1961, -0.1699, -0.1842, -0.1815, -0.1633, -0.1846, -0.2126, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2305, -0.2307, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2599, -0.2385, -0.2511, -0.2446, -0.2621, -0.2512, -0.2498, -0.2624, -0.2478, -0.2468, -0.2351, -0.2204, -0.2201, -0.1842, -0.173, -0.1897, -0.193, -0.1487, -0.1462, -0.1225, -0.1344, -0.1443, -0.147, -0.147, -0.1383, -0.1466]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1083711696546553856", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2019-01-11T13:06:17+00:00", "symbol": "PSX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil set to rally further on OPEC+ cuts, low Iranian exports, and no demand slowdown per XOM/MPC/PSX signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beyond heavy technical/algo/quant selling oil has been weak due to global demand growth concerns and Iranian waivers. With 1.2MM+ Bbl/d OPEC+ cut AND low Iranian exports AND no signs of slowing growth (source:XOM, MPC, PSX)  oil is set to further rally. https://t.co/wQTyOh5yK1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0026969209329918975, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0026969209329918975, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003083128558053483, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032703269859946094, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00038620762506158535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005967247918986507, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015102579730061905, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015102579730061905, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007610814377384978, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003928970654821562, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0061005564043787874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024187126818153715, "ret_p1w": 0.028158201907757308, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028158201907757308, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.000724137268857783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0013533456911269948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02888233917661509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029511547598884302, "ret_p1m": 0.016613947044902044, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016613947044902044, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028331646883827277, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0032218131333150435, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04494559392872932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019835760178217088, "ret_p3m": 0.07284138164531817, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07284138164531817, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.045236459260264095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.021467209612930915, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11807784090558227, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09430859125824909, "ret_p6m": 0.06575290919349297, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06575290919349297, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09100534322718601, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.029520756715474716, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15675825242067898, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036232152478018254, "ret_p1y": 0.24522012337212407, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.24522012337212407, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.021111781844812327, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21177778447253282, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2663319052169364, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03344233889959125, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016613947044902044, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.028331646883827277, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0032218131333150435, "price_path": [0.1754, 0.1638, 0.1675, 0.0995, 0.1036, 0.0678, 0.0196, 0.0537, 0.064, 0.0541, 0.0919, 0.1001, 0.0966, 0.0593, 0.0755, 0.0793, 0.1033, 0.0557, 0.0671, 0.045, 0.0143, 0.0228, 0.0296, 0.0423, 0.0238, -0.0016, 0.0104, 0.0104, -0.0398, -0.0067, -0.0154, -0.0006, -0.0001, 0.009, -0.0065, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.001, -0.0252, -0.0415, -0.0461, -0.0371, -0.0416, -0.0632, -0.0737, -0.0859, -0.0812, -0.1069, -0.1112, -0.1531, -0.1531, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0834, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0493, -0.0625, -0.02, -0.0132, -0.014, -0.0076, 0.0027, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.0026, 0.0032, 0.0079, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0033, -0.0006, -0.0147, 0.0036, -0.0021, 0.0071, 0.0199, 0.0293, 0.0164, 0.0223, 0.0268, 0.0187, -0.0102, 0.009, 0.0166, 0.0141, 0.037, 0.0319, 0.0443, 0.0443, 0.0526, 0.0602, 0.0533, 0.0592, 0.0585, 0.0645, 0.0623, 0.0484, 0.0605, 0.0584, 0.0603, 0.0619, 0.0493, 0.0261, 0.0517, 0.0596, 0.0671, 0.0713, 0.0719, 0.074, 0.0759, 0.0682, 0.0722, 0.0442, 0.0429, 0.0664, 0.0583, 0.0409, 0.0354, 0.0343, 0.0283, 0.034, 0.0538, 0.0639, 0.0695, 0.0594, 0.0728, 0.0718, 0.0572, 0.0471, 0.0442, 0.0495, 0.0381, 0.0381, 0.0568, 0.0597, 0.0257, 0.036, 0.0327, 0.0375, 0.0256, -0.0008, -0.0306, -0.0256, -0.0531, -0.0584, -0.0654, -0.0671, -0.0573, -0.0666, -0.0543, -0.0502, -0.0393, -0.0678, -0.071, -0.053, -0.0591, -0.0957, -0.0884, -0.0884, -0.093, -0.0904, -0.098, -0.1119, -0.0965, -0.0754, -0.0676, -0.0668, -0.06, -0.0558, -0.0689, -0.0849, -0.0631, -0.0592, -0.0557, -0.0459, -0.0371, -0.0016, -0.0044, -0.0134, -0.0126, 0.0196, 0.0085, 0.0282, 0.0339, 0.0521, 0.0664, 0.0664, 0.064, 0.0658]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1329775362604216324", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-20T13:15:27+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks = the place to be in 2021", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian energy stocks as the place to be for energy investors in 2021, driven by peak supply thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "12ET today I'll be on @marketcall talking about how the fear of peak demand is leading us to the reality of peak supply + why Canadian energy stocks = the place to be in 2021.  Despite 3 little ones at home today (PD day) it will beat having to go on for this show in April!!! https://t.co/qW0Q4aSvuC\n\n---\n\nHere is a link to the show...I tried to cover everything from peak renewable hype to why Canada will be the place to be for energy investors in 2021 to current thoughts on natural gas and short-term strategy. Have a great weekend to all!!! https://t.co/Ywz7TJMKMK https://t.co/zz8p0pC68M", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00946980650569218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00946980650569218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016364839404412468, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016364839404412468, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006895032898720288, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006895032898720288, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07007581142242447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07007581142242447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06408124647240965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06408124647240965, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005994564950014825, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005994564950014825, "ret_p1w": 0.11174252763621406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11174252763621406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08827115744901337, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08827115744901337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02347137018720069, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02347137018720069, "ret_p1m": 0.10416657432884646, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10416657432884646, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06449057972590988, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06449057972590988, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03967599460293658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03967599460293658, "ret_p3m": 0.32692604351376087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32692604351376087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2179213362316259, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2179213362316259, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10900470728213496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10900470728213496, "ret_p6m": 0.6028696108179783, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6028696108179783, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4246465373250994, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4246465373250994, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17822307349287891, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17822307349287891, "ret_p1y": 1.1005851281012942, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.1005851281012942, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7667157203208768, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7667157203208768, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3338694077804174, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3338694077804174, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10416657432884646, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06449057972590988, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06449057972590988, "price_path": [0.0055, -0.0151, -0.017, -0.0113, -0.0414, -0.032, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.1314, -0.1202, -0.1389, -0.1408, -0.1445, -0.1502, -0.122, -0.1295, -0.137, -0.1746, -0.1633, -0.1877, -0.1742, -0.1932, -0.1648, -0.1989, -0.2064, -0.2348, -0.2273, -0.2064, -0.2083, -0.1913, -0.1515, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1723, -0.1742, -0.1723, -0.1856, -0.1913, -0.1818, -0.1989, -0.1667, -0.1648, -0.1932, -0.1951, -0.2273, -0.2273, -0.2178, -0.2027, -0.1856, -0.1875, -0.1856, -0.197, -0.0682, -0.0417, -0.0322, -0.0871, -0.0739, -0.0265, -0.0114, -0.0038, -0.0095, 0.0, 0.0701, 0.1174, 0.1098, 0.1061, 0.1117, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0663, 0.0739, 0.1345, 0.125, 0.1383, 0.1364, 0.1799, 0.1818, 0.1553, 0.1667, 0.1383, 0.1402, 0.1326, 0.1042, 0.0833, 0.1288, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.1155, 0.1349, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1292, 0.2129, 0.2243, 0.2452, 0.2281, 0.2205, 0.2452, 0.2281, 0.2566, 0.2091, 0.1901, 0.2129, 0.2129, 0.1939, 0.171, 0.171, 0.1292, 0.1216, 0.1292, 0.1064, 0.1482, 0.152, 0.192, 0.2015, 0.2129, 0.2414, 0.2338, 0.2566, 0.2547, 0.2794, 0.2794, 0.3155, 0.3269, 0.3098, 0.3117, 0.3783, 0.3897, 0.4201, 0.3783, 0.3535, 0.3687, 0.3783, 0.4125, 0.4486, 0.498, 0.4828, 0.4809, 0.536, 0.5512, 0.5551, 0.5379, 0.4866, 0.5094, 0.4315, 0.4619, 0.4353, 0.3802, 0.4277, 0.4309, 0.4596, 0.4405, 0.45, 0.4386, 0.4863, 0.4863, 0.45, 0.4634, 0.4558, 0.4558, 0.4405, 0.4328, 0.4195, 0.4749, 0.4672, 0.4539, 0.4481, 0.3908, 0.4023, 0.3851, 0.3985, 0.4004, 0.4118, 0.4558, 0.4691, 0.4539, 0.4978, 0.4902, 0.5284, 0.5436, 0.5723, 0.5513, 0.5322, 0.5513, 0.5188, 0.5608, 0.6029]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1181265275531993088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-10-07T17:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bodes well for US fund flows to return to Canadian E&P=re-rate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P sector: Warren's anti-energy policies would redirect US fund flows northward, catalyzing a re-rate.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eurasia group, a trusted advisor,calling Elizabeth Warren most likely to win the Democratic nomination. Her anti-energy policies (frac ban, ending oil exports) make our beloved leader look like a pro-energy crusader...bodes well for US fund flows to return to Canadian E&P=re-rate https://t.co/g2W90Y3fCJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001211065524813204, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001211065524813204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0031221228116691258, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0031221228116691258, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00433318833648233, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00433318833648233, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03753021691017566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03753021691017566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022005210563939448, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022005210563939448, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015525006346236214, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015525006346236214, "ret_p1w": -0.012106528590138166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012106528590138166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021899025844682618, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021899025844682618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009792497254544452, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009792497254544452, "ret_p1m": 0.02905601612437314, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02905601612437314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018541614293500652, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018541614293500652, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04759763041787379, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04759763041787379, "ret_p3m": 0.1338648034443839, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1338648034443839, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01994639961124567, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01994639961124567, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11391840383313823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11391840383313823, "ret_p6m": -0.5199437398960227, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5199437398960227, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4089170671546788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4089170671546788, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.11102667274134392, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11102667274134392, "ret_p1y": -0.4559875635559629, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4559875635559629, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5781358649917065, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5781358649917065, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12214830143574362, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12214830143574362, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02905601612437314, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018541614293500652, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018541614293500652, "price_path": [0.0967, 0.0979, 0.0967, 0.0918, 0.0738, 0.0606, 0.0425, 0.051, 0.057, 0.0618, 0.051, 0.0197, 0.0113, -0.0068, 0.0173, 0.0293, 0.0065, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0392, -0.044, -0.0284, -0.0248, -0.038, -0.0284, -0.0609, -0.0681, -0.0597, -0.0356, -0.0488, -0.0392, -0.0452, -0.0753, -0.0741, -0.0789, -0.05, -0.0248, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0392, -0.0308, -0.0056, -0.0092, 0.0125, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0413, 0.0498, 0.1448, 0.1195, 0.1039, 0.0991, 0.1051, 0.1039, 0.0847, 0.0787, 0.0726, 0.0678, 0.0581, 0.023, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0012, 0.0, -0.0375, -0.0412, -0.0315, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0169, -0.0218, -0.0194, -0.0291, -0.0194, -0.0169, -0.0121, -0.0206, -0.0097, -0.0182, -0.0133, -0.0254, -0.0448, -0.0145, 0.0169, 0.0291, 0.0121, 0.0557, 0.0581, 0.0557, 0.046, 0.0412, 0.0363, 0.0484, 0.0327, 0.0194, 0.0266, 0.0363, 0.0303, 0.04, 0.0278, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0206, 0.0157, -0.0012, 0.023, 0.0157, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.069, 0.0605, 0.0847, 0.0835, 0.0908, 0.1102, 0.1077, 0.1259, 0.1199, 0.1368, 0.138, 0.138, 0.138, 0.138, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1339, 0.1424, 0.1668, 0.1656, 0.1436, 0.1534, 0.1461, 0.1363, 0.14, 0.129, 0.1278, 0.118, 0.1168, 0.1009, 0.0924, 0.0863, 0.0667, 0.0387, 0.0435, 0.046, 0.0448, 0.0143, 0.0057, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0326, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0167, 0.0277, 0.0216, 0.0204, 0.0204, 0.0228, 0.0423, 0.0448, 0.0277, -0.0138, -0.0419, -0.07, -0.0907, -0.0993, -0.0968, -0.1261, -0.12, -0.1432, -0.1969, -0.4141, -0.4056, -0.4508, -0.5386, -0.4898, -0.5826, -0.618, -0.6631, -0.646, -0.6399, -0.6522, -0.6131, -0.5834, -0.5883, -0.6269, -0.5821, -0.5199]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1042389423877488640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-09-19T12:26:19+00:00", "symbol": "Encana", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why would anyone want to own an oil stock trading at 15%+ free cash flow yields at today's oil price when they can buy that???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish Tilray at 170x earnings vs bullish Encana at 15%+ FCF yield; oil stock far more attractive.", "resolved_tickers": ["OVV"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Encana rebranded to Ovintiv (OVV) in 2020", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tilray now has the same market cap as @encana ... it is trading at modest 170x 2021 earnings. Why would anyone want to own an oil stock trading at 15%+ free cash flow yields at today's oil price when they can buy that???", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011093169138837733, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011093169138837733, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0100285535355491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008030085449754809, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010646156032886323, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003063083689082924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015849087016464036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015849087016464036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006518707272687552, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0013190879737177141, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008103615974333955, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0002658207279286895, "ret_p1w": 0.03328062470340698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03328062470340698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033376130804877446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015008808146005581, "bench_spy_p1w": -9.550610147046612e-05, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0182718165574014, "ret_p1m": -0.11965129625018411, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11965129625018411, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07305819013794712, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0872441051992533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04659310611223699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03240719105093082, "ret_p3m": -0.5448785468179334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5448785468179334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42571048405826506, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3621773880539312, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.11916806275966829, "bench_c_p3m": -0.18270115876400217, "ret_p6m": -0.4234398894809599, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4234398894809599, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39892905721198635, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3172644452280683, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.024510832268973548, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1061754442528916, "ret_p1y": -0.6378090331751528, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6378090331751528, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6815047863883311, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.45024907166485084, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.04369575321317831, "bench_c_p1y": -0.18755996151030196, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11965129625018411, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07305819013794712, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0872441051992533, "price_path": [0.0106, -0.0202, 0.0114, 0.0542, 0.036, 0.0328, 0.0035, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0067, 0.013, 0.0289, 0.0439, 0.017, 0.0217, 0.0478, 0.0091, 0.0289, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0114, 0.0233, 0.0478, 0.0415, 0.0376, 0.0676, 0.0637, 0.1096, 0.1246, 0.0858, 0.0977, 0.0843, 0.0716, 0.0653, 0.07, 0.0407, 0.0486, 0.0012, -0.0068, -0.0052, -0.0115, 0.0027, 0.0241, 0.013, 0.0281, 0.0344, 0.0289, 0.0558, 0.0613, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.0304, 0.0249, -0.0099, -0.0313, -0.0495, -0.0297, -0.0289, -0.042, -0.0357, -0.0571, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0016, 0.0024, 0.0357, 0.0515, 0.0333, 0.042, 0.0388, 0.0681, 0.0444, 0.0674, 0.0309, 0.0127, -0.0079, -0.0008, -0.0705, -0.1022, -0.1054, -0.1046, -0.1022, -0.1101, -0.1197, -0.1133, -0.1086, -0.1553, -0.1918, -0.1648, -0.1878, -0.2147, -0.2044, -0.1886, -0.29, -0.3225, -0.2964, -0.3098, -0.3043, -0.3098, -0.2987, -0.3336, -0.3582, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.3962, -0.3978, -0.4406, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.4358, -0.4422, -0.4556, -0.454, -0.4477, -0.4675, -0.4366, -0.4651, -0.4651, -0.4873, -0.4905, -0.5063, -0.5111, -0.4992, -0.506, -0.5385, -0.5449, -0.5568, -0.5465, -0.5592, -0.5727, -0.5941, -0.5941, -0.5401, -0.5385, -0.5377, -0.5409, -0.5409, -0.525, -0.5195, -0.5052, -0.5012, -0.4909, -0.4845, -0.4742, -0.4647, -0.4567, -0.4535, -0.4535, -0.4504, -0.44, -0.44, -0.4639, -0.4647, -0.4504, -0.4456, -0.4504, -0.4551, -0.444, -0.4535, -0.4535, -0.4432, -0.4599, -0.4655, -0.4996, -0.5147, -0.5155, -0.5147, -0.4917, -0.4805, -0.4519, -0.4519, -0.4591, -0.4519, -0.4535, -0.4527, -0.44, -0.448, -0.4527, -0.4241, -0.4234, -0.4249, -0.421, -0.4456, -0.4591, -0.471, -0.4567, -0.4353, -0.421, -0.4234]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1601232837067145216", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-12-09T15:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks are profoundly mispriced", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remain bullish on oil and energy stocks for 2023: recessionary fears overblown, shale disappointment, falling inventories, stocks mispriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our call for YE'22 $100WTI was clearly wrong. We remain bullish on oil and oil stocks for 2023 because we believe:\n1) Recessionary fears on oil are overblown\n2) US shale will continue to disappoint\n3) Oil inventories will continue to fall\n4) Energy stocks are profoundly mispriced", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024915529268040082, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024915529268040082, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0173891105274957, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0173891105274957, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007526418740544383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007526418740544383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02624572712757134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02624572712757134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011828297406442534, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011828297406442534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014417429721128805, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014417429721128805, "ret_p1w": 0.020319403283647564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020319403283647564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.041296804186180314, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041296804186180314, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02097740090253275, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02097740090253275, "ret_p1m": 0.06614200347718935, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06614200347718935, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07539477322156662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07539477322156662, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009252769744377276, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009252769744377276, "ret_p3m": 0.037426576599174144, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037426576599174144, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01842768941657824, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01842768941657824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018998887182595903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018998887182595903, "ret_p6m": -0.020024842408373766, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020024842408373766, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11517036452790674, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11517036452790674, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09514552211953298, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09514552211953298, "ret_p1y": 0.06215338333182219, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06215338333182219, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11281534027840623, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11281534027840623, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17496872361022842, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17496872361022842, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06614200347718935, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07539477322156662, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07539477322156662, "price_path": [-0.0427, -0.0157, -0.0411, -0.0615, -0.061, -0.0675, -0.0812, -0.0844, -0.1476, -0.1685, -0.1592, -0.1219, -0.1219, -0.1289, -0.0797, -0.0402, -0.0203, -0.0029, -0.0106, -0.031, -0.0387, -0.031, 0.0086, -0.029, -0.0169, -0.0083, 0.0209, 0.0219, 0.0514, 0.0564, 0.0575, 0.0718, 0.0757, 0.0795, 0.0885, 0.0991, 0.0726, 0.0924, 0.1057, 0.1247, 0.1258, 0.0708, 0.0946, 0.1264, 0.126, 0.1379, 0.1147, 0.1171, 0.1082, 0.0933, 0.1275, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.1112, 0.0807, 0.097, 0.1024, 0.0988, 0.0923, 0.0599, 0.0319, 0.0295, 0.0249, 0.0, 0.0262, 0.0457, 0.0393, 0.033, 0.0203, 0.0202, 0.0356, 0.0553, 0.031, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0752, 0.0511, 0.0621, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.0313, 0.0312, 0.05, 0.0699, 0.0661, 0.0737, 0.077, 0.0975, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.1015, 0.0813, 0.0947, 0.1056, 0.1071, 0.1028, 0.1029, 0.1377, 0.1148, 0.0892, 0.0989, 0.0773, 0.0527, 0.0504, 0.0456, 0.0796, 0.0699, 0.0608, 0.1023, 0.0995, 0.0999, 0.0812, 0.0705, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0273, 0.0204, 0.0358, 0.0345, 0.0375, 0.0226, 0.0428, 0.052, 0.0663, 0.0668, 0.0482, 0.0374, 0.0228, 0.0097, -0.0108, -0.0011, -0.0547, -0.0444, -0.0595, -0.0406, -0.0074, -0.0285, -0.042, -0.0383, -0.0178, -0.0026, 0.0112, 0.0157, 0.0227, 0.069, 0.0496, 0.0654, 0.0492, 0.0492, 0.0576, 0.0676, 0.0684, 0.075, 0.077, 0.0643, 0.0685, 0.0648, 0.0554, 0.0492, 0.0653, 0.0453, 0.0313, 0.035, 0.0511, 0.0392, -0.0059, -0.0247, -0.0356, -0.0094, -0.0094, -0.009, -0.0203, -0.032, -0.0305, -0.0256, -0.0495, -0.0313, -0.0242, -0.0167, -0.0208, -0.0103, -0.0059, -0.0236, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0374, -0.0543, -0.0426, -0.0135, -0.02]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1541842818175574024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-28T17:55:48+00:00", "symbol": "Ninepoint Energy Fund", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we estimate the average holding of the Ninepoint Energy Fund to be trading at 1.9X EV/CF at $100WTI (and a 34% FCF yield). Which sounds better to you???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bearish ARKK (69x EV/EBITDA overvalued) vs bullish Ninepoint Energy Fund (1.9x EV/CF, 34% FCF yield) as the better value.", "resolved_tickers": ["NNRG.NE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Ninepoint Energy Fund / ETF on NEO Exchange", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='NE')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So Cathie Wood of ARK Innovation says her average tech holding is trading at 69X EV/EBITDA, while we estimate the average holding of the Ninepoint Energy Fund to be trading at 1.9X EV/CF at $100WTI (and a 34% FCF yield). Which sounds better to you??? https://t.co/txUcd8LZji", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04862612135997901, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04862612135997901, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06948534612045631, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06948534612045631, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020859224760477302, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020859224760477302, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05713023204215928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05713023204215928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05631607565867047, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05631607565867047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008141563834888066, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008141563834888066, "ret_p1w": -0.13759267563039934, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13759267563039934, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14103421783543624, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14103421783543624, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003441542205036896, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003441542205036896, "ret_p1m": -0.06105530659750735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06105530659750735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11462175191531931, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11462175191531931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05356644531781196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05356644531781196, "ret_p3m": -0.1522021678150226, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1522021678150226, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1228091061719705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1228091061719705, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02939306164305211, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02939306164305211, "ret_p6m": -0.024422085349676048, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024422085349676048, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.047927676885621495, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047927676885621495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.023505591535945447, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023505591535945447, "ret_p1y": -0.006014022651401607, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.006014022651401607, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18337610535302074, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18337610535302074, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17736208270161913, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17736208270161913, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06105530659750735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11462175191531931, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11462175191531931, "price_path": [-0.0796, -0.0654, -0.0517, -0.0728, -0.0951, -0.0816, -0.0502, -0.0798, -0.058, -0.0342, -0.0188, -0.0188, 0.0233, 0.0011, 0.0203, -0.0155, -0.0488, -0.0752, -0.0661, -0.0427, -0.0096, -0.0275, -0.0416, 0.0059, 0.0401, 0.0216, 0.0188, -0.0746, -0.082, -0.073, -0.0922, -0.0427, -0.0194, -0.0028, -0.0222, -0.0159, -0.0164, -0.0164, 0.0133, 0.0569, 0.0617, 0.0794, 0.1127, 0.0861, 0.1064, 0.1208, 0.1522, 0.1829, 0.2331, 0.2471, 0.2353, 0.2141, 0.1786, 0.1417, 0.1241, 0.068, -0.0126, 0.0192, 0.048, -0.0406, -0.1324, -0.0874, -0.0486, 0.0, -0.0571, -0.0846, -0.0846, -0.0471, -0.1376, -0.1808, -0.1007, -0.1147, -0.1363, -0.1729, -0.1751, -0.1923, -0.1738, -0.1173, -0.0905, -0.0796, -0.1116, -0.1334, -0.0898, -0.0975, -0.0611, -0.0471, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0506, -0.1088, -0.1585, -0.1243, -0.1097, -0.1079, -0.0994, -0.048, -0.0434, -0.0587, -0.0861, -0.0698, -0.0336, -0.043, -0.0399, -0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0063, -0.0081, 0.0233, -0.0129, -0.0198, -0.0552, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0545, -0.0994, -0.0968, -0.0602, -0.0458, -0.0471, -0.0072, -0.0327, -0.0358, -0.0216, -0.0266, -0.0438, -0.0733, -0.1522, -0.1991, -0.1749, -0.1282, -0.126, -0.1334, -0.0824, -0.0388, -0.0083, 0.0229, 0.0314, 0.0314, -0.0225, -0.0246, 0.0033, -0.0297, -0.0362, -0.0382, -0.0122, 0.01, 0.022, 0.0497, 0.0528, 0.0842, 0.0818, 0.0831, 0.1055, 0.1191, 0.1025, 0.1328, 0.1321, 0.138, 0.1269, 0.0768, 0.0966, 0.1223, 0.1014, 0.1177, 0.0844, 0.068, 0.07, 0.0491, 0.075, 0.0613, 0.0643, 0.0665, 0.0532, 0.075, 0.0792, 0.0615, 0.0687, 0.0388, -0.0076, -0.0198, -0.0388, -0.0549, -0.0451, -0.0386, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0569, -0.0744, -0.065, -0.0244]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1430873450915246085", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-26T12:43:09+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe we stand on the cusp of meaningful returns back to shareholders leading to a sector rerating...too many oil stocks trading ~ 2.0-2.5x EV/CF where target prices embedding 10%-15% FCF yields would equate to a more than a doubling in the share price", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil sector: stocks at 2-2.5x EV/CF are deeply undervalued; FCF-yield-based targets imply >2x upside and a sector rerating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global oil sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I believe we stand on the cusp of meaningful returns back to shareholders leading to a sector rerating...too many oil stocks trading ~ 2.0-2.5x EV/CF where target prices embedding 10%-15% FCF yields would equate to a more than a doubling in the share price. https://t.co/NlxOCZ13AK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015407119096785715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015407119096785715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009468871962715397, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009468871962715397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005938247134070318, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005938247134070318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026650003674825395, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026650003674825395, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017709135094522432, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017709135094522432, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008940868580302963, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008940868580302963, "ret_p1w": 0.018113625599712968, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018113625599712968, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0025845488567286523, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0025845488567286523, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015529076742984316, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015529076742984316, "ret_p1m": 0.07262958867211666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07262958867211666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07470871956635683, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07470871956635683, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0020791308942401665, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0020791308942401665, "ret_p3m": 0.20855215570362695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20855215570362695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15604937516071327, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15604937516071327, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052502780542913685, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052502780542913685, "ret_p6m": 0.45260435392550336, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.45260435392550336, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47301499851519446, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47301499851519446, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.020410644589691107, "bench_c_p6m": -0.020410644589691107, "ret_p1y": 0.6766757179932408, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6766757179932408, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7020028879114154, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7020028879114154, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.02532716991817463, "bench_c_p1y": -0.02532716991817463, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07262958867211666, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07470871956635683, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07470871956635683, "price_path": [0.076, 0.1175, 0.1383, 0.1414, 0.149, 0.144, 0.1539, 0.1467, 0.1453, 0.1414, 0.1364, 0.1581, 0.1519, 0.1127, 0.0797, 0.1258, 0.1333, 0.1364, 0.1462, 0.1522, 0.1133, 0.1078, 0.1216, 0.1412, 0.1387, 0.1387, 0.1016, 0.0837, 0.0775, 0.1004, 0.0987, 0.0904, 0.0579, 0.0431, 0.0135, -0.0223, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0139, 0.0102, 0.0352, 0.0256, 0.035, 0.045, 0.0283, 0.0206, 0.0381, 0.01, 0.0214, 0.0308, 0.0162, 0.0341, 0.0423, 0.0412, 0.0289, 0.01, -0.0004, -0.0212, -0.0466, -0.0446, -0.0087, 0.0077, 0.0154, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.0146, 0.0077, -0.0071, 0.0181, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0062, -0.0067, -0.0046, -0.005, 0.0235, 0.0087, 0.0464, 0.0346, 0.0269, -0.0045, -0.0022, 0.0286, 0.0646, 0.0726, 0.1108, 0.1146, 0.1146, 0.0977, 0.1346, 0.1531, 0.1599, 0.1477, 0.1565, 0.1921, 0.1877, 0.1887, 0.1877, 0.2022, 0.2081, 0.209, 0.2227, 0.2326, 0.2098, 0.2212, 0.2391, 0.2463, 0.2104, 0.2191, 0.2111, 0.2319, 0.2204, 0.2102, 0.2119, 0.2277, 0.2389, 0.244, 0.2111, 0.2157, 0.2128, 0.2229, 0.2248, 0.206, 0.1989, 0.1521, 0.1725, 0.2086, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.1713, 0.178, 0.1504, 0.1382, 0.1713, 0.162, 0.1793, 0.2069, 0.2067, 0.1974, 0.2062, 0.1727, 0.1679, 0.1622, 0.1696, 0.1458, 0.1316, 0.1638, 0.1713, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.1975, 0.1967, 0.189, 0.1817, 0.1847, 0.2214, 0.2637, 0.2635, 0.2917, 0.3094, 0.3053, 0.3497, 0.3523, 0.3454, 0.377, 0.377, 0.3826, 0.3726, 0.36, 0.3331, 0.342, 0.3941, 0.3918, 0.4069, 0.4009, 0.4071, 0.4573, 0.462, 0.4481, 0.4707, 0.4895, 0.4575, 0.4697, 0.4605, 0.503, 0.4675, 0.4522, 0.4639, 0.4616, 0.4526]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1516028302120599556", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-04-18T12:18:08+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks (still) represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on oil (structural bull market) and energy stocks as a generational buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was happy to join @SullyCNBC this morning on CNBC to discuss the structural bull market in oil and why energy stocks (still) represent a generational opportunity. https://t.co/EICPsTBd1Q https://t.co/Wtz7O3XolL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014440591631181054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014440591631181054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01402963029608173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01402963029608173, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00041096133509932464, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00041096133509932464, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008146094229365075, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008146094229365075, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024288752671306812, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024288752671306812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016142658441941737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016142658441941737, "ret_p1w": -0.09059475708477682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09059475708477682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06899517127135946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06899517127135946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021599585813417366, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021599585813417366, "ret_p1m": 0.03517676416633009, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03517676416633009, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10287544622562561, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10287544622562561, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06769868205929552, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06769868205929552, "ret_p3m": -0.1576542221749334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1576542221749334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024248853404327808, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.024248853404327808, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1334053687706056, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1334053687706056, "ret_p6m": 0.0028093043796999506, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0028093043796999506, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1790971372512019, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1790971372512019, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.17628783287150196, "bench_c_p6m": -0.17628783287150196, "ret_p1y": 0.11142497760671932, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11142497760671932, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1649999472706154, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1649999472706154, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05357496966389608, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05357496966389608, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11142497760671932, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1649999472706154, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1649999472706154, "price_path": [-0.2139, -0.2211, -0.2365, -0.2314, -0.2015, -0.2029, -0.1942, -0.1976, -0.1941, -0.1654, -0.1627, -0.1706, -0.1577, -0.1469, -0.1652, -0.1583, -0.1635, -0.1392, -0.1595, -0.1683, -0.1616, -0.1629, -0.168, -0.168, -0.1815, -0.1731, -0.1795, -0.1579, -0.1371, -0.1284, -0.1085, -0.1061, -0.0803, -0.0667, -0.052, -0.081, -0.0529, -0.0605, -0.0886, -0.122, -0.126, -0.0959, -0.0968, -0.0604, -0.0673, -0.0512, -0.0489, -0.028, -0.0521, -0.0546, -0.0436, -0.0565, -0.0489, -0.0476, -0.0626, -0.057, -0.0447, -0.0184, -0.0479, -0.0321, -0.0177, -0.0144, -0.0144, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0043, -0.0359, -0.0595, -0.0906, -0.0894, -0.076, -0.048, -0.0725, -0.0576, -0.0312, 0.009, -0.0062, 0.0235, -0.0612, -0.0527, -0.04, -0.0359, -0.003, 0.0233, 0.0352, 0.0086, 0.0049, 0.0093, 0.0359, 0.0399, 0.0613, 0.0731, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.0763, 0.0938, 0.0903, 0.1048, 0.1036, 0.1365, 0.139, 0.1138, 0.0949, 0.0378, 0.0397, 0.0168, -0.0405, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0459, -0.0841, -0.1181, -0.1065, -0.0803, -0.0554, -0.0883, -0.1075, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.1301, -0.1449, -0.1141, -0.1145, -0.123, -0.1401, -0.1414, -0.1577, -0.1439, -0.1243, -0.0974, -0.0886, -0.1046, -0.112, -0.0794, -0.0878, -0.0672, -0.0619, -0.0212, -0.0415, -0.0437, -0.0712, -0.1056, -0.0879, -0.0831, -0.067, -0.0603, -0.028, -0.0206, -0.0397, -0.042, -0.034, -0.008, -0.0083, -0.0101, 0.0256, 0.0382, 0.0462, 0.0339, 0.0495, 0.014, 0.0047, -0.02, -0.002, -0.002, -0.0113, -0.0227, -0.0185, 0.006, 0.0244, -0.0014, 0.0268, 0.0004, -0.021, -0.0204, -0.0272, -0.0415, -0.0449, -0.1107, -0.1326, -0.1229, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0913, -0.04, 0.0013, 0.022, 0.0402, 0.0321, 0.0109, 0.0028]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1463151783962886144", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-11-23T14:25:43+00:00", "symbol": "US shale", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we've seen the lows for oil and stocks and I'm going \"all in\" today given valuations", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Going all-in long on oil and US shale equities; believes SPR release is a rounding error and lows are in on valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP is best proxy for US shale E&P sector", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The short-termism of today's SPR release blows my mind. 32MM \"new\" Bbls is a rounding error yet introduces politically-induced price risk just as US shale co's think about 2022 budgets. IMO we've seen the lows for oil and stocks and I'm going \"all in\" today given valuations.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038708502666235045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038708502666235045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03738425485535579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03738425485535579, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013242478108792533, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013242478108792533, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01312625603289952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01312625603289952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01045640381224322, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01045640381224322, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002669852220656299, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002669852220656299, "ret_p1w": -0.06687754091253639, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06687754091253639, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0399014522599076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0399014522599076, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.026976088652628794, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026976088652628794, "ret_p1m": -0.07739780821161335, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07739780821161335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07983939444664734, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07983939444664734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002441586235033988, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002441586235033988, "ret_p3m": 0.044536911938068524, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044536911938068524, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11381314234858952, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11381314234858952, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.069276230410521, "bench_c_p3m": -0.069276230410521, "ret_p6m": 0.3152271807704645, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3152271807704645, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4727093542509494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4727093542509494, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.15748217348048488, "bench_c_p6m": -0.15748217348048488, "ret_p1y": 0.5134024903485455, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5134024903485455, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6576334489297795, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6576334489297795, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.14423095858123403, "bench_c_p1y": -0.14423095858123403, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07739780821161335, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07983939444664734, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07983939444664734, "price_path": [-0.2439, -0.2041, -0.2172, -0.2112, -0.2171, -0.1911, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.1957, -0.2049, -0.195, -0.2015, -0.1686, -0.1894, -0.1417, -0.1529, -0.1606, -0.1913, -0.1895, -0.1595, -0.1229, -0.118, -0.0545, -0.0673, -0.0703, -0.0733, -0.0492, -0.025, -0.0192, -0.041, -0.0151, 0.0096, 0.0061, 0.003, -0.0012, 0.0138, 0.008, 0.0133, 0.0215, 0.0344, 0.0121, 0.0308, 0.0606, 0.0589, 0.014, 0.0255, 0.0191, 0.0499, 0.0388, 0.0291, 0.023, 0.0512, 0.068, 0.0659, 0.016, 0.0315, 0.0292, 0.0362, 0.0306, -0.006, -0.0039, -0.0537, -0.0387, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0534, -0.0416, -0.0669, -0.1039, -0.0748, -0.0885, -0.0606, -0.0228, -0.021, -0.0385, -0.0269, -0.0707, -0.0872, -0.0835, -0.0923, -0.1031, -0.124, -0.0827, -0.0774, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0437, -0.052, -0.0558, -0.0735, -0.0766, -0.0328, 0.0087, -0.0221, 0.0076, 0.0084, 0.0022, 0.0465, 0.0574, 0.0368, 0.069, 0.069, 0.051, 0.0394, 0.0046, -0.0316, -0.0141, 0.0233, 0.0101, 0.0105, 0.0211, 0.0267, 0.0701, 0.0772, 0.0615, 0.078, 0.0712, 0.0377, 0.059, 0.0601, 0.0975, 0.0717, 0.0608, 0.0549, 0.0561, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0235, 0.0414, 0.0591, 0.0698, 0.126, 0.1487, 0.1703, 0.1584, 0.204, 0.211, 0.2227, 0.2118, 0.236, 0.2167, 0.1651, 0.1449, 0.1475, 0.2076, 0.2058, 0.2466, 0.2393, 0.2651, 0.2793, 0.3401, 0.3065, 0.3081, 0.3198, 0.3009, 0.3389, 0.3427, 0.3118, 0.3105, 0.3225, 0.3525, 0.3249, 0.3433, 0.3787, 0.3819, 0.3819, 0.4081, 0.3863, 0.4052, 0.3441, 0.2884, 0.2636, 0.2496, 0.2679, 0.3084, 0.2744, 0.2763, 0.3362, 0.3903, 0.3541, 0.3718, 0.2302, 0.2362, 0.2421, 0.2394, 0.292, 0.3215, 0.36, 0.3152]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1230599388126425089", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-02-20T21:05:32+00:00", "symbol": "Precision Drilling", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even a modest trading multiple re-rate will = significant share price upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on CPG and Precision Drilling: extreme multiple compression vs. improved fundamentals means fund flows returning to energy sector will drive significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["PD.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Precision Drilling on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Drilling'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Drilling", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Investor apathy resulting from the worst energy bear market in history has led to jaw-dropping trading multiple compression. From January 1, 2017 to now @CPG_Corp is down 77% (while oil is flat at $54) despite CFPS up 2%, debt down 41%, and share count down 5%... #OOTT https://t.co/c2A0mizJcQ\n\n---\n\n@CPG_Corp In service land, Precision Drilling is down 74% since January 1, 2017 despite EBITDA up 27%, debt down 27%, and share count down 4%. When funds flow ultimately return to the sector even a modest trading multiple re-rate will = significant share price upside. #OOTT https://t.co/sYRoT8y0Vg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07692305273860667, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07692305273860667, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06651806252504744, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06491718774101174, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010404990213559229, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012005864997594928, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06593410508987485, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06593410508987485, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03276865566163012, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01975748335188232, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.03316544942824473, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04617662173799253, "ret_p1w": -0.08791210518670955, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08791210518670955, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023699081617246986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07592248696824389, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11161118680395654, "bench_c_p1w": -0.16383459215495344, "ret_p1m": -0.7747252894087031, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.7747252894087031, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.44721223297699986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21981997881895765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.32751305643170325, "bench_c_p1m": -0.5549053105897455, "ret_p3m": -0.5824176051625009, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5824176051625009, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4780514687106979, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3255009395923687, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.10436613645180293, "bench_c_p3m": -0.25691666557013215, "ret_p6m": -0.4175824210373419, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4175824210373419, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44131000850597124, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14380055208929865, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.023727587468629352, "bench_c_p6m": -0.27378186894804324, "ret_p1y": -0.12032969462930476, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12032969462930476, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.31241820899493444, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.01539733699328849, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19208851436562968, "bench_c_p1y": -0.13572703162259325, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.7747252894087031, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.44721223297699986, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21981997881895765, "price_path": [-0.2363, -0.2418, -0.2088, -0.2253, -0.2143, -0.2363, -0.1978, -0.1923, -0.0879, -0.0659, -0.0989, -0.1044, -0.0879, -0.0604, -0.0495, -0.011, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0055, 0.0549, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.022, 0.0, -0.0055, -0.0055, 0.0, 0.022, 0.0934, 0.1099, 0.0604, 0.1813, 0.1484, 0.0879, 0.0989, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0714, 0.0495, -0.0055, -0.0495, -0.0989, -0.1099, -0.1044, -0.1374, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.1429, -0.1538, -0.1374, -0.0824, -0.0879, -0.1099, -0.1319, -0.1209, -0.0879, 0.033, 0.0055, 0.0055, -0.011, 0.0385, 0.0769, 0.0, -0.0659, -0.1209, -0.1044, -0.0824, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.1264, -0.1319, -0.1758, -0.2363, -0.5824, -0.5385, -0.6374, -0.6758, -0.6484, -0.6868, -0.7143, -0.7418, -0.7418, -0.7253, -0.7747, -0.7363, -0.7473, -0.7473, -0.7692, -0.7747, -0.7582, -0.7527, -0.7198, -0.7363, -0.7253, -0.7473, -0.7473, -0.7363, -0.7363, -0.7033, -0.7088, -0.7418, -0.7418, -0.7363, -0.7582, -0.7747, -0.7527, -0.7253, -0.7088, -0.7198, -0.6978, -0.6374, -0.5879, -0.6154, -0.5879, -0.5604, -0.5934, -0.6099, -0.5769, -0.5549, -0.5604, -0.5989, -0.6044, -0.6099, -0.6099, -0.5989, -0.5824, -0.5714, -0.5934, -0.5879, -0.5714, -0.5604, -0.5824, -0.5824, -0.5934, -0.5714, -0.522, -0.4615, -0.3681, -0.2857, -0.3297, -0.3791, -0.4396, -0.4121, -0.3956, -0.3901, -0.4396, -0.4286, -0.4396, -0.4231, -0.4286, -0.4615, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4505, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4505, -0.456, -0.467, -0.4835, -0.4945, -0.5275, -0.5385, -0.5659, -0.5385, -0.511, -0.5055, -0.5165, -0.5385, -0.5165, -0.522, -0.5275, -0.5055, -0.5055, -0.511, -0.5055, -0.522, -0.533, -0.533, -0.5495, -0.5275, -0.522, -0.511, -0.4835, -0.4396, -0.4231, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.4176]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1356705212245884929", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-02T20:45:03+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian small/mid cap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The Canadian small/mid cap energy sector is a target rich environment for potential multibaggers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian small/mid-cap energy as deeply mispriced with multibagger potential even at current oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian small/mid cap energy: ATH, BTE, WCP, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Canadian small/mid cap energy sector is a target rich environment for potential multibaggers. Here is a ~10% Fund holding that demonstrates the profound mispricing of energy stocks...even using the current oil price: https://t.co/511ChtSycj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038532265781915154, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038532265781915154, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02458937678589712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027790392172793443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013942888996018032, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01074187360912171, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.050403617316594096, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.050403617316594096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.049617389694461445, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007685591672639103, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007862276221326514, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04271802564395499, "ret_p1w": 0.2256471567374576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2256471567374576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20284561060722073, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12971904824390856, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022801546130236883, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09592810849354905, "ret_p1m": 0.42026870389712295, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42026870389712295, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4206091934683733, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17495258765694782, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0003404895712503242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.24531611624017513, "ret_p3m": 0.5682198205954624, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5682198205954624, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4709409276754374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.32130411462890585, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.097278892920025, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24691570596655654, "ret_p6m": 1.0282810654804646, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0282810654804646, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8706148048867755, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7604607321401018, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15766626059368916, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2678203333403628, "ret_p1y": 2.535404426713188, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.535404426713188, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.3489147745289127, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.8694876341147986, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18648965218427538, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6659167925983895, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.42026870389712295, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4206091934683733, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17495258765694782, "price_path": [-0.3562, -0.3785, -0.3455, -0.3266, -0.3205, -0.3577, -0.3445, -0.3138, -0.2974, -0.2839, -0.2742, -0.277, -0.2225, -0.1717, -0.1797, -0.1854, -0.1707, -0.2104, -0.2315, -0.2138, -0.2335, -0.1946, -0.1814, -0.1495, -0.1526, -0.1153, -0.0931, -0.1048, -0.1009, -0.1154, -0.1193, -0.1301, -0.1645, -0.179, -0.1477, -0.1559, -0.1559, -0.1559, -0.1702, -0.1507, -0.1572, -0.1572, -0.1333, -0.0469, -0.0544, -0.0382, -0.0284, -0.045, 0.0159, 0.0002, 0.0416, 0.0185, -0.0008, -0.0276, -0.02, -0.0394, -0.0423, -0.0435, -0.0741, -0.0576, -0.0759, -0.0981, -0.0385, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.1394, 0.1639, 0.2185, 0.2256, 0.2291, 0.2152, 0.2444, 0.2444, 0.283, 0.2874, 0.2406, 0.2159, 0.2963, 0.322, 0.4477, 0.3732, 0.3504, 0.3624, 0.3871, 0.4203, 0.4469, 0.6171, 0.6192, 0.6208, 0.6582, 0.6494, 0.6289, 0.5777, 0.5161, 0.5533, 0.4349, 0.475, 0.4522, 0.3565, 0.391, 0.3752, 0.4233, 0.4376, 0.4424, 0.4649, 0.5215, 0.5215, 0.4584, 0.483, 0.4646, 0.454, 0.4367, 0.4153, 0.4114, 0.4773, 0.4574, 0.4535, 0.4492, 0.396, 0.3933, 0.3761, 0.3811, 0.3695, 0.3865, 0.4722, 0.5083, 0.5682, 0.7024, 0.7483, 0.8055, 0.8149, 0.8556, 0.8219, 0.8018, 0.83, 0.7674, 0.8197, 0.885, 0.867, 0.809, 0.772, 0.7931, 0.7931, 0.7728, 0.8013, 0.8401, 0.8765, 0.9853, 1.0806, 1.0158, 1.0104, 1.0527, 1.0336, 1.0458, 1.0701, 1.0925, 1.1135, 1.1368, 1.2059, 1.2289, 1.15, 1.177, 1.3682, 1.3206, 1.3547, 1.3675, 1.3741, 1.3391, 1.33, 1.35, 1.35, 1.3738, 1.4412, 1.3174, 1.2103, 1.2425, 1.2929, 1.2335, 1.2576, 1.1977, 1.1075, 1.0458, 0.8992, 0.9584, 1.0457, 1.0485, 1.0253, 1.0702, 1.018, 1.0283]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1428712681897447424", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-08-20T13:37:02+00:00", "symbol": "oil majors", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "10+ year long free cashflow streams have been impaired by 15%+ on what is likely a very short-term speed bump in what I believe to be a multi-year bull market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil and oil equities; 15% plunge is a short-term speed bump in a multi-year bull market; buying the panic.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE dominated by oil majors (XOM, CVX, etc.)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's face it: a 15% plunge in oil can't be explained by oil fundamentals IMO. 10+ year long free cashflow streams have been impaired by 15%+ on what is likely a very short-term speed bump in what I believe to be a multi-year bull market. I'm a buyer of fear and a buyer of panic. https://t.co/QNWiSw25By", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0021789160444609657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021789160444609657, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005715487339285064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005715487339285064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00789440338374603, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00789440338374603, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03748093980592215, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03748093980592215, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028684404942812103, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028684404942812103, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00879653486311005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00879653486311005, "ret_p1w": 0.07452597760158652, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07452597760158652, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058985604077577136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058985604077577136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015540373524009388, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015540373524009388, "ret_p1m": 0.04192490288483386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04192490288483386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.059809892690770194, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.059809892690770194, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017884989805936335, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017884989805936335, "ret_p3m": 0.2622642114648466, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2622642114648466, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20299003761373102, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20299003761373102, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05927417385111555, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05927417385111555, "ret_p6m": 0.5359831515903444, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5359831515903444, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.539109575977057, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.539109575977057, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.003126424386712623, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003126424386712623, "ret_p1y": 0.7049146342888064, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7049146342888064, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7639218636080427, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7639218636080427, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.0590072293192363, "bench_c_p1y": -0.0590072293192363, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7049146342888064, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7639218636080427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7639218636080427, "price_path": [0.1133, 0.1232, 0.1241, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.1696, 0.1914, 0.1946, 0.2026, 0.1974, 0.2077, 0.2002, 0.1987, 0.1946, 0.1894, 0.2121, 0.2056, 0.1646, 0.1301, 0.1783, 0.1861, 0.1894, 0.1996, 0.2059, 0.1652, 0.1595, 0.1739, 0.1944, 0.1918, 0.1918, 0.153, 0.1342, 0.1277, 0.1517, 0.1499, 0.1412, 0.1072, 0.0917, 0.0608, 0.0233, 0.037, 0.0732, 0.0612, 0.0573, 0.0835, 0.0734, 0.0832, 0.0937, 0.0763, 0.0682, 0.0865, 0.0571, 0.0691, 0.0789, 0.0636, 0.0824, 0.0909, 0.0898, 0.0769, 0.0571, 0.0462, 0.0244, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0375, 0.0547, 0.0628, 0.0466, 0.0745, 0.0619, 0.0547, 0.0392, 0.0656, 0.0595, 0.0595, 0.0532, 0.0397, 0.0418, 0.0414, 0.0713, 0.0558, 0.0952, 0.0828, 0.0747, 0.0419, 0.0444, 0.0766, 0.1143, 0.1226, 0.1626, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1489, 0.1875, 0.2069, 0.214, 0.2012, 0.2104, 0.2477, 0.2431, 0.2442, 0.2431, 0.2583, 0.2645, 0.2654, 0.2797, 0.2901, 0.2662, 0.2781, 0.2969, 0.3044, 0.2669, 0.2759, 0.2676, 0.2894, 0.2773, 0.2667, 0.2684, 0.285, 0.2967, 0.302, 0.2676, 0.2724, 0.2693, 0.2799, 0.2819, 0.2623, 0.2548, 0.2058, 0.2272, 0.2649, 0.2773, 0.2773, 0.2259, 0.2329, 0.204, 0.1912, 0.2259, 0.2162, 0.2343, 0.2631, 0.2629, 0.2532, 0.2625, 0.2274, 0.2223, 0.2164, 0.2241, 0.1992, 0.1843, 0.2181, 0.2259, 0.2266, 0.2266, 0.2534, 0.2525, 0.2444, 0.2368, 0.24, 0.2784, 0.3226, 0.3224, 0.3519, 0.3704, 0.3662, 0.4127, 0.4153, 0.4082, 0.4413, 0.4413, 0.4471, 0.4366, 0.4234, 0.3952, 0.4046, 0.4591, 0.4567, 0.4725, 0.4663, 0.4728, 0.5253, 0.5302, 0.5157, 0.5393, 0.559, 0.5255, 0.5382, 0.5286, 0.5731, 0.536]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1458128912056295434", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-09T17:46:38+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canada stands out from the pack. Lower leverage, lower decline rates, increasing takeaway capacity...the ingredients for maximum free cashflow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: lower leverage, lower decline rates, and rising takeaway capacity set up maximum free cash flow in a capital-return-focused environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In a world of low-to-no production growth, where global energy investors want one thing and one thing only, return of capital, Canada stands out from the pack. Lower leverage, lower decline rates, increasing takeaway capacity...the ingredients for maximum free cashflow. https://t.co/ToD4bWgvXh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0018351773967077989, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018351773967077989, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0014811100450622394, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0014811100450622394, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033162874417700383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033162874417700383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02201832048434682, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02201832048434682, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013973489479281898, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013973489479281898, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008044831005064923, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008044831005064923, "ret_p1w": -0.02477046902111457, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02477046902111457, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028835741204100485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028835741204100485, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004065272182985913, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004065272182985913, "ret_p1m": -0.019266069021196874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019266069021196874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02384478785233901, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02384478785233901, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004578718831142137, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004578718831142137, "ret_p3m": 0.19916687269097522, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19916687269097522, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23576147669455327, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23576147669455327, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03659460400357806, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03659460400357806, "ret_p6m": 0.5345581504211439, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5345581504211439, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6104601098952556, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6104601098952556, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07590195947411171, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07590195947411171, "ret_p1y": 0.5709316134472084, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5709316134472084, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7456290570913683, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7456290570913683, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.17469744364415984, "bench_c_p1y": -0.17469744364415984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019266069021196874, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02384478785233901, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02384478785233901, "price_path": [-0.2759, -0.286, -0.3024, -0.3106, -0.3234, -0.3362, -0.3316, -0.3079, -0.2951, -0.2951, -0.2924, -0.2704, -0.2787, -0.2787, -0.2768, -0.2513, -0.2549, -0.2549, -0.2595, -0.2659, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.2312, -0.2412, -0.2074, -0.2129, -0.2284, -0.2494, -0.2431, -0.212, -0.191, -0.1798, -0.155, -0.1532, -0.1459, -0.1431, -0.1385, -0.122, -0.0963, -0.1174, -0.0963, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0798, -0.0862, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.0743, -0.0725, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0688, -0.0514, -0.0532, -0.078, -0.0367, -0.0349, -0.0174, -0.033, -0.0431, -0.033, -0.0083, 0.0018, 0.0, -0.022, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0294, -0.0211, -0.0532, -0.0459, -0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0128, -0.0468, -0.0339, -0.0633, -0.0807, -0.0633, -0.067, -0.044, -0.0138, -0.0193, -0.0358, -0.0303, -0.0578, -0.0725, -0.0734, -0.0697, -0.089, -0.0872, -0.0514, -0.0385, -0.0422, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0193, -0.0287, -0.0241, -0.0241, 0.0128, 0.0184, 0.0488, 0.058, 0.058, 0.094, 0.1106, 0.1032, 0.1346, 0.1549, 0.1466, 0.142, 0.1328, 0.0922, 0.0765, 0.1143, 0.1171, 0.1337, 0.1401, 0.1494, 0.1899, 0.2001, 0.1909, 0.1992, 0.189, 0.1411, 0.1623, 0.1706, 0.2121, 0.1964, 0.1936, 0.2038, 0.2047, 0.177, 0.177, 0.1789, 0.1816, 0.1881, 0.2158, 0.2471, 0.261, 0.272, 0.2554, 0.2997, 0.3375, 0.3394, 0.2914, 0.3135, 0.3135, 0.2582, 0.2351, 0.2388, 0.285, 0.2748, 0.3292, 0.3182, 0.3421, 0.3394, 0.3779, 0.3454, 0.3398, 0.3482, 0.3389, 0.3593, 0.3797, 0.3565, 0.338, 0.3621, 0.3908, 0.3556, 0.3881, 0.4112, 0.4261, 0.4261, 0.4669, 0.4455, 0.4659, 0.414, 0.3871, 0.3417, 0.3537, 0.3983, 0.4697, 0.4483, 0.4428, 0.4984, 0.5346]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1337391999243194371", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-11T13:41:14+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "set us up for an epic energy rally in 2021!!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector into 2021, expecting an epic rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'll be on @marketcall today at 12ET for my final appearance of 2020. Lots to cover: consolidation wave coming in Canada, oil bull market, demand recovery surprising (some) to the upside, and oil predictions for 2021 and beyond. Let me know what else you would like to hear about! https://t.co/qXyV5O3rqJ\n\n---\n\nThanks to everyone for the questions on my last BNN appearance of 2020. As bad as this year was it has set us up for an epic energy rally in 2021!!!https://t.co/PFk7GofW8k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011673310980881757, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011673310980881757, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010499356379724878, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010499356379724878, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001173954601156879, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001173954601156879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035019132790113594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035019132790113594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030541981629752635, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030541981629752635, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004477151160360959, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004477151160360959, "ret_p1w": -0.04182814506811128, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04182814506811128, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05398696058009422, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05398696058009422, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012158815511982946, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012158815511982946, "ret_p1m": 0.03678701265566975, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03678701265566975, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0014446137459958042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0014446137459958042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03823162640166555, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03823162640166555, "ret_p3m": 0.31699288504368606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31699288504368606, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2489049561855865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2489049561855865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06808792885809956, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06808792885809956, "ret_p6m": 0.3825212623389236, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3825212623389236, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22123713827289926, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22123713827289926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16128412406602433, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16128412406602433, "ret_p1y": 0.39019003851248435, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.39019003851248435, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12899062216438906, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12899062216438906, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2611994163480953, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2611994163480953, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03678701265566975, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0014446137459958042, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0014446137459958042, "price_path": [-0.2193, -0.188, -0.1868, -0.1959, -0.2225, -0.2305, -0.2653, -0.2656, -0.2661, -0.2488, -0.2695, -0.2716, -0.294, -0.2872, -0.2658, -0.2768, -0.2665, -0.2391, -0.2512, -0.2493, -0.2609, -0.2578, -0.2488, -0.2658, -0.2814, -0.2729, -0.2867, -0.2573, -0.2609, -0.2875, -0.2967, -0.3261, -0.3054, -0.3016, -0.2777, -0.2819, -0.2809, -0.2809, -0.2964, -0.196, -0.17, -0.1785, -0.205, -0.1761, -0.1218, -0.1128, -0.1386, -0.1245, -0.1291, -0.0676, -0.0197, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0537, -0.106, -0.1019, -0.0727, -0.063, -0.0119, -0.035, -0.0207, -0.0185, 0.0117, 0.0, -0.035, -0.0161, -0.0209, -0.0255, -0.0418, -0.0603, -0.0761, -0.0556, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0665, -0.0726, -0.0581, -0.066, -0.066, -0.0645, -0.0226, 0.0072, 0.022, 0.0208, 0.0368, 0.073, 0.0646, 0.0962, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0747, 0.0787, 0.0422, 0.0368, 0.0262, 0.0043, -0.0093, 0.0023, -0.031, -0.0241, -0.0135, 0.0287, 0.04, 0.0489, 0.0927, 0.0811, 0.1018, 0.0848, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.1285, 0.1452, 0.1193, 0.1381, 0.1775, 0.197, 0.2394, 0.2155, 0.1866, 0.2174, 0.2108, 0.2285, 0.2578, 0.3049, 0.3074, 0.2845, 0.317, 0.3175, 0.3202, 0.3052, 0.268, 0.2778, 0.2204, 0.2206, 0.2089, 0.1912, 0.2211, 0.2256, 0.256, 0.2411, 0.2303, 0.2219, 0.253, 0.253, 0.2231, 0.2199, 0.2241, 0.2082, 0.2002, 0.1907, 0.192, 0.2251, 0.2152, 0.2054, 0.2042, 0.1723, 0.1873, 0.1733, 0.184, 0.192, 0.2064, 0.248, 0.262, 0.2301, 0.264, 0.2647, 0.3056, 0.3123, 0.3357, 0.3362, 0.3018, 0.3081, 0.2921, 0.3322, 0.3631, 0.3315, 0.2983, 0.2963, 0.2991, 0.312, 0.2854, 0.2968, 0.2978, 0.3003, 0.3003, 0.3504, 0.3755, 0.3793, 0.3885, 0.3825]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1311398466334138368", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-09-30T20:12:13+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Q4 = vaccine news + inventory normalization to accelerate. Feels like both oil and sentiment are bottoming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy sector and oil into Q4 on vaccine news, inventory normalization, and sentiment bottoming after 16% sector drawdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good riddance to a miserable quarter in which oil was flat yet energy stocks dived 16% due to an epic negative headline pile-on (BP peak demand, Cali, hydrogen, RDS, etc.). Q4 = vaccine news + inventory normalization to accelerate. Feels like both oil and sentiment are bottoming. https://t.co/MFBfgIEACM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03169115365400721, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03169115365400721, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03807031274940287, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03807031274940287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006379159095395659, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006379159095395659, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009645133720784793, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009645133720784793, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01913963703417132, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01913963703417132, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009494503313386526, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009494503313386526, "ret_p1w": 0.07785041267069737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07785041267069737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05785288001862954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05785288001862954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01999753265206783, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01999753265206783, "ret_p1m": -0.010678864730359283, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010678864730359283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020474870483745633, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020474870483745633, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031153735214104916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031153735214104916, "ret_p3m": 0.3135818038731599, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3135818038731599, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2067594110203812, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2067594110203812, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10682239285277872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10682239285277872, "ret_p6m": 0.7790802927023643, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7790802927023643, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.595332320865295, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.595332320865295, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18374797183706937, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18374797183706937, "ret_p1y": 0.7040286203192383, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7040286203192383, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.39808841668196115, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.39808841668196115, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30594020363727714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30594020363727714, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3135818038731599, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2067594110203812, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2067594110203812, "price_path": [0.2692, 0.2288, 0.2278, 0.1672, 0.2044, 0.198, 0.24, 0.2668, 0.261, 0.2434, 0.2227, 0.2966, 0.2807, 0.2783, 0.2712, 0.2726, 0.2509, 0.277, 0.2268, 0.221, 0.2254, 0.2553, 0.2685, 0.2583, 0.26, 0.299, 0.2946, 0.3075, 0.282, 0.2942, 0.2868, 0.2705, 0.2559, 0.2288, 0.221, 0.2546, 0.237, 0.2109, 0.2132, 0.2349, 0.2082, 0.2, 0.1943, 0.1855, 0.1817, 0.1817, 0.1387, 0.1465, 0.1045, 0.1055, 0.114, 0.1058, 0.1502, 0.1519, 0.139, 0.1013, 0.0899, 0.0406, 0.0403, 0.0396, 0.0641, 0.0348, 0.0317, 0.0, 0.0096, 0.04, 0.0245, 0.0389, 0.0779, 0.0606, 0.0634, 0.0468, 0.0513, 0.0641, 0.04, 0.0179, 0.03, 0.0103, 0.052, 0.0468, 0.0093, -0.0038, -0.0455, -0.0162, -0.0107, 0.0231, 0.0172, 0.0186, 0.0186, -0.0034, 0.1388, 0.1757, 0.1636, 0.1261, 0.1671, 0.2439, 0.2566, 0.2201, 0.2401, 0.2336, 0.3207, 0.3886, 0.3562, 0.3562, 0.3403, 0.2663, 0.2721, 0.3135, 0.3272, 0.3996, 0.3669, 0.3872, 0.3903, 0.433, 0.4165, 0.3669, 0.3937, 0.3868, 0.3803, 0.3572, 0.331, 0.3087, 0.3377, 0.3307, 0.3307, 0.3223, 0.3136, 0.3342, 0.323, 0.323, 0.3251, 0.3844, 0.4267, 0.4476, 0.4459, 0.4686, 0.5199, 0.508, 0.5527, 0.4923, 0.4923, 0.5223, 0.5279, 0.4763, 0.4686, 0.4536, 0.4225, 0.4033, 0.4197, 0.3726, 0.3824, 0.3974, 0.4571, 0.4731, 0.4857, 0.5478, 0.5314, 0.5607, 0.5366, 0.5593, 0.5593, 0.5984, 0.6222, 0.5855, 0.612, 0.6679, 0.6955, 0.7555, 0.7217, 0.6808, 0.7244, 0.715, 0.7402, 0.7817, 0.8484, 0.8519, 0.8194, 0.8655, 0.8662, 0.87, 0.8487, 0.796, 0.81, 0.7286, 0.729, 0.7124, 0.6874, 0.7297, 0.736, 0.7791]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1138501062548230144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-11T17:39:40+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very bullish for CDN heavy oil co's", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers on expected TMX approval next week, adding ~600k bbl/d of non-US takeaway capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TMX update:large diameter coated pipe is rolling through Calgary on its way to Kamloops. We reiterate our view that TMX gets approved next week providing line of sight to almost 600,000Bbl/d of incremental takeaway to non-US refineries. Very bullish for CDN heavy oil co's #OOTT https://t.co/5GSqPMsldN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010417632661541415, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010417632661541415, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010660013268278506, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008468360207253639, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002423806067370915, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001949272454287776, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025265312405754498, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025265312405754498, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023500401659745235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011135023024698515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017649107460092628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014130289381055983, "ret_p1w": 0.04316157867974002, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04316157867974002, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031046652513774364, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030168244345688877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012114926165965656, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012993334334051143, "ret_p1m": 0.012369684509582979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012369684509582979, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02626791837318676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03724115877902101, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03863760288276974, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04961084328860399, "ret_p3m": -0.06487701556233264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06487701556233264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1015665444152403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03237427805437201, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03668952885290766, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03250273750796062, "ret_p6m": -0.1694809189226249, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1694809189226249, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25781674798273463, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14334584447636395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08833582906010973, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026135074446260953, "ret_p1y": -0.5709906790862993, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5709906790862993, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6411209923752528, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2557722111445002, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07013031328895347, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3152184679417991, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012369684509582979, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02626791837318676, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03724115877902101, "price_path": [0.1154, 0.1044, 0.1122, 0.1002, 0.142, 0.1555, 0.1124, 0.0907, 0.1288, 0.106, 0.0973, 0.0882, 0.1049, 0.1059, 0.0883, 0.1038, 0.1542, 0.1957, 0.1908, 0.29, 0.2767, 0.2923, 0.2882, 0.2911, 0.3118, 0.2881, 0.2881, 0.3391, 0.3725, 0.3308, 0.3015, 0.27, 0.2781, 0.2578, 0.1893, 0.1539, 0.1975, 0.1996, 0.1724, 0.1956, 0.2007, 0.1975, 0.1671, 0.1829, 0.1795, 0.1826, 0.1574, 0.1574, 0.161, 0.1252, 0.0747, 0.0717, 0.0838, 0.0725, 0.0747, 0.0614, 0.0391, 0.0139, 0.0227, -0.0173, -0.0087, 0.0035, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.0253, 0.0054, -0.0091, 0.0112, 0.0432, 0.0272, 0.0601, 0.0518, 0.0378, 0.0258, 0.052, 0.0191, 0.0136, 0.0136, 0.0031, 0.0008, 0.0004, -0.0045, -0.0171, -0.012, 0.0124, 0.0115, 0.0167, 0.0165, 0.0108, 0.0044, -0.0125, -0.0014, 0.0049, 0.0096, -0.0035, -0.0286, -0.0256, -0.049, -0.0051, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0733, -0.1077, -0.0796, -0.0834, -0.1074, -0.0689, -0.1195, -0.1328, -0.1148, -0.1067, -0.1064, -0.0929, -0.0913, -0.1327, -0.1353, -0.15, -0.1167, -0.0963, -0.1062, -0.1062, -0.1125, -0.1075, -0.0755, -0.0649, -0.0363, -0.0258, -0.0107, 0.0013, -0.004, 0.1175, 0.0837, 0.0679, 0.0635, 0.0747, 0.0773, 0.0428, 0.0397, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0061, -0.049, -0.0742, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0888, -0.1214, -0.1319, -0.1205, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1068, -0.1164, -0.1228, -0.1379, -0.1404, -0.1369, -0.1278, -0.1409, -0.139, -0.1504, -0.1392, -0.1615, -0.1878, -0.1514, -0.1347, -0.1158, -0.1249, -0.1049, -0.1151, -0.1116, -0.1214, -0.1285, -0.1341, -0.1178, -0.1423, -0.1706, -0.1552, -0.1478, -0.1503, -0.1517, -0.1674, -0.1534, -0.1499, -0.1625, -0.1748, -0.1946, -0.1695]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1562839798661779457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-25T16:30:18+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see meaningful increases to dividends and share buybacks in the quarters ahead, potentially re-rating the sector from its current 2.7x EV/CF multiple", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: debt-free status + high FCF yield at $100 WTI to drive dividend/buyback growth and multiple re-rating from 2.7x EV/CF.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the energy sector trading at an estimated 26% free cashflow yield at $100WTI, and quickly approaching \"debt free\" status, we see meaningful increases to dividends and share buybacks in the quarters ahead, potentially re-rating the sector from its current 2.7x EV/CF multiple. https://t.co/PKeQ7xvltx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0076356465225416725, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0076356465225416725, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006285125642741862, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006285125642741862, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013920772165283535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013920772165283535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011691834524017786, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011691834524017786, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022157220745266604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022157220745266604, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.03384905526928439, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03384905526928439, "ret_p1w": -0.06323102447332163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06323102447332163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008190610809849064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008190610809849064, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.055040413663472565, "bench_c_p1w": -0.055040413663472565, "ret_p1m": -0.14998279196107533, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14998279196107533, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030680466344077506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030680466344077506, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11930232561699783, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11930232561699783, "ret_p3m": 0.12427052259307292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12427052259307292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16709980511946232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16709980511946232, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0428292825263894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0428292825263894, "ret_p6m": 0.029478204410788633, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.029478204410788633, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.050214883256845644, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.050214883256845644, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02073667884605701, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02073667884605701, "ret_p1y": 0.11185836359887147, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11185836359887147, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02624052068744054, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02624052068744054, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08561784291143093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08561784291143093, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12427052259307292, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16709980511946232, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16709980511946232, "price_path": [0.0445, 0.0288, 0.0455, 0.0422, 0.056, 0.0549, 0.0864, 0.0887, 0.0647, 0.0466, -0.008, -0.0061, -0.0281, -0.0828, -0.133, -0.133, -0.088, -0.1246, -0.157, -0.1459, -0.1209, -0.0971, -0.1285, -0.1469, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1685, -0.1827, -0.1532, -0.1535, -0.1617, -0.178, -0.1793, -0.1948, -0.1817, -0.163, -0.1372, -0.1288, -0.1441, -0.1512, -0.12, -0.128, -0.1083, -0.1033, -0.0644, -0.0838, -0.0859, -0.1121, -0.1451, -0.1281, -0.1236, -0.1082, -0.1018, -0.0709, -0.0638, -0.0821, -0.0842, -0.0766, -0.0518, -0.052, -0.0538, -0.0197, -0.0076, 0.0, -0.0117, 0.0032, -0.0308, -0.0396, -0.0632, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0549, -0.0659, -0.0618, -0.0384, -0.0208, -0.0455, -0.0185, -0.0438, -0.0642, -0.0636, -0.0701, -0.0838, -0.087, -0.15, -0.1708, -0.1616, -0.1244, -0.1244, -0.1314, -0.0823, -0.0429, -0.0231, -0.0057, -0.0135, -0.0337, -0.0414, -0.0337, 0.0057, -0.0318, -0.0197, -0.0112, 0.018, 0.019, 0.0484, 0.0534, 0.0544, 0.0688, 0.0727, 0.0764, 0.0854, 0.0959, 0.0695, 0.0893, 0.1026, 0.1215, 0.1226, 0.0677, 0.0915, 0.1232, 0.1228, 0.1346, 0.1115, 0.1139, 0.1051, 0.0901, 0.1243, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.108, 0.0776, 0.0939, 0.0993, 0.0957, 0.0892, 0.0569, 0.029, 0.0266, 0.022, -0.0028, 0.0233, 0.0427, 0.0364, 0.0301, 0.0174, 0.0173, 0.0326, 0.0523, 0.028, 0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0721, 0.0481, 0.0591, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.0284, 0.0283, 0.047, 0.0669, 0.0631, 0.0707, 0.074, 0.0944, 0.096, 0.096, 0.0983, 0.0782, 0.0916, 0.1025, 0.1039, 0.0997, 0.0998, 0.1345, 0.1116, 0.0861, 0.0958, 0.0742, 0.0497, 0.0474, 0.0426, 0.0765, 0.0669, 0.0577, 0.0992, 0.0964, 0.0967, 0.0781, 0.0675, 0.0295]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1173359192306069504", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-15T22:13:26+00:00", "symbol": "E&P stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "tomorrow is going to be a spectacular day. At $57/bbl WTI 2020 strip many are doubles to triples from Friday's levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish E&P equities: with WTI 2020 strip at $57/bbl vs priced-in ~$47, many E&Ps could double or triple from Friday's levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With 2020 and 2021 strip rallying hard and E&P stocks pricing in ~$47/bbl, tomorrow is going to be a spectacular day. At $57/bbl WTI 2020 strip many are doubles to triples from Friday’s levels. #OOTT https://t.co/KIy2MhvXzT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09749517512427153, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09749517512427153, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10059354830426093, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10059354830426093, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053179374842563853, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053179374842563853, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05571155868012123, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05571155868012123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "ret_p1w": -0.08311014136244699, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08311014136244699, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08120187773857912, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08120187773857912, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "ret_p1m": -0.18790871332530978, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18790871332530978, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1882429683308796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1882429683308796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "ret_p3m": -0.14150320580382314, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14150320580382314, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20291919357116817, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20291919357116817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "ret_p6m": -0.6143487128037249, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6143487128037249, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5844197487314208, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5844197487314208, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "ret_p1y": -0.50683496355944, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.50683496355944, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7223222918578327, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7223222918578327, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08311014136244699, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08120187773857912, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08120187773857912, "price_path": [-0.0042, 0.0261, 0.0293, 0.015, 0.0015, 0.0343, 0.0316, 0.0501, 0.0482, 0.0112, 0.0089, 0.0089, 0.0216, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0328, 0.0212, 0.0281, 0.0004, -0.0193, -0.0501, -0.0578, -0.0459, -0.0428, -0.0331, -0.027, -0.0559, -0.0671, -0.0844, -0.0378, -0.0355, -0.0956, -0.106, -0.143, -0.1557, -0.1576, -0.1329, -0.141, -0.1541, -0.1487, -0.1919, -0.1992, -0.1738, -0.1399, -0.1468, -0.143, -0.1534, -0.1934, -0.1946, -0.2062, -0.1811, -0.1534, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1846, -0.163, -0.141, -0.1441, -0.096, -0.0879, -0.0852, -0.104, -0.0975, 0.0, -0.0532, -0.0678, -0.0863, -0.08, -0.0831, -0.1086, -0.1075, -0.1249, -0.1295, -0.1353, -0.1666, -0.1898, -0.1775, -0.1786, -0.1887, -0.2119, -0.2057, -0.1976, -0.1779, -0.1887, -0.1879, -0.1937, -0.1898, -0.2049, -0.1991, -0.186, -0.1701, -0.1728, -0.1554, -0.1612, -0.1473, -0.179, -0.1833, -0.155, -0.114, -0.1129, -0.14, -0.1226, -0.1168, -0.1365, -0.1396, -0.1531, -0.1612, -0.1508, -0.1771, -0.2038, -0.1995, -0.1879, -0.186, -0.179, -0.1995, -0.1937, -0.1937, -0.2127, -0.2123, -0.225, -0.2011, -0.2076, -0.179, -0.1736, -0.1678, -0.1728, -0.1415, -0.1585, -0.1345, -0.1117, -0.1063, -0.0951, -0.0982, -0.0788, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0761, -0.0916, -0.0928, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0811, -0.0667, -0.0605, -0.0493, -0.0854, -0.0897, -0.0982, -0.111, -0.1013, -0.1118, -0.1168, -0.1312, -0.1312, -0.16, -0.1786, -0.1922, -0.2062, -0.2349, -0.2244, -0.2407, -0.2376, -0.2559, -0.2687, -0.266, -0.226, -0.2403, -0.2539, -0.2726, -0.2691, -0.2594, -0.264, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2784, -0.257, -0.2543, -0.2699, -0.3145, -0.3506, -0.3837, -0.424, -0.4027, -0.4031, -0.4229, -0.4213, -0.4454, -0.4986, -0.6835, -0.6143]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1156216686023979008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-30T14:55:14+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Signs of capitulation over the past few days in some energy names. Good for marking a bottom but painful to endure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy sector capitulation marks a bottom; bullish on improving demand (China, Japan, Atlantic Basin) and stalling supply growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Signs of capitulation over the past few days in some energy names. Good for marking a bottom but painful to endure (and  difficult to understand why someone would sell now with signs of demand improving [China,Japan,Atlantic Basin] and supply growth stalling [US, Brazil]) #OOTT https://t.co/niQADA7fJF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01112868620603047, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01112868620603047, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013589001210656093, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013589001210656093, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002460315004625624, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002460315004625624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003179612838533963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003179612838533963, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007761087134874112, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007761087134874112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010940699973408075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010940699973408075, "ret_p1w": -0.06947521324190176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06947521324190176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02651140473795177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02651140473795177, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.042963808503949985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.042963808503949985, "ret_p1m": -0.09936411870345485, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09936411870345485, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0600253118250661, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0600253118250661, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.039338806878388755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.039338806878388755, "ret_p3m": -0.0450818931279966, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0450818931279966, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.052639407727778975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.052639407727778975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.007557514599782378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007557514599782378, "ret_p6m": -0.0406321190174459, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0406321190174459, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15298441155210618, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15298441155210618, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11235229253466028, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11235229253466028, "ret_p1y": -0.3571320323067352, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3571320323067352, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4451663767167552, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4451663767167552, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08803434441002, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08803434441002, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09936411870345485, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0600253118250661, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0600253118250661, "price_path": [0.0029, 0.0122, 0.0132, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0091, -0.0083, 0.0039, 0.0091, 0.0146, 0.0043, 0.0048, 0.0165, 0.0007, -0.0328, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0393, -0.0454, -0.0576, -0.0741, -0.0623, -0.0461, -0.0566, -0.0391, -0.0347, -0.0319, -0.03, -0.0437, -0.0325, -0.0388, -0.0308, -0.0174, -0.0185, 0.0032, 0.0105, 0.0014, -0.0065, 0.0087, 0.0013, 0.0129, 0.0138, -0.0024, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.003, 0.0045, 0.0052, 0.0181, 0.0202, 0.0245, 0.0153, 0.0045, -0.007, -0.0068, -0.0022, 0.0024, 0.0051, 0.0094, -0.0021, -0.0072, -0.0111, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0258, -0.0397, -0.0684, -0.0695, -0.0765, -0.0499, -0.0604, -0.0715, -0.063, -0.0997, -0.1052, -0.0935, -0.0735, -0.0812, -0.0754, -0.0795, -0.1103, -0.1065, -0.1121, -0.0994, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.0906, -0.0779, -0.0665, -0.0615, -0.0428, -0.0315, -0.0305, -0.0366, -0.0289, 0.0037, -0.0103, -0.0151, -0.0176, -0.0168, -0.0165, -0.0321, -0.0305, -0.0432, -0.0433, -0.0502, -0.0722, -0.095, -0.0852, -0.0794, -0.0876, -0.1032, -0.095, -0.0836, -0.0712, -0.0717, -0.0679, -0.0809, -0.0802, -0.085, -0.0687, -0.0566, -0.0488, -0.0528, -0.0451, -0.0505, -0.0467, -0.0661, -0.0701, -0.0489, -0.018, -0.0167, -0.0367, -0.0223, -0.0263, -0.0318, -0.0367, -0.0409, -0.0435, -0.0361, -0.0478, -0.0619, -0.0525, -0.0369, -0.0401, -0.0391, -0.048, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0693, -0.0553, -0.0598, -0.0419, -0.043, -0.0411, -0.0427, -0.025, -0.0324, -0.0194, -0.0188, -0.0151, -0.0154, -0.006, 0.0042, 0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0034, -0.0008, -0.0039, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0108, 0.0078, 0.0156, 0.0129, -0.0038, 0.0036, -0.0021, -0.0018, -0.0016, -0.0089, -0.0073, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0313, -0.0406]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1377314011973304320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-31T17:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "UAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is WAY ahead of most expectations", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "United Airlines domestic leisure demand recovery WAY ahead of expectations; implied bullish on UAL.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Demand watch: UNITED AIRLINES CEO SAYS DOMESTIC LEISURE DEMAND 'HAS ALMOST ENTIRELY RECOVERED' - U.S. AVIATION SUMMIT....this is WAY ahead of most expectations. https://t.co/ftTU8i80ga", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011644041680307193, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011644041680307193, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015680867024892464, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008393644151629687, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004036825344585271, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032503975286775066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004866158756374306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004866158756374306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005932977668865691, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0015141471019448627, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010799136425239997, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003352011654429443, "ret_p1w": 0.03527978357659478, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03527978357659478, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0093922446747976, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0266456773096293, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02588753890179718, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00863410626696548, "ret_p1m": -0.06691001438234989, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06691001438234989, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12678430022948672, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10916509862213275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05987428584713683, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04225508423978286, "ret_p3m": -0.08776501836477713, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08776501836477713, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16986472156144972, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1251643691550548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08209970319667259, "bench_c_p3m": 0.037399350790277675, "ret_p6m": -0.17500868151892568, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17500868151892568, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30047080589074027, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20379826325260308, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1254621243718146, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028789581733677405, "ret_p1y": -0.2639903058692372, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2639903058692372, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4003406051912006, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.31923518796716155, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1363502993219634, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05524488209792433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06691001438234989, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12678430022948672, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10916509862213275, "price_path": [-0.2483, -0.2765, -0.2457, -0.2433, -0.2419, -0.2477, -0.2579, -0.2339, -0.2278, -0.1955, -0.2372, -0.2372, -0.2223, -0.2148, -0.2598, -0.2676, -0.2982, -0.2831, -0.289, -0.2605, -0.305, -0.3059, -0.2904, -0.2694, -0.2629, -0.2676, -0.2292, -0.2471, -0.2391, -0.245, -0.2364, -0.2364, -0.2056, -0.1992, -0.2186, -0.1653, -0.1363, -0.1204, -0.0448, -0.1001, -0.0845, -0.0735, -0.0753, -0.0516, -0.0954, -0.122, -0.0605, -0.0714, -0.0629, -0.0605, -0.0217, 0.0591, 0.0395, 0.0853, 0.057, 0.0561, 0.0137, -0.0553, -0.0645, -0.0259, -0.0123, -0.0233, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0304, 0.0337, 0.0353, 0.0328, 0.0155, -0.024, -0.0153, -0.0108, -0.0247, -0.029, -0.0443, -0.1258, -0.0987, -0.1131, -0.077, -0.0653, -0.0706, -0.0693, -0.0669, -0.0546, -0.0535, -0.0824, -0.0742, -0.078, -0.0488, -0.061, -0.0841, -0.1135, -0.0888, -0.0393, -0.0169, -0.0202, -0.0304, -0.0426, -0.0389, -0.0243, -0.0097, 0.0082, 0.0276, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.037, 0.0478, 0.0033, -0.0106, -0.0042, 0.0033, -0.0054, -0.0222, -0.0177, -0.0313, -0.0391, -0.0337, -0.0574, -0.0455, -0.0322, -0.0412, -0.0421, -0.0556, -0.0636, -0.0878, -0.0937, -0.0912, -0.0775, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.106, -0.1258, -0.1369, -0.1119, -0.1203, -0.1571, -0.163, -0.1708, -0.2004, -0.2447, -0.195, -0.1641, -0.1667, -0.174, -0.1404, -0.1545, -0.146, -0.1573, -0.188, -0.1993, -0.1912, -0.2131, -0.179, -0.1724, -0.1927, -0.1714, -0.1621, -0.179, -0.192, -0.1953, -0.2129, -0.2172, -0.2365, -0.2348, -0.2087, -0.1811, -0.1729, -0.183, -0.1708, -0.2021, -0.1917, -0.1973, -0.1873, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1907, -0.2087, -0.1905, -0.2294, -0.2207, -0.2376, -0.2377, -0.2271, -0.2259, -0.2132, -0.2275, -0.2061, -0.175]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1321189887199055873", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-27T20:39:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Golden age coming for Canadian E&P", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P; adequate takeaway via TMX+Line 3, ~$10 WCS diffs, golden age incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While the more takeaway capacity the better, TMX+Line 3 = adequate when few if any oil sand producers are likely to sanction meaningful brownfield expansion (over buybacks and deleveraging) any time soon. Likely ~$10WCS diffs even without KXL. Golden age coming for Canadian E&P.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Keystone XL pipeline faces prospect of being killed off for good https://t.co/8MM34Izkzk", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04166694646223679, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04166694646223679, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006278693781463618, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006278693781463618, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.03538825268077317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03538825268077317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010163451102690013, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010163451102690013, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010163451102690013, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010163451102690013, "ret_p1w": 0.051470913291912446, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051470913291912446, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00020359303048866906, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00020359303048866906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.051674506322401115, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051674506322401115, "ret_p1m": 0.4313727218345189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4313727218345189, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3211664081913814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3211664081913814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11020631364313749, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11020631364313749, "ret_p3m": 0.5154645809585685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5154645809585685, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33372045551010165, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33372045551010165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18174412544846685, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18174412544846685, "ret_p6m": 0.7924542212477874, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7924542212477874, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5208463055554717, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5208463055554717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2716079156923157, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2716079156923157, "ret_p1y": 1.5438285770884361, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.5438285770884361, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.1596655248804912, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.1596655248804912, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3841630522079449, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3841630522079449, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4313727218345189, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3211664081913814, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3211664081913814, "price_path": [0.1726, 0.1726, 0.2115, 0.2503, 0.2697, 0.2819, 0.3207, 0.3134, 0.3401, 0.3183, 0.3304, 0.3304, 0.3086, 0.3037, 0.2843, 0.2479, 0.2989, 0.3013, 0.2746, 0.2722, 0.2794, 0.2406, 0.2527, 0.2285, 0.2285, 0.2163, 0.2163, 0.1241, 0.1386, 0.1143, 0.1119, 0.1071, 0.0998, 0.1362, 0.1265, 0.1168, 0.0682, 0.0828, 0.0512, 0.0686, 0.0441, 0.0809, 0.0368, 0.027, -0.0098, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.098, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.0711, 0.0686, 0.0711, 0.0539, 0.0466, 0.0588, 0.0368, 0.0784, 0.0809, 0.0441, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0123, 0.0319, 0.0539, 0.0515, 0.0539, 0.0392, 0.2059, 0.2402, 0.2525, 0.1814, 0.1985, 0.2598, 0.2794, 0.2892, 0.2819, 0.2941, 0.3848, 0.4461, 0.4363, 0.4314, 0.4387, 0.3505, 0.3505, 0.3799, 0.3897, 0.4681, 0.4559, 0.473, 0.4706, 0.527, 0.5294, 0.4951, 0.5098, 0.473, 0.4755, 0.4657, 0.4289, 0.402, 0.4608, 0.4534, 0.4534, 0.4534, 0.4436, 0.4687, 0.4441, 0.4441, 0.4613, 0.5696, 0.5843, 0.6114, 0.5893, 0.5794, 0.6114, 0.5893, 0.6262, 0.5647, 0.5401, 0.5696, 0.5696, 0.545, 0.5155, 0.5155, 0.4613, 0.4515, 0.4613, 0.4318, 0.4859, 0.4909, 0.5425, 0.5548, 0.5696, 0.6065, 0.5967, 0.6262, 0.6237, 0.6557, 0.6557, 0.7024, 0.7172, 0.6951, 0.6975, 0.7836, 0.7984, 0.8377, 0.7836, 0.7516, 0.7713, 0.7836, 0.8279, 0.8746, 0.9386, 0.9189, 0.9165, 0.9878, 1.0075, 1.0124, 0.9903, 0.9239, 0.9534, 0.8525, 0.8919, 0.8574, 0.7861, 0.8476, 0.8518, 0.8889, 0.8642, 0.8765, 0.8617, 0.9235, 0.9235, 0.8765, 0.8938, 0.8839, 0.8839, 0.8642, 0.8543, 0.837, 0.9087, 0.8988, 0.8815, 0.874, 0.7999, 0.8147, 0.7925]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1115591940358180864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-09T12:26:59+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "March-May is seasonally the strongest time of the year for energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Seasonal tailwind + low valuations suggest energy stocks, WTI, and BTE could rally again March-May.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy Thought of the Day #2: March-May is seasonally the strongest time of the year for energy stocks. Last April-May WTI rallied by $7/bbl and some names like BTE rallied by 75%+ in 1 month. Given the oil macro backdrop and stupidly low valuations could history repeat? #OOTT https://t.co/BdX5c0rjMt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "ret_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "ret_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "ret_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "ret_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "ret_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "price_path": [-0.0773, -0.0828, -0.085, -0.0817, -0.0829, -0.0745, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0763, -0.0857, -0.0809, -0.0692, -0.0785, -0.0757, -0.0627, -0.0566, -0.0402, -0.038, -0.0365, -0.0436, -0.0647, -0.069, -0.0646, -0.0527, -0.0409, -0.0375, -0.022, -0.022, -0.019, -0.0149, -0.0301, -0.0273, -0.0257, -0.0288, -0.0251, -0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0153, -0.0186, -0.031, -0.0368, -0.0548, -0.04, -0.0338, -0.0241, -0.023, -0.0234, -0.0098, -0.0125, -0.0039, 0.0031, -0.024, -0.0236, -0.0095, -0.0165, -0.0128, -0.0143, -0.0013, -0.0082, -0.0177, -0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0072, 0.0012, 0.0078, 0.0064, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0228, 0.0212, 0.0033, 0.0001, -0.0128, -0.0137, -0.0145, -0.0341, -0.051, -0.0422, -0.0413, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0452, -0.0616, -0.0501, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0492, -0.0382, -0.0531, -0.0848, -0.0814, -0.0814, -0.0909, -0.0968, -0.1082, -0.1239, -0.1127, -0.0973, -0.1073, -0.0908, -0.0866, -0.0839, -0.0821, -0.0951, -0.0845, -0.0905, -0.0829, -0.0702, -0.0713, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.0599, -0.0455, -0.0526, -0.0416, -0.0407, -0.056, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0509, -0.0495, -0.0488, -0.0366, -0.0346, -0.0306, -0.0393, -0.0495, -0.0604, -0.0602, -0.0559, -0.0515, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0557, -0.0605, -0.0643, -0.0538, -0.0568, -0.0781, -0.0914, -0.1184, -0.1195, -0.1261, -0.101, -0.1109, -0.1215, -0.1133, -0.1481, -0.1533, -0.1422, -0.1233, -0.1306, -0.1251, -0.129, -0.1582, -0.1545, -0.1598, -0.1478, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1395, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.112, -0.0942, -0.0835, -0.0826, -0.0884, -0.0811, -0.0503, -0.0635, -0.068, -0.0705, -0.0697, -0.0694, -0.0841, -0.0826, -0.0946, -0.0947, -0.1013, -0.1221, -0.1436]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1115591940358180864", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2019-04-09T12:26:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some names like BTE rallied by 75%+ in 1 month. Given the oil macro backdrop and stupidly low valuations could history repeat?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Seasonal tailwind + low valuations suggest energy stocks, WTI, and BTE could rally again March-May.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy Thought of the Day #2: March-May is seasonally the strongest time of the year for energy stocks. Last April-May WTI rallied by $7/bbl and some names like BTE rallied by 75%+ in 1 month. Given the oil macro backdrop and stupidly low valuations could history repeat? #OOTT https://t.co/BdX5c0rjMt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027173945413455414, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027173945413455414, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022022533594815652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014800818661309778, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14130426969165932, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14130426969165932, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13789334151546817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13757763225146946, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "ret_p1w": 0.1358696586066357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1358696586066357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12594980975905012, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12811802153939844, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "ret_p1m": 0.10869557627189774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10869557627189774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10792998042538193, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1583378111109005, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "ret_p3m": -0.20108690852487654, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20108690852487654, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24494789810909423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1501904590270896, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "ret_p6m": -0.2771737913770126, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2771737913770126, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28931319608703643, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13354692094094844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "bench_c_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "ret_p1y": -0.869565217763373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.869565217763373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.797263810472514, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.36009210117272494, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "bench_c_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10869557627189774, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10792998042538193, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1583378111109005, "price_path": [0.0707, 0.087, 0.0598, 0.0978, 0.1033, 0.0707, 0.0435, 0.0435, -0.0598, -0.1033, -0.1087, -0.0815, -0.1141, -0.125, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0924, -0.1033, -0.1141, -0.1467, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1739, -0.1467, -0.1033, -0.087, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0163, -0.0217, -0.0707, -0.0435, -0.0598, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.0272, -0.0109, -0.0435, -0.0326, -0.0598, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0707, -0.0761, -0.0489, -0.0598, -0.087, -0.0543, -0.0707, -0.0217, 0.0163, -0.0435, -0.0598, -0.0217, -0.0543, -0.0652, -0.0815, -0.0652, -0.0815, -0.1087, -0.0978, -0.0326, 0.0272, 0.0, 0.1413, 0.1522, 0.1848, 0.1576, 0.1359, 0.1522, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.2228, 0.2446, 0.163, 0.1196, 0.1087, 0.1359, 0.1033, 0.0326, 0.0, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.0815, 0.1087, 0.1304, 0.1196, 0.0761, 0.087, 0.0924, 0.087, 0.0543, 0.0707, 0.0598, 0.0, -0.0761, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.1033, -0.087, -0.1196, -0.163, -0.1576, -0.1413, -0.1848, -0.1739, -0.1576, -0.1902, -0.1848, -0.2283, -0.1739, -0.2065, -0.1902, -0.1467, -0.1685, -0.1196, -0.1304, -0.1467, -0.163, -0.1304, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1467, -0.1848, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.2011, -0.2228, -0.2391, -0.2065, -0.2174, -0.2011, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2337, -0.2663, -0.2174, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.2065, -0.2337, -0.2174, -0.2174, -0.1522, -0.1739, -0.2065, -0.2228, -0.2609, -0.2337, -0.2717, -0.25, -0.25, -0.2717, -0.2391, -0.3043, -0.3098, -0.288, -0.2554, -0.2663, -0.2826, -0.2935, -0.3315, -0.337, -0.3696, -0.3261, -0.2989, -0.3043, -0.3043, -0.3152, -0.3043, -0.2826, -0.2609, -0.2283, -0.2283, -0.2337, -0.2174, -0.2011, -0.0707, -0.0924, -0.1033, -0.087, -0.0435, -0.0489, -0.1087, -0.0924, -0.1359, -0.1467, -0.1957, -0.2391, -0.2772]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1321827219577229312", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-29T14:52:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pretty encouraging when oil stocks don't go down with oil selling off 4%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil stocks; their resilience during a 4% oil selloff is seen as an encouraging sign.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It is still early in the day but pretty encouraging when oil stocks don't go down with oil selling off 4%. https://t.co/uoH6N137UW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029761963049637186, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029761963049637186, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01970076840673496, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01970076840673496, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010061194642902227, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010061194642902227, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005601958533640872, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005601958533640872, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01602700674398916, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01602700674398916, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010425048210348287, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010425048210348287, "ret_p1w": 0.03536416844896828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03536416844896828, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026033402382007687, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026033402382007687, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06139757083097597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06139757083097597, "ret_p1m": 0.36239471898332143, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36239471898332143, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2602975276794517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2602975276794517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10209719130386974, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10209719130386974, "ret_p3m": 0.44590403326696215, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44590403326696215, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2778758173057527, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2778758173057527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16802821596120943, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16802821596120943, "ret_p6m": 0.7047257581389355, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7047257581389355, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4322635868879168, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4322635868879168, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2724621712510187, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2724621712510187, "ret_p1y": 1.1034903763936494, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.1034903763936494, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7291968953186743, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7291968953186743, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3742934810749752, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3742934810749752, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.36239471898332143, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2602975276794517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2602975276794517, "price_path": [0.2456, 0.2759, 0.2894, 0.279, 0.2807, 0.3204, 0.3159, 0.329, 0.3031, 0.3155, 0.308, 0.2914, 0.2766, 0.2491, 0.2411, 0.2752, 0.2573, 0.2308, 0.2332, 0.2553, 0.228, 0.2198, 0.2139, 0.205, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1574, 0.1654, 0.1226, 0.1237, 0.1323, 0.124, 0.1691, 0.1709, 0.1578, 0.1194, 0.1078, 0.0578, 0.0574, 0.0567, 0.0816, 0.0518, 0.0487, 0.0165, 0.0263, 0.0571, 0.0413, 0.056, 0.0956, 0.0781, 0.0809, 0.0641, 0.0686, 0.0816, 0.0571, 0.0347, 0.0469, 0.027, 0.0693, 0.0641, 0.0259, 0.0126, -0.0298, 0.0, 0.0056, 0.0399, 0.034, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.013, 0.1576, 0.195, 0.1828, 0.1446, 0.1863, 0.2644, 0.2773, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2539, 0.3424, 0.4114, 0.3785, 0.3785, 0.3624, 0.2871, 0.2931, 0.3351, 0.3491, 0.4226, 0.3894, 0.41, 0.4132, 0.4566, 0.4398, 0.3894, 0.4167, 0.4097, 0.403, 0.3796, 0.3529, 0.3302, 0.3597, 0.3526, 0.3526, 0.3441, 0.3352, 0.3561, 0.3448, 0.3448, 0.3469, 0.4072, 0.4502, 0.4715, 0.4697, 0.4927, 0.5449, 0.5328, 0.5783, 0.5169, 0.5169, 0.5474, 0.5531, 0.5005, 0.4927, 0.4775, 0.4459, 0.4264, 0.4431, 0.3952, 0.4051, 0.4204, 0.481, 0.4974, 0.5101, 0.5733, 0.5566, 0.5864, 0.5619, 0.585, 0.585, 0.6247, 0.6489, 0.6116, 0.6386, 0.6953, 0.7234, 0.7844, 0.75, 0.7085, 0.7528, 0.7432, 0.7688, 0.811, 0.8788, 0.8823, 0.8493, 0.8962, 0.8969, 0.9008, 0.8791, 0.8256, 0.8398, 0.7571, 0.7574, 0.7406, 0.7151, 0.7582, 0.7646, 0.8084, 0.7868, 0.7714, 0.7592, 0.8041, 0.8041, 0.761, 0.7564, 0.7625, 0.7395, 0.728, 0.7144, 0.7162, 0.7639, 0.7495, 0.7356, 0.7338, 0.6879, 0.7094, 0.6893, 0.7047]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1313128178030972929", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-10-05T14:45:29+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Target rich environment: oil, natural gas, services", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, natural gas, and oilfield services; buying land driller with positive FCF and upside at $50 WTI in a target-rich valuation environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trading colour: you would think in the past month's bloodbath that there had been a wall of selling. Not always the case...it took me 12 trading days to buy 5.5MM shares in a land driller (~$5MM worth). Good sign for rerate potential when I'm no longer the only buyer in the world https://t.co/XBQpg5kMY7\n\n---\n\nAs bad as this year has been, it is hard to not get excited with current valuations. \"Target rich environment\": oil, natural gas, services. 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{"unit_id": "thread:1313128178030972929", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2020-10-05T14:45:29+00:00", "symbol": "oilfield services", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Target rich environment: oil, natural gas, services", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, natural gas, and oilfield services; buying land driller with positive FCF and upside at $50 WTI in a target-rich valuation environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["OIH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "VanEck Oil Services ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trading colour: you would think in the past month's bloodbath that there had been a wall of selling. Not always the case...it took me 12 trading days to buy 5.5MM shares in a land driller (~$5MM worth). Good sign for rerate potential when I'm no longer the only buyer in the world https://t.co/XBQpg5kMY7\n\n---\n\nAs bad as this year has been, it is hard to not get excited with current valuations. \"Target rich environment\": oil, natural gas, services. To be able to buy a stock with positive FCF during the worst possible environment with upside to it FCF'ing its current market cap at $50WTI https://t.co/EUUXkDnz6a", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03375618944665271, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03375618944665271, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01633213927307786, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01633213927307786, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017424050173574845, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017424050173574845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014880686573529922, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014880686573529922, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006646724197230114, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006646724197230114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01421601415380691, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01421601415380691, "ret_p1w": 0.022670487223762636, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022670487223762636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014620557551633606, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014620557551633606, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03729104477539624, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03729104477539624, "ret_p1m": 0.021971323949627086, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021971323949627086, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03294945808541516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03294945808541516, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010978134135788076, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010978134135788076, "ret_p3m": 0.5565097742843457, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5565097742843457, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45139514280879145, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.45139514280879145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10511463147555422, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10511463147555422, "ret_p6m": 0.9193586952001063, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9193586952001063, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7487941407424159, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7487941407424159, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17056455445769036, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17056455445769036, "ret_p1y": 0.8206113896588789, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8206113896588789, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5137241991002022, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5137241991002022, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30688719055867675, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30688719055867675, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021971323949627086, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03294945808541516, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03294945808541516, "price_path": [0.2047, 0.1299, 0.1621, 0.1359, 0.1949, 0.2465, 0.233, 0.2118, 0.2097, 0.3076, 0.2789, 0.3194, 0.3192, 0.3302, 0.2812, 0.3091, 0.2687, 0.2477, 0.2814, 0.3202, 0.3693, 0.3361, 0.3411, 0.4004, 0.4066, 0.4173, 0.3821, 0.3933, 0.3761, 0.3368, 0.3313, 0.2781, 0.2294, 0.2982, 0.2865, 0.2448, 0.2547, 0.2878, 0.2516, 0.2503, 0.2339, 0.2437, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1685, 0.1699, 0.1155, 0.1142, 0.1209, 0.128, 0.1822, 0.1717, 0.1529, 0.0691, 0.0666, 0.0001, -0.0066, -0.0276, 0.0103, -0.0167, -0.0242, -0.0591, -0.0338, 0.0, -0.0149, -0.0047, 0.0431, 0.0268, 0.0227, -0.0053, 0.0101, 0.0221, -0.0303, -0.0314, 0.0013, -0.0113, 0.0125, 0.0198, -0.019, -0.0327, -0.094, -0.0748, -0.0445, 0.0091, 0.022, 0.0132, 0.026, 0.0037, 0.1937, 0.1933, 0.1702, 0.1439, 0.1904, 0.3056, 0.3232, 0.3135, 0.3404, 0.3199, 0.447, 0.5253, 0.5043, 0.5043, 0.4754, 0.3772, 0.4371, 0.48, 0.5046, 0.6155, 0.5759, 0.6191, 0.6088, 0.671, 0.638, 0.591, 0.6491, 0.6355, 0.6296, 0.5881, 0.55, 0.5325, 0.5827, 0.5576, 0.5576, 0.5449, 0.5323, 0.5635, 0.5565, 0.5565, 0.5847, 0.6991, 0.7672, 0.7884, 0.7753, 0.777, 0.8801, 0.8208, 0.8923, 0.8091, 0.8091, 0.8117, 0.7885, 0.7077, 0.7385, 0.6851, 0.653, 0.64, 0.6696, 0.6433, 0.6618, 0.6736, 0.7544, 0.7929, 0.7871, 0.8503, 0.816, 0.8555, 0.8044, 0.8314, 0.8314, 0.8885, 0.8923, 0.8145, 0.8493, 0.9333, 0.9242, 1.0458, 1.0513, 1.0283, 1.1299, 1.0616, 1.0798, 1.1098, 1.2438, 1.282, 1.187, 1.2903, 1.2531, 1.231, 1.2088, 1.1135, 1.1376, 1.0125, 1.0029, 0.9796, 0.8763, 0.9063, 0.9246, 0.9826, 0.9266, 0.9194]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1420805117738168325", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-29T17:55:12+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian junior oil companies", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm buying stakes in CDN junior oil companies trading at 1.9x-2.2x EV/CF and 25%-40% FCF yields at $70WTI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Actively buying Canadian junior oil equities at deep value multiples; 20%+ dividend yields imminent at $70 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian junior oil: ATH, Baytex, Whitecap", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm buying stakes in CDN junior oil companies trading at 1.9x-2.2x EV/CF and 25%-40% FCF yields at $70WTI that in some cases in the next few Q's can start paying a 20% dividend yield (and grow it). Opportunities like this should not exist...yet they do...for now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003828330352571722, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003828330352571722, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00030208844314346317, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00573548178629609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004130418795715185, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009563812138867811, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0003971779046353004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0003971779046353004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005253607326284289, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016336713937319242, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004856429421648989, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015939536032683943, "ret_p1w": -0.030215238762646052, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030215238762646052, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03273428794962581, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007700836469901901, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025190491869797604, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02251440229274415, "ret_p1m": -0.03720113488053863, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03720113488053863, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058987070762041315, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01966755472532885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021785935881502683, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017533580155209783, "ret_p3m": 0.5539829085492465, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5539829085492465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5159237064957516, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36134516562158403, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03805920205349489, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19263774292766245, "ret_p6m": 0.6835346344009176, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6835346344009176, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6829063318119871, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40783913647575465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0006283025889304295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2756954979251629, "ret_p1y": 1.4881137006627005, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.4881137006627005, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.6090019716702058, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.024987399052354, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1208882710075051, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4631263016103466, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5539829085492465, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5159237064957516, "alpha_c_stated": 0.36134516562158403, "price_path": [-0.1439, -0.1222, -0.0929, -0.1045, -0.0883, -0.1081, -0.1183, -0.0996, -0.1287, -0.1002, -0.0649, -0.0758, -0.106, -0.1251, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.1268, -0.1128, -0.0952, -0.071, -0.0071, 0.0403, 0.012, 0.0082, 0.0297, 0.0167, 0.0247, 0.0309, 0.0412, 0.051, 0.0656, 0.0998, 0.1095, 0.0712, 0.0808, 0.1764, 0.1522, 0.17, 0.1718, 0.1673, 0.1489, 0.1363, 0.1472, 0.1472, 0.1652, 0.203, 0.1455, 0.0875, 0.1048, 0.1312, 0.1011, 0.112, 0.0789, 0.0327, -0.0001, -0.0731, -0.0457, -0.002, -0.0015, -0.0125, 0.0117, -0.0121, -0.0038, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0004, 0.002, -0.0421, -0.0302, -0.0397, -0.0527, -0.0106, 0.0131, -0.0123, -0.0352, -0.0641, -0.0765, -0.0948, -0.1201, -0.1342, -0.0828, -0.0671, -0.0613, -0.071, -0.0372, -0.0378, -0.0339, -0.0485, 0.0195, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.0022, -0.0034, -0.0061, 0.0104, 0.068, 0.0927, 0.1453, 0.1415, 0.1176, 0.0754, 0.1063, 0.1832, 0.2018, 0.2357, 0.3142, 0.322, 0.3216, 0.3391, 0.3681, 0.4206, 0.4217, 0.4011, 0.4206, 0.439, 0.439, 0.4429, 0.4273, 0.4701, 0.503, 0.5154, 0.5459, 0.5816, 0.5487, 0.56, 0.5652, 0.554, 0.4931, 0.5234, 0.5166, 0.5511, 0.5501, 0.5205, 0.5664, 0.6276, 0.7121, 0.7546, 0.6741, 0.707, 0.6792, 0.6401, 0.6253, 0.5935, 0.5867, 0.509, 0.5623, 0.6112, 0.6269, 0.6367, 0.4985, 0.5445, 0.4806, 0.4393, 0.4453, 0.4699, 0.5597, 0.6199, 0.6217, 0.588, 0.5995, 0.5582, 0.4887, 0.4739, 0.4436, 0.4194, 0.3923, 0.4816, 0.4836, 0.4912, 0.4983, 0.4983, 0.4983, 0.5612, 0.5516, 0.5582, 0.5582, 0.597, 0.5877, 0.6444, 0.6407, 0.641, 0.7353, 0.785, 0.7162, 0.7775, 0.8293, 0.8129, 0.7878, 0.7634, 0.6835]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1402350652316082179", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-08T19:43:44+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "imminent and meaningful return of capital. Debt has nearly been paid down. Q3 = sector wide share buybacks and dividend increases. Perhaps this will wake the generalist from their coma", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: debt paydown complete, Q3 buybacks/dividends incoming should attract generalist investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm 8 meetings deep at the RBC Energy Conference and one theme is consistent: imminent and meaningful return of capital.  Debt has nearly been paid down. Q3 = sector wide share buybacks and dividend increases.  Perhaps this will wake the generalist from their coma. https://t.co/YdY3t6UP8W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008573086038008104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008573086038008104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008359990422609043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008359990422609043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00021309561539906152, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00021309561539906152, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006251157337105351, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006251157337105351, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0047591785222450556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0047591785222450556, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014919788148602953, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014919788148602953, "ret_p1w": 0.0035719962250420068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0035719962250420068, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0016379362281357945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0016379362281357945, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005209932453177801, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005209932453177801, "ret_p1m": -0.06086902563015495, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06086902563015495, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0930783427832842, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0930783427832842, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03220931715312925, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03220931715312925, "ret_p3m": -0.12275605706898429, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12275605706898429, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19920345139089135, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19920345139089135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07644739432190706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07644739432190706, "ret_p6m": -0.01366582014553086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01366582014553086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08741261055724947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08741261055724947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07374679041171861, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07374679041171861, "ret_p1y": 0.623646064160351, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.623646064160351, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6512018651894, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6512018651894, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.027555801029049087, "bench_c_p1y": -0.027555801029049087, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12275605706898429, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19920345139089135, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19920345139089135, "price_path": [-0.0552, -0.0533, -0.064, -0.0907, -0.0837, -0.1248, -0.1247, -0.1331, -0.1457, -0.1243, -0.1211, -0.0993, -0.11, -0.1177, -0.1238, -0.1014, -0.1014, -0.1229, -0.1252, -0.1222, -0.1336, -0.1393, -0.1461, -0.1452, -0.1215, -0.1286, -0.1356, -0.1365, -0.1593, -0.1486, -0.1586, -0.1509, -0.1452, -0.1348, -0.105, -0.095, -0.1179, -0.0936, -0.0931, -0.0638, -0.0589, -0.0422, -0.0418, -0.0664, -0.062, -0.0734, -0.0447, -0.0225, -0.0452, -0.0689, -0.0704, -0.0684, -0.0591, -0.0782, -0.07, -0.0693, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0316, -0.0136, -0.0109, -0.0043, -0.0086, 0.0, -0.0063, -0.0075, -0.0109, -0.0152, 0.0036, -0.0018, -0.0357, -0.0643, -0.0244, -0.0179, -0.0152, -0.0067, -0.0015, -0.0352, -0.0399, -0.028, -0.0111, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0454, -0.0609, -0.0663, -0.0464, -0.0479, -0.0551, -0.0832, -0.0961, -0.1217, -0.1527, -0.1413, -0.1114, -0.1213, -0.1246, -0.1029, -0.1112, -0.1031, -0.0944, -0.1089, -0.1155, -0.1004, -0.1247, -0.1148, -0.1067, -0.1193, -0.1038, -0.0968, -0.0977, -0.1083, -0.1247, -0.1338, -0.1518, -0.1738, -0.172, -0.141, -0.1267, -0.12, -0.1334, -0.1103, -0.1208, -0.1267, -0.1395, -0.1177, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.128, -0.1392, -0.1374, -0.1377, -0.113, -0.1258, -0.0932, -0.1035, -0.1101, -0.1373, -0.1353, -0.1086, -0.0774, -0.0705, -0.0374, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0487, -0.0168, -0.0007, 0.0051, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0331, 0.0293, 0.0302, 0.0293, 0.0419, 0.047, 0.0477, 0.0596, 0.0681, 0.0484, 0.0583, 0.0738, 0.08, 0.049, 0.0565, 0.0495, 0.0676, 0.0576, 0.0488, 0.0503, 0.0639, 0.0736, 0.078, 0.0495, 0.0535, 0.051, 0.0597, 0.0614, 0.0451, 0.0389, -0.0016, 0.0161, 0.0473, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.015, 0.0208, -0.0031, -0.0137]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1217066041492299776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-14T12:48:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "15% FCF yields will not last", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CDN energy midcaps generating 15% FCF yields that won't last; implied valuation re-rating higher ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy: BTE, WCP, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another day, another CDN midcap demonstrating how much free cash flow the sector is currently generating. 15% FCF yields will not last. #OOTT https://t.co/88tqcKjbu9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00027318422755101546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00027318422755101546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018003586000659433, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00010626587435308421, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015271743725149278, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00016691835319793125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021051905531254106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021051905531254106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02331181765779375, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013698817244094358, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022599121265396427, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007353088287159748, "ret_p1w": -0.016189784687002357, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016189784687002357, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027947446640657597, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013555826451602387, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01175766195365524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029745611138604744, "ret_p1m": -0.13005214860378525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13005214860378525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16049967137398072, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04983841374486722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030447522770195468, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08021373485891803, "ret_p3m": -0.6362426493059347, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6362426493059347, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4908339779537576, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21560104128115498, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14540867135217705, "bench_c_p3m": -0.4206416080247797, "ret_p6m": -0.5484778518817143, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5484778518817143, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5240124674432285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1754113228062567, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.024465384438485782, "bench_c_p6m": -0.37306652907545756, "ret_p1y": -0.3601094861878663, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3601094861878663, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5232249667796981, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03564649783180618, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16311548059183179, "bench_c_p1y": -0.32446298835606013, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13005214860378525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16049967137398072, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04983841374486722, "price_path": [-0.1529, -0.1752, -0.1818, -0.1779, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.179, -0.1931, -0.1857, -0.2054, -0.2383, -0.1899, -0.1619, -0.1423, -0.1442, -0.1435, -0.1502, -0.1548, -0.1695, -0.1788, -0.1783, -0.1651, -0.2026, -0.2371, -0.2144, -0.2042, -0.2029, -0.2042, -0.2253, -0.1976, -0.1909, -0.2002, -0.2168, -0.2324, -0.1946, -0.189, -0.1445, -0.1071, -0.098, -0.1041, -0.0772, -0.0814, -0.058, -0.0137, -0.0167, 0.017, 0.006, 0.0642, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0857, 0.0969, 0.0854, 0.0854, 0.0787, 0.1084, 0.1383, 0.1256, 0.0662, 0.0695, 0.0245, -0.0003, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.0035, -0.0039, 0.0047, -0.0162, -0.0432, -0.0563, -0.0943, -0.1349, -0.1208, -0.1094, -0.12, -0.1393, -0.1468, -0.1483, -0.0986, -0.1128, -0.1416, -0.1673, -0.1642, -0.1301, -0.13, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.1465, -0.1172, -0.1204, -0.142, -0.1921, -0.2266, -0.237, -0.2759, -0.2649, -0.2585, -0.2726, -0.2663, -0.2937, -0.3573, -0.5618, -0.5648, -0.6247, -0.6928, -0.6685, -0.7201, -0.7317, -0.7632, -0.7308, -0.7389, -0.7518, -0.7319, -0.6838, -0.6952, -0.7238, -0.7046, -0.691, -0.6975, -0.6674, -0.6429, -0.6427, -0.6388, -0.6258, -0.6362, -0.6362, -0.6285, -0.6469, -0.6618, -0.6803, -0.6591, -0.6587, -0.6578, -0.6368, -0.6243, -0.638, -0.6459, -0.6381, -0.6031, -0.582, -0.5936, -0.5921, -0.5822, -0.5981, -0.5953, -0.6038, -0.6077, -0.6158, -0.637, -0.6337, -0.6249, -0.6249, -0.5962, -0.5638, -0.5708, -0.5731, -0.5739, -0.5703, -0.5674, -0.5767, -0.5911, -0.5787, -0.5468, -0.5383, -0.5071, -0.4381, -0.385, -0.4184, -0.4554, -0.5304, -0.5123, -0.518, -0.5162, -0.5317, -0.5339, -0.5372, -0.5488, -0.5244, -0.5514, -0.5507, -0.5625, -0.5575, -0.5477, -0.5477, -0.531, -0.5288, -0.5273, -0.5389, -0.5485]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1497206398773510152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-02-25T13:46:36+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The energy sector has entered a golden era of free cashflow. Debt free next year and with 15 years of drilling inventory on average, the tsunami of free cashflow can only go one place: shareholders. Epic dividends (and buybacks) ahead + valuations near generational lows!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: debt-free soon, 15yr drilling inventory, epic dividends/buybacks ahead, valuations near generational lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The energy sector has entered a golden era of free cashflow. Debt free next year and with 15 years of drilling inventory on average, the tsunami of free cashflow can only go one place: shareholders. Epic dividends (and buybacks) ahead + valuations near generational lows! https://t.co/RzhRZnfCJE\n\n---\n\n\"We are in a golden era of free cash flow.\" Hear how the soon-to-launch Ninepoint Energy Income Fund (coming March 7th) will seek to benefit from this environment in a 7 minute interview recorded today on @BNNBloomberg with @AndrewBellBNN.\nhttps://t.co/ncaqdc65ux", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025696947441679274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025696947441679274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004109307408166396, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004109307408166396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.021587640033512878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021587640033512878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024680358684319836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024680358684319836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02723876077638754, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02723876077638754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002558402092067702, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002558402092067702, "ret_p1w": 0.09218919899213485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09218919899213485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10493605552895602, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10493605552895602, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012746856536821172, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012746856536821172, "ret_p1m": 0.125647977225118, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.125647977225118, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08092756093402587, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08092756093402587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044720416291092135, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044720416291092135, "ret_p3m": 0.2603447652498285, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2603447652498285, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34976896995510387, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34976896995510387, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08942420470527535, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08942420470527535, "ret_p6m": 0.1754726635924968, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1754726635924968, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22418702201547347, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22418702201547347, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04871435842297667, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04871435842297667, "ret_p1y": 0.362494629809738, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.362494629809738, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4045631583896959, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4045631583896959, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.04206852857995791, "bench_c_p1y": -0.04206852857995791, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.362494629809738, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4045631583896959, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4045631583896959, "price_path": [-0.2176, -0.2259, -0.2034, -0.2097, -0.198, -0.1792, -0.1793, -0.1856, -0.1796, -0.2024, -0.2057, -0.2096, -0.2046, -0.2207, -0.2304, -0.2085, -0.2034, -0.203, -0.203, -0.1855, -0.1861, -0.1913, -0.1963, -0.1943, -0.1693, -0.1405, -0.1407, -0.1215, -0.1095, -0.1122, -0.082, -0.0803, -0.0849, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0597, -0.0665, -0.0751, -0.0934, -0.0873, -0.0518, -0.0534, -0.0431, -0.0472, -0.043, -0.0089, -0.0057, -0.0151, 0.0003, 0.0131, -0.0087, -0.0004, -0.0067, 0.0222, -0.0019, -0.0123, -0.0044, -0.006, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.028, -0.018, -0.0257, 0.0, 0.0247, 0.035, 0.0587, 0.0616, 0.0922, 0.1083, 0.1257, 0.0913, 0.1247, 0.1157, 0.0823, 0.0427, 0.0379, 0.0736, 0.0726, 0.1158, 0.1076, 0.1267, 0.1295, 0.1542, 0.1256, 0.1227, 0.1358, 0.1204, 0.1295, 0.1309, 0.1132, 0.1198, 0.1344, 0.1657, 0.1306, 0.1494, 0.1665, 0.1704, 0.1704, 0.1875, 0.1778, 0.1824, 0.1448, 0.1169, 0.0799, 0.0814, 0.0972, 0.1305, 0.1015, 0.1191, 0.1504, 0.1982, 0.1802, 0.2153, 0.1148, 0.1249, 0.14, 0.1448, 0.184, 0.2152, 0.2293, 0.1978, 0.1934, 0.1985, 0.2302, 0.2348, 0.2603, 0.2743, 0.2976, 0.2976, 0.2781, 0.2989, 0.2948, 0.3119, 0.3105, 0.3496, 0.3525, 0.3226, 0.3002, 0.2323, 0.2347, 0.2074, 0.1394, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.1329, 0.0876, 0.0473, 0.0611, 0.0922, 0.1217, 0.0827, 0.0599, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.033, 0.0154, 0.052, 0.0516, 0.0415, 0.0212, 0.0196, 0.0003, 0.0166, 0.0399, 0.0719, 0.0822, 0.0633, 0.0545, 0.0932, 0.0833, 0.1077, 0.114, 0.1623, 0.1383, 0.1356, 0.103, 0.0621, 0.0831, 0.0888, 0.1079, 0.1159, 0.1543, 0.163, 0.1403, 0.1377, 0.1472, 0.178, 0.1777, 0.1755]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1214549036092575757", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-07T14:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Morgan Stanley increasing '20 Brent forecast to $65/bbl from $60", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares multiple Wall Street upgrades to Brent and WTI price forecasts for 2020, implying bullish oil outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wall Street oil price upgrades today: Morgan Stanley increasing '20 Brent forecast to $65/bbl from $60. Citi ups '20 WTI to $61 vs. $56. Macquarie calling for $70WTI in \"the next few months.\" A $5/bbll increase is significant...here's my matrix for a CDN midcap oilco: #OOTT https://t.co/LYg2h5oSLR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009374645532635562, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009374645532635562, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00655521151166516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00655521151166516, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028194340209704016, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028194340209704016, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04145297115592539, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04145297115592539, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0467824547394583, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0467824547394583, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005329483583532912, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005329483583532912, "ret_p1w": -0.05536837505734338, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05536837505734338, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06999325778356058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06999325778356058, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014624882726217203, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014624882726217203, "ret_p1m": -0.19027389047174958, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19027389047174958, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22166192677134178, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22166192677134178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03138803629959219, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03138803629959219, "ret_p3m": -0.5003661595490085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5003661595490085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2739211039006779, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2739211039006779, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.22644505564833062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.22644505564833062, "ret_p6m": -0.3843562202142645, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3843562202142645, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3564393947595599, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3564393947595599, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02791682545470464, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02791682545470464, "ret_p1y": -0.24871827394858348, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24871827394858348, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4134407679887938, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4134407679887938, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16472249404021033, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16472249404021033, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19027389047174958, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22166192677134178, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22166192677134178, "price_path": [-0.1343, -0.1137, -0.1307, -0.1396, -0.1296, -0.1225, -0.1296, -0.1364, -0.1255, -0.104, -0.0967, -0.0915, -0.0981, -0.0978, -0.1122, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0899, -0.0778, -0.0956, -0.0876, -0.0844, -0.0892, -0.091, -0.0864, -0.0877, -0.0728, -0.0854, -0.1078, -0.086, -0.063, -0.0715, -0.0677, -0.0586, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.0855, -0.1077, -0.1091, -0.0772, -0.0715, -0.0568, -0.0589, -0.0576, -0.0666, -0.0596, -0.0447, -0.0429, -0.0318, -0.0308, -0.0253, -0.0312, -0.0275, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0051, -0.0016, 0.0025, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0296, 0.0048, 0.0094, 0.0, -0.0415, -0.0425, -0.0482, -0.0596, -0.0554, -0.0625, -0.0535, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0539, -0.0741, -0.0913, -0.111, -0.1311, -0.1283, -0.1239, -0.1462, -0.1481, -0.2024, -0.2096, -0.1903, -0.1954, -0.2021, -0.2197, -0.2089, -0.1828, -0.1747, -0.1604, -0.1604, -0.1541, -0.134, -0.1312, -0.1431, -0.1753, -0.1951, -0.2174, -0.2357, -0.26, -0.2398, -0.2404, -0.2511, -0.2678, -0.3369, -0.4967, -0.4548, -0.4758, -0.5134, -0.5042, -0.5598, -0.5792, -0.6356, -0.583, -0.6048, -0.6041, -0.6023, -0.5988, -0.6142, -0.6348, -0.6666, -0.6669, -0.6376, -0.5614, -0.5004, -0.5159, -0.5332, -0.519, -0.5389, -0.5389, -0.5351, -0.5664, -0.5944, -0.5925, -0.5887, -0.6255, -0.7169, -0.7016, -0.6876, -0.686, -0.7072, -0.7003, -0.6698, -0.6299, -0.6127, -0.6016, -0.5464, -0.5647, -0.5685, -0.5464, -0.566, -0.5609, -0.5724, -0.544, -0.5239, -0.4901, -0.4925, -0.4763, -0.4718, -0.4854, -0.4854, -0.4702, -0.4911, -0.4831, -0.4825, -0.4387, -0.4204, -0.4172, -0.4142, -0.3804, -0.4024, -0.3968, -0.3888, -0.4353, -0.4327, -0.4182, -0.4, -0.4037, -0.392, -0.382, -0.369, -0.3756, -0.4096, -0.3987, -0.3992, -0.389, -0.3972, -0.3844]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1171599068159717377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-11T01:39:19+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas drillers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This particular index event allowed us to scoop up shares in high quality companies at very distressed valuations [<3X EV/CF] that have all subsequently begun to re-rate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian drillers/gas producers bought at distressed valuations (<3X EV/CF) and now re-rating; author holds live positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil & gas sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The best opportunities often come from periods of maximum fear when uncertainty is at its highest. This particular index event allowed us to scoop up shares in high quality companies at very distressed valuations [&lt;3X EV/CF] that have all subsequently begun to re-rate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ICYMI: Canada's largest drilling companies and major natural gas producers brace for another setback — exclusion from the S&amp;P/TSX Composite index https://t.co/dYoVQ0x1gP via @nationalpost", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007060928112599396, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007060928112599396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007060928112599396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007060928112599396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004640685940346279, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004640685940346279, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0011766373881987313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0011766373881987313, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034640485521475473, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034640485521475473, "ret_p1w": 0.06496492350502336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06496492350502336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06213347841930461, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06213347841930461, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028314450857187534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028314450857187534, "ret_p1m": -0.06561504699216614, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06561504699216614, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04677797068013434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04677797068013434, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018837076312031797, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018837076312031797, "ret_p3m": 0.024319563492506857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024319563492506857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025903919345513504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025903919345513504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05022348283802036, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05022348283802036, "ret_p6m": -0.1733939686867897, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1733939686867897, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1903821900683601, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1903821900683601, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016988221381570412, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016988221381570412, "ret_p1y": -0.36122580546025507, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.36122580546025507, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5521616779505716, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5521616779505716, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19093587249031652, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19093587249031652, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06561504699216614, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04677797068013434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04677797068013434, "price_path": [0.0255, 0.0404, 0.0497, 0.0406, 0.0592, 0.051, 0.0499, 0.0429, 0.0592, 0.0325, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0209, 0.0255, 0.0325, 0.0302, 0.022, 0.0371, 0.058, 0.0592, 0.058, 0.0534, 0.036, 0.0232, 0.0058, 0.0139, 0.0197, 0.0244, 0.0139, -0.0162, -0.0244, -0.0418, -0.0186, -0.007, -0.029, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0731, -0.0777, -0.0626, -0.0592, -0.0719, -0.0626, -0.094, -0.1009, -0.0928, -0.0696, -0.0824, -0.0731, -0.0789, -0.1079, -0.1067, -0.1114, -0.0835, -0.0592, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0731, -0.065, -0.0406, -0.0441, -0.0232, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0128, 0.1044, 0.08, 0.065, 0.0603, 0.0661, 0.065, 0.0465, 0.0407, 0.0348, 0.0302, 0.0208, -0.0131, -0.0352, -0.0317, -0.0341, -0.0352, -0.0715, -0.075, -0.0656, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0516, -0.0563, -0.0539, -0.0633, -0.0539, -0.0516, -0.0469, -0.0551, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0481, -0.0598, -0.0785, -0.0493, -0.0189, -0.0072, -0.0236, 0.0185, 0.0208, 0.0185, 0.0091, 0.0045, -0.0002, 0.0115, -0.0037, -0.0166, -0.0096, -0.0002, -0.006, 0.0033, -0.0084, -0.0002, -0.0002, -0.0154, -0.0201, -0.0364, -0.0131, -0.0201, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0313, 0.0232, 0.0465, 0.0453, 0.0524, 0.071, 0.0687, 0.0862, 0.0804, 0.0967, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0939, 0.1021, 0.1257, 0.1245, 0.1033, 0.1127, 0.1057, 0.0963, 0.0998, 0.0892, 0.088, 0.0786, 0.0774, 0.0621, 0.0539, 0.048, 0.0291, 0.0021, 0.0068, 0.0091, 0.0079, -0.0215, -0.0297, -0.0274, 0.0103, -0.0038, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0191, -0.0085, -0.0144, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0133, 0.0056, 0.0079, -0.0085, -0.0486, -0.0757, -0.1027, -0.1228, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1569, -0.151, -0.1734]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1164532453702287361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-22T13:39:07+00:00", "symbol": "oil exploration and production", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "crude oil demand will continue to grow for decades to come. Relevant when E&P's trade as if this is a sunset industry", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish E&P sector: crude demand will grow for decades yet E&Ps are priced as a sunset industry.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sounds like the curtain is about to get partially pulled back on the over-hyped promises of \"green\" energy. The reality is crude oil demand will continue to grow for decades to come. Relevant when E&amp;P's trade as if this is a sunset industry. #OOTT https://t.co/XLjj7s09vC https://t.co/Q14iUpGKuX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012289640076580843, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012289640076580843, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01198198392407468, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01198198392407468, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00030765615250616385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00030765615250616385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0473373704486828, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0473373704486828, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021649926728829372, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021649926728829372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02568744371985343, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02568744371985343, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0007523046247939202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007523046247939202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0007523046247939202, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0007523046247939202, "ret_p1m": 0.08664436971327105, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08664436971327105, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06168397698350425, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06168397698350425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0249603927297668, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0249603927297668, "ret_p3m": -0.059520727700751674, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.059520727700751674, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13138565327344698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13138565327344698, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0718649255726953, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0718649255726953, "ret_p6m": -0.13851344804126464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13851344804126464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3042905294798546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3042905294798546, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16577708143858993, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16577708143858993, "ret_p1y": -0.3451632134948588, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3451632134948588, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5158732868929914, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5158732868929914, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1707100733981326, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1707100733981326, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3451632134948588, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5158732868929914, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5158732868929914, "price_path": [0.2302, 0.2116, 0.2179, 0.1866, 0.1617, 0.1726, 0.2029, 0.1603, 0.1698, 0.1721, 0.1648, 0.168, 0.1276, 0.154, 0.1322, 0.1517, 0.1821, 0.1762, 0.212, 0.2157, 0.1989, 0.183, 0.2217, 0.2185, 0.2403, 0.2381, 0.1944, 0.1916, 0.1916, 0.2066, 0.1916, 0.1944, 0.2198, 0.2062, 0.2144, 0.1816, 0.1584, 0.122, 0.1129, 0.127, 0.1306, 0.142, 0.1493, 0.1152, 0.102, 0.0815, 0.1365, 0.1393, 0.0683, 0.056, 0.0123, -0.0027, -0.005, 0.0241, 0.0146, -0.0009, 0.0055, -0.0455, -0.0542, -0.0241, 0.0159, 0.0077, 0.0123, 0.0, -0.0473, -0.0487, -0.0624, -0.0328, 0.0, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0369, -0.0114, 0.0146, 0.0109, 0.0678, 0.0774, 0.0806, 0.0583, 0.066, 0.1812, 0.1183, 0.101, 0.0792, 0.0866, 0.083, 0.0528, 0.0542, 0.0337, 0.0282, 0.0213, -0.0157, -0.0431, -0.0285, -0.0298, -0.0417, -0.0691, -0.0618, -0.0522, -0.0289, -0.0417, -0.0408, -0.0476, -0.0431, -0.0609, -0.054, -0.0385, -0.0198, -0.023, -0.0024, -0.0093, 0.0072, -0.0303, -0.0353, -0.002, 0.0464, 0.0478, 0.0158, 0.0364, 0.0433, 0.02, 0.0163, 0.0003, -0.0093, 0.0031, -0.028, -0.0595, -0.0545, -0.0408, -0.0385, -0.0303, -0.0545, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.07, -0.0696, -0.0846, -0.0563, -0.0641, -0.0303, -0.0239, -0.017, -0.023, 0.014, -0.0061, 0.0222, 0.0492, 0.0556, 0.0688, 0.0652, 0.0881, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0913, 0.073, 0.0716, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0853, 0.1023, 0.1097, 0.123, 0.0803, 0.0753, 0.0652, 0.05, 0.0615, 0.0491, 0.0431, 0.0262, 0.0262, -0.0078, -0.0298, -0.0459, -0.0624, -0.0963, -0.0839, -0.1032, -0.0995, -0.1211, -0.1362, -0.133, -0.0858, -0.1027, -0.1188, -0.1408, -0.1367, -0.1252, -0.1307, -0.1385]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1467865992734945281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-12-06T14:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "WCP.TO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WCP bought back a 19.2MM ($133MM) share block on Friday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish E&P sector; buybacks at WCP, ARX, CPG signal forced re-rating of trading multiples from generational lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Whitecap Resources on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Returns!!! WCP bought back a 19.2MM ($133MM) share block on Friday, ARX filed they bought back $100MM in stock in November, CPG announcing a $100MM 1H'22 share buyback. E&amp;P's will (in time) FORCE the re-rating of trading multiples from generational low levels. More to come!!! https://t.co/kfKOHZz5cN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.057795255185387306, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057795255185387306, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04609051489081373, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04314191836767134, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011704740294573579, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014653336817715967, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03897833197186795, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03897833197186795, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01829347581017271, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015568799426178392, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020684856161695242, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02340953254568956, "ret_p1w": -0.002688131887645606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002688131887645606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019645619750666143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0028514268438530888, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016957487863020537, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005539558731498695, "ret_p1m": 0.040821974873956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.040821974873956, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003725086122746246, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030774387315102514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04454706099670225, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07159636218905852, "ret_p3m": 0.29278314801794747, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29278314801794747, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33975304086495395, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03078332612535073, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04696989284700648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3235664741432982, "ret_p6m": 0.5373640429798989, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5373640429798989, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6313547053123572, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05616684457994081, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09399066233245823, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5935308875598397, "ret_p1y": 0.5091212027577521, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5091212027577521, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6187150720308311, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.21344044731237677, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10959386927307901, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7225616500701288, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.040821974873956, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003725086122746246, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030774387315102514, "price_path": [-0.2885, -0.2885, -0.2712, -0.2339, -0.2352, -0.2126, -0.2232, -0.2432, -0.2765, -0.2672, -0.2419, -0.2152, -0.1419, -0.0806, -0.0718, -0.0798, -0.0638, -0.0571, -0.0331, -0.0304, -0.0224, -0.0037, 0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0051, -0.0051, 0.0297, 0.023, 0.0096, 0.0056, 0.023, 0.0003, 0.0163, 0.0631, 0.047, 0.0163, 0.0047, -0.0047, 0.01, -0.0101, -0.0369, -0.0235, -0.0087, -0.0101, -0.0141, -0.0275, -0.0288, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0436, -0.0771, -0.0556, -0.0168, -0.0128, -0.0181, -0.0878, -0.0484, -0.086, -0.1183, -0.0927, -0.0578, 0.0, 0.039, 0.0349, 0.0282, 0.0269, -0.0027, -0.0417, -0.0551, -0.047, -0.0766, -0.078, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.0296, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.0188, 0.0094, -0.001, 0.0098, 0.0098, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0718, 0.0705, 0.0772, 0.1312, 0.1595, 0.1312, 0.177, 0.2067, 0.1905, 0.181, 0.1635, 0.1231, 0.1069, 0.1487, 0.1608, 0.1824, 0.2044, 0.2125, 0.2328, 0.249, 0.2328, 0.2328, 0.2166, 0.1544, 0.2193, 0.2369, 0.2652, 0.2477, 0.2761, 0.268, 0.2666, 0.2342, 0.2342, 0.2342, 0.2504, 0.2544, 0.267, 0.3104, 0.3375, 0.3348, 0.2928, 0.3538, 0.3754, 0.3904, 0.3361, 0.3402, 0.3416, 0.2752, 0.2535, 0.2548, 0.3172, 0.3036, 0.3836, 0.3714, 0.4134, 0.4161, 0.4689, 0.4283, 0.4283, 0.4256, 0.4052, 0.4229, 0.4161, 0.4079, 0.3372, 0.378, 0.4106, 0.3658, 0.4297, 0.465, 0.4759, 0.4759, 0.5329, 0.4962, 0.5207, 0.4609, 0.4256, 0.359, 0.3644, 0.4473, 0.48, 0.4351, 0.4037, 0.4173, 0.4678, 0.4446, 0.4787, 0.3179, 0.2974, 0.3492, 0.3165, 0.386, 0.4187, 0.4405, 0.4078, 0.3996, 0.3683, 0.3683, 0.3955, 0.4787, 0.4977, 0.5018, 0.5346, 0.5374]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1467865992734945281", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-12-06T14:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "ARX.TO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ARX filed they bought back $100MM in stock in November", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish E&P sector; buybacks at WCP, ARX, CPG signal forced re-rating of trading multiples from generational lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "ARC Resources on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Returns!!! WCP bought back a 19.2MM ($133MM) share block on Friday, ARX filed they bought back $100MM in stock in November, CPG announcing a $100MM 1H'22 share buyback. E&amp;P's will (in time) FORCE the re-rating of trading multiples from generational low levels. More to come!!! https://t.co/kfKOHZz5cN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005439521415080084, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005439521415080084, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006265218879493495, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009213815402635883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011704740294573579, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014653336817715967, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0471442736043417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0471442736043417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02645941744264646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023734741058652142, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020684856161695242, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02340953254568956, "ret_p1w": 0.0036265131453032673, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0036265131453032673, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01333097471771727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009166071876801962, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016957487863020537, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005539558731498695, "ret_p1m": 0.09169934415265102, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09169934415265102, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04715228315594877, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020102981963592503, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04454706099670225, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07159636218905852, "ret_p3m": 0.37331046033465864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37331046033465864, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4202803531816651, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049743986191360445, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04696989284700648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3235664741432982, "ret_p6m": 0.752149632476983, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.752149632476983, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8461402948094412, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15861874491714323, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09399066233245823, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5935308875598397, "ret_p1y": 0.7525554586953631, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7525554586953631, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8621493279684421, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.029993808625234264, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10959386927307901, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7225616500701288, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09169934415265102, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04715228315594877, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020102981963592503, "price_path": [-0.159, -0.1526, -0.1472, -0.1211, -0.1265, -0.0922, -0.076, -0.0958, -0.1085, -0.0949, -0.0706, -0.0201, 0.0006, 0.043, 0.0363, 0.0426, 0.0762, 0.0852, 0.0843, 0.1206, 0.0934, 0.1179, 0.1269, 0.1269, 0.0888, 0.0716, 0.0961, 0.0707, 0.0462, 0.0481, 0.0553, 0.0236, 0.0444, 0.0771, 0.0816, 0.0671, 0.0707, 0.0762, 0.0952, 0.0852, 0.0816, 0.0852, 0.1668, 0.1922, 0.1704, 0.1342, 0.1451, 0.1179, 0.1024, 0.107, 0.097, 0.0997, 0.0644, 0.0535, 0.0961, 0.0916, 0.0843, 0.0317, 0.0508, 0.0163, -0.0335, -0.0227, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0471, 0.0517, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0036, -0.0254, -0.0345, -0.019, -0.0317, -0.0118, 0.0363, 0.049, 0.0372, 0.039, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0762, 0.0396, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0917, 0.0862, 0.0954, 0.1191, 0.1374, 0.1868, 0.2334, 0.2224, 0.2444, 0.2828, 0.2901, 0.2682, 0.2371, 0.1914, 0.174, 0.2014, 0.195, 0.2087, 0.2919, 0.3614, 0.3806, 0.3715, 0.3834, 0.3815, 0.3806, 0.3002, 0.3249, 0.3303, 0.3605, 0.3358, 0.3468, 0.3623, 0.3468, 0.3166, 0.3166, 0.334, 0.3596, 0.3788, 0.3943, 0.4327, 0.4574, 0.4327, 0.3733, 0.4254, 0.4364, 0.4263, 0.4044, 0.4967, 0.4602, 0.3825, 0.3386, 0.3367, 0.3861, 0.4245, 0.5041, 0.4867, 0.5242, 0.5461, 0.5982, 0.5607, 0.5452, 0.5535, 0.5397, 0.5737, 0.5746, 0.57, 0.5507, 0.5719, 0.6114, 0.5857, 0.6105, 0.6372, 0.6464, 0.6464, 0.7549, 0.6749, 0.6997, 0.6335, 0.5912, 0.5397, 0.5553, 0.5848, 0.6188, 0.6381, 0.594, 0.6703, 0.7613, 0.7356, 0.6583, 0.467, 0.4468, 0.4624, 0.4689, 0.5378, 0.5783, 0.6473, 0.6215, 0.6344, 0.6473, 0.6473, 0.6749, 0.7356, 0.7255, 0.7494, 0.7991, 0.7521]}
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{"unit_id": "thread:1255223760522752009", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-04-28T19:54:00+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks look to have bottomed March 18th… Following the same playbook as 2016 but with much more upside???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Energy stocks bottomed March 18; still multibagger upside from here following 2016 playbook, with stocks still down 70%+ YTD.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks look to have bottomed March 18th (XEG/Fund +53%/+70%% since then). Oil printed negative ~ 1 month later on April 20th. Following the same playbook as 2016 but with much more upside??? Many stocks still down 70%+ YTD...still multibagger candidates from here #OOTT\n\n---\n\nEnergy sector sentiment has clearly improved with notable divergence in recent days (oil stocks up when oil is down). Demand for conference calls with advisors the highest in years + fund inflows nearly every day +Google search trends support that we've seen the worst #OOTT #EFT https://t.co/KXwKjBx48U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022388089145502277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022388089145502277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0270078766057672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0270078766057672, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004619787460264924, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004619787460264924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07407430441384122, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07407430441384122, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04789589610205813, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04789589610205813, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.026178408311783086, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026178408311783086, "ret_p1w": 0.025981032857633313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025981032857633313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0243707706808316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0243707706808316, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0016102621768017134, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0016102621768017134, "ret_p1m": 0.10724155905991495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10724155905991495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04494489692345405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04494489692345405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0622966621364609, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0622966621364609, "ret_p3m": 0.050055454298936874, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.050055454298936874, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07790490854975052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07790490854975052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1279603628486874, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1279603628486874, "ret_p6m": -0.16542734584055974, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16542734584055974, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3750176253829567, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3750176253829567, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20959027954239695, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20959027954239695, "ret_p1y": 0.4217933890183436, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4217933890183436, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05701253285181451, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05701253285181451, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.47880592187015814, "bench_c_p1y": 0.47880592187015814, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10724155905991495, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04494489692345405, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04494489692345405, "price_path": [0.4912, 0.4447, 0.4258, 0.4309, 0.4847, 0.4696, 0.4593, 0.452, 0.4683, 0.488, 0.4834, 0.4755, 0.4755, 0.4634, 0.4828, 0.4812, 0.4637, 0.3961, 0.3344, 0.2941, 0.2249, 0.2239, 0.2733, 0.2344, 0.2636, 0.2174, 0.149, -0.0824, -0.0389, -0.0897, -0.2033, -0.1298, -0.2482, -0.243, -0.3517, -0.3076, -0.3009, -0.3485, -0.2441, -0.2084, -0.16, -0.217, -0.209, -0.1968, -0.2366, -0.1667, -0.1755, -0.1318, -0.1133, -0.0542, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0658, -0.0702, -0.1139, -0.1517, -0.0616, -0.0909, -0.107, -0.0752, -0.0453, -0.0431, -0.0224, 0.0, 0.0741, 0.0503, -0.0091, 0.0252, 0.026, -0.0008, 0.0252, 0.0719, 0.0531, 0.0345, -0.0124, -0.0014, -0.0053, 0.076, 0.0459, 0.0876, 0.0702, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0931, 0.1072, 0.0763, 0.0713, 0.0901, 0.1205, 0.1534, 0.1537, 0.2394, 0.2952, 0.2465, 0.1852, 0.0735, 0.1006, 0.1039, 0.1357, 0.097, 0.1106, 0.0937, 0.0988, 0.0999, 0.0389, 0.0587, 0.0221, 0.0358, 0.0596, 0.0338, 0.0453, 0.0453, 0.0484, 0.0151, 0.0142, -0.0359, -0.0051, -0.0104, 0.0243, 0.0464, 0.0417, 0.0271, 0.01, 0.0711, 0.0579, 0.0559, 0.0501, 0.0512, 0.0333, 0.0548, 0.0134, 0.0086, 0.0123, 0.0369, 0.0478, 0.0394, 0.0408, 0.073, 0.0694, 0.08, 0.059, 0.0691, 0.0629, 0.0495, 0.0375, 0.0151, 0.0086, 0.0363, 0.0218, 0.0002, 0.0022, 0.0201, -0.002, -0.0087, -0.0135, -0.0208, -0.0238, -0.0238, -0.0594, -0.053, -0.0877, -0.0868, -0.0798, -0.0866, -0.0499, -0.0485, -0.0591, -0.0903, -0.0997, -0.1404, -0.1407, -0.1412, -0.121, -0.1452, -0.1478, -0.174, -0.166, -0.141, -0.1538, -0.1418, -0.1097, -0.1239, -0.1216, -0.1353, -0.1316, -0.121, -0.141, -0.1592, -0.1492, -0.1654]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1268173251295031296", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-06-03T13:30:39+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DOE confirms VLO's gasoline demand rebound with demand +12% week-over-week. The worst is clearly over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish WTI to $50+ in 2021 on recovering gasoline demand and shrinking crude surplus; VLO demand rebound confirms worst is over.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Valero at the RBC energy conference saying that US gasoline demand is back to 82% of normal. Bull case: inventory builds proved that demand destruction was not as great as initially feared...now signs that demand is recovering faster than most would have thought. $50+WTI in '21 https://t.co/228X66k6CT\n\n---\n\nCrude year-over-year surplus shrinks by 9MM Bbls (despite still high imports from Saudi) and DOE confirms VLO's gasoline demand rebound with demand +12% week-over-week. The worst is clearly over. Shale declines vs. return of shut-in production while demand gradually normalizes... https://t.co/XzvCLX5RGZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03331459821669147, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03331459821669147, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020181148740895827, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004797969638292154, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013133449475795644, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028516628578399317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006946671377287994, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006946671377287994, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00431996021321257, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007186472078322459, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026267111640754237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00023980070103446494, "ret_p1w": -0.021123113500489676, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021123113500489676, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042969374541981686, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04868117704257324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02184626104149201, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027558063542083566, "ret_p1m": -0.20130437728298134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20130437728298134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20586560272987853, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10757882988106193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004561225446897188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0937255474019194, "ret_p3m": -0.24124184263032067, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24124184263032067, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.365103503643355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10649843169958317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12386166101303431, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1347434109307375, "ret_p6m": -0.17124990681708852, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17124990681708852, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34273437295771814, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.142514813770242, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17148446614062962, "bench_c_p6m": -0.028735093046846516, "ret_p1y": 0.16580659773747475, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16580659773747475, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18467802515506815, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15203543250709872, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3504846228925429, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31784203024457347, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16580659773747475, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18467802515506815, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15203543250709872, "price_path": [-0.1195, -0.1849, -0.1563, -0.2405, -0.3864, -0.3035, -0.419, -0.4554, -0.5112, -0.4779, -0.4604, -0.5447, -0.5164, -0.4469, -0.3636, -0.3714, -0.3414, -0.3669, -0.4278, -0.4208, -0.437, -0.3566, -0.3299, -0.2798, -0.3008, -0.3008, -0.3063, -0.2889, -0.3482, -0.3719, -0.2776, -0.2978, -0.3098, -0.2942, -0.2733, -0.2673, -0.2244, -0.1923, -0.0749, -0.1158, -0.1799, -0.1115, -0.1204, -0.1499, -0.145, -0.08, -0.0848, -0.116, -0.1629, -0.1578, -0.1667, -0.0878, -0.092, -0.0454, -0.0682, -0.0689, -0.0689, -0.0261, -0.0051, -0.0483, -0.0553, -0.0561, -0.0333, 0.0, -0.0069, 0.0581, 0.072, 0.0103, -0.0211, -0.1398, -0.0957, -0.0985, -0.0621, -0.1165, -0.0838, -0.1046, -0.1117, -0.1119, -0.1775, -0.188, -0.2016, -0.1927, -0.1661, -0.1999, -0.2013, -0.2013, -0.1995, -0.247, -0.2489, -0.2881, -0.2394, -0.2454, -0.2288, -0.1887, -0.1979, -0.2136, -0.2298, -0.1837, -0.191, -0.1825, -0.1781, -0.1773, -0.1935, -0.1538, -0.2014, -0.2029, -0.2222, -0.235, -0.2552, -0.2573, -0.2402, -0.2274, -0.2259, -0.2047, -0.2326, -0.2143, -0.1978, -0.2102, -0.2171, -0.2397, -0.2408, -0.2066, -0.2173, -0.2252, -0.229, -0.2081, -0.2412, -0.243, -0.2366, -0.245, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2969, -0.3111, -0.3417, -0.3307, -0.3145, -0.3282, -0.2916, -0.293, -0.2972, -0.3167, -0.3158, -0.3578, -0.3568, -0.3663, -0.3533, -0.3737, -0.375, -0.4188, -0.4124, -0.3786, -0.3893, -0.389, -0.36, -0.3704, -0.3783, -0.4023, -0.3982, -0.4004, -0.4197, -0.4331, -0.4128, -0.4151, -0.4044, -0.3945, -0.4295, -0.448, -0.4779, -0.4585, -0.4429, -0.4243, -0.4304, -0.4377, -0.4297, -0.4493, -0.2775, -0.2792, -0.2816, -0.3179, -0.2653, -0.1968, -0.2047, -0.2473, -0.2479, -0.2536, -0.1762, -0.141, -0.1712, -0.1712]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1435613304110600197", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-08T14:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "NNRG", "kind": "etf", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Consider the Ninepoint Energy ETF (NNRG:NEO)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Recommends Ninepoint Energy ETF as a basket of Canadian oil stocks best positioned for FCF returns to shareholders in 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["NNRG.NE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Ninepoint Energy ETF on NEO Exchange", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='NE')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking for a focused basket of Canadian oil stocks that in my opinion are best positioned to return the most amount of free cashflow back to shareholders in 2022? Consider the Ninepoint Energy ETF (NNRG:NEO). Refer to the fund prospectus for more details. https://t.co/2etP2xsWLC https://t.co/DchxYYcx3U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010436233095794334, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010436233095794334, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009216382400203615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009216382400203615, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012198506955907185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012198506955907185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0033208170227339018, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033208170227339018, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009593139719973331, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009593139719973331, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004280130994731235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004280130994731235, "ret_p1w": 0.12191635834299963, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12191635834299963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1286361185013859, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1286361185013859, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006719760158386268, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006719760158386268, "ret_p1m": 0.29838692833111047, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29838692833111047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3224375390256814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3224375390256814, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02405061069457093, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02405061069457093, "ret_p3m": 0.3961099000590831, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3961099000590831, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3753743883772558, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3753743883772558, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0207355116818273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0207355116818273, "ret_p6m": 0.9687442418732732, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9687442418732732, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9959525678002756, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9959525678002756, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.027208325927002397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.027208325927002397, "ret_p1y": 1.2004466083224745, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.2004466083224745, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.2887953187758272, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.2887953187758272, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.08834871045335269, "bench_c_p1y": -0.08834871045335269, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.29838692833111047, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3224375390256814, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3224375390256814, "price_path": [0.092, 0.0863, 0.1072, 0.1039, 0.0574, 0.0598, 0.1423, 0.1205, 0.1371, 0.1376, 0.138, 0.0958, 0.1058, 0.1205, 0.1205, 0.1271, 0.1575, 0.111, 0.0731, 0.074, 0.0954, 0.0787, 0.0911, 0.0403, 0.0033, -0.0285, -0.0792, -0.0512, -0.0119, -0.0057, -0.01, 0.0033, -0.0237, -0.0104, -0.0038, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0247, -0.0318, -0.0171, -0.0147, -0.0432, -0.0038, 0.0052, -0.0062, -0.0351, -0.0674, -0.0816, -0.0996, -0.1238, -0.12, -0.0659, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0398, -0.0095, -0.0128, -0.01, -0.0199, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0104, 0.0, -0.0033, 0.01, 0.0674, 0.0621, 0.1219, 0.1129, 0.0911, 0.0531, 0.0745, 0.121, 0.1499, 0.1788, 0.2377, 0.2215, 0.2301, 0.2348, 0.2476, 0.2699, 0.2932, 0.2827, 0.2984, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.3145, 0.3003, 0.3368, 0.3354, 0.3278, 0.3283, 0.3411, 0.3193, 0.3354, 0.3601, 0.3553, 0.3212, 0.3591, 0.3667, 0.3895, 0.3762, 0.3662, 0.3847, 0.4393, 0.4815, 0.4919, 0.4478, 0.4758, 0.4649, 0.4545, 0.4374, 0.4198, 0.4255, 0.3681, 0.3885, 0.4507, 0.4625, 0.462, 0.3681, 0.3805, 0.3231, 0.2913, 0.3164, 0.3359, 0.3961, 0.4606, 0.4625, 0.4435, 0.4578, 0.4084, 0.351, 0.3164, 0.3539, 0.3188, 0.3041, 0.3752, 0.389, 0.3942, 0.3947, 0.3947, 0.3947, 0.4611, 0.4421, 0.4792, 0.4792, 0.5416, 0.5324, 0.5818, 0.5789, 0.5842, 0.6645, 0.7003, 0.665, 0.7308, 0.7743, 0.753, 0.7438, 0.7124, 0.6713, 0.6606, 0.7293, 0.7191, 0.7187, 0.7724, 0.827, 0.857, 0.8855, 0.9063, 0.9286, 0.8947, 0.8154, 0.8609, 0.8667, 0.9228, 0.8972, 0.9039, 0.8972, 0.8884, 0.8497, 0.8497, 0.8502, 0.8604, 0.8846, 0.9407, 0.9953, 1.0316, 1.0224, 0.9687]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1075080029845913600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-12-18T17:27:07+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People are clearly panicking. This month to me feels very much like December 2015 with energy stocks in free fall... From the end of January 2016 to YE 2016 our Fund rallied by 143%. Lesson: don't panic.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector; draws analogy to Dec 2015 panic bottom that preceded a 143% rally; urges buying not selling.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People are clearly panicking. This month to me feels very much like December 2015 with energy stocks in free fall and the market stuck in a negative feedback loop begging for “good news.” From the end of January 2016 to YE 2016 our Fund rallied by 143%. Lesson: don’t panic.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In the past 28 years, there have been two times when every stock in the S&amp;P 500 Energy sector was below their 10-, 50-, and 200-day average and more than half were trading at 52-week lows.\n\n1) During the very depths of the 2008 financial crisis\n2) Now", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02419358738301458, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02419358738301458, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02309605020679384, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02309605020679384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001097537176220742, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001097537176220742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011760637325248346, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011760637325248346, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003215176940333242, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003215176940333242, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014975814265581588, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014975814265581588, "ret_p1w": -0.08696877399278002, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08696877399278002, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01102570880088305, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01102570880088305, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.07594306519189697, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07594306519189697, "ret_p1m": 0.05141070159254313, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05141070159254313, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02230584043535666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02230584043535666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029104861157186468, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029104861157186468, "ret_p3m": 0.11964695164201733, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11964695164201733, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005490271769795774, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005490271769795774, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11415667987222156, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11415667987222156, "ret_p6m": 0.037438273578270787, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.037438273578270787, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10475967610689496, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10475967610689496, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14219794968516575, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14219794968516575, "ret_p1y": 0.01993217414010151, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.01993217414010151, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22759942382773724, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22759942382773724, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24753159796783875, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24753159796783875, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05141070159254313, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02230584043535666, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02230584043535666, "price_path": [0.2535, 0.2618, 0.2802, 0.2885, 0.276, 0.276, 0.2725, 0.2902, 0.2915, 0.3019, 0.2965, 0.2964, 0.2954, 0.307, 0.266, 0.2231, 0.2265, 0.2162, 0.2263, 0.2186, 0.2125, 0.2018, 0.1885, 0.1574, 0.1117, 0.1253, 0.1169, 0.0961, 0.1215, 0.1284, 0.1379, 0.1351, 0.1541, 0.1594, 0.1784, 0.1529, 0.1509, 0.127, 0.1011, 0.0993, 0.1154, 0.1287, 0.1284, 0.0914, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.0738, 0.0899, 0.0869, 0.1055, 0.1127, 0.1107, 0.1354, 0.1028, 0.1028, 0.0825, 0.0764, 0.0596, 0.06, 0.0642, 0.0675, 0.0432, 0.0242, 0.0, -0.0118, -0.0391, -0.0485, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0302, -0.0251, -0.0325, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0083, -0.0181, 0.0153, 0.0304, 0.0384, 0.0548, 0.0579, 0.0516, 0.049, 0.0528, 0.0514, 0.0611, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.059, 0.0482, 0.0538, 0.0672, 0.0565, 0.0597, 0.0746, 0.0816, 0.1004, 0.103, 0.1047, 0.0965, 0.0723, 0.0674, 0.0724, 0.086, 0.0996, 0.1035, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1247, 0.1294, 0.112, 0.1152, 0.117, 0.1135, 0.1177, 0.1065, 0.1269, 0.1289, 0.1252, 0.1109, 0.1043, 0.0836, 0.1006, 0.1077, 0.1189, 0.1201, 0.1196, 0.1352, 0.1321, 0.142, 0.1501, 0.119, 0.1195, 0.1355, 0.1275, 0.1318, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1371, 0.1261, 0.1355, 0.1555, 0.1607, 0.1465, 0.1508, 0.1516, 0.1547, 0.1478, 0.1554, 0.1538, 0.1484, 0.1484, 0.1726, 0.1707, 0.1502, 0.1467, 0.1318, 0.1308, 0.1299, 0.1073, 0.088, 0.0981, 0.0991, 0.0896, 0.0896, 0.0896, 0.0947, 0.0759, 0.0891, 0.0947, 0.1007, 0.0896, 0.0901, 0.1027, 0.0856, 0.0492, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.0422, 0.0356, 0.0224, 0.0045, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0472, 0.0503, 0.0523, 0.0374]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1205141926489591810", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-12-12T15:06:40+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A successful outcome, even if just optically could easily lead to a massive re-rate for energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: trade deal resolution could drive massive re-rate as demand worries ease.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Demand worries have trumped those concerning supply YTD. A successful outcome, even if just optically could easily lead to a massive re-rate for energy stocks. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "U.S. Negotiators Also Offer to Cancel New China Tariffs Set to Take Effect on Dec. 15 - sources", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018101148411688972, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018101148411688972, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009555607749658024, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009555607749658024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008545540662030948, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008545540662030948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00756955422174721, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00756955422174721, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008168483851960118, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008168483851960118, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005989296302129077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005989296302129077, "ret_p1w": 0.009873184356785192, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009873184356785192, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002014616441336159, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002014616441336159, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01188780079812135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01188780079812135, "ret_p1m": 0.02352547352679424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02352547352679424, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00857905937581771, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00857905937581771, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03210453290261195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03210453290261195, "ret_p3m": -0.3916346478163517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3916346478163517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3055751264859914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3055751264859914, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08605952133036032, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08605952133036032, "ret_p6m": -0.21548457676870703, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21548457676870703, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2333542666120456, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2333542666120456, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.017869689843338588, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017869689843338588, "ret_p1y": -0.3378871724121115, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3378871724121115, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5016416231153353, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5016416231153353, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1637544507032238, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1637544507032238, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02352547352679424, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00857905937581771, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00857905937581771, "price_path": [0.0294, 0.0151, 0.0102, 0.0076, 0.0084, 0.0087, -0.0072, -0.0056, -0.0186, -0.0188, -0.0258, -0.0484, -0.0717, -0.0617, -0.0558, -0.0642, -0.0801, -0.0717, -0.0601, -0.0474, -0.0479, -0.0439, -0.0573, -0.0566, -0.0615, -0.0448, -0.0324, -0.0244, -0.0285, -0.0206, -0.0262, -0.0222, -0.0421, -0.0462, -0.0245, 0.0072, 0.0086, -0.012, 0.0028, -0.0013, -0.0069, -0.012, -0.0163, -0.0189, -0.0114, -0.0234, -0.0378, -0.0281, -0.0122, -0.0155, -0.0145, -0.0235, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0454, -0.0311, -0.0357, -0.0173, -0.0184, -0.0165, -0.0181, 0.0, -0.0076, 0.0058, 0.0064, 0.0102, 0.0099, 0.0196, 0.03, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0292, 0.0249, 0.0216, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0336, 0.0417, 0.0389, 0.0218, 0.0293, 0.0235, 0.0239, 0.024, 0.0165, 0.0182, 0.0117, 0.0117, -0.0064, -0.016, -0.0198, -0.0311, -0.0579, -0.0537, -0.0636, -0.056, -0.0855, -0.0975, -0.0942, -0.0602, -0.0697, -0.0762, -0.0809, -0.0706, -0.0581, -0.061, -0.066, -0.066, -0.0737, -0.0614, -0.0624, -0.0735, -0.1163, -0.1553, -0.1808, -0.2246, -0.2253, -0.194, -0.2186, -0.2001, -0.2294, -0.2727, -0.4192, -0.3916, -0.4238, -0.4957, -0.4491, -0.5241, -0.5208, -0.5896, -0.5617, -0.5575, -0.5876, -0.5215, -0.4989, -0.4683, -0.5043, -0.4993, -0.4916, -0.5168, -0.4725, -0.4781, -0.4505, -0.4387, -0.4013, -0.4067, -0.4067, -0.4086, -0.4114, -0.4391, -0.4631, -0.406, -0.4246, -0.4347, -0.4146, -0.3957, -0.3943, -0.3812, -0.367, -0.3201, -0.3352, -0.3728, -0.3511, -0.3506, -0.3675, -0.3511, -0.3215, -0.3334, -0.3451, -0.3749, -0.3679, -0.3703, -0.3189, -0.338, -0.3115, -0.3226, -0.3268, -0.3268, -0.308, -0.2991, -0.3187, -0.3219, -0.31, -0.2907, -0.2699, -0.2697, -0.2155]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1317107965833392131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-16T14:19:44+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many stocks are cheap today at strip and strip is likely $10+/bbl too low while sentiment seemingly can't get worse and fundamentals improving. Time to be contrarian???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian long energy sector: stocks cheap, oil strip ~$10/bbl underpriced, sentiment bottomed, fundamentals improving.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment towards the energy sector stinks. I get it. 2020 was to be the turning point and then COVID hit. Yet, many stocks are cheap today at strip and strip is likely $10+/bbl too low while sentiment seemingly can't get worse and fundamentals improving. Time to be contrarian??? https://t.co/xySwo2g0UG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023186337583889438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023186337583889438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022581923770493395, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022581923770493395, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000604413813396043, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000604413813396043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02119917075661415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02119917075661415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005995452208693686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005995452208693686, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015203718547920464, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015203718547920464, "ret_p1w": 0.006624590035425149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006624590035425149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01097293790780507, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01097293790780507, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004348347872379921, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004348347872379921, "ret_p1m": 0.19609141481186998, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19609141481186998, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15209395683834748, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15209395683834748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0439974579735225, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0439974579735225, "ret_p3m": 0.45007549863859575, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45007549863859575, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3518328488641702, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3518328488641702, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09824264977442554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09824264977442554, "ret_p6m": 0.6218443402332896, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6218443402332896, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42760189369964463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.42760189369964463, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19424244653364497, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19424244653364497, "ret_p1y": 0.9091025505594108, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9091025505594108, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6444511084978213, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6444511084978213, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2646514420615895, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2646514420615895, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19609141481186998, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15209395683834748, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15209395683834748, "price_path": [0.2468, 0.2315, 0.2292, 0.2224, 0.2237, 0.2028, 0.2279, 0.1797, 0.1741, 0.1784, 0.207, 0.2197, 0.21, 0.2116, 0.2491, 0.2448, 0.2572, 0.2328, 0.2445, 0.2373, 0.2217, 0.2077, 0.1816, 0.1741, 0.2064, 0.1894, 0.1643, 0.1666, 0.1875, 0.1617, 0.1539, 0.1484, 0.1399, 0.1363, 0.1363, 0.0949, 0.1024, 0.062, 0.063, 0.0711, 0.0633, 0.106, 0.1076, 0.0953, 0.059, 0.048, 0.0007, 0.0003, -0.0003, 0.0232, -0.005, -0.0079, -0.0384, -0.0291, 0.0, -0.0149, -0.001, 0.0364, 0.0199, 0.0225, 0.0066, 0.0109, 0.0232, 0.0, -0.0212, -0.0096, -0.0285, 0.0116, 0.0066, -0.0295, -0.0421, -0.0821, -0.054, -0.0487, -0.0162, -0.0219, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1305, 0.1189, 0.0828, 0.1222, 0.1961, 0.2083, 0.1732, 0.1924, 0.1862, 0.27, 0.3352, 0.3041, 0.3041, 0.2888, 0.2176, 0.2233, 0.263, 0.2763, 0.3458, 0.3143, 0.3339, 0.3369, 0.3779, 0.362, 0.3143, 0.3402, 0.3336, 0.3273, 0.3051, 0.2799, 0.2584, 0.2863, 0.2796, 0.2796, 0.2715, 0.2631, 0.2829, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.2742, 0.3312, 0.3719, 0.392, 0.3903, 0.4121, 0.4615, 0.4501, 0.493, 0.435, 0.435, 0.4638, 0.4692, 0.4195, 0.4121, 0.3977, 0.3678, 0.3494, 0.3652, 0.3198, 0.3292, 0.3437, 0.4011, 0.4165, 0.4286, 0.4883, 0.4726, 0.5008, 0.4776, 0.4994, 0.4994, 0.537, 0.5598, 0.5246, 0.5501, 0.6038, 0.6303, 0.6881, 0.6555, 0.6162, 0.6582, 0.6491, 0.6733, 0.7132, 0.7773, 0.7807, 0.7495, 0.7938, 0.7945, 0.7982, 0.7777, 0.727, 0.7404, 0.6622, 0.6626, 0.6466, 0.6225, 0.6632, 0.6693, 0.7107, 0.6904, 0.6758, 0.6642, 0.7067, 0.7067, 0.6659, 0.6615, 0.6673, 0.6456, 0.6347, 0.6218]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1160889536538435584", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-12T12:23:28+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stocks trading at 20%+ FCF yields will not last one way or another", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on deeply undervalued oil patch equities; 20%+ FCF yields unsustainable — expects re-rating via privatizations or price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Coming soon to the oil patch? This is what happens when market valuations dislocate too widely from fundamentals...privatizations at 80%+ premiums. Stocks trading at 20%+ FCF yields will not last one way or another #OOTT https://t.co/4vjy16ng3s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011986116257584278, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011986116257584278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0003369758416655877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0003369758416655877, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012323092099249866, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012323092099249866, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009246315698137941, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009246315698137941, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0063050665448736165, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0063050665448736165, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015551382243011558, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015551382243011558, "ret_p1w": -0.0020550726761036087, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020550726761036087, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01684306406873437, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01684306406873437, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014787991392630762, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014787991392630762, "ret_p1m": 0.0431506586260777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0431506586260777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008229067397945267, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008229067397945267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03492159122813243, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03492159122813243, "ret_p3m": 0.05303671748813854, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05303671748813854, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.021712506335413995, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.021712506335413995, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07474922382355254, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07474922382355254, "ret_p6m": -0.048832335371929436, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.048832335371929436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20204088829862588, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20204088829862588, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15320855292669644, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15320855292669644, "ret_p1y": -0.2988500714421354, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2988500714421354, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4499944379792842, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4499944379792842, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1511443665371488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1511443665371488, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0431506586260777, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008229067397945267, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008229067397945267, "price_path": [0.0868, 0.0928, 0.0817, 0.0822, 0.0948, 0.0778, 0.0417, 0.0456, 0.0456, 0.0347, 0.0281, 0.015, -0.0028, 0.01, 0.0274, 0.0161, 0.0349, 0.0397, 0.0427, 0.0447, 0.03, 0.042, 0.0352, 0.0439, 0.0583, 0.0571, 0.0805, 0.0884, 0.0786, 0.07, 0.0865, 0.0784, 0.0909, 0.092, 0.0745, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0803, 0.0818, 0.0827, 0.0966, 0.0988, 0.1034, 0.0935, 0.0818, 0.0695, 0.0697, 0.0747, 0.0796, 0.0825, 0.0872, 0.0748, 0.0693, 0.0651, 0.0771, 0.0736, 0.0493, 0.0342, 0.0034, 0.0022, -0.0053, 0.0233, 0.012, 0.0, 0.0092, -0.0303, -0.0363, -0.0236, -0.0021, -0.0104, -0.0041, -0.0086, -0.0418, -0.0377, -0.0437, -0.03, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0205, -0.0068, 0.0055, 0.0108, 0.031, 0.0432, 0.0442, 0.0377, 0.0459, 0.081, 0.0659, 0.0608, 0.058, 0.0589, 0.0593, 0.0425, 0.0442, 0.0306, 0.0304, 0.023, -0.0007, -0.0252, -0.0147, -0.0085, -0.0173, -0.0341, -0.0252, -0.013, 0.0003, -0.0002, 0.004, -0.01, -0.0093, -0.0145, 0.0031, 0.0161, 0.0245, 0.0202, 0.0285, 0.0226, 0.0268, 0.0059, 0.0015, 0.0244, 0.0577, 0.0591, 0.0375, 0.053, 0.0487, 0.0428, 0.0375, 0.033, 0.0302, 0.0382, 0.0256, 0.0104, 0.0206, 0.0373, 0.0339, 0.0349, 0.0254, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0024, 0.0174, 0.0126, 0.032, 0.0307, 0.0328, 0.0311, 0.0501, 0.0422, 0.0561, 0.0568, 0.0608, 0.0605, 0.0706, 0.0816, 0.0811, 0.0811, 0.0808, 0.0762, 0.0728, 0.0789, 0.0789, 0.0886, 0.0854, 0.0939, 0.091, 0.073, 0.0809, 0.0748, 0.0752, 0.0753, 0.0674, 0.0692, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.0434, 0.0333, 0.0293, 0.0175, -0.0107, -0.0062, -0.0167, -0.0088, -0.0397, -0.0522, -0.0488]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1143211216820682753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-24T17:36:08+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We look for US (and global) inventory draws in the coming weeks to help diminish all-consuming demand growth fears and bring a bid back into the space", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects US/global inventory draws in coming weeks to ease demand fears and bring buyers back to oil and oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Divergence between the oil price and oil stocks continues to widen as the market suffers from an overall buyer's strike. We look for US (and global) inventory draws in the coming weeks to help diminish all-consuming demand growth fears and bring a bid back into the space!  #OOTT https://t.co/P4bCu6aQYZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005242003310070409, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005242003310070409, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004015939482420627, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004015939482420627, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012260638276497815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012260638276497815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002929423984247226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002929423984247226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012737590173243829, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012737590173243829, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009808166188996603, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009808166188996603, "ret_p1w": 0.0030835175201997522, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0030835175201997522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0037959416569495197, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0037959416569495197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006879459177149272, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006879459177149272, "ret_p1m": -0.015880338723470278, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015880338723470278, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03764179485423136, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03764179485423136, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02176145613076108, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02176145613076108, "ret_p3m": -0.007092184399382195, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.007092184399382195, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03242907640622439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03242907640622439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025336892006842193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025336892006842193, "ret_p6m": 0.01911806740827604, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01911806740827604, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0742128411223566, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0742128411223566, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09333090853063264, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09333090853063264, "ret_p1y": -0.3566142591806223, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3566142591806223, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.45981028002428137, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.45981028002428137, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10319602084365909, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10319602084365909, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015880338723470278, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03764179485423136, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03764179485423136, "price_path": [0.0458, 0.0456, 0.0544, 0.064, 0.0695, 0.0686, 0.07, 0.0845, 0.0962, 0.0887, 0.1059, 0.092, 0.1031, 0.0974, 0.1058, 0.1042, 0.1096, 0.1096, 0.1415, 0.1488, 0.1497, 0.1463, 0.1124, 0.1107, 0.1224, 0.1129, 0.0908, 0.0924, 0.0984, 0.0774, 0.085, 0.0853, 0.0888, 0.0828, 0.0984, 0.1065, 0.1196, 0.1133, 0.1096, 0.1129, 0.0945, 0.0447, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0809, 0.0708, 0.031, -0.0057, -0.0552, -0.0446, -0.0652, -0.0492, -0.0242, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.0754, -0.0547, -0.0439, -0.0604, -0.0419, -0.0469, -0.0063, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0251, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0031, -0.0379, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0097, -0.0116, -0.0108, 0.0331, 0.0256, 0.0287, 0.025, -0.0079, -0.0185, -0.0452, -0.0368, -0.0247, -0.0159, -0.0259, -0.0227, -0.0216, -0.0177, -0.0022, 0.0048, -0.0672, -0.0458, -0.0779, -0.0913, -0.1331, -0.1153, -0.0976, -0.097, -0.0549, -0.0829, -0.1022, -0.0959, -0.0789, -0.0745, -0.0703, -0.0762, -0.0851, -0.095, -0.0825, -0.0674, -0.0583, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.1018, -0.0641, -0.0603, -0.0512, -0.035, -0.0382, -0.0624, -0.0691, -0.0715, 0.0641, -0.0048, -0.0194, -0.0071, -0.0089, -0.0014, -0.0271, -0.0381, -0.0327, -0.0455, -0.0629, -0.092, -0.1105, -0.1102, -0.1001, -0.1004, -0.1021, -0.1008, -0.0888, -0.0671, -0.085, -0.0944, -0.0839, -0.0763, -0.0839, -0.091, -0.0796, -0.0569, -0.0492, -0.0438, -0.0507, -0.0504, -0.0655, -0.0714, -0.0489, -0.0421, -0.0293, -0.0481, -0.0396, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0432, -0.0384, -0.0398, -0.0241, -0.0373, -0.0609, -0.0379, -0.0137, -0.0227, -0.0187, -0.0091, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0375, -0.0607, -0.0623, -0.0287, -0.0227, -0.0072, -0.0094, -0.008, -0.0176, -0.0102, 0.0056, 0.0074, 0.0191]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1143211216820682753", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-06-24T17:36:08+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Divergence between the oil price and oil stocks continues to widen as the market suffers from an overall buyer's strike", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects US/global inventory draws in coming weeks to ease demand fears and bring buyers back to oil and oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Divergence between the oil price and oil stocks continues to widen as the market suffers from an overall buyer's strike. We look for US (and global) inventory draws in the coming weeks to help diminish all-consuming demand growth fears and bring a bid back into the space!  #OOTT https://t.co/P4bCu6aQYZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009049043497985299, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009049043497985299, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007822979670335517, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007822979670335517, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012260638276497815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012260638276497815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007937797943544544, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007937797943544544, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0018703682454520587, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018703682454520587, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009808166188996603, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009808166188996603, "ret_p1w": 0.01238269773692302, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01238269773692302, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005503238559773749, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005503238559773749, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006879459177149272, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006879459177149272, "ret_p1m": 0.0036514002419321123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0036514002419321123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01811005588882897, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01811005588882897, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02176145613076108, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02176145613076108, "ret_p3m": -0.019050583185491465, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019050583185491465, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04438747519233366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04438747519233366, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025336892006842193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025336892006842193, "ret_p6m": -0.020172296636788323, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020172296636788323, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11350320516742096, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11350320516742096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09333090853063264, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09333090853063264, "ret_p1y": -0.26959763382670376, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26959763382670376, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.37279365467036285, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.37279365467036285, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10319602084365909, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10319602084365909, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0036514002419321123, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01811005588882897, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01811005588882897, "price_path": [0.0378, 0.0418, 0.0402, 0.0539, 0.0466, 0.0366, 0.0452, 0.0636, 0.0684, 0.0553, 0.0592, 0.06, 0.0628, 0.0566, 0.0635, 0.0621, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0794, 0.0776, 0.0588, 0.0555, 0.0418, 0.0408, 0.04, 0.0193, 0.0015, 0.0108, 0.0117, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0076, -0.0097, 0.0024, 0.0076, 0.0131, 0.0029, 0.0034, 0.015, -0.0007, -0.0342, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.0407, -0.0468, -0.0589, -0.0754, -0.0636, -0.0474, -0.058, -0.0405, -0.0361, -0.0333, -0.0314, -0.0451, -0.0339, -0.0402, -0.0322, -0.0188, -0.0199, 0.0018, 0.009, 0.0, -0.0079, 0.0073, -0.0002, 0.0114, 0.0124, -0.0038, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.0016, 0.003, 0.0038, 0.0167, 0.0187, 0.023, 0.0138, 0.003, -0.0084, -0.0083, -0.0037, 0.001, 0.0037, 0.0079, -0.0035, -0.0086, -0.0125, -0.0014, -0.0046, -0.0271, -0.0411, -0.0697, -0.0708, -0.0778, -0.0513, -0.0618, -0.0729, -0.0643, -0.101, -0.1065, -0.0948, -0.0748, -0.0826, -0.0767, -0.0808, -0.1116, -0.1078, -0.1134, -0.1007, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0919, -0.0792, -0.0678, -0.0629, -0.0441, -0.0329, -0.0319, -0.0379, -0.0303, 0.0022, -0.0117, -0.0165, -0.0191, -0.0182, -0.0179, -0.0335, -0.0319, -0.0445, -0.0447, -0.0516, -0.0735, -0.0963, -0.0865, -0.0807, -0.0889, -0.1044, -0.0963, -0.0849, -0.0726, -0.073, -0.0692, -0.0822, -0.0815, -0.0863, -0.07, -0.058, -0.0501, -0.0541, -0.0464, -0.0519, -0.048, -0.0674, -0.0714, -0.0503, -0.0194, -0.0181, -0.0381, -0.0237, -0.0277, -0.0331, -0.0381, -0.0423, -0.0448, -0.0375, -0.0492, -0.0633, -0.0538, -0.0383, -0.0415, -0.0405, -0.0493, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0706, -0.0567, -0.0612, -0.0432, -0.0444, -0.0424, -0.044, -0.0264, -0.0338, -0.0208, -0.0202]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1443189470183006212", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-29T12:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Cenovus Energy", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a company like Cenovus would have to more than triple", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish E&P equities esp. Cenovus: deeply undervalued vs Altria comparables; could more than triple if sector returns FCF to shareholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVE.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Cenovus Energy on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Stuck in an apathetic coma resulting from too many years of poor performance, energy ignorance, and ESG pressures, investors continue to ignore the generational opportunity right before their eyes.\" Read more in my 10th column for the @financialpost https://t.co/tLG6Wr7WTE\n\n---\n\nWhat if E&amp;P's pretended like the oil sector is  a sunset industry and just flowed all FCF back to investors??? To get to Altria's current valuation (11X EV/EBITDA, 7.5% div yield) a company like Cenovus would have to more than triple. ESG worries? Didn't seem to impact Altria! https://t.co/lvWddjyQN6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022568270095635556, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022568270095635556, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020887937792306244, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022568270095635556, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016803323033293127, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00622583408288413, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00622583408288413, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005996496739104518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008899971434641496, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012222330821988647, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015125805517525626, "ret_p1w": 0.03579762086480298, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03579762086480298, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03476178832205612, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006113432278905373, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0010358325427468618, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02968418858589761, "ret_p1m": 0.1361867144697153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1361867144697153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08124372635810184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042407212491120116, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05494298811161347, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09377950197859519, "ret_p3m": 0.1972949731528355, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1972949731528355, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09489729953917125, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12286893886714445, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239767361366425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07442603428569106, "ret_p6m": 0.5743791133308187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5743791133308187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5305833930782375, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08441042255755238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04379572025258116, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4899686907732663, "ret_p1y": 0.935828359806248, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.935828359806248, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.034932322063744, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.40216847991717297, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09910396225749618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.533659879889075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1361867144697153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08124372635810184, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042407212491120116, "price_path": [-0.0692, -0.0405, -0.0917, -0.115, -0.1259, -0.1166, -0.136, -0.1189, -0.1609, -0.1702, -0.206, -0.2339, -0.2324, -0.2098, -0.2129, -0.2137, -0.199, -0.2161, -0.2098, -0.1943, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.1819, -0.2386, -0.2168, -0.2091, -0.2262, -0.1997, -0.1865, -0.1803, -0.2005, -0.2285, -0.2363, -0.2479, -0.2619, -0.2588, -0.2199, -0.1881, -0.1826, -0.1959, -0.1819, -0.1912, -0.1865, -0.185, -0.1368, -0.1469, -0.1469, -0.1547, -0.1733, -0.178, -0.1757, -0.1337, -0.1572, -0.1074, -0.1253, -0.1416, -0.1611, -0.158, -0.0957, -0.056, -0.0568, -0.0257, -0.0226, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0093, 0.021, 0.0553, 0.0358, 0.0654, 0.0942, 0.0942, 0.1097, 0.0903, 0.1323, 0.123, 0.1089, 0.1152, 0.1175, 0.1191, 0.1284, 0.1525, 0.1447, 0.1089, 0.1362, 0.1518, 0.1767, 0.1556, 0.1696, 0.1875, 0.2132, 0.2646, 0.2732, 0.235, 0.2506, 0.2428, 0.2233, 0.2109, 0.2195, 0.2521, 0.1938, 0.1899, 0.263, 0.2856, 0.2856, 0.2148, 0.2342, 0.1798, 0.1782, 0.2054, 0.1844, 0.2202, 0.263, 0.2521, 0.2171, 0.2218, 0.1891, 0.1809, 0.1794, 0.1747, 0.1326, 0.1287, 0.1825, 0.2043, 0.1981, 0.1973, 0.1973, 0.1973, 0.2152, 0.2106, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.2698, 0.2932, 0.3447, 0.3525, 0.3432, 0.3915, 0.4102, 0.4071, 0.4539, 0.4812, 0.4539, 0.4492, 0.4375, 0.379, 0.3736, 0.4336, 0.4329, 0.4399, 0.436, 0.4422, 0.4984, 0.507, 0.5226, 0.5389, 0.5257, 0.4274, 0.489, 0.521, 0.5772, 0.5569, 0.5444, 0.5389, 0.5717, 0.5288, 0.5288, 0.5218, 0.507, 0.5046, 0.5155, 0.5545, 0.5358, 0.5608, 0.5202, 0.5928, 0.6341, 0.6669, 0.5834, 0.5904, 0.6006, 0.508, 0.4908, 0.4791, 0.5236, 0.5072, 0.5783, 0.5673, 0.5861, 0.5744]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1349021781231882247", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-12T15:53:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil small cap equities", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": "oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still leaning towards Canadian, oily, and small", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on small-cap Canadian oil equities; sees compelling value across energy with oil, gas, and services all cheap on free cash flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian small cap oil equities: ATH, BTE, WCP", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The biggest challenge for an energy investor right now? Deciding what to own when everything looks so compelling. Oil, natural gas, services...all generating gobs of free cashflow and trading at a fraction of historical levels. I’m still leaning towards Canadian, oily, and small. https://t.co/se1ONeR47J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05391256197019989, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05391256197019989, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.053701385526136014, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02015063614084478, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00021117644406387637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03376192582935511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02806576416341089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02806576416341089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030758523468394583, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02025705511076903, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002692759304983694, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00780870905264186, "ret_p1w": -0.07391500052648137, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07391500052648137, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07359814931266251, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07552295477595383, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0003168512138188584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0016079542494724652, "ret_p1m": 0.29040821028359204, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29040821028359204, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.260548466927017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263536497313759, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02985974335657504, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02687171296983304, "ret_p3m": 0.5668200952044938, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5668200952044938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4768767588642041, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44827847796301434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08994333634028973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11854161724147949, "ret_p6m": 1.5189626171435215, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5189626171435215, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.364412357625847, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2984792145785289, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15455025951767465, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22048340256499266, "ret_p1y": 2.6517870207215024, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.6517870207215024, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.3779080495766, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.320906916646573, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27387897114490256, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3308801040749294, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.29040821028359204, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.260548466927017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.263536497313759, "price_path": [-0.4755, -0.4834, -0.486, -0.4785, -0.4871, -0.4678, -0.4667, -0.4823, -0.4981, -0.5186, -0.5163, -0.5236, -0.4969, -0.4907, -0.5101, -0.4902, -0.4978, -0.4371, -0.4244, -0.4087, -0.4455, -0.4311, -0.3872, -0.3706, -0.3563, -0.3476, -0.3505, -0.2914, -0.2265, -0.2476, -0.2524, -0.2384, -0.2739, -0.2968, -0.2686, -0.2752, -0.2319, -0.2091, -0.1622, -0.1731, -0.1385, -0.1139, -0.1228, -0.1245, -0.1378, -0.1385, -0.149, -0.1932, -0.2106, -0.1792, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1973, -0.183, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1567, -0.056, -0.0711, -0.0538, -0.0319, -0.0539, 0.0, -0.0281, 0.0203, -0.0147, -0.031, -0.0739, -0.0545, -0.0652, -0.0555, -0.0583, -0.0854, -0.0493, -0.0654, -0.0915, -0.0311, 0.0113, 0.08, 0.2035, 0.2315, 0.281, 0.282, 0.2904, 0.2563, 0.2929, 0.2929, 0.3331, 0.3357, 0.2767, 0.2509, 0.363, 0.395, 0.5525, 0.4695, 0.4433, 0.4642, 0.4956, 0.5323, 0.5742, 0.8001, 0.8228, 0.8098, 0.8375, 0.8264, 0.7947, 0.7538, 0.6777, 0.7329, 0.5759, 0.6166, 0.5873, 0.4717, 0.5167, 0.4963, 0.545, 0.5664, 0.5684, 0.6074, 0.6662, 0.6662, 0.5867, 0.6249, 0.6048, 0.583, 0.5668, 0.5482, 0.5501, 0.6257, 0.5855, 0.5745, 0.5737, 0.5205, 0.5136, 0.4976, 0.5043, 0.4816, 0.5067, 0.6069, 0.6491, 0.7557, 0.9425, 0.9998, 1.0713, 1.0466, 1.0898, 1.0384, 1.0075, 1.0441, 0.9708, 1.0435, 1.1124, 1.0925, 1.0179, 0.9731, 1.0081, 1.0081, 0.9886, 1.0158, 1.0627, 1.1072, 1.2486, 1.3635, 1.2876, 1.2813, 1.3345, 1.3044, 1.3269, 1.3357, 1.3608, 1.3777, 1.423, 1.5215, 1.5692, 1.4914, 1.5291, 1.768, 1.7098, 1.7374, 1.7569, 1.7383, 1.71, 1.6686, 1.7001, 1.7001, 1.732, 1.8092, 1.6616, 1.519]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1163429713437757440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-19T12:37:13+00:00", "symbol": "Precision Drilling", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One by one as these announcements stack up the investment public will one day wake up to the opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Precision Drilling: buyback + debt reduction signals underappreciated opportunity that investors will eventually recognize.", "resolved_tickers": ["PD.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Precision Drilling on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Drilling'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Drilling", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Plan B\" continues to be adopted by industry: Precision Drilling this morning announcing a 10% share buyback plus ongoing debt reduction funded from free cash flow. One by one as these announcements stack up the investment public will one day wake up to the opportunity. #OOTT https://t.co/uVqqSoAjPq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15204680254201608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15204680254201608, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14014258843199978, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1304273993947257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011904214110016298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021619403147290384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05847953085917135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05847953085917135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05081663198242736, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05007206932726105, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007662898876743984, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008407461531910299, "ret_p1w": -0.1812865679716017, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1812865679716017, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16647442870164952, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14559723897567223, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014812139269952174, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03568932899592947, "ret_p1m": 0.12280703711243035, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12280703711243035, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09342263500848347, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05468731165313123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029384402103946883, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06811972545929912, "ret_p3m": -0.20467835800709955, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20467835800709955, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26847418810123613, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23702724106859685, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06379583009413659, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0323488830614973, "ret_p6m": -0.06432750625325911, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22214267477049177, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.042304099524011485, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15781516851723265, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02202340672924763, "ret_p1y": -0.49707601230295606, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.49707601230295606, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6558338490834175, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19500805738601423, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1587578367804614, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3020679549169418, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12280703711243035, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09342263500848347, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05468731165313123, "price_path": [0.614, 0.4912, 0.4912, 0.5029, 0.4737, 0.4269, 0.4327, 0.4444, 0.462, 0.5088, 0.4035, 0.4269, 0.4152, 0.3918, 0.4094, 0.3041, 0.345, 0.3041, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.3977, 0.4211, 0.4737, 0.4152, 0.4386, 0.4386, 0.4211, 0.4444, 0.4211, 0.4211, 0.3567, 0.345, 0.4269, 0.4152, 0.3918, 0.3099, 0.3216, 0.2573, 0.2807, 0.2982, 0.3275, 0.3216, 0.3275, 0.2749, 0.2398, 0.2515, 0.3509, 0.3275, 0.2515, 0.2105, 0.2105, 0.1287, 0.1111, 0.1228, 0.0643, -0.0234, -0.076, -0.1287, -0.1345, -0.152, 0.0, -0.0585, -0.1053, -0.1228, -0.1637, -0.1813, -0.152, -0.0994, -0.0351, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0585, -0.0175, 0.0292, 0.0585, 0.1053, 0.0877, 0.076, 0.0526, 0.0819, 0.1754, 0.1228, 0.0702, 0.076, 0.076, 0.1111, 0.0117, -0.0175, -0.0468, -0.076, -0.1111, -0.1111, -0.1637, -0.1228, -0.152, -0.1579, -0.1988, -0.2105, -0.1988, -0.193, -0.193, -0.1813, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1813, -0.1579, -0.1754, -0.193, -0.2047, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1579, -0.1696, -0.1813, -0.1637, -0.117, -0.1287, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1813, -0.1462, -0.1754, -0.193, -0.2047, -0.1813, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.1871, -0.1813, -0.1813, -0.1871, -0.193, -0.1579, -0.1754, -0.1637, -0.1871, -0.1462, -0.1404, -0.0292, -0.0058, -0.0409, -0.0468, -0.0292, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0526, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0702, 0.1228, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.0877, 0.0643, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0643, 0.0877, 0.1637, 0.1813, 0.1287, 0.2573, 0.2222, 0.1579, 0.1696, 0.1462, 0.1462, 0.1404, 0.117, 0.0585, 0.0117, -0.0409, -0.0526, -0.0468, -0.0819, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0877, -0.0994, -0.0819, -0.0234, -0.0292, -0.0526, -0.076, -0.0643]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1362436963438112772", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-02-18T16:20:59+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stocks at 16%+ FCF yields still massively undervalued!!!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil: inventory normalization by spring supports $60 WTI floor; oil equities at 16%+ FCF yields are massively undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another huge inventory week with the oil year-over-year surplus falling by 29% and the \"Big 3\" surplus falling by 18%. Looking like normalized inventories by Spring = $60WTI underpinning. Stocks at 16%+ FCF yields still massively undervalued!!! https://t.co/3mDkanU9Tf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023117610025320534, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023117610025320534, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018843456776333145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018843456776333145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004274153248987389, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004274153248987389, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016732763810320295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016732763810320295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01849887349940782, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01849887349940782, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001766109689087525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001766109689087525, "ret_p1w": 0.08586532113408296, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08586532113408296, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10733844623035904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10733844623035904, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02147312509627608, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02147312509627608, "ret_p1m": 0.09048900653108194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09048900653108194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0903978064725528, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0903978064725528, "bench_spy_p1m": 9.120005852913948e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 9.120005852913948e-05, "ret_p3m": 0.18950278302419066, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18950278302419066, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13173950179542793, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13173950179542793, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05776328122876273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05776328122876273, "ret_p6m": 0.11084927553547885, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11084927553547885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.037912366944854003, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.037912366944854003, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14876164248033286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14876164248033286, "ret_p1y": 0.6081073035684288, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6081073035684288, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.44814131019926884, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.44814131019926884, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15996599336915995, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15996599336915995, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09048900653108194, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0903978064725528, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0903978064725528, "price_path": [-0.167, -0.1242, -0.1446, -0.1446, -0.1546, -0.2013, -0.1977, -0.1716, -0.1629, -0.1173, -0.1379, -0.1251, -0.1231, -0.0962, -0.1066, -0.1379, -0.121, -0.1253, -0.1294, -0.144, -0.1605, -0.1746, -0.1563, -0.1607, -0.1607, -0.166, -0.1715, -0.1585, -0.1656, -0.1656, -0.1642, -0.1268, -0.1002, -0.087, -0.0881, -0.0738, -0.0414, -0.0489, -0.0207, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0399, -0.0363, -0.0689, -0.0738, -0.0832, -0.1028, -0.1149, -0.1046, -0.1343, -0.1281, -0.1187, -0.081, -0.0709, -0.063, -0.0238, -0.0341, -0.0156, -0.0308, -0.0165, -0.0165, 0.0081, 0.0231, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.052, 0.0694, 0.1072, 0.0859, 0.0601, 0.0876, 0.0817, 0.0975, 0.1237, 0.1658, 0.168, 0.1475, 0.1766, 0.177, 0.1794, 0.166, 0.1328, 0.1416, 0.0903, 0.0905, 0.08, 0.0642, 0.0909, 0.0949, 0.1221, 0.1087, 0.0992, 0.0916, 0.1194, 0.1194, 0.0927, 0.0898, 0.0936, 0.0794, 0.0722, 0.0638, 0.0649, 0.0945, 0.0856, 0.0769, 0.0758, 0.0473, 0.0607, 0.0482, 0.0578, 0.0649, 0.0778, 0.115, 0.1274, 0.0989, 0.1292, 0.1299, 0.1664, 0.1724, 0.1933, 0.1937, 0.163, 0.1686, 0.1543, 0.1902, 0.2178, 0.1895, 0.1599, 0.1581, 0.1606, 0.1721, 0.1483, 0.1586, 0.1595, 0.1617, 0.1617, 0.2064, 0.2289, 0.2322, 0.2405, 0.2351, 0.2458, 0.238, 0.2365, 0.2322, 0.2269, 0.2502, 0.2436, 0.2013, 0.1657, 0.2154, 0.2235, 0.2268, 0.2374, 0.2439, 0.2019, 0.196, 0.2109, 0.232, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.1893, 0.17, 0.1632, 0.1879, 0.1861, 0.1772, 0.1421, 0.1261, 0.0942, 0.0556, 0.0697, 0.107, 0.0947, 0.0906, 0.1176, 0.1073, 0.1174, 0.1282, 0.1102, 0.1019, 0.1207, 0.0904, 0.1028, 0.1129, 0.0971, 0.1165, 0.1252, 0.1241, 0.1108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1537415486228635656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-16T12:43:10+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN energy stocks discounting <$60WTI, $100-$120WTI \"happy-enough\" zone for consumers, and at $100WTI the sector trades at ~ 27% free cashflow yield, offering loads of \"returns\" and re-rate potential", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: sector priced below $60 WTI but offers ~27% FCF yield at $100 WTI with re-rate potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking for a silver lining to the WTI sell-off? It is better for all of us. CDN energy stocks discounting &lt;$60WTI, $100-$120WTI \"happy-enough\" zone for consumers, and at $100WTI the sector trades at ~ 27% free cashflow yield, offering loads of \"returns\" and re-rate potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053582342550226425, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053582342550226425, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01935343135760248, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01935343135760248, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.034228911192623945, "bench_c_m1d": 0.034228911192623945, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.056697943245689886, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.056697943245689886, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05885373706141406, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05885373706141406, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002155793815724172, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002155793815724172, "ret_p1w": -0.12834901311992397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12834901311992397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1639229095521023, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1639229095521023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03557389643217834, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03557389643217834, "ret_p1m": -0.16244156087389805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16244156087389805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2173813624272236, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2173813624272236, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05493980155332556, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05493980155332556, "ret_p3m": -0.03310346487469373, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03310346487469373, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10987449404568284, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10987449404568284, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0767710291709891, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0767710291709891, "ret_p6m": -0.029185310670303055, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.029185310670303055, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11087458257686778, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11087458257686778, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08168927190656472, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08168927190656472, "ret_p1y": -0.0529721971645184, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0529721971645184, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23757935961773058, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.23757935961773058, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18460716245321218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18460716245321218, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16244156087389805, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2173813624272236, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2173813624272236, "price_path": [-0.1068, -0.1143, -0.0981, -0.1, -0.0741, -0.096, -0.0997, -0.0941, -0.1003, -0.0866, -0.0729, -0.0885, -0.1009, -0.0847, -0.0654, -0.0891, -0.0673, -0.0517, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0143, -0.0287, -0.015, -0.0498, -0.0679, -0.0984, -0.0903, -0.0604, -0.0125, -0.0268, -0.0305, 0.0069, 0.0312, 0.0218, 0.0237, -0.0498, -0.053, -0.0361, -0.0486, -0.0112, 0.0137, 0.0274, 0.0112, 0.0162, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0467, 0.0685, 0.0729, 0.0916, 0.1171, 0.0879, 0.1072, 0.1072, 0.1103, 0.1196, 0.1452, 0.1533, 0.1402, 0.1227, 0.0879, 0.0679, 0.0536, 0.0, -0.0567, -0.0343, -0.0112, -0.0636, -0.1283, -0.0997, -0.0576, -0.018, -0.0532, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0463, -0.1103, -0.1455, -0.1066, -0.1166, -0.1285, -0.1574, -0.1606, -0.1744, -0.1624, -0.1329, -0.1116, -0.099, -0.1185, -0.131, -0.0997, -0.1072, -0.0796, -0.0607, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0519, -0.0921, -0.1304, -0.1141, -0.1091, -0.1028, -0.0934, -0.0582, -0.0501, -0.0651, -0.0771, -0.0632, -0.0375, -0.0419, -0.035, -0.0048, 0.0052, 0.0121, 0.0052, 0.0209, -0.018, -0.0268, -0.0488, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0482, -0.0777, -0.0695, -0.045, -0.0249, -0.0331, -0.003, -0.0268, -0.0375, -0.0312, -0.0356, -0.0563, -0.0727, -0.1452, -0.1745, -0.1554, -0.121, -0.1191, -0.1184, -0.0681, -0.026, -0.0075, 0.0122, 0.0135, 0.0135, -0.0266, -0.0273, 0.004, -0.0298, -0.0285, -0.0336, -0.0037, 0.0116, 0.0295, 0.0377, 0.0409, 0.0601, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0741, 0.0875, 0.0798, 0.1072, 0.1072, 0.1117, 0.1021, 0.0569, 0.0824, 0.106, 0.09, 0.1091, 0.0843, 0.0785, 0.0754, 0.0639, 0.0887, 0.076, 0.0785, 0.0766, 0.0594, 0.0747, 0.0645, 0.055, 0.0575, 0.0263, -0.0094, -0.0152, -0.0222, -0.0292]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1098423034661093376", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-21T03:23:53+00:00", "symbol": "WCS producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WCS stocks offer 100%+ upside at $60WTI/$17.50WCS diffs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WCS producer stocks; 100%+ upside at $60 WTI / $17.50 WCS differential scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "WCS-exposed Canadian producers: ATH, CVE, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Stephen44193985 Jackfish has been soft shopped for 2 years. Not indicative of free cash flow generating capabilities nor improving takeaway backdrop for WCS producers. WCS stocks offer 100%+ upside at $60WTI/$17.50WCS diffs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017803615510905074, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017803615510905074, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01423547621125702, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002095224755856922, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035681392996480543, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01570839075504815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0021486015836181815, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021486015836181815, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040511040753993255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0007488915050394285, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006199705659017507, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00289749308865761, "ret_p1w": 0.021663963186666895, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021663963186666895, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017122516583773655, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026544443207372963, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00454144660289324, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004880480020706068, "ret_p1m": -0.012786124489464146, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012786124489464146, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023816184237077542, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01909207769422594, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011030059747613397, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006305953204761794, "ret_p3m": 0.04350723853654903, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04350723853654903, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006192362247948613, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05180326537129709, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03731487628860042, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00829602683474806, "ret_p6m": -0.22013627716408593, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22013627716408593, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2710098742824437, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10456157535502111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.050873597118357816, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11557470180906482, "ret_p1y": -0.3121992465227151, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3121992465227151, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5414447300665177, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18649249939840445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2292454835438027, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12570674712431062, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012786124489464146, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023816184237077542, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01909207769422594, "price_path": [-0.0243, -0.0338, -0.059, 0.0046, -0.0026, 0.1124, 0.0718, 0.1018, 0.0274, 0.0411, -0.0148, -0.0331, -0.0013, 0.0405, 0.0087, -0.0487, -0.1013, -0.0802, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.1189, -0.0693, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0087, -0.0074, 0.0298, 0.0181, 0.0134, 0.0277, 0.0417, 0.0398, 0.0209, 0.0568, 0.0579, 0.0391, 0.0263, 0.0131, -0.0167, -0.0561, -0.0527, -0.0387, -0.0412, -0.0447, -0.0258, -0.0422, -0.0573, -0.0559, -0.0636, -0.0681, -0.095, -0.0997, -0.0906, -0.0769, -0.0397, -0.0303, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0216, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0004, 0.0348, 0.031, 0.0217, 0.0299, -0.0058, -0.0009, -0.0232, -0.0354, -0.0581, -0.0355, -0.0244, -0.0077, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0132, -0.0233, 0.0185, 0.03, -0.0128, -0.0323, 0.0034, -0.0173, -0.0297, -0.0378, -0.0206, -0.0198, -0.0393, -0.0225, 0.0255, 0.0678, 0.0599, 0.1681, 0.1538, 0.1694, 0.165, 0.1608, 0.1763, 0.1501, 0.1501, 0.2113, 0.2422, 0.2012, 0.173, 0.1405, 0.1484, 0.1286, 0.061, 0.0294, 0.0792, 0.0824, 0.0536, 0.0748, 0.0806, 0.0768, 0.0515, 0.0631, 0.0602, 0.0619, 0.0388, 0.0388, 0.0435, 0.0071, -0.0411, -0.0461, -0.0388, -0.0484, -0.0543, -0.0677, -0.093, -0.1149, -0.108, -0.1443, -0.1365, -0.1235, -0.1395, -0.131, -0.1569, -0.1235, -0.1382, -0.1189, -0.0853, -0.1002, -0.0691, -0.077, -0.0935, -0.1058, -0.0779, -0.104, -0.1106, -0.1106, -0.1191, -0.1216, -0.1248, -0.1275, -0.135, -0.1367, -0.1157, -0.1157, -0.1098, -0.109, -0.1111, -0.1143, -0.1285, -0.1142, -0.1066, -0.1027, -0.1153, -0.1359, -0.1312, -0.1547, -0.109, -0.1027, -0.124, -0.1565, -0.1565, -0.1763, -0.2148, -0.1902, -0.1924, -0.2121, -0.1721, -0.2236, -0.2398, -0.2201]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1592211718700400641", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-11-14T17:43:50+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "What of stocks? Debt targets being met in real time -> meaningful (finally!) return of capital to shareholders, offering the potential for a re-rate from valuation levels ~50% of historical averages", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil at $100 WTI floor in 2023+ on supply squeeze; energy equities poised to re-rate from 50%-of-historical-avg valuations on capital returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil trading down $3/bbl because OPEC forecasts oil demand to \"only\" grow by 2.2MM Bbl/d in 2023? Really?!? Why are so few asking the obvious question: where exactly are the incremental barrels going to come from??? A thread.\n\n---\n\nThe oil market has been undersupplied throughout the year, evidenced by falling inventories, despite recessionary fears, the largest SPR release in history, and China COVID-zero policies. An impressive feat! https://t.co/6VfynXDFFV\n\n---\n\nUS shale hyper-growth is over. \"Discipline is the new normal\" + another year of 15% service cost inflation means 0.5MM Bbl/d +/- of growth in '23 and Energy Aspects is calling for peak shale in '24. https://t.co/mfTEcvgKrX\n\n---\n\nHeadwinds of '22 becoming tailwinds in '23: SPR ending (~0.8MM Bbl/d) + China COVID-zero easing (0.5-1MM Bbl/d) + Euro fuel switching (0.3+ MM Bbl/d) + EU Russian import ban (0-1MM Bbl/d) = 1.6-3MM Bbl/d swing YOY. https://t.co/pt92PEVlth\n\n---\n\nOPEC to the rescue? Not with spare capacity largely exhausted and long-cycle realities delaying meaningful adds to 2025-2027. https://t.co/tF7PJ7H2nx\n\n---\n\nOutlook for 2023+? We believe in a fundamental floor of $100WTI. What of stocks? 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{"unit_id": "orig:1384855914088443904", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-21T13:05:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "happy to buy energy stocks trading at < 3x EV/CF and 20%+ FCF yields given the accelerating vaccine rollout and commensurate recovery in demand", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks on vaccine rollout, demand recovery, and post-COVID supply-constrained environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“I am happy”...to buy energy stocks trading at &lt; 3x EV/CF and 20%+ FCF yields given the accelerating vaccine rollout (I got mine yesterday) and commensurate recovery in demand. It’s all about a post-COVID, supply-challenged world. Everything else is short-term noise. https://t.co/ZZ55IsYYCu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012586668617909025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012586668617909025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032131320059477497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032131320059477497, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009373536611961275, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009373536611961275, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011747602306638072, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011747602306638072, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0026146081095765883, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0026146081095765883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009132994197061484, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009132994197061484, "ret_p1w": 0.05118477799884369, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05118477799884369, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04798846169821158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04798846169821158, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003196316300632107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003196316300632107, "ret_p1m": 0.0918815640812225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0918815640812225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09378030208561261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09378030208561261, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0018987380043901103, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0018987380043901103, "ret_p3m": -0.0048265327883333375, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0048265327883333375, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.029558580867602546, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.029558580867602546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02473204807926921, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02473204807926921, "ret_p6m": 0.22368833909639818, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22368833909639818, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1532676034763858, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1532676034763858, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07042073562001239, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07042073562001239, "ret_p1y": 0.7444873150792684, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7444873150792684, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6546231661788802, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6546231661788802, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08986414890038819, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08986414890038819, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0918815640812225, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09378030208561261, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09378030208561261, "price_path": [-0.1267, -0.1357, -0.1541, -0.1656, -0.1558, -0.1838, -0.178, -0.1691, -0.1336, -0.124, -0.1166, -0.0796, -0.0894, -0.0719, -0.0863, -0.0728, -0.0728, -0.0495, -0.0354, -0.0572, -0.0414, -0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0439, 0.0238, -0.0005, 0.0254, 0.0198, 0.0348, 0.0595, 0.0991, 0.1012, 0.0819, 0.1093, 0.1097, 0.112, 0.0993, 0.068, 0.0763, 0.0279, 0.0281, 0.0183, 0.0034, 0.0285, 0.0323, 0.0579, 0.0453, 0.0363, 0.0292, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.0302, 0.0275, 0.031, 0.0176, 0.0109, 0.0029, 0.004, 0.0319, 0.0235, 0.0153, 0.0143, -0.0126, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0027, 0.004, 0.0162, 0.0512, 0.0629, 0.0361, 0.0646, 0.0652, 0.0996, 0.1053, 0.125, 0.1254, 0.0965, 0.1017, 0.0883, 0.1221, 0.1481, 0.1215, 0.0936, 0.0919, 0.0942, 0.1051, 0.0827, 0.0923, 0.0931, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.1374, 0.1586, 0.1617, 0.1695, 0.1645, 0.1745, 0.1672, 0.1657, 0.1617, 0.1567, 0.1787, 0.1724, 0.1326, 0.099, 0.1458, 0.1535, 0.1567, 0.1666, 0.1728, 0.1331, 0.1276, 0.1416, 0.1615, 0.159, 0.159, 0.1213, 0.103, 0.0967, 0.12, 0.1183, 0.1098, 0.0768, 0.0617, 0.0316, -0.0048, 0.0085, 0.0437, 0.032, 0.0282, 0.0537, 0.0439, 0.0535, 0.0636, 0.0467, 0.0388, 0.0566, 0.028, 0.0397, 0.0492, 0.0344, 0.0526, 0.0609, 0.0598, 0.0473, 0.028, 0.0174, -0.0038, -0.0296, -0.0275, 0.0089, 0.0257, 0.0335, 0.0178, 0.045, 0.0327, 0.0257, 0.0106, 0.0363, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0242, 0.0111, 0.0132, 0.0128, 0.0418, 0.0267, 0.0651, 0.053, 0.0452, 0.0133, 0.0156, 0.0469, 0.0836, 0.0918, 0.1306, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1173, 0.1548, 0.1737, 0.1806, 0.1681, 0.1771, 0.2134, 0.2089, 0.21, 0.2089, 0.2237]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1540002865116319750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-23T16:04:29+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian small/mid cap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "to find many CDN small/mid caps down over 30% is truly staggering, especially when I believe they were mispriced to begin with", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian small/mid-cap energy stocks down 30%+ are oversold and were mispriced to begin with; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian small/mid cap energy: ATH, BTE, WCP, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Considering that oil is \"only\" down about 13% since the high in May, to find many CDN small/mid caps down over 30% is truly staggering, especially when I believe they were mispriced to begin with. Humans sitting on their hands and quants/algos having a field day. https://t.co/EZwTLrTDno", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1248327517612361, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1248327517612361, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13454011247995856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0863386723419538, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009707360718722469, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03849407941928229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05715178762326151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05715178762326151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025357989876591047, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043990266136511746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03179379774667046, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013161521486749761, "ret_p1w": 0.10030494083445796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10030494083445796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1024475794447276, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08827531449561532, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0021426386102696426, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012029626338842636, "ret_p1m": 0.041101125345263306, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.041101125345263306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003944653530966652, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03416644004448763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04504577887622996, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006934685300775678, "ret_p3m": 0.15652786726309192, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15652786726309192, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13640468040710024, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05349070128380823, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02012318685599168, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1030371659792837, "ret_p6m": 0.0922372054480183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0922372054480183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06961752949216751, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11466599122512153, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.022619675955850793, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20690319667313983, "ret_p1y": 0.10011377359062171, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10011377359062171, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.061744541139937964, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07630098630736401, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16185831473055967, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17641475989798572, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.041101125345263306, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003944653530966652, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03416644004448763, "price_path": [0.0942, 0.0813, 0.0802, 0.0585, 0.0731, 0.0825, 0.0642, 0.0337, 0.0606, 0.095, 0.0663, 0.0894, 0.1131, 0.1562, 0.1562, 0.2226, 0.1979, 0.2465, 0.2099, 0.1779, 0.1337, 0.142, 0.1887, 0.2198, 0.1815, 0.1625, 0.2278, 0.2488, 0.2202, 0.2067, 0.0821, 0.0872, 0.0986, 0.0776, 0.1266, 0.1661, 0.1805, 0.1519, 0.1657, 0.1506, 0.1506, 0.1687, 0.237, 0.2342, 0.2415, 0.2859, 0.257, 0.2822, 0.3177, 0.3693, 0.4097, 0.4792, 0.5067, 0.4942, 0.4661, 0.4296, 0.3683, 0.3473, 0.2827, 0.1905, 0.2104, 0.2363, 0.1248, 0.0, 0.0572, 0.1083, 0.1774, 0.1189, 0.1003, 0.1003, 0.1404, 0.026, -0.023, 0.0401, 0.0282, 0.0116, -0.0211, -0.0224, -0.0318, -0.0144, 0.0671, 0.091, 0.1104, 0.0588, 0.0411, 0.0945, 0.0814, 0.1396, 0.1322, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.1467, 0.0776, 0.0172, 0.0461, 0.0644, 0.0702, 0.0772, 0.1375, 0.1444, 0.1249, 0.0962, 0.1218, 0.1717, 0.1533, 0.1604, 0.2043, 0.2173, 0.2165, 0.2071, 0.2438, 0.1971, 0.1898, 0.1494, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1484, 0.0821, 0.0908, 0.1206, 0.1409, 0.137, 0.1815, 0.1498, 0.137, 0.1576, 0.1565, 0.1452, 0.1119, 0.0251, -0.0446, 0.0002, 0.0528, 0.0517, 0.0476, 0.1137, 0.1721, 0.2037, 0.2171, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.1566, 0.1456, 0.1887, 0.1451, 0.143, 0.1308, 0.1707, 0.1915, 0.1925, 0.2194, 0.2297, 0.2751, 0.2672, 0.2549, 0.2867, 0.3075, 0.2961, 0.3366, 0.3314, 0.3257, 0.3157, 0.2401, 0.2891, 0.3134, 0.2774, 0.3023, 0.2624, 0.2425, 0.2556, 0.2258, 0.2658, 0.246, 0.2526, 0.2578, 0.2476, 0.2809, 0.285, 0.2624, 0.2683, 0.2281, 0.1639, 0.1443, 0.1177, 0.1084, 0.1081, 0.121, 0.1215, 0.1224, 0.0922]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1172832350146875392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-14T11:19:57+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why I'm bullish on Canadian oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian oil stocks on current market dynamics and positive divergence.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was privileged to chat with @PTertzakian and @JackieForrest, two luminaries in the oil sector, on their podcast. We covered current market dynamics and why I’m bullish on Canadian oil stocks. Solid week last week with positive divergence! #OOTT https://t.co/vn9K8Gb3nB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08298345421944475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08298345421944475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08608182739943415, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08608182739943415, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022059016977348023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022059016977348023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0245912008149054, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0245912008149054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "ret_p1w": -0.035714800689698456, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.035714800689698456, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03380653706583059, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03380653706583059, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "ret_p1m": -0.14125922835939608, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14125922835939608, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1415934833649659, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1415934833649659, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "ret_p3m": -0.052424000109283164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052424000109283164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11383998787662819, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11383998787662819, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "ret_p6m": -0.48076903374422464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48076903374422464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4508400696719205, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4508400696719205, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "ret_p1y": -0.44466197086186, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.44466197086186, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6601492991602527, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6601492991602527, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14125922835939608, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1415934833649659, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1415934833649659, "price_path": [-0.0578, -0.041, -0.0483, -0.0494, -0.0557, -0.041, -0.0651, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0756, -0.0714, -0.0651, -0.0672, -0.0746, -0.0609, -0.042, -0.041, -0.042, -0.0462, -0.062, -0.0735, -0.0893, -0.0819, -0.0767, -0.0725, -0.0819, -0.1092, -0.1166, -0.1324, -0.1113, -0.1008, -0.1208, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1607, -0.1649, -0.1513, -0.1481, -0.1597, -0.1513, -0.1796, -0.1859, -0.1786, -0.1576, -0.1691, -0.1607, -0.166, -0.1922, -0.1912, -0.1954, -0.1702, -0.1481, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1607, -0.1534, -0.1313, -0.1345, -0.1155, -0.0945, -0.0945, -0.0903, -0.083, 0.0, -0.0221, -0.0357, -0.0399, -0.0347, -0.0357, -0.0524, -0.0577, -0.063, -0.0672, -0.0757, -0.1064, -0.1265, -0.1233, -0.1254, -0.1265, -0.1592, -0.1624, -0.1539, -0.137, -0.137, -0.1413, -0.1455, -0.1434, -0.1518, -0.1434, -0.1413, -0.137, -0.1444, -0.1349, -0.1423, -0.1381, -0.1487, -0.1656, -0.1391, -0.1116, -0.1011, -0.1159, -0.0778, -0.0757, -0.0778, -0.0863, -0.0905, -0.0947, -0.0842, -0.0979, -0.1095, -0.1032, -0.0947, -0.1, -0.0916, -0.1021, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1085, -0.1127, -0.1275, -0.1064, -0.1127, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0662, -0.0736, -0.0524, -0.0535, -0.0471, -0.0302, -0.0323, -0.0165, -0.0218, -0.0069, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0095, -0.0021, 0.0193, 0.0182, -0.001, 0.0075, 0.0011, -0.0074, -0.0042, -0.0138, -0.0148, -0.0234, -0.0244, -0.0383, -0.0458, -0.0511, -0.0682, -0.0927, -0.0884, -0.0863, -0.0873, -0.114, -0.1215, -0.1193, -0.0852, -0.098, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.1119, -0.1023, -0.1076, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1065, -0.0895, -0.0873, -0.1023, -0.1385, -0.163, -0.1876, -0.2057, -0.2132, -0.211, -0.2366, -0.2313, -0.2515, -0.2985, -0.4882, -0.4808]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1252238006116913153", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-20T14:09:40+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At some point stocks will diverge from the near-term and discount the meaningfully tighter oil market beginning in Q3'20", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Energy equities will decouple from spot oil weakness and rally as the oil market tightens materially in Q3 2020.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian condensate and WCS negative! CNBC flashing WTI (May)-35%...biggest drop in history! Yet...energy names holding up fairly well (-1% to -4%). At some point stocks will diverge from the near-term and discount the meaningfully tighter oil market beginning in Q3'20 #EFT #OOTT https://t.co/gpPNBf7wdt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03222868236870435, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03222868236870435, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014294879010970707, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014294879010970707, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017933803357733646, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017933803357733646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017634539843358277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017634539843358277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012728862719560197, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012728862719560197, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.030363402562918473, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030363402562918473, "ret_p1w": 0.07540282450711344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07540282450711344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056013109545814954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056013109545814954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019389714961298488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019389714961298488, "ret_p1m": 0.1505018373250977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1505018373250977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11363988625264065, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11363988625264065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.036861951072457044, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036861951072457044, "ret_p3m": 0.14585462191370913, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14585462191370913, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0016321292878795912, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0016321292878795912, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14422249262582953, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14422249262582953, "ret_p6m": -0.048765895585733854, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.048765895585733854, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3026400246059816, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3026400246059816, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.25387412902024775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25387412902024775, "ret_p1y": 0.5755559441271914, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5755559441271914, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10849292304400215, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.10849292304400215, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.4670630210831892, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4670630210831892, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14585462191370913, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0016321292878795912, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0016321292878795912, "price_path": [0.71, 0.7034, 0.6838, 0.6371, 0.6446, 0.6273, 0.6404, 0.5892, 0.5684, 0.5741, 0.6333, 0.6166, 0.6053, 0.5973, 0.6151, 0.6368, 0.6318, 0.6231, 0.6231, 0.6098, 0.6312, 0.6294, 0.6101, 0.5357, 0.4679, 0.4236, 0.3475, 0.3463, 0.4007, 0.3579, 0.39, 0.3391, 0.2639, 0.0093, 0.0572, 0.0013, -0.1236, -0.0427, -0.173, -0.1673, -0.2869, -0.2384, -0.231, -0.2834, -0.1684, -0.1292, -0.076, -0.1386, -0.1298, -0.1164, -0.1602, -0.0833, -0.093, -0.045, -0.0246, 0.0404, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0277, 0.0228, -0.0252, -0.0669, 0.0322, 0.0, -0.0176, 0.0173, 0.0502, 0.0526, 0.0754, 0.1, 0.1815, 0.1554, 0.09, 0.1277, 0.1286, 0.0991, 0.1277, 0.1791, 0.1584, 0.138, 0.0863, 0.0985, 0.0943, 0.1836, 0.1505, 0.1964, 0.1773, 0.17, 0.17, 0.2025, 0.218, 0.1839, 0.1785, 0.1991, 0.2326, 0.2688, 0.2691, 0.3633, 0.4247, 0.3712, 0.3037, 0.1809, 0.2107, 0.2144, 0.2493, 0.2067, 0.2216, 0.2031, 0.2087, 0.2099, 0.1428, 0.1646, 0.1243, 0.1394, 0.1656, 0.1372, 0.1499, 0.1499, 0.1532, 0.1166, 0.1157, 0.0606, 0.0944, 0.0886, 0.1268, 0.1511, 0.1459, 0.1298, 0.1111, 0.1782, 0.1637, 0.1616, 0.1551, 0.1563, 0.1366, 0.1603, 0.1148, 0.1095, 0.1135, 0.1406, 0.1526, 0.1434, 0.1449, 0.1803, 0.1763, 0.188, 0.1649, 0.176, 0.1693, 0.1545, 0.1412, 0.1166, 0.1095, 0.14, 0.124, 0.1003, 0.1024, 0.1221, 0.0978, 0.0904, 0.0852, 0.0772, 0.0738, 0.0738, 0.0347, 0.0418, 0.0036, 0.0045, 0.0122, 0.0048, 0.0452, 0.0467, 0.035, 0.0007, -0.0096, -0.0544, -0.0547, -0.0553, -0.0331, -0.0597, -0.0625, -0.0913, -0.0826, -0.055, -0.0691, -0.056, -0.0206, -0.0362, -0.0337, -0.0488]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1381953858700771330", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-04-13T12:54:10+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks = enormous opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil to $100 WTI and energy stocks broadly on supply crisis driven by shale discipline, supermajor underinvestment, and renewables hype.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The world is clearly approaching an oil supply crisis.  The ignorant assumption that renewables will displace oil usage in the short-term + shale discipline/exhaustion + supermajor wokeness = $100WTI in coming years. Energy stocks = enormous opportunity. https://t.co/lQ5znfCSFk https://t.co/pfNqeMotxi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0010447890868591214, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010447890868591214, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0019103815912631106, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019103815912631106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002955170678122232, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002955170678122232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027789279994077543, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027789279994077543, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031204504425598967, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031204504425598967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003415224431521424, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003415224431521424, "ret_p1w": -0.01650651681798765, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01650651681798765, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01483511217012301, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01483511217012301, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016714046478646383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016714046478646383, "ret_p1m": 0.09736753426515032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09736753426515032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11541259468232479, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11541259468232479, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018045060417174463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018045060417174463, "ret_p3m": 0.11554763154609038, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11554763154609038, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05721126442746893, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05721126442746893, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.058336367118621446, "bench_c_p3m": 0.058336367118621446, "ret_p6m": 0.16349707353569864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16349707353569864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10328139514437518, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10328139514437518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06021567839132347, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06021567839132347, "ret_p1y": 0.6700524417953226, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6700524417953226, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5617267588770638, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5617267588770638, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10832568291825884, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10832568291825884, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6700524417953226, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5617267588770638, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5617267588770638, "price_path": [-0.0804, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.0984, -0.0951, -0.1257, -0.1302, -0.1391, -0.1575, -0.1689, -0.1592, -0.1871, -0.1813, -0.1724, -0.137, -0.1275, -0.1201, -0.0833, -0.093, -0.0756, -0.0899, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0533, -0.0392, -0.0609, -0.0452, -0.0122, 0.0042, 0.0397, 0.0197, -0.0045, 0.0213, 0.0158, 0.0306, 0.0552, 0.0947, 0.0968, 0.0776, 0.1049, 0.1053, 0.1076, 0.0949, 0.0637, 0.072, 0.0238, 0.024, 0.0142, -0.0006, 0.0244, 0.0282, 0.0537, 0.0412, 0.0322, 0.0251, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0261, 0.0234, 0.027, 0.0136, 0.0069, -0.001, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0194, 0.0113, 0.0102, -0.0165, -0.004, -0.0157, -0.0067, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.047, 0.0587, 0.032, 0.0604, 0.061, 0.0953, 0.1009, 0.1206, 0.121, 0.0921, 0.0974, 0.084, 0.1176, 0.1435, 0.117, 0.0892, 0.0875, 0.0898, 0.1007, 0.0784, 0.088, 0.0888, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.1329, 0.154, 0.1571, 0.1649, 0.1598, 0.1699, 0.1626, 0.1611, 0.1571, 0.1521, 0.174, 0.1678, 0.1281, 0.0947, 0.1413, 0.1489, 0.1521, 0.162, 0.1681, 0.1286, 0.1231, 0.1371, 0.1569, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1168, 0.0987, 0.0923, 0.1155, 0.1139, 0.1054, 0.0725, 0.0575, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0045, 0.0396, 0.028, 0.0242, 0.0495, 0.0398, 0.0493, 0.0594, 0.0425, 0.0347, 0.0524, 0.0239, 0.0355, 0.045, 0.0303, 0.0484, 0.0567, 0.0556, 0.0431, 0.0239, 0.0134, -0.0077, -0.0335, -0.0314, 0.0049, 0.0216, 0.0294, 0.0138, 0.0408, 0.0286, 0.0216, 0.0066, 0.0322, 0.0263, 0.0263, 0.0201, 0.0071, 0.0092, 0.0087, 0.0377, 0.0227, 0.0609, 0.0488, 0.041, 0.0092, 0.0116, 0.0428, 0.0793, 0.0874, 0.1261, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1129, 0.1503, 0.1691, 0.1759, 0.1635]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1578392496584916994", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-10-07T14:31:10+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "near debt-free energy stocks trading at a 23%/27% free cashflow yields at $90/$100. What more Mr. Generalist do you need???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil and energy equities on OPEC+ floor, SPR expiry, EU embargo, China reopening, seasonal demand, and cheap FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"OPEC+ put\" in place, SPR ending in 2 months, EU Russia oil embargo December 5th, China starting to re-open, seasonally strongest Q for oil demand, and near debt-free energy stocks trading at a 23%/27% free cashflow yields at $90/$100. What more Mr. Generalist do you need???", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007823909441444954, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007823909441444954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020870280274492226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020870280274492226, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02869418971593718, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02869418971593718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020538103476204772, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020538103476204772, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012902756713939256, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012902756713939256, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007635346762265516, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007635346762265516, "ret_p1w": -0.018581968642422675, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018581968642422675, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004358945855385765, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004358945855385765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01422302278703691, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01422302278703691, "ret_p1m": 0.13679705570895218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13679705570895218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08949707994157197, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08949707994157197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04729997576738021, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04729997576738021, "ret_p3m": 0.04228812239926083, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04228812239926083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020371226468747894, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.020371226468747894, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06265934886800872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06265934886800872, "ret_p6m": 0.08049673835801618, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08049673835801618, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06179686984556754, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06179686984556754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14229360820358372, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14229360820358372, "ret_p1y": 0.14029034109477823, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14029034109477823, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05209171308562199, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05209171308562199, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19238205418040022, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19238205418040022, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04228812239926083, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.020371226468747894, "alpha_c_stated": -0.020371226468747894, "price_path": [-0.1668, -0.1681, -0.1838, -0.1705, -0.1515, -0.1254, -0.117, -0.1324, -0.1396, -0.108, -0.1161, -0.0962, -0.0911, -0.0517, -0.0713, -0.0734, -0.1, -0.1334, -0.1162, -0.1116, -0.096, -0.0895, -0.0582, -0.0511, -0.0696, -0.0717, -0.064, -0.0388, -0.0391, -0.0409, -0.0063, 0.0059, 0.0136, 0.0018, 0.0169, -0.0176, -0.0265, -0.0505, -0.033, -0.033, -0.042, -0.0531, -0.049, -0.0253, -0.0074, -0.0324, -0.0051, -0.0307, -0.0514, -0.0509, -0.0575, -0.0713, -0.0746, -0.1384, -0.1595, -0.1501, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1196, -0.0698, -0.0298, -0.0098, 0.0078, 0.0, -0.0205, -0.0284, -0.0205, 0.0194, -0.0186, -0.0064, 0.0023, 0.0319, 0.0329, 0.0627, 0.0677, 0.0688, 0.0834, 0.0873, 0.0911, 0.1002, 0.1109, 0.0841, 0.1042, 0.1176, 0.1368, 0.1379, 0.0823, 0.1064, 0.1385, 0.1381, 0.1501, 0.1267, 0.1291, 0.1202, 0.105, 0.1396, 0.1273, 0.1273, 0.1231, 0.0923, 0.1088, 0.1143, 0.1106, 0.104, 0.0713, 0.043, 0.0406, 0.0359, 0.0108, 0.0373, 0.057, 0.0505, 0.0441, 0.0313, 0.0312, 0.0467, 0.0666, 0.042, 0.0753, 0.0753, 0.0868, 0.0624, 0.0735, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.0424, 0.0423, 0.0613, 0.0814, 0.0776, 0.0853, 0.0886, 0.1094, 0.111, 0.111, 0.1133, 0.0929, 0.1065, 0.1175, 0.119, 0.1147, 0.1148, 0.15, 0.1268, 0.101, 0.1107, 0.0889, 0.064, 0.0617, 0.0569, 0.0912, 0.0814, 0.0722, 0.1142, 0.1113, 0.1117, 0.0928, 0.0821, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0383, 0.0314, 0.047, 0.0456, 0.0487, 0.0336, 0.054, 0.0633, 0.0777, 0.0782, 0.0595, 0.0486, 0.0338, 0.0206, -0.0002, 0.0097, -0.0445, -0.0342, -0.0494, -0.0303, 0.0032, -0.0181, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0072, 0.0081, 0.0221, 0.0266, 0.0337, 0.0805]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1291043614269767680", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-05T16:09:18+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian oil & gas stocks represent the most compelling energy opportunity in the world. I'll be on @marketcall tomorrow at 12ET to discuss why we are 100% invested in Canada", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "100% invested in Canadian oil & gas; endorses Goldman's view that it's the world's top energy opportunity with multi-bagger potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman Sachs out today supporting what we believe: Canadian oil &amp; gas stocks represent the most compelling energy opportunity in the world. I'll be on @marketcall tomorrow at 12ET to discuss why we are 100% invested in Canada and what multi-bagger opportunities we see. Tune in! https://t.co/78ACScPcv2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031068236438829167, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031068236438829167, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024895605197637782, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024895605197637782, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006172631241191384, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006172631241191384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015533726600638342, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015533726600638342, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008849338537689766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008849338537689766, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006684388062948576, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006684388062948576, "ret_p1w": 0.07184436667019867, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07184436667019867, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055795286583440795, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055795286583440795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016049080086757872, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016049080086757872, "ret_p1m": -0.017475931949188506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017475931949188506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05746293002169056, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05746293002169056, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039986998072502056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039986998072502056, "ret_p3m": -0.17470997552606427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17470997552606427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1729389306713054, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1729389306713054, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0017710448547588742, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0017710448547588742, "ret_p6m": 0.16878892340977325, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16878892340977325, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02230793828087707, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02230793828087707, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14648098512889618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14648098512889618, "ret_p1y": 0.6119985503391809, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6119985503391809, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.26758640834626934, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.26758640834626934, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3444121419929116, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3444121419929116, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017475931949188506, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05746293002169056, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05746293002169056, "price_path": [-0.0659, -0.0735, -0.062, -0.1158, -0.1139, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0409, 0.0149, -0.0044, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0101, -0.0063, -0.0197, -0.037, -0.0159, 0.0322, 0.0495, 0.061, 0.1475, 0.1802, 0.1379, 0.0918, -0.012, 0.0072, 0.0014, 0.0206, -0.0274, -0.0313, -0.037, -0.0351, -0.012, -0.0505, -0.0466, -0.0699, -0.0369, -0.0447, -0.0447, -0.0311, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0602, -0.0777, -0.0971, -0.068, -0.0757, -0.0369, -0.0175, -0.0291, -0.0427, -0.0602, 0.0233, 0.0117, -0.0117, -0.0155, -0.0058, -0.0408, -0.0233, -0.0427, -0.0621, -0.0621, -0.0311, 0.0, 0.0155, 0.0252, 0.0563, 0.0505, 0.0718, 0.0544, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0466, 0.0427, 0.0272, -0.0019, 0.0388, 0.0408, 0.0194, 0.0175, 0.0233, -0.0078, 0.0019, -0.0175, -0.0175, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.101, -0.0893, -0.1087, -0.1107, -0.1146, -0.1204, -0.0913, -0.099, -0.1068, -0.1456, -0.134, -0.1592, -0.1453, -0.1649, -0.1355, -0.1708, -0.1786, -0.208, -0.2002, -0.1786, -0.1806, -0.1629, -0.1218, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.1433, -0.1453, -0.1433, -0.1571, -0.1629, -0.1531, -0.1708, -0.1375, -0.1355, -0.1649, -0.1669, -0.2002, -0.2002, -0.1904, -0.1747, -0.1571, -0.159, -0.1571, -0.1688, -0.0355, -0.0081, 0.0017, -0.0551, -0.0414, 0.0076, 0.0233, 0.0311, 0.0252, 0.035, 0.1076, 0.1566, 0.1487, 0.1448, 0.1507, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.1037, 0.1115, 0.1742, 0.1644, 0.1781, 0.1762, 0.2213, 0.2232, 0.1958, 0.2076, 0.1781, 0.1801, 0.1723, 0.1429, 0.1213, 0.1683, 0.1625, 0.1625, 0.1625, 0.1546, 0.1747, 0.155, 0.155, 0.1688, 0.2554, 0.2672, 0.2888, 0.2711, 0.2632, 0.2888, 0.2711, 0.3006, 0.2514, 0.2318, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2357, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.1688, 0.1609, 0.1688]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1171394369758384129", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-10T12:05:55+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Supports 100% Canadian positioning. 20%+ FCF yields at spot WTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian E&P equities: rising US investor interest, 20%+ FCF yields, big re-rate potential despite oil +29% YTD vs stocks -5%-35%.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heading to the annual Peters &amp; Co Fall energy conference to discuss the need for meaningful share buybacks with many corporates over the next 2 days. Oil +29% YTD yet oil stocks -5%-35% should make for some productive discussions. Progress being made! #OOTT https://t.co/sr85p3xrRA\n\n---\n\nChatter from the hallways: several E&amp;P’s saying interest from US accounts has perked up in recent weeks. “Meeting with people that haven’t wanted to see us in years.” Big re-rate potential. Supports 100% Canadian positioning. 20%+ FCF yields at spot WTI #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023201683560005848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023201683560005848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023436667221969576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023436667221969576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000234983661963728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000234983661963728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007111139356393625, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007111139356393625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007111139356393625, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007111139356393625, "ret_p1w": 0.08004648927729296, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08004648927729296, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07068796527322574, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07068796527322574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009358524004067226, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009358524004067226, "ret_p1m": -0.07495900059229132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07495900059229132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056460878652280666, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056460878652280666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01849812194001066, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01849812194001066, "ret_p3m": 0.024319563492506857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024319563492506857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03670766114011359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03670766114011359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06102722463262045, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06102722463262045, "ret_p6m": -0.15102135321792964, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15102135321792964, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21045887606042224, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21045887606042224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059437522842492596, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059437522842492596, "ret_p1y": -0.3648621805259099, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3648621805259099, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.556569043948611, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.556569043948611, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19170686342270105, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19170686342270105, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07495900059229132, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056460878652280666, "alpha_c_stated": -0.056460878652280666, "price_path": [0.0278, 0.0255, 0.0404, 0.0497, 0.0406, 0.0592, 0.051, 0.0499, 0.0429, 0.0592, 0.0325, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0209, 0.0255, 0.0325, 0.0302, 0.022, 0.0371, 0.058, 0.0592, 0.058, 0.0534, 0.036, 0.0232, 0.0058, 0.0139, 0.0197, 0.0244, 0.0139, -0.0162, -0.0244, -0.0418, -0.0186, -0.007, -0.029, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0731, -0.0777, -0.0626, -0.0592, -0.0719, -0.0626, -0.094, -0.1009, -0.0928, -0.0696, -0.0824, -0.0731, -0.0789, -0.1079, -0.1067, -0.1114, -0.0835, -0.0592, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0731, -0.065, -0.0406, -0.0441, -0.0232, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0128, 0.1044, 0.08, 0.065, 0.0603, 0.0661, 0.065, 0.0465, 0.0407, 0.0348, 0.0302, 0.0208, -0.0131, -0.0352, -0.0317, -0.0341, -0.0352, -0.0715, -0.075, -0.0656, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0516, -0.0563, -0.0539, -0.0633, -0.0539, -0.0516, -0.0469, -0.0551, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0481, -0.0598, -0.0785, -0.0493, -0.0189, -0.0072, -0.0236, 0.0185, 0.0208, 0.0185, 0.0091, 0.0045, -0.0002, 0.0115, -0.0037, -0.0166, -0.0096, -0.0002, -0.006, 0.0033, -0.0084, -0.0002, -0.0002, -0.0154, -0.0201, -0.0364, -0.0131, -0.0201, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0313, 0.0232, 0.0465, 0.0453, 0.0524, 0.071, 0.0687, 0.0862, 0.0804, 0.0967, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0939, 0.1021, 0.1257, 0.1245, 0.1033, 0.1127, 0.1057, 0.0963, 0.0998, 0.0892, 0.088, 0.0786, 0.0774, 0.0621, 0.0539, 0.048, 0.0291, 0.0021, 0.0068, 0.0091, 0.0079, -0.0215, -0.0297, -0.0274, 0.0103, -0.0038, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0191, -0.0085, -0.0144, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0133, 0.0056, 0.0079, -0.0085, -0.0486, -0.0757, -0.1027, -0.1228, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1569, -0.151]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1313837849528143874", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-07T13:45:27+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many smaller energy stocks can more than double in the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on smaller energy/oil stocks; expects 2x+ gains over next year even at ~$40 WTI, with optionality to $50-60 oil in 2021.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This might surprise some...but even at the unsustainably low  WTI strip of ~$40 some oil stocks are still bargains = free optionality to $50-$60 in 2021. The current level of gloom and doom is not justified and many smaller energy stocks can more than double in the next year. https://t.co/Dy0YgAkO6D", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013925565794049577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013925565794049577, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003183407127515525, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003183407127515525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017108972921565102, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017108972921565102, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03746692455068934, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03746692455068934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028604439864857722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028604439864857722, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008862484685831618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008862484685831618, "ret_p1w": 0.01193657773584822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01193657773584822, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00910468620075755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00910468620075755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02104126393660577, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02104126393660577, "ret_p1m": -0.01956213587005351, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01956213587005351, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047382259109920444, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047382259109920444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027820123239866934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027820123239866934, "ret_p3m": 0.27545407954502865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27545407954502865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18858360526157614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18858360526157614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08687047428345251, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08687047428345251, "ret_p6m": 0.7083494406949995, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7083494406949995, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5238344475674757, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5238344475674757, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18451499312752384, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18451499312752384, "ret_p1y": 0.7672602669381716, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7672602669381716, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.446203805974966, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.446203805974966, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3210564609632056, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3210564609632056, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01956213587005351, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.047382259109920444, "alpha_c_stated": -0.047382259109920444, "price_path": [0.1593, 0.1531, 0.1936, 0.2193, 0.2138, 0.1968, 0.1769, 0.248, 0.2327, 0.2304, 0.2236, 0.2249, 0.204, 0.2291, 0.1808, 0.1753, 0.1795, 0.2082, 0.221, 0.2112, 0.2128, 0.2503, 0.2461, 0.2585, 0.234, 0.2458, 0.2386, 0.2229, 0.2089, 0.1828, 0.1753, 0.2076, 0.1906, 0.1655, 0.1678, 0.1887, 0.1629, 0.1551, 0.1495, 0.141, 0.1375, 0.1375, 0.096, 0.1035, 0.0631, 0.0641, 0.0722, 0.0644, 0.1071, 0.1087, 0.0964, 0.06, 0.0491, 0.0017, 0.0013, 0.0007, 0.0242, -0.004, -0.007, -0.0375, -0.0282, 0.001, -0.0139, 0.0, 0.0375, 0.0209, 0.0235, 0.0076, 0.0119, 0.0242, 0.001, -0.0202, -0.0086, -0.0275, 0.0126, 0.0076, -0.0285, -0.0411, -0.0812, -0.0531, -0.0477, -0.0153, -0.0209, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0408, 0.0962, 0.1316, 0.12, 0.0839, 0.1233, 0.1973, 0.2095, 0.1744, 0.1936, 0.1873, 0.2712, 0.3365, 0.3054, 0.3054, 0.2901, 0.2188, 0.2245, 0.2643, 0.2775, 0.3471, 0.3157, 0.3352, 0.3382, 0.3793, 0.3634, 0.3157, 0.3415, 0.3349, 0.3286, 0.3064, 0.2812, 0.2597, 0.2876, 0.2808, 0.2808, 0.2728, 0.2644, 0.2842, 0.2734, 0.2734, 0.2755, 0.3326, 0.3732, 0.3934, 0.3917, 0.4136, 0.4629, 0.4515, 0.4945, 0.4364, 0.4364, 0.4653, 0.4707, 0.4209, 0.4136, 0.3991, 0.3692, 0.3507, 0.3665, 0.3212, 0.3306, 0.345, 0.4025, 0.4179, 0.43, 0.4898, 0.474, 0.5023, 0.4791, 0.5009, 0.5009, 0.5385, 0.5614, 0.5261, 0.5516, 0.6054, 0.6319, 0.6897, 0.6571, 0.6178, 0.6598, 0.6508, 0.675, 0.7149, 0.7791, 0.7825, 0.7512, 0.7956, 0.7963, 0.7999, 0.7795, 0.7287, 0.7422, 0.6639, 0.6642, 0.6482, 0.6241, 0.6649, 0.671, 0.7124, 0.6921, 0.6774, 0.6659, 0.7083]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1460235031088189446", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-15T13:15:35+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks are discounting ~$60WTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil: inventories in deficit, demand recovered, shale discipline intact, underinvestment persists, yet stocks price only ~$60 WTI — upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With oil below $80WTI on SPR/COVID uptick, here is what really matters: global inventories are now at a deficit to '17-'19 avg (!), demand is back to pre-COVID levels, US shale discipline is the new normal, global investment still insufficient, and stocks are discounting ~$60WTI. https://t.co/hg7YqZ372g", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0014624632873176946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014624632873176946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018050022273347066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018050022273347066, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000342538940017012, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000342538940017012, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004631288717664717, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004631288717664717, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006734776803960507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006734776803960507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003957811037268666, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003957811037268666, "ret_p1w": -0.02864114583924171, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02864114583924171, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028940554876227376, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028940554876227376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.000299409036985665, "bench_c_p1w": 0.000299409036985665, "ret_p1m": -0.10176728571537497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10176728571537497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0930599764191723, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0930599764191723, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00870730929620267, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00870730929620267, "ret_p3m": 0.11407678564554335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11407678564554335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1494434450359199, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1494434450359199, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03536665939037653, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03536665939037653, "ret_p6m": 0.24875070412660505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24875070412660505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.38929320885439944, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38929320885439944, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1405425047277944, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1405425047277944, "ret_p1y": 0.17196831304748228, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17196831304748228, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3578517360449439, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3578517360449439, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.18588342299746163, "bench_c_p1y": -0.18588342299746163, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10176728571537497, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0930599764191723, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0930599764191723, "price_path": [-0.1684, -0.1901, -0.2056, -0.1621, -0.1341, -0.1194, -0.1338, -0.114, -0.1053, -0.1104, -0.1275, -0.1099, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.1263, -0.1152, -0.1292, -0.1113, -0.1041, -0.103, -0.0803, -0.0778, -0.0818, -0.0991, -0.0937, -0.0714, -0.0585, -0.0483, -0.0307, -0.0361, -0.0416, -0.043, -0.0338, -0.0096, 0.0062, -0.0118, -0.0012, 0.0041, 0.0195, 0.0167, 0.0138, 0.0238, 0.0342, 0.0278, 0.0369, 0.0459, 0.0312, 0.0424, 0.048, 0.053, 0.0308, 0.0277, 0.0284, 0.0324, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0184, 0.0084, 0.0168, 0.0333, 0.0072, 0.01, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0046, -0.0216, -0.0099, -0.0385, -0.0286, 0.0032, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.1137, -0.1049, -0.1399, -0.1606, -0.1509, -0.1483, -0.1093, -0.0806, -0.0759, -0.093, -0.0841, -0.0934, -0.1018, -0.0996, -0.0857, -0.104, -0.1283, -0.0984, -0.0824, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.042, -0.0379, -0.0344, -0.0333, -0.052, -0.0374, -0.025, -0.0152, -0.0007, -0.0037, -0.0144, 0.0204, 0.0319, 0.0295, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0665, 0.0779, 0.0771, 0.0712, 0.0514, 0.075, 0.0964, 0.0888, 0.0973, 0.1116, 0.0867, 0.0904, 0.1104, 0.1367, 0.1297, 0.1064, 0.1158, 0.1141, 0.151, 0.1759, 0.1369, 0.1555, 0.1331, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1803, 0.1803, 0.2076, 0.1935, 0.2308, 0.2793, 0.3764, 0.3463, 0.4395, 0.5016, 0.5598, 0.3545, 0.3325, 0.3732, 0.3029, 0.2177, 0.1946, 0.2997, 0.3154, 0.4091, 0.4074, 0.482, 0.4507, 0.4704, 0.3709, 0.3434, 0.3827, 0.3152, 0.2723, 0.3105, 0.2997, 0.2318, 0.2258, 0.2527, 0.2002, 0.2753, 0.3258, 0.3614, 0.3614, 0.3792, 0.3071, 0.3016, 0.3203, 0.2998, 0.247, 0.2796, 0.2836, 0.3113, 0.3326, 0.3112, 0.2793, 0.3424, 0.3516, 0.3698, 0.2912, 0.2488]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1542510705676390402", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-06-30T14:09:45+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stocks are discounting $50WTI and every day FCF is building. Q2 results IMO to be spectacular with ongoing share buybacks and dividend increases", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Oil stocks priced for $50 WTI while trading above $100; Q2 FCF + buybacks + dividends to be spectacular — long oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days it feels like shouting into a hurricane, but truly every day above $100WTI is a win. Stocks are discounting $50WTI and every day FCF is building. Q2 results IMO to be spectacular with ongoing share buybacks and dividend increases. The day-to-day will be what it will be. https://t.co/SmmPNpYGnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021535537898606183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021535537898606183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013344516842279441, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013344516842279441, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008191021056326742, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008191021056326742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014962741101185228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014962741101185228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00438605930697622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00438605930697622, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010576681794209009, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010576681794209009, "ret_p1w": -0.007411657689883944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007411657689883944, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03853164739375803, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03853164739375803, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031119989703874085, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031119989703874085, "ret_p1m": 0.09662949092555251, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09662949092555251, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0045419820262471156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0045419820262471156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09208750889930539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09208750889930539, "ret_p3m": -0.017228818792814793, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.017228818792814793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01558029395963867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01558029395963867, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03280911275245346, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03280911275245346, "ret_p6m": 0.24340149715424642, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24340149715424642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21954863505934563, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21954863505934563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.023852862094900784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023852862094900784, "ret_p1y": 0.16690491044401234, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16690491044401234, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.017021726934534076, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.017021726934534076, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18392663737854642, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18392663737854642, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017228818792814793, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01558029395963867, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01558029395963867, "price_path": [0.067, 0.0503, 0.0565, 0.0704, 0.0998, 0.0668, 0.0845, 0.1006, 0.1042, 0.1042, 0.1204, 0.1113, 0.1156, 0.0802, 0.0538, 0.0189, 0.0203, 0.0352, 0.0666, 0.0392, 0.0558, 0.0854, 0.1305, 0.1135, 0.1467, 0.0518, 0.0614, 0.0756, 0.0802, 0.1171, 0.1466, 0.1598, 0.1301, 0.126, 0.1308, 0.1607, 0.1651, 0.1892, 0.2023, 0.2243, 0.2243, 0.2059, 0.2255, 0.2217, 0.2378, 0.2364, 0.2734, 0.2761, 0.2479, 0.2268, 0.1627, 0.165, 0.1392, 0.0751, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0689, 0.0261, -0.0119, 0.0011, 0.0305, 0.0583, 0.0215, 0.0, 0.015, 0.015, -0.0253, -0.042, -0.0074, -0.0078, -0.0173, -0.0365, -0.038, -0.0562, -0.0408, -0.0189, 0.0113, 0.0211, 0.0032, -0.005, 0.0315, 0.0221, 0.0452, 0.051, 0.0966, 0.074, 0.0715, 0.0407, 0.0021, 0.022, 0.0273, 0.0453, 0.0529, 0.0891, 0.0973, 0.0759, 0.0734, 0.0824, 0.1115, 0.1112, 0.1091, 0.1491, 0.1632, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.1759, 0.1361, 0.1257, 0.098, 0.1182, 0.1182, 0.1078, 0.095, 0.0997, 0.1271, 0.1478, 0.1189, 0.1505, 0.1208, 0.0969, 0.0976, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.0701, -0.0037, -0.0281, -0.0172, 0.0263, 0.0263, 0.0181, 0.0756, 0.1219, 0.1451, 0.1654, 0.1564, 0.1326, 0.1236, 0.1326, 0.1788, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1591, 0.1933, 0.1944, 0.2289, 0.2347, 0.236, 0.2528, 0.2573, 0.2617, 0.2723, 0.2846, 0.2536, 0.2768, 0.2924, 0.3146, 0.3158, 0.2515, 0.2794, 0.3165, 0.3161, 0.33, 0.3028, 0.3056, 0.2953, 0.2778, 0.3178, 0.3035, 0.3035, 0.2987, 0.2631, 0.2822, 0.2885, 0.2843, 0.2767, 0.2388, 0.2061, 0.2033, 0.1979, 0.1688, 0.1995, 0.2222, 0.2148, 0.2074, 0.1926, 0.1924, 0.2104, 0.2334, 0.205, 0.2434]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1192522927071285259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-07T19:23:16+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "will investors realize how extremely attractive Canadian midcap oil producers are? FCF yields > 10%, 8%+ dividend yields, ~27% decline rates, and strong balance sheets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian midcap oil producers on >10% FCF yields, 8%+ dividends, and strong balance sheets as macro sentiment improves and US shale deflates.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap oil producers: BTE, WCP, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When sentiment improves on the global macro and the air continues to deflate from US shale co's, will investors realize how extremely attractive Canadian midcap oil producers are? FCF yields &gt; 10%, 8%+ dividend yields, ~27% decline rates, and strong balance sheets #OOTT https://t.co/pkrV8llB2z", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015987810062076873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015987810062076873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01949203492832045, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03075635685905635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003504224866243577, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014768546796979476, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017570392226746834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017570392226746834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020036667016080645, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013468013426197856, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002466274789333811, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004102378800548978, "ret_p1w": -0.05214693819016677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05214693819016677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05659263560833668, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03048635786127237, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004445697418169914, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021660580328894397, "ret_p1m": -0.046645318974580165, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046645318974580165, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06835341544252274, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026625453775951415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021708096467942584, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02001986519862875, "ret_p3m": -0.01953436843945522, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01953436843945522, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09253682088507331, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07720399895865548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0730024524456181, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0967383673981107, "ret_p6m": -0.6611267997161616, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6611267997161616, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5886739207113916, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28660440240121376, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07245287900477004, "bench_c_p6m": -0.37452239731494785, "ret_p1y": -0.5879670515644584, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5879670515644584, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7105358669358761, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11423985316954621, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12256881537141773, "bench_c_p1y": -0.4737271983949122, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.046645318974580165, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06835341544252274, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026625453775951415, "price_path": [0.1019, 0.1686, 0.0882, 0.0603, 0.0992, 0.105, 0.1208, 0.1302, 0.1358, 0.0689, 0.0489, 0.0269, 0.0795, 0.0861, 0.0711, 0.0711, 0.0798, 0.0972, 0.1352, 0.1829, 0.222, 0.2314, 0.2604, 0.2693, 0.2678, 0.4091, 0.365, 0.3481, 0.3404, 0.3557, 0.3648, 0.3094, 0.3059, 0.278, 0.2655, 0.2479, 0.1709, 0.1376, 0.1297, 0.1313, 0.1041, 0.0739, 0.0501, 0.0594, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0645, 0.0441, 0.0322, 0.0031, -0.0107, -0.002, 0.0023, -0.0158, -0.0106, -0.0298, -0.0236, -0.0547, -0.1001, -0.0397, -0.0147, 0.0185, 0.016, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.022, -0.0397, -0.0523, -0.0521, -0.0345, -0.0822, -0.1293, -0.097, -0.0865, -0.084, -0.0901, -0.1222, -0.0934, -0.0823, -0.0933, -0.1109, -0.1294, -0.0961, -0.0921, -0.0466, 0.0111, 0.0122, 0.0071, 0.0457, 0.0493, 0.0716, 0.133, 0.1324, 0.1752, 0.1689, 0.2427, 0.2645, 0.2645, 0.2645, 0.2781, 0.2964, 0.2744, 0.2744, 0.2707, 0.3041, 0.3494, 0.3429, 0.2661, 0.2635, 0.1989, 0.1616, 0.162, 0.1346, 0.1588, 0.1581, 0.1707, 0.142, 0.1134, 0.0949, 0.0417, -0.009, 0.0084, 0.0187, 0.0118, -0.0156, -0.0302, -0.0195, 0.0427, 0.0219, -0.0136, -0.045, -0.0373, 0.002, -0.0067, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.035, 0.0036, 0.0072, -0.0106, -0.0771, -0.1184, -0.1294, -0.1678, -0.1548, -0.1532, -0.1726, -0.1682, -0.2043, -0.277, -0.5394, -0.5383, -0.6008, -0.6843, -0.6616, -0.7141, -0.7222, -0.7796, -0.7556, -0.7523, -0.7636, -0.7465, -0.7065, -0.7322, -0.7617, -0.7509, -0.7252, -0.7386, -0.6954, -0.6758, -0.6693, -0.6783, -0.6697, -0.6876, -0.6876, -0.6868, -0.7002, -0.7199, -0.733, -0.718, -0.7376, -0.7368, -0.7259, -0.7104, -0.721, -0.7351, -0.7228, -0.6789, -0.647, -0.6611]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1438602672819556358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-16T20:36:19+00:00", "symbol": "FANG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is how it's done and this is your competition for investor funds flow!!! FANG ($15BN market cap) announcing a $2BN share buyback = ~13% of shares outstanding", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FANG: lauds $2B buyback (~13% of shares) as exemplary capital return vs Canadian energy peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["FANG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Note to Canadian energy CEOs: this is how it's done and this is your competition for investor funds flow!!! FANG ($15BN market cap) announcing a $2BN share buyback = ~13% of shares outstanding. https://t.co/CLgGoCstJG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030864411205886566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030864411205886566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04070124192049274, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038366339194010224, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00983683071460617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007501927988123658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042483934219932795, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042483934219932795, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02580963571753281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011947200012578207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016674298502399987, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030536734207354588, "ret_p1w": 0.07383182544691547, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07383182544691547, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06814531105510713, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029257808573472932, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005686514391808339, "bench_c_p1w": 0.044574016873442535, "ret_p1m": 0.32243974913969486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32243974913969486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30932238131252343, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1450881471132901, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013117367827171433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17735160202640476, "ret_p3m": 0.26119894646752595, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26119894646752595, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19504578736559464, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12940617359502804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06615315910193131, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1317927728724979, "ret_p6m": 0.5407464137074984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5407464137074984, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5927060499506229, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00898481019373265, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.051959636243124496, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5497312239012311, "ret_p1y": 0.7148744671363536, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7148744671363536, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8198809268613693, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.033667349442673355, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10500645972501566, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6812071176936803, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.32243974913969486, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.30932238131252343, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1450881471132901, "price_path": [0.0991, 0.106, 0.1342, 0.159, 0.1128, 0.1146, 0.1299, 0.1986, 0.18, 0.18, 0.0971, 0.0589, 0.0613, 0.0761, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.0178, -0.0164, -0.057, -0.1192, -0.0984, -0.0452, -0.0533, -0.0585, -0.0343, -0.0547, -0.0423, -0.0428, -0.0718, -0.0764, -0.0309, -0.0804, -0.0393, -0.0367, -0.0706, -0.0599, -0.0437, -0.0393, -0.0845, -0.122, -0.13, -0.155, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1261, -0.1019, -0.0921, -0.1155, -0.0723, -0.0767, -0.0663, -0.1024, -0.0732, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.0931, -0.0959, -0.0842, -0.0917, -0.0583, -0.084, -0.0126, -0.0309, 0.0, -0.0425, -0.0312, 0.0213, 0.0634, 0.0738, 0.1557, 0.1496, 0.1626, 0.1458, 0.1966, 0.2513, 0.2607, 0.2601, 0.2723, 0.3302, 0.3402, 0.3314, 0.3095, 0.3172, 0.3106, 0.3224, 0.3428, 0.3453, 0.3184, 0.3233, 0.3243, 0.3519, 0.3021, 0.3194, 0.2974, 0.3509, 0.3853, 0.3533, 0.3648, 0.3773, 0.4005, 0.3735, 0.3027, 0.3222, 0.3366, 0.3514, 0.3394, 0.3036, 0.3124, 0.242, 0.2821, 0.3395, 0.3882, 0.3882, 0.3065, 0.3363, 0.2974, 0.2521, 0.2938, 0.2885, 0.3157, 0.4051, 0.3813, 0.3412, 0.3515, 0.296, 0.2651, 0.2612, 0.28, 0.2452, 0.2049, 0.2752, 0.2848, 0.2878, 0.2878, 0.351, 0.3391, 0.3215, 0.3045, 0.311, 0.3595, 0.449, 0.4358, 0.5031, 0.4772, 0.4751, 0.5117, 0.5143, 0.5083, 0.5707, 0.5707, 0.5309, 0.5281, 0.482, 0.4343, 0.4517, 0.5436, 0.5487, 0.5638, 0.5647, 0.5336, 0.5829, 0.5921, 0.5729, 0.6053, 0.5825, 0.5119, 0.5667, 0.5854, 0.648, 0.586, 0.5545, 0.5781, 0.5765, 0.5982, 0.5982, 0.5563, 0.5749, 0.5546, 0.62, 0.6788, 0.6633, 0.6614, 0.6376, 0.6825, 0.6415, 0.6415, 0.5879, 0.637, 0.5832, 0.5407]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1223633124069904385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-02-01T15:44:05+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ESG forces will create (are creating) the next supply crisis given lack of capital to finance long-lead material projects in a world where hydrocarbon usage will continue to grow for decade/s", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish fossil fuel sector: ESG-driven capex shortage + growing hydrocarbon demand will trigger a supply crisis over coming decades.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as oil and gas sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Galactic_George @DomFlanaganC300 @chigrl @AnitaSharma ESG forces will create (are creating) the next supply crisis given lack of capital to finance long-lead material projects in a world where hydrocarbon usage will continue to grow for decade/s. Eco-alarmists...be careful what you wish for!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@DomFlanaganC300 @chigrl This is what I'm talking about @ericnuttall &amp; @AnitaSharma  when I say that climate change sentiment is being underestimated as a drag on fossil fuel energy share prices.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Galactic_George", "ret_m1d": 0.013272352297463597, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013272352297463597, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02064626524776747, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02064626524776747, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007373912950303874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007373912950303874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003602336157631836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003602336157631836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011638794226720206, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011638794226720206, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015241130384352042, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015241130384352042, "ret_p1w": 0.018391960213804515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018391960213804515, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014188390050924315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014188390050924315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03258035026472883, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03258035026472883, "ret_p1m": -0.13424360883861686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13424360883861686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06056732723346503, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06056732723346503, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07367628160515183, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07367628160515183, "ret_p3m": -0.2633613718275418, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2633613718275418, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16484255253966618, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16484255253966618, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09851881928787565, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09851881928787565, "ret_p6m": -0.27531630074230473, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27531630074230473, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2764277812708411, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2764277812708411, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0011114805285363794, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0011114805285363794, "ret_p1y": -0.11480714655166102, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11480714655166102, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.32133275712156484, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.32133275712156484, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20652561056990382, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20652561056990382, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11480714655166102, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.32133275712156484, "alpha_c_stated": -0.32133275712156484, "price_path": [0.0947, 0.1111, 0.1065, 0.1003, 0.0947, 0.0899, 0.087, 0.0954, 0.0821, 0.0661, 0.0768, 0.0945, 0.0908, 0.0919, 0.0819, 0.0847, 0.0847, 0.0737, 0.0737, 0.0577, 0.0735, 0.0684, 0.0888, 0.0876, 0.0898, 0.0879, 0.108, 0.0996, 0.1144, 0.1151, 0.1193, 0.1189, 0.1297, 0.1413, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1403, 0.1356, 0.132, 0.1384, 0.1384, 0.1487, 0.1452, 0.1542, 0.1511, 0.1322, 0.1405, 0.1341, 0.1344, 0.1346, 0.1263, 0.1282, 0.121, 0.121, 0.1009, 0.0903, 0.0861, 0.0736, 0.0438, 0.0485, 0.0375, 0.0459, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0413, 0.0307, 0.0235, 0.0184, 0.0298, 0.0436, 0.0404, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0264, 0.04, 0.0389, 0.0265, -0.0209, -0.0641, -0.0923, -0.1409, -0.1416, -0.1069, -0.1342, -0.1138, -0.1462, -0.1942, -0.3565, -0.3259, -0.3616, -0.4412, -0.3896, -0.4727, -0.4691, -0.5453, -0.5144, -0.5097, -0.5431, -0.4698, -0.4448, -0.4109, -0.4508, -0.4452, -0.4367, -0.4646, -0.4155, -0.4217, -0.3911, -0.3781, -0.3366, -0.3426, -0.3426, -0.3448, -0.3479, -0.3785, -0.4051, -0.3419, -0.3624, -0.3737, -0.3514, -0.3304, -0.3289, -0.3143, -0.2986, -0.2467, -0.2634, -0.305, -0.281, -0.2804, -0.2992, -0.281, -0.2482, -0.2614, -0.2744, -0.3074, -0.2996, -0.3023, -0.2453, -0.2665, -0.2372, -0.2494, -0.2541, -0.2541, -0.2333, -0.2234, -0.2451, -0.2486, -0.2354, -0.2141, -0.1911, -0.1909, -0.1308, -0.0916, -0.1257, -0.1688, -0.2471, -0.2281, -0.2258, -0.2035, -0.2306, -0.2211, -0.2329, -0.2294, -0.2286, -0.2714, -0.2574, -0.2832, -0.2735, -0.2569, -0.2749, -0.2669, -0.2669, -0.2647, -0.2881, -0.2887, -0.3238, -0.3022, -0.3059, -0.2816, -0.2661, -0.2694, -0.2796, -0.2916, -0.2488, -0.258, -0.2594, -0.2635, -0.2628, -0.2753]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1465705409646268419", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-30T15:32:55+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With energy stocks discounting an oil price in the mid $50's and able to privatize in 4.4 years with free cash flow at $70WTI, don't buy bottoms, buy value", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: market pricing mid-$50s oil while FCF at $70 WTI supports 4.4-year privatization; compelling value.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am a buyer of uncertainty, as that is what gives opportunity for the patient. With energy stocks discounting an oil price in the mid $50's and able to privatize in 4.4 years with free cash flow at $70WTI, don't buy bottoms, buy value.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023996936648751577, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023996936648751577, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0041533267564775045, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0041533267564775045, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.019843609892274072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019843609892274072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010624786833312472, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010624786833312472, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00048253234886508345, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00048253234886508345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011107319182177555, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011107319182177555, "ret_p1w": 0.049093048718598986, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049093048718598986, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02117139499037557, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02117139499037557, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027921653728223417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027921653728223417, "ret_p1m": 0.03354483086610882, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03354483086610882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018254003131184193, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018254003131184193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051798833997293015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051798833997293015, "ret_p3m": 0.27810733306561075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27810733306561075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31382640096751346, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31382640096751346, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03571906790190271, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03571906790190271, "ret_p6m": 0.6108558866566616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6108558866566616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7328050100238983, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7328050100238983, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.12194912336723673, "bench_c_p6m": -0.12194912336723673, "ret_p1y": 0.7686633704559933, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7686633704559933, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8901718810243938, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8901718810243938, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.12150851056840051, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12150851056840051, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03354483086610882, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018254003131184193, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018254003131184193, "price_path": [-0.115, -0.1201, -0.1201, -0.1253, -0.1365, -0.1347, -0.1351, -0.1103, -0.1231, -0.0904, -0.1007, -0.1074, -0.1346, -0.1326, -0.1059, -0.0746, -0.0676, -0.0344, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0458, -0.0137, 0.0024, 0.0082, -0.0024, 0.0053, 0.0363, 0.0324, 0.0333, 0.0324, 0.0451, 0.0502, 0.0509, 0.0628, 0.0714, 0.0517, 0.0615, 0.0771, 0.0833, 0.0522, 0.0597, 0.0528, 0.0709, 0.0608, 0.052, 0.0535, 0.0672, 0.0769, 0.0813, 0.0528, 0.0568, 0.0542, 0.063, 0.0647, 0.0484, 0.0421, 0.0015, 0.0192, 0.0506, 0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0181, 0.024, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0181, 0.0101, 0.0251, 0.0491, 0.0489, 0.0408, 0.0485, 0.0194, 0.0152, 0.0103, 0.0167, -0.004, -0.0164, 0.0116, 0.0181, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.041, 0.0402, 0.0335, 0.0272, 0.0298, 0.0617, 0.0985, 0.0983, 0.1228, 0.1382, 0.1347, 0.1733, 0.1755, 0.1696, 0.197, 0.197, 0.2018, 0.1931, 0.1822, 0.1588, 0.1666, 0.2119, 0.2098, 0.223, 0.2178, 0.2232, 0.2668, 0.2709, 0.2588, 0.2785, 0.2948, 0.267, 0.2776, 0.2696, 0.3065, 0.2757, 0.2623, 0.2725, 0.2705, 0.2627, 0.2627, 0.2423, 0.2551, 0.2453, 0.2781, 0.3097, 0.3228, 0.3531, 0.3568, 0.3959, 0.4165, 0.4388, 0.3948, 0.4375, 0.426, 0.3833, 0.3327, 0.3265, 0.3722, 0.3709, 0.4261, 0.4157, 0.44, 0.4436, 0.4752, 0.4387, 0.435, 0.4516, 0.432, 0.4436, 0.4454, 0.4228, 0.4312, 0.4499, 0.4898, 0.4451, 0.469, 0.491, 0.4958, 0.4958, 0.5178, 0.5054, 0.5112, 0.4632, 0.4275, 0.3803, 0.3821, 0.4024, 0.4449, 0.4078, 0.4303, 0.4704, 0.5314, 0.5084, 0.5533, 0.4248, 0.4378, 0.4571, 0.4632, 0.5133, 0.5532, 0.5711, 0.5309, 0.5252, 0.5318, 0.5723, 0.5783, 0.6109]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1073654109172051969", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-12-14T19:01:01+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Relief rally coming soon once EPIC tax loss selling ends", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish energy sector; expects relief rally once tax-loss selling concludes.