{"unit_id": "quote:1832136816717095135", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-06T19:20:31+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am Uber-bearish oil & yields & equities big picture.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Uber-bearish oil, yields, and equities into H2 2024-2025 on liquidity deflation thesis; uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#HFL crowd sees  RESURGENT INFLATION.\n\nI see the exact opposite now as EVERYTHING changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April, and I doubled down in May.\n\nI am Uber-bearish oil & yields & equities big picture. \n\nI am Uber-bullish bonds & defensive stocks & cash.\n\nI call it:\nLIQUIDITY DEFLATION", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I was on the other side of #HFL since early May & I am on the other side of #SoftLanding since early July.\n\nI expect a bear market into H2 2024 & 2025 caused by falling global credit demand, larger-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy with higher unemployment, not to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013927159150187496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013927159150187496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0031911494432617094, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031911494432617094, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004932487108448402, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004932487108448402, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006263766399956072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006263766399956072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "ret_p1w": 0.013201741312723003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013201741312723003, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02686396705488403, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02686396705488403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "ret_p1m": 0.14899168138107877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14899168138107877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09498774683414246, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09498774683414246, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "ret_p3m": 0.042796996013079625, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042796996013079625, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08519880627350873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08519880627350873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "ret_p6m": 0.06368779007997194, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06368779007997194, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.023608438013673627, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.023608438013673627, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "ret_p1y": 0.07427829281755538, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07427829281755538, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13453713660052524, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13453713660052524, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.042796996013079625, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08519880627350873, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08519880627350873, "price_path": [0.0955, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1037, 0.1285, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.152, 0.141, 0.1562, 0.1446, 0.1425, 0.1594, 0.1546, 0.1829, 0.1767, 0.179, 0.179, 0.1796, 0.1667, 0.1573, 0.1676, 0.1742, 0.1642, 0.1623, 0.147, 0.1696, 0.1591, 0.1316, 0.1261, 0.1116, 0.1143, 0.1237, 0.1042, 0.0908, 0.0802, 0.1278, 0.1068, 0.0647, 0.0622, 0.0511, 0.0836, 0.0933, 0.1058, 0.1407, 0.1264, 0.1111, 0.123, 0.1072, 0.0791, 0.0711, 0.0532, 0.0675, 0.096, 0.1291, 0.1097, 0.095, 0.1137, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0313, 0.0099, 0.0139, 0.0, 0.0049, -0.0286, -0.0157, 0.0139, 0.0132, 0.0283, 0.0405, 0.0251, 0.0554, 0.0579, 0.0482, 0.0633, 0.037, 0.0012, 0.0194, 0.0144, 0.0461, 0.0556, 0.0987, 0.1076, 0.149, 0.0995, 0.0917, 0.1282, 0.1242, 0.1016, 0.0556, 0.0503, 0.0535, 0.0355, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.067, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0218, 0.0106, 0.0353, 0.0602, 0.0448, 0.0778, 0.0841, 0.0814, 0.0831, 0.0609, 0.0292, 0.0255, 0.0261, 0.0342, 0.0119, 0.0456, 0.049, 0.0448, 0.0619, 0.0772, 0.046, 0.0389, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0389, 0.0306, 0.0596, 0.0428, 0.0368, 0.019, 0.0325, 0.0358, 0.0638, 0.0621, 0.0766, 0.0692, 0.0634, 0.0582, 0.0534, 0.0605, 0.0599, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0609, 0.0714, 0.0854, 0.096, 0.096, 0.1161, 0.1304, 0.1214, 0.134, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1699, 0.1929, 0.1848, 0.2236, 0.2032, 0.1972, 0.1972, 0.1767, 0.1668, 0.1491, 0.1548, 0.1306, 0.1441, 0.1284, 0.128, 0.1319, 0.129, 0.1245, 0.1039, 0.0946, 0.1005, 0.1229, 0.1355, 0.1072, 0.1082, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1165, 0.1236, 0.1281, 0.0931, 0.1021, 0.0754, 0.0714, 0.0921, 0.0913, 0.0637]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1832136816717095135", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-09-06T19:20:31+00:00", "symbol": "defensive stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am Uber-bullish bonds & defensive stocks & cash.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Uber-bearish oil, yields, and equities into H2 2024-2025 on liquidity deflation thesis; uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU", "XLP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLU utilities; XLP consumer staples defensive ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#HFL crowd sees  RESURGENT INFLATION.\n\nI see the exact opposite now as EVERYTHING changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April, and I doubled down in May.\n\nI am Uber-bearish oil & yields & equities big picture. \n\nI am Uber-bullish bonds & defensive stocks & cash.\n\nI call it:\nLIQUIDITY DEFLATION", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I was on the other side of #HFL since early May & I am on the other side of #SoftLanding since early July.\n\nI expect a bear market into H2 2024 & 2025 caused by falling global credit demand, larger-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy with higher unemployment, not to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005832665160329875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005832665160329875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01128564343311933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01128564343311933, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00892765798643358, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00892765798643358, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0022685955219708953, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0022685955219708953, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "ret_p1w": 0.02298645878833372, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02298645878833372, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017079249579273315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017079249579273315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "ret_p1m": 0.015341543082583453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015341543082583453, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03866239146435285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03866239146435285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "ret_p3m": 0.03287525315373829, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03287525315373829, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09512054913285006, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09512054913285006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "ret_p6m": 0.040131410603598594, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.040131410603598594, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04716481749004697, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04716481749004697, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "ret_p1y": 0.07555875384153349, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07555875384153349, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13325667557654713, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13325667557654713, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03287525315373829, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09512054913285006, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09512054913285006, "price_path": [-0.0762, -0.0842, -0.0826, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0798, -0.0822, -0.0712, -0.0786, -0.0815, -0.0827, -0.0898, -0.0961, -0.0906, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0823, -0.0825, -0.0824, -0.0761, -0.0695, -0.064, -0.0781, -0.0701, -0.0638, -0.0666, -0.0676, -0.0634, -0.068, -0.0632, -0.0676, -0.0583, -0.056, -0.0568, -0.0515, -0.0386, -0.0336, -0.0559, -0.0486, -0.0455, -0.0407, -0.0383, -0.0398, -0.0348, -0.033, -0.0281, -0.0246, -0.0198, -0.0184, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.0102, -0.0034, -0.0062, -0.0083, -0.0081, -0.0004, -0.0004, 0.0024, 0.009, 0.0058, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0081, 0.0123, 0.023, 0.0289, 0.0237, 0.0178, 0.0118, 0.0278, 0.036, 0.031, 0.0325, 0.03, 0.0361, 0.0384, 0.041, 0.037, 0.0319, 0.0326, 0.0153, 0.018, 0.0165, 0.0127, 0.02, 0.0286, 0.0342, 0.0444, 0.0373, 0.0416, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.024, 0.0291, 0.0128, 0.0107, 0.0152, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0095, -0.0039, -0.0012, 0.0146, 0.0143, 0.0089, 0.0094, 0.0064, 0.0098, 0.0178, 0.0219, 0.0196, 0.0342, 0.0358, 0.0395, 0.0502, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.054, 0.0416, 0.0343, 0.0329, 0.0365, 0.0274, 0.02, 0.0186, 0.0115, 0.0127, 0.0118, 0.005, 0.0021, -0.0174, -0.0186, -0.009, -0.0098, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0035, -0.0074, -0.0152, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0118, -0.0066, -0.0173, -0.0203, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0288, -0.0339, -0.0272, -0.0213, -0.0049, -0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0088, -0.0051, -0.0009, 0.0069, 0.0075, -0.0073, -0.0051, 0.0104, 0.0027, 0.0074, -0.0013, 0.0069, 0.0085, 0.0067, 0.0154, 0.0228, 0.0215, 0.028, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0276, 0.0343, 0.0323, 0.0382, 0.0371, 0.0416, 0.034, 0.0221, 0.0367, 0.0401]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1838260178908778564", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-23T16:52:34+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fits with my bearish oil call!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has a live bearish oil call, reinforced by cited agreement.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fits with my bearish oil call!\n\n🎩⁦@GavinSBaker⁩ \nNotice ⁦@elonmusk⁩ agrees. 😅 https://t.co/J3Uw1wFRAF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009273331058066603, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009273331058066603, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011766115835874946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011766115835874946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024927847778083434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024927847778083434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014394476339478768, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014394476339478768, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011533426839692273, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011533426839692273, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028610494997864944, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028610494997864944, "ret_p1w": -0.032249160291414336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032249160291414336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03942868223613205, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03942868223613205, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007179521944717715, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007179521944717715, "ret_p1m": 0.02394468314094933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02394468314094933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.6469741941360638e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.6469741941360638e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02396115288289069, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02396115288289069, "ret_p3m": 0.004982707409710185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.004982707409710185, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02385839040841975, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02385839040841975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028841097818129935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028841097818129935, "ret_p6m": -0.0005536458896517882, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0005536458896517882, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01131611217420303, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01131611217420303, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.011869758063854818, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011869758063854818, "ret_p1y": 0.03404843023491555, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03404843023491555, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12155751995203246, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12155751995203246, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.155605950186948, "bench_c_p1y": 0.155605950186948, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02394468314094933, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.6469741941360638e-05, "alpha_c_stated": 1.6469741941360638e-05, "price_path": [0.09, 0.1062, 0.1016, 0.1286, 0.1226, 0.1248, 0.1248, 0.1254, 0.1131, 0.1041, 0.1139, 0.1203, 0.1107, 0.1089, 0.0943, 0.1158, 0.1059, 0.0796, 0.0743, 0.0605, 0.0631, 0.0721, 0.0534, 0.0407, 0.0306, 0.076, 0.0559, 0.0158, 0.0134, 0.0028, 0.0338, 0.043, 0.0549, 0.0883, 0.0746, 0.0601, 0.0714, 0.0563, 0.0295, 0.0219, 0.0048, 0.0184, 0.0457, 0.0772, 0.0587, 0.0447, 0.0626, 0.0289, 0.0289, -0.0161, -0.0365, -0.0327, -0.046, -0.0412, -0.0732, -0.0609, -0.0327, -0.0334, -0.019, -0.0073, -0.022, 0.0069, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0144, -0.0107, -0.0448, -0.0274, -0.0322, -0.0019, 0.0071, 0.0482, 0.0567, 0.0962, 0.049, 0.0415, 0.0764, 0.0725, 0.0509, 0.0071, 0.0021, 0.0051, -0.012, 0.0001, 0.0239, 0.018, 0.0112, 0.0274, -0.0252, -0.0358, -0.0123, 0.0115, -0.0032, 0.0282, 0.0343, 0.0317, 0.0334, 0.0122, -0.0181, -0.0216, -0.021, -0.0133, -0.0346, -0.0025, 0.0008, -0.0032, 0.0131, 0.0277, -0.0021, -0.0089, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0089, -0.0167, 0.0109, -0.0051, -0.0108, -0.0278, -0.0149, -0.0118, 0.0149, 0.0133, 0.0271, 0.0201, 0.0145, 0.0096, 0.005, 0.0118, 0.0112, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0122, 0.0221, 0.0356, 0.0457, 0.0457, 0.0648, 0.0785, 0.0699, 0.0819, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.1161, 0.1381, 0.1304, 0.1673, 0.148, 0.1421, 0.1421, 0.1226, 0.1132, 0.0963, 0.1017, 0.0786, 0.0915, 0.0765, 0.0761, 0.0799, 0.0771, 0.0728, 0.0531, 0.0443, 0.05, 0.0713, 0.0833, 0.0563, 0.0573, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0652, 0.072, 0.0763, 0.0429, 0.0515, 0.026, 0.0221, 0.0419, 0.0411, 0.0148, 0.0147, -0.0115, -0.0155, -0.0022, -0.0188, -0.0111, 0.0076, -0.0087, 0.0004, 0.0064, -0.0006]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851372345732051027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-29T21:15:38+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gave $181.54 as PT for $GOOGL which is just about to hit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL (PT $181.54), META (blue skies), AMD ($152 support); short TLT (turnaround at $91.32).", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reviewed bullish $TLT, $GOOGL $META $AMD in our LaDucTrading member slack huddle today with Hans @HansCashFlow.\n \n - gave $181.54 as PT for $GOOGL which is just about to hit\n- short target of $91.32 as turnaround for $TLT\n- $META blue skies\n- and bet $152 for $AMD gets supported", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02739869271840989, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02739869271840989, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030433188956702106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021367369084581922, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0060313236338279674, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019202040669026754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019202040669026754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004010455906312549, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010478408313339904, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00872363235568685, "ret_p1w": 0.011750658834009053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011750658834009053, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007266061717088768, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01571298140495192, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027463640238960974, "ret_p1m": -0.029978135688998653, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029978135688998653, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062425745362744034, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08404381045509368, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05406567476609503, "ret_p3m": 0.10070988594293806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10070988594293806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06385336458435242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.010861976917794003, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08984790902514406, "ret_p6m": -0.08491212905928891, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08491212905928891, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03348205719727171, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10044269749152779, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015530568432238878, "ret_p1y": 0.458311870982961, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.458311870982961, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2989054535002418, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20613669299027815, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25217517799268285, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029978135688998653, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.062425745362744034, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08404381045509368, "price_path": [-0.046, -0.0884, -0.0939, -0.0902, -0.0725, -0.0631, -0.071, -0.0603, -0.082, -0.0767, -0.0672, -0.0459, -0.043, -0.0506, -0.0623, -0.0519, -0.0488, -0.0573, -0.0678, -0.0739, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0992, -0.1044, -0.0999, -0.1361, -0.1476, -0.1479, -0.1336, -0.1133, -0.0974, -0.094, -0.0868, -0.084, -0.0706, -0.0623, -0.0723, -0.0698, -0.0743, -0.0672, -0.0602, -0.0494, -0.0428, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0424, -0.0658, -0.0578, -0.0722, -0.071, -0.0643, -0.0545, -0.0516, -0.0533, -0.0661, -0.0633, -0.0596, -0.0534, -0.0669, -0.0673, -0.0527, -0.0444, -0.0274, 0.0, -0.0192, -0.0182, -0.0299, -0.0271, 0.0118, 0.0361, 0.0223, 0.0338, 0.041, 0.0253, 0.0064, -0.0113, 0.0048, 0.021, 0.0087, -0.0391, -0.0556, -0.039, -0.0306, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0316, -0.017, -0.0179, -0.0005, -0.0104, 0.0014, 0.0064, 0.0626, 0.1213, 0.1016, 0.0893, 0.1285, 0.1214, 0.0811, 0.0818, 0.0984, 0.1169, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.1225, 0.1062, 0.0974, 0.0863, 0.0863, 0.0871, 0.1006, 0.1297, 0.1218, 0.113, 0.113, 0.102, 0.0961, 0.0884, 0.1222, 0.107, 0.1248, 0.1248, 0.1365, 0.1384, 0.1361, 0.1489, 0.1007, 0.1207, 0.1214, 0.1527, 0.1708, 0.1548, 0.1843, 0.098, 0.0995, 0.0636, 0.0701, 0.0635, 0.0537, 0.0682, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0546, 0.0632, 0.0591, 0.031, 0.0286, 0.0067, -0.0088, -0.0331, -0.0228, -0.0416, -0.0192, -0.0071, -0.011, -0.0023, -0.0471, -0.0576, -0.0399, -0.0649, -0.0492, -0.0561, -0.0769, -0.0584, -0.0647, -0.0579, -0.0367, -0.0201, -0.0517, -0.0679, -0.1134, -0.1116, -0.0976, -0.0978, -0.1341, -0.1635, -0.1569, -0.1687, -0.0882, -0.122, -0.0972, -0.0861, -0.102, -0.1191, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.1516, -0.1298, -0.1075, -0.0849]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851372345732051027", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-10-29T21:15:38+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META blue skies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL (PT $181.54), META (blue skies), AMD ($152 support); short TLT (turnaround at $91.32).", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reviewed bullish $TLT, $GOOGL $META $AMD in our LaDucTrading member slack huddle today with Hans @HansCashFlow.\n \n - gave $181.54 as PT for $GOOGL which is just about to hit\n- short target of $91.32 as turnaround for $TLT\n- $META blue skies\n- and bet $152 for $AMD gets supported", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0025008853196268888, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0025008853196268888, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005336109186653282, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008532208953454856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0060313236338279674, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040925935415129344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040925935415129344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021322849155471335, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.032202303059442494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00872363235568685, "ret_p1w": -0.033372867582945664, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033372867582945664, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052389588134043485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06083650782190664, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027463640238960974, "ret_p1m": -0.038188549949142114, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038188549949142114, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0706361596228875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09225422471523714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05406567476609503, "ret_p3m": 0.11593828424952601, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11593828424952601, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07908176289094038, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.026090375224381956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08984790902514406, "ret_p6m": -0.09757560380665653, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09757560380665653, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04614553194463933, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11310617223889541, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015530568432238878, "ret_p1y": 0.2152318334175951, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2152318334175951, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.05582541593487589, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.036943344575087744, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25217517799268285, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.038188549949142114, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0706361596228875, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09225422471523714, "price_path": [-0.1759, -0.1969, -0.1659, -0.1746, -0.1397, -0.1259, -0.129, -0.1077, -0.1108, -0.0929, -0.1096, -0.1065, -0.1108, -0.0966, -0.102, -0.1087, -0.1203, -0.1237, -0.1276, -0.1252, -0.12, -0.12, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1275, -0.1555, -0.1478, -0.1478, -0.136, -0.1127, -0.1144, -0.0989, -0.0937, -0.091, -0.0553, -0.0515, -0.0463, -0.0481, -0.0397, -0.0405, -0.0413, -0.0327, -0.0259, -0.0321, -0.0153, 0.007, -0.0119, 0.0018, -0.0022, -0.0135, -0.0031, -0.0023, -0.0093, -0.0254, -0.0251, -0.0259, -0.0281, -0.0165, -0.0475, -0.0406, -0.0313, -0.023, 0.0025, 0.0, -0.0409, -0.0416, -0.0526, -0.0327, -0.0334, -0.0002, -0.0042, -0.0146, -0.0118, -0.0199, -0.0247, -0.0637, -0.0632, -0.0519, -0.0444, -0.0485, -0.0552, -0.0451, -0.0309, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0295, 0.0017, 0.0369, 0.0371, 0.0289, 0.054, 0.0368, 0.0465, 0.0691, 0.0659, 0.0482, 0.0557, 0.0475, 0.0099, 0.0072, -0.0103, 0.0144, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0203, 0.0144, -0.0001, -0.0098, -0.0098, 0.0134, 0.0225, 0.0657, 0.0449, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.0415, 0.0288, 0.0049, 0.0436, 0.0338, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0425, 0.0544, 0.0763, 0.095, 0.1159, 0.1404, 0.144, 0.1618, 0.1655, 0.1795, 0.1909, 0.192, 0.2041, 0.2083, 0.2132, 0.2173, 0.2267, 0.2321, 0.2458, 0.2458, 0.2115, 0.1902, 0.1751, 0.156, 0.1299, 0.1119, 0.1393, 0.1132, 0.13, 0.1078, 0.0823, 0.1102, 0.0619, 0.0581, 0.0113, 0.0243, 0.0478, -0.0012, 0.0284, 0.0239, -0.0143, -0.0114, -0.0081, 0.0092, 0.0475, 0.0601, 0.0342, 0.0199, -0.0238, -0.0244, -0.0081, -0.0116, -0.1002, -0.1457, -0.1262, -0.136, -0.0085, -0.0753, -0.0799, -0.1004, -0.1173, -0.1498, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.1797, -0.1532, -0.1194, -0.0976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851372345732051027", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-10-29T21:15:38+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bet $152 for $AMD gets supported", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL (PT $181.54), META (blue skies), AMD ($152 support); short TLT (turnaround at $91.32).", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reviewed bullish $TLT, $GOOGL $META $AMD in our LaDucTrading member slack huddle today with Hans @HansCashFlow.\n \n - gave $181.54 as PT for $GOOGL which is just about to hit\n- short target of $91.32 as turnaround for $TLT\n- $META blue skies\n- and bet $152 for $AMD gets supported", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11877518957966449, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11877518957966449, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11574069334137227, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09388278320516141, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024892406374503073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030484512740472258, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030484512740472258, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010881426480814249, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005417787696918364, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03590230043739062, "ret_p1w": -0.02355316188588763, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02355316188588763, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04256988243698545, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040028384043250376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016475222157362746, "ret_p1m": -0.08317631293865169, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08317631293865169, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11562392261239707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03359125077433167, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": -0.049585062164320015, "ret_p3m": -0.2260430860540219, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2260430860540219, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26289960741260754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17089377111205262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": -0.055149314941969285, "ret_p6m": -0.36426650511107805, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36426650511107805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31283643324906085, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2015739162932102, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16269258881786786, "ret_p1y": 0.5685060044256647, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5685060044256647, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.40909958694294546, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1948443548084291, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3736616496172356, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08317631293865169, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11562392261239707, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03359125077433167, "price_path": [-0.1083, -0.0927, -0.124, -0.1341, -0.0826, -0.0964, -0.0796, -0.0503, -0.0528, -0.0083, -0.0003, 0.045, 0.0525, 0.062, 0.0209, 0.0429, 0.0094, 0.0128, -0.0151, -0.0209, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0785, -0.052, -0.0616, -0.0959, -0.0703, -0.0388, 0.0085, 0.0146, 0.025, 0.0234, 0.0149, -0.0021, 0.0548, 0.0495, 0.0548, 0.0654, 0.0903, 0.1271, 0.106, 0.1042, 0.075, 0.0752, 0.0959, 0.1501, 0.1505, 0.1629, 0.1509, 0.1048, 0.1298, 0.1122, 0.0541, 0.0507, 0.0515, 0.0496, 0.0626, 0.0369, 0.029, 0.0326, 0.0513, 0.0762, 0.1188, 0.0, -0.0305, -0.0454, -0.0531, -0.0467, -0.0236, 0.0082, -0.0044, -0.0084, -0.0334, -0.0626, -0.0657, -0.0922, -0.0651, -0.062, -0.074, -0.0748, -0.069, -0.0503, -0.0732, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.0769, -0.044, -0.0445, -0.031, -0.0487, -0.0674, -0.1193, -0.1404, -0.1242, -0.1211, -0.146, -0.1474, -0.1587, -0.183, -0.2, -0.1978, -0.1615, -0.1501, -0.1501, -0.1584, -0.1575, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.1882, -0.1563, -0.1282, -0.1431, -0.1801, -0.1801, -0.2191, -0.2105, -0.2188, -0.1927, -0.203, -0.1826, -0.1826, -0.1771, -0.1672, -0.172, -0.1734, -0.226, -0.2317, -0.2103, -0.2001, -0.2197, -0.231, -0.1958, -0.2462, -0.2587, -0.2762, -0.2565, -0.2524, -0.2482, -0.2476, -0.2389, -0.2389, -0.231, -0.2282, -0.2317, -0.2541, -0.2725, -0.3004, -0.2952, -0.3303, -0.328, -0.339, -0.322, -0.3158, -0.3348, -0.325, -0.3497, -0.3489, -0.3217, -0.3398, -0.3205, -0.2962, -0.3034, -0.2851, -0.279, -0.2837, -0.2338, -0.2274, -0.2585, -0.2823, -0.3054, -0.3086, -0.3083, -0.3071, -0.3688, -0.4229, -0.4371, -0.4737, -0.3483, -0.4031, -0.3715, -0.3641, -0.3587, -0.4059, -0.4112, -0.4112, -0.4242, -0.4195, -0.3917, -0.3643]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849243867511480503", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T00:17:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that NOV risk reversal ($200P sold to finance $250C) is going to work well I think 😉 - esp with $TSLA pushing $240 AH", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author holds a TSLA NOV risk reversal (short $200P / long $250C), expects the trade to work with TSLA pushing toward $250.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fabulous fundamental factoids - on $TSLA.\n\nAnd as presented to LaDucTrading clients yday when @HansCashFlow and I presented our respective trades live, that NOV risk reversal ($200P sold to finance $250C) is going to work well I think 😉 - esp with $TSLA pushing $240 AH. 🤗", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The first of the Magnificent 7, $TSLA, reported and as I just discussed with @jchatterleyCNN it was very good.\n\nAs background, Tesla’s stock hit a high of $410 on 11/4/2021, near the peak of the easy money hysteria with revenues growing 71% that year. It then collapsed to $108 on", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762550724312876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378374596486333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030290926083869296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003147307514544062, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509503397953323, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374073361943638, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435218846549193, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126089318585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834234438608497, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039524752035513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038403486661202635, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06952426690180391, "ret_p1y": 0.6734489231857548, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6734489231857548, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5148602524857089, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49519450563987033, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17825441754588445, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3254126089318585, "alpha_c_stated": 0.263981659016052, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1846615715698429954", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-16T18:14:29+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also believe firmly oil will tank and drag yields lower with it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Firmly expects oil to tank and pull yields down with it.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DannyDayan5 I also believe firmly oil will tank and drag yields lower with it ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@DannyDayan5 Same way I knew the 2Y chart I showed you was about to collapse + \"Bonds stop going up\" August 2020, or \"Time For Yield Spike\" premarket Sept 18th. \n\nI use a funky version of intermarket analysis with technical, macro w fundamental, narrative w sentiment, and quant/positioning.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SamanthaLaDuc", "ret_m1d": 0.004972384016081577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004972384016081577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009299988928088587, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009299988928088587, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0030386908296471393, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0030386908296471393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029529003624870764, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0029529003624870764, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.01588399864146206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01588399864146206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023285619332496732, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023285619332496732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "ret_p1m": -0.01533149981985571, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01533149981985571, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034308094426095614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034308094426095614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "ret_p3m": 0.13577350309227576, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13577350309227576, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13397564725491917, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13397564725491917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "ret_p6m": -0.09779007847843746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09779007847843746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004417210216438927, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004417210216438927, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "ret_p1y": -0.009530420260552286, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.009530420260552286, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17275566259722785, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.17275566259722785, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01533149981985571, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.034308094426095614, "alpha_c_stated": 0.034308094426095614, "price_path": [0.0773, 0.0721, 0.0583, 0.0609, 0.0699, 0.0512, 0.0385, 0.0285, 0.0738, 0.0537, 0.0137, 0.0113, 0.0007, 0.0316, 0.0409, 0.0528, 0.086, 0.0724, 0.0579, 0.0692, 0.0541, 0.0273, 0.0198, 0.0028, 0.0163, 0.0435, 0.075, 0.0565, 0.0425, 0.0604, 0.0268, 0.0268, -0.0181, -0.0385, -0.0347, -0.0479, -0.0432, -0.0751, -0.0628, -0.0347, -0.0354, -0.021, -0.0094, -0.024, 0.0048, 0.0072, -0.0021, 0.0123, -0.0127, -0.0468, -0.0294, -0.0343, -0.004, 0.005, 0.046, 0.0546, 0.0939, 0.0468, 0.0394, 0.0742, 0.0703, 0.0488, 0.005, 0.0, 0.003, -0.0141, -0.0019, 0.0218, 0.0159, 0.0091, 0.0253, -0.0272, -0.0378, -0.0144, 0.0094, -0.0052, 0.0261, 0.0322, 0.0296, 0.0312, 0.0101, -0.0202, -0.0236, -0.0231, -0.0153, -0.0366, -0.0046, -0.0012, -0.0052, 0.011, 0.0256, -0.0041, -0.0109, -0.0094, -0.0094, -0.0109, -0.0188, 0.0088, -0.0072, -0.0128, -0.0298, -0.017, -0.0138, 0.0128, 0.0112, 0.025, 0.018, 0.0124, 0.0075, 0.0029, 0.0097, 0.0091, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0101, 0.02, 0.0334, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0626, 0.0762, 0.0677, 0.0797, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.1138, 0.1358, 0.128, 0.1649, 0.1456, 0.1398, 0.1398, 0.1203, 0.1109, 0.0941, 0.0994, 0.0764, 0.0892, 0.0743, 0.0739, 0.0776, 0.0749, 0.0706, 0.051, 0.0421, 0.0478, 0.0691, 0.0811, 0.0541, 0.0551, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.063, 0.0698, 0.074, 0.0407, 0.0493, 0.0239, 0.02, 0.0398, 0.039, 0.0127, 0.0126, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0043, -0.0209, -0.0131, 0.0055, -0.0108, -0.0017, 0.0043, -0.0026, 0.0003, 0.0184, 0.0192, 0.0343, 0.0334, 0.0417, 0.0425, 0.0327, 0.0681, 0.0646, 0.0738, -0.0021, -0.0619, -0.0887, -0.1251, -0.0666, -0.0978]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867927182535704598", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-14T13:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Selling is not done in $IWM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short IWM (selling not done) and long QQQ (melt-up not done) into the Fed-cut week ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here’s my “Week Ahead”:\n\nSelling is not done in $IWM and Melt-up is not done in $QQQ. \n\nFed cuts but intonates Jan pause. HAGW!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/13/24\n\nWe are ALL bond traders now…\n\nSo, the timing of my client review yday morning AND client post Dec 12th was well timed: YIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER? This is the update to TLT + ZN Bond Short, USDJPY long, VIX long... DXY too.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005843567730306809, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005843567730306809, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015917693722468096, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015917693722468096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011448232879902376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011448232879902376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007328241400128888, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007328241400128888, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "ret_p1w": -0.05277506493423845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05277506493423845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036132701443922555, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036132701443922555, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "ret_p1m": -0.06000524869765278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06000524869765278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02269332884937436, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02269332884937436, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "ret_p3m": -0.15249879570959068, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15249879570959068, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0643066492027553, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0643066492027553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "ret_p6m": -0.08023507377575523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08023507377575523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08046604377275257, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08046604377275257, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "ret_p1y": 0.07635469661990624, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07635469661990624, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.06440981407015522, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06440981407015522, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06000524869765278, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02269332884937436, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02269332884937436, "price_path": [-0.0671, -0.0479, -0.0581, -0.0616, -0.06, -0.0714, -0.0665, -0.0602, -0.0578, -0.0706, -0.0719, -0.0781, -0.0652, -0.0726, -0.0719, -0.0699, -0.075, -0.0562, -0.0493, -0.0485, -0.0328, -0.0355, -0.0375, -0.0526, -0.0562, -0.0648, -0.0628, -0.0663, -0.0511, -0.0542, -0.0555, -0.0711, -0.0659, -0.0612, -0.0436, 0.0119, 0.0083, 0.0157, 0.031, 0.0129, 0.0029, -0.0107, -0.0254, -0.0235, -0.0163, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.034, 0.0264, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0317, 0.0312, 0.0238, 0.0275, 0.0155, 0.0192, 0.014, 0.0096, 0.0142, 0.001, -0.0058, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0552, -0.0594, -0.0506, -0.0528, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0345, -0.0486, -0.0559, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0539, -0.0399, -0.0395, -0.0472, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0724, -0.0706, -0.06, -0.0415, -0.0396, -0.0354, -0.0354, -0.0169, -0.0233, -0.0189, -0.0216, -0.031, -0.0299, -0.0322, -0.0223, -0.0311, -0.0424, -0.0292, -0.0186, -0.0218, -0.0331, -0.0288, -0.0344, -0.0433, -0.0325, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.028, -0.0313, -0.0406, -0.0682, -0.0749, -0.0784, -0.0773, -0.0914, -0.0817, -0.1068, -0.1169, -0.1081, -0.1218, -0.1189, -0.1411, -0.1412, -0.1397, -0.1525, -0.132, -0.1211, -0.1287, -0.1151, -0.1208, -0.1262, -0.1045, -0.1094, -0.1185, -0.1227, -0.1405, -0.1446, -0.1446, -0.131, -0.1868, -0.2231, -0.2301, -0.2504, -0.1867, -0.2209, -0.2095, -0.2002, -0.1992, -0.2069, -0.2004, -0.2004, -0.2165, -0.1962, -0.1843, -0.1679, -0.1677, -0.1641, -0.1592, -0.1645, -0.1593, -0.1404, -0.147, -0.1563, -0.1535, -0.1374, -0.139, -0.1087, -0.1054, -0.1134, -0.1076, -0.1002, -0.104, -0.1035, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1315, -0.1315, -0.1094, -0.1188, -0.1162, -0.1207, -0.118, -0.1037, -0.1063, -0.1059, -0.0914, -0.0852, -0.0802]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867927182535704598", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-14T13:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Melt-up is not done in $QQQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short IWM (selling not done) and long QQQ (melt-up not done) into the Fed-cut week ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here’s my “Week Ahead”:\n\nSelling is not done in $IWM and Melt-up is not done in $QQQ. \n\nFed cuts but intonates Jan pause. HAGW!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/13/24\n\nWe are ALL bond traders now…\n\nSo, the timing of my client review yday morning AND client post Dec 12th was well timed: YIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER? This is the update to TLT + ZN Bond Short, USDJPY long, VIX long... DXY too.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014196138404347414, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014196138404347414, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009944340046287414, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009944340046287414, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0044038848473964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0044038848473964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0002838933676229116, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0002838933676229116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "ret_p1w": -0.02686296595082771, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02686296595082771, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010220602460511818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010220602460511818, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "ret_p1m": -0.05997286610665098, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05997286610665098, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02266094625837256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02266094625837256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "ret_p3m": -0.12835128332135504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12835128332135504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04015913681451966, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04015913681451966, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "ret_p6m": -0.00427493712369531, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00427493712369531, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004505907120692654, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.004505907120692654, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "ret_p1y": 0.16484583259361774, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16484583259361774, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.024081321903556274, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.024081321903556274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05997286610665098, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02266094625837256, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02266094625837256, "price_path": [-0.1252, -0.1031, -0.1048, -0.1024, -0.0981, -0.0973, -0.0905, -0.0955, -0.0931, -0.1057, -0.1045, -0.1051, -0.0945, -0.1042, -0.0908, -0.0837, -0.0847, -0.0833, -0.0756, -0.0879, -0.0878, -0.0872, -0.0812, -0.0794, -0.0784, -0.0926, -0.0852, -0.0796, -0.0795, -0.0706, -0.0777, -0.1009, -0.0943, -0.0969, -0.0854, -0.0606, -0.0458, -0.0447, -0.0452, -0.0469, -0.0482, -0.0548, -0.0773, -0.0709, -0.0645, -0.065, -0.0617, -0.0602, -0.0587, -0.0536, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0528, -0.0425, -0.0396, -0.0277, -0.0304, -0.0217, -0.0293, -0.0326, -0.0153, -0.0217, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0403, -0.0446, -0.0363, -0.0269, -0.0137, -0.0137, -0.0143, -0.0274, -0.0404, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0504, -0.0348, -0.0238, -0.0412, -0.041, -0.041, -0.056, -0.0591, -0.06, -0.0383, -0.0451, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0233, -0.0108, -0.0087, -0.0143, -0.043, -0.0288, -0.0307, -0.0265, -0.0279, -0.0357, -0.0239, -0.0195, -0.0143, -0.0268, -0.015, -0.0173, -0.0168, -0.0026, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0038, 0.0041, -0.0001, -0.0209, -0.0324, -0.0446, -0.0423, -0.0689, -0.0542, -0.0749, -0.0777, -0.0657, -0.0914, -0.0847, -0.1202, -0.1223, -0.1124, -0.1284, -0.1073, -0.1015, -0.1168, -0.105, -0.108, -0.1051, -0.0854, -0.0802, -0.0972, -0.1023, -0.1259, -0.126, -0.1189, -0.1125, -0.16, -0.2122, -0.2103, -0.2245, -0.1314, -0.1684, -0.153, -0.1473, -0.1463, -0.1721, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1927, -0.1715, -0.1527, -0.1289, -0.1192, -0.1195, -0.1136, -0.1138, -0.1022, -0.0889, -0.0943, -0.1027, -0.0992, -0.0899, -0.0905, -0.0534, -0.039, -0.0332, -0.0322, -0.0279, -0.027, -0.0303, -0.0437, -0.0419, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0285, -0.0328, -0.0309, -0.0324, -0.0248, -0.0172, -0.0144, -0.0218, -0.0123, -0.0108, -0.0043]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1834249223715369468", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-12T15:14:28+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am more than confident it won't hold and we will see as low as $40 next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude oil; expects $65.65 level to fail and price to fall to $40 next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ReutterDavid Clients KNOW my famous $65.65 crude level.\nI am not bullish for more than a trade, but if you are eager to chase, then 65.65 is your level that MUST close above on wkly to stay long. \n\nI am more than confident it won't hold and we will see as low as $40 next year. But you do you!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I want to buy crude so bad", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ReutterDavid", "ret_m1d": -0.0291887384939582, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0291887384939582, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020835638825250413, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020835638825250413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008353099668707786, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008353099668707786, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007154536012947688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007154536012947688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0059379010060796045, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0059379010060796045, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005222447404784836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005222447404784836, "ret_p1w": 0.040921457080097756, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040921457080097756, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019654947650089127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019654947650089127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02126650943000863, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02126650943000863, "ret_p1m": 0.10874228846032508, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10874228846032508, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06891380716863771, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06891380716863771, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03982848129168737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03982848129168737, "ret_p3m": 0.021605410636963196, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.021605410636963196, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.059881956509515444, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.059881956509515444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08148736714647864, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08148736714647864, "ret_p6m": 0.03147799352489389, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03147799352489389, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.005261631174560133, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.005261631174560133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03673962469945402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03673962469945402, "ret_p1y": 0.07082554001245778, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07082554001245778, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09729430851734588, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09729430851734588, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16811984852980366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16811984852980366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10874228846032508, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06891380716863771, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06891380716863771, "price_path": [0.113, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1362, 0.1253, 0.1404, 0.1289, 0.1268, 0.1435, 0.1388, 0.1667, 0.1605, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1634, 0.1507, 0.1414, 0.1515, 0.1581, 0.1482, 0.1464, 0.1312, 0.1535, 0.1432, 0.116, 0.1106, 0.0963, 0.099, 0.1083, 0.089, 0.0758, 0.0654, 0.1123, 0.0916, 0.0501, 0.0476, 0.0366, 0.0687, 0.0783, 0.0906, 0.1251, 0.1109, 0.0959, 0.1076, 0.092, 0.0642, 0.0564, 0.0388, 0.0528, 0.081, 0.1136, 0.0944, 0.08, 0.0984, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0172, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.0089, -0.0419, -0.0292, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0142, 0.0262, 0.011, 0.0409, 0.0434, 0.0338, 0.0486, 0.0228, -0.0126, 0.0054, 0.0004, 0.0318, 0.0411, 0.0836, 0.0924, 0.1332, 0.0844, 0.0767, 0.1127, 0.1087, 0.0864, 0.0411, 0.0359, 0.0391, 0.0213, 0.0339, 0.0585, 0.0524, 0.0454, 0.0621, 0.0077, -0.0033, 0.021, 0.0456, 0.0305, 0.063, 0.0693, 0.0665, 0.0683, 0.0464, 0.015, 0.0114, 0.012, 0.02, -0.002, 0.0312, 0.0346, 0.0305, 0.0474, 0.0624, 0.0316, 0.0246, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0246, 0.0165, 0.0451, 0.0285, 0.0226, 0.005, 0.0183, 0.0216, 0.0492, 0.0475, 0.0618, 0.0545, 0.0488, 0.0436, 0.0389, 0.0459, 0.0454, 0.0538, 0.0538, 0.0464, 0.0567, 0.0705, 0.081, 0.081, 0.1007, 0.1149, 0.106, 0.1185, 0.106, 0.106, 0.1538, 0.1766, 0.1686, 0.2068, 0.1867, 0.1807, 0.1807, 0.1605, 0.1508, 0.1334, 0.1389, 0.115, 0.1283, 0.1129, 0.1125, 0.1163, 0.1135, 0.109, 0.0887, 0.0796, 0.0854, 0.1075, 0.1199, 0.092, 0.093, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.1012, 0.1082, 0.1126, 0.0781, 0.087, 0.0607, 0.0567, 0.0771, 0.0763, 0.0491, 0.0489, 0.0219, 0.0177, 0.0315]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1843636336252858629", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-08T12:55:30+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still VERY bearish oil into $40 WTIC by end of next year latest", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Very bearish oil long-term, targeting $40 WTIC by end of next year at latest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Noneotherthanwe I have been since the headline Tues after market open ONE WEEK AGO - but only for a trade into Middle East conflict. That and refiners for a swing long. Big picture, still VERY bearish oil into $40 WTIC by end of next year latest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Are you finally bullish on oil Samantha?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noneotherthanwe", "ret_m1d": 0.04852521013501332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04852521013501332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05789404760584238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05789404760584238, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009368837470829061, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009368837470829061, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004485548897968816, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004485548897968816, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011412033355001072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011412033355001072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006926484457032256, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006926484457032256, "ret_p1w": -0.040641536987526816, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.040641536987526816, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05217408579166061, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05217408579166061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011532548804133791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011532548804133791, "ret_p1m": -0.02555385702346591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02555385702346591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.056731405024494475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.056731405024494475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031177548001028565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031177548001028565, "ret_p3m": 0.005301065533046101, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005301065533046101, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030940175565688843, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030940175565688843, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036241241098734944, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036241241098734944, "ret_p6m": -0.0252820527126143, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0252820527126143, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016478323174140108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.016478323174140108, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008803729538474192, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008803729538474192, "ret_p1y": -0.11675949943622121, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11675949943622121, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2788063725310196, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2788063725310196, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16204687309479837, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16204687309479837, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02555385702346591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.056731405024494475, "alpha_c_stated": 0.056731405024494475, "price_path": [0.123, 0.1174, 0.1134, 0.0977, 0.1261, 0.1257, 0.0892, 0.0844, 0.0461, 0.0546, 0.064, 0.0488, 0.0304, 0.0158, 0.059, 0.0372, -0.0007, -0.0086, -0.005, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0444, 0.0882, 0.065, 0.0464, 0.0624, 0.0419, 0.0109, 0.0064, -0.0223, -0.0076, 0.0171, 0.0523, 0.0266, 0.0129, 0.0318, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0439, -0.0594, -0.0601, -0.0802, -0.0661, -0.1063, -0.0851, -0.0625, -0.0669, -0.0473, -0.0324, -0.0362, -0.022, -0.0224, -0.0435, -0.0273, -0.0527, -0.0802, -0.0733, -0.0734, -0.0508, -0.0472, 0.0019, 0.011, 0.0485, 0.0, -0.0045, 0.031, 0.027, 0.0035, -0.0406, -0.0432, -0.0394, -0.0591, -0.0409, -0.0201, -0.0381, -0.0459, -0.0243, -0.0841, -0.0864, -0.0674, -0.0586, -0.0555, -0.0285, -0.0215, -0.0256, -0.0164, -0.0434, -0.0752, -0.0741, -0.0699, -0.0662, -0.089, -0.0599, -0.0568, -0.0639, -0.0472, -0.0317, -0.0629, -0.0652, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0757, -0.0744, -0.0493, -0.0684, -0.0716, -0.0866, -0.0707, -0.0677, -0.0446, -0.0483, -0.031, -0.0389, -0.0474, -0.0406, -0.0497, -0.0559, -0.0589, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0537, -0.0404, -0.0351, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.006, 0.0053, -0.0001, 0.0092, -0.0034, 0.0048, 0.0408, 0.0714, 0.0534, 0.0879, 0.0695, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0315, 0.0254, 0.0143, 0.0148, -0.0054, 0.0027, -0.0129, -0.0114, -0.0141, -0.0056, -0.0118, -0.0345, -0.0402, -0.0349, -0.017, -0.0034, -0.0299, -0.031, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0234, -0.0179, -0.0136, -0.0431, -0.039, -0.0631, -0.0673, -0.0438, -0.0518, -0.0707, -0.0722, -0.0987, -0.098, -0.0888, -0.1025, -0.0995, -0.0801, -0.0954, -0.0869, -0.0814, -0.0907, -0.0871, -0.0722, -0.0719, -0.0606, -0.0621, -0.0533, -0.0496, -0.0572, -0.0284, -0.0322, -0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1832798595432456568", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-08T15:10:11+00:00", "symbol": "MAG7", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I firmly believe they are going down anyway. This will just accelerate it. MAG7", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Firmly bearish MAG7; believes they are heading down regardless, with an additional accelerant.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL", "AMZN", "NVDA", "META", "TSLA"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Magnificent 7 mega-cap US tech basket", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@vixologist Jim I firmly believe they are going down anyway. This will just accelerate it. MAG7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Sounds as though you think this could be bad news for quite a few big companies.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vixologist", "ret_m1d": -0.012631404043267711, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012631404043267711, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015591186490541455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008352284314034817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004279119729232894, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014527033579538837, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014527033579538837, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01017134691683381, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014764834476848352, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002378008973095147, "ret_p1w": 0.051760090801406915, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051760090801406915, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021690964915178683, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008374946875377147, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04338514392602977, "ret_p1m": 0.10652800095710162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10652800095710162, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054336487502349914, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028143065384661645, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07838493557243997, "ret_p3m": 0.2702042488430398, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2702042488430398, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15653354227661226, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07784073201964498, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1923635168233948, "ret_p6m": 0.1374482940894347, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1374482940894347, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0749184853876893, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06004692535319622, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19749521944263093, "ret_p1y": 0.4030409228047333, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4030409228047333, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2048858806217399, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06676924824378067, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33627167456095264, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10652800095710162, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.054336487502349914, "alpha_c_stated": -0.028143065384661645, "price_path": [0.0444, 0.0483, 0.0492, 0.0604, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0502, 0.0492, 0.0351, 0.0593, 0.0753, 0.0803, 0.0644, 0.0849, 0.1059, 0.1234, 0.1234, 0.1441, 0.1436, 0.1524, 0.1667, 0.1189, 0.1228, 0.1265, 0.121, 0.0837, 0.0815, 0.0693, 0.0931, 0.0935, 0.0313, 0.019, 0.0278, 0.0376, 0.0187, 0.052, 0.032, 0.0015, -0.0412, -0.0297, -0.0416, -0.0138, -0.0054, -0.0021, 0.0274, 0.0228, 0.0513, 0.0533, 0.0709, 0.068, 0.0729, 0.0478, 0.0651, 0.0528, 0.0494, 0.0371, 0.0301, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0116, 0.0106, 0.0255, -0.0126, 0.0, 0.0145, 0.0408, 0.0557, 0.0591, 0.0518, 0.0562, 0.0544, 0.0905, 0.0861, 0.0935, 0.1018, 0.107, 0.1062, 0.1043, 0.1112, 0.0963, 0.0896, 0.089, 0.1072, 0.0875, 0.1065, 0.1062, 0.1063, 0.0962, 0.1057, 0.0982, 0.099, 0.0992, 0.1044, 0.1123, 0.1177, 0.0936, 0.1281, 0.1423, 0.1405, 0.1507, 0.1504, 0.1093, 0.1212, 0.1112, 0.1309, 0.1782, 0.2051, 0.2138, 0.2254, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.2049, 0.1818, 0.1956, 0.2174, 0.2107, 0.1969, 0.1965, 0.1899, 0.2045, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.2109, 0.2334, 0.2418, 0.2619, 0.2702, 0.2914, 0.2875, 0.2998, 0.3402, 0.3294, 0.3303, 0.3607, 0.3682, 0.3087, 0.3114, 0.3109, 0.3312, 0.3631, 0.3631, 0.3541, 0.324, 0.3052, 0.2845, 0.2845, 0.2731, 0.3104, 0.335, 0.2985, 0.2964, 0.2964, 0.2819, 0.2782, 0.2645, 0.315, 0.2887, 0.313, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.3328, 0.3349, 0.3282, 0.2867, 0.321, 0.3068, 0.311, 0.3128, 0.2872, 0.3098, 0.2898, 0.2983, 0.2725, 0.2765, 0.263, 0.2648, 0.2912, 0.2972, 0.2972, 0.2884, 0.2923, 0.2846, 0.25, 0.2312, 0.1991, 0.197, 0.1587, 0.1843, 0.146, 0.1374]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866568183509049630", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-10T19:38:28+00:00", "symbol": "growth stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm Bullish a Growth Rotation ala Summer 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on a growth rotation similar to Summer 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWF", "VUG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth; VUG Vanguard Growth ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As said last week in our Macro-to-Micro OPTIONS power hour with @HansCashFlow ...\n\nI'm Bullish a Growth Rotation ala Summer 2024\n\nhttps://t.co/BfHbXZ4kpe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019047441750140726, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019047441750140726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0012140468145299677, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012140468145299677, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016685484215656077, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016685484215656077, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008954743075514804, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008954743075514804, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "ret_p1w": 0.01874435415395992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01874435415395992, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016272426579515886, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016272426579515886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "ret_p1m": -0.011931747612548893, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011931747612548893, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00685705127575531, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00685705127575531, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "ret_p3m": -0.0729556527083266, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0729556527083266, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.031579540692249664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.031579540692249664, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "ret_p6m": -0.0003553453544969942, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0003553453544969942, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0047301790822668055, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0047301790822668055, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "ret_p1y": 0.1668310909919376, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1668310909919376, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.025584640990759522, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.025584640990759522, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011931747612548893, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00685705127575531, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00685705127575531, "price_path": [-0.1092, -0.1054, -0.1086, -0.1081, -0.1113, -0.0899, -0.0917, -0.09, -0.0864, -0.0847, -0.083, -0.088, -0.084, -0.0964, -0.0955, -0.0953, -0.0854, -0.0956, -0.0808, -0.0747, -0.0751, -0.0725, -0.0642, -0.0728, -0.0717, -0.0705, -0.065, -0.0614, -0.0611, -0.075, -0.0688, -0.0648, -0.0629, -0.0552, -0.0598, -0.0869, -0.0798, -0.0826, -0.0698, -0.0464, -0.0303, -0.0268, -0.0264, -0.0257, -0.0264, -0.0326, -0.0525, -0.0485, -0.0383, -0.0394, -0.0377, -0.0371, -0.0361, -0.0276, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0258, -0.0171, -0.0119, 0.0025, 0.0014, 0.0086, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.0105, 0.0107, 0.0219, 0.0187, -0.0157, -0.0147, -0.0041, 0.0049, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0166, 0.0019, -0.0103, -0.0192, -0.0192, -0.0213, -0.0051, 0.0063, -0.0134, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0271, -0.0311, -0.0348, -0.0112, -0.0186, -0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0003, 0.0147, 0.0186, 0.014, -0.0137, 0.0081, 0.0012, 0.0033, -0.0003, -0.0105, 0.0024, 0.0035, 0.0098, -0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0061, 0.0049, 0.0176, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0195, 0.0142, -0.0085, -0.0185, -0.0289, -0.0253, -0.0505, -0.0334, -0.0571, -0.063, -0.0492, -0.0759, -0.073, -0.1101, -0.1125, -0.1004, -0.1193, -0.0971, -0.0943, -0.1096, -0.096, -0.0981, -0.0934, -0.073, -0.0672, -0.0876, -0.0923, -0.1161, -0.115, -0.1076, -0.1002, -0.1511, -0.2023, -0.2014, -0.2141, -0.1228, -0.157, -0.1412, -0.1357, -0.1361, -0.1622, -0.1611, -0.1611, -0.1838, -0.1621, -0.1415, -0.117, -0.1037, -0.1046, -0.0986, -0.0991, -0.0865, -0.0735, -0.0788, -0.0872, -0.0845, -0.0769, -0.078, -0.0391, -0.024, -0.0167, -0.0178, -0.0125, -0.0119, -0.017, -0.0316, -0.0291, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0156, -0.0196, -0.0166, -0.0175, -0.0108, -0.0037, -0.0004]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1846533937226522857", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-16T12:49:32+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Other than the demand coming from the AI capex (malinvestment) binge (which won't last), most other tech end markets are weak. $SMH 2025", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish SMH into 2025: AI capex is unsustainable malinvestment and all other tech end markets are weak.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Other than the demand coming from the AI capex (malinvestment) binge (which won't last), most other tech end markets are weak. \n\n$SMH 2025", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ASML's warning yesterday: \"While there continue to be strong developments and upside potential in AI, other market segments are taking longer to recover. It now appears the recovery is more gradual than previously expected. This is expected to continue in 2025, which is leading", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0006469284790634466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006469284790634466, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036806764329435637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036806764329435637, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01722463393247109, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01722463393247109, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017138843465311027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017138843465311027, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.006833185945284592, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006833185945284592, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014234806636319264, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014234806636319264, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "ret_p1m": 0.003477201723203205, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003477201723203205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0154993928830367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0154993928830367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "ret_p3m": -0.006452003526372541, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.006452003526372541, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.008249859363729128, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008249859363729128, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "ret_p6m": -0.20313902354391988, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20313902354391988, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10976615528192135, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10976615528192135, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "ret_p1y": 0.367346839822448, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.367346839822448, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2041215974857724, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2041215974857724, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003477201723203205, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0154993928830367, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0154993928830367, "price_path": [0.0033, 0.0421, 0.0305, -0.0256, -0.0435, -0.0283, -0.0353, -0.0722, -0.0013, -0.0659, -0.1168, -0.1375, -0.1207, -0.145, -0.0906, -0.0909, -0.0823, -0.045, -0.0442, -0.0038, -0.0025, 0.0163, 0.003, 0.0134, -0.0198, 0.0043, -0.0192, -0.0093, -0.026, -0.038, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0895, -0.0917, -0.0932, -0.1307, -0.111, -0.1026, -0.0563, -0.0543, -0.0421, -0.0547, -0.055, -0.0657, -0.0252, -0.0381, -0.0338, -0.0158, -0.0072, 0.0214, 0.0017, -0.0076, -0.0341, -0.0202, -0.0112, 0.002, 0.0036, 0.021, 0.0317, 0.0296, 0.0379, 0.0564, -0.0006, 0.0, 0.0172, 0.0169, 0.0223, 0.0177, 0.0068, 0.0111, 0.0228, 0.0157, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.0228, -0.0104, -0.0123, 0.004, 0.0303, 0.0554, 0.0486, 0.0251, 0.0184, 0.0013, 0.0035, -0.0298, -0.0234, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0049, -0.0109, -0.0148, -0.0239, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.021, 0.0022, 0.0044, 0.0215, 0.004, 0.0052, -0.0051, -0.0301, -0.0063, -0.016, 0.0088, 0.024, 0.0107, -0.0216, -0.0342, -0.0186, 0.0121, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0191, 0.0088, -0.0064, -0.0165, -0.0165, -0.0058, 0.023, 0.0569, 0.0317, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0039, -0.0065, -0.0032, 0.0202, 0.0246, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.0656, 0.085, 0.0837, 0.0621, -0.0423, -0.0235, -0.0272, -0.0043, -0.0106, -0.0303, -0.0193, 0.0037, 0.0086, -0.005, 0.0138, 0.0148, 0.0093, 0.0231, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.0406, 0.0451, 0.047, 0.0153, -0.0114, -0.0324, -0.0098, -0.0708, -0.0547, -0.0943, -0.0853, -0.0683, -0.1074, -0.0858, -0.1287, -0.13, -0.1044, -0.1083, -0.0798, -0.0701, -0.0845, -0.0764, -0.0779, -0.0871, -0.0634, -0.0673, -0.0984, -0.1157, -0.1383, -0.1412, -0.137, -0.1305, -0.2057, -0.2657, -0.2491, -0.2692, -0.1438, -0.2031]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1864705130001473712", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-05T16:15:22+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "14:1 AUM long is what I call an outlier waiting to revert with velocity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish S&P 500/SPY: extreme 14:1 leveraged-long AUM ratio is an outlier that will revert sharply.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Margin debt use to be a great tell for market turns, but with leveraged ETFs, it has lost a lot of its predictive warning powers. \n\n14:1 AUM long is what I call an outlier waiting to revert with velocity...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The S&P 500 $SPY is up about 4% over the past 3 weeks. Leveraged long ETF assets are up 16%.\n\nThere is now almost $14 in leveraged long ETFs for every $1 in leveraged short funds, above the prior record from Dec 27, 2021. \n\nThe ratio has jumped 62% just since the end of October. https://t.co/aJehiuRgDv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016482468856779953, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001895797078250716, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "ret_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003840672958678626, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "ret_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020963527776086455, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "ret_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.045921022761167274, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "ret_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02226514278697156, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "ret_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11571569984677765, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.020963527776086455, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.1021, -0.0982, -0.0889, -0.0812, -0.0764, -0.0751, -0.0747, -0.0774, -0.0617, -0.0633, -0.061, -0.0583, -0.0604, -0.0566, -0.058, -0.0542, -0.0627, -0.0623, -0.064, -0.0555, -0.0641, -0.0552, -0.0487, -0.0503, -0.0446, -0.0368, -0.0443, -0.0402, -0.0401, -0.0364, -0.038, -0.0385, -0.0473, -0.0452, -0.0455, -0.0426, -0.041, -0.0439, -0.0627, -0.0587, -0.0607, -0.0494, -0.0257, -0.0182, -0.014, -0.013, -0.0161, -0.0156, -0.0219, -0.0345, -0.0305, -0.027, -0.0266, -0.0214, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.0099, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0068, -0.005, -0.0045, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0019, -0.0033, -0.0064, 0.0013, -0.0038, -0.004, 0.0002, -0.0039, -0.0336, -0.0339, -0.0223, -0.0164, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0054, -0.0159, -0.0271, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0331, -0.021, -0.0153, -0.0265, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0399, -0.0384, -0.0371, -0.0196, -0.0215, -0.0117, -0.0117, -0.0026, 0.003, 0.0085, 0.0055, -0.0087, -0.0002, -0.0047, 0.0007, -0.0046, -0.0113, -0.0047, -0.0007, 0.0028, -0.0064, 0.0004, 0.0011, -0.0021, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0114, 0.0137, 0.0095, -0.0077, -0.0123, -0.0172, -0.0167, -0.0324, -0.0173, -0.0345, -0.0459, -0.0357, -0.0528, -0.0475, -0.0728, -0.0806, -0.0757, -0.088, -0.0692, -0.062, -0.0721, -0.062, -0.0647, -0.0644, -0.0477, -0.0454, -0.0568, -0.0593, -0.0782, -0.072, -0.0694, -0.0635, -0.1097, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1764, -0.0899, -0.1298, -0.1143, -0.1057, -0.1082, -0.128, -0.1267, -0.1267, -0.1475, -0.1253, -0.1118, -0.0931, -0.0865, -0.0862, -0.0804, -0.0801, -0.0736, -0.0598, -0.0652, -0.073, -0.0691, -0.0626, -0.0638, -0.0329, -0.0265, -0.0253, -0.0205, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0165, -0.0331, -0.0327, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.0193, -0.025, -0.0212, -0.0223]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1856015039175811361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-11T16:44:03+00:00", "symbol": "BMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Already long $BMY since July and through earnings", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding BMY long since July; stock gapping up 12% as ABBV schizophrenia drug failed while BMY has FDA-approved rival.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank you Dr Alex - our brilliant healthcare analyst/trader who posts in our Slack workspace for members. \n\nAlready long $BMY since July and through earnings.👍Today it's gapping up 12% on news $ABBV schizophrenia drug failed while $BMY already has FDA-approved Schizophrenia drug. 🔥\n\nSee his deep-dive analysis & trades by becoming a member of CLUB/EDGE. \nhttps://t.co/85J3RNOK5Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09495152500526904, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09495152500526904, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09399933844036867, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09399933844036867, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013373460008813676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013373460008813676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01026712429069665, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01026712429069665, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": -0.05048481837615615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05048481837615615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03276476476325674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03276476476325674, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": -0.028418636733152147, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028418636733152147, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03516560623530196, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03516560623530196, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": -0.029525336464637286, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029525336464637286, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04555947994197718, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04555947994197718, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": -0.18728886279468882, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18728886279468882, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12650881674685088, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12650881674685088, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": -0.2524652860462634, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2524652860462634, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.41444488118648126, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.41444488118648126, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.028418636733152147, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03516560623530196, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03516560623530196, "price_path": [-0.1997, -0.1881, -0.184, -0.185, -0.1903, -0.1992, -0.2128, -0.2047, -0.2025, -0.2045, -0.189, -0.178, -0.1742, -0.1742, -0.1648, -0.1741, -0.1767, -0.1949, -0.1982, -0.1853, -0.1967, -0.2025, -0.1878, -0.1736, -0.1818, -0.1777, -0.1896, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1579, -0.1742, -0.1714, -0.1584, -0.1446, -0.1255, -0.1113, -0.104, -0.098, -0.1067, -0.1227, -0.1174, -0.124, -0.1274, -0.1195, -0.118, -0.1078, -0.111, -0.1103, -0.1287, -0.118, -0.113, -0.1153, -0.1321, -0.12, -0.1224, -0.1197, -0.0677, -0.0919, -0.0731, -0.0647, -0.0759, -0.0854, -0.095, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0236, -0.0221, -0.0602, -0.0505, -0.0266, -0.0324, -0.0266, -0.0159, -0.0174, -0.0181, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.01, 0.002, -0.0189, -0.0242, -0.0164, -0.0074, -0.0186, -0.0284, -0.053, -0.0592, -0.0675, -0.066, -0.0363, -0.0498, -0.0588, -0.0416, -0.0374, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0358, -0.0629, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0507, -0.0439, -0.042, -0.0343, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0564, -0.0643, -0.0579, -0.055, -0.0471, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0359, -0.0351, -0.0005, 0.0085, 0.0242, -0.0069, -0.002, -0.0005, -0.0037, 0.0132, -0.0008, 0.0092, -0.0295, -0.0392, -0.0615, -0.0545, -0.051, -0.054, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0801, -0.0708, -0.0571, -0.0564, -0.0218, -0.0162, -0.0302, -0.0062, 0.0077, 0.0119, 0.0046, 0.011, 0.0171, 0.0325, 0.0666, 0.0396, 0.0109, 0.0188, -0.0027, 0.0139, 0.0124, 0.0154, 0.0212, 0.0322, 0.0318, 0.0004, 0.0007, -0.0045, 0.0144, 0.0308, 0.0065, 0.0073, -0.0228, -0.0552, -0.0571, -0.0933, -0.0819, -0.1379, -0.1336, -0.1229, -0.1458, -0.1567, -0.1589, -0.1589, -0.1639, -0.1488, -0.1709, -0.1682, -0.1817, -0.1721, -0.1591, -0.1424, -0.1524, -0.136, -0.1447, -0.1873]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1860417253151220168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-23T20:16:52+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Two very different ways to arrive at the same place: Long gold & silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long gold and silver on China external drain / anti-FX-reserve mechanics and rising US cost of living.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"It is probably going to take 1 or 2 years for people to understand what is a Gold a Spread.\n\nSpread is widening on Silver to 10%.\n\nIt means discharge/ external drain in China.\nI don't know why people don't understand what an external drain is...\nIt's simply the ANTI FX AS RESERVES.\nThat's why the USD is not making a new high versus CNH since 2022, DESPITE China having lowered rates the whole time.\nExternal drains are the norm in 400 years of history, and China has dusted off that old tool.\nAnd by the way it's why cost of living are rising in the US. Same mechanics...\" @GraphCall \n\nTwo very different ways to arrive at the same place: Long gold & silver.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @GraphCall Its just the number in the disaggregated commitment of traders data highlighted in first table below. Everyone always asks why I don't net out the longs...and I just point to the volatility of the Swaps' gross short, which is so much crazier than the volatility of their long https://t.co/Qo5ufRw6t9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SemperVigilant1", "ret_m1d": 0.030353021857611573, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030353021857611573, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03373365944606921, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03373365944606921, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019383092584315254, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019383092584315254, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003283071423981987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003283071423981987, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "ret_p1w": 0.003959117167528614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003959117167528614, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006249407605831481, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006249407605831481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "ret_p1m": -0.004288985914126298, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004288985914126298, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01398504647580412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01398504647580412, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "ret_p3m": 0.11757668677489996, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11757668677489996, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09263356498594533, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09263356498594533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "ret_p6m": 0.2519795113877399, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2519795113877399, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2534779167129477, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2534779167129477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "ret_p1y": 0.591842613970061, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.591842613970061, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.43426362166692734, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.43426362166692734, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.591842613970061, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.43426362166692734, "alpha_c_stated": 0.43426362166692734, "price_path": [-0.0443, -0.0393, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0503, -0.0497, -0.0418, -0.0489, -0.0449, -0.0407, -0.0422, -0.0254, -0.0157, -0.0158, -0.0212, -0.0287, -0.0137, -0.0011, 0.0008, 0.0148, 0.0134, 0.0186, 0.0105, 0.0024, 0.0129, 0.0131, 0.0124, 0.0104, 0.007, -0.0005, -0.0059, 0.0014, 0.0123, 0.0107, 0.0142, 0.0193, 0.0254, 0.0363, 0.036, 0.0472, 0.0346, 0.0426, 0.0447, 0.0447, 0.0561, 0.0619, 0.0455, 0.0412, 0.0427, 0.045, 0.0133, 0.0296, 0.0226, -0.0014, -0.01, -0.02, -0.0226, -0.0243, -0.0057, 0.0032, 0.0088, 0.0172, 0.0304, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0128, 0.004, 0.006, 0.009, 0.0016, 0.0019, 0.0119, 0.0252, 0.035, 0.0198, 0.0075, 0.0099, 0.006, -0.0133, -0.0119, -0.0016, -0.0063, -0.0043, -0.0043, 0.0024, -0.0045, -0.0076, -0.0014, -0.0014, 0.0121, 0.0042, 0.0029, 0.0086, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0236, 0.0134, 0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0335, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0439, 0.0493, 0.0478, 0.0543, 0.0433, 0.0524, 0.0483, 0.0642, 0.0663, 0.072, 0.0826, 0.0893, 0.0864, 0.0883, 0.1068, 0.1027, 0.1039, 0.1148, 0.0982, 0.0982, 0.1164, 0.117, 0.1176, 0.1165, 0.1226, 0.1078, 0.1095, 0.0926, 0.0857, 0.1, 0.1096, 0.1119, 0.1063, 0.1069, 0.0972, 0.11, 0.1149, 0.1347, 0.1351, 0.1412, 0.1546, 0.1593, 0.1578, 0.1485, 0.1434, 0.1484, 0.1475, 0.1629, 0.1715, 0.1883, 0.186, 0.1884, 0.1812, 0.1536, 0.1288, 0.1349, 0.1769, 0.2057, 0.2287, 0.2217, 0.2281, 0.268, 0.2625, 0.2625, 0.3015, 0.283, 0.2523, 0.2705, 0.2567, 0.2746, 0.2622, 0.2528, 0.2267, 0.2289, 0.2656, 0.3011, 0.2815, 0.2563, 0.2654, 0.2298, 0.235, 0.209, 0.2283, 0.2135, 0.2291, 0.252]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1860417253151220168", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-23T20:16:52+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Two very different ways to arrive at the same place: Long gold & silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long gold and silver on China external drain / anti-FX-reserve mechanics and rising US cost of living.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"It is probably going to take 1 or 2 years for people to understand what is a Gold a Spread.\n\nSpread is widening on Silver to 10%.\n\nIt means discharge/ external drain in China.\nI don't know why people don't understand what an external drain is...\nIt's simply the ANTI FX AS RESERVES.\nThat's why the USD is not making a new high versus CNH since 2022, DESPITE China having lowered rates the whole time.\nExternal drains are the norm in 400 years of history, and China has dusted off that old tool.\nAnd by the way it's why cost of living are rising in the US. Same mechanics...\" @GraphCall \n\nTwo very different ways to arrive at the same place: Long gold & silver.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @GraphCall Its just the number in the disaggregated commitment of traders data highlighted in first table below. Everyone always asks why I don't net out the longs...and I just point to the volatility of the Swaps' gross short, which is so much crazier than the volatility of their long https://t.co/Qo5ufRw6t9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SemperVigilant1", "ret_m1d": 0.03040174368809434, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03040174368809434, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033782381276551976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.033782381276551976, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006152735485252414, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006152735485252414, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009313548028389018, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009313548028389018, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "ret_p1w": 0.005790870778886514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005790870778886514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00441765399447358, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00441765399447358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "ret_p1m": -0.02207740577383377, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02207740577383377, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03177346633551159, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03177346633551159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "ret_p3m": 0.0839667633963288, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0839667633963288, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05902364160737417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05902364160737417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "ret_p6m": 0.09048136358794734, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09048136358794734, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09197976891315518, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09197976891315518, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "ret_p1y": 0.7488237843827559, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7488237843827559, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5912447920796222, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5912447920796222, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7488237843827559, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5912447920796222, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5912447920796222, "price_path": [-0.034, -0.0297, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0742, -0.0706, -0.0507, -0.0778, -0.0644, -0.0612, -0.0547, -0.013, 0.0141, 0.0159, 0.0119, -0.0141, 0.0166, 0.0282, 0.0127, 0.0633, 0.0518, 0.059, 0.0445, 0.0282, 0.0344, 0.0496, 0.0579, 0.0626, 0.0471, 0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0271, 0.0423, 0.0329, 0.0391, 0.0463, 0.0456, 0.1089, 0.1165, 0.1488, 0.1115, 0.1107, 0.1086, 0.1122, 0.1361, 0.1151, 0.0789, 0.0691, 0.0724, 0.0767, 0.029, 0.0536, 0.0308, 0.0123, 0.0159, -0.0007, 0.0065, -0.0022, 0.0271, 0.0315, 0.017, 0.0148, 0.0304, 0.0, 0.0062, -0.0065, -0.0065, 0.0105, 0.0058, 0.0235, 0.0326, 0.0337, 0.0224, 0.0489, 0.0492, 0.051, 0.0206, 0.0043, 0.0062, 0.0065, -0.0282, -0.0402, -0.0257, -0.0232, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.0177, -0.0315, -0.0434, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0253, -0.0235, -0.0141, -0.0109, -0.0083, -0.0083, -0.0007, -0.0242, -0.0156, 0.0119, 0.0148, -0.0007, -0.0007, 0.0148, 0.0152, 0.0051, 0.0101, -0.0062, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0394, 0.0318, 0.0376, 0.0575, 0.0623, 0.0633, 0.0507, 0.0568, 0.0496, 0.0619, 0.0662, 0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0825, 0.0789, 0.084, 0.0709, 0.0655, 0.0434, 0.0474, 0.0279, 0.0246, 0.0405, 0.0496, 0.0775, 0.0746, 0.0709, 0.0536, 0.0843, 0.0937, 0.1126, 0.1115, 0.1151, 0.1165, 0.1129, 0.1039, 0.0865, 0.0843, 0.1068, 0.105, 0.1336, 0.122, 0.1216, 0.1086, 0.1133, 0.0456, -0.0199, -0.0177, -0.0177, 0.0156, 0.0235, 0.0565, 0.0633, 0.0644, 0.0771, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0677, 0.106, 0.106, 0.0876, 0.0927, 0.0796, 0.0713, 0.0637, 0.0539, 0.067, 0.0937, 0.0673, 0.0662, 0.0785, 0.0724, 0.0832, 0.0586, 0.0717, 0.0604, 0.0648, 0.0905]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1846014428090646573", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-15T02:25:11+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I turned bearish oil and yields BIG PICTURE since May", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil and yields big-picture since May, reinforced into 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And another reason I turned bearish oil and yields BIG PICTURE since May. \n\n#2025", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04356786800267054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04356786800267054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0357372097082449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0357372097082449, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007830658294425641, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007830658294425641, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004947781745216595, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004947781745216595, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00929419622186245, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00929419622186245, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0043464144766458546, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0043464144766458546, "ret_p1w": 0.016767470930235673, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016767470930235673, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01066169113152271, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01066169113152271, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0061057797987129625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0061057797987129625, "ret_p1m": -0.02789992742847991, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02789992742847991, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05792860628650831, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05792860628650831, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0300286788580284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0300286788580284, "ret_p3m": 0.10830122350277072, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10830122350277072, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10370674023468296, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10370674023468296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.004594483268087757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004594483268087757, "ret_p6m": -0.07119296527063224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07119296527063224, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.023489411881264743, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.023489411881264743, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04770355338936749, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04770355338936749, "ret_p1y": -0.016767470930235562, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.016767470930235562, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1850657619951822, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1850657619951822, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16829829106494665, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16829829106494665, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02789992742847991, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05792860628650831, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05792860628650831, "price_path": [0.0981, 0.072, 0.0668, 0.0531, 0.0557, 0.0646, 0.046, 0.0334, 0.0234, 0.0684, 0.0485, 0.0087, 0.0063, -0.0043, 0.0265, 0.0357, 0.0476, 0.0807, 0.0671, 0.0526, 0.0639, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0147, -0.0022, 0.0113, 0.0383, 0.0697, 0.0513, 0.0374, 0.0551, 0.0217, 0.0217, -0.023, -0.0433, -0.0394, -0.0526, -0.048, -0.0797, -0.0675, -0.0394, -0.0401, -0.0258, -0.0143, -0.0289, -0.0001, 0.0022, -0.007, 0.0073, -0.0176, -0.0515, -0.0342, -0.039, -0.0089, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.0493, 0.0885, 0.0416, 0.0342, 0.0689, 0.065, 0.0436, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0019, -0.019, -0.0069, 0.0168, 0.0109, 0.0041, 0.0202, -0.032, -0.0426, -0.0192, 0.0044, -0.0102, 0.021, 0.0271, 0.0245, 0.0261, 0.0051, -0.025, -0.0284, -0.0279, -0.0202, -0.0414, -0.0095, -0.0062, -0.0102, 0.006, 0.0205, -0.0091, -0.0158, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0158, -0.0236, 0.0038, -0.0121, -0.0177, -0.0346, -0.0219, -0.0187, 0.0078, 0.0062, 0.0199, 0.0129, 0.0074, 0.0025, -0.0021, 0.0047, 0.0041, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0051, 0.015, 0.0283, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0573, 0.0709, 0.0624, 0.0744, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.1083, 0.1302, 0.1225, 0.1592, 0.1399, 0.1341, 0.1341, 0.1148, 0.1054, 0.0886, 0.094, 0.0711, 0.0838, 0.069, 0.0686, 0.0723, 0.0695, 0.0653, 0.0458, 0.037, 0.0426, 0.0638, 0.0757, 0.0489, 0.0499, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0577, 0.0645, 0.0687, 0.0356, 0.0441, 0.0188, 0.015, 0.0346, 0.0338, 0.0077, 0.0076, -0.0184, -0.0224, -0.0092, -0.0257, -0.018, 0.0005, -0.0157, -0.0066, -0.0007, -0.0076, -0.0047, 0.0133, 0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0283, 0.0366, 0.0374, 0.0276, 0.0628, 0.0594, 0.0684, -0.007, -0.0665, -0.0932, -0.1295, -0.0712]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1833511575824548172", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-10T14:23:19+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Already positioned clients short on THIS THESIS last week! $XLF $KIE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short financials (XLF, KIE) on JPM NII warning from lower rates; expects tech to follow banks lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Already positioned clients short on THIS THESIS last week!\n\n$XLF $KIE \n\n$JPM warned much  lower rates will hurt net interest income. \n\nAND \"When we lose banks, tech will follow.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010339448693672981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010339448693672981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014676245627813, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014676245627813, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004336796934140019, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004336796934140019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047201505501939245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0047201505501939245, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0149790001286223, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0149790001286223, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010258849578428375, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010258849578428375, "ret_p1w": 0.018880778348800753, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018880778348800753, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007140230957233262, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007140230957233262, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026021009306034015, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026021009306034015, "ret_p1m": 0.03250168859900393, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03250168859900393, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02238306556511005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02238306556511005, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05488475416411398, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05488475416411398, "ret_p3m": 0.13694751502256408, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13694751502256408, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.026004434742295857, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.026004434742295857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11094308028026822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11094308028026822, "ret_p6m": 0.137491636271591, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.137491636271591, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06819943063145528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06819943063145528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06929220564013572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06929220564013572, "ret_p1y": 0.2285820075185261, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2285820075185261, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03139846635282573, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03139846635282573, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19718354116570036, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19718354116570036, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03250168859900393, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02238306556511005, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02238306556511005, "price_path": [-0.087, -0.0899, -0.0819, -0.076, -0.076, -0.0711, -0.0747, -0.0652, -0.0722, -0.078, -0.0791, -0.076, -0.0739, -0.0632, -0.0661, -0.0661, -0.0663, -0.0688, -0.0616, -0.058, -0.0506, -0.0474, -0.0335, -0.0225, -0.0151, -0.027, -0.0369, -0.0315, -0.0297, -0.0429, -0.0393, -0.0243, -0.0256, -0.0144, -0.0169, -0.0308, -0.0546, -0.082, -0.0672, -0.0661, -0.051, -0.047, -0.0519, -0.0441, -0.0324, -0.0234, -0.0162, -0.0108, -0.0139, -0.0155, -0.0099, -0.0013, 0.0018, 0.007, 0.0094, 0.0184, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0205, 0.0216, 0.0103, -0.0045, 0.0103, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.0025, 0.0004, 0.0135, 0.0189, 0.0157, 0.027, 0.0263, 0.0251, 0.0165, 0.0104, 0.0156, 0.0185, 0.0224, 0.0169, 0.0181, 0.0127, 0.0298, 0.0172, 0.023, 0.0325, 0.0293, 0.0492, 0.0557, 0.058, 0.0711, 0.074, 0.0742, 0.0657, 0.0636, 0.0627, 0.0636, 0.0519, 0.065, 0.0584, 0.0632, 0.0485, 0.0521, 0.044, 0.0537, 0.1178, 0.0997, 0.1097, 0.1254, 0.1221, 0.1227, 0.1198, 0.125, 0.1284, 0.1209, 0.1175, 0.1318, 0.1444, 0.1518, 0.1541, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1582, 0.1466, 0.1381, 0.1338, 0.1372, 0.1369, 0.1214, 0.1212, 0.1234, 0.1184, 0.1175, 0.1155, 0.1076, 0.0745, 0.0783, 0.0943, 0.0969, 0.1099, 0.1099, 0.1126, 0.1044, 0.0938, 0.0949, 0.0949, 0.0922, 0.1008, 0.0974, 0.0949, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.072, 0.0797, 0.0931, 0.121, 0.1284, 0.1379, 0.1379, 0.1475, 0.142, 0.1486, 0.152, 0.1647, 0.1626, 0.1617, 0.1728, 0.166, 0.1613, 0.1586, 0.1708, 0.1805, 0.174, 0.1647, 0.1676, 0.1635, 0.1712, 0.1735, 0.1735, 0.1819, 0.1823, 0.1642, 0.1497, 0.1547, 0.1545, 0.152, 0.1583, 0.1821, 0.1722, 0.1309, 0.1375]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1833511575824548172", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-10T14:23:19+00:00", "symbol": "KIE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Already positioned clients short on THIS THESIS last week! $XLF $KIE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short financials (XLF, KIE) on JPM NII warning from lower rates; expects tech to follow banks lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["KIE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Already positioned clients short on THIS THESIS last week!\n\n$XLF $KIE \n\n$JPM warned much  lower rates will hurt net interest income. \n\nAND \"When we lose banks, tech will follow.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004886843562996068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004886843562996068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009223640497136087, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009223640497136087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004336796934140019, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004336796934140019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010316819824400358, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010316819824400358, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020575669402828733, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020575669402828733, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010258849578428375, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010258849578428375, "ret_p1w": 0.02479642476503119, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02479642476503119, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0012245845410028267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0012245845410028267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026021009306034015, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026021009306034015, "ret_p1m": 0.03439003923067396, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03439003923067396, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020494714933440017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020494714933440017, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05488475416411398, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05488475416411398, "ret_p3m": 0.09556753954631647, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09556753954631647, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015375540733951754, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015375540733951754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11094308028026822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11094308028026822, "ret_p6m": 0.08873338042379131, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08873338042379131, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01944117478365559, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01944117478365559, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06929220564013572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06929220564013572, "ret_p1y": 0.0821668776637674, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0821668776637674, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.11501666350193296, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11501666350193296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19718354116570036, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19718354116570036, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03439003923067396, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020494714933440017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020494714933440017, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1168, -0.1036, -0.0973, -0.0973, -0.0885, -0.0901, -0.0822, -0.0921, -0.0999, -0.0929, -0.0981, -0.0972, -0.0945, -0.099, -0.099, -0.1052, -0.1014, -0.1024, -0.0918, -0.0791, -0.0706, -0.0619, -0.051, -0.0452, -0.0492, -0.0706, -0.0639, -0.0552, -0.0637, -0.0605, -0.0362, -0.038, -0.0167, -0.0183, -0.0259, -0.0395, -0.0657, -0.063, -0.0606, -0.0518, -0.0474, -0.0523, -0.0478, -0.0357, -0.0286, -0.0197, -0.0154, -0.0224, -0.0179, -0.011, -0.002, -0.0005, 0.0016, 0.008, 0.0168, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0186, 0.0208, 0.011, -0.0013, 0.0049, 0.0, -0.0103, 0.0007, 0.0121, 0.0232, 0.0248, 0.025, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.0291, 0.0235, 0.0228, 0.0242, 0.0253, 0.0302, 0.0299, 0.0306, 0.0253, 0.0462, 0.0102, 0.0228, 0.0344, 0.0299, 0.0407, 0.0489, 0.0493, 0.0567, 0.0653, 0.0603, 0.0485, 0.042, 0.04, 0.0447, 0.0244, 0.0326, 0.0304, 0.0355, 0.0171, 0.0133, 0.0106, 0.0181, 0.064, 0.0511, 0.0643, 0.076, 0.0774, 0.0752, 0.0741, 0.0783, 0.0825, 0.0763, 0.08, 0.0957, 0.1075, 0.1174, 0.123, 0.1261, 0.1261, 0.125, 0.1164, 0.1105, 0.1066, 0.1043, 0.0956, 0.076, 0.0547, 0.0591, 0.0582, 0.0602, 0.0587, 0.0449, 0.0126, 0.0182, 0.0313, 0.0303, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0462, 0.0358, 0.0283, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0243, 0.0309, 0.0212, 0.0199, 0.0198, 0.0198, -0.0102, -0.0018, 0.0185, 0.0329, 0.0469, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0475, 0.0406, 0.0345, 0.0373, 0.0601, 0.0594, 0.0584, 0.0635, 0.0552, 0.0521, 0.0497, 0.0606, 0.0674, 0.0676, 0.0584, 0.0528, 0.0446, 0.0639, 0.0552, 0.0552, 0.0637, 0.0615, 0.0542, 0.0402, 0.0553, 0.0679, 0.065, 0.0798, 0.0962, 0.0993, 0.0787, 0.0887]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1841940874625966211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-03T20:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "OIL SPIKE INCOMING thesis", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil spike incoming; long oil and refiners VLO, PBF, MPC, DINO, PSX plus energy ETF XLE as ways to play it.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ways to play my OIL SPIKE INCOMING thesis from Tuesday.\n\nTrade Idea: Oil Spike & Refiners\n\nDiscussed: $WTIC, $XNGUSD, $VLO, $PBF ( $MPC, $DINO, $PSX), $XLE, $OXV\n\nhttps://t.co/9G9y8P5cBs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008120433917201075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008120433917201075, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000885045424356079, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.000885045424356079, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009005479341557154, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009005479341557154, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037328075063250976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037328075063250976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0463685592255807, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0463685592255807, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00904048416232972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00904048416232972, "ret_p1w": 0.01493123002530039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01493123002530039, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00341236106802123, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00341236106802123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01151886895727916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01151886895727916, "ret_p1m": -0.02698097707614211, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02698097707614211, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021448476024095053, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.021448476024095053, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005532501052047056, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005532501052047056, "ret_p3m": -0.010478001812068705, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.010478001812068705, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.036783581069560034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.036783581069560034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02630557925749133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02630557925749133, "ret_p6m": 0.012835669633520341, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.012835669633520341, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.030321229873175093, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.030321229873175093, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01748556023965475, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01748556023965475, "ret_p1y": -0.01702679041708055, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.01702679041708055, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18857400240812316, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.18857400240812316, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17154721199104261, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17154721199104261, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02698097707614211, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.021448476024095053, "alpha_c_stated": -0.021448476024095053, "price_path": [0.0448, 0.0541, 0.0601, 0.0511, 0.0494, 0.0355, 0.0559, 0.0465, 0.0216, 0.0166, 0.0035, 0.006, 0.0145, -0.0031, -0.0152, -0.0248, 0.0182, -0.0008, -0.0388, -0.041, -0.0511, -0.0217, -0.013, -0.0017, 0.0299, 0.0169, 0.0031, 0.0139, -0.0004, -0.0258, -0.033, -0.0491, -0.0363, -0.0105, 0.0194, 0.0018, -0.0114, 0.0055, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.0689, -0.0883, -0.0846, -0.0972, -0.0927, -0.123, -0.1113, -0.0846, -0.0853, -0.0716, -0.0606, -0.0745, -0.0472, -0.0449, -0.0537, -0.0401, -0.0638, -0.0961, -0.0796, -0.0842, -0.0555, -0.047, -0.0081, 0.0, 0.0373, -0.0073, -0.0144, 0.0186, 0.0149, -0.0055, -0.047, -0.0517, -0.0489, -0.0651, -0.0536, -0.031, -0.0367, -0.0431, -0.0278, -0.0775, -0.0876, -0.0654, -0.0428, -0.0567, -0.027, -0.0212, -0.0237, -0.0221, -0.0422, -0.0709, -0.0741, -0.0736, -0.0663, -0.0864, -0.0561, -0.0529, -0.0567, -0.0413, -0.0275, -0.0557, -0.0621, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0621, -0.0695, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.0639, -0.08, -0.0678, -0.0648, -0.0396, -0.0411, -0.028, -0.0347, -0.0399, -0.0447, -0.049, -0.0426, -0.0431, -0.0354, -0.0354, -0.0422, -0.0327, -0.02, -0.0105, -0.0105, 0.0076, 0.0206, 0.0124, 0.0238, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0562, 0.077, 0.0697, 0.1046, 0.0863, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0623, 0.0534, 0.0375, 0.0426, 0.0207, 0.0329, 0.0187, 0.0183, 0.0219, 0.0193, 0.0152, -0.0034, -0.0118, -0.0064, 0.0138, 0.0251, -0.0004, 0.0005, -0.0069, -0.0069, 0.008, 0.0144, 0.0185, -0.0131, -0.005, -0.0291, -0.0327, -0.014, -0.0148, -0.0397, -0.0398, -0.0646, -0.0684, -0.0558, -0.0715, -0.0642, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0533, -0.0477, -0.0542, -0.0515, -0.0343, -0.0335, -0.0193, -0.02, -0.0122, -0.0114, -0.0207, 0.0128]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1841883297737277844", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-03T16:49:33+00:00", "symbol": "XLE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We size up $XLE to play an oil spike thesis", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XLE as a play on an oil spike thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hans @HansCashFlow and I talk market/sector direction using options. We size up $XLE to play an oil spike thesis. VIX & Bond option review & more!\n\nhttps://t.co/zfGCYt4YIE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01733093945547981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01733093945547981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019162465798370554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019162465798370554, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018315263428907436, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018315263428907436, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009315441717011375, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009315441717011375, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0002281267482326932, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0002281267482326932, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009087314968778681, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009087314968778681, "ret_p1w": -0.0008665426387606256, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0008665426387606256, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015501421017118266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015501421017118266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01463487837835764, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01463487837835764, "ret_p1m": -0.046468858250110934, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046468858250110934, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05213950338924933, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05213950338924933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005670645139138397, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005670645139138397, "ret_p3m": -0.06435619834560302, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06435619834560302, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09998813965602193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09998813965602193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03563194131041891, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03563194131041891, "ret_p6m": 0.017464860469472487, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.017464860469472487, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03263287361223177, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03263287361223177, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015168013142759285, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015168013142759285, "ret_p1y": -0.018779886814639712, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.018779886814639712, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2074437743060914, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2074437743060914, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1886638874914517, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1886638874914517, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.046468858250110934, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05213950338924933, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05213950338924933, "price_path": [-0.0379, -0.0464, -0.04, -0.03, -0.0275, -0.0128, -0.0084, 0.0015, 0.0033, -0.0077, -0.0139, -0.0296, -0.0295, -0.0127, -0.0096, -0.0181, -0.0028, 0.0014, -0.0252, -0.0503, -0.0713, -0.0656, -0.0618, -0.0416, -0.0395, -0.0347, -0.0441, -0.0385, -0.027, -0.0281, -0.0215, -0.0473, -0.0457, -0.0432, -0.0289, -0.0202, -0.0294, -0.0356, -0.023, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0438, -0.057, -0.0643, -0.076, -0.0693, -0.0853, -0.0938, -0.0856, -0.0805, -0.07, -0.0574, -0.0556, -0.0443, -0.0464, -0.0347, -0.037, -0.0559, -0.0744, -0.0556, -0.049, -0.0273, -0.0173, 0.0, 0.0093, 0.0129, -0.0135, -0.0076, -0.0009, 0.0053, 0.0049, -0.0275, -0.0229, -0.0182, -0.0214, -0.0244, -0.0221, -0.0272, -0.0273, -0.0276, -0.0338, -0.0485, -0.0464, -0.0404, -0.0465, -0.0298, -0.0233, 0.0134, 0.0088, 0.0155, 0.0212, 0.0158, 0.0237, 0.0276, 0.0261, 0.0398, 0.0331, 0.0435, 0.052, 0.0536, 0.0328, 0.0314, 0.0303, 0.0303, 0.0348, 0.0238, 0.0237, -0.001, 0.0029, -0.0141, -0.0157, -0.0224, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0336, -0.0548, -0.0619, -0.0896, -0.0975, -0.0886, -0.0833, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0763, -0.0764, -0.0765, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0534, -0.0446, -0.049, -0.0395, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0345, -0.0142, -0.0036, 0.0111, 0.0184, 0.0263, 0.0263, 0.0211, 0.0025, 0.0071, -0.0026, -0.013, -0.0224, -0.0202, -0.0152, -0.0427, -0.0367, -0.0165, -0.0144, -0.0326, -0.0327, -0.0114, -0.0034, -0.0274, -0.0201, -0.0162, -0.0162, -0.0028, 0.0051, 0.0143, -0.0068, -0.0066, -0.0209, -0.0265, -0.0212, -0.006, -0.0408, -0.05, -0.0639, -0.0611, -0.045, -0.0379, -0.0456, -0.0412, -0.0478, -0.0196, -0.004, -0.0023, 0.014, 0.0177, 0.0106, 0.0221, 0.0263, 0.0323, 0.0223, 0.0175]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1851603973859344570", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-30T12:36:03+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LLY rec'd TREND long since $200 was forming a Head & Shoulder's pattern into earnings. I said to protect down to $800 as $793 is strong support.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long LLY with $793 support level; short NVO from $138 with $106 price target on same H&S pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LLY rec'd TREND long since $200 was forming a Head & Shoulder's pattern into earnings. I said to protect down to $800 as $793 is strong support. \n\nAnd yet, already short $NVO on same pattern since $138 with $106 PT. We are close on both. \n\nJoin us: Profit & Protect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LLY earnings and revenue missed estimates and the company is cutting the high end of its full year revenue guidance. \"There is an excess supply, but we haven't been stimulating demand the way we had originally planned,\" says CEO David Ricks on GLP-1 inventory levels. https://t.co/FfTh9m5TEI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06701468654492615, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06701468654492615, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06398019030663393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06398019030663393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020181246101981243, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020181246101981243, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005781598423232337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005781598423232337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "ret_p1w": -0.08319264097855616, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08319264097855616, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10220936152965399, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10220936152965399, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "ret_p1m": -0.0677049268621126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0677049268621126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10015253653585798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10015253653585798, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "ret_p3m": -0.04407211427658975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04407211427658975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08092863563517538, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08092863563517538, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "ret_p6m": 0.018667212942713896, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.018667212942713896, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0700972848047311, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0700972848047311, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "ret_p1y": -0.04470827676812228, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04470827676812228, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2041146942508415, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2041146942508415, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0677049268621126, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10015253653585798, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10015253653585798, "price_path": [-0.0514, -0.0858, -0.0647, -0.0895, -0.0032, 0.0515, 0.0429, 0.0708, 0.0987, 0.1001, 0.0889, 0.0885, 0.1218, 0.1242, 0.1268, 0.1251, 0.1225, 0.1271, 0.1206, 0.1103, 0.1337, 0.1337, 0.1295, 0.1175, 0.0778, 0.066, 0.0726, 0.0643, 0.0875, 0.1041, 0.0908, 0.0906, 0.0701, 0.0687, 0.0805, 0.0882, 0.0847, 0.0916, 0.0918, 0.0738, 0.0366, 0.0462, 0.0445, 0.0522, 0.0457, 0.0476, 0.0609, 0.079, 0.0861, 0.0754, 0.1006, 0.0976, 0.0785, 0.0822, 0.083, 0.084, 0.07, 0.0736, 0.0666, 0.0525, 0.0542, 0.0576, 0.067, 0.0, -0.0202, -0.0329, -0.048, -0.0481, -0.0832, -0.0583, -0.0181, -0.017, -0.033, -0.0414, -0.0716, -0.1174, -0.1398, -0.1369, -0.1088, -0.113, -0.1152, -0.107, -0.0664, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0592, -0.054, -0.038, -0.0184, -0.0234, -0.0221, -0.0495, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0746, -0.0666, -0.0786, -0.079, -0.0955, -0.104, -0.0919, -0.0581, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0607, -0.0736, -0.0847, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.0797, -0.0751, -0.095, -0.0853, -0.0689, -0.0689, -0.0539, -0.0567, -0.1189, -0.1167, -0.1039, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1219, -0.1082, -0.0932, -0.071, -0.0441, -0.0478, -0.0489, -0.0263, -0.0406, -0.0414, -0.0229, -0.0038, 0.0295, 0.0389, 0.0277, 0.0231, 0.0326, 0.0313, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0157, 0.0273, 0.0345, 0.0352, 0.0443, 0.0685, 0.0842, 0.0725, 0.0908, 0.1016, 0.0795, 0.1016, 0.0815, 0.0303, -0.0168, -0.0236, -0.0262, -0.0501, -0.0361, -0.0228, -0.0254, -0.0083, -0.0017, -0.0076, 0.0248, 0.0099, -0.0204, -0.0264, -0.0254, -0.0214, -0.0459, -0.0305, -0.065, -0.1253, -0.1425, -0.1395, -0.107, -0.1458, -0.1322, -0.1062, -0.1028, -0.1292, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0308, -0.0195, -0.0172, 0.0187]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1851603973859344570", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-30T12:36:03+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "already short $NVO on same pattern since $138 with $106 PT. We are close on both.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long LLY with $793 support level; short NVO from $138 with $106 price target on same H&S pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LLY rec'd TREND long since $200 was forming a Head & Shoulder's pattern into earnings. I said to protect down to $800 as $793 is strong support. \n\nAnd yet, already short $NVO on same pattern since $138 with $106 PT. We are close on both. \n\nJoin us: Profit & Protect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LLY earnings and revenue missed estimates and the company is cutting the high end of its full year revenue guidance. \"There is an excess supply, but we haven't been stimulating demand the way we had originally planned,\" says CEO David Ricks on GLP-1 inventory levels. https://t.co/FfTh9m5TEI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011126759320044255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011126759320044255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014161255558336472, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014161255558336472, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011391805194942206, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011391805194942206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008211281064715803, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008211281064715803, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "ret_p1w": -0.06958670714196358, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06958670714196358, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0886034276930614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0886034276930614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "ret_p1m": -0.06278694912102445, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06278694912102445, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09523455879476983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09523455879476983, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "ret_p3m": -0.22721644343746628, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22721644343746628, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2640729647960519, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2640729647960519, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "ret_p6m": -0.4380145760159536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4380145760159536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3865845041539364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3865845041539364, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "ret_p1y": -0.5066349027881635, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5066349027881635, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6660413202708827, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6660413202708827, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06278694912102445, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09523455879476983, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09523455879476983, "price_path": [0.1216, 0.1085, 0.1448, 0.049, 0.1276, 0.1743, 0.1428, 0.1751, 0.1826, 0.2103, 0.1912, 0.1944, 0.1993, 0.1918, 0.2088, 0.2096, 0.1948, 0.1937, 0.1876, 0.2144, 0.2289, 0.2289, 0.2033, 0.188, 0.1559, 0.1581, 0.1649, 0.1461, 0.1942, 0.2068, 0.2098, 0.2089, 0.1657, 0.1662, 0.1911, 0.126, 0.0924, 0.1077, 0.1211, 0.0977, 0.0664, 0.0515, 0.0421, 0.0286, 0.0162, 0.0166, 0.04, 0.035, 0.0332, 0.0379, 0.06, 0.0578, 0.0404, 0.0423, 0.044, 0.0428, 0.0361, 0.0285, 0.0221, 0.006, 0.0012, -0.0078, -0.0111, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0115, -0.0311, -0.0275, -0.0696, -0.0495, -0.0533, -0.0366, -0.0546, -0.0559, -0.0699, -0.1016, -0.1186, -0.0937, -0.0704, -0.0937, -0.0722, -0.0767, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0569, -0.0404, -0.0357, -0.0377, -0.039, -0.0218, -0.0191, -0.0358, -0.0137, -0.0409, -0.0555, -0.0458, -0.0462, -0.0643, -0.0865, -0.2494, -0.2166, -0.2285, -0.2285, -0.226, -0.2285, -0.2429, -0.2404, -0.2404, -0.2271, -0.226, -0.2491, -0.264, -0.2437, -0.2437, -0.2383, -0.2527, -0.2831, -0.2677, -0.2664, -0.3051, -0.3051, -0.2844, -0.2885, -0.2838, -0.2232, -0.2272, -0.2477, -0.2579, -0.2464, -0.2542, -0.2701, -0.2704, -0.2429, -0.2302, -0.2368, -0.259, -0.2605, -0.2777, -0.3039, -0.3123, -0.3123, -0.273, -0.2635, -0.2605, -0.2222, -0.2, -0.1968, -0.2092, -0.2121, -0.1995, -0.2108, -0.2273, -0.1976, -0.2225, -0.2302, -0.3028, -0.3102, -0.3395, -0.3298, -0.3187, -0.2922, -0.2849, -0.3024, -0.3042, -0.3213, -0.3348, -0.3501, -0.3666, -0.3804, -0.388, -0.3769, -0.3896, -0.3877, -0.3979, -0.4387, -0.429, -0.4473, -0.4159, -0.4508, -0.4192, -0.4072, -0.4213, -0.4358, -0.4788, -0.4788, -0.4766, -0.4624, -0.4499, -0.438]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1856075606674305149", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-11T20:44:43+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "could slice right thru", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Gold pullback stronger than expected; price could slice through $2600 support, dragging GLD/SLV/GDX lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even though I warned clients Oct 29th to expect Gold to pullback to $2600... today's gap down was stronger than I expected. Translation: could slice right thru.\n\n👉https://t.co/Edj42oEPFP\n$SLV $GLD $GDX https://t.co/KeoaKYijKR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold -  This has been the strongest 4 day down move in a very long time.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024035712145407562, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024035712145407562, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024987898710307932, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024987898710307932, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008631355179477884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008631355179477884, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005525019461360858, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005525019461360858, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": -0.004336346966236526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004336346966236526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013383706646662885, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013383706646662885, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": 0.02663746991203597, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02663746991203597, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019890500409886158, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019890500409886158, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": 0.08792431378457732, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08792431378457732, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07189017030723743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07189017030723743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": 0.30288267853945894, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30288267853945894, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36366272458729687, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36366272458729687, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": 0.49913273690839177, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.49913273690839177, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3371531417681739, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3371531417681739, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004336346966236526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013383706646662885, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013383706646662885, "price_path": [-0.0658, -0.0629, -0.0419, -0.0435, -0.04, -0.0413, -0.0527, -0.0418, -0.0387, -0.0361, -0.0429, -0.038, -0.0448, -0.0448, -0.0489, -0.0484, -0.0404, -0.0475, -0.0435, -0.0393, -0.0408, -0.024, -0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0198, -0.0274, -0.0123, 0.0003, 0.0022, 0.0162, 0.0148, 0.02, 0.0119, 0.0038, 0.0143, 0.0145, 0.0138, 0.0118, 0.0084, 0.0009, -0.0045, 0.0028, 0.0138, 0.0121, 0.0156, 0.0207, 0.0268, 0.0377, 0.0375, 0.0487, 0.0361, 0.044, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0576, 0.0634, 0.047, 0.0427, 0.0441, 0.0465, 0.0147, 0.031, 0.024, 0.0, -0.0086, -0.0186, -0.0212, -0.0229, -0.0043, 0.0046, 0.0102, 0.0187, 0.0318, 0.0014, 0.0033, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0142, 0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0104, 0.003, 0.0033, 0.0133, 0.0266, 0.0364, 0.0212, 0.0089, 0.0113, 0.0074, -0.0119, -0.0105, -0.0002, -0.0049, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0038, -0.0031, -0.0062, -0.0, -0.0, 0.0135, 0.0056, 0.0043, 0.01, 0.0154, 0.0154, 0.0251, 0.0149, 0.0202, 0.0278, 0.0349, 0.0294, 0.0294, 0.0454, 0.0508, 0.0493, 0.0558, 0.0448, 0.0539, 0.0498, 0.0657, 0.0678, 0.0735, 0.0841, 0.0908, 0.0879, 0.0899, 0.1083, 0.1043, 0.1054, 0.1163, 0.0997, 0.0997, 0.1179, 0.1186, 0.1191, 0.1181, 0.1242, 0.1094, 0.1111, 0.0941, 0.0873, 0.1016, 0.1112, 0.1135, 0.1078, 0.1084, 0.0987, 0.1116, 0.1164, 0.1362, 0.1367, 0.1429, 0.1562, 0.1609, 0.1595, 0.1501, 0.145, 0.15, 0.1491, 0.1645, 0.1731, 0.19, 0.1876, 0.1901, 0.1829, 0.1552, 0.1304, 0.1365, 0.1786, 0.2074, 0.2304, 0.2234, 0.2298, 0.2698, 0.2642, 0.2642, 0.3033, 0.2848, 0.254, 0.2723, 0.2585, 0.2764, 0.264, 0.2545, 0.2285, 0.2306, 0.2674, 0.3029]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1856075606674305149", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-11T20:44:43+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SLV $GLD $GDX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Gold pullback stronger than expected; price could slice through $2600 support, dragging GLD/SLV/GDX lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even though I warned clients Oct 29th to expect Gold to pullback to $2600... today's gap down was stronger than I expected. Translation: could slice right thru.\n\n👉https://t.co/Edj42oEPFP\n$SLV $GLD $GDX https://t.co/KeoaKYijKR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold -  This has been the strongest 4 day down move in a very long time.