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy market happen to be tanking? Count on me being pre-scheduled for BNN that day. Here is a 7 minute overview of what happened in '18 and our outlook for 2019 and beyond. Relief rally coming soon once EPIC tax loss selling ends. @BNNBloomberg https://t.co/Zc3F6WUm5s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023353385780837232, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023353385780837232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004541316018897179, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004541316018897179, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018812069761940053, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018812069761940053, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01819931075845671, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01819931075845671, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014194035258591198, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014194035258591198, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01961871428431583, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01961871428431583, "ret_p1w": -0.08785868239273442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08785868239273442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01735369388304997, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01735369388304997, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.07050498850968445, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07050498850968445, "ret_p1m": 0.0056152919018710445, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0056152919018710445, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011630765574926705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011630765574926705, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00601547367305566, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00601547367305566, "ret_p3m": 0.07259105599780669, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07259105599780669, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013840530094086034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013840530094086034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08643158609189272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08643158609189272, "ret_p6m": 0.0067847724092560124, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0067847724092560124, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11402630806670766, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11402630806670766, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12081108047596367, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12081108047596367, "ret_p1y": -0.03212843821389144, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03212843821389144, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24417299826117855, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24417299826117855, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2120445600472871, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2120445600472871, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0056152919018710445, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011630765574926705, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011630765574926705, "price_path": [0.1976, 0.2013, 0.2016, 0.2095, 0.2273, 0.2351, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2198, 0.2368, 0.238, 0.248, 0.2429, 0.2427, 0.2417, 0.2529, 0.2136, 0.1725, 0.1757, 0.1659, 0.1756, 0.1681, 0.1623, 0.152, 0.1393, 0.1095, 0.0657, 0.0788, 0.0707, 0.0507, 0.0751, 0.0817, 0.0908, 0.0881, 0.1063, 0.1115, 0.1297, 0.1052, 0.1032, 0.0804, 0.0556, 0.0538, 0.0693, 0.082, 0.0817, 0.0462, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0293, 0.0448, 0.0419, 0.0598, 0.0667, 0.0647, 0.0884, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.0377, 0.0319, 0.0158, 0.0161, 0.0201, 0.0234, 0.0, -0.0182, -0.0414, -0.0527, -0.0789, -0.0879, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.0703, -0.0654, -0.0726, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0493, -0.0588, -0.0267, -0.0123, -0.0046, 0.0111, 0.0141, 0.0081, 0.0056, 0.0092, 0.0079, 0.0172, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0152, 0.0048, 0.0102, 0.023, 0.0128, 0.0159, 0.0302, 0.0368, 0.0549, 0.0573, 0.0589, 0.0511, 0.0279, 0.0232, 0.028, 0.0411, 0.0541, 0.0578, 0.0749, 0.0749, 0.0781, 0.0827, 0.0659, 0.069, 0.0708, 0.0674, 0.0715, 0.0607, 0.0802, 0.0822, 0.0786, 0.065, 0.0586, 0.0388, 0.055, 0.0619, 0.0726, 0.0737, 0.0733, 0.0882, 0.0853, 0.0948, 0.1025, 0.0726, 0.0731, 0.0885, 0.0808, 0.0849, 0.0833, 0.0976, 0.09, 0.0795, 0.0885, 0.1077, 0.1126, 0.099, 0.1031, 0.1039, 0.1069, 0.1003, 0.1075, 0.1061, 0.1008, 0.1008, 0.1241, 0.1223, 0.1026, 0.0992, 0.0849, 0.084, 0.0831, 0.0615, 0.043, 0.0527, 0.0536, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.0314, 0.044, 0.0494, 0.0551, 0.0445, 0.045, 0.0571, 0.0407, 0.0058, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0009, -0.0073, -0.0199, -0.0371, -0.0248, -0.008, -0.0189, -0.0008, 0.0038, 0.0068]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1116644808099946496", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-12T10:10:43+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think Chevron/Anadarko 40% premium takeover could be it. That and $65WTI...", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on US energy sector: CVX/APC deal + OXY/XOM Permian bids could break 4 years of bearish sentiment; APC is M&A target with 40% premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let the M&amp;A wave begin! Chevron buying Anadarko! If investors won’t act as the curative to the highest level of sector apathy (in history?) that has led to the lowest oil company valuations that I’ve ever seen in my career, then corporates will. #OOTT\n\n---\n\nOne never knew what the catalyst would be to break 4 years of bearish energy sector sentiment. I think Chevron/Anadarko 40% premium takeover could be it. That and $65WTI... #OOTT\n\n---\n\nIt just got even better...CNBC reporting that OXY also bid for APC.  HUGE. OXY and XOM to enter into the ring for Permian assets?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026643209227130704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026643209227130704, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004056319779223383, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004056319779223383, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006720640701936453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006720640701936453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005920428810184064, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005920428810184064, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005265445672789193, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005265445672789193, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006549831373948711, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006549831373948711, "ret_p1w": -0.005476452873447113, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005476452873447113, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004993680097488462, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004993680097488462, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00048277277595865087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00048277277595865087, "ret_p1m": -0.06823572803484312, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06823572803484312, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03618416906989863, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03618416906989863, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03205155896494449, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03205155896494449, "ret_p3m": -0.043449462703811115, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.043449462703811115, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07757653597062175, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07757653597062175, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03412707326681064, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03412707326681064, "ret_p6m": -0.14277715517746126, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14277715517746126, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16244030937543608, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16244030937543608, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.01966315419797482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01966315419797482, "ret_p1y": -0.534273158657302, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.534273158657302, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.44072650552773185, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.44072650552773185, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09354665312957011, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09354665312957011, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06823572803484312, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03618416906989863, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03618416906989863, "price_path": [-0.0883, -0.0894, -0.0811, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0828, -0.0922, -0.0874, -0.0758, -0.085, -0.0822, -0.0693, -0.0633, -0.047, -0.0448, -0.0433, -0.0504, -0.0714, -0.0756, -0.0712, -0.0595, -0.0477, -0.0444, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.026, -0.0219, -0.037, -0.0342, -0.0326, -0.0357, -0.032, -0.0417, -0.0241, -0.0223, -0.0256, -0.0379, -0.0436, -0.0615, -0.0468, -0.0407, -0.031, -0.03, -0.0303, -0.0169, -0.0195, -0.011, -0.004, -0.0309, -0.0305, -0.0166, -0.0235, -0.0198, -0.0213, -0.0084, -0.0152, -0.0247, -0.0166, 0.0007, 0.0052, -0.0071, -0.0034, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0059, 0.0006, -0.0007, -0.0055, -0.0055, 0.0155, 0.0139, -0.0038, -0.007, -0.0198, -0.0207, -0.0215, -0.041, -0.0577, -0.049, -0.0481, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.052, -0.0682, -0.0568, -0.052, -0.0468, -0.0564, -0.056, -0.045, -0.0598, -0.0913, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0974, -0.1032, -0.1146, -0.1301, -0.119, -0.1038, -0.1137, -0.0972, -0.0931, -0.0904, -0.0887, -0.1015, -0.091, -0.097, -0.0894, -0.0768, -0.0779, -0.0574, -0.0506, -0.0591, -0.0666, -0.0523, -0.0593, -0.0484, -0.0475, -0.0627, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0576, -0.0563, -0.0555, -0.0434, -0.0415, -0.0375, -0.0461, -0.0563, -0.067, -0.0669, -0.0626, -0.0582, -0.0557, -0.0517, -0.0624, -0.0672, -0.0709, -0.0605, -0.0635, -0.0847, -0.0978, -0.1247, -0.1258, -0.1323, -0.1074, -0.1172, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1541, -0.1594, -0.1483, -0.1295, -0.1368, -0.1313, -0.1352, -0.1641, -0.1606, -0.1658, -0.1538, -0.1414, -0.1414, -0.1414, -0.1456, -0.1337, -0.1229, -0.1183, -0.1007, -0.0901, -0.0892, -0.0948, -0.0877, -0.057, -0.0702, -0.0747, -0.0771, -0.0763, -0.076, -0.0906, -0.0891, -0.101, -0.1012, -0.1077, -0.1283, -0.1497, -0.1405, -0.1351, -0.1428]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1541459212634673153", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-27T16:31:29+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With CDN energy stocks discounting $55WTI, fear = opportunity???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: record oil inventory deficit + recession fears already priced in at $55 WTI discount creates buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Updated @kpler data = new record global oil inventory deficit to normal levels. F.E.A.R.ful of a recession??? @EnergyAspects is already modelling a US/European recession in '23 and inventories STILL fall further. With CDN energy stocks discounting $55WTI, fear = opportunity??? https://t.co/zIU76djSlj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.044637127620912986, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.044637127620912986, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048471441307272656, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048471441307272656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0038343136863596694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038343136863596694, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04197196159624639, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04197196159624639, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06240496964921416, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06240496964921416, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02043300805296777, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02043300805296777, "ret_p1w": 0.011991926123323893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011991926123323893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030906413738779892, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030906413738779892, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018914487615456, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018914487615456, "ret_p1m": -0.0526315982600537, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0526315982600537, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058550406833017266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058550406833017266, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005918808572963563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005918808572963563, "ret_p3m": -0.015989308219302778, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.015989308219302778, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01703462740124828, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01703462740124828, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03302393562055106, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03302393562055106, "ret_p6m": 0.030140168534543266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.030140168534543266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.042317998384063804, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.042317998384063804, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.012177829849520538, "bench_c_p6m": -0.012177829849520538, "ret_p1y": -0.0019924897447323175, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0019924897447323175, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14117427530032733, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14117427530032733, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13918178555559502, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13918178555559502, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0526315982600537, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.058550406833017266, "alpha_c_stated": -0.058550406833017266, "price_path": [-0.0387, -0.0453, -0.0308, -0.0162, -0.0328, -0.046, -0.0288, -0.0083, -0.0334, -0.0103, 0.0062, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0459, 0.0307, 0.0452, 0.0082, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0348, -0.003, 0.0479, 0.0327, 0.0287, 0.0684, 0.0942, 0.0842, 0.0862, 0.0082, 0.0049, 0.0228, 0.0095, 0.0492, 0.0757, 0.0902, 0.073, 0.0783, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.1107, 0.1338, 0.1385, 0.1583, 0.1854, 0.1543, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.1781, 0.188, 0.2152, 0.2237, 0.2099, 0.1914, 0.1543, 0.1332, 0.118, 0.0611, 0.0009, 0.0247, 0.0492, -0.0063, -0.0751, -0.0446, 0.0, 0.042, 0.0047, -0.0127, -0.0127, 0.012, -0.056, -0.0933, -0.052, -0.0626, -0.0753, -0.1059, -0.1093, -0.1239, -0.1113, -0.0799, -0.0573, -0.044, -0.0646, -0.0779, -0.0446, -0.0526, -0.0233, -0.0033, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.006, -0.0366, -0.0773, -0.06, -0.0546, -0.048, -0.038, -0.0007, 0.008, -0.008, -0.0207, -0.006, 0.0213, 0.0167, 0.024, 0.056, 0.0666, 0.074, 0.0666, 0.0833, 0.042, 0.0326, 0.0093, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.01, -0.0213, -0.0127, 0.0133, 0.0346, 0.026, 0.058, 0.0326, 0.0213, 0.028, 0.0233, 0.0013, -0.016, -0.093, -0.1241, -0.1038, -0.0673, -0.0652, -0.0646, -0.0111, 0.0335, 0.0531, 0.0741, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.0328, 0.0322, 0.0653, 0.0295, 0.0308, 0.0254, 0.0572, 0.0734, 0.0924, 0.1012, 0.1045, 0.1248, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.1397, 0.1539, 0.1458, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.1796, 0.1695, 0.1215, 0.1485, 0.1735, 0.1566, 0.1769, 0.1505, 0.1445, 0.1411, 0.1289, 0.1553, 0.1417, 0.1445, 0.1424, 0.1242, 0.1404, 0.1296, 0.1194, 0.1221, 0.089, 0.0511, 0.045, 0.0376, 0.0301, 0.0389, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0484, 0.0207, 0.0166, 0.0301]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1445748234865950724", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-06T13:50:14+00:00", "symbol": "oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "get excited about generational low valuations. At an oil price $3 lower than 2022 strip the average company can privatize and become debt free with just over 5 years of free cashflow or pay a 27% dividend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil E&P equities at generational low valuations; FCF and dividend yield compelling even at lower oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reminder: you need not believe in higher oil prices to get excited about generational low valuations. At an oil price $3 lower than 2022 strip the average company can privatize and become debt free with just over 5 years of free cashflow or pay a 27% dividend. https://t.co/QpXfOpcc3U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01065006824430803, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01065006824430803, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014788887118188043, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014788887118188043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0041388188738800125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0041388188738800125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007712183751920509, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007712183751920509, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009333904775663537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009333904775663537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008645574229486863, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008645574229486863, "ret_p1w": 0.03488800680464976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03488800680464976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034244397888956835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034244397888956835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0006436089156929281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0006436089156929281, "ret_p1m": 0.056004427637955656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056004427637955656, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017598544637892344, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017598544637892344, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.073602972275848, "bench_c_p1m": 0.073602972275848, "ret_p3m": 0.06428399522619532, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06428399522619532, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03801122972116722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03801122972116722, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10229522494736254, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10229522494736254, "ret_p6m": 0.43537313482042195, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43537313482042195, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3899955710779832, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3899955710779832, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04537756374243873, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04537756374243873, "ret_p1y": 0.3528909047151212, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3528909047151212, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.49403183177770416, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49403183177770416, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.14114092706258297, "bench_c_p1y": -0.14114092706258297, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.056004427637955656, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017598544637892344, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017598544637892344, "price_path": [-0.0412, -0.0427, -0.0499, -0.0782, -0.0911, -0.1169, -0.1481, -0.1366, -0.1065, -0.1165, -0.1198, -0.098, -0.1063, -0.0982, -0.0895, -0.104, -0.1107, -0.0955, -0.1199, -0.11, -0.1018, -0.1145, -0.0989, -0.0918, -0.0927, -0.1034, -0.1199, -0.129, -0.1472, -0.1693, -0.1675, -0.1363, -0.1219, -0.1152, -0.1287, -0.1054, -0.116, -0.1219, -0.1348, -0.1129, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1232, -0.1345, -0.1326, -0.133, -0.1082, -0.121, -0.0882, -0.0985, -0.1053, -0.1326, -0.1306, -0.1037, -0.0723, -0.0654, -0.0321, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0435, -0.0114, 0.0048, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0387, 0.0349, 0.0358, 0.0349, 0.0476, 0.0527, 0.0534, 0.0654, 0.074, 0.0542, 0.0641, 0.0797, 0.0859, 0.0547, 0.0622, 0.0553, 0.0734, 0.0633, 0.0545, 0.056, 0.0698, 0.0795, 0.0839, 0.0553, 0.0593, 0.0567, 0.0656, 0.0672, 0.0509, 0.0446, 0.0039, 0.0217, 0.0531, 0.0633, 0.0633, 0.0206, 0.0264, 0.0024, -0.0083, 0.0206, 0.0125, 0.0275, 0.0516, 0.0514, 0.0433, 0.051, 0.0219, 0.0176, 0.0127, 0.0191, -0.0017, -0.014, 0.0141, 0.0206, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0435, 0.0427, 0.036, 0.0297, 0.0323, 0.0643, 0.1011, 0.1009, 0.1255, 0.1409, 0.1374, 0.1761, 0.1783, 0.1723, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.2047, 0.196, 0.185, 0.1616, 0.1694, 0.2148, 0.2127, 0.2259, 0.2207, 0.2261, 0.2698, 0.2739, 0.2618, 0.2815, 0.2979, 0.27, 0.2806, 0.2726, 0.3096, 0.2787, 0.2653, 0.2756, 0.2735, 0.2657, 0.2657, 0.2453, 0.2581, 0.2482, 0.2812, 0.3128, 0.326, 0.3563, 0.36, 0.3993, 0.4199, 0.4422, 0.3982, 0.4409, 0.4294, 0.3866, 0.3358, 0.3297, 0.3755, 0.3742, 0.4296, 0.419, 0.4434, 0.447, 0.4787, 0.4421, 0.4384, 0.4551, 0.4354]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1564594609073840131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-30T12:43:18+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "combatting energy ignorance will eventually lead to a meaningful re-rating in energy stock valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil and gas equities; expects sector re-rating as energy ignorance is corrected.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, there is a strong business case for Canadian LNG. Read how we can both lower global emissions and rain an abundance of royalties and taxes down upon all Canadians in my 26th column for the @financialpost. https://t.co/hp9gdazDhp\n\n---\n\nI'm thankful to the @financialpost for offering a platform that allows much needed advocacy for the Canadian oil and gas sector. I'm optimistic that combatting energy ignorance will eventually lead to a meaningful re-rating in energy stock valuations. https://t.co/0i1X9EaLsK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039641895368283775, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039641895368283775, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028542156254004913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028542156254004913, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011099739114278862, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011099739114278862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008951488880366565, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008951488880366565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013426445705654322, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013426445705654322, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007608844309801133, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007608844309801133, "ret_p1w": -0.03069061778401805, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03069061778401805, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011981873080436856, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011981873080436856, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018708744703581193, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018708744703581193, "ret_p1m": -0.10483167272206073, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10483167272206073, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03914301570291878, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03914301570291878, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06568865701914195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06568865701914195, "ret_p3m": 0.09640264866705617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09640264866705617, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08190587941802518, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08190587941802518, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014496769249030983, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014496769249030983, "ret_p6m": -0.01906158471371311, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01906158471371311, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.028616346845802387, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.028616346845802387, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009554762132089278, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009554762132089278, "ret_p1y": 0.09656569882487664, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09656569882487664, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.01695361987890065, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.01695361987890065, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1135193187037773, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1135193187037773, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10483167272206073, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03914301570291878, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03914301570291878, "price_path": [0.1275, 0.1307, 0.1402, 0.1662, 0.1745, 0.1611, 0.1434, 0.1078, 0.0875, 0.0729, 0.0184, -0.0394, -0.0165, 0.0069, -0.0464, -0.1123, -0.0831, -0.0403, 0.0, -0.0358, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0288, -0.094, -0.1298, -0.0902, -0.1004, -0.1125, -0.1419, -0.1451, -0.1592, -0.1471, -0.117, -0.0953, -0.0825, -0.1023, -0.1151, -0.0831, -0.0908, -0.0627, -0.0435, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0345, -0.0754, -0.1145, -0.0978, -0.0927, -0.0863, -0.0767, -0.0409, -0.0326, -0.048, -0.0601, -0.046, -0.0198, -0.0243, -0.0173, 0.0134, 0.0237, 0.0307, 0.0237, 0.0396, 0.0, -0.009, -0.0313, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0307, -0.0607, -0.0524, -0.0275, -0.007, -0.0153, 0.0153, -0.009, -0.0198, -0.0134, -0.0179, -0.039, -0.0556, -0.1295, -0.1594, -0.1399, -0.1048, -0.1029, -0.1022, -0.051, -0.0081, 0.0107, 0.0308, 0.0321, 0.0321, -0.0088, -0.0094, 0.0224, -0.012, -0.0107, -0.0159, 0.0146, 0.0302, 0.0484, 0.0568, 0.0601, 0.0795, 0.075, 0.075, 0.0938, 0.1074, 0.0996, 0.1276, 0.1276, 0.1321, 0.1224, 0.0763, 0.1022, 0.1263, 0.11, 0.1295, 0.1042, 0.0984, 0.0951, 0.0834, 0.1087, 0.0958, 0.0984, 0.0964, 0.0789, 0.0945, 0.0841, 0.0743, 0.0769, 0.0451, 0.0088, 0.0029, -0.0042, -0.0114, -0.0029, 0.0133, 0.0133, 0.0062, -0.0204, -0.0243, -0.0114, 0.0146, -0.0101, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0049, 0.0189, 0.0234, 0.0234, -0.0367, -0.0518, -0.0439, -0.0197, -0.0138, -0.0191, -0.0132, 0.0163, 0.0221, 0.0241, 0.0378, 0.0293, 0.0437, 0.049, 0.0594, 0.049, 0.0372, 0.0627, 0.0738, 0.0496, 0.0607, 0.0306, 0.0019, 0.0123, 0.0071, 0.0359, 0.0385, 0.0293, 0.0542, 0.0548, 0.0601, 0.047, 0.0306, -0.006, -0.006, -0.0073, -0.0191]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1214267013192986624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-06T19:26:30+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$60 floor is feeling increasingly likely = 10% FCF yields for large caps and 15%+ for midcaps. That will not last.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy equities: $60 oil floor creating 10-15%+ FCF yields that are unsustainably cheap and won't persist.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The biggest mistake an energy investor can make today is to look at where a stock has come from rather than where it might be going. $60 floor is feeling increasingly likely = 10% FCF yields for large caps and 15%+ for midcaps. That will not last. #OOTT https://t.co/u9pxFEtEh3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007721431580918536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007721431580918536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0039210267148072075, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0039210267148072075, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038004048661113288, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038004048661113288, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00262883357000554, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00262883357000554, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00018267359202206457, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00018267359202206457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028115071620276044, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028115071620276044, "ret_p1w": -0.01708567079672718, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01708567079672718, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030403081061019077, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030403081061019077, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013317410264291896, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013317410264291896, "ret_p1m": -0.13044207967271615, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13044207967271615, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14718895498194007, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14718895498194007, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01674687530922392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01674687530922392, "ret_p3m": -0.49359859316563415, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.49359859316563415, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27629188247733594, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27629188247733594, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.2173067106882982, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2173067106882982, "ret_p6m": -0.3561164898777107, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3561164898777107, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31872348589560207, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31872348589560207, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03739300398210865, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03739300398210865, "ret_p1y": -0.3285345031053477, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3285345031053477, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4854814630445694, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4854814630445694, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1569469599392217, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1569469599392217, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13044207967271615, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14718895498194007, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14718895498194007, "price_path": [-0.1089, -0.0977, -0.0855, -0.086, -0.0822, -0.095, -0.0943, -0.0991, -0.083, -0.0711, -0.0634, -0.0673, -0.0597, -0.0651, -0.0613, -0.0804, -0.0844, -0.0635, -0.033, -0.0318, -0.0515, -0.0373, -0.0413, -0.0466, -0.0515, -0.0556, -0.0582, -0.0509, -0.0624, -0.0763, -0.067, -0.0517, -0.0548, -0.0539, -0.0626, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0836, -0.0699, -0.0743, -0.0566, -0.0577, -0.0558, -0.0574, -0.04, -0.0473, -0.0345, -0.0338, -0.0302, -0.0305, -0.0212, -0.0112, -0.0117, -0.0117, -0.012, -0.0161, -0.0192, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0048, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0191, -0.0118, -0.0174, -0.0171, -0.0169, -0.0242, -0.0225, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0462, -0.0554, -0.059, -0.0698, -0.0956, -0.0915, -0.101, -0.0938, -0.1221, -0.1336, -0.1304, -0.0977, -0.1069, -0.1132, -0.1176, -0.1078, -0.0958, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1033, -0.1107, -0.0989, -0.0999, -0.1106, -0.1516, -0.1891, -0.2136, -0.2556, -0.2563, -0.2262, -0.2499, -0.2321, -0.2602, -0.3018, -0.4424, -0.416, -0.4469, -0.5159, -0.4712, -0.5431, -0.54, -0.606, -0.5793, -0.5752, -0.6041, -0.5406, -0.519, -0.4896, -0.5242, -0.5193, -0.5119, -0.5361, -0.4936, -0.499, -0.4724, -0.4612, -0.4252, -0.4304, -0.4304, -0.4323, -0.435, -0.4615, -0.4845, -0.4298, -0.4476, -0.4573, -0.438, -0.4199, -0.4185, -0.4059, -0.3923, -0.3473, -0.3617, -0.3979, -0.377, -0.3765, -0.3928, -0.377, -0.3486, -0.3601, -0.3713, -0.3999, -0.3932, -0.3955, -0.3461, -0.3644, -0.3391, -0.3497, -0.3537, -0.3537, -0.3357, -0.3271, -0.346, -0.349, -0.3376, -0.3191, -0.2991, -0.2989, -0.2469, -0.2129, -0.2425, -0.2798, -0.3476, -0.3312, -0.3292, -0.3098, -0.3334, -0.3251, -0.3354, -0.3323, -0.3316, -0.3687, -0.3566, -0.3789, -0.3706, -0.3561]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1209096553522237441", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-12-23T13:00:56+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looking for ~$17.50 WCS:WTI differentials (or lower) in 2020 which = FCF machines for CDN heavy oil producers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers: WCS:WTI differentials narrowing to ~$17.50 in 2020 = FCF machines on crude-by-rail hitting record volumes.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Spotted along the 401 heading to Ottawa yesterday. Crude-by-rail to hit record 550,000 bbl/d this month. Looking for ~$17.50 WCS:WTI differentials (or lower) in 2020 which = FCF machines for CDN heavy oil producers #OOTT https://t.co/OZYe1ig0dR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04528818038910595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04528818038910595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04376288668014203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03512517932511747, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015252937089639262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010163001063988486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010674180885608342, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010674180885608342, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010643096996637569, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011158297703243059, "bench_spy_p1d": 3.108388897077319e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0004841168176347166, "ret_p1w": 0.027738870922516368, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027738870922516368, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028174877044067292, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035879841794547174, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0004360061215509248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008140970872030806, "ret_p1m": -0.08297832253857035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08297832253857035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11435870398882814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047590451678580836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03138038145025779, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03538787085998951, "ret_p3m": -0.7796572158948438, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7796572158948438, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.528396421130743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2051430895880264, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.2512607947641008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.5745141263068174, "ret_p6m": -0.531324160922269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.531324160922269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5113386757469449, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22927143164179065, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.019985485175324058, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3020527292804783, "ret_p1y": -0.4709866879660789, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4709866879660789, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6294284432556159, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17674886989454874, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15844175528953697, "bench_c_p1y": -0.29423781807153015, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08297832253857035, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11435870398882814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.047590451678580836, "price_path": [0.0367, 0.0167, 0.0059, -0.0092, -0.0544, -0.0791, -0.0815, -0.0811, -0.0952, -0.1256, -0.1376, -0.1269, -0.1139, -0.1139, -0.1152, -0.1259, -0.1334, -0.1503, -0.1559, -0.1513, -0.1452, -0.1584, -0.157, -0.1691, -0.1591, -0.1824, -0.2123, -0.1736, -0.1576, -0.1377, -0.1447, -0.1338, -0.1454, -0.1437, -0.1544, -0.1626, -0.1662, -0.1501, -0.1773, -0.208, -0.1908, -0.1838, -0.1848, -0.1887, -0.207, -0.1912, -0.1857, -0.1968, -0.2102, -0.2291, -0.2055, -0.211, -0.1625, -0.1366, -0.1299, -0.1337, -0.103, -0.1025, -0.0948, -0.0614, -0.0639, -0.0418, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0167, 0.0277, 0.0146, 0.0146, 0.0108, 0.0322, 0.0644, 0.0591, 0.008, 0.0066, -0.0301, -0.0566, -0.0517, -0.0736, -0.0602, -0.0676, -0.061, -0.083, -0.0957, -0.1061, -0.1427, -0.1713, -0.1606, -0.1556, -0.1557, -0.1881, -0.192, -0.1791, -0.1357, -0.1447, -0.1686, -0.1825, -0.1756, -0.1507, -0.1614, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.1713, -0.1485, -0.1429, -0.1605, -0.2104, -0.2371, -0.2558, -0.2866, -0.2799, -0.2827, -0.3042, -0.3078, -0.3319, -0.3996, -0.6215, -0.6083, -0.6387, -0.695, -0.6617, -0.7251, -0.7458, -0.7942, -0.7797, -0.7709, -0.7783, -0.7646, -0.7357, -0.7498, -0.7738, -0.7577, -0.7177, -0.7319, -0.6976, -0.6935, -0.6794, -0.6867, -0.6774, -0.693, -0.693, -0.6969, -0.7081, -0.7222, -0.7275, -0.7061, -0.7213, -0.7238, -0.7047, -0.6894, -0.6918, -0.6986, -0.6866, -0.6367, -0.6352, -0.6566, -0.6494, -0.6406, -0.6483, -0.6454, -0.6385, -0.6427, -0.6373, -0.6577, -0.6522, -0.6399, -0.6399, -0.6178, -0.6029, -0.6057, -0.61, -0.6112, -0.6073, -0.6015, -0.6059, -0.614, -0.6012, -0.5669, -0.5584, -0.5301, -0.4699, -0.4191, -0.4506, -0.4851, -0.5542, -0.5394, -0.5449, -0.5313]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1332026896805208065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-26T18:22:14+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canada is the place to be for energy investors in 2021", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canada energy equities and oil demand long-term; peak-oil thesis is flawed, developing-world growth ensures rising hydrocarbon consumption through 2050.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The road ahead: here is a new 25 minute presentation in which I go through why forecasts of imminent peak oil demand are flawed, why 100% renewables are not the future, and why Canada is the place to be for energy investors in 2021!  https://t.co/3uGhgJ3Om5 https://t.co/WsCZLyjMv5\n\n---\n\nHow can oil demand be imminently peaking when the global population is set to rise by 26% by 2050 largely in countries with rising living standards (ie. rising energy consumption) whom cannot afford \"energy poverty\" from significantly increasing renewables into their power mix? https://t.co/KlajcsX31L\n\n---\n\nIt's easy to see the world through the eyes of a North American/European where energy wokeness dominates, yet in countries that are gaining economic relevance and still use dung as an energy source...are Tesla and hydrogen a realistic near-term threat to their oil demand growth? https://t.co/QV4Wzs6l9m\n\n---\n\nThe world will grow by 2BN (26%) people by 2050. While woke governments will aggressively push \"energy transition\" the reality is this is not broadly appealing in developing countries. The \"ugly\" truth??? 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{"unit_id": "orig:1596142851083173890", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-11-25T14:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my outlook for energy stocks heading into 2023", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil and energy stocks into 2023; views recent oil selloff as a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me today at 12pmET on @marketcall with @AndrewBellBNN. I'll be discussing why I think the recent oil selloff is an early Christmas gift to investors, and my outlook for energy stocks heading into 2023. https://t.co/Rud5HQdvgy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0037008627556844864, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0037008627556844864, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0034771851007802113, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0034771851007802113, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00022367765490427516, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00022367765490427516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02743014939363697, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02743014939363697, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011473045903216295, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011473045903216295, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015957103490420677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015957103490420677, "ret_p1w": -0.01698057757463367, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01698057757463367, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028364132768009087, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028364132768009087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011383555193375416, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011383555193375416, "ret_p1m": -0.04259647042086001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04259647042086001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0013020578215041656, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013020578215041656, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.043898528242364176, "bench_c_p1m": -0.043898528242364176, "ret_p3m": -0.08163602960764982, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08163602960764982, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07676464187459664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07676464187459664, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0048713877330531785, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0048713877330531785, "ret_p6m": -0.11872130667600422, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11872130667600422, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.168403738457499, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.168403738457499, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.049682431781494785, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049682431781494785, "ret_p1y": -0.042854648409625495, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.042854648409625495, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17574063703147536, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17574063703147536, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13288598862184986, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13288598862184986, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04259647042086001, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0013020578215041656, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0013020578215041656, "price_path": [-0.1252, -0.1332, -0.1545, -0.139, -0.139, -0.147, -0.1569, -0.1532, -0.1321, -0.1162, -0.1385, -0.1142, -0.137, -0.1554, -0.1549, -0.1608, -0.1731, -0.176, -0.2328, -0.2517, -0.2433, -0.2098, -0.2098, -0.2161, -0.1718, -0.1362, -0.1183, -0.1026, -0.1096, -0.1279, -0.1349, -0.1279, -0.0923, -0.1262, -0.1153, -0.1075, -0.0812, -0.0803, -0.0538, -0.0493, -0.0483, -0.0354, -0.0319, -0.0285, -0.0204, -0.0109, -0.0347, -0.0169, -0.0049, 0.0122, 0.0132, -0.0364, -0.0149, 0.0137, 0.0134, 0.0241, 0.0032, 0.0053, -0.0026, -0.0161, 0.0147, 0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0, -0.0274, -0.0127, -0.0078, -0.0111, -0.017, -0.0462, -0.0713, -0.0735, -0.0776, -0.1, -0.0764, -0.0589, -0.0647, -0.0703, -0.0817, -0.0819, -0.068, -0.0503, -0.0722, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0324, -0.054, -0.0441, -0.0381, -0.0381, -0.0718, -0.072, -0.055, -0.0371, -0.0405, -0.0337, -0.0307, -0.0122, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0087, -0.0269, -0.0148, -0.005, -0.0037, -0.0075, -0.0074, 0.0239, 0.0033, -0.0197, -0.011, -0.0305, -0.0526, -0.0547, -0.059, -0.0284, -0.0371, -0.0453, -0.008, -0.0105, -0.0102, -0.027, -0.0365, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.0755, -0.0816, -0.0678, -0.069, -0.0662, -0.0797, -0.0615, -0.0533, -0.0404, -0.04, -0.0567, -0.0664, -0.0795, -0.0913, -0.1098, -0.101, -0.1493, -0.14, -0.1536, -0.1366, -0.1067, -0.1257, -0.1378, -0.1345, -0.1161, -0.1024, -0.0899, -0.0859, -0.0796, -0.0379, -0.0554, -0.0412, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0482, -0.0392, -0.0385, -0.0325, -0.0307, -0.0422, -0.0384, -0.0417, -0.0502, -0.0557, -0.0413, -0.0593, -0.0718, -0.0685, -0.0541, -0.0647, -0.1054, -0.1223, -0.1321, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1082, -0.1183, -0.1288, -0.1275, -0.1231, -0.1446, -0.1282, -0.1218, -0.1151, -0.1187]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1496226405511839749", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-02-22T20:52:28+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At $80WTI energy stocks are trading at 2.8x EV/CF, and investors get on average 10 years of 25% free cashflow yields for free! That's my downside scenario", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Even at $80-85 WTI downside, energy stocks at 2.8x EV/CF with 25% FCF yields are deeply attractive; bullish energy equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's rip off the Band-Aid. Peace in Ukraine+ Iran deal + SPR release (again) = $80-$85WTI temporarily??? At $80WTI energy stocks are trading at 2.8x EV/CF, and investors get on average 10 years of 25% free cashflow yields for free! That's my downside scenario.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016430183188431258, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016430183188431258, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005582082652819009, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005582082652819009, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010848100535612248, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010848100535612248, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01030638452441246, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01030638452441246, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028044875475065734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028044875475065734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017738490950653274, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017738490950653274, "ret_p1w": 0.06482448799345741, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06482448799345741, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06386987201552352, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06386987201552352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009546159779338925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009546159779338925, "ret_p1m": 0.15915337202742075, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15915337202742075, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1228176424141878, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1228176424141878, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03633572961323295, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03633572961323295, "ret_p3m": 0.23304203779093702, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23304203779093702, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32320083269143807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.32320083269143807, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09015879490050105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09015879490050105, "ret_p6m": 0.18023395423373545, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18023395423373545, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17964225198234485, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17964225198234485, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0005917022513906023, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0005917022513906023, "ret_p1y": 0.3519371356544314, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3519371356544314, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3888940886190352, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3888940886190352, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.03695695296460377, "bench_c_p1y": -0.03695695296460377, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15915337202742075, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1228176424141878, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1228176424141878, "price_path": [-0.1461, -0.1804, -0.1757, -0.195, -0.2036, -0.1804, -0.1869, -0.1748, -0.1555, -0.1557, -0.1622, -0.156, -0.1794, -0.1828, -0.1868, -0.1816, -0.1983, -0.2082, -0.1857, -0.1804, -0.18, -0.18, -0.1621, -0.1627, -0.168, -0.1731, -0.171, -0.1453, -0.1158, -0.1159, -0.0962, -0.0838, -0.0866, -0.0556, -0.0538, -0.0586, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0326, -0.0396, -0.0484, -0.0672, -0.0609, -0.0245, -0.0261, -0.0155, -0.0197, -0.0154, 0.0197, 0.023, 0.0133, 0.0291, 0.0423, 0.0199, 0.0284, 0.022, 0.0517, 0.0269, 0.0161, 0.0243, 0.0227, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0024, 0.0288, 0.0542, 0.0648, 0.0892, 0.0922, 0.1237, 0.1403, 0.1582, 0.1228, 0.1571, 0.1479, 0.1135, 0.0727, 0.0678, 0.1046, 0.1035, 0.148, 0.1396, 0.1592, 0.162, 0.1875, 0.1581, 0.1551, 0.1685, 0.1527, 0.162, 0.1635, 0.1453, 0.1521, 0.1671, 0.1993, 0.1632, 0.1825, 0.2002, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.2217, 0.2118, 0.2165, 0.1779, 0.149, 0.111, 0.1126, 0.1288, 0.1631, 0.1332, 0.1513, 0.1836, 0.2327, 0.2142, 0.2504, 0.1469, 0.1573, 0.1729, 0.1779, 0.2181, 0.2502, 0.2647, 0.2323, 0.2278, 0.233, 0.2656, 0.2704, 0.2967, 0.311, 0.335, 0.335, 0.3149, 0.3363, 0.3321, 0.3498, 0.3482, 0.3885, 0.3915, 0.3608, 0.3377, 0.2679, 0.2703, 0.2422, 0.1723, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.1656, 0.1189, 0.0775, 0.0916, 0.1237, 0.154, 0.1139, 0.0904, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.0628, 0.0447, 0.0823, 0.0819, 0.0715, 0.0506, 0.0489, 0.0291, 0.0459, 0.0698, 0.1028, 0.1134, 0.0939, 0.0849, 0.1247, 0.1145, 0.1397, 0.1461, 0.1958, 0.1711, 0.1683, 0.1348, 0.0927, 0.1144, 0.1202, 0.1398, 0.1481, 0.1876, 0.1965, 0.1732, 0.1705, 0.1802]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1483434188808368129", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-18T13:40:46+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As we realize that oil consumption will continue for many decades, the most benefited are those with long dated resource", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks with long-dated oil resources as market re-rates sector upward on multi-decade consumption outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy ignorance is at the root of the severe trading multiple contraction experienced by energy stocks over the past several years. As we realize that oil consumption will continue for many decades, the most benefited are those with long dated resource.  https://t.co/6oFkHKZqel https://t.co/X4B1PQvoUU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004013920031109786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004013920031109786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022042766781199763, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022042766781199763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018028846750089977, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018028846750089977, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0072563902195266206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0072563902195266206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003127235059736888, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003127235059736888, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010383625279263509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010383625279263509, "ret_p1w": 0.008337418861278145, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008337418861278145, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056575024520783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056575024520783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.048237605659504856, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048237605659504856, "ret_p1m": 0.058823666242173056, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.058823666242173056, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08048867046766739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08048867046766739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021665004225494333, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021665004225494333, "ret_p3m": 0.24461678386419194, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24461678386419194, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.282602153200745, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.282602153200745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.037985369336553054, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037985369336553054, "ret_p6m": 0.08424921907465155, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08424921907465155, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24819939190357132, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24819939190357132, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.16395017282891977, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16395017282891977, "ret_p1y": 0.38327401507077474, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.38327401507077474, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5387104811755776, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5387104811755776, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.15543646610480288, "bench_c_p1y": -0.15543646610480288, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.38327401507077474, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5387104811755776, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5387104811755776, "price_path": [-0.125, -0.1167, -0.1038, -0.0986, -0.1245, -0.1183, -0.124, -0.109, -0.1173, -0.1247, -0.1234, -0.112, -0.1039, -0.1003, -0.124, -0.1207, -0.1228, -0.1155, -0.1141, -0.1277, -0.1329, -0.1667, -0.1519, -0.1259, -0.1173, -0.1173, -0.1529, -0.148, -0.1679, -0.1768, -0.1529, -0.1596, -0.1471, -0.1271, -0.1272, -0.134, -0.1276, -0.1518, -0.1553, -0.1594, -0.1541, -0.1713, -0.1816, -0.1583, -0.1528, -0.1524, -0.1524, -0.1339, -0.1345, -0.14, -0.1453, -0.1431, -0.1166, -0.086, -0.0862, -0.0658, -0.053, -0.0559, -0.0238, -0.0219, -0.0269, -0.004, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0164, -0.0358, -0.0293, 0.0083, 0.0066, 0.0176, 0.0133, 0.0178, 0.054, 0.0574, 0.0474, 0.0638, 0.0774, 0.0542, 0.063, 0.0564, 0.0871, 0.0614, 0.0503, 0.0588, 0.0571, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0337, 0.0443, 0.0361, 0.0635, 0.0897, 0.1007, 0.1258, 0.1289, 0.1615, 0.1786, 0.1972, 0.1606, 0.1961, 0.1865, 0.151, 0.1088, 0.1038, 0.1417, 0.1407, 0.1866, 0.1779, 0.1982, 0.2011, 0.2275, 0.1971, 0.194, 0.2078, 0.1915, 0.2011, 0.2027, 0.1838, 0.1908, 0.2064, 0.2396, 0.2024, 0.2223, 0.2406, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2629, 0.2526, 0.2574, 0.2175, 0.1877, 0.1484, 0.15, 0.1668, 0.2022, 0.1714, 0.1901, 0.2234, 0.2742, 0.2551, 0.2925, 0.1855, 0.1963, 0.2124, 0.2175, 0.2591, 0.2923, 0.3073, 0.2738, 0.2691, 0.2745, 0.3082, 0.3132, 0.3403, 0.3551, 0.3799, 0.3799, 0.3592, 0.3813, 0.3769, 0.3952, 0.3936, 0.4352, 0.4384, 0.4066, 0.3827, 0.3105, 0.313, 0.2841, 0.2117, 0.1455, 0.1455, 0.2048, 0.1566, 0.1137, 0.1284, 0.1615, 0.1928, 0.1514, 0.1271, 0.144, 0.144, 0.0986, 0.0798, 0.1188, 0.1183, 0.1076, 0.086, 0.0842]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1340017241035845640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-18T19:33:01+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no better way to show just how mispriced energy stocks are than this", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks are deeply mispriced to the upside; FCF yields at $50 WTI support a strong bullish case.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 2021 WTI strip is now $49/bbl (!) so the FCF yields at $50 that I've been showing for 6+ months are no longer quite so unbelievable. There is no better way to show just how mispriced energy stocks are than this: https://t.co/MiDdsAnfWY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017004724956338535, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017004724956338535, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012995767224967425, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012995767224967425, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00400895773137111, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00400895773137111, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019290465010312396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019290465010312396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015714742522393133, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015714742522393133, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003575722487919264, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003575722487919264, "ret_p1w": -0.019547730063881996, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019547730063881996, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019059974131871216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019059974131871216, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0004877559320107805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0004877559320107805, "ret_p1m": 0.09953676185195293, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09953676185195293, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08187623216659246, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08187623216659246, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01766052968536047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01766052968536047, "ret_p3m": 0.333590220611494, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.333590220611494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25753004184756856, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25753004184756856, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07606017876392546, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07606017876392546, "ret_p6m": 0.43325671849208436, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43325671849208436, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2775799959846299, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2775799959846299, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15567672250745446, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15567672250745446, "ret_p1y": 0.5221055578855021, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5221055578855021, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.24126487373077699, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.24126487373077699, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2808406841547251, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2808406841547251, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09953676185195293, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08187623216659246, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08187623216659246, "price_path": [-0.197, -0.2332, -0.2335, -0.234, -0.216, -0.2376, -0.2398, -0.2632, -0.2561, -0.2338, -0.2452, -0.2345, -0.2058, -0.2185, -0.2165, -0.2287, -0.2254, -0.216, -0.2338, -0.25, -0.2411, -0.2556, -0.2249, -0.2287, -0.2563, -0.266, -0.2967, -0.2751, -0.2711, -0.2462, -0.2505, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.2657, -0.1609, -0.1338, -0.1426, -0.1703, -0.1401, -0.0835, -0.0741, -0.101, -0.0863, -0.0911, -0.0269, 0.0231, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.0124, -0.067, -0.0627, -0.0322, -0.0221, 0.0312, 0.0071, 0.0221, 0.0244, 0.0558, 0.0437, 0.0071, 0.0269, 0.0218, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0358, -0.0144, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0257, -0.0322, -0.017, -0.0252, -0.0252, -0.0237, 0.0201, 0.0512, 0.0666, 0.0653, 0.082, 0.1199, 0.1111, 0.144, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.1217, 0.1258, 0.0877, 0.082, 0.071, 0.0481, 0.034, 0.046, 0.0113, 0.0185, 0.0296, 0.0736, 0.0854, 0.0946, 0.1404, 0.1283, 0.1499, 0.1322, 0.1489, 0.1489, 0.1777, 0.1952, 0.1682, 0.1878, 0.2289, 0.2492, 0.2935, 0.2685, 0.2384, 0.2706, 0.2636, 0.2821, 0.3128, 0.3619, 0.3645, 0.3405, 0.3745, 0.375, 0.3778, 0.3621, 0.3233, 0.3336, 0.2737, 0.2739, 0.2617, 0.2432, 0.2744, 0.2791, 0.3108, 0.2952, 0.2841, 0.2752, 0.3077, 0.3077, 0.2765, 0.2731, 0.2776, 0.2609, 0.2526, 0.2427, 0.244, 0.2786, 0.2682, 0.2581, 0.2568, 0.2235, 0.2391, 0.2245, 0.2357, 0.244, 0.2591, 0.3025, 0.3171, 0.2838, 0.3191, 0.3199, 0.3626, 0.3696, 0.394, 0.3945, 0.3587, 0.3652, 0.3485, 0.3904, 0.4226, 0.3896, 0.355, 0.3529, 0.3558, 0.3693, 0.3415, 0.3535, 0.3545, 0.3571, 0.3571, 0.4093, 0.4356, 0.4395, 0.4491, 0.4429, 0.4554, 0.4463, 0.4444, 0.4395, 0.4333]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1334546570063310851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-03T17:14:31+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you're not long soon...you never will be. My cash is deployed!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Fully bullish on energy sector into year-end: OPEC+ cleared, vaccine approvals imminent, stocks -50% YTD at 10%+ FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today's OPEC+ meeting was the final hurdle for institutional generalist investors to clear before adding energy sector exposure and going at least market weight. Many stocks still -50%YTD + line of sight to a post-COVID world = year-end rally potential. https://t.co/yWO1NhknTr\n\n---\n\nWe've avoided a potential OPEC faceplant, have imminent US vaccine approvals, have improving demand stats in Europe, China, and Japan, and have energy stocks -50+% YTD and trading at 10%+ free cash flow yields. If you're not long soon...you never will be. My cash is deployed! https://t.co/hZqioR3Nbu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010381274583148192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010381274583148192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010654026129114369, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010654026129114369, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002727515459661767, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002727515459661767, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054503323194841746, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054503323194841746, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04588588264579063, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04588588264579063, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008617440549051114, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008617440549051114, "ret_p1w": 0.07967817481532813, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07967817481532813, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0795690921529355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0795690921529355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00010908266239262332, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00010908266239262332, "ret_p1m": -0.0031951344999562314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0031951344999562314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027149238261539366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027149238261539366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.023954103761583134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023954103761583134, "ret_p3m": 0.2921645308535761, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2921645308535761, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23353821106558614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23353821106558614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05862631978798993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05862631978798993, "ret_p6m": 0.3877406697260046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3877406697260046, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23359941602774326, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23359941602774326, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15414125369826137, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15414125369826137, "ret_p1y": 0.5121751867915165, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5121751867915165, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.21910356087089022, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21910356087089022, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2930716259206263, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2930716259206263, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0031951344999562314, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.027149238261539366, "alpha_c_stated": -0.027149238261539366, "price_path": [-0.1096, -0.1421, -0.1362, -0.1679, -0.1671, -0.1607, -0.1668, -0.1334, -0.1321, -0.1418, -0.1703, -0.1788, -0.2159, -0.2162, -0.2167, -0.1983, -0.2203, -0.2227, -0.2466, -0.2393, -0.2165, -0.2281, -0.2172, -0.1879, -0.2009, -0.1988, -0.2113, -0.2079, -0.1983, -0.2165, -0.2331, -0.224, -0.2388, -0.2074, -0.2113, -0.2396, -0.2494, -0.2808, -0.2588, -0.2546, -0.2292, -0.2336, -0.2325, -0.2325, -0.2492, -0.142, -0.1142, -0.1233, -0.1516, -0.1207, -0.0628, -0.0532, -0.0807, -0.0657, -0.0706, -0.0049, 0.0462, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0099, -0.0459, -0.0415, -0.0104, 0.0, 0.0545, 0.0298, 0.0452, 0.0475, 0.0797, 0.0672, 0.0298, 0.0501, 0.0449, 0.04, 0.0226, 0.0029, -0.014, 0.0079, 0.0026, 0.0026, -0.0037, -0.0103, 0.0052, -0.0032, -0.0032, -0.0016, 0.0431, 0.0749, 0.0907, 0.0894, 0.1065, 0.1451, 0.1362, 0.1699, 0.1244, 0.1244, 0.147, 0.1512, 0.1123, 0.1065, 0.0952, 0.0718, 0.0573, 0.0697, 0.0342, 0.0415, 0.0528, 0.0978, 0.1099, 0.1194, 0.1662, 0.1538, 0.1759, 0.1578, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.2043, 0.2222, 0.1946, 0.2146, 0.2567, 0.2774, 0.3227, 0.2972, 0.2664, 0.2993, 0.2922, 0.3111, 0.3424, 0.3926, 0.3953, 0.3708, 0.4055, 0.406, 0.4089, 0.3929, 0.3532, 0.3637, 0.3024, 0.3027, 0.2902, 0.2713, 0.3032, 0.308, 0.3404, 0.3245, 0.3131, 0.304, 0.3372, 0.3372, 0.3053, 0.3019, 0.3064, 0.2894, 0.2809, 0.2708, 0.2721, 0.3075, 0.2968, 0.2865, 0.2851, 0.2511, 0.2671, 0.2522, 0.2636, 0.2721, 0.2875, 0.3319, 0.3468, 0.3128, 0.3489, 0.3497, 0.3933, 0.4005, 0.4255, 0.426, 0.3893, 0.396, 0.379, 0.4218, 0.4547, 0.421, 0.3856, 0.3835, 0.3864, 0.4002, 0.3718, 0.384, 0.3851, 0.3877]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1331684935283990530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-25T19:43:24+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Major bull market in 2021...get long soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Calls for a major energy bull market in 2021; urges getting long soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I respect Rafi as a formidable competitor. Our styles may differ but we both walk the lonely path as the 2 remaining energy fund PM's left in the country. This interview of his is worth watching. Major bull market in 2021...get long soon. https://t.co/8GVo9b1Puy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023875953518027515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023875953518027515, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022331735281346576, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022331735281346576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015442182366809387, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015442182366809387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.031496158408858, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031496158408858, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042884211891405455, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042884211891405455, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011388053482547456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011388053482547456, "ret_p1m": -0.018800453174577014, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018800453174577014, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04061949160347045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04061949160347045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021819038428893434, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021819038428893434, "ret_p3m": 0.2298455776408883, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2298455776408883, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15809857126012883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15809857126012883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07174700638075948, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07174700638075948, "ret_p6m": 0.3539694233115329, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3539694233115329, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20022725174726186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20022725174726186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15374217156427106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15374217156427106, "ret_p1y": 0.5307133583647081, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5307133583647081, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22411182767233817, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22411182767233817, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30660153069236995, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30660153069236995, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.018800453174577014, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04061949160347045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04061949160347045, "price_path": [-0.0894, -0.1091, -0.1151, -0.1194, -0.1259, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.1604, -0.1546, -0.1856, -0.1849, -0.1786, -0.1846, -0.1519, -0.1506, -0.1601, -0.188, -0.1963, -0.2327, -0.2329, -0.2334, -0.2154, -0.237, -0.2393, -0.2626, -0.2555, -0.2332, -0.2446, -0.2339, -0.2052, -0.2179, -0.2159, -0.2281, -0.2248, -0.2154, -0.2332, -0.2494, -0.2405, -0.255, -0.2243, -0.2281, -0.2558, -0.2654, -0.2962, -0.2746, -0.2705, -0.2456, -0.2499, -0.2489, -0.2489, -0.2652, -0.1603, -0.1331, -0.142, -0.1697, -0.1394, -0.0828, -0.0734, -0.1003, -0.0856, -0.0904, -0.0262, 0.0239, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0663, -0.062, -0.0315, -0.0213, 0.032, 0.0079, 0.0229, 0.0251, 0.0566, 0.0444, 0.0079, 0.0277, 0.0226, 0.0178, 0.0008, -0.0185, -0.035, -0.0137, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.025, -0.0314, -0.0162, -0.0245, -0.0245, -0.0229, 0.0208, 0.052, 0.0674, 0.0661, 0.0829, 0.1207, 0.112, 0.1449, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.1225, 0.1266, 0.0885, 0.0829, 0.0718, 0.0489, 0.0347, 0.0468, 0.0121, 0.0193, 0.0304, 0.0744, 0.0862, 0.0955, 0.1413, 0.1292, 0.1508, 0.1331, 0.1498, 0.1498, 0.1786, 0.1961, 0.1691, 0.1887, 0.2298, 0.2502, 0.2945, 0.2695, 0.2394, 0.2715, 0.2646, 0.2831, 0.3138, 0.3629, 0.3655, 0.3416, 0.3755, 0.376, 0.3789, 0.3632, 0.3243, 0.3346, 0.2746, 0.2749, 0.2627, 0.2442, 0.2754, 0.2801, 0.3118, 0.2962, 0.285, 0.2762, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.2775, 0.2741, 0.2785, 0.2619, 0.2536, 0.2437, 0.245, 0.2796, 0.2692, 0.259, 0.2577, 0.2244, 0.24, 0.2255, 0.2367, 0.245, 0.2601, 0.3035, 0.3181, 0.2848, 0.3202, 0.3209, 0.3636, 0.3706, 0.3951, 0.3956, 0.3597, 0.3662, 0.3495, 0.3914, 0.4237, 0.3906, 0.3561, 0.354]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1453497667246600196", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-27T23:03:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Big re-rate potential from valuations at 1/3 of historic levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil & gas sector on 13% return-of-capital potential at $70 WTI and re-rate from valuations at 1/3 of historic levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Meaningful dividends and share buybacks...the curative in my opinion for lingering investor apathy. $70WTI = 13% \"return of capital\" potential for the sector using only 50% of FCF in '22. Big re-rate potential from valuations at 1/3 of historic levels. \"Great quarter guys!\" https://t.co/RI5doQEd3G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0070872234139310875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0070872234139310875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024695436193309384, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024695436193309384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009556767033262026, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009556767033262026, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006568451167672018, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006568451167672018, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008597741256138658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008597741256138658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00202929008846664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00202929008846664, "ret_p1w": -0.0058772721114837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0058772721114837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024619571253450045, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024619571253450045, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018742299141966345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018742299141966345, "ret_p1m": -0.03923938646763281, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03923938646763281, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040657743294449045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040657743294449045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001418356826816236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001418356826816236, "ret_p3m": 0.14357227530900163, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14357227530900163, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19227977073408542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19227977073408542, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04870749542508379, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04870749542508379, "ret_p6m": 0.34701781997408165, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34701781997408165, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4112851657860368, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4112851657860368, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06426734581195515, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06426734581195515, "ret_p1y": 0.4687731851079622, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4687731851079622, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6563044091100957, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6563044091100957, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1875312240021335, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1875312240021335, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03923938646763281, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.040657743294449045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.040657743294449045, "price_path": [-0.1628, -0.1485, -0.1715, -0.1621, -0.1544, -0.1664, -0.1517, -0.145, -0.1459, -0.156, -0.1715, -0.1801, -0.1971, -0.218, -0.2163, -0.1869, -0.1734, -0.1671, -0.1797, -0.1579, -0.1678, -0.1734, -0.1855, -0.1649, -0.1696, -0.1696, -0.1746, -0.1852, -0.1835, -0.1838, -0.1604, -0.1725, -0.1416, -0.1514, -0.1577, -0.1834, -0.1815, -0.1563, -0.1267, -0.1201, -0.0889, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0996, -0.0693, -0.0541, -0.0486, -0.0586, -0.0513, -0.0221, -0.0258, -0.0249, -0.0258, -0.0138, -0.009, -0.0083, 0.0029, 0.0111, -0.0076, 0.0017, 0.0164, 0.0223, -0.0071, 0.0, -0.0066, 0.0105, 0.001, -0.0073, -0.0059, 0.0071, 0.0162, 0.0204, -0.0066, -0.0028, -0.0052, 0.0031, 0.0047, -0.0107, -0.0166, -0.055, -0.0382, -0.0086, 0.001, 0.001, -0.0392, -0.0337, -0.0564, -0.0664, -0.0392, -0.0468, -0.0327, -0.01, -0.0102, -0.0178, -0.0105, -0.038, -0.042, -0.0467, -0.0406, -0.0602, -0.0718, -0.0454, -0.0392, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0177, -0.0184, -0.0247, -0.0307, -0.0282, 0.0019, 0.0366, 0.0364, 0.0595, 0.0741, 0.0707, 0.1072, 0.1093, 0.1036, 0.1296, 0.1296, 0.1341, 0.1259, 0.1156, 0.0935, 0.1008, 0.1436, 0.1416, 0.1541, 0.1492, 0.1543, 0.1954, 0.1993, 0.1879, 0.2064, 0.2218, 0.1956, 0.2056, 0.198, 0.2329, 0.2038, 0.1912, 0.2008, 0.1989, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1723, 0.1844, 0.1751, 0.2061, 0.2358, 0.2483, 0.2768, 0.2803, 0.3173, 0.3367, 0.3577, 0.3162, 0.3565, 0.3456, 0.3054, 0.2576, 0.2518, 0.2949, 0.2936, 0.3458, 0.3359, 0.3589, 0.3622, 0.3921, 0.3576, 0.3541, 0.3698, 0.3513, 0.3622, 0.364, 0.3426, 0.3506, 0.3682, 0.4059, 0.3636, 0.3863, 0.4069, 0.4115, 0.4115, 0.4322, 0.4206, 0.426, 0.3808, 0.347]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1595473421525286913", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-11-23T17:44:40+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see the sector offering a double or more from these levels.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares analyst view that the sector can double from current levels; implicitly endorsing the bullish call.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ollenberger: \"we see the sector offering a double or more from these levels.\" Still feel late to the party???\nhttps://t.co/qe7SAdwcIj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011848292034228214, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011848292034228214, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01811050155472571, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01811050155472571, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006262209520497497, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006262209520497497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002369709828655475, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002369709828655475, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002369709828655475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002369709828655475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.010663469258531566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010663469258531566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023734321708954842, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023734321708954842, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013070852450423276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013070852450423276, "ret_p1m": -0.09656398823957502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09656398823957502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.046984613223979066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.046984613223979066, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04957937501559595, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04957937501559595, "ret_p3m": -0.09284535578460973, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09284535578460973, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10951976014755782, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10951976014755782, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016674404362948092, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016674404362948092, "ret_p6m": -0.1264959809677597, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1264959809677597, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17704623686802456, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17704623686802456, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05055025590026485, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05055025590026485, "ret_p1y": 0.033423019397399445, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.033423019397399445, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.07871400092569569, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07871400092569569, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11213702032309514, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11213702032309514, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09656398823957502, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.046984613223979066, "alpha_c_stated": -0.046984613223979066, "price_path": [-0.0658, -0.0512, -0.0874, -0.0956, -0.116, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.1154, -0.1428, -0.1352, -0.1125, -0.0938, -0.1014, -0.0734, -0.0956, -0.1055, -0.0996, -0.1037, -0.123, -0.1382, -0.2056, -0.2328, -0.215, -0.1831, -0.1813, -0.1807, -0.1339, -0.0948, -0.0776, -0.0592, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0954, -0.096, -0.0669, -0.0983, -0.0972, -0.1019, -0.0741, -0.0598, -0.0432, -0.0355, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0018, 0.0107, 0.0036, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0332, 0.0243, -0.0178, 0.0059, 0.0278, 0.013, 0.0308, 0.0077, 0.0024, -0.0006, -0.0113, 0.0118, 0.0, 0.0024, 0.0006, -0.0154, -0.0012, -0.0107, -0.0195, -0.0172, -0.0462, -0.0794, -0.0847, -0.0912, -0.0977, -0.09, -0.0752, -0.0752, -0.0818, -0.106, -0.1096, -0.0977, -0.0741, -0.0966, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.0829, -0.0702, -0.066, -0.066, -0.1209, -0.1346, -0.1275, -0.1054, -0.1, -0.1048, -0.0994, -0.0726, -0.0672, -0.0654, -0.0529, -0.0606, -0.0475, -0.0427, -0.0332, -0.0427, -0.0535, -0.0302, -0.02, -0.0421, -0.032, -0.0594, -0.0857, -0.0761, -0.0809, -0.0546, -0.0523, -0.0606, -0.0379, -0.0373, -0.0326, -0.0445, -0.0594, -0.0928, -0.0928, -0.094, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0708, -0.0654, -0.0743, -0.0541, -0.0427, -0.0254, -0.035, -0.0541, -0.0517, -0.0546, -0.0654, -0.109, -0.1173, -0.1651, -0.1591, -0.1728, -0.1495, -0.1221, -0.1349, -0.15, -0.1561, -0.138, -0.1247, -0.1156, -0.112, -0.1066, -0.0589, -0.0667, -0.0728, -0.08, -0.08, -0.0728, -0.0613, -0.0601, -0.0559, -0.0528, -0.0553, -0.0607, -0.0673, -0.0794, -0.0794, -0.0673, -0.0854, -0.1023, -0.0957, -0.0722, -0.0848, -0.1265, -0.141, -0.1512, -0.1223, -0.1229, -0.1186, -0.1313, -0.141, -0.1386, -0.1271, -0.147, -0.1343, -0.1265]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1240007596385452035", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-03-17T20:10:23+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks have completely diverged from reality. The 'walking dead' are trading down as much as heavily hedged companies with manageable debt levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on hedged, solvent energy producers being mispriced alongside 'walking dead'; expects they survive and recover.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "1) Energy stocks have completely diverged from reality. The \"walking dead\" are trading down as much as heavily hedged companies with manageable debt levels. I'm getting many panicky emails a day asking \"will XYZ survive the next 6 months??\" given 20% a day price declines... https://t.co/a8y1TMQQJe\n\n---\n\n2) XYZ is a $500MM light oil producer down 83% YTD. They have a combo of swaps/ 3 way hedges that protect CF down to about $28WTI and has $2BN of undrawn bank lines. Great example of a stock I believe will \"survive\" the ongoing storm and make it through to the other side https://t.co/aq4mn6m76C\n\n---\n\n3) ABC is a $68MM liquids rich Montney producer down 90% YTD. They have ~58% of their liquids hedged and even at $30WTI will exit only 71% drawn on their lines yet is being priced for near-term bankruptcy! https://t.co/jlrmicVGae", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16763998012868497, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16763998012868497, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11430677109475296, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11430677109475296, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.053333209033932016, "bench_c_m1d": 0.053333209033932016, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06797332804091782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06797332804091782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06584829527318381, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06584829527318381, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002125032767734014, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002125032767734014, "ret_p1w": 0.22105414520748945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22105414520748945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18671585585295403, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18671585585295403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03433828935453542, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03433828935453542, "ret_p1m": 0.3084548195778667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3084548195778667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13870000849533204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13870000849533204, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.16975481108253465, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16975481108253465, "ret_p3m": 0.7028241941513307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7028241941513307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4159261951676174, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4159261951676174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.28689799898371326, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28689799898371326, "ret_p6m": 0.4072781992363408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4072781992363408, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0017313662830482635, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0017313662830482635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.4055468329532925, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4055468329532925, "ret_p1y": 1.355148799675193, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.355148799675193, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7268395368281542, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7268395368281542, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.6283092628470388, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6283092628470388, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3084548195778667, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13870000849533204, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13870000849533204, "price_path": [1.4845, 1.51, 1.5088, 1.5088, 1.508, 1.4975, 1.4896, 1.5038, 1.5038, 1.5263, 1.5188, 1.5384, 1.5317, 1.49, 1.5083, 1.4942, 1.495, 1.4954, 1.4771, 1.4812, 1.4654, 1.4654, 1.4212, 1.3978, 1.3887, 1.3611, 1.2957, 1.3061, 1.2819, 1.3003, 1.2285, 1.1993, 1.2073, 1.2902, 1.2669, 1.251, 1.2398, 1.2648, 1.2952, 1.2882, 1.2761, 1.2761, 1.2573, 1.2873, 1.2848, 1.2577, 1.1535, 1.0584, 0.9962, 0.8895, 0.8878, 0.9641, 0.9041, 0.9491, 0.8778, 0.7723, 0.4153, 0.4825, 0.4041, 0.2289, 0.3424, 0.1597, 0.1676, 0.0, 0.068, 0.0784, 0.0049, 0.1661, 0.2211, 0.2957, 0.2078, 0.2202, 0.239, 0.1776, 0.2854, 0.2718, 0.3392, 0.3677, 0.459, 0.4457, 0.4457, 0.441, 0.4342, 0.3669, 0.3085, 0.4474, 0.4023, 0.3775, 0.4266, 0.4726, 0.476, 0.508, 0.5425, 0.6568, 0.6201, 0.5284, 0.5813, 0.5826, 0.5412, 0.5813, 0.6534, 0.6244, 0.5958, 0.5233, 0.5404, 0.5344, 0.6598, 0.6133, 0.6777, 0.6508, 0.6406, 0.6406, 0.6862, 0.7079, 0.6602, 0.6525, 0.6815, 0.7284, 0.7791, 0.7796, 0.9117, 0.9979, 0.9228, 0.8282, 0.6559, 0.6977, 0.7028, 0.7519, 0.6922, 0.7131, 0.687, 0.6949, 0.6966, 0.6025, 0.6331, 0.5765, 0.5977, 0.6344, 0.5947, 0.6124, 0.6124, 0.6171, 0.5658, 0.5645, 0.4872, 0.5347, 0.5265, 0.58, 0.6141, 0.6068, 0.5843, 0.558, 0.6521, 0.6318, 0.6288, 0.6197, 0.6215, 0.5938, 0.6271, 0.5632, 0.5558, 0.5614, 0.5994, 0.6163, 0.6033, 0.6055, 0.6551, 0.6495, 0.6659, 0.6335, 0.6491, 0.6396, 0.6189, 0.6003, 0.5658, 0.5558, 0.5986, 0.5761, 0.5429, 0.5459, 0.5735, 0.5394, 0.529, 0.5217, 0.5105, 0.5057, 0.5057, 0.4509, 0.4608, 0.4073]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1173393425997160448", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-09-16T00:29:28+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Get long CDN oil co's", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil and Canadian oil equities on missile-attack escalation; political risk premium now materializing, months-long fix to critical infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve talked for months about “time for a political risk premium?” when the 1st drones struck. If this was in fact a missile attack (vs. drones) tonight’s price action is just the beginning...oil will head much higher. Get long CDN oil co’s (or a certain energy mutual fund) #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thx @the_Jeff_Jones f/ alerting to breaking news reported by @JavierBlas. US govt releases satellite pics showing direct hits on critical spheroids use to treat the crude. We think this is a mths fix, not days/weeks.  Oil going up even higher. #OOTT https://t.co/Ds7XPLAauV", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08298345421944475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08298345421944475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08608182739943415, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08608182739943415, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022059016977348023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022059016977348023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0245912008149054, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0245912008149054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "ret_p1w": -0.035714800689698456, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.035714800689698456, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03380653706583059, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03380653706583059, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "ret_p1m": -0.14125922835939608, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14125922835939608, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1415934833649659, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1415934833649659, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "ret_p3m": -0.052424000109283164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052424000109283164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11383998787662819, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11383998787662819, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "ret_p6m": -0.48076903374422464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48076903374422464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4508400696719205, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4508400696719205, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "ret_p1y": -0.44466197086186, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.44466197086186, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6601492991602527, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6601492991602527, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14125922835939608, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1415934833649659, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1415934833649659, "price_path": [-0.0578, -0.041, -0.0483, -0.0494, -0.0557, -0.041, -0.0651, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0756, -0.0714, -0.0651, -0.0672, -0.0746, -0.0609, -0.042, -0.041, -0.042, -0.0462, -0.062, -0.0735, -0.0893, -0.0819, -0.0767, -0.0725, -0.0819, -0.1092, -0.1166, -0.1324, -0.1113, -0.1008, -0.1208, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1607, -0.1649, -0.1513, -0.1481, -0.1597, -0.1513, -0.1796, -0.1859, -0.1786, -0.1576, -0.1691, -0.1607, -0.166, -0.1922, -0.1912, -0.1954, -0.1702, -0.1481, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1607, -0.1534, -0.1313, -0.1345, -0.1155, -0.0945, -0.0945, -0.0903, -0.083, 0.0, -0.0221, -0.0357, -0.0399, -0.0347, -0.0357, -0.0524, -0.0577, -0.063, -0.0672, -0.0757, -0.1064, -0.1265, -0.1233, -0.1254, -0.1265, -0.1592, -0.1624, -0.1539, -0.137, -0.137, -0.1413, -0.1455, -0.1434, -0.1518, -0.1434, -0.1413, -0.137, -0.1444, -0.1349, -0.1423, -0.1381, -0.1487, -0.1656, -0.1391, -0.1116, -0.1011, -0.1159, -0.0778, -0.0757, -0.0778, -0.0863, -0.0905, -0.0947, -0.0842, -0.0979, -0.1095, -0.1032, -0.0947, -0.1, -0.0916, -0.1021, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1085, -0.1127, -0.1275, -0.1064, -0.1127, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0662, -0.0736, -0.0524, -0.0535, -0.0471, -0.0302, -0.0323, -0.0165, -0.0218, -0.0069, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0095, -0.0021, 0.0193, 0.0182, -0.001, 0.0075, 0.0011, -0.0074, -0.0042, -0.0138, -0.0148, -0.0234, -0.0244, -0.0383, -0.0458, -0.0511, -0.0682, -0.0927, -0.0884, -0.0863, -0.0873, -0.114, -0.1215, -0.1193, -0.0852, -0.098, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.1119, -0.1023, -0.1076, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1065, -0.0895, -0.0873, -0.1023, -0.1385, -0.163, -0.1876, -0.2057, -0.2132, -0.211, -0.2366, -0.2313, -0.2515, -0.2985, -0.4882, -0.4808]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1384190148171079682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-19T17:00:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How can you NOT be excited about the opportunity in oil stocks?!?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish on small-cap oil stocks; cites deep value (2.1x EV/CF, 20% FCF yield at $60 oil, debt-free next year, privatization potential).", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How can you NOT be excited about the opportunity in oil stocks?!? Just off the phone with the CEO of a small cap oilco: 20 years of quality inventory trading at 2.1x EV/'22CF + 20% FCF yield at $60. They could privatize 4x before inventory exhaustion. Oh and debt free next year! https://t.co/Nk3MHZbyKZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0010344857372817096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0010344857372817096, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0039030317623669486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0039030317623669486, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004937517499648658, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004937517499648658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026473456347084534, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026473456347084534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019151973223631602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019151973223631602, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007321483123452932, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007321483123452932, "ret_p1w": -0.010134220205353706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010134220205353706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01591455383463003, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01591455383463003, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005780333629276324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005780333629276324, "ret_p1m": 0.10568783951479221, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10568783951479221, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11356309454339841, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11356309454339841, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007875255028606198, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007875255028606198, "ret_p3m": 0.046784422873620723, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.046784422873620723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003701758483097617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003701758483097617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05048618135671834, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05048618135671834, "ret_p6m": 0.19294393017059908, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19294393017059908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14183142074892197, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14183142074892197, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05111250942167711, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05111250942167711, "ret_p1y": 0.6522630016242508, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6522630016242508, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5627034395486787, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5627034395486787, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08955956207557203, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08955956207557203, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10568783951479221, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11356309454339841, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11356309454339841, "price_path": [-0.1042, -0.1345, -0.139, -0.1478, -0.166, -0.1773, -0.1677, -0.1953, -0.1896, -0.1808, -0.1458, -0.1364, -0.129, -0.0926, -0.1022, -0.085, -0.0991, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0629, -0.049, -0.0705, -0.0549, -0.0222, -0.006, 0.0292, 0.0094, -0.0146, 0.011, 0.0055, 0.0202, 0.0446, 0.0836, 0.0857, 0.0667, 0.0937, 0.0941, 0.0963, 0.0838, 0.0529, 0.0611, 0.0134, 0.0137, 0.0039, -0.0108, 0.0141, 0.0178, 0.043, 0.0306, 0.0217, 0.0147, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0157, 0.013, 0.0165, 0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0112, -0.0101, 0.0174, 0.0091, 0.001, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0141, -0.0256, -0.0168, -0.0101, 0.0019, 0.0364, 0.048, 0.0215, 0.0496, 0.0503, 0.0842, 0.0898, 0.1092, 0.1096, 0.0811, 0.0862, 0.073, 0.1063, 0.132, 0.1057, 0.0782, 0.0765, 0.0788, 0.0896, 0.0674, 0.0769, 0.0778, 0.0798, 0.0798, 0.1214, 0.1423, 0.1454, 0.1531, 0.1481, 0.158, 0.1508, 0.1493, 0.1454, 0.1404, 0.1622, 0.1559, 0.1166, 0.0836, 0.1297, 0.1373, 0.1404, 0.1502, 0.1563, 0.1172, 0.1118, 0.1256, 0.1452, 0.1427, 0.1427, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.0813, 0.1042, 0.1026, 0.0942, 0.0616, 0.0468, 0.0171, -0.0188, -0.0057, 0.029, 0.0175, 0.0138, 0.0388, 0.0292, 0.0386, 0.0487, 0.0319, 0.0242, 0.0418, 0.0136, 0.0251, 0.0345, 0.0198, 0.0378, 0.0459, 0.0449, 0.0326, 0.0136, 0.0031, -0.0178, -0.0433, -0.0412, -0.0052, 0.0113, 0.019, 0.0035, 0.0303, 0.0182, 0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0217, 0.0159, 0.0159, 0.0098, -0.0032, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0271, 0.0123, 0.0501, 0.0382, 0.0305, -0.001, 0.0013, 0.0322, 0.0684, 0.0764, 0.1147, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1016, 0.1386, 0.1572, 0.164, 0.1517, 0.1606, 0.1963, 0.1919, 0.1929]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1463534293515386886", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-24T15:45:41+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How mispriced are Canadian energy stocks despite strong year-to-date gains? The average company listed could privatize themselves THREE TIMES OVER at $70WTI before exhausting their drilling inventory.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks remain deeply mispriced at current WTI strip; drilling inventory supports massive further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How mispriced are Canadian energy stocks despite strong year-to-date gains? The average company listed could privatize themselves THREE TIMES OVER  at $70WTI ($4 below the current 2022 strip) before exhausting their drilling inventory. 🚀 https://t.co/QtFi8PRFbt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0181815734041747, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0181815734041747, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01551883031407042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01551883031407042, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026627430901042803, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026627430901042803, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0036363758752457898, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0036363758752457898, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036363758752457898, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0036363758752457898, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.08909090297146804, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08909090297146804, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048744992561459255, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048744992561459255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04034591041000879, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04034591041000879, "ret_p1m": -0.05090926225344139, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05090926225344139, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056902370545426906, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056902370545426906, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005993108291985516, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005993108291985516, "ret_p3m": 0.16632814258542505, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16632814258542505, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23808265128221617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23808265128221617, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07175450869679112, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07175450869679112, "ret_p6m": 0.4985562708615572, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4985562708615572, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6634284351273015, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6634284351273015, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.16487216426574436, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16487216426574436, "ret_p1y": 0.6309103984296698, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6309103984296698, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7691596960226065, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7691596960226065, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1382492975929367, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1382492975929367, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05090926225344139, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056902370545426906, "alpha_c_stated": -0.056902370545426906, "price_path": [-0.2771, -0.2852, -0.2852, -0.2834, -0.2581, -0.2617, -0.2617, -0.2662, -0.2726, -0.2698, -0.2698, -0.2382, -0.2481, -0.2146, -0.2201, -0.2355, -0.2563, -0.2499, -0.2192, -0.1984, -0.1873, -0.1627, -0.1609, -0.1536, -0.1509, -0.1464, -0.13, -0.1045, -0.1255, -0.1045, -0.0891, -0.0891, -0.0882, -0.0945, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0827, -0.0809, -0.0755, -0.0891, -0.0773, -0.06, -0.0618, -0.0864, -0.0455, -0.0436, -0.0264, -0.0418, -0.0518, -0.0418, -0.0173, -0.0073, -0.0091, -0.0309, -0.03, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0382, -0.03, -0.0618, -0.0545, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.0036, -0.0555, -0.0427, -0.0718, -0.0891, -0.0718, -0.0755, -0.0527, -0.0227, -0.0282, -0.0445, -0.0391, -0.0664, -0.0809, -0.0818, -0.0782, -0.0973, -0.0955, -0.06, -0.0473, -0.0509, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0282, -0.0375, -0.0329, -0.0329, 0.0036, 0.0091, 0.0393, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0841, 0.1005, 0.0932, 0.1243, 0.1444, 0.1362, 0.1316, 0.1225, 0.0822, 0.0667, 0.1042, 0.1069, 0.1234, 0.1298, 0.1389, 0.1791, 0.1892, 0.18, 0.1883, 0.1782, 0.1307, 0.1517, 0.1599, 0.2011, 0.1855, 0.1828, 0.1928, 0.1937, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.1682, 0.1709, 0.1773, 0.2047, 0.2358, 0.2495, 0.2605, 0.244, 0.2879, 0.3254, 0.3272, 0.2797, 0.3016, 0.3016, 0.2468, 0.2239, 0.2276, 0.2733, 0.2632, 0.3171, 0.3062, 0.3299, 0.3272, 0.3653, 0.3332, 0.3277, 0.3359, 0.3267, 0.347, 0.3672, 0.3442, 0.3258, 0.3497, 0.3782, 0.3433, 0.3754, 0.3984, 0.4131, 0.4131, 0.4535, 0.4324, 0.4526, 0.4012, 0.3745, 0.3295, 0.3414, 0.3855, 0.4563, 0.4352, 0.4296, 0.4848, 0.5206, 0.5068, 0.5096, 0.4012, 0.3966, 0.4214, 0.403, 0.4581, 0.4949, 0.5151, 0.4912, 0.4986]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1045481970224906240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-09-28T01:15:00+00:00", "symbol": "CVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CVE the first, not the last", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CVE: new crude-by-rail deals signal tighter WCS market in 2019+; CVE is the first of more announcements to come.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CN CEO confirming publicly that more crude-by-rails deals have been signed since January that have not yet been publicly announced by their customers = tighter WCS market than believed in 2019+. CVE the first, not the last. #OOTT #crude", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019943011793068788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019943011793068788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0020974279937384654, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0007783992410455021, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00010312681443158667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002772700420352381, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0388834818038446, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0388834818038446, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03540895577515468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025020190810687737, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003474526028689917, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013863290993156863, "ret_p1w": 0.005982133367543607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005982133367543607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015957062720966753, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012766210749334483, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009974929353423145, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01874834411687809, "ret_p1m": -0.1724825165823184, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1724825165823184, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08009119176063595, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.033850310346099866, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09239132482168244, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13863220623621852, "ret_p3m": -0.30209377418472516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30209377418472516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15383314447073493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06423996056054981, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14826062971399023, "bench_c_p3m": -0.23785381362417535, "ret_p6m": -0.14688502390498825, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14688502390498825, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11656644681016004, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.026621025557264977, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.030318577094828214, "bench_c_p6m": -0.12026399834772328, "ret_p1y": 0.025058263389026836, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.025058263389026836, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.025743582910580542, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.18134147121243027, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.05080184629960738, "bench_c_p1y": -0.15628320782340344, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1724825165823184, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08009119176063595, "alpha_c_stated": -0.033850310346099866, "price_path": [0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0306, 0.0743, 0.1001, 0.108, 0.0673, 0.0574, 0.0495, 0.0316, 0.0385, 0.0316, 0.0117, 0.0078, 0.0097, 0.0147, 0.0296, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0002, -0.0032, -0.0061, -0.0022, 0.0068, 0.0177, -0.0071, -0.026, -0.0171, -0.0141, -0.0171, -0.0528, -0.1114, -0.1253, -0.0915, -0.0846, -0.0737, -0.0617, -0.0657, -0.0389, -0.026, -0.0379, -0.031, -0.0548, -0.0756, -0.0756, -0.1064, -0.1084, -0.1223, -0.1183, -0.1064, -0.1054, -0.0935, -0.1067, -0.1166, -0.1276, -0.1067, -0.0808, -0.0828, -0.0678, -0.0399, -0.0658, -0.0778, 0.002, 0.0, 0.0389, 0.009, 0.0409, 0.0209, 0.006, -0.007, -0.01, -0.0758, -0.1067, -0.1266, -0.1555, -0.1236, -0.1336, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1406, -0.1535, -0.1675, -0.1535, -0.1525, -0.1725, -0.1585, -0.1565, -0.1256, -0.1276, -0.1027, -0.0937, -0.0837, -0.0847, -0.1087, -0.1326, -0.1695, -0.1894, -0.1725, -0.1914, -0.1994, -0.2542, -0.2363, -0.2363, -0.2901, -0.3001, -0.2951, -0.3091, -0.2682, -0.2642, -0.1695, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.2373, -0.2383, -0.2532, -0.2493, -0.2144, -0.2094, -0.2353, -0.2662, -0.2941, -0.3071, -0.324, -0.339, -0.3579, -0.3579, -0.3021, -0.32, -0.3151, -0.2991, -0.2991, -0.2762, -0.2802, -0.2333, -0.2233, -0.2134, -0.1924, -0.1825, -0.1924, -0.2014, -0.1894, -0.2044, -0.1994, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.2283, -0.2443, -0.2413, -0.2233, -0.2243, -0.2154, -0.1994, -0.2233, -0.2323, -0.2313, -0.2243, -0.2183, -0.2433, -0.2532, -0.2473, -0.2154, -0.1685, -0.1665, -0.1336, -0.1336, -0.1246, -0.1166, -0.1316, -0.1137, -0.1097, -0.0828, -0.0877, -0.0867, -0.0887, -0.1396, -0.1426, -0.1655, -0.1585, -0.1815, -0.1466, -0.1346, -0.1176, -0.1188, -0.1219, -0.1078, -0.1108, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.1239, -0.1469]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1116291052711768064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-11T10:45:01+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bring all that speculative money back to the energy sector! Actual (versus fantasized) free cash flow yields of 15%+ await you!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector on 15%+ real FCF yields; urging rotation from speculative marijuana names into energy.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@amberkanwar Bring all that speculative money back to the energy sector! Actual (versus fantasized) free cash flow yields of 15%+ await you!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Scotia warns estimates for marijuana companies way too high, expects them to fall \"sharply lower\" on earnings day #NotableCall https://t.co/C7iX6ZCsvU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "baystreetamber", "ret_m1d": -0.0007420403286438892, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007420403286438892, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001019558761404027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001019558761404027, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00027751843276013766, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00027751843276013766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026714384921815437, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026714384921815437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004094674826317091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004094674826317091, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006766113318498634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006766113318498634, "ret_p1w": -0.0028196443882724243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0028196443882724243, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009099718435503279, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009099718435503279, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006280074047230855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006280074047230855, "ret_p1m": -0.04942099004493372, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04942099004493372, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049039563821169696, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049039563821169696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00038142622376402535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00038142622376402535, "ret_p3m": -0.05302528590091493, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05302528590091493, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08919859704374422, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08919859704374422, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03617331114282929, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03617331114282929, "ret_p6m": -0.13277926411340413, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13277926411340413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16378986259054373, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16378986259054373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.031010598477139606, "bench_c_p6m": 0.031010598477139606, "ret_p1y": -0.5400994534654869, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5400994534654869, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4664942421841569, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4664942421841569, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07360521128133002, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07360521128133002, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04942099004493372, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.049039563821169696, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049039563821169696, "price_path": [-0.0891, -0.0858, -0.087, -0.0786, -0.0599, -0.0599, -0.0804, -0.0898, -0.0849, -0.0733, -0.0826, -0.0798, -0.0668, -0.0608, -0.0444, -0.0422, -0.0408, -0.0478, -0.0689, -0.0732, -0.0687, -0.057, -0.0452, -0.0418, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.0234, -0.0193, -0.0344, -0.0316, -0.03, -0.0331, -0.0294, -0.0391, -0.0215, -0.0197, -0.0229, -0.0353, -0.0411, -0.059, -0.0443, -0.0381, -0.0284, -0.0274, -0.0278, -0.0142, -0.0169, -0.0083, -0.0013, -0.0283, -0.0279, -0.014, -0.0209, -0.0172, -0.0187, -0.0058, -0.0126, -0.0221, -0.014, 0.0034, 0.0079, -0.0045, -0.0007, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0019, -0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0183, 0.0166, -0.0012, -0.0043, -0.0172, -0.0181, -0.0188, -0.0384, -0.0552, -0.0465, -0.0456, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0494, -0.0657, -0.0543, -0.0494, -0.0442, -0.0539, -0.0534, -0.0424, -0.0573, -0.0889, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.095, -0.1008, -0.1122, -0.1278, -0.1167, -0.1014, -0.1113, -0.0948, -0.0907, -0.088, -0.0862, -0.0991, -0.0886, -0.0945, -0.087, -0.0744, -0.0754, -0.0549, -0.0481, -0.0566, -0.0641, -0.0497, -0.0568, -0.0458, -0.0449, -0.0602, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0551, -0.0538, -0.053, -0.0409, -0.0389, -0.0349, -0.0436, -0.0538, -0.0646, -0.0644, -0.0601, -0.0557, -0.0532, -0.0491, -0.0599, -0.0647, -0.0685, -0.058, -0.061, -0.0822, -0.0954, -0.1224, -0.1234, -0.13, -0.105, -0.1149, -0.1254, -0.1173, -0.1519, -0.1571, -0.146, -0.1272, -0.1345, -0.129, -0.1329, -0.1619, -0.1583, -0.1636, -0.1516, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1433, -0.1314, -0.1206, -0.1159, -0.0983, -0.0876, -0.0867, -0.0924, -0.0852, -0.0545, -0.0677, -0.0722, -0.0746, -0.0738, -0.0735, -0.0882, -0.0867, -0.0986, -0.0988, -0.1053, -0.126, -0.1474, -0.1382, -0.1328]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1325833366164344832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-09T16:11:21+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Multibagger potential from here. The dividend/share buyback potential for many is enormous.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks on post-COVID reopening thesis; sees enormous dividend/buyback potential and multibagger upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Now with at least 1 successful vaccine can the market begin to believe in a post-COVID world for energy stocks??? The dividend/share buyback potential for many is enormous. Multibagger potential from here. https://t.co/NKkypH5yKh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12492451368329227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12492451368329227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11251472817763053, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11251472817763053, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03236540474279059, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03236540474279059, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033831622404478456, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033831622404478456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "ret_p1w": 0.09225655942769806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09225655942769806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06966505244081023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06966505244081023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "ret_p1m": 0.21808808185954787, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21808808185954787, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1740615330226425, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1740615330226425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "ret_p3m": 0.2935387835988308, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2935387835988308, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19968683267789267, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19968683267789267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "ret_p6m": 0.573053160352166, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.573053160352166, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.391987210548417, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.391987210548417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "ret_p1y": 0.8193890305470508, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8193890305470508, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5210630869532085, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5210630869532085, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21808808185954787, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1740615330226425, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1740615330226425, "price_path": [0.1481, 0.1258, 0.1365, 0.1299, 0.1156, 0.1028, 0.079, 0.0722, 0.1017, 0.0862, 0.0633, 0.0654, 0.0844, 0.0609, 0.0537, 0.0487, 0.041, 0.0377, 0.0377, -0.0001, 0.0067, -0.0302, -0.0293, -0.0218, -0.029, 0.01, 0.0115, 0.0002, -0.033, -0.043, -0.0862, -0.0865, -0.0871, -0.0656, -0.0913, -0.0941, -0.1219, -0.1134, -0.0868, -0.1004, -0.0877, -0.0535, -0.0687, -0.0662, -0.0808, -0.0768, -0.0656, -0.0868, -0.1062, -0.0956, -0.1128, -0.0762, -0.0808, -0.1137, -0.1252, -0.1618, -0.1361, -0.1313, -0.1016, -0.1068, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1249, 0.0, 0.0324, 0.0218, -0.0112, 0.0248, 0.0923, 0.1034, 0.0714, 0.0889, 0.0832, 0.1597, 0.2193, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.177, 0.1119, 0.1171, 0.1534, 0.1655, 0.229, 0.2002, 0.2181, 0.2208, 0.2583, 0.2438, 0.2002, 0.2238, 0.2178, 0.212, 0.1918, 0.1688, 0.1492, 0.1746, 0.1685, 0.1685, 0.1611, 0.1535, 0.1715, 0.1617, 0.1617, 0.1636, 0.2157, 0.2528, 0.2712, 0.2696, 0.2896, 0.3346, 0.3242, 0.3634, 0.3104, 0.3104, 0.3368, 0.3417, 0.2963, 0.2896, 0.2764, 0.2491, 0.2322, 0.2466, 0.2053, 0.2138, 0.227, 0.2794, 0.2935, 0.3046, 0.3591, 0.3447, 0.3705, 0.3493, 0.3693, 0.3693, 0.4036, 0.4244, 0.3922, 0.4155, 0.4646, 0.4888, 0.5415, 0.5118, 0.4759, 0.5142, 0.506, 0.528, 0.5645, 0.6231, 0.6261, 0.5976, 0.6381, 0.6387, 0.6421, 0.6234, 0.5771, 0.5893, 0.5179, 0.5182, 0.5037, 0.4817, 0.5188, 0.5244, 0.5622, 0.5436, 0.5303, 0.5198, 0.5585, 0.5585, 0.5213, 0.5173, 0.5226, 0.5027, 0.4928, 0.481, 0.4826, 0.5238, 0.5114, 0.4993, 0.4978, 0.4581, 0.4767, 0.4594, 0.4727, 0.4826, 0.5006, 0.5523, 0.5696, 0.53, 0.5721, 0.5731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1374340959375396867", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-23T12:43:13+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm buying energy stocks for a post-COVID world in the coming months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks over coming months: shale growth over, offshore flat, OPEC capacity exhausted by '22, demand up 10+ years.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm buying energy stocks for a post-COVID world in the coming months, in which US shale hyper growth is over, global offshore production is flat lining, OPEC spare capacity is exhausted by early '22, and demand grows for 10+ more years. Everything else is short-term noise. https://t.co/zWUz93Aq7I", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014844255644992144, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014844255644992144, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006910897530925109, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006910897530925109, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007933358114067035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007933358114067035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02508893954318059, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02508893954318059, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03017242939192999, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03017242939192999, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005083489848749401, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005083489848749401, "ret_p1w": 0.03282465272196977, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03282465272196977, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01939700160080937, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01939700160080937, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0134276511211604, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0134276511211604, "ret_p1m": -0.0033450384089285246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0033450384089285246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715608448762638, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715608448762638, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06821580646733527, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06821580646733527, "ret_p3m": 0.09533772077757274, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09533772077757274, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02658930470183929, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02658930470183929, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06874841607573345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06874841607573345, "ret_p6m": 0.0615441008194193, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0615441008194193, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09210232039047273, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09210232039047273, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15364642120989203, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15364642120989203, "ret_p1y": 0.6775705387133502, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6775705387133502, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5742481335661385, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5742481335661385, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1033224051472117, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1033224051472117, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0033450384089285246, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0715608448762638, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0715608448762638, "price_path": [-0.2114, -0.2114, -0.2163, -0.2215, -0.2093, -0.2159, -0.2159, -0.2147, -0.1795, -0.1545, -0.1421, -0.1431, -0.1297, -0.0992, -0.1063, -0.0798, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.0978, -0.0945, -0.1251, -0.1297, -0.1386, -0.157, -0.1683, -0.1586, -0.1866, -0.1808, -0.1719, -0.1365, -0.127, -0.1195, -0.0827, -0.0924, -0.075, -0.0893, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.0527, -0.0386, -0.0604, -0.0446, -0.0115, 0.0048, 0.0404, 0.0203, -0.0039, 0.022, 0.0164, 0.0313, 0.0559, 0.0954, 0.0975, 0.0783, 0.1056, 0.106, 0.1082, 0.0956, 0.0644, 0.0727, 0.0245, 0.0247, 0.0148, 0.0, 0.0251, 0.0289, 0.0544, 0.0418, 0.0328, 0.0257, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0268, 0.024, 0.0276, 0.0142, 0.0075, -0.0004, 0.0006, 0.0284, 0.0201, 0.0119, 0.0109, -0.0159, -0.0033, -0.0151, -0.0061, 0.0006, 0.0128, 0.0477, 0.0594, 0.0326, 0.061, 0.0617, 0.096, 0.1016, 0.1213, 0.1217, 0.0928, 0.0981, 0.0847, 0.1183, 0.1443, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.0882, 0.0905, 0.1014, 0.079, 0.0886, 0.0895, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.1336, 0.1547, 0.1579, 0.1656, 0.1606, 0.1706, 0.1633, 0.1618, 0.1579, 0.1528, 0.1748, 0.1685, 0.1288, 0.0953, 0.142, 0.1496, 0.1528, 0.1627, 0.1688, 0.1293, 0.1239, 0.1378, 0.1576, 0.1551, 0.1551, 0.1175, 0.0994, 0.093, 0.1162, 0.1146, 0.1061, 0.0732, 0.0582, 0.0282, -0.0082, 0.0052, 0.0402, 0.0286, 0.0248, 0.0501, 0.0404, 0.0499, 0.0601, 0.0432, 0.0354, 0.0531, 0.0246, 0.0362, 0.0457, 0.0309, 0.0491, 0.0573, 0.0563, 0.0438, 0.0246, 0.014, -0.0071, -0.0329, -0.0308, 0.0056, 0.0223, 0.0301, 0.0144, 0.0415, 0.0292, 0.0223, 0.0073, 0.0328, 0.0269, 0.0269, 0.0208, 0.0077, 0.0098, 0.0094, 0.0383, 0.0233, 0.0615]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1090272348198957056", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-01-29T15:35:58+00:00", "symbol": "Athabasca Oil", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when will the CDN heavy oil stocks (MEG, ATH, BTE, CVE) start to reflect this??? The market is not appreciating the significance of last night's announcement", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian heavy oil stocks MEG, ATH, BTE, CVE are underpriced given the Venezuelan crude sanction boosting demand for Canadian heavy crude.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Athabasca Oil Corp on TSX, ticker ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And so it begins...when will the CDN heavy oil stocks (MEG, ATH, BTE, CVE) start to reflect this??? The market is not appreciating the significance of last night's announcement. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "U.S. refiners including Valero bought Canadian heavy crude Monday after the U.S. imposed a de facto sanction on imports of crude oil from Venezuela\n\nBBG #OOTT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010101000370632551, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010101000370632551, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008772426736844752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013141558096613437, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013285736337877996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003040557725980886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010101000370632551, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010101000370632551, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0057297585956248565, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003981151387361326, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015830758966257408, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014082151757993877, "ret_p1w": -0.04040406168924138, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04040406168924138, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07719088988600453, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08281072865898076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.036786828196763155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04240666696973938, "ret_p1m": -0.04040406168924138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04040406168924138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1003486969192422, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09513300225898313, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05994463523000082, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05472894056974176, "ret_p3m": 0.020202000741265103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.020202000741265103, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09859521706924301, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04779882262517132, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11879721781050812, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06800082336643642, "ret_p6m": -0.28282831141126696, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28282831141126696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4378346830101475, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3161460066409637, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15500637159888053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03331769522969674, "ret_p1y": -0.4949494998146837, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4949494998146837, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7750307772605154, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.511229830398336, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28008127744583167, "bench_c_p1y": 0.016280330583652303, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04040406168924138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1003486969192422, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09513300225898313, "price_path": [0.3232, 0.2727, 0.3131, 0.2727, 0.2929, 0.2121, 0.1313, 0.0909, 0.0505, 0.1313, 0.1313, 0.0808, 0.0707, 0.0505, 0.0909, 0.1212, 0.0707, 0.0303, 0.0101, -0.0202, 0.0505, 0.0404, 0.1717, 0.1313, 0.1414, 0.0808, 0.1313, 0.0505, 0.0303, 0.0707, 0.101, 0.0707, 0.0101, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0606, -0.101, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.101, -0.0404, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0202, 0.0404, 0.0606, 0.0101, 0.0202, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0, -0.0202, 0.0303, 0.0505, 0.0202, 0.0, 0.0101, 0.0101, -0.0303, -0.0202, -0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0, 0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0404, -0.0303, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0707, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0404, -0.0505, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0505, -0.0707, -0.0606, -0.0808, -0.101, -0.1414, -0.1212, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.1111, -0.1212, -0.0909, -0.101, -0.1212, -0.1313, -0.0909, -0.101, -0.1313, -0.1414, -0.1414, -0.1313, -0.1414, -0.1111, -0.0909, -0.0404, -0.0303, 0.0808, 0.0404, 0.0606, 0.0707, 0.0808, 0.0707, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0808, 0.1313, 0.1111, 0.0808, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0101, -0.0606, -0.0909, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0808, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0707, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0505, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0808, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.1818, -0.2222, -0.202, -0.2323, -0.2323, -0.2424, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2828, -0.2525, -0.2828, -0.2727, -0.2323, -0.2323, -0.202, -0.202, -0.2222, -0.2323, -0.202, -0.2323, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2727, -0.2828, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2626, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2424, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2828, -0.2828]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1389924792707567619", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-05T12:47:48+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks trading at less than 3X EV/CF and 20%+ free cashflow yields. Companies announcing buybacks and dividend increases... Stocks rocking. FOMO??", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks: cheap valuations, strong FCF yields, buybacks, dividends, and demand recovery all point higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When will generalists wake up??? WTI at $66. Energy stocks trading at less than 3X EV/CF and 20%+ free cashflow yields. Companies announcing buybacks and dividend increases. Vaccines rolling out. Demand normalizing. Discipline holding. Stocks rocking. FOMO?? https://t.co/ycftbVjXHj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031285837036730935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031285837036730935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030973119115604852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030973119115604852, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003127179211260822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003127179211260822, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005150814770817247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005150814770817247, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028345344063667177, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0028345344063667177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007985349177183965, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007985349177183965, "ret_p1w": 0.0019078940110637266, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0019078940110637266, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026778753455636184, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026778753455636184, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.024870859444572457, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024870859444572457, "ret_p1m": 0.0564670436284429, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0564670436284429, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04920316982596029, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04920316982596029, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007263873802482612, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007263873802482612, "ret_p3m": -0.05530371070544715, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05530371070544715, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11127856815315174, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11127856815315174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.055974857447704585, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055974857447704585, "ret_p6m": 0.1284094707750143, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1284094707750143, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01886640282122931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01886640282122931, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10954306795378499, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10954306795378499, "ret_p1y": 0.5199876653614668, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5199876653614668, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.48175198544912523, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.48175198544912523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03823567991234156, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03823567991234156, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0564670436284429, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04920316982596029, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04920316982596029, "price_path": [-0.1966, -0.163, -0.1719, -0.156, -0.1691, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1356, -0.1228, -0.1426, -0.1283, -0.0981, -0.0832, -0.0507, -0.069, -0.0911, -0.0675, -0.0726, -0.059, -0.0365, -0.0005, 0.0014, -0.0162, 0.0088, 0.0091, 0.0112, -0.0003, -0.0288, -0.0213, -0.0652, -0.0651, -0.074, -0.0876, -0.0647, -0.0612, -0.038, -0.0494, -0.0576, -0.0641, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0631, -0.0656, -0.0624, -0.0746, -0.0807, -0.0879, -0.087, -0.0616, -0.0692, -0.0767, -0.0776, -0.1021, -0.0906, -0.1013, -0.0931, -0.087, -0.0759, -0.0441, -0.0334, -0.0578, -0.0319, -0.0313, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0231, 0.0235, -0.0029, 0.0019, -0.0103, 0.0204, 0.0441, 0.0198, -0.0055, -0.0071, -0.005, 0.005, -0.0155, -0.0067, -0.0059, -0.004, -0.004, 0.0343, 0.0536, 0.0565, 0.0635, 0.0589, 0.0681, 0.0614, 0.0601, 0.0565, 0.0519, 0.0719, 0.0662, 0.03, -0.0006, 0.042, 0.049, 0.0518, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0305, 0.0254, 0.0382, 0.0563, 0.054, 0.054, 0.0197, 0.0031, -0.0027, 0.0185, 0.017, 0.0093, -0.0208, -0.0345, -0.0619, -0.095, -0.0829, -0.0509, -0.0615, -0.0649, -0.0418, -0.0507, -0.042, -0.0328, -0.0482, -0.0553, -0.0391, -0.0651, -0.0545, -0.0459, -0.0594, -0.0428, -0.0353, -0.0362, -0.0476, -0.0651, -0.0748, -0.094, -0.1176, -0.1156, -0.0825, -0.0673, -0.0601, -0.0744, -0.0497, -0.0609, -0.0673, -0.0809, -0.0576, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0686, -0.0805, -0.0786, -0.079, -0.0526, -0.0663, -0.0314, -0.0424, -0.0495, -0.0785, -0.0764, -0.0479, -0.0146, -0.0072, 0.0281, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0161, 0.0502, 0.0674, 0.0736, 0.0623, 0.0705, 0.1034, 0.0993, 0.1003, 0.0993, 0.1128, 0.1183, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.1409, 0.1198, 0.1304, 0.1469, 0.1536, 0.1204, 0.1284]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1268920426710937606", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-06-05T14:59:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it isn't too late. Focus on the YTD and NOT the MTD column!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still bullish energy stocks despite recent 10% move; YTD performance justifies entering now.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Public service announcement: if you are sitting there staring at energy stocks up another 10% today, mad that you never added/bought in during the epic selloff due to the  paralyzing fear of the (many) doomsayers...it isn't too late.  Focus on the YTD and NOT the MTD column! https://t.co/8c6XgbfFL1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06913448643629716, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06913448643629716, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04414556859564245, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04414556859564245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024988917840654712, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024988917840654712, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04504910304641441, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04504910304641441, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03296144046302785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03296144046302785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01208766258338656, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01208766258338656, "ret_p1w": -0.1119533594711204, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1119533594711204, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0645746332249908, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645746332249908, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0473787262461296, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0473787262461296, "ret_p1m": -0.1540981400487108, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1540981400487108, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15129641214670286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15129641214670286, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0028017279020079444, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0028017279020079444, "ret_p3m": -0.20401632412035875, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20401632412035875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.329068408190077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.329068408190077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12505208406971824, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12505208406971824, "ret_p6m": -0.15602318580206853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15602318580206853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2993467981618573, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2993467981618573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14332361235978874, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14332361235978874, "ret_p1y": 0.21350779196491287, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21350779196491287, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1171968379242323, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1171968379242323, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3307046298891452, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3307046298891452, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1540981400487108, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15129641214670286, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15129641214670286, "price_path": [-0.2245, -0.2655, -0.3572, -0.2978, -0.3934, -0.3892, -0.4769, -0.4414, -0.4359, -0.4744, -0.3901, -0.3613, -0.3223, -0.3682, -0.3617, -0.3519, -0.384, -0.3276, -0.3347, -0.2995, -0.2846, -0.2368, -0.2438, -0.2438, -0.2462, -0.2498, -0.285, -0.3156, -0.2429, -0.2665, -0.2794, -0.2538, -0.2297, -0.2279, -0.2112, -0.1931, -0.1334, -0.1525, -0.2005, -0.1728, -0.1722, -0.1938, -0.1728, -0.1351, -0.1503, -0.1653, -0.2032, -0.1942, -0.1974, -0.1318, -0.1561, -0.1224, -0.1365, -0.1418, -0.1418, -0.118, -0.1066, -0.1316, -0.1356, -0.1204, -0.0959, -0.0694, -0.0691, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0058, -0.0437, -0.1338, -0.112, -0.1093, -0.0836, -0.1149, -0.1039, -0.1175, -0.1134, -0.1125, -0.1618, -0.1457, -0.1753, -0.1643, -0.1451, -0.1658, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.1541, -0.181, -0.1817, -0.2221, -0.1972, -0.2015, -0.1735, -0.1557, -0.1595, -0.1713, -0.185, -0.1358, -0.1464, -0.148, -0.1527, -0.1518, -0.1663, -0.1489, -0.1823, -0.1862, -0.1832, -0.1634, -0.1545, -0.1613, -0.1602, -0.1342, -0.1372, -0.1286, -0.1455, -0.1374, -0.1424, -0.1532, -0.1629, -0.181, -0.1862, -0.1638, -0.1756, -0.1929, -0.1914, -0.1769, -0.1948, -0.2002, -0.204, -0.2099, -0.2124, -0.2124, -0.2411, -0.2359, -0.2639, -0.2632, -0.2575, -0.263, -0.2334, -0.2323, -0.2408, -0.266, -0.2736, -0.3064, -0.3066, -0.3071, -0.2908, -0.3103, -0.3124, -0.3335, -0.3271, -0.3069, -0.3172, -0.3076, -0.2816, -0.2931, -0.2913, -0.3023, -0.2993, -0.2908, -0.3069, -0.3216, -0.3135, -0.3266, -0.2988, -0.3023, -0.3273, -0.336, -0.3638, -0.3443, -0.3406, -0.3181, -0.322, -0.3211, -0.3211, -0.3358, -0.241, -0.2164, -0.2244, -0.2495, -0.2221, -0.1709, -0.1625, -0.1868, -0.1735, -0.1778, -0.1197, -0.0745, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.1067, -0.156]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1174710937380708352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-19T15:44:47+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a Conservative win next month would be materially positive for the CDN energy sector (which still trades near all-time low valuations partially due to the Liberal's constant attacking of the sector)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector on expected Conservative election win removing anti-sector policy headwinds; currently near all-time low valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm doing my best to keep my tweets a-political but fair to say that a Conservative win next month would be materially positive for the CDN energy sector (which still trades near all-time low valuations partially due to the Liberal's constant attacking of the sector) #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Those were the days ... https://t.co/1CthTnHI6b", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004375872926705382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004375872926705382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004308800698873849, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004308800698873849, "bench_spy_m1d": 6.707222783153277e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 6.707222783153277e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005470269325987154, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005470269325987154, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010194998296520263, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010194998296520263, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00472472897053311, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00472472897053311, "ret_p1w": -0.02404345545485853, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02404345545485853, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015048162715936675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015048162715936675, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008995292738921856, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008995292738921856, "ret_p1m": -0.11657192415425865, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11657192415425865, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11081289440162301, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11081289440162301, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005759029752635647, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005759029752635647, "ret_p3m": 0.010104228510811275, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010104228510811275, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05620960165939648, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05620960165939648, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06631383017020775, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06631383017020775, "ret_p6m": -0.5358068005004423, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5358068005004423, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4388691795758779, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4388691795758779, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09693762092456437, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09693762092456437, "ret_p1y": -0.4272891371704748, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4272891371704748, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5878066391588472, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5878066391588472, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16051750198837245, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16051750198837245, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11657192415425865, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11081289440162301, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11081289440162301, "price_path": [-0.0098, -0.0164, -0.0011, -0.0263, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0372, -0.0328, -0.0263, -0.0284, -0.0361, -0.0219, -0.0022, -0.0011, -0.0022, -0.0066, -0.023, -0.035, -0.0514, -0.0438, -0.0383, -0.0339, -0.0438, -0.0722, -0.0799, -0.0963, -0.0744, -0.0635, -0.0842, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.1258, -0.1302, -0.116, -0.1127, -0.1247, -0.116, -0.1455, -0.1521, -0.1444, -0.1225, -0.1346, -0.1258, -0.1313, -0.1586, -0.1575, -0.1619, -0.1357, -0.1127, -0.1204, -0.1204, -0.1258, -0.1182, -0.0952, -0.0985, -0.0788, -0.0569, -0.0569, -0.0525, -0.0449, 0.0416, 0.0186, 0.0044, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0044, -0.013, -0.0185, -0.024, -0.0284, -0.0373, -0.0692, -0.0901, -0.0868, -0.089, -0.0901, -0.1243, -0.1276, -0.1188, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1056, -0.11, -0.1078, -0.1166, -0.1078, -0.1056, -0.1012, -0.1089, -0.0989, -0.1067, -0.1023, -0.1133, -0.1309, -0.1034, -0.0747, -0.0637, -0.0791, -0.0395, -0.0373, -0.0395, -0.0483, -0.0527, -0.0571, -0.0461, -0.0604, -0.0725, -0.0659, -0.0571, -0.0626, -0.0538, -0.0648, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0714, -0.0758, -0.0912, -0.0692, -0.0758, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0351, -0.013, -0.0141, -0.0075, 0.0101, 0.0079, 0.0244, 0.0189, 0.0343, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0317, 0.0394, 0.0616, 0.0605, 0.0405, 0.0494, 0.0428, 0.0339, 0.0372, 0.0272, 0.0261, 0.0172, 0.0161, 0.0017, -0.0061, -0.0116, -0.0294, -0.055, -0.0505, -0.0483, -0.0494, -0.0772, -0.0849, -0.0827, -0.0472, -0.0605, -0.0761, -0.0761, -0.0749, -0.065, -0.0705, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0694, -0.0516, -0.0494, -0.065, -0.1027, -0.1282, -0.1538, -0.1727, -0.1804, -0.1782, -0.2049, -0.1993, -0.2204, -0.2693, -0.467, -0.4592, -0.5003, -0.5802, -0.5358]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1432416540385742849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-30T18:54:50+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With the avg. energy stock trading at a 34% FCF yield and at 2.6x EV/CF it's about time!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector on compelling valuation — 34% FCF yield and 2.6x EV/CF signal it's time for generalist investors to return.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is it just me, or are more guests on @marketcall highlighting the compelling opportunities in the energy sector recently? Could this be the beginning of the return of the generalist investor? With the avg. energy stock trading at a 34% FCF yield and at 2.6x EV/CF it's about time! https://t.co/9zyjzrmUlY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011902377846445766, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011902377846445766, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01628084891615078, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01628084891615078, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004378471069705014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004378471069705014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0067716712499188425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0067716712499188425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0052899997510519325, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052899997510519325, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00148167149886691, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00148167149886691, "ret_p1w": -0.002257130518642181, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002257130518642181, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004136478211576589, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004136478211576589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0018793476929344077, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018793476929344077, "ret_p1m": 0.09855483978755197, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09855483978755197, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1364128644891346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1364128644891346, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.037858024701582615, "bench_c_p1m": -0.037858024701582615, "ret_p3m": 0.2028231752204548, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2028231752204548, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16144187771149077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16144187771149077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04138129750896402, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04138129750896402, "ret_p6m": 0.4085945115834335, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4085945115834335, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4523108784361938, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4523108784361938, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04371636685276026, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04371636685276026, "ret_p1y": 0.6624710703180532, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6624710703180532, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7056216019921122, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7056216019921122, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.04315053167405902, "bench_c_p1y": -0.04315053167405902, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09855483978755197, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1364128644891346, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1364128644891346, "price_path": [0.1219, 0.125, 0.1325, 0.1276, 0.1374, 0.1303, 0.1288, 0.125, 0.1201, 0.1414, 0.1353, 0.0967, 0.0642, 0.1096, 0.117, 0.12, 0.1297, 0.1356, 0.0973, 0.0919, 0.1055, 0.1248, 0.1223, 0.1223, 0.0858, 0.0681, 0.062, 0.0845, 0.0829, 0.0747, 0.0427, 0.0281, -0.001, -0.0363, -0.0234, 0.0107, -0.0006, -0.0043, 0.0203, 0.0109, 0.0201, 0.03, 0.0135, 0.006, 0.0232, -0.0045, 0.0068, 0.016, 0.0016, 0.0193, 0.0273, 0.0263, 0.0142, -0.0045, -0.0148, -0.0353, -0.0603, -0.0583, -0.023, -0.0068, 0.0008, -0.0144, 0.0119, 0.0, -0.0068, -0.0213, 0.0035, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0082, -0.0209, -0.0189, -0.0193, 0.0088, -0.0057, 0.0314, 0.0197, 0.0121, -0.0188, -0.0165, 0.0138, 0.0493, 0.0572, 0.0948, 0.0986, 0.0986, 0.0819, 0.1183, 0.1366, 0.1432, 0.1312, 0.1399, 0.175, 0.1706, 0.1717, 0.1706, 0.185, 0.1908, 0.1916, 0.2051, 0.2149, 0.1924, 0.2037, 0.2213, 0.2284, 0.1931, 0.2016, 0.1937, 0.2142, 0.2028, 0.1929, 0.1945, 0.2101, 0.2211, 0.2261, 0.1937, 0.1983, 0.1953, 0.2053, 0.2072, 0.1887, 0.1816, 0.1355, 0.1557, 0.1912, 0.2028, 0.2028, 0.1544, 0.1611, 0.1339, 0.1218, 0.1544, 0.1453, 0.1623, 0.1895, 0.1893, 0.1802, 0.1889, 0.1559, 0.1511, 0.1455, 0.1528, 0.1293, 0.1153, 0.1471, 0.1544, 0.1551, 0.1551, 0.1803, 0.1795, 0.1719, 0.1647, 0.1677, 0.2039, 0.2455, 0.2453, 0.2731, 0.2906, 0.2866, 0.3303, 0.3329, 0.3261, 0.3573, 0.3573, 0.3627, 0.3528, 0.3404, 0.3139, 0.3228, 0.3741, 0.3718, 0.3867, 0.3808, 0.3869, 0.4364, 0.441, 0.4273, 0.4496, 0.4681, 0.4366, 0.4486, 0.4395, 0.4814, 0.4465, 0.4313, 0.4429, 0.4406, 0.4317, 0.4317, 0.4086]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1114189388680974336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-05T15:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Solid outlook for CDN heavy producers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil producers: WCS diff normalizes via curtailment adjustments, Maya well bid on Venezuela supply collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSXcapital @markets Not likely. Curtailments will be adjusted targeting $17.50-$20/diff to draw down storage. Sub $10 is only temporary (I think). But Maya to remain well bid given VZ implosion. Solid outlook for CDN heavy producers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ericnuttall @markets Do you see a chance of WCS trading at a premium to WTI at any point?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PATCHnHrd", "ret_m1d": -0.04364396912414606, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04364396912414606, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03882709000772536, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026338922607403586, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0048168791164207025, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017305046516742473, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03499264200030722, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03499264200030722, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034230271768481646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030555313482700963, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000762370231825571, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004437328517606254, "ret_p1w": 0.11592309259078543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11592309259078543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11041310693776202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11666260859720373, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005509985653023408, "bench_c_p1w": -0.000739516006418306, "ret_p1m": 0.03693459434319618, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03693459434319618, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022206902213042834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0857437356692538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014727692130153347, "bench_c_p1m": -0.048809141326057626, "ret_p3m": -0.129985994413873, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.129985994413873, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1704727374013055, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07030613052883425, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04048674298743249, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059679863885038764, "ret_p6m": -0.1335634126081129, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1335634126081129, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17175353581648703, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.025247371844918126, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.038190123208374116, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10831604076319479, "ret_p1y": -0.7821981071125951, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7821981071125951, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6420178383671097, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22019569955907026, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1401802687454854, "bench_c_p1y": -0.5620024075535248, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03693459434319618, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.022206902213042834, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0857437356692538, "price_path": [-0.0305, -0.0172, -0.0041, -0.0028, -0.0153, 0.0177, 0.0154, -0.0003, -0.0095, -0.0186, -0.0534, -0.0833, -0.076, -0.0661, -0.0683, -0.0675, -0.0511, -0.0663, -0.079, -0.0743, -0.0795, -0.0859, -0.1105, -0.116, -0.106, -0.0907, -0.0657, -0.0593, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.01, -0.0121, -0.027, -0.0265, -0.0274, -0.0013, -0.0016, -0.0097, -0.0001, -0.0366, -0.0319, -0.0523, -0.0557, -0.0788, -0.0589, -0.0494, -0.0339, -0.0344, -0.0439, -0.0367, -0.0471, -0.0114, 0.0006, -0.0366, -0.0557, -0.0232, -0.0429, -0.0495, -0.0571, -0.0421, -0.0415, -0.0564, -0.0436, 0.0, 0.035, 0.0309, 0.1139, 0.103, 0.1159, 0.1122, 0.1153, 0.1341, 0.1147, 0.1147, 0.1571, 0.1851, 0.1494, 0.1248, 0.0985, 0.1053, 0.088, 0.0296, -0.001, 0.0351, 0.0369, 0.0137, 0.0334, 0.0378, 0.0352, 0.0085, 0.0225, 0.0194, 0.0219, 0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0033, -0.0273, -0.0705, -0.073, -0.062, -0.0718, -0.0685, -0.0799, -0.0986, -0.1201, -0.1129, -0.1474, -0.1397, -0.1288, -0.1401, -0.1307, -0.1522, -0.1264, -0.1381, -0.1204, -0.0935, -0.1076, -0.0795, -0.0869, -0.0984, -0.1086, -0.0864, -0.1149, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.1284, -0.13, -0.1301, -0.1345, -0.1455, -0.1401, -0.1187, -0.1195, -0.1149, -0.1153, -0.1208, -0.1265, -0.1417, -0.1316, -0.1262, -0.1218, -0.1335, -0.1554, -0.1527, -0.1728, -0.1354, -0.1277, -0.1507, -0.1798, -0.1798, -0.1943, -0.2229, -0.1989, -0.2019, -0.2224, -0.1899, -0.2331, -0.2441, -0.2294, -0.2218, -0.2224, -0.2104, -0.2092, -0.2447, -0.2465, -0.2592, -0.2303, -0.2119, -0.2205, -0.2205, -0.2265, -0.2223, -0.1944, -0.1864, -0.1617, -0.1519, -0.1397, -0.1291, -0.1335, -0.0273, -0.0567, -0.0707, -0.0743, -0.0644, -0.0624, -0.0919, -0.0944, -0.11, -0.1192, -0.1336]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1427629645445357575", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-17T13:53:26+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still expecting a strong finish to the year for the sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil stocks into year-end on inventory normalization, mobility data, and upcoming return-of-capital announcements.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still no sign of slowing mobility data impacting global inventory normalization. With Canadian oil stocks discounting ~$52WTI and many to potentially announce meaningful return of capital initiatives this Fall I'm still expecting a strong finish to the year for the sector. https://t.co/DCiYv513yo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011920612066541159, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011920612066541159, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005322129354507155, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005322129354507155, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006598482712034004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006598482712034004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01854304161154574, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01854304161154574, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007598060994794986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007598060994794986, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010944980616750755, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010944980616750755, "ret_p1w": 0.022516454547510945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022516454547510945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013665987028159687, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013665987028159687, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008850467519351257, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008850467519351257, "ret_p1m": 0.14966895317447904, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14966895317447904, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14102113788358728, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14102113788358728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008647815290891758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008647815290891758, "ret_p3m": 0.4146532535425791, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4146532535425791, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3589670909198499, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3589670909198499, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.055686162622729185, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055686162622729185, "ret_p6m": 0.6859704840500236, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6859704840500236, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6486350198000257, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6486350198000257, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037335464249997896, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037335464249997896, "ret_p1y": 0.8772094019075158, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8772094019075158, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.9312164774994375, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.9312164774994375, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05400707559192164, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05400707559192164, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14966895317447904, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14102113788358728, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14102113788358728, "price_path": [0.0554, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0502, 0.0673, 0.0805, 0.0871, 0.1042, 0.1517, 0.1676, 0.1715, 0.186, 0.1847, 0.1874, 0.1874, 0.1913, 0.2045, 0.2045, 0.2309, 0.2151, 0.1649, 0.1531, 0.2045, 0.1992, 0.2058, 0.2106, 0.2132, 0.1762, 0.1854, 0.1987, 0.1987, 0.1974, 0.2238, 0.1881, 0.1629, 0.1563, 0.1656, 0.1523, 0.1576, 0.1272, 0.1113, 0.0742, 0.0344, 0.049, 0.0768, 0.0742, 0.0755, 0.0914, 0.0609, 0.0675, 0.0728, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0715, 0.0265, 0.0397, 0.0503, 0.0278, 0.0583, 0.0596, 0.0503, 0.0358, 0.0119, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0371, -0.0305, 0.004, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0265, 0.0583, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0861, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0742, 0.0649, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.1152, 0.1007, 0.1497, 0.1417, 0.1192, 0.0887, 0.098, 0.143, 0.1735, 0.1897, 0.2257, 0.2283, 0.239, 0.243, 0.2496, 0.2736, 0.3108, 0.2802, 0.3108, 0.3335, 0.3335, 0.3348, 0.3255, 0.3574, 0.3574, 0.3428, 0.3455, 0.3534, 0.3335, 0.3508, 0.3761, 0.3734, 0.3375, 0.3974, 0.4, 0.4253, 0.4027, 0.388, 0.4027, 0.4386, 0.4532, 0.4506, 0.4186, 0.42, 0.4147, 0.4147, 0.4147, 0.408, 0.42, 0.3734, 0.384, 0.4373, 0.4639, 0.4692, 0.3827, 0.4013, 0.3588, 0.3335, 0.3588, 0.3534, 0.3867, 0.4306, 0.4226, 0.3987, 0.4067, 0.3667, 0.3455, 0.3441, 0.3494, 0.3215, 0.3242, 0.3761, 0.3947, 0.3894, 0.396, 0.396, 0.396, 0.4226, 0.409, 0.4157, 0.4157, 0.4692, 0.4772, 0.5214, 0.5348, 0.5348, 0.587, 0.611, 0.6003, 0.6458, 0.6753, 0.6632, 0.6565, 0.6432, 0.5843, 0.5615, 0.6164, 0.6204, 0.6445, 0.6539, 0.6672, 0.7261, 0.7408, 0.7275, 0.7395, 0.7248, 0.6552, 0.686]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1505908530955661324", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-03-21T14:05:46+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe that we are in an era of sustainably 'high' oil prices, and despite inevitable volatility that oil is in a multi-year bull market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year oil bull market on inventory deficits, Russia supply loss, thin OPEC spare capacity; energy stocks a generational opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Back from a week on the beach with the kids and time for an oil macro update. Where do things stand now and where are we headed? First, our compass...global oil inventories continue to plummet and the \"gap to normal levels\" continues to widen = bullish. https://t.co/A04Y13vjJy\n\n---\n\nLast week the IEA released January OECD stocks: a massive counter seasonal drop with levels now at a 302MM Bbl deficit to the '15-'19 average and more importantly...a 51MM deficit to the Jan '10-'14 average...the time when oil last averaged $96WTI. https://t.co/mrRMnBBvCs\n\n---\n\nYet, the bombshells the IEA dropped were their estimate for potential lost Russian volumes...a staggering 3MM Bbl/d in April and an admission that OPEC spare capacity is extremely thin. An Iranian nuke deal + Venezuelan concessions are a drop in the bucket vs. 3MM Bbl/d. https://t.co/Liix0G8sND\n\n---\n\nSo how to replace 3MM Bbl/d in a market that is already short? Iran = 0.7MM Bbl/d and VZ maybe 0.2 = 0.9. US shale to the rescue? Not likely.  Tier 1 rigs / labour / tubular shortages + DUC exhaustion + variable dividends + Wall street angst = maybe 1MM Bbl/d in '22 exit-to-exit? https://t.co/7iJC8JmQ0s\n\n---\n\nWhat about OPEC? Using Bloomberg February data, 4 of the 7 largest producers were already UNDERPRODUCING their quota and we believe OPEC will fully exhaust its spare capacity by the end of 2022 given a potential demand surge. https://t.co/uwqC1WwJEq\n\n---\n\nNet/net, we believe that we are in an era of sustainably \"high\" oil prices, and despite inevitable volatility that oil is in a multi-year bull market. Energy stocks today, in our opinion, still represent a generational opportunity. https://t.co/fEAAMtQCnk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0665110037945712, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0665110037945712, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06680339627774023, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06680339627774023, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000292392483169035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000292392483169035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012108578647528345, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0012108578647528345, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012912000089565612, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012912000089565612, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011701142224812777, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011701142224812777, "ret_p1w": -0.02715792522969185, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02715792522969185, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05308085205159685, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05308085205159685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025922926821905, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025922926821905, "ret_p1m": -0.07239234170342956, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07239234170342956, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07385481212309286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07385481212309286, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0014624704196632976, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0014624704196632976, "ret_p3m": 0.03623935921533761, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03623935921533761, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21117598936765747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21117598936765747, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.17493663015231986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17493663015231986, "ret_p6m": -0.19417059370637657, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19417059370637657, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08257492758854756, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08257492758854756, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.111595666117829, "bench_c_p6m": -0.111595666117829, "ret_p1y": -0.2850717721977136, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2850717721977136, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19448975657790257, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19448975657790257, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09058201561981105, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09058201561981105, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2850717721977136, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19448975657790257, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19448975657790257, "price_path": [-0.3488, -0.3353, -0.3353, -0.3202, -0.3172, -0.3147, -0.314, -0.3273, -0.3169, -0.3081, -0.3012, -0.2909, -0.2929, -0.3006, -0.2759, -0.2677, -0.2694, -0.2557, -0.2557, -0.2431, -0.2351, -0.2356, -0.2398, -0.2538, -0.2372, -0.2219, -0.2273, -0.2213, -0.2111, -0.2289, -0.2262, -0.212, -0.1933, -0.1983, -0.2148, -0.2082, -0.2094, -0.1832, -0.1655, -0.1932, -0.18, -0.1959, -0.191, -0.191, -0.1624, -0.1624, -0.1431, -0.153, -0.1265, -0.0921, -0.0233, -0.0446, 0.0215, 0.0656, 0.1069, -0.0387, -0.0544, -0.0255, -0.0754, -0.1359, -0.1522, -0.0777, -0.0665, 0.0, -0.0012, 0.0517, 0.0295, 0.0435, -0.0272, -0.0466, -0.0188, -0.0667, -0.0971, -0.07, -0.0777, -0.1258, -0.1301, -0.1111, -0.1482, -0.095, -0.0592, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.0213, -0.0724, -0.0763, -0.0631, -0.0776, -0.115, -0.0919, -0.0891, -0.0695, -0.0543, -0.0695, -0.0921, -0.0474, -0.0408, -0.0279, -0.0837, -0.1138, -0.0701, -0.0707, -0.0352, -0.0119, -0.0319, -0.0563, -0.031, -0.0266, -0.019, -0.0178, -0.0138, 0.0154, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0624, 0.0058, 0.0172, 0.0355, 0.0336, 0.0428, 0.0688, 0.0644, 0.0553, 0.0575, 0.048, 0.025, 0.0362, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0084, -0.0336, -0.0482, -0.0216, -0.0046, 0.0204, 0.0055, -0.007, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.1111, -0.1291, -0.0949, -0.0744, -0.0737, -0.1395, -0.1388, -0.1429, -0.1251, -0.0809, -0.0715, -0.0752, -0.1017, -0.1074, -0.0906, -0.097, -0.0778, -0.0733, -0.0485, -0.1348, -0.1304, -0.1629, -0.186, -0.179, -0.1641, -0.167, -0.1576, -0.1386, -0.1511, -0.1775, -0.2013, -0.19, -0.1646, -0.1635, -0.1655, -0.1332, -0.1245, -0.1408, -0.1265, -0.0911, -0.1411, -0.1655, -0.2012, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1971, -0.2389, -0.2289, -0.197, -0.187, -0.1942]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1505908530955661324", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-03-21T14:05:46+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks today, in our opinion, still represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year oil bull market on inventory deficits, Russia supply loss, thin OPEC spare capacity; energy stocks a generational opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Back from a week on the beach with the kids and time for an oil macro update. Where do things stand now and where are we headed? First, our compass...global oil inventories continue to plummet and the \"gap to normal levels\" continues to widen = bullish. https://t.co/A04Y13vjJy\n\n---\n\nLast week the IEA released January OECD stocks: a massive counter seasonal drop with levels now at a 302MM Bbl deficit to the '15-'19 average and more importantly...a 51MM deficit to the Jan '10-'14 average...the time when oil last averaged $96WTI. https://t.co/mrRMnBBvCs\n\n---\n\nYet, the bombshells the IEA dropped were their estimate for potential lost Russian volumes...a staggering 3MM Bbl/d in April and an admission that OPEC spare capacity is extremely thin. An Iranian nuke deal + Venezuelan concessions are a drop in the bucket vs. 3MM Bbl/d. https://t.co/Liix0G8sND\n\n---\n\nSo how to replace 3MM Bbl/d in a market that is already short? Iran = 0.7MM Bbl/d and VZ maybe 0.2 = 0.9. US shale to the rescue? Not likely.  Tier 1 rigs / labour / tubular shortages + DUC exhaustion + variable dividends + Wall street angst = maybe 1MM Bbl/d in '22 exit-to-exit? https://t.co/7iJC8JmQ0s\n\n---\n\nWhat about OPEC? Using Bloomberg February data, 4 of the 7 largest producers were already UNDERPRODUCING their quota and we believe OPEC will fully exhaust its spare capacity by the end of 2022 given a potential demand surge. https://t.co/uwqC1WwJEq\n\n---\n\nNet/net, we believe that we are in an era of sustainably \"high\" oil prices, and despite inevitable volatility that oil is in a multi-year bull market. Energy stocks today, in our opinion, still represent a generational opportunity. https://t.co/fEAAMtQCnk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038749679871212805, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038749679871212805, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03904207235438184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03904207235438184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000292392483169035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000292392483169035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007355611106684479, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007355611106684479, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019056753331497256, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019056753331497256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011701142224812777, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011701142224812777, "ret_p1w": 0.00880101924624066, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00880101924624066, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01712190757566434, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01712190757566434, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025922926821905, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025922926821905, "ret_p1m": 0.055562826478032123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055562826478032123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.054100356058368826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.054100356058368826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0014624704196632976, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0014624704196632976, "ret_p3m": 0.0211479296531909, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0211479296531909, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19608455980551076, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19608455980551076, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.17493663015231986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17493663015231986, "ret_p6m": 0.06275135370803397, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06275135370803397, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17434701982586298, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17434701982586298, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.111595666117829, "bench_c_p6m": -0.111595666117829, "ret_p1y": 0.15174064154443156, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.15174064154443156, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.24232265716424262, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.24232265716424262, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09058201561981105, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09058201561981105, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15174064154443156, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24232265716424262, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24232265716424262, "price_path": [-0.2861, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2701, -0.2706, -0.2753, -0.2797, -0.2779, -0.2555, -0.2298, -0.2299, -0.2127, -0.2019, -0.2044, -0.1773, -0.1758, -0.1799, -0.1607, -0.1607, -0.1573, -0.1634, -0.1711, -0.1875, -0.182, -0.1503, -0.1517, -0.1424, -0.1461, -0.1423, -0.1117, -0.1089, -0.1173, -0.1035, -0.0921, -0.1116, -0.1042, -0.1098, -0.0839, -0.1055, -0.1149, -0.1077, -0.1091, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.1289, -0.1199, -0.1268, -0.1038, -0.0817, -0.0724, -0.0512, -0.0486, -0.0212, -0.0067, 0.0089, -0.022, 0.008, -0.0001, -0.03, -0.0656, -0.0698, -0.0378, -0.0387, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0097, 0.0122, 0.0344, 0.0088, 0.0062, 0.0179, 0.0041, 0.0122, 0.0135, -0.0024, 0.0035, 0.0167, 0.0447, 0.0133, 0.0301, 0.0454, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0642, 0.0556, 0.0596, 0.026, 0.0009, -0.0322, -0.0309, -0.0167, 0.0131, -0.0129, 0.0029, 0.031, 0.0738, 0.0577, 0.0892, -0.0009, 0.0081, 0.0217, 0.026, 0.0611, 0.0891, 0.1017, 0.0734, 0.0695, 0.0741, 0.1025, 0.1067, 0.1295, 0.142, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.1454, 0.1641, 0.1604, 0.1758, 0.1744, 0.2095, 0.2121, 0.1853, 0.1652, 0.1044, 0.1065, 0.0821, 0.0211, -0.0347, -0.0347, 0.0153, -0.0253, -0.0614, -0.0491, -0.0212, 0.0052, -0.0297, -0.0502, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0742, -0.09, -0.0572, -0.0576, -0.0666, -0.0848, -0.0863, -0.1035, -0.0889, -0.0681, -0.0394, -0.0301, -0.0471, -0.0549, -0.0203, -0.0292, -0.0072, -0.0017, 0.0416, 0.0201, 0.0177, -0.0115, -0.0482, -0.0293, -0.0243, -0.0071, 0.0001, 0.0345, 0.0423, 0.022, 0.0196, 0.0281, 0.0557, 0.0554, 0.0535, 0.0914, 0.1049, 0.1134, 0.1003, 0.1169, 0.0791, 0.0693, 0.043, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.0523, 0.04, 0.0446, 0.0706, 0.0902, 0.0628]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1118339717223698434", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-17T02:25:40+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "5%+ rally tomorrow for Canadian energy stocks...warm up for a much bigger move in October!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Calling 5%+ rally tomorrow in Canadian energy stocks, with a larger move expected in October.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5%+ rally tomorrow for Canadian energy stocks...warm up for a much bigger move in October! #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0131829324738999, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0131829324738999, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015635722096365434, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015635722096365434, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024527896224655343, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024527896224655343, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009416053806021729, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0009416053806021729, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002910438087054379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002910438087054379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001968832706452206, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001968832706452206, "ret_p1w": 0.006591351950582469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006591351950582469, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003012647230611565, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003012647230611565, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009603999181194034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009603999181194034, "ret_p1m": -0.06873816421808121, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06873816421808121, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06269180430558441, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06269180430558441, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0060463599124968015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0060463599124968015, "ret_p3m": -0.13820587546214547, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13820587546214547, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1822988565185385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1822988565185385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04409298105639303, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04409298105639303, "ret_p6m": -0.23554700312573218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23554700312573218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25826898515109253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25826898515109253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.022721982025360354, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022721982025360354, "ret_p1y": -0.5994969971256978, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5994969971256978, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.474470794984326, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.474470794984326, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.12502620214137183, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12502620214137183, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06873816421808121, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06269180430558441, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06269180430558441, "price_path": [-0.0829, -0.0857, -0.1148, -0.1242, -0.112, -0.1111, -0.1167, -0.1092, -0.0998, -0.1083, -0.1148, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.1036, -0.1251, -0.1345, -0.1261, -0.1148, -0.1054, -0.0989, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0614, -0.0595, -0.0661, -0.0642, -0.0586, -0.0595, -0.052, -0.0576, -0.0473, -0.0623, -0.0595, -0.0707, -0.0698, -0.0886, -0.0792, -0.0736, -0.0595, -0.0586, -0.0623, -0.0454, -0.0529, -0.036, -0.0276, -0.0548, -0.0716, -0.0565, -0.0725, -0.0706, -0.0753, -0.0593, -0.0631, -0.0753, -0.0706, -0.0443, -0.0292, -0.0367, -0.0198, -0.0217, -0.0122, -0.0169, -0.0132, 0.0, -0.0009, -0.0009, 0.0151, 0.0301, 0.0066, -0.0009, -0.0151, -0.0132, -0.0264, -0.0537, -0.0782, -0.0687, -0.0697, -0.0819, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0725, -0.0942, -0.0753, -0.0753, -0.0687, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0782, -0.1017, -0.1375, -0.1347, -0.1205, -0.1299, -0.1186, -0.1309, -0.1403, -0.1497, -0.1469, -0.1685, -0.1629, -0.1591, -0.1629, -0.1573, -0.1676, -0.1591, -0.161, -0.1488, -0.1412, -0.1486, -0.1335, -0.1401, -0.1411, -0.1467, -0.1335, -0.1553, -0.1534, -0.1534, -0.1648, -0.161, -0.1553, -0.1572, -0.1638, -0.1515, -0.1344, -0.1335, -0.1344, -0.1382, -0.1524, -0.1629, -0.1771, -0.1705, -0.1657, -0.1619, -0.1705, -0.1952, -0.2018, -0.216, -0.1971, -0.1876, -0.2056, -0.2208, -0.2208, -0.2417, -0.2455, -0.2331, -0.2303, -0.2407, -0.2331, -0.2587, -0.2644, -0.2578, -0.2388, -0.2493, -0.2417, -0.2464, -0.2701, -0.2692, -0.273, -0.2502, -0.2303, -0.2369, -0.2369, -0.2417, -0.235, -0.2151, -0.2179, -0.2008, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.1781, -0.1714, -0.0964, -0.1164, -0.1287, -0.1325, -0.1278, -0.1287, -0.1438, -0.1486, -0.1534, -0.1572, -0.1648, -0.1925, -0.2107, -0.2078, -0.2097, -0.2107, -0.2403, -0.2432, -0.2355]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1386662037175119880", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-26T12:42:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks remain severely mispriced. Own energy stocks for a 2H'21 post-COVID world = demand normalizing while supply growth remains challenged", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks into 2H21: severely mispriced after 10% correction, demand normalization + constrained supply growth post-COVID.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Monday morning check-in: after the 10% stock correction and WTI finding support ~$60WTI energy stocks remain severely mispriced. Temporary COVID setbacks = short-term noise. Own energy stocks for a 2H'21 post-COVID world = demand normalizing while supply growth remains challenged https://t.co/OKC6meYAuk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006686266571102939, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006686266571102939, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004602837228252499, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004602837228252499, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0020834293428504402, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020834293428504402, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012118498549378298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012118498549378298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012334055400796129, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012334055400796129, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00021555685141783076, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00021555685141783076, "ret_p1w": 0.06038439799530915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06038439799530915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058971659516470876, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058971659516470876, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014127384788382713, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014127384788382713, "ret_p1m": 0.07835371543109848, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07835371543109848, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07684505219732785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07684505219732785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0015086632337706352, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0015086632337706352, "ret_p3m": 0.027950385608205286, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027950385608205286, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01820420926188593, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01820420926188593, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046154594870091215, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046154594870091215, "ret_p6m": 0.2395536914186902, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2395536914186902, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15346192804550007, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15346192804550007, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08609176337319013, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08609176337319013, "ret_p1y": 0.7388729243028012, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7388729243028012, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6633630854039674, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6633630854039674, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07550983889883378, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07550983889883378, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07835371543109848, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07684505219732785, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07684505219732785, "price_path": [-0.1689, -0.1592, -0.1871, -0.1813, -0.1724, -0.137, -0.1275, -0.1201, -0.0833, -0.093, -0.0756, -0.0899, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0533, -0.0392, -0.0609, -0.0452, -0.0122, 0.0042, 0.0397, 0.0197, -0.0045, 0.0213, 0.0158, 0.0306, 0.0552, 0.0947, 0.0968, 0.0776, 0.1049, 0.1053, 0.1076, 0.0949, 0.0637, 0.072, 0.0238, 0.024, 0.0142, -0.0006, 0.0244, 0.0282, 0.0537, 0.0412, 0.0322, 0.0251, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0261, 0.0234, 0.027, 0.0136, 0.0069, -0.001, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0194, 0.0113, 0.0102, -0.0165, -0.004, -0.0157, -0.0067, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.047, 0.0587, 0.032, 0.0604, 0.061, 0.0953, 0.1009, 0.1206, 0.121, 0.0921, 0.0974, 0.084, 0.1176, 0.1435, 0.117, 0.0892, 0.0875, 0.0898, 0.1007, 0.0784, 0.088, 0.0888, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.1329, 0.154, 0.1571, 0.1649, 0.1598, 0.1699, 0.1626, 0.1611, 0.1571, 0.1521, 0.174, 0.1678, 0.1281, 0.0947, 0.1413, 0.1489, 0.1521, 0.162, 0.1681, 0.1286, 0.1231, 0.1371, 0.1569, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1168, 0.0987, 0.0923, 0.1155, 0.1139, 0.1054, 0.0725, 0.0575, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0045, 0.0396, 0.028, 0.0242, 0.0495, 0.0398, 0.0493, 0.0594, 0.0425, 0.0347, 0.0524, 0.0239, 0.0355, 0.045, 0.0303, 0.0484, 0.0567, 0.0556, 0.0431, 0.0239, 0.0134, -0.0077, -0.0335, -0.0314, 0.0049, 0.0216, 0.0294, 0.0138, 0.0408, 0.0286, 0.0216, 0.0066, 0.0322, 0.0263, 0.0263, 0.0201, 0.0071, 0.0092, 0.0087, 0.0377, 0.0227, 0.0609, 0.0488, 0.041, 0.0092, 0.0116, 0.0428, 0.0793, 0.0874, 0.1261, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1129, 0.1503, 0.1691, 0.1759, 0.1635, 0.1725, 0.2086, 0.2041, 0.2052, 0.2041, 0.2188, 0.2248, 0.2257, 0.2396]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1554857094171578368", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-03T15:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why are we bullish on energy stocks? Here's a 13 minute recording in which I review the 1H/22 and speak to what I think lays ahead for energy investors in the months and years to come.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks for months and years ahead based on 1H/22 review.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why are we bullish on energy stocks? Here's a 13 minute recording in which I review the 1H/22 and speak to what I think lays ahead for energy investors in the months and years to come. \nhttps://t.co/2nvYCb9e7F https://t.co/0Zp4rnn6lD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029562093776822396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029562093776822396, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04498020909188172, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04498020909188172, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015418115315059322, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015418115315059322, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03708644529537597, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03708644529537597, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03641089793271857, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03641089793271857, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006755473626574027, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006755473626574027, "ret_p1w": 0.01169054866419228, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01169054866419228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0016765183902562875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0016765183902562875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013367067054448567, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013367067054448567, "ret_p1m": 0.05509272252905362, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05509272252905362, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09859622163815085, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09859622163815085, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04350349910909723, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04350349910909723, "ret_p3m": 0.22253803586930676, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22253803586930676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2868487656518338, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2868487656518338, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06431072978252705, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06431072978252705, "ret_p6m": 0.27781005127286273, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27781005127286273, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2927000634999678, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2927000634999678, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.014890012227105065, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014890012227105065, "ret_p1y": 0.17927502687060093, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17927502687060093, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07042233470317716, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07042233470317716, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10885269216742377, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10885269216742377, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17927502687060093, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07042233470317716, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07042233470317716, "price_path": [0.1019, 0.0107, 0.0199, 0.0336, 0.0379, 0.0734, 0.1017, 0.1145, 0.0859, 0.0819, 0.0866, 0.1153, 0.1195, 0.1427, 0.1553, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.1587, 0.1776, 0.1739, 0.1894, 0.1881, 0.2236, 0.2262, 0.1991, 0.1788, 0.1173, 0.1194, 0.0947, 0.033, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0271, -0.014, -0.0505, -0.038, -0.0098, 0.0169, -0.0184, -0.0391, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0634, -0.0794, -0.0462, -0.0466, -0.0558, -0.0742, -0.0757, -0.0931, -0.0783, -0.0572, -0.0282, -0.0188, -0.036, -0.0439, -0.0089, -0.0179, 0.0043, 0.0099, 0.0537, 0.032, 0.0296, 0.0, -0.0371, -0.018, -0.0129, 0.0044, 0.0117, 0.0465, 0.0544, 0.0339, 0.0314, 0.04, 0.068, 0.0677, 0.0657, 0.1041, 0.1177, 0.1263, 0.1131, 0.1299, 0.0916, 0.0817, 0.0551, 0.0744, 0.0744, 0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0567, 0.083, 0.1029, 0.0751, 0.1055, 0.077, 0.054, 0.0546, 0.0473, 0.032, 0.0283, -0.0426, -0.0661, -0.0557, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0217, 0.0336, 0.078, 0.1003, 0.1198, 0.1112, 0.0883, 0.0796, 0.0883, 0.1327, 0.0905, 0.1041, 0.1137, 0.1466, 0.1477, 0.1808, 0.1864, 0.1876, 0.2038, 0.2081, 0.2123, 0.2225, 0.2344, 0.2046, 0.2269, 0.2418, 0.2632, 0.2644, 0.2026, 0.2293, 0.2651, 0.2646, 0.278, 0.2519, 0.2546, 0.2447, 0.2278, 0.2663, 0.2526, 0.2526, 0.2479, 0.2137, 0.232, 0.2382, 0.2341, 0.2267, 0.1903, 0.159, 0.1562, 0.1511, 0.1231, 0.1526, 0.1745, 0.1673, 0.1602, 0.1459, 0.1458, 0.1631, 0.1852, 0.1579, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.2075, 0.1805, 0.1929, 0.2004, 0.2004, 0.1583, 0.1581, 0.1793, 0.2016, 0.1974, 0.2059, 0.2096, 0.2327, 0.2344, 0.2344, 0.2371, 0.2144, 0.2295, 0.2417, 0.2434, 0.2386, 0.2387, 0.2778]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1356978428000542721", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-02-03T14:50:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my average Fund holding is still -25% from their 52 week high = 33% upside from multiple rerate + many calling for $60 (or higher) in 2H'21 = 100%+ upside for many stocks with 42% average free cashflow yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long oil equities: average fund holding 25% below 52-wk high despite WTI at 1-yr high; sees 33-100%+ upside on multiple re-rate + $60+ oil in 2H21.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WTI is making a 1 year high yet my average Fund holding is still -25% from their 52 week high = 33% upside from multiple rerate + many calling for $60 (or higher) in 2H'21 = 100%+ upside for many stocks with 42% average free cashflow yields. What more do I have to say??? https://t.co/swZ1s6QuA3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04096795547154142, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04096795547154142, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04018234551765465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04018234551765465, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007856099538867678, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007856099538867678, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011020435694641506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011020435694641506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0003451108232375155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003451108232375155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011365546517879022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011365546517879022, "ret_p1w": 0.0711546126912419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0711546126912419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04960171996224183, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04960171996224183, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021552892729000073, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021552892729000073, "ret_p1m": 0.22280808920182205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22280808920182205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23629506589897054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23629506589897054, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01348697669714849, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01348697669714849, "ret_p3m": 0.2287605224086342, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2287605224086342, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12997910638081756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12997910638081756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09878141602781665, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09878141602781665, "ret_p6m": 0.2276210636082261, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2276210636082261, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06606657064214372, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06606657064214372, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16155449296608237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16155449296608237, "ret_p1y": 0.5660706640031141, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5660706640031141, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4037863633419174, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4037863633419174, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1622843006611967, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1622843006611967, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2287605224086342, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12997910638081756, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12997910638081756, "price_path": [-0.316, -0.2184, -0.1931, -0.2014, -0.2272, -0.199, -0.1463, -0.1376, -0.1626, -0.1489, -0.1534, -0.0936, -0.047, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0801, -0.1309, -0.1269, -0.0985, -0.0891, -0.0394, -0.0619, -0.048, -0.0458, -0.0165, -0.0279, -0.0619, -0.0435, -0.0482, -0.0527, -0.0685, -0.0865, -0.1018, -0.0819, -0.0867, -0.0867, -0.0925, -0.0985, -0.0843, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0906, -0.0498, -0.0208, -0.0065, -0.0077, 0.0079, 0.0431, 0.035, 0.0656, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0448, 0.0486, 0.0132, 0.0079, -0.0024, -0.0237, -0.0369, -0.0256, -0.058, -0.0513, -0.041, 0.0, 0.011, 0.0196, 0.0623, 0.051, 0.0712, 0.0546, 0.0702, 0.0702, 0.097, 0.1133, 0.0882, 0.1064, 0.1447, 0.1636, 0.2048, 0.1816, 0.1536, 0.1835, 0.177, 0.1943, 0.2228, 0.2686, 0.271, 0.2487, 0.2803, 0.2808, 0.2834, 0.2688, 0.2326, 0.2422, 0.1864, 0.1866, 0.1753, 0.1581, 0.1871, 0.1915, 0.221, 0.2065, 0.1961, 0.1878, 0.2181, 0.2181, 0.1891, 0.1859, 0.19, 0.1745, 0.1668, 0.1576, 0.1588, 0.191, 0.1813, 0.1719, 0.1707, 0.1397, 0.1542, 0.1406, 0.151, 0.1588, 0.1728, 0.2133, 0.2268, 0.1958, 0.2288, 0.2295, 0.2692, 0.2757, 0.2985, 0.299, 0.2656, 0.2716, 0.2561, 0.2951, 0.3251, 0.2944, 0.2622, 0.2602, 0.2629, 0.2755, 0.2496, 0.2607, 0.2617, 0.2641, 0.2641, 0.3128, 0.3372, 0.3409, 0.3498, 0.344, 0.3556, 0.3472, 0.3455, 0.3409, 0.3351, 0.3605, 0.3532, 0.3072, 0.2685, 0.3225, 0.3313, 0.335, 0.3465, 0.3536, 0.3078, 0.3015, 0.3176, 0.3406, 0.3377, 0.3377, 0.2942, 0.2731, 0.2658, 0.2927, 0.2907, 0.2809, 0.2428, 0.2254, 0.1907, 0.1486, 0.164, 0.2046, 0.1912, 0.1868, 0.2161, 0.2049, 0.2159, 0.2276]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1197865432021184512", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-22T13:12:28+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "20%+ FCF yields and free optionality versus negative EBITDA...", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: 20%+ FCF yields vs cannabis negative EBITDA; expects capital rotation back from pot stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Significant outflows from the energy sector found their way into pot stocks over the past few years. Time for them to return? 20%+ FCF yields and free optionality versus negative EBITDA...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "\"Fun\" fact: Canopy's market cap at its peak was about C$24 billion. Now, the 25 largest Canadian pot companies are worth about C$24 billion combined.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00587539986638741, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00587539986638741, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008094616943782995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008094616943782995, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022192170773955855, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022192170773955855, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009400738165139089, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009400738165139089, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016505293716047031, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016505293716047031, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0077502087935343855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0077502087935343855, "ret_p1w": -0.009400808435795605, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009400808435795605, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020174112346480366, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020174112346480366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010773303910684762, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010773303910684762, "ret_p1m": 0.10340783873390258, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10340783873390258, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06533451715711025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06533451715711025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03807332157679233, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03807332157679233, "ret_p3m": 0.0117049129940352, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0117049129940352, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08169418962813535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08169418962813535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09339910262217055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09339910262217055, "ret_p6m": -0.42661175061702905, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42661175061702905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38555666635552366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38555666635552366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04105508426150539, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04105508426150539, "ret_p1y": -0.37704936464434513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.37704936464434513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5376054682413351, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5376054682413351, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16055610359699002, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16055610359699002, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10340783873390258, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06533451715711025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06533451715711025, "price_path": [-0.106, -0.078, -0.0534, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.0674, -0.0593, -0.0348, -0.0383, -0.0173, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.0108, 0.0189, 0.1111, 0.0866, 0.0714, 0.0668, 0.0726, 0.0714, 0.0529, 0.047, 0.0411, 0.0364, 0.027, -0.0071, -0.0294, -0.0259, -0.0282, -0.0294, -0.0658, -0.0693, -0.0599, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0458, -0.0505, -0.0482, -0.0576, -0.0482, -0.0458, -0.0411, -0.0494, -0.0388, -0.047, -0.0423, -0.0541, -0.0729, -0.0435, -0.0129, -0.0012, -0.0176, 0.0247, 0.027, 0.0247, 0.0153, 0.0106, 0.0059, 0.0176, 0.0024, -0.0106, -0.0035, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0094, -0.0024, 0.0059, 0.0059, -0.0094, -0.0141, -0.0306, -0.0071, -0.0141, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0376, 0.0294, 0.0529, 0.0517, 0.0588, 0.0776, 0.0752, 0.0928, 0.087, 0.1034, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1006, 0.1088, 0.1325, 0.1314, 0.11, 0.1195, 0.1124, 0.1029, 0.1065, 0.0958, 0.0946, 0.0852, 0.084, 0.0686, 0.0603, 0.0544, 0.0354, 0.0082, 0.0129, 0.0153, 0.0141, -0.0155, -0.0238, -0.0215, 0.0164, 0.0022, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0132, -0.0025, -0.0084, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.0072, 0.0117, 0.0141, -0.0025, -0.0428, -0.07, -0.0973, -0.1174, -0.1257, -0.1233, -0.1518, -0.1459, -0.1684, -0.2205, -0.4314, -0.4231, -0.4669, -0.5522, -0.5048, -0.5948, -0.6292, -0.673, -0.6564, -0.6505, -0.6624, -0.6245, -0.5956, -0.6004, -0.6379, -0.5944, -0.534, -0.5413, -0.4978, -0.5075, -0.4942, -0.4978, -0.4773, -0.487, -0.487, -0.4906, -0.5002, -0.5268, -0.5449, -0.5099, -0.5159, -0.5208, -0.4906, -0.4797, -0.4833, -0.4809, -0.4568, -0.3856, -0.3988, -0.4254, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4399, -0.429, -0.4133, -0.4182, -0.4109, -0.4447, -0.4435, -0.4266, -0.4266]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1199066766787436544", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-25T20:46:09+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Getting interested in CDN natural gas for the first time in many years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian natural gas on record low inventories, falling production, improving egress, LNG optionality, Montney rock quality, and solar-minimum demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "UNG is closest tradable nat gas proxy; AECO not directly tradable", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting interested in CDN natural gas for the first time in many years: record low inventories, falling production, improving egress, longer term LNG optionality, top tier rock (Montney), and potential for seasonally strong demand due to solar minimum #OOTT https://t.co/57OitH8L8Z", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04538576006015793, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04538576006015793, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0530763650592011, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0530763650592011, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007690604999043171, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007690604999043171, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019667140249567394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019667140249567394, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021933007342899824, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021933007342899824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00226586709333243, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00226586709333243, "ret_p1w": -0.09430160597216541, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09430160597216541, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08878070337767852, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08878070337767852, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005520902594486898, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005520902594486898, "ret_p1m": -0.14170446176266138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14170446176266138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.171826390663545, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.171826390663545, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03012192890088361, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03012192890088361, "ret_p3m": -0.24810893067186857, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24810893067186857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3286416102281017, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3286416102281017, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08053267955623311, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08053267955623311, "ret_p6m": -0.38224911512200443, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38224911512200443, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3240454907841138, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3240454907841138, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.058203624337890614, "bench_c_p6m": -0.058203624337890614, "ret_p1y": -0.4190620019119655, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4190620019119655, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.579247421995843, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.579247421995843, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16018542008387748, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16018542008387748, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14170446176266138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.171826390663545, "alpha_c_stated": -0.171826390663545, "price_path": [-0.0242, 0.0, -0.003, -0.003, 0.0242, 0.0645, 0.0661, 0.0883, 0.1336, 0.1296, 0.1145, 0.1246, 0.1462, 0.1735, 0.1614, 0.1478, 0.113, 0.1049, 0.1049, 0.0888, 0.0867, 0.0565, 0.0358, 0.005, -0.0091, -0.0237, 0.0086, 0.0136, -0.005, -0.0106, -0.0333, -0.0479, -0.0403, -0.0131, 0.0101, -0.0096, 0.0015, 0.0121, -0.0212, -0.0232, -0.0303, -0.0166, -0.0177, 0.0217, 0.0459, 0.0716, 0.0494, 0.0767, 0.123, 0.1442, 0.1271, 0.112, 0.112, 0.0504, 0.0454, 0.062, 0.0504, 0.0605, 0.0136, -0.004, 0.0116, 0.0177, 0.0454, 0.0, -0.0197, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.1009, -0.0943, -0.058, -0.0666, -0.0661, -0.0908, -0.1276, -0.1241, -0.1316, -0.0963, -0.1084, -0.0908, -0.1029, -0.116, -0.1125, -0.1004, -0.1341, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.118, -0.1256, -0.1478, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1694, -0.1735, -0.1634, -0.1619, -0.1614, -0.1594, -0.1407, -0.1457, -0.1503, -0.1715, -0.1891, -0.2163, -0.2163, -0.2501, -0.2481, -0.2466, -0.2632, -0.2617, -0.2486, -0.2607, -0.2784, -0.2753, -0.2834, -0.2612, -0.2622, -0.2658, -0.2713, -0.3021, -0.2925, -0.2728, -0.2779, -0.2769, -0.2769, -0.2385, -0.2295, -0.2481, -0.2537, -0.2758, -0.2799, -0.2895, -0.3207, -0.3394, -0.3152, -0.2975, -0.2844, -0.3116, -0.3283, -0.289, -0.2451, -0.2668, -0.2839, -0.2562, -0.298, -0.3258, -0.3575, -0.3409, -0.3681, -0.3621, -0.3338, -0.3424, -0.3545, -0.3611, -0.3535, -0.3671, -0.3944, -0.4075, -0.3712, -0.3323, -0.2784, -0.3167, -0.3379, -0.3379, -0.3389, -0.3722, -0.3928, -0.356, -0.3343, -0.2809, -0.3111, -0.2859, -0.3207, -0.3454, -0.3313, -0.3212, -0.3444, -0.3238, -0.3439, -0.3051, -0.2693, -0.3197, -0.3364, -0.3626, -0.355, -0.4049, -0.4286, -0.4231, -0.4307, -0.3898, -0.3822]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1189902711141081089", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-10-31T13:51:28+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "best opportunity in Canada. 9% dividend yields supported down to $50WTI and discounts to PDP reserve value...what's not to love?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy midcap sector on strong FCF, 9% dividend yields resilient to $50 WTI, and discounts to PDP reserve value.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap oil producers: BTE, WCP, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CDN midcaps (which have zero institutional ownership) continuing to show their strong FCF capabilities = best opportunity in Canada. 9% dividend yields supported down to $50WTI and discounts to PDP reserve value...what's not to love?Here is one that reported this morning: #OOTT https://t.co/3q6ElUj7nq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048399482926070624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048399482926070624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04572904385026074, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044086359197472356, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002670439075809883, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004313123728598267, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06704164237831074, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06704164237831074, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05777785846858581, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04426739042211521, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009263783909724932, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022774251956195535, "ret_p1w": 0.11522503118681644, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11522503118681644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09923613954072825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06381035944713272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015988891646088188, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051414671739683726, "ret_p1m": 0.01043312913643287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01043312913643287, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025765381688315582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0056123302467504885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03619851082474845, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016045459383183358, "ret_p3m": 0.12337249027524504, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12337249027524504, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.040402574367856145, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13114587721002186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08296991590738889, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007773386934776805, "ret_p6m": -0.6898268167302369, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6898268167302369, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6328040144463909, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3248998890706156, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05702280228384604, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3649269276596213, "ret_p1y": -0.5402379408650071, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5402379408650071, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6895599372046315, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09829010968984819, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1493219963396244, "bench_c_p1y": -0.4419478311751589, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01043312913643287, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025765381688315582, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0056123302467504885, "price_path": [0.3229, 0.2968, 0.2228, 0.2693, 0.2584, 0.2169, 0.2891, 0.1998, 0.1697, 0.2117, 0.2206, 0.2369, 0.2454, 0.2507, 0.1774, 0.1553, 0.1297, 0.1885, 0.1984, 0.1822, 0.1822, 0.1912, 0.2101, 0.252, 0.303, 0.3463, 0.3571, 0.3865, 0.3969, 0.3973, 0.5562, 0.5084, 0.4899, 0.4831, 0.5021, 0.5116, 0.4493, 0.4475, 0.4158, 0.4012, 0.3794, 0.2945, 0.2569, 0.2488, 0.2497, 0.2189, 0.1851, 0.1598, 0.1707, 0.1761, 0.1761, 0.1765, 0.1539, 0.1398, 0.1082, 0.0942, 0.1032, 0.1105, 0.0906, 0.0964, 0.0752, 0.0824, 0.0484, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0947, 0.1323, 0.1296, 0.1152, 0.0958, 0.0917, 0.0722, 0.0587, 0.0577, 0.0772, 0.0237, -0.0279, 0.0074, 0.0197, 0.0215, 0.0152, -0.0188, 0.0125, 0.0232, 0.0104, -0.009, -0.0295, 0.0092, 0.0138, 0.0633, 0.1249, 0.1272, 0.1213, 0.1639, 0.1681, 0.194, 0.2607, 0.2589, 0.3062, 0.2989, 0.3805, 0.4036, 0.4036, 0.4036, 0.4171, 0.4374, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4098, 0.4465, 0.4983, 0.4906, 0.4057, 0.4036, 0.3351, 0.2938, 0.2933, 0.2634, 0.2896, 0.2897, 0.3033, 0.2721, 0.2411, 0.2183, 0.1597, 0.1043, 0.1234, 0.1353, 0.1284, 0.0975, 0.0805, 0.0908, 0.1586, 0.1368, 0.0977, 0.0632, 0.0723, 0.1159, 0.1069, 0.0912, 0.0912, 0.0753, 0.1188, 0.1229, 0.1034, 0.0295, -0.0172, -0.03, -0.0735, -0.0592, -0.0563, -0.0788, -0.0727, -0.1135, -0.1937, -0.489, -0.4877, -0.5578, -0.65, -0.6248, -0.6845, -0.6949, -0.7572, -0.7317, -0.7266, -0.7398, -0.7202, -0.6771, -0.7048, -0.7378, -0.7254, -0.6967, -0.7113, -0.6623, -0.6407, -0.6341, -0.6435, -0.6336, -0.6533, -0.6533, -0.6524, -0.6669, -0.6898, -0.7049, -0.6875, -0.7092, -0.7082, -0.6957, -0.6776, -0.6898]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1141171787557986305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-19T02:32:10+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN oil stocks are already being valued using worst case scenarios. When names are at a discount to liquidation value am I not getting free optionality on TMX (or other) initiatives actually being built???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian oil stocks: trading at discount to liquidation value with free upside optionality from TMX approval; pessimism overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m on BNN tomorrow ~9:30am to discuss TMX approval. Despite today being a clear win there remains so much pessimism! My message: don’t let the fear of being disappointed (again..) blind you from seeing when things have materially improved. Identifying the inflection point is key\n\n---\n\nThe market is drowning in pessimism yet CDN oil stocks are already being valued using worst case scenarios. When names are at a discount to liquidation value am I not getting free optionality on TMX (or other) initiatives actually being built??? #OOTT https://t.co/7WefGmAnSV https://t.co/owppaqOeOy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008695508594727341, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008695508594727341, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01094780953329777, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01094780953329777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022523009385704285, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022523009385704285, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01783703192196917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01783703192196917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008282554942105502, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008282554942105502, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009554476979863669, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009554476979863669, "ret_p1w": 0.01783703192196917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01783703192196917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021854043706783566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021854043706783566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004017011784814395, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004017011784814395, "ret_p1m": -0.03344506410698289, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03344506410698289, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05809298602875834, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05809298602875834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02464792192177545, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02464792192177545, "ret_p3m": 0.06131558170087126, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06131558170087126, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03210722432808244, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03210722432808244, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029208357372788818, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029208357372788818, "ret_p6m": 0.005677173529800905, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005677173529800905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08674103172944436, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08674103172944436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09241820525924527, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09241820525924527, "ret_p1y": -0.3116493208662203, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3116493208662203, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.42358870063266485, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.42358870063266485, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11193937976644452, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11193937976644452, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03344506410698289, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05809298602875834, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05809298602875834, "price_path": [0.1102, 0.0905, 0.1082, 0.0894, 0.0916, 0.0861, 0.1049, 0.1005, 0.0861, 0.0916, 0.1226, 0.1403, 0.1315, 0.1514, 0.1492, 0.1602, 0.1547, 0.1591, 0.1746, 0.1735, 0.1735, 0.1923, 0.21, 0.1823, 0.1735, 0.1569, 0.1591, 0.1436, 0.1116, 0.0828, 0.0939, 0.0928, 0.0784, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0894, 0.064, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.0939, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0828, 0.0551, 0.0131, 0.0164, 0.033, 0.022, 0.0352, 0.0209, 0.0098, -0.0013, 0.0021, -0.0234, -0.0167, -0.0123, -0.0167, -0.0101, -0.0223, -0.0123, -0.0145, -0.0002, 0.0087, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.01, 0.0089, 0.0022, 0.0178, -0.0078, -0.0056, -0.0056, -0.019, -0.0145, -0.0078, -0.01, -0.0178, -0.0033, 0.0167, 0.0178, 0.0167, 0.0123, -0.0045, -0.0167, -0.0334, -0.0256, -0.0201, -0.0156, -0.0256, -0.0546, -0.0624, -0.0792, -0.0569, -0.0457, -0.0669, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1093, -0.1137, -0.0992, -0.0959, -0.1081, -0.0992, -0.1293, -0.136, -0.1282, -0.1059, -0.1182, -0.1093, -0.1148, -0.1427, -0.1416, -0.146, -0.1193, -0.0959, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1093, -0.1014, -0.078, -0.0814, -0.0613, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0346, -0.0268, 0.0613, 0.0379, 0.0234, 0.019, 0.0245, 0.0234, 0.0057, 0.0001, -0.0055, -0.01, -0.019, -0.0516, -0.0729, -0.0695, -0.0718, -0.0729, -0.1077, -0.1111, -0.1021, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.0886, -0.0931, -0.0908, -0.0998, -0.0908, -0.0886, -0.0841, -0.092, -0.0819, -0.0897, -0.0852, -0.0965, -0.1144, -0.0864, -0.0572, -0.046, -0.0617, -0.0213, -0.019, -0.0213, -0.0302, -0.0347, -0.0392, -0.028, -0.0426, -0.0549, -0.0482, -0.0392, -0.0448, -0.0359, -0.0471, -0.0392, -0.0392, -0.0538, -0.0583, -0.074, -0.0516, -0.0583, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0089, -0.0168, 0.0057]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1187753797176705024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-10-25T15:32:27+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil sands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foreign investors are coming back to Canada, recognizing the tremendous amounts of FCF being generated from companies with stock prices at all-time low valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil sands equities: foreign capital returning on extreme valuation lows + massive FCF generation as US shale decelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sands basket: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Foreign investors are coming back to Canada, recognizing the tremendous amounts of FCF being generated from companies with stock prices at all-time low valuations. US shale growth deceleration (and call on OPEC increasing) to accelerate this trend #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why this oil sands bull likes the lack of new pipeline capacity https://t.co/05MR8xjkja @AmberKanwar @JonErlichman https://t.co/RZt7687dvB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0045133659305732765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0045133659305732765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004353274213655389, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0035511488042788697, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004078038509207738, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008064514734852146, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012694699178573651, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012694699178573651, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018331696448865974, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0069825398677358565, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005636997270292321, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005712159310837794, "ret_p1w": -0.02777172401316293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02777172401316293, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04282489450979883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023739596304483707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015053170496635904, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004032127708679223, "ret_p1m": -0.022402034610481143, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022402034610481143, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0614275201536449, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02861848000729302, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03902548554316376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006216445396811876, "ret_p3m": 0.07016875585841713, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07016875585841713, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03383997457768524, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06550890693678883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10400873043610237, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004659848921628296, "ret_p6m": -0.6206746020525654, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6206746020525654, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5644361466757154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2081993128487306, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.056238455376850016, "bench_c_p6m": -0.4124752892038348, "ret_p1y": -0.504883334783876, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.504883334783876, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.688241519551032, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06375687687931697, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18335818476715593, "bench_c_p1y": -0.44112645790455907, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022402034610481143, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0614275201536449, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02861848000729302, "price_path": [0.1522, 0.1724, 0.1465, 0.1017, 0.1017, 0.0748, 0.034, 0.076, 0.0627, 0.0333, 0.0798, 0.0296, 0.0124, 0.0319, 0.028, 0.0329, 0.0638, 0.0715, 0.0217, 0.0209, 0.013, 0.0473, 0.0562, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0379, 0.0469, 0.0857, 0.1043, 0.134, 0.1484, 0.1762, 0.1871, 0.1704, 0.2911, 0.2456, 0.2238, 0.2081, 0.2075, 0.2119, 0.1844, 0.1689, 0.1584, 0.1541, 0.1514, 0.1013, 0.0772, 0.0736, 0.0746, 0.0692, 0.0316, 0.0129, 0.0216, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0378, 0.0292, 0.0323, 0.0141, 0.0076, 0.0149, 0.012, -0.0045, 0.0, -0.0127, -0.0011, -0.0273, -0.0635, -0.0278, -0.0046, 0.0076, -0.0078, 0.0065, -0.0011, -0.0007, -0.0109, -0.0196, -0.0211, -0.0021, -0.0194, -0.0506, -0.032, -0.0273, -0.0248, -0.0224, -0.0491, -0.0304, -0.0176, -0.031, -0.0416, -0.0651, -0.0464, -0.0553, 0.0107, 0.0429, 0.0473, 0.0432, 0.0792, 0.0821, 0.0792, 0.1212, 0.1257, 0.1523, 0.1511, 0.1883, 0.2029, 0.2029, 0.2029, 0.2165, 0.2233, 0.2111, 0.2111, 0.2026, 0.2216, 0.2428, 0.2407, 0.1921, 0.1925, 0.1413, 0.1188, 0.1291, 0.1071, 0.1155, 0.104, 0.1101, 0.0859, 0.0702, 0.0748, 0.0362, 0.0036, 0.0161, 0.0197, 0.0174, -0.0172, -0.0169, 0.0057, 0.0589, 0.0449, 0.0202, 0.0111, 0.0136, 0.036, 0.019, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.01, 0.0358, 0.0424, 0.021, -0.0368, -0.0665, -0.0878, -0.1175, -0.1196, -0.1283, -0.1518, -0.1638, -0.1869, -0.2683, -0.5305, -0.5117, -0.5411, -0.6159, -0.569, -0.65, -0.6787, -0.7405, -0.7175, -0.7137, -0.7147, -0.6926, -0.6577, -0.6731, -0.7029, -0.6764, -0.6204, -0.6388, -0.5993, -0.5999, -0.5799, -0.5894, -0.5768, -0.5949, -0.5949, -0.6011, -0.6146, -0.6267, -0.6311, -0.6029, -0.6207]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1485723214466752526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-24T21:16:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the average Canadian energy company I follow could buy back 28% of their shares outstanding with 1 year of free cashflow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy equities: at ~$80 WTI, average name can buy back 28% of shares in one year of FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 2022 WTI strip is now $79.75.  At $80WTI, the average Canadian energy company I follow could buy back 28% of their shares outstanding with 1 year of free cashflow. 🚀 https://t.co/j048BsB1Ux", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03394040943229437, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03394040943229437, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04630025323098397, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04630025323098397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012359843798689596, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012359843798689596, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024835099263731397, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024835099263731397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004992276611369251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004992276611369251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002508766684996111, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002508766684996111, "ret_p1w": 0.067881003601445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.067881003601445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025346265414364577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025346265414364577, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04253473818708042, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04253473818708042, "ret_p1m": 0.06043047382232558, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06043047382232558, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08924707652200659, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08924707652200659, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028816602699681004, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028816602699681004, "ret_p3m": 0.24484062289573183, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24484062289573183, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2611971591998039, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2611971591998039, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.016356536304072078, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016356536304072078, "ret_p6m": 0.20328499077701245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20328499077701245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2879007849200962, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2879007849200962, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08461579414308373, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08461579414308373, "ret_p1y": 0.3327689930271074, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3327689930271074, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4042813155294259, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4042813155294259, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07151232250231854, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07151232250231854, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3327689930271074, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4042813155294259, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4042813155294259, "price_path": [-0.1355, -0.1339, -0.1182, -0.1322, -0.1413, -0.1322, -0.11, -0.1009, -0.1026, -0.1223, -0.1215, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.1289, -0.1215, -0.1503, -0.1437, -0.1108, -0.0943, -0.0911, -0.1446, -0.133, -0.1594, -0.175, -0.1594, -0.1627, -0.1421, -0.1149, -0.1199, -0.1347, -0.1297, -0.1544, -0.1676, -0.1684, -0.1652, -0.1824, -0.1808, -0.1487, -0.1372, -0.1405, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1199, -0.1283, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.0911, -0.0861, -0.0588, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0182, -0.0033, -0.0099, 0.0182, 0.0364, 0.029, 0.0248, 0.0166, -0.0199, -0.0339, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0174, 0.0232, 0.0315, 0.0679, 0.077, 0.0687, 0.0762, 0.0671, 0.024, 0.043, 0.0505, 0.0877, 0.0737, 0.0712, 0.0803, 0.0811, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0579, 0.0604, 0.0662, 0.0911, 0.1192, 0.1316, 0.1416, 0.1267, 0.1664, 0.2003, 0.202, 0.1589, 0.1788, 0.1788, 0.1291, 0.1084, 0.1118, 0.1531, 0.144, 0.1929, 0.1829, 0.2045, 0.202, 0.2365, 0.2074, 0.2024, 0.2099, 0.2016, 0.2199, 0.2382, 0.2174, 0.2007, 0.2224, 0.2482, 0.2165, 0.2457, 0.2665, 0.2798, 0.2798, 0.3164, 0.2973, 0.3156, 0.269, 0.2448, 0.2041, 0.2149, 0.2548, 0.3189, 0.2998, 0.2948, 0.3447, 0.3771, 0.3647, 0.3672, 0.269, 0.2648, 0.2873, 0.2706, 0.3206, 0.3538, 0.3722, 0.3505, 0.3572, 0.3647, 0.3647, 0.3979, 0.4271, 0.4329, 0.4579, 0.492, 0.4529, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.4828, 0.4953, 0.5294, 0.5402, 0.5228, 0.4995, 0.4529, 0.4262, 0.4071, 0.3355, 0.2598, 0.2898, 0.3206, 0.2507, 0.1641, 0.2024, 0.2586, 0.3115, 0.2645, 0.2427, 0.2427, 0.2737, 0.1882, 0.1412, 0.1932, 0.1798, 0.1639, 0.1253, 0.1211, 0.1027, 0.1186, 0.158, 0.1865, 0.2033]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1437411272467927044", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-13T13:42:07+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks are trading at 20 year low valuations despite growing oil macro tailwinds and massively improving prospects for investors to finally get paid via meaningful dividends and equity valuation re-rating from share buybacks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector on 20-year-low valuations, oil macro tailwinds, rising dividends, and buyback-driven re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks are trading at 20 year low valuations (Peters &amp; Co) despite growing oil macro tailwinds and massively improving prospects for investors to finally get paid via meaningful dividends and equity valuation re-rating (from 1/4 of the 20 year average!) from share buybacks https://t.co/GGkAdE8wTu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02786808601363111, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02786808601363111, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025315392730052122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025315392730052122, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0025526932835789884, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025526932835789884, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014442561112509189, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014442561112509189, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009045973668816765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009045973668816765, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005396587443692424, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005396587443692424, "ret_p1w": -0.027381331835950484, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027381331835950484, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002414995328213987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002414995328213987, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.024966336507736497, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024966336507736497, "ret_p1m": 0.16141838707206047, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16141838707206047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1873281181550156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1873281181550156, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025909731082955134, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025909731082955134, "ret_p3m": 0.1698599262503191, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1698599262503191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1222444625138348, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1222444625138348, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04761546373648429, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04761546373648429, "ret_p6m": 0.6171334143573721, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6171334143573721, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6787782989359338, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6787782989359338, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.061644884578561654, "bench_c_p6m": -0.061644884578561654, "ret_p1y": 0.7139316032288983, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7139316032288983, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8164468553579537, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8164468553579537, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10251525212905543, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10251525212905543, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16141838707206047, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1873281181550156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1873281181550156, "price_path": [0.1254, 0.0871, 0.0549, 0.0999, 0.1072, 0.1103, 0.1198, 0.1257, 0.0877, 0.0824, 0.0958, 0.1149, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.0763, 0.0588, 0.0527, 0.0751, 0.0734, 0.0653, 0.0336, 0.0191, -0.0098, -0.0448, -0.0319, 0.0018, -0.0094, -0.013, 0.0114, 0.002, 0.0112, 0.021, 0.0047, -0.0028, 0.0142, -0.0132, -0.002, 0.0071, -0.0071, 0.0104, 0.0183, 0.0173, 0.0053, -0.0132, -0.0234, -0.0437, -0.0686, -0.0665, -0.0315, -0.0155, -0.0079, -0.023, 0.0031, -0.0087, -0.0155, -0.0299, -0.0053, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0169, -0.0295, -0.0275, -0.0279, 0.0, -0.0144, 0.0224, 0.0108, 0.0033, -0.0274, -0.0251, 0.0049, 0.0401, 0.048, 0.0852, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0725, 0.1085, 0.1266, 0.1332, 0.1213, 0.1299, 0.1647, 0.1604, 0.1614, 0.1604, 0.1746, 0.1804, 0.1812, 0.1946, 0.2042, 0.182, 0.1931, 0.2106, 0.2176, 0.1826, 0.1911, 0.1832, 0.2036, 0.1923, 0.1824, 0.1841, 0.1995, 0.2104, 0.2154, 0.1832, 0.1878, 0.1849, 0.1948, 0.1966, 0.1783, 0.1713, 0.1256, 0.1456, 0.1808, 0.1923, 0.1923, 0.1443, 0.1509, 0.1239, 0.112, 0.1443, 0.1353, 0.1522, 0.1791, 0.1789, 0.1699, 0.1785, 0.1458, 0.141, 0.1355, 0.1427, 0.1194, 0.1055, 0.137, 0.1443, 0.145, 0.145, 0.17, 0.1692, 0.1616, 0.1546, 0.1575, 0.1933, 0.2346, 0.2344, 0.262, 0.2793, 0.2753, 0.3187, 0.3212, 0.3145, 0.3454, 0.3454, 0.3508, 0.341, 0.3287, 0.3024, 0.3112, 0.3621, 0.3598, 0.3746, 0.3687, 0.3748, 0.4238, 0.4284, 0.4148, 0.4369, 0.4553, 0.424, 0.4359, 0.4269, 0.4684, 0.4338, 0.4188, 0.4303, 0.428, 0.4192, 0.4192, 0.3963, 0.4107, 0.3996, 0.4365, 0.472, 0.4868, 0.5208, 0.525, 0.569, 0.5921, 0.6171]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1092462097806606336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-04T16:37:15+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "is hugely significant for CDN heavy oil producers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil producers: light/heavy oil imbalance + Venezuelan sanctions set to become a meaningful multi-year theme from 2019 onward.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beyond just the Venezuelan sanctions in the near term the trend of too much light, not enough heavy is likely to develop into a meaningful theme in 2019+ and is hugely significant for CDN heavy oil producers   https://t.co/CqusDYv3KG via @nationalpost", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005242531964457453, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005242531964457453, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017440014333016673, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002935931682674031, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00698653339775912, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002306600281783422, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004378409757197943, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004378409757197943, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008570254726996573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005915683219433365, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00419184496979863, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015372734622354223, "ret_p1w": -0.03313186448389721, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03313186448389721, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028204657503294206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0054564768855819845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004927206980603005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027675387598315226, "ret_p1m": 0.05254722629210837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05254722629210837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026587852556549357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032405980615918345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595937373555901, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020141245676190023, "ret_p3m": 0.09033257322509353, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09033257322509353, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.014944423444707422, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10387381315325289, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0753881497803861, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013541239928159365, "ret_p6m": -0.04730116730188874, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04730116730188874, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16332433955663941, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03087990419974798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11602317225475067, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01642126310214076, "ret_p1y": -0.08523215076255419, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08523215076255419, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3266430849419302, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.028845999359750518, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24141093417937598, "bench_c_p1y": -0.056386151402803675, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08523215076255419, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3266430849419302, "alpha_c_stated": -0.028845999359750518, "price_path": [0.2203, 0.1892, 0.1412, 0.1088, 0.0501, 0.0732, 0.089, 0.0864, 0.0809, 0.0285, 0.0603, 0.075, 0.0192, 0.0075, -0.0072, -0.029, 0.0289, 0.023, 0.1363, 0.0991, 0.1337, 0.0597, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0118, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.0409, -0.0122, -0.0548, -0.0413, -0.069, -0.0942, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.0733, -0.0311, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0231, 0.0603, 0.0506, 0.0474, 0.0632, 0.0781, 0.0797, 0.0665, 0.1008, 0.0967, 0.0812, 0.0724, 0.0613, 0.0223, -0.0093, -0.0017, 0.0091, 0.0058, 0.0075, 0.0253, 0.0088, -0.0052, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0115, -0.038, -0.0444, -0.0331, -0.0147, 0.0141, 0.0214, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0751, 0.0728, 0.056, 0.0582, 0.058, 0.0871, 0.0865, 0.0777, 0.0891, 0.0478, 0.0525, 0.0304, 0.0279, 0.0034, 0.0256, 0.035, 0.0525, 0.0521, 0.0415, 0.051, 0.0398, 0.0787, 0.0928, 0.0512, 0.0297, 0.0642, 0.0427, 0.0369, 0.0291, 0.0472, 0.0475, 0.0309, 0.0437, 0.0924, 0.1292, 0.124, 0.2118, 0.2013, 0.2145, 0.2096, 0.2127, 0.235, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.261, 0.2896, 0.2505, 0.2249, 0.1981, 0.2053, 0.1864, 0.1237, 0.0903, 0.1288, 0.1311, 0.1053, 0.1263, 0.131, 0.1284, 0.0985, 0.1143, 0.1102, 0.1123, 0.0884, 0.0884, 0.0922, 0.0587, 0.012, 0.0093, 0.0218, 0.0109, 0.0167, 0.004, -0.0161, -0.0385, -0.0319, -0.0695, -0.0606, -0.0468, -0.0582, -0.0474, -0.0704, -0.0428, -0.0538, -0.0338, -0.0057, -0.0219, 0.0081, -0.0005, -0.0124, -0.0233, 0.0004, -0.03, -0.034, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0448, -0.045, -0.0498, -0.0612, -0.0542, -0.0303, -0.031, -0.0256, -0.0264, -0.0334, -0.0394, -0.0575, -0.044, -0.0376, -0.0319, -0.0459, -0.0696, -0.0659, -0.088, -0.0473]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1437751354873757701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-14T12:13:29+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stock valuations at 20 year lows + positive macro backdrop + increasing return of capital announcements = 🚀", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: 20-year valuation lows + positive macro + rising capital returns signal upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IEA: HUGE OECD stock draw in July of  34MM Bbls (vs. 4MM build expected) and compares to the '15-'19 average build of 23MM Bbls.  Energy stock valuations at 20 year lows + positive macro backdrop + increasing return of capital announcements = 🚀 https://t.co/NrzXBxc1RH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014654205369107665, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014654205369107665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009228336750959354, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009228336750959354, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005425868618148311, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005425868618148311, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03735819966638476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03735819966638476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029005475311934426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029005475311934426, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008352724354450336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008352724354450336, "ret_p1w": -0.010830729102932257, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010830729102932257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00977120583195823, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00977120583195823, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.020601934934890487, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020601934934890487, "ret_p1m": 0.17739363914204476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17739363914204476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19449481499499, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19449481499499, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01710117585294524, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01710117585294524, "ret_p3m": 0.19577726935623718, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19577726935623718, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13256240608814096, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13256240608814096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06321486326809622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06321486326809622, "ret_p6m": 0.5906788384021235, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5906788384021235, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6219378365752676, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6219378365752676, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03125899817314404, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03125899817314404, "ret_p1y": 0.6962735476674262, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6962735476674262, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7910878503037374, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7910878503037374, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09481430263631119, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09481430263631119, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17739363914204476, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19449481499499, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19449481499499, "price_path": [0.1031, 0.0704, 0.116, 0.1234, 0.1265, 0.1362, 0.1422, 0.1036, 0.0982, 0.1119, 0.1313, 0.1288, 0.1288, 0.0921, 0.0743, 0.0681, 0.0908, 0.0892, 0.0809, 0.0487, 0.0341, 0.0047, -0.0308, -0.0178, 0.0165, 0.0052, 0.0014, 0.0262, 0.0167, 0.026, 0.0359, 0.0194, 0.0118, 0.0291, 0.0012, 0.0126, 0.0219, 0.0074, 0.0252, 0.0332, 0.0322, 0.02, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0297, -0.0549, -0.0528, -0.0173, -0.001, 0.0066, -0.0087, 0.0178, 0.0058, -0.001, -0.0157, 0.0093, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0025, -0.0153, -0.0132, -0.0136, 0.0147, 0.0, 0.0374, 0.0256, 0.018, -0.0131, -0.0108, 0.0197, 0.0554, 0.0633, 0.1011, 0.1049, 0.1049, 0.0882, 0.1247, 0.1431, 0.1498, 0.1377, 0.1465, 0.1818, 0.1774, 0.1784, 0.1774, 0.1918, 0.1977, 0.1985, 0.2121, 0.2219, 0.1993, 0.2106, 0.2284, 0.2355, 0.2, 0.2085, 0.2006, 0.2213, 0.2098, 0.1997, 0.2014, 0.2171, 0.2282, 0.2332, 0.2006, 0.2052, 0.2023, 0.2123, 0.2142, 0.1956, 0.1885, 0.1421, 0.1624, 0.1981, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.1611, 0.1678, 0.1404, 0.1283, 0.1611, 0.1519, 0.169, 0.1964, 0.1962, 0.187, 0.1958, 0.1626, 0.1578, 0.1521, 0.1594, 0.1358, 0.1217, 0.1537, 0.1611, 0.1617, 0.1617, 0.1871, 0.1863, 0.1787, 0.1715, 0.1744, 0.2108, 0.2527, 0.2525, 0.2805, 0.298, 0.294, 0.338, 0.3406, 0.3338, 0.3651, 0.3651, 0.3706, 0.3607, 0.3482, 0.3215, 0.3304, 0.382, 0.3797, 0.3947, 0.3888, 0.3949, 0.4447, 0.4493, 0.4356, 0.458, 0.4766, 0.4449, 0.4569, 0.4478, 0.49, 0.4548, 0.4396, 0.4512, 0.4489, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4167, 0.4313, 0.4201, 0.4576, 0.4935, 0.5086, 0.5431, 0.5473, 0.5919, 0.6154, 0.6408, 0.5907]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1103684138110996480", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-07T15:49:38+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Trudeau falls there is a hope of funds flow coming back to the CDN energy sector. With stocks trading at 10+% FCF yields and discounts to PDP reserve value forgive me for thinking there could be some dramatic upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector on potential Trudeau exit; stocks at 10%+ FCF yields and PDP discounts with dramatic upside potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Sunny ways my friends, sunny ways.\"  More cracks forming.  If Trudeau falls there is a hope of funds flow coming back to the CDN energy sector.  With stocks trading at 10+% FCF yields and discounts to PDP reserve value forgive me for thinking there could be some dramatic upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "“I believe real leadership is about listening, learning &amp;  compassion...central to my leadership is fostering an environment where my Ministers, caucus &amp; staff feel comfortable coming to me when they have concerns” I did come to you recently. Twice. Remember your reactions?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0010083352602320295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010083352602320295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009444178108649504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009444178108649504, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008435842848417474, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008435842848417474, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020161544965707767, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020161544965707767, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018161556967244197, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018161556967244197, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019999879984635704, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019999879984635704, "ret_p1w": 0.012096582963495806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012096582963495806, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010266053110883355, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010266053110883355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02236263607437916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02236263607437916, "ret_p1m": 0.027466416059253262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027466416059253262, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02646285913393598, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02646285913393598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05392927519318924, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05392927519318924, "ret_p3m": -0.08287233151144136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08287233151144136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10743731138690615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10743731138690615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0245649798754648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0245649798754648, "ret_p6m": -0.17964874253577579, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17964874253577579, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25294330100822027, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25294330100822027, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07329455847244448, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07329455847244448, "ret_p1y": -0.16319587357807774, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.16319587357807774, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3577900846184149, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3577900846184149, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19459421104033714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19459421104033714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027466416059253262, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02646285913393598, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02646285913393598, "price_path": [-0.0606, -0.0736, -0.0616, -0.0606, -0.0887, -0.1108, -0.1209, -0.1219, -0.136, -0.1521, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.136, -0.122, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0958, -0.0988, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0494, -0.0393, -0.0383, -0.0363, -0.0181, -0.0272, -0.0212, -0.0141, -0.0171, -0.0484, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0444, -0.0504, -0.0423, -0.0323, -0.0413, -0.0484, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0363, -0.0595, -0.0696, -0.0605, -0.0484, -0.0383, -0.0313, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0111, 0.004, 0.006, 0.0121, 0.0111, 0.0192, 0.0131, 0.0242, 0.0081, 0.0111, -0.001, 0.0, -0.0202, -0.0101, -0.004, 0.0111, 0.0121, 0.0081, 0.0262, 0.0181, 0.0363, 0.0454, 0.0161, -0.0019, 0.0143, -0.0029, -0.0009, -0.0059, 0.0113, 0.0072, -0.0059, -0.0009, 0.0275, 0.0437, 0.0356, 0.0538, 0.0518, 0.0619, 0.0568, 0.0609, 0.075, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0912, 0.1074, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0588, 0.0609, 0.0467, 0.0173, -0.009, 0.0011, 0.0001, -0.013, 0.0042, 0.0042, -0.0029, -0.0262, -0.0059, -0.0059, 0.0011, -0.015, -0.015, -0.009, -0.0343, -0.0727, -0.0697, -0.0545, -0.0647, -0.0525, -0.0657, -0.0758, -0.0859, -0.0829, -0.1062, -0.1001, -0.096, -0.1001, -0.094, -0.1051, -0.096, -0.0981, -0.0849, -0.0768, -0.0848, -0.0684, -0.0756, -0.0766, -0.0827, -0.0684, -0.0919, -0.0899, -0.0899, -0.1021, -0.098, -0.0919, -0.0939, -0.1011, -0.0878, -0.0695, -0.0684, -0.0695, -0.0735, -0.0888, -0.1001, -0.1154, -0.1082, -0.1031, -0.099, -0.1082, -0.1348, -0.1419, -0.1572, -0.1368, -0.1266, -0.146, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1848, -0.1888, -0.1756, -0.1725, -0.1837, -0.1756, -0.2031, -0.2092, -0.2021, -0.1817, -0.1929, -0.1848, -0.1899, -0.2154, -0.2143, -0.2184, -0.1939, -0.1725, -0.1796]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1537547281074950148", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-16T21:26:52+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks still offer compelling upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks despite this week's sharp selloff; thesis intact with compelling upside remaining.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With energy stocks falling sharply this week, is the oil party now over??? Here is an 8 minute video that I recorded this afternoon to review our thesis and explain why energy stocks still offer compelling upside.\nhttps://t.co/VItlAkr1Eq https://t.co/edbkmw01Zq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05783081237685983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05783081237685983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05998196874299333, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05998196874299333, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021511563661335, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021511563661335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.014929598528732657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014929598528732657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0811298141446587, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0811298141446587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06620021561592604, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06620021561592604, "ret_p1m": -0.03460610318891655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03460610318891655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0785847831395231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0785847831395231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04397867995060656, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04397867995060656, "ret_p3m": 0.13202584274038354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13202584274038354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05347111367646096, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05347111367646096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07855472906392258, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07855472906392258, "ret_p6m": 0.18025605269652312, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18025605269652312, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08533203216429786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08533203216429786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09492402053222526, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09492402053222526, "ret_p1y": 0.13612973833544495, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13612973833544495, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04850291807716278, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04850291807716278, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18463265641260773, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18463265641260773, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03460610318891655, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0785847831395231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0785847831395231, "price_path": [0.0283, 0.046, 0.0486, 0.0716, 0.045, 0.0423, 0.0544, 0.0401, 0.0486, 0.0499, 0.0335, 0.0396, 0.0532, 0.0822, 0.0497, 0.0671, 0.083, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.1025, 0.0935, 0.0977, 0.0629, 0.0369, 0.0026, 0.0039, 0.0186, 0.0495, 0.0226, 0.0389, 0.068, 0.1124, 0.0957, 0.1283, 0.035, 0.0444, 0.0584, 0.0629, 0.0992, 0.1282, 0.1412, 0.112, 0.1079, 0.1127, 0.1421, 0.1464, 0.1701, 0.183, 0.2047, 0.2047, 0.1866, 0.2059, 0.2021, 0.218, 0.2166, 0.253, 0.2557, 0.2279, 0.2071, 0.1441, 0.1463, 0.121, 0.0578, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0518, 0.0097, -0.0277, -0.0149, 0.014, 0.0413, 0.0052, -0.016, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0409, -0.0573, -0.0233, -0.0237, -0.0331, -0.0519, -0.0535, -0.0713, -0.0562, -0.0346, -0.0049, 0.0047, -0.0129, -0.021, 0.0149, 0.0057, 0.0284, 0.0342, 0.0791, 0.0568, 0.0543, 0.024, -0.014, 0.0056, 0.0108, 0.0286, 0.036, 0.0716, 0.0797, 0.0587, 0.0562, 0.065, 0.0936, 0.0934, 0.0913, 0.1307, 0.1445, 0.1534, 0.1399, 0.1571, 0.1179, 0.1077, 0.0804, 0.1002, 0.1002, 0.0901, 0.0774, 0.0821, 0.109, 0.1294, 0.1009, 0.132, 0.1029, 0.0793, 0.08, 0.0725, 0.0567, 0.053, -0.0196, -0.0437, -0.033, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0018, 0.0584, 0.1039, 0.1267, 0.1467, 0.1378, 0.1145, 0.1056, 0.1145, 0.1599, 0.1167, 0.1306, 0.1405, 0.1741, 0.1752, 0.2092, 0.2149, 0.2161, 0.2327, 0.2371, 0.2415, 0.2519, 0.264, 0.2335, 0.2563, 0.2716, 0.2935, 0.2947, 0.2314, 0.2588, 0.2954, 0.295, 0.3086, 0.2819, 0.2847, 0.2746, 0.2573, 0.2967, 0.2826, 0.2826, 0.2779, 0.2429, 0.2616, 0.2679, 0.2637, 0.2562, 0.2189, 0.1868, 0.184, 0.1787, 0.1501, 0.1803]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1376887080534573056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-30T13:20:35+00:00", "symbol": "AAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "COVID's lasting impact will not be on demand but on supply = structural bull market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish airlines: domestic bookings recovering signals structural supply-driven bull market post-COVID.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "American Airlines -&gt; domestic bookings now back to 90% of pre-COVID levels. Jet fuel = the weakest end market and was to be the last to recover. What does this tell us? COVID's lasting impact will not be on demand but on supply = structural bull market. https://t.co/9hqRQZYp0m https://t.co/UA15NbCnGa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05016587685408003, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05016587685408003, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052826006105767265, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04581245970963754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026601292516872377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004353417144442484, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009121111652088842, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009121111652088842, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013174299006111223, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005881244978041877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004053187354022381, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003239866674046965, "ret_p1w": -0.00248761903828032, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00248761903828032, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03134277013322451, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012510740340755833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.028855151094944187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010023121302475513, "ret_p1m": -0.10033167463069037, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10033167463069037, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15776301753572097, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13192022881903398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0574313429050306, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03158855418834361, "ret_p3m": -0.07877286317454757, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07877286317454757, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1630725379593433, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11829573539117166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08429967478479572, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039522872216624094, "ret_p6m": -0.14925374196563024, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14925374196563024, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2657126212148341, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15922242783936136, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11645887924920384, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00996868587373112, "ret_p1y": -0.3138474850241111, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3138474850241111, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4424425003776329, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.36168480628750643, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1285950153535218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04783732126339535, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10033167463069037, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15776301753572097, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13192022881903398, "price_path": [-0.3462, -0.3462, -0.3727, -0.3603, -0.3566, -0.3624, -0.3727, -0.3781, -0.3624, -0.3561, -0.3184, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.3379, -0.3296, -0.3437, -0.3441, -0.3603, -0.3561, -0.3134, -0.2496, -0.2881, -0.3018, -0.3122, -0.2703, -0.2786, -0.2873, -0.2633, -0.2769, -0.2782, -0.2956, -0.284, -0.284, -0.2612, -0.2541, -0.2658, -0.2255, -0.1526, -0.1434, -0.0954, -0.1352, -0.1318, -0.1219, -0.1111, -0.0808, -0.1194, -0.1522, -0.1099, -0.1045, -0.0983, -0.0817, -0.0311, 0.0435, 0.0145, 0.0431, 0.024, 0.0352, -0.012, -0.0767, -0.0958, -0.056, -0.0493, -0.0502, 0.0, -0.0091, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0046, -0.0025, -0.0079, -0.0195, -0.024, -0.0502, -0.0647, -0.0726, -0.0825, -0.0867, -0.1066, -0.1555, -0.1289, -0.1679, -0.1248, -0.0862, -0.0978, -0.1003, -0.1169, -0.0995, -0.09, -0.1119, -0.1057, -0.109, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.1057, -0.1393, -0.1206, -0.0713, -0.0319, -0.0232, -0.0477, -0.063, -0.0643, -0.0468, -0.0377, -0.0091, 0.0129, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0228, 0.0705, 0.0336, 0.0075, 0.0054, 0.0041, -0.0112, -0.0274, -0.0245, -0.0468, -0.0551, -0.0535, -0.0784, -0.0759, -0.0692, -0.0833, -0.0796, -0.0734, -0.0788, -0.1132, -0.126, -0.1206, -0.1082, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1289, -0.158, -0.1563, -0.1339, -0.136, -0.17, -0.1451, -0.1517, -0.1795, -0.2135, -0.1476, -0.1128, -0.1227, -0.1211, -0.0846, -0.1103, -0.1032, -0.1223, -0.1551, -0.1683, -0.1729, -0.1936, -0.1331, -0.1285, -0.1476, -0.1318, -0.1198, -0.153, -0.1774, -0.1808, -0.1982, -0.2065, -0.2235, -0.233, -0.2077, -0.1779, -0.1646, -0.175, -0.1617, -0.1911, -0.1733, -0.1857, -0.1808, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.1903, -0.2069, -0.1625, -0.2143, -0.1994, -0.2036, -0.1965, -0.1754, -0.182, -0.1571, -0.1808, -0.1493]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1130823024989675521", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-05-21T13:09:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many energy stocks therefore at 40%+ FCF yields", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish WTI to $70+/bbl on tight physical market; energy stocks to reach 40%+ FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Many are describing the PHYSICAL oil market as the tightest in 15 years while the FINANCIAL market for oil is apathetic and still traumatized from Q4/18's plunge...we see a potential for $70+/bbl WTI in the coming months..and many energy stocks therefore at 40%+ FCF yields #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As pressures pile onto crude markets, @energyaspects @ea_amrita considers what this means for #opec and financial markets https://t.co/BD1vleSitf #OOTD #crude #Oil", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01146938101348527, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01146938101348527, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0025345618582924834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025345618582924834, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008934819155192786, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008934819155192786, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015499064769711857, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015499064769711857, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012427539629839668, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012427539629839668, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030715251398721888, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030715251398721888, "ret_p1w": -0.05486659996001497, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05486659996001497, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03266818868236121, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03266818868236121, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022198411277653762, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022198411277653762, "ret_p1m": -0.03440773701879729, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03440773701879729, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05726912098226011, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05726912098226011, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022861383963462822, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022861383963462822, "ret_p3m": -0.10817610685970347, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10817610685970347, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12124708572994691, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12124708572994691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013070978870243444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013070978870243444, "ret_p6m": -0.05645698679633804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05645698679633804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1455556915697651, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1455556915697651, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08909870477342707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08909870477342707, "ret_p1y": -0.37757379159427973, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.37757379159427973, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.40217366091523343, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.40217366091523343, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.024599869320953704, "bench_c_p1y": 0.024599869320953704, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03440773701879729, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05726912098226011, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05726912098226011, "price_path": [0.0084, 0.0113, 0.013, 0.0097, 0.0136, 0.0034, 0.0219, 0.0237, 0.0204, 0.0074, 0.0014, -0.0173, -0.0019, 0.0045, 0.0147, 0.0157, 0.0153, 0.0294, 0.0267, 0.0356, 0.0429, 0.0147, 0.0152, 0.0298, 0.0225, 0.0263, 0.0248, 0.0383, 0.0312, 0.0212, 0.0298, 0.0479, 0.0525, 0.0397, 0.0436, 0.0443, 0.0471, 0.0409, 0.0477, 0.0463, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.0634, 0.0617, 0.0431, 0.0398, 0.0263, 0.0254, 0.0246, 0.0042, -0.0133, -0.0042, -0.0033, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0073, -0.0243, -0.0124, -0.0073, -0.0019, -0.0119, -0.0115, 0.0, -0.0155, -0.0485, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0549, -0.0609, -0.0728, -0.0891, -0.0775, -0.0615, -0.0719, -0.0547, -0.0504, -0.0476, -0.0457, -0.0592, -0.0482, -0.0544, -0.0465, -0.0333, -0.0344, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0148, -0.0226, -0.0076, -0.015, -0.0035, -0.0026, -0.0186, -0.0146, -0.0146, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.011, 0.0016, 0.0037, 0.0079, -0.0012, -0.0118, -0.0231, -0.0229, -0.0184, -0.0139, -0.0112, -0.007, -0.0182, -0.0232, -0.0272, -0.0162, -0.0193, -0.0415, -0.0553, -0.0835, -0.0846, -0.0914, -0.0653, -0.0756, -0.0866, -0.0781, -0.1143, -0.1198, -0.1082, -0.0885, -0.0961, -0.0903, -0.0944, -0.1248, -0.121, -0.1265, -0.114, -0.101, -0.101, -0.101, -0.1054, -0.0928, -0.0816, -0.0767, -0.0583, -0.0472, -0.0462, -0.0522, -0.0447, -0.0126, -0.0264, -0.0311, -0.0336, -0.0328, -0.0325, -0.0478, -0.0462, -0.0587, -0.0588, -0.0656, -0.0872, -0.1096, -0.1, -0.0943, -0.1024, -0.1177, -0.1096, -0.0984, -0.0863, -0.0868, -0.083, -0.0958, -0.0951, -0.0999, -0.0838, -0.0719, -0.0642, -0.0681, -0.0606, -0.0659, -0.0621, -0.0812, -0.0852, -0.0643, -0.0339, -0.0326, -0.0524, -0.0381, -0.0421, -0.0475, -0.0524, -0.0565]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1261284353486868480", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-05-15T13:16:38+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil stocks can go up 2x-4x over the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil and oil stocks: outlook more positive than consensus, stocks can rise 2x-4x over the next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feeling down about the ongoing lockdown and poorly performing oil stocks this month?  I'll be on @marketcall today at 12ET to discuss why the outlook for oil is much more positive than consensus and why oil stocks can go up 2x-4x over the next year. New backdrop by my kids #OOTT https://t.co/jfTsKFfZJl\n\n---\n\nToday was all about bullish oil (and natural gas) macro...thank you to everyone who called in with questions...it was nice to be on during an increasingly frequent \"up\" day for energy stocks. #OOTT https://t.co/f6osf7q57v https://t.co/UIHzkut2En", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0038898232537778465, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038898232537778465, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00846559755670806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00846559755670806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004575774302930213, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004575774302930213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08168904458997805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08168904458997805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05122937977721631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05122937977721631, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.030459664812761744, "bench_c_p1d": 0.030459664812761744, "ret_p1w": 0.06918563791904742, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06918563791904742, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.037188731883728954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037188731883728954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03199690603531846, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03199690603531846, "ret_p1m": 0.10975241653471346, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10975241653471346, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03720091617058108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03720091617058108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07255150036413238, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07255150036413238, "ret_p3m": 0.08571049609599202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08571049609599202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09818302884358987, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09818302884358987, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1838935249395819, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1838935249395819, "ret_p6m": -0.05432569562304468, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05432569562304468, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3032632179464405, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3032632179464405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24893752232339583, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24893752232339583, "ret_p1y": 0.4875959531640057, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4875959531640057, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.012518372115583043, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.012518372115583043, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.4750775810484227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4750775810484227, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4875959531640057, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012518372115583043, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012518372115583043, "price_path": [0.4711, 0.4907, 0.489, 0.4714, 0.4034, 0.3415, 0.301, 0.2314, 0.2303, 0.2801, 0.2409, 0.2703, 0.2238, 0.155, -0.0776, -0.0338, -0.0849, -0.1991, -0.1252, -0.2442, -0.239, -0.3483, -0.304, -0.2972, -0.3451, -0.2401, -0.2042, -0.1556, -0.2128, -0.2048, -0.1926, -0.2326, -0.1623, -0.1712, -0.1273, -0.1086, -0.0492, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0609, -0.0653, -0.1092, -0.1473, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1023, -0.0703, -0.0403, -0.0381, -0.0172, 0.0053, 0.0797, 0.0558, -0.0039, 0.0306, 0.0314, 0.0044, 0.0306, 0.0775, 0.0586, 0.04, -0.0072, 0.0039, 0.0, 0.0817, 0.0514, 0.0934, 0.0759, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0989, 0.1131, 0.082, 0.077, 0.0959, 0.1264, 0.1595, 0.1598, 0.2459, 0.302, 0.2531, 0.1914, 0.0792, 0.1064, 0.1098, 0.1417, 0.1028, 0.1164, 0.0995, 0.1046, 0.1057, 0.0443, 0.0643, 0.0275, 0.0412, 0.0652, 0.0393, 0.0508, 0.0508, 0.0539, 0.0204, 0.0196, -0.0308, 0.0002, -0.0052, 0.0297, 0.0519, 0.0472, 0.0325, 0.0154, 0.0767, 0.0635, 0.0615, 0.0556, 0.0567, 0.0387, 0.0604, 0.0187, 0.0139, 0.0176, 0.0424, 0.0533, 0.0449, 0.0463, 0.0787, 0.075, 0.0857, 0.0646, 0.0747, 0.0685, 0.055, 0.0429, 0.0204, 0.0139, 0.0418, 0.0272, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.0255, 0.0033, -0.0035, -0.0083, -0.0156, -0.0187, -0.0187, -0.0544, -0.048, -0.0829, -0.082, -0.075, -0.0817, -0.0449, -0.0435, -0.0542, -0.0855, -0.0949, -0.1358, -0.1361, -0.1367, -0.1164, -0.1407, -0.1433, -0.1696, -0.1616, -0.1364, -0.1493, -0.1373, -0.105, -0.1193, -0.117, -0.1307, -0.127, -0.1164, -0.1364, -0.1547, -0.1447, -0.161, -0.1264, -0.1307, -0.1619, -0.1727, -0.2074, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1504, -0.1553, -0.1542, -0.1542, -0.1725, -0.0543]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1513894237477158917", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-12T14:58:07+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Mastro, Canada's #1 energy trader, at RBC says his \"energy bullishness has been reinvigorated\" I pay attention!", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses RBC top energy trader's reinvigorated bullish view on energy sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Mastro, Canada's #1 energy trader, at RBC says his \"energy bullishness has been reinvigorated\" I pay attention! https://t.co/wtg9yQKdHI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016322118705218824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016322118705218824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020041101307190945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020041101307190945, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037189826019721206, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037189826019721206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014919590549989481, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014919590549989481, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034661807737641492, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0034661807737641492, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011453409776225332, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011453409776225332, "ret_p1w": 0.02473863094714357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02473863094714357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009337913551852983, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009337913551852983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015400717395290586, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015400717395290586, "ret_p1m": -0.008160611582426536, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008160611582426536, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09574323849390742, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09574323849390742, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.10390385007633396, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10390385007633396, "ret_p3m": -0.08511002944760604, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08511002944760604, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024272149398504195, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.024272149398504195, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.10938217884611023, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10938217884611023, "ret_p6m": 0.055870972335190894, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.055870972335190894, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18823855633422082, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18823855633422082, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.13236758399902993, "bench_c_p6m": -0.13236758399902993, "ret_p1y": 0.094646302974291, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.094646302974291, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.15796120548252557, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.15796120548252557, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.06331490250823457, "bench_c_p1y": -0.06331490250823457, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008160611582426536, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09574323849390742, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09574323849390742, "price_path": [-0.2039, -0.1852, -0.1852, -0.1819, -0.1878, -0.1953, -0.2112, -0.2059, -0.1751, -0.1765, -0.1675, -0.171, -0.1674, -0.1377, -0.1349, -0.1431, -0.1297, -0.1186, -0.1376, -0.1304, -0.1358, -0.1106, -0.1316, -0.1407, -0.1338, -0.1352, -0.1405, -0.1405, -0.1544, -0.1456, -0.1523, -0.13, -0.1085, -0.0995, -0.0789, -0.0764, -0.0498, -0.0357, -0.0206, -0.0505, -0.0215, -0.0293, -0.0584, -0.0928, -0.097, -0.0659, -0.0668, -0.0292, -0.0363, -0.0198, -0.0173, 0.0042, -0.0207, -0.0232, -0.0119, -0.0252, -0.0173, -0.0161, -0.0315, -0.0258, -0.013, 0.0142, -0.0163, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0332, 0.0247, 0.0287, -0.004, -0.0283, -0.0604, -0.0592, -0.0454, -0.0164, -0.0417, -0.0264, 0.0009, 0.0425, 0.0268, 0.0574, -0.0301, -0.0213, -0.0082, -0.004, 0.0301, 0.0573, 0.0695, 0.0421, 0.0383, 0.0427, 0.0703, 0.0743, 0.0965, 0.1086, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.112, 0.1301, 0.1265, 0.1414, 0.1401, 0.1742, 0.1767, 0.1507, 0.1312, 0.0722, 0.0742, 0.0505, -0.0087, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0143, -0.0538, -0.0888, -0.0769, -0.0498, -0.0241, -0.058, -0.0779, -0.0641, -0.0641, -0.1012, -0.1166, -0.0847, -0.0851, -0.0939, -0.1115, -0.113, -0.1297, -0.1155, -0.0953, -0.0674, -0.0584, -0.0749, -0.0825, -0.0489, -0.0575, -0.0362, -0.0308, 0.0112, -0.0097, -0.012, -0.0404, -0.076, -0.0576, -0.0527, -0.0361, -0.0291, 0.0043, 0.0119, -0.0079, -0.0102, -0.0019, 0.0249, 0.0246, 0.0227, 0.0596, 0.0726, 0.0808, 0.0682, 0.0843, 0.0476, 0.038, 0.0125, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0215, 0.0097, 0.0141, 0.0393, 0.0584, 0.0317, 0.0609, 0.0335, 0.0115, 0.0121, 0.005, -0.0097, -0.0132, -0.0813, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.0612, -0.0081, 0.0345, 0.0559]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1518580371356631040", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-25T13:19:09+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With Canadian energy stocks discounting <$60WTI + epic levels of free cashflow being generated, truly every day above $90WTI is a spectacular day. Important to retain perspective on a modest, temporary sell-off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: priced for <$60 WTI while generating epic FCF at $90+; sell-off is modest and temporary.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With Canadian energy stocks discounting &lt;$60WTI + epic levels of free cashflow being generated, truly every day above $90WTI is a spectacular day. Important to retain perspective on a modest, temporary sell-off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03386310780635382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03386310780635382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.039627228181549956, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039627228181549956, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005764120375196136, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005764120375196136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008984169671030218, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008984169671030218, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03794498354182729, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03794498354182729, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.028960813870797075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.028960813870797075, "ret_p1w": 0.07532815812592775, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07532815812592775, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10806957808132334, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10806957808132334, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03274141995539559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03274141995539559, "ret_p1m": 0.16102271308069582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16102271308069582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2418143998264778, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2418143998264778, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08079168674578197, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08079168674578197, "ret_p3m": -0.02223845313300221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02223845313300221, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04309822913209205, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04309822913209205, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06533668226509426, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06533668226509426, "ret_p6m": 0.07187036553456694, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07187036553456694, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1984617773203372, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1984617773203372, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.12659141178577027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.12659141178577027, "ret_p1y": 0.1217612633332219, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1217612633332219, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.15337459011078525, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.15337459011078525, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.031613326777563344, "bench_c_p1y": -0.031613326777563344, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16102271308069582, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2418143998264778, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2418143998264778, "price_path": [-0.1674, -0.155, -0.1502, -0.1434, -0.1131, -0.1055, -0.1124, -0.1062, -0.1138, -0.1495, -0.1337, -0.1275, -0.0966, -0.1083, -0.1104, -0.1028, -0.1021, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.1214, -0.1193, -0.1145, -0.0939, -0.0705, -0.0602, -0.0519, -0.0643, -0.0313, -0.0031, -0.0017, -0.0375, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0622, -0.0794, -0.0767, -0.0423, -0.0499, -0.0093, -0.0175, 0.0003, -0.0017, 0.027, 0.0028, -0.0014, 0.0048, -0.0021, 0.0131, 0.0283, 0.0111, -0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0366, 0.0104, 0.0346, 0.0518, 0.0629, 0.0629, 0.0933, 0.0774, 0.0926, 0.0539, 0.0339, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0422, 0.0954, 0.0795, 0.0753, 0.1168, 0.1437, 0.1334, 0.1355, 0.0539, 0.0504, 0.0691, 0.0553, 0.0968, 0.1244, 0.1396, 0.1216, 0.1272, 0.1334, 0.1334, 0.161, 0.1852, 0.19, 0.2108, 0.2391, 0.2066, 0.2281, 0.2281, 0.2315, 0.2419, 0.2702, 0.2792, 0.2647, 0.2453, 0.2066, 0.1845, 0.1686, 0.1092, 0.0463, 0.0712, 0.0968, 0.0387, -0.0332, -0.0013, 0.0453, 0.0892, 0.0502, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0578, -0.0132, -0.0522, -0.009, -0.0201, -0.0334, -0.0654, -0.0689, -0.0842, -0.071, -0.0383, -0.0146, -0.0006, -0.0222, -0.0362, -0.0013, -0.0097, 0.0209, 0.0418, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0516, 0.007, -0.0355, -0.0174, -0.0118, -0.0048, 0.0056, 0.0446, 0.0537, 0.037, 0.0237, 0.039, 0.0676, 0.0627, 0.0704, 0.1038, 0.115, 0.1226, 0.115, 0.1324, 0.0892, 0.0794, 0.0551, 0.078, 0.078, 0.0558, 0.023, 0.0321, 0.0592, 0.0815, 0.0725, 0.1059, 0.0794, 0.0676, 0.0746, 0.0697, 0.0467, 0.0286, -0.0519, -0.0844, -0.0632, -0.025, -0.0229, -0.0222, 0.0337, 0.0804, 0.1009, 0.1228, 0.1242, 0.1242, 0.0796, 0.0789, 0.1136, 0.0761, 0.0775, 0.0719]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1089879283630260224", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-01-28T13:34:04+00:00", "symbol": "Athabasca Oil", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The implication for Canadian heavy oil producers (MEG, ATH, CVE, BTE) would be profound with cash flow increasing for some by 35% with every $5/bbl change in WCS differentials", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers MEG/ATH/CVE/BTE on potential WCS differential tightening/premium driven by IMO2020, OPEC heavy cuts, and VZ supply risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Athabasca Oil Corp on TSX, ticker ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Could we be heading into a \"perfect storm\" for WCS differentials? IMO2020 increasing marine gasoil demand by 2MM Bbl/d while US shale lightens global crude stream, gasoline inv. swell,OPEC cuts are predominately heavy, and now VZ potential flow restrictions to US GOM? #OOTT\n\n---\n\nQuestion of the day: could WCS differentials trade at a premium to WTI in 2019? We had all assumed &lt;$10/bbl WCS spot was financially driven by short covering...could it have actual fundamental backing?\n\n---\n\nThe implication for Canadian heavy oil producers (MEG, ATH, CVE, BTE) would be profound with cash flow increasing for some by 35% with every $5/bbl change in WCS differentials.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019999980926513672, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019999980926513672, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027658524182353927, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03011248894563745, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0076585432558402555, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010112508019123778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009999990463256836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009999990463256836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008673179595405145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013049821376182935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001326810867851691, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003049830912926099, "ret_p1w": -0.029999971389770508, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029999971389770508, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06108901413797829, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07398091823161512, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031089042748207785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043980946841844615, "ret_p1m": -0.050000011920928955, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.050000011920928955, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10899329981889161, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10393276646755711, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.058993287897962654, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05393275454662816, "ret_p3m": 0.0700000524520874, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0700000524520874, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04213397802134611, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015331983977724617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11213403047343351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08533203642981202, "ret_p6m": -0.2900000214576721, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2900000214576721, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4380789515462853, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3220615140771119, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14807893008861317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0320614926194398, "ret_p1y": -0.5200000107288361, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5200000107288361, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7878366188403785, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5376663658550023, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2678366081115424, "bench_c_p1y": 0.01766635512616621, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.050000011920928955, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10899329981889161, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10393276646755711, "price_path": [0.28, 0.31, 0.26, 0.3, 0.26, 0.28, 0.2, 0.12, 0.08, 0.04, 0.12, 0.12, 0.07, 0.06, 0.04, 0.08, 0.11, 0.06, 0.02, 0.0, -0.03, 0.04, 0.03, 0.16, 0.12, 0.13, 0.07, 0.12, 0.04, 0.02, 0.06, 0.09, 0.06, 0.0, -0.04, -0.04, -0.07, -0.11, -0.16, -0.16, -0.16, -0.11, -0.05, -0.01, -0.01, 0.01, 0.03, 0.05, 0.0, 0.01, 0.0, 0.0, -0.01, -0.03, 0.02, 0.04, 0.01, -0.01, 0.0, 0.0, -0.04, -0.03, -0.02, 0.0, -0.01, 0.0, -0.02, -0.03, -0.03, -0.05, -0.04, -0.07, -0.07, -0.07, -0.08, -0.07, -0.07, -0.05, -0.05, -0.03, -0.03, -0.03, -0.05, -0.06, -0.05, -0.05, -0.05, -0.06, -0.08, -0.07, -0.09, -0.11, -0.15, -0.13, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1, -0.12, -0.13, -0.1, -0.11, -0.13, -0.14, -0.1, -0.11, -0.14, -0.15, -0.15, -0.14, -0.15, -0.12, -0.1, -0.05, -0.04, 0.07, 0.03, 0.05, 0.06, 0.07, 0.06, 0.01, 0.01, 0.07, 0.12, 0.1, 0.07, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0, -0.07, -0.1, -0.08, -0.08, -0.09, -0.07, -0.07, -0.07, -0.08, -0.07, -0.07, -0.06, -0.07, -0.07, -0.07, -0.09, -0.13, -0.13, -0.13, -0.13, -0.17, -0.17, -0.19, -0.23, -0.21, -0.24, -0.24, -0.25, -0.27, -0.27, -0.29, -0.26, -0.29, -0.28, -0.24, -0.24, -0.21, -0.21, -0.23, -0.24, -0.21, -0.24, -0.26, -0.26, -0.26, -0.27, -0.27, -0.27, -0.28, -0.29, -0.28, -0.28, -0.28, -0.27, -0.26, -0.26, -0.25, -0.28, -0.28, -0.29]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1089879283630260224", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2019-01-28T13:34:04+00:00", "symbol": "CVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The implication for Canadian heavy oil producers (MEG, ATH, CVE, BTE) would be profound with cash flow increasing for some by 35% with every $5/bbl change in WCS differentials", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers MEG/ATH/CVE/BTE on potential WCS differential tightening/premium driven by IMO2020, OPEC heavy cuts, and VZ supply risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Could we be heading into a \"perfect storm\" for WCS differentials? IMO2020 increasing marine gasoil demand by 2MM Bbl/d while US shale lightens global crude stream, gasoline inv. swell,OPEC cuts are predominately heavy, and now VZ potential flow restrictions to US GOM? #OOTT\n\n---\n\nQuestion of the day: could WCS differentials trade at a premium to WTI in 2019? 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{"unit_id": "thread:1089879283630260224", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2019-01-28T13:34:04+00:00", "symbol": "Baytex Energy", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The implication for Canadian heavy oil producers (MEG, ATH, CVE, BTE) would be profound with cash flow increasing for some by 35% with every $5/bbl change in WCS differentials", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers MEG/ATH/CVE/BTE on potential WCS differential tightening/premium driven by IMO2020, OPEC heavy cuts, and VZ supply risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Baytex Energy on TSX, ticker BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Could we be heading into a \"perfect storm\" for WCS differentials? IMO2020 increasing marine gasoil demand by 2MM Bbl/d while US shale lightens global crude stream, gasoline inv. swell,OPEC cuts are predominately heavy, and now VZ potential flow restrictions to US GOM? #OOTT\n\n---\n\nQuestion of the day: could WCS differentials trade at a premium to WTI in 2019? 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{"unit_id": "orig:1594717842770894849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-11-21T15:42:16+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many natural gas companies able to privatize with just 4-5 years of free cashflow???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on natural gas companies: 27-year LNG deal signals long-term hydrocarbon demand the market undervalues, with names trading at 4-5x FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China signs a 27 YEAR LONG LNG contract with Qatar worth $60BN. What do they know about long-term hydrocarbon demand that the stock market does not, with many natural gas companies able to privatize with just 4-5 years of free cashflow???\nhttps://t.co/jEcTA7sEWS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.056447976039710634, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.056447976039710634, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.060097424136565825, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.060097424136565825, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00364944809685519, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00364944809685519, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04864614141374535, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04864614141374535, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0351891612009525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0351891612009525, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013456980212792846, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013456980212792846, "ret_p1w": 0.026158773330662966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026158773330662966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022813493185738665, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022813493185738665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003345280144924301, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003345280144924301, "ret_p1m": -0.2377237304971641, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2377237304971641, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2065457454813867, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2065457454813867, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0311779850157774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0311779850157774, "ret_p3m": -0.6209270361711715, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6209270361711715, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6603725865417248, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6603725865417248, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039445550370553306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039445550370553306, "ret_p6m": -0.6851766936537376, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6851766936537376, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7336240106784384, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7336240106784384, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04844731702470084, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04844731702470084, "ret_p1y": -0.6998623365273616, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6998623365273616, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.825418620241741, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.825418620241741, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12555628371437932, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12555628371437932, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.6998623365273616, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.825418620241741, "alpha_c_stated": -0.825418620241741, "price_path": [0.4621, 0.4823, 0.4681, 0.4658, 0.441, 0.4525, 0.4566, 0.4094, 0.4094, 0.2758, 0.2396, 0.2634, 0.2799, 0.3313, 0.3369, 0.4433, 0.3153, 0.2368, 0.2552, 0.224, 0.2377, 0.1542, 0.1046, 0.1111, 0.0743, 0.1056, 0.0877, 0.073, 0.0307, 0.078, 0.0987, 0.0941, 0.0528, 0.0303, 0.0381, 0.0147, 0.0574, 0.0262, -0.0436, -0.0803, -0.1248, -0.1358, -0.1822, -0.1473, -0.0821, -0.0899, -0.1322, -0.1423, -0.0647, -0.1354, -0.0863, -0.1235, -0.0445, -0.0041, -0.073, -0.1207, -0.0877, -0.1207, -0.1042, -0.0927, -0.078, -0.0546, -0.0564, 0.0, 0.0486, 0.0789, 0.0789, 0.0418, 0.0262, 0.0161, -0.0262, -0.0422, -0.1244, -0.2152, -0.2478, -0.1859, -0.1625, -0.1161, -0.0863, -0.0239, -0.1065, -0.0399, -0.0776, -0.1739, -0.2377, -0.2267, -0.2744, -0.2698, -0.2698, -0.2602, -0.3093, -0.3327, -0.3529, -0.3529, -0.4135, -0.3928, -0.4511, -0.4543, -0.4296, -0.4754, -0.4621, -0.4603, -0.4938, -0.4938, -0.4699, -0.5126, -0.5177, -0.5291, -0.4947, -0.5186, -0.5498, -0.5585, -0.5498, -0.5815, -0.5723, -0.6099, -0.6154, -0.6241, -0.6099, -0.5929, -0.6223, -0.6168, -0.5966, -0.6177, -0.5939, -0.6136, -0.6209, -0.6439, -0.6439, -0.6691, -0.6521, -0.6296, -0.6104, -0.5888, -0.5815, -0.5732, -0.5792, -0.5466, -0.603, -0.5975, -0.6062, -0.6218, -0.631, -0.603, -0.6067, -0.6283, -0.6173, -0.642, -0.6576, -0.6453, -0.6613, -0.6705, -0.6636, -0.6755, -0.6866, -0.6833, -0.6934, -0.6815, -0.6921, -0.6966, -0.6884, -0.7058, -0.7058, -0.6856, -0.676, -0.6948, -0.7058, -0.693, -0.6728, -0.6627, -0.6792, -0.6778, -0.6788, -0.67, -0.6788, -0.6898, -0.6843, -0.6783, -0.6898, -0.7022, -0.7104, -0.7196, -0.7168, -0.7003, -0.6957, -0.7063, -0.7067, -0.6953, -0.6815, -0.6852]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1539584050905628672", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-22T12:20:16+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks? They are discounting $55-$65/bbl and trade at 30%+ free cashflow yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: oversold on recession fears, pricing in $55-65/bbl oil while inventories continue to draw to historically low levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothing like waking up to oil down $5/bbl on literally nothing...just recession f.e.a.r. Even in a recession, @EnergyAspects forecasts continued inventory draws to historically low levels. Energy stocks? They are discounting $55-$65/bbl and trade at 30%+ free cashflow yields. https://t.co/ZQuOcLQBXC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04170090101856583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04170090101856583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03988462891534228, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03988462891534228, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018162721032235485, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018162721032235485, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03706721124573764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03706721124573764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04686972853574567, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04686972853574567, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009802517290008028, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009802517290008028, "ret_p1w": -0.004496752365231393, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004496752365231393, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020389219038748352, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020389219038748352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01589246667351696, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01589246667351696, "ret_p1m": -0.022349486268815832, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022349486268815832, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08752179968107954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08752179968107954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0651723134122637, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0651723134122637, "ret_p3m": 0.06959011173500929, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06959011173500929, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027505622146410058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027505622146410058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04208448958859923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04208448958859923, "ret_p6m": 0.17663174674044613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17663174674044613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13165053644245095, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13165053644245095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04498121029799518, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04498121029799518, "ret_p1y": 0.14377788953605375, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14377788953605375, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.018921528581003155, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.018921528581003155, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1626994181170569, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1626994181170569, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022349486268815832, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08752179968107954, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08752179968107954, "price_path": [0.0613, 0.035, 0.0323, 0.0443, 0.0301, 0.0385, 0.0399, 0.0235, 0.0296, 0.0431, 0.0718, 0.0396, 0.0568, 0.0726, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0919, 0.083, 0.0872, 0.0527, 0.0269, -0.007, -0.0057, 0.0089, 0.0394, 0.0128, 0.0289, 0.0578, 0.1017, 0.0851, 0.1175, 0.025, 0.0343, 0.0482, 0.0527, 0.0886, 0.1173, 0.1303, 0.1013, 0.0973, 0.102, 0.1311, 0.1354, 0.1588, 0.1717, 0.1931, 0.1931, 0.1752, 0.1943, 0.1905, 0.2063, 0.2049, 0.2409, 0.2436, 0.2161, 0.1955, 0.1331, 0.1353, 0.1102, 0.0477, -0.0096, -0.0096, 0.0417, 0.0, -0.0371, -0.0244, 0.0042, 0.0313, -0.0045, -0.0255, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0501, -0.0664, -0.0327, -0.0331, -0.0424, -0.0611, -0.0626, -0.0803, -0.0653, -0.0439, -0.0144, -0.0049, -0.0223, -0.0304, 0.0052, -0.004, 0.0185, 0.0243, 0.0687, 0.0466, 0.0442, 0.0142, -0.0234, -0.0041, 0.0011, 0.0187, 0.026, 0.0613, 0.0694, 0.0485, 0.0461, 0.0548, 0.0831, 0.0829, 0.0808, 0.1198, 0.1336, 0.1423, 0.1289, 0.146, 0.1071, 0.097, 0.07, 0.0897, 0.0897, 0.0796, 0.067, 0.0717, 0.0984, 0.1186, 0.0904, 0.1212, 0.0923, 0.069, 0.0696, 0.0622, 0.0466, 0.0429, -0.029, -0.0529, -0.0423, 0.0002, 0.0002, -0.0078, 0.0482, 0.0933, 0.1159, 0.1357, 0.1269, 0.1038, 0.0949, 0.1038, 0.1488, 0.106, 0.1197, 0.1295, 0.1629, 0.164, 0.1976, 0.2032, 0.2045, 0.2209, 0.2253, 0.2295, 0.2399, 0.2519, 0.2217, 0.2443, 0.2594, 0.2811, 0.2823, 0.2196, 0.2468, 0.283, 0.2826, 0.2961, 0.2696, 0.2724, 0.2623, 0.2452, 0.2842, 0.2703, 0.2703, 0.2656, 0.2309, 0.2495, 0.2557, 0.2516, 0.2441, 0.2072, 0.1754, 0.1726, 0.1674, 0.139, 0.1689, 0.1911, 0.1838, 0.1766]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1465311922044162056", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-11-29T13:29:21+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my views of the generation opportunity (still) in energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WTI above $70 and sees generational opportunity in energy stocks; steering fund through volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every day above $70WTI is a great day!!! Hear why today at 2pm ET, where I'll go through my views of the generation opportunity (still) in energy stocks and how I'm steering the Ninepoint Energy Fund through recent volatility. https://t.co/T5zz81KgBx https://t.co/9PgReXG3Tn\n\n---\n\nThank you to the more than 850 people who tuned in live to listen to the Ninepoint Energy Fund webinar update \"Every day above $70WTI is a good day.\" In case you missed it, here is a replay: https://t.co/T5zz81KgBx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005724487623789631, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005724487623789631, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006393303567424513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006393303567424513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012117791191214144, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012117791191214144, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023434578551852603, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023434578551852603, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003977075754565851, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003977075754565851, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.019457502797286752, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019457502797286752, "ret_p1w": 0.0010733364108681531, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0010733364108681531, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013578656548838497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013578656548838497, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012505320137970344, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012505320137970344, "ret_p1m": 0.015847510589430902, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015847510589430902, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014168513935156168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014168513935156168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03001602452458707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03001602452458707, "ret_p3m": 0.21608164198067858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21608164198067858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2909747203964552, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2909747203964552, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07489307841577664, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07489307841577664, "ret_p6m": 0.5412739885709386, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5412739885709386, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6878479035684975, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6878479035684975, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1465739149975589, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1465739149975589, "ret_p1y": 0.7234750725708547, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7234750725708547, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8594328186393331, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8594328186393331, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.13595774606847832, "bench_c_p1y": -0.13595774606847832, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015847510589430902, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014168513935156168, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014168513935156168, "price_path": [-0.1571, -0.1357, -0.1407, -0.1407, -0.1458, -0.1568, -0.155, -0.1553, -0.1311, -0.1437, -0.1117, -0.1218, -0.1283, -0.1549, -0.153, -0.1268, -0.0962, -0.0894, -0.0571, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0682, -0.0369, -0.0211, -0.0154, -0.0258, -0.0182, 0.012, 0.0082, 0.0091, 0.0082, 0.0206, 0.0256, 0.0263, 0.0379, 0.0463, 0.027, 0.0367, 0.0519, 0.058, 0.0275, 0.0349, 0.0281, 0.0458, 0.036, 0.0274, 0.0288, 0.0422, 0.0517, 0.056, 0.0281, 0.032, 0.0295, 0.0381, 0.0397, 0.0238, 0.0177, -0.022, -0.0047, 0.0259, 0.036, 0.036, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0234, -0.0338, -0.0057, -0.0136, 0.0011, 0.0245, 0.0243, 0.0165, 0.024, -0.0045, -0.0086, -0.0134, -0.0072, -0.0274, -0.0394, -0.0121, -0.0057, -0.0052, -0.0052, 0.0166, 0.0158, 0.0093, 0.0032, 0.0057, 0.0369, 0.0727, 0.0726, 0.0965, 0.1115, 0.1081, 0.1458, 0.1479, 0.1421, 0.169, 0.169, 0.1737, 0.1652, 0.1545, 0.1316, 0.1392, 0.1835, 0.1815, 0.1943, 0.1893, 0.1945, 0.2371, 0.2411, 0.2293, 0.2485, 0.2645, 0.2373, 0.2476, 0.2398, 0.2759, 0.2458, 0.2328, 0.2427, 0.2407, 0.2331, 0.2331, 0.2132, 0.2257, 0.2161, 0.2482, 0.279, 0.2918, 0.3214, 0.325, 0.3632, 0.3833, 0.4051, 0.3621, 0.4038, 0.3926, 0.3509, 0.3014, 0.2955, 0.34, 0.3388, 0.3927, 0.3825, 0.4063, 0.4097, 0.4407, 0.405, 0.4013, 0.4176, 0.3984, 0.4097, 0.4116, 0.3894, 0.3977, 0.416, 0.4549, 0.4112, 0.4346, 0.456, 0.4608, 0.4608, 0.4822, 0.4701, 0.4758, 0.4289, 0.394, 0.3479, 0.3497, 0.3695, 0.411, 0.3748, 0.3968, 0.4359, 0.4955, 0.473, 0.5169, 0.3914, 0.4041, 0.4229, 0.4289, 0.4778, 0.5168, 0.5343, 0.495, 0.4895, 0.4959, 0.5354, 0.5413]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1618974259275268096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-27T14:08:37+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the single best opportunity on the planet is in buying long-dated reserves for which, due to energy ignorance, you can get decades worth of free cashflow for free", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotate out of Permian into Canadian oilsands; oilsands long-dated reserves offer decades of free cash flow at a discount due to energy ignorance.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands sector: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the year I believe we see energy investors sell the Permian to buy the Canadian oilsands. To me, the single best opportunity on the planet is in buying long-dated reserves for which, due to energy ignorance, you can get decades worth of free cashflow for free.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03135325833681102, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03135325833681102, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029060736290266398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05196048273535614, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022925220465446206, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060722439854512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00584543932610071, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00584543932610071, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0067013223560510315, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01706367174184109, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012546761682151741, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0229091110679418, "ret_p1w": -0.03918319217156178, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03918319217156178, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05562469103448179, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018582740446123923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016441498862920012, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0577659326176857, "ret_p1m": -0.007751298432274327, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007751298432274327, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011845429558474303, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0615241607035539, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01959672799074863, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06927545913582822, "ret_p3m": 0.005547170376140424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005547170376140424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0049969336966823414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08039351948754374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0005502366794580826, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07484634911140331, "ret_p6m": 0.05684080884565642, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05684080884565642, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07120865156221703, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09973941952390983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12804946040787346, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0428986106782534, "ret_p1y": 0.17769826561367164, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17769826561367164, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.010795855399319487, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2605243518612824, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18849412101299112, "bench_c_p1y": -0.08282608624761079, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007751298432274327, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011845429558474303, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0615241607035539, "price_path": [0.0183, 0.0078, 0.0348, 0.0371, 0.0384, 0.0281, -0.0207, 0.0066, 0.0222, 0.0023, 0.0171, -0.0053, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0389, -0.0113, -0.0244, -0.0195, -0.0108, -0.0235, 0.0044, -0.0098, -0.024, -0.0209, -0.0507, -0.0855, -0.0936, -0.1197, -0.1256, -0.1276, -0.1117, -0.1164, -0.1192, -0.148, -0.1532, -0.1375, -0.1036, -0.1319, -0.081, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0991, -0.0867, -0.076, -0.076, -0.1277, -0.1461, -0.1362, -0.1194, -0.106, -0.1102, -0.1107, -0.079, -0.0779, -0.0771, -0.0674, -0.0714, -0.0623, -0.056, -0.0521, -0.0622, -0.0692, -0.0314, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0184, -0.0181, -0.0469, -0.0392, -0.039, -0.002, 0.0064, -0.0043, 0.0243, 0.022, 0.019, 0.0005, -0.0223, -0.0585, -0.0585, -0.0645, -0.0713, -0.0533, -0.025, -0.0078, -0.0112, -0.0005, 0.0315, 0.0479, 0.0555, 0.0231, 0.0238, 0.0253, 0.0062, -0.0435, -0.0503, -0.1003, -0.0796, -0.1085, -0.0899, -0.0568, -0.0694, -0.0852, -0.0859, -0.0436, -0.0255, -0.0077, -0.0036, -0.0038, 0.0598, 0.0532, 0.0413, 0.0267, 0.0267, 0.0307, 0.033, 0.0332, 0.0345, 0.0459, 0.0479, 0.0639, 0.0554, 0.0373, 0.0452, 0.0521, 0.026, 0.0055, 0.0028, 0.0312, 0.0168, -0.044, -0.0655, -0.0757, -0.0432, -0.0435, -0.0393, -0.0553, -0.0822, -0.0873, -0.0688, -0.0853, -0.0684, -0.056, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.034, -0.0309, -0.0544, -0.0502, -0.0403, -0.0643, -0.0822, -0.0646, -0.0421, -0.0472, -0.043, -0.0352, -0.0409, -0.0411, -0.0795, -0.0635, -0.0813, -0.0711, -0.0807, -0.0779, -0.1028, -0.0895, -0.1119, -0.1198, -0.0998, -0.1041, -0.0866, -0.071, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0457, -0.0485, -0.0588, -0.0337, -0.0318, 0.0112, 0.014, 0.0358, 0.0137, -0.0116, 0.0142, 0.0089, 0.0128, 0.0313, 0.0568]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1509591814436700161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-03-31T18:01:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Awash in cash, long on inventory...Buybacks and dividends. Q1 results should mark the beginning of the 'golden era of FCF'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: debt-free by mid-2023, excess cash to fuel buybacks and dividends entering a golden FCF era.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At the current oil price the CDN energy sector is debt free by mid-2023. Think about that! Awash in cash, long on inventory, it will literally have a cash problem...too much of it. What do do? Buybacks and dividends. Q1 results should mark the beginning of the \"golden era of FCF\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00692518773942119, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00692518773942119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008706663986489893, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008706663986489893, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015631851725911083, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015631851725911083, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0152354745251857, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0152354745251857, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01240133023432266, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01240133023432266, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028341442908630388, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028341442908630388, "ret_p1w": 0.01731312309470079, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01731312309470079, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023667633058014004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023667633058014004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006354509963313215, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006354509963313215, "ret_p1m": 0.08171769193822853, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08171769193822853, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16948676337644497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16948676337644497, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08776907143821644, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08776907143821644, "ret_p3m": 0.09145043808427378, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09145043808427378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24499257932491492, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24499257932491492, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.15354214124064114, "bench_c_p3m": -0.15354214124064114, "ret_p6m": -0.04989139372113027, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04989139372113027, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1285307355402706, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1285307355402706, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.17842212926140089, "bench_c_p6m": -0.17842212926140089, "ret_p1y": 0.017113483721665324, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.017113483721665324, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13054245056146307, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13054245056146307, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.11342896683979775, "bench_c_p1y": -0.11342896683979775, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09145043808427378, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24499257932491492, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24499257932491492, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2435, -0.2394, -0.2167, -0.2098, -0.2098, -0.1829, -0.1705, -0.176, -0.1526, -0.1374, -0.1436, -0.1471, -0.154, -0.1843, -0.196, -0.1678, -0.1657, -0.1533, -0.1485, -0.1416, -0.1113, -0.1037, -0.1106, -0.1044, -0.112, -0.1478, -0.1319, -0.1257, -0.0947, -0.1064, -0.1085, -0.1009, -0.1002, -0.1209, -0.1209, -0.1195, -0.1175, -0.1126, -0.092, -0.0685, -0.0582, -0.0499, -0.0623, -0.0293, -0.001, 0.0003, -0.0355, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0603, -0.0775, -0.0747, -0.0403, -0.0479, -0.0072, -0.0155, 0.0024, 0.0003, 0.0291, 0.0048, 0.0007, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0305, 0.0132, -0.0007, 0.0173, 0.0388, 0.0125, 0.0367, 0.054, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0956, 0.0796, 0.0949, 0.0561, 0.036, 0.0021, 0.0111, 0.0443, 0.0976, 0.0817, 0.0776, 0.1191, 0.1461, 0.1357, 0.1378, 0.0561, 0.0526, 0.0713, 0.0575, 0.099, 0.1267, 0.142, 0.124, 0.1295, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1634, 0.1877, 0.1925, 0.2133, 0.2417, 0.2091, 0.2306, 0.2306, 0.2341, 0.2445, 0.2729, 0.2819, 0.2673, 0.2479, 0.2091, 0.187, 0.1711, 0.1115, 0.0485, 0.0734, 0.099, 0.0409, -0.0312, 0.0007, 0.0475, 0.0915, 0.0524, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.06, -0.0111, -0.0502, -0.0069, -0.0181, -0.0314, -0.0635, -0.067, -0.0823, -0.0691, -0.0363, -0.0125, 0.0014, -0.0202, -0.0342, 0.0007, -0.0076, 0.0231, 0.044, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0538, 0.0091, -0.0335, -0.0153, -0.0097, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0468, 0.0559, 0.0391, 0.0259, 0.0412, 0.0698, 0.0649, 0.0726, 0.1061, 0.1173, 0.1249, 0.1173, 0.1347, 0.0915, 0.0817, 0.0573, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.058, 0.0252, 0.0342, 0.0614, 0.0838, 0.0747, 0.1082, 0.0817, 0.0698, 0.0768, 0.0719, 0.0489, 0.0307, -0.0499]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1156544432931594242", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-31T12:37:35+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valuations are the lowest in history! ... walls of free cash flow that are being generated by industry ... Lowest valuations in history", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish Canadian energy sector: Q2 FCF yields of 19-27% of market cap with historically low valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The free cash flow generating capabilities of CDN energy companies are finally being revealed with Q2 reporting. A major Fund holding just reported FCF in the first 6 months equal to 19% of their market cap with 2 more Q's to go. Valuations are the lowest in history!  #OOTT https://t.co/mlwWzUbaof\n\n---\n\nThis morning another top Fund holding confirms the walls of free cash flow that are being generated by industry...$300MM of FCF on a $1.1BN market cap oil co = 27% FCF yield (with 4 years of PDP reserves = ability to privatize from FCF). Lowest valuations in history #OOTT https://t.co/ldR8fkA7VP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011682260574463088, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011682260574463088, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02274398354002627, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02274398354002627, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011061722965563181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011061722965563181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022196252890338553, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022196252890338553, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013488536570355536, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013488536570355536, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008707716319983017, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008707716319983017, "ret_p1w": -0.07126190204060101, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07126190204060101, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03945594890197268, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03945594890197268, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03180595313862833, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03180595313862833, "ret_p1m": -0.05257003191461307, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05257003191461307, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03626359393086598, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03626359393086598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01630643798374709, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01630643798374709, "ret_p3m": -0.046127746371141476, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046127746371141476, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07057300817900447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07057300817900447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024445261807862995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024445261807862995, "ret_p6m": 0.05532154632014841, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05532154632014841, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07062540351949287, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07062540351949287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12594694983964128, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12594694983964128, "ret_p1y": -0.39824865264064846, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39824865264064846, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.501508024659956, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.501508024659956, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10325937201930757, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10325937201930757, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05257003191461307, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03626359393086598, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03626359393086598, "price_path": [0.1463, 0.1451, 0.13, 0.1497, 0.1497, 0.1416, 0.115, 0.1381, 0.1381, 0.1463, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.1347, 0.1057, 0.0616, 0.0651, 0.0825, 0.0709, 0.0848, 0.0698, 0.0582, 0.0466, 0.0501, 0.0234, 0.0304, 0.035, 0.0304, 0.0373, 0.0246, 0.035, 0.0327, 0.0477, 0.057, 0.0479, 0.0666, 0.0584, 0.0572, 0.0502, 0.0666, 0.0397, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.028, 0.0327, 0.0397, 0.0374, 0.0292, 0.0444, 0.0654, 0.0666, 0.0654, 0.0607, 0.0432, 0.0304, 0.0129, 0.021, 0.0269, 0.0315, 0.021, -0.0093, -0.0175, -0.035, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.0222, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0666, -0.0713, -0.0561, -0.0526, -0.0654, -0.0561, -0.0876, -0.0946, -0.0864, -0.0631, -0.0759, -0.0666, -0.0724, -0.1016, -0.1005, -0.1051, -0.0771, -0.0526, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0339, -0.0374, -0.0164, 0.007, 0.007, 0.0117, 0.0199, 0.1121, 0.0876, 0.0724, 0.0678, 0.0736, 0.0724, 0.0538, 0.048, 0.0421, 0.0374, 0.028, -0.0061, -0.0285, -0.025, -0.0273, -0.0285, -0.0649, -0.0685, -0.0591, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.045, -0.0497, -0.0473, -0.0567, -0.0473, -0.045, -0.0402, -0.0485, -0.0379, -0.0461, -0.0414, -0.0532, -0.072, -0.0426, -0.012, -0.0003, -0.0167, 0.0256, 0.028, 0.0256, 0.0162, 0.0115, 0.0068, 0.0186, 0.0033, -0.0097, -0.0026, 0.0068, 0.0009, 0.0103, -0.0014, 0.0068, 0.0068, -0.0085, -0.0132, -0.0297, -0.0061, -0.0132, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0386, 0.0303, 0.0538, 0.0527, 0.0597, 0.0785, 0.0762, 0.0938, 0.088, 0.1044, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1016, 0.1099, 0.1336, 0.1324, 0.1111, 0.1205, 0.1134, 0.1039, 0.1075, 0.0968, 0.0956, 0.0862, 0.085, 0.0696, 0.0613, 0.0553]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1443598893229432832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-30T15:29:31+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas energy sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Massively significant to multiples... what happens as people realize demand growth likely for 10+ years at which point only slow decline IMO?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy/oil & gas sector: multiple compression from stranded-asset fears will reverse as market recognizes 10+ years of demand growth ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy affordability/reliability has been widely taken for granted...until now. Perhaps the world is at an inflection point,about to realize the true challenges of decarbonization and the role that oil and gas will play for decades to come IMO.  Massively significant to multiples https://t.co/gjhZ6SKjjx\n\n---\n\nWhat has been the biggest factor in energy share price implosions? Not the oil price: trading multiple compression. Energy ignorance has led to \"stranded asset risk\" discount...what happens as people realize demand growth likely for 10+ years at which point only slow decline IMO?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015358109291790045, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015358109291790045, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0029845446695411226, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0029845446695411226, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012373564622248923, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012373564622248923, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033595783290803816, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033595783290803816, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021711593470873813, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021711593470873813, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011884189819930002, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011884189819930002, "ret_p1w": 0.053561265050674045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053561265050674045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03137743396690884, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03137743396690884, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022183831083765204, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022183831083765204, "ret_p1m": 0.10328311049171646, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10328311049171646, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03311944264837652, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03311944264837652, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07016366784333994, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07016366784333994, "ret_p3m": 0.09014932426266564, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09014932426266564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024977213808901055, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.024977213808901055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1151265380715667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1151265380715667, "ret_p6m": 0.5460302515864233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5460302515864233, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48415834341731356, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.48415834341731356, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0618719081691097, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0618719081691097, "ret_p1y": 0.5581370559744743, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5581370559744743, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6390208990940303, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6390208990940303, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.08088384311955599, "bench_c_p1y": -0.08088384311955599, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5581370559744743, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6390208990940303, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6390208990940303, "price_path": [0.0373, 0.0035, -0.0128, -0.0185, 0.0024, 0.0009, -0.0067, -0.0363, -0.0497, -0.0767, -0.1093, -0.0974, -0.0659, -0.0763, -0.0797, -0.057, -0.0657, -0.0571, -0.048, -0.0632, -0.0702, -0.0543, -0.0799, -0.0695, -0.0609, -0.0742, -0.0579, -0.0505, -0.0515, -0.0626, -0.0799, -0.0894, -0.1084, -0.1315, -0.1296, -0.097, -0.082, -0.075, -0.089, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.082, -0.0955, -0.0725, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0833, -0.0951, -0.0932, -0.0936, -0.0676, -0.081, -0.0467, -0.0575, -0.0645, -0.0931, -0.091, -0.063, -0.0301, -0.0228, 0.0119, 0.0154, 0.0154, 0.0, 0.0336, 0.0505, 0.0566, 0.0455, 0.0536, 0.086, 0.082, 0.0829, 0.082, 0.0952, 0.1006, 0.1014, 0.1138, 0.1229, 0.1021, 0.1125, 0.1288, 0.1353, 0.1027, 0.1106, 0.1033, 0.1223, 0.1117, 0.1025, 0.1041, 0.1184, 0.1286, 0.1332, 0.1033, 0.1075, 0.1048, 0.114, 0.1158, 0.0987, 0.0921, 0.0495, 0.0682, 0.101, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.067, 0.0731, 0.048, 0.0369, 0.067, 0.0586, 0.0743, 0.0994, 0.0993, 0.0908, 0.0989, 0.0683, 0.0639, 0.0587, 0.0655, 0.0438, 0.0308, 0.0602, 0.067, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0909, 0.0901, 0.0831, 0.0765, 0.0793, 0.1127, 0.1512, 0.151, 0.1767, 0.1928, 0.1891, 0.2296, 0.2319, 0.2257, 0.2545, 0.2545, 0.2595, 0.2504, 0.2389, 0.2144, 0.2226, 0.27, 0.2679, 0.2817, 0.2762, 0.2819, 0.3276, 0.3319, 0.3192, 0.3398, 0.3569, 0.3278, 0.3389, 0.3305, 0.3692, 0.3369, 0.3229, 0.3336, 0.3315, 0.3233, 0.3233, 0.3019, 0.3153, 0.305, 0.3394, 0.3725, 0.3863, 0.418, 0.4219, 0.4629, 0.4845, 0.5079, 0.4618, 0.5065, 0.4944, 0.4497, 0.3966, 0.3902, 0.438, 0.4367, 0.4946, 0.4836, 0.5091, 0.5129, 0.546]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1418291166991241221", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-07-22T19:25:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year bull case for oil and energy equities on persistent demand, end of US shale hypergrowth, exhausted OPEC spare capacity, and underinvestment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance. Hear why in this 45 minute webcast recorded earlier today: https://t.co/HR4OoDaUxX https://t.co/YQi3xphizm\n\n---\n\nThe makings of a multi-year oil bull market: persistent oil demand growth for at least another decade, the end of US shale hyper growth, the exhaustion of OPEC spare capacity, and flat/declining global offshore production due to 7+ years of insufficient investment. https://t.co/7QBWnBPcg5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "ret_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "ret_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "ret_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "ret_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "ret_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "price_path": [-0.0272, -0.0154, 0.0185, 0.0299, 0.0039, 0.0316, 0.0322, 0.0655, 0.071, 0.0901, 0.0905, 0.0624, 0.0675, 0.0545, 0.0872, 0.1125, 0.0866, 0.0596, 0.058, 0.0602, 0.0708, 0.049, 0.0584, 0.0592, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.1021, 0.1226, 0.1257, 0.1332, 0.1283, 0.1381, 0.1309, 0.1295, 0.1257, 0.1208, 0.1421, 0.136, 0.0974, 0.0649, 0.1103, 0.1177, 0.1207, 0.1304, 0.1363, 0.0979, 0.0926, 0.1062, 0.1255, 0.123, 0.123, 0.0864, 0.0688, 0.0626, 0.0852, 0.0836, 0.0754, 0.0433, 0.0287, -0.0004, -0.0357, -0.0228, 0.0113, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0209, 0.0115, 0.0207, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0066, 0.0238, -0.0039, 0.0074, 0.0166, 0.0023, 0.0199, 0.0279, 0.0269, 0.0148, -0.0039, -0.0142, -0.0347, -0.0598, -0.0577, -0.0224, -0.0062, 0.0014, -0.0138, 0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0062, -0.0207, 0.0041, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0076, -0.0203, -0.0183, -0.0187, 0.0094, -0.0051, 0.032, 0.0203, 0.0127, -0.0182, -0.0159, 0.0144, 0.05, 0.0579, 0.0955, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0826, 0.119, 0.1373, 0.1439, 0.1319, 0.1406, 0.1757, 0.1713, 0.1724, 0.1713, 0.1857, 0.1915, 0.1923, 0.2058, 0.2156, 0.1932, 0.2044, 0.2221, 0.2291, 0.1938, 0.2023, 0.1944, 0.215, 0.2036, 0.1936, 0.1953, 0.2108, 0.2219, 0.2268, 0.1944, 0.199, 0.1961, 0.2061, 0.2079, 0.1894, 0.1824, 0.1362, 0.1564, 0.1919, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.1551, 0.1618, 0.1346, 0.1225, 0.1551, 0.146, 0.163, 0.1903, 0.1901, 0.1809, 0.1896, 0.1566, 0.1518, 0.1462, 0.1535, 0.13, 0.116, 0.1478, 0.1551, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1802, 0.1726, 0.1655, 0.1684, 0.2046, 0.2463, 0.2461, 0.2739, 0.2914, 0.2874, 0.3311, 0.3337, 0.3269, 0.3581]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1325802475564240897", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-09T14:08:37+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Multibagger potential from here in 2021", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector on vaccine-driven return of flying/driving; sees multibagger re-rating in 2021 from stocks down 60-80% YTD.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy has by far been the most negatively affected sector from COVID19. With the return of flying and driving now in sight I'm hopeful for an imminent re-rating in energy stocks...many down 60-80% YTD. Multibagger potential from here in 2021.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Breaking News: Pfizer said early data showed its vaccine was more than 90 percent effective in preventing Covid-19, pushing the company to a lead in the vaccine race. https://t.co/HThqNKKPps", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12492451368329227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12492451368329227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11251472817763053, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11251472817763053, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012409785505661741, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03236540474279059, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03236540474279059, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033831622404478456, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033831622404478456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001466217661687863, "ret_p1w": 0.09225655942769806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09225655942769806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06966505244081023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06966505244081023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022591506986887833, "ret_p1m": 0.21808808185954787, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21808808185954787, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1740615330226425, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1740615330226425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04402654883690538, "ret_p3m": 0.2935387835988308, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2935387835988308, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19968683267789267, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19968683267789267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09385195092093812, "ret_p6m": 0.573053160352166, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.573053160352166, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.391987210548417, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.391987210548417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18106594980374902, "ret_p1y": 0.8193890305470508, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8193890305470508, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5210630869532085, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5210630869532085, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29832594359384235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21808808185954787, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1740615330226425, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1740615330226425, "price_path": [0.1481, 0.1258, 0.1365, 0.1299, 0.1156, 0.1028, 0.079, 0.0722, 0.1017, 0.0862, 0.0633, 0.0654, 0.0844, 0.0609, 0.0537, 0.0487, 0.041, 0.0377, 0.0377, -0.0001, 0.0067, -0.0302, -0.0293, -0.0218, -0.029, 0.01, 0.0115, 0.0002, -0.033, -0.043, -0.0862, -0.0865, -0.0871, -0.0656, -0.0913, -0.0941, -0.1219, -0.1134, -0.0868, -0.1004, -0.0877, -0.0535, -0.0687, -0.0662, -0.0808, -0.0768, -0.0656, -0.0868, -0.1062, -0.0956, -0.1128, -0.0762, -0.0808, -0.1137, -0.1252, -0.1618, -0.1361, -0.1313, -0.1016, -0.1068, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1249, 0.0, 0.0324, 0.0218, -0.0112, 0.0248, 0.0923, 0.1034, 0.0714, 0.0889, 0.0832, 0.1597, 0.2193, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.177, 0.1119, 0.1171, 0.1534, 0.1655, 0.229, 0.2002, 0.2181, 0.2208, 0.2583, 0.2438, 0.2002, 0.2238, 0.2178, 0.212, 0.1918, 0.1688, 0.1492, 0.1746, 0.1685, 0.1685, 0.1611, 0.1535, 0.1715, 0.1617, 0.1617, 0.1636, 0.2157, 0.2528, 0.2712, 0.2696, 0.2896, 0.3346, 0.3242, 0.3634, 0.3104, 0.3104, 0.3368, 0.3417, 0.2963, 0.2896, 0.2764, 0.2491, 0.2322, 0.2466, 0.2053, 0.2138, 0.227, 0.2794, 0.2935, 0.3046, 0.3591, 0.3447, 0.3705, 0.3493, 0.3693, 0.3693, 0.4036, 0.4244, 0.3922, 0.4155, 0.4646, 0.4888, 0.5415, 0.5118, 0.4759, 0.5142, 0.506, 0.528, 0.5645, 0.6231, 0.6261, 0.5976, 0.6381, 0.6387, 0.6421, 0.6234, 0.5771, 0.5893, 0.5179, 0.5182, 0.5037, 0.4817, 0.5188, 0.5244, 0.5622, 0.5436, 0.5303, 0.5198, 0.5585, 0.5585, 0.5213, 0.5173, 0.5226, 0.5027, 0.4928, 0.481, 0.4826, 0.5238, 0.5114, 0.4993, 0.4978, 0.4581, 0.4767, 0.4594, 0.4727, 0.4826, 0.5006, 0.5523, 0.5696, 0.53, 0.5721, 0.5731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1346173563720654848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-04T19:16:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the day is not far away when generalists come storming back to the energy sector given ongoing underperformance from chronic sector underweighting...only to find a lack of sufficient liquidity at current prices. That is when the fun begins!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: underweighted generalists will rush back in, finding insufficient liquidity and driving prices sharply higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Like an elephant through a key hole...the day is not far away when generalists come storming back to the energy sector given ongoing underperformance from chronic sector underweighting...only to find a lack of sufficient liquidity at current prices. That is when the fun begins! https://t.co/ObcozMzeFB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0015806961160134136, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0015806961160134136, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01538271000416147, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01538271000416147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013802013888148057, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013802013888148057, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04478423128395126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04478423128395126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03789686892986399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03789686892986399, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0068873623540872675, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0068873623540872675, "ret_p1w": 0.10827209380682734, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10827209380682734, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08142745190842482, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08142745190842482, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02684464189840252, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02684464189840252, "ret_p1m": 0.05453111401716937, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05453111401716937, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01993136717542532, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01993136717542532, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03459974684174405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03459974684174405, "ret_p3m": 0.33940489751257097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33940489751257097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24956482810738612, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24956482810738612, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08984006940518485, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08984006940518485, "ret_p6m": 0.43108893790698444, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43108893790698444, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2637451973515297, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2637451973515297, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16734374055545476, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16734374055545476, "ret_p1y": 0.5130043459520819, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5130043459520819, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22792539399881662, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22792539399881662, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28507895195326527, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28507895195326527, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05453111401716937, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01993136717542532, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01993136717542532, "price_path": [-0.216, -0.1866, -0.1996, -0.1975, -0.21, -0.2066, -0.197, -0.2152, -0.2318, -0.2227, -0.2375, -0.2061, -0.21, -0.2383, -0.2482, -0.2797, -0.2576, -0.2534, -0.2279, -0.2323, -0.2313, -0.2313, -0.2479, -0.1406, -0.1128, -0.1219, -0.1502, -0.1193, -0.0613, -0.0517, -0.0792, -0.0641, -0.0691, -0.0033, 0.0479, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0115, -0.0444, -0.04, -0.0088, 0.0016, 0.0562, 0.0315, 0.0469, 0.0492, 0.0814, 0.0689, 0.0315, 0.0518, 0.0466, 0.0417, 0.0242, 0.0045, -0.0124, 0.0095, 0.0042, 0.0042, -0.0021, -0.0087, 0.0068, -0.0016, -0.0016, 0.0, 0.0448, 0.0767, 0.0925, 0.0911, 0.1083, 0.147, 0.138, 0.1718, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.1488, 0.1531, 0.1141, 0.1083, 0.0969, 0.0735, 0.059, 0.0714, 0.0358, 0.0432, 0.0545, 0.0996, 0.1117, 0.1212, 0.1681, 0.1557, 0.1778, 0.1596, 0.1768, 0.1768, 0.2063, 0.2242, 0.1965, 0.2165, 0.2587, 0.2795, 0.3248, 0.2993, 0.2684, 0.3014, 0.2943, 0.3132, 0.3446, 0.3949, 0.3975, 0.373, 0.4078, 0.4083, 0.4112, 0.3952, 0.3554, 0.3659, 0.3045, 0.3048, 0.2923, 0.2734, 0.3053, 0.3101, 0.3426, 0.3266, 0.3152, 0.3061, 0.3394, 0.3394, 0.3075, 0.304, 0.3085, 0.2915, 0.283, 0.2728, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2989, 0.2886, 0.2872, 0.2531, 0.2691, 0.2542, 0.2657, 0.2742, 0.2896, 0.3341, 0.349, 0.3149, 0.3511, 0.3519, 0.3956, 0.4028, 0.4278, 0.4283, 0.3916, 0.3982, 0.3812, 0.4241, 0.4571, 0.4233, 0.3879, 0.3857, 0.3887, 0.4025, 0.374, 0.3863, 0.3873, 0.39, 0.39, 0.4435, 0.4704, 0.4744, 0.4842, 0.4778, 0.4906, 0.4813, 0.4794, 0.4744, 0.468, 0.4959, 0.488, 0.4374, 0.3948, 0.4542, 0.4639, 0.4679, 0.4806, 0.4884, 0.4381, 0.4311]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1197253371918454784", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-20T20:40:22+00:00", "symbol": "COP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Conoco highlights their Montney play: 230 sections w/ $30/bbl supply costs. Stock XYX in Canada, trading at 1.2x of PDP (with no bookings for offsetting 300 sections of similar quality) and 4x EV/CF yields sustainable 9.5%. Care factor? Zero.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish COP on Montney play with $30/bbl supply cost, cheap PDP valuation, and 9.5% sustainable yield; market is indifferent.", "resolved_tickers": ["COP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How inefficient is the energy market? Conoco highlights their Montney play: 230 sections w/ $30/bbl supply costs. Stock XYX in Canada, trading at 1.2x of PDP (with no bookings for offsetting 300 sections of similar quality) and 4x EV/CF yields sustainable 9.5%. Care factor? Zero. https://t.co/ruADOwdbS4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03689360194284963, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03689360194284963, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04062616245927897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026903986612947572, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037325605164293396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009989615329902057, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014319326207092198, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014319326207092198, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015928281587951898, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002104585765471567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016089553808597001, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016423911972563765, "ret_p1w": 0.01650933028841539, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01650933028841539, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0013532945514647121, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009228301044867271, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01515603573695068, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0072810292435481205, "ret_p1m": 0.0645214707421613, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0645214707421613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.031924790611021825, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025408783786956768, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03259668013113948, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039112686955204534, "ret_p3m": -0.005477000894510975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005477000894510975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09715225495558444, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03345484070272642, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167525406107346, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03893184159723739, "ret_p6m": -0.31578935821984433, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31578935821984433, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24269689090620483, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.033782018245919976, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0730924673136395, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3495713764657643, "ret_p1y": -0.48850631776323006, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.48850631776323006, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6370451865077815, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.024674082670536834, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14853886874455147, "bench_c_p1y": -0.4638322350926932, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0645214707421613, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.031924790611021825, "alpha_c_stated": 0.025408783786956768, "price_path": [-0.157, -0.1411, -0.1476, -0.1314, -0.1257, -0.1276, -0.1276, -0.1299, -0.1088, -0.1065, -0.1033, -0.0809, -0.0583, -0.0436, -0.0578, -0.0413, 0.0455, 0.0236, 0.0034, 0.0027, 0.0169, 0.0062, -0.0085, -0.0055, -0.0356, -0.0319, -0.0473, -0.0779, -0.1127, -0.1028, -0.1055, -0.0871, -0.0988, -0.0814, -0.0657, -0.0565, -0.0615, -0.0645, -0.08, -0.0814, -0.0911, -0.0573, -0.0475, -0.0524, -0.0539, -0.0507, -0.062, -0.0382, -0.0728, -0.0701, -0.0372, -0.0229, -0.0143, -0.0291, 0.003, -0.0034, -0.0076, -0.019, -0.0303, -0.0355, -0.0187, -0.0448, -0.0369, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.0091, 0.0285, 0.0126, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0098, 0.017, -0.0079, 0.0214, 0.0081, 0.044, 0.0416, 0.0404, 0.0391, 0.0544, 0.0563, 0.0583, 0.0701, 0.0647, 0.0645, 0.0734, 0.0883, 0.0895, 0.0895, 0.095, 0.0947, 0.0884, 0.0955, 0.0955, 0.1028, 0.1068, 0.1199, 0.1199, 0.094, 0.113, 0.1021, 0.0972, 0.0974, 0.095, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0787, 0.0615, 0.0637, 0.0549, 0.0283, 0.0307, 0.019, 0.0258, 0.0012, -0.003, -0.0483, -0.0098, -0.016, -0.0231, -0.0251, -0.011, 0.0067, -0.0021, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0109, 0.0054, -0.0011, -0.0085, -0.0435, -0.0867, -0.1319, -0.2004, -0.1785, -0.1648, -0.1836, -0.1614, -0.1907, -0.2309, -0.422, -0.4082, -0.4476, -0.5216, -0.4676, -0.5575, -0.5547, -0.6154, -0.5659, -0.5446, -0.5835, -0.4785, -0.4751, -0.4556, -0.5038, -0.5031, -0.4775, -0.4975, -0.4255, -0.4417, -0.4435, -0.4356, -0.3947, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.4181, -0.4218, -0.4537, -0.4729, -0.4018, -0.4135, -0.4369, -0.4065, -0.3862, -0.3877, -0.3697, -0.3472, -0.2839, -0.2857, -0.336, -0.3153, -0.3058, -0.3131, -0.2803, -0.2618, -0.2757, -0.2875, -0.3165, -0.3158]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1195304312919998467", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-15T11:35:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bull market for energy stocks to begin sometime in 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks and oil into 2020: demand growth restored, offshore peaking, US shale decelerating, valuations at record lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global energy stocks proxy (context is predominantly US/Canada)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil demand growth improvement was the missing piece of my oil rally recipe. Now we have it. Bull market for energy stocks to begin sometime in 2020. 