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06234678301755192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06234678301755192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06329896958245229, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06329896958245229, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01688003706948682, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01688003706948682, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013773701351369794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013773701351369794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": 0.007895364641865132, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007895364641865132, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025615418254764544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025615418254764544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": 0.03403208356468257, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03403208356468257, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027285114062532756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027285114062532756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": 0.1329394735633298, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1329394735633298, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11690533008598991, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11690533008598991, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": 0.39902734933059225, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39902734933059225, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4598073953784302, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4598073953784302, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": 0.9576465448134999, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.9576465448134999, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.795666949673282, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.795666949673282, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007895364641865132, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025615418254764544, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025615418254764544, "price_path": [0.0103, 0.0152, 0.0479, 0.0678, 0.0754, 0.0828, 0.0558, 0.0711, 0.0681, 0.0678, 0.0444, 0.0585, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0147, 0.0049, 0.0163, -0.0112, 0.0008, 0.0133, 0.018, 0.0675, 0.0915, 0.086, 0.0751, 0.0634, 0.0814, 0.1029, 0.098, 0.1274, 0.1247, 0.1337, 0.0988, 0.0841, 0.1013, 0.0991, 0.077, 0.0768, 0.0626, 0.0615, 0.0561, 0.0855, 0.0904, 0.0934, 0.1075, 0.1163, 0.1296, 0.1748, 0.1767, 0.2004, 0.1778, 0.147, 0.1315, 0.1261, 0.144, 0.1301, 0.0983, 0.0849, 0.0863, 0.092, 0.052, 0.0773, 0.0623, 0.0, -0.0169, -0.0319, -0.0275, -0.0332, 0.0079, 0.0313, 0.027, 0.0384, 0.0422, 0.0112, 0.0152, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0253, 0.0027, 0.0264, 0.0237, 0.0218, 0.0025, 0.0321, 0.034, 0.0643, 0.0253, -0.0022, -0.0084, -0.0147, -0.0599, -0.0637, -0.0545, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0505, -0.0563, -0.0698, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0265, -0.0359, -0.0475, -0.0345, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.0092, -0.0254, 0.0004, 0.0115, 0.0087, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.036, 0.0338, 0.0329, 0.0453, 0.0288, 0.0385, 0.044, 0.0858, 0.0732, 0.0897, 0.1026, 0.1305, 0.1329, 0.1255, 0.1558, 0.1415, 0.1605, 0.171, 0.1316, 0.1316, 0.1442, 0.1442, 0.1635, 0.1238, 0.1285, 0.1123, 0.1255, 0.0869, 0.0941, 0.0938, 0.1095, 0.1486, 0.1393, 0.147, 0.1159, 0.1525, 0.1541, 0.1902, 0.2021, 0.2277, 0.2354, 0.2459, 0.2439, 0.2258, 0.2189, 0.2401, 0.2304, 0.2605, 0.2552, 0.2663, 0.2616, 0.2605, 0.2594, 0.1481, 0.1418, 0.1431, 0.2393, 0.2993, 0.369, 0.3778, 0.3919, 0.4299, 0.4026, 0.4026, 0.423, 0.3836, 0.3423, 0.3707, 0.3445, 0.3616, 0.3354, 0.35, 0.3001, 0.2968, 0.342, 0.399]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1848878950325620878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-23T00:07:46+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My 'most bullish' intermarket chart posted for clients APR 3... was of silver/gold.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver vs gold ratio with a new upside target shared with clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My \"most bullish\" intermarket chart posted for clients APR 3... was of silver/gold. \n\nI just posted this update with target for clients ;-). https://t.co/cnndzk7Ysw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03540433750591365, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03540433750591365, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02618271034441788, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02618271034441788, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009221627161495771, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009221627161495771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008620490231698863, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008620490231698863, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030247436190737886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030247436190737886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0021626945959039023, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021626945959039023, "ret_p1w": 0.00814512723444416, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00814512723444416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004650200697412066, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004650200697412066, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034949265370320948, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034949265370320948, "ret_p1m": -0.08109389961403968, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08109389961403968, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10822241818225142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10822241818225142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027128518568211746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027128518568211746, "ret_p3m": -0.07993457862109354, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07993457862109354, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1173075534523419, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1173075534523419, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03737297483124835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03737297483124835, "ret_p6m": -0.03626638652908354, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03626638652908354, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.047159762267710126, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.047159762267710126, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08342614879679366, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08342614879679366, "ret_p1y": 0.3953032276149615, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3953032276149615, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.25175561314749606, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.25175561314749606, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14354761446746545, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14354761446746545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08109389961403968, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10822241818225142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10822241818225142, "price_path": [-0.1718, -0.1765, -0.1568, -0.1445, -0.1578, -0.1603, -0.1951, -0.1945, -0.2024, -0.1825, -0.1829, -0.1701, -0.1767, -0.1898, -0.1575, -0.1445, -0.1308, -0.1244, -0.1238, -0.1378, -0.1146, -0.1089, -0.1097, -0.1327, -0.1214, -0.1459, -0.1459, -0.1691, -0.1627, -0.1463, -0.1734, -0.159, -0.16, -0.1509, -0.1158, -0.0874, -0.0853, -0.0898, -0.0981, -0.0757, -0.0732, -0.0854, -0.0455, -0.0577, -0.048, -0.063, -0.0736, -0.0652, -0.0598, -0.0431, -0.0449, -0.0563, -0.0977, -0.0956, -0.0783, -0.063, -0.076, -0.0628, -0.0559, -0.0614, -0.0181, 0.0068, 0.0354, 0.0, -0.0009, -0.0011, 0.0056, 0.0187, 0.0081, -0.0293, -0.0326, -0.0345, -0.0293, -0.0719, -0.0557, -0.0678, -0.0922, -0.0878, -0.0907, -0.0931, -0.0972, -0.0736, -0.0723, -0.0798, -0.0811, -0.0693, -0.102, -0.0967, -0.1049, -0.1049, -0.0878, -0.0949, -0.0762, -0.0635, -0.0745, -0.0729, -0.0423, -0.038, -0.032, -0.0717, -0.0887, -0.0875, -0.0912, -0.096, -0.1351, -0.1183, -0.1115, -0.109, -0.109, -0.1068, -0.1185, -0.1348, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1194, -0.114, -0.098, -0.0949, -0.0948, -0.0847, -0.0758, -0.1055, -0.1043, -0.069, -0.0629, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0692, -0.0714, -0.0882, -0.0778, -0.1007, -0.0866, -0.0714, -0.0379, -0.0449, -0.0371, -0.0224, -0.0233, -0.0334, -0.0388, -0.0371, -0.0419, -0.0281, -0.0294, -0.0249, -0.0249, -0.0096, -0.0192, -0.0058, -0.0197, -0.0317, -0.0547, -0.0412, -0.0547, -0.072, -0.0478, -0.0455, -0.0232, -0.0172, -0.0325, -0.0406, -0.0224, -0.0046, 0.0122, 0.0163, 0.0129, 0.0279, 0.01, 0.0043, -0.0104, -0.0111, 0.0108, 0.0117, 0.0374, 0.0298, 0.0243, 0.0154, 0.0255, -0.0534, -0.1345, -0.1228, -0.1203, -0.0986, -0.0883, -0.054, -0.046, -0.042, -0.0212, -0.0363]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1841608777830654178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-02T22:38:42+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is from a woman who recommended $FXI to clients MONDAY Sept 23rd", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author recommended FXI to clients and remains bullish, noting explosive options activity as confirmation.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One word: LIFO \n\nAnd this is from a woman who recommended $FXI to clients MONDAY Sept 23rd!\n\nhttps://t.co/VJpbk0qt1W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Don't see this a lot --FXI calls were the most actively-traded options in the entire market today, topping SPY https://t.co/4BvzNxmNQQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028405769081871535, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028405769081871535, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02657424273898079, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02657424273898079, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018315263428907436, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018315263428907436, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03507223638621948, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03507223638621948, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0259849214174408, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0259849214174408, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009087314968778681, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009087314968778681, "ret_p1w": -0.0371015013837136, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0371015013837136, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05173637976207124, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05173637976207124, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01463487837835764, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01463487837835764, "ret_p1m": -0.0817391302332029, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0817391302332029, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08740977537234129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08740977537234129, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005670645139138397, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005670645139138397, "ret_p3m": -0.10447814131264788, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10447814131264788, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1401100826230668, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1401100826230668, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03563194131041891, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03563194131041891, "ret_p6m": 0.05438580874106402, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05438580874106402, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06955382188382331, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06955382188382331, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015168013142759285, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015168013142759285, "ret_p1y": 0.21276769607168133, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21276769607168133, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.024103808580229646, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.024103808580229646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1886638874914517, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1886638874914517, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0817391302332029, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08740977537234129, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08740977537234129, "price_path": [-0.2397, -0.2319, -0.2354, -0.2191, -0.211, -0.2287, -0.2287, -0.2391, -0.2461, -0.2516, -0.2359, -0.2467, -0.2551, -0.2641, -0.2603, -0.2591, -0.2658, -0.2557, -0.2661, -0.2696, -0.2745, -0.2817, -0.2786, -0.2612, -0.2623, -0.2565, -0.2522, -0.2661, -0.251, -0.2359, -0.229, -0.2464, -0.2386, -0.2443, -0.2325, -0.2386, -0.2301, -0.2423, -0.2368, -0.233, -0.233, -0.2464, -0.247, -0.2507, -0.2609, -0.2603, -0.262, -0.2545, -0.2548, -0.2504, -0.2461, -0.2365, -0.2409, -0.2136, -0.213, -0.1977, -0.1188, -0.1432, -0.0748, -0.0675, -0.0788, -0.0406, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0351, 0.0635, -0.0339, -0.0496, -0.0371, -0.0328, -0.051, -0.0986, -0.0826, -0.1058, -0.0675, -0.08, -0.0728, -0.0748, -0.0803, -0.0806, -0.0646, -0.0713, -0.0832, -0.0852, -0.0817, -0.0762, -0.0539, -0.0817, -0.0313, -0.0878, -0.0878, -0.1214, -0.1226, -0.1319, -0.1261, -0.1096, -0.1191, -0.1151, -0.1203, -0.1394, -0.1391, -0.1443, -0.1214, -0.1214, -0.1214, -0.1197, -0.1159, -0.1223, -0.1197, -0.1081, -0.0348, -0.0788, -0.0875, -0.087, -0.0986, -0.1133, -0.0977, -0.116, -0.1104, -0.1051, -0.0968, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.103, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1207, -0.1059, -0.1177, -0.1286, -0.1318, -0.1318, -0.1571, -0.153, -0.1345, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.0954, -0.1018, -0.1009, -0.0786, -0.0704, -0.0598, -0.0636, -0.0412, -0.0618, -0.0668, -0.0448, -0.0606, -0.0503, -0.0371, -0.0109, -0.0192, 0.0053, 0.005, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0385, 0.0311, 0.0511, 0.0662, 0.0306, 0.0409, 0.072, 0.0606, 0.0364, 0.0153, 0.0309, 0.0823, 0.0876, 0.0873, 0.0582, 0.0706, 0.0694, 0.0765, 0.1079, 0.1341, 0.1323, 0.1276, 0.0953, 0.0756, 0.0788, 0.0679, 0.067, 0.0791, 0.0544]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849428076192465111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T12:29:48+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA November 200P/250C bull risk reversal I rec'd Tues & Wed for clients will be lit.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA via Nov 200P/250C risk reversal; expects the structure to pay off with TSLA pushing higher into expiry.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice to the start of earnings season ;-)\n\n$TSLA November 200P/250C bull risk reversal I rec'd Tues & Wed for clients will be lit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Fabulous fundamental factoids - on $TSLA.\n\nAnd as presented to LaDucTrading clients yday when @HansCashFlow and I presented our respective trades live, that NOV risk reversal ($200P sold to finance $250C) is going to work well I think 😉 - esp with $TSLA pushing $240 AH. 🤗", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762550724312876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378374596486333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030290926083869296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003147307514544062, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509503397953323, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374073361943638, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435218846549193, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126089318585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834234438608497, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039524752035513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038403486661202635, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06952426690180391, "ret_p1y": 0.6734489231857548, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6734489231857548, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5148602524857089, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49519450563987033, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17825441754588445, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3254126089318585, "alpha_c_stated": 0.263981659016052, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1828450766039752882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-27T15:13:28+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fraud Always Marks The Top", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SMCI: author vindicated on prior fraud suspicions; quotes own thesis that fraud marks the top, implying further downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Are the revenues real?\"\n😉\n\nI got lambasted for asking last year. 😂\n$NVDA $SMCI\n\nI also said I am a very patient woman.\nAnd that \"Fraud Always Marks The Top\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "NEW FROM US: \n\nSuper Micro—Fresh Evidence Of Accounting Manipulation, Sibling Self-Dealing And Sanctions Evasion At This AI High Flyer\n\nhttps://t.co/TaWfYbJVUA $SMCI\n\n(1/x)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027152865265065218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027152865265065218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02852394209721576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033175569153840456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013710768321505418, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006022703888775238, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.190179697011449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.190179697011449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18437439993515936, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17638135633164687, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005805297076289628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013798340679802124, "ret_p1w": -0.1933021427754451, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1933021427754451, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17642075232574128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13810871072376407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016881390449703826, "bench_c_p1w": -0.055193432051681035, "ret_p1m": -0.16341029366426174, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16341029366426174, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18162459821354882, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17313119163625912, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018214304549287075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009720897971997378, "ret_p3m": -0.39467530562367625, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.39467530562367625, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4583847054273662, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4464961288830014, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06370939980368995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05182082325932513, "ret_p6m": 0.10017529886694487, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10017529886694487, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0016652698565924329, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.007935030788779995, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09851002901035244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09224026807816488, "ret_p1y": -0.1693447934926965, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1693447934926965, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.332146565578627, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.380941398309251, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1628017720859305, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2115966048165545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16341029366426174, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18162459821354882, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17313119163625912, "price_path": [0.5118, 0.4325, 0.4071, 0.409, 0.4654, 0.4205, 0.4044, 0.4368, 0.4017, 0.4147, 0.5906, 0.5421, 0.6204, 0.68, 0.68, 0.6756, 0.653, 0.5101, 0.5396, 0.5177, 0.6258, 0.4961, 0.4833, 0.5287, 0.5466, 0.5466, 0.5459, 0.6422, 0.6354, 0.6434, 0.6237, 0.6616, 0.6392, 0.6013, 0.4906, 0.4638, 0.4549, 0.4358, 0.4302, 0.2993, 0.2702, 0.3005, 0.2741, 0.2167, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.1406, 0.1117, 0.1265, -0.1003, -0.0688, -0.071, -0.0122, 0.0361, 0.0538, 0.1443, 0.1482, 0.1387, 0.1155, 0.139, 0.1044, 0.1198, 0.0272, 0.0, -0.1902, -0.1804, -0.2008, -0.2008, -0.1933, -0.2267, -0.2429, -0.2943, -0.2516, -0.2464, -0.1867, -0.1927, -0.1652, -0.1799, -0.1977, -0.2022, -0.2017, -0.165, -0.1492, -0.1534, -0.1634, -0.2652, -0.2335, -0.2396, -0.2596, -0.2331, -0.2413, -0.2471, -0.1283, -0.1719, -0.1365, -0.1514, -0.1272, -0.1347, -0.1279, -0.1098, -0.131, -0.137, -0.1272, -0.1606, -0.1717, -0.1558, -0.1368, -0.1286, -0.1031, -0.3961, -0.4684, -0.5243, -0.5247, -0.4942, -0.5855, -0.5347, -0.5523, -0.5758, -0.6038, -0.6288, -0.6711, -0.6607, -0.6067, -0.4838, -0.5289, -0.4577, -0.3947, -0.2986, -0.3713, -0.3596, -0.3596, -0.404, -0.2331, -0.2658, -0.2365, -0.2488, -0.1978, -0.1936, -0.2597, -0.3008, -0.3074, -0.3344, -0.3894, -0.3828, -0.4115, -0.4296, -0.4232, -0.4084, -0.3731, -0.3731, -0.3839, -0.416, -0.4398, -0.4434, -0.4434, -0.4513, -0.3914, -0.3344, -0.3722, -0.4045, -0.4045, -0.4047, -0.4325, -0.4425, -0.4341, -0.4317, -0.4372, -0.4372, -0.4075, -0.3817, -0.3899, -0.3925, -0.4692, -0.4854, -0.4924, -0.477, -0.4792, -0.5097, -0.4675, -0.425, -0.3821, -0.3375, -0.2212, -0.295, -0.2754, -0.228, -0.1252, -0.1252, 0.0189, 0.1002]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866553360259661982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-10T18:39:34+00:00", "symbol": "QTUM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QTUM at ATH, QTUM rotation. All quantum bets = hot fire flames", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long QTUM/IBM/GOOGL on quantum momentum; IWM bearish below 241 with 230 PT; long GLD/SLV into CPI+FOMC; NVDA needs catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["QTUM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/10/24\n\nChina digesting: See # market-thoughts: Promises Promises. ;-)\n\nQTUM at ATH, GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT; IBM into Oct/ATH at 238. All quantum bets = hot fire flames.\n\n\"Sometimes the most profitable is the easiest\" and why I have also said “I’m not worried about AAPL, TSLA, AMZN”.\n\nNVDA back down to 136 with semis soft on China investigations and QTUM rotation. Needs time/trigger to move higher - may need AVGO earnings 12/12 and FOMC 12/18th out of way.\n\nSmall cap index is weakest, as foretold from falling breadth & net selling indicators. Below IWM 241 should see the 21D at 236.36 break with 230 PT at 55D.\nOtherwise, above 241 is bull flag and heading higher... but for that I need to see breadth reverse the 3 days of losses/weakness and net buying to kick in after selling since Dec 2nd.\n\nGLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC.\n\nVIX hedge working.\n\nThere’s More… a lot more…\n\nhttps://t.co/lhCzApK69R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018371830759480456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018371830759480456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021490621749024497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021490621749024497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010441282906864524, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010441282906864524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002710541766723251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002710541766723251, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "ret_p1w": 0.1430080937711986, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1430080937711986, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14053616619675457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14053616619675457, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "ret_p1m": 0.06425957911898861, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06425957911898861, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08304837800729281, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08304837800729281, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "ret_p3m": 0.03886034923455317, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03886034923455317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08023646125063011, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08023646125063011, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "ret_p6m": 0.16087951611436813, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16087951611436813, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16596504055113193, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16596504055113193, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "ret_p1y": 0.4240958771480463, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4240958771480463, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2828494271468682, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2828494271468682, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06425957911898861, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08304837800729281, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08304837800729281, "price_path": [-0.2107, -0.2012, -0.204, -0.2022, -0.2106, -0.1865, -0.1928, -0.1887, -0.1818, -0.1842, -0.1615, -0.1665, -0.1753, -0.184, -0.1775, -0.1833, -0.1734, -0.1755, -0.1731, -0.1684, -0.1721, -0.1589, -0.1517, -0.1722, -0.168, -0.1667, -0.1579, -0.1558, -0.1595, -0.1688, -0.1639, -0.1603, -0.1482, -0.142, -0.1556, -0.1768, -0.179, -0.1835, -0.1759, -0.1558, -0.1216, -0.1193, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1252, -0.1308, -0.1468, -0.149, -0.1367, -0.1289, -0.1171, -0.0953, -0.0808, -0.1006, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0683, -0.0669, -0.0644, -0.0543, -0.046, -0.0038, -0.0184, 0.0, 0.0104, -0.0155, 0.0262, 0.0916, 0.143, 0.11, 0.0252, 0.0727, 0.086, 0.0923, 0.0923, 0.1101, 0.1047, 0.0842, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.0902, 0.1057, 0.1304, 0.1157, 0.0643, 0.0643, 0.0432, 0.0225, 0.0427, 0.069, 0.0751, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.1181, 0.1278, 0.1246, 0.1139, 0.0694, 0.0771, 0.0747, 0.0862, 0.089, 0.0833, 0.1033, 0.1132, 0.1132, 0.101, 0.109, 0.0998, 0.105, 0.1196, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1271, 0.1291, 0.1337, 0.1073, 0.0873, 0.0692, 0.0774, 0.0373, 0.0435, 0.0229, 0.0272, 0.0542, 0.0236, 0.0389, -0.0076, -0.0092, 0.0047, 0.0029, 0.044, 0.0657, 0.0557, 0.058, 0.037, 0.0308, 0.0549, 0.0558, 0.0327, 0.024, -0.0036, -0.0121, -0.0073, -0.0008, -0.0609, -0.127, -0.1229, -0.1472, -0.0414, -0.0806, -0.0621, -0.0557, -0.0512, -0.0752, -0.0721, -0.0721, -0.0855, -0.0729, -0.0467, -0.0159, -0.0056, -0.003, -0.0068, -0.0063, 0.0001, 0.0327, 0.0289, 0.0168, 0.023, 0.0568, 0.0621, 0.1004, 0.1081, 0.113, 0.1125, 0.1236, 0.1248, 0.1456, 0.1222, 0.1521, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.1585, 0.1435, 0.1329, 0.1228, 0.1386, 0.1511, 0.1609]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866553360259661982", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-10T18:39:34+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long QTUM/IBM/GOOGL on quantum momentum; IWM bearish below 241 with 230 PT; long GLD/SLV into CPI+FOMC; NVDA needs catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/10/24\n\nChina digesting: See # market-thoughts: Promises Promises. ;-)\n\nQTUM at ATH, GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT; IBM into Oct/ATH at 238. All quantum bets = hot fire flames.\n\n\"Sometimes the most profitable is the easiest\" and why I have also said “I’m not worried about AAPL, TSLA, AMZN”.\n\nNVDA back down to 136 with semis soft on China investigations and QTUM rotation. Needs time/trigger to move higher - may need AVGO earnings 12/12 and FOMC 12/18th out of way.\n\nSmall cap index is weakest, as foretold from falling breadth & net selling indicators. Below IWM 241 should see the 21D at 236.36 break with 230 PT at 55D.\nOtherwise, above 241 is bull flag and heading higher... but for that I need to see breadth reverse the 3 days of losses/weakness and net buying to kick in after selling since Dec 2nd.\n\nGLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC.\n\nVIX hedge working.\n\nThere’s More… a lot more…\n\nhttps://t.co/lhCzApK69R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05292445167204185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05292445167204185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05604324266158589, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03747537738328588, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01544907428875597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05524647194896448, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05524647194896448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04751573080882321, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03890039559176994, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01634607635719454, "ret_p1w": 0.05535457113779829, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05535457113779829, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05288264356335426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05296261723164353, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0023919539061547646, "ret_p1m": 0.04741586611140969, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04741586611140969, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06620466499971389, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07549473262036233, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028078866508952638, "ret_p3m": -0.06107918940684276, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06107918940684276, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019703077390765822, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06327915529800432, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021999658911615594, "ret_p6m": -0.09141041360489177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09141041360489177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08632488916812797, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11632093596479909, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.024910522359907317, "ret_p1y": 0.7335049335475767, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7335049335475767, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5922584835463987, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5795238104594929, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15398112308808387, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04741586611140969, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06620466499971389, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07549473262036233, "price_path": [-0.1656, -0.1506, -0.1474, -0.1406, -0.1379, -0.1254, -0.1176, -0.1269, -0.1246, -0.1289, -0.1222, -0.1156, -0.1054, -0.0992, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.0988, -0.1208, -0.1133, -0.1269, -0.1257, -0.1194, -0.1102, -0.1075, -0.1091, -0.1211, -0.1185, -0.115, -0.1092, -0.1219, -0.1222, -0.1085, -0.1007, -0.0847, -0.0589, -0.077, -0.076, -0.0871, -0.0844, -0.0479, -0.025, -0.0379, -0.0271, -0.0203, -0.0351, -0.0529, -0.0695, -0.0544, -0.0392, -0.0507, -0.0958, -0.1112, -0.0957, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0886, -0.0749, -0.0757, -0.0594, -0.0687, -0.0576, -0.0529, 0.0, 0.0552, 0.0367, 0.0251, 0.0621, 0.0554, 0.0174, 0.018, 0.0337, 0.0511, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0563, 0.041, 0.0328, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.023, 0.0358, 0.0632, 0.0557, 0.0474, 0.0474, 0.0371, 0.0315, 0.0242, 0.0561, 0.0418, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0696, 0.0713, 0.0692, 0.0812, 0.0359, 0.0547, 0.0553, 0.0848, 0.1018, 0.0867, 0.1145, 0.0333, 0.0347, 0.0009, 0.007, 0.0008, -0.0084, 0.0052, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0076, 0.0005, -0.0033, -0.0298, -0.032, -0.0527, -0.0672, -0.09, -0.0804, -0.0981, -0.077, -0.0656, -0.0692, -0.0611, -0.1032, -0.1131, -0.0965, -0.12, -0.1053, -0.1117, -0.1313, -0.1139, -0.1198, -0.1134, -0.0934, -0.0778, -0.1076, -0.1228, -0.1656, -0.1639, -0.1508, -0.1509, -0.1851, -0.2128, -0.2066, -0.2177, -0.1419, -0.1738, -0.1504, -0.14, -0.1549, -0.171, -0.1827, -0.1827, -0.2016, -0.1811, -0.1601, -0.1388, -0.1243, -0.1316, -0.1341, -0.1414, -0.1279, -0.1131, -0.1122, -0.1175, -0.1815, -0.1659, -0.1741, -0.1433, -0.1375, -0.1059, -0.1135, -0.1015, -0.0996, -0.1134, -0.0887, -0.0762, -0.0891, -0.0891, -0.0652, -0.0681, -0.0708, -0.0715, -0.0861, -0.1015, -0.0914]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866553360259661982", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-10T18:39:34+00:00", "symbol": "IBM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IBM into Oct/ATH at 238", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long QTUM/IBM/GOOGL on quantum momentum; IWM bearish below 241 with 230 PT; long GLD/SLV into CPI+FOMC; NVDA needs catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/10/24\n\nChina digesting: See # market-thoughts: Promises Promises. ;-)\n\nQTUM at ATH, GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT; IBM into Oct/ATH at 238. All quantum bets = hot fire flames.\n\n\"Sometimes the most profitable is the easiest\" and why I have also said “I’m not worried about AAPL, TSLA, AMZN”.\n\nNVDA back down to 136 with semis soft on China investigations and QTUM rotation. Needs time/trigger to move higher - may need AVGO earnings 12/12 and FOMC 12/18th out of way.\n\nSmall cap index is weakest, as foretold from falling breadth & net selling indicators. Below IWM 241 should see the 21D at 236.36 break with 230 PT at 55D.\nOtherwise, above 241 is bull flag and heading higher... but for that I need to see breadth reverse the 3 days of losses/weakness and net buying to kick in after selling since Dec 2nd.\n\nGLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC.\n\nVIX hedge working.\n\nThere’s More… a lot more…\n\nhttps://t.co/lhCzApK69R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007422779299847582, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007422779299847582, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010541570289391622, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02149357712297917, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014070797823131587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006904850497674975, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006904850497674975, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014635591637816248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02139938222244231, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014494531724767334, "ret_p1w": -0.011867810170607895, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011867810170607895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014339737745051928, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028947686458320354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01707987628771246, "ret_p1m": -0.036854795224789516, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036854795224789516, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018065996336485313, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029705876349894744, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007148918874894772, "ret_p3m": 0.13620952629019056, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13620952629019056, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1775856383062675, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2084787038874908, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07226917759730023, "ret_p6m": 0.1611755697199715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1611755697199715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1662610941567353, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1541636318183608, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007011937901610699, "ret_p1y": 0.3423277382012253, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3423277382012253, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.20108128820004723, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13197586612357304, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21035187207765227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.036854795224789516, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018065996336485313, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029705876349894744, "price_path": [-0.0939, -0.0803, -0.0702, -0.0831, -0.0797, -0.0842, -0.0679, -0.0559, -0.0538, -0.0527, -0.0433, -0.0544, -0.0534, -0.0608, -0.0592, -0.0464, -0.0323, -0.0275, -0.0211, 0.0032, -0.0023, -0.0012, 0.0073, -0.0025, 0.0005, -0.0029, -0.0058, -0.0077, -0.0056, -0.0034, -0.0649, -0.0808, -0.0884, -0.099, -0.1227, -0.1149, -0.1083, -0.1166, -0.1112, -0.0854, -0.085, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.09, -0.0898, -0.0981, -0.1154, -0.102, -0.0927, -0.0739, -0.0402, -0.0378, -0.0241, -0.0125, -0.0207, -0.0207, -0.0186, -0.0187, -0.0117, 0.0076, 0.0131, 0.0273, -0.0074, 0.0, -0.0069, 0.0023, -0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0119, -0.0498, -0.0337, -0.0361, -0.0422, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0295, -0.0386, -0.0495, -0.0513, -0.0513, -0.0508, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0335, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0517, -0.0618, -0.0603, -0.0504, -0.0391, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0322, -0.0365, -0.0245, -0.0299, -0.0328, -0.0262, -0.0133, 0.1146, 0.1035, 0.1252, 0.1413, 0.1363, 0.0937, 0.089, 0.0829, 0.1065, 0.1113, 0.126, 0.1351, 0.1351, 0.1429, 0.1483, 0.1501, 0.1359, 0.1376, 0.1197, 0.1114, 0.1001, 0.0967, 0.0869, 0.1, 0.0919, 0.0804, 0.1362, 0.1161, 0.0815, 0.0845, 0.0678, 0.0789, 0.099, 0.0728, 0.096, 0.0571, 0.0594, 0.0793, 0.0856, 0.0876, 0.0696, 0.06, 0.0803, 0.0876, 0.086, 0.0578, -0.0118, -0.0191, -0.0398, 0.0223, -0.0028, 0.023, 0.0385, 0.0457, 0.0364, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0262, 0.0465, 0.0664, -0.0037, 0.0097, 0.026, 0.04, 0.0505, 0.0412, 0.0667, 0.0825, 0.0823, 0.1007, 0.1041, 0.0898, 0.1094, 0.1309, 0.1275, 0.1662, 0.1666, 0.1738, 0.1674, 0.1408, 0.1299, 0.131, 0.131, 0.1512, 0.1381, 0.1313, 0.1329, 0.1541, 0.1598, 0.1612]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866553360259661982", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-10T18:39:34+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long QTUM/IBM/GOOGL on quantum momentum; IWM bearish below 241 with 230 PT; long GLD/SLV into CPI+FOMC; NVDA needs catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/10/24\n\nChina digesting: See # market-thoughts: Promises Promises. ;-)\n\nQTUM at ATH, GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT; IBM into Oct/ATH at 238. All quantum bets = hot fire flames.\n\n\"Sometimes the most profitable is the easiest\" and why I have also said “I’m not worried about AAPL, TSLA, AMZN”.\n\nNVDA back down to 136 with semis soft on China investigations and QTUM rotation. Needs time/trigger to move higher - may need AVGO earnings 12/12 and FOMC 12/18th out of way.\n\nSmall cap index is weakest, as foretold from falling breadth & net selling indicators. Below IWM 241 should see the 21D at 236.36 break with 230 PT at 55D.\nOtherwise, above 241 is bull flag and heading higher... but for that I need to see breadth reverse the 3 days of losses/weakness and net buying to kick in after selling since Dec 2nd.\n\nGLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC.\n\nVIX hedge working.\n\nThere’s More… a lot more…\n\nhttps://t.co/lhCzApK69R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01299326511574006, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01299326511574006, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0161120561052841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0161120561052841, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009533812345188464, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009533812345188464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0018030712050471909, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018030712050471909, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "ret_p1w": -0.018705474737462757, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018705474737462757, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02117740231190679, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02117740231190679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "ret_p1m": -0.010981921106062442, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010981921106062442, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007806877782241761, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007806877782241761, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "ret_p3m": 0.07964929644085172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07964929644085172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12102540845692866, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12102540845692866, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "ret_p6m": 0.25065368066501037, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25065368066501037, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25573920510177417, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25573920510177417, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "ret_p1y": 0.541172214333355, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.541172214333355, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.39992576433217697, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.39992576433217697, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.010981921106062442, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007806877782241761, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007806877782241761, "price_path": [-0.0493, -0.0399, -0.0399, -0.0453, -0.0526, -0.0379, -0.0257, -0.0238, -0.0101, -0.0115, -0.0065, -0.0144, -0.0222, -0.012, -0.0118, -0.0125, -0.0144, -0.0178, -0.025, -0.0303, -0.0232, -0.0126, -0.0142, -0.0107, -0.0058, 0.0002, 0.0108, 0.0106, 0.0215, 0.0092, 0.0169, 0.019, 0.0191, 0.0302, 0.0358, 0.0198, 0.0156, 0.0171, 0.0193, -0.0116, 0.0043, -0.0025, -0.0259, -0.0344, -0.0441, -0.0466, -0.0483, -0.0302, -0.0215, -0.016, -0.0078, 0.005, -0.0246, -0.0227, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0121, -0.0207, -0.0187, -0.0158, -0.023, -0.0227, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0095, -0.0053, -0.0173, -0.0149, -0.0187, -0.0375, -0.0362, -0.0261, -0.0307, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0222, -0.0289, -0.032, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0128, -0.0205, -0.0217, -0.0162, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0015, -0.0115, -0.0063, 0.0012, 0.0081, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0183, 0.0235, 0.022, 0.0284, 0.0177, 0.0265, 0.0226, 0.0381, 0.0401, 0.0457, 0.056, 0.0625, 0.0597, 0.0616, 0.0796, 0.0756, 0.0768, 0.0874, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0889, 0.0895, 0.0901, 0.0891, 0.095, 0.0806, 0.0822, 0.0657, 0.0591, 0.073, 0.0823, 0.0846, 0.0791, 0.0796, 0.0702, 0.0827, 0.0875, 0.1068, 0.1072, 0.1132, 0.1262, 0.1308, 0.1294, 0.1203, 0.1153, 0.1202, 0.1193, 0.1343, 0.1427, 0.1591, 0.1568, 0.1592, 0.1522, 0.1252, 0.101, 0.107, 0.148, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.1916, 0.1979, 0.2369, 0.2314, 0.2314, 0.2695, 0.2515, 0.2215, 0.2393, 0.2258, 0.2433, 0.2312, 0.222, 0.1966, 0.1987, 0.2345, 0.2691, 0.2501, 0.2254, 0.2343, 0.1995, 0.2046, 0.1793, 0.1981, 0.1836, 0.1989, 0.2212, 0.2302, 0.2193, 0.246, 0.246, 0.2249, 0.2221, 0.2294, 0.2213, 0.2538, 0.2426, 0.2507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866553360259661982", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-12-10T18:39:34+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long QTUM/IBM/GOOGL on quantum momentum; IWM bearish below 241 with 230 PT; long GLD/SLV into CPI+FOMC; NVDA needs catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/10/24\n\nChina digesting: See # market-thoughts: Promises Promises. ;-)\n\nQTUM at ATH, GOOGL gapping higher with 194 swing long PT; IBM into Oct/ATH at 238. All quantum bets = hot fire flames.\n\n\"Sometimes the most profitable is the easiest\" and why I have also said “I’m not worried about AAPL, TSLA, AMZN”.\n\nNVDA back down to 136 with semis soft on China investigations and QTUM rotation. Needs time/trigger to move higher - may need AVGO earnings 12/12 and FOMC 12/18th out of way.\n\nSmall cap index is weakest, as foretold from falling breadth & net selling indicators. Below IWM 241 should see the 21D at 236.36 break with 230 PT at 55D.\nOtherwise, above 241 is bull flag and heading higher... but for that I need to see breadth reverse the 3 days of losses/weakness and net buying to kick in after selling since Dec 2nd.\n\nGLD, SLV calls were cheap, as I showed last week and said would be likely bid into CPI + FOMC.\n\nVIX hedge working.\n\nThere’s More… a lot more…\n\nhttps://t.co/lhCzApK69R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00034495443121040914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00034495443121040914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034637454207544494, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034637454207544494, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00311879098954404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0017247721560520457, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017247721560520457, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006005968984089227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006005968984089227, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007730741140141273, "ret_p1w": -0.04070370177620275, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04070370177620275, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04317562935064678, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04317562935064678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024719275744440328, "ret_p1m": -0.054846504489177605, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054846504489177605, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0360577056008734, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0360577056008734, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018788798888304203, "ret_p3m": 0.02069680531931173, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02069680531931173, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.062072917335388667, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.062072917335388667, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04137611201607694, "ret_p6m": 0.08106244912119509, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08106244912119509, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08614797355795889, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08614797355795889, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0050855244367638, "ret_p1y": 0.6695412869267534, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6695412869267534, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5282948369255753, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5282948369255753, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14124645000117808, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.054846504489177605, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0360577056008734, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0360577056008734, "price_path": [-0.0593, -0.0335, -0.0317, -0.0355, -0.0604, -0.031, -0.02, -0.0348, 0.0135, 0.0024, 0.0093, -0.0045, -0.02, -0.0141, 0.0003, 0.0083, 0.0128, -0.0021, -0.0338, -0.039, -0.021, -0.0066, -0.0155, -0.0097, -0.0028, -0.0034, 0.0569, 0.0642, 0.0949, 0.0593, 0.0586, 0.0566, 0.06, 0.0828, 0.0628, 0.0283, 0.019, 0.0221, 0.0262, -0.0193, 0.0041, -0.0176, -0.0352, -0.0317, -0.0476, -0.0407, -0.049, -0.021, -0.0169, -0.0307, -0.0328, -0.0179, -0.0469, -0.041, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0369, -0.0414, -0.0245, -0.0159, -0.0148, -0.0255, -0.0003, 0.0, 0.0017, -0.0273, -0.0428, -0.041, -0.0407, -0.0738, -0.0852, -0.0714, -0.069, -0.068, -0.068, -0.0638, -0.0769, -0.0883, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0711, -0.0693, -0.0604, -0.0573, -0.0548, -0.0548, -0.0476, -0.07, -0.0617, -0.0355, -0.0328, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0328, -0.0324, -0.0421, -0.0373, -0.0528, -0.0469, -0.0341, -0.0093, -0.0166, -0.011, 0.0079, 0.0124, 0.0135, 0.0014, 0.0072, 0.0003, 0.0121, 0.0162, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0317, 0.0283, 0.0331, 0.0207, 0.0155, -0.0055, -0.0017, -0.0204, -0.0235, -0.0083, 0.0003, 0.0269, 0.0241, 0.0207, 0.0041, 0.0335, 0.0424, 0.0604, 0.0593, 0.0628, 0.0642, 0.0607, 0.0521, 0.0355, 0.0335, 0.0548, 0.0531, 0.0804, 0.0693, 0.069, 0.0566, 0.0611, -0.0034, -0.0659, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0321, -0.0245, 0.0069, 0.0135, 0.0145, 0.0266, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0276, 0.0176, 0.0542, 0.0542, 0.0366, 0.0414, 0.029, 0.021, 0.0138, 0.0045, 0.0169, 0.0424, 0.0172, 0.0162, 0.0279, 0.0221, 0.0324, 0.009, 0.0214, 0.0107, 0.0148, 0.0393, 0.0524, 0.0359, 0.0504, 0.0504, 0.0428, 0.0341, 0.0452, 0.0348, 0.0897, 0.0845, 0.0811]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866655964964777997", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-11T01:27:17+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold/silver are bid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "USDJPY rallies to 155 then falls below 150 on BOJ hike; after Fed pauses, bonds/yen/gold/silver bid and equities fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Japan wanted inflation. They got it!\nIn prices anyway.\n\nEvery data print is 🔥\n\nBest guess:\n$USDJPY tries one more time to rise into 155.\nThen BOJ hikes in Jan which pushes it back <150.\nFed cuts Dec 18th then pauses Jan 29th.\n\nThen US bonds, yen, gold/silver are bid, equities fall.\n🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009443777146048382, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009443777146048382, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017723418860753348, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017723418860753348, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014663722649505995, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014663722649505995, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009511185017800905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009511185017800905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "ret_p1w": -0.046621022848357896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046621022848357896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011754619272251299, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011754619272251299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "ret_p1m": -0.02032198743654967, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02032198743654967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005994109657443292, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005994109657443292, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "ret_p3m": 0.06008926294080075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06008926294080075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1341570554841255, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1341570554841255, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "ret_p6m": 0.23258677995234978, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23258677995234978, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25007601990664974, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25007601990664974, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "ret_p1y": 0.5455849318854022, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5455849318854022, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4069118500364566, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4069118500364566, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02032198743654967, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005994109657443292, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005994109657443292, "price_path": [-0.0489, -0.049, -0.0543, -0.0616, -0.047, -0.0349, -0.033, -0.0195, -0.0208, -0.0159, -0.0237, -0.0315, -0.0213, -0.0211, -0.0218, -0.0237, -0.0271, -0.0342, -0.0395, -0.0324, -0.0219, -0.0235, -0.0201, -0.0152, -0.0093, 0.0012, 0.001, 0.0118, -0.0004, 0.0073, 0.0094, 0.0094, 0.0204, 0.0261, 0.0102, 0.006, 0.0075, 0.0097, -0.021, -0.0052, -0.012, -0.0351, -0.0435, -0.0531, -0.0556, -0.0573, -0.0393, -0.0307, -0.0253, -0.0171, -0.0045, -0.0338, -0.0319, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0214, -0.03, -0.028, -0.0251, -0.0323, -0.0319, -0.0223, -0.0094, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0266, -0.0242, -0.028, -0.0466, -0.0453, -0.0353, -0.0398, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0314, -0.0381, -0.0412, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0221, -0.0298, -0.031, -0.0255, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.011, -0.0208, -0.0157, -0.0083, -0.0014, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0086, 0.0138, 0.0124, 0.0187, 0.0081, 0.0168, 0.0129, 0.0283, 0.0303, 0.0358, 0.046, 0.0525, 0.0497, 0.0516, 0.0694, 0.0655, 0.0666, 0.0771, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.0787, 0.0793, 0.0798, 0.0788, 0.0847, 0.0704, 0.072, 0.0557, 0.0491, 0.0629, 0.0721, 0.0744, 0.0689, 0.0695, 0.0601, 0.0725, 0.0772, 0.0963, 0.0967, 0.1027, 0.1156, 0.1201, 0.1187, 0.1097, 0.1048, 0.1096, 0.1087, 0.1236, 0.1319, 0.1482, 0.1459, 0.1482, 0.1413, 0.1146, 0.0907, 0.0966, 0.1372, 0.1649, 0.1872, 0.1804, 0.1866, 0.2252, 0.2198, 0.2198, 0.2575, 0.2397, 0.21, 0.2276, 0.2143, 0.2316, 0.2196, 0.2104, 0.1853, 0.1874, 0.2228, 0.2571, 0.2382, 0.2139, 0.2227, 0.1882, 0.1933, 0.1682, 0.1868, 0.1725, 0.1876, 0.2097, 0.2186, 0.2078, 0.2343, 0.2343, 0.2133, 0.2106, 0.2178, 0.2098, 0.2419, 0.2309, 0.2388, 0.2326]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866655964964777997", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-11T01:27:17+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold/silver are bid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "USDJPY rallies to 155 then falls below 150 on BOJ hike; after Fed pauses, bonds/yen/gold/silver bid and equities fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Japan wanted inflation. They got it!\nIn prices anyway.\n\nEvery data print is 🔥\n\nBest guess:\n$USDJPY tries one more time to rise into 155.\nThen BOJ hikes in Jan which pushes it back <150.\nFed cuts Dec 18th then pauses Jan 29th.\n\nThen US bonds, yen, gold/silver are bid, equities fall.\n🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001721802439146769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001721802439146769, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005949632820826278, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005949632820826278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028925624177193243, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028925624177193243, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023773086545488153, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023773086545488153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "ret_p1w": -0.07541323915339992, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07541323915339992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04054683557729333, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04054683557729333, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "ret_p1m": -0.05647387208311627, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05647387208311627, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03015777498912331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03015777498912331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "ret_p3m": 0.00241045773475812, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00241045773475812, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07647825027808286, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07647825027808286, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "ret_p6m": 0.11742423346787234, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11742423346787234, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1349134734221723, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1349134734221723, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "ret_p1y": 0.7634296649450614, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7634296649450614, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6247565830961157, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6247565830961157, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05647387208311627, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03015777498912331, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03015777498912331, "price_path": [-0.0351, -0.0334, -0.0372, -0.062, -0.0327, -0.0217, -0.0365, 0.0117, 0.0007, 0.0076, -0.0062, -0.0217, -0.0158, -0.0014, 0.0065, 0.011, -0.0038, -0.0355, -0.0406, -0.0227, -0.0083, -0.0172, -0.0114, -0.0045, -0.0052, 0.0551, 0.0623, 0.093, 0.0575, 0.0568, 0.0548, 0.0582, 0.0809, 0.061, 0.0265, 0.0172, 0.0203, 0.0244, -0.021, 0.0024, -0.0193, -0.0368, -0.0334, -0.0492, -0.0424, -0.0506, -0.0227, -0.0186, -0.0324, -0.0344, -0.0196, -0.0486, -0.0427, -0.0548, -0.0548, -0.0386, -0.043, -0.0262, -0.0176, -0.0165, -0.0272, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0, -0.0289, -0.0444, -0.0427, -0.0424, -0.0754, -0.0868, -0.073, -0.0706, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0654, -0.0785, -0.0899, -0.0933, -0.0933, -0.0727, -0.0709, -0.062, -0.0589, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0492, -0.0716, -0.0634, -0.0372, -0.0344, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0344, -0.0341, -0.0437, -0.0389, -0.0544, -0.0486, -0.0358, -0.011, -0.0183, -0.0127, 0.0062, 0.0107, 0.0117, -0.0003, 0.0055, -0.0014, 0.0103, 0.0145, 0.0093, 0.0093, 0.03, 0.0265, 0.0313, 0.0189, 0.0138, -0.0072, -0.0034, -0.022, -0.0251, -0.01, -0.0014, 0.0251, 0.0224, 0.0189, 0.0024, 0.0317, 0.0406, 0.0585, 0.0575, 0.061, 0.0623, 0.0589, 0.0503, 0.0337, 0.0317, 0.053, 0.0513, 0.0785, 0.0675, 0.0671, 0.0548, 0.0592, -0.0052, -0.0675, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0337, -0.0262, 0.0052, 0.0117, 0.0127, 0.0248, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0258, 0.0158, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.0348, 0.0396, 0.0272, 0.0193, 0.0121, 0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0406, 0.0155, 0.0145, 0.0262, 0.0203, 0.0306, 0.0072, 0.0196, 0.009, 0.0131, 0.0375, 0.0506, 0.0341, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.041, 0.0324, 0.0434, 0.0331, 0.0878, 0.0826, 0.0792, 0.1174]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866655964964777997", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2024-12-11T01:27:17+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US bonds, yen, gold/silver are bid, equities fall", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "USDJPY rallies to 155 then falls below 150 on BOJ hike; after Fed pauses, bonds/yen/gold/silver bid and equities fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Japan wanted inflation. They got it!\nIn prices anyway.\n\nEvery data print is 🔥\n\nBest guess:\n$USDJPY tries one more time to rise into 155.\nThen BOJ hikes in Jan which pushes it back <150.\nFed cuts Dec 18th then pauses Jan 29th.\n\nThen US bonds, yen, gold/silver are bid, equities fall.\n🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009544361459691952, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009544361459691952, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017215796719665, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017215796719665, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012147626317711602, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012147626317711602, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006995088686006512, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006995088686006512, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "ret_p1w": -0.0292123342381313, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0292123342381313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005654069337975298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005654069337975298, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "ret_p1m": -0.063292506768303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.063292506768303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03697640967431004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03697640967431004, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "ret_p3m": -0.0019654888379914137, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0019654888379914137, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07210230370533333, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07210230370533333, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "ret_p6m": -0.04192948552410225, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04192948552410225, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.024440245569802288, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.024440245569802288, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "ret_p1y": 0.01832036813839344, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.01832036813839344, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12035271371055223, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12035271371055223, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.063292506768303, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03697640967431004, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03697640967431004, "price_path": [0.0781, 0.088, 0.0828, 0.0693, 0.0658, 0.0617, 0.0595, 0.0592, 0.0504, 0.0529, 0.0584, 0.0533, 0.0609, 0.052, 0.0421, 0.0293, 0.0215, 0.0232, 0.0174, 0.0134, 0.0093, 0.0101, 0.0224, 0.0267, 0.0104, 0.0112, -0.0065, -0.0055, -0.0082, -0.0019, -0.0075, -0.0102, -0.0086, -0.0057, -0.0041, -0.0182, -0.0029, 0.0024, -0.0251, -0.0129, -0.0003, -0.0052, -0.0201, -0.0294, -0.0238, -0.0264, -0.0246, -0.0197, -0.0228, -0.0236, -0.023, 0.0023, -0.0016, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0157, 0.0181, 0.0093, 0.0202, 0.0222, 0.0238, 0.0143, 0.0095, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.0222, -0.0193, -0.0169, -0.0292, -0.0439, -0.0385, -0.0473, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0438, -0.0516, -0.044, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0465, -0.0496, -0.0538, -0.0645, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0695, -0.0698, -0.0713, -0.0553, -0.0523, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0422, -0.0472, -0.0546, -0.0503, -0.0391, -0.0398, -0.0417, -0.0381, -0.0445, -0.0367, -0.0337, -0.0178, -0.0182, -0.0245, -0.0275, -0.0337, -0.0468, -0.031, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0373, -0.0361, -0.0325, -0.0208, -0.018, -0.0011, 0.0048, -0.0023, 0.01, 0.0147, 0.0022, -0.0058, -0.0091, -0.0123, -0.002, -0.0091, -0.015, -0.0064, -0.0116, -0.0067, -0.0057, -0.0005, 0.0001, -0.0058, -0.016, -0.0161, -0.0226, -0.0254, -0.0119, -0.0022, 0.0065, 0.0058, 0.0104, 0.0214, -0.0094, -0.0281, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0441, -0.0373, -0.0339, -0.0285, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0539, -0.0487, -0.0394, -0.0293, -0.0221, -0.016, -0.0077, -0.0158, -0.0208, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0336, -0.0295, -0.0403, -0.0389, -0.0478, -0.0517, -0.058, -0.0497, -0.0471, -0.0499, -0.0567, -0.0729, -0.068, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0534, -0.0575, -0.0488, -0.0474, -0.0562, -0.0579, -0.0426, -0.0419]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1841226163923914874", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-01T21:18:20+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil Spike Incoming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long oil and USD on Middle East war escalation driving hedging demand and supply fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "RED OCTOBER\n\nMiddle East War.\nFolks scrambling for hedges.\nUS dollar bid.\nOil Spike Incoming.\n\nhttps://t.co/YCkPaueycA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003851592709607332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003851592709607332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003429697058975889, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003429697058975889, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004218956506314431, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004218956506314431, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051497870027547465, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051497870027547465, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05332604801429597, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05332604801429597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018281779867485026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018281779867485026, "ret_p1w": 0.044793144907237625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.044793144907237625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030237799709434965, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030237799709434965, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01455534519780266, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01455534519780266, "ret_p1m": -0.011982829617331991, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011982829617331991, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011596192310719067, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011596192310719067, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0003866373066129247, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0003866373066129247, "ret_p3m": 0.01269613992897578, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01269613992897578, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02481709563727641, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02481709563727641, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03751323556625219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03751323556625219, "ret_p6m": -0.0025677647516958446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0025677647516958446, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.005802772564375558, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.005802772564375558, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0032350078126797133, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0032350078126797133, "ret_p1y": -0.10584876362992446, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10584876362992446, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.28675264741316664, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.28675264741316664, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18090388378324218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18090388378324218, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.044793144907237625, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.030237799709434965, "alpha_c_stated": 0.030237799709434965, "price_path": [0.1863, 0.1745, 0.1613, 0.1712, 0.1786, 0.1728, 0.1685, 0.1521, 0.1819, 0.1815, 0.1431, 0.1381, 0.0979, 0.1068, 0.1167, 0.1007, 0.0815, 0.066, 0.1114, 0.0886, 0.0488, 0.0405, 0.0442, 0.0732, 0.0869, 0.0961, 0.1421, 0.1177, 0.0981, 0.115, 0.0934, 0.0609, 0.0562, 0.0261, 0.0415, 0.0675, 0.1044, 0.0775, 0.0631, 0.0829, 0.0492, 0.0492, 0.0034, -0.0128, -0.0136, -0.0347, -0.0198, -0.0621, -0.0398, -0.0161, -0.0207, -0.0001, 0.0155, 0.0116, 0.0264, 0.026, 0.0039, 0.0208, -0.0058, -0.0347, -0.0274, -0.0275, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0515, 0.0611, 0.1004, 0.0495, 0.0448, 0.082, 0.0779, 0.0532, 0.0068, 0.0041, 0.0081, -0.0126, 0.0066, 0.0284, 0.0096, 0.0013, 0.024, -0.0388, -0.0412, -0.0213, -0.012, -0.0087, 0.0195, 0.027, 0.0227, 0.0322, 0.004, -0.0294, -0.0282, -0.0238, -0.02, -0.0439, -0.0134, -0.0101, -0.0175, 0.0, 0.0163, -0.0165, -0.019, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.03, -0.0285, -0.0023, -0.0223, -0.0257, -0.0414, -0.0247, -0.0215, 0.0027, -0.0011, 0.017, 0.0087, -0.0003, 0.0068, -0.0027, -0.0091, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0071, 0.0127, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0432, 0.0551, 0.0494, 0.0592, 0.0459, 0.0545, 0.0923, 0.1244, 0.1056, 0.1418, 0.1224, 0.111, 0.111, 0.0826, 0.0762, 0.0645, 0.0651, 0.0438, 0.0524, 0.0359, 0.0375, 0.0347, 0.0437, 0.0371, 0.0133, 0.0073, 0.0128, 0.0317, 0.0459, 0.0181, 0.017, 0.0091, 0.0091, 0.025, 0.0307, 0.0352, 0.0043, 0.0086, -0.0167, -0.0211, 0.0036, -0.0049, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0541, -0.0534, -0.0437, -0.0581, -0.0549, -0.0345, -0.0506, -0.0417, -0.0359, -0.0456, -0.0419, -0.0262, -0.026, -0.0141, -0.0157, -0.0064, -0.0026]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859789625621086606", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-22T02:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd Trend Longs past few YEARS… CCJ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has recommended and remains long CCJ, URA, FLR, PWR, and BWXT as nuclear trend plays over multiple years.