1MM bbl/d of demand growth + offshore peaking + US shale decelerating with record low energy stock valuations #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Global oil demand in 3Q19 increased by 1.1 mb/d year-on-year (y-o-y), more than double the 435 kb/d seen in 2Q19. China’s demand increased by 640 kb/d y-o-y in 3Q19, the biggest contributor to global growth. \n\nIEA #oott", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00765623228457446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00765623228457446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004718021697889263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004718021697889263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007184430114785534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007184430114785534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01215044842826607, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01215044842826607, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012887931239707329, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012887931239707329, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000737482811441259, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000737482811441259, "ret_p1w": -0.004160930650927486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004160930650927486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0014989104560391153, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0014989104560391153, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026620201948883704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026620201948883704, "ret_p1m": 0.01731029358923819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01731029358923819, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007417982956914093, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007417982956914093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024728276546152284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024728276546152284, "ret_p3m": -0.047285607170467814, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.047285607170467814, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13480905981270552, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13480905981270552, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08752345264223771, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08752345264223771, "ret_p6m": -0.32575115973418, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32575115973418, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.274038675566597, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.274038675566597, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.051712484167583006, "bench_c_p6m": -0.051712484167583006, "ret_p1y": -0.4620036127051307, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4620036127051307, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5605898456704831, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5605898456704831, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0985862329653524, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0985862329653524, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01731029358923819, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.007417982956914093, "alpha_c_stated": -0.007417982956914093, "price_path": [-0.0468, -0.0407, -0.045, -0.077, -0.0731, -0.0788, -0.0656, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0566, -0.0434, -0.0315, -0.0264, -0.0069, 0.0048, 0.0058, -0.0005, 0.0074, 0.0412, 0.0267, 0.0218, 0.0191, 0.02, 0.0203, 0.0042, 0.0058, -0.0073, -0.0075, -0.0146, -0.0375, -0.0611, -0.0509, -0.0449, -0.0534, -0.0696, -0.0611, -0.0493, -0.0365, -0.037, -0.033, -0.0464, -0.0458, -0.0508, -0.0338, -0.0213, -0.0131, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.015, -0.011, -0.0311, -0.0353, -0.0133, 0.0188, 0.0201, -0.0007, 0.0143, 0.0102, 0.0045, -0.0007, -0.005, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0268, -0.017, -0.0008, -0.0042, -0.0032, -0.0123, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0345, -0.02, -0.0246, -0.006, -0.0072, -0.0052, -0.0068, 0.0115, 0.0038, 0.0173, 0.018, 0.0218, 0.0215, 0.0313, 0.0419, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.041, 0.0366, 0.0334, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0486, 0.0455, 0.0536, 0.0509, 0.0335, 0.0412, 0.0353, 0.0356, 0.0358, 0.0282, 0.0299, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.005, -0.0047, -0.0085, -0.0199, -0.0471, -0.0428, -0.0528, -0.0452, -0.075, -0.0871, -0.0838, -0.0494, -0.0591, -0.0656, -0.0703, -0.0599, -0.0473, -0.0502, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.063, -0.0506, -0.0516, -0.0629, -0.1061, -0.1456, -0.1714, -0.2157, -0.2164, -0.1847, -0.2096, -0.191, -0.2206, -0.2643, -0.4125, -0.3846, -0.4172, -0.4899, -0.4428, -0.5186, -0.5153, -0.5849, -0.5567, -0.5524, -0.5829, -0.516, -0.4932, -0.4622, -0.4986, -0.4935, -0.4857, -0.5112, -0.4664, -0.4721, -0.4441, -0.4323, -0.3944, -0.3999, -0.3999, -0.4018, -0.4047, -0.4326, -0.4569, -0.3992, -0.418, -0.4282, -0.4079, -0.3888, -0.3873, -0.3741, -0.3597, -0.3123, -0.3275, -0.3656, -0.3436, -0.3431, -0.3603, -0.3436, -0.3137, -0.3258]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1466146792668635137", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-12-01T20:46:49+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "how profoundly mispriced energy stocks now are IMO. Peak uncertainty = peak opportunity for the patient", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks are profoundly mispriced to the downside after the oil selloff; peak uncertainty = peak opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm excited to be on @marketcall this Friday at 12ET to get the chance to put the recent sell off in oil into perspective and explain in detail just how profoundly mispriced energy stocks now are IMO. Peak uncertainty = peak opportunity for the patient. See you Friday! https://t.co/6bAhEom4FA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010738885199383263, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010738885199383263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004931922521271837, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004931922521271837, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011232077451510447, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011232077451510447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029068714587429767, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029068714587429767, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013752428766924174, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013752428766924174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015316285820505593, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015316285820505593, "ret_p1w": 0.060174058416337495, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.060174058416337495, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017954285835171335, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017954285835171335, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04221977258116616, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04221977258116616, "ret_p1m": 0.03826720465946454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03826720465946454, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02240508128873575, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02240508128873575, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06067228594820029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06067228594820029, "ret_p3m": 0.3237156773828358, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3237156773828358, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35109859526564546, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.35109859526564546, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.027382917882809665, "bench_c_p3m": -0.027382917882809665, "ret_p6m": 0.6461419438996987, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6461419438996987, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7404868977988617, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7404868977988617, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09434495389916298, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09434495389916298, "ret_p1y": 0.7735274267206986, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7735274267206986, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8811350322724721, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8811350322724721, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10760760555177351, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10760760555177351, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03826720465946454, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02240508128873575, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02240508128873575, "price_path": [-0.1106, -0.1106, -0.1159, -0.1272, -0.1254, -0.1258, -0.1007, -0.1137, -0.0806, -0.091, -0.0978, -0.1253, -0.1233, -0.0963, -0.0646, -0.0576, -0.0241, -0.0207, -0.0207, -0.0355, -0.0031, 0.0131, 0.0191, 0.0083, 0.0161, 0.0474, 0.0435, 0.0444, 0.0435, 0.0563, 0.0615, 0.0622, 0.0742, 0.0829, 0.063, 0.0729, 0.0887, 0.095, 0.0635, 0.0711, 0.0641, 0.0824, 0.0722, 0.0633, 0.0648, 0.0787, 0.0885, 0.0929, 0.0641, 0.0681, 0.0655, 0.0744, 0.0761, 0.0596, 0.0533, 0.0122, 0.0302, 0.0618, 0.0722, 0.0722, 0.0291, 0.035, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0291, 0.0209, 0.0361, 0.0604, 0.0602, 0.052, 0.0598, 0.0304, 0.0261, 0.0211, 0.0276, 0.0067, -0.0058, 0.0225, 0.0291, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0521, 0.0514, 0.0446, 0.0383, 0.0409, 0.0732, 0.1103, 0.1101, 0.1349, 0.1504, 0.1469, 0.1859, 0.1881, 0.1821, 0.2099, 0.2099, 0.2148, 0.2059, 0.1949, 0.1712, 0.1791, 0.2249, 0.2228, 0.2361, 0.2309, 0.2363, 0.2804, 0.2845, 0.2723, 0.2922, 0.3087, 0.2806, 0.2913, 0.2832, 0.3205, 0.2894, 0.2759, 0.2862, 0.2841, 0.2763, 0.2763, 0.2556, 0.2686, 0.2586, 0.2918, 0.3237, 0.337, 0.3676, 0.3714, 0.4109, 0.4317, 0.4542, 0.4098, 0.4529, 0.4413, 0.3982, 0.347, 0.3408, 0.3869, 0.3856, 0.4415, 0.4309, 0.4555, 0.4591, 0.4911, 0.4541, 0.4504, 0.4672, 0.4473, 0.4591, 0.461, 0.4381, 0.4466, 0.4655, 0.5058, 0.4606, 0.4848, 0.507, 0.5119, 0.5119, 0.5341, 0.5216, 0.5274, 0.479, 0.4428, 0.3951, 0.397, 0.4174, 0.4604, 0.4229, 0.4456, 0.4861, 0.5479, 0.5246, 0.57, 0.4401, 0.4532, 0.4727, 0.479, 0.5295, 0.5698, 0.588, 0.5473, 0.5416, 0.5483, 0.5891, 0.5952, 0.6282, 0.6461]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1404890566379376640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-15T19:56:27+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "discussing the generational opportunity in energy stocks and why we're in a multi-year bull market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks; multi-year bull market thesis, calling it a generational opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me tomorrow at 11am ET for @TheEnergyRT 's free virtual event.  I'll be discussing the generational opportunity in energy stocks and why we're in a multi-year bull market.  I've even been called \"too pessimistic\" by another panelist so should be fun! https://t.co/UchNVxXf2P https://t.co/obzNDnqHUz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01868655974715827, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01868655974715827, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020523893406458105, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020523893406458105, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018373336592998335, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018373336592998335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0053390870819429725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0053390870819429725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0002443473718387601, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0002443473718387601, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005583434453781733, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005583434453781733, "ret_p1w": -0.021422590711020928, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021422590711020928, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021455921201383954, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021455921201383954, "bench_spy_p1w": 3.3330490363026044e-05, "bench_c_p1w": 3.3330490363026044e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.08650520133396311, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08650520133396311, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11757160459995086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11757160459995086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031066403265987752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031066403265987752, "ret_p3m": -0.14080067683216346, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14080067683216346, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1936116456887076, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1936116456887076, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05281096885654413, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05281096885654413, "ret_p6m": 0.04196401886903267, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04196401886903267, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07131600312755149, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07131600312755149, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11328002199658416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11328002199658416, "ret_p1y": 0.6439193371971728, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6439193371971728, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6476823726518853, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6476823726518853, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.003763035454712571, "bench_c_p1y": -0.003763035454712571, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6439193371971728, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6476823726518853, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6476823726518853, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1278, -0.1361, -0.1488, -0.1274, -0.1242, -0.1025, -0.1132, -0.1208, -0.1269, -0.1046, -0.1046, -0.126, -0.1283, -0.1253, -0.1367, -0.1424, -0.1491, -0.1482, -0.1246, -0.1317, -0.1386, -0.1395, -0.1623, -0.1516, -0.1616, -0.1539, -0.1482, -0.1379, -0.1082, -0.0982, -0.121, -0.0968, -0.0963, -0.0671, -0.0623, -0.0456, -0.0452, -0.0698, -0.0653, -0.0767, -0.0481, -0.026, -0.0486, -0.0723, -0.0737, -0.0717, -0.0625, -0.0815, -0.0733, -0.0726, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.0351, -0.0171, -0.0144, -0.0078, -0.0121, -0.0036, -0.0098, -0.011, -0.0144, -0.0187, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0392, -0.0676, -0.0279, -0.0214, -0.0187, -0.0103, -0.0051, -0.0387, -0.0434, -0.0315, -0.0146, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0488, -0.0642, -0.0696, -0.0498, -0.0513, -0.0585, -0.0865, -0.0993, -0.1248, -0.1557, -0.1444, -0.1146, -0.1244, -0.1277, -0.1061, -0.1144, -0.1063, -0.0977, -0.112, -0.1187, -0.1036, -0.1279, -0.118, -0.1099, -0.1225, -0.107, -0.1, -0.1009, -0.1115, -0.1279, -0.1368, -0.1548, -0.1768, -0.175, -0.144, -0.1298, -0.1232, -0.1365, -0.1135, -0.1239, -0.1298, -0.1426, -0.1208, -0.1259, -0.1259, -0.1311, -0.1422, -0.1404, -0.1408, -0.1162, -0.1289, -0.0964, -0.1066, -0.1133, -0.1404, -0.1384, -0.1118, -0.0807, -0.0738, -0.0408, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0521, -0.0203, -0.0043, 0.0016, -0.009, -0.0013, 0.0294, 0.0256, 0.0265, 0.0256, 0.0381, 0.0432, 0.044, 0.0558, 0.0643, 0.0447, 0.0545, 0.07, 0.0762, 0.0452, 0.0527, 0.0458, 0.0638, 0.0538, 0.0451, 0.0465, 0.0602, 0.0698, 0.0742, 0.0458, 0.0498, 0.0472, 0.056, 0.0576, 0.0414, 0.0352, -0.0052, 0.0125, 0.0436, 0.0538, 0.0538, 0.0114, 0.0172, -0.0066, -0.0172, 0.0114, 0.0034, 0.0183, 0.0421, 0.042]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1280915281251049473", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-07-08T17:22:55+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are 100% invested in Canada", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "100% invested in Canadian E&Ps as FCF leaders; CPG specifically highlighted with updated assumptions; Canada to stand out on free cash flow theme in 2021.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Production growth is passe...in the post-COVID world to attract investor attention E&amp;P's will need to maximize free cash flow and this is where Canadian E&amp;P's really shine (and why we are 100% invested in Canada). FCF = antidote for investor apathy via buybacks and dividends. https://t.co/Z5LYE7HU49\n\n---\n\nUpdated chart reflecting some changes to CPG assumptions (lower capex now for 2021). \"Free cash flow generation and how to allocate it\" to be the #1 theme in 2021= Canada to stand out from the rest. https://t.co/uKq9RhcHWm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01894777858848906, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01894777858848906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026538368849137628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026538368849137628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0075905902606485665, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0075905902606485665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021052143770850407, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021052143770850407, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01535904426658563, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01535904426658563, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005693099504264776, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005693099504264776, "ret_p1w": 0.06526334407908374, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06526334407908374, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04733037857732847, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04733037857732847, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01793296550175527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01793296550175527, "ret_p1m": 0.10105277702748738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10105277702748738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04364895124873058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04364895124873058, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0574038257787568, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0574038257787568, "ret_p3m": -0.10946223106382202, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10946223106382202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18834143718488394, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18834143718488394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07887920612106192, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07887920612106192, "ret_p6m": 0.2522805275949769, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2522805275949769, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05999533131586099, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05999533131586099, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1922851962791159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1922851962791159, "ret_p1y": 0.9715956496239553, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9715956496239553, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6022360221765231, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6022360221765231, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3693596274474322, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3693596274474322, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10946223106382202, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18834143718488394, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18834143718488394, "price_path": [-0.1143, -0.1206, -0.1372, -0.1831, -0.2143, -0.1539, -0.1643, -0.1727, -0.1206, -0.1018, -0.1081, -0.1039, -0.0622, 0.0607, 0.0378, -0.008, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.033, -0.0143, 0.0128, 0.0045, 0.017, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0101, -0.0101, 0.0399, 0.1003, 0.0795, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0732, 0.0774, 0.0628, 0.0441, 0.067, 0.1191, 0.1378, 0.1503, 0.2441, 0.2796, 0.2337, 0.1837, 0.0712, 0.092, 0.0857, 0.1066, 0.0545, 0.0503, 0.0441, 0.0462, 0.0712, 0.0295, 0.0337, 0.0084, 0.0442, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0505, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0189, 0.0, -0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0021, 0.0442, 0.0653, 0.0526, 0.0379, 0.0189, 0.1095, 0.0968, 0.0716, 0.0674, 0.0779, 0.04, 0.0589, 0.0379, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0505, 0.0842, 0.1011, 0.1116, 0.1453, 0.1389, 0.1621, 0.1432, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1347, 0.1305, 0.1137, 0.0821, 0.1263, 0.1284, 0.1053, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0758, 0.0863, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0547, 0.0547, -0.0253, -0.0126, -0.0337, -0.0358, -0.04, -0.0463, -0.0147, -0.0232, -0.0316, -0.0737, -0.0611, -0.0884, -0.0733, -0.0946, -0.0627, -0.101, -0.1095, -0.1413, -0.1328, -0.1095, -0.1116, -0.0925, -0.0478, -0.0585, -0.0585, -0.0712, -0.0733, -0.0712, -0.0861, -0.0925, -0.0818, -0.101, -0.0648, -0.0627, -0.0946, -0.0967, -0.1328, -0.1328, -0.1222, -0.1052, -0.0861, -0.0882, -0.0861, -0.0988, 0.0457, 0.0754, 0.0861, 0.0244, 0.0393, 0.0924, 0.1095, 0.118, 0.1116, 0.1222, 0.2008, 0.254, 0.2455, 0.2412, 0.2476, 0.1711, 0.1711, 0.1966, 0.2051, 0.2731, 0.2625, 0.2774, 0.2752, 0.3241, 0.3262, 0.2965, 0.3092, 0.2774, 0.2795, 0.271, 0.2391, 0.2157, 0.2667, 0.2604, 0.2604, 0.2604, 0.2519, 0.2736, 0.2523]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1151909544940974080", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-18T17:40:11+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil stocks getting hammered (again) today and many making 52 week/all time lows despite oil at $55 and FCF yields at 15%+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on oil stocks: trading at 52-week/all-time lows with 15%+ FCF yields despite $55 oil — framing as a value opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm working on my next major investor write-up...with oil stocks getting hammered (again) today and many making 52 week/all time lows despite oil at $55 and FCF yields at 15%+ I thought a sneak peak might be of interest: https://t.co/GDJ8MOfkJD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0001602370311269974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0001602370311269974, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003487241722938239, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003487241722938239, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0036474787540652365, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036474787540652365, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00464221971505574, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00464221971505574, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01019686584215218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01019686584215218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554646127096441, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554646127096441, "ret_p1w": 0.00480237363568925, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00480237363568925, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0008870678870320781, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008870678870320781, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003915305748657172, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003915305748657172, "ret_p1m": -0.08724174972521592, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08724174972521592, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.053845393187693213, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.053845393187693213, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03339635653752271, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03339635653752271, "ret_p3m": -0.06144774323844193, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06144774323844193, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06623422002848023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06623422002848023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0047864767900382965, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0047864767900382965, "ret_p6m": 0.004778437813612202, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.004778437813612202, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09558955918455947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09558955918455947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10036799699817167, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10036799699817167, "ret_p1y": -0.3485319570235639, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3485319570235639, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4306832057189791, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4306832057189791, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08215124869541524, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08215124869541524, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08724174972521592, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.053845393187693213, "alpha_c_stated": -0.053845393187693213, "price_path": [0.0884, 0.0866, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0504, 0.0495, 0.0487, 0.0278, 0.0098, 0.0192, 0.0201, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.016, -0.0014, 0.0108, 0.016, 0.0216, 0.0113, 0.0117, 0.0235, 0.0076, -0.0262, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0327, -0.0389, -0.0511, -0.0677, -0.0558, -0.0395, -0.0501, -0.0325, -0.0281, -0.0252, -0.0233, -0.0371, -0.0259, -0.0322, -0.0241, -0.0106, -0.0117, 0.0101, 0.0174, 0.0083, 0.0003, 0.0157, 0.0082, 0.0198, 0.0208, 0.0045, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0099, 0.0114, 0.0122, 0.0251, 0.0272, 0.0315, 0.0223, 0.0114, -0.0002, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0093, 0.012, 0.0163, 0.0048, -0.0003, -0.0043, 0.0069, 0.0037, -0.019, -0.0331, -0.0619, -0.0631, -0.0701, -0.0434, -0.0539, -0.0652, -0.0565, -0.0935, -0.0991, -0.0872, -0.0671, -0.0749, -0.069, -0.0732, -0.1042, -0.1004, -0.106, -0.0932, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0844, -0.0716, -0.06, -0.0551, -0.0362, -0.0248, -0.0239, -0.0299, -0.0223, 0.0106, -0.0035, -0.0083, -0.0109, -0.0101, -0.0098, -0.0254, -0.0238, -0.0366, -0.0367, -0.0437, -0.0658, -0.0887, -0.0789, -0.0731, -0.0813, -0.097, -0.0887, -0.0773, -0.0648, -0.0653, -0.0614, -0.0745, -0.0739, -0.0787, -0.0623, -0.0501, -0.0422, -0.0463, -0.0385, -0.044, -0.0401, -0.0597, -0.0637, -0.0424, -0.0112, -0.0099, -0.0301, -0.0156, -0.0196, -0.0251, -0.0301, -0.0343, -0.0369, -0.0295, -0.0413, -0.0555, -0.0459, -0.0303, -0.0335, -0.0325, -0.0414, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.0629, -0.0488, -0.0534, -0.0353, -0.0364, -0.0345, -0.0361, -0.0183, -0.0257, -0.0127, -0.012, -0.0083, -0.0086, 0.0009, 0.0112, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0103, 0.0061, 0.0029, 0.0086, 0.0086, 0.0177, 0.0147, 0.0226, 0.0199, 0.0031, 0.0105, 0.0048]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1046042236885102594", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-09-29T14:21:18+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas exploration and production", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "multiple expansion for E&P's?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on E&P sector multiple expansion as world abandons green energy and oil demand persists.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Perhaps oil usage isn’t going the way of the buggy whip after all? = multiple expansion for E&amp;P’s? Lawrence Solomon: Trudeau stands alone as Canada — and the world — abandons green energy https://t.co/kgUnoYsN1c via @nationalpost", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010287980372001182, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010287980372001182, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0068254848740431084, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0068254848740431084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034624954979580735, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034624954979580735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005258119675076611, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005258119675076611, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004674936605335134, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004674936605335134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005831830697414775, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005831830697414775, "ret_p1w": -0.008230239633694403, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008230239633694403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005172647069708103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005172647069708103, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013402886703402506, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013402886703402506, "ret_p1m": -0.19181540182879975, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19181540182879975, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10968437275880727, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10968437275880727, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08213102906999248, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08213102906999248, "ret_p3m": -0.38687623506810154, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38687623506810154, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24218272000283214, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24218272000283214, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1446935150652694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1446935150652694, "ret_p6m": -0.2946296417997678, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2946296417997678, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2681569901645441, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2681569901645441, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02647265163522372, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02647265163522372, "ret_p1y": -0.4422846295426016, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4422846295426016, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49007490419355404, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49007490419355404, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.047790274650952425, "bench_c_p1y": 0.047790274650952425, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19181540182879975, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10968437275880727, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10968437275880727, "price_path": [-0.0256, -0.027, -0.009, 0.0164, 0.0148, -0.0119, -0.0145, -0.014, -0.0339, -0.0334, -0.0309, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0343, -0.0254, -0.0186, -0.0154, -0.0355, -0.0181, -0.0179, -0.0334, -0.0304, -0.0412, -0.0348, -0.033, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0478, -0.0715, -0.0638, -0.1074, -0.0989, -0.0937, -0.0843, -0.067, -0.048, -0.0524, -0.04, -0.0377, -0.0444, -0.0323, -0.027, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0444, -0.0505, -0.0782, -0.088, -0.0864, -0.0688, -0.0565, -0.0608, -0.0565, -0.0585, -0.0457, -0.0355, -0.0382, -0.0286, -0.0085, -0.0037, -0.021, -0.0123, -0.0103, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.019, 0.0027, -0.0021, -0.0082, 0.0048, -0.0407, -0.0706, -0.0588, -0.0562, -0.0425, -0.0592, -0.0743, -0.0855, -0.1001, -0.1319, -0.1843, -0.1694, -0.1788, -0.2087, -0.1918, -0.1754, -0.1591, -0.1728, -0.1495, -0.1571, -0.1353, -0.1676, -0.168, -0.1968, -0.2124, -0.2163, -0.2046, -0.2055, -0.2099, -0.2476, -0.2295, -0.2295, -0.257, -0.2453, -0.2549, -0.2442, -0.2394, -0.2499, -0.2257, -0.2519, -0.2519, -0.2757, -0.2789, -0.3022, -0.3036, -0.2997, -0.3041, -0.3349, -0.3548, -0.3733, -0.3818, -0.4051, -0.419, -0.4472, -0.4472, -0.3892, -0.3869, -0.3956, -0.3919, -0.3919, -0.3745, -0.3789, -0.3438, -0.3213, -0.3151, -0.2998, -0.2954, -0.3032, -0.3028, -0.2947, -0.2934, -0.2892, -0.2755, -0.2755, -0.3057, -0.317, -0.3131, -0.3002, -0.3124, -0.3092, -0.2897, -0.3, -0.2963, -0.2922, -0.3018, -0.3101, -0.3399, -0.35, -0.3394, -0.3314, -0.317, -0.308, -0.2895, -0.2895, -0.2924, -0.2844, -0.3039, -0.2979, -0.2991, -0.3096, -0.3085, -0.3174, -0.303, -0.2982, -0.3044, -0.3243, -0.3335, -0.3569, -0.3431, -0.3264, -0.3122, -0.3101, -0.316, -0.2995, -0.3063, -0.287, -0.2765, -0.3093, -0.3089, -0.2946]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1387817344223821830", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-29T17:13:33+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian oil stocks represent tremendous value", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil stocks on egregious free cash flow generation and attractive valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks basket: CNQ, CVE, BTE, WCP", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Think you've missed the energy rally??? Join me tomorrow at 12ET on @marketcall. The focus will be on the egregious levels of free cash flow the industry is currently generating and why Canadian oil stocks represent tremendous value. Let's keep the questions tight = more calls. https://t.co/lvRKBPZVGo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021740658350666714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021740658350666714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015408201117836001, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010688589071093352, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006332457232830713, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011052069279573362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020405474769234627, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020405474769234627, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013835148821421478, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004855944979238996, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006570325947813149, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025261419748473624, "ret_p1w": 0.046481732811248205, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046481732811248205, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.048838562175293226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0066156797207005125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002356829364045021, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03986605309054769, "ret_p1m": 0.09571602876309027, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09571602876309027, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09576355583465801, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06532326849028713, "bench_spy_p1m": -4.7527071567743384e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030392760272803132, "ret_p3m": 0.13664582258010505, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13664582258010505, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08811375958083256, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15453726380917754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048532062999272485, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01789144122907249, "ret_p6m": 0.7716677605806901, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7716677605806901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6859685164011422, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6022680353040986, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08569924417954788, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16939972527659153, "ret_p1y": 1.8206538309427138, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.8206538309427138, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.7642963694919527, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.1487031090578195, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.05635746145076115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6719507218848944, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09571602876309027, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09576355583465801, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06532326849028713, "price_path": [-0.251, -0.243, -0.2123, -0.2017, -0.1897, -0.1656, -0.1786, -0.1564, -0.1754, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.1423, -0.139, -0.153, -0.1487, -0.1035, -0.0882, -0.0287, -0.0585, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.039, -0.0221, 0.0175, 0.0778, 0.0513, 0.0444, 0.0723, 0.0674, 0.0565, 0.035, 0.004, 0.0175, -0.0371, -0.0229, -0.0338, -0.0733, -0.046, -0.0372, -0.0178, -0.0312, -0.0288, -0.0329, 0.0067, 0.0067, -0.0278, -0.007, -0.0132, -0.0129, -0.0301, -0.0345, -0.0463, 0.0054, 0.0004, -0.0114, -0.0192, -0.0667, -0.0562, -0.0697, -0.0651, -0.0688, -0.0635, -0.0217, 0.0, -0.0204, 0.0168, 0.0112, 0.0458, 0.0465, 0.0643, 0.0497, 0.0439, 0.0648, 0.0398, 0.068, 0.1026, 0.0869, 0.0515, 0.0372, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0236, 0.0503, 0.0668, 0.0957, 0.1502, 0.2114, 0.2039, 0.2038, 0.226, 0.2187, 0.2369, 0.2447, 0.2537, 0.2658, 0.2756, 0.3002, 0.2814, 0.227, 0.2333, 0.3118, 0.2905, 0.3074, 0.3046, 0.3036, 0.2638, 0.2707, 0.2846, 0.2846, 0.3041, 0.3519, 0.2913, 0.2507, 0.2498, 0.2782, 0.2533, 0.2609, 0.2163, 0.1897, 0.1389, 0.0781, 0.0976, 0.1381, 0.1377, 0.1336, 0.156, 0.1366, 0.1437, 0.1633, 0.1587, 0.1587, 0.177, 0.108, 0.1242, 0.1331, 0.1121, 0.1644, 0.165, 0.161, 0.139, 0.1099, 0.1022, 0.0757, 0.0428, 0.0493, 0.0983, 0.1212, 0.1329, 0.121, 0.1616, 0.1609, 0.1595, 0.1518, 0.2176, 0.2207, 0.2207, 0.2006, 0.1907, 0.1895, 0.2012, 0.2718, 0.272, 0.3237, 0.3227, 0.2898, 0.2565, 0.2786, 0.3754, 0.4034, 0.4368, 0.5155, 0.5339, 0.5467, 0.5386, 0.5643, 0.6192, 0.6395, 0.6133, 0.6499, 0.6697, 0.6697, 0.6733, 0.6508, 0.7113, 0.7142, 0.7021, 0.7351, 0.7714, 0.7415, 0.7717]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1542132662680395776", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-06-29T13:07:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we estimate the avg. CDN energy stock trades at a 33% free cashflow yield = \"shareholder returns\" of ~25% in '23", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses $114 WTI 2023 forecast; Canadian energy stocks offer ~33% FCF yield and ~25% shareholder returns at $110 oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Esteemed barrel counter @michael___tran raising his 2023 WTI forecast to $114 from $96 calling it \"the strongest fundamental oil market setup in decades.\" At $110, we estimate the avg. CDN energy stock trades at a 33% free cashflow yield = \"shareholder returns\" of ~25% in '23! https://t.co/Xu5mtsxvWT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03713525351954039, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03713525351954039, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03632043374533089, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03632043374533089, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008148197742094965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008148197742094965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0172414120557961, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0172414120557961, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009116938731539959, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009116938731539959, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008124473324256143, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008124473324256143, "ret_p1w": -0.09748019571482647, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09748019571482647, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10513127825325819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10513127825325819, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007651082538431719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007651082538431719, "ret_p1m": -0.007957653461569736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007957653461569736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07560745099772559, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07560745099772559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06764979753615585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06764979753615585, "ret_p3m": -0.12814226798310036, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12814226798310036, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08993042041408905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08993042041408905, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.038211847569011304, "bench_c_p3m": -0.038211847569011304, "ret_p6m": 0.026704940658365928, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.026704940658365928, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016978520344590686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.016978520344590686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009726420313775241, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009726420313775241, "ret_p1y": -0.005252922011372951, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.005252922011372951, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.179560779006661, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.179560779006661, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17430785699528806, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17430785699528806, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007957653461569736, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07560745099772559, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07560745099772559, "price_path": [-0.0353, -0.0208, -0.0373, -0.0504, -0.0333, -0.0129, -0.0379, -0.0149, 0.0016, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.041, 0.0259, 0.0404, 0.0035, -0.0155, -0.0478, -0.0392, -0.0076, 0.043, 0.0279, 0.0239, 0.0634, 0.0891, 0.0792, 0.0812, 0.0035, 0.0002, 0.018, 0.0049, 0.0443, 0.0707, 0.0851, 0.068, 0.0733, 0.0792, 0.0792, 0.1055, 0.1286, 0.1332, 0.1529, 0.1799, 0.149, 0.1694, 0.1694, 0.1727, 0.1825, 0.2095, 0.2181, 0.2042, 0.1858, 0.149, 0.1279, 0.1128, 0.0562, -0.0037, 0.02, 0.0443, -0.0109, -0.0794, -0.0491, -0.0046, 0.0371, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0172, 0.0073, -0.0603, -0.0975, -0.0564, -0.067, -0.0796, -0.1101, -0.1134, -0.128, -0.1154, -0.0842, -0.0617, -0.0484, -0.069, -0.0822, -0.0491, -0.057, -0.0279, -0.008, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0013, -0.0411, -0.0816, -0.0643, -0.059, -0.0524, -0.0424, -0.0053, 0.0033, -0.0126, -0.0252, -0.0106, 0.0166, 0.0119, 0.0192, 0.0511, 0.0617, 0.069, 0.0617, 0.0782, 0.0371, 0.0279, 0.0046, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0053, -0.0259, -0.0172, 0.0086, 0.0298, 0.0212, 0.0531, 0.0279, 0.0166, 0.0232, 0.0186, -0.0033, -0.0206, -0.0972, -0.1281, -0.1079, -0.0716, -0.0696, -0.0689, -0.0157, 0.0287, 0.0482, 0.0691, 0.0705, 0.0705, 0.0281, 0.0274, 0.0604, 0.0247, 0.026, 0.0206, 0.0523, 0.0684, 0.0873, 0.096, 0.0994, 0.1196, 0.1149, 0.1149, 0.1344, 0.1486, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1694, 0.1741, 0.164, 0.1162, 0.1432, 0.1681, 0.1513, 0.1715, 0.1452, 0.1391, 0.1358, 0.1237, 0.1499, 0.1364, 0.1391, 0.1371, 0.1189, 0.1351, 0.1243, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.0839, 0.0462, 0.0402, 0.0328, 0.0254, 0.0341, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0435, 0.0159, 0.0119, 0.0254, 0.0523, 0.0267]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1111212961182318592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-28T10:26:29+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "20%+ rally for Canadian energy stocks if the Liberal government falls in October", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks could rally 20%+ if the Liberal government falls in October.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "20%+ rally for Canadian energy stocks if the Liberal government falls in October.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0020261273465276286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0020261273465276286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017497496299395676, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017497496299395676, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0037758769764671962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0037758769764671962, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005066148418793048, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005066148418793048, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01137178754246615, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01137178754246615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006305639123673101, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006305639123673101, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023048749573761906, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023048749573761906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023048749573761906, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023048749573761906, "ret_p1m": 0.05977656708988266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05977656708988266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014534169063150193, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014534169063150193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04524239802673247, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04524239802673247, "ret_p3m": -0.0819111767610885, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0819111767610885, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12275080870374655, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12275080870374655, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04083963194265805, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04083963194265805, "ret_p6m": -0.061486413701104414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.061486413701104414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13417652586350748, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13417652586350748, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07269011216240306, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07269011216240306, "ret_p1y": -0.6454969776252284, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6454969776252284, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5122990629592636, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5122990629592636, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.13319791466596476, "bench_c_p1y": -0.13319791466596476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05977656708988266, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014534169063150193, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014534169063150193, "price_path": [-0.1121, -0.1121, -0.095, -0.098, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0486, -0.0385, -0.0375, -0.0354, -0.0173, -0.0264, -0.0203, -0.0132, -0.0163, -0.0476, -0.0576, -0.0445, -0.0435, -0.0496, -0.0415, -0.0314, -0.0405, -0.0476, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0354, -0.0587, -0.0687, -0.0597, -0.0476, -0.0375, -0.0304, 0.0009, 0.0009, 0.01, 0.012, 0.0049, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.012, 0.02, 0.014, 0.0251, 0.0089, 0.012, -0.0001, 0.0009, -0.0193, -0.0092, -0.0032, 0.012, 0.013, 0.0089, 0.0271, 0.019, 0.0372, 0.0463, 0.017, -0.001, 0.0152, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0051, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.0284, 0.0446, 0.0365, 0.0547, 0.0527, 0.0628, 0.0578, 0.0618, 0.076, 0.075, 0.075, 0.0922, 0.1084, 0.0831, 0.075, 0.0598, 0.0618, 0.0476, 0.0182, -0.0081, 0.002, 0.001, -0.0122, 0.0051, 0.0051, -0.002, -0.0253, -0.0051, -0.0051, 0.002, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0081, -0.0334, -0.0719, -0.0689, -0.0537, -0.0638, -0.0517, -0.0648, -0.075, -0.0851, -0.0821, -0.1054, -0.0993, -0.0952, -0.0993, -0.0932, -0.1044, -0.0952, -0.0973, -0.0841, -0.076, -0.084, -0.0676, -0.0748, -0.0758, -0.0819, -0.0676, -0.0911, -0.0891, -0.0891, -0.1013, -0.0972, -0.0911, -0.0931, -0.1003, -0.087, -0.0686, -0.0676, -0.0686, -0.0727, -0.088, -0.0993, -0.1146, -0.1074, -0.1023, -0.0983, -0.1074, -0.134, -0.1411, -0.1565, -0.136, -0.1258, -0.1452, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.184, -0.1881, -0.1748, -0.1718, -0.183, -0.1748, -0.2024, -0.2085, -0.2014, -0.181, -0.1922, -0.184, -0.1891, -0.2147, -0.2137, -0.2177, -0.1932, -0.1718, -0.1789, -0.1789, -0.184, -0.1769, -0.1554, -0.1585, -0.1401, -0.1197, -0.1197, -0.1156, -0.1085, -0.0278, -0.0492, -0.0625, -0.0666, -0.0615]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1069658470805311495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-12-03T18:23:47+00:00", "symbol": "WCS exposed Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "could we see a 50%+ rally in certain WCS exposed energy stocks? Many are still down 50%+ from their highs of 6 months ago...need to double to get back to prior highs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish WCS-exposed energy stocks on potential OPEC cuts + WTI rally above $60, implying 50%+ upside from deeply depressed levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "WCS-exposed Canadian energy stocks: ATH, CVE, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2019 WCS calendar strip just traded at $19.50! If OPEC cuts by 1.4MM+ Bbl/d and WTI rallies above $60 could we see a 50%+ rally in certain WCS exposed energy stocks? Many are still down 50%+ from their highs of 6 months ago...need to double to get back to prior highs #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WCS hysteria is in the air.  $50bbl differentials will not last and we are now at peak pessimism.  Futures market is thin and not reflective of reality.  1.1MM bbl/d of refining demand to return in weeks + Redwater refinery (80k bbl/d) + CBR ramp.  This too shall pass! #OOTT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1035935175816642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1035935175816642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09052470242928408, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08184185768120618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01306881515238012, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02175165990045802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03538717393627233, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03538717393627233, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029844748866965087, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006680604462415141, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.03240269904957582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02870656947385719, "ret_p1w": -0.11249733183849268, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11249733183849268, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05796798214656278, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0457617938010854, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05452934969192991, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06673553803740728, "ret_p1m": -0.12651995220914328, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12651995220914328, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02655352153255322, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016917940052457142, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09996643067659006, "bench_c_p1m": -0.14343789226160042, "ret_p3m": -0.06919457351019213, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06919457351019213, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07280105477297709, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04374841857689575, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.003606481262784955, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025446154933296383, "ret_p6m": -0.13292240194957508, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13292240194957508, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1462664990331123, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05084435831502168, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013344097083537232, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0820780436345534, "ret_p1y": -0.34428727220549415, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34428727220549415, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47907218008959185, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24962751906984626, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1347849078840977, "bench_c_p1y": -0.0946597531356479, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12651995220914328, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02655352153255322, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016917940052457142, "price_path": [0.1962, 0.174, 0.1815, 0.1805, 0.1939, 0.2085, 0.1782, 0.186, 0.1823, 0.2388, 0.2393, 0.2094, 0.2224, 0.2947, 0.2791, 0.2508, 0.3066, 0.3115, 0.39, 0.3382, 0.3748, 0.3387, 0.3385, 0.3385, 0.3456, 0.2539, 0.194, 0.1755, 0.1446, 0.1566, 0.1215, 0.1008, 0.1427, 0.1279, 0.0745, 0.0204, 0.0612, 0.0741, 0.0087, 0.0096, 0.0366, 0.0669, 0.0396, 0.0882, 0.0699, 0.0829, 0.0495, 0.0038, -0.033, -0.0895, -0.0671, -0.045, -0.0491, -0.0566, -0.1094, -0.0786, -0.0638, -0.111, -0.125, -0.1323, -0.1547, -0.0979, -0.1036, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0084, -0.076, -0.065, -0.1125, -0.1275, -0.0983, -0.0624, -0.0912, -0.1419, -0.188, -0.1711, -0.2005, -0.2224, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2041, -0.1619, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.1082, -0.1077, -0.0732, -0.0826, -0.086, -0.0723, -0.0597, -0.062, -0.0784, -0.0475, -0.0478, -0.063, -0.073, -0.0852, -0.1119, -0.1464, -0.1432, -0.1308, -0.1328, -0.1348, -0.1184, -0.1339, -0.1478, -0.1462, -0.152, -0.155, -0.1793, -0.1841, -0.1759, -0.1619, -0.1269, -0.1187, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0719, -0.075, -0.091, -0.0879, -0.0886, -0.0578, -0.0615, -0.0692, -0.0616, -0.0958, -0.0917, -0.1118, -0.1213, -0.1425, -0.1209, -0.1108, -0.0958, -0.0985, -0.1068, -0.0991, -0.1081, -0.0706, -0.0603, -0.0995, -0.118, -0.0865, -0.1048, -0.1149, -0.1215, -0.1037, -0.103, -0.1206, -0.1062, -0.0624, -0.0253, -0.0326, 0.062, 0.049, 0.0621, 0.0576, 0.0546, 0.0702, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.1019, 0.1282, 0.0921, 0.0684, 0.0395, 0.0457, 0.0284, -0.0322, -0.0611, -0.02, -0.0166, -0.0425, -0.0242, -0.0192, -0.022, -0.0455, -0.034, -0.0377, -0.0366, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0524, -0.0846, -0.1274, -0.1317, -0.1246, -0.1329]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1232862254443331585", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-02-27T02:57:21+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: slowing US shale growth vs demand is a watershed moment that will dominate in months ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US shale growth no longer satisfying global demand growth in 2020 (and beyond) is a watershed moment for the energy sector. Fear eventually fades...when it does this will become the dominant theme in the months ahead. I remain bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "U.S. shale oil output growth to slow in 2020 - Schlumberger CEO https://t.co/OWhqpSK20z", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05649959819712791, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05649959819712791, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00947563914753391, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00947563914753391, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.047023959049594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.047023959049594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008829836483700282, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008829836483700282, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033184423513753503, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033184423513753503, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0042014259997453784, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0042014259997453784, "ret_p1w": -0.006179684497397031, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006179684497397031, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022818031862422372, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022818031862422372, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01663834736502534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01663834736502534, "ret_p1m": -0.3607606193878621, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3607606193878621, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21757298846861728, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21757298846861728, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.1431876309192448, "bench_c_p1m": -0.1431876309192448, "ret_p3m": -0.10759189056986129, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10759189056986129, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.118780876954372, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.118780876954372, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011188986384510713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011188986384510713, "ret_p6m": -0.17659236225149366, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17659236225149366, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3294243260889914, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3294243260889914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15283196383749775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15283196383749775, "ret_p1y": 0.05153427553195211, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05153427553195211, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.29286625884193307, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.29286625884193307, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3444005343738852, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3444005343738852, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3607606193878621, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21757298846861728, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21757298846861728, "price_path": [0.2498, 0.2311, 0.2496, 0.2436, 0.2674, 0.2659, 0.2685, 0.2663, 0.2897, 0.2799, 0.2971, 0.298, 0.3028, 0.3024, 0.3149, 0.3284, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.3273, 0.3218, 0.3176, 0.3251, 0.3251, 0.337, 0.333, 0.3434, 0.3399, 0.3178, 0.3275, 0.32, 0.3205, 0.3207, 0.311, 0.3132, 0.3048, 0.3048, 0.2814, 0.269, 0.2642, 0.2496, 0.215, 0.2205, 0.2077, 0.2174, 0.1794, 0.164, 0.1682, 0.2121, 0.1997, 0.1913, 0.1854, 0.1986, 0.2147, 0.211, 0.2046, 0.2046, 0.1947, 0.2105, 0.2092, 0.1949, 0.1397, 0.0894, 0.0565, 0.0, -0.0009, 0.0395, 0.0077, 0.0316, -0.0062, -0.062, -0.2509, -0.2154, -0.2569, -0.3496, -0.2896, -0.3862, -0.382, -0.4708, -0.4348, -0.4293, -0.4682, -0.3829, -0.3538, -0.3143, -0.3608, -0.3542, -0.3443, -0.3768, -0.3197, -0.3269, -0.2913, -0.2761, -0.2279, -0.2349, -0.2349, -0.2373, -0.2409, -0.2766, -0.3075, -0.234, -0.2579, -0.271, -0.245, -0.2206, -0.2188, -0.2019, -0.1836, -0.1232, -0.1426, -0.1911, -0.1631, -0.1624, -0.1843, -0.1631, -0.125, -0.1403, -0.1554, -0.1938, -0.1848, -0.1879, -0.1216, -0.1462, -0.1121, -0.1263, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1076, -0.0961, -0.1214, -0.1254, -0.1101, -0.0853, -0.0584, -0.0582, 0.0118, 0.0574, 0.0176, -0.0325, -0.1236, -0.1015, -0.0988, -0.0728, -0.1044, -0.0934, -0.1071, -0.103, -0.1021, -0.1519, -0.1357, -0.1656, -0.1544, -0.135, -0.156, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.1441, -0.1713, -0.172, -0.2129, -0.1878, -0.1921, -0.1638, -0.1457, -0.1496, -0.1615, -0.1754, -0.1256, -0.1364, -0.138, -0.1428, -0.1419, -0.1565, -0.1389, -0.1727, -0.1766, -0.1736, -0.1535, -0.1446, -0.1515, -0.1503, -0.124, -0.127, -0.1183, -0.1355, -0.1272, -0.1323, -0.1432, -0.1531, -0.1713, -0.1766]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1182277921270050816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-10-10T12:53:16+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are <6 months out from the beginning of the next bull run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-only energy fund manager calls for energy sector bull run starting within 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As one of the last surviving long-only energy fund managers in the world, I'll be performing my monthly act of penitence tomorrow at 12ET on @marketcall. It feels like the world is against us right now but we are &lt;6 months out from the beginning of the next bull run #OOTT https://t.co/Mo13C9o18f", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01243016454088497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01243016454088497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005712259010408727, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005712259010408727, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0067179055304762425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0067179055304762425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013480302858485782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013480302858485782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0031133992232317276, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031133992232317276, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010366903635254054, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010366903635254054, "ret_p1w": 0.003676429857578656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003676429857578656, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016921080707704705, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016921080707704705, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02059751056528336, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02059751056528336, "ret_p1m": 0.06249993807615639, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06249993807615639, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008960166159709182, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008960166159709182, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05353977191644721, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05353977191644721, "ret_p3m": 0.10531502933568904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10531502933568904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0006624680897222568, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0006624680897222568, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1059774974254113, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1059774974254113, "ret_p6m": -0.44474798887118194, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44474798887118194, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30028235034629447, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30028235034629447, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.14446563852488747, "bench_c_p6m": -0.14446563852488747, "ret_p1y": -0.40806313295738283, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.40806313295738283, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5697486757449927, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5697486757449927, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16168554278760983, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16168554278760983, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06249993807615639, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008960166159709182, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008960166159709182, "price_path": [0.1079, 0.0961, 0.0836, 0.0838, 0.0888, 0.0938, 0.0968, 0.1014, 0.089, 0.0834, 0.0791, 0.0912, 0.0877, 0.0631, 0.0478, 0.0166, 0.0154, 0.0078, 0.0367, 0.0253, 0.0131, 0.0225, -0.0176, -0.0236, -0.0108, 0.0111, 0.0026, 0.009, 0.0045, -0.0292, -0.025, -0.0311, -0.0172, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0077, 0.0062, 0.0187, 0.0241, 0.0445, 0.0569, 0.0579, 0.0513, 0.0596, 0.0952, 0.0799, 0.0747, 0.072, 0.0728, 0.0732, 0.0562, 0.0579, 0.0441, 0.0439, 0.0364, 0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0018, 0.0046, -0.0044, -0.0214, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0135, 0.013, 0.0172, 0.003, 0.0037, -0.0016, 0.0163, 0.0294, 0.038, 0.0336, 0.042, 0.0361, 0.0403, 0.0191, 0.0147, 0.0378, 0.0716, 0.073, 0.0511, 0.0669, 0.0625, 0.0565, 0.0511, 0.0466, 0.0438, 0.0518, 0.039, 0.0236, 0.034, 0.0509, 0.0474, 0.0485, 0.0389, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0156, 0.0308, 0.0259, 0.0455, 0.0443, 0.0464, 0.0446, 0.0639, 0.0558, 0.07, 0.0707, 0.0748, 0.0744, 0.0847, 0.0958, 0.0953, 0.0953, 0.095, 0.0904, 0.0869, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.1029, 0.0997, 0.1082, 0.1053, 0.0871, 0.0951, 0.0889, 0.0893, 0.0895, 0.0815, 0.0833, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0571, 0.0469, 0.0429, 0.0309, 0.0023, 0.0068, -0.0037, 0.0043, -0.027, -0.0398, -0.0363, -0.0001, -0.0103, -0.0172, -0.0221, -0.0112, 0.0021, -0.001, -0.0063, -0.0063, -0.0145, -0.0014, -0.0025, -0.0143, -0.0598, -0.1013, -0.1285, -0.1751, -0.1758, -0.1425, -0.1687, -0.149, -0.1802, -0.2262, -0.3821, -0.3528, -0.387, -0.4635, -0.4139, -0.4937, -0.4902, -0.5634, -0.5337, -0.5292, -0.5613, -0.4909, -0.4669, -0.4343, -0.4727, -0.4673, -0.4591, -0.4859, -0.4388, -0.4447]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1173620336501448704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-16T15:31:07+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Saturday marks the beginning of what will be a very powerful rally in energy stocks. Today is just the beginning.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish energy/oil stocks: worst sentiment + cheapest valuations + largest supply disruption = powerful rally starting now.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'll be on BNN at 2pm today to discuss why Saturday marks the beginning of what will be a very powerful rally in energy stocks.  Today is just the beginning. The market is just starting to figure that out. #OOTT https://t.co/lAN8X1a4GU https://t.co/5grTeBwTki\n\n---\n\nComing into the weekend...worst sentiment in history combined with cheapest valuations in history.  Combine that with the largest supply disruption in history and you get a very powerful rally in oil stocks #OOTT https://t.co/bEReuACYrE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03247268324805286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03247268324805286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03557105642804226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03557105642804226, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01393953943225501, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01393953943225501, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01647172326981239, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01647172326981239, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "ret_p1w": -0.020107330218186115, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020107330218186115, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018199066594318247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018199066594318247, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "ret_p1m": -0.07126004077373882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07126004077373882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07159429577930865, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07159429577930865, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "ret_p3m": -0.0285793660603898, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0285793660603898, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08999535382773483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08999535382773483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "ret_p6m": -0.4090213439148661, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4090213439148661, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37909237984256194, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37909237984256194, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "ret_p1y": -0.39338524258433694, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39338524258433694, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6088725708827296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6088725708827296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07126004077373882, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07159429577930865, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07159429577930865, "price_path": [-0.0221, -0.0004, 0.0068, -0.0022, -0.0101, 0.0051, -0.0024, 0.0092, 0.0101, -0.006, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0006, 0.0008, 0.0016, 0.0144, 0.0165, 0.0208, 0.0116, 0.0008, -0.0106, -0.0105, -0.0059, -0.0013, 0.0014, 0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0108, -0.0147, -0.0036, -0.0068, -0.0293, -0.0432, -0.0718, -0.0729, -0.0798, -0.0534, -0.0638, -0.0749, -0.0664, -0.103, -0.1085, -0.0968, -0.0768, -0.0846, -0.0787, -0.0828, -0.1136, -0.1098, -0.1153, -0.1026, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0939, -0.0813, -0.0699, -0.0649, -0.0463, -0.035, -0.0341, -0.0401, -0.0325, 0.0, -0.0139, -0.0187, -0.0212, -0.0204, -0.0201, -0.0356, -0.034, -0.0466, -0.0468, -0.0537, -0.0756, -0.0983, -0.0885, -0.0828, -0.0909, -0.1064, -0.0983, -0.0869, -0.0746, -0.0751, -0.0713, -0.0842, -0.0836, -0.0884, -0.0721, -0.0601, -0.0522, -0.0562, -0.0486, -0.054, -0.0502, -0.0695, -0.0735, -0.0524, -0.0215, -0.0203, -0.0402, -0.0259, -0.0299, -0.0353, -0.0402, -0.0444, -0.047, -0.0396, -0.0513, -0.0653, -0.0559, -0.0404, -0.0436, -0.0426, -0.0514, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0727, -0.0588, -0.0633, -0.0454, -0.0465, -0.0446, -0.0462, -0.0286, -0.0359, -0.023, -0.0223, -0.0187, -0.019, -0.0096, 0.0006, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0076, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0071, 0.0041, 0.0119, 0.0092, -0.0074, -0.0001, -0.0057, -0.0054, -0.0052, -0.0125, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0348, -0.0441, -0.0478, -0.0588, -0.0849, -0.0807, -0.0903, -0.083, -0.1116, -0.1233, -0.1201, -0.087, -0.0963, -0.1026, -0.1071, -0.0972, -0.085, -0.0878, -0.0927, -0.0927, -0.1001, -0.0882, -0.0892, -0.1, -0.1415, -0.1794, -0.2042, -0.2468, -0.2474, -0.217, -0.241, -0.223, -0.2514, -0.2935, -0.4358, -0.409]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1273997565424472067", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-06-19T15:14:23+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$50WTI by year-end = 100%+ upside for energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "WTI to $50 by year-end drives 100%+ upside in energy stocks as inventory normalizes and E&P optionality preserved.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WTI at $40/bbl = the perfect price level for now: balances preservation of E&amp;P option value by taking them out of the death zone while further enforcing spending discipline to aid in the inventory normalization. $50WTI by year-end = 100%+ upside for energy stocks. https://t.co/KCqKVWJINj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015415567301681365, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015415567301681365, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009667990335511911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009667990335511911, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005747576966169454, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005747576966169454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004632680024379221, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004632680024379221, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017825150231240983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017825150231240983, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006415195047503319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006415195047503319, "ret_p1w": -0.06549971335800608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06549971335800608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03766783574051802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03766783574051802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027831877617488066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027831877617488066, "ret_p1m": -0.07650553082086242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07650553082086242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12730897501906435, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12730897501906435, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05080344419820193, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05080344419820193, "ret_p3m": -0.13128062691441145, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13128062691441145, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22906440047515042, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22906440047515042, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09778377356073897, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09778377356073897, "ret_p6m": 0.03234811153797623, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03234811153797623, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1538873470997959, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1538873470997959, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18623545863777213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18623545863777213, "ret_p1y": 0.49182740140933934, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.49182740140933934, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10778079622693526, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.10778079622693526, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3840466051824041, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3840466051824041, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07650553082086242, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12730897501906435, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12730897501906435, "price_path": [-0.3088, -0.2762, -0.232, -0.2841, -0.2767, -0.2656, -0.302, -0.2381, -0.2461, -0.2062, -0.1893, -0.1352, -0.143, -0.143, -0.1458, -0.1499, -0.1898, -0.2244, -0.142, -0.1688, -0.1835, -0.1544, -0.1271, -0.1251, -0.1061, -0.0857, -0.0179, -0.0397, -0.094, -0.0627, -0.0619, -0.0864, -0.0627, -0.02, -0.0371, -0.0541, -0.097, -0.0869, -0.0905, -0.0162, -0.0437, -0.0056, -0.0215, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0005, 0.0124, -0.0159, -0.0205, -0.0033, 0.0245, 0.0546, 0.0548, 0.1332, 0.1842, 0.1398, 0.0836, -0.0184, 0.0063, 0.0094, 0.0384, 0.003, 0.0154, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0057, -0.0501, -0.032, -0.0655, -0.053, -0.0312, -0.0547, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0414, -0.0719, -0.0727, -0.1185, -0.0903, -0.0952, -0.0635, -0.0432, -0.0476, -0.0609, -0.0765, -0.0207, -0.0327, -0.0345, -0.0399, -0.0389, -0.0553, -0.0356, -0.0734, -0.0778, -0.0745, -0.0519, -0.042, -0.0496, -0.0484, -0.0189, -0.0222, -0.0125, -0.0317, -0.0225, -0.0281, -0.0404, -0.0514, -0.0719, -0.0778, -0.0524, -0.0658, -0.0855, -0.0837, -0.0673, -0.0875, -0.0937, -0.098, -0.1047, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.14, -0.1341, -0.1658, -0.1651, -0.1587, -0.1648, -0.1313, -0.13, -0.1397, -0.1682, -0.1768, -0.214, -0.2143, -0.2148, -0.1963, -0.2185, -0.2208, -0.2447, -0.2374, -0.2146, -0.2263, -0.2153, -0.1859, -0.1989, -0.1969, -0.2093, -0.206, -0.1963, -0.2146, -0.2312, -0.2221, -0.2369, -0.2054, -0.2093, -0.2377, -0.2476, -0.2791, -0.257, -0.2528, -0.2273, -0.2317, -0.2307, -0.2307, -0.2473, -0.1399, -0.112, -0.1212, -0.1495, -0.1185, -0.0605, -0.0509, -0.0785, -0.0634, -0.0683, -0.0025, 0.0487, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0123, -0.0436, -0.0392, -0.008, 0.0024, 0.0571, 0.0323, 0.0477, 0.05, 0.0823, 0.0698, 0.0323]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1233440824224108549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-02-28T17:16:23+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "is it rational then to impair the value of a 10+ year asset by 35% (or more) YTD???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector; argues 35%+ YTD decline is irrational given demand hit is short-term and long-duration asset values remain intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This week to me has felt a lot like 2009 &amp; 2015 with energy stocks plunging 5%+ a day and continuing to decouple from the oil price.  Base case remains that demand hit to be a short-term event...is it rational then to impair the value of a 10+ year asset by 35% (or more) YTD??? https://t.co/bAkK3toLxM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0008837639975289857, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0008837639975289857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0033353884590443528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0033353884590443528, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0042191524565733385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0042191524565733385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040424088694192006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040424088694192006, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028826690847962855, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0028826690847962855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.04330675777898829, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04330675777898829, "ret_p1w": -0.06118811671280011, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06118811671280011, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0652388682778633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0652388682778633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004050751565063182, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004050751565063182, "ret_p1m": -0.3536463543013909, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3536463543013909, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2420166834169244, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2420166834169244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11162967088446651, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11162967088446651, "ret_p3m": -0.09528559390372227, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09528559390372227, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12584945396776637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12584945396776637, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0305638600640441, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0305638600640441, "ret_p6m": -0.15321967343679943, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15321967343679943, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32264652539855154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32264652539855154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1694268519617521, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1694268519617521, "ret_p1y": 0.07885170348324544, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07885170348324544, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27005183650864106, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.27005183650864106, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3489035399918865, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3489035399918865, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3536463543013909, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2420166834169244, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2420166834169244, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2507, 0.2447, 0.2685, 0.267, 0.2696, 0.2675, 0.2908, 0.281, 0.2983, 0.2991, 0.304, 0.3036, 0.3161, 0.3296, 0.3289, 0.3289, 0.3285, 0.3229, 0.3188, 0.3263, 0.3263, 0.3382, 0.3342, 0.3446, 0.3411, 0.319, 0.3287, 0.3212, 0.3216, 0.3218, 0.3121, 0.3143, 0.3059, 0.3059, 0.2825, 0.2702, 0.2653, 0.2507, 0.216, 0.2216, 0.2087, 0.2185, 0.1805, 0.165, 0.1692, 0.2132, 0.2008, 0.1924, 0.1864, 0.1997, 0.2158, 0.2121, 0.2057, 0.2057, 0.1957, 0.2116, 0.2103, 0.1959, 0.1407, 0.0903, 0.0574, 0.0009, 0.0, 0.0404, 0.0086, 0.0325, -0.0053, -0.0612, -0.2503, -0.2147, -0.2562, -0.349, -0.2889, -0.3857, -0.3815, -0.4703, -0.4343, -0.4288, -0.4677, -0.3823, -0.3532, -0.3137, -0.3602, -0.3536, -0.3437, -0.3762, -0.3191, -0.3263, -0.2906, -0.2755, -0.2272, -0.2342, -0.2342, -0.2367, -0.2403, -0.276, -0.3069, -0.2333, -0.2572, -0.2703, -0.2443, -0.2199, -0.2181, -0.2012, -0.1829, -0.1224, -0.1418, -0.1904, -0.1624, -0.1617, -0.1836, -0.1624, -0.1242, -0.1396, -0.1547, -0.1931, -0.184, -0.1872, -0.1208, -0.1454, -0.1113, -0.1255, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1068, -0.0953, -0.1206, -0.1246, -0.1093, -0.0844, -0.0576, -0.0573, 0.0127, 0.0583, 0.0185, -0.0316, -0.1228, -0.1007, -0.098, -0.072, -0.1036, -0.0926, -0.1064, -0.1022, -0.1013, -0.1512, -0.1349, -0.1649, -0.1537, -0.1342, -0.1553, -0.1459, -0.1459, -0.1434, -0.1706, -0.1713, -0.2122, -0.1871, -0.1914, -0.1631, -0.145, -0.1489, -0.1608, -0.1747, -0.1249, -0.1356, -0.1372, -0.142, -0.1411, -0.1557, -0.1381, -0.172, -0.1759, -0.1729, -0.1528, -0.1438, -0.1507, -0.1496, -0.1233, -0.1262, -0.1175, -0.1347, -0.1265, -0.1315, -0.1425, -0.1523, -0.1706, -0.1759, -0.1532]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1560243527279382528", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-08-18T12:33:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it feels like an Iranian deal + weak global economy have been fundamentally priced in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil (market still short, Iran deal only defers spike to 2024) and energy stocks (Iran deal + weak economy already priced in at deeply discounted FCF/EV multiples).", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What could an Iran deal mean for oil? 0.7-1MM Bbl/d over 6-9 months = 6 months of demand growth once China comes back. Defers the \"$150+ spike\" to 2024 (?), likely sets a higher floor as the last of the \"low hanging fruit\" capacity is brought online. Market still short IMO.\n\n---\n\nWith energy stocks trading at an estimated 20%/25%/29% FCF yields and 3.2x/2.8x/2.5x EV/CF at $80/$90/$100WTI, to me it feels like an Iranian deal + weak global economy have been fundamentally priced in. https://t.co/cEtiLd3lej", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026170023342413917, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026170023342413917, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023272036226208992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023272036226208992, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028979871162049253, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028979871162049253, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002516537441085154, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0002516537441085154, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01318628309559211, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01318628309559211, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013437936839700626, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013437936839700626, "ret_p1w": 0.05460514883123557, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05460514883123557, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07418960107332195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07418960107332195, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01958445224208638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01958445224208638, "ret_p1m": -0.013084793221776359, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013084793221776359, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08214105517828574, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08214105517828574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0952258484000621, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0952258484000621, "ret_p3m": 0.19659990014676532, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19659990014676532, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26148356227911074, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26148356227911074, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06488366213234542, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06488366213234542, "ret_p6m": 0.15919480413660203, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15919480413660203, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19727103479614405, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19727103479614405, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03807623065954202, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03807623065954202, "ret_p1y": 0.13982533001974673, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13982533001974673, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.06929315959354909, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06929315959354909, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07053217042619764, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07053217042619764, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013084793221776359, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08214105517828574, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08214105517828574, "price_path": [0.0443, 0.0483, 0.0699, 0.0817, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.085, 0.1026, 0.0991, 0.1137, 0.1125, 0.1457, 0.1482, 0.1228, 0.1038, 0.0461, 0.0481, 0.025, -0.0327, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0382, -0.0767, -0.111, -0.0993, -0.0728, -0.0478, -0.0809, -0.1003, -0.0868, -0.0868, -0.123, -0.138, -0.1069, -0.1073, -0.1159, -0.1331, -0.1345, -0.1509, -0.137, -0.1173, -0.0901, -0.0813, -0.0974, -0.1048, -0.072, -0.0804, -0.0596, -0.0544, -0.0133, -0.0337, -0.036, -0.0637, -0.0984, -0.0805, -0.0757, -0.0595, -0.0527, -0.0201, -0.0127, -0.032, -0.0342, -0.0262, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0021, 0.0338, 0.0466, 0.0546, 0.0423, 0.058, 0.0221, 0.0128, -0.0121, 0.006, 0.006, -0.0033, -0.0148, -0.0106, 0.0141, 0.0327, 0.0067, 0.0351, 0.0084, -0.0131, -0.0125, -0.0194, -0.0337, -0.0372, -0.1036, -0.1256, -0.1158, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.084, -0.0322, 0.0094, 0.0302, 0.0486, 0.0404, 0.019, 0.0109, 0.019, 0.0606, 0.0211, 0.0338, 0.0428, 0.0736, 0.0746, 0.1057, 0.1109, 0.112, 0.1272, 0.1312, 0.1352, 0.1447, 0.1558, 0.1279, 0.1488, 0.1628, 0.1827, 0.1839, 0.126, 0.1511, 0.1845, 0.1841, 0.1966, 0.1722, 0.1747, 0.1654, 0.1497, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1685, 0.1364, 0.1536, 0.1593, 0.1555, 0.1486, 0.1146, 0.0852, 0.0826, 0.0778, 0.0516, 0.0792, 0.0997, 0.0929, 0.0863, 0.073, 0.0728, 0.089, 0.1097, 0.0842, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1307, 0.1054, 0.1169, 0.124, 0.124, 0.0845, 0.0844, 0.1042, 0.1251, 0.1212, 0.1291, 0.1326, 0.1542, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1583, 0.1371, 0.1512, 0.1627, 0.1642, 0.1597, 0.1598, 0.1965, 0.1723, 0.1454, 0.1556, 0.1329, 0.107, 0.1046, 0.0996, 0.1353, 0.1251, 0.1155, 0.1592]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1356592872573853696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-02T13:18:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my average holding is still down 25% from its 52 week high and trades at a 41% free cashflow yield and 3.1x EV/CF at $60WTI. Still lots of upside ahead!!!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds energy equities with deep value (41% FCF yield, 3.1x EV/CF) still 25% off highs; sees significant upside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well, it took 11 very, very, very long months to achieve but my Fund is now ~ back to pre-COVID levels. Still lots of work to do but excited with how the macro continues to shape up and the opportunity ahead for energy investors! https://t.co/HCL1UAc4CZ\n\n---\n\nLooking at that chart and feeling like upside from here is limited??? My average holding is still down 25% from its 52 week high and trades at a 41% free cashflow yield and 3.1x EV/CF at $60WTI. Still lots of upside ahead!!! https://t.co/KjE1JW2luB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01074187360912171, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01074187360912171, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003201015386896322, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003201015386896322, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013942888996018032, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013942888996018032, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04271802564395499, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04271802564395499, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04193179802182234, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04193179802182234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007862276221326514, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007862276221326514, "ret_p1w": 0.09592810849354905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09592810849354905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07312656236331216, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07312656236331216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022801546130236883, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022801546130236883, "ret_p1m": 0.24531611624017513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24531611624017513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24565660581142545, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24565660581142545, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0003404895712503242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0003404895712503242, "ret_p3m": 0.24691570596655654, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24691570596655654, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14963681304653154, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14963681304653154, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.097278892920025, "bench_c_p3m": 0.097278892920025, "ret_p6m": 0.2678203333403628, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2678203333403628, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11015407274667366, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11015407274667366, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15766626059368916, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15766626059368916, "ret_p1y": 0.6659167925983895, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6659167925983895, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.47942714041411416, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.47942714041411416, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18648965218427538, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18648965218427538, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24531611624017513, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24565660581142545, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24565660581142545, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2868, -0.185, -0.1586, -0.1673, -0.1941, -0.1648, -0.1098, -0.1007, -0.1268, -0.1125, -0.1172, -0.0549, -0.0063, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0408, -0.0938, -0.0896, -0.06, -0.0502, 0.0016, -0.0218, -0.0073, -0.0051, 0.0255, 0.0137, -0.0218, -0.0026, -0.0075, -0.0122, -0.0287, -0.0475, -0.0635, -0.0427, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0537, -0.06, -0.0452, -0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0517, -0.0092, 0.021, 0.036, 0.0347, 0.051, 0.0877, 0.0792, 0.1112, 0.0679, 0.0679, 0.0894, 0.0934, 0.0565, 0.051, 0.0402, 0.018, 0.0042, 0.016, -0.0177, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0427, 0.0542, 0.0632, 0.1077, 0.0959, 0.1169, 0.0997, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1439, 0.1609, 0.1346, 0.1536, 0.1936, 0.2133, 0.2563, 0.2321, 0.2028, 0.2341, 0.2273, 0.2453, 0.275, 0.3228, 0.3253, 0.302, 0.335, 0.3355, 0.3382, 0.323, 0.2853, 0.2953, 0.2371, 0.2373, 0.2255, 0.2075, 0.2378, 0.2424, 0.2732, 0.258, 0.2472, 0.2386, 0.2701, 0.2701, 0.2398, 0.2366, 0.2409, 0.2247, 0.2166, 0.207, 0.2083, 0.2419, 0.2318, 0.2219, 0.2207, 0.1883, 0.2035, 0.1894, 0.2002, 0.2083, 0.2229, 0.2651, 0.2792, 0.2469, 0.2813, 0.282, 0.3234, 0.3302, 0.354, 0.3545, 0.3196, 0.3259, 0.3098, 0.3504, 0.3817, 0.3497, 0.3161, 0.3141, 0.3168, 0.33, 0.303, 0.3146, 0.3156, 0.3181, 0.3181, 0.3689, 0.3944, 0.3981, 0.4075, 0.4014, 0.4135, 0.4047, 0.4029, 0.3981, 0.3921, 0.4186, 0.411, 0.363, 0.3227, 0.379, 0.3882, 0.392, 0.404, 0.4114, 0.3637, 0.3571, 0.3739, 0.3979, 0.3948, 0.3948, 0.3494, 0.3275, 0.3198, 0.3479, 0.3459, 0.3357, 0.2959, 0.2778, 0.2416, 0.1977, 0.2138, 0.2561, 0.2421, 0.2375, 0.2681, 0.2563, 0.2678]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1524387704926089217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-11T13:55:25+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks = ESG greenlighted now??? Imagine if the $$$ that fled due to ESG mandates now returns? Think of the multiple rerating...", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks on potential ESG-mandate-driven capital return and multiple re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Russian oil = bad\nNon-Russian oil = good = ESG friendly\n\nCanada = highest rated ESG barrel in the world\nCanadian energy stocks = ESG greenlighted now???\n\nImagine if the $$$ that fled due to ESG mandates now returns? Think of the multiple rerating...\n\nhttps://t.co/q9r1lStc2Q https://t.co/940DD6Sjnf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01745320940607975, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01745320940607975, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033595750738563135, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033595750738563135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016142541332483384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016142541332483384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012928279345492788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012928279345492788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011884446409344829, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011884446409344829, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0010438329361479592, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0010438329361479592, "ret_p1w": 0.04912728930132926, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04912728930132926, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05139314251404703, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05139314251404703, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002265853212717772, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002265853212717772, "ret_p1m": 0.18293458228798531, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18293458228798531, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16080847721854719, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16080847721854719, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02212610506943813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02212610506943813, "ret_p3m": -0.07567140257978633, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07567140257978633, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13174786186430743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13174786186430743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056076459284521096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056076459284521096, "ret_p6m": 0.14873824907357358, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14873824907357358, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19611374662271752, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19611374662271752, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04737549754914394, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04737549754914394, "ret_p1y": 0.035771279534638545, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.035771279534638545, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04119095312481824, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04119095312481824, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07696223265945679, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07696223265945679, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18293458228798531, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16080847721854719, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16080847721854719, "price_path": [-0.155, -0.1659, -0.1679, -0.1608, -0.1601, -0.1794, -0.1794, -0.1782, -0.1762, -0.1717, -0.1524, -0.1306, -0.1209, -0.1132, -0.1248, -0.0939, -0.0675, -0.0663, -0.0997, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.1228, -0.1389, -0.1364, -0.1042, -0.1113, -0.0733, -0.081, -0.0643, -0.0663, -0.0394, -0.0621, -0.0659, -0.0601, -0.0666, -0.0524, -0.0381, -0.0543, -0.0672, -0.0504, -0.0304, -0.0549, -0.0323, -0.0162, -0.0058, -0.0058, 0.0226, 0.0078, 0.022, -0.0142, -0.033, -0.0646, -0.0562, -0.0252, 0.0246, 0.0097, 0.0058, 0.0446, 0.0698, 0.0601, 0.0621, -0.0142, -0.0175, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.0259, 0.0517, 0.0659, 0.0491, 0.0543, 0.0601, 0.0601, 0.086, 0.1086, 0.1131, 0.1325, 0.159, 0.1286, 0.1487, 0.1487, 0.1519, 0.1616, 0.1881, 0.1965, 0.1829, 0.1648, 0.1286, 0.108, 0.0931, 0.0375, -0.0213, 0.0019, 0.0259, -0.0284, -0.0957, -0.0659, -0.0223, 0.0188, -0.0177, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0105, -0.077, -0.1135, -0.0731, -0.0835, -0.0959, -0.1258, -0.1291, -0.1434, -0.131, -0.1004, -0.0783, -0.0652, -0.0854, -0.0985, -0.0659, -0.0737, -0.0451, -0.0255, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0164, -0.0581, -0.0978, -0.0809, -0.0757, -0.0692, -0.0594, -0.0229, -0.0144, -0.0301, -0.0425, -0.0281, -0.0014, -0.006, 0.0012, 0.0325, 0.0429, 0.05, 0.0429, 0.0592, 0.0188, 0.0097, -0.0131, 0.0084, 0.0084, -0.0125, -0.0431, -0.0346, -0.0092, 0.0116, 0.0031, 0.0344, 0.0097, -0.0014, 0.0051, 0.0005, -0.021, -0.0379, -0.1132, -0.1436, -0.1237, -0.088, -0.086, -0.0854, -0.0331, 0.0105, 0.0297, 0.0502, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0099, 0.0092, 0.0416, 0.0066, 0.0079, 0.0026, 0.0337, 0.0495, 0.0681, 0.0767, 0.08, 0.0998, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.1143, 0.1282, 0.1203, 0.1487]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1278690322181246976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-07-02T14:01:44+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Current low valuations (10%+ FCF yields) will not last", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oilpatch: Trans Mountain approval removes final roadblock, shrinking differentials boost FCF, current 10%+ FCF yield valuations won't last.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The final potential roadblock to Canada adding 590,000 Bbl/d of new takeaway capacity has just been eliminated! Great news for the Canadian oilpatch. Shrinking price differentials = more free cash flow. Current low valuations (10%+ FCF yields) will not last.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "#BREAKING: SUPREME COURT DISMISSES LEAVE TO APPEAL TRANS MOUNTAIN APPROVAL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014027902911890378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014027902911890378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008551464290781685, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008551464290781685, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005476438621108692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005476438621108692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020037881666100654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020037881666100654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0020037881666100654, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0020037881666100654, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.06813589961104427, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06813589961104427, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0750218870653715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0750218870653715, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006885987454327225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006885987454327225, "ret_p1m": -0.0320640750298109, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0320640750298109, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07783169690444214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07783169690444214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04576762187463124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04576762187463124, "ret_p3m": -0.14420115113888654, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14420115113888654, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2129662794406475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2129662794406475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06876512830176096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06876512830176096, "ret_p6m": 0.19973698548131225, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19973698548131225, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.008127056286925338, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.008127056286925338, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1916099291943869, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1916099291943869, "ret_p1y": 0.8632547376910569, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8632547376910569, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4952612884144365, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4952612884144365, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36799344927662037, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36799344927662037, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0320640750298109, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07783169690444214, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07783169690444214, "price_path": [-0.1688, -0.1748, -0.141, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1629, -0.1787, -0.2224, -0.2521, -0.1946, -0.2045, -0.2125, -0.1629, -0.145, -0.151, -0.147, -0.1073, 0.0097, -0.0121, -0.0557, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0795, -0.0617, -0.0359, -0.0438, -0.0319, -0.0875, -0.0855, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0101, 0.0474, 0.0276, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0216, 0.0256, 0.0117, -0.0061, 0.0157, 0.0653, 0.0831, 0.095, 0.1843, 0.218, 0.1744, 0.1268, 0.0196, 0.0395, 0.0335, 0.0534, 0.0038, -0.0002, -0.0061, -0.0042, 0.0196, -0.02, -0.016, -0.0401, -0.006, -0.014, -0.014, 0.0, -0.002, -0.002, -0.0301, -0.0481, -0.0681, -0.0381, -0.0461, -0.006, 0.014, 0.002, -0.012, -0.0301, 0.0561, 0.0441, 0.02, 0.016, 0.0261, -0.01, 0.008, -0.012, -0.0321, -0.0321, 0.0, 0.0321, 0.0481, 0.0581, 0.0902, 0.0842, 0.1062, 0.0882, 0.0982, 0.0982, 0.0802, 0.0762, 0.0601, 0.0301, 0.0721, 0.0741, 0.0521, 0.0501, 0.0561, 0.024, 0.0341, 0.014, 0.014, 0.004, 0.004, -0.0721, -0.0601, -0.0802, -0.0822, -0.0862, -0.0922, -0.0621, -0.0701, -0.0782, -0.1182, -0.1062, -0.1323, -0.1179, -0.1381, -0.1078, -0.1442, -0.1523, -0.1826, -0.1745, -0.1523, -0.1543, -0.1361, -0.0936, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1159, -0.1179, -0.1159, -0.13, -0.1361, -0.126, -0.1442, -0.1098, -0.1078, -0.1381, -0.1402, -0.1745, -0.1745, -0.1644, -0.1482, -0.13, -0.1321, -0.13, -0.1422, -0.0046, 0.0237, 0.0338, -0.0248, -0.0107, 0.0399, 0.0561, 0.0642, 0.0581, 0.0682, 0.1431, 0.1937, 0.1856, 0.1815, 0.1876, 0.1148, 0.1148, 0.139, 0.1471, 0.2119, 0.2018, 0.2159, 0.2139, 0.2604, 0.2625, 0.2341, 0.2463, 0.2159, 0.2179, 0.2099, 0.1795, 0.1573, 0.2058, 0.1997, 0.1997]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1357434388607356928", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-04T21:02:32+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can buy energy stocks trading at broken valuations despite solid energy macro. This will not last.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks on broken valuations vs solid macro; specific holding trades at 37% FCF yield and deep drilling inventory — mispricing won't persist.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It still amazes me that I can buy energy stocks trading at broken valuations despite solid energy macro. Here is a top 3 Fund holding.  At $60WTI and strip gas trading at 2.0X EV/'22CF and a 37% FCF yield with a solid balance sheet and deep drilling inventory. This will not last. https://t.co/nYu3UDbskT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00845898995182981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00845898995182981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004538479385822192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004538479385822192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04182338324723722, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04182338324723722, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03460128329670864, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03460128329670864, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "ret_p1w": 0.0495769306218532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0495769306218532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036860975112816385, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036860975112816385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "ret_p1m": 0.24647529370736065, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24647529370736065, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26192473321588994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26192473321588994, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "ret_p3m": 0.2447409490180692, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2447409490180692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16890653207944784, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16890653207944784, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "ret_p6m": 0.17590215567035017, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17590215567035017, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03984806060625501, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03984806060625501, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "ret_p1y": 0.606235859543582, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.606235859543582, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.47069262811043533, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.47069262811043533, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24647529370736065, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.26192473321588994, "alpha_c_stated": 0.26192473321588994, "price_path": [-0.2087, -0.2168, -0.242, -0.2145, -0.1627, -0.1542, -0.1787, -0.1653, -0.1697, -0.111, -0.0654, -0.0872, -0.0872, -0.0978, -0.1477, -0.1437, -0.1159, -0.1066, -0.0579, -0.08, -0.0663, -0.0642, -0.0355, -0.0466, -0.08, -0.0619, -0.0665, -0.0709, -0.0865, -0.1041, -0.1191, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.11, -0.1158, -0.102, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1081, -0.0681, -0.0397, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0115, 0.023, 0.015, 0.0451, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0247, 0.0284, -0.0063, -0.0115, -0.0216, -0.0425, -0.0555, -0.0444, -0.0761, -0.0695, -0.0594, -0.0193, -0.0085, 0.0, 0.0418, 0.0308, 0.0505, 0.0343, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0759, 0.0919, 0.0672, 0.0851, 0.1227, 0.1412, 0.1816, 0.1588, 0.1313, 0.1607, 0.1544, 0.1713, 0.1992, 0.2441, 0.2465, 0.2246, 0.2556, 0.2561, 0.2587, 0.2444, 0.2089, 0.2183, 0.1635, 0.1638, 0.1526, 0.1357, 0.1642, 0.1685, 0.1975, 0.1832, 0.173, 0.165, 0.1946, 0.1946, 0.1661, 0.1631, 0.1671, 0.1519, 0.1443, 0.1353, 0.1365, 0.168, 0.1585, 0.1493, 0.1481, 0.1177, 0.1319, 0.1187, 0.1289, 0.1365, 0.1502, 0.1899, 0.2032, 0.1728, 0.2051, 0.2058, 0.2447, 0.2512, 0.2735, 0.2739, 0.2412, 0.2471, 0.2319, 0.2701, 0.2996, 0.2694, 0.2379, 0.236, 0.2386, 0.2509, 0.2255, 0.2364, 0.2374, 0.2398, 0.2398, 0.2875, 0.3115, 0.315, 0.3238, 0.3181, 0.3295, 0.3212, 0.3195, 0.315, 0.3093, 0.3343, 0.3271, 0.282, 0.244, 0.297, 0.3057, 0.3093, 0.3206, 0.3275, 0.2826, 0.2764, 0.2922, 0.3148, 0.3119, 0.3119, 0.2692, 0.2486, 0.2414, 0.2678, 0.2659, 0.2563, 0.2188, 0.2018, 0.1677, 0.1265, 0.1416, 0.1814, 0.1682, 0.1639, 0.1927, 0.1817, 0.1925, 0.204, 0.1848, 0.1759]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1173935045339484160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-17T12:21:40+00:00", "symbol": "E&P oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "E&P's still greatly lagging WTI's 37% YTD rally and trading at 15% FCF yield, discount to liquidation value, and at < than half of historical EV/CF metrics. The rally has just begun", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "E&P stocks still cheap vs WTI rally, trading at 15% FCF yield and half historical EV/CF — rally has just begun.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stocks (and 1 Fund in particular!) up 10%+ yesterday...is that the end of the rally? E&amp;P's still greatly lagging WTI's 37% YTD rally and trading at 15% FCF yield, discount to liquidation value, and at &lt; than half of historical EV/CF metrics. The rally has just begun #OOTT https://t.co/MeFuUgZjZe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.056166261517297755, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.056166261517297755, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05869204959510754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05869204959510754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015465873739507807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015465873739507807, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01606446702847386, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01606446702847386, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "ret_p1w": -0.05856851925103257, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05856851925103257, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.046327101636929324, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.046327101636929324, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "ret_p1m": -0.1484229363580919, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1484229363580919, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1446279243666203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1446279243666203, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "ret_p3m": -0.11125593507419418, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11125593507419418, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17062511880155373, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17062511880155373, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "ret_p6m": -0.6177091240647233, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6177091240647233, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5381601875789107, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5381601875789107, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "ret_p1y": -0.4836214799180867, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4836214799180867, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6543144510795134, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6543144510795134, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1484229363580919, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1446279243666203, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1446279243666203, "price_path": [0.0838, 0.0871, 0.072, 0.0578, 0.0924, 0.0895, 0.1091, 0.107, 0.068, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.079, 0.0655, 0.068, 0.0908, 0.0786, 0.0859, 0.0566, 0.0358, 0.0033, -0.0049, 0.0077, 0.011, 0.0212, 0.0277, -0.0028, -0.0147, -0.033, 0.0163, 0.0187, -0.0448, -0.0558, -0.0948, -0.1083, -0.1103, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.1066, -0.1009, -0.1465, -0.1543, -0.1274, -0.0916, -0.0989, -0.0948, -0.1058, -0.1481, -0.1494, -0.1616, -0.1351, -0.1058, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1388, -0.116, -0.0928, -0.0961, -0.0452, -0.0366, -0.0338, -0.0537, -0.0468, 0.0562, 0.0, -0.0155, -0.035, -0.0283, -0.0316, -0.0586, -0.0573, -0.0757, -0.0806, -0.0867, -0.1198, -0.1443, -0.1313, -0.1325, -0.1431, -0.1676, -0.1611, -0.1525, -0.1317, -0.1431, -0.1423, -0.1484, -0.1443, -0.1603, -0.1541, -0.1403, -0.1235, -0.1264, -0.108, -0.1141, -0.0994, -0.1329, -0.1374, -0.1076, -0.0643, -0.0631, -0.0917, -0.0733, -0.0671, -0.088, -0.0912, -0.1055, -0.1141, -0.1031, -0.1309, -0.159, -0.1545, -0.1423, -0.1403, -0.1329, -0.1545, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1684, -0.168, -0.1815, -0.1562, -0.1631, -0.1329, -0.1272, -0.1211, -0.1264, -0.0933, -0.1113, -0.0859, -0.0618, -0.0561, -0.0443, -0.0476, -0.027, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0242, -0.0406, -0.0418, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0295, -0.0143, -0.0078, 0.0041, -0.034, -0.0385, -0.0476, -0.0611, -0.0508, -0.0619, -0.0672, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.1128, -0.1325, -0.1468, -0.1616, -0.1919, -0.1809, -0.1981, -0.1948, -0.2141, -0.2276, -0.2248, -0.1825, -0.1977, -0.212, -0.2317, -0.228, -0.2178, -0.2227, -0.2297, -0.2297, -0.2379, -0.2153, -0.2124, -0.2289, -0.276, -0.3142, -0.349, -0.3917, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3905, -0.3888, -0.4143, -0.4705, -0.6657, -0.5927, -0.6177]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1450460558751318020", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-19T13:55:20+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How inexpensive are energy stocks? In Q1'22 alone, at an oil price that is hedge-able right now, the average name I follow could buy back ~9% of its shares outstanding from free cashflow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks are cheap; at current hedgeable oil prices, names generate enough FCF to buy back ~9% of shares in a single quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How inexpensive are energy stocks? In Q1'22 alone, at an oil price that is hedge-able right now, the average name I follow could buy back ~9% of its shares outstanding from free cashflow. https://t.co/FF5slqht5h", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011203084265705265, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011203084265705265, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0035472493174152353, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0035472493174152353, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00765583494829003, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00765583494829003, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00810065361317669, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00810065361317669, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004173032778142405, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004173032778142405, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0039276208350342845, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0039276208350342845, "ret_p1w": 0.019303737878881844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019303737878881844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007498326853577542, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007498326853577542, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011805411025304302, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011805411025304302, "ret_p1m": -0.01361574204660776, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01361574204660776, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05244933663300333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05244933663300333, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03883359458639557, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03883359458639557, "ret_p3m": 0.12625489382093158, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12625489382093158, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09138760554991543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09138760554991543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03486728827101615, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03486728827101615, "ret_p6m": 0.4028217868583259, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4028217868583259, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41256490878523455, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41256490878523455, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.009743121926908627, "bench_c_p6m": -0.009743121926908627, "ret_p1y": 0.4853701773341377, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4853701773341377, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6446831087952091, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6446831087952091, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1593129314610714, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1593129314610714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01361574204660776, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05244933663300333, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05244933663300333, "price_path": [-0.1707, -0.1738, -0.1533, -0.1612, -0.1535, -0.1453, -0.159, -0.1653, -0.151, -0.1739, -0.1646, -0.1569, -0.1688, -0.1542, -0.1476, -0.1484, -0.1584, -0.1739, -0.1825, -0.1995, -0.2203, -0.2186, -0.1893, -0.1758, -0.1695, -0.1821, -0.1603, -0.1702, -0.1758, -0.1879, -0.1673, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.177, -0.1876, -0.1859, -0.1862, -0.1629, -0.175, -0.1441, -0.1539, -0.1602, -0.1858, -0.1839, -0.1587, -0.1293, -0.1227, -0.0915, -0.0884, -0.0884, -0.1022, -0.072, -0.0569, -0.0514, -0.0614, -0.0541, -0.025, -0.0286, -0.0277, -0.0286, -0.0167, -0.0119, -0.0112, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0105, -0.0012, 0.0134, 0.0193, -0.01, -0.0029, -0.0095, 0.0076, -0.0019, -0.0102, -0.0088, 0.0041, 0.0133, 0.0174, -0.0095, -0.0057, -0.0081, 0.0002, 0.0017, -0.0136, -0.0195, -0.0577, -0.041, -0.0115, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0421, -0.0365, -0.0591, -0.0691, -0.0421, -0.0496, -0.0355, -0.0129, -0.0131, -0.0207, -0.0134, -0.0408, -0.0448, -0.0495, -0.0434, -0.0629, -0.0745, -0.0482, -0.042, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0206, -0.0213, -0.0276, -0.0335, -0.031, -0.001, 0.0335, 0.0334, 0.0564, 0.0709, 0.0676, 0.1039, 0.106, 0.1004, 0.1263, 0.1263, 0.1308, 0.1226, 0.1123, 0.0903, 0.0976, 0.1402, 0.1383, 0.1507, 0.1458, 0.1509, 0.1919, 0.1957, 0.1844, 0.2029, 0.2183, 0.1921, 0.202, 0.1945, 0.2293, 0.2003, 0.1877, 0.1973, 0.1954, 0.1881, 0.1881, 0.1689, 0.1809, 0.1716, 0.2025, 0.2322, 0.2446, 0.2731, 0.2766, 0.3134, 0.3328, 0.3537, 0.3124, 0.3525, 0.3417, 0.3015, 0.2539, 0.2481, 0.2911, 0.2898, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.3549, 0.3582, 0.388, 0.3536, 0.3501, 0.3658, 0.3473, 0.3582, 0.36, 0.3387, 0.3466, 0.3642, 0.4018, 0.3596, 0.3822, 0.4028]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1170123198186348544", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-06T23:54:44+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I shift my energy fund to 100% Canadian E&P's this week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotated energy fund 100% into Canadian E&Ps over US E&Ps on valuation + regulatory risk; frac ban implies $100+ oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why did I shift my energy fund to 100% Canadian E&amp;P’s this week? Not just due to extremely attractive valuations. Insane rhetoric like this will plague US E&amp;P’s for the next year. A Trudeau re-election in contrast isn’t looking so bad after all! A frac ban would= $100+ oil #OOTT\n\n---\n\nIt's beginning to look a lot like Christmas... https://t.co/JBU5fUBIlN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02137797419323928, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02137797419323928, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02087476602921534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02087476602921534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005032081640239383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005032081640239383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02375278823633309, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02375278823633309, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023987716693947503, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023987716693947503, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023492845761441394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00023492845761441394, "ret_p1w": 0.13064144362265684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13064144362265684, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12406887345332529, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12406887345332529, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006572570169331549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006572570169331549, "ret_p1m": -0.0493994499143553, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0493994499143553, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021439684860901753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.021439684860901753, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027959765053453545, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027959765053453545, "ret_p3m": 0.0032124915847908664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0032124915847908664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.047964151778208786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.047964151778208786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117664336299965, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117664336299965, "ret_p6m": -0.13688308874555377, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13688308874555377, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1533469609770327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1533469609770327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016463872231478938, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016463872231478938, "ret_p1y": -0.34853499386310927, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34853499386310927, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5373623029057295, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5373623029057295, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18882730904262024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18882730904262024, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0493994499143553, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.021439684860901753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.021439684860901753, "price_path": [0.0416, 0.0522, 0.0498, 0.0652, 0.0746, 0.0653, 0.0843, 0.076, 0.0748, 0.0677, 0.0843, 0.057, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0451, 0.0499, 0.057, 0.0546, 0.0463, 0.0618, 0.0831, 0.0843, 0.0831, 0.0784, 0.0606, 0.0475, 0.0297, 0.038, 0.0439, 0.0487, 0.038, 0.0071, -0.0012, -0.019, 0.0048, 0.0166, -0.0059, -0.0249, -0.0249, -0.0511, -0.0558, -0.0404, -0.0368, -0.0499, -0.0404, -0.0724, -0.0796, -0.0713, -0.0475, -0.0606, -0.0511, -0.057, -0.0867, -0.0855, -0.0903, -0.0618, -0.0368, -0.0451, -0.0451, -0.0511, -0.0428, -0.0178, -0.0214, 0.0, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0285, 0.0368, 0.1306, 0.1057, 0.0903, 0.0855, 0.0914, 0.0903, 0.0714, 0.0654, 0.0594, 0.0546, 0.0451, 0.0104, -0.0123, -0.0087, -0.0111, -0.0123, -0.0494, -0.053, -0.0434, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0291, -0.0339, -0.0315, -0.041, -0.0315, -0.0291, -0.0243, -0.0327, -0.0219, -0.0303, -0.0255, -0.0374, -0.0566, -0.0267, 0.0044, 0.0164, -0.0004, 0.0427, 0.0451, 0.0427, 0.0331, 0.0283, 0.0235, 0.0355, 0.02, 0.0068, 0.014, 0.0235, 0.0176, 0.0271, 0.0152, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.008, 0.0032, -0.0135, 0.0104, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0558, 0.0475, 0.0714, 0.0702, 0.0773, 0.0965, 0.0941, 0.112, 0.106, 0.1228, 0.124, 0.124, 0.124, 0.124, 0.1259, 0.1259, 0.1259, 0.1199, 0.1283, 0.1524, 0.1512, 0.1295, 0.1392, 0.1319, 0.1223, 0.1259, 0.1151, 0.1139, 0.1042, 0.103, 0.0873, 0.0789, 0.0729, 0.0536, 0.0259, 0.0307, 0.0331, 0.0319, 0.0017, -0.0067, -0.0043, 0.0343, 0.0198, 0.003, 0.003, 0.0042, 0.015, 0.009, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0102, 0.0295, 0.0319, 0.015, -0.026, -0.0537, -0.0814, -0.1019, -0.1104, -0.108, -0.1369]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1515140377090703367", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-04-16T01:29:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the generational opportunity in CDN energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year bull market in oil and generational long opportunity in Canadian energy stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Calling all energy insomniacs: join me on @CNBCWEX this Monday at 5:15am (sadly that is not a typo) with @SullyCNBC. I’ll be discussing the real impact of the Ukrainian conflict on energy, the multi-year bull market in oil, and the generational opportunity in CDN energy stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027812855594865682, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027812855594865682, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027401894259766357, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027401894259766357, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00041096133509932464, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00041096133509932464, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014538389843644084, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014538389843644084, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03068104828558582, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068104828558582, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016142658441941737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016142658441941737, "ret_p1w": -0.08533490901086727, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08533490901086727, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0637353231974499, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0637353231974499, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021599585813417366, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021599585813417366, "ret_p1m": 0.042351526107824666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042351526107824666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11005020816712019, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11005020816712019, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06769868205929552, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06769868205929552, "ret_p3m": -0.16236719868236982, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16236719868236982, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.028961829911764214, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028961829911764214, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1334053687706056, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1334053687706056, "ret_p6m": -0.012483820291086412, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.012483820291086412, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16380401258041555, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16380401258041555, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.17628783287150196, "bench_c_p6m": -0.17628783287150196, "ret_p1y": 0.01219725692055107, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.01219725692055107, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.06577222658444715, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06577222658444715, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05357496966389608, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05357496966389608, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01219725692055107, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06577222658444715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06577222658444715, "price_path": [-0.2215, -0.2278, -0.2554, -0.2661, -0.2404, -0.2385, -0.2271, -0.2227, -0.2165, -0.1888, -0.1819, -0.1882, -0.1825, -0.1894, -0.2221, -0.2077, -0.202, -0.1737, -0.1844, -0.1863, -0.1794, -0.1787, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.1963, -0.1944, -0.19, -0.1712, -0.1498, -0.1404, -0.1328, -0.1441, -0.114, -0.0882, -0.0869, -0.1196, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1423, -0.158, -0.1555, -0.124, -0.1309, -0.0938, -0.1014, -0.085, -0.0869, -0.0607, -0.0828, -0.0866, -0.0809, -0.0872, -0.0733, -0.0594, -0.0752, -0.0879, -0.0714, -0.0518, -0.0759, -0.0537, -0.0379, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0006, -0.036, -0.0544, -0.0853, -0.0771, -0.0468, 0.0019, -0.0126, -0.0164, 0.0215, 0.0461, 0.0367, 0.0386, -0.036, -0.0392, -0.0221, -0.0348, 0.0032, 0.0284, 0.0424, 0.0259, 0.031, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0619, 0.0841, 0.0885, 0.1075, 0.1334, 0.1037, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.1264, 0.1359, 0.1618, 0.17, 0.1568, 0.1391, 0.1037, 0.0834, 0.0689, 0.0145, -0.043, -0.0202, 0.0032, -0.0499, -0.1157, -0.0866, -0.0439, -0.0038, -0.0394, -0.056, -0.056, -0.0324, -0.0974, -0.1331, -0.0936, -0.1038, -0.1159, -0.1452, -0.1484, -0.1624, -0.1503, -0.1203, -0.0987, -0.0859, -0.1057, -0.1184, -0.0866, -0.0942, -0.0662, -0.0471, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0382, -0.0789, -0.1178, -0.1012, -0.0961, -0.0898, -0.0802, -0.0445, -0.0362, -0.0515, -0.0636, -0.0496, -0.0235, -0.028, -0.021, 0.0096, 0.0198, 0.0268, 0.0198, 0.0357, -0.0038, -0.0127, -0.035, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0343, -0.0643, -0.056, -0.0311, -0.0108, -0.019, 0.0115, -0.0127, -0.0235, -0.0171, -0.0216, -0.0426, -0.0592, -0.1328, -0.1625, -0.1431, -0.1082, -0.1063, -0.1056, -0.0545, -0.0118, 0.0069, 0.027, 0.0283, 0.0283, -0.0125]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1184995526602874880", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-10-18T00:52:04+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks (and anyone feeling taxed to death like this farmer) need a Conservative win on Monday.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks expected to rally on a Conservative election win Monday.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Only the Liberals would have the moxy to put a tax (GST) on a tax (carbon tax)!! How is that even legal? All for the enviro crime of drying her crop to feed fellow Canadians. Energy stocks (and anyone feeling taxed to death like this farmer) need a Conservative win on Monday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@JustinTrudeau 's climate plan: carbon tax + bankrupt our farmers for FEEDING US while he flies around in 2 planes to preach the urgency of the climate crisis while China, the world's largest CO2 emitter, no longer buys our agricultural goods thanks to Trudeau. Insanity.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009975173167455331, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009975173167455331, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005578737842310888, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005578737842310888, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004396435325144443, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004396435325144443, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009975173167455331, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009975173167455331, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0031959885999490734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031959885999490734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006779184567506258, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006779184567506258, "ret_p1w": 0.01995012264288243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01995012264288243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007767772331104483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007767772331104483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012182350311777945, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012182350311777945, "ret_p1m": 0.06359124427646656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06359124427646656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016438892594075716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016438892594075716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04715235168239085, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04715235168239085, "ret_p3m": 0.16276764005506994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16276764005506994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05593280882685314, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05593280882685314, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1068348312282168, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1068348312282168, "ret_p6m": -0.45946614704499844, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45946614704499844, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39460822397298745, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.39460822397298745, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06485792307201099, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06485792307201099, "ret_p1y": -0.4539471427668139, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4539471427668139, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.599723149021404, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.599723149021404, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14577600625459008, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14577600625459008, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01995012264288243, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007767772331104483, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007767772331104483, "price_path": [0.0936, 0.0824, 0.0502, 0.0415, 0.023, 0.0477, 0.0601, 0.0366, 0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0105, -0.0154, 0.0007, 0.0044, -0.0092, 0.0007, -0.0328, -0.0402, -0.0315, -0.0068, -0.0204, -0.0105, -0.0167, -0.0476, -0.0464, -0.0513, -0.0216, 0.0044, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0105, -0.0018, 0.0242, 0.0205, 0.0428, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0725, 0.0812, 0.179, 0.153, 0.1369, 0.132, 0.1381, 0.1369, 0.1172, 0.111, 0.1047, 0.0998, 0.0898, 0.0536, 0.0299, 0.0337, 0.0312, 0.0299, -0.0087, -0.0125, -0.0025, 0.0175, 0.0175, 0.0125, 0.0075, 0.01, 0.0, 0.01, 0.0125, 0.0175, 0.0087, 0.02, 0.0112, 0.0162, 0.0037, -0.0162, 0.015, 0.0474, 0.0599, 0.0424, 0.0873, 0.0898, 0.0873, 0.0773, 0.0723, 0.0673, 0.0798, 0.0636, 0.0499, 0.0574, 0.0673, 0.0611, 0.0711, 0.0586, 0.0673, 0.0673, 0.0511, 0.0461, 0.0287, 0.0536, 0.0461, 0.0935, 0.0935, 0.101, 0.0923, 0.1172, 0.116, 0.1234, 0.1434, 0.1409, 0.1596, 0.1534, 0.1708, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.1741, 0.1741, 0.1741, 0.1678, 0.1766, 0.2017, 0.2005, 0.1779, 0.1879, 0.1804, 0.1703, 0.1741, 0.1628, 0.1615, 0.1515, 0.1502, 0.1339, 0.1251, 0.1188, 0.0987, 0.0697, 0.0748, 0.0773, 0.076, 0.0446, 0.0358, 0.0383, 0.0785, 0.0635, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0471, 0.0584, 0.0521, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0534, 0.0735, 0.076, 0.0584, 0.0157, -0.0132, -0.0421, -0.0635, -0.0723, -0.0698, -0.1, -0.0937, -0.1176, -0.1729, -0.3966, -0.3878, -0.4343, -0.5248, -0.4746, -0.5701, -0.6065, -0.6531, -0.6355, -0.6292, -0.6417, -0.6015, -0.5709, -0.576, -0.6157, -0.5696, -0.5056, -0.5133, -0.4672, -0.4774, -0.4633, -0.4672, -0.4454, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4595]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1376527831929348100", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-29T13:33:04+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks are ideally positioned to benefit from the coming oil supply crisis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian energy stocks on coming oil supply crisis; long reserve lives, low decline rates, narrowed differentials driving FCF and capital returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy stocks are ideally positioned to benefit from the coming oil supply crisis. With a combination of long reserve lives, low decline rates, and a narrowed differential free cash flow and return of capital is maximized.  \"The wall of cash\" is finally here... https://t.co/a2m6YLx3uY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013262561647741089, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013262561647741089, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012757309001604211, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012757309001604211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0005052526461368778, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005052526461368778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0066312433007085225, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0066312433007085225, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009284315038658786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009284315038658786, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026530717379502633, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026530717379502633, "ret_p1w": 0.0066312433007085225, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0066312433007085225, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02010050188816348, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02010050188816348, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026731745188872003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026731745188872003, "ret_p1m": -0.019894030087422188, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019894030087422188, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07482324848469468, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07482324848469468, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054929218397272495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054929218397272495, "ret_p3m": 0.21699487050869326, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21699487050869326, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13939978724437818, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13939978724437818, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07759508326431508, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07759508326431508, "ret_p6m": 0.10381705867489344, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10381705867489344, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0010774005030758094, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0010774005030758094, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10273965817181763, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10273965817181763, "ret_p1y": 0.8065290752349157, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8065290752349157, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6948367859847107, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6948367859847107, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11169228925020502, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11169228925020502, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019894030087422188, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07482324848469468, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07482324848469468, "price_path": [-0.2121, -0.2253, -0.2253, -0.2161, -0.158, -0.1501, -0.1356, -0.1475, -0.1527, -0.1356, -0.1475, -0.1277, -0.1607, -0.1739, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1712, -0.187, -0.187, -0.2161, -0.2214, -0.2161, -0.2319, -0.2029, -0.2002, -0.1725, -0.1659, -0.158, -0.1382, -0.1435, -0.1277, -0.129, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.0867, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.0894, -0.0432, -0.0353, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0604, -0.0498, -0.0432, -0.0194, 0.0056, 0.0399, 0.0294, 0.0281, 0.0663, 0.0769, 0.0795, 0.0677, 0.032, 0.0479, -0.0062, 0.0149, -0.0036, -0.0419, -0.0089, -0.0066, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.0066, -0.0013, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0066, 0.0159, 0.0106, 0.0106, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0146, 0.0239, 0.0186, 0.0093, 0.0053, -0.0345, -0.0265, -0.0385, -0.0292, -0.0279, -0.0199, 0.0106, 0.0199, 0.0093, 0.0398, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.0716, 0.0915, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.0769, 0.0544, 0.0836, 0.1127, 0.1021, 0.0703, 0.061, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0557, 0.0729, 0.0862, 0.0928, 0.1101, 0.1578, 0.1737, 0.1777, 0.1923, 0.191, 0.1936, 0.1936, 0.1976, 0.2109, 0.2109, 0.2374, 0.2215, 0.1711, 0.1592, 0.2109, 0.2056, 0.2122, 0.217, 0.2197, 0.1824, 0.1917, 0.205, 0.205, 0.2037, 0.2303, 0.1944, 0.1691, 0.1624, 0.1717, 0.1584, 0.1637, 0.1331, 0.1171, 0.0798, 0.0399, 0.0546, 0.0825, 0.0798, 0.0812, 0.0972, 0.0665, 0.0732, 0.0785, 0.0679, 0.0679, 0.0772, 0.0319, 0.0452, 0.0559, 0.0332, 0.0639, 0.0652, 0.0559, 0.0412, 0.0173, 0.0053, -0.0134, -0.032, -0.0253, 0.0093, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0319, 0.0639, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0546, 0.0918, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0798, 0.0705, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.1211, 0.1065, 0.1557, 0.1478, 0.1251, 0.0945, 0.1038]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1560701152773263361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-19T18:52:05+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "imagine how I feel being able to accumulate Canadian midcaps trading at 35%+ FCF yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aggressively accumulating Canadian midcap energy stocks at 35%+ FCF yields, implying superior value to Buffett's OXY position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy: BTE, WCP, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If OXY trading at an estimated 22% free cashflow yield at $100WTI gets Buffett this excited...imagine how I feel being able to accumulate Canadian midcaps trading at 35%+ FCF yields!!! https://t.co/dpSZw6D3LI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01627396518900462, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01627396518900462, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002652990552442752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016022248099348074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013620974636561867, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002517170896565446, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006298188205036331, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006298188205036331, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02712071822907622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008185629368624853, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020822530024039887, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018874411635885213, "ret_p1w": 0.047260303735708054, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047260303735708054, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08712870830349878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004723065393383019, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03986840456779073, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042537238342325034, "ret_p1m": 0.002489856580083133, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002489856580083133, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07827977642596226, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014741071546586965, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07578991984587913, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012251214966503832, "ret_p3m": 0.09718977245968846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09718977245968846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1565670804249943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07528450492708177, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059377307965305826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17247427738677024, "ret_p6m": 0.05775452143001991, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05775452143001991, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07128246431232621, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09877570707206784, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.013527942882306299, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15653022850208775, "ret_p1y": 0.19134906691374445, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.19134906691374445, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.11095403719797195, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.045602905462796356, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0803950297157725, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1457461614509481, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.002489856580083133, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07827977642596226, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014741071546586965, "price_path": [0.0146, 0.0745, 0.0721, 0.0784, 0.1171, 0.0923, 0.1142, 0.1459, 0.1909, 0.2255, 0.2855, 0.3092, 0.2983, 0.2736, 0.2425, 0.1893, 0.1709, 0.1151, 0.0349, 0.052, 0.0748, -0.0221, -0.1307, -0.0805, -0.0365, 0.0229, -0.0281, -0.044, -0.044, -0.0087, -0.1085, -0.1513, -0.0969, -0.1075, -0.1216, -0.1494, -0.151, -0.1591, -0.1439, -0.0732, -0.0524, -0.036, -0.081, -0.0964, -0.0502, -0.0616, -0.0104, -0.0176, 0.0209, 0.0209, -0.0055, -0.0659, -0.1184, -0.0932, -0.0773, -0.0723, -0.0665, -0.0138, -0.0077, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0281, 0.0163, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0444, 0.0562, 0.0555, 0.0473, 0.0795, 0.0388, 0.0327, -0.0027, 0.0117, 0.0117, -0.0041, -0.0619, -0.0548, -0.0289, -0.0114, -0.0154, 0.0231, -0.0045, -0.0159, 0.0025, 0.0022, -0.0072, -0.0359, -0.1113, -0.1721, -0.1326, -0.087, -0.088, -0.0916, -0.034, 0.0168, 0.0443, 0.056, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0031, -0.0066, 0.0309, -0.0067, -0.008, -0.0186, 0.0162, 0.0338, 0.0354, 0.0582, 0.0676, 0.1076, 0.1007, 0.0898, 0.1172, 0.1353, 0.1254, 0.1607, 0.1567, 0.1519, 0.1435, 0.078, 0.1209, 0.1423, 0.1104, 0.1321, 0.0972, 0.0796, 0.0908, 0.065, 0.0998, 0.0827, 0.0886, 0.0933, 0.0841, 0.1129, 0.1156, 0.096, 0.1011, 0.0667, 0.011, -0.0064, -0.0302, -0.0383, -0.0386, -0.0274, -0.0271, -0.0265, -0.0524, -0.0698, -0.0542, -0.0178, -0.0429, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0205, -0.0031, 0.0069, 0.0285, 0.0285, -0.0509, -0.0724, -0.0706, -0.0528, -0.0328, -0.0469, -0.0402, -0.0021, -0.0109, -0.0045, 0.0168, 0.0123, 0.0165, 0.0263, 0.0306, 0.0114, -0.0048, 0.0176, 0.0477, 0.0364, 0.0563, 0.0246, -0.001, 0.0075, 0.0037, 0.043, 0.0448, 0.0284, 0.0578, 0.0578]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1416023667125932032", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-07-16T13:15:25+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks DO NOT need higher oil prices to be able to go up meaningfully higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks on valuation/setup; WTI ~$70 floor supported by massive stock draws ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every day above $70WTI is a GREAT day. Energy stocks DO NOT need higher oil prices to be able to go up meaningfully higher...especially given the past week's sell off and the prior lack of participation as oil rose to $75.  Massive stock draws ahead should support a ~$70 floor. https://t.co/6XMmKjcEzu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029170121712495778, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029170121712495778, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021264573618882565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021264573618882565, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007905548093613213, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007905548093613213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035332787992166104, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035332787992166104, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020564786529190804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020564786529190804, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0147680014629753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0147680014629753, "ret_p1w": -0.0032867926799847735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0032867926799847735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023224663043734606, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023224663043734606, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019937870363749832, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019937870363749832, "ret_p1m": -0.0034922055566003474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0034922055566003474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039728100654568554, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039728100654568554, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03623589509796821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03623589509796821, "ret_p3m": 0.17183071776448067, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17183071776448067, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.159696162395782, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.159696162395782, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.012134555368698674, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012134555368698674, "ret_p6m": 0.287886753202635, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.287886753202635, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.201407216395586, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.201407216395586, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.086479536807049, "bench_c_p6m": 0.086479536807049, "ret_p1y": 0.4986204859447103, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4986204859447103, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6005107185537013, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6005107185537013, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.101890232608991, "bench_c_p1y": -0.101890232608991, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0034922055566003474, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.039728100654568554, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039728100654568554, "price_path": [-0.0429, -0.0307, -0.042, -0.0333, -0.0268, -0.015, 0.019, 0.0303, 0.0043, 0.032, 0.0326, 0.0659, 0.0714, 0.0905, 0.0909, 0.0629, 0.068, 0.055, 0.0877, 0.1129, 0.0871, 0.06, 0.0584, 0.0606, 0.0712, 0.0495, 0.0588, 0.0596, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.1025, 0.1231, 0.1261, 0.1336, 0.1288, 0.1385, 0.1314, 0.13, 0.1261, 0.1212, 0.1426, 0.1365, 0.0979, 0.0653, 0.1107, 0.1181, 0.1212, 0.1309, 0.1368, 0.0984, 0.0931, 0.1066, 0.1259, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.0869, 0.0692, 0.0631, 0.0857, 0.084, 0.0758, 0.0438, 0.0292, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0224, 0.0117, 0.0004, -0.0033, 0.0214, 0.0119, 0.0212, 0.031, 0.0146, 0.007, 0.0242, -0.0035, 0.0078, 0.0171, 0.0027, 0.0203, 0.0283, 0.0273, 0.0152, -0.0035, -0.0138, -0.0343, -0.0594, -0.0573, -0.022, -0.0058, 0.0018, -0.0134, 0.0129, 0.001, -0.0058, -0.0203, 0.0045, -0.0012, -0.0012, -0.0072, -0.0199, -0.0179, -0.0183, 0.0099, -0.0047, 0.0325, 0.0207, 0.0131, -0.0178, -0.0155, 0.0149, 0.0504, 0.0583, 0.0959, 0.0997, 0.0997, 0.083, 0.1194, 0.1377, 0.1444, 0.1323, 0.1411, 0.1762, 0.1718, 0.1729, 0.1718, 0.1862, 0.192, 0.1928, 0.2063, 0.2161, 0.1937, 0.2049, 0.2226, 0.2296, 0.1943, 0.2028, 0.1949, 0.2155, 0.2041, 0.1941, 0.1957, 0.2113, 0.2224, 0.2273, 0.1949, 0.1995, 0.1966, 0.2066, 0.2084, 0.1899, 0.1829, 0.1367, 0.1569, 0.1924, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.1556, 0.1623, 0.135, 0.123, 0.1556, 0.1465, 0.1635, 0.1908, 0.1905, 0.1814, 0.1901, 0.1571, 0.1523, 0.1467, 0.1539, 0.1305, 0.1164, 0.1483, 0.1556, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1815, 0.1807, 0.1731, 0.1659, 0.1689, 0.2051, 0.2468, 0.2466, 0.2744, 0.2919, 0.2879]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1141084302865764352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-18T20:44:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "today is (better be!) a material positive for CDN oil stocks = beginning of a trading multiple re-rate", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TMX approval is a material positive for Canadian energy stocks, triggering a trading multiple re-rate with shovels in ground this summer as next catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TMX approved!!! While this should have been a total no-brainer, given the chronic disappointments that CDN energy investors have suffered over the years skepticism remained high heading into today. Now looking for direction on timing for \"shovels in the ground\" #OOTT https://t.co/7HN2tkog7y\n\n---\n\n\"The company (@TransMtn ) has plans to have shovels in the ground this building season.\" While the cynical will still say nothing matters until oil is flowing through TMX, today is (better be!) a material positive for CDN oil stocks = beginning of a trading multiple re-rate #OOTT\n\n---\n\n\"We have been assured by the company that the plan is to have shovels in the ground this Summer.\" This distinction was critical for stocks to react tomorrow. Today is a clear win. Next catalyst is First Nations buy-in. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008695508594727341, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008695508594727341, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01094780953329777, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01094780953329777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022523009385704285, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022523009385704285, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01783703192196917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01783703192196917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008282554942105502, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008282554942105502, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009554476979863669, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009554476979863669, "ret_p1w": 0.01783703192196917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01783703192196917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021854043706783566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021854043706783566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004017011784814395, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004017011784814395, "ret_p1m": -0.03344506410698289, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03344506410698289, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05809298602875834, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05809298602875834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02464792192177545, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02464792192177545, "ret_p3m": 0.06131558170087126, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06131558170087126, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03210722432808244, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03210722432808244, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029208357372788818, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029208357372788818, "ret_p6m": 0.005677173529800905, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005677173529800905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08674103172944436, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08674103172944436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09241820525924527, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09241820525924527, "ret_p1y": -0.3116493208662203, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3116493208662203, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.42358870063266485, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.42358870063266485, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11193937976644452, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11193937976644452, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03344506410698289, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05809298602875834, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05809298602875834, "price_path": [0.1102, 0.0905, 0.1082, 0.0894, 0.0916, 0.0861, 0.1049, 0.1005, 0.0861, 0.0916, 0.1226, 0.1403, 0.1315, 0.1514, 0.1492, 0.1602, 0.1547, 0.1591, 0.1746, 0.1735, 0.1735, 0.1923, 0.21, 0.1823, 0.1735, 0.1569, 0.1591, 0.1436, 0.1116, 0.0828, 0.0939, 0.0928, 0.0784, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0894, 0.064, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.0939, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0828, 0.0551, 0.0131, 0.0164, 0.033, 0.022, 0.0352, 0.0209, 0.0098, -0.0013, 0.0021, -0.0234, -0.0167, -0.0123, -0.0167, -0.0101, -0.0223, -0.0123, -0.0145, -0.0002, 0.0087, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.01, 0.0089, 0.0022, 0.0178, -0.0078, -0.0056, -0.0056, -0.019, -0.0145, -0.0078, -0.01, -0.0178, -0.0033, 0.0167, 0.0178, 0.0167, 0.0123, -0.0045, -0.0167, -0.0334, -0.0256, -0.0201, -0.0156, -0.0256, -0.0546, -0.0624, -0.0792, -0.0569, -0.0457, -0.0669, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1093, -0.1137, -0.0992, -0.0959, -0.1081, -0.0992, -0.1293, -0.136, -0.1282, -0.1059, -0.1182, -0.1093, -0.1148, -0.1427, -0.1416, -0.146, -0.1193, -0.0959, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1093, -0.1014, -0.078, -0.0814, -0.0613, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0346, -0.0268, 0.0613, 0.0379, 0.0234, 0.019, 0.0245, 0.0234, 0.0057, 0.0001, -0.0055, -0.01, -0.019, -0.0516, -0.0729, -0.0695, -0.0718, -0.0729, -0.1077, -0.1111, -0.1021, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.0886, -0.0931, -0.0908, -0.0998, -0.0908, -0.0886, -0.0841, -0.092, -0.0819, -0.0897, -0.0852, -0.0965, -0.1144, -0.0864, -0.0572, -0.046, -0.0617, -0.0213, -0.019, -0.0213, -0.0302, -0.0347, -0.0392, -0.028, -0.0426, -0.0549, -0.0482, -0.0392, -0.0448, -0.0359, -0.0471, -0.0392, -0.0392, -0.0538, -0.0583, -0.074, -0.0516, -0.0583, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0089, -0.0168, 0.0057]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1120659495728889857", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-23T12:03:39+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many oil stocks are still doubles or more and according to the best trading desks in Canada generalist money has JUST started to buy in. GET LONG!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil stocks; generalist money just starting to buy in, many names still have 2x+ upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad oil stocks proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2019 WTI strip is now at $64.99/bbl...are you feeling like you've missed the rally? Don't! Many oil stocks are still doubles or more and according to the best trading desks in Canada generalist money has JUST started to buy in.  GET LONG! #OOTT : https://t.co/QNvGZHSZRQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0016055213228927112, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0016055213228927112, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01051720205003126, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01051720205003126, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008911680727138549, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008911680727138549, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017518317291887575, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017518317291887575, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01529886982881623, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01529886982881623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0022194474630713446, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022194474630713446, "ret_p1w": -0.03489054598738983, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03489054598738983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.038782907180834325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.038782907180834325, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038923611934444935, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038923611934444935, "ret_p1m": -0.07270079877573166, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07270079877573166, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04794657991123785, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04794657991123785, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.024754218864493804, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024754218864493804, "ret_p3m": -0.07543273201431389, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07543273201431389, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09501541157956217, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09501541157956217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.019582679565248284, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019582679565248284, "ret_p6m": -0.14829659931752914, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14829659931752914, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17682716385506625, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17682716385506625, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028530564537537106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028530564537537106, "ret_p1y": -0.46400285201653513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.46400285201653513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4332886394212748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4332886394212748, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.030714212595260304, "bench_c_p1y": -0.030714212595260304, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07270079877573166, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04794657991123785, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04794657991123785, "price_path": [-0.0999, -0.0885, -0.0976, -0.0948, -0.0821, -0.0762, -0.0601, -0.0579, -0.0565, -0.0634, -0.0841, -0.0883, -0.084, -0.0724, -0.0608, -0.0575, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.0394, -0.0353, -0.0502, -0.0475, -0.0459, -0.0489, -0.0453, -0.0549, -0.0375, -0.0357, -0.0389, -0.0511, -0.0567, -0.0744, -0.0599, -0.0538, -0.0443, -0.0433, -0.0436, -0.0304, -0.033, -0.0245, -0.0177, -0.0442, -0.0438, -0.0301, -0.0369, -0.0333, -0.0347, -0.022, -0.0288, -0.0381, -0.0301, -0.013, -0.0086, -0.0207, -0.0171, -0.0164, -0.0137, -0.0196, -0.0131, -0.0145, -0.0191, -0.0191, 0.0016, 0.0, -0.0175, -0.0206, -0.0333, -0.0342, -0.0349, -0.0542, -0.0707, -0.062, -0.0612, -0.0693, -0.0693, -0.0693, -0.065, -0.081, -0.0698, -0.065, -0.0599, -0.0693, -0.0689, -0.0581, -0.0727, -0.1038, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.1098, -0.1155, -0.1267, -0.142, -0.1311, -0.1161, -0.1258, -0.1096, -0.1055, -0.1029, -0.1012, -0.1139, -0.1035, -0.1093, -0.1019, -0.0895, -0.0905, -0.0704, -0.0636, -0.072, -0.0794, -0.0653, -0.0722, -0.0614, -0.0606, -0.0756, -0.0719, -0.0719, -0.0706, -0.0692, -0.0685, -0.0566, -0.0547, -0.0507, -0.0592, -0.0692, -0.0799, -0.0797, -0.0754, -0.0712, -0.0687, -0.0647, -0.0753, -0.08, -0.0837, -0.0734, -0.0763, -0.0972, -0.1102, -0.1367, -0.1377, -0.1442, -0.1196, -0.1294, -0.1397, -0.1317, -0.1657, -0.1709, -0.16, -0.1414, -0.1486, -0.1432, -0.147, -0.1756, -0.1721, -0.1772, -0.1654, -0.1532, -0.1532, -0.1532, -0.1573, -0.1456, -0.1349, -0.1304, -0.113, -0.1025, -0.1017, -0.1073, -0.1002, -0.07, -0.0829, -0.0874, -0.0897, -0.089, -0.0887, -0.1031, -0.1016, -0.1134, -0.1135, -0.1199, -0.1403, -0.1614, -0.1523, -0.147, -0.1545, -0.169, -0.1614, -0.1508, -0.1394, -0.1398, -0.1363, -0.1483]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1547572985417977858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-14T13:25:26+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the skew to prices from here is squarely skewed to the upside", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares Goldman's bullish oil view: Brent fair value $110 in 2023 even in adverse scenario vs. Canadian energy stocks priced for $50 oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman: “With inventories at record levels and with a potential increase in Saudi/UAE production further depleting record low spare capacity, we reiterate our view that the skew to prices from here is squarely skewed to the upside.”\n\n---\n\nGoldman “adverse scenario”: Russia no production decline + Saudi/UAE adding 0.5MM bbl/d + European recession + global GDP declines at half of what Europe does still = “fair value” of $110 Brent in 2023 vs. CDN energy stocks discounting $50ish after the June/July massacre.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0047426965483341466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0047426965483341466, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002308264967715079, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002308264967715079, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024344315806190675, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024344315806190675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020787136424893493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020787136424893493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001681989288783381, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001681989288783381, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019105147136110112, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019105147136110112, "ret_p1w": 0.0480323129114224, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0480323129114224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007218832482263515, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007218832482263515, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05525114539368592, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05525114539368592, "ret_p1m": -0.009586245841267771, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009586245841267771, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13974956688518259, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13974956688518259, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.13016332104391481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13016332104391481, "ret_p3m": -0.04853680759490453, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04853680759490453, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0009470716671458046, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0009470716671458046, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049483879262050334, "bench_c_p3m": -0.049483879262050334, "ret_p6m": -0.20716447119480097, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20716447119480097, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.243029214006239, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.243029214006239, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03586474281143803, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03586474281143803, "ret_p1y": -0.24672045736334747, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24672045736334747, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.44022428927761537, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.44022428927761537, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1935038319142679, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1935038319142679, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009586245841267771, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13974956688518259, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13974956688518259, "price_path": [0.1419, 0.0822, 0.0777, 0.0931, 0.0762, 0.0325, 0.0594, 0.0628, 0.0857, 0.1033, 0.0856, 0.0592, 0.1114, 0.1191, 0.1341, 0.069, 0.0339, 0.0849, 0.0843, 0.1256, 0.1528, 0.1295, 0.101, 0.1306, 0.1357, 0.1445, 0.1459, 0.1507, 0.1847, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.2396, 0.1735, 0.1868, 0.2081, 0.206, 0.2166, 0.247, 0.2419, 0.2312, 0.2338, 0.2227, 0.1959, 0.209, 0.1415, 0.1415, 0.1569, 0.1275, 0.1105, 0.1415, 0.1614, 0.1905, 0.1732, 0.1585, 0.1264, 0.1264, 0.037, 0.016, 0.056, 0.0799, 0.0807, 0.0039, 0.0047, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0724, 0.0832, 0.0789, 0.048, 0.0414, 0.061, 0.0535, 0.0759, 0.0811, 0.1101, 0.0094, 0.0145, -0.0234, -0.0503, -0.0422, -0.0247, -0.0282, -0.0172, 0.005, -0.0096, -0.0404, -0.0682, -0.055, -0.0253, -0.024, -0.0264, 0.0113, 0.0214, 0.0024, 0.0191, 0.0604, 0.0021, -0.0263, -0.068, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0633, -0.112, -0.1004, -0.0632, -0.0515, -0.0598, -0.0505, -0.0834, -0.0782, -0.0716, -0.0856, -0.0935, -0.0872, -0.1307, -0.1518, -0.1295, -0.0987, -0.1071, -0.1124, -0.1033, -0.0737, -0.0578, -0.0472, -0.0119, -0.0294, -0.0485, -0.0671, -0.0457, -0.0754, -0.0755, -0.0915, -0.0675, -0.0678, -0.0565, -0.0589, -0.0563, -0.0344, -0.0216, -0.0336, -0.0431, -0.0449, -0.0297, -0.0447, -0.0053, -0.0119, -0.0377, -0.0651, -0.0548, -0.0314, -0.0601, -0.0529, -0.063, -0.094, -0.1158, -0.1176, -0.1084, -0.1381, -0.1381, -0.1561, -0.1605, -0.1622, -0.1379, -0.1233, -0.1365, -0.1657, -0.1993, -0.2213, -0.2316, -0.2321, -0.213, -0.1859, -0.1655, -0.1805, -0.2024, -0.1948, -0.1928, -0.1705, -0.1828, -0.1532, -0.1532, -0.149, -0.1598, -0.1699, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.1715, -0.2145, -0.206, -0.2072]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1547572985417977858", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-07-14T13:25:26+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN energy stocks discounting $50ish after the June/July massacre", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares Goldman's bullish oil view: Brent fair value $110 in 2023 even in adverse scenario vs. Canadian energy stocks priced for $50 oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman: “With inventories at record levels and with a potential increase in Saudi/UAE production further depleting record low spare capacity, we reiterate our view that the skew to prices from here is squarely skewed to the upside.”\n\n---\n\nGoldman “adverse scenario”: Russia no production decline + Saudi/UAE adding 0.5MM bbl/d + European recession + global GDP declines at half of what Europe does still = “fair value” of $110 Brent in 2023 vs. CDN energy stocks discounting $50ish after the June/July massacre.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016730181416823697, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016730181416823697, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01429574983620463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01429574983620463, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024344315806190675, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024344315806190675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014448743542173847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014448743542173847, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004656403593936265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004656403593936265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019105147136110112, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019105147136110112, "ret_p1w": 0.0676806744243652, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0676806744243652, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012429529030679287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012429529030679287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05525114539368592, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05525114539368592, "ret_p1m": 0.1505703762223829, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1505703762223829, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02040705517846808, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02040705517846808, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.13016332104391481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13016332104391481, "ret_p3m": 0.1789368541388432, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1789368541388432, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22842073340089353, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22842073340089353, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049483879262050334, "bench_c_p3m": -0.049483879262050334, "ret_p6m": 0.16590514026759218, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16590514026759218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13004039745615414, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13004039745615414, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03586474281143803, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03586474281143803, "ret_p1y": 0.15310781094465264, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.15310781094465264, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.040396020969615254, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.040396020969615254, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1935038319142679, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1935038319142679, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1505703762223829, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02040705517846808, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02040705517846808, "price_path": [0.1938, 0.1765, 0.1931, 0.1508, 0.1289, 0.092, 0.1018, 0.138, 0.1961, 0.1787, 0.1742, 0.2195, 0.2489, 0.2376, 0.2399, 0.1508, 0.1471, 0.1674, 0.1523, 0.1976, 0.2278, 0.2444, 0.2248, 0.2308, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2678, 0.2942, 0.2995, 0.3221, 0.3531, 0.3176, 0.341, 0.341, 0.3448, 0.3561, 0.387, 0.3968, 0.381, 0.3599, 0.3176, 0.2935, 0.2761, 0.2112, 0.1425, 0.1697, 0.1976, 0.1342, 0.0557, 0.0905, 0.1414, 0.1894, 0.1468, 0.127, 0.127, 0.1551, 0.0776, 0.035, 0.0821, 0.07, 0.0555, 0.0205, 0.0167, 0.0, 0.0144, 0.0502, 0.076, 0.0913, 0.0677, 0.0525, 0.0905, 0.0814, 0.1148, 0.1376, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.1483, 0.0996, 0.0532, 0.073, 0.0791, 0.0867, 0.0981, 0.1407, 0.1506, 0.1323, 0.1179, 0.1346, 0.1658, 0.1605, 0.1688, 0.2053, 0.2175, 0.2259, 0.2175, 0.2365, 0.1894, 0.1787, 0.1521, 0.1772, 0.1772, 0.1529, 0.1171, 0.127, 0.1567, 0.181, 0.1711, 0.2076, 0.1787, 0.1658, 0.1734, 0.1681, 0.143, 0.1232, 0.0353, -0.0002, 0.023, 0.0647, 0.067, 0.0678, 0.1288, 0.1797, 0.2021, 0.226, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.1789, 0.1782, 0.216, 0.1751, 0.1766, 0.1704, 0.2067, 0.2253, 0.2469, 0.2569, 0.2608, 0.2839, 0.2785, 0.2785, 0.3009, 0.3171, 0.3079, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.3465, 0.3349, 0.2801, 0.311, 0.3395, 0.3202, 0.3434, 0.3133, 0.3063, 0.3025, 0.2886, 0.3187, 0.3032, 0.3063, 0.304, 0.2832, 0.3017, 0.2893, 0.2778, 0.2808, 0.243, 0.1998, 0.1928, 0.1843, 0.1758, 0.1859, 0.2052, 0.2052, 0.1967, 0.165, 0.1604, 0.1758, 0.2067, 0.1774, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.1952, 0.2118, 0.2172, 0.2172, 0.1457, 0.1278, 0.1371, 0.1659]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1263211686380670977", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-20T20:55:10+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the setup for 2021 is now MUCH better than it was in January when oil was at $60", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil stocks into 2021; setup now much better than pre-COVID when oil was at $60.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As better as we all likely feel after the past 2 month rally, remember that many oil stocks are still down 60% YTD = further 150% move needed to get back to where they were pre-COVID19...and the setup for 2021 is now MUCH better than it was in January when oil was at $60 https://t.co/BDea1wZAPr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "ret_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "ret_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "ret_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "ret_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "ret_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0193502977896568, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17280311911821788, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17280311911821788, "price_path": [0.3045, 0.2469, 0.2093, 0.1446, 0.1436, 0.1898, 0.1534, 0.1807, 0.1375, 0.0736, -0.1426, -0.102, -0.1495, -0.2556, -0.1868, -0.2975, -0.2927, -0.3942, -0.3531, -0.3467, -0.3913, -0.2936, -0.2603, -0.2151, -0.2683, -0.2608, -0.2495, -0.2867, -0.2213, -0.2296, -0.1888, -0.1715, -0.1162, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1271, -0.1312, -0.172, -0.2074, -0.1232, -0.1506, -0.1655, -0.1358, -0.108, -0.1059, -0.0865, -0.0656, 0.0036, -0.0186, -0.0741, -0.0421, -0.0413, -0.0664, -0.0421, 0.0015, -0.016, -0.0333, -0.0772, -0.0669, -0.0705, 0.0054, -0.0227, 0.0163, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0214, 0.0346, 0.0057, 0.001, 0.0186, 0.047, 0.0777, 0.078, 0.1581, 0.2102, 0.1648, 0.1074, 0.0031, 0.0284, 0.0315, 0.0612, 0.0251, 0.0377, 0.022, 0.0267, 0.0277, -0.0293, -0.0107, -0.045, -0.0322, -0.0099, -0.034, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0204, -0.0515, -0.0523, -0.0991, -0.0704, -0.0753, -0.0429, -0.0222, -0.0267, -0.0403, -0.0562, 0.0008, -0.0115, -0.0133, -0.0188, -0.0178, -0.0345, -0.0144, -0.0531, -0.0575, -0.0541, -0.0311, -0.0209, -0.0288, -0.0275, 0.0026, -0.0008, 0.0092, -0.0105, -0.001, -0.0068, -0.0194, -0.0306, -0.0515, -0.0575, -0.0316, -0.0452, -0.0654, -0.0636, -0.0468, -0.0675, -0.0738, -0.0782, -0.085, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.1151, -0.1475, -0.1467, -0.1402, -0.1465, -0.1122, -0.1109, -0.1208, -0.15, -0.1588, -0.1968, -0.197, -0.1976, -0.1787, -0.2013, -0.2037, -0.2282, -0.2207, -0.1973, -0.2093, -0.1981, -0.1681, -0.1814, -0.1792, -0.192, -0.1885, -0.1787, -0.1973, -0.2143, -0.205, -0.2202, -0.188, -0.192, -0.221, -0.2311, -0.2632, -0.2406, -0.2364, -0.2103, -0.2149, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2308, -0.121, -0.0926, -0.1019, -0.1308, -0.0992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1293548134019334146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-12T14:01:22+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks are the most attractive of any geography in the world. Great backdrop on why many can be multibaggers in the coming oil bull market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks most attractive globally; multibagger potential in upcoming oil bull market.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy stocks are the most attractive of any geography in the world. Great backdrop by @CDNEnergyCentre on why many can be multibaggers in the coming oil bull market:  https://t.co/dzx3R89qRV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019927228920945117, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927228920945117, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006176320163787996, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006176320163787996, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013750908757157121, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013750908757157121, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01630402046901902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01630402046901902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014495909624056558, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014495909624056558, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018081108449624628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018081108449624628, "ret_p1w": -0.027173854607121295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027173854607121295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026551364525332688, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026551364525332688, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.000622490081788607, "bench_c_p1w": -0.000622490081788607, "ret_p1m": -0.1684783056896837, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1684783056896837, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1579575866142171, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1579575866142171, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010520719075466589, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010520719075466589, "ret_p3m": -0.1001751161743144, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1001751161743144, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15511586550152556, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15511586550152556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05494074932721116, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05494074932721116, "ret_p6m": 0.16020608903209044, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16020608903209044, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.006257092274524201, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.006257092274524201, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15394899675756624, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15394899675756624, "ret_p1y": 0.48542704597543374, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.48542704597543374, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1665515794507073, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1665515794507073, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3188754665247264, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3188754665247264, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.48542704597543374, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1665515794507073, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1665515794507073, "price_path": [-0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1052, -0.0532, -0.0711, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0765, -0.0729, -0.0854, -0.1016, -0.0818, -0.037, -0.0209, -0.0101, 0.0706, 0.1011, 0.0616, 0.0186, -0.0783, -0.0603, -0.0657, -0.0478, -0.0926, -0.0962, -0.1016, -0.0998, -0.0783, -0.1141, -0.1105, -0.1322, -0.1014, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.096, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.1232, -0.1395, -0.1576, -0.1304, -0.1377, -0.1014, -0.0833, -0.0942, -0.1069, -0.1232, -0.0453, -0.0562, -0.0779, -0.0815, -0.0725, -0.1051, -0.0888, -0.1069, -0.125, -0.125, -0.096, -0.067, -0.0525, -0.0435, -0.0145, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0236, -0.0272, -0.0417, -0.0688, -0.0308, -0.029, -0.0489, -0.0507, -0.0453, -0.0743, -0.0652, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0924, -0.0924, -0.1612, -0.1504, -0.1685, -0.1703, -0.1739, -0.1793, -0.1522, -0.1594, -0.1667, -0.2029, -0.192, -0.2156, -0.2026, -0.2209, -0.1934, -0.2264, -0.2337, -0.2611, -0.2538, -0.2337, -0.2355, -0.2191, -0.1806, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.2008, -0.2026, -0.2008, -0.2136, -0.2191, -0.2099, -0.2264, -0.1953, -0.1934, -0.2209, -0.2227, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.2447, -0.23, -0.2136, -0.2154, -0.2136, -0.2245, -0.1002, -0.0746, -0.0654, -0.1185, -0.1057, -0.0599, -0.0453, -0.038, -0.0435, -0.0343, 0.0333, 0.0791, 0.0717, 0.0681, 0.0736, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0297, 0.037, 0.0955, 0.0864, 0.0992, 0.0973, 0.1394, 0.1412, 0.1156, 0.1266, 0.0992, 0.101, 0.0937, 0.0663, 0.0461, 0.09, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.0772, 0.096, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0904, 0.1712, 0.1822, 0.2024, 0.1859, 0.1786, 0.2024, 0.1859, 0.2134, 0.1675, 0.1492, 0.1712, 0.1712, 0.1529, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.0904, 0.0831, 0.0904, 0.0684, 0.1088, 0.1125, 0.151, 0.1602]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1359167745955409925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-09T15:50:17+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks looking to a post-COVID world...buy any short-term pull back", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector; buy any short-term pullback as inventory normalizes and post-COVID demand returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Consensus is shaping up around a material tightening by Summer with normalized inventory levels. Energy stocks looking to a post-COVID world...buy any short-term pull back. https://t.co/FJyrjy51ci", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010713738194144229, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010713738194144229, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010047268259590902, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010047268259590902, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006664699345533265, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006664699345533265, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01914734575073762, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01914734575073762, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01958289485719833, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01958289485719833, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00043554910646070866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00043554910646070866, "ret_p1w": 0.04376569400405783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04376569400405783, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.038512476169779264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038512476169779264, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005253217834278567, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005253217834278567, "ret_p1m": 0.21814451541144586, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21814451541144586, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21986134330688345, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21986134330688345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0017168278954375893, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0017168278954375893, "ret_p3m": 0.23544616698896093, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23544616698896093, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1502376414491089, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1502376414491089, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08520852553985203, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08520852553985203, "ret_p6m": 0.1289201045015822, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1289201045015822, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003325036479825405, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003325036479825405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1322451409814076, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1322451409814076, "ret_p1y": 0.5725883172644353, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5725883172644353, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4528229812107891, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4528229812107891, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11976533605364614, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11976533605364614, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21814451541144586, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21986134330688345, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21986134330688345, "price_path": [-0.2647, -0.2379, -0.1877, -0.1794, -0.2033, -0.1902, -0.1945, -0.1376, -0.0933, -0.1144, -0.1144, -0.1248, -0.1731, -0.1693, -0.1423, -0.1333, -0.0861, -0.1074, -0.0942, -0.0922, -0.0643, -0.0751, -0.1074, -0.0899, -0.0944, -0.0987, -0.1137, -0.1308, -0.1454, -0.1265, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1365, -0.1422, -0.1288, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.1347, -0.096, -0.0684, -0.0547, -0.0558, -0.041, -0.0075, -0.0153, 0.0139, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0059, -0.0023, -0.036, -0.041, -0.0508, -0.0711, -0.0837, -0.0729, -0.1037, -0.0973, -0.0875, -0.0486, -0.0381, -0.0299, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0191, 0.0034, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0438, 0.0593, 0.0353, 0.0527, 0.0891, 0.1071, 0.1463, 0.1242, 0.0976, 0.1261, 0.1199, 0.1363, 0.1634, 0.207, 0.2093, 0.1881, 0.2181, 0.2186, 0.2211, 0.2072, 0.1728, 0.1819, 0.1288, 0.129, 0.1182, 0.1018, 0.1295, 0.1336, 0.1617, 0.1479, 0.138, 0.1302, 0.159, 0.159, 0.1313, 0.1283, 0.1322, 0.1175, 0.1101, 0.1014, 0.1025, 0.1332, 0.1239, 0.115, 0.1138, 0.0843, 0.0981, 0.0852, 0.0952, 0.1025, 0.1159, 0.1544, 0.1673, 0.1378, 0.1691, 0.1698, 0.2076, 0.2138, 0.2354, 0.2359, 0.2041, 0.2099, 0.1951, 0.2322, 0.2608, 0.2315, 0.2009, 0.199, 0.2016, 0.2136, 0.1889, 0.1995, 0.2004, 0.2027, 0.2027, 0.249, 0.2723, 0.2758, 0.2843, 0.2788, 0.2898, 0.2817, 0.2801, 0.2758, 0.2702, 0.2944, 0.2875, 0.2437, 0.2069, 0.2583, 0.2667, 0.2702, 0.2811, 0.2879, 0.2443, 0.2383, 0.2537, 0.2755, 0.2727, 0.2727, 0.2313, 0.2113, 0.2043, 0.2299, 0.2281, 0.2187, 0.1824, 0.1659, 0.1329, 0.0928, 0.1075, 0.1461, 0.1333, 0.1292, 0.1571, 0.1464, 0.1568, 0.168, 0.1494, 0.1408, 0.1603, 0.1289]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1193900118501732353", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-11T14:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bears just want to be bears... Despite the \"peak demand\" headlines this doesn't look like a sunset industry to me", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish E&P sector: depressed valuations + massive FCF generation means peak-demand fears are overblown; not a sunset industry.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hold on...I'm supposed to be worried about peak oil demand in 20 years when between now and then (given currently depressed valuations) E&amp;P's could privatize themselves 2 to 4+ times over out of free cash flow?!? Bears just want to be bears... #OOTT https://t.co/mKNlnT34Zf\n\n---\n\nDespite the \"peak demand\" headlines this doesn't look like a sunset industry to me... #OOTT https://t.co/6DyW2iOtYv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022839121716246247, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022839121716246247, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020926199144500002, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020926199144500002, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001912922571746245, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001912922571746245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003582613210577401, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003582613210577401, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005690234449949205, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005690234449949205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002107621239371804, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002107621239371804, "ret_p1w": -0.04702188589159417, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04702188589159417, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05892342691685626, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05892342691685626, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011901541025262086, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011901541025262086, "ret_p1m": -0.03627394625670166, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03627394625670166, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05307255600591376, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05307255600591376, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0167986097492121, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0167986097492121, "ret_p3m": -0.12028880112611562, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12028880112611562, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20873347329339142, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20873347329339142, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0884446721672758, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0884446721672758, "ret_p6m": -0.41135749889696516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41135749889696516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34953865855226685, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34953865855226685, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06181884034469831, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06181884034469831, "ret_p1y": -0.5428402037504385, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5428402037504385, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6227068161176892, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6227068161176892, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07986661236725068, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07986661236725068, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5428402037504385, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6227068161176892, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6227068161176892, "price_path": [-0.0642, -0.0727, -0.0432, -0.0039, -0.012, -0.0075, -0.0196, -0.066, -0.0673, -0.0807, -0.0517, -0.0196, -0.0374, -0.0374, -0.0557, -0.0307, -0.0053, -0.0089, 0.0469, 0.0563, 0.0594, 0.0376, 0.0451, 0.158, 0.0965, 0.0795, 0.0581, 0.0654, 0.0618, 0.0322, 0.0336, 0.0134, 0.0081, 0.0013, -0.0349, -0.0618, -0.0475, -0.0488, -0.0605, -0.0873, -0.0802, -0.0708, -0.0479, -0.0605, -0.0596, -0.0663, -0.0618, -0.0793, -0.0725, -0.0573, -0.039, -0.0421, -0.0219, -0.0287, -0.0125, -0.0493, -0.0542, -0.0215, 0.026, 0.0273, -0.004, 0.0161, 0.0228, 0.0, -0.0036, -0.0193, -0.0287, -0.0166, -0.047, -0.0779, -0.073, -0.0596, -0.0573, -0.0493, -0.073, -0.0663, -0.0663, -0.0882, -0.0878, -0.1026, -0.0748, -0.0824, -0.0493, -0.043, -0.0363, -0.0421, -0.0058, -0.0255, 0.0022, 0.0287, 0.0349, 0.0479, 0.0443, 0.0668, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.07, 0.052, 0.0506, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.0641, 0.0807, 0.0879, 0.101, 0.0592, 0.0542, 0.0443, 0.0295, 0.0407, 0.0286, 0.0227, 0.0061, 0.0061, -0.0272, -0.0488, -0.0645, -0.0807, -0.114, -0.1018, -0.1207, -0.1171, -0.1383, -0.1531, -0.15, -0.1036, -0.1203, -0.136, -0.1576, -0.1536, -0.1423, -0.1477, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1644, -0.1396, -0.1365, -0.1545, -0.2062, -0.248, -0.2862, -0.333, -0.3083, -0.3087, -0.3317, -0.3299, -0.3578, -0.4194, -0.6335, -0.5534, -0.5808, -0.6294, -0.5745, -0.6105, -0.6164, -0.6505, -0.6276, -0.629, -0.6569, -0.6146, -0.6101, -0.6073, -0.6346, -0.6359, -0.6258, -0.6469, -0.6171, -0.6027, -0.5822, -0.5692, -0.5302, -0.5279, -0.5279, -0.5234, -0.5291, -0.5416, -0.5624, -0.5182, -0.5108, -0.5042, -0.4902, -0.4702, -0.4654, -0.4537, -0.4486, -0.3888, -0.3817, -0.4311, -0.4018, -0.4114]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1150932806605971456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-16T00:58:59+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy equities trade at their cheapest valuations in history despite $60/bbl oil, 400k bbl/d of pipeline optimizations by Q1/20, crude by rail ramping to 600k bbl/d, massive FCF, and likely TMX construction. That is our worst case scenario.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy equities: cheapest valuations in history even in worst-case Liberal-win scenario, with pipeline/rail/FCF/TMX tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even with a Liberal win in Oct’ energy equities trade at their cheapest valuations in history despite $60/bbl oil, 400k bbl/d of pipeline optimizations by Q1/20, crude by rail ramping to 600k bbl/d, massive FCF, and likely TMX construction. That is our worst case scenario. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Federal Polling:\n\nLPC: 33% (+1)\nCPC: 32% (-3)\nNDP: 14% (-)\nGPC: 14% (+2)\nBQ: 4% (-)\nPPC: 3% (+1)\n\nCampaign Research / July 12, 2019 / 1896 Respondents / MOE 2.3% / Online\n\n(% changes compared to June 6th)\n\n#cdnpoli #lpc #cpc #ndp #gpc #ppc https://t.co/GqxfVdd136", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0167970656223424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0167970656223424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013561276783401688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013561276783401688, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003235788838940712, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003235788838940712, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012318288606916306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012318288606916306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005513044454036109, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005513044454036109, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006805244152880197, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006805244152880197, "ret_p1w": -0.011198156116561164, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011198156116561164, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012032153615243346, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012032153615243346, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0008339974986821819, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0008339974986821819, "ret_p1m": -0.125420117104883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.125420117104883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07244811821103181, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07244811821103181, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05297199889385118, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05297199889385118, "ret_p3m": -0.0800130176466376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0800130176466376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07290165952512029, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07290165952512029, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.007111358121517308, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007111358121517308, "ret_p6m": 0.06501777824343224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06501777824343224, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027619820941373385, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.027619820941373385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09263759918480563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09263759918480563, "ret_p1y": -0.4161612451418113, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4161612451418113, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47848299026583296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47848299026583296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.062321745124021666, "bench_c_p1y": 0.062321745124021666, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.125420117104883, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07244811821103181, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07244811821103181, "price_path": [0.1787, 0.1787, 0.1976, 0.2154, 0.1876, 0.1787, 0.1621, 0.1643, 0.1488, 0.1165, 0.0876, 0.0988, 0.0976, 0.0832, 0.1021, 0.1021, 0.0943, 0.0688, 0.091, 0.091, 0.0988, 0.081, 0.081, 0.0876, 0.0599, 0.0177, 0.021, 0.0377, 0.0265, 0.0399, 0.0254, 0.0143, 0.0032, 0.0065, -0.019, -0.0123, -0.0079, -0.0123, -0.0057, -0.0179, -0.0079, -0.0101, 0.0043, 0.0132, 0.0045, 0.0224, 0.0146, 0.0134, 0.0067, 0.0224, -0.0034, -0.0011, -0.0011, -0.0146, -0.0101, -0.0034, -0.0056, -0.0134, 0.0011, 0.0213, 0.0224, 0.0213, 0.0168, 0.0, -0.0123, -0.0291, -0.0213, -0.0157, -0.0112, -0.0213, -0.0504, -0.0582, -0.075, -0.0526, -0.0414, -0.0627, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.1053, -0.1097, -0.0952, -0.0918, -0.1041, -0.0952, -0.1254, -0.1321, -0.1243, -0.1019, -0.1142, -0.1053, -0.1109, -0.1389, -0.1377, -0.1422, -0.1153, -0.0918, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.1053, -0.0974, -0.0739, -0.0773, -0.0571, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0302, -0.0224, 0.0661, 0.0426, 0.028, 0.0235, 0.0291, 0.028, 0.0102, 0.0045, -0.0011, -0.0056, -0.0146, -0.0473, -0.0687, -0.0654, -0.0676, -0.0687, -0.1037, -0.1071, -0.0981, -0.08, -0.08, -0.0845, -0.089, -0.0868, -0.0958, -0.0868, -0.0845, -0.08, -0.0879, -0.0778, -0.0857, -0.0811, -0.0924, -0.1105, -0.0823, -0.053, -0.0417, -0.0575, -0.0169, -0.0146, -0.0169, -0.0259, -0.0304, -0.0349, -0.0236, -0.0383, -0.0507, -0.0439, -0.0349, -0.0406, -0.0315, -0.0428, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0496, -0.0541, -0.0699, -0.0473, -0.0541, -0.0112, -0.0112, -0.0045, -0.0124, 0.0102, 0.0091, 0.0158, 0.0339, 0.0316, 0.0485, 0.0429, 0.0587, 0.0598, 0.0598, 0.0598, 0.0598, 0.0616, 0.0616, 0.0616, 0.0559, 0.0639, 0.0866, 0.0855, 0.065]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1489605333110644738", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-02-04T14:22:41+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some stocks are down 70%+ despite oil being 19% higher! Energy ignorance!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil and Canadian energy stocks: inventories near 2011-15 levels that supported $95 WTI, yet stocks down 70%+ despite oil 19% higher — deep mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OECD oil inventories nearing the 2011-2015 average when WTI averaged $95WTI ($97.94CAD) over 4 years. Today, given weakness in CAD WTI in CAD$ terms is $117/bbl! Yet, given the profound multiple compression some stocks are down 70%+ despite oil being 19% higher! Energy ignorance! https://t.co/FTm8CY3Zm7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006923174903121887, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006923174903121887, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022432100639613317, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022432100639613317, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004679964839160555, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004679964839160555, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008461448404408212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008461448404408212, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005252142202292198, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005252142202292198, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032093062021160135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032093062021160135, "ret_p1w": 0.010769287814216488, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010769287814216488, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02913355895643044, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02913355895643044, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01836427114221395, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01836427114221395, "ret_p1m": 0.1153844173117482, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1153844173117482, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18061733480201636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18061733480201636, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06523291749026816, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06523291749026816, "ret_p3m": 0.2796869104443638, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2796869104443638, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3204873415337903, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3204873415337903, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04080043108942655, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04080043108942655, "ret_p6m": 0.20072263320288086, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20072263320288086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27844482969406437, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27844482969406437, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0777221964911835, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0777221964911835, "ret_p1y": 0.27829712556919217, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.27829712556919217, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3719174029222315, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3719174029222315, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09362027735303935, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09362027735303935, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1153844173117482, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18061733480201636, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18061733480201636, "price_path": [-0.1661, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.1906, -0.1837, -0.2105, -0.2043, -0.1737, -0.1584, -0.1554, -0.2051, -0.1944, -0.2189, -0.2334, -0.2189, -0.2219, -0.2028, -0.1776, -0.1822, -0.1959, -0.1913, -0.2143, -0.2265, -0.2273, -0.2242, -0.2403, -0.2388, -0.2089, -0.1982, -0.2013, -0.1975, -0.1975, -0.1975, -0.1822, -0.19, -0.1862, -0.1862, -0.1554, -0.1508, -0.1254, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.0877, -0.0738, -0.08, -0.0538, -0.0369, -0.0438, -0.0477, -0.0554, -0.0892, -0.1023, -0.0708, -0.0685, -0.0546, -0.0492, -0.0415, -0.0077, 0.0008, -0.0069, 0.0, -0.0085, -0.0485, -0.0308, -0.0238, 0.0108, -0.0023, -0.0046, 0.0038, 0.0046, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0169, -0.0146, -0.0092, 0.0138, 0.04, 0.0515, 0.0608, 0.0469, 0.0838, 0.1154, 0.1169, 0.0769, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.0492, 0.03, 0.0331, 0.0715, 0.0631, 0.1085, 0.0992, 0.1192, 0.1169, 0.149, 0.1219, 0.1173, 0.1243, 0.1165, 0.1335, 0.1506, 0.1312, 0.1158, 0.1359, 0.1598, 0.1305, 0.1575, 0.1768, 0.1892, 0.1892, 0.2232, 0.2055, 0.2225, 0.1792, 0.1567, 0.1189, 0.1289, 0.166, 0.2256, 0.2078, 0.2031, 0.2495, 0.2797, 0.2681, 0.2704, 0.1792, 0.1753, 0.1962, 0.1807, 0.2271, 0.258, 0.275, 0.2549, 0.2611, 0.2681, 0.2681, 0.299, 0.3261, 0.3315, 0.3547, 0.3864, 0.3501, 0.374, 0.374, 0.3779, 0.3895, 0.4212, 0.4312, 0.415, 0.3934, 0.3501, 0.3253, 0.3075, 0.241, 0.1707, 0.1985, 0.2271, 0.1622, 0.0817, 0.1173, 0.1696, 0.2186, 0.175, 0.1548, 0.1548, 0.1836, 0.1041, 0.0605, 0.1088, 0.0963, 0.0815, 0.0457, 0.0418, 0.0246, 0.0394, 0.0761, 0.1025, 0.1181, 0.094, 0.0784, 0.1173, 0.108, 0.1423, 0.1657, 0.2007, 0.2007]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1555196079871770624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-04T14:16:54+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Is a sector that is trading at an average free cashflow yield of 17% at $70WTI, whom have committed that 50%-100% of that will be returned to investors via dividends and share buybacks, at a time when oil supply growth is structurally challenged, attractive to you?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on energy/oil sector: 17% FCF yield at $70 WTI, 50-100% capital return commitments, and structurally challenged supply growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is a sector that is trading at an average free cashflow yield of 17% at $70WTI, whom have committed that 50%-100% of that will be returned to investors via dividends and share buybacks, at a time when oil supply growth is structurally challenged, attractive to you? https://t.co/vGdf0nwgTt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038514823178236623, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038514823178236623, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037838819142836044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.037838819142836044, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006760040354005792, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006760040354005792, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019815521936753067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019815521936753067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02150572585597932, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02150572585597932, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001690203919226252, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001690203919226252, "ret_p1w": 0.08679857631586607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08679857631586607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0727464690347468, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0727464690347468, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014052107281119275, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014052107281119275, "ret_p1m": 0.11582443328842928, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11582443328842928, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1687737926081051, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1687737926081051, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.052949359319675815, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052949359319675815, "ret_p3m": 0.2818969694620237, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2818969694620237, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.349672285848039, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.349672285848039, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0677753163860153, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0677753163860153, "ret_p6m": 0.30023053700706503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30023053700706503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3121895050584894, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3121895050584894, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.011958968051424379, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011958968051424379, "ret_p1y": 0.24445245340802257, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.24445245340802257, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12989330045759329, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12989330045759329, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11455915295042929, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11455915295042929, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11582443328842928, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1687737926081051, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1687737926081051, "price_path": [0.0496, 0.0592, 0.0734, 0.0779, 0.1148, 0.1442, 0.1574, 0.1277, 0.1236, 0.1284, 0.1582, 0.1627, 0.1867, 0.1998, 0.2217, 0.2217, 0.2034, 0.223, 0.2191, 0.2352, 0.2339, 0.2707, 0.2735, 0.2453, 0.2242, 0.1603, 0.1625, 0.1368, 0.0728, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0667, 0.024, -0.014, -0.001, 0.0283, 0.0561, 0.0194, -0.0021, 0.0128, 0.0128, -0.0274, -0.044, -0.0095, -0.0099, -0.0194, -0.0385, -0.0401, -0.0582, -0.0428, -0.0209, 0.0092, 0.019, 0.0011, -0.0071, 0.0293, 0.02, 0.043, 0.0488, 0.0943, 0.0717, 0.0692, 0.0385, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0251, 0.0431, 0.0507, 0.0868, 0.095, 0.0737, 0.0712, 0.0801, 0.1091, 0.1088, 0.1068, 0.1467, 0.1608, 0.1697, 0.156, 0.1735, 0.1337, 0.1234, 0.0957, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.1055, 0.0927, 0.0974, 0.1248, 0.1454, 0.1165, 0.1481, 0.1185, 0.0946, 0.0953, 0.0876, 0.0717, 0.0679, -0.0057, -0.0301, -0.0193, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.016, 0.0734, 0.1195, 0.1427, 0.163, 0.1539, 0.1302, 0.1212, 0.1302, 0.1764, 0.1325, 0.1466, 0.1566, 0.1908, 0.1919, 0.2263, 0.2321, 0.2334, 0.2502, 0.2547, 0.259, 0.2696, 0.2819, 0.251, 0.2741, 0.2897, 0.3118, 0.3131, 0.2489, 0.2767, 0.3138, 0.3134, 0.3272, 0.3001, 0.3029, 0.2926, 0.2751, 0.315, 0.3008, 0.3008, 0.296, 0.2605, 0.2795, 0.2858, 0.2816, 0.274, 0.2362, 0.2036, 0.2008, 0.1954, 0.1664, 0.197, 0.2197, 0.2122, 0.2049, 0.1901, 0.1899, 0.2079, 0.2308, 0.2025, 0.2408, 0.2408, 0.2541, 0.226, 0.2388, 0.2466, 0.2466, 0.2029, 0.2027, 0.2247, 0.2479, 0.2435, 0.2523, 0.2562, 0.2801, 0.282, 0.282, 0.2847, 0.2612, 0.2769, 0.2895, 0.2913, 0.2863, 0.2864, 0.327, 0.3002]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1111697587936133120", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-03-29T18:32:13+00:00", "symbol": "E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Positive for both the oil macro and the investability of E&P's. Time to get bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil macro and E&P sector in 2019 as capex discipline holds despite WTI above budget levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still questioning E&amp;P discipline this year? The proof is in the numbers. Read my lips: capex budgets will not be widely increased in 2019 even though WTI is now well above budgeted levels. Positive for both the oil macro and the investability of E&amp;P's. Time to get bullish #OOTT https://t.co/FjAf9otsRF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019520308801994624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019520308801994624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008218158067128778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008218158067128778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006266127186929316, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006266127186929316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01398849395386148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01398849395386148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002129749762527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002129749762527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01185874419133448, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01185874419133448, "ret_p1w": 0.034808035300852636, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034808035300852636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013249113473606133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013249113473606133, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021558921827246502, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021558921827246502, "ret_p1m": 0.016265534135193604, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016265534135193604, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02405549132723306, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02405549132723306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04032102546242666, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04032102546242666, "ret_p3m": -0.1238537807806046, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1238537807806046, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15714012670483668, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15714012670483668, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033286345924232075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033286345924232075, "ret_p6m": -0.22330838254801733, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22330838254801733, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2890269541115924, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2890269541115924, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06571857156357508, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06571857156357508, "ret_p1y": -0.7193751701672039, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7193751701672039, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6272528647476056, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6272528647476056, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09212230541959832, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09212230541959832, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016265534135193604, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02405549132723306, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02405549132723306, "price_path": [-0.139, -0.1144, -0.1206, -0.0709, -0.0391, -0.0303, -0.0086, -0.0024, -0.0135, -0.0128, -0.0015, 0.0005, 0.0063, 0.0258, 0.0258, -0.017, -0.0329, -0.0274, -0.0092, -0.0264, -0.0219, 0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0037, 0.0021, -0.0115, -0.0232, -0.0654, -0.0797, -0.0647, -0.0534, -0.0329, -0.0203, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0018, 0.0132, -0.0144, -0.006, -0.0076, -0.0225, -0.0209, -0.0336, -0.0131, -0.0063, -0.0151, -0.0433, -0.0563, -0.0894, -0.0699, -0.0462, -0.0261, -0.0232, -0.0316, -0.0081, -0.0179, 0.0094, 0.0244, -0.0221, -0.0215, -0.0013, -0.0039, 0.002, 0.0, 0.014, 0.0036, -0.0189, -0.001, 0.0348, 0.042, 0.0211, 0.0361, 0.0221, 0.056, 0.0436, 0.0498, 0.0459, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0729, 0.0716, 0.0501, 0.0342, 0.0176, 0.0163, 0.0068, -0.0257, -0.0573, -0.0364, -0.0273, -0.041, -0.0316, -0.0351, -0.0309, -0.0644, -0.0413, -0.0283, -0.0182, -0.0407, -0.0488, -0.0283, -0.0654, -0.1184, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.1311, -0.1265, -0.149, -0.1669, -0.1591, -0.1373, -0.1679, -0.161, -0.1594, -0.1646, -0.1623, -0.1913, -0.1724, -0.188, -0.174, -0.1522, -0.1565, -0.1308, -0.1281, -0.1402, -0.1516, -0.1239, -0.1261, -0.1105, -0.1121, -0.1434, -0.1454, -0.1454, -0.1346, -0.1454, -0.1434, -0.1252, -0.135, -0.1291, -0.1526, -0.1692, -0.1953, -0.2019, -0.1918, -0.1891, -0.181, -0.1758, -0.2002, -0.2097, -0.2244, -0.1849, -0.1829, -0.2339, -0.2427, -0.274, -0.2848, -0.2864, -0.2655, -0.2724, -0.2835, -0.2789, -0.3155, -0.3217, -0.3001, -0.2714, -0.2773, -0.274, -0.2828, -0.3168, -0.3178, -0.3275, -0.3063, -0.2828, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.3093, -0.291, -0.2724, -0.275, -0.2342, -0.2273, -0.225, -0.241, -0.2355, -0.1529, -0.198, -0.2104, -0.226, -0.2207, -0.2233]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1440714640510447616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-22T16:28:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With Canadian energy stock valuations at 20 year lows at CURRENT oil prices investors are getting free optionality on possible HIGHER prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Canadian energy stocks: valuations at 20-year lows with free optionality on higher oil prices in a structural bull/energy-crisis scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With Canadian energy stock valuations at 20 year lows at CURRENT oil prices investors are getting free optionality on possible HIGHER prices such as this scenario, or that which my structural bull market/energy crisis scenario would suggest in the years ahead. https://t.co/K4Sw404gcp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0393974079198689, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0393974079198689, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02973669290729175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02973669290729175, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009660715012577148, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009660715012577148, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026651156976637003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026651156976637003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014501176153637108, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014501176153637108, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012149980822999895, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012149980822999895, "ret_p1w": 0.08393369052381972, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08393369052381972, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09172156183676994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09172156183676994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007787871312950223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007787871312950223, "ret_p1m": 0.16659632838065597, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16659632838065597, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13067146426006326, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13067146426006326, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0359248641205927, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0359248641205927, "ret_p3m": 0.15844609990857972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15844609990857972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11569625525599703, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11569625525599703, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04274984465258269, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04274984465258269, "ret_p6m": 0.6306722733529968, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6306722733529968, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6198020690580754, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6198020690580754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.01087020429492136, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01087020429492136, "ret_p1y": 0.8035504572380447, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8035504572380447, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8647478864746178, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8647478864746178, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.06119742923657301, "bench_c_p1y": -0.06119742923657301, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8035504572380447, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8647478864746178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8647478864746178, "price_path": [0.0614, 0.029, 0.0371, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0475, 0.0707, 0.0394, 0.0174, 0.0116, 0.0197, 0.0081, 0.0127, -0.0139, -0.0278, -0.0603, -0.095, -0.0823, -0.0579, -0.0603, -0.0591, -0.0452, -0.0718, -0.066, -0.0614, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0626, -0.102, -0.0904, -0.0811, -0.1008, -0.0742, -0.073, -0.0811, -0.0939, -0.1147, -0.1251, -0.1414, -0.1576, -0.1518, -0.1217, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.102, -0.0742, -0.0846, -0.0846, -0.0823, -0.0498, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0603, -0.0684, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0243, -0.0371, 0.0058, -0.0012, -0.0209, -0.0475, -0.0394, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.0409, 0.0723, 0.0746, 0.0839, 0.0874, 0.0932, 0.1142, 0.1468, 0.12, 0.1468, 0.1666, 0.1666, 0.1678, 0.1596, 0.1876, 0.1876, 0.1747, 0.1771, 0.1841, 0.1666, 0.1817, 0.2039, 0.2015, 0.1701, 0.2225, 0.2248, 0.2469, 0.2271, 0.2143, 0.2271, 0.2586, 0.2714, 0.2691, 0.2411, 0.2423, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2318, 0.2423, 0.2015, 0.2108, 0.2574, 0.2807, 0.2854, 0.2097, 0.226, 0.1887, 0.1666, 0.1887, 0.1841, 0.2132, 0.2516, 0.2446, 0.2236, 0.2306, 0.1957, 0.1771, 0.1759, 0.1806, 0.1561, 0.1584, 0.2039, 0.2202, 0.2155, 0.2213, 0.2213, 0.2213, 0.2446, 0.2327, 0.2385, 0.2385, 0.2853, 0.2924, 0.331, 0.3427, 0.3427, 0.3884, 0.4094, 0.4001, 0.4399, 0.4656, 0.4551, 0.4492, 0.4375, 0.386, 0.3661, 0.4141, 0.4176, 0.4387, 0.4469, 0.4586, 0.5101, 0.523, 0.5113, 0.5218, 0.5089, 0.4481, 0.475, 0.4855, 0.5382, 0.5183, 0.5148, 0.5277, 0.5288, 0.4937, 0.4937, 0.4961, 0.4996, 0.5078, 0.5429, 0.5827, 0.6002, 0.6143, 0.5932, 0.6494, 0.6974, 0.6997, 0.6389, 0.667, 0.667, 0.5967, 0.5675, 0.5721, 0.6307]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1220775300419792899", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-24T18:28:07+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canada. Lowest valuations + worst sentiment + imminent catalysts to re-rate valuations that are currently at all-time lows", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian oil equities: all-time low valuations, worst sentiment, and imminent re-rating catalysts; Goldman concurs.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5) So where to invest? Goldman out today agreeing with me...Canada. Lowest valuations + worst sentiment + imminent catalysts to re-rate valuations that are currently at all-time lows... #OOTT https://t.co/5FfeWkudNJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "1) As the market freaks out over short-term demand destruction from the coronavirus (SARS dented demand by 0.26MM Bbl/d in '03) , I'm focusing on what will matter after the panic ends: US growth deceleration, peaking of global offshore production, and Canadian egress solutions: https://t.co/WmVYvxXKMw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.018306303337223717, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018306303337223717, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009333318581882022, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009333318581882022, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008972984755341695, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008972984755341695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026315637663152702, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026315637663152702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010286232933811479, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010286232933811479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016029404729341223, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016029404729341223, "ret_p1w": -0.04919904281352394, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04919904281352394, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027785908174263962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027785908174263962, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02141313463925998, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02141313463925998, "ret_p1m": -0.07551501981786468, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07551501981786468, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05620087353020975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05620087353020975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.019314146287654932, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019314146287654932, "ret_p3m": -0.5080055337046223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5080055337046223, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36191919474151746, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36191919474151746, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14608633896310486, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14608633896310486, "ret_p6m": -0.42995485472701933, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42995485472701933, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4265868240107905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4265868240107905, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0033680307162288203, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0033680307162288203, "ret_p1y": -0.2182602479511767, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2182602479511767, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.39185719891793525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.39185719891793525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17359695096675853, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17359695096675853, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07551501981786468, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05620087353020975, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05620087353020975, "price_path": [-0.075, -0.0864, -0.1046, -0.0762, -0.0467, -0.0353, -0.0512, -0.0104, -0.0081, -0.0104, -0.0194, -0.024, -0.0285, -0.0172, -0.0319, -0.0444, -0.0376, -0.0285, -0.0342, -0.0251, -0.0365, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0433, -0.0478, -0.0637, -0.041, -0.0478, -0.0047, -0.0047, 0.0021, -0.0058, 0.0169, 0.0157, 0.0226, 0.0407, 0.0384, 0.0555, 0.0498, 0.0657, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0629, 0.0709, 0.0938, 0.0927, 0.0721, 0.0812, 0.0744, 0.0652, 0.0686, 0.0584, 0.0572, 0.0481, 0.0469, 0.032, 0.024, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0263, -0.0217, -0.0195, -0.0206, -0.0492, -0.0572, -0.0549, -0.0183, -0.032, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0469, -0.0366, -0.0423, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0412, -0.0229, -0.0206, -0.0366, -0.0755, -0.1018, -0.1281, -0.1476, -0.1556, -0.1533, -0.1808, -0.1751, -0.1968, -0.2471, -0.4508, -0.4428, -0.4851, -0.5675, -0.5217, -0.6087, -0.6419, -0.6842, -0.6682, -0.6625, -0.6739, -0.6373, -0.6094, -0.6141, -0.6502, -0.6083, -0.55, -0.557, -0.515, -0.5243, -0.5115, -0.515, -0.4952, -0.5045, -0.5045, -0.508, -0.5173, -0.543, -0.5605, -0.5267, -0.5325, -0.5372, -0.508, -0.4975, -0.501, -0.4987, -0.4754, -0.4066, -0.4194, -0.445, -0.4439, -0.4439, -0.459, -0.4485, -0.4334, -0.4381, -0.4311, -0.4637, -0.4625, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4182, -0.3844, -0.3961, -0.4054, -0.4054, -0.3996, -0.3972, -0.4054, -0.4159, -0.4031, -0.3739, -0.3634, -0.3564, -0.304, -0.2842, -0.3098, -0.3378, -0.4007, -0.3891, -0.3926, -0.3809, -0.4101, -0.4124, -0.4159, -0.4147, -0.4007, -0.4241, -0.4217, -0.4358, -0.4158, -0.4205, -0.4205, -0.4123, -0.4135, -0.4135, -0.43, -0.4406, -0.4523, -0.4347, -0.4394, -0.4158, -0.404, -0.4111, -0.4194, -0.43]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1213995597369368582", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-01-06T01:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$60+WTI = multi-bagger potential in CDN midcap oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian midcap oil equities at $60+ WTI; multi-bagger potential flagged; gas trade is over.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap oil stocks sector: BTE, WCP, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BDEPardell Don’t read into the cash position too much (it’s much lower now). I didn’t want to take the risk of 11.5 months of hard work squandered in the final 2 weeks when liquidity dries up. Gas trade is over for now but $60+WTI = multi-bagger potential in CDN midcap oil stocks #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#oott Eric’s nine point energy fund... 30%+ cash now as of end of December no meg arc... anyhow have a look. Happy trading. https://t.co/QZvHi6Kf7j", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BDEPardell", "ret_m1d": -0.035360836497672556, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035360836497672556, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03156043163156123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02763940491675402, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038004048661113288, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007721431580918536, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005373703856437577, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005373703856437577, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0025621966944099723, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002744870286432037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028115071620276044, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00262883357000554, "ret_p1w": -0.13759086661431388, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13759086661431388, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15090827687860578, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1205051958175867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013317410264291896, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01708567079672718, "ret_p1m": -0.27424431019434, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27424431019434, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2909911855035639, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14380223052162383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01674687530922392, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13044207967271615, "ret_p3m": -0.7757700659258884, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7757700659258884, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5584633552375902, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2821714727602542, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.2173067106882982, "bench_c_p3m": -0.49359859316563415, "ret_p6m": -0.6527552191380442, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6527552191380442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6153622151559356, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966387292603335, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03739300398210865, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3561164898777107, "ret_p1y": -0.47974667829917655, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47974667829917655, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6366936382383983, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15121217519382885, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1569469599392217, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3285345031053477, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27424431019434, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2909911855035639, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14380223052162383, "price_path": [-0.2242, -0.2166, -0.2127, -0.2127, -0.2127, -0.228, -0.238, -0.2591, -0.2686, -0.2626, -0.2575, -0.2707, -0.2671, -0.2813, -0.2763, -0.2992, -0.3316, -0.2864, -0.2684, -0.2429, -0.2443, -0.2539, -0.2673, -0.2699, -0.2829, -0.2921, -0.2928, -0.2797, -0.316, -0.3507, -0.3272, -0.3189, -0.3179, -0.3227, -0.3451, -0.3243, -0.3174, -0.3258, -0.3392, -0.3529, -0.3268, -0.3239, -0.291, -0.2501, -0.2483, -0.2523, -0.2238, -0.2212, -0.2036, -0.1595, -0.1611, -0.1299, -0.1349, -0.0796, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0556, -0.0417, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0602, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0626, -0.0643, -0.1095, -0.1376, -0.1379, -0.1583, -0.1403, -0.1404, -0.1312, -0.1523, -0.1727, -0.1886, -0.2279, -0.2648, -0.2521, -0.2442, -0.2486, -0.2697, -0.281, -0.2742, -0.2291, -0.2434, -0.2697, -0.293, -0.2866, -0.2572, -0.2631, -0.2734, -0.2734, -0.2839, -0.2552, -0.2524, -0.2655, -0.3148, -0.3457, -0.3545, -0.3838, -0.3736, -0.3717, -0.3868, -0.3826, -0.4099, -0.4637, -0.6602, -0.6592, -0.7057, -0.7664, -0.7497, -0.7895, -0.7963, -0.8379, -0.8212, -0.8174, -0.8266, -0.814, -0.7852, -0.8037, -0.8256, -0.8177, -0.7985, -0.8083, -0.7758, -0.7613, -0.7568, -0.7631, -0.7566, -0.7699, -0.7699, -0.7693, -0.779, -0.7944, -0.8044, -0.7928, -0.8073, -0.8067, -0.7982, -0.7859, -0.794, -0.8041, -0.7947, -0.7623, -0.7392, -0.7493, -0.7449, -0.7411, -0.7499, -0.7506, -0.7515, -0.754, -0.7572, -0.7739, -0.77, -0.7629, -0.7629, -0.7409, -0.7184, -0.72, -0.7247, -0.7241, -0.7194, -0.7197, -0.7263, -0.7361, -0.7251, -0.6924, -0.6781, -0.6465, -0.5741, -0.5212, -0.5491, -0.5795, -0.6509, -0.6322, -0.6376, -0.626, -0.6357, -0.6427, -0.644, -0.6547, -0.6298, -0.6535, -0.6544, -0.6628, -0.6639, -0.6528]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1115360851236667400", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-08T21:08:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When you inflect from such a low base, as we are at today (many names below liquidation value), the upside can be spectacular", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil equities from depressed base; many names below liquidation value with spectacular upside potential at sentiment turn.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@smacpher1 We had a 10% WLL weight going into the \"sentiment turn\" in February 2016 and it gapped up ~20% a day for 3 days in a row. When you inflect from such a low base, as we are at today (many names below liquidation value), the upside can be spectacular #OOTT https://t.co/yh5OKHnYwT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ericnuttall I was waiting for a breakout, was buying options today - didn't buy a lot previously since didn't want to waste $ on premium.\n\nIf/when a break out happens, it'll be quick. Reminds me of the options I had bought in #WLL in Jan 2016 (Eric had liked it then I believe).", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smacpher1", "ret_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "ret_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "ret_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "ret_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "ret_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "ret_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "price_path": [-0.0773, -0.0828, -0.085, -0.0817, -0.0829, -0.0745, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0763, -0.0857, -0.0809, -0.0692, -0.0785, -0.0757, -0.0627, -0.0566, -0.0402, -0.038, -0.0365, -0.0436, -0.0647, -0.069, -0.0646, -0.0527, -0.0409, -0.0375, -0.022, -0.022, -0.019, -0.0149, -0.0301, -0.0273, -0.0257, -0.0288, -0.0251, -0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0153, -0.0186, -0.031, -0.0368, -0.0548, -0.04, -0.0338, -0.0241, -0.023, -0.0234, -0.0098, -0.0125, -0.0039, 0.0031, -0.024, -0.0236, -0.0095, -0.0165, -0.0128, -0.0143, -0.0013, -0.0082, -0.0177, -0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0072, 0.0012, 0.0078, 0.0064, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0228, 0.0212, 0.0033, 0.0001, -0.0128, -0.0137, -0.0145, -0.0341, -0.051, -0.0422, -0.0413, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0452, -0.0616, -0.0501, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0492, -0.0382, -0.0531, -0.0848, -0.0814, -0.0814, -0.0909, -0.0968, -0.1082, -0.1239, -0.1127, -0.0973, -0.1073, -0.0908, -0.0866, -0.0839, -0.0821, -0.0951, -0.0845, -0.0905, -0.0829, -0.0702, -0.0713, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.0599, -0.0455, -0.0526, -0.0416, -0.0407, -0.056, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0509, -0.0495, -0.0488, -0.0366, -0.0346, -0.0306, -0.0393, -0.0495, -0.0604, -0.0602, -0.0559, -0.0515, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0557, -0.0605, -0.0643, -0.0538, -0.0568, -0.0781, -0.0914, -0.1184, -0.1195, -0.1261, -0.101, -0.1109, -0.1215, -0.1133, -0.1481, -0.1533, -0.1422, -0.1233, -0.1306, -0.1251, -0.129, -0.1582, -0.1545, -0.1598, -0.1478, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1395, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.112, -0.0942, -0.0835, -0.0826, -0.0884, -0.0811, -0.0503, -0.0635, -0.068, -0.0705, -0.0697, -0.0694, -0.0841, -0.0826, -0.0946, -0.0947, -0.1013, -0.1221, -0.1436]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1470475272201900034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-12-13T19:26:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks discounting an oil price <$60WTI still in my opinion represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks are a generational long; oil supply crisis incoming, sector pricing in <$60 WTI understates the bullish outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's time to connect the dots...the world is headed towards an oil supply crisis and with energy stocks discounting an oil price &lt;$60WTI still in my opinion represent a generational opportunity. Read more in this Wednesday's @financialpost. https://t.co/AUpGNdKSSj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028571230382716584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028571230382716584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019633562563567075, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019633562563567075, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008937667819149508, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008937667819149508, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004133087315078998, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004133087315078998, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002746880288301723, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002746880288301723, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006879967603380721, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006879967603380721, "ret_p1w": -0.03510543155522872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03510543155522872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013690681769710222, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013690681769710222, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021414749785518494, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021414749785518494, "ret_p1m": 0.15092035841921558, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15092035841921558, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14056742591982618, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14056742591982618, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0103529324993894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0103529324993894, "ret_p3m": 0.41011837719579836, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41011837719579836, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.49498269895768454, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49498269895768454, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08486432176188619, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08486432176188619, "ret_p6m": 0.6920837851536652, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6920837851536652, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7951192982775662, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7951192982775662, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10303551312390102, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10303551312390102, "ret_p1y": 0.7122447853669254, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7122447853669254, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8252416326804621, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8252416326804621, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.11299684731353676, "bench_c_p1y": -0.11299684731353676, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15092035841921558, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14056742591982618, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14056742591982618, "price_path": [-0.1077, -0.1178, -0.1244, -0.1511, -0.1491, -0.1229, -0.0922, -0.0854, -0.0528, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.064, -0.0325, -0.0167, -0.011, -0.0214, -0.0138, 0.0165, 0.0128, 0.0137, 0.0128, 0.0252, 0.0302, 0.0309, 0.0426, 0.051, 0.0316, 0.0413, 0.0566, 0.0627, 0.0322, 0.0395, 0.0327, 0.0505, 0.0406, 0.032, 0.0334, 0.0469, 0.0564, 0.0607, 0.0327, 0.0367, 0.0341, 0.0428, 0.0444, 0.0284, 0.0223, -0.0176, -0.0002, 0.0305, 0.0406, 0.0406, -0.0013, 0.0045, -0.019, -0.0295, -0.0013, -0.0092, 0.0056, 0.0291, 0.0289, 0.021, 0.0286, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.009, -0.0027, -0.023, -0.0351, -0.0076, -0.0012, -0.0007, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0204, 0.0139, 0.0077, 0.0102, 0.0415, 0.0776, 0.0774, 0.1014, 0.1165, 0.1131, 0.1509, 0.1531, 0.1473, 0.1742, 0.1742, 0.179, 0.1704, 0.1597, 0.1367, 0.1444, 0.1888, 0.1868, 0.1997, 0.1946, 0.1999, 0.2427, 0.2467, 0.2348, 0.2541, 0.2701, 0.2428, 0.2532, 0.2454, 0.2816, 0.2514, 0.2383, 0.2483, 0.2463, 0.2387, 0.2387, 0.2186, 0.2312, 0.2215, 0.2538, 0.2847, 0.2976, 0.3273, 0.3309, 0.3693, 0.3896, 0.4114, 0.3683, 0.4101, 0.3988, 0.357, 0.3073, 0.3013, 0.346, 0.3448, 0.399, 0.3887, 0.4126, 0.4161, 0.4471, 0.4113, 0.4076, 0.424, 0.4047, 0.4161, 0.4179, 0.3957, 0.4039, 0.4223, 0.4615, 0.4175, 0.4411, 0.4626, 0.4673, 0.4673, 0.4888, 0.4767, 0.4824, 0.4354, 0.4003, 0.354, 0.3558, 0.3756, 0.4174, 0.381, 0.403, 0.4424, 0.5023, 0.4797, 0.5238, 0.3977, 0.4104, 0.4293, 0.4354, 0.4844, 0.5236, 0.5412, 0.5017, 0.4962, 0.5026, 0.5423, 0.5482, 0.5802, 0.5976, 0.6268, 0.6268, 0.6024, 0.6285, 0.6234, 0.6449, 0.643, 0.6921]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1263476201039056897", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-21T14:26:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we still see many multibagger opportunities from here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks into 2021; multibagger opportunities remain despite 120%+ rally off lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Given the apocalyptic implosion this year (-79% at the low) energy stocks have rallied by 120%+. Have some \"missed it\" this time as well??? The setup for 2021 is far better now than in January...despite the move from the lows we still see many multibagger opportunities from here https://t.co/96wLq17omM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Given the rally in energy stocks off the March 18th lows it would be easy for some to think that they've missed out on the opportunity. Have they? I've been using 2016 as my playbook: from the January lows energy stocks rallied by ~60% in 2 months... #OOTT https://t.co/HDUc4v9zmj", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "ret_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "ret_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "ret_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "ret_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "ret_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021952465879817584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029316649833286412, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029316649833286412, "price_path": [0.3045, 0.2469, 0.2093, 0.1446, 0.1436, 0.1898, 0.1534, 0.1807, 0.1375, 0.0736, -0.1426, -0.102, -0.1495, -0.2556, -0.1868, -0.2975, -0.2927, -0.3942, -0.3531, -0.3467, -0.3913, -0.2936, -0.2603, -0.2151, -0.2683, -0.2608, -0.2495, -0.2867, -0.2213, -0.2296, -0.1888, -0.1715, -0.1162, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1271, -0.1312, -0.172, -0.2074, -0.1232, -0.1506, -0.1655, -0.1358, -0.108, -0.1059, -0.0865, -0.0656, 0.0036, -0.0186, -0.0741, -0.0421, -0.0413, -0.0664, -0.0421, 0.0015, -0.016, -0.0333, -0.0772, -0.0669, -0.0705, 0.0054, -0.0227, 0.0163, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0214, 0.0346, 0.0057, 0.001, 0.0186, 0.047, 0.0777, 0.078, 0.1581, 0.2102, 0.1648, 0.1074, 0.0031, 0.0284, 0.0315, 0.0612, 0.0251, 0.0377, 0.022, 0.0267, 0.0277, -0.0293, -0.0107, -0.045, -0.0322, -0.0099, -0.034, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0204, -0.0515, -0.0523, -0.0991, -0.0704, -0.0753, -0.0429, -0.0222, -0.0267, -0.0403, -0.0562, 0.0008, -0.0115, -0.0133, -0.0188, -0.0178, -0.0345, -0.0144, -0.0531, -0.0575, -0.0541, -0.0311, -0.0209, -0.0288, -0.0275, 0.0026, -0.0008, 0.0092, -0.0105, -0.001, -0.0068, -0.0194, -0.0306, -0.0515, -0.0575, -0.0316, -0.0452, -0.0654, -0.0636, -0.0468, -0.0675, -0.0738, -0.0782, -0.085, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.1151, -0.1475, -0.1467, -0.1402, -0.1465, -0.1122, -0.1109, -0.1208, -0.15, -0.1588, -0.1968, -0.197, -0.1976, -0.1787, -0.2013, -0.2037, -0.2282, -0.2207, -0.1973, -0.2093, -0.1981, -0.1681, -0.1814, -0.1792, -0.192, -0.1885, -0.1787, -0.1973, -0.2143, -0.205, -0.2202, -0.188, -0.192, -0.221, -0.2311, -0.2632, -0.2406, -0.2364, -0.2103, -0.2149, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2308, -0.121, -0.0926, -0.1019, -0.1308, -0.0992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1443274388326035459", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-29T18:00:03+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Landlocked/end of pipe CDN discount to global peers to soon come to an end???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: new takeaway capacity by YE22 to narrow WCS differentials and close discount to global peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "An important milestone for Canadian energy stocks and 1 of 2 projects that by YE'22ish add almost 1MM Bbl/d of new takeaway capacity. WCS differentials $10-12/bbl in 2022 and $8-10/bbl in 2023 IMO. Landlocked/end of pipe CDN discount to global peers to soon come to an end??? https://t.co/oNRbPqyexl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008593358501506887, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008593358501506887, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006913026198177574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006913026198177574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016803323033293127, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016803323033293127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032218090055080584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032218090055080584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015444139827496706, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015444139827496706, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012222330821988647, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012222330821988647, "ret_p1w": 0.033297147832602514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033297147832602514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03226131528985565, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03226131528985565, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0010358325427468618, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010358325427468618, "ret_p1m": 0.12781933142040436, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12781933142040436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07287634330879089, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07287634330879089, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05494298811161347, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05494298811161347, "ret_p3m": 0.12674503357165712, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12674503357165712, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024347359957992865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.024347359957992865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239767361366425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239767361366425, "ret_p6m": 0.5681209373781964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5681209373781964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5243252171256152, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5243252171256152, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04379572025258116, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04379572025258116, "ret_p1y": 0.6770209979738973, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6770209979738973, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7761249602313934, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7761249602313934, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09910396225749618, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09910396225749618, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6770209979738973, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7761249602313934, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7761249602313934, "price_path": [-0.0336, -0.0122, -0.0411, -0.0614, -0.0667, -0.0593, -0.07, -0.0657, -0.0903, -0.1031, -0.133, -0.1651, -0.1533, -0.1309, -0.133, -0.132, -0.1191, -0.1437, -0.1384, -0.1341, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.1352, -0.1715, -0.1608, -0.1523, -0.1704, -0.1459, -0.1448, -0.1523, -0.164, -0.1833, -0.1929, -0.2079, -0.2228, -0.2175, -0.1897, -0.1747, -0.1747, -0.1715, -0.1459, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1533, -0.1234, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.133, -0.1405, -0.1373, -0.1373, -0.0999, -0.1116, -0.0721, -0.0785, -0.0967, -0.1213, -0.1138, -0.0774, -0.0528, -0.0397, -0.0107, -0.0086, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0086, 0.0279, 0.058, 0.0333, 0.058, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0773, 0.0698, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.0838, 0.0859, 0.0924, 0.0763, 0.0902, 0.1106, 0.1085, 0.0795, 0.1278, 0.13, 0.1504, 0.1321, 0.1203, 0.1321, 0.1611, 0.1729, 0.1708, 0.145, 0.1461, 0.1418, 0.1418, 0.1418, 0.1364, 0.1461, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.16, 0.1815, 0.1858, 0.116, 0.131, 0.0967, 0.0763, 0.0967, 0.0924, 0.1192, 0.1547, 0.1482, 0.1289, 0.1353, 0.1031, 0.0859, 0.0849, 0.0892, 0.0666, 0.0687, 0.1106, 0.1257, 0.1214, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.1482, 0.1372, 0.1426, 0.1426, 0.1858, 0.1923, 0.2279, 0.2387, 0.2387, 0.2808, 0.3003, 0.2916, 0.3284, 0.3521, 0.3424, 0.337, 0.3262, 0.2787, 0.2603, 0.3046, 0.3078, 0.3273, 0.3348, 0.3456, 0.3932, 0.405, 0.3942, 0.404, 0.3921, 0.3359, 0.3608, 0.3705, 0.4191, 0.4007, 0.3975, 0.4094, 0.4104, 0.378, 0.378, 0.3802, 0.3834, 0.391, 0.4234, 0.4601, 0.4763, 0.4893, 0.4698, 0.5217, 0.566, 0.5681, 0.512, 0.5379, 0.5379, 0.4731, 0.4461, 0.4504, 0.5044, 0.4925, 0.5562, 0.5433, 0.5714, 0.5681]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1367175852241338369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-03T18:11:38+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "valuations clearly remain highly compelling...the run has only just begun!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks despite YTD gains; valuations compelling and the run has only just begun.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The most common question I get now from prospective clients is \"haven't I missed the run in energy stocks?\" Despite strong YTD gains valuations clearly remain highly compelling...the run has only just begun! https://t.co/G5D1W6aqCd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014443267219657385, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014443267219657385, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02786654631508878, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02786654631508878, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013423279095431395, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013423279095431395, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023871786356993274, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023871786356993274, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03624686327901239, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03624686327901239, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012375076922019113, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012375076922019113, "ret_p1w": 0.07201601042251782, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07201601042251782, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05062266473582344, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05062266473582344, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021393345686694376, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021393345686694376, "ret_p1m": 0.019935893922855996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019935893922855996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03381583789690401, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03381583789690401, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05375173181976001, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05375173181976001, "ret_p3m": 0.058454343657068586, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.058454343657068586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04640540902359924, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04640540902359924, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10485975268066783, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10485975268066783, "ret_p6m": -0.01633570749808866, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01633570749808866, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19400408507089384, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19400408507089384, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17766837757280518, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17766837757280518, "ret_p1y": 0.42887503408932637, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.42887503408932637, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.27524362721567797, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.27524362721567797, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1536314068736484, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1536314068736484, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.019935893922855996, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03381583789690401, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03381583789690401, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.2145, -0.2028, -0.2011, -0.1765, -0.186, -0.2145, -0.1991, -0.203, -0.2068, -0.2201, -0.2351, -0.2479, -0.2313, -0.2353, -0.2353, -0.2401, -0.2451, -0.2333, -0.2397, -0.2397, -0.2385, -0.2044, -0.1801, -0.1681, -0.1691, -0.1561, -0.1266, -0.1334, -0.1077, -0.1424, -0.1424, -0.1252, -0.122, -0.1517, -0.1561, -0.1647, -0.1825, -0.1936, -0.1842, -0.2112, -0.2056, -0.197, -0.1627, -0.1535, -0.1462, -0.1105, -0.12, -0.1031, -0.117, -0.1039, -0.1039, -0.0814, -0.0678, -0.0889, -0.0736, -0.0415, -0.0257, 0.0088, -0.0106, -0.0341, -0.009, -0.0144, 0.0, 0.0239, 0.0622, 0.0642, 0.0455, 0.072, 0.0724, 0.0746, 0.0624, 0.0321, 0.0401, -0.0066, -0.0064, -0.0159, -0.0303, -0.006, -0.0024, 0.0224, 0.0102, 0.0015, -0.0054, 0.0199, 0.0199, -0.0044, -0.007, -0.0036, -0.0166, -0.023, -0.0307, -0.0297, -0.0028, -0.0109, -0.0188, -0.0198, -0.0457, -0.0336, -0.0449, -0.0362, -0.0297, -0.018, 0.0159, 0.0272, 0.0013, 0.0289, 0.0295, 0.0627, 0.0682, 0.0872, 0.0876, 0.0597, 0.0647, 0.0518, 0.0844, 0.1095, 0.0838, 0.0568, 0.0552, 0.0574, 0.068, 0.0463, 0.0556, 0.0564, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0992, 0.1197, 0.1227, 0.1302, 0.1254, 0.1351, 0.128, 0.1266, 0.1227, 0.1179, 0.1391, 0.1331, 0.0945, 0.0621, 0.1074, 0.1147, 0.1178, 0.1274, 0.1334, 0.0951, 0.0898, 0.1033, 0.1225, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0836, 0.066, 0.0599, 0.0824, 0.0807, 0.0725, 0.0406, 0.0261, -0.003, -0.0382, -0.0253, 0.0087, -0.0026, -0.0063, 0.0183, 0.0089, 0.0181, 0.0279, 0.0115, 0.0039, 0.0211, -0.0065, 0.0048, 0.014, -0.0004, 0.0173, 0.0252, 0.0242, 0.0121, -0.0065, -0.0167, -0.0372, -0.0622, -0.0602, -0.0249, -0.0088, -0.0012, -0.0163]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1156242902818992128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-30T16:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks already discount worst case scenario (expensive egress) with 15+% FCF yields. Win/~Win", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian energy stocks: CPC win = catalyst; if not, sector already priced for worst case at 15%+ FCF yields — win either way.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With CDN energy stock valuations at their lowest levels in history (both from macro energy worries + \"made in Canada\" issues) a CPC win would be a clear win for the space. If not, stocks already discount worst case scenario (expensive egress) with 15+% FCF yields. Win/~Win #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02364076910907431, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02364076910907431, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026101084113699935, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026101084113699935, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002460315004625624, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002460315004625624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01182034897122608, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01182034897122608, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022761048944634155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022761048944634155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010940699973408075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010940699973408075, "ret_p1w": -0.055555583231464256, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.055555583231464256, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012591774727514271, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012591774727514271, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.042963808503949985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.042963808503949985, "ret_p1m": -0.06619378343897186, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06619378343897186, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02685497656058311, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02685497656058311, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.039338806878388755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.039338806878388755, "ret_p3m": -0.026522234481068274, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.026522234481068274, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03407974908085065, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03407974908085065, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.007557514599782378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007557514599782378, "ret_p6m": 0.0737950192046688, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0737950192046688, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03855727332999148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03855727332999148, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11235229253466028, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11235229253466028, "ret_p1y": -0.3824905627721278, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3824905627721278, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4705249071821478, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4705249071821478, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08803434441002, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08803434441002, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06619378343897186, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02685497656058311, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02685497656058311, "price_path": [0.1481, 0.1598, 0.1586, 0.1434, 0.1633, 0.1633, 0.1551, 0.1281, 0.1516, 0.1516, 0.1598, 0.141, 0.141, 0.1481, 0.1188, 0.0742, 0.0777, 0.0953, 0.0836, 0.0976, 0.0824, 0.0707, 0.0589, 0.0625, 0.0355, 0.0425, 0.0472, 0.0425, 0.0496, 0.0367, 0.0472, 0.0449, 0.0601, 0.0695, 0.0603, 0.0792, 0.0709, 0.0697, 0.0626, 0.0792, 0.052, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0402, 0.0449, 0.052, 0.0496, 0.0414, 0.0567, 0.078, 0.0792, 0.078, 0.0733, 0.0556, 0.0426, 0.0248, 0.0331, 0.039, 0.0437, 0.0331, 0.0024, -0.0059, -0.0236, 0.0, 0.0118, -0.0106, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0556, -0.0603, -0.0449, -0.0414, -0.0544, -0.0449, -0.0768, -0.0839, -0.0756, -0.052, -0.065, -0.0556, -0.0615, -0.091, -0.0898, -0.0946, -0.0662, -0.0414, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0556, -0.0473, -0.0225, -0.026, -0.0047, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0236, 0.0319, 0.1253, 0.1005, 0.0851, 0.0804, 0.0863, 0.0851, 0.0663, 0.0604, 0.0544, 0.0496, 0.0401, 0.0056, -0.017, -0.0134, -0.0158, -0.017, -0.0539, -0.0575, -0.0479, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0337, -0.0384, -0.036, -0.0456, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0289, -0.0372, -0.0265, -0.0349, -0.0301, -0.042, -0.061, -0.0313, -0.0003, 0.0116, -0.0051, 0.0377, 0.0401, 0.0377, 0.0282, 0.0235, 0.0187, 0.0306, 0.0151, 0.002, 0.0092, 0.0187, 0.0128, 0.0223, 0.0104, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0032, -0.0015, -0.0182, 0.0056, -0.0015, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0508, 0.0425, 0.0663, 0.0651, 0.0723, 0.0913, 0.0889, 0.1068, 0.1008, 0.1175, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1146, 0.123, 0.147, 0.1458, 0.1242, 0.1338, 0.1266, 0.117, 0.1206, 0.1098, 0.1086, 0.099, 0.0978, 0.0822, 0.0738]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1375164151920726024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-25T19:14:17+00:00", "symbol": "small cap energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "selling large caps to buy beaten up smalls -10%WTD. Buying some names at less than 2.5X '22 EV/CF", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Rotating from energy large caps into beaten-down small-cap energy names down ~10% WTD at <2.5x EV/CF.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSCE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trading colour: selling large caps to buy beaten up smalls -10%WTD. Given oil plunge finding supply is not as easy as you would think...good sign. In general stocks holding up well with another 4% crude selloff. Buying some names at less than 2.5X '22 EV/CF. Thank you volatility! https://t.co/dIeirx9Amu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017599817525986494, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017599817525986494, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012005717176786002, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012005717176786002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005594100349200493, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005594100349200493, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.035200172689019205, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.035200172689019205, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01908503176789722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01908503176789722, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016115140921121984, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016115140921121984, "ret_p1w": 0.07200015161364703, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07200015161364703, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04400424462467312, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04400424462467312, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027995906988973918, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027995906988973918, "ret_p1m": -0.0671999936558828, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0671999936558828, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13658657526054163, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13658657526054163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06938658160465883, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06938658160465883, "ret_p3m": 0.28530764969478684, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28530764969478684, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1960229774911746, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1960229774911746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08928467220361225, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08928467220361225, "ret_p6m": 0.1044361978388737, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1044361978388737, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03557620461505473, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03557620461505473, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14001240245392843, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14001240245392843, "ret_p1y": 0.48780501409717947, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.48780501409717947, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.40702724138740765, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.40702724138740765, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08077777270977182, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08077777270977182, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0671999936558828, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13658657526054163, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13658657526054163, "price_path": [-0.2963, -0.3107, -0.2899, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2835, -0.2228, -0.1892, -0.1748, -0.186, -0.178, -0.1268, -0.1412, -0.1124, -0.138, -0.138, -0.1284, -0.1332, -0.1636, -0.1412, -0.146, -0.1684, -0.1684, -0.1604, -0.1892, -0.1556, -0.1428, -0.1012, -0.1092, -0.09, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.0212, -0.05, -0.026, -0.026, 0.0075, 0.0171, -0.0468, -0.0276, 0.0171, -0.0037, 0.0555, 0.0347, 0.0155, 0.0683, 0.0379, 0.0491, 0.0731, 0.1435, 0.1419, 0.1131, 0.1707, 0.1947, 0.1707, 0.1611, 0.1131, 0.1051, 0.0123, 0.0603, 0.0288, -0.0336, -0.0176, 0.0, 0.0352, -0.0016, 0.0032, 0.0096, 0.072, 0.072, 0.016, 0.0224, 0.0128, -0.0032, -0.032, -0.0496, -0.048, 0.008, -0.0128, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0816, -0.0704, -0.0752, -0.0672, -0.04, -0.032, 0.0144, 0.016, -0.0208, 0.0128, 0.0256, 0.0736, 0.072, 0.1136, 0.0832, 0.0864, 0.0816, 0.0528, 0.1136, 0.1584, 0.1408, 0.1152, 0.1008, 0.1168, 0.128, 0.0928, 0.1328, 0.152, 0.1424, 0.1424, 0.2208, 0.2816, 0.28, 0.2848, 0.2784, 0.2992, 0.2896, 0.2832, 0.3024, 0.2816, 0.3168, 0.312, 0.2368, 0.216, 0.2789, 0.2853, 0.3061, 0.3349, 0.3317, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.2885, 0.2885, 0.2325, 0.2005, 0.2085, 0.2501, 0.2405, 0.2213, 0.1637, 0.1332, 0.0884, 0.0356, 0.0644, 0.1204, 0.0948, 0.074, 0.1204, 0.074, 0.0996, 0.1012, 0.082, 0.0612, 0.0804, 0.0132, 0.0324, 0.05, 0.026, 0.0628, 0.0644, 0.0516, 0.0132, -0.0156, -0.03, -0.054, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0412, -0.0108, 0.0068, -0.0108, 0.0612, 0.034, 0.042, 0.0468, 0.0772, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0756, 0.058, 0.0692, 0.0676, 0.114, 0.082, 0.138, 0.122, 0.1044]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1291002313285480448", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-08-05T13:25:11+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we stand at the cusp of the next great bull market for oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil and oil stocks; calls the start of a major bull market with WTI heading to $50 on inventory draws.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both @bp_plc and a sector veteran throwing in the towel on oil yesterday. It's been a tough go yet all the signs are there: we stand at the cusp of the next great bull market for oil stocks. Step 1 is $50 WTI on accelerated inventory draws: https://t.co/1B1Qmoo18T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010419125776280902, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010419125776280902, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004246494535089518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004246494535089518, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006172631241191384, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006172631241191384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008014663042389847, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008014663042389847, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014699051105338423, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014699051105338423, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006684388062948576, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006684388062948576, "ret_p1w": 0.030724023776961262, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030724023776961262, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01467494369020339, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01467494369020339, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016049080086757872, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016049080086757872, "ret_p1m": -0.0654555067174658, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0654555067174658, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10544250478996786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10544250478996786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039986998072502056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039986998072502056, "ret_p3m": -0.1934644437241161, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1934644437241161, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1916933988693572, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1916933988693572, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0017710448547588742, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0017710448547588742, "ret_p6m": 0.11920908205941494, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11920908205941494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02727190306948124, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02727190306948124, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14648098512889618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14648098512889618, "ret_p1y": 0.3631930907707499, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3631930907707499, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.018780948777838313, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.018780948777838313, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3444121419929116, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3444121419929116, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0654555067174658, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10544250478996786, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10544250478996786, "price_path": [0.0229, 0.005, -0.0127, -0.0575, -0.047, -0.0506, 0.0269, -0.0018, 0.038, 0.0214, 0.015, 0.015, 0.0433, 0.0567, 0.0272, 0.0224, 0.0404, 0.0694, 0.1008, 0.101, 0.1828, 0.2361, 0.1897, 0.1311, 0.0245, 0.0504, 0.0535, 0.0839, 0.047, 0.0599, 0.0438, 0.0486, 0.0497, -0.0085, 0.0104, -0.0246, -0.0115, 0.0112, -0.0134, -0.0024, -0.0024, 0.0005, -0.0313, -0.0321, -0.0799, -0.0505, -0.0556, -0.0224, -0.0013, -0.0059, -0.0198, -0.0361, 0.0222, 0.0096, 0.0077, 0.0021, 0.0032, -0.0139, 0.0067, -0.0329, -0.0374, -0.0339, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.008, -0.0067, 0.024, 0.0206, 0.0307, 0.0107, 0.0203, 0.0144, 0.0016, -0.0099, -0.0313, -0.0374, -0.011, -0.0248, -0.0454, -0.0435, -0.0264, -0.0476, -0.054, -0.0585, -0.0655, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.1023, -0.0962, -0.1293, -0.1285, -0.1218, -0.1282, -0.0932, -0.0919, -0.1021, -0.1318, -0.1408, -0.1796, -0.1799, -0.1804, -0.1611, -0.1842, -0.1867, -0.2117, -0.2041, -0.1802, -0.1924, -0.181, -0.1503, -0.1639, -0.1617, -0.1747, -0.1712, -0.1611, -0.1802, -0.1975, -0.188, -0.2035, -0.1707, -0.1747, -0.2043, -0.2146, -0.2475, -0.2244, -0.2201, -0.1935, -0.1981, -0.197, -0.197, -0.2144, -0.1022, -0.0732, -0.0827, -0.1123, -0.08, -0.0194, -0.0093, -0.0381, -0.0224, -0.0275, 0.0412, 0.0947, 0.0691, 0.0691, 0.0566, -0.0017, 0.0029, 0.0355, 0.0463, 0.1034, 0.0776, 0.0936, 0.096, 0.1297, 0.1167, 0.0776, 0.0987, 0.0933, 0.0881, 0.0699, 0.0493, 0.0317, 0.0545, 0.049, 0.049, 0.0424, 0.0356, 0.0518, 0.043, 0.043, 0.0446, 0.0914, 0.1247, 0.1412, 0.1398, 0.1577, 0.1982, 0.1888, 0.2241, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.2001, 0.2045, 0.1638, 0.1577, 0.1459, 0.1214, 0.1063, 0.1192]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1106174027184463872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-14T12:43:34+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the extent of the underperformance of energy stocks (both CDN and US) is stunning to me", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks (US & Canadian) are stunningly underperforming WTI's YTD highs, implying a catch-up long thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WTI making new YTD highs this morning with 2019 strip almost at $60/bbl...the extent of the underperformance of energy stocks (both CDN and US) is stunning to me #OOTT : https://t.co/dao0eTkGQc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0010599164586286847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010599164586286847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017001771859155301, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017001771859155301, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006402607272868455, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006402607272868455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00039676914950781406, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00039676914950781406, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005337565757051688, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005337565757051688, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004940796607543874, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004940796607543874, "ret_p1w": 0.02676388989819989, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02676388989819989, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009605918981926864, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009605918981926864, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017157970916273024, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017157970916273024, "ret_p1m": 0.030883717539059052, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030883717539059052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005672561990024638, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005672561990024638, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03655627952908369, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03655627952908369, "ret_p3m": -0.060516209214941497, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.060516209214941497, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09257099776733868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09257099776733868, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032054788552397184, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032054788552397184, "ret_p6m": -0.09105200425981208, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09105200425981208, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16097239675458408, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16097239675458408, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.069920392494772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.069920392494772, "ret_p1y": -0.23887645337786612, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23887645337786612, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35903211037577487, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.35903211037577487, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12015565699790876, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12015565699790876, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030883717539059052, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.005672561990024638, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005672561990024638, "price_path": [-0.0856, -0.1072, -0.1177, -0.1422, -0.1505, -0.1849, -0.1849, -0.1341, -0.1296, -0.1363, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1146, -0.1234, -0.0936, -0.0801, -0.073, -0.0583, -0.0556, -0.0612, -0.0634, -0.0601, -0.0613, -0.0527, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.0545, -0.0642, -0.0592, -0.0472, -0.0568, -0.0539, -0.0406, -0.0344, -0.0176, -0.0153, -0.0138, -0.021, -0.0427, -0.0471, -0.0425, -0.0304, -0.0183, -0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0041, 0.0083, -0.0073, -0.0044, -0.0027, -0.0059, -0.0021, -0.0121, 0.0061, 0.0079, 0.0045, -0.0082, -0.0141, -0.0326, -0.0174, -0.0111, -0.0011, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.0135, 0.0107, 0.0196, 0.0268, -0.001, -0.0005, 0.0138, 0.0066, 0.0104, 0.0089, 0.0222, 0.0152, 0.0054, 0.0138, 0.0316, 0.0362, 0.0236, 0.0274, 0.0281, 0.0309, 0.0248, 0.0315, 0.0301, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0469, 0.0452, 0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0104, 0.0095, 0.0088, -0.0114, -0.0286, -0.0196, -0.0187, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.0227, -0.0395, -0.0277, -0.0227, -0.0173, -0.0273, -0.0268, -0.0155, -0.0308, -0.0633, -0.0598, -0.0598, -0.0695, -0.0755, -0.0872, -0.1032, -0.0918, -0.0761, -0.0863, -0.0694, -0.0651, -0.0623, -0.0605, -0.0738, -0.063, -0.0691, -0.0613, -0.0483, -0.0494, -0.0283, -0.0213, -0.0301, -0.0378, -0.023, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0181, -0.0338, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0285, -0.0271, -0.0264, -0.0139, -0.0119, -0.0077, -0.0167, -0.0271, -0.0382, -0.0381, -0.0336, -0.0292, -0.0265, -0.0224, -0.0335, -0.0384, -0.0422, -0.0315, -0.0345, -0.0564, -0.07, -0.0977, -0.0988, -0.1055, -0.0798, -0.09, -0.1008, -0.0924, -0.128, -0.1334, -0.122, -0.1026, -0.1101, -0.1044, -0.1085, -0.1383, -0.1346, -0.14, -0.1277, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.1192, -0.1069, -0.0958, -0.0911]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1225175698148667392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-02-05T21:53:43+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil and energy stocks have not been this mispriced since the Financial Crisis. Demand will ultimately return, 2021-2024+ supply crunch remains, and energy stocks discounting ~$46/bbl will be seen as a gift.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy stocks and oil: demand recovery + structural undersupply from slowing US shale/offshore will reassert; current pricing a historic gift.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil and energy stocks have not been this mispriced since the Financial Crisis. Demand will ultimately return, 2021-2024+ supply crunch remains, and energy stocks discounting ~$46/bbl will be seen as a gift. Coronavirus info courtesy of Medcan: #fintwit https://t.co/15yOiZN6yM\n\n---\n\nA good note out by Michael Lowen at Scotia. This too shall pass..and when it does the structural undersupply from decelerating US shale growth + peaking of offshore will matter again. F.E.A.R. = false evidence that appears real. #fintwit https://t.co/0TBjT0Qu5U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010301748137383493, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010301748137383493, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013655433286530516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013655433286530516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003353685149147023, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003353685149147023, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006990419945762882, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006990419945762882, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016608792099519487, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016608792099519487, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005329540735810934, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005329540735810934, "ret_p1w": 0.00938202070287697, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00938202070287697, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00015996147160390883, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00015996147160390883, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009222059231273061, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009222059231273061, "ret_p1m": -0.2181749826493138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2181749826493138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10882720896891807, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10882720896891807, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.10934777368039572, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10934777368039572, "ret_p3m": -0.30186494622606874, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30186494622606874, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16381152343446803, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16381152343446803, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1380534227916007, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1380534227916007, "ret_p6m": -0.3136754714535934, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3136754714535934, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3014151880506504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3014151880506504, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01226028340294305, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01226028340294305, "ret_p1y": -0.18297961838137078, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18297961838137078, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.355410388695083, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.355410388695083, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17243077031371223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17243077031371223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2181749826493138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10882720896891807, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10882720896891807, "price_path": [0.0675, 0.0621, 0.0575, 0.0546, 0.0628, 0.0498, 0.0343, 0.0447, 0.0619, 0.0583, 0.0594, 0.0497, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.0417, 0.0417, 0.0261, 0.0415, 0.0366, 0.0564, 0.0552, 0.0573, 0.0555, 0.075, 0.0668, 0.0812, 0.0819, 0.0859, 0.0856, 0.096, 0.1072, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1064, 0.1017, 0.0982, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.1144, 0.1111, 0.1198, 0.1168, 0.0984, 0.1065, 0.1003, 0.1006, 0.1008, 0.0927, 0.0946, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.0681, 0.0578, 0.0537, 0.0416, 0.0127, 0.0173, 0.0066, 0.0147, -0.0169, -0.0298, -0.0263, 0.0103, 0.0, -0.007, -0.012, -0.0009, 0.0125, 0.0094, 0.004, 0.004, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0079, -0.004, -0.05, -0.092, -0.1194, -0.1665, -0.1672, -0.1336, -0.16, -0.1402, -0.1716, -0.2182, -0.3756, -0.346, -0.3806, -0.4579, -0.4078, -0.4884, -0.4849, -0.5589, -0.5289, -0.5243, -0.5567, -0.4856, -0.4614, -0.4284, -0.4672, -0.4617, -0.4535, -0.4805, -0.433, -0.439, -0.4093, -0.3967, -0.3564, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.3643, -0.3673, -0.397, -0.4228, -0.3615, -0.3814, -0.3923, -0.3707, -0.3504, -0.3489, -0.3348, -0.3195, -0.2691, -0.2853, -0.3258, -0.3024, -0.3019, -0.3201, -0.3024, -0.2706, -0.2834, -0.296, -0.328, -0.3205, -0.3231, -0.2678, -0.2883, -0.2599, -0.2718, -0.2763, -0.2763, -0.2562, -0.2466, -0.2676, -0.271, -0.2582, -0.2375, -0.2152, -0.215, -0.1567, -0.1187, -0.1518, -0.1935, -0.2695, -0.2511, -0.2488, -0.2272, -0.2535, -0.2443, -0.2558, -0.2523, -0.2516, -0.2931, -0.2796, -0.3045, -0.2952, -0.279, -0.2965, -0.2887, -0.2887, -0.2866, -0.3093, -0.3099, -0.344, -0.323, -0.3266, -0.303, -0.288, -0.2912, -0.3011, -0.3127, -0.2712, -0.2801, -0.2815, -0.2855, -0.2847, -0.2969, -0.2822, -0.3104, -0.3137]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1354455632649342979", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-27T15:46:02+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy the recent dip in oil stocks...some down 10%+ this week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy the dip in oil stocks on healing oil market fundamentals; inventory back to 5-year average, YOY surplus down 18%.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The oil market is healing! Huge oil draw driven by drop in net exports but the more comprehenisve \"Big 3\" YOY surplus fell by 18% last week to now only 53MM Bbls. Inventory levels now back to the 5 year average. Buy the recent dip in oil stocks...some down 10%+ this week. https://t.co/mXyEudr8BR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013682029595283973, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013682029595283973, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01137086053989056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01137086053989056, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.025052890135174533, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025052890135174533, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01169171900414323, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01169171900414323, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030913973424644414, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030913973424644414, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00860032166167879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00860032166167879, "ret_p1w": 0.038308575215683316, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038308575215683316, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018437224127187957, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018437224127187957, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01987135108849536, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01987135108849536, "ret_p1m": 0.2268658700270647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2268658700270647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2057124426246031, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2057124426246031, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021153427402461622, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021153427402461622, "ret_p3m": 0.20317932790730442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20317932790730442, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08414454409034189, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08414454409034189, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11903478381696253, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11903478381696253, "ret_p6m": 0.2368086540781349, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2368086540781349, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0661252731685602, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0661252731685602, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1706833809095747, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1706833809095747, "ret_p1y": 0.6797026049069637, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6797026049069637, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4219513315643184, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4219513315643184, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25775127334264525, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25775127334264525, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2268658700270647, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2057124426246031, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2057124426246031, "price_path": [-0.295, -0.2709, -0.2751, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.2898, -0.1885, -0.1622, -0.1708, -0.1975, -0.1683, -0.1136, -0.1045, -0.1305, -0.1163, -0.121, -0.0589, -0.0105, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0449, -0.0976, -0.0935, -0.064, -0.0542, -0.0026, -0.026, -0.0115, -0.0093, 0.0212, 0.0094, -0.026, -0.0068, -0.0117, -0.0164, -0.0328, -0.0515, -0.0674, -0.0468, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0577, -0.0639, -0.0493, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0557, -0.0134, 0.0167, 0.0316, 0.0303, 0.0465, 0.0831, 0.0746, 0.1065, 0.0634, 0.0634, 0.0848, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.0465, 0.0358, 0.0137, 0.0, 0.0117, -0.0219, -0.0149, -0.0042, 0.0383, 0.0498, 0.0587, 0.103, 0.0913, 0.1122, 0.095, 0.1112, 0.1112, 0.1391, 0.156, 0.1299, 0.1488, 0.1886, 0.2082, 0.251, 0.2269, 0.1978, 0.2289, 0.2221, 0.24, 0.2697, 0.3172, 0.3197, 0.2965, 0.3294, 0.3299, 0.3326, 0.3174, 0.2799, 0.2898, 0.2318, 0.2321, 0.2203, 0.2024, 0.2326, 0.2371, 0.2678, 0.2527, 0.2419, 0.2333, 0.2648, 0.2648, 0.2346, 0.2313, 0.2356, 0.2195, 0.2115, 0.2019, 0.2032, 0.2366, 0.2266, 0.2168, 0.2155, 0.1833, 0.1984, 0.1843, 0.1951, 0.2032, 0.2178, 0.2597, 0.2738, 0.2416, 0.2758, 0.2766, 0.3178, 0.3246, 0.3482, 0.3487, 0.314, 0.3203, 0.3042, 0.3447, 0.3759, 0.344, 0.3105, 0.3085, 0.3113, 0.3244, 0.2975, 0.309, 0.31, 0.3125, 0.3125, 0.3631, 0.3885, 0.3922, 0.4015, 0.3955, 0.4076, 0.3988, 0.397, 0.3922, 0.3862, 0.4126, 0.405, 0.3573, 0.3171, 0.3732, 0.3823, 0.3861, 0.3981, 0.4054, 0.3579, 0.3513, 0.3681, 0.392, 0.3889, 0.3889, 0.3437, 0.3219, 0.3143, 0.3422, 0.3402, 0.33, 0.2904, 0.2724, 0.2363, 0.1926, 0.2086, 0.2508, 0.2368]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1169974020772630529", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-06T14:01:58+00:00", "symbol": "E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "thoroughly mispriced E&P stock valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "E&P stocks are thoroughly mispriced/undervalued; bullish on long-term global energy demand with no oil substitute.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP as broad E&P proxy; context is global", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dramatic (and uninformed) headlines like this show how far  sentiment has swung = thoroughly mispriced E&amp;P stock valuations. Governments cannot control LT population growth nor the desire to increase one's living standard = doubling of global energy demand with no oil substitute https://t.co/xDwrulXA4b", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0036019105391524864, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0036019105391524864, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004373334376035931, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004373334376035931, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007714238368834447, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007714238368834447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05628107554648931, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05628107554648931, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05577761403652337, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05577761403652337, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005034615099659412, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005034615099659412, "ret_p1w": 0.05448006982857345, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05448006982857345, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044280421493779976, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044280421493779976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010199648334793476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010199648334793476, "ret_p1m": -0.05206208091933828, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05206208091933828, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03992833050435862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03992833050435862, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01213375041497966, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01213375041497966, "ret_p3m": -0.06652057500210118, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06652057500210118, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11633905852083459, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11633905852083459, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049818483518733414, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049818483518733414, "ret_p6m": -0.30255771063014114, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30255771063014114, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34951004919245365, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34951004919245365, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04695233856231251, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04695233856231251, "ret_p1y": -0.38189801585672023, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.38189801585672023, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5595179018511358, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5595179018511358, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17761988599441558, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17761988599441558, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05206208091933828, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03992833050435862, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03992833050435862, "price_path": [0.1554, 0.1155, 0.1415, 0.1199, 0.1392, 0.1693, 0.1635, 0.1989, 0.2026, 0.186, 0.1702, 0.2085, 0.2053, 0.2269, 0.2247, 0.1814, 0.1787, 0.1787, 0.1936, 0.1787, 0.1814, 0.2067, 0.1932, 0.2013, 0.1688, 0.1459, 0.1099, 0.1009, 0.1148, 0.1184, 0.1297, 0.1369, 0.1031, 0.09, 0.0698, 0.1243, 0.127, 0.0567, 0.0446, 0.0014, -0.0135, -0.0158, 0.0131, 0.0036, -0.0117, -0.0054, -0.0558, -0.0644, -0.0347, 0.005, -0.0032, 0.0014, -0.0108, -0.0576, -0.059, -0.0725, -0.0432, -0.0108, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0473, -0.0221, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0563, 0.0657, 0.0689, 0.0468, 0.0545, 0.1684, 0.1063, 0.0891, 0.0675, 0.0749, 0.0713, 0.0415, 0.0428, 0.0225, 0.0171, 0.0103, -0.0263, -0.0534, -0.039, -0.0403, -0.0521, -0.0792, -0.0719, -0.0625, -0.0394, -0.0521, -0.0512, -0.0579, -0.0534, -0.071, -0.0643, -0.0489, -0.0304, -0.0335, -0.0132, -0.02, -0.0037, -0.0408, -0.0457, -0.0128, 0.0351, 0.0365, 0.0049, 0.0252, 0.032, 0.0089, 0.0053, -0.0105, -0.02, -0.0078, -0.0385, -0.0697, -0.0647, -0.0512, -0.0489, -0.0408, -0.0647, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0801, -0.0796, -0.0945, -0.0665, -0.0742, -0.0408, -0.0344, -0.0277, -0.0335, 0.0031, -0.0168, 0.0112, 0.0379, 0.0442, 0.0573, 0.0537, 0.0763, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0795, 0.0614, 0.06, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0736, 0.0904, 0.0977, 0.1108, 0.0686, 0.0636, 0.0537, 0.0387, 0.05, 0.0378, 0.0319, 0.0151, 0.0151, -0.0185, -0.0403, -0.0562, -0.0725, -0.1061, -0.0938, -0.1129, -0.1093, -0.1306, -0.1456, -0.1424, -0.0956, -0.1124, -0.1283, -0.1501, -0.146, -0.1347, -0.1401, -0.1478, -0.1478, -0.1569, -0.1319, -0.1288, -0.1469, -0.1991, -0.2413, -0.2799, -0.3271, -0.3021, -0.3026]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1479454603053830148", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-07T14:07:18+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Record amount of free cashflow generation + commitment to flow it back to investors and mute growth = meaningful buybacks and dividends in 2022. Average FCF yield (to equity) at $80WTI of the energy stocks I follow in Canada? 29%!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy equities on record FCF, buybacks, dividends, and 29% FCF yield at $80 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every day above $80WTI is a phenomenal day!!! \nRecord amount of free cashflow generation + commitment to flow it back to investors and mute growth = meaningful buybacks and dividends in 2022.  Average FCF yield (to equity) at $80WTI of the energy stocks I follow in Canada? 29%! https://t.co/XCUVLIK6ZV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008718594362929655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008718594362929655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012687839325597028, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012687839325597028, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003969244962667373, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003969244962667373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001244280246310181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001244280246310181, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001244280246310181, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001244280246310181, "ret_p1w": 0.07236249460578126, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07236249460578126, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0753019305644601, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0753019305644601, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0029394359586788488, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029394359586788488, "ret_p1m": 0.12380125772360673, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12380125772360673, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16420118481726598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16420118481726598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04039992709365925, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04039992709365925, "ret_p3m": 0.26459639570859506, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26459639570859506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3036078817888561, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3036078817888561, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03901148608026106, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03901148608026106, "ret_p6m": 0.34146016877824303, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34146016877824303, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5174211214081393, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5174211214081393, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1759609526298963, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1759609526298963, "ret_p1y": 0.4202093404324947, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4202093404324947, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.588637008027889, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.588637008027889, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1684276675953943, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1684276675953943, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12380125772360673, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16420118481726598, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16420118481726598, "price_path": [-0.1303, -0.1364, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1251, -0.1234, -0.1182, -0.1312, -0.1199, -0.1034, -0.1051, -0.1286, -0.0895, -0.0878, -0.0713, -0.0861, -0.0956, -0.0861, -0.0627, -0.0531, -0.0549, -0.0757, -0.0748, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0826, -0.0748, -0.1051, -0.0982, -0.0635, -0.0462, -0.0427, -0.0991, -0.0869, -0.1147, -0.1312, -0.1147, -0.1182, -0.0965, -0.0679, -0.0731, -0.0887, -0.0835, -0.1095, -0.1234, -0.1242, -0.1208, -0.139, -0.1372, -0.1034, -0.0913, -0.0947, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.0731, -0.082, -0.0776, -0.0776, -0.0427, -0.0375, -0.0087, 0.0, 0.0, 0.034, 0.0497, 0.0427, 0.0724, 0.0915, 0.0837, 0.0793, 0.0706, 0.0323, 0.0174, 0.0532, 0.0558, 0.0715, 0.0776, 0.0863, 0.1247, 0.1343, 0.1255, 0.1334, 0.1238, 0.0785, 0.0985, 0.1064, 0.1456, 0.1308, 0.1282, 0.1378, 0.1386, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.1142, 0.1168, 0.1229, 0.1491, 0.1787, 0.1918, 0.2023, 0.1866, 0.2284, 0.2642, 0.2659, 0.2206, 0.2415, 0.2415, 0.1892, 0.1674, 0.1709, 0.2145, 0.2049, 0.2563, 0.2459, 0.2685, 0.2659, 0.3023, 0.2716, 0.2663, 0.2742, 0.2655, 0.2848, 0.304, 0.2821, 0.2646, 0.2874, 0.3145, 0.2812, 0.3119, 0.3338, 0.3479, 0.3479, 0.3864, 0.3663, 0.3855, 0.3365, 0.311, 0.2681, 0.2795, 0.3216, 0.389, 0.3689, 0.3636, 0.4162, 0.4504, 0.4372, 0.4399, 0.3365, 0.3321, 0.3557, 0.3382, 0.3908, 0.4258, 0.4451, 0.4223, 0.4294, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.4723, 0.503, 0.5091, 0.5354, 0.5713, 0.5301, 0.5573, 0.5573, 0.5617, 0.5748, 0.6108, 0.6222, 0.6038, 0.5792, 0.5301, 0.5021, 0.4819, 0.4066, 0.3268, 0.3584, 0.3908, 0.3172, 0.226, 0.2664, 0.3256, 0.3812, 0.3317, 0.3088, 0.3088, 0.3415]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1491407951609077762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-02-09T13:45:39+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why am I primarily invested in Canadian energy stocks (blue dots) over those in the US? Cheaper, less debt, lower decline rates, positive rate of change with differentials, more free cashflow... all = greater ability to return meaningful amount of FCF back to shareholders in 2022", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Canadian energy stocks over US peers on cheaper valuations, lower debt/decline rates, better FCF, and stronger shareholder returns in 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why am I primarily invested in Canadian energy stocks (blue dots) over those in the US? Cheaper, less debt, lower decline rates, positive rate of change with differentials, more free cashflow... all = greater ability to return meaningful amount of FCF back to shareholders in 2022 https://t.co/pmwDZbv1GT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018253951386084655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018253951386084655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038288913184932882, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038288913184932882, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014425060067591366, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014425060067591366, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007142692680991658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007142692680991658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025108385675960188, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025108385675960188, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01796569299496853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01796569299496853, "ret_p1w": 0.035714260412460286, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035714260412460286, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.059624562681375615, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059624562681375615, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02391030226891533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02391030226891533, "ret_p1m": 0.13015867533810832, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13015867533810832, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20022914154124116, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20022914154124116, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07007046620313284, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07007046620313284, "ret_p3m": 0.21660148916424027, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21660148916424027, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.343657224790194, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.343657224790194, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12705573562595374, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12705573562595374, "ret_p6m": 0.1134295764170794, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1134295764170794, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20148454319483333, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20148454319483333, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08805496677775393, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08805496677775393, "ret_p1y": 0.35012300482455205, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.35012300482455205, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.449083893119266, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.449083893119266, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09896088829471394, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09896088829471394, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13015867533810832, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20022914154124116, "alpha_c_stated": 0.20022914154124116, "price_path": [-0.1609, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.1649, -0.1578, -0.1854, -0.1791, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.1286, -0.1799, -0.1688, -0.1941, -0.2091, -0.1941, -0.1972, -0.1775, -0.1515, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1657, -0.1893, -0.202, -0.2028, -0.1996, -0.2162, -0.2146, -0.1838, -0.1728, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.172, -0.172, -0.1562, -0.1643, -0.1603, -0.1603, -0.1286, -0.1238, -0.0976, -0.0897, -0.0897, -0.0587, -0.0444, -0.0508, -0.0238, -0.0063, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0254, -0.0603, -0.0738, -0.0413, -0.0389, -0.0246, -0.019, -0.0111, 0.0238, 0.0325, 0.0246, 0.0317, 0.023, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0429, 0.0294, 0.027, 0.0357, 0.0365, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0143, 0.0167, 0.0222, 0.046, 0.073, 0.0849, 0.0944, 0.0802, 0.1183, 0.1508, 0.1524, 0.1111, 0.1302, 0.1302, 0.0825, 0.0627, 0.0659, 0.1056, 0.0968, 0.1437, 0.1341, 0.1548, 0.1524, 0.1855, 0.1576, 0.1528, 0.16, 0.152, 0.1695, 0.1871, 0.1671, 0.1512, 0.1719, 0.1967, 0.1663, 0.1943, 0.2142, 0.227, 0.227, 0.2621, 0.2437, 0.2613, 0.2166, 0.1935, 0.1544, 0.1647, 0.203, 0.2645, 0.2461, 0.2413, 0.2892, 0.3203, 0.3083, 0.3107, 0.2166, 0.2126, 0.2342, 0.2182, 0.2661, 0.298, 0.3155, 0.2948, 0.3012, 0.3083, 0.3083, 0.3403, 0.3682, 0.3738, 0.3977, 0.4304, 0.3929, 0.4176, 0.4176, 0.4216, 0.4336, 0.4663, 0.4767, 0.4599, 0.4376, 0.3929, 0.3674, 0.349, 0.2804, 0.2078, 0.2365, 0.2661, 0.1991, 0.1161, 0.1528, 0.2067, 0.2573, 0.2123, 0.1914, 0.1914, 0.2212, 0.1392, 0.0941, 0.144, 0.1311, 0.1158, 0.0789, 0.0748, 0.0572, 0.0724, 0.1102, 0.1375, 0.1536, 0.1287, 0.1126, 0.1528, 0.1432, 0.1785, 0.2027, 0.2388, 0.2388, 0.2139, 0.1625, 0.1134]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1417148367893843978", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-19T15:44:34+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Relevant when the avg. CDN oil company could privatize and be debt free in 4.8 years of FCF???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil sector: EV adoption slower than consensus means oil demand runway is longer, supporting cheap FCF valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AutoNation CEO on CNBC this morning: electric car sales to make up 20%-25% of total sales by.........2030. Could the runway for oil displacement be a bit longer than consensus believes? Relevant when the avg. CDN oil company could privatize and be debt free in 4.8 years of FCF??? https://t.co/fIrnQrZEWG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03841214602953147, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03841214602953147, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02342278161089273, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02342278161089273, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01498936441863874, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01498936441863874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014084523305131436, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014084523305131436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0002458458395127039, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0002458458395127039, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01433036914464414, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01433036914464414, "ret_p1w": 0.05505757048089088, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05505757048089088, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017290297662212017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017290297662212017, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.037767272818678865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.037767272818678865, "ret_p1m": -0.033290704569677865, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.033290704569677865, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07816453521517286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07816453521517286, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044873830645494994, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044873830645494994, "ret_p3m": 0.3122384820609545, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3122384820609545, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2676524972404535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2676524972404535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04458598482050102, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04458598482050102, "ret_p6m": 0.5341225319681449, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5341225319681449, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42131325481062687, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.42131325481062687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11280927715751798, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11280927715751798, "ret_p1y": 0.7832690726551601, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7832690726551601, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8686183485803668, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8686183485803668, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.08534927592520669, "bench_c_p1y": -0.08534927592520669, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7832690726551601, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8686183485803668, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8686183485803668, "price_path": [-0.0639, -0.0754, -0.0664, -0.0652, -0.0575, -0.0282, -0.0192, -0.0294, -0.0001, -0.0052, 0.0203, 0.0305, 0.0496, 0.0356, 0.0228, 0.0356, 0.0139, 0.042, 0.07, 0.0598, 0.0292, 0.0203, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0152, 0.0318, 0.0445, 0.0509, 0.0675, 0.1134, 0.1287, 0.1325, 0.1466, 0.1453, 0.1478, 0.1478, 0.1517, 0.1644, 0.1644, 0.1899, 0.1746, 0.1261, 0.1147, 0.1644, 0.1593, 0.1657, 0.1703, 0.1729, 0.137, 0.146, 0.1588, 0.1588, 0.1575, 0.1831, 0.1485, 0.1242, 0.1178, 0.1268, 0.114, 0.1191, 0.0896, 0.0743, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.041, 0.0384, 0.0397, 0.0551, 0.0256, 0.032, 0.0371, 0.0269, 0.0269, 0.0359, -0.0077, 0.0051, 0.0154, -0.0064, 0.023, 0.0243, 0.0154, 0.0013, -0.0218, -0.0333, -0.0512, -0.0691, -0.0627, -0.0294, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0077, 0.023, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0141, 0.0499, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0384, 0.0294, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0781, 0.064, 0.1114, 0.1037, 0.0819, 0.0525, 0.0615, 0.105, 0.1344, 0.1501, 0.1849, 0.1874, 0.1977, 0.2016, 0.208, 0.2312, 0.2672, 0.2376, 0.2672, 0.2891, 0.2891, 0.2904, 0.2814, 0.3122, 0.3122, 0.2981, 0.3007, 0.3084, 0.2891, 0.3058, 0.3302, 0.3277, 0.2929, 0.3508, 0.3534, 0.3779, 0.356, 0.3418, 0.356, 0.3907, 0.4049, 0.4023, 0.3714, 0.3727, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.3611, 0.3727, 0.3277, 0.338, 0.3894, 0.4152, 0.4203, 0.3367, 0.3547, 0.3135, 0.2891, 0.3135, 0.3084, 0.3405, 0.383, 0.3753, 0.3521, 0.3598, 0.3212, 0.3007, 0.2994, 0.3045, 0.2775, 0.2801, 0.3302, 0.3483, 0.3431, 0.3495, 0.3495, 0.3495, 0.3753, 0.3621, 0.3686, 0.3686, 0.4203, 0.4281, 0.4707, 0.4837, 0.4837, 0.5341]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1116040161186467841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-10T18:08:04+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not yet translating into buying = 2nd wave of upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Generalist long-only money has yet to rotate into energy en masse; author sees a second wave of upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy specialist salesmen at both banks and boutiques confirming that generalist long-only money has not yet begun to buy energy stocks en masse.  Conversations have increased and tone improved but not yet translating into buying = 2nd wave of upside #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0037128011763182256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0037128011763182256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00031346788184161145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00031346788184161145, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003399333294476614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003399333294476614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007425913613816615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007425913613816615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010200327990288471, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010200327990288471, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00027744143764718565, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00027744143764718565, "ret_p1w": 0.0026735000946234155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0026735000946234155, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0013506346077187814, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0013506346077187814, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004024134702342197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004024134702342197, "ret_p1m": -0.05317072426741565, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05317072426741565, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047516958960544975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047516958960544975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005653765306870673, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005653765306870673, "ret_p3m": -0.05307135413554054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05307135413554054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08766680903138901, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08766680903138901, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.034595454895848476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034595454895848476, "ret_p6m": -0.1375801653170382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1375801653170382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15454322388973185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15454322388973185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016963058572693646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016963058572693646, "ret_p1y": -0.5444214448370486, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5444214448370486, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4414283323413024, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4414283323413024, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10299311249574616, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10299311249574616, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05317072426741565, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.047516958960544975, "alpha_c_stated": -0.047516958960544975, "price_path": [-0.0862, -0.0884, -0.0851, -0.0863, -0.0779, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0797, -0.0891, -0.0843, -0.0726, -0.0819, -0.0791, -0.0661, -0.0601, -0.0437, -0.0415, -0.0401, -0.0471, -0.0682, -0.0725, -0.0681, -0.0563, -0.0445, -0.0411, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0227, -0.0185, -0.0337, -0.0309, -0.0293, -0.0324, -0.0287, -0.0384, -0.0208, -0.019, -0.0222, -0.0346, -0.0403, -0.0583, -0.0436, -0.0374, -0.0277, -0.0266, -0.027, -0.0135, -0.0162, -0.0076, -0.0006, -0.0276, -0.0272, -0.0132, -0.0202, -0.0165, -0.018, -0.005, -0.0119, -0.0214, -0.0132, 0.0042, 0.0086, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0034, -0.0025, 0.004, 0.0027, -0.0021, -0.0021, 0.019, 0.0174, -0.0004, -0.0036, -0.0165, -0.0174, -0.0181, -0.0377, -0.0545, -0.0457, -0.0449, -0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0487, -0.0651, -0.0536, -0.0487, -0.0435, -0.0532, -0.0527, -0.0417, -0.0566, -0.0882, -0.0848, -0.0848, -0.0943, -0.1001, -0.1115, -0.1271, -0.116, -0.1007, -0.1106, -0.0942, -0.09, -0.0873, -0.0855, -0.0985, -0.0879, -0.0939, -0.0863, -0.0737, -0.0747, -0.0542, -0.0474, -0.0559, -0.0634, -0.049, -0.0561, -0.0451, -0.0442, -0.0595, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0544, -0.0531, -0.0523, -0.0402, -0.0382, -0.0342, -0.0429, -0.0531, -0.0639, -0.0637, -0.0594, -0.055, -0.0525, -0.0484, -0.0592, -0.064, -0.0678, -0.0573, -0.0603, -0.0815, -0.0947, -0.1217, -0.1228, -0.1294, -0.1043, -0.1142, -0.1247, -0.1166, -0.1512, -0.1565, -0.1454, -0.1265, -0.1339, -0.1283, -0.1322, -0.1613, -0.1577, -0.1629, -0.1509, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1427, -0.1307, -0.1199, -0.1153, -0.0976, -0.0869, -0.086, -0.0917, -0.0845, -0.0538, -0.067, -0.0715, -0.0739, -0.0731, -0.0728, -0.0875, -0.086, -0.098, -0.0981, -0.1046, -0.1253, -0.1468, -0.1376]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1096404194683179008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-15T13:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "SU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Berkshire Hathaway reestablishing a position in SU = money flow coming back to Canadian heavy oil names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil names led by SU: Berkshire re-entry signals returning capital flow on underappreciated FCF + improving export.", "resolved_tickers": ["SU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Peak apathy for CDN E&amp;P's?\" part 2: Company XYZ, $1.5BN market cap,at current spot ($55WTI, $20WCS diffs in 2020) trades at a 13% FCF yield (29% FCF yield at $60WTI) and has a 30 year proved reserve life index. They could privatize 4x from FCF using just their 1P reserves. #OOTT\n\n---\n\nBerkshire Hathaway reestablishing a position in SU = money flow coming back to Canadian heavy oil names. Why? Enormous and underappreciated FCF generating capabilities + epic apathy + improving export capabilities. #OOTT https://t.co/ERnMHPLKyk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03953963099614344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03953963099614344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02875967546072289, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023659390889858245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010779955535420549, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015880240106285193, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.008852301036311738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008852301036311738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002470899071042698, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014296970759198002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00638140196526904, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005444669722886264, "ret_p1m": 0.02155480234999141, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02155480234999141, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0008109571514203218, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00913908344467207, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02236575950141173, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01241571890531934, "ret_p3m": -0.04396781268677852, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04396781268677852, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07621916968082287, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02025881841215893, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032251356994044356, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023708994274619588, "ret_p6m": -0.13921844244428283, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13921844244428283, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1874434842977366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03751379770824359, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048225041853453776, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10170464473603924, "ret_p1y": -0.07736735973531561, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07736735973531561, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2861894433926627, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06820314505201985, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2088220836573471, "bench_c_p1y": -0.14557050478733546, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02155480234999141, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0008109571514203218, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00913908344467207, "price_path": [-0.0586, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0437, -0.0472, -0.0469, -0.0475, -0.0402, -0.0472, -0.0413, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0921, -0.0702, -0.0806, -0.1, -0.0859, -0.095, -0.1269, -0.1396, -0.1464, -0.1587, -0.1874, -0.2113, -0.2275, -0.2275, -0.1856, -0.1865, -0.1826, -0.1747, -0.1747, -0.1658, -0.1679, -0.1348, -0.1236, -0.1177, -0.0941, -0.0947, -0.1024, -0.0986, -0.08, -0.0929, -0.0764, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0693, -0.0817, -0.0649, -0.0552, -0.0608, -0.0546, -0.0481, -0.0463, -0.044, -0.0236, -0.0221, -0.0207, -0.0378, -0.0487, -0.0463, -0.0401, -0.0457, -0.0395, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0121, 0.0062, 0.0089, 0.0018, 0.0065, 0.0215, 0.0168, 0.0186, 0.0099, 0.0141, 0.0019, -0.0076, -0.0279, -0.0163, -0.0112, 0.0013, 0.0016, 0.0055, 0.0216, 0.023, 0.0344, 0.0296, 0.0022, -0.0178, -0.0088, -0.0338, -0.0335, -0.0341, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0288, -0.0246, -0.01, 0.0013, -0.0136, -0.0142, -0.0222, -0.0115, -0.0178, -0.0204, -0.01, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.0114, 0.0183, -0.0198, -0.0136, -0.0181, -0.0133, -0.0172, -0.0312, -0.0571, -0.0353, -0.0446, -0.0508, -0.0303, -0.0368, -0.0496, -0.0642, -0.0499, -0.044, -0.0327, -0.0416, -0.0374, -0.0237, -0.0487, -0.0857, -0.074, -0.074, -0.0687, -0.0684, -0.0752, -0.0827, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.098, -0.086, -0.083, -0.0851, -0.079, -0.0745, -0.0682, -0.0673, -0.0649, -0.0625, -0.0556, -0.0426, -0.0493, -0.0417, -0.052, -0.0502, -0.0646, -0.0625, -0.0493, -0.0622, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0538, -0.0562, -0.0339, -0.0246, -0.0234, -0.0288, -0.0318, -0.0505, -0.0553, -0.0616, -0.0628, -0.0625, -0.0676, -0.0809, -0.1088, -0.1082, -0.1239, -0.1236, -0.1365, -0.1353, -0.1446, -0.1684, -0.1615, -0.1543, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.1392]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1096404194683179008", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-02-15T13:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "money flow coming back to Canadian heavy oil names. Why? Enormous and underappreciated FCF generating capabilities + epic apathy + improving export capabilities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil names led by SU: Berkshire re-entry signals returning capital flow on underappreciated FCF + improving export.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "CNQ.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil sector: ATH, CVE, CNQ, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Peak apathy for CDN E&amp;P's?\" part 2: Company XYZ, $1.5BN market cap,at current spot ($55WTI, $20WCS diffs in 2020) trades at a 13% FCF yield (29% FCF yield at $60WTI) and has a 30 year proved reserve life index. They could privatize 4x from FCF using just their 1P reserves. #OOTT\n\n---\n\nBerkshire Hathaway reestablishing a position in SU = money flow coming back to Canadian heavy oil names. Why? Enormous and underappreciated FCF generating capabilities + epic apathy + improving export capabilities. #OOTT https://t.co/ERnMHPLKyk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0286788628230481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0286788628230481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017898907287627552, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012798622716762909, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010779955535420549, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015880240106285193, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.00580038906201813, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00580038906201813, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0005810129032509104, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011245058784904394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00638140196526904, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005444669722886264, "ret_p1m": -0.0026756856571024668, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026756856571024668, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025041445158514197, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015091404562421806, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02236575950141173, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01241571890531934, "ret_p3m": 0.0544673477720547, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0544673477720547, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02221599077801034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07817634204667429, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032251356994044356, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023708994274619588, "ret_p6m": -0.18936277876432606, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18936277876432606, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23758782061777983, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08765813402828682, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048225041853453776, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10170464473603924, "ret_p1y": -0.21169298049071722, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21169298049071722, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.42051506414806433, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06612247570338176, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2088220836573471, "bench_c_p1y": -0.14557050478733546, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0026756856571024668, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025041445158514197, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015091404562421806, "price_path": [-0.0179, 0.0127, 0.0274, -0.0253, -0.0373, -0.0519, -0.0728, -0.0174, -0.0233, 0.085, 0.0492, 0.0819, 0.0118, 0.0286, -0.0126, -0.0344, -0.0052, 0.0245, -0.0064, -0.0574, -0.098, -0.085, -0.1114, -0.1359, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1165, -0.0754, -0.044, -0.044, -0.0245, -0.0231, 0.0117, 0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0129, 0.0269, 0.0284, 0.0157, 0.0491, 0.0459, 0.0304, 0.0214, 0.0114, -0.0253, -0.0557, -0.0482, -0.0381, -0.0408, -0.0396, -0.0226, -0.0383, -0.0514, -0.0465, -0.0512, -0.0581, -0.0833, -0.0892, -0.0786, -0.0619, -0.0354, -0.0287, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0202, 0.0045, 0.0058, 0.0053, 0.0326, 0.0321, 0.0237, 0.0342, -0.0043, 0.0004, -0.0206, -0.0234, -0.047, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0005, -0.001, -0.011, -0.0027, -0.0134, 0.0235, 0.0365, -0.0025, -0.0225, 0.0106, -0.0098, -0.0159, -0.0235, -0.0073, -0.0068, -0.0224, -0.0098, 0.0359, 0.0714, 0.0668, 0.1512, 0.1407, 0.1537, 0.1494, 0.1525, 0.1729, 0.1539, 0.1539, 0.197, 0.2251, 0.188, 0.1631, 0.1369, 0.1439, 0.126, 0.0661, 0.0345, 0.0715, 0.0735, 0.0492, 0.0694, 0.0739, 0.0713, 0.0432, 0.058, 0.0545, 0.0567, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0375, 0.0058, -0.0387, -0.0413, -0.0296, -0.0399, -0.0352, -0.0471, -0.0663, -0.088, -0.0811, -0.1169, -0.1087, -0.0964, -0.1077, -0.0977, -0.1197, -0.0933, -0.1045, -0.0859, -0.0588, -0.0737, -0.045, -0.0529, -0.0644, -0.0749, -0.0522, -0.0815, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.0951, -0.0963, -0.0964, -0.101, -0.1122, -0.106, -0.0836, -0.0843, -0.0794, -0.08, -0.0863, -0.0921, -0.1086, -0.097, -0.0911, -0.0861, -0.0988, -0.1214, -0.1182, -0.139, -0.1005, -0.0928, -0.1169, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1617, -0.1905, -0.1662, -0.1687, -0.1894]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1355167566159876098", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-01-29T14:55:00+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian SMID oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "multibagger potential for many SMID CDN oil co's", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author's $60 WTI base case intact on demand recovery + shale decline; sees multibagger upside in Canadian SMID oil equities; cites JPM $70 Brent as upside scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "CVE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian SMID E&P basket: ATH, Baytex, Whitecap, Cenovus", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Valero: gasoline demand to be \"fairly normal\" by Q3. By then the 53MM Bbl US products surplus / ~185MM Bbl global oil surplus will have normalized. Supply? Not so much with ongoing US shale declines. $60WTI case intact and with it multibagger potential for many SMID CDN oil co's https://t.co/rzkTzbRLig\n\n---\n\nJP Morgan: I\"ll see Nuttall's $60WTI forecast and raise him ~$8...calling for $70 Brent by end of 2021. I'm going to have to update my FCF chart... https://t.co/qDOoBUMpYl\n\n---\n\nWhat if JP Morgan is right (~$70WTI by year-end 2021)??? Kind of negates any worry about terminal value if a company can entirely privatize and delever in 4 years from free cash flow... https://t.co/Isr2rJrRWD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02161492675918464, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02161492675918464, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0011863244659816585, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012718422145202912, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02042860229320298, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03433334890438755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06398984500603072, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06398984500603072, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047344064587750034, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05686915470816584, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016645780418280687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0071206902978648845, "ret_p1w": 0.27474176133645617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27474176133645617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22707522934453167, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19234115774577115, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0476665319919245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08240060359068502, "ret_p1m": 0.5135464408833944, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5135464408833944, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46082681571441253, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2571889681693077, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052719625168981876, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2563574727140867, "ret_p3m": 0.6359602438126717, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6359602438126717, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5043715640382342, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3480243191727994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13158867977443744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2879359246398723, "ret_p6m": 1.2496943709222623, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2496943709222623, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0501592866755487, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9587219727392629, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19953508424671362, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29097239818299947, "ret_p1y": 3.099182234515102, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.099182234515102, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.8492162280027027, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.374967074631045, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2499660065123992, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7242151598840569, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5135464408833944, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.46082681571441253, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2571889681693077, "price_path": [-0.4214, -0.4346, -0.4194, -0.429, -0.3463, -0.3321, -0.3185, -0.362, -0.3418, -0.2951, -0.2727, -0.2621, -0.2561, -0.255, -0.1839, -0.1236, -0.1398, -0.1492, -0.1347, -0.183, -0.1983, -0.1665, -0.1685, -0.1203, -0.1001, -0.0545, -0.0614, -0.0195, 0.0008, -0.0138, -0.0135, -0.0329, -0.0314, -0.041, -0.0851, -0.1064, -0.0662, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0777, -0.0609, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0367, 0.0638, 0.0557, 0.0733, 0.0805, 0.0571, 0.0981, 0.0665, 0.1188, 0.0763, 0.0578, 0.0337, 0.0497, 0.0354, 0.0329, 0.0334, 0.0016, 0.029, 0.0216, 0.0, 0.064, 0.0948, 0.1606, 0.2502, 0.2747, 0.3189, 0.31, 0.3376, 0.3025, 0.3384, 0.3384, 0.3773, 0.3801, 0.3275, 0.3118, 0.4142, 0.446, 0.588, 0.515, 0.4952, 0.5135, 0.5386, 0.5696, 0.6219, 0.8164, 0.8265, 0.8094, 0.8453, 0.8386, 0.8136, 0.778, 0.706, 0.755, 0.6129, 0.6504, 0.6214, 0.5153, 0.56, 0.5466, 0.5903, 0.5971, 0.6004, 0.623, 0.6867, 0.6867, 0.6107, 0.648, 0.6336, 0.6178, 0.5949, 0.5811, 0.5786, 0.659, 0.632, 0.6162, 0.6122, 0.547, 0.5497, 0.5317, 0.5388, 0.5218, 0.539, 0.636, 0.6749, 0.7459, 0.9031, 0.9319, 0.9968, 0.9814, 1.0131, 0.9636, 0.9429, 0.9816, 0.9153, 0.9831, 1.0484, 1.0278, 0.9572, 0.9164, 0.9436, 0.9436, 0.9236, 0.954, 0.995, 1.0402, 1.1666, 1.2837, 1.2311, 1.2276, 1.2793, 1.2567, 1.2906, 1.3036, 1.3291, 1.3433, 1.3811, 1.4731, 1.4982, 1.4174, 1.4519, 1.6574, 1.6022, 1.6247, 1.6395, 1.6212, 1.5809, 1.5539, 1.5861, 1.5861, 1.6181, 1.6967, 1.5535, 1.4294, 1.4634, 1.521, 1.451, 1.4823, 1.4047, 1.3014, 1.2264, 1.0702, 1.1282, 1.2247, 1.2239, 1.1958, 1.2497]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1115982511673417734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-10T14:18:59+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't underestimate a massively underowned + undervalued sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P sector: massively underowned and undervalued, rally feels real with WTI near $65 and AB curtailments persisting.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With WTI approaching $65 and AB curtailments likely to last into 2020 until Line 3 comes online this chart shows how undervalued many CDN E&amp;P's remain.  The rally feels real...don't underestimate a massively underowned + undervalued sector #OOTT https://t.co/AciYH1wmcV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017291270570154005, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017291270570154005, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01389193727567739, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01389193727567739, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003399333294476614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003399333294476614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001921666834364566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001921666834364566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016442253967173803, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016442253967173803, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00027744143764718565, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00027744143764718565, "ret_p1w": 0.020172838086919054, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020172838086919054, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016148703384576857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016148703384576857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004024134702342197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004024134702342197, "ret_p1m": -0.04706999440009352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04706999440009352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041416229093222845, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041416229093222845, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005653765306870673, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005653765306870673, "ret_p3m": -0.14696408236561131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14696408236561131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1815595372614598, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1815595372614598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.034595454895848476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034595454895848476, "ret_p6m": -0.19185544149893274, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19185544149893274, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2088185000716264, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2088185000716264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016963058572693646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016963058572693646, "ret_p1y": -0.6995718106096016, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6995718106096016, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5965786981138554, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5965786981138554, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10299311249574616, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10299311249574616, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04706999440009352, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041416229093222845, "alpha_c_stated": -0.041416229093222845, "price_path": [-0.0874, -0.0855, -0.0683, -0.0769, -0.0711, -0.0644, -0.0673, -0.097, -0.1065, -0.0941, -0.0931, -0.0989, -0.0912, -0.0817, -0.0903, -0.097, -0.0874, -0.0874, -0.0855, -0.1075, -0.117, -0.1084, -0.097, -0.0874, -0.0807, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0424, -0.0405, -0.0472, -0.0453, -0.0396, -0.0405, -0.0329, -0.0386, -0.0281, -0.0434, -0.0405, -0.052, -0.051, -0.0702, -0.0606, -0.0549, -0.0405, -0.0396, -0.0434, -0.0262, -0.0338, -0.0166, -0.008, -0.0357, -0.0528, -0.0375, -0.0538, -0.0519, -0.0567, -0.0403, -0.0442, -0.0567, -0.0519, -0.025, -0.0096, -0.0173, 0.0, -0.0019, 0.0077, 0.0029, 0.0067, 0.0202, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0355, 0.0509, 0.0269, 0.0192, 0.0048, 0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0346, -0.0596, -0.05, -0.0509, -0.0634, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0538, -0.0759, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.05, -0.0653, -0.0653, -0.0596, -0.0836, -0.1201, -0.1172, -0.1028, -0.1124, -0.1009, -0.1134, -0.123, -0.1326, -0.1297, -0.1518, -0.146, -0.1422, -0.146, -0.1402, -0.1508, -0.1422, -0.1441, -0.1316, -0.1239, -0.1315, -0.116, -0.1228, -0.1237, -0.1295, -0.116, -0.1382, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1479, -0.1441, -0.1382, -0.1402, -0.147, -0.1344, -0.1169, -0.116, -0.1169, -0.1208, -0.1353, -0.146, -0.1605, -0.1537, -0.1489, -0.145, -0.1537, -0.1789, -0.1857, -0.2002, -0.1809, -0.1712, -0.1896, -0.2051, -0.2051, -0.2264, -0.2302, -0.2176, -0.2147, -0.2254, -0.2176, -0.2438, -0.2496, -0.2428, -0.2235, -0.2341, -0.2264, -0.2312, -0.2554, -0.2544, -0.2583, -0.2351, -0.2147, -0.2215, -0.2215, -0.2264, -0.2196, -0.1992, -0.2022, -0.1847, -0.1654, -0.1654, -0.1615, -0.1547, -0.0782, -0.0986, -0.1111, -0.115, -0.1102, -0.1111, -0.1265, -0.1314, -0.1363, -0.1402, -0.148, -0.1763, -0.1948, -0.1919]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1572674749427290114", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-09-21T19:50:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the generational opportunity in energy stocks, and the imminent catalyst that we believe will re-rate energy stocks meaningfully higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year bull market for oil; generational long opportunity in energy stocks with imminent re-rating catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Webcast replay alert: 45 minutes that cover why we believe we are in a multi-year bull market for oil, the generational opportunity in energy stocks, and the imminent catalyst that we believe will re-rate energy stocks meaningfully higher.  https://t.co/Id9fDhubai https://t.co/hfeCZOlJPu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01487431337453815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01487431337453815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028793115025353977, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028793115025353977, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01775362487707355, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01775362487707355, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035538244051959156, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035538244051959156, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0048458995105399305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0048458995105399305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008399723915735846, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008399723915735846, "ret_p1w": -0.044359446860835594, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044359446860835594, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026182035180471352, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026182035180471352, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01817741168036424, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01817741168036424, "ret_p1m": 0.11214956017763367, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11214956017763367, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14389391191135892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14389391191135892, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03174435173372525, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03174435173372525, "ret_p3m": 0.11030567253179391, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11030567253179391, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09871284512979517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09871284512979517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01159282740199874, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01159282740199874, "ret_p6m": 0.039955571260402056, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.039955571260402056, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01446802657176871, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01446802657176871, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05442359783217077, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05442359783217077, "ret_p1y": 0.2478126441950208, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2478126441950208, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.052913847551249615, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.052913847551249615, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1948987966437712, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1948987966437712, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2478126441950208, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.052913847551249615, "alpha_c_stated": 0.052913847551249615, "price_path": [-0.0678, -0.0405, -0.0146, -0.0488, -0.0689, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0924, -0.1079, -0.0758, -0.0762, -0.085, -0.1028, -0.1043, -0.1212, -0.1069, -0.0864, -0.0583, -0.0492, -0.0659, -0.0735, -0.0396, -0.0483, -0.0268, -0.0213, 0.0211, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.031, -0.0669, -0.0484, -0.0435, -0.0267, -0.0196, 0.0141, 0.0218, 0.0018, -0.0005, 0.0078, 0.0349, 0.0347, 0.0327, 0.0699, 0.0831, 0.0914, 0.0787, 0.0949, 0.0578, 0.0482, 0.0224, 0.0412, 0.0412, 0.0315, 0.0196, 0.024, 0.0495, 0.0688, 0.0418, 0.0712, 0.0436, 0.0214, 0.022, 0.0149, 0.0, -0.0036, -0.0723, -0.095, -0.0849, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.052, 0.0016, 0.0446, 0.0662, 0.0852, 0.0767, 0.0546, 0.0462, 0.0546, 0.0977, 0.0567, 0.0699, 0.0792, 0.1111, 0.1121, 0.1443, 0.1497, 0.1508, 0.1665, 0.1707, 0.1748, 0.1847, 0.1961, 0.1673, 0.1889, 0.2034, 0.224, 0.2252, 0.1653, 0.1913, 0.2259, 0.2255, 0.2384, 0.2131, 0.2157, 0.2061, 0.1898, 0.2271, 0.2138, 0.2138, 0.2093, 0.1761, 0.1939, 0.1998, 0.1959, 0.1888, 0.1535, 0.1231, 0.1204, 0.1154, 0.0883, 0.1169, 0.1381, 0.1311, 0.1243, 0.1104, 0.1103, 0.1271, 0.1485, 0.122, 0.1578, 0.1578, 0.1701, 0.144, 0.1559, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.1224, 0.1223, 0.1428, 0.1644, 0.1603, 0.1686, 0.1721, 0.1945, 0.1962, 0.1962, 0.1987, 0.1768, 0.1914, 0.2033, 0.2049, 0.2002, 0.2003, 0.2382, 0.2132, 0.1854, 0.1959, 0.1724, 0.1457, 0.1432, 0.138, 0.1749, 0.1644, 0.1545, 0.1997, 0.1966, 0.197, 0.1767, 0.1651, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.118, 0.1106, 0.1273, 0.1259, 0.1292, 0.113, 0.1349, 0.1449, 0.1604, 0.161, 0.1408, 0.1291, 0.1131, 0.0989, 0.0765, 0.0872, 0.0288, 0.04]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1263457485744152576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-21T13:11:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for those who thought that they had \"missed it\", energy stocks then went on to rally another 82% by year-end...will history rhyme this year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks; draws 2016 analog where sector rallied another 82% after initial bounce, implying significant upside remains.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Given the rally in energy stocks off the March 18th lows it would be easy for some to think that they've missed out on the opportunity. Have they? I've been using 2016 as my playbook: from the January lows energy stocks rallied by ~60% in 2 months... #OOTT https://t.co/HDUc4v9zmj\n\n---\n\n...for those who thought that they had \"missed it\", energy stocks then went on to rally another 82% by year-end...will history rhyme this year...??? https://t.co/T5kAaGo2x9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016270611484506814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009318460535094886, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006952150949411928, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006198613834981104, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008097899458154534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00189928562317343, "ret_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00568185439531077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021753422127503752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027435276522814522, "ret_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021952465879817584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029316649833286412, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051269115713103997, "ret_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0193502977896568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17280311911821788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15345282132856108, "ret_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09919944152488902, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3238186189957363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22461917747084725, "ret_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4608598152238206, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02080828345052832, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44005153177329226, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021952465879817584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029316649833286412, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029316649833286412, "price_path": [0.3045, 0.2469, 0.2093, 0.1446, 0.1436, 0.1898, 0.1534, 0.1807, 0.1375, 0.0736, -0.1426, -0.102, -0.1495, -0.2556, -0.1868, -0.2975, -0.2927, -0.3942, -0.3531, -0.3467, -0.3913, -0.2936, -0.2603, -0.2151, -0.2683, -0.2608, -0.2495, -0.2867, -0.2213, -0.2296, -0.1888, -0.1715, -0.1162, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1271, -0.1312, -0.172, -0.2074, -0.1232, -0.1506, -0.1655, -0.1358, -0.108, -0.1059, -0.0865, -0.0656, 0.0036, -0.0186, -0.0741, -0.0421, -0.0413, -0.0664, -0.0421, 0.0015, -0.016, -0.0333, -0.0772, -0.0669, -0.0705, 0.0054, -0.0227, 0.0163, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0214, 0.0346, 0.0057, 0.001, 0.0186, 0.047, 0.0777, 0.078, 0.1581, 0.2102, 0.1648, 0.1074, 0.0031, 0.0284, 0.0315, 0.0612, 0.0251, 0.0377, 0.022, 0.0267, 0.0277, -0.0293, -0.0107, -0.045, -0.0322, -0.0099, -0.034, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0204, -0.0515, -0.0523, -0.0991, -0.0704, -0.0753, -0.0429, -0.0222, -0.0267, -0.0403, -0.0562, 0.0008, -0.0115, -0.0133, -0.0188, -0.0178, -0.0345, -0.0144, -0.0531, -0.0575, -0.0541, -0.0311, -0.0209, -0.0288, -0.0275, 0.0026, -0.0008, 0.0092, -0.0105, -0.001, -0.0068, -0.0194, -0.0306, -0.0515, -0.0575, -0.0316, -0.0452, -0.0654, -0.0636, -0.0468, -0.0675, -0.0738, -0.0782, -0.085, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.1151, -0.1475, -0.1467, -0.1402, -0.1465, -0.1122, -0.1109, -0.1208, -0.15, -0.1588, -0.1968, -0.197, -0.1976, -0.1787, -0.2013, -0.2037, -0.2282, -0.2207, -0.1973, -0.2093, -0.1981, -0.1681, -0.1814, -0.1792, -0.192, -0.1885, -0.1787, -0.1973, -0.2143, -0.205, -0.2202, -0.188, -0.192, -0.221, -0.2311, -0.2632, -0.2406, -0.2364, -0.2103, -0.2149, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2308, -0.121, -0.0926, -0.1019, -0.1308, -0.0992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1394634738221072389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-18T12:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what I believe to be a generational opportunity in energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long energy stocks; author calls it a generational opportunity supported by IEA reports and WTI price scenarios.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global energy stocks proxy (context is predominantly US/Canada)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My next column in the @financialpost will focus on what I believe to be a generational opportunity in energy stocks. Reports like today's from the @IEA only help the case. Due to popular demand here is my $70WTI chart pack (you should see what the $100WTI ones look like!). https://t.co/xf5G45vRGo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02375607749697739, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02375607749697739, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015065573469318583, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015065573469318583, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008690504027658807, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008690504027658807, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024878235433044682, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024878235433044682, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022256426078418712, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022256426078418712, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00262180935462597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00262180935462597, "ret_p1w": -0.034605063678664005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034605063678664005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04989847566680672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04989847566680672, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015293411988142713, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015293411988142713, "ret_p1m": 0.04545447911516498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04545447911516498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020766527889353625, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020766527889353625, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024687951225811355, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024687951225811355, "ret_p3m": -0.06612301258240294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06612301258240294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1521520541141349, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1521520541141349, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08602904153173196, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08602904153173196, "ret_p6m": 0.09918997040974853, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09918997040974853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.033564450750523056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.033564450750523056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13275442116027159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13275442116027159, "ret_p1y": 0.5749144516617442, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5749144516617442, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5571558852919103, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5571558852919103, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.01775856636983386, "bench_c_p1y": 0.01775856636983386, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5749144516617442, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5571558852919103, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5571558852919103, "price_path": [-0.1593, -0.1452, -0.1156, -0.101, -0.0692, -0.0871, -0.1088, -0.0856, -0.0906, -0.0773, -0.0553, -0.0199, -0.0181, -0.0353, -0.0109, -0.0105, -0.0085, -0.0198, -0.0477, -0.0403, -0.0834, -0.0832, -0.092, -0.1053, -0.0829, -0.0795, -0.0567, -0.0679, -0.0759, -0.0823, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0814, -0.0838, -0.0806, -0.0926, -0.0986, -0.1057, -0.1048, -0.0799, -0.0874, -0.0946, -0.0956, -0.1195, -0.1083, -0.1188, -0.1107, -0.1048, -0.0939, -0.0627, -0.0522, -0.0761, -0.0507, -0.0501, -0.0195, -0.0144, 0.0032, 0.0036, -0.0223, -0.0176, -0.0296, 0.0006, 0.0238, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.0264, -0.0243, -0.0146, -0.0346, -0.026, -0.0253, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0142, 0.0331, 0.0359, 0.0428, 0.0383, 0.0473, 0.0408, 0.0395, 0.0359, 0.0314, 0.0511, 0.0455, 0.0099, -0.02, 0.0217, 0.0285, 0.0314, 0.0403, 0.0457, 0.0104, 0.0055, 0.018, 0.0357, 0.0335, 0.0335, -0.0002, -0.0164, -0.0221, -0.0013, -0.0028, -0.0104, -0.0399, -0.0533, -0.0801, -0.1126, -0.1007, -0.0693, -0.0797, -0.0831, -0.0605, -0.0691, -0.0606, -0.0516, -0.0667, -0.0737, -0.0578, -0.0833, -0.0729, -0.0644, -0.0776, -0.0614, -0.054, -0.055, -0.0661, -0.0833, -0.0928, -0.1117, -0.1347, -0.1328, -0.1003, -0.0854, -0.0784, -0.0924, -0.0682, -0.0792, -0.0854, -0.0988, -0.0759, -0.0812, -0.0812, -0.0867, -0.0984, -0.0965, -0.0969, -0.071, -0.0845, -0.0502, -0.061, -0.068, -0.0965, -0.0944, -0.0664, -0.0337, -0.0265, 0.0081, 0.0116, 0.0116, -0.0037, 0.0298, 0.0466, 0.0527, 0.0416, 0.0497, 0.082, 0.078, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0912, 0.0965, 0.0973, 0.1097, 0.1187, 0.098, 0.1084, 0.1246, 0.1311, 0.0986, 0.1065, 0.0992, 0.1181, 0.1076, 0.0984, 0.1, 0.1143, 0.1244, 0.129, 0.0992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1151501834114207744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-17T14:40:05+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Confidence/clarity on Transmountain construction actually beginning should serve (in a normally functioning energy market) as a material catalyst for Canadian oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TMX pipeline construction clarity should be a material catalyst for Canadian oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Confidence/clarity on Transmountain construction actually beginning should serve (in a normally functioning energy market) as a material catalyst for Canadian oil stocks #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012471921333383706, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012471921333383706, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005620048513056641, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005620048513056641, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006851872820327065, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006851872820327065, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017006830350892677, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017006830350892677, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020667661910293122, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020667661910293122, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003660831559400446, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003660831559400446, "ret_p1w": -0.009070227606232995, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009070227606232995, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02149708117749982, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02149708117749982, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012426853571266827, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012426853571266827, "ret_p1m": -0.12131513044126452, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12131513044126452, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07735084310941076, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07735084310941076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04396428733185376, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04396428733185376, "ret_p3m": -0.0685390123749895, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0685390123749895, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0671175258946235, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0671175258946235, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0014214864803659966, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0014214864803659966, "ret_p6m": 0.0875065966563835, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0875065966563835, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.020076627221509602, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.020076627221509602, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1075832238778931, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1075832238778931, "ret_p1y": -0.41006413407395637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41006413407395637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47966477268983576, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47966477268983576, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0696006386158794, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0696006386158794, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12131513044126452, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07735084310941076, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07735084310941076, "price_path": [0.1935, 0.2126, 0.2306, 0.2024, 0.1935, 0.1766, 0.1788, 0.1631, 0.1305, 0.1012, 0.1125, 0.1113, 0.0967, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.108, 0.0821, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1125, 0.0945, 0.0945, 0.1012, 0.0731, 0.0303, 0.0337, 0.0506, 0.0393, 0.0528, 0.0382, 0.027, 0.0157, 0.0191, -0.0068, -0.0, 0.0045, -0.0, 0.0067, -0.0056, 0.0045, 0.0022, 0.0169, 0.0259, 0.017, 0.0351, 0.0272, 0.0261, 0.0193, 0.0351, 0.0091, 0.0113, 0.0113, -0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0091, 0.0068, -0.0011, 0.0136, 0.034, 0.0351, 0.034, 0.0295, 0.0125, 0.0, -0.017, -0.0091, -0.0034, 0.0011, -0.0091, -0.0385, -0.0465, -0.0635, -0.0408, -0.0295, -0.051, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0941, -0.0986, -0.0839, -0.0805, -0.093, -0.0839, -0.1145, -0.1213, -0.1134, -0.0907, -0.1032, -0.0941, -0.0998, -0.1281, -0.127, -0.1315, -0.1043, -0.0805, -0.0884, -0.0884, -0.0941, -0.0862, -0.0624, -0.0658, -0.0454, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0181, -0.0102, 0.0794, 0.0556, 0.0408, 0.0363, 0.042, 0.0408, 0.0228, 0.0171, 0.0114, 0.0068, -0.0023, -0.0354, -0.0571, -0.0537, -0.056, -0.0571, -0.0925, -0.0959, -0.0868, -0.0685, -0.0685, -0.0731, -0.0777, -0.0754, -0.0845, -0.0754, -0.0731, -0.0685, -0.0765, -0.0663, -0.0742, -0.0697, -0.0811, -0.0994, -0.0708, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0457, -0.0046, -0.0023, -0.0046, -0.0137, -0.0183, -0.0229, -0.0115, -0.0263, -0.0389, -0.032, -0.0229, -0.0286, -0.0195, -0.0309, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0377, -0.0423, -0.0583, -0.0354, -0.0423, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0079, -0.0, 0.0228, 0.0216, 0.0285, 0.0468, 0.0445, 0.0616, 0.0559, 0.0719, 0.073, 0.073, 0.073, 0.073, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0691, 0.0771, 0.1002, 0.099, 0.0783, 0.0875]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1275414013946576896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-06-23T13:02:51+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I spoke about the bullish outlook for oil and why the Canadian oilpatch is the most attractive jurisdiction in the world for investment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil; Canadian oilpatch named most attractive investment jurisdiction globally.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was happy to do a podcast yesterday with the Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors in which I spoke about the bullish outlook for oil and why the Canadian oilpatch is the most attractive jurisdiction in the world for investment", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "LISTEN: We’re half way through 2020, and June’s episode of the WeldCor Supplies CAODC Podcast gets you caught up on all things CAODC/Canadian oil &amp; gas! Special guests include @ericnuttall from Ninepoint Partners and CAODC President &amp; CEO Mark A. Scholz. https://t.co/cdmEUrWt0w", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010555964148826424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010555964148826424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015138290421134015, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015138290421134015, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004582326272307591, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004582326272307591, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.054421760185210166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.054421760185210166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02891332544668379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02891332544668379, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.025508434738526375, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025508434738526375, "ret_p1w": -0.03471732360202262, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03471732360202262, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022892419922921237, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022892419922921237, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011824903679101384, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011824903679101384, "ret_p1m": 0.0389397092615531, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0389397092615531, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008520908111607994, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008520908111607994, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047460617373161096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047460617373161096, "ret_p3m": 0.012197993073769897, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012197993073769897, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051649834841506204, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051649834841506204, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0638478279152761, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0638478279152761, "ret_p6m": 0.1982172308519965, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1982172308519965, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007216071844713401, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.007216071844713401, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1910011590072831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1910011590072831, "ret_p1y": 0.7011493039184358, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7011493039184358, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3279150634834236, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3279150634834236, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3732342404350122, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3732342404350122, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0389397092615531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008520908111607994, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008520908111607994, "price_path": [-0.3821, -0.4152, -0.4661, -0.4666, -0.4197, -0.2977, -0.1999, -0.2247, -0.2524, -0.2297, -0.2616, -0.2616, -0.2555, -0.3057, -0.3505, -0.3474, -0.3413, -0.4002, -0.5466, -0.5222, -0.4996, -0.4971, -0.5311, -0.5201, -0.4713, -0.4072, -0.3798, -0.362, -0.2735, -0.3028, -0.3089, -0.2735, -0.3049, -0.2967, -0.3153, -0.2698, -0.2376, -0.1834, -0.1872, -0.1614, -0.1541, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1515, -0.1851, -0.1722, -0.1712, -0.1011, -0.0718, -0.0666, -0.0619, -0.0077, -0.0429, -0.034, -0.0211, -0.0957, -0.0915, -0.0683, -0.0392, -0.045, -0.0263, -0.0103, 0.0106, 0.0, -0.0544, -0.0371, -0.0378, -0.0216, -0.0347, -0.0141, 0.012, 0.012, 0.011, 0.0106, 0.0155, -0.0066, 0.0143, 0.0021, 0.0063, 0.0272, 0.0174, 0.012, 0.0152, 0.0396, 0.0389, 0.016, 0.0167, 0.0183, 0.0138, 0.0263, 0.0073, 0.0157, 0.0357, 0.0422, 0.0596, 0.0577, 0.0415, 0.0554, 0.0439, 0.0657, 0.0547, 0.0509, 0.0643, 0.0664, 0.0643, 0.0532, 0.0403, 0.0586, 0.0758, 0.0706, 0.0577, 0.0568, 0.0622, 0.0692, 0.0422, 0.0338, 0.0007, 0.0007, -0.0669, -0.0432, -0.0603, -0.0657, -0.0708, -0.0493, -0.0096, 0.0157, 0.0122, -0.0279, -0.0213, -0.0202, -0.0162, -0.0167, -0.0047, -0.0375, -0.0394, -0.0399, -0.0788, -0.0314, 0.0005, -0.015, 0.0167, 0.0052, -0.0213, -0.0042, 0.0162, 0.0124, 0.007, -0.0002, 0.0124, -0.0211, -0.004, -0.0202, -0.0509, -0.0335, -0.0823, -0.1168, -0.1213, -0.0859, -0.0685, -0.0328, -0.0399, -0.0746, -0.0054, 0.023, 0.0274, 0.0211, 0.0035, 0.0279, 0.0263, 0.0401, 0.0368, 0.0547, 0.0805, 0.1227, 0.1403, 0.1403, 0.1302, 0.1163, 0.1124, 0.1318, 0.1426, 0.1553, 0.1445, 0.1457, 0.1461, 0.1787, 0.1722, 0.1797, 0.1907, 0.1982]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1584524939415416833", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-24T12:39:19+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why I believe 2023 will be another great year for energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks for 2023 on positive oil macro and record FCF to be returned via buybacks and dividends.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me today at 12ET on @BNNBloomberg with @AndrewBellBNN. I'll be focusing on recessionary fears' impact on the oil price + why I believe 2023 will be another great year for energy stocks. Keep the ?'s short and perhaps we can even bring back the Marketcall Minute!\n\n---\n\n@BNNBloomberg @AndrewBellBNN Wonderful to be back in studio with @AndrewBellBNN for @marketcall after a 2+ year \"virtual\" break. I covered why I believe 2023 will be another great year for energy investors due to positive oil macro+ record FCF to be returned via buybacks adn div's.  https://t.co/0Be45SotvZ https://t.co/YFbh5oBW60", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00469414834126225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00469414834126225, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007394541611590033, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007394541611590033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012088689952852283, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012088689952852283, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001030722572608056, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001030722572608056, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01493776031389582, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01493776031389582, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015968482886503876, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015968482886503876, "ret_p1w": 0.030455919968811918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030455919968811918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011082615753339686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011082615753339686, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01937330421547223, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01937330421547223, "ret_p1m": 0.06732330206818027, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06732330206818027, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011816197499133985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011816197499133985, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.055507104569046284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.055507104569046284, "ret_p3m": 0.03632630928461489, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03632630928461489, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0058286923303485505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0058286923303485505, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.030497616954266338, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030497616954266338, "ret_p6m": 0.01149300405534226, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01149300405534226, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09099636373862863, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09099636373862863, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10248936779397089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10248936779397089, "ret_p1y": 0.040047844090797646, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.040047844090797646, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1297166469746378, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1297166469746378, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16976449106543545, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16976449106543545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06732330206818027, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011816197499133985, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011816197499133985, "price_path": [-0.1535, -0.1487, -0.1118, -0.1302, -0.1322, -0.1571, -0.1884, -0.1723, -0.168, -0.1534, -0.1473, -0.1179, -0.1112, -0.1286, -0.1306, -0.1234, -0.0998, -0.1, -0.1017, -0.0693, -0.0579, -0.0507, -0.0618, -0.0476, -0.0799, -0.0883, -0.1107, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.1028, -0.1132, -0.1093, -0.0871, -0.0704, -0.0938, -0.0682, -0.0922, -0.1116, -0.1111, -0.1172, -0.1302, -0.1333, -0.193, -0.2128, -0.204, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1754, -0.1288, -0.0914, -0.0726, -0.0561, -0.0634, -0.0827, -0.09, -0.0827, -0.0452, -0.0808, -0.0694, -0.0613, -0.0335, -0.0326, -0.0047, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0147, 0.0183, 0.0219, 0.0305, 0.0404, 0.0153, 0.0341, 0.0467, 0.0647, 0.0657, 0.0136, 0.0362, 0.0663, 0.0659, 0.0772, 0.0552, 0.0575, 0.0491, 0.0349, 0.0673, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0519, 0.023, 0.0385, 0.0436, 0.0402, 0.034, 0.0033, -0.0231, -0.0254, -0.0298, -0.0534, -0.0285, -0.0101, -0.0161, -0.0221, -0.0341, -0.0342, -0.0197, -0.001, -0.0241, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0178, -0.005, 0.0054, 0.0118, 0.0118, -0.0237, -0.0238, -0.006, 0.0128, 0.0093, 0.0164, 0.0196, 0.039, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0427, 0.0236, 0.0363, 0.0466, 0.048, 0.044, 0.0441, 0.077, 0.0553, 0.0311, 0.0403, 0.0198, -0.0035, -0.0057, -0.0102, 0.022, 0.0128, 0.0042, 0.0435, 0.0408, 0.0412, 0.0235, 0.0134, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0275, -0.034, -0.0194, -0.0207, -0.0178, -0.0319, -0.0128, -0.0042, 0.0094, 0.0098, -0.0077, -0.0179, -0.0318, -0.0442, -0.0636, -0.0544, -0.1051, -0.0954, -0.1097, -0.0918, -0.0604, -0.0804, -0.0931, -0.0896, -0.0702, -0.0558, -0.0427, -0.0385, -0.0319, 0.012, -0.0064, 0.0086, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0012, 0.0107, 0.0114, 0.0177, 0.0196, 0.0075, 0.0115]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1499389290685640709", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-03-03T14:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "What's the upside in energy stocks?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crude to $130–$150+ on irreplaceable Russian export losses; energy stocks expected to follow.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me tomorrow on @marketcall at 12ET. Major theme: the loss of Russian oil exports are irreplaceable, even with an imminent Iranian deal. Oil needs to go high enough to kill discretionary demand...$130-$150+. What's the upside in energy stocks? Tune in tomorrow. https://t.co/X0Zj1nDPvB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0027351708807598074, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0027351708807598074, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007738647899691586, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007738647899691586, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005003477018931779, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005003477018931779, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028856710328719837, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028856710328719837, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03698126289362824, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03698126289362824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008124552564908405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008124552564908405, "ret_p1w": 0.05949113325390365, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05949113325390365, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0829699578893438, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0829699578893438, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023478824635440154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023478824635440154, "ret_p1m": 0.0639648069387393, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0639648069387393, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02123652835787393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02123652835787393, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.042728278580865364, "bench_c_p1m": 0.042728278580865364, "ret_p3m": 0.20396740072407815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20396740072407815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25330557916412544, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25330557916412544, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04933817844004729, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04933817844004729, "ret_p6m": 0.15659579006822621, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15659579006822621, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21944622984466944, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21944622984466944, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06285043977644322, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06285043977644322, "ret_p1y": 0.20477620117108186, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.20477620117108186, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2549078645849576, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2549078645849576, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05013166341387576, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05013166341387576, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0639648069387393, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02123652835787393, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02123652835787393, "price_path": [-0.2445, -0.2268, -0.2269, -0.2329, -0.2272, -0.2487, -0.2518, -0.2554, -0.2507, -0.2659, -0.275, -0.2544, -0.2496, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.2328, -0.2333, -0.2382, -0.2429, -0.241, -0.2175, -0.1904, -0.1905, -0.1725, -0.1611, -0.1637, -0.1353, -0.1336, -0.138, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.1142, -0.1206, -0.1287, -0.1459, -0.1402, -0.1068, -0.1083, -0.0986, -0.1024, -0.0985, -0.0663, -0.0633, -0.0722, -0.0577, -0.0457, -0.0662, -0.0584, -0.0643, -0.0371, -0.0598, -0.0696, -0.0621, -0.0636, -0.0693, -0.0693, -0.0844, -0.0749, -0.0822, -0.058, -0.0347, -0.025, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.044, 0.0604, 0.028, 0.0595, 0.051, 0.0196, -0.0178, -0.0223, 0.0114, 0.0104, 0.0511, 0.0434, 0.0613, 0.064, 0.0873, 0.0604, 0.0576, 0.0699, 0.0554, 0.064, 0.0653, 0.0486, 0.0549, 0.0687, 0.0981, 0.0651, 0.0827, 0.0989, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.1186, 0.1095, 0.1138, 0.0785, 0.0521, 0.0173, 0.0187, 0.0336, 0.0649, 0.0376, 0.0542, 0.0837, 0.1287, 0.1117, 0.1449, 0.0502, 0.0597, 0.0739, 0.0785, 0.1153, 0.1447, 0.158, 0.1283, 0.1242, 0.129, 0.1588, 0.1632, 0.1873, 0.2004, 0.2223, 0.2223, 0.204, 0.2236, 0.2197, 0.2359, 0.2345, 0.2713, 0.2741, 0.2459, 0.2248, 0.1609, 0.1631, 0.1374, 0.0734, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0672, 0.0245, -0.0135, -0.0005, 0.0288, 0.0566, 0.0199, -0.0016, 0.0133, 0.0133, -0.0269, -0.0435, -0.009, -0.0094, -0.0189, -0.038, -0.0396, -0.0577, -0.0424, -0.0204, 0.0097, 0.0195, 0.0016, -0.0066, 0.0298, 0.0205, 0.0435, 0.0494, 0.0949, 0.0723, 0.0698, 0.039, 0.0005, 0.0203, 0.0256, 0.0436, 0.0512, 0.0873, 0.0956, 0.0742, 0.0717, 0.0806, 0.1097, 0.1094, 0.1073, 0.1472, 0.1613, 0.1703, 0.1566]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1146114616067579904", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-02T17:53:12+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many quality companies either trading at all time lows (with oil at $57/bbl) or trading below their liquidation value (historic!)...godspeed on helping close the gap between current market valuations and fair value", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish E&P/oil equities sector: quality names at all-time lows or below liquidation value, expects gap to fair value to close.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad oil and gas equities proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$780MM of fresh capital to go to work in a sector with many quality companies either trading at all time lows (with oil at $57/bbl) or trading below their liquidation value (historic!)...godspeed on helping close the gap between current market valuations and fair value!!! #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ARC Financial Corp. closes ARC Energy Fund 9 https://t.co/mOS5rfTJ2Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016254864573822525, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016254864573822525, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018852346634603112, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018852346634603112, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002597482060780587, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002597482060780587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003983831019174433, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003983831019174433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004011168495198003, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004011168495198003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007994999514372436, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007994999514372436, "ret_p1w": 0.007649362635853363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007649362635853363, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005085544688649968, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005085544688649968, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002563817947203395, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002563817947203395, "ret_p1m": -0.0007967000121213985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0007967000121213985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004169821446540212, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004169821446540212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003373121434418813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003373121434418813, "ret_p3m": -0.041029926514786985, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.041029926514786985, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.042156764478717634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.042156764478717634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0011268379639306492, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0011268379639306492, "ret_p6m": 0.006163275927190792, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.006163275927190792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08785558916910574, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08785558916910574, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09401886509629653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09401886509629653, "ret_p1y": -0.3129707213366093, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3129707213366093, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.38104922604947156, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38104922604947156, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.06807850471286225, "bench_c_p1y": 0.06807850471286225, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0007967000121213985, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004169821446540212, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004169821446540212, "price_path": [0.0492, 0.0677, 0.0724, 0.0593, 0.0633, 0.0641, 0.0669, 0.0606, 0.0675, 0.0661, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.0835, 0.0818, 0.0628, 0.0595, 0.0458, 0.0448, 0.044, 0.0232, 0.0053, 0.0146, 0.0156, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0115, -0.0059, 0.0063, 0.0115, 0.017, 0.0067, 0.0072, 0.0189, 0.0031, -0.0305, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.037, -0.0432, -0.0553, -0.0719, -0.0601, -0.0438, -0.0544, -0.0368, -0.0324, -0.0296, -0.0277, -0.0414, -0.0302, -0.0365, -0.0285, -0.015, -0.0162, 0.0056, 0.0129, 0.0038, -0.0041, 0.0112, 0.0037, 0.0153, 0.0163, 0.0, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0054, 0.0069, 0.0076, 0.0206, 0.0226, 0.0269, 0.0177, 0.0069, -0.0046, -0.0045, 0.0002, 0.0048, 0.0075, 0.0118, 0.0003, -0.0048, -0.0088, 0.0024, -0.0008, -0.0234, -0.0375, -0.0661, -0.0673, -0.0743, -0.0476, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.0607, -0.0975, -0.1031, -0.0913, -0.0712, -0.079, -0.0731, -0.0773, -0.1082, -0.1044, -0.11, -0.0972, -0.084, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0884, -0.0757, -0.0642, -0.0593, -0.0405, -0.0292, -0.0282, -0.0343, -0.0266, 0.0061, -0.008, -0.0127, -0.0153, -0.0145, -0.0142, -0.0298, -0.0282, -0.0409, -0.041, -0.0479, -0.07, -0.0928, -0.083, -0.0772, -0.0854, -0.101, -0.0928, -0.0814, -0.069, -0.0695, -0.0656, -0.0787, -0.078, -0.0828, -0.0664, -0.0544, -0.0465, -0.0505, -0.0428, -0.0483, -0.0444, -0.0639, -0.0679, -0.0467, -0.0156, -0.0143, -0.0344, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0295, -0.0344, -0.0386, -0.0412, -0.0338, -0.0455, -0.0597, -0.0502, -0.0346, -0.0378, -0.0368, -0.0457, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.0671, -0.0531, -0.0576, -0.0396, -0.0407, -0.0388, -0.0404, -0.0227, -0.0301, -0.0171, -0.0164, -0.0127, -0.013, -0.0036, 0.0067, 0.0062, 0.0062]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1212751999525179397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-02T15:06:23+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil stocks still materially undervalued with $60WTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil stocks materially undervalued at $60 WTI; gas stocks look fully valued without winter demand showing up soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After such a strong December for energy stocks (and some funds!) it’s an encouraging start to the year! Oil stocks still materially undervalued with $60WTI but Winter better show up soon or else gas stocks look fully valued to me #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008913855891696687, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008913855891696687, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00035156324265095407, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00035156324265095407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009265419134347641, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009265419134347641, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002971421403674457, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002971421403674457, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0046007135508587815, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0046007135508587815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007572134954533238, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007572134954533238, "ret_p1w": -0.007098223173951035, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007098223173951035, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012577009477848677, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012577009477848677, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0054787863038976425, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0054787863038976425, "ret_p1m": -0.1178609653093533, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1178609653093533, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10819548170418447, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10819548170418447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009665483605168834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009665483605168834, "ret_p3m": -0.5095697392260454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5095697392260454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3076293854259675, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3076293854259675, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.2019403538000779, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2019403538000779, "ret_p6m": -0.3759388282117295, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3759388282117295, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3090582661643204, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3090582661643204, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06688056204740911, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06688056204740911, "ret_p1y": -0.3286654540127092, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3286654540127092, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4821412659421136, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4821412659421136, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1534758119294044, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1534758119294044, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1178609653093533, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10819548170418447, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10819548170418447, "price_path": [-0.0973, -0.1127, -0.1046, -0.0933, -0.0811, -0.0816, -0.0778, -0.0906, -0.09, -0.0948, -0.0786, -0.0667, -0.0589, -0.0629, -0.0552, -0.0606, -0.0568, -0.076, -0.08, -0.0591, -0.0284, -0.0271, -0.047, -0.0327, -0.0367, -0.0421, -0.047, -0.0511, -0.0537, -0.0464, -0.0579, -0.0719, -0.0625, -0.0471, -0.0503, -0.0494, -0.0581, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0792, -0.0654, -0.0698, -0.0521, -0.0532, -0.0513, -0.0529, -0.0354, -0.0427, -0.0298, -0.0292, -0.0256, -0.0259, -0.0165, -0.0064, -0.0069, -0.0069, -0.0072, -0.0114, -0.0145, -0.0089, -0.0089, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0048, 0.0021, -0.0144, -0.0071, -0.0127, -0.0124, -0.0122, -0.0195, -0.0178, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0416, -0.0508, -0.0545, -0.0654, -0.0913, -0.0872, -0.0967, -0.0895, -0.1179, -0.1294, -0.1263, -0.0934, -0.1027, -0.1089, -0.1134, -0.1035, -0.0914, -0.0943, -0.099, -0.099, -0.1065, -0.0946, -0.0956, -0.1063, -0.1476, -0.1852, -0.2098, -0.2521, -0.2527, -0.2225, -0.2463, -0.2285, -0.2567, -0.2984, -0.4397, -0.4132, -0.4442, -0.5135, -0.4686, -0.5409, -0.5378, -0.6042, -0.5773, -0.5731, -0.6022, -0.5384, -0.5167, -0.4871, -0.5219, -0.517, -0.5096, -0.5339, -0.4912, -0.4966, -0.4699, -0.4586, -0.4225, -0.4277, -0.4277, -0.4296, -0.4323, -0.4589, -0.4821, -0.427, -0.4449, -0.4547, -0.4353, -0.4171, -0.4157, -0.4031, -0.3894, -0.3442, -0.3587, -0.395, -0.3741, -0.3735, -0.3899, -0.3741, -0.3455, -0.357, -0.3683, -0.397, -0.3903, -0.3926, -0.343, -0.3614, -0.3359, -0.3465, -0.3506, -0.3506, -0.3325, -0.3239, -0.3428, -0.3459, -0.3344, -0.3158, -0.2957, -0.2956, -0.2433, -0.2092, -0.2389, -0.2763, -0.3445, -0.328, -0.326, -0.3065, -0.3302, -0.3219, -0.3322, -0.3291, -0.3284, -0.3657, -0.3535, -0.3759]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1421089367846801414", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-30T12:44:42+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the potential upside for energy stocks today at 12ET on @marketcall", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks for rest of year; oil near 3-year high while stocks at historic lows vs oil strip creates upside via buybacks/dividends rerating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil trading near a 3 year high yet some oil stocks down 15% this month trading ~ a 10 year low versus the oil strip.  Confused? Frustrated? Excited? I'll walk through my oil playbook for the rest of the year and the potential upside for energy stocks today at 12ET on @marketcall https://t.co/um00Ue9qBm\n\n---\n\nMEANINGFUL share buybacks / dividend increases/initiations financed from egregious levels of free cashflow are the answer to shaking generalists from their coma and rerating stocks currently trading at historic lows while oil is $1 away from a 3 year high. https://t.co/6PosazpUw8 https://t.co/VtkPWvCKML", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0161977201770942, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0161977201770942, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011317590751320328, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011317590751320328, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004880129425773871, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004880129425773871, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0074912961055286775, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0074912961055286775, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005393170210993614, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005393170210993614, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020981258945350634, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020981258945350634, "ret_p1w": 0.002429704019295542, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002429704019295542, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006646528655662065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006646528655662065, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009076232674957607, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009076232674957607, "ret_p1m": -0.013363188135199877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013363188135199877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04465103563405193, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04465103563405193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03128784749885205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03128784749885205, "ret_p3m": 0.17711782500740703, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17711782500740703, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1386142069099905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1386142069099905, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038503618097416537, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038503618097416537, "ret_p6m": 0.3050771468280238, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3050771468280238, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2952956467727299, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2952956467727299, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009781500055293879, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009781500055293879, "ret_p1y": 0.5326001540020622, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5326001540020622, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6253294459265353, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6253294459265353, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.0927292919244731, "bench_c_p1y": -0.0927292919244731, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013363188135199877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04465103563405193, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04465103563405193, "price_path": [0.0177, 0.0506, 0.056, 0.0749, 0.0753, 0.0476, 0.0526, 0.0398, 0.0721, 0.0969, 0.0715, 0.0448, 0.0432, 0.0454, 0.0558, 0.0344, 0.0436, 0.0444, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0867, 0.1069, 0.1099, 0.1174, 0.1125, 0.1222, 0.1151, 0.1137, 0.1099, 0.1051, 0.1262, 0.1202, 0.0821, 0.05, 0.0948, 0.102, 0.1051, 0.1146, 0.1205, 0.0826, 0.0773, 0.0907, 0.1097, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.0713, 0.0539, 0.0478, 0.0701, 0.0684, 0.0603, 0.0288, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0492, -0.0364, -0.0028, -0.014, -0.0176, 0.0067, -0.0026, 0.0065, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0095, -0.0178, -0.0067, 0.0024, -0.0117, 0.0057, 0.0136, 0.0126, 0.0006, -0.0178, -0.0279, -0.0482, -0.0729, -0.0709, -0.036, -0.02, -0.0126, -0.0275, -0.0016, -0.0134, -0.02, -0.0344, -0.0099, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0215, -0.034, -0.032, -0.0324, -0.0047, -0.019, 0.0176, 0.0061, -0.0014, -0.0319, -0.0297, 0.0003, 0.0353, 0.0431, 0.0802, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.0675, 0.1033, 0.1214, 0.1279, 0.116, 0.1247, 0.1593, 0.155, 0.156, 0.155, 0.1691, 0.1749, 0.1757, 0.189, 0.1986, 0.1765, 0.1876, 0.205, 0.212, 0.1771, 0.1855, 0.1777, 0.198, 0.1867, 0.1769, 0.1786, 0.1939, 0.2048, 0.2097, 0.1777, 0.1822, 0.1794, 0.1892, 0.1911, 0.1728, 0.1658, 0.1204, 0.1402, 0.1753, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.139, 0.1456, 0.1187, 0.1068, 0.139, 0.13, 0.1468, 0.1736, 0.1734, 0.1644, 0.173, 0.1404, 0.1357, 0.1302, 0.1374, 0.1142, 0.1004, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.1396, 0.1396, 0.1645, 0.1637, 0.1562, 0.1492, 0.1521, 0.1878, 0.2289, 0.2287, 0.2561, 0.2733, 0.2694, 0.3126, 0.315, 0.3084, 0.3391, 0.3391, 0.3445, 0.3348, 0.3225, 0.2964, 0.3051]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1257762295251337217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-05T20:01:13+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian small cap nat gas producers", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been buying 1MM of a small cap nat gas producer today (<$2MM worth)...took an entire day for the trader to find it. Sellers strike = Bullish sign.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively buying Canadian small-cap nat gas producers; scarce supply of stock seen as bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAV.TO", "BIR.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Small Canadian nat gas producers: Advantage, Birchcliff", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wondering why Canadian small caps are rallying when SU/CNQ are down as are US E&amp;P's??? There is no supply of stock available! I've been buying 1MM of a small cap nat gas producer today (&lt;$2MM worth)...took an entire day for the trader to find it. Sellers strike = Bullish sign. https://t.co/d4KQ5Cvf5W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09505601451936352, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09505601451936352, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08823081498289498, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06822378326114942, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00682519953646854, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0268322312582141, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002377745693049216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002377745693049216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009689162238585236, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02362510987049088, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012066907931634452, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026002855563540095, "ret_p1w": -0.11909947150952754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11909947150952754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10977675209065646, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10748111738257032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009322719418871084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01161835412695722, "ret_p1m": -0.054936222337846174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054936222337846174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15031008765630677, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2095696127811117, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0953738653184606, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15463339044326552, "ret_p3m": -0.21920723050840385, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21920723050840385, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.380990784858543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23231085782905114, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16178355435013914, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013103627320647293, "ret_p6m": 0.16000926181431974, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16000926181431974, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010646304452530342, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34667246962560383, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17065556626685008, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1866632078112841, "ret_p1y": 0.779828236671636, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.779828236671636, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.290213313032629, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.39331205698543736, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.48961492363900705, "bench_c_p1y": 0.38651617968619867, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.054936222337846174, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15031008765630677, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2095696127811117, "price_path": [0.1395, 0.0907, 0.0838, 0.0995, 0.0884, 0.1086, 0.1086, 0.1191, 0.1474, 0.1608, 0.1327, 0.0515, 0.0086, -0.0039, -0.0228, -0.0344, 0.0318, -0.0322, -0.023, -0.0661, -0.1042, -0.3263, -0.2878, -0.3746, -0.4511, -0.3871, -0.5339, -0.5166, -0.5373, -0.4538, -0.4697, -0.5545, -0.4938, -0.4503, -0.4355, -0.4813, -0.4251, -0.4046, -0.3977, -0.3656, -0.3221, -0.3254, -0.2944, -0.2268, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.1914, -0.2131, -0.236, -0.2463, -0.1993, -0.1168, -0.0778, 0.03, 0.0197, -0.0572, -0.0584, -0.0034, 0.0677, 0.0436, 0.0047, 0.0412, 0.0951, 0.0, 0.0024, -0.0229, -0.0618, -0.079, -0.1191, -0.1214, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.048, 0.0128, -0.0377, -0.0493, -0.0595, -0.0401, 0.0092, -0.0172, -0.0378, -0.0618, -0.0274, -0.0458, -0.0549, -0.0286, -0.032, -0.0663, -0.087, -0.1638, -0.1632, -0.1735, -0.1884, -0.2493, -0.2551, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2227, -0.2401, -0.2343, -0.2584, -0.2171, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2183, -0.2149, -0.1805, -0.1965, -0.2263, -0.2286, -0.2217, -0.2447, -0.2195, -0.2034, -0.2286, -0.2274, -0.2457, -0.2193, -0.2182, -0.2146, -0.2101, -0.2284, -0.2399, -0.2135, -0.2365, -0.2192, -0.2192, -0.1445, -0.1318, -0.1089, -0.095, -0.0538, -0.0551, -0.0402, -0.0448, 0.0205, 0.0287, 0.046, 0.0391, 0.0679, 0.0415, 0.0955, 0.116, 0.0781, 0.0759, 0.0793, 0.0494, 0.0598, 0.0254, 0.0141, 0.0118, 0.0118, -0.0432, -0.0387, -0.0893, -0.1008, -0.0528, -0.0009, 0.0187, 0.0121, -0.0063, -0.0328, -0.0293, -0.0307, -0.0204, -0.0399, -0.0101, -0.0365, -0.0688, -0.0723, -0.0908, -0.0482, -0.0736, -0.0389, 0.014, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0715, 0.1003, 0.128, 0.1408, 0.2066, 0.2409, 0.2407, 0.243, 0.2051, 0.1602, 0.1671, 0.1199, 0.16]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1234551354019938304", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-03-02T18:49:14+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Continuing to buy energy stocks at <2.5x EV/CF with a view to a 2H'20 recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Buying energy stocks at <2.5x EV/CF; expects oil bottom in and 2H 2020 recovery driven by OPEC cuts, Libya outages, China ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With a likely 1MM+ Bbl/d cut this week by OPEC, Libyan production remaining -1MM Bbl/d, Chinese activity slowly ramping, flat Jan/Feb Chinese imports (ie. dip buying)...have we seen the bottom for oil? Continuing to buy energy stocks at &lt;2.5x EV/CF with a view to a 2H'20 recovery https://t.co/tva0YHjbrl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03885347247671589, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03885347247671589, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002655659383199005, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002655659383199005, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.041509131859914894, "bench_c_m1d": -0.041509131859914894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030573058941305686, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030573058941305686, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019406992905708353, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019406992905708353, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02863235965073485, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02863235965073485, "ret_p1w": -0.27940534669308115, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.27940534669308115, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1666226875195883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1666226875195883, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11278265917349284, "bench_c_p1w": -0.11278265917349284, "ret_p1m": -0.36920856056574103, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.36920856056574103, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20801154560521484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20801154560521484, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.16119701496052619, "bench_c_p1m": -0.16119701496052619, "ret_p3m": -0.15474806625969395, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15474806625969395, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14071203234356422, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14071203234356422, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014036033916129731, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014036033916129731, "ret_p6m": -0.19755210287988945, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19755210287988945, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3223596443688719, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3223596443688719, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12480754148898243, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12480754148898243, "ret_p1y": 0.052333486580959265, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.052333486580959265, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24087480638619008, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24087480638619008, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29320829296714934, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29320829296714934, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15474806625969395, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14071203234356422, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14071203234356422, "price_path": [0.2021, 0.1964, 0.2192, 0.2178, 0.2202, 0.2182, 0.2407, 0.2313, 0.2478, 0.2486, 0.2533, 0.2529, 0.2649, 0.2779, 0.2773, 0.2773, 0.2769, 0.2715, 0.2675, 0.2747, 0.2747, 0.2862, 0.2824, 0.2924, 0.289, 0.2677, 0.2771, 0.2699, 0.2703, 0.2705, 0.2611, 0.2633, 0.2552, 0.2552, 0.2327, 0.2208, 0.2161, 0.2021, 0.1688, 0.1741, 0.1618, 0.1711, 0.1346, 0.1197, 0.1238, 0.166, 0.1541, 0.1461, 0.1403, 0.1531, 0.1686, 0.165, 0.1588, 0.1588, 0.1493, 0.1645, 0.1633, 0.1495, 0.0964, 0.048, 0.0163, -0.038, -0.0389, 0.0, -0.0306, -0.0076, -0.0439, -0.0977, -0.2794, -0.2452, -0.2851, -0.3743, -0.3166, -0.4096, -0.4055, -0.4909, -0.4563, -0.451, -0.4884, -0.4063, -0.3783, -0.3403, -0.3851, -0.3788, -0.3692, -0.4005, -0.3455, -0.3525, -0.3182, -0.3037, -0.2572, -0.2639, -0.2639, -0.2663, -0.2698, -0.3041, -0.3338, -0.2631, -0.2861, -0.2987, -0.2737, -0.2503, -0.2485, -0.2322, -0.2147, -0.1565, -0.1752, -0.2218, -0.1949, -0.1943, -0.2153, -0.1949, -0.1582, -0.173, -0.1875, -0.2244, -0.2157, -0.2188, -0.155, -0.1786, -0.1458, -0.1595, -0.1647, -0.1647, -0.1415, -0.1304, -0.1547, -0.1587, -0.1439, -0.12, -0.0942, -0.094, -0.0267, 0.0172, -0.021, -0.0692, -0.1569, -0.1356, -0.133, -0.1081, -0.1385, -0.1278, -0.1411, -0.1371, -0.1362, -0.1841, -0.1685, -0.1973, -0.1866, -0.1679, -0.1881, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.1767, -0.2028, -0.2035, -0.2428, -0.2187, -0.2228, -0.1956, -0.1782, -0.1819, -0.1934, -0.2068, -0.1589, -0.1692, -0.1707, -0.1753, -0.1745, -0.1885, -0.1716, -0.2041, -0.2079, -0.205, -0.1857, -0.1771, -0.1837, -0.1826, -0.1573, -0.1602, -0.1518, -0.1683, -0.1604, -0.1652, -0.1758, -0.1852, -0.2028, -0.2079, -0.1861, -0.1976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1403385993844121606", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-11T16:17:49+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "how can I possibly buy energy stocks/fund when stocks have rallied so much? Answer: many energy stocks are cheaper today than they were on January 1st '21 despite the YTD rally! Cashflow expansion > YTD stock appreciation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: cashflow growth outpaces YTD price gains, leaving valuations cheaper than early 2021.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The question remains the same: how can I possibly buy energy stocks/fund when stocks have rallied so much? Answer: many energy stocks are cheaper today than they were on January 1st '21 despite the YTD rally! Cashflow expansion &gt; YTD stock appreciation: https://t.co/NDyTtdhvU2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003430757327435252, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003430757327435252, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0050803153135067225, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0050803153135067225, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016495579860714704, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016495579860714704, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004333758313973868, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004333758313973868, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0065726476696083, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0065726476696083, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022388893556344325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022388893556344325, "ret_p1w": -0.05399060799414446, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05399060799414446, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03505984900110404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03505984900110404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01893075899304042, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01893075899304042, "ret_p1m": -0.03739083765606932, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03739083765606932, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07085689696669262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07085689696669262, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0334660593106233, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0334660593106233, "ret_p3m": -0.12969335094251555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12969335094251555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19586002414190729, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19586002414190729, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06616667319939173, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06616667319939173, "ret_p6m": 0.03320169541418716, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03320169541418716, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05507248929210551, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05507248929210551, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08827418470629267, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08827418470629267, "ret_p1y": 0.6464388147217006, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6464388147217006, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6604522414352684, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6604522414352684, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.014013426713567756, "bench_c_p1y": -0.014013426713567756, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03739083765606932, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07085689696669262, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07085689696669262, "price_path": [-0.0807, -0.0736, -0.1152, -0.115, -0.1235, -0.1363, -0.1147, -0.1114, -0.0894, -0.1002, -0.108, -0.1141, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1132, -0.1156, -0.1125, -0.1241, -0.1298, -0.1367, -0.1358, -0.1118, -0.119, -0.126, -0.1269, -0.1501, -0.1392, -0.1493, -0.1416, -0.1358, -0.1253, -0.0952, -0.085, -0.1082, -0.0836, -0.0831, -0.0534, -0.0486, -0.0316, -0.0312, -0.0562, -0.0516, -0.0632, -0.0341, -0.0117, -0.0347, -0.0587, -0.0601, -0.0581, -0.0488, -0.0681, -0.0598, -0.059, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0209, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.0023, 0.011, 0.0047, 0.0034, 0.0, -0.0043, 0.0146, 0.0092, -0.0251, -0.054, -0.0137, -0.0071, -0.0044, 0.0042, 0.0095, -0.0246, -0.0294, -0.0173, -0.0002, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0348, -0.0505, -0.056, -0.0359, -0.0374, -0.0447, -0.0731, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1434, -0.1319, -0.1016, -0.1116, -0.1149, -0.093, -0.1014, -0.0932, -0.0845, -0.099, -0.1058, -0.0905, -0.1151, -0.1051, -0.0969, -0.1096, -0.0939, -0.0868, -0.0877, -0.0985, -0.1151, -0.1242, -0.1425, -0.1647, -0.1629, -0.1315, -0.1171, -0.1104, -0.1239, -0.1005, -0.1111, -0.1171, -0.1301, -0.108, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1184, -0.1297, -0.1279, -0.1282, -0.1032, -0.1162, -0.0832, -0.0936, -0.1003, -0.1278, -0.1258, -0.0988, -0.0672, -0.0602, -0.0268, -0.0235, -0.0235, -0.0383, -0.0059, 0.0103, 0.0162, 0.0055, 0.0133, 0.0445, 0.0406, 0.0415, 0.0406, 0.0533, 0.0585, 0.0592, 0.0712, 0.0799, 0.06, 0.0699, 0.0856, 0.0919, 0.0605, 0.0681, 0.0611, 0.0794, 0.0692, 0.0603, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.0855, 0.0899, 0.0611, 0.0651, 0.0626, 0.0714, 0.0731, 0.0567, 0.0504, 0.0094, 0.0273, 0.0589, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0262, 0.0321, 0.0079, -0.0028, 0.0262, 0.0181, 0.0332]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1105840084128092163", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-13T14:36:36+00:00", "symbol": "Oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2019 WTI strip just made a year-to-date high. WTI is up 28% so far this year...some stocks are still down...that are trading at 25% free cash flow yields...make the connection", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies oil-linked equities are undervalued vs WTI's 28% YTD gain; bullish on energy stocks trading at 25% FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO as tradable crude oil proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PSA: 2019 WTI strip just made a year-to-date high. WTI is up 28% so far this year...some stocks are still down...that are trading at 25% free cash flow yields...make the connection... #OOTT https://t.co/wT2DsqBup2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024610274601101656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024610274601101656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018034763377886787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018034763377886787, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006575511223214869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006575511223214869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024610900474342223, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024610900474342223, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0031009411032186796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031009411032186796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006398510557844572, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006398510557844572, "ret_p1w": 0.025430716184401403, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025430716184401403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02027635037863207, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02027635037863207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005154365805769334, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005154365805769334, "ret_p1m": 0.08859728585375493, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08859728585375493, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05966611286786616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05966611286786616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028931172985888765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028931172985888765, "ret_p3m": -0.08859720761959988, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08859720761959988, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12024162483296597, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12024162483296597, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03164441721336608, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03164441721336608, "ret_p6m": -0.0401968652982313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0401968652982313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1086078341147293, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1086078341147293, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.068410968816498, "bench_c_p6m": 0.068410968816498, "ret_p1y": -0.22477439421142353, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22477439421142353, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2977463805150673, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2977463805150673, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07297198630364377, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07297198630364377, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08859728585375493, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05966611286786616, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05966611286786616, "price_path": [-0.1124, -0.1427, -0.1969, -0.178, -0.2026, -0.2149, -0.2379, -0.2379, -0.1879, -0.2108, -0.2182, -0.2075, -0.2075, -0.192, -0.1838, -0.1649, -0.1559, -0.1386, -0.0935, -0.0894, -0.1058, -0.1231, -0.0976, -0.0927, -0.0952, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0935, -0.0837, -0.0771, -0.1017, -0.0845, -0.0648, -0.0689, -0.0459, -0.0566, -0.0738, -0.0714, -0.0919, -0.0911, -0.0968, -0.0845, -0.0697, -0.0582, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0336, -0.0213, -0.0254, -0.0197, -0.0509, -0.0459, -0.0246, -0.0197, -0.0435, -0.032, -0.0304, -0.0361, -0.0312, -0.0377, -0.0271, -0.0246, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0008, 0.0098, 0.0074, 0.0254, 0.0205, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.023, 0.0123, 0.0131, 0.0254, 0.0517, 0.0673, 0.0656, 0.0599, 0.0788, 0.0993, 0.0935, 0.1001, 0.0886, 0.0911, 0.0861, 0.0968, 0.0894, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.1214, 0.1313, 0.1222, 0.1099, 0.0738, 0.0853, 0.0902, 0.0845, 0.0517, 0.0558, 0.0722, 0.0443, 0.0574, 0.0509, 0.0533, 0.0402, 0.0558, 0.064, 0.0779, 0.073, 0.0788, 0.0771, 0.0451, -0.0082, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0041, -0.0353, -0.0894, -0.0984, -0.0845, -0.1165, -0.0927, -0.0788, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.1272, -0.1075, -0.1025, -0.1132, -0.0771, -0.0705, -0.0279, -0.018, -0.0148, -0.0156, 0.0082, 0.0082, -0.0123, 0.0074, -0.0402, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.0197, -0.0213, -0.0123, 0.0279, 0.0295, 0.0271, 0.009, -0.0098, -0.0361, -0.0517, -0.0427, -0.0418, -0.0312, -0.0492, -0.0484, -0.0443, -0.0304, -0.009, -0.0123, -0.0722, -0.0582, -0.0673, -0.0861, -0.1107, -0.1009, -0.0747, -0.0681, -0.0263, -0.0615, -0.0689, -0.0648, -0.0435, -0.0459, -0.0476, -0.0541, -0.082, -0.0829, -0.0632, -0.0451, -0.0336, -0.0599, -0.0599, -0.0796, -0.0394, -0.0402]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1167912231754817539", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-08-31T21:29:09+00:00", "symbol": "oil equity sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sector inflows = multibagger potentials", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WTI to $60+ and oil equities on moderating US supply growth vs global demand driving OPEC call and sector inflows.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I reiterate, a looming bullish catalyst is the realization that US supply growth is moderating BELOW global demand growth = call on OPEC. $60/WTI + sector inflows = multibagger potentials #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Rystad Energy recently revised down US oil production exit for 2019 down from ~13.4 mb/d to ~12.9 mb/d.\n\n#OOTT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00489519280647821, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00489519280647821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009862079318827544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009862079318827544, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0058814007383609646, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0058814007383609646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013986031758710382, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013986031758710382, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026354536140378304, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026354536140378304, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011350578144672552, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011350578144672552, "ret_p1w": 0.0650349659870737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0650349659870737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03961719416376175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03961719416376175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025417771823311952, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025417771823311952, "ret_p1m": -0.004791808396647612, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004791808396647612, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00014939677303960064, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00014939677303960064, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0046424116236080115, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0046424116236080115, "ret_p3m": 0.03896149044193442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03896149044193442, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04710030525623976, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04710030525623976, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08606179569817418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08606179569817418, "ret_p6m": -0.12171503753017454, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12171503753017454, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20335891228571046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20335891228571046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08164387475553592, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08164387475553592, "ret_p1y": -0.31111849859332763, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.31111849859332763, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49785903073364446, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49785903073364446, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18674053214031683, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18674053214031683, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004791808396647612, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00014939677303960064, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00014939677303960064, "price_path": [0.0566, 0.0615, 0.0646, 0.0667, 0.0516, 0.0639, 0.057, 0.0658, 0.0805, 0.0793, 0.1032, 0.1112, 0.1012, 0.0925, 0.1093, 0.101, 0.1138, 0.1149, 0.097, 0.1014, 0.1014, 0.103, 0.1045, 0.1054, 0.1196, 0.1219, 0.1266, 0.1164, 0.1045, 0.092, 0.0921, 0.0972, 0.1023, 0.1052, 0.11, 0.0974, 0.0918, 0.0874, 0.0997, 0.0962, 0.0713, 0.0559, 0.0245, 0.0233, 0.0156, 0.0448, 0.0332, 0.021, 0.0304, -0.01, -0.0161, -0.0031, 0.0189, 0.0103, 0.0168, 0.0122, -0.0217, -0.0175, -0.0236, -0.0096, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0, 0.014, 0.0266, 0.032, 0.0526, 0.065, 0.0661, 0.0594, 0.0678, 0.1037, 0.0883, 0.083, 0.0802, 0.0811, 0.0815, 0.0644, 0.0661, 0.0522, 0.052, 0.0444, 0.0203, -0.0048, 0.006, 0.0123, 0.0033, -0.0138, -0.0048, 0.0077, 0.0213, 0.0208, 0.025, 0.0107, 0.0114, 0.0061, 0.0241, 0.0374, 0.046, 0.0416, 0.0501, 0.0441, 0.0483, 0.027, 0.0226, 0.0458, 0.0799, 0.0813, 0.0593, 0.0751, 0.0707, 0.0647, 0.0593, 0.0547, 0.0518, 0.06, 0.0471, 0.0316, 0.042, 0.0591, 0.0555, 0.0566, 0.0469, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0234, 0.0388, 0.0338, 0.0536, 0.0524, 0.0545, 0.0527, 0.0721, 0.064, 0.0783, 0.079, 0.0831, 0.0827, 0.0931, 0.1043, 0.1038, 0.1038, 0.1034, 0.0988, 0.0953, 0.1016, 0.1016, 0.1115, 0.1082, 0.1168, 0.1139, 0.0955, 0.1036, 0.0974, 0.0977, 0.0979, 0.0898, 0.0917, 0.0847, 0.0847, 0.0652, 0.055, 0.0509, 0.0388, 0.01, 0.0146, 0.004, 0.012, -0.0195, -0.0324, -0.0289, 0.0076, -0.0026, -0.0096, -0.0146, -0.0036, 0.0098, 0.0067, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0069, 0.0063, 0.0052, -0.0067, -0.0525, -0.0944, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1161807895824084993", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-15T01:12:42+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a Conservative win in October would be a very meaningful positive catalyst for CDN E&P stocks that are now trading at their lowest valuations in history", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P stocks on a potential Conservative election win in October; sector at historically low valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Political leanings aside, a Conservative win in October would be a very meaningful positive catalyst for CDN E&amp;P stocks that are now trading at their lowest valuations in history...partially due to @JustinTrudeau #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I get that we live in partisan times.  \n\nBut the headline below is not a parody.\n\nIt is a very real question whether, in breaking Canada’s ethics laws Justin Trudeau has ethically disqualified himself from high office.\n https://t.co/XabCpi4F9j", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00774191643817157, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00774191643817157, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010376542015180679, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010376542015180679, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026346255770091087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026346255770091087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009032520694687296, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009032520694687296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005722685340849631, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005722685340849631, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014755206035536927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014755206035536927, "ret_p1w": 0.024516353571030436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024516353571030436, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002569421286623408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002569421286623408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027085774857653844, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027085774857653844, "ret_p1m": 0.12645156077815356, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12645156077815356, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06869670709195774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06869670709195774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05775485368619582, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05775485368619582, "ret_p3m": 0.12241963632662944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12241963632662944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03186301319533924, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03186301319533924, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0905566231312902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0905566231312902, "ret_p6m": 0.08965850221386829, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08965850221386829, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08854262115873679, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08854262115873679, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17820112337260507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17820112337260507, "ret_p1y": -0.3488375200479481, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3488375200479481, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5269634360822117, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5269634360822117, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17812591603426364, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17812591603426364, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12645156077815356, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06869670709195774, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06869670709195774, "price_path": [0.2456, 0.2533, 0.2212, 0.1726, 0.1764, 0.1956, 0.1828, 0.1982, 0.1816, 0.1688, 0.156, 0.1598, 0.1304, 0.138, 0.1432, 0.138, 0.1457, 0.1316, 0.1432, 0.1406, 0.1572, 0.1675, 0.1574, 0.1781, 0.169, 0.1677, 0.16, 0.1781, 0.1484, 0.151, 0.151, 0.1355, 0.1406, 0.1484, 0.1458, 0.1368, 0.1535, 0.1768, 0.1781, 0.1768, 0.1716, 0.1523, 0.1381, 0.1187, 0.1277, 0.1342, 0.1394, 0.1277, 0.0942, 0.0852, 0.0658, 0.0916, 0.1045, 0.08, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.031, 0.0258, 0.0426, 0.0465, 0.0323, 0.0426, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0348, 0.0206, 0.031, 0.0245, -0.0077, -0.0065, -0.0116, 0.0194, 0.0465, 0.0374, 0.0374, 0.031, 0.04, 0.0671, 0.0632, 0.0865, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1174, 0.1265, 0.2284, 0.2013, 0.1845, 0.1794, 0.1858, 0.1845, 0.164, 0.1575, 0.151, 0.1458, 0.1354, 0.0977, 0.0731, 0.077, 0.0744, 0.0731, 0.0328, 0.0289, 0.0393, 0.0601, 0.0601, 0.0549, 0.0497, 0.0523, 0.0419, 0.0523, 0.0549, 0.0601, 0.051, 0.0627, 0.0536, 0.0588, 0.0458, 0.025, 0.0575, 0.0912, 0.1042, 0.086, 0.1328, 0.1354, 0.1328, 0.1224, 0.1172, 0.112, 0.125, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.1016, 0.112, 0.1055, 0.1159, 0.1029, 0.112, 0.112, 0.0951, 0.0899, 0.0718, 0.0977, 0.0899, 0.1393, 0.1393, 0.1471, 0.138, 0.164, 0.1627, 0.1705, 0.1913, 0.1887, 0.2082, 0.2017, 0.2199, 0.2212, 0.2212, 0.2212, 0.2212, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2167, 0.2259, 0.2521, 0.2507, 0.2272, 0.2377, 0.2298, 0.2193, 0.2232, 0.2115, 0.2101, 0.1997, 0.1984, 0.1813, 0.1722, 0.1656, 0.1447, 0.1145, 0.1198, 0.1224, 0.1211, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.0818, 0.1237, 0.108, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1364594692021760011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-24T15:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil stocks remain fundamentally mispriced...I can still buy names at <3X 2022 EV/CF at $60WTI and 20% FCF yields. The re-rate/multiple expansion has yet to begin...early innings still", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks; still fundamentally mispriced at <3X EV/CF and 20% FCF yields, multiple expansion hasn't started yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's important to reflect on just how far we've come in a year. Despite strong YTD gains oil stocks remain fundamentally mispriced...I can still buy names at &lt;3X 2022 EV/CF at $60WTI and 20% FCF yields.  The re-rate/multiple expansion has yet to begin...early innings still.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This week to me has felt a lot like 2009 &amp; 2015 with energy stocks plunging 5%+ a day and continuing to decouple from the oil price.  Base case remains that demand hit to be a short-term event...is it rational then to impair the value of a 10+ year asset by 35% (or more) YTD??? https://t.co/bAkK3toLxM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034201861715937754, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034201861715937754, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023302582482823464, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023302582482823464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01089927923311429, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01089927923311429, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0192882308035619, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0192882308035619, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004807480291234234, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004807480291234234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.024095711094796135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024095711094796135, "ret_p1w": -0.00874938424400662, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00874938424400662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017668916932425338, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017668916932425338, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.026418301176431958, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026418301176431958, "ret_p1m": -0.011093246001817159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011093246001817159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009067454097922534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009067454097922534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002025791903894625, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002025791903894625, "ret_p3m": 0.05863860119791231, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05863860119791231, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014804764739430265, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014804764739430265, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07344336593734258, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07344336593734258, "ret_p6m": -0.07041619986344305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07041619986344305, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20052910701121685, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20052910701121685, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1301129071477738, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1301129071477738, "ret_p1y": 0.46549419162593986, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46549419162593986, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3262256422418861, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3262256422418861, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13926854938405375, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13926854938405375, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011093246001817159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.009067454097922534, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009067454097922534, "price_path": [-0.2365, -0.2787, -0.2754, -0.2518, -0.244, -0.2027, -0.2214, -0.2098, -0.208, -0.1837, -0.1931, -0.2214, -0.2061, -0.21, -0.2137, -0.2269, -0.2418, -0.2545, -0.238, -0.242, -0.242, -0.2468, -0.2517, -0.24, -0.2464, -0.2464, -0.2452, -0.2114, -0.1873, -0.1754, -0.1764, -0.1635, -0.1342, -0.141, -0.1155, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1328, -0.1296, -0.1591, -0.1635, -0.172, -0.1897, -0.2006, -0.1913, -0.2181, -0.2126, -0.204, -0.17, -0.1609, -0.1537, -0.1183, -0.1277, -0.111, -0.1247, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.0895, -0.076, -0.0968, -0.0817, -0.0499, -0.0342, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0426, -0.0177, -0.0231, -0.0087, 0.0149, 0.0529, 0.0549, 0.0364, 0.0626, 0.063, 0.0652, 0.0531, 0.0231, 0.031, -0.0153, -0.0151, -0.0246, -0.0388, -0.0147, -0.0111, 0.0134, 0.0014, -0.0073, -0.0141, 0.011, 0.011, -0.0131, -0.0157, -0.0123, -0.0252, -0.0316, -0.0392, -0.0382, -0.0115, -0.0195, -0.0274, -0.0284, -0.0541, -0.042, -0.0533, -0.0447, -0.0382, -0.0266, 0.007, 0.0182, -0.0075, 0.0199, 0.0205, 0.0534, 0.0588, 0.0777, 0.0781, 0.0504, 0.0554, 0.0426, 0.0749, 0.0998, 0.0743, 0.0476, 0.046, 0.0482, 0.0586, 0.0371, 0.0464, 0.0472, 0.0492, 0.0492, 0.0896, 0.1099, 0.1129, 0.1203, 0.1155, 0.1252, 0.1181, 0.1167, 0.1129, 0.1081, 0.1292, 0.1231, 0.085, 0.0528, 0.0977, 0.105, 0.108, 0.1176, 0.1235, 0.0855, 0.0802, 0.0936, 0.1127, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.0741, 0.0567, 0.0506, 0.0729, 0.0713, 0.0632, 0.0315, 0.0171, -0.0117, -0.0467, -0.0339, -0.0002, -0.0113, -0.015, 0.0094, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0189, 0.0027, -0.0048, 0.0122, -0.0152, -0.004, 0.0051, -0.0091, 0.0084, 0.0163, 0.0153, 0.0033, -0.0152, -0.0253, -0.0456, -0.0704]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1162023419208245249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-15T15:29:07+00:00", "symbol": "ARX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "dividend yields of some which generally are all sustainable down to ~$50/bbl: ARX 10.5%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian oil producers at 52-week/all-time lows; highlights sustainably high dividend yields down to ~$50/bbl vs 2% on 30yr Treasuries.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "ARC Resources TSX ticker, context confirms Canadian E&P with dividends", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "52 week low watch (with oil +20% YTD): ARX (all time low), WCP (9 yr low), TVE, PGF (all time low), TOG (all time low), KEL (all time low), NVA (all time low), BNE (all time low), CFW, ATH (all time low), IMO, HSE (16 yr low), BTE (all time low),VET (15 yr low),TCW. Brutal. #OOTT https://t.co/ibb2HSvIaG\n\n---\n\nAddendum to my 52 week low tweet...dividend yields of some which generally are all sustainable down to ~$50/bbl: ARX 10.5%, WCP 9.4%, TOG 9.3%, HSE 5.8%, VET 14.2%. 2020 WTI strip $51.84 and 2021 strip $50.66 at the moment and 30 year US treasury paying you 2%! . #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029361058372319615, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029361058372319615, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031995683949328724, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023141925139509745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026346255770091087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00621913323280987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020725004845949524, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020725004845949524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0059697988104125965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0075762175146600885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014755206035536927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013148787331289435, "ret_p1w": 0.029361058372319615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029361058372319615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0022752835146657713, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0005763839254711023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027085774857653844, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028784674446848513, "ret_p1m": 0.20388740383223625, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20388740383223625, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14613255014604043, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11859934629314584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05775485368619582, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08528805753909041, "ret_p3m": 0.1477557539832013, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1477557539832013, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.057199130851911084, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07118988896648304, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0905566231312902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07656586501671825, "ret_p6m": 0.25097955898049684, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25097955898049684, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07277843560789177, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24440276677648454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17820112337260507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006576792204012305, "ret_p1y": 0.05674829164405937, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05674829164405937, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12137762439020428, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3585363097456439, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17812591603426364, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3017880181015845, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20388740383223625, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14613255014604043, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11859934629314584, "price_path": [0.3823, 0.4077, 0.3806, 0.3452, 0.3333, 0.3468, 0.3232, 0.3468, 0.3026, 0.2516, 0.238, 0.2516, 0.2159, 0.2261, 0.2057, 0.1547, 0.1428, 0.1224, 0.153, 0.136, 0.1462, 0.1649, 0.1547, 0.1649, 0.1479, 0.1411, 0.1292, 0.1819, 0.1082, 0.098, 0.098, 0.0688, 0.0723, 0.0997, 0.1117, 0.0997, 0.0808, 0.11, 0.1134, 0.0962, 0.1237, 0.1271, 0.0945, 0.074, 0.0877, 0.0945, 0.11, 0.098, 0.0706, 0.0534, 0.0397, 0.0967, 0.1658, 0.1986, 0.1485, 0.1485, 0.0743, 0.0535, 0.0725, 0.0812, 0.0725, 0.0829, 0.0294, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.0501, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0294, -0.0225, -0.0397, -0.0518, -0.0052, 0.021, -0.0209, -0.0209, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.0279, 0.0541, 0.1063, 0.1081, 0.1237, 0.1307, 0.2039, 0.2509, 0.2718, 0.2213, 0.1899, 0.1899, 0.176, 0.1429, 0.1342, 0.1325, 0.1447, 0.1079, 0.0605, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0025, -0.008, -0.0449, -0.0466, -0.0414, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0185, -0.0027, -0.0133, -0.0326, -0.0185, -0.0273, -0.0203, -0.0133, -0.0045, -0.0133, 0.0043, 0.0078, -0.0117, 0.0362, 0.107, 0.0911, 0.0858, 0.146, 0.1761, 0.1655, 0.1478, 0.1424, 0.146, 0.1548, 0.1247, 0.1052, 0.1159, 0.1336, 0.1336, 0.1548, 0.1495, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.1884, 0.1634, 0.1438, 0.2312, 0.2491, 0.3347, 0.3383, 0.3829, 0.3668, 0.3775, 0.3436, 0.39, 0.4204, 0.4097, 0.4471, 0.4097, 0.4596, 0.4525, 0.4525, 0.4525, 0.4578, 0.4507, 0.4686, 0.4686, 0.4417, 0.483, 0.4776, 0.4327, 0.3842, 0.4148, 0.3914, 0.3932, 0.3932, 0.3788, 0.3842, 0.386, 0.3878, 0.3771, 0.3268, 0.3286, 0.3106, 0.2657, 0.2819, 0.3088, 0.2727, 0.2691, 0.2799, 0.2347, 0.2889, 0.2817, 0.251]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1162023419208245249", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-08-15T15:29:07+00:00", "symbol": "WCP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WCP 9.4%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian oil producers at 52-week/all-time lows; highlights sustainably high dividend yields down to ~$50/bbl vs 2% on 30yr Treasuries.", "resolved_tickers": ["WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Whitecap Resources on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "52 week low watch (with oil +20% YTD): ARX (all time low), WCP (9 yr low), TVE, PGF (all time low), TOG (all time low), KEL (all time low), NVA (all time low), BNE (all time low), CFW, ATH (all time low), IMO, HSE (16 yr low), BTE (all time low),VET (15 yr low),TCW. Brutal. #OOTT https://t.co/ibb2HSvIaG\n\n---\n\nAddendum to my 52 week low tweet...dividend yields of some which generally are all sustainable down to ~$50/bbl: ARX 10.5%, WCP 9.4%, TOG 9.3%, HSE 5.8%, VET 14.2%. 2020 WTI strip $51.84 and 2021 strip $50.66 at the moment and 30 year US treasury paying you 2%! . #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021857905977018532, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021857905977018532, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02449253155402764, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015638772744208662, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026346255770091087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00621913323280987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00546467688210539, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00546467688210539, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009290529153431537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007684110449184045, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014755206035536927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013148787331289435, "ret_p1w": 0.057377053286636226, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057377053286636226, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030291278428982382, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028592378839787713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027085774857653844, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028784674446848513, "ret_p1m": 0.22545206246690475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22545206246690475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16769720878070893, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14016400492781433, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05775485368619582, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08528805753909041, "ret_p3m": 0.16428296968783074, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16428296968783074, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07372634655654053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08771710467111249, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0905566231312902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07656586501671825, "ret_p6m": 0.3418379273083052, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3418379273083052, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16363680393570013, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3352611351042929, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17820112337260507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006576792204012305, "ret_p1y": -0.3281437722712309, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3281437722712309, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5062696883054946, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.026355754169646417, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17812591603426364, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3017880181015845, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22545206246690475, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16769720878070893, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14016400492781433, "price_path": [0.3607, 0.3714, 0.3178, 0.2642, 0.2776, 0.2884, 0.275, 0.2776, 0.245, 0.2181, 0.1965, 0.2154, 0.1507, 0.1588, 0.1642, 0.1399, 0.1292, 0.0995, 0.1372, 0.1157, 0.0833, 0.113, 0.1076, 0.1453, 0.1588, 0.1723, 0.1696, 0.2073, 0.1609, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1419, 0.1392, 0.1419, 0.1555, 0.1555, 0.1094, 0.1908, 0.2043, 0.2043, 0.1772, 0.1501, 0.1311, 0.1148, 0.1392, 0.1446, 0.1474, 0.1365, 0.1229, 0.1067, 0.085, 0.123, 0.1585, 0.1257, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.0765, 0.0437, 0.0656, 0.0683, 0.0574, 0.0847, 0.0219, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0519, 0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0273, -0.0574, 0.0109, 0.0354, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0272, 0.0602, 0.1043, 0.1401, 0.1676, 0.2007, 0.1841, 0.1952, 0.2255, 0.3659, 0.3218, 0.2971, 0.3053, 0.3329, 0.3301, 0.286, 0.3026, 0.2998, 0.2968, 0.2746, 0.1832, 0.1416, 0.1416, 0.1194, 0.1056, 0.0612, 0.0335, 0.0391, 0.0529, 0.0529, 0.0502, 0.0335, 0.0391, 0.0197, 0.0335, 0.0363, 0.0668, 0.0446, 0.0695, 0.0502, 0.0585, 0.0386, 0.0247, 0.0721, 0.1252, 0.1531, 0.1308, 0.1727, 0.1727, 0.1782, 0.1643, 0.1615, 0.1475, 0.1615, 0.1308, 0.1029, 0.1336, 0.1503, 0.1447, 0.1782, 0.1559, 0.181, 0.1779, 0.1526, 0.1526, 0.1358, 0.192, 0.2061, 0.2482, 0.2848, 0.296, 0.2848, 0.3241, 0.3438, 0.3747, 0.445, 0.4422, 0.5097, 0.5012, 0.5406, 0.5547, 0.5547, 0.5547, 0.5603, 0.5628, 0.5685, 0.5685, 0.5487, 0.5628, 0.5996, 0.5967, 0.5402, 0.5657, 0.5261, 0.512, 0.4922, 0.4922, 0.4809, 0.5063, 0.5091, 0.4978, 0.4667, 0.4413, 0.3989, 0.3452, 0.365, 0.3876, 0.3845, 0.3703, 0.339, 0.3276, 0.3873, 0.3703, 0.3418]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1162023419208245249", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2019-08-15T15:29:07+00:00", "symbol": "VET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "VET 14.2%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian oil producers at 52-week/all-time lows; highlights sustainably high dividend yields down to ~$50/bbl vs 2% on 30yr Treasuries.", "resolved_tickers": ["VET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "52 week low watch (with oil +20% YTD): ARX (all time low), WCP (9 yr low), TVE, PGF (all time low), TOG (all time low), KEL (all time low), NVA (all time low), BNE (all time low), CFW, ATH (all time low), IMO, HSE (16 yr low), BTE (all time low),VET (15 yr low),TCW. Brutal. #OOTT https://t.co/ibb2HSvIaG\n\n---\n\nAddendum to my 52 week low tweet...dividend yields of some which generally are all sustainable down to ~$50/bbl: ARX 10.5%, WCP 9.4%, TOG 9.3%, HSE 5.8%, VET 14.2%. 2020 WTI strip $51.84 and 2021 strip $50.66 at the moment and 30 year US treasury paying you 2%! . #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008196628610571244, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008196628610571244, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010831254187580353, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019774953777613735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026346255770091087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00621913323280987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025273175525796665, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025273175525796665, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010517969490259738, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01212438819450723, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014755206035536927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013148787331289435, "ret_p1w": 0.010928973753067561, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010928973753067561, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016156801104586282, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01785570069378095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027085774857653844, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028784674446848513, "ret_p1m": 0.13283101207668557, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13283101207668557, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07507615839048976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04754295453759516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05775485368619582, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08528805753909041, "ret_p3m": 0.04258933760523642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04258933760523642, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04796728552605378, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03397652741148183, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0905566231312902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07656586501671825, "ret_p6m": 0.03943585559008356, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03943585559008356, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13876526778252152, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03285906338607125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17820112337260507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006576792204012305, "ret_p1y": -0.6849031096352878, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6849031096352878, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8630290256695514, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38311509153370327, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17812591603426364, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3017880181015845, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13283101207668557, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07507615839048976, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04754295453759516, "price_path": [0.5154, 0.5288, 0.4848, 0.4243, 0.4462, 0.4462, 0.4675, 0.4595, 0.428, 0.4059, 0.4193, 0.4434, 0.4025, 0.4267, 0.4374, 0.4153, 0.3817, 0.3462, 0.3623, 0.3375, 0.371, 0.3878, 0.4032, 0.4522, 0.4441, 0.4475, 0.4461, 0.4964, 0.4603, 0.469, 0.4758, 0.4116, 0.4325, 0.4325, 0.4677, 0.4657, 0.463, 0.4805, 0.469, 0.4805, 0.4846, 0.4569, 0.4278, 0.3568, 0.3507, 0.3453, 0.3501, 0.3291, 0.2906, 0.248, 0.152, 0.1865, 0.2254, 0.1926, 0.1482, 0.1216, 0.0635, 0.0642, 0.0758, 0.0642, 0.026, 0.0512, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0253, 0.0444, 0.0232, 0.028, 0.0109, -0.0376, -0.041, -0.0485, 0.0068, 0.005, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0254, 0.0063, 0.0395, 0.0506, 0.0879, 0.1038, 0.1059, 0.1045, 0.1328, 0.2642, 0.2019, 0.1826, 0.1909, 0.2054, 0.2061, 0.1722, 0.1805, 0.1784, 0.1842, 0.1668, 0.1102, 0.0586, 0.0851, 0.0676, 0.0432, 0.0139, 0.0076, 0.0306, 0.0572, 0.0467, 0.0586, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0292, 0.0523, 0.0746, 0.0865, 0.0662, 0.09, 0.0774, 0.0711, 0.0362, -0.0655, -0.0167, 0.0758, 0.0829, 0.0461, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0624, 0.0426, 0.0327, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0299, 0.0143, 0.0313, 0.0595, 0.0468, 0.0638, 0.0397, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.0304, 0.0011, -0.0039, 0.0361, 0.024, 0.0554, 0.0647, 0.0547, 0.044, 0.0769, 0.0633, 0.0947, 0.119, 0.1176, 0.134, 0.119, 0.1712, 0.1619, 0.1619, 0.194, 0.1726, 0.1651, 0.1817, 0.1817, 0.1665, 0.1846, 0.2178, 0.2149, 0.1824, 0.1925, 0.1817, 0.181, 0.1947, 0.173, 0.186, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.173, 0.1543, 0.16, 0.1427, 0.0936, 0.1153, 0.1283, 0.1242, 0.054, 0.0183, 0.0219, 0.0635, 0.0628, 0.0394]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1194981875309305856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-14T14:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Recipe for a rally = shale growth rate imploding + '20 offshore peaking + lowest valuations in history (15%+ FCF yields at spot) + massive sector underweights + juicy sustainable dividend yields + share buybacks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil & gas equities on collapsing shale growth, peak offshore, historically low valuations, underweights, and buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Recipe for a rally = shale growth rate imploding + '20 offshore peaking + lowest valuations in history (15%+ FCF yields at spot) + massive sector underweights + juicy sustainable dividend yields + share buybacks (2019 = past 10 years combined) + huge lag b/w stocks and WTI #OOTT https://t.co/YcPbqcLDgZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002683662244982399, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002683662244982399, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0041375374549844635, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0041375374549844635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014538752100020647, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014538752100020647, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077153024321405805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0077153024321405805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004788827659822914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004788827659822914, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007236419666158289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007236419666158289, "ret_p1w": 0.006876695734280958, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006876695734280958, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004550885671244176, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004550885671244176, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023258100630367817, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0023258100630367817, "ret_p1m": 0.011573169383624071, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011573169383624071, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01352777851352549, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01352777851352549, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02510094789714956, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02510094789714956, "ret_p3m": -0.05266852193368998, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05266852193368998, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14104952114739833, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14104952114739833, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08838099921370834, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08838099921370834, "ret_p6m": -0.3084223795633325, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3084223795633325, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2633758812495828, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2633758812495828, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04504649831374974, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04504649831374974, "ret_p1y": -0.4547318067953031, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4547318067953031, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5420698015055866, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5420698015055866, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08733799471028347, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08733799471028347, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011573169383624071, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01352777851352549, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01352777851352549, "price_path": [-0.0313, -0.0395, -0.0333, -0.0377, -0.0699, -0.0659, -0.0717, -0.0584, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0493, -0.036, -0.024, -0.0189, 0.0007, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.0072, 0.0152, 0.0493, 0.0346, 0.0297, 0.027, 0.0278, 0.0282, 0.0119, 0.0136, 0.0003, 0.0002, -0.007, -0.03, -0.0538, -0.0436, -0.0376, -0.0461, -0.0624, -0.0538, -0.0419, -0.029, -0.0295, -0.0255, -0.0391, -0.0384, -0.0434, -0.0263, -0.0138, -0.0055, -0.0097, -0.0017, -0.0074, -0.0034, -0.0236, -0.0278, -0.0057, 0.0267, 0.028, 0.007, 0.0221, 0.0179, 0.0122, 0.007, 0.0027, 0.0, 0.0077, -0.0045, -0.0193, -0.0094, 0.0069, 0.0035, 0.0045, -0.0047, -0.0022, -0.0022, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.027, -0.0124, -0.0171, 0.0017, 0.0005, 0.0025, 0.0008, 0.0193, 0.0116, 0.0252, 0.0258, 0.0297, 0.0294, 0.0392, 0.0499, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.049, 0.0446, 0.0413, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0567, 0.0536, 0.0618, 0.059, 0.0415, 0.0492, 0.0433, 0.0436, 0.0438, 0.0361, 0.0379, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0127, 0.003, -0.0009, -0.0124, -0.0398, -0.0354, -0.0455, -0.0378, -0.0678, -0.0801, -0.0767, -0.042, -0.0518, -0.0584, -0.0631, -0.0527, -0.0399, -0.0429, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0558, -0.0432, -0.0443, -0.0556, -0.0992, -0.139, -0.165, -0.2097, -0.2104, -0.1784, -0.2036, -0.1847, -0.2145, -0.2587, -0.408, -0.3799, -0.4127, -0.486, -0.4385, -0.5149, -0.5116, -0.5817, -0.5533, -0.5489, -0.5797, -0.5123, -0.4893, -0.458, -0.4948, -0.4896, -0.4818, -0.5074, -0.4623, -0.468, -0.4399, -0.4279, -0.3897, -0.3953, -0.3953, -0.3972, -0.4001, -0.4283, -0.4527, -0.3946, -0.4135, -0.4238, -0.4033, -0.384, -0.3826, -0.3692, -0.3548, -0.307, -0.3223, -0.3607, -0.3386, -0.338, -0.3553, -0.3386, -0.3084]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1222962590021816321", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-30T19:19:37+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Epic opportunity in energy stocks once fear subsides and rationality returns", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long energy stocks; coronavirus panic selloff is an overreaction and presents an epic buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global energy stocks proxy (context is predominantly US/Canada)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Coronavirus panic watch: Purell/hand sanitizer is completely sold out at Shopper's Drug Marts in downtown Toronto.  The 1 remaining location that has some is rationing them...1 per customer.  Epic opportunity in energy stocks once fear subsides and rationality returns #OOTT https://t.co/9YCj0yGRxD\n\n---\n\nCoronavirus Panic Watch Part 2: the stock market is an emotional beast and fear makes us do stupid things in the short term. It’s natural. Selling energy stocks down 20%+ on a short-term demand hit will in time be regarded as a poor decision. Lysol wipes shelf this morning #OOTT https://t.co/NA4OUJpK4A", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007976772210457117, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007976772210457117, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004741944750724092, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004741944750724092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003234827459733025, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003234827459733025, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03118231909815361, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03118231909815361, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01302429968246277, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01302429968246277, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01815801941569084, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01815801941569084, "ret_p1w": -0.014503466804810294, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014503466804810294, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03372960500965938, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03372960500965938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019226138204849086, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019226138204849086, "ret_p1m": -0.1792968773823408, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1792968773823408, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08341056655620627, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08341056655620627, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09588631082613452, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09588631082613452, "ret_p3m": -0.3294128710352916, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3294128710352916, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20651898146762548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20651898146762548, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12289388956766611, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12289388956766611, "ret_p6m": -0.2958463276479433, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2958463276479433, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2851872542279994, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2851872542279994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010659073419943876, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010659073419943876, "ret_p1y": -0.1733658016306736, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1733658016306736, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3413226659779569, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3413226659779569, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1679568643472833, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1679568643472833, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1792968773823408, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08341056655620627, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08341056655620627, "price_path": [0.067, 0.0684, 0.0467, 0.0623, 0.058, 0.0521, 0.0467, 0.0421, 0.0393, 0.0473, 0.0346, 0.0193, 0.0296, 0.0465, 0.043, 0.044, 0.0344, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0113, 0.0264, 0.0215, 0.0411, 0.0399, 0.0419, 0.0402, 0.0594, 0.0514, 0.0655, 0.0662, 0.0702, 0.0698, 0.0801, 0.0912, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.0903, 0.0857, 0.0823, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0983, 0.095, 0.1035, 0.1006, 0.0825, 0.0905, 0.0843, 0.0847, 0.0848, 0.0769, 0.0787, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0526, 0.0424, 0.0384, 0.0265, -0.002, 0.0025, -0.008, 0.0, -0.0312, -0.0439, -0.0404, -0.0044, -0.0145, -0.0214, -0.0263, -0.0154, -0.0022, -0.0053, -0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0187, -0.0056, -0.0067, -0.0185, -0.0638, -0.1051, -0.1322, -0.1786, -0.1793, -0.1461, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1836, -0.2295, -0.3847, -0.3555, -0.3896, -0.4657, -0.4164, -0.4958, -0.4924, -0.5653, -0.5357, -0.5312, -0.5631, -0.4931, -0.4692, -0.4367, -0.4749, -0.4695, -0.4614, -0.4881, -0.4412, -0.4471, -0.4178, -0.4054, -0.3657, -0.3715, -0.3715, -0.3735, -0.3765, -0.4058, -0.4312, -0.3707, -0.3904, -0.4011, -0.3798, -0.3598, -0.3583, -0.3444, -0.3294, -0.2797, -0.2957, -0.3355, -0.3125, -0.312, -0.33, -0.3125, -0.2812, -0.2938, -0.3062, -0.3378, -0.3303, -0.3329, -0.2784, -0.2986, -0.2707, -0.2823, -0.2868, -0.2868, -0.267, -0.2575, -0.2783, -0.2816, -0.269, -0.2486, -0.2265, -0.2264, -0.1689, -0.1315, -0.1641, -0.2052, -0.2801, -0.2619, -0.2597, -0.2384, -0.2644, -0.2553, -0.2666, -0.2632, -0.2624, -0.3034, -0.29, -0.3146, -0.3054, -0.2895, -0.3067, -0.299, -0.299, -0.297, -0.3193, -0.3199, -0.3535, -0.3328, -0.3364, -0.3131, -0.2983, -0.3015, -0.3112, -0.3227, -0.2818, -0.2906, -0.2919, -0.2958]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1169698185817862151", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-05T19:45:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canada energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are for the first time in recent memory 100% invested in Canada...the land of peak pessimism, lowest valuations in history, growing free cash flow, low decline rates, & long inventory life assets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "100% allocated to Canadian energy: lowest-ever valuations, FCF growth, long inventory life, re-rate potential as US shale falters.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF, best Canadian energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are for the first time in recent memory 100% invested in Canada...the land of peak pessimism, lowest valuations in history, growing free cash flow, low decline rates, &amp; long inventory life assets. Growing US anti-oil sentiment + faltering shale models=re-rate potential #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025393134238844817, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025393134238844817, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012700999610888553, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012700999610888553, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012692134627956264, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012692134627956264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0036280690162323603, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0036280690162323603, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004400088407276681, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004400088407276681, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007720193910443207, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007720193910443207, "ret_p1w": 0.04715834506470862, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04715834506470862, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035506851824123276, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035506851824123276, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011651493240585342, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011651493240585342, "ret_p1m": 0.006799744641017735, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006799744641017735, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013886927930533477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013886927930533477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007087183289515742, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007087183289515742, "ret_p3m": 0.004364675864958034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.004364675864958034, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03982132194463506, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03982132194463506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04418599780959309, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04418599780959309, "ret_p6m": -0.09422707132819363, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09422707132819363, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09849604424242542, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09849604424242542, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004268972914231783, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004268972914231783, "ret_p1y": -0.32408488174504335, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.32408488174504335, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49850398526299544, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49850398526299544, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1744191035179521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1744191035179521, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006799744641017735, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013886927930533477, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013886927930533477, "price_path": [0.0665, 0.0737, 0.0605, 0.0713, 0.0689, 0.0845, 0.0941, 0.0846, 0.104, 0.0955, 0.0943, 0.0871, 0.104, 0.0762, 0.0786, 0.0786, 0.0641, 0.0689, 0.0762, 0.0738, 0.0653, 0.081, 0.1028, 0.104, 0.1028, 0.0979, 0.0798, 0.0665, 0.0484, 0.0568, 0.0629, 0.0677, 0.0568, 0.0254, 0.0169, -0.0012, 0.023, 0.0351, 0.0121, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0339, -0.0387, -0.023, -0.0193, -0.0326, -0.023, -0.0556, -0.0629, -0.0544, -0.0302, -0.0435, -0.0339, -0.0399, -0.0701, -0.0689, -0.0738, -0.0447, -0.0193, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0339, -0.0254, 0.0, -0.0036, 0.0181, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0472, 0.0556, 0.1511, 0.1258, 0.11, 0.1052, 0.1112, 0.11, 0.0908, 0.0847, 0.0786, 0.0738, 0.064, 0.0287, 0.0056, 0.0092, 0.0068, 0.0056, -0.0322, -0.0358, -0.0261, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0115, -0.0163, -0.0139, -0.0236, -0.0139, -0.0115, -0.0066, -0.0151, -0.0042, -0.0127, -0.0078, -0.02, -0.0395, -0.009, 0.0226, 0.0348, 0.0178, 0.0616, 0.064, 0.0616, 0.0518, 0.047, 0.0421, 0.0543, 0.0385, 0.0251, 0.0324, 0.0421, 0.036, 0.0458, 0.0336, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0263, 0.0214, 0.0044, 0.0287, 0.0214, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.075, 0.0665, 0.0908, 0.0896, 0.0969, 0.1164, 0.1139, 0.1322, 0.1261, 0.1431, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1402, 0.1488, 0.1733, 0.1721, 0.15, 0.1598, 0.1525, 0.1426, 0.1463, 0.1353, 0.1341, 0.1242, 0.123, 0.1071, 0.0985, 0.0923, 0.0727, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.0518, 0.0506, 0.0199, 0.0113, 0.0138, 0.0531, 0.0383, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0224, 0.0334, 0.0273, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0285, 0.0481, 0.0506, 0.0334, -0.0083, -0.0365, -0.0648, -0.0856, -0.0942]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1339590504397205506", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-17T15:17:19+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Epic bull market next year...get long!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks into 2022 on RBC price target hikes, positive earnings revisions, and cheap valuations (<2X P/CF).", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "RBC increasing its oil price deck (2022 WTI $50 -&gt;$57) and boosting energy stock price targets (up 26%). This matters greatly to both generalists (sentiment boost) and quants (who follow positive earnings revisions). Many names &lt; 2X P/CF! Epic bull market next year...get long! https://t.co/lfzZMlbiXp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004741496309771387, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004741496309771387, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010302600086146363, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010302600086146363, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005561103776374976, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005561103776374976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016720399167337807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016720399167337807, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012727449004393487, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012727449004393487, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00399295016294432, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00399295016294432, "ret_p1w": -0.03594128338173641, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03594128338173641, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03146252487190948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03146252487190948, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00447875850982693, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00447875850982693, "ret_p1m": 0.08115206829462607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08115206829462607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06755500638709466, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06755500638709466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013597061907531405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013597061907531405, "ret_p3m": 0.30117598398863765, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30117598398863765, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23305447476880348, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23305447476880348, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06812150921983418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06812150921983418, "ret_p6m": 0.4154262091513541, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4154262091513541, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.266935390071229, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.266935390071229, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14849081908012507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14849081908012507, "ret_p1y": 0.46242075902885493, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46242075902885493, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.21254784925176962, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21254784925176962, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24987290977708532, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24987290977708532, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08115206829462607, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06755500638709466, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06755500638709466, "price_path": [-0.2021, -0.2104, -0.2461, -0.2463, -0.2468, -0.2291, -0.2503, -0.2526, -0.2755, -0.2685, -0.2466, -0.2578, -0.2473, -0.2191, -0.2316, -0.2296, -0.2416, -0.2383, -0.2291, -0.2466, -0.2625, -0.2538, -0.268, -0.2378, -0.2416, -0.2688, -0.2783, -0.3085, -0.2872, -0.2833, -0.2588, -0.263, -0.262, -0.262, -0.278, -0.1749, -0.1482, -0.157, -0.1842, -0.1545, -0.0988, -0.0896, -0.116, -0.1016, -0.1063, -0.0432, 0.006, -0.0175, -0.0175, -0.0289, -0.0826, -0.0784, -0.0484, -0.0384, 0.014, -0.0097, 0.005, 0.0072, 0.0382, 0.0262, -0.0097, 0.0097, 0.0047, 0.0, -0.0167, -0.0357, -0.0519, -0.0309, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.042, -0.0483, -0.0334, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.04, 0.003, 0.0336, 0.0488, 0.0475, 0.064, 0.1011, 0.0925, 0.1249, 0.0812, 0.0812, 0.1029, 0.1069, 0.0695, 0.064, 0.0531, 0.0306, 0.0167, 0.0285, -0.0056, 0.0015, 0.0124, 0.0556, 0.0672, 0.0763, 0.1214, 0.1095, 0.1307, 0.1133, 0.1297, 0.1297, 0.158, 0.1752, 0.1487, 0.1679, 0.2084, 0.2283, 0.2718, 0.2473, 0.2177, 0.2493, 0.2425, 0.2607, 0.2908, 0.3391, 0.3416, 0.3181, 0.3515, 0.352, 0.3548, 0.3394, 0.3012, 0.3113, 0.2524, 0.2526, 0.2406, 0.2225, 0.2531, 0.2577, 0.2889, 0.2736, 0.2626, 0.2539, 0.2858, 0.2858, 0.2552, 0.2519, 0.2562, 0.2398, 0.2317, 0.2219, 0.2232, 0.2572, 0.247, 0.237, 0.2358, 0.203, 0.2184, 0.2041, 0.215, 0.2232, 0.2381, 0.2807, 0.295, 0.2623, 0.2971, 0.2979, 0.3398, 0.3467, 0.3707, 0.3712, 0.3359, 0.3423, 0.326, 0.3671, 0.3988, 0.3664, 0.3324, 0.3303, 0.3331, 0.3464, 0.3191, 0.3308, 0.3319, 0.3344, 0.3344, 0.3858, 0.4116, 0.4154, 0.4249, 0.4187, 0.431, 0.4221, 0.4203, 0.4154]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1248310326069780482", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-09T18:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "multi-bagger upside in many energy stocks post COVID-19", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long US energy stocks post-COVID: shale wounded, offshore declining, demand normalizing = multi-bagger upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US oil rig count falls 58 (down by 160 in 3 weeks) to 504.  2020 exit likely down more than 1.5MM Bbl/d. US shale growth mortally wounded + global offshore declines + demand normalization + shut-in well damage = multi-bagger upside in many energy stocks post COVID-19 https://t.co/4w0MVVwe5g", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009141645018062139, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009141645018062139, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024130919598295164, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024130919598295164, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014989274580233025, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014989274580233025, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.09495730807183178, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09495730807183178, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09819226723015162, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09819226723015162, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003234959158319839, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003234959158319839, "ret_p1m": 0.14361533242053626, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14361533242053626, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09242932492410905, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09242932492410905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05118600749642721, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05118600749642721, "ret_p3m": 0.08301298630875897, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08301298630875897, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04984397064343771, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04984397064343771, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13285695695219668, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13285695695219668, "ret_p6m": -0.11016686489915117, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11016686489915117, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32027214292980055, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32027214292980055, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21010527803064938, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21010527803064938, "ret_p1y": 0.5493062338705708, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5493062338705708, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10384602711409618, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.10384602711409618, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.4454602067564746, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4454602067564746, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14361533242053626, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09242932492410905, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09242932492410905, "price_path": [0.7258, 0.726, 0.7134, 0.7162, 0.7053, 0.7053, 0.6747, 0.6586, 0.6522, 0.6332, 0.5879, 0.5951, 0.5784, 0.5911, 0.5414, 0.5213, 0.5267, 0.5841, 0.568, 0.557, 0.5492, 0.5665, 0.5876, 0.5827, 0.5743, 0.5743, 0.5613, 0.5821, 0.5804, 0.5616, 0.4895, 0.4238, 0.3808, 0.3069, 0.3058, 0.3586, 0.317, 0.3482, 0.2989, 0.2259, -0.021, 0.0254, -0.0288, -0.15, -0.0715, -0.1978, -0.1924, -0.3083, -0.2613, -0.2541, -0.3049, -0.1935, -0.1554, -0.1038, -0.1646, -0.156, -0.143, -0.1855, -0.1109, -0.1203, -0.0737, -0.054, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.008, -0.0546, -0.095, 0.0012, -0.0301, -0.0472, -0.0133, 0.0186, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0669, 0.146, 0.1206, 0.0572, 0.0938, 0.0947, 0.0661, 0.0938, 0.1436, 0.1236, 0.1038, 0.0537, 0.0655, 0.0613, 0.148, 0.1159, 0.1604, 0.1418, 0.1348, 0.1348, 0.1663, 0.1814, 0.1483, 0.143, 0.1631, 0.1955, 0.2306, 0.2309, 0.3223, 0.3819, 0.33, 0.2645, 0.1454, 0.1743, 0.1778, 0.2117, 0.1705, 0.1849, 0.1669, 0.1723, 0.1735, 0.1084, 0.1296, 0.0905, 0.1051, 0.1305, 0.103, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.1186, 0.083, 0.0821, 0.0287, 0.0615, 0.0558, 0.0929, 0.1165, 0.1114, 0.0959, 0.0776, 0.1427, 0.1287, 0.1266, 0.1203, 0.1215, 0.1024, 0.1254, 0.0812, 0.0761, 0.08, 0.1063, 0.118, 0.109, 0.1105, 0.1448, 0.141, 0.1523, 0.1299, 0.1407, 0.1341, 0.1198, 0.1069, 0.083, 0.0761, 0.1057, 0.0902, 0.0672, 0.0693, 0.0884, 0.0648, 0.0576, 0.0525, 0.0448, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0036, 0.0104, -0.0266, -0.0257, -0.0182, -0.0254, 0.0137, 0.0152, 0.0039, -0.0294, -0.0394, -0.0828, -0.0831, -0.0838, -0.0622, -0.088, -0.0907, -0.1187, -0.1102]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1205310909528379394", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-12-13T02:18:09+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$60bbl+ in 2020 = multi-bagger potential for many energy stocks still trading near their lowest valuations in history", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: stocks near historic low valuations with multi-bagger potential at $60+ oil; selling pressure exhausted, gap-ups expected when real money returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Increasingly, generalist investors are appearing in the media highlighting the attractiveness of the energy sector. This change in tone is palpable.  $60bbl+ in 2020 = multi-bagger potential for many energy stocks still trading near their lowest valuations in history #OOTT\n\n---\n\nTrading observation: I tried to buy a beaten up CDN oil stock today. Bid for 5MM shares with the stock already up 4% on the day. Got filled on 300k. Lesson? Selling pressure has been exhausted. There is no supply. When the real $ returns to this sector, stocks will gap up #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00762728940244406, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00762728940244406, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008225860530672424, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008225860530672424, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005985711282283646, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005985711282283646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013430546795011544, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013430546795011544, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006560303902038989, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006560303902038989, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006870242892972556, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006870242892972556, "ret_p1w": 0.02733702075226696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02733702075226696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011621144488552115, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011621144488552115, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015715876263714845, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015715876263714845, "ret_p1m": 0.03167726491083478, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03167726491083478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006903499678120317, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006903499678120317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038580764588955097, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038580764588955097, "ret_p3m": -0.41941224061799043, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.41941224061799043, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28827937178713314, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28827937178713314, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.13113286883085729, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13113286883085729, "ret_p6m": -0.1738895729553942, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1738895729553942, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2034462961359178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2034462961359178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.029556723180523603, "bench_c_p6m": 0.029556723180523603, "ret_p1y": -0.32975179447317104, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.32975179447317104, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.505530243628255, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.505530243628255, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.175778449155084, "bench_c_p1y": 0.175778449155084, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03167726491083478, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.006903499678120317, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006903499678120317, "price_path": [0.0228, 0.0179, 0.0153, 0.0161, 0.0164, 0.0003, 0.002, -0.0111, -0.0113, -0.0184, -0.0411, -0.0647, -0.0546, -0.0486, -0.057, -0.0731, -0.0647, -0.0529, -0.0401, -0.0406, -0.0366, -0.0501, -0.0494, -0.0544, -0.0375, -0.025, -0.0169, -0.0211, -0.0131, -0.0187, -0.0148, -0.0348, -0.039, -0.0171, 0.0149, 0.0162, -0.0045, 0.0104, 0.0063, 0.0007, -0.0045, -0.0088, -0.0114, -0.0038, -0.0159, -0.0305, -0.0207, -0.0046, -0.008, -0.007, -0.0161, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0235, -0.0235, -0.0381, -0.0237, -0.0284, -0.0098, -0.0109, -0.009, -0.0106, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0141, 0.0179, 0.0176, 0.0273, 0.0379, 0.0374, 0.0374, 0.037, 0.0327, 0.0294, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0446, 0.0415, 0.0496, 0.0469, 0.0296, 0.0372, 0.0313, 0.0317, 0.0318, 0.0243, 0.026, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0012, -0.0085, -0.0123, -0.0237, -0.0507, -0.0464, -0.0564, -0.0488, -0.0785, -0.0906, -0.0873, -0.053, -0.0626, -0.0692, -0.0739, -0.0635, -0.0509, -0.0539, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0666, -0.0542, -0.0552, -0.0664, -0.1095, -0.1489, -0.1746, -0.2187, -0.2194, -0.1878, -0.2127, -0.194, -0.2235, -0.2672, -0.4148, -0.387, -0.4194, -0.4918, -0.4449, -0.5205, -0.5172, -0.5865, -0.5584, -0.5541, -0.5845, -0.5178, -0.4951, -0.4642, -0.5006, -0.4954, -0.4877, -0.5131, -0.4685, -0.4741, -0.4463, -0.4345, -0.3967, -0.4022, -0.4022, -0.4041, -0.4069, -0.4348, -0.459, -0.4015, -0.4202, -0.4304, -0.4101, -0.3911, -0.3897, -0.3765, -0.3622, -0.3149, -0.3301, -0.368, -0.3461, -0.3456, -0.3627, -0.3461, -0.3163, -0.3283, -0.3401, -0.3701, -0.3631, -0.3655, -0.3137, -0.3329, -0.3063, -0.3174, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.3028, -0.2938, -0.3135, -0.3167, -0.3047, -0.2853, -0.2643, -0.2642, -0.2095, -0.1739]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1285628369439260673", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-07-21T17:31:03+00:00", "symbol": "midcap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely re-rate in the next few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish midcap energy stocks on 20-40%+ FCF yields and faster-than-expected demand normalization; expects re-rate in coming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers US midcap energy/E&P", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What would it take for a midcap energy stock to double? While most are up ~100% from the lows they are still down 50%+ YTD. '21 FCF yields of 20%+ at $50 and 40%+ at $60 + demand normalizing faster than most though possible a few months ago = likely re-rate in the next few months https://t.co/ojgMfrAQhw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06501484654337197, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06501484654337197, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06289177770614984, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06289177770614984, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021230688372221307, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021230688372221307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010618483005915613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010618483005915613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016310577411899785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016310577411899785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005692094405984172, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005692094405984172, "ret_p1w": -0.048621513391368776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.048621513391368776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03680662921028588, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03680662921028588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011814884181082896, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011814884181082896, "ret_p1m": 0.012854055978577916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012854055978577916, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024744785303415506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024744785303415506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03759884128199342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03759884128199342, "ret_p3m": -0.18201775852130997, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18201775852130997, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2548472775988265, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2548472775988265, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07282951907751656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07282951907751656, "ret_p6m": 0.3086931149206009, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3086931149206009, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13046598113268648, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13046598113268648, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17822713378791444, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17822713378791444, "ret_p1y": 0.7425877628520607, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7425877628520607, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3969722722193545, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3969722722193545, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.34561549063270625, "bench_c_p1y": 0.34561549063270625, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012854055978577916, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024744785303415506, "alpha_c_stated": -0.024744785303415506, "price_path": [-0.1371, -0.1293, -0.1102, -0.1019, -0.0046, 0.0071, -0.0735, -0.0257, -0.0413, -0.0754, -0.0617, -0.0072, -0.0287, -0.048, -0.1113, -0.1176, -0.1119, -0.0193, -0.0483, -0.0155, -0.0231, -0.0213, -0.0213, 0.0185, 0.0221, -0.0222, -0.0389, -0.0109, 0.0235, 0.0435, 0.056, 0.1805, 0.3305, 0.234, 0.144, 0.0356, 0.075, 0.0849, 0.1151, 0.0628, 0.068, 0.0389, 0.0307, 0.0274, -0.0464, -0.0266, -0.0734, -0.054, -0.0279, -0.0563, -0.032, -0.032, -0.03, -0.0637, -0.0628, -0.1118, -0.0795, -0.0997, -0.0613, -0.0333, -0.0358, -0.0572, -0.065, 0.0, -0.0106, -0.0102, -0.0168, -0.0346, -0.0486, -0.0171, -0.0423, -0.043, -0.0324, -0.0142, 0.0067, -0.0089, 0.0084, 0.0456, 0.0285, 0.0468, 0.0229, 0.0462, 0.0402, 0.0199, 0.0129, -0.0212, -0.0361, -0.0069, -0.0022, -0.0343, -0.0255, -0.0125, -0.0414, -0.0447, -0.0699, -0.0779, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1317, -0.1226, -0.1719, -0.169, -0.1537, -0.1574, -0.1161, -0.1144, -0.1148, -0.149, -0.1559, -0.2, -0.1944, -0.204, -0.1783, -0.2029, -0.21, -0.2363, -0.2184, -0.1833, -0.2027, -0.1801, -0.1446, -0.1578, -0.1559, -0.176, -0.1721, -0.1546, -0.182, -0.1987, -0.1816, -0.2012, -0.1593, -0.1565, -0.2012, -0.2109, -0.2554, -0.2365, -0.238, -0.2085, -0.2151, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.2378, -0.1144, -0.0866, -0.0934, -0.1298, -0.0825, -0.0307, -0.0149, -0.0361, -0.0128, -0.0224, 0.0647, 0.1196, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.0869, 0.0152, 0.0103, 0.0429, 0.0563, 0.1455, 0.1074, 0.1243, 0.1323, 0.1962, 0.1733, 0.1258, 0.1498, 0.1344, 0.1344, 0.1196, 0.1001, 0.0813, 0.13, 0.1135, 0.1135, 0.0932, 0.0832, 0.1196, 0.1041, 0.1041, 0.1141, 0.1856, 0.2317, 0.2557, 0.2362, 0.2623, 0.3329, 0.3087]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1260582854020550657", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-13T14:49:07+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The worst is over for oil. Market wrongly obsessed with 'when will demand reach pre-COVID19 levels?' versus realizing that global oil inventories should reach balance by year-end '20 due to massive shut-ins and production declines.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish crude oil: global inventory balance by year-end 2020 due to shut-ins/production declines; demand obsession misses the supply side.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The worst is over for oil. Market wrongly obsessed with \"when will demand reach pre-COVID19 levels?\" versus realizing that global oil inventories should reach balance by year-end '20 due to massive shut-ins and production declines. Demand is only half the equation. #OOTT https://t.co/q7Ltbtl6Sl\n\n---\n\nGasoline is leading the recovery up 30% from the lows (with much of the US economy still under lock down).  While jet fuel will take longer to recover (given limited business travel) the gasoline market is ~3 times its size...the one to watch. https://t.co/vGY8cCd00V", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02706402856200607, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02706402856200607, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009059772155232126, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009059772155232126, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018004256406773944, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018004256406773944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06646106855823719, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06646106855823719, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05449375602687767, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05449375602687767, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01196731253135952, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01196731253135952, "ret_p1w": 0.22473447570816107, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22473447570816107, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1702955235029029, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1702955235029029, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.054438952205258184, "bench_c_p1w": 0.054438952205258184, "ret_p1m": 0.32065770920703107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32065770920703107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2531506780719768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2531506780719768, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0675070311350543, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0675070311350543, "ret_p3m": 0.5412812900080091, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5412812900080091, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3443826288945715, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3443826288945715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19689866111343757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19689866111343757, "ret_p6m": 0.40219251648935206, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40219251648935206, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1479687660602218, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1479687660602218, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.25422375042913026, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25422375042913026, "ret_p1y": 1.3038711466118555, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.3038711466118555, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7982174726905289, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7982174726905289, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.5056536739213267, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5056536739213267, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.32065770920703107, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2531506780719768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2531506780719768, "price_path": [0.9637, 0.9637, 0.9784, 1.0254, 1.0319, 1.0041, 0.9287, 0.8825, 0.8304, 0.7876, 0.7307, 0.778, 0.7766, 0.7516, 0.7126, 0.5509, 0.1771, 0.2751, 0.2261, 0.1381, 0.1596, 0.0295, -0.0158, -0.1477, -0.0247, -0.0757, -0.074, -0.0699, -0.0617, -0.0976, -0.1459, -0.2203, -0.221, -0.1524, 0.0257, 0.1686, 0.1322, 0.0918, 0.125, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0874, 0.014, -0.0514, -0.0469, -0.038, -0.124, -0.3378, -0.3022, -0.2693, -0.2655, -0.3152, -0.2991, -0.2278, -0.1343, -0.0942, -0.0682, 0.061, 0.0182, 0.0092, 0.061, 0.0151, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0665, 0.1134, 0.1925, 0.1871, 0.2247, 0.2354, 0.2035, 0.2035, 0.2391, 0.1901, 0.209, 0.2103, 0.3128, 0.3556, 0.3631, 0.37, 0.4491, 0.3977, 0.4108, 0.4296, 0.3207, 0.3268, 0.3607, 0.4032, 0.3947, 0.4221, 0.4454, 0.4758, 0.4604, 0.381, 0.4063, 0.4053, 0.4289, 0.4097, 0.4399, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4765, 0.4758, 0.483, 0.4508, 0.4813, 0.4635, 0.4697, 0.5002, 0.4858, 0.4779, 0.4827, 0.5183, 0.5173, 0.4837, 0.4848, 0.4872, 0.4806, 0.4988, 0.4711, 0.4834, 0.5125, 0.5221, 0.5474, 0.5447, 0.5211, 0.5413, 0.5245, 0.5564, 0.5403, 0.5348, 0.5543, 0.5574, 0.5543, 0.5382, 0.5194, 0.5461, 0.5711, 0.5635, 0.5447, 0.5433, 0.5512, 0.5615, 0.5221, 0.5098, 0.4615, 0.4615, 0.3628, 0.3974, 0.3724, 0.3645, 0.357, 0.3885, 0.4464, 0.4834, 0.4782, 0.4197, 0.4293, 0.431, 0.4368, 0.4361, 0.4536, 0.4056, 0.4029, 0.4022, 0.3453, 0.4145, 0.4611, 0.4385, 0.4848, 0.468, 0.4293, 0.4543, 0.4841, 0.4786, 0.4707, 0.4601, 0.4786, 0.4296, 0.4546, 0.431, 0.3861, 0.4114, 0.3402, 0.2898, 0.2833, 0.335, 0.3604, 0.4125, 0.4022]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1547918843875446786", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-07-15T12:19:45+00:00", "symbol": "oil equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valuations are the lowest we have ever seen, FCF builds every day, and the commitment of companies to return it back to shareholders remains steadfast", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Multi-year bull thesis intact: oil undersupplied, SPR ending, China reopening ahead; oil equities cheap on FCF with strong shareholder returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There are times when the financial demand for oil implodes while the physical demand for oil remains strong. This is one of those times. Tune out the noise: the market remains undersupplied, SPR ends in 3 months, China will unlock one day, &amp; OPEC spare capacity exhaustion cometh. https://t.co/NsL8Ndy2JQ\n\n---\n\nDespite a constant bombardment of daily \"recession\" headlines, we see no erosion in our multi-year bull market thesis. Valuations are the lowest we have ever seen, FCF builds every day, and the commitment of companies to return it back to shareholders remains steadfast. https://t.co/DTepC47WfT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01603740134396925, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01603740134396925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002709581918552084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002709581918552084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018746983262521333, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018746983262521333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022889698955176563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022889698955176563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0311465860381247, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0311465860381247, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008256887082948139, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008256887082948139, "ret_p1w": 0.037323315866555795, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037323315866555795, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011461814018430161, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011461814018430161, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025861501848125634, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025861501848125634, "ret_p1m": 0.12173782570167235, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12173782570167235, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008191766639528364, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008191766639528364, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11354605906214399, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11354605906214399, "ret_p3m": 0.18083579172483177, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18083579172483177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2512153964158049, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2512153964158049, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07037960469097315, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07037960469097315, "ret_p6m": 0.2991646183498682, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2991646183498682, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28329560993756364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28329560993756364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.01586900841230454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01586900841230454, "ret_p1y": 0.23488692791336074, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.23488692791336074, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.06375769235974471, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06375769235974471, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17112923555361603, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17112923555361603, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12173782570167235, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008191766639528364, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008191766639528364, "price_path": [0.1586, 0.1631, 0.1262, 0.0986, 0.0623, 0.0637, 0.0793, 0.112, 0.0835, 0.1008, 0.1316, 0.1786, 0.1609, 0.1955, 0.0966, 0.1066, 0.1214, 0.1262, 0.1647, 0.1954, 0.2092, 0.1782, 0.1739, 0.1789, 0.2101, 0.2147, 0.2398, 0.2535, 0.2764, 0.2764, 0.2572, 0.2777, 0.2737, 0.2905, 0.2891, 0.3276, 0.3305, 0.3011, 0.279, 0.2122, 0.2145, 0.1877, 0.1208, 0.0596, 0.0596, 0.1144, 0.0698, 0.0302, 0.0437, 0.0744, 0.1034, 0.065, 0.0426, 0.0582, 0.0582, 0.0162, -0.0012, 0.0348, 0.0344, 0.0245, 0.0045, 0.0029, -0.016, 0.0, 0.0229, 0.0544, 0.0646, 0.0459, 0.0373, 0.0754, 0.0656, 0.0897, 0.0958, 0.1433, 0.1197, 0.1171, 0.085, 0.0448, 0.0655, 0.071, 0.0898, 0.0977, 0.1354, 0.144, 0.1217, 0.1191, 0.1284, 0.1588, 0.1585, 0.1563, 0.198, 0.2127, 0.222, 0.2078, 0.226, 0.1844, 0.1736, 0.1448, 0.1658, 0.1658, 0.155, 0.1416, 0.1465, 0.1751, 0.1967, 0.1665, 0.1994, 0.1685, 0.1436, 0.1443, 0.1363, 0.1197, 0.1157, 0.0388, 0.0133, 0.0246, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0615, 0.1214, 0.1696, 0.1938, 0.215, 0.2056, 0.1808, 0.1714, 0.1808, 0.229, 0.1832, 0.1979, 0.2084, 0.2441, 0.2452, 0.2812, 0.2872, 0.2886, 0.3061, 0.3108, 0.3154, 0.3265, 0.3393, 0.307, 0.3312, 0.3474, 0.3705, 0.3718, 0.3048, 0.3338, 0.3726, 0.3721, 0.3866, 0.3583, 0.3612, 0.3505, 0.3322, 0.3739, 0.359, 0.359, 0.354, 0.3169, 0.3368, 0.3434, 0.339, 0.331, 0.2915, 0.2575, 0.2545, 0.2489, 0.2186, 0.2505, 0.2743, 0.2665, 0.2588, 0.2433, 0.2432, 0.2619, 0.2859, 0.2563, 0.2963, 0.2963, 0.3102, 0.2808, 0.2943, 0.3024, 0.3024, 0.2567, 0.2566, 0.2795, 0.3038, 0.2992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1308429007323623427", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-09-22T15:32:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Demand fears overdone???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy demand fears overdone as UK avoids full lockdown; bullish lean on energy sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "By far, the biggest headwind to energy sentiment = worries of a repeat of the historic demand shock due to a 2nd wave yet the UK's actions today (more masking, pubs shutting at 10pm,...) show the lack of political willingness to repeat March's lock-down.  Demand fears overdone??? https://t.co/qvJNEr302A", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01042977057550143, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01042977057550143, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02051132162015612, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02051132162015612, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01008155104465469, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01008155104465469, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04519596960655736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04519596960655736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022005252591273727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022005252591273727, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.023190717015283635, "bench_c_p1d": -0.023190717015283635, "ret_p1w": -0.050568733164850665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050568733164850665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056836063509374424, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.056836063509374424, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006267330344523758, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006267330344523758, "ret_p1m": -0.07300869114122777, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07300869114122777, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11064137853819256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11064137853819256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03763268739696479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03763268739696479, "ret_p3m": 0.2452596408620309, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2452596408620309, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12278356695378023, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12278356695378023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12247607390825066, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12247607390825066, "ret_p6m": 0.6606660791757855, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6606660791757855, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4528142744278443, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4528142744278443, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20785180474794118, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20785180474794118, "ret_p1y": 0.5633341810949555, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5633341810949555, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.18927801831978797, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.18927801831978797, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3740561627751675, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3740561627751675, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07300869114122777, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11064137853819256, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11064137853819256, "price_path": [0.176, 0.1352, 0.1505, 0.1769, 0.1483, 0.1611, 0.1611, 0.1645, 0.1275, 0.1265, 0.0709, 0.1051, 0.0992, 0.1377, 0.1623, 0.157, 0.1408, 0.1219, 0.1897, 0.175, 0.1729, 0.1663, 0.1676, 0.1477, 0.1716, 0.1256, 0.1203, 0.1244, 0.1517, 0.1638, 0.1545, 0.1561, 0.1918, 0.1878, 0.1996, 0.1763, 0.1875, 0.1806, 0.1657, 0.1523, 0.1275, 0.1203, 0.1511, 0.1349, 0.111, 0.1132, 0.1331, 0.1085, 0.101, 0.0958, 0.0877, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.0448, 0.0519, 0.0134, 0.0143, 0.0221, 0.0146, 0.0553, 0.0569, 0.0451, 0.0104, 0.0, -0.0452, -0.0455, -0.0461, -0.0237, -0.0506, -0.0534, -0.0825, -0.0736, -0.0458, -0.0601, -0.0468, -0.0111, -0.0269, -0.0243, -0.0395, -0.0354, -0.0237, -0.0458, -0.0661, -0.055, -0.073, -0.0348, -0.0395, -0.074, -0.086, -0.1242, -0.0973, -0.0923, -0.0613, -0.0667, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0857, 0.0449, 0.0787, 0.0676, 0.0332, 0.0708, 0.1413, 0.153, 0.1195, 0.1378, 0.1318, 0.2118, 0.274, 0.2443, 0.2443, 0.2298, 0.1618, 0.1672, 0.2051, 0.2178, 0.2841, 0.2541, 0.2728, 0.2756, 0.3148, 0.2996, 0.2541, 0.2788, 0.2724, 0.2664, 0.2453, 0.2212, 0.2007, 0.2273, 0.2209, 0.2209, 0.2132, 0.2052, 0.2241, 0.2139, 0.2139, 0.2158, 0.2702, 0.309, 0.3282, 0.3266, 0.3474, 0.3945, 0.3836, 0.4246, 0.3692, 0.3692, 0.3968, 0.4019, 0.3545, 0.3474, 0.3337, 0.3052, 0.2875, 0.3026, 0.2594, 0.2683, 0.2821, 0.3369, 0.3516, 0.3631, 0.4201, 0.4051, 0.432, 0.4099, 0.4307, 0.4307, 0.4666, 0.4884, 0.4547, 0.4791, 0.5303, 0.5556, 0.6107, 0.5796, 0.5422, 0.5822, 0.5735, 0.5966, 0.6347, 0.6959, 0.6991, 0.6693, 0.7116, 0.7122, 0.7158, 0.6962, 0.6479, 0.6607]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1362471058188697604", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-02-18T18:36:28+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many E&P's would be able to buy back >50% of their outstanding shares over this time frame", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Endorses RBC's $61-63 WTI forecast for 2021-22; reiterates buying E&P pullbacks as buyback potential is massive.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A great note by RBC's @michael___tran calling for $61WTI in '21 and $63WTI in '22. Many E&amp;P's would be able to buy back &gt;50% of their outstanding shares over this time frame. I reiterate: use every pullback to your opportunity. https://t.co/VqNgHltwOp\n\n---\n\nIf RBC (and Goldman, JP Morgan, RJ,....) are right about       &gt;$60WTI for the next 2 years the average company on this chart could retire 1/3 of their entire capital structure (ie. share buybacks and debt retirement). Staggering! https://t.co/M0XKMgoeT0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045911461303754786, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045911461303754786, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0416373080547674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0416373080547674, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004274153248987389, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004274153248987389, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025932988491848885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025932988491848885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02769909818093641, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02769909818093641, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001766109689087525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001766109689087525, "ret_p1w": 0.0895740656185322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0895740656185322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11104719071480829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11104719071480829, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02147312509627608, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02147312509627608, "ret_p1m": 0.10809710686877616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10809710686877616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10800590681024702, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10800590681024702, "bench_spy_p1m": 9.120005852913948e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 9.120005852913948e-05, "ret_p3m": 0.17348888079744906, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17348888079744906, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11572559956868633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11572559956868633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05776328122876273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05776328122876273, "ret_p6m": 0.07021169924004034, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07021169924004034, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07854994324029252, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07854994324029252, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14876164248033286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14876164248033286, "ret_p1y": 0.4972445907145362, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4972445907145362, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.33727859734537624, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.33727859734537624, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15996599336915995, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15996599336915995, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4972445907145362, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.33727859734537624, "alpha_c_stated": 0.33727859734537624, "price_path": [-0.2536, -0.2151, -0.227, -0.227, -0.2381, -0.2883, -0.2918, -0.2689, -0.2595, -0.197, -0.2237, -0.2119, -0.2062, -0.1614, -0.1775, -0.2108, -0.194, -0.2047, -0.2047, -0.2151, -0.2288, -0.242, -0.2079, -0.2194, -0.2194, -0.2337, -0.2407, -0.2151, -0.226, -0.226, -0.219, -0.1688, -0.1365, -0.1197, -0.1334, -0.1151, -0.0656, -0.0826, -0.0512, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.0672, -0.0724, -0.1036, -0.0996, -0.1024, -0.126, -0.1156, -0.1168, -0.149, -0.132, -0.1274, -0.0797, -0.0765, -0.0737, -0.0142, -0.0312, -0.009, -0.0274, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0343, 0.0459, 0.0, 0.0259, 0.0576, 0.0803, 0.1228, 0.0896, 0.0652, 0.0953, 0.0867, 0.1088, 0.1457, 0.1908, 0.1733, 0.1418, 0.1827, 0.2055, 0.1966, 0.1889, 0.1526, 0.1577, 0.0797, 0.1081, 0.0927, 0.0403, 0.0559, 0.0738, 0.1072, 0.0748, 0.073, 0.0809, 0.1369, 0.1369, 0.0821, 0.0896, 0.0871, 0.0637, 0.043, 0.0178, 0.0205, 0.0636, 0.0472, 0.03, 0.0297, -0.0167, 0.0029, -0.0055, 0.0083, 0.0336, 0.0532, 0.0983, 0.0975, 0.0657, 0.1021, 0.1005, 0.1298, 0.1233, 0.1514, 0.1371, 0.1234, 0.1191, 0.0842, 0.1476, 0.192, 0.1735, 0.1489, 0.1439, 0.1509, 0.1645, 0.1335, 0.165, 0.1832, 0.1836, 0.1836, 0.2601, 0.2803, 0.2817, 0.2813, 0.2936, 0.3062, 0.2991, 0.2851, 0.2937, 0.2795, 0.3019, 0.2949, 0.2361, 0.2094, 0.2722, 0.2792, 0.2943, 0.315, 0.3306, 0.2726, 0.2658, 0.2898, 0.3203, 0.2964, 0.2964, 0.2436, 0.2148, 0.2216, 0.2524, 0.2434, 0.2276, 0.1669, 0.1434, 0.0981, 0.0533, 0.0786, 0.1305, 0.1076, 0.0962, 0.1298, 0.0949, 0.1193, 0.1177, 0.1045, 0.0825, 0.1048, 0.0551, 0.0834, 0.0956, 0.0774, 0.1072, 0.1112, 0.1078, 0.0702]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1217206337643278336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-14T22:06:20+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "strong re-rate potential for Canadian energy stocks once the market starts to believe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: TMX + KXL pipeline construction narrowing WCS differentials sets up a strong sector re-rate.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MAJOR positive for Canadian oil companies (and a great scoop by @geoffreymorgan). Many (myself included) had thought the probability of construction ahead of the US elections was nil...happy to be proven wrong this time. #OOTT  https://t.co/mH9UE7lgvo via @nationalpost\n\n---\n\nTMX pipe going in the ground as we speak and KXL construction to start in March. The days of uber wide WCS differentials are soon coming to an end...strong re-rate potential for Canadian energy stocks once the market starts to believe. #OOTT https://t.co/WSmmrtlL5o", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00972975822261346, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00972975822261346, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011984574662138203, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011984574662138203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022548164395247428, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022548164395247428, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001080977369757652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001080977369757652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009399276049703142, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009399276049703142, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00831829867994549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00831829867994549, "ret_p1w": -0.0324323350297524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0324323350297524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04203026238945706, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04203026238945706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009597927359704661, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009597927359704661, "ret_p1m": -0.0951349220971025, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0951349220971025, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12216199037479614, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12216199037479614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027027068277693633, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027027068277693633, "ret_p3m": -0.5351316683276452, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5351316683276452, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38001118471428974, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.38001118471428974, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1551204836133555, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1551204836133555, "ret_p6m": -0.482528271210213, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.482528271210213, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45032194248178603, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45032194248178603, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03220632872842699, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03220632872842699, "ret_p1y": -0.3380446512846009, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3380446512846009, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4985375199697286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4985375199697286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1604928686851277, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1604928686851277, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0951349220971025, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12216199037479614, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12216199037479614, "price_path": [-0.14, -0.1314, -0.1293, -0.125, -0.1325, -0.1228, -0.1303, -0.126, -0.1368, -0.1539, -0.1271, -0.0992, -0.0885, -0.1035, -0.0649, -0.0628, -0.0649, -0.0735, -0.0778, -0.0821, -0.0714, -0.0853, -0.0971, -0.0907, -0.0821, -0.0874, -0.0789, -0.0896, -0.0821, -0.0821, -0.096, -0.1003, -0.1153, -0.0939, -0.1003, -0.0596, -0.0596, -0.0531, -0.0606, -0.0392, -0.0403, -0.0338, -0.0167, -0.0188, -0.0027, -0.0081, 0.0069, 0.008, 0.008, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0097, 0.0097, 0.0097, 0.0043, 0.0119, 0.0335, 0.0324, 0.013, 0.0216, 0.0151, 0.0065, 0.0097, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.0097, -0.0108, -0.0249, -0.0324, -0.0378, -0.0551, -0.08, -0.0757, -0.0735, -0.0746, -0.1016, -0.1092, -0.107, -0.0724, -0.0854, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0995, -0.0897, -0.0951, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0941, -0.0768, -0.0746, -0.0897, -0.1265, -0.1514, -0.1762, -0.1946, -0.2022, -0.2, -0.2259, -0.2205, -0.2411, -0.2886, -0.4811, -0.4735, -0.5135, -0.5914, -0.5481, -0.6303, -0.6616, -0.7016, -0.6865, -0.6811, -0.6919, -0.6573, -0.631, -0.6354, -0.6695, -0.6299, -0.5748, -0.5814, -0.5417, -0.5506, -0.5384, -0.5417, -0.523, -0.5318, -0.5318, -0.5351, -0.5439, -0.5682, -0.5847, -0.5528, -0.5583, -0.5627, -0.5351, -0.5252, -0.5285, -0.5263, -0.5043, -0.4393, -0.4514, -0.4756, -0.4745, -0.4745, -0.4889, -0.479, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4624, -0.4933, -0.4922, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4503, -0.4184, -0.4294, -0.4382, -0.4382, -0.4327, -0.4305, -0.4382, -0.4481, -0.436, -0.4084, -0.3985, -0.3919, -0.3424, -0.3236, -0.3479, -0.3743, -0.4338, -0.4228, -0.4261, -0.4151, -0.4426, -0.4448, -0.4481, -0.447, -0.4338, -0.4558, -0.4536, -0.4669, -0.448, -0.4525, -0.4525, -0.4447, -0.4458, -0.4458, -0.4614, -0.4714, -0.4825]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1149101985146318849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-10T23:43:57+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": "mid cap oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mid cap oil stocks trading at ~20% FCF yields talking dividend increases and buybacks...the market WILL care one day. Biggest disconnect b/w stock prices and fundamentals that anyone alive has ever seen.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish mid-cap oil equities; argues massive FCF yield / fundamentals disconnect will close in their favor.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP better represents midcap oil stocks", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mid cap oil stocks trading at ~20% FCF yields talking dividend increases and buybacks...the market WILL care one day. Biggest disconnect b/w stock prices and fundamentals that anyone alive has ever seen. #OOTT https://t.co/I4vAApv5ix", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011320341156888736, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011320341156888736, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013658773777398658, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013658773777398658, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023384326205099226, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023384326205099226, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006792339994657226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006792339994657226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023149528216939164, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023149528216939164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00447738717296331, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00447738717296331, "ret_p1w": -0.07735849742679546, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07735849742679546, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07575478837372385, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07575478837372385, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016037090530716114, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016037090530716114, "ret_p1m": -0.1588680994935786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1588680994935786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13317586497990808, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13317586497990808, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02569223451367053, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02569223451367053, "ret_p3m": -0.2282417519320703, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2282417519320703, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19667736067076402, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19667736067076402, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03156439126130628, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03156439126130628, "ret_p6m": -0.08611666947274321, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08611666947274321, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1735894355352049, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1735894355352049, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08747276606246168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08747276606246168, "ret_p1y": -0.5088492039297698, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5088492039297698, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5463615558572901, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5463615558572901, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03751235192752023, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03751235192752023, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1588680994935786, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13317586497990808, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13317586497990808, "price_path": [0.2064, 0.2135, 0.209, 0.1962, 0.1962, 0.2402, 0.2387, 0.2139, 0.1955, 0.1763, 0.1748, 0.1639, 0.1263, 0.0898, 0.1139, 0.1244, 0.1086, 0.1195, 0.1154, 0.1203, 0.0815, 0.1082, 0.1233, 0.1349, 0.109, 0.0996, 0.1233, 0.0804, 0.0191, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0045, 0.0097, -0.0162, -0.0369, -0.0279, -0.0027, -0.038, -0.0301, -0.0283, -0.0343, -0.0316, -0.0651, -0.0433, -0.0614, -0.0452, -0.02, -0.0249, 0.0048, 0.0079, -0.006, -0.0192, 0.0128, 0.0102, 0.0283, 0.0264, -0.0098, -0.0121, -0.0121, 0.0004, -0.0121, -0.0098, 0.0113, 0.0, 0.0068, -0.0204, -0.0396, -0.0698, -0.0774, -0.0657, -0.0626, -0.0532, -0.0472, -0.0755, -0.0864, -0.1034, -0.0577, -0.0555, -0.1143, -0.1245, -0.1608, -0.1732, -0.1751, -0.1509, -0.1589, -0.1717, -0.1664, -0.2087, -0.2158, -0.1909, -0.1577, -0.1645, -0.1608, -0.1709, -0.2102, -0.2113, -0.2226, -0.1981, -0.1709, -0.186, -0.186, -0.2015, -0.1804, -0.1589, -0.1619, -0.1147, -0.1068, -0.1042, -0.1226, -0.1162, -0.0208, -0.0728, -0.0872, -0.1053, -0.0991, -0.1021, -0.1271, -0.126, -0.143, -0.1476, -0.1533, -0.1839, -0.2067, -0.1945, -0.1957, -0.2055, -0.2282, -0.2222, -0.2142, -0.1949, -0.2055, -0.2048, -0.2104, -0.2067, -0.2214, -0.2157, -0.2029, -0.1873, -0.19, -0.173, -0.1786, -0.165, -0.1961, -0.2002, -0.1726, -0.1324, -0.1313, -0.1578, -0.1408, -0.1351, -0.1544, -0.1574, -0.1707, -0.1786, -0.1684, -0.1942, -0.2203, -0.2161, -0.2048, -0.2029, -0.1961, -0.2161, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.229, -0.2286, -0.2411, -0.2176, -0.2241, -0.1961, -0.1908, -0.1851, -0.19, -0.1593, -0.176, -0.1525, -0.1302, -0.1249, -0.1139, -0.1169, -0.0979, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.0952, -0.1105, -0.1116, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.1002, -0.0861]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1309505741888335875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-09-25T14:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "demand has been slowly normalizing + supply falling =F.E.A.R.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: stocks oversold vs flat oil despite improving demand/supply fundamentals; sentiment overly negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Since July 1st oil is flat yet energy stocks have fallen by 15% with some near their March lows. Sentiment has taken a beating from BP peak demand, 2nd wave, Cali ICE ban, hydrogen/green diesel hype...yet all the while demand has been slowly normalizing + supply falling =F.E.A.R. https://t.co/HyWd1hCAcX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006624526259155772, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006624526259155772, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01657234812725028, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01657234812725028, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015909895501334703, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015909895501334703, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02352528366047002, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02352528366047002, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00691595964951186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00691595964951186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01660932401095816, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01660932401095816, "ret_p1w": -0.028827240812003274, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028827240812003274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04437169893767712, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04437169893767712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015544458125673843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015544458125673843, "ret_p1m": -0.02915850606069781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02915850606069781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06158619097135887, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06158619097135887, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03242768491066106, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03242768491066106, "ret_p3m": 0.2866966009802616, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2866966009802616, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16377875028080813, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16377875028080813, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12291785069945349, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12291785069945349, "ret_p6m": 0.6471534511118606, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6471534511118606, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.44387192562863764, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44387192562863764, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20328152548322298, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20328152548322298, "ret_p1y": 0.660901815518897, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.660901815518897, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.295074866991087, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.295074866991087, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36582694852781006, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36582694852781006, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02915850606069781, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06158619097135887, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06158619097135887, "price_path": [0.2338, 0.2039, 0.2172, 0.2172, 0.2208, 0.182, 0.181, 0.1227, 0.1585, 0.1523, 0.1928, 0.2185, 0.213, 0.196, 0.1761, 0.2472, 0.2319, 0.2296, 0.2228, 0.2241, 0.2032, 0.2283, 0.1801, 0.1745, 0.1788, 0.2074, 0.2202, 0.2104, 0.212, 0.2495, 0.2453, 0.2576, 0.2332, 0.2449, 0.2378, 0.2221, 0.2081, 0.182, 0.1745, 0.2068, 0.1898, 0.1647, 0.167, 0.1879, 0.1621, 0.1543, 0.1488, 0.1403, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.0953, 0.1028, 0.0624, 0.0634, 0.0715, 0.0637, 0.1064, 0.108, 0.0956, 0.0593, 0.0484, 0.001, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0235, -0.0046, -0.0076, -0.0381, -0.0288, 0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0007, 0.0368, 0.0202, 0.0229, 0.007, 0.0113, 0.0235, 0.0003, -0.0209, -0.0093, -0.0282, 0.0119, 0.007, -0.0292, -0.0417, -0.0818, -0.0537, -0.0484, -0.0159, -0.0215, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0414, 0.0954, 0.1309, 0.1193, 0.0832, 0.1226, 0.1965, 0.2087, 0.1736, 0.1928, 0.1865, 0.2704, 0.3357, 0.3045, 0.3045, 0.2893, 0.218, 0.2237, 0.2634, 0.2767, 0.3463, 0.3148, 0.3343, 0.3373, 0.3784, 0.3625, 0.3148, 0.3406, 0.334, 0.3277, 0.3055, 0.2803, 0.2588, 0.2867, 0.28, 0.28, 0.2719, 0.2635, 0.2833, 0.2726, 0.2726, 0.2746, 0.3317, 0.3723, 0.3925, 0.3908, 0.4126, 0.462, 0.4506, 0.4935, 0.4354, 0.4354, 0.4643, 0.4697, 0.42, 0.4126, 0.3982, 0.3683, 0.3498, 0.3656, 0.3203, 0.3297, 0.3441, 0.4015, 0.417, 0.4291, 0.4888, 0.4731, 0.5013, 0.4781, 0.4999, 0.4999, 0.5375, 0.5604, 0.5251, 0.5506, 0.6043, 0.6309, 0.6886, 0.6561, 0.6168, 0.6587, 0.6497, 0.6738, 0.7138, 0.7779, 0.7813, 0.7501, 0.7944, 0.7951, 0.7988, 0.7783, 0.7276, 0.741, 0.6628, 0.6631, 0.6472]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1047062547394891776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-10-02T09:55:39+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "good for the entire sector", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "LNG Canada FID is bullish for the entire Canadian energy sector; signals renewed investor confidence.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "LNG Canada a go! Solid indication of confidence in Canada by some of the largest Oil Co’s in the world. Canada no longer the “land of no”...good for the entire sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING NEWS: We've announced a Positive Final Investment Decision and green light for LNG Canada's LNG export facility in #Kitimat, #BC. #LNG4Canada Full release: https://t.co/W7JEp4PI8u https://t.co/n2XnKaMVD4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01874451593814963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01874451593814963, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018160992567457512, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018160992567457512, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0005835233706921183, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005835233706921183, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01874451593814963, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01874451593814963, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01819538652191599, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01819538652191599, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005491294162336402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005491294162336402, "ret_p1w": -0.005705216257452239, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005705216257452239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008562405567284381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008562405567284381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01426762182473662, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01426762182473662, "ret_p1m": -0.14180960153580613, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14180960153580613, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07002360799834795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07002360799834795, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07178599353745818, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07178599353745818, "ret_p3m": -0.28856523701600134, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28856523701600134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14326691993684393, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14326691993684393, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1452983170791574, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1452983170791574, "ret_p6m": -0.19208313016462486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19208313016462486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1610849037422969, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1610849037422969, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.030998226422327968, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030998226422327968, "ret_p1y": -0.24435322067118248, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24435322067118248, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2926845915144296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2926845915144296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.04833137084324712, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04833137084324712, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14180960153580613, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07002360799834795, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07002360799834795, "price_path": [0.0531, 0.0685, 0.0766, 0.0928, 0.0758, 0.0815, 0.0904, 0.0677, 0.0701, 0.0628, 0.0612, 0.0563, 0.0539, 0.0555, 0.058, 0.0669, 0.0628, 0.0693, 0.0685, 0.0669, 0.0628, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0474, 0.0401, 0.0369, 0.0401, 0.0296, 0.0328, -0.0045, -0.0004, 0.0053, 0.0093, 0.015, 0.0312, 0.0328, 0.0377, 0.0466, 0.0377, 0.0426, 0.0353, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0045, -0.0012, -0.0207, -0.0191, -0.0288, -0.0296, -0.0328, -0.0328, -0.0353, -0.0418, -0.0166, -0.0163, -0.0269, -0.0187, 0.0041, -0.0024, -0.0057, 0.0122, 0.0, 0.0187, 0.0, 0.0187, 0.013, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0057, -0.044, -0.075, -0.0676, -0.0758, -0.0668, -0.0807, -0.0945, -0.0888, -0.0913, -0.1125, -0.1443, -0.1296, -0.1255, -0.1516, -0.1459, -0.1418, -0.1328, -0.1451, -0.128, -0.1222, -0.1182, -0.1328, -0.1483, -0.1573, -0.1817, -0.1744, -0.1769, -0.1809, -0.1817, -0.2054, -0.1858, -0.1809, -0.2192, -0.2217, -0.2347, -0.2363, -0.2233, -0.2274, -0.198, -0.2143, -0.194, -0.238, -0.2274, -0.2388, -0.2494, -0.2396, -0.2388, -0.2616, -0.2795, -0.2877, -0.2885, -0.2999, -0.313, -0.3341, -0.3341, -0.3341, -0.2999, -0.2886, -0.2812, -0.2812, -0.2673, -0.2698, -0.2469, -0.2469, -0.2469, -0.2298, -0.2216, -0.2208, -0.2191, -0.2044, -0.2118, -0.2069, -0.2012, -0.2036, -0.2289, -0.2371, -0.2265, -0.2257, -0.2306, -0.224, -0.2159, -0.2232, -0.2289, -0.2208, -0.2208, -0.2191, -0.2379, -0.2461, -0.2387, -0.2289, -0.2208, -0.2151, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1824, -0.1807, -0.1865, -0.1848, -0.1799, -0.1807, -0.1742, -0.1791, -0.1701, -0.1832, -0.1807, -0.1905, -0.1897, -0.2061, -0.1979, -0.193, -0.1807, -0.1799, -0.1832, -0.1685, -0.175, -0.1603, -0.153, -0.1767, -0.1913, -0.1781, -0.1921]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1418301046393294853", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-22T20:04:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks: cheapest in the world (same valuations as Russian E&P's), ESG leaders, best FCF profile, over-piped in 2022+ (tight differentials going forward), and best ability to return egregious levels of FCF back to investors. 20%+ FCF yields at $70WTI!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish Canadian energy equities: cheapest globally, best FCF profile, 20%+ FCF yields at $70 WTI, generational opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy stocks: cheapest in the world (same valuations as Russian E&amp;P's), ESG leaders, best FCF profile, over-piped in 2022+ (tight differentials going forward), and best ability to return egregious levels of FCF back to investors. 20%+ FCF yields at $70WTI! https://t.co/VkdWx51icM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance. Hear why in this 45 minute webcast recorded earlier today: https://t.co/HR4OoDaUxX https://t.co/YQi3xphizm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": -0.0012315665008081345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0012315665008081345, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008951724445021125, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008951724445021125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01018329094582926, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01018329094582926, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014778381541287189, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014778381541287189, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012323669421594907, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012323669421594907, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024547121196922816, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024547121196922816, "ret_p1w": -0.012315109716867445, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012315109716867445, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009064664897920904, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009064664897920904, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0032504448189465407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0032504448189465407, "ret_p1m": -0.0665025087015868, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0665025087015868, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08314116173762642, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08314116173762642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01663865303603962, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01663865303603962, "ret_p3m": 0.25842843563012186, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25842843563012186, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22678923293222608, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22678923293222608, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031639202697895774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031639202697895774, "ret_p6m": 0.5576672354931038, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5576672354931038, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49423433254932214, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.49423433254932214, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06343290294378168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06343290294378168, "ret_p1y": 0.6912442028464922, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6912442028464922, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8132959332449398, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8132959332449398, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.12205173039844752, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12205173039844752, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6912442028464922, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8132959332449398, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8132959332449398, "price_path": [-0.0935, -0.0653, -0.0567, -0.0665, -0.0383, -0.0432, -0.0187, -0.0088, 0.0096, -0.0039, -0.0162, -0.0039, -0.0248, 0.0022, 0.0292, 0.0194, -0.0101, -0.0187, -0.0162, -0.0162, -0.0236, -0.0076, 0.0046, 0.0108, 0.0267, 0.0709, 0.0856, 0.0893, 0.1028, 0.1016, 0.104, 0.104, 0.1077, 0.12, 0.12, 0.1445, 0.1298, 0.0832, 0.0721, 0.12, 0.115, 0.1212, 0.1256, 0.1281, 0.0936, 0.1022, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.1133, 0.1379, 0.1047, 0.0813, 0.0751, 0.0837, 0.0714, 0.0764, 0.048, 0.0333, -0.0012, -0.0382, -0.0246, 0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0148, -0.0135, -0.0074, -0.0025, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0037, -0.0456, -0.0333, -0.0234, -0.0443, -0.016, -0.0148, -0.0234, -0.0369, -0.0591, -0.0702, -0.0874, -0.1047, -0.0985, -0.0665, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0456, -0.016, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0246, 0.0099, 0.0049, 0.0049, -0.0012, -0.0099, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0369, 0.0234, 0.069, 0.0616, 0.0406, 0.0123, 0.0209, 0.0628, 0.0911, 0.1062, 0.1396, 0.1421, 0.152, 0.1557, 0.1619, 0.1842, 0.2188, 0.1904, 0.2188, 0.2399, 0.2399, 0.2411, 0.2324, 0.2621, 0.2621, 0.2485, 0.251, 0.2584, 0.2399, 0.256, 0.2795, 0.277, 0.2436, 0.2993, 0.3017, 0.3252, 0.3042, 0.2906, 0.3042, 0.3376, 0.3512, 0.3488, 0.3191, 0.3203, 0.3153, 0.3153, 0.3153, 0.3092, 0.3203, 0.277, 0.2869, 0.3364, 0.3611, 0.3661, 0.2857, 0.303, 0.2634, 0.2399, 0.2634, 0.2584, 0.2894, 0.3302, 0.3228, 0.3005, 0.3079, 0.2708, 0.251, 0.2498, 0.2547, 0.2287, 0.2312, 0.2795, 0.2968, 0.2918, 0.298, 0.298, 0.298, 0.3228, 0.3101, 0.3163, 0.3163, 0.3661, 0.3735, 0.4146, 0.427, 0.427, 0.4756, 0.4979, 0.488, 0.5303, 0.5577]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1330904058505334786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-23T16:00:29+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you're not long energy now you never will be", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong conviction long energy sector on vaccines, global mobility recovery, Brent term structure improvement, and beaten-down valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "3 vaccines = ability to believe in a post-COVID world + global mobility trends showing positive inflection + Brent term structure improving+stocks breaching resistance levels + FOMO kicking in + many energy stocks still -50+% YTD...If you're not long energy now you never will be. https://t.co/ugfgqbqcmW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06598883054419769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06598883054419769, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06002998627319256, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06002998627319256, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005958844271005126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005958844271005126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05138221831659329, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05138221831659329, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03526844464713097, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03526844464713097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016113773669462317, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016113773669462317, "ret_p1w": -0.04121044692534703, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04121044692534703, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05407886496782244, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05407886496782244, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012868418042475405, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012868418042475405, "ret_p1m": -0.009092193003017779, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009092193003017779, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0408310674048632, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0408310674048632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03173887440184542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03173887440184542, "ret_p3m": 0.20050747294801652, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20050747294801652, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10280290953851257, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10280290953851257, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770456340950395, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09770456340950395, "ret_p6m": 0.428006980113004, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.428006980113004, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26689539930118067, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26689539930118067, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1611115808118233, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1611115808118233, "ret_p1y": 0.5696509502153273, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5696509502153273, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.25439667359034246, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.25439667359034246, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31525427662498484, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31525427662498484, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009092193003017779, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0408310674048632, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0408310674048632, "price_path": [-0.0832, -0.0814, -0.0649, -0.0852, -0.0914, -0.0957, -0.1024, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.1378, -0.1319, -0.1637, -0.163, -0.1565, -0.1627, -0.1291, -0.1278, -0.1376, -0.1661, -0.1748, -0.2121, -0.2123, -0.2128, -0.1943, -0.2165, -0.2188, -0.2428, -0.2355, -0.2126, -0.2243, -0.2134, -0.1839, -0.1969, -0.1948, -0.2074, -0.204, -0.1943, -0.2126, -0.2293, -0.2201, -0.235, -0.2034, -0.2074, -0.2358, -0.2457, -0.2773, -0.2551, -0.2509, -0.2254, -0.2298, -0.2287, -0.2287, -0.2454, -0.1377, -0.1098, -0.1189, -0.1474, -0.1163, -0.0582, -0.0485, -0.0762, -0.061, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0514, 0.0269, 0.0269, 0.0149, -0.0412, -0.0368, -0.0055, 0.005, 0.0597, 0.035, 0.0503, 0.0527, 0.085, 0.0725, 0.035, 0.0553, 0.0501, 0.0451, 0.0276, 0.0078, -0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0012, -0.0054, 0.0102, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0033, 0.0483, 0.0802, 0.0961, 0.0948, 0.112, 0.1508, 0.1418, 0.1757, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.1527, 0.1569, 0.1178, 0.112, 0.1006, 0.0771, 0.0625, 0.075, 0.0393, 0.0467, 0.058, 0.1032, 0.1154, 0.1249, 0.172, 0.1595, 0.1817, 0.1635, 0.1807, 0.1807, 0.2103, 0.2283, 0.2005, 0.2206, 0.2629, 0.2838, 0.3292, 0.3036, 0.2727, 0.3057, 0.2986, 0.3176, 0.3491, 0.3995, 0.4022, 0.3776, 0.4125, 0.413, 0.4159, 0.3998, 0.3599, 0.3705, 0.3089, 0.3091, 0.2966, 0.2776, 0.3097, 0.3145, 0.3471, 0.331, 0.3196, 0.3105, 0.3439, 0.3439, 0.3118, 0.3083, 0.3129, 0.2958, 0.2872, 0.2771, 0.2784, 0.3139, 0.3033, 0.2928, 0.2915, 0.2573, 0.2733, 0.2584, 0.2699, 0.2784, 0.2939, 0.3385, 0.3535, 0.3193, 0.3556, 0.3564, 0.4002, 0.4074, 0.4325, 0.4331, 0.3962, 0.4029, 0.3858, 0.4288, 0.4619, 0.428]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1069398601502093312", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-12-03T01:11:09+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian WCS-leveraged oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highly positive for CDN WCS levered names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian WCS-leveraged oil producers as differential narrows to rail economics ($20-25/bbl) by end of Q1.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "WCS-leveraged Canadian oil producers: ATH, CVE, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I applaud @RachelNotley for her recent decisiveness on the issue of record high oil differentials. Today’s announcement should see WCS differentials approach rail economics ($20-25/bbl) by the end of Q1 (6 months early). Highly positive for CDN WCS levered names.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1035935175816642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1035935175816642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09052470242928408, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08184185768120618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01306881515238012, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02175165990045802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03538717393627233, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03538717393627233, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029844748866965087, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006680604462415141, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.03240269904957582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02870656947385719, "ret_p1w": -0.11249733183849268, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11249733183849268, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05796798214656278, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0457617938010854, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05452934969192991, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06673553803740728, "ret_p1m": -0.12651995220914328, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12651995220914328, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02655352153255322, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016917940052457142, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09996643067659006, "bench_c_p1m": -0.14343789226160042, "ret_p3m": -0.06919457351019213, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06919457351019213, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07280105477297709, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04374841857689575, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.003606481262784955, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025446154933296383, "ret_p6m": -0.13292240194957508, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13292240194957508, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1462664990331123, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05084435831502168, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013344097083537232, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0820780436345534, "ret_p1y": -0.34428727220549415, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34428727220549415, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47907218008959185, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24962751906984626, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1347849078840977, "bench_c_p1y": -0.0946597531356479, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12651995220914328, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02655352153255322, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016917940052457142, "price_path": [0.1962, 0.174, 0.1815, 0.1805, 0.1939, 0.2085, 0.1782, 0.186, 0.1823, 0.2388, 0.2393, 0.2094, 0.2224, 0.2947, 0.2791, 0.2508, 0.3066, 0.3115, 0.39, 0.3382, 0.3748, 0.3387, 0.3385, 0.3385, 0.3456, 0.2539, 0.194, 0.1755, 0.1446, 0.1566, 0.1215, 0.1008, 0.1427, 0.1279, 0.0745, 0.0204, 0.0612, 0.0741, 0.0087, 0.0096, 0.0366, 0.0669, 0.0396, 0.0882, 0.0699, 0.0829, 0.0495, 0.0038, -0.033, -0.0895, -0.0671, -0.045, -0.0491, -0.0566, -0.1094, -0.0786, -0.0638, -0.111, -0.125, -0.1323, -0.1547, -0.0979, -0.1036, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0084, -0.076, -0.065, -0.1125, -0.1275, -0.0983, -0.0624, -0.0912, -0.1419, -0.188, -0.1711, -0.2005, -0.2224, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2041, -0.1619, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.1082, -0.1077, -0.0732, -0.0826, -0.086, -0.0723, -0.0597, -0.062, -0.0784, -0.0475, -0.0478, -0.063, -0.073, -0.0852, -0.1119, -0.1464, -0.1432, -0.1308, -0.1328, -0.1348, -0.1184, -0.1339, -0.1478, -0.1462, -0.152, -0.155, -0.1793, -0.1841, -0.1759, -0.1619, -0.1269, -0.1187, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0719, -0.075, -0.091, -0.0879, -0.0886, -0.0578, -0.0615, -0.0692, -0.0616, -0.0958, -0.0917, -0.1118, -0.1213, -0.1425, -0.1209, -0.1108, -0.0958, -0.0985, -0.1068, -0.0991, -0.1081, -0.0706, -0.0603, -0.0995, -0.118, -0.0865, -0.1048, -0.1149, -0.1215, -0.1037, -0.103, -0.1206, -0.1062, -0.0624, -0.0253, -0.0326, 0.062, 0.049, 0.0621, 0.0576, 0.0546, 0.0702, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.1019, 0.1282, 0.0921, 0.0684, 0.0395, 0.0457, 0.0284, -0.0322, -0.0611, -0.02, -0.0166, -0.0425, -0.0242, -0.0192, -0.022, -0.0455, -0.034, -0.0377, -0.0366, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0524, -0.0846, -0.1274, -0.1317, -0.1246, -0.1329]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1447925605211779082", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-12T14:02:20+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks to continue to rally into year-end (and beyond)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks into year-end and beyond; only needs generalists to believe in a $60+ WTI floor, not higher oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We do NOT need higher oil prices for energy stocks to continue to rally into year-end (and beyond) but only for  the generalist to believe in a higher, sustainable floor of $60+WTI. Read more tomorrow about how I'm positioned heading into year-end in the @financialpost tomorrow! https://t.co/cwRdHM9co5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008862676260870117, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008862676260870117, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0033539051513968854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0033539051513968854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024676375253098737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024676375253098737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008862676260870117, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008862676260870117, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004483732757417869, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004483732757417869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003597465131330857, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003597465131330857, "ret_p1w": 0.02854103224954274, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02854103224954274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010709976872705251, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010709976872705251, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03925100912224799, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03925100912224799, "ret_p1m": 0.018791372218875724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018791372218875724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.050393592411777766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.050393592411777766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06918496463065349, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06918496463065349, "ret_p3m": 0.10147597218497828, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10147597218497828, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022818453845213194, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022818453845213194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07865751833976509, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07865751833976509, "ret_p6m": 0.38502989104271323, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.38502989104271323, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.34845240546502887, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34845240546502887, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036577485577684365, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036577485577684365, "ret_p1y": 0.34541107046774533, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.34541107046774533, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.49609657732730594, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49609657732730594, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.15068550685956061, "bench_c_p1y": -0.15068550685956061, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.018791372218875724, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.050393592411777766, "alpha_c_stated": -0.050393592411777766, "price_path": [-0.1225, -0.1474, -0.1775, -0.1665, -0.1374, -0.147, -0.1502, -0.1292, -0.1372, -0.1294, -0.1209, -0.135, -0.1414, -0.1267, -0.1504, -0.1407, -0.1329, -0.1451, -0.1301, -0.1232, -0.1241, -0.1344, -0.1504, -0.1591, -0.1766, -0.198, -0.1963, -0.1661, -0.1523, -0.1458, -0.1588, -0.1364, -0.1465, -0.1523, -0.1647, -0.1435, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1535, -0.1644, -0.1626, -0.163, -0.139, -0.1514, -0.1197, -0.1297, -0.1362, -0.1626, -0.1606, -0.1347, -0.1044, -0.0977, -0.0656, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0766, -0.0456, -0.03, -0.0243, -0.0346, -0.0271, 0.0028, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0009, 0.0113, 0.0163, 0.017, 0.0285, 0.0369, 0.0177, 0.0273, 0.0424, 0.0484, 0.0183, 0.0255, 0.0188, 0.0363, 0.0266, 0.0181, 0.0195, 0.0328, 0.0422, 0.0464, 0.0188, 0.0227, 0.0202, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0145, 0.0085, -0.0308, -0.0137, 0.0167, 0.0266, 0.0266, -0.0147, -0.009, -0.0323, -0.0425, -0.0147, -0.0225, -0.008, 0.0152, 0.0151, 0.0073, 0.0147, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0223, -0.0161, -0.0362, -0.0481, -0.021, -0.0147, -0.0142, -0.0142, 0.0074, 0.0067, 0.0002, -0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0275, 0.063, 0.0629, 0.0866, 0.1015, 0.0981, 0.1354, 0.1376, 0.1318, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1631, 0.1546, 0.144, 0.1214, 0.1289, 0.1728, 0.1708, 0.1835, 0.1785, 0.1837, 0.2259, 0.2299, 0.2182, 0.2372, 0.253, 0.2261, 0.2363, 0.2286, 0.2643, 0.2345, 0.2216, 0.2315, 0.2295, 0.222, 0.222, 0.2022, 0.2146, 0.2051, 0.2369, 0.2674, 0.2801, 0.3094, 0.313, 0.3509, 0.3708, 0.3924, 0.3498, 0.3911, 0.38, 0.3387, 0.2897, 0.2837, 0.3279, 0.3267, 0.3801, 0.37, 0.3936, 0.397, 0.4276, 0.3923, 0.3887, 0.4048, 0.3858, 0.397, 0.3988, 0.3769, 0.385]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1385580442473074693", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-23T13:04:54+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stocks remain extremely attractively valued at $60WTI and Q1 earnings is just around the corner", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Energy equities attractive at $60 WTI; oversold vs modest oil decline, bullish into Q1 earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks have overshot the modest sell-off in oil this past month, largely on low volume. Equity investors more worried about Iran/India 3rd wave/NOPEC than commodity investors? Stocks remain extremely attractively valued at $60WTI and Q1 earnings is just around the corner. https://t.co/UQD7Mij9ui", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009044992101923333, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009044992101923333, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016807886845660036, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016807886845660036, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010725780786489336, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010725780786489336, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006731273661164439, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006731273661164439, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004643494578110863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004643494578110863, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002087779083053576, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002087779083053576, "ret_p1w": 0.03891460867110541, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03891460867110541, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03757066165057732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03757066165057732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0013439470205280912, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0013439470205280912, "ret_p1m": 0.10811956265064127, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10811956265064127, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10228839598529449, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10228839598529449, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005831166665346776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005831166665346776, "ret_p3m": 0.04655733254503813, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04655733254503813, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0004094017773230707, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0004094017773230707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04614793076771506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04614793076771506, "ret_p6m": 0.23391716606080304, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23391716606080304, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15389018205715188, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15389018205715188, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08002698400365116, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08002698400365116, "ret_p1y": 0.7248437906983614, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7248437906983614, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6592927179281896, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6592927179281896, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0655510727701718, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0655510727701718, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10811956265064127, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10228839598529449, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10228839598529449, "price_path": [-0.1518, -0.1633, -0.1535, -0.1816, -0.1758, -0.1668, -0.1312, -0.1216, -0.1142, -0.0771, -0.0869, -0.0694, -0.0838, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0469, -0.0328, -0.0546, -0.0388, -0.0055, 0.0109, 0.0467, 0.0266, 0.0022, 0.0282, 0.0226, 0.0376, 0.0624, 0.1021, 0.1042, 0.0848, 0.1123, 0.1127, 0.115, 0.1023, 0.0709, 0.0792, 0.0307, 0.0309, 0.021, 0.0061, 0.0313, 0.0351, 0.0608, 0.0482, 0.0391, 0.032, 0.0583, 0.0583, 0.033, 0.0303, 0.0339, 0.0204, 0.0137, 0.0057, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0263, 0.0181, 0.017, -0.0099, 0.0027, -0.009, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.0189, 0.0541, 0.0658, 0.0389, 0.0675, 0.0682, 0.1027, 0.1083, 0.1281, 0.1285, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.0913, 0.1252, 0.1512, 0.1245, 0.0966, 0.0949, 0.0972, 0.1081, 0.0856, 0.0953, 0.0961, 0.0982, 0.0982, 0.1405, 0.1618, 0.1649, 0.1727, 0.1676, 0.1777, 0.1704, 0.1689, 0.1649, 0.1599, 0.182, 0.1756, 0.1357, 0.102, 0.149, 0.1566, 0.1598, 0.1698, 0.176, 0.1362, 0.1307, 0.1447, 0.1647, 0.1622, 0.1622, 0.1243, 0.1061, 0.0997, 0.1231, 0.1214, 0.1129, 0.0797, 0.0646, 0.0344, -0.0021, 0.0113, 0.0466, 0.0349, 0.031, 0.0565, 0.0468, 0.0563, 0.0665, 0.0495, 0.0417, 0.0595, 0.0308, 0.0425, 0.0521, 0.0372, 0.0555, 0.0638, 0.0627, 0.0502, 0.0308, 0.0202, -0.001, -0.027, -0.0248, 0.0117, 0.0285, 0.0364, 0.0206, 0.0478, 0.0355, 0.0285, 0.0134, 0.0391, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.027, 0.0138, 0.016, 0.0155, 0.0446, 0.0296, 0.068, 0.0559, 0.048, 0.016, 0.0184, 0.0498, 0.0866, 0.0948, 0.1337, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.1204, 0.158, 0.1769, 0.1838, 0.1713, 0.1804, 0.2167, 0.2122, 0.2133, 0.2122, 0.227, 0.2331, 0.2339]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1537069788303970305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-15T13:49:29+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "are CDN energy stocks still a \"generational opportunity\" given they discount an oil price of ~ $60WTI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil structural thesis (shale exhausted, OPEC spare capacity gone, demand destruction needed); implies Canadian energy stocks are a generational buy at ~$60 WTI discount.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So if US shale hyper-growth is over, OPEC is soon out of spare capacity, the supermajors cannot grow for years, and demand must get killed via higher oil prices, are CDN energy stocks still a \"generational opportunity\" given they discount an oil price of ~ $60WTI??? https://t.co/ZDd8PE5CS6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013601391871698176, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013601391871698176, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02765730236632724, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02765730236632724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014055910494629065, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014055910494629065, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05085728982561433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05085728982561433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017761221032533747, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017761221032533747, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.03309606879308058, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03309606879308058, "ret_p1w": -0.11117695975498354, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11117695975498354, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10275744640569573, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10275744640569573, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00841951334928781, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00841951334928781, "ret_p1m": -0.21636012474539812, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21636012474539812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21726316617839858, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21726316617839858, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009030414330004621, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009030414330004621, "ret_p3m": -0.07453017634453551, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07453017634453551, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1629936221747642, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1629936221747642, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08846344583022869, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08846344583022869, "ret_p6m": -0.07190308678428226, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07190308678428226, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12566449929144863, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12566449929144863, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05376141250716637, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05376141250716637, "ret_p1y": -0.09681980371269072, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09681980371269072, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24442013142028618, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24442013142028618, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14760032770759546, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14760032770759546, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09681980371269072, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24442013142028618, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24442013142028618, "price_path": [-0.187, -0.1522, -0.1593, -0.144, -0.1458, -0.1212, -0.1419, -0.1455, -0.1402, -0.1461, -0.1331, -0.12, -0.1348, -0.1467, -0.1313, -0.113, -0.1354, -0.1147, -0.0999, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0645, -0.0781, -0.0651, -0.0982, -0.1153, -0.1443, -0.1366, -0.1082, -0.0627, -0.0763, -0.0798, -0.0444, -0.0213, -0.0302, -0.0284, -0.0982, -0.1011, -0.0852, -0.097, -0.0615, -0.0378, -0.0248, -0.0402, -0.0355, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.0065, 0.0142, 0.0183, 0.0361, 0.0603, 0.0325, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0538, 0.0627, 0.0869, 0.0946, 0.0822, 0.0656, 0.0325, 0.0136, 0.0, -0.0509, -0.1047, -0.0834, -0.0615, -0.1112, -0.1727, -0.1454, -0.1055, -0.068, -0.1013, -0.1168, -0.1168, -0.0948, -0.1556, -0.1889, -0.152, -0.1615, -0.1729, -0.2003, -0.2032, -0.2164, -0.205, -0.177, -0.1568, -0.1448, -0.1633, -0.1752, -0.1454, -0.1526, -0.1264, -0.1085, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.1002, -0.1383, -0.1746, -0.1592, -0.1544, -0.1484, -0.1395, -0.1061, -0.0984, -0.1127, -0.124, -0.1109, -0.0864, -0.0906, -0.0841, -0.0555, -0.0459, -0.0394, -0.0459, -0.031, -0.068, -0.0763, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0775, -0.0966, -0.1246, -0.1168, -0.0936, -0.0745, -0.0823, -0.0537, -0.0763, -0.0864, -0.0805, -0.0847, -0.1043, -0.1198, -0.1887, -0.2165, -0.1984, -0.1657, -0.1639, -0.1633, -0.1155, -0.0755, -0.058, -0.0392, -0.038, -0.038, -0.0761, -0.0767, -0.0471, -0.0792, -0.078, -0.0828, -0.0544, -0.0398, -0.0229, -0.015, -0.012, 0.0061, 0.0019, 0.0019, 0.0195, 0.0322, 0.0249, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0552, 0.0461, 0.0031, 0.0273, 0.0497, 0.0346, 0.0527, 0.0291, 0.0237, 0.0207, 0.0098, 0.0334, 0.0213, 0.0237, 0.0219, 0.0055, 0.0201, 0.0104, 0.0013, 0.0037, -0.0259, -0.0598, -0.0652, -0.0719]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1488209461361709065", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-01-31T17:55:59+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks still represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil to $100 WTI by year-end; energy stocks still a generational buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is oil likely to reach $100WTI by year-end and if so how much potential upside still remains in energy stocks? Read why energy stocks still represent a generational opportunity in my 17th column for the @financialpost https://t.co/r18DN3qtYU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004398986162755136, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004398986162755136, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01329327888478038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01329327888478038, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017692265047535516, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017692265047535516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03564926555282599, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03564926555282599, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028892132270252224, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028892132270252224, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0067571332825737684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0067571332825737684, "ret_p1w": 0.05855565500628357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05855565500628357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06444562261124598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06444562261124598, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0058899676049624095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0058899676049624095, "ret_p1m": 0.0814624477897683, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0814624477897683, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1257600173458392, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1257600173458392, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04429756955607089, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04429756955607089, "ret_p3m": 0.1812470359444358, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1812470359444358, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2274139011987537, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2274139011987537, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0461668652543179, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0461668652543179, "ret_p6m": 0.1319271680081311, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1319271680081311, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25664507850987417, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25664507850987417, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.12471791050174308, "bench_c_p6m": -0.12471791050174308, "ret_p1y": 0.39963330578365186, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.39963330578365186, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5153647625493669, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5153647625493669, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.11573145676571506, "bench_c_p1y": -0.11573145676571506, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0814624477897683, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1257600173458392, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1257600173458392, "price_path": [-0.1399, -0.1387, -0.1275, -0.1196, -0.116, -0.1393, -0.136, -0.1381, -0.1309, -0.1296, -0.1429, -0.148, -0.1813, -0.1667, -0.1411, -0.1327, -0.1327, -0.1676, -0.1628, -0.1825, -0.1911, -0.1676, -0.1742, -0.1619, -0.1423, -0.1425, -0.1491, -0.1428, -0.1666, -0.17, -0.1741, -0.1688, -0.1858, -0.1958, -0.1729, -0.1676, -0.1672, -0.1672, -0.149, -0.1496, -0.155, -0.1602, -0.1581, -0.132, -0.1019, -0.1021, -0.0821, -0.0695, -0.0724, -0.0408, -0.039, -0.0438, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0174, -0.0246, -0.0335, -0.0526, -0.0463, -0.0093, -0.0109, -0.0002, -0.0044, 0.0, 0.0356, 0.039, 0.0291, 0.0452, 0.0586, 0.0358, 0.0444, 0.0379, 0.0681, 0.0429, 0.032, 0.0404, 0.0387, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0156, 0.0261, 0.0181, 0.0449, 0.0707, 0.0815, 0.1062, 0.1092, 0.1412, 0.1581, 0.1763, 0.1403, 0.1752, 0.1658, 0.1309, 0.0895, 0.0845, 0.1218, 0.1208, 0.1659, 0.1574, 0.1773, 0.1802, 0.2061, 0.1762, 0.1731, 0.1868, 0.1707, 0.1802, 0.1817, 0.1632, 0.1701, 0.1854, 0.218, 0.1814, 0.201, 0.2189, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.2408, 0.2307, 0.2355, 0.1963, 0.167, 0.1284, 0.1299, 0.1465, 0.1812, 0.1509, 0.1693, 0.2021, 0.252, 0.2332, 0.2699, 0.1649, 0.1754, 0.1912, 0.1963, 0.2371, 0.2698, 0.2845, 0.2515, 0.2469, 0.2523, 0.2854, 0.2903, 0.3169, 0.3315, 0.3558, 0.3558, 0.3355, 0.3572, 0.3529, 0.3708, 0.3693, 0.4102, 0.4133, 0.382, 0.3586, 0.2877, 0.2901, 0.2617, 0.1906, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.1838, 0.1364, 0.0943, 0.1087, 0.1412, 0.172, 0.1313, 0.1075, 0.124, 0.124, 0.0794, 0.061, 0.0993, 0.0988, 0.0883, 0.067, 0.0653, 0.0452, 0.0622, 0.0866, 0.12, 0.1308, 0.111, 0.1019, 0.1423, 0.1319]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1508810864375304203", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-03-29T14:18:37+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With CDN energy stocks discounting $60WTI, I remain very bullish. The golden era of FCF is here!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish WTI to $100 on structural supply constraints + very bullish Canadian energy stocks discounting only $60 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My view is that even after the last cruise missile falls, that sanctions on Russian energy will be enduring, structurally impacting 1MM+ Bbl/d of exports + loss of productivity from restricted access to services/capital...\n\n---\n\nMy focus remains on what matters: demand normalization and 2H'22 surge, the end of US shale hypergrowth, OPEC spare capacity exhaustion, and insufficient investment by the supermajors. Everything else to me is a distraction...\n\n---\n\nAs I explained in my @financialpost column, inventory levels fundamentally support $100WTI. With the past 2 days weakness there is no political risk premium in the oil price IMO. With CDN energy stocks discounting $60WTI, I remain very bullish. The golden era of FCF is here! https://t.co/sO6y4yaESL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004152343923744972, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004152343923744972, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016371950690551085, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016371950690551085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012219606766806113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012219606766806113, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0062281701962447755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0062281701962447755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012402851438780504, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012402851438780504, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006174681242535729, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006174681242535729, "ret_p1w": 0.012456647671931886, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012456647671931886, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03524921432528527, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03524921432528527, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022792566653353385, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022792566653353385, "ret_p1m": 0.04359842049148277, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04359842049148277, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13953589961667345, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13953589961667345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09593747912519068, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09593747912519068, "ret_p3m": 3.5951694749902785e-05, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.5951694749902785e-05, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1512328067012244, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1512328067012244, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1511968550064745, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1511968550064745, "ret_p6m": 0.04815506734144215, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04815506734144215, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22359171594618732, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22359171594618732, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.17543664860474517, "bench_c_p6m": -0.17543664860474517, "ret_p1y": 0.004997055110644855, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.004997055110644855, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13555799949190783, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13555799949190783, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.13056094438126298, "bench_c_p1y": -0.13056094438126298, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04359842049148277, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13953589961667345, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13953589961667345, "price_path": [-0.275, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2441, -0.2399, -0.2172, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.1835, -0.1711, -0.1766, -0.1532, -0.138, -0.1442, -0.1477, -0.1546, -0.1849, -0.1966, -0.1683, -0.1663, -0.1539, -0.1491, -0.1422, -0.1119, -0.1043, -0.1112, -0.105, -0.1126, -0.1484, -0.1325, -0.1263, -0.0954, -0.1071, -0.1091, -0.1016, -0.1009, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.1201, -0.1181, -0.1133, -0.0926, -0.0692, -0.0589, -0.0506, -0.063, -0.03, -0.0017, -0.0003, -0.0361, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0609, -0.0781, -0.0754, -0.041, -0.0485, -0.0079, -0.0162, 0.0017, -0.0003, 0.0284, 0.0042, 0.0, 0.0062, -0.0007, 0.0145, 0.0298, 0.0125, -0.0014, 0.0166, 0.0381, 0.0118, 0.036, 0.0533, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.0948, 0.0789, 0.0941, 0.0554, 0.0353, 0.0014, 0.0104, 0.0436, 0.0969, 0.081, 0.0768, 0.1183, 0.1453, 0.1349, 0.137, 0.0554, 0.0519, 0.0706, 0.0567, 0.0983, 0.126, 0.1412, 0.1232, 0.1287, 0.1349, 0.1349, 0.1626, 0.1869, 0.1917, 0.2125, 0.2408, 0.2083, 0.2298, 0.2298, 0.2332, 0.2436, 0.272, 0.281, 0.2664, 0.2471, 0.2083, 0.1862, 0.1702, 0.1107, 0.0478, 0.0727, 0.0983, 0.0401, -0.0318, 0.0, 0.0468, 0.0907, 0.0516, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0593, -0.0118, -0.0509, -0.0076, -0.0188, -0.032, -0.0641, -0.0676, -0.083, -0.0697, -0.0369, -0.0132, 0.0007, -0.0209, -0.0348, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0224, 0.0433, 0.0747, 0.0747, 0.053, 0.0084, -0.0341, -0.016, -0.0104, -0.0035, 0.007, 0.0461, 0.0551, 0.0384, 0.0251, 0.0405, 0.0691, 0.0642, 0.0719, 0.1053, 0.1165, 0.1242, 0.1165, 0.1339, 0.0907, 0.0809, 0.0565, 0.0795, 0.0795, 0.0572, 0.0244, 0.0335, 0.0607, 0.083, 0.074, 0.1074, 0.0809, 0.0691, 0.0761, 0.0712, 0.0482]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1227229415224041473", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-02-11T13:54:28+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian mid cap energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the recent energy sell-off is a gift", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil to $60+ in 2H 2020 and Canadian mid-cap energy on coronavirus-driven sell-off viewed as buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy: BTE, WCP, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil trading near a 1 year low on caronavirus panic and CDN mid cap energy stocks \"no bid\"???  Sounds like time for my next @marketcall appearance...tomorrow at 12ET where I'll discuss why I see oil recovering to $60+ in 2H'20 and why the recent energy sell-off is a gift #OOTT https://t.co/KNywjo0X3N", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004204747195150321, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004204747195150321, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024745928966631026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006842961972660183, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017301542984872187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011047709167810504, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041584065996618014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041584065996618014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03514125825401315, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028142736609626073, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006442807742604861, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01344132938699194, "ret_p1w": 0.021364587391525386, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021364587391525386, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016980035747017147, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024679146089830267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004384551644508239, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0033145586983048814, "ret_p1m": -0.5512538684991861, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5512538684991861, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.36960380331211184, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17121321056834815, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.18165006518707427, "bench_c_p1m": -0.38004065793083797, "ret_p3m": -0.5322761612301213, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5322761612301213, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40968352351975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26230322825877483, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12259263771037132, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2699729329713465, "ret_p6m": -0.3933117920685027, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3933117920685027, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3941259706082744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1069608199546292, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.000814178539771726, "bench_c_p6m": -0.2863509721138735, "ret_p1y": -0.20309427715237632, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20309427715237632, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35050870249562066, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0018167505654017035, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14741442534324434, "bench_c_p1y": -0.20127752658697462, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5512538684991861, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.36960380331211184, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17121321056834815, "price_path": [-0.0119, 0.0042, -0.0419, -0.0843, -0.0566, -0.0444, -0.0428, -0.0456, -0.0714, -0.0382, -0.0299, -0.0408, -0.0612, -0.0801, -0.0352, -0.0289, 0.0245, 0.0706, 0.081, 0.0738, 0.1067, 0.1016, 0.1296, 0.1831, 0.1794, 0.2196, 0.2066, 0.2782, 0.2936, 0.2936, 0.2936, 0.3047, 0.3189, 0.304, 0.304, 0.2965, 0.3328, 0.37, 0.3548, 0.2822, 0.2852, 0.2301, 0.1991, 0.1998, 0.1736, 0.1958, 0.1948, 0.2055, 0.1797, 0.1473, 0.1312, 0.0845, 0.0356, 0.0525, 0.0659, 0.0534, 0.0294, 0.0203, 0.0195, 0.0796, 0.0624, 0.0274, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0416, 0.0412, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0214, 0.0561, 0.0526, 0.0267, -0.0337, -0.0746, -0.0873, -0.1338, -0.1196, -0.1125, -0.1294, -0.1222, -0.1553, -0.2322, -0.4769, -0.4802, -0.5513, -0.6323, -0.6034, -0.6647, -0.6776, -0.7169, -0.6787, -0.6877, -0.7034, -0.6808, -0.6231, -0.6377, -0.6716, -0.6496, -0.6329, -0.6412, -0.6053, -0.5761, -0.5752, -0.5713, -0.5564, -0.5693, -0.5693, -0.5604, -0.5823, -0.6003, -0.6217, -0.597, -0.5974, -0.5964, -0.5718, -0.5566, -0.5726, -0.5823, -0.5732, -0.531, -0.5065, -0.5204, -0.5184, -0.5066, -0.5251, -0.5223, -0.5323, -0.5368, -0.5465, -0.5716, -0.5674, -0.5572, -0.5572, -0.5235, -0.4862, -0.4944, -0.4971, -0.4981, -0.4938, -0.4903, -0.5009, -0.5183, -0.5031, -0.4641, -0.4536, -0.4147, -0.3308, -0.2657, -0.3061, -0.3508, -0.4414, -0.4191, -0.4262, -0.4238, -0.4416, -0.4448, -0.4489, -0.4633, -0.4339, -0.4664, -0.4653, -0.4789, -0.4739, -0.4614, -0.4614, -0.4418, -0.439, -0.4376, -0.4509, -0.4621, -0.4728, -0.4472, -0.4682, -0.4527, -0.4309, -0.4392, -0.4464, -0.4568, -0.4172, -0.4232, -0.4282, -0.4222, -0.4244, -0.4396, -0.4311, -0.4313, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.4028, -0.3933]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1418298588774416388", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-07-22T19:55:08+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author bullish on oil and energy equities as a multi-year, generational opportunity driven by end of US shale hyper-growth and restored discipline.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The era of US shale hyper growth is over. External sources of funding are no longer available, compensation metrics have changed, and variable dividends codified. \"Discipline\" is the new normal.  The sins of the past will not be repeated. https://t.co/nfYgkkrXHc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance. Hear why in this 45 minute webcast recorded earlier today: https://t.co/HR4OoDaUxX https://t.co/YQi3xphizm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "ret_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "ret_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "ret_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "ret_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "ret_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "price_path": [-0.0272, -0.0154, 0.0185, 0.0299, 0.0039, 0.0316, 0.0322, 0.0655, 0.071, 0.0901, 0.0905, 0.0624, 0.0675, 0.0545, 0.0872, 0.1125, 0.0866, 0.0596, 0.058, 0.0602, 0.0708, 0.049, 0.0584, 0.0592, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.1021, 0.1226, 0.1257, 0.1332, 0.1283, 0.1381, 0.1309, 0.1295, 0.1257, 0.1208, 0.1421, 0.136, 0.0974, 0.0649, 0.1103, 0.1177, 0.1207, 0.1304, 0.1363, 0.0979, 0.0926, 0.1062, 0.1255, 0.123, 0.123, 0.0864, 0.0688, 0.0626, 0.0852, 0.0836, 0.0754, 0.0433, 0.0287, -0.0004, -0.0357, -0.0228, 0.0113, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0209, 0.0115, 0.0207, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0066, 0.0238, -0.0039, 0.0074, 0.0166, 0.0023, 0.0199, 0.0279, 0.0269, 0.0148, -0.0039, -0.0142, -0.0347, -0.0598, -0.0577, -0.0224, -0.0062, 0.0014, -0.0138, 0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0062, -0.0207, 0.0041, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0076, -0.0203, -0.0183, -0.0187, 0.0094, -0.0051, 0.032, 0.0203, 0.0127, -0.0182, -0.0159, 0.0144, 0.05, 0.0579, 0.0955, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0826, 0.119, 0.1373, 0.1439, 0.1319, 0.1406, 0.1757, 0.1713, 0.1724, 0.1713, 0.1857, 0.1915, 0.1923, 0.2058, 0.2156, 0.1932, 0.2044, 0.2221, 0.2291, 0.1938, 0.2023, 0.1944, 0.215, 0.2036, 0.1936, 0.1953, 0.2108, 0.2219, 0.2268, 0.1944, 0.199, 0.1961, 0.2061, 0.2079, 0.1894, 0.1824, 0.1362, 0.1564, 0.1919, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.1551, 0.1618, 0.1346, 0.1225, 0.1551, 0.146, 0.163, 0.1903, 0.1901, 0.1809, 0.1896, 0.1566, 0.1518, 0.1462, 0.1535, 0.13, 0.116, 0.1478, 0.1551, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1802, 0.1726, 0.1655, 0.1684, 0.2046, 0.2463, 0.2461, 0.2739, 0.2914, 0.2874, 0.3311, 0.3337, 0.3269, 0.3581]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1206955296754667522", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-12-17T15:12:21+00:00", "symbol": "midcap E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "multiple inbounds from all across the Street this morning bidding for a wide variety midcap E&P's in size", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Declares bull market in Canadian energy (XEG above 200dma) driven by generalist and algo inflows into midcap E&Ps.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers midcap E&P companies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trading update: multiple inbounds from all across the Street this morning bidding for a wide variety midcap E&amp;P's in size. Generalists coming back + momentum/algos. The turn is in with XEG smashing through its 200 day moving average. Bull market in 2020+ #OOTT https://t.co/VTmN6P1UIQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02568566313020948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02568566313020948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02546703220504365, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02546703220504365, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00021863092516583027, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00021863092516583027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006095107435795777, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006095107435795777, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006031996395438055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006031996395438055, "bench_spy_p1d": 6.311104035772175e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 6.311104035772175e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.036209386811543176, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036209386811543176, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0260725566155251, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0260725566155251, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010136830196018076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010136830196018076, "ret_p1m": -8.010668187918846e-05, "ret_signed_p1m": -8.010668187918846e-05, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03210323661564507, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03210323661564507, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03202312993376588, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03202312993376588, "ret_p3m": -0.586390730256984, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.586390730256984, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.43329185216336163, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43329185216336163, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.15309887809362233, "bench_c_p3m": -0.15309887809362233, "ret_p6m": -0.3171804625635908, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3171804625635908, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32620345115382876, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32620345115382876, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00902298859023798, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00902298859023798, "ret_p1y": -0.3695143814339932, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3695143814339932, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5391522374731947, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5391522374731947, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16963785603920156, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16963785603920156, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3695143814339932, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5391522374731947, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5391522374731947, "price_path": [0.0286, 0.0357, 0.0322, 0.0035, 0.0048, -0.0148, -0.02, -0.0266, -0.0618, -0.0879, -0.074, -0.0753, -0.0866, -0.1128, -0.1058, -0.0966, -0.0744, -0.0866, -0.0858, -0.0923, -0.0879, -0.1049, -0.0984, -0.0836, -0.0657, -0.0688, -0.0492, -0.0557, -0.0401, -0.0758, -0.0805, -0.0488, -0.0026, -0.0013, -0.0318, -0.0122, -0.0057, -0.0279, -0.0313, -0.0466, -0.0557, -0.044, -0.0736, -0.1036, -0.0988, -0.0858, -0.0836, -0.0758, -0.0988, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.1136, -0.1132, -0.1276, -0.1006, -0.108, -0.0758, -0.0697, -0.0631, -0.0688, -0.0335, -0.0527, -0.0257, 0.0, 0.0061, 0.0187, 0.0152, 0.0371, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0401, 0.0227, 0.0213, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0345, 0.0506, 0.0576, 0.0703, 0.0297, 0.0248, 0.0152, 0.0008, 0.0117, -0.0001, -0.0058, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0543, -0.0753, -0.0906, -0.1063, -0.1387, -0.1269, -0.1452, -0.1417, -0.1623, -0.1767, -0.1737, -0.1286, -0.1448, -0.1601, -0.1811, -0.1772, -0.1662, -0.1715, -0.1789, -0.1789, -0.1876, -0.1636, -0.1605, -0.178, -0.2283, -0.269, -0.3061, -0.3516, -0.3276, -0.328, -0.3503, -0.3485, -0.3757, -0.4356, -0.6437, -0.5658, -0.5925, -0.6397, -0.5864, -0.6214, -0.6271, -0.6603, -0.638, -0.6393, -0.6665, -0.6254, -0.6209, -0.6183, -0.6448, -0.646, -0.6362, -0.6568, -0.6278, -0.6138, -0.5938, -0.5812, -0.5433, -0.5411, -0.5411, -0.5367, -0.5422, -0.5544, -0.5746, -0.5316, -0.5244, -0.518, -0.5044, -0.4849, -0.4803, -0.4689, -0.4639, -0.4059, -0.3989, -0.447, -0.4185, -0.4278, -0.4481, -0.4399, -0.4074, -0.4202, -0.4317, -0.4696, -0.4733, -0.4699, -0.4146, -0.432, -0.4124, -0.4169, -0.4158, -0.4158, -0.392, -0.3899, -0.4164, -0.4263, -0.4096, -0.3891, -0.3771, -0.3697, -0.2954, -0.2058, -0.2634, -0.3172]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1493577522532999171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-02-15T13:26:45+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Investors need not believe in the calls for $100+ to still be excited about energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks and oil on multi-year bull thesis independent of geopolitics; energy equities lagging WTI spike is opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't know who needs to hear this, but the multi-year oil bull market thesis doesn't hinge on war in Ukraine or an Iran deal, and energy stocks have been lagging the recent spike in WTI.  Investors need not believe in the calls for $100+ to still be excited about energy stocks. https://t.co/6NsvkGG3kg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010583743770810283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010583743770810283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026454466681292477, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026454466681292477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015870722910482193, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015870722910482193, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008084772605674306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008084772605674306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006963638243957737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006963638243957737, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011211343617165692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011211343617165692, "ret_p1w": -0.01587525740412621, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01587525740412621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021179248508117143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021179248508117143, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03705450591224335, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03705450591224335, "ret_p1m": 0.050860137211852896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050860137211852896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0743526157853871, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0743526157853871, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023492478573534203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023492478573534203, "ret_p3m": 0.19877584609698684, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19877584609698684, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2954626619992553, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2954626619992553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09668681590226846, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09668681590226846, "ret_p6m": 0.1298338140207882, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1298338140207882, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18135893022244876, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18135893022244876, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05152511620166056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05152511620166056, "ret_p1y": 0.32035917963658656, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.32035917963658656, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3709271980823651, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3709271980823651, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05056801844577852, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05056801844577852, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.32035917963658656, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3709271980823651, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3709271980823651, "price_path": [-0.1744, -0.2067, -0.1926, -0.1678, -0.1596, -0.1596, -0.1935, -0.1888, -0.2078, -0.2162, -0.1935, -0.1998, -0.1879, -0.1689, -0.1691, -0.1755, -0.1694, -0.1924, -0.1958, -0.1997, -0.1946, -0.211, -0.2208, -0.1986, -0.1934, -0.193, -0.193, -0.1754, -0.176, -0.1812, -0.1862, -0.1842, -0.1589, -0.1298, -0.1299, -0.1105, -0.0983, -0.1011, -0.0706, -0.0688, -0.0735, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0479, -0.0548, -0.0635, -0.082, -0.0758, -0.04, -0.0416, -0.0312, -0.0353, -0.031, 0.0035, 0.0068, -0.0028, 0.0128, 0.0257, 0.0037, 0.0121, 0.0057, 0.035, 0.0106, 0.0, 0.0081, 0.0065, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0159, -0.0057, -0.0135, 0.0125, 0.0375, 0.0479, 0.0719, 0.0748, 0.1058, 0.1222, 0.1398, 0.105, 0.1388, 0.1296, 0.0958, 0.0557, 0.0509, 0.087, 0.086, 0.1298, 0.1215, 0.1408, 0.1436, 0.1687, 0.1397, 0.1367, 0.15, 0.1344, 0.1436, 0.1451, 0.1271, 0.1338, 0.1486, 0.1802, 0.1448, 0.1638, 0.1811, 0.185, 0.185, 0.2023, 0.1925, 0.1971, 0.1592, 0.1308, 0.0934, 0.0949, 0.1109, 0.1446, 0.1152, 0.133, 0.1648, 0.2132, 0.1949, 0.2305, 0.1287, 0.139, 0.1543, 0.1592, 0.1988, 0.2304, 0.2446, 0.2127, 0.2083, 0.2135, 0.2455, 0.2503, 0.2761, 0.2902, 0.3138, 0.3138, 0.294, 0.3151, 0.311, 0.3283, 0.3268, 0.3665, 0.3694, 0.3392, 0.3165, 0.2477, 0.2501, 0.2225, 0.1537, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.1471, 0.1012, 0.0604, 0.0743, 0.1058, 0.1357, 0.0962, 0.0731, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.0459, 0.0281, 0.0652, 0.0647, 0.0545, 0.0339, 0.0323, 0.0128, 0.0293, 0.0529, 0.0853, 0.0958, 0.0766, 0.0677, 0.1069, 0.0968, 0.1216, 0.1279, 0.1768, 0.1525, 0.1498, 0.1168, 0.0754, 0.0967, 0.1024, 0.1217, 0.1298]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1581990115060031489", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-17T12:46:50+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "force a re-rating from near generational low valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: buybacks at generational-low valuations will force a re-rating; 3-5 year buyback capacity implies massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"If you don't see the value in our stock, then we do\" is now becoming the mantra of energy companies, expressed with meaningful share buybacks, until they either privatize, or force a re-rating from near generational low valuations. https://t.co/Ki9HlEqLbX\n\n---\n\nTo be clear, I do not want nor expect sector wide privatizations.  It is the re-rating that I'm after that such action must force -&gt; What is the value of the last remaining share if you have 20+ years of inventory and can buy back all of your shares in only 3-5 years???", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012303187874648791, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012303187874648791, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01274976007485562, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01274976007485562, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02505294794950441, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02505294794950441, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008735149284765154, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008735149284765154, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003014661769541016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003014661769541016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01174981105430617, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01174981105430617, "ret_p1w": 0.07455690858315545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07455690858315545, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04170690482996031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04170690482996031, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032850003753195134, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032850003753195134, "ret_p1m": 0.157480445572171, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.157480445572171, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07114370611618637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07114370611618637, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08633673945598463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08633673945598463, "ret_p3m": 0.11645037900174793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11645037900174793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02931522465824621, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02931522465824621, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08713515434350172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08713515434350172, "ret_p6m": 0.08602775486261605, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08602775486261605, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04033504510638197, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04033504510638197, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12636279996899802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12636279996899802, "ret_p1y": 0.0944883096048712, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0944883096048712, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.08141588130608457, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.08141588130608457, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17590419091095577, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17590419091095577, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0944883096048712, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08141588130608457, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08141588130608457, "price_path": [-0.1113, -0.1269, -0.1341, -0.1023, -0.1105, -0.0904, -0.0853, -0.0456, -0.0653, -0.0675, -0.0943, -0.1279, -0.1106, -0.106, -0.0903, -0.0837, -0.0522, -0.045, -0.0636, -0.0658, -0.058, -0.0327, -0.0329, -0.0348, 0.0, 0.0123, 0.0201, 0.0082, 0.0234, -0.0113, -0.0203, -0.0444, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0359, -0.0471, -0.0429, -0.0191, -0.001, -0.0262, 0.0013, -0.0245, -0.0453, -0.0448, -0.0514, -0.0653, -0.0687, -0.1329, -0.1542, -0.1447, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1139, -0.0639, -0.0236, -0.0034, 0.0143, 0.0064, -0.0143, -0.0221, -0.0143, 0.026, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.0087, 0.0385, 0.0395, 0.0695, 0.0746, 0.0757, 0.0903, 0.0942, 0.0981, 0.1073, 0.118, 0.091, 0.1112, 0.1248, 0.1441, 0.1452, 0.0892, 0.1134, 0.1458, 0.1454, 0.1575, 0.1339, 0.1363, 0.1273, 0.1121, 0.1469, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1303, 0.0993, 0.1159, 0.1214, 0.1177, 0.1111, 0.0781, 0.0497, 0.0472, 0.0426, 0.0172, 0.0439, 0.0637, 0.0572, 0.0508, 0.0379, 0.0378, 0.0534, 0.0734, 0.0487, 0.0821, 0.0821, 0.0937, 0.0692, 0.0804, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0491, 0.049, 0.0681, 0.0884, 0.0845, 0.0922, 0.0956, 0.1165, 0.1181, 0.1181, 0.1204, 0.0999, 0.1136, 0.1247, 0.1261, 0.1218, 0.1219, 0.1573, 0.134, 0.108, 0.1178, 0.0958, 0.0708, 0.0685, 0.0636, 0.0982, 0.0884, 0.079, 0.1213, 0.1184, 0.1188, 0.0998, 0.089, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.045, 0.038, 0.0537, 0.0523, 0.0554, 0.0403, 0.0608, 0.0701, 0.0846, 0.0851, 0.0662, 0.0553, 0.0404, 0.0271, 0.0062, 0.0161, -0.0384, -0.028, -0.0433, -0.0241, 0.0097, -0.0118, -0.0255, -0.0217, -0.0009, 0.0146, 0.0286, 0.0332, 0.0403, 0.0874, 0.0677, 0.0838, 0.0673, 0.0673, 0.0759, 0.086]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1420718254415392769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-29T12:10:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks trading at 3.0x EV/CF and an average 23% FCF yield we do NOT need oil to rally further for the stocks to do quite well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy equities on 3x EV/CF and 23% FCF yield; meaningful capital return catalyst expected in September.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Q2 results so far have been stellar across the board.\nI'll talk to the lack of response in the energy equities tomorrow on @BNNBloomberg (Summer doldrums not helping!) but every day above $70WTI is a great day...FCF accumulating for some serious shareholder returns coming soon!\n\n---\n\nVery clearly with energy stocks trading at 3.0x EV/CF and an average 23% FCF yield we do NOT need oil to rally further for the stocks to do quite well. It will all come down to meaningful \"return of capital\" messaging in September and is something I'm working on aggressively. https://t.co/9f7ZmDUpz0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009563812138867811, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009563812138867811, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005433393343152626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005433393343152626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004130418795715185, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004130418795715185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015939536032683943, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015939536032683943, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011083106611034954, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011083106611034954, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004856429421648989, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004856429421648989, "ret_p1w": -0.02251440229274415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02251440229274415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02503345147972391, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02503345147972391, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025190491869797604, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0025190491869797604, "ret_p1m": -0.017533580155209783, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017533580155209783, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039319516036712465, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039319516036712465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021785935881502683, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021785935881502683, "ret_p3m": 0.19263774292766245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19263774292766245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15457854087416756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15457854087416756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03805920205349489, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03805920205349489, "ret_p6m": 0.2756954979251629, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2756954979251629, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2750671953362325, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2750671953362325, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0006283025889304295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0006283025889304295, "ret_p1y": 0.4631263016103466, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4631263016103466, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5840145726178517, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5840145726178517, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1208882710075051, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1208882710075051, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017533580155209783, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.039319516036712465, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039319516036712465, "price_path": [0.0009, 0.0015, 0.0339, 0.0392, 0.0577, 0.0581, 0.0309, 0.0358, 0.0232, 0.055, 0.0794, 0.0544, 0.0281, 0.0266, 0.0287, 0.039, 0.0179, 0.027, 0.0278, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0694, 0.0893, 0.0922, 0.0995, 0.0948, 0.1043, 0.0974, 0.096, 0.0922, 0.0875, 0.1082, 0.1023, 0.0648, 0.0333, 0.0773, 0.0845, 0.0875, 0.0968, 0.1026, 0.0654, 0.0602, 0.0733, 0.0921, 0.0897, 0.0897, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0311, 0.053, 0.0514, 0.0434, 0.0124, -0.0018, -0.0301, -0.0644, -0.0518, -0.0187, -0.0297, -0.0333, -0.0094, -0.0185, -0.0096, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0233, -0.0066, -0.0335, -0.0225, -0.0135, -0.0275, -0.0104, -0.0026, -0.0036, -0.0153, -0.0335, -0.0434, -0.0634, -0.0877, -0.0857, -0.0514, -0.0357, -0.0283, -0.043, -0.0175, -0.0291, -0.0357, -0.0498, -0.0257, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.0371, -0.0494, -0.0474, -0.0478, -0.0205, -0.0347, 0.0014, -0.01, -0.0173, -0.0473, -0.0451, -0.0157, 0.0188, 0.0265, 0.063, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.0505, 0.0858, 0.1035, 0.11, 0.0983, 0.1067, 0.1408, 0.1366, 0.1376, 0.1366, 0.1505, 0.1561, 0.1569, 0.1701, 0.1795, 0.1578, 0.1686, 0.1858, 0.1926, 0.1584, 0.1666, 0.159, 0.1789, 0.1678, 0.1582, 0.1598, 0.1749, 0.1856, 0.1904, 0.159, 0.1634, 0.1606, 0.1703, 0.1721, 0.1541, 0.1473, 0.1025, 0.1221, 0.1565, 0.1678, 0.1678, 0.1208, 0.1273, 0.1009, 0.0892, 0.1208, 0.112, 0.1285, 0.1549, 0.1547, 0.1459, 0.1543, 0.1223, 0.1176, 0.1122, 0.1192, 0.0964, 0.0829, 0.1137, 0.1209, 0.1215, 0.1215, 0.146, 0.1452, 0.1378, 0.1309, 0.1337, 0.1689, 0.2093, 0.2091, 0.2361, 0.253, 0.2491, 0.2916, 0.2941, 0.2875, 0.3178, 0.3178, 0.3231, 0.3135, 0.3014, 0.2757]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1582724427959001088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-19T13:24:43+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ignorant 'sunset industry' belief = suppressed trading multiples for energy stocks. Key to re-rating? Ending energy ignorance.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long energy stocks: persistent hydrocarbon demand means 'sunset industry' discount is unwarranted; long-dated reserves are deeply undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing stat: the market for lubricants, essential to electric cars and wind turbines, is HUGE at 60% the size of the entire edible oil (olive, soybean,etc) market [source: How the World Really Works]. Tell me again how oil demand is going to zero, even as we “transition”???\n\n---\n\nSimilarly, what do electric cars drive on? Rubber tires and asphalt…both made from…oil. Why does this matter? Ignorant “sunset industry” belief = suppressed trading multiples for energy stocks. Key to re-rating? Ending energy ignorance.\n\n---\n\nWe will, I believe, consume hydrocarbons for the rest of our lifetimes, and at quantities far in excess of what is commonly believed. This has a profound impact on the value of long-dated reserves, for which you pay nothing today, as companies can privatize in ~4-5 years with FCF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028669760938316746, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028669760938316746, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03580685247393045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03580685247393045, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007137091535613704, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007137091535613704, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009475706725554645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009475706725554645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009332974136187167, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009332974136187167, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008385403463631702, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008385403463631702, "ret_p1w": 0.04987554614518608, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04987554614518608, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01318633598105956, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01318633598105956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03668921016412652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03668921016412652, "ret_p1m": 0.0941830717933827, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0941830717933827, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024332451790069154, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024332451790069154, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06985062000331355, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06985062000331355, "ret_p3m": 0.07660753828382894, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07660753828382894, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009769415989543617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009769415989543617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08637695427337255, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08637695427337255, "ret_p6m": 0.05301298784273145, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05301298784273145, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0784765917814576, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0784765917814576, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13148957962418906, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13148957962418906, "ret_p1y": 0.05365799515044034, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05365799515044034, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1303363617575959, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1303363617575959, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18399435690803623, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18399435690803623, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05365799515044034, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1303363617575959, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1303363617575959, "price_path": [-0.1662, -0.1356, -0.1434, -0.1241, -0.1192, -0.081, -0.1, -0.1021, -0.1279, -0.1602, -0.1436, -0.1391, -0.124, -0.1177, -0.0873, -0.0804, -0.0983, -0.1004, -0.0929, -0.0686, -0.0688, -0.0706, -0.037, -0.0252, -0.0177, -0.0292, -0.0145, -0.0479, -0.0566, -0.0798, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0716, -0.0824, -0.0784, -0.0554, -0.0381, -0.0623, -0.0359, -0.0607, -0.0807, -0.0802, -0.0866, -0.1, -0.1032, -0.165, -0.1855, -0.1764, -0.1399, -0.1399, -0.1468, -0.0986, -0.0598, -0.0404, -0.0233, -0.0309, -0.0508, -0.0584, -0.0508, -0.0121, -0.0489, -0.0371, -0.0287, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0299, 0.0347, 0.0358, 0.0499, 0.0537, 0.0573, 0.0662, 0.0765, 0.0506, 0.07, 0.083, 0.1016, 0.1027, 0.0488, 0.0721, 0.1033, 0.1029, 0.1146, 0.0918, 0.0942, 0.0855, 0.0708, 0.1044, 0.0924, 0.0924, 0.0884, 0.0585, 0.0745, 0.0798, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0381, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0039, -0.0205, 0.0052, 0.0243, 0.018, 0.0118, -0.0006, -0.0007, 0.0144, 0.0336, 0.0098, 0.042, 0.042, 0.0531, 0.0296, 0.0403, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0102, 0.0101, 0.0285, 0.048, 0.0443, 0.0517, 0.0549, 0.0751, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0789, 0.0591, 0.0723, 0.083, 0.0844, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.1144, 0.0919, 0.0669, 0.0764, 0.0552, 0.0311, 0.0289, 0.0242, 0.0575, 0.048, 0.039, 0.0797, 0.077, 0.0773, 0.059, 0.0486, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0062, -0.0005, 0.0146, 0.0133, 0.0163, 0.0017, 0.0214, 0.0304, 0.0444, 0.0449, 0.0267, 0.0162, 0.0018, -0.011, -0.0311, -0.0215, -0.0741, -0.064, -0.0787, -0.0603, -0.0278, -0.0485, -0.0616, -0.058, -0.0379, -0.0231, -0.0095, -0.0052, 0.0017, 0.0471, 0.0281, 0.0436, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.036, 0.0458, 0.0465, 0.053]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1161283411002175488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-13T14:28:35+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "E&P", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Best short term opportunity right now? E&P's that are likely TSX index deletion candidates on Sept.20 that have shed $50MM+ in market cap since the predictions first came out yet selling pressure amounts to <$20MM which one fund could easily absorb. Take advantage of fear!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian E&P TSX-deletion candidates: oversold ~$50MM+ vs <$20MM actual selling pressure; strong buy opportunity into index fear.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Best short term opportunity right now? E&amp;P's that are likely TSX index deletion candidates on Sept.20 that have shed $50MM+ in market cap since the predictions first came out yet selling pressure amounts to &lt;$20MM which one fund could easily absorb. Take advantage of fear! #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’m a buyer of fear. I’m a buyer of panic. I’m a buyer of capitulation. Right now feels like all 3. January 2016 is when I killed it and this feels very similar. Putting 15% cash to work this afternoon. #OOTT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009901138388373032, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009901138388373032, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005412101803042746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005412101803042746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015313240191415778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015313240191415778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03341597880715119, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03341597880715119, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038487708958885314, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038487708958885314, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02956720791126266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02956720791126266, "ret_p1w": -0.021039797990756726, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021039797990756726, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012630958458781816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012630958458781816, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00840883953197491, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00840883953197491, "ret_p1m": 0.0668315105329389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0668315105329389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040511147909584766, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040511147909584766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026320362623354132, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026320362623354132, "ret_p3m": 0.08903826539584281, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08903826539584281, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028136897353282064, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028136897353282064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.060901368042560744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.060901368042560744, "ret_p6m": 0.07781615060561631, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07781615060561631, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07084637961280449, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07084637961280449, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1486625302184208, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1486625302184208, "ret_p1y": -0.3625010953493404, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3625010953493404, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49197330062509814, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49197330062509814, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12947220527575776, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12947220527575776, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0668315105329389, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.040511147909584766, "alpha_c_stated": 0.040511147909584766, "price_path": [0.2143, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.2021, 0.1714, 0.1247, 0.1284, 0.1468, 0.1345, 0.1493, 0.1333, 0.121, 0.1088, 0.1124, 0.0842, 0.0916, 0.0965, 0.0916, 0.0989, 0.0854, 0.0965, 0.094, 0.11, 0.1198, 0.1101, 0.13, 0.1213, 0.12, 0.1126, 0.13, 0.1015, 0.104, 0.104, 0.0891, 0.0941, 0.1015, 0.099, 0.0903, 0.1064, 0.1287, 0.13, 0.1287, 0.1238, 0.1052, 0.0916, 0.073, 0.0817, 0.0879, 0.0928, 0.0817, 0.0495, 0.0408, 0.0223, 0.047, 0.0594, 0.0359, 0.0161, 0.0161, -0.0111, -0.0161, 0.0, 0.0037, -0.0099, 0.0, -0.0334, -0.0408, -0.0322, -0.0074, -0.021, -0.0111, -0.0173, -0.0483, -0.047, -0.052, -0.0223, 0.0037, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0111, -0.0025, 0.0235, 0.0198, 0.0421, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0718, 0.0804, 0.1782, 0.1522, 0.1361, 0.1312, 0.1374, 0.1361, 0.1165, 0.1102, 0.104, 0.099, 0.089, 0.0529, 0.0292, 0.033, 0.0305, 0.0292, -0.0094, -0.0131, -0.0032, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0118, 0.0068, 0.0093, -0.0007, 0.0093, 0.0118, 0.0168, 0.008, 0.0193, 0.0105, 0.0155, 0.0031, -0.0169, 0.0143, 0.0467, 0.0591, 0.0417, 0.0865, 0.089, 0.0865, 0.0766, 0.0716, 0.0666, 0.0791, 0.0629, 0.0492, 0.0566, 0.0666, 0.0604, 0.0703, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.0504, 0.0454, 0.028, 0.0529, 0.0454, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.1003, 0.0915, 0.1165, 0.1152, 0.1227, 0.1426, 0.1401, 0.1588, 0.1526, 0.17, 0.1713, 0.1713, 0.1713, 0.1713, 0.1733, 0.1733, 0.1733, 0.167, 0.1758, 0.2009, 0.1997, 0.1771, 0.1871, 0.1796, 0.1695, 0.1733, 0.162, 0.1607, 0.1507, 0.1494, 0.1331, 0.1243, 0.118, 0.0979, 0.069, 0.074, 0.0766, 0.0753, 0.0439, 0.0351, 0.0376, 0.0778]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1097961791865397249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-19T20:51:04+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian WCS midcap producers", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some midcap WCS producers trading 3x-4x EBITDA and 17%-34% FCF yields with 30 years of proved reserves", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canadian midcap WCS oil producers: trading 3-4x EBITDA, 17-34% FCF yields, 30yr reserves; can buyback ~1/3 of shares/yr, effectively privatizing in ~3 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "CVE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "WCS-exposed midcap producers: ATH, Baytex, Cenovus", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Crude-by-Rail Update: AB Gov't commits to 120k Bbl/d by mid-'20. Supports our view of '19 exit of 450k Bbl/d = ~$17.50WCS diff in 2020/21. On strip some midcap WCS producers trading 3x-4x EBITDA and 17%-34% FCF yields with 30 years of proved reserves #OOTT https://t.co/thYlzlEU4v\n\n---\n\nReflect on that: due to ongoing apathy towards Canada at near WTI/WCS strip pricing some companies can keep production flat and also buy back a 1/3 of their shares per year out of FCF...basically privatizing in ~3 years, 10x over before they exhaust their proved reserves #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026166682519014366, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026166682519014366, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02443922606454711, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023150758609566762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017274564544672577, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0030159239094476042, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035929824164446047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035929824164446047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005608409511254889, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007814830017977373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002015427094810285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004221847601532769, "ret_p1w": 0.012738918835909607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012738918835909607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007448108901798034, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0226906158036716, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005290809934111573, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009951696967761992, "ret_p1m": -0.003430449538511867, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003430449538511867, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02121023325253842, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018871782497419238, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017779783714026554, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015441332958907372, "ret_p3m": 0.015745878769972427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015745878769972427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01754213118084284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04695825088143042, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03328800995081527, "bench_c_p3m": -0.031212372111457998, "ret_p6m": -0.23996195294767467, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23996195294767467, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27122871883348343, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10840456372708465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03126676588580879, "bench_c_p6m": -0.13155738922059002, "ret_p1y": -0.2894825543351431, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2894825543351431, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5142593449424631, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16434953926396328, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22477679060731992, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1251330150711798, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2894825543351431, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5142593449424631, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16434953926396328, "price_path": [0.0209, -0.0286, -0.0454, -0.0547, -0.0793, -0.017, -0.024, 0.0888, 0.0493, 0.0783, 0.0056, 0.0194, -0.0351, -0.0528, -0.0215, 0.0189, -0.0123, -0.0682, -0.1192, -0.0994, -0.1318, -0.1565, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.1374, -0.0892, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.0301, -0.0286, 0.0077, -0.0042, -0.0084, 0.0053, 0.0188, 0.0166, -0.0017, 0.0334, 0.0345, 0.0162, 0.0039, -0.0087, -0.0372, -0.0756, -0.0722, -0.0586, -0.0606, -0.0639, -0.0457, -0.062, -0.0767, -0.0753, -0.0829, -0.0868, -0.1132, -0.1178, -0.1091, -0.0958, -0.0596, -0.0506, -0.0262, -0.0262, 0.0, -0.0036, -0.0207, -0.0188, -0.0204, 0.0127, 0.0091, 0.0002, 0.008, -0.027, -0.0222, -0.044, -0.0558, -0.0785, -0.0562, -0.0449, -0.0289, -0.0322, -0.0414, -0.0342, -0.0441, -0.0034, 0.0074, -0.0342, -0.0532, -0.0184, -0.0384, -0.0506, -0.0584, -0.0415, -0.0406, -0.0595, -0.043, 0.0036, 0.045, 0.0375, 0.1429, 0.1284, 0.1436, 0.1394, 0.1357, 0.1507, 0.1249, 0.1249, 0.1846, 0.2149, 0.1752, 0.148, 0.1157, 0.1231, 0.104, 0.0379, 0.0069, 0.0545, 0.0577, 0.0298, 0.0504, 0.0559, 0.0524, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.0363, 0.038, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0203, -0.0149, -0.0618, -0.0666, -0.0595, -0.0686, -0.0748, -0.0876, -0.1122, -0.1339, -0.1272, -0.1626, -0.1549, -0.1424, -0.1578, -0.1496, -0.1747, -0.1421, -0.1564, -0.1376, -0.1047, -0.1192, -0.0889, -0.0966, -0.1128, -0.1246, -0.0973, -0.1229, -0.1295, -0.1295, -0.1375, -0.14, -0.1431, -0.1456, -0.1528, -0.1543, -0.1339, -0.1338, -0.1281, -0.1271, -0.1291, -0.1322, -0.1457, -0.1323, -0.125, -0.1213, -0.1337, -0.1539, -0.1494, -0.1728, -0.1282, -0.1218, -0.1424, -0.1744, -0.1744, -0.194, -0.2317, -0.2074, -0.2098, -0.229, -0.1898, -0.24]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1056892790125314049", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-10-29T12:57:31+00:00", "symbol": "Canada energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time to own Canada energy IMO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector on potential AB royalty holiday + CBR capacity compressing WCS differentials to a '2 handle' in Q1/19.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF, best Canadian energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "RBC quality research piece out this morning floating a great idea: temporary AB royalty holiday that could remove 190k bbl/d of excess CDN supply and cut AB storage glut by 25% in 4 months. This + 440k bbl/d '19 CBR = \"2 handle\" WCS diffs in Q1/19? Time to own Canada energy IMO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030739713631229515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030739713631229515, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025168209319228474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025168209319228474, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005571504312001041, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005571504312001041, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006724242686655613, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006724242686655613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008094319266237493, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008094319266237493, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014818561952893106, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014818561952893106, "ret_p1w": 0.027858096489937312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027858096489937312, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008259854048920934, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008259854048920934, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.036117950538858246, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036117950538858246, "ret_p1m": -0.09798237517627284, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09798237517627284, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11518854865831718, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11518854865831718, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01720617348204434, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01720617348204434, "ret_p3m": -0.08828100120413529, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08828100120413529, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09293890281041439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09293890281041439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.004657901606279102, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004657901606279102, "ret_p6m": 0.05764912233766051, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05764912233766051, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06373318248733817, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06373318248733817, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12138230482499868, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12138230482499868, "ret_p1y": -0.20727789617307446, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20727789617307446, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3606538712171349, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3606538712171349, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15337597504406042, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15337597504406042, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08828100120413529, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09293890281041439, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09293890281041439, "price_path": [0.2575, 0.2527, 0.246, 0.246, 0.2346, 0.226, 0.2221, 0.226, 0.2135, 0.2174, 0.1734, 0.1782, 0.1849, 0.1897, 0.1963, 0.2155, 0.2174, 0.2231, 0.2336, 0.2231, 0.2288, 0.2202, 0.2069, 0.2069, 0.1839, 0.1772, 0.1543, 0.1562, 0.1447, 0.1438, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1371, 0.1295, 0.1591, 0.1595, 0.147, 0.1566, 0.1835, 0.1758, 0.172, 0.1931, 0.1787, 0.2008, 0.1787, 0.2008, 0.194, 0.1768, 0.1768, 0.172, 0.1268, 0.0903, 0.0989, 0.0893, 0.0999, 0.0836, 0.0672, 0.074, 0.0711, 0.0461, 0.0086, 0.0259, 0.0307, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.0115, 0.0221, 0.0077, 0.0279, 0.0346, 0.0394, 0.0221, 0.0038, -0.0067, -0.0355, -0.0269, -0.0298, -0.0346, -0.0355, -0.0634, -0.0403, -0.0346, -0.0797, -0.0826, -0.098, -0.0999, -0.0845, -0.0893, -0.0548, -0.074, -0.05, -0.1018, -0.0893, -0.1028, -0.1153, -0.1037, -0.1028, -0.1297, -0.1508, -0.1604, -0.1614, -0.1748, -0.1902, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.1748, -0.1614, -0.1528, -0.1528, -0.1364, -0.1393, -0.1123, -0.1123, -0.1123, -0.0921, -0.0825, -0.0815, -0.0796, -0.0623, -0.071, -0.0652, -0.0584, -0.0613, -0.0912, -0.1008, -0.0883, -0.0873, -0.0931, -0.0854, -0.0758, -0.0844, -0.0912, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0796, -0.1018, -0.1114, -0.1027, -0.0912, -0.0815, -0.0748, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0363, -0.0344, -0.0411, -0.0392, -0.0334, -0.0344, -0.0267, -0.0324, -0.0219, -0.0373, -0.0344, -0.0459, -0.045, -0.0642, -0.0546, -0.0488, -0.0344, -0.0334, -0.0373, -0.0199, -0.0276, -0.0103, -0.0016, -0.0296, -0.0468, -0.0313, -0.0477, -0.0458, -0.0506, -0.0342, -0.0381, -0.0506, -0.0458, -0.0187, -0.0033, -0.011, 0.0064, 0.0045, 0.0141, 0.0093, 0.0132, 0.0267, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0422, 0.0576]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1453347501419999236", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-10-27T13:07:00+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks in my opinion still represent a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil in multi-year bull market; energy stocks still a generational long despite YTD rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and despite the impressive rally YTD, energy stocks in my opinion still represent a generational opportunity. Hear why in a presentation I recorded yesterday: https://t.co/raVGWCPdnd https://t.co/Kd0dPtg7Ay", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02959595854613739, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02959595854613739, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025145856367214225, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025145856367214225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004450102178923165, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004450102178923165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007137810672855904, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007137810672855904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002511169415216452, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002511169415216452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009648980088072356, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009648980088072356, "ret_p1w": -0.00017402814035816228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00017402814035816228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023921875946506077, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023921875946506077, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023747847806147915, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023747847806147915, "ret_p1m": 0.008182526527569678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008182526527569678, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025963005580570186, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025963005580570186, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034145532108139864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034145532108139864, "ret_p3m": 0.10870561901465692, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10870561901465692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1363628342054356, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1363628342054356, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.027657215190778683, "bench_c_p3m": -0.027657215190778683, "ret_p6m": 0.39063737982231617, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39063737982231617, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41922094573263824, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41922094573263824, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.028583565910322073, "bench_c_p6m": -0.028583565910322073, "ret_p1y": 0.46105743311540603, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46105743311540603, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6613003024926599, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6613003024926599, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.20024286937725388, "bench_c_p1y": -0.20024286937725388, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46105743311540603, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6613003024926599, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6613003024926599, "price_path": [-0.1505, -0.1568, -0.1424, -0.1656, -0.1561, -0.1484, -0.1604, -0.1457, -0.1389, -0.1398, -0.15, -0.1656, -0.1742, -0.1914, -0.2124, -0.2107, -0.1811, -0.1675, -0.1611, -0.1739, -0.1518, -0.1618, -0.1675, -0.1797, -0.1589, -0.1637, -0.1637, -0.1687, -0.1794, -0.1776, -0.178, -0.1544, -0.1666, -0.1355, -0.1453, -0.1517, -0.1776, -0.1757, -0.1502, -0.1205, -0.1139, -0.0823, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.0931, -0.0627, -0.0474, -0.0418, -0.0519, -0.0446, -0.0151, -0.0188, -0.0179, -0.0188, -0.0068, -0.0019, -0.0012, 0.0101, 0.0183, -0.0005, 0.0089, 0.0237, 0.0296, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0005, 0.0178, 0.0082, -0.0002, 0.0012, 0.0143, 0.0235, 0.0277, 0.0005, 0.0044, 0.0019, 0.0103, 0.0118, -0.0037, -0.0096, -0.0482, -0.0313, -0.0016, 0.0082, 0.0082, -0.0324, -0.0268, -0.0496, -0.0597, -0.0324, -0.04, -0.0258, -0.003, -0.0031, -0.0108, -0.0035, -0.0312, -0.0352, -0.0399, -0.0338, -0.0534, -0.0652, -0.0385, -0.0324, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.0107, -0.0114, -0.0177, -0.0237, -0.0213, 0.0091, 0.044, 0.0438, 0.0671, 0.0817, 0.0784, 0.1151, 0.1172, 0.1115, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.1422, 0.1339, 0.1235, 0.1013, 0.1087, 0.1517, 0.1498, 0.1623, 0.1574, 0.1625, 0.2039, 0.2078, 0.1964, 0.215, 0.2306, 0.2041, 0.2142, 0.2066, 0.2417, 0.2124, 0.1997, 0.2094, 0.2075, 0.2001, 0.2001, 0.1807, 0.1928, 0.1835, 0.2147, 0.2447, 0.2572, 0.2859, 0.2895, 0.3267, 0.3462, 0.3674, 0.3256, 0.3662, 0.3552, 0.3147, 0.2665, 0.2607, 0.3041, 0.3029, 0.3554, 0.3454, 0.3686, 0.3719, 0.402, 0.3673, 0.3638, 0.3796, 0.3609, 0.3719, 0.3737, 0.3522, 0.3602, 0.378, 0.4159, 0.3734, 0.3962, 0.417, 0.4216, 0.4216, 0.4424, 0.4307, 0.4362, 0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1389303817615953926", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-03T19:40:16+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you're not long now you never will be", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy sector on cheap valuations and oil macro tailwinds; generalists haven't even piled in yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With energy stocks ripping you would naturally think that generalists had finally shown up to the party...even if a little fashionably late. Trading desks report: still not yet! With cheap valuations and oil macro tailwinds...if you're not long now you never will be. https://t.co/84FbdizDmU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02679806435865484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02679806435865484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024646083724683465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024646083724683465, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002151980633971373, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002151980633971373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005910852301311831, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005910852301311831, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006760283896861119, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006760283896861119, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006169198666729936, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006169198666729936, "ret_p1w": 0.05714291140404715, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05714291140404715, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0577645269841901, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0577645269841901, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0006216155801429535, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006216155801429535, "ret_p1m": 0.06837443512970731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06837443512970731, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06485929121937195, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06485929121937195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003515143910335361, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003515143910335361, "ret_p3m": -0.000927323737724195, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.000927323737724195, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.058057045830399834, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.058057045830399834, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05712972209267564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05712972209267564, "ret_p6m": 0.1915317816381399, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1915317816381399, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09416854585558432, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09416854585558432, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09736323578255557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09736323578255557, "ret_p1y": 0.6621039939220232, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6621039939220232, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.584719495386328, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.584719495386328, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07738449853569529, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07738449853569529, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06837443512970731, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06485929121937195, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06485929121937195, "price_path": [-0.1862, -0.1772, -0.1702, -0.1355, -0.1446, -0.1283, -0.1417, -0.129, -0.129, -0.1072, -0.0939, -0.1144, -0.0996, -0.0684, -0.053, -0.0195, -0.0384, -0.0612, -0.0368, -0.0421, -0.028, -0.0048, 0.0324, 0.0343, 0.0162, 0.0419, 0.0423, 0.0445, 0.0326, 0.0031, 0.0109, -0.0345, -0.0343, -0.0435, -0.0575, -0.0339, -0.0303, -0.0063, -0.0181, -0.0266, -0.0333, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.0323, -0.0349, -0.0315, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.0579, -0.0569, -0.0307, -0.0386, -0.0463, -0.0473, -0.0725, -0.0607, -0.0717, -0.0633, -0.0569, -0.0455, -0.0126, -0.0016, -0.0268, 0.0, 0.0006, 0.0329, 0.0382, 0.0567, 0.0571, 0.03, 0.0349, 0.0223, 0.054, 0.0784, 0.0534, 0.0272, 0.0256, 0.0278, 0.038, 0.0169, 0.026, 0.0268, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0684, 0.0883, 0.0912, 0.0985, 0.0938, 0.1033, 0.0964, 0.095, 0.0912, 0.0865, 0.1072, 0.1013, 0.0638, 0.0323, 0.0763, 0.0835, 0.0865, 0.0958, 0.1016, 0.0644, 0.0592, 0.0723, 0.091, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0532, 0.0361, 0.0301, 0.052, 0.0504, 0.0425, 0.0114, -0.0027, -0.031, -0.0652, -0.0527, -0.0196, -0.0306, -0.0342, -0.0103, -0.0194, -0.0105, -0.0009, -0.0169, -0.0242, -0.0075, -0.0344, -0.0234, -0.0145, -0.0284, -0.0113, -0.0035, -0.0045, -0.0163, -0.0344, -0.0443, -0.0642, -0.0885, -0.0865, -0.0523, -0.0366, -0.0292, -0.0439, -0.0184, -0.03, -0.0366, -0.0507, -0.0266, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.038, -0.0503, -0.0483, -0.0487, -0.0214, -0.0356, 0.0005, -0.0109, -0.0182, -0.0482, -0.046, -0.0166, 0.0179, 0.0255, 0.062, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.0495, 0.0847, 0.1025, 0.1089, 0.0972, 0.1057, 0.1398, 0.1355, 0.1365, 0.1355, 0.1494, 0.1551, 0.1559, 0.169, 0.1784, 0.1567, 0.1676, 0.1847, 0.1915]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1380144013794283521", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-04-08T13:02:29+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "oil equities", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil stocks remain severely mispriced...the generalist return and stock rerating cometh", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil and oil stocks on impending demand normalization, OPEC spare capacity exhaustion, and severe undervaluation with egregious free cash flow generation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With each passing day we get closer to global herd immunity, closer to demand normalization, closer to the exhaustion  of OPEC spare capacity, and closer to the beginning of the oil rip show. Oil stocks remain severely mispriced...the generalist return and stock rerating cometh. https://t.co/mUJ3FovEdY\n\n---\n\nI'm optimistic that Q1 press releases will spell it out for generalist investors: free cash flow generation at the current oil price is egregious! Here's an example from this morning...$1.8BN in free cash flow at $55WTI over 5 years versus a $1.6BN market cap!!! https://t.co/WmbQdO0vp8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013193162330411567, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013193162330411567, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017917519632817736, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017917519632817736, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004724357302406168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004724357302406168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006596581165205784, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006596581165205784, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013867038083429373, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013867038083429373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007270456918223589, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007270456918223589, "ret_p1w": 0.005772138610043109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005772138610043109, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012219722797291777, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012219722797291777, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017991861407334886, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017991861407334886, "ret_p1m": 0.10554529864329343, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10554529864329343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07225428432817171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07225428432817171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033291014315121714, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033291014315121714, "ret_p3m": 0.10184978266846523, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10184978266846523, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.038630400350168514, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.038630400350168514, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06321938231829671, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06321938231829671, "ret_p6m": 0.13483883822665943, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13483883822665943, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06498566386438598, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06498566386438598, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985317436227345, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06985317436227345, "ret_p1y": 0.6554352373597931, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6554352373597931, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5247450550440877, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5247450550440877, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1306901823157054, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1306901823157054, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10554529864329343, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07225428432817171, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07225428432817171, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.1119, -0.1188, -0.0927, -0.128, -0.128, -0.1104, -0.1072, -0.1374, -0.1419, -0.1506, -0.1688, -0.18, -0.1704, -0.198, -0.1922, -0.1835, -0.1486, -0.1392, -0.1319, -0.0956, -0.1051, -0.088, -0.1021, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.066, -0.0521, -0.0735, -0.058, -0.0254, -0.0093, 0.0258, 0.006, -0.0178, 0.0077, 0.0021, 0.0168, 0.0411, 0.0801, 0.0821, 0.0631, 0.0901, 0.0905, 0.0927, 0.0803, 0.0495, 0.0576, 0.0101, 0.0103, 0.0006, -0.014, 0.0107, 0.0144, 0.0396, 0.0272, 0.0183, 0.0113, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0124, 0.0097, 0.0132, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.0144, -0.0134, 0.014, 0.0058, -0.0023, -0.0033, -0.0297, -0.0173, -0.0289, -0.02, -0.0134, -0.0014, 0.033, 0.0445, 0.0181, 0.0462, 0.0468, 0.0806, 0.0862, 0.1055, 0.106, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.0695, 0.1027, 0.1282, 0.102, 0.0746, 0.073, 0.0752, 0.086, 0.0639, 0.0734, 0.0742, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.1177, 0.1385, 0.1416, 0.1492, 0.1443, 0.1542, 0.147, 0.1455, 0.1416, 0.1367, 0.1583, 0.1521, 0.113, 0.08, 0.126, 0.1335, 0.1366, 0.1464, 0.1525, 0.1135, 0.1081, 0.1218, 0.1414, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.1018, 0.0839, 0.0777, 0.1006, 0.0989, 0.0906, 0.0581, 0.0433, 0.0138, -0.0221, -0.0089, 0.0256, 0.0142, 0.0104, 0.0354, 0.0258, 0.0352, 0.0452, 0.0285, 0.0208, 0.0383, 0.0102, 0.0217, 0.031, 0.0165, 0.0344, 0.0425, 0.0415, 0.0292, 0.0102, -0.0002, -0.021, -0.0464, -0.0443, -0.0085, 0.0079, 0.0156, 0.0002, 0.0269, 0.0148, 0.0079, -0.0069, 0.0183, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0065, -0.0064, -0.0044, -0.0048, 0.0238, 0.009, 0.0467, 0.0348, 0.0271, -0.0043, -0.002, 0.0288, 0.0649, 0.0729, 0.111, 0.1148, 0.1148, 0.098, 0.1348]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1100459205155274758", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-26T18:14:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Are investors realizing how stupidly mispriced oil equities had become due to the highest level of apathy towards the sector in history", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy equities: extreme sector apathy has left oil stocks stupidly mispriced; 22% FCF yield example supports deep undervaluation thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Day 2 of positive divergence b/w WTI and CDN energy stocks. Are investors realizing how stupidly mispriced oil equities had become due to the highest level of apathy towards the sector in history? #OOTT\n\n---\n\nPeak apathy ex #3: a $1.3BN CDN oil producer (40% Eagleford) is trading at a 22% FCF yield at $60WTI (2019/2020 strip ~$57 currently). With 10 years of proved reserves one could hedge the next 2 years of production, keep production flat, and buyback close to 50% of the S/O #OOTT https://t.co/4LeEsxTf3D", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009970339303830844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009970339303830844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0002811094592574115, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0002811094592574115, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007159244711256729, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007159244711256729, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007975906896837914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007975906896837914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008405559033924814, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008405559033924814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004296521370869, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0004296521370869, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0010744348877534948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0010744348877534948, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0010744348877534948, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0010744348877534948, "ret_p1m": -0.013836898858715085, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013836898858715085, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01942840663256218, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01942840663256218, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005591507773847093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005591507773847093, "ret_p3m": -0.07991515551116735, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07991515551116735, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09676155146125442, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09676155146125442, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01684639595008708, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01684639595008708, "ret_p6m": -0.19369118730154256, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19369118730154256, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25042433391628394, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25042433391628394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05673314661474138, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05673314661474138, "ret_p1y": -0.1426683252709885, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1426683252709885, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3722346781121165, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3722346781121165, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22956635284112803, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22956635284112803, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013836898858715085, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01942840663256218, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01942840663256218, "price_path": [-0.052, -0.0569, -0.0211, -0.041, -0.0161, -0.0699, -0.0569, -0.0709, -0.0838, -0.0718, -0.0709, -0.0987, -0.1206, -0.1305, -0.1315, -0.1455, -0.1614, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1455, -0.1316, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1057, -0.1087, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0598, -0.0499, -0.0489, -0.0469, -0.0289, -0.0379, -0.0319, -0.0249, -0.0279, -0.0588, -0.0688, -0.0558, -0.0548, -0.0608, -0.0528, -0.0429, -0.0518, -0.0588, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0469, -0.0698, -0.0798, -0.0708, -0.0588, -0.0489, -0.0419, -0.011, -0.011, -0.002, 0.0, -0.007, -0.005, 0.001, 0.0, 0.008, 0.002, 0.013, -0.003, 0.0, -0.012, -0.011, -0.0309, -0.0209, -0.015, 0.0, 0.001, -0.003, 0.015, 0.007, 0.0249, 0.0339, 0.005, -0.0128, 0.0032, -0.0138, -0.0118, -0.0168, 0.0002, -0.0038, -0.0168, -0.0118, 0.0162, 0.0322, 0.0242, 0.0422, 0.0402, 0.0502, 0.0452, 0.0492, 0.0633, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0793, 0.0953, 0.0703, 0.0623, 0.0472, 0.0492, 0.0352, 0.0062, -0.0198, -0.0098, -0.0108, -0.0238, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0138, -0.0369, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0098, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0198, -0.0449, -0.0829, -0.0799, -0.0649, -0.0749, -0.0629, -0.0759, -0.0859, -0.0959, -0.0929, -0.116, -0.11, -0.1059, -0.11, -0.1039, -0.115, -0.1059, -0.1079, -0.0949, -0.0869, -0.0948, -0.0786, -0.0857, -0.0867, -0.0928, -0.0786, -0.1019, -0.0998, -0.0998, -0.1119, -0.1079, -0.1019, -0.1039, -0.1109, -0.0978, -0.0797, -0.0786, -0.0797, -0.0837, -0.0988, -0.1099, -0.1251, -0.118, -0.113, -0.1089, -0.118, -0.1442, -0.1513, -0.1664, -0.1463, -0.1362, -0.1553, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1937, -0.1977, -0.1846, -0.1816, -0.1927, -0.1846, -0.2119, -0.2179, -0.2108, -0.1907, -0.2018, -0.1937]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1441016760401072128", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-09-23T12:29:03+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we do NOT need higher oil prices for energy stocks to continue to rally IMO...we need only investors to believe in the oil price that they already see on their screens", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "$70 WTI is the new floor; energy stocks continue to rally as investor confidence in current oil prices builds into 2H22 OPEC spare-capacity exhaustion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The global oil surplus to the '17-'19 average is now down 82% to only 40MM Bbls according to @Kpler. $70WTI sure feels like the new floor for oil and is a healthy level to stay at until 2H'22 when OPEC spare capacity exhaustion becomes more obvious to the masses. https://t.co/NgnND0FV1g\n\n---\n\nReminder: we do NOT need higher oil prices for energy stocks to continue to rally IMO...we need only investors to believe in the oil price that they already see on their screens. https://t.co/0wxIB0XWV4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03384792644334045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03384792644334045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02184379558012539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02184379558012539, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012004130863215057, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012004130863215057, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007521919384855247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007521919384855247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005874687133531786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005874687133531786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016472322513234605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016472322513234605, "ret_p1w": 0.031076828596727557, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031076828596727557, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06275691319474341, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06275691319474341, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.031680084598015856, "bench_c_p1w": -0.031680084598015856, "ret_p1m": 0.1470705828981087, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1470705828981087, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12464194123071448, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12464194123071448, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022428641667394222, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022428641667394222, "ret_p3m": 0.09315007784022655, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09315007784022655, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04462166489689423, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04462166489689423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04852841294333232, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04852841294333232, "ret_p6m": 0.4813263420175695, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4813263420175695, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47165193830875873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47165193830875873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009674403708810786, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009674403708810786, "ret_p1y": 0.6801149629332679, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6801149629332679, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.742612948485502, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.742612948485502, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.06249798555223407, "bench_c_p1y": -0.06249798555223407, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1470705828981087, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12464194123071448, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12464194123071448, "price_path": [0.0457, 0.0406, 0.0535, 0.0719, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0347, 0.0179, 0.0121, 0.0336, 0.032, 0.0242, -0.0063, -0.0202, -0.048, -0.0816, -0.0693, -0.0368, -0.0476, -0.0511, -0.0276, -0.0366, -0.0278, -0.0185, -0.0341, -0.0413, -0.0249, -0.0513, -0.0406, -0.0318, -0.0454, -0.0286, -0.021, -0.022, -0.0335, -0.0513, -0.0611, -0.0806, -0.1045, -0.1026, -0.0689, -0.0535, -0.0462, -0.0607, -0.0357, -0.047, -0.0535, -0.0673, -0.0437, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0548, -0.067, -0.065, -0.0654, -0.0386, -0.0525, -0.0171, -0.0282, -0.0355, -0.0649, -0.0627, -0.0338, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0433, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0311, 0.0657, 0.0831, 0.0895, 0.078, 0.0863, 0.1198, 0.1156, 0.1166, 0.1156, 0.1293, 0.1348, 0.1356, 0.1485, 0.1578, 0.1364, 0.1471, 0.1639, 0.1706, 0.137, 0.1451, 0.1376, 0.1572, 0.1463, 0.1368, 0.1384, 0.1532, 0.1637, 0.1684, 0.1376, 0.1419, 0.1392, 0.1487, 0.1504, 0.1328, 0.1261, 0.0821, 0.1013, 0.1352, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1002, 0.1065, 0.0806, 0.0691, 0.1002, 0.0914, 0.1077, 0.1336, 0.1334, 0.1247, 0.133, 0.1015, 0.097, 0.0916, 0.0986, 0.0762, 0.0629, 0.0932, 0.1002, 0.1008, 0.1008, 0.1248, 0.124, 0.1168, 0.11, 0.1128, 0.1473, 0.187, 0.1868, 0.2133, 0.2299, 0.2261, 0.2678, 0.2702, 0.2638, 0.2935, 0.2935, 0.2987, 0.2892, 0.2774, 0.2522, 0.2606, 0.3095, 0.3073, 0.3215, 0.3159, 0.3217, 0.3688, 0.3733, 0.3602, 0.3815, 0.3991, 0.369, 0.3805, 0.3719, 0.4118, 0.3785, 0.364, 0.3751, 0.3729, 0.3644, 0.3644, 0.3424, 0.3562, 0.3456, 0.3811, 0.4152, 0.4294, 0.4621, 0.4661, 0.5084, 0.5307, 0.5547, 0.5072, 0.5533, 0.5409, 0.4948, 0.44, 0.4334, 0.4827, 0.4813]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1384480863291850755", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-20T12:15:34+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With free cashflow yields of 30%+ the multi-bagger potential of the energy sector is obvious", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy sector on 30%+ FCF yields and multi-bagger potential, with Q1'21 as first proof point.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In honour of @EnergyAspects boldly reaffirming their \"$80WTI in 2022\" forecast this morning I present my \"dare to dream\" graphs.  With free cashflow yields of 30%+ the multi-bagger potential of the energy sector is obvious. Q1'21 results = first demonstration of FCF potential. https://t.co/dF6XKDiPIY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027193358537251022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027193358537251022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01981787594245299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01981787594245299, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007375482594798033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007375482594798033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012747112296216834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012747112296216834, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003284881113836624, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003284881113836624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00946223118238021, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00946223118238021, "ret_p1w": 0.029105444882819187, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029105444882819187, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016125397776192152, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016125397776192152, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012980047106627035, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012980047106627035, "ret_p1m": 0.10749961997162005, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10749961997162005, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11067782297373807, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11067782297373807, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0031782030021180185, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031782030021180185, "ret_p3m": 0.04477382729189783, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04477382729189783, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.005159895074221321, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.005159895074221321, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04993372236611915, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04993372236611915, "ret_p6m": 0.22429806393700824, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22429806393700824, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1616238626833737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1616238626833737, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06267420125363454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06267420125363454, "ret_p1y": 0.7194077154097875, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7194077154097875, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6162811281811518, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6162811281811518, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10312658722863577, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10312658722863577, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7194077154097875, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6162811281811518, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6162811281811518, "price_path": [-0.111, -0.1156, -0.1246, -0.1434, -0.1549, -0.145, -0.1734, -0.1675, -0.1585, -0.1225, -0.1129, -0.1053, -0.0679, -0.0778, -0.0601, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.061, -0.0374, -0.0231, -0.0452, -0.0292, 0.0044, 0.021, 0.0572, 0.0368, 0.0122, 0.0385, 0.0328, 0.0479, 0.073, 0.1131, 0.1152, 0.0957, 0.1234, 0.1238, 0.1261, 0.1133, 0.0816, 0.09, 0.041, 0.0412, 0.0312, 0.0161, 0.0416, 0.0455, 0.0714, 0.0586, 0.0495, 0.0423, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.0433, 0.0406, 0.0442, 0.0306, 0.0238, 0.0157, 0.0168, 0.045, 0.0365, 0.0283, 0.0272, 0.0, 0.0127, 0.0008, 0.01, 0.0168, 0.0291, 0.0646, 0.0765, 0.0493, 0.0782, 0.0788, 0.1137, 0.1194, 0.1394, 0.1398, 0.1105, 0.1158, 0.1022, 0.1364, 0.1627, 0.1358, 0.1075, 0.1058, 0.1081, 0.1192, 0.0965, 0.1062, 0.1071, 0.1092, 0.1092, 0.1519, 0.1734, 0.1765, 0.1844, 0.1793, 0.1895, 0.1821, 0.1806, 0.1765, 0.1714, 0.1938, 0.1874, 0.147, 0.113, 0.1605, 0.1682, 0.1714, 0.1815, 0.1877, 0.1476, 0.142, 0.1562, 0.1763, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1356, 0.1171, 0.1107, 0.1343, 0.1326, 0.124, 0.0905, 0.0753, 0.0448, 0.0079, 0.0214, 0.057, 0.0452, 0.0413, 0.0671, 0.0572, 0.0669, 0.0772, 0.06, 0.0521, 0.0701, 0.0411, 0.0529, 0.0626, 0.0476, 0.066, 0.0744, 0.0733, 0.0607, 0.0411, 0.0304, 0.0089, -0.0173, -0.0151, 0.0218, 0.0388, 0.0467, 0.0308, 0.0583, 0.0458, 0.0388, 0.0235, 0.0495, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0373, 0.024, 0.0261, 0.0257, 0.0551, 0.0398, 0.0787, 0.0665, 0.0585, 0.0262, 0.0286, 0.0603, 0.0974, 0.1057, 0.145, 0.1489, 0.1489, 0.1315, 0.1696, 0.1887, 0.1956, 0.183, 0.1921, 0.2289, 0.2243, 0.2254, 0.2243]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1173365233206857729", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-15T22:37:26+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil sands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oil sands / CDN heavy oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil sands/ CDN heavy oil rerate begins tomorrow. 15%+ fcf yields with 50+ years of reserves.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil sands / heavy oil: strategic importance of Canadian supply rising materially, rerate begins tomorrow on 15%+ FCF yields and 50+ years of reserves.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sands/heavy oil basket: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Keystone XL and Line 3 read through? The strategic importance of Canadian supply just went up materially. Oil sands/ CDN heavy oil rerate begins tomorrow. 15%+ fcf yields with 50+ years of reserves.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TRUMP SAYS HE HAS INFORMED ALL APPROPRIATE U.S. AGENCIES \"TO EXPEDITE APPROVALS OF THE OIL PIPELINES CURRENTLY IN THE PERMITTING PROCESS IN TEXAS AND VARIOUS OTHER STATES\"", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09634087289516517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09634087289516517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09943924607515457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06386818964711231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03247268324805286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03459255167269659, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03459255167269659, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03712473551025397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02065301224044158, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01393953943225501, "ret_p1w": -0.05889112268386713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05889112268386713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05698285905999926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03878379246568101, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020107330218186115, "ret_p1m": -0.1887023959927715, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1887023959927715, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18903665099834133, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11744235521903268, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07126004077373882, "ret_p3m": -0.13742642051129875, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13742642051129875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19884240827864377, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10884705445090895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0285793660603898, "ret_p6m": -0.607649253036465, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.607649253036465, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5777202889641608, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1986279091215989, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.4090213439148661, "ret_p1y": -0.5271627148371246, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5271627148371246, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7426500431355173, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1337774722527877, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": -0.39338524258433694, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05889112268386713, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05698285905999926, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03878379246568101, "price_path": [-0.0693, -0.0441, -0.0507, -0.0604, -0.0677, -0.0462, -0.0762, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0887, -0.0892, -0.0866, -0.0896, -0.0995, -0.0897, -0.0697, -0.0694, -0.0652, -0.0621, -0.0668, -0.0702, -0.0804, -0.0843, -0.0815, -0.0797, -0.0928, -0.1159, -0.119, -0.1469, -0.112, -0.0976, -0.1185, -0.1511, -0.1511, -0.1708, -0.1983, -0.168, -0.1765, -0.1977, -0.1652, -0.2023, -0.2139, -0.2015, -0.2019, -0.2009, -0.1775, -0.1724, -0.2093, -0.2086, -0.2154, -0.1888, -0.1784, -0.1902, -0.1902, -0.1941, -0.1878, -0.1577, -0.1477, -0.125, -0.1122, -0.0944, -0.0851, -0.0963, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.052, -0.0625, -0.0614, -0.0589, -0.0795, -0.0901, -0.0977, -0.1013, -0.1048, -0.142, -0.161, -0.1627, -0.1628, -0.166, -0.1966, -0.2098, -0.2023, -0.1908, -0.1908, -0.1887, -0.1948, -0.192, -0.2047, -0.2074, -0.2025, -0.2024, -0.215, -0.2109, -0.2203, -0.2105, -0.2301, -0.2553, -0.2289, -0.2104, -0.2016, -0.2148, -0.1961, -0.2012, -0.1997, -0.2068, -0.2129, -0.2155, -0.2008, -0.2124, -0.2347, -0.2216, -0.2176, -0.2169, -0.2134, -0.2322, -0.2188, -0.2107, -0.2221, -0.2298, -0.2484, -0.2322, -0.2398, -0.1877, -0.1671, -0.1621, -0.1655, -0.1374, -0.1351, -0.1378, -0.1074, -0.1049, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0598, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0413, -0.0369, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.052, -0.0386, -0.0221, -0.0238, -0.0597, -0.0574, -0.0927, -0.1088, -0.101, -0.1171, -0.1127, -0.121, -0.1172, -0.1351, -0.1458, -0.1432, -0.1719, -0.1959, -0.1868, -0.1838, -0.1844, -0.2128, -0.2124, -0.1959, -0.1563, -0.1654, -0.1835, -0.1884, -0.1862, -0.1698, -0.183, -0.187, -0.187, -0.1891, -0.1681, -0.1626, -0.1795, -0.2247, -0.249, -0.2671, -0.2911, -0.2942, -0.3004, -0.3205, -0.3291, -0.3473, -0.4111, -0.6236, -0.6076]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1245360807711514624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-04-01T14:42:08+00:00", "symbol": "SU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN energy = best upside post the storm", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy (SU, CNQ) on attractive valuations, improving takeaway, and better 2021 outlook; fully invested in Canada.", "resolved_tickers": ["SU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Will energy investors look through the next few months towards a significantly better outlook in '21? Will US investors ever return to Canada? Yes to both! Morgan Stanley (presumably for a US client) massive buyer of SU and CNQ past 2 days. CDN energy = best upside post the storm https://t.co/tGcbOxIPKu\n\n---\n\nLooks like this mystery was finally solved! So much for Canadian oil companies not being attractive to foreign investors! We are 100% invested in Canada given highly attractive valuations and improving takeaway capacity and it's interesting that Saudi Arabia agrees with us #OOTT https://t.co/1UsEPXAIJj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012172002072008192, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012172002072008192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03495348611263216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03996400690364088, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04712548818464035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05213600897564907, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07943629547008824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07943629547008824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05636104480109139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012163697381908811, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02307525066899685, "bench_c_p1d": 0.09159999285199705, "ret_p1w": 0.06726499036596767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06726499036596767, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04599903874256195, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17169195833379658, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.11326402910852962, "bench_c_p1w": 0.23895694869976425, "ret_p1m": 0.14349802142432821, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14349802142432821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0365950912356785, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23231672826942895, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.18009311266000672, "bench_c_p1m": 0.37581474969375717, "ret_p3m": 0.0957743843702008, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0957743843702008, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1465563102900569, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2610130122991101, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2423306946602577, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3567873966693109, "ret_p6m": -0.16585675126075683, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16585675126075683, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49116315594921767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2915077801527043, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.32530640468846084, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12565102889194746, "ret_p1y": 0.46373525070748056, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46373525070748056, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14392607697671056, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.407098584854815, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.6076613276841911, "bench_c_p1y": 0.8708338355622955, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14349802142432821, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0365950912356785, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23231672826942895, "price_path": [1.076, 1.145, 1.157, 1.145, 1.1544, 1.1684, 1.1519, 1.181, 1.169, 1.15, 1.126, 1.126, 1.1095, 1.0937, 1.0709, 1.0456, 0.9894, 0.9969, 0.9881, 0.9969, 0.935, 0.9046, 0.8995, 0.947, 0.878, 0.8407, 0.8565, 0.8603, 0.8692, 0.8666, 0.8837, 0.8837, 0.8976, 0.928, 0.9267, 0.9223, 0.8584, 0.842, 0.799, 0.7484, 0.7458, 0.7521, 0.6893, 0.7111, 0.6637, 0.6041, 0.2953, 0.2947, 0.2095, -0.05, 0.0404, -0.1332, -0.1935, -0.3306, -0.3139, -0.2896, -0.3203, -0.2319, -0.1384, -0.1813, -0.2486, -0.1403, 0.0122, 0.0, 0.0794, 0.0404, 0.0858, 0.0564, 0.0673, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.048, 0.041, -0.0275, -0.0833, -0.0243, -0.0551, -0.0666, -0.0058, 0.0051, -0.0006, 0.0128, 0.0679, 0.2184, 0.1435, 0.0999, 0.0782, 0.0615, 0.0211, 0.0589, 0.0955, 0.0871, 0.0788, 0.0154, 0.0122, 0.0346, 0.1038, 0.1019, 0.1755, 0.123, 0.0955, 0.0955, 0.13, 0.1236, 0.1166, 0.0967, 0.1262, 0.171, 0.2166, 0.2424, 0.371, 0.3749, 0.3264, 0.2773, 0.1481, 0.1836, 0.1772, 0.1991, 0.1442, 0.1274, 0.1016, 0.119, 0.1358, 0.0796, 0.0809, 0.0531, 0.0958, 0.0893, 0.0628, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0945, 0.0589, 0.0493, 0.0163, 0.0428, 0.0499, 0.0964, 0.1177, 0.1035, 0.0984, 0.0803, 0.1746, 0.1591, 0.11, 0.079, 0.0887, 0.0421, 0.0615, 0.0473, 0.0182, 0.0409, 0.0396, 0.0745, 0.0615, 0.0454, 0.0925, 0.0958, 0.1248, 0.0971, 0.0984, 0.0964, 0.0854, 0.0693, 0.0525, 0.0228, 0.0712, 0.0738, 0.0525, 0.0628, 0.0725, 0.0357, 0.0421, 0.0286, 0.0313, 0.013, 0.013, -0.0869, -0.081, -0.1039, -0.1006, -0.1176, -0.1287, -0.1091, -0.1136, -0.1293, -0.1698, -0.1685, -0.1861, -0.1659]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1245360807711514624", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-04-01T14:42:08+00:00", "symbol": "CNQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Morgan Stanley (presumably for a US client) massive buyer of SU and CNQ past 2 days", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy (SU, CNQ) on attractive valuations, improving takeaway, and better 2021 outlook; fully invested in Canada.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Will energy investors look through the next few months towards a significantly better outlook in '21? Will US investors ever return to Canada? Yes to both! Morgan Stanley (presumably for a US client) massive buyer of SU and CNQ past 2 days. CDN energy = best upside post the storm https://t.co/tGcbOxIPKu\n\n---\n\nLooks like this mystery was finally solved! So much for Canadian oil companies not being attractive to foreign investors! We are 100% invested in Canada given highly attractive valuations and improving takeaway capacity and it's interesting that Saudi Arabia agrees with us #OOTT https://t.co/1UsEPXAIJj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04150641063829963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04150641063829963, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005619077546340723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010629598337349444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04712548818464035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05213600897564907, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07378936201816955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07378936201816955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0507141113491727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0178106308338275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02307525066899685, "bench_c_p1d": 0.09159999285199705, "ret_p1w": 0.04842412919614625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04842412919614625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06483989991238337, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.190532819503618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.11326402910852962, "bench_c_p1w": 0.23895694869976425, "ret_p1m": 0.2882399280972705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2882399280972705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10814681543726379, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08757482159648666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.18009311266000672, "bench_c_p1m": 0.37581474969375717, "ret_p3m": 0.36249993049614626, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36249993049614626, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12016923583588857, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005712533826835342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2423306946602577, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3567873966693109, "ret_p6m": 0.3119737068907311, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3119737068907311, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01333269779772972, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18632267799878366, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.32530640468846084, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12565102889194746, "ret_p1y": 1.4537757670643874, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.4537757670643874, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8461144393801963, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5829419315020918, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.6076613276841911, "bench_c_p1y": 0.8708338355622955, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2882399280972705, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10814681543726379, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08757482159648666, "price_path": [1.368, 1.3954, 1.3835, 1.3295, 1.3761, 1.3495, 1.3458, 1.3857, 1.3562, 1.351, 1.3458, 1.3458, 1.3044, 1.2851, 1.2829, 1.2393, 1.1623, 1.1749, 1.166, 1.1757, 1.081, 1.0773, 1.1135, 1.1623, 1.1564, 1.1431, 1.1579, 1.169, 1.2038, 1.1727, 1.1668, 1.1668, 1.1838, 1.2578, 1.2511, 1.226, 1.1143, 1.0418, 0.9878, 0.8797, 0.9086, 0.8968, 0.8324, 0.8309, 0.7939, 0.6719, 0.1637, 0.1873, 0.1156, -0.0686, 0.0638, -0.2366, -0.3246, -0.423, -0.4051, -0.3574, -0.3613, -0.2775, -0.2291, -0.1998, -0.2706, -0.1445, 0.0415, 0.0, 0.0738, 0.0215, 0.0377, 0.0269, 0.0484, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0354, 0.0154, -0.0607, -0.083, 0.0277, -0.0169, -0.0446, 0.0238, 0.06, 0.0784, 0.0776, 0.143, 0.3359, 0.2882, 0.2022, 0.2191, 0.2129, 0.1745, 0.1845, 0.2613, 0.2575, 0.2952, 0.2367, 0.2583, 0.3075, 0.4404, 0.3836, 0.4297, 0.4181, 0.3935, 0.3935, 0.4051, 0.4174, 0.4066, 0.3912, 0.4581, 0.5373, 0.5496, 0.5626, 0.651, 0.6841, 0.6311, 0.5642, 0.3906, 0.3984, 0.375, 0.4047, 0.3469, 0.3445, 0.3406, 0.3555, 0.3922, 0.343, 0.3516, 0.3352, 0.3625, 0.3609, 0.343, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3555, 0.3149, 0.3071, 0.2657, 0.318, 0.325, 0.3727, 0.4047, 0.3727, 0.3563, 0.3336, 0.4827, 0.4663, 0.4125, 0.4164, 0.4656, 0.4164, 0.4515, 0.3992, 0.3789, 0.3836, 0.4257, 0.4671, 0.5101, 0.5554, 0.5842, 0.6045, 0.5952, 0.5827, 0.5913, 0.5835, 0.5686, 0.5546, 0.5452, 0.5124, 0.5749, 0.5874, 0.5585, 0.5639, 0.5725, 0.5358, 0.5577, 0.5507, 0.5296, 0.5405, 0.5405, 0.393, 0.4398, 0.4109, 0.4, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4468, 0.4248, 0.397, 0.3223, 0.3501, 0.3032, 0.312]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1245360807711514624", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2020-04-01T14:42:08+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are 100% invested in Canada given highly attractive valuations and improving takeaway capacity", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy (SU, CNQ) on attractive valuations, improving takeaway, and better 2021 outlook; fully invested in Canada.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Will energy investors look through the next few months towards a significantly better outlook in '21? Will US investors ever return to Canada? Yes to both! Morgan Stanley (presumably for a US client) massive buyer of SU and CNQ past 2 days. CDN energy = best upside post the storm https://t.co/tGcbOxIPKu\n\n---\n\nLooks like this mystery was finally solved! So much for Canadian oil companies not being attractive to foreign investors! We are 100% invested in Canada given highly attractive valuations and improving takeaway capacity and it's interesting that Saudi Arabia agrees with us #OOTT https://t.co/1UsEPXAIJj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015789466830898435, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015789466830898435, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031336021353741916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031336021353741916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04712548818464035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04712548818464035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09473703077291562, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09473703077291562, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07166178010391877, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07166178010391877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02307525066899685, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02307525066899685, "ret_p1w": 0.1394738279285137, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1394738279285137, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026209798819984087, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026209798819984087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.11326402910852962, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11326402910852962, "ret_p1m": 0.31052635973129883, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31052635973129883, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1304332470712921, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1304332470712921, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.18009311266000672, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18009311266000672, "ret_p3m": 0.31860323805857416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31860323805857416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07627254339831646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07627254339831646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2423306946602577, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2423306946602577, "ret_p6m": 0.17017482005147389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17017482005147389, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15513158463698695, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15513158463698695, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.32530640468846084, "bench_c_p6m": 0.32530640468846084, "ret_p1y": 1.0716472908548624, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.0716472908548624, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4639859631706713, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4639859631706713, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.6076613276841911, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6076613276841911, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.31052635973129883, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1304332470712921, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1304332470712921, "price_path": [1.4173, 1.469, 1.4664, 1.4199, 1.4406, 1.4251, 1.4044, 1.4121, 1.3889, 1.3863, 1.3657, 1.3631, 1.3295, 1.3114, 1.2985, 1.2572, 1.1978, 1.2081, 1.2133, 1.2107, 1.1461, 1.1281, 1.1332, 1.2159, 1.1849, 1.1487, 1.1487, 1.1513, 1.1745, 1.1616, 1.1591, 1.1591, 1.1642, 1.2055, 1.2107, 1.1745, 1.0867, 1.0273, 0.9679, 0.924, 0.906, 0.9111, 0.8491, 0.8621, 0.813, 0.6994, 0.2396, 0.2577, 0.1622, -0.0238, 0.0795, -0.1168, -0.1916, -0.2872, -0.251, -0.2381, -0.264, -0.1813, -0.1184, -0.1289, -0.2105, -0.1158, 0.0158, 0.0, 0.0947, 0.0737, 0.1026, 0.0947, 0.1395, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1105, 0.0895, 0.0316, -0.0079, 0.0684, 0.0553, 0.0447, 0.1105, 0.1342, 0.1263, 0.1316, 0.1842, 0.3395, 0.3105, 0.2526, 0.2553, 0.2553, 0.2211, 0.2447, 0.2789, 0.2684, 0.2842, 0.2105, 0.2132, 0.25, 0.25, 0.3132, 0.3895, 0.3632, 0.3421, 0.3421, 0.3553, 0.3605, 0.3421, 0.3184, 0.3474, 0.4132, 0.4368, 0.4526, 0.5711, 0.6158, 0.5579, 0.4947, 0.3526, 0.3789, 0.3711, 0.3974, 0.3316, 0.3263, 0.3184, 0.3211, 0.3526, 0.3, 0.3053, 0.2734, 0.3186, 0.308, 0.308, 0.3266, 0.3239, 0.3239, 0.2867, 0.2628, 0.2362, 0.2761, 0.2654, 0.3186, 0.3452, 0.3292, 0.3106, 0.2867, 0.401, 0.3851, 0.3532, 0.3478, 0.3611, 0.3133, 0.3372, 0.3106, 0.284, 0.284, 0.3266, 0.3691, 0.3904, 0.4037, 0.4462, 0.4382, 0.4675, 0.4436, 0.4568, 0.4568, 0.4329, 0.4276, 0.4063, 0.3665, 0.4223, 0.4249, 0.3957, 0.393, 0.401, 0.3585, 0.3718, 0.3452, 0.3452, 0.3319, 0.3319, 0.2309, 0.2468, 0.2202, 0.2176, 0.2123, 0.2043, 0.2442, 0.2335, 0.2229, 0.1697, 0.1857, 0.1511, 0.1702]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1437541098436677632", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-13T22:18:00+00:00", "symbol": "TVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1.7BN of FCF over 5 years at $70WTI = 1.5x their current market cap (33% FCF yield) + how much to investors?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TVE: at $70 WTI, 5-year FCF equals 1.5x current market cap (33% yield), with dividend/buyback catalyst in early 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["TVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TVE: what they said -&gt; leverage goal to be reached in early 2022 = dividend + buyback then. $70WTI = FCF of ~$350MM = 16% dividend at 50% of FCF. What they forgot to say: $1.7BN of FCF over 5 years at $70WTI = 1.5x their current market cap (33% FCF yield) + how much to investors? https://t.co/g68nBXC1O8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005271355180821891, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005271355180821891, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0001545134373264201, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0001545134373264201, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005425868618148311, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005425868618148311, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003012099226534337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003012099226534337, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005340625127915999, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005340625127915999, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008352724354450336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008352724354450336, "ret_p1w": 0.0071536650663133194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0071536650663133194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027755600001203806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027755600001203806, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.020601934934890487, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020601934934890487, "ret_p1m": 0.005271355180821891, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005271355180821891, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02237253103376713, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02237253103376713, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01710117585294524, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01710117585294524, "ret_p3m": -0.03479659192990092, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03479659192990092, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09801145519799714, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09801145519799714, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06321486326809622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06321486326809622, "ret_p6m": -0.045411916046235956, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.045411916046235956, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01415291787309192, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01415291787309192, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03125899817314404, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03125899817314404, "ret_p1y": -0.16964630485545584, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.16964630485545584, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.07483200221914466, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07483200221914466, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.09481430263631119, "bench_c_p1y": -0.09481430263631119, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16964630485545584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07483200221914466, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07483200221914466, "price_path": [-0.0274, -0.0334, -0.0188, -0.0252, -0.0252, -0.0286, -0.0282, -0.0327, -0.0368, -0.033, -0.0169, -0.0095, -0.0095, -0.0166, -0.0095, -0.0308, -0.0256, -0.0301, -0.0248, -0.0117, -0.0121, -0.0241, -0.0301, -0.0289, -0.0278, -0.0282, -0.0267, -0.0259, -0.0222, -0.0244, -0.0192, -0.02, 0.0053, -0.0072, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0087, 0.0038, 0.003, -0.0023, -0.0045, -0.012, -0.0098, -0.012, 0.0158, 0.0026, 0.0023, 0.0072, 0.0098, 0.0087, 0.0094, -0.0008, -0.0056, 0.0102, 0.0087, 0.0049, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.0064, 0.0041, 0.0094, 0.009, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.003, 0.0072, 0.0064, 0.0056, 0.0072, 0.0301, 0.0143, 0.0222, 0.0173, 0.0113, 0.012, 0.0162, 0.0147, 0.0098, -0.0026, 0.003, 0.0113, 0.012, 0.0143, 0.0147, 0.0053, 0.0237, -0.0015, -0.0023, -0.0072, -0.0068, -0.0113, -0.0154, -0.0143, -0.0139, -0.012, -0.0019, 0.0155, 0.0182, 0.0208, 0.0129, 0.011, 0.0084, 0.0008, 0.0027, -0.0125, -0.0113, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0151, -0.0136, -0.0193, -0.0162, -0.0223, -0.0314, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0325, -0.0371, -0.0427, -0.0374, -0.0405, -0.0306, -0.031, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0318, -0.0348, -0.0352, -0.0409, -0.0382, -0.0367, -0.0344, -0.0378, -0.0333, -0.0299, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.031, -0.0284, -0.0242, -0.0318, -0.0189, -0.0284, -0.0329, -0.0416, -0.0348, -0.0374, -0.0359, -0.0352, -0.0348, -0.0352, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0416, -0.0393, -0.0371, -0.042, -0.0405, -0.042, -0.0427, -0.0492, -0.0458, -0.0294, -0.0332, -0.0458, -0.0378, -0.0389, -0.0386, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0386, -0.0389, -0.0382, -0.0378, -0.0389, -0.0408, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0351, -0.0427, -0.037, -0.0386, -0.0389, -0.0378, -0.0389, -0.0397, -0.0435, -0.0454]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1112708056205414406", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-01T13:27:28+00:00", "symbol": "E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many E&P's trading at 15%+ FCF yields...time for MEANINGFUL buybacks if balance sheets allow...some could lock in pricing certainty and retire 50% of their shares outstanding over the next 2 years. TIME TO ACT.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish US E&P sector at 15%+ FCF yields; massive buybacks possible at $60 WTI strip could create 50% share count reduction over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2019+2020 WTI strip now averaging $60/bbl...many E&amp;P's trading at 15%+ FCF yields...time for MEANINGFUL buybacks if balance sheets allow...some could lock in pricing certainty and retire 50% of their shares outstanding over the next 2 years. TIME TO ACT. #OOTT https://t.co/7BePpy1pkC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013795515469131048, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013795515469131048, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0020757529435704303, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0020757529435704303, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011719762525560617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011719762525560617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010266342875421497, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010266342875421497, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010756784885987303, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010756784885987303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004904420105658058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004904420105658058, "ret_p1w": 0.027590525946272093, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027590525946272093, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01723435339933843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01723435339933843, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010356172546933662, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010356172546933662, "ret_p1m": -0.0070580566205675765, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0070580566205675765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03571169848435618, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03571169848435618, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028653641863788604, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028653641863788604, "ret_p3m": -0.1381943044694821, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1381943044694821, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16299220455276708, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16299220455276708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024797900083284974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024797900083284974, "ret_p6m": -0.25534544842783724, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25534544842783724, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.300309427962965, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.300309427962965, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04496397953512776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04496397953512776, "ret_p1y": -0.7479045537724849, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7479045537724849, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5997124868201577, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5997124868201577, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.14819206695232723, "bench_c_p1y": -0.14819206695232723, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.7479045537724849, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5997124868201577, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5997124868201577, "price_path": [-0.1266, -0.1327, -0.0837, -0.0524, -0.0437, -0.0223, -0.0162, -0.0271, -0.0264, -0.0152, -0.0133, -0.0075, 0.0117, 0.0117, -0.0306, -0.0463, -0.0408, -0.0229, -0.0399, -0.0354, -0.0082, -0.0226, -0.0175, -0.0117, -0.0251, -0.0367, -0.0783, -0.0924, -0.0776, -0.0664, -0.0463, -0.0338, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.012, -0.0008, -0.028, -0.0197, -0.0213, -0.036, -0.0344, -0.0469, -0.0267, -0.02, -0.0287, -0.0565, -0.0693, -0.102, -0.0828, -0.0594, -0.0396, -0.0367, -0.0449, -0.0218, -0.0314, -0.0045, 0.0103, -0.0356, -0.035, -0.0151, -0.0176, -0.0119, -0.0138, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0324, -0.0148, 0.0205, 0.0276, 0.0071, 0.0218, 0.008, 0.0414, 0.0292, 0.0353, 0.0314, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0581, 0.0568, 0.0356, 0.0199, 0.0035, 0.0022, -0.0071, -0.0391, -0.0703, -0.0497, -0.0407, -0.0542, -0.0449, -0.0484, -0.0443, -0.0773, -0.0545, -0.0417, -0.0318, -0.0539, -0.0619, -0.0417, -0.0783, -0.1306, -0.1299, -0.1299, -0.1431, -0.1386, -0.1607, -0.1784, -0.1707, -0.1492, -0.1793, -0.1726, -0.171, -0.1761, -0.1739, -0.2024, -0.1838, -0.1992, -0.1854, -0.1639, -0.1681, -0.1428, -0.1401, -0.152, -0.1633, -0.1359, -0.1382, -0.1227, -0.1244, -0.1553, -0.1572, -0.1572, -0.1466, -0.1572, -0.1553, -0.1372, -0.1469, -0.1411, -0.1643, -0.1807, -0.2064, -0.2129, -0.2029, -0.2003, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.2113, -0.2206, -0.2351, -0.1961, -0.1942, -0.2444, -0.2531, -0.284, -0.2947, -0.2963, -0.2757, -0.2824, -0.2934, -0.2889, -0.3249, -0.331, -0.3098, -0.2815, -0.2872, -0.284, -0.2927, -0.3262, -0.3272, -0.3368, -0.3159, -0.2927, -0.3056, -0.3056, -0.3188, -0.3008, -0.2824, -0.285, -0.2448, -0.238, -0.2357, -0.2515, -0.246, -0.1646, -0.209, -0.2213, -0.2367, -0.2314, -0.234, -0.2553]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1115346519941615622", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-08T20:11:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't underestimate how under-owned this sector is and how low the bases are that stocks need to recover from", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: sector is deeply under-owned, stocks need 50%+ recovery, trading at steep discount to historical valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's amazing that many energy stocks need to rally by 50%+ to get back to where they were in November '18 when oil was last ~$64.  Even then they would still trade at only 10%-15%+ free cash flow yields and ~50% of historical valuations #OOTT\n\n---\n\nIF this is the turn in sentiment (it would only have required a 42% oil price rally!), and only time will tell if this was the case, don't underestimate how under-owned this sector is and how low the bases are that stocks need to recover from #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "ret_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "ret_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "ret_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "ret_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "ret_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "price_path": [-0.0773, -0.0828, -0.085, -0.0817, -0.0829, -0.0745, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0763, -0.0857, -0.0809, -0.0692, -0.0785, -0.0757, -0.0627, -0.0566, -0.0402, -0.038, -0.0365, -0.0436, -0.0647, -0.069, -0.0646, -0.0527, -0.0409, -0.0375, -0.022, -0.022, -0.019, -0.0149, -0.0301, -0.0273, -0.0257, -0.0288, -0.0251, -0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0153, -0.0186, -0.031, -0.0368, -0.0548, -0.04, -0.0338, -0.0241, -0.023, -0.0234, -0.0098, -0.0125, -0.0039, 0.0031, -0.024, -0.0236, -0.0095, -0.0165, -0.0128, -0.0143, -0.0013, -0.0082, -0.0177, -0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0072, 0.0012, 0.0078, 0.0064, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0228, 0.0212, 0.0033, 0.0001, -0.0128, -0.0137, -0.0145, -0.0341, -0.051, -0.0422, -0.0413, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0452, -0.0616, -0.0501, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0492, -0.0382, -0.0531, -0.0848, -0.0814, -0.0814, -0.0909, -0.0968, -0.1082, -0.1239, -0.1127, -0.0973, -0.1073, -0.0908, -0.0866, -0.0839, -0.0821, -0.0951, -0.0845, -0.0905, -0.0829, -0.0702, -0.0713, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.0599, -0.0455, -0.0526, -0.0416, -0.0407, -0.056, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0509, -0.0495, -0.0488, -0.0366, -0.0346, -0.0306, -0.0393, -0.0495, -0.0604, -0.0602, -0.0559, -0.0515, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0557, -0.0605, -0.0643, -0.0538, -0.0568, -0.0781, -0.0914, -0.1184, -0.1195, -0.1261, -0.101, -0.1109, -0.1215, -0.1133, -0.1481, -0.1533, -0.1422, -0.1233, -0.1306, -0.1251, -0.129, -0.1582, -0.1545, -0.1598, -0.1478, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1395, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.112, -0.0942, -0.0835, -0.0826, -0.0884, -0.0811, -0.0503, -0.0635, -0.068, -0.0705, -0.0697, -0.0694, -0.0841, -0.0826, -0.0946, -0.0947, -0.1013, -0.1221, -0.1436]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1102526245865119744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-04T11:08:35+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN oil stocks are trading at the cheapest valuations that I have ever seen so further multiple compression seems unlikely. Once you hit 25%+ free cash flow yields...tough to imagine meaningful selling emerges today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian oil equities: 25%+ FCF yields make further multiple compression unlikely and meaningful selling improbable from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ChrisKostopoul1 CDN oil stocks are trading at the cheapest valuations that I have ever seen so further multiple compression seems unlikely. Once you hit 25%+ free cash flow yields...tough to imagine meaningful selling emerges today.\n\n---\n\n@ChrisKostopoul1 What the Line 3 delay will achieve is deferring the return of some US capital flows back to Canada. The AB curtailments are generally disliked south of the border despite the obvious benefits. Longer to wait for the CDN E&amp;P rerate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016000034126385954, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016000034126385954, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012349340598740266, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012349340598740266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0036506935276456876, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0036506935276456876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002999953076219475, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002999953076219475, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004360270876659911, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004360270876659911, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001360317800440436, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001360317800440436, "ret_p1w": -0.018000266917089336, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018000266917089336, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014564398868403106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014564398868403106, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0034358680486862303, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0034358680486862303, "ret_p1m": -0.0008371933728996694, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008371933728996694, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028860531652455723, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028860531652455723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028023338279556054, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028023338279556054, "ret_p3m": -0.07313820759689915, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07313820759689915, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07621274503556696, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07621274503556696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0030745374386678126, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030745374386678126, "ret_p6m": -0.22467404731013996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22467404731013996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26094782874336075, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26094782874336075, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0362737814332208, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0362737814332208, "ret_p1y": -0.12263133935704673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12263133935704673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3565136285125067, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3565136285125067, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23388228915545994, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23388228915545994, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0008371933728996694, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.028860531652455723, "alpha_c_stated": -0.028860531652455723, "price_path": [-0.0132, -0.0671, -0.0541, -0.0681, -0.081, -0.0691, -0.0681, -0.096, -0.118, -0.1279, -0.1289, -0.1429, -0.1589, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1429, -0.129, -0.12, -0.12, -0.103, -0.106, -0.078, -0.078, -0.078, -0.057, -0.047, -0.046, -0.044, -0.026, -0.035, -0.029, -0.022, -0.025, -0.056, -0.066, -0.053, -0.052, -0.058, -0.05, -0.04, -0.049, -0.056, -0.046, -0.046, -0.044, -0.067, -0.077, -0.068, -0.056, -0.046, -0.039, -0.008, -0.008, 0.001, 0.003, -0.004, -0.002, 0.004, 0.003, 0.011, 0.005, 0.016, 0.0, 0.003, -0.009, -0.008, -0.028, -0.018, -0.012, 0.003, 0.004, 0.0, 0.018, 0.01, 0.028, 0.037, 0.008, -0.0099, 0.0062, -0.0109, -0.0089, -0.0139, 0.0032, -0.0008, -0.0139, -0.0089, 0.0192, 0.0353, 0.0273, 0.0454, 0.0433, 0.0534, 0.0484, 0.0524, 0.0664, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0825, 0.0986, 0.0735, 0.0654, 0.0504, 0.0524, 0.0383, 0.0092, -0.0169, -0.0069, -0.0079, -0.0209, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0109, -0.034, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0069, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0169, -0.042, -0.0802, -0.0772, -0.0621, -0.0721, -0.0601, -0.0731, -0.0832, -0.0932, -0.0902, -0.1133, -0.1073, -0.1033, -0.1073, -0.1013, -0.1123, -0.1033, -0.1053, -0.0922, -0.0842, -0.0921, -0.0759, -0.083, -0.084, -0.0901, -0.0759, -0.0992, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1093, -0.1052, -0.0992, -0.1012, -0.1083, -0.0951, -0.0769, -0.0759, -0.0769, -0.0809, -0.0961, -0.1073, -0.1224, -0.1154, -0.1103, -0.1062, -0.1154, -0.1417, -0.1488, -0.1639, -0.1437, -0.1336, -0.1528, -0.169, -0.169, -0.1913, -0.1953, -0.1822, -0.1791, -0.1903, -0.1822, -0.2095, -0.2156, -0.2085, -0.1882, -0.1994, -0.1913, -0.1963, -0.2216, -0.2206, -0.2247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1108174565652324352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-20T01:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "Baytex Energy", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should be clear neither face bankruptcy risk. Most analysts are using a stale strip price deck. $60/bbl vs $52 makes a world of difference. Q1/Q2 = impending upward revisions.