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d Trend Longs past few YEARS…\n\nCCJ\nURA\nFLR\nPWR\nBWXT\n\nJOIN US: https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A List of Nuclear Stocks UPDATED:\n\nSmall Modular &amp; Micro Reactors\n$SMR NuScale\n$OKLO Oklo\n$NNE NANO Nuclear\n$RR.L Rolls Royce\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n\nServices and Equipment\n$LEU Centrus Energy\n$CW Curtiss-Wright\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n$PWR Quanta https://t.co/XnDyF7n6GT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013641648620978053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013641648620978053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673146618681054, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01518378417391164, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015421355529335878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033272299724711685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033272299724711685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0366644047910607, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013533540531337818, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019738759193373867, "ret_p1w": -0.009052723991113787, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009052723991113787, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02087425721632785, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008835719346243609, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017888443337357396, "ret_p1m": -0.11423153398864827, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11423153398864827, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1162155441304461, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015673785716742494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "bench_c_p1m": -0.12990531970539076, "ret_p3m": -0.224077503763633, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.224077503763633, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2567937975306006, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17804041780995816, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04603708595367484, "ret_p6m": -0.14690190726841468, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14690190726841468, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15217049598848853, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.028379760984290847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11852214628412383, "ret_p1y": 0.5421772178995392, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5421772178995392, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3813174871446101, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5698872835815975, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "bench_c_p1y": -0.02771006568205825, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11423153398864827, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1162155441304461, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015673785716742494, "price_path": [-0.3029, -0.3227, -0.3304, -0.3206, -0.3206, -0.3687, -0.3512, -0.3662, -0.3851, -0.3838, -0.3728, -0.3349, -0.3222, -0.3291, -0.3247, -0.3296, -0.3327, -0.3166, -0.2614, -0.2344, -0.2219, -0.2083, -0.2005, -0.2018, -0.2055, -0.1908, -0.1775, -0.1689, -0.1376, -0.1446, -0.1419, -0.1585, -0.16, -0.1457, -0.1369, -0.1397, -0.072, -0.0572, -0.0348, -0.0364, -0.0571, -0.1003, -0.1041, -0.1051, -0.0822, -0.0888, -0.102, -0.1313, -0.1266, -0.1491, -0.1472, -0.1481, -0.1086, -0.1259, -0.1336, -0.0948, -0.1186, -0.1165, -0.1085, -0.07, -0.0441, -0.0416, 0.0136, 0.0, -0.0333, -0.0248, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0091, -0.0194, -0.0101, -0.0064, 0.0191, 0.0178, -0.0412, -0.0596, -0.0364, -0.0666, -0.0951, -0.0967, -0.1096, -0.1344, -0.1181, -0.1259, -0.1142, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1239, -0.1251, -0.1444, -0.1434, -0.1434, -0.1306, -0.1146, -0.0864, -0.1402, -0.1436, -0.1436, -0.1792, -0.1866, -0.1822, -0.1721, -0.1747, -0.1394, -0.1394, -0.1072, -0.0612, -0.0522, -0.0666, -0.2081, -0.1899, -0.1654, -0.1616, -0.1759, -0.2091, -0.1612, -0.1607, -0.1882, -0.1677, -0.1606, -0.1691, -0.1727, -0.1819, -0.2134, -0.2134, -0.2012, -0.2241, -0.2242, -0.2753, -0.2786, -0.2734, -0.2546, -0.2753, -0.2659, -0.3148, -0.3018, -0.2834, -0.2978, -0.3028, -0.3226, -0.3044, -0.2899, -0.3031, -0.2921, -0.2778, -0.2818, -0.2634, -0.2524, -0.2577, -0.2376, -0.2586, -0.2791, -0.2894, -0.3028, -0.3139, -0.3033, -0.2921, -0.3181, -0.3694, -0.3806, -0.3886, -0.3324, -0.3553, -0.3193, -0.3114, -0.3198, -0.3119, -0.3136, -0.3136, -0.3398, -0.3303, -0.3004, -0.2684, -0.2667, -0.2446, -0.2429, -0.2474, -0.2414, -0.2164, -0.2264, -0.1974, -0.1709, -0.1792, -0.1544, -0.1472, -0.1339, -0.1116, -0.1401, -0.1454, -0.1469]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859789625621086606", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-22T02:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd Trend Longs past few YEARS… URA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has recommended and remains long CCJ, URA, FLR, PWR, and BWXT as nuclear trend plays over multiple years.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d Trend Longs past few YEARS…\n\nCCJ\nURA\nFLR\nPWR\nBWXT\n\nJOIN US: https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A List of Nuclear Stocks UPDATED:\n\nSmall Modular &amp; Micro Reactors\n$SMR NuScale\n$OKLO Oklo\n$NNE NANO Nuclear\n$RR.L Rolls Royce\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n\nServices and Equipment\n$LEU Centrus Energy\n$CW Curtiss-Wright\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n$PWR Quanta https://t.co/XnDyF7n6GT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0006039207189983964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006039207189983964, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024858968468340903, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024858968468340903, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0317028940599734, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0317028940599734, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03509499912632241, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03509499912632241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "ret_p1w": -0.023248809634769607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023248809634769607, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03507034285998367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03507034285998367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "ret_p1m": -0.1467391007958243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1467391007958243, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14872311093762214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14872311093762214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "ret_p3m": -0.15091882710601934, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15091882710601934, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18363512087298695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18363512087298695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "ret_p6m": -0.1375840469244849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1375840469244849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14285263564455875, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14285263564455875, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "ret_p1y": 0.4711619025615905, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4711619025615905, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3103021718066614, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3103021718066614, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1467391007958243, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14872311093762214, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14872311093762214, "price_path": [-0.1899, -0.218, -0.2258, -0.218, -0.218, -0.2684, -0.2588, -0.2736, -0.3001, -0.2877, -0.2723, -0.2349, -0.2207, -0.2322, -0.2268, -0.237, -0.2397, -0.212, -0.1793, -0.1546, -0.1295, -0.128, -0.1202, -0.1214, -0.1362, -0.1168, -0.0981, -0.1045, -0.0845, -0.0987, -0.0942, -0.1105, -0.1072, -0.0942, -0.0891, -0.0873, -0.0232, -0.0109, 0.0103, 0.0039, -0.0112, -0.0468, -0.0408, -0.0471, -0.0284, -0.0393, -0.055, -0.0722, -0.0773, -0.0981, -0.0939, -0.0845, -0.0483, -0.064, -0.0785, -0.0725, -0.0894, -0.0821, -0.0851, -0.0371, -0.0184, -0.0347, -0.0006, 0.0, -0.0317, -0.0411, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0232, -0.0365, -0.0371, -0.0435, -0.0353, -0.0399, -0.083, -0.0833, -0.0685, -0.0912, -0.1126, -0.1271, -0.1332, -0.1606, -0.1531, -0.1555, -0.1467, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.1519, -0.1516, -0.168, -0.1695, -0.1695, -0.1283, -0.1056, -0.092, -0.1252, -0.1367, -0.1367, -0.1574, -0.1596, -0.1565, -0.1425, -0.1515, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.0951, -0.0588, -0.0393, -0.0532, -0.1596, -0.1447, -0.1205, -0.1032, -0.1221, -0.132, -0.1035, -0.1013, -0.1205, -0.0976, -0.0976, -0.1131, -0.1025, -0.1019, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1255, -0.1509, -0.155, -0.1919, -0.2043, -0.2191, -0.2027, -0.2334, -0.2309, -0.2716, -0.2542, -0.235, -0.2489, -0.2576, -0.2833, -0.2663, -0.2607, -0.2709, -0.2588, -0.2359, -0.2418, -0.2188, -0.2129, -0.2247, -0.2126, -0.2288, -0.2467, -0.2669, -0.2836, -0.2892, -0.2843, -0.2815, -0.3035, -0.3544, -0.364, -0.3717, -0.314, -0.3305, -0.2976, -0.2917, -0.2951, -0.2957, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.3038, -0.2973, -0.2663, -0.2374, -0.2418, -0.2232, -0.2207, -0.2247, -0.2151, -0.1987, -0.2046, -0.1816, -0.1698, -0.1726, -0.1577, -0.1537, -0.1367, -0.127, -0.1314, -0.1407, -0.1376]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859789625621086606", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-22T02:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "FLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd Trend Longs past few YEARS… FLR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has recommended and remains long CCJ, URA, FLR, PWR, and BWXT as nuclear trend plays over multiple years.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d Trend Longs past few YEARS…\n\nCCJ\nURA\nFLR\nPWR\nBWXT\n\nJOIN US: https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A List of Nuclear Stocks UPDATED:\n\nSmall Modular &amp; Micro Reactors\n$SMR NuScale\n$OKLO Oklo\n$NNE NANO Nuclear\n$RR.L Rolls Royce\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n\nServices and Equipment\n$LEU Centrus Energy\n$CW Curtiss-Wright\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n$PWR Quanta https://t.co/XnDyF7n6GT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01917905856363622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01917905856363622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016089240997803733, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005439428804358104, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013739629759278116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004481089727503829, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004481089727503829, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010889846611548126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017579670872789332, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006239056814782762, "ret_p1w": 0.006094284764445401, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006094284764445401, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0057272484607686636, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0032996006145247225, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009393885378970124, "ret_p1m": -0.09983867365870558, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09983867365870558, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10182268380050341, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0377276652665578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06211100839214778, "ret_p3m": -0.29145011416741207, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29145011416741207, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3241664079343797, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26914587949284396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "bench_c_p3m": -0.022304234674568102, "ret_p6m": -0.3206667699600151, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3206667699600151, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32593535868008894, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3402347506850366, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019567980725021528, "ret_p1y": -0.18713035078120266, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18713035078120266, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.34799008153613176, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2849917842233035, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09786143344210085, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09983867365870558, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10182268380050341, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0377276652665578, "price_path": [-0.1118, -0.117, -0.107, -0.1025, -0.1025, -0.1518, -0.159, -0.1706, -0.2106, -0.2086, -0.2122, -0.2036, -0.1952, -0.1775, -0.1723, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1495, -0.1541, -0.1638, -0.1705, -0.1807, -0.1515, -0.1416, -0.1448, -0.159, -0.1464, -0.1208, -0.1043, -0.0923, -0.0961, -0.0964, -0.1041, -0.0848, -0.0749, -0.0954, -0.0212, -0.0342, -0.0142, -0.0346, -0.038, -0.0531, -0.0611, -0.0629, -0.0387, -0.0464, -0.0482, -0.0629, -0.052, -0.0534, -0.0215, 0.0529, 0.0563, -0.0871, -0.107, -0.1307, -0.0979, -0.0894, -0.0694, -0.0509, -0.0559, -0.0584, -0.0192, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0097, 0.0061, -0.0122, -0.0195, 0.0047, 0.0032, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0108, 0.0007, -0.0066, -0.0206, -0.0208, -0.0419, -0.1018, -0.1023, -0.0977, -0.0998, -0.0914, -0.0914, -0.0918, -0.1027, -0.1156, -0.116, -0.116, -0.1169, -0.0859, -0.0737, -0.0941, -0.116, -0.116, -0.1355, -0.1377, -0.1265, -0.1167, -0.1126, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.0407, -0.0274, -0.0091, -0.0219, -0.1694, -0.1658, -0.1378, -0.13, -0.1359, -0.155, -0.1461, -0.1438, -0.1253, -0.1156, -0.1013, -0.1421, -0.169, -0.1947, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2875, -0.2915, -0.2861, -0.3237, -0.3339, -0.3402, -0.3241, -0.3307, -0.3183, -0.3382, -0.356, -0.3357, -0.3443, -0.3522, -0.3854, -0.3619, -0.3624, -0.3737, -0.3402, -0.3305, -0.3332, -0.3146, -0.3248, -0.325, -0.3024, -0.3056, -0.3235, -0.3339, -0.3513, -0.3579, -0.3484, -0.3329, -0.3911, -0.444, -0.4345, -0.4469, -0.3775, -0.4072, -0.4035, -0.3976, -0.3908, -0.3986, -0.3913, -0.3913, -0.4083, -0.3927, -0.3827, -0.3619, -0.3626, -0.3723, -0.3714, -0.3746, -0.3587, -0.3588, -0.383, -0.3707, -0.3761, -0.3617, -0.3572, -0.3273, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.3094, -0.3103, -0.3207]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859789625621086606", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-11-22T02:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "PWR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd Trend Longs past few YEARS… PWR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has recommended and remains long CCJ, URA, FLR, PWR, and BWXT as nuclear trend plays over multiple years.", "resolved_tickers": ["PWR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d Trend Longs past few YEARS…\n\nCCJ\nURA\nFLR\nPWR\nBWXT\n\nJOIN US: https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A List of Nuclear Stocks UPDATED:\n\nSmall Modular &amp; Micro Reactors\n$SMR NuScale\n$OKLO Oklo\n$NNE NANO Nuclear\n$RR.L Rolls Royce\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n\nServices and Equipment\n$LEU Centrus Energy\n$CW Curtiss-Wright\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n$PWR Quanta https://t.co/XnDyF7n6GT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005586080242228286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005586080242228286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024962626763957996, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00815354951704983, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013739629759278116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002924683978750231, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002924683978750231, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.000467421087598785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003314372836032531, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006239056814782762, "ret_p1w": 0.007603963780908218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007603963780908218, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0042175694443058465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017899215980619054, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009393885378970124, "ret_p1m": -0.04252458678132953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04252458678132953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.044508596923127364, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01958642161081825, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06211100839214778, "ret_p3m": -0.14552408201988976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14552408201988976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17824037578685736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12321984734532165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "bench_c_p3m": -0.022304234674568102, "ret_p6m": 0.00886014567812099, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.00886014567812099, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0035915569580471374, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010707835046900538, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019567980725021528, "ret_p1y": 0.31448613479508536, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31448613479508536, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.15362640404015626, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2166247013529845, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09786143344210085, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04252458678132953, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.044508596923127364, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01958642161081825, "price_path": [-0.2095, -0.2179, -0.2075, -0.1956, -0.1956, -0.2468, -0.2525, -0.265, -0.2751, -0.2689, -0.269, -0.2308, -0.215, -0.2119, -0.2061, -0.1991, -0.2046, -0.1529, -0.1495, -0.1342, -0.128, -0.1289, -0.1335, -0.1324, -0.1283, -0.1342, -0.1253, -0.1273, -0.1059, -0.1006, -0.0972, -0.1003, -0.1022, -0.0951, -0.0905, -0.1064, -0.0869, -0.0842, -0.0809, -0.071, -0.0847, -0.1032, -0.0937, -0.0987, -0.0835, -0.0833, -0.0886, -0.1178, -0.1124, -0.11, -0.0798, -0.091, -0.0616, -0.032, -0.0358, -0.0428, -0.044, -0.0528, -0.0544, -0.0395, -0.0326, -0.028, -0.0056, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0137, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0076, 0.0012, -0.0064, -0.0242, -0.0203, -0.0276, -0.0583, -0.0644, -0.0224, -0.017, -0.0126, 0.0017, -0.0161, -0.0623, -0.0565, -0.0395, -0.0425, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.033, -0.0549, -0.0671, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.077, -0.0447, -0.0402, -0.0644, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0829, -0.0807, -0.0641, -0.0363, -0.0164, -0.0127, -0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0454, 0.0379, 0.0474, -0.1445, -0.1399, -0.1288, -0.0951, -0.1001, -0.117, -0.1224, -0.126, -0.0899, -0.0865, -0.0911, -0.1142, -0.1272, -0.1491, -0.1649, -0.1649, -0.1586, -0.1455, -0.1774, -0.212, -0.2412, -0.2265, -0.2136, -0.2415, -0.2404, -0.2659, -0.2697, -0.2594, -0.2953, -0.2802, -0.3075, -0.2802, -0.2712, -0.2678, -0.237, -0.2177, -0.2295, -0.2089, -0.2069, -0.2153, -0.1855, -0.1918, -0.2375, -0.2543, -0.2561, -0.2564, -0.2455, -0.2259, -0.2624, -0.2991, -0.2824, -0.2828, -0.211, -0.2312, -0.2111, -0.1972, -0.2009, -0.2114, -0.2179, -0.2179, -0.2573, -0.2336, -0.1972, -0.1743, -0.159, -0.1494, -0.1443, -0.1434, -0.0578, -0.0601, -0.0558, -0.0703, -0.053, -0.0452, -0.0462, -0.026, 0.0056, 0.0043, -0.0038, 0.0091, 0.0089]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859789625621086606", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-11-22T02:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "BWXT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd Trend Longs past few YEARS… BWXT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has recommended and remains long CCJ, URA, FLR, PWR, and BWXT as nuclear trend plays over multiple years.", "resolved_tickers": ["BWXT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d Trend Longs past few YEARS…\n\nCCJ\nURA\nFLR\nPWR\nBWXT\n\nJOIN US: https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A List of Nuclear Stocks UPDATED:\n\nSmall Modular &amp; Micro Reactors\n$SMR NuScale\n$OKLO Oklo\n$NNE NANO Nuclear\n$RR.L Rolls Royce\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n\nServices and Equipment\n$LEU Centrus Energy\n$CW Curtiss-Wright\n$GEV GE Vernova\n$BWXT BWX Technologies\n$PWR Quanta https://t.co/XnDyF7n6GT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00293484808964517, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00293484808964517, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006024665655477657, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016674477848923286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030898175658324867, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013739629759278116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01881254565757584, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01881254565757584, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022204650723924857, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025051602472358603, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003392105066349016, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006239056814782762, "ret_p1w": -0.015351040041287956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015351040041287956, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02717257326650202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02474492542025808, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011821533225214065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009393885378970124, "ret_p1m": -0.15810075623333242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15810075623333242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16008476637513025, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09598974784118464, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019840101417978317, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06211100839214778, "ret_p3m": -0.18963059018131223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18963059018131223, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22234688394827984, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16732635550674413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03271629376696761, "bench_c_p3m": -0.022304234674568102, "ret_p6m": -0.1682796109394391, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1682796109394391, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17354819965951296, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18784759166446063, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005268588720073852, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019567980725021528, "ret_p1y": 0.4815976183337618, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4815976183337618, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3207378875788327, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.38373618489166095, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1608597307549291, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09786143344210085, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15810075623333242, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16008476637513025, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09598974784118464, "price_path": [-0.2385, -0.2365, -0.2302, -0.2264, -0.2264, -0.257, -0.2587, -0.2673, -0.2809, -0.2762, -0.2808, -0.2748, -0.2605, -0.2608, -0.2613, -0.2657, -0.2708, -0.2638, -0.2276, -0.2067, -0.1985, -0.2017, -0.194, -0.1844, -0.1836, -0.1614, -0.1492, -0.1201, -0.1159, -0.127, -0.1226, -0.1115, -0.13, -0.1181, -0.1038, -0.1068, -0.0634, -0.0604, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0715, -0.0769, -0.0809, -0.076, -0.0705, -0.0572, -0.0623, -0.0856, -0.0793, -0.1011, -0.1216, -0.1113, -0.0908, -0.0644, -0.0498, -0.0467, -0.0078, -0.0369, -0.0518, -0.0522, -0.0193, -0.0236, 0.0029, 0.0, -0.0188, -0.004, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0154, -0.0283, -0.0278, -0.018, -0.037, -0.0518, -0.0804, -0.0812, -0.0756, -0.0771, -0.0901, -0.083, -0.1115, -0.1443, -0.15, -0.1476, -0.1581, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1497, -0.1533, -0.156, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1611, -0.1459, -0.1363, -0.1336, -0.1382, -0.1382, -0.137, -0.1381, -0.1187, -0.1082, -0.0885, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.0467, -0.0343, -0.0333, -0.0394, -0.1613, -0.1567, -0.1561, -0.1328, -0.1502, -0.1549, -0.1621, -0.1481, -0.1512, -0.1389, -0.1416, -0.158, -0.1768, -0.1789, -0.1961, -0.1961, -0.1968, -0.1896, -0.2112, -0.2371, -0.2483, -0.2169, -0.1975, -0.2315, -0.2176, -0.2362, -0.2381, -0.2178, -0.2457, -0.2508, -0.2732, -0.2689, -0.2601, -0.2677, -0.2586, -0.2455, -0.2534, -0.2264, -0.2426, -0.2502, -0.2148, -0.2098, -0.2279, -0.2347, -0.2515, -0.2557, -0.2418, -0.2312, -0.2801, -0.3267, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2148, -0.2378, -0.221, -0.2163, -0.2148, -0.2164, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2421, -0.2281, -0.2105, -0.1857, -0.1779, -0.1813, -0.1758, -0.1767, -0.1616, -0.1504, -0.1549, -0.1842, -0.187, -0.1856, -0.1824, -0.1921, -0.1913, -0.1917, -0.1789, -0.1724, -0.1683]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855240852215390345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-09T13:27:42+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold loves loose monetary policy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Loose monetary policy bullish for gold; confiscated Russian assets bearish for bonds.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@infraa_ @KingKong9888 So what's the trade for you?\n\ngold loves loose monetary policy. \n\nbonds do not like confiscated Russian assets. https://t.co/1EBfyyDs9o", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @KingKong9888 But we already knew that negative real rates were the only way to delever the insane leverage of the federal govt\n\nNow, we know a little bit more about how it will actually look", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "infraa_", "ret_m1d": 0.029220301108646485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029220301108646485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030172487673546855, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030172487673546855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004289197066983941, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004289197066983941, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011828613488669149, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011828613488669149, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": -0.00022972331757120656, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00022972331757120656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017490330295328205, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017490330295328205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": 0.033088292011341336, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.033088292011341336, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026341322509191523, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026341322509191523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": 0.09375002045257452, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09375002045257452, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07771587697523463, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07771587697523463, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": 0.30644912918781064, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30644912918781064, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3672291752356486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3672291752356486, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": 0.5256204142406018, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5256204142406018, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3636408191003839, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3636408191003839, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.033088292011341336, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026341322509191523, "alpha_c_stated": 0.026341322509191523, "price_path": [-0.0658, -0.0605, -0.0431, -0.0419, -0.0383, -0.0394, -0.0507, -0.0394, -0.0358, -0.0365, -0.0422, -0.0327, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0465, -0.0451, -0.0382, -0.0451, -0.0419, -0.0379, -0.038, -0.023, -0.0115, -0.0118, -0.018, -0.0155, -0.0089, 0.0033, 0.0059, 0.0153, 0.0184, 0.0225, 0.0127, 0.0095, 0.0215, 0.0137, 0.0176, 0.0133, 0.0129, 0.0015, -0.002, 0.0036, 0.0178, 0.014, 0.0192, 0.0241, 0.0306, 0.0393, 0.0429, 0.0509, 0.0395, 0.0474, 0.0497, 0.0504, 0.0602, 0.0679, 0.0487, 0.0488, 0.0478, 0.0494, 0.0216, 0.0334, 0.0292, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0116, -0.0165, -0.0174, -0.0002, 0.0061, 0.0142, 0.0233, 0.0378, 0.0021, 0.0035, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0175, 0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0163, 0.0059, 0.0105, 0.0206, 0.0331, 0.047, 0.0292, 0.0172, 0.0154, 0.0127, 0.0097, -0.0073, 0.0067, 0.0004, 0.0034, 0.0034, 0.0106, 0.0023, -0.002, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0183, 0.0129, 0.0104, 0.0174, 0.0204, 0.0278, 0.0373, 0.0239, 0.0254, 0.0388, 0.0518, 0.051, 0.051, 0.0551, 0.0599, 0.0582, 0.0636, 0.0484, 0.0596, 0.0605, 0.0811, 0.0771, 0.0853, 0.0927, 0.0997, 0.0938, 0.0981, 0.1161, 0.1154, 0.114, 0.1205, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.1227, 0.118, 0.1259, 0.125, 0.1289, 0.1123, 0.117, 0.1042, 0.0864, 0.1068, 0.1143, 0.1165, 0.117, 0.1124, 0.1072, 0.1155, 0.1256, 0.1429, 0.1468, 0.1489, 0.1623, 0.1626, 0.1642, 0.1559, 0.1539, 0.158, 0.1569, 0.172, 0.182, 0.1959, 0.1944, 0.2025, 0.186, 0.1535, 0.1302, 0.1368, 0.1705, 0.2083, 0.234, 0.2273, 0.2327, 0.274, 0.2671, 0.2671, 0.3045, 0.3024, 0.2547, 0.276, 0.257, 0.2762, 0.271, 0.2657, 0.2293, 0.2377, 0.2681, 0.3064]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839627058793545946", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-27T11:24:04+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "cheap becomes stupid cheap and a buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BABA on dystopian valuations: outperformed AMZN on revenue growth and margins over 10 years, plus Alipay optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Geoffrey @GraphCall was way ahead of this fundamental read of strength on BABA back in February:\n\nPosted to our clients:\n“DYSTOPIAN VALUATIONS\n$BABA far outperformed $AMZN in the last 10 yrs.\n
$AMZN multiplied its sales by 7.5X.
$BABA? 25.17X \n\n$AMZN NEVER had EBIT MARGINS ABOVE 6.7% in 10 yrs.\n
$BABA NEVER BELOW 8.5% in 10 yrs.\n\nDon't forget: BABA is tied at the hip with Alipay which has 1.5 billion clients and a 33% stake.\n\nAt some point, cheap becomes stupid cheap and a buy.” \n\n#China", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am very glad this thesis on China has worked well for clients. \n\nAnd we even had the pause that refreshes!\n\nThis week, those 13-Fs showed lots of money interested in $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI etc.\n\nTypical with trend reversals: Slowly then all at once. 🇨🇳\n\nhttps://t.co/9u1lOK5KNV", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021056533957425128, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021056533957425128, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022508930608095, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01956275230342097, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0014523966506698738, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001493781654004156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011273658126328301, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011273658126328301, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01528096490770714, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008933474568973865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004007306781378839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002340183557354436, "ret_p1w": 0.06708286892284265, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06708286892284265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06444054249841202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08037711790578717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00264232642443063, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013294248982944512, "ret_p1m": -0.06894620089422132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06894620089422132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08532509319462245, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07113690627504343, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016378892300401127, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002190705380822111, "ret_p3m": -0.2032050943961511, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2032050943961511, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2589451894052367, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3728642864616064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05574009500908561, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16965919206545532, "ret_p6m": 0.25295816625315615, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25295816625315615, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24197772058047518, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2310475735894959, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.010980445672680972, "bench_c_p6m": 0.021910592663660244, "ret_p1y": 0.5368645090007549, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5368645090007549, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.37113912979443153, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.322842686725614, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16572537920632335, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21402182227514088, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06894620089422132, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08532509319462245, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07113690627504343, "price_path": [-0.3135, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.3057, -0.3152, -0.2947, -0.2918, -0.2684, -0.2579, -0.2732, -0.2697, -0.2822, -0.2869, -0.2987, -0.2859, -0.291, -0.2938, -0.2975, -0.287, -0.2675, -0.2733, -0.2653, -0.2735, -0.2784, -0.2828, -0.2742, -0.2749, -0.2517, -0.2547, -0.2462, -0.2444, -0.2596, -0.2589, -0.225, -0.2182, -0.2449, -0.2217, -0.2271, -0.2042, -0.2382, -0.2411, -0.2582, -0.2451, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.2335, -0.2316, -0.232, -0.2436, -0.2412, -0.2192, -0.2098, -0.2035, -0.2109, -0.2211, -0.2108, -0.2135, -0.1755, -0.1774, -0.1606, -0.0945, -0.1106, -0.0211, 0.0, -0.0113, 0.0504, 0.0738, 0.0513, 0.0671, 0.0949, 0.0219, 0.0052, 0.0182, 0.0262, 0.0045, -0.0512, -0.0481, -0.0676, -0.0457, -0.0598, -0.064, -0.0869, -0.1022, -0.0923, -0.0689, -0.0699, -0.0804, -0.0871, -0.0908, -0.0832, -0.0757, -0.0988, -0.067, -0.1224, -0.111, -0.1449, -0.1428, -0.1561, -0.1746, -0.1675, -0.1884, -0.1916, -0.2026, -0.2255, -0.2026, -0.2064, -0.1932, -0.1932, -0.186, -0.1992, -0.2017, -0.2087, -0.216, -0.1994, -0.1398, -0.163, -0.171, -0.1686, -0.1818, -0.1982, -0.188, -0.208, -0.2145, -0.2334, -0.2067, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.198, -0.2075, -0.2162, -0.21, -0.21, -0.2085, -0.203, -0.2032, -0.2129, -0.2203, -0.2203, -0.2497, -0.2496, -0.239, -0.2319, -0.232, -0.2069, -0.2069, -0.2045, -0.195, -0.1978, -0.1695, -0.1616, -0.1053, -0.0989, -0.0428, -0.0791, -0.0812, -0.0464, -0.075, -0.0648, -0.0356, 0.0372, 0.0508, 0.1025, 0.1138, 0.1621, 0.1621, 0.1823, 0.172, 0.2668, 0.3393, 0.2023, 0.2486, 0.2958, 0.2722, 0.2346, 0.2188, 0.2098, 0.314, 0.3039, 0.3102, 0.2349, 0.2953, 0.2777, 0.289, 0.3146, 0.3749, 0.3299, 0.3342, 0.2756, 0.2591, 0.253]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1846748722350174390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-17T03:03:00+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVO stock looks sickly past few months. Big ol Head-N-Shoulders on weekly chart. I would expect Novo Nordisk to lose some weight in its market cap.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish NVO on H&S pattern + RFK/MAHA policy risk; also bearish LLY on same thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVO stock looks sickly past few months. Big ol Head-N-Shoulders on weekly chart. \n\nIf Trump wins, and #RFKJr gets his way to #MAHA, I would expect Novo Nordisk to lose some weight in its market cap. \n\nAlso beloved $LLY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001607293289227374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001607293289227374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015215101814402, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015215101814402, "bench_spy_m1d": -8.578310778717402e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -8.578310778717402e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0010997378420775084, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010997378420775084, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0049463935844115126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0049463935844115126, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003846655742334004, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003846655742334004, "ret_p1w": -0.03637295089010917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03637295089010917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031032685026651907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031032685026651907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005340265863457261, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005340265863457261, "ret_p1m": -0.1394012069411421, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1394012069411421, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1452398063447249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1452398063447249, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005838599403582778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005838599403582778, "ret_p3m": -0.31331419063983335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31331419063983335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31640430782683193, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31640430782683193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0030901171869985866, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030901171869985866, "ret_p6m": -0.4436384184069042, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4436384184069042, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36636313378240315, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36636313378240315, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07727528462450106, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07727528462450106, "ret_p1y": -0.4815242392614866, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4815242392614866, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6488208733976014, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6488208733976014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16729663413611484, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16729663413611484, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1394012069411421, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1452398063447249, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1452398063447249, "price_path": [0.1223, 0.1232, 0.109, 0.0775, 0.068, 0.0791, 0.0891, 0.1177, 0.1163, 0.0744, 0.0618, 0.0966, 0.0048, 0.0801, 0.1248, 0.0946, 0.1256, 0.1328, 0.1593, 0.141, 0.1441, 0.1488, 0.1416, 0.1578, 0.1586, 0.1445, 0.1435, 0.1375, 0.1633, 0.1771, 0.1771, 0.1526, 0.138, 0.1072, 0.1093, 0.1158, 0.0978, 0.1439, 0.156, 0.1589, 0.158, 0.1166, 0.1171, 0.1409, 0.0786, 0.0464, 0.0611, 0.0738, 0.0514, 0.0215, 0.0072, -0.0018, -0.0147, -0.0266, -0.0262, -0.0038, -0.0086, -0.0103, -0.0058, 0.0154, 0.0132, -0.0035, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.0075, -0.0148, -0.021, -0.0364, -0.0409, -0.0496, -0.0528, -0.0421, -0.053, -0.0531, -0.0719, -0.0684, -0.1088, -0.0896, -0.0932, -0.0772, -0.0944, -0.0957, -0.1091, -0.1394, -0.1557, -0.1319, -0.1095, -0.1319, -0.1113, -0.1155, -0.1023, -0.1023, -0.1023, -0.0966, -0.0808, -0.0763, -0.0782, -0.0795, -0.063, -0.0604, -0.0764, -0.0552, -0.0813, -0.0953, -0.086, -0.0864, -0.1037, -0.125, -0.281, -0.2496, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2586, -0.261, -0.2748, -0.2724, -0.2724, -0.2597, -0.2586, -0.2807, -0.295, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.2703, -0.2842, -0.3133, -0.2986, -0.2973, -0.3344, -0.3344, -0.3146, -0.3185, -0.314, -0.2559, -0.2598, -0.2794, -0.2892, -0.2781, -0.2857, -0.3009, -0.3011, -0.2748, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.2902, -0.2917, -0.3082, -0.3332, -0.3413, -0.3413, -0.3036, -0.2945, -0.2917, -0.2549, -0.2337, -0.2307, -0.2425, -0.2453, -0.2332, -0.244, -0.2599, -0.2314, -0.2553, -0.2626, -0.3322, -0.3393, -0.3674, -0.3581, -0.3474, -0.322, -0.315, -0.3318, -0.3335, -0.3499, -0.3628, -0.3774, -0.3932, -0.4065, -0.4138, -0.4032, -0.4153, -0.4135, -0.4233, -0.4624, -0.453, -0.4705, -0.4405, -0.4739, -0.4436]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1850722738203136106", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-28T02:14:20+00:00", "symbol": "MRK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are currently (past 1-2 months) short $MRK on keytruda busters $SMMT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently short MRK due to Keytruda competition from SMMT.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SPYSTSignals But we are currently (past 1-2 months) short $MRK on keytruda busters $SMMT - so good reminder about Ivermectin! @DrBenJamminK \n\nhttps://t.co/iltu7qdXOq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Long Merck, maker of Ivermectin", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SPYSTSignals", "ret_m1d": -0.0023984978724468364, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023984978724468364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0006835120754777879, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0006835120754777879, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030820099479246243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0030820099479246243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004797073424003484, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004797073424003484, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006415560293208333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006415560293208333, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016184868692048493, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016184868692048493, "ret_p1w": -0.022642217632940387, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022642217632940387, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0036692876086898973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0036692876086898973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01897293002425049, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01897293002425049, "ret_p1m": -0.025040637826277523, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025040637826277523, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.059164200697982894, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.059164200697982894, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03412356287170537, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03412356287170537, "ret_p3m": -0.06549459765095267, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06549459765095267, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1188185495085825, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1188185495085825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05332395185762984, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05332395185762984, "ret_p6m": -0.22968601948471723, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22968601948471723, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14323381197994423, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14323381197994423, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.086452207504773, "bench_c_p6m": -0.086452207504773, "ret_p1y": -0.16314756995664104, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16314756995664104, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.32227640106101585, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.32227640106101585, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1591288311043748, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1591288311043748, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025040637826277523, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.059164200697982894, "alpha_c_stated": 0.059164200697982894, "price_path": [0.0782, 0.0848, 0.0979, 0.0704, 0.0593, 0.0721, 0.0857, 0.0917, 0.0815, 0.0902, 0.0825, 0.0799, 0.0833, 0.0905, 0.0973, 0.1058, 0.1108, 0.1112, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1189, 0.1194, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.1111, 0.1036, 0.1302, 0.1231, 0.0999, 0.0991, 0.0932, 0.0984, 0.1042, 0.1317, 0.1349, 0.1383, 0.1247, 0.1241, 0.1094, 0.1029, 0.1007, 0.085, 0.0908, 0.0895, 0.1008, 0.0753, 0.0571, 0.0532, 0.0418, 0.0412, 0.0579, 0.0496, 0.0528, 0.0524, 0.07, 0.0594, 0.053, 0.0429, 0.0202, 0.0231, 0.0206, 0.0158, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0058, -0.0183, -0.0225, -0.0226, -0.0248, -0.0336, -0.0294, -0.0126, -0.0336, -0.0542, -0.055, -0.0563, -0.076, -0.0736, -0.0738, -0.0651, -0.0419, -0.0485, -0.0295, -0.025, -0.0106, -0.0106, -0.0248, -0.0347, -0.0228, -0.0274, -0.0065, -0.0109, -0.0042, -0.031, -0.043, -0.0286, -0.0214, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.049, -0.0375, -0.0518, -0.039, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0342, -0.0358, -0.0487, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0409, -0.0412, -0.0356, -0.023, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0402, -0.0234, -0.0363, -0.032, -0.0261, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0693, -0.0747, -0.0655, -0.0759, -0.0528, -0.0576, -0.0495, -0.0431, -0.0443, -0.0349, -0.1225, -0.1328, -0.1485, -0.1559, -0.1644, -0.1631, -0.1715, -0.1836, -0.1972, -0.1972, -0.1945, -0.1722, -0.152, -0.1344, -0.1173, -0.1158, -0.1356, -0.124, -0.1079, -0.0991, -0.1049, -0.0988, -0.0909, -0.0846, -0.079, -0.0839, -0.0972, -0.0841, -0.0854, -0.0754, -0.0761, -0.0829, -0.076, -0.0918, -0.0996, -0.1429, -0.1405, -0.1455, -0.1296, -0.1244, -0.1502, -0.1553, -0.1573, -0.2053, -0.2081, -0.2299, -0.201, -0.2435, -0.2276, -0.2277, -0.2353, -0.2542, -0.2391, -0.2391, -0.2406, -0.2297]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833342474388939241", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-10T03:11:22+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Chasing $NVDA Short to $96 is one thing. But I'm really excited about that May 2023 gap.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA with downside target at $96 and eyes on filling the May 2023 gap below.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chasing $NVDA Short to $96 is one thing.\n\nBut I’m really excited about that May 2023 gap. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gamma Flows &amp; Dealer Hedging &amp; Nvidia News\n\nCLUB/EDGE client post Tuesday, September 3rd, 2024.\n\nFocus on dealers offside in VIX and chasing NVDA short.\n\nhttps://t.co/x3fnAtM2W0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015078575500013569, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015078575500013569, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01074177856587355, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005706631453899269, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004336796934140019, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0093719440461143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08149874798231838, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08149874798231838, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07123989840389, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029863176005423764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010258849578428375, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05163557197689461, "ret_p1w": 0.06937926206846279, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06937926206846279, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04335825276242877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016301873860308458, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026021009306034015, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05307738820815433, "ret_p1m": 0.22720962687462443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22720962687462443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17232487271051045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07757460782254766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05488475416411398, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14963501905207677, "ret_p3m": 0.3178725179414865, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3178725179414865, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2069294376612183, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1977049558141626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11094308028026822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12016756212732393, "ret_p6m": 0.08527413570626052, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08527413570626052, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.015981930066124805, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047080344770722427, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06929220564013572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0381937909355381, "ret_p1y": 0.6672242265014898, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6672242265014898, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47004068533578947, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3145853058728014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19718354116570036, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3526389206286884, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22720962687462443, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17232487271051045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07757460782254766, "price_path": [0.199, 0.22, 0.2117, 0.2542, 0.2542, 0.2098, 0.1709, 0.0926, 0.1664, 0.1693, 0.147, 0.1428, 0.1499, 0.1348, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.164, 0.1859, 0.2154, 0.248, 0.1785, 0.1956, 0.1882, 0.1689, 0.0915, 0.1202, 0.0909, 0.1428, 0.134, 0.0569, 0.0387, 0.0459, 0.0323, -0.0404, 0.0825, 0.0103, -0.0077, -0.0708, -0.0356, -0.085, -0.029, -0.031, 0.0085, 0.0744, 0.0923, 0.1365, 0.1525, 0.2026, 0.1772, 0.1887, 0.1447, 0.1968, 0.1698, 0.1869, 0.162, 0.0878, 0.1043, 0.1043, -0.0009, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0488, -0.0151, 0.0, 0.0815, 0.1022, 0.1019, 0.0804, 0.0694, 0.0488, 0.0905, 0.0732, 0.0756, 0.1182, 0.1427, 0.1476, 0.1231, 0.1235, 0.0824, 0.0995, 0.1365, 0.1557, 0.1816, 0.2294, 0.2272, 0.2472, 0.2471, 0.2774, 0.2175, 0.2556, 0.2668, 0.2767, 0.3295, 0.3284, 0.2911, 0.299, 0.3095, 0.3, 0.3068, 0.2891, 0.2282, 0.2527, 0.2587, 0.2944, 0.3471, 0.3774, 0.3658, 0.3439, 0.3719, 0.3532, 0.3577, 0.3135, 0.2966, 0.3601, 0.3497, 0.3569, 0.3132, 0.2584, 0.2667, 0.2521, 0.2521, 0.279, 0.2825, 0.2976, 0.3428, 0.3421, 0.3179, 0.2843, 0.2497, 0.2889, 0.2707, 0.2421, 0.2213, 0.2064, 0.1927, 0.2091, 0.2463, 0.2922, 0.2973, 0.2973, 0.2946, 0.2676, 0.2721, 0.2425, 0.2425, 0.2797, 0.3367, 0.3825, 0.2966, 0.2963, 0.2963, 0.2575, 0.2327, 0.2191, 0.2605, 0.2358, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.303, 0.3607, 0.3621, 0.3195, 0.0956, 0.1934, 0.1445, 0.1533, 0.1109, 0.0794, 0.0978, 0.1549, 0.1906, 0.2013, 0.2358, 0.2287, 0.2133, 0.2517, 0.2847, 0.2847, 0.2897, 0.2882, 0.2963, 0.2438, 0.2054, 0.1716, 0.2146, 0.1116, 0.1558, 0.0553, 0.0732, 0.0853]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869868595897086011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-19T22:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "warned clients Monday about value selling off even more - $IWM $DIA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Warns value stocks (IWM, DIA) will sell off more, pulling SPX and QQQ lower; markets crash from oversold conditions.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And why… WHY I warned clients Monday about value selling off even more - $IWM $DIA\n\n“MARKETS CRASH FROM OVERSOLD NOT OVERBOUGHT.” \n\n- would pull lower $SPX $QQQ\n\nUpdated trading room notes and detailed market thoughts have been posted for clients.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "14th straight down day for value stocks. Previous record was 9. https://t.co/nzAJsQR8yQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009282722222474393, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009282722222474393, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0025857392335901785, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025857392335901785, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022980761275245287, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0022980761275245287, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008286389973432784, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008286389973432784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "ret_p1w": 0.0021177294471637076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0021177294471637076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00441194065631878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00441194065631878, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "ret_p1m": 0.015951709261322167, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015951709261322167, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005074701622475475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005074701622475475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "ret_p3m": -0.06798357679204237, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06798357679204237, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027350982839690063, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027350982839690063, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "ret_p6m": -0.04548010932513824, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04548010932513824, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06805135726945477, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06805135726945477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "ret_p1y": 0.141706129867065, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.141706129867065, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.023861091772903187, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.023861091772903187, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0021177294471637076, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00441194065631878, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00441194065631878, "price_path": [-0.0099, -0.022, -0.0168, -0.0101, -0.0076, -0.0211, -0.0224, -0.029, -0.0154, -0.0231, -0.0225, -0.0203, -0.0257, -0.0059, 0.0014, 0.0022, 0.0187, 0.0159, 0.0138, -0.0022, -0.0059, -0.015, -0.0128, -0.0166, -0.0005, -0.0038, -0.0051, -0.0217, -0.0162, -0.0112, 0.0074, 0.0658, 0.062, 0.0698, 0.0859, 0.0669, 0.0563, 0.0421, 0.0265, 0.0285, 0.0362, 0.0375, 0.0533, 0.0727, 0.0891, 0.0811, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0867, 0.0861, 0.0784, 0.0823, 0.0696, 0.0735, 0.0681, 0.0634, 0.0683, 0.0544, 0.0471, 0.0533, 0.0412, -0.0049, -0.0093, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0169, 0.0021, -0.0056, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0035, 0.0113, 0.0117, 0.0036, -0.0009, -0.0009, -0.0229, -0.021, -0.0099, 0.0096, 0.0116, 0.016, 0.016, 0.0355, 0.0287, 0.0334, 0.0305, 0.0206, 0.0218, 0.0194, 0.0298, 0.0205, 0.0086, 0.0226, 0.0337, 0.0303, 0.0184, 0.023, 0.017, 0.0077, 0.019, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0238, 0.0203, 0.0105, -0.0186, -0.0256, -0.0293, -0.0281, -0.0429, -0.0328, -0.0592, -0.0698, -0.0606, -0.075, -0.072, -0.0953, -0.0954, -0.0938, -0.1073, -0.0858, -0.0742, -0.0823, -0.068, -0.0739, -0.0796, -0.0567, -0.062, -0.0715, -0.0759, -0.0947, -0.0991, -0.099, -0.0847, -0.1435, -0.1817, -0.1891, -0.2105, -0.1434, -0.1794, -0.1674, -0.1576, -0.1565, -0.1646, -0.1578, -0.1578, -0.1747, -0.1533, -0.1408, -0.1236, -0.1233, -0.1196, -0.1144, -0.12, -0.1145, -0.0946, -0.1015, -0.1113, -0.1084, -0.0914, -0.0931, -0.0612, -0.0578, -0.0661, -0.06, -0.0523, -0.0562, -0.0557, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0852, -0.0852, -0.062, -0.0719, -0.0691, -0.0739, -0.071, -0.056, -0.0586, -0.0582, -0.043, -0.0364, -0.0312, -0.0352, -0.039, -0.0566, -0.0455]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869868595897086011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-19T22:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "warned clients Monday about value selling off even more - $IWM $DIA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Warns value stocks (IWM, DIA) will sell off more, pulling SPX and QQQ lower; markets crash from oversold conditions.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And why… WHY I warned clients Monday about value selling off even more - $IWM $DIA\n\n“MARKETS CRASH FROM OVERSOLD NOT OVERBOUGHT.” \n\n- would pull lower $SPX $QQQ\n\nUpdated trading room notes and detailed market thoughts have been posted for clients.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "14th straight down day for value stocks. Previous record was 9. https://t.co/nzAJsQR8yQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012211339199575622, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012211339199575622, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0003428777435110497, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0003428777435110497, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.000816396720422663, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.000816396720422663, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005171917125485592, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005171917125485592, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "ret_p1w": 0.0034067293707535917, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0034067293707535917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003122940732728896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003122940732728896, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "ret_p1m": 0.014801671849906661, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014801671849906661, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003924664211059969, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003924664211059969, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "ret_p3m": -0.017115694578437868, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017115694578437868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.023516899373914435, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023516899373914435, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "ret_p6m": -0.0002558344239025345, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0002558344239025345, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.022827082368219065, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.022827082368219065, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "ret_p1y": 0.1266342507716567, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1266342507716567, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.03893297086831149, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.03893297086831149, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0034067293707535917, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.003122940732728896, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003122940732728896, "price_path": [-0.0187, -0.0257, -0.0199, -0.0168, -0.0164, -0.0202, -0.0192, -0.0237, -0.0158, -0.0246, -0.0218, -0.0119, -0.0128, -0.0034, 0.0016, -0.0062, 0.0012, 0.0053, 0.006, -0.0016, -0.0017, -0.0113, -0.0146, -0.0207, -0.0139, -0.0175, -0.0193, -0.0288, -0.0224, -0.0279, -0.018, 0.0167, 0.0171, 0.0234, 0.0302, 0.0217, 0.0227, 0.0178, 0.011, 0.0103, 0.0071, 0.0105, 0.0214, 0.0311, 0.0414, 0.0444, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0473, 0.0441, 0.0421, 0.0492, 0.044, 0.0404, 0.0356, 0.0324, 0.0296, 0.0244, 0.0223, 0.02, 0.0135, -0.0129, -0.0122, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0109, 0.0034, -0.0065, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.0111, -0.0032, -0.0033, -0.0075, -0.0056, -0.0056, -0.0215, -0.013, -0.0079, 0.0086, 0.007, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0274, 0.0301, 0.0397, 0.0367, 0.0437, 0.0468, 0.0439, 0.0477, 0.0397, 0.0371, 0.04, 0.0474, 0.0443, 0.0344, 0.0383, 0.0414, 0.0356, 0.0441, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0409, 0.0427, 0.0327, 0.015, 0.0159, 0.0196, 0.0154, 0.0108, 0.0248, 0.0102, -0.0051, 0.0064, -0.0043, 0.0012, -0.0193, -0.0304, -0.0322, -0.0443, -0.0289, -0.0199, -0.0262, -0.0171, -0.0178, -0.0171, -0.0034, -0.0026, -0.0063, -0.0093, -0.0265, -0.0165, -0.0172, -0.0115, -0.0508, -0.1024, -0.1109, -0.1182, -0.0488, -0.0732, -0.0586, -0.0504, -0.0544, -0.0706, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.1057, -0.0817, -0.0722, -0.0603, -0.0602, -0.0573, -0.0504, -0.0477, -0.0452, -0.032, -0.0339, -0.0433, -0.0367, -0.0301, -0.0335, -0.0058, -0.0122, -0.0144, -0.0076, 0.0004, 0.0039, 0.0014, -0.0179, -0.0178, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.006, -0.0117, -0.0092, -0.0083, -0.0063, -0.0009, -0.0034, -0.0057, 0.0047, 0.0046, 0.0076, 0.0075, 0.0096, -0.0084, -0.0003]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869868595897086011", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-19T22:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would pull lower $SPX $QQQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Warns value stocks (IWM, DIA) will sell off more, pulling SPX and QQQ lower; markets crash from oversold conditions.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And why… WHY I warned clients Monday about value selling off even more - $IWM $DIA\n\n“MARKETS CRASH FROM OVERSOLD NOT OVERBOUGHT.” \n\n- would pull lower $SPX $QQQ\n\nUpdated trading room notes and detailed market thoughts have been posted for clients.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "14th straight down day for value stocks. Previous record was 9. https://t.co/nzAJsQR8yQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008656854082679466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008656854082679466, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003211607373385106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003211607373385106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009742838086433503, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009742838086433503, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0037545242405252477, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0037545242405252477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "ret_p1w": 0.009144067156287683, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009144067156287683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002614397052805195, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002614397052805195, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "ret_p1m": 0.007560550532387689, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007560550532387689, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003316457106459003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003316457106459003, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "ret_p3m": -0.07132704505241205, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07132704505241205, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03069445110005975, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03069445110005975, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "ret_p6m": 0.033335219319424736, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.033335219319424736, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010763971375108206, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010763971375108206, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "ret_p1y": 0.21162875300853323, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21162875300853323, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.046061531368565056, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.046061531368565056, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009144067156287683, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002614397052805195, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002614397052805195, "price_path": [-0.0642, -0.0633, -0.0563, -0.0615, -0.059, -0.0721, -0.0708, -0.0715, -0.0604, -0.0705, -0.0566, -0.0492, -0.0503, -0.0488, -0.0408, -0.0536, -0.0535, -0.0528, -0.0466, -0.0448, -0.0438, -0.0584, -0.0508, -0.045, -0.0448, -0.0357, -0.043, -0.0671, -0.0602, -0.063, -0.051, -0.0252, -0.0099, -0.0087, -0.0093, -0.0111, -0.0124, -0.0192, -0.0426, -0.0359, -0.0293, -0.0299, -0.0264, -0.0248, -0.0233, -0.018, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.0172, -0.0065, -0.0035, 0.0089, 0.0061, 0.0151, 0.0072, 0.0037, 0.0217, 0.0151, 0.0229, 0.0376, 0.033, -0.0042, -0.0087, 0.0, 0.0097, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0227, 0.0091, -0.0043, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0147, 0.0015, 0.013, -0.0051, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0205, -0.0237, -0.0246, -0.0022, -0.0092, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0135, 0.0264, 0.0286, 0.0228, -0.007, 0.0077, 0.0058, 0.0101, 0.0086, 0.0006, 0.0128, 0.0174, 0.0227, 0.0098, 0.0221, 0.0196, 0.0202, 0.0349, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0416, 0.0419, 0.0375, 0.0159, 0.0039, -0.0087, -0.0063, -0.0339, -0.0186, -0.0401, -0.043, -0.0305, -0.0572, -0.0503, -0.0871, -0.0893, -0.079, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0677, -0.0836, -0.0713, -0.0745, -0.0714, -0.051, -0.0456, -0.0632, -0.0685, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0858, -0.0791, -0.1284, -0.1825, -0.1806, -0.1953, -0.0987, -0.1371, -0.1212, -0.1152, -0.1142, -0.1409, -0.1411, -0.1411, -0.1624, -0.1404, -0.1209, -0.0961, -0.0861, -0.0863, -0.0803, -0.0804, -0.0684, -0.0546, -0.0602, -0.0689, -0.0653, -0.0556, -0.0562, -0.0178, -0.0028, 0.0031, 0.0042, 0.0086, 0.0096, 0.0062, -0.0078, -0.0059, -0.0151, -0.0151, 0.0081, 0.0036, 0.0056, 0.004, 0.0119, 0.0198, 0.0227, 0.015, 0.0249, 0.0264, 0.0332, 0.0297, 0.0321, 0.0192, 0.0333]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1833998627741507817", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-11T22:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "banks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Live Trading Room review of my Bank short - before they rolled over this week + reasons to press", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding and pressing short on bank sector; argues bank selling is a broad market warning signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["KBE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KBE SPDR S&P Bank ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Live Trading Room review of my Bank short - before they rolled over this week + reasons to press.