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Baytex and Athabasca Oil; dismisses bankruptcy risk, says analysts using stale $52 oil vs $60 reality means Q1/Q2 upward earnings revisions are coming.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Baytex Energy on TSX, ticker BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnTavaresJr I have recently posted a graph showing debt:cash flow levels for both companies you mentioned. It should be clear neither face bankruptcy risk. Most analysts are using a stale strip price deck. $60/bbl vs $52 makes a world of difference. Q1/Q2 = impending upward revisions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ericnuttall Other analysts express less bullish sentiment &amp; concern about high debt levels at CDN midcap oil companies &amp; advise against purchasing the stock of your top recommendations like Baytex &amp; Athabasca Oil because of their precarious finances &amp; bankruptcy risk. Why the disconnect?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnTavaresJr", "ret_m1d": -0.057851346010873717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057851346010873717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06087055615277259, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.049171290450112703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003019210141898876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008680055560761013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033057821603527104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033057821603527104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021763262384443927, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026024124072515198, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011294559219083178, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0070336975310119065, "ret_p1w": -0.037190128406318634, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037190128406318634, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03044222231593674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024469254582799693, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006747906090381894, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012720873823518941, "ret_p1m": 0.1570249162912556, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1570249162912556, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12694140656911013, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15148765839437073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030083509722145463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005537257896884862, "ret_p3m": -0.17768597569110933, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17768597569110933, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20546084398682796, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09836816711855279, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027774868295718624, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07931780857255655, "ret_p6m": -0.21487610409742797, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21487610409742797, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2901930790492039, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13006823996803085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07531697495177592, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08480786412939711, "ret_p1y": -0.566115748676855, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.566115748676855, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6379096600456958, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2397074899923497, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07179391136884083, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3264082586845053, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17768597569110933, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20546084398682796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09836816711855279, "price_path": [-0.1694, -0.1942, -0.1942, -0.1942, -0.1364, -0.062, -0.0041, -0.0041, 0.0124, 0.0041, 0.0455, 0.0579, 0.0248, 0.0537, 0.0826, 0.095, 0.0702, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.0785, 0.0537, 0.0207, -0.0413, -0.095, -0.0992, -0.0785, -0.1074, -0.1198, -0.0826, -0.0868, -0.1033, -0.1033, -0.1157, -0.1488, -0.1736, -0.1736, -0.157, -0.1405, -0.095, -0.0744, -0.0537, -0.0537, -0.0083, -0.0207, -0.0579, -0.0496, -0.0537, 0.0083, 0.0041, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0248, -0.0207, -0.0455, -0.0702, -0.0661, -0.0579, -0.0661, -0.0331, -0.0455, -0.0702, -0.0455, -0.0579, 0.0, 0.0331, -0.0248, -0.0413, 0.0, -0.0372, -0.0455, -0.062, -0.0579, -0.0661, -0.095, -0.0826, -0.0124, 0.0372, 0.0124, 0.1612, 0.1736, 0.1983, 0.186, 0.157, 0.1777, 0.157, 0.157, 0.2355, 0.2686, 0.1942, 0.1446, 0.1322, 0.1612, 0.124, 0.0537, 0.0248, 0.157, 0.157, 0.1074, 0.1405, 0.157, 0.1405, 0.1074, 0.1074, 0.1157, 0.1157, 0.0744, 0.0744, 0.0785, 0.0165, -0.0496, -0.062, -0.0537, -0.0785, -0.0661, -0.0992, -0.1364, -0.1405, -0.1322, -0.1736, -0.1653, -0.1529, -0.1818, -0.1736, -0.2149, -0.1694, -0.1942, -0.1777, -0.1364, -0.157, -0.1157, -0.124, -0.1446, -0.1653, -0.1364, -0.1653, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.186, -0.1942, -0.2025, -0.2107, -0.2273, -0.2397, -0.2149, -0.219, -0.2149, -0.2231, -0.2273, -0.2397, -0.2645, -0.2231, -0.2107, -0.2025, -0.2066, -0.2273, -0.2107, -0.2107, -0.1612, -0.1694, -0.1983, -0.2231, -0.2231, -0.2231, -0.2645, -0.2521, -0.2438, -0.2686, -0.2273, -0.2934, -0.3058, -0.2769, -0.2521, -0.2521, -0.2727, -0.281, -0.3182, -0.3306, -0.3595, -0.3223, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2769, -0.2645, -0.2314, -0.2314, -0.2273, -0.2149]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1108174565652324352", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-03-20T01:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "Athabasca Oil", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should be clear neither face bankruptcy risk. Most analysts are using a stale strip price deck. $60/bbl vs $52 makes a world of difference. Q1/Q2 = impending upward revisions.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Baytex and Athabasca Oil; dismisses bankruptcy risk, says analysts using stale $52 oil vs $60 reality means Q1/Q2 upward earnings revisions are coming.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Athabasca Oil Corp on TSX, ticker ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnTavaresJr I have recently posted a graph showing debt:cash flow levels for both companies you mentioned. It should be clear neither face bankruptcy risk. Most analysts are using a stale strip price deck. $60/bbl vs $52 makes a world of difference. Q1/Q2 = impending upward revisions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ericnuttall Other analysts express less bullish sentiment &amp; concern about high debt levels at CDN midcap oil companies &amp; advise against purchasing the stock of your top recommendations like Baytex &amp; Athabasca Oil because of their precarious finances &amp; bankruptcy risk. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1370366077629251588", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-03-12T13:28:27+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "cheapest valuations, lowest declines, longest reserve lives, and best free cashflow profiles for juicy dividends and buybacks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian oil equities as the best global value play in a multi-year oil bull market: cheapest valuations, longest reserves, best FCF for dividends/buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I continue to search the world for undervalued oil stocks that most benefit from the multi-year oil bull market. Where do I keep ending up? Right at home: cheapest valuations, lowest declines, longest reserve lives, and best free cashflow profiles for juicy dividends and buybacks https://t.co/smjJE9Hvw1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024452682235047707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024452682235047707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0011005919361856131, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0011005919361856131, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013446762873191576, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013446762873191576, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011002351419976075, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011002351419976075, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016966128848930784, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016966128848930784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059637774289547085, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0059637774289547085, "ret_p1w": -0.05990222402966994, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05990222402966994, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05151688126740839, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05151688126740839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00838534276226155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00838534276226155, "ret_p1m": -0.0785899127037506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0785899127037506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12662382277099526, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12662382277099526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04803391006724467, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04803391006724467, "ret_p3m": 0.10569210475549928, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10569210475549928, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03217273568520018, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03217273568520018, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0735193690702991, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0735193690702991, "ret_p6m": 0.006458149764423604, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.006458149764423604, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1508556655199471, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1508556655199471, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15731381528437072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15731381528437072, "ret_p1y": 0.7033365137461614, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7033365137461614, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5976377533456967, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5976377533456967, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10569876040046466, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10569876040046466, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7033365137461614, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5976377533456967, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5976377533456967, "price_path": [-0.2498, -0.268, -0.2668, -0.2717, -0.2899, -0.3033, -0.2741, -0.2778, -0.2778, -0.2778, -0.2826, -0.2702, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2738, -0.22, -0.2127, -0.1993, -0.2103, -0.2152, -0.1993, -0.2103, -0.1919, -0.2225, -0.2347, -0.22, -0.22, -0.2323, -0.2469, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2787, -0.2738, -0.2885, -0.2616, -0.2592, -0.2335, -0.2274, -0.22, -0.2017, -0.2066, -0.1919, -0.1932, -0.1773, -0.1773, -0.154, -0.1467, -0.1577, -0.1565, -0.1137, -0.1064, -0.0868, -0.1137, -0.1296, -0.1198, -0.1137, -0.0917, -0.0685, -0.0367, -0.0465, -0.0477, -0.0122, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.011, -0.044, -0.0293, -0.0795, -0.0599, -0.077, -0.1125, -0.0819, -0.0798, -0.0614, -0.0737, -0.0675, -0.0749, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.0589, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0737, -0.0786, -0.0872, -0.0516, -0.0565, -0.0651, -0.0688, -0.1056, -0.0982, -0.1093, -0.1007, -0.0995, -0.0921, -0.0638, -0.0552, -0.0651, -0.0368, -0.0417, -0.0172, -0.0073, 0.0111, -0.0024, -0.0147, -0.0024, -0.0233, 0.0037, 0.0308, 0.0209, -0.0086, -0.0172, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0221, -0.0061, 0.0062, 0.0123, 0.0283, 0.0725, 0.0873, 0.0909, 0.1045, 0.1032, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.1094, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1462, 0.1315, 0.0848, 0.0737, 0.1217, 0.1167, 0.1229, 0.1273, 0.1298, 0.0953, 0.1039, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.115, 0.1397, 0.1064, 0.0829, 0.0768, 0.0854, 0.0731, 0.078, 0.0496, 0.0348, 0.0003, -0.0367, -0.0231, 0.0028, 0.0003, 0.0015, 0.0163, -0.012, -0.0059, -0.0009, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0022, -0.0441, -0.0318, -0.0219, -0.0429, -0.0145, -0.0133, -0.0219, -0.0355, -0.0577, -0.0688, -0.086, -0.1033, -0.0971, -0.0651, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.0441, -0.0145, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0231, 0.0114, 0.0065, 0.0065]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1334874527952633858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-04T14:57:42+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why won't energy continue to rally into year end???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish energy sector into year-end; generalist funds underweight and missing the rally creates continued upside pressure.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why won't energy continue to rally into year end??? So few people are properly positioned and if I was a generalist fund manager underweight energy I would be terrified at the moment after missing the 35% November rally and watching it continue into December...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05168625076468447, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05168625076468447, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043142436031161524, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043142436031161524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008543814733522948, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008543814733522948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02338187672314307, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02338187672314307, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021327191822598124, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021327191822598124, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020546849005449452, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020546849005449452, "ret_p1w": 0.012059571813706649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012059571813706649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02165792244017062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02165792244017062, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00959835062646397, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00959835062646397, "ret_p1m": -0.05321966874932327, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05321966874932327, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05460417548341667, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05460417548341667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0013845067340934047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0013845067340934047, "ret_p3m": 0.24333521361652033, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24333521361652033, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20765581460317506, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20765581460317506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03567939901334527, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03567939901334527, "ret_p6m": 0.31601355747419513, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31601355747419513, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17173307282384753, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17173307282384753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1442804846503476, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1442804846503476, "ret_p1y": 0.47808883944726155, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.47808883944726155, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.19436500946404767, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.19436500946404767, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2837238299832139, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2837238299832139, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05321966874932327, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05460417548341667, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05460417548341667, "price_path": [-0.1864, -0.1808, -0.2109, -0.2101, -0.2041, -0.2099, -0.1782, -0.177, -0.1862, -0.2131, -0.2213, -0.2565, -0.2567, -0.2572, -0.2397, -0.2606, -0.2629, -0.2855, -0.2786, -0.257, -0.268, -0.2577, -0.2299, -0.2422, -0.2402, -0.252, -0.2488, -0.2397, -0.257, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2781, -0.2483, -0.252, -0.2789, -0.2882, -0.318, -0.2971, -0.2931, -0.269, -0.2732, -0.2722, -0.2722, -0.288, -0.1863, -0.16, -0.1686, -0.1954, -0.1661, -0.1112, -0.1021, -0.1282, -0.114, -0.1186, -0.0564, -0.0079, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0423, -0.0952, -0.0911, -0.0615, -0.0517, 0.0, -0.0234, -0.0089, -0.0066, 0.0239, 0.0121, -0.0234, -0.0042, -0.0091, -0.0138, -0.0303, -0.049, -0.0649, -0.0442, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0552, -0.0615, -0.0467, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0532, -0.0108, 0.0194, 0.0343, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.086, 0.0775, 0.1094, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0877, 0.0917, 0.0548, 0.0493, 0.0386, 0.0164, 0.0026, 0.0144, -0.0193, -0.0123, -0.0016, 0.0411, 0.0525, 0.0615, 0.1059, 0.0942, 0.1151, 0.0979, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.1421, 0.159, 0.1328, 0.1518, 0.1917, 0.2114, 0.2543, 0.2301, 0.2009, 0.2321, 0.2254, 0.2433, 0.273, 0.3207, 0.3231, 0.3, 0.3329, 0.3334, 0.3361, 0.3209, 0.2832, 0.2932, 0.2351, 0.2354, 0.2235, 0.2056, 0.2359, 0.2404, 0.2711, 0.256, 0.2452, 0.2366, 0.2681, 0.2681, 0.2379, 0.2346, 0.2389, 0.2228, 0.2147, 0.2051, 0.2064, 0.2399, 0.2298, 0.22, 0.2187, 0.1865, 0.2016, 0.1875, 0.1983, 0.2064, 0.221, 0.2631, 0.2772, 0.2449, 0.2792, 0.28, 0.3213, 0.3281, 0.3518, 0.3523, 0.3175, 0.3238, 0.3077, 0.3483, 0.3795, 0.3475, 0.314, 0.312, 0.3148, 0.3279, 0.3009, 0.3125, 0.3135, 0.316, 0.316]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1384201342860685322", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-04-19T17:44:52+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian small cap oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "valuations remain very compelling", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Targets WTI $70 by September; holds Canadian small-cap oil names and expects energy sector to re-rate on Q1 return-of-capital messaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian small cap oil companies: ATH, BTE, WCP", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In January with WTI at $53 we amassed strategic stakes in several CDN small cap oil co's believing we would see $60 by June. Today with WTI at $63, it feels like I should be thinking $70 by September. In that context valuations remain very compelling. https://t.co/82aPHwDS41\n\n---\n\nOptimism is growing in the sustainability of higher oil prices. When will energy stocks begin to reflect this??? I'm hopeful that Q1 \"return of capital\" messaging will be the catalyst and reinforce how much free cash flow the sector is capable of generating. https://t.co/Ma6uXdbZMK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0029483118697860577, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029483118697860577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019892056298626004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019138261325043482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004937517499648658, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0010344857372817096, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03859669718230685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03859669718230685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03127521405885392, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012123240835222315, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007321483123452932, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026473456347084534, "ret_p1w": -0.05937075579160082, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05937075579160082, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06515108942087713, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04923653558624711, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005780333629276324, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010134220205353706, "ret_p1m": 0.2815353805964765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2815353805964765, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2894106356250827, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17584754108168427, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007875255028606198, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10568783951479221, "ret_p3m": 0.45685408655809234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45685408655809234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.406367905201374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4100696636844716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05048618135671834, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046784422873620723, "ret_p6m": 1.0618382873777457, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0618382873777457, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0107257779560685, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8688943572071466, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05111250942167711, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19294393017059908, "ret_p1y": 2.268402102258326, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.268402102258326, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.178842540182754, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.616139100634075, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08955956207557203, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6522630016242508, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2815353805964765, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2894106356250827, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17584754108168427, "price_path": [-0.337, -0.3508, -0.3492, -0.3502, -0.3724, -0.3575, -0.3705, -0.3854, -0.3467, -0.3243, -0.2838, -0.2196, -0.203, -0.1693, -0.1714, -0.1661, -0.1916, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1502, -0.1479, -0.1796, -0.19, -0.1221, -0.102, -0.0014, -0.0495, -0.0668, -0.0517, -0.0298, -0.0094, 0.023, 0.1513, 0.15, 0.1432, 0.1602, 0.1502, 0.1287, 0.0965, 0.0557, 0.0839, -0.0052, 0.0164, 0.0021, -0.0649, -0.0379, -0.045, -0.0154, -0.0081, -0.0071, 0.0112, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0045, 0.0296, 0.0186, 0.0069, -0.0055, -0.0167, -0.0198, 0.0325, 0.0106, 0.0029, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.0392, -0.0505, -0.046, -0.0594, -0.0447, 0.0166, 0.0471, 0.0887, 0.1855, 0.2165, 0.2606, 0.2454, 0.2719, 0.2448, 0.2297, 0.254, 0.2117, 0.2509, 0.2964, 0.2815, 0.238, 0.2119, 0.2292, 0.2292, 0.2139, 0.2339, 0.2603, 0.2936, 0.3834, 0.4549, 0.4091, 0.4042, 0.4356, 0.4171, 0.4295, 0.4393, 0.454, 0.4669, 0.4912, 0.5409, 0.5591, 0.5051, 0.5258, 0.6662, 0.6311, 0.6556, 0.6611, 0.6523, 0.6272, 0.6083, 0.6265, 0.6265, 0.6507, 0.7041, 0.6166, 0.534, 0.5595, 0.6003, 0.5559, 0.5716, 0.5255, 0.4569, 0.4096, 0.3046, 0.3452, 0.4086, 0.4092, 0.3913, 0.4264, 0.3923, 0.4031, 0.4063, 0.408, 0.408, 0.4126, 0.3523, 0.3696, 0.3543, 0.3391, 0.3988, 0.4349, 0.3974, 0.3656, 0.3253, 0.307, 0.2807, 0.2444, 0.2207, 0.2944, 0.3166, 0.325, 0.3109, 0.3576, 0.3585, 0.3638, 0.3428, 0.4447, 0.4548, 0.4548, 0.4195, 0.4153, 0.4112, 0.4332, 0.5167, 0.5564, 0.6346, 0.6317, 0.5983, 0.5399, 0.587, 0.7048, 0.7275, 0.7638, 0.8748, 0.8858, 0.8873, 0.91, 0.9553, 1.0334, 1.0346, 0.9994, 1.0266, 1.0533, 1.0533, 1.0618]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1384201342860685322", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2021-04-19T17:44:52+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm hopeful that Q1 'return of capital' messaging will be the catalyst and reinforce how much free cash flow the sector is capable of generating", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Targets WTI $70 by September; holds Canadian small-cap oil names and expects energy sector to re-rate on Q1 return-of-capital messaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In January with WTI at $53 we amassed strategic stakes in several CDN small cap oil co's believing we would see $60 by June. Today with WTI at $63, it feels like I should be thinking $70 by September. In that context valuations remain very compelling. https://t.co/82aPHwDS41\n\n---\n\nOptimism is growing in the sustainability of higher oil prices. When will energy stocks begin to reflect this??? I'm hopeful that Q1 \"return of capital\" messaging will be the catalyst and reinforce how much free cash flow the sector is capable of generating. https://t.co/Ma6uXdbZMK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0010344857372817096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0010344857372817096, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0039030317623669486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0039030317623669486, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004937517499648658, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004937517499648658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026473456347084534, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026473456347084534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019151973223631602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019151973223631602, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007321483123452932, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007321483123452932, "ret_p1w": -0.010134220205353706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010134220205353706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01591455383463003, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01591455383463003, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005780333629276324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005780333629276324, "ret_p1m": 0.10568783951479221, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10568783951479221, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11356309454339841, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11356309454339841, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007875255028606198, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007875255028606198, "ret_p3m": 0.046784422873620723, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.046784422873620723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003701758483097617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003701758483097617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05048618135671834, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05048618135671834, "ret_p6m": 0.19294393017059908, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19294393017059908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14183142074892197, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14183142074892197, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05111250942167711, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05111250942167711, "ret_p1y": 0.6522630016242508, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6522630016242508, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5627034395486787, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5627034395486787, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08955956207557203, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08955956207557203, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10568783951479221, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11356309454339841, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11356309454339841, "price_path": [-0.1042, -0.1345, -0.139, -0.1478, -0.166, -0.1773, -0.1677, -0.1953, -0.1896, -0.1808, -0.1458, -0.1364, -0.129, -0.0926, -0.1022, -0.085, -0.0991, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0629, -0.049, -0.0705, -0.0549, -0.0222, -0.006, 0.0292, 0.0094, -0.0146, 0.011, 0.0055, 0.0202, 0.0446, 0.0836, 0.0857, 0.0667, 0.0937, 0.0941, 0.0963, 0.0838, 0.0529, 0.0611, 0.0134, 0.0137, 0.0039, -0.0108, 0.0141, 0.0178, 0.043, 0.0306, 0.0217, 0.0147, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0157, 0.013, 0.0165, 0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0112, -0.0101, 0.0174, 0.0091, 0.001, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0141, -0.0256, -0.0168, -0.0101, 0.0019, 0.0364, 0.048, 0.0215, 0.0496, 0.0503, 0.0842, 0.0898, 0.1092, 0.1096, 0.0811, 0.0862, 0.073, 0.1063, 0.132, 0.1057, 0.0782, 0.0765, 0.0788, 0.0896, 0.0674, 0.0769, 0.0778, 0.0798, 0.0798, 0.1214, 0.1423, 0.1454, 0.1531, 0.1481, 0.158, 0.1508, 0.1493, 0.1454, 0.1404, 0.1622, 0.1559, 0.1166, 0.0836, 0.1297, 0.1373, 0.1404, 0.1502, 0.1563, 0.1172, 0.1118, 0.1256, 0.1452, 0.1427, 0.1427, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.0813, 0.1042, 0.1026, 0.0942, 0.0616, 0.0468, 0.0171, -0.0188, -0.0057, 0.029, 0.0175, 0.0138, 0.0388, 0.0292, 0.0386, 0.0487, 0.0319, 0.0242, 0.0418, 0.0136, 0.0251, 0.0345, 0.0198, 0.0378, 0.0459, 0.0449, 0.0326, 0.0136, 0.0031, -0.0178, -0.0433, -0.0412, -0.0052, 0.0113, 0.019, 0.0035, 0.0303, 0.0182, 0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0217, 0.0159, 0.0159, 0.0098, -0.0032, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0271, 0.0123, 0.0501, 0.0382, 0.0305, -0.001, 0.0013, 0.0322, 0.0684, 0.0764, 0.1147, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1016, 0.1386, 0.1572, 0.164, 0.1517, 0.1606, 0.1963, 0.1919, 0.1929]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1170535187584901120", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-09-08T03:11:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil sands stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oil sands", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN oil sand stocks would skyrocket", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Policy-driven US production cut of ~3MM bbl/d would surge oil to $100+ and rocket Canadian oil sands equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sands stocks: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ianbremmer 100% utter stupidity. US production would fall by ~3MM bbl/d in the first year alone and many 100,000’s of thousands of oil workers would be laid off. Oil would surge to $100+/bbl easily. The positive? CDN oil sand stocks would skyrocket! #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "One of the worst policy suggestions I’ve seen from any candidate. \n\nWould be an economic disaster...and simultaneously bring about major additional climate damage (by increasing demand for coal).", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ianbremmer", "ret_m1d": -0.025994107835368634, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025994107835368634, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025490899671344696, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00639616594047469, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005032081640239383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019597941894893944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014913507193700104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014913507193700104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015148435651314518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031212847849335645, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023492845761441394, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01179222240876654, "ret_p1w": 0.14361398526473246, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14361398526473246, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1370414150954009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0951168074459725, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006572570169331549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04849717781875995, "ret_p1m": -0.08017145978181506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017145978181506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05221169472836151, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017079754348259257, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027959765053453545, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0630917054335558, "ret_p3m": -0.12450223646259802, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12450223646259802, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17567887982559766, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10666399185182725, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117664336299965, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01783824461077077, "ret_p6m": -0.2178280731017408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2178280731017408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23429194533321973, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.013685769666877623, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016463872231478938, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20414230343486317, "ret_p1y": -0.4429631486645002, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4429631486645002, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6317904577071205, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.08784076705172, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18882730904262024, "bench_c_p1y": -0.3551223816127802, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08017145978181506, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05221169472836151, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017079754348259257, "price_path": [0.0156, 0.0388, 0.0279, 0.0483, 0.0757, 0.063, 0.0915, 0.0839, 0.0732, 0.065, 0.0891, 0.0549, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0408, 0.0405, 0.0436, 0.04, 0.0286, 0.0404, 0.0634, 0.0637, 0.0686, 0.0719, 0.0661, 0.0621, 0.0499, 0.046, 0.0493, 0.0517, 0.0365, 0.01, 0.0067, -0.0249, 0.0146, 0.0309, 0.0067, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0523, -0.0829, -0.0487, -0.0581, -0.0821, -0.0457, -0.0877, -0.1005, -0.0869, -0.0868, -0.0862, -0.0596, -0.054, -0.0959, -0.0948, -0.1027, -0.0722, -0.0597, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.078, -0.0709, -0.0365, -0.026, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0345, 0.0453, 0.0328, 0.1436, 0.1042, 0.0842, 0.0725, 0.0741, 0.0768, 0.0533, 0.0416, 0.033, 0.0288, 0.0245, -0.0177, -0.0394, -0.0411, -0.0414, -0.0448, -0.0802, -0.0949, -0.0862, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0705, -0.0774, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.091, -0.0855, -0.0849, -0.0993, -0.0944, -0.1052, -0.0937, -0.116, -0.1442, -0.1143, -0.0931, -0.0832, -0.0985, -0.0755, -0.0812, -0.0793, -0.0872, -0.0941, -0.0972, -0.0804, -0.0934, -0.1184, -0.1036, -0.0991, -0.0985, -0.0942, -0.1154, -0.1002, -0.0912, -0.1045, -0.1133, -0.1345, -0.1156, -0.1245, -0.0647, -0.042, -0.0359, -0.04, -0.0078, -0.0051, -0.0083, 0.026, 0.0287, 0.0518, 0.0506, 0.0797, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.1001, 0.105, 0.0967, 0.0967, 0.0878, 0.103, 0.1218, 0.1198, 0.0792, 0.0822, 0.0427, 0.0247, 0.0336, 0.0154, 0.02, 0.0107, 0.0149, -0.0055, -0.0174, -0.0147, -0.0472, -0.0746, -0.0642, -0.0608, -0.0613, -0.0941, -0.0936, -0.0749, -0.03, -0.04, -0.0605, -0.0656, -0.063, -0.0445, -0.0596, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0664, -0.0421, -0.0358, -0.0552, -0.107, -0.1349, -0.156, -0.1837, -0.1875, -0.1945, -0.2178]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1440039390516953096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-20T19:45:19+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "how can you NOT be excited buying names at 2.0x EV/CF and 25%+ FCF yields at $70WTI in a multi-year structural bull market?!?!?!?!?!?!?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy equities at $70 WTI; cheap valuations in a multi-year structural bull market make the dip a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Perhaps I'm completely desensitized to days like today after watching energy stocks fall by as much as 50% in a single day in 2020 but...how can you NOT be excited buying names at 2.0x EV/CF and 25%+ FCF yields at $70WTI in a multi-year structural bull market?!?!?!?!?!?!? https://t.co/wWfXT5hllN\n\n---\n\nCanvassed the street to buy 1MM shares of a stock down 6%. \"No selling in hand\" replied 3 brokers. Today is more about a buyers strike/consolidation phase versus panic selling . Still a down day but calm and orderly...what you want to see in a sell-off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031498598538839406, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031498598538839406, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014541553200753565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014541553200753565, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01695704533808584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01695704533808584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00232821470694744, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00232821470694744, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032728033523921063, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0032728033523921063, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0009445886454446661, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009445886454446661, "ret_p1w": 0.11579150605931576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11579150605931576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0959776578617193, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0959776578617193, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019813848197596462, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019813848197596462, "ret_p1m": 0.22819611201541412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22819611201541412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18995063101081588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18995063101081588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038245481004598236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038245481004598236, "ret_p3m": 0.17485174651259516, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17485174651259516, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10018107541037335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10018107541037335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07467067110222181, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07467067110222181, "ret_p6m": 0.540007086407903, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.540007086407903, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5546894599679176, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5546894599679176, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.014682373560014672, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014682373560014672, "ret_p1y": 0.7140240088411918, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7140240088411918, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7875027435546412, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7875027435546412, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07347873471344946, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07347873471344946, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22819611201541412, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18995063101081588, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18995063101081588, "price_path": [0.1415, 0.1513, 0.1574, 0.1183, 0.1129, 0.1267, 0.1463, 0.1438, 0.1438, 0.1066, 0.0886, 0.0823, 0.1053, 0.1037, 0.0953, 0.0627, 0.0478, 0.0181, -0.0179, -0.0047, 0.03, 0.0185, 0.0148, 0.0399, 0.0302, 0.0397, 0.0497, 0.033, 0.0252, 0.0428, 0.0146, 0.0261, 0.0355, 0.0208, 0.0388, 0.047, 0.0459, 0.0336, 0.0146, 0.0041, -0.0168, -0.0423, -0.0402, -0.0043, 0.0123, 0.02, 0.0045, 0.0313, 0.0192, 0.0123, -0.0026, 0.0227, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0108, -0.0022, -0.0001, -0.0005, 0.0282, 0.0133, 0.0512, 0.0392, 0.0315, 0.0, 0.0023, 0.0332, 0.0694, 0.0775, 0.1158, 0.1196, 0.1196, 0.1027, 0.1397, 0.1583, 0.1651, 0.1528, 0.1617, 0.1975, 0.1931, 0.1941, 0.1931, 0.2077, 0.2136, 0.2144, 0.2282, 0.2381, 0.2153, 0.2267, 0.2447, 0.2519, 0.2159, 0.2246, 0.2166, 0.2375, 0.2259, 0.2157, 0.2174, 0.2333, 0.2445, 0.2496, 0.2166, 0.2212, 0.2182, 0.2284, 0.2303, 0.2115, 0.2043, 0.1573, 0.1778, 0.214, 0.2259, 0.2259, 0.1765, 0.1833, 0.1556, 0.1433, 0.1765, 0.1672, 0.1846, 0.2123, 0.2121, 0.2028, 0.2117, 0.178, 0.1732, 0.1674, 0.1749, 0.1509, 0.1367, 0.1691, 0.1766, 0.1772, 0.1772, 0.2029, 0.2021, 0.1944, 0.1871, 0.1901, 0.2269, 0.2694, 0.2692, 0.2975, 0.3153, 0.3112, 0.3558, 0.3584, 0.3515, 0.3833, 0.3833, 0.3888, 0.3788, 0.3661, 0.3391, 0.3481, 0.4004, 0.3981, 0.4133, 0.4073, 0.4135, 0.4639, 0.4686, 0.4547, 0.4774, 0.4963, 0.4641, 0.4763, 0.4671, 0.5098, 0.4742, 0.4587, 0.4705, 0.4682, 0.4592, 0.4592, 0.4356, 0.4504, 0.439, 0.477, 0.5134, 0.5286, 0.5636, 0.5679, 0.6131, 0.6369, 0.6627, 0.6118, 0.6612, 0.6479, 0.5985, 0.54]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1115640711762927616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-09T15:40:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pervasive and lingering bearishness/apathy = opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian long energy stocks; analyst apathy/bearishness signals opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Has energy sentiment fully turned? Not quite yet. I just left a meeting with an E&amp;P analyst in which I asked him \"how do I make money today in energy stocks?\" His reply: \"do you short?\" Pervasive and lingering bearishness/apathy = opportunity #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012373126752145636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007221714933505874, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005151411818639762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0037266374401898616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00031570926399870913, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034109281761911525, "ret_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007751637067237249, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002168211780348317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009919848847585566, "ret_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05040783068551857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0007655958465158097, "ret_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05089644949778693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09475743908200462, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04386098958421769, "ret_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14362687043606415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15576627514608798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012139404710023838, "ret_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5094731165906481, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4371717092997891, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "bench_c_p1y": -0.07230140729085899, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04964223483900276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05040783068551857, "price_path": [-0.0773, -0.0828, -0.085, -0.0817, -0.0829, -0.0745, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0763, -0.0857, -0.0809, -0.0692, -0.0785, -0.0757, -0.0627, -0.0566, -0.0402, -0.038, -0.0365, -0.0436, -0.0647, -0.069, -0.0646, -0.0527, -0.0409, -0.0375, -0.022, -0.022, -0.019, -0.0149, -0.0301, -0.0273, -0.0257, -0.0288, -0.0251, -0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0153, -0.0186, -0.031, -0.0368, -0.0548, -0.04, -0.0338, -0.0241, -0.023, -0.0234, -0.0098, -0.0125, -0.0039, 0.0031, -0.024, -0.0236, -0.0095, -0.0165, -0.0128, -0.0143, -0.0013, -0.0082, -0.0177, -0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0072, 0.0012, 0.0078, 0.0064, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0228, 0.0212, 0.0033, 0.0001, -0.0128, -0.0137, -0.0145, -0.0341, -0.051, -0.0422, -0.0413, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0452, -0.0616, -0.0501, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0492, -0.0382, -0.0531, -0.0848, -0.0814, -0.0814, -0.0909, -0.0968, -0.1082, -0.1239, -0.1127, -0.0973, -0.1073, -0.0908, -0.0866, -0.0839, -0.0821, -0.0951, -0.0845, -0.0905, -0.0829, -0.0702, -0.0713, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.0599, -0.0455, -0.0526, -0.0416, -0.0407, -0.056, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0509, -0.0495, -0.0488, -0.0366, -0.0346, -0.0306, -0.0393, -0.0495, -0.0604, -0.0602, -0.0559, -0.0515, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0557, -0.0605, -0.0643, -0.0538, -0.0568, -0.0781, -0.0914, -0.1184, -0.1195, -0.1261, -0.101, -0.1109, -0.1215, -0.1133, -0.1481, -0.1533, -0.1422, -0.1233, -0.1306, -0.1251, -0.129, -0.1582, -0.1545, -0.1598, -0.1478, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1395, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.112, -0.0942, -0.0835, -0.0826, -0.0884, -0.0811, -0.0503, -0.0635, -0.068, -0.0705, -0.0697, -0.0694, -0.0841, -0.0826, -0.0946, -0.0947, -0.1013, -0.1221, -0.1436]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1154018321454419968", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-07-24T13:19:43+00:00", "symbol": "US E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good for the micro and the macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "US E&P capital discipline (lower drilling, buybacks) seen as macro/micro positive for the sector; RES signals activity decline in 2H19.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US E&amp;P capital discipline continuing: RES saying \"indications that drilling and completion activities will decline during the 2H of 2019.\" Q2 earnings reporting theme to be lowering of growth estimates and increasing share buybacks? Good for the micro and the macro #OOTT https://t.co/oGCvpSEU4L", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006336685682640342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006336685682640342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0016595390910019159, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0016595390910019159, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004677146591638426, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004677146591638426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029703169762826942, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029703169762826942, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024926150098344535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024926150098344535, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004777019664482407, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004777019664482407, "ret_p1w": -0.008713120311828804, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008713120311828804, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0045895703671727794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0045895703671727794, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013302690679001583, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013302690679001583, "ret_p1m": -0.12990116900313464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12990116900313464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09977931602546875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09977931602546875, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.030121852977665897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030121852977665897, "ret_p3m": -0.17692079675391292, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17692079675391292, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17670651141508986, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17670651141508986, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00021428533882306144, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00021428533882306144, "ret_p6m": -0.09236340626142647, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09236340626142647, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2006527706515202, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2006527706515202, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10828936439009373, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10828936439009373, "ret_p1y": -0.4984416989417557, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4984416989417557, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5730500158746927, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5730500158746927, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07460831693293701, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07460831693293701, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17692079675391292, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17670651141508986, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17670651141508986, "price_path": [0.2345, 0.233, 0.2215, 0.1821, 0.1438, 0.169, 0.1801, 0.1635, 0.175, 0.1706, 0.1757, 0.1351, 0.1631, 0.1789, 0.1911, 0.1639, 0.154, 0.1789, 0.1339, 0.0696, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0542, 0.0597, 0.0325, 0.0108, 0.0202, 0.0467, 0.0096, 0.0179, 0.0198, 0.0135, 0.0163, -0.0188, 0.0041, -0.0149, 0.0021, 0.0285, 0.0234, 0.0546, 0.0578, 0.0432, 0.0293, 0.063, 0.0602, 0.0792, 0.0772, 0.0392, 0.0368, 0.0368, 0.0499, 0.0368, 0.0392, 0.0614, 0.0495, 0.0566, 0.0281, 0.0079, -0.0238, -0.0317, -0.0194, -0.0162, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0297, -0.0412, -0.059, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0705, -0.0812, -0.1192, -0.1323, -0.1343, -0.1089, -0.1172, -0.1307, -0.1251, -0.1695, -0.177, -0.1509, -0.116, -0.1232, -0.1192, -0.1299, -0.1711, -0.1723, -0.1842, -0.1584, -0.1299, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.162, -0.1398, -0.1172, -0.1204, -0.0709, -0.0626, -0.0598, -0.0792, -0.0725, 0.0277, -0.0269, -0.042, -0.061, -0.0545, -0.0577, -0.0839, -0.0827, -0.1006, -0.1054, -0.1113, -0.1435, -0.1674, -0.1547, -0.1559, -0.1662, -0.19, -0.1837, -0.1753, -0.1551, -0.1662, -0.1654, -0.1714, -0.1674, -0.1829, -0.1769, -0.1634, -0.1471, -0.1499, -0.132, -0.138, -0.1237, -0.1563, -0.1606, -0.1316, -0.0895, -0.0883, -0.1161, -0.0982, -0.0923, -0.1125, -0.1157, -0.1296, -0.138, -0.1272, -0.1543, -0.1817, -0.1773, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1563, -0.1773, -0.1714, -0.1714, -0.1908, -0.1904, -0.2035, -0.1789, -0.1857, -0.1563, -0.1507, -0.1447, -0.1499, -0.1177, -0.1352, -0.1106, -0.0871, -0.0815, -0.07, -0.0732, -0.0532, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0505, -0.0664, -0.0676, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0556, -0.0409, -0.0345, -0.0229, -0.06, -0.0644, -0.0732, -0.0864, -0.0764, -0.0872, -0.0924]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1173938683403276289", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-17T12:36:07+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valuations for CDN E&P's are at their lowest in history and sentiment is only just beginning to inflect. Happy hunting!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P sector on record-low valuations, inflecting sentiment, and incoming M&A-focused Imperial Oil leadership.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is M&amp;A about to pick up in Canada? Rich Kruger of Imperial Oil retiring in 3 months...being replaced by the former head of global M&amp;A at Exxon.  Valuations for CDN E&amp;P's are at their lowest in history and sentiment is only just beginning to inflect. Happy hunting! #OOTT https://t.co/lyQVc63Wep\n\n---\n\nIMO Q3 conf call on M&amp;A saying they will be cash taxable in 2021 &amp; interested in acquiring long life, high quality resource. If only there was a midcap oilsand producer with massive tax losses, 68 years of reserves trading at a discount to PDP reserve value &amp; a 25%+ FCF yield... https://t.co/dFC2Xs0WUb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022556593250818935, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022556593250818935, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025082381328628722, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025082381328628722, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01396381167107108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01396381167107108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014562404960037134, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014562404960037134, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "ret_p1w": -0.031049913705510246, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031049913705510246, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018808496091407, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018808496091407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "ret_p1m": -0.1262147449759845, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1262147449759845, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12241973298451292, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12241973298451292, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "ret_p3m": -0.03213131093125621, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03213131093125621, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09150049465861576, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09150049465861576, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "ret_p6m": -0.5093955195155919, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5093955195155919, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4298465830297793, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4298465830297793, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "ret_p1y": -0.4321354368218795, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4321354368218795, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6028284079833062, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6028284079833062, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1262147449759845, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12241973298451292, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12241973298451292, "price_path": [-0.0193, -0.0269, -0.0279, -0.0344, -0.0193, -0.044, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0548, -0.0505, -0.044, -0.0462, -0.0537, -0.0397, -0.0204, -0.0193, -0.0204, -0.0247, -0.0408, -0.0526, -0.0687, -0.0612, -0.0559, -0.0516, -0.0612, -0.0892, -0.0967, -0.1128, -0.0913, -0.0806, -0.101, -0.1182, -0.1182, -0.1418, -0.1461, -0.1321, -0.1289, -0.1407, -0.1321, -0.1611, -0.1676, -0.16, -0.1386, -0.1504, -0.1418, -0.1472, -0.174, -0.1729, -0.1772, -0.1514, -0.1289, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1418, -0.1343, -0.1117, -0.1149, -0.0956, -0.0741, -0.0741, -0.0698, -0.0623, 0.0226, 0.0, -0.014, -0.0183, -0.0129, -0.014, -0.031, -0.0365, -0.0419, -0.0462, -0.0548, -0.0862, -0.1067, -0.1035, -0.1057, -0.1067, -0.1403, -0.1435, -0.1349, -0.1176, -0.1176, -0.1219, -0.1262, -0.1241, -0.1327, -0.1241, -0.1219, -0.1176, -0.1251, -0.1154, -0.123, -0.1186, -0.1295, -0.1468, -0.1197, -0.0916, -0.0808, -0.0959, -0.057, -0.0548, -0.057, -0.0657, -0.07, -0.0743, -0.0635, -0.0776, -0.0894, -0.083, -0.0743, -0.0797, -0.0711, -0.0819, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0884, -0.0927, -0.1078, -0.0862, -0.0927, -0.0516, -0.0516, -0.0451, -0.0527, -0.031, -0.0321, -0.0256, -0.0083, -0.0105, 0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0155, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0128, 0.0205, 0.0423, 0.0412, 0.0215, 0.0303, 0.0237, 0.015, 0.0183, 0.0085, 0.0074, -0.0013, -0.0024, -0.0166, -0.0242, -0.0297, -0.0471, -0.0722, -0.0679, -0.0657, -0.0668, -0.094, -0.1016, -0.0995, -0.0646, -0.0777, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0918, -0.082, -0.0875, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.0864, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.082, -0.1191, -0.1442, -0.1692, -0.1878, -0.1954, -0.1932, -0.2194, -0.2139, -0.2347, -0.2826, -0.4767, -0.4691, -0.5094]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1335993568373202944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-07T17:04:22+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fear of missing out = next ingredient for energy stocks rallying into year end", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy sector into year-end; underweight managers will be forced to chase, driving FOMO-led rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Live shot of a generalist fund manager still underweight the energy sector who was hoping for a pullback today.  \"Fear of missing out\" = next ingredient for energy stocks rallying into year end. https://t.co/xk3ygahlwi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023941678088759577, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023941678088759577, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02188276276598944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02188276276598944, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020589153227701384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020589153227701384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014868799035486102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014868799035486102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011942629296769258, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011942629296769258, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002926169738716844, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002926169738716844, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012002504985397233, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012002504985397233, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012002504985397233, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012002504985397233, "ret_p1m": 0.012863817498587116, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012863817498587116, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002506446777071236, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002506446777071236, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01035737072151588, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01035737072151588, "ret_p3m": 0.303493981797857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.303493981797857, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2785252071490514, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2785252071490514, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024968774648805647, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024968774648805647, "ret_p6m": 0.3993986950680841, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3993986950680841, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25377220209134643, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25377220209134643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1456264929767377, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1456264929767377, "ret_p1y": 0.5282554208595549, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5282554208595549, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23845410266495337, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23845410266495337, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28980131819460153, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28980131819460153, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012863817498587116, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.002506446777071236, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002506446777071236, "price_path": [-0.1612, -0.192, -0.1912, -0.185, -0.191, -0.1585, -0.1573, -0.1667, -0.1943, -0.2026, -0.2387, -0.2389, -0.2394, -0.2215, -0.2429, -0.2452, -0.2684, -0.2613, -0.2392, -0.2505, -0.2399, -0.2114, -0.224, -0.222, -0.2341, -0.2308, -0.2215, -0.2392, -0.2553, -0.2465, -0.2608, -0.2303, -0.2341, -0.2616, -0.2712, -0.3017, -0.2802, -0.2762, -0.2515, -0.2558, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.2709, -0.1668, -0.1399, -0.1487, -0.1762, -0.1462, -0.09, -0.0806, -0.1074, -0.0927, -0.0975, -0.0338, 0.0159, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0194, -0.0736, -0.0693, -0.0391, -0.029, 0.0239, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0171, 0.0484, 0.0363, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0146, 0.0098, -0.0071, -0.0262, -0.0426, -0.0214, -0.0265, -0.0265, -0.0326, -0.039, -0.0239, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0306, 0.0129, 0.0438, 0.0591, 0.0578, 0.0744, 0.112, 0.1033, 0.136, 0.0918, 0.0918, 0.1137, 0.1178, 0.08, 0.0744, 0.0634, 0.0407, 0.0267, 0.0387, 0.0042, 0.0113, 0.0223, 0.066, 0.0777, 0.0869, 0.1324, 0.1204, 0.1418, 0.1242, 0.1408, 0.1408, 0.1694, 0.1868, 0.16, 0.1794, 0.2202, 0.2404, 0.2843, 0.2596, 0.2297, 0.2616, 0.2547, 0.2731, 0.3035, 0.3523, 0.3548, 0.3311, 0.3648, 0.3653, 0.3681, 0.3525, 0.314, 0.3242, 0.2647, 0.2649, 0.2528, 0.2345, 0.2654, 0.2701, 0.3016, 0.2861, 0.275, 0.2662, 0.2985, 0.2985, 0.2675, 0.2642, 0.2685, 0.252, 0.2438, 0.234, 0.2352, 0.2696, 0.2593, 0.2492, 0.2479, 0.2149, 0.2303, 0.2159, 0.227, 0.2352, 0.2502, 0.2933, 0.3078, 0.2747, 0.3098, 0.3106, 0.3529, 0.3599, 0.3842, 0.3847, 0.3491, 0.3555, 0.339, 0.3806, 0.4126, 0.3798, 0.3455, 0.3434, 0.3462, 0.3597, 0.332, 0.3439, 0.3449, 0.3475, 0.3475, 0.3994]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1057654291735941121", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-10-31T15:23:28+00:00", "symbol": "CVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Peak pessimism = multi-bagger opportunities in Canada", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CVE and Canadian energy on strengthening WCS differentials via CBR ramp and Line 3; multi-bagger opportunity from peak pessimism.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CVE confirming WCS differentials to significantly strengthen next year with CBR ramp to 450k bbl/d in '19 and L3 in Q4'19 = rail economic $ differential in 2019 and sub $20/bbl diffs in 2020. Peak pessimism = multi-bagger opportunities in Canada", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0023644663100890195, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0023644663100890195, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00820361116823709, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0037401092765606547, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01056807747832611, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006104575586649674, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03664280351234739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03664280351234739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026000997613732313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028155457077067902, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010641805898615075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008487346435279486, "ret_p1w": 0.08628857380933375, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08628857380933375, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04793348142338649, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041916817433031106, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.038355092385947254, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04437175637630264, "ret_p1m": -0.13238787291559373, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13238787291559373, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1447664699978074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1185405023042172, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012378597082213671, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01384737061137653, "ret_p3m": -0.08037841896362896, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08037841896362896, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06068439443710483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.016691021357303826, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019694024526524134, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06368739760632514, "ret_p6m": 0.20612422406267927, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20612422406267927, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11589258846217176, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18991416057185528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09023163560050751, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01621006349082399, "ret_p1y": 0.02850416868200356, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.02850416868200356, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09439851543085598, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.14881501056315527, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12290268411285954, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12031084188115171, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02850416868200356, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09439851543085598, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14881501056315527, "price_path": [0.1936, 0.2065, 0.1771, 0.1547, 0.1653, 0.1689, 0.1653, 0.123, 0.0535, 0.037, 0.0771, 0.0853, 0.0982, 0.1124, 0.1077, 0.1394, 0.1547, 0.1406, 0.1489, 0.1206, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.0594, 0.057, 0.0406, 0.0453, 0.0594, 0.0606, 0.0747, 0.0591, 0.0473, 0.0343, 0.0591, 0.0898, 0.0875, 0.1052, 0.1383, 0.1076, 0.0934, 0.1879, 0.1856, 0.2317, 0.1962, 0.234, 0.2104, 0.1927, 0.1773, 0.1738, 0.0957, 0.0591, 0.0355, 0.0012, 0.039, 0.0272, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0189, 0.0035, -0.013, 0.0035, 0.0047, -0.0189, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0366, 0.0343, 0.0638, 0.0745, 0.0863, 0.0851, 0.0567, 0.0284, -0.0154, -0.039, -0.0189, -0.0414, -0.0508, -0.1158, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.1584, -0.1702, -0.1643, -0.1809, -0.1324, -0.1277, -0.0154, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0957, -0.0969, -0.1147, -0.1099, -0.0686, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.13, -0.1631, -0.1785, -0.1986, -0.2163, -0.2388, -0.2388, -0.1726, -0.1939, -0.1879, -0.169, -0.169, -0.1418, -0.1466, -0.091, -0.0792, -0.0674, -0.0426, -0.0307, -0.0426, -0.0532, -0.039, -0.0567, -0.0508, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0851, -0.104, -0.1005, -0.0792, -0.0804, -0.0697, -0.0508, -0.0792, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0804, -0.0733, -0.1028, -0.1147, -0.1076, -0.0697, -0.0142, -0.0118, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0378, 0.0473, 0.0296, 0.0508, 0.0556, 0.0875, 0.0816, 0.0827, 0.0804, 0.0201, 0.0165, -0.0106, -0.0024, -0.0296, 0.0118, 0.026, 0.0461, 0.0447, 0.0411, 0.0577, 0.0542, 0.0886, 0.091, 0.0387, 0.0114, 0.0352, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0304, 0.0838, 0.0803, 0.0625, 0.066, 0.1147, 0.1444, 0.1361, 0.1907, 0.1705, 0.1753, 0.161, 0.1705, 0.2061, 0.1978, 0.1978, 0.2382, 0.2394, 0.2097, 0.2061]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1539262891131654146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-06-21T15:04:06+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a pledge of 75% of FCF to \"returns\" = 22% '23 potential dividend yield...rerating 2.6x EV/CF back closer to 5x-6x", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: 75% FCF return pledge implies 22% dividend yield and re-rating from 2.6x to 5-6x EV/CF.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To CDN energy co's...this is your competition for capital: a US shale co. just went to 75% of FCF to \"returns\" -&gt;translates to an 11% yield this year and 16% in 2023. Stock up 7%. Time to get serious and get more aggressive NOW! 75% is the minimum industry standard going forward.\n\n---\n\nWith the average energy company trading at a 30% free cashflow yield at $100WTI, a pledge of 75% of FCF to \"returns\" = 22% '23 potential dividend yield...rerating 2.6x EV/CF back closer to 5x-6x??? https://t.co/PLKg8vvfLk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023314414271497164, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023314414271497164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012411977708082222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012411977708082222, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024555612042305386, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024555612042305386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0529302862508334, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0529302862508334, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05111730701122652, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05111730701122652, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018129792396068822, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018129792396068822, "ret_p1w": -0.006897189923375291, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006897189923375291, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02177413318695376, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02177413318695376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014876943263578468, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014876943263578468, "ret_p1m": -0.08880907555398132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08880907555398132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14133239231970707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14133239231970707, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05252331676572575, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05252331676572575, "ret_p3m": -0.026581533686254155, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.026581533686254155, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05877218896660763, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05877218896660763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032190655280353475, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032190655280353475, "ret_p6m": 0.006323350884246404, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.006323350884246404, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06291865496119042, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06291865496119042, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06924200584543683, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06924200584543683, "ret_p1y": -0.02909253413307078, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.02909253413307078, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18760536034476427, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18760536034476427, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585128262116935, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585128262116935, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.026581533686254155, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05877218896660763, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05877218896660763, "price_path": [-0.0898, -0.0636, -0.0857, -0.0895, -0.0838, -0.0901, -0.0762, -0.0624, -0.0781, -0.0907, -0.0744, -0.0548, -0.0788, -0.0567, -0.041, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0032, -0.0176, -0.0038, -0.0391, -0.0573, -0.0882, -0.08, -0.0498, -0.0013, -0.0158, -0.0195, 0.0183, 0.0428, 0.0334, 0.0353, -0.0391, -0.0422, -0.0252, -0.0378, 0.0, 0.0252, 0.0391, 0.0227, 0.0277, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0586, 0.0807, 0.0851, 0.104, 0.1298, 0.1002, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1229, 0.1323, 0.1582, 0.1664, 0.1531, 0.1355, 0.1002, 0.08, 0.0655, 0.0113, -0.046, -0.0233, 0.0, -0.0529, -0.1185, -0.0894, -0.0469, -0.0069, -0.0425, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0355, -0.1002, -0.1358, -0.0964, -0.1066, -0.1187, -0.1479, -0.151, -0.165, -0.1529, -0.1231, -0.1015, -0.0888, -0.1085, -0.1212, -0.0894, -0.0971, -0.0691, -0.0501, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0412, -0.0818, -0.1206, -0.104, -0.099, -0.0926, -0.0831, -0.0475, -0.0393, -0.0545, -0.0666, -0.0526, -0.0266, -0.031, -0.024, 0.0064, 0.0166, 0.0236, 0.0166, 0.0325, -0.0069, -0.0158, -0.038, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0374, -0.0672, -0.059, -0.0342, -0.0139, -0.0221, 0.0083, -0.0158, -0.0266, -0.0202, -0.0247, -0.0456, -0.0621, -0.1355, -0.1652, -0.1458, -0.111, -0.1091, -0.1084, -0.0575, -0.015, 0.0037, 0.0237, 0.025, 0.025, -0.0156, -0.0162, 0.0153, -0.0188, -0.0175, -0.0227, 0.0076, 0.0231, 0.0411, 0.0495, 0.0527, 0.0721, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0863, 0.0998, 0.0921, 0.1198, 0.1198, 0.1243, 0.1146, 0.0689, 0.0946, 0.1185, 0.1024, 0.1217, 0.0966, 0.0908, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.1011, 0.0882, 0.0908, 0.0888, 0.0714, 0.0869, 0.0766, 0.0669, 0.0695, 0.0379, 0.0018, -0.004, -0.0111, -0.0182, -0.0098, 0.0063, 0.0063]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1105823345013112832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-13T13:30:05+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CDN E&P's are now trading at a discount to proved and in many cases to blowdown (PDP) value. Buybacks!!!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&Ps: trading at discount to proved/PDP reserve value with buybacks as catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reminiscing the good old days when E&amp;P's used to trade at a premium to 2P reserve value (proved+probable).  Sadly, due to a temporary lack of sector interest CDN E&amp;P's are now trading at a discount to proved and in many cases to blowdown (PDP) value. Buybacks!!! #OOTT https://t.co/6vnZV43FHm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01495471910558821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01495471910558821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00837920788237334, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00837920788237334, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006575511223214869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006575511223214869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009970339303830844, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009970339303830844, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016368849861675416, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016368849861675416, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006398510557844572, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006398510557844572, "ret_p1w": 0.02492511916712359, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02492511916712359, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019770753361354254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019770753361354254, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005154365805769334, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005154365805769334, "ret_p1m": 0.04022621794590586, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04022621794590586, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011295044960017098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011295044960017098, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028931172985888765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028931172985888765, "ret_p3m": -0.1099501191397827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1099501191397827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14159453635314878, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14159453635314878, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03164441721336608, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03164441721336608, "ret_p6m": -0.1654347839559317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1654347839559317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2338457527724297, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2338457527724297, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.068410968816498, "bench_c_p6m": 0.068410968816498, "ret_p1y": -0.2440734200961454, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2440734200961454, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3170454063997892, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3170454063997892, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07297198630364377, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07297198630364377, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04022621794590586, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011295044960017098, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011295044960017098, "price_path": [-0.0987, -0.1206, -0.1305, -0.1315, -0.1455, -0.1614, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1455, -0.1316, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1057, -0.1087, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0598, -0.0499, -0.0489, -0.0469, -0.0289, -0.0379, -0.0319, -0.0249, -0.0279, -0.0588, -0.0688, -0.0558, -0.0548, -0.0608, -0.0528, -0.0429, -0.0518, -0.0588, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0469, -0.0698, -0.0798, -0.0708, -0.0588, -0.0489, -0.0419, -0.011, -0.011, -0.002, 0.0, -0.007, -0.005, 0.001, 0.0, 0.008, 0.002, 0.013, -0.003, 0.0, -0.012, -0.011, -0.0309, -0.0209, -0.015, 0.0, 0.001, -0.003, 0.015, 0.007, 0.0249, 0.0339, 0.005, -0.0128, 0.0032, -0.0138, -0.0118, -0.0168, 0.0002, -0.0038, -0.0168, -0.0118, 0.0162, 0.0322, 0.0242, 0.0422, 0.0402, 0.0502, 0.0452, 0.0492, 0.0633, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0793, 0.0953, 0.0703, 0.0623, 0.0472, 0.0492, 0.0352, 0.0062, -0.0198, -0.0098, -0.0108, -0.0238, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0138, -0.0369, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0098, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0198, -0.0449, -0.0829, -0.0799, -0.0649, -0.0749, -0.0629, -0.0759, -0.0859, -0.0959, -0.0929, -0.116, -0.11, -0.1059, -0.11, -0.1039, -0.115, -0.1059, -0.1079, -0.0949, -0.0869, -0.0948, -0.0786, -0.0857, -0.0867, -0.0928, -0.0786, -0.1019, -0.0998, -0.0998, -0.1119, -0.1079, -0.1019, -0.1039, -0.1109, -0.0978, -0.0797, -0.0786, -0.0797, -0.0837, -0.0988, -0.1099, -0.1251, -0.118, -0.113, -0.1089, -0.118, -0.1442, -0.1513, -0.1664, -0.1463, -0.1362, -0.1553, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1937, -0.1977, -0.1846, -0.1816, -0.1927, -0.1846, -0.2119, -0.2179, -0.2108, -0.1907, -0.2018, -0.1937, -0.1987, -0.224, -0.223, -0.227, -0.2028, -0.1816, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.1937, -0.1866, -0.1654]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1346468660576014344", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-05T14:48:39+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a sector that could double (or more) in 2021", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector and WTI crude into 2021; massive institutional underweight + forced buying stampede expected to drive sector doubling or more.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When the Vice Chairman of Blackstone calls for $65WTI generalist institutional investors listen. How much longer will they remain massively underweight a sector that could double (or more) in 2021???  The inevitable buying stampede will be like elephants through a keyhole. https://t.co/XygmR4iNlH\n\n---\n\nJust how underweight are large generalist institutional investors??? Here is the $136BN Fidelity Contrafund...0.3% weight in energy. To get to just a market weight they would have to buy all of my fund's holdings 15X over...and that is only one fund! https://t.co/CerRluXVE2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04286457427570023, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04286457427570023, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03602432320930016, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03602432320930016, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068402510664000715, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0068402510664000715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030508963789427357, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030508963789427357, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024530343171493607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024530343171493607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00597862061793375, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00597862061793375, "ret_p1w": 0.09783138408683678, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09783138408683678, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07779520973309051, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07779520973309051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020036174353746272, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020036174353746272, "ret_p1m": 0.052445632565505385, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.052445632565505385, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024114940918147365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024114940918147365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02833069164735802, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02833069164735802, "ret_p3m": 0.2819918767979066, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2819918767979066, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19960658708967616, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19960658708967616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08238528970823045, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08238528970823045, "ret_p6m": 0.3867359002658186, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3867359002658186, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22640139343183563, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22640139343183563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16033450683398298, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16033450683398298, "ret_p1y": 0.44894170200836925, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.44894170200836925, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.16471171094778514, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.16471171094778514, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2842299910605841, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2842299910605841, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.052445632565505385, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024114940918147365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024114940918147365, "price_path": [-0.2215, -0.2339, -0.2319, -0.2438, -0.2406, -0.2314, -0.2488, -0.2648, -0.256, -0.2702, -0.2401, -0.2438, -0.271, -0.2804, -0.3105, -0.2894, -0.2854, -0.261, -0.2652, -0.2643, -0.2643, -0.2802, -0.1774, -0.1508, -0.1595, -0.1866, -0.157, -0.1015, -0.0923, -0.1187, -0.1043, -0.109, -0.046, 0.003, -0.0204, -0.0204, -0.0319, -0.0854, -0.0811, -0.0513, -0.0413, 0.0109, -0.0127, 0.002, 0.0042, 0.0351, 0.0231, -0.0127, 0.0067, 0.0017, -0.003, -0.0197, -0.0386, -0.0547, -0.0338, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0449, -0.0512, -0.0363, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.0429, 0.0, 0.0305, 0.0456, 0.0444, 0.0608, 0.0978, 0.0893, 0.1215, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0996, 0.1036, 0.0663, 0.0608, 0.0499, 0.0275, 0.0136, 0.0255, -0.0086, -0.0015, 0.0093, 0.0524, 0.064, 0.0731, 0.118, 0.1062, 0.1273, 0.1099, 0.1263, 0.1263, 0.1546, 0.1717, 0.1452, 0.1644, 0.2047, 0.2247, 0.268, 0.2436, 0.2141, 0.2456, 0.2388, 0.2569, 0.2869, 0.3351, 0.3376, 0.3142, 0.3475, 0.348, 0.3507, 0.3354, 0.2973, 0.3074, 0.2486, 0.2489, 0.2369, 0.2188, 0.2494, 0.254, 0.285, 0.2698, 0.2588, 0.2501, 0.282, 0.282, 0.2514, 0.2481, 0.2524, 0.2361, 0.228, 0.2183, 0.2196, 0.2535, 0.2433, 0.2333, 0.232, 0.1994, 0.2147, 0.2004, 0.2114, 0.2196, 0.2343, 0.2769, 0.2912, 0.2585, 0.2932, 0.294, 0.3358, 0.3426, 0.3666, 0.3671, 0.3319, 0.3383, 0.322, 0.363, 0.3946, 0.3623, 0.3284, 0.3263, 0.3291, 0.3424, 0.3151, 0.3268, 0.3279, 0.3304, 0.3304, 0.3816, 0.4074, 0.4112, 0.4206, 0.4145, 0.4267, 0.4178, 0.416, 0.4112, 0.4051, 0.4318, 0.4242, 0.3758, 0.335, 0.3919, 0.4012, 0.405, 0.4171, 0.4246, 0.3764, 0.3697, 0.3867]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1538877302205042689", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-06-20T13:31:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At $100WTI, we model the avg. CDN energy co. is able to privatize with just 3.4 years of free cashflow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "$100 WTI floor intact even with recession; Canadian energy stocks deeply undervalued at that oil price on FCF and EV/CF metrics.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Worried about the impact of a recession on oil demand/inventories? Energy Aspects is modelling recession in US and Europe in '23...and STILL has inventories falling by 0.4MM bbl/d next year. Challenges to supply growth to outweigh any demand weakness. ~$100WTI floor still valid.\n\n---\n\nWhat does this mean for energy stocks after the worst week since March 2020? At $100WTI, we model the avg. CDN energy co. is able to privatize with just 3.4 years of free cashflow and trades at 2.4x EV/CF vs. 15 years of stay flat inventory = 13 years of 29% \"returns\" for free. https://t.co/LKrM0H4z6C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02322583519039423, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02322583519039423, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0013297768519111575, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0013297768519111575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024555612042305386, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024555612042305386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02387095152439178, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02387095152439178, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025683930763998664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025683930763998664, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018129792396068822, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018129792396068822, "ret_p1w": -0.02414925104414245, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02414925104414245, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03902619430772092, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03902619430772092, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014876943263578468, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014876943263578468, "ret_p1m": -0.08006088500249908, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08006088500249908, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13258420176822483, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13258420176822483, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05252331676572575, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05252331676572575, "ret_p3m": 0.007707163591490485, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007707163591490485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02448349168886299, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02448349168886299, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032190655280353475, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032190655280353475, "ret_p6m": 0.030345246811067872, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.030345246811067872, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.038896759034368955, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.038896759034368955, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06924200584543683, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06924200584543683, "ret_p1y": 0.0014825214509417428, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0014825214509417428, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15703030476075175, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15703030476075175, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585128262116935, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585128262116935, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08006088500249908, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13258420176822483, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13258420176822483, "price_path": [-0.0661, -0.0681, -0.0413, -0.0639, -0.0677, -0.0619, -0.0684, -0.0542, -0.04, -0.0561, -0.069, -0.0523, -0.0323, -0.0568, -0.0342, -0.0181, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0206, 0.0058, 0.02, -0.0161, -0.0348, -0.0665, -0.0581, -0.0271, 0.0226, 0.0077, 0.0039, 0.0426, 0.0677, 0.0581, 0.06, -0.0161, -0.0194, -0.0019, -0.0148, 0.0239, 0.0497, 0.0639, 0.0471, 0.0523, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0839, 0.1065, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1568, 0.1265, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1497, 0.1594, 0.1858, 0.1942, 0.1806, 0.1626, 0.1265, 0.1058, 0.091, 0.0355, -0.0232, 0.0, 0.0239, -0.0303, -0.0974, -0.0677, -0.0241, 0.0168, -0.0196, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0124, -0.0788, -0.1152, -0.0749, -0.0853, -0.0976, -0.1275, -0.1308, -0.1451, -0.1327, -0.1022, -0.0801, -0.0671, -0.0872, -0.1002, -0.0677, -0.0755, -0.0469, -0.0274, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0183, -0.0599, -0.0996, -0.0827, -0.0775, -0.071, -0.0612, -0.0248, -0.0163, -0.032, -0.0443, -0.03, -0.0033, -0.0079, -0.0007, 0.0305, 0.0409, 0.048, 0.0409, 0.0571, 0.0168, 0.0077, -0.015, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0144, -0.045, -0.0365, -0.0111, 0.0097, 0.0012, 0.0324, 0.0077, -0.0033, 0.0032, -0.0014, -0.0228, -0.0398, -0.1149, -0.1452, -0.1254, -0.0898, -0.0878, -0.0871, -0.035, 0.0086, 0.0277, 0.0482, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0079, 0.0072, 0.0396, 0.0046, 0.0059, 0.0006, 0.0317, 0.0475, 0.066, 0.0746, 0.0779, 0.0977, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.1122, 0.1261, 0.1181, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1511, 0.1412, 0.0944, 0.1208, 0.1452, 0.1287, 0.1485, 0.1228, 0.1168, 0.1135, 0.1016, 0.1274, 0.1142, 0.1168, 0.1148, 0.097, 0.1129, 0.1023, 0.0924, 0.095, 0.0627, 0.0257, 0.0198, 0.0125, 0.0053, 0.0138, 0.0303]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1390289766030139398", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-06T12:58:05+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks in my opinion so glaringly cheap. 15%+ FCF yields are now the norm", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish on energy sector: universally positive earnings, strong capital return guidance, and glaringly cheap valuations with 15%+ FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There has not been a time in my 18 year career when energy earnings releases have been so universally positive, guidance on return of capital has been so uniform, and stocks in my opinion so glaringly cheap. 15%+ FCF yields are now the norm (for now)!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005124419833447247, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005124419833447247, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027976687005800693, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0027976687005800693, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007922088534027316, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007922088534027316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017840088833729784, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017840088833729784, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01056187222641869, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01056187222641869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007278216607311094, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007278216607311094, "ret_p1w": -0.015372823972563787, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015372823972563787, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005602056445652037, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005602056445652037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.020974880418215824, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020974880418215824, "ret_p1m": 0.0580753644235128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0580753644235128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049651776224598265, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049651776224598265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008423588198914533, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008423588198914533, "ret_p3m": -0.044039610728756395, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.044039610728756395, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10017178520697678, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10017178520697678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05613217447822039, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05613217447822039, "ret_p6m": 0.11525310609700568, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11525310609700568, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01226618906307686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01226618906307686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10298691703392882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10298691703392882, "ret_p1y": 0.46218904623249313, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46218904623249313, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4262068351242132, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4262068351242132, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03598221110827993, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03598221110827993, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0580753644235128, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.049651776224598265, "alpha_c_stated": 0.049651776224598265, "price_path": [-0.1673, -0.1761, -0.1604, -0.1733, -0.1611, -0.1611, -0.1401, -0.1273, -0.147, -0.1328, -0.1027, -0.0879, -0.0556, -0.0738, -0.0958, -0.0723, -0.0774, -0.0638, -0.0415, -0.0056, -0.0037, -0.0212, 0.0036, 0.004, 0.006, -0.0054, -0.0338, -0.0263, -0.07, -0.0698, -0.0788, -0.0922, -0.0695, -0.066, -0.0429, -0.0543, -0.0624, -0.0689, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.0679, -0.0704, -0.0672, -0.0793, -0.0854, -0.0926, -0.0917, -0.0664, -0.074, -0.0814, -0.0824, -0.1067, -0.0953, -0.1059, -0.0977, -0.0917, -0.0807, -0.049, -0.0383, -0.0626, -0.0368, -0.0362, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0182, -0.008, -0.0032, -0.0154, 0.0152, 0.0387, 0.0146, -0.0106, -0.0121, -0.0101, -0.0002, -0.0205, -0.0118, -0.011, -0.0091, -0.0091, 0.029, 0.0482, 0.0511, 0.0581, 0.0535, 0.0626, 0.056, 0.0547, 0.0511, 0.0465, 0.0664, 0.0607, 0.0247, -0.0057, 0.0367, 0.0436, 0.0465, 0.0555, 0.061, 0.0252, 0.0202, 0.0328, 0.0509, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0144, -0.0021, -0.0078, 0.0133, 0.0118, 0.0041, -0.0258, -0.0394, -0.0667, -0.0996, -0.0876, -0.0557, -0.0663, -0.0697, -0.0467, -0.0555, -0.0469, -0.0377, -0.0531, -0.0601, -0.044, -0.0699, -0.0594, -0.0508, -0.0642, -0.0477, -0.0402, -0.0412, -0.0525, -0.0699, -0.0795, -0.0987, -0.1221, -0.1202, -0.0872, -0.072, -0.0649, -0.0791, -0.0546, -0.0657, -0.072, -0.0856, -0.0624, -0.0678, -0.0678, -0.0734, -0.0853, -0.0833, -0.0837, -0.0575, -0.0711, -0.0364, -0.0473, -0.0544, -0.0833, -0.0811, -0.0528, -0.0196, -0.0122, 0.0229, 0.0264, 0.0264, 0.0108, 0.0448, 0.0619, 0.0681, 0.0568, 0.065, 0.0978, 0.0937, 0.0947, 0.0937, 0.1071, 0.1125, 0.1133, 0.1259, 0.135, 0.1141, 0.1246, 0.1411, 0.1477, 0.1147, 0.1226, 0.1153]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1577272826876563458", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-10-04T12:22:00+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "wildly excited about energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil and energy stocks even amid recession concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Can you believe in recession yet still be bullish on oil and wildly excited about energy stocks? Read the answer in my 27th column for the @financialpost. https://t.co/fDWlbTdvFv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041204659308743286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041204659308743286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01114927589300363, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01114927589300363, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.030055383415739656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030055383415739656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020665199698959524, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020665199698959524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022993423496119325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022993423496119325, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0023282237971598008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0023282237971598008, "ret_p1w": 0.0015121273718967654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015121273718967654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05503487626834469, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05503487626834469, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.053522748896447925, "bench_c_p1w": -0.053522748896447925, "ret_p1m": 0.11743940371928785, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11743940371928785, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1256411108013712, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1256411108013712, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008201707082083343, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008201707082083343, "ret_p3m": 0.11354438262644218, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11354438262644218, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09709832483129222, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09709832483129222, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01644605779514996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01644605779514996, "ret_p6m": 0.05351669167220785, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05351669167220785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01728738868023827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01728738868023827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07080408035244612, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07080408035244612, "ret_p1y": 0.16554515957466953, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16554515957466953, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.006243953309880146, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.006243953309880146, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15930120626478939, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15930120626478939, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11743940371928785, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1256411108013712, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1256411108013712, "price_path": [-0.1152, -0.1156, -0.1241, -0.1412, -0.1425, -0.1587, -0.145, -0.1255, -0.0985, -0.0898, -0.1058, -0.1131, -0.0806, -0.0889, -0.0684, -0.0631, -0.0225, -0.0427, -0.0449, -0.0724, -0.1068, -0.0891, -0.0843, -0.0682, -0.0615, -0.0292, -0.0219, -0.041, -0.0432, -0.0352, -0.0093, -0.0095, -0.0114, 0.0242, 0.0368, 0.0448, 0.0326, 0.0482, 0.0126, 0.0034, -0.0213, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0125, -0.024, -0.0198, 0.0047, 0.0231, -0.0027, 0.0255, -0.0009, -0.0223, -0.0217, -0.0285, -0.0427, -0.0461, -0.1119, -0.1337, -0.124, -0.0852, -0.0852, -0.0925, -0.0412, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.0388, 0.0307, 0.0096, 0.0015, 0.0096, 0.0508, 0.0116, 0.0242, 0.0331, 0.0636, 0.0646, 0.0954, 0.1006, 0.1017, 0.1167, 0.1207, 0.1246, 0.1341, 0.145, 0.1174, 0.1381, 0.152, 0.1717, 0.1729, 0.1155, 0.1404, 0.1735, 0.1731, 0.1855, 0.1613, 0.1638, 0.1546, 0.139, 0.1746, 0.1619, 0.1619, 0.1576, 0.1259, 0.1429, 0.1486, 0.1448, 0.138, 0.1042, 0.0751, 0.0726, 0.0678, 0.0418, 0.0692, 0.0895, 0.0828, 0.0762, 0.063, 0.0629, 0.0789, 0.0994, 0.0741, 0.1083, 0.1083, 0.1202, 0.0951, 0.1065, 0.1135, 0.1135, 0.0745, 0.0743, 0.0939, 0.1147, 0.1107, 0.1186, 0.1221, 0.1435, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1475, 0.1265, 0.1405, 0.1519, 0.1534, 0.1489, 0.1491, 0.1853, 0.1614, 0.1348, 0.1449, 0.1223, 0.0967, 0.0943, 0.0894, 0.1247, 0.1147, 0.1051, 0.1484, 0.1455, 0.1459, 0.1264, 0.1153, 0.0756, 0.0756, 0.0703, 0.0631, 0.0792, 0.0778, 0.081, 0.0654, 0.0864, 0.096, 0.1109, 0.1114, 0.092, 0.0808, 0.0655, 0.0519, 0.0305, 0.0407, -0.0152, -0.0045, -0.0201, -0.0005, 0.0341, 0.0121, -0.0019, 0.0019, 0.0233, 0.0391, 0.0535]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1122900693894029313", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-29T16:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Change the narrative = change the trading multiples of CDN Oil stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil stocks; changing the narrative will re-rate trading multiples higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Change the narrative = change the trading multiples of CDN Oil stocks #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "My interview with @BNNBloomberg: \n\nhttps://t.co/d1OXTDE20x\n\n@AndrewBellBNN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019086002825839943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019086002825839943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0003434591357184269, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0003434591357184269, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015651411468655674, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015651411468655674, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01335834896810506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01335834896810506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013868919060133322, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013868919060133322, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005105700920282619, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005105700920282619, "ret_p1w": -0.05725123340977001, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05725123340977001, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053678395554219716, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053678395554219716, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035728378555502927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035728378555502927, "ret_p1m": -0.11832042017001365, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11832042017001365, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07163305633596773, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07163305633596773, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046687363834045925, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046687363834045925, "ret_p3m": -0.18440049336390796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18440049336390796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21022514936889347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21022514936889347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025824656004985513, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025824656004985513, "ret_p6m": -0.21371464804391638, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21371464804391638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24087607776467512, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24087607776467512, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027161429720758745, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027161429720758745, "ret_p1y": -0.6100623943205243, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6100623943205243, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.574555293545931, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.574555293545931, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.03550710077459329, "bench_c_p1y": -0.03550710077459329, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11832042017001365, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07163305633596773, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07163305633596773, "price_path": [-0.0878, -0.0963, -0.103, -0.0935, -0.0935, -0.0916, -0.1134, -0.1229, -0.1144, -0.103, -0.0935, -0.0868, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0488, -0.0469, -0.0536, -0.0517, -0.046, -0.0469, -0.0393, -0.045, -0.0346, -0.0498, -0.0469, -0.0583, -0.0574, -0.0764, -0.0669, -0.0612, -0.0469, -0.046, -0.0498, -0.0327, -0.0403, -0.0232, -0.0146, -0.0422, -0.0592, -0.0439, -0.0601, -0.0582, -0.063, -0.0468, -0.0506, -0.063, -0.0582, -0.0315, -0.0162, -0.0239, -0.0067, -0.0086, 0.001, -0.0038, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0286, 0.0439, 0.02, 0.0124, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.041, -0.0658, -0.0563, -0.0573, -0.0697, -0.0534, -0.0534, -0.0601, -0.0821, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0563, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0658, -0.0897, -0.126, -0.1231, -0.1088, -0.1183, -0.1069, -0.1193, -0.1288, -0.1384, -0.1355, -0.1574, -0.1517, -0.1479, -0.1517, -0.146, -0.1565, -0.1479, -0.1498, -0.1374, -0.1298, -0.1373, -0.1219, -0.1286, -0.1296, -0.1353, -0.1219, -0.144, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.1536, -0.1498, -0.144, -0.1459, -0.1527, -0.1402, -0.1228, -0.1219, -0.1228, -0.1267, -0.1411, -0.1517, -0.1661, -0.1594, -0.1546, -0.1507, -0.1594, -0.1844, -0.1911, -0.2056, -0.1863, -0.1767, -0.195, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.2315, -0.2354, -0.2229, -0.22, -0.2306, -0.2229, -0.2488, -0.2546, -0.2479, -0.2286, -0.2392, -0.2315, -0.2363, -0.2604, -0.2594, -0.2633, -0.2402, -0.22, -0.2267, -0.2267, -0.2315, -0.2248, -0.2046, -0.2075, -0.1902, -0.1709, -0.1709, -0.1671, -0.1604, -0.0844, -0.1046, -0.1171, -0.1209, -0.1161, -0.1171, -0.1324, -0.1372, -0.1421, -0.1459, -0.1537, -0.1818, -0.2002, -0.1973, -0.1992, -0.2002, -0.2302, -0.2331, -0.2253, -0.2098, -0.2098, -0.2137, -0.2176, -0.2157, -0.2234, -0.2157, -0.2137]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1523667024752570368", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-09T14:11:41+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy stocks despite market selloff; free cashflow intact and many trading <2x EV/CF at $100.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks getting caught up in the overall market contagion. With stocks -4%, what isn't changing that much today? The free cashflow hitting the corporate bank accounts and daily multiple compression that brings. With many stocks trading &lt;2x EV/CF at $100, we remain bullish! https://t.co/DbRbWn81NE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0901921063137463, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0901921063137463, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.057115760490660694, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.057115760490660694, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.03307634582308561, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03307634582308561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009071805659926824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009071805659926824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0067613074562205, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0067613074562205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023104982037063237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023104982037063237, "ret_p1w": 0.09006053218043619, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09006053218043619, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08523842215597943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08523842215597943, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0048221100244567605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0048221100244567605, "ret_p1m": 0.21062329552346704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21062329552346704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1664963922641387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1664963922641387, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04412690325932833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04412690325932833, "ret_p3m": -0.04728324229134273, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04728324229134273, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09196051487319035, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09196051487319035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044677272581847616, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044677272581847616, "ret_p6m": 0.22128472446241298, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22128472446241298, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24741078455107957, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24741078455107957, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02612606008866658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02612606008866658, "ret_p1y": 0.14603540013598293, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14603540013598293, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.11328344417848824, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11328344417848824, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.032751955957494694, "bench_c_p1y": 0.032751955957494694, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21062329552346704, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1664963922641387, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1664963922641387, "price_path": [-0.1034, -0.109, -0.0831, -0.1047, -0.114, -0.1069, -0.1083, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1281, -0.1191, -0.126, -0.103, -0.0808, -0.0716, -0.0504, -0.0478, -0.0203, -0.0058, 0.0098, -0.0211, 0.0089, 0.0008, -0.0291, -0.0647, -0.069, -0.037, -0.0379, 0.0009, -0.0064, 0.0106, 0.0131, 0.0354, 0.0097, 0.0071, 0.0188, 0.005, 0.0131, 0.0145, -0.0014, 0.0045, 0.0176, 0.0456, 0.0142, 0.031, 0.0464, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0652, 0.0565, 0.0606, 0.027, 0.0018, -0.0313, -0.03, -0.0158, 0.0141, -0.012, 0.0038, 0.0319, 0.0748, 0.0586, 0.0902, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0226, 0.027, 0.0621, 0.0901, 0.1027, 0.0744, 0.0705, 0.0751, 0.1035, 0.1077, 0.1306, 0.143, 0.1639, 0.1639, 0.1465, 0.1651, 0.1615, 0.1768, 0.1755, 0.2106, 0.2133, 0.1864, 0.1663, 0.1054, 0.1075, 0.0831, 0.0221, -0.0338, -0.0338, 0.0163, -0.0244, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0203, 0.0062, -0.0288, -0.0493, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0733, -0.0892, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.084, -0.0854, -0.1027, -0.0881, -0.0672, -0.0385, -0.0292, -0.0462, -0.0541, -0.0194, -0.0283, -0.0063, -0.0008, 0.0426, 0.0211, 0.0187, -0.0106, -0.0473, -0.0284, -0.0234, -0.0062, 0.001, 0.0354, 0.0433, 0.0229, 0.0205, 0.029, 0.0567, 0.0564, 0.0544, 0.0924, 0.1059, 0.1144, 0.1014, 0.118, 0.0801, 0.0702, 0.0439, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0532, 0.041, 0.0455, 0.0716, 0.0913, 0.0637, 0.0938, 0.0656, 0.0429, 0.0435, 0.0362, 0.021, 0.0174, -0.0528, -0.076, -0.0657, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0321, 0.0226, 0.0666, 0.0886, 0.108, 0.0994, 0.0768, 0.0682, 0.0768, 0.1208, 0.079, 0.0924, 0.1019, 0.1345, 0.1355, 0.1683, 0.1738, 0.1751, 0.191, 0.1953, 0.1995, 0.2096, 0.2213]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1453712717483847688", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-28T13:18:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks discounting high $50's vs. $81 spot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long energy stocks: sector priced for high-$50s oil vs $81 spot, with OPEC spare capacity exhausted and demand recovering to pre-COVID levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trusted advisor @EnergyAspects on Iran:  earliest return of barrels is Q3'22 and Iran may not even want a deal. My take? The world needs the bbls by then anyway with exhausted OPEC spare capacity + demand back to pre-covid levels. Energy stocks discounting high $50's vs. $81 spot https://t.co/t6I2YzNGO8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0070872234139310875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0070872234139310875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024695436193309384, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024695436193309384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009556767033262026, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009556767033262026, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006568451167672018, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006568451167672018, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008597741256138658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008597741256138658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00202929008846664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00202929008846664, "ret_p1w": -0.0058772721114837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0058772721114837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024619571253450045, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024619571253450045, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018742299141966345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018742299141966345, "ret_p1m": -0.03923938646763281, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03923938646763281, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040657743294449045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040657743294449045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001418356826816236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001418356826816236, "ret_p3m": 0.14357227530900163, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14357227530900163, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19227977073408542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19227977073408542, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04870749542508379, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04870749542508379, "ret_p6m": 0.34701781997408165, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34701781997408165, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4112851657860368, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4112851657860368, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06426734581195515, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06426734581195515, "ret_p1y": 0.4687731851079622, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4687731851079622, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6563044091100957, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6563044091100957, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.1875312240021335, "bench_c_p1y": -0.1875312240021335, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14357227530900163, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19227977073408542, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19227977073408542, "price_path": [-0.1628, -0.1485, -0.1715, -0.1621, -0.1544, -0.1664, -0.1517, -0.145, -0.1459, -0.156, -0.1715, -0.1801, -0.1971, -0.218, -0.2163, -0.1869, -0.1734, -0.1671, -0.1797, -0.1579, -0.1678, -0.1734, -0.1855, -0.1649, -0.1696, -0.1696, -0.1746, -0.1852, -0.1835, -0.1838, -0.1604, -0.1725, -0.1416, -0.1514, -0.1577, -0.1834, -0.1815, -0.1563, -0.1267, -0.1201, -0.0889, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0996, -0.0693, -0.0541, -0.0486, -0.0586, -0.0513, -0.0221, -0.0258, -0.0249, -0.0258, -0.0138, -0.009, -0.0083, 0.0029, 0.0111, -0.0076, 0.0017, 0.0164, 0.0223, -0.0071, 0.0, -0.0066, 0.0105, 0.001, -0.0073, -0.0059, 0.0071, 0.0162, 0.0204, -0.0066, -0.0028, -0.0052, 0.0031, 0.0047, -0.0107, -0.0166, -0.055, -0.0382, -0.0086, 0.001, 0.001, -0.0392, -0.0337, -0.0564, -0.0664, -0.0392, -0.0468, -0.0327, -0.01, -0.0102, -0.0178, -0.0105, -0.038, -0.042, -0.0467, -0.0406, -0.0602, -0.0718, -0.0454, -0.0392, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0177, -0.0184, -0.0247, -0.0307, -0.0282, 0.0019, 0.0366, 0.0364, 0.0595, 0.0741, 0.0707, 0.1072, 0.1093, 0.1036, 0.1296, 0.1296, 0.1341, 0.1259, 0.1156, 0.0935, 0.1008, 0.1436, 0.1416, 0.1541, 0.1492, 0.1543, 0.1954, 0.1993, 0.1879, 0.2064, 0.2218, 0.1956, 0.2056, 0.198, 0.2329, 0.2038, 0.1912, 0.2008, 0.1989, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1723, 0.1844, 0.1751, 0.2061, 0.2358, 0.2483, 0.2768, 0.2803, 0.3173, 0.3367, 0.3577, 0.3162, 0.3565, 0.3456, 0.3054, 0.2576, 0.2518, 0.2949, 0.2936, 0.3458, 0.3359, 0.3589, 0.3622, 0.3921, 0.3576, 0.3541, 0.3698, 0.3513, 0.3622, 0.364, 0.3426, 0.3506, 0.3682, 0.4059, 0.3636, 0.3863, 0.4069, 0.4115, 0.4115, 0.4322, 0.4206, 0.426, 0.3808, 0.347]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1526196650338836488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-16T13:43:31+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Imagine a sector that is so awash in cash that it could become debt free in less than a year, and then pay a dividend yield 21x higher than the S&P500. Would you call that a \"generational opportunity\"???", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on an unnamed cash-rich sector offering 21x S&P dividend yield; calls it a generational opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imagine a sector that is so awash in cash that it could become debt free in less than a year, and then pay a dividend yield 21x higher than the S&amp;P500. Would you call that a \"generational opportunity\"??? https://t.co/80mPCejG6u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025690365848106245, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025690365848106245, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029764431264335256, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029764431264335256, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004074065416229011, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004074065416229011, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011578960742771205, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011578960742771205, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008991353602385344, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008991353602385344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02057031434515655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02057031434515655, "ret_p1w": 0.012302652406711578, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012302652406711578, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020225727035574348, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020225727035574348, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00792307462886277, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00792307462886277, "ret_p1m": 0.016041390716206028, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016041390716206028, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08157667706233962, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08157667706233962, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06553528634613359, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06553528634613359, "ret_p3m": -0.050134203245653874, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.050134203245653874, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10440757076195062, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10440757076195062, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.054273367516296744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054273367516296744, "ret_p6m": 0.1476305583172659, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1476305583172659, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18478192070531207, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18478192070531207, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03715136238804617, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03715136238804617, "ret_p1y": -0.005792709719703137, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.005792709719703137, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.042891435395375654, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.042891435395375654, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03709872567567252, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03709872567567252, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005792709719703137, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042891435395375654, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042891435395375654, "price_path": [-0.1807, -0.182, -0.187, -0.187, -0.2001, -0.1919, -0.1982, -0.1771, -0.1568, -0.1483, -0.1288, -0.1264, -0.1012, -0.088, -0.0736, -0.1019, -0.0745, -0.0819, -0.1094, -0.142, -0.1459, -0.1165, -0.1174, -0.0818, -0.0885, -0.0728, -0.0706, -0.0502, -0.0737, -0.0761, -0.0654, -0.078, -0.0706, -0.0694, -0.0839, -0.0785, -0.0665, -0.0408, -0.0696, -0.0542, -0.04, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0228, -0.0308, -0.027, -0.0579, -0.0809, -0.1113, -0.1101, -0.0971, -0.0697, -0.0936, -0.0791, -0.0533, -0.014, -0.0288, 0.0001, -0.0826, -0.0743, -0.0619, -0.0579, -0.0257, 0.0, 0.0116, -0.0144, -0.018, -0.0137, 0.0123, 0.0162, 0.0371, 0.0486, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0517, 0.0689, 0.0655, 0.0796, 0.0784, 0.1106, 0.113, 0.0884, 0.07, 0.0141, 0.016, -0.0064, -0.0624, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.0677, -0.105, -0.1382, -0.1269, -0.1012, -0.077, -0.109, -0.1278, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.1499, -0.1644, -0.1343, -0.1347, -0.1429, -0.1597, -0.161, -0.1769, -0.1634, -0.1443, -0.1179, -0.1094, -0.125, -0.1322, -0.1004, -0.1086, -0.0884, -0.0833, -0.0435, -0.0633, -0.0655, -0.0923, -0.126, -0.1087, -0.104, -0.0883, -0.0817, -0.0501, -0.0429, -0.0616, -0.0638, -0.056, -0.0306, -0.0309, -0.0327, 0.0022, 0.0145, 0.0223, 0.0104, 0.0256, -0.0092, -0.0182, -0.0423, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0338, -0.045, -0.0409, -0.017, 0.0011, -0.0242, 0.0034, -0.0224, -0.0433, -0.0427, -0.0494, -0.0633, -0.0667, -0.131, -0.1523, -0.1429, -0.1049, -0.1049, -0.112, -0.0618, -0.0215, -0.0013, 0.0164, 0.0086, -0.0122, -0.0201, -0.0122, 0.0282, -0.0102, 0.0021, 0.0109, 0.0407, 0.0417, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.078, 0.0926, 0.0966, 0.1004, 0.1097, 0.1204, 0.0934, 0.1136, 0.1272, 0.1465, 0.1476]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1173693854643625986", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-16T20:23:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why Saturday marks the beginning of what will be a very powerful rally in energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: Saudi supply shock is a lasting catalyst to revive fund flows into a sector with strong fundamentals priced for dead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5 minute take on why Saudi's supply shock is not just a one day event but rather a much needed catalyst to bring fund flows back into a sector that was being priced for dead despite strong fundamentals #OOTT https://t.co/rGrYfNov6m https://t.co/2Q9HaPEpYl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'll be on BNN at 2pm today to discuss why Saturday marks the beginning of what will be a very powerful rally in energy stocks.  Today is just the beginning. The market is just starting to figure that out. #OOTT https://t.co/lAN8X1a4GU https://t.co/5grTeBwTki", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.014136597084755786, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014136597084755786, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016662385162565574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016662385162565574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025257880778097874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004819512448996255, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004819512448996255, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005418105737962309, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005418105737962309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005985932889660539, "ret_p1w": -0.021979595659711526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021979595659711526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009738178045608281, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009738178045608281, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012241417614103245, "ret_p1m": -0.07126156044945531, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07126156044945531, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06746654845798372, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06746654845798372, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037950119914715863, "ret_p3m": -0.022303954644121715, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022303954644121715, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08167313837148127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08167313837148127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059369183727359554, "ret_p6m": -0.43236164367017904, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43236164367017904, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3528127071843664, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3528127071843664, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07954893648581263, "ret_p1y": -0.3893488399558225, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3893488399558225, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5600418111172492, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5600418111172492, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17069297116142668, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07126156044945531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06746654845798372, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06746654845798372, "price_path": [0.0137, 0.021, 0.0119, 0.0039, 0.0193, 0.0117, 0.0235, 0.0244, 0.008, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0135, 0.0149, 0.0157, 0.0288, 0.0308, 0.0352, 0.0259, 0.0149, 0.0034, 0.0035, 0.0082, 0.0129, 0.0156, 0.0199, 0.0084, 0.0032, -0.0008, 0.0104, 0.0072, -0.0156, -0.0297, -0.0586, -0.0598, -0.0668, -0.04, -0.0506, -0.0618, -0.0532, -0.0903, -0.0959, -0.084, -0.0638, -0.0716, -0.0657, -0.0699, -0.101, -0.0972, -0.1028, -0.09, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0811, -0.0683, -0.0567, -0.0517, -0.0328, -0.0214, -0.0204, -0.0265, -0.0188, 0.0141, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0074, -0.0066, -0.0063, -0.022, -0.0204, -0.0332, -0.0333, -0.0403, -0.0625, -0.0855, -0.0756, -0.0698, -0.0781, -0.0938, -0.0855, -0.074, -0.0615, -0.062, -0.0581, -0.0713, -0.0706, -0.0755, -0.0589, -0.0468, -0.0388, -0.0429, -0.0351, -0.0406, -0.0367, -0.0563, -0.0604, -0.039, -0.0077, -0.0064, -0.0267, -0.0121, -0.0161, -0.0217, -0.0267, -0.0309, -0.0335, -0.026, -0.0379, -0.0521, -0.0426, -0.0268, -0.0301, -0.0291, -0.038, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0596, -0.0455, -0.05, -0.0319, -0.033, -0.0311, -0.0327, -0.0148, -0.0223, -0.0092, -0.0085, -0.0048, -0.0051, 0.0044, 0.0147, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0139, 0.0097, 0.0065, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0213, 0.0183, 0.0262, 0.0235, 0.0066, 0.0141, 0.0083, 0.0087, 0.0088, 0.0014, 0.0031, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0212, -0.0306, -0.0343, -0.0455, -0.0719, -0.0677, -0.0775, -0.0701, -0.0991, -0.1109, -0.1077, -0.0741, -0.0836, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0844, -0.0721, -0.075, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0874, -0.0753, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1294, -0.1678, -0.193, -0.2361, -0.2368, -0.2059, -0.2302, -0.212, -0.2408, -0.2835, -0.4278, -0.4007, -0.4324]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1162342224505507841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-08-16T12:35:56+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap oil", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was selling large cap permian to buy CDN midcap oil co's (many of which are making all-time lows despite WTI +20% YTD)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotating out of large-cap Permian into Canadian midcap oil companies trading at all-time lows despite WTI +20% YTD; actively buying alongside aligned management.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap oil: BTE, WCP, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yesterday I was selling large cap permian to buy CDN midcap oil co's (many of which are making all-time lows despite WTI +20% YTD). Turns out I was buying alongside the CEO of one of my purchases. He personally owns ~9% of the company already and with the stock -69% over... #OOTT\n\n---\n\n...the past year is feeling the pain.  Total alignment.  His reply then to my email was enlightening and a reminder that to mentally survive this bear market we all need to have a superior psychology. This too shall pass. #OOTT https://t.co/ITiZ7nCSFk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03181162968784531, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03181162968784531, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017270974022541706, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018833489166230254, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014540655665303603, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012978140521615056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012092664651274935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012092664651274935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 4.503295401584763e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010004465255876135, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012047631697259087, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02209712990715107, "ret_p1w": -0.028226358397196116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028226358397196116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014378053770208954, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00963627294553937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013848304626987162, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018590085451656746, "ret_p1m": 0.2925069187756697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2925069187756697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25335220329553154, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18535157744844333, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03915471548013816, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10715534132722637, "ret_p3m": -0.0914486902849327, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0914486902849327, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1664954811701757, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14944121600797827, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07504679088524302, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057992525723045585, "ret_p6m": -0.08049887573954091, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08049887573954091, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2502356422874544, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06904279761064687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16973676654791348, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011456078128894043, "ret_p1y": -0.5414723523417713, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5414723523417713, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7069517202341435, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2473941638983186, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16547936789237228, "bench_c_p1y": -0.2940781884434527, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2925069187756697, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25335220329553154, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18535157744844333, "price_path": [0.4685, 0.411, 0.3406, 0.3393, 0.3466, 0.3308, 0.3152, 0.2891, 0.2519, 0.2206, 0.2418, 0.1847, 0.1912, 0.1931, 0.1606, 0.1608, 0.1209, 0.171, 0.1357, 0.1382, 0.1893, 0.178, 0.2262, 0.2269, 0.2107, 0.1947, 0.2372, 0.1919, 0.18, 0.18, 0.1649, 0.1547, 0.1518, 0.1524, 0.1393, 0.1127, 0.1567, 0.1593, 0.1612, 0.1539, 0.1486, 0.1366, 0.1253, 0.1358, 0.1433, 0.1424, 0.1369, 0.1118, 0.1085, 0.0846, 0.1423, 0.1614, 0.1316, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.0705, 0.0128, 0.048, 0.0416, 0.0099, 0.0658, -0.0077, -0.0318, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0232, 0.0284, 0.032, -0.0282, -0.0467, -0.07, -0.0191, -0.0069, -0.0207, -0.0207, -0.0134, 0.0031, 0.0383, 0.0781, 0.1136, 0.1246, 0.1432, 0.1526, 0.1572, 0.2925, 0.2536, 0.2379, 0.2353, 0.2541, 0.2606, 0.2083, 0.2102, 0.1847, 0.1723, 0.1514, 0.0799, 0.0472, 0.0416, 0.0398, 0.0145, -0.0153, -0.0356, -0.0262, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0206, -0.0393, -0.0508, -0.0759, -0.0843, -0.0779, -0.0675, -0.0842, -0.0778, -0.0955, -0.0889, -0.1161, -0.1525, -0.0973, -0.0722, -0.0403, -0.0439, -0.0484, -0.0635, -0.0653, -0.0812, -0.0914, -0.0943, -0.0784, -0.1226, -0.1637, -0.1348, -0.1236, -0.1237, -0.1257, -0.1517, -0.1266, -0.1203, -0.1325, -0.1476, -0.1644, -0.1286, -0.124, -0.0838, -0.0363, -0.0324, -0.038, -0.0025, 0.0022, 0.0258, 0.0808, 0.0778, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.178, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2049, 0.2208, 0.204, 0.204, 0.1993, 0.2284, 0.2728, 0.2662, 0.1966, 0.1976, 0.1455, 0.1125, 0.1096, 0.0871, 0.1059, 0.1087, 0.119, 0.0947, 0.0694, 0.0475, -0.0004, -0.0463, -0.0303, -0.019, -0.0237, -0.0492, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.0045, -0.0213, -0.0532, -0.0805]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1363846524535533577", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-22T13:42:05+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks are still meaningfully mispriced with multi-bagger status intact", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks still meaningfully mispriced with multi-bagger upside in a post-COVID world.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Those few of us who were seeing through the fear and calling for better days are not so lonely anymore...yet stocks have yet to reflect a post-COVID world.  Energy stocks are still meaningfully mispriced with multi-bagger status intact. https://t.co/oBnuVofpeu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03348673597953955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03348673597953955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04123785847441297, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04123785847441297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007751122494873419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007751122494873419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016534072249549725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016534072249549725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015319804261892278, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015319804261892278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001214267987657447, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001214267987657447, "ret_p1w": 0.03390532745997965, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03390532745997965, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027316890279459827, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027316890279459827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006588437180519824, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006588437180519824, "ret_p1m": 0.011667752137539456, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011667752137539456, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.001989775398021809, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.001989775398021809, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009677976739517646, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009677976739517646, "ret_p3m": 0.10092636663274512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10092636663274512, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024420283858224145, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.024420283858224145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07650608277452098, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07650608277452098, "ret_p6m": 0.02585297479044457, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02585297479044457, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12897169917572082, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12897169917572082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1548246739661654, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1548246739661654, "ret_p1y": 0.508305089895724, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.508305089895724, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.31036450059967935, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.31036450059967935, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19794058929604463, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19794058929604463, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011667752137539456, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.001989775398021809, "alpha_c_stated": 0.001989775398021809, "price_path": [-0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1964, -0.2408, -0.2373, -0.2125, -0.2042, -0.1609, -0.1805, -0.1683, -0.1664, -0.1408, -0.1507, -0.1805, -0.1644, -0.1685, -0.1724, -0.1863, -0.202, -0.2154, -0.198, -0.2022, -0.2022, -0.2072, -0.2124, -0.2001, -0.2068, -0.2068, -0.2055, -0.1699, -0.1446, -0.1321, -0.1331, -0.1195, -0.0887, -0.0959, -0.0691, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.0873, -0.0839, -0.1149, -0.1195, -0.1285, -0.1471, -0.1586, -0.1488, -0.1771, -0.1712, -0.1622, -0.1264, -0.1168, -0.1093, -0.072, -0.0818, -0.0643, -0.0787, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0416, -0.0274, -0.0494, -0.0335, 0.0, 0.0165, 0.0525, 0.0322, 0.0077, 0.0339, 0.0283, 0.0433, 0.0682, 0.1082, 0.1103, 0.0908, 0.1185, 0.1189, 0.1212, 0.1084, 0.0768, 0.0852, 0.0364, 0.0366, 0.0267, 0.0117, 0.037, 0.0409, 0.0667, 0.054, 0.0449, 0.0377, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0387, 0.036, 0.0396, 0.0261, 0.0193, 0.0112, 0.0123, 0.0404, 0.032, 0.0237, 0.0227, -0.0044, 0.0083, -0.0036, 0.0055, 0.0123, 0.0246, 0.0599, 0.0717, 0.0447, 0.0734, 0.0741, 0.1088, 0.1145, 0.1343, 0.1348, 0.1056, 0.1109, 0.0973, 0.1314, 0.1576, 0.1307, 0.1026, 0.1009, 0.1033, 0.1143, 0.0916, 0.1013, 0.1022, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.1468, 0.1682, 0.1714, 0.1792, 0.1741, 0.1843, 0.1769, 0.1754, 0.1714, 0.1663, 0.1885, 0.1821, 0.142, 0.1081, 0.1553, 0.163, 0.1662, 0.1763, 0.1825, 0.1425, 0.137, 0.1511, 0.1712, 0.1686, 0.1686, 0.1306, 0.1122, 0.1058, 0.1293, 0.1276, 0.119, 0.0857, 0.0705, 0.0402, 0.0034, 0.0169, 0.0523, 0.0406, 0.0368, 0.0624, 0.0526, 0.0622, 0.0724, 0.0553, 0.0474, 0.0654, 0.0365, 0.0483, 0.0579, 0.0429, 0.0613, 0.0697, 0.0686, 0.056, 0.0365, 0.0259]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1240015936620572676", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-03-17T20:43:32+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many energy stocks are being priced for bankruptcy down 80%+ YTD. One's goal should be to invest in companies that can make it to the other side (there are many) and benefit from the inevitable rebound", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks that survive near-term; prices at bankruptcy levels offer upside once COVID resolves and a rebound follows.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "4) Closing point: while oil could fall further waiting on COVID-19 resolution many energy stocks are being priced for bankruptcy down 80%+ YTD. One's goal should be to invest in companies that can make it to the other side (there are many) and benefit from the inevitable rebound", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "1) Energy stocks have completely diverged from reality. The \"walking dead\" are trading down as much as heavily hedged companies with manageable debt levels. I'm getting many panicky emails a day asking \"will XYZ survive the next 6 months??\" given 20% a day price declines... https://t.co/a8y1TMQQJe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.16763998012868497, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16763998012868497, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11430677109475296, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11430677109475296, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.053333209033932016, "bench_c_m1d": 0.053333209033932016, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06797332804091782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06797332804091782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06584829527318381, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06584829527318381, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002125032767734014, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002125032767734014, "ret_p1w": 0.22105414520748945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22105414520748945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18671585585295403, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18671585585295403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03433828935453542, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03433828935453542, "ret_p1m": 0.3084548195778667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3084548195778667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13870000849533204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13870000849533204, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.16975481108253465, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16975481108253465, "ret_p3m": 0.7028241941513307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7028241941513307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4159261951676174, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4159261951676174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.28689799898371326, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28689799898371326, "ret_p6m": 0.4072781992363408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4072781992363408, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0017313662830482635, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0017313662830482635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.4055468329532925, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4055468329532925, "ret_p1y": 1.355148799675193, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.355148799675193, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7268395368281542, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7268395368281542, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.6283092628470388, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6283092628470388, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3084548195778667, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13870000849533204, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13870000849533204, "price_path": [1.4845, 1.51, 1.5088, 1.5088, 1.508, 1.4975, 1.4896, 1.5038, 1.5038, 1.5263, 1.5188, 1.5384, 1.5317, 1.49, 1.5083, 1.4942, 1.495, 1.4954, 1.4771, 1.4812, 1.4654, 1.4654, 1.4212, 1.3978, 1.3887, 1.3611, 1.2957, 1.3061, 1.2819, 1.3003, 1.2285, 1.1993, 1.2073, 1.2902, 1.2669, 1.251, 1.2398, 1.2648, 1.2952, 1.2882, 1.2761, 1.2761, 1.2573, 1.2873, 1.2848, 1.2577, 1.1535, 1.0584, 0.9962, 0.8895, 0.8878, 0.9641, 0.9041, 0.9491, 0.8778, 0.7723, 0.4153, 0.4825, 0.4041, 0.2289, 0.3424, 0.1597, 0.1676, 0.0, 0.068, 0.0784, 0.0049, 0.1661, 0.2211, 0.2957, 0.2078, 0.2202, 0.239, 0.1776, 0.2854, 0.2718, 0.3392, 0.3677, 0.459, 0.4457, 0.4457, 0.441, 0.4342, 0.3669, 0.3085, 0.4474, 0.4023, 0.3775, 0.4266, 0.4726, 0.476, 0.508, 0.5425, 0.6568, 0.6201, 0.5284, 0.5813, 0.5826, 0.5412, 0.5813, 0.6534, 0.6244, 0.5958, 0.5233, 0.5404, 0.5344, 0.6598, 0.6133, 0.6777, 0.6508, 0.6406, 0.6406, 0.6862, 0.7079, 0.6602, 0.6525, 0.6815, 0.7284, 0.7791, 0.7796, 0.9117, 0.9979, 0.9228, 0.8282, 0.6559, 0.6977, 0.7028, 0.7519, 0.6922, 0.7131, 0.687, 0.6949, 0.6966, 0.6025, 0.6331, 0.5765, 0.5977, 0.6344, 0.5947, 0.6124, 0.6124, 0.6171, 0.5658, 0.5645, 0.4872, 0.5347, 0.5265, 0.58, 0.6141, 0.6068, 0.5843, 0.558, 0.6521, 0.6318, 0.6288, 0.6197, 0.6215, 0.5938, 0.6271, 0.5632, 0.5558, 0.5614, 0.5994, 0.6163, 0.6033, 0.6055, 0.6551, 0.6495, 0.6659, 0.6335, 0.6491, 0.6396, 0.6189, 0.6003, 0.5658, 0.5558, 0.5986, 0.5761, 0.5429, 0.5459, 0.5735, 0.5394, 0.529, 0.5217, 0.5105, 0.5057, 0.5057, 0.4509, 0.4608, 0.4073]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1085162639636877317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-01-15T13:11:49+00:00", "symbol": "XOM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish crude: 3.3mm bbl/d supply tightening from Iran/KSA/Libya/VZ with no demand decel per XOM/MPC/PSX confirms oil market is tight.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran exports down 1.7mm bbl/d since sanctions announced. Misguided 1.8mm bbl/d surge by KSA/UAE/Russia corrected by 1.3mm bbl/d. CDN curtailments of 0.3mm bbl/d to last to late Q2. Aggregate of 3.3mm bbl/d of tightening = lots of margin for US growth and demand deceleration #OOTT\n\n---\n\nAdd on continued losses from Libya and a likely 0.2+ mm bbl/d loss from VZ this year. Oh, and XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0005580611795480417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0005580611795480417, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010772659578791366, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002985706559279211, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011330720758339408, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035437677388272526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00041862057164976374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00041862057164976374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002838487119907529, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0008699217194837461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024198665482577653, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012885422911335098, "ret_p1w": 0.0030696352354691037, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0030696352354691037, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006571014810829334, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002890372576249467, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009640650046298438, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005960007811718571, "ret_p1m": 0.07571557790588579, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07571557790588579, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019483593270283706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03125674355310504, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.056231984635602084, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04445883435278075, "ret_p3m": 0.14159868843672885, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14159868843672885, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02218989625275869, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0447902824015638, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11940879218397016, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09680840603516505, "ret_p6m": 0.10602549978105502, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10602549978105502, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05158543826928974, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05687282967714147, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15761093805034476, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049152670103913554, "ret_p1y": 0.03663650731376067, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03663650731376067, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23481212565866083, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.004924659190842284, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2714486329724215, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04156116650460295, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14159868843672885, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02218989625275869, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0447902824015638, "price_path": [0.1306, 0.1322, 0.1209, 0.1028, 0.0722, 0.0817, 0.0709, 0.0643, 0.0882, 0.1006, 0.1143, 0.132, 0.1277, 0.1325, 0.1469, 0.1286, 0.1284, 0.1139, 0.0883, 0.0798, 0.091, 0.1017, 0.1053, 0.0739, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0533, 0.0741, 0.0751, 0.0946, 0.1031, 0.1093, 0.1332, 0.1083, 0.1083, 0.0938, 0.0833, 0.068, 0.0699, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.0546, 0.0331, 0.0046, -0.0124, -0.0424, -0.0495, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.0423, -0.0381, -0.0488, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0276, -0.0426, -0.0073, -0.0021, 0.0052, 0.0105, 0.0053, 0.0007, -0.0006, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.0064, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0031, -0.0052, -0.0038, 0.0007, -0.006, -0.0022, 0.0087, 0.0225, 0.0593, 0.044, 0.0547, 0.0501, 0.042, 0.0437, 0.0454, 0.0637, 0.0757, 0.076, 0.0963, 0.0963, 0.1036, 0.1079, 0.0979, 0.1063, 0.1075, 0.1097, 0.1211, 0.1149, 0.1286, 0.133, 0.1313, 0.1185, 0.1309, 0.1147, 0.1255, 0.1286, 0.1386, 0.1348, 0.1307, 0.1439, 0.1409, 0.1472, 0.1539, 0.1354, 0.1275, 0.1422, 0.1334, 0.1391, 0.1399, 0.153, 0.1481, 0.1413, 0.1575, 0.1637, 0.1709, 0.1558, 0.1506, 0.1561, 0.1416, 0.1378, 0.1455, 0.1488, 0.1446, 0.1446, 0.1695, 0.1763, 0.1534, 0.1599, 0.1355, 0.1282, 0.1326, 0.1099, 0.0904, 0.0929, 0.0881, 0.0823, 0.084, 0.0831, 0.0925, 0.0803, 0.0818, 0.0898, 0.0896, 0.0832, 0.0831, 0.088, 0.0782, 0.0529, 0.0574, 0.0574, 0.0361, 0.0297, 0.027, 0.0098, 0.0257, 0.0501, 0.0414, 0.0604, 0.0642, 0.0689, 0.0679, 0.0564, 0.0656, 0.0609, 0.0715, 0.0808, 0.0748, 0.0932, 0.1086, 0.098, 0.0883, 0.093, 0.0819, 0.0935, 0.0925, 0.0805, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.0863, 0.0913, 0.0906, 0.106]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1085162639636877317", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-01-15T13:11:49+00:00", "symbol": "MPC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish crude: 3.3mm bbl/d supply tightening from Iran/KSA/Libya/VZ with no demand decel per XOM/MPC/PSX confirms oil market is tight.", "resolved_tickers": ["MPC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran exports down 1.7mm bbl/d since sanctions announced. Misguided 1.8mm bbl/d surge by KSA/UAE/Russia corrected by 1.3mm bbl/d. CDN curtailments of 0.3mm bbl/d to last to late Q2. Aggregate of 3.3mm bbl/d of tightening = lots of margin for US growth and demand deceleration #OOTT\n\n---\n\nAdd on continued losses from Libya and a likely 0.2+ mm bbl/d loss from VZ this year. Oh, and XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008549501334028875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008549501334028875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019880222092368283, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012093269072856128, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011330720758339408, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035437677388272526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00015500550535496593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00015500550535496593, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0022648610429027993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014435477964884758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024198665482577653, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012885422911335098, "ret_p1w": 0.007616771251056198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007616771251056198, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00202387879524224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0016567634393376274, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009640650046298438, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005960007811718571, "ret_p1m": -0.010570716186118378, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010570716186118378, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06680270082172046, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05502955053889913, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.056231984635602084, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04445883435278075, "ret_p3m": -0.034740786818134084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.034740786818134084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15414957900210424, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13154919285329914, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11940879218397016, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09680840603516505, "ret_p6m": -0.12934119363828633, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12934119363828633, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2869521316886311, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1784938637421999, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15761093805034476, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049152670103913554, "ret_p1y": -0.00039961303313862384, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.00039961303313862384, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2718482460055601, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04196077953774158, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2714486329724215, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04156116650460295, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.034740786818134084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15414957900210424, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13154919285329914, "price_path": [0.2164, 0.1407, 0.144, 0.1125, 0.0503, 0.0796, 0.0627, 0.0375, 0.0617, 0.0872, 0.0969, 0.0724, 0.0765, 0.0551, 0.0775, 0.0448, 0.0367, 0.017, -0.0097, -0.0148, 0.0086, 0.0099, -0.0215, -0.0379, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.0404, -0.0023, -0.0092, 0.0148, 0.0089, 0.0129, 0.0051, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0121, -0.0431, -0.0521, -0.0465, -0.0356, -0.0344, -0.0693, -0.0853, -0.0835, -0.0886, -0.1074, -0.118, -0.1556, -0.1556, -0.093, -0.0813, -0.0947, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0729, -0.0864, -0.0417, -0.0322, -0.0227, -0.0017, -0.0109, 0.0084, 0.0085, 0.0, 0.0002, 0.0227, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0076, 0.0081, -0.019, -0.0039, -0.0095, -0.003, 0.0155, 0.03, 0.0177, 0.0246, 0.0443, 0.0395, -0.0098, -0.025, -0.0406, -0.0382, -0.0106, -0.0045, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0189, 0.0204, 0.0134, 0.019, 0.0148, 0.0123, -0.0064, -0.0282, -0.0177, -0.0282, -0.047, -0.0608, -0.0778, -0.0988, -0.0722, -0.0775, -0.0664, -0.0645, -0.0526, -0.0271, -0.0278, -0.0253, -0.0159, -0.0393, -0.0413, -0.0289, -0.0253, -0.0448, -0.062, -0.0432, -0.0609, -0.0537, -0.0385, -0.0053, -0.007, -0.0258, -0.0032, -0.0109, -0.0347, -0.0512, -0.0593, -0.0559, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0419, -0.043, -0.0675, -0.0495, -0.0535, -0.0441, -0.046, -0.0604, -0.0802, -0.0603, -0.0677, -0.0686, -0.1344, -0.17, -0.167, -0.2051, -0.1959, -0.1894, -0.1629, -0.1773, -0.1746, -0.1563, -0.1778, -0.206, -0.2036, -0.2036, -0.224, -0.2242, -0.254, -0.2717, -0.2537, -0.2321, -0.2448, -0.2383, -0.2559, -0.2449, -0.2435, -0.2562, -0.2415, -0.2405, -0.2286, -0.2139, -0.2136, -0.1773, -0.1661, -0.1829, -0.1862, -0.1415, -0.139, -0.1151, -0.1271, -0.1371, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1311, -0.1395, -0.1347, -0.1293]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1085162639636877317", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2019-01-15T13:11:49+00:00", "symbol": "PSX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish crude: 3.3mm bbl/d supply tightening from Iran/KSA/Libya/VZ with no demand decel per XOM/MPC/PSX confirms oil market is tight.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran exports down 1.7mm bbl/d since sanctions announced. Misguided 1.8mm bbl/d surge by KSA/UAE/Russia corrected by 1.3mm bbl/d. CDN curtailments of 0.3mm bbl/d to last to late Q2. Aggregate of 3.3mm bbl/d of tightening = lots of margin for US growth and demand deceleration #OOTT\n\n---\n\nAdd on continued losses from Libya and a likely 0.2+ mm bbl/d loss from VZ this year. Oh, and XOM, MPC, and PSX all said last week no signs of demand growth deceleration.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0041103270688549465, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0041103270688549465, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015441047827194354, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007654094807682199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011330720758339408, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035437677388272526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005840721823082928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005840721823082928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003420855274825163, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007129264114216438, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024198665482577653, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012885422911335098, "ret_p1w": 0.0059490522312728444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0059490522312728444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0036915978150255935, "alpha_c_p1w": -1.0955580445726198e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009640650046298438, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005960007811718571, "ret_p1m": 0.03969719982578157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03969719982578157, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016534784809820513, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004761634526999181, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.056231984635602084, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04445883435278075, "ret_p3m": 0.05991917261371693, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05991917261371693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05948961957025323, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03688923342144812, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11940879218397016, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09680840603516505, "ret_p6m": 0.08119297360519595, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08119297360519595, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07641796444514881, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0320403035012824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15761093805034476, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049152670103913554, "ret_p1y": 0.2573050731107911, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2573050731107911, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.014143559861630406, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21574390660618814, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2714486329724215, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04156116650460295, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05991917261371693, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05948961957025323, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03688923342144812, "price_path": [0.1705, 0.1024, 0.1065, 0.0705, 0.0223, 0.0565, 0.0668, 0.0568, 0.0948, 0.1029, 0.0995, 0.0621, 0.0783, 0.0821, 0.1061, 0.0584, 0.0699, 0.0477, 0.0169, 0.0255, 0.0322, 0.045, 0.0265, 0.001, 0.013, 0.013, -0.0373, -0.0041, -0.0129, 0.0019, 0.0025, 0.0116, -0.0039, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0016, -0.0227, -0.039, -0.0436, -0.0346, -0.0392, -0.0608, -0.0713, -0.0835, -0.0789, -0.1046, -0.1089, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.0892, -0.0717, -0.081, -0.0681, -0.0681, -0.0468, -0.06, -0.0174, -0.0106, -0.0115, -0.005, 0.0053, 0.0026, 0.0041, 0.0, 0.0058, 0.0105, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0059, 0.0019, -0.0121, 0.0062, 0.0005, 0.0097, 0.0225, 0.032, 0.019, 0.025, 0.0294, 0.0213, -0.0077, 0.0116, 0.0193, 0.0168, 0.0397, 0.0346, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0553, 0.063, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0612, 0.0672, 0.065, 0.0511, 0.0633, 0.0611, 0.0631, 0.0646, 0.0521, 0.0287, 0.0545, 0.0623, 0.0698, 0.0741, 0.0746, 0.0768, 0.0787, 0.0709, 0.075, 0.0469, 0.0456, 0.0692, 0.061, 0.0436, 0.0381, 0.037, 0.031, 0.0367, 0.0565, 0.0667, 0.0722, 0.0621, 0.0756, 0.0745, 0.0599, 0.0498, 0.0469, 0.0522, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0596, 0.0624, 0.0284, 0.0386, 0.0354, 0.0402, 0.0283, 0.0018, -0.0281, -0.0231, -0.0507, -0.0559, -0.063, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0642, -0.0519, -0.0477, -0.0368, -0.0654, -0.0686, -0.0505, -0.0567, -0.0934, -0.086, -0.086, -0.0906, -0.0881, -0.0957, -0.1096, -0.0941, -0.073, -0.0652, -0.0644, -0.0576, -0.0534, -0.0665, -0.0826, -0.0606, -0.0568, -0.0533, -0.0434, -0.0346, 0.001, -0.0018, -0.0108, -0.0101, 0.0222, 0.0111, 0.0308, 0.0366, 0.0549, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0668, 0.0685, 0.0769, 0.0812]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1273963212191522818", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-06-19T12:57:53+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "multibagger opportunities in the Canadian energy sector. Oil demand is now back to 90% of pre-pandemic levels yet many stocks need to rally by 100%-150% to get back to where they were in January", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector; stocks need 100–150% rally to recover Jan levels as oil demand rebounds to 90% of pre-pandemic.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The BNN curse is broken! I'll be on @marketcall today at 12ET to discuss multibagger opportunities in the Canadian energy sector. Oil demand is now back to 90% of pre-pandemic levels yet many stocks need to rally by 100%-150% to get back to where they were in January. Tune in! https://t.co/Hf2lUMFZn3\n\n---\n\nWas great to be on BNN with energy stocks in the green...here is a link to the full show: https://t.co/Ncv6PMRA5f https://t.co/QxCkWT3vbu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005987904279979306, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005987904279979306, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00024032731380985162, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00024032731380985162, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005747576966169454, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005747576966169454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001996084286602251, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001996084286602251, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004419110760901068, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004419110760901068, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006415195047503319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006415195047503319, "ret_p1w": -0.03414107025626423, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03414107025626423, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006309192638776162, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006309192638776162, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027831877617488066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027831877617488066, "ret_p1m": -0.02405874732029256, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02405874732029256, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07486219151849449, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07486219151849449, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05080344419820193, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05080344419820193, "ret_p3m": -0.05632161136835012, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05632161136835012, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1541053849290891, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1541053849290891, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09778377356073897, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09778377356073897, "ret_p6m": 0.24176648637343368, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24176648637343368, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05553102773566154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05553102773566154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18623545863777213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18623545863777213, "ret_p1y": 0.8480886787081632, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8480886787081632, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4640420735257591, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4640420735257591, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3840466051824041, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3840466051824041, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02405874732029256, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07486219151849449, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07486219151849449, "price_path": [-0.379, -0.3313, -0.3393, -0.4012, -0.3293, -0.2295, -0.2415, -0.1697, -0.1856, -0.1637, -0.1697, -0.1357, -0.1517, -0.1517, -0.1577, -0.1737, -0.2176, -0.2475, -0.1896, -0.1996, -0.2076, -0.1577, -0.1397, -0.1457, -0.1417, -0.1018, 0.016, -0.006, -0.0499, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0739, -0.0559, -0.0299, -0.0379, -0.0259, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.004, 0.0539, 0.0339, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0279, 0.0319, 0.018, 0.0, 0.022, 0.0719, 0.0898, 0.1018, 0.1916, 0.2255, 0.1816, 0.1337, 0.0259, 0.0459, 0.0399, 0.0599, 0.01, 0.006, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0259, -0.014, -0.0099, -0.0341, 0.0001, -0.0079, -0.0079, 0.0062, 0.0042, 0.0042, -0.0241, -0.0422, -0.0624, -0.0321, -0.0402, 0.0001, 0.0203, 0.0082, -0.0059, -0.0241, 0.0626, 0.0505, 0.0264, 0.0223, 0.0324, -0.0039, 0.0143, -0.0059, -0.0261, -0.0261, 0.0062, 0.0384, 0.0546, 0.0647, 0.0969, 0.0909, 0.1131, 0.0949, 0.105, 0.105, 0.0868, 0.0828, 0.0667, 0.0364, 0.0788, 0.0808, 0.0586, 0.0566, 0.0626, 0.0304, 0.0405, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0102, 0.0102, -0.0664, -0.0543, -0.0745, -0.0765, -0.0805, -0.0866, -0.0563, -0.0644, -0.0725, -0.1128, -0.1007, -0.1269, -0.1124, -0.1328, -0.1023, -0.1389, -0.147, -0.1776, -0.1694, -0.147, -0.1491, -0.1308, -0.088, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.1104, -0.1124, -0.1104, -0.1247, -0.1308, -0.1206, -0.1389, -0.1043, -0.1023, -0.1328, -0.1348, -0.1694, -0.1694, -0.1593, -0.143, -0.1247, -0.1267, -0.1247, -0.1369, 0.0016, 0.0301, 0.0402, -0.0188, -0.0046, 0.0463, 0.0626, 0.0708, 0.0647, 0.0748, 0.1502, 0.2011, 0.1929, 0.1888, 0.1949, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1461, 0.1542, 0.2194, 0.2092, 0.2234, 0.2214, 0.2682, 0.2703, 0.2418]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1331618822277779457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-25T15:20:42+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll be deploying my 23% cash position in the coming days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Deploying cash into energy sector heading into year-end; OPEC production deferral seen as green light for generalists to go market-weight.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With RSI's reading 75+ in many names we should expect a temporary pullback. For those who missed this month's rip show use weakness to your advantage as a consensus OPEC production deferral next week = green light for generalists to sector weight up heading into year end. https://t.co/NMixK6d5QN\n\n---\n\nRegardless of which way Thursday's OPEC+ meeting goes (worst case bullish draws get delayed by a few months), the window for generalists to go at least market weight the sector heading into year-end is quickly closing...I'll be deploying my 23% cash position in the coming days. https://t.co/4WUOzetHv0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023875953518027515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023875953518027515, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022331735281346576, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022331735281346576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015442182366809387, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015442182366809387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.031496158408858, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031496158408858, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042884211891405455, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042884211891405455, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011388053482547456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011388053482547456, "ret_p1m": -0.018800453174577014, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018800453174577014, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04061949160347045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04061949160347045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021819038428893434, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021819038428893434, "ret_p3m": 0.2298455776408883, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2298455776408883, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15809857126012883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15809857126012883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07174700638075948, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07174700638075948, "ret_p6m": 0.3539694233115329, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3539694233115329, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20022725174726186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20022725174726186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15374217156427106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15374217156427106, "ret_p1y": 0.5307133583647081, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5307133583647081, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22411182767233817, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22411182767233817, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30660153069236995, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30660153069236995, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.018800453174577014, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04061949160347045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04061949160347045, "price_path": [-0.0894, -0.1091, -0.1151, -0.1194, -0.1259, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.1604, -0.1546, -0.1856, -0.1849, -0.1786, -0.1846, -0.1519, -0.1506, -0.1601, -0.188, -0.1963, -0.2327, -0.2329, -0.2334, -0.2154, -0.237, -0.2393, -0.2626, -0.2555, -0.2332, -0.2446, -0.2339, -0.2052, -0.2179, -0.2159, -0.2281, -0.2248, -0.2154, -0.2332, -0.2494, -0.2405, -0.255, -0.2243, -0.2281, -0.2558, -0.2654, -0.2962, -0.2746, -0.2705, -0.2456, -0.2499, -0.2489, -0.2489, -0.2652, -0.1603, -0.1331, -0.142, -0.1697, -0.1394, -0.0828, -0.0734, -0.1003, -0.0856, -0.0904, -0.0262, 0.0239, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0663, -0.062, -0.0315, -0.0213, 0.032, 0.0079, 0.0229, 0.0251, 0.0566, 0.0444, 0.0079, 0.0277, 0.0226, 0.0178, 0.0008, -0.0185, -0.035, -0.0137, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.025, -0.0314, -0.0162, -0.0245, -0.0245, -0.0229, 0.0208, 0.052, 0.0674, 0.0661, 0.0829, 0.1207, 0.112, 0.1449, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.1225, 0.1266, 0.0885, 0.0829, 0.0718, 0.0489, 0.0347, 0.0468, 0.0121, 0.0193, 0.0304, 0.0744, 0.0862, 0.0955, 0.1413, 0.1292, 0.1508, 0.1331, 0.1498, 0.1498, 0.1786, 0.1961, 0.1691, 0.1887, 0.2298, 0.2502, 0.2945, 0.2695, 0.2394, 0.2715, 0.2646, 0.2831, 0.3138, 0.3629, 0.3655, 0.3416, 0.3755, 0.376, 0.3789, 0.3632, 0.3243, 0.3346, 0.2746, 0.2749, 0.2627, 0.2442, 0.2754, 0.2801, 0.3118, 0.2962, 0.285, 0.2762, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.2775, 0.2741, 0.2785, 0.2619, 0.2536, 0.2437, 0.245, 0.2796, 0.2692, 0.259, 0.2577, 0.2244, 0.24, 0.2255, 0.2367, 0.245, 0.2601, 0.3035, 0.3181, 0.2848, 0.3202, 0.3209, 0.3636, 0.3706, 0.3951, 0.3956, 0.3597, 0.3662, 0.3495, 0.3914, 0.4237, 0.3906, 0.3561, 0.354]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1610304895805947905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-03T15:59:39+00:00", "symbol": "midcap oils", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long midcap oils with a view to China gradual reopening, SPR over, and ongoing meaningful buybacks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long midcap oil equities in Q1/23 on China reopening, SPR tailwind, and buybacks; bullish on WTI at $80.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers US midcap oil companies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "First day of trading for '23 and the scoreboard has been reset to zero. My Q1/23 playbook remains the same: long midcap oils with a view to China gradual reopening, SPR over, and ongoing meaningful buybacks (even at $80WTI for now). No services/natural gas. We remain bullish!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.059245598244364706, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.059245598244364706, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055018034559231266, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055018034559231266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00422756368513344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00422756368513344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003507905374035003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003507905374035003, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004212102563984299, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004212102563984299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007720007938019302, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007720007938019302, "ret_p1w": 0.03952300222806615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03952300222806615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01389405045955816, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01389405045955816, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02562895176850799, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02562895176850799, "ret_p1m": 0.07343309799455988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07343309799455988, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005291639484878319, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005291639484878319, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0787247374794382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0787247374794382, "ret_p3m": 0.0027515283869257168, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0027515283869257168, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0763736209733934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0763736209733934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07912514936031911, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07912514936031911, "ret_p6m": -0.006100203286388051, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.006100203286388051, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16066838456881294, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16066838456881294, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1545681812824249, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1545681812824249, "ret_p1y": 0.11026394481832447, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11026394481832447, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14987036285615862, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14987036285615862, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2601343076744831, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2601343076744831, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0027515283869257168, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0763736209733934, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0763736209733934, "price_path": [0.1174, 0.1037, 0.0838, 0.0694, 0.0814, 0.1211, 0.0653, 0.0907, 0.1015, 0.1297, 0.1174, 0.1424, 0.1428, 0.1523, 0.1702, 0.1607, 0.1554, 0.1711, 0.1859, 0.1547, 0.181, 0.2038, 0.2403, 0.2322, 0.1512, 0.1943, 0.2318, 0.2139, 0.2433, 0.2074, 0.2048, 0.1915, 0.1688, 0.2163, 0.197, 0.197, 0.1971, 0.1531, 0.1667, 0.1775, 0.1541, 0.1444, 0.0913, 0.0611, 0.0519, 0.028, 0.0087, 0.0469, 0.0657, 0.0602, 0.0646, 0.0462, 0.0293, 0.0401, 0.0666, 0.033, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0798, 0.0319, 0.0541, 0.0592, 0.0592, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.036, 0.0395, 0.0476, 0.0786, 0.0843, 0.0843, 0.0894, 0.0681, 0.0889, 0.1046, 0.1205, 0.1084, 0.1073, 0.1338, 0.1184, 0.0822, 0.0989, 0.0734, 0.0568, 0.052, 0.031, 0.0727, 0.0596, 0.0431, 0.0976, 0.09, 0.0963, 0.0783, 0.0641, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.003, 0.0019, 0.032, 0.0461, 0.0522, 0.0366, 0.0601, 0.0746, 0.1002, 0.0788, 0.0608, 0.0444, 0.0188, -0.0019, -0.0323, -0.026, -0.0877, -0.0626, -0.0828, -0.0615, -0.0288, -0.0549, -0.0688, -0.0591, -0.0327, -0.02, -0.0089, -0.0097, 0.0028, 0.0522, 0.028, 0.0379, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0453, 0.0597, 0.0511, 0.0574, 0.0564, 0.0375, 0.034, 0.0223, 0.0061, -0.0026, 0.0157, -0.0174, -0.0346, -0.0271, -0.001, -0.008, -0.0538, -0.0722, -0.0861, -0.0543, -0.0517, -0.0569, -0.0623, -0.0732, -0.0646, -0.0469, -0.0741, -0.0538, -0.0348, -0.033, -0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0085, -0.0352, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0575, -0.0719, -0.065, -0.0266, -0.0402, -0.0215, 0.0145, 0.0092, 0.0004, -0.0163, -0.0061, -0.02, -0.0004, 0.0039, 0.0039, -0.0204, -0.0105, -0.0292, -0.0374, -0.0226, -0.0173, -0.0061]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1314555849898065926", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2020-10-09T13:18:32+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some oil stocks now trading at 10%+ free cash flow yields at today's 2021 WTI strip ($43)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish crude oil to $50+ next year; oil stocks offer 10%+ FCF yields at current strip, presenting a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank BP's peak demand scenario and the renewables headline bombardment  for crushing sentiment and giving you free optionality to better crude macro + oil prices next year ($50+)...some oil stocks now trading at 10%+ free cash flow yields at today's 2021 WTI strip ($43). https://t.co/v01RHgvUDd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016239090906454035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016239090906454035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025090333387254526, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025090333387254526, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008851242480800492, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008851242480800492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002598306448572174, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002598306448572174, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013489192659222882, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013489192659222882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016087499107795056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016087499107795056, "ret_p1w": -0.019486649570047865, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019486649570047865, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020755478890863488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020755478890863488, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012688293208156232, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012688293208156232, "ret_p1m": 0.07372539028026837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07372539028026837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05149695848041391, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05149695848041391, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022228431799854453, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022228431799854453, "ret_p3m": 0.34513182201421455, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34513182201421455, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.263562649934838, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.263562649934838, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08156917207937653, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08156917207937653, "ret_p6m": 0.6334799506549997, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6334799506549997, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.45305988158694777, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45305988158694777, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18042006906805197, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18042006906805197, "ret_p1y": 0.7987794424735517, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7987794424735517, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5307108687409763, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5307108687409763, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2680685737325754, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2680685737325754, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07372539028026837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05149695848041391, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05149695848041391, "price_path": [0.1691, 0.1944, 0.1889, 0.1723, 0.1528, 0.2225, 0.2075, 0.2052, 0.1985, 0.1998, 0.1794, 0.204, 0.1567, 0.1512, 0.1554, 0.1835, 0.196, 0.1864, 0.188, 0.2247, 0.2206, 0.2327, 0.2088, 0.2203, 0.2132, 0.1979, 0.1842, 0.1586, 0.1512, 0.1829, 0.1663, 0.1417, 0.1439, 0.1643, 0.1391, 0.1314, 0.126, 0.1177, 0.1142, 0.1142, 0.0736, 0.0809, 0.0413, 0.0423, 0.0503, 0.0426, 0.0845, 0.0861, 0.0739, 0.0383, 0.0276, -0.0188, -0.0192, -0.0198, 0.0032, -0.0244, -0.0273, -0.0572, -0.0481, -0.0195, -0.0341, -0.0205, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0026, -0.013, -0.0088, 0.0032, -0.0195, -0.0403, -0.0289, -0.0474, -0.0081, -0.013, -0.0484, -0.0607, -0.1, -0.0724, -0.0672, -0.0354, -0.0409, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.0604, 0.0737, 0.1085, 0.0971, 0.0617, 0.1004, 0.1728, 0.1848, 0.1504, 0.1692, 0.163, 0.2452, 0.3092, 0.2787, 0.2787, 0.2637, 0.1939, 0.1994, 0.2384, 0.2514, 0.3196, 0.2887, 0.3079, 0.3108, 0.3511, 0.3355, 0.2887, 0.3141, 0.3076, 0.3014, 0.2796, 0.255, 0.2339, 0.2612, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.2467, 0.2385, 0.2579, 0.2474, 0.2474, 0.2494, 0.3053, 0.3451, 0.3649, 0.3632, 0.3846, 0.433, 0.4218, 0.4639, 0.407, 0.407, 0.4353, 0.4406, 0.3919, 0.3846, 0.3705, 0.3412, 0.3231, 0.3385, 0.2941, 0.3033, 0.3175, 0.3738, 0.3889, 0.4008, 0.4593, 0.4439, 0.4715, 0.4488, 0.4702, 0.4702, 0.5071, 0.5294, 0.4949, 0.5199, 0.5726, 0.5986, 0.6552, 0.6232, 0.5847, 0.6259, 0.617, 0.6407, 0.6799, 0.7427, 0.746, 0.7154, 0.7588, 0.7595, 0.7631, 0.743, 0.6933, 0.7065, 0.6298, 0.6302, 0.6145, 0.5909, 0.6308, 0.6368, 0.6774, 0.6574, 0.6431, 0.6318, 0.6734, 0.6734, 0.6335]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1503714322001715207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-03-15T12:46:46+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm topping up positions trading <1.8x EV/CF", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Topping up energy stock positions at <1.8x EV/CF; bullish on energy with Brent fair value seen at $108 vs stocks discounting <$60.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CornerstoneOil saying Brent fair value is $108. Energy stocks discounting &lt;$60. In between sandcastles and water slides, I’m topping up positions trading &lt;1.8x EV/CF. This too shall pass!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03801183752643578, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03801183752643578, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059529060687408486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059529060687408486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02151722316097271, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02151722316097271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00459475546331356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00459475546331356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026768977426430474, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026768977426430474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.022174221963116914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022174221963116914, "ret_p1w": 0.062278957988189276, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.062278957988189276, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004047153932483782, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004047153932483782, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.058231804055705494, "bench_c_p1w": 0.058231804055705494, "ret_p1m": 0.11878723135534663, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11878723135534663, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07533717920535499, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07533717920535499, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04345005214999165, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04345005214999165, "ret_p3m": 0.24698627663093298, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24698627663093298, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3294864246549265, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3294864246549265, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08250014802399352, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08250014802399352, "ret_p6m": 0.11299748161496237, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11299748161496237, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17266997663148786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17266997663148786, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.059672495016525495, "bench_c_p6m": -0.059672495016525495, "ret_p1y": 0.24981149286116167, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.24981149286116167, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3012140771323598, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3012140771323598, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.05140258427119815, "bench_c_p1y": -0.05140258427119815, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11878723135534663, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07533717920535499, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07533717920535499, "price_path": [-0.2371, -0.2526, -0.2619, -0.2409, -0.236, -0.2356, -0.2356, -0.2189, -0.2194, -0.2245, -0.2292, -0.2272, -0.2033, -0.1757, -0.1759, -0.1575, -0.1459, -0.1486, -0.1196, -0.1179, -0.1224, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0982, -0.1047, -0.1129, -0.1305, -0.1246, -0.0906, -0.0922, -0.0823, -0.0862, -0.0821, -0.0494, -0.0464, -0.0554, -0.0407, -0.0284, -0.0493, -0.0414, -0.0473, -0.0196, -0.0427, -0.0528, -0.0451, -0.0466, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0678, -0.0582, -0.0656, -0.0409, -0.0173, -0.0074, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0475, 0.0629, 0.0796, 0.0466, 0.0787, 0.07, 0.038, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0297, 0.0287, 0.0702, 0.0623, 0.0806, 0.0832, 0.107, 0.0796, 0.0768, 0.0893, 0.0745, 0.0832, 0.0846, 0.0676, 0.0739, 0.088, 0.1179, 0.0843, 0.1023, 0.1188, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.1389, 0.1296, 0.134, 0.098, 0.0711, 0.0357, 0.0371, 0.0523, 0.0842, 0.0564, 0.0732, 0.1033, 0.1492, 0.1319, 0.1656, 0.0692, 0.0789, 0.0933, 0.098, 0.1355, 0.1655, 0.179, 0.1487, 0.1445, 0.1494, 0.1798, 0.1843, 0.2088, 0.2221, 0.2445, 0.2445, 0.2258, 0.2457, 0.2418, 0.2582, 0.2568, 0.2944, 0.2972, 0.2685, 0.247, 0.1819, 0.1842, 0.158, 0.0928, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0866, 0.0431, 0.0044, 0.0176, 0.0475, 0.0758, 0.0384, 0.0165, 0.0317, 0.0317, -0.0092, -0.0262, 0.0089, 0.0085, -0.0011, -0.0206, -0.0222, -0.0407, -0.025, -0.0027, 0.028, 0.0379, 0.0197, 0.0114, 0.0485, 0.0389, 0.0624, 0.0684, 0.1147, 0.0917, 0.0891, 0.0578, 0.0186, 0.0388, 0.0442, 0.0625, 0.0702, 0.107, 0.1154, 0.0937, 0.0911, 0.1002, 0.1298, 0.1295, 0.1274, 0.168, 0.1824, 0.1915, 0.1775, 0.1953, 0.1548, 0.1443, 0.1161, 0.1366, 0.1366, 0.1261, 0.113]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1171058978912165893", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-09T13:53:12+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentals are on our side. It is just sentiment that needs to inflect. Many catalysts ahead!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: valuations attractive, sentiment near bottom, many names still down 60%+ despite WTI +26% YTD; catalysts ahead for a sharp reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "1) A big mistake energy investors made in January 2016 (when energy stocks bottomed and began to rally after a massive selloff) was believing that they had \"missed it\" when stocks rallied by 20%+ in a short period. By the end of the year my fund had rallied by ~143%.... #OOTT https://t.co/lIs66acVrZ\n\n---\n\n2)There are parallels to today even though valuations are more attractive and sentiment is far worse. With many names still down 60%+ (with WTI +26% YTD) things can turn quickly. Fundamentals are on our side. It is just sentiment that needs to inflect. Many catalysts ahead! #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019597941894893944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019597941894893944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019094733730870006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019094733730870006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005032081640239383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005032081640239383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01179222240876654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01179222240876654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012027150866380953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012027150866380953, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023492845761441394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00023492845761441394, "ret_p1w": 0.04849717781875995, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04849717781875995, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0419246076494284, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0419246076494284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006572570169331549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006572570169331549, "ret_p1m": -0.0630917054335558, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0630917054335558, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035131940380102256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035131940380102256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027959765053453545, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027959765053453545, "ret_p3m": -0.01783824461077077, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01783824461077077, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06901488797377042, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06901488797377042, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117664336299965, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117664336299965, "ret_p6m": -0.20414230343486317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20414230343486317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2206061756663421, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2206061756663421, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016463872231478938, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016463872231478938, "ret_p1y": -0.3551223816127802, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3551223816127802, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5439496906554004, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5439496906554004, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18882730904262024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18882730904262024, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0630917054335558, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035131940380102256, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035131940380102256, "price_path": [-0.001, 0.0107, 0.0041, 0.0125, 0.0265, 0.0254, 0.0481, 0.0556, 0.0462, 0.0379, 0.0538, 0.046, 0.0581, 0.0591, 0.0422, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.0478, 0.0493, 0.0502, 0.0636, 0.0658, 0.0703, 0.0606, 0.0493, 0.0374, 0.0375, 0.0424, 0.0472, 0.05, 0.0545, 0.0425, 0.0372, 0.0331, 0.0447, 0.0414, 0.0178, 0.0032, -0.0267, -0.0279, -0.0352, -0.0075, -0.0184, -0.0301, -0.0211, -0.0595, -0.0653, -0.053, -0.0321, -0.0402, -0.034, -0.0384, -0.0706, -0.0666, -0.0724, -0.0591, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.05, -0.0367, -0.0247, -0.0196, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.0144, 0.0485, 0.0339, 0.0289, 0.0262, 0.0271, 0.0274, 0.0112, 0.0128, -0.0004, -0.0006, -0.0078, -0.0307, -0.0545, -0.0443, -0.0383, -0.0468, -0.0631, -0.0545, -0.0426, -0.0297, -0.0302, -0.0262, -0.0398, -0.0391, -0.0442, -0.0271, -0.0145, -0.0063, -0.0105, -0.0024, -0.0081, -0.0041, -0.0244, -0.0286, -0.0064, 0.0259, 0.0272, 0.0063, 0.0214, 0.0172, 0.0115, 0.0063, 0.0019, -0.0007, 0.007, -0.0053, -0.02, -0.0101, 0.0061, 0.0028, 0.0038, -0.0054, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0277, -0.0131, -0.0178, 0.0009, -0.0002, 0.0018, 0.0001, 0.0185, 0.0108, 0.0244, 0.0251, 0.0289, 0.0286, 0.0385, 0.0491, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0483, 0.0439, 0.0406, 0.0465, 0.0465, 0.0559, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0582, 0.0408, 0.0484, 0.0425, 0.0428, 0.043, 0.0353, 0.0371, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.012, 0.0022, -0.0016, -0.0131, -0.0405, -0.0361, -0.0462, -0.0386, -0.0685, -0.0807, -0.0774, -0.0427, -0.0525, -0.0591, -0.0638, -0.0534, -0.0406, -0.0436, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.0565, -0.044, -0.045, -0.0563, -0.0999, -0.1397, -0.1656, -0.2102, -0.2109, -0.179, -0.2041]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1335042971989905408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-05T02:07:03+00:00", "symbol": "small cap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "small cap energy stocks are and why they offer so much upside in the year ahead", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish small-cap energy stocks for the year ahead; sector is misunderstood and offers significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSCE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This clip shows just how misunderstood many small cap energy stocks are and why they offer so much upside in the year ahead. @AndrewBellBNN @BNNBloomberg  https://t.co/dSIjxybpGE\n\n---\n\nWhy do I generally focus on smaller companies? That is where the best opportunities are! Fewer eyeballs looking = less efficiencies and more multibagger potential when interest level positively inflects (like in 2021...). Smaller company size does not = a riskier business!!! https://t.co/TbIIS7pzOO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027842113919300138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027842113919300138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02578319859653, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02578319859653, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020589153227701384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020589153227701384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027842113919300138, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027842113919300138, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024915944180583294, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024915944180583294, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002926169738716844, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002926169738716844, "ret_p1w": 0.04872382136671338, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04872382136671338, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060726326352110616, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060726326352110616, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012002504985397233, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012002504985397233, "ret_p1m": 0.128856195099478, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.128856195099478, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11849882437796211, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11849882437796211, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01035737072151588, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01035737072151588, "ret_p3m": 0.5585645424433896, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5585645424433896, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.533595767794584, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.533595767794584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024968774648805647, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024968774648805647, "ret_p6m": 0.7730601591861972, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7730601591861972, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6274336662094595, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6274336662094595, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1456264929767377, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1456264929767377, "ret_p1y": 0.8022048298550497, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8022048298550497, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5124035116604482, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5124035116604482, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28980131819460153, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28980131819460153, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.128856195099478, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11849882437796211, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11849882437796211, "price_path": [-0.2304, -0.2743, -0.2859, -0.2651, -0.2535, -0.2165, -0.2304, -0.2327, -0.2668, -0.2715, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.3155, -0.29, -0.297, -0.297, -0.3225, -0.2947, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.2459, -0.2274, -0.2297, -0.2274, -0.2506, -0.2459, -0.2436, -0.2645, -0.2645, -0.2459, -0.2529, -0.2158, -0.2204, -0.2552, -0.2599, -0.3039, -0.2947, -0.297, -0.2784, -0.2807, -0.2947, -0.2854, -0.3063, -0.2065, -0.1787, -0.1833, -0.2204, -0.181, -0.1415, -0.1183, -0.1253, -0.109, -0.1253, -0.0441, 0.0023, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0232, -0.0812, -0.0626, -0.0464, -0.0534, 0.0278, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0255, 0.0858, 0.0766, 0.0487, 0.0742, 0.0626, 0.065, 0.051, 0.0336, 0.0267, 0.0731, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.022, 0.0011, 0.0313, 0.0197, 0.0197, 0.0406, 0.1289, 0.1776, 0.1985, 0.1823, 0.1939, 0.2682, 0.2473, 0.2891, 0.252, 0.252, 0.2659, 0.2589, 0.2148, 0.2473, 0.2403, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.2194, 0.1776, 0.2264, 0.245, 0.3054, 0.2938, 0.3216, 0.3983, 0.382, 0.4215, 0.3797, 0.4146, 0.4146, 0.4633, 0.4773, 0.3844, 0.4122, 0.4773, 0.4471, 0.533, 0.5028, 0.4749, 0.5516, 0.5075, 0.5237, 0.5586, 0.6608, 0.6584, 0.6166, 0.7003, 0.7351, 0.7003, 0.6863, 0.6166, 0.605, 0.4703, 0.54, 0.4942, 0.4036, 0.4268, 0.4524, 0.5035, 0.4501, 0.457, 0.4663, 0.5569, 0.5569, 0.4756, 0.4849, 0.471, 0.4477, 0.4059, 0.3803, 0.3827, 0.464, 0.4338, 0.4129, 0.4129, 0.3339, 0.3501, 0.3432, 0.3548, 0.3943, 0.4059, 0.4733, 0.4756, 0.4222, 0.471, 0.4896, 0.5593, 0.5569, 0.6174, 0.5732, 0.5779, 0.5709, 0.5291, 0.6174, 0.6824, 0.6569, 0.6197, 0.5988, 0.622, 0.6383, 0.5872, 0.6453, 0.6731, 0.6592, 0.6592, 0.7731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1100783177067626497", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2019-02-27T15:42:15+00:00", "symbol": "E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "over 100% upside in many E&P's given 20%-30%+ FCF yields", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish WTI to $60-65 by May on Saudi discipline + OECD inventory draws; implies 100%+ upside in E&P equities on high FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Saudi discipline -&gt; imminent OECD inventory drawdowns -&gt; $60-$65/WTI by May -&gt; over 100% upside in many E&amp;P's given 20%-30%+ FCF yields. #OOTT https://t.co/31kC82CtDg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0016572332654630761, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016572332654630761, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0020870700828571342, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0020870700828571342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004298368173940581, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004298368173940581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012926733269796431, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012926733269796431, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011064127372817922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011064127372817922, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018626058969785086, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018626058969785086, "ret_p1w": -0.02287065586121584, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02287065586121584, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016172659976900317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016172659976900317, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006697995884315522, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006697995884315522, "ret_p1m": 0.02336361943749843, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02336361943749843, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013526852010232737, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013526852010232737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009836767427265691, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009836767427265691, "ret_p3m": -0.09890838229347754, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09890838229347754, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11619185626217843, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11619185626217843, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01728347396870089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01728347396870089, "ret_p6m": -0.2675008046707664, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2675008046707664, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.324363023933976, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.324363023933976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05686221926320956, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05686221926320956, "ret_p1y": -0.36896179390327033, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.36896179390327033, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6010275473586459, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6010275473586459, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2320657534553756, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2320657534553756, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02336361943749843, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013526852010232737, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013526852010232737, "price_path": [0.0847, 0.1198, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0474, 0.0428, 0.009, 0.0071, 0.0127, 0.0064, -0.0382, -0.067, -0.0938, -0.106, -0.1397, -0.1598, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1167, -0.1134, -0.126, -0.1206, -0.1206, -0.0955, -0.1018, -0.051, -0.0186, -0.0096, 0.0126, 0.0189, 0.0076, 0.0083, 0.0199, 0.0219, 0.0278, 0.0477, 0.0477, 0.004, -0.0123, -0.0066, 0.0119, -0.0056, -0.001, 0.0272, 0.0123, 0.0176, 0.0235, 0.0096, -0.0023, -0.0454, -0.06, -0.0447, -0.0331, -0.0123, 0.0007, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0232, 0.0348, 0.0066, 0.0152, 0.0136, -0.0017, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.008, 0.0149, 0.006, -0.0229, -0.0361, -0.0699, -0.05, -0.0259, -0.0053, -0.0023, -0.0109, 0.0131, 0.0031, 0.031, 0.0463, -0.0012, -0.0006, 0.02, 0.0174, 0.0234, 0.0214, 0.0357, 0.025, 0.0021, 0.0204, 0.0569, 0.0642, 0.043, 0.0583, 0.044, 0.0785, 0.0659, 0.0722, 0.0682, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0958, 0.0945, 0.0725, 0.0563, 0.0393, 0.038, 0.0283, -0.0049, -0.0371, -0.0158, -0.0065, -0.0205, -0.0109, -0.0145, -0.0102, -0.0444, -0.0208, -0.0075, 0.0028, -0.0202, -0.0285, -0.0075, -0.0454, -0.0996, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.1125, -0.1079, -0.1308, -0.1491, -0.1411, -0.1188, -0.1501, -0.1431, -0.1414, -0.1468, -0.1444, -0.174, -0.1547, -0.1707, -0.1564, -0.1341, -0.1384, -0.1122, -0.1095, -0.1218, -0.1335, -0.1051, -0.1075, -0.0915, -0.0931, -0.1251, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1161, -0.1271, -0.1251, -0.1065, -0.1165, -0.1105, -0.1345, -0.1515, -0.1781, -0.1848, -0.1745, -0.1718, -0.1635, -0.1581, -0.1831, -0.1928, -0.2078, -0.1675, -0.1655, -0.2175, -0.2265, -0.2585, -0.2695, -0.2712, -0.2498, -0.2568, -0.2682, -0.2635, -0.3008, -0.3072, -0.2852, -0.2558, -0.2618, -0.2585, -0.2675]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1418298490048888838", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-07-22T19:54:45+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil and energy stocks: supply constraints from ESG pressures outpace demand concerns, prices can rise even post-peak demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Peak demand is likely 10+ years away yet the fear of peak demand is leading to the reality of peak supply.  ESG pressures are impacting production more than demand...prices can still rise even post-peak = this is NOT a sunset industry. https://t.co/A4VwFxfnxY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Oil is in a multi-year bull market and energy stocks represent a generational opportunity amidst the fog of energy ignorance. Hear why in this 45 minute webcast recorded earlier today: https://t.co/HR4OoDaUxX https://t.co/YQi3xphizm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericnuttall", "ret_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011293721751585606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013383507916097326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00208978616451172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003696099980157519, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013984157205984782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010288057225827263, "ret_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030595535741855917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018677053407362365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011918482334493552, "ret_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05770030002592497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07584207012611233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01814177010018736, "ret_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20584972657536005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16767451929821942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03817520727714063, "ret_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35809415576813164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28372059426303675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07437356150509489, "ret_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6153559016706476, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10510034369062127, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5102555579800263, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6153559016706476, "price_path": [-0.0272, -0.0154, 0.0185, 0.0299, 0.0039, 0.0316, 0.0322, 0.0655, 0.071, 0.0901, 0.0905, 0.0624, 0.0675, 0.0545, 0.0872, 0.1125, 0.0866, 0.0596, 0.058, 0.0602, 0.0708, 0.049, 0.0584, 0.0592, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.1021, 0.1226, 0.1257, 0.1332, 0.1283, 0.1381, 0.1309, 0.1295, 0.1257, 0.1208, 0.1421, 0.136, 0.0974, 0.0649, 0.1103, 0.1177, 0.1207, 0.1304, 0.1363, 0.0979, 0.0926, 0.1062, 0.1255, 0.123, 0.123, 0.0864, 0.0688, 0.0626, 0.0852, 0.0836, 0.0754, 0.0433, 0.0287, -0.0004, -0.0357, -0.0228, 0.0113, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0209, 0.0115, 0.0207, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0066, 0.0238, -0.0039, 0.0074, 0.0166, 0.0023, 0.0199, 0.0279, 0.0269, 0.0148, -0.0039, -0.0142, -0.0347, -0.0598, -0.0577, -0.0224, -0.0062, 0.0014, -0.0138, 0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0062, -0.0207, 0.0041, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0076, -0.0203, -0.0183, -0.0187, 0.0094, -0.0051, 0.032, 0.0203, 0.0127, -0.0182, -0.0159, 0.0144, 0.05, 0.0579, 0.0955, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0826, 0.119, 0.1373, 0.1439, 0.1319, 0.1406, 0.1757, 0.1713, 0.1724, 0.1713, 0.1857, 0.1915, 0.1923, 0.2058, 0.2156, 0.1932, 0.2044, 0.2221, 0.2291, 0.1938, 0.2023, 0.1944, 0.215, 0.2036, 0.1936, 0.1953, 0.2108, 0.2219, 0.2268, 0.1944, 0.199, 0.1961, 0.2061, 0.2079, 0.1894, 0.1824, 0.1362, 0.1564, 0.1919, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.1551, 0.1618, 0.1346, 0.1225, 0.1551, 0.146, 0.163, 0.1903, 0.1901, 0.1809, 0.1896, 0.1566, 0.1518, 0.1462, 0.1535, 0.13, 0.116, 0.1478, 0.1551, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1802, 0.1726, 0.1655, 0.1684, 0.2046, 0.2463, 0.2461, 0.2739, 0.2914, 0.2874, 0.3311, 0.3337, 0.3269, 0.3581]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1098930645072576512", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-02-22T13:00:57+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "E&P stocks cannot trade at such ridiculous levels forever and while apathy remains patience will eventually be rewarded", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long E&P sector on extreme FCF yield dislocation vs WTI; PE buyouts seen as inevitable catalyst for rerating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2019 WTI now at $59/bbl...up 25% YTD. E&amp;P's in many cases are lagging the YTD WTI move by 30% and at $60/bbl are trading at free cash flow yields of 25%+. When will the madness end? When will PE step in and buy up 10-30 year long 25%+ annuities?  #OOTT\n\n---\n\nThis is a 2020 free cash flow yield matrix for a midcap CDN heavy oil producer...33% free cash flow yield with 34 years of proved production at $60WTI.  E&amp;P stocks cannot trade at such ridiculous levels forever and while apathy remains patience will eventually be rewarded #OOTT https://t.co/4gQMEOdEXZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008488328630923525, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008488328630923525, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023268224963565176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0023268224963565176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0061615061345670075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061615061345670075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016319774561036615, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016319774561036615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029932574481462693, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0029932574481462693, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013612799920426077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013612799920426077, "ret_p1w": -0.007182216803230168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007182216803230168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011767661182067068, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011767661182067068, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0045854443788369, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0045854443788369, "ret_p1m": -0.015568767619318247, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015568767619318247, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019613539743424613, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019613539743424613, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004044772124106366, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004044772124106366, "ret_p3m": -0.05975020059354941, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05975020059354941, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08750714760120804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08750714760120804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027756947007658628, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027756947007658628, "ret_p6m": -0.26700736354763166, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26700736354763166, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.323988526626232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.323988526626232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05698116307860035, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05698116307860035, "ret_p1y": -0.3771149161311802, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3771149161311802, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6009037395805705, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6009037395805705, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22378882344939033, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22378882344939033, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015568767619318247, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019613539743424613, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019613539743424613, "price_path": [0.0613, 0.0766, 0.0834, 0.0685, 0.103, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0317, 0.0271, -0.0061, -0.0081, -0.0025, -0.0087, -0.0527, -0.081, -0.1074, -0.1194, -0.1527, -0.1724, -0.2125, -0.2125, -0.1299, -0.1267, -0.1391, -0.1339, -0.1339, -0.109, -0.1152, -0.0653, -0.0333, -0.0245, -0.0026, 0.0036, -0.0075, -0.0069, 0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0124, 0.032, 0.032, -0.0111, -0.0271, -0.0215, -0.0033, -0.0206, -0.016, 0.0118, -0.0029, 0.0023, 0.0082, -0.0056, -0.0173, -0.0597, -0.0741, -0.0591, -0.0477, -0.0271, -0.0144, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.0078, 0.0193, -0.0085, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0167, -0.015, -0.0278, -0.0072, -0.0003, -0.0091, -0.0375, -0.0506, -0.0839, -0.0643, -0.0405, -0.0202, -0.0173, -0.0257, -0.0022, -0.012, 0.0155, 0.0306, -0.0162, -0.0156, 0.0047, 0.0021, 0.008, 0.006, 0.0201, 0.0096, -0.013, 0.005, 0.041, 0.0482, 0.0273, 0.0424, 0.0283, 0.0623, 0.0499, 0.0561, 0.0522, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0793, 0.078, 0.0564, 0.0404, 0.0237, 0.0224, 0.0129, -0.0198, -0.0516, -0.0306, -0.0215, -0.0352, -0.0257, -0.0293, -0.0251, -0.0588, -0.0355, -0.0224, -0.0123, -0.0349, -0.0431, -0.0224, -0.0598, -0.1131, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.1259, -0.1213, -0.1439, -0.1619, -0.154, -0.1321, -0.1628, -0.156, -0.1543, -0.1596, -0.1573, -0.1864, -0.1674, -0.1831, -0.1691, -0.1471, -0.1514, -0.1255, -0.1228, -0.135, -0.1465, -0.1186, -0.1209, -0.1051, -0.1067, -0.1383, -0.1402, -0.1402, -0.1294, -0.1402, -0.1383, -0.1199, -0.1297, -0.1238, -0.1475, -0.1642, -0.1905, -0.1971, -0.1869, -0.1842, -0.176, -0.1708, -0.1954, -0.2049, -0.2197, -0.18, -0.178, -0.2292, -0.2381, -0.2696, -0.2805, -0.2821, -0.2611, -0.268, -0.2792, -0.2746, -0.3113, -0.3176, -0.2959, -0.267]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1541479985822793728", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-06-27T17:54:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my outlook for energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil to $180 and energy stocks; falling inventories and OPEC spare capacity cited.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors need not f.e.a.r. a recession. Hear why in this 30 minute recorded conversation with Amrita Sen, energy analyst Rockstar of @EnergyAspects. We discuss falling inventories, OPEC spare capacity, $180 oil, and my outlook for energy stocks. https://t.co/oGgsaoMypZ https://t.co/4D6T7HpqQl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02849780944214142, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02849780944214142, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03233212312850109, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03233212312850109, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0038343136863596694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038343136863596694, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027005197752199894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027005197752199894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047438205805167666, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047438205805167666, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02043300805296777, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02043300805296777, "ret_p1w": -0.015063067261653629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015063067261653629, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0038514203538023706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0038514203538023706, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018914487615456, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018914487615456, "ret_p1m": -0.00814221443964569, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00814221443964569, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014061023012609253, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014061023012609253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005918808572963563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005918808572963563, "ret_p3m": 0.038476866933844445, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.038476866933844445, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0715008025543955, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0715008025543955, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03302393562055106, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03302393562055106, "ret_p6m": 0.17460199279564526, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17460199279564526, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1867798226451658, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1867798226451658, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.012177829849520538, "bench_c_p6m": -0.012177829849520538, "ret_p1y": 0.12174092007317694, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12174092007317694, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.017440865482418078, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.017440865482418078, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13918178555559502, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13918178555559502, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.00814221443964569, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014061023012609253, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014061023012609253, "price_path": [0.0399, 0.0258, 0.0341, 0.0355, 0.0192, 0.0253, 0.0387, 0.0673, 0.0352, 0.0524, 0.0681, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0873, 0.0784, 0.0826, 0.0482, 0.0226, -0.0112, -0.0099, 0.0046, 0.0351, 0.0085, 0.0246, 0.0533, 0.0971, 0.0806, 0.1128, 0.0207, 0.03, 0.0438, 0.0482, 0.0841, 0.1126, 0.1255, 0.0967, 0.0926, 0.0973, 0.1263, 0.1306, 0.154, 0.1667, 0.1881, 0.1881, 0.1702, 0.1893, 0.1855, 0.2012, 0.1999, 0.2357, 0.2384, 0.211, 0.1905, 0.1283, 0.1305, 0.1055, 0.0433, -0.0138, -0.0138, 0.0373, -0.0042, -0.0411, -0.0285, 0.0, 0.027, -0.0087, -0.0296, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0541, -0.0703, -0.0368, -0.0372, -0.0464, -0.065, -0.0665, -0.0841, -0.0692, -0.0479, -0.0186, -0.0091, -0.0265, -0.0345, 0.0009, -0.0081, 0.0142, 0.0199, 0.0642, 0.0422, 0.0398, 0.0099, -0.0275, -0.0083, -0.0031, 0.0144, 0.0217, 0.0569, 0.0649, 0.0441, 0.0417, 0.0503, 0.0786, 0.0783, 0.0763, 0.1151, 0.1288, 0.1375, 0.1242, 0.1411, 0.1025, 0.0924, 0.0655, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.075, 0.0626, 0.0672, 0.0938, 0.1139, 0.0858, 0.1164, 0.0877, 0.0645, 0.0651, 0.0577, 0.0422, 0.0385, -0.0331, -0.0569, -0.0463, -0.004, -0.004, -0.012, 0.0438, 0.0887, 0.1112, 0.1309, 0.1222, 0.0991, 0.0903, 0.0991, 0.144, 0.1013, 0.115, 0.1248, 0.158, 0.1591, 0.1925, 0.1982, 0.1994, 0.2157, 0.2201, 0.2244, 0.2346, 0.2466, 0.2165, 0.239, 0.2541, 0.2757, 0.2769, 0.2145, 0.2415, 0.2776, 0.2772, 0.2906, 0.2643, 0.267, 0.257, 0.24, 0.2788, 0.265, 0.265, 0.2603, 0.2257, 0.2443, 0.2504, 0.2463, 0.2389, 0.2021, 0.1704, 0.1677, 0.1625, 0.1342, 0.164, 0.1861, 0.1788, 0.1717, 0.1573, 0.1571, 0.1746]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1105440308945391616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-03-12T12:08:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks trading at their lowest levels in 10+ years AND the underinvestment in future production that WILL lead to a supply crisis in the coming 5 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: mispriced at decade-lows due to propaganda-driven underinvestment; supply crisis expected within 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global energy stocks proxy (context is predominantly US/Canada)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It is intellectually-stymied and fiction-based environmental propaganda like the below that is leading to energy stocks trading at their lowest levels in 10+ years AND the underinvestment in future production that WILL lead to a supply crisis in the coming 5 years @CanadaAction", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Get your money out of fossil fuels while you can.\n\nThese investments are going to plummet when the market finally figures out where we're headed.\n\n#divest #divestment #climatechange \nhttps://t.co/TtDTMtGtOC", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0064297629359387765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0064297629359387765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002672927927449553, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002672927927449553, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0037568350084892232, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0037568350084892232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010104051765986055, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010104051765986055, 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{"unit_id": "orig:1357718115212263424", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-05T15:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy any dip. The FOMO is real!!!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the semiconductor/tech sector; buy any dip as new money rotates downcap and FOMO kicks in.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "VanEck Semiconductor ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Brokers actively looking for blocks. New guys coming back to the sector and going downcap. This is exactly what I want to see. Big run in some so maybe a pullback (or not) but things feeling very healthy. Buy any dip.  The FOMO is real!!!! https://t.co/rZovj5E2Il", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0073125324861407215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0073125324861407215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01123304305214834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01123304305214834, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003920510566007618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033416847314236, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033416847314236, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026194747363707416, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026194747363707416, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007222099950528582, "ret_p1w": 0.08226684294820585, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08226684294820585, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06955088743916904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06955088743916904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012715955509036814, "ret_p1m": -0.0807363921933506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0807363921933506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06528695268482132, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06528695268482132, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015449439508529283, "ret_p3m": 0.012924586420589357, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012924586420589357, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.062909830518032, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.062909830518032, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07583441693862136, "ret_p6m": 0.12665272300552988, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12665272300552988, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.009401372058565283, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.009401372058565283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605409506409516, "ret_p1y": 0.12982274184297826, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12982274184297826, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.005720489590168354, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.005720489590168354, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13554323143314662, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0807363921933506, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06528695268482132, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06528695268482132, "price_path": [-0.2028, -0.1747, -0.1837, -0.1716, -0.1483, -0.1581, -0.1623, -0.1514, -0.1557, -0.1427, -0.14, -0.14, -0.14, -0.1285, -0.1192, -0.1032, -0.0996, -0.1, -0.0737, -0.0684, -0.0672, -0.0961, -0.0954, -0.1028, -0.0936, -0.0794, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0831, -0.0878, -0.0894, -0.0962, -0.0865, -0.0865, -0.0883, -0.0906, -0.0738, -0.0714, -0.0714, -0.0695, -0.0532, -0.0561, -0.0172, -0.0207, -0.006, -0.0014, -0.0068, 0.0179, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0324, 0.0281, 0.044, 0.0243, 0.0284, 0.0106, -0.0388, -0.0187, -0.0366, 0.0012, 0.0149, -0.0042, 0.0073, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0304, 0.033, 0.0713, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.0889, 0.0678, 0.0565, 0.0793, 0.0398, 0.0298, 0.063, 0.0037, 0.0244, 0.0552, 0.0228, -0.0094, -0.0575, -0.0273, -0.0807, -0.0263, -0.046, -0.006, -0.0184, 0.0028, 0.0138, 0.0233, -0.0177, -0.0065, 0.0172, -0.0083, -0.0253, -0.0217, 0.0273, 0.0109, 0.0065, 0.0355, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0933, 0.0783, 0.0758, 0.0913, 0.0887, 0.0761, 0.074, 0.0637, 0.0773, 0.0731, 0.0466, 0.0319, 0.0591, 0.0357, 0.0595, 0.0776, 0.0713, 0.0542, 0.0639, 0.0331, 0.0211, 0.0085, 0.0129, 0.0213, 0.0357, -0.0102, -0.0083, -0.0492, -0.0384, -0.008, -0.019, -0.0244, -0.0069, 0.0177, 0.0126, 0.0348, 0.0416, 0.0427, 0.0477, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0579, 0.0641, 0.0459, 0.0692, 0.0637, 0.055, 0.0517, 0.0654, 0.0692, 0.0836, 0.0743, 0.0652, 0.0773, 0.0498, 0.0526, 0.0595, 0.0648, 0.0822, 0.078, 0.1041, 0.1137, 0.1149, 0.0985, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.1042, 0.0889, 0.0743, 0.0926, 0.107, 0.1046, 0.1022, 0.0719, 0.0495, 0.0493, 0.0621, 0.0926, 0.0861, 0.094, 0.0927, 0.0734, 0.0926, 0.1131, 0.1187, 0.1267]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1517148853136285697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-21T14:30:48+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it is investor's time to get paid", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil & gas equities: near-debt-free sector with 27% FCF yields at $100 WTI, rising shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends in 2023.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the sector nearing debt free levels, our \"ask\" of our holdings is simple: 50% of free cashflow now to shareholder returns (buyback + dividends) and 75% in 2023 once debt is fully paid off. With average FCF yields of 27% in '23 at $100WTI, it is investor's time to get paid. https://t.co/YqaG4Yw36O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.032774467424176335, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032774467424176335, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01759403720572772, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01759403720572772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015180430218448615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015180430218448615, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02445267340695345, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02445267340695345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002986551644444835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002986551644444835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.027439225051398286, "bench_c_p1d": -0.027439225051398286, "ret_p1w": -0.012546189575651012, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012546189575651012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01085258711422632, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01085258711422632, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023398776689877332, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023398776689877332, "ret_p1m": 0.04685698474495115, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04685698474495115, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15741266897303796, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15741266897303796, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11055568422808681, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11055568422808681, "ret_p3m": -0.06374310352365253, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06374310352365253, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.036917892095477245, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.036917892095477245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.10066099561912978, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10066099561912978, "ret_p6m": 0.05063868864368337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05063868864368337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22734900302887806, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22734900302887806, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1767103143851947, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1767103143851947, "ret_p1y": 0.1444143584943809, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1444143584943809, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1935177841661656, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1935177841661656, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.04910342567178472, "bench_c_p1y": -0.04910342567178472, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1444143584943809, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1935177841661656, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1935177841661656, "price_path": [-0.2027, -0.1718, -0.1732, -0.1642, -0.1677, -0.1641, -0.1343, -0.1315, -0.1397, -0.1263, -0.1151, -0.1341, -0.1269, -0.1324, -0.1071, -0.1282, -0.1373, -0.1303, -0.1317, -0.137, -0.137, -0.151, -0.1422, -0.149, -0.1265, -0.105, -0.096, -0.0753, -0.0728, -0.046, -0.0319, -0.0167, -0.0468, -0.0176, -0.0255, -0.0546, -0.0892, -0.0934, -0.0622, -0.0631, -0.0253, -0.0325, -0.0159, -0.0134, 0.0082, -0.0168, -0.0193, -0.0079, -0.0214, -0.0134, -0.0122, -0.0277, -0.0219, -0.0091, 0.0182, -0.0124, 0.004, 0.0189, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0373, 0.0288, 0.0328, 0.0, -0.0245, -0.0567, -0.0554, -0.0416, -0.0125, -0.0379, -0.0225, 0.0049, 0.0466, 0.0309, 0.0616, -0.0262, -0.0174, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0342, 0.0615, 0.0737, 0.0462, 0.0424, 0.0469, 0.0745, 0.0786, 0.1009, 0.113, 0.1334, 0.1334, 0.1164, 0.1346, 0.131, 0.1459, 0.1447, 0.1789, 0.1814, 0.1553, 0.1357, 0.0764, 0.0785, 0.0547, -0.0047, -0.0591, -0.0591, -0.0104, -0.05, -0.0852, -0.0732, -0.046, -0.0202, -0.0543, -0.0742, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.0977, -0.1131, -0.0811, -0.0815, -0.0903, -0.108, -0.1094, -0.1263, -0.112, -0.0917, -0.0637, -0.0547, -0.0713, -0.0789, -0.0451, -0.0538, -0.0324, -0.027, 0.0152, -0.0057, -0.0081, -0.0366, -0.0723, -0.0539, -0.049, -0.0323, -0.0253, 0.0082, 0.0159, -0.0039, -0.0063, 0.002, 0.029, 0.0287, 0.0267, 0.0638, 0.0769, 0.0851, 0.0724, 0.0886, 0.0517, 0.0422, 0.0165, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0256, 0.0137, 0.0181, 0.0434, 0.0626, 0.0358, 0.0651, 0.0376, 0.0155, 0.0161, 0.009, -0.0058, -0.0093, -0.0776, -0.1003, -0.0902, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0575, -0.0042, 0.0386, 0.0601, 0.0789, 0.0705, 0.0485, 0.0402, 0.0485, 0.0913, 0.0506]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1325911623131914241", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-09T21:22:19+00:00", "symbol": "small cap stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "small caps are where the outsized returns will be found", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on small caps for outsized returns vs large caps.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares Russell 2000 ETF for US small caps", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never thought I’d be disappointed to be up “only” ~11% in a day...large caps the first to run but small caps are where the outsized returns will be found. https://t.co/zsZvI4Ihzg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018239726253627464, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018239726253627464, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01970809686624142, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01970809686624142, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0014683706126139562, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014683706126139562, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0004052515375093657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0004052515375093657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007833583270057454, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007833583270057454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007428331732548088, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007428331732548088, "ret_p1w": 0.03335242867473576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03335242867473576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014767325713510804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014767325713510804, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018585102961224953, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018585102961224953, "ret_p1m": 0.09675744824785504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09675744824785504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06057533086505673, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06057533086505673, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03618211738279831, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03618211738279831, "ret_p3m": 0.28744429092669055, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28744429092669055, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18767450086435433, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18767450086435433, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09976979006233622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09976979006233622, "ret_p6m": 0.2942302194046209, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2942302194046209, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11106002854619734, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11106002854619734, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18317019085842356, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18317019085842356, "ret_p1y": 0.33348065737818544, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.33348065737818544, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02070237390166474, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02070237390166474, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3127782834765207, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3127782834765207, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09675744824785504, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06057533086505673, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06057533086505673, "price_path": [-0.0933, -0.0938, -0.0892, -0.0979, -0.0978, -0.1015, -0.1081, -0.0988, -0.0978, -0.1035, -0.1013, -0.0937, -0.1034, -0.0931, -0.0859, -0.1129, -0.1186, -0.1186, -0.1355, -0.1225, -0.1339, -0.1396, -0.117, -0.1153, -0.1069, -0.1135, -0.1158, -0.1467, -0.1402, -0.1658, -0.1658, -0.1522, -0.1313, -0.1353, -0.1327, -0.1188, -0.1149, -0.0905, -0.0931, -0.0733, -0.0628, -0.0579, -0.0516, -0.0579, -0.0672, -0.0576, -0.0599, -0.0712, -0.0691, -0.0771, -0.0612, -0.0558, -0.0761, -0.0841, -0.1123, -0.1017, -0.1135, -0.0977, -0.0721, -0.0711, -0.0451, -0.0526, -0.0182, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0158, 0.0046, 0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0189, 0.0267, 0.0278, 0.047, 0.0667, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0676, 0.0482, 0.0579, 0.059, 0.065, 0.0898, 0.0908, 0.1048, 0.0968, 0.1074, 0.1019, 0.1032, 0.1308, 0.1267, 0.1401, 0.1346, 0.134, 0.1469, 0.1567, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1516, 0.1293, 0.1408, 0.1388, 0.1388, 0.1239, 0.1413, 0.188, 0.2091, 0.2065, 0.2055, 0.2271, 0.2183, 0.2427, 0.2241, 0.2241, 0.2398, 0.2453, 0.2345, 0.2488, 0.2476, 0.2389, 0.2162, 0.2123, 0.194, 0.2233, 0.2407, 0.2445, 0.2698, 0.2874, 0.3203, 0.3265, 0.3178, 0.3163, 0.32, 0.32, 0.3117, 0.3014, 0.2813, 0.308, 0.2995, 0.2881, 0.3185, 0.2698, 0.268, 0.3131, 0.2879, 0.2739, 0.2383, 0.2646, 0.2705, 0.2973, 0.3198, 0.3488, 0.3568, 0.3616, 0.3388, 0.3494, 0.3083, 0.3182, 0.3082, 0.2608, 0.2316, 0.2608, 0.2838, 0.2477, 0.2687, 0.2857, 0.302, 0.302, 0.3092, 0.3053, 0.2843, 0.2952, 0.2953, 0.2903, 0.2869, 0.2996, 0.3052, 0.3073, 0.2903, 0.2639, 0.2948, 0.2895, 0.3138, 0.3275, 0.3294, 0.3317, 0.3268, 0.3087, 0.3151, 0.2994, 0.2942]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1438146757544878084", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-15T14:24:41+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How cheap are energy stocks???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks; cites Montney producer at 40% FCF yield as evidence of extreme cheapness.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as global energy stocks proxy (context is predominantly US/Canada)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How cheap are energy stocks??? I just met with a $500MM Montney producer trading at a 2023 40% FCF yield (to their EV). They think they can keep production flat for 10 years = ability to privatize and payoff all their debt 4 times over before their project starts to decline…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03601282534653805, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03601282534653805, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027729291070575424, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027729291070575424, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008283534275962623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008283534275962623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01134118084774527, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01134118084774527, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009755968522733971, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009755968522733971, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015852123250112982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015852123250112982, "ret_p1w": -0.017051499076046084, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017051499076046084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0021884701475656243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0021884701475656243, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019239969223611708, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019239969223611708, "ret_p1m": 0.14888778870340103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14888778870340103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15773458236787452, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15773458236787452, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008846793664473496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008846793664473496, "ret_p3m": 0.12069433535744767, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12069433535744767, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07562711253818533, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07562711253818533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04506722281926234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04506722281926234, "ret_p6m": 0.580311677506768, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.580311677506768, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6239333757476405, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6239333757476405, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.043621698240872475, "bench_c_p6m": -0.043621698240872475, "ret_p1y": 0.6651742450655038, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6651742450655038, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7769522199363981, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7769522199363981, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.11177797487089425, "bench_c_p1y": -0.11177797487089425, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14888778870340103, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15773458236787452, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15773458236787452, "price_path": [0.0318, 0.0758, 0.083, 0.086, 0.0953, 0.1011, 0.0639, 0.0587, 0.0718, 0.0905, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.0527, 0.0356, 0.0296, 0.0515, 0.0499, 0.042, 0.0109, -0.0032, -0.0314, -0.0657, -0.0531, -0.0201, -0.031, -0.0346, -0.0107, -0.0199, -0.0109, -0.0014, -0.0173, -0.0247, -0.008, -0.0348, -0.0239, -0.0149, -0.0289, -0.0117, -0.004, -0.005, -0.0167, -0.0348, -0.0448, -0.0647, -0.0889, -0.0869, -0.0527, -0.037, -0.0296, -0.0444, -0.0189, -0.0304, -0.037, -0.0511, -0.0271, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0384, -0.0507, -0.0487, -0.0491, -0.0219, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0187, -0.0487, -0.0465, -0.0171, 0.0174, 0.025, 0.0615, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.049, 0.0842, 0.102, 0.1084, 0.0967, 0.1052, 0.1392, 0.135, 0.136, 0.135, 0.1489, 0.1545, 0.1553, 0.1684, 0.1779, 0.1561, 0.167, 0.1841, 0.191, 0.1567, 0.165, 0.1573, 0.1773, 0.1662, 0.1565, 0.1582, 0.1733, 0.1839, 0.1888, 0.1573, 0.1618, 0.159, 0.1686, 0.1704, 0.1525, 0.1457, 0.101, 0.1205, 0.1549, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.1193, 0.1257, 0.0993, 0.0877, 0.1193, 0.1104, 0.1269, 0.1533, 0.1531, 0.1443, 0.1527, 0.1207, 0.1161, 0.1106, 0.1177, 0.0949, 0.0814, 0.1122, 0.1193, 0.1199, 0.1199, 0.1444, 0.1436, 0.1362, 0.1293, 0.1321, 0.1672, 0.2076, 0.2074, 0.2343, 0.2513, 0.2474, 0.2898, 0.2923, 0.2858, 0.3159, 0.3159, 0.3212, 0.3117, 0.2996, 0.2739, 0.2825, 0.3323, 0.33, 0.3445, 0.3388, 0.3447, 0.3926, 0.3971, 0.3839, 0.4055, 0.4234, 0.3928, 0.4045, 0.3957, 0.4363, 0.4024, 0.3877, 0.399, 0.3967, 0.3882, 0.3882, 0.3657, 0.3798, 0.369, 0.4051, 0.4398, 0.4542, 0.4875, 0.4916, 0.5346, 0.5573, 0.5817, 0.5334, 0.5803]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1390389046715822084", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-06T19:32:35+00:00", "symbol": "SU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SU and CNQ could privatize in 5 years using free cash flow while CVE could do it in less than 4. Some small caps 3 years or less. Balance sheet repair now...massive buybacks in 1-2 Q's once leverage is in check??? Unprecedented.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SU, CNQ, CVE on massive FCF generation enabling near-term balance sheet repair and unprecedented buybacks at $65 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["SU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At the current oil price ($65WTI) SU and CNQ could privatize in 5 years using free cash flow while CVE could do it in less than 4. Some small caps 3 years or less.  Balance sheet repair now...massive buybacks in 1-2 Q's once leverage is in check??? Unprecedented.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010439471063826589, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010439471063826589, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0025173825297992725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005315051230379342, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007922088534027316, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005124419833447247, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02783781250079187, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02783781250079187, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020559595893480775, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009997723667062086, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007278216607311094, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017840088833729784, "ret_p1w": -0.015659307943924006, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015659307943924006, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005315572474291819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0002864839713602185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.020974880418215824, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015372823972563787, "ret_p1m": 0.11652416267397059, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11652416267397059, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10810057447505605, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05844879825045779, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008423588198914533, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0580753644235128, "ret_p3m": -0.13533975711907653, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13533975711907653, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19147193159729692, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09130014639032014, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05613217447822039, "bench_c_p3m": -0.044039610728756395, "ret_p6m": 0.16245749077098104, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16245749077098104, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.059470573737052224, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.047204384673975364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10298691703392882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11525310609700568, "ret_p1y": 0.41600480390393213, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.41600480390393213, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3800225927956522, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.046184242328561, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03598221110827993, "bench_c_p1y": 0.46218904623249313, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13533975711907653, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19147193159729692, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09130014639032014, "price_path": [-0.238, -0.2307, -0.2186, -0.2307, -0.222, -0.222, -0.1893, -0.178, -0.1901, -0.1811, -0.1146, -0.0969, -0.071, -0.109, -0.1431, -0.1267, -0.1081, -0.0974, -0.0766, -0.0435, -0.0426, -0.0492, -0.0209, 0.0009, 0.0235, 0.013, -0.01, 0.0122, -0.0561, -0.0422, -0.0631, -0.114, -0.0818, -0.0848, -0.0739, -0.0848, -0.0831, -0.0909, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.08, -0.0805, -0.0857, -0.0853, -0.0922, -0.097, -0.1035, -0.0679, -0.0822, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1288, -0.1135, -0.1266, -0.114, -0.1066, -0.0926, -0.0618, -0.0535, -0.0683, -0.0457, -0.0478, -0.0104, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0152, -0.0043, 0.0135, -0.0157, 0.0104, 0.0474, 0.0365, -0.0061, 0.003, 0.007, 0.0239, 0.0074, 0.0039, 0.007, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0661, 0.0922, 0.0959, 0.1165, 0.1135, 0.1073, 0.0964, 0.0924, 0.0942, 0.1056, 0.1244, 0.1021, 0.0517, 0.0245, 0.0736, 0.0828, 0.0819, 0.0902, 0.0793, 0.0412, 0.0337, 0.0499, 0.0683, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0412, 0.0149, 0.0088, 0.0193, 0.0044, -0.0079, -0.0302, -0.0517, -0.081, -0.1279, -0.1069, -0.0784, -0.0832, -0.0885, -0.0666, -0.1082, -0.1016, -0.1275, -0.1402, -0.1564, -0.1353, -0.1651, -0.1432, -0.138, -0.1603, -0.1362, -0.1349, -0.145, -0.1594, -0.1743, -0.191, -0.212, -0.2313, -0.2335, -0.1984, -0.1805, -0.18, -0.1826, -0.1586, -0.1704, -0.1831, -0.1914, -0.1646, -0.1726, -0.1726, -0.1854, -0.1938, -0.1805, -0.1911, -0.1602, -0.1796, -0.1328, -0.135, -0.1443, -0.173, -0.1629, -0.1275, -0.1085, -0.1063, -0.0722, -0.0762, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0736, -0.0554, -0.0223, -0.0471, -0.0139, 0.021, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0378, 0.0409, 0.0391, 0.0241, 0.0237, 0.0237, -0.002, 0.0104, 0.0391, 0.0462, 0.0117, 0.1452, 0.1625]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1390389046715822084", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2021-05-06T19:32:35+00:00", "symbol": "CVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CVE could do it in less than 4", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SU, CNQ, CVE on massive FCF generation enabling near-term balance sheet repair and unprecedented buybacks at $65 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At the current oil price ($65WTI) SU and CNQ could privatize in 5 years using free cash flow while CVE could do it in less than 4. Some small caps 3 years or less.  Balance sheet repair now...massive buybacks in 1-2 Q's once leverage is in check??? Unprecedented.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020075375031006093, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020075375031006093, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012153286496978777, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014950955197558846, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007922088534027316, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005124419833447247, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008782897158953973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008782897158953973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016061113766265067, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026622985992683756, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007278216607311094, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017840088833729784, "ret_p1w": -0.03387716610588709, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03387716610588709, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012902285687671267, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018504342133323304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.020974880418215824, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015372823972563787, "ret_p1m": 0.18193206215574365, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18193206215574365, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1735084739568291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12385669773223085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008423588198914533, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0580753644235128, "ret_p3m": 0.05794279119011114, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05794279119011114, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0018106167118907557, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10198240191886754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05613217447822039, "bench_c_p3m": -0.044039610728756395, "ret_p6m": 0.5076370503595438, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5076370503595438, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40465013332561495, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3923839442625381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10298691703392882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11525310609700568, "ret_p1y": 1.0783524203025046, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.0783524203025046, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.0423702091942246, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6161633740700114, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03598221110827993, "bench_c_p1y": 0.46218904623249313, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05794279119011114, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0018106167118907557, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10198240191886754, "price_path": [-0.1908, -0.2221, -0.1632, -0.1783, -0.1545, -0.1545, -0.1307, -0.1307, -0.1507, -0.1357, -0.0994, -0.0831, -0.0468, -0.0668, -0.0718, -0.0693, -0.0655, -0.0618, -0.0154, 0.0284, 0.0184, 0.0008, 0.0409, 0.0572, 0.064, 0.0627, 0.0301, 0.0489, -0.0125, 0.0038, -0.0188, -0.0652, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0213, -0.0477, -0.0489, -0.0565, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0477, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0238, -0.0464, -0.0477, -0.0527, 0.005, 0.0151, 0.0, -0.0151, -0.0828, -0.0527, -0.0665, -0.059, -0.0502, -0.0577, -0.01, -0.0038, -0.0251, 0.0125, -0.0389, -0.0201, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0389, -0.0314, -0.0088, -0.0339, 0.0088, 0.0402, 0.0301, -0.01, -0.0163, -0.0201, 0.0075, -0.0289, -0.0138, 0.005, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.1129, 0.1518, 0.1518, 0.1819, 0.1882, 0.2346, 0.2434, 0.2647, 0.2547, 0.2602, 0.308, 0.2703, 0.2163, 0.215, 0.259, 0.2414, 0.2301, 0.2326, 0.2238, 0.1798, 0.1861, 0.2037, 0.2439, 0.2213, 0.2213, 0.1811, 0.1459, 0.127, 0.1459, 0.122, 0.1371, 0.0843, 0.0667, 0.0165, -0.0275, -0.0212, 0.0165, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0328, 0.0064, 0.019, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.024, 0.0579, -0.0187, 0.0115, 0.019, -0.0036, 0.0341, 0.0529, 0.0592, 0.0328, -0.0086, -0.0225, -0.0401, -0.0702, -0.0664, -0.0024, 0.0429, 0.0479, 0.024, 0.0517, 0.0366, 0.0404, 0.0454, 0.112, 0.1007, 0.1007, 0.0806, 0.0542, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.1082, 0.0735, 0.1439, 0.1163, 0.0911, 0.0596, 0.0634, 0.1477, 0.2069, 0.2043, 0.2484, 0.2471, 0.2673, 0.266, 0.266, 0.3126, 0.3566, 0.3302, 0.3717, 0.4195, 0.4435, 0.4409, 0.417, 0.4774, 0.4674, 0.4485, 0.4573, 0.4648, 0.4636, 0.4762, 0.5051, 0.4951, 0.4485, 0.4862, 0.5076]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1120286839959502849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-22T11:22:51+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$80 Brent before Saudi meaningfully reacts is my call. S.A. needs higher oil prices.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish crude: calls $80 Brent before Saudi supply response materializes; SA needs higher prices, US restraint + China deal support.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$80 Brent before Saudi meaningfully reacts is my call. Actions more important than words and INTENT trumps all...S.A. needs higher oil prices.  VZ at multi-decade low at the same time + US production restraint + China trade deal in Summer...wow. #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "SAUDI ARABIA IS WILLING TO RAISE OIL OUTPUT TO COMPENSATE FOR POTENTIAL LOSS OF SUPPLY IF U.S. ENDS IRAN OIL WAIVERS BUT KINGDOM MUST SEE IMPACT ON OIL MARKET FIRST - SOURCE FAMILIAR WITH SAUDI THINKING\n\n#oott", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027957856148406734, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027957856148406734, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02709666350338169, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02709666350338169, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000861192645025044, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000861192645025044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006347936451801983, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006347936451801983, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0026438764409952853, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0026438764409952853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008991812892797268, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008991812892797268, "ret_p1w": -0.027012425381812366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027012425381812366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03941469653086671, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03941469653086671, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012402271149054345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012402271149054345, "ret_p1m": -0.025121563848623518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025121563848623518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012168311472144921, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012168311472144921, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012953252376478597, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012953252376478597, "ret_p3m": -0.1635602439304118, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1635602439304118, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1980570840454865, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1980570840454865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0344968401150747, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0344968401150747, "ret_p6m": -0.2066450438664419, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2066450438664419, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24609347909609525, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24609347909609525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039448435229653356, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039448435229653356, "ret_p1y": -0.5564559731697568, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5564559731697568, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5197978651326202, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5197978651326202, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.03665810803713665, "bench_c_p1y": -0.03665810803713665, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025121563848623518, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012168311472144921, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012168311472144921, "price_path": [-0.1742, -0.1749, -0.1675, -0.1906, -0.1718, -0.1673, -0.1641, -0.1644, -0.1557, -0.1629, -0.1533, -0.1676, -0.1613, -0.1692, -0.1569, -0.1409, -0.1279, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.1025, -0.094, -0.0941, -0.0935, -0.1253, -0.1193, -0.1033, -0.1082, -0.1212, -0.113, -0.1105, -0.1087, -0.1045, -0.1121, -0.1008, -0.0995, -0.0877, -0.092, -0.0929, -0.0878, -0.0868, -0.0748, -0.0835, -0.0947, -0.0922, -0.082, -0.0839, -0.084, -0.0763, -0.0679, -0.0631, -0.0639, -0.0627, -0.05, -0.0397, -0.0463, -0.0312, -0.0434, -0.0336, -0.0386, -0.0313, -0.0327, -0.028, -0.028, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0072, 0.0042, -0.0255, -0.027, -0.0167, -0.0251, -0.0444, -0.0431, -0.0378, -0.0562, -0.0496, -0.0493, -0.0462, -0.0515, -0.0378, -0.0307, -0.0192, -0.0247, -0.028, -0.0251, -0.0412, -0.0848, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0531, -0.062, -0.0968, -0.129, -0.1723, -0.163, -0.1811, -0.1671, -0.1452, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.19, -0.1719, -0.1625, -0.1769, -0.1607, -0.165, -0.1295, -0.1194, -0.124, -0.1214, -0.102, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1213, -0.1572, -0.138, -0.138, -0.1325, -0.1341, -0.1334, -0.0949, -0.1016, -0.0989, -0.1021, -0.1309, -0.1402, -0.1636, -0.1563, -0.1456, -0.1379, -0.1467, -0.1438, -0.1429, -0.1395, -0.1259, -0.1198, -0.1829, -0.1641, -0.1922, -0.2039, -0.2405, -0.225, -0.2095, -0.2089, -0.1721, -0.1967, -0.2135, -0.208, -0.1931, -0.1892, -0.1856, -0.1907, -0.1985, -0.2072, -0.1962, -0.183, -0.175, -0.1838, -0.1838, -0.2131, -0.1802, -0.1768, -0.1688, -0.1546, -0.1575, -0.1787, -0.1845, -0.1867, -0.0678, -0.1282, -0.141, -0.1302, -0.1318, -0.1252, -0.1478, -0.1573, -0.1526, -0.1638, -0.1791, -0.2046, -0.2208, -0.2206, -0.2116, -0.2119, -0.2134, -0.2123, -0.2018, -0.1827, -0.1984, -0.2066]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1139588431816904705", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-06-14T17:40:29+00:00", "symbol": "heavy oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "imminent construction = massive sentiment boost for heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Canadian heavy oil stocks on TMX pipeline approval and imminent construction start providing a massive sentiment boost.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "CNQ.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil stocks: ATH, CVE, CNQ", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Excellent sleuthing by @geoffreymorgan finding evidence that not only will TMX get approved but work is likely to begin before the election. Given how dour sentiment is a sign of imminent construction = massive sentiment boost for heavy oil stocks #OOTT https://t.co/8dULya9NBg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009776824642615645, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009776824642615645, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00867078062267257, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003220094339428159, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0011060440199430754, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006556730303187486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020294092828082737, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020294092828082737, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019914051230802404, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011934822033429365, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00038004159728033393, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008359270794653373, "ret_p1w": 0.05367114750226798, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05367114750226798, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03234115182033692, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0023651257632346656, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021329995681931058, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051306021739033314, "ret_p1m": 0.04533380731302702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04533380731302702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0005548351727112308, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010934224532599325, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04477897214031579, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05626803184562634, "ret_p3m": 0.010425198144363157, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010425198144363157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03261659155759877, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0017935281863498131, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04304178970196193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008631669958013344, "ret_p6m": -0.06402317406857642, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06402317406857642, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1594501551949728, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05967990165807739, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09542698112639636, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004343272410499033, "ret_p1y": -0.47199276952304553, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47199276952304553, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5588174593206794, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1914550800244283, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08682468979763391, "bench_c_p1y": -0.28053768949861724, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04533380731302702, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0005548351727112308, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010934224532599325, "price_path": [0.0926, 0.1251, 0.1297, 0.0955, 0.0733, 0.1078, 0.0923, 0.0837, 0.0781, 0.0984, 0.1031, 0.0913, 0.1073, 0.1462, 0.1821, 0.1858, 0.2591, 0.236, 0.2469, 0.2467, 0.2624, 0.2813, 0.2574, 0.2574, 0.2943, 0.3261, 0.3003, 0.2809, 0.2433, 0.2424, 0.2303, 0.1667, 0.131, 0.1361, 0.1389, 0.1227, 0.1404, 0.1406, 0.1429, 0.1158, 0.1368, 0.1291, 0.1334, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.1195, 0.0966, 0.0556, 0.0566, 0.0694, 0.0643, 0.0617, 0.0573, 0.0425, 0.0101, 0.0188, -0.0181, -0.0099, 0.0009, -0.0063, 0.0042, -0.013, 0.0098, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0467, 0.0339, 0.0614, 0.0537, 0.0432, 0.0354, 0.059, 0.0264, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0131, 0.0133, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0025, 0.014, 0.0365, 0.037, 0.0421, 0.0453, 0.0395, 0.036, 0.0238, 0.0213, 0.0247, 0.0274, 0.0118, -0.0136, -0.0164, -0.0477, -0.0089, 0.0066, -0.0167, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.075, -0.1047, -0.0718, -0.0805, -0.103, -0.0677, -0.1088, -0.1216, -0.1089, -0.1084, -0.1078, -0.0814, -0.0759, -0.1164, -0.1151, -0.123, -0.0934, -0.0801, -0.0933, -0.0933, -0.0982, -0.0915, -0.0572, -0.0474, -0.0225, -0.0085, 0.0104, 0.0213, 0.0091, 0.1177, 0.0791, 0.0597, 0.0486, 0.0501, 0.0521, 0.0293, 0.0183, 0.0101, 0.0059, 0.0008, -0.0401, -0.0619, -0.0633, -0.0648, -0.068, -0.103, -0.1173, -0.1087, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0924, -0.0987, -0.0956, -0.1093, -0.1113, -0.1064, -0.1047, -0.1189, -0.1146, -0.125, -0.1135, -0.135, -0.1622, -0.1334, -0.1127, -0.1026, -0.1178, -0.0953, -0.1006, -0.0979, -0.1059, -0.1123, -0.1161, -0.0994, -0.1123, -0.1368, -0.1228, -0.118, -0.1178, -0.1132, -0.1329, -0.1189, -0.1106, -0.124, -0.1322, -0.1534, -0.1351, -0.1438, -0.0849, -0.064]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1306969566166224898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-09-18T14:53:21+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great news for Canadian heavy oil producers...Pemex forecasting a 70% drop in heavy oil exports", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers: Pemex + Venezuela export declines tighten WCS differentials, boosting FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great news for Canadian heavy oil producers...Pemex forecasting a 70% drop in heavy oil exports (our biggest competitor) between 2021-2023 (US currently imports ~750k bbl/d from Mexico). This + Venezuelan declines = tighter WCS differentials = more FCF.\nhttps://t.co/85b6ay5bIH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03406760451305196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03406760451305196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022421001173517363, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022761372399926982, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0116466033395346, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306232113124981, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06402741761349351, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06402741761349351, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05289766005110186, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03088130491749219, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011129757562391651, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03314611269600132, "ret_p1w": -0.10249114514469065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10249114514469065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0966844709541726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015211155572793011, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0058066741905180574, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08727998957189764, "ret_p1m": -0.11776489821052535, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11776489821052535, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1521214521007331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011431944085220053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03435655389020775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.1063329541253053, "ret_p3m": 0.3249639863850555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3249639863850555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20544188204314273, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10739959932107657, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1195221043419128, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21756438706397896, "ret_p6m": 1.5356818679286026, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5356818679286026, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.3316904763828294, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9126158324255766, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20399139154577317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.623066035503026, "ret_p1y": 2.277800890494498, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.277800890494498, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.8976179583530333, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.7656171682561577, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3801829321414649, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5121837222383405, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11776489821052535, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1521214521007331, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011431944085220053, "price_path": [0.1867, 0.126, 0.1379, 0.1155, 0.1127, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.1695, 0.1735, 0.1565, 0.1397, 0.1224, 0.0808, 0.1248, 0.0868, 0.1065, 0.1568, 0.1401, 0.1263, 0.0991, 0.2021, 0.1754, 0.1606, 0.1693, 0.1687, 0.1285, 0.1297, 0.1141, 0.0787, 0.0787, 0.131, 0.1618, 0.1727, 0.168, 0.2044, 0.2315, 0.288, 0.2486, 0.2566, 0.2708, 0.2173, 0.2174, 0.172, 0.1337, 0.1896, 0.1755, 0.1672, 0.1753, 0.1765, 0.1489, 0.1413, 0.126, 0.1457, 0.1142, 0.1142, 0.0298, 0.0687, 0.0154, 0.0204, 0.0251, 0.0105, 0.0467, 0.0341, 0.0, -0.064, -0.0427, -0.0884, -0.079, -0.1025, -0.0657, -0.0892, -0.1143, -0.1419, -0.1367, -0.1132, -0.1213, -0.1061, -0.0404, -0.0511, -0.0511, -0.085, -0.0786, -0.0896, -0.1145, -0.1178, -0.1134, -0.1354, -0.1081, -0.1075, -0.1448, -0.1473, -0.1752, -0.1895, -0.1965, -0.1632, -0.1455, -0.1611, -0.1398, -0.1541, -0.0113, 0.008, 0.0354, -0.0364, -0.0145, 0.046, 0.0786, 0.0906, 0.0921, 0.0939, 0.1913, 0.2652, 0.2367, 0.2236, 0.2397, 0.1707, 0.151, 0.1925, 0.1935, 0.2602, 0.2783, 0.3411, 0.3145, 0.3573, 0.3669, 0.3455, 0.3518, 0.325, 0.3308, 0.3173, 0.2569, 0.231, 0.2791, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.2664, 0.2836, 0.2745, 0.2745, 0.3275, 0.4629, 0.4523, 0.49, 0.5085, 0.4855, 0.5265, 0.4783, 0.5379, 0.4687, 0.4521, 0.4053, 0.4164, 0.411, 0.4175, 0.4158, 0.3804, 0.4133, 0.4165, 0.3782, 0.4567, 0.5114, 0.602, 0.7283, 0.7672, 0.8193, 0.8194, 0.8659, 0.8317, 0.8887, 0.8887, 0.9508, 0.9533, 0.8798, 0.8501, 0.9895, 1.0297, 1.2054, 1.092, 1.0691, 1.1061, 1.1239, 1.1767, 1.2369, 1.5004, 1.5337, 1.515, 1.5758, 1.5807, 1.56, 1.5357]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1173600675193917440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-16T14:13:00+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks to rally much further once initial profit taking is exhausted", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish energy sector; Abqaiq damage worse than thought, multi-month outage, more upside after profit-taking exhausted.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rockstar oil analyst @CroftHelima : \"damage at Abqaiq much more extensive than originally thought, multi-month outage, likely US military response on Iranian targets.\" This is only the beginning. Energy stocks to rally much further once initial profit taking is exhausted #OOTT\n\n---\n\n@CroftHelima Not to be outdone respected barrel counter @michael___tran : \"Saudi has 27 days of inventories...if 2/3 of Abqaiq remains offline = bone dry inventories in 1.5 months. Net spec length in oil lower today than when WTI = $27.\" Again, today is only the beginning #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03247268324805286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03247268324805286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03557105642804226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03557105642804226, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030983731799894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01393953943225501, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01393953943225501, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01647172326981239, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01647172326981239, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002532183837557378, "ret_p1w": -0.020107330218186115, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020107330218186115, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018199066594318247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018199066594318247, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019082636238678674, "ret_p1m": -0.07126004077373882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07126004077373882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07159429577930865, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07159429577930865, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003342550055698279, "ret_p3m": -0.0285793660603898, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0285793660603898, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08999535382773483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08999535382773483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061415987767345026, "ret_p6m": -0.4090213439148661, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4090213439148661, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37909237984256194, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37909237984256194, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029928964072304165, "ret_p1y": -0.39338524258433694, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39338524258433694, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6088725708827296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6088725708827296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21548732829839268, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07126004077373882, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07159429577930865, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07159429577930865, "price_path": [-0.0221, -0.0004, 0.0068, -0.0022, -0.0101, 0.0051, -0.0024, 0.0092, 0.0101, -0.006, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0006, 0.0008, 0.0016, 0.0144, 0.0165, 0.0208, 0.0116, 0.0008, -0.0106, -0.0105, -0.0059, -0.0013, 0.0014, 0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0108, -0.0147, -0.0036, -0.0068, -0.0293, -0.0432, -0.0718, -0.0729, -0.0798, -0.0534, -0.0638, -0.0749, -0.0664, -0.103, -0.1085, -0.0968, -0.0768, -0.0846, -0.0787, -0.0828, -0.1136, -0.1098, -0.1153, -0.1026, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0939, -0.0813, -0.0699, -0.0649, -0.0463, -0.035, -0.0341, -0.0401, -0.0325, 0.0, -0.0139, -0.0187, -0.0212, -0.0204, -0.0201, -0.0356, -0.034, -0.0466, -0.0468, -0.0537, -0.0756, -0.0983, -0.0885, -0.0828, -0.0909, -0.1064, -0.0983, -0.0869, -0.0746, -0.0751, -0.0713, -0.0842, -0.0836, -0.0884, -0.0721, -0.0601, -0.0522, -0.0562, -0.0486, -0.054, -0.0502, -0.0695, -0.0735, -0.0524, -0.0215, -0.0203, -0.0402, -0.0259, -0.0299, -0.0353, -0.0402, -0.0444, -0.047, -0.0396, -0.0513, -0.0653, -0.0559, -0.0404, -0.0436, -0.0426, -0.0514, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0727, -0.0588, -0.0633, -0.0454, -0.0465, -0.0446, -0.0462, -0.0286, -0.0359, -0.023, -0.0223, -0.0187, -0.019, -0.0096, 0.0006, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0076, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0071, 0.0041, 0.0119, 0.0092, -0.0074, -0.0001, -0.0057, -0.0054, -0.0052, -0.0125, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0348, -0.0441, -0.0478, -0.0588, -0.0849, -0.0807, -0.0903, -0.083, -0.1116, -0.1233, -0.1201, -0.087, -0.0963, -0.1026, -0.1071, -0.0972, -0.085, -0.0878, -0.0927, -0.0927, -0.1001, -0.0882, -0.0892, -0.1, -0.1415, -0.1794, -0.2042, -0.2468, -0.2474, -0.217, -0.241, -0.223, -0.2514, -0.2935, -0.4358, -0.409]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1512063116569317381", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-07T13:41:54+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think energy stocks still = a generational opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long energy equities as a generational opportunity; massive FCF yields available for free due to market ignorance of the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What excites me??? Getting something for nothing. Energy ignorance provides the opportunity to get in some cases decades worth of FCF equivalent to a 40% FCF yield (ie. potential dividend) at $100WTI...for free. That's why I think energy stocks still = a generational opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01291964284296565, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01291964284296565, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007905714585760948, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007905714585760948, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005013928257204703, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005013928257204703, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027519229412579893, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027519229412579893, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03019334843764576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03019334843764576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026741190250658686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026741190250658686, "ret_p1w": 0.03165398694017285, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03165398694017285, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056121051353089424, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056121051353089424, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.024467064412916573, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024467064412916573, "ret_p1m": 0.07131798912142306, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07131798912142306, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1547238987728361, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1547238987728361, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08340590965141303, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08340590965141303, "ret_p3m": -0.08938441608345371, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08938441608345371, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05581275159683807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05581275159683807, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14519716768029178, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14519716768029178, "ret_p6m": -0.04881522683209927, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04881522683209927, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14855446223607827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14855446223607827, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.19736968906817753, "bench_c_p6m": -0.19736968906817753, "ret_p1y": 0.07253394082905196, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07253394082905196, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17406156842174048, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.17406156842174048, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.10152762759268852, "bench_c_p1y": -0.10152762759268852, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07253394082905196, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.17406156842174048, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17406156842174048, "price_path": [-0.2174, -0.1908, -0.1893, -0.1934, -0.1744, -0.1744, -0.1711, -0.1771, -0.1847, -0.2008, -0.1954, -0.1642, -0.1656, -0.1565, -0.1601, -0.1564, -0.1263, -0.1235, -0.1318, -0.1183, -0.107, -0.1262, -0.1189, -0.1244, -0.0989, -0.1202, -0.1294, -0.1223, -0.1238, -0.1291, -0.1291, -0.1432, -0.1344, -0.1412, -0.1185, -0.0968, -0.0877, -0.0668, -0.0642, -0.0372, -0.023, -0.0077, -0.038, -0.0086, -0.0165, -0.0459, -0.0809, -0.0851, -0.0536, -0.0545, -0.0164, -0.0236, -0.0068, -0.0044, 0.0174, -0.0078, -0.0103, 0.0012, -0.0124, -0.0044, -0.0031, -0.0187, -0.0129, 0.0, 0.0275, -0.0034, 0.0132, 0.0283, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0468, 0.0382, 0.0422, 0.0092, -0.0155, -0.0481, -0.0468, -0.0328, -0.0035, -0.0291, -0.0136, 0.0141, 0.0562, 0.0403, 0.0713, -0.0173, -0.0084, 0.0049, 0.0092, 0.0437, 0.0712, 0.0836, 0.0558, 0.0519, 0.0565, 0.0844, 0.0885, 0.111, 0.1233, 0.1438, 0.1438, 0.1266, 0.145, 0.1413, 0.1565, 0.1552, 0.1897, 0.1922, 0.1659, 0.1461, 0.0863, 0.0884, 0.0643, 0.0044, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0013, -0.0413, -0.0768, -0.0647, -0.0373, -0.0113, -0.0456, -0.0657, -0.0518, -0.0518, -0.0894, -0.1049, -0.0727, -0.0731, -0.0819, -0.0998, -0.1013, -0.1183, -0.1039, -0.0834, -0.0552, -0.046, -0.0627, -0.0704, -0.0363, -0.0451, -0.0235, -0.0181, 0.0245, 0.0034, 0.001, -0.0277, -0.0638, -0.0452, -0.0403, -0.0234, -0.0164, 0.0175, 0.0252, 0.0052, 0.0029, 0.0112, 0.0384, 0.0381, 0.0362, 0.0735, 0.0867, 0.0951, 0.0823, 0.0986, 0.0614, 0.0517, 0.0258, 0.0447, 0.0447, 0.035, 0.023, 0.0274, 0.053, 0.0724, 0.0453, 0.0748, 0.0471, 0.0248, 0.0254, 0.0183, 0.0034, -0.0002, -0.0692, -0.092, -0.0818, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0488]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1552305906217623554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-27T14:52:23+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil sell off a gift to investors… the opportunity in energy stocks following the worst selloff since March 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks; views recent oil selloff as a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Oil sell off a gift to investors: Nuttall.\" Here is a video I recorded with Larysa Harapyn of the @financialpost to discuss the opportunity in energy stocks following the worst selloff since March 2020: \nhttps://t.co/xOlb3Zo6gE https://t.co/GMgB8AOYhI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022076495674277052, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022076495674277052, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003232729334298523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003232729334298523, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.025309225008575575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025309225008575575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00561976939699127, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00561976939699127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0069225039252795995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0069225039252795995, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01254227332227087, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01254227332227087, "ret_p1w": -0.004281585257464249, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004281585257464249, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03771966707113594, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03771966707113594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.033438081813671694, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033438081813671694, "ret_p1m": 0.12148809421485374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12148809421485374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07543287298113088, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07543287298113088, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046055221233722854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046055221233722854, "ret_p3m": 0.181325286650867, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.181325286650867, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2327258671954182, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2327258671954182, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05140058054455121, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05140058054455121, "ret_p6m": 0.22423847437948252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22423847437948252, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.246709033186442, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.246709033186442, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.022470558806959473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.022470558806959473, "ret_p1y": 0.1345278687503979, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1345278687503979, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.004053281775778572, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.004053281775778572, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13858115052617648, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13858115052617648, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12148809421485374, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07543287298113088, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07543287298113088, "price_path": [-0.0057, 0.0102, 0.0385, 0.0817, 0.0654, 0.0971, 0.0064, 0.0155, 0.0291, 0.0335, 0.0688, 0.097, 0.1097, 0.0813, 0.0773, 0.0819, 0.1105, 0.1147, 0.1378, 0.1503, 0.1714, 0.1714, 0.1538, 0.1726, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.183, 0.2183, 0.221, 0.194, 0.1738, 0.1125, 0.1146, 0.09, 0.0286, -0.0276, -0.0276, 0.0227, -0.0182, -0.0546, -0.0421, -0.014, 0.0126, -0.0226, -0.0432, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0674, -0.0834, -0.0503, -0.0507, -0.0598, -0.0781, -0.0796, -0.097, -0.0823, -0.0613, -0.0324, -0.023, -0.0401, -0.048, -0.0131, -0.0221, 0.0, 0.0056, 0.0492, 0.0276, 0.0252, -0.0043, -0.0412, -0.0222, -0.0171, 0.0001, 0.0074, 0.042, 0.0499, 0.0294, 0.027, 0.0356, 0.0634, 0.0632, 0.0611, 0.0994, 0.1129, 0.1215, 0.1084, 0.1251, 0.087, 0.0771, 0.0506, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.0599, 0.0476, 0.0522, 0.0784, 0.0982, 0.0705, 0.1007, 0.0724, 0.0495, 0.0501, 0.0428, 0.0275, 0.0239, -0.0467, -0.0701, -0.0597, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0259, 0.0292, 0.0734, 0.0956, 0.1151, 0.1064, 0.0837, 0.075, 0.0837, 0.1279, 0.0858, 0.0994, 0.109, 0.1417, 0.1428, 0.1758, 0.1813, 0.1825, 0.1986, 0.203, 0.2072, 0.2173, 0.2291, 0.1994, 0.2216, 0.2365, 0.2577, 0.259, 0.1974, 0.2241, 0.2596, 0.2592, 0.2725, 0.2465, 0.2492, 0.2394, 0.2226, 0.2609, 0.2472, 0.2472, 0.2426, 0.2085, 0.2268, 0.2329, 0.2288, 0.2215, 0.1852, 0.154, 0.1513, 0.1462, 0.1183, 0.1476, 0.1694, 0.1623, 0.1552, 0.141, 0.1409, 0.1581, 0.1801, 0.1529, 0.1897, 0.1897, 0.2024, 0.1755, 0.1878, 0.1953, 0.1953, 0.1533, 0.1532, 0.1742, 0.1965, 0.1923, 0.2007, 0.2044, 0.2274, 0.2292, 0.2292, 0.2318, 0.2092, 0.2242]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1415642304715579393", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-15T12:00:01+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the weakness in oil stocks is a huge opportunity IMO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil stocks; macro backdrop (normalizing inventories, growing US deficit) makes recent weakness a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad oil stocks proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro check-in: no signs of distress as global oil inventories close to approaching normal and US oil/products deficit continues to grow. OPEC noise is just that and the weakness in oil stocks is a huge opportunity  IMO. https://t.co/icDZesdDEr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01417158079260128, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01417158079260128, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010744418827903779, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010744418827903779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0034271619646975005, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034271619646975005, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028343342948936256, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028343342948936256, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020499802342809015, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020499802342809015, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007843540606127242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007843540606127242, "ret_p1w": -0.02794416137092126, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02794416137092126, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0295772491068369, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0295772491068369, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0016330877359156393, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0016330877359156393, "ret_p1m": -0.013572989789312428, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013572989789312428, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03926595461215321, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03926595461215321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02569296482284078, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02569296482284078, "ret_p3m": 0.1396271324861169, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1396271324861169, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13903090563794485, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13903090563794485, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0005962268481720656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0005962268481720656, "ret_p6m": 0.2552719036835247, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2552719036835247, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17597126077134262, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17597126077134262, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07930064291218208, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07930064291218208, "ret_p1y": 0.5163122622831535, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5163122622831535, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6269263886718587, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6269263886718587, "bench_spy_p1y": -0.11061412638870516, "bench_c_p1y": -0.11061412638870516, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013572989789312428, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03926595461215321, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03926595461215321, "price_path": [-0.0447, -0.07, -0.0581, -0.0692, -0.0607, -0.0544, -0.0429, -0.0099, 0.0011, -0.0241, 0.0027, 0.0033, 0.0357, 0.0411, 0.0596, 0.06, 0.0328, 0.0377, 0.0251, 0.0569, 0.0814, 0.0563, 0.03, 0.0284, 0.0306, 0.0409, 0.0197, 0.0288, 0.0296, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0713, 0.0912, 0.0942, 0.1015, 0.0968, 0.1063, 0.0993, 0.098, 0.0942, 0.0895, 0.1102, 0.1043, 0.0667, 0.0351, 0.0792, 0.0864, 0.0894, 0.0988, 0.1046, 0.0673, 0.0621, 0.0752, 0.094, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.0561, 0.0389, 0.0329, 0.0549, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.0142, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0627, -0.0501, -0.017, -0.0279, -0.0315, -0.0076, -0.0168, -0.0078, 0.0018, -0.0142, -0.0216, -0.0048, -0.0317, -0.0208, -0.0118, -0.0257, -0.0086, -0.0008, -0.0018, -0.0136, -0.0317, -0.0417, -0.0617, -0.086, -0.084, -0.0497, -0.0339, -0.0265, -0.0413, -0.0158, -0.0273, -0.0339, -0.0481, -0.024, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0353, -0.0477, -0.0457, -0.0461, -0.0188, -0.0329, 0.0032, -0.0082, -0.0156, -0.0456, -0.0434, -0.0139, 0.0206, 0.0283, 0.0649, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0524, 0.0877, 0.1055, 0.1119, 0.1002, 0.1087, 0.1429, 0.1386, 0.1396, 0.1386, 0.1526, 0.1582, 0.159, 0.1722, 0.1816, 0.1598, 0.1707, 0.1879, 0.1948, 0.1604, 0.1687, 0.161, 0.181, 0.1699, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.177, 0.1877, 0.1926, 0.161, 0.1655, 0.1627, 0.1724, 0.1742, 0.1562, 0.1493, 0.1045, 0.1241, 0.1586, 0.1699, 0.1699, 0.1229, 0.1293, 0.1029, 0.0911, 0.1229, 0.114, 0.1305, 0.157, 0.1568, 0.1479, 0.1564, 0.1243, 0.1196, 0.1142, 0.1212, 0.0984, 0.0848, 0.1157, 0.1229, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.148, 0.1472, 0.1399, 0.1329, 0.1358, 0.171, 0.2115, 0.2113, 0.2383, 0.2553]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1191682387937234946", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-11-05T11:43:16+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been buying some natural gas stocks for the first time in many years in the Ninepoint Energy Fund. 3 month tactical call", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Tactically long natural gas stocks for 3 months on cold weather demand spike, despite multi-year sub-$3/mcf supply overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors should pay attention: very impactful to energy (mainly natural gas) demand. I’ve been buying some natural gas stocks for the first time in many years in the Ninepoint Energy Fund. 3 month tactical call as multi-year abundance of &lt;$3/mcf supply still exists #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nov 04:\n\nA STAGGERING 1,204 U.S. SITES RECORDED THEIR COLDEST-EVER OCTOBER TEMPS LAST MONTH\n\nThe sun is suffering its deepest solar min of the past 100+ years -- the jet stream is 'buckling' as a result, diverting brutal Arctic air anomalously-far south:\n\nhttps://t.co/z91xSMlD2s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018510359912223273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018510359912223273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01961788626037675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01961788626037675, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0011075263481534758, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011075263481534758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01498458107471401, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01498458107471401, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015212688001448038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015212688001448038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00022810692673402855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00022810692673402855, "ret_p1w": -0.0863817076107748, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0863817076107748, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0927982122781682, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0927982122781682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006416504667393408, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006416504667393408, "ret_p1m": -0.1842221333975561, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1842221333975561, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1986509075288535, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1986509075288535, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014428774131297395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014428774131297395, "ret_p3m": -0.36668137737635753, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36668137737635753, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4197114833373261, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4197114833373261, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05303010596096858, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05303010596096858, "ret_p6m": -0.42706039250695293, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42706039250695293, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3923868280558709, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3923868280558709, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03467356445108205, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03467356445108205, "ret_p1y": -0.45394446665061094, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45394446665061094, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5980480392182337, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5980480392182337, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14410357256762274, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14410357256762274, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1842221333975561, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1986509075288535, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1986509075288535, "price_path": [-0.1877, -0.1873, -0.1917, -0.1763, -0.175, -0.1503, -0.1582, -0.1582, -0.152, -0.167, -0.175, -0.1758, -0.149, -0.16, -0.1472, -0.126, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1049, -0.0696, -0.0683, -0.0489, -0.0093, -0.0128, -0.026, -0.0172, 0.0018, 0.0256, 0.015, 0.0031, -0.0273, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0485, -0.0502, -0.0767, -0.0948, -0.1216, -0.134, -0.1468, -0.1186, -0.1141, -0.1305, -0.1353, -0.1551, -0.1679, -0.1613, -0.1375, -0.1172, -0.1344, -0.1247, -0.1155, -0.1446, -0.1463, -0.1525, -0.1406, -0.1415, -0.1071, -0.0859, -0.0635, -0.0829, -0.0591, -0.0185, 0.0, -0.015, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.082, -0.0864, -0.0718, -0.082, -0.0732, -0.1141, -0.1296, -0.1159, -0.1106, -0.0864, -0.126, -0.1432, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.2142, -0.2085, -0.1767, -0.1842, -0.1838, -0.2054, -0.2375, -0.2345, -0.2411, -0.2102, -0.2208, -0.2054, -0.216, -0.2274, -0.2243, -0.2138, -0.2433, -0.2499, -0.2499, -0.2292, -0.2358, -0.2552, -0.2569, -0.2569, -0.2741, -0.2777, -0.2688, -0.2675, -0.2671, -0.2653, -0.249, -0.2534, -0.2574, -0.2759, -0.2913, -0.3151, -0.3151, -0.3446, -0.3429, -0.3416, -0.3561, -0.3548, -0.3433, -0.3539, -0.3693, -0.3667, -0.3737, -0.3543, -0.3552, -0.3583, -0.3632, -0.39, -0.3817, -0.3645, -0.3689, -0.368, -0.368, -0.3345, -0.3266, -0.3429, -0.3477, -0.3671, -0.3706, -0.379, -0.4063, -0.4227, -0.4015, -0.3861, -0.3746, -0.3984, -0.413, -0.3786, -0.3402, -0.3592, -0.3742, -0.3499, -0.3865, -0.4108, -0.4385, -0.424, -0.4478, -0.4425, -0.4178, -0.4253, -0.4359, -0.4416, -0.435, -0.4469, -0.4707, -0.4822, -0.4504, -0.4165, -0.3693, -0.4028, -0.4213, -0.4213, -0.4222, -0.4513, -0.4694, -0.4372, -0.4182, -0.3715, -0.398, -0.3759, -0.4063, -0.4279, -0.4156, -0.4068, -0.4271]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1585732382585503745", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-27T20:37:16+00:00", "symbol": "S&P 500 Energy Sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With energy now surpassing the psychologically important 5% weighting threshold of the S&P500, I don't believe generalist Fund Managers can ignore the sector any longer. Positive sector funds flow + meaningful share buybacks coming soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish US energy sector: 5% S&P weight forces generalist fund inflows + buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The S&amp;P 500 Energy Sector Index looks like it is about to break the Bloomberg Relative Rotation Graph! https://t.co/DtenxTPTRy\n\n---\n\nWith energy now surpassing the psychologically important 5% weighting threshold of the S&amp;P500, I don't believe generalist Fund Managers can ignore the sector any longer. Positive sector funds flow + meaningful share buybacks coming soon??? https://t.co/LVG59Jiujf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003473219826901852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003473219826901852, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01976481446838796, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01976481446838796, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02323803429528981, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02323803429528981, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00840358127384433, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00840358127384433, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015627194484545637, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015627194484545637, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007223613210701307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007223613210701307, "ret_p1w": 0.024313982074386953, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024313982074386953, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05688317099771423, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05688317099771423, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.032569188923327275, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032569188923327275, "ret_p1m": 0.0011206635267175802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0011206635267175802, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01659026386631446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01659026386631446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01771092739303204, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01771092739303204, "ret_p3m": 0.021732809260123442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.021732809260123442, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012117247269535003, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012117247269535003, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033850056529658445, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033850056529658445, "ret_p6m": -0.013127360374099784, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.013127360374099784, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08275555692221048, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08275555692221048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0696281965481107, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0696281965481107, "ret_p1y": 0.059287786432148826, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.059287786432148826, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.07917251386516932, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07917251386516932, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13846030029731815, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13846030029731815, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0011206635267175802, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01659026386631446, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01659026386631446, "price_path": [-0.1508, -0.1752, -0.2057, -0.19, -0.1858, -0.1715, -0.1655, -0.1368, -0.1303, -0.1472, -0.1492, -0.1421, -0.1191, -0.1193, -0.121, -0.0893, -0.0781, -0.071, -0.0818, -0.068, -0.0996, -0.1078, -0.1297, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.122, -0.1322, -0.1284, -0.1067, -0.0903, -0.1132, -0.0881, -0.1116, -0.1306, -0.1301, -0.1361, -0.1488, -0.1518, -0.2103, -0.2297, -0.2211, -0.1866, -0.1866, -0.1931, -0.1475, -0.1108, -0.0924, -0.0763, -0.0835, -0.1023, -0.1095, -0.1023, -0.0657, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0813, -0.0542, -0.0533, -0.026, -0.0214, -0.0204, -0.0071, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0182, -0.0064, 0.012, 0.0243, 0.0419, 0.0429, -0.0081, 0.014, 0.0435, 0.0431, 0.0541, 0.0326, 0.0348, 0.0267, 0.0128, 0.0445, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.0294, 0.0011, 0.0162, 0.0213, 0.0179, 0.0119, -0.0182, -0.044, -0.0463, -0.0505, -0.0736, -0.0493, -0.0313, -0.0372, -0.043, -0.0548, -0.0549, -0.0406, -0.0224, -0.0449, -0.0145, -0.0145, -0.004, -0.0263, -0.0161, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0446, -0.0447, -0.0273, -0.0088, -0.0123, -0.0053, -0.0023, 0.0168, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0204, 0.0017, 0.0141, 0.0242, 0.0256, 0.0216, 0.0217, 0.054, 0.0327, 0.0091, 0.018, -0.002, -0.0248, -0.0269, -0.0314, 0.0001, -0.0088, -0.0173, 0.0212, 0.0186, 0.0189, 0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0483, -0.0547, -0.0404, -0.0417, -0.0388, -0.0526, -0.034, -0.0255, -0.0122, -0.0118, -0.029, -0.0389, -0.0525, -0.0646, -0.0837, -0.0746, -0.1243, -0.1148, -0.1287, -0.1113, -0.0805, -0.1001, -0.1125, -0.1091, -0.0901, -0.076, -0.0632, -0.0591, -0.0526, -0.0097, -0.0277, -0.013, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0202, -0.011, -0.0103, -0.0041, -0.0023, -0.014, -0.0102, -0.0136, -0.0223, -0.028, -0.0131]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1348680914671456257", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-11T17:19:21+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what is a reasonable FCF yield? 10%? If so many stocks are multi-baggers from current levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Oil inventory normalization may drag WTI to $60 by summer; Canadian energy stocks are multi-baggers at current levels on 10% FCF yield.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Real-time satellite imagery shows the crude oil inventory overhang from COVID is quickly normalizing (and pace increasing)...now down 57% from the high. Could we reach normalized inventory levels (and $60WTI) by Summer??? https://t.co/q5rlbGUNHE\n\n---\n\nWhat upside is there in Canadian energy stocks if/when oil hits $60WTI in 2021? Start here: what is a reasonable FCF yield? 10%? If so many stocks are multi-baggers from current levels. https://t.co/2cMZaFI4qh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00623035796391469, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00623035796391469, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005563301584246005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005563301584246005, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0067866881223392905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0067866881223392905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02024919483208021, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02024919483208021, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020037973783106233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020037973783106233, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0002112210489739752, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0002112210489739752, "ret_p1w": -0.02492214045480201, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02492214045480201, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017026455259345985, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017026455259345985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007895685195456026, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007895685195456026, "ret_p1m": 0.010903215011743628, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010903215011743628, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019622901129188852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019622901129188852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03052611614093248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03052611614093248, "ret_p3m": 0.1927924661030529, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1927924661030529, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11048776052225517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11048776052225517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08230470558079772, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08230470558079772, "ret_p6m": 0.40966614262807544, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40966614262807544, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25893880208027364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25893880208027364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1507273405478018, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1507273405478018, "ret_p1y": 0.6879715561218049, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6879715561218049, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.41029127571028057, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.41029127571028057, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27768028041152437, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27768028041152437, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010903215011743628, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019622901129188852, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019622901129188852, "price_path": [-0.3234, -0.3219, -0.3327, -0.3374, -0.3296, -0.3436, -0.3172, -0.3157, -0.3389, -0.3405, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3591, -0.3467, -0.3327, -0.3343, -0.3327, -0.342, -0.2365, -0.2148, -0.207, -0.252, -0.2412, -0.2024, -0.19, -0.1837, -0.1884, -0.1806, -0.1232, -0.0844, -0.0906, -0.0937, -0.0891, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1263, -0.1201, -0.0705, -0.0782, -0.0674, -0.0689, -0.0332, -0.0317, -0.0534, -0.0441, -0.0674, -0.0658, -0.072, -0.0953, -0.1124, -0.0751, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.086, -0.0701, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0748, -0.0062, 0.0031, 0.0202, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0202, 0.0062, 0.0296, -0.0093, -0.0249, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0218, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0748, -0.081, -0.0748, -0.0935, -0.0592, -0.0561, -0.0234, -0.0156, -0.0062, 0.0171, 0.0109, 0.0296, 0.028, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0779, 0.0872, 0.0732, 0.0748, 0.1293, 0.1386, 0.1636, 0.1293, 0.109, 0.1215, 0.1293, 0.1573, 0.1869, 0.2274, 0.215, 0.2134, 0.2586, 0.271, 0.2741, 0.2601, 0.2181, 0.2368, 0.1729, 0.1978, 0.176, 0.1308, 0.1698, 0.1724, 0.1959, 0.1803, 0.1881, 0.1787, 0.2178, 0.2178, 0.1881, 0.1991, 0.1928, 0.1928, 0.1803, 0.174, 0.1631, 0.2084, 0.2022, 0.1912, 0.1865, 0.1396, 0.149, 0.1349, 0.1458, 0.1474, 0.1568, 0.1928, 0.2037, 0.1912, 0.2272, 0.221, 0.2523, 0.2648, 0.2883, 0.2711, 0.2554, 0.2711, 0.2444, 0.2789, 0.3133, 0.3008, 0.2632, 0.2523, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.246, 0.2664, 0.282, 0.2898, 0.3102, 0.3665, 0.3853, 0.39, 0.4072, 0.4057, 0.4088, 0.4088, 0.4135, 0.4292, 0.4292, 0.4605, 0.4417, 0.3822, 0.3681, 0.4292, 0.4229, 0.4307, 0.4364, 0.4395, 0.3955, 0.4065, 0.4222, 0.4222, 0.4207, 0.4521, 0.4097]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2013660716067098649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T17:11:41+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reason to be bullish natural gas: given the forecast for heavy freezing rain in Texas, if meaningful freeze offs/shut ins do occur, National Bank forecasts a potential 560Bcf draw next week...~50% higher than the prior all-time record!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish natural gas on potential record 560Bcf draw from Texas freeze-offs, ~50% above prior all-time record.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reason to be bullish natural gas: given the forecast for heavy freezing rain in Texas, if meaningful freeze offs/shut ins do occur, National Bank forecasts a potential 560Bcf draw next week...~50% higher than the prior all-time record! Got gas??? https://t.co/JZQmVvrelB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16491511566095918, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16491511566095918, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18569491123028814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18569491123028814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10266778249903541, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10266778249903541, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09112670329694095, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09112670329694095, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.18835892847712388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18835892847712388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1619266469836862, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1619266469836862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.04042037224136985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04042037224136985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05327494537616473, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05327494537616473, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.12368631747178394, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12368631747178394, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1746019560613361, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746019560613361, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04042037224136985, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05327494537616473, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05327494537616473, "price_path": [0.0631, 0.0558, 0.0453, 0.0485, 0.042, -0.0024, -0.0129, 0.0364, 0.0711, 0.1124, 0.1261, 0.1019, 0.1455, 0.1277, 0.1399, 0.177, 0.1843, 0.1973, 0.177, 0.1415, 0.1496, 0.1884, 0.1657, 0.1843, 0.1649, 0.118, 0.152, 0.152, 0.1908, 0.2296, 0.2094, 0.2506, 0.266, 0.3234, 0.2183, 0.1399, 0.1528, 0.0574, 0.0291, 0.0073, -0.0218, 0.0218, -0.0275, -0.0146, -0.042, 0.0428, 0.0016, 0.0356, 0.055, 0.0606, -0.0089, -0.0251, -0.0598, -0.0881, -0.0477, -0.0889, -0.1593, -0.0962, -0.0849, -0.1722, -0.1673, -0.1649, -0.1649, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0857, 0.1293, 0.1989, 0.1884, 0.1746, 0.2175, 0.3662, 0.0267, 0.0493, 0.0881, 0.093, 0.0728, -0.0162, -0.0194, -0.004, 0.0049, 0.0057, 0.0057, -0.038, -0.0404, -0.0461, -0.0291, -0.0509, -0.0736, -0.0622, -0.08, -0.0687, -0.0299, -0.0073, -0.0477, -0.0259, 0.0307, -0.0049, -0.0081, 0.0412, 0.0542, 0.0218, -0.0129, -0.0137, 0.0243, 0.0154, 0.0016, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0412, -0.0428, -0.0073, -0.0558, -0.0517, -0.0768, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0808, -0.0663, -0.1043, -0.1205, -0.1293, -0.1366, -0.1463, -0.1447, -0.1285, -0.1237, -0.1229, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.1496, -0.1665, -0.152, -0.1649, -0.1795, -0.1431, -0.1342, -0.1148, -0.1399, -0.1552, -0.1366, -0.1455, -0.093, -0.118, -0.1124, -0.0978, -0.0841, -0.0671, -0.038, -0.0711, -0.0841, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.118, -0.0962, -0.0388, -0.0356, -0.0671, -0.0728, -0.0534, -0.0202, -0.0566, -0.0808, -0.0792, -0.0671, -0.0978, -0.0825, -0.076, -0.0493, -0.0647, -0.0647, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1889693327181660461", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-12T15:09:32+00:00", "symbol": "oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "because of equity mispricing take the free cashflow and buy back their stock trading at a ~16% FCF yield", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on oil E&P equities: $11 find cost vs $70+ oil = ~$25 net margin, stocks trading at ~16% FCF yield with buyback catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why do I like the oil business? Companies can find and develop a barrel of oil for $11, sell it for over $70, and net a profit of ~$25. Then because of equity mispricing take the free cashflow and buy back their stock trading at a ~16% FCF yield. https://t.co/1BDKg4FIWV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0333111379559492, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0333111379559492, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030079336479343022, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030079336479343022, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0032318014766061776, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032318014766061776, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005860885468471411, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005860885468471411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00469657899130782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00469657899130782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010557464459779231, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010557464459779231, "ret_p1w": 0.03820745142074711, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03820745142074711, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02234626525282879, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02234626525282879, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015861186167918317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015861186167918317, "ret_p1m": -0.09006593437855648, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09006593437855648, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003981132917652119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003981132917652119, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08608480146090436, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08608480146090436, "ret_p3m": -0.04969154799174191, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04969154799174191, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025237367970414093, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025237367970414093, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02445418002132782, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02445418002132782, "ret_p6m": -0.0770684053291758, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0770684053291758, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13942931476556197, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13942931476556197, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06236090943638617, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06236090943638617, "ret_p1y": 0.09445693476902561, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09445693476902561, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05617943486630561, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05617943486630561, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15063636963533122, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15063636963533122, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09006593437855648, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003981132917652119, "alpha_c_stated": -0.003981132917652119, "price_path": [0.0482, 0.0383, 0.0588, 0.0521, 0.0693, 0.0829, 0.0959, 0.0765, 0.0688, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.0724, 0.0602, 0.061, 0.0277, 0.0245, 0.0012, 0.0107, 0.0046, 0.0191, 0.0105, 0.0022, -0.024, -0.0304, -0.0632, -0.0749, -0.0693, -0.0592, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0464, -0.0309, -0.018, 0.0002, 0.0058, 0.0033, 0.0146, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0335, 0.0528, 0.0601, 0.0803, 0.0823, 0.0791, 0.0791, 0.0666, 0.0569, 0.0587, 0.0441, 0.024, 0.0188, 0.0248, 0.0196, -0.0047, -0.0065, 0.0176, 0.0161, -0.0065, -0.0114, 0.0245, 0.0333, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0256, 0.0382, 0.0364, 0.0039, 0.0002, -0.0234, -0.0318, -0.0387, -0.0288, -0.0758, -0.081, -0.0955, -0.106, -0.0907, -0.0909, -0.0863, -0.0768, -0.0901, -0.0583, -0.0392, -0.0335, -0.0106, -0.0116, -0.0254, -0.0113, -0.011, -0.0064, -0.0163, -0.0248, -0.0172, -0.0116, -0.0019, -0.1086, -0.2037, -0.2071, -0.2395, -0.1513, -0.221, -0.1973, -0.1979, -0.2019, -0.1874, -0.1648, -0.19, -0.1701, -0.1673, -0.1585, -0.1539, -0.1441, -0.15, -0.1739, -0.159, -0.1422, -0.1571, -0.1557, -0.1546, -0.1269, -0.1132, -0.0801, -0.0497, -0.0543, -0.063, -0.0639, -0.0735, -0.0783, -0.0986, -0.0991, -0.0983, -0.0983, -0.084, -0.0998, -0.0957, -0.1079, -0.0962, -0.0774, -0.1, -0.1022, -0.0804, -0.0727, -0.059, -0.0411, -0.0349, -0.0092, -0.0068, 0.0061, -0.0011, -0.0011, 0.004, -0.0323, -0.0392, -0.0534, -0.0411, -0.0455, -0.056, -0.0479, -0.0299, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0413, -0.0109, -0.0191, -0.0073, -0.0014, -0.0119, -0.0332, -0.0489, -0.0303, -0.0289, -0.0532, -0.0427, -0.036, -0.0335, -0.0393, -0.0175, -0.0111, -0.0267, -0.0383, -0.0717, -0.0688, -0.0617, -0.0717, -0.0804, -0.0771]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955288071991160989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-12T15:19:38+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Natural gas has gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of choice to satisfy much of this growth going forward (affordable, available, reliable)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish US natural gas as the dominant fuel to meet 31% electricity demand growth over the next 15 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After decades of flattish growth in demand, US electricity demand is forecast to grow by 31% over the next 15 years. Natural gas has gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of choice to satisfy much of this growth going forward (affordable, available, reliable). https://t.co/MLxTcJpKSA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06433224584947794, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06433224584947794, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07486611970464574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07486611970464574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010533873855167797, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010533873855167797, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009771977863882952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009771977863882952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006348830407079786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006348830407079786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003423147456803166, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003423147456803166, "ret_p1w": -0.009771977863882841, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009771977863882841, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005290817146621274, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005290817146621274, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0044811607172615675, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044811607172615675, "ret_p1m": 0.048859966980191016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.048859966980191016, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034047206690923426, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034047206690923426, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01481276028926759, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01481276028926759, "ret_p3m": 0.13599349451206244, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13599349451206244, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0890966042109993, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0890966042109993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04689689030106314, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04689689030106314, "ret_p6m": 0.08061895328339275, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08061895328339275, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.00012143188821678308, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00012143188821678308, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08074038517160953, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08074038517160953, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3681, 0.3607, 0.2744, 0.3836, 0.3779, 0.3559, 0.3705, 0.3705, 0.3901, 0.3151, 0.3021, 0.2793, 0.3738, 0.3811, 0.377, 0.3599, 0.399, 0.3485, 0.3078, 0.2989, 0.3086, 0.3322, 0.3827, 0.4316, 0.4723, 0.4723, 0.4381, 0.3713, 0.3233, 0.2907, 0.2752, 0.3469, 0.2443, 0.2305, 0.2557, 0.2419, 0.2419, 0.2305, 0.2077, 0.1564, 0.2011, 0.215, 0.2451, 0.2655, 0.2866, 0.2785, 0.2907, 0.1954, 0.1783, 0.1164, 0.1287, 0.1262, 0.1132, 0.1327, 0.0871, 0.1067, 0.1091, 0.0554, 0.0741, 0.1026, 0.1018, 0.0749, 0.0643, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0187, 0.0448, 0.0358, -0.0098, -0.0122, 0.0098, -0.0301, -0.0269, -0.0252, -0.0073, 0.0236, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0407, 0.0635, 0.0668, 0.0537, 0.0717, 0.0798, 0.0489, 0.0114, 0.0187, 0.0513, 0.0765, 0.0668, 0.0318, 0.0236, -0.0106, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0252, 0.0155, 0.044, 0.0643, 0.1091, 0.0953, 0.0627, 0.0831, 0.1221, 0.0668, 0.0375, 0.0041, -0.0081, -0.0269, -0.0326, -0.057, -0.0334, 0.0529, 0.0708, 0.0635, 0.0529, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0049, -0.0057, 0.044, 0.079, 0.1205, 0.1344, 0.1099, 0.1539, 0.136, 0.1482, 0.1857, 0.193, 0.206, 0.1857, 0.1498, 0.158, 0.1971, 0.1743, 0.193, 0.1735, 0.1262, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.1995, 0.2386, 0.2182, 0.2598, 0.2752, 0.3331, 0.2272, 0.1482, 0.1612, 0.0651, 0.0366, 0.0147, -0.0147, 0.0293, -0.0204, -0.0073, -0.035, 0.0505, 0.009, 0.0432, 0.0627, 0.0684, -0.0016, -0.0179, -0.0529, -0.0814, -0.0407, -0.0822, -0.1531, -0.0896, -0.0782, -0.1661, -0.1612, -0.1588, -0.1588, 0.0073, 0.1107, 0.0936, 0.1376, 0.2077, 0.1971, 0.1832, 0.2264, 0.3762, 0.0342, 0.057, 0.0961, 0.101, 0.0806]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1809218861696524367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-05T13:32:44+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks (in particular select Canadian oil/liquids rich gas companies with decades of stay-flat inventory and 75% or more of their record free cashflow going to shareholder returns) remain profoundly undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian oil/liquids-rich gas companies with strong FCF returns are profoundly undervalued at current oil prices above $100 CAD/bbl.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With oil trading firmly &gt; $100CDN/bbl, we believe that energy stocks (in particular select Canadian oil/liquids rich gas companies with decades of stay-flat inventory and 75% or more of their record free cashflow going to shareholder returns) remain profoundly undervalued. https://t.co/706g1w1lIA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023652374643420293, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023652374643420293, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02938578343792808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02938578343792808, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005733408794507788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005733408794507788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011001000507575576, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011001000507575576, "alpha_spy_p1d": -5.384018322818207e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": -5.384018322818207e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011539402339857396, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011539402339857396, "ret_p1w": 0.008800800406060016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008800800406060016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008448815147528155, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008448815147528155, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009645681920812832, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009645681920812832, "ret_p1m": -0.04950494938835581, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04950494938835581, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017673866740874677, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017673866740874677, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06717881612923049, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06717881612923049, "ret_p3m": -0.02979379886500344, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02979379886500344, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05857803462566746, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05857803462566746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028784235760664023, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028784235760664023, "ret_p6m": -0.056693044700702244, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.056693044700702244, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12407012057120526, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12407012057120526, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06737707587050301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06737707587050301, "ret_p1y": -0.021799798110067936, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.021799798110067936, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1387241687323002, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1387241687323002, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11692437062223227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11692437062223227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04950494938835581, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.017673866740874677, "alpha_c_stated": 0.017673866740874677, "price_path": [0.0572, 0.0773, 0.0561, 0.0452, 0.0272, 0.0338, 0.0321, 0.0272, 0.0332, 0.037, 0.0414, 0.0441, 0.0517, 0.0539, 0.0604, 0.0294, 0.012, 0.0141, 0.0131, 0.031, 0.0354, 0.0403, 0.049, 0.0359, 0.0343, 0.0245, 0.0261, 0.0267, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.0463, 0.0338, 0.0283, 0.0354, 0.0387, 0.0534, 0.0338, 0.0381, 0.0517, 0.0049, -0.0131, -0.0098, -0.0011, -0.0082, 0.0049, 0.0016, -0.0055, -0.0365, -0.0414, -0.0403, -0.0245, -0.0262, -0.0218, -0.0343, -0.0017, -0.0072, -0.0105, 0.0022, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0154, 0.022, 0.0237, 0.0, 0.0011, -0.0149, -0.0022, 0.011, 0.0088, 0.0259, 0.0132, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0017, 0.0094, -0.0044, -0.0105, -0.0039, 0.0005, -0.0094, -0.0061, 0.0248, -0.0061, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0528, -0.0407, -0.0215, -0.0171, 0.0132, 0.0165, 0.0259, 0.0435, 0.0319, 0.027, 0.0039, 0.0022, 0.0044, 0.0154, 0.0303, 0.0099, 0.0055, 0.0149, 0.0011, 0.0011, -0.0286, -0.044, -0.0578, -0.0721, -0.0737, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.0869, -0.0847, -0.0765, -0.0622, -0.0666, -0.0501, -0.0572, -0.0517, -0.0426, -0.0592, -0.088, -0.0681, -0.0631, -0.0315, -0.0298, -0.0021, 0.0113, 0.029, 0.0057, 0.0096, 0.0318, 0.034, 0.034, -0.0159, -0.0198, -0.0087, -0.0132, -0.0093, -0.0087, -0.0193, -0.0143, -0.0009, -0.0176, -0.0248, -0.0215, -0.0331, -0.042, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0109, -0.0054, -0.0159, -0.017, -0.0281, -0.0198, 0.0024, -0.0087, 0.0013, -0.0021, 0.0079, 0.0268, 0.0318, 0.0135, -0.0093, -0.0087, -0.0026, -0.0021, -0.0087, -0.0015, -0.0231, -0.0148, -0.0342, -0.0298, -0.037, -0.0242, -0.0409, -0.0414, -0.0586, -0.0653, -0.0819, -0.0891, -0.0886, -0.0697, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0567]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989358768069734666", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:44:25+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy stocks year-to-date are now outperforming the NASDAQ, the S&P 500, and the DJIA. We are winning, yet no one wants to believe and sentiment seemingly remains very low???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: outperforming major US indices YTD yet sentiment remains low, implying more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy stocks year-to-date are now outperforming the NASDAQ, the S&amp;P 500, and the DJIA. We are winning, yet no one wants to believe and sentiment seemingly remains very low??? https://t.co/YBlg5Jfdls", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02147239020757108, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02147239020757108, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021636003071945353, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021636003071945353, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016361286437427403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016361286437427403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003578665673610759, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003578665673610759, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0057378582573514025, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0057378582573514025, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316523930962162, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316523930962162, "ret_p1w": 0.0056236740822321885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0056236740822321885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024822104421885594, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024822104421885594, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198430339653405, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198430339653405, "ret_p1m": -0.013803608675240997, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013803608675240997, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026900128754769104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026900128754769104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096520079528107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096520079528107, "ret_p3m": 0.1750152028666565, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1750152028666565, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15740256577807754, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15740256577807754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017612637088578964, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017612637088578964, "ret_p6m": 0.41291342388365404, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41291342388365404, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30188003370451844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.30188003370451844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1110333901791356, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1110333901791356, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013803608675240997, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026900128754769104, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026900128754769104, "price_path": [-0.1434, -0.1373, -0.1231, -0.1034, -0.0989, -0.1064, -0.0933, -0.0893, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.0842, -0.0994, -0.0953, -0.1105, -0.11, -0.0968, -0.0791, -0.0832, -0.0827, -0.0741, -0.0503, -0.0544, -0.0554, -0.0736, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0394, -0.0363, -0.0343, -0.0475, -0.0613, -0.0629, -0.069, -0.0593, -0.047, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.045, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.0782, -0.0808, -0.0982, -0.0997, -0.0946, -0.1002, -0.0879, -0.0695, -0.068, -0.0634, -0.0741, -0.0644, -0.0675, -0.0634, -0.0603, -0.0711, -0.0516, -0.0481, -0.0435, -0.0297, -0.0143, -0.0133, -0.0215, 0.0, -0.0036, 0.0148, 0.0184, 0.0138, 0.0056, 0.0066, 0.0015, 0.0026, 0.0061, 0.0158, 0.0179, 0.002, 0.0245, 0.0271, 0.021, 0.0123, 0.0, 0.0026, -0.0051, -0.001, -0.0138, -0.0501, -0.0363, -0.0501, -0.0409, -0.0348, -0.0271, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.0194, -0.0066, -0.0082, 0.0089, -0.0257, -0.0335, -0.0479, -0.0309, -0.0123, -0.0077, 0.0192, 0.045, 0.0347, 0.045, 0.0507, 0.0383, 0.0739, 0.0599, 0.0723, 0.0775, 0.0888, 0.1002, 0.1131, 0.1033, 0.0909, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1152, 0.1358, 0.1399, 0.1394, 0.1735, 0.1544, 0.175, 0.175, 0.1673, 0.1931, 0.2194, 0.2055, 0.2055, 0.2029, 0.1946, 0.2044, 0.2184, 0.2395, 0.2344, 0.2406, 0.2514, 0.2462, 0.2519, 0.2462, 0.2782, 0.3051, 0.3082, 0.3159, 0.3293, 0.3396, 0.3752, 0.3685, 0.352, 0.3752, 0.3871, 0.3849, 0.4238, 0.4165, 0.4077, 0.3553, 0.3833, 0.3833, 0.3927, 0.4088, 0.3459, 0.3236, 0.3444, 0.3553, 0.322, 0.3153, 0.3288, 0.2654, 0.2748, 0.2971, 0.3153, 0.3392, 0.3205, 0.3516, 0.3797, 0.416, 0.428, 0.4134, 0.4321, 0.4503, 0.3792, 0.3615, 0.3625, 0.3849, 0.4181, 0.4129]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1894129351236501640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-24T20:56:43+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a 10% tariff on Canadian oil would only lower cashflow by about 7%, and given poor stock performance we believe is MORE than priced into stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oil equities; tariff impact (~7% cashflow hit) already more than priced in after poor stock performance.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tariff headlines are grinding sentiment lower and lower, and it feels like all of Canada is for sale. Just a reminder, a 10% tariff on Canadian oil would only lower cashflow by about 7%, and given poor stock performance we believe is MORE than priced into stocks. https://t.co/sV6i7vugXF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008741236798542884, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008741236798542884, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004169851596248497, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004169851596248497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004571385202294387, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004571385202294387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01631718454450415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01631718454450415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011344027564961112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011344027564961112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004973156979543036, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004973156979543036, "ret_p1w": -0.06759902574536891, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06759902574536891, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04509441470140407, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04509441470140407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02250461104396484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02250461104396484, "ret_p1m": 0.03379965814159003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03379965814159003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06732038474403468, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06732038474403468, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03352072660244465, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03352072660244465, "ret_p3m": -0.029436826155654794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029436826155654794, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00204615188515056, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00204615188515056, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.027390674270504234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.027390674270504234, "ret_p6m": 0.012301254704969233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.012301254704969233, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06256629798856572, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06256629798856572, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07486755269353496, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07486755269353496, "ret_p1y": 0.3787611281792391, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3787611281792391, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22379739080381555, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22379739080381555, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15496373737542357, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15496373737542357, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03379965814159003, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06732038474403468, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06732038474403468, "price_path": [0.0301, 0.0307, 0.037, 0.0376, 0.0307, 0.0382, 0.0157, 0.0243, 0.0041, 0.0087, 0.0012, 0.0145, -0.0028, -0.0034, -0.0213, -0.0282, -0.0455, -0.053, -0.0524, -0.0328, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0192, -0.0029, 0.0128, 0.0192, 0.0286, 0.046, 0.0466, 0.0478, 0.0583, 0.039, 0.0408, 0.0437, 0.0251, 0.0344, 0.0524, 0.0437, 0.0414, 0.0402, 0.0286, 0.0169, 0.007, 0.0192, 0.0245, 0.0, -0.0041, 0.0064, 0.0111, -0.0012, 0.0029, 0.0245, 0.0385, 0.0152, 0.0186, 0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0186, 0.0268, 0.0297, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0216, -0.021, -0.0186, -0.0676, -0.0781, -0.0851, -0.0793, -0.0589, -0.0606, -0.053, -0.0379, -0.0449, -0.0262, -0.0122, -0.0087, 0.0076, 0.014, 0.0146, 0.0297, 0.0338, 0.0398, 0.0322, 0.0216, 0.0351, 0.0422, 0.0498, -0.0242, -0.1087, -0.1263, -0.1674, -0.097, -0.1563, -0.1322, -0.1263, -0.1234, -0.1064, -0.087, -0.0958, -0.077, -0.0829, -0.0735, -0.0746, -0.0705, -0.0782, -0.0993, -0.0917, -0.0835, -0.1075, -0.0975, -0.0958, -0.07, -0.0517, -0.0236, -0.0065, -0.0136, -0.0259, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0288, -0.0312, -0.0335, -0.0294, -0.0242, -0.0236, -0.03, -0.0294, -0.0459, -0.0277, -0.0142, -0.0277, -0.0242, -0.0106, -0.006, 0.0064, 0.0287, 0.0346, 0.0669, 0.0586, 0.0768, 0.0657, 0.0739, 0.0698, 0.034, 0.0187, 0.0135, 0.017, 0.0123, 0.007, 0.007, 0.0218, 0.0176, 0.0159, 0.0087, 0.0301, 0.0295, 0.0254, 0.0378, 0.0354, 0.0265, 0.0147, 0.0194, 0.0206, 0.0105, 0.017, 0.0277, 0.0372, 0.0325, 0.0527, 0.0627, 0.0598, 0.0473, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0337, 0.0295, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0129, 0.0176, 0.0165, 0.0188, 0.0159, 0.0129, 0.0052, 0.0123]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1882179416081723572", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-22T21:31:56+00:00", "symbol": "US natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is why we prefer the US for gas exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish Canadian natural gas producers on self-inflicted oversupply; prefer US gas exposure instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is why CDN natural gas producers can't have nice things: self-inflicted oversupply that floods one of the already weakest gas hubs in North America with unnecessary growth, \"chasing the dream\" of LNG/AI demand growth. Brutal. This is why we prefer the US for gas exposure! https://t.co/NUgOA2VXJ8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002644591911122207, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002644591911122207, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0080729851036907, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0080729851036907, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054283931925684925, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054283931925684925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013222364211736393, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013222364211736393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010302984406293292, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010302984406293292, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002919379805443101, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002919379805443101, "ret_p1w": -0.032489552459172066, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032489552459172066, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02476489461651743, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02476489461651743, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007724657842654636, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007724657842654636, "ret_p1m": -0.05326787229754815, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05326787229754815, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03717939644473289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03717939644473289, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016088475852815254, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016088475852815254, "ret_p3m": -0.19651274348448222, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19651274348448222, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07725169144146982, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07725169144146982, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1192610520430124, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1192610520430124, "ret_p6m": -0.1302095193699595, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1302095193699595, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16756230765287605, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16756230765287605, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03735278828291655, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03735278828291655, "ret_p1y": -0.0826425111842789, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0826425111842789, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23125923311314922, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.23125923311314922, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14861672192887032, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14861672192887032, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05326787229754815, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03717939644473289, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03717939644473289, "price_path": [-0.0909, -0.1064, -0.1135, -0.1033, -0.1154, -0.127, -0.1097, -0.1015, -0.0579, -0.0635, -0.0609, -0.0462, -0.0564, -0.0533, -0.0443, -0.0541, -0.0342, -0.0409, -0.024, -0.0101, -0.0045, -0.0206, -0.0263, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0184, -0.0361, -0.0297, -0.0537, -0.0533, -0.0778, -0.0718, -0.0774, -0.0575, -0.0612, -0.0684, -0.0903, -0.0975, -0.1258, -0.1318, -0.1228, -0.1122, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.1043, -0.1009, -0.0797, -0.0695, -0.0514, -0.0487, -0.0472, -0.0348, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0193, -0.0034, 0.0064, 0.0189, 0.0234, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.0091, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0132, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0329, -0.0325, -0.0604, -0.0616, -0.0465, -0.045, -0.0642, -0.0672, -0.0321, -0.028, -0.057, -0.051, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0351, -0.0193, -0.0204, -0.0533, -0.057, -0.0797, -0.082, -0.0892, -0.0812, -0.1262, -0.1288, -0.139, -0.1549, -0.1428, -0.1356, -0.122, -0.1126, -0.1262, -0.0986, -0.0831, -0.0759, -0.0555, -0.0567, -0.0657, -0.0502, -0.0487, -0.0465, -0.0569, -0.0626, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0402, -0.128, -0.2266, -0.2327, -0.2631, -0.184, -0.2471, -0.2216, -0.2205, -0.2209, -0.2064, -0.1874, -0.2148, -0.1961, -0.1965, -0.1874, -0.1832, -0.1748, -0.1824, -0.2072, -0.1942, -0.1802, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.195, -0.1714, -0.1585, -0.1334, -0.1063, -0.1124, -0.1231, -0.125, -0.1368, -0.1387, -0.1528, -0.1562, -0.1535, -0.1535, -0.141, -0.1512, -0.1505, -0.1623, -0.1448, -0.1269, -0.1436, -0.1463, -0.1246, -0.1189, -0.1075, -0.0919, -0.0831, -0.0561, -0.0626, -0.0538, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0516, -0.0866, -0.0957, -0.1121, -0.1011, -0.1042, -0.1149, -0.1114, -0.0984, -0.1026, -0.1026, -0.1134, -0.0827, -0.095, -0.09, -0.0827, -0.0865, -0.1103, -0.1195, -0.103, -0.1007, -0.1302]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1811450698321834309", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-11T17:21:16+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe significant share repurchases, will in time inevitably force a re-rating in valuations. Patience has and will we believe be rewarded.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long energy sector: record FCF, accelerating buybacks post-1H capex, and buyback-driven re-rating will reward patient holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PSA: Energy stocks are now outperforming tech year-to-date. It's time for the chronic pessimism and morosity to end. Companies are generating record free cashflow and with 1H heavy spend over are buying back their stock hand over fist, and the proof is in the filings. We believe significant share repurchases, will in time inevitably force a re-rating in valuations. Patience has and will we believe be rewarded.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010300110092792525, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010300110092792525, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018997607647237236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018997607647237236, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00869749755444471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00869749755444471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002547414964041206, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002547414964041206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0037600177880889873, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0037600177880889873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006307432752130193, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006307432752130193, "ret_p1w": 0.034333849244363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034333849244363, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04119831424870535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04119831424870535, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006864465004342346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006864465004342346, "ret_p1m": -0.009746339772093604, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009746339772093604, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03246537167982433, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03246537167982433, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04221171145191793, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04221171145191793, "ret_p3m": 0.01696840908765962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01696840908765962, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016183073112001845, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.016183073112001845, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033151482199661464, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033151482199661464, "ret_p6m": -0.019542096195364622, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.019542096195364622, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09630335792829048, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09630335792829048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07676126173292586, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07676126173292586, "ret_p1y": -0.0054588867759969295, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0054588867759969295, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13430064829250432, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13430064829250432, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1288417615165074, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1288417615165074, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01696840908765962, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016183073112001845, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016183073112001845, "price_path": [0.0463, 0.0372, 0.0342, 0.031, 0.0435, 0.0503, 0.0561, 0.0569, 0.0617, 0.0519, 0.0591, 0.0275, 0.0112, 0.017, 0.0171, 0.0251, 0.0241, 0.0229, 0.0366, 0.0309, 0.0282, 0.0295, 0.0318, 0.029, 0.0433, 0.0365, 0.0315, 0.0117, 0.0025, 0.0039, 0.0039, 0.0142, -0.0037, -0.0008, 0.024, -0.0028, -0.0124, -0.0125, -0.0073, -0.0113, -0.0038, -0.0058, -0.0164, -0.0254, -0.0327, -0.0302, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.0082, -0.0139, 0.011, 0.0133, 0.0033, 0.0056, 0.0095, 0.0101, 0.0093, 0.0137, 0.0137, -0.0021, -0.0082, -0.0169, -0.0103, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0177, 0.0223, 0.0325, 0.0343, 0.023, 0.0166, 0.0004, 0.0006, 0.0178, 0.021, 0.0123, 0.028, 0.0323, 0.005, -0.0209, -0.0425, -0.0367, -0.0328, -0.012, -0.0097, -0.0049, -0.0145, -0.0087, 0.0031, 0.002, 0.0087, -0.0178, -0.0162, -0.0136, 0.0011, 0.0101, 0.0007, -0.0058, 0.0072, 0.011, 0.011, -0.0142, -0.0278, -0.0353, -0.0474, -0.0405, -0.057, -0.0658, -0.0574, -0.0521, -0.0412, -0.0282, -0.0264, -0.0147, -0.0169, -0.0048, -0.0073, -0.0267, -0.0458, -0.0264, -0.0195, 0.0028, 0.0131, 0.0309, 0.0405, 0.0442, 0.017, 0.0231, 0.03, 0.0364, 0.036, 0.0026, 0.0074, 0.0122, 0.0088, 0.0058, 0.0081, 0.0029, 0.0028, 0.0025, -0.0039, -0.0191, -0.0169, -0.0107, -0.017, 0.0002, 0.0069, 0.0448, 0.04, 0.0469, 0.0528, 0.0472, 0.0554, 0.0594, 0.0578, 0.0719, 0.0651, 0.0758, 0.0845, 0.0862, 0.0648, 0.0633, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0668, 0.0555, 0.0554, 0.0299, 0.0339, 0.0164, 0.0147, 0.0078, 0.0095, 0.0013, -0.0037, -0.0256, -0.0328, -0.0614, -0.0696, -0.0604, -0.0549, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0477, -0.0478, -0.0479, -0.0354, -0.0242, -0.015, -0.0195]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1746909374570733992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-15T14:57:05+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TMX linefill in ~April in my opinion will act as a turning point for sentiment towards Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks: TMX linefill ~April catalyzes sentiment shift via lower WCS discount and reduced volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TMX linefill in ~April in my opinion will act as a turning point for sentiment towards Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks, by not just lowering the WCS discount to ~$10-12/bbl (from $20+) but as importantly greatly reduce WCS volatility, a major reason why foreign investors have avoided the patch. Next up: Federal election in 2025 (or sooner).