\n\nIn time, keep in mind:\nIf They Sell Banks, Why Buy Anything Else?\n\nhttps://t.co/BcHK4uRubX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00551169578705446, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00551169578705446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002841403881653326, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002841403881653326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008353099668707786, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008353099668707786, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024409432003261067, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024409432003261067, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01918698459847623, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01918698459847623, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005222447404784836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005222447404784836, "ret_p1w": 0.07500020413688091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07500020413688091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05373369470687228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05373369470687228, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02126650943000863, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02126650943000863, "ret_p1m": 0.07045242699908116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07045242699908116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030623945707393796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030623945707393796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03982848129168737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03982848129168737, "ret_p3m": 0.18116166761616492, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18116166761616492, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09967430046968628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09967430046968628, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08148736714647864, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08148736714647864, "ret_p6m": 0.07079459181731451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07079459181731451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03405496711786049, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03405496711786049, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03673962469945402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03673962469945402, "ret_p1y": 0.23377213864474466, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23377213864474466, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.065652290114941, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.065652290114941, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16811984852980366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16811984852980366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07045242699908116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030623945707393796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030623945707393796, "price_path": [-0.1283, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1235, -0.1246, -0.1081, -0.1189, -0.1187, -0.1098, -0.0868, -0.0909, -0.0795, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.1047, -0.1049, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0382, -0.0356, -0.0098, 0.0305, 0.0396, 0.0228, 0.024, 0.0404, 0.0539, 0.0358, 0.0593, 0.077, 0.0573, 0.0657, 0.062, 0.0177, -0.0171, -0.0451, -0.04, -0.0449, -0.026, -0.028, -0.0378, -0.026, -0.0272, -0.0057, 0.0091, 0.0183, 0.0018, 0.0053, 0.0096, 0.0528, 0.0474, 0.0398, 0.048, 0.0506, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0459, 0.0366, 0.0268, 0.0071, 0.0136, 0.0049, -0.0055, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.0372, 0.0449, 0.049, 0.075, 0.0575, 0.0538, 0.0402, 0.0267, 0.0358, 0.0368, 0.0475, 0.0184, 0.0166, 0.018, 0.0368, 0.0308, 0.0295, 0.0411, 0.0394, 0.0705, 0.0811, 0.0912, 0.1067, 0.1156, 0.1015, 0.0703, 0.0798, 0.0792, 0.0839, 0.0643, 0.0942, 0.0895, 0.0986, 0.0823, 0.0736, 0.0657, 0.0827, 0.2119, 0.1724, 0.1788, 0.2123, 0.2051, 0.1962, 0.1865, 0.1875, 0.1857, 0.1802, 0.1758, 0.1938, 0.2206, 0.243, 0.2311, 0.2281, 0.2281, 0.2247, 0.214, 0.2033, 0.2061, 0.2004, 0.2037, 0.1855, 0.1812, 0.1873, 0.1744, 0.1701, 0.1764, 0.152, 0.0942, 0.0883, 0.1059, 0.1081, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.1236, 0.1102, 0.1057, 0.1053, 0.1053, 0.0941, 0.1089, 0.1093, 0.0999, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.067, 0.0798, 0.1154, 0.1445, 0.1375, 0.1529, 0.1529, 0.1656, 0.1547, 0.1519, 0.1573, 0.1714, 0.1684, 0.1662, 0.1782, 0.173, 0.1509, 0.1698, 0.1832, 0.1939, 0.1808, 0.168, 0.1826, 0.1581, 0.1642, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.1766, 0.1706, 0.1515, 0.1264, 0.1196, 0.1216, 0.1228, 0.125, 0.1423, 0.1288, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.0702, 0.0708]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859281614695694837", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-20T17:04:15+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA moving higher post earnings is a base-line bet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA post-earnings as base case; targets SMH $272.46 by EOY/January.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA moving higher post earnings is a base-line bet BECAUSE I have $SMH $272.46 as price tag by EOY/Jan. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I think the $NVDA move is underpriced. \n\nNot the \"1-day\" that most focus on, but bigger picture.\n\nThis AM we see NVDA with a 7% implied ER move, a neutral Skew Rank of 0.6, and a subdued IV Rank of 38%.\n\nAttached is 1-month skew on earnings day for today (teal) vs the previous 3 https://t.co/hmAHlkbmQH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007677036906365453, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007677036906365453, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00801553894465612, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009152557992280208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003385020382906667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006761781107137432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005346563963976703, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005346563963976703, "alpha_spy_p1d": -2.1894819048906555e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00933148269626205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005368458783025609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014678046660238753, "ret_p1w": -0.07231484671643418, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07231484671643418, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0864215947951793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05462707755145679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014106748078745124, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017687769164977385, "ret_p1m": -0.10419519698608792, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10419519698608792, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0967439327352998, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08906373643236765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0074512642507881255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015131460553720277, "ret_p3m": -0.048189889705054334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.048189889705054334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08417996650039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09420084580238086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035990076795342496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04601095609732653, "ret_p6m": -0.07566185714400941, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07566185714400941, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08197778408157752, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09910271521886849, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.006315926937568106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023440858074859072, "ret_p1y": 0.29004012201382956, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.29004012201382956, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13995144059793962, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15163122004121865, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15008868141588994, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4416713420550482, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10419519698608792, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0967439327352998, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08906373643236765, "price_path": [-0.1133, -0.1333, -0.1206, -0.1391, -0.1941, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.2598, -0.272, -0.2652, -0.2952, -0.2703, -0.2591, -0.1987, -0.1834, -0.1836, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2229, -0.1921, -0.2049, -0.2031, -0.1715, -0.1534, -0.1498, -0.1679, -0.1676, -0.198, -0.1853, -0.1579, -0.1437, -0.1245, -0.0891, -0.0908, -0.0759, -0.076, -0.0536, -0.098, -0.0697, -0.0614, -0.0541, -0.0149, -0.0158, -0.0434, -0.0376, -0.0298, -0.0368, -0.0318, -0.0449, -0.09, -0.0719, -0.0674, -0.041, -0.0019, 0.0205, 0.0119, -0.0043, 0.0165, 0.0026, 0.006, -0.0268, -0.0393, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.0053, -0.027, -0.0677, -0.0615, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0524, -0.0498, -0.0386, -0.0051, -0.0056, -0.0236, -0.0485, -0.0741, -0.045, -0.0585, -0.0797, -0.0951, -0.1062, -0.1163, -0.1042, -0.0766, -0.0426, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0408, -0.0608, -0.0575, -0.0794, -0.0794, -0.0519, -0.0097, 0.0243, -0.0393, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.0683, -0.0867, -0.0968, -0.0661, -0.0844, -0.056, -0.056, -0.0346, 0.0082, 0.0092, -0.0223, -0.1882, -0.1158, -0.152, -0.1455, -0.1769, -0.2003, -0.1867, -0.1443, -0.1179, -0.11, -0.0844, -0.0897, -0.101, -0.0726, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0444, -0.0456, -0.0396, -0.0785, -0.1069, -0.132, -0.1001, -0.1764, -0.1437, -0.2181, -0.2049, -0.1959, -0.242, -0.2275, -0.2667, -0.2545, -0.2065, -0.2076, -0.1659, -0.1806, -0.2087, -0.1943, -0.1874, -0.1931, -0.1677, -0.1726, -0.2201, -0.2361, -0.2481, -0.257, -0.2449, -0.243, -0.3021, -0.3535, -0.3306, -0.3398, -0.2162, -0.2625, -0.2395, -0.241, -0.2308, -0.2837, -0.3042, -0.3042, -0.3356, -0.3221, -0.2959, -0.2704, -0.239, -0.2546, -0.2526, -0.2533, -0.2348, -0.215, -0.2197, -0.2216, -0.1975, -0.1954, -0.2003, -0.1568, -0.1093, -0.0722, -0.0757]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859281614695694837", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-20T17:04:15+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $SMH $272.46 as price tag by EOY/Jan", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA post-earnings as base case; targets SMH $272.46 by EOY/January.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA moving higher post earnings is a base-line bet BECAUSE I have $SMH $272.46 as price tag by EOY/Jan. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I think the $NVDA move is underpriced. \n\nNot the \"1-day\" that most focus on, but bigger picture.\n\nThis AM we see NVDA with a 7% implied ER move, a neutral Skew Rank of 0.6, and a subdued IV Rank of 38%.\n\nAttached is 1-month skew on earnings day for today (teal) vs the previous 3 https://t.co/hmAHlkbmQH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006761781107137432, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006761781107137432, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007100283145428099, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007100283145428099, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003385020382906667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003385020382906667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014678046660238753, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014678046660238753, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009309587877213144, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009309587877213144, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005368458783025609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005368458783025609, "ret_p1w": -0.017687769164977385, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017687769164977385, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03179451724372251, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03179451724372251, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014106748078745124, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014106748078745124, "ret_p1m": -0.015131460553720277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015131460553720277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007680196302932152, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007680196302932152, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0074512642507881255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0074512642507881255, "ret_p3m": 0.04601095609732653, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04601095609732653, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.010020879301984031, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.010020879301984031, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035990076795342496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035990076795342496, "ret_p6m": 0.023440858074859072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.023440858074859072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.017124931137290966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.017124931137290966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.006315926937568106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006315926937568106, "ret_p1y": 0.4416713420550482, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4416713420550482, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2915826606391583, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2915826606391583, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15008868141588994, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15008868141588994, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015131460553720277, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.007680196302932152, "alpha_c_stated": -0.007680196302932152, "price_path": [0.0241, 0.0001, 0.0102, -0.0068, -0.0191, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0715, -0.0738, -0.0754, -0.1135, -0.0935, -0.0849, -0.0377, -0.0356, -0.0232, -0.036, -0.0364, -0.0473, -0.006, -0.0191, -0.0148, 0.0035, 0.0124, 0.0416, 0.0214, 0.012, -0.0151, -0.0009, 0.0083, 0.0218, 0.0234, 0.0411, 0.052, 0.0499, 0.0583, 0.0773, 0.019, 0.0197, 0.0373, 0.037, 0.0425, 0.0377, 0.0267, 0.031, 0.043, 0.0357, 0.0593, 0.0336, -0.0035, 0.0091, 0.0071, 0.0238, 0.0506, 0.0762, 0.0693, 0.0453, 0.0384, 0.021, 0.0233, -0.0107, -0.0041, 0.0068, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0086, 0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0017, 0.022, 0.0242, 0.0416, 0.0237, 0.025, 0.0146, -0.011, 0.0132, 0.0034, 0.0287, 0.0442, 0.0306, -0.0023, -0.0151, 0.0007, 0.0321, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0392, 0.0287, 0.0132, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0138, 0.0431, 0.0777, 0.0521, 0.0446, 0.0446, 0.0236, 0.0131, 0.0164, 0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0866, 0.1064, 0.1051, 0.0831, -0.0234, -0.0042, -0.008, 0.0153, 0.0089, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0285, 0.0146, 0.0338, 0.0348, 0.0292, 0.0433, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0611, 0.0657, 0.0676, 0.0353, 0.0081, -0.0133, 0.0097, -0.0525, -0.036, -0.0764, -0.0673, -0.05, -0.0898, -0.0678, -0.1116, -0.1128, -0.0868, -0.0908, -0.0617, -0.0518, -0.0665, -0.0582, -0.0597, -0.0692, -0.0449, -0.0489, -0.0806, -0.0982, -0.1213, -0.1242, -0.12, -0.1134, -0.1901, -0.2513, -0.2343, -0.2548, -0.1269, -0.1874, -0.1663, -0.1651, -0.1596, -0.1951, -0.2027, -0.2027, -0.2221, -0.2053, -0.1763, -0.1346, -0.1222, -0.1276, -0.1291, -0.125, -0.1208, -0.0929, -0.0988, -0.1072, -0.0888, -0.0808, -0.0748, -0.0168, 0.0169, 0.027, 0.0234]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1866909637683056887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-11T18:15:17+00:00", "symbol": "commodities", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Traders would actually put money to use in chasing/hedging inflationary assets. This would drive commodities (and interest rates) higher", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC/ETH/crypto as liquidity vacuum suppressing commodities; without crypto inflows, commodity prices would rise as money chases real assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["DJP", "PDBC"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "DJP broad commodity ETN; PDBC Invesco commodity ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump’s blessing on bitcoin could back-fire big time.  \n\nMany are hoping China “stimulus” helps hard commodities get a durable bid, or USD falling does. \n\nBut not gonna happen if Bitcoin + crypto keep rising.\n\nWhy?\nBTC serves as the off-ramp to suck out any liquidity that would otherwise go into commodities - both as speculation or investment. \n\nBy design:\nAs BTC rises, inflation is controlled by suppressing commodity prices from lack of speculation and investment AND as source of funds re-routes liquidity from THINGS we actually consume & use in industrial applications (oil, corn, copper, gold, etc) into the popular delusion of an intangible token that has no use as an input into building goods and services to consume/trade, or as a claim on revenues/cash flows that determines its value, or for any purpose at all in the real economy. \n\nWhat’s the alternative? \nImagine if money didn’t flow into Bitcoin… Traders would actually put money to use in chasing/hedging inflationary assets. This would drive commodities (and interest rates) higher.\n\nBTC Price To $1M?\nIronically … bitcoin competes for the very dollars that could be used for productive investments - projects that deploy commodities/employ people - to support a higher standard of living and real economic growth.\n\nWho Benefits Exactly?\n\nBTC /ETH /Crypto serves the self-interests of the largest holders/most wealthy while siphoning money away from value stocks, US bonds, world commodities … not to mention investments in infrastructure, R&D, more jobs.\n\nBitcoin to $1M or $13M is less an argument about digital scarcity of BTC then it is about short-changing America’s ability to focus on and fund our real future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011887286517971107, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011887286517971107, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00421585125799806, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00421585125799806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007671435259973047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00530319894393122, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00530319894393122, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00015066131222613022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00015066131222613022, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00515253763170509, "ret_p1w": -0.03172322212643747, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03172322212643747, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00314318144966913, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00314318144966913, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0348664035761066, "ret_p1m": 0.006489909812812944, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006489909812812944, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03280600690680591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03280600690680591, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026316097093992963, "ret_p3m": 0.042822458192327884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.042822458192327884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11689025073565262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11689025073565262, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07406779254332474, "ret_p6m": 0.02424696322700376, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02424696322700376, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04173620318130372, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04173620318130372, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017489239954299962, "ret_p1y": 0.11427602922016145, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11427602922016145, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.02439705262878422, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.02439705262878422, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13867308184894567, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006489909812812944, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03280600690680591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03280600690680591, "price_path": [-0.0449, -0.0371, -0.0318, -0.0378, -0.0218, -0.0188, -0.014, 0.0018, -0.0033, -0.0094, -0.0043, -0.0068, 0.0082, 0.0157, 0.0264, 0.0266, 0.0348, 0.0112, 0.0026, 0.0197, 0.0204, 0.0055, -0.01, -0.0126, -0.012, -0.0141, -0.0097, 0.0055, 0.0026, 0.0045, 0.0066, -0.0153, -0.0151, -0.0075, -0.0066, -0.0145, -0.0004, 0.002, -0.0085, 0.0048, -0.0101, -0.0221, -0.0286, -0.0311, -0.0354, -0.0372, -0.0168, -0.0141, -0.0095, -0.0044, -0.003, -0.0137, -0.0129, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.0158, -0.0261, -0.0188, -0.0221, -0.0206, -0.0246, -0.0153, -0.0119, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0087, -0.0147, -0.0206, -0.0317, -0.0318, -0.0233, -0.021, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0177, -0.0155, -0.0065, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0063, -0.0027, 0.002, 0.0059, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0364, 0.0417, 0.0415, 0.0571, 0.0548, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.047, 0.0466, 0.0446, 0.0435, 0.0262, 0.028, 0.0336, 0.0347, 0.0319, 0.0435, 0.0476, 0.0438, 0.0458, 0.0464, 0.0616, 0.0656, 0.0585, 0.0647, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.0799, 0.0886, 0.0889, 0.0758, 0.0699, 0.0593, 0.0519, 0.048, 0.0388, 0.0366, 0.0407, 0.0441, 0.0413, 0.0478, 0.0428, 0.0477, 0.0461, 0.0462, 0.0484, 0.0563, 0.0553, 0.0623, 0.0613, 0.0547, 0.0562, 0.0578, 0.0566, 0.0606, 0.0596, 0.0708, 0.0725, 0.0781, 0.0407, -0.0022, -0.0194, -0.0389, 0.0014, -0.0108, 0.007, 0.004, 0.0024, 0.0161, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0164, 0.0177, 0.0119, 0.0213, 0.0212, 0.0212, 0.0092, -0.0064, -0.0048, 0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0101, -0.0008, 0.0067, 0.0177, 0.0191, 0.0304, 0.0216, 0.014, 0.0064, 0.0044, 0.0211, 0.0209, 0.0143, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0146, 0.0058, 0.0029, -0.0056, 0.018, 0.0219, 0.0204, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1879293159823294907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-14T22:22:59+00:00", "symbol": "LNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My gas bull bet is based on LNG demand from the terminals that are already in construction. Hadn't even factored in more demand for power gen.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's nat gas client is bullish on LNG and EQT driven by LNG terminal demand plus unexpected power-gen upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["LNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Nat Gas client weighed in:\n\n“There's already a 2-3 year backlog for gas turbines so it's a good question.  My gas bull bet is based on LNG demand from the terminals that are already in construction.  Hadn't even factored in more demand for power gen.    The refresh rate for infra construction is way slower than for software.    Have read that current GPU's are power pigs but newer ones won't be.  However what revenue model supports throwing away billions in obsolete chips over the next couple years?” $LNG $EQT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The AI narrative has shifted from \"More GPUs\" to \"More Power.\"  While the popular talking point is that new nuclear plants will supply this power, the NRC has effectively smothered the industry for decades. So where is the power going to come from? #AiMania https://t.co/GhLcujD9X7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01134711686376011, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01134711686376011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00651784311586423, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0032364154276245394, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01786495997962434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014583532291384649, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031641422597302515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031641422597302515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03356452449374092, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02440357872706511, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019231018964384061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007237843870237404, "ret_p1w": -0.05091920974649344, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05091920974649344, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07396333877183281, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042385173817626964, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023044129025339366, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008534035928866479, "ret_p1m": -0.14400770162315668, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14400770162315668, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17260173327333161, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11311212378125135, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028594031650174934, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03089557784190533, "ret_p3m": -0.09647762148498573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09647762148498573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.008690947032215735, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.041607381624332085, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08778667445277, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13808500310931782, "ret_p6m": -0.04318114298230813, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04318114298230813, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1052248736261403, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.017033040009107547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06204373064383217, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026148102973200582, "ret_p1y": -0.18810912437152083, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18810912437152083, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35412781018172457, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20733383006648476, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16601868581020374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.01922470569496393, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14400770162315668, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17260173327333161, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11311212378125135, "price_path": [-0.2609, -0.2654, -0.2601, -0.2581, -0.2439, -0.2497, -0.2552, -0.2595, -0.262, -0.2236, -0.2391, -0.2342, -0.2187, -0.197, -0.1805, -0.1635, -0.1261, -0.1293, -0.1459, -0.1428, -0.1366, -0.1266, -0.1051, -0.1027, -0.085, -0.0947, -0.1125, -0.0975, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.0889, -0.0948, -0.0926, -0.0901, -0.0812, -0.0974, -0.1285, -0.1344, -0.1248, -0.1271, -0.1335, -0.1437, -0.1432, -0.1595, -0.1624, -0.1504, -0.1484, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.1448, -0.144, -0.1334, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.1028, -0.0952, -0.0894, -0.091, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.084, -0.0669, -0.0113, 0.0, 0.0316, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0153, -0.0509, -0.0471, -0.057, -0.0871, -0.0789, -0.0726, -0.0638, -0.0904, -0.0664, -0.0727, -0.0622, -0.1109, -0.1135, -0.097, -0.1065, -0.1467, -0.144, -0.1296, -0.1296, -0.1209, -0.1081, -0.075, -0.0985, -0.1041, -0.1193, -0.1073, -0.1035, -0.0683, -0.0997, -0.1033, -0.1131, -0.1219, -0.1024, -0.126, -0.1384, -0.1229, -0.1376, -0.1092, -0.0929, -0.0868, -0.0736, -0.0615, -0.0754, -0.0478, -0.0543, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.0778, -0.0567, -0.0586, -0.0436, -0.1029, -0.1959, -0.1758, -0.1637, -0.112, -0.1324, -0.1019, -0.0965, -0.0749, -0.0728, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0896, -0.0633, -0.0702, -0.0532, -0.0495, -0.0315, -0.0305, -0.0579, -0.0604, -0.0388, -0.04, -0.0443, -0.0267, -0.0326, -0.0449, -0.0585, -0.0493, -0.0472, -0.0371, -0.0397, -0.0473, -0.0484, -0.0633, -0.0665, -0.0641, -0.0641, -0.0537, -0.0457, -0.0531, -0.0319, -0.0064, -0.0019, -0.016, -0.0037, -0.007, -0.0654, -0.0598, -0.04, -0.0399, -0.0264, -0.0457, -0.036, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0402, -0.0501, -0.0198, -0.0346, -0.0111, -0.0196, -0.0052, -0.0358, -0.0185, -0.0212, -0.0212, -0.0255, -0.0328, -0.0361, -0.0432]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1879293159823294907", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-14T22:22:59+00:00", "symbol": "EQT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My gas bull bet is based on LNG demand from the terminals that are already in construction. Hadn't even factored in more demand for power gen.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's nat gas client is bullish on LNG and EQT driven by LNG terminal demand plus unexpected power-gen upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Nat Gas client weighed in:\n\n“There's already a 2-3 year backlog for gas turbines so it's a good question.  My gas bull bet is based on LNG demand from the terminals that are already in construction.  Hadn't even factored in more demand for power gen.    The refresh rate for infra construction is way slower than for software.    Have read that current GPU's are power pigs but newer ones won't be.  However what revenue model supports throwing away billions in obsolete chips over the next couple years?” $LNG $EQT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The AI narrative has shifted from \"More GPUs\" to \"More Power.\"  While the popular talking point is that new nuclear plants will supply this power, the NRC has effectively smothered the industry for decades. So where is the power going to come from? #AiMania https://t.co/GhLcujD9X7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0333714926717561, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0333714926717561, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015506532692131758, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01878796038037145, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01786495997962434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014583532291384649, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025553035866199725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025553035866199725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02747613776263813, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01831519199596232, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019231018964384061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007237843870237404, "ret_p1w": 0.01830671001970252, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01830671001970252, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004737419005636845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026840745948569, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023044129025339366, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008534035928866479, "ret_p1m": 0.008199877444928783, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008199877444928783, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02039415420524615, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03909545528683411, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028594031650174934, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03089557784190533, "ret_p3m": -0.044275073872486304, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.044275073872486304, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.043511600580283694, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09380992923683151, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08778667445277, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13808500310931782, "ret_p6m": 0.04583962402230424, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04583962402230424, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.016204106621527936, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07198772699550482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06204373064383217, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026148102973200582, "ret_p1y": 0.031698187296930636, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.031698187296930636, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1343204985132731, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.012473481601966707, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16601868581020374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.01922470569496393, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008199877444928783, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02039415420524615, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03909545528683411, "price_path": [-0.3071, -0.3096, -0.317, -0.3128, -0.2982, -0.2883, -0.2915, -0.2915, -0.2676, -0.3061, -0.3236, -0.3012, -0.2871, -0.2332, -0.2241, -0.214, -0.1613, -0.1651, -0.1741, -0.1827, -0.1855, -0.1556, -0.1594, -0.1125, -0.1058, -0.1243, -0.123, -0.1312, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.1335, -0.1508, -0.1455, -0.1478, -0.1524, -0.1737, -0.1749, -0.1791, -0.1308, -0.1255, -0.1306, -0.1453, -0.1571, -0.1888, -0.1867, -0.1802, -0.1636, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1575, -0.1548, -0.1116, -0.1207, -0.1207, -0.0971, -0.1034, -0.0915, -0.0818, -0.0656, -0.0656, -0.0656, -0.045, -0.0334, 0.0, 0.0256, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0189, 0.0183, 0.0217, 0.0236, -0.0759, -0.0484, -0.0347, -0.0151, -0.0252, -0.005, -0.0055, 0.0097, -0.0193, -0.0254, 0.0202, 0.0252, -0.0013, 0.0082, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0286, 0.0374, 0.0053, -0.0391, -0.0422, -0.0659, -0.0668, -0.1082, -0.0787, -0.0684, -0.0437, -0.0412, -0.1171, -0.1011, -0.0917, -0.0607, -0.0638, -0.0655, -0.0299, -0.012, 0.0053, 0.0252, 0.0276, 0.0114, 0.0328, 0.0376, 0.0121, 0.0007, 0.0139, 0.0219, 0.0305, 0.0447, -0.0037, -0.1181, -0.0952, -0.0917, -0.0404, -0.0726, -0.0504, -0.0443, -0.0295, -0.0274, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0881, -0.0711, -0.0676, -0.0663, -0.0391, -0.0223, -0.0204, -0.0544, -0.0368, -0.0083, 0.0236, 0.0223, 0.0351, 0.0244, 0.0669, 0.0453, 0.0781, 0.0811, 0.0742, 0.0715, 0.0658, 0.0769, 0.0687, 0.0683, 0.0667, 0.0667, 0.085, 0.0646, 0.0621, 0.0575, 0.0869, 0.0867, 0.0644, 0.0614, 0.0817, 0.0531, 0.0307, 0.0353, 0.065, 0.0903, 0.1159, 0.1293, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.1594, 0.1389, 0.1575, 0.117, 0.1155, 0.1185, 0.1187, 0.0689, 0.0769, 0.061, 0.061, 0.0773, 0.0524, 0.0527, 0.0458]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1858524245569028456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-18T14:54:44+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SOLD TO YOU\n\n$PLTR", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish PLTR; endorses insider-selling bubble thesis — insiders dumping billions while retail buys.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SOLD TO YOU\n\n$PLTR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨\n\nCEO ALEXANDER KARP AND CO-FOUNDER PETER THIEL HAVE SOLD OVER $2.5 BILLION WORTH OF $PLTR STOCK SINCE SEPTEMBER\n\nAND JUST FRIDAY THE CEO SOLD $400M WORTH OF THE STOCK WHICH IS NEARLY PLTR’S YEARLY REVENUE\n\nTHIS IS THE LARGEST BUBBLE IN U.S STOCK HISTORY…\n$SPY https://t.co/BEdmQfoNu9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07362060798405068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07362060798405068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07770119194495162, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07770119194495162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028077069340998184, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028077069340998184, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024421488843245243, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024421488843245243, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "ret_p1w": 0.05533795783918749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05533795783918749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03938957844421953, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03938957844421953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "ret_p1m": 0.21433237720968035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21433237720968035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1868904765492887, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1868904765492887, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "ret_p3m": 0.924747092600938, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.924747092600938, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8845667377797064, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.8845667377797064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "ret_p6m": 1.0910873263685321, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0910873263685321, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.0869447870062003, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.0869447870062003, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "ret_p1y": 2.067254310231291, "ret_signed_p1y": -2.067254310231291, "alpha_spy_p1y": -1.9011951948230992, "alpha_c_p1y": -1.9011951948230992, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21433237720968035, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1868904765492887, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1868904765492887, "price_path": [-0.4688, -0.4789, -0.4812, -0.4964, -0.4966, -0.5044, -0.494, -0.4861, -0.4861, -0.502, -0.5007, -0.5077, -0.5049, -0.4352, -0.4326, -0.4311, -0.4301, -0.419, -0.4073, -0.405, -0.4061, -0.3988, -0.3928, -0.3805, -0.3976, -0.3941, -0.3944, -0.3986, -0.3928, -0.4048, -0.388, -0.3595, -0.3469, -0.3652, -0.3234, -0.296, -0.2896, -0.2897, -0.2915, -0.3074, -0.3155, -0.3144, -0.2986, -0.303, -0.2991, -0.3048, -0.2889, -0.2677, -0.2659, -0.2666, -0.2868, -0.3216, -0.3157, -0.324, -0.1654, -0.0935, -0.0878, -0.0468, -0.0167, -0.023, -0.0091, -0.034, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.0281, 0.014, 0.0016, 0.0504, 0.0553, 0.0731, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.095, 0.0837, 0.1583, 0.1402, 0.1732, 0.2462, 0.1828, 0.1572, 0.1836, 0.1949, 0.2418, 0.2365, 0.2143, 0.1673, 0.2114, 0.3149, 0.3172, 0.3448, 0.3448, 0.3408, 0.2909, 0.2599, 0.2346, 0.2346, 0.2274, 0.3041, 0.2393, 0.1425, 0.1138, 0.1138, 0.0979, 0.0607, 0.0759, 0.1123, 0.1303, 0.1716, 0.1716, 0.1928, 0.2548, 0.2893, 0.2893, 0.2315, 0.3097, 0.302, 0.3258, 0.3466, 0.367, 0.6949, 0.6546, 0.8165, 0.8095, 0.9042, 0.8384, 0.9163, 0.9247, 0.9452, 0.9452, 1.0343, 0.8293, 0.7347, 0.6544, 0.4802, 0.4339, 0.4579, 0.3838, 0.3862, 0.3617, 0.3777, 0.4713, 0.3134, 0.3861, 0.2468, 0.2741, 0.3655, 0.2997, 0.4078, 0.4259, 0.3694, 0.4055, 0.4265, 0.4848, 0.5793, 0.5753, 0.5064, 0.4706, 0.4014, 0.3777, 0.3823, 0.4275, 0.3647, 0.2081, 0.2706, 0.2622, 0.502, 0.4461, 0.4455, 0.5119, 0.6063, 0.5134, 0.5309, 0.5309, 0.4822, 0.5343, 0.6458, 0.7594, 0.841, 0.8715, 0.8949, 0.9334, 0.8968, 1.0287, 1.0204, 0.777, 0.8035, 0.945, 0.9148, 0.9337, 1.0911]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1840231388785610762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-29T03:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "silver to rise into mid30s based on FISCAL DOMINANCE, balance of trade causing China to settle in gold, & USD devaluation into inflation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long silver (target mid-$30s), gold, and precious metals miners on USD devaluation, fiscal dominance, and China settling trade in gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With new “MAGA” prime Minister of Japan, and China strategically easing on both monetary and fiscal front - with lots of financial engineering in the China capital markets now - it likely means BOJ will not be hiking rates anytime soon. \n\nWith US dollar weak/falling, and as long as labor market remains strong, Fed may pause easing right after the election. If cuts, precious metals continue rising. \n\nSince Feb/March 2024, @GraphCall has called for silver to rise into mid30s based on FISCAL DOMINANCE, balance of trade causing China to settle in gold, & USD devaluation into inflation.\n\nIn a nutshell, without fiscal budget constraint, Geoffrey believes, USD continues lower. \n\nGreat backdrop for gold/silver miners. He has updated silver’s path + price target by year-end for our clients.\n\n#LaDucTradingEDGE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015839520075901836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015839520075901836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01983083244416084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01983083244416084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005983811235726888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005983811235726888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014942307232364005, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014942307232364005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "ret_p1w": 0.0183034305018146, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0183034305018146, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02869115612793982, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02869115612793982, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "ret_p1m": 0.1048926278860145, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1048926278860145, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09093199103041094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09093199103041094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "ret_p3m": -0.044702585870635136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.044702585870635136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09629880684202052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09629880684202052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "ret_p6m": 0.07638155888591514, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07638155888591514, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06701573515894466, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06701573515894466, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "ret_p1y": 0.3301654740758355, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3301654740758355, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17053545185085328, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.17053545185085328, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1048926278860145, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09093199103041094, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09093199103041094, "price_path": [-0.0201, -0.0201, 0.0025, -0.0099, -0.0102, -0.0088, 0.0095, -0.0102, -0.0134, 0.007, -0.026, -0.0426, -0.0605, -0.0627, -0.0609, -0.0697, -0.1056, -0.1031, -0.1045, -0.0908, -0.0711, -0.0838, -0.0834, -0.125, -0.1327, -0.1436, -0.1197, -0.12, -0.1028, -0.1052, -0.1155, -0.0898, -0.0697, -0.0556, -0.0542, -0.0514, -0.0711, -0.0426, -0.0384, -0.037, -0.0605, -0.0563, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0996, -0.0961, -0.0767, -0.1031, -0.0901, -0.0869, -0.0806, -0.0401, -0.0137, -0.012, -0.0158, -0.0412, -0.0113, 0.0, -0.0151, 0.0341, 0.0229, 0.0299, 0.0158, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0208, 0.0289, 0.0334, 0.0183, -0.0141, -0.0194, -0.0011, 0.0137, 0.0046, 0.0106, 0.0176, 0.0169, 0.0785, 0.0859, 0.1172, 0.081, 0.0803, 0.0781, 0.0817, 0.1049, 0.0845, 0.0493, 0.0398, 0.0429, 0.0472, 0.0007, 0.0246, 0.0025, -0.0155, -0.012, -0.0282, -0.0211, -0.0296, -0.0011, 0.0032, -0.0109, -0.013, 0.0021, -0.0275, -0.0215, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0172, -0.0218, -0.0046, 0.0042, 0.0053, -0.0056, 0.0201, 0.0204, 0.0222, -0.0074, -0.0232, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0549, -0.0665, -0.0524, -0.05, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0447, -0.0581, -0.0697, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0521, -0.0503, -0.0412, -0.038, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0282, -0.051, -0.0426, -0.0158, -0.013, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.013, -0.0127, -0.0225, -0.0176, -0.0334, -0.0275, -0.0144, 0.0109, 0.0035, 0.0092, 0.0285, 0.0331, 0.0341, 0.0218, 0.0278, 0.0208, 0.0327, 0.037, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0528, 0.0493, 0.0542, 0.0415, 0.0363, 0.0148, 0.0187, -0.0004, -0.0035, 0.012, 0.0208, 0.0479, 0.0451, 0.0415, 0.0246, 0.0546, 0.0637, 0.082, 0.081, 0.0845, 0.0859, 0.0824, 0.0736, 0.0567, 0.0546, 0.0764]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1840231388785610762", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-29T03:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If cuts, precious metals continue rising", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long silver (target mid-$30s), gold, and precious metals miners on USD devaluation, fiscal dominance, and China settling trade in gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With new “MAGA” prime Minister of Japan, and China strategically easing on both monetary and fiscal front - with lots of financial engineering in the China capital markets now - it likely means BOJ will not be hiking rates anytime soon. \n\nWith US dollar weak/falling, and as long as labor market remains strong, Fed may pause easing right after the election. If cuts, precious metals continue rising. \n\nSince Feb/March 2024, @GraphCall has called for silver to rise into mid30s based on FISCAL DOMINANCE, balance of trade causing China to settle in gold, & USD devaluation into inflation.\n\nIn a nutshell, without fiscal budget constraint, Geoffrey believes, USD continues lower. \n\nGreat backdrop for gold/silver miners. He has updated silver’s path + price target by year-end for our clients.\n\n#LaDucTradingEDGE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008063880249956412, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008063880249956412, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012055192618215416, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012055192618215416, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010491249392624136, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010491249392624136, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019449745389261253, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019449745389261253, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "ret_p1w": 0.004566776193124733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004566776193124733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014954501819249955, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014954501819249955, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "ret_p1m": 0.05360815810983355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05360815810983355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03964752125422999, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03964752125422999, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "ret_p3m": 4.118228308058747e-05, "ret_signed_p3m": 4.118228308058747e-05, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0515550386883048, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0515550386883048, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "ret_p6m": 0.14568420973333218, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14568420973333218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1363183860063617, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1363183860063617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "ret_p1y": 0.3863655254068319, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3863655254068319, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22673550318184965, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22673550318184965, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05360815810983355, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03964752125422999, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03964752125422999, "price_path": [-0.1031, -0.1031, -0.091, -0.1023, -0.1008, -0.0975, -0.0815, -0.0821, -0.0791, -0.0608, -0.0651, -0.0711, -0.0878, -0.0875, -0.0843, -0.0875, -0.1017, -0.0923, -0.0936, -0.0845, -0.0679, -0.0711, -0.0729, -0.0847, -0.092, -0.0926, -0.0784, -0.0761, -0.0603, -0.0617, -0.0694, -0.0664, -0.0455, -0.0471, -0.0436, -0.0449, -0.0563, -0.0454, -0.0424, -0.0398, -0.0465, -0.0416, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.0525, -0.052, -0.0441, -0.0511, -0.0471, -0.043, -0.0445, -0.0277, -0.018, -0.0181, -0.0235, -0.0311, -0.016, -0.0035, -0.0016, 0.0124, 0.011, 0.0161, 0.0081, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0107, 0.01, 0.008, 0.0046, -0.0028, -0.0083, -0.001, 0.0099, 0.0083, 0.0118, 0.0168, 0.0229, 0.0338, 0.0336, 0.0447, 0.0321, 0.0401, 0.0422, 0.0423, 0.0536, 0.0594, 0.043, 0.0387, 0.0402, 0.0425, 0.0109, 0.0271, 0.0202, -0.0038, -0.0124, -0.0223, -0.0249, -0.0266, -0.0081, 0.0008, 0.0064, 0.0148, 0.0279, -0.0024, -0.0005, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0104, 0.0016, 0.0036, 0.0066, -0.0008, -0.0005, 0.0095, 0.0228, 0.0325, 0.0174, 0.0051, 0.0075, 0.0036, -0.0156, -0.0142, -0.0039, -0.0086, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0, -0.0068, -0.01, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0097, 0.0018, 0.0005, 0.0062, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0212, 0.011, 0.0163, 0.0239, 0.031, 0.0255, 0.0255, 0.0414, 0.0468, 0.0453, 0.0518, 0.0409, 0.0499, 0.0458, 0.0617, 0.0638, 0.0694, 0.08, 0.0867, 0.0838, 0.0857, 0.1041, 0.1001, 0.1013, 0.1121, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.1137, 0.1143, 0.1149, 0.1139, 0.1199, 0.1052, 0.1068, 0.09, 0.0831, 0.0974, 0.107, 0.1093, 0.1036, 0.1042, 0.0945, 0.1074, 0.1122, 0.1319, 0.1324, 0.1385, 0.1518, 0.1565, 0.1551, 0.1458, 0.1407, 0.1457]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1840231388785610762", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-09-29T03:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "gold miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great backdrop for gold/silver miners", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long silver (target mid-$30s), gold, and precious metals miners on USD devaluation, fiscal dominance, and China settling trade in gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "GDXJ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX senior; GDXJ junior gold miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With new “MAGA” prime Minister of Japan, and China strategically easing on both monetary and fiscal front - with lots of financial engineering in the China capital markets now - it likely means BOJ will not be hiking rates anytime soon. \n\nWith US dollar weak/falling, and as long as labor market remains strong, Fed may pause easing right after the election. If cuts, precious metals continue rising. \n\nSince Feb/March 2024, @GraphCall has called for silver to rise into mid30s based on FISCAL DOMINANCE, balance of trade causing China to settle in gold, & USD devaluation into inflation.\n\nIn a nutshell, without fiscal budget constraint, Geoffrey believes, USD continues lower. \n\nGreat backdrop for gold/silver miners. He has updated silver’s path + price target by year-end for our clients.\n\n#LaDucTradingEDGE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015077985888177436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015077985888177436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01906929825643644, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01906929825643644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017642201086874643, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017642201086874643, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02660069708351176, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02660069708351176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "ret_p1w": -0.020470840301507642, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020470840301507642, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01008311467538242, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01008311467538242, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "ret_p1m": 0.07843361343076138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07843361343076138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06447297657515783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06447297657515783, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "ret_p3m": -0.10448922271698458, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10448922271698458, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15608544368836996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15608544368836996, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "ret_p6m": 0.16266865553129506, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16266865553129506, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15330283180432458, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15330283180432458, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "ret_p1y": 0.7928234489694018, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7928234489694018, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6331934267444196, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6331934267444196, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07843361343076138, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06447297657515783, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06447297657515783, "price_path": [-0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0827, -0.0856, -0.0858, -0.0611, -0.0324, -0.0332, -0.0386, -0.0039, -0.0301, -0.0468, -0.0603, -0.0583, -0.0595, -0.0688, -0.0959, -0.0868, -0.0836, -0.0769, -0.0508, -0.072, -0.0943, -0.1253, -0.118, -0.1419, -0.1211, -0.1137, -0.0844, -0.0703, -0.076, -0.0697, -0.0401, -0.0202, -0.0148, -0.0055, -0.0335, -0.0171, -0.0216, -0.0246, -0.0475, -0.0365, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0844, -0.0925, -0.0796, -0.1074, -0.0954, -0.0809, -0.0733, -0.0202, 0.0051, 0.0027, -0.0083, -0.0221, -0.0023, 0.0179, 0.0104, 0.0436, 0.0363, 0.0472, 0.0151, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.014, -0.0062, -0.0051, -0.0205, -0.0211, -0.0263, 0.0053, 0.0103, 0.0124, 0.0262, 0.0346, 0.047, 0.0936, 0.0964, 0.1206, 0.0971, 0.0799, 0.0634, 0.0586, 0.0784, 0.0643, 0.0349, 0.0212, 0.0199, 0.0234, -0.0129, 0.0123, -0.0028, -0.0587, -0.0756, -0.0912, -0.0868, -0.092, -0.0503, -0.0308, -0.038, -0.025, -0.0242, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0387, -0.0575, -0.0322, -0.0335, -0.0318, -0.053, -0.0194, -0.0181, 0.0116, -0.0315, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0691, -0.1131, -0.1171, -0.1094, -0.106, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1045, -0.1124, -0.1263, -0.12, -0.12, -0.08, -0.0904, -0.1006, -0.0888, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.0668, -0.0848, -0.0568, -0.0492, -0.0535, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0278, -0.0285, -0.0296, -0.0174, -0.0397, -0.0279, -0.0208, 0.0178, 0.0032, 0.0188, 0.0368, 0.0627, 0.0619, 0.0543, 0.0805, 0.0659, 0.084, 0.0922, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0659, 0.0638, 0.0882, 0.0476, 0.054, 0.0378, 0.0509, 0.0097, 0.0159, 0.0154, 0.031, 0.0728, 0.0647, 0.0751, 0.0377, 0.0768, 0.0853, 0.1212, 0.1322, 0.1598, 0.1623, 0.1687, 0.1661, 0.1488, 0.1424, 0.1627]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857881600157249723", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-16T20:21:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Howard Lutnik is also pro-Bitcoin. So of course, that's the trade: $BTCUSD goes higher.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC higher if Lutnick wins; gold favored under Bessent; USD weakens under either pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Howard Lutnik is also pro-Bitcoin. So of course, that's the trade: $BTCUSD goes higher.\n\nBut so does the speed at which we turn banana republic.\n\nScott Bessent is pro-Gold. His largest position in fact as of Nov 4th.\n\nNEITHER have a grasp on how to support or value the USD.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for @realDonaldTrump to consider feedback.\n\nMy view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas @howardlutnick will actually enact change. \n\nBusiness-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00578033933942379, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00578033933942379, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009860923300324731, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.019892819836786257, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019892819836786257, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016237239339033316, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.028270174498237877, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028270174498237877, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012321795103269917, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.17227199063148602, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17227199063148602, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14483008997109437, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.06716422804241584, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06716422804241584, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02698387322118423, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.15050557152888433, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15050557152888433, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14636303216655255, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": 0.14743545384089574, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14743545384089574, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.018623661567296113, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17227199063148602, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14483008997109437, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3243, -0.3331, -0.2921, -0.3055, -0.3428, -0.3481, -0.3441, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3657, -0.3597, -0.3797, -0.4042, -0.3702, -0.3633, -0.3667, -0.358, -0.331, -0.3573, -0.3339, -0.3191, -0.3049, -0.3021, -0.3006, -0.2898, -0.3026, -0.2801, -0.2734, -0.3006, -0.3281, -0.3303, -0.3289, -0.3145, -0.3126, -0.3138, -0.3309, -0.3343, -0.3103, -0.2706, -0.2596, -0.2532, -0.2556, -0.2443, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2663, -0.2472, -0.264, -0.2279, -0.1968, -0.201, -0.2245, -0.2326, -0.2511, -0.234, -0.1646, -0.1617, -0.1546, -0.0203, -0.0286, 0.0005, -0.0364, 0.0058, 0.0, 0.0199, 0.0419, 0.0879, 0.0934, 0.0283, 0.0159, 0.0599, 0.0564, 0.0764, 0.0588, 0.0603, 0.0909, 0.0668, 0.1036, 0.0761, 0.0677, 0.1174, 0.1049, 0.1206, 0.171, 0.1723, 0.1049, 0.0767, 0.0797, 0.0458, 0.0898, 0.0967, 0.058, 0.04, 0.0232, 0.0319, 0.0428, 0.0701, 0.0835, 0.1274, 0.0705, 0.0497, 0.0214, 0.0459, 0.0439, 0.0662, 0.11, 0.1018, 0.1537, 0.1267, 0.1723, 0.1448, 0.1482, 0.1577, 0.1275, 0.1192, 0.1454, 0.1568, 0.131, 0.12, 0.0809, 0.0671, 0.0668, 0.0661, 0.0762, 0.0575, 0.0811, 0.0672, 0.0769, 0.0578, 0.0552, 0.0673, 0.0861, 0.0617, 0.0097, -0.02, -0.0684, -0.0645, -0.0681, -0.0494, -0.0367, 0.0009, -0.0064, -0.042, -0.1327, -0.0848, -0.0753, -0.1047, -0.0726, -0.0714, -0.0864, -0.0407, -0.0704, -0.0718, -0.0336, -0.0339, -0.0402, -0.0372, -0.0684, -0.0883, -0.0593, -0.089, -0.0822, -0.074, -0.1249, -0.1576, -0.088, -0.1206, -0.0788, -0.0663, -0.0759, -0.0719, -0.0624, -0.0673, -0.0334, 0.032, 0.0349, 0.0376, 0.0461, 0.049, 0.0413, 0.0405, 0.0657, 0.0703, 0.0464, 0.0691, 0.0717, 0.1403, 0.1373, 0.1355, 0.1505]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857881600157249723", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-16T20:21:05+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Scott Bessent is pro-Gold. His largest position in fact as of Nov 4th.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC higher if Lutnick wins; gold favored under Bessent; USD weakens under either pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Howard Lutnik is also pro-Bitcoin. So of course, that's the trade: $BTCUSD goes higher.\n\nBut so does the speed at which we turn banana republic.\n\nScott Bessent is pro-Gold. His largest position in fact as of Nov 4th.\n\nNEITHER have a grasp on how to support or value the USD.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for @realDonaldTrump to consider feedback.\n\nMy view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas @howardlutnick will actually enact change. \n\nBusiness-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018665229036269104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018665229036269104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014584645075368163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014584645075368163, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008959325127211537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008959325127211537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0053037446294585955, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0053037446294585955, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "ret_p1w": 0.005765479326236056, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005765479326236056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010182900068731904, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010182900068731904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "ret_p1m": 0.011821337039307434, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011821337039307434, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015620563621084216, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015620563621084216, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "ret_p3m": 0.12119955893877465, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12119955893877465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08101920411754304, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08101920411754304, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "ret_p6m": 0.24210873949071376, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24210873949071376, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.237966200128382, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.237966200128382, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "ret_p1y": 0.5202207280801343, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5202207280801343, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.35416161267194246, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.35416161267194246, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011821337039307434, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015620563621084216, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015620563621084216, "price_path": [-0.0371, -0.0486, -0.0376, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0387, -0.0338, -0.0406, -0.0406, -0.0448, -0.0442, -0.0363, -0.0434, -0.0394, -0.0351, -0.0367, -0.0197, -0.01, -0.0101, -0.0156, -0.0231, -0.008, 0.0046, 0.0066, 0.0207, 0.0192, 0.0244, 0.0163, 0.0082, 0.0187, 0.019, 0.0183, 0.0162, 0.0128, 0.0053, -0.0002, 0.0072, 0.0182, 0.0165, 0.02, 0.0251, 0.0313, 0.0422, 0.042, 0.0533, 0.0406, 0.0486, 0.0507, 0.0508, 0.0622, 0.0681, 0.0515, 0.0472, 0.0487, 0.0511, 0.0191, 0.0355, 0.0285, 0.0044, -0.0043, -0.0144, -0.0169, -0.0187, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0146, 0.0231, 0.0363, 0.0058, 0.0077, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0187, 0.0097, 0.0118, 0.0148, 0.0073, 0.0077, 0.0177, 0.0311, 0.0409, 0.0257, 0.0133, 0.0157, 0.0118, -0.0076, -0.0062, 0.0042, -0.0005, 0.0015, 0.0015, 0.0082, 0.0013, -0.0019, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.018, 0.01, 0.0087, 0.0144, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0295, 0.0193, 0.0246, 0.0323, 0.0394, 0.0339, 0.0339, 0.0499, 0.0553, 0.0538, 0.0604, 0.0494, 0.0584, 0.0544, 0.0703, 0.0725, 0.0782, 0.0888, 0.0956, 0.0927, 0.0946, 0.1132, 0.1091, 0.1102, 0.1212, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.1228, 0.1234, 0.124, 0.123, 0.1291, 0.1142, 0.1159, 0.0989, 0.092, 0.1064, 0.116, 0.1183, 0.1127, 0.1132, 0.1035, 0.1164, 0.1213, 0.1412, 0.1416, 0.1478, 0.1612, 0.166, 0.1645, 0.1551, 0.15, 0.155, 0.1541, 0.1696, 0.1782, 0.1952, 0.1928, 0.1952, 0.188, 0.1602, 0.1353, 0.1415, 0.1837, 0.2126, 0.2358, 0.2287, 0.2351, 0.2753, 0.2697, 0.2697, 0.309, 0.2904, 0.2595, 0.2778, 0.264, 0.282, 0.2695, 0.26, 0.2338, 0.236, 0.2729, 0.3086, 0.2889, 0.2636, 0.2727, 0.2368, 0.2421]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1856327089823105517", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-12T13:24:01+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Updating My Call To Protect Longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is long gold and updating the call to protect existing long positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gold: Updating My Call To Protect Longs \n\nhttps://t.co/c8sRVk6wkI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0043076735276441624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0043076735276441624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0011916584205016179, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011916584205016179, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031160151071425446, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031160151071425446, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007384596604567362, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007384596604567362, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007870260847991473, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007870260847991473, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00048566424342411096, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00048566424342411096, "ret_p1w": 0.010423114483173013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010423114483173013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0214803765306516, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0214803765306516, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011057262047478589, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011057262047478589, "ret_p1m": 0.05146155724158663, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05146155724158663, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0337703971239085, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0337703971239085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01769116011767813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01769116011767813, "ret_p3m": 0.10280771108774034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10280771108774034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09293685144324582, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09293685144324582, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009870859644494523, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009870859644494523, "ret_p6m": 0.3005384239783653, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3005384239783653, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.35442972785432914, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.35442972785432914, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05389130387596386, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05389130387596386, "ret_p1y": 0.5389615572415865, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5389615572415865, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3861806024594947, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3861806024594947, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15278095478209175, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15278095478209175, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05146155724158663, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0337703971239085, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0337703971239085, "price_path": [-0.0565, -0.039, -0.0378, -0.0341, -0.0352, -0.0466, -0.0352, -0.0317, -0.0323, -0.0381, -0.0286, -0.0408, -0.0408, -0.0423, -0.041, -0.0341, -0.041, -0.0378, -0.0337, -0.0338, -0.0188, -0.0072, -0.0075, -0.0137, -0.0113, -0.0046, 0.0077, 0.0102, 0.0197, 0.0228, 0.0269, 0.017, 0.0139, 0.0259, 0.0181, 0.022, 0.0176, 0.0172, 0.0058, 0.0023, 0.0079, 0.0222, 0.0184, 0.0236, 0.0285, 0.035, 0.0437, 0.0473, 0.0555, 0.044, 0.0519, 0.0542, 0.055, 0.0648, 0.0725, 0.0532, 0.0533, 0.0523, 0.054, 0.026, 0.0378, 0.0337, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0074, -0.0122, -0.0132, 0.0041, 0.0104, 0.0185, 0.0277, 0.0423, 0.0065, 0.0078, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0219, 0.0134, 0.0172, 0.0207, 0.0102, 0.0148, 0.025, 0.0375, 0.0515, 0.0337, 0.0215, 0.0198, 0.0171, 0.014, -0.003, 0.011, 0.0047, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0149, 0.0066, 0.0023, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.0227, 0.0173, 0.0148, 0.0218, 0.0248, 0.0322, 0.0417, 0.0283, 0.0298, 0.0433, 0.0563, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0596, 0.0645, 0.0627, 0.0682, 0.0529, 0.0642, 0.065, 0.0858, 0.0817, 0.09, 0.0974, 0.1045, 0.0985, 0.1028, 0.1209, 0.1202, 0.1188, 0.1253, 0.1091, 0.1091, 0.1275, 0.1228, 0.1308, 0.1298, 0.1338, 0.1171, 0.1218, 0.1089, 0.0911, 0.1116, 0.1191, 0.1213, 0.1218, 0.1172, 0.1119, 0.1203, 0.1304, 0.1478, 0.1517, 0.1538, 0.1673, 0.1677, 0.1692, 0.1608, 0.1589, 0.163, 0.1619, 0.177, 0.1871, 0.2011, 0.1996, 0.2077, 0.1912, 0.1585, 0.1351, 0.1417, 0.1756, 0.2135, 0.2393, 0.2326, 0.238, 0.2795, 0.2726, 0.2726, 0.3101, 0.308, 0.2601, 0.2815, 0.2625, 0.2817, 0.2765, 0.2712, 0.2346, 0.243, 0.2736, 0.3121, 0.3005]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1845878968865448215", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-14T17:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "ORLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Keeps my client rec'd Trend Long play in $ORLY bid past few years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains long position in ORLY, sustained by rising car insurance premiums driving auto parts demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Keeps my client rec’d Trend Long play in $ORLY bid past few years. \n\n#Hurricanes\n#CarInsurance", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "[NEWS] A perfect storm brewing in the car insurance market:\n\nThe average premium (for full coverage) in June was $2,543—up 26% YoY.