\nhttps://t.co/zuhdNl2huC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020901454798516683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020901454798516683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024586196516001912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04530990472440033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0036847417174852293, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024408449925883646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02701151505717206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02701151505717206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021452776347008623, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01871028937257005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005558738710163436, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00830122568460201, "ret_p1w": -0.04513837413632524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04513837413632524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06604674801031271, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04427114254841277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020908373873987474, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008672315879124648, "ret_p1m": -0.026539263491078963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026539263491078963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07631503486172911, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05862977821034657, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049775771370650146, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032090514719267604, "ret_p3m": 0.2569095982394994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2569095982394994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17793531233317422, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05622975043828743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07897428590632516, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20067984780121195, "ret_p6m": 0.1560039778314104, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1560039778314104, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0333933838755609, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.030919459068244892, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1893973617069713, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1250845187631655, "ret_p1y": 0.06550065938212146, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06550065938212146, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19688136820563917, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.054197921515337866, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26238202758776064, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11969858089745933, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.026539263491078963, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07631503486172911, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05862977821034657, "price_path": [0.1798, 0.1954, 0.1752, 0.1477, 0.1294, 0.1451, 0.1417, 0.1376, 0.127, 0.1299, 0.1422, 0.1688, 0.1436, 0.1254, 0.0729, 0.0392, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0853, 0.0887, 0.0674, 0.0415, 0.0767, 0.0826, 0.0682, 0.0421, 0.0512, 0.0507, 0.0323, 0.0395, 0.049, 0.0515, 0.0445, 0.0088, -0.017, -0.0658, -0.055, -0.0357, -0.0492, -0.0676, -0.0403, -0.0112, -0.0394, -0.0292, -0.0057, -0.0124, -0.0018, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0045, 0.0015, -0.014, -0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0061, 0.0248, 0.0037, 0.0143, -0.0127, -0.0152, -0.0214, -0.0207, -0.0209, 0.0, -0.027, -0.0393, -0.0471, -0.0536, -0.0451, -0.0377, -0.0245, -0.0054, -0.0035, -0.0149, 0.0052, -0.0133, -0.0289, -0.0532, -0.0584, -0.0508, -0.0506, -0.0321, -0.0296, -0.0145, -0.0265, -0.0282, 0.0228, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0252, 0.0505, 0.0611, 0.0581, 0.0656, 0.0694, 0.0695, 0.0679, 0.0888, 0.0742, 0.0776, 0.0975, 0.0971, 0.0892, 0.0905, 0.0884, 0.1121, 0.1338, 0.1332, 0.1434, 0.1547, 0.1561, 0.1625, 0.1657, 0.1969, 0.1705, 0.1764, 0.1894, 0.1894, 0.2059, 0.222, 0.2371, 0.2496, 0.2593, 0.2577, 0.2526, 0.2928, 0.2569, 0.251, 0.2173, 0.2233, 0.2159, 0.2091, 0.2093, 0.213, 0.2264, 0.2259, 0.2351, 0.2431, 0.2438, 0.1955, 0.1654, 0.1746, 0.1675, 0.1948, 0.1959, 0.2044, 0.2143, 0.1758, 0.171, 0.1608, 0.1611, 0.1586, 0.1751, 0.1751, 0.1795, 0.162, 0.1562, 0.1754, 0.1851, 0.2195, 0.1979, 0.2013, 0.2059, 0.1425, 0.1254, 0.1271, 0.134, 0.1212, 0.147, 0.1414, 0.1362, 0.0993, 0.0925, 0.1013, 0.1217, 0.1171, 0.1233, 0.1115, 0.1574, 0.1501, 0.15, 0.1689, 0.1673, 0.1673, 0.1961, 0.2025, 0.2056, 0.1742, 0.1729, 0.156]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2055287679923683575", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T14:02:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil stocks represent the biggest opportunity since the COVID lows of April 2020, why we are soon approaching the tipping point for oil, and why we see meaningful upside ahead", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil stocks: biggest opportunity since COVID lows, tipping point approaching, meaningful upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me at 12ET today on @marketcall. I'll explain why oil stocks represent the biggest opportunity since the COVID lows of April 2020, why we are soon approaching the tipping point for oil, and why we see meaningful upside ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023048434783596417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023048434783596417, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03522425388892114, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03522425388892114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019179058389706016, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019179058389706016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01988249401089648, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01988249401089648, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "ret_p1w": 0.0008412357488740696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0008412357488740696, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00791186825679513, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00791186825679513, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "ret_p1m": -0.06544413660030757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06544413660030757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0866301080842049, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0866301080842049, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021185971483897337, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021185971483897337, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06544413660030757, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0866301080842049, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0866301080842049, "price_path": [-0.1016, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.0827, -0.0782, -0.079, -0.0829, -0.0799, -0.0653, -0.0466, -0.0553, -0.0608, -0.056, -0.0545, -0.0586, -0.0707, -0.0476, -0.0388, -0.0356, -0.0322, -0.022, -0.0234, -0.0078, -0.0087, 0.0032, 0.0236, 0.019, 0.035, 0.0525, 0.0424, 0.0306, -0.0079, -0.0032, -0.0032, 0.004, 0.0121, -0.0234, -0.0355, -0.0421, -0.0392, -0.0587, -0.0619, -0.0481, -0.0744, -0.0735, -0.0601, -0.0488, -0.0414, -0.0432, -0.0449, -0.0291, -0.0069, 0.0035, -0.0099, -0.0008, 0.0002, -0.041, -0.0587, -0.0629, -0.0382, -0.0315, -0.0305, -0.023, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0311, 0.0061, -0.0052, 0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0267, -0.0412, -0.0419, -0.053, -0.036, -0.0249, -0.0123, -0.0116, -0.0298, -0.0187, -0.0345, -0.02, -0.039, -0.0318, -0.0654, -0.0686, -0.0802, -0.0802, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2013978603634016387", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T14:14:51+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on US natural gas stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Remains bullish US natural gas and US nat-gas equities; LNG demand growth drives thesis as 2026 strip approaches $4/mcf marginal cost.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We always just hope for normal Winter weather as our bullish natural gas thesis revolves around the meaningful increase in LNG demand. With the US 2026 strip again approaching $4/mcf, our estimate for the marginal cost of production, we remain bullish on US natural gas stocks: https://t.co/ILV11yvsRZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0931085356156447, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0931085356156447, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08169913323013, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08169913323013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015395896837332224, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015395896837332224, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02061912685705991, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02061912685705991, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "ret_p1w": 0.06524922047264625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06524922047264625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05063006979601048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05063006979601048, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "ret_p1m": -0.13489736849520195, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13489736849520195, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13355501757825916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13355501757825916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "ret_p3m": -0.2045454466002875, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2045454466002875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24139326054525345, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24139326054525345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2045454466002875, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24139326054525345, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24139326054525345, "price_path": [-0.0425, -0.0521, -0.0491, -0.055, -0.0953, -0.1048, -0.0601, -0.0286, 0.0088, 0.0213, -0.0007, 0.0389, 0.0227, 0.0337, 0.0674, 0.074, 0.0858, 0.0674, 0.0352, 0.0425, 0.0777, 0.0572, 0.074, 0.0565, 0.0139, 0.0447, 0.0447, 0.0799, 0.1151, 0.0968, 0.1342, 0.1481, 0.2001, 0.1048, 0.0337, 0.0455, -0.0411, -0.0667, -0.0865, -0.1129, -0.0733, -0.118, -0.1063, -0.1312, -0.0543, -0.0916, -0.0609, -0.0433, -0.0381, -0.1012, -0.1158, -0.1474, -0.173, -0.1364, -0.1738, -0.2375, -0.1804, -0.1701, -0.2493, -0.2449, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.0931, 0.0, -0.0154, 0.0242, 0.0872, 0.0777, 0.0652, 0.1041, 0.239, -0.0689, -0.0484, -0.0132, -0.0088, -0.0271, -0.1078, -0.1107, -0.0968, -0.0887, -0.088, -0.088, -0.1276, -0.1298, -0.1349, -0.1195, -0.1393, -0.1598, -0.1496, -0.1657, -0.1554, -0.1202, -0.0997, -0.1364, -0.1166, -0.0652, -0.0975, -0.1004, -0.0557, -0.044, -0.0733, -0.1048, -0.1056, -0.0711, -0.0792, -0.0916, -0.14, -0.14, -0.1305, -0.132, -0.0997, -0.1437, -0.14, -0.1628, -0.1679, -0.1679, -0.1664, -0.1532, -0.1877, -0.2023, -0.2104, -0.217, -0.2258, -0.2243, -0.2097, -0.2053, -0.2045, -0.1972, -0.1972, -0.2287, -0.2441, -0.2309, -0.2427, -0.2559, -0.2229, -0.2148, -0.1972, -0.2199, -0.2339, -0.217, -0.2251, -0.1774, -0.2001, -0.195, -0.1818, -0.1694, -0.154, -0.1276, -0.1576, -0.1694, -0.1979, -0.1979, -0.2001, -0.1804, -0.1283, -0.1254, -0.154, -0.1591, -0.1415, -0.1114, -0.1444, -0.1664, -0.165, -0.154, -0.1818, -0.1679, -0.162, -0.1378, -0.1518, -0.1518, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2013978603634016387", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-21T14:14:51+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on US natural gas stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Remains bullish US natural gas and US nat-gas equities; LNG demand growth drives thesis as 2026 strip approaches $4/mcf marginal cost.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We always just hope for normal Winter weather as our bullish natural gas thesis revolves around the meaningful increase in LNG demand. With the US 2026 strip again approaching $4/mcf, our estimate for the marginal cost of production, we remain bullish on US natural gas stocks: https://t.co/ILV11yvsRZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03155737920550605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03155737920550605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020147976819991364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020147976819991364, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002049132534678977, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002049132534678977, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007272362554406664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007272362554406664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "ret_p1w": 0.029918010354660796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029918010354660796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015298859678025023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015298859678025023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "ret_p1m": 0.12213117322378864, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12213117322378864, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12347352414073143, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12347352414073143, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "ret_p3m": 0.1779237420203863, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1779237420203863, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14107592807542035, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14107592807542035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1779237420203863, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14107592807542035, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14107592807542035, "price_path": [-0.0976, -0.0711, -0.0805, -0.0821, -0.1004, -0.0988, -0.1016, -0.0878, -0.0788, -0.0862, -0.0911, -0.0788, -0.0569, -0.0455, -0.0198, -0.0304, -0.0288, -0.0178, -0.0337, -0.0198, -0.0263, -0.0414, -0.0369, -0.028, -0.0353, -0.0194, -0.0194, 0.0013, 0.007, -0.0113, 0.0201, 0.0225, 0.0266, 0.0079, 0.0066, 0.0123, -0.0064, -0.0131, -0.0275, -0.0611, -0.0348, -0.0623, -0.0566, -0.0484, -0.0406, -0.0463, -0.0516, -0.0426, -0.0324, -0.0406, -0.0234, -0.0463, -0.0594, -0.0717, -0.0475, -0.0533, -0.0492, -0.0303, -0.018, -0.032, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0316, 0.0, -0.002, 0.0041, 0.0078, 0.0193, 0.0299, 0.0439, 0.0496, 0.0143, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0443, 0.073, 0.0746, 0.0668, 0.0934, 0.0668, 0.0898, 0.0898, 0.073, 0.0996, 0.1221, 0.1316, 0.1139, 0.1094, 0.1029, 0.1111, 0.1447, 0.1742, 0.1709, 0.1697, 0.1852, 0.1918, 0.1922, 0.1623, 0.193, 0.2041, 0.2176, 0.2184, 0.2328, 0.2426, 0.2684, 0.2742, 0.2664, 0.2959, 0.3094, 0.3323, 0.348, 0.3307, 0.3047, 0.2611, 0.2829, 0.2829, 0.2903, 0.3035, 0.2475, 0.2323, 0.2339, 0.2335, 0.1927, 0.1944, 0.217, 0.1717, 0.1779, 0.2002, 0.2261, 0.2397, 0.2277, 0.236, 0.2557, 0.2891, 0.2928, 0.2771, 0.3039, 0.2924, 0.2207, 0.2022, 0.1907, 0.2179, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.2372, 0.2681, 0.2813, 0.2965, 0.2656, 0.243, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.203, 0.1779, 0.1857, 0.1742, 0.2072, 0.2129, 0.2253, 0.2273, 0.1825, 0.1997, 0.1722, 0.201, 0.1697, 0.1853, 0.1388, 0.131, 0.1232, 0.1232, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1896608855640932746", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-03T17:09:23+00:00", "symbol": "energy equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the desire to own energy equities, and oil stock valuations must be held to account", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil (+$14/bbl undervaluation) and energy equities on false narratives; US shale twilight, strong OPEC+ cohesion, and normal 2025 demand growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was going to let this go but those who feed ongoing false narratives that directly impact sentiment, the desire to own energy equities, and oil stock valuations must be held to account. In September it was suggested by Bloomberg that the construction of the Matterhorn pipeline would lead to a surge in Permian OIL production. Not NGL's. Oil. This surge would \"come at an awful time\" for OPEC+, and fueled the false narrative that such further market share loss would lead to the end of the OPEC+ deal to curtail volumes leading to a price crash. Our due diligence could not corroborate this thesis last September. \n\nWe now have the official data (https://t.co/W8ZA88Btv8):\nSeptember Texas + New Mexico Oil Production: 7.89MM Bbl/d\nDecember Texas + New Mexico Oil Production: 7.84MM Bbl/d\nWhere is the 0.4-0.5MM Bbl/d of OIL production growth that Bloomberg forecasted??? NGL's don't count...\n\nWe believe that the false narratives of surging US shale production, faltering OPEC+ cohesion, and weak demand are negatively impacting sentiment leading to oil trading $14/bbl below fair value. What do we believe to be true?\n1) US shale has entered its twilight and will grow less than consensus believes\n2) OPEC+ cohesion is strong and barrels will only be returned slowly and cautiously (3 P's)\n3) Global demand growth in 2025 will be within historical norms and peak demand is much further away than consensus.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036210392539349545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036210392539349545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018378098498590845, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018378098498590845, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0178322940407587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0178322940407587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009678864300804446, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009678864300804446, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0021580291518803474, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021580291518803474, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011836893452684794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011836893452684794, "ret_p1w": 0.002960588470612091, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002960588470612091, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04268500985022994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04268500985022994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03972442137961785, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03972442137961785, "ret_p1m": 0.07871932115838054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07871932115838054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1148850904896308, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1148850904896308, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.036165769331250264, "bench_c_p1m": -0.036165769331250264, "ret_p3m": -0.06438310772058187, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06438310772058187, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07704734799822255, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07704734799822255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.012664240277640681, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012664240277640681, "ret_p6m": 0.032194264773641956, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.032194264773641956, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08210168376199123, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08210168376199123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11429594853563319, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11429594853563319, "ret_p1y": 0.29793073273005866, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.29793073273005866, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1152672975245208, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1152672975245208, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18266343520553785, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18266343520553785, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07871932115838054, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1148850904896308, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1148850904896308, "price_path": [0.0672, 0.0415, 0.0455, 0.0278, 0.0261, 0.0191, 0.0208, 0.0126, 0.0075, -0.0146, -0.022, -0.0509, -0.0591, -0.0499, -0.0443, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.037, -0.0371, -0.0372, -0.0246, -0.0132, -0.004, -0.0085, 0.0014, 0.0024, 0.0024, 0.0065, 0.0277, 0.0387, 0.0541, 0.0617, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.0645, 0.0451, 0.0499, 0.0397, 0.0289, 0.0191, 0.0214, 0.0266, -0.002, 0.0042, 0.0253, 0.0274, 0.0085, 0.0084, 0.0306, 0.0389, 0.0139, 0.0215, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0396, 0.0478, 0.0574, 0.0354, 0.0356, 0.0207, 0.0149, 0.0204, 0.0362, 0.0, -0.0097, -0.0241, -0.0212, -0.0044, 0.003, -0.005, -0.0005, -0.0073, 0.0221, 0.0384, 0.0401, 0.057, 0.0609, 0.0535, 0.0655, 0.0699, 0.0762, 0.0658, 0.0607, 0.0724, 0.0787, 0.0802, -0.0046, -0.0962, -0.102, -0.1228, -0.0549, -0.1166, -0.0947, -0.0915, -0.0928, -0.0854, -0.0647, -0.0892, -0.066, -0.0677, -0.0528, -0.0545, -0.0479, -0.0506, -0.0762, -0.0728, -0.0592, -0.0762, -0.076, -0.0756, -0.0635, -0.0541, -0.0294, -0.0157, -0.0217, -0.0176, -0.0191, -0.0318, -0.0407, -0.0584, -0.0621, -0.0591, -0.0591, -0.051, -0.063, -0.056, -0.0644, -0.0521, -0.0409, -0.0596, -0.0605, -0.0428, -0.041, -0.0239, -0.0098, -0.0063, 0.011, 0.008, 0.0174, 0.0108, 0.0108, 0.0211, -0.0047, -0.0177, -0.0219, -0.008, -0.0132, -0.0188, -0.0113, 0.0057, 0.0069, 0.0069, -0.0029, 0.024, 0.0188, 0.0265, 0.0312, 0.0198, 0.0051, -0.0036, 0.0026, -0.0055, -0.0158, -0.0112, 0.0043, 0.0115, 0.0077, 0.0191, 0.0291, 0.0144, 0.0089, -0.0098, -0.012, -0.0107, -0.0199, -0.0237, -0.0174, -0.0253, -0.0206, -0.0092, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.016, -0.0157, -0.0075, -0.0007, 0.0197, 0.0224, 0.0207, 0.0322]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1798741991074967829", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-06-06T15:41:24+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we have deployed our cash buying decades worth of FCF for free", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil and energy equities; selloff unjustified, summer draws + all-time-low inventories by YE; deployed cash into energy stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We do not believe the selloff in oil this week is justified by fundamentals and is an opportunity for energy investors. With meaningful Summer draws just around the corner and global oil inventories to reach all-time lows by YE, we have deployed our cash buying decades worth of FCF for free: https://t.co/7toa00VmHH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00520182853463913, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00520182853463913, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0052203042916978415, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0052203042916978415, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.8475757058711295e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.8475757058711295e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003984413778427287, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003984413778427287, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0027686388028579367, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0027686388028579367, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012157749755693503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012157749755693503, "ret_p1w": -0.018262211550388985, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018262211550388985, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03283210001879189, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03283210001879189, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014569888468402903, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014569888468402903, "ret_p1m": 0.005241346804232272, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005241346804232272, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03547477821677214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03547477821677214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04071612502100441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04071612502100441, "ret_p3m": -0.006919658007634721, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006919658007634721, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04283232006370352, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04283232006370352, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0359126620560688, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0359126620560688, "ret_p6m": 0.07462543611876216, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07462543611876216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.059456056235957844, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.059456056235957844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13408149235472, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13408149235472, "ret_p1y": -0.06658279311528725, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.06658279311528725, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17983286938625265, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17983286938625265, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1132500762709654, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1132500762709654, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005241346804232272, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03547477821677214, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03547477821677214, "price_path": [-0.022, -0.0235, -0.0079, 0.0023, 0.0053, 0.0087, 0.0203, 0.0188, 0.0249, 0.0227, 0.0322, 0.0242, 0.0338, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0527, 0.0674, 0.0747, 0.074, 0.0856, 0.0787, 0.079, 0.0823, 0.0816, 0.064, 0.054, 0.0448, 0.0418, 0.0386, 0.0511, 0.058, 0.0639, 0.0646, 0.0695, 0.0597, 0.0669, 0.0351, 0.0186, 0.0245, 0.0246, 0.0327, 0.0317, 0.0304, 0.0443, 0.0385, 0.0357, 0.0371, 0.0394, 0.0365, 0.051, 0.0442, 0.0391, 0.0191, 0.0099, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0217, 0.0037, 0.0065, 0.0315, 0.0045, -0.0051, -0.0052, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0035, 0.0015, -0.0092, -0.0183, -0.0256, -0.023, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0009, -0.0066, 0.0184, 0.0207, 0.0107, 0.0131, 0.017, 0.0175, 0.0167, 0.0212, 0.0212, 0.0052, -0.0009, -0.0097, -0.003, 0.0074, 0.0099, 0.0252, 0.0298, 0.0401, 0.0419, 0.0306, 0.0241, 0.0078, 0.0079, 0.0253, 0.0286, 0.0197, 0.0356, 0.0399, 0.0124, -0.0137, -0.0355, -0.0296, -0.0257, -0.0047, -0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0073, -0.0015, 0.0105, 0.0094, 0.0162, -0.0106, -0.0089, -0.0064, 0.0085, 0.0175, 0.008, 0.0016, 0.0146, 0.0184, 0.0184, -0.0069, -0.0206, -0.0282, -0.0404, -0.0335, -0.0501, -0.0589, -0.0504, -0.0451, -0.0341, -0.0211, -0.0192, -0.0075, -0.0097, 0.0025, 0.0, -0.0195, -0.0388, -0.0192, -0.0123, 0.0102, 0.0205, 0.0385, 0.0482, 0.0519, 0.0245, 0.0306, 0.0376, 0.044, 0.0436, 0.0099, 0.0148, 0.0196, 0.0162, 0.0132, 0.0156, 0.0103, 0.0102, 0.0098, 0.0034, -0.0119, -0.0096, -0.0034, -0.0097, 0.0076, 0.0143, 0.0525, 0.0476, 0.0546, 0.0606, 0.0549, 0.0632, 0.0672, 0.0656, 0.0798, 0.0729, 0.0837, 0.0925, 0.0942, 0.0726, 0.0711, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0746]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1757829523465253123", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-14T18:09:51+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's not looking great for natural gas near-term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Near-term bearish on natural gas (warm weather), medium-term bullish; gas stocks pricing in $3.50+/mcf vs oil stocks below $60/bbl makes stock selection critical.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When you can pick up your girls from school with the roof down in February…it’s not looking great for natural gas near-term! We remain medium-term bulls but timing and stock selection key as many gas stocks discounting $3.50/mcf or higher vs. some oil stocks &lt;$60/bbl. https://t.co/HpJflKdyhs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.042310282062782756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.042310282062782756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05131617410113776, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05131617410113776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009005892038355001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009005892038355001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005372728130387805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005372728130387805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012272402467922716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012272402467922716, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006899674337534911, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006899674337534911, "ret_p1w": 0.11618538992757266, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11618538992757266, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11891313305002149, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11891313305002149, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027277431224488335, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027277431224488335, "ret_p1m": 0.04566818910829662, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04566818910829662, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012814262236844343, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012814262236844343, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03285392687145228, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03285392687145228, "ret_p3m": 0.16252512201618918, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16252512201618918, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11447080414096833, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11447080414096833, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04805431787522085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04805431787522085, "ret_p6m": -0.04768301019317056, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04768301019317056, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11877836101068528, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11877836101068528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07109535081751472, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07109535081751472, "ret_p1y": 0.1846876415660319, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1846876415660319, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.029660953941865076, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.029660953941865076, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21434859550789698, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21434859550789698, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04566818910829662, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012814262236844343, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012814262236844343, "price_path": [0.6548, 0.6091, 0.5823, 0.6064, 0.6064, 0.5876, 0.5581, 0.4829, 0.4802, 0.4829, 0.4641, 0.4345, 0.4345, 0.3593, 0.362, 0.3486, 0.2921, 0.2142, 0.2357, 0.2787, 0.2975, 0.3136, 0.3163, 0.2626, 0.3405, 0.3539, 0.3539, 0.3244, 0.3298, 0.3808, 0.362, 0.362, 0.3942, 0.4614, 0.55, 0.5688, 0.6145, 0.7408, 0.6521, 0.6897, 0.8321, 0.8321, 0.5527, 0.5635, 0.4936, 0.3969, 0.3217, 0.3512, 0.4144, 0.3499, 0.3526, 0.2848, 0.3029, 0.3183, 0.27, 0.3002, 0.2928, 0.2451, 0.225, 0.1699, 0.1518, 0.086, 0.0423, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.0067, 0.0067, -0.0081, 0.1162, 0.0934, 0.0215, 0.049, 0.086, 0.1236, 0.1108, 0.1028, 0.1619, 0.176, 0.1612, 0.0766, 0.0833, 0.0537, 0.0282, 0.0013, 0.0457, 0.0161, 0.0302, 0.0504, 0.0322, 0.0289, 0.0148, 0.0101, 0.0047, -0.0363, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0336, 0.0396, 0.0383, 0.0007, -0.0013, 0.0349, 0.0645, 0.0524, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0504, -0.0275, -0.0343, -0.0316, -0.0248, 0.0101, 0.0369, -0.0356, -0.0349, -0.0557, 0.0013, -0.0302, -0.0504, -0.002, 0.0524, 0.0786, 0.086, 0.0712, 0.1363, 0.1095, 0.1625, 0.1531, 0.182, 0.2203, 0.2827, 0.3311, 0.3089, 0.3801, 0.3512, 0.2774, 0.2774, 0.3002, 0.2236, 0.1793, 0.1813, 0.2707, 0.2102, 0.272, 0.2962, 0.3553, 0.3559, 0.4459, 0.3989, 0.3506, 0.3338, 0.2868, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.278, 0.2733, 0.323, 0.2754, 0.2297, 0.2075, 0.1706, 0.1128, 0.1021, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.0477, 0.0651, 0.0564, 0.0416, 0.0222, 0.041, -0.0275, -0.0188, -0.0772, -0.0524, -0.0396, 0.0081, -0.002, -0.039, -0.0766, -0.0927, -0.0873, -0.0591, -0.0907, -0.1209, -0.1236, -0.131, -0.1054, -0.0692, -0.0477]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1757829523465253123", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-02-14T18:09:51+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain medium-term bulls", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Near-term bearish on natural gas (warm weather), medium-term bullish; gas stocks pricing in $3.50+/mcf vs oil stocks below $60/bbl makes stock selection critical.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When you can pick up your girls from school with the roof down in February…it’s not looking great for natural gas near-term! We remain medium-term bulls but timing and stock selection key as many gas stocks discounting $3.50/mcf or higher vs. some oil stocks &lt;$60/bbl. https://t.co/HpJflKdyhs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.042310282062782756, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042310282062782756, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05131617410113776, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05131617410113776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009005892038355001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009005892038355001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005372728130387805, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005372728130387805, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012272402467922716, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012272402467922716, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006899674337534911, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006899674337534911, "ret_p1w": 0.11618538992757266, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11618538992757266, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11891313305002149, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11891313305002149, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027277431224488335, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027277431224488335, "ret_p1m": 0.04566818910829662, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04566818910829662, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012814262236844343, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012814262236844343, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03285392687145228, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03285392687145228, "ret_p3m": 0.16252512201618918, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16252512201618918, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11447080414096833, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11447080414096833, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04805431787522085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04805431787522085, "ret_p6m": -0.04768301019317056, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04768301019317056, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11877836101068528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11877836101068528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07109535081751472, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07109535081751472, "ret_p1y": 0.1846876415660319, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1846876415660319, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.029660953941865076, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.029660953941865076, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21434859550789698, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21434859550789698, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04566818910829662, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012814262236844343, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012814262236844343, "price_path": [0.6548, 0.6091, 0.5823, 0.6064, 0.6064, 0.5876, 0.5581, 0.4829, 0.4802, 0.4829, 0.4641, 0.4345, 0.4345, 0.3593, 0.362, 0.3486, 0.2921, 0.2142, 0.2357, 0.2787, 0.2975, 0.3136, 0.3163, 0.2626, 0.3405, 0.3539, 0.3539, 0.3244, 0.3298, 0.3808, 0.362, 0.362, 0.3942, 0.4614, 0.55, 0.5688, 0.6145, 0.7408, 0.6521, 0.6897, 0.8321, 0.8321, 0.5527, 0.5635, 0.4936, 0.3969, 0.3217, 0.3512, 0.4144, 0.3499, 0.3526, 0.2848, 0.3029, 0.3183, 0.27, 0.3002, 0.2928, 0.2451, 0.225, 0.1699, 0.1518, 0.086, 0.0423, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.0067, 0.0067, -0.0081, 0.1162, 0.0934, 0.0215, 0.049, 0.086, 0.1236, 0.1108, 0.1028, 0.1619, 0.176, 0.1612, 0.0766, 0.0833, 0.0537, 0.0282, 0.0013, 0.0457, 0.0161, 0.0302, 0.0504, 0.0322, 0.0289, 0.0148, 0.0101, 0.0047, -0.0363, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0336, 0.0396, 0.0383, 0.0007, -0.0013, 0.0349, 0.0645, 0.0524, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0504, -0.0275, -0.0343, -0.0316, -0.0248, 0.0101, 0.0369, -0.0356, -0.0349, -0.0557, 0.0013, -0.0302, -0.0504, -0.002, 0.0524, 0.0786, 0.086, 0.0712, 0.1363, 0.1095, 0.1625, 0.1531, 0.182, 0.2203, 0.2827, 0.3311, 0.3089, 0.3801, 0.3512, 0.2774, 0.2774, 0.3002, 0.2236, 0.1793, 0.1813, 0.2707, 0.2102, 0.272, 0.2962, 0.3553, 0.3559, 0.4459, 0.3989, 0.3506, 0.3338, 0.2868, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.278, 0.2733, 0.323, 0.2754, 0.2297, 0.2075, 0.1706, 0.1128, 0.1021, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.0477, 0.0651, 0.0564, 0.0416, 0.0222, 0.041, -0.0275, -0.0188, -0.0772, -0.0524, -0.0396, 0.0081, -0.002, -0.039, -0.0766, -0.0927, -0.0873, -0.0591, -0.0907, -0.1209, -0.1236, -0.131, -0.1054, -0.0692, -0.0477]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1877823925717209189", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-10T21:04:46+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy remains an under-owned, out-of-favour, generally loathed, contrarian sector despite: record low global oil inventories, record high global oil demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish global energy sector on supply/demand tightness, sanctions, shale twilight, OPEC+ discipline, high FCF yields, and strong balance sheets.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy remains an under-owned, out-of-favour, generally loathed, contrarian sector despite:\n➡️record low global oil inventories\n➡️record high global oil demand\n➡️~1 year high natural gas prices\n➡️imminent US sanctions enforcement on Russia and Iran\n➡️2024 = lowest rate of growth in US shale since its inception = twilight of US shale\n➡️disappointing non-OPEC supply growth\n➡️strong OPEC+ cohesion and tightly held spare capacity\n➡️record free cashflow / buybacks\n➡️fortress strength balance sheets\n➡️44% currency uplift for CDN producers\n➡️many stocks trading at 15%+ FCF yields at $75 (10% at $70)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020609379271509742, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020609379271509742, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019061232558408636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019061232558408636, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015481467131011062, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015481467131011062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 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{"unit_id": "orig:1775663302187929696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-03T23:14:56+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "huge positive and eliminates the 2nd largest reason why foreign investors have avoided the CDN oil patch", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: TMX entering service removes a key foreign-investor barrier, with the top barrier also to be resolved by Fall '25.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Canadian energy sector has awaited this news for far too long, yet here it is!!! TMX to go into service in May...huge positive and eliminates the 2nd largest reason why foreign investors have avoided the CDN oil patch (with the #1 reason to be addressed by Fall '25). https://t.co/tkQSEse1Az", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005744133161009302, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005744133161009302, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018101043969863895, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018101043969863895, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012356910808854593, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012356910808854593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012532391124028264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012532391124028264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0020855092924865204, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020855092924865204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010446881831541743, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010446881831541743, "ret_p1w": 0.012532391124028264, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012532391124028264, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0029235726623848546, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0029235726623848546, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00960881846164341, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00960881846164341, "ret_p1m": -0.02872066580504673, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02872066580504673, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025251308886926505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025251308886926505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0034693569181202255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0034693569181202255, "ret_p3m": -0.02647155903918652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02647155903918652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09997230601533447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09997230601533447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07350074697614795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07350074697614795, "ret_p6m": -0.10650030113832432, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10650030113832432, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22734556618690815, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22734556618690815, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12084526504858384, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12084526504858384, "ret_p1y": -0.04669155076592013, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04669155076592013, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18256797434648264, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18256797434648264, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1358764235805625, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1358764235805625, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02872066580504673, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025251308886926505, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025251308886926505, "price_path": [-0.1834, -0.1849, -0.1922, -0.186, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.2, -0.2119, -0.2161, -0.2171, -0.2161, -0.2114, -0.199, -0.187, -0.1834, -0.1917, -0.1787, -0.1886, -0.1995, -0.2171, -0.2218, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.2073, -0.2073, -0.1979, -0.2109, -0.2109, -0.1771, -0.174, -0.174, -0.1787, -0.1553, -0.148, -0.1496, -0.1454, -0.1418, -0.1397, -0.1231, -0.1049, -0.1153, -0.106, -0.1039, -0.107, -0.1127, -0.1106, -0.108, -0.0919, -0.0805, -0.0815, -0.0738, -0.0691, -0.0706, -0.068, -0.0684, -0.0501, -0.0574, -0.0507, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.0313, -0.0204, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0125, 0.0099, 0.0136, 0.0329, 0.0125, 0.0021, -0.0151, -0.0089, -0.0104, -0.0151, -0.0094, -0.0057, -0.0016, 0.001, 0.0084, 0.0104, 0.0167, -0.0131, -0.0298, -0.0277, -0.0287, -0.0115, -0.0073, -0.0026, 0.0057, -0.0068, -0.0084, -0.0178, -0.0162, -0.0157, -0.0052, -0.0052, 0.0031, -0.0089, -0.0141, -0.0073, -0.0042, 0.0099, -0.0089, -0.0047, 0.0084, -0.0366, -0.0538, -0.0507, -0.0423, -0.0491, -0.0366, -0.0397, -0.0465, -0.0762, -0.0809, -0.0799, -0.0648, -0.0663, -0.0621, -0.0742, -0.0428, -0.0481, -0.0513, -0.0391, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0265, -0.0201, -0.0186, -0.0412, -0.0402, -0.0555, -0.0433, -0.0307, -0.0328, -0.0165, -0.0286, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0397, -0.0323, -0.0455, -0.0513, -0.0449, -0.0407, -0.0502, -0.047, -0.0175, -0.047, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0919, -0.0803, -0.0618, -0.0576, -0.0286, -0.0254, -0.0165, 0.0004, -0.0107, -0.0154, -0.0375, -0.0391, -0.037, -0.0265, -0.0122, -0.0317, -0.036, -0.027, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0687, -0.0834, -0.0966, -0.1103, -0.1119, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.1246, -0.1225, -0.1145, -0.1008, -0.105, -0.0892, -0.0961, -0.0908, -0.082, -0.098, -0.1256, -0.1065]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1732782141983916167", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-12-07T15:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is what the energy sector looks like on a relative basis at $70 (and at $80WTI which is still our base case for 2024)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Disputes bearish oil consensus (shale discipline, demand, OPEC); base case $80 WTI in 2024 with bullish energy sector lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Consensus now seems to be that US shale companies have lost discipline and will flood the market, that oil demand is terrible, and that the OPEC+ deal is nearing collapse and they will flood the market to regain lost market share. I do not believe any of this. Yet, with all of that bearish narrative, 2024 WTI strip is $70.31. This is what the energy sector looks like on a relative basis at $70 (and at $80WTI which is still our base case for 2024):", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006883854242028198, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006883854242028198, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014456483994761515, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014456483994761515, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0075726297527333175, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0075726297527333175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01081745616493257, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01081745616493257, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006518193928281457, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006518193928281457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0042992622366511135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0042992622366511135, "ret_p1w": 0.041794596746276946, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041794596746276946, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011722503782941818, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011722503782941818, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03007209296333513, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03007209296333513, "ret_p1m": 0.05093219792271464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05093219792271464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02564541496599282, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02564541496599282, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02528678295672182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02528678295672182, "ret_p3m": 0.07786340028535865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07786340028535865, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033448203813135846, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033448203813135846, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1113116040984945, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1113116040984945, "ret_p6m": 0.1660184943802343, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1660184943802343, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.006877288708302842, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.006877288708302842, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15914120567193146, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15914120567193146, "ret_p1y": 0.21242722307322404, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21242722307322404, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10920193704461201, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10920193704461201, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32162916011783604, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32162916011783604, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07786340028535865, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.033448203813135846, "alpha_c_stated": -0.033448203813135846, "price_path": [0.1085, 0.1346, 0.126, 0.1392, 0.1228, 0.1323, 0.1217, 0.1112, 0.096, 0.0978, 0.1116, 0.1052, 0.1328, 0.134, 0.1111, 0.089, 0.0883, 0.0541, 0.0476, 0.0538, 0.089, 0.0904, 0.0763, 0.0776, 0.1013, 0.1087, 0.1202, 0.1304, 0.1285, 0.1095, 0.0916, 0.0762, 0.0742, 0.0659, 0.0403, 0.0438, 0.0472, 0.0447, 0.0763, 0.0655, 0.0535, 0.0301, 0.0172, 0.0141, 0.0253, 0.0327, 0.0419, 0.04, 0.0197, 0.0411, 0.0425, 0.0402, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.044, 0.0403, 0.0406, 0.0328, 0.0397, 0.0451, 0.0403, 0.0221, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0108, 0.012, -0.0018, 0.012, 0.0418, 0.0363, 0.0447, 0.0573, 0.0475, 0.0516, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.0637, 0.059, 0.0429, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0517, 0.0688, 0.0501, 0.0509, 0.0388, 0.0221, 0.0121, 0.0147, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0017, -0.0067, -0.0083, -0.005, -0.0013, 0.0008, 0.0151, 0.0379, 0.0456, 0.0441, 0.0549, 0.0352, 0.035, 0.0365, 0.0339, 0.0373, 0.0394, 0.0501, 0.0339, 0.0453, 0.0348, 0.0338, 0.0626, 0.062, 0.062, 0.0523, 0.072, 0.0739, 0.0668, 0.0705, 0.0659, 0.0638, 0.0691, 0.0815, 0.0699, 0.0779, 0.0812, 0.0904, 0.0942, 0.1055, 0.1038, 0.1214, 0.133, 0.1363, 0.1402, 0.1533, 0.1516, 0.1585, 0.156, 0.1668, 0.1578, 0.1685, 0.1812, 0.1812, 0.1899, 0.2066, 0.2148, 0.2141, 0.2271, 0.2193, 0.2197, 0.2234, 0.2226, 0.2027, 0.1914, 0.181, 0.1777, 0.174, 0.1882, 0.1959, 0.2026, 0.2034, 0.2089, 0.1978, 0.2059, 0.17, 0.1514, 0.158, 0.1581, 0.1673, 0.1661, 0.1648, 0.1804, 0.1739, 0.1708, 0.1723, 0.1749, 0.1716, 0.188, 0.1803, 0.1745, 0.152, 0.1415, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.1549, 0.1345, 0.1377, 0.166]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1833853040601837611", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-11T13:00:10+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Is the worst behind us for energy stocks? Bottoms are found in capitulation...when the last (or 2nd last) towel has been thrown in and stocks approach deeply oversold levels. Yesterday, the RSI hit its lowest level since oil went negative in March 2020 and is at levels that historically has = a bottom. Fundamentally, we also believe current dividend yields of 5%-8% sustainable at $45-$55WTI offer support.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: RSI at 2020-lows signals capitulation bottom; 5-8% dividend yields sustainable at $45-55 WTI offer fundamental support.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is the worst behind us for energy stocks? Bottoms are found in capitulation...when the last (or 2nd last) towel has been thrown in and stocks approach deeply oversold levels. Yesterday, the RSI (relative strength index) hit its lowest level since oil went negative in March 2020 and is at levels that historically has = a bottom. Fundamentally, we also believe current dividend yields of 5%-8% sustainable at $45-$55WTI offer support.  Sentiment has clearly taken a hit, more by the velocity than the magnitude. Reports show aggressive share buybacks...the only positive spin on macro/paper market tantrums like the past several weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00936576192409766, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00936576192409766, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019520532219081788, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019520532219081788, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154770294984128, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154770294984128, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009010120662632959, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009010120662632959, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005869477198392481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005869477198392481, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00842317294279371, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00842317294279371, "ret_p1w": 0.04220518625969749, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04220518625969749, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029615388802071374, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029615388802071374, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012589797457626117, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012589797457626117, "ret_p1m": 0.10256959898530327, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10256959898530327, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.060224091078181274, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060224091078181274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234550790712199, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234550790712199, "ret_p3m": 0.08619364848429201, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08619364848429201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007805054363261066, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007805054363261066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09399870284755307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09399870284755307, "ret_p6m": 0.05384177216097985, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05384177216097985, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.008369384984579398, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.008369384984579398, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04547238717640045, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04547238717640045, "ret_p1y": 0.10854203822234854, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10854203822234854, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06068824680273455, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06068824680273455, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16923028502508308, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16923028502508308, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10256959898530327, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.060224091078181274, "alpha_c_stated": 0.060224091078181274, "price_path": [0.0354, 0.0381, 0.0425, 0.0425, 0.0617, 0.0555, 0.0822, 0.0846, 0.074, 0.0765, 0.0806, 0.0812, 0.0804, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0682, 0.0616, 0.0523, 0.0594, 0.0704, 0.0731, 0.0894, 0.0943, 0.1052, 0.1072, 0.0951, 0.0882, 0.0709, 0.071, 0.0895, 0.0929, 0.0836, 0.1004, 0.105, 0.0758, 0.048, 0.0249, 0.0312, 0.0353, 0.0576, 0.06, 0.0652, 0.0549, 0.0611, 0.0737, 0.0726, 0.0798, 0.0513, 0.0531, 0.0558, 0.0716, 0.0812, 0.0711, 0.0643, 0.0781, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0552, 0.0407, 0.0326, 0.0197, 0.027, 0.0094, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0147, 0.0263, 0.0402, 0.0422, 0.0547, 0.0523, 0.0653, 0.0626, 0.0418, 0.0214, 0.0422, 0.0495, 0.0734, 0.0844, 0.1035, 0.1138, 0.1178, 0.0886, 0.0952, 0.1026, 0.1094, 0.1089, 0.0732, 0.0783, 0.0834, 0.0799, 0.0766, 0.0791, 0.0735, 0.0734, 0.073, 0.0662, 0.05, 0.0524, 0.0589, 0.0522, 0.0707, 0.0778, 0.1183, 0.1132, 0.1206, 0.127, 0.121, 0.1297, 0.134, 0.1323, 0.1474, 0.1401, 0.1516, 0.1609, 0.1627, 0.1397, 0.1382, 0.137, 0.137, 0.1419, 0.1298, 0.1297, 0.1025, 0.1068, 0.088, 0.0862, 0.0788, 0.0806, 0.0718, 0.0665, 0.043, 0.0353, 0.0047, -0.0041, 0.0057, 0.0117, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0194, 0.0192, 0.0191, 0.0325, 0.0446, 0.0543, 0.0495, 0.06, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.0654, 0.0878, 0.0995, 0.1158, 0.1239, 0.1326, 0.1326, 0.1268, 0.1063, 0.1113, 0.1006, 0.0892, 0.0788, 0.0812, 0.0867, 0.0564, 0.063, 0.0853, 0.0876, 0.0676, 0.0675, 0.091, 0.0998, 0.0732, 0.0813, 0.0857, 0.0857, 0.1005, 0.1092, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0963, 0.0805, 0.0743, 0.0801, 0.0969, 0.0585, 0.0483, 0.033, 0.0361, 0.0538]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1711803316047368315", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-10T17:58:08+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see the very best energy investment opportunities here in Canada", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on oil and sees top energy investment opportunities in Canada.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me this Thursday at 2pm ET for a one hour webinar where I'll explain why \"we remain bullish\" on oil and why we see the very best energy investment opportunities here in Canada. Register and submit questions: https://t.co/WviMQ1F4YJ https://t.co/0Xa21tjHJ2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04044540714522826, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04044540714522826, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03526749127810125, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03526749127810125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005177915867127014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005177915867127014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0005861485552628443, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005861485552628443, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004682457906319271, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004682457906319271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004096309351056426, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004096309351056426, "ret_p1w": 0.029308280165736278, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029308280165736278, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025902393409243052, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025902393409243052, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003405886756493226, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003405886756493226, "ret_p1m": -0.052168743565882525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.052168743565882525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05840508038603465, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05840508038603465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006236336820152122, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006236336820152122, "ret_p3m": -0.05495543030378902, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05495543030378902, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13613823020977167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13613823020977167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08118279990598265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08118279990598265, "ret_p6m": 0.12975735020668333, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12975735020668333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07412779662893643, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07412779662893643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20388514683561976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20388514683561976, "ret_p1y": -0.006485992224627091, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.006485992224627091, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3413203009456157, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3413203009456157, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3348343087209886, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3348343087209886, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.052168743565882525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05840508038603465, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05840508038603465, "price_path": [-0.1318, -0.1515, -0.1601, -0.1382, -0.1364, -0.1353, -0.1255, -0.1116, -0.107, -0.1047, -0.1104, -0.0879, -0.0844, -0.081, -0.0977, -0.0833, -0.0752, -0.0752, -0.0659, -0.0567, -0.0578, -0.048, -0.0515, -0.0706, -0.0665, -0.0521, -0.0428, -0.0492, -0.0526, -0.0596, -0.0717, -0.0578, -0.0445, -0.0278, -0.0232, -0.0191, -0.0, -0.0, 0.0057, 0.0069, 0.0046, 0.004, -0.0156, 0.0057, -0.0024, 0.0109, 0.0121, 0.0063, -0.0035, -0.018, -0.0313, -0.0318, -0.0129, -0.0053, 0.0176, 0.0193, 0.0082, -0.0152, -0.0129, -0.0533, -0.0522, -0.0404, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0064, 0.0199, 0.0252, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.0363, 0.0205, 0.0064, -0.0076, 0.0059, 0.0006, -0.0035, -0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0076, 0.0311, 0.0152, 0.0047, -0.0334, -0.0522, -0.0393, -0.0211, -0.0147, -0.0152, -0.0264, -0.0451, -0.0188, -0.0164, -0.0258, -0.0404, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0528, -0.0451, -0.0375, -0.034, -0.0328, -0.0492, -0.0604, -0.0985, -0.1032, -0.0903, -0.1014, -0.1213, -0.0996, -0.0844, -0.1061, -0.0932, -0.0797, -0.0897, -0.0832, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0756, -0.0868, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.0792, -0.0485, -0.0609, -0.055, -0.0721, -0.0738, -0.0821, -0.075, -0.0703, -0.0638, -0.091, -0.1045, -0.1093, -0.1104, -0.1093, -0.1039, -0.0898, -0.0762, -0.0721, -0.0815, -0.0668, -0.078, -0.0904, -0.1104, -0.1158, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.0886, -0.1034, -0.1034, -0.065, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0668, -0.0402, -0.0319, -0.0337, -0.029, -0.0249, -0.0225, -0.0036, 0.0171, 0.0053, 0.0159, 0.0182, 0.0147, 0.0082, 0.0106, 0.0135, 0.0318, 0.0448, 0.0436, 0.0525, 0.0578, 0.056, 0.059, 0.0586, 0.0793, 0.071, 0.0787, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.1007, 0.1131, 0.1298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1752771064357060841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-31T19:09:21+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil oilsands companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on Canadian heavy oil/oilsand companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil/oilsands companies as TMX pipeline expansion approaches.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil/oilsands: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TMX is coming (eventually). \"We remain bullish\" on Canadian heavy oil/oilsand companies.\nhttps://t.co/ByhYZaGsD3 https://t.co/LRRJx7wZGW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015652040815092787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015652040815092787, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009358654251604044, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034103442699156723, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016587906240253192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01906238508500846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010949577719661504, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010949577719661504, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024037698808305495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010829754036426905, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01308812108864399, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00011982368323459891, "ret_p1w": -0.03681759674161352, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03681759674161352, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06833689793269257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04089386279579995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03151930119107904, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004076266054186428, "ret_p1m": 0.10609679536583212, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10609679536583212, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.053909968634029706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07336713813922054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052186826731802416, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032729657226611586, "ret_p3m": 0.25374408969006534, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25374408969006534, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19417494626985166, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08878845738225816, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05956914342021369, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1649556323078072, "ret_p6m": 0.213344052895062, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.213344052895062, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09127399627989732, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09373426329031212, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12207005661516468, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11960978960474988, "ret_p1y": 0.16050776546187925, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16050776546187925, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09289975858915947, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.003334558366588608, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2534075240510387, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16384232382846786, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10609679536583212, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.053909968634029706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07336713813922054, "price_path": [0.0698, 0.0595, 0.0185, -0.0119, 0.0029, 0.0319, 0.0377, 0.0425, 0.0239, -0.0012, 0.0315, 0.0388, 0.0272, 0.0013, 0.0105, 0.0108, -0.0097, -0.0007, 0.0091, 0.0109, 0.0086, -0.0235, -0.0427, -0.0813, -0.0616, -0.044, -0.0537, -0.0682, -0.0403, -0.0154, -0.0474, -0.035, -0.0126, -0.0157, -0.005, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0048, 0.0074, -0.0089, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0021, 0.0296, 0.0102, 0.0224, -0.0035, -0.0026, -0.0071, -0.005, -0.0039, 0.0194, -0.007, -0.0186, -0.0254, -0.0336, -0.0269, -0.0225, -0.0087, 0.0075, 0.0072, -0.0012, 0.0157, 0.0, -0.0109, -0.0378, -0.0427, -0.0355, -0.0368, -0.0189, -0.0153, -0.0062, -0.0168, -0.0151, 0.0345, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0392, 0.0624, 0.0713, 0.0704, 0.0766, 0.0756, 0.0777, 0.1061, 0.1306, 0.123, 0.1308, 0.1477, 0.1471, 0.1382, 0.1421, 0.1356, 0.1605, 0.1825, 0.1794, 0.188, 0.1919, 0.188, 0.1959, 0.2034, 0.2372, 0.214, 0.215, 0.2231, 0.2231, 0.2326, 0.2337, 0.2448, 0.2579, 0.2708, 0.2826, 0.2875, 0.3268, 0.2859, 0.2819, 0.2478, 0.2551, 0.2506, 0.2411, 0.2395, 0.2435, 0.2465, 0.2432, 0.2478, 0.2562, 0.2537, 0.2124, 0.1921, 0.2031, 0.1968, 0.2114, 0.2154, 0.2245, 0.236, 0.2164, 0.209, 0.201, 0.2017, 0.1958, 0.2135, 0.2135, 0.2211, 0.2046, 0.1979, 0.2161, 0.2239, 0.2504, 0.2298, 0.2321, 0.2342, 0.175, 0.1625, 0.1617, 0.1657, 0.1537, 0.1775, 0.1773, 0.172, 0.1333, 0.1303, 0.1376, 0.1587, 0.1524, 0.159, 0.1487, 0.1937, 0.1842, 0.1881, 0.2049, 0.2027, 0.2027, 0.2321, 0.2371, 0.2405, 0.2058, 0.2015, 0.1843, 0.2064, 0.2224, 0.2245, 0.2527, 0.234, 0.2303, 0.2277, 0.2238, 0.2289, 0.2128, 0.2073, 0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1702690294322405809", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-09-15T14:26:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are very early in what will be a multi-year bull market for oil and energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish oil and energy equities for multi-year cycle: record demand, low inventories, OPEC+ discipline, record FCF with 60-100% shareholder returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I continue to believe that we are very early in what will be a multi-year bull market for oil and energy stocks. Skepticism remains high and investors scarred from the worst bear market in history remain afraid of being hurt again, yet fundamentals to me have never looked better. Demand is at a record high, inventories at a multi-year low and headed lower, and OPEC+ under the strong leadership of HRH ABS is determined to provide stability to the oil price. Given the strongest balance sheets in history, the highest free cashflow in history, and an ironclad commitment to return 60%-100% of that free cashflow back to investors once final debt targets are reached in the coming months, I can arrive at only one conclusion...we remain bullish!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014672272365169103, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014672272365169103, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024768291283610022, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024768291283610022, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012195443236808101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012195443236808101, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008474344322689564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008474344322689564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00788771494200935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00788771494200935, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005866293806802148, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005866293806802148, "ret_p1w": -0.02218187222958834, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02218187222958834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0070261070945841775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0070261070945841775, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029207979324172517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029207979324172517, "ret_p1m": -0.012546934432722145, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012546934432722145, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003985419125631329, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003985419125631329, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016532353558353474, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016532353558353474, "ret_p3m": -0.0986028651415034, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0986028651415034, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15979347211224537, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15979347211224537, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06119060697074197, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06119060697074197, "ret_p6m": -0.01533205063254428, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01533205063254428, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1731754047522469, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1731754047522469, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15784335411970263, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15784335411970263, "ret_p1y": -0.00018968625187032462, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.00018968625187032462, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25835923357580437, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.25835923357580437, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25816954732393405, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25816954732393405, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.00018968625187032462, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.25835923357580437, "alpha_c_stated": -0.25835923357580437, "price_path": [-0.1484, -0.1416, -0.1531, -0.1592, -0.1441, -0.1422, -0.1335, -0.1235, -0.1178, -0.1157, -0.1157, -0.1206, -0.1404, -0.1219, -0.1151, -0.0956, -0.0873, -0.0908, -0.1148, -0.1165, -0.1076, -0.1024, -0.0918, -0.0838, -0.069, -0.0641, -0.0638, -0.0698, -0.0669, -0.0492, -0.0537, -0.0661, -0.0566, -0.0553, -0.0542, -0.0496, -0.0376, -0.0377, -0.0229, -0.0271, -0.0473, -0.0555, -0.0442, -0.0348, -0.0409, -0.0483, -0.0506, -0.0572, -0.048, -0.0416, -0.039, -0.0342, -0.0336, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0086, -0.0082, -0.0091, 0.0004, -0.0127, 0.0105, 0.0029, 0.0147, 0.0, 0.0085, -0.0009, -0.0102, -0.0238, -0.0222, -0.0099, -0.0156, 0.0089, 0.01, -0.0104, -0.0301, -0.0307, -0.0612, -0.067, -0.0614, -0.0301, -0.0289, -0.0413, -0.0402, -0.0191, -0.0125, -0.0023, 0.0068, 0.0051, -0.0118, -0.0278, -0.0415, -0.0432, -0.0506, -0.0734, -0.0704, -0.0673, -0.0695, -0.0413, -0.051, -0.0617, -0.0825, -0.094, -0.0967, -0.0868, -0.0802, -0.072, -0.0737, -0.0918, -0.0728, -0.0715, -0.0735, -0.074, -0.074, -0.0701, -0.0734, -0.0732, -0.0801, -0.074, -0.0692, -0.0734, -0.0896, -0.1032, -0.1093, -0.0997, -0.0986, -0.111, -0.0986, -0.0721, -0.077, -0.0695, -0.0583, -0.0671, -0.0634, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0526, -0.0568, -0.0712, -0.0733, -0.0733, -0.0633, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.064, -0.0748, -0.0896, -0.0986, -0.0962, -0.0861, -0.0861, -0.1079, -0.1153, -0.1167, -0.1138, -0.1105, -0.1086, -0.0959, -0.0756, -0.0687, -0.07, -0.0604, -0.078, -0.0781, -0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0761, -0.0742, -0.0647, -0.0791, -0.0689, -0.0783, -0.0792, -0.0536, -0.0541, -0.0541, -0.0628, -0.0452, -0.0435, -0.0498, -0.0465, -0.0506, -0.0525, -0.0478, -0.0368, -0.0471, -0.04, -0.037, -0.0288, -0.0254, -0.0153]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996965271827804362", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:29:57+00:00", "symbol": "RRC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why investors should be bullish on natural gas", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish case on Range Resources as natural gas strip trades at $4.50/mcf for 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["RRC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the 2026 US natural gas strip now trading at $4.50/mcf, it was great to sit down with the CEO of Range Resources for a quick chat on why investors should be bullish on natural gas https://t.co/VmzfMrlX3v", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002020315932884875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002020315932884875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003916251376368085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002117332340364264, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004137648273249139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048484670851646094, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.048484670851646094, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0454803933369714, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03759612720247574, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010888543649170357, "ret_p1w": -0.07827076794909549, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07827076794909549, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07253927605764587, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06934218070898346, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005731491891449614, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00892858724011203, "ret_p1m": -0.12231942013040975, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12231942013040975, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13096423763084541, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11349329167340616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008644817500435664, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00882612845700359, "ret_p3m": 0.05033087683671922, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05033087683671922, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06684446649269449, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19209554278875052, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01651358965597527, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24242641962546974, "ret_p6m": 0.010410687905104021, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010410687905104021, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09582480824246509, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2874405363761603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10623549614756911, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2978512242812643, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12231942013040975, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13096423763084541, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11349329167340616, "price_path": [-0.1361, -0.1225, -0.1139, -0.1086, -0.1136, -0.0937, -0.1025, -0.1088, -0.1288, -0.1179, -0.0975, -0.0699, -0.0576, -0.0492, -0.0561, -0.0495, 0.0033, -0.026, -0.0348, -0.0205, -0.0061, -0.0013, -0.026, -0.0818, -0.0664, -0.0876, -0.0616, -0.0985, -0.0917, -0.0626, -0.071, -0.0846, -0.053, -0.05, -0.0566, -0.0664, -0.1164, -0.1263, -0.1023, -0.0677, -0.0649, -0.0639, -0.0725, -0.051, -0.0477, -0.0182, -0.0293, -0.0399, -0.0346, -0.0366, -0.0144, -0.0071, -0.0356, -0.0384, -0.0341, -0.0455, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0028, -0.0086, -0.0386, 0.0073, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0485, -0.052, -0.0583, -0.0831, -0.0783, -0.0955, -0.1279, -0.1033, -0.1302, -0.1264, -0.1183, -0.0904, -0.1076, -0.1059, -0.0922, -0.0866, -0.1074, -0.1064, -0.1216, -0.1352, -0.1223, -0.1418, -0.1532, -0.1481, -0.1459, -0.1537, -0.1494, -0.1289, -0.1289, -0.1162, -0.0826, -0.0856, -0.08, -0.0712, -0.095, -0.0699, -0.0519, -0.0418, -0.1036, -0.0846, -0.0755, -0.0889, -0.0742, -0.0879, -0.0935, -0.079, -0.074, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0709, -0.0499, -0.0092, 0.0053, -0.0233, -0.0246, -0.0094, -0.0104, 0.045, 0.0602, 0.0511, 0.0518, 0.0589, 0.0503, 0.0536, 0.0288, 0.062, 0.0855, 0.104, 0.1061, 0.1002, 0.1033, 0.149, 0.1284, 0.1342, 0.1657, 0.1822, 0.1883, 0.2091, 0.1726, 0.1464, 0.1038, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.1081, 0.1228, 0.0995, 0.0893, 0.087, 0.0632, 0.0325, 0.0459, 0.0726, 0.0584, 0.0439, 0.0574, 0.0974, 0.082, 0.0749, 0.0713, 0.0896, 0.0977, 0.1038, 0.0817, 0.0911, 0.0921, 0.0447, 0.0368, 0.0282, 0.0396, 0.0378, 0.0469, 0.0528, 0.0774, 0.0749, 0.0941, 0.0678, 0.0439, 0.0416, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0117, 0.0094, 0.0064, 0.0104]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1637839596603027457", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-03-20T15:32:44+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At $70WTI the average energy stock we model trades at 3.7x EV/CF and a 12% free cashflow yield, all with perhaps the strongest balance sheets in history", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remains firmly bullish on oil and energy equities; fundamentals point to higher prices as demand grows, shale growth falls, OPEC spare capacity exhausts, and inventories draw.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The antidote to fear is facts. While banking sector panic-induced crude liquidation may continue, leading to still lower oil prices, when the dust eventually settles, what do oil fundamentals and energy stock valuations look like? Some thoughts: https://t.co/Zca0Uqwa4y\n\n---\n\nThe past year has been a struggle for oil bulls. The positive catalysts of a reopening China, US shale hyper-growth ending, and OPEC spare capacity exhaustion have been trumped by recessionary f.e.a.r.s and the largest SPR release in history. Price is now setting narrative. https://t.co/1uOgjaRkxD\n\n---\n\nDespite a softish start to the year, mainly due to a very warm Winter in NA and Europe, we expect draws to accelerate as China fully normalizes and works down their domestic inventory levels. https://t.co/HoT8GZ5BHO\n\n---\n\nBut what about a recession? Even accounting for recessions in the US and Europe, with OECD demand falling by 0.6MM Bbl/d, Energy Aspects still sees challenged supply growth + non-OECD demand growth = meaningful stock draws Q2 onwards = multi-year low inventory levels by YE'23. https://t.co/U67WnYXSWZ\n\n---\n\nDo we remain bullish? Absolutely. Why? Even in a recession we believe demand grows, yet short-cycle US shale growth is radically falling and long-cycle investment remains too low. All while OPEC spare capacity is set to be exhausted. Falling inventories = higher price, eventually\n\n---\n\nLet's assume we are wrong. What do valuations and free cashflow look like at near-current prices? At $70WTI the average energy stock we model trades at 3.7x EV/CF and a 12% free cashflow yield, all with perhaps the strongest balance sheets in history. https://t.co/TN1ujA3ejh\n\n---\n\nWhat if the multi-year bull market for oil isn't over, but just delayed until macro panic subsides? Our favourite companies we believe are now trading at 30% free cashflow yields with over 30 years of stay-flat inventory and have pledged 75%+ of FCF to shareholder returns. https://t.co/kdRuSFhVpC\n\n---\n\nIn summary, we remain bullish. Not because we are perma-bulls (we are not) but rather because fundamentals suggest to us that the oil price is headed much higher, in time. So for now, patience. This too shall pass.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019626547557529683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019626547557529683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010102509445268693, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010102509445268693, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00952403811226099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00952403811226099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03462053179691904, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03462053179691904, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021489943226376873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021489943226376873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013130588570542168, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013130588570542168, "ret_p1w": 0.023809701673922046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023809701673922046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016825503709756884, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016825503709756884, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006984197964165162, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006984197964165162, "ret_p1m": 0.1137710087433963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1137710087433963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0617824928737849, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0617824928737849, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051988515869611396, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051988515869611396, "ret_p3m": 0.04221393415370267, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04221393415370267, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0818780452060488, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0818780452060488, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12409197935975147, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12409197935975147, "ret_p6m": 0.20719431485991935, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20719431485991935, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07028505885250547, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07028505885250547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13690925600741388, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13690925600741388, "ret_p1y": 0.1504030012869495, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1504030012869495, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15891278507523499, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15891278507523499, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3093157863621845, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3093157863621845, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1137710087433963, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0617824928737849, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0617824928737849, "price_path": [0.1, 0.0746, 0.1089, 0.1089, 0.1207, 0.0956, 0.1071, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.075, 0.0749, 0.0945, 0.1153, 0.1113, 0.1192, 0.1226, 0.144, 0.1457, 0.1457, 0.1481, 0.1271, 0.1411, 0.1525, 0.154, 0.1495, 0.1496, 0.1859, 0.162, 0.1354, 0.1454, 0.1229, 0.0973, 0.0949, 0.0899, 0.1253, 0.1153, 0.1057, 0.149, 0.1461, 0.1465, 0.127, 0.1159, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0708, 0.0637, 0.0797, 0.0783, 0.0815, 0.066, 0.087, 0.0965, 0.1114, 0.1119, 0.0926, 0.0814, 0.0661, 0.0525, 0.0311, 0.0413, -0.0147, -0.004, -0.0196, 0.0, 0.0346, 0.0126, -0.0014, 0.0024, 0.0238, 0.0396, 0.0541, 0.0587, 0.066, 0.1143, 0.0941, 0.1106, 0.0937, 0.0937, 0.1024, 0.1129, 0.1136, 0.1206, 0.1227, 0.1094, 0.1138, 0.1099, 0.1001, 0.0937, 0.1104, 0.0896, 0.075, 0.0789, 0.0956, 0.0833, 0.0362, 0.0166, 0.0053, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0329, 0.0212, 0.009, 0.0106, 0.0157, -0.0093, 0.0098, 0.0171, 0.025, 0.0207, 0.0317, 0.0362, 0.0178, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0021, 0.0283, 0.0215, 0.0297, 0.057, 0.0525, 0.0467, 0.0367, 0.0416, 0.0309, 0.0422, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.0174, 0.0254, 0.0117, 0.0044, 0.0224, 0.0248, 0.0352, 0.0471, 0.0539, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0505, 0.0269, 0.0489, 0.0571, 0.0803, 0.0903, 0.0862, 0.0575, 0.0554, 0.0661, 0.0723, 0.0849, 0.0945, 0.1122, 0.118, 0.1184, 0.1112, 0.1146, 0.1358, 0.1305, 0.1157, 0.127, 0.1285, 0.1298, 0.1354, 0.1497, 0.1495, 0.1672, 0.1623, 0.1381, 0.1283, 0.1418, 0.1531, 0.1458, 0.137, 0.1341, 0.1263, 0.1372, 0.1449, 0.148, 0.1537, 0.1545, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.1843, 0.1849, 0.1837, 0.1951, 0.1794, 0.2072]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2003587838739395046", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T22:05:40+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on the outlook for Canadian energy stocks in 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian energy stocks into 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last BNN appearance of 2025, a volatile yet generally successful year for energy investors. \"We remain bullish\"™️on the outlook for Canadian energy stocks in 2026. From my family to yours, Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!\nhttps://t.co/w4qOvw4uWB https://t.co/0RFrsxYCVp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015789616965671271, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015789616965671271, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005084251722726751, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005084251722726751, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00010141503224314619, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00010141503224314619, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010141503224314619, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010141503224314619, "ret_p1w": 0.03858586371478534, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03858586371478534, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04902939579823751, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04902939579823751, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010443532083452167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010443532083452167, "ret_p1m": 0.10924159571993908, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10924159571993908, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1058377207260226, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1058377207260226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003403874993916478, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003403874993916478, "ret_p3m": 0.4279891607735995, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4279891607735995, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4740017991787453, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4740017991787453, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0460126384051458, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0460126384051458, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0058, -0.0195, -0.0337, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0316, -0.0189, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.0511, -0.0537, -0.0716, -0.0732, -0.0679, -0.0737, -0.0611, -0.0421, -0.0405, -0.0358, -0.0468, -0.0368, -0.04, -0.0358, -0.0326, -0.0437, -0.0237, -0.02, -0.0153, -0.0011, 0.0147, 0.0158, 0.0074, 0.0295, 0.0258, 0.0447, 0.0484, 0.0437, 0.0353, 0.0363, 0.0311, 0.0321, 0.0358, 0.0458, 0.0479, 0.0316, 0.0547, 0.0574, 0.0511, 0.0421, 0.0295, 0.0321, 0.0242, 0.0284, 0.0153, -0.0221, -0.0079, -0.0221, -0.0126, -0.0063, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0226, 0.0211, 0.0386, 0.003, -0.005, -0.0199, -0.0023, 0.0168, 0.0216, 0.0492, 0.0758, 0.0651, 0.0758, 0.0816, 0.0689, 0.1055, 0.0912, 0.1039, 0.1092, 0.1209, 0.1326, 0.1459, 0.1358, 0.1231, 0.1438, 0.1634, 0.148, 0.1693, 0.1735, 0.173, 0.2081, 0.1884, 0.2096, 0.2096, 0.2017, 0.2282, 0.2553, 0.241, 0.241, 0.2383, 0.2298, 0.2399, 0.2543, 0.2761, 0.2707, 0.2771, 0.2883, 0.283, 0.2888, 0.283, 0.3159, 0.3435, 0.3467, 0.3547, 0.3685, 0.3791, 0.4158, 0.4089, 0.3919, 0.4158, 0.428, 0.4257, 0.4658, 0.4583, 0.4492, 0.3952, 0.4241, 0.4241, 0.4337, 0.4503, 0.3856, 0.3626, 0.384, 0.3952, 0.361, 0.3541, 0.368, 0.3027, 0.3124, 0.3353, 0.3541, 0.3786, 0.3594, 0.3915, 0.4203, 0.4578, 0.4701, 0.4551, 0.4743, 0.493, 0.4198, 0.4016, 0.4027, 0.4257, 0.4599, 0.4546, 0.4717, 0.5005, 0.5005, 0.5353, 0.5, 0.4989, 0.4968, 0.4481, 0.4503, 0.4166, 0.4102, 0.3925, 0.423, 0.4567, 0.4738, 0.4834, 0.4219, 0.446, 0.4006, 0.4219, 0.4203, 0.4145, 0.3776, 0.3514, 0.3316, 0.3316, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884697750144450887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-29T20:18:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many CDN stocks are trading at compelling/adequate pre/post tariff valuations...risk vs. reward", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks on compelling valuations and de-escalatory tariff signals improving risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy stocks have been hammered on tariff uncertainty. These demands by the new Commerce Secretary (nominee) seem both reasonable and de-escalatory. Many CDN stocks are trading at compelling/adequate pre/post tariff valuations...risk vs. reward. https://t.co/Pla1L7ah7y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01200678615681472, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01200678615681472, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01650989236997158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01650989236997158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00450310621315686, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00450310621315686, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005145830651431593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005145830651431593, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00022104142242640457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00022104142242640457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005366872073857998, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005366872073857998, "ret_p1w": -0.008004600119472682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008004600119472682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012008996013770812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012008996013770812, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0040043958942981295, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0040043958942981295, "ret_p1m": -0.039450950245530136, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039450950245530136, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0116014720702029, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0116014720702029, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849478175327236, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027849478175327236, "ret_p3m": -0.09556342284737407, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09556342284737407, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019422179277645335, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019422179277645335, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07614124356972873, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07614124356972873, "ret_p6m": 0.012995474337150759, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.012995474337150759, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05196774384763625, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05196774384763625, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06496321818478701, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06496321818478701, "ret_p1y": 0.23630479873508126, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.23630479873508126, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.08403301220902604, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.08403301220902604, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15227178652605522, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15227178652605522, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.039450950245530136, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0116014720702029, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0116014720702029, "price_path": [-0.0137, -0.0227, -0.0097, -0.0097, 0.0089, 0.0146, 0.0039, 0.0027, -0.0086, -0.0001, 0.0225, 0.0112, 0.0214, 0.018, 0.0282, 0.0474, 0.0525, 0.0338, 0.0106, 0.0112, 0.0174, 0.018, 0.0112, 0.0186, -0.0035, 0.005, -0.0148, -0.0103, -0.0177, -0.0046, -0.0216, -0.0222, -0.0397, -0.0465, -0.0635, -0.0708, -0.0703, -0.051, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0377, -0.0217, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0263, 0.0269, 0.028, 0.0383, 0.0194, 0.0212, 0.024, 0.0057, 0.0149, 0.0326, 0.024, 0.0217, 0.0206, 0.0091, -0.0023, -0.012, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0189, -0.0229, -0.0126, -0.008, -0.02, -0.016, 0.0051, 0.0189, -0.004, -0.0006, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0006, 0.0074, 0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0189, -0.0349, -0.04, -0.0395, -0.0372, -0.0852, -0.0955, -0.1023, -0.0966, -0.0766, -0.0783, -0.0709, -0.056, -0.0629, -0.0446, -0.0309, -0.0274, -0.0114, -0.0051, -0.0046, 0.0103, 0.0143, 0.0202, 0.0127, 0.0024, 0.0156, 0.0225, 0.03, -0.0426, -0.1255, -0.1428, -0.1831, -0.114, -0.1722, -0.1486, -0.1428, -0.1399, -0.1232, -0.1042, -0.1128, -0.0944, -0.1002, -0.091, -0.0921, -0.0881, -0.0956, -0.1163, -0.1088, -0.1007, -0.1244, -0.1146, -0.1128, -0.0875, -0.0696, -0.042, -0.0253, -0.0322, -0.0443, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0472, -0.0495, -0.0518, -0.0477, -0.0426, -0.042, -0.0483, -0.0477, -0.0639, -0.046, -0.0328, -0.046, -0.0426, -0.0293, -0.0247, -0.0126, 0.0093, 0.015, 0.0467, 0.0387, 0.0565, 0.0456, 0.0536, 0.0496, 0.0145, -0.0005, -0.0056, -0.0021, -0.0068, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0025, -0.0016, -0.0033, -0.0103, 0.0107, 0.0101, 0.006, 0.0182, 0.0159, 0.0072, -0.0045, 0.0002, 0.0014, -0.0085, -0.0021, 0.0083, 0.0177, 0.013]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925948856434344128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T16:16:04+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas is in a structural bull market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Structural long natural gas; short-term cautious on oil despite medium-term bullish thesis intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe natural gas is in a structural bull market while the short-term outlook for oil is challenged (medium- term bullish thesis intact). Hear why in our Ninepoint Energy Strategies Weekly Update: https://t.co/yWQfOLnNmd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010695205347103998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010695205347103998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01756800519513091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01756800519513091, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0068727998480269115, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0068727998480269115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.06654782475557208, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06654782475557208, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08429935072373496, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08429935072373496, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017751525968162873, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017751525968162873, "ret_p1m": 0.0005941906670925423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0005941906670925423, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.038801148779139094, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.038801148779139094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039395339446231636, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039395339446231636, "ret_p3m": -0.27926321037262203, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27926321037262203, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3844012388275122, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3844012388275122, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513802845489018, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10513802845489018, "ret_p6m": -0.1610219875479486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1610219875479486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31708723794445826, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31708723794445826, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15606525039650965, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15606525039650965, "ret_p1y": -0.33689840178236796, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.33689840178236796, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6436393764021204, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6436393764021204, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30674097461975247, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30674097461975247, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0005941906670925423, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.038801148779139094, "alpha_c_stated": -0.038801148779139094, "price_path": [0.262, 0.2923, 0.2567, 0.2395, 0.2086, 0.3042, 0.3731, 0.4034, 0.3529, 0.3779, 0.4159, 0.3832, 0.2864, 0.2733, 0.2947, 0.2608, 0.2721, 0.328, 0.2579, 0.2383, 0.2276, 0.208, 0.1967, 0.2127, 0.2674, 0.284, 0.2299, 0.2507, 0.2816, 0.1907, 0.1331, 0.0862, 0.1658, 0.0974, 0.107, 0.0404, 0.0315, 0.0119, 0.0119, -0.0481, -0.0624, -0.0654, -0.079, -0.0671, -0.0125, 0.003, -0.0053, 0.0291, 0.0885, 0.0683, 0.0321, 0.0796, 0.0737, 0.1277, 0.0903, 0.0808, 0.0339, -0.0018, -0.0071, -0.0701, 0.0095, 0.0053, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0404, -0.0499, -0.0665, 0.0024, 0.0077, 0.0048, -0.0077, 0.0208, -0.016, -0.0458, -0.0523, -0.0452, -0.0279, 0.0089, 0.0446, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0493, 0.0006, -0.0345, -0.0582, -0.0695, -0.0172, -0.0921, -0.1022, -0.0838, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.1022, -0.1188, -0.1563, -0.1236, -0.1135, -0.0915, -0.0766, -0.0612, -0.0671, -0.0582, -0.1277, -0.1402, -0.1854, -0.1765, -0.1783, -0.1878, -0.1735, -0.2068, -0.1925, -0.1907, -0.2299, -0.2163, -0.1955, -0.1961, -0.2157, -0.2234, -0.2704, -0.2632, -0.2567, -0.2377, -0.2442, -0.2775, -0.2793, -0.2632, -0.2923, -0.29, -0.2888, -0.2757, -0.2531, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2406, -0.224, -0.2216, -0.2311, -0.2181, -0.2121, -0.2347, -0.262, -0.2567, -0.2329, -0.2145, -0.2216, -0.2472, -0.2531, -0.2781, -0.2656, -0.2656, -0.2519, -0.2591, -0.2383, -0.2234, -0.1907, -0.2008, -0.2246, -0.2097, -0.1812, -0.2216, -0.243, -0.2674, -0.2763, -0.29, -0.2941, -0.3119, -0.2947, -0.2317, -0.2187, -0.224, -0.2317, -0.2294, -0.2341, -0.2668, -0.2745, -0.2383, -0.2127, -0.1824, -0.1723, -0.1901, -0.1581, -0.1711, -0.1622, -0.1349, -0.1295, -0.12, -0.1349, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1664645144870547465", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-02T14:48:24+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why do we see MEANINGFUL upside for energy stocks at ~CURRENT oil price, thus getting enormous free optionality to a stronger price in the months ahead", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks at current oil prices with massive free-cash-flow upside; optionality to higher oil in months ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why do we see MEANINGFUL upside for energy stocks at ~CURRENT oil price, thus getting enormous free optionality to a stronger price in the months ahead? Company XYZ, a 10% weighting in the Ninepoint Energy Fund, will free cashflow 110% of their current share price over the next 5 years at $75WTI ($3 below current). At $90WTI we model them free cash flowing 275% of their share price over the same time frame.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029536864068665514, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029536864068665514, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015282036534233101, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015282036534233101, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014254827534432413, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014254827534432413, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006633223476239514, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006633223476239514, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004717046439149053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004717046439149053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019161770370904607, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019161770370904607, "ret_p1w": 0.017897374600406746, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017897374600406746, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01327056593782805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01327056593782805, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004626808662578696, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004626808662578696, "ret_p1m": 0.027241667462440056, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027241667462440056, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013697051778938762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013697051778938762, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04093871924137882, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04093871924137882, "ret_p3m": 0.12193589937015803, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12193589937015803, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06406218000205177, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06406218000205177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05787371936810626, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05787371936810626, "ret_p6m": 0.07641330679187641, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07641330679187641, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.006640184346711209, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.006640184346711209, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0697731224451652, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0697731224451652, "ret_p1y": 0.21527596528020299, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21527596528020299, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04443287007753205, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04443287007753205, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25970883535773504, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25970883535773504, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027241667462440056, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013697051778938762, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013697051778938762, "price_path": [0.0625, 0.0516, 0.0367, 0.0235, 0.0027, 0.0126, -0.0418, -0.0314, -0.0466, -0.0275, 0.0061, -0.0153, -0.0289, -0.0252, -0.0044, 0.011, 0.025, 0.0295, 0.0367, 0.0836, 0.064, 0.08, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0721, 0.0822, 0.083, 0.0897, 0.0917, 0.0788, 0.0831, 0.0793, 0.0698, 0.0636, 0.0798, 0.0596, 0.0454, 0.0492, 0.0655, 0.0534, 0.0076, -0.0114, -0.0224, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0045, -0.0069, -0.0188, -0.0173, -0.0123, -0.0365, -0.018, -0.0109, -0.0033, -0.0074, 0.0033, 0.0076, -0.0103, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0243, -0.0414, -0.0295, 0.0, -0.0066, 0.0014, 0.0279, 0.0235, 0.0179, 0.0081, 0.0129, 0.0025, 0.0135, 0.012, 0.012, -0.0106, -0.0028, -0.0162, -0.0233, -0.0057, -0.0034, 0.0067, 0.0183, 0.0248, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0216, -0.0014, 0.02, 0.028, 0.0506, 0.0603, 0.0563, 0.0284, 0.0264, 0.0367, 0.0428, 0.055, 0.0644, 0.0815, 0.0872, 0.0876, 0.0806, 0.0839, 0.1045, 0.0993, 0.0849, 0.0959, 0.0974, 0.0987, 0.1041, 0.118, 0.1179, 0.1351, 0.1303, 0.1068, 0.0972, 0.1103, 0.1213, 0.1142, 0.1056, 0.1029, 0.0953, 0.1059, 0.1134, 0.1164, 0.1219, 0.1227, 0.1457, 0.1457, 0.1517, 0.1522, 0.1511, 0.1622, 0.1469, 0.174, 0.1651, 0.1788, 0.1617, 0.1716, 0.1606, 0.1498, 0.134, 0.1359, 0.1502, 0.1436, 0.1721, 0.1733, 0.1497, 0.1268, 0.126, 0.0907, 0.0839, 0.0904, 0.1268, 0.1282, 0.1137, 0.115, 0.1395, 0.1471, 0.1591, 0.1696, 0.1676, 0.148, 0.1295, 0.1136, 0.1115, 0.1029, 0.0764, 0.08, 0.0835, 0.081, 0.1137, 0.1025, 0.09, 0.0659, 0.0525, 0.0493, 0.0609, 0.0685, 0.0781, 0.076, 0.055, 0.0772, 0.0787, 0.0763, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.0802, 0.0764]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1802766006651138510", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-17T18:11:24+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we cannot intelligently explain the MTD selloff in energy stocks given $80WTI, massive free cashflows, and ongoing significant share buybacks, and are actively adding to key names", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively adding to energy stocks; selloff unjustified given $80 WTI, strong FCF, and buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a great day when you get to share the screen with the one and only @CroftHelima. We cannot intelligently explain the MTD selloff in energy stocks given $80WTI, massive free cashflows, and ongoing significant share buybacks, and are actively adding to key names.   https://t.co/SjCoQsonue", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026054441500467096, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026054441500467096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005290477556967099, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005290477556967099, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007895921707013809, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007895921707013809, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004191819364226301, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004191819364226301, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001651228418567019, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001651228418567019, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0025405909456592823, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025405909456592823, "ret_p1w": 0.04240441667793848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04240441667793848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.047173167135043714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.047173167135043714, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004768750457105231, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004768750457105231, "ret_p1m": 0.05405257732300717, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05405257732300717, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01825963685639409, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01825963685639409, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03579294046661308, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03579294046661308, "ret_p3m": -0.02805609191301539, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02805609191301539, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.053268417298812154, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.053268417298812154, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025212325385796763, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025212325385796763, "ret_p6m": 0.03915316292829929, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03915316292829929, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06960131670309111, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06960131670309111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1087544796313904, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1087544796313904, "ret_p1y": -0.023993268616620322, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.023993268616620322, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1330511518536569, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1330511518536569, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10905788323703658, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10905788323703658, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05405257732300717, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01825963685639409, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01825963685639409, "price_path": [0.0428, 0.0491, 0.0468, 0.0565, 0.0484, 0.0581, 0.0696, 0.0696, 0.0775, 0.0926, 0.1, 0.0994, 0.1111, 0.1041, 0.1045, 0.1079, 0.1071, 0.089, 0.0788, 0.0694, 0.0664, 0.0631, 0.0759, 0.0829, 0.0889, 0.0897, 0.0947, 0.0846, 0.092, 0.0595, 0.0426, 0.0486, 0.0487, 0.057, 0.056, 0.0547, 0.0689, 0.063, 0.0602, 0.0615, 0.0639, 0.0609, 0.0758, 0.0688, 0.0636, 0.0432, 0.0336, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0458, 0.0273, 0.0302, 0.0559, 0.0282, 0.0184, 0.0182, 0.0236, 0.0195, 0.0272, 0.0252, 0.0142, 0.0049, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0227, 0.0168, 0.0424, 0.0448, 0.0345, 0.0369, 0.0409, 0.0415, 0.0407, 0.0453, 0.0453, 0.0289, 0.0226, 0.0136, 0.0205, 0.0311, 0.0337, 0.0494, 0.0541, 0.0646, 0.0665, 0.0549, 0.0482, 0.0316, 0.0317, 0.0495, 0.0528, 0.0438, 0.06, 0.0644, 0.0362, 0.0095, -0.0128, -0.0067, -0.0027, 0.0188, 0.021, 0.0261, 0.0161, 0.0221, 0.0343, 0.0332, 0.0401, 0.0127, 0.0144, 0.0171, 0.0322, 0.0415, 0.0318, 0.0252, 0.0385, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0165, 0.0024, -0.0053, -0.0178, -0.0107, -0.0277, -0.0367, -0.0281, -0.0226, -0.0114, 0.002, 0.0039, 0.0159, 0.0136, 0.0261, 0.0236, 0.0036, -0.0161, 0.0039, 0.0109, 0.034, 0.0446, 0.063, 0.0729, 0.0767, 0.0486, 0.0549, 0.0621, 0.0686, 0.0682, 0.0337, 0.0387, 0.0436, 0.0402, 0.0371, 0.0395, 0.0341, 0.034, 0.0336, 0.0271, 0.0114, 0.0137, 0.02, 0.0136, 0.0313, 0.0382, 0.0773, 0.0723, 0.0795, 0.0856, 0.0798, 0.0882, 0.0923, 0.0907, 0.1052, 0.0982, 0.1093, 0.1183, 0.12, 0.0979, 0.0964, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0999, 0.0883, 0.0882, 0.062, 0.0661, 0.048, 0.0463, 0.0392]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1880264879455764755", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-17T14:44:15+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this has become an alpha generating opportunity, with clarity in the coming weeks. Canadian energy names have lagged their US peers by ~8% since Premier Smith's comments spooked the market. fundamentally valuations in several names are already discounting a full tariff", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Canadian energy names: tariff risk overpriced, 17-19% FCF yields at $75 WTI already discount worst case, lagged US peers ~8% on sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe that it is unlikely (<25% chance) that President Trump will place tariffs on Canadian oil. How can he do so (60% of US imports) while also committing to \"maximum pressure\" on Iran (1.7MM Bbl/d) and enforcing new sanctions on Russia (0.75-1.5MM Bbl/d) and Venezuela (~0.1MM Bbl/d and an alternative to CDN heavy oil). Further, PADD 2 imports ~3MM Bbl/d from Canada via pipeline with limited/no alternatives. Tariffs also assumed direct pass through to US consumer = inflationary when US 10 year treasuries at 4.6%. \n\nI met with the CEOs of most CDN oil companies earlier this week and no strong views other than would be temporary and \"this too shall pass.\" \n\nCanadian energy names have lagged their US peers by ~8% since Premier Smith's comments spooked the market. With WTI spot at $78 and 2025 strip at $73 some names are trading at 17%-19% free cashflow yields at $75. A full tariff (and likely VERY temporary) would lower this to still over 10%. While knee jerk reactions are always possible/likely, given the lag in CDN names to the recent rise in WTI fundamentally valuations in several names are already discounting a full tariff. \n\nWe are seeing tariff angst amongst clients and trading desks report heavy US HF selling/shorting. Uncertainty creates opportunity and while no one can be truly certain on the outcome, to us this has become an alpha generating opportunity, with clarity in the coming weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009014129637814672, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009014129637814672, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009261278922689797, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009261278922689797, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009940257530083652, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009940257530083652, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017464925327355107, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017464925327355107, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017464925327355107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017464925327355107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.005633788891557856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005633788891557856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023020302445522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023020302445522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017386513553964145, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017386513553964145, "ret_p1m": -0.025352050012010463, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025352050012010463, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04563356992609802, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04563356992609802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020281519914087554, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020281519914087554, "ret_p3m": -0.13605801283556518, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13605801283556518, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.018352000995663698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018352000995663698, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.11770601183990148, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11770601183990148, "ret_p6m": -0.0075793919993096814, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0075793919993096814, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05489723943012237, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05489723943012237, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04731784743081269, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04731784743081269, "ret_p1y": 0.12043549511706098, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12043549511706098, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05467151204382881, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05467151204382881, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17510700716088978, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17510700716088978, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025352050012010463, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04563356992609802, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04563356992609802, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.0036, -0.0142, -0.0092, 0.0042, -0.0125, -0.0198, -0.0164, -0.0281, -0.0371, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0058, -0.0003, -0.0109, -0.012, -0.0231, -0.0148, 0.0075, -0.0036, 0.0064, 0.0031, 0.0131, 0.0321, 0.0371, 0.0187, -0.0042, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0031, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0181, -0.0097, -0.0293, -0.0248, -0.032, -0.0192, -0.0359, -0.0365, -0.0538, -0.0605, -0.0772, -0.0845, -0.0839, -0.0649, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0518, -0.0361, -0.0208, -0.0146, -0.0056, 0.0113, 0.0118, 0.013, 0.0231, 0.0045, 0.0062, 0.009, -0.009, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.009, 0.0068, 0.0056, -0.0056, -0.0169, -0.0265, -0.0146, -0.0096, -0.0332, -0.0372, -0.027, -0.0225, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0096, 0.0039, -0.0186, -0.0152, -0.0254, -0.0254, -0.0152, -0.0073, -0.0045, -0.0248, -0.0332, -0.049, -0.0541, -0.0535, -0.0513, -0.0986, -0.1087, -0.1155, -0.1099, -0.0901, -0.0918, -0.0845, -0.0699, -0.0766, -0.0586, -0.0451, -0.0417, -0.0259, -0.0197, -0.0192, -0.0045, -0.0006, 0.0053, -0.0021, -0.0123, 0.0007, 0.0076, 0.0149, -0.0566, -0.1383, -0.1554, -0.1951, -0.127, -0.1843, -0.161, -0.1554, -0.1525, -0.1361, -0.1173, -0.1258, -0.1077, -0.1134, -0.1043, -0.1054, -0.1014, -0.1088, -0.1292, -0.1219, -0.1139, -0.1372, -0.1275, -0.1258, -0.1009, -0.0833, -0.056, -0.0396, -0.0464, -0.0583, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0611, -0.0634, -0.0657, -0.0617, -0.0566, -0.056, -0.0623, -0.0617, -0.0776, -0.06, -0.0469, -0.06, -0.0566, -0.0435, -0.039, -0.0271, -0.0055, 0.0002, 0.0314, 0.0234, 0.041, 0.0303, 0.0382, 0.0342, -0.0004, -0.0152, -0.0202, -0.0168, -0.0213, -0.0265, -0.0265, -0.0122, -0.0162, -0.0179, -0.0248, -0.0041, -0.0047, -0.0087, 0.0033, 0.001, -0.0076]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985782319945294090", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T18:52:53+00:00", "symbol": "US natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we like US focused natural gas producers: 20+ years of inventory, closest to sources of demand growth (LNG, data centers), and 11%+ FCF yields at strip/marginal supply cost", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US natural gas producers on 20+ yr inventory, LNG/data-center demand tailwinds, and 11%+ FCF yields amid energy sector apathy.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hated and left for dead: energy now makes up just 2.7% of the S&amp;P500.  This apathy creates opportunity = we like US focused natural gas producers: 20+ years of inventory, closest to sources of demand growth (LNG, data centers), and 11%+ FCF yields at strip/marginal supply cost: https://t.co/O7oJlIbjbT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008017666020469605, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008017666020469605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003978065808349696, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003978065808349696, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005345368483079094, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005345368483079094, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008810757680075332, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008810757680075332, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "ret_p1w": 0.07260568044333149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07260568044333149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061113562269750954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061113562269750954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "ret_p1m": 0.11625821971893835, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11625821971893835, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10344797916251247, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10344797916251247, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "ret_p3m": 0.13601038017056744, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13601038017056744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11183010684471006, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11183010684471006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02418027332585737, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02418027332585737, "ret_p6m": 0.39758437089637066, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39758437089637066, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3242573136436795, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3242573136436795, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07332705725269117, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07332705725269117, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11625821971893835, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10344797916251247, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10344797916251247, "price_path": [0.0044, 0.0097, -0.0, 0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0208, 0.015, 0.0026, -0.0062, 0.0009, 0.0093, 0.0367, 0.046, 0.0407, 0.0517, 0.0654, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0783, 0.0438, 0.0544, 0.0309, 0.0199, 0.0163, 0.0468, 0.0424, 0.0331, 0.0239, 0.0548, 0.0513, 0.0446, 0.0168, 0.0208, 0.042, 0.0641, 0.0682, 0.0802, 0.0543, 0.0463, 0.0659, 0.0388, 0.053, 0.0615, 0.0637, 0.0624, 0.0383, -0.0151, 0.0085, -0.0062, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0076, -0.0134, -0.0125, 0.0165, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0156, -0.0138, -0.0169, -0.0018, 0.008, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.008, 0.0321, 0.0445, 0.0726, 0.061, 0.0628, 0.0748, 0.0575, 0.0726, 0.0655, 0.049, 0.0539, 0.0637, 0.0557, 0.0731, 0.0731, 0.0958, 0.102, 0.082, 0.1163, 0.1189, 0.1234, 0.1029, 0.1016, 0.1078, 0.0873, 0.0799, 0.0643, 0.0275, 0.0562, 0.0261, 0.0324, 0.0414, 0.0499, 0.0436, 0.0378, 0.0477, 0.0589, 0.0499, 0.0687, 0.0436, 0.0293, 0.0158, 0.0423, 0.036, 0.0405, 0.0611, 0.0746, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0598, 0.0943, 0.0921, 0.0988, 0.1028, 0.1154, 0.127, 0.1423, 0.1486, 0.11, 0.136, 0.1656, 0.1427, 0.1741, 0.1759, 0.1674, 0.1966, 0.1674, 0.1925, 0.1925, 0.1741, 0.2033, 0.2279, 0.2383, 0.219, 0.214, 0.2069, 0.2158, 0.2526, 0.2849, 0.2813, 0.28, 0.297, 0.3042, 0.3046, 0.2719, 0.3055, 0.3176, 0.3324, 0.3333, 0.349, 0.3598, 0.3881, 0.3943, 0.3858, 0.4181, 0.4329, 0.458, 0.4751, 0.4562, 0.4278, 0.38, 0.4039, 0.4039, 0.412, 0.4264, 0.3651, 0.3485, 0.3503, 0.3498, 0.3052, 0.307, 0.3318, 0.2822, 0.289, 0.3133, 0.3417, 0.3566, 0.3435, 0.3525, 0.3742, 0.4107, 0.4147, 0.3976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864348632612274682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-04T16:38:46+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "global oil inventories at all-time lows combined with demand at record highs will become much more relevant", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish crude oil into 2026+: US inventory deficit widening, OPEC+ spare capacity overstated, non-OPEC growth ending, supply/demand balance increasingly tight.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US oil inventories reached their widest deficit to average levels since June 2022 while the US \"Big 3\" deficit continued to widen. We are told by some that inventories no longer matter because OPEC+ has ample spare capacity. We disagree! We believe actual OPEC+ spare capacity = ~4MM Bbl/d and is largely held by KSA. With meaningful US shale / non-OPEC production growth forecasted to be coming to an end in the near future, the market will soon look to 2026+ balances which are increasingly bullish.  At that point, global oil inventories at all-time lows combined with demand at record highs will become much more relevant.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018116515450394832, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018116515450394832, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024287797960459323, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024287797960459323, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006171282510064491, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006171282510064491, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003042473076075747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003042473076075747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013967704752705368, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013967704752705368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00164570260080521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00164570260080521, "ret_p1w": 0.016733496408877224, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016733496408877224, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017062616480447268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017062616480447268, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "ret_p1m": 0.058083317928940614, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.058083317928940614, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0806579488957756, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0806579488957756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022574630966834985, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022574630966834985, "ret_p3m": -0.01756322342615646, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01756322342615646, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029927913387697513, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.029927913387697513, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.047491136813853974, "bench_c_p3m": -0.047491136813853974, "ret_p6m": -0.10620938410283554, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10620938410283554, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08783387129051523, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08783387129051523, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.018375512812320305, "bench_c_p6m": -0.018375512812320305, "ret_p1y": -0.1359424470785252, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1359424470785252, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.26029912162641955, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.26029912162641955, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12435667454789434, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12435667454789434, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01756322342615646, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.029927913387697513, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029927913387697513, "price_path": [-0.0173, -0.0065, -0.0431, -0.0235, -0.0047, -0.0097, 0.0061, 0.0192, 0.0185, 0.0355, 0.0301, 0.022, 0.0396, 0.0159, -0.0098, -0.0046, -0.0075, 0.0173, 0.022, 0.0734, 0.0794, 0.1192, 0.0673, 0.0591, 0.0981, 0.0931, 0.0712, 0.0268, 0.0264, 0.0296, 0.0104, 0.0274, 0.0516, 0.0366, 0.0286, 0.0517, -0.0123, -0.0165, 0.0033, 0.0118, 0.0109, 0.0383, 0.0445, 0.0361, 0.0459, 0.0216, -0.0066, -0.0058, -0.0004, 0.0035, -0.0176, 0.0137, 0.0138, 0.0069, 0.0266, 0.0396, 0.0097, 0.0069, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0087, -0.0066, 0.0181, 0.0, -0.003, -0.0165, -0.0024, -0.0017, 0.0167, 0.0152, 0.0301, 0.0221, 0.0122, 0.0149, 0.0079, 0.0087, 0.0044, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0131, 0.0257, 0.0288, 0.0322, 0.0501, 0.0581, 0.0552, 0.0656, 0.0532, 0.0638, 0.103, 0.1203, 0.1052, 0.1344, 0.1242, 0.1173, 0.1173, 0.0965, 0.0925, 0.0827, 0.0856, 0.066, 0.0716, 0.0591, 0.0631, 0.0615, 0.0505, 0.0538, 0.0318, 0.0274, 0.0325, 0.0492, 0.0649, 0.0397, 0.0375, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0488, 0.0516, 0.0577, 0.0293, 0.0342, 0.0098, 0.003, 0.0239, 0.012, -0.0095, -0.0176, -0.0416, -0.0394, -0.027, -0.0419, -0.038, -0.0188, -0.0336, -0.0239, -0.0171, -0.0242, -0.0212, -0.0043, -0.0021, 0.0095, 0.0098, 0.0205, 0.0238, 0.0183, 0.0336, 0.0301, 0.0365, -0.03, -0.0931, -0.112, -0.1312, -0.0945, -0.1242, -0.1044, -0.1028, -0.1057, -0.0893, -0.0602, -0.0837, -0.0673, -0.0856, -0.0797, -0.0752, -0.0892, -0.1115, -0.1271, -0.1408, -0.1524, -0.1671, -0.1405, -0.1548, -0.131, -0.1162, -0.1016, -0.0786, -0.086, -0.1076, -0.0954, -0.0936, -0.0958, -0.1023, -0.1088, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.1137, -0.1025, -0.1128, -0.1163, -0.1062]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876373125601869994", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-06T20:59:49+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a sector trading at a ~12% FCF yield at spot, and now the real potential for the elimination of the CDN political risk discount in CDN stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: record oil demand, low inventories, tight OPEC spare capacity, ~12% FCF yield, and fading political risk discount.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today redefined what \"Happy New Year\" means...record high oil demand, record low global inventories, tightly held OPEC spare capacity, a sector trading at a ~12% FCF yield at spot, and now the real potential for the elimination of the CDN political risk discount in CDN stocks. https://t.co/Y8QSzdgCrN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00906520106688502, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00906520106688502, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003337529583597898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003337529583597898, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005727671483287122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005727671483287122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016997124888056492, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016997124888056492, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028301140259195945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028301140259195945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011304015371139453, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011304015371139453, "ret_p1w": 0.010198252335082092, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010198252335082092, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033662974076395735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033662974076395735, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023464721741313643, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023464721741313643, "ret_p1m": -0.021529668927119716, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021529668927119716, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032313138171008116, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032313138171008116, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0107834692438884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0107834692438884, "ret_p3m": -0.05124390453896177, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05124390453896177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.044572984702343055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.044572984702343055, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09581688924130483, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09581688924130483, "ret_p6m": -0.006571765148798314, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.006571765148798314, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0549394968219864, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0549394968219864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048367731673188086, "bench_c_p6m": 0.048367731673188086, "ret_p1y": 0.10816108762074816, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10816108762074816, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06493823258033138, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06493823258033138, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17309932020107954, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17309932020107954, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021529668927119716, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.032313138171008116, "alpha_c_stated": -0.032313138171008116, "price_path": [0.0166, 0.0205, 0.043, 0.0452, 0.0452, -0.0052, -0.0092, 0.002, -0.0024, 0.0015, 0.002, -0.0086, -0.0036, 0.0099, -0.0069, -0.0142, -0.0109, -0.0226, -0.0316, -0.0187, -0.0187, -0.0002, 0.0054, -0.0052, -0.0064, -0.0176, -0.0092, 0.0133, 0.002, 0.0121, 0.0088, 0.0189, 0.0379, 0.043, 0.0245, 0.0015, 0.002, 0.0082, 0.0088, 0.002, 0.0093, -0.0125, -0.0041, -0.0238, -0.0193, -0.0266, -0.0137, -0.0305, -0.031, -0.0484, -0.0552, -0.072, -0.0793, -0.0787, -0.0596, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0465, -0.0306, -0.0153, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.017, 0.0176, 0.0187, 0.0289, 0.0102, 0.0119, 0.0147, -0.0034, 0.0057, 0.0232, 0.0147, 0.0125, 0.0113, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.021, -0.0091, -0.004, -0.0278, -0.0317, -0.0215, -0.017, -0.0289, -0.0249, -0.004, 0.0096, -0.013, -0.0096, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0096, -0.0017, 0.0011, -0.0193, -0.0278, -0.0436, -0.0487, -0.0482, -0.0459, -0.0935, -0.1037, -0.1105, -0.1048, -0.085, -0.0867, -0.0793, -0.0646, -0.0714, -0.0533, -0.0397, -0.0363, -0.0204, -0.0142, -0.0136, 0.0011, 0.0051, 0.011, 0.0036, -0.0067, 0.0064, 0.0133, 0.0207, -0.0512, -0.1334, -0.1506, -0.1905, -0.122, -0.1797, -0.1563, -0.1506, -0.1477, -0.1312, -0.1123, -0.1209, -0.1026, -0.1083, -0.0992, -0.1003, -0.0963, -0.1038, -0.1243, -0.1169, -0.1089, -0.1323, -0.1226, -0.1209, -0.0958, -0.0781, -0.0507, -0.0341, -0.041, -0.053, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0558, -0.0581, -0.0604, -0.0564, -0.0512, -0.0507, -0.057, -0.0564, -0.0724, -0.0547, -0.0415, -0.0547, -0.0512, -0.0381, -0.0335, -0.0216, 0.0001, 0.0058, 0.0372, 0.0292, 0.0469, 0.0361, 0.0441, 0.0401, 0.0053, -0.0096, -0.0146, -0.0112, -0.0158, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0066]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1801668315619697075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-14T17:29:34+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why we are in a \"multi-year bull market\" for energy stocks and why \"we remain bullish™️\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks for a multi-year bull market despite recent weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Suddenly in need of some hand holding with energy stocks 🔽 even though oil has remained strong? Need a reminder as to why we are in a \"multi-year bull market\" for energy stocks and why \"we remain bullish™️\"? Join me next Thursday at 2pm ET for a webcast: https://t.co/cQh52O9trq https://t.co/lTm6QuFbBX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007496512396063526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007496512396063526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008104693468155455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008104693468155455, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002612250222106427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002612250222106427, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005346513258232877, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005346513258232877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "ret_p1w": 0.019422958480307173, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019422958480307173, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01299939146376361, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01299939146376361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "ret_p1m": 0.05211160665167203, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05211160665167203, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014229873681173899, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014229873681173899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "ret_p3m": -0.03421893515121388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03421893515121388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05895911916054386, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05895911916054386, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "ret_p6m": 0.0490252584651476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0490252584651476, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07203917359682244, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07203917359682244, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "ret_p1y": -0.03951087353658511, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03951087353658511, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14603263645539355, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14603263645539355, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03951087353658511, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14603263645539355, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14603263645539355, "price_path": [0.047, 0.0455, 0.0518, 0.0495, 0.0593, 0.0511, 0.0609, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0803, 0.0954, 0.1029, 0.1022, 0.114, 0.107, 0.1073, 0.1107, 0.1099, 0.0919, 0.0817, 0.0722, 0.0692, 0.0659, 0.0787, 0.0858, 0.0918, 0.0926, 0.0976, 0.0875, 0.0948, 0.0622, 0.0453, 0.0513, 0.0515, 0.0597, 0.0587, 0.0575, 0.0717, 0.0658, 0.0629, 0.0643, 0.0667, 0.0637, 0.0786, 0.0716, 0.0663, 0.0459, 0.0363, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0485, 0.03, 0.0329, 0.0586, 0.0309, 0.021, 0.0209, 0.0262, 0.0221, 0.0299, 0.0278, 0.0168, 0.0075, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0253, 0.0194, 0.0451, 0.0475, 0.0372, 0.0396, 0.0436, 0.0442, 0.0434, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0316, 0.0253, 0.0163, 0.0231, 0.0338, 0.0364, 0.0521, 0.0568, 0.0673, 0.0693, 0.0576, 0.051, 0.0343, 0.0344, 0.0522, 0.0555, 0.0465, 0.0628, 0.0672, 0.0389, 0.0122, -0.0102, -0.0041, -0.0001, 0.0214, 0.0237, 0.0288, 0.0188, 0.0247, 0.037, 0.0359, 0.0428, 0.0154, 0.0171, 0.0197, 0.0349, 0.0442, 0.0345, 0.0278, 0.0412, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0191, 0.0051, -0.0027, -0.0152, -0.0081, -0.0252, -0.0342, -0.0255, -0.02, -0.0088, 0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0186, 0.0163, 0.0288, 0.0263, 0.0062, -0.0135, 0.0065, 0.0136, 0.0367, 0.0473, 0.0658, 0.0757, 0.0795, 0.0513, 0.0577, 0.0648, 0.0714, 0.071, 0.0364, 0.0414, 0.0464, 0.0429, 0.0398, 0.0422, 0.0368, 0.0367, 0.0363, 0.0297, 0.014, 0.0164, 0.0227, 0.0162, 0.034, 0.0409, 0.0801, 0.0751, 0.0823, 0.0884, 0.0826, 0.091, 0.0952, 0.0936, 0.1081, 0.1011, 0.1122, 0.1212, 0.1229, 0.1007, 0.0992, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.1028, 0.0912, 0.091, 0.0647, 0.0689, 0.0508, 0.049]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912245118410846259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-15T20:42:18+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what we believe to be a multi-year bull market in natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long natural gas; author believes a multi-year bull market is underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today on @marketcall I reviewed how we are positioned for the 2 key unknowns in the oil market, and for what we believe to be a multi-year bull market in natural gas: https://t.co/9EEQS8S9zd https://t.co/KmMPdjLwSM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01937756373461763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01937756373461763, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0033556665311642586, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0033556665311642586, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273323026578189, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273323026578189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014266916772247562, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014266916772247562, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014266916772247562, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014266916772247562, "ret_p1w": -0.08984149295104227, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08984149295104227, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1298482858261336, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1298482858261336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040006792875091346, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040006792875091346, "ret_p1m": -0.018790463257220447, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018790463257220447, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14917890202809536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14917890202809536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.13038843877087491, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13038843877087491, "ret_p3m": -0.08749269904380574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08749269904380574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27453223630150425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27453223630150425, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1870395372576985, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1870395372576985, "ret_p6m": -0.27598359209844736, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27598359209844736, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.525396262078872, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.525396262078872, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24941266998042466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24941266998042466, "ret_p1y": -0.34938347169916983, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34938347169916983, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.650147176888391, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.650147176888391, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30076370518922113, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30076370518922113, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.34938347169916983, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.650147176888391, "alpha_c_stated": -0.650147176888391, "price_path": [0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0411, 0.0887, 0.0716, 0.064, 0.007, -0.0435, -0.0159, -0.0523, -0.0493, 0.0358, 0.0023, 0.0452, 0.0505, 0.0264, 0.0693, 0.091, 0.1033, 0.1245, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.2302, 0.3277, 0.276, 0.2971, 0.2472, 0.2772, 0.2419, 0.2249, 0.1944, 0.2889, 0.357, 0.387, 0.3371, 0.3617, 0.3993, 0.367, 0.2713, 0.2584, 0.2795, 0.246, 0.2572, 0.3124, 0.2431, 0.2237, 0.2132, 0.1938, 0.1826, 0.1985, 0.2525, 0.2689, 0.2155, 0.2361, 0.2666, 0.1767, 0.1198, 0.0734, 0.1521, 0.0846, 0.094, 0.0282, 0.0194, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0593, -0.0734, -0.0763, -0.0898, -0.0781, -0.0241, -0.0088, -0.017, 0.017, 0.0757, 0.0558, 0.02, 0.0669, 0.0611, 0.1145, 0.0775, 0.0681, 0.0217, -0.0135, -0.0188, -0.081, -0.0023, -0.0065, -0.0223, -0.0117, -0.0117, 0.0023, -0.0517, -0.0611, -0.0775, -0.0094, -0.0041, -0.007, -0.0194, 0.0088, -0.0276, -0.057, -0.0634, -0.0564, -0.0393, -0.0029, 0.0323, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.037, -0.0112, -0.0458, -0.0693, -0.0804, -0.0288, -0.1028, -0.1127, -0.0945, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1127, -0.1292, -0.1662, -0.1339, -0.1239, -0.1022, -0.0875, -0.0722, -0.0781, -0.0693, -0.138, -0.1503, -0.195, -0.1861, -0.1879, -0.1973, -0.1832, -0.2161, -0.202, -0.2002, -0.239, -0.2255, -0.2049, -0.2055, -0.2249, -0.2325, -0.2789, -0.2719, -0.2654, -0.2466, -0.2531, -0.286, -0.2877, -0.2719, -0.3006, -0.2983, -0.2971, -0.2842, -0.2619, -0.2466, -0.2466, -0.2496, -0.2331, -0.2308, -0.2402, -0.2272, -0.2214, -0.2437, -0.2707, -0.2654, -0.2419, -0.2237, -0.2308, -0.256, -0.2619, -0.2866, -0.2742, -0.2742, -0.2607, -0.2678, -0.2472, -0.2325, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2337, -0.219, -0.1908, -0.2308, -0.2519, -0.276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1793718204340302304", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-05-23T18:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas and service stocks offer upside to a much better natural gas price in 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil on inventory drawdowns to record lows by year-end; bullish natural gas and oilfield service stocks into 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We remain bullish on the 2H'24 and 2025 as oil inventories will soon sharply draw heading to record lows by year-end while natural gas and service stocks offer upside to a much better natural gas price in 2025:  https://t.co/KnBxB5LZyp https://t.co/LYotnYxqNc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021371688861397287, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021371688861397287, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014013791005171417, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014013791005171417, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00735789785622587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00735789785622587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05467198487013769, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05467198487013769, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061288256452514234, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061288256452514234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006616271582376543, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006616271582376543, "ret_p1w": -0.12723664346470054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12723664346470054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12086708535104873, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12086708535104873, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006369558113651808, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006369558113651808, "ret_p1m": -0.05765416035663251, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05765416035663251, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09626282714937995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09626282714937995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03860866679274744, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03860866679274744, "ret_p3m": -0.2718688366074412, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2718688366074412, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33754359348680063, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33754359348680063, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06567475687935942, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06567475687935942, "ret_p6m": -0.33548711094047357, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33548711094047357, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4561846176426283, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4561846176426283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12069750670215473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12069750670215473, "ret_p1y": -0.13518892183141484, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.13518892183141484, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2665838437062755, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2665838437062755, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13139492187486068, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13139492187486068, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2718688366074412, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.33754359348680063, "alpha_c_stated": -0.33754359348680063, "price_path": [-0.2237, -0.1963, -0.1685, -0.1779, -0.1839, -0.1402, -0.1297, -0.1407, -0.2033, -0.1983, -0.2202, -0.2391, -0.2589, -0.2261, -0.248, -0.2376, -0.2227, -0.2361, -0.2386, -0.249, -0.2525, -0.2565, -0.2868, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.2351, -0.2306, -0.2316, -0.2594, -0.2609, -0.2341, -0.2122, -0.2212, -0.2619, -0.2599, -0.2972, -0.2803, -0.2853, -0.2833, -0.2783, -0.2525, -0.2326, -0.2863, -0.2858, -0.3012, -0.2589, -0.2823, -0.2972, -0.2614, -0.2212, -0.2018, -0.1963, -0.2073, -0.159, -0.1789, -0.1397, -0.1466, -0.1252, -0.0969, -0.0507, -0.0149, -0.0313, 0.0214, 0.0, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0378, -0.0944, -0.1272, -0.1257, -0.0596, -0.1044, -0.0586, -0.0408, 0.003, 0.0035, 0.0701, 0.0353, -0.0005, -0.0129, -0.0477, -0.0089, -0.0089, -0.0542, -0.0577, -0.0209, -0.0562, -0.09, -0.1064, -0.1337, -0.1764, -0.1844, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.2247, -0.2117, -0.2182, -0.2291, -0.2435, -0.2296, -0.2803, -0.2739, -0.3171, -0.2987, -0.2893, -0.254, -0.2614, -0.2888, -0.3166, -0.3285, -0.3246, -0.3037, -0.327, -0.3494, -0.3514, -0.3569, -0.338, -0.3111, -0.2952, -0.2903, -0.2843, -0.2878, -0.2674, -0.2758, -0.3007, -0.2699, -0.2719, -0.2763, -0.3136, -0.3181, -0.3375, -0.3499, -0.3439, -0.3325, -0.3355, -0.3355, -0.3096, -0.331, -0.2952, -0.2883, -0.33, -0.3007, -0.2917, -0.2629, -0.2798, -0.2614, -0.2724, -0.2823, -0.2739, -0.2376, -0.2003, -0.2142, -0.2122, -0.2311, -0.1864, -0.1884, -0.1864, -0.1844, -0.171, -0.2078, -0.2356, -0.242, -0.2614, -0.248, -0.2644, -0.3047, -0.3037, -0.332, -0.3385, -0.3524, -0.3415, -0.329, -0.3131, -0.2883, -0.2818, -0.337, -0.3335, -0.3424, -0.3683, -0.3797, -0.3509, -0.3772, -0.3603, -0.3708, -0.3772, -0.3141, -0.3211, -0.2987, -0.3464, -0.3355]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2064688204498800857", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-10T12:36:42+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many oil stocks discounting <$65WTI with an expected floor price of $75-$80 in 2027+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish near-term oil on Strait closure, US SPR depletion, and supply recovery delays; oil equities mispriced with $75-80 WTI floor in 2027+.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Takeaways from spending a day with some of the smartest energy people on the planet:\n🛢️ The risk of a US product export ban is real if the national average gasoline price hits ~$5/gallon\n🛢️the most important questions to come up at dinner were \"how does this end?\" and \"why would Iran give up the Strait at this point?\"\n🛢️base expectation broadly is the Strait will NOT reopen soon as neither party is feeling enough pressure and both sides believe they are winning - military reopening not politically palatable and lacks European buy-in (you broke it, you fix it)\n🛢️I believe the Kuwaitis, Saudis, and Emiratis will NOT ship through the Strait under an Iranian toll system. Incremental workarounds underway with more to come but will take years...Strait oil exports will never reach past levels\n🛢️many expect US tank bottoms in July and US SPR to approach minimum operating levels in July/August (!) - the US has front-loaded emergency responses not having expected the closure to last as long as it has and now has limited recourse after July - Presidential jawboning has made the imbalance worse as demand has not yet been impacted. Regional product shortages are being masked (bring your own jet fuel)\n🛢️skepticism around available data - China believed to be drawing from SPR even though satellite data does not show and Strait voyages OUT believed to be potentially higher than reported\n🛢️how long will it take for production to recover? Weeks/month for majority (~80%) for KSA, UAE, Kuwait, the last 20% is the hardest, and big question mark for Iraq (~2.9MM Bbl/d shut-in) given geology and bureaucracy\n🛢️biggest reason why the expected shortage has been delayed? Chinese drop in imports of ~4.0MM Bbl/d leveraging their SPR. Much skepticism around reported demand \"destruction\" of 5MM Bbl/d\n🛢️Net/net: bullish near-term oil price with significant frustration on price action. \"New normal\" ahead with energy security priority 1, 2, and 3 = increased influence of Western Hemisphere (ie. Canada if we seize it). Many oil stocks discounting <$65WTI with an expected floor price of $75-$80 in 2027+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014763958975992475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014763958975992475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030782038231754516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030782038231754516, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01601807925576204, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01601807925576204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01939915996764352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01939915996764352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036395999379209565, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036395999379209565, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016996839411566045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016996839411566045, "ret_p1w": -0.061459258902226366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.061459258902226366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0828672920048995, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0828672920048995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02140803310267314, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02140803310267314, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0159, -0.0125, -0.0021, -0.0034, 0.0124, 0.0116, 0.0237, 0.0445, 0.0398, 0.0561, 0.074, 0.0637, 0.0517, 0.0124, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0245, 0.0328, -0.0034, -0.0158, -0.0225, -0.0196, -0.0395, -0.0427, -0.0287, -0.0555, -0.0546, -0.0409, -0.0294, -0.0218, -0.0237, -0.0254, -0.0093, 0.0134, 0.024, 0.0103, 0.0196, 0.0206, -0.0215, -0.0395, -0.0438, -0.0185, -0.0117, -0.0106, -0.0031, 0.0204, 0.04, 0.0522, 0.0266, 0.0151, 0.0213, 0.0213, -0.0069, -0.0216, -0.0223, -0.0336, -0.0163, -0.005, 0.0079, 0.0086, -0.01, 0.0014, -0.0148, 0.0, -0.0194, -0.012, -0.0464, -0.0496, -0.0615, -0.0615, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1882089289162334583", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-22T15:33:48+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see investor attention returning to Canada, especially with the elimination of our 'political risk discount' likely in the months ahead", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Canadian oilsands over US shale: buyback compounding + fading political risk discount vs shale inventory depletion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Einstein said the most powerful force in the universe is compound interest. For energy stocks, the cumulative compounding impact of meaningful share buybacks we believe will lead to an inevitable forced re-rating of valuation, given how valuable the remaining shares become over time. Here is one example, a Canadian midcap oilsand stock, able to retire 62% of their shares over 5 years at a flat $70WTI price deck, thereby inflating their FCF yield to over 30%, at which point they would still have 29 years of stay-flat inventory. US shale companies, given lack of inventory depth, do not have this ability, and as the \"twilight of shale\" becomes more obvious, we see investor attention returning to Canada, especially with the elimination of our \"political risk discount\" likely in the months ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002238315606406527, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002238315606406527, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007828563029225855, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007828563029225855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005590247422819328, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005590247422819328, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001119213602066571, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001119213602066571, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00657723508127761, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00657723508127761, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458021479211039, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005458021479211039, "ret_p1w": -0.021264835243812064, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021264835243812064, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013630139891365078, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013630139891365078, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007634695352446985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007634695352446985, "ret_p1m": -0.011192024422939317, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011192024422939317, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01768896403050091, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01768896403050091, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0064969396075615915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0064969396075615915, "ret_p3m": -0.11366847841856198, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11366847841856198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.014297951915927753, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.014297951915927753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12796643033448973, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12796643033448973, "ret_p6m": -0.019941620997156906, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.019941620997156906, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06098230758368761, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06098230758368761, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041040686586530706, "bench_c_p6m": 0.041040686586530706, "ret_p1y": 0.17745333094662996, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17745333094662996, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02570389492346359, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02570389492346359, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15174943602316637, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15174943602316637, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011192024422939317, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01768896403050091, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01768896403050091, "price_path": [-0.0158, -0.0025, -0.0192, -0.0264, -0.023, -0.0347, -0.0435, -0.0308, -0.0308, -0.0125, -0.007, -0.0175, -0.0186, -0.0297, -0.0214, 0.0008, -0.0103, -0.0003, -0.0037, 0.0063, 0.0251, 0.0301, 0.0119, -0.0108, -0.0103, -0.0042, -0.0037, -0.0103, -0.0031, -0.0247, -0.0164, -0.0358, -0.0313, -0.0385, -0.0258, -0.0424, -0.043, -0.0601, -0.0668, -0.0834, -0.0906, -0.09, -0.0712, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0582, -0.0425, -0.0274, -0.0213, -0.0123, 0.0045, 0.005, 0.0062, 0.0162, -0.0022, -0.0006, 0.0022, -0.0157, -0.0067, 0.0106, 0.0022, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.0123, -0.0235, -0.033, -0.0213, -0.0162, -0.0397, -0.0436, -0.0336, -0.0291, -0.0409, -0.0369, -0.0162, -0.0028, -0.0252, -0.0218, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.0218, -0.014, -0.0112, -0.0313, -0.0397, -0.0554, -0.0604, -0.0599, -0.0576, -0.1046, -0.1147, -0.1214, -0.1158, -0.0963, -0.0979, -0.0907, -0.0761, -0.0828, -0.0649, -0.0515, -0.0481, -0.0325, -0.0263, -0.0257, -0.0112, -0.0073, -0.0015, -0.0088, -0.0189, -0.006, 0.0008, 0.0081, -0.0629, -0.1441, -0.161, -0.2005, -0.1328, -0.1898, -0.1667, -0.161, -0.1582, -0.1419, -0.1233, -0.1317, -0.1137, -0.1193, -0.1103, -0.1114, -0.1075, -0.1148, -0.1351, -0.1278, -0.1199, -0.143, -0.1334, -0.1317, -0.1069, -0.0894, -0.0624, -0.046, -0.0528, -0.0646, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0674, -0.0697, -0.0719, -0.068, -0.0629, -0.0624, -0.0686, -0.068, -0.0838, -0.0663, -0.0533, -0.0663, -0.0629, -0.05, -0.0454, -0.0336, -0.0122, -0.0065, 0.0245, 0.0166, 0.0341, 0.0233, 0.0312, 0.0273, -0.0071, -0.0218, -0.0268, -0.0234, -0.0279, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0188, -0.0228, -0.0245, -0.0313, -0.0108, -0.0114, -0.0154, -0.0034, -0.0057, -0.0142, -0.0256, -0.0211, -0.0199]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1801618521471783046", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-14T14:11:42+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks at 15% FCF yield on $80 WTI; tight inventories + OPEC discipline imply >$90 Brent in 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors are under assault by headlines fueled by either wonky data or those with eco-evangelical, policy advocacy driven agendas. It is hard, but necessary, to tune out the noise and focus on what matters:\n1) Demand is \"fine\" - consensus still remains ~1.4MM Bbl/d, and even with lower #'s global inventories will still draw more than normal.\n2) US Shale - the rig count is too low for meaningful growth, with ~0.4MM Bbl/d of growth this year and potential declines in '25 unless it goes up.\n3) OPEC+ - discretionary cuts will not come onto the market if conditions don't warrant (pull vs. push), and compensatory cuts will be watched by those who matter, negating much of the potential adds.\n4) US inventories - seasonal draws should begin any week, and YTD all major product inventories have been tightening vs. average levels.\n5) Global inventories - YTD flat vs. 78MM Bbls build last year. The deficit to '17-'19 baseline has widened YTD from 31MM Bbls to 85MM Bbls. 2H'24 draws should lead to a record low.\n6) OPEC Cohesion - remains strong and \"will and intent\" is working. \n7) 2025: even with the full return of OPEC+ barrels, \"days of supply\" will remain at record low levels (41 vs. 2017-2023 avg. of 47) which implies >$90 Brent (we use $80WTI in our stock selection and modelling).\n\nSentiment is challenged, fundamentals are not. We believe the sector now trades at a 15% FCF yield at $80WTI and \"we remain bullish\"™️ on energy stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007496512396063526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007496512396063526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008104693468155455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008104693468155455, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002612250222106427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002612250222106427, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005346513258232877, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005346513258232877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "ret_p1w": 0.019422958480307173, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019422958480307173, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01299939146376361, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01299939146376361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "ret_p1m": 0.05211160665167203, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05211160665167203, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014229873681173899, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014229873681173899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "ret_p3m": -0.03421893515121388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03421893515121388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05895911916054386, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05895911916054386, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "ret_p6m": 0.0490252584651476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0490252584651476, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07203917359682244, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07203917359682244, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "ret_p1y": -0.03951087353658511, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03951087353658511, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14603263645539355, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14603263645539355, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05211160665167203, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014229873681173899, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014229873681173899, "price_path": [0.047, 0.0455, 0.0518, 0.0495, 0.0593, 0.0511, 0.0609, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0803, 0.0954, 0.1029, 0.1022, 0.114, 0.107, 0.1073, 0.1107, 0.1099, 0.0919, 0.0817, 0.0722, 0.0692, 0.0659, 0.0787, 0.0858, 0.0918, 0.0926, 0.0976, 0.0875, 0.0948, 0.0622, 0.0453, 0.0513, 0.0515, 0.0597, 0.0587, 0.0575, 0.0717, 0.0658, 0.0629, 0.0643, 0.0667, 0.0637, 0.0786, 0.0716, 0.0663, 0.0459, 0.0363, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0485, 0.03, 0.0329, 0.0586, 0.0309, 0.021, 0.0209, 0.0262, 0.0221, 0.0299, 0.0278, 0.0168, 0.0075, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0253, 0.0194, 0.0451, 0.0475, 0.0372, 0.0396, 0.0436, 0.0442, 0.0434, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0316, 0.0253, 0.0163, 0.0231, 0.0338, 0.0364, 0.0521, 0.0568, 0.0673, 0.0693, 0.0576, 0.051, 0.0343, 0.0344, 0.0522, 0.0555, 0.0465, 0.0628, 0.0672, 0.0389, 0.0122, -0.0102, -0.0041, -0.0001, 0.0214, 0.0237, 0.0288, 0.0188, 0.0247, 0.037, 0.0359, 0.0428, 0.0154, 0.0171, 0.0197, 0.0349, 0.0442, 0.0345, 0.0278, 0.0412, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0191, 0.0051, -0.0027, -0.0152, -0.0081, -0.0252, -0.0342, -0.0255, -0.02, -0.0088, 0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0186, 0.0163, 0.0288, 0.0263, 0.0062, -0.0135, 0.0065, 0.0136, 0.0367, 0.0473, 0.0658, 0.0757, 0.0795, 0.0513, 0.0577, 0.0648, 0.0714, 0.071, 0.0364, 0.0414, 0.0464, 0.0429, 0.0398, 0.0422, 0.0368, 0.0367, 0.0363, 0.0297, 0.014, 0.0164, 0.0227, 0.0162, 0.034, 0.0409, 0.0801, 0.0751, 0.0823, 0.0884, 0.0826, 0.091, 0.0952, 0.0936, 0.1081, 0.1011, 0.1122, 0.1212, 0.1229, 0.1007, 0.0992, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.1028, 0.0912, 0.091, 0.0647, 0.0689, 0.0508, 0.049]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1801618521471783046", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-06-14T14:11:42+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2025: even with the full return of OPEC+ barrels, 'days of supply' will remain at record low levels (41 vs. 2017-2023 avg. of 47) which implies >$90 Brent", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks at 15% FCF yield on $80 WTI; tight inventories + OPEC discipline imply >$90 Brent in 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors are under assault by headlines fueled by either wonky data or those with eco-evangelical, policy advocacy driven agendas. It is hard, but necessary, to tune out the noise and focus on what matters:\n1) Demand is \"fine\" - consensus still remains ~1.4MM Bbl/d, and even with lower #'s global inventories will still draw more than normal.\n2) US Shale - the rig count is too low for meaningful growth, with ~0.4MM Bbl/d of growth this year and potential declines in '25 unless it goes up.\n3) OPEC+ - discretionary cuts will not come onto the market if conditions don't warrant (pull vs. push), and compensatory cuts will be watched by those who matter, negating much of the potential adds.\n4) US inventories - seasonal draws should begin any week, and YTD all major product inventories have been tightening vs. average levels.\n5) Global inventories - YTD flat vs. 78MM Bbls build last year. The deficit to '17-'19 baseline has widened YTD from 31MM Bbls to 85MM Bbls. 2H'24 draws should lead to a record low.\n6) OPEC Cohesion - remains strong and \"will and intent\" is working. \n7) 2025: even with the full return of OPEC+ barrels, \"days of supply\" will remain at record low levels (41 vs. 2017-2023 avg. of 47) which implies >$90 Brent (we use $80WTI in our stock selection and modelling).\n\nSentiment is challenged, fundamentals are not. We believe the sector now trades at a 15% FCF yield at $80WTI and \"we remain bullish\"™️ on energy stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001573435597874484, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001573435597874484, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002181616669966413, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002181616669966413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000608181072091929, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019728845306597353, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019728845306597353, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01177008182625805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01177008182625805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007958763480339304, "ret_p1w": 0.031711389858261496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031711389858261496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025287822841717933, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025287822841717933, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006423567016543563, "ret_p1m": 0.026990990721448727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026990990721448727, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010890742249049401, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010890742249049401, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03788173297049813, "ret_p3m": -0.14536433959060013, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14536433959060013, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1701045235999301, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1701045235999301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02474018400932998, "ret_p6m": -0.12684583646261316, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12684583646261316, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2479102685245832, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2479102685245832, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12106443206197004, "ret_p1y": -0.20915039741276542, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20915039741276542, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.31567216033157386, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.31567216033157386, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10652176291880844, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.026990990721448727, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.010890742249049401, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010890742249049401, "price_path": [0.0576, 0.0403, 0.0382, 0.034, 0.05, 0.0439, 0.042, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0581, 0.0763, 0.0815, 0.0972, 0.1035, 0.0939, 0.0823, 0.0951, 0.0862, 0.0948, 0.0905, 0.0896, 0.0565, 0.0543, 0.0565, 0.053, 0.0702, 0.0654, 0.0773, 0.0833, 0.07, 0.0634, 0.0099, 0.0127, 0.0041, 0.0086, 0.0065, 0.0116, 0.0153, 0.0021, 0.009, -0.0029, 0.0016, 0.0079, 0.0165, 0.0132, 0.0031, -0.0087, -0.0153, -0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0194, 0.0119, -0.0092, -0.0121, -0.0516, -0.0617, -0.051, -0.0333, -0.0363, -0.012, -0.0085, -0.0002, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.0374, 0.0317, 0.041, 0.0289, 0.0318, 0.0456, 0.0459, 0.0482, 0.0438, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0474, 0.0379, 0.0247, 0.0298, 0.0336, 0.0292, 0.027, 0.0134, 0.0298, 0.0301, 0.0001, -0.0027, -0.0195, -0.011, -0.003, -0.018, -0.0344, -0.0483, -0.023, -0.0375, -0.0703, -0.0765, -0.0743, -0.0519, -0.0419, -0.0358, -0.0039, -0.0234, -0.0346, -0.0191, -0.0356, -0.06, -0.0656, -0.0795, -0.0654, -0.0436, -0.0144, -0.0372, -0.0481, -0.0324, -0.0462, -0.0462, -0.1074, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.1399, -0.1305, -0.1626, -0.1454, -0.1289, -0.1333, -0.1195, -0.108, -0.1086, -0.0937, -0.0984, -0.1055, -0.0902, -0.1109, -0.1334, -0.1288, -0.1313, -0.1097, -0.1055, -0.0605, -0.0553, -0.0205, -0.0658, -0.0731, -0.039, -0.0433, -0.0625, -0.1013, -0.1017, -0.0989, -0.1157, -0.1008, -0.0796, -0.0927, -0.0997, -0.0795, -0.1356, -0.1392, -0.1219, -0.1145, -0.1152, -0.0913, -0.0858, -0.0932, -0.0846, -0.1059, -0.1306, -0.1299, -0.1252, -0.1218, -0.1402, -0.1128, -0.1127, -0.1187, -0.1015, -0.0902, -0.1163, -0.1187, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1172, -0.1306, -0.1089, -0.1248, -0.1275, -0.1392, -0.1268]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045132453103210907", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-17T13:29:08+00:00", "symbol": "oil equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil equities were on average discounting $70WTI. Won't matter at the open but will again soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil and oil equities: supply disruption lasting months/years, higher floor price, political risk premium, SPR restocking demand all support higher levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A few thoughts with oil down 11% on the SoH being \"opened\" (until April 22nd):\n🛢️voyage time for tankers out is ~25 days to Asia and 25 days back = ~ 2 months of continued production loss = ~600MM Bbls = still heading to lowest inventory levels in history\n🛢️IEA yesterday saying will take ~ 2 years to fully normalize production\n🛢️80 facilities have been damaged, 1/3 \"severely or very severely\" which will take quarters/years to fix\n🛢️political risk premium of $10+/bbl likely and the floor price for oil is now higher given inventory reset\n🛢️SPR restocking will = ~0.3MM Bbl/d of new demand for the next 4 years\n🛢️oil equities were on average discounting $70WTI. Won't matter at the open but will again soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02835335078720247, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02835335078720247, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040294716333410086, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.040294716333410086, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009087465766004499, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009087465766004499, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002908414129506154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002908414129506154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "ret_p1w": 0.03362410866465293, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03362410866465293, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028273068426693637, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028273068426693637, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "ret_p1m": 0.10105418624194984, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10105418624194984, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06090716005340413, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06090716005340413, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10105418624194984, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06090716005340413, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06090716005340413, "price_path": [-0.1405, -0.1197, -0.1168, -0.1118, -0.1112, -0.1031, -0.0962, -0.0879, -0.0782, -0.0962, -0.067, -0.046, -0.0572, -0.0385, -0.0314, -0.0325, -0.0072, -0.0253, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0294, -0.0108, -0.0036, -0.009, -0.0041, -0.005, -0.0092, -0.0059, 0.0098, 0.03, 0.0206, 0.0146, 0.0199, 0.0215, 0.017, 0.004, 0.0289, 0.0385, 0.0419, 0.0455, 0.0565, 0.0551, 0.0719, 0.071, 0.0838, 0.1058, 0.1009, 0.1181, 0.137, 0.1261, 0.1134, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0847, 0.0934, 0.0551, 0.042, 0.0349, 0.038, 0.0169, 0.0134, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0154, 0.0276, 0.0356, 0.0336, 0.0318, 0.0489, 0.0729, 0.0842, 0.0696, 0.0794, 0.0805, 0.036, 0.0169, 0.0124, 0.0391, 0.0463, 0.0474, 0.0554, 0.0803, 0.1011, 0.114, 0.0869, 0.0747, 0.0812, 0.0812, 0.0514, 0.0358, 0.0351, 0.0231, 0.0414, 0.0534, 0.0671, 0.0678, 0.0482, 0.0602, 0.0431, 0.0587, 0.0382, 0.046, 0.0096, 0.0062, -0.0064, -0.0064, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011816827744088462", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T15:04:44+00:00", "symbol": "US natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the bullish gas thesis... 13%-16% FCF yields in US gas stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish US nat-gas equities: normal Feb weather + 3Bcf/d LNG demand + supply discipline = 13-16% FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Winter is not over yet, and neither is the bullish gas thesis. Normal weather forecasted for February (🤞) + 3Bcf/d of incremental LNG demand + proven US discipline... $4USD marginal cost of supply = 13%-16% FCF yields in US gas stocks. https://t.co/fbHRPiXt2j", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014394471235475326, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014394471235475326, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017110289875585605, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017110289875585605, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008378739908954103, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0008378739908954103, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": 0.03090598643930198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03090598643930198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0356153033116281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0356153033116281, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": 0.12574082748131876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12574082748131876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14089452612429354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14089452612429354, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": 0.23213329921877768, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23213329921877768, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22618648923148243, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22618648923148243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12574082748131876, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14089452612429354, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14089452612429354, "price_path": [-0.077, -0.077, -0.0631, -0.0686, -0.0678, -0.0404, -0.0501, -0.0518, -0.0707, -0.069, -0.072, -0.0577, -0.0484, -0.056, -0.061, -0.0484, -0.0257, -0.0139, 0.0125, 0.0016, 0.0033, 0.0146, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0058, -0.0097, -0.0051, 0.0041, -0.0034, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0344, 0.0403, 0.0214, 0.0538, 0.0563, 0.0605, 0.0411, 0.0399, 0.0458, 0.0264, 0.0195, 0.0047, -0.0301, -0.003, -0.0313, -0.0254, -0.0169, -0.0089, -0.0148, -0.0203, -0.011, -0.0004, -0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0148, -0.0284, -0.0411, -0.0161, -0.022, -0.0178, 0.0017, 0.0144, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.033, 0.0309, 0.0373, 0.0411, 0.0529, 0.0639, 0.0783, 0.0843, 0.0478, 0.0724, 0.1003, 0.0787, 0.1084, 0.1101, 0.102, 0.1296, 0.102, 0.1257, 0.1257, 0.1084, 0.1359, 0.1592, 0.1689, 0.1507, 0.1461, 0.1393, 0.1478, 0.1825, 0.213, 0.2096, 0.2083, 0.2244, 0.2312, 0.2316, 0.2007, 0.2324, 0.2439, 0.2578, 0.2587, 0.2735, 0.2837, 0.3103, 0.3163, 0.3082, 0.3387, 0.3527, 0.3763, 0.3925, 0.3746, 0.3478, 0.3027, 0.3253, 0.3253, 0.3329, 0.3465, 0.2887, 0.273, 0.2747, 0.2742, 0.2321, 0.2338, 0.2572, 0.2104, 0.2168, 0.2398, 0.2666, 0.2806, 0.2683, 0.2768, 0.2972, 0.3317, 0.3355, 0.3193, 0.347, 0.3351, 0.2611, 0.2419, 0.23, 0.2581, 0.267, 0.267, 0.2781, 0.31, 0.3236, 0.3393, 0.3074, 0.284, 0.2904, 0.2904, 0.2428, 0.2168, 0.2249, 0.213, 0.247, 0.253, 0.2657, 0.2679, 0.2215, 0.2394, 0.2109, 0.2406, 0.2083, 0.2245, 0.1764, 0.1683, 0.1603, 0.1603, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1649088237607043082", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-20T16:30:49+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe energy stocks remain profoundly mispriced, that the sector remains hated and underowned, and that the energy trade is still very much in its early days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks remain profoundly mispriced, hated, and underowned; the trade is still in early innings — bullish on the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three years ago today. As far as we have come since then, we believe energy stocks remain profoundly mispriced, that the sector remains hated and underowned, and that the energy trade is still very much in its early days. https://t.co/CF8Lj6hP2b", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008890784949347585, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008890784949347585, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0034038440657593316, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0034038440657593316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005486940883588254, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005486940883588254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005849477730474728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005849477730474728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006626440817298018, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006626440817298018, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007769630868232902, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007769630868232902, "ret_p1w": -0.01930281397678668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01930281397678668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020589642246539808, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020589642246539808, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012868282697531264, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012868282697531264, "ret_p1m": -0.06832027413491426, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06832027413491426, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08468415926449069, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08468415926449069, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016363885129576428, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016363885129576428, "ret_p3m": -0.03096378262093291, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03096378262093291, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13778408024453148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13778408024453148, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10682029762359857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10682029762359857, "ret_p6m": 0.06511491504140166, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06511491504140166, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009879083915341091, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009879083915341091, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055235831126060564, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055235831126060564, "ret_p1y": 0.17926244560307514, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17926244560307514, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09837092683634796, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09837092683634796, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2776333724394231, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2776333724394231, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06832027413491426, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08468415926449069, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08468415926449069, "price_path": [0.0489, 0.0449, 0.045, 0.078, 0.0562, 0.032, 0.0412, 0.0207, -0.0026, -0.0048, -0.0093, 0.0229, 0.0138, 0.0051, 0.0444, 0.0418, 0.0421, 0.0244, 0.0143, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0267, -0.0331, -0.0185, -0.0198, -0.0169, -0.0311, -0.0119, -0.0033, 0.0103, 0.0107, -0.0069, -0.017, -0.0309, -0.0433, -0.0628, -0.0535, -0.1043, -0.0946, -0.1089, -0.091, -0.0595, -0.0796, -0.0923, -0.0888, -0.0694, -0.055, -0.0419, -0.0377, -0.031, 0.0129, -0.0055, 0.0095, -0.0058, -0.0058, 0.0021, 0.0116, 0.0123, 0.0186, 0.0205, 0.0084, 0.0124, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0094, -0.0096, -0.0228, -0.0193, -0.0041, -0.0153, -0.0581, -0.0759, -0.0862, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0611, -0.0717, -0.0828, -0.0814, -0.0767, -0.0994, -0.0821, -0.0755, -0.0683, -0.0722, -0.0622, -0.0581, -0.0749, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.088, -0.104, -0.0929, -0.0653, -0.0715, -0.064, -0.0392, -0.0433, -0.0485, -0.0577, -0.0532, -0.0629, -0.0526, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0752, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.087, -0.0706, -0.0685, -0.0591, -0.0482, -0.0421, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0451, -0.0666, -0.0465, -0.0391, -0.018, -0.0089, -0.0127, -0.0388, -0.0406, -0.031, -0.0253, -0.0139, -0.0051, 0.0109, 0.0162, 0.0166, 0.0101, 0.0132, 0.0324, 0.0276, 0.0141, 0.0244, 0.0258, 0.027, 0.0321, 0.045, 0.0449, 0.061, 0.0565, 0.0345, 0.0256, 0.0378, 0.0481, 0.0415, 0.0335, 0.0309, 0.0238, 0.0337, 0.0407, 0.0435, 0.0487, 0.0494, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.0765, 0.077, 0.076, 0.0863, 0.0721, 0.0973, 0.0891, 0.1018, 0.0859, 0.0951, 0.0849, 0.0747, 0.06, 0.0618, 0.0751, 0.0689, 0.0956, 0.0967, 0.0746, 0.0532, 0.0525, 0.0195, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0532, 0.0545, 0.041, 0.0422, 0.0651]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1799142083178954795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-07T18:11:13+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on energy stocks, especially after this recent algo/CTA induced selloff", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remain bullish on energy stocks post algo/CTA selloff; 11-18% FCF yields, 75-100% capital return via buybacks will force multiple re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"We remain bullish\" on energy stocks, especially after this recent algo/CTA induced selloff. Why? We can buy companies with 30+ years of stay-flat inventory and low-to-no debt, trading at 11%-18% free cashflow yields actively returning 75%-100% of their free cashflow back to investors, mainly via buybacks, and we believe the compounding effect of such meaningful buybacks will force a re-rating in trading multiples. What other sector can compete with that???", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004000352839399257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004000352839399257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027830979558036706, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0027830979558036706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012172548835955865, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012172548835955865, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00755640278786518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00755640278786518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004466727268187309, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004466727268187309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0030896755196778702, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0030896755196778702, "ret_p1w": -0.021668984585328732, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021668984585328732, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03809203246417703, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03809203246417703, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016423047878848296, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016423047878848296, "ret_p1m": 0.003101895752587236, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.003101895752587236, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040083432093713345, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040083432093713345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04318532784630058, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04318532784630058, "ret_p3m": -0.01672489480794659, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01672489480794659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05177532594588152, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05177532594588152, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035050431137934934, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035050431137934934, "ret_p6m": 0.06751740969607001, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06751740969607001, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06997959019270628, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06997959019270628, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13749699988877628, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13749699988877628, "ret_p1y": -0.055847318872461194, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.055847318872461194, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.174852160027548, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.174852160027548, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1190048411550868, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1190048411550868, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.003101895752587236, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.040083432093713345, "alpha_c_stated": -0.040083432093713345, "price_path": [-0.0196, -0.0039, 0.0063, 0.0093, 0.0128, 0.0243, 0.0229, 0.029, 0.0268, 0.0363, 0.0283, 0.0379, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0569, 0.0717, 0.079, 0.0783, 0.0899, 0.083, 0.0833, 0.0867, 0.0859, 0.0682, 0.0582, 0.049, 0.046, 0.0428, 0.0553, 0.0622, 0.0681, 0.0689, 0.0738, 0.0639, 0.0711, 0.0392, 0.0227, 0.0286, 0.0287, 0.0368, 0.0358, 0.0346, 0.0484, 0.0427, 0.0399, 0.0412, 0.0436, 0.0407, 0.0552, 0.0483, 0.0432, 0.0232, 0.0139, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0258, 0.0077, 0.0106, 0.0357, 0.0086, -0.0011, -0.0012, 0.004, 0.0, 0.0076, 0.0056, -0.0052, -0.0143, -0.0217, -0.0191, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0031, -0.0027, 0.0225, 0.0248, 0.0148, 0.0171, 0.021, 0.0216, 0.0208, 0.0253, 0.0253, 0.0093, 0.0031, -0.0057, 0.001, 0.0114, 0.014, 0.0293, 0.0339, 0.0442, 0.0461, 0.0347, 0.0282, 0.0118, 0.012, 0.0294, 0.0327, 0.0238, 0.0397, 0.0441, 0.0164, -0.0098, -0.0316, -0.0257, -0.0218, -0.0007, 0.0015, 0.0065, -0.0033, 0.0025, 0.0145, 0.0134, 0.0202, -0.0066, -0.005, -0.0024, 0.0125, 0.0216, 0.0121, 0.0056, 0.0187, 0.0225, 0.0225, -0.0029, -0.0167, -0.0243, -0.0366, -0.0296, -0.0463, -0.0551, -0.0466, -0.0413, -0.0303, -0.0172, -0.0153, -0.0035, -0.0057, 0.0065, 0.004, -0.0156, -0.0349, -0.0153, -0.0084, 0.0142, 0.0246, 0.0427, 0.0524, 0.0561, 0.0286, 0.0348, 0.0418, 0.0482, 0.0478, 0.014, 0.0188, 0.0237, 0.0203, 0.0173, 0.0196, 0.0143, 0.0142, 0.0139, 0.0074, -0.0079, -0.0057, 0.0005, -0.0058, 0.0116, 0.0184, 0.0567, 0.0518, 0.0588, 0.0648, 0.0592, 0.0674, 0.0715, 0.0699, 0.0841, 0.0772, 0.0881, 0.0969, 0.0986, 0.0769, 0.0754, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0789, 0.0675]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051661642732044460", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-05T13:53:48+00:00", "symbol": "North American oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the average North American oil producer is discounting ~$70WTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "WTI floor seen at $80 with further upside; North American oil producers underpriced vs new commodity floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers North American E&P producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe that the average North American oil producer is discounting ~$70WTI, while the new floor price for WTI is $80 with meaningful further upside in the years ahead: https://t.co/GGpXQZjCRO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023257000800835925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023257000800835925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010284042661550918, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010284042661550918, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06235115308252215, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06235115308252215, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07625059252753974, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07625059252753974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.06008079663740529, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06008079663740529, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07999039879785941, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07999039879785941, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": -0.052383806672093414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.052383806672093414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09448277441167852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09448277441167852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0420989677395851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0420989677395851, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2198, -0.1925, -0.1921, -0.1969, -0.1779, -0.2023, -0.1844, -0.1844, -0.1981, -0.1835, -0.1652, -0.1625, -0.1755, -0.1751, -0.1816, -0.1739, -0.1522, -0.12, -0.1231, -0.1133, -0.0965, -0.0948, -0.1075, -0.1231, -0.0917, -0.0806, -0.074, -0.0769, -0.062, -0.0439, -0.0346, -0.0231, -0.0317, -0.0019, 0.0057, 0.0262, 0.042, 0.0271, 0.0069, -0.0318, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0085, -0.0014, -0.0493, -0.071, -0.0672, -0.0659, -0.0951, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.1157, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0683, -0.0611, -0.0694, -0.0615, -0.0495, -0.0159, -0.0132, -0.0217, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0624, -0.0805, -0.0854, -0.0661, -0.0601, -0.0678, -0.063, -0.0358, -0.0243, -0.0112, -0.0324, -0.055, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.0802, -0.0954, -0.0865, -0.0919, -0.0704, -0.065, -0.0524, -0.053, -0.0808, -0.0676, -0.0916, -0.0698, -0.0951, -0.0844, -0.1231, -0.1297, -0.1375, -0.1375, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1754616981200703621", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-05T21:24:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil midcaps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "at $70WTI we estimate several midcaps to be trading at 15% free cashflow yields. Buybacks = eventual apathy curative???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on US oil midcaps at $70 WTI: 15% FCF yields + buybacks seen as eventual sentiment catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers US oil midcap companies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment stinks, investors are exhausted, momentum is so bad it is literally \"off the chart\", and it feels like every other sector is lapping us. Yet, at $70WTI we estimate several midcaps to be trading at 15% free cashflow yields. Buybacks = eventual apathy curative??? https://t.co/I9g2zXFN4W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007560093075090202, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007560093075090202, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004665255234380328, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004665255234380328, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002894837840709874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002894837840709874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009698342799629556, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009698342799629556, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0013578225730903615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0013578225730903615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340520226539194, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008340520226539194, "ret_p1w": 0.01504381350549755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01504381350549755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0148415055828095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0148415055828095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020230792268804976, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00020230792268804976, "ret_p1m": 0.0801066710184124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0801066710184124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04818220151015851, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04818220151015851, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031924469508253894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031924469508253894, "ret_p3m": 0.1531341569986866, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1531341569986866, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1148763132342332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1148763132342332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0382578437644534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0382578437644534, "ret_p6m": 0.12978157730831708, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12978157730831708, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0076633860617563165, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0076633860617563165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211819124656076, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12211819124656076, "ret_p1y": 0.10048716899631915, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10048716899631915, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14605832959209586, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14605832959209586, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.246545498588415, "bench_c_p1y": 0.246545498588415, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0801066710184124, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04818220151015851, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04818220151015851, "price_path": [0.0281, 0.0396, 0.0478, 0.0652, 0.0664, 0.0356, 0.0584, 0.0601, 0.0506, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0559, 0.0468, 0.044, 0.04, 0.0459, 0.0542, 0.0415, 0.0186, -0.0088, -0.0093, 0.003, 0.0024, -0.019, 0.0054, 0.0405, 0.0359, 0.049, 0.0619, 0.0461, 0.0582, 0.0606, 0.0606, 0.0773, 0.0728, 0.0548, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0535, 0.0631, 0.0392, 0.0431, 0.035, 0.0223, 0.0089, 0.0081, 0.0214, 0.0214, -0.01, -0.0213, -0.0212, -0.0191, -0.0146, -0.0132, -0.0005, 0.017, 0.0238, 0.0247, 0.0429, 0.0158, 0.0095, -0.0016, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0097, 0.0221, 0.0145, 0.0311, 0.015, 0.0173, 0.0535, 0.0546, 0.0546, 0.0386, 0.0685, 0.0648, 0.0599, 0.0648, 0.0687, 0.0614, 0.0721, 0.0865, 0.0754, 0.08, 0.0801, 0.0871, 0.0928, 0.0989, 0.0986, 0.1218, 0.1267, 0.1339, 0.1342, 0.1488, 0.1578, 0.1636, 0.1562, 0.1689, 0.1543, 0.1722, 0.1892, 0.1892, 0.1974, 0.2061, 0.2212, 0.2215, 0.2327, 0.2258, 0.2271, 0.2313, 0.2271, 0.2126, 0.1932, 0.1831, 0.1741, 0.1639, 0.1762, 0.1851, 0.1934, 0.199, 0.204, 0.2053, 0.2129, 0.1623, 0.1366, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1675, 0.1696, 0.1636, 0.1749, 0.1566, 0.1511, 0.161, 0.1614, 0.1549, 0.1701, 0.1754, 0.1666, 0.1491, 0.1369, 0.1392, 0.1392, 0.1568, 0.1383, 0.1435, 0.1667, 0.1331, 0.1157, 0.1194, 0.125, 0.1183, 0.1422, 0.1458, 0.1319, 0.1144, 0.0956, 0.0954, 0.0969, 0.0969, 0.1092, 0.1006, 0.1328, 0.1312, 0.1204, 0.1207, 0.1227, 0.1258, 0.1301, 0.1397, 0.1397, 0.1111, 0.111, 0.1008, 0.1059, 0.1247, 0.1268, 0.1435, 0.145, 0.1441, 0.1386, 0.1305, 0.1249, 0.108, 0.1004, 0.1143, 0.1202, 0.1062, 0.1206, 0.1298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014708390631559673", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T14:34:46+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "our $4/mcf fundamental floor appears sound given forecasts that we could enter next Winter at the bottom of the 5 year average", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish natural gas: $4/mcf floor sound on higher heating demand, DUC drawdown, Haynesville cycle times, and ~3Bcf/d incremental LNG demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Given the recent change in weather forecasts, Winter heating demand is now expected to be higher than average (we always just pray for normal). Given the DUC drawdown in 2025, production having been brought forward last Nov/Dec to take advantage of pricing, 6-9 month cycle time in the Haynesville, and ~3Bcf/d of incremental LNG demand, our $4/mcf fundamental floor appears sound given forecasts that we could enter next Winter at the bottom of the 5 year average. A $0.50/mcf ⬆️ in natural gas = ~33% ⬆️ in FCF yields from already attractive 11%-14% levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03865425565721026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03865425565721026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03829160697924405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03829160697924405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06156046100492696, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06156046100492696, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05648231394431713, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05648231394431713, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": 0.2097350963132536, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2097350963132536, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20575963565885913, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20575963565885913, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": -0.15962780624806172, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15962780624806172, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1497038061869691, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1497038061869691, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": -0.21617755189964483, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21617755189964483, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2508864224425914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2508864224425914, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15962780624806172, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1497038061869691, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1497038061869691, "price_path": [-0.0716, -0.0773, -0.1167, -0.126, -0.0823, -0.0515, -0.015, -0.0029, -0.0243, 0.0143, -0.0014, 0.0093, 0.0422, 0.0487, 0.0601, 0.0422, 0.0107, 0.0179, 0.0523, 0.0322, 0.0487, 0.0315, -0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0544, 0.0888, 0.0709, 0.1074, 0.121, 0.1718, 0.0787, 0.0093, 0.0208, -0.0637, -0.0888, -0.1081, -0.1339, -0.0952, -0.1389, -0.1274, -0.1518, -0.0766, -0.1131, -0.083, -0.0659, -0.0608, -0.1224, -0.1367, -0.1675, -0.1926, -0.1568, -0.1933, -0.2555, -0.1997, -0.1897, -0.267, -0.2627, -0.2606, -0.2606, -0.1145, -0.0236, -0.0387, 0.0, 0.0616, 0.0523, 0.0401, 0.078, 0.2097, -0.0909, -0.0709, -0.0365, -0.0322, -0.0501, -0.1288, -0.1317, -0.1181, -0.1102, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1482, -0.1503, -0.1553, -0.1403, -0.1596, -0.1797, -0.1696, -0.1854, -0.1754, -0.141, -0.121, -0.1568, -0.1374, -0.0873, -0.1188, -0.1217, -0.078, -0.0666, -0.0952, -0.126, -0.1267, -0.0931, -0.1009, -0.1131, -0.1603, -0.1603, -0.151, -0.1525, -0.121, -0.1639, -0.1603, -0.1825, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.1861, -0.1732, -0.2069, -0.2212, -0.2291, -0.2355, -0.2441, -0.2427, -0.2283, -0.2241, -0.2233, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.247, -0.262, -0.2491, -0.2606, -0.2734, -0.2412, -0.2334, -0.2162, -0.2384, -0.252, -0.2355, -0.2434, -0.1969, -0.219, -0.214, -0.2011, -0.189, -0.1739, -0.1482, -0.1775, -0.189, -0.2169, -0.2169, -0.219, -0.1997, -0.1489, -0.146, -0.1739, -0.179, -0.1618, -0.1324, -0.1646, -0.1861, -0.1847, -0.1739, -0.2011, -0.1875, -0.1818, -0.1582, -0.1718, -0.1718, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1897342076578377851", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-05T17:42:56+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we do not think the price of either oil or energy stocks currently reflect fundamentals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil and energy stocks are underpriced vs fundamentals; bullish both despite negative market sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The fear in the market is palpable...here I discuss what is driving negative sentiment and why we do not think the price of either oil or energy stocks currently reflect fundamentals: https://t.co/DEuqsqryhQ https://t.co/vUoUoiFP9y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014819197841328569, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014819197841328569, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025452719005782387, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025452719005782387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003034011205423237, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003034011205423237, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020785220284186945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020785220284186945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "ret_p1w": 0.024270793255263046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024270793255263046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06575870883958213, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06575870883958213, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "ret_p1m": 0.020029289111682447, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020029289111682447, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09677185994129, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09677185994129, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "ret_p3m": -0.017131028262650116, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.017131028262650116, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04255407308086878, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04255407308086878, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025423044818218665, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025423044818218665, "ret_p6m": 0.07159896048192294, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07159896048192294, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0413279340600714, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0413279340600714, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11292689454199434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11292689454199434, "ret_p1y": 0.32328549198160794, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.32328549198160794, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12051071728337326, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12051071728337326, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20277477469823468, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20277477469823468, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.020029289111682447, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09677185994129, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09677185994129, "price_path": [0.0714, 0.0532, 0.0515, 0.0443, 0.0461, 0.0376, 0.0324, 0.0097, 0.0022, -0.0274, -0.0359, -0.0264, -0.0207, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0132, -0.0133, -0.0134, -0.0005, 0.0112, 0.0207, 0.016, 0.0261, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0314, 0.0531, 0.0644, 0.0802, 0.088, 0.0964, 0.0964, 0.0908, 0.0709, 0.0758, 0.0655, 0.0544, 0.0443, 0.0467, 0.052, 0.0226, 0.0291, 0.0506, 0.0529, 0.0335, 0.0334, 0.0561, 0.0646, 0.039, 0.0468, 0.051, 0.051, 0.0653, 0.0737, 0.0835, 0.061, 0.0613, 0.046, 0.04, 0.0456, 0.0618, 0.0247, 0.0148, 0.0, 0.003, 0.0202, 0.0278, 0.0196, 0.0243, 0.0173, 0.0474, 0.0641, 0.0658, 0.0832, 0.0872, 0.0796, 0.0919, 0.0963, 0.1028, 0.0921, 0.0869, 0.0989, 0.1054, 0.1069, 0.02, -0.0738, -0.0798, -0.1011, -0.0315, -0.0947, -0.0723, -0.069, -0.0704, -0.0628, -0.0416, -0.0666, -0.0429, -0.0446, -0.0294, -0.0311, -0.0243, -0.0271, -0.0534, -0.0498, -0.0359, -0.0534, -0.0531, -0.0528, -0.0403, -0.0307, -0.0054, 0.0086, 0.0025, 0.0067, 0.0052, -0.0078, -0.017, -0.0351, -0.0389, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0275, -0.0398, -0.0327, -0.0412, -0.0287, -0.0171, -0.0363, -0.0372, -0.0191, -0.0172, 0.0003, 0.0147, 0.0183, 0.036, 0.033, 0.0426, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0464, 0.0199, 0.0066, 0.0022, 0.0166, 0.0113, 0.0054, 0.0132, 0.0306, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0218, 0.0493, 0.044, 0.0519, 0.0567, 0.045, 0.03, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0191, 0.0085, 0.0133, 0.0292, 0.0365, 0.0326, 0.0443, 0.0545, 0.0395, 0.0339, 0.0147, 0.0124, 0.0137, 0.0044, 0.0005, 0.0069, -0.0012, 0.0037, 0.0153, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0083, 0.0086, 0.0171, 0.0241, 0.0449, 0.0477, 0.046, 0.0577, 0.0658, 0.0716]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1834284718738575372", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-12T17:35:30+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe the market remains far too bearish on oil and that even at the current oil price the sector is attractively valued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian E&P sector: strong balance sheets, buybacks, dividends sustainable to $45-55 WTI; market too bearish, sector attractively valued at current oil price.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Biggest takeaway from 3 intense days of 1-on-1 meetings with Canadian E&Ps? The stark contrast between the panic felt by the  market and the calmness expressed by CEO's. Balance sheets have never been stronger with avg. forward debt:cashflow of 0.8X at current pricing. Dividends (4%-8% yields) + maintenance capital for most sustainable down to $45-$55WTI with rigs getting dropped at $65WTI or lower.  Share buyback programs getting stepped up too which is a visible \"show of faith\" in their business models. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1960776794488942891", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T18:49:51+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas is the fuel of choice to satisfy the significant increase in power demand scaling in real-time: affordable, available, and reliable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish natural gas as the primary fuel for surging power demand; affordable, available, and reliable.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You can't be bullish the first without being bullish the second...natural gas is the fuel of choice to satisfy the significant increase in power demand scaling in real-time: affordable, available, and reliable. https://t.co/uM0uvgASEn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01804752427625389, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01804752427625389, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01577419081473097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01577419081473097, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022733334615229195, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022733334615229195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031173103160104354, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031173103160104354, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02763164523771522, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02763164523771522, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541457922389135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541457922389135, "ret_p1w": 0.0713700466924907, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0713700466924907, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07583941913556169, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07583941913556169, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "ret_p1m": 0.03281382985839376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03281382985839376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01233164937730602, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01233164937730602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "ret_p3m": 0.18211651709991306, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18211651709991306, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1450721856695596, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1450721856695596, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "ret_p6m": -0.036915490135807416, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.036915490135807416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09827036337190831, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09827036337190831, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06135487323610089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06135487323610089, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03281382985839376, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01233164937730602, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01233164937730602, "price_path": [0.2888, 0.3839, 0.3913, 0.3872, 0.37, 0.4094, 0.3585, 0.3175, 0.3084, 0.3183, 0.3421, 0.3929, 0.4422, 0.4832, 0.4832, 0.4487, 0.3815, 0.3331, 0.3002, 0.2847, 0.3568, 0.2535, 0.2395, 0.265, 0.251, 0.251, 0.2395, 0.2166, 0.1649, 0.21, 0.224, 0.2543, 0.2748, 0.2961, 0.2879, 0.3002, 0.2043, 0.187, 0.1247, 0.137, 0.1345, 0.1214, 0.1411, 0.0952, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.0632, 0.082, 0.1107, 0.1099, 0.0829, 0.0722, 0.0074, 0.0172, 0.0263, 0.0525, 0.0435, -0.0025, -0.0049, 0.0172, -0.023, -0.0197, -0.018, 0.0, 0.0312, 0.0525, 0.0525, 0.0484, 0.0714, 0.0747, 0.0615, 0.0796, 0.0878, 0.0566, 0.0189, 0.0263, 0.0591, 0.0845, 0.0747, 0.0394, 0.0312, -0.0033, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0328, 0.023, 0.0517, 0.0722, 0.1173, 0.1034, 0.0705, 0.0911, 0.1304, 0.0747, 0.0451, 0.0115, -0.0008, -0.0197, -0.0254, -0.05, -0.0263, 0.0607, 0.0788, 0.0714, 0.0607, 0.064, 0.0574, 0.0123, 0.0016, 0.0517, 0.087, 0.1288, 0.1427, 0.1181, 0.1624, 0.1444, 0.1567, 0.1944, 0.2018, 0.2149, 0.1944, 0.1583, 0.1665, 0.2059, 0.1829, 0.2018, 0.1821, 0.1345, 0.169, 0.169, 0.2084, 0.2477, 0.2272, 0.2691, 0.2847, 0.3429, 0.2363, 0.1567, 0.1698, 0.073, 0.0443, 0.0221, -0.0074, 0.0369, -0.0131, 0.0, -0.0279, 0.0582, 0.0164, 0.0509, 0.0705, 0.0763, 0.0057, -0.0107, -0.0459, -0.0747, -0.0336, -0.0755, -0.1468, -0.0829, -0.0714, -0.16, -0.155, -0.1526, -0.1526, 0.0148, 0.119, 0.1017, 0.146, 0.2166, 0.2059, 0.192, 0.2354, 0.3864, 0.0418, 0.0648, 0.1042, 0.1091, 0.0886, -0.0016, -0.0049, 0.0107, 0.0197, 0.0205, 0.0205, -0.0238, -0.0263, -0.032, -0.0148, -0.0369]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1666409672692342785", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-07T11:40:01+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish…especially on Canadian heavy oil producers!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil producers; endorses view that WCS will become the most coveted barrel globally.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great conversation with respected “barrel counter” @michael___tran: “WCS (Western Canadian Select) will become THE most coveted barrel in the world.” We remain bullish…especially on Canadian heavy oil producers! https://t.co/z7bAHgDgcr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009993145455417879, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009993145455417879, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013462873677016624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015819125252115457, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0034697282215987446, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025812270707533336, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009124956344981089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009124956344981089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015173431129954923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004863744892080385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006048474784973834, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004261211452900704, "ret_p1w": -0.05226816530505171, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05226816530505171, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07718903529392115, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02755143861358031, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.024920869988869443, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024716726691471402, "ret_p1m": -0.04523252935916419, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04523252935916419, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07979635763018164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01670014249282778, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03456382827101745, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028532386866336412, "ret_p3m": 0.2208979174035593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2208979174035593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1592029392940953, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10633244666480662, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061694978109464005, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11456547073875267, "ret_p6m": 0.17232298913158922, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17232298913158922, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09458008120507172, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12575478895594988, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0777429079265175, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04656820017563934, "ret_p1y": 0.33507032672444387, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.33507032672444387, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07588172522290487, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.18440086288343943, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.259188601501539, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15066946384100444, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04523252935916419, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07979635763018164, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01670014249282778, "price_path": [0.0495, -0.0046, -0.0087, -0.0687, -0.0466, -0.0763, -0.0556, -0.018, -0.0308, -0.0472, -0.0462, 0.0007, 0.0176, 0.0364, 0.0426, 0.0404, 0.109, 0.0998, 0.0878, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0768, 0.0899, 0.0892, 0.0905, 0.0984, 0.0953, 0.1056, 0.0958, 0.0733, 0.0779, 0.0958, 0.065, 0.039, 0.037, 0.0682, 0.0542, -0.0094, -0.0333, -0.0382, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0146, -0.0323, -0.0515, -0.0537, -0.0376, -0.0594, -0.037, -0.0243, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0012, 0.0017, -0.0268, -0.0212, -0.0115, -0.0422, -0.06, -0.0386, -0.0084, -0.0147, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0091, -0.0094, -0.0481, -0.0317, -0.0523, -0.0423, -0.0546, -0.05, -0.0758, -0.0637, -0.0964, -0.1077, -0.085, -0.0901, -0.0686, -0.0502, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0273, -0.0291, -0.0452, -0.0142, -0.0062, 0.0292, 0.0305, 0.0483, 0.0238, 0.0005, 0.0317, 0.028, 0.0309, 0.0496, 0.0741, 0.078, 0.074, 0.0634, 0.1068, 0.1068, 0.1128, 0.1154, 0.1407, 0.1502, 0.1502, 0.1574, 0.1665, 0.1594, 0.1771, 0.1657, 0.1381, 0.1383, 0.1485, 0.1581, 0.1599, 0.1537, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.1388, 0.156, 0.17, 0.1839, 0.1901, 0.2209, 0.2209, 0.2335, 0.2394, 0.2325, 0.2307, 0.2016, 0.2337, 0.226, 0.255, 0.2505, 0.2377, 0.2164, 0.2013, 0.1782, 0.1815, 0.2107, 0.2282, 0.2679, 0.2663, 0.2882, 0.2387, 0.2405, 0.1797, 0.1804, 0.2006, 0.2006, 0.2447, 0.2472, 0.2545, 0.2976, 0.2931, 0.2967, 0.303, 0.3179, 0.2972, 0.2668, 0.2471, 0.266, 0.2625, 0.2582, 0.2462, 0.2502, 0.2659, 0.2947, 0.2681, 0.2497, 0.194, 0.1541, 0.1735, 0.2106, 0.2093, 0.2144, 0.1908, 0.1602, 0.1991, 0.2065, 0.1913, 0.1616, 0.1723, 0.1725, 0.15, 0.1584, 0.17, 0.1723]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1756040880803217893", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-09T19:42:26+00:00", "symbol": "oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "10%-15%+ FCF yields at spot, superbly strong balance sheets, TMX in a few months, rapidly decelerating shale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil equities on record demand, low inventories, strong FCF yields, solid balance sheets, and TMX catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as oil companies proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Live shot of oil stocks despite $76WTI (+7% YTD), lowest global oil inventory levels since at least 2017 drawing counter-seasonally, record high demand, “will and intent”, 10%-15%+ FCF yields at spot, superbly strong balance sheets, TMX in a few months, rapidly decelerating shale, …", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015604440550720966, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015604440550720966, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021350629596236348, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021350629596236348, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005746189045515382, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005746189045515382, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011043213704997168, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011043213704997168, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011482167391066334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011482167391066334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00043895368606916563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00043895368606916563, "ret_p1w": 0.027127819655426544, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027127819655426544, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030499617118842304, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030499617118842304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00337179746341576, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00337179746341576, "ret_p1m": 0.06925975009354324, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06925975009354324, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049148025869574896, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049148025869574896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02011172422396834, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02011172422396834, "ret_p3m": 0.12654410229146862, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12654410229146862, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09143443926037209, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09143443926037209, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03510966303109653, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03510966303109653, "ret_p6m": 0.05447717083672776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05447717083672776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.015646787208348778, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.015646787208348778, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.038830383628378984, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038830383628378984, "ret_p1y": 0.11240948552526198, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11240948552526198, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10373109677533199, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10373109677533199, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21614058230059396, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21614058230059396, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06925975009354324, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.049148025869574896, "alpha_c_stated": 0.049148025869574896, "price_path": [0.0077, 0.0058, -0.0138, 0.0069, 0.0083, 0.0061, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0097, 0.0062, 0.0064, -0.0011, 0.0056, 0.0108, 0.0062, -0.0114, -0.0262, -0.0328, -0.0224, -0.0212, -0.0346, -0.0212, 0.0076, 0.0023, 0.0104, 0.0226, 0.0131, 0.017, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0288, 0.0242, 0.0086, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0172, 0.0337, 0.0156, 0.0164, 0.0047, -0.0114, -0.0211, -0.0186, -0.0076, -0.0076, -0.0312, -0.0393, -0.0408, -0.0377, -0.0341, -0.032, -0.0182, 0.0038, 0.0113, 0.0098, 0.0203, 0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0053, 0.0156, 0.0, 0.011, 0.0008, -0.0001, 0.0277, 0.0271, 0.0271, 0.0178, 0.0369, 0.0387, 0.0318, 0.0354, 0.031, 0.0289, 0.034, 0.046, 0.0348, 0.0425, 0.0457, 0.0546, 0.0583, 0.0693, 0.0676, 0.0846, 0.0958, 0.099, 0.1028, 0.1154, 0.1138, 0.1205, 0.1181, 0.1285, 0.1198, 0.1302, 0.1424, 0.1424, 0.1509, 0.167, 0.1749, 0.1742, 0.1868, 0.1793, 0.1797, 0.1833, 0.1824, 0.1632, 0.1523, 0.1423, 0.139, 0.1355, 0.1492, 0.1567, 0.1631, 0.1639, 0.1693, 0.1585, 0.1664, 0.1316, 0.1136, 0.12, 0.1201, 0.129, 0.1279, 0.1265, 0.1417, 0.1354, 0.1324, 0.1338, 0.1363, 0.1332, 0.1491, 0.1415, 0.136, 0.1142, 0.104, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.117, 0.0973, 0.1004, 0.1278, 0.0982, 0.0877, 0.0876, 0.0933, 0.0889, 0.0971, 0.095, 0.0832, 0.0733, 0.0653, 0.0681, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0923, 0.086, 0.1134, 0.116, 0.105, 0.1075, 0.1118, 0.1124, 0.1116, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.099, 0.0923, 0.0827, 0.09, 0.1013, 0.1041, 0.1208, 0.1258, 0.1371, 0.1391, 0.1267, 0.1196, 0.1018, 0.1019, 0.121, 0.1245, 0.1149, 0.1322, 0.1369, 0.1068, 0.0783, 0.0545]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1783465657989746727", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-25T11:58:42+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil stocks remain a contrarian call... we continue to find compelling value where others are not yet looking", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil equities and crude: demand beats, US supply falling, inventories near all-time seasonal lows, OPEC spare capacity disciplined; sentiment still bearish = contrarian buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It is baffling to me that oil stocks remain a contrarian call and sentiment, as measured by fund flows, remains bearish. Oil demand is exceeding expectations, US supply growth is plummeting, global oil inventories are near all-time seasonal lows and \"days of supply\" to reach all-time lows this Summer, OPEC spare capacity is largely held by Saudi whose \"will and intent\" is working, and the \"energy transition\" false narrative is crumbling before our eyes. While the \"generals\" are discounting near spot WTI, we continue to find compelling value where others are not yet looking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004553263086307213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004553263086307213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008366596447786812, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008366596447786812, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0038133333614795983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038133333614795983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0092103059272296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0092103059272296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018684190842779613, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018684190842779613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473884915550013, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009473884915550013, "ret_p1w": -0.04211934587612254, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04211934587612254, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045177885221491354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.045177885221491354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058539345368816, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003058539345368816, "ret_p1m": -0.05443429091830354, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05443429091830354, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1059744227455588, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1059744227455588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154013182725525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05154013182725525, "ret_p3m": -0.057690180819178316, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057690180819178316, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16112129920635665, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16112129920635665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10343111838717833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10343111838717833, "ret_p6m": -0.04980308780541587, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04980308780541587, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21819740307710855, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21819740307710855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16839431527169268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16839431527169268, "ret_p1y": -0.15503702151262566, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15503702151262566, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23639390733322052, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.23639390733322052, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08135688582059486, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08135688582059486, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05443429091830354, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1059744227455588, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1059744227455588, "price_path": [-0.1363, -0.1274, -0.1437, -0.1438, -0.1426, -0.1448, -0.142, -0.1402, -0.1314, -0.1448, -0.1353, -0.144, -0.1449, -0.121, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1296, -0.1132, -0.1117, -0.1176, -0.1145, -0.1183, -0.12, -0.1157, -0.1054, -0.115, -0.1084, -0.1056, -0.098, -0.0949, -0.0855, -0.087, -0.0724, -0.0628, -0.0601, -0.0568, -0.0461, -0.0474, -0.0417, -0.0438, -0.0349, -0.0423, -0.0334, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0157, -0.002, 0.0049, 0.0042, 0.015, 0.0086, 0.0089, 0.012, 0.0113, -0.0052, -0.0145, -0.0231, -0.0259, -0.0289, -0.0172, -0.0108, -0.0053, -0.0046, 0.0, -0.0092, -0.0025, -0.0322, -0.0476, -0.0421, -0.042, -0.0345, -0.0354, -0.0365, -0.0236, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0303, -0.0281, -0.0308, -0.0173, -0.0237, -0.0285, -0.0471, -0.0558, -0.0544, -0.0544, -0.0447, -0.0616, -0.0589, -0.0355, -0.0607, -0.0698, -0.0699, -0.065, -0.0687, -0.0617, -0.0635, -0.0736, -0.0821, -0.0889, -0.0865, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0658, -0.0712, -0.0478, -0.0456, -0.055, -0.0528, -0.0491, -0.0486, -0.0493, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.0601, -0.0658, -0.0741, -0.0678, -0.0581, -0.0557, -0.0414, -0.0371, -0.0275, -0.0258, -0.0364, -0.0425, -0.0577, -0.0576, -0.0413, -0.0383, -0.0465, -0.0317, -0.0276, -0.0534, -0.0778, -0.0982, -0.0926, -0.089, -0.0694, -0.0673, -0.0627, -0.0718, -0.0663, -0.0552, -0.0562, -0.0499, -0.0749, -0.0733, -0.0709, -0.0571, -0.0486, -0.0575, -0.0635, -0.0513, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.0715, -0.0843, -0.0914, -0.1028, -0.0963, -0.1118, -0.1201, -0.1121, -0.1071, -0.0969, -0.0847, -0.0829, -0.072, -0.0741, -0.0626, -0.0649, -0.0833, -0.1012, -0.0829, -0.0765, -0.0555, -0.0458, -0.029, -0.0199, -0.0165, -0.0421, -0.0363, -0.0298, -0.0238, -0.0242, -0.0557, -0.0512, -0.0466, -0.0498]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1897296848261705871", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-05T14:43:13+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Canada", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks, especially in Canada, are clearly for sale and valuations/dividends have now approached levels that have typically offered support (12%+ FCF yields and 5%-9% sustainable dividend yields)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy equities and oil: oversold technicals, 12%+ FCF yields, peaking non-OPEC supply, OPEC spare capacity absorption by ~2028, and sustained demand growth all support a long.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Panic is palatable, with technical indicators reaching the most oversold levels since COVID and 25 energy stocks making 52 week lows yesterday on almost 2x normal volume. Energy stocks, especially in Canada, are clearly for sale and valuations/dividends have now approached levels that have typically offered support (12%+ FCF yields and 5%-9% sustainable dividend yields). Why is sentiment so terrible? Enormous volatility and enormous uncertainty:\n1) CND energy tariffs - we think will be short-term, and if not impacts cashflow by only 7% max over a full year\n2) \"Drill, baby drill\" / \"Trump wants $50 oil\" - shale grew at its slowest pace (ex-COVID) since its inception in '24 and has entered its twilight = the world has lost its most meaningful source of short-cycle supply. The WH cannot outweigh geology and capital discipline.\n3) OPEC spare capacity - we estimate ~4MM Bbl/d in a 105MM Bbl/d market and has provided clarity for its gradual and adaptable return. The ~130k bbl/d per month cadence is hugely dependent on market conditions. We do not believe OPEC+ has any incentive to tank the oil price.\nWhere do things stand today?\n1) Global oil inventories, the barometer for market tightness, remain at multi-year seasonal lows\n2) US shale company guidance corroborates no meaningful black oil supply growth (~0.2MM Bbl/d)\n3) Demand is forecasted to grow by ~1.3MM Bbl/d\n4) Global tariff uncertainty -  likely to remain, unfortunately\n5) Iran/VZ/Russia  oil sanctions - Iran is estimated to be exporting at/near max levels and Russia is bound by the OPEC+ voluntary agreement.\n6) OPEC+ has begun the process of reducing spare capacity which now is the largest overhang on sentiment\nWe continue to see non-OPEC supply peaking + the absorption of most of OPEC spare capacity by ~ 2028, yet many years of demand growth ahead. This is not a sunset industry, yet uncertainty and volatility are allowing energy stocks to trade as such.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0076433185743896015, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0076433185743896015, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01827683973884342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01827683973884342, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00636953799732054, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00636953799732054, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024120747076084248, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024120747076084248, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "ret_p1w": 0.051592368621530715, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051592368621530715, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0930802842058498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0930802842058498, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "ret_p1m": 0.06659523773987774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06659523773987774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1433378085694853, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1433378085694853, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "ret_p3m": 0.07750506422411063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07750506422411063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.052082019405891966, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.052082019405891966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025423044818218665, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025423044818218665, "ret_p6m": 0.16416050422809914, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16416050422809914, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0512336096861048, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0512336096861048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11292689454199434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11292689454199434, "ret_p1y": 0.5321264723880306, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5321264723880306, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3293516976897959, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3293516976897959, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20277477469823468, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20277477469823468, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5321264723880306, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3293516976897959, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3293516976897959, "price_path": [0.1196, 0.0975, 0.1025, 0.0943, 0.1088, 0.0899, 0.0893, 0.0698, 0.0622, 0.0433, 0.0351, 0.0357, 0.0572, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.072, 0.0898, 0.107, 0.114, 0.1242, 0.1433, 0.1439, 0.1452, 0.1567, 0.1357, 0.1376, 0.1408, 0.1204, 0.1306, 0.1503, 0.1408, 0.1382, 0.1369, 0.1242, 0.1115, 0.1006, 0.114, 0.1197, 0.093, 0.0885, 0.1, 0.1051, 0.0917, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.135, 0.1096, 0.1134, 0.1019, 0.1019, 0.1134, 0.1223, 0.1255, 0.1025, 0.093, 0.0752, 0.0694, 0.0701, 0.0726, 0.0191, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0064, 0.0287, 0.0268, 0.035, 0.0516, 0.0439, 0.0643, 0.0796, 0.0834, 0.1013, 0.1083, 0.1089, 0.1255, 0.1299, 0.1365, 0.1282, 0.1167, 0.1314, 0.1391, 0.1475, 0.0666, -0.0258, -0.0451, -0.09, -0.013, -0.0778, -0.0515, -0.0451, -0.0419, -0.0233, -0.0021, -0.0117, 0.0088, 0.0024, 0.0127, 0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0076, -0.0155, -0.0072, 0.0018, -0.0245, -0.0136, -0.0117, 0.0165, 0.0364, 0.0672, 0.0858, 0.0781, 0.0647, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0615, 0.0589, 0.0563, 0.0608, 0.0666, 0.0672, 0.0602, 0.0608, 0.0429, 0.0627, 0.0775, 0.0627, 0.0666, 0.0814, 0.0865, 0.1, 0.1244, 0.1308, 0.1661, 0.1571, 0.177, 0.1648, 0.1738, 0.1693, 0.1301, 0.1134, 0.1077, 0.1116, 0.1064, 0.1006, 0.1006, 0.1168, 0.1123, 0.1103, 0.1025, 0.1259, 0.1252, 0.1207, 0.1343, 0.1317, 0.122, 0.109, 0.1142, 0.1155, 0.1045, 0.1116, 0.1233, 0.1337, 0.1285, 0.1505, 0.1616, 0.1583, 0.1447, 0.122, 0.122, 0.1298, 0.1252, 0.1168, 0.1168, 0.1071, 0.1123, 0.111, 0.1136, 0.1103, 0.1071, 0.0987, 0.1064, 0.1246, 0.1499, 0.1557, 0.146, 0.1629, 0.1681, 0.1642]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1811121372325720369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-10T19:32:38+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Business models have never been stronger with record free cashflow and payouts to shareholders", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: record free cash flow and shareholder payouts signal sustained strength.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors are winning...energy stocks are only narrowly lagging tech stocks year-to-date while more than tripling the broader Canadian market. Business models have never been stronger with record free cashflow and payouts to shareholders: https://t.co/MX8ZPLuk4t https://t.co/0OCqPl7MUu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012679048444600438, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012679048444600438, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028806987151805963, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028806987151805963, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009798349729419842, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009798349729419842, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013230535465555748, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013230535465555748, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021853038818177906, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021853038818177906, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008622503352622157, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008622503352622157, "ret_p1w": 0.013230535465555748, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013230535465555748, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021033465788858563, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021033465788858563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007802930323302815, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007802930323302815, "ret_p1m": -0.019294316177378312, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019294316177378312, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03534462593169996, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03534462593169996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05463894210907827, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05463894210907827, "ret_p3m": 0.03127568817133719, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03127568817133719, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01662862360725681, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01662862360725681, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014647064564080381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014647064564080381, "ret_p6m": -0.017539034818177313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.017539034818177313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07890176205345945, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07890176205345945, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06136272723528213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06136272723528213, "ret_p1y": -0.029366263781294366, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.029366263781294366, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14342425051602414, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14342425051602414, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11405798673472978, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11405798673472978, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019294316177378312, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03534462593169996, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03534462593169996, "price_path": [0.0475, 0.0295, 0.036, 0.0344, 0.0295, 0.0355, 0.0393, 0.0437, 0.0464, 0.054, 0.0562, 0.0628, 0.0317, 0.0142, 0.0164, 0.0153, 0.0333, 0.0377, 0.0426, 0.0513, 0.0382, 0.0366, 0.0268, 0.0284, 0.0289, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0486, 0.036, 0.0306, 0.0377, 0.0409, 0.0557, 0.036, 0.0404, 0.054, 0.0071, -0.0109, -0.0076, 0.0011, -0.006, 0.0071, 0.0038, -0.0033, -0.0344, -0.0393, -0.0382, -0.0224, -0.024, -0.0196, -0.0322, 0.0006, -0.005, -0.0083, 0.0044, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0176, 0.0243, 0.0259, 0.0022, 0.0033, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.011, 0.0281, 0.0154, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0039, 0.0116, -0.0022, -0.0083, -0.0017, 0.0028, -0.0072, -0.0039, 0.027, -0.0039, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.0507, -0.0386, -0.0193, -0.0149, 0.0154, 0.0187, 0.0281, 0.0458, 0.0342, 0.0292, 0.0061, 0.0044, 0.0066, 0.0176, 0.0325, 0.0121, 0.0077, 0.0171, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0265, -0.0419, -0.0557, -0.07, -0.0717, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0849, -0.0827, -0.0744, -0.0601, -0.0645, -0.048, -0.0551, -0.0496, -0.0404, -0.0571, -0.086, -0.066, -0.061, -0.0293, -0.0277, 0.0001, 0.0135, 0.0313, 0.0079, 0.0118, 0.0341, 0.0363, 0.0363, -0.0138, -0.0176, -0.0065, -0.011, -0.0071, -0.0065, -0.0171, -0.0121, 0.0013, -0.0154, -0.0227, -0.0193, -0.031, -0.0399, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0088, -0.0032, -0.0138, -0.0149, -0.026, -0.0176, 0.0046, -0.0065, 0.0035, 0.0001, 0.0101, 0.0291, 0.0341, 0.0157, -0.0071, -0.0065, -0.0004, 0.0001, -0.0065, 0.0007, -0.021, -0.0126, -0.0321, -0.0277, -0.0349, -0.0221, -0.0388, -0.0393, -0.0566, -0.0632, -0.0799, -0.0871, -0.0866, -0.0677, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0546, -0.0389, -0.0237, -0.0175]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974200866216554834", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T19:52:20+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas has gone from a BRIDGE FUEL to THE FUEL of the future", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish natural gas long-term on 20+ Bcf/d LNG demand growth + 4-10 Bcf/d data-centre demand by 2030.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With 20+ Bcf/d of LNG demand growth over the next 5 years and now data centre demand being actualized (project = 300MMcf/d or ~4% of Alberta's current demand; North America = 4Bcf/d-10Bcf/d growth to 2030), natural gas has gone from a BRIDGE FUEL to THE FUEL of the future. https://t.co/wyrXebgROM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03065131131678167, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03065131131678167, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030636543736481725, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030636543736481725, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019157087842611054, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019157087842611054, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015570858932274945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015570858932274945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "ret_p1w": -0.05517243344869749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05517243344869749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03097965140167236, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03097965140167236, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "ret_p1m": 0.05440613239615533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05440613239615533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03329170291089256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03329170291089256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "ret_p3m": -0.07586205031790239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07586205031790239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09973893456025218, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09973893456025218, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.023876884242349794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023876884242349794, "ret_p6m": -0.12490422150324354, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12490422150324354, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10960390762336913, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10960390762336913, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015300313879874405, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015300313879874405, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1364, 0.0881, 0.1303, 0.1433, 0.1716, 0.1908, 0.2107, 0.2031, 0.2146, 0.1249, 0.1088, 0.0506, 0.0621, 0.0598, 0.0475, 0.0659, 0.023, 0.0414, 0.0437, -0.0069, 0.0107, 0.0375, 0.0368, 0.0115, 0.0015, -0.059, -0.0498, -0.0414, -0.0169, -0.0253, -0.0682, -0.0705, -0.0498, -0.0874, -0.0843, -0.0828, -0.0659, -0.0368, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0207, 0.0008, 0.0038, -0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0161, -0.013, -0.0483, -0.0414, -0.0107, 0.013, 0.0038, -0.0291, -0.0368, -0.069, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.0352, -0.0444, -0.0176, 0.0015, 0.0437, 0.0307, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0559, 0.0038, -0.0238, -0.0552, -0.0667, -0.0843, -0.0897, -0.1126, -0.0904, -0.0092, 0.0077, 0.0008, -0.0092, -0.0061, -0.0123, -0.0544, -0.0644, -0.0176, 0.0153, 0.0544, 0.0674, 0.0444, 0.0858, 0.069, 0.0805, 0.1157, 0.1226, 0.1349, 0.1157, 0.082, 0.0897, 0.1264, 0.105, 0.1226, 0.1042, 0.0598, 0.092, 0.092, 0.1287, 0.1655, 0.1464, 0.1854, 0.2, 0.2544, 0.1548, 0.0805, 0.0927, 0.0023, -0.0245, -0.0452, -0.0728, -0.0314, -0.0782, -0.0659, -0.092, -0.0115, -0.0506, -0.0184, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.0605, -0.0759, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.0973, -0.1364, -0.2031, -0.1433, -0.1326, -0.2153, -0.2107, -0.2084, -0.2084, -0.0521, 0.0452, 0.0291, 0.0705, 0.1364, 0.1264, 0.1134, 0.154, 0.295, -0.0268, -0.0054, 0.0314, 0.036, 0.0169, -0.0674, -0.0705, -0.0559, -0.0475, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0881, -0.0904, -0.0958, -0.0797, -0.1004, -0.1218, -0.1111, -0.128, -0.1172, -0.0805, -0.059, -0.0973, -0.0766, -0.023, -0.0567, -0.0598, -0.013, -0.0008, -0.0314, -0.0644, -0.0651, -0.0291, -0.0375, -0.0506, -0.1011, -0.1011, -0.0912, -0.0927, -0.059, -0.105, -0.1011, -0.1249]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1631312027258871809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-02T15:14:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many energy stocks trading at 20% FCF yields at $80WTI while committing to return 75%-100% of it back this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks: market underestimates FCF generation at $80 WTI; 20% FCF yields with 75-100% return commitments signal deep undervaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There is a profound misunderstanding of how much free cashflow is being generated at today's oil price, let alone where I believe we will be later this year. Many energy stocks trading at 20% FCF yields at $80WTI while committing to return 75%-100% of it back this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008711691719420211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008711691719420211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009945805482384218, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009945805482384218, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00771711117118179, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00771711117118179, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013590728802708618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013590728802708618, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024470280335477934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024470280335477934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01603775683625641, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01603775683625641, "ret_p1w": -0.02776171705455288, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02776171705455288, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012050854730037641, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012050854730037641, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01571086232451524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01571086232451524, "ret_p1m": -0.027825894124816286, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027825894124816286, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.060863045826116235, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.060863045826116235, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03303715170129995, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03303715170129995, "ret_p3m": -0.08498475745214262, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08498475745214262, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1452489810444676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1452489810444676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06026422359232497, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06026422359232497, "ret_p6m": 0.03709701242902508, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03709701242902508, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0772282812998979, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0772282812998979, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11432529372892297, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11432529372892297, "ret_p1y": 0.03045962235447308, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03045962235447308, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2442745287833039, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2442745287833039, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.274734151137777, "bench_c_p1y": 0.274734151137777, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027825894124816286, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.060863045826116235, "alpha_c_stated": -0.060863045826116235, "price_path": [0.0075, -0.019, -0.0213, -0.0257, -0.0494, -0.0245, -0.0059, -0.012, -0.018, -0.0301, -0.0302, -0.0156, 0.0031, -0.02, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0221, -0.0008, 0.0096, 0.016, 0.016, -0.0196, -0.0197, -0.0019, 0.0171, 0.0135, 0.0207, 0.0238, 0.0433, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.047, 0.0279, 0.0407, 0.051, 0.0524, 0.0483, 0.0484, 0.0815, 0.0597, 0.0354, 0.0446, 0.024, 0.0007, -0.0015, -0.006, 0.0263, 0.0171, 0.0084, 0.0479, 0.0452, 0.0455, 0.0278, 0.0177, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0235, -0.03, -0.0153, -0.0166, -0.0137, -0.0279, -0.0087, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0141, -0.0036, -0.0138, -0.0278, -0.0402, -0.0597, -0.0504, -0.1014, -0.0916, -0.1059, -0.088, -0.0565, -0.0765, -0.0893, -0.0858, -0.0663, -0.0519, -0.0387, -0.0345, -0.0278, 0.0162, -0.0022, 0.0128, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0054, 0.0149, 0.0156, 0.0219, 0.0238, 0.0117, 0.0157, 0.0122, 0.0033, -0.0026, 0.0127, -0.0063, -0.0196, -0.0161, -0.0008, -0.0121, -0.0551, -0.0729, -0.0832, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.058, -0.0687, -0.0798, -0.0784, -0.0737, -0.0965, -0.0791, -0.0724, -0.0653, -0.0691, -0.0592, -0.0551, -0.0718, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.085, -0.1011, -0.0899, -0.0622, -0.0684, -0.0609, -0.036, -0.0401, -0.0454, -0.0546, -0.0501, -0.0599, -0.0495, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0722, -0.0648, -0.0774, -0.084, -0.0676, -0.0654, -0.056, -0.0451, -0.0389, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.042, -0.0635, -0.0434, -0.036, -0.0148, -0.0056, -0.0094, -0.0356, -0.0375, -0.0278, -0.0221, -0.0106, -0.0019, 0.0142, 0.0196, 0.0199, 0.0134, 0.0165, 0.0358, 0.0309, 0.0174, 0.0277, 0.0292, 0.0303, 0.0354, 0.0485, 0.0483, 0.0644, 0.0599, 0.0379, 0.0289, 0.0412, 0.0515, 0.0449, 0.0369, 0.0343, 0.0272, 0.0371]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782850346559160447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-23T19:13:41+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we have become medium/long-term bullish on natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Medium/long-term bullish on natural gas on long-dated inventory value.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another @marketcall in the books with the focus on the value in long-dated inventory, why we have become medium/long-term bullish on natural gas, and where we continue to find opportunities...we remain bullish!\nhttps://t.co/Ur1nQQeNWD https://t.co/xE6gMuC5wX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025906711748779898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025906711748779898, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014179206694524327, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014179206694524327, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011727505054255571, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011727505054255571, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994818348817877, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994818348817877, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06947351436248117, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06947351436248117, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004746691256976021, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0004746691256976021, "ret_p1w": -0.06476684113842279, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06476684113842279, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057508817604280504, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057508817604280504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "ret_p1m": 0.33095853598141023, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33095853598141023, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2831388672210806, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2831388672210806, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "ret_p3m": -0.07383415936725934, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07383415936725934, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16304796807201605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16304796807201605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0892138087047567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0892138087047567, "ret_p6m": -0.12953368227684559, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12953368227684559, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28837931268109074, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28837931268109074, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15884563040424515, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15884563040424515, "ret_p1y": 0.20660619605432062, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.20660619605432062, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13721894208878083, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13721894208878083, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.0693872539655398, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0693872539655398, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.33095853598141023, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2831388672210806, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2831388672210806, "price_path": [0.3018, 0.3044, 0.239, 0.2565, 0.2714, 0.2247, 0.2539, 0.2468, 0.2008, 0.1813, 0.1282, 0.1108, 0.0473, 0.0052, -0.0356, -0.0408, -0.0291, -0.0291, -0.0434, 0.0764, 0.0544, -0.0149, 0.0117, 0.0473, 0.0835, 0.0712, 0.0635, 0.1205, 0.1341, 0.1198, 0.0382, 0.0447, 0.0162, -0.0084, -0.0343, 0.0084, -0.0201, -0.0065, 0.013, -0.0045, -0.0078, -0.0214, -0.0259, -0.0311, -0.0706, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0032, 0.0026, 0.0013, -0.035, -0.0369, -0.0019, 0.0266, 0.0149, -0.0382, -0.0356, -0.0842, -0.0622, -0.0687, -0.0661, -0.0596, -0.0259, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0693, -0.0894, -0.0343, -0.0648, -0.0842, -0.0376, 0.0149, 0.0402, 0.0473, 0.033, 0.0959, 0.0699, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1399, 0.1768, 0.237, 0.2837, 0.2623, 0.331, 0.3031, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2539, 0.1801, 0.1373, 0.1392, 0.2254, 0.1671, 0.2267, 0.25, 0.307, 0.3076, 0.3944, 0.3491, 0.3025, 0.2863, 0.2409, 0.2915, 0.2915, 0.2325, 0.228, 0.2759, 0.2299, 0.1859, 0.1645, 0.1289, 0.0732, 0.0628, 0.0589, 0.0589, 0.0104, 0.0272, 0.0188, 0.0045, -0.0142, 0.0039, -0.0622, -0.0538, -0.1101, -0.0861, -0.0738, -0.0278, -0.0376, -0.0732, -0.1095, -0.125, -0.1198, -0.0926, -0.1231, -0.1522, -0.1548, -0.1619, -0.1373, -0.1023, -0.0816, -0.0751, -0.0674, -0.0719, -0.0453, -0.0563, -0.0887, -0.0486, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.1056, -0.1114, -0.1367, -0.1528, -0.1451, -0.1302, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1004, -0.1282, -0.0816, -0.0725, -0.1269, -0.0887, -0.0771, -0.0395, -0.0615, -0.0376, -0.0518, -0.0648, -0.0538, -0.0065, 0.0421, 0.024, 0.0266, 0.0019, 0.0602, 0.0576, 0.0602, 0.0628, 0.0803, 0.0324, -0.0039, -0.0123, -0.0376, -0.0201, -0.0415, -0.0939, -0.0926, -0.1295]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1648699296366182402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-19T14:45:18+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish! We believe the pace of draws will meaningfully accelerate in the coming months and that global oil inventories will end the year at 10+ year lows.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil: inventory draws to accelerate, global stocks ending year at 10+ year lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US \"Big 3\" inventories are now back to a multi-year deficit. We believe the pace of draws will meaningfully accelerate in the coming months and that global oil inventories will end the year at 10+ year lows. We remain bullish! https://t.co/z18sy1kz9U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019850744008213184, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019850744008213184, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019681665341453547, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019681665341453547, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016907866675963668, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016907866675963668, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02430226426507187, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02430226426507187, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018845265610503148, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018845265610503148, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005456998654568723, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005456998654568723, "ret_p1w": -0.06532723924144801, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06532723924144801, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04171204942231166, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04171204942231166, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02361518981913635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02361518981913635, "ret_p1m": -0.08734362242942784, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08734362242942784, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09963421719886278, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09963421719886278, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012290594769434948, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012290594769434948, "ret_p3m": -0.0555823218710374, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0555823218710374, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14824348071845384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14824348071845384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09266115884741644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09266115884741644, "ret_p6m": 0.034648666485233015, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.034648666485233015, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.020082281726002016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.020082281726002016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05473094821123503, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05473094821123503, "ret_p1y": 0.09684787242977211, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09684787242977211, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17310314223366707, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17310314223366707, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2699510146634392, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2699510146634392, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08734362242942784, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09963421719886278, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09963421719886278, "price_path": [0.0543, 0.061, 0.0362, 0.0361, 0.0523, 0.0426, 0.0214, 0.0165, -0.0034, -0.0114, -0.0383, -0.0256, 0.0069, 0.0237, 0.0166, 0.0393, 0.042, 0.0296, 0.0272, 0.0243, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0008, -0.0303, -0.0109, 0.0005, -0.0081, 0.0093, 0.0143, 0.0196, 0.0326, 0.0368, 0.002, -0.0055, -0.0184, -0.0041, -0.0283, -0.0682, -0.1135, -0.1013, -0.1221, -0.1122, -0.0938, -0.0774, -0.0867, -0.0978, -0.0602, -0.0538, -0.0582, -0.0463, -0.0403, 0.0218, 0.0219, 0.0225, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0128, 0.03, 0.0506, 0.0357, 0.0384, 0.0197, 0.0199, 0.0, -0.0243, -0.0176, -0.0047, -0.0283, -0.0653, -0.0571, -0.0431, -0.0458, -0.0938, -0.1298, -0.1278, -0.0941, -0.0735, -0.0683, -0.0807, -0.0979, -0.1077, -0.0949, -0.0988, -0.0741, -0.0873, -0.0907, -0.0858, -0.0756, -0.0573, -0.0825, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.1153, -0.1258, -0.1064, -0.0841, -0.0771, -0.0822, -0.0742, -0.0861, -0.1002, -0.1357, -0.1062, -0.1193, -0.0896, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0869, -0.0722, -0.108, -0.1115, -0.1076, -0.1307, -0.1094, -0.1056, -0.0989, -0.1019, -0.1019, -0.0778, -0.0794, -0.0559, -0.0653, -0.0448, -0.0362, -0.0212, -0.0391, -0.0556, -0.042, -0.044, -0.0419, -0.0247, -0.0046, 0.0063, -0.0024, 0.0135, 0.0225, 0.0294, 0.0215, 0.001, 0.0243, 0.0375, 0.0267, 0.0367, 0.0533, 0.0395, 0.0444, 0.0372, 0.0213, 0.004, 0.012, 0.0202, 0.0161, 0.0109, 0.0011, 0.0029, 0.0164, 0.0156, 0.0285, 0.033, 0.045, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0833, 0.09, 0.0818, 0.0906, 0.0905, 0.1076, 0.1054, 0.1273, 0.1301, 0.1361, 0.135, 0.1252, 0.1225, 0.1221, 0.1224, 0.1304, 0.1616, 0.1475, 0.1467, 0.0913, 0.0938, 0.0324, 0.0114, 0.0176, 0.0605, 0.0545, 0.0325, 0.0346]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1950250446427238401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-29T17:41:54+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on natural gas as it is gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of the future", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Remain bullish on US natural gas; short-term selloff overblown with LNG demand tripling by 2030, flat supply, and FCF yields accelerating at $4-5/mcf.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Despite the 18% MTD selloff, \"we remain bullish\" on natural gas as it is gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of the future:\n➡️Short-term selloff driven by mild Spring, very heavy LNG maintenance, and weak power burns\n➡️LNG demand to grow by ~3Bcf/d in 2026 and reach ~29Bcf/d (vs. 15.5bcf/d now) by 2030\n➡️Power demand growth is real (GE Vernova backlog = 8Bcf/d of future demand)\n➡️Total demand growth 2025-2030 = 16+Bcf/d\n➡️Total US natural gas production flat since March (S&P Global) with limited/no growth in 2H'25\n➡️Haynesville growth YTD driven by DUC drawdown (now normalized) with current rig count now at/near maintenance mode. This is THE main growth basin with marginal supply cost of $4+/mcf.\n➡️Average well productivity (length adjusted) falling 3%-5%/year\n➡️Flat/falling US oil shale production = less associated gas production (helping to offset rising GOR's)   \n➡️At $4/mcf we estimate 10% FCF yields and 16%+ FCF yields at $5/mcf...LNG Canada ramp = tightening differential to ~$1.10\n➡️Similar to CDN oilsand stocks 2 years ago, US gas producers deleveraging with near-term meaningful inflection in share buybacks = catalyst.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017253757997906405, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017253757997906405, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019898382189289743, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019898382189289743, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644624191383338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002644624191383338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040258768661781685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040258768661781685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038999437650738544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038999437650738544, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001259331011043141, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001259331011043141, "ret_p1w": -0.051761342554059175, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051761342554059175, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040285704461200056, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040285704461200056, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01147563809285912, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01147563809285912, "ret_p1m": -0.12365206943900908, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12365206943900908, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14155022786240457, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14155022786240457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017898158423395483, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017898158423395483, "ret_p3m": -0.06757725310530349, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06757725310530349, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13663184598152267, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13663184598152267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06905459287621918, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06905459287621918, "ret_p6m": 0.004313473779646415, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.004313473779646415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0868665679215832, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0868665679215832, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09118004170122962, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09118004170122962, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2451, 0.317, 0.2926, 0.2487, 0.3063, 0.2991, 0.3645, 0.3192, 0.3077, 0.2509, 0.2078, 0.2013, 0.1251, 0.2214, 0.2164, 0.197, 0.2099, 0.2099, 0.2272, 0.161, 0.1495, 0.1294, 0.2128, 0.2193, 0.2157, 0.2006, 0.2351, 0.1905, 0.1546, 0.1467, 0.1553, 0.1761, 0.2207, 0.2638, 0.2998, 0.2998, 0.2696, 0.2106, 0.1682, 0.1395, 0.1258, 0.1891, 0.0985, 0.0863, 0.1086, 0.0963, 0.0963, 0.0863, 0.0661, 0.0208, 0.0604, 0.0726, 0.0992, 0.1172, 0.1359, 0.1287, 0.1395, 0.0554, 0.0403, -0.0144, -0.0036, -0.0058, -0.0173, 0.0, -0.0403, -0.023, -0.0208, -0.0683, -0.0518, -0.0266, -0.0273, -0.051, -0.0604, -0.1172, -0.1086, -0.1006, -0.0776, -0.0855, -0.1258, -0.128, -0.1086, -0.1438, -0.1409, -0.1395, -0.1237, -0.0963, -0.0776, -0.0776, -0.0812, -0.0611, -0.0582, -0.0697, -0.0539, -0.0467, -0.074, -0.1071, -0.1006, -0.0719, -0.0496, -0.0582, -0.0891, -0.0963, -0.1265, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.0949, -0.1035, -0.0784, -0.0604, -0.0208, -0.0331, -0.0618, -0.0439, -0.0093, -0.0582, -0.0841, -0.1136, -0.1244, -0.1409, -0.1459, -0.1675, -0.1467, -0.0705, -0.0546, -0.0611, -0.0705, -0.0676, -0.0733, -0.1129, -0.1222, -0.0784, -0.0474, -0.0108, 0.0014, -0.0201, 0.0187, 0.0029, 0.0137, 0.0467, 0.0532, 0.0647, 0.0467, 0.0151, 0.0223, 0.0568, 0.0367, 0.0532, 0.0359, -0.0058, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.059, 0.0935, 0.0755, 0.1121, 0.1258, 0.1769, 0.0834, 0.0137, 0.0252, -0.0597, -0.0848, -0.1042, -0.1301, -0.0913, -0.1352, -0.1237, -0.1481, -0.0726, -0.1093, -0.0791, -0.0618, -0.0568, -0.1186, -0.133, -0.1639, -0.1891, -0.1531, -0.1898, -0.2523, -0.1963, -0.1862, -0.2638, -0.2595, -0.2574, -0.2574, -0.1107, -0.0194, -0.0345, 0.0043]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980728193830068452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-21T20:09:36+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why natural gas stocks are so compelling", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on natural gas stocks, finds them compelling.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "4 potential final outcomes in the MEG/CVE/SCR soap opera + some thoughts on why natural gas stocks are so compelling: https://t.co/5wXxCdsCJq https://t.co/g0mPt1x9Oh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006891209496317607, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006891209496317607, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016652245996942039, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016652245996942039, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0052259848966234035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0052259848966234035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009954066635836534, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009954066635836534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015883957826336226, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015883957826336226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": -0.06508425376411076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06508425376411076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09441935093820009, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09441935093820009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02933509717408933, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02933509717408933, "ret_p1m": 0.10413473300004394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10413473300004394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12700084125399325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12700084125399325, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": 0.04441040620755787, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04441040620755787, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01502245631487642, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01502245631487642, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029387949892681453, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029387949892681453, "ret_p6m": -0.1692189867641547, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1692189867641547, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2365376323116717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2365376323116717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06731864554751699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06731864554751699, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10413473300004394, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12700084125399325, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12700084125399325, "price_path": [0.059, 0.0467, 0.0651, 0.0222, 0.0406, 0.0429, -0.0077, 0.01, 0.0368, 0.036, 0.0107, 0.0008, -0.0597, -0.0505, -0.0421, -0.0176, -0.026, -0.0689, -0.0712, -0.0505, -0.0881, -0.085, -0.0835, -0.0666, -0.0375, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.0214, 0.0, 0.0031, -0.0092, 0.0077, 0.0153, -0.0138, -0.049, -0.0421, -0.0115, 0.0123, 0.0031, -0.0299, -0.0375, -0.0697, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.036, -0.0452, -0.0184, 0.0008, 0.0429, 0.0299, -0.0008, 0.0184, 0.0551, 0.0031, -0.0245, -0.0559, -0.0674, -0.085, -0.0904, -0.1133, -0.0911, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.01, -0.0069, -0.013, -0.0551, -0.0651, -0.0184, 0.0145, 0.0536, 0.0666, 0.0436, 0.085, 0.0681, 0.0796, 0.1149, 0.1217, 0.134, 0.1149, 0.0812, 0.0888, 0.1256, 0.1041, 0.1217, 0.1034, 0.059, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.1279, 0.1646, 0.1455, 0.1845, 0.1991, 0.2534, 0.1539, 0.0796, 0.0919, 0.0015, -0.0253, -0.0459, -0.0735, -0.0322, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0926, -0.0123, -0.0513, -0.0191, -0.0008, 0.0046, -0.0613, -0.0766, -0.1095, -0.1363, -0.098, -0.1371, -0.2037, -0.144, -0.1332, -0.2159, -0.2113, -0.209, -0.209, -0.0528, 0.0444, 0.0283, 0.0697, 0.1355, 0.1256, 0.1126, 0.1531, 0.294, -0.0276, -0.0061, 0.0306, 0.0352, 0.0161, -0.0681, -0.0712, -0.0567, -0.0482, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0888, -0.0911, -0.0965, -0.0804, -0.1011, -0.1225, -0.1118, -0.1286, -0.1179, -0.0812, -0.0597, -0.098, -0.0773, -0.0237, -0.0574, -0.0605, -0.0138, -0.0015, -0.0322, -0.0651, -0.0658, -0.0299, -0.0383, -0.0513, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0919, -0.0934, -0.0597, -0.1057, -0.1018, -0.1256, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1294, -0.1156, -0.1516, -0.1669, -0.1753, -0.1822, -0.1914, -0.1899, -0.1746, -0.17, -0.1692]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032467469462384712", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-13T14:43:00+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we view Canadian oil stocks to be in many cases severely mispriced", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Structural bull case for oil to all-time highs later this year; Canadian oil stocks severely mispriced to the upside on geopolitical premium + fundamental rerating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil stocks ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We continue to face the worst energy crisis in history. Global production has fallen by ~7mm bbl/d while flows have fallen by ~15mm bbl/d. Even when the Strait eventually opens, the impacts will be enduring. Lifting of Russian sanctions have killed the “glut” narrative as sanctioned floating barrels will be quickly absorbed resetting balances. We expect at least a $10/bbl political risk premium to remain in place for some time raising the floor price to ~$70. When the market’s focus eventually shifts from geopolitics to fundamentals, the structural bull market that we have long championed will we believe become the new oil narrative later in the year, ultimately leading to all-time highs. Given all this, we view Canadian oil stocks to be in many cases severely mispriced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0023668757323614953, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0023668757323614953, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00805920443715269, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00805920443715269, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005917113619953396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005917113619953396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004259752491529767, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004259752491529767, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": 0.04615384964819769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04615384964819769, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06419540543124469, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06419540543124469, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.03602236168347539, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03602236168347539, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002757811613783856, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002757811613783856, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": 0.05586953307315512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05586953307315512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04245770832227902, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04245770832227902, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09832724139543414, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09832724139543414, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03602236168347539, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002757811613783856, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002757811613783856, "price_path": [-0.2363, -0.2461, -0.2739, -0.2633, -0.2739, -0.2668, -0.2621, -0.2563, -0.2574, -0.2574, -0.2504, -0.2406, -0.2418, -0.2288, -0.2552, -0.2611, -0.2722, -0.2592, -0.245, -0.2414, -0.2209, -0.2012, -0.2091, -0.2012, -0.1968, -0.2063, -0.1791, -0.1897, -0.1803, -0.1763, -0.1677, -0.159, -0.1491, -0.1566, -0.1661, -0.1507, -0.1361, -0.1475, -0.1318, -0.1286, -0.129, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.1077, -0.088, -0.0679, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.0805, -0.0868, -0.0793, -0.0686, -0.0525, -0.0564, -0.0517, -0.0434, -0.0473, -0.043, -0.0473, -0.0229, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0162, 0.0241, 0.0513, 0.0462, 0.0335, 0.0513, 0.0604, 0.0586, 0.0884, 0.0829, 0.0761, 0.036, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0646, 0.0769, 0.0289, 0.0118, 0.0277, 0.036, 0.0106, 0.0055, 0.0158, -0.0326, -0.0255, -0.0084, 0.0055, 0.0237, 0.0094, 0.0332, 0.0547, 0.0825, 0.0916, 0.0805, 0.0948, 0.1087, 0.0543, 0.0408, 0.0416, 0.0586, 0.0841, 0.0801, 0.0928, 0.1142, 0.1142, 0.14, 0.1138, 0.113, 0.1114, 0.0753, 0.0769, 0.0519, 0.0471, 0.034, 0.0567, 0.0817, 0.0944, 0.1015, 0.0559, 0.0737, 0.04, 0.0559, 0.0547, 0.0503, 0.0229, 0.0035, -0.0112, -0.0112, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1904976651416477930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-26T19:20:01+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on Canadian energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on Canadian energy stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why “we remain bullish”™️ on Canadian energy stocks: https://t.co/ezelAJarC1 https://t.co/wgsxeGX9Pv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005815856686597898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005815856686597898, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017898224514086514, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017898224514086514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012082367827488616, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012082367827488616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007340621911534506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007340621911534506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004684870102507177, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004684870102507177, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002655751809027329, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002655751809027329, "ret_p1w": 0.009599102866274745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009599102866274745, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01675725516658355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01675725516658355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0071581523003088066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0071581523003088066, "ret_p1m": -0.11010737284281713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11010737284281713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.078537910383921, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.078537910383921, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031569462458896136, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031569462458896136, "ret_p3m": -0.02032766973337119, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02032766973337119, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09064852494191289, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09064852494191289, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0703208552085417, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0703208552085417, "ret_p6m": 0.04541013032870134, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04541013032870134, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1285597452374918, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1285597452374918, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17396987556619314, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17396987556619314, "ret_p1y": 0.5116842972651794, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5116842972651794, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3382726073101969, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3382726073101969, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17341168995498246, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17341168995498246, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11010737284281713, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.078537910383921, "alpha_c_stated": -0.078537910383921, "price_path": [-0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0568, -0.0411, -0.026, -0.0198, -0.0109, 0.006, 0.0065, 0.0076, 0.0177, -0.0008, 0.0009, 0.0037, -0.0142, -0.0053, 0.0121, 0.0037, 0.0015, 0.0003, -0.0109, -0.0221, -0.0316, -0.0198, -0.0148, -0.0383, -0.0422, -0.0322, -0.0277, -0.0394, -0.0355, -0.0148, -0.0013, -0.0237, -0.0204, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0204, -0.0125, -0.0097, -0.0299, -0.0383, -0.054, -0.0591, -0.0585, -0.0563, -0.1033, -0.1134, -0.1201, -0.1145, -0.0949, -0.0966, -0.0893, -0.0747, -0.0815, -0.0635, -0.0501, -0.0467, -0.031, -0.0249, -0.0243, -0.0097, -0.0058, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0175, -0.0045, 0.0023, 0.0096, -0.0615, -0.1429, -0.1598, -0.1993, -0.1316, -0.1886, -0.1654, -0.1598, -0.157, -0.1406, -0.122, -0.1304, -0.1124, -0.118, -0.109, -0.1101, -0.1062, -0.1135, -0.1338, -0.1265, -0.1186, -0.1417, -0.1321, -0.1304, -0.1056, -0.0881, -0.061, -0.0446, -0.0514, -0.0632, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.0661, -0.0683, -0.0706, -0.0666, -0.0615, -0.061, -0.0672, -0.0666, -0.0824, -0.0649, -0.0519, -0.0649, -0.0615, -0.0486, -0.044, -0.0322, -0.0107, -0.0051, 0.026, 0.0181, 0.0356, 0.0248, 0.0327, 0.0288, -0.0056, -0.0203, -0.0253, -0.0219, -0.0265, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0174, -0.0214, -0.0231, -0.0299, -0.0094, -0.0099, -0.0139, -0.002, -0.0042, -0.0128, -0.0242, -0.0196, -0.0185, -0.0282, -0.0219, -0.0117, -0.0025, -0.0071, 0.0123, 0.022, 0.0192, 0.0072, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0059, -0.0099, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0259, -0.0214, -0.0225, -0.0202, -0.0231, -0.0259, -0.0333, -0.0265, -0.0105, 0.0117, 0.0169, 0.0083, 0.0232, 0.0277, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0334, 0.0163, 0.0209, 0.0038, 0.0043, 0.0192, 0.0391, 0.0346, 0.0351, 0.0448, 0.0717, 0.0671, 0.066, 0.0454]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972756778774589472", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-29T20:14:02+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if we get a normal Winter the setup for 2026 is very bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil consensus fading; bears going into hibernation + rate cuts historically bullish oil; nat gas setup very bullish for 2026 on normal/cold winter.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Takeaways from listening to some of the largest energy traders in the world at the @EnergyAspects conference in London:\n🛢️everyone's balances short-term are negative yet the track record of consensus trades working out is very poor - ie. EVERYONE is bearish\n🛢️everyone wants oil to go lower and then will buy, so will it? If oil cannot sell off now given poor anticipated supply/demand fundamentals, then when will it?\n🛢️short-term view is negative, yet big focus on dwindling OPEC spare capacity, flat '26 exit/'25 exit production growth, and stronger than expected demand\n🛢️China has the same balances as everyone else, yet they continue to buy (strong renminbi helping). Little insight given they are a very good poker player.\n🛢️builds have not been as large as expected (the \"glutters\" have been wrong) and not happening in visible pricing centers. OECD inventories remain well below 5 year average and that is a key metric that OPEC is watching.\n🛢️interest rate cuts have historically been very bullish oil\n🛢️natural gas: if we get a normal Winter the setup for 2026 is very bullish; if a cold Winter then we may have to price out LNG exports to balance the market.\nIn summary, I wouldn't say there are many outright 🐂's quite yet, but the 🐻's seem to be going into hibernation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01912777397378218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01912777397378218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015375043251284803, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015375043251284803, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04208111733565434, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04208111733565434, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03867354790972133, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03867354790972133, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075694259330103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034075694259330103, "ret_p1w": 0.054322881004208234, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054322881004208234, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04990968146863728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04990968146863728, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "ret_p1m": -0.06579951620181057, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06579951620181057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09763774335903874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09763774335903874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183822715722817, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03183822715722817, "ret_p3m": -0.0015301839752357438, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0015301839752357438, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03710990061679231, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03710990061679231, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03557971664155657, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03557971664155657, "ret_p6m": -0.06044376283848507, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06044376283848507, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.017693334081997247, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.017693334081997247, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042750428756487824, "bench_c_p6m": -0.042750428756487824, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06579951620181057, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09763774335903874, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09763774335903874, "price_path": [0.1668, 0.1668, 0.1561, 0.1347, 0.0865, 0.1285, 0.1415, 0.1699, 0.189, 0.2089, 0.2012, 0.2127, 0.1232, 0.1071, 0.049, 0.0604, 0.0581, 0.0459, 0.0643, 0.0214, 0.0398, 0.0421, -0.0084, 0.0092, 0.036, 0.0352, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0604, -0.0513, -0.0428, -0.0184, -0.0268, -0.0696, -0.0719, -0.0513, -0.0888, -0.0857, -0.0842, -0.0673, -0.0383, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0222, -0.0008, 0.0023, -0.0099, 0.0069, 0.0145, -0.0145, -0.0497, -0.0428, -0.0122, 0.0115, 0.0023, -0.0306, -0.0383, -0.0704, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0367, -0.0459, -0.0191, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0291, -0.0015, 0.0176, 0.0543, 0.0023, -0.0252, -0.0566, -0.0681, -0.0857, -0.091, -0.114, -0.0918, -0.0107, 0.0061, -0.0008, -0.0107, -0.0077, -0.0138, -0.0559, -0.0658, -0.0191, 0.0138, 0.0528, 0.0658, 0.0428, 0.0842, 0.0673, 0.0788, 0.114, 0.1209, 0.1331, 0.114, 0.0803, 0.088, 0.1247, 0.1033, 0.1209, 0.1025, 0.0581, 0.0903, 0.0903, 0.127, 0.1637, 0.1446, 0.1836, 0.1982, 0.2525, 0.153, 0.0788, 0.091, 0.0008, -0.026, -0.0467, -0.0742, -0.0329, -0.0796, -0.0673, -0.0933, -0.013, -0.052, -0.0199, -0.0015, 0.0038, -0.062, -0.0773, -0.1102, -0.137, -0.0987, -0.1377, -0.2043, -0.1446, -0.1339, -0.2165, -0.2119, -0.2096, -0.2096, -0.0536, 0.0436, 0.0275, 0.0689, 0.1347, 0.1247, 0.1117, 0.1523, 0.293, -0.0283, -0.0069, 0.0298, 0.0344, 0.0153, -0.0689, -0.0719, -0.0574, -0.049, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0895, -0.0918, -0.0972, -0.0811, -0.1018, -0.1232, -0.1125, -0.1293, -0.1186, -0.0819, -0.0604, -0.0987, -0.078, -0.0245, -0.0581, -0.0612, -0.0145, -0.0023, -0.0329, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0306, -0.039, -0.052, -0.1025, -0.1025, -0.0926, -0.0941, -0.0604]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1981707128642621926", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T12:59:32+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on natural gas; also notes anticipated oil supply glut (bearish oil context implied but not a clean directional call).", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why \"we remain bullish\" on natural gas and a quick update on \"the most anticipated oil supply glut in history\"™️: https://t.co/C5QK50nMVz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0030840370878566503, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0030840370878566503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005022284526979837, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005022284526979837, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006168074175713301, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006168074175713301, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017965786198862244, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017965786198862244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "ret_p1w": 0.021588259614996552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021588259614996552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014485994741057828, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014485994741057828, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007102264873938724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007102264873938724, "ret_p1m": 0.11102540869208322, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11102540869208322, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12360575566356691, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12360575566356691, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "ret_p3m": 0.07710100072566006, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07710100072566006, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.056404724808184925, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.056404724808184925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.020696275917475138, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020696275917475138, "ret_p6m": -0.15574405675987057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15574405675987057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21186754758183313, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21186754758183313, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05612349082196255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05612349082196255, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11102540869208322, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12360575566356691, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12360575566356691, "price_path": [0.0725, 0.0293, 0.0478, 0.0501, -0.0008, 0.017, 0.0439, 0.0432, 0.0177, 0.0077, -0.0532, -0.0439, -0.0355, -0.0108, -0.0193, -0.0625, -0.0648, -0.0439, -0.0817, -0.0786, -0.0771, -0.0601, -0.0308, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0146, 0.0069, 0.01, -0.0023, 0.0146, 0.0224, -0.0069, -0.0424, -0.0355, -0.0046, 0.0193, 0.01, -0.0231, -0.0308, -0.0632, -0.047, -0.047, -0.0293, -0.0386, -0.0116, 0.0077, 0.0501, 0.037, 0.0062, 0.0254, 0.0625, 0.01, -0.0177, -0.0493, -0.0609, -0.0786, -0.084, -0.1072, -0.0848, -0.0031, 0.0139, 0.0069, -0.0031, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0486, -0.0586, -0.0116, 0.0216, 0.0609, 0.074, 0.0509, 0.0925, 0.0756, 0.0871, 0.1226, 0.1295, 0.1419, 0.1226, 0.0887, 0.0964, 0.1334, 0.1118, 0.1295, 0.111, 0.0663, 0.0987, 0.0987, 0.1357, 0.1727, 0.1534, 0.1928, 0.2074, 0.2621, 0.1619, 0.0871, 0.0995, 0.0085, -0.0185, -0.0393, -0.0671, -0.0254, -0.0725, -0.0601, -0.0864, -0.0054, -0.0447, -0.0123, 0.0062, 0.0116, -0.0547, -0.0702, -0.1033, -0.1303, -0.0918, -0.1311, -0.1981, -0.138, -0.1272, -0.2105, -0.2059, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.0463, 0.0517, 0.0355, 0.0771, 0.1434, 0.1334, 0.1203, 0.1611, 0.303, -0.0208, 0.0008, 0.0378, 0.0424, 0.0231, -0.0617, -0.0648, -0.0501, -0.0416, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0825, -0.0848, -0.0902, -0.074, -0.0948, -0.1164, -0.1056, -0.1226, -0.1118, -0.0748, -0.0532, -0.0918, -0.0709, -0.017, -0.0509, -0.054, -0.0069, 0.0054, -0.0254, -0.0586, -0.0594, -0.0231, -0.0316, -0.0447, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0856, -0.0871, -0.0532, -0.0995, -0.0956, -0.1195, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1234, -0.1095, -0.1457, -0.1611, -0.1696, -0.1766, -0.1858, -0.1843, -0.1689, -0.1642, -0.1635, -0.1557, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709567383151501552", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-04T13:53:21+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the energy sector represents IMO compelling deep value with a catalyst on the near horizon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy sector on strongest-ever balance sheets, record FCF soon returned to shareholders, and an imminent catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A chart worth 1,000 words: still hated and under owned, despite their strongest balance sheets in history and record free cashflow soon to be meaningfully returned to shareholders, the energy sector represents IMO compelling deep value with a catalyst on the near horizon. https://t.co/CuEuBDPEjO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.032419931185692974, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032419931185692974, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03964930616270934, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03964930616270934, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007229374977016367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007229374977016367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006180699771400899, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006180699771400899, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005803769002106218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005803769002106218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00037693076929468106, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00037693076929468106, "ret_p1w": 0.021107842191802284, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021107842191802284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0063493846179103475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0063493846179103475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02745722680971263, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02745722680971263, "ret_p1m": 0.021107842191802284, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021107842191802284, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006743473211276996, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006743473211276996, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014364368980525288, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014364368980525288, "ret_p3m": -0.012882869237853978, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.012882869237853978, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1366926161752544, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1366926161752544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12380974693740043, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12380974693740043, "ret_p6m": 0.12054927497660772, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12054927497660772, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12002530571386072, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12002530571386072, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24057458069046844, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24057458069046844, "ret_p1y": 0.06194976959090304, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06194976959090304, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2942744220690514, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2942744220690514, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.35622419165995445, "bench_c_p1y": 0.35622419165995445, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021107842191802284, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006743473211276996, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006743473211276996, "price_path": [-0.0647, -0.0575, -0.0367, -0.0278, -0.0315, -0.0571, -0.059, -0.0495, -0.0439, -0.0327, -0.0241, -0.0084, -0.0032, -0.0028, -0.0092, -0.0062, 0.0127, 0.008, -0.0052, 0.0048, 0.0062, 0.0074, 0.0124, 0.0251, 0.025, 0.0407, 0.0363, 0.0148, 0.006, 0.018, 0.0281, 0.0216, 0.0137, 0.0112, 0.0043, 0.014, 0.0208, 0.0236, 0.0287, 0.0294, 0.0504, 0.0504, 0.056, 0.0565, 0.0554, 0.0656, 0.0516, 0.0764, 0.0683, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0742, 0.0641, 0.0542, 0.0398, 0.0415, 0.0546, 0.0485, 0.0746, 0.0758, 0.0541, 0.0331, 0.0324, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0002, 0.0331, 0.0344, 0.0211, 0.0223, 0.0448, 0.0518, 0.0627, 0.0724, 0.0706, 0.0526, 0.0356, 0.021, 0.0191, 0.0112, -0.0131, -0.0098, -0.0065, -0.0089, 0.0211, 0.0108, -0.0006, -0.0227, -0.035, -0.0379, -0.0273, -0.0203, -0.0115, -0.0134, -0.0327, -0.0124, -0.011, -0.0132, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0096, -0.0131, -0.0128, -0.0202, -0.0136, -0.0085, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0448, -0.0513, -0.041, -0.0399, -0.0531, -0.0399, -0.0117, -0.0169, -0.0089, 0.003, -0.0063, -0.0024, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0091, 0.0047, -0.0106, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0023, 0.014, -0.0038, -0.003, -0.0145, -0.0303, -0.0398, -0.0374, -0.0265, -0.0265, -0.0497, -0.0576, -0.0592, -0.0561, -0.0526, -0.0506, -0.037, -0.0154, -0.0081, -0.0095, 0.0008, -0.0179, -0.0181, -0.0167, -0.0191, -0.0159, -0.0139, -0.0038, -0.0191, -0.0083, -0.0183, -0.0192, 0.0081, 0.0075, 0.0075, -0.0017, 0.017, 0.0188, 0.0121, 0.0156, 0.0113, 0.0093, 0.0142, 0.026, 0.015, 0.0226, 0.0257, 0.0344, 0.0381, 0.0488, 0.0472, 0.0639, 0.0748, 0.078, 0.0817, 0.0941, 0.0925, 0.0991, 0.0967, 0.1069, 0.0984, 0.1086, 0.1205]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821998774773821886", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-09T19:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "What a setup!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil: financial positioning near historic short extreme while physical demand revised up, inventories at all-time lows, and CTA/HF positioning at multi-year lows — contrarian long setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Implosion in the financial demand for oil with net length once again nearing lowest levels in history...all the while physical oil demand growth is being revised UP, global oil inventories are at all time-lows, Energy Aspects says CTAs approaching max short, and hedge fund positioning in energy stocks at ~20 year lows. What a setup!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006276675583908209, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006276675583908209, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018863993418996028, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018863993418996028, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004390276242008606, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004390276242008606, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033140839421077706, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033140839421077706, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.032615264378257125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032615264378257125, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005255750428205808, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005255750428205808, "ret_p1w": 0.0002510248825899897, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0002510248825899897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03974973746430188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03974973746430188, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04000076234689187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04000076234689187, "ret_p1m": -0.09816729807581426, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09816729807581426, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12334602574457498, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12334602574457498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025178727668760725, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025178727668760725, "ret_p3m": -0.05950295349306722, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05950295349306722, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1718181647572804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1718181647572804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11231521126421318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11231521126421318, "ret_p6m": -0.04343467932217726, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04343467932217726, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1797739901021248, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1797739901021248, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13633931077994754, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13633931077994754, "ret_p1y": -0.08950545512219099, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08950545512219099, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2901896497652543, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2901896497652543, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2006841946430633, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2006841946430633, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09816729807581426, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12334602574457498, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12334602574457498, "price_path": [0.0341, 0.0388, 0.0453, 0.0542, 0.0508, 0.0404, 0.0281, 0.0213, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0572, 0.0495, 0.0276, 0.0246, -0.0163, -0.0269, -0.0157, 0.0026, -0.0005, 0.0247, 0.0284, 0.0369, 0.0388, 0.0372, 0.0576, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0759, 0.07, 0.0797, 0.0672, 0.0702, 0.0845, 0.0847, 0.0871, 0.0826, 0.0964, 0.0964, 0.0864, 0.0764, 0.0628, 0.068, 0.0721, 0.0674, 0.0652, 0.0511, 0.068, 0.0684, 0.0373, 0.0344, 0.0169, 0.0257, 0.034, 0.0185, 0.0015, -0.0129, 0.0133, -0.0018, -0.0358, -0.0422, -0.0399, -0.0167, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0129, 0.0013, 0.0173, 0.0003, -0.0251, -0.0309, -0.0453, -0.0306, -0.008, 0.0222, -0.0014, -0.0127, 0.0035, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0742, -0.0874, -0.0875, -0.108, -0.0982, -0.1314, -0.1136, -0.0965, -0.1011, -0.0867, -0.0748, -0.0754, -0.06, -0.0649, -0.0723, -0.0564, -0.0778, -0.1012, -0.0964, -0.099, -0.0766, -0.0723, -0.0256, -0.0202, 0.0159, -0.0311, -0.0387, -0.0033, -0.0078, -0.0276, -0.0679, -0.0683, -0.0654, -0.0829, -0.0674, -0.0454, -0.059, -0.0663, -0.0453, -0.1034, -0.1072, -0.0893, -0.0816, -0.0824, -0.0575, -0.0518, -0.0595, -0.0506, -0.0727, -0.0983, -0.0975, -0.0926, -0.0891, -0.1082, -0.0798, -0.0797, -0.086, -0.0682, -0.0564, -0.0835, -0.086, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0844, -0.0983, -0.0758, -0.0923, -0.095, -0.1072, -0.0944, -0.0938, -0.0771, -0.0785, -0.0649, -0.0722, -0.0812, -0.0787, -0.0851, -0.0844, -0.0883, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0803, -0.0689, -0.0662, -0.063, -0.0468, -0.0395, -0.0422, -0.0328, -0.0439, -0.0344, 0.0013, 0.0169, 0.0033, 0.0298, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0142, -0.0046, -0.0083, -0.0172, -0.0146, -0.0324, -0.0272, -0.0387, -0.035, -0.0364, -0.0464, -0.0434]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1929992834016322028", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T20:05:23+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hard to find chinks in the bullish natural gas thesis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish natural gas: peak US supply, need $4-5 strip to grow, +13Bcf/d LNG + 2-4Bcf/d data center demand by 2030, declining shale productivity.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Met with the 2 largest US natural gas producers at the RBC Energy Conference in NY today whom account for ~ 12% of US supply. Both said they are at peak production for the year (declining into YE) and need a \"structural price change\" to start growing again ($4-$5 strip for next ~3 years). On demand, 13Bcf/d of LNG demand growth + 2-4Bcf/d from data centers by 2030. One noted a \"few % per year decline\" in productivity per rig going forward = maturing of US shale / degrading incremental rock quality. Very encouraging meetings! Hard to find chinks in the bullish natural gas thesis other than consensus long amongst energy specialists + always the potential for a Mother Nature curve ball.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0029567851869731765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029567851869731765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0026882692410419295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0026882692410419295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00026851594593124695, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00026851594593124695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0124186331382371, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0124186331382371, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007585864082047866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007585864082047866, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0048327690561892345, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0048327690561892345, "ret_p1w": -0.0567711441046459, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0567711441046459, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06588307526677095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06588307526677095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009111931162125053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009111931162125053, "ret_p1m": -0.0981667570899567, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0981667570899567, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15062060125001464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15062060125001464, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245384416005794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245384416005794, "ret_p3m": -0.24127734834547943, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24127734834547943, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32690316764543603, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32690316764543603, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581929995661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581929995661, "ret_p6m": -0.15730336318241855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15730336318241855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3043832833486497, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3043832833486497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707992016623117, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707992016623117, "ret_p1y": -0.3548196365547711, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3548196365547711, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6287855652791194, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6287855652791194, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27396592872434833, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27396592872434833, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3548196365547711, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6287855652791194, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6287855652791194, "price_path": [0.3465, 0.3714, 0.4092, 0.3767, 0.2803, 0.2673, 0.2886, 0.2549, 0.2661, 0.3217, 0.2519, 0.2324, 0.2218, 0.2022, 0.191, 0.207, 0.2614, 0.2779, 0.2241, 0.2448, 0.2756, 0.1851, 0.1277, 0.081, 0.1603, 0.0923, 0.1017, 0.0355, 0.0266, 0.0071, 0.0071, -0.0526, -0.0668, -0.0698, -0.0834, -0.0716, -0.0171, -0.0018, -0.0101, 0.0242, 0.0834, 0.0633, 0.0272, 0.0745, 0.0686, 0.1224, 0.0852, 0.0757, 0.029, -0.0065, -0.0118, -0.0745, 0.0047, 0.0006, -0.0154, -0.0047, -0.0047, 0.0095, -0.0449, -0.0544, -0.071, -0.0024, 0.003, 0.0, -0.0124, 0.016, -0.0207, -0.0503, -0.0568, -0.0497, -0.0325, 0.0041, 0.0396, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0444, -0.0041, -0.039, -0.0627, -0.0739, -0.0219, -0.0964, -0.1064, -0.0881, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.1064, -0.123, -0.1603, -0.1277, -0.1177, -0.0958, -0.081, -0.0656, -0.0716, -0.0627, -0.1319, -0.1443, -0.1892, -0.1804, -0.1821, -0.1916, -0.1774, -0.2105, -0.1963, -0.1946, -0.2336, -0.22, -0.1993, -0.1999, -0.2194, -0.2271, -0.2738, -0.2667, -0.2602, -0.2413, -0.2478, -0.2809, -0.2827, -0.2667, -0.2957, -0.2933, -0.2921, -0.2791, -0.2567, -0.2413, -0.2413, -0.2442, -0.2277, -0.2253, -0.2348, -0.2218, -0.2158, -0.2383, -0.2655, -0.2602, -0.2365, -0.2182, -0.2253, -0.2507, -0.2567, -0.2815, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.2555, -0.2626, -0.2419, -0.2271, -0.1946, -0.2046, -0.2283, -0.2135, -0.1851, -0.2253, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2797, -0.2933, -0.2975, -0.3152, -0.298, -0.2354, -0.2224, -0.2277, -0.2354, -0.233, -0.2377, -0.2703, -0.2779, -0.2419, -0.2164, -0.1863, -0.1762, -0.194, -0.162, -0.175, -0.1662, -0.139, -0.1336, -0.1242, -0.139, -0.165, -0.1591, -0.1307, -0.1473, -0.1336, -0.1478, -0.1821, -0.1573, -0.1573]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966141398735876194", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T14:06:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sentiment towards the energy sector remains at a record low...I'm hopeful that this pivot by the IEA will lead to a meaningful improvement in sentiment towards energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy equities: record-low sentiment + supply constraints + IEA narrative shift should drive meaningful re-rating of depressed valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Important development: sentiment towards the energy sector remains at a record low, and in my opinion one of the largest reasons for this has been the relentless doomsday preaching by the IEA proclaiming \"the end of oil.\" This narrative, supported by eco-evangelistic \"scenarios\" based on hope and political aspirations, completely distorted investors' and politicians' views alike on the long-term outlook for oil. \n\nThe result? Lack of interest in energy equities (= depressed valuations) and an accepted belief in \"stranded asset risk\" which lead to rise in investor activism encouraging oil companies to pivot towards renewables. For those who succumbed to the pressure, the result was the incineration of billions of dollars from poor investments. Too, given the change in investor demands, companies stopped adequately investing in new projects, with the growth rate of non-OPEC supply forecasted to peak this year. We will soon wake up to a world where the largest source of incremental supply of the past decade (US shale) is no more, OPEC will have little if any spare capacity, and yet the fairy tale of imminent peak oil demand will now be replaced with the view that the demand for oil will grow for decades more! \n\nI'm hopeful that this pivot by the IEA will lead to a meaningful improvement in sentiment towards energy stocks, while also allowing politicians, especially in Canada, to see the world through a more realistic energy lens. The era of \"energy ignorance\" must come to an end...it has cost our country too much already.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00022434233518642266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00022434233518642266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008017338251066652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008017338251066652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0059462987545845225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0059462987545845225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005611685811437672, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005611685811437672, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "ret_p1w": 0.006507417493724521, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006507417493724521, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0005330260261378061, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0005330260261378061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "ret_p1m": -0.03570925303466821, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03570925303466821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031452227613631534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031452227613631534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "ret_p3m": 0.0342193920813465, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0342193920813465, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0072988203161612475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0072988203161612475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04151821239750775, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04151821239750775, "ret_p6m": 0.2689883878304098, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2689883878304098, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2333544025369061, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2333544025369061, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0356339852935037, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0356339852935037, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03570925303466821, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.031452227613631534, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031452227613631534, "price_path": [-0.0224, -0.0133, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0097, -0.0348, -0.0473, -0.0515, -0.0379, -0.043, -0.0485, -0.0412, -0.0247, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.033, -0.007, -0.012, -0.0045, 0.0, -0.011, -0.0252, -0.0337, -0.0277, -0.0356, -0.0456, -0.0411, -0.026, -0.0191, -0.0228, -0.0117, -0.002, -0.0163, -0.0215, -0.0397, -0.0418, -0.0406, -0.0495, -0.0532, -0.0471, -0.0548, -0.0502, -0.0392, -0.0401, -0.0401, -0.0458, -0.0454, -0.0375, -0.0309, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0101, 0.001, 0.0086, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0156, -0.0072, -0.0006, -0.0199, -0.0221, -0.0174, -0.0002, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0093, 0.0073, 0.0096, 0.0065, -0.0068, -0.008, 0.0091, 0.0222, 0.0314, 0.0409, 0.0218, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0007, 0.006, 0.011, 0.0126, 0.0067, -0.007, -0.0357, -0.0226, -0.0227, -0.0233, -0.035, -0.0271, -0.0168, -0.0191, -0.0065, 0.0067, -0.0035, -0.0011, -0.0115, -0.0041, -0.01, -0.0028, -0.0027, -0.0134, -0.0108, -0.0012, 0.0132, 0.0223, 0.0357, 0.0212, 0.0238, 0.0412, 0.0222, 0.0304, 0.017, 0.0055, 0.0118, 0.009, 0.0026, 0.0102, 0.0102, 0.0235, 0.0333, 0.02, 0.0391, 0.0435, 0.0392, 0.0279, 0.0342, 0.0451, 0.0401, 0.0299, 0.0227, -0.0086, 0.0134, -0.0013, -0.0013, 0.009, 0.0156, 0.0127, 0.0088, 0.0184, 0.0261, 0.0204, 0.0419, 0.0702, 0.0417, 0.03, 0.0624, 0.0652, 0.0576, 0.0727, 0.0969, 0.0866, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0864, 0.1126, 0.1163, 0.1227, 0.1234, 0.1336, 0.1423, 0.1528, 0.1651, 0.1423, 0.1793, 0.2058, 0.1916, 0.2154, 0.2243, 0.2229, 0.2548, 0.232, 0.2405, 0.2405, 0.2268, 0.2503, 0.2594, 0.2526, 0.2587, 0.2576, 0.2523, 0.2564, 0.2763, 0.3019, 0.29, 0.2825, 0.2891, 0.2911, 0.2854, 0.269]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1979225636058157352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T16:38:58+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Winter (+ more LNG/AI demand) is coming soon!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish US natural gas and producer equities; strip pricing supports massive buybacks on LNG/AI/winter demand catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the marginal cost of meaningful US supply @ $4/mcf and the 2026/2027 strip averaging ~$4, US natural gas producers could buy back 24%-28% of their shares outstanding over 2 years while maintaining 20+ years of stay flat inventory. Winter (+ more LNG/AI demand) is coming soon!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024431336533190517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024431336533190517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01878707469975338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01878707469975338, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644261833437136, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644261833437136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08930079442597849, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08930079442597849, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07890031902635686, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07890031902635686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": 0.09267063117734109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09267063117734109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07331456040843087, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07331456040843087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": 0.18955349803645127, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18955349803645127, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18762699132934024, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18762699132934024, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": -0.1297388354423301, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1297388354423301, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17386010743196478, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17386010743196478, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04412127198963467, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04412127198963467, "ret_p6m": -0.1086773356605022, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1086773356605022, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16818368356107927, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16818368356107927, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05950634790057707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05950634790057707, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.219, 0.155, 0.1676, 0.1651, 0.1516, 0.1719, 0.1247, 0.1449, 0.1474, 0.0918, 0.1112, 0.1407, 0.1398, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0345, 0.0447, 0.0539, 0.0809, 0.0716, 0.0244, 0.0219, 0.0447, 0.0034, 0.0067, 0.0084, 0.027, 0.059, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.0767, 0.1003, 0.1036, 0.0901, 0.1087, 0.1171, 0.0851, 0.0463, 0.0539, 0.0876, 0.1137, 0.1036, 0.0674, 0.059, 0.0236, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0607, 0.0505, 0.08, 0.1011, 0.1474, 0.1331, 0.0994, 0.1205, 0.1609, 0.1036, 0.0733, 0.0388, 0.0261, 0.0067, 0.0008, -0.0244, 0.0, 0.0893, 0.1078, 0.1003, 0.0893, 0.0927, 0.0859, 0.0396, 0.0286, 0.08, 0.1163, 0.1592, 0.1735, 0.1483, 0.1938, 0.1752, 0.1879, 0.2266, 0.2342, 0.2477, 0.2266, 0.1896, 0.198, 0.2384, 0.2148, 0.2342, 0.214, 0.1651, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.2409, 0.2814, 0.2603, 0.3033, 0.3193, 0.3791, 0.2696, 0.1879, 0.2013, 0.1019, 0.0725, 0.0497, 0.0194, 0.0649, 0.0135, 0.027, -0.0017, 0.0868, 0.0438, 0.0792, 0.0994, 0.1053, 0.0329, 0.016, -0.0202, -0.0497, -0.0076, -0.0505, -0.1238, -0.0581, -0.0463, -0.1373, -0.1323, -0.1297, -0.1297, 0.0421, 0.1491, 0.1314, 0.1769, 0.2494, 0.2384, 0.2241, 0.2687, 0.4238, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.134, 0.139, 0.1179, 0.0253, 0.0219, 0.0379, 0.0472, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0025, 0.0, -0.0059, 0.0118, -0.011, -0.0345, -0.0227, -0.0413, -0.0295, 0.011, 0.0345, -0.0076, 0.0152, 0.0741, 0.0371, 0.0337, 0.0851, 0.0986, 0.0649, 0.0286, 0.0278, 0.0674, 0.0581, 0.0438, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0008, -0.0025, 0.0345, -0.016, -0.0118, -0.0379, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0421, -0.027, -0.0666, -0.0834, -0.0927, -0.1003, -0.1104, -0.1087]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1979225636058157352", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-17T16:38:58+00:00", "symbol": "US natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US natural gas producers could buy back 24%-28% of their shares outstanding over 2 years while maintaining 20+ years of stay flat inventory", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish US natural gas and producer equities; strip pricing supports massive buybacks on LNG/AI/winter demand catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With the marginal cost of meaningful US supply @ $4/mcf and the 2026/2027 strip averaging ~$4, US natural gas producers could buy back 24%-28% of their shares outstanding over 2 years while maintaining 20+ years of stay flat inventory. Winter (+ more LNG/AI demand) is coming soon!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005644261833437136, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005644261833437136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644261833437136, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644261833437136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01503414902452005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01503414902452005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004633673624898416, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004633673624898416, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": 0.029157124185166472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029157124185166472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009801053416256256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009801053416256256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": 0.0815488742779582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0815488742779582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07962236757084717, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07962236757084717, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": 0.08344997302162471, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08344997302162471, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03932870103199004, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03932870103199004, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04412127198963467, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04412127198963467, "ret_p6m": 0.33679805576398114, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33679805576398114, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27729170786340407, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27729170786340407, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05950634790057707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05950634790057707, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0454, 0.0544, 0.0666, 0.0603, 0.0838, 0.0947, 0.0825, 0.0716, 0.0368, 0.0359, 0.0422, 0.035, 0.0273, 0.0327, 0.0227, 0.0336, 0.0445, 0.044, 0.0381, 0.0255, 0.0164, 0.0237, 0.0322, 0.0603, 0.0698, 0.0644, 0.0757, 0.0897, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.1028, 0.0675, 0.0784, 0.0544, 0.0431, 0.0395, 0.0707, 0.0662, 0.0567, 0.0472, 0.0788, 0.0752, 0.0684, 0.0399, 0.044, 0.0657, 0.0883, 0.0925, 0.1048, 0.0784, 0.0702, 0.0902, 0.0624, 0.077, 0.0856, 0.0879, 0.0866, 0.062, 0.0073, 0.0314, 0.0164, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0, 0.015, 0.0091, 0.01, 0.0396, 0.0292, 0.0273, 0.0068, 0.0087, 0.0055, 0.021, 0.031, 0.0228, 0.0173, 0.031, 0.0556, 0.0683, 0.097, 0.0852, 0.087, 0.0993, 0.0815, 0.097, 0.0897, 0.0729, 0.0779, 0.0879, 0.0797, 0.0975, 0.0975, 0.1207, 0.1271, 0.1066, 0.1417, 0.1444, 0.149, 0.128, 0.1267, 0.133, 0.1121, 0.1046, 0.0885, 0.0509, 0.0802, 0.0495, 0.0559, 0.0651, 0.0738, 0.0674, 0.0614, 0.0715, 0.083, 0.0738, 0.0931, 0.0674, 0.0527, 0.039, 0.066, 0.0596, 0.0642, 0.0853, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0839, 0.1192, 0.1169, 0.1238, 0.1279, 0.1408, 0.1527, 0.1683, 0.1747, 0.1353, 0.1619, 0.1922, 0.1688, 0.2009, 0.2027, 0.194, 0.2238, 0.194, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2009, 0.2307, 0.2559, 0.2665, 0.2467, 0.2417, 0.2344, 0.2435, 0.2811, 0.3142, 0.3105, 0.3091, 0.3266, 0.3339, 0.3344, 0.3009, 0.3353, 0.3477, 0.3628, 0.3637, 0.3798, 0.3908, 0.4197, 0.4261, 0.4174, 0.4504, 0.4655, 0.4912, 0.5087, 0.4893, 0.4603, 0.4114, 0.4359, 0.4359, 0.4442, 0.4589, 0.3962, 0.3792, 0.381, 0.3806, 0.335, 0.3368]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1858889377167843659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-19T15:05:38+00:00", "symbol": "TRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Perhaps there is a business case after all!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TC Energy on 40bcf/d NA natural gas demand growth over the next decade, contradicting peak-demand forecast.", "resolved_tickers": ["TRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TC Energy: 40bcf/d of North American natural gas demand growth over the next ~ decade. Didn't our own Minister of Natural Resources call for peak natural gas demand \"by the end of this decade\"? Perhaps there is a business case after all!\nhttps://t.co/bDWkrhdtGT https://t.co/TIJqCdbInt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0014047915136685685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014047915136685685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0050470655952667975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004990606102246886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003642274081598229, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006395397615915455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01244232442454496, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01244232442454496, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012781123484496004, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02250731287999097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033879905995104487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010064988455446011, "ret_p1w": -0.021874346910843667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021874346910843667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03940769819979051, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020196862818165018, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01753335128894684, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016774840926786494, "ret_p1m": -0.09492270274597114, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09492270274597114, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08811251536662024, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023865219771278534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006810187379350907, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11878792251724968, "ret_p3m": -0.06702181067887225, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06702181067887225, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10336256191184723, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01927199190152107, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03634075123297498, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04774981877735118, "ret_p6m": 0.025297567792611497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025297567792611497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01226459208752484, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11452597880557902, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013032975705086658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08922841101296752, "ret_p1y": 0.11162725309988275, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11162725309988275, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.056803452598877424, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13285396263353644, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16843070569876017, "bench_c_p1y": -0.021226709533653687, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11162725309988275, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056803452598877424, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13285396263353644, "price_path": [-0.1199, -0.1078, -0.1005, -0.0957, -0.1003, -0.0943, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0846, -0.0785, -0.0739, -0.0757, -0.0682, -0.0935, -0.0918, -0.0876, -0.0785, -0.0747, -0.0819, -0.0892, -0.1094, -0.0858, -0.0674, -0.0692, -0.0528, -0.0518, -0.0616, -0.0458, -0.0293, -0.1164, -0.11, -0.0947, -0.0997, -0.1032, -0.0929, -0.0957, -0.0835, -0.0612, -0.0608, -0.05, -0.0462, -0.0347, -0.0496, -0.0488, -0.0576, -0.057, -0.0516, -0.061, -0.071, -0.0674, -0.0666, -0.0708, -0.0584, -0.048, -0.0301, -0.003, -0.0215, -0.0048, -0.0297, -0.0279, -0.0197, -0.0169, 0.0014, 0.0, -0.0124, 0.008, 0.0004, -0.0155, -0.0219, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0181, -0.0251, -0.0235, -0.0163, -0.0177, -0.0317, -0.0494, -0.0534, -0.0508, -0.0612, -0.0674, -0.0761, -0.0755, -0.0949, -0.0903, -0.0811, -0.0734, -0.071, -0.071, -0.0751, -0.0716, -0.0626, -0.0546, -0.0376, -0.0351, -0.0384, -0.0294, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0512, -0.0662, -0.0579, -0.0473, -0.0619, -0.037, -0.037, -0.0359, -0.0418, -0.043, -0.0339, -0.0719, -0.0788, -0.0782, -0.0804, -0.0847, -0.08, -0.0518, -0.0426, -0.0459, -0.0467, -0.041, -0.0396, -0.0483, -0.037, -0.067, -0.067, -0.0577, -0.0674, -0.0747, -0.0859, -0.0997, -0.1001, -0.0973, -0.0991, -0.091, -0.0892, -0.0857, -0.0585, -0.0758, -0.0678, -0.0607, -0.0595, -0.0534, -0.0532, -0.0426, -0.0298, -0.0307, -0.0183, -0.0012, -0.016, 0.001, -0.0073, -0.0156, -0.0193, -0.0237, -0.0288, -0.0167, 0.0023, 0.0023, -0.0549, -0.0599, -0.085, -0.0521, -0.0658, -0.0235, -0.0121, -0.0006, 0.006, 0.0167, -0.0033, 0.0082, 0.0062, 0.0183, 0.0204, 0.0337, 0.0331, 0.037, 0.0288, 0.0487, 0.0475, 0.0397, 0.0504, 0.0086, 0.0165, -0.0101, -0.0008, 0.0058, 0.0263, 0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1708830376238395760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-02T13:04:44+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands heavy oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see record free cashflow next year for Canadian oilsand/heavy oil companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oilsands/heavy oil companies; expects record free cashflow next year driven by WTI above $90.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil companies: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Every day above $90WTI is a spectacular day.\" Hear why + why we see record free cashflow next year for Canadian oilsand/heavy oil companies:\n https://t.co/oJq1ntfoPw https://t.co/iiDcqSzRfr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030915971889181087, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030915971889181087, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030518021807343903, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010597673179953453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00039795008183718394, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020318298709227633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00041330702102097366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00041330702102097366, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013799269086895475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010904528313412747, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013385962065874502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000677145810320301, "ret_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04055535856100505, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011654389232462536, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.009225510201568735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009225510201568735, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012093738896614878, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02915334274127309, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021319249098183612, "bench_c_p1m": -0.038378852942841823, "ret_p3m": -0.06039456700275525, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06039456700275525, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18047771727610362, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0180321681331318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12008315027334837, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04236239886962345, "ret_p6m": 0.15071310558045545, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15071310558045545, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07212759340291144, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08756960916090936, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2228406989833669, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06314349641954609, "ret_p1y": 0.07145195236229711, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07145195236229711, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2560426184668492, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.053389529366959884, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32749457082914635, "bench_c_p1y": 0.018062422995337224, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06039456700275525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18047771727610362, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0180321681331318, "price_path": [-0.2073, -0.2174, -0.1966, -0.1948, -0.1645, -0.1635, -0.1478, -0.166, -0.1859, -0.1653, -0.1689, -0.1659, -0.1513, -0.1304, -0.1246, -0.1304, -0.1393, -0.1186, -0.1183, -0.1114, -0.1099, -0.089, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0744, -0.0727, -0.073, -0.0603, -0.0648, -0.0858, -0.084, -0.0754, -0.071, -0.0678, -0.0718, -0.0811, -0.1, -0.0817, -0.0693, -0.0557, -0.0452, -0.0402, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0088, -0.0052, -0.0039, -0.0106, -0.0369, -0.0162, -0.0208, 0.0013, -0.0008, -0.0118, -0.0231, -0.0347, -0.0521, -0.0488, -0.0289, -0.0109, 0.0196, 0.0194, 0.0309, 0.0, 0.0004, -0.0422, -0.0446, -0.0289, -0.0289, 0.0053, 0.0077, 0.0157, 0.0455, 0.0427, 0.0432, 0.0463, 0.0464, 0.03, 0.0078, -0.0094, 0.0074, 0.0037, -0.0024, -0.0119, -0.0092, 0.0036, 0.0254, 0.0065, -0.0029, -0.0409, -0.0707, -0.0556, -0.0282, -0.0227, -0.0174, -0.035, -0.0593, -0.0285, -0.0214, -0.0321, -0.0566, -0.0478, -0.0472, -0.0674, -0.0586, -0.0487, -0.0471, -0.0491, -0.0799, -0.098, -0.135, -0.1135, -0.0965, -0.106, -0.1189, -0.0919, -0.0686, -0.099, -0.0871, -0.0658, -0.0675, -0.0566, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0447, -0.0604, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0536, -0.0232, -0.0403, -0.0281, -0.0537, -0.0525, -0.0567, -0.0535, -0.0511, -0.0276, -0.053, -0.0631, -0.0701, -0.0785, -0.0719, -0.0681, -0.0557, -0.0408, -0.0426, -0.0505, -0.0348, -0.05, -0.0606, -0.0872, -0.0922, -0.085, -0.0865, -0.0697, -0.0656, -0.0578, -0.0677, -0.0658, -0.0203, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0146, 0.0079, 0.0166, 0.0156, 0.0214, 0.021, 0.0244, 0.0525, 0.0763, 0.0698, 0.0772, 0.0936, 0.0931, 0.085, 0.0884, 0.0809, 0.1042, 0.1249, 0.1221, 0.129, 0.1323, 0.1279, 0.1353, 0.1424, 0.1751, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1694346195630440727", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-08-23T13:49:47+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see the greatest opportunity on earth in Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil despite recession/China demand fears; Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks seen as greatest opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me today at 12pmET on @BNNBloomberg. I'll be discussing \"will\" and \"intent\", why we remain bullish on oil despite recessionary/China demand f.e.a.r.s, and why we see the greatest opportunity on earth in Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01231835231996986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01231835231996986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023333416767781723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009799826376489296, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011015064447811862, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002518525943480565, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017578171523444097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017578171523444097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0037189822331002986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010709169334936486, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013859189290343799, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006869002188507611, "ret_p1w": 0.03941868091910172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03941868091910172, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021406341924524064, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022132000744307545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01801233899457766, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017286680174794178, "ret_p1m": 0.03381645504049785, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03381645504049785, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05665539085285071, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005562989107947891, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022838935812352856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02825346593254996, "ret_p3m": 0.05728590476827464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05728590476827464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028320975081202432, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07919971527740696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028964929687072205, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021913810509132325, "ret_p6m": 0.014812788512690883, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.014812788512690883, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12692311752221683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.017900756016813762, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1417359060349077, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0030879675041228793, "ret_p1y": 0.13074709759265205, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13074709759265205, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.08913670122245762, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07286567795049806, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21988379881510967, "bench_c_p1y": 0.057881419642153986, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03381645504049785, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05665539085285071, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005562989107947891, "price_path": [-0.1392, -0.1309, -0.158, -0.1736, -0.1549, -0.1282, -0.1337, -0.1292, -0.1205, -0.1287, -0.1288, -0.1625, -0.1481, -0.166, -0.1574, -0.1685, -0.1645, -0.1869, -0.1761, -0.205, -0.215, -0.1949, -0.1993, -0.1805, -0.1646, -0.1537, -0.1537, -0.1447, -0.1464, -0.161, -0.1336, -0.1265, -0.0968, -0.096, -0.081, -0.1025, -0.1227, -0.0953, -0.0984, -0.0959, -0.0796, -0.0583, -0.0546, -0.0579, -0.0661, -0.0277, -0.0275, -0.0223, -0.0215, 0.0005, 0.0089, 0.0089, 0.0152, 0.0236, 0.0176, 0.0332, 0.0232, -0.001, -0.0009, 0.0079, 0.0166, 0.0176, 0.0123, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0274, 0.0394, 0.0449, 0.0715, 0.0715, 0.0823, 0.0876, 0.0815, 0.0803, 0.055, 0.0833, 0.0763, 0.1013, 0.0973, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0542, 0.0338, 0.0365, 0.0623, 0.0775, 0.1121, 0.1109, 0.1287, 0.0855, 0.0872, 0.0338, 0.0346, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0914, 0.0937, 0.1002, 0.1377, 0.1339, 0.1371, 0.1429, 0.1561, 0.1376, 0.1111, 0.0938, 0.11, 0.1069, 0.103, 0.0927, 0.0959, 0.1094, 0.135, 0.1115, 0.0952, 0.0461, 0.0118, 0.0285, 0.0607, 0.0594, 0.0637, 0.0431, 0.0168, 0.051, 0.0573, 0.0438, 0.018, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0078, 0.0153, 0.0253, 0.0275, 0.0214, -0.0142, -0.0388, -0.0855, -0.0694, -0.0502, -0.0634, -0.0801, -0.0521, -0.0241, -0.0527, -0.042, -0.0187, -0.0232, -0.0118, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.007, -0.0227, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0148, 0.0163, -0.0028, 0.0088, -0.0191, -0.0203, -0.0261, -0.0239, -0.0222, 0.0007, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0455, -0.053, -0.0446, -0.0382, -0.0256, -0.0078, -0.008, -0.0188, 0.0003, -0.018, -0.0328, -0.0585, -0.0641, -0.0563, -0.0564, -0.0381, -0.0347, -0.0216, -0.0329, -0.0339, 0.0148]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972669484138717317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T14:27:10+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas is going to be the clear winner", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish natural gas as the clear winner from AI power demand surge; consensus view from Energy Aspects London conference.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One ChatGPT query to generate an image consumes the same amount of electricity as fully charging an iphone! Clear consensus in London from the\n@energyaspects energy conference panel on AI/power...natural gas is going to be the clear winner.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02730104805983069, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02730104805983069, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024498557643707897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024498557643707897, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01950078049541082, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01950078049541082, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015733913736298843, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015733913736298843, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.037441537233767086, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037441537233767086, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025493055851354418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025493055851354418, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.03744146284419314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03744146284419314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07266926958676245, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07266926958676245, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.0007799746837401367, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0007799746837401367, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04397815258865456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04397815258865456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043198177904914425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043198177904914425, "ret_p6m": -0.07644302383501467, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07644302383501467, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05396705254747747, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05396705254747747, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0224759712875372, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0224759712875372, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03744146284419314, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07266926958676245, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07266926958676245, "price_path": [0.2028, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1786, 0.1568, 0.1076, 0.1505, 0.1638, 0.1927, 0.2122, 0.2324, 0.2246, 0.2363, 0.1451, 0.1287, 0.0694, 0.0811, 0.0788, 0.0663, 0.085, 0.0413, 0.0601, 0.0624, 0.0109, 0.0289, 0.0562, 0.0554, 0.0296, 0.0195, -0.0421, -0.0328, -0.0242, 0.0008, -0.0078, -0.0515, -0.0538, -0.0328, -0.071, -0.0679, -0.0663, -0.0491, -0.0195, 0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0031, 0.0187, 0.0218, 0.0094, 0.0265, 0.0343, 0.0047, -0.0312, -0.0242, 0.007, 0.0312, 0.0218, -0.0117, -0.0195, -0.0523, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0179, -0.0273, 0.0, 0.0195, 0.0624, 0.0491, 0.0179, 0.0374, 0.0749, 0.0218, -0.0062, -0.0382, -0.0499, -0.0679, -0.0733, -0.0967, -0.0741, 0.0086, 0.0257, 0.0187, 0.0086, 0.0117, 0.0055, -0.0374, -0.0476, 0.0, 0.0335, 0.0733, 0.0866, 0.0632, 0.1053, 0.0881, 0.0998, 0.1357, 0.1427, 0.1552, 0.1357, 0.1014, 0.1092, 0.1466, 0.1248, 0.1427, 0.124, 0.0788, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.149, 0.1864, 0.1669, 0.2067, 0.2215, 0.2769, 0.1755, 0.0998, 0.1123, 0.0203, -0.007, -0.0281, -0.0562, -0.014, -0.0616, -0.0491, -0.0757, 0.0062, -0.0335, -0.0008, 0.0179, 0.0234, -0.0437, -0.0593, -0.0928, -0.1201, -0.0811, -0.1209, -0.1888, -0.1279, -0.117, -0.2012, -0.1966, -0.1942, -0.1942, -0.0351, 0.064, 0.0476, 0.0897, 0.1568, 0.1466, 0.1334, 0.1747, 0.3183, -0.0094, 0.0125, 0.0499, 0.0546, 0.0351, -0.0507, -0.0538, -0.039, -0.0304, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0718, -0.0741, -0.0796, -0.0632, -0.0842, -0.1061, -0.0952, -0.1123, -0.1014, -0.064, -0.0421, -0.0811, -0.0601, -0.0055, -0.0398, -0.0429, 0.0047, 0.0172, -0.014, -0.0476, -0.0484, -0.0117, -0.0203, -0.0335, -0.085, -0.085, -0.0749, -0.0764]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1722972600299642994", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-10T13:40:53+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "heading lower still", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Global oil inventories at record lows and falling further, bullish crude oil outlook despite bearish headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "According to @Kpler, global oil inventories have erased the builds of the past 2 months and now stand at their lowest levels as far back as their dataset goes (2017).  \"Weak\" demand, Iranian export surge, SPR release, disappointing China re-opening, etc...despite it all, here we are...and heading lower still.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01743826800471049, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01743826800471049, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002073286728157653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002073286728157653, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364981276552836, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364981276552836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013385685052261342, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013385685052261342, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014338917700693954, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014338917700693954, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0009532326484326115, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009532326484326115, "ret_p1w": -0.01006999498650496, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01006999498650496, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03317431072231092, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03317431072231092, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023104315735805958, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023104315735805958, "ret_p1m": -0.06631464454919911, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06631464454919911, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11483811647403241, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11483811647403241, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.048523471924833306, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048523471924833306, "ret_p3m": -0.02726269449076768, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02726269449076768, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16232439915514085, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16232439915514085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13506170466437317, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13506170466437317, "ret_p6m": 0.02333294263487984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02333294263487984, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15747528289110413, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15747528289110413, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18080822552598397, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18080822552598397, "ret_p1y": -0.12661178337166767, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12661178337166767, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4648406642486703, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4648406642486703, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33822888087700265, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33822888087700265, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06631464454919911, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11483811647403241, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11483811647403241, "price_path": [0.0425, 0.0248, 0.033, 0.0414, 0.0372, 0.0319, 0.0219, 0.0237, 0.0375, 0.0367, 0.0499, 0.0544, 0.0667, 0.0874, 0.0874, 0.1057, 0.1126, 0.1043, 0.1132, 0.1131, 0.1305, 0.1283, 0.1507, 0.1535, 0.1596, 0.1585, 0.1486, 0.1458, 0.1454, 0.1456, 0.1539, 0.1857, 0.1713, 0.1705, 0.114, 0.1165, 0.0538, 0.0324, 0.0387, 0.0825, 0.0764, 0.0539, 0.0561, 0.1162, 0.1009, 0.104, 0.1237, 0.1345, 0.1318, 0.1032, 0.0815, 0.1068, 0.0798, 0.1111, 0.0739, 0.0734, 0.0393, 0.0666, 0.0425, 0.0461, 0.0022, -0.0232, -0.0174, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0128, -0.0031, -0.0492, -0.0101, 0.0109, 0.0125, 0.0065, -0.0007, -0.0104, -0.0178, 0.0031, 0.0205, 0.0172, -0.0313, -0.0418, -0.0519, -0.0876, -0.0906, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.1006, -0.0881, -0.0592, -0.0599, -0.0427, -0.027, -0.0212, -0.0251, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0044, -0.0219, -0.0373, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.068, -0.0391, -0.0472, -0.0328, -0.0652, -0.0472, -0.0569, -0.0494, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0436, -0.0286, -0.0352, -0.0168, -0.0231, -0.0171, 0.0123, 0.026, 0.0119, 0.0177, 0.0034, -0.0335, -0.0503, -0.0422, -0.0349, -0.0273, 0.0025, 0.0093, 0.007, 0.0165, 0.0021, 0.0176, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0112, 0.0196, 0.0275, 0.0023, 0.0135, 0.0273, 0.0276, 0.0269, 0.026, 0.0168, 0.0075, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.008, 0.0096, 0.006, 0.0319, 0.049, 0.048, 0.0671, 0.0731, 0.0555, 0.0534, 0.0491, 0.0653, 0.0592, 0.0572, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0736, 0.092, 0.0973, 0.1132, 0.1196, 0.1099, 0.0981, 0.1111, 0.1021, 0.1108, 0.1065, 0.1055, 0.072, 0.0698, 0.072, 0.0684, 0.0858, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.0991, 0.0856, 0.079, 0.0247, 0.0275, 0.0188, 0.0233]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009347061498732879", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T19:30:45+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "currently low natural gas prices should not last. We believe marginal cost of supply = $4/mcf", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Low nat gas prices unsustainable; marginal supply cost = $4/mcf implies prices must rise, with 11–14% FCF yields in US gas names.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Despite uncooperative Winter weather so far, Peters &amp; Co. reminds us why currently low natural gas prices should not last. We believe marginal cost of supply = $4/mcf = 11%-14% FCF yields available in US gas names. https://t.co/9ge5N5izvr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04525281761246003, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04525281761246003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045151274620542026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045151274620542026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07719616716023048, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07719616716023048, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08380950955432309, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08380950955432309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "ret_p1w": -0.08606923049063364, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08606923049063364, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09002851956187397, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09002851956187397, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "ret_p1m": 0.17746228205538728, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17746228205538728, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17585250609260172, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17585250609260172, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "ret_p3m": 0.024844695793983407, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024844695793983407, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06616346232356707, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06616346232356707, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17746228205538728, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.17585250609260172, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17585250609260172, "price_path": [0.1304, 0.0941, 0.0807, 0.0603, 0.0541, 0.0275, 0.0532, 0.1473, 0.1668, 0.1588, 0.1473, 0.1508, 0.1437, 0.0949, 0.0834, 0.1375, 0.1757, 0.2209, 0.236, 0.2094, 0.2573, 0.2378, 0.2511, 0.2919, 0.2999, 0.3141, 0.2919, 0.2529, 0.2618, 0.3043, 0.2795, 0.2999, 0.2786, 0.2272, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.307, 0.3496, 0.3274, 0.3727, 0.3895, 0.4525, 0.3372, 0.2511, 0.2653, 0.1606, 0.1295, 0.1056, 0.0736, 0.1216, 0.0674, 0.0816, 0.0515, 0.1446, 0.0994, 0.1366, 0.1579, 0.1642, 0.0878, 0.0701, 0.0319, 0.0009, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.0772, -0.008, 0.0044, -0.0914, -0.0861, -0.0834, -0.0834, 0.0976, 0.2103, 0.1917, 0.2396, 0.3159, 0.3043, 0.2893, 0.3363, 0.4996, 0.1269, 0.1517, 0.1943, 0.1996, 0.1775, 0.0799, 0.0763, 0.0932, 0.1029, 0.1038, 0.1038, 0.0559, 0.0532, 0.047, 0.0657, 0.0417, 0.0169, 0.0293, 0.0098, 0.0222, 0.0648, 0.0896, 0.0453, 0.0692, 0.1313, 0.0923, 0.0887, 0.1429, 0.1571, 0.1216, 0.0834, 0.0825, 0.1242, 0.1145, 0.0994, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0524, 0.0506, 0.0896, 0.0364, 0.0408, 0.0133, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0089, 0.0248, -0.0169, -0.0346, -0.0444, -0.0524, -0.063, -0.0612, -0.0435, -0.0382, -0.0373, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0665, -0.0852, -0.0692, -0.0834, -0.0994, -0.0594, -0.0497, -0.0284, -0.0559, -0.0728, -0.0524, -0.0621, -0.0044, -0.0319, -0.0257, -0.0098, 0.0053, 0.024, 0.0559, 0.0195, 0.0053, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0319, -0.008, 0.055, 0.0586, 0.024, 0.0177, 0.039, 0.0754, 0.0355, 0.0089, 0.0106, 0.024, -0.0098, 0.0071, 0.0142, 0.0435, 0.0266, 0.0266, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912159241890123863", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-15T15:01:04+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy companies can weather the oil price storm with strong balance sheets (&lt;1X D/CF at $60WTI) and business models that require only $51WTI on average to keep production flat while sustaining an average 6% dividend yield", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian energy cos are resilient at $60 WTI with low leverage and 6% yields; implicitly bullish on the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian energy sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy companies can weather the oil price storm with strong balance sheets (&lt;1X D/CF at $60WTI) and business models that require only $51WTI on average to keep production flat while sustaining an average 6% dividend yield. https://t.co/uWeNk5msoB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0033490342791462346, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0033490342791462346, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006157710480774181, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006157710480774181, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028086762016279465, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028086762016279465, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019423987845797575, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019423987845797575, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041651905735855754, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041651905735855754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02222791789005818, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02222791789005818, "ret_p1w": 0.04621559921888574, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04621559921888574, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0502892648737675, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0502892648737675, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004073665654881764, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004073665654881764, "ret_p1m": 0.11118549874255446, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11118549874255446, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012879879541355832, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012879879541355832, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09830561920119862, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09830561920119862, "ret_p3m": 0.18117808796683588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18117808796683588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01554289985534818, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01554289985534818, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1656351881114877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1656351881114877, "ret_p6m": 0.27832938047771005, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27832938047771005, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02275305181103482, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02275305181103482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.25557632866667523, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25557632866667523, "ret_p1y": 0.8856954794268117, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8856954794268117, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6454339518142485, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6454339518142485, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24026152761256325, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24026152761256325, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11118549874255446, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012879879541355832, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012879879541355832, "price_path": [0.1693, 0.18, 0.2006, 0.1906, 0.1879, 0.1866, 0.1733, 0.16, 0.1487, 0.1627, 0.1687, 0.1407, 0.1361, 0.1481, 0.1534, 0.1394, 0.1441, 0.1687, 0.1846, 0.158, 0.162, 0.1501, 0.1501, 0.162, 0.1713, 0.1746, 0.1507, 0.1407, 0.1221, 0.1162, 0.1168, 0.1195, 0.0636, 0.0517, 0.0437, 0.0503, 0.0736, 0.0716, 0.0803, 0.0975, 0.0896, 0.1108, 0.1268, 0.1308, 0.1494, 0.1567, 0.1574, 0.1746, 0.1793, 0.1862, 0.1775, 0.1654, 0.1808, 0.1889, 0.1976, 0.1132, 0.0167, -0.0033, -0.0502, 0.0301, -0.0375, -0.01, -0.0033, 0.0, 0.0194, 0.0415, 0.0315, 0.0529, 0.0462, 0.0569, 0.0556, 0.0603, 0.0516, 0.0275, 0.0362, 0.0455, 0.0181, 0.0295, 0.0315, 0.061, 0.0817, 0.1139, 0.1333, 0.1253, 0.1112, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1078, 0.1052, 0.1025, 0.1072, 0.1132, 0.1139, 0.1065, 0.1072, 0.0884, 0.1092, 0.1246, 0.1092, 0.1132, 0.1286, 0.134, 0.148, 0.1735, 0.1802, 0.217, 0.2076, 0.2284, 0.2157, 0.2251, 0.2204, 0.1795, 0.1621, 0.1561, 0.1602, 0.1548, 0.1487, 0.1487, 0.1656, 0.1609, 0.1588, 0.1507, 0.1751, 0.1744, 0.1697, 0.1839, 0.1812, 0.171, 0.1575, 0.1629, 0.1643, 0.1527, 0.1602, 0.1724, 0.1832, 0.1778, 0.2008, 0.2123, 0.2089, 0.1947, 0.171, 0.171, 0.1791, 0.1744, 0.1656, 0.1656, 0.1555, 0.1609, 0.1595, 0.1622, 0.1588, 0.1555, 0.1467, 0.1548, 0.1737, 0.2001, 0.2062, 0.1961, 0.2137, 0.2191, 0.215, 0.215, 0.2259, 0.2055, 0.211, 0.1907, 0.1913, 0.2089, 0.2326, 0.2272, 0.2279, 0.2394, 0.2712, 0.2658, 0.2644, 0.2401, 0.2556, 0.2705, 0.2859, 0.29, 0.2927, 0.2749, 0.2564, 0.2544, 0.2462, 0.2592, 0.2756, 0.2818, 0.2818, 0.2783]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1734954894254063791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-13T15:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the selling pressure in energy stocks may soon ease. Further, net speculative length in oil is now at levels that at least historically have been near bottoms", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Energy stocks likely to recover as mutual fund tax-loss selling ends and oil speculative positioning near historical bottoms.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For most mutual funds in Canada today is the last day to trigger capital losses, so the selling pressure in energy stocks may soon ease. Further, net speculative length in oil is now at levels that at least historically have been near bottoms. https://t.co/d4sXmBHJZa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013725382753411508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013725382753411508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00012285488908747588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00012285488908747588, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013602527864324032, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013602527864324032, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029393752780633386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029393752780633386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026184537478542325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026184537478542325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003209215302091062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003209215302091062, "ret_p1w": 0.03498905341581193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03498905341581193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0357149043349867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0357149043349867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0007258509191747642, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0007258509191747642, "ret_p1m": 0.002615215626343259, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002615215626343259, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013923170758949999, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013923170758949999, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016538386385293258, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016538386385293258, "ret_p3m": 0.09237971953619661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09237971953619661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.001300184423401074, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.001300184423401074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09107953511279554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09107953511279554, "ret_p6m": 0.11690710610520294, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11690710610520294, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027610902652920766, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.027610902652920766, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1445180087581237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1445180087581237, "ret_p1y": 0.20025678600244823, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.20025678600244823, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09771990539681719, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09771990539681719, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2979766913992654, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2979766913992654, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.002615215626343259, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013923170758949999, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013923170758949999, "price_path": [0.1094, 0.1188, 0.1083, 0.098, 0.083, 0.0848, 0.0984, 0.0921, 0.1193, 0.1205, 0.0979, 0.076, 0.0753, 0.0415, 0.0351, 0.0413, 0.076, 0.0774, 0.0635, 0.0647, 0.0882, 0.0955, 0.1069, 0.117, 0.115, 0.0963, 0.0786, 0.0634, 0.0615, 0.0532, 0.0279, 0.0313, 0.0347, 0.0323, 0.0635, 0.0528, 0.0409, 0.0179, 0.0051, 0.0021, 0.0131, 0.0204, 0.0295, 0.0276, 0.0075, 0.0287, 0.0301, 0.0278, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0316, 0.0279, 0.0282, 0.0205, 0.0273, 0.0327, 0.0279, 0.01, -0.0051, -0.0119, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.0137, 0.0, 0.0294, 0.0239, 0.0323, 0.0447, 0.035, 0.039, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0511, 0.0464, 0.0305, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0392, 0.0561, 0.0376, 0.0384, 0.0264, 0.01, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0139, 0.0139, -0.0103, -0.0185, -0.0201, -0.0169, -0.0132, -0.0111, 0.003, 0.0255, 0.0331, 0.0317, 0.0423, 0.0228, 0.0227, 0.0242, 0.0216, 0.0249, 0.027, 0.0376, 0.0216, 0.0329, 0.0225, 0.0215, 0.0499, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.0398, 0.0593, 0.0611, 0.0541, 0.0578, 0.0533, 0.0512, 0.0563, 0.0686, 0.0572, 0.065, 0.0683, 0.0774, 0.0812, 0.0924, 0.0907, 0.1081, 0.1195, 0.1228, 0.1267, 0.1395, 0.1379, 0.1447, 0.1422, 0.1529, 0.144, 0.1546, 0.1671, 0.1671, 0.1758, 0.1922, 0.2004, 0.1996, 0.2125, 0.2048, 0.2052, 0.2089, 0.208, 0.1884, 0.1772, 0.167, 0.1636, 0.1601, 0.174, 0.1817, 0.1882, 0.1891, 0.1945, 0.1835, 0.1916, 0.1561, 0.1377, 0.1442, 0.1444, 0.1534, 0.1523, 0.1509, 0.1664, 0.1599, 0.1568, 0.1583, 0.1609, 0.1577, 0.1739, 0.1662, 0.1605, 0.1383, 0.1279, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.1411, 0.121, 0.1242, 0.1521, 0.122, 0.1112, 0.1111, 0.1169]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1899457635360940192", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-11T13:49:25+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Natural gas has entered a multi-year bull market due to LNG buildout / new demands for power and is no longer a 'bridge fuel' but rather THE fuel of choice", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Oil >$15 below fair value on risk-off oversell; nat gas in multi-year bull on LNG/power demand; energy equities at >15% FCF yields offer opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What we believe to be true:\n1) the recent selloff in oil has more to do with risk-off than OPEC returning barrels to the market and is >$15 below fair value\n2) \"drill, baby drill\" is toothless and despite what the Energy Secretary said yesterday, oil at $66WTI is in the \"death zone\" for growth\n3) US shale is nearing its peak rate and go-forward growth rates will be below consensus\n4) OPEC spare capacity is less than people believe and over the next 18 months will likely only be ~1MM Bbl/d of real barrels being returned to the market\n5) Global oil inventories remain low and will remain below average levels\n6) Non-OPEC supply will peak in the next few years = significantly more power/market share to OPEC in the years ahead\n7) Natural gas has entered a multi-year bull market due to LNG buildout / new demands for power and is no longer a \"bridge fuel\" but rather THE fuel of choice.\n8) At our $70WTI and $4NYMEX base case, we can find stocks trading >15% free cashflow yields with decades of stay-flat inventory, uncertainty = opportunity", 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{"unit_id": "orig:1876328425863905509", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-06T18:02:11+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No more: … have all prevented foreign investors from buying Canadian energy stocks leading to a political risk discount. No more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: political risk discount from hostile energy policy now removed, foreign investors can return.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been waiting many years to do this interview. \"Phase them out\", Bill C69/C59, emissions cap, carbon tax, \"no LNG business case\" have all prevented foreign investors from buying Canadian energy stocks leading to a political risk discount. No more: https://t.co/4D5SGrKAfG https://t.co/vGa6B29E9c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00906520106688502, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00906520106688502, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003337529583597898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003337529583597898, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005727671483287122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005727671483287122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016997124888056492, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016997124888056492, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028301140259195945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028301140259195945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011304015371139453, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011304015371139453, "ret_p1w": 0.010198252335082092, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010198252335082092, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033662974076395735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033662974076395735, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023464721741313643, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023464721741313643, "ret_p1m": -0.021529668927119716, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021529668927119716, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032313138171008116, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032313138171008116, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0107834692438884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0107834692438884, "ret_p3m": -0.05124390453896177, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05124390453896177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.044572984702343055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.044572984702343055, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09581688924130483, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09581688924130483, "ret_p6m": -0.006571765148798314, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.006571765148798314, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0549394968219864, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0549394968219864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048367731673188086, "bench_c_p6m": 0.048367731673188086, "ret_p1y": 0.10816108762074816, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10816108762074816, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06493823258033138, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06493823258033138, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17309932020107954, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17309932020107954, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021529668927119716, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.032313138171008116, "alpha_c_stated": -0.032313138171008116, "price_path": [0.0166, 0.0205, 0.043, 0.0452, 0.0452, -0.0052, -0.0092, 0.002, -0.0024, 0.0015, 0.002, -0.0086, -0.0036, 0.0099, -0.0069, -0.0142, -0.0109, -0.0226, -0.0316, -0.0187, -0.0187, -0.0002, 0.0054, -0.0052, -0.0064, -0.0176, -0.0092, 0.0133, 0.002, 0.0121, 0.0088, 0.0189, 0.0379, 0.043, 0.0245, 0.0015, 0.002, 0.0082, 0.0088, 0.002, 0.0093, -0.0125, -0.0041, -0.0238, -0.0193, -0.0266, -0.0137, -0.0305, -0.031, -0.0484, -0.0552, -0.072, -0.0793, -0.0787, -0.0596, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0465, -0.0306, -0.0153, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.017, 0.0176, 0.0187, 0.0289, 0.0102, 0.0119, 0.0147, -0.0034, 0.0057, 0.0232, 0.0147, 0.0125, 0.0113, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.021, -0.0091, -0.004, -0.0278, -0.0317, -0.0215, -0.017, -0.0289, -0.0249, -0.004, 0.0096, -0.013, -0.0096, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0096, -0.0017, 0.0011, -0.0193, -0.0278, -0.0436, -0.0487, -0.0482, -0.0459, -0.0935, -0.1037, -0.1105, -0.1048, -0.085, -0.0867, -0.0793, -0.0646, -0.0714, -0.0533, -0.0397, -0.0363, -0.0204, -0.0142, -0.0136, 0.0011, 0.0051, 0.011, 0.0036, -0.0067, 0.0064, 0.0133, 0.0207, -0.0512, -0.1334, -0.1506, -0.1905, -0.122, -0.1797, -0.1563, -0.1506, -0.1477, -0.1312, -0.1123, -0.1209, -0.1026, -0.1083, -0.0992, -0.1003, -0.0963, -0.1038, -0.1243, -0.1169, -0.1089, -0.1323, -0.1226, -0.1209, -0.0958, -0.0781, -0.0507, -0.0341, -0.041, -0.053, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0558, -0.0581, -0.0604, -0.0564, -0.0512, -0.0507, -0.057, -0.0564, -0.0724, -0.0547, -0.0415, -0.0547, -0.0512, -0.0381, -0.0335, -0.0216, 0.0001, 0.0058, 0.0372, 0.0292, 0.0469, 0.0361, 0.0441, 0.0401, 0.0053, -0.0096, -0.0146, -0.0112, -0.0158, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0066]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1971592931569193271", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T15:09:19+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The only way to satisfy it near-term? Natural gas.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish natural gas as the only near-term solution to AI-driven power demand surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For the first time in history, global spending by technology companies exceeds that of global oil and gas companies. Is there a risk of an AI overbuild? Sure. Yet, even so the magnitude of the growth in power demand is enormous. The only way to satisfy it near-term? Natural gas. https://t.co/32gp6SnV89", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009623086045664753, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009623086045664753, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015319594294513683, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015319594294513683, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028067315180483332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028067315180483332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025256948739343477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025256948739343477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.046511620792791586, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046511620792791586, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035345466653267765, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035345466653267765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": 0.033680839398571916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.033680839398571916, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0017063495375195803, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0017063495375195803, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.006415390697109946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006415390697109946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.052651441815524724, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.052651441815524724, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.04891744966232514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04891744966232514, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.047013419674200585, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047013419674200585, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.001904029988124556, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001904029988124556, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.033680839398571916, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0017063495375195803, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0017063495375195803, "price_path": [0.2117, 0.2366, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.2117, 0.1893, 0.1387, 0.1828, 0.1965, 0.2261, 0.2462, 0.267, 0.259, 0.2711, 0.1772, 0.1604, 0.0994, 0.1115, 0.1091, 0.0962, 0.1155, 0.0706, 0.0898, 0.0922, 0.0393, 0.0577, 0.0858, 0.085, 0.0585, 0.0481, -0.0152, -0.0056, 0.0032, 0.0289, 0.02, -0.0249, -0.0273, -0.0056, -0.0449, -0.0417, -0.0401, -0.0225, 0.008, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0249, 0.0473, 0.0505, 0.0377, 0.0553, 0.0634, 0.0329, -0.004, 0.0032, 0.0353, 0.0601, 0.0505, 0.016, 0.008, -0.0257, -0.0088, -0.0088, 0.0096, 0.0, 0.0281, 0.0481, 0.0922, 0.0786, 0.0465, 0.0666, 0.1051, 0.0505, 0.0217, -0.0112, -0.0233, -0.0417, -0.0473, -0.0714, -0.0481, 0.0369, 0.0545, 0.0473, 0.0369, 0.0401, 0.0337, -0.0104, -0.0209, 0.0281, 0.0626, 0.1034, 0.1171, 0.093, 0.1363, 0.1187, 0.1307, 0.1676, 0.1748, 0.1877, 0.1676, 0.1323, 0.1403, 0.1788, 0.1564, 0.1748, 0.1556, 0.1091, 0.1427, 0.1427, 0.1812, 0.2197, 0.1997, 0.2406, 0.2558, 0.3128, 0.2085, 0.1307, 0.1435, 0.0489, 0.0208, -0.0008, -0.0297, 0.0136, -0.0353, -0.0225, -0.0497, 0.0345, -0.0064, 0.0273, 0.0465, 0.0521, -0.0168, -0.0329, -0.0674, -0.0954, -0.0553, -0.0962, -0.166, -0.1034, -0.0922, -0.1788, -0.174, -0.1716, -0.1716, -0.008, 0.0938, 0.077, 0.1203, 0.1893, 0.1788, 0.1652, 0.2077, 0.3553, 0.0184, 0.0409, 0.0794, 0.0842, 0.0642, -0.0241, -0.0273, -0.012, -0.0032, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0457, -0.0481, -0.0537, -0.0369, -0.0585, -0.081, -0.0698, -0.0874, -0.0762, -0.0377, -0.0152, -0.0553, -0.0337, 0.0225, -0.0128, -0.016, 0.0329, 0.0457, 0.0136, -0.0209, -0.0217, 0.016, 0.0072, -0.0064, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.0489]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002120088053522872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T20:53:21+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Searching for a sign of the bottom", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hunting for an oil/Brent bottom; 4 of 5 contrarian-long signals already triggered, one (onshore build trajectory) still pending.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Searching for a sign of the bottom:\n1) Universal bearishness ✅\n2) Most anticipated supply glut in history ✅\n3) Brent short interest at most extreme in history✅\n4) Market net short oil (!) ✅\n5) Onshore build trajectory easing ❌ https://t.co/1z0en3VjmA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010749156817552175, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010749156817552175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017671195432304998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017671195432304998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982037274321675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008982037274321675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026459375588259393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026459375588259393, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020229483309939233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020229483309939233, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229892278320159, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006229892278320159, "ret_p1w": 0.024309531607923596, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024309531607923596, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013642395654298811, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013642395654298811, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010667135953624785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010667135953624785, "ret_p1m": 0.0788820331862885, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0788820331862885, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07181467231304062, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07181467231304062, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007067360873247885, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007067360873247885, "ret_p3m": 0.855300151755177, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.855300151755177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8997450678046381, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8997450678046381, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0444449160494611, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0444449160494611, "ret_p6m": 0.3155283850816637, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3155283850816637, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2238526862297232, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2238526862297232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09167569885194049, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09167569885194049, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0788820331862885, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07181467231304062, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07181467231304062, "price_path": [0.1184, 0.1462, 0.148, 0.1597, 0.124, 0.1083, 0.0807, 0.0602, 0.0671, 0.0827, 0.0824, 0.0956, 0.0786, 0.0374, 0.0471, 0.0318, 0.0238, 0.0098, 0.0136, 0.0089, 0.0141, 0.0351, 0.0913, 0.0905, 0.0852, 0.065, 0.0736, 0.0749, 0.0761, 0.0731, 0.0657, 0.0504, 0.0481, 0.0523, 0.0594, 0.0776, 0.037, 0.042, 0.0648, 0.0617, 0.0731, 0.0503, 0.0481, 0.0346, 0.048, 0.0332, 0.044, 0.044, 0.0451, 0.0447, 0.0327, 0.0364, 0.0461, 0.0542, 0.0334, 0.0243, 0.0288, 0.0134, 0.0107, 0.0015, -0.0256, -0.0131, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0265, 0.0316, 0.0293, 0.0028, 0.0243, 0.024, 0.0063, 0.0046, 0.0213, 0.0038, -0.0084, 0.0251, 0.0475, 0.0562, 0.0827, 0.1, 0.0544, 0.0605, 0.0605, 0.0736, 0.0789, 0.0594, 0.0895, 0.0847, 0.1174, 0.1311, 0.1693, 0.169, 0.0964, 0.1134, 0.1487, 0.1171, 0.1254, 0.1417, 0.1378, 0.1477, 0.1166, 0.1204, 0.1204, 0.1149, 0.1634, 0.1851, 0.1867, 0.1822, 0.1703, 0.1717, 0.17, 0.1986, 0.2856, 0.3461, 0.3461, 0.4124, 0.5328, 0.6365, 0.452, 0.5211, 0.6613, 0.7056, 0.6572, 0.7103, 0.7758, 0.7968, 0.8553, 0.6527, 0.728, 0.6904, 0.7862, 0.8616, 0.8651, 0.9572, 0.6729, 0.803, 0.803, 0.8153, 0.807, 0.5669, 0.5862, 0.5743, 0.6431, 0.5676, 0.5699, 0.6436, 0.4946, 0.579, 0.6286, 0.6853, 0.7376, 0.7419, 0.7898, 0.8399, 0.9519, 0.8854, 0.7888, 0.8925, 0.8169, 0.6747, 0.6547, 0.675, 0.7233, 0.7822, 0.7468, 0.7483, 0.8068, 0.8538, 0.8403, 0.7367, 0.6964, 0.7123, 0.7123, 0.6468, 0.5593, 0.5497, 0.5222, 0.5707, 0.5876, 0.6175, 0.5715, 0.5394, 0.5586, 0.5123, 0.5396, 0.4946, 0.4442, 0.3754, 0.3058, 0.3155]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1827013031131267080", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-23T16:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what do energy stocks look like at $70? Triple the FCF yield of the broader market with fortress-like balance sheets", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish US energy stocks: sentiment at rock bottom, China demand likely bottomed, yet FCF yield at 3x market with strong balance sheets at $70 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment, as measured by tweet comments at least, feels rock bottom.  \"Everyone knows\" that China demand is in the pits (likely bottomed according to @EnergyAspects). Everyone thinks the US is in, or will be in recession. Whatever risk premium was in the oil price (a negative one now) is gone. And yet, the 2025 WTI strip (admittedly a terrible prognosticator) is at $70. So what do energy stocks look like at $70? Triple the FCF yield of the broader market with fortress-like balance sheets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014713888382821949, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014713888382821949, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004200290349623326, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004200290349623326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010513598033198623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010513598033198623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00896120870988204, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00896120870988204, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011345099492806598, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011345099492806598, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002383890782924558, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002383890782924558, "ret_p1w": 0.009846332480373698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009846332480373698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007088943671700543, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007088943671700543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0027573888086731557, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0027573888086731557, "ret_p1m": -0.005907906602839463, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005907906602839463, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02242951250466263, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02242951250466263, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016521605901823166, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016521605901823166, "ret_p3m": 0.07462782357473063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07462782357473063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.020937011204883893, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020937011204883893, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05369081236984674, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05369081236984674, "ret_p6m": 0.02695271505646768, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02695271505646768, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06786522987735144, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06786522987735144, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09481794493381912, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09481794493381912, "ret_p1y": -0.02221557119805828, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.02221557119805828, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18383822222917456, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18383822222917456, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16162265103111628, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16162265103111628, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005907906602839463, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02242951250466263, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02242951250466263, "price_path": [0.0131, -0.0048, -0.0019, 0.0229, -0.0039, -0.0135, -0.0136, -0.0084, -0.0124, -0.0049, -0.0069, -0.0175, -0.0265, -0.0338, -0.0312, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0093, -0.015, 0.0098, 0.0122, 0.0022, 0.0045, 0.0084, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0126, 0.0126, -0.0032, -0.0093, -0.018, -0.0114, -0.0011, 0.0014, 0.0166, 0.0211, 0.0313, 0.0332, 0.0219, 0.0155, -0.0007, -0.0006, 0.0167, 0.0199, 0.0112, 0.0269, 0.0312, 0.0039, -0.022, -0.0436, -0.0377, -0.0339, -0.0131, -0.0108, -0.006, -0.0156, -0.0098, 0.002, 0.0009, 0.0076, -0.0189, -0.0173, -0.0147, 0.0, 0.009, -0.0004, -0.0069, 0.0061, 0.0098, 0.0098, -0.0153, -0.0289, -0.0364, -0.0485, -0.0416, -0.0581, -0.0668, -0.0584, -0.0531, -0.0423, -0.0293, -0.0274, -0.0158, -0.018, -0.0059, -0.0084, -0.0278, -0.0468, -0.0274, -0.0206, 0.0017, 0.0119, 0.0298, 0.0394, 0.0431, 0.0158, 0.022, 0.0289, 0.0353, 0.0348, 0.0015, 0.0063, 0.011, 0.0077, 0.0047, 0.007, 0.0018, 0.0017, 0.0013, -0.005, -0.0202, -0.018, -0.0118, -0.0181, -0.0009, 0.0058, 0.0436, 0.0388, 0.0457, 0.0516, 0.0461, 0.0542, 0.0582, 0.0567, 0.0707, 0.0639, 0.0746, 0.0833, 0.085, 0.0636, 0.0621, 0.061, 0.061, 0.0656, 0.0543, 0.0542, 0.0288, 0.0328, 0.0153, 0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0084, 0.0002, -0.0048, -0.0267, -0.0339, -0.0625, -0.0706, -0.0615, -0.0559, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0487, -0.0489, -0.049, -0.0365, -0.0252, -0.0161, -0.0206, -0.0108, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0058, 0.0151, 0.0261, 0.0412, 0.0488, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0515, 0.0324, 0.0371, 0.0271, 0.0164, 0.0067, 0.009, 0.0141, -0.0142, -0.008, 0.0128, 0.0149, -0.0038, -0.0039, 0.0181, 0.0263, 0.0015, 0.0091, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.027]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2060349441739985194", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-29T13:16:01+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Apathy = opportunity.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: low generalist interest and cheap valuations ($67 WTI discount, 4.5x EV/EBITDA, 13% FCF) signal an opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "RBC on investor sentiment: \"energy specialists continue to dominate the energy trade flow with generalists still preferring to overweight tech. Some conversations of generalists indicate an appetite to evaluate energy once an Iran resolution occurs and a more defined oil market is established. Energy stocks on average discounting $67WTI and trading at 4.5X EV/EBITDA / 13% FCF yields at strip.\" Apathy = opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011724992657266897, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011724992657266897, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014210193761528211, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014210193761528211, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024852011042613142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024852011042613142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017942766123753895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017942766123753895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015219630532885775, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015219630532885775, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00272313559086812, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00272313559086812, "ret_p1w": 0.024515850612418566, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024515850612418566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04953963599276845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04953963599276845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025023785380349883, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025023785380349883, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0024, -0.0083, -0.0031, -0.0015, -0.006, -0.0187, 0.0057, 0.015, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0327, 0.0313, 0.0477, 0.0468, 0.0593, 0.0808, 0.076, 0.0929, 0.1114, 0.1007, 0.0883, 0.0476, 0.0526, 0.0526, 0.0602, 0.0688, 0.0313, 0.0185, 0.0115, 0.0146, -0.006, -0.0094, 0.0052, -0.0226, -0.0217, -0.0075, 0.0044, 0.0123, 0.0103, 0.0085, 0.0252, 0.0487, 0.0597, 0.0455, 0.0551, 0.0561, 0.0126, -0.006, -0.0105, 0.0156, 0.0227, 0.0238, 0.0316, 0.056, 0.0762, 0.0888, 0.0624, 0.0505, 0.0568, 0.0568, 0.0277, 0.0124, 0.0117, 0.0, 0.0179, 0.0297, 0.043, 0.0437, 0.0245, 0.0362, 0.0195, 0.0348, 0.0147, 0.0224, -0.0131, -0.0165, -0.0288, -0.0288, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1948085946563346761", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-23T18:20:58+00:00", "symbol": "GEV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GE Vernova: 55GW in backlog/reservations = ~8Bcf/d in implied future natural gas demand growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GEV on massive backlog implying gas demand growth; bullish nat gas on LNG+power demand with $4+ marginal cost floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["GEV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "GE Vernova: 55GW in backlog/reservations = ~8Bcf/d in implied future natural gas demand growth. Brutal month (-19%) with disappointing cooling demand + private rig ramp, but the real story is 13Bcf/d of LNG demand growth + 6+Bcf/d in power demand and marginal cost of supply $4+. https://t.co/0N6xS2Czp3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12724359089688597, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12724359089688597, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11880791369981702, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10961540007279591, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008435677197068947, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017628190824090062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008044207156520211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008044207156520211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008375356765876307, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006353024882413072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033114960935609616, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016911822741071392, "ret_p1w": 0.04128573886241127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04128573886241127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04089150389371121, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05253912626650814, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0003942349687000579, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01125338740409687, "ret_p1m": -0.036612054115469306, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036612054115469306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03872492838149544, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01677217837820344, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0021128742660261324, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019839875737265866, "ret_p3m": -0.05518396519039448, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05518396519039448, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1166007653068597, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05794383265176872, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06141680011646522, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0027598674613742435, "ret_p6m": 0.08474338253678826, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08474338253678826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.012096817395273574, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.009145565467204575, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09684019993206183, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09388894800399283, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.036612054115469306, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03872492838149544, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01677217837820344, "price_path": [-0.4082, -0.412, -0.4102, -0.4107, -0.3925, -0.3702, -0.3626, -0.3624, -0.3536, -0.3739, -0.3656, -0.338, -0.3114, -0.3122, -0.3215, -0.3198, -0.2903, -0.2849, -0.2801, -0.2709, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2507, -0.2293, -0.2513, -0.2484, -0.2291, -0.2166, -0.2243, -0.2304, -0.2293, -0.2373, -0.2606, -0.2317, -0.2251, -0.2397, -0.2247, -0.2235, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.2262, -0.2057, -0.1882, -0.2012, -0.1946, -0.1742, -0.1592, -0.1959, -0.1974, -0.1784, -0.1784, -0.1574, -0.1578, -0.1486, -0.1429, -0.1432, -0.118, -0.1107, -0.1083, -0.094, -0.0869, -0.1003, -0.1272, 0.0, -0.008, 0.0247, 0.0296, 0.0058, 0.0413, 0.0497, 0.0437, 0.0536, 0.0329, 0.0565, 0.0268, 0.0319, 0.0345, 0.0452, 0.0084, -0.006, -0.0113, -0.0064, -0.0412, -0.0389, -0.0366, -0.0349, -0.0425, -0.005, -0.0106, 0.0074, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0785, -0.0827, -0.048, -0.0746, -0.0458, -0.0371, 0.0231, 0.0081, -0.0055, -0.0006, -0.0177, -0.0226, -0.0287, -0.0077, 0.0244, 0.007, -0.0001, -0.0342, -0.0379, -0.0423, -0.0225, -0.0364, -0.0362, -0.0541, -0.041, -0.0364, -0.0057, 0.0083, -0.0389, 0.0306, 0.0245, -0.0208, -0.043, -0.0462, -0.0552, -0.0691, -0.0839, -0.0535, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0919, -0.0808, -0.087, -0.0694, -0.0756, -0.1285, -0.1098, -0.125, -0.0853, -0.0779, -0.0838, -0.0849, -0.1123, -0.0802, -0.0823, -0.1174, -0.0531, -0.1125, -0.116, -0.0768, -0.0894, -0.0621, -0.0621, -0.0461, -0.0825, -0.0432, -0.0426, 0.0005, 0.0041, -0.0109, -0.0055, 0.1499, 0.12, 0.0683, 0.0836, 0.0914, -0.0232, 0.017, 0.0469, 0.0526, 0.052, 0.0613, 0.0552, 0.0552, 0.0491, 0.0394, 0.0808, 0.0836, 0.0924, 0.0541, 0.0002, -0.0092, 0.0182, 0.0379, 0.0253, 0.0222, 0.0847, 0.0847]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1948085946563346761", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-23T18:20:58+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "13Bcf/d of LNG demand growth + 6+Bcf/d in power demand and marginal cost of supply $4+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GEV on massive backlog implying gas demand growth; bullish nat gas on LNG+power demand with $4+ marginal cost floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "GE Vernova: 55GW in backlog/reservations = ~8Bcf/d in implied future natural gas demand growth. Brutal month (-19%) with disappointing cooling demand + private rig ramp, but the real story is 13Bcf/d of LNG demand growth + 6+Bcf/d in power demand and marginal cost of supply $4+. https://t.co/0N6xS2Czp3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055434006328752394, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055434006328752394, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06386968352582134, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06386968352582134, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008435677197068947, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008435677197068947, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01094089118256103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01094089118256103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010609741573204934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010609741573204934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033114960935609616, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00033114960935609616, "ret_p1w": -0.026258180574440293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026258180574440293, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02665241554314035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02665241554314035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0003942349687000579, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003942349687000579, "ret_p1m": -0.09555072326562575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09555072326562575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09766359753165188, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09766359753165188, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0021128742660261324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0021128742660261324, "ret_p3m": -0.05689275935819871, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05689275935819871, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11830955947466393, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11830955947466393, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06141680011646522, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06141680011646522, "ret_p6m": -0.2465353832995142, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2465353832995142, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.343375583231576, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.343375583231576, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09684019993206183, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09684019993206183, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09555072326562575, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09766359753165188, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09766359753165188, "price_path": [0.1451, 0.2123, 0.2312, 0.221, 0.2633, 0.3363, 0.3115, 0.267, 0.3253, 0.318, 0.3844, 0.3384, 0.3268, 0.2691, 0.2254, 0.2188, 0.1415, 0.2392, 0.2341, 0.2144, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.2451, 0.178, 0.1663, 0.1459, 0.2305, 0.2371, 0.2334, 0.2181, 0.2531, 0.2079, 0.1714, 0.1634, 0.1721, 0.1933, 0.2385, 0.2823, 0.3187, 0.3187, 0.2881, 0.2283, 0.1853, 0.1561, 0.1422, 0.2064, 0.1145, 0.1021, 0.1247, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1021, 0.0817, 0.0357, 0.0759, 0.0883, 0.1152, 0.1335, 0.1524, 0.1451, 0.1561, 0.0708, 0.0554, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0088, -0.0029, 0.0146, -0.0263, -0.0088, -0.0066, -0.0547, -0.0379, -0.0124, -0.0131, -0.0372, -0.0467, -0.1043, -0.0956, -0.0875, -0.0642, -0.0722, -0.1131, -0.1152, -0.0956, -0.1313, -0.1284, -0.1269, -0.1109, -0.0832, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.0678, -0.0474, -0.0445, -0.0562, -0.0401, -0.0328, -0.0605, -0.0941, -0.0875, -0.0584, -0.0357, -0.0445, -0.0759, -0.0832, -0.1138, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.0817, -0.0904, -0.0649, -0.0467, -0.0066, -0.019, -0.0481, -0.0299, 0.0051, -0.0445, -0.0708, -0.1007, -0.1116, -0.1284, -0.1335, -0.1554, -0.1342, -0.0569, -0.0408, -0.0474, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0598, -0.0999, -0.1094, -0.0649, -0.0336, 0.0036, 0.016, -0.0058, 0.0336, 0.0175, 0.0284, 0.062, 0.0686, 0.0802, 0.062, 0.0299, 0.0372, 0.0722, 0.0518, 0.0686, 0.0511, 0.0088, 0.0394, 0.0394, 0.0744, 0.1094, 0.0912, 0.1284, 0.1422, 0.194, 0.0992, 0.0284, 0.0401, -0.046, -0.0715, -0.0912, -0.1174, -0.078, -0.1225, -0.1109, -0.1357, -0.0591, -0.0963, -0.0656, -0.0481, -0.043, -0.1058, -0.1204, -0.1517, -0.1772, -0.1408, -0.178, -0.2414, -0.1845, -0.1743, -0.2531, -0.2487, -0.2465, -0.2465]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1909965512680878592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-09T13:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy co.'s can weather this storm", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian energy cos. can sustain dividends/production at $51 WTI; US shale production to fall 0.5MM+ Bbl/d at current oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy co.'s can weather this storm. $51WTI by our estimates on average to sustain both dividends and production vs. US shale to fall by 0.5MM Bbl/d or more at current levels, representing the theoretical demand loss of a 0.5% drop in global GDP!\nhttps://t.co/Uf9KqPwRSs https://t.co/khJt8ml0YX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0780232992478852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0780232992478852, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017015070381570685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017015070381570685, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06566965953267023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06566965953267023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021850773005858803, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021850773005858803, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "ret_p1w": -0.010403037930048153, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010403037930048153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03144729238319688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03144729238319688, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "ret_p1m": 0.05006503829103237, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05006503829103237, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021411146347146692, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021411146347146692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02865389194388568, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02865389194388568, "ret_p3m": 0.14070463993431503, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14070463993431503, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006633741303144536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006633741303144536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1340708986311705, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1340708986311705, "ret_p6m": 0.22232645650863891, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22232645650863891, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004477685763939698, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.004477685763939698, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2268041422725786, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2268041422725786, "ret_p1y": 0.7610261218099788, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7610261218099788, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5529924679833009, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5529924679833009, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20803365382667782, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20803365382667782, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05006503829103237, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021411146347146692, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021411146347146692, "price_path": [0.1719, 0.1506, 0.1525, 0.1558, 0.1351, 0.1454, 0.1654, 0.1558, 0.1532, 0.1519, 0.139, 0.1261, 0.1151, 0.1287, 0.1345, 0.1074, 0.1029, 0.1145, 0.1196, 0.1061, 0.1106, 0.1345, 0.15, 0.1241, 0.128, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.128, 0.1371, 0.1403, 0.117, 0.1074, 0.0893, 0.0835, 0.0841, 0.0867, 0.0325, 0.0209, 0.0132, 0.0196, 0.0422, 0.0403, 0.0486, 0.0654, 0.0577, 0.0783, 0.0938, 0.0977, 0.1158, 0.1229, 0.1235, 0.1403, 0.1448, 0.1515, 0.143, 0.1313, 0.1463, 0.1541, 0.1625, 0.0806, -0.013, -0.0325, -0.078, 0.0, -0.0657, -0.039, -0.0325, -0.0293, -0.0104, 0.0111, 0.0013, 0.0221, 0.0156, 0.026, 0.0247, 0.0293, 0.0208, -0.0026, 0.0059, 0.015, -0.0117, -0.0007, 0.0013, 0.0299, 0.0501, 0.0813, 0.1001, 0.0923, 0.0787, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.0754, 0.0728, 0.0702, 0.0748, 0.0806, 0.0813, 0.0741, 0.0748, 0.0566, 0.0767, 0.0917, 0.0767, 0.0806, 0.0956, 0.1008, 0.1144, 0.1391, 0.1456, 0.1814, 0.1723, 0.1925, 0.1801, 0.1892, 0.1847, 0.145, 0.1281, 0.1223, 0.1262, 0.121, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.1315, 0.1269, 0.1249, 0.117, 0.1407, 0.14, 0.1354, 0.1492, 0.1466, 0.1368, 0.1236, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.119, 0.1262, 0.1381, 0.1486, 0.1433, 0.1657, 0.1768, 0.1736, 0.1598, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1446, 0.14, 0.1315, 0.1315, 0.1216, 0.1269, 0.1256, 0.1282, 0.1249, 0.1216, 0.1131, 0.121, 0.1394, 0.165, 0.1709, 0.1611, 0.1782, 0.1834, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.19, 0.1703, 0.1755, 0.1558, 0.1565, 0.1736, 0.1966, 0.1913, 0.192, 0.2031, 0.234, 0.2288, 0.2274, 0.2038, 0.2189, 0.2334, 0.2482, 0.2522, 0.2549, 0.2376, 0.2197, 0.2177, 0.2097, 0.2223]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1706385342926868743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-25T19:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks do NOT need a higher oil price to be able to do very well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks into 2024; dismisses inventory build/demand concerns and argues sector can outperform without oil price tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The debate that was not meant to be (for now) -&gt; hear why I do not believe in Q4'23/2024 inventory builds, weak oil demand, and hyper-growth from Iran/Iraq in '24 + why energy stocks do NOT need a higher oil price to be able to do very well: https://t.co/QhJ4hHfEww https://t.co/EqnkhtgZDc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012385395842029356, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012385395842029356, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00819770330213887, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00819770330213887, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004187692539890486, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004187692539890486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005750254472491334, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005750254472491334, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008941123732160605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008941123732160605, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01469137820465194, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01469137820465194, "ret_p1w": -0.02034736410436666, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02034736410436666, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008964328564121549, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008964328564121549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011383035540245112, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011383035540245112, "ret_p1m": -0.03184778151248202, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03184778151248202, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01195081521127872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01195081521127872, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0198969663012033, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0198969663012033, "ret_p3m": -0.05403274822967696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05403274822967696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15209730439836888, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15209730439836888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09806455616869192, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09806455616869192, "ret_p6m": 0.03745963224148152, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03745963224148152, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16423774902661803, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16423774902661803, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20169738126809955, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20169738126809955, "ret_p1y": -0.04304109273050816, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04304109273050816, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.33910753172189556, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.33910753172189556, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2960664389913874, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2960664389913874, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05403274822967696, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15209730439836888, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15209730439836888, "price_path": [-0.1248, -0.1147, -0.109, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1118, -0.1318, -0.1131, -0.1062, -0.0866, -0.0781, -0.0816, -0.1059, -0.1077, -0.0987, -0.0934, -0.0827, -0.0746, -0.0597, -0.0547, -0.0544, -0.0605, -0.0576, -0.0397, -0.0442, -0.0567, -0.0472, -0.0459, -0.0448, -0.04, -0.028, -0.0281, -0.0131, -0.0173, -0.0377, -0.0461, -0.0347, -0.0251, -0.0313, -0.0387, -0.0411, -0.0477, -0.0385, -0.032, -0.0294, -0.0246, -0.0239, -0.0039, -0.0039, 0.0013, 0.0018, 0.0008, 0.0105, -0.0028, 0.0207, 0.013, 0.0248, 0.01, 0.0186, 0.0091, -0.0003, -0.014, -0.0124, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.019, 0.0201, -0.0004, -0.0203, -0.021, -0.0518, -0.0576, -0.052, -0.0203, -0.0191, -0.0317, -0.0306, -0.0093, -0.0027, 0.0077, 0.0169, 0.0151, -0.0019, -0.018, -0.0318, -0.0336, -0.0411, -0.0641, -0.061, -0.0579, -0.0602, -0.0317, -0.0415, -0.0523, -0.0733, -0.0849, -0.0877, -0.0776, -0.071, -0.0627, -0.0645, -0.0827, -0.0635, -0.0621, -0.0642, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0608, -0.0641, -0.0639, -0.0709, -0.0647, -0.0598, -0.0641, -0.0805, -0.0942, -0.1004, -0.0907, -0.0896, -0.1021, -0.0896, -0.0628, -0.0678, -0.0602, -0.0489, -0.0577, -0.054, -0.0512, -0.0512, -0.0431, -0.0473, -0.0618, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0539, -0.0385, -0.0554, -0.0546, -0.0655, -0.0805, -0.0895, -0.0872, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0989, -0.1064, -0.1078, -0.1049, -0.1016, -0.0997, -0.0869, -0.0663, -0.0594, -0.0607, -0.051, -0.0688, -0.0689, -0.0675, -0.0699, -0.0669, -0.065, -0.0554, -0.0699, -0.0596, -0.0691, -0.07, -0.0441, -0.0447, -0.0447, -0.0534, -0.0356, -0.0339, -0.0403, -0.037, -0.0411, -0.043, -0.0383, -0.0271, -0.0375, -0.0304, -0.0273, -0.0191, -0.0156, -0.0055, -0.007, 0.0088, 0.0192, 0.0222, 0.0258, 0.0375]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1823047981840363845", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-12T17:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks still have some work to do", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks still have upside to close the gap vs oil's recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Queued up and ready to go! Oil has recovered all of its macro-anxiety induced losses...energy stocks still have some work to do. https://t.co/uaR30yFNWf\n\n---\n\nEvery day above $80WTI is a spectacular day! https://t.co/tHJHrULWFN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00489698928504656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00489698928504656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004371690326248734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004371690326248734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005252989587978263, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005252989587978263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009682807852639752, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009682807852639752, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026128229582978002, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026128229582978002, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01644542173033825, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01644542173033825, "ret_p1w": 0.013689443613008834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013689443613008834, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03570350010859924, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03570350010859924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.049392943721608074, "bench_c_p1w": 0.049392943721608074, "ret_p1m": -0.05242067502356762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05242067502356762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08152387342226475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08152387342226475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103198398697128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029103198398697128, "ret_p3m": 0.04506499895025384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04506499895025384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0752620022810142, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0752620022810142, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032700123126805, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12032700123126805, "ret_p6m": 0.021016833114434252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.021016833114434252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11933042747778977, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11933042747778977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14034726059222402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14034726059222402, "ret_p1y": -0.015994215530746758, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.015994215530746758, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19637837209344278, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19637837209344278, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18038415656269602, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18038415656269602, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05242067502356762, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08152387342226475, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08152387342226475, "price_path": [0.0369, 0.034, 0.0485, 0.0416, 0.0365, 0.0167, 0.0074, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0192, 0.0012, 0.0041, 0.029, 0.0021, -0.0075, -0.0076, -0.0024, -0.0064, 0.0011, -0.0009, -0.0116, -0.0207, -0.028, -0.0254, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0033, -0.0091, 0.0159, 0.0183, 0.0082, 0.0106, 0.0145, 0.015, 0.0142, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0028, -0.0033, -0.0121, -0.0055, 0.0049, 0.0075, 0.0227, 0.0273, 0.0375, 0.0394, 0.028, 0.0216, 0.0053, 0.0055, 0.0228, 0.026, 0.0173, 0.0331, 0.0374, 0.0099, -0.0161, -0.0378, -0.0319, -0.028, -0.0071, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0097, -0.0039, 0.008, 0.0069, 0.0137, -0.013, -0.0114, -0.0088, 0.006, 0.015, 0.0056, -0.0009, 0.0121, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0093, -0.023, -0.0306, -0.0427, -0.0358, -0.0524, -0.0612, -0.0528, -0.0474, -0.0365, -0.0235, -0.0216, -0.0099, -0.0121, 0.0001, -0.0024, -0.0219, -0.0411, -0.0216, -0.0147, 0.0077, 0.018, 0.036, 0.0456, 0.0493, 0.0219, 0.0281, 0.0351, 0.0415, 0.041, 0.0075, 0.0123, 0.0171, 0.0138, 0.0107, 0.0131, 0.0078, 0.0077, 0.0074, 0.001, -0.0143, -0.0121, -0.0059, -0.0122, 0.0051, 0.0118, 0.0499, 0.0451, 0.052, 0.058, 0.0524, 0.0606, 0.0646, 0.063, 0.0772, 0.0703, 0.0811, 0.0898, 0.0915, 0.07, 0.0685, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.072, 0.0607, 0.0606, 0.035, 0.039, 0.0214, 0.0197, 0.0127, 0.0144, 0.0062, 0.0012, -0.0208, -0.0281, -0.0568, -0.065, -0.0558, -0.0503, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.043, -0.0431, -0.0433, -0.0307, -0.0194, -0.0102, -0.0147, -0.0049, -0.0039, -0.0039, 0.0002, 0.0212, 0.0322, 0.0475, 0.0551, 0.0632, 0.0632, 0.0578, 0.0386, 0.0433, 0.0332, 0.0225, 0.0128, 0.015, 0.0202, -0.0083, -0.0021, 0.0189, 0.021]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2013322281842360696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T18:46:52+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reason to be bullish natural gas", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author endorses TPH thesis: Gulf Coast nat gas faces emerging supply crisis with ~5 Bcf/d shortfall by 2030 deepening to ~9 Bcf/d by 2040 on LNG demand surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reason to be bullish natural gas: \"we believe the Gulf Coast natural gas market faces an emerging supply crisis driven by surging LNG demand. Currently tight, the market could experience a ~5 Bcf/d shortfall by 2030, deepening to ~9 Bcf/d by 2040.\" -TPH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16491511566095918, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16491511566095918, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18569491123028814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18569491123028814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10266778249903541, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10266778249903541, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09112670329694095, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09112670329694095, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.18835892847712388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18835892847712388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1619266469836862, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1619266469836862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.04042037224136985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04042037224136985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05327494537616473, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05327494537616473, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.12368631747178394, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12368631747178394, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1746019560613361, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746019560613361, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0631, 0.0558, 0.0453, 0.0485, 0.042, -0.0024, -0.0129, 0.0364, 0.0711, 0.1124, 0.1261, 0.1019, 0.1455, 0.1277, 0.1399, 0.177, 0.1843, 0.1973, 0.177, 0.1415, 0.1496, 0.1884, 0.1657, 0.1843, 0.1649, 0.118, 0.152, 0.152, 0.1908, 0.2296, 0.2094, 0.2506, 0.266, 0.3234, 0.2183, 0.1399, 0.1528, 0.0574, 0.0291, 0.0073, -0.0218, 0.0218, -0.0275, -0.0146, -0.042, 0.0428, 0.0016, 0.0356, 0.055, 0.0606, -0.0089, -0.0251, -0.0598, -0.0881, -0.0477, -0.0889, -0.1593, -0.0962, -0.0849, -0.1722, -0.1673, -0.1649, -0.1649, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0857, 0.1293, 0.1989, 0.1884, 0.1746, 0.2175, 0.3662, 0.0267, 0.0493, 0.0881, 0.093, 0.0728, -0.0162, -0.0194, -0.004, 0.0049, 0.0057, 0.0057, -0.038, -0.0404, -0.0461, -0.0291, -0.0509, -0.0736, -0.0622, -0.08, -0.0687, -0.0299, -0.0073, -0.0477, -0.0259, 0.0307, -0.0049, -0.0081, 0.0412, 0.0542, 0.0218, -0.0129, -0.0137, 0.0243, 0.0154, 0.0016, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0412, -0.0428, -0.0073, -0.0558, -0.0517, -0.0768, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0808, -0.0663, -0.1043, -0.1205, -0.1293, -0.1366, -0.1463, -0.1447, -0.1285, -0.1237, -0.1229, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.1496, -0.1665, -0.152, -0.1649, -0.1795, -0.1431, -0.1342, -0.1148, -0.1399, -0.1552, -0.1366, -0.1455, -0.093, -0.118, -0.1124, -0.0978, -0.0841, -0.0671, -0.038, -0.0711, -0.0841, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.118, -0.0962, -0.0388, -0.0356, -0.0671, -0.0728, -0.0534, -0.0202, -0.0566, -0.0808, -0.0792, -0.0671, -0.0978, -0.0825, -0.076, -0.0493, -0.0647, -0.0647, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1788220101885394976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-08T14:51:10+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see global oil inventories falling to record low levels by YE'24, supportive of $90 Brent (zero political risk premium)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Brent crude to $90 by YE2024 on OPEC cuts driving inventories to record lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With an expected continuation of Saudi/OPEC voluntary cuts into 2H'24, we see global oil inventories falling to record low levels by YE'24, supportive of $90 Brent (zero political risk premium). https://t.co/u7cedNNi04", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005025103610242554, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005025103610242554, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004928274649897313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004928274649897313, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.682896034524102e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.682896034524102e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003589320600514867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003589320600514867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0021724860804053225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0021724860804053225, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0057618066809201895, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0057618066809201895, "ret_p1w": -0.009930627098243217, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009930627098243217, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03427356070264931, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03427356070264931, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.024342933604406092, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024342933604406092, "ret_p1m": -0.04438859778888138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04438859778888138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07816733829554834, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07816733829554834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03377874050666696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03377874050666696, "ret_p3m": -0.0871021610410152, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0871021610410152, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09069667931300862, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09069667931300862, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0035945182719934188, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0035945182719934188, "ret_p6m": -0.1246709492781286, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1246709492781286, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23108095996618427, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23108095996618427, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10641001068805567, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10641001068805567, "ret_p1y": -0.2312754415838323, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2312754415838323, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.31670838278405333, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.31670838278405333, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08543294120022105, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08543294120022105, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04438859778888138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07816733829554834, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07816733829554834, "price_path": [-0.0166, -0.0189, -0.0097, -0.0237, -0.0086, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0148, -0.0066, 0.0011, -0.0235, -0.0126, 0.0008, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.0004, -0.0093, -0.0184, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0179, -0.0164, -0.0199, 0.0054, 0.022, 0.0211, 0.0396, 0.0455, 0.0284, 0.0263, 0.0221, 0.0379, 0.0319, 0.03, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.0459, 0.0639, 0.069, 0.0846, 0.0908, 0.0814, 0.0699, 0.0826, 0.0737, 0.0822, 0.078, 0.0771, 0.0444, 0.0422, 0.0444, 0.0409, 0.0579, 0.0531, 0.065, 0.0708, 0.0577, 0.0512, -0.0017, 0.0011, -0.0074, -0.003, -0.005, 0.0, 0.0036, -0.0095, -0.0026, -0.0144, -0.0099, -0.0037, 0.0048, 0.0016, -0.0084, -0.0201, -0.0266, -0.0175, -0.0175, 0.0077, 0.0002, -0.0206, -0.0235, -0.0625, -0.0725, -0.0619, -0.0444, -0.0474, -0.0233, -0.0199, -0.0117, -0.0099, -0.0115, 0.008, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0255, 0.0199, 0.0291, 0.0171, 0.02, 0.0336, 0.0339, 0.0361, 0.0318, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0354, 0.026, 0.0129, 0.0179, 0.0218, 0.0173, 0.0152, 0.0018, 0.0179, 0.0183, -0.0114, -0.0141, -0.0307, -0.0224, -0.0145, -0.0293, -0.0455, -0.0592, -0.0342, -0.0486, -0.081, -0.0871, -0.0849, -0.0628, -0.0529, -0.0469, -0.0153, -0.0346, -0.0457, -0.0304, -0.0467, -0.0708, -0.0763, -0.0901, -0.0761, -0.0546, -0.0257, -0.0482, -0.059, -0.0436, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.1176, -0.1302, -0.1303, -0.1498, -0.1405, -0.1722, -0.1552, -0.1389, -0.1432, -0.1296, -0.1182, -0.1188, -0.1041, -0.1088, -0.1158, -0.1006, -0.1211, -0.1433, -0.1388, -0.1413, -0.1199, -0.1158, -0.0713, -0.0662, -0.0317, -0.0766, -0.0838, -0.05, -0.0543, -0.0732, -0.1116, -0.112, -0.1092, -0.1259, -0.1112, -0.0902, -0.1031, -0.1101, -0.0901, -0.1455, -0.1491, -0.132, -0.1247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1671882425549602822", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-06-22T14:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bombed-out valuations (12% avg. sector FCF yield at $70WTI), we remain bullish on the 2H of 2023", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector and oil in 2H 2023 on historic inventory draws, bombed-out valuations, and deeply negative sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So far 2023 has been an exhausting grind filled with non-stop recessionary fears + confusing government policy (Russia, US ->Iran/VZ) that has lead to terrible sentiment as measured by net length. This feels like the mirror opposite of 2022 when in June sentiment was euphoric and energy stocks were flying. Given our view of impending historic inventory draws + bombed-out valuations (12% avg. sector FCF yield at $70WTI), we remain bullish on the 2H of 2023...there is still a lot of year left!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013603893706437331, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013603893706437331, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017200715283545054, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017200715283545054, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035968215771077228, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035968215771077228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007186833484762345, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007186833484762345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00037313652290515975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00037313652290515975, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007559970007667505, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007559970007667505, "ret_p1w": 0.03503608078071041, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03503608078071041, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031370857923912476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031370857923912476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003665222856797934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003665222856797934, "ret_p1m": 0.08187902584567497, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08187902584567497, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04598065900041948, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04598065900041948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03589836684525549, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03589836684525549, "ret_p3m": 0.1797149281220336, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1797149281220336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16193392498867598, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16193392498867598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01778100313335762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01778100313335762, "ret_p6m": 0.08986249385989975, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08986249385989975, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.006508187753243355, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.006508187753243355, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0833543061066564, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0833543061066564, "ret_p1y": 0.19303961448196816, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.19303961448196816, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04726595176807313, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04726595176807313, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2403055662500413, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2403055662500413, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08187902584567497, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04598065900041948, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04598065900041948, "price_path": [0.012, 0.0277, 0.0419, 0.0465, 0.0537, 0.1014, 0.0815, 0.0977, 0.0811, 0.0811, 0.0897, 0.1, 0.1008, 0.1077, 0.1097, 0.0966, 0.1009, 0.0971, 0.0874, 0.0811, 0.0976, 0.077, 0.0626, 0.0665, 0.083, 0.0708, 0.0242, 0.0049, -0.0063, 0.0207, 0.0207, 0.021, 0.0095, -0.0026, -0.0011, 0.004, -0.0207, -0.0019, 0.0054, 0.0132, 0.009, 0.0198, 0.0242, 0.006, 0.0021, 0.0021, -0.0082, -0.0257, -0.0136, 0.0165, 0.0097, 0.0179, 0.0448, 0.0404, 0.0346, 0.0247, 0.0296, 0.019, 0.0302, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0056, 0.0136, 0.0, -0.0072, 0.0107, 0.013, 0.0232, 0.035, 0.0417, 0.0441, 0.0441, 0.0384, 0.015, 0.0368, 0.0449, 0.0679, 0.0778, 0.0737, 0.0453, 0.0432, 0.0538, 0.0599, 0.0724, 0.0819, 0.0993, 0.1051, 0.1055, 0.0984, 0.1018, 0.1227, 0.1174, 0.1028, 0.114, 0.1155, 0.1168, 0.1223, 0.1364, 0.1363, 0.1537, 0.1489, 0.125, 0.1152, 0.1286, 0.1398, 0.1326, 0.1238, 0.121, 0.1133, 0.1241, 0.1317, 0.1348, 0.1404, 0.1412, 0.1645, 0.1645, 0.1707, 0.1712, 0.17, 0.1813, 0.1658, 0.1933, 0.1843, 0.1982, 0.1808, 0.1908, 0.1797, 0.1687, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.1691, 0.1624, 0.1914, 0.1926, 0.1686, 0.1453, 0.1445, 0.1086, 0.1018, 0.1084, 0.1453, 0.1467, 0.132, 0.1333, 0.1583, 0.166, 0.1782, 0.1889, 0.1868, 0.1669, 0.148, 0.1319, 0.1298, 0.121, 0.0941, 0.0977, 0.1014, 0.0988, 0.132, 0.1206, 0.108, 0.0834, 0.0698, 0.0666, 0.0784, 0.0861, 0.0958, 0.0937, 0.0724, 0.0949, 0.0965, 0.094, 0.0935, 0.0935, 0.098, 0.0941, 0.0944, 0.0862, 0.0935, 0.0992, 0.0941, 0.075, 0.059, 0.0517, 0.0631, 0.0644, 0.0498, 0.0644, 0.0957, 0.0899]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940426404287463533", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-02T15:04:40+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why do we remain cautious on oil in the short-term?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cautious/bearish on oil near-term: inventory builds running far above historical norms, rising OPEC+ exports, flat demand, and net length near highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why do we remain cautious on oil in the short-term?\n🛢️Global oil inventories have grown by 272MM Bbls YTD vs. 33MM Bbls last year and 64MM Bbls  5 year average – Source: Kpler\n🛢️Total global oil stocks YTD have risen by 199MM Bbls (9.77BN Bbls to 9.97BN Bbls) vs. 45MM Bbls last year and 5 year average of 127MM Bbls – Source: OilX\n🛢️Global oil demand has averaged 104.7MM Bbl/d YTD (January-June) vs. 2024 demand of 104.2MM Bbl/d      (+0.55MM Bbl/d YOY), with demand being flat/down YOY for the past 4 months – Source: OilX\n🛢️OPEC+ exports are rising in line with announced intentions, with Saudi exports up 253,000Bbl/d June vs. May. We expect the OPEC+ voluntary (V8) deal to be completely unwound by October.\n🛢️Energy Aspects is forecasting 2026 stock builds of 1.9MM Bbl/d. This would take days of supply to 51 by Q4/26 vs. 2017-2023 avg. of 47 days. If this actually came      to pass, regression of days of supply: price would suggest an average Brent 2026 price of $57 with a Q4/26 price of $51. I think OPEC acts ahead of this, so NOT our base case.\n🛢️Net length is ~ back to the normalized highs of the past 2 years\n🛢️US shale must act as the balancing mechanism. With the current strip >$60, we struggle to see how this happens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02893937176004646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02893937176004646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02442655309908648, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02442655309908648, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004485567296425685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004485567296425685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012367052458112537, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012367052458112537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881485161686852, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007881485161686852, "ret_p1w": 0.01562728724521123, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01562728724521123, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009809006148067123, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009809006148067123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "ret_p1m": 0.049486299214893226, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.049486299214893226, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030741866577161714, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030741866577161714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "ret_p3m": -0.016495433071631038, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.016495433071631038, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08913624796431951, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08913624796431951, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "ret_p6m": -0.12255825706698742, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12255825706698742, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24153520070948264, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24153520070948264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11897694364249523, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11897694364249523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.049486299214893226, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030741866577161714, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030741866577161714, "price_path": [0.0149, -0.0511, -0.0709, -0.091, -0.0525, -0.0836, -0.0629, -0.0612, -0.0642, -0.0472, -0.0166, -0.0412, -0.0242, -0.0433, -0.037, -0.0324, -0.047, -0.0703, -0.0867, -0.101, -0.1132, -0.1285, -0.1007, -0.1156, -0.0907, -0.0752, -0.06, -0.0359, -0.0437, -0.0663, -0.0535, -0.0517, -0.054, -0.0608, -0.0676, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0726, -0.0609, -0.0718, -0.0754, -0.0648, -0.0504, -0.0615, -0.0546, -0.0382, -0.03, -0.0324, 0.0095, 0.0036, 0.0741, 0.0596, 0.1062, 0.1098, 0.1098, 0.1143, 0.0343, -0.0285, -0.0207, -0.02, -0.0194, -0.0217, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0119, 0.0068, 0.015, 0.0156, -0.0068, 0.0181, 0.0014, -0.0058, -0.0085, 0.0059, 0.0025, 0.0014, -0.0075, -0.0087, 0.001, -0.0097, 0.0135, 0.0492, 0.0598, 0.0495, 0.0081, -0.0051, -0.0213, -0.0321, -0.0388, -0.0365, -0.0359, -0.0433, -0.0504, -0.0328, -0.0472, -0.0363, -0.048, -0.0328, -0.0208, -0.02, -0.0045, -0.0273, -0.0153, -0.0071, -0.0143, -0.0143, 0.0004, -0.0218, -0.0307, -0.0522, -0.0447, -0.0394, -0.0234, -0.0396, -0.0307, -0.0242, -0.0093, -0.0168, -0.0242, -0.0352, -0.0368, -0.0214, 0.0029, 0.0045, 0.0148, -0.0165, -0.0302, -0.0544, -0.0723, -0.0663, -0.0527, -0.053, -0.0414, -0.0563, -0.0923, -0.0838, -0.0972, -0.1042, -0.1165, -0.1132, -0.1172, -0.1127, -0.0943, -0.0451, -0.0459, -0.0505, -0.0682, -0.0606, -0.0595, -0.0585, -0.0611, -0.0676, -0.0809, -0.0829, -0.0793, -0.0731, -0.0572, -0.0926, -0.0883, -0.0683, -0.071, -0.0611, -0.081, -0.0829, -0.0948, -0.0831, -0.0959, -0.0865, -0.0865, -0.0855, -0.0859, -0.0964, -0.0932, -0.0846, -0.0776, -0.0958, -0.1037, -0.0998, -0.1133, -0.1156, -0.1237, -0.1474, -0.1364, -0.1344, -0.125, -0.1019, -0.0974, -0.0994, -0.1226]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1763600824217837925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-01T16:22:57+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "time to be contrarian??? ... we do not need an oil price higher than spot ($80WTI) in order for Canadian oil companies, many with decades worth of low-decline inventory, to do very well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian long on Canadian oil producers: low-decline inventory means they thrive at current $80 WTI; sentiment trough = opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PSA: we do not need an oil price higher than spot ($80WTI) in order for Canadian oil companies, many with decades worth of low-decline inventory,  to do very well. Sentiment still stinks...time to be contrarian??? https://t.co/N0KykIXEWc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020313335205500715, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020313335205500715, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011012378952713009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011012378952713009, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009300956252787707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009300956252787707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011607697086273405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011607697086273405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010535241195913425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010535241195913425, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0010724558903599801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0010724558903599801, "ret_p1w": -0.008705697983884098, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008705697983884098, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006502394220536112, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006502394220536112, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0022033037633479857, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0022033037633479857, "ret_p1m": 0.08222057408170458, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08222057408170458, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.060903709529398276, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060903709529398276, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021316864552306303, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021316864552306303, "ret_p3m": 0.10730709796677473, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10730709796677473, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07828371457632843, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07828371457632843, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0290233833904463, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0290233833904463, "ret_p6m": 0.10355897180536311, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10355897180536311, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.003145244736827202, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.003145244736827202, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10041372706853591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10041372706853591, "ret_p1y": 0.057855898228167835, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.057855898228167835, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15261956231184493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15261956231184493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21047546054001276, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21047546054001276, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08222057408170458, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.060903709529398276, "alpha_c_stated": 0.060903709529398276, "price_path": [-0.0761, -0.1136, -0.1182, -0.1055, -0.1165, -0.1361, -0.1147, -0.0998, -0.1211, -0.1084, -0.0952, -0.105, -0.0986, -0.0969, -0.0969, -0.0969, -0.0911, -0.1021, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.0946, -0.0644, -0.0766, -0.0708, -0.0876, -0.0894, -0.0975, -0.0905, -0.0859, -0.0795, -0.1062, -0.1196, -0.1242, -0.1254, -0.1242, -0.119, -0.105, -0.0917, -0.0876, -0.0969, -0.0824, -0.0934, -0.1056, -0.1254, -0.1306, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.1143, -0.1143, -0.1039, -0.1184, -0.1184, -0.0807, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.0824, -0.0563, -0.0482, -0.0499, -0.0453, -0.0412, -0.0389, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0023, -0.0087, -0.0064, -0.0035, 0.0145, 0.0273, 0.0261, 0.0348, 0.04, 0.0383, 0.0412, 0.0408, 0.0612, 0.0531, 0.0606, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0822, 0.0945, 0.1108, 0.1172, 0.1312, 0.1283, 0.1324, 0.154, 0.1312, 0.1196, 0.1003, 0.1073, 0.1056, 0.1003, 0.1067, 0.1108, 0.1155, 0.1184, 0.1266, 0.1289, 0.1359, 0.1026, 0.084, 0.0863, 0.0851, 0.1044, 0.1091, 0.1143, 0.1236, 0.1096, 0.1079, 0.0974, 0.0991, 0.0997, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.1207, 0.1073, 0.1015, 0.1091, 0.1126, 0.1283, 0.1073, 0.112, 0.1266, 0.0764, 0.0571, 0.0606, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0764, 0.0729, 0.0653, 0.032, 0.0268, 0.028, 0.0449, 0.0431, 0.0478, 0.0344, 0.0694, 0.0635, 0.06, 0.0735, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0877, 0.0947, 0.0965, 0.0712, 0.0723, 0.0552, 0.0688, 0.0829, 0.0806, 0.0988, 0.0853, 0.0829, 0.0829, 0.0729, 0.0812, 0.0664, 0.06, 0.067, 0.0717, 0.0611, 0.0647, 0.0977, 0.0647, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0146, 0.0276, 0.0482, 0.0529, 0.0853, 0.0888, 0.0988, 0.1177, 0.1053, 0.1, 0.0753, 0.0735, 0.0759, 0.0877, 0.1036]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1707395300791374128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-28T14:02:16+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands heavy oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian oilsands/heavy oil equities on WCS >C$100/bbl, CAD cost structures, low decline rates, long inventory, strong balance sheets, and 75-100% FCF return commitment.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In Canadian $, the price of Canadian heavy oil (WCS) is already trading over $100/bbl. Combine this with cost structures in CAD, low corporate decline rates, multi-decade long inventory lives, the strongest balance sheets in their history, and a commitment to soon return 75%-100% of FCF back to investors, and you can understand why \"we remain bullish\" on Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0010923583426405425, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0010923583426405425, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006856296529711869, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00217630809762126, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005763938187071327, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010839497549807176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015901299724536855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015901299724536855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018328178529599393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03606402140033754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002426878805062538, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020162721675800688, "ret_p1w": -0.06865263309115921, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06865263309115921, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05927148388017589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007553341769102828, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00938114921098332, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07620597486026204, "ret_p1m": -0.007101516436828131, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007101516436828131, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03453006086320362, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07550030036345987, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04163157730003175, "bench_c_p1m": -0.082601816800288, "ret_p3m": -0.11202825584957862, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11202825584957862, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22651175041399016, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05005791515555644, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11448349456441154, "bench_c_p3m": -0.061970340694022186, "ret_p6m": 0.047735194257675334, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.047735194257675334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17729336093131634, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02831634207432418, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22502855518899167, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019418852183351154, "ret_p1y": -0.034841861595892365, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.034841861595892365, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.361983155448294, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0023898384070149548, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32714129385240165, "bench_c_p1y": -0.03723170000290732, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007101516436828131, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03453006086320362, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07550030036345987, "price_path": [-0.2378, -0.2298, -0.2313, -0.2445, -0.2199, -0.2134, -0.1868, -0.186, -0.1725, -0.192, -0.2101, -0.1855, -0.1882, -0.186, -0.1713, -0.1521, -0.1488, -0.1518, -0.1591, -0.1247, -0.1245, -0.1198, -0.1191, -0.0994, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0861, -0.0785, -0.084, -0.07, -0.0789, -0.1007, -0.1006, -0.0927, -0.0848, -0.0839, -0.0886, -0.0997, -0.1155, -0.1003, -0.0865, -0.0749, -0.0642, -0.0592, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0256, -0.0209, -0.0264, -0.0275, -0.0503, -0.0248, -0.0311, -0.0086, -0.0123, -0.0218, -0.0387, -0.051, -0.0694, -0.0669, -0.0437, -0.03, 0.0011, 0.0, 0.0159, -0.0229, -0.0213, -0.0694, -0.0687, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0175, -0.0154, -0.0095, 0.0241, 0.0208, 0.0237, 0.0289, 0.0406, 0.024, 0.0002, -0.0154, -0.0008, -0.0035, -0.0071, -0.0163, -0.0134, -0.0012, 0.0219, 0.0008, -0.0138, -0.0581, -0.0888, -0.0738, -0.0449, -0.046, -0.0421, -0.0607, -0.0843, -0.0534, -0.0478, -0.0599, -0.0832, -0.0749, -0.0748, -0.0924, -0.0855, -0.0765, -0.0745, -0.08, -0.1119, -0.1339, -0.176, -0.1617, -0.1444, -0.1563, -0.1712, -0.1461, -0.1209, -0.1467, -0.1371, -0.1161, -0.1202, -0.1099, -0.112, -0.112, -0.112, -0.1055, -0.1197, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1126, -0.0845, -0.1017, -0.0913, -0.1164, -0.1175, -0.1227, -0.1207, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1229, -0.1328, -0.1402, -0.1469, -0.1394, -0.1336, -0.1223, -0.1063, -0.1065, -0.1162, -0.099, -0.1155, -0.1289, -0.152, -0.157, -0.15, -0.1502, -0.1338, -0.1307, -0.119, -0.1292, -0.13, -0.0862, -0.0802, -0.0802, -0.0822, -0.0597, -0.0503, -0.0526, -0.0463, -0.0431, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0174, -0.0284, -0.0247, -0.0068, -0.0072, -0.014, -0.0129, -0.0169, 0.004, 0.0234, 0.0228, 0.0303, 0.0387, 0.0384, 0.0443, 0.0477]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1829562250681536732", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-30T16:50:06+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on energy stocks and believe in avg. $80WTI in 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks and forecasts avg $80 WTI in 2025 on OPEC+ discipline and below-average global inventories.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Will OPEC+ return curtailed production back onto the market and what does it mean for the oil price? \n🧵THREAD\n\n---\n\nGlobal oil inventories are now at their lowest level as far back as Kpler satellite data exists (2017). This is in spite of disappointing Chinese demand and the absorption of 215MM net bbls from the SPR, and involved herculean efforts and leadership on the part of HRH. https://t.co/IIXSzE9TDP\n\n---\n\nAssuming the full return of curtailed volumes as outlined by OPEC+, \"days of supply\" would remain below average levels but global inventories would rise and exceed \"normal\" historical levels. This suggests OPEC+ would be \"pushing\" barrels onto the market vs. having them \"pulled.\" https://t.co/2rqEGLcbka\n\n---\n\nThis \"forecast\" ignores the impact of compensation cuts (despite recent success) which would more than offset all of the scheduled increase in production through 2024. \"Speak softly and carry a big stick\" seems to now be working, yet the market remains deeply skeptical. https://t.co/Nok3cJgaGE\n\n---\n\nThe market is split and so am I. In the face of uncertain global demand conditions, returning barrels would go against the doctrine of \"preemptive, proactive, and precautionary.\" Yet, the outlined plan remains highly flexible and market dependent, and helps promote \"family unity\"\n\n---\n\nMy guess then? We see OPEC+ cautiously follow through in October, the cheaters feet are continued to be held to the fire, and if inventories begin to seasonally build more than normal in Q1/25 we see a pause. We remain bullish on energy stocks and believe in avg. $80WTI in 2025. https://t.co/cYvF4XkL3E", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00372483230078402, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00372483230078402, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005731110208889834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005731110208889834, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009455942509673854, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009455942509673854, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.057734370311088856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.057734370311088856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01636333659080136, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01636333659080136, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0413710337202875, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0413710337202875, "ret_p1m": -0.03018104152286416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03018104152286416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05118557441396432, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05118557441396432, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02100453289110016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02100453289110016, "ret_p3m": 0.05067398338993501, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05067398338993501, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014942600357991997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014942600357991997, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.065616583747927, "bench_c_p3m": 0.065616583747927, "ret_p6m": -0.0015503045496784162, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0015503045496784162, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06255793307372481, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06255793307372481, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0610076285240464, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0610076285240464, "ret_p1y": -0.022469737063433803, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.022469737063433803, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16401423678703797, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16401423678703797, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14154449972360417, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14154449972360417, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05067398338993501, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014942600357991997, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014942600357991997, "price_path": [-0.0231, -0.0232, -0.0181, -0.022, -0.0146, -0.0166, -0.0271, -0.036, -0.0432, -0.0407, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0189, -0.0246, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.0076, -0.0053, -0.0014, -0.0009, -0.0016, 0.0027, 0.0027, -0.0129, -0.019, -0.0276, -0.021, -0.0108, -0.0083, 0.0067, 0.0112, 0.0213, 0.0231, 0.0119, 0.0056, -0.0104, -0.0103, 0.0068, 0.01, 0.0013, 0.0169, 0.0211, -0.0059, -0.0316, -0.0529, -0.0471, -0.0433, -0.0227, -0.0205, -0.0157, -0.0252, -0.0195, -0.0078, -0.0089, -0.0022, -0.0285, -0.0268, -0.0243, -0.0098, -0.0009, -0.0102, -0.0165, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.0383, -0.0458, -0.0577, -0.0509, -0.0673, -0.0759, -0.0676, -0.0623, -0.0516, -0.0388, -0.0369, -0.0254, -0.0276, -0.0156, -0.018, -0.0373, -0.0561, -0.0369, -0.0302, -0.0081, 0.0021, 0.0197, 0.0292, 0.0329, 0.0059, 0.012, 0.0189, 0.0252, 0.0247, -0.0083, -0.0036, 0.0012, -0.0021, -0.0051, -0.0028, -0.008, -0.0081, -0.0084, -0.0147, -0.0297, -0.0275, -0.0215, -0.0276, -0.0106, -0.004, 0.0334, 0.0287, 0.0355, 0.0414, 0.0359, 0.0439, 0.0479, 0.0464, 0.0603, 0.0535, 0.0641, 0.0728, 0.0744, 0.0532, 0.0518, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0552, 0.044, 0.0439, 0.0188, 0.0227, 0.0054, 0.0037, -0.0031, -0.0015, -0.0095, -0.0145, -0.0361, -0.0433, -0.0716, -0.0797, -0.0706, -0.0652, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.058, -0.0581, -0.0582, -0.0459, -0.0347, -0.0257, -0.0302, -0.0205, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0155, 0.0052, 0.016, 0.0311, 0.0385, 0.0466, 0.0466, 0.0412, 0.0223, 0.027, 0.0171, 0.0065, -0.0031, -0.0009, 0.0042, -0.0238, -0.0177, 0.0029, 0.005, -0.0135, -0.0136, 0.0081, 0.0163, -0.0082, -0.0008, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0169, 0.025, 0.0343, 0.0128, 0.013, -0.0016]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1896636593655738740", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-03T18:59:36+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Brent \"fair value\" staying > $80 to end of 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Brent fair value above $80 through end of 2026; inventories below average support price despite OPEC+ output rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OPEC+ to begin gradual return of voluntary barrels to the market in April...with emphasis on \"gradual\" and \"adaptable\". Was not the consensus outcome. Despite this output rise we see inventories remaining below average with Brent \"fair value\" staying &gt; $80 to end of 2026: https://t.co/VjgHyZ5r3l", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021781590320704147, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021781590320704147, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003949296279945447, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003949296279945447, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0178322940407587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0178322940407587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008098321820887766, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008098321820887766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0037385716317970275, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0037385716317970275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011836893452684794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011836893452684794, "ret_p1w": -0.03267249200708566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03267249200708566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007051929372532184, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007051929372532184, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03972442137961785, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03972442137961785, "ret_p1m": 0.040072535704062995, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.040072535704062995, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07623830503531326, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07623830503531326, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.036165769331250264, "bench_c_p1m": -0.036165769331250264, "ret_p3m": -0.10779113270938201, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10779113270938201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12045537298702269, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12045537298702269, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.012664240277640681, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012664240277640681, "ret_p6m": -0.04984640544424712, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04984640544424712, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1641423539798803, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1641423539798803, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11429594853563319, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11429594853563319, "ret_p1y": -0.001815203544078381, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.001815203544078381, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18447863874961623, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18447863874961623, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18266343520553785, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18266343520553785, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.001815203544078381, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18447863874961623, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18447863874961623, "price_path": [0.0279, 0.0096, 0.0066, -0.007, 0.0073, 0.008, 0.0265, 0.025, 0.0401, 0.032, 0.0219, 0.0247, 0.0176, 0.0184, 0.0141, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0229, 0.0356, 0.0387, 0.0422, 0.0602, 0.0683, 0.0653, 0.0758, 0.0634, 0.074, 0.1137, 0.1311, 0.1159, 0.1454, 0.135, 0.128, 0.128, 0.1071, 0.103, 0.0931, 0.0961, 0.0762, 0.082, 0.0693, 0.0733, 0.0718, 0.0606, 0.0639, 0.0417, 0.0373, 0.0424, 0.0593, 0.0751, 0.0497, 0.0475, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0589, 0.0617, 0.0679, 0.0392, 0.0441, 0.0195, 0.0127, 0.0338, 0.0218, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0324, -0.0302, -0.0176, -0.0327, -0.0288, -0.0094, -0.0243, -0.0145, -0.0077, -0.0148, -0.0117, 0.0053, 0.0075, 0.0193, 0.0195, 0.0303, 0.0336, 0.0281, 0.0436, 0.0401, 0.0465, -0.0207, -0.0843, -0.1035, -0.1229, -0.0857, -0.1157, -0.0958, -0.0941, -0.097, -0.0806, -0.0511, -0.0748, -0.0584, -0.0768, -0.0708, -0.0663, -0.0804, -0.1029, -0.1187, -0.1325, -0.1442, -0.159, -0.1322, -0.1466, -0.1226, -0.1077, -0.093, -0.0697, -0.0772, -0.099, -0.0867, -0.0849, -0.0871, -0.0937, -0.1003, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.1051, -0.0938, -0.1043, -0.1078, -0.0976, -0.0836, -0.0944, -0.0877, -0.0719, -0.0639, -0.0663, -0.0258, -0.0316, 0.0364, 0.0225, 0.0674, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.0753, -0.002, -0.0626, -0.055, -0.0543, -0.0538, -0.056, -0.063, -0.035, -0.0394, -0.0465, -0.0285, -0.0205, -0.02, -0.0416, -0.0176, -0.0336, -0.0406, -0.0433, -0.0293, -0.0327, -0.0336, -0.0423, -0.0434, -0.0341, -0.0444, -0.0221, 0.0124, 0.0226, 0.0127, -0.0272, -0.0399, -0.0556, -0.066, -0.0725, -0.0702, -0.0697, -0.0768, -0.0836, -0.0667, -0.0806, -0.0701, -0.0814, -0.0667, -0.0552, -0.0543, -0.0394, -0.0614, -0.0498]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044411729564598391", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T13:45:14+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "global oil inventories will still go to record lows…we will still lose over 1BN barrels of production…expect a higher floor with an embedded political risk premium. The market may think the crisis is over...it's not.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Structural bull case for oil: record-low inventories, 1BN bbl production loss, product shortages, SPR restocking, peaking non-OPEC, thin OPEC spare — higher floor ahead even if Strait reopens.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's just go there...the Strait \"opens\" today. What does it mean???\n🛢️global oil inventories will still go to record lows\n🛢️we will still lose over 1BN barrels of production\n🛢️refined product shortages/outages will persist for several quarters\n🛢️SPR restocking will = ~0.3MM Bbl/d of new demand for the next 4 years (33% boost per year)\nMeanwhile, US shale will still be in its twilight, non-OPEC production will still be peaking, and OPEC spare capacity (adjusted) will still only be ~1.5MM Bbl/d, and whose value is less today than before given the potential for another disruption down the road. We are not going back to the old normal...expect a higher floor with an embedded political risk premium. The market may think the crisis is over...it's not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0014747644495772816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014747644495772816, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006354450125437339, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006354450125437339, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046981976931790737, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046981976931790737, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04452466530918642, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04452466530918642, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.07352789776145219, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07352789776145219, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05742648979514087, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05742648979514087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.11366270810955692, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11366270810955692, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04475683003354636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04475683003354636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3244, -0.3244, -0.3161, -0.3128, -0.3252, -0.306, -0.3091, -0.2882, -0.2795, -0.2551, -0.2553, -0.3016, -0.2907, -0.2683, -0.2884, -0.2832, -0.2727, -0.2753, -0.2689, -0.2887, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2898, -0.2589, -0.2451, -0.2441, -0.2469, -0.2545, -0.2537, -0.2547, -0.2365, -0.1811, -0.1425, -0.1425, -0.1003, -0.0236, 0.0425, -0.0751, -0.0311, 0.0583, 0.0865, 0.0556, 0.0894, 0.1311, 0.1445, 0.1818, 0.0528, 0.1007, 0.0768, 0.1378, 0.1858, 0.188, 0.2467, 0.0656, 0.1485, 0.1485, 0.1563, 0.1511, -0.0019, 0.0104, 0.0028, 0.0467, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.047, -0.0479, 0.0058, 0.0374, 0.0735, 0.1068, 0.1096, 0.1401, 0.172, 0.2433, 0.201, 0.1395, 0.2055, 0.1574, 0.0668, 0.054, 0.067, 0.0978, 0.1353, 0.1127, 0.1137, 0.151, 0.1809, 0.1722, 0.1063, 0.0806, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.049, -0.0067, -0.0129, -0.0303, 0.0005, 0.0113, 0.0303, 0.0011, -0.0194, -0.0072, -0.0367, -0.0193, -0.0479, -0.0801, -0.1239, -0.1682, -0.162, -0.1774, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1708825292163170650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-02T12:44:32+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe that oil will trade between $85-$105ish Brent for the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Brent oil $85-$105 over next year, driving record FCF and buybacks for Canadian oilsands/heavy oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe that oil will trade between $85-$105ish Brent for the next year, leading to record free cashflow (and share buybacks) for Canadian oilsand/heavy oil companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Is \"Vision 2030\" behind Saudi Arabia's voluntary oil production cuts? \n@ericnuttall decodes along with his outlook for oil prices.\n\n$WTI | $BRENT | @TanvirGill2 | @WillKoulouris https://t.co/bKIeHajjUY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05071104090561618, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05071104090561618, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050313090823778994, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050313090823778994, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00039795008183718394, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00039795008183718394, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023150599337686817, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023150599337686817, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015701021999643183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015701021999643183, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013385962065874502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013385962065874502, "ret_p1w": -0.028221779125030988, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028221779125030988, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039876168357493524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039876168357493524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011654389232462536, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011654389232462536, "ret_p1m": -0.03637962138319717, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03637962138319717, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015060372285013557, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015060372285013557, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021319249098183612, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021319249098183612, "ret_p3m": -0.13581743820051595, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13581743820051595, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2559005884738643, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2559005884738643, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12008315027334837, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12008315027334837, "ret_p6m": -0.04916766761643698, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04916766761643698, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2720083665998039, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2720083665998039, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2228406989833669, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2228406989833669, "ret_p1y": -0.1880718523953111, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1880718523953111, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5155664232244574, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5155664232244574, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32749457082914635, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32749457082914635, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03637962138319717, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015060372285013557, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015060372285013557, "price_path": [-0.155, -0.1564, -0.1349, -0.1435, -0.1247, -0.1169, -0.1031, -0.1195, -0.1346, -0.1221, -0.124, -0.122, -0.1063, -0.0879, -0.0779, -0.0859, -0.0713, -0.0631, -0.0568, -0.0639, -0.0828, -0.0614, -0.0493, -0.0592, -0.05, -0.0348, -0.0475, -0.043, -0.0496, -0.0642, -0.08, -0.0726, -0.0652, -0.0689, -0.0736, -0.0827, -0.081, -0.0687, -0.0693, -0.0575, -0.0535, -0.0424, -0.0238, -0.0238, -0.0074, -0.0012, -0.0087, -0.0007, -0.0008, 0.0149, 0.0129, 0.033, 0.0355, 0.041, 0.04, 0.0311, 0.0286, 0.0282, 0.0284, 0.0358, 0.0644, 0.0515, 0.0507, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.054, -0.0732, -0.0676, -0.0282, -0.0337, -0.0539, -0.0519, 0.002, -0.0117, -0.0089, 0.0087, 0.0184, 0.016, -0.0097, -0.0291, -0.0064, -0.0306, -0.0025, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.067, -0.0426, -0.0642, -0.061, -0.1003, -0.1231, -0.118, -0.1023, -0.0903, -0.0908, -0.1051, -0.1465, -0.1113, -0.0925, -0.0911, -0.0965, -0.103, -0.1117, -0.1183, -0.0995, -0.0839, -0.0869, -0.1304, -0.1398, -0.1489, -0.1809, -0.1837, -0.1639, -0.1618, -0.1926, -0.1813, -0.1554, -0.1561, -0.1407, -0.1266, -0.1214, -0.1248, -0.1283, -0.1283, -0.1063, -0.1219, -0.1358, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1634, -0.1374, -0.1446, -0.1317, -0.1608, -0.1446, -0.1533, -0.1466, -0.1369, -0.1369, -0.1369, -0.1414, -0.128, -0.1339, -0.1174, -0.123, -0.1176, -0.0913, -0.0789, -0.0916, -0.0864, -0.0992, -0.1324, -0.1475, -0.1402, -0.1336, -0.1268, -0.1001, -0.0939, -0.096, -0.0875, -0.1004, -0.0865, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0923, -0.0847, -0.0776, -0.1002, -0.0902, -0.0778, -0.0775, -0.0782, -0.0789, -0.0872, -0.0956, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0951, -0.0937, -0.0969, -0.0736, -0.0583, -0.0592, -0.0421, -0.0367, -0.0525, -0.0543, -0.0582, -0.0437, -0.0492]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1708825292163170650", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-02T12:44:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oilsands/heavy oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "leading to record free cashflow (and share buybacks) for Canadian oilsand/heavy oil companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Brent oil $85-$105 over next year, driving record FCF and buybacks for Canadian oilsands/heavy oil equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil companies: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe that oil will trade between $85-$105ish Brent for the next year, leading to record free cashflow (and share buybacks) for Canadian oilsand/heavy oil companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Is \"Vision 2030\" behind Saudi Arabia's voluntary oil production cuts? \n@ericnuttall decodes along with his outlook for oil prices.\n\n$WTI | $BRENT | @TanvirGill2 | @WillKoulouris https://t.co/bKIeHajjUY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030915971889181087, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030915971889181087, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030518021807343903, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010597673179953453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00039795008183718394, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020318298709227633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00041330702102097366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00041330702102097366, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013799269086895475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010904528313412747, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013385962065874502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000677145810320301, "ret_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04055535856100505, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028900969328542508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011654389232462536, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.009225510201568735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009225510201568735, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012093738896614878, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02915334274127309, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021319249098183612, "bench_c_p1m": -0.038378852942841823, "ret_p3m": -0.06039456700275525, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06039456700275525, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18047771727610362, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0180321681331318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12008315027334837, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04236239886962345, "ret_p6m": 0.15071310558045545, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15071310558045545, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07212759340291144, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08756960916090936, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2228406989833669, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06314349641954609, "ret_p1y": 0.07145195236229711, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07145195236229711, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2560426184668492, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.053389529366959884, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32749457082914635, "bench_c_p1y": 0.018062422995337224, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009225510201568735, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012093738896614878, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02915334274127309, "price_path": [-0.2073, -0.2174, -0.1966, -0.1948, -0.1645, -0.1635, -0.1478, -0.166, -0.1859, -0.1653, -0.1689, -0.1659, -0.1513, -0.1304, -0.1246, -0.1304, -0.1393, -0.1186, -0.1183, -0.1114, -0.1099, -0.089, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0744, -0.0727, -0.073, -0.0603, -0.0648, -0.0858, -0.084, -0.0754, -0.071, -0.0678, -0.0718, -0.0811, -0.1, -0.0817, -0.0693, -0.0557, -0.0452, -0.0402, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0088, -0.0052, -0.0039, -0.0106, -0.0369, -0.0162, -0.0208, 0.0013, -0.0008, -0.0118, -0.0231, -0.0347, -0.0521, -0.0488, -0.0289, -0.0109, 0.0196, 0.0194, 0.0309, 0.0, 0.0004, -0.0422, -0.0446, -0.0289, -0.0289, 0.0053, 0.0077, 0.0157, 0.0455, 0.0427, 0.0432, 0.0463, 0.0464, 0.03, 0.0078, -0.0094, 0.0074, 0.0037, -0.0024, -0.0119, -0.0092, 0.0036, 0.0254, 0.0065, -0.0029, -0.0409, -0.0707, -0.0556, -0.0282, -0.0227, -0.0174, -0.035, -0.0593, -0.0285, -0.0214, -0.0321, -0.0566, -0.0478, -0.0472, -0.0674, -0.0586, -0.0487, -0.0471, -0.0491, -0.0799, -0.098, -0.135, -0.1135, -0.0965, -0.106, -0.1189, -0.0919, -0.0686, -0.099, -0.0871, -0.0658, -0.0675, -0.0566, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0447, -0.0604, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0536, -0.0232, -0.0403, -0.0281, -0.0537, -0.0525, -0.0567, -0.0535, -0.0511, -0.0276, -0.053, -0.0631, -0.0701, -0.0785, -0.0719, -0.0681, -0.0557, -0.0408, -0.0426, -0.0505, -0.0348, -0.05, -0.0606, -0.0872, -0.0922, -0.085, -0.0865, -0.0697, -0.0656, -0.0578, -0.0677, -0.0658, -0.0203, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0146, 0.0079, 0.0166, 0.0156, 0.0214, 0.021, 0.0244, 0.0525, 0.0763, 0.0698, 0.0772, 0.0936, 0.0931, 0.085, 0.0884, 0.0809, 0.1042, 0.1249, 0.1221, 0.129, 0.1323, 0.1279, 0.1353, 0.1424, 0.1751, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2059279353079271490", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-26T14:23:51+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish™️ on energy stocks as a multi-year investment theme", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish WTI oil to ~$80 floor and energy equities as multi-year theme; consensus $60 seen as wrong given structural supply losses and inventory draws.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's ignore the additional sea mine emplacing yesterday and just go with it...\"the days away\" peace deal is signed and the Strait is going to \"open.\" What is the most bearish scenario for oil???\n🛢️the most optimistic scenario floated is the Strait will gradually begin to open in 30 days. That takes us to ~July 1st. By then, we will have forfeited ~1.4BN barrels of production\n🛢️Sultan Al-Jaber of UAE last week said it would take at least 4 months to return to 80% of normal supply. This suggests ~585MM barrels of additional forfeiture amounting to a staggering 2BN barrels of cumulative losses, and that is now the likely best-case scenario\n🛢️We need to assume no damage to productive capacity from fields forcibly shut-in while the workers were dodging drones and cruise missiles. Iraq most at risk. Large oilfield service co. speculating >5% of total shut-ins at risk = ~700,000bbl/d potential losses. Assume zero.\n🛢️We need to assume that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are okay paying an \"environmental tax\" for SofH access to the IRGC who for the past 88 days have been directly attacking them, otherwise we cannot go back to pre-war levels and workarounds are not enough to offset this loss of flow.\n\n---\n\nHow do balances then look under the most optimistic scenario? There were ~800MM Bbls of excess inventories coming into the war before the global refinery system got pushed into operational stress, and as of April 23rd according to JP Morgan 280MM Bbls had been consumed. With pre-war SofH flows of ~22MM Bbl/d, workarounds of 6MM Bbl/d, refinery run cuts of 6MM Bbl/d, we are still drawing ~6-8MM Bbl/d from global inventories, visible or otherwise, every day. Early July continues to triangulate for when things begin to break. That is when we go from pricing deficits to pricing shortages (h/t Jeff Currie).\n\nSo, under the most optimistic scenario, we still reach tank bottoms in certain geographies = shortages, US inventories still get pulled down to historic levels before price reduces exports or we get a US refined products export ban, SPR restocking + inventory refilling = >0.45MM Bbl/d of new demand for the next 3 years, a political risk premium likely remains in the oil price, some element of loss of OPEC productive capacity remains, and a 2027 WTI strip of $74 appears too low to incentivize meaningful short-cycle growth.\n\nThis to us is the most optimistic \"day after.\" While consensus is that we just go back to normal and oil falls to $60, we believe the likely new floor price is ~$80WTI. Given energy stocks are discounting $65-$70WTI, \"we remain bullish\"™️ on energy stocks as a multi-year investment theme.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02834923504932063, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02834923504932063, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0349440631577741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0349440631577741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0065948281084534655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0065948281084534655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014865977845081702, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014865977845081702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014692774261019781, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014692774261019781, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732035840619206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001732035840619206, "ret_p1w": 0.001901479917942872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001901479917942872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01006241534772001, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01006241534772001, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011963895265662883, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011963895265662883, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0546, -0.0396, -0.0204, -0.0293, -0.035, -0.03, -0.0285, -0.0328, -0.0451, -0.0214, -0.0123, -0.0091, -0.0056, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0194, 0.0186, 0.0308, 0.0517, 0.047, 0.0634, 0.0814, 0.071, 0.0589, 0.0194, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0316, 0.0399, 0.0035, -0.009, -0.0157, -0.0128, -0.0328, -0.0361, -0.022, -0.0489, -0.0481, -0.0342, -0.0226, -0.015, -0.0169, -0.0187, -0.0024, 0.0204, 0.0311, 0.0173, 0.0266, 0.0277, -0.0147, -0.0328, -0.0372, -0.0118, -0.0048, -0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0275, 0.0472, 0.0595, 0.0337, 0.0221, 0.0283, 0.0283, 0.0, -0.0149, -0.0156, -0.027, -0.0095, 0.0019, 0.0149, 0.0156, -0.0031, 0.0083, -0.008, 0.0069, -0.0126, -0.0052, -0.0398, -0.043, -0.055, -0.055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1770098763136209141", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-19T14:43:26+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "first gas exports later this year = significant positive catalyst for Canadian natural gas producers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "First LNG exports from Canada's terminal later this year seen as a significant positive catalyst for Canadian natural gas producers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TOU.TO", "AAV.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian nat gas producers: Tourmaline, Advantage, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While to build our first LNG export terminal it took Canada longer than it took the US to first land a man on the moon, first gas exports later this year = significant positive catalyst for Canadian natural gas producers. https://t.co/lbS1jIrbYo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003964779834010335, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003964779834010335, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015615820395845637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007317500850562042, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005526361873594898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011282280684572377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0027654528746082394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0027654528746082394, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012014789629351727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001355333223547158, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009249336754743487, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014101196510610814, "ret_p1w": -0.007146445186200001, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007146445186200001, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013157674545008158, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011051846645023566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006011229358808157, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0039054014588235653, "ret_p1m": 0.05789844372022953, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05789844372022953, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08729484583255206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03674409023388477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02939640211232253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021154353486344757, "ret_p3m": 0.029881702574877506, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.029881702574877506, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02260927912629988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07479368700374019, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052490981701177386, "bench_c_p3m": -0.044911984428862683, "ret_p6m": -0.049321370948922715, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.049321370948922715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1278511732055477, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.028272708348470323, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07852980225662498, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07759407929739304, "ret_p1y": 0.038279258479654334, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.038279258479654334, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.08929386852647056, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06620936835463878, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1275731270061249, "bench_c_p1y": -0.027930109874984455, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05789844372022953, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08729484583255206, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03674409023388477, "price_path": [-0.1176, -0.1198, -0.1198, -0.1198, -0.1126, -0.1184, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.1192, -0.0938, -0.095, -0.09, -0.1003, -0.0913, -0.0947, -0.0735, -0.0426, -0.032, -0.0905, -0.1026, -0.1174, -0.1207, -0.1349, -0.1058, -0.0831, -0.0712, -0.0773, -0.0921, -0.0945, -0.0984, -0.1003, -0.1218, -0.1371, -0.1367, -0.1132, -0.1023, -0.0955, -0.0814, -0.1034, -0.1087, -0.0713, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0802, -0.0301, -0.0341, -0.0405, -0.0331, -0.0195, -0.0092, -0.0082, 0.0068, 0.016, 0.0215, 0.0173, 0.0044, -0.0115, -0.0245, -0.021, -0.0099, -0.0117, -0.0036, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0028, -0.0098, -0.018, -0.0015, -0.0071, 0.0037, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0282, 0.0189, 0.0316, 0.0415, 0.0461, 0.0592, 0.0695, 0.0919, 0.079, 0.071, 0.0483, 0.0589, 0.0579, 0.0494, 0.0622, 0.0623, 0.0694, 0.0655, 0.0966, 0.0967, 0.1072, 0.0795, 0.0613, 0.0675, 0.0591, 0.0918, 0.0971, 0.0934, 0.0977, 0.081, 0.09, 0.0823, 0.0909, 0.0903, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.1057, 0.1069, 0.1009, 0.1072, 0.1136, 0.122, 0.1055, 0.1162, 0.1247, 0.0989, 0.078, 0.0858, 0.1115, 0.1045, 0.1155, 0.0895, 0.0656, 0.0345, 0.0299, 0.0293, 0.0438, 0.0364, 0.0344, 0.0167, 0.0543, 0.0519, 0.0373, 0.0403, 0.0381, 0.0381, 0.0474, 0.0517, 0.054, 0.0331, 0.0376, 0.0134, 0.0102, 0.019, 0.0146, 0.0177, 0.0113, -0.0025, 0.0069, 0.0027, 0.0136, 0.0175, -0.0085, -0.0134, -0.0079, -0.0293, -0.0319, -0.0016, -0.0229, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0552, -0.0523, -0.0428, -0.044, 0.0117, 0.0237, 0.042, 0.0588, 0.0429, 0.0265, 0.0163, 0.0164, 0.0191, 0.0327, 0.0384, 0.0263, 0.0221, 0.0264, 0.023, 0.023, -0.0188, -0.0269, -0.0325, -0.0447, -0.0552, -0.0619, -0.0493]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000583875752247320", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-15T15:08:59+00:00", "symbol": "oil equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a meaningful rally in oil equities", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish multi-year oil bull market call starting 2026; expects meaningful rally in oil equities as inventory/supply headwinds resolve.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe we are approaching a multi-year oil bull market that will = a meaningful rally in oil equities. For now though, we wait as inventories are⬆️ more than normal and non-OPEC supply growth remains healthy. Market dynamics will change for the better in 2026... https://t.co/HUmpG5roSI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007081202247386509, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007081202247386509, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00556811840035909, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00556811840035909, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130838470274188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130838470274188, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03053776502665706, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03053776502665706, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02780546743137835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02780546743137835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "ret_p1w": -0.013346717040087164, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013346717040087164, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022342442352789593, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022342442352789593, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "ret_p1m": 0.06253252488386596, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06253252488386596, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042619331532129046, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042619331532129046, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019913193351736913, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019913193351736913, "ret_p3m": 0.2921788349542682, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2921788349542682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30646205792024794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30646205792024794, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014283222965979725, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014283222965979725, "ret_p6m": 0.28310018816767335, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28310018816767335, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19315141119569135, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19315141119569135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.089948776971982, "bench_c_p6m": 0.089948776971982, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0127, -0.0158, -0.0289, -0.03, -0.0133, -0.0004, 0.0085, 0.0178, -0.0009, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0215, -0.0163, -0.0114, -0.0098, -0.0156, -0.029, -0.0571, -0.0443, -0.0444, -0.0449, -0.0564, -0.0487, -0.0386, -0.0408, -0.0285, -0.0156, -0.0256, -0.0232, -0.0334, -0.0262, -0.032, -0.0249, -0.0248, -0.0353, -0.0328, -0.0233, -0.0093, -0.0003, 0.0127, -0.0014, 0.0011, 0.0181, -0.0004, 0.0075, -0.0055, -0.0168, -0.0106, -0.0134, -0.0196, -0.0122, -0.0122, 0.0008, 0.0104, -0.0027, 0.016, 0.0204, 0.0162, 0.0051, 0.0113, 0.0219, 0.017, 0.0071, 0.0, -0.0305, -0.0091, -0.0235, -0.0235, -0.0133, -0.0069, -0.0098, -0.0136, -0.0042, 0.0034, -0.0022, 0.0188, 0.0465, 0.0186, 0.0072, 0.0389, 0.0416, 0.0342, 0.0489, 0.0726, 0.0625, 0.0643, 0.0643, 0.0623, 0.088, 0.0915, 0.0978, 0.0985, 0.1085, 0.117, 0.1273, 0.1393, 0.117, 0.1531, 0.179, 0.1652, 0.1884, 0.1971, 0.1958, 0.227, 0.2047, 0.213, 0.213, 0.1996, 0.2225, 0.2315, 0.2248, 0.2308, 0.2297, 0.2246, 0.2286, 0.248, 0.273, 0.2614, 0.254, 0.2605, 0.2625, 0.2569, 0.2408, 0.2716, 0.2835, 0.2877, 0.2922, 0.3058, 0.304, 0.3248, 0.3236, 0.3395, 0.3667, 0.3606, 0.3819, 0.4053, 0.3918, 0.3761, 0.3247, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.3406, 0.3514, 0.304, 0.2878, 0.2791, 0.2829, 0.2568, 0.2526, 0.271, 0.2359, 0.2371, 0.255, 0.2701, 0.28, 0.2775, 0.2752, 0.2964, 0.326, 0.3399, 0.322, 0.3341, 0.3354, 0.2804, 0.2568, 0.2512, 0.2842, 0.2932, 0.2946, 0.3044, 0.3352, 0.3608, 0.3768, 0.3433, 0.3283, 0.3363, 0.3363, 0.2995, 0.2802, 0.2793, 0.2645, 0.2871, 0.302, 0.3188, 0.3197, 0.2955, 0.3103, 0.2892, 0.3085, 0.2831]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012224693898494191", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-16T18:05:27+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "natural gas (now!)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil from 2H 2026 onward and bullish natural gas immediately, based on Canadian E&P meetings.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Takeaways from a day of meeting with Canadian E&amp;P's and why we remain bullish on oil (2H'26+) and natural gas (now!): https://t.co/XqNrJ6DAMm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029041368047201255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0029041368047201255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003742713417148491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003742713417148491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.3523717686550423, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3523717686550423, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.35588508345893244, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.35588508345893244, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": 0.2042594068016459, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2042594068016459, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2185872363694661, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2185872363694661, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": 0.02420135545463853, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02420135545463853, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00946640433001944, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.00946640433001944, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2042594068016459, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2185872363694661, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2185872363694661, "price_path": [0.1491, 0.2517, 0.273, 0.2643, 0.2517, 0.2556, 0.2478, 0.1946, 0.182, 0.241, 0.2827, 0.332, 0.3485, 0.3195, 0.3717, 0.3504, 0.365, 0.4095, 0.4182, 0.4337, 0.4095, 0.3669, 0.3766, 0.423, 0.3959, 0.4182, 0.395, 0.3388, 0.3795, 0.3795, 0.4259, 0.4724, 0.4482, 0.4976, 0.516, 0.5847, 0.4589, 0.365, 0.3804, 0.2662, 0.2323, 0.2062, 0.1713, 0.2236, 0.1646, 0.1801, 0.1471, 0.2488, 0.1994, 0.2401, 0.2633, 0.2701, 0.1868, 0.1675, 0.1258, 0.092, 0.1404, 0.091, 0.0068, 0.0823, 0.0958, -0.0087, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1975, 0.3204, 0.3001, 0.3524, 0.4356, 0.423, 0.4066, 0.4579, 0.636, 0.2294, 0.2565, 0.303, 0.3088, 0.2846, 0.1781, 0.1742, 0.1926, 0.2033, 0.2043, 0.2043, 0.152, 0.1491, 0.1423, 0.1626, 0.1365, 0.1094, 0.1229, 0.1016, 0.1152, 0.1617, 0.1888, 0.1404, 0.1665, 0.2343, 0.1917, 0.1878, 0.2469, 0.2623, 0.2236, 0.182, 0.181, 0.2265, 0.2159, 0.1994, 0.1355, 0.1355, 0.1481, 0.1462, 0.1888, 0.1307, 0.1355, 0.1055, 0.0987, 0.0987, 0.1007, 0.1181, 0.0726, 0.0532, 0.0426, 0.0339, 0.0223, 0.0242, 0.0436, 0.0494, 0.0503, 0.06, 0.06, 0.0184, -0.0019, 0.0155, 0.0, -0.0174, 0.0261, 0.0368, 0.06, 0.03, 0.0116, 0.0339, 0.0232, 0.0862, 0.0561, 0.0629, 0.0803, 0.0968, 0.1171, 0.152, 0.1123, 0.0968, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0561, 0.0823, 0.151, 0.1549, 0.1171, 0.1104, 0.1336, 0.1733, 0.1297, 0.1007, 0.1026, 0.1171, 0.0803, 0.0987, 0.1065, 0.1384, 0.12, 0.12, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1679846570714357760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-14T13:33:27+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on Canadian heavy oil producers for the rest of 2023+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil producers through 2023 and beyond on strong jet fuel demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just finished up a thorough due diligence trip evaluating European jet fuel demand. Happy to report it remains strong! Here is a podcast I recorded recently about why “we remain bullish” on Canadian heavy oil producers for the rest of 2023+. \n\nhttps://t.co/2fMNCS3k9t https://t.co/Ynxkv3ylAK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02408752483288623, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02408752483288623, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023464234564927633, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0030456525295790016, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006232902679585983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027133177362465233, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0223759327145657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0223759327145657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025848158111179215, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020411383667078703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034722253966135153, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019645490474869964, "ret_p1w": 0.0257517307187492, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0257517307187492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01929681208791184, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00923902856015929, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0064549186308373585, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03499075927890849, "ret_p1m": 0.1410612350248217, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1410612350248217, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14366529858481691, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.041982092435970175, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026040635599952067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09907914258885153, "ret_p3m": 0.21912733131553203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21912733131553203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24454777094649754, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13617921572236297, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02542043963096552, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08294811559316906, "ret_p6m": 0.09027013182610771, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09027013182610771, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.025889022211902868, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04511969829234369, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06438110961420485, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04515043353376402, "ret_p1y": 0.3219849140865675, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3219849140865675, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.08291536697449431, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1656487238354155, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23906954711207318, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15633619025115197, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1410612350248217, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14366529858481691, "alpha_c_stated": 0.041982092435970175, "price_path": [0.0823, 0.0731, 0.0512, 0.055, 0.0737, 0.0431, 0.0172, 0.0151, 0.0458, 0.0321, -0.0297, -0.053, -0.0577, -0.0269, -0.0323, -0.0349, -0.052, -0.0695, -0.0711, -0.0558, -0.0775, -0.0555, -0.0432, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0203, -0.0175, -0.0458, -0.0399, -0.0307, -0.0611, -0.0785, -0.0575, -0.0275, -0.0337, -0.0285, -0.0187, -0.0281, -0.0282, -0.0657, -0.0497, -0.0697, -0.06, -0.0726, -0.0681, -0.093, -0.081, -0.1135, -0.1249, -0.1024, -0.1073, -0.0862, -0.0684, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0464, -0.0482, -0.0647, -0.034, -0.0258, 0.0068, 0.0075, 0.0241, 0.0, -0.0224, 0.0082, 0.0049, 0.0076, 0.0258, 0.0495, 0.0536, 0.05, 0.0414, 0.0847, 0.085, 0.0906, 0.0912, 0.1156, 0.125, 0.125, 0.1321, 0.1418, 0.1348, 0.1523, 0.1411, 0.114, 0.114, 0.1239, 0.1337, 0.1345, 0.1287, 0.1148, 0.0954, 0.1142, 0.1312, 0.1456, 0.1589, 0.1651, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.2067, 0.2127, 0.2056, 0.2046, 0.1765, 0.2083, 0.2004, 0.2283, 0.2237, 0.212, 0.1908, 0.1755, 0.1527, 0.1556, 0.1845, 0.2013, 0.2398, 0.2385, 0.2582, 0.2097, 0.2117, 0.1519, 0.153, 0.1722, 0.1722, 0.2165, 0.2191, 0.2263, 0.2681, 0.2638, 0.2676, 0.2743, 0.2894, 0.2686, 0.2391, 0.2198, 0.2377, 0.2343, 0.2299, 0.2185, 0.2221, 0.2369, 0.2656, 0.2392, 0.2208, 0.1657, 0.1277, 0.1461, 0.182, 0.1803, 0.185, 0.162, 0.1328, 0.171, 0.1779, 0.1628, 0.1341, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.1228, 0.1311, 0.1422, 0.1447, 0.1377, 0.0981, 0.0706, 0.0183, 0.0355, 0.0568, 0.042, 0.0233, 0.0543, 0.0856, 0.0539, 0.0657, 0.0916, 0.0863, 0.0989, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.104, 0.0865, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.0953, 0.1299, 0.1084, 0.1211, 0.0903]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1699777988319903985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-07T13:33:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's a mystery to me why the energy sector remains so hated and ignored. No other sector remotely comes close to comparing: lowest debt + highest profitability, combined with highest free cashflow and months away from 75%-100% return of capital inflection.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy sector: lowest debt, highest profitability/FCF, and 75-100% return-of-capital inflection months away.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a mystery to me why the energy sector remains so hated and ignored. No other sector remotely comes close to comparing: lowest debt + highest profitability, combined with highest free cashflow and months away from 75%-100% return of capital inflection. https://t.co/gckYf1xZNm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.000987169720478187, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.000987169720478187, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002092487065409987, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002092487065409987, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003079656785888174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003079656785888174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009652183878630316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009652183878630316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008146092500753044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008146092500753044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015060913778772722, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015060913778772722, "ret_p1w": 0.024020885961272276, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024020885961272276, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011634642736996659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011634642736996659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012386243224275617, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012386243224275617, "ret_p1m": -0.05272966193027029, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05272966193027029, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021719521009692988, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.021719521009692988, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0310101409205773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0310101409205773, "ret_p3m": -0.08123730881418256, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08123730881418256, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11127120705666871, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11127120705666871, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.030033898242486146, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030033898242486146, "ret_p6m": -0.027901790103735613, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027901790103735613, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1895194224457003, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1895194224457003, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1616176323419647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1616176323419647, "ret_p1y": 0.03384785732585027, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03384785732585027, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24441213090809932, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24441213090809932, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2782599882339496, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2782599882339496, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05272966193027029, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.021719521009692988, "alpha_c_stated": -0.021719521009692988, "price_path": [-0.1242, -0.1201, -0.1291, -0.1195, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1405, -0.1337, -0.1453, -0.1515, -0.1362, -0.1343, -0.1255, -0.1154, -0.1097, -0.1076, -0.1076, -0.1125, -0.1325, -0.1139, -0.1069, -0.0873, -0.0789, -0.0824, -0.1066, -0.1084, -0.0994, -0.0941, -0.0835, -0.0754, -0.0604, -0.0555, -0.0552, -0.0612, -0.0584, -0.0405, -0.045, -0.0575, -0.0479, -0.0466, -0.0455, -0.0408, -0.0287, -0.0288, -0.0139, -0.0181, -0.0385, -0.0468, -0.0354, -0.0259, -0.032, -0.0395, -0.0419, -0.0485, -0.0393, -0.0328, -0.0302, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0047, -0.0047, 0.0005, 0.001, 0.0, 0.0097, -0.0036, 0.0199, 0.0122, 0.024, 0.0092, 0.0178, 0.0083, -0.0011, -0.0148, -0.0132, -0.0008, -0.0065, 0.0182, 0.0193, -0.0012, -0.0211, -0.0218, -0.0525, -0.0584, -0.0527, -0.0211, -0.0199, -0.0325, -0.0314, -0.0101, -0.0034, 0.0069, 0.0161, 0.0143, -0.0027, -0.0188, -0.0326, -0.0344, -0.0419, -0.0649, -0.0618, -0.0587, -0.0609, -0.0325, -0.0422, -0.0531, -0.0741, -0.0857, -0.0884, -0.0784, -0.0717, -0.0634, -0.0652, -0.0834, -0.0642, -0.0629, -0.065, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0616, -0.0649, -0.0647, -0.0716, -0.0654, -0.0606, -0.0649, -0.0812, -0.0949, -0.1011, -0.0914, -0.0903, -0.1028, -0.0903, -0.0636, -0.0685, -0.0609, -0.0497, -0.0585, -0.0548, -0.052, -0.052, -0.0439, -0.0481, -0.0626, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0547, -0.0393, -0.0561, -0.0553, -0.0663, -0.0812, -0.0903, -0.0879, -0.0777, -0.0777, -0.0996, -0.1071, -0.1086, -0.1057, -0.1023, -0.1004, -0.0876, -0.0671, -0.0601, -0.0615, -0.0518, -0.0695, -0.0696, -0.0683, -0.0706, -0.0676, -0.0657, -0.0561, -0.0706, -0.0604, -0.0698, -0.0707, -0.0449, -0.0454, -0.0454, -0.0541, -0.0364, -0.0347, -0.0411, -0.0377, -0.0418, -0.0437, -0.0391, -0.0279]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1712876423864627316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-13T17:02:17+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "helping to remove the political risk discount applied to CDN energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks: Supreme Court ruling against C-69 removes political risk discount and may delay emissions cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today the Supreme Court of Canada ruled that Bill C-69, the \"no more pipelines bill\", was largely unconstitutional. This ruling could mark a significant turning point in Canada's approach to oil and gas production (for the positive), helping to remove the political risk discount applied to CDN energy stocks. Also, is the imminent emissions cap proposal now not so imminent???\nhttps://t.co/qevqrczYyo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013218639504278373, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013218639504278373, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018224500080926465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018224500080926465, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005005860576648091, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005005860576648091, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005172134765030201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005172134765030201, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005349322300408632, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005349322300408632, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010521457065438833, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010521457065438833, "ret_p1w": 0.0005742770332706204, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0005742770332706204, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02446765539887019, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02446765539887019, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02389337836559957, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02389337836559957, "ret_p1m": -0.03390831279138817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03390831279138817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05404740517252171, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05404740517252171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02013909238113354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02013909238113354, "ret_p3m": -0.10004467063451106, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10004467063451106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20894887997617695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20894887997617695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10890420934166589, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10890420934166589, "ret_p6m": 0.1251341894996012, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1251341894996012, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08562205545849344, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08562205545849344, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21075624495809464, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21075624495809464, "ret_p1y": 0.03453703272012043, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03453703272012043, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30105788585638993, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30105788585638993, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33559491857651036, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33559491857651036, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03390831279138817, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05404740517252171, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05404740517252171, "price_path": [-0.155, -0.1533, -0.1522, -0.1426, -0.129, -0.1244, -0.1222, -0.1278, -0.1057, -0.1023, -0.0989, -0.1154, -0.1012, -0.0933, -0.0933, -0.0842, -0.0751, -0.0762, -0.0666, -0.07, -0.0887, -0.0848, -0.0706, -0.0615, -0.0677, -0.0711, -0.0779, -0.0899, -0.0762, -0.0632, -0.0468, -0.0422, -0.0383, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0139, -0.0128, -0.015, -0.0156, -0.0349, -0.0139, -0.0218, -0.0088, -0.0077, -0.0133, -0.023, -0.0371, -0.0502, -0.0507, -0.0322, -0.0247, -0.0023, -0.0006, -0.0115, -0.0345, -0.0322, -0.0718, -0.0707, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0195, -0.0201, -0.0132, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0092, 0.0132, 0.0161, 0.0006, -0.0132, -0.027, -0.0138, -0.019, -0.023, -0.0253, -0.0218, -0.0121, 0.0109, -0.0046, -0.0149, -0.0523, -0.0707, -0.058, -0.0402, -0.0339, -0.0345, -0.0454, -0.0638, -0.0379, -0.0356, -0.0448, -0.0592, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0713, -0.0638, -0.0563, -0.0529, -0.0517, -0.0678, -0.0787, -0.1161, -0.1207, -0.108, -0.119, -0.1385, -0.1172, -0.1023, -0.1236, -0.1109, -0.0977, -0.1075, -0.1011, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0937, -0.1047, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0972, -0.0671, -0.0792, -0.0734, -0.0902, -0.0919, -0.1, -0.0931, -0.0885, -0.0821, -0.1087, -0.122, -0.1267, -0.1278, -0.1267, -0.1215, -0.1076, -0.0943, -0.0902, -0.0995, -0.085, -0.096, -0.1081, -0.1278, -0.133, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1168, -0.1168, -0.1064, -0.1209, -0.1209, -0.0833, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.085, -0.059, -0.0509, -0.0526, -0.048, -0.0439, -0.0416, -0.0231, -0.0028, -0.0144, -0.004, -0.0017, -0.0051, -0.0115, -0.0092, -0.0063, 0.0117, 0.0244, 0.0232, 0.0319, 0.0371, 0.0354, 0.0383, 0.0379, 0.0582, 0.0501, 0.0576, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0792, 0.0914, 0.1077, 0.1141, 0.128, 0.1251]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709995491272905069", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-05T18:14:29+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy stocks are discounting <$60WTI vs $82WTi spot, and every day get nearer and nearer to their final debt targets", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil ($85-$105 target) and energy stocks on Saudi supply discipline, falling US rig count, low inventories, and solid demand; expects oil to stabilize and move higher into year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are now experiencing the 3rd (!) 10%+ plunge in oil this year, once again owing to recessionary f.e.a.r.s, despite there being no evidence of weak aggregate demand in actual data. Why do we remain bullish, and still think a $85ish-$105ish range makes sense? Saudi is in the driver's seat and to doubt their \"will\" and \"intent\" would be foolhardy. The US oil rig count has fallen by 19% YTD and 2023 looks like a peak US shale growth rate. The challenges of insufficient investment by the supermajors persist. Global oil inventories sit at multi-year lows and look to end 2023/24 at a 302MM Bbl / 647MM Bbl deficit to normal, and did I mention that demand is just fine??? By our estimates, energy stocks are discounting <$60WTI vs $82WTi spot, and every day get nearer and nearer to their final debt targets. Once we emerge from seasonal refinery turnarounds, the resumption of meaningful inventory drawdowns should we believe allow oil to stabilize and move higher into year-end.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006219138398679824, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006219138398679824, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00584206549900701, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00584206549900701, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00037707289967281454, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037707289967281454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005984659193119635, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005984659193119635, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005888242022384249, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005888242022384249, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011872901215503884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011872901215503884, "ret_p1w": 0.028631814806885814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028631814806885814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007053365694965175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007053365694965175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02157844911192064, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02157844911192064, "ret_p1m": 0.01713213476318387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01713213476318387, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00687273840711522, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00687273840711522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02400487317029909, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02400487317029909, "ret_p3m": 0.003918541885135074, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003918541885135074, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11402331946655409, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11402331946655409, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11794186135168916, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11794186135168916, "ret_p6m": 0.1275181260002276, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1275181260002276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11352424174464204, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11352424174464204, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24104236774486965, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24104236774486965, "ret_p1y": 0.08174825131353036, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08174825131353036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27837758007881197, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.27837758007881197, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36012583139234233, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36012583139234233, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01713213476318387, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00687273840711522, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00687273840711522, "price_path": [-0.0516, -0.0307, -0.0218, -0.0255, -0.0512, -0.0531, -0.0436, -0.038, -0.0267, -0.018, -0.0022, 0.003, 0.0034, -0.003, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0142, 0.0009, 0.0111, 0.0125, 0.0136, 0.0187, 0.0315, 0.0313, 0.0472, 0.0428, 0.0211, 0.0122, 0.0244, 0.0345, 0.028, 0.02, 0.0175, 0.0105, 0.0203, 0.0272, 0.0299, 0.0351, 0.0358, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0626, 0.063, 0.062, 0.0722, 0.0581, 0.0831, 0.0749, 0.0875, 0.0718, 0.0808, 0.0708, 0.0608, 0.0462, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.055, 0.0813, 0.0825, 0.0607, 0.0395, 0.0388, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0395, 0.0408, 0.0275, 0.0286, 0.0513, 0.0583, 0.0693, 0.0791, 0.0772, 0.0591, 0.042, 0.0273, 0.0255, 0.0175, -0.0069, -0.0036, -0.0004, -0.0027, 0.0275, 0.0171, 0.0056, -0.0167, -0.029, -0.0319, -0.0212, -0.0142, -0.0054, -0.0073, -0.0266, -0.0062, -0.0048, -0.007, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.0034, -0.0069, -0.0067, -0.0141, -0.0075, -0.0023, -0.0069, -0.0243, -0.0388, -0.0454, -0.0351, -0.0339, -0.0472, -0.0339, -0.0055, -0.0108, -0.0027, 0.0092, -0.0001, 0.0038, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0154, 0.0109, -0.0045, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0039, 0.0203, 0.0024, 0.0032, -0.0084, -0.0243, -0.0339, -0.0314, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0438, -0.0518, -0.0533, -0.0502, -0.0467, -0.0447, -0.031, -0.0092, -0.0019, -0.0033, 0.007, -0.0118, -0.012, -0.0105, -0.013, -0.0098, -0.0078, 0.0024, -0.013, -0.0021, -0.0122, -0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0045, 0.0233, 0.0251, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0175, 0.0155, 0.0205, 0.0324, 0.0213, 0.0289, 0.0321, 0.0409, 0.0446, 0.0553, 0.0537, 0.0705, 0.0815, 0.0847, 0.0885, 0.1009, 0.0993, 0.1059, 0.1035, 0.1138, 0.1052, 0.1155, 0.1275, 0.1275]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1790393759550550288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-14T14:48:30+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish heading into the Summer as we see \"days of supply\" falling to record low levels by year's end suggestive of >$90 Brent", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remain bullish Brent crude into summer; supply drawdown to record lows by year-end implies >$90.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weak financial demand for oil ->large paper liquidation over the past week. We remain bullish heading into the Summer as we see \"days of supply\" falling to record low levels by year's end suggestive of >$90 Brent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011896132430290196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011896132430290196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01646355003260469, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01646355003260469, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004567417602314494, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004567417602314494, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0044914148933972164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0044914148933972164, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007891311272895551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007891311272895551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012382726166292768, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012382726166292768, "ret_p1w": 0.0060694345310778886, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0060694345310778886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009332510045816367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009332510045816367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015401944576894255, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015401944576894255, "ret_p1m": 0.002670566011629738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002670566011629738, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031841068152431706, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031841068152431706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034511634164061444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034511634164061444, "ret_p3m": -0.03301764605479807, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03301764605479807, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054820391009515856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.054820391009515856, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02180274495471779, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02180274495471779, "ret_p6m": -0.09055595209021616, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09055595209021616, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22712268821487602, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22712268821487602, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13656673612465986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13656673612465986, "ret_p1y": -0.26887592194308585, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26887592194308585, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35942057479867917, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.35942057479867917, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.09054465285559332, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09054465285559332, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.002670566011629738, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.031841068152431706, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031841068152431706, "price_path": [0.0058, 0.0132, 0.0132, -0.0005, 0.0079, 0.0157, -0.0092, 0.0018, 0.0154, 0.0158, 0.0151, 0.0142, 0.0051, -0.0041, 0.007, 0.007, -0.0036, -0.0021, -0.0056, 0.02, 0.0369, 0.0359, 0.0547, 0.0607, 0.0433, 0.0413, 0.037, 0.053, 0.047, 0.045, 0.0619, 0.0619, 0.0612, 0.0794, 0.0846, 0.1004, 0.1067, 0.0971, 0.0855, 0.0983, 0.0893, 0.098, 0.0937, 0.0927, 0.0596, 0.0574, 0.0596, 0.0561, 0.0733, 0.0685, 0.0805, 0.0864, 0.0731, 0.0665, 0.0129, 0.0157, 0.007, 0.0115, 0.0095, 0.0146, 0.0182, 0.005, 0.0119, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0108, 0.0194, 0.0161, 0.0061, -0.0058, -0.0124, -0.0032, -0.0032, 0.0223, 0.0148, -0.0063, -0.0092, -0.0488, -0.059, -0.0482, -0.0305, -0.0335, -0.0091, -0.0056, 0.0027, 0.0045, 0.0029, 0.0227, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0404, 0.0347, 0.0441, 0.0319, 0.0348, 0.0487, 0.0489, 0.0512, 0.0469, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0505, 0.0409, 0.0277, 0.0328, 0.0367, 0.0322, 0.03, 0.0164, 0.0328, 0.0331, 0.003, 0.0002, -0.0166, -0.0081, -0.0001, -0.0152, -0.0316, -0.0455, -0.0202, -0.0347, -0.0676, -0.0738, -0.0716, -0.0492, -0.0391, -0.033, -0.001, -0.0205, -0.0318, -0.0163, -0.0328, -0.0573, -0.0629, -0.0768, -0.0626, -0.0408, -0.0115, -0.0344, -0.0453, -0.0296, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.1048, -0.1175, -0.1176, -0.1374, -0.1279, -0.1601, -0.1429, -0.1264, -0.1307, -0.1169, -0.1054, -0.106, -0.091, -0.0958, -0.1029, -0.0875, -0.1083, -0.1309, -0.1262, -0.1288, -0.1071, -0.1029, -0.0578, -0.0526, -0.0176, -0.0631, -0.0704, -0.0362, -0.0405, -0.0597, -0.0987, -0.0991, -0.0963, -0.1131, -0.0982, -0.077, -0.0901, -0.0971, -0.0768, -0.133, -0.1367, -0.1193, -0.1119, -0.1126, -0.0886, -0.0832, -0.0906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821549455792918713", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-08T14:10:07+00:00", "symbol": "midcap oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That is what we are adding to amidst the selloff", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to midcap energy/commodity names amid selloff; sees opportunity in stocks trading <3X EV/CF, >15% FCF yields with 20+ years of inventory.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP covers midcap oil and gas", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm seeing very little buying interest in the midcaps at the moment with largest large vs. midcap divergence in a long time. Makes sense as most are waiting to make sure the macro unwind/volatility has passed. Opportunity is where the \"risk\" is IMO with many midcaps trading <3X EV/CF and >15% FCF yields with 20+ years of stay flat inventory. That is what we are adding to amidst the selloff.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029401038079249875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029401038079249875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006806000082136832, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006806000082136832, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.022595037997113043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022595037997113043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0003664564513379265, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0003664564513379265, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004043179309788814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004043179309788814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00440963576112674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00440963576112674, "ret_p1w": 0.025661758010324665, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025661758010324665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01658832592988957, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01658832592988957, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042250083940214234, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042250083940214234, "ret_p1m": -0.053303244756485624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053303244756485624, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07160156551767516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07160156551767516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018298320761189535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018298320761189535, "ret_p3m": -0.01862588753907979, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01862588753907979, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10873980312957554, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10873980312957554, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09011391559049575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09011391559049575, "ret_p6m": -0.005248184061771077, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.005248184061771077, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13899280780702772, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13899280780702772, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13374462374525664, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13374462374525664, "ret_p1y": -0.025461310183963692, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.025461310183963692, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23598101843021035, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.23598101843021035, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21051970824624666, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21051970824624666, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.053303244756485624, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07160156551767516, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07160156551767516, "price_path": [0.0936, 0.1029, 0.1034, 0.0972, 0.1116, 0.1167, 0.1083, 0.0917, 0.08, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.099, 0.0814, 0.0864, 0.1084, 0.0765, 0.0599, 0.0635, 0.0688, 0.0624, 0.0851, 0.0886, 0.0754, 0.0588, 0.0409, 0.0407, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0537, 0.0456, 0.0762, 0.0746, 0.0644, 0.0647, 0.0666, 0.0695, 0.0736, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0556, 0.0554, 0.0458, 0.0506, 0.0685, 0.0705, 0.0864, 0.0878, 0.087, 0.0817, 0.074, 0.0687, 0.0526, 0.0454, 0.0587, 0.0642, 0.051, 0.0646, 0.0733, 0.0411, -0.012, -0.0395, -0.0361, -0.0294, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0139, 0.0035, 0.0075, 0.0257, 0.0214, 0.0288, 0.0024, 0.0029, -0.0004, 0.0202, 0.0271, 0.0139, 0.0095, 0.0254, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0147, -0.0306, -0.0383, -0.0533, -0.0592, -0.0694, -0.0698, -0.067, -0.0575, -0.0479, -0.0308, -0.0273, -0.0115, -0.0116, -0.0025, -0.0089, -0.0324, -0.0556, -0.0321, -0.0293, -0.0129, -0.0009, 0.0319, 0.0392, 0.0456, 0.0169, 0.017, 0.0271, 0.0386, 0.0244, -0.0149, -0.0075, 0.0015, -0.0045, -0.0095, -0.007, -0.016, -0.0084, -0.0083, -0.0215, -0.0374, -0.0279, -0.0351, -0.0453, -0.0272, -0.0186, 0.0327, 0.0263, 0.0336, 0.0491, 0.0389, 0.0432, 0.0496, 0.0396, 0.0602, 0.0534, 0.0707, 0.0843, 0.0973, 0.0779, 0.0702, 0.0702, 0.0702, 0.0738, 0.0616, 0.0624, 0.029, 0.0258, 0.0025, 0.012, 0.0059, 0.0204, 0.0118, 0.0035, -0.0228, -0.0292, -0.062, -0.0737, -0.0681, -0.058, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0466, -0.0451, -0.0296, -0.0167, 0.0015, 0.0071, 0.0046, 0.0159, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.0349, 0.0542, 0.0615, 0.0817, 0.0837, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.068, 0.0583, 0.06, 0.0455, 0.0254, 0.0201, 0.0261, 0.0209, -0.0034, -0.0052]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1882076954150760593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-22T14:44:47+00:00", "symbol": "CNQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CNQ and MEG are two attractive opportunities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CNQ and MEG Energy as attractive plays on tariff-uncertainty-driven dislocation in Canadian oil stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was able to highlight the opportunity that tariff uncertainty is creating in Canadian oil stocks to our American friends in Barron's today, and explained why CNQ and MEG are two attractive opportunities:\nhttps://t.co/4PtDKst4Rf https://t.co/xCmXVjBeTJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010466279125599165, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010466279125599165, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016056526548418493, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008056314450803681, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005590247422819328, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018522593576402846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031715199563926433, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031715199563926433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002286501522818396, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014046339455642265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458021479211039, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00457615390195687, "ret_p1w": -0.02632406695720757, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02632406695720757, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018689371604760585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003661188951115446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007634695352446985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022662878006092124, "ret_p1m": -0.025372723800077157, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025372723800077157, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03186966340763875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714007550783216, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0064969396075615915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011767351707755003, "ret_p3m": -0.057550462808982794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057550462808982794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07041596752550694, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04873865552503953, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12796643033448973, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10628911833402233, "ret_p6m": 0.0034277062569256778, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0034277062569256778, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03761298032960503, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05185703275861098, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041040686586530706, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0484293265016853, "ret_p1y": 0.12751270369380907, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12751270369380907, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.024236732329357302, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.045243962019836825, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15174943602316637, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08226874167397225, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025372723800077157, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03186966340763875, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03714007550783216, "price_path": [0.0995, 0.1136, 0.0876, 0.0779, 0.071, 0.0657, 0.0613, 0.0729, 0.0779, 0.0851, 0.0904, 0.0704, 0.0719, 0.0575, 0.0447, 0.066, 0.0369, 0.0544, 0.0547, 0.0582, 0.0823, 0.0914, 0.066, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0594, 0.0519, 0.0716, 0.0372, 0.0416, 0.0109, 0.0146, 0.0062, 0.0187, -0.0082, -0.0019, -0.0216, -0.0292, -0.058, -0.0641, -0.0618, -0.0479, -0.0406, -0.0406, -0.0447, -0.0435, -0.0403, -0.0209, -0.0054, 0.0013, 0.0228, 0.0371, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0006, -0.0006, -0.0232, -0.013, -0.013, 0.0105, 0.0, 0.0032, -0.0067, -0.0178, -0.0352, -0.0263, -0.0184, -0.0374, -0.0479, -0.0171, -0.0143, -0.0266, -0.0365, -0.026, -0.0193, -0.0476, -0.0358, -0.0447, -0.0447, -0.0355, -0.0352, -0.0254, -0.0495, -0.0688, -0.085, -0.0917, -0.1021, -0.1034, -0.1526, -0.1459, -0.13, -0.1132, -0.1002, -0.0999, -0.0888, -0.0723, -0.0894, -0.0672, -0.0539, -0.0488, -0.0257, -0.0228, -0.0251, -0.0103, 0.0003, 0.0058, -0.0052, -0.0177, -0.01, 0.0067, 0.0106, -0.0402, -0.1135, -0.1456, -0.1919, -0.1058, -0.1588, -0.1263, -0.1196, -0.1209, -0.0945, -0.0743, -0.0788, -0.0576, -0.0694, -0.0579, -0.0569, -0.0486, -0.0576, -0.0778, -0.0704, -0.0675, -0.0997, -0.0829, -0.0752, -0.0344, -0.0193, 0.01, 0.036, 0.0096, -0.0068, -0.0132, -0.0177, -0.0138, -0.0122, -0.0093, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0013, -0.0116, -0.0109, -0.0238, -0.0093, 0.0109, -0.0064, -0.0039, 0.0151, 0.0164, 0.0341, 0.0521, 0.0649, 0.1002, 0.0852, 0.1076, 0.0943, 0.0943, 0.0871, 0.0461, 0.0266, 0.0217, 0.0393, 0.0243, 0.0226, 0.0311, 0.0555, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.034, 0.0464, 0.0415, 0.0353, 0.0454, 0.0353, 0.0191, 0.0064, 0.0103, 0.0034]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1667196793405288448", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-09T15:47:45+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish, especially on Canadian heavy oil producers with 30+ years of reserves, rock solid balance sheets, record free cashflow, and a commitment to return 75%-100% of it back to us in the coming quarters", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil producers on tight WCS discount, long reserves, strong FCF, and 75-100% shareholder return commitment.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The discount on Canadian heavy oil (WCS) is now down to $11/bbl, the lowest in ~ a year. \"We remain bullish\", especially on Canadian heavy oil producers with 30+ years of reserves, rock solid balance sheets, record free cashflow, and a commitment to return 75%-100% of it back to us in the coming quarters.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0002701545303474273, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0002701545303474273, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0020611740711164173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005262997422758459, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00179101954076899, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005533151953105886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039079814519238504, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039079814519238504, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048151834912325914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02948919018896759, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00907202039308741, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009590624330270914, "ret_p1w": -0.045774883908660524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045774883908660524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07181006281070262, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03999597498685509, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0260351789020421, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005778908921805437, "ret_p1m": 0.0031743158928355664, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0031743158928355664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023327816083594688, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006749983513624103, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026502131976430254, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009924299406459669, "ret_p3m": 0.2512082256692919, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2512082256692919, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2093901066211915, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11922949316292664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0418181190481004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13197873250636527, "ret_p6m": 0.13377858244901536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13377858244901536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06375428466013039, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07629151778845372, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07002429778888497, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05748706466056164, "ret_p1y": 0.3957235275968953, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3957235275968953, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.14547371139051063, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22178148238588763, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25024981620638465, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17394204521100765, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2512082256692919, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2093901066211915, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11922949316292664, "price_path": [0.0009, -0.0598, -0.0374, -0.0675, -0.0466, -0.0086, -0.0215, -0.0381, -0.037, 0.0104, 0.0274, 0.0465, 0.0527, 0.0505, 0.1198, 0.1105, 0.0982, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.0871, 0.1004, 0.0997, 0.101, 0.1089, 0.1057, 0.1161, 0.1063, 0.0834, 0.088, 0.1063, 0.0751, 0.0487, 0.0466, 0.0782, 0.064, -0.0002, -0.0243, -0.0292, 0.0027, -0.0029, -0.0054, -0.0233, -0.0426, -0.0448, -0.0287, -0.0506, -0.028, -0.0152, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0082, 0.0111, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.0022, -0.0333, -0.0512, -0.0296, 0.001, -0.0054, -0.0006, 0.0095, 0.0003, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0225, -0.0434, -0.0333, -0.0458, -0.0411, -0.0671, -0.055, -0.0881, -0.0995, -0.0766, -0.0818, -0.0599, -0.0413, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0182, -0.02, -0.0363, -0.0049, 0.0032, 0.0388, 0.0401, 0.0581, 0.0333, 0.0098, 0.0413, 0.0376, 0.0405, 0.0595, 0.0841, 0.0881, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.1174, 0.1175, 0.1235, 0.126, 0.1516, 0.1612, 0.1612, 0.1684, 0.1777, 0.1705, 0.1884, 0.1768, 0.149, 0.1492, 0.1594, 0.1691, 0.1709, 0.1646, 0.1505, 0.1299, 0.1495, 0.1669, 0.181, 0.1951, 0.2013, 0.2325, 0.2325, 0.2452, 0.2512, 0.2441, 0.2424, 0.2131, 0.2456, 0.2378, 0.267, 0.2625, 0.2496, 0.228, 0.2128, 0.1894, 0.1927, 0.2222, 0.2399, 0.28, 0.2783, 0.3006, 0.2504, 0.2522, 0.1908, 0.1916, 0.2119, 0.2119, 0.2564, 0.2589, 0.2663, 0.3099, 0.3053, 0.3089, 0.3154, 0.3306, 0.3096, 0.279, 0.2591, 0.278, 0.2746, 0.2702, 0.2581, 0.2621, 0.2779, 0.307, 0.2801, 0.2614, 0.2051, 0.1648, 0.1844, 0.2219, 0.2204, 0.2256, 0.2017, 0.1709, 0.2101, 0.2176, 0.2022, 0.1722, 0.183, 0.1832, 0.1606, 0.169, 0.1806, 0.183, 0.1756, 0.1338]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1704522037484503195", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-20T15:44:56+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we DO NOT need a higher oil price for oil companies/energy stocks to do very well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy/oil stocks even without higher oil prices; lower volatility will drive re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Allow me to reiterate: we DO NOT need a higher oil price for oil companies/energy stocks to do very well. Inevitably I believe, aided by lower volatility, \"seeing\" will = \"believing.\" https://t.co/pOhB4OaPSs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009402673910001935, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009402673910001935, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0001239057522313125, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0001239057522313125, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009278768157770623, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009278768157770623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013716864561792108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013716864561792108, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0028114459058148356, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0028114459058148356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016528310467606944, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016528310467606944, "ret_p1w": 0.01935841396744742, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01935841396744742, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04806071574737514, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04806071574737514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02870230177992772, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02870230177992772, "ret_p1m": 0.015486676233612107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015486676233612107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04332283715163099, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04332283715163099, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027836160918018882, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027836160918018882, "ret_p3m": -0.0598612609761654, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0598612609761654, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14020865617254696, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14020865617254696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08034739519638157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08034739519638157, "ret_p6m": 0.019544661739616442, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.019544661739616442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15918462125768018, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15918462125768018, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17872928299729662, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17872928299729662, "ret_p1y": -0.023884308084948014, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.023884308084948014, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.26862340136387575, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.26862340136387575, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24473909327892773, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24473909327892773, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015486676233612107, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04332283715163099, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04332283715163099, "price_path": [-0.1505, -0.1353, -0.1333, -0.1245, -0.1144, -0.1087, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.1115, -0.1315, -0.1129, -0.1059, -0.0863, -0.0778, -0.0813, -0.1056, -0.1074, -0.0984, -0.0931, -0.0824, -0.0743, -0.0594, -0.0544, -0.0541, -0.0601, -0.0573, -0.0394, -0.0439, -0.0564, -0.0469, -0.0455, -0.0444, -0.0397, -0.0276, -0.0277, -0.0128, -0.017, -0.0374, -0.0458, -0.0343, -0.0248, -0.0309, -0.0384, -0.0408, -0.0474, -0.0382, -0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0242, -0.0236, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0017, 0.0021, 0.0011, 0.0108, -0.0025, 0.021, 0.0133, 0.0252, 0.0104, 0.0189, 0.0094, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.0121, 0.0003, -0.0054, 0.0194, 0.0205, -0.0001, -0.02, -0.0207, -0.0514, -0.0573, -0.0517, -0.02, -0.0188, -0.0314, -0.0303, -0.009, -0.0023, 0.0081, 0.0173, 0.0155, -0.0015, -0.0177, -0.0315, -0.0333, -0.0408, -0.0638, -0.0607, -0.0576, -0.0598, -0.0314, -0.0412, -0.052, -0.073, -0.0846, -0.0874, -0.0773, -0.0707, -0.0624, -0.0642, -0.0824, -0.0632, -0.0618, -0.0639, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0605, -0.0638, -0.0636, -0.0706, -0.0644, -0.0595, -0.0638, -0.0802, -0.0939, -0.1001, -0.0904, -0.0893, -0.1018, -0.0893, -0.0625, -0.0675, -0.0599, -0.0486, -0.0574, -0.0537, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0428, -0.047, -0.0615, -0.0637, -0.0637, -0.0536, -0.0382, -0.0551, -0.0543, -0.0652, -0.0802, -0.0892, -0.0869, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0986, -0.1061, -0.1075, -0.1046, -0.1013, -0.0994, -0.0866, -0.066, -0.0591, -0.0604, -0.0507, -0.0685, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0696, -0.0666, -0.0647, -0.0551, -0.0696, -0.0593, -0.0688, -0.0697, -0.0438, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.053, -0.0353, -0.0336, -0.04, -0.0366, -0.0408, -0.0427, -0.038, -0.0268, -0.0372, -0.03, -0.027, -0.0188, -0.0153, -0.0051, -0.0067, 0.0092, 0.0195]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1707756349667311881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-29T13:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands heavy oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the only thing I want to own are Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exclusively bullish on Canadian oilsands/heavy oil equities; argues they thrive even without higher oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands/heavy oil stocks: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Join me at 12ET on @marketcall today where I'll be covering 2 main themes: why the only thing I want to own are Canadian oilsand/heavy oil stocks, and why I believe we do NOT need higher oil prices for energy companies to do very well.\nhttps://t.co/bxutIjYd3g", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@BeegJj @ericnuttall https://t.co/zRDXnL5svW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014838240060142144, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014838240060142144, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017271022934399555, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035415862612209886, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002432782874257411, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020577622552067742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037845536058935314, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037845536058935314, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037447744278369666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01793184957998889, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00039779178056564835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019913686478946424, "ret_p1w": -0.06765210401664065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06765210401664065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0724710483622488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016097971614417367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004818944345608145, "bench_c_p1w": -0.051554132402223285, "ret_p1m": -0.03137213041220829, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03137213041220829, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003558007662399859, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029253749760975528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027814122749808434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06062588017318382, "ret_p3m": -0.11949668518399628, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11949668518399628, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2387114422942205, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07258461065025804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11921475711022422, "bench_c_p3m": -0.046912074533738246, "ret_p6m": 0.05915163902341561, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05915163902341561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16546409345369448, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009072177322636682, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22461573247711009, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05007946170077893, "ret_p1y": -0.03379753054883247, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03379753054883247, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3647113137283753, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.02965704204206962, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3309137831795428, "bench_c_p1y": -0.004140488506762852, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03137213041220829, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003558007662399859, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029253749760975528, "price_path": [-0.24, -0.2415, -0.2547, -0.2305, -0.2242, -0.1985, -0.1979, -0.1848, -0.2039, -0.2217, -0.1975, -0.2001, -0.1979, -0.1836, -0.1647, -0.1612, -0.1642, -0.1709, -0.1372, -0.137, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.113, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.0998, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.0837, -0.0924, -0.1139, -0.1138, -0.1059, -0.0981, -0.0975, -0.102, -0.1129, -0.1283, -0.1134, -0.0997, -0.0881, -0.0776, -0.0727, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.04, -0.0353, -0.0406, -0.0417, -0.0641, -0.0391, -0.0453, -0.0234, -0.027, -0.0362, -0.0527, -0.065, -0.0831, -0.0807, -0.0579, -0.0443, -0.0139, -0.0148, 0.0, -0.0378, -0.0363, -0.0836, -0.0828, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0322, -0.03, -0.0242, 0.0087, 0.0054, 0.0083, 0.0135, 0.0248, 0.0083, -0.015, -0.0304, -0.0161, -0.0188, -0.0225, -0.0314, -0.0286, -0.0168, 0.0063, -0.0146, -0.0289, -0.0725, -0.1024, -0.0877, -0.0595, -0.0605, -0.0566, -0.0748, -0.0979, -0.0674, -0.0619, -0.0739, -0.0967, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.1058, -0.099, -0.0901, -0.0881, -0.0932, -0.1243, -0.1456, -0.1873, -0.174, -0.1571, -0.1685, -0.1834, -0.1587, -0.1342, -0.1597, -0.1502, -0.1298, -0.134, -0.124, -0.126, -0.126, -0.126, -0.1195, -0.1334, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1264, -0.0988, -0.1159, -0.1059, -0.1303, -0.1315, -0.1368, -0.1348, -0.1336, -0.1137, -0.1376, -0.1475, -0.1546, -0.1611, -0.1539, -0.1482, -0.137, -0.1211, -0.1211, -0.1307, -0.1138, -0.1298, -0.143, -0.1657, -0.1706, -0.1637, -0.164, -0.1481, -0.1451, -0.1336, -0.1437, -0.1444, -0.1013, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0975, -0.0753, -0.066, -0.0684, -0.0622, -0.0591, -0.0575, -0.0529, -0.0334, -0.0445, -0.0408, -0.0235, -0.0239, -0.0306, -0.0294, -0.0331, -0.0123, 0.0066, 0.0058, 0.0134, 0.0217, 0.0215, 0.0274, 0.0308, 0.0592]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987980942947086724", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T20:29:26+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "prefer natural gas stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers natural gas stocks over oil near-term given coin-flip WTI outlook and building inventories.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The most anticipated oil supply glut in history\"™️ watch part 4: onshore inventories are finally building, though too soon to say if more than seasonally normal. 2026 WTI strip of $60.01 suggests little panic yet. $55/$65 a coin flip short-term = prefer natural gas stocks. https://t.co/pwSVWC29Y5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011940211326150418, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011940211326150418, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003424466354401301, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003424466354401301, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01536467768055172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01536467768055172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026865660590638774, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026865660590638774, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024576510888193015, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024576510888193015, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022891497024457585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022891497024457585, "ret_p1w": 0.012366697394395443, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012366697394395443, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035508971295710734, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035508971295710734, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02314227390131529, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02314227390131529, "ret_p1m": 0.05458421104807876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05458421104807876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0522364206319712, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0522364206319712, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023477904161075536, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023477904161075536, "ret_p3m": 0.1257794950204214, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1257794950204214, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10441220616167057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10441220616167057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.021367288858750833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.021367288858750833, "ret_p6m": 0.259483946921242, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.259483946921242, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17979157736620333, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17979157736620333, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07969236955503867, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07969236955503867, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05458421104807876, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0522364206319712, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0522364206319712, "price_path": [-0.0223, -0.0228, -0.0283, -0.0401, -0.0486, -0.0418, -0.0338, -0.0075, 0.0014, -0.0037, 0.0069, 0.02, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0323, -0.0008, 0.0094, -0.013, -0.0236, -0.027, 0.0022, -0.002, -0.0109, -0.0198, 0.0098, 0.0064, 0.0001, -0.0266, -0.0228, -0.0024, 0.0187, 0.0226, 0.0341, 0.0094, 0.0017, 0.0205, -0.0055, 0.0081, 0.0162, 0.0183, 0.0171, -0.006, -0.0571, -0.0345, -0.0486, -0.0426, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0499, -0.0554, -0.0546, -0.0269, -0.0367, -0.0384, -0.0576, -0.0559, -0.0588, -0.0443, -0.035, -0.0426, -0.0478, -0.035, -0.0119, 0.0, 0.0269, 0.0158, 0.0175, 0.029, 0.0124, 0.0269, 0.02, 0.0043, 0.009, 0.0183, 0.0107, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.049, 0.055, 0.0358, 0.0687, 0.0712, 0.0755, 0.0559, 0.0546, 0.0606, 0.0409, 0.0339, 0.0189, -0.0163, 0.0111, -0.0176, -0.0116, -0.003, 0.0051, -0.0009, -0.0065, 0.003, 0.0137, 0.0051, 0.0232, -0.0009, -0.0146, -0.0275, -0.0022, -0.0082, -0.0039, 0.0159, 0.0287, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0146, 0.0476, 0.0455, 0.0519, 0.0558, 0.0678, 0.079, 0.0936, 0.0996, 0.0627, 0.0876, 0.1159, 0.094, 0.1241, 0.1258, 0.1176, 0.1455, 0.1176, 0.1417, 0.1417, 0.1241, 0.152, 0.1756, 0.1855, 0.167, 0.1623, 0.1554, 0.164, 0.1992, 0.2301, 0.2267, 0.2254, 0.2417, 0.2486, 0.249, 0.2177, 0.2499, 0.2615, 0.2756, 0.2765, 0.2915, 0.3018, 0.3289, 0.3349, 0.3267, 0.3576, 0.3718, 0.3958, 0.4122, 0.3941, 0.3669, 0.3212, 0.344, 0.344, 0.3518, 0.3656, 0.3069, 0.291, 0.2927, 0.2923, 0.2496, 0.2513, 0.275, 0.2276, 0.234, 0.2573, 0.2845, 0.2987, 0.2862, 0.2949, 0.3156, 0.3505, 0.3544, 0.338, 0.366, 0.3539, 0.2789, 0.2595]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1949822123213463907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T13:19:54+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "deep and high quality inventories, pristine balance sheets, friendly(er) government, and cheap valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian E&P equities: deep inventory, strong balance sheets, favorable government, cheap valuations as US shale twilight drives capital north.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF covers Canadian E&P sector", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US E&amp;P's, necessitated by the twilight of US shale, are starting to wake up to the opportunity in Canada: deep and high quality inventories, pristine balance sheets, friendly(er) government, and cheap valuations: \nhttps://t.co/Ze93Qj9Dx7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019165735882935575, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019165735882935575, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019416802456842186, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019416802456842186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002510665739066109, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002510665739066109, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009582923142637867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009582923142637867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01222057174471991, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01222057174471991, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376486020820433, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376486020820433, "ret_p1w": -0.024802768979017897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024802768979017897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015743691699895312, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015743691699895312, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009059077279122585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009059077279122585, "ret_p1m": -0.003945890046555545, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003945890046555545, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016851272448103027, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016851272448103027, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905382401547483, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905382401547483, "ret_p3m": 0.037202828640442664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037202828640442664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020388731657137837, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.020388731657137837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0575915602975805, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0575915602975805, "ret_p6m": 0.1815226447896332, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1815226447896332, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09361542384244737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09361542384244737, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08790722094718584, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08790722094718584, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003945890046555545, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016851272448103027, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016851272448103027, "price_path": [-0.1444, -0.1371, -0.1293, -0.1522, -0.1427, -0.141, -0.1165, -0.0992, -0.0724, -0.0562, -0.0629, -0.0746, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0774, -0.0797, -0.0819, -0.078, -0.073, -0.0724, -0.0785, -0.078, -0.0936, -0.0763, -0.0635, -0.0763, -0.073, -0.0601, -0.0557, -0.044, -0.0228, -0.0172, 0.0135, 0.0057, 0.023, 0.0124, 0.0202, 0.0163, -0.0177, -0.0322, -0.0372, -0.0338, -0.0383, -0.0434, -0.0434, -0.0293, -0.0333, -0.0349, -0.0417, -0.0214, -0.022, -0.0259, -0.0141, -0.0163, -0.0248, -0.0361, -0.0316, -0.0304, -0.04, -0.0338, -0.0237, -0.0147, -0.0192, 0.0, 0.0096, 0.0068, -0.0051, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.018, -0.022, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0378, -0.0333, -0.0344, -0.0321, -0.0349, -0.0378, -0.0451, -0.0383, -0.0225, -0.0006, 0.0045, -0.0039, 0.0107, 0.0152, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0209, 0.0039, 0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0079, 0.0068, 0.0265, 0.022, 0.0225, 0.0321, 0.0586, 0.0541, 0.053, 0.0327, 0.0457, 0.0581, 0.0708, 0.0742, 0.0765, 0.0617, 0.0463, 0.0446, 0.0378, 0.0486, 0.0623, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.0646, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0275, 0.0247, 0.0053, 0.0036, 0.0093, 0.003, 0.0167, 0.0372, 0.0389, 0.044, 0.0321, 0.0429, 0.0395, 0.044, 0.0475, 0.0355, 0.0571, 0.0611, 0.0663, 0.0817, 0.0988, 0.0999, 0.0908, 0.1147, 0.1107, 0.1312, 0.1352, 0.1301, 0.121, 0.1221, 0.1164, 0.1176, 0.1215, 0.1324, 0.1347, 0.117, 0.1421, 0.1449, 0.1381, 0.1284, 0.1147, 0.1176, 0.109, 0.1136, 0.0993, 0.0589, 0.0742, 0.0589, 0.0691, 0.076, 0.0845, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0931, 0.1073, 0.1056, 0.1246, 0.086, 0.0774, 0.0613, 0.0803, 0.101, 0.1062, 0.1361, 0.1648, 0.1533, 0.1648, 0.1712, 0.1574, 0.1971, 0.1815]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1788197049755709851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-08T13:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy remains an out-of-favour, non-consensus, contrarian investment. As a contrarian investor myself, I love it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the out-of-favour energy sector as a contrarian opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy remains an out-of-favour, non-consensus, contrarian investment. As a contrarian investor myself, I love it...the best opportunities are where no one else is looking. https://t.co/1zZnnR1RNA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001181454518674796, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001181454518674796, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001278283479020037, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001278283479020037, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.682896034524102e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.682896034524102e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013426421652591447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013426421652591447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0076646149716712575, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0076646149716712575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0057618066809201895, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0057618066809201895, "ret_p1w": 0.008700341498362851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008700341498362851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01564259210604324, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01564259210604324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.024342933604406092, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024342933604406092, "ret_p1m": -0.02953819752357556, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02953819752357556, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06331693803024252, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06331693803024252, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03377874050666696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03377874050666696, "ret_p3m": -0.06397169121754898, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06397169121754898, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0675662094895424, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0675662094895424, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0035945182719934188, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0035945182719934188, "ret_p6m": -0.03287979888366355, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03287979888366355, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13928980957171921, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13928980957171921, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10641001068805567, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10641001068805567, "ret_p1y": -0.08217232829794108, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08217232829794108, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16760526949816212, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16760526949816212, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.08543294120022105, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08543294120022105, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02953819752357556, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06331693803024252, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06331693803024252, "price_path": [-0.1123, -0.1025, -0.1116, -0.1124, -0.0877, -0.0882, -0.0882, -0.0966, -0.0796, -0.078, -0.0841, -0.0809, -0.0848, -0.0867, -0.0822, -0.0715, -0.0814, -0.0746, -0.0717, -0.0638, -0.0605, -0.0508, -0.0523, -0.0372, -0.0273, -0.0244, -0.0211, -0.0099, -0.0113, -0.0054, -0.0075, 0.0017, -0.006, 0.0032, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0216, 0.0359, 0.043, 0.0423, 0.0535, 0.0468, 0.0472, 0.0504, 0.0496, 0.0325, 0.0229, 0.014, 0.0111, 0.0079, 0.0201, 0.0267, 0.0324, 0.0332, 0.0379, 0.0284, 0.0353, 0.0045, -0.0115, -0.0058, -0.0057, 0.0021, 0.0012, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0078, 0.0052, 0.0064, 0.0087, 0.0059, 0.02, 0.0133, 0.0084, -0.011, -0.02, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0085, -0.026, -0.0232, 0.0011, -0.0251, -0.0345, -0.0346, -0.0295, -0.0334, -0.0261, -0.028, -0.0385, -0.0473, -0.0544, -0.0519, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0304, -0.036, -0.0117, -0.0094, -0.0191, -0.0169, -0.0131, -0.0125, -0.0133, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.039, -0.0325, -0.0224, -0.0199, -0.0051, -0.0006, 0.0093, 0.0112, 0.0001, -0.0062, -0.022, -0.0219, -0.005, -0.0018, -0.0104, 0.005, 0.0092, -0.0175, -0.0429, -0.064, -0.0582, -0.0544, -0.0341, -0.0319, -0.0272, -0.0366, -0.0309, -0.0194, -0.0204, -0.0138, -0.0398, -0.0382, -0.0357, -0.0213, -0.0125, -0.0217, -0.028, -0.0154, -0.0117, -0.0117, -0.0363, -0.0496, -0.0569, -0.0687, -0.062, -0.0782, -0.0867, -0.0785, -0.0733, -0.0627, -0.05, -0.0482, -0.0368, -0.039, -0.0271, -0.0295, -0.0485, -0.0672, -0.0482, -0.0415, -0.0197, -0.0096, 0.0078, 0.0172, 0.0208, -0.0058, 0.0002, 0.007, 0.0132, 0.0128, -0.0199, -0.0152, -0.0105, -0.0138, -0.0167, -0.0144, -0.0196, -0.0197, -0.02, -0.0262, -0.0411, -0.0389, -0.0329]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2055389961411506614", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T20:48:48+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why I believe this is the most attractive entry point for oil stocks in my career other than the COVID low in April 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author argues current is the most attractive entry point for oil stocks since COVID lows, implying a strong long.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why I believe this is the most attractive entry point for oil stocks in my career other than the COVID low in April 2020: https://t.co/iP0REphalS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018818144105127943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018818144105127943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019522074896311747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019522074896311747, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011720024150093211, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011720024150093211, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018380883532336356, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018380883532336356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "ret_p1w": -0.017992738851802637, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017992738851802637, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02745593522808365, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02745593522808365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "ret_p1m": -0.08616706937812002, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08616706937812002, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10197969009121954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10197969009121954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015812620713099523, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015812620713099523, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08616706937812002, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10197969009121954, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10197969009121954, "price_path": [-0.1016, -0.0951, -0.1, -0.0955, -0.0964, -0.1001, -0.0972, -0.0829, -0.0645, -0.0731, -0.0785, -0.0737, -0.0723, -0.0764, -0.0882, -0.0655, -0.0568, -0.0537, -0.0504, -0.0404, -0.0418, -0.0265, -0.0273, -0.0157, 0.0043, -0.0002, 0.0155, 0.0327, 0.0228, 0.0112, -0.0266, -0.022, -0.022, -0.0149, -0.0069, -0.0418, -0.0536, -0.0601, -0.0573, -0.0764, -0.0796, -0.066, -0.0918, -0.091, -0.0777, -0.0667, -0.0594, -0.0612, -0.0629, -0.0474, -0.0256, -0.0154, -0.0286, -0.0196, -0.0187, -0.0591, -0.0764, -0.0806, -0.0563, -0.0497, -0.0487, -0.0414, -0.0188, 0.0, 0.0117, -0.0129, -0.0239, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0451, -0.0593, -0.0599, -0.0708, -0.0541, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0302, -0.048, -0.0371, -0.0527, -0.0385, -0.0571, -0.05, -0.083, -0.0862, -0.0976, -0.0976, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1923078235320934429", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-15T18:09:15+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we prefer natural gas given 15%-20% FCF yields at $5/mcf, LNG Canada to shrink AECO price differential to ~$1.10/mcf, and higher conviction near-term investment thesis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Prefer natural gas over oil: WTI range-bound at $50-$60 for next 9-12 months; high conviction on nat gas at $4-5/mcf with LNG Canada catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Given our expectation of a $50-$60ish WTI trading range for oil  and $4-5/mcf  range for natural gas for 2H/2025 + 1H/2026, if you own the TSX energy index for your energy allocation, you’re likely far too overweight oil.\n\n---\n\nWhy $50-$60WTI for the next 9-12 months? A couple of “if/thens” but demand growth is moderating and OPEC V8 intent on retuning barrels (actual vs. paper) given ongoing cheating = shale declines necessary. $60/$50 = ~0.5/1.0mm bbl/d declines exit:exit. OPEC spare capacity normalization + twilights of US shale = next bull market for oil. For now, we prefer natural gas given 15%-20% FCF yields at $5/mcf, LNG Canada to shrink AECO price differential to ~$1.10/mcf, and higher conviction near-term investment thesis with US/CDN LNG build out and necessary supply growth from higher cost basins like the Haynesville.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035714310042713304, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035714310042713304, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0405750156448621, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0405750156448621, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860705602148796, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860705602148796, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005357152183040115, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005357152183040115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011691125211299336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011691125211299336, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333973028259221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333973028259221, "ret_p1w": -0.008928549127512841, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008928549127512841, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003553291186441321, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003553291186441321, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481840313954162, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481840313954162, "ret_p1m": -0.026190395636349395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026190395636349395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03726651027121353, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03726651027121353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011076114634864132, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011076114634864132, "ret_p3m": -0.26904760174740394, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26904760174740394, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36072172222787047, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36072172222787047, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167412048046653, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167412048046653, "ret_p6m": -0.16964283078706066, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16964283078706066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3125130727402091, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3125130727402091, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287024195314846, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287024195314846, "ret_p1y": -0.3779761735814491, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3779761735814491, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6350337895146099, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6350337895146099, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2570576159331608, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2570576159331608, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.026190395636349395, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03726651027121353, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03726651027121353, "price_path": [0.1696, 0.1696, 0.247, 0.3458, 0.2935, 0.3149, 0.2643, 0.2946, 0.2589, 0.2417, 0.2107, 0.3065, 0.3756, 0.406, 0.3554, 0.3804, 0.4185, 0.3857, 0.2887, 0.2756, 0.297, 0.2631, 0.2744, 0.3304, 0.2601, 0.2405, 0.2298, 0.2101, 0.1988, 0.2149, 0.2696, 0.2863, 0.2321, 0.253, 0.2839, 0.1929, 0.1351, 0.0881, 0.1679, 0.0994, 0.1089, 0.0423, 0.0333, 0.0137, 0.0137, -0.0464, -0.0607, -0.0637, -0.0774, -0.0655, -0.0107, 0.0048, -0.0036, 0.031, 0.0905, 0.0702, 0.0339, 0.0815, 0.0756, 0.1298, 0.0923, 0.0827, 0.0357, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0685, 0.0113, 0.0071, -0.0089, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0161, -0.0387, -0.0482, -0.0649, 0.0042, 0.0095, 0.0065, -0.006, 0.0226, -0.0143, -0.044, -0.0506, -0.0435, -0.0262, 0.0107, 0.0464, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0512, 0.0024, -0.0327, -0.0565, -0.0679, -0.0155, -0.0905, -0.1006, -0.0821, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.1006, -0.1173, -0.1548, -0.122, -0.1119, -0.0899, -0.075, -0.0595, -0.0655, -0.0565, -0.1262, -0.1387, -0.1839, -0.175, -0.1768, -0.1863, -0.172, -0.2054, -0.1911, -0.1893, -0.2286, -0.2149, -0.194, -0.1946, -0.2143, -0.222, -0.269, -0.2619, -0.2554, -0.2363, -0.2429, -0.2762, -0.278, -0.2619, -0.2911, -0.2887, -0.2875, -0.2744, -0.2518, -0.2363, -0.2363, -0.2393, -0.2226, -0.2202, -0.2298, -0.2167, -0.2107, -0.2333, -0.2607, -0.2554, -0.2315, -0.2131, -0.2202, -0.2458, -0.2518, -0.2768, -0.2643, -0.2643, -0.2506, -0.2577, -0.2369, -0.222, -0.1893, -0.1994, -0.2232, -0.2083, -0.1798, -0.2202, -0.2417, -0.2661, -0.275, -0.2887, -0.2929, -0.3107, -0.2935, -0.2304, -0.2173, -0.2226, -0.2304, -0.228, -0.2327, -0.2655, -0.2732, -0.2369, -0.2113, -0.181, -0.1708, -0.1887, -0.1565, -0.1696]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866227741726499213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-09T21:05:41+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why are we medium/long-term natural gas bulls? New sources of demand. Nat gas is not a bridge fuel...it is THE fuel.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Medium/long-term bullish natural gas on surging AI data-centre demand adding significant new load to supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why are we medium/long-term natural gas bulls? New sources of demand. Proposed AI data centre in NW Alberta = 1.1Bcf/d of natural gas demand at full capacity. That's 6% of Canada's natural gas production. Nat gas is not a bridge fuel...it is THE fuel.\nhttps://t.co/Q29OFTbdgk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002896448996207779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002896448996207779, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0060153680265508935, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0060153680265508935, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031189190303431147, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031189190303431147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05430847047148868, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05430847047148868, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046577805893652346, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046577805893652346, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0077306645778363325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0077306645778363325, "ret_p1w": 0.047067313452573645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047067313452573645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044595347753365155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044595347753365155, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719656992084893, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024719656992084893, "ret_p1m": 0.23895728388590842, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23895728388590842, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2577460371840614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2577460371840614, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788753298152994, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018788753298152994, "ret_p3m": 0.7255611295895574, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7255611295895574, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7924707601964176, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7924707601964176, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06690963060686017, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06690963060686017, "ret_p6m": 0.24402605236507435, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24402605236507435, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24375240873050963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24375240873050963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002736436345647242, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002736436345647242, "ret_p1y": 0.10137578392406232, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10137578392406232, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.040861291438734515, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.040861291438734515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14223707536279684, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14223707536279684, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23895728388590842, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2577460371840614, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2577460371840614, "price_path": [0.0739, 0.0492, 0.076, 0.0601, 0.0456, 0.0579, 0.1108, 0.1651, 0.1448, 0.1477, 0.1202, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.1854, 0.1883, 0.2078, 0.1542, 0.1137, 0.1043, 0.076, 0.0956, 0.0717, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0268, -0.0362, -0.0565, -0.0406, -0.0224, 0.0007, 0.0369, 0.0463, -0.034, -0.029, -0.042, -0.0797, -0.0963, -0.0543, -0.0927, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0927, -0.0007, -0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0478, -0.0319, -0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0681, 0.097, 0.0362, 0.071, 0.092, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0449, 0.0051, -0.0434, -0.0398, -0.0355, -0.0319, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0543, 0.0891, 0.0304, 0.0101, 0.0471, 0.0529, 0.1151, 0.1492, 0.1318, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.113, 0.1412, 0.3056, 0.2172, 0.2317, 0.1289, 0.2426, 0.1579, 0.239, 0.239, 0.3338, 0.3193, 0.3374, 0.3845, 0.4439, 0.328, 0.328, 0.2839, 0.3425, 0.3215, 0.3121, 0.2419, 0.1796, 0.2136, 0.1687, 0.1723, 0.2773, 0.2361, 0.2889, 0.2954, 0.2657, 0.3186, 0.3454, 0.3606, 0.3867, 0.4229, 0.4229, 0.517, 0.6372, 0.5735, 0.5996, 0.538, 0.5749, 0.5315, 0.5105, 0.4728, 0.5894, 0.6734, 0.7104, 0.6488, 0.6792, 0.7256, 0.6857, 0.5677, 0.5518, 0.5778, 0.5366, 0.5503, 0.6184, 0.5329, 0.5091, 0.496, 0.4721, 0.4584, 0.4779, 0.5445, 0.5648, 0.4989, 0.5243, 0.5619, 0.4511, 0.3809, 0.3237, 0.4207, 0.3374, 0.349, 0.2679, 0.2571, 0.2332, 0.2332, 0.16, 0.1427, 0.139, 0.1224, 0.1369, 0.2035, 0.2223, 0.2122, 0.2542, 0.3266, 0.302, 0.2578, 0.3157, 0.3085, 0.3744, 0.3287, 0.3172, 0.26, 0.2165, 0.21, 0.1332, 0.2303, 0.2252, 0.2056, 0.2187, 0.2187, 0.2361, 0.1694, 0.1579, 0.1376, 0.2216, 0.2281, 0.2245, 0.2093, 0.244]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1643623306522763265", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-05T14:35:07+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you need not believe in a higher oil price (though we do!) to be bullish on energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks: even at current oil prices, average company can sustain 16% dividend with flat production.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You need not believe in a higher oil price (though we do!) to be bullish on energy stocks. Believe only in the price that you already see on your screen and the average company we estimate can pay a 16% dividend while keeping production flat. https://t.co/oryc5dmByP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01483391661822342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01483391661822342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017459106207468933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017459106207468933, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026251895892455135, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026251895892455135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01518155759731532, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01518155759731532, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019082423915325997, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019082423915325997, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003900866318010676, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003900866318010676, "ret_p1w": 0.002781322808046216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002781322808046216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0016772820187573867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0016772820187573867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011040407892888293, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011040407892888293, "ret_p1m": -0.09479670363041104, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09479670363041104, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08873677234391797, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08873677234391797, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00605993128649307, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00605993128649307, "ret_p3m": -0.04882844697583055, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04882844697583055, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14166092703112743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14166092703112743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09283248005529687, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09283248005529687, "ret_p6m": 0.08644415629259905, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08644415629259905, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02749195713515573, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02749195713515573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05895219915744332, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05895219915744332, "ret_p1y": 0.10754165476911082, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10754165476911082, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1897050277789376, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1897050277789376, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2972466825480484, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2972466825480484, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09479670363041104, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08873677234391797, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08873677234391797, "price_path": [0.0042, 0.0007, 0.0078, 0.0109, 0.0302, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0338, 0.0149, 0.0275, 0.0377, 0.0391, 0.0351, 0.0352, 0.0679, 0.0463, 0.0224, 0.0314, 0.0111, -0.0119, -0.0141, -0.0186, 0.0133, 0.0042, -0.0044, 0.0346, 0.032, 0.0323, 0.0148, 0.0048, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0358, -0.0422, -0.0278, -0.029, -0.0262, -0.0401, -0.0212, -0.0126, 0.0008, 0.0013, -0.0162, -0.0263, -0.04, -0.0523, -0.0716, -0.0624, -0.1127, -0.1031, -0.1172, -0.0995, -0.0684, -0.0882, -0.1008, -0.0973, -0.0781, -0.0639, -0.0509, -0.0467, -0.0401, 0.0034, -0.0148, 0.0, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0073, 0.0021, 0.0028, 0.009, 0.0109, -0.001, 0.0029, -0.0006, -0.0094, -0.0152, -0.0001, -0.0189, -0.032, -0.0285, -0.0134, -0.0246, -0.067, -0.0846, -0.0948, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0699, -0.0804, -0.0914, -0.09, -0.0854, -0.1079, -0.0907, -0.0841, -0.0771, -0.0809, -0.071, -0.067, -0.0836, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0965, -0.1124, -0.1014, -0.0741, -0.0802, -0.0728, -0.0482, -0.0523, -0.0575, -0.0665, -0.0621, -0.0717, -0.0615, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0839, -0.0767, -0.089, -0.0956, -0.0793, -0.0772, -0.0679, -0.0571, -0.051, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0541, -0.0754, -0.0555, -0.0481, -0.0272, -0.0182, -0.0219, -0.0478, -0.0496, -0.0401, -0.0344, -0.0231, -0.0145, 0.0014, 0.0067, 0.0071, 0.0006, 0.0037, 0.0227, 0.0179, 0.0046, 0.0148, 0.0162, 0.0173, 0.0224, 0.0352, 0.0351, 0.051, 0.0466, 0.0248, 0.0159, 0.0281, 0.0383, 0.0317, 0.0238, 0.0212, 0.0142, 0.024, 0.0309, 0.0337, 0.0389, 0.0396, 0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0664, 0.0669, 0.0659, 0.0761, 0.062, 0.087, 0.0788, 0.0915, 0.0757, 0.0848, 0.0747, 0.0647, 0.0501, 0.0518, 0.065, 0.0589, 0.0853, 0.0864]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1833475324769661191", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-10T11:59:16+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we expect Brent to average at $77/bbl next quarter", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Shares Goldman's call: Brent to average $77/bbl next quarter on normalization of extreme speculative underweighting and tightening physical market.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman: “In contrast to stronger physical demand, oil financial demand dropped to its new all-time low, and has plummeted by a massive average 7mb/d over the past two months. Together with the tightening physical market, any normalization from the currently extremely low speculative positioning and sizable undervaluation of the Brent 1M/36M timespread should help crude prices to recover further, and we expect Brent to average at $77/bbl next quarter.”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0383002428526944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0383002428526944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04263702467895536, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04263702467895536, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00433678182626096, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00433678182626096, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020523169805461983, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020523169805461983, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01026422225463075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01026422225463075, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010258947550831232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010258947550831232, "ret_p1w": 0.06518274819624748, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06518274819624748, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039161830122587116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.039161830122587116, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02602091807366036, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02602091807366036, "ret_p1m": 0.10680732951132188, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10680732951132188, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05192234053383382, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05192234053383382, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05488498897748806, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05488498897748806, "ret_p3m": 0.027894207791222536, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027894207791222536, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08304871123428126, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08304871123428126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1109429190255038, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1109429190255038, "ret_p6m": 0.003902249364639898, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.003902249364639898, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04640862146773728, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04640862146773728, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.050310870832377175, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050310870832377175, "ret_p1y": -0.015464657567115347, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.015464657567115347, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2055085920400339, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2055085920400339, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19004393447291856, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19004393447291856, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027894207791222536, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08304871123428126, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08304871123428126, "price_path": [0.196, 0.1941, 0.2177, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2388, 0.232, 0.2431, 0.2286, 0.2321, 0.2486, 0.2489, 0.2516, 0.2464, 0.2623, 0.2623, 0.2508, 0.2393, 0.2236, 0.2297, 0.2343, 0.2289, 0.2263, 0.2101, 0.2297, 0.2301, 0.1942, 0.1909, 0.1708, 0.181, 0.1905, 0.1726, 0.1531, 0.1364, 0.1666, 0.1493, 0.1101, 0.1028, 0.1054, 0.1321, 0.1441, 0.1513, 0.1895, 0.1662, 0.1528, 0.1713, 0.1516, 0.1224, 0.1158, 0.0991, 0.1161, 0.1421, 0.1769, 0.1497, 0.1367, 0.1554, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.0659, 0.0507, 0.0506, 0.027, 0.0383, 0.0, 0.0205, 0.0402, 0.035, 0.0515, 0.0652, 0.0645, 0.0822, 0.0766, 0.0681, 0.0864, 0.0617, 0.0348, 0.0403, 0.0373, 0.0632, 0.0681, 0.1218, 0.1281, 0.1697, 0.1155, 0.1068, 0.1476, 0.1424, 0.1195, 0.0731, 0.0727, 0.076, 0.0559, 0.0737, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.075, 0.0991, 0.0322, 0.0279, 0.0486, 0.0574, 0.0565, 0.0851, 0.0916, 0.0828, 0.0931, 0.0676, 0.0382, 0.039, 0.0447, 0.0487, 0.0267, 0.0594, 0.0595, 0.0523, 0.0728, 0.0864, 0.0552, 0.0523, 0.0526, 0.0526, 0.0542, 0.0382, 0.064, 0.0451, 0.0419, 0.0279, 0.0426, 0.0434, 0.0626, 0.061, 0.0766, 0.0682, 0.0578, 0.0607, 0.0533, 0.0542, 0.0497, 0.0634, 0.0634, 0.0588, 0.072, 0.0752, 0.0788, 0.0974, 0.1058, 0.1028, 0.1136, 0.1007, 0.1117, 0.1528, 0.1708, 0.1551, 0.1856, 0.1749, 0.1677, 0.1677, 0.146, 0.1418, 0.1315, 0.1346, 0.114, 0.12, 0.1068, 0.111, 0.1094, 0.0978, 0.1013, 0.0783, 0.0737, 0.0791, 0.0965, 0.1129, 0.0866, 0.0843, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0961, 0.099, 0.1054, 0.0757, 0.0808, 0.0554, 0.0483, 0.0701, 0.0577, 0.0351, 0.0267, 0.0016, 0.0039]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1724796388448579854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-15T14:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We agree!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author endorses bullish view on Canadian oilsands: improving buyside sentiment on TMX/Pathways progress, superior fundamentals vs L48 shale, cheap valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands sector: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TPH: \". Between TMX and progress on Pathways Alliance, potentially in the months to come, buyside sentiment on the group [CDN oilsands] may continue to improve, building on the fundamental considerations vs. L48 shale in terms of low-to-no decline production supported by robust reserve life, for less expensive valuations.\" We agree!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018304239666150208, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018304239666150208, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02041681567929295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016412995454654872, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002112576013142742, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018912442114953354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02523556103618792, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02523556103618792, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02645859082432896, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0057318421469546195, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001223029788141039, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0195037188892333, "ret_p1w": -0.022710799573578872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022710799573578872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034585769073100806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022474406277755394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011874969499521937, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00023639329582347823, "ret_p1m": -0.03625796538197856, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03625796538197856, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08591536930871069, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.038030915100654816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049657403926732124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0017729497186762533, "ret_p3m": -0.024048516980544443, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024048516980544443, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14264655852252828, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02923791732433223, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11859804154198383, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005189400343787787, "ret_p6m": 0.20923702312335077, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20923702312335077, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04418254375574712, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07417758821291418, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16505447936760365, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1350594349104366, "ret_p1y": 0.09506613952369503, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09506613952369503, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19198675147352995, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.018717660581484608, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.287052890997225, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07634847894221042, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03625796538197856, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08591536930871069, "alpha_c_stated": -0.038030915100654816, "price_path": [-0.0337, -0.0306, -0.0347, -0.0446, -0.0644, -0.0453, -0.0328, -0.0186, -0.0074, -0.0021, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0305, 0.0344, 0.0358, 0.0291, 0.002, 0.0236, 0.0189, 0.0419, 0.0398, 0.0282, 0.0166, 0.0044, -0.0138, -0.0103, 0.0103, 0.0288, 0.0606, 0.0605, 0.0726, 0.0402, 0.0405, -0.0037, -0.0063, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0453, 0.0479, 0.0563, 0.0874, 0.0841, 0.0849, 0.0883, 0.0885, 0.0713, 0.0479, 0.0297, 0.0471, 0.0429, 0.0365, 0.0263, 0.0291, 0.0419, 0.0638, 0.0441, 0.0341, -0.0055, -0.0363, -0.0212, 0.0076, 0.0132, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0252, 0.0066, 0.0139, 0.0028, -0.0227, -0.0135, -0.013, -0.0335, -0.0248, -0.0149, -0.0133, -0.0158, -0.048, -0.0672, -0.1048, -0.0826, -0.0651, -0.0751, -0.0887, -0.0608, -0.0363, -0.0676, -0.0554, -0.0331, -0.0351, -0.0241, -0.024, -0.024, -0.024, -0.012, -0.0281, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0214, 0.01, -0.0082, 0.0044, -0.0218, -0.0206, -0.0248, -0.022, -0.02, 0.0042, -0.0218, -0.0325, -0.0396, -0.0484, -0.0413, -0.0373, -0.0241, -0.0087, -0.01, -0.0182, -0.0018, -0.0176, -0.0283, -0.0553, -0.0604, -0.0532, -0.0544, -0.0365, -0.0325, -0.024, -0.0341, -0.0325, 0.0153, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.0208, 0.0438, 0.0525, 0.0519, 0.0578, 0.057, 0.0601, 0.0882, 0.1123, 0.1058, 0.1133, 0.1305, 0.13, 0.1214, 0.1249, 0.1174, 0.1415, 0.1632, 0.1606, 0.168, 0.1715, 0.1671, 0.1748, 0.1821, 0.216, 0.1912, 0.1923, 0.2002, 0.2002, 0.2093, 0.2086, 0.2183, 0.2313, 0.2432, 0.256, 0.2604, 0.3005, 0.2597, 0.2563, 0.2218, 0.2292, 0.2244, 0.2147, 0.2125, 0.2162, 0.2191, 0.2153, 0.2203, 0.2283, 0.2252, 0.1848, 0.1643, 0.176, 0.1696, 0.184, 0.1879, 0.1966, 0.2092]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052732051783102542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T12:47:13+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many oil stocks are discounting oil in the $60's and we think the new floor is $80WTI offering a meaningful rerate potential", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil stocks are mispriced at $60 oil; $80 WTI floor creates meaningful re-rate upside for energy equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad oil stocks proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ninepoint Energy Strategies Weekly Update: \"the investment case is not that oil is going to spike to $200/bbl, it is that many oil stocks are discounting oil in the $60's and we think the new floor is $80WTI offering a meaningful rerate potential\": https://t.co/gxSeAOGlv9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004488330279635022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004488330279635022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012676798687929924, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012676798687929924, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026391335473444633, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026391335473444633, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02411374987801307, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02411374987801307, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": 0.06714538263090963, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06714538263090963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06504404616602377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06504404616602377, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": 0.04721725371797714, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04721725371797714, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045048148221205286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.045048148221205286, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0021691054967718504, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0021691054967718504, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04721725371797714, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.045048148221205286, "alpha_c_stated": 0.045048148221205286, "price_path": [-0.0443, -0.0193, -0.0372, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.0413, -0.0229, -0.0158, -0.0211, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0213, -0.0181, -0.0026, 0.0174, 0.0081, 0.0022, 0.0074, 0.009, 0.0046, -0.0083, 0.0163, 0.0258, 0.0292, 0.0327, 0.0436, 0.0422, 0.0588, 0.0579, 0.0706, 0.0923, 0.0874, 0.1045, 0.1232, 0.1124, 0.0998, 0.0587, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0715, 0.0801, 0.0422, 0.0293, 0.0223, 0.0253, 0.0045, 0.0011, 0.0158, -0.0122, -0.0113, 0.0031, 0.0151, 0.023, 0.021, 0.0192, 0.0361, 0.0598, 0.0709, 0.0566, 0.0662, 0.0673, 0.0233, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.0264, 0.0336, 0.0346, 0.0425, 0.0671, 0.0876, 0.1004, 0.0736, 0.0616, 0.068, 0.068, 0.0386, 0.0232, 0.0224, 0.0106, 0.0287, 0.0406, 0.054, 0.0548, 0.0354, 0.0472, 0.0303, 0.0458, 0.0255, 0.0332, -0.0027, -0.0061, -0.0185, -0.0185, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1765402936794898462", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-06T15:43:54+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on energy stocks", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy equities with $80 WTI as the 2024 base case.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"We remain bullish\" on energy stocks, and believe that an $80WTI base case remains reasonable for 2024. https://t.co/6TuFdEihod", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0030992551228479215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0030992551228479215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0019424746815513982, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019424746815513982, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00504172980439932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00504172980439932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00849396547773118, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00849396547773118, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001432384138016829, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001432384138016829, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009926349615748009, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009926349615748009, "ret_p1w": 0.03719012036670444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03719012036670444, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024988136462420263, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024988136462420263, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012201983904284175, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012201983904284175, "ret_p1m": 0.12286750929037771, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12286750929037771, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11322726718350928, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11322726718350928, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009640242106868424, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009640242106868424, "ret_p3m": 0.050200460596818264, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.050200460596818264, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01157397840951746, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01157397840951746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038626482187300804, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038626482187300804, "ret_p6m": 0.06073361774228503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06073361774228503, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.041554891691727214, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.041554891691727214, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10228850943401224, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10228850943401224, "ret_p1y": 0.07858435602697922, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07858435602697922, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10801796320933099, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10801796320933099, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1866023192363102, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1866023192363102, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12286750929037771, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11322726718350928, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11322726718350928, "price_path": [-0.0651, -0.064, -0.0768, -0.064, -0.0365, -0.0416, -0.0337, -0.0222, -0.0312, -0.0274, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0162, -0.0205, -0.0355, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0273, -0.0115, -0.0288, -0.028, -0.0393, -0.0546, -0.0639, -0.0615, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0736, -0.0813, -0.0828, -0.0798, -0.0763, -0.0744, -0.0612, -0.0401, -0.0329, -0.0343, -0.0243, -0.0426, -0.0427, -0.0413, -0.0437, -0.0406, -0.0387, -0.0288, -0.0437, -0.0332, -0.0429, -0.0438, -0.0172, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0267, -0.0085, -0.0068, -0.0133, -0.0099, -0.0141, -0.0161, -0.0112, 0.0002, -0.0104, -0.0031, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0121, 0.0225, 0.0209, 0.0372, 0.0479, 0.051, 0.0546, 0.0666, 0.0651, 0.0715, 0.0692, 0.0791, 0.0708, 0.0807, 0.0924, 0.0924, 0.1005, 0.1159, 0.1236, 0.1229, 0.1349, 0.1277, 0.1281, 0.1315, 0.1307, 0.1123, 0.1019, 0.0923, 0.0892, 0.0858, 0.0989, 0.1061, 0.1122, 0.113, 0.1181, 0.1078, 0.1153, 0.0821, 0.0649, 0.071, 0.0711, 0.0796, 0.0785, 0.0773, 0.0917, 0.0857, 0.0828, 0.0842, 0.0866, 0.0836, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0863, 0.0655, 0.0558, 0.0573, 0.0573, 0.0681, 0.0493, 0.0523, 0.0784, 0.0502, 0.0401, 0.04, 0.0455, 0.0413, 0.0492, 0.0471, 0.0359, 0.0264, 0.0187, 0.0214, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0445, 0.0385, 0.0647, 0.0671, 0.0567, 0.0591, 0.0632, 0.0638, 0.0629, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0509, 0.0445, 0.0353, 0.0423, 0.0532, 0.0558, 0.0718, 0.0766, 0.0873, 0.0893, 0.0774, 0.0706, 0.0536, 0.0537, 0.0719, 0.0753, 0.0661, 0.0827, 0.0872, 0.0584, 0.0311, 0.0084, 0.0145, 0.0186, 0.0406, 0.0429, 0.048, 0.0379, 0.0439, 0.0564, 0.0553, 0.0624, 0.0344, 0.0361, 0.0388, 0.0543, 0.0638, 0.0539, 0.0471, 0.0607]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037173720272310380", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T14:23:58+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the glut thesis is dead, the floor price is raised to $70-$80, the energy sector is now finally relevant to generalist investors, and security of supply trumps all else", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: glut thesis dead, floor raised to $70-80, security of supply dominant — sector now relevant to generalists.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy investors should focus on what \"the day after\" looks like: the glut thesis is dead, the floor price is raised to $70-$80, the energy sector is now finally relevant to generalist investors, and security of supply trumps all else. https://t.co/xY9YDgK4OF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01544214492637519, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01544214492637519, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03362562317037854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03362562317037854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016905086277451353, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016905086277451353, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033956969800779335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033956969800779335, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": -0.03689857673720487, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03689857673720487, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05354740060249974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05354740060249974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": -0.07558519979321765, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07558519979321765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18231445109097988, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18231445109097988, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07558519979321765, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18231445109097988, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18231445109097988, "price_path": [-0.2862, -0.2794, -0.2739, -0.278, -0.2628, -0.2428, -0.2629, -0.2712, -0.2482, -0.2463, -0.2516, -0.241, -0.2239, -0.2311, -0.2298, -0.2298, -0.2313, -0.2127, -0.2101, -0.2056, -0.2051, -0.1979, -0.1917, -0.1843, -0.1756, -0.1917, -0.1656, -0.1468, -0.1568, -0.14, -0.1337, -0.1347, -0.1121, -0.1283, -0.1223, -0.1223, -0.132, -0.1153, -0.1089, -0.1137, -0.1094, -0.1102, -0.1139, -0.111, -0.0969, -0.0788, -0.0872, -0.0926, -0.0879, -0.0864, -0.0905, -0.1021, -0.0798, -0.0713, -0.0682, -0.065, -0.0551, -0.0564, -0.0414, -0.0422, -0.0307, -0.0111, -0.0154, 0.0, 0.0169, 0.0072, -0.0042, -0.0414, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0299, -0.0221, -0.0564, -0.0681, -0.0744, -0.0717, -0.0905, -0.0936, -0.0803, -0.1057, -0.1048, -0.0918, -0.0809, -0.0738, -0.0756, -0.0772, -0.0619, -0.0405, -0.0304, -0.0434, -0.0346, -0.0336, -0.0735, -0.0905, -0.0946, -0.0707, -0.0642, -0.0632, -0.0561, -0.0338, -0.0153, -0.0037, -0.028, -0.0388, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0597, -0.0736, -0.0743, -0.085, -0.0686, -0.0579, -0.0457, -0.045, -0.0626, -0.0519, -0.0671, -0.0532, -0.0715, -0.0645, -0.097, -0.1001, -0.1113, -0.1113, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978466815996039451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T14:23:41+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you have to be bullish natural gas producers, especially with them trading at ~12%-15% FCF yields at strip", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long natural gas producers on data-centre demand tailwind; trading at compelling 12-15% FCF yields at strip.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another day, another newly announced data centre being powered with natural gas. If you're bullish the Mag 7, you have to be bullish natural gas producers, especially with them trading at ~12%-15% FCF yields at strip.\nhttps://t.co/kC8tihoiFm https://t.co/HVOjKBbvFy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0062361629736277235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0062361629736277235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018161701770984529, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018161701770984529, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419992796529271, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004419992796529271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022271752817333068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022271752817333068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015461492291808265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015461492291808265, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810260525524803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810260525524803, "ret_p1w": -0.01247224001300018, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01247224001300018, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01642612045144287, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01642612045144287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953880438442692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003953880438442692, "ret_p1m": 0.06280616763899838, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06280616763899838, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0524780553608275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0524780553608275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328112278170876, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328112278170876, "ret_p3m": 0.07456798916334662, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07456798916334662, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03363121682947279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03363121682947279, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04093677233387383, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04093677233387383, "ret_p6m": 0.34982675224458126, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34982675224458126, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31248802402905884, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31248802402905884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03733872821552242, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03733872821552242, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06280616763899838, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0524780553608275, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0524780553608275, "price_path": [0.0384, 0.0044, 0.0221, 0.0309, 0.0429, 0.0367, 0.0597, 0.0703, 0.0583, 0.0477, 0.0137, 0.0128, 0.019, 0.0119, 0.0044, 0.0097, -0.0, 0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0208, 0.015, 0.0026, -0.0062, 0.0009, 0.0093, 0.0367, 0.046, 0.0407, 0.0517, 0.0654, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0783, 0.0438, 0.0544, 0.0309, 0.0199, 0.0163, 0.0468, 0.0424, 0.0331, 0.0239, 0.0548, 0.0513, 0.0446, 0.0168, 0.0208, 0.042, 0.0641, 0.0682, 0.0802, 0.0543, 0.0463, 0.0659, 0.0388, 0.053, 0.0615, 0.0637, 0.0624, 0.0383, -0.0151, 0.0085, -0.0062, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0076, -0.0134, -0.0125, 0.0165, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0156, -0.0138, -0.0169, -0.0018, 0.008, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.008, 0.0321, 0.0445, 0.0726, 0.061, 0.0628, 0.0748, 0.0575, 0.0726, 0.0655, 0.049, 0.0539, 0.0637, 0.0557, 0.0731, 0.0731, 0.0958, 0.102, 0.082, 0.1163, 0.1189, 0.1234, 0.1029, 0.1016, 0.1078, 0.0873, 0.0799, 0.0643, 0.0275, 0.0562, 0.0261, 0.0324, 0.0414, 0.0499, 0.0436, 0.0378, 0.0477, 0.0589, 0.0499, 0.0687, 0.0436, 0.0293, 0.0158, 0.0423, 0.036, 0.0405, 0.0611, 0.0746, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0598, 0.0943, 0.0921, 0.0988, 0.1028, 0.1154, 0.127, 0.1423, 0.1486, 0.11, 0.136, 0.1656, 0.1427, 0.1741, 0.1759, 0.1674, 0.1966, 0.1674, 0.1925, 0.1925, 0.1741, 0.2033, 0.2279, 0.2383, 0.219, 0.214, 0.2069, 0.2158, 0.2526, 0.2849, 0.2813, 0.28, 0.297, 0.3042, 0.3046, 0.2719, 0.3055, 0.3176, 0.3324, 0.3333, 0.349, 0.3598, 0.3881, 0.3943, 0.3858, 0.4181, 0.4329, 0.458, 0.4751, 0.4562, 0.4278, 0.38, 0.4039, 0.4039, 0.412, 0.4264, 0.3651, 0.3485, 0.3503, 0.3498]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1749835536020197565", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-23T16:44:36+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil/oilsands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on Canadian heavy oil/oilsand stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil/oilsands on TMX linefill, $70-80 WTI, 10-15%+ FCF yields, strong balance sheets, and 100% FCF return by YE24.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil/oilsands basket: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TMX linefill in the next few months + $70-$80WTI is why \"we remain bullish\" on Canadian heavy oil/oilsand stocks: 10%-15%+ FCF yields at spot, strongest balance sheets in history with debt rapidly falling further, and the prospect for 100% of FCF to be returned to shareholders for most companies by YE'24. https://t.co/puLGSu7r4m", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004608232446342157, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004608232446342157, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017001408428148164, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025000381028507474, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029080916035273408, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021081943434914097, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014303161496927785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014303161496927785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013210056389005853, "alpha_c_p1d": 4.2169782380696574e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010931051079219323, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014260991714547089, "ret_p1w": 0.0399465526593504, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0399465526593504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027510040646382704, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01412093050432587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012436512012967693, "bench_c_p1w": 0.054067483163676266, "ret_p1m": 0.0881346765548574, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0881346765548574, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06266336147736662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016954166010886285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025471315077490786, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07118051054397112, "ret_p3m": 0.2715715948817596, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2715715948817596, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2471552277702151, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08435071966032809, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02441636711154449, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1872208752214315, "ret_p6m": 0.2613633066431535, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2613633066431535, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10541571411952172, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08666074404066054, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15594759252363177, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17470256260249295, "ret_p1y": 0.19099615055762054, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.19099615055762054, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.021593196977240492, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.058538711732621485, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21258934753486103, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13245743882499905, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0881346765548574, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06266336147736662, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016954166010886285, "price_path": [0.0998, 0.0925, 0.0819, 0.0843, 0.0966, 0.1199, 0.0987, 0.088, 0.0457, 0.015, 0.0298, 0.0594, 0.0655, 0.0702, 0.0512, 0.0256, 0.0592, 0.0665, 0.0546, 0.0281, 0.0374, 0.0376, 0.0169, 0.0262, 0.036, 0.0379, 0.0355, 0.0029, -0.0167, -0.0563, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0291, -0.0441, -0.0158, 0.0098, -0.023, -0.0104, 0.0124, 0.0089, 0.0195, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0323, 0.0157, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0226, 0.0549, 0.0346, 0.0469, 0.0208, 0.0215, 0.0169, 0.0186, 0.0193, 0.0427, 0.0157, 0.0035, -0.0033, -0.0114, -0.0046, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.031, 0.0312, 0.0227, 0.0399, 0.0241, 0.0129, -0.0144, -0.0192, -0.0119, -0.0133, 0.0051, 0.0085, 0.0181, 0.0071, 0.0089, 0.0601, 0.0661, 0.0661, 0.0644, 0.0881, 0.0972, 0.0963, 0.1026, 0.1015, 0.1032, 0.1321, 0.1571, 0.149, 0.157, 0.174, 0.1735, 0.1643, 0.1684, 0.1622, 0.1878, 0.2104, 0.2071, 0.2163, 0.2205, 0.2167, 0.2248, 0.2325, 0.2669, 0.244, 0.2449, 0.2531, 0.2531, 0.2629, 0.2648, 0.2768, 0.2901, 0.3035, 0.3153, 0.3204, 0.36, 0.3183, 0.3141, 0.2795, 0.287, 0.2825, 0.2729, 0.2716, 0.2759, 0.279, 0.2758, 0.2804, 0.289, 0.2868, 0.2442, 0.2237, 0.2347, 0.2282, 0.2432, 0.2473, 0.2566, 0.2679, 0.2479, 0.2405, 0.232, 0.2325, 0.2266, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2523, 0.2354, 0.2289, 0.2475, 0.2552, 0.2825, 0.2614, 0.2637, 0.2661, 0.205, 0.1919, 0.191, 0.1948, 0.1828, 0.2071, 0.2068, 0.2012, 0.1614, 0.1582, 0.1655, 0.1873, 0.181, 0.1879, 0.1773, 0.223, 0.2136, 0.2176, 0.2348, 0.2326, 0.2326, 0.2626, 0.2675, 0.2711, 0.2356, 0.2313, 0.2136, 0.2362, 0.2526, 0.2545, 0.284, 0.2649, 0.2614]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1999133083388268627", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T15:04:03+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil and natural gas macro", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil on multi-year bull market thesis; bullish natural gas as part of the 2026 energy outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last @marketcall of 2025! Oil and natural gas macro, why it has been such a spectacular year for energy investors despite oil's selloff, our outlook for 2026, and why oil is on the cusp of a major multi-year bull market: https://t.co/9uhUyoeaVB https://t.co/be7lJQBajG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09021409113597634, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09021409113597634, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09253563714934787, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09253563714934787, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02675843910636344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02675843910636344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016006381111267176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016006381111267176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010752057995096265, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010752057995096265, "ret_p1w": -0.08027524440820932, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08027524440820932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061847254819851094, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061847254819851094, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.13455659320700986, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13455659320700986, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14420599477987173, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14420599477987173, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009649401572861871, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009649401572861871, "ret_p3m": -0.0030581010769374917, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0030581010769374917, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027619172230084144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027619172230084144, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.030677273307021635, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030677273307021635, "ret_p6m": -0.12920486163920863, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12920486163920863, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2047693362225328, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2047693362225328, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07556447458332416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07556447458332416, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.013, 0.0107, 0.0015, -0.0313, -0.039, -0.0711, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0375, -0.0466, -0.0199, -0.0008, 0.0413, 0.0283, -0.0023, 0.0168, 0.0535, 0.0015, -0.026, -0.0573, -0.0688, -0.0864, -0.0917, -0.1147, -0.0925, -0.0115, 0.0054, -0.0015, -0.0115, -0.0084, -0.0145, -0.0566, -0.0665, -0.0199, 0.013, 0.052, 0.065, 0.042, 0.0833, 0.0665, 0.078, 0.1131, 0.12, 0.1323, 0.1131, 0.0795, 0.0872, 0.1239, 0.1024, 0.12, 0.1017, 0.0573, 0.0894, 0.0894, 0.1261, 0.1628, 0.1437, 0.1827, 0.1972, 0.2515, 0.1521, 0.078, 0.0902, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0474, -0.0749, -0.0336, -0.0803, -0.068, -0.094, -0.0138, -0.0528, -0.0206, -0.0023, 0.0031, -0.0627, -0.078, -0.1109, -0.1376, -0.0994, -0.1384, -0.2049, -0.1453, -0.1346, -0.2171, -0.2125, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.0543, 0.0428, 0.0268, 0.068, 0.1338, 0.1239, 0.1109, 0.1514, 0.292, -0.0291, -0.0076, 0.0291, 0.0336, 0.0145, -0.0696, -0.0726, -0.0581, -0.0497, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0902, -0.0925, -0.0979, -0.0818, -0.1024, -0.1239, -0.1131, -0.13, -0.1193, -0.0826, -0.0612, -0.0994, -0.0787, -0.0252, -0.0589, -0.0619, -0.0153, -0.0031, -0.0336, -0.0665, -0.0673, -0.0313, -0.0398, -0.0528, -0.1032, -0.1032, -0.0933, -0.0948, -0.0612, -0.107, -0.1032, -0.1269, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.1307, -0.117, -0.1529, -0.1682, -0.1766, -0.1835, -0.1927, -0.1911, -0.1758, -0.1713, -0.1705, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.1957, -0.2118, -0.198, -0.2102, -0.224, -0.1896, -0.1812, -0.1628, -0.1865, -0.2011, -0.1835, -0.1919, -0.1422, -0.1659, -0.1606, -0.1468, -0.1338, -0.1177, -0.0902, -0.1216, -0.1338, -0.1636, -0.1636, -0.1659, -0.1453, -0.091, -0.0879, -0.1177, -0.1231, -0.1047, -0.0734, -0.1078, -0.1307, -0.1292]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1809245603404112282", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-05T15:19:00+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The oil & natural gas sector is NOT a sunset industry, yet it is being valued as such when you can get decades worth of inventory for nothing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil & gas sector; market misprices it as a sunset industry despite deep inventory available cheaply and strong FCF yield.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The oil & natural gas sector is NOT a sunset industry, yet  it is being valued as such when you can get decades worth of inventory for nothing. Too, look at the lack of differentiation between the \"haves\" and \"have nots\" with respect to inventory depth: FCF yield in what may be one of my Top 5 favourite charts that we've made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015871212090683873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015871212090683873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02160462088519166, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02160462088519166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005733408794507788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005733408794507788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0061042296815145836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0061042296815145836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258169915500323, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258169915500323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011539402339857396, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011539402339857396, "ret_p1w": 0.004661587599403383, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004661587599403383, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004984094321409449, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004984094321409449, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009645681920812832, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009645681920812832, "ret_p1m": -0.04051057171878847, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04051057171878847, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02666824441044202, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02666824441044202, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06717881612923049, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06717881612923049, "ret_p3m": 0.015196367228437424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015196367228437424, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013587868532226599, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013587868532226599, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028784235760664023, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028784235760664023, "ret_p6m": -0.045911032056832446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.045911032056832446, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11328810792733546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11328810792733546, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06737707587050301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06737707587050301, "ret_p1y": -0.016890195594864155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.016890195594864155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13381456621709642, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13381456621709642, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11692437062223227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11692437062223227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04051057171878847, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02666824441044202, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02666824441044202, "price_path": [0.0734, 0.0767, 0.0759, 0.0584, 0.0485, 0.0394, 0.0364, 0.0332, 0.0457, 0.0525, 0.0583, 0.0591, 0.0639, 0.0541, 0.0613, 0.0297, 0.0133, 0.0191, 0.0192, 0.0273, 0.0263, 0.0251, 0.0388, 0.0331, 0.0303, 0.0317, 0.034, 0.0311, 0.0455, 0.0387, 0.0337, 0.0138, 0.0046, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0164, -0.0016, 0.0013, 0.0262, -0.0007, -0.0103, -0.0104, -0.0052, -0.0092, -0.0017, -0.0037, -0.0144, -0.0234, -0.0306, -0.0281, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0061, -0.0118, 0.0131, 0.0154, 0.0054, 0.0078, 0.0117, 0.0122, 0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0159, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0149, -0.0082, 0.0021, 0.0047, 0.0199, 0.0244, 0.0346, 0.0365, 0.0252, 0.0188, 0.0026, 0.0027, 0.02, 0.0232, 0.0144, 0.0302, 0.0345, 0.0071, -0.0189, -0.0405, -0.0346, -0.0307, -0.0099, -0.0077, -0.0028, -0.0124, -0.0067, 0.0052, 0.0041, 0.0109, -0.0158, -0.0141, -0.0115, 0.0032, 0.0122, 0.0028, -0.0037, 0.0093, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0121, -0.0257, -0.0333, -0.0454, -0.0385, -0.055, -0.0638, -0.0554, -0.0501, -0.0392, -0.0262, -0.0243, -0.0127, -0.0149, -0.0027, -0.0052, -0.0246, -0.0438, -0.0243, -0.0175, 0.0049, 0.0152, 0.0331, 0.0427, 0.0464, 0.0191, 0.0253, 0.0322, 0.0386, 0.0381, 0.0047, 0.0095, 0.0143, 0.0109, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.005, 0.0049, 0.0046, -0.0018, -0.017, -0.0148, -0.0086, -0.0149, 0.0023, 0.009, 0.047, 0.0422, 0.0491, 0.055, 0.0494, 0.0576, 0.0616, 0.0601, 0.0742, 0.0673, 0.0781, 0.0868, 0.0885, 0.067, 0.0656, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.069, 0.0577, 0.0576, 0.0321, 0.0361, 0.0186, 0.0169, 0.0099, 0.0116, 0.0034, -0.0016, -0.0235, -0.0308, -0.0594, -0.0676, -0.0584, -0.0529, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0457, -0.0458, -0.0459]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036079277771206795", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-23T13:55:03+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks have greatly lagged the rise in the oil price and are reflecting on average ~$70WTI. we remain bullish given the twilight of US shale, the peaking of non-OPEC production, the lack of meaningful OPEC spare capacity, and the decades ahead of oil demand growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil ($10/bbl+ political risk premium, glut thesis dead) and energy equities (lagging oil, reflecting ~$70 WTI vs $76 strip) on structural supply tightness and demand growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While the worst energy crisis of our lifetimes remains, the Strait of Hormuz was always going to reopen, eventually. I'm more interested in \"the day after\":\n🛢️while noisy, oil-on-water inventories are falling by over 5MM Bbl/d with less than 35MM bbls of Russian and Iranian floating storage to unsanction. Production is down ~10MM Bbl/d and will take time to be restored even when the Strait fully opens. The \"oil glut\" narrative is officially dead as those barrels are gone forever. Too, look for SPR refilling and product hoarding. Biggest bear thesis is no more.\n🛢️We expect there to be an enduring political risk premium of at least $10/bbl and a renewed focus on \"security of supply.\" We are only one drone away from halting 20MM bbl/d of flows all over again and spare capacity is only valid if you can get it to your customers.\n🛢️Energy stocks have greatly lagged the rise in the oil price and are reflecting on average ~$70WTI. 2026/2027 strip = $76WTI. Stock picking  matters!\n🛢️Geopolitical spikes are never good for energy stock price performance...\"we remain bullish\"™️ given the twilight of US shale, the peaking of non-OPEC production, the lack of meaningful OPEC spare capacity, and the decades ahead of oil demand growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011822874454624044, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011822874454624044, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0014319600113135156, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0014319600113135156, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020291783712874212, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020291783712874212, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023648633465140678, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023648633465140678, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": 0.039074257498266096, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039074257498266096, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07479404450011917, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07479404450011917, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": -0.06305554366727961, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06305554366727961, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13736359677265197, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13736359677265197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": -0.08317965470944932, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08317965470944932, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21376041160200387, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21376041160200387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13058075689255455, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13058075689255455, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08317965470944932, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21376041160200387, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21376041160200387, "price_path": [-0.2634, -0.2586, -0.2607, -0.2636, -0.2566, -0.2509, -0.2551, -0.2394, -0.2188, -0.2396, -0.2481, -0.2244, -0.2224, -0.2279, -0.2169, -0.1993, -0.2068, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2069, -0.1878, -0.1851, -0.1804, -0.1799, -0.1724, -0.1661, -0.1584, -0.1494, -0.1661, -0.1391, -0.1198, -0.1301, -0.1128, -0.1063, -0.1073, -0.084, -0.1006, -0.0945, -0.0945, -0.1045, -0.0873, -0.0806, -0.0856, -0.0811, -0.082, -0.0858, -0.0828, -0.0683, -0.0496, -0.0583, -0.0638, -0.059, -0.0575, -0.0616, -0.0736, -0.0506, -0.0418, -0.0386, -0.0353, -0.0252, -0.0265, -0.011, -0.0118, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0158, 0.0317, 0.0491, 0.0391, 0.0273, -0.0111, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0008, 0.0089, -0.0265, -0.0386, -0.0451, -0.0423, -0.0617, -0.0649, -0.0511, -0.0773, -0.0765, -0.0631, -0.0518, -0.0444, -0.0463, -0.048, -0.0322, -0.0101, 0.0003, -0.0131, -0.004, -0.003, -0.0441, -0.0617, -0.0659, -0.0413, -0.0345, -0.0335, -0.0262, -0.0032, 0.0159, 0.0278, 0.0029, -0.0084, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0299, -0.0443, -0.0449, -0.056, -0.0391, -0.028, -0.0154, -0.0148, -0.0329, -0.0218, -0.0376, -0.0231, -0.0421, -0.0349, -0.0684, -0.0716, -0.0832, -0.0832, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876639635855520000", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-07T14:38:50+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are optimistic that with record high oil demand, record low oil inventories, normalizing OPEC spare capacity, the twilight of US shale, and meaningfully improving natural gas fundamentals, that sentiment could shift this year resulting in funds flow tailwinds vs. headwinds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: fund-flow reversal expected in current year driven by record demand, low inventories, OPEC normalization, shale decline, and improving nat gas fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy funds experienced massive net redemptions last year (largest since at least 2016) resulting in ongoing selling pressure. We are optimistic that with record high oil demand, record low oil inventories, normalizing OPEC spare capacity, the twilight of US shale, and meaningfully improving natural gas fundamentals, that sentiment could shift this year resulting in funds flow tailwinds vs. headwinds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009893062340009307, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009893062340009307, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021326319424979534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021326319424979534, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011433257084970228, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011433257084970228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010233268898631742, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010233268898631742, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00043771727966168683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00043771727966168683, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001461044169524861, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001461044169524861, "ret_p1w": 0.03729809936431905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03729809936431905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04823894175006349, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04823894175006349, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010940842385744443, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010940842385744443, "ret_p1m": 0.02604042069022583, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02604042069022583, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0004446735349732389, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0004446735349732389, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02648509422519907, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02648509422519907, "ret_p3m": -0.09740420590961352, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09740420590961352, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04161353143379809, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04161353143379809, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1390177373434116, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1390177373434116, "ret_p6m": 0.005484003388348979, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005484003388348979, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06322715031478099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06322715031478099, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06871115370312997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06871115370312997, "ret_p1y": 0.048678775794222195, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.048678775794222195, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1336046040788399, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1336046040788399, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1822833798730621, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1822833798730621, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02604042069022583, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0004446735349732389, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0004446735349732389, "price_path": [0.0332, 0.0402, 0.0466, 0.0461, 0.0124, 0.0173, 0.0221, 0.0187, 0.0157, 0.0181, 0.0128, 0.0127, 0.0123, 0.0059, -0.0094, -0.0072, -0.001, -0.0073, 0.0101, 0.0168, 0.0551, 0.0502, 0.0572, 0.0632, 0.0575, 0.0658, 0.0698, 0.0682, 0.0825, 0.0756, 0.0864, 0.0952, 0.0969, 0.0752, 0.0738, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0773, 0.0659, 0.0658, 0.0401, 0.0441, 0.0264, 0.0247, 0.0177, 0.0194, 0.0112, 0.0061, -0.016, -0.0233, -0.0522, -0.0604, -0.0512, -0.0456, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0383, -0.0384, -0.0385, -0.0259, -0.0146, -0.0053, -0.0099, 0.0, 0.001, 0.001, 0.0051, 0.0263, 0.0373, 0.0526, 0.0603, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.063, 0.0437, 0.0484, 0.0383, 0.0275, 0.0177, 0.02, 0.0252, -0.0034, 0.0028, 0.0239, 0.026, 0.0072, 0.0071, 0.0292, 0.0375, 0.0125, 0.0201, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0382, 0.0464, 0.0559, 0.034, 0.0342, 0.0193, 0.0135, 0.019, 0.0348, -0.0014, -0.011, -0.0255, -0.0225, -0.0058, 0.0016, -0.0064, -0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0207, 0.037, 0.0387, 0.0556, 0.0595, 0.0521, 0.0641, 0.0684, 0.0747, 0.0643, 0.0593, 0.0709, 0.0772, 0.0787, -0.006, -0.0974, -0.1032, -0.124, -0.0561, -0.1178, -0.0959, -0.0927, -0.0941, -0.0866, -0.066, -0.0904, -0.0673, -0.069, -0.0541, -0.0558, -0.0492, -0.0519, -0.0775, -0.074, -0.0605, -0.0775, -0.0772, -0.0769, -0.0647, -0.0553, -0.0307, -0.0171, -0.023, -0.0189, -0.0204, -0.0331, -0.0421, -0.0597, -0.0634, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.0523, -0.0643, -0.0573, -0.0657, -0.0534, -0.0422, -0.0608, -0.0618, -0.0441, -0.0423, -0.0252, -0.0111, -0.0077, 0.0096, 0.0067, 0.0161, 0.0094, 0.0094, 0.0197, -0.0061, -0.019, -0.0233, -0.0093, -0.0145, -0.0202, -0.0127, 0.0043, 0.0055]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1898030940334522654", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-07T15:20:14+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy stocks despite crude selloff, OPEC+ barrel adds, and tariff headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ninepoint Energy Strategies Weekly update: crude selloff, market panic, OPEC+ V8 adding barrels, tariffs, and 7 examples of why \"we remain bullish\" on energy stocks: https://t.co/3eOun9v6Bi https://t.co/Yy4Ggkagrz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0168132914643927, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0168132914643927, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011239560348079936, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011239560348079936, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005573731116312763, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005573731116312763, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007434532581493292, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007434532581493292, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034069980935107935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034069980935107935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.026635448353614644, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026635448353614644, "ret_p1w": 0.02664987842685762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02664987842685762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04941335712919681, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04941335712919681, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02276347870233919, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02276347870233919, "ret_p1m": -0.09801786945473434, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09801786945473434, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023566149211743936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023566149211743936, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.12158401866647828, "bench_c_p1m": -0.12158401866647828, "ret_p3m": -0.056290434370290354, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.056290434370290354, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08913180725785841, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08913180725785841, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032841372887568054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032841372887568054, "ret_p6m": 0.05190557776923366, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05190557776923366, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06646952172328069, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06646952172328069, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11837509949251435, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11837509949251435, "ret_p1y": 0.3219227581219102, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3219227581219102, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.11681491484867923, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11681491484867923, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20510784327323095, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20510784327323095, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09801786945473434, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023566149211743936, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023566149211743936, "price_path": [0.0307, 0.0237, 0.0254, 0.0171, 0.012, -0.0102, -0.0176, -0.0467, -0.0549, -0.0456, -0.04, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.0327, -0.0328, -0.0329, -0.0202, -0.0088, 0.0005, -0.0041, 0.0058, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.011, 0.0323, 0.0433, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0747, 0.0747, 0.0692, 0.0498, 0.0546, 0.0444, 0.0335, 0.0237, 0.026, 0.0312, 0.0024, 0.0087, 0.0299, 0.032, 0.013, 0.0129, 0.0352, 0.0436, 0.0184, 0.0261, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0443, 0.0525, 0.0621, 0.04, 0.0403, 0.0253, 0.0194, 0.0249, 0.0408, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0198, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0074, -0.0006, 0.004, -0.0029, 0.0266, 0.043, 0.0447, 0.0618, 0.0657, 0.0582, 0.0703, 0.0747, 0.081, 0.0705, 0.0654, 0.0772, 0.0835, 0.085, -0.0002, -0.0921, -0.098, -0.1189, -0.0506, -0.1127, -0.0906, -0.0874, -0.0888, -0.0813, -0.0606, -0.0851, -0.0618, -0.0636, -0.0486, -0.0503, -0.0436, -0.0464, -0.0721, -0.0686, -0.055, -0.0721, -0.0719, -0.0715, -0.0593, -0.0498, -0.0251, -0.0113, -0.0173, -0.0132, -0.0147, -0.0275, -0.0365, -0.0542, -0.0579, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0467, -0.0588, -0.0518, -0.0602, -0.0479, -0.0366, -0.0554, -0.0563, -0.0385, -0.0367, -0.0195, -0.0053, -0.0019, 0.0155, 0.0125, 0.022, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0257, -0.0003, -0.0133, -0.0176, -0.0035, -0.0088, -0.0144, -0.0069, 0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0016, 0.0285, 0.0233, 0.0311, 0.0358, 0.0244, 0.0096, 0.0009, 0.007, -0.0011, -0.0114, -0.0068, 0.0088, 0.016, 0.0122, 0.0237, 0.0337, 0.0189, 0.0134, -0.0054, -0.0076, -0.0063, -0.0155, -0.0193, -0.0131, -0.021, -0.0162, -0.0048, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0117, -0.0113, -0.0031, 0.0038, 0.0242, 0.0269, 0.0253, 0.0368, 0.0447, 0.0504, 0.0504, 0.0519]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851351502914310290", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-29T19:52:49+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You wouldn't know it in their share prices...", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Canadian oil equities are underpriced despite 39% FX revenue uplift and ~$100 CAD/bbl realizations; implied long.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The CAD is trading at a multi-year low against the USD. As a result, Canadian oil companies get a 39% revenue uplift + due to excess pipeline capacity (ie. tight differentials) are still getting ~$100CAD for a light barrel of oil! You wouldn't know it in their share prices... https://t.co/XluU8QIxL6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0073946286902653036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0073946286902653036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009010406369508783, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009010406369508783, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016157776792434797, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016157776792434797, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034128879156993808, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0034128879156993808, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006438119250637198, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006438119250637198, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003025231334937817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003025231334937817, "ret_p1w": -0.0045508228709337795, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0045508228709337795, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0041639108856414975, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0041639108856414975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008714733756575277, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008714733756575277, "ret_p1m": 0.01649615981338237, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01649615981338237, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012828122601915792, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012828122601915792, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029324282415298164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029324282415298164, "ret_p3m": 0.0029311453072333737, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0029311453072333737, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030788735870633355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.030788735870633355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03371988117786673, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03371988117786673, "ret_p6m": -0.08735857192372443, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08735857192372443, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03989176531554617, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03989176531554617, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04746680660817826, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04746680660817826, "ret_p1y": 0.047823871326239775, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.047823871326239775, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12009697201359515, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12009697201359515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16792084333983492, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16792084333983492, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01649615981338237, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012828122601915792, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012828122601915792, "price_path": [0.0192, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0287, -0.0163, 0.0034, 0.0079, 0.039, 0.0424, 0.0519, 0.07, 0.0581, 0.0531, 0.0294, 0.0277, 0.0299, 0.0412, 0.0565, 0.0356, 0.0311, 0.0407, 0.0266, 0.0266, -0.0039, -0.0197, -0.0338, -0.0485, -0.0501, -0.0721, -0.0721, -0.0637, -0.0614, -0.053, -0.0383, -0.0428, -0.0259, -0.0332, -0.0276, -0.0182, -0.0353, -0.0648, -0.0444, -0.0392, -0.0068, -0.0051, 0.0233, 0.037, 0.0552, 0.0313, 0.0353, 0.058, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0091, 0.0051, 0.0165, 0.0119, 0.0159, 0.0165, 0.0057, 0.0108, 0.0245, 0.0074, 0.0, 0.0034, -0.0085, -0.0176, -0.0046, -0.0046, 0.0142, 0.0199, 0.0091, 0.008, -0.0034, 0.0051, 0.0279, 0.0165, 0.0267, 0.0233, 0.0336, 0.0529, 0.058, 0.0392, 0.0159, 0.0165, 0.0228, 0.0233, 0.0165, 0.0239, 0.0017, 0.0102, -0.0097, -0.0051, -0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0171, -0.0347, -0.0415, -0.0586, -0.066, -0.0654, -0.0461, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0327, -0.0166, -0.0011, 0.0052, 0.0144, 0.0317, 0.0322, 0.0334, 0.0437, 0.0248, 0.0265, 0.0294, 0.011, 0.0202, 0.038, 0.0294, 0.0271, 0.0259, 0.0144, 0.0029, -0.0068, 0.0052, 0.0104, -0.0137, -0.0178, -0.0074, -0.0028, -0.0149, -0.0109, 0.0104, 0.0242, 0.0012, 0.0047, -0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0047, 0.0127, 0.0156, -0.0051, -0.0137, -0.0298, -0.035, -0.0344, -0.0321, -0.0804, -0.0908, -0.0976, -0.0919, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.066, -0.0511, -0.058, -0.0396, -0.0258, -0.0224, -0.0063, 0.0001, 0.0006, 0.0156, 0.0196, 0.0256, 0.018, 0.0076, 0.0209, 0.0279, 0.0354, -0.0376, -0.1209, -0.1383, -0.1789, -0.1094, -0.1679, -0.1441, -0.1383, -0.1354, -0.1186, -0.0995, -0.1082, -0.0897, -0.0955, -0.0862, -0.0874]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1907104658323087389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-01T16:15:57+00:00", "symbol": "Canada oil producers", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "Montney natural gas", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$3BN market cap Montney producer which we estimate over the next 5 years will grow production by 50% while also buying back 50% of their shares outstanding", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian energy producers: a Montney gas name with 50% production growth + 50% buyback, and an oilsands name with 60% buyback capacity at $70 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["TOU.TO", "AAV.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Montney nat gas producers: Tourmaline, Advantage, ARC Resources", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What opportunities do we see in Canada? Here is a ~$3BN market cap Montney producer which we estimate over the next 5 years will grow production by 50% while also buying back 50% of their shares outstanding, at which point they will still have 28 years of stay-flat inventory. https://t.co/bAHr2sU6Zj\n\n---\n\nOr a ~$3BN market cap oilsands producer with over 50 years of stay flat inventory able to buy back ~60% of their shares outstanding with free cashflow at $70WTI flat. Twilight of shale = need to replace depleted inventory = 🇨🇦. https://t.co/n5AfjfBnea", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0133083727270068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0133083727270068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010491859129099668, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007457324448047031, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002816513597907133, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0058510482789597695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01161529688916533, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01161529688916533, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00528697281875338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010232262441220255, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00632832407041195, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013830344479450751, "ret_p1w": -0.2092129063910276, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2092129063910276, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09425132379937726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022404407908218932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11496158259165035, "bench_c_p1w": -0.18680849848280867, "ret_p1m": -0.12763546542528512, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12763546542528512, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12317887437848149, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012789944578250806, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004456591046803626, "bench_c_p1m": -0.14042541000353592, "ret_p3m": 0.002834819481997782, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.002834819481997782, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10181693450836575, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09326131430056102, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10465175399036353, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09042649481856324, "ret_p6m": -0.04591621391284495, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04591621391284495, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22570328007037566, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03182744052534292, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1797870661575307, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01408877338750203, "ret_p1y": 0.04353178736777682, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.04353178736777682, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.134192058497738, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2924946516267916, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17772384586551482, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3360264389945684, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04353178736777682, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.134192058497738, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2924946516267916, "price_path": [-0.076, -0.0821, -0.0617, -0.0748, -0.056, -0.0512, -0.0554, -0.0727, -0.0643, -0.0702, -0.0924, -0.0804, -0.0701, -0.0677, -0.0651, -0.0749, -0.0808, -0.112, -0.1222, -0.1182, -0.1195, -0.1291, -0.123, -0.1252, -0.1265, -0.1388, -0.1105, -0.0866, -0.0783, -0.0947, -0.0824, -0.0899, -0.0899, -0.0849, -0.0657, -0.0665, -0.0692, -0.0768, -0.101, -0.0956, -0.097, -0.0799, -0.1211, -0.1168, -0.1252, -0.1518, -0.1347, -0.139, -0.1256, -0.1029, -0.1139, -0.107, -0.0913, -0.0847, -0.0586, -0.0511, -0.0429, -0.0327, -0.0338, -0.0195, -0.0285, -0.0288, -0.0133, 0.0, 0.0116, -0.048, -0.1337, -0.1615, -0.2092, -0.1636, -0.1973, -0.1599, -0.1465, -0.1337, -0.1052, -0.0877, -0.1025, -0.0816, -0.0915, -0.0918, -0.0937, -0.0854, -0.1028, -0.1244, -0.1276, -0.1013, -0.1166, -0.1022, -0.0843, -0.0912, -0.0756, -0.0574, -0.0496, -0.0492, -0.0558, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0311, -0.0247, -0.0409, -0.0202, -0.0067, -0.0253, -0.0208, -0.0233, -0.0399, -0.0267, -0.0111, -0.0216, -0.0223, -0.0045, -0.0072, -0.0083, 0.0108, 0.0202, 0.0339, 0.0375, 0.0531, 0.0461, 0.0571, 0.0576, 0.0239, 0.0093, -0.0033, -0.0093, 0.0002, 0.0028, 0.0028, -0.0178, -0.0286, -0.0322, -0.0409, -0.0291, -0.0294, -0.0439, -0.0368, -0.0304, -0.0352, -0.0534, -0.0587, -0.0462, -0.0693, -0.0806, -0.0689, -0.0562, -0.0636, -0.0548, -0.0404, -0.0433, -0.0721, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.0741, -0.0778, -0.0772, -0.0808, -0.0755, -0.0763, -0.099, -0.0929, -0.0962, -0.1004, -0.1138, -0.1111, -0.0919, -0.0851, -0.0882, -0.0908, -0.0874, -0.0823, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.0724, -0.0807, -0.0656, -0.0836, -0.0857, -0.0881, -0.0906, -0.0916, -0.0842, -0.0959, -0.0669, -0.0692, -0.0707, -0.079, -0.0588, -0.0522, -0.0534, -0.0459]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1907104658323087389", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-01T16:15:57+00:00", "symbol": "Canada oil producers", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "oilsands", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Twilight of shale = need to replace depleted inventory = 🇨🇦", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian energy producers: a Montney gas name with 50% production growth + 50% buyback, and an oilsands name with 60% buyback capacity at $70 WTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands producers: CNQ, Cenovus, Athabasca", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What opportunities do we see in Canada? Here is a ~$3BN market cap Montney producer which we estimate over the next 5 years will grow production by 50% while also buying back 50% of their shares outstanding, at which point they will still have 28 years of stay-flat inventory. https://t.co/bAHr2sU6Zj\n\n---\n\nOr a ~$3BN market cap oilsands producer with over 50 years of stay flat inventory able to buy back ~60% of their shares outstanding with free cashflow at $70WTI flat. Twilight of shale = need to replace depleted inventory = 🇨🇦. https://t.co/n5AfjfBnea", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007475669955489354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007475669955489354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004659156357582221, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0016246216765295847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002816513597907133, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0058510482789597695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022123343531356143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022123343531356143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008540658423547565, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0035953688010806895, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00632832407041195, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013830344479450751, "ret_p1w": -0.23216266974437402, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.23216266974437402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11720108715272368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04535417126156535, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11496158259165035, "bench_c_p1w": -0.18680849848280867, "ret_p1m": -0.1611821686049706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1611821686049706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15672557755816696, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.020756758601434666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004456591046803626, "bench_c_p1m": -0.14042541000353592, "ret_p3m": -0.032008432430555366, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.032008432430555366, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1366601864209189, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058418062388007876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10465175399036353, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09042649481856324, "ret_p6m": 0.1650999326716749, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1650999326716749, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.014687133485855819, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17918870605917692, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1797870661575307, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01408877338750203, "ret_p1y": 0.7200307286179695, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7200307286179695, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5423068827524546, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.38400428962340105, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17772384586551482, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3360264389945684, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7200307286179695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5423068827524546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.38400428962340105, "price_path": [0.0216, 0.0296, 0.027, 0.0441, 0.0353, 0.0385, 0.045, 0.0132, 0.0046, 0.0106, -0.0112, 0.0041, 0.0402, 0.0055, 0.0072, -0.0027, -0.0191, -0.0272, -0.0425, -0.027, -0.0243, -0.0418, -0.056, -0.028, -0.0254, -0.0399, -0.0421, -0.0278, -0.0202, -0.0351, -0.0282, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.025, -0.0186, -0.0291, -0.0572, -0.0699, -0.0872, -0.0944, -0.0937, -0.0886, -0.1477, -0.1713, -0.1608, -0.1368, -0.1151, -0.1249, -0.1026, -0.0827, -0.0931, -0.0693, -0.0565, -0.0499, -0.0295, -0.0214, -0.0188, -0.0033, 0.0041, 0.005, -0.0048, -0.019, -0.0075, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0795, -0.1743, -0.1892, -0.2322, -0.1393, -0.2045, -0.1888, -0.1831, -0.1804, -0.1599, -0.1298, -0.1482, -0.1311, -0.1364, -0.1289, -0.1329, -0.1359, -0.143, -0.1669, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.185, -0.1738, -0.1651, -0.1178, -0.0966, -0.0665, -0.0455, -0.0565, -0.0715, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0644, -0.0643, -0.0656, -0.0627, -0.0528, -0.0532, -0.0604, -0.0581, -0.0837, -0.0711, -0.0546, -0.0779, -0.0706, -0.056, -0.049, -0.0312, -0.0065, -0.0034, 0.0448, 0.03, 0.0484, 0.0364, 0.0465, 0.0493, -0.0021, -0.0238, -0.0279, -0.0193, -0.0286, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0086, -0.018, -0.0147, -0.0191, 0.0073, 0.0004, -0.0048, 0.0003, -0.0078, -0.0186, -0.0333, -0.0275, -0.0262, -0.0335, -0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0013, 0.0012, 0.0264, 0.037, 0.0333, 0.032, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0109, 0.0029, -0.0103, -0.0064, -0.0223, -0.0028, -0.0043, -0.0021, -0.0014, -0.0012, -0.0108, -0.0055, 0.0213, 0.0688, 0.0764, 0.0682, 0.0836, 0.0842, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0905, 0.0673, 0.0762, 0.0427, 0.0491, 0.068, 0.1005, 0.0956, 0.0964, 0.1126, 0.1389, 0.1347, 0.1331, 0.1146, 0.1284, 0.1419, 0.166, 0.1651]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943671966554112303", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-11T14:01:23+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on oil and natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on oil and natural gas going into 2H/25 per their ongoing thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why \"we remain bullish\"™️ on oil and natural gas, a lookback at the 1H/25, and most importantly our view on where we go from here: https://t.co/lJ0hESYtgT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011394106931946646, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011394106931946646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014921833902599269, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014921833902599269, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035277269706526226, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035277269706526226, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024798919816828136, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024798919816828136, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02289070388768155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02289070388768155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019082159291465839, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019082159291465839, "ret_p1w": 0.06233245981368585, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06233245981368585, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055982432823480144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055982432823480144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350026990205704, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350026990205704, "ret_p1m": -0.12399466300333006, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12399466300333006, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14371819130672348, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14371819130672348, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972352830339341, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972352830339341, "ret_p3m": -0.1219838931312055, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1219838931312055, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20433555581966678, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20433555581966678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235166268846128, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235166268846128, "ret_p6m": -0.21045578600980241, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21045578600980241, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3225675433263493, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3225675433263493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211175731654688, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11211175731654688, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12399466300333006, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14371819130672348, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14371819130672348, "price_path": [0.1736, 0.1635, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.0737, 0.0576, 0.0543, 0.0389, 0.0523, 0.1139, 0.1314, 0.122, 0.1609, 0.2279, 0.2051, 0.1642, 0.2178, 0.2111, 0.2721, 0.2299, 0.2192, 0.1662, 0.126, 0.12, 0.0489, 0.1387, 0.134, 0.116, 0.128, 0.128, 0.1441, 0.0824, 0.0717, 0.0529, 0.1307, 0.1367, 0.1334, 0.1193, 0.1515, 0.1099, 0.0764, 0.069, 0.0771, 0.0965, 0.1381, 0.1783, 0.2118, 0.2118, 0.1836, 0.1287, 0.0891, 0.0623, 0.0496, 0.1086, 0.0241, 0.0127, 0.0335, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0127, -0.006, -0.0483, -0.0114, 0.0, 0.0248, 0.0416, 0.059, 0.0523, 0.0623, -0.0161, -0.0302, -0.0811, -0.071, -0.0731, -0.0838, -0.0677, -0.1052, -0.0891, -0.0871, -0.1314, -0.116, -0.0925, -0.0932, -0.1153, -0.124, -0.1769, -0.1689, -0.1615, -0.1401, -0.1475, -0.185, -0.187, -0.1689, -0.2017, -0.1991, -0.1977, -0.183, -0.1575, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1434, -0.1247, -0.122, -0.1327, -0.118, -0.1113, -0.1367, -0.1676, -0.1615, -0.1347, -0.1139, -0.122, -0.1508, -0.1575, -0.1857, -0.1716, -0.1716, -0.1562, -0.1642, -0.1408, -0.124, -0.0871, -0.0985, -0.1253, -0.1086, -0.0764, -0.122, -0.1461, -0.1736, -0.1836, -0.1991, -0.2038, -0.2239, -0.2044, -0.1334, -0.1186, -0.1247, -0.1334, -0.1307, -0.1361, -0.1729, -0.1816, -0.1408, -0.1119, -0.0777, -0.0664, -0.0865, -0.0503, -0.065, -0.055, -0.0241, -0.0181, -0.0074, -0.0241, -0.0536, -0.0469, -0.0147, -0.0335, -0.0181, -0.0342, -0.0731, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0127, 0.0194, 0.0027, 0.0369, 0.0496, 0.0972, 0.0101, -0.055, -0.0442, -0.1233, -0.1468, -0.1649, -0.189, -0.1528, -0.1937, -0.183, -0.2058, -0.1354, -0.1696, -0.1414, -0.1253, -0.1206, -0.1783, -0.1917, -0.2205, -0.244, -0.2105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1780315855424979163", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-16T19:22:31+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a huge benefit for Canadian energy companies who now get a 38% revenue uplift vs. their US peers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects weaker CAD from rising taxes/falling productivity; sees this as a tailwind for Canadian energy companies via 38% revenue uplift vs US peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian energy sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m an optimist, so the upside I can find in rising taxes and further falling productivity/competitiveness is a likely weaker Canadian currency…a huge benefit for Canadian energy companies who now get a 38% revenue uplift vs. their US peers. Sunny ways!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00632216029092969, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00632216029092969, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008149365710861, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008149365710861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018272054199313104, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018272054199313104, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015803778828840098, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015803778828840098, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004337800911326739, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004337800911326739, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918178794210749, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005918178794210749, "ret_p1w": 0.007376286179013647, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007376286179013647, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0031658665140319453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0031658665140319453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210419664981702, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004210419664981702, "ret_p1m": -0.007376069925882467, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007376069925882467, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05950804342569227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05950804342569227, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521319734998098, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521319734998098, "ret_p3m": -0.024136660733761972, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024136660733761972, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13985280022467983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13985280022467983, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571613949091786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11571613949091786, "ret_p6m": -0.02337177340867158, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02337177340867158, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17678464075412914, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17678464075412914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341286734545756, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15341286734545756, "ret_p1y": -0.17073660465932505, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17073660465932505, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18698396973250953, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18698396973250953, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.016247365073184472, "bench_c_p1y": 0.016247365073184472, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007376069925882467, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05950804342569227, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05950804342569227, "price_path": [-0.2091, -0.2101, -0.2091, -0.2044, -0.1918, -0.1797, -0.1761, -0.1844, -0.1713, -0.1813, -0.1923, -0.2101, -0.2148, -0.2096, -0.2096, -0.2002, -0.2002, -0.1907, -0.2038, -0.2038, -0.1698, -0.1666, -0.1666, -0.1713, -0.1477, -0.1404, -0.142, -0.1378, -0.1341, -0.132, -0.1153, -0.0969, -0.1074, -0.098, -0.0959, -0.099, -0.1048, -0.1027, -0.1001, -0.0838, -0.0723, -0.0733, -0.0655, -0.0607, -0.0623, -0.0597, -0.0601, -0.0416, -0.049, -0.0421, -0.0337, -0.0337, -0.0227, -0.0116, 0.0032, 0.009, 0.0216, 0.019, 0.0227, 0.0421, 0.0216, 0.0111, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0063, -0.0005, 0.0032, 0.0074, 0.01, 0.0174, 0.0195, 0.0258, -0.0042, -0.0211, -0.019, -0.02, -0.0026, 0.0016, 0.0063, 0.0148, 0.0021, 0.0005, -0.009, -0.0074, -0.0068, 0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0121, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0047, 0.019, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0174, -0.0279, -0.0453, -0.0421, -0.0337, -0.0406, -0.0279, -0.0311, -0.0379, -0.068, -0.0727, -0.0717, -0.0564, -0.058, -0.0537, -0.0659, -0.0342, -0.0396, -0.0428, -0.0305, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0178, -0.0114, -0.0098, -0.0327, -0.0316, -0.047, -0.0348, -0.022, -0.0241, -0.0076, -0.0199, -0.022, -0.022, -0.0311, -0.0236, -0.0369, -0.0428, -0.0364, -0.0321, -0.0417, -0.0385, -0.0087, -0.0385, -0.0805, -0.0805, -0.0837, -0.072, -0.0534, -0.0491, -0.0199, -0.0167, -0.0076, 0.0094, -0.0018, -0.0066, -0.0289, -0.0305, -0.0284, -0.0178, -0.0034, -0.0231, -0.0273, -0.0183, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0603, -0.0752, -0.0885, -0.1024, -0.104, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1167, -0.1146, -0.1066, -0.0928, -0.097, -0.0811, -0.088, -0.0827, -0.0738, -0.0899, -0.1178, -0.0985, -0.0937, -0.0631, -0.0615, -0.0346, -0.0218, -0.0046, -0.0271, -0.0234]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954954585828688239", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T17:14:29+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on natural gas as LNG demand continues to ramp from 17Bcf/d to 29Bcf/d by 2030, power demand is growing at its fastest pace in decades, North American demand is set to grow by 45Bcf/d (~36%) over the next decade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish natural gas long-term on LNG ramp, surging power demand, 45Bcf/d NA demand growth, and $4+/mcf floor from higher-cost supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weather has not cooperated this Summer, but \"we remain bullish\"™️ on natural gas as LNG demand continues to ramp from 17Bcf/d to 29Bcf/d by 2030, power demand is growing at its fastest pace in decades, North American demand is set to grow by 45Bcf/d (~36%) over the next decade, the \"rapid transition\" narrative is crumbling, and desperately needed supply growth must come from higher cost basins supporting $4+/mcf over the long-term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009946451222366814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009946451222366814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007964993163100065, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007964993163100065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814580592667497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814580592667497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06044376283848507, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06044376283848507, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07108978050076731, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07108978050076731, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010646017662282237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010646017662282237, "ret_p1w": -0.026778839783294872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026778839783294872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0383841770110791, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0383841770110791, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01160533722778423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01160533722778423, "ret_p1m": 0.01453714908140813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01453714908140813, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00812296441274607, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00812296441274607, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0226601134941542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0226601134941542, "ret_p3m": 0.08416223467130846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08416223467130846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027160687622109103, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027160687622109103, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700154704919935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700154704919935, "ret_p6m": 0.034430051526141536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.034430051526141536, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03725592816989032, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03725592816989032, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168597969603185, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168597969603185, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3313, 0.2854, 0.2785, 0.1974, 0.2999, 0.2946, 0.2739, 0.2877, 0.2877, 0.306, 0.2357, 0.2234, 0.202, 0.2907, 0.2976, 0.2938, 0.2777, 0.3145, 0.267, 0.2288, 0.2204, 0.2295, 0.2517, 0.2992, 0.3451, 0.3833, 0.3833, 0.3512, 0.2884, 0.2433, 0.2127, 0.1982, 0.2655, 0.1691, 0.1561, 0.1798, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.1561, 0.1347, 0.0865, 0.1285, 0.1415, 0.1699, 0.189, 0.2089, 0.2012, 0.2127, 0.1232, 0.1071, 0.049, 0.0604, 0.0581, 0.0459, 0.0643, 0.0214, 0.0398, 0.0421, -0.0084, 0.0092, 0.036, 0.0352, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0604, -0.0513, -0.0428, -0.0184, -0.0268, -0.0696, -0.0719, -0.0513, -0.0888, -0.0857, -0.0842, -0.0673, -0.0383, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0222, -0.0008, 0.0023, -0.0099, 0.0069, 0.0145, -0.0145, -0.0497, -0.0428, -0.0122, 0.0115, 0.0023, -0.0306, -0.0383, -0.0704, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0367, -0.0459, -0.0191, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0291, -0.0015, 0.0176, 0.0543, 0.0023, -0.0252, -0.0566, -0.0681, -0.0857, -0.091, -0.114, -0.0918, -0.0107, 0.0061, -0.0008, -0.0107, -0.0077, -0.0138, -0.0559, -0.0658, -0.0191, 0.0138, 0.0528, 0.0658, 0.0428, 0.0842, 0.0673, 0.0788, 0.114, 0.1209, 0.1331, 0.114, 0.0803, 0.088, 0.1247, 0.1033, 0.1209, 0.1025, 0.0581, 0.0903, 0.0903, 0.127, 0.1637, 0.1446, 0.1836, 0.1982, 0.2525, 0.153, 0.0788, 0.091, 0.0008, -0.026, -0.0467, -0.0742, -0.0329, -0.0796, -0.0673, -0.0933, -0.013, -0.052, -0.0199, -0.0015, 0.0038, -0.062, -0.0773, -0.1102, -0.137, -0.0987, -0.1377, -0.2043, -0.1446, -0.1339, -0.2165, -0.2119, -0.2096, -0.2096, -0.0536, 0.0436, 0.0275, 0.0689, 0.1347, 0.1247, 0.1117, 0.1523, 0.293, -0.0283, -0.0069, 0.0298, 0.0344]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041908395511337380", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T15:57:52+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe that oil remains in a multi-year bull market and stocks were never discounting the recent oil price spike. Production growth will remain muted, share buybacks will continue, and our favourite names at $80WTI will be able to retire 30%-50% of their outstanding shares over the next 5 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year bull case for oil ($80 WTI floor) and energy equities: falling inventories, geopolitical risk premium, production shut-ins, refiner windfall, SPR refill demand, and massive FCF/buybacks ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While we remain deeply skeptical, let's assume that today is \"the day after.\" What does it mean for energy stocks???\n🛢️the glut narrative is dead as global oil inventories will continue to fall over the next several months, approaching \"normalized\" levels in the next 2 weeks and still likely all-time lows by ~ end of May (product rationing/shortages still imminent) = higher baseline for fundamental floor price ($70-$80WTI vs $60 before?)\n🛢️what will prevent Iran from ever doing this again (halting flows through the most important energy chokepoint in the world with a $30,000 drone)? = political risk premium of $10-20/bbl ADDED onto the new floor price = ~$80WTI?\n🛢️production shut-ins remain at ~11MM Bbl/d...for this to return we need tankers to leave the Strait, empty, and return (~2.5-3 months) = enduring impact even IF the Strait fully opens (500MM+ Bbls!)...the prospect for formation damage is not zero (especially in Iraq) and lead time to full restoration long even with adequate offtake (Kuwait said 3-4 months to normalize production)\n🛢️still TBD extensive damage to refining capacity = expect higher-for-longer crack spreads and windfall for refiners/integrateds...product stocks were already low coming into the \"excursion\"...will take years to normalize\n🛢️will the Saudis and Emirates allow Iran to \"toll\" the SofH and have a de facto chokehold on flows? Seems unlikely and new pipeline bypasses would take years\n🛢️the ~400MM Bbl SPR release will be refilled = future demand for several years (~350k Bbl/d for 3 years?)\n🛢️energy is once again relevant to large generalist US investors and many would have been hesitant to chase the recent rally = sector is now much more investable\n🛢️net/net - we still believe $80WTI is reasonable for 2027, with many stocks trading at 15% FCF yields, and some even lower than when the war began\n\nSummary: we believe that oil remains in a multi-year bull market and stocks were never discounting the recent oil price spike. Production growth will remain muted, share buybacks will continue, and our favourite names at $80WTI will be able to retire 30%-50% of their outstanding shares over the next 5 years while retaining 30-50+ years of stay-flat inventory at a time when non-OPEC production is peaking and pre-conflict OPEC spare capacity is low.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036347986874812666, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036347986874812666, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06118495499651422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06118495499651422, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012403056252689781, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012403056252689781, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01817214742377815, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01817214742377815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": -0.039448767366483506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039448767366483506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07484764065251348, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07484764065251348, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": -0.036175684784167994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036175684784167994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11837862042336822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11837862042336822, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2013, -0.2069, -0.1956, -0.1775, -0.1852, -0.1838, -0.1838, -0.1853, -0.1657, -0.1629, -0.1581, -0.1576, -0.1499, -0.1434, -0.1355, -0.1263, -0.1434, -0.1157, -0.0958, -0.1064, -0.0886, -0.082, -0.083, -0.059, -0.0761, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0801, -0.0625, -0.0556, -0.0607, -0.0561, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.0578, -0.0429, -0.0238, -0.0327, -0.0383, -0.0334, -0.0318, -0.0361, -0.0484, -0.0248, -0.0157, -0.0125, -0.0091, 0.0014, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0151, 0.0272, 0.0481, 0.0434, 0.0598, 0.0777, 0.0674, 0.0553, 0.0158, 0.0207, 0.0207, 0.0281, 0.0363, 0.0, -0.0124, -0.0191, -0.0162, -0.0362, -0.0394, -0.0253, -0.0522, -0.0513, -0.0376, -0.026, -0.0184, -0.0203, -0.022, -0.0059, 0.0169, 0.0276, 0.0138, 0.0231, 0.0241, -0.0181, -0.0362, -0.0405, -0.0152, -0.0083, -0.0072, 0.0003, 0.0239, 0.0436, 0.0558, 0.0301, 0.0186, 0.0248, 0.0248, -0.0034, -0.0183, -0.0189, -0.0303, -0.0129, -0.0016, 0.0114, 0.0121, -0.0065, 0.0048, -0.0114, 0.0034, -0.016, -0.0086, -0.0431, -0.0463, -0.0582, -0.0582, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1834684336098230646", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-13T20:03:27+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not only is net length (ie. financial demand for oil) at its lowest level in history, but the paper market for Brent is now NET SHORT...first time in history. All the while physical global oil inventories are at or near ALL TIME LOWS. What a set up!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Brent crude: paper market net short for first time ever while physical inventories at all-time lows — extreme contrarian long setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Calling all contrarians! Not only is net length (ie. financial demand for oil) at its lowest level in history, but the paper market for Brent is now NET SHORT...first time in history. All the while physical global oil inventories are at or near ALL TIME LOWS. What a set up! https://t.co/p3XpivZeaN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015670094703071347, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015670094703071347, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01419570263236869, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01419570263236869, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001474392070702657, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001474392070702657, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01305837729542536, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01305837729542536, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012649586703278093, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012649586703278093, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00040879059214726787, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00040879059214726787, "ret_p1w": 0.015807581111737523, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015807581111737523, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0005680627095727697, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0005680627095727697, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015239518402164753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015239518402164753, "ret_p1m": 0.020618556701030855, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020618556701030855, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012638639569053867, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012638639569053867, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03325719627008472, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03325719627008472, "ret_p3m": 0.009072215286726859, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009072215286726859, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06793675740103478, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06793675740103478, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07700897268776163, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07700897268776163, "ret_p6m": -0.024742309989798095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024742309989798095, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02408682778353799, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02408682778353799, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0006554822062601051, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0006554822062601051, "ret_p1y": -0.09965635738831613, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09965635738831613, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.26393304218519253, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.26393304218519253, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1642766847968764, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1642766847968764, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.020618556701030855, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012638639569053867, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012638639569053867, "price_path": [0.1729, 0.1781, 0.1717, 0.1823, 0.1685, 0.1718, 0.1875, 0.1878, 0.1904, 0.1854, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.1896, 0.1787, 0.1637, 0.1695, 0.1739, 0.1688, 0.1663, 0.1509, 0.1695, 0.1699, 0.1358, 0.1326, 0.1135, 0.1232, 0.1322, 0.1152, 0.0966, 0.0808, 0.1096, 0.0931, 0.0558, 0.0488, 0.0513, 0.0767, 0.0881, 0.095, 0.1313, 0.1091, 0.0964, 0.114, 0.0953, 0.0675, 0.0612, 0.0454, 0.0614, 0.0862, 0.1193, 0.0935, 0.0811, 0.0988, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.0137, -0.0007, -0.0008, -0.0232, -0.0125, -0.0489, -0.0294, -0.0107, -0.0157, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0124, 0.0293, 0.0239, 0.0158, 0.0333, 0.0098, -0.0158, -0.0106, -0.0135, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0669, 0.0729, 0.1124, 0.0609, 0.0526, 0.0914, 0.0865, 0.0647, 0.0206, 0.0202, 0.0234, 0.0043, 0.0212, 0.0452, 0.0304, 0.0224, 0.0454, -0.0183, -0.0224, -0.0027, 0.0056, 0.0048, 0.032, 0.0382, 0.0298, 0.0396, 0.0154, -0.0126, -0.0118, -0.0065, -0.0026, -0.0235, 0.0076, 0.0077, 0.0008, 0.0203, 0.0333, 0.0036, 0.0008, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0026, -0.0126, 0.012, -0.006, -0.0091, -0.0224, -0.0084, -0.0077, 0.0106, 0.0091, 0.0239, 0.0159, 0.006, 0.0088, 0.0018, 0.0026, -0.0016, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.007, 0.0195, 0.0225, 0.026, 0.0437, 0.0517, 0.0488, 0.0591, 0.0469, 0.0573, 0.0964, 0.1135, 0.0986, 0.1276, 0.1174, 0.1105, 0.1105, 0.0899, 0.0859, 0.0762, 0.079, 0.0595, 0.0652, 0.0526, 0.0566, 0.0551, 0.0441, 0.0474, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0263, 0.0429, 0.0584, 0.0334, 0.0312, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0425, 0.0452, 0.0513, 0.0231, 0.0279, 0.0037, -0.003, 0.0177, 0.0059, -0.0155, -0.0235, -0.0474, -0.0452, -0.0329, -0.0477, -0.0438, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1687103821611466752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-03T14:11:10+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "global oil inventories, both onshore and oil-on-water, are finally rolling over. Current global inventories are now at a 6 month low, and we expect them to fall to a 5+ year low by year-end", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil: global inventories rolling over to 6-month low now, expected to hit 5+ year low by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It has been a long and exhausting wait, but global oil inventories, both onshore and oil-on-water, are finally rolling over.  Current global inventories are now at a 6 month low, and we expect them to fall to a 5+ year low by year-end. https://t.co/oLIjLj1S3e", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022786028368730782, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022786028368730782, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025659859609898583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025659859609898583, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028738312411678013, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028738312411678013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012919878811448848, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012919878811448848, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0174426873171446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0174426873171446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004522808505695752, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004522808505695752, "ret_p1w": 0.014799179530927464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014799179530927464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021327228862977332, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021327228862977332, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006528049332049868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006528049332049868, "ret_p1m": 0.04005172288648118, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04005172288648118, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03481610568150639, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03481610568150639, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005235617204974785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005235617204974785, "ret_p3m": 0.02666201889516251, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02666201889516251, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09164031117418281, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09164031117418281, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0649782922790203, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0649782922790203, "ret_p6m": -0.018675080447368875, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.018675080447368875, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11285635531621618, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11285635531621618, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09418127486884731, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09418127486884731, "ret_p1y": -0.03218226313615258, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03218226313615258, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2852081628142764, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2852081628142764, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25302589967812383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25302589967812383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04005172288648118, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03481610568150639, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03481610568150639, "price_path": [-0.0955, -0.0904, -0.1025, -0.1193, -0.1288, -0.1164, -0.1202, -0.0961, -0.109, -0.1123, -0.1075, -0.0975, -0.0796, -0.1043, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.1362, -0.1466, -0.1276, -0.1058, -0.099, -0.1039, -0.0962, -0.1078, -0.1216, -0.1562, -0.1274, -0.1402, -0.1112, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.1085, -0.0942, -0.1292, -0.1326, -0.1287, -0.1513, -0.1305, -0.1268, -0.1203, -0.1232, -0.1232, -0.0997, -0.1012, -0.0783, -0.0875, -0.0674, -0.0591, -0.0444, -0.0619, -0.078, -0.0647, -0.0667, -0.0646, -0.0478, -0.0282, -0.0176, -0.0261, -0.0106, -0.0018, 0.0049, -0.0027, -0.0228, 0.0, 0.0129, 0.0023, 0.0121, 0.0283, 0.0148, 0.0196, 0.0126, -0.0029, -0.0198, -0.012, -0.004, -0.008, -0.013, -0.0227, -0.0209, -0.0078, -0.0085, 0.0041, 0.0085, 0.0202, 0.0401, 0.0401, 0.0576, 0.0641, 0.0561, 0.0647, 0.0646, 0.0813, 0.0792, 0.1005, 0.1032, 0.1091, 0.1081, 0.0985, 0.0958, 0.0955, 0.0957, 0.1036, 0.134, 0.1203, 0.1195, 0.0654, 0.0679, 0.0079, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.0354, 0.0295, 0.008, 0.0101, 0.0675, 0.053, 0.0559, 0.0747, 0.085, 0.0825, 0.0551, 0.0344, 0.0586, 0.0328, 0.0627, 0.0271, 0.0267, -0.006, 0.0201, -0.0029, 0.0005, -0.0415, -0.0658, -0.0603, -0.0436, -0.0308, -0.0314, -0.0465, -0.0907, -0.0532, -0.0331, -0.0316, -0.0374, -0.0443, -0.0536, -0.0606, -0.0406, -0.024, -0.0271, -0.0735, -0.0835, -0.0933, -0.1273, -0.1303, -0.1092, -0.107, -0.1398, -0.1278, -0.1002, -0.1009, -0.0844, -0.0694, -0.0639, -0.0675, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0478, -0.0645, -0.0793, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.1086, -0.0809, -0.0887, -0.0749, -0.1059, -0.0887, -0.098, -0.0908, -0.0805, -0.0805, -0.0805, -0.0853, -0.0709, -0.0773, -0.0597, -0.0657, -0.0599, -0.0318, -0.0187]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1981356581380837480", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T13:46:35+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy remains hated, yet show me another sector that is working, has such strong current and medium-term fundamentals (twilight of shale, OPEC spare capacity exhaustion, LNG and AI natural gas demand growth), and trades at such compelling valuations at strip", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: strong fundamentals (shale twilight, OPEC capacity, LNG/AI gas demand) + compelling valuations vs strip pricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy remains hated, yet show me another sector that is working, has such strong current and medium-term fundamentals (twilight of shale, OPEC spare capacity exhaustion, LNG and AI natural gas demand growth), and trades at such compelling valuations at strip ($60WTI + $4/mcf) https://t.co/P39fRH5g7W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013150587246423484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013150587246423484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007255652378267086, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007255652378267086, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010115816255293009, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010115816255293009, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018288387359923775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018288387359923775, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "ret_p1w": -0.01663487656352114, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01663487656352114, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028648069053663017, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028648069053663017, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012013192490141877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012013192490141877, "ret_p1m": 0.00505777755493364, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00505777755493364, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024007955929871372, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024007955929871372, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "ret_p3m": 0.10884393357435318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10884393357435318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08017912403192917, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08017912403192917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028664809542424008, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028664809542424008, "ret_p6m": 0.27491066214989535, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27491066214989535, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22083027948215328, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22083027948215328, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054080382667742066, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054080382667742066, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00505777755493364, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024007955929871372, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024007955929871372, "price_path": [-0.0183, -0.0087, -0.0228, -0.0281, -0.0461, -0.0482, -0.047, -0.0558, -0.0595, -0.0535, -0.0611, -0.0565, -0.0456, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0521, -0.0518, -0.0439, -0.0373, -0.0177, -0.0151, -0.0167, -0.0057, 0.0019, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0088, -0.0138, -0.0072, -0.0264, -0.0286, -0.024, -0.0069, -0.0067, -0.0126, -0.0159, 0.0006, 0.0029, -0.0002, -0.0135, -0.0146, 0.0024, 0.0154, 0.0245, 0.0339, 0.0149, 0.0042, 0.0042, -0.006, -0.0007, 0.0043, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0421, -0.0291, -0.0292, -0.0298, -0.0415, -0.0336, -0.0234, -0.0256, -0.0132, 0.0, -0.0101, -0.0078, -0.0181, -0.0108, -0.0166, -0.0094, -0.0093, -0.02, -0.0174, -0.0079, 0.0064, 0.0155, 0.0288, 0.0144, 0.017, 0.0343, 0.0154, 0.0235, 0.0102, -0.0012, 0.0051, 0.0022, -0.004, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0166, 0.0264, 0.0132, 0.0321, 0.0365, 0.0323, 0.021, 0.0273, 0.0381, 0.0332, 0.023, 0.0158, -0.0152, 0.0066, -0.008, -0.008, 0.0023, 0.0089, 0.0059, 0.0021, 0.0116, 0.0193, 0.0136, 0.0349, 0.063, 0.0347, 0.0231, 0.0553, 0.0581, 0.0506, 0.0655, 0.0896, 0.0794, 0.0812, 0.0812, 0.0791, 0.1052, 0.1088, 0.1152, 0.1159, 0.1261, 0.1347, 0.1451, 0.1574, 0.1347, 0.1714, 0.1977, 0.1837, 0.2072, 0.2161, 0.2147, 0.2465, 0.2238, 0.2322, 0.2322, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.251, 0.2442, 0.2503, 0.2492, 0.244, 0.248, 0.2678, 0.2932, 0.2814, 0.2739, 0.2805, 0.2825, 0.2768, 0.2605, 0.2918, 0.3038, 0.3081, 0.3127, 0.3265, 0.3247, 0.3458, 0.3446, 0.3607, 0.3883, 0.3822, 0.4038, 0.4276, 0.4139, 0.3979, 0.3457, 0.352, 0.352, 0.3619, 0.3728, 0.3247, 0.3082, 0.2993, 0.3032, 0.2767, 0.2724, 0.2911, 0.2555, 0.2567, 0.2749]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1750192109137588261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-24T16:21:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe we do not need a higher oil price for many energy companies to do well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on energy stocks at current $75 WTI; attractive FCF yields without needing higher oil prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil is currently trading at $75WTI. At $75WTI we estimate that many energy stocks are trading at attractive FCF yields = we believe we do not need a higher oil price for many energy companies to do well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014060475391486582, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014060475391486582, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01296856385763967, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01296856385763967, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001091911533846912, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001091911533846912, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022496580187804538, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022496580187804538, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017057759922567417, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017057759922567417, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005438820265237121, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005438820265237121, "ret_p1w": 0.019806842511408185, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019806842511408185, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024977949997313842, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024977949997313842, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005171107485905657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005171107485905657, "ret_p1m": 0.05795326119666466, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05795326119666466, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0124022289649246, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0124022289649246, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04555103223174006, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04555103223174006, "ret_p3m": 0.17816955892993502, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17816955892993502, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1454481319071208, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1454481319071208, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03272142702281422, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03272142702281422, "ret_p6m": 0.1602977196373505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1602977196373505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.014485861253276111, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.014485861253276111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1458118583840744, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1458118583840744, "ret_p1y": 0.1400298565693776, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1400298565693776, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.07311357468670954, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07311357468670954, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21314343125608715, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21314343125608715, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05795326119666466, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0124022289649246, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0124022289649246, "price_path": [0.0249, 0.0283, 0.0317, 0.0292, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0378, 0.0148, 0.0021, -0.0009, 0.0101, 0.0174, 0.0265, 0.0245, 0.0045, 0.0256, 0.0271, 0.0248, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0285, 0.0249, 0.0251, 0.0175, 0.0243, 0.0296, 0.0249, 0.007, -0.0081, -0.0148, -0.0042, -0.003, -0.0167, -0.003, 0.0263, 0.0209, 0.0292, 0.0416, 0.0319, 0.0359, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0479, 0.0433, 0.0274, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0361, 0.0529, 0.0345, 0.0353, 0.0234, 0.007, -0.0029, -0.0004, 0.0109, 0.0109, -0.0132, -0.0214, -0.023, -0.0198, -0.0161, -0.0141, 0.0, 0.0225, 0.0301, 0.0286, 0.0392, 0.0198, 0.0197, 0.0212, 0.0186, 0.0219, 0.024, 0.0345, 0.0186, 0.0298, 0.0194, 0.0185, 0.0468, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0367, 0.0561, 0.058, 0.051, 0.0547, 0.0501, 0.048, 0.0532, 0.0654, 0.054, 0.0619, 0.0652, 0.0742, 0.078, 0.0891, 0.0874, 0.1048, 0.1162, 0.1195, 0.1233, 0.1361, 0.1345, 0.1413, 0.1389, 0.1495, 0.1406, 0.1512, 0.1636, 0.1636, 0.1723, 0.1886, 0.1968, 0.196, 0.2089, 0.2012, 0.2016, 0.2053, 0.2044, 0.1848, 0.1737, 0.1635, 0.1602, 0.1566, 0.1705, 0.1782, 0.1847, 0.1856, 0.191, 0.18, 0.188, 0.1527, 0.1343, 0.1408, 0.1409, 0.1499, 0.1488, 0.1475, 0.1629, 0.1565, 0.1534, 0.1549, 0.1575, 0.1543, 0.1704, 0.1628, 0.1571, 0.1349, 0.1246, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.1377, 0.1177, 0.1209, 0.1487, 0.1186, 0.1079, 0.1078, 0.1136, 0.1091, 0.1175, 0.1153, 0.1034, 0.0932, 0.0851, 0.0879, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.1126, 0.1062, 0.1341, 0.1367, 0.1255, 0.1281, 0.1325, 0.1331, 0.1322, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1194, 0.1126, 0.1028, 0.1102, 0.1218, 0.1246, 0.1417, 0.1468, 0.1582, 0.1603]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030015244072849729", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:18:44+00:00", "symbol": "oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are positioned in oil producers and a $100/$110 WTI call spread accordingly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long WTI to $100+ and oil producers on Strait of Hormuz closure; positioned via call spread.