\n\nAnd in some states like New Jersey, increases were well over 40%.\n\nThe reasons?\n\nInsurance companies are trying to recoup their losses from", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012522943567388811, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012522943567388811, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004410939342584297, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00816734661591545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008112004224804514, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004355596951473362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010469061298817195, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010469061298817195, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0026992457747712084, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012647016287434365, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0077698155240459865, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00217795498861717, "ret_p1w": 0.013653849228312032, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013653849228312032, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014834773348873731, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011020128731674683, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0011809241205616994, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026337204966373484, "ret_p1m": 0.028488469025517826, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028488469025517826, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006959043302372292, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06819916280234684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021529425723145534, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09668763182786466, "ret_p3m": 0.0026193350990333375, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0026193350990333375, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009623878131751473, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12902889187218958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01224321323078481, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13164822697122291, "ret_p6m": 0.09363954066426139, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09363954066426139, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23854387653622267, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19635174454482607, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.14490433587196128, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10271220388056468, "ret_p1y": 0.31815495653378756, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31815495653378756, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.16026770419285974, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.08636149343510335, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15788725234092782, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2317934630986842, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.028488469025517826, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006959043302372292, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06819916280234684, "price_path": [-0.1322, -0.1451, -0.1328, -0.121, -0.1277, -0.1263, -0.0912, -0.0767, -0.0702, -0.0513, -0.0634, -0.0575, -0.0545, -0.0807, -0.0759, -0.0778, -0.0679, -0.065, -0.0678, -0.0731, -0.061, -0.0721, -0.0691, -0.0674, -0.0632, -0.0536, -0.0623, -0.0715, -0.0684, -0.0622, -0.0531, -0.0533, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.0547, -0.0539, -0.0541, -0.0694, -0.0653, -0.0608, -0.0748, -0.0687, -0.0641, -0.0598, -0.0621, -0.0577, -0.0723, -0.0778, -0.0688, -0.061, -0.0497, -0.0357, -0.047, -0.0424, -0.0338, -0.0396, -0.0443, -0.0397, -0.0425, -0.0292, -0.0211, -0.026, -0.0125, 0.0, -0.0105, -0.0031, 0.0014, 0.007, 0.0137, 0.0023, -0.0028, -0.0023, -0.0061, -0.0046, -0.0222, -0.0336, -0.0411, -0.0466, -0.0374, -0.0335, 0.0262, 0.0099, 0.0126, 0.0216, 0.0285, 0.0301, 0.0181, 0.009, 0.0117, -0.0017, -0.0114, 0.0018, 0.0206, 0.0301, 0.0346, 0.0344, 0.0344, 0.0338, 0.0368, 0.0378, 0.0335, 0.0268, 0.0459, 0.0435, 0.053, 0.0552, 0.0558, 0.0566, 0.0551, 0.0362, 0.0188, 0.0098, 0.0137, 0.0039, 0.0158, 0.0158, 0.0035, -0.0044, -0.0189, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0124, 0.0014, 0.0066, -0.0024, 0.0026, 0.0026, -0.0041, 0.0063, 0.0014, 0.0012, 0.0018, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.032, 0.0322, 0.0491, 0.0427, 0.0665, 0.063, 0.0711, 0.0894, 0.0764, 0.0944, 0.1094, 0.1211, 0.1066, 0.0949, 0.0893, 0.1009, 0.1012, 0.1107, 0.0966, 0.0966, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0913, 0.0838, 0.0934, 0.1197, 0.1063, 0.1255, 0.1422, 0.1442, 0.1282, 0.114, 0.1068, 0.0968, 0.1197, 0.101, 0.0887, 0.0723, 0.1038, 0.1209, 0.1132, 0.1143, 0.1169, 0.1135, 0.1332, 0.1438, 0.1483, 0.1838, 0.1713, 0.1912, 0.1906, 0.1783, 0.199, 0.1557, 0.1091, 0.0936]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833939294362231028", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-11T18:42:55+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $URNM $CCJ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish nuclear energy plays on AI-driven demand catalyst (Ellison/ORCL) + potential uranium supply squeeze from Putin export threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh the timing:\n\nEllison of $ORCL yday talking up need for nuclear energy for AI boom followed by Putin threatening export restrictions on uranium. 💣\n\n$URA $URNM $CCJ https://t.co/gu9G2oUgIJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Probably read it 3 times already .. a mega trend staring at your face .. will disrupt lot of industries… just need cheap and reliable energy. https://t.co/WIKw54q6zS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048934489389119595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048934489389119595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03877981508687589, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03877981508687589, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0185477278008801, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0185477278008801, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010124266117172764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010124266117172764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": -0.006314145953298489, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006314145953298489, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018904147991941622, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018904147991941622, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": 0.16692971220671438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16692971220671438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1245841974639661, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1245841974639661, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": 0.19850044197320682, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19850044197320682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10450186259983552, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10450186259983552, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": -0.018311695559556362, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.018311695559556362, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05795693784085776, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05795693784085776, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": 0.6484418834595262, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6484418834595262, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.47048242214365366, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.47048242214365366, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16692971220671438, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1245841974639661, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1245841974639661, "price_path": [0.1655, 0.1576, 0.1864, 0.1864, 0.188, 0.1683, 0.1498, 0.1379, 0.1474, 0.1673, 0.1425, 0.15, 0.1405, 0.1772, 0.1772, 0.1717, 0.1614, 0.1728, 0.2249, 0.2336, 0.2305, 0.217, 0.2017, 0.1484, 0.1208, 0.1129, 0.1227, 0.1152, 0.0841, 0.0635, 0.0868, 0.0675, 0.0766, 0.1184, 0.032, -0.0324, -0.0552, -0.0485, -0.0434, -0.0257, -0.0245, -0.0209, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0067, -0.0008, 0.0039, 0.0118, 0.0154, -0.0099, 0.058, 0.0556, 0.0588, 0.0221, 0.0118, 0.0221, 0.0221, -0.0438, -0.0312, -0.0505, -0.0852, -0.0691, -0.0489, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.0036, 0.0107, -0.0028, -0.0063, 0.03, 0.0726, 0.105, 0.1377, 0.1397, 0.15, 0.1484, 0.129, 0.1543, 0.1788, 0.1705, 0.1965, 0.178, 0.1839, 0.1626, 0.1669, 0.1839, 0.1906, 0.193, 0.2766, 0.2928, 0.3204, 0.3122, 0.2924, 0.2459, 0.2537, 0.2455, 0.2699, 0.2557, 0.2352, 0.2127, 0.206, 0.1788, 0.1843, 0.1965, 0.2439, 0.2234, 0.2044, 0.2123, 0.1902, 0.1997, 0.1957, 0.2585, 0.283, 0.2616, 0.3062, 0.307, 0.2656, 0.2534, 0.2545, 0.2545, 0.2766, 0.2593, 0.2585, 0.2502, 0.2609, 0.2549, 0.1985, 0.1981, 0.2174, 0.1878, 0.1598, 0.1409, 0.133, 0.0971, 0.1069, 0.1038, 0.1152, 0.1081, 0.1081, 0.1085, 0.1089, 0.0875, 0.0855, 0.0855, 0.1394, 0.1689, 0.1868, 0.1434, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1013, 0.0984, 0.1025, 0.1207, 0.109, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.1827, 0.2302, 0.2557, 0.2374, 0.0984, 0.1179, 0.1495, 0.1722, 0.1475, 0.1345, 0.1718, 0.1746, 0.1495, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.1592, 0.173, 0.1738, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.143, 0.1098, 0.1045, 0.0563, 0.0401, 0.0206, 0.0421, 0.002, 0.0052, -0.0479, -0.0252, -0.0001, -0.0183]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833939294362231028", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-11T18:42:55+00:00", "symbol": "URNM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $URNM $CCJ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish nuclear energy plays on AI-driven demand catalyst (Ellison/ORCL) + potential uranium supply squeeze from Putin export threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["URNM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh the timing:\n\nEllison of $ORCL yday talking up need for nuclear energy for AI boom followed by Putin threatening export restrictions on uranium. 💣\n\n$URA $URNM $CCJ https://t.co/gu9G2oUgIJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Probably read it 3 times already .. a mega trend staring at your face .. will disrupt lot of industries… just need cheap and reliable energy. https://t.co/WIKw54q6zS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06423572412145051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06423572412145051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054081049819206806, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.054081049819206806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016179688127412994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016179688127412994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0077562264437056605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0077562264437056605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": -0.032842306705397784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032842306705397784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04543230874404092, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04543230874404092, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": 0.14513396888325647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14513396888325647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10278845414050819, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10278845414050819, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": 0.10577156243817698, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10577156243817698, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011772983064805675, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011772983064805675, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": -0.15444431168454686, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15444431168454686, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19408955396584826, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19408955396584826, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": 0.27714919230837043, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.27714919230837043, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09918973099249784, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09918973099249784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14513396888325647, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10278845414050819, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10278845414050819, "price_path": [0.2268, 0.2224, 0.2591, 0.2591, 0.255, 0.2335, 0.2024, 0.1893, 0.2014, 0.2217, 0.1891, 0.1983, 0.1901, 0.2258, 0.2258, 0.2072, 0.1966, 0.2099, 0.2584, 0.2748, 0.2613, 0.2403, 0.2152, 0.1558, 0.1345, 0.1335, 0.1367, 0.1331, 0.0983, 0.0821, 0.0988, 0.0773, 0.0915, 0.1323, 0.0406, -0.0215, -0.035, -0.0297, -0.0365, -0.0213, -0.0292, -0.0181, -0.0157, -0.008, 0.0043, -0.0056, -0.0225, -0.0094, -0.007, -0.0314, 0.0461, 0.0468, 0.0468, 0.0099, -0.0012, 0.0106, 0.0106, -0.0577, -0.0442, -0.0638, -0.0956, -0.0833, -0.0642, 0.0, 0.0162, -0.0157, -0.0106, -0.0292, -0.0328, 0.0031, 0.0401, 0.0872, 0.1258, 0.1248, 0.1304, 0.1294, 0.1079, 0.1362, 0.1541, 0.1437, 0.1705, 0.143, 0.1514, 0.136, 0.1451, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.1616, 0.2328, 0.2451, 0.2772, 0.2649, 0.2562, 0.2099, 0.2096, 0.1939, 0.1978, 0.1693, 0.1574, 0.1413, 0.1178, 0.1017, 0.0985, 0.1092, 0.1514, 0.1234, 0.1087, 0.1164, 0.0867, 0.0947, 0.1075, 0.1681, 0.1828, 0.1599, 0.2012, 0.192, 0.1536, 0.1408, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1591, 0.141, 0.1572, 0.1461, 0.1601, 0.1538, 0.1058, 0.1166, 0.1222, 0.0951, 0.0753, 0.0427, 0.0365, 0.0045, 0.0132, 0.0062, 0.0172, 0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0027, 0.0104, -0.0067, 0.001, 0.001, 0.0725, 0.0797, 0.0852, 0.0417, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0015, 0.009, 0.0172, 0.0333, 0.0209, 0.0388, 0.0388, 0.0631, 0.1125, 0.1142, 0.0874, -0.0251, -0.0035, 0.0271, 0.0286, 0.008, -0.0082, 0.0293, 0.0191, -0.0025, 0.0047, -0.0035, -0.0169, -0.0092, -0.0154, -0.0526, -0.0526, -0.0402, -0.0675, -0.0678, -0.0983, -0.1043, -0.1234, -0.107, -0.1383, -0.1368, -0.189, -0.1676, -0.1505, -0.1544]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833939294362231028", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-09-11T18:42:55+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $URNM $CCJ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish nuclear energy plays on AI-driven demand catalyst (Ellison/ORCL) + potential uranium supply squeeze from Putin export threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh the timing:\n\nEllison of $ORCL yday talking up need for nuclear energy for AI boom followed by Putin threatening export restrictions on uranium. 💣\n\n$URA $URNM $CCJ https://t.co/gu9G2oUgIJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Probably read it 3 times already .. a mega trend staring at your face .. will disrupt lot of industries… just need cheap and reliable energy. https://t.co/WIKw54q6zS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05702844343497504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05702844343497504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046873769132731335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06639430101298927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009365857578014225, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01900964079032863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01900964079032863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010586179106621296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009999520127695671, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009010120662632959, "ret_p1w": 0.003251688153651955, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003251688153651955, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009338313884991178, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03895349810604554, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04220518625969749, "ret_p1m": 0.26288146295410786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26288146295410786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22053594821135958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1603118639688046, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10256959898530327, "ret_p3m": 0.44152277513149674, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44152277513149674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34752419575812543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.35532912664720473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08619364848429201, "ret_p6m": 0.05583024132244585, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05583024132244585, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016184999041144454, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.019707113688077316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036123127634368535, "ret_p1y": 0.9394896917644462, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9394896917644462, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7615302304485736, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8325396216740388, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10695007009040736, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.26288146295410786, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.22053594821135958, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1603118639688046, "price_path": [0.2981, 0.2829, 0.3107, 0.3107, 0.3062, 0.2899, 0.2616, 0.2516, 0.2629, 0.2946, 0.2306, 0.2561, 0.2439, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.2489, 0.2189, 0.2254, 0.3437, 0.3437, 0.3224, 0.3062, 0.2849, 0.1873, 0.1618, 0.1663, 0.1908, 0.1846, 0.1628, 0.1151, 0.1303, 0.1166, 0.1076, 0.1378, 0.026, -0.0488, -0.077, -0.045, -0.0468, -0.0208, -0.0108, -0.0223, -0.019, -0.0033, 0.02, 0.007, 0.031, 0.035, 0.0358, 0.0095, 0.0658, 0.0588, 0.048, 0.0183, 0.0068, 0.0215, 0.0215, -0.0508, -0.0245, -0.047, -0.0755, -0.0735, -0.057, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0088, 0.0153, 0.008, 0.0033, 0.0275, 0.1106, 0.1511, 0.1698, 0.1903, 0.2021, 0.2001, 0.1946, 0.2166, 0.2366, 0.2496, 0.2966, 0.2861, 0.2901, 0.2651, 0.2629, 0.2844, 0.2976, 0.2934, 0.3952, 0.4175, 0.4512, 0.4487, 0.4177, 0.3527, 0.3469, 0.3454, 0.3799, 0.3699, 0.3502, 0.3062, 0.3132, 0.2794, 0.2821, 0.2809, 0.3402, 0.3142, 0.3027, 0.3609, 0.3252, 0.3284, 0.3404, 0.3982, 0.4372, 0.441, 0.524, 0.5035, 0.4535, 0.4662, 0.4488, 0.4488, 0.4899, 0.4744, 0.4884, 0.4939, 0.5322, 0.5302, 0.4415, 0.414, 0.4488, 0.4034, 0.3606, 0.3581, 0.3388, 0.3014, 0.326, 0.3142, 0.3318, 0.3187, 0.3187, 0.3172, 0.3155, 0.2864, 0.2879, 0.2879, 0.3072, 0.3313, 0.3736, 0.2927, 0.2876, 0.2876, 0.234, 0.223, 0.2295, 0.2448, 0.2408, 0.2939, 0.2939, 0.3423, 0.4114, 0.425, 0.4034, 0.1907, 0.218, 0.2548, 0.2606, 0.239, 0.1892, 0.2611, 0.2618, 0.2205, 0.2513, 0.2621, 0.2493, 0.2438, 0.23, 0.1826, 0.1826, 0.2009, 0.1666, 0.1664, 0.0897, 0.0847, 0.0924, 0.1207, 0.0897, 0.1037, 0.0303, 0.0498, 0.0774, 0.0558]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849484806049968503", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T16:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and Silver should fall on Trump removing sanctions on Russia. the geopolitical risk premium in $GLD + $SLV is removed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Geopolitical risk premium removed from gold/silver as Russia sanctions lifted; both GLD and SLV should fall despite China-buying macro tailwind still intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s the big one for many long precious metals. \n\nGold and Silver should fall on Trump removing sanctions on Russia. \n\nIt is still a trend long on other macro considerations - China selling USD to buy Gold in Yuan - but the geopolitical risk premium in $GLD + $SLV is removed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc End of war are usually not good for Soft and PM commodities.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007634524965473122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007634524965473122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0054764975238550395, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0054764975238550395, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0020569789010425055, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020569789010425055, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002402491267492479, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002402491267492479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "ret_p1w": 0.0028085104687785023, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0028085104687785023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02110829927931801, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02110829927931801, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "ret_p1m": -0.011708887176164917, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011708887176164917, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039797440285867514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.039797440285867514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "ret_p3m": 0.0013053869741730395, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0013053869741730395, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.043303991025066324, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.043303991025066324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "ret_p6m": 0.21091768758607587, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21091768758607587, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29632182790603556, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29632182790603556, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "ret_p1y": 0.4956091446742632, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4956091446742632, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3370204739742173, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3370204739742173, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011708887176164917, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.039797440285867514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.039797440285867514, "price_path": [-0.1285, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1199, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1139, -0.1117, -0.0965, -0.0979, -0.1052, -0.1024, -0.0823, -0.0838, -0.0805, -0.0817, -0.0927, -0.0822, -0.0793, -0.0768, -0.0833, -0.0785, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.089, -0.0885, -0.0809, -0.0877, -0.0839, -0.0798, -0.0813, -0.0652, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0612, -0.0684, -0.0539, -0.0419, -0.04, -0.0266, -0.028, -0.023, -0.0308, -0.0385, -0.0284, -0.0282, -0.0289, -0.0309, -0.0341, -0.0413, -0.0465, -0.0395, -0.029, -0.0306, -0.0272, -0.0223, -0.0165, -0.0061, -0.0063, 0.0045, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0021, 0.013, 0.0186, 0.0028, -0.0013, 0.0001, 0.0024, -0.0281, -0.0125, -0.0191, -0.0422, -0.0504, -0.06, -0.0625, -0.0641, -0.0463, -0.0378, -0.0324, -0.0243, -0.0117, -0.0408, -0.039, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0285, -0.037, -0.0351, -0.0322, -0.0393, -0.039, -0.0294, -0.0167, -0.0073, -0.0218, -0.0337, -0.0313, -0.035, -0.0536, -0.0522, -0.0423, -0.0468, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0385, -0.0451, -0.0481, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0292, -0.0368, -0.038, -0.0326, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0182, -0.0279, -0.0228, -0.0155, -0.0087, -0.014, -0.014, 0.0013, 0.0064, 0.005, 0.0113, 0.0008, 0.0094, 0.0055, 0.0208, 0.0228, 0.0282, 0.0384, 0.0448, 0.042, 0.0439, 0.0616, 0.0577, 0.0588, 0.0693, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0708, 0.0714, 0.072, 0.071, 0.0768, 0.0626, 0.0642, 0.048, 0.0414, 0.0551, 0.0643, 0.0665, 0.0611, 0.0617, 0.0524, 0.0647, 0.0693, 0.0883, 0.0888, 0.0947, 0.1074, 0.112, 0.1106, 0.1016, 0.0967, 0.1015, 0.1006, 0.1154, 0.1237, 0.1398, 0.1375, 0.1399, 0.133, 0.1065, 0.0827, 0.0886, 0.1289, 0.1564, 0.1785, 0.1718, 0.1779, 0.2163, 0.2109, 0.2109]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849484806049968503", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-24T16:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and Silver should fall on Trump removing sanctions on Russia. the geopolitical risk premium in $GLD + $SLV is removed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Geopolitical risk premium removed from gold/silver as Russia sanctions lifted; both GLD and SLV should fall despite China-buying macro tailwind still intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s the big one for many long precious metals. \n\nGold and Silver should fall on Trump removing sanctions on Russia. \n\nIt is still a trend long on other macro considerations - China selling USD to buy Gold in Yuan - but the geopolitical risk premium in $GLD + $SLV is removed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc End of war are usually not good for Soft and PM commodities.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006516308265569482, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006516308265569482, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028096582681750304, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028096582681750304, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001955078926259124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001955078926259124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016095665598091502, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016095665598091502, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "ret_p1w": -0.028673869429838295, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028673869429838295, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010374080619298787, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010374080619298787, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "ret_p1m": -0.07233630440115246, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07233630440115246, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10042485751085506, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10042485751085506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "ret_p3m": -0.08634733047949894, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08634733047949894, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1309567084787383, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1309567084787383, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "ret_p6m": -0.03714569166370574, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03714569166370574, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04825844865625395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04825844865625395, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "ret_p1y": 0.5399152003626511, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5399152003626511, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.38132652966260516, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38132652966260516, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07233630440115246, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10042485751085506, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10042485751085506, "price_path": [-0.1711, -0.1584, -0.1401, -0.1518, -0.1515, -0.19, -0.1971, -0.2072, -0.1851, -0.1854, -0.1694, -0.1717, -0.1812, -0.1574, -0.1388, -0.1258, -0.1245, -0.1219, -0.1401, -0.1137, -0.1098, -0.1085, -0.1303, -0.1264, -0.1414, -0.1414, -0.1665, -0.1632, -0.1453, -0.1698, -0.1577, -0.1548, -0.1489, -0.1114, -0.087, -0.0854, -0.089, -0.1124, -0.0847, -0.0743, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.0531, -0.0466, -0.0596, -0.0743, -0.0688, -0.0551, -0.0476, -0.0433, -0.0573, -0.0873, -0.0922, -0.0753, -0.0616, -0.0701, -0.0645, -0.058, -0.0587, -0.0016, 0.0052, 0.0342, 0.0007, 0.0, -0.002, 0.0013, 0.0228, 0.0039, -0.0287, -0.0375, -0.0345, -0.0306, -0.0736, -0.0515, -0.072, -0.0886, -0.0854, -0.1004, -0.0938, -0.1017, -0.0753, -0.0714, -0.0844, -0.0863, -0.0723, -0.0997, -0.0942, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.0903, -0.0945, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0694, -0.0795, -0.0557, -0.0554, -0.0538, -0.0811, -0.0958, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1251, -0.1359, -0.1228, -0.1206, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1157, -0.1281, -0.1388, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.1225, -0.1209, -0.1124, -0.1095, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1004, -0.1215, -0.1137, -0.089, -0.0863, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.0863, -0.086, -0.0951, -0.0906, -0.1052, -0.0997, -0.0877, -0.0642, -0.071, -0.0658, -0.0479, -0.0437, -0.0427, -0.0541, -0.0486, -0.0551, -0.044, -0.0401, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0254, -0.0287, -0.0241, -0.0358, -0.0407, -0.0606, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.0775, -0.0632, -0.0551, -0.03, -0.0326, -0.0358, -0.0515, -0.0238, -0.0153, 0.0016, 0.0007, 0.0039, 0.0052, 0.002, -0.0062, -0.0218, -0.0238, -0.0036, -0.0052, 0.0205, 0.0101, 0.0098, -0.002, 0.0023, -0.0587, -0.1176, -0.1157, -0.1157, -0.0857, -0.0785, -0.0489, -0.0427, -0.0417, -0.0303, -0.0371, -0.0371]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876754494404387303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-07T22:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAPL is still my fave FANG short into 238/237 as noted repeatedly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AAPL targeting 238/237; NVDA still needs 145 gap fill; SMH facing monthly resistance with 252.33 gap fill below.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary 1/7/25\n\nI did warn Monday premarket: 10Y yields were about to leave the Goldilocks' Zone. The ISM data hit this morning. It showed hot prices which is inflationary and the 10Y yield spiked exactly into my 4.69% level. Are we done? I don’t think so. I can see 10bp higher before *they* try to intervene - beyond Trump trying to talk it down this morning. Lol\n\n“TOO MUCH TOO SOON” I updated my NVDA trade yday for CLUB/EDGE clients, where I wrote: “As for the trade I proposed, it has happened to produce results much faster than expected, so taking half off is really smart as I do expect 145 gap to be retested before the weekly breakout can hold. SMH is also doing its thing - gapping INTO monthly resistance at 262.26 with 252.33 gap fill below to protect against…”\n\nAnd then today happened ;-) LOL\n\nOh, and part of that SWING update for CLUB/EDGE clients was this note: “reminder premarket that the market underneath is still in need of repair with lots of potential for chop …”\n\nAnd today we had this happen:\n\nSPX opened at 5993, hit 6K and reversed to 5890. I have 5903 as level to trade below Wed to negate the Post-Santa “first 5 days of Jan” barometer as per Stock Trader’s Almanac.\n\nNVDA opened at 153.10 and dumped thru 152.89 resistance level given to 145 daily gap fill before breaking all the way to 140 (-8.56% intraday peak to trough) and still not at daily gap fill of 138.88. GREAT CHASE SHORT TODAY\n\nSMH opened 263.58 + immediately sold off with NVDA back to 253 wkly support with gap fill still to hit of 252.33. GREAT CHASE SHORT TODAY\n\nQQQ gave chase short below 524 with 519.07 as PT with 517.86 overshoot. It closed at 515.\n\nAAPL is still my fave FANG short into 238/237 as noted repeatedly.\n\nPLTR chase short on break of 21D (after waiting patiently for weeks) was extremely well-timed for $5. THAT WORKED.\n\nMBLY update yday in SWING was well timed. After a 50% increase (on stock basis), I warned it would struggle here for awhile, retesting 19.65 breakout. It did. Today. After I closed my trading room. Lol. Ditto with RIVN long. Warned 16.50 would struggle. Yup.\n\nStalking New Swings...\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8\n\nhttps://t.co/CgeVQE8a6G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0020189047384848724, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020189047384848724, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005601299744879551, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002360963708688768, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00034205897020389564, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.01990103013620903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01990103013620903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025482117877530408, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013102772428428722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006798257707780309, "ret_p1m": -0.03906044116624463, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03906044116624463, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06761059681662729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0431223585724122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00406191740616757, "ret_p3m": -0.251505810741664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.251505810741664, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10970062436138839, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03730248902304245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "bench_c_p3m": -0.21420332171862155, "ret_p6m": -0.11798457019721276, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11798457019721276, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18513654731513218, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2204207807017754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10243621050456264, "ret_p1y": 0.13158863974426693, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.13158863974426693, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.053192164919768414, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12925295020945327, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2608415899537202, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01990103013620903, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.025482117877530408, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013102772428428722, "price_path": [-0.0635, -0.048, -0.0375, -0.046, -0.0445, -0.0328, -0.0267, -0.0293, -0.0502, -0.051, -0.0476, -0.0394, -0.0383, -0.053, -0.0702, -0.0826, -0.0863, -0.0803, -0.0833, -0.0637, -0.0649, -0.0761, -0.0761, -0.0724, -0.0597, -0.0729, -0.0605, -0.0594, -0.0564, -0.0584, -0.0529, -0.0405, -0.0315, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0221, -0.0128, -0.0002, 0.0013, 0.0014, 0.0006, 0.0167, 0.0209, 0.0156, 0.0217, 0.0224, 0.0344, 0.0444, 0.022, 0.0292, 0.0486, 0.0518, 0.0639, 0.0639, 0.0672, 0.0531, 0.0391, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0047, 0.0027, 0.0095, -0.002, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0241, -0.0342, -0.0388, -0.0199, -0.0595, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0827, -0.0778, -0.0785, -0.0821, -0.0529, -0.0183, -0.0138, -0.0211, -0.0276, -0.0605, -0.0408, -0.0422, -0.0391, -0.0621, -0.061, -0.0405, -0.0229, -0.0037, 0.0089, 0.0089, 0.0084, 0.0101, 0.014, 0.0129, 0.0192, 0.019, -0.0086, -0.0212, -0.0024, -0.0182, -0.0268, -0.0276, -0.0293, -0.0139, -0.0617, -0.0891, -0.105, -0.1351, -0.1194, -0.1173, -0.1227, -0.1122, -0.1169, -0.0997, -0.0895, -0.0771, -0.0862, -0.0767, -0.1012, -0.0837, -0.0794, -0.0765, -0.1619, -0.223, -0.2515, -0.2888, -0.1798, -0.2145, -0.1827, -0.1646, -0.1662, -0.1987, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.2032, -0.1761, -0.1561, -0.1405, -0.1368, -0.1332, -0.1288, -0.1235, -0.1201, -0.153, -0.1796, -0.1812, -0.1905, -0.1854, -0.1811, -0.1294, -0.1205, -0.123, -0.1267, -0.1274, -0.1377, -0.1456, -0.1653, -0.1683, -0.1935, -0.1935, -0.1731, -0.1722, -0.1742, -0.1704, -0.1669, -0.1604, -0.1623, -0.1713, -0.1578, -0.168, -0.1629, -0.179, -0.1773, -0.1886, -0.1805, -0.192, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.1698, -0.1678, -0.1727, -0.1675, -0.1698, -0.1695, -0.1526, -0.1417, -0.1226, -0.118]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876754494404387303", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-07T22:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect 145 gap to be retested before the weekly breakout can hold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AAPL targeting 238/237; NVDA still needs 145 gap fill; SMH facing monthly resistance with 252.33 gap fill below.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary 1/7/25\n\nI did warn Monday premarket: 10Y yields were about to leave the Goldilocks' Zone. The ISM data hit this morning. It showed hot prices which is inflationary and the 10Y yield spiked exactly into my 4.69% level. Are we done? I don’t think so. I can see 10bp higher before *they* try to intervene - beyond Trump trying to talk it down this morning. Lol\n\n“TOO MUCH TOO SOON” I updated my NVDA trade yday for CLUB/EDGE clients, where I wrote: “As for the trade I proposed, it has happened to produce results much faster than expected, so taking half off is really smart as I do expect 145 gap to be retested before the weekly breakout can hold. SMH is also doing its thing - gapping INTO monthly resistance at 262.26 with 252.33 gap fill below to protect against…”\n\nAnd then today happened ;-) LOL\n\nOh, and part of that SWING update for CLUB/EDGE clients was this note: “reminder premarket that the market underneath is still in need of repair with lots of potential for chop …”\n\nAnd today we had this happen:\n\nSPX opened at 5993, hit 6K and reversed to 5890. I have 5903 as level to trade below Wed to negate the Post-Santa “first 5 days of Jan” barometer as per Stock Trader’s Almanac.\n\nNVDA opened at 153.10 and dumped thru 152.89 resistance level given to 145 daily gap fill before breaking all the way to 140 (-8.56% intraday peak to trough) and still not at daily gap fill of 138.88. GREAT CHASE SHORT TODAY\n\nSMH opened 263.58 + immediately sold off with NVDA back to 253 wkly support with gap fill still to hit of 252.33. GREAT CHASE SHORT TODAY\n\nQQQ gave chase short below 524 with 519.07 as PT with 517.86 overshoot. It closed at 515.\n\nAAPL is still my fave FANG short into 238/237 as noted repeatedly.\n\nPLTR chase short on break of 21D (after waiting patiently for weeks) was extremely well-timed for $5. THAT WORKED.\n\nMBLY update yday in SWING was well timed. After a 50% increase (on stock basis), I warned it would struggle here for awhile, retesting 19.65 breakout. It did. Today. After I closed my trading room. Lol. Ditto with RIVN long. Warned 16.50 would struggle. Yup.\n\nStalking New Swings...\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8\n\nhttps://t.co/CgeVQE8a6G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00021410134966748373, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00021410134966748373, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001672876113664401, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006961876564836267, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0071759779145037506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.027621037339035426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027621037339035426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033202125080356804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023577191854251223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004043845484784203, "ret_p1m": -0.08157872205598371, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08157872205598371, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11012887770636637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06619599160281975, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015382730453163962, "ret_p3m": -0.30305489796374674, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30305489796374674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16124971158347112, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.036116007922203264, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2669388900415435, "ret_p6m": 0.13743288882490212, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13743288882490212, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0702809117069827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012982903816828983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12444998500807314, "ret_p1y": 0.3602321194561193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3602321194561193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17545131479208398, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09478278478275781, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "bench_c_p1y": 0.45501490423887714, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027621037339035426, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.033202125080356804, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023577191854251223, "price_path": [-0.038, -0.0146, -0.0608, -0.0314, -0.0228, -0.0151, 0.0256, 0.0248, -0.004, 0.0021, 0.0101, 0.0029, 0.0081, -0.0056, -0.0525, -0.0337, -0.029, -0.0015, 0.0392, 0.0625, 0.0536, 0.0367, 0.0583, 0.0439, 0.0474, 0.0133, 0.0002, 0.0492, 0.0412, 0.0467, 0.0131, -0.0293, -0.0228, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0133, -0.0106, 0.001, 0.0358, 0.0353, 0.0166, -0.0093, -0.036, -0.0057, -0.0198, -0.0418, -0.0579, -0.0694, -0.0799, -0.0673, -0.0386, -0.0031, 0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0013, -0.0221, -0.0187, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0128, 0.0311, 0.0665, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0, -0.03, -0.0491, -0.0596, -0.0276, -0.0467, -0.0171, -0.0171, 0.0051, 0.0497, 0.0507, 0.0179, -0.1548, -0.0794, -0.1171, -0.1103, -0.143, -0.1674, -0.1532, -0.1091, -0.0816, -0.0733, -0.0467, -0.0522, -0.064, -0.0344, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0051, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0405, -0.0702, -0.0962, -0.063, -0.1425, -0.1084, -0.1859, -0.1722, -0.1628, -0.2108, -0.1957, -0.2365, -0.2238, -0.1739, -0.175, -0.1315, -0.1468, -0.1761, -0.1612, -0.1539, -0.1599, -0.1334, -0.1385, -0.188, -0.2046, -0.2172, -0.2264, -0.2138, -0.2118, -0.2734, -0.3268, -0.3031, -0.3126, -0.1839, -0.2322, -0.2082, -0.2098, -0.1991, -0.2542, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.3083, -0.2941, -0.2669, -0.2403, -0.2076, -0.2239, -0.2218, -0.2225, -0.2033, -0.1827, -0.1876, -0.1896, -0.1644, -0.1622, -0.1674, -0.122, -0.0726, -0.034, -0.0376, -0.0335, -0.0323, -0.0408, -0.0592, -0.0519, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0328, -0.0377, -0.0065, -0.0355, -0.0194, 0.008, 0.013, -0.0008, 0.0116, 0.0181, 0.0276, 0.0196, 0.0351, 0.0134, 0.0329, 0.0288, 0.0385, 0.0385, 0.0269, 0.0291, 0.0558, 0.1015, 0.1066, 0.1261, 0.1278, 0.0943, 0.1225, 0.1374]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851694565167702130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-30T18:36:01+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He is clearly talking his book!!!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies SoftBank CEO's bullish $9T AI investment thesis is self-serving; author notes NVDA as the play on this AI/data center narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nine trillion dollar investment in ‘Super-AI’ isn’t that much, says SoftBank CEO \n\nHe is clearly talking his book!!!\n$NVDA #AI #DataCenters\n\nhttps://t.co/KgXs8qz7kg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013707425467834433, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013707425467834433, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010672929229542216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01118498090666864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003034496238292217, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024892406374503073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04722260609769735, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04722260609769735, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02761951983803934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011320305660306729, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960308625965801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03590230043739062, "ret_p1w": 0.04499777352224399, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04499777352224399, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025981052971146168, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028522551364881243, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01901672055109782, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016475222157362746, "ret_p1m": -0.02870686610642781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02870686610642781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06115447578017319, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020878196057892207, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244760967374538, "bench_c_p1m": -0.049585062164320015, "ret_p3m": -0.1500778170427549, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1500778170427549, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18693433840134055, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09492850210078563, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685652135858564, "bench_c_p3m": -0.055149314941969285, "ret_p6m": -0.2360619750502877, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2360619750502877, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1846319031882705, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07336938623241984, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0514300718620172, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16269258881786786, "ret_p1y": 0.31529019889136767, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31529019889136767, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.15588378140864845, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05837145072586791, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15940641748271922, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3736616496172356, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02870686610642781, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06115447578017319, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020878196057892207, "price_path": [-0.2302, -0.2792, -0.2519, -0.2902, -0.2467, -0.2483, -0.2177, -0.1666, -0.1526, -0.1183, -0.106, -0.0671, -0.0868, -0.0779, -0.112, -0.0716, -0.0925, -0.0793, -0.0986, -0.1562, -0.1434, -0.1434, -0.225, -0.2378, -0.2307, -0.2621, -0.236, -0.2243, -0.161, -0.145, -0.1453, -0.1619, -0.1704, -0.1864, -0.1541, -0.1675, -0.1656, -0.1326, -0.1136, -0.1098, -0.1287, -0.1285, -0.1603, -0.1471, -0.1183, -0.1035, -0.0834, -0.0463, -0.048, -0.0325, -0.0326, -0.0091, -0.0555, -0.026, -0.0173, -0.0096, 0.0314, 0.0305, 0.0016, 0.0077, 0.0158, 0.0085, 0.0137, 0.0, -0.0472, -0.0283, -0.0236, 0.0041, 0.045, 0.0685, 0.0595, 0.0425, 0.0642, 0.0497, 0.0533, 0.0189, 0.0058, 0.055, 0.047, 0.0526, 0.0187, -0.0238, -0.0174, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0078, -0.0051, 0.0066, 0.0416, 0.0411, 0.0223, -0.0037, -0.0306, -0.0001, -0.0143, -0.0365, -0.0526, -0.0642, -0.0748, -0.0621, -0.0332, 0.0024, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0043, -0.0167, -0.0132, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.0073, 0.0369, 0.0725, 0.0058, 0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0245, -0.0438, -0.0543, -0.0222, -0.0413, -0.0116, -0.0116, 0.0108, 0.0555, 0.0566, 0.0236, -0.1501, -0.0742, -0.1122, -0.1054, -0.1382, -0.1627, -0.1484, -0.1041, -0.0764, -0.0681, -0.0413, -0.0469, -0.0588, -0.029, -0.0034, -0.0034, 0.0005, -0.0007, 0.0056, -0.0352, -0.065, -0.0912, -0.0578, -0.1377, -0.1034, -0.1814, -0.1675, -0.1581, -0.2064, -0.1912, -0.2322, -0.2194, -0.1692, -0.1704, -0.1267, -0.142, -0.1715, -0.1565, -0.1492, -0.1552, -0.1285, -0.1337, -0.1834, -0.2002, -0.2128, -0.2221, -0.2094, -0.2074, -0.2693, -0.3231, -0.2992, -0.3088, -0.1794, -0.2279, -0.2038, -0.2053, -0.1946, -0.25, -0.2715, -0.2715, -0.3044, -0.2902, -0.2628, -0.2361]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1864720830384513220", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-05T17:17:45+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "he really wants money to off-ramp to NDX, BTC, etc.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Tariffs on major gold/silver producers would drive capital into NDX, BTC, and related assets as off-ramp destinations.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t think Trump would tariff gold and silver from China, Canada, Australia, and Mexico - the largest producers of gold and silver - unless he really wants money to off-ramp to NDX, BTC, etc. \n\nOh wait…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "***#Gold and #Silver Alert***\n\nCould the #Trump #Tariffs be the answer to higher gold and silver prices?\n\nWhat does #Mexico, #Canada, #Australia, and #China all have in common? They are some of the largest producers of gold and silver. Setting a tariff on these countries would", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010355573806665852, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010355573806665852, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008707326920987857, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008707326920987857, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004568643704349062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004568643704349062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026728466260983463, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026728466260983463, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "ret_p1w": 0.02318582961985416, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02318582961985416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027026502578532785, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027026502578532785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "ret_p1m": 0.007005216500284295, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007005216500284295, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02796874427637075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02796874427637075, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "ret_p3m": 0.10774384736090004, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10774384736090004, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1536648701220673, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1536648701220673, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "ret_p6m": 0.2521509860897664, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2521509860897664, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27441612887673794, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27441612887673794, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "ret_p1y": 0.5578693939724613, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5578693939724613, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4421536941256836, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4421536941256836, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007005216500284295, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02796874427637075, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02796874427637075, "price_path": [-0.0475, -0.0435, -0.0436, -0.0287, -0.0172, -0.0176, -0.0237, -0.0213, -0.0147, -0.0026, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0124, 0.0165, 0.0067, 0.0036, 0.0155, 0.0078, 0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0069, -0.0044, -0.0078, -0.0023, 0.0118, 0.0081, 0.0132, 0.018, 0.0245, 0.0332, 0.0367, 0.0448, 0.0334, 0.0412, 0.0435, 0.0443, 0.054, 0.0616, 0.0425, 0.0426, 0.0417, 0.0433, 0.0156, 0.0273, 0.0232, -0.0059, -0.0101, -0.0174, -0.0222, -0.0232, -0.0061, 0.0002, 0.0082, 0.0173, 0.0317, -0.0037, -0.0024, 0.0051, 0.0051, 0.0116, 0.0032, 0.0069, 0.0104, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0146, 0.027, 0.0408, 0.0232, 0.0112, 0.0094, 0.0068, 0.0038, -0.0131, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0046, -0.0036, -0.0078, 0.001, 0.001, 0.0123, 0.007, 0.0045, 0.0115, 0.0144, 0.0218, 0.0312, 0.0179, 0.0194, 0.0327, 0.0456, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0489, 0.0537, 0.052, 0.0574, 0.0422, 0.0534, 0.0543, 0.0748, 0.0708, 0.0789, 0.0863, 0.0933, 0.0873, 0.0916, 0.1095, 0.1088, 0.1075, 0.1139, 0.0978, 0.0978, 0.1161, 0.1115, 0.1193, 0.1184, 0.1223, 0.1058, 0.1105, 0.0977, 0.08, 0.1004, 0.1077, 0.1099, 0.1104, 0.1059, 0.1007, 0.109, 0.119, 0.1362, 0.1401, 0.1422, 0.1555, 0.1558, 0.1574, 0.1491, 0.1471, 0.1512, 0.1501, 0.1651, 0.1751, 0.1889, 0.1874, 0.1954, 0.1791, 0.1467, 0.1236, 0.1301, 0.1637, 0.2012, 0.2268, 0.2201, 0.2254, 0.2665, 0.2597, 0.2597, 0.2968, 0.2948, 0.2474, 0.2686, 0.2497, 0.2688, 0.2635, 0.2583, 0.2221, 0.2304, 0.2607, 0.2988, 0.2874, 0.2551, 0.2699, 0.2259, 0.2336, 0.2112, 0.2262, 0.2115, 0.2293, 0.2489, 0.2599, 0.2534, 0.2806, 0.2806, 0.256, 0.2539, 0.2629, 0.2522]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1864720830384513220", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-05T17:17:45+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "money to off-ramp to NDX, BTC, etc.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Tariffs on major gold/silver producers would drive capital into NDX, BTC, and related assets as off-ramp destinations.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t think Trump would tariff gold and silver from China, Canada, Australia, and Mexico - the largest producers of gold and silver - unless he really wants money to off-ramp to NDX, BTC, etc. \n\nOh wait…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "***#Gold and #Silver Alert***\n\nCould the #Trump #Tariffs be the answer to higher gold and silver prices?\n\nWhat does #Mexico, #Canada, #Australia, and #China all have in common? They are some of the largest producers of gold and silver. Setting a tariff on these countries would", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022516622281002263, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022516622281002263, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020868375395324268, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.03444474217316973, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03444474217316973, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03254894509491901, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.03571075876313912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03571075876313912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03955143172181774, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.015672465259357837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015672465259357837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03663599303544429, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.09701862111196102, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09701862111196102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05109759835079375, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.07666141727698128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07666141727698128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09892656006395284, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.08616523631514361, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08616523631514361, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20188093616192127, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015672465259357837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03663599303544429, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4097, -0.4032, -0.4063, -0.3982, -0.3729, -0.3976, -0.3756, -0.3618, -0.3484, -0.3458, -0.3444, -0.3343, -0.3463, -0.3252, -0.3189, -0.3444, -0.3702, -0.3723, -0.371, -0.3574, -0.3557, -0.3568, -0.3728, -0.376, -0.3535, -0.3162, -0.3059, -0.3, -0.3022, -0.2917, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.3123, -0.2944, -0.3101, -0.2763, -0.2471, -0.2511, -0.2731, -0.2807, -0.298, -0.2819, -0.2169, -0.2142, -0.2076, -0.0817, -0.0894, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0572, -0.0626, -0.044, -0.0233, 0.0198, 0.0249, -0.0361, -0.0477, -0.0065, -0.0097, 0.009, -0.0075, -0.0061, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.0344, 0.0087, 0.0008, 0.0474, 0.0357, 0.0504, 0.0977, 0.0988, 0.0357, 0.0093, 0.012, -0.0197, 0.0216, 0.028, -0.0083, -0.0251, -0.0409, -0.0328, -0.0225, 0.003, 0.0157, 0.0568, 0.0034, -0.016, -0.0425, -0.0196, -0.0215, -0.0006, 0.0405, 0.0327, 0.0815, 0.0561, 0.0989, 0.0731, 0.0763, 0.0852, 0.0569, 0.0491, 0.0736, 0.0843, 0.0602, 0.0498, 0.0132, 0.0002, -0.0, -0.0007, 0.0087, -0.0088, 0.0134, 0.0003, 0.0095, -0.0085, -0.0109, 0.0004, 0.018, -0.0048, -0.0536, -0.0813, -0.1268, -0.1231, -0.1265, -0.109, -0.097, -0.0618, -0.0687, -0.102, -0.187, -0.1422, -0.1333, -0.1607, -0.1307, -0.1296, -0.1436, -0.1008, -0.1286, -0.1299, -0.0942, -0.0944, -0.1003, -0.0975, -0.1267, -0.1454, -0.1183, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.132, -0.1797, -0.2104, -0.1451, -0.1757, -0.1365, -0.1248, -0.1338, -0.13, -0.1211, -0.1257, -0.0939, -0.0326, -0.03, -0.0274, -0.0194, -0.0167, -0.0239, -0.0247, -0.001, 0.0033, -0.0191, 0.0022, 0.0045, 0.0688, 0.066, 0.0644, 0.0784, 0.0719, 0.074, 0.0714, 0.0933, 0.1056, 0.1355, 0.1561, 0.1107, 0.133, 0.1284, 0.116, 0.0937, 0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1867283156329742672", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-12T18:59:31+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Update to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short TLT and ZN bonds, long USDJPY, long VIX, and bullish DXY in updated client trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Update to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short, $USDJPY long, $VIX long...  #DXY too\n\nIf you aren't a https://t.co/2KkP0W68vY member, you can see this detailed client post in my Substack tomorrow ;-0\n\nhttps://t.co/0USqMMFvy3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01229700574836956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01229700574836956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0071177819712497925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0071177819712497925, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005179223777119768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005179223777119768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010210781904811617, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010210781904811617, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010012163738907676, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010012163738907676, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000198618165903941, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000198618165903941, "ret_p1w": -0.03215457047335024, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03215457047335024, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001988830983492784, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001988830983492784, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030165739489857457, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030165739489857457, "ret_p1m": -0.05805637610272696, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05805637610272696, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021840667498148947, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021840667498148947, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03621570860457801, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03621570860457801, "ret_p3m": 0.0030948353452910915, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0030948353452910915, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08010405599007764, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08010405599007764, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07700922064478655, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07700922064478655, "ret_p6m": -0.042488497846341455, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042488497846341455, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.040229692913395954, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.040229692913395954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0022588049329455018, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0022588049329455018, "ret_p1y": 0.018010114216526762, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.018010114216526762, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1213349075948813, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1213349075948813, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13934502181140807, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13934502181140807, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05805637610272696, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021840667498148947, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021840667498148947, "price_path": [0.1014, 0.0961, 0.0825, 0.0789, 0.0748, 0.0725, 0.0723, 0.0634, 0.0659, 0.0714, 0.0663, 0.074, 0.0649, 0.0549, 0.0419, 0.0341, 0.0358, 0.0299, 0.0259, 0.0218, 0.0225, 0.035, 0.0393, 0.0228, 0.0236, 0.0057, 0.0067, 0.004, 0.0104, 0.0047, 0.002, 0.0035, 0.0065, 0.0081, -0.0061, 0.0093, 0.0147, -0.0131, -0.0007, 0.012, 0.007, -0.0081, -0.0175, -0.0118, -0.0144, -0.0126, -0.0076, -0.0108, -0.0116, -0.011, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0282, 0.0306, 0.0217, 0.0327, 0.0348, 0.0363, 0.0268, 0.022, 0.0123, 0.0, -0.0102, -0.0072, -0.0048, -0.0173, -0.0322, -0.0266, -0.0356, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.032, -0.04, -0.0323, -0.0374, -0.0374, -0.0348, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.053, -0.0518, -0.0518, -0.0581, -0.0584, -0.0599, -0.0437, -0.0406, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0304, -0.0355, -0.043, -0.0387, -0.0273, -0.028, -0.03, -0.0263, -0.0327, -0.0248, -0.0218, -0.0057, -0.0061, -0.0126, -0.0155, -0.0218, -0.0351, -0.0191, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0255, -0.0243, -0.0206, -0.0088, -0.0059, 0.0112, 0.0172, 0.01, 0.0224, 0.0272, 0.0145, 0.0064, 0.0031, -0.0001, 0.0103, 0.0031, -0.0029, 0.0059, 0.0005, 0.0055, 0.0065, 0.0117, 0.0124, 0.0064, -0.0039, -0.004, -0.0106, -0.0134, 0.0002, 0.0101, 0.0188, 0.0182, 0.0228, 0.034, 0.0028, -0.0161, -0.0103, -0.0376, -0.0324, -0.0255, -0.022, -0.0166, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0423, -0.037, -0.0276, -0.0174, -0.0101, -0.0039, 0.0045, -0.0037, -0.0087, -0.0194, -0.0249, -0.0217, -0.0175, -0.0285, -0.027, -0.0361, -0.04, -0.0464, -0.038, -0.0354, -0.0382, -0.0451, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0418, -0.0459, -0.0371, -0.0356, -0.0446, -0.0463, -0.0308, -0.0301, -0.0425]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1854512643484045811", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-07T13:14:04+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my strong view is that we could be closer to $40 in next yr or so", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong bear on oil (WTI to ~$40 in ~1yr); secondary long JPY/short USDJPY on historical oil-yen correlation.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In April/May/June I turned big oil bear big picture. \nI've been showing this chart of $WTIC to clients every week since. Yes, we can play the counter-trend bounces on geo-political stress, but overall, my strong view is that we could be closer to $40 in next yr or so.\n\nCiti out with its view that supports.\n\nOne thing that bears watching in particular:\nTypically, when oil price falls, the yen strengthens.\n\nhttps://t.co/9Zmi803n3d\n\nThis is one way I was able to catch the yen-carry-trade unwind in July for clients. 😉\n$USDJPY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Citi posts view that a Trump victory and red wave are bearish for oil. See downside risk to 2025 global demand growth (tariffs) and maintain incoming prez might coax more bbl from cartel. Base case is Brent at $70/bbl 1-3 mos.; $65/bbl 1Q25; $60/bbl 2Q&amp;3Q25; and $55/bbl for 4Q.