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If the Strait of Hormuz remains \"closed\" (🚢 down ~84%) I believe WTI could reach $100/bbl by Wednesday and make all-time highs 1-2 weeks thereafter. Every day the situation gets exponentially worse. We are positioned in oil producers and a $100/$110 WTI call spread accordingly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001888761955041729, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001888761955041729, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015169975688183235, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015169975688183235, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0140741934818438, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0140741934818438, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022834218494882874, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022834218494882874, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.022908577667506425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022908577667506425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03791494470563672, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03791494470563672, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.09534901586027988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09534901586027988, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11267618877702046, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11267618877702046, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": 0.04683952299963212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04683952299963212, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07797062639593166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07797062639593166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481014939556379, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481014939556379, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09534901586027988, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11267618877702046, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11267618877702046, "price_path": [-0.1732, -0.1887, -0.1862, -0.1821, -0.1955, -0.2032, -0.2144, -0.2442, -0.2264, -0.2434, -0.2405, -0.2369, -0.2294, -0.2328, -0.2387, -0.2295, -0.2236, -0.2307, -0.2143, -0.2232, -0.2351, -0.2447, -0.2173, -0.2237, -0.2229, -0.2095, -0.1961, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.2094, -0.1797, -0.1803, -0.1761, -0.1788, -0.175, -0.1647, -0.1533, -0.1456, -0.1729, -0.1484, -0.1238, -0.1381, -0.108, -0.1075, -0.1128, -0.0918, -0.1188, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.1141, -0.098, -0.0778, -0.0748, -0.0892, -0.0888, -0.0959, -0.0874, -0.0634, -0.0278, -0.0313, -0.0205, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.0313, 0.0034, 0.0157, 0.0229, 0.0197, 0.0363, 0.0562, 0.0665, 0.0791, 0.0697, 0.1026, 0.111, 0.1336, 0.1511, 0.1346, 0.1123, 0.0696, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0953, 0.1032, 0.0503, 0.0262, 0.0305, 0.0319, -0.0003, 0.0048, 0.0266, -0.0231, -0.0145, 0.0093, 0.0293, 0.0372, 0.028, 0.0367, 0.05, 0.0872, 0.0901, 0.0807, 0.1073, 0.1047, 0.0358, 0.0158, 0.0103, 0.0317, 0.0383, 0.0298, 0.0352, 0.0652, 0.0779, 0.0923, 0.0689, 0.0439, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0161, -0.0007, 0.0091, 0.0032, 0.0269, 0.0329, 0.0468, 0.0462, 0.0154, 0.0301, 0.0035, 0.0276, -0.0004, 0.0114, -0.0313, -0.0386, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1920832050975637572", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T13:23:42+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why are we bullish on natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish natural gas; cautious near-term on oil but medium/long-term bull.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why are we bullish on natural gas, what is sentiment like on oil, where do we see opportunities, and why have we been cautions on oil recently but remain a medium/long-term bull? I joined @trevor_rose_ a few weeks ago to discuss: https://t.co/MjrQVDPu74 https://t.co/EWNt6Wedl2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04794519859640045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04794519859640045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049220939446635525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.049220939446635525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757408502350742, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757408502350742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033192791146525624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033192791146525624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06624008008782589, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06624008008782589, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304728894130027, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304728894130027, "ret_p1w": -0.11959960550642923, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11959960550642923, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17251090804308822, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17251090804308822, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291130253665899, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291130253665899, "ret_p1m": -0.12750264144678725, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12750264144678725, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19012432061798235, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19012432061798235, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0626216791711951, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0626216791711951, "ret_p3m": -0.2866174769012839, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2866174769012839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.411206665265591, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.411206665265591, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1245891883643071, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1245891883643071, "ret_p6m": -0.2750263139753186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2750263139753186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4928386623634953, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4928386623634953, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781234838817665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781234838817665, "ret_p1y": -0.4415173531547527, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4415173531547527, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.729567647667984, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.729567647667984, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2880502945132313, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2880502945132313, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12750264144678725, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19012432061798235, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19012432061798235, "price_path": [-0.0406, -0.0211, -0.01, 0.009, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.1038, 0.1913, 0.1449, 0.1639, 0.1191, 0.1459, 0.1143, 0.0991, 0.0717, 0.1565, 0.2176, 0.2445, 0.1997, 0.2218, 0.2555, 0.2266, 0.1407, 0.1291, 0.1481, 0.118, 0.128, 0.1776, 0.1154, 0.098, 0.0885, 0.0711, 0.0611, 0.0753, 0.1238, 0.1386, 0.0906, 0.1091, 0.1365, 0.0558, 0.0047, -0.0369, 0.0337, -0.0269, -0.0184, -0.0774, -0.0854, -0.1027, -0.1027, -0.156, -0.1686, -0.1712, -0.1834, -0.1728, -0.1243, -0.1106, -0.118, -0.0875, -0.0348, -0.0527, -0.0848, -0.0427, -0.0479, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0416, -0.0832, -0.1149, -0.1196, -0.1754, -0.1048, -0.1085, -0.1228, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1006, -0.1491, -0.1575, -0.1723, -0.1112, -0.1064, -0.1091, -0.1201, -0.0948, -0.1275, -0.1538, -0.1596, -0.1533, -0.138, -0.1054, -0.0738, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.0695, -0.1128, -0.1438, -0.1649, -0.1749, -0.1286, -0.1949, -0.2039, -0.1876, -0.1965, -0.1965, -0.2039, -0.2187, -0.2518, -0.2229, -0.2139, -0.1944, -0.1812, -0.1675, -0.1728, -0.1649, -0.2266, -0.2376, -0.2777, -0.2698, -0.2713, -0.2798, -0.2671, -0.2966, -0.284, -0.2824, -0.3172, -0.3051, -0.2866, -0.2871, -0.3045, -0.3114, -0.353, -0.3467, -0.3409, -0.324, -0.3298, -0.3593, -0.3609, -0.3467, -0.3725, -0.3704, -0.3693, -0.3577, -0.3377, -0.324, -0.324, -0.3267, -0.3119, -0.3098, -0.3182, -0.3066, -0.3014, -0.3214, -0.3456, -0.3409, -0.3198, -0.3035, -0.3098, -0.3325, -0.3377, -0.3599, -0.3488, -0.3488, -0.3367, -0.343, -0.3246, -0.3114, -0.2824, -0.2914, -0.3124, -0.2993, -0.274, -0.3098, -0.3288, -0.3504, -0.3583, -0.3704, -0.3741, -0.3899, -0.3746, -0.3188, -0.3072, -0.3119, -0.3188, -0.3166, -0.3209, -0.3498, -0.3567, -0.3246, -0.3019, -0.275]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1904595348016029725", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-25T18:04:51+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and natural gas stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on Canadian oil and natural gas stocks", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remain bullish on Canadian oil and natural gas equities with several supporting reasons.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Several reasons why \"we remain bullish\" on Canadian oil and natural gas stocks:\nhttps://t.co/RKcfvDLF6F", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00394600952451718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00394600952451718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015479995091537413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015479995091537413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023980100153634387, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023980100153634387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005849878743001247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005849878743001247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01778800572907291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01778800572907291, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011938126986071662, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011938126986071662, "ret_p1w": 0.00812157153746984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00812157153746984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033301374013021245, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033301374013021245, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025179802475551405, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025179802475551405, "ret_p1m": -0.1037657062746633, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1037657062746633, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.053770957587250034, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.053770957587250034, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04999474868741327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04999474868741327, "ret_p3m": 0.00017030951027408037, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00017030951027408037, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04581756430245454, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04581756430245454, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04598787381272862, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04598787381272862, "ret_p6m": 0.07218874925257723, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07218874925257723, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08204932820272792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08204932820272792, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15423807745530516, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15423807745530516, "ret_p1y": 0.508813095598494, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.508813095598494, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.33300290496243723, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.33300290496243723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17581019063605674, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17581019063605674, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1037657062746633, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.053770957587250034, "alpha_c_stated": -0.053770957587250034, "price_path": [-0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0513, -0.0355, -0.0203, -0.0141, -0.0051, 0.0118, 0.0124, 0.0135, 0.0237, 0.0051, 0.0068, 0.0096, -0.0085, 0.0006, 0.018, 0.0096, 0.0073, 0.0062, -0.0051, -0.0163, -0.0259, -0.0141, -0.009, -0.0327, -0.0366, -0.0265, -0.022, -0.0338, -0.0299, -0.009, 0.0045, -0.018, -0.0147, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0147, -0.0068, -0.0039, -0.0242, -0.0327, -0.0485, -0.0536, -0.053, -0.0507, -0.0981, -0.1082, -0.115, -0.1094, -0.0896, -0.0913, -0.084, -0.0693, -0.0761, -0.0581, -0.0445, -0.0412, -0.0254, -0.0192, -0.0186, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0058, -0.0015, -0.0118, 0.0013, 0.0081, 0.0155, -0.0561, -0.1378, -0.1549, -0.1946, -0.1265, -0.1838, -0.1606, -0.1549, -0.152, -0.1356, -0.1168, -0.1253, -0.1072, -0.1129, -0.1038, -0.1049, -0.1009, -0.1083, -0.1288, -0.1214, -0.1134, -0.1367, -0.1271, -0.1253, -0.1004, -0.0828, -0.0555, -0.039, -0.0458, -0.0578, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0606, -0.0629, -0.0651, -0.0612, -0.0561, -0.0555, -0.0617, -0.0612, -0.0771, -0.0595, -0.0464, -0.0595, -0.0561, -0.043, -0.0385, -0.0265, -0.0049, 0.0007, 0.032, 0.024, 0.0416, 0.0308, 0.0388, 0.0348, 0.0002, -0.0146, -0.0196, -0.0162, -0.0208, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0116, -0.0156, -0.0174, -0.0242, -0.0036, -0.0042, -0.0082, 0.0039, 0.0016, -0.007, -0.0185, -0.0139, -0.0128, -0.0225, -0.0162, -0.0059, 0.0033, -0.0013, 0.0182, 0.028, 0.0251, 0.0131, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0202, -0.0156, -0.0168, -0.0145, -0.0174, -0.0202, -0.0277, -0.0208, -0.0047, 0.0177, 0.0228, 0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0337, 0.0303, 0.0303, 0.0395, 0.0223, 0.0268, 0.0096, 0.0102, 0.0251, 0.0452, 0.0406, 0.0412, 0.051, 0.0779, 0.0733, 0.0722]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1886420688770339221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-03T14:25:14+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks are fully discounting the tariff - no need for panic!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "CDN energy stocks already fully price in 10% tariff impact; no need to panic, author sees no fundamental case for further selling.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What does a 10% tariff mean for CDN energy stocks?\n🛢️assuming tariffs last a full year, average cashflow falls by 7% and free cashflow falls by 20% (includes hedging)\n🛢️Base case $70WTI FCF yields = 13.9%. With full tariff this falls to 11.2%, so we would argue that stocks are fully discounting the tariff - no need for panic!\n🛢️we believe we are being conservative ($17WCS differential vs. spot $15 and estimates of ~$16) \n🛢️a rising oil price + falling currency will buffer much of the tariff impact\n🛢️we believe most of the tariff on CDN oil will be a complete cost passthrough to the US consumer, yet are not modelling this (would mean lower WCS diff)\n🛢️given modest CF impact we do not see production volumes being impacted, though flows on TMX to Asia (and less to US refineries) could ~0.3MM Bbl/d.\n🛢️at this point modelling integrated names involved too many unknown variables = low confidence in #'s\n🛢️we can never, ever allow ourselves to be treated like this again. More pipelines are the answer, and I'll have more on that soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004095975661029039, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004095975661029039, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002679164094485431, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002679164094485431, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00677513975551447, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00677513975551447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010532542182971394, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010532542182971394, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038242153367054055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038242153367054055, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006708326846265988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006708326846265988, "ret_p1w": 0.02867171293606452, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02867171293606452, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016827700465564588, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016827700465564588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011844012470499932, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011844012470499932, "ret_p1m": -0.07431247623147363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07431247623147363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039332448112043616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039332448112043616, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03498002811943002, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03498002811943002, "ret_p3m": -0.07970068956294618, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07970068956294618, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030676691505389098, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.030676691505389098, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04902399805755708, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04902399805755708, "ret_p6m": 0.06411221206607376, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06411221206607376, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0036059344133054783, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0036059344133054783, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06771814647937924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06771814647937924, "ret_p1y": 0.269497018016295, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.269497018016295, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09703135337752955, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09703135337752955, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17246566463876545, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17246566463876545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07431247623147363, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.039332448112043616, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039332448112043616, "price_path": [0.0134, 0.0326, 0.0383, 0.0273, 0.0262, 0.0146, 0.0233, 0.0465, 0.0349, 0.0453, 0.0418, 0.0522, 0.0719, 0.0772, 0.058, 0.0343, 0.0349, 0.0412, 0.0418, 0.0349, 0.0424, 0.0198, 0.0285, 0.0082, 0.0129, 0.0053, 0.0187, 0.0013, 0.0007, -0.0172, -0.0242, -0.0416, -0.0491, -0.0485, -0.0288, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0152, 0.0012, 0.017, 0.0234, 0.0328, 0.0503, 0.0509, 0.0521, 0.0626, 0.0433, 0.0451, 0.048, 0.0293, 0.0386, 0.0568, 0.048, 0.0456, 0.0445, 0.0328, 0.0211, 0.0111, 0.0234, 0.0287, 0.0041, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0152, 0.0029, 0.007, 0.0287, 0.0427, 0.0193, 0.0228, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0228, 0.031, 0.0339, 0.0129, 0.0041, -0.0123, -0.0176, -0.017, -0.0146, -0.0638, -0.0743, -0.0813, -0.0755, -0.055, -0.0568, -0.0492, -0.0339, -0.041, -0.0222, -0.0082, -0.0047, 0.0117, 0.0181, 0.0187, 0.0339, 0.038, 0.0441, 0.0364, 0.0258, 0.0394, 0.0465, 0.0541, -0.0202, -0.1051, -0.1227, -0.164, -0.0933, -0.1528, -0.1286, -0.1227, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.0832, -0.0921, -0.0732, -0.0791, -0.0697, -0.0709, -0.0667, -0.0744, -0.0956, -0.088, -0.0797, -0.1039, -0.0939, -0.0921, -0.0661, -0.0479, -0.0196, -0.0025, -0.0095, -0.0219, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0249, -0.0272, -0.0296, -0.0255, -0.0202, -0.0196, -0.0261, -0.0255, -0.042, -0.0237, -0.0101, -0.0237, -0.0202, -0.0066, -0.0019, 0.0105, 0.0329, 0.0388, 0.0712, 0.063, 0.0812, 0.07, 0.0783, 0.0742, 0.0382, 0.0229, 0.0176, 0.0212, 0.0164, 0.0111, 0.0111, 0.026, 0.0218, 0.02, 0.0129, 0.0343, 0.0337, 0.0296, 0.0421, 0.0397, 0.0307, 0.0188, 0.0236, 0.0248, 0.0147, 0.0212, 0.0319, 0.0415, 0.0367, 0.057, 0.0671, 0.0641]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1772267682697527317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-25T14:21:57+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Opportunity??? Sentiment remains poor despite record oil demand, US shale stalling, and 'Will and Intent' working.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian/global energy sector: top performer with weak flows and poor sentiment = contrarian opportunity on record oil demand + stalling shale.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE as broad energy sector proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Unusual year so far: energy is the top performing sub-index (at least in Canada) yet has had the weakest flows. Sentiment remains poor despite record oil demand, US shale stalling, and “Will and Intent” working.  Opportunity??? https://t.co/qHlJu1j62J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009221581325905337, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009221581325905337, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01199228817821596, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01199228817821596, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0027707068523106226, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027707068523106226, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00772043625911123, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00772043625911123, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005873759450406912, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005873759450406912, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018466768087043173, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018466768087043173, "ret_p1w": 0.01983703946599591, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01983703946599591, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015238720991379129, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015238720991379129, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0045983184746167804, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0045983184746167804, "ret_p1m": 0.0306668596913815, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0306668596913815, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05783246489226812, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05783246489226812, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027165605200886622, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027165605200886622, "ret_p3m": -0.032060998135451046, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.032060998135451046, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08444990508380934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08444990508380934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052388906948358294, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052388906948358294, "ret_p6m": -0.05163414025803681, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05163414025803681, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13843528765748825, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13843528765748825, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08680114739945144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08680114739945144, "ret_p1y": -0.04193464834327232, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04193464834327232, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11310727458472725, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11310727458472725, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.07117262624145493, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07117262624145493, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0306668596913815, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05783246489226812, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05783246489226812, "price_path": [-0.0924, -0.1062, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.0986, -0.084, -0.1, -0.0993, -0.1097, -0.124, -0.1326, -0.1303, -0.1206, -0.1206, -0.1415, -0.1486, -0.15, -0.1473, -0.1441, -0.1423, -0.13, -0.1104, -0.1039, -0.1051, -0.0959, -0.1128, -0.1129, -0.1116, -0.1139, -0.111, -0.1092, -0.1, -0.1139, -0.1041, -0.1131, -0.114, -0.0893, -0.0898, -0.0898, -0.0981, -0.0812, -0.0796, -0.0857, -0.0825, -0.0864, -0.0882, -0.0838, -0.0731, -0.083, -0.0762, -0.0733, -0.0655, -0.0622, -0.0525, -0.054, -0.0389, -0.029, -0.0261, -0.0227, -0.0116, -0.013, -0.0071, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.0077, 0.0015, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0198, 0.0341, 0.0412, 0.0405, 0.0517, 0.045, 0.0454, 0.0486, 0.0478, 0.0308, 0.0211, 0.0122, 0.0093, 0.0062, 0.0183, 0.025, 0.0307, 0.0314, 0.0361, 0.0266, 0.0336, 0.0028, -0.0132, -0.0075, -0.0074, 0.0004, -0.0005, -0.0017, 0.0117, 0.0061, 0.0034, 0.0047, 0.007, 0.0042, 0.0182, 0.0116, 0.0066, -0.0127, -0.0217, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0102, -0.0277, -0.0249, -0.0006, -0.0268, -0.0361, -0.0362, -0.0312, -0.0351, -0.0278, -0.0297, -0.0401, -0.0489, -0.056, -0.0535, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0321, -0.0376, -0.0134, -0.0111, -0.0208, -0.0186, -0.0148, -0.0142, -0.015, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.0261, -0.0321, -0.0406, -0.0341, -0.0241, -0.0216, -0.0068, -0.0023, 0.0076, 0.0094, -0.0016, -0.0079, -0.0236, -0.0235, -0.0067, -0.0035, -0.0121, 0.0033, 0.0075, -0.0192, -0.0445, -0.0656, -0.0598, -0.0561, -0.0357, -0.0336, -0.0288, -0.0382, -0.0326, -0.021, -0.0221, -0.0155, -0.0415, -0.0399, -0.0374, -0.023, -0.0142, -0.0234, -0.0297, -0.017, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0379, -0.0512, -0.0586, -0.0703, -0.0636, -0.0797, -0.0883, -0.0801, -0.0749, -0.0643, -0.0516]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909219304572092863", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-07T12:18:48+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The energy sector remains strong at even distressed price levels like $50WTI, benefitting from several years of deleveraging. balance sheets remain in check and dividends covered until the storm passes. Strap in!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: balance sheets and dividends intact even at $50 WTI; ride out the downturn.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The energy sector remains strong at even distressed price levels like $50WTI, benefitting from several years of deleveraging. While not super compelling on a FCF basis, most importantly balance sheets remain in check and dividends covered until the storm passes. Strap in! https://t.co/i5NyhBFJji", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006517632970560516, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006517632970560516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0047332615598660865, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0047332615598660865, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843714106944297, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017843714106944297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023131015814075173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023131015814075173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007468179698402744, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007468179698402744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566283611567243, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01566283611567243, "ret_p1w": 0.011757057968170503, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011757057968170503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05711942144996174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05711942144996174, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887647941813224, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06887647941813224, "ret_p1m": 0.029392946811775733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029392946811775733, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08316106718853566, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08316106718853566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1125540140003114, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1125540140003114, "ret_p3m": 0.12125204405601098, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12125204405601098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12223249420690463, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12223249420690463, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2434845382629156, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2434845382629156, "ret_p6m": 0.1608351321026229, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1608351321026229, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17205842714705133, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17205842714705133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.33289355924967423, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33289355924967423, "ret_p1y": 0.6344842437873277, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6344842437873277, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.367156924575724, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.367156924575724, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2673273192116037, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2673273192116037, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.029392946811775733, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08316106718853566, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08316106718853566, "price_path": [0.1163, 0.1163, 0.1208, 0.1444, 0.1567, 0.1738, 0.1823, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1854, 0.1638, 0.1692, 0.1579, 0.1458, 0.1349, 0.1375, 0.1433, 0.1113, 0.1183, 0.1418, 0.1442, 0.1231, 0.123, 0.1477, 0.157, 0.1291, 0.1376, 0.1421, 0.1421, 0.1577, 0.1669, 0.1775, 0.1531, 0.1533, 0.1367, 0.1302, 0.1363, 0.1539, 0.1136, 0.1028, 0.0867, 0.09, 0.1087, 0.1169, 0.108, 0.1131, 0.1055, 0.1382, 0.1563, 0.1583, 0.1771, 0.1815, 0.1732, 0.1866, 0.1914, 0.1985, 0.1868, 0.1812, 0.1942, 0.2013, 0.2029, 0.1085, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0231, 0.0525, -0.0162, 0.0082, 0.0118, 0.0102, 0.0185, 0.0415, 0.0143, 0.0401, 0.0382, 0.0548, 0.0529, 0.0603, 0.0573, 0.0288, 0.0326, 0.0477, 0.0288, 0.029, 0.0294, 0.0429, 0.0534, 0.0809, 0.0961, 0.0895, 0.0941, 0.0924, 0.0782, 0.0682, 0.0486, 0.0445, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.0569, 0.0435, 0.0512, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0681, 0.0473, 0.0463, 0.0659, 0.068, 0.087, 0.1027, 0.1066, 0.1259, 0.1226, 0.133, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1371, 0.1084, 0.0939, 0.0892, 0.1048, 0.099, 0.0927, 0.101, 0.12, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1104, 0.1403, 0.1345, 0.1432, 0.1483, 0.1357, 0.1193, 0.1097, 0.1165, 0.1075, 0.096, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1264, 0.1222, 0.1349, 0.146, 0.1296, 0.1236, 0.1027, 0.1003, 0.1017, 0.0915, 0.0872, 0.0942, 0.0854, 0.0907, 0.1033, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0957, 0.0961, 0.1053, 0.1129, 0.1356, 0.1385, 0.1367, 0.1495, 0.1582, 0.1645, 0.1645, 0.1662, 0.1401, 0.1477, 0.1255, 0.1229, 0.1283, 0.148, 0.1483, 0.1415, 0.1376, 0.1567, 0.1594, 0.1558, 0.1404, 0.1391, 0.1588, 0.1738, 0.1844, 0.1953, 0.1733, 0.1608, 0.1608]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014817832064717124", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-23T21:49:39+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "our bullish views on natural gas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year bull call on oil and natural gas; recorded client presentation on thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe we are on the cusp of a multi-year bull market for oil. Hear why (plus our bullish views on natural gas) in an abridged 20 minute video we recorded for our clients: https://t.co/Bjww403l8R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05799053682411148, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05799053682411148, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05293804704959881, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05293804704959881, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008766022596743972, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008766022596743972, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012750287326428578, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012750287326428578, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.14362778997969305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14362778997969305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1474965828597713, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1474965828597713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": -0.22724207032341714, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22724207032341714, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2194756828624408, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2194756828624408, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.29062707269827837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29062707269827837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31611295562413544, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31611295562413544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1308, -0.1679, -0.1767, -0.1355, -0.1065, -0.0722, -0.0607, -0.0809, -0.0445, -0.0593, -0.0492, -0.0182, -0.0121, -0.0013, -0.0182, -0.0479, -0.0411, -0.0088, -0.0276, -0.0121, -0.0283, -0.0674, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0067, 0.0256, 0.0088, 0.0432, 0.056, 0.1038, 0.0162, -0.0492, -0.0384, -0.118, -0.1416, -0.1598, -0.1841, -0.1477, -0.1888, -0.178, -0.2009, -0.1301, -0.1645, -0.1362, -0.12, -0.1153, -0.1733, -0.1868, -0.2158, -0.2394, -0.2057, -0.2401, -0.2987, -0.2461, -0.2367, -0.3095, -0.3055, -0.3034, -0.3034, -0.1659, -0.0802, -0.0944, -0.058, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0202, 0.0155, 0.1396, -0.1436, -0.1247, -0.0924, -0.0883, -0.1052, -0.1794, -0.1821, -0.1693, -0.1618, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1976, -0.1996, -0.2043, -0.1902, -0.2084, -0.2272, -0.2178, -0.2326, -0.2232, -0.1908, -0.1719, -0.2057, -0.1875, -0.1403, -0.1699, -0.1726, -0.1315, -0.1207, -0.1477, -0.1767, -0.1773, -0.1457, -0.1531, -0.1645, -0.209, -0.209, -0.2003, -0.2016, -0.1719, -0.2124, -0.209, -0.2299, -0.2347, -0.2347, -0.2333, -0.2212, -0.2529, -0.2664, -0.2738, -0.2798, -0.2879, -0.2866, -0.2731, -0.269, -0.2684, -0.2616, -0.2616, -0.2906, -0.3048, -0.2927, -0.3034, -0.3156, -0.2852, -0.2778, -0.2616, -0.2825, -0.2953, -0.2798, -0.2873, -0.2434, -0.2643, -0.2596, -0.2475, -0.236, -0.2218, -0.1976, -0.2252, -0.236, -0.2623, -0.2623, -0.2643, -0.2461, -0.1982, -0.1955, -0.2218, -0.2266, -0.2104, -0.1827, -0.2131, -0.2333, -0.232, -0.2218, -0.2475, -0.2347, -0.2293, -0.207, -0.2198, -0.2198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1712104397629465072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-11T13:54:32+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks in our opinion trading far below fair value, we expect buybacks in 2024 to be very aggressive", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Canadian E&P stocks trading far below fair value; aggressive 2024 buybacks expected as companies hit debt targets.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian E&P sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Peters & Co: \"Canadian E&P's bought back $1.6BN of stock in September, the highest monthly total YTD.\" With many companies soon reaching their final debt targets + stocks in our opinion trading far below fair value, we expect buybacks in 2024 to be very aggressive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0005864923268930067, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0005864923268930067, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004666090382286492, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004666090382286492, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004079598055393485, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004079598055393485, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007038151609149779, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007038151609149779, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013134602035567933, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013134602035567933, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006096450426418154, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006096450426418154, "ret_p1w": 0.03401771247035468, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03401771247035468, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.048021306580655065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.048021306580655065, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003594110300388, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003594110300388, "ret_p1m": -0.03870971200710682, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03870971200710682, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302586844500066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03302586844500066, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005683843562106161, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005683843562106161, "ret_p3m": -0.07152958380732888, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07152958380732888, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16367347117878794, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16367347117878794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09214388737145907, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09214388737145907, "ret_p6m": 0.13695074067578017, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13695074067578017, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.047388267168512854, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047388267168512854, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18433900784429302, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18433900784429302, "ret_p1y": 0.015865144414368704, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.015865144414368704, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3115956247402447, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3115956247402447, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3274607691546134, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3274607691546134, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07152958380732888, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16367347117878794, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16367347117878794, "price_path": [-0.151, -0.1597, -0.1377, -0.1359, -0.1348, -0.125, -0.1111, -0.1064, -0.1041, -0.1099, -0.0874, -0.0839, -0.0804, -0.0972, -0.0827, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0654, -0.0561, -0.0573, -0.0475, -0.0509, -0.07, -0.066, -0.0515, -0.0422, -0.0486, -0.0521, -0.059, -0.0712, -0.0573, -0.044, -0.0272, -0.0226, -0.0185, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0063, 0.0075, 0.0052, 0.0046, -0.0151, 0.0063, -0.0018, 0.0115, 0.0127, 0.0069, -0.0029, -0.0174, -0.0307, -0.0313, -0.0123, -0.0047, 0.0182, 0.0199, 0.0088, -0.0147, -0.0123, -0.0528, -0.0516, -0.0399, -0.0399, 0.0006, 0.0, 0.007, 0.0205, 0.0258, 0.0299, 0.034, 0.037, 0.0211, 0.007, -0.007, 0.0065, 0.0012, -0.0029, -0.0053, -0.0018, 0.0082, 0.0317, 0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0328, -0.0516, -0.0387, -0.0205, -0.0141, -0.0147, -0.0258, -0.0446, -0.0182, -0.0158, -0.0252, -0.0399, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0522, -0.0446, -0.037, -0.0334, -0.0323, -0.0487, -0.0598, -0.0979, -0.1026, -0.0897, -0.1009, -0.1208, -0.0991, -0.0839, -0.1056, -0.0927, -0.0792, -0.0891, -0.0827, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0751, -0.0863, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0479, -0.0603, -0.0544, -0.0715, -0.0733, -0.0816, -0.0745, -0.0698, -0.0633, -0.0904, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.1099, -0.1087, -0.1034, -0.0892, -0.0757, -0.0715, -0.081, -0.0662, -0.0774, -0.0898, -0.1099, -0.1152, -0.1093, -0.1093, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.0881, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.0644, -0.0609, -0.0609, -0.0662, -0.0396, -0.0314, -0.0331, -0.0284, -0.0243, -0.0219, -0.003, 0.0177, 0.0058, 0.0165, 0.0188, 0.0153, 0.0088, 0.0112, 0.0141, 0.0324, 0.0454, 0.0442, 0.0531, 0.0584, 0.0566, 0.0596, 0.0592, 0.08, 0.0716, 0.0794, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.1013, 0.1138, 0.1304, 0.137]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1701252131213262918", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-11T15:11:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we do not need oil to go any higher for energy companies to do egregiously well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy companies will outperform regardless of oil price direction, supported by record demand and record low inventories.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Record high oil demand, record low oil inventories, and \"we do not need oil to go any higher for energy companies to do egregiously well\" were my key themes with the always on-point @JonErlichman on @BNNBloomberg this morning: https://t.co/qVK2tGGkah https://t.co/HPwjlZsTzI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01332026767764849, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01332026767764849, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019853993981476914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019853993981476914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006533726303828424, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006533726303828424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02355820336524772, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02355820336524772, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02904383925655296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02904383925655296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0054856358913052405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0054856358913052405, "ret_p1w": 0.02146341463414636, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02146341463414636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02872212415556441, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02872212415556441, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00725870952141805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00725870952141805, "ret_p1m": -0.016352203567199353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016352203567199353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011247886389901929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011247886389901929, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02760008995710128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02760008995710128, "ret_p3m": -0.09786078191982517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09786078191982517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12327345166735348, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12327345166735348, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025412669747528316, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025412669747528316, "ret_p6m": -0.027617154869328142, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027617154869328142, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1671701537493736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1671701537493736, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13955299888004546, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13955299888004546, "ret_p1y": 0.02133444100718762, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.02133444100718762, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2410339558682122, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2410339558682122, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2623683968753998, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2623683968753998, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016352203567199353, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011247886389901929, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011247886389901929, "price_path": [-0.1259, -0.1163, -0.1176, -0.1176, -0.1374, -0.1306, -0.1422, -0.1484, -0.1331, -0.1311, -0.1223, -0.1122, -0.1065, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.1093, -0.1293, -0.1106, -0.1037, -0.084, -0.0755, -0.079, -0.1034, -0.1051, -0.0961, -0.0908, -0.0801, -0.072, -0.057, -0.0521, -0.0517, -0.0578, -0.0549, -0.037, -0.0415, -0.0541, -0.0445, -0.0432, -0.0421, -0.0373, -0.0252, -0.0253, -0.0103, -0.0145, -0.035, -0.0434, -0.0319, -0.0223, -0.0285, -0.036, -0.0384, -0.045, -0.0358, -0.0293, -0.0266, -0.0218, -0.0211, -0.0011, -0.0011, 0.0042, 0.0046, 0.0036, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.0236, 0.0159, 0.0277, 0.0129, 0.0215, 0.0119, 0.0025, -0.0113, -0.0096, 0.0028, -0.0029, 0.0219, 0.023, 0.0024, -0.0176, -0.0182, -0.0491, -0.0549, -0.0493, -0.0176, -0.0164, -0.029, -0.0279, -0.0065, 0.0002, 0.0106, 0.0198, 0.018, 0.0009, -0.0152, -0.0291, -0.0309, -0.0384, -0.0615, -0.0584, -0.0553, -0.0575, -0.029, -0.0388, -0.0496, -0.0707, -0.0823, -0.0851, -0.075, -0.0684, -0.06, -0.0618, -0.0801, -0.0608, -0.0595, -0.0616, -0.062, -0.062, -0.0582, -0.0615, -0.0613, -0.0683, -0.062, -0.0572, -0.0615, -0.0779, -0.0917, -0.0979, -0.0881, -0.087, -0.0995, -0.087, -0.0602, -0.0651, -0.0575, -0.0462, -0.055, -0.0514, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0404, -0.0446, -0.0592, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0512, -0.0358, -0.0527, -0.0519, -0.0629, -0.0779, -0.087, -0.0846, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0964, -0.1039, -0.1053, -0.1024, -0.099, -0.0971, -0.0843, -0.0637, -0.0567, -0.0581, -0.0483, -0.0661, -0.0662, -0.0649, -0.0673, -0.0642, -0.0623, -0.0527, -0.0673, -0.057, -0.0665, -0.0674, -0.0414, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0507, -0.0329, -0.0312, -0.0376, -0.0342, -0.0384, -0.0403, -0.0356, -0.0244, -0.0348, -0.0276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912970317741404639", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-17T20:43:59+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Canadian energy companies will be the \"last man standing\" and will weather this oil storm just fine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector; expects it to outperform amid oil market stress.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canadian energy companies will be the “last man standing” and will weather this oil storm just fine: https://t.co/FdeqybCZCu https://t.co/KvLy2KPG9d", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00974027789246934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00974027789246934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014642807738065367, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014642807738065367, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383085630534707, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383085630534707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020779182388340534, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020779182388340534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005238576528284522, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005238576528284522, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.026017758916625056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026017758916625056, "ret_p1w": 0.02792201428502117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02792201428502117, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.044020849636867254, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044020849636867254, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194286392188842, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07194286392188842, "ret_p1m": 0.07402608627756924, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07402608627756924, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07964779898475238, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07964779898475238, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367388526232162, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367388526232162, "ret_p3m": 0.12741083429111977, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12741083429111977, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09835518229648321, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09835518229648321, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576601658760298, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576601658760298, "ret_p6m": 0.19619151786302402, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19619151786302402, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09988755481698663, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09988755481698663, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607907268001066, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607907268001066, "ret_p1y": 0.7445881400714798, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7445881400714798, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.40721551667433986, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.40721551667433986, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3373726233971399, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3373726233971399, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07402608627756924, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07964779898475238, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07964779898475238, "price_path": [0.1543, 0.1517, 0.1504, 0.1375, 0.1246, 0.1137, 0.1272, 0.133, 0.1059, 0.1014, 0.113, 0.1182, 0.1046, 0.1092, 0.133, 0.1485, 0.1227, 0.1266, 0.115, 0.115, 0.1266, 0.1356, 0.1388, 0.1156, 0.1059, 0.0879, 0.0821, 0.0827, 0.0853, 0.0312, 0.0196, 0.0118, 0.0183, 0.0408, 0.0389, 0.0473, 0.064, 0.0563, 0.0769, 0.0924, 0.0963, 0.1143, 0.1214, 0.122, 0.1388, 0.1433, 0.15, 0.1416, 0.1299, 0.1448, 0.1526, 0.161, 0.0792, -0.0143, -0.0338, -0.0792, -0.0013, -0.0669, -0.0403, -0.0338, -0.0305, -0.0117, 0.0097, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0143, 0.0247, 0.0234, 0.0279, 0.0195, -0.0039, 0.0045, 0.0136, -0.013, -0.0019, 0.0, 0.0286, 0.0487, 0.0799, 0.0987, 0.0909, 0.0773, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.074, 0.0714, 0.0688, 0.0734, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0727, 0.0734, 0.0552, 0.0753, 0.0903, 0.0753, 0.0792, 0.0942, 0.0994, 0.113, 0.1377, 0.1442, 0.1799, 0.1708, 0.1909, 0.1786, 0.1877, 0.1831, 0.1435, 0.1266, 0.1208, 0.1248, 0.1195, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.13, 0.1254, 0.1235, 0.1156, 0.1392, 0.1386, 0.134, 0.1478, 0.1451, 0.1353, 0.1222, 0.1274, 0.1287, 0.1176, 0.1248, 0.1366, 0.1471, 0.1418, 0.1642, 0.1753, 0.172, 0.1583, 0.1353, 0.1353, 0.1432, 0.1386, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1202, 0.1254, 0.1241, 0.1268, 0.1235, 0.1202, 0.1117, 0.1195, 0.1379, 0.1635, 0.1694, 0.1596, 0.1766, 0.1819, 0.1779, 0.1779, 0.1884, 0.1688, 0.174, 0.1543, 0.155, 0.172, 0.195, 0.1898, 0.1904, 0.2016, 0.2324, 0.2272, 0.2258, 0.2022, 0.2173, 0.2318, 0.2466, 0.2506, 0.2532, 0.236, 0.2181, 0.2161, 0.2081, 0.2207, 0.2367, 0.2426, 0.2426, 0.2393, 0.1995, 0.1995, 0.1962]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1957903918513680507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-19T20:34:04+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "seeing much more favourable risk:reward in natural gas for now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil near-term (several months pause), bullish natural gas on better risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Cause for pause\" for oil over the next several months while the seeds of the next oil bull market (at some point in 2026) take root...seeing much more favourable risk:reward in natural gas for now: https://t.co/fag3o0gWIq https://t.co/wT1iOo5ldV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002473184887729518, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002473184887729518, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0001909776455737422, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0001909776455737422, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026641625333032604, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026641625333032604, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022258821231824877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022258821231824877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026270643519383463, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026270643519383463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011822287558586, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011822287558586, "ret_p1w": 0.004946369775458814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004946369775458814, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008405599866264879, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008405599866264879, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013351969641723693, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013351969641723693, "ret_p1m": 0.044517721084779804, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044517721084779804, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006671545868754958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006671545868754958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03784617521602485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03784617521602485, "ret_p3m": 0.16405603894010223, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16405603894010223, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11797381153469688, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11797381153469688, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608222740540535, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608222740540535, "ret_p6m": 0.025556427289174177, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025556427289174177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04896083251755612, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04896083251755612, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0745172598067303, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0745172598067303, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.044517721084779804, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006671545868754958, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006671545868754958, "price_path": [0.3875, 0.3875, 0.4073, 0.3314, 0.3182, 0.2951, 0.3908, 0.3982, 0.3941, 0.3768, 0.4163, 0.3652, 0.324, 0.3149, 0.3248, 0.3487, 0.3998, 0.4493, 0.4905, 0.4905, 0.4559, 0.3883, 0.3397, 0.3067, 0.291, 0.3636, 0.2597, 0.2457, 0.2712, 0.2572, 0.2572, 0.2457, 0.2226, 0.1707, 0.216, 0.23, 0.2605, 0.2811, 0.3026, 0.2943, 0.3067, 0.2102, 0.1929, 0.1303, 0.1426, 0.1401, 0.127, 0.1467, 0.1006, 0.1204, 0.1228, 0.0684, 0.0874, 0.1162, 0.1154, 0.0882, 0.0775, 0.0124, 0.0223, 0.0313, 0.0577, 0.0486, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0223, -0.0181, -0.0148, -0.0132, 0.0049, 0.0363, 0.0577, 0.0577, 0.0536, 0.0767, 0.08, 0.0668, 0.0849, 0.0932, 0.0618, 0.0239, 0.0313, 0.0643, 0.0899, 0.08, 0.0445, 0.0363, 0.0016, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0379, 0.028, 0.0569, 0.0775, 0.1228, 0.1088, 0.0758, 0.0965, 0.136, 0.08, 0.0503, 0.0165, 0.0041, -0.0148, -0.0206, -0.0453, -0.0214, 0.066, 0.0841, 0.0767, 0.066, 0.0692, 0.0627, 0.0173, 0.0066, 0.0569, 0.0923, 0.1344, 0.1484, 0.1237, 0.1682, 0.15, 0.1624, 0.2003, 0.2077, 0.2209, 0.2003, 0.1641, 0.1723, 0.2119, 0.1888, 0.2077, 0.188, 0.1401, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.2143, 0.2539, 0.2333, 0.2754, 0.291, 0.3495, 0.2424, 0.1624, 0.1756, 0.0783, 0.0495, 0.0272, -0.0025, 0.042, -0.0082, 0.0049, -0.0231, 0.0635, 0.0214, 0.0561, 0.0758, 0.0816, 0.0107, -0.0058, -0.0412, -0.0701, -0.0289, -0.0709, -0.1426, -0.0783, -0.0668, -0.1558, -0.1509, -0.1484, -0.1484, 0.0198, 0.1245, 0.1072, 0.1517, 0.2226, 0.2119, 0.1979, 0.2415, 0.3932, 0.047, 0.0701, 0.1096, 0.1146, 0.094, 0.0033, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.0247, 0.0256, 0.0256]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1994458215736549813", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T17:27:48+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy stocks continue to make all-time highs, all the while the sector remains for sale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy sector: stocks hitting all-time highs while still undervalued/for sale, powered by share buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy stocks continue to make all-time highs, all the while the sector remains for sale. If ever you needed proof of the power of share buybacks, this is it! https://t.co/F73lnEtDJD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012935409433211031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012935409433211031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007506635548379936, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007506635548379936, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009618501663248846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009618501663248846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014183917265800039, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014183917265800039, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565415602551193, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004565415602551193, "ret_p1w": 0.015367563008660934, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015367563008660934, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012001974698524931, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012001974698524931, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "ret_p1m": 0.0026147898569648387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026147898569648387, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0056529525284927384, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0056529525284927384, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008267742385457577, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008267742385457577, "ret_p3m": 0.24702434722299516, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24702434722299516, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24025364941626837, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24025364941626837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006770697806726789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006770697806726789, "ret_p6m": 0.27918922505875954, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27918922505875954, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17479329247148434, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17479329247148434, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1043959325872752, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1043959325872752, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026147898569648387, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0056529525284927384, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0056529525284927384, "price_path": [-0.0077, -0.0299, -0.0235, -0.0423, -0.0445, -0.0399, -0.0232, -0.0229, -0.0287, -0.032, -0.0158, -0.0135, -0.0166, -0.0296, -0.0307, -0.014, -0.0012, 0.0077, 0.017, -0.0017, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0222, -0.017, -0.0122, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0297, -0.0578, -0.045, -0.0451, -0.0457, -0.0572, -0.0494, -0.0394, -0.0416, -0.0293, -0.0164, -0.0263, -0.024, -0.0342, -0.027, -0.0327, -0.0256, -0.0255, -0.036, -0.0335, -0.0241, -0.0101, -0.0011, 0.0119, -0.0022, 0.0003, 0.0174, -0.0012, 0.0067, -0.0063, -0.0176, -0.0114, -0.0142, -0.0203, -0.0129, -0.0129, 0.0, 0.0096, -0.0034, 0.0153, 0.0196, 0.0154, 0.0043, 0.0105, 0.0211, 0.0163, 0.0063, -0.0008, -0.0313, -0.0098, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0141, -0.0076, -0.0105, -0.0143, -0.005, 0.0026, -0.003, 0.018, 0.0457, 0.0178, 0.0064, 0.0381, 0.0407, 0.0334, 0.0481, 0.0717, 0.0617, 0.0635, 0.0635, 0.0615, 0.0871, 0.0907, 0.0969, 0.0976, 0.1076, 0.1161, 0.1264, 0.1384, 0.1161, 0.1522, 0.1781, 0.1643, 0.1875, 0.1962, 0.1948, 0.2261, 0.2038, 0.212, 0.212, 0.1986, 0.2216, 0.2305, 0.2238, 0.2299, 0.2287, 0.2236, 0.2276, 0.247, 0.272, 0.2604, 0.253, 0.2595, 0.2615, 0.2559, 0.2399, 0.2707, 0.2825, 0.2867, 0.2912, 0.3048, 0.303, 0.3237, 0.3226, 0.3384, 0.3656, 0.3595, 0.3809, 0.4042, 0.3907, 0.375, 0.3236, 0.3299, 0.3299, 0.3396, 0.3503, 0.303, 0.2868, 0.2781, 0.2819, 0.2558, 0.2516, 0.27, 0.235, 0.2361, 0.254, 0.2691, 0.279, 0.2765, 0.2743, 0.2954, 0.325, 0.3389, 0.3209, 0.3331, 0.3344, 0.2794, 0.2558, 0.2502, 0.2832, 0.2922, 0.2936, 0.3034, 0.3342, 0.3598, 0.3757, 0.3423, 0.3272, 0.3353, 0.3353, 0.2985, 0.2792]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983898848696119360", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T14:08:39+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oilsands", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We really like long duration, low decline, high free cashflow assets like the Canadian oilsands, and they are finally starting to get the credit they deserve", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian oilsands on long-duration, low-decline, high-FCF characteristics now getting market recognition.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oilsands sector: CNQ, CVE, ATH", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We really like long duration, low decline, high free cashflow assets like the Canadian oilsands, and they are finally starting to get the credit they deserve: https://t.co/3vVNpgf8vz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007336477515663908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007336477515663908, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0037839717157410746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0013929112537478527, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011120449231404983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005943566261916056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005729463890211968, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005729463890211968, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0024491832794964656, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015856469208325548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802806107155025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007315110811044523, "ret_p1w": 0.009053299786517846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009053299786517846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023056748189410316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0001380831751605447, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003448402892471, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008915216611357302, "ret_p1m": 0.08541027611233602, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08541027611233602, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08017365528713187, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05157781115537012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236620825204152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0338324649569659, "ret_p3m": 0.18277565837335086, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18277565837335086, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1588566972859844, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01828688890127328, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.023918961087366464, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16448876947207758, "ret_p6m": 0.5901860644232015, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5901860644232015, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5373605446526712, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2510109934979543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052825519770530294, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33917507092524724, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08541027611233602, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08017365528713187, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05157781115537012, "price_path": [-0.1212, -0.1138, -0.1207, -0.1331, -0.13, -0.1437, -0.1276, -0.1287, -0.1269, -0.1264, -0.1263, -0.1348, -0.1298, -0.1068, -0.066, -0.0597, -0.0675, -0.0536, -0.0529, -0.066, -0.066, -0.0468, -0.0673, -0.0596, -0.0888, -0.0838, -0.067, -0.0395, -0.0437, -0.043, -0.0285, -0.0055, -0.0091, -0.0107, -0.0269, -0.0146, -0.0033, 0.018, 0.0169, 0.0234, 0.0061, -0.0092, -0.0115, -0.0171, -0.0074, 0.0134, 0.0216, 0.0349, 0.0436, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0145, -0.0208, -0.0515, -0.0447, -0.038, -0.0476, -0.0274, -0.0017, -0.0077, -0.0023, -0.0125, 0.0073, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0167, 0.0002, 0.0116, 0.0091, 0.0227, 0.0393, 0.0561, 0.0453, 0.0383, 0.0695, 0.0696, 0.0967, 0.0959, 0.092, 0.0787, 0.075, 0.0666, 0.0645, 0.0696, 0.0854, 0.087, 0.0698, 0.0975, 0.1046, 0.0969, 0.0862, 0.0675, 0.0651, 0.0479, 0.0411, 0.0258, -0.0145, 0.0008, -0.0173, -0.0029, 0.0015, 0.0099, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.015, 0.0291, 0.025, 0.047, -0.0168, -0.0348, -0.0543, -0.0297, -0.017, 0.0007, 0.0351, 0.0679, 0.0569, 0.0587, 0.0633, 0.0426, 0.0972, 0.0954, 0.109, 0.1197, 0.141, 0.1508, 0.1828, 0.1551, 0.1423, 0.1732, 0.1982, 0.1732, 0.2244, 0.224, 0.2264, 0.2658, 0.2327, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.2579, 0.2921, 0.3309, 0.3114, 0.2951, 0.3055, 0.291, 0.3023, 0.3141, 0.3382, 0.3182, 0.3252, 0.3498, 0.3413, 0.3371, 0.3361, 0.3787, 0.3989, 0.4013, 0.4068, 0.4304, 0.4434, 0.4934, 0.4839, 0.4599, 0.5035, 0.5093, 0.5147, 0.5849, 0.5869, 0.5954, 0.5105, 0.5607, 0.5607, 0.5806, 0.5985, 0.5106, 0.4882, 0.5205, 0.548, 0.506, 0.5145, 0.5415, 0.441, 0.4644, 0.5062, 0.5282, 0.56, 0.5253, 0.5498, 0.5902]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1702042088689308031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-13T19:30:31+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy/oil-gas equities after Peters & Co. conference; FCF real, deleveraging ongoing, 60–100% FCF return to shareholders in months.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just back from 2 days of meetings at the always stellar Peters & Co. conference. My takeaways: the free cashflow is real, deleveraging is happening in real-time, the commitment to return FCF back to shareholders is unassailable, and the timeline to being paid 60%-100% of free cashflow via buybacks/dividends is now measured in months. Smiles abound, yet CEO's question why generalists do not see what we see...patience. We remain bullish!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007585762618682601, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007585762618682601, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00875020978790697, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00875020978790697, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011644471692243696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011644471692243696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011703456294551051, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011703456294551051, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003080843885348461, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003080843885348461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00862261240920259, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00862261240920259, "ret_p1w": -0.013143673153004132, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013143673153004132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0010166441064861642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0010166441064861642, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014160317259490296, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014160317259490296, "ret_p1m": -0.043055056170535844, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.043055056170535844, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017702290099027906, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017702290099027906, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025352766071507937, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025352766071507937, "ret_p3m": -0.10124025099786393, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10124025099786393, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13955874286612235, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13955874286612235, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03831849186825842, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03831849186825842, "ret_p6m": -0.03165937868260371, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03165937868260371, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19338160283896688, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19338160283896688, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16172222415636317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16172222415636317, "ret_p1y": 0.0223082705659452, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0223082705659452, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25776278505324823, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.25776278505324823, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28007105561919343, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28007105561919343, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.043055056170535844, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017702290099027906, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017702290099027906, "price_path": [-0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1508, -0.1441, -0.1556, -0.1617, -0.1466, -0.1447, -0.136, -0.126, -0.1204, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.1232, -0.1429, -0.1245, -0.1177, -0.0983, -0.0899, -0.0934, -0.1174, -0.1191, -0.1102, -0.105, -0.0945, -0.0865, -0.0717, -0.0669, -0.0665, -0.0725, -0.0697, -0.052, -0.0565, -0.0688, -0.0594, -0.0581, -0.057, -0.0523, -0.0404, -0.0405, -0.0258, -0.0299, -0.0501, -0.0583, -0.047, -0.0376, -0.0437, -0.051, -0.0534, -0.0599, -0.0508, -0.0444, -0.0418, -0.0371, -0.0364, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0115, -0.0111, -0.012, -0.0025, -0.0156, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0117, -0.0029, 0.0055, -0.0039, -0.0131, -0.0267, -0.025, -0.0128, -0.0185, 0.006, 0.0071, -0.0133, -0.0329, -0.0336, -0.0639, -0.0697, -0.0641, -0.0329, -0.0317, -0.0441, -0.0431, -0.022, -0.0154, -0.0052, 0.0039, 0.0021, -0.0147, -0.0306, -0.0443, -0.046, -0.0534, -0.0761, -0.0731, -0.07, -0.0722, -0.0441, -0.0538, -0.0645, -0.0852, -0.0967, -0.0994, -0.0895, -0.0829, -0.0747, -0.0765, -0.0945, -0.0755, -0.0742, -0.0762, -0.0767, -0.0767, -0.0729, -0.0761, -0.0759, -0.0828, -0.0767, -0.0719, -0.0761, -0.0923, -0.1058, -0.1119, -0.1023, -0.1012, -0.1136, -0.1012, -0.0748, -0.0797, -0.0722, -0.0611, -0.0698, -0.0662, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0554, -0.0595, -0.0739, -0.076, -0.076, -0.066, -0.0508, -0.0675, -0.0667, -0.0775, -0.0923, -0.1012, -0.0989, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.1105, -0.1178, -0.1193, -0.1164, -0.1131, -0.1112, -0.0986, -0.0783, -0.0714, -0.0728, -0.0632, -0.0807, -0.0808, -0.0795, -0.0818, -0.0788, -0.077, -0.0675, -0.0818, -0.0717, -0.081, -0.0819, -0.0563, -0.0569, -0.0569, -0.0655, -0.048, -0.0463, -0.0526, -0.0493, -0.0534, -0.0552, -0.0506, -0.0396, -0.0498, -0.0428, -0.0398, -0.0317]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1904174826140405944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-24T14:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we have the opportunity to eliminate the political risk discount applied to our energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks; argues upcoming election could remove political risk discount via pro-energy policies.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In one month we have the opportunity to eliminate the political risk discount applied to our energy stocks by voting for:\n🇨🇦repealing the pipeline killing C-69 legislation (and C-48/59) and declaring key energy projects in the \"national interest\"\n🇨🇦scrapping the self-flagellating oil production cap that will cost 40,000 jobs and $20.5BN in lost GDP\n🇨🇦building more oil pipelines to both coasts to crucially diversify our customer base\n🇨🇦eliminating any risk of windfall taxes on the energy sector by choosing a pro-energy PM\n🇨🇦recognizing the \"business case\" in LNG\nLet's bring it home!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014714235716920987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014714235716920987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028791381119743775, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028791381119743775, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017593373828895364, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017593373828895364, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003961642202380489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003961642202380489, 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{"unit_id": "orig:1878892239893495821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-13T19:49:52+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "Canadian oil producers", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "weakness in Canadian oil stocks to be an opportunity given $70+ WTI, a 44% forex uplift, tight differentials, fortress strength balance sheets, and a commitment for meaningful share buybacks in 2025", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy Canadian oil stocks on tariff-driven weakness; thesis supported by $70+ WTI, 44% FX uplift, tight differentials, strong balance sheets, and 2025 buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil producers ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The most visible cost of living  is when an American pulls up to the gas pump to fill up their car every week. Tariffs on Canadian oil, 60% of US imports and irreplaceable at scale, would be a direct cost passthrough to the US consumer. If implemented, we think tariffs would likely be very short-term and consequently, weakness in Canadian oil stocks to be an opportunity given $70+ WTI, a 44% forex uplift, tight differentials, fortress strength balance sheets, and a commitment for meaningful share buybacks in 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018508288559605512, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018508288559605512, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02005643527270662, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02005643527270662, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015481467131011062, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015481467131011062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016826428633025525, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016826428633025525, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0003068201307874219, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0003068201307874219, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013758227325151307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013758227325151307, "ret_p1w": 0.012899777276872193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012899777276872193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014947373269425634, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014947373269425634, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027847150546297827, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027847150546297827, "ret_p1m": -0.0005608063890321091, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0005608063890321091, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041703529519032, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041703529519032, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04114272312999989, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04114272312999989, "ret_p3m": -0.187966944858997, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.187966944858997, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09296712005859409, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09296712005859409, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09499982480040292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09499982480040292, "ret_p6m": -0.009176801316496896, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.009176801316496896, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08898154908712186, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08898154908712186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07980474777062496, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07980474777062496, "ret_p1y": 0.10025650125487973, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10025650125487973, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09652353250911805, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09652353250911805, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19678003376399777, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19678003376399777, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0005608063890321091, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041703529519032, "alpha_c_stated": -0.041703529519032, "price_path": [-0.0153, -0.0192, -0.0081, -0.0125, -0.0086, -0.0081, -0.0186, -0.0136, -0.0003, -0.017, -0.0242, -0.0208, -0.0325, -0.0414, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.0103, -0.0047, -0.0153, -0.0164, -0.0275, -0.0192, 0.003, -0.0081, 0.0019, -0.0014, 0.0086, 0.0274, 0.0324, 0.0141, -0.0086, -0.0081, -0.002, -0.0014, -0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0225, -0.0142, -0.0336, -0.0292, -0.0364, -0.0236, -0.0403, -0.0408, -0.058, -0.0647, -0.0813, -0.0886, -0.088, -0.0691, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0561, -0.0404, -0.0252, -0.0191, -0.0101, 0.0067, 0.0073, 0.0084, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.0045, -0.0135, -0.0045, 0.0129, 0.0045, 0.0022, 0.0011, -0.0101, -0.0213, -0.0308, -0.0191, -0.014, -0.0376, -0.0415, -0.0314, -0.0269, -0.0387, -0.0348, -0.014, -0.0006, -0.023, -0.0196, -0.0297, -0.0297, -0.0196, -0.0118, -0.009, -0.0292, -0.0376, -0.0533, -0.0583, -0.0578, -0.0555, -0.1026, -0.1127, -0.1195, -0.1139, -0.0942, -0.0959, -0.0886, -0.074, -0.0808, -0.0628, -0.0494, -0.046, -0.0303, -0.0241, -0.0236, -0.009, -0.005, 0.0008, -0.0066, -0.0167, -0.0037, 0.003, 0.0104, -0.0608, -0.1422, -0.1591, -0.1987, -0.1309, -0.188, -0.1648, -0.1591, -0.1563, -0.1399, -0.1213, -0.1298, -0.1117, -0.1173, -0.1083, -0.1094, -0.1055, -0.1128, -0.1332, -0.1258, -0.1179, -0.1411, -0.1315, -0.1298, -0.1049, -0.0874, -0.0603, -0.0439, -0.0507, -0.0625, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0653, -0.0676, -0.0699, -0.0659, -0.0608, -0.0603, -0.0665, -0.0659, -0.0817, -0.0642, -0.0512, -0.0642, -0.0608, -0.0478, -0.0433, -0.0314, -0.01, -0.0043, 0.0268, 0.0189, 0.0364, 0.0256, 0.0335, 0.0296, -0.0049, -0.0196, -0.0246, -0.0212, -0.0257, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0166, -0.0206, -0.0223, -0.0292, -0.0086, -0.0092]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042282840369328484", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-09T16:45:47+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the floor price is rising, well above what energy stocks are currently discounting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Oil price spike seen inevitable on massive Middle East supply loss; energy stocks lagging physical reality and must reprice higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Given the magnitude of Middle Eastern production losses (13MM Bbl/d) and the inability of meaningful short-term supply adds elsewhere, it is inevitable that demand will have to fall as inventories continue to be sharply drawn down. The challenge though is the magnitude. Even with 3MM Bbl/d of SPR release and modest run cuts to date, we likely need to reduce demand by the same amount as during COVID, the biggest demand shock in history (in bbl/d terms). This is either achieved by government actions like rationing (happening) or price. Likely both. Physical barrels are already trading over $130-$140 and likely heading higher, while the paper oil market will at some point have to reflect the physical reality. Even with a full opening of the Strait of Hormuz today, given voyage lag time a coming price spike seems inevitable, presidential jawboning or not. With each passing day, the floor price is rising, well above what energy stocks are currently discounting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012558824053897855, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012558824053897855, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01829482371995539, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01829482371995539, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0068027767641626324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0068027767641626324, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006140996249613062, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006140996249613062, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "ret_p1w": -0.01308215552146974, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01308215552146974, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04507168481077839, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04507168481077839, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "ret_p1m": -0.02843190329766032, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02843190329766032, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11331081999563408, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11331081999563408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02843190329766032, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11331081999563408, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11331081999563408, "price_path": [-0.1969, -0.1855, -0.1671, -0.1749, -0.1735, -0.1735, -0.1751, -0.1552, -0.1524, -0.1476, -0.147, -0.1392, -0.1327, -0.1247, -0.1153, -0.1327, -0.1046, -0.0845, -0.0952, -0.0772, -0.0704, -0.0715, -0.0472, -0.0645, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0685, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0489, -0.0443, -0.0451, -0.0491, -0.046, -0.0309, -0.0115, -0.0205, -0.0262, -0.0212, -0.0197, -0.024, -0.0365, -0.0126, -0.0034, -0.0001, 0.0034, 0.014, 0.0126, 0.0287, 0.0278, 0.0401, 0.0612, 0.0565, 0.0731, 0.0912, 0.0808, 0.0686, 0.0286, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.041, 0.0494, 0.0126, 0.0, -0.0068, -0.0038, -0.0241, -0.0274, -0.0131, -0.0403, -0.0394, -0.0255, -0.0138, -0.0061, -0.008, -0.0098, 0.0066, 0.0297, 0.0405, 0.0265, 0.0359, 0.037, -0.0058, -0.0241, -0.0284, -0.0028, 0.0042, 0.0052, 0.0129, 0.0368, 0.0567, 0.0691, 0.0431, 0.0314, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0091, -0.0059, -0.0066, -0.0181, -0.0005, 0.011, 0.0241, 0.0248, 0.0059, 0.0174, 0.001, 0.016, -0.0037, 0.0038, -0.031, -0.0344, -0.0464, -0.0464, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1866138980577649004", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-09T15:12:58+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "historical 'days of supply' now implies a 2025 avg. Brent price of $89. Strip now is ~$71 = $18 undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Oil (Brent) is $18 undervalued; 2025 avg target $89 vs ~$71 strip on OPEC+ schedule extension and mispriced spare capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Depressed sentiment of EPIC proportions is preventing the oil market from seeing just how bullish last week's outcome was. Deferring the return of curtailed volumes to April (avoiding Q1 seasonal demand dip) and extending said schedule to 18 months vs. 12 months is HUGE... 🧵 https://t.co/Lhfb93m72v\n\n---\n\nWith an expected \"final\" surge of non-OPEC growth of 1.4MM Bbl/d in 2025 + modest demand growth, had the V8 gone ahead with the prior schedule, inventories were set to exceed historical averages. That is your $50WTI scenario, which is now off the table. https://t.co/gINVYnWQap\n\n---\n\nWhat we now have is the gradual return extending into 2026 when non-OPEC supply growth begins to meaningfully decelerate. OPEC can then have bbls \"pulled\" from them, and historical \"days of supply\" now implies a 2025 avg. Brent price of $89. Strip now is ~$71 = $18 undervalued. https://t.co/Qv4RElkoP3\n\n---\n\nWhy the disconnect? One reason is the market believing in 6-8MM Bbl/d of spare capacity (ie. inventories no longer matter to price when it is so large). We think the real number is ~4MM Bbl/d, and is largely held by Saudi Arabia. \"Will and intent\" matters! https://t.co/yNsX6wJuVQ\n\n---\n\nSummary: even with likely too-high non-OPEC supply growth forecasts in '25 and modest demand growth, OPEC+ can now begin normalizing spare capacity without  building inventories and negatively impacting price. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1957481501097914622", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T16:35:32+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we think they are too high on production, too low on LNG exports, and wrong about the lack of producer discipline. Marginal supply cost of ~$4/mcf = 11%-14% FCF yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish US natural gas: disagrees with bearish broker report — production overstated, LNG exports understated, producers more disciplined, ~$4/mcf marginal cost supports strong FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There is a negative broker report out on US natural gas. While weather certainly didn’t cooperate this Summer we think they are too high on production, too low on LNG exports, and wrong about the lack of producer discipline. Marginal supply cost of ~$4/mcf = 11%-14% FCF yields.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008647771569814555, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008647771569814555, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00843018846268384, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00843018846268384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021758310713071438, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021758310713071438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04402518929722532, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04402518929722532, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03859996406665567, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03859996406665567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0054252252305696524, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0054252252305696524, "ret_p1w": -0.06053462591188541, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06053462591188541, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.059244245180677946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.059244245180677946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012903807312074633, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012903807312074633, "ret_p1m": 0.03930817527543895, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03930817527543895, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013348329022686123, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013348329022686123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025959846252752827, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025959846252752827, "ret_p3m": 0.1643081846472383, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1643081846472383, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11673613559899221, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11673613559899221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757204904824608, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04757204904824608, "ret_p6m": -0.02279873866077886, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02279873866077886, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08789656159539705, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08789656159539705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06509782293461819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06509782293461819, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03930817527543895, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013348329022686123, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013348329022686123, "price_path": [0.3302, 0.309, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.342, 0.2697, 0.2571, 0.2351, 0.3263, 0.3333, 0.3294, 0.3129, 0.3506, 0.3019, 0.2626, 0.2539, 0.2634, 0.2862, 0.3349, 0.3821, 0.4214, 0.4214, 0.3884, 0.3239, 0.2775, 0.2461, 0.2311, 0.3003, 0.2013, 0.1879, 0.2123, 0.1989, 0.1989, 0.1879, 0.1659, 0.1164, 0.1596, 0.173, 0.202, 0.2217, 0.2421, 0.2343, 0.2461, 0.1541, 0.1376, 0.0778, 0.0896, 0.0873, 0.0747, 0.0936, 0.0495, 0.0684, 0.0708, 0.0189, 0.0369, 0.0645, 0.0637, 0.0377, 0.0275, -0.0346, -0.0252, -0.0165, 0.0086, 0.0, -0.044, -0.0464, -0.0252, -0.0637, -0.0605, -0.059, -0.0417, -0.0118, 0.0086, 0.0086, 0.0047, 0.0267, 0.0299, 0.0173, 0.0346, 0.0425, 0.0126, -0.0236, -0.0165, 0.0149, 0.0393, 0.0299, -0.0039, -0.0118, -0.0448, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0102, -0.0197, 0.0079, 0.0275, 0.0708, 0.0574, 0.0259, 0.0456, 0.0833, 0.0299, 0.0016, -0.0307, -0.0425, -0.0605, -0.066, -0.0896, -0.0668, 0.0165, 0.0338, 0.0267, 0.0165, 0.0197, 0.0134, -0.0299, -0.0401, 0.0079, 0.0417, 0.0818, 0.0951, 0.0715, 0.114, 0.0967, 0.1085, 0.1447, 0.1517, 0.1643, 0.1447, 0.1101, 0.1179, 0.1557, 0.1336, 0.1517, 0.1329, 0.0873, 0.1203, 0.1203, 0.158, 0.1958, 0.1761, 0.2162, 0.2311, 0.2869, 0.1847, 0.1085, 0.1211, 0.0283, 0.0008, -0.0204, -0.0487, -0.0063, -0.0542, -0.0417, -0.0684, 0.0142, -0.0259, 0.0071, 0.0259, 0.0314, -0.0362, -0.0519, -0.0857, -0.1132, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1824, -0.1211, -0.1101, -0.195, -0.1903, -0.1879, -0.1879, -0.0275, 0.0723, 0.0558, 0.0983, 0.1659, 0.1557, 0.1423, 0.184, 0.3286, -0.0016, 0.0204, 0.0582, 0.0629, 0.0432, -0.0432, -0.0464, -0.0314, -0.0228]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1887902546414465111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-07T16:33:37+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see many companies able to retire a further 10% of their S/O in 2025...rinse and repeat until valuations ultimately re-rate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector: aggressive buybacks set to continue in 2025, retiring ~10% of shares outstanding, driving valuation re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Are energy companies \"walking the talk\" and buying back their shares? Yes, and here is the proof: in 2024 CDN energy co's bought back $16.5BN of stock ($52BN since 2022) and have since 2022 on average retired 9% of their shares outstanding.  With the sector only recently returning most/all of FCF back via buybacks, we see many companies able to retire a further 10% of their S/O in 2025...rinse and repeat until valuations ultimately re-rate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0040673002616630205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0040673002616630205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013305548787369115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013305548787369115, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009238248525706094, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009238248525706094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02149921614664896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02149921614664896, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014707920252243989, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014707920252243989, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0067912958944049695, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0067912958944049695, "ret_p1w": 0.005229667467496091, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005229667467496091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009634479816768904, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009634479816768904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014864147284264995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014864147284264995, "ret_p1m": -0.06333504947911328, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06333504947911328, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00356227106601259, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00356227106601259, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06689732054512587, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06689732054512587, "ret_p3m": -0.0726522378320803, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0726522378320803, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016041270833834997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.016041270833834997, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.056610966998245305, "bench_c_p3m": -0.056610966998245305, "ret_p6m": 0.030659911935417394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.030659911935417394, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.020859154938815738, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.020859154938815738, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05151906687423313, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05151906687423313, "ret_p1y": 0.29083317429146405, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.29083317429146405, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12550220851355132, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12550220851355132, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16533096577791273, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16533096577791273, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0726522378320803, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016041270833834997, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016041270833834997, "price_path": [0.019, 0.0075, 0.0162, 0.0392, 0.0277, 0.038, 0.0346, 0.0449, 0.0645, 0.0696, 0.0507, 0.0271, 0.0277, 0.034, 0.0346, 0.0277, 0.0351, 0.0127, 0.0213, 0.0012, 0.0058, -0.0017, 0.0116, -0.0057, -0.0063, -0.0241, -0.031, -0.0483, -0.0557, -0.0552, -0.0356, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0221, -0.0058, 0.0099, 0.0163, 0.0256, 0.043, 0.0436, 0.0447, 0.0552, 0.036, 0.0378, 0.0407, 0.0221, 0.0314, 0.0494, 0.0407, 0.0384, 0.0372, 0.0256, 0.0139, 0.0041, 0.0163, 0.0215, -0.0029, -0.007, 0.0035, 0.0081, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.0215, 0.0354, 0.0122, 0.0157, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0157, 0.0238, 0.0267, 0.0058, -0.0029, -0.0192, -0.0244, -0.0238, -0.0215, -0.0703, -0.0808, -0.0877, -0.0819, -0.0616, -0.0633, -0.0558, -0.0407, -0.0476, -0.0291, -0.0151, -0.0116, 0.0046, 0.011, 0.0116, 0.0267, 0.0308, 0.0368, 0.0292, 0.0187, 0.0321, 0.0392, 0.0468, -0.027, -0.1113, -0.1289, -0.1698, -0.0996, -0.1587, -0.1347, -0.1289, -0.1259, -0.1089, -0.0896, -0.0984, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0762, -0.0773, -0.0732, -0.0808, -0.1019, -0.0943, -0.0861, -0.1101, -0.1002, -0.0984, -0.0727, -0.0545, -0.0264, -0.0094, -0.0164, -0.0287, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0317, -0.034, -0.0364, -0.0323, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0328, -0.0323, -0.0486, -0.0305, -0.017, -0.0305, -0.027, -0.0135, -0.0088, 0.0035, 0.0257, 0.0316, 0.0638, 0.0556, 0.0737, 0.0626, 0.0708, 0.0667, 0.031, 0.0158, 0.0105, 0.0141, 0.0094, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0188, 0.0147, 0.0129, 0.0058, 0.0271, 0.0265, 0.0224, 0.0348, 0.0324, 0.0236, 0.0117, 0.0165, 0.0176, 0.0076, 0.0141, 0.0247, 0.0342, 0.0295, 0.0496, 0.0597, 0.0567, 0.0443, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0307]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1704874424011235790", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-21T15:05:12+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stock action will eventually reflect the record amount of free cashflow being generated, especially with final debt targets being hit in the coming months, leading to much more meaningful share buybacks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long energy stocks; record FCF + debt targets hit → meaningful buybacks will drive price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't fret the short-term inaction of energy stocks to the rising oil price. What I care about is free cashflow. Stock action will eventually reflect the record amount of free cashflow being generated, especially with final debt targets being hit in the coming months, leading to much more meaningful share buybacks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013907633689485888, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013907633689485888, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002898452996614509, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002898452996614509, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016806086686100397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016806086686100397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016822739664854591, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016822739664854591, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00393083641990799, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00393083641990799, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0022485624534225312, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022485624534225312, "ret_p1w": 0.03465679336485894, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03465679336485894, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0413097911111876, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0413097911111876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006652997746328659, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006652997746328659, "ret_p1m": 0.012337511320765993, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012337511320765993, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035982047965021025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.035982047965021025, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023644536644255032, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023644536644255032, "ret_p3m": -0.03534938518549813, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03534938518549813, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14053312117978722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14053312117978722, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1051837359942891, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1051837359942891, "ret_p6m": 0.03678154623444985, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03678154623444985, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15352767434588488, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15352767434588488, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19030922058033473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19030922058033473, "ret_p1y": -0.003174688647018198, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.003174688647018198, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2830035383696391, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2830035383696391, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2798288497226209, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2798288497226209, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012337511320765993, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.035982047965021025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.035982047965021025, "price_path": [-0.1232, -0.1212, -0.1123, -0.1021, -0.0963, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0992, -0.1194, -0.1005, -0.0935, -0.0736, -0.065, -0.0686, -0.0932, -0.0949, -0.0858, -0.0805, -0.0697, -0.0614, -0.0463, -0.0413, -0.0409, -0.0471, -0.0442, -0.026, -0.0306, -0.0433, -0.0336, -0.0323, -0.0312, -0.0264, -0.0141, -0.0142, 0.0009, -0.0033, -0.024, -0.0325, -0.0209, -0.0112, -0.0175, -0.025, -0.0275, -0.0342, -0.0248, -0.0182, -0.0156, -0.0107, -0.01, 0.0103, 0.0103, 0.0156, 0.0161, 0.0151, 0.0249, 0.0114, 0.0352, 0.0274, 0.0394, 0.0244, 0.0331, 0.0234, 0.0139, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.0142, 0.0084, 0.0335, 0.0347, 0.0138, -0.0064, -0.0071, -0.0382, -0.0442, -0.0385, -0.0064, -0.0052, -0.0179, -0.0168, 0.0048, 0.0116, 0.0221, 0.0314, 0.0296, 0.0123, -0.004, -0.0181, -0.0199, -0.0275, -0.0508, -0.0477, -0.0445, -0.0468, -0.0179, -0.0278, -0.0388, -0.0601, -0.0719, -0.0747, -0.0645, -0.0578, -0.0493, -0.0511, -0.0697, -0.0501, -0.0488, -0.0509, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0474, -0.0508, -0.0506, -0.0576, -0.0514, -0.0464, -0.0508, -0.0674, -0.0813, -0.0876, -0.0777, -0.0766, -0.0893, -0.0766, -0.0495, -0.0545, -0.0468, -0.0353, -0.0443, -0.0406, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0295, -0.0338, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0404, -0.0248, -0.0419, -0.0411, -0.0522, -0.0674, -0.0766, -0.0742, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0861, -0.0937, -0.0951, -0.0922, -0.0888, -0.0869, -0.0738, -0.053, -0.046, -0.0474, -0.0375, -0.0555, -0.0556, -0.0543, -0.0566, -0.0536, -0.0517, -0.0419, -0.0566, -0.0462, -0.0558, -0.0568, -0.0305, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0399, -0.0219, -0.0202, -0.0266, -0.0232, -0.0274, -0.0293, -0.0246, -0.0133, -0.0238, -0.0166, -0.0135, -0.0051, -0.0016, 0.0087, 0.0071, 0.0232, 0.0337, 0.0368]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1877744178852921663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-10T15:47:53+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish™️ on '25", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy stocks for 2025; names still trading at 15–20% FCF yields after Dec tax-loss selling.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "December '24 was the worst tax loss selling event in energy stocks that I can recall. We had a front row seat to it. Much of YTD gains is just recovering from that selling pressure. At spot WTI you can still find names trading at 15%-20% FCF yields. \"We remain bullish\"™️ on '25.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004072827879747609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004072827879747609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019577126392081978, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019577126392081978, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015504298512334369, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015504298512334369, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021043063753438895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021043063753438895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01949251656580575, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01949251656580575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015505471876331445, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015505471876331445, "ret_p1w": 0.06301624669033346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06301624669033346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03357537063543914, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03357537063543914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029440876054894316, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029440876054894316, "ret_p1m": 0.023984740093266455, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023984740093266455, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01797987658204936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01797987658204936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04196461667531581, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04196461667531581, "ret_p3m": -0.06095316777646531, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06095316777646531, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.008894313971752554, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008894313971752554, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05205885380471276, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05205885380471276, "ret_p6m": 0.017377033843957168, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.017377033843957168, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.057655433671193856, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.057655433671193856, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07503246751515102, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07503246751515102, "ret_p1y": 0.06742431703774221, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06742431703774221, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12328114673171098, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12328114673171098, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1907054637694532, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1907054637694532, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06095316777646531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008894313971752554, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008894313971752554, "price_path": [0.0408, 0.0073, 0.0121, 0.0169, 0.0136, 0.0105, 0.0129, 0.0076, 0.0075, 0.0072, 0.0008, -0.0145, -0.0122, -0.0061, -0.0124, 0.0049, 0.0117, 0.0497, 0.0449, 0.0518, 0.0578, 0.0522, 0.0603, 0.0644, 0.0628, 0.0769, 0.0701, 0.0809, 0.0896, 0.0913, 0.0698, 0.0683, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0718, 0.0605, 0.0603, 0.0348, 0.0388, 0.0212, 0.0195, 0.0125, 0.0142, 0.006, 0.001, -0.021, -0.0283, -0.057, -0.0652, -0.056, -0.0505, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.0432, -0.0433, -0.0434, -0.0309, -0.0196, -0.0104, -0.0149, -0.0051, -0.0041, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.021, 0.032, 0.0473, 0.0549, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0576, 0.0384, 0.0431, 0.033, 0.0223, 0.0126, 0.0148, 0.02, -0.0085, -0.0023, 0.0187, 0.0208, 0.002, 0.0019, 0.024, 0.0322, 0.0074, 0.0149, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0329, 0.0411, 0.0506, 0.0287, 0.029, 0.0141, 0.0084, 0.0138, 0.0295, -0.0064, -0.0161, -0.0304, -0.0275, -0.0109, -0.0035, -0.0114, -0.0069, -0.0137, 0.0155, 0.0317, 0.0334, 0.0502, 0.0541, 0.0467, 0.0587, 0.063, 0.0693, 0.0589, 0.0539, 0.0655, 0.0718, 0.0732, -0.011, -0.102, -0.1078, -0.1285, -0.061, -0.1223, -0.1005, -0.0973, -0.0987, -0.0913, -0.0708, -0.095, -0.072, -0.0737, -0.0589, -0.0606, -0.054, -0.0567, -0.0822, -0.0787, -0.0653, -0.0822, -0.0819, -0.0816, -0.0695, -0.0602, -0.0356, -0.0221, -0.028, -0.0239, -0.0254, -0.038, -0.0469, -0.0645, -0.0681, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0571, -0.069, -0.0621, -0.0704, -0.0582, -0.047, -0.0656, -0.0665, -0.049, -0.0472, -0.0302, -0.0161, -0.0127, 0.0045, 0.0015, 0.0109, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0145, -0.0111, -0.024, -0.0283, -0.0143, -0.0195, -0.0252, -0.0177, -0.0008, 0.0004, 0.0004, -0.0093, 0.0174]}
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{"unit_id": "thread:2021971653971128451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T15:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hugely bullish we believe for natural gas", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long US natural gas on 52% electricity demand growth; US gas producers deeply undervalued at current strip prices vs 19Bcf/d demand growth ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US electricity demand is forecast to grow by 52% over the next 15 years, up from an earlier estimate of 31% just one year ago(!). Staggering growth relative to prior decades, and hugely bullish we believe for natural gas. https://t.co/FNNXKAuJlE\n\n---\n\n19Bcf/d of natural gas demand growth over the next 4 years (4.75Bcf/d per year) and a 4-year average natural gas strip of $3.65/mcf are not compatible. At $4/mcf, several large US gas producers are trading at 14%+ FCF yields. https://t.co/ofSJVx9kXp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008849606407954735, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008849606407954735, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024540893354365045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024540893354365045, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008044468995995757, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008044468995995757, "alpha_spy_p1d": 9.996140578416579e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 9.996140578416579e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "ret_p1w": -0.05068383740735627, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05068383740735627, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.055395499633781875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.055395499633781875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "ret_p1m": 0.01689461246911872, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01689461246911872, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04475439955315608, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04475439955315608, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "ret_p3m": -0.12228482867621104, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12228482867621104, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2087790637893061, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2087790637893061, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1915, 0.1714, 0.136, 0.144, 0.1826, 0.1601, 0.1786, 0.1593, 0.1126, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.185, 0.2237, 0.2035, 0.2446, 0.2599, 0.317, 0.2124, 0.1344, 0.1472, 0.0523, 0.0241, 0.0024, -0.0265, 0.0169, -0.0322, -0.0193, -0.0467, 0.0378, -0.0032, 0.0306, 0.0499, 0.0555, -0.0137, -0.0298, -0.0644, -0.0925, -0.0523, -0.0933, -0.1633, -0.1006, -0.0893, -0.1762, -0.1714, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.0048, 0.0973, 0.0805, 0.1239, 0.1931, 0.1826, 0.1689, 0.2116, 0.3596, 0.0217, 0.0442, 0.0829, 0.0877, 0.0676, -0.0209, -0.0241, -0.0088, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0426, -0.0451, -0.0507, -0.0338, -0.0555, -0.078, -0.0668, -0.0845, -0.0732, -0.0346, -0.0121, -0.0523, -0.0306, 0.0257, -0.0097, -0.0129, 0.0362, 0.0491, 0.0169, -0.0177, -0.0185, 0.0193, 0.0105, -0.0032, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0459, -0.0475, -0.0121, -0.0603, -0.0563, -0.0813, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.0853, -0.0708, -0.1086, -0.1247, -0.1335, -0.1408, -0.1504, -0.1488, -0.1327, -0.1279, -0.1271, -0.1191, -0.1191, -0.1537, -0.1706, -0.1561, -0.1689, -0.1834, -0.1472, -0.1384, -0.1191, -0.144, -0.1593, -0.1408, -0.1496, -0.0973, -0.1223, -0.1167, -0.1022, -0.0885, -0.0716, -0.0426, -0.0756, -0.0885, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1223, -0.1006, -0.0434, -0.0402, -0.0716, -0.0772, -0.0579, -0.0249, -0.0611, -0.0853, -0.0837, -0.0716, -0.1022, -0.0869, -0.0805, -0.0539, -0.0692, -0.0692, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2021971653971128451", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-12T15:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "US natural gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At $4/mcf, several large US gas producers are trading at 14%+ FCF yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long US natural gas on 52% electricity demand growth; US gas producers deeply undervalued at current strip prices vs 19Bcf/d demand growth ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF tracks US nat gas producers", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US electricity demand is forecast to grow by 52% over the next 15 years, up from an earlier estimate of 31% just one year ago(!). Staggering growth relative to prior decades, and hugely bullish we believe for natural gas. https://t.co/FNNXKAuJlE\n\n---\n\n19Bcf/d of natural gas demand growth over the next 4 years (4.75Bcf/d per year) and a 4-year average natural gas strip of $3.65/mcf are not compatible. At $4/mcf, several large US gas producers are trading at 14%+ FCF yields. https://t.co/ofSJVx9kXp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024971192182116964, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024971192182116964, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009279905235706654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009279905235706654, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021513591533629972, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021513591533629972, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020809106039814562, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020809106039814562, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "ret_p1w": 0.051863200002002285, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051863200002002285, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04715153777557668, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04715153777557668, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "ret_p1m": 0.14137524039640037, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14137524039640037, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16923502748043773, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16923502748043773, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "ret_p3m": 0.1497024553962818, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1497024553962818, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06320822028318673, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06320822028318673, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0896, -0.0793, -0.0942, -0.0812, -0.0873, -0.1014, -0.0972, -0.0888, -0.0957, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0614, -0.056, -0.0732, -0.0438, -0.0415, -0.0377, -0.0553, -0.0564, -0.0511, -0.0686, -0.0749, -0.0884, -0.1199, -0.0953, -0.121, -0.1156, -0.108, -0.1007, -0.106, -0.111, -0.1026, -0.093, -0.1007, -0.0845, -0.106, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1072, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.091, -0.0795, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0922, -0.0626, -0.0645, -0.0588, -0.0553, -0.0446, -0.0346, -0.0215, -0.0161, -0.0492, -0.0269, -0.0015, -0.0211, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0058, 0.0307, 0.0519, 0.0607, 0.0442, 0.04, 0.0338, 0.0415, 0.073, 0.1007, 0.0976, 0.0964, 0.111, 0.1172, 0.1176, 0.0895, 0.1183, 0.1287, 0.1414, 0.1421, 0.1556, 0.1648, 0.189, 0.1944, 0.1871, 0.2148, 0.2274, 0.2489, 0.2636, 0.2473, 0.223, 0.1821, 0.2026, 0.2026, 0.2095, 0.2219, 0.1694, 0.1551, 0.1566, 0.1563, 0.1181, 0.1196, 0.1408, 0.0984, 0.1042, 0.125, 0.1493, 0.1621, 0.1509, 0.1586, 0.1771, 0.2084, 0.2118, 0.1972, 0.2223, 0.2115, 0.1443, 0.1269, 0.1161, 0.1416, 0.1497, 0.1497, 0.1597, 0.1887, 0.201, 0.2153, 0.1864, 0.1651, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.1277, 0.1042, 0.1115, 0.1007, 0.1316, 0.137, 0.1485, 0.1505, 0.1084, 0.1246, 0.0988, 0.1258, 0.0964, 0.1111, 0.0675, 0.0602, 0.0528, 0.0528, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1648353689910886403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-18T15:51:59+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "Canadian heavy oil", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why I'm focused on Canadian heavy oil names", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian heavy oil names; expects massive inventory draws to take global oil inventories to 10+ year lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "CVE.TO", "CNQ.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil sector: ATH, CVE, CNQ, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Recessionary fears are preventing many from seeing what is coming...massive inventory draws that we believe will take global inventory levels to 10+ year lows. A quick 5 minute chat with @JonErlichman on oil and why I'm focused on Canadian heavy oil names.\nhttps://t.co/AUo4sNNpYF https://t.co/1115qvzDXR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009059940129347716, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009059940129347716, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008408239805534151, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005131065799765716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006517003238135644, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039288743295819994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008524484939560734, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008524484939560734, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00835543485556392, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005057922607393045, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016905008399681343, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0034665623321676886, "ret_p1w": -0.03627773191538525, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03627773191538525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01665008310039723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014553831133605588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01962764881498802, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02172390078177966, "ret_p1m": -0.12713146194096672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12713146194096672, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1295939428520119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.033764268498487154, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002462480911045173, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09336719344247957, "ret_p3m": -0.07371402479168968, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07371402479168968, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1624102704251367, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023187386687402195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08869624563344702, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05052663810428748, "ret_p6m": 0.12854430951288953, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12854430951288953, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06752320106802623, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10031392144201656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0610211084448633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02823038807087297, "ret_p1y": 0.27608267151471133, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.27608267151471133, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.019473984637270014, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11628398525454409, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2566086868774413, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15979868626016724, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12713146194096672, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1295939428520119, "alpha_c_stated": -0.033764268498487154, "price_path": [-0.0397, -0.0325, -0.0298, -0.0433, -0.0515, -0.0186, 0.0114, 0.0008, 0.0194, -0.015, -0.0424, -0.0353, -0.0394, 0.0006, 0.0063, -0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0174, 0.0173, -0.005, -0.025, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0672, -0.0768, -0.0556, -0.0345, -0.0185, -0.0477, -0.0334, -0.0091, 0.0113, 0.0094, -0.0187, -0.0186, -0.0266, -0.0475, -0.097, -0.1013, -0.1558, -0.1364, -0.1629, -0.1435, -0.1095, -0.1212, -0.137, -0.1364, -0.0946, -0.0791, -0.0621, -0.0564, -0.058, 0.0046, -0.004, -0.0148, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0253, -0.0132, -0.0138, -0.0129, -0.0065, -0.0091, 0.0, -0.0085, -0.0284, -0.0246, -0.0082, -0.0363, -0.06, -0.0621, -0.0338, -0.0466, -0.1037, -0.1251, -0.1297, -0.1011, -0.1056, -0.1075, -0.1232, -0.1401, -0.1418, -0.1274, -0.1471, -0.1271, -0.1156, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.0946, -0.0919, -0.1177, -0.1123, -0.1037, -0.1314, -0.1476, -0.1284, -0.1011, -0.1067, -0.1018, -0.093, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.1363, -0.1216, -0.1399, -0.1309, -0.1423, -0.1383, -0.1613, -0.1501, -0.1795, -0.1898, -0.1691, -0.1736, -0.1544, -0.1381, -0.1268, -0.1268, -0.1174, -0.1191, -0.134, -0.106, -0.0988, -0.068, -0.0673, -0.0516, -0.0737, -0.0947, -0.0668, -0.07, -0.0674, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0245, -0.0281, -0.0364, 0.0024, 0.0026, 0.008, 0.0091, 0.0319, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0471, 0.0554, 0.0494, 0.0655, 0.0554, 0.0306, 0.0308, 0.0399, 0.0485, 0.0496, 0.0442, 0.0316, 0.0133, 0.0309, 0.0464, 0.0597, 0.0721, 0.0778, 0.1052, 0.1052, 0.1163, 0.1217, 0.1158, 0.1143, 0.0881, 0.117, 0.1099, 0.1358, 0.1317, 0.1205, 0.1015, 0.0875, 0.0665, 0.0694, 0.0958, 0.1116, 0.1473, 0.1461, 0.1644, 0.1202, 0.1218, 0.0671, 0.0677, 0.0856, 0.0856, 0.1261, 0.1285]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1717975160064442775", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-27T18:42:51+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on the outlook for the rest of the year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remain bullish on Canadian energy stocks for rest of year after ~16% YTD outperformance vs TSX.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It may not feel like it, but with energy stocks outperforming the TSX by ~16% YTD, energy investors are winning, and we remain bullish on the outlook for the rest of the year. \nhttps://t.co/qMaoYI7Xap https://t.co/J59uEsjkrU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004117888371039324, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004117888371039324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004355950303465139, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004355950303465139, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004553483401385838, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004553483401385838, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023526862783124214, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023526862783124214, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014308503038075293, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014308503038075293, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011955816759762872, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011955816759762872, "ret_p1w": 0.018823750956074692, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018823750956074692, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03964030799579987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03964030799579987, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.058464058951874565, "bench_c_p1w": 0.058464058951874565, "ret_p1m": -0.04941172761410295, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04941172761410295, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15606420625156148, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15606420625156148, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10665247863745853, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10665247863745853, "ret_p3m": -0.08656956772039881, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08656956772039881, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27327933001468896, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27327933001468896, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18670976229429015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18670976229429015, "ret_p6m": 0.13374488387731986, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13374488387731986, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09179571530114417, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09179571530114417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22554059917846403, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22554059917846403, "ret_p1y": 0.07586055282292414, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07586055282292414, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35498614439707055, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.35498614439707055, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.4308466972199947, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4308466972199947, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04941172761410295, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15606420625156148, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15606420625156148, "price_path": [-0.0777, -0.0945, -0.08, -0.0719, -0.0719, -0.0626, -0.0534, -0.0545, -0.0447, -0.0481, -0.0673, -0.0632, -0.0487, -0.0394, -0.0458, -0.0493, -0.0563, -0.0684, -0.0545, -0.0412, -0.0244, -0.0197, -0.0157, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0081, 0.0076, -0.0122, 0.0093, 0.0012, 0.0145, 0.0157, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0278, -0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0018, 0.0212, 0.0229, 0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0094, -0.05, -0.0488, -0.0371, -0.0371, 0.0035, 0.0029, 0.01, 0.0235, 0.0288, 0.0329, 0.0371, 0.04, 0.0241, 0.01, -0.0041, 0.0094, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0024, 0.0012, 0.0112, 0.0347, 0.0188, 0.0082, -0.03, -0.0488, -0.0359, -0.0176, -0.0112, -0.0118, -0.0229, -0.0418, -0.0153, -0.0129, -0.0224, -0.0371, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.0494, -0.0418, -0.0341, -0.0306, -0.0294, -0.0459, -0.0571, -0.0953, -0.1, -0.0871, -0.0982, -0.1182, -0.0965, -0.0812, -0.1029, -0.09, -0.0765, -0.0865, -0.08, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0724, -0.0836, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0759, -0.0451, -0.0575, -0.0516, -0.0688, -0.0706, -0.0789, -0.0718, -0.067, -0.0605, -0.0878, -0.1014, -0.1061, -0.1073, -0.1061, -0.1008, -0.0866, -0.0729, -0.0688, -0.0783, -0.0635, -0.0747, -0.0872, -0.1073, -0.1126, -0.1067, -0.1067, -0.096, -0.096, -0.0854, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0617, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0635, -0.0368, -0.0285, -0.0303, -0.0256, -0.0214, -0.019, -0.0001, 0.0206, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0218, 0.0183, 0.0118, 0.0141, 0.0171, 0.0355, 0.0485, 0.0473, 0.0562, 0.0615, 0.0597, 0.0627, 0.0623, 0.0831, 0.0748, 0.0825, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.1046, 0.1171, 0.1337, 0.1403, 0.1546, 0.1516, 0.1558, 0.1778, 0.1546, 0.1427, 0.123, 0.1302, 0.1284, 0.123, 0.1296, 0.1337]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1838616963423088859", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-24T16:30:18+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what is the outlook for energy stocks in 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Argues peak bearishness on oil is misplaced; bullish on energy stocks into 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Have we reached peak bearishness on oil and what is the outlook for energy stocks in 2025? Join us this Thursday at 2pm ET for an \"advisor only\" webcast in which we will walk through our case for why today's uber degree of pessimism is misplaced. https://t.co/JapZboEH4l https://t.co/CFzqokGtWv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0024745987047221085, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024745987047221085, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005327767210552947, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005327767210552947, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028531685058308387, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028531685058308387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019572562604439736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019572562604439736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01736710989448975, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01736710989448975, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0022054527099499843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022054527099499843, "ret_p1w": 0.01012370203062729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01012370203062729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014814747794749783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014814747794749783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004691045764122492, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004691045764122492, "ret_p1m": 0.010236130599329707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010236130599329707, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0014738662893289955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0014738662893289955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011709996888658702, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011709996888658702, "ret_p3m": -0.05354345323673659, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05354345323673659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09177151770947078, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09177151770947078, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03822806447273419, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03822806447273419, "ret_p6m": 0.056823684999814494, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.056823684999814494, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0636620021523967, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0636620021523967, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.006838317152582207, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006838317152582207, "ret_p1y": 0.017606367867716965, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.017606367867716965, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1500736144190613, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1500736144190613, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16767998228677827, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16767998228677827, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05354345323673659, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09177151770947078, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09177151770947078, "price_path": [0.013, 0.0169, 0.0175, 0.0167, 0.0212, 0.0212, 0.0052, -0.0009, -0.0098, -0.0031, 0.0073, 0.0099, 0.0252, 0.0297, 0.04, 0.0419, 0.0305, 0.0241, 0.0078, 0.0079, 0.0253, 0.0285, 0.0197, 0.0355, 0.0399, 0.0123, -0.0138, -0.0355, -0.0296, -0.0257, -0.0047, -0.0025, 0.0024, -0.0073, -0.0015, 0.0104, 0.0093, 0.0161, -0.0106, -0.009, -0.0064, 0.0084, 0.0175, 0.008, 0.0015, 0.0146, 0.0184, 0.0184, -0.007, -0.0207, -0.0283, -0.0404, -0.0335, -0.0501, -0.059, -0.0505, -0.0451, -0.0342, -0.0211, -0.0192, -0.0075, -0.0098, 0.0025, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0388, -0.0192, -0.0124, 0.0101, 0.0205, 0.0385, 0.0481, 0.0519, 0.0244, 0.0306, 0.0376, 0.044, 0.0435, 0.0099, 0.0147, 0.0196, 0.0162, 0.0132, 0.0155, 0.0102, 0.0101, 0.0098, 0.0034, -0.0119, -0.0097, -0.0035, -0.0098, 0.0075, 0.0143, 0.0524, 0.0476, 0.0546, 0.0605, 0.0549, 0.0631, 0.0672, 0.0656, 0.0798, 0.0729, 0.0837, 0.0925, 0.0942, 0.0726, 0.0711, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0746, 0.0632, 0.0631, 0.0375, 0.0415, 0.0238, 0.0222, 0.0152, 0.0169, 0.0087, 0.0036, -0.0184, -0.0258, -0.0546, -0.0628, -0.0535, -0.048, -0.0399, -0.0399, -0.0407, -0.0408, -0.041, -0.0284, -0.017, -0.0078, -0.0124, -0.0025, -0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0026, 0.0237, 0.0347, 0.05, 0.0576, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.0603, 0.0411, 0.0458, 0.0357, 0.0249, 0.0152, 0.0175, 0.0227, -0.0059, 0.0003, 0.0213, 0.0235, 0.0046, 0.0045, 0.0267, 0.0349, 0.01, 0.0176, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.0356, 0.0438, 0.0533, 0.0314, 0.0316, 0.0168, 0.011, 0.0164, 0.0322, -0.0039, -0.0135, -0.0279, -0.025, -0.0083, -0.0009, -0.0089, -0.0043, -0.0111, 0.0181, 0.0344, 0.0361, 0.053, 0.0568]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1919758208987443329", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-06T14:16:39+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "⬆️ oil AND natural gas price", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US shale plateau/decline will push oil and natural gas prices higher as OPEC gains power and long-life reserve assets gain strategic value.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The twilight of US shale (plateau vs. decline dependent on price) will have a profound impact on the oil market:\n⬆️ strategic value of long-life reserve assets\n⬆️ influence/power of OPEC\n⬆️ oil AND natural gas price\n☠️ of US “energy independence” https://t.co/lGUW8WoNza", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035117943208450075, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035117943208450075, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026689060627827832, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026689060627827832, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008428882580622243, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008428882580622243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04605637296537135, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04605637296537135, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04185082511562288, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04185082511562288, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00420554784974847, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00420554784974847, "ret_p1w": 0.04720780974126937, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04720780974126937, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0029713019421153675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0029713019421153675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.050179111683384736, "bench_c_p1w": 0.050179111683384736, "ret_p1m": -0.02648249681037962, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02648249681037962, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09292842938705248, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09292842938705248, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06644593257667286, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06644593257667286, "ret_p3m": -0.21588950906693327, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21588950906693327, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33177711586417336, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33177711586417336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11588760679724008, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11588760679724008, "ret_p6m": -0.2970639350478095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2970639350478095, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5342391794655184, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5342391794655184, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23717524441770887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23717524441770887, "ret_p1y": -0.39608524673041257, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39608524673041257, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.690588492836218, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.690588492836218, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29450324610580547, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29450324610580547, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02648249681037962, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09292842938705248, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09292842938705248, "price_path": [0.0248, 0.0299, 0.0063, 0.0484, 0.0697, 0.0818, 0.1025, 0.1313, 0.1313, 0.2061, 0.3017, 0.251, 0.2717, 0.2228, 0.2522, 0.2176, 0.2009, 0.171, 0.2637, 0.3305, 0.3598, 0.3109, 0.3351, 0.3719, 0.3402, 0.2464, 0.2337, 0.2545, 0.2216, 0.2326, 0.2867, 0.2188, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1704, 0.1595, 0.175, 0.228, 0.2441, 0.1917, 0.2119, 0.2418, 0.1537, 0.0979, 0.0524, 0.1295, 0.0633, 0.0725, 0.0081, -0.0006, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0777, -0.0915, -0.0944, -0.1077, -0.0961, -0.0432, -0.0282, -0.0363, -0.0029, 0.0547, 0.0351, 0.0, 0.0461, 0.0403, 0.0927, 0.0564, 0.0472, 0.0017, -0.0328, -0.038, -0.099, -0.0219, -0.0259, -0.0415, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0173, -0.0702, -0.0794, -0.0956, -0.0288, -0.0236, -0.0265, -0.0386, -0.0109, -0.0466, -0.0754, -0.0818, -0.0748, -0.0581, -0.0225, 0.0121, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0167, -0.0305, -0.0645, -0.0875, -0.0984, -0.0478, -0.1203, -0.1301, -0.1123, -0.122, -0.122, -0.1301, -0.1462, -0.1825, -0.1508, -0.141, -0.1197, -0.1054, -0.0904, -0.0961, -0.0875, -0.1549, -0.167, -0.2107, -0.2021, -0.2038, -0.213, -0.1992, -0.2314, -0.2176, -0.2159, -0.2539, -0.2406, -0.2205, -0.2211, -0.2401, -0.2476, -0.293, -0.2861, -0.2798, -0.2614, -0.2677, -0.2999, -0.3017, -0.2861, -0.3143, -0.312, -0.3109, -0.2982, -0.2763, -0.2614, -0.2614, -0.2642, -0.2481, -0.2458, -0.255, -0.2424, -0.2366, -0.2585, -0.285, -0.2798, -0.2568, -0.2389, -0.2458, -0.2706, -0.2763, -0.3005, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2752, -0.2821, -0.2619, -0.2476, -0.2159, -0.2257, -0.2487, -0.2343, -0.2067, -0.2458, -0.2666, -0.2902, -0.2988, -0.312, -0.3161, -0.3333, -0.3166, -0.2556, -0.2429, -0.2481, -0.2556, -0.2533, -0.2579, -0.2896, -0.2971]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1822983585478934546", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-12T13:08:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We continue to believe that many Canadian midcap energy stocks are mispriced, trading at 18%+ free cashflow yields despite strong balance sheets and decades worth of stay-flat inventory", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Canadian midcap energy stocks; views them as mispriced at 18%+ FCF yields with strong balance sheets and deep inventory.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy: BTE, WCP, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We continue to believe that many Canadian midcap energy stocks are mispriced, trading at 18%+ free cashflow yields despite strong balance sheets and decades worth of stay-flat inventory. How to overcome investor apathy? Either M&amp;A, like today, or meaningful share buybacks. https://t.co/sTRC7Obxbo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04143314789339986, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04143314789339986, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04090784893460203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0365361586083533, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005252989587978263, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00489698928504656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006262773363766794, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006262773363766794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010182648366571456, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015945581216406546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01644542173033825, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009682807852639752, "ret_p1w": 0.01487301227600657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01487301227600657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034519931445601504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001183568662997736, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.049392943721608074, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013689443613008834, "ret_p1m": -0.10175021847163587, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10175021847163587, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.130853416870333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04932954344806825, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103198398697128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05242067502356762, "ret_p3m": -0.011979015796085901, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.011979015796085901, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13230601702735395, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.057044014746339744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032700123126805, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04506499895025384, "ret_p6m": -0.08369745289432315, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08369745289432315, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22404471348654717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1047142860087574, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14034726059222402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.021016833114434252, "ret_p1y": -0.025463483101886036, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.025463483101886036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20584763966458205, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.009469267571139278, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18038415656269602, "bench_c_p1y": -0.015994215530746758, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10175021847163587, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.130853416870333, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04932954344806825, "price_path": [-0.0288, -0.0306, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0181, -0.0285, -0.0413, -0.0295, -0.02, 0.0099, -0.005, 0.0018, 0.0067, -0.039, -0.0549, -0.0455, -0.0311, -0.0436, -0.0208, -0.0313, -0.0415, -0.0686, -0.0713, -0.0631, -0.0481, -0.0534, -0.053, -0.0641, -0.0206, -0.0319, -0.0358, -0.0211, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0004, 0.0068, 0.0097, -0.0114, -0.0122, -0.0309, -0.0166, -0.0007, 0.0011, 0.0129, 0.004, -0.0062, -0.0048, -0.0014, 0.0015, -0.0086, -0.0189, -0.0052, -0.0041, -0.0018, -0.008, 0.0295, -0.0073, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.056, -0.0572, -0.043, -0.0414, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0213, 0.041, 0.0279, 0.0149, -0.0027, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0184, 0.0312, 0.0155, 0.0079, 0.0211, 0.004, 0.004, -0.0445, -0.055, -0.0714, -0.0921, -0.0956, -0.1018, -0.0913, -0.0755, -0.0696, -0.054, -0.0374, -0.0497, -0.0417, -0.0454, -0.0575, -0.05, -0.0784, -0.1166, -0.0966, -0.0846, -0.0513, -0.0523, -0.0234, -0.0066, 0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0215, 0.0001, 0.0016, 0.0016, -0.0388, -0.0626, -0.0518, -0.066, -0.0576, -0.0539, -0.062, -0.0488, -0.0347, -0.0601, -0.0661, -0.0571, -0.0625, -0.0634, -0.0415, -0.0421, -0.0269, -0.012, -0.0315, -0.0424, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0265, -0.0387, -0.023, -0.028, -0.0112, 0.0103, 0.0142, -0.0108, -0.0374, -0.0418, -0.0351, -0.0358, -0.04, -0.0404, -0.0661, -0.0626, -0.0841, -0.0773, -0.084, -0.0642, -0.0759, -0.0758, -0.0929, -0.1053, -0.1225, -0.1227, -0.1164, -0.0871, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0731, -0.0588, -0.0349, -0.0067, -0.0037, -0.0076, -0.0008, 0.0029, 0.0053, 0.0112, -0.012, -0.0078, -0.0043, -0.036, -0.0295, -0.0031, -0.0264, -0.0241, -0.0423, -0.051, -0.0745, -0.0863, -0.0764, -0.077, -0.0942, -0.1022, -0.0798, -0.0837]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1730303676319781017", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-30T19:11:58+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We estimate the sector trades at a 13% free cashflow yield and 3.9x EV/CF at $80WTI. Further, balance sheets are in great shape positioning companies to still return incrementally more FCF back to shareholders. we remain optimistic on the year ahead! \"We remain bullish.\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Remain bullish on energy sector into 2024; attractive FCF yield/valuation at $80 WTI with strong balance sheets, though ceiling lowered to ~$90.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"We remain bullish\"...just not by as much as we were earlier this year. Why? We were right on 2 calls: global oil inventories reaching multi-year lows + demand vastly exceeding the ongoing bearish narrative (recession=demand destruction). What did we get wrong? The quantum of supply growth, namely from US and Iran. US supply is outpacing expectations due to moderate efficiency gains, but mainly (2/3 of the growth) from privates goosing production ahead of sales processes (leading to inventory exhaustion). This is non-repeatable. Secondly, Iranian exports are up 0.4MM Bbl/d YTD due to the WH turning a blind eye to sanction enforcement. So, while inventories sit at multi-year lows, the \"how did we get here?\" is equally as important. We have more spare capacity to chew through in 2024 than initially thought, so the ceiling price is lower ($90?). This does not make us bearish on energy stocks. We estimate the sector trades at a 13% free cashflow yield and 3.9x EV/CF at $80WTI. Further, balance sheets are in great shape positioning companies to still return incrementally more FCF back to shareholders. A rangebound market in 2024 ($80-$90?) means stock picking will be critical. Looking at the entire energy complex (oil, natural gas, services), we remain optimistic on the year ahead! \"We remain bullish.\"\nhttps://t.co/bfeOte1LJz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006621360287497158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006621360287497158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026993130966891377, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0026993130966891377, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00392204719080802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00392204719080802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005202175802322184, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005202175802322184, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007135936571307511, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0007135936571307511, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005915769459452935, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005915769459452935, "ret_p1w": -0.03818869741550068, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03818869741550068, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04219835497554081, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04219835497554081, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004009657560040125, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004009657560040125, "ret_p1m": 0.0007718852516773733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0007718852516773733, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04488339581514933, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04488339581514933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0456552810668267, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0456552810668267, "ret_p3m": 0.025242027669253098, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.025242027669253098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08997547266066541, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08997547266066541, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11521750032991851, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11521750032991851, "ret_p6m": 0.09946916373714987, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09946916373714987, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06888795765101774, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06888795765101774, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683571213881676, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1683571213881676, "ret_p1y": 0.17395330128481157, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17395330128481157, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13214498057926938, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13214498057926938, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30609828186408095, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30609828186408095, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025242027669253098, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08997547266066541, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08997547266066541, "price_path": [0.065, 0.0706, 0.0711, 0.07, 0.0803, 0.0661, 0.0913, 0.083, 0.0957, 0.0799, 0.089, 0.0789, 0.0688, 0.0541, 0.0559, 0.0692, 0.063, 0.0895, 0.0907, 0.0687, 0.0474, 0.0467, 0.0138, 0.0076, 0.0136, 0.0474, 0.0487, 0.0352, 0.0364, 0.0592, 0.0663, 0.0774, 0.0873, 0.0854, 0.0672, 0.0499, 0.0351, 0.0332, 0.0252, 0.0006, 0.0039, 0.0072, 0.0048, 0.0352, 0.0248, 0.0132, -0.0092, -0.0216, -0.0246, -0.0138, -0.0067, 0.0021, 0.0002, -0.0193, 0.0013, 0.0027, 0.0005, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0006, 0.0008, -0.0066, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0006, -0.0169, -0.0316, -0.0382, -0.0278, -0.0266, -0.04, -0.0266, 0.002, -0.0033, 0.0048, 0.0169, 0.0075, 0.0114, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0231, 0.0186, 0.003, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.0115, 0.028, 0.01, 0.0108, -0.0009, -0.0169, -0.0266, -0.0241, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.0366, -0.0446, -0.0461, -0.043, -0.0395, -0.0374, -0.0237, -0.0017, 0.0057, 0.0042, 0.0146, -0.0044, -0.0045, -0.003, -0.0056, -0.0023, -0.0003, 0.01, -0.0056, 0.0054, -0.0047, -0.0057, 0.022, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0121, 0.0311, 0.0329, 0.0261, 0.0297, 0.0252, 0.0232, 0.0282, 0.0402, 0.0291, 0.0367, 0.0399, 0.0488, 0.0525, 0.0633, 0.0616, 0.0786, 0.0897, 0.0929, 0.0967, 0.1092, 0.1077, 0.1143, 0.1119, 0.1222, 0.1135, 0.1239, 0.136, 0.136, 0.1445, 0.1605, 0.1684, 0.1677, 0.1802, 0.1728, 0.1731, 0.1767, 0.1759, 0.1567, 0.1459, 0.1359, 0.1327, 0.1292, 0.1428, 0.1502, 0.1566, 0.1575, 0.1628, 0.1521, 0.1599, 0.1253, 0.1074, 0.1138, 0.1139, 0.1227, 0.1216, 0.1203, 0.1353, 0.1291, 0.1261, 0.1275, 0.13, 0.1269, 0.1427, 0.1352, 0.1297, 0.108, 0.0979, 0.0995]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1757062157412286776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-12T15:20:37+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "31% base decline rates should reveal the overlooked value of low decline, long reserve life assets in Canada", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian low-decline, long-reserve-life oil assets as Permian flat growth + consolidation tightens oil macro.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil producers ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The now 3rd largest Permian producer is guiding for ~FLAT production growth in 2025: US shale is NOT surging. Permian consolidation is very positive for the oil macro, and 31% base decline rates should reveal the overlooked value of low decline, long reserve life assets in Canada", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01165806007726522, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01165806007726522, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012097206528287718, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012097206528287718, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004391464510224985, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004391464510224985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016191842891926322, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016191842891926322, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002418692954396451, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002418692954396451, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013773149937529872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013773149937529872, "ret_p1w": 0.029792656896535874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029792656896535874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03272678862181877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03272678862181877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002934131725282896, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002934131725282896, "ret_p1m": 0.1120465507383046, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1120465507383046, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0805082493875724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0805082493875724, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03153830135073221, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03153830135073221, "ret_p3m": 0.25390954092526297, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25390954092526297, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2123785922731627, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2123785922731627, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041530948652100275, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041530948652100275, "ret_p6m": 0.13221475617840306, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13221475617840306, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0833461936000024, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0833461936000024, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048868562578400665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.048868562578400665, "ret_p1y": 0.17781579571642836, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17781579571642836, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.0453885875860669, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0453885875860669, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22320438330249526, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22320438330249526, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1120465507383046, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0805082493875724, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0805082493875724, "price_path": [0.0683, 0.0477, 0.0766, 0.0792, 0.0689, 0.0528, 0.0567, 0.0567, 0.0393, 0.0477, 0.0561, 0.0599, 0.0612, 0.0432, 0.031, -0.0108, -0.016, -0.0018, -0.0141, -0.0359, -0.0121, 0.0046, -0.0192, -0.005, 0.0097, -0.0012, 0.0059, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0142, 0.0019, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0104, 0.044, 0.0304, 0.0369, 0.0181, 0.0162, 0.0071, 0.0149, 0.0201, 0.0272, -0.0026, -0.0175, -0.0227, -0.024, -0.0227, -0.0168, -0.0013, 0.0136, 0.0181, 0.0078, 0.024, 0.0117, -0.0019, -0.024, -0.0298, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0117, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.0162, -0.0162, 0.0259, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.024, 0.0531, 0.0622, 0.0602, 0.0654, 0.0699, 0.0725, 0.0933, 0.1159, 0.103, 0.1146, 0.1172, 0.1133, 0.1062, 0.1088, 0.112, 0.1321, 0.1464, 0.1451, 0.1548, 0.1606, 0.1587, 0.1619, 0.1615, 0.1842, 0.1751, 0.1836, 0.194, 0.194, 0.2077, 0.2214, 0.2396, 0.2467, 0.2624, 0.2591, 0.2637, 0.2878, 0.2624, 0.2494, 0.2279, 0.2357, 0.2337, 0.2279, 0.235, 0.2396, 0.2448, 0.2481, 0.2572, 0.2598, 0.2676, 0.2305, 0.2096, 0.2122, 0.2109, 0.2324, 0.2376, 0.2435, 0.2539, 0.2383, 0.2363, 0.2246, 0.2266, 0.2272, 0.2402, 0.2402, 0.2507, 0.2357, 0.2292, 0.2376, 0.2415, 0.2591, 0.2357, 0.2409, 0.2572, 0.2012, 0.1797, 0.1836, 0.194, 0.1855, 0.2012, 0.1973, 0.1888, 0.1517, 0.1458, 0.1471, 0.166, 0.1641, 0.1693, 0.1543, 0.1934, 0.1868, 0.1828, 0.198, 0.1966, 0.1966, 0.2137, 0.2216, 0.2236, 0.1953, 0.1966, 0.1776, 0.1927, 0.2085, 0.2059, 0.2262, 0.2111, 0.2085, 0.2085, 0.1973, 0.2065, 0.1901, 0.1828, 0.1907, 0.196, 0.1842, 0.1881, 0.2249, 0.1881, 0.1362, 0.1362, 0.1322]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1853480423235416339", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-04T16:52:23+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil and gas", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe the demand for oil will grow much longer and stronger than consensus believes. With non-OPEC production expected to peak in 2027 and Canada's high environmental standing, we are part of the global \"solution\", not the \"problem.\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish oil demand beyond consensus; non-OPEC peak 2027 + Canada's environmental standing make Canadian energy a long-term long.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Canada is in economic trouble. Under the Trudeau government GDP per capita is flat, productivity growth is the lowest in the G7, and debt per Canadian is up >35%. To place a de-facto production cap on a sector that = ~15% of the Canadian economy (costing 51,000 fewer jobs and ~$45BN/year in lost GDP) is economic treason.\n\nWe zealously attack a sector that makes up only 0.1% of global emissions when 1 year of Chinese coal plant growth would completely wipe out our efforts. For what gain then?\n\nIndustry cannot even vocally defend itself now under existing law (C-59) that threatens oil and gas companies with fines = 3% of global revenue per \"offense\" of speaking up about their environmental leadership.\n\nI believe the demand for oil will grow much longer and stronger than consensus believes. With non-OPEC production expected to peak in 2027 and Canada's high environmental standing, we are part of the global \"solution\", not the \"problem.\"\n\nTo willingly cede market share to others, many of whom do not respect the environment, is purposeless, self-inflicted economic repression. The world needs MORE, not less Canadian energy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013142623172799794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013142623172799794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015301288215433972, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015301288215433972, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002158665042634178, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002158665042634178, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012091817080668754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012091817080668754, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012091817080668754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012091817080668754, "ret_p1w": 0.012571400016027967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012571400016027967, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03823497008479304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03823497008479304, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05080637010082101, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05080637010082101, "ret_p1m": 0.02857163582836919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02857163582836919, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03127271306066204, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03127271306066204, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05984434888903123, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05984434888903123, "ret_p3m": -0.00922753956534994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00922753956534994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06895881967727158, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06895881967727158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059731280111921636, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059731280111921636, "ret_p6m": -0.10005656963050236, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10005656963050236, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08641210126146548, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08641210126146548, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.013644468369036877, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013644468369036877, "ret_p1y": 0.08352086248363833, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08352086248363833, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1194830598144514, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1194830598144514, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20300392229808972, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20300392229808972, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08352086248363833, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1194830598144514, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1194830598144514, "price_path": [-0.0118, 0.008, 0.0126, 0.0437, 0.0471, 0.0568, 0.0749, 0.063, 0.0579, 0.0341, 0.0324, 0.0347, 0.046, 0.0613, 0.0403, 0.0358, 0.0454, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0007, -0.0152, -0.0294, -0.0441, -0.0458, -0.0679, -0.0679, -0.0594, -0.0571, -0.0486, -0.0339, -0.0384, -0.0214, -0.0288, -0.0231, -0.0137, -0.0309, -0.0606, -0.04, -0.0349, -0.0023, -0.0006, 0.028, 0.0417, 0.06, 0.036, 0.04, 0.0629, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0137, 0.0097, 0.0211, 0.0166, 0.0206, 0.0211, 0.0103, 0.0154, 0.0291, 0.012, 0.0046, 0.008, -0.004, -0.0131, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0189, 0.0246, 0.0137, 0.0126, 0.0011, 0.0097, 0.0326, 0.0211, 0.0314, 0.028, 0.0383, 0.0577, 0.0629, 0.044, 0.0206, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.028, 0.0211, 0.0286, 0.0063, 0.0149, -0.0051, -0.0006, -0.008, 0.0051, -0.012, -0.0126, -0.0303, -0.0371, -0.0543, -0.0617, -0.0611, -0.0417, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0283, -0.0121, 0.0035, 0.0098, 0.0191, 0.0364, 0.037, 0.0381, 0.0485, 0.0295, 0.0312, 0.0341, 0.0156, 0.0248, 0.0427, 0.0341, 0.0318, 0.0306, 0.0191, 0.0075, -0.0023, 0.0098, 0.015, -0.0092, -0.0133, -0.0029, 0.0017, -0.0104, -0.0063, 0.015, 0.0289, 0.0058, 0.0092, -0.0011, -0.0011, 0.0092, 0.0173, 0.0202, -0.0006, -0.0092, -0.0254, -0.0306, -0.03, -0.0277, -0.0762, -0.0866, -0.0935, -0.0878, -0.0675, -0.0693, -0.0618, -0.0468, -0.0537, -0.0352, -0.0214, -0.0179, -0.0017, 0.0046, 0.0052, 0.0202, 0.0243, 0.0303, 0.0227, 0.0122, 0.0256, 0.0326, 0.0401, -0.0332, -0.1169, -0.1344, -0.1751, -0.1053, -0.164, -0.1402, -0.1344, -0.1315, -0.1146, -0.0954, -0.1041, -0.0855, -0.0913, -0.082, -0.0832, -0.0791, -0.0867, -0.1076, -0.1001]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1890443660791046303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-14T16:51:06+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why we believe ongoing, meaningful share buybacks will rerate energy stock valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks; share buybacks will rerate valuations higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weekly video update: 30 minute overview on oil and natural gas macro, and why we believe ongoing, meaningful share buybacks will rerate energy stock valuations: https://t.co/0MJYhtRxOc https://t.co/YiC6tZA5KV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0039968605912928945, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0039968605912928945, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004046218291215875, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004046218291215875, "bench_spy_m1d": 4.935769992298056e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 4.935769992298056e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.009548095015395663, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009548095015395663, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025555731443734353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025555731443734353, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01600763642833869, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01600763642833869, "ret_p1m": 0.012434902556038407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012434902556038407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08222323723943004, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08222323723943004, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06978833468339163, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06978833468339163, "ret_p3m": -0.04210395361795005, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04210395361795005, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013460949127414912, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013460949127414912, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02864300449053514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02864300449053514, "ret_p6m": -0.04502767775738803, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04502767775738803, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10543297150273145, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10543297150273145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.060405293745343425, "bench_c_p6m": 0.060405293745343425, "ret_p1y": 0.2219090234035377, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2219090234035377, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07588619780318151, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07588619780318151, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14602282560035618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14602282560035618, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012434902556038407, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08222323723943004, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08222323723943004, "price_path": [0.0569, 0.0501, 0.0607, 0.0693, 0.071, 0.0498, 0.0484, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0518, 0.0407, 0.0406, 0.0155, 0.0194, 0.0021, 0.0005, -0.0063, -0.0047, -0.0127, -0.0177, -0.0393, -0.0464, -0.0746, -0.0826, -0.0736, -0.0682, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0611, -0.0612, -0.0613, -0.049, -0.0379, -0.0289, -0.0333, -0.0236, -0.0226, -0.0226, -0.0187, 0.002, 0.0128, 0.0278, 0.0352, 0.0432, 0.0432, 0.0379, 0.019, 0.0236, 0.0138, 0.0032, -0.0063, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.027, -0.0209, -0.0003, 0.0018, -0.0167, -0.0168, 0.0049, 0.013, -0.0114, -0.004, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0216, 0.031, 0.0095, 0.0098, -0.0048, -0.0104, -0.0051, 0.0103, -0.025, -0.0344, -0.0485, -0.0456, -0.0293, -0.0221, -0.0299, -0.0254, -0.0321, -0.0034, 0.0124, 0.0141, 0.0306, 0.0344, 0.0272, 0.0389, 0.0432, 0.0493, 0.0391, 0.0342, 0.0456, 0.0518, 0.0532, -0.0295, -0.1187, -0.1245, -0.1447, -0.0785, -0.1387, -0.1173, -0.1142, -0.1155, -0.1082, -0.0881, -0.1119, -0.0893, -0.091, -0.0765, -0.0781, -0.0716, -0.0743, -0.0993, -0.0959, -0.0827, -0.0993, -0.0991, -0.0987, -0.0869, -0.0777, -0.0536, -0.0403, -0.0461, -0.0421, -0.0436, -0.056, -0.0647, -0.0819, -0.0855, -0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0747, -0.0864, -0.0796, -0.0878, -0.0758, -0.0648, -0.0831, -0.084, -0.0667, -0.0649, -0.0483, -0.0345, -0.0311, -0.0142, -0.0172, -0.008, -0.0145, -0.0145, -0.0044, -0.0296, -0.0422, -0.0464, -0.0327, -0.0378, -0.0433, -0.036, -0.0194, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0278, -0.0016, -0.0067, 0.0009, 0.0054, -0.0057, -0.02, -0.0284, -0.0225, -0.0304, -0.0404, -0.0359, -0.0208, -0.0138, -0.0175, -0.0063, 0.0034, -0.011, -0.0163, -0.0345, -0.0367, -0.0354, -0.0444, -0.0481, -0.042, -0.0497, -0.045]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1775522053094846486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-03T13:53:39+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see 'fair value' for Brent exceeding $90 in Q4", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish crude: Brent fair value >$90 in Q4, WTI floor $80+, on OPEC discipline + demand beat + weak US shale growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe the June OPEC meeting will result in the gradual return of curtailed barrels due to \"stronger than expected\" demand and \"weaker than expected\" US shale growth. In time, the narrative can then shift back to shrinking spare capacity, supportive of a $80+WTI floor. The OPEC cuts and \"will and intent\" are working exceptionally well.\n\n---\n\nDirectionally, even with the tapering of OPEC cuts in 2H we see \"fair value\" for Brent exceeding $90 in Q4. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1981032699625177236", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T16:19:36+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very bullish natural gas!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GE Vernova backlog data implies 8.6% incremental US natural gas demand; author explicitly bullish nat gas.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "GE Vernova: 33GW backlog + 29GW slot reservations = 9.3Bcf/d of natural gas demand growth (up 16% sequentially from Q2 and = 8.6% of current US supply). Very bullish natural gas! https://t.co/1DeYDE1XWl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006891209496317607, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006891209496317607, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016652245996942039, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016652245996942039, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0052259848966234035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0052259848966234035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009954066635836534, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009954066635836534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015883957826336226, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015883957826336226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": -0.06508425376411076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06508425376411076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09441935093820009, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09441935093820009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02933509717408933, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02933509717408933, "ret_p1m": 0.10413473300004394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10413473300004394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12700084125399325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12700084125399325, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": 0.04441040620755787, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04441040620755787, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01502245631487642, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01502245631487642, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029387949892681453, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029387949892681453, "ret_p6m": -0.1692189867641547, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1692189867641547, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2365376323116717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2365376323116717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06731864554751699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06731864554751699, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10413473300004394, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12700084125399325, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12700084125399325, "price_path": [0.059, 0.0467, 0.0651, 0.0222, 0.0406, 0.0429, -0.0077, 0.01, 0.0368, 0.036, 0.0107, 0.0008, -0.0597, -0.0505, -0.0421, -0.0176, -0.026, -0.0689, -0.0712, -0.0505, -0.0881, -0.085, -0.0835, -0.0666, -0.0375, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.0214, 0.0, 0.0031, -0.0092, 0.0077, 0.0153, -0.0138, -0.049, -0.0421, -0.0115, 0.0123, 0.0031, -0.0299, -0.0375, -0.0697, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.036, -0.0452, -0.0184, 0.0008, 0.0429, 0.0299, -0.0008, 0.0184, 0.0551, 0.0031, -0.0245, -0.0559, -0.0674, -0.085, -0.0904, -0.1133, -0.0911, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.01, -0.0069, -0.013, -0.0551, -0.0651, -0.0184, 0.0145, 0.0536, 0.0666, 0.0436, 0.085, 0.0681, 0.0796, 0.1149, 0.1217, 0.134, 0.1149, 0.0812, 0.0888, 0.1256, 0.1041, 0.1217, 0.1034, 0.059, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.1279, 0.1646, 0.1455, 0.1845, 0.1991, 0.2534, 0.1539, 0.0796, 0.0919, 0.0015, -0.0253, -0.0459, -0.0735, -0.0322, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0926, -0.0123, -0.0513, -0.0191, -0.0008, 0.0046, -0.0613, -0.0766, -0.1095, -0.1363, -0.098, -0.1371, -0.2037, -0.144, -0.1332, -0.2159, -0.2113, -0.209, -0.209, -0.0528, 0.0444, 0.0283, 0.0697, 0.1355, 0.1256, 0.1126, 0.1531, 0.294, -0.0276, -0.0061, 0.0306, 0.0352, 0.0161, -0.0681, -0.0712, -0.0567, -0.0482, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0888, -0.0911, -0.0965, -0.0804, -0.1011, -0.1225, -0.1118, -0.1286, -0.1179, -0.0812, -0.0597, -0.098, -0.0773, -0.0237, -0.0574, -0.0605, -0.0138, -0.0015, -0.0322, -0.0651, -0.0658, -0.0299, -0.0383, -0.0513, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0919, -0.0934, -0.0597, -0.1057, -0.1018, -0.1256, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1294, -0.1156, -0.1516, -0.1669, -0.1753, -0.1822, -0.1914, -0.1899, -0.1746, -0.17, -0.1692]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1881814392662331732", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-21T21:21:28+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain bullish on energy stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on energy stocks with 3 mid-cap picks for the year ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was happy to sit down with @baystreetamber on her new podcast @inthemoneypod to chat all things energy: tariffs, natural gas, oil, politics, why \"we remain bullish\" on energy stocks, and 3 mid-cap picks for the year ahead:\nhttps://t.co/A33mYoExIS https://t.co/MiiCycjFf6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018522593576402846, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018522593576402846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024112840999222174, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024112840999222174, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005590247422819328, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005590247422819328, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00457615390195687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00457615390195687, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008818675772541695, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0008818675772541695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458021479211039, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005458021479211039, "ret_p1w": -0.022662878006092124, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022662878006092124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015028182653645139, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015028182653645139, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007634695352446985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007634695352446985, "ret_p1m": 0.011767351707755003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011767351707755003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005270412100193411, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005270412100193411, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0064969396075615915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0064969396075615915, "ret_p3m": -0.10628911833402233, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10628911833402233, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.021677312000467408, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.021677312000467408, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12796643033448973, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12796643033448973, "ret_p6m": -0.0484293265016853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0484293265016853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.089470013088216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.089470013088216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041040686586530706, "bench_c_p6m": 0.041040686586530706, "ret_p1y": 0.08226874167397225, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08226874167397225, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06948069434919413, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06948069434919413, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15174943602316637, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15174943602316637, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011767351707755003, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005270412100193411, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005270412100193411, "price_path": [-0.0297, -0.03, -0.0362, -0.0509, -0.0487, -0.0428, -0.0488, -0.0322, -0.0257, 0.0109, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0187, 0.0133, 0.0212, 0.0251, 0.0236, 0.0372, 0.0306, 0.041, 0.0494, 0.051, 0.0303, 0.0288, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0322, 0.0213, 0.0212, -0.0035, 0.0004, -0.0165, -0.0182, -0.0249, -0.0232, -0.0311, -0.036, -0.0572, -0.0642, -0.0918, -0.0997, -0.0909, -0.0855, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0786, -0.0787, -0.0788, -0.0667, -0.0558, -0.047, -0.0513, -0.0418, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0369, -0.0167, -0.0061, 0.0086, 0.0159, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0046, -0.0051, -0.0155, -0.0248, -0.0227, -0.0177, -0.0451, -0.0391, -0.019, -0.0169, -0.035, -0.0351, -0.0138, -0.0059, -0.0299, -0.0226, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0052, 0.0026, 0.0118, -0.0093, -0.009, -0.0233, -0.0289, -0.0236, -0.0085, -0.0431, -0.0524, -0.0662, -0.0634, -0.0474, -0.0403, -0.0479, -0.0436, -0.0501, -0.022, -0.0064, -0.0048, 0.0114, 0.0151, 0.0081, 0.0195, 0.0237, 0.0298, 0.0198, 0.0149, 0.0261, 0.0322, 0.0336, -0.0475, -0.1352, -0.1408, -0.1606, -0.0956, -0.1547, -0.1337, -0.1307, -0.132, -0.1248, -0.1051, -0.1285, -0.1063, -0.1079, -0.0937, -0.0953, -0.0889, -0.0916, -0.1161, -0.1128, -0.0998, -0.1161, -0.1158, -0.1155, -0.1039, -0.0949, -0.0713, -0.0582, -0.0639, -0.06, -0.0614, -0.0736, -0.0821, -0.099, -0.1026, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0919, -0.1034, -0.0967, -0.1048, -0.093, -0.0822, -0.1001, -0.101, -0.0841, -0.0824, -0.066, -0.0525, -0.0492, -0.0326, -0.0355, -0.0265, -0.0328, -0.0328, -0.0229, -0.0477, -0.0601, -0.0641, -0.0508, -0.0557, -0.0612, -0.054, -0.0377, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0459, -0.0202, -0.0252, -0.0178, -0.0133, -0.0242, -0.0382, -0.0465, -0.0407, -0.0484]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983190243684786589", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T15:12:54+00:00", "symbol": "Tourmaline Oil", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You can buy a $12BN market cap Montney/Duvernay company with 25+ years of stay-flat \"premium\" inventory, dividend yielding 7% with little debt (<1X), at 4.6X cashflow and an 11% FCF yield at $60WTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on unnamed $12BN Montney/Duvernay E&P: cheap at 4.6x cash flow, 11% FCF yield, 7% dividend, <1x debt — energy sector mispricing as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["TOU.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Tourmaline Oil on TSX", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Want proof that the energy sector is inefficient = opportunity rich? You can buy a $12BN market cap Montney/Duvernay company with 25+ years of stay-flat \"premium\" inventory, dividend yielding 7% with little debt (&lt;1X), at 4.6X cashflow and an 11% FCF yield at $60WTI. https://t.co/dKLy6uicGS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013721106873145317, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013721106873145317, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0163700701859415, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003190048629008402, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010531058244136915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016334489392528684, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016334489392528684, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01681478709133455, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023774936032093685, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004802976988058649, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0074404466395650015, "ret_p1w": -0.009147383232502415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009147383232502415, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008056315703034223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007201367073591314, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019460161589111014, "ret_p1m": 0.021842236445179797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021842236445179797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03258362633166123, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0001356627829032231, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02197789922808302, "ret_p3m": 0.04025831130642299, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04025831130642299, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024997513050932785, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10656861231605541, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015260798255490204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1468269236224784, "ret_p6m": -0.0034013747046630627, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0034013747046630627, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.048441345014831994, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.325047765900099, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04503997031016893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3216463911954359, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021842236445179797, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03258362633166123, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0001356627829032231, "price_path": [-0.0505, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0669, -0.0661, -0.0626, -0.061, -0.0616, -0.0581, -0.072, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0765, -0.0704, -0.0702, -0.0666, -0.0608, -0.0605, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.0553, -0.0547, -0.0561, -0.0504, -0.0606, -0.0621, -0.0629, -0.0527, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0354, 0.01, 0.0126, 0.0109, -0.007, 0.008, 0.0294, 0.0294, 0.0397, 0.0283, 0.0248, -0.0196, 0.0011, -0.0154, -0.014, 0.0038, 0.0152, 0.0137, -0.0013, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0258, -0.0131, -0.0312, -0.0348, -0.0074, -0.0041, 0.0029, 0.0038, 0.0118, 0.0137, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0134, 0.0077, 0.0041, -0.0091, 0.0078, -0.0207, -0.0185, -0.0057, 0.0172, 0.0191, -0.0067, 0.011, -0.0149, -0.0016, 0.0154, 0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0443, 0.0238, 0.0218, 0.0255, 0.055, 0.0551, 0.0361, 0.0578, 0.0523, 0.0743, 0.0669, 0.0428, 0.0427, 0.0355, 0.0345, 0.0336, 0.008, -0.0002, -0.0131, -0.0113, 0.0004, 0.0191, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0173, 0.0239, 0.0179, 0.015, -0.0067, -0.0221, -0.027, -0.0322, -0.0158, -0.0155, -0.0222, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0239, -0.0143, -0.0072, 0.0222, 0.0176, 0.0335, 0.033, 0.0403, 0.0527, 0.0546, 0.0654, 0.0166, 0.0064, 0.0353, 0.0293, 0.036, 0.0219, 0.007, 0.0183, 0.0229, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.016, 0.0151, 0.0431, 0.0419, 0.0373, 0.0376, 0.03, 0.0365, 0.0588, 0.0621, 0.0927, 0.0935, 0.0232, 0.0477, 0.0515, 0.0378, 0.0745, 0.1019, 0.1092, 0.1099, 0.1127, 0.1175, 0.1517, 0.158, 0.1335, 0.1545, 0.1412, 0.1185, 0.1389, 0.1482, 0.109, 0.0627, 0.0714, 0.0714, 0.0639, 0.0726, 0.0329, 0.0153, 0.0194, 0.0251, 0.0079, 0.0101, 0.0198, -0.0041, -0.0046, -0.0062, -0.0031, 0.0069, -0.0034]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054962203296506003", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-14T16:29:03+00:00", "symbol": "oil equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil equities are discounting $70WTI or lower and we think the 2027 WTI strip of $75 is too low. Complacency = opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil and oil equities: Red Sea disruption to forfeit >1.8Bn barrels, safety buffers exhausted, seasonal demand rising; $75 2027 WTI strip too low, equities pricing in $70 or lower is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Helima Croft: \"we are very skeptical of a June grand reopening or even that maritime traffic will return to February 27 levels for the foreseeable future.\" \n\nEven with a July reopening, we now think the world will forfeit >1.8BN barrels of oil, a staggering sum that the world is completely apathetic to. Safety buffers (SPR, inventory surplus, ships in transit) have now been exhausted and demand is set to seasonally strengthen. We expect regional product shortages to soon begin to manifest leading to a reality check in the coming weeks. The oil price will have to act as the balancing mechanism requiring a significantly higher price, and given the to-date effective WH jawboning, will now last longer than it would have without the direct market intervention. Oil equities are discounting $70WTI or lower and we think the 2027 WTI strip of $75 is too low. Complacency = opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0075770385572810905, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0075770385572810905, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0002553865405140465, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0002553865405140465, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02359219802108714, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02359219802108714, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03562154991381172, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03562154991381172, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "ret_p1w": 0.018253855327391877, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018253855327391877, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025538312511616645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025538312511616645, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "ret_p1m": -0.008954717762983178, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008954717762983178, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0003738029217000838, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0003738029217000838, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008580914841283094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008580914841283094, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008954717762983178, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0003738029217000838, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0003738029217000838, "price_path": [-0.0701, -0.0804, -0.0628, -0.0559, -0.0611, -0.0564, -0.0573, -0.0612, -0.0582, -0.0433, -0.0241, -0.033, -0.0387, -0.0337, -0.0322, -0.0364, -0.0488, -0.0251, -0.0161, -0.0128, -0.0094, 0.001, -0.0003, 0.0156, 0.0147, 0.0269, 0.0477, 0.0431, 0.0594, 0.0773, 0.067, 0.0549, 0.0155, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0277, 0.036, -0.0003, -0.0127, -0.0195, -0.0165, -0.0365, -0.0398, -0.0257, -0.0525, -0.0517, -0.0379, -0.0263, -0.0188, -0.0207, -0.0224, -0.0062, 0.0165, 0.0272, 0.0134, 0.0227, 0.0238, -0.0184, -0.0365, -0.0408, -0.0155, -0.0086, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0236, 0.0432, 0.0555, 0.0298, 0.0183, 0.0245, 0.0245, -0.0038, -0.0186, -0.0193, -0.0307, -0.0133, -0.0019, 0.011, 0.0117, -0.0069, 0.0045, -0.0117, 0.0031, -0.0164, -0.009, -0.0434, -0.0467, -0.0586, -0.0586, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1957846718407401967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-19T16:46:47+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we for now prefer natural gas exposure", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short-term caution on oil but prefers natural gas exposure over oil currently; medium-term oil view remains bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The contrast between the short-term path for oil (\"cause for pause\") and our medium term outlook (\"we remain bullish\"™️) is stark. I'll walk through our thesis on @BNNBloomberg today at 3:15pm and explain why we for now prefer natural gas exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04605266666478447, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04605266666478447, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04059784781335374, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04059784781335374, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005454818851430732, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005454818851430732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0024670833345097343, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024670833345097343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00019000029613691627, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00019000029613691627, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026570836306466505, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026570836306466505, "ret_p1w": -0.015624965688115222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015624965688115222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023986808547194483, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023986808547194483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00836184285907926, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00836184285907926, "ret_p1m": 0.07730267646818012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07730267646818012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.047028047023067954, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047028047023067954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030274629445112167, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030274629445112167, "ret_p3m": 0.19736847058557805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19736847058557805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.144254408784116, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.144254408784116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053114061801462054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053114061801462054, "ret_p6m": 0.02302629411880952, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02302629411880952, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.048635883466040974, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.048635883466040974, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0716621775848505, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0716621775848505, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015624965688115222, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023986808547194483, "alpha_c_stated": -0.023986808547194483, "price_path": [0.3692, 0.384, 0.384, 0.4038, 0.3281, 0.315, 0.2919, 0.3873, 0.3947, 0.3906, 0.3734, 0.4128, 0.3618, 0.3207, 0.3117, 0.3215, 0.3454, 0.3964, 0.4457, 0.4868, 0.4868, 0.4523, 0.3849, 0.3363, 0.3035, 0.2878, 0.3602, 0.2566, 0.2426, 0.2681, 0.2541, 0.2541, 0.2426, 0.2196, 0.1678, 0.213, 0.227, 0.2574, 0.278, 0.2993, 0.2911, 0.3035, 0.2072, 0.19, 0.1275, 0.1398, 0.1373, 0.1242, 0.1439, 0.0979, 0.1176, 0.1201, 0.0658, 0.0847, 0.1135, 0.1127, 0.0855, 0.0748, 0.0099, 0.0197, 0.0288, 0.0551, 0.0461, 0.0, -0.0025, 0.0197, -0.0206, -0.0173, -0.0156, 0.0025, 0.0337, 0.0551, 0.0551, 0.051, 0.074, 0.0773, 0.0641, 0.0822, 0.0905, 0.0592, 0.0214, 0.0288, 0.0617, 0.0872, 0.0773, 0.0419, 0.0337, -0.0008, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0354, 0.0255, 0.0543, 0.0748, 0.1201, 0.1061, 0.0732, 0.0938, 0.1332, 0.0773, 0.0477, 0.014, 0.0016, -0.0173, -0.023, -0.0477, -0.0238, 0.0633, 0.0814, 0.074, 0.0633, 0.0666, 0.06, 0.0148, 0.0041, 0.0543, 0.0896, 0.1316, 0.1456, 0.1209, 0.1653, 0.1472, 0.1595, 0.1974, 0.2048, 0.2179, 0.1974, 0.1612, 0.1694, 0.2089, 0.1859, 0.2048, 0.185, 0.1373, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.2113, 0.2508, 0.2303, 0.2722, 0.2878, 0.3462, 0.2393, 0.1595, 0.1727, 0.0757, 0.0469, 0.0247, -0.0049, 0.0395, -0.0107, 0.0025, -0.0255, 0.0609, 0.0189, 0.0535, 0.0732, 0.0789, 0.0082, -0.0082, -0.0436, -0.0724, -0.0313, -0.0732, -0.1447, -0.0806, -0.0691, -0.1579, -0.153, -0.1505, -0.1505, 0.0173, 0.1217, 0.1044, 0.1488, 0.2196, 0.2089, 0.1949, 0.2385, 0.3898, 0.0444, 0.0674, 0.1069, 0.1118, 0.0913, 0.0008, -0.0025, 0.0132, 0.0222, 0.023]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1748353086374957087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-19T14:33:53+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas E&P", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we can buy E&P's that we estimate are trading at 15%+ FCF yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian long on E&P (15%+ FCF yield) and oilfield services (38% FCF yield); market too bearish on energy.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment stinks and energy stocks seem to be imprisoned by day-to-day changes to rate cut expectations. Yet, at spot WTI we can buy E&P's that we estimate are trading at 15%+ FCF yields and some service stocks at 38% FCF yields. While we have tamed our expectations we believe the market is far too bearish, offering opportunity in being contrarian.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002179928745481785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002179928745481785, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01013274447653878, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01013274447653878, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012312673222020565, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012312673222020565, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004593058879373002, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004593058879373002, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0024787752450514677, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0024787752450514677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0021142836343215343, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021142836343215343, "ret_p1w": 0.043752413913109356, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043752413913109356, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033429746462989574, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033429746462989574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010322667450119782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010322667450119782, "ret_p1m": 0.07512667602144774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07512667602144774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03972243497439365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03972243497439365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035404241047054086, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035404241047054086, "ret_p3m": 0.19694023241966585, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19694023241966585, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15615668389670034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15615668389670034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04078354852296551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04078354852296551, "ret_p6m": 0.16577505605790566, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16577505605790566, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.005569796810624972, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.005569796810624972, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17134485286853063, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17134485286853063, "ret_p1y": 0.09743333152518208, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09743333152518208, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1401589018884033, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1401589018884033, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23759223341358537, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23759223341358537, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07512667602144774, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03972243497439365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03972243497439365, "price_path": [0.1338, 0.132, 0.1268, 0.1118, 0.1079, 0.122, 0.1199, 0.149, 0.1405, 0.1102, 0.0787, 0.0555, 0.0481, 0.0598, 0.0682, 0.0859, 0.0871, 0.0558, 0.079, 0.0807, 0.0711, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0765, 0.0672, 0.0643, 0.0603, 0.0662, 0.0747, 0.0618, 0.0385, 0.0105, 0.01, 0.0225, 0.0219, 0.0001, 0.0249, 0.0608, 0.0561, 0.0694, 0.0826, 0.0665, 0.0788, 0.0813, 0.0813, 0.0982, 0.0937, 0.0753, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.074, 0.0838, 0.0594, 0.0634, 0.0551, 0.0422, 0.0285, 0.0277, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0093, -0.0023, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.006, 0.019, 0.0368, 0.0438, 0.0446, 0.0632, 0.0356, 0.0291, 0.0178, 0.0118, 0.0195, 0.0293, 0.042, 0.0343, 0.0511, 0.0348, 0.0371, 0.074, 0.0751, 0.0751, 0.0588, 0.0893, 0.0856, 0.0805, 0.0855, 0.0895, 0.0821, 0.093, 0.1077, 0.0964, 0.101, 0.1011, 0.1082, 0.1141, 0.1203, 0.12, 0.1436, 0.1486, 0.1559, 0.1562, 0.1712, 0.1804, 0.1863, 0.1787, 0.1917, 0.1768, 0.195, 0.2124, 0.2124, 0.2207, 0.2296, 0.245, 0.2453, 0.2566, 0.2497, 0.251, 0.2552, 0.251, 0.2362, 0.2164, 0.2062, 0.1969, 0.1865, 0.1991, 0.2082, 0.2167, 0.2224, 0.2275, 0.2287, 0.2365, 0.185, 0.1587, 0.1664, 0.1756, 0.1902, 0.1923, 0.1862, 0.1978, 0.1791, 0.1735, 0.1836, 0.184, 0.1774, 0.1929, 0.1983, 0.1893, 0.1715, 0.159, 0.1614, 0.1614, 0.1793, 0.1605, 0.1658, 0.1894, 0.1552, 0.1374, 0.1412, 0.1469, 0.1401, 0.1644, 0.1681, 0.154, 0.1361, 0.117, 0.1167, 0.1182, 0.1182, 0.1307, 0.122, 0.1548, 0.1532, 0.1423, 0.1425, 0.1445, 0.1477, 0.1521, 0.1618, 0.1618, 0.1327, 0.1326, 0.1223, 0.1274, 0.1466, 0.1487, 0.1658]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1748353086374957087", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-01-19T14:33:53+00:00", "symbol": "oil field services", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some service stocks at 38% FCF yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian long on E&P (15%+ FCF yield) and oilfield services (38% FCF yield); market too bearish on energy.", "resolved_tickers": ["OIH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "VanEck Oil Services ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment stinks and energy stocks seem to be imprisoned by day-to-day changes to rate cut expectations. Yet, at spot WTI we can buy E&P's that we estimate are trading at 15%+ FCF yields and some service stocks at 38% FCF yields. While we have tamed our expectations we believe the market is far too bearish, offering opportunity in being contrarian.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006661434033910063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006661434033910063, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005651239188110502, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005651239188110502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012312673222020565, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012312673222020565, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015681841851538092, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015681841851538092, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013567558217216558, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013567558217216558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0021142836343215343, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021142836343215343, "ret_p1w": 0.06328274351840335, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06328274351840335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05296007606828357, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05296007606828357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010322667450119782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010322667450119782, "ret_p1m": 0.03132904143072812, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03132904143072812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004075199616325964, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004075199616325964, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035404241047054086, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035404241047054086, "ret_p3m": 0.11487344518058351, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11487344518058351, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.074089896657618, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.074089896657618, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04078354852296551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04078354852296551, "ret_p6m": 0.14217793436818038, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14217793436818038, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.029166918500350247, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.029166918500350247, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17134485286853063, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17134485286853063, "ret_p1y": -0.008894046005157641, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.008894046005157641, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24648627941874302, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24648627941874302, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23759223341358537, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23759223341358537, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03132904143072812, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004075199616325964, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004075199616325964, "price_path": [0.1449, 0.129, 0.1149, 0.1152, 0.1147, 0.1102, 0.1179, 0.1522, 0.1476, 0.1295, 0.08, 0.075, 0.0762, 0.0913, 0.0991, 0.1168, 0.0991, 0.0582, 0.0816, 0.0843, 0.0776, 0.0714, 0.0714, 0.0807, 0.0734, 0.0687, 0.0631, 0.0688, 0.0784, 0.0698, 0.0452, 0.0082, 0.0031, 0.0167, 0.0169, 0.0041, 0.0257, 0.0666, 0.0616, 0.0683, 0.0862, 0.0761, 0.0825, 0.0838, 0.0838, 0.1083, 0.0972, 0.0818, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.0672, 0.0716, 0.0475, 0.0592, 0.0334, 0.0069, -0.0062, -0.0017, 0.0125, 0.0125, -0.0143, -0.0192, -0.0067, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.021, 0.0424, 0.0554, 0.0633, 0.0639, 0.0384, 0.0149, 0.0118, -0.009, -0.0197, -0.003, -0.0044, 0.008, -0.0012, 0.0131, -0.0041, -0.0001, 0.0314, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0217, 0.0356, 0.0491, 0.0432, 0.0407, 0.0427, 0.034, 0.0307, 0.0582, 0.0454, 0.0509, 0.0544, 0.0787, 0.0734, 0.0899, 0.0895, 0.1048, 0.1182, 0.1216, 0.1245, 0.1494, 0.1509, 0.1581, 0.1509, 0.1599, 0.1471, 0.1632, 0.1669, 0.1669, 0.1727, 0.1896, 0.2105, 0.1957, 0.2121, 0.2, 0.195, 0.1997, 0.1877, 0.1594, 0.1432, 0.1286, 0.1149, 0.1145, 0.1236, 0.1189, 0.1341, 0.1278, 0.1316, 0.1309, 0.1338, 0.0859, 0.0701, 0.082, 0.0918, 0.1076, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.1265, 0.1131, 0.1192, 0.129, 0.1274, 0.1293, 0.1368, 0.1436, 0.1411, 0.1003, 0.0911, 0.094, 0.094, 0.1135, 0.0891, 0.0929, 0.115, 0.0608, 0.0367, 0.0399, 0.0416, 0.0458, 0.075, 0.0713, 0.0774, 0.0529, 0.0245, 0.0413, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.056, 0.0594, 0.0886, 0.0929, 0.0805, 0.0868, 0.097, 0.082, 0.0864, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.0748, 0.075, 0.0586, 0.0678, 0.0937, 0.101, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1634251404968697856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-10T17:54:32+00:00", "symbol": "BZ=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we still expect Brent prices to grind higher to $100/bbl by December, and stay there in 2024", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares Goldman's call: Brent to grind higher to $100/bbl by December on non-OECD demand outweighing OECD decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures Yahoo Finance symbol", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman Sachs: \"We expect rapid 2023 growth in non-OECD demand to sharply outweigh the moderate decline in OECD oil demand. As a result, we still expect Brent prices to grind higher to $100/bbl by December, and stay there in 2024.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014375482712665422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014375482712665422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029016268954991986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029016268954991986, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014640786242326564, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014640786242326564, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02428125351377952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02428125351377952, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022855896042226265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022855896042226265, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014253574715532569, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014253574715532569, "ret_p1w": -0.11850685797602611, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11850685797602611, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13293622045542708, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13293622045542708, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014429362479400965, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014429362479400965, "ret_p1m": 0.016912316338775435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016912316338775435, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04855183883686265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04855183883686265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06546415517563808, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06546415517563808, "ret_p3m": -0.07042766268453682, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07042766268453682, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17995556571304405, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17995556571304405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10952790302850723, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10952790302850723, "ret_p6m": 0.06970287940985087, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06970287940985087, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10827732330783957, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10827732330783957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17798020271769044, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17798020271769044, "ret_p1y": 0.010509818306492003, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.010509818306492003, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.32305146443439137, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.32305146443439137, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33356128274088337, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33356128274088337, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016912316338775435, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04855183883686265, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04855183883686265, "price_path": [-0.0254, -0.001, -0.019, -0.0452, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.007, -0.0217, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0187, 0.0058, -0.0063, 0.0378, 0.0378, -0.0082, -0.0597, -0.0494, -0.0509, -0.0378, -0.0324, -0.0013, 0.0151, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0379, 0.0266, 0.0408, 0.0586, 0.0654, 0.0405, 0.0403, 0.0567, 0.0469, 0.0256, 0.0207, 0.0007, -0.0074, -0.0343, -0.0216, 0.011, 0.0279, 0.0208, 0.0436, 0.0463, 0.0338, 0.0314, 0.0285, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0033, -0.0263, -0.0069, 0.0046, -0.004, 0.0134, 0.0185, 0.0238, 0.0368, 0.0411, 0.0062, -0.0014, -0.0144, 0.0, -0.0243, -0.0644, -0.1098, -0.0976, -0.1185, -0.1086, -0.0901, -0.0736, -0.083, -0.0941, -0.0563, -0.0499, -0.0544, -0.0424, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.0261, 0.0267, 0.0283, 0.0283, 0.0169, 0.0342, 0.055, 0.04, 0.0426, 0.0239, 0.024, 0.0041, -0.0203, -0.0135, -0.0006, -0.0243, -0.0615, -0.0533, -0.0391, -0.0419, -0.0901, -0.1262, -0.1242, -0.0904, -0.0697, -0.0645, -0.077, -0.0942, -0.104, -0.0912, -0.0951, -0.0703, -0.0836, -0.087, -0.082, -0.0718, -0.0534, -0.0788, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1116, -0.1223, -0.1027, -0.0803, -0.0733, -0.0784, -0.0704, -0.0824, -0.0965, -0.1322, -0.1026, -0.1157, -0.0859, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0831, -0.0684, -0.1044, -0.1079, -0.1039, -0.1271, -0.1057, -0.102, -0.0952, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0741, -0.0756, -0.0521, -0.0615, -0.0408, -0.0323, -0.0172, -0.0352, -0.0517, -0.0381, -0.0401, -0.0379, -0.0207, -0.0005, 0.0104, 0.0017, 0.0176, 0.0267, 0.0336, 0.0257, 0.0051, 0.0285, 0.0418, 0.0309, 0.041, 0.0576, 0.0437, 0.0487, 0.0414, 0.0255, 0.0081, 0.0162, 0.0244, 0.0203, 0.0151, 0.0052, 0.007, 0.0205, 0.0198, 0.0327, 0.0372, 0.0493, 0.0697, 0.0697]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1701237657336987664", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-09-11T14:13:59+00:00", "symbol": "oil equity", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "at the current price many stocks trade at 15%+ FCF yields. We remain bullish!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish oil price and oil equities: global inventories at multi-year lows, large cumulative deficit vs 2017-2019 baseline, stocks at 15%+ FCF yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global oil inventories are now at their lowest levels since @Kpler data begins (2017), and we believe will end 2023/2024 at a ~378MM/750MM Bbl deficit relative to a 2017-2019 baseline average. This would strongly suggest a higher oil price, yet at the current price many stocks trade at 15%+ FCF yields. We remain bullish!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01332026767764849, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01332026767764849, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019853993981476914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019853993981476914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006533726303828424, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006533726303828424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02355820336524772, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02355820336524772, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02904383925655296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02904383925655296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0054856358913052405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0054856358913052405, "ret_p1w": 0.02146341463414636, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02146341463414636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02872212415556441, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02872212415556441, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00725870952141805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00725870952141805, "ret_p1m": -0.016352203567199353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016352203567199353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011247886389901929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011247886389901929, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02760008995710128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02760008995710128, "ret_p3m": -0.09786078191982517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09786078191982517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12327345166735348, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12327345166735348, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025412669747528316, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025412669747528316, "ret_p6m": -0.027617154869328142, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027617154869328142, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1671701537493736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1671701537493736, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13955299888004546, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13955299888004546, "ret_p1y": 0.02133444100718762, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.02133444100718762, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2410339558682122, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2410339558682122, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2623683968753998, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2623683968753998, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09786078191982517, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12327345166735348, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12327345166735348, "price_path": [-0.1259, -0.1163, -0.1176, -0.1176, -0.1374, -0.1306, -0.1422, -0.1484, -0.1331, -0.1311, -0.1223, -0.1122, -0.1065, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.1093, -0.1293, -0.1106, -0.1037, -0.084, -0.0755, -0.079, -0.1034, -0.1051, -0.0961, -0.0908, -0.0801, -0.072, -0.057, -0.0521, -0.0517, -0.0578, -0.0549, -0.037, -0.0415, -0.0541, -0.0445, -0.0432, -0.0421, -0.0373, -0.0252, -0.0253, -0.0103, -0.0145, -0.035, -0.0434, -0.0319, -0.0223, -0.0285, -0.036, -0.0384, -0.045, -0.0358, -0.0293, -0.0266, -0.0218, -0.0211, -0.0011, -0.0011, 0.0042, 0.0046, 0.0036, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.0236, 0.0159, 0.0277, 0.0129, 0.0215, 0.0119, 0.0025, -0.0113, -0.0096, 0.0028, -0.0029, 0.0219, 0.023, 0.0024, -0.0176, -0.0182, -0.0491, -0.0549, -0.0493, -0.0176, -0.0164, -0.029, -0.0279, -0.0065, 0.0002, 0.0106, 0.0198, 0.018, 0.0009, -0.0152, -0.0291, -0.0309, -0.0384, -0.0615, -0.0584, -0.0553, -0.0575, -0.029, -0.0388, -0.0496, -0.0707, -0.0823, -0.0851, -0.075, -0.0684, -0.06, -0.0618, -0.0801, -0.0608, -0.0595, -0.0616, -0.062, -0.062, -0.0582, -0.0615, -0.0613, -0.0683, -0.062, -0.0572, -0.0615, -0.0779, -0.0917, -0.0979, -0.0881, -0.087, -0.0995, -0.087, -0.0602, -0.0651, -0.0575, -0.0462, -0.055, -0.0514, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0404, -0.0446, -0.0592, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0512, -0.0358, -0.0527, -0.0519, -0.0629, -0.0779, -0.087, -0.0846, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0964, -0.1039, -0.1053, -0.1024, -0.099, -0.0971, -0.0843, -0.0637, -0.0567, -0.0581, -0.0483, -0.0661, -0.0662, -0.0649, -0.0673, -0.0642, -0.0623, -0.0527, -0.0673, -0.057, -0.0665, -0.0674, -0.0414, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0507, -0.0329, -0.0312, -0.0376, -0.0342, -0.0384, -0.0403, -0.0356, -0.0244, -0.0348, -0.0276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988639329220972882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T16:05:37+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on natural gas stocks given incremental demand from LNG (+18Bcf/d by 2030) + meaningful increase in demand from electricity generation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long natural gas stocks on LNG demand growth (+18 Bcf/d by 2030), power gen demand, and 10%+ FCF yields at $4/mcf strip.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"We remain bullish\"™️on natural gas stocks given incremental demand from LNG (+18Bcf/d by 2030) + meaningful increase in demand from electricity generation. Marginal cost of supply = 2026-2028 avg. strip = $4/mcf = 10%+ FCF yields. https://t.co/YZGZHWQGLs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01091518119643009, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01091518119643009, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011471270395616684, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011471270395616684, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005560891991865935, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005560891991865935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001679283566152323, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001679283566152323, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018273305036890175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018273305036890175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594021470737852, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016594021470737852, "ret_p1w": 0.004198127923600747, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004198127923600747, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03456180181658264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03456180181658264, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036367389298189, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036367389298189, "ret_p1m": 0.024769068137736605, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024769068137736605, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016296499925415597, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016296499925415597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472568212321008, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472568212321008, "ret_p3m": 0.1277363477825908, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1277363477825908, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11218902433125555, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11218902433125555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015547323451335249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015547323451335249, "ret_p6m": 0.25605607935639396, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25605607935639396, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16806760605882554, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16806760605882554, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08798847329756843, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08798847329756843, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0434, -0.055, -0.0634, -0.0567, -0.0488, -0.0229, -0.0142, -0.0192, -0.0088, 0.0041, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0162, -0.0163, -0.0063, -0.0284, -0.0388, -0.0421, -0.0134, -0.0175, -0.0263, -0.035, -0.0059, -0.0092, -0.0154, -0.0417, -0.038, -0.0179, 0.0029, 0.0067, 0.0181, -0.0063, -0.0139, 0.0046, -0.021, -0.0076, 0.0004, 0.0025, 0.0013, -0.0214, -0.0718, -0.0495, -0.0634, -0.0575, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.0647, -0.0701, -0.0693, -0.042, -0.0516, -0.0533, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0735, -0.0592, -0.05, -0.0575, -0.0626, -0.05, -0.0273, -0.0155, 0.0109, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.013, -0.0034, 0.0109, 0.0042, -0.0113, -0.0067, 0.0025, -0.005, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0327, 0.0386, 0.0197, 0.0521, 0.0546, 0.0588, 0.0395, 0.0382, 0.0441, 0.0248, 0.0178, 0.003, -0.0316, -0.0046, -0.0329, -0.027, -0.0185, -0.0105, -0.0164, -0.0219, -0.0126, -0.002, -0.0105, 0.0073, -0.0164, -0.0299, -0.0426, -0.0177, -0.0236, -0.0194, 0.0001, 0.0128, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0012, 0.0314, 0.0292, 0.0356, 0.0394, 0.0512, 0.0622, 0.0766, 0.0825, 0.0462, 0.0707, 0.0986, 0.077, 0.1066, 0.1083, 0.1003, 0.1277, 0.1003, 0.1239, 0.1239, 0.1066, 0.1341, 0.1573, 0.167, 0.1489, 0.1442, 0.1375, 0.1459, 0.1806, 0.211, 0.2076, 0.2064, 0.2224, 0.2292, 0.2296, 0.1987, 0.2304, 0.2419, 0.2558, 0.2567, 0.2715, 0.2816, 0.3082, 0.3141, 0.3061, 0.3365, 0.3505, 0.3741, 0.3902, 0.3724, 0.3457, 0.3006, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.3308, 0.3444, 0.2866, 0.2709, 0.2726, 0.2722, 0.2302, 0.2319, 0.2552, 0.2085, 0.2149, 0.2378, 0.2645, 0.2786, 0.2662, 0.2747, 0.2951, 0.3295, 0.3333, 0.3172, 0.3448, 0.3329, 0.259, 0.2399, 0.228, 0.2561]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1870165143079825905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-20T17:51:30+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an event which we think could push Brent prices into the $80-85/bbl range", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Relays/adopts bullish Brent crude thesis: Iran sanctions removing 750kb/d–1mb/d could push Brent to $80-85/bbl within six months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Washington policy extraordinaire @CroftHelima: \"We have high conviction that the return to maximum pressure sanctions enforcement on Iran will be an early priority for Washington. Former and incoming Trump officials have indicated that 750 kb/d to 1 mb/d of Iranian exports can be removed from the market within a six-month period, an event which we think could push Brent prices into the $80-85/bbl range.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008226650120622958, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008226650120622958, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011045883491522024, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011045883491522024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01186854850358432, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01186854850358432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0042501395340275305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0042501395340275305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010238357924621466, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010238357924621466, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988218390593936, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988218390593936, "ret_p1w": 0.016863116073064788, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016863116073064788, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010333570868243047, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010333570868243047, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529545204821741, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529545204821741, "ret_p1m": 0.08705783193827199, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08705783193827199, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06692786950957896, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06692786950957896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020129962428693027, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020129962428693027, "ret_p3m": -0.01288733767402006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01288733767402006, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030519677766468356, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030519677766468356, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04340701544048842, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04340701544048842, "ret_p6m": 0.051549141499637186, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.051549141499637186, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03786880315361896, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03786880315361896, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013680338346018228, "bench_c_p6m": 0.013680338346018228, "ret_p1y": -0.15985746191160366, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15985746191160366, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3358849380182781, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3358849380182781, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17602747610667446, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17602747610667446, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08705783193827199, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06692786950957896, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06692786950957896, "price_path": [0.0306, 0.0071, -0.0184, -0.0132, -0.016, 0.0085, 0.0132, 0.0642, 0.0701, 0.1095, 0.0581, 0.0499, 0.0886, 0.0836, 0.062, 0.018, 0.0175, 0.0207, 0.0016, 0.0185, 0.0425, 0.0277, 0.0197, 0.0426, -0.0208, -0.025, -0.0053, 0.003, 0.0022, 0.0293, 0.0355, 0.0271, 0.0369, 0.0128, -0.0152, -0.0144, -0.009, -0.0052, -0.026, 0.0049, 0.0051, -0.0018, 0.0177, 0.0306, 0.001, -0.0018, -0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0, -0.0152, 0.0093, -0.0086, -0.0117, -0.025, -0.011, -0.0103, 0.008, 0.0064, 0.0213, 0.0133, 0.0034, 0.0062, -0.0008, 0.0, -0.0043, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0199, 0.0233, 0.041, 0.0489, 0.0461, 0.0563, 0.0441, 0.0546, 0.0935, 0.1106, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.1145, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0871, 0.0831, 0.0733, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0624, 0.0499, 0.0539, 0.0524, 0.0414, 0.0447, 0.0229, 0.0185, 0.0236, 0.0402, 0.0557, 0.0307, 0.0285, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0398, 0.0425, 0.0485, 0.0204, 0.0252, 0.0011, -0.0056, 0.0151, 0.0033, -0.0181, -0.026, -0.0499, -0.0477, -0.0354, -0.0502, -0.0463, -0.0273, -0.042, -0.0324, -0.0256, -0.0326, -0.0296, -0.0129, -0.0107, 0.0008, 0.0011, 0.0117, 0.0149, 0.0095, 0.0247, 0.0213, 0.0276, -0.0384, -0.1009, -0.1197, -0.1387, -0.1023, -0.1318, -0.1121, -0.1105, -0.1134, -0.0972, -0.0683, -0.0916, -0.0754, -0.0935, -0.0876, -0.0832, -0.0971, -0.1191, -0.1346, -0.1482, -0.1597, -0.1743, -0.1479, -0.1621, -0.1385, -0.1238, -0.1094, -0.0865, -0.0939, -0.1153, -0.1032, -0.1015, -0.1036, -0.1101, -0.1165, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1213, -0.1102, -0.1205, -0.1239, -0.1139, -0.1002, -0.1108, -0.1042, -0.0887, -0.0809, -0.0832, -0.0435, -0.0491, 0.0177, 0.004, 0.0481, 0.0515]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1839289744372408535", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-26T13:03:42+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe the current overwhelmingly bearish sentiment for oil is unjustified", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil: bearish sentiment unjustified; Saudi discipline improving, US shale flatlining, demand will grow longer/stronger than consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I believe the current overwhelmingly bearish sentiment for oil is unjustified, and is being fueled by chronically negative and biased stories that have little to no validity. Today in my opinion is a perfect example. The premise is that Saudi Arabia, under the very capable leadership of HRH ABS, is tired of losing market share and is about to \"push\" barrels onto a market that is the most bearish, as measured by net speculative length, in history. Why would they do that? US shale has been flat for 8 months, is forecasted to be flat for the next 9 months, and has entered its twilight years. I believe Saudi gets this. Compliance by the \"cheaters\" is massively improving in real-time, and lessons of March 2020 have been learned. Finally, Saudi has the ability to play the long game, given a belief which I concur with that oil demand will grow longer and stronger than consensus, thus a barrel not produced today at a low price is one that may be produced, when others cannot, at a much higher one. It is critical when a market is firmly stuck in a negative feedback loop to tune out the noise, today's FT article IMO being a classic example, and focus on the fundamentals.\n https://t.co/oNGJnkC6Dy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025977662709362193, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025977662709362193, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02992653697351455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02992653697351455, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003948874264152358, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003948874264152358, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005307330878643102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005307330878643102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0067575854846860794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0067575854846860794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502546060429777, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502546060429777, "ret_p1w": 0.08407827375355037, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08407827375355037, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09190621812647781, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09190621812647781, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827944372927442, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827944372927442, "ret_p1m": 0.062150903246808165, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.062150903246808165, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050373867489493795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050373867489493795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01177703575731437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01177703575731437, "ret_p3m": 0.02765367875879554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02765367875879554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02655527297819882, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02655527297819882, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420895173699436, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420895173699436, "ret_p6m": 0.019553094353555345, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.019553094353555345, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.010038885679732212, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.010038885679732212, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009514208673823132, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009514208673823132, "ret_p1y": -0.05097767602883618, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.05097767602883618, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2135662095184382, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2135662095184382, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.162588533489602, "bench_c_p1y": 0.162588533489602, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.062150903246808165, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.050373867489493795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.050373867489493795, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2045, 0.2198, 0.2198, 0.2087, 0.1976, 0.1824, 0.1883, 0.1927, 0.1876, 0.1851, 0.1694, 0.1883, 0.1887, 0.1541, 0.1508, 0.1314, 0.1412, 0.1504, 0.1331, 0.1142, 0.0982, 0.1274, 0.1106, 0.0728, 0.0656, 0.0682, 0.094, 0.1056, 0.1126, 0.1494, 0.127, 0.114, 0.1318, 0.1128, 0.0846, 0.0782, 0.0622, 0.0785, 0.1036, 0.1373, 0.111, 0.0985, 0.1165, 0.1006, 0.1006, 0.03, 0.0154, 0.0152, -0.0075, 0.0034, -0.0337, -0.0138, 0.0052, 0.0001, 0.0161, 0.0293, 0.0286, 0.0458, 0.0404, 0.0321, 0.0499, 0.026, 0.0, 0.0053, 0.0024, 0.0274, 0.0321, 0.0841, 0.0901, 0.1303, 0.0779, 0.0696, 0.1089, 0.1039, 0.0818, 0.037, 0.0366, 0.0398, 0.0204, 0.0376, 0.062, 0.0469, 0.0388, 0.0622, -0.0025, -0.0067, 0.0133, 0.0218, 0.0209, 0.0486, 0.0549, 0.0464, 0.0563, 0.0317, 0.0032, 0.0041, 0.0095, 0.0134, -0.0078, 0.0237, 0.0239, 0.0169, 0.0367, 0.0499, 0.0197, 0.0169, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0187, 0.0032, 0.0282, 0.0099, 0.0068, -0.0067, 0.0075, 0.0082, 0.0268, 0.0253, 0.0404, 0.0323, 0.0222, 0.025, 0.0179, 0.0187, 0.0144, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.0232, 0.0359, 0.039, 0.0425, 0.0605, 0.0686, 0.0656, 0.0761, 0.0637, 0.0743, 0.114, 0.1314, 0.1162, 0.1457, 0.1353, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1074, 0.1034, 0.0934, 0.0964, 0.0765, 0.0823, 0.0696, 0.0736, 0.0721, 0.0609, 0.0642, 0.042, 0.0376, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0754, 0.05, 0.0478, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0592, 0.062, 0.0682, 0.0395, 0.0444, 0.0198, 0.013, 0.0341, 0.0221, 0.0003, -0.0078, -0.0321, -0.0299, -0.0173, -0.0324, -0.0285, -0.0091, -0.024, -0.0142, -0.0074, -0.0145, -0.0115, 0.0056, 0.0078, 0.0196]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1796537222939688975", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-31T13:40:26+00:00", "symbol": "Brent Crude", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we see 'days of supply' hitting record lows, suggestive of $90+ Brent by YE'24", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Brent crude to $90+ by YE24 on record supply deficit, OPEC+ cuts rolling to Q4, falling US shale growth, and stronger-than-consensus demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures proxy on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Despite having absorbed 224MM net Bbls from the Strategic Political Reserve™️ over the past 1.5 years, global oil inventories now sit just 6MM Bbls away from record deficit levels.  With OPEC+ cuts likely being rolled to at least Q4'24 we see \"days of supply\" hitting record lows, suggestive of $90+ Brent by YE'24.  With US shale growth falling, \"will and intent\" winning, and demand growing longer and stronger than consensus believes...we remain bullish™️.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0029404294988164548, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029404294988164548, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011966299006897163, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011966299006897163, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009025869508080708, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009025869508080708, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03994121571341147, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03994121571341147, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.040756732415380914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.040756732415380914, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0008155167019694431, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008155167019694431, "ret_p1w": -0.02450379726413021, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02450379726413021, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03709481083675126, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03709481083675126, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012591013572621046, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012591013572621046, "ret_p1m": 0.06101440284192594, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06101440284192594, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023603537371121197, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023603537371121197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037410865470804744, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037410865470804744, "ret_p3m": -0.03638815389316441, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03638815389316441, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09845313607544626, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09845313607544626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06206498218228185, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06206498218228185, "ret_p6m": -0.10548885470004621, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10548885470004621, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24566845805709658, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24566845805709658, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14017960335705038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14017960335705038, "ret_p1y": -0.21048762223786155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21048762223786155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.33021647567875756, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.33021647567875756, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11972885344089601, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11972885344089601, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06101440284192594, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023603537371121197, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023603537371121197, "price_path": [0.0051, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0056, 0.0072, 0.0037, 0.0295, 0.0466, 0.0456, 0.0646, 0.0706, 0.0531, 0.051, 0.0467, 0.0629, 0.0567, 0.0548, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0711, 0.0894, 0.0947, 0.1106, 0.117, 0.1073, 0.0956, 0.1086, 0.0995, 0.1082, 0.1039, 0.1029, 0.0695, 0.0673, 0.0695, 0.0659, 0.0833, 0.0784, 0.0905, 0.0965, 0.0831, 0.0765, 0.0223, 0.0251, 0.0164, 0.021, 0.0189, 0.024, 0.0277, 0.0143, 0.0213, 0.0093, 0.0138, 0.0202, 0.0289, 0.0256, 0.0154, 0.0034, -0.0032, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.0319, 0.0243, 0.0029, 0.0, -0.0399, -0.0502, -0.0393, -0.0214, -0.0245, 0.0001, 0.0037, 0.012, 0.0138, 0.0123, 0.0322, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0501, 0.0444, 0.0538, 0.0415, 0.0445, 0.0584, 0.0587, 0.061, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0701, 0.0603, 0.0506, 0.0372, 0.0424, 0.0463, 0.0418, 0.0396, 0.0259, 0.0424, 0.0428, 0.0124, 0.0096, -0.0075, 0.0011, 0.0092, -0.006, -0.0225, -0.0366, -0.011, -0.0257, -0.0589, -0.0652, -0.063, -0.0403, -0.0301, -0.024, 0.0083, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0071, -0.0238, -0.0485, -0.0542, -0.0682, -0.0539, -0.0319, -0.0023, -0.0254, -0.0364, -0.0206, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0964, -0.1093, -0.1094, -0.1294, -0.1198, -0.1523, -0.1349, -0.1182, -0.1226, -0.1087, -0.097, -0.0976, -0.0826, -0.0874, -0.0946, -0.079, -0.1, -0.1228, -0.1181, -0.1207, -0.0988, -0.0946, -0.049, -0.0437, -0.0085, -0.0544, -0.0617, -0.0272, -0.0316, -0.051, -0.0903, -0.0907, -0.0878, -0.1049, -0.0898, -0.0684, -0.0816, -0.0887, -0.0682, -0.125, -0.1286, -0.1111, -0.1037, -0.1044, -0.0801, -0.0746, -0.0821, -0.0734, -0.095, -0.1199, -0.1192, -0.1144, -0.111, -0.1296, -0.1019, -0.1018, -0.1079, -0.0905, -0.079, -0.1055]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1707384289061400647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-28T13:18:30+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a sector trading at a 17% FCF yield at $90WTI with their strongest balance sheets in history + on the cusp of returning 75%-100% of said FCF back to investors is not worthy of an 'overweight'....what sector is?!?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish energy sector: 17% FCF yield, strongest balance sheets ever, 75-100% FCF return to investors — author argues it deserves overweight.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a great example of why we do our own work and don't count on others to tell us what to think. If a sector trading at a 17% FCF yield at $90WTI with their strongest balance sheets in history + on the cusp of returning 75%-100% of said FCF back to investors is not worthy of an \"overweight\"....what sector is?!?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0010839497549807176, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010839497549807176, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004679988432090609, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004679988432090609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005763938187071327, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005763938187071327, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020162721675800688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020162721675800688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01773584287073815, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01773584287073815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002426878805062538, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002426878805062538, "ret_p1w": -0.07620597486026204, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07620597486026204, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06682482564927872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06682482564927872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00938114921098332, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00938114921098332, "ret_p1m": -0.082601816800288, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.082601816800288, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040970239500256245, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040970239500256245, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04163157730003175, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04163157730003175, "ret_p3m": -0.061970340694022186, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.061970340694022186, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17645383525843372, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17645383525843372, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11448349456441154, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11448349456441154, "ret_p6m": 0.019418852183351154, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.019418852183351154, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20560970300564052, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20560970300564052, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22502855518899167, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22502855518899167, "ret_p1y": -0.03723170000290732, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03723170000290732, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.36437299385530897, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.36437299385530897, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32714129385240165, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32714129385240165, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.082601816800288, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.040970239500256245, "alpha_c_stated": -0.040970239500256245, "price_path": [-0.1245, -0.1245, -0.1294, -0.1489, -0.1306, -0.1239, -0.1046, -0.0963, -0.0998, -0.1235, -0.1253, -0.1164, -0.1113, -0.1008, -0.0929, -0.0782, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.079, -0.0762, -0.0587, -0.0631, -0.0753, -0.066, -0.0647, -0.0636, -0.059, -0.0471, -0.0472, -0.0326, -0.0367, -0.0567, -0.0649, -0.0537, -0.0443, -0.0504, -0.0577, -0.0601, -0.0665, -0.0575, -0.0511, -0.0485, -0.0438, -0.0432, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0184, -0.018, -0.0189, -0.0095, -0.0225, 0.0005, -0.007, 0.0046, -0.0099, -0.0015, -0.0108, -0.0201, -0.0335, -0.0319, -0.0197, -0.0254, -0.0011, 0.0, -0.0202, -0.0397, -0.0403, -0.0705, -0.0762, -0.0707, -0.0397, -0.0385, -0.0508, -0.0498, -0.0288, -0.0223, -0.0121, -0.0031, -0.0049, -0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0509, -0.0527, -0.0601, -0.0826, -0.0796, -0.0765, -0.0787, -0.0508, -0.0604, -0.071, -0.0916, -0.103, -0.1057, -0.0958, -0.0893, -0.0812, -0.0829, -0.1008, -0.082, -0.0807, -0.0827, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0793, -0.0826, -0.0824, -0.0892, -0.0831, -0.0784, -0.0826, -0.0986, -0.1121, -0.1182, -0.1086, -0.1075, -0.1198, -0.1075, -0.0813, -0.0862, -0.0787, -0.0677, -0.0763, -0.0727, -0.07, -0.07, -0.062, -0.0661, -0.0804, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0726, -0.0575, -0.074, -0.0732, -0.084, -0.0986, -0.1075, -0.1052, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.1167, -0.124, -0.1254, -0.1226, -0.1193, -0.1175, -0.1049, -0.0847, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0697, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0859, -0.0882, -0.0853, -0.0834, -0.074, -0.0882, -0.0782, -0.0875, -0.0883, -0.063, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.072, -0.0546, -0.053, -0.0592, -0.056, -0.06, -0.0619, -0.0573, -0.0463, -0.0565, -0.0495, -0.0465, -0.0384, -0.035, -0.0251, -0.0266, -0.0111, -0.0009, 0.0021, 0.0055, 0.017, 0.0156, 0.0216, 0.0194]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1673329412035559432", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-06-26T13:56:35+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even at the current oil price many energy stocks are attractively valued, offering investors free optionality to higher prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil on inventory draws overwhelming recession narrative; energy equities attractively valued with upside optionality even at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even with a long-awaited recession in OECD countries resulting in demand falling by 0.4MM Bbl/d (no sign of that yet!) and US willful blindness leading to Iranian production up 0.4MM Bbl/d, inventories should still end 2023 at multi-year lows. https://t.co/Kw3FbrwaB2\n\n---\n\nWe believe the magnitude of coming stock draws will overwhelm the now 1 year old \"recession, recession, recession\" narrative, ultimately leading to a price rally. https://t.co/e2jV6HHFEC\n\n---\n\nWhat is compelling to us (and maybe others at some point!) is that given the YTD sell-off, even at the current oil price many energy stocks are attractively valued, offering investors free optionality to higher prices. For now, the free cashflow builds and debt continues to fall. https://t.co/28uaQxcQN8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017650963638017436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017650963638017436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02175354388937467, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02175354388937467, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004102580251357235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004102580251357235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002285509284510878, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002285509284510878, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008677895137218394, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008677895137218394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010963404421729273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010963404421729273, "ret_p1w": 0.033142637740742664, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033142637740742664, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004517581763345158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004517581763345158, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.028625055977397507, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028625055977397507, "ret_p1m": 0.09346011217674333, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09346011217674333, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03783247510581034, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03783247510581034, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05562763707093299, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05562763707093299, "ret_p3m": 0.14054526719884386, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14054526719884386, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1371342252155212, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1371342252155212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.003411041983322649, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003411041983322649, "ret_p6m": 0.1002276932271351, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1002276932271351, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.008725870889916054, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.008725870889916054, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10895356411705115, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10895356411705115, "ret_p1y": 0.1654927276987863, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1654927276987863, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10274158682113721, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10274158682113721, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2682343145199235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2682343145199235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09346011217674333, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03783247510581034, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03783247510581034, "price_path": [0.0309, 0.0355, 0.0426, 0.0898, 0.0701, 0.0862, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0782, 0.0884, 0.0892, 0.096, 0.098, 0.085, 0.0893, 0.0855, 0.076, 0.0697, 0.0861, 0.0657, 0.0514, 0.0552, 0.0716, 0.0595, 0.0134, -0.0057, -0.0168, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0103, -0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0116, -0.0066, -0.031, -0.0124, -0.0052, 0.0025, -0.0017, 0.009, 0.0134, -0.0046, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0187, -0.0359, -0.024, 0.0057, -0.0009, 0.0071, 0.0338, 0.0294, 0.0237, 0.0139, 0.0187, 0.0083, 0.0193, 0.0178, 0.0178, -0.005, 0.0029, -0.0105, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0023, 0.0124, 0.0241, 0.0307, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0274, 0.0043, 0.0259, 0.0339, 0.0566, 0.0664, 0.0623, 0.0343, 0.0323, 0.0427, 0.0488, 0.0611, 0.0705, 0.0877, 0.0935, 0.0938, 0.0869, 0.0902, 0.1109, 0.1057, 0.0912, 0.1022, 0.1037, 0.105, 0.1105, 0.1244, 0.1243, 0.1416, 0.1368, 0.1131, 0.1035, 0.1167, 0.1277, 0.1206, 0.112, 0.1092, 0.1016, 0.1123, 0.1197, 0.1228, 0.1284, 0.1291, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.1583, 0.1589, 0.1577, 0.1689, 0.1535, 0.1807, 0.1718, 0.1855, 0.1684, 0.1783, 0.1673, 0.1564, 0.1405, 0.1425, 0.1568, 0.1501, 0.1788, 0.1801, 0.1563, 0.1333, 0.1325, 0.0969, 0.0901, 0.0967, 0.1333, 0.1347, 0.1201, 0.1214, 0.146, 0.1537, 0.1657, 0.1764, 0.1743, 0.1546, 0.1359, 0.12, 0.1179, 0.1092, 0.0826, 0.0862, 0.0898, 0.0872, 0.1201, 0.1088, 0.0963, 0.072, 0.0585, 0.0553, 0.067, 0.0747, 0.0843, 0.0822, 0.0611, 0.0834, 0.0849, 0.0825, 0.082, 0.082, 0.0864, 0.0826, 0.0829, 0.0748, 0.082, 0.0876, 0.0826, 0.0637, 0.0478, 0.0406, 0.0519, 0.0532, 0.0387, 0.0532, 0.0841, 0.0784, 0.0872, 0.1002]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1757451523041173733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-13T17:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian oil companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why should it shine a light on low-decline, long-dated reserve life Canadian oil companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on low-decline, long-dated Canadian oil producers as shale consolidation improves oil macro.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Canadian oil sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why are we seeing US shale consolidation, why is it very positive for the oil macro, and why should it shine a light on low-decline, long-dated reserve life Canadian oil companies? Hear the answers in this 7 minute interview on @BNNBloomberg: \nhttps://t.co/0jOM4JPRBU https://t.co/iKb7gXzb7s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01645833364456184, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01645833364456184, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002492834797458432, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002492834797458432, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013965498847103408, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013965498847103408, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009087735200443259, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009087735200443259, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009087735200443259, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009087735200443259, "ret_p1w": 0.04081646372525549, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04081646372525549, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035392065095136926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035392065095136926, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005424398630118565, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005424398630118565, "ret_p1m": 0.1507574534267353, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1507574534267353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10645272927050198, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10645272927050198, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430472415623332, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430472415623332, "ret_p3m": 0.2586646378636943, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2586646378636943, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2012279808504589, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2012279808504589, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057436657013235415, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057436657013235415, "ret_p6m": 0.16555246831885362, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16555246831885362, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10914466300849113, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10914466300849113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05640780531036249, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05640780531036249, "ret_p1y": 0.1685986605717471, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1685986605717471, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06508776312361331, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06508776312361331, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2336864236953604, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2336864236953604, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1507574534267353, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10645272927050198, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10645272927050198, "price_path": [0.0649, 0.0944, 0.097, 0.0865, 0.0702, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.0564, 0.0649, 0.0734, 0.0774, 0.0787, 0.0604, 0.0479, 0.0054, 0.0002, 0.0146, 0.0022, -0.02, 0.0041, 0.0211, -0.0031, 0.0113, 0.0264, 0.0153, 0.0224, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0309, 0.0184, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.027, 0.0612, 0.0474, 0.054, 0.0349, 0.0329, 0.0237, 0.0316, 0.0369, 0.0441, 0.0138, -0.0013, -0.0066, -0.0079, -0.0066, -0.0007, 0.0151, 0.0303, 0.0349, 0.0244, 0.0408, 0.0283, 0.0145, -0.0079, -0.0138, -0.0072, -0.0072, 0.0046, 0.0046, 0.0165, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0428, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.0408, 0.0704, 0.0797, 0.0777, 0.0829, 0.0876, 0.0902, 0.1113, 0.1343, 0.1211, 0.133, 0.1356, 0.1317, 0.1244, 0.1271, 0.1303, 0.1508, 0.1652, 0.1639, 0.1738, 0.1797, 0.1777, 0.181, 0.1806, 0.2037, 0.1945, 0.2031, 0.2137, 0.2137, 0.2276, 0.2415, 0.26, 0.2673, 0.2831, 0.2798, 0.2845, 0.309, 0.2831, 0.2699, 0.2481, 0.256, 0.254, 0.2481, 0.2554, 0.26, 0.2653, 0.2686, 0.2779, 0.2805, 0.2884, 0.2507, 0.2295, 0.2322, 0.2309, 0.2527, 0.258, 0.264, 0.2745, 0.2587, 0.2567, 0.2448, 0.2468, 0.2474, 0.2606, 0.2606, 0.2712, 0.256, 0.2494, 0.258, 0.262, 0.2798, 0.256, 0.2613, 0.2779, 0.2209, 0.1991, 0.2031, 0.2137, 0.2051, 0.2209, 0.217, 0.2084, 0.1707, 0.1647, 0.166, 0.1852, 0.1832, 0.1885, 0.1733, 0.213, 0.2063, 0.2023, 0.2177, 0.2163, 0.2163, 0.2337, 0.2417, 0.2437, 0.215, 0.2163, 0.197, 0.2123, 0.2284, 0.2257, 0.2464, 0.231, 0.2284, 0.2284, 0.217, 0.2264, 0.2097, 0.2023, 0.2103, 0.2157, 0.2036, 0.2077, 0.2451, 0.2077, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1508, 0.1656]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1668690042917724160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-13T18:41:23+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy mid-cap", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm happy to be going against the herd on this one", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long mid-cap Canadian energy stocks as a contrarian play; rock-solid balance sheets, high FCF yields, growing buybacks/dividends despite record-low search interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy basket: Baytex, Whitecap, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interest in mid-cap Canadian energy stocks at a new low, as measured by Bloomberg search interest according to @JeremyMcCreaCFA. Definitely matches the mood right now, and is odd considering rock solid balance sheets, high free cash flow yields, and growing buybacks and dividends. I'm happy to be going against the herd on this one.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017381468079818607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017381468079818607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010831744168431301, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01268599262927722, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006549723911387306, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0046954754505413865, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023578487113062985, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023578487113062985, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024769339403657997, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013322719712113074, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011908522905950125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010255767400949911, "ret_p1w": -0.033582560990559174, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033582560990559174, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03849245725851508, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01035506581305451, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004909896267955904, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023227495177504665, "ret_p1m": 0.0824944692797811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0824944692797811, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057264770671372256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03566756625211265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025229698608408846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046826903027668454, "ret_p3m": 0.27697200415980805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27697200415980805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.252891615638529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12955103872107676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024080388521279028, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1474209654387313, "ret_p6m": 0.0818348181126656, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0818348181126656, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03282794549253645, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.053276332090366224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04900687262012915, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02855848602229938, "ret_p1y": 0.4015420750747074, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4015420750747074, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.18737553005697571, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23930686535982448, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2141665450177317, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16223520971488292, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0824944692797811, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.057264770671372256, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03566756625211265, "price_path": [-0.025, -0.0527, -0.0345, 0.0024, -0.0047, -0.012, -0.0076, 0.0324, 0.0432, 0.0526, 0.0578, 0.0564, 0.1162, 0.098, 0.0934, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0943, 0.1151, 0.11, 0.1115, 0.1218, 0.118, 0.1277, 0.1171, 0.0872, 0.0922, 0.1124, 0.0901, 0.0642, 0.066, 0.0966, 0.0816, 0.0193, -0.0024, 0.0052, 0.0455, 0.0333, 0.0321, 0.0131, -0.0059, -0.0088, 0.0089, -0.0133, 0.0098, 0.0243, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0427, 0.0365, 0.0047, 0.0017, 0.0138, -0.0144, -0.0344, -0.0198, 0.0171, 0.0096, 0.0135, 0.0285, 0.0167, 0.0167, -0.0174, 0.0, -0.0236, -0.012, -0.0154, -0.0135, -0.0336, -0.026, -0.0554, -0.058, -0.0397, -0.0519, -0.0372, -0.0162, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0058, 0.007, -0.0057, 0.0283, 0.0365, 0.0728, 0.0825, 0.0952, 0.069, 0.0552, 0.0956, 0.0973, 0.0985, 0.1122, 0.1326, 0.1312, 0.1365, 0.1188, 0.1651, 0.1617, 0.1633, 0.1755, 0.2055, 0.2102, 0.2102, 0.2179, 0.233, 0.2228, 0.2373, 0.222, 0.1944, 0.1922, 0.2069, 0.2129, 0.2124, 0.2048, 0.1853, 0.1673, 0.1835, 0.2021, 0.2108, 0.2219, 0.2275, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2843, 0.2862, 0.2735, 0.277, 0.2591, 0.2903, 0.2799, 0.3105, 0.3105, 0.2931, 0.2737, 0.2567, 0.2356, 0.2407, 0.2701, 0.28, 0.318, 0.3145, 0.3391, 0.2789, 0.2803, 0.2244, 0.2284, 0.2551, 0.2551, 0.2858, 0.2866, 0.2875, 0.3271, 0.3232, 0.3256, 0.3338, 0.3585, 0.346, 0.3182, 0.3021, 0.3238, 0.3074, 0.3082, 0.2981, 0.3101, 0.3247, 0.3465, 0.3348, 0.3036, 0.2481, 0.2033, 0.2143, 0.2474, 0.2431, 0.2483, 0.2269, 0.1957, 0.2221, 0.231, 0.2205, 0.1947, 0.2056, 0.2078, 0.1893, 0.1925, 0.2041, 0.2024, 0.1999, 0.1564, 0.1219, 0.0818]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992978394334552358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T15:27:31+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish on natural gas stocks given the meaningful increase in forecasted demand (45Bcf/d over the next 10 years) and attractive free cashflow yields at the marginal cost of supply and strip ($4/mcf)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Remain bullish on natural gas equities on 45Bcf/d demand growth over 10 years and attractive FCF yields at $4/mcf.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"We remain bullish\"™️on natural gas stocks given the meaningful increase in forecasted demand (45Bcf/d over the next 10 years) and attractive free cashflow yields at the marginal cost of supply and strip ($4/mcf).\n\nDisclaimer: https://t.co/WVA6oG8CCO\n\nThe Fund is generally exposed to the following risks: Active management risk; Concentration risk; Credit risk; Currency risk; Cybersecurity risk; Derivatives risk; Energy risk; Exchange traded funds risk; Foreign investment risk; Inflation risk; Interest rate risk; Liquidity risk; Market risk; Performance fee risk; Regulatory risk; Rule 144A and other exempted securities risk; Securities lending, repurchase and reverse repurchase transactions risk; Series risk; Short selling risk; Small capitalization natural resource company risk; Specific issuer risk; Tax risk; Absence of an active market for ETF Series risk; Halted trading of ETF Series risk; Trading price of ETF Series risk.\n\nThe information contained herein does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in the United States or in any other jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation. Prospective investors who are not resident in Canada should contact their financial advisor to determine whether securities of the Funds may be lawfully sold in their jurisdiction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009212692292280389, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009212692292280389, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0052923226056872386, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0052923226056872386, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00753762795248869, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00753762795248869, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01694352760459561, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01694352760459561, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00940589965210692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00940589965210692, "ret_p1w": 0.036013479364086276, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036013479364086276, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018756785375529272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018756785375529272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256693988557004, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256693988557004, "ret_p1m": -0.012969428419638884, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012969428419638884, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04476537495713373, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04476537495713373, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.14598427278261994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14598427278261994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1225421295019975, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1225421295019975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02344214328062244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02344214328062244, "ret_p6m": 0.27873760546102977, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27873760546102977, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16177105032221073, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16177105032221073, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11696655513881904, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11696655513881904, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0113, 0.0016, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.0137, -0.0187, -0.0088, -0.0308, -0.0412, -0.0445, -0.0158, -0.02, -0.0287, -0.0375, -0.0084, -0.0117, -0.0179, -0.0441, -0.0404, -0.0204, 0.0004, 0.0042, 0.0155, -0.0088, -0.0163, 0.0021, -0.0235, -0.0101, -0.0021, 0.0, -0.0013, -0.0239, -0.0741, -0.0519, -0.0657, -0.0599, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.067, -0.0724, -0.0716, -0.0444, -0.054, -0.0557, -0.0745, -0.0729, -0.0758, -0.0616, -0.0523, -0.0599, -0.0649, -0.0523, -0.0297, -0.018, 0.0084, -0.0025, -0.0008, 0.0105, -0.0059, 0.0084, 0.0017, -0.0138, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0302, 0.036, 0.0172, 0.0494, 0.0519, 0.0561, 0.0369, 0.0356, 0.0415, 0.0222, 0.0153, 0.0005, -0.0341, -0.0071, -0.0353, -0.0294, -0.021, -0.013, -0.0189, -0.0244, -0.0151, -0.0045, -0.013, 0.0047, -0.0189, -0.0324, -0.045, -0.0201, -0.026, -0.0218, -0.0024, 0.0102, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.0037, 0.0288, 0.0267, 0.033, 0.0368, 0.0486, 0.0596, 0.0739, 0.0798, 0.0435, 0.068, 0.0958, 0.0743, 0.1038, 0.1055, 0.0975, 0.1249, 0.0975, 0.1211, 0.1211, 0.1038, 0.1312, 0.1544, 0.1641, 0.146, 0.1413, 0.1346, 0.143, 0.1776, 0.208, 0.2046, 0.2033, 0.2193, 0.2261, 0.2265, 0.1957, 0.2274, 0.2387, 0.2527, 0.2535, 0.2683, 0.2784, 0.3049, 0.3108, 0.3028, 0.3332, 0.3471, 0.3707, 0.3867, 0.369, 0.3423, 0.2974, 0.3198, 0.3198, 0.3274, 0.341, 0.2834, 0.2677, 0.2694, 0.269, 0.2271, 0.2288, 0.2521, 0.2055, 0.2118, 0.2347, 0.2614, 0.2753, 0.2631, 0.2715, 0.2919, 0.3262, 0.33, 0.3139, 0.3414, 0.3296, 0.2559, 0.2368, 0.2249, 0.2529, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2728, 0.3046, 0.3181, 0.3338, 0.302, 0.2787]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028200815987757120", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T20:08:51+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "massive rotation out of tech/software into hard assets like energy (32% of the S&P500 now chasing <6%), with the energy sector still out-of-favour and under-owned", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil on enduring geopolitical risk premium; long under-owned energy sector, especially Canadian long-life/high-FCF names over tech/software.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My typical playbook is to sell geopolitical spikes. This time feels different. Iran striking its regional neighbours was unexpected and massively escalatory, putting oil infrastructure at risk and making insurance on vessels through the Strait for now uneconomic. Without decisive regime change it’s reasonable to expect an enduring risk premium in the oil price, greater than what we've historically seen, and especially with the “twilight of shale” and rapid OPEC spare capacity exhaustion happening in real-time. For equities this is coinciding with a massive rotation out of tech/software into hard assets like energy (32% of the S&P500 now chasing <6%), with the energy sector still out-of-favour and under-owned. What to own? Long-life, high margin, low growth, high free cashflow assets in politically safe jurisdictions 🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01963544869716749, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01963544869716749, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019067193012961114, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019067193012961114, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009116475152319281, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009116475152319281, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0003021366695236116, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003021366695236116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.01262275479091024, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01262275479091024, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008071738673953721, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008071738673953721, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": 0.08100018901922179, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08100018901922179, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13091993059440554, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13091993059440554, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.0049455317686921685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0049455317686921685, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09744784739721579, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09744784739721579, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08100018901922179, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13091993059440554, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13091993059440554, "price_path": [-0.2063, -0.2165, -0.2018, -0.1985, -0.2018, -0.2104, -0.2056, -0.1972, -0.2011, -0.2089, -0.2144, -0.2384, -0.2216, -0.2329, -0.2329, -0.2249, -0.2198, -0.2221, -0.2251, -0.2177, -0.2118, -0.2162, -0.1997, -0.1779, -0.1999, -0.2088, -0.1839, -0.1818, -0.1876, -0.176, -0.1574, -0.1653, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1655, -0.1453, -0.1425, -0.1376, -0.1371, -0.1292, -0.1225, -0.1145, -0.105, -0.1225, -0.0941, -0.0738, -0.0847, -0.0664, -0.0596, -0.0607, -0.0361, -0.0536, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0577, -0.0396, -0.0326, -0.0379, -0.0331, -0.034, -0.038, -0.0349, -0.0196, 0.0, -0.0091, -0.0149, -0.0098, -0.0082, -0.0126, -0.0252, -0.0011, 0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0151, 0.0258, 0.0244, 0.0407, 0.0398, 0.0522, 0.0736, 0.0688, 0.0856, 0.1039, 0.0934, 0.081, 0.0406, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0531, 0.0616, 0.0244, 0.0117, 0.0048, 0.0078, -0.0127, -0.0161, -0.0016, -0.0291, -0.0282, -0.0141, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0035, 0.0018, 0.0184, 0.0416, 0.0526, 0.0385, 0.048, 0.0491, 0.0058, -0.0127, -0.0171, 0.0088, 0.0159, 0.0169, 0.0247, 0.0489, 0.069, 0.0815, 0.0552, 0.0434, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0208, 0.0057, 0.0049, -0.0067, 0.0111, 0.0228, 0.036, 0.0367, 0.0177, 0.0293, 0.0127, 0.0279, 0.0079, 0.0155, -0.0198, -0.0231, -0.0353, -0.0353, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028200815987757120", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-01T20:08:51+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long-life, high margin, low growth, high free cashflow assets in politically safe jurisdictions 🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil on enduring geopolitical risk premium; long under-owned energy sector, especially Canadian long-life/high-FCF names over tech/software.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My typical playbook is to sell geopolitical spikes. This time feels different. Iran striking its regional neighbours was unexpected and massively escalatory, putting oil infrastructure at risk and making insurance on vessels through the Strait for now uneconomic. Without decisive regime change it’s reasonable to expect an enduring risk premium in the oil price, greater than what we've historically seen, and especially with the “twilight of shale” and rapid OPEC spare capacity exhaustion happening in real-time. For equities this is coinciding with a massive rotation out of tech/software into hard assets like energy (32% of the S&P500 now chasing <6%), with the energy sector still out-of-favour and under-owned. What to own? Long-life, high margin, low growth, high free cashflow assets in politically safe jurisdictions 🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017069061373416128, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017069061373416128, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016500805689209752, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016500805689209752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004163191547401968, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004163191547401968, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004651146935393702, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004651146935393702, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.00999164373314354, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00999164373314354, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021807224656658408, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021807224656658408, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": 0.13569864639343754, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13569864639343754, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1856183879686213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1856183879686213, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.10511725061721156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10511725061721156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0027238714513035944, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0027238714513035944, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13569864639343754, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1856183879686213, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1856183879686213, "price_path": [-0.1788, -0.1916, -0.1734, -0.1714, -0.1763, -0.1833, -0.1932, -0.1912, -0.1974, -0.1941, -0.2044, -0.2337, -0.2225, -0.2337, -0.2262, -0.2213, -0.2151, -0.2163, -0.2163, -0.2089, -0.1986, -0.1998, -0.1861, -0.214, -0.2202, -0.2319, -0.2182, -0.2032, -0.1994, -0.1778, -0.157, -0.1653, -0.157, -0.1524, -0.1624, -0.1336, -0.1449, -0.1349, -0.1307, -0.1216, -0.1124, -0.102, -0.1099, -0.1199, -0.1037, -0.0883, -0.1003, -0.0837, -0.0803, -0.0808, -0.0533, -0.0687, -0.052, -0.052, -0.0583, -0.0375, -0.0162, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0296, -0.0362, -0.0283, -0.0171, 0.0, -0.0042, 0.0008, 0.0096, 0.0054, 0.01, 0.0054, 0.0312, 0.0529, 0.0554, 0.0616, 0.0724, 0.0808, 0.1095, 0.1041, 0.0908, 0.1095, 0.1191, 0.1173, 0.1487, 0.1428, 0.1357, 0.0934, 0.116, 0.116, 0.1235, 0.1365, 0.0858, 0.0678, 0.0846, 0.0934, 0.0666, 0.0611, 0.072, 0.0209, 0.0285, 0.0465, 0.0611, 0.0804, 0.0653, 0.0905, 0.1131, 0.1424, 0.152, 0.1403, 0.1554, 0.1701, 0.1127, 0.0984, 0.0993, 0.1173, 0.1441, 0.1399, 0.1533, 0.1759, 0.1759, 0.2031, 0.1755, 0.1747, 0.173, 0.1349, 0.1365, 0.1101, 0.1051, 0.0913, 0.1152, 0.1416, 0.155, 0.1625, 0.1143, 0.1332, 0.0976, 0.1143, 0.1131, 0.1085, 0.0796, 0.059, 0.0435, 0.0435, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1669695919661432832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-16T13:18:23+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian small cap oil", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": "small/mid cap energy", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When sentiment improves, this is the hunting ground for multi-baggers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian small/mid-cap energy: extreme valuation dislocation (1x EV/CF at $70 WTI) sets up multi-bagger potential when sentiment turns.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATH.TO", "BTE.TO", "WCP.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian small/mid cap energy: ATH, BTE, WCP", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just how broken is the small/mid cap energy sector at the moment? A Canadian small cap oil company just sold 20% of their production for almost 50% of their market cap. Pro-forma it now trades at 1x EV/cashflow at $70WTI. When sentiment improves, this is the hunting ground for multi-baggers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007906343606516172, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007906343606516172, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004488531498037037, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006422190679048997, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0034178121084791346, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001484152927467175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023454017621498866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023454017621498866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023454017621498866, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023454017621498866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07081201336447236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07081201336447236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056590038338125884, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03595397801217022, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014221975026346478, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03485803535230214, "ret_p1m": 0.0746945630786231, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0746945630786231, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04879926928899292, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06052197417431526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02589529378963018, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014172588904307837, "ret_p3m": 0.32460607916564593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32460607916564593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30856383052740005, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17332235346532093, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016042248638245882, "bench_c_p3m": 0.151283725700325, "ret_p6m": 0.10171308957578389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10171308957578389, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.046737634295286365, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0669856172351158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05497545528049752, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034727472340668086, "ret_p1y": 0.3035631702399917, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3035631702399917, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.08830398867147338, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.15375256983427876, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2152591815685183, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14981060040571292, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0746945630786231, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04879926928899292, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06052197417431526, "price_path": [0.0612, 0.0556, 0.0502, 0.0571, 0.112, 0.1259, 0.143, 0.1454, 0.1386, 0.2067, 0.1865, 0.18, 0.169, 0.169, 0.1754, 0.19, 0.1883, 0.1905, 0.2059, 0.1995, 0.2111, 0.1961, 0.1606, 0.1703, 0.1928, 0.1608, 0.1306, 0.1348, 0.1638, 0.1475, 0.0762, 0.0511, 0.0545, 0.0858, 0.0735, 0.0687, 0.0455, 0.0196, 0.0159, 0.0352, 0.0106, 0.0383, 0.051, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.0731, 0.0685, 0.0324, 0.0327, 0.0465, 0.0147, -0.0058, 0.0158, 0.0552, 0.0469, 0.0466, 0.0585, 0.046, 0.0439, 0.0026, 0.0229, -0.0024, 0.0079, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.0238, -0.0168, -0.0578, -0.0708, -0.0503, -0.0587, -0.0351, -0.01, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0131, 0.0156, 0.0004, 0.0364, 0.0466, 0.0901, 0.0973, 0.1219, 0.0946, 0.0747, 0.1177, 0.1118, 0.116, 0.136, 0.1589, 0.1544, 0.159, 0.1366, 0.1923, 0.1881, 0.1938, 0.2107, 0.2405, 0.2477, 0.2477, 0.257, 0.2706, 0.2546, 0.2733, 0.2532, 0.2229, 0.2221, 0.2357, 0.2447, 0.2476, 0.2398, 0.2235, 0.2026, 0.221, 0.238, 0.2445, 0.2596, 0.2638, 0.3152, 0.3152, 0.3306, 0.3346, 0.3211, 0.3221, 0.2992, 0.3321, 0.3246, 0.358, 0.356, 0.3363, 0.3099, 0.2994, 0.2761, 0.2808, 0.3109, 0.3205, 0.3657, 0.3566, 0.3914, 0.3234, 0.3256, 0.2627, 0.2666, 0.2892, 0.2892, 0.3193, 0.32, 0.3184, 0.3668, 0.3648, 0.3693, 0.3732, 0.4004, 0.3855, 0.3535, 0.3395, 0.3621, 0.3419, 0.3434, 0.3312, 0.3397, 0.3551, 0.3762, 0.3509, 0.3228, 0.261, 0.2114, 0.2281, 0.2667, 0.2586, 0.2623, 0.239, 0.2053, 0.2377, 0.2455, 0.2324, 0.2041, 0.2157, 0.2181, 0.1939, 0.1933, 0.2074, 0.206, 0.1927, 0.1474, 0.1092, 0.0644, 0.1028, 0.1242, 0.1017]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960700282465050628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T13:45:50+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "valuations relative to other sub-indices are extremely compelling", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy sector on extremely compelling valuations vs other sub-indices despite miserable sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment towards the energy sector remains miserable, while valuations relative to other sub-indices are extremely compelling. The only upside from this? Canadian energy companies YTD have been able to buy back $4.8BN of stock at attractive prices. https://t.co/8Er3TszGsL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014500931807181594, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014500931807181594, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012227598345658675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012227598345658675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022733334615229195, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022733334615229195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004461707536523862, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004461707536523862, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009202496141347272, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009202496141347272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541457922389135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541457922389135, "ret_p1w": -0.006692779769631008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006692779769631008, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002223407326560012, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002223407326560012, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "ret_p1m": 0.0628621669244005, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0628621669244005, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042379986443312756, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042379986443312756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "ret_p3m": 0.11022578232534208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11022578232534208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07318145089498862, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07318145089498862, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "ret_p6m": 0.32949818297326505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32949818297326505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26814330973716416, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26814330973716416, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06135487323610089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06135487323610089, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0628621669244005, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042379986443312756, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042379986443312756, "price_path": [-0.1032, -0.0861, -0.0734, -0.0861, -0.0828, -0.0701, -0.0657, -0.0541, -0.0331, -0.0276, 0.0028, -0.005, 0.0121, 0.0017, 0.0094, 0.0055, -0.0281, -0.0425, -0.0474, -0.0441, -0.0485, -0.0535, -0.0535, -0.0396, -0.0435, -0.0452, -0.0519, -0.0318, -0.0323, -0.0363, -0.0245, -0.0268, -0.0351, -0.0463, -0.0418, -0.0407, -0.0502, -0.0441, -0.034, -0.0251, -0.0296, -0.0106, -0.0011, -0.0039, -0.0156, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0284, -0.0323, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.048, -0.0435, -0.0446, -0.0424, -0.0452, -0.048, -0.0552, -0.0485, -0.0329, -0.0112, -0.0061, -0.0145, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.01, -0.0067, -0.0022, -0.019, -0.0184, -0.0039, 0.0156, 0.0112, 0.0117, 0.0212, 0.0474, 0.0429, 0.0418, 0.0218, 0.0346, 0.0468, 0.0595, 0.0629, 0.0651, 0.0505, 0.0352, 0.0335, 0.0268, 0.0375, 0.051, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0533, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0166, 0.0138, -0.0054, -0.0071, -0.0014, -0.0076, 0.0059, 0.0262, 0.0279, 0.033, 0.0211, 0.0319, 0.0285, 0.033, 0.0364, 0.0245, 0.0459, 0.0499, 0.055, 0.0702, 0.0871, 0.0882, 0.0792, 0.1029, 0.0989, 0.1192, 0.1232, 0.1181, 0.1091, 0.1102, 0.1046, 0.1057, 0.1097, 0.1204, 0.1226, 0.1052, 0.13, 0.1328, 0.126, 0.1164, 0.1029, 0.1057, 0.0973, 0.1018, 0.0877, 0.0476, 0.0629, 0.0476, 0.0578, 0.0646, 0.073, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0815, 0.0956, 0.0939, 0.1127, 0.0745, 0.066, 0.0501, 0.0688, 0.0893, 0.0944, 0.124, 0.1525, 0.1411, 0.1525, 0.1588, 0.1451, 0.1844, 0.169, 0.1827, 0.1884, 0.2009, 0.2134, 0.2276, 0.2168, 0.2032, 0.2253, 0.2464, 0.2299, 0.2527, 0.2572, 0.2566, 0.2942, 0.2732, 0.2959, 0.2959, 0.2874, 0.3158, 0.3449, 0.3295, 0.3295]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1875194729308250541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-03T14:57:17+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should lead to the elimination of the Canadian political risk discount in our energy stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Canadian energy stocks as energy-literate PM frontrunner should remove political risk discount.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s refreshing to hear such an energy-literate politician, especially when that person is likely to become Canada’s next Prime Minister in the coming months which should lead to the elimination of the Canadian political risk discount in our energy stocks. https://t.co/Q5YG1BvcMA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006289361243126845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006289361243126845, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006059706433906409, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006059706433906409, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012349067677033254, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012349067677033254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009148130711168045, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009148130711168045, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033874640215580953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033874640215580953, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576066668960995, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576066668960995, "ret_p1w": 0.038307761721017464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038307761721017464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05766751818533156, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05766751818533156, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019359756464314093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019359756464314093, "ret_p1m": -0.02287015574432849, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02287015574432849, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03270212871539879, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03270212871539879, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009831972971070302, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009831972971070302, "ret_p3m": 0.030020842153440697, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030020842153440697, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07349033444885888, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07349033444885888, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04346949229541819, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04346949229541819, "ret_p6m": -0.012038370360015427, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.012038370360015427, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06168705138795405, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06168705138795405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.049648681027938624, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049648681027938624, "ret_p1y": 0.1182986900993328, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1182986900993328, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06167813166665859, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06167813166665859, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1799768217659914, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1799768217659914, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02287015574432849, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03270212871539879, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03270212871539879, "price_path": [0.0497, 0.0259, 0.0299, 0.0525, 0.0548, 0.0548, 0.0039, -0.0001, 0.0112, 0.0067, 0.0106, 0.0112, 0.0005, 0.0055, 0.0191, 0.0022, -0.0052, -0.0018, -0.0137, -0.0227, -0.0097, -0.0097, 0.0089, 0.0146, 0.0039, 0.0027, -0.0086, -0.0001, 0.0225, 0.0112, 0.0214, 0.018, 0.0282, 0.0474, 0.0525, 0.0338, 0.0106, 0.0112, 0.0174, 0.018, 0.0112, 0.0186, -0.0035, 0.005, -0.0148, -0.0103, -0.0177, -0.0046, -0.0216, -0.0222, -0.0397, -0.0465, -0.0635, -0.0708, -0.0703, -0.051, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0377, -0.0217, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0263, 0.0269, 0.028, 0.0383, 0.0194, 0.0212, 0.024, 0.0057, 0.0149, 0.0326, 0.024, 0.0217, 0.0206, 0.0091, -0.0023, -0.012, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0189, -0.0229, -0.0126, -0.008, -0.02, -0.016, 0.0051, 0.0189, -0.004, -0.0006, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0006, 0.0074, 0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0189, -0.0349, -0.04, -0.0395, -0.0372, -0.0852, -0.0955, -0.1023, -0.0966, -0.0766, -0.0783, -0.0709, -0.056, -0.0629, -0.0446, -0.0309, -0.0274, -0.0114, -0.0051, -0.0046, 0.0103, 0.0143, 0.0202, 0.0127, 0.0024, 0.0156, 0.0225, 0.03, -0.0426, -0.1255, -0.1428, -0.1831, -0.114, -0.1722, -0.1486, -0.1428, -0.1399, -0.1232, -0.1042, -0.1128, -0.0944, -0.1002, -0.091, -0.0921, -0.0881, -0.0956, -0.1163, -0.1088, -0.1007, -0.1244, -0.1146, -0.1128, -0.0875, -0.0696, -0.042, -0.0253, -0.0322, -0.0443, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0472, -0.0495, -0.0518, -0.0477, -0.0426, -0.042, -0.0483, -0.0477, -0.0639, -0.046, -0.0328, -0.046, -0.0426, -0.0293, -0.0247, -0.0126, 0.0093, 0.015, 0.0467, 0.0387, 0.0565, 0.0456, 0.0536, 0.0496, 0.0145, -0.0005, -0.0056, -0.0021, -0.0068, -0.012, -0.012]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1775170412889923826", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T14:36:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With Summer demand approaching we believe Saudi will begin to bring back curtailed volumes in 2H'24, and the market narrative will again gradually switch to falling spare capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish oil: OPEC+ cuts working, summer demand + Saudi volume return in 2H24 will shift narrative to falling spare capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BZ=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Brent crude futures as global oil commodity proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "YTD global oil inventories have risen by 4MM Bbls. Last year they rose by 95MM Bbls. That is a 1MM Bbl/d YOY swing. OPEC+/Saudi cuts are working! With Summer demand approaching we believe Saudi will begin to bring back curtailed volumes in 2H'24, and the market narrative will again gradually switch to falling spare capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016869096163835362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016869096163835362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023267922776504912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023267922776504912, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00639882661266955, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00639882661266955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004835810998992551, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004835810998992551, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0037372063847085357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0037372063847085357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010986046142840156, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010986046142840156, "ret_p1w": 0.005623032054611787, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005623032054611787, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004697888155723362, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004697888155723362, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009251438988884253, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009251438988884253, "ret_p1m": -0.0616283832701755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0616283832701755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025991273931843528, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025991273931843528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.035637109338331974, "bench_c_p1m": -0.035637109338331974, "ret_p3m": -0.02822755913767594, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02822755913767594, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08052846521836865, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08052846521836865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05230090608069271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05230090608069271, "ret_p6m": -0.1738641408325169, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1738641408325169, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27947116958843543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27947116958843543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560702875591854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10560702875591854, "ret_p1y": -0.18848397269411155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18848397269411155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.28932062090047717, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.28932062090047717, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10083664820636562, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10083664820636562, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0616283832701755, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025991273931843528, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025991273931843528, "price_path": [-0.1274, -0.1143, -0.1439, -0.1274, -0.1363, -0.1294, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.1242, -0.1104, -0.1165, -0.0996, -0.1054, -0.0999, -0.073, -0.0604, -0.0733, -0.068, -0.0811, -0.1149, -0.1303, -0.1229, -0.1162, -0.1092, -0.082, -0.0757, -0.0778, -0.0692, -0.0823, -0.0682, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.074, -0.0662, -0.059, -0.0821, -0.0719, -0.0593, -0.0589, -0.0596, -0.0604, -0.0688, -0.0774, -0.067, -0.067, -0.0769, -0.0755, -0.0787, -0.055, -0.0394, -0.0403, -0.0228, -0.0173, -0.0334, -0.0353, -0.0392, -0.0244, -0.03, -0.0318, -0.0162, -0.0162, -0.0169, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0195, 0.0253, 0.0164, 0.0056, 0.0175, 0.0092, 0.0172, 0.0133, 0.0124, -0.0183, -0.0204, -0.0183, -0.0216, -0.0056, -0.0101, 0.001, 0.0065, -0.0058, -0.0119, -0.0616, -0.059, -0.067, -0.0629, -0.0648, -0.0601, -0.0567, -0.0689, -0.0625, -0.0735, -0.0694, -0.0635, -0.0556, -0.0586, -0.0679, -0.0789, -0.085, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0529, -0.0598, -0.0794, -0.0821, -0.1188, -0.1282, -0.1182, -0.1018, -0.1046, -0.082, -0.0787, -0.0711, -0.0694, -0.0709, -0.0525, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0361, -0.0414, -0.0327, -0.044, -0.0413, -0.0285, -0.0282, -0.0261, -0.0301, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0268, -0.0357, -0.0479, -0.0432, -0.0396, -0.0437, -0.0458, -0.0584, -0.0432, -0.0428, -0.0707, -0.0733, -0.089, -0.0811, -0.0737, -0.0876, -0.1028, -0.1157, -0.0922, -0.1057, -0.1362, -0.1419, -0.1399, -0.1191, -0.1098, -0.1041, -0.0744, -0.0926, -0.103, -0.0886, -0.1039, -0.1266, -0.1318, -0.1447, -0.1316, -0.1113, -0.0842, -0.1054, -0.1155, -0.101, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1706, -0.1824, -0.1825, -0.2009, -0.1921, -0.2219, -0.2059, -0.1906, -0.1947, -0.1818, -0.1712, -0.1717, -0.1579, -0.1623, -0.1689, -0.1546, -0.1739]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991884652685279300", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-21T15:01:23+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we much prefer exposure to natural gas and still find compelling value there", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotating away from Canadian oil equities (XEG broadly fair at $60 WTI) into natural gas where compelling value remains.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The performance of Canadian oil stocks YTD has been spectacular, with oil down 19% YTD yet the XEG up 16%, outperforming its US peer by ~20%. Given this and now broadly fair valuations at $60WTI, we much prefer exposure to natural gas and still find compelling value there. https://t.co/c9ZKD9R8qs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015699627865205512, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015699627865205512, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00583665218850149, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00583665218850149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009862975676704022, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009862975676704022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016382237362968732, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016382237362968732, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031100744425149207, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031100744425149207, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014718507062180475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014718507062180475, "ret_p1w": 0.005460745787656318, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005460745787656318, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03150261675002497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03150261675002497, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03696336253768129, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03696336253768129, "ret_p1m": -0.1911262327624177, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1911262327624177, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23334526024971214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23334526024971214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04221902748729445, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04221902748729445, "ret_p3m": -0.18020474118710517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18020474118710517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22942433636855075, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22942433636855075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049219595181445586, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049219595181445586, "ret_p6m": -0.2156996539040954, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2156996539040954, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34686308229243545, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34686308229243545, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13116342838834005, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13116342838834005, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1911262327624177, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23334526024971214, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23334526024971214, "price_path": [-0.1829, -0.1679, -0.142, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1276, -0.1085, -0.1058, -0.1167, -0.1017, -0.0949, -0.1208, -0.1522, -0.1461, -0.1188, -0.0976, -0.1058, -0.1352, -0.142, -0.1706, -0.1563, -0.1563, -0.1406, -0.1488, -0.1249, -0.1078, -0.0703, -0.0819, -0.1092, -0.0922, -0.0594, -0.1058, -0.1304, -0.1584, -0.1686, -0.1843, -0.1891, -0.2096, -0.1898, -0.1174, -0.1024, -0.1085, -0.1174, -0.1147, -0.1201, -0.1577, -0.1666, -0.1249, -0.0956, -0.0608, -0.0491, -0.0696, -0.0328, -0.0478, -0.0375, -0.0061, 0.0, 0.0109, -0.0061, -0.0362, -0.0294, 0.0034, -0.0157, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.056, -0.0273, -0.0273, 0.0055, 0.0382, 0.0212, 0.056, 0.0689, 0.1174, 0.0287, -0.0375, -0.0266, -0.1072, -0.1311, -0.1495, -0.1741, -0.1372, -0.1788, -0.1679, -0.1911, -0.1195, -0.1543, -0.1256, -0.1092, -0.1044, -0.1631, -0.1768, -0.2061, -0.23, -0.1959, -0.2307, -0.2901, -0.2369, -0.2273, -0.301, -0.2969, -0.2949, -0.2949, -0.1556, -0.0689, -0.0833, -0.0464, 0.0123, 0.0034, -0.0082, 0.028, 0.1536, -0.1331, -0.114, -0.0812, -0.0771, -0.0942, -0.1693, -0.172, -0.159, -0.1515, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1877, -0.1898, -0.1945, -0.1802, -0.1986, -0.2177, -0.2082, -0.2232, -0.2137, -0.1809, -0.1618, -0.1959, -0.1775, -0.1297, -0.1597, -0.1625, -0.1208, -0.1099, -0.1372, -0.1666, -0.1672, -0.1352, -0.1427, -0.1543, -0.1993, -0.1993, -0.1904, -0.1918, -0.1618, -0.2027, -0.1993, -0.2205, -0.2253, -0.2253, -0.2239, -0.2116, -0.2437, -0.2573, -0.2648, -0.271, -0.2792, -0.2778, -0.2642, -0.2601, -0.2594, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.2819, -0.2962, -0.284, -0.2949, -0.3072, -0.2765, -0.2689, -0.2526, -0.2737, -0.2867, -0.271, -0.2785, -0.2341, -0.2553, -0.2505, -0.2382, -0.2266, -0.2123, -0.1877, -0.2157]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909692037785677907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-08T19:37:16+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still bullish on Canadian energy stocks. Twilight of US shale = scarcity premium for co.'s with multi-decade inventories when the storm passes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish oil near-term but bullish Canadian energy equities on scarcity premium as US shale declines and multi-decade inventory holders benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2 hour drive into work given the Spring ice storm but managed to make it in time. Key message: you can be bearish oil (for now) but still bullish on Canadian energy stocks. Twilight of US shale = scarcity premium for co.’s with multi-decade inventories when the storm passes. https://t.co/5GYP9ARG3t", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04936518275689017, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04936518275689017, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03345311858787636, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03345311858787636, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015912064169013806, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015912064169013806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0846261073454857, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0846261073454857, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020393118265816357, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020393118265816357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.10501922561130206, "bench_c_p1d": 0.10501922561130206, "ret_p1w": 0.05289135198691097, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05289135198691097, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029951802761634116, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029951802761634116, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.08284315474854509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08284315474854509, "ret_p1m": 0.11706625009238714, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11706625009238714, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02106618908391633, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02106618908391633, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.13813243917630347, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13813243917630347, "ret_p3m": 0.21158097155579614, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21158097155579614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04227593239896121, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04227593239896121, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.25385690395475735, "bench_c_p3m": 0.25385690395475735, "ret_p6m": 0.31207721336317906, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31207721336317906, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.043584969462107326, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.043584969462107326, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3556621828252864, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3556621828252864, "ret_p1y": 0.9839689252672525, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9839689252672525, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.659051058287369, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.659051058287369, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32491786697988356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32491786697988356, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11706625009238714, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02106618908391633, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02106618908391633, "price_path": [0.2585, 0.2711, 0.248, 0.2501, 0.2536, 0.2312, 0.2424, 0.2641, 0.2536, 0.2508, 0.2494, 0.2354, 0.2214, 0.2095, 0.2242, 0.2305, 0.2011, 0.1962, 0.2088, 0.2144, 0.1997, 0.2046, 0.2305, 0.2473, 0.2193, 0.2235, 0.2109, 0.2109, 0.2235, 0.2333, 0.2368, 0.2116, 0.2011, 0.1815, 0.1752, 0.1759, 0.1787, 0.1199, 0.1073, 0.0989, 0.1059, 0.1304, 0.1283, 0.1374, 0.1556, 0.1472, 0.1696, 0.1864, 0.1906, 0.2102, 0.2179, 0.2186, 0.2368, 0.2417, 0.2489, 0.2398, 0.2271, 0.2433, 0.2518, 0.2609, 0.1721, 0.0705, 0.0494, 0.0, 0.0846, 0.0134, 0.0423, 0.0494, 0.0529, 0.0733, 0.0966, 0.086, 0.1086, 0.1016, 0.1128, 0.1114, 0.1164, 0.1072, 0.0818, 0.091, 0.1008, 0.0719, 0.0839, 0.086, 0.1171, 0.1389, 0.1728, 0.1932, 0.1848, 0.17, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.1664, 0.1636, 0.1608, 0.1657, 0.1721, 0.1728, 0.165, 0.1657, 0.146, 0.1678, 0.1841, 0.1678, 0.1721, 0.1883, 0.1939, 0.2087, 0.2355, 0.2426, 0.2814, 0.2715, 0.2934, 0.28, 0.2898, 0.2849, 0.2419, 0.2236, 0.2173, 0.2216, 0.2159, 0.2094, 0.2094, 0.2273, 0.2223, 0.2201, 0.2116, 0.2372, 0.2365, 0.2315, 0.2465, 0.2437, 0.233, 0.2187, 0.2244, 0.2258, 0.2137, 0.2216, 0.2344, 0.2458, 0.2401, 0.2643, 0.2764, 0.2729, 0.2579, 0.233, 0.233, 0.2415, 0.2365, 0.2273, 0.2273, 0.2166, 0.2223, 0.2208, 0.2237, 0.2201, 0.2166, 0.2073, 0.2159, 0.2358, 0.2636, 0.27, 0.2593, 0.2779, 0.2836, 0.2793, 0.2793, 0.2907, 0.2693, 0.275, 0.2536, 0.2543, 0.2729, 0.2978, 0.2921, 0.2928, 0.3049, 0.3384, 0.3327, 0.3313, 0.3057, 0.322, 0.3377, 0.3539, 0.3582, 0.3611, 0.3423, 0.3229, 0.3207, 0.3121]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1825890445244653633", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-20T13:39:40+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe we have yet to see the real impact of buybacks on valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long energy sector: buyback-driven rerating is still ahead as companies pivot 75-100% FCF to return of capital.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We have for several years believed that the compounding effect of meaningful share buybacks would lead to an inevitable rerating of energy company valuations, given just how valuable the last theoretical remaining share would be. We have championed this philosophy aggressively, and it is gratifying to see that we are in good company. Given that most companies have just recently hit their final debt targets in the past Q or so, pivoting to 75%-100% of FCF going to return of capital, I believe we have yet to see the real impact of buybacks on valuations.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027063558091444895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027063558091444895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025434907039720622, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025434907039720622, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016286510517242725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016286510517242725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016914723807153198, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016914723807153198, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017450806124064133, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017450806124064133, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003436552993121733, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003436552993121733, "ret_p1w": 0.018831744035310294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018831744035310294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013712775877942507, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013712775877942507, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005118968157367787, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005118968157367787, "ret_p1m": -0.008682818767618894, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008682818767618894, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013515565529279128, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013515565529279128, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004832746761660234, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004832746761660234, "ret_p3m": 0.07704456075762245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07704456075762245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.025412719553163488, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025412719553163488, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05163184120445896, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05163184120445896, "ret_p6m": 0.028525843288736974, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.028525843288736974, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06984307400465717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06984307400465717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09836891729339414, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09836891729339414, "ret_p1y": -0.018620571564994526, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.018620571564994526, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1710109329312186, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1710109329312186, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15239036136622408, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15239036136622408, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07704456075762245, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.025412719553163488, "alpha_c_stated": 0.025412719553163488, "price_path": [0.0207, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0326, 0.0144, 0.0173, 0.0426, 0.0153, 0.0056, 0.0055, 0.0107, 0.0067, 0.0143, 0.0123, 0.0014, -0.0077, -0.0151, -0.0126, -0.0084, -0.0084, 0.0098, 0.004, 0.0293, 0.0317, 0.0215, 0.0239, 0.0279, 0.0284, 0.0276, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0009, 0.0077, 0.0182, 0.0207, 0.0362, 0.0408, 0.0512, 0.0531, 0.0416, 0.0351, 0.0186, 0.0187, 0.0363, 0.0396, 0.0307, 0.0467, 0.0511, 0.0232, -0.0032, -0.0251, -0.0192, -0.0152, 0.006, 0.0082, 0.0132, 0.0034, 0.0092, 0.0213, 0.0202, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.0043, 0.0193, 0.0284, 0.0188, 0.0123, 0.0255, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0037, -0.0101, -0.0178, -0.0301, -0.0231, -0.0399, -0.0488, -0.0403, -0.0348, -0.0238, -0.0106, -0.0087, 0.0032, 0.0009, 0.0133, 0.0108, -0.009, -0.0285, -0.0087, -0.0017, 0.021, 0.0315, 0.0496, 0.0594, 0.0632, 0.0354, 0.0417, 0.0487, 0.0552, 0.0548, 0.0208, 0.0257, 0.0305, 0.0271, 0.0241, 0.0264, 0.0211, 0.021, 0.0207, 0.0142, -0.0013, 0.001, 0.0072, 0.0009, 0.0184, 0.0252, 0.0637, 0.0589, 0.0659, 0.0719, 0.0662, 0.0745, 0.0786, 0.077, 0.0914, 0.0844, 0.0953, 0.1042, 0.1059, 0.0841, 0.0826, 0.0815, 0.0815, 0.0861, 0.0747, 0.0745, 0.0486, 0.0527, 0.0349, 0.0332, 0.0261, 0.0278, 0.0195, 0.0144, -0.0079, -0.0153, -0.0444, -0.0527, -0.0434, -0.0377, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0304, -0.0305, -0.0306, -0.0179, -0.0064, 0.0028, -0.0017, 0.0082, 0.0093, 0.0093, 0.0134, 0.0347, 0.0458, 0.0613, 0.069, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0717, 0.0523, 0.0571, 0.0469, 0.036, 0.0261, 0.0284, 0.0337, 0.0048, 0.0111, 0.0323, 0.0345, 0.0155, 0.0153, 0.0377, 0.0461, 0.0208, 0.0285]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1785296694688542726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-30T13:14:35+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian heavy oil producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish™️", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Canadian heavy oil names on TMX pipeline coming online, expanding market access.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNQ.TO", "CVE.TO", "ATH.TO", "BTE.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian heavy oil producers: CNQ, CVE, ATH, BTE", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "An 8 minute overview with the @financialpost as to why TMX (operational tomorrow!) is such a positive development for Canadian heavy oil names. We remain bullish™️.\nhttps://t.co/hBBBwsJslW https://t.co/bxTFuVLabr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04026221282212633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04026221282212633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024166013003418196, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009573639735457273, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016096199818708135, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030688573086669058, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02571585741552035, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02571585741552035, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022468768536379413, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009783496570276162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003247088879140936, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015932360845244187, "ret_p1w": 0.00044025043765066885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00044025043765066885, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029760067458465878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0037551040448064454, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030200317896116546, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0033148536071557766, "ret_p1m": 0.0035301684995415195, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0035301684995415195, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.044519548041842494, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03389817934473788, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04804971654138401, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030368010845196358, "ret_p3m": -0.0003385612558314821, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0003385612558314821, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08842271280673958, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0059665832115521344, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0880841515509081, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0063051444673836166, "ret_p6m": -0.08845114567754395, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08845114567754395, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24712905951977512, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06448681348844218, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15867791384223118, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023964332189101767, "ret_p1y": -0.28279128768520023, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.28279128768520023, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.31952663505807355, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15938760894213821, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.03673534737287332, "bench_c_p1y": -0.12340367874306202, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0035301684995415195, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.044519548041842494, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03389817934473788, "price_path": [-0.1834, -0.2043, -0.2089, -0.2025, -0.2022, -0.1865, -0.184, -0.1718, -0.1816, -0.183, -0.141, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.1381, -0.1167, -0.1078, -0.1101, -0.104, -0.1006, -0.0997, -0.1005, -0.0828, -0.0943, -0.0915, -0.0743, -0.0746, -0.0811, -0.0803, -0.0831, -0.0634, -0.0451, -0.0452, -0.0376, -0.0285, -0.0278, -0.0225, -0.0197, 0.0071, -0.0169, -0.0118, -0.0009, -0.0009, 0.0127, 0.0246, 0.0362, 0.0469, 0.0545, 0.0542, 0.0496, 0.0847, 0.054, 0.0494, 0.0203, 0.0254, 0.019, 0.0129, 0.0126, 0.0154, 0.0265, 0.0257, 0.0337, 0.0402, 0.0403, 0.0, -0.0257, -0.0174, -0.0233, -0.0006, 0.0004, 0.0074, 0.0168, -0.0157, -0.0199, -0.0279, -0.0273, -0.0295, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0117, -0.0263, -0.032, -0.0156, -0.007, 0.0217, 0.0035, 0.0066, 0.0098, -0.0425, -0.0561, -0.0547, -0.0484, -0.0594, -0.0377, -0.0421, -0.0461, -0.0767, -0.0823, -0.0745, -0.0576, -0.0618, -0.057, -0.0669, -0.0275, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0185, -0.0198, -0.0198, 0.0046, 0.0104, 0.013, -0.0138, -0.0151, -0.0291, -0.0074, 0.0094, 0.0105, 0.0338, 0.0198, 0.0137, 0.0105, 0.0107, 0.0152, -0.0006, -0.0057, 0.0031, -0.0003, -0.0004, -0.0031, 0.0341, -0.0075, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0693, -0.0683, -0.051, -0.0471, -0.0112, -0.0105, 0.0025, 0.0288, 0.0146, 0.0084, -0.0179, -0.0212, -0.0203, -0.0036, 0.0153, -0.0074, -0.0149, 0.0009, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0657, -0.0813, -0.0956, -0.1152, -0.1194, -0.1352, -0.1307, -0.1189, -0.1177, -0.1002, -0.083, -0.0898, -0.077, -0.0842, -0.0925, -0.0835, -0.1116, -0.1497, -0.1323, -0.1255, -0.093, -0.0965, -0.069, -0.0542, -0.0324, -0.0564, -0.0534, -0.0329, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0743, -0.0912, -0.0761, -0.0831, -0.0793, -0.0796, -0.0885]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1838953743837970819", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-25T14:48:33+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a reason why Canadian energy stocks trade at a discount to global peers, and one that should disappear after the next election", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Canadian energy stocks trade at unwarranted discount to global peers due to policy ignorance; discount expected to close post-election — bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On the same day that OPEC forecasted oil demand growth to 2050, our esteemed Minister in charge of Canada's energy sector, home to the 3rd largest oil reserves in the world and a sector responsible for ~15% of Canada's GDP, declared that \"oil and gas will peak this decade, in fact oil is probably peaking this year.\" Such a profound display of energy ignorance and resulting poor policies are in my opinion a reason why Canadian energy stocks trade at a discount to global peers, and one that should disappear after the next election.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01768885437624057, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01768885437624057, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015478526893554001, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015478526893554001, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0022103274826865693, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022103274826865693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030660225484924197, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030660225484924197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.034624755178352506, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034624755178352506, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003964529693428309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003964529693428309, "ret_p1w": 0.0312500519788681, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0312500519788681, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03331999968849253, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03331999968849253, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002069947709624431, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002069947709624431, "ret_p1m": 0.04775960979374538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04775960979374538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03162040450238712, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03162040450238712, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01613920529135826, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01613920529135826, "ret_p3m": -0.01120260447990118, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01120260447990118, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05795637127356712, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05795637127356712, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04675376679366594, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04675376679366594, "ret_p6m": 0.03721211726622764, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03721211726622764, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04152683345876196, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04152683345876196, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004314716192534318, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004314716192534318, "ret_p1y": 0.13923279428177793, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13923279428177793, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.029416827504814114, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.029416827504814114, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16864962178659204, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16864962178659204, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04775960979374538, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03162040450238712, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03162040450238712, "price_path": [0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0793, 0.0863, 0.0881, 0.0629, 0.0641, 0.0471, 0.0606, 0.0746, 0.0723, 0.0904, 0.077, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.0647, 0.0729, 0.0582, 0.0518, 0.0588, 0.0635, 0.053, 0.0565, 0.0892, 0.0565, 0.0103, 0.0103, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0401, 0.0448, 0.077, 0.0805, 0.0904, 0.1091, 0.0968, 0.0916, 0.067, 0.0653, 0.0676, 0.0793, 0.0951, 0.0734, 0.0688, 0.0787, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0325, 0.0161, 0.0015, -0.0137, -0.0154, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0295, -0.0271, -0.0183, -0.0031, -0.0078, 0.0097, 0.0021, 0.008, 0.0177, 0.0, -0.0307, -0.0094, -0.0041, 0.0295, 0.0313, 0.0607, 0.0749, 0.0938, 0.069, 0.0731, 0.0967, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.046, 0.0419, 0.0537, 0.0489, 0.0531, 0.0537, 0.0425, 0.0478, 0.0619, 0.0442, 0.0366, 0.0401, 0.0277, 0.0183, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0513, 0.0572, 0.046, 0.0448, 0.033, 0.0419, 0.0654, 0.0537, 0.0643, 0.0607, 0.0713, 0.0914, 0.0967, 0.0772, 0.0531, 0.0537, 0.0601, 0.0607, 0.0537, 0.0613, 0.0383, 0.0472, 0.0265, 0.0313, 0.0236, 0.0371, 0.0195, 0.0189, 0.0006, -0.0065, -0.0242, -0.0318, -0.0312, -0.0112, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0027, 0.0193, 0.0354, 0.042, 0.0515, 0.0694, 0.07, 0.0712, 0.0819, 0.0622, 0.064, 0.067, 0.0479, 0.0575, 0.0759, 0.067, 0.0646, 0.0634, 0.0515, 0.0396, 0.0295, 0.042, 0.0473, 0.0223, 0.0181, 0.0289, 0.0336, 0.0211, 0.0253, 0.0473, 0.0616, 0.0378, 0.0414, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0414, 0.0497, 0.0527, 0.0313, 0.0223, 0.0056, 0.0003, 0.0009, 0.0033, -0.0468, -0.0575, -0.0647, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0396, -0.0319, -0.0164, -0.0236, -0.0045, 0.0098, 0.0134, 0.0301, 0.0366, 0.0372]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982824505765515378", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T14:59:35+00:00", "symbol": "EQT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You can buy the largest natural gas producer in North America, with 20+ years of inventory + low debt (0.7x), at a 13% FCF yield at $4 gas, with 75% of post-div FCF = buybacks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the largest North American nat-gas producer (EQT implied): cheap at 13% FCF yield, low debt, massive buybacks.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQT"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "EQT Corporation, largest US nat gas producer", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Want proof that the energy sector is inefficient = opportunity rich? You can buy the largest natural gas producer in North America, with 20+ years of inventory + low debt (0.7x), at a 13% FCF yield at $4 gas (3 year forward gas strip = $3.93), with 75% of post-div FCF = buybacks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009301521185979267, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009301521185979267, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010729996825165511, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001448615813838261, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023787679324361877, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029209238986101282, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029209238986101282, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03186523794269236, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018787928173116253, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01042131081298503, "ret_p1w": 0.039255869715137504, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039255869715137504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04202858930041109, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04084174424638032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015858745312428146, "ret_p1m": 0.05912908441219966, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05912908441219966, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07404361588860897, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05539095785490278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491453147640931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0037381265572968836, "ret_p3m": 0.05259819103523489, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05259819103523489, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03868057734593866, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07199555856450224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013917613689296227, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12459374959973712, "ret_p6m": 0.10272046230149434, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10272046230149434, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06296226301324825, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20768239036017277, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03975819928824609, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3104028526616671, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05912908441219966, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07404361588860897, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05539095785490278, "price_path": [-0.0103, -0.0031, -0.0292, -0.0379, -0.0413, -0.0426, -0.0467, -0.0458, -0.0359, -0.0461, -0.0422, -0.0316, -0.0167, -0.0605, -0.0597, -0.0448, -0.0316, -0.0331, -0.0361, -0.0193, -0.0447, -0.0259, -0.0355, -0.0355, -0.0255, -0.0409, -0.0363, -0.04, -0.0556, -0.0651, -0.048, -0.0519, -0.0523, -0.0701, -0.0707, -0.07, -0.0811, -0.0848, -0.0703, -0.0521, -0.0125, 0.0033, 0.0058, 0.0132, 0.0127, 0.0448, 0.0374, 0.0424, 0.064, 0.0634, 0.0495, 0.0218, -0.0117, -0.0017, -0.0086, 0.0314, -0.0095, 0.0061, 0.0502, 0.0365, -0.0048, -0.0035, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0292, -0.0363, -0.0242, -0.0032, 0.0393, 0.0391, 0.0448, 0.0502, 0.0817, 0.0998, 0.1325, 0.1353, 0.1243, 0.1177, 0.1017, 0.0963, 0.0989, 0.0515, 0.0642, 0.0737, 0.0591, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.1356, 0.1293, 0.0935, 0.1414, 0.1209, 0.1323, 0.0946, 0.092, 0.0683, 0.0463, 0.0369, 0.0295, -0.0051, 0.0143, 0.0031, 0.0052, -0.0017, 0.0173, 0.0056, 0.0063, 0.0177, 0.0194, 0.0002, -0.0024, -0.0045, -0.0034, 0.0168, -0.026, -0.0467, -0.0269, -0.0373, -0.0622, -0.0685, -0.0569, -0.0569, -0.0394, 0.0231, 0.0212, 0.036, 0.0526, 0.0153, 0.0442, 0.0511, 0.0772, 0.0216, 0.0375, 0.0338, 0.0324, 0.0597, 0.0474, 0.0336, 0.0623, 0.067, 0.0953, 0.0953, 0.0806, 0.0971, 0.1184, 0.1321, 0.1046, 0.093, 0.1111, 0.1179, 0.1493, 0.1534, 0.1529, 0.1473, 0.154, 0.1594, 0.1645, 0.157, 0.1944, 0.2096, 0.2045, 0.2034, 0.2056, 0.1886, 0.2103, 0.2101, 0.2206, 0.2225, 0.2711, 0.2511, 0.264, 0.2058, 0.1909, 0.1431, 0.1171, 0.1171, 0.1302, 0.1357, 0.1261, 0.1128, 0.098, 0.0797, 0.0612, 0.0621, 0.0926, 0.0943, 0.0666, 0.0662, 0.0988, 0.1027]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1762505497691767212", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-02-27T15:50:31+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian midcap energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At $75WTI we estimate several Canadian midcaps to be trading near 15% free cashflow yields. To us, that is attractive.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WTI and Canadian energy midcaps at ~$75 oil on strong fundamentals, slowing US shale growth, low inventories, and OPEC discipline.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTE.TO", "WCP.TO", "ATH.TO", "ARX.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian midcap energy: BTE, WCP, ATH, ARC", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 2024 WTI strip is now $75.72. At $75WTI we estimate several Canadian midcaps to be trading near 15% free cashflow yields. To us, that is attractive. Sentiment remains awful and explaining the degree of pessimism is getting increasingly hard: demand is fine, US shale growth is radically slowing, global inventories are low, and OPEC spare capacity is largely held by 1 sophisticated player with a \"will and intent.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009962714513658627, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009962714513658627, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008108474734029564, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014270564665614188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018542397796290633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004307850151955561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004155913244930004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004155913244930004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005477498276014042, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006135149307920779, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013215850310840382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019792360629907746, "ret_p1w": 0.0006211157480520424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0006211157480520424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00012786421339885945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010555926411852629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0004932515346531829, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011177042159904671, "ret_p1m": 0.06012358209861346, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06012358209861346, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024881025934806456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03610180834803578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035242556163807004, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09622539044664924, "ret_p3m": 0.05961634765443752, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05961634765443752, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011966789570450664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012783275131844685, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047649558083986854, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0723996227862822, "ret_p6m": 0.08969266319465585, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08969266319465585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.023234349805435595, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03873234614268861, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11292701300009145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05096031705196724, "ret_p1y": 0.02045553694863339, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.02045553694863339, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19770230527446492, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06298939529923514, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2181578422230983, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08344493224786853, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06012358209861346, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024881025934806456, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03610180834803578, "price_path": [-0.0451, -0.0475, -0.0797, -0.1068, -0.1398, -0.1257, -0.1114, -0.1272, -0.1527, -0.1292, -0.1038, -0.1254, -0.1173, -0.0977, -0.1048, -0.0928, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0947, -0.1053, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.1012, -0.0795, -0.088, -0.0787, -0.0972, -0.0993, -0.1002, -0.0899, -0.0797, -0.0558, -0.089, -0.1019, -0.1107, -0.1166, -0.1107, -0.1007, -0.0852, -0.0679, -0.0713, -0.0849, -0.0738, -0.091, -0.1057, -0.1279, -0.1335, -0.1292, -0.1286, -0.1103, -0.0983, -0.0762, -0.0879, -0.0973, -0.0586, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0503, -0.022, -0.0081, -0.0142, -0.01, 0.0, 0.0042, -0.0125, 0.0029, -0.0006, 0.0006, 0.014, 0.0122, 0.0077, -0.0013, -0.0082, 0.0071, 0.0231, 0.0337, 0.0406, 0.0528, 0.0515, 0.0523, 0.0514, 0.0752, 0.0471, 0.0601, 0.0714, 0.0714, 0.087, 0.0963, 0.108, 0.1157, 0.1231, 0.1176, 0.1038, 0.142, 0.1169, 0.1191, 0.0913, 0.0974, 0.0852, 0.0783, 0.0786, 0.0791, 0.101, 0.1015, 0.119, 0.118, 0.1172, 0.0752, 0.0367, 0.0505, 0.0408, 0.0735, 0.0738, 0.0797, 0.0938, 0.0587, 0.0588, 0.0511, 0.0605, 0.0583, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0721, 0.0609, 0.0467, 0.0596, 0.0699, 0.1022, 0.0861, 0.0934, 0.0986, 0.0491, 0.0319, 0.0423, 0.0579, 0.0443, 0.0692, 0.0579, 0.0468, 0.0172, 0.0146, 0.0235, 0.0398, 0.0339, 0.0342, 0.0222, 0.0697, 0.0571, 0.053, 0.069, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0915, 0.0993, 0.1025, 0.0794, 0.0783, 0.0579, 0.0733, 0.0904, 0.0926, 0.1052, 0.0955, 0.0845, 0.0862, 0.0899, 0.093, 0.0822, 0.0709, 0.0858, 0.0885, 0.0908, 0.0837, 0.1243, 0.0844, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0304, 0.0455, 0.0472, 0.0922, 0.0993, 0.1156, 0.1371, 0.1229, 0.1085, 0.0895, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031381399929074010", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:47:21+00:00", "symbol": "energy stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We remain bullish!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish energy stocks and oil in $80-90 sweet spot; glut narrative dead, companies minting money at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The sweet spot for energy stocks to grind higher? $80-$90. Much higher, especially on a geopolitical spike and no one wants to buy worried of a sudden rug pull. Oil companies are minting it at current levels and the “glut narrative” is dead. We remain bullish! ™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012949675959425422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012949675959425422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0113399620395076, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0113399620395076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024820183481423452, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024820183481423452, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02607534640994058, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02607534640994058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.05233811541156386, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05233811541156386, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061774341376680475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061774341376680475, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": 0.05088637938471319, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05088637938471319, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0498877982213215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0498877982213215, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": 0.044007172633940383, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044007172633940383, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.048116435970324334, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048116435970324334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212360860426472, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212360860426472, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05088637938471319, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0498877982213215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0498877982213215, "price_path": [-0.185, -0.1764, -0.1804, -0.1884, -0.1941, -0.2187, -0.2014, -0.213, -0.213, -0.2049, -0.1996, -0.202, -0.205, -0.1975, -0.1914, -0.1959, -0.179, -0.1567, -0.1791, -0.1883, -0.1628, -0.1606, -0.1665, -0.1547, -0.1356, -0.1437, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.1439, -0.1232, -0.1203, -0.1153, -0.1147, -0.1067, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0818, -0.0998, -0.0707, -0.0498, -0.061, -0.0423, -0.0353, -0.0363, -0.0112, -0.0291, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0333, -0.0147, -0.0076, -0.0129, -0.0081, -0.009, -0.0131, -0.0099, 0.0058, 0.0259, 0.0165, 0.0106, 0.0158, 0.0174, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0248, 0.0344, 0.0378, 0.0414, 0.0523, 0.0509, 0.0676, 0.0667, 0.0795, 0.1014, 0.0965, 0.1137, 0.1325, 0.1217, 0.109, 0.0675, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0804, 0.0891, 0.0509, 0.0379, 0.0308, 0.0339, 0.0129, 0.0094, 0.0243, -0.004, -0.0031, 0.0114, 0.0236, 0.0315, 0.0295, 0.0277, 0.0447, 0.0686, 0.0799, 0.0654, 0.0751, 0.0762, 0.0319, 0.0129, 0.0083, 0.035, 0.0422, 0.0433, 0.0512, 0.076, 0.0967, 0.1095, 0.0826, 0.0704, 0.077, 0.077, 0.0473, 0.0317, 0.031, 0.019, 0.0373, 0.0493, 0.0628, 0.0636, 0.044, 0.056, 0.0389, 0.0545, 0.0341, 0.0418, 0.0056, 0.0022, -0.0103, -0.0103, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1877002313937621063", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-08T14:39:59+00:00", "symbol": "oil stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is why we are bullish on oil stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil stocks: near-record-low inventories, demand beats, shale disappointment, and tight OPEC spare capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global oil inventories are a mere 5 barrels away from their lowest levels in recorded history. Demand is outpacing bearish expectations. US shale continues to disappoint. OPEC spare capacity is tightly held by those with \"will and intent.\" This is why we are bullish on oil stocks https://t.co/QSqb6j6QFv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001022280762470018, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001022280762470018, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0004366318712575312, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004366318712575312, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014589126337275493, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014589126337275493, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.051573253132672914, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051573253132672914, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04599222166494954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04599222166494954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581031467723374, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005581031467723374, "ret_p1m": 0.006134225464112353, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006134225464112353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022415882812015786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022415882812015786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02855010827612814, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02855010827612814, "ret_p3m": -0.1041656318402776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1041656318402776, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03763954171664996, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03763954171664996, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180517355692757, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14180517355692757, "ret_p6m": 0.004456116434713886, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.004456116434713886, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0626958810644731, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0626958810644731, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715199749918699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06715199749918699, "ret_p1y": 0.05558944627630624, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05558944627630624, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12352750454691996, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12352750454691996, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1791169508232262, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1791169508232262, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006134225464112353, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.022415882812015786, "alpha_c_stated": -0.022415882812015786, "price_path": [0.0391, 0.0455, 0.0451, 0.0114, 0.0162, 0.0211, 0.0177, 0.0147, 0.017, 0.0117, 0.0116, 0.0113, 0.0049, -0.0105, -0.0082, -0.002, -0.0083, 0.009, 0.0158, 0.054, 0.0491, 0.0561, 0.0621, 0.0565, 0.0647, 0.0687, 0.0672, 0.0814, 0.0745, 0.0853, 0.0941, 0.0958, 0.0741, 0.0727, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0762, 0.0648, 0.0647, 0.039, 0.0431, 0.0254, 0.0237, 0.0167, 0.0184, 0.0102, 0.0051, -0.017, -0.0243, -0.0532, -0.0614, -0.0521, -0.0466, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0393, -0.0394, -0.0395, -0.0269, -0.0156, -0.0064, -0.0109, -0.001, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0252, 0.0362, 0.0516, 0.0592, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.0619, 0.0426, 0.0474, 0.0373, 0.0265, 0.0167, 0.019, 0.0242, -0.0044, 0.0018, 0.0228, 0.025, 0.0061, 0.006, 0.0282, 0.0365, 0.0115, 0.0191, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0371, 0.0453, 0.0549, 0.0329, 0.0332, 0.0183, 0.0125, 0.0179, 0.0337, -0.0024, -0.012, -0.0265, -0.0235, -0.0068, 0.0006, -0.0074, -0.0028, -0.0097, 0.0197, 0.0359, 0.0376, 0.0545, 0.0584, 0.051, 0.063, 0.0673, 0.0736, 0.0632, 0.0582, 0.0698, 0.0761, 0.0776, -0.007, -0.0983, -0.1042, -0.1249, -0.0571, -0.1187, -0.0968, -0.0936, -0.095, -0.0876, -0.067, -0.0913, -0.0682, -0.0699, -0.0551, -0.0568, -0.0501, -0.0529, -0.0784, -0.075, -0.0615, -0.0784, -0.0782, -0.0778, -0.0657, -0.0563, -0.0317, -0.0181, -0.024, -0.0199, -0.0214, -0.0341, -0.043, -0.0607, -0.0643, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0532, -0.0652, -0.0583, -0.0666, -0.0544, -0.0431, -0.0618, -0.0627, -0.0451, -0.0433, -0.0262, -0.0121, -0.0087, 0.0086, 0.0056, 0.015, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0187, -0.0071, -0.02, -0.0243, -0.0103, -0.0155, -0.0212, -0.0137, 0.0033, 0.0045, 0.0045]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709662179211776056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-04T20:10:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the average energy stock at $80WTI now trades at 3.8x EV/'24 CF, a 15% free cashflow yield, has debt:cashflow of 0.5X, and has a buyback/dividend yield of 11.7%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Energy stocks look cheap after brutalizing days: 3.8x EV/CF, 15% FCF yield, 11.7% shareholder return yield at $80 WTI — implicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We estimate that after a few brutalizing days, that the average energy stock at $80WTI now trades at 3.8x EV/'24 CF, a 15% free cashflow yield, has debt:cashflow of 0.5X, and has a buyback/dividend yield of 11.7%. https://t.co/xi3CgQKiht", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006219138398679824, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006219138398679824, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00584206549900701, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00584206549900701, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00037707289967281454, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037707289967281454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005984659193119635, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005984659193119635, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005888242022384249, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005888242022384249, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011872901215503884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011872901215503884, "ret_p1w": 0.028631814806885814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028631814806885814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007053365694965175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007053365694965175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02157844911192064, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02157844911192064, "ret_p1m": 0.01713213476318387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01713213476318387, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00687273840711522, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00687273840711522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02400487317029909, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02400487317029909, "ret_p3m": 0.003918541885135074, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003918541885135074, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11402331946655409, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11402331946655409, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11794186135168916, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11794186135168916, "ret_p6m": 0.1275181260002276, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1275181260002276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11352424174464204, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11352424174464204, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24104236774486965, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24104236774486965, "ret_p1y": 0.08174825131353036, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08174825131353036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27837758007881197, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.27837758007881197, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36012583139234233, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36012583139234233, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01713213476318387, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00687273840711522, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00687273840711522, "price_path": [-0.0516, -0.0307, -0.0218, -0.0255, -0.0512, -0.0531, -0.0436, -0.038, -0.0267, -0.018, -0.0022, 0.003, 0.0034, -0.003, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0142, 0.0009, 0.0111, 0.0125, 0.0136, 0.0187, 0.0315, 0.0313, 0.0472, 0.0428, 0.0211, 0.0122, 0.0244, 0.0345, 0.028, 0.02, 0.0175, 0.0105, 0.0203, 0.0272, 0.0299, 0.0351, 0.0358, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0626, 0.063, 0.062, 0.0722, 0.0581, 0.0831, 0.0749, 0.0875, 0.0718, 0.0808, 0.0708, 0.0608, 0.0462, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.055, 0.0813, 0.0825, 0.0607, 0.0395, 0.0388, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0395, 0.0408, 0.0275, 0.0286, 0.0513, 0.0583, 0.0693, 0.0791, 0.0772, 0.0591, 0.042, 0.0273, 0.0255, 0.0175, -0.0069, -0.0036, -0.0004, -0.0027, 0.0275, 0.0171, 0.0056, -0.0167, -0.029, -0.0319, -0.0212, -0.0142, -0.0054, -0.0073, -0.0266, -0.0062, -0.0048, -0.007, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.0034, -0.0069, -0.0067, -0.0141, -0.0075, -0.0023, -0.0069, -0.0243, -0.0388, -0.0454, -0.0351, -0.0339, -0.0472, -0.0339, -0.0055, -0.0108, -0.0027, 0.0092, -0.0001, 0.0038, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0154, 0.0109, -0.0045, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0039, 0.0203, 0.0024, 0.0032, -0.0084, -0.0243, -0.0339, -0.0314, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0438, -0.0518, -0.0533, -0.0502, -0.0467, -0.0447, -0.031, -0.0092, -0.0019, -0.0033, 0.007, -0.0118, -0.012, -0.0105, -0.013, -0.0098, -0.0078, 0.0024, -0.013, -0.0021, -0.0122, -0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0045, 0.0233, 0.0251, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0175, 0.0155, 0.0205, 0.0324, 0.0213, 0.0289, 0.0321, 0.0409, 0.0446, 0.0553, 0.0537, 0.0705, 0.0815, 0.0847, 0.0885, 0.1009, 0.0993, 0.1059, 0.1035, 0.1138, 0.1052, 0.1155, 0.1275, 0.1275]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1950922028430557287", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "natural gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe natural gas is in a structural multi-year bull market as it has gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of the future", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Structural multi-year bull case on natural gas: demand up 45Bcf/d (~36%) over the next decade, now THE fuel of the future.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "United States Natural Gas Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TC Energy: natural gas demand to grow by 45Bcf/d (~36%) over the next decade. While subject to the vagaries of Mother Nature in the short-term, we believe natural gas is in a structural multi-year bull market as it has gone from a bridge fuel to THE fuel of the future. https://t.co/slAvywkZon", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017660027109893894, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017660027109893894, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021425378321942468, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021425378321942468, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037653512120485733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037653512120485733, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002207485845059365, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002207485845059365, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018597855364820837, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018597855364820837, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016390369519761472, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016390369519761472, "ret_p1w": -0.0044150418648283285, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0044150418648283285, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004684009434467784, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004684009434467784, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00026896756963945556, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00026896756963945556, "ret_p1m": -0.05592348935604041, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05592348935604041, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07644302719146101, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07644302719146101, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020519537835420598, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020519537835420598, "ret_p3m": -0.09197939558241786, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09197939558241786, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18197563276312356, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18197563276312356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999623718070571, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08999623718070571, "ret_p6m": 0.0816776780142916, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0816776780142916, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.024952771841272314, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.024952771841272314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10663044985556391, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10663044985556391, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.323, 0.2781, 0.337, 0.3297, 0.3966, 0.3503, 0.3385, 0.2804, 0.2362, 0.2296, 0.1516, 0.2502, 0.245, 0.2252, 0.2384, 0.2384, 0.2561, 0.1884, 0.1766, 0.156, 0.2414, 0.248, 0.2443, 0.2288, 0.2642, 0.2185, 0.1818, 0.1737, 0.1825, 0.2038, 0.2494, 0.2936, 0.3304, 0.3304, 0.2995, 0.2391, 0.1957, 0.1663, 0.1523, 0.2171, 0.1244, 0.1118, 0.1347, 0.1221, 0.1221, 0.1118, 0.0912, 0.0449, 0.0854, 0.0979, 0.1251, 0.1435, 0.1626, 0.1553, 0.1663, 0.0802, 0.0648, 0.0088, 0.0199, 0.0177, 0.0059, 0.0235, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0022, -0.0464, -0.0294, -0.0037, -0.0044, -0.0287, -0.0383, -0.0964, -0.0876, -0.0795, -0.0559, -0.064, -0.1052, -0.1074, -0.0876, -0.1236, -0.1207, -0.1192, -0.103, -0.0751, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0596, -0.039, -0.0361, -0.0478, -0.0316, -0.0243, -0.0522, -0.0861, -0.0795, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0361, -0.0677, -0.0751, -0.106, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0736, -0.0824, -0.0567, -0.0383, 0.0022, -0.0103, -0.0397, -0.0213, 0.014, -0.0361, -0.0625, -0.0927, -0.1038, -0.1207, -0.1258, -0.1479, -0.1266, -0.0486, -0.0324, -0.039, -0.0486, -0.0456, -0.0515, -0.092, -0.1015, -0.0567, -0.025, 0.0125, 0.025, 0.0029, 0.0427, 0.0265, 0.0375, 0.0714, 0.078, 0.0898, 0.0714, 0.039, 0.0464, 0.0817, 0.0611, 0.078, 0.0603, 0.0177, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0839, 0.1192, 0.1008, 0.1383, 0.1523, 0.2046, 0.1089, 0.0375, 0.0493, -0.0375, -0.0633, -0.0831, -0.1096, -0.0699, -0.1148, -0.103, -0.128, -0.0508, -0.0883, -0.0574, -0.0397, -0.0346, -0.0979, -0.1126, -0.1442, -0.17, -0.1332, -0.1707, -0.2347, -0.1773, -0.167, -0.2465, -0.2421, -0.2399, -0.2399, -0.0898, 0.0037, -0.0118, 0.028, 0.0912, 0.0817]}