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001607323073879452, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001607323073879452, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006065517415476451, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006065517415476451, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672840489355903, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007672840489355903, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020492985985050227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020492985985050227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024824698081183705, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024824698081183705, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331712096133478, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004331712096133478, "ret_p1w": -0.045137993320141456, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045137993320141456, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04134371889812749, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04134371889812749, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037942744220139657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037942744220139657, "ret_p1m": -0.059201789198183974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.059201789198183974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.079685286494106, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.079685286494106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483497295922026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020483497295922026, "ret_p3m": 0.03817302885517404, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03817302885517404, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02441320210692499, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02441320210692499, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759826748249049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013759826748249049, "ret_p6m": -0.14264667832160682, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14264667832160682, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10028374715180088, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10028374715180088, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04236293116980594, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236293116980594, "ret_p1y": -0.02062685293315769, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.02062685293315769, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1850984682444945, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1850984682444945, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1644716153113368, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1644716153113368, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02062685293315769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1850984682444945, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1850984682444945, "price_path": [0.0532, 0.0399, 0.0259, 0.0368, 0.0222, -0.0038, -0.0111, -0.0276, -0.0145, 0.0119, 0.0425, 0.0245, 0.011, 0.0283, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0478, -0.0676, -0.0639, -0.0767, -0.0722, -0.1031, -0.0912, -0.0639, -0.0646, -0.0506, -0.0394, -0.0536, -0.0256, -0.0233, -0.0323, -0.0183, -0.0426, -0.0757, -0.0588, -0.0635, -0.0342, -0.0254, 0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0608, 0.0151, 0.0079, 0.0417, 0.0379, 0.017, -0.0254, -0.0303, -0.0273, -0.0439, -0.0321, -0.0091, -0.0149, -0.0214, -0.0058, -0.0567, -0.067, -0.0442, -0.0212, -0.0354, -0.005, 0.0009, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0205, -0.0498, -0.0532, -0.0526, -0.0451, -0.0658, -0.0347, -0.0315, -0.0354, -0.0196, -0.0055, -0.0343, -0.0409, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0409, -0.0485, -0.0217, -0.0372, -0.0427, -0.0592, -0.0467, -0.0437, -0.0178, -0.0194, -0.006, -0.0129, -0.0182, -0.023, -0.0275, -0.0209, -0.0214, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0205, -0.0108, 0.0021, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0304, 0.0437, 0.0354, 0.047, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0801, 0.1014, 0.0939, 0.1297, 0.1109, 0.1053, 0.1053, 0.0864, 0.0773, 0.0609, 0.0662, 0.0438, 0.0563, 0.0418, 0.0414, 0.045, 0.0423, 0.0382, 0.0192, 0.0106, 0.0161, 0.0367, 0.0484, 0.0222, 0.0232, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0308, 0.0374, 0.0415, 0.0092, 0.0175, -0.0071, -0.0108, 0.0083, 0.0075, -0.0179, -0.0181, -0.0434, -0.0473, -0.0344, -0.0505, -0.043, -0.0249, -0.0407, -0.0319, -0.0261, -0.0328, -0.03, -0.0125, -0.0117, 0.0029, 0.0021, 0.0102, 0.011, 0.0015, 0.0358, 0.0324, 0.0413, -0.0323, -0.0903, -0.1163, -0.1516, -0.0948, -0.1251, -0.1098, -0.1072, -0.1096, -0.0926, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0809, -0.0709, -0.0885, -0.083, -0.0754, -0.0924, -0.118, -0.1487, -0.1358, -0.1426]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1852025727425691724", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-31T16:31:57+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why it most likely will not help the $KWEB + related plays get 'above the wall'", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish China equities and KWEB: Trump tariffs (10-60%) will crush China export biz for 4+ years; fiscal support won't overcome the wall.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You do understand why China is offering fiscal support IF TRUMP WINS, right?\n\nAnd why it most likely will not help the $KWEB + related plays get “above the wall”… $SSEC\n\nI wrote about this HERE Oct 5th!\nhttps://t.co/4uRvrlttuT\n\nTrump will push 10-20% tariffs on $3Trillion of US imports AND threaten 60% tax on products from China - which will have big impact on US corporate profitability and hurt US consumers in short-term, but really hit China’s export biz for 4 yrs, at least!\n\nChina stocks are cheap for a reason. \n\n#AnotherTrumpMacroTrade", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Another Trump Macro Trade - potential:\n\n\"CHINA COULD UNVEIL ENHANCED FISCAL MEASURES IF TRUMP SECURES U.S. PRESIDENCY.\"\n\nAdds to the long list of trades I listed here:\n\nhttps://t.co/hgWUIf76nc \n\n#PoliciesDrivePrice", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006521719771517276, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006521719771517276, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013473331197043636, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013473331197043636, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.019995050968560912, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019995050968560912, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012422942429034523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012422942429034523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005462663505496734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005462663505496734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004220369262593282, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004220369262593282, "ret_p1w": 0.06521732771666233, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06521732771666233, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017788562057463597, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017788562057463597, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.047428765659198735, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047428765659198735, "ret_p1m": -0.04347834847926535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04347834847926535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10311154835232994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10311154835232994, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05963319987306459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05963319987306459, "ret_p3m": 0.01409560660612974, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01409560660612974, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.052580378290013385, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.052580378290013385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06667598489614313, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06667598489614313, "ret_p6m": 0.028229303648966253, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.028229303648966253, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.053701918077244115, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.053701918077244115, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.025472614428277862, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025472614428277862, "ret_p1y": 0.2964490937888602, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2964490937888602, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10156077068787028, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10156077068787028, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1948883231009899, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1948883231009899, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2964490937888602, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10156077068787028, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10156077068787028, "price_path": [-0.2, -0.1907, -0.1972, -0.1748, -0.1817, -0.1727, -0.1736, -0.1925, -0.1792, -0.1618, -0.1512, -0.1876, -0.1736, -0.1879, -0.1807, -0.2065, -0.2071, -0.232, -0.2127, -0.2022, -0.2022, -0.209, -0.2081, -0.2084, -0.2149, -0.2121, -0.2158, -0.2068, -0.2071, -0.2106, -0.2065, -0.1963, -0.2009, -0.1652, -0.1689, -0.1543, -0.0671, -0.091, 0.014, 0.0537, 0.0565, 0.1199, 0.1919, 0.1553, 0.1929, 0.2071, 0.087, 0.0748, 0.0773, 0.0873, 0.0575, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.032, 0.0115, 0.0003, 0.014, 0.0, -0.0124, -0.0028, 0.0276, 0.0193, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0012, 0.0106, 0.0332, 0.0124, 0.0652, -0.0062, -0.0028, -0.0481, -0.0531, -0.0674, -0.0602, -0.0422, -0.0475, -0.0311, -0.0466, -0.073, -0.0689, -0.0702, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0435, -0.0326, -0.0335, -0.0484, -0.0444, -0.0345, 0.0624, 0.0112, -0.0022, -0.0009, -0.0152, -0.041, -0.0212, -0.0434, -0.0437, -0.0376, -0.0354, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0322, -0.0457, -0.0649, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0775, -0.0691, -0.0848, -0.0903, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.1234, -0.1176, -0.0935, -0.0816, -0.0842, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0518, -0.0556, -0.0543, -0.019, -0.0103, 0.0141, 0.0035, 0.0427, 0.0048, -0.0081, 0.025, 0.0041, 0.0218, 0.0408, 0.0748, 0.0542, 0.0838, 0.1031, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1445, 0.1236, 0.1432, 0.1773, 0.1024, 0.106, 0.132, 0.1156, 0.0899, 0.071, 0.0999, 0.1782, 0.1859, 0.1882, 0.1374, 0.1628, 0.1484, 0.1474, 0.1815, 0.23, 0.2152, 0.2091, 0.166, 0.1429, 0.1477, 0.1297, 0.1358, 0.1619, 0.1256, 0.1214, 0.1249, 0.123, 0.1101, 0.0057, -0.0572, -0.0916, -0.036, -0.0485, -0.0193, 0.0051, -0.0007, -0.0309, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0277, 0.0045, 0.0282, 0.0302, 0.0282]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1846214808967774703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-15T15:41:26+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am quite sure SMH will tag 272. Not if just when.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Confident SMH will hit 272 (a downside target), contradicting the parent's bearish framing but confirming a move lower to that level.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@baby_binki I am quite sure SMH will tag 272. Not if just when.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I find that shocking (not sarcastic). Demand just pointed to top of the bubble, for $SMH to go higher you need to believe in even more multiple expansion. Flows arent that strong + earnings will accelerate downside. But you are good at what you do so maybe I am missing something", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "baby_binki", "ret_m1d": 0.05712909604830796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05712909604830796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04929843775388232, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04929843775388232, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007830658294425641, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007830658294425641, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0006473472664461077, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006473472664461077, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003699067210199747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003699067210199747, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0043464144766458546, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0043464144766458546, "ret_p1w": 0.018328194427364553, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018328194427364553, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01222241462865159, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01222241462865159, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0061057797987129625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0061057797987129625, "ret_p1m": 0.0019016098090247624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0019016098090247624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02812706904900364, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02812706904900364, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0300286788580284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0300286788580284, "ret_p3m": 0.0045134541801981065, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0045134541801981065, "alpha_spy_p3m": 8.102908788965024e-05, "alpha_c_p3m": 8.102908788965024e-05, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.004594483268087757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004594483268087757, "ret_p6m": -0.1432090522374473, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1432090522374473, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0955054988480798, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0955054988480798, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04770355338936749, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04770355338936749, "ret_p1y": 0.374571724142607, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.374571724142607, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20627343307766033, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20627343307766033, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16829829106494665, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16829829106494665, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0019016098090247624, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02812706904900364, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02812706904900364, "price_path": [0.0339, 0.004, 0.0427, 0.0312, -0.025, -0.0429, -0.0277, -0.0346, -0.0716, -0.0007, -0.0653, -0.1162, -0.137, -0.1202, -0.1444, -0.09, -0.0903, -0.0817, -0.0444, -0.0436, -0.0032, -0.0018, 0.0169, 0.0036, 0.014, -0.0192, 0.005, -0.0186, -0.0087, -0.0254, -0.0374, -0.015, -0.015, -0.0889, -0.0911, -0.0927, -0.1301, -0.1105, -0.102, -0.0557, -0.0536, -0.0415, -0.0541, -0.0544, -0.0651, -0.0246, -0.0375, -0.0332, -0.0152, -0.0066, 0.0221, 0.0023, -0.0069, -0.0335, -0.0196, -0.0106, 0.0027, 0.0043, 0.0217, 0.0323, 0.0303, 0.0386, 0.0571, 0.0, 0.0006, 0.0179, 0.0176, 0.023, 0.0183, 0.0075, 0.0117, 0.0235, 0.0164, 0.0395, 0.0142, -0.0222, -0.0098, -0.0117, 0.0047, 0.031, 0.0561, 0.0493, 0.0258, 0.019, 0.0019, 0.0041, -0.0292, -0.0227, -0.0121, -0.0187, -0.0043, -0.0103, -0.0142, -0.0232, -0.036, -0.036, -0.0204, 0.0029, 0.0051, 0.0221, 0.0046, 0.0059, -0.0044, -0.0295, -0.0057, -0.0153, 0.0094, 0.0246, 0.0113, -0.0209, -0.0335, -0.018, 0.0128, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0198, 0.0095, -0.0057, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0052, 0.0236, 0.0575, 0.0324, 0.025, 0.025, 0.0045, -0.0058, -0.0026, 0.0209, 0.0253, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0663, 0.0858, 0.0845, 0.0628, -0.0417, -0.0228, -0.0266, -0.0037, -0.01, -0.0296, -0.0187, 0.0044, 0.0093, -0.0043, 0.0144, 0.0154, 0.0099, 0.0238, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0413, 0.0458, 0.0477, 0.0159, -0.0108, -0.0318, -0.0091, -0.0702, -0.054, -0.0937, -0.0847, -0.0677, -0.1068, -0.0853, -0.1282, -0.1294, -0.1038, -0.1078, -0.0792, -0.0695, -0.0839, -0.0758, -0.0773, -0.0866, -0.0627, -0.0667, -0.0978, -0.1151, -0.1378, -0.1406, -0.1365, -0.13, -0.2052, -0.2652, -0.2486, -0.2687, -0.1432]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1860364715995681199", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-23T16:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish commodities broadly — gold, silver, agri ETFs plus steel, coal, aluminum, natgas, lumber — on currency debasement thesis; charts confirm; early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never looked at “silver shorts” as reason to rec’d swing/trend long to clients since Mar/Apr, but this would help, if true. \n\nBest reason, as @GraphCall puts it:\n\n“when a gov is broke, they don't want to see the currency fall further/ faster than commodities - either soft or PM....”\n\nBut that is exactly what’s happening. Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA …\n\nPlus the charts still look great! 😉\n\nSizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The #silver shorts covered 30 million paper ounces this week. The silver short position is still absolutely massive and ridiculous. This is the most controlled asset on earth. That is the reason you should buy as much as possible. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1860364715995681199", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-23T16:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish commodities broadly — gold, silver, agri ETFs plus steel, coal, aluminum, natgas, lumber — on currency debasement thesis; charts confirm; early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never looked at “silver shorts” as reason to rec’d swing/trend long to clients since Mar/Apr, but this would help, if true. \n\nBest reason, as @GraphCall puts it:\n\n“when a gov is broke, they don't want to see the currency fall further/ faster than commodities - either soft or PM....”\n\nBut that is exactly what’s happening. Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA …\n\nPlus the charts still look great! 😉\n\nSizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The #silver shorts covered 30 million paper ounces this week. The silver short position is still absolutely massive and ridiculous. This is the most controlled asset on earth. That is the reason you should buy as much as possible. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1860364715995681199", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-23T16:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "DBA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish commodities broadly — gold, silver, agri ETFs plus steel, coal, aluminum, natgas, lumber — on currency debasement thesis; charts confirm; early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["DBA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never looked at “silver shorts” as reason to rec’d swing/trend long to clients since Mar/Apr, but this would help, if true. \n\nBest reason, as @GraphCall puts it:\n\n“when a gov is broke, they don't want to see the currency fall further/ faster than commodities - either soft or PM....”\n\nBut that is exactly what’s happening. Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA …\n\nPlus the charts still look great! 😉\n\nSizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The #silver shorts covered 30 million paper ounces this week. The silver short position is still absolutely massive and ridiculous. This is the most controlled asset on earth. That is the reason you should buy as much as possible. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1860364715995681199", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-11-23T16:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "Steel", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish commodities broadly — gold, silver, agri ETFs plus steel, coal, aluminum, natgas, lumber — on currency debasement thesis; charts confirm; early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLX VanEck Steel ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never looked at “silver shorts” as reason to rec’d swing/trend long to clients since Mar/Apr, but this would help, if true. \n\nBest reason, as @GraphCall puts it:\n\n“when a gov is broke, they don't want to see the currency fall further/ faster than commodities - either soft or PM....”\n\nBut that is exactly what’s happening. Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA …\n\nPlus the charts still look great! 😉\n\nSizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The #silver shorts covered 30 million paper ounces this week. The silver short position is still absolutely massive and ridiculous. This is the most controlled asset on earth. That is the reason you should buy as much as possible. Godspeed patriots. #silversqueeze https://t.co/KvTXGmkxu3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009224329613712334, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009224329613712334, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005843692025254699, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005843692025254699, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012997852736381765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012997852736381765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018219233418795278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018219233418795278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "ret_p1w": -0.0015373321987719457, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0015373321987719457, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01174585697213204, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01174585697213204, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "ret_p1m": -0.14452997265120893, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14452997265120893, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15422603321288675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15422603321288675, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "ret_p3m": -0.07203504251689619, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07203504251689619, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09697816430585082, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09697816430585082, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "ret_p6m": -0.0824534426866318, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0824534426866318, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08095503736142395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08095503736142395, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "ret_p1y": 0.16136717490173136, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16136717490173136, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0037881825985977002, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0037881825985977002, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14452997265120893, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15422603321288675, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15422603321288675, "price_path": [-0.077, -0.0689, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.1147, -0.1223, -0.1241, -0.1331, -0.1266, -0.1398, -0.1259, -0.11, -0.0917, -0.0904, -0.0846, -0.0836, -0.0505, -0.0695, -0.0644, -0.0335, -0.0401, -0.0165, -0.0098, -0.0158, -0.013, -0.0179, -0.0326, -0.025, -0.0207, -0.0429, -0.0412, -0.041, -0.0349, -0.0361, -0.0541, -0.0429, -0.0384, -0.0376, -0.0468, -0.0558, -0.0693, -0.0629, -0.0609, -0.0321, -0.041, -0.0521, -0.0612, -0.0579, -0.053, -0.0439, 0.0274, 0.03, 0.0141, 0.0036, -0.0222, -0.038, -0.0502, -0.0481, -0.031, -0.0294, -0.0229, -0.0157, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.013, -0.008, -0.008, -0.0034, -0.0015, -0.011, -0.0189, -0.0232, -0.0425, -0.0271, -0.0331, -0.0361, -0.0604, -0.0879, -0.0997, -0.1086, -0.1416, -0.1522, -0.149, -0.1505, -0.1445, -0.1445, -0.1463, -0.1567, -0.1613, -0.1541, -0.1541, -0.159, -0.1636, -0.1496, -0.1518, -0.1617, -0.1617, -0.1667, -0.1455, -0.1376, -0.124, -0.1264, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.1105, -0.1262, -0.1186, -0.1112, -0.1172, -0.1153, -0.1092, -0.105, -0.1186, -0.126, -0.1105, -0.1049, -0.094, -0.1124, -0.0823, -0.0897, -0.0998, -0.0887, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0647, -0.0742, -0.072, -0.091, -0.0881, -0.0927, -0.0924, -0.0979, -0.0994, -0.1127, -0.123, -0.092, -0.0927, -0.0953, -0.125, -0.1134, -0.1143, -0.1111, -0.0755, -0.0738, -0.0713, -0.0623, -0.0713, -0.09, -0.0774, -0.07, -0.0741, -0.0787, -0.1047, -0.1101, -0.1097, -0.1042, -0.1668, -0.215, -0.2159, -0.2403, -0.1688, -0.2011, -0.1781, -0.1771, -0.179, -0.1845, -0.1754, -0.1754, -0.1913, -0.1671, -0.1484, -0.1253, -0.1295, -0.1231, -0.1185, -0.1299, -0.1238, -0.0955, -0.1058, -0.1071, -0.1143, -0.1123, -0.1111, -0.0865, -0.077, -0.0819, -0.0852, -0.0812, -0.0788, -0.0825]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1860364715995681199", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2024-11-23T16:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "Natural Gas", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish commodities broadly — gold, silver, agri ETFs plus steel, coal, aluminum, natgas, lumber — on currency debasement thesis; charts confirm; early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "UNG United States Natural Gas Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I never looked at “silver shorts” as reason to rec’d swing/trend long to clients since Mar/Apr, but this would help, if true. \n\nBest reason, as @GraphCall puts it:\n\n“when a gov is broke, they don't want to see the currency fall further/ faster than commodities - either soft or PM....”\n\nBut that is exactly what’s happening. Very bullish commodities big picture - $GLD $SLV $DBA …\n\nPlus the charts still look great! 😉\n\nSizing up Steel, Coal, Aluminum, Natural Gas, Lumber…for clients past few weeks. Early innings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The #silver shorts covered 30 million paper ounces this week. The silver short position is still absolutely massive and ridiculous. This is the most controlled asset on earth. That is the reason you should buy as much as possible. Godspeed patriots. #silversqueeze https://t.co/KvTXGmkxu3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0324543301875837, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0324543301875837, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029073692599126066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029073692599126066, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033806375884576356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019607840608587335, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019607840608587335, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014386459926173822, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014386459926173822, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005221380682413512, "ret_p1w": -0.06152804934139411, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06152804934139411, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0717365741147542, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0717365741147542, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010208524773360095, "ret_p1m": 0.0912778520133457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0912778520133457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08158179145166788, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08158179145166788, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009696060561677822, "ret_p3m": 0.4692359430887918, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4692359430887918, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44429282129983716, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44429282129983716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024943121788954636, "ret_p6m": 0.14874914232180303, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14874914232180303, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15024754764701087, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15024754764701087, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001498405325207841, "ret_p1y": -0.009465878545223072, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.009465878545223072, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16704487084835673, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16704487084835673, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15757899230313366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0912778520133457, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08158179145166788, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08158179145166788, "price_path": [-0.1075, -0.092, -0.096, -0.096, -0.0609, -0.0899, -0.0412, -0.0318, -0.0886, -0.0487, -0.0365, 0.0027, -0.0203, 0.0047, -0.0101, -0.0237, -0.0122, 0.0372, 0.0879, 0.069, 0.0717, 0.046, 0.1068, 0.1041, 0.1068, 0.1095, 0.1278, 0.0778, 0.0399, 0.0311, 0.0047, 0.023, 0.0007, -0.0541, -0.0527, -0.0913, -0.1001, -0.119, -0.1041, -0.0872, -0.0656, -0.0318, -0.023, -0.098, -0.0933, -0.1055, -0.1406, -0.1562, -0.117, -0.1528, -0.1298, -0.144, -0.1528, -0.0669, -0.0764, -0.046, -0.1109, -0.096, -0.0703, -0.0622, -0.0027, 0.0243, -0.0325, 0.0, 0.0196, -0.0663, -0.0663, -0.0243, -0.0615, -0.1068, -0.1034, -0.0994, -0.096, -0.069, -0.0663, -0.0156, 0.0169, -0.0379, -0.0568, -0.0223, -0.0169, 0.0412, 0.073, 0.0568, 0.0913, 0.0913, 0.0392, 0.0656, 0.2191, 0.1366, 0.1366, 0.1501, 0.0541, 0.1602, 0.0811, 0.1569, 0.1569, 0.2454, 0.2319, 0.2488, 0.2928, 0.3482, 0.24, 0.24, 0.1988, 0.2535, 0.2339, 0.2252, 0.1596, 0.1014, 0.1332, 0.0913, 0.0947, 0.1927, 0.1542, 0.2035, 0.2096, 0.1819, 0.2312, 0.2563, 0.2705, 0.2948, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.4165, 0.5287, 0.4692, 0.4936, 0.4361, 0.4706, 0.43, 0.4104, 0.3753, 0.4841, 0.5625, 0.597, 0.5396, 0.568, 0.6112, 0.574, 0.4638, 0.449, 0.4733, 0.4348, 0.4476, 0.5112, 0.4314, 0.4091, 0.3969, 0.3746, 0.3617, 0.38, 0.4422, 0.4611, 0.3996, 0.4233, 0.4584, 0.355, 0.2894, 0.236, 0.3266, 0.2488, 0.2596, 0.1839, 0.1738, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.0832, 0.0669, 0.0636, 0.048, 0.0615, 0.1237, 0.1413, 0.1318, 0.1711, 0.2387, 0.2157, 0.1744, 0.2285, 0.2218, 0.2833, 0.2407, 0.2299, 0.1765, 0.1359, 0.1298, 0.0581, 0.1487]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876765869256438060", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-07T23:00:26+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Update to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Yields breaking higher; short TLT and 10Y bond futures, long USDJPY, long VIX, long DXY.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "»CLUB/EDGE client post Tuesday, December 12th.\n\nI remember when so many were excited about buying bonds & I said, not so fast. Read why I warned:\n\nYIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER\nUpdate to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short,\n$USDJPY long, $VIX long... #DXY too\n\nhttps://t.co/u50994sZgG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0012784952678874806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012784952678874806, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00018027949610943672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00018027949610943672, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.008485391780557183, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008485391780557183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0029043040392358055, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0029043040392358055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "ret_p1m": 0.04812950460526344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04812950460526344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019579348954880782, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019579348954880782, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "ret_p3m": 0.05755616563922694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05755616563922694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19936135201950256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19936135201950256, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "ret_p6m": 0.03279728271148974, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03279728271148974, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03435469440642969, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03435469440642969, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "ret_p1y": 0.06526687196586245, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.06526687196586245, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1195139326981729, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1195139326981729, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04812950460526344, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019579348954880782, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019579348954880782, "price_path": [0.0775, 0.0784, 0.0915, 0.0961, 0.0787, 0.0795, 0.0606, 0.0617, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.0596, 0.0567, 0.0583, 0.0614, 0.0632, 0.0482, 0.0645, 0.0701, 0.0408, 0.0538, 0.0672, 0.062, 0.0461, 0.0362, 0.0422, 0.0394, 0.0413, 0.0466, 0.0432, 0.0424, 0.043, 0.07, 0.0658, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0843, 0.0869, 0.0775, 0.0891, 0.0913, 0.0929, 0.0829, 0.0778, 0.0676, 0.0546, 0.0438, 0.047, 0.0495, 0.0364, 0.0207, 0.0265, 0.0171, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0208, 0.0124, 0.0206, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0179, 0.0146, 0.0101, -0.0013, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.007, -0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0117, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0226, 0.0172, 0.0093, 0.0138, 0.0258, 0.0251, 0.023, 0.0269, 0.0201, 0.0284, 0.0316, 0.0486, 0.0481, 0.0414, 0.0382, 0.0316, 0.0176, 0.0345, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0277, 0.029, 0.0328, 0.0453, 0.0484, 0.0664, 0.0727, 0.0652, 0.0782, 0.0833, 0.0699, 0.0614, 0.0579, 0.0545, 0.0655, 0.0579, 0.0515, 0.0608, 0.0552, 0.0604, 0.0615, 0.067, 0.0677, 0.0614, 0.0505, 0.0504, 0.0435, 0.0404, 0.0548, 0.0652, 0.0745, 0.0738, 0.0787, 0.0904, 0.0576, 0.0376, 0.0437, 0.0149, 0.0204, 0.0277, 0.0314, 0.0371, 0.028, 0.028, 0.01, 0.0156, 0.0255, 0.0363, 0.0439, 0.0505, 0.0593, 0.0507, 0.0454, 0.0341, 0.0283, 0.0317, 0.0361, 0.0246, 0.0261, 0.0165, 0.0124, 0.0057, 0.0145, 0.0172, 0.0143, 0.007, -0.0102, -0.005, -0.0034, -0.0034, 0.0105, 0.0062, 0.0155, 0.017, 0.0075, 0.0058, 0.0221, 0.0228, 0.0098, 0.0109, 0.0161, 0.0191, 0.0313, 0.0214, 0.0111, 0.0234, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0233, 0.0266, 0.034, 0.0353, 0.0406, 0.0339, 0.0441, 0.0467, 0.04, 0.0328]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1876765869256438060", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-07T23:00:26+00:00", "symbol": "ZN=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Update to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Yields breaking higher; short TLT and 10Y bond futures, long USDJPY, long VIX, long DXY.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZN=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "»CLUB/EDGE client post Tuesday, December 12th.\n\nI remember when so many were excited about buying bonds & I said, not so fast. Read why I warned:\n\nYIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER\nUpdate to $TLT + #ZN Bond Short,\n$USDJPY long, $VIX long... #DXY too\n\nhttps://t.co/u50994sZgG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00028897558156337766, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00028897558156337766, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001747750345560295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001747750345560295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014587747639969173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007224389539084441, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007224389539084441, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007224389539084441, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0007224389539084441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.001733853489380044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001733853489380044, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003847234251941334, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003847234251941334, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005581087741321378, "ret_p1m": 0.013292876751914484, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013292876751914484, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015257278898468174, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015257278898468174, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028550155650382658, "ret_p3m": 0.036266435486201454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.036266435486201454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17807162186647707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17807162186647707, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14180518638027562, "ret_p6m": 0.0284640947839907, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0284640947839907, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.038687882333928725, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.038687882333928725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06715197711791943, "ret_p1y": 0.04103453258199674, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04103453258199674, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1437462720820386, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1437462720820386, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18478080466403535, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013292876751914484, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015257278898468174, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015257278898468174, "price_path": [0.038, 0.0344, 0.0397, 0.0406, 0.0361, 0.0377, 0.0312, 0.0296, 0.0267, 0.029, 0.027, 0.0237, 0.0241, 0.0237, 0.0215, 0.0175, 0.0205, 0.021, 0.013, 0.0189, 0.0198, 0.0163, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.013, 0.0129, 0.0137, 0.0157, 0.0143, 0.0126, 0.0139, 0.0221, 0.0202, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0266, 0.026, 0.0247, 0.0275, 0.027, 0.0295, 0.027, 0.0253, 0.0228, 0.0201, 0.0156, 0.0155, 0.0162, 0.0085, 0.0052, 0.0077, 0.003, 0.0039, 0.0039, 0.0048, 0.0027, 0.0077, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0062, 0.0046, 0.0036, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0069, -0.0084, -0.0072, 0.0017, 0.0043, 0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0055, 0.0039, 0.0022, 0.003, 0.0094, 0.0082, 0.0075, 0.0101, 0.0065, 0.0075, 0.0098, 0.0149, 0.0133, 0.0101, 0.01, 0.0075, 0.0012, 0.0077, 0.0108, 0.0108, 0.0065, 0.0075, 0.0095, 0.0143, 0.016, 0.022, 0.025, 0.0228, 0.027, 0.0299, 0.0285, 0.025, 0.0244, 0.0223, 0.029, 0.0247, 0.023, 0.0256, 0.023, 0.0227, 0.0244, 0.0263, 0.0279, 0.0273, 0.0223, 0.0241, 0.0224, 0.0211, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0337, 0.0311, 0.0416, 0.0454, 0.0363, 0.0308, 0.0202, 0.0227, 0.0147, 0.0241, 0.0272, 0.0303, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0247, 0.0246, 0.0233, 0.0285, 0.0312, 0.0348, 0.0371, 0.0377, 0.0344, 0.0279, 0.027, 0.0293, 0.0315, 0.0246, 0.0247, 0.0186, 0.0169, 0.0146, 0.0195, 0.0202, 0.0185, 0.0191, 0.0126, 0.0156, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.022, 0.0192, 0.0231, 0.0238, 0.0215, 0.0214, 0.0273, 0.0244, 0.0166, 0.0188, 0.0192, 0.0236, 0.0269, 0.023, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.027, 0.027, 0.0263, 0.0306, 0.0325, 0.0328, 0.0358, 0.034, 0.0368, 0.0344, 0.0322, 0.0285]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1848406880894288083", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-21T16:51:56+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "is it any wonder gold and silver have run so high?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold/silver on China arbitrage + Fed easing; short US equities starting next year on reversing liquidity/rising risk premium; bearish USD as China exits.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is China really trying to dump USD to buy gold in order to  “unseat” the USD and “destroy” America’s currency hegemony?\n\nOr…\n\nIs it just a stealth old-school playbook move for a WEALTH TRANSFER to help China’s economy and property markets. 😉\n\nThink about it:\nNixon prevented G-7 countries from dumping USD into the Gold markets - because it would make them less dependent on US/USD.\n\nBut China - and no doubt other BRICS nations - have been running a very profitable arbitrage play for past year, as @GraphCall has foretold:\n\nChina is selling USD to buy cheap Gold in New York then selling expensive Gold in Shanghai for Yuan.\n\nWhy? \nIt is a smart way to devalue the Yuan against Commodities and avoid losing purchasing power versus the US (something that consumers in Japan have to endure because US colonized them in exchange for military protection).\n\nChina can then go ahead and cut rates while maintaining FX trade balances BECAUSE it is devaluing Yuan against Gold as a way to influence its consumption/production.  \n\nChina doesn’t even need to print or run ever-larger fiscal deficits as a result - UNLIKE US!\n\nThis is the good old “External Drain” that was banned by Nixon!\n\nAnd there is nothing that the US can do about it \n- short of better trade arrangement with China AND better fiscal deficit management of our own affairs.\n\nThis is also why THEIR equity market valuation is too cheap and US is too expensive! \n\nSo with Fed easing and China leaving UST & USD behind, is it any wonder gold and silver have run so high?\n\nAnd is it any wonder how policy interference by Fed/Treasury has a diminishing rate of return?\n\nWith that, US Equities will suffer (starting next year most likely) as Fed liquidity and money flows reverse, while risk premium demands rise against a falling growth backdrop. \n\nOnly when the US starts to manage its out of control budget will gold/silver be a short.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00019904088653310836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00019904088653310836, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0014458337526099818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0014458337526099818, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016448746391430902, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016448746391430902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01078732362833379, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01078732362833379, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01131850329865658, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01131850329865658, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00053117967032279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00053117967032279, "ret_p1w": 0.008399015206189242, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008399015206189242, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013196601812649145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013196601812649145, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004797586606459903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004797586606459903, "ret_p1m": -0.0317251858210974, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0317251858210974, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04315371333918194, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04315371333918194, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011428527518084541, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011428527518084541, "ret_p3m": -0.002467936924507974, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.002467936924507974, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019604217862094986, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019604217862094986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017136280937587012, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017136280937587012, "ret_p6m": 0.18533555183645434, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18533555183645434, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2583063190244711, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2583063190244711, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07297076718801676, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07297076718801676, "ret_p1y": 0.48196794038661683, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.48196794038661683, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3146302284763989, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3146302284763989, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16733771191021796, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16733771191021796, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0317251858210974, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04315371333918194, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04315371333918194, "price_path": [-0.1171, -0.1309, -0.1218, -0.123, -0.1142, -0.0982, -0.1013, -0.103, -0.1144, -0.1215, -0.1221, -0.1083, -0.1061, -0.0908, -0.0922, -0.0996, -0.0968, -0.0765, -0.0781, -0.0747, -0.0759, -0.087, -0.0764, -0.0735, -0.071, -0.0775, -0.0727, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0833, -0.0828, -0.0751, -0.082, -0.0781, -0.074, -0.0755, -0.0593, -0.0499, -0.05, -0.0553, -0.0625, -0.048, -0.0359, -0.034, -0.0205, -0.0219, -0.0169, -0.0247, -0.0325, -0.0223, -0.0221, -0.0228, -0.0248, -0.0281, -0.0352, -0.0405, -0.0334, -0.0229, -0.0245, -0.0211, -0.0162, -0.0103, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0108, -0.0014, 0.0063, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0194, 0.025, 0.0091, 0.005, 0.0064, 0.0087, -0.022, -0.0062, -0.013, -0.0361, -0.0445, -0.0541, -0.0566, -0.0582, -0.0403, -0.0317, -0.0263, -0.0182, -0.0055, -0.0348, -0.0329, -0.0308, -0.0308, -0.0224, -0.031, -0.029, -0.0261, -0.0333, -0.0329, -0.0233, -0.0105, -0.001, -0.0157, -0.0276, -0.0252, -0.029, -0.0476, -0.0463, -0.0363, -0.0408, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0324, -0.0391, -0.0422, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.0231, -0.0308, -0.032, -0.0265, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.012, -0.0218, -0.0167, -0.0093, -0.0025, -0.0078, -0.0078, 0.0076, 0.0128, 0.0113, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0158, 0.0119, 0.0272, 0.0292, 0.0347, 0.0449, 0.0514, 0.0486, 0.0505, 0.0683, 0.0644, 0.0655, 0.076, 0.06, 0.06, 0.0775, 0.0781, 0.0787, 0.0777, 0.0836, 0.0693, 0.0709, 0.0546, 0.048, 0.0618, 0.071, 0.0732, 0.0678, 0.0683, 0.059, 0.0714, 0.0761, 0.0952, 0.0956, 0.1015, 0.1144, 0.119, 0.1175, 0.1086, 0.1036, 0.1085, 0.1076, 0.1224, 0.1307, 0.147, 0.1447, 0.147, 0.1401, 0.1134, 0.0895, 0.0955, 0.136, 0.1637, 0.1859, 0.1792, 0.1853]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1848406880894288083", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-21T16:51:56+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold and silver have run so high", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold/silver on China arbitrage + Fed easing; short US equities starting next year on reversing liquidity/rising risk premium; bearish USD as China exits.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is China really trying to dump USD to buy gold in order to  “unseat” the USD and “destroy” America’s currency hegemony?\n\nOr…\n\nIs it just a stealth old-school playbook move for a WEALTH TRANSFER to help China’s economy and property markets. 😉\n\nThink about it:\nNixon prevented G-7 countries from dumping USD into the Gold markets - because it would make them less dependent on US/USD.\n\nBut China - and no doubt other BRICS nations - have been running a very profitable arbitrage play for past year, as @GraphCall has foretold:\n\nChina is selling USD to buy cheap Gold in New York then selling expensive Gold in Shanghai for Yuan.\n\nWhy? \nIt is a smart way to devalue the Yuan against Commodities and avoid losing purchasing power versus the US (something that consumers in Japan have to endure because US colonized them in exchange for military protection).\n\nChina can then go ahead and cut rates while maintaining FX trade balances BECAUSE it is devaluing Yuan against Gold as a way to influence its consumption/production.  \n\nChina doesn’t even need to print or run ever-larger fiscal deficits as a result - UNLIKE US!\n\nThis is the good old “External Drain” that was banned by Nixon!\n\nAnd there is nothing that the US can do about it \n- short of better trade arrangement with China AND better fiscal deficit management of our own affairs.\n\nThis is also why THEIR equity market valuation is too cheap and US is too expensive! \n\nSo with Fed easing and China leaving UST & USD behind, is it any wonder gold and silver have run so high?\n\nAnd is it any wonder how policy interference by Fed/Treasury has a diminishing rate of return?\n\nWith that, US Equities will suffer (starting next year most likely) as Fed liquidity and money flows reverse, while risk premium demands rise against a falling growth backdrop. \n\nOnly when the US starts to manage its out of control budget will gold/silver be a short.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006807163346014944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006807163346014944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008452037985158034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008452037985158034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016448746391430902, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016448746391430902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028849250523284242, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028849250523284242, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029380430193607032, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029380430193607032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00053117967032279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00053117967032279, "ret_p1w": -0.003889816458656492, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003889816458656492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0009077701478034106, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0009077701478034106, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004797586606459903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004797586606459903, "ret_p1m": -0.07617505194201779, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07617505194201779, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08760357946010233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08760357946010233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011428527518084541, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011428527518084541, "ret_p3m": -0.09108588107604143, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09108588107604143, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10822216201362844, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10822216201362844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017136280937587012, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017136280937587012, "ret_p6m": -0.04667748837120156, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04667748837120156, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.026293278816815202, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.026293278816815202, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07297076718801676, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07297076718801676, "ret_p1y": 0.4444084545313749, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4444084545313749, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.27707074262115694, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.27707074262115694, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16733771191021796, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16733771191021796, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07617505194201779, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08760357946010233, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08760357946010233, "price_path": [-0.1433, -0.1763, -0.1741, -0.1754, -0.1627, -0.1446, -0.1562, -0.1559, -0.1942, -0.2013, -0.2113, -0.1893, -0.1896, -0.1737, -0.176, -0.1854, -0.1618, -0.1433, -0.1303, -0.129, -0.1264, -0.1446, -0.1183, -0.1144, -0.1131, -0.1348, -0.131, -0.1459, -0.1459, -0.1708, -0.1676, -0.1498, -0.1741, -0.1621, -0.1592, -0.1533, -0.116, -0.0917, -0.0901, -0.0937, -0.117, -0.0895, -0.0791, -0.093, -0.0476, -0.058, -0.0515, -0.0645, -0.0791, -0.0736, -0.06, -0.0525, -0.0483, -0.0622, -0.0921, -0.0969, -0.0801, -0.0665, -0.0749, -0.0694, -0.0629, -0.0635, -0.0068, 0.0, 0.0288, -0.0045, -0.0052, -0.0071, -0.0039, 0.0175, -0.0013, -0.0337, -0.0425, -0.0395, -0.0357, -0.0784, -0.0564, -0.0768, -0.0934, -0.0901, -0.105, -0.0985, -0.1063, -0.0801, -0.0762, -0.0891, -0.0911, -0.0771, -0.1044, -0.0989, -0.1102, -0.1102, -0.095, -0.0992, -0.0833, -0.0752, -0.0742, -0.0843, -0.0606, -0.0603, -0.0587, -0.0859, -0.1005, -0.0989, -0.0985, -0.1297, -0.1404, -0.1274, -0.1251, -0.1241, -0.1241, -0.1203, -0.1326, -0.1433, -0.1465, -0.1465, -0.1271, -0.1254, -0.117, -0.1141, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.105, -0.1261, -0.1183, -0.0937, -0.0911, -0.105, -0.105, -0.0911, -0.0908, -0.0998, -0.0953, -0.1099, -0.1044, -0.0924, -0.069, -0.0759, -0.0707, -0.0528, -0.0486, -0.0476, -0.059, -0.0535, -0.06, -0.0489, -0.0451, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0305, -0.0337, -0.0292, -0.0408, -0.0457, -0.0655, -0.0619, -0.0794, -0.0823, -0.0681, -0.06, -0.035, -0.0376, -0.0408, -0.0564, -0.0288, -0.0204, -0.0036, -0.0045, -0.0013, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0113, -0.0269, -0.0288, -0.0088, -0.0104, 0.0152, 0.0049, 0.0045, -0.0071, -0.0029, -0.0635, -0.1222, -0.1203, -0.1203, -0.0904, -0.0833, -0.0538, -0.0476, -0.0467]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1839334216611303780", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-26T16:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great for my bearish oil call!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil: Saudi Arabia raising output from December drives prices lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ha!\nOil price falls as Kingdom prepares to raise output from December.\n\nAfter the elections... but front-running now. \nGreat for my bearish oil call!\n\nSo until then, we have strong labor prints & the longshoreman strike for higher wages for 45K people & Maersk shipping surcharges & Helene... for an inflationary impulse that started with CTA positioning on Fed day spiking the 10Y from 3.6% to 3.8% (as expected/warned) on way to 3.9% with overshoot to 4.1% potential by YE. \n\nBefore it all unwinds again.\nAnd market will go back to pricing in deflation. 😉\n\nIt's a dance.💃\n\nhttps://t.co/ccKBN9oupj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035791930796164495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035791930796164495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03974096503890512, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03974096503890512, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018258143281152606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018258143281152606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019708433535114978, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019708433535114978, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": 0.09737720638578429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09737720638578429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1052051820439821, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1052051820439821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": 0.07564122676591833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07564122676591833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06386432570477396, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06386432570477396, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": 0.0672366214463922, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0672366214463922, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013027656007815747, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013027656007815747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": 0.06926530403318676, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06926530403318676, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07751187753879463, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07751187753879463, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.07564122676591833, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07564122676591833, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.08999835504547193, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.08999835504547193, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07564122676591833, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06386432570477396, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06386432570477396, "price_path": [0.1816, 0.1753, 0.1777, 0.1777, 0.1782, 0.1653, 0.1559, 0.1662, 0.1729, 0.1629, 0.161, 0.1456, 0.1682, 0.1578, 0.1303, 0.1248, 0.1103, 0.113, 0.1224, 0.1029, 0.0896, 0.079, 0.1265, 0.1055, 0.0635, 0.061, 0.0498, 0.0823, 0.092, 0.1045, 0.1394, 0.1251, 0.1098, 0.1217, 0.1059, 0.0778, 0.0698, 0.052, 0.0662, 0.0948, 0.1278, 0.1084, 0.0938, 0.1124, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0301, 0.0087, 0.0128, -0.0012, 0.0038, -0.0297, -0.0168, 0.0128, 0.012, 0.0271, 0.0393, 0.0239, 0.0542, 0.0567, 0.0469, 0.062, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0183, 0.0132, 0.0449, 0.0543, 0.0974, 0.1064, 0.1477, 0.0982, 0.0904, 0.1269, 0.1229, 0.1003, 0.0543, 0.0491, 0.0523, 0.0343, 0.0471, 0.072, 0.0658, 0.0587, 0.0756, 0.0206, 0.0094, 0.0341, 0.059, 0.0436, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0801, 0.0819, 0.0597, 0.028, 0.0243, 0.0249, 0.033, 0.0107, 0.0443, 0.0478, 0.0436, 0.0607, 0.0759, 0.0448, 0.0377, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0377, 0.0294, 0.0584, 0.0416, 0.0356, 0.0178, 0.0313, 0.0346, 0.0626, 0.0609, 0.0754, 0.068, 0.0622, 0.0569, 0.0522, 0.0593, 0.0587, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0597, 0.0701, 0.0842, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.1148, 0.1291, 0.1201, 0.1327, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.1685, 0.1916, 0.1835, 0.2221, 0.2019, 0.1958, 0.1958, 0.1753, 0.1655, 0.1478, 0.1535, 0.1293, 0.1427, 0.1271, 0.1266, 0.1306, 0.1277, 0.1232, 0.1026, 0.0933, 0.0993, 0.1216, 0.1342, 0.1059, 0.1069, 0.0987, 0.0987, 0.1152, 0.1223, 0.1268, 0.0919, 0.1009, 0.0742, 0.0701, 0.0909, 0.09, 0.0625, 0.0623, 0.0349, 0.0307, 0.0446, 0.0272, 0.0354, 0.0549, 0.0378, 0.0474, 0.0536, 0.0464, 0.0494, 0.0684, 0.0693]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1850621801337929786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-27T19:33:14+00:00", "symbol": "MAG7", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "\"One More High\" still in play. As BIG TECH reports dead ahead. #MAG7", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects one more high in Mag7 big tech stocks into upcoming earnings reports.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL", "AMZN", "NVDA", "META", "TSLA"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Magnificent 7 mega-cap US tech basket", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“One More High” still in play.\n\nAs BIG TECH reports dead ahead. #MAG7 \n\n https://t.co/xPOE0tVaDr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0010962581854639941, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0010962581854639941, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0041782681333886185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007439831390769425, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0030820099479246243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0063435732053054306, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00919782985286063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00919782985286063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007579342983655781, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00020819901373606356, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016184868692048493, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009406028866596694, "ret_p1w": -0.024847524594261507, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024847524594261507, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005874594570011018, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03206617008159082, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01897293002425049, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0072186454873293115, "ret_p1m": 0.05515591212916571, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05515591212916571, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021032349257460337, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013858586241021764, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03412356287170537, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06901449837018747, "ret_p3m": 0.1667797762774794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1667797762774794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11345582441984955, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07557670352585075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05332395185762984, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09120307275162864, "ret_p6m": -0.13885341727694017, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13885341727694017, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05240120977216717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13397209231845325, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.086452207504773, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004881324958486921, "ret_p1y": 0.3036062020816844, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3036062020816844, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.14447737097730956, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.026894346708425332, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1591288311043748, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27671185537325904, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05515591212916571, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021032349257460337, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013858586241021764, "price_path": [-0.0733, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.1538, -0.1443, -0.1535, -0.1299, -0.1223, -0.1198, -0.095, -0.0991, -0.0747, -0.0733, -0.0588, -0.0607, -0.0567, -0.0779, -0.0639, -0.074, -0.0772, -0.0878, -0.0923, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1075, -0.1086, -0.0958, -0.1285, -0.118, -0.1055, -0.0833, -0.0704, -0.0674, -0.0736, -0.0693, -0.0705, -0.0394, -0.0428, -0.0368, -0.0305, -0.0265, -0.0272, -0.0289, -0.0226, -0.0354, -0.0414, -0.0424, -0.0269, -0.045, -0.0289, -0.0287, -0.0289, -0.0369, -0.029, -0.0344, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0299, -0.0237, -0.0187, -0.0396, -0.0111, 0.0011, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0094, -0.0265, -0.016, -0.0248, -0.0082, 0.0317, 0.055, 0.0618, 0.071, 0.0671, 0.0677, 0.0548, 0.0341, 0.0459, 0.064, 0.0583, 0.0457, 0.0458, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.0602, 0.0799, 0.0875, 0.1045, 0.1116, 0.1303, 0.1276, 0.1386, 0.173, 0.1641, 0.1646, 0.1912, 0.1976, 0.1459, 0.1482, 0.148, 0.1648, 0.192, 0.192, 0.1843, 0.1586, 0.1421, 0.1247, 0.1247, 0.1146, 0.1455, 0.1666, 0.1362, 0.1344, 0.1344, 0.1218, 0.1185, 0.1069, 0.1501, 0.1273, 0.148, 0.148, 0.1515, 0.1649, 0.1668, 0.1617, 0.1294, 0.1587, 0.1473, 0.1495, 0.1518, 0.1301, 0.1498, 0.1314, 0.1385, 0.1152, 0.1188, 0.108, 0.1095, 0.1317, 0.1364, 0.1364, 0.1285, 0.132, 0.1252, 0.0958, 0.08, 0.0533, 0.0509, 0.0187, 0.0406, 0.0082, 0.0008, 0.0193, -0.0111, -0.0086, -0.0651, -0.0608, -0.0378, -0.0627, -0.036, -0.0477, -0.0723, -0.0561, -0.0568, -0.0423, -0.0062, 0.0071, -0.0238, -0.0283, -0.0626, -0.0666, -0.0508, -0.04, -0.1046, -0.1576, -0.1554, -0.1763, -0.0561, -0.1044, -0.0881, -0.0892, -0.0944, -0.13, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.1648, -0.1389]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857120650001031397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-14T17:57:21+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ONLY reason I am bullish into these higher $NVDA price targets is because the option flow is already there, and in size, and they will act as magnet to sell into. And then it's done IMO.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish NVDA and SMH: higher PT targets are a magnet to sell into, then the move is over; SMCI accounting issues add overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💯 - ONLY reason I am bullish into these higher $NVDA price targets is because the option flow is already there, and in size, and they will act as magnet to sell into. And then it's done IMO. $SMH $SMCI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Analysts at Raymond James and Susquehanna raised their price target on $NVDA to $170 and $180, respectively. \n\nMeanwhile, $SMCI, which is Nvidia's third biggest customer, is going to get delisted for accounting fraud and shine the spotlight on Nvidia's accounts receivable and https://t.co/UvtMhuSThJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003338832623819732, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003338832623819732, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00981054857545316, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011227876604018583, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006471715951633428, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022160449634178736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032570253409929806, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.032570253409929806, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01976161392948106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.000591128347039005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012808639480448747, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03316138175696881, "ret_p1w": -0.0006130339536670748, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0006130339536670748, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0011523086234622726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007767894096699646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005392746697951978, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00838092805036672, "ret_p1m": -0.08517808443707042, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08517808443707042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10348087986815324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09045662387555309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01830279543108282, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005278539438482666, "ret_p3m": -0.09505868808234708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09505868808234708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11864893675337151, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10633070210377327, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02359024867102444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011272014021426191, "ret_p6m": -0.2050368960634098, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2050368960634098, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16221678662959882, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10917971013511263, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04282010943381098, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09585718592829717, "ret_p1y": 0.4100527571584758, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4100527571584758, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24438720067467679, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07162452863773106, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.165665556483799, "bench_c_p1y": 0.48167728579620683, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08517808443707042, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10348087986815324, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09045662387555309, "price_path": [-0.1143, -0.133, -0.1245, -0.1569, -0.1186, -0.1384, -0.1259, -0.1442, -0.1988, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.2642, -0.2764, -0.2695, -0.2994, -0.2746, -0.2635, -0.2035, -0.1882, -0.1885, -0.2043, -0.2124, -0.2275, -0.1969, -0.2096, -0.2078, -0.1764, -0.1584, -0.1548, -0.1728, -0.1725, -0.2028, -0.1902, -0.1629, -0.1488, -0.1297, -0.0945, -0.0961, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0592, -0.1033, -0.0752, -0.067, -0.0597, -0.0208, -0.0216, -0.0491, -0.0433, -0.0356, -0.0425, -0.0375, -0.0506, -0.0954, -0.0774, -0.073, -0.0467, -0.0078, 0.0144, 0.0059, -0.0102, 0.0104, -0.0033, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.045, 0.0017, -0.0059, -0.0006, -0.0328, -0.0732, -0.067, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.058, -0.0554, -0.0443, -0.011, -0.0115, -0.0294, -0.0541, -0.0796, -0.0507, -0.0641, -0.0852, -0.1005, -0.1115, -0.1216, -0.1095, -0.0821, -0.0482, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0465, -0.0664, -0.0631, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0575, -0.0155, 0.0183, -0.045, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.0739, -0.0921, -0.1021, -0.0716, -0.0898, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.0403, 0.0022, 0.0032, -0.0281, -0.193, -0.121, -0.1571, -0.1506, -0.1818, -0.205, -0.1915, -0.1494, -0.1231, -0.1152, -0.0898, -0.0951, -0.1064, -0.0781, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0501, -0.0512, -0.0452, -0.084, -0.1122, -0.1371, -0.1054, -0.1813, -0.1488, -0.2228, -0.2096, -0.2007, -0.2465, -0.2321, -0.271, -0.2589, -0.2112, -0.2123, -0.1708, -0.1854, -0.2134, -0.1991, -0.1922, -0.1979, -0.1726, -0.1775, -0.2247, -0.2406, -0.2526, -0.2614, -0.2493, -0.2475, -0.3062, -0.3573, -0.3346, -0.3437, -0.2208, -0.2669, -0.244, -0.2455, -0.2354, -0.2879, -0.3084, -0.3084, -0.3396, -0.3261, -0.3, -0.2747, -0.2435, -0.259, -0.257, -0.2577, -0.2394, -0.2197, -0.2243, -0.2262, -0.2022, -0.2001, -0.205]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857120650001031397", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-14T17:57:21+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And then it's done IMO. $SMH $SMCI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish NVDA and SMH: higher PT targets are a magnet to sell into, then the move is over; SMCI accounting issues add overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💯 - ONLY reason I am bullish into these higher $NVDA price targets is because the option flow is already there, and in size, and they will act as magnet to sell into. And then it's done IMO. $SMH $SMCI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Analysts at Raymond James and Susquehanna raised their price target on $NVDA to $170 and $180, respectively. \n\nMeanwhile, $SMCI, which is Nvidia's third biggest customer, is going to get delisted for accounting fraud and shine the spotlight on Nvidia's accounts receivable and https://t.co/UvtMhuSThJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0022160449634178736, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0022160449634178736, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008687760915051301, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008687760915051301, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006471715951633428, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006471715951633428, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03316138175696881, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03316138175696881, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020352742276520064, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020352742276520064, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012808639480448747, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012808639480448747, "ret_p1w": -0.00838092805036672, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00838092805036672, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008920202720161918, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008920202720161918, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005392746697951978, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005392746697951978, "ret_p1m": 0.005278539438482666, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005278539438482666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013024255992600153, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013024255992600153, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01830279543108282, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01830279543108282, "ret_p3m": 0.011272014021426191, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.011272014021426191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012318234649598248, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012318234649598248, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02359024867102444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02359024867102444, "ret_p6m": -0.09585718592829717, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09585718592829717, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05303707649448619, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05303707649448619, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04282010943381098, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04282010943381098, "ret_p1y": 0.48167728579620683, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.48167728579620683, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.31601172931240784, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.31601172931240784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.165665556483799, "bench_c_p1y": 0.165665556483799, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005278539438482666, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013024255992600153, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013024255992600153, "price_path": [0.0127, -0.0005, 0.0099, -0.0232, 0.0008, -0.0226, -0.0128, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0926, -0.0948, -0.0964, -0.1337, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0596, -0.0575, -0.0454, -0.0579, -0.0583, -0.069, -0.0286, -0.0414, -0.0372, -0.0193, -0.0106, 0.0179, -0.0018, -0.011, -0.0375, -0.0236, -0.0146, -0.0015, 0.0002, 0.0175, 0.0281, 0.0261, 0.0343, 0.0528, -0.0041, -0.0035, 0.0137, 0.0134, 0.0188, 0.0141, 0.0033, 0.0076, 0.0193, 0.0122, 0.0352, 0.0101, -0.0262, -0.0138, -0.0158, 0.0005, 0.0267, 0.0517, 0.045, 0.0216, 0.0148, -0.0022, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0268, -0.0161, -0.0227, -0.0084, -0.0143, -0.0182, -0.0272, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0244, -0.0012, 0.001, 0.0179, 0.0005, 0.0017, -0.0085, -0.0334, -0.0098, -0.0194, 0.0053, 0.0204, 0.0072, -0.0249, -0.0375, -0.022, 0.0086, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0156, 0.0053, -0.0098, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.0093, 0.0194, 0.0532, 0.0281, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0004, -0.0099, -0.0067, 0.0167, 0.0211, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0619, 0.0813, 0.08, 0.0585, -0.0456, -0.0269, -0.0306, -0.0077, -0.014, -0.0336, -0.0227, 0.0002, 0.0051, -0.0084, 0.0103, 0.0113, 0.0058, 0.0196, 0.0222, 0.0222, 0.037, 0.0415, 0.0434, 0.0118, -0.0148, -0.0358, -0.0132, -0.074, -0.0579, -0.0974, -0.0885, -0.0716, -0.1105, -0.089, -0.1318, -0.133, -0.1075, -0.1114, -0.083, -0.0734, -0.0877, -0.0796, -0.0811, -0.0903, -0.0666, -0.0706, -0.1015, -0.1187, -0.1413, -0.1441, -0.14, -0.1335, -0.2085, -0.2683, -0.2517, -0.2717, -0.1467, -0.2059, -0.1853, -0.184, -0.1787, -0.2134, -0.2208, -0.2208, -0.2398, -0.2233, -0.195, -0.1543, -0.1421, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1449, -0.1408, -0.1135, -0.1193, -0.1275, -0.1095, -0.1017, -0.0959]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1869848757983990063", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-19T20:54:18+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "betting IWM + DIA were about to crater + pull down SPX + QQQ", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "No capitulation yet; warns against chasing markets higher into new year; downside target SPX 5775–5375 if negative gamma triggers below ~5850.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AUGUST 5TH VIBES, SORT OF\n\nSince I posted this chart of VX3M:VIX ratio, warning https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt clients M/T that I was expecting it to fall and pull down markets, I wanted to share some thoughts on how it differs from the August 5th low, even if it ultimately fell to the same place.\n\nDifferences between the DEC 18th VIX spike (75%) versus AUG 5th VIX spike (64%):\n\n🎩As @Alpha_Ex_LLC pointed out:\nRealized 1M Vol spiked from 6.7 to 12.4 - a doubling of RV in one day on the SPX -3% print.\n\n- VIX beta to SPX 12/8 was a larger % INCREASE (75% VS 64%) than 8/5.\n- VIX to SPX % move is typically 6x. Both of these were 20X.\n\nFew were positioned for a VIX spike that was the 2nd biggest 1-day % increase in history. There were tells, however, and this is what I saw prior & shared with clients:\n\n1. \"VIX UP, SPOT UP\" was a tell in both cases, as was VVIX trending higher before SPX sold off. I highlighted this specifically to clients Monday: \"Market is becoming more unstable: VXN +10% with QQQ +1.6%, VIX +4% with SPX +.5%\"\n\n2. Breadth Matters. For me the BIG difference was the size of the breadth destruction under the surface prior to yday's sell-off. I  monitor net selling under the surface so as to time when the air pocket underneath will present.\n\n- I posted Monday a detailed set of charts warning that the selling was not done and QQQ + SPX would catch down next:  \"INTERMARKET REVIEW WEEK ENDING DEC 13TH, 2024 - Melt-Up Into Instability\"\n\n- The net selling was much bigger in NYSE leading into 12/18 - and started Dec 2nd as warned - before the macro trigger of FOMC pricing out cuts (my baseline bet for Jan Pause) - which caused folks to chase protection.\n\n- Remember, in July/Aug 5, market was falling with yields, dollar and oil which triggered the yen carry trade unwind, forcing the de-risking in concentration bets, so that value got a bid (relatively) vs MAG7. This time, value was crushed going into 12/18 & why I warned clients Mon/Tues that markets \"crash from oversold not overbought\", betting IWM + DIA were about to crater + pull down SPX + QQQ.\n\n3. Deep Backwardation can be garden variety or covid-style, where selling needs to finish before it's safe to go long again. In both events, VX3M:VX tagged similar spots, but selling of SPY stocks was in full view over the prior month into the 8/5 capitulation low with the convexity of short covering on top of of 66% of puts sold on 8/5.\n\n- There is no sign of capitulation low yet from 12/18 even though VX3M:VIX tagged similar level to 8/5. Not saying we won't mini bounce, but the conviction of a sustainable bounce is not present yet.\n\n- One rule of thumb I use with clients, for which you are welcome to become, is <19.29 VIX>: Above is market bearish, below is market bullish. Keepin' it simple sometimes is best.\n\n4. Macro Matters and why I warned Dec 12th \"YIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER\" - and why I warned July 11th \"TIMING DEFLATION & QQQ TOP & ROTATION\"\n\n- USD + 10Y crashed LOWER with oil and USDJPY into/including 8/5.\n- USD + 10Y crashed HIGHER with USDJPY with oil flat into/including 12/18.\n\n5. Negative Gamma - should it kick in ~$5850 SPX, below that and you know the saying: \"Selling begets Selling\". If we get that trigger - on govt shutdown drama, dollar wrecking ball, spiking 10Y yields (with spiking term premia), widening HY spreads, etc - then there is no reason not to expect SPX 5775 down to 5375.\n\nFor now, we've had but a mere flesh wound, a -5% correction from very overbought. But... if this 10Y2Y yield curve continues like I expected/posted for clients BEFORE this sell-off as main reason for the sell-off, then you may want to consider waiting to chase markets higher in the new year.\n\nKeeping in mind, “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall” in 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ARE YOU PRAYING FOR AN AUGUST 5TH CONVEXITY SHORT-COVERING RALLY?🙏🤲 https://t.co/dlHFqq059W", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004457462240998078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004457462240998078, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004150215119938627, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004150215119938627, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00030724712105945073, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00030724712105945073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00936969853124836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00936969853124836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026413151780735333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026413151780735333, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012011013709321894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012011013709321894, "ret_p1w": 0.026471401597692568, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026471401597692568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0029841492769466793, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0029841492769466793, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029455550874639247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029455550874639247, "ret_p1m": 0.025470870499407106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025470870499407106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002452205263371976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002452205263371976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02301866523603513, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02301866523603513, "ret_p3m": -0.07365577727248895, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07365577727248895, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03408615280052674, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03408615280052674, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03956962447196222, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03956962447196222, "ret_p6m": -0.04776332636666192, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04776332636666192, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07286353505239251, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07286353505239251, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.025100208685730596, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025100208685730596, "ret_p1y": 0.15001976114108317, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15001976114108317, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.030565876740499487, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.030565876740499487, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18058563788158266, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18058563788158266, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025470870499407106, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002452205263371976, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002452205263371976, "price_path": [-0.0023, -0.0006, -0.0128, -0.0075, -0.0008, 0.0017, -0.0119, -0.0133, -0.0199, -0.0062, -0.014, -0.0133, -0.0111, -0.0166, 0.0034, 0.0108, 0.0116, 0.0282, 0.0254, 0.0233, 0.0072, 0.0034, -0.0058, -0.0036, -0.0074, 0.0088, 0.0056, 0.0042, -0.0125, -0.007, -0.0019, 0.0169, 0.0758, 0.072, 0.0798, 0.0961, 0.0769, 0.0662, 0.0518, 0.0361, 0.0382, 0.0459, 0.0472, 0.0632, 0.0828, 0.0993, 0.0912, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.0969, 0.0963, 0.0885, 0.0924, 0.0797, 0.0835, 0.0781, 0.0734, 0.0783, 0.0642, 0.0569, 0.0632, 0.051, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0071, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0265, 0.0115, 0.0037, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0058, 0.0208, 0.0212, 0.013, 0.0084, 0.0084, -0.0138, -0.0119, -0.0006, 0.019, 0.0211, 0.0255, 0.0255, 0.0452, 0.0383, 0.0431, 0.0402, 0.0302, 0.0313, 0.029, 0.0394, 0.0301, 0.0181, 0.0322, 0.0434, 0.04, 0.0279, 0.0326, 0.0266, 0.0171, 0.0286, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0334, 0.0299, 0.02, -0.0094, -0.0165, -0.0202, -0.019, -0.034, -0.0237, -0.0504, -0.0611, -0.0518, -0.0663, -0.0633, -0.0868, -0.0869, -0.0853, -0.099, -0.0772, -0.0655, -0.0737, -0.0593, -0.0652, -0.071, -0.0479, -0.0532, -0.0628, -0.0673, -0.0862, -0.0906, -0.0905, -0.0762, -0.1355, -0.174, -0.1815, -0.2031, -0.1353, -0.1717, -0.1596, -0.1497, -0.1486, -0.1568, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.167, -0.1454, -0.1327, -0.1154, -0.1151, -0.1114, -0.1061, -0.1117, -0.1062, -0.0861, -0.0931, -0.103, -0.1, -0.0829, -0.0846, -0.0524, -0.0489, -0.0574, -0.0512, -0.0434, -0.0474, -0.0469, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0532, -0.0632, -0.0604, -0.0652, -0.0623, -0.0471, -0.0498, -0.0494, -0.034, -0.0274, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.03, -0.0478]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869848757983990063", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-19T20:54:18+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "betting IWM + DIA were about to crater + pull down SPX + QQQ", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "No capitulation yet; warns against chasing markets higher into new year; downside target SPX 5775–5375 if negative gamma triggers below ~5850.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AUGUST 5TH VIBES, SORT OF\n\nSince I posted this chart of VX3M:VIX ratio, warning https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt clients M/T that I was expecting it to fall and pull down markets, I wanted to share some thoughts on how it differs from the August 5th low, even if it ultimately fell to the same place.\n\nDifferences between the DEC 18th VIX spike (75%) versus AUG 5th VIX spike (64%):\n\n🎩As @Alpha_Ex_LLC pointed out:\nRealized 1M Vol spiked from 6.7 to 12.4 - a doubling of RV in one day on the SPX -3% print.\n\n- VIX beta to SPX 12/8 was a larger % INCREASE (75% VS 64%) than 8/5.\n- VIX to SPX % move is typically 6x. Both of these were 20X.\n\nFew were positioned for a VIX spike that was the 2nd biggest 1-day % increase in history. There were tells, however, and this is what I saw prior & shared with clients:\n\n1. \"VIX UP, SPOT UP\" was a tell in both cases, as was VVIX trending higher before SPX sold off. I highlighted this specifically to clients Monday: \"Market is becoming more unstable: VXN +10% with QQQ +1.6%, VIX +4% with SPX +.5%\"\n\n2. Breadth Matters. For me the BIG difference was the size of the breadth destruction under the surface prior to yday's sell-off. I  monitor net selling under the surface so as to time when the air pocket underneath will present.\n\n- I posted Monday a detailed set of charts warning that the selling was not done and QQQ + SPX would catch down next:  \"INTERMARKET REVIEW WEEK ENDING DEC 13TH, 2024 - Melt-Up Into Instability\"\n\n- The net selling was much bigger in NYSE leading into 12/18 - and started Dec 2nd as warned - before the macro trigger of FOMC pricing out cuts (my baseline bet for Jan Pause) - which caused folks to chase protection.\n\n- Remember, in July/Aug 5, market was falling with yields, dollar and oil which triggered the yen carry trade unwind, forcing the de-risking in concentration bets, so that value got a bid (relatively) vs MAG7. This time, value was crushed going into 12/18 & why I warned clients Mon/Tues that markets \"crash from oversold not overbought\", betting IWM + DIA were about to crater + pull down SPX + QQQ.\n\n3. Deep Backwardation can be garden variety or covid-style, where selling needs to finish before it's safe to go long again. In both events, VX3M:VX tagged similar spots, but selling of SPY stocks was in full view over the prior month into the 8/5 capitulation low with the convexity of short covering on top of of 66% of puts sold on 8/5.\n\n- There is no sign of capitulation low yet from 12/18 even though VX3M:VIX tagged similar level to 8/5. Not saying we won't mini bounce, but the conviction of a sustainable bounce is not present yet.\n\n- One rule of thumb I use with clients, for which you are welcome to become, is <19.29 VIX>: Above is market bearish, below is market bullish. Keepin' it simple sometimes is best.\n\n4. Macro Matters and why I warned Dec 12th \"YIELDS ABOUT TO BREAK HIGHER\" - and why I warned July 11th \"TIMING DEFLATION & QQQ TOP & ROTATION\"\n\n- USD + 10Y crashed LOWER with oil and USDJPY into/including 8/5.\n- USD + 10Y crashed HIGHER with USDJPY with oil flat into/including 12/18.\n\n5. Negative Gamma - should it kick in ~$5850 SPX, below that and you know the saying: \"Selling begets Selling\". If we get that trigger - on govt shutdown drama, dollar wrecking ball, spiking 10Y yields (with spiking term premia), widening HY spreads, etc - then there is no reason not to expect SPX 5775 down to 5375.\n\nFor now, we've had but a mere flesh wound, a -5% correction from very overbought. But... if this 10Y2Y yield curve continues like I expected/posted for clients BEFORE this sell-off as main reason for the sell-off, then you may want to consider waiting to chase markets higher in the new year.\n\nKeeping in mind, “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall” in 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ARE YOU PRAYING FOR AN AUGUST 5TH CONVEXITY SHORT-COVERING RALLY?🙏🤲 https://t.co/dlHFqq059W", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007303704190021465, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0007303704190021465, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010376175400615972, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010376175400615972, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00030724712105945073, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00030724712105945073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012362299431216917, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012362299431216917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0003512857218950227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003512857218950227, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012011013709321894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012011013709321894, "ret_p1w": 0.023394352446327815, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023394352446327815, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006061198428311432, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006061198428311432, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029455550874639247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029455550874639247, "ret_p1m": 0.027346953980614597, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027346953980614597, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004328288744579467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004328288744579467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02301866523603513, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02301866523603513, "ret_p3m": -0.014171664711217447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014171664711217447, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02539795976074477, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02539795976074477, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03956962447196222, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03956962447196222, "ret_p6m": 0.0038644495647173205, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0038644495647173205, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021235759121013276, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.021235759121013276, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.025100208685730596, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025100208685730596, "ret_p1y": 0.14470370795215604, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14470370795215604, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.035881929929426626, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.035881929929426626, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18058563788158266, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18058563788158266, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027346953980614597, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004328288744579467, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004328288744579467, "price_path": [-0.009, -0.0066, -0.0137, -0.0078, -0.0047, -0.0043, -0.0081, -0.0071, -0.0117, -0.0036, -0.0125, -0.0097, 0.0003, -0.0006, 0.0089, 0.014, 0.0061, 0.0136, 0.0177, 0.0185, 0.0108, 0.0106, 0.0009, -0.0024, -0.0086, -0.0017, -0.0054, -0.0072, -0.0168, -0.0103, -0.0159, -0.0059, 0.0293, 0.0297, 0.0361, 0.0429, 0.0344, 0.0354, 0.0304, 0.0235, 0.0228, 0.0196, 0.023, 0.034, 0.0439, 0.0542, 0.0574, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.0602, 0.057, 0.055, 0.0622, 0.0569, 0.0533, 0.0484, 0.0451, 0.0424, 0.0371, 0.035, 0.0326, 0.026, -0.0007, 0.0, 0.0124, 0.0132, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.0234, 0.0158, 0.0058, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0012, 0.0091, 0.009, 0.0048, 0.0067, 0.0067, -0.0094, -0.0008, 0.0044, 0.0211, 0.0195, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0401, 0.0429, 0.0525, 0.0496, 0.0567, 0.0597, 0.0568, 0.0607, 0.0526, 0.0499, 0.0529, 0.0603, 0.0572, 0.0472, 0.0511, 0.0543, 0.0484, 0.057, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0538, 0.0556, 0.0455, 0.0275, 0.0284, 0.0322, 0.028, 0.0233, 0.0375, 0.0227, 0.0072, 0.0188, 0.008, 0.0136, -0.0072, -0.0184, -0.0203, -0.0325, -0.0169, -0.0078, -0.0142, -0.005, -0.0057, -0.005, 0.009, 0.0097, 0.006, 0.0029, -0.0144, -0.0043, -0.005, 0.0008, -0.0391, -0.0913, -0.0999, -0.1073, -0.0371, -0.0617, -0.047, -0.0386, -0.0427, -0.0591, -0.0715, -0.0715, -0.0946, -0.0703, -0.0607, -0.0487, -0.0486, -0.0456, -0.0387, -0.036, -0.0334, -0.0201, -0.0219, -0.0315, -0.0248, -0.0181, -0.0215, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0047, 0.0127, 0.0163, 0.0137, -0.0058, -0.0056, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.0063, 0.0006, 0.003, 0.004, 0.006, 0.0115, 0.0089, 0.0066, 0.0171, 0.017, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0221, 0.0039]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1847030499849412899", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-17T21:42:41+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's pretty much all bubbly because internals are strong, liquidity is still present, sellers have not stepped in. And option flow has been stupid bullish.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Melt-up warning: strong internals, present liquidity, absent sellers, and stupid-bullish option flow signal further upside for SPX and NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is part and parcel for my warning of a melt up.\n\nIt’s pretty much all bubbly because internals are strong, liquidity is still present, sellers have not stepped in. And option flow has been stupid bullish.\n$SPX $NVDA \n\nhttps://t.co/RKM41wmeVd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007753609441742082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007753609441742082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003921693759869838, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008031982853450303, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038319156818722444, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002783734117082215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04137683655968494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04137683655968494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.043019010029334726, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03608871977293071, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001642173469649788, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005288116786754227, "ret_p1w": 0.025652117048560852, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025652117048560852, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0351461854800561, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019886841093648133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00949406843149525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005765275954912719, "ret_p1m": 0.015579534519863492, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015579534519863492, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00948979014464335, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05522005505246996, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006089744375220141, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03964052053260647, "ret_p3m": -0.012685580140287867, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.012685580140287867, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030108154143846377, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01591982195264663, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01742257400355851, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0032342418123587624, "ret_p6m": -0.197624625146417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.197624625146417, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1257310548650259, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00277589028755576, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0718935702813911, "bench_c_p6m": -0.19484873485886123, "ret_p1y": 0.3412539442753204, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3412539442753204, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1827414772570406, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0047915303504295625, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585124670182798, "bench_c_p1y": 0.34604547462574997, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015579534519863492, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00948979014464335, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05522005505246996, "price_path": [-0.1117, -0.1722, -0.1864, -0.1808, -0.1914, -0.2484, -0.1521, -0.2087, -0.2227, -0.2722, -0.2446, -0.2833, -0.2394, -0.241, -0.2101, -0.1585, -0.1444, -0.1098, -0.0973, -0.0581, -0.078, -0.0689, -0.1034, -0.0626, -0.0837, -0.0704, -0.0899, -0.148, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.2175, -0.2304, -0.2232, -0.2549, -0.2285, -0.2167, -0.1529, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1538, -0.1624, -0.1785, -0.1459, -0.1594, -0.1575, -0.1241, -0.105, -0.1012, -0.1203, -0.12, -0.1522, -0.1388, -0.1098, -0.0948, -0.0745, -0.037, -0.0388, -0.0231, -0.0232, 0.0005, -0.0464, -0.0165, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.0414, 0.0405, 0.0113, 0.0175, 0.0257, 0.0183, 0.0236, 0.0097, -0.038, -0.0188, -0.0141, 0.0138, 0.0551, 0.0788, 0.0698, 0.0526, 0.0746, 0.0599, 0.0635, 0.0288, 0.0156, 0.0653, 0.0572, 0.0628, 0.0286, -0.0143, -0.0078, -0.0193, -0.0193, 0.0018, 0.0046, 0.0164, 0.0517, 0.0512, 0.0322, 0.0059, -0.0212, 0.0096, -0.0047, -0.0271, -0.0434, -0.0551, -0.0658, -0.053, -0.0238, 0.0122, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0141, -0.0071, -0.0036, -0.0268, -0.0268, 0.0023, 0.047, 0.0829, 0.0156, 0.0154, 0.0154, -0.0151, -0.0345, -0.0452, -0.0127, -0.032, -0.002, -0.002, 0.0206, 0.0658, 0.0669, 0.0335, -0.1418, -0.0652, -0.1036, -0.0967, -0.1299, -0.1546, -0.1402, -0.0954, -0.0675, -0.0591, -0.032, -0.0376, -0.0496, -0.0196, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0102, 0.009, 0.0154, -0.0258, -0.0559, -0.0823, -0.0486, -0.1293, -0.0947, -0.1734, -0.1594, -0.1499, -0.1987, -0.1833, -0.2247, -0.2118, -0.1612, -0.1623, -0.1182, -0.1337, -0.1634, -0.1483, -0.1409, -0.147, -0.1201, -0.1253, -0.1755, -0.1924, -0.2052, -0.2145, -0.2017, -0.1997, -0.2622, -0.3165, -0.2924, -0.3021, -0.1714, -0.2204, -0.196, -0.1976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1839384560372535481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-26T19:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued swing long in gold/silver/miners", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author is swing long silver, gold, and miners; endorses thesis that silver rallies ~100% in 12 months once China 2Y yield breaks below 1.6%.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China's Falling Yields and Skyrocketing Silver?\n\nThis is not my work, but that doesn't mean I can't admire it! \n\nJacek @lorek14728 presents a case for a potential big run in Silver I thought was worth posting - given we are also playing China bounce right now AND continued swing long in gold/silver/miners.\n\nHis main point is that once Chinese 2Y bond yield is below 1,6%, Silver has rallied 100% in the next 12 months.\n\nI will admit, I have never noticed this, but I do now!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006835296014182424, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006835296014182424, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028862617714418004, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028862617714418004, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013670526842150976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013670526842150976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012220236588188604, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012220236588188604, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": -0.0010253139579915471, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010253139579915471, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0068026617002062695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0068026617002062695, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": 0.046821562582643805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.046821562582643805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03504466152149943, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03504466152149943, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": -0.0765550155022594, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0765550155022594, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13076398094083586, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13076398094083586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": 0.025974033593193724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025974033593193724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03422060709880159, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03422060709880159, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.32467525694938826, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.32467525694938826, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.159035675137998, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.159035675137998, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.046821562582643805, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03504466152149943, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03504466152149943, "price_path": [-0.0824, -0.0783, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0267, -0.0386, -0.039, -0.0376, -0.0198, -0.039, -0.042, -0.0222, -0.0543, -0.0704, -0.0878, -0.0899, -0.0882, -0.0967, -0.1316, -0.1292, -0.1306, -0.1172, -0.0981, -0.1104, -0.11, -0.1504, -0.1579, -0.1685, -0.1452, -0.1456, -0.1288, -0.1312, -0.1411, -0.1162, -0.0967, -0.083, -0.0817, -0.0789, -0.0981, -0.0704, -0.0663, -0.0649, -0.0878, -0.0837, -0.0995, -0.0995, -0.1258, -0.1224, -0.1036, -0.1292, -0.1165, -0.1135, -0.1073, -0.068, -0.0424, -0.0407, -0.0444, -0.069, -0.04, -0.029, -0.0437, 0.0041, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.029, -0.0232, -0.0089, -0.001, 0.0034, -0.0113, -0.0427, -0.0478, -0.0301, -0.0157, -0.0246, -0.0188, -0.012, -0.0126, 0.0472, 0.0543, 0.0848, 0.0496, 0.0489, 0.0468, 0.0502, 0.0728, 0.053, 0.0188, 0.0096, 0.0126, 0.0167, -0.0284, -0.0051, -0.0267, -0.0441, -0.0407, -0.0564, -0.0496, -0.0578, -0.0301, -0.026, -0.0396, -0.0417, -0.027, -0.0557, -0.0499, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0458, -0.0502, -0.0335, -0.0249, -0.0239, -0.0345, -0.0096, -0.0092, -0.0075, -0.0362, -0.0516, -0.0499, -0.0496, -0.0824, -0.0936, -0.08, -0.0776, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0725, -0.0854, -0.0967, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.0796, -0.0779, -0.069, -0.066, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0564, -0.0786, -0.0704, -0.0444, -0.0417, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0417, -0.0414, -0.0509, -0.0461, -0.0615, -0.0557, -0.0431, -0.0185, -0.0256, -0.0202, -0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0041, -0.0079, -0.0021, -0.0089, 0.0027, 0.0068, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0188, 0.0236, 0.0113, 0.0062, -0.0147, -0.0109, -0.0294, -0.0325, -0.0174, -0.0089, 0.0174, 0.0147, 0.0113, -0.0051, 0.0239, 0.0328, 0.0506, 0.0496, 0.053, 0.0543, 0.0509, 0.0424, 0.026]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1839384560372535481", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-26T19:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued swing long in gold/silver/miners", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author is swing long silver, gold, and miners; endorses thesis that silver rallies ~100% in 12 months once China 2Y yield breaks below 1.6%.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China's Falling Yields and Skyrocketing Silver?\n\nThis is not my work, but that doesn't mean I can't admire it! \n\nJacek @lorek14728 presents a case for a potential big run in Silver I thought was worth posting - given we are also playing China bounce right now AND continued swing long in gold/silver/miners.\n\nHis main point is that once Chinese 2Y bond yield is below 1,6%, Silver has rallied 100% in the next 12 months.\n\nI will admit, I have never noticed this, but I do now!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005061138641280771, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005061138641280771, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001112104398540148, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001112104398540148, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007935830791900744, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007935830791900744, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006485540537938372, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006485540537938372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": -0.006032837720260975, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006032837720260975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0017951379379368415, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0017951379379368415, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": 0.025670142142498964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025670142142498964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01389324108135459, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01389324108135459, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": -0.02243093927430606, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02243093927430606, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07663990471288251, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07663990471288251, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": 0.127581160628073, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.127581160628073, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13582773413368088, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13582773413368088, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.372216412360719, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.372216412360719, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.20657683054932874, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20657683054932874, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025670142142498964, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01389324108135459, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01389324108135459, "price_path": [-0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1174, -0.1174, -0.1055, -0.1166, -0.1151, -0.1118, -0.0961, -0.0966, -0.0937, -0.0757, -0.08, -0.0858, -0.1022, -0.102, -0.0988, -0.102, -0.116, -0.1067, -0.1079, -0.099, -0.0827, -0.0859, -0.0876, -0.0992, -0.1064, -0.107, -0.093, -0.0908, -0.0752, -0.0766, -0.0841, -0.0813, -0.0607, -0.0622, -0.0588, -0.06, -0.0713, -0.0606, -0.0576, -0.055, -0.0617, -0.0568, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0676, -0.067, -0.0592, -0.0662, -0.0623, -0.0581, -0.0596, -0.0431, -0.0336, -0.0337, -0.039, -0.0464, -0.0316, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0037, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0055, -0.0053, -0.006, -0.008, -0.0114, -0.0187, -0.024, -0.0168, -0.0061, -0.0077, -0.0043, 0.0007, 0.0067, 0.0174, 0.0172, 0.0281, 0.0158, 0.0236, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0369, 0.0426, 0.0264, 0.0222, 0.0237, 0.026, -0.0052, 0.0108, 0.004, -0.0196, -0.0281, -0.0379, -0.0404, -0.0421, -0.0238, -0.0151, -0.0096, -0.0013, 0.0116, -0.0182, -0.0163, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0056, -0.0143, -0.0123, -0.0094, -0.0167, -0.0163, -0.0066, 0.0065, 0.0161, 0.0012, -0.0109, -0.0085, -0.0123, -0.0313, -0.0299, -0.0198, -0.0244, -0.0224, -0.0224, -0.0158, -0.0226, -0.0257, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0063, -0.0141, -0.0153, -0.0098, -0.0045, -0.0045, 0.005, -0.005, 0.0002, 0.0077, 0.0147, 0.0093, 0.0093, 0.0249, 0.0302, 0.0287, 0.0351, 0.0243, 0.0332, 0.0292, 0.0448, 0.0469, 0.0525, 0.0628, 0.0694, 0.0666, 0.0685, 0.0866, 0.0826, 0.0838, 0.0945, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.096, 0.0966, 0.0972, 0.0962, 0.1022, 0.0876, 0.0893, 0.0727, 0.066, 0.08, 0.0894, 0.0917, 0.0861, 0.0867, 0.0772, 0.0898, 0.0945, 0.114, 0.1144, 0.1205, 0.1335, 0.1382, 0.1367, 0.1276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1839384560372535481", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-09-26T19:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued swing long in gold/silver/miners", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author is swing long silver, gold, and miners; endorses thesis that silver rallies ~100% in 12 months once China 2Y yield breaks below 1.6%.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "PICK"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX gold miners; PICK metals & mining ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China's Falling Yields and Skyrocketing Silver?\n\nThis is not my work, but that doesn't mean I can't admire it! \n\nJacek @lorek14728 presents a case for a potential big run in Silver I thought was worth posting - given we are also playing China bounce right now AND continued swing long in gold/silver/miners.\n\nHis main point is that once Chinese 2Y bond yield is below 1,6%, Silver has rallied 100% in the next 12 months.\n\nI will admit, I have never noticed this, but I do now!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024926102129426142, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024926102129426142, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02097706788668552, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02097706788668552, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01363244719227491, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01363244719227491, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012182156938312538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012182156938312538, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": -0.02995622207917875, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02995622207917875, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022128246420980935, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022128246420980935, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": -0.030147497885942953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030147497885942953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04192439894708733, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04192439894708733, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": -0.16455903240281206, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16455903240281206, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2187679978413885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2187679978413885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": -0.019948381284600303, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.019948381284600303, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.011701807778992435, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.011701807778992435, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.3727183157278272, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3727183157278272, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.20707873391643694, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20707873391643694, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.030147497885942953, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04192439894708733, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04192439894708733, "price_path": [-0.1185, -0.1165, -0.088, -0.088, -0.0756, -0.0839, -0.085, -0.0711, -0.0557, -0.0495, -0.0555, -0.0435, -0.0603, -0.0793, -0.0889, -0.0874, -0.0926, -0.1017, -0.1104, -0.0995, -0.1029, -0.1039, -0.0789, -0.1029, -0.1188, -0.1463, -0.141, -0.1546, -0.1368, -0.1313, -0.1196, -0.1116, -0.1209, -0.1112, -0.0933, -0.0792, -0.079, -0.0672, -0.0863, -0.0709, -0.0699, -0.0686, -0.0887, -0.0804, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.1209, -0.1268, -0.1217, -0.1426, -0.135, -0.1328, -0.1233, -0.0935, -0.0758, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.0846, -0.0616, -0.0579, -0.0565, -0.0216, -0.0249, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0214, -0.0108, -0.0091, -0.03, -0.0242, -0.0315, -0.0495, -0.0544, -0.0375, -0.031, -0.0313, -0.0339, -0.0266, -0.0251, -0.0013, -0.0055, 0.0053, -0.0112, -0.0228, -0.0301, -0.0251, -0.0184, -0.0298, -0.0507, -0.0514, -0.0496, -0.0405, -0.0556, -0.0298, -0.0568, -0.0939, -0.1134, -0.127, -0.1258, -0.1294, -0.1019, -0.0912, -0.092, -0.087, -0.0852, -0.0974, -0.1024, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.0879, -0.0989, -0.0851, -0.0914, -0.0931, -0.108, -0.0834, -0.0848, -0.0727, -0.0996, -0.1198, -0.128, -0.1341, -0.1707, -0.1748, -0.1672, -0.1653, -0.1646, -0.1646, -0.1624, -0.1684, -0.179, -0.1758, -0.1758, -0.1566, -0.1612, -0.1627, -0.1604, -0.1492, -0.1492, -0.1515, -0.1558, -0.1406, -0.131, -0.1326, -0.1258, -0.1258, -0.1105, -0.1191, -0.1187, -0.1108, -0.1242, -0.1255, -0.1211, -0.0967, -0.1088, -0.1046, -0.0896, -0.0747, -0.068, -0.0706, -0.0525, -0.0664, -0.0564, -0.0413, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0511, -0.0594, -0.0427, -0.0702, -0.0708, -0.0801, -0.0738, -0.0965, -0.0946, -0.0968, -0.0911, -0.0544, -0.0594, -0.0536, -0.0817, -0.0587, -0.0604, -0.0432, -0.0257, -0.0106, -0.005, 0.0013, -0.0044, -0.0199]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1876486905056866399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-07T04:31:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA managing to stay above weekly ATH of 152.89 Nov high will indeed bring my $160-170 by earnings Feb 19th. (My exact PT is 171.70 in Q1)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NVDA to $160-170 by Feb 19 earnings (PT 171.70 Q1); SMH swing long target 272.46 once above 264.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/6/25\n\nNVDA: I posted my new MAR financed call spread trade Dec 20th: \n\"I don't understand techie as much as I understand NVDA getting supported at 129.80 100D and moving back into critical 55D 136 during a market swoon where SPX dropped 5%. Once it can get/stay above 136 this can move higher above daily trendline resistance at 140 ... and bring SMH + QQQ with it.\"\n\nToday I posted stacked above it in #swing-ideas:\n\"NVDA - An UPdate. Too much too soon? Or too much of a good thing? Either way, that MARCH financed call spread is up a decent 5600% or $5.60/contract.\n\nSo what's next? Well, NVDA managing to stay above weekly ATH of 152.89 Nov high will indeed bring my $160-170 by earnings Feb 19th. (My exact PT is 171.70 in Q1, but we know trading is not a game of perfect.)\"\n\nReason for the season?\nFalling DXY on Trudeau announcing a rumored exit Sunday night. Plus CES event all week with Jensen as keynote speaker - as discussed Friday morning - plus expected Q4 semi sales of strength. All together, semis ignited higher and dragged SMH sector and QQQ with it. \n\nSMH gapped $10 higher - $10 from swing long PT of 272.46 and $10 above its Friday close. Gravity more likely to take hold before it can get/stay > key monthly resistance at 262.26. Once above 264, the next open air PT is 272.46. Add time. \n\nQQQ - opened up ~1% but I said in live trading room, \"above 594 is bullish\" (before it ran to 527.92), \"below is not\" (where it is just toying right now.\n\nWith net buying under the surface and option flow on aggregate bullish, very tough to short, AND YET, as I warned in my #samanthas-market-thoughts premarket, the MARKET IS REPAIRING under the surface and cumulative flows are still bearish! Don't be complacent/Expect chop at a minimum.\n\nLet’s review Swing Trades, Stocks of Interest, and Macro Trades…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/6/25\n\nNVDA - An UPdate. Too much too soon? Or too much of a good thing? Either way, that MARCH financed call spread is up a decent 5600% or $5.60/contract.\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/XqMBOGxslD", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0662908027659943, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0662908027659943, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.054857516132713835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04192446838788144, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01143328663328047, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024366334378112864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00021405552009168272, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00021405552009168272, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016749614167431703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006910794627111527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014609058966514876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00712485014720321, "ret_p1w": -0.05979738549120128, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05979738549120128, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04885662199807106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025944526311588167, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010940763493130223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.033852859179613115, "ret_p1m": -0.10924786364303518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10924786364303518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1357328472769237, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08208682770192222, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026484983633888515, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027161035941112965, "ret_p3m": -0.326968171263608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.326968171263608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18795040372862404, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03866714604363164, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.13901776753498396, "bench_c_p3m": -0.28830102521997636, "ret_p6m": 0.12227335467854705, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12227335467854705, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.061919337060772905, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0151642361754043, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06035401761777415, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10710911850314275, "ret_p1y": 0.3462366029923283, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3462366029923283, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1596046091110055, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09173845304299255, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1866319938813228, "bench_c_p1y": 0.43797505603532083, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10924786364303518, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1357328472769237, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08208682770192222, "price_path": [-0.0381, -0.0382, -0.0148, -0.061, -0.0316, -0.023, -0.0153, 0.0254, 0.0245, -0.0042, 0.0019, 0.0099, 0.0026, 0.0079, -0.0058, -0.0527, -0.0339, -0.0293, -0.0017, 0.039, 0.0623, 0.0534, 0.0365, 0.0581, 0.0437, 0.0472, 0.0131, 0.0, 0.049, 0.041, 0.0465, 0.0128, -0.0295, -0.023, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0136, -0.0108, 0.0008, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0164, -0.0095, -0.0362, -0.0059, -0.02, -0.042, -0.0581, -0.0696, -0.0801, -0.0675, -0.0388, -0.0034, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0015, -0.0223, -0.0189, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0131, 0.0309, 0.0663, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.0002, -0.0302, -0.0493, -0.0598, -0.0278, -0.0469, -0.0173, -0.0173, 0.0049, 0.0495, 0.0505, 0.0177, -0.155, -0.0796, -0.1173, -0.1105, -0.1432, -0.1675, -0.1533, -0.1092, -0.0818, -0.0735, -0.0469, -0.0524, -0.0642, -0.0346, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0053, -0.0065, -0.0002, -0.0407, -0.0704, -0.0964, -0.0632, -0.1426, -0.1086, -0.1861, -0.1723, -0.163, -0.211, -0.1959, -0.2366, -0.2239, -0.174, -0.1752, -0.1317, -0.147, -0.1762, -0.1613, -0.1541, -0.16, -0.1336, -0.1387, -0.1882, -0.2048, -0.2174, -0.2266, -0.2139, -0.212, -0.2735, -0.327, -0.3032, -0.3128, -0.1841, -0.2323, -0.2084, -0.2099, -0.1993, -0.2543, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.3084, -0.2943, -0.267, -0.2405, -0.2078, -0.2241, -0.222, -0.2227, -0.2035, -0.1829, -0.1877, -0.1897, -0.1646, -0.1624, -0.1675, -0.1222, -0.0728, -0.0342, -0.0378, -0.0337, -0.0325, -0.041, -0.0594, -0.0521, -0.0631, -0.0631, -0.033, -0.0379, -0.0067, -0.0357, -0.0196, 0.0078, 0.0128, -0.001, 0.0114, 0.0179, 0.0274, 0.0194, 0.0348, 0.0132, 0.0326, 0.0286, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0266, 0.0289, 0.0555, 0.1013, 0.1064, 0.1258, 0.1276, 0.0941, 0.1223]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1876486905056866399", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-07T04:31:56+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SMH gapped $10 higher - $10 from swing long PT of 272.46 ... Once above 264, the next open air PT is 272.46", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NVDA to $160-170 by Feb 19 earnings (PT 171.70 Q1); SMH swing long target 272.46 once above 264.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/6/25\n\nNVDA: I posted my new MAR financed call spread trade Dec 20th: \n\"I don't understand techie as much as I understand NVDA getting supported at 129.80 100D and moving back into critical 55D 136 during a market swoon where SPX dropped 5%. Once it can get/stay above 136 this can move higher above daily trendline resistance at 140 ... and bring SMH + QQQ with it.\"\n\nToday I posted stacked above it in #swing-ideas:\n\"NVDA - An UPdate. Too much too soon? Or too much of a good thing? Either way, that MARCH financed call spread is up a decent 5600% or $5.60/contract.\n\nSo what's next? Well, NVDA managing to stay above weekly ATH of 152.89 Nov high will indeed bring my $160-170 by earnings Feb 19th. (My exact PT is 171.70 in Q1, but we know trading is not a game of perfect.)\"\n\nReason for the season?\nFalling DXY on Trudeau announcing a rumored exit Sunday night. Plus CES event all week with Jensen as keynote speaker - as discussed Friday morning - plus expected Q4 semi sales of strength. All together, semis ignited higher and dragged SMH sector and QQQ with it. \n\nSMH gapped $10 higher - $10 from swing long PT of 272.46 and $10 above its Friday close. Gravity more likely to take hold before it can get/stay > key monthly resistance at 262.26. Once above 264, the next open air PT is 272.46. Add time. \n\nQQQ - opened up ~1% but I said in live trading room, \"above 594 is bullish\" (before it ran to 527.92), \"below is not\" (where it is just toying right now.\n\nWith net buying under the surface and option flow on aggregate bullish, very tough to short, AND YET, as I warned in my #samanthas-market-thoughts premarket, the MARKET IS REPAIRING under the surface and cumulative flows are still bearish! Don't be complacent/Expect chop at a minimum.\n\nLet’s review Swing Trades, Stocks of Interest, and Macro Trades…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/6/25\n\nNVDA - An UPdate. Too much too soon? Or too much of a good thing? Either way, that MARCH financed call spread is up a decent 5600% or $5.60/contract.\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/XqMBOGxslD", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024366334378112864, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024366334378112864, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012933047744832393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012933047744832393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01143328663328047, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01143328663328047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00712485014720321, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00712485014720321, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008585756043854698, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008585756043854698, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014609058966514876, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014609058966514876, "ret_p1w": -0.033852859179613115, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033852859179613115, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022912095686482892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022912095686482892, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010940763493130223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010940763493130223, "ret_p1m": -0.027161035941112965, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027161035941112965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05364601957500148, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05364601957500148, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026484983633888515, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026484983633888515, "ret_p3m": -0.28830102521997636, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28830102521997636, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1492832576849924, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1492832576849924, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.13901776753498396, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13901776753498396, "ret_p6m": 0.10710911850314275, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10710911850314275, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.046755100885368606, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.046755100885368606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06035401761777415, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06035401761777415, "ret_p1y": 0.43797505603532083, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43797505603532083, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.25134306215399804, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.25134306215399804, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1866319938813228, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1866319938813228, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027161035941112965, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05364601957500148, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05364601957500148, "price_path": [-0.002, 0.006, 0.024, -0.0314, -0.0307, -0.0141, -0.0143, -0.0091, -0.0136, -0.0241, -0.02, -0.0086, -0.0155, 0.0069, -0.0176, -0.0529, -0.0408, -0.0427, -0.0269, -0.0014, 0.0229, 0.0164, -0.0064, -0.013, -0.0295, -0.0274, -0.0596, -0.0534, -0.0431, -0.0495, -0.0355, -0.0413, -0.0451, -0.0539, -0.0663, -0.0663, -0.0511, -0.0286, -0.0264, -0.0099, -0.0269, -0.0257, -0.0356, -0.0599, -0.0369, -0.0462, -0.0222, -0.0075, -0.0204, -0.0516, -0.0639, -0.0488, -0.019, -0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0122, -0.0222, -0.0369, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0364, -0.0085, 0.0244, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.027, -0.037, -0.0339, -0.0111, -0.0069, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0329, 0.0517, 0.0504, 0.0295, -0.0718, -0.0535, -0.0571, -0.0349, -0.041, -0.0601, -0.0495, -0.0272, -0.0224, -0.0356, -0.0174, -0.0164, -0.0218, -0.0083, -0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0086, 0.013, 0.0148, -0.0159, -0.0418, -0.0622, -0.0402, -0.0994, -0.0837, -0.1221, -0.1134, -0.097, -0.1349, -0.114, -0.1555, -0.1567, -0.1319, -0.1358, -0.1081, -0.0987, -0.1127, -0.1048, -0.1062, -0.1152, -0.0922, -0.096, -0.1261, -0.1429, -0.1648, -0.1676, -0.1636, -0.1573, -0.2302, -0.2883, -0.2722, -0.2916, -0.1701, -0.2276, -0.2076, -0.2064, -0.2012, -0.235, -0.2421, -0.2421, -0.2606, -0.2446, -0.217, -0.1774, -0.1656, -0.1708, -0.1722, -0.1683, -0.1643, -0.1378, -0.1434, -0.1514, -0.1339, -0.1263, -0.1206, -0.0655, -0.0334, -0.0238, -0.0272, -0.03, -0.0316, -0.0335, -0.0495, -0.0521, -0.0653, -0.0653, -0.0357, -0.046, -0.0392, -0.0563, -0.0423, -0.0207, -0.009, -0.0108, -0.0052, 0.0115, 0.0316, 0.0309, 0.0359, 0.0116, 0.0368, 0.0297, 0.0337, 0.0337, 0.0245, 0.031, 0.0689, 0.0833, 0.0912, 0.096, 0.0978, 0.0858, 0.1071]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849274529945616586", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T02:19:40+00:00", "symbol": "TMUS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They are eating their competitor's lunch for starters! And they serve a PREPAID client base (read: poor and growing demographic). $TMUS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TMUS on competitor share gains and expanding prepaid/lower-income demographic.", "resolved_tickers": ["TMUS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Telecom Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Telecom Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nope_its_lily They are eating their competitor’s lunch for starters! And they serve a PREPAID client base (read: poor and growing demographic). $TMUS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Key Highlights:\n\n📈 Strong Postpaid Growth:\n\nT-Mobile delivered the best Q3 postpaid phone net additions in a decade, driven by record low churn and continued growth in gross adds. Postpaid customer additions are expected to reach 5.6 https://t.co/vtnhdtMLCT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0539904427775213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0539904427775213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051832415335903215, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.050569517717833135, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034209250596881624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030827299887875914, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030827299887875914, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03048178752142594, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03336541663661807, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025381167487421585, "ret_p1w": -0.044528277211521305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044528277211521305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026228488400981798, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06019821044035767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015669933228836364, "ret_p1m": 0.02020877673324306, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02020877673324306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007879776376459535, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048870887888736725, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06907966462197979, "ret_p3m": -0.05685277931141797, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05685277931141797, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10146215731065733, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14409026811775139, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08723748880633342, "ret_p6m": 0.12974770765175858, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12974770765175858, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21515184797171827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12873042106509658, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0010172865866620029, "ret_p1y": -0.022672385509397763, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.022672385509397763, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.18126105620944366, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.29338281135555677, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.270710425846159, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02020877673324306, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.007879776376459535, "alpha_c_stated": -0.048870887888736725, "price_path": [-0.2452, -0.2516, -0.2221, -0.2017, -0.1944, -0.2025, -0.1897, -0.1866, -0.1737, -0.1712, -0.168, -0.1664, -0.1615, -0.1694, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.1626, -0.1658, -0.1617, -0.1525, -0.1446, -0.1293, -0.1405, -0.1461, -0.1492, -0.1492, -0.1414, -0.1488, -0.1558, -0.1737, -0.1638, -0.1587, -0.1499, -0.1334, -0.1316, -0.1186, -0.1321, -0.1579, -0.1452, -0.1461, -0.1332, -0.1375, -0.1295, -0.1298, -0.1215, -0.1165, -0.1176, -0.1091, -0.1093, -0.1082, -0.108, -0.0959, -0.0919, -0.0947, -0.0879, -0.0756, -0.0708, -0.0591, -0.0497, -0.0443, -0.0462, -0.0623, -0.054, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.0246, -0.0322, -0.0462, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0059, -0.0089, 0.0075, 0.0204, 0.0233, 0.0313, 0.0179, 0.0088, 0.0149, -0.0015, 0.0082, 0.0129, 0.0202, 0.0273, 0.0486, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0611, 0.052, 0.0521, 0.0445, 0.0482, 0.0475, -0.0166, 0.0033, 0.007, 0.0024, -0.0034, -0.014, -0.0516, -0.0517, -0.0633, -0.0533, -0.0475, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0388, -0.0417, -0.0518, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0567, -0.0585, -0.0874, -0.0876, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.092, -0.0828, -0.0797, -0.0796, -0.0729, -0.0591, -0.0591, -0.0569, -0.0625, -0.0717, -0.0608, -0.0485, -0.0498, 0.0104, 0.0071, 0.0011, 0.0231, 0.0195, 0.0417, 0.0621, 0.0581, 0.0993, 0.1116, 0.0969, 0.139, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.131, 0.1316, 0.1404, 0.1394, 0.1522, 0.1625, 0.1326, 0.1351, 0.1627, 0.1763, 0.141, 0.1328, 0.1337, 0.1435, 0.1495, 0.1066, 0.102, 0.1171, 0.1036, 0.1217, 0.1241, 0.1177, 0.1081, 0.103, 0.1165, 0.1156, 0.1318, 0.1567, 0.1422, 0.1499, 0.1578, 0.1406, 0.155, 0.0697, 0.0635, 0.0619, 0.099, 0.1042, 0.1152, 0.1323, 0.1499, 0.1194, 0.1297, 0.1297]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833675106595295729", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-11T01:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding swing longs in XLU, XLP, XLV for clients since March 25; defensive sector rotation play.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2000 you say.\n\n$XLU outperformance.\n\nRec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV. \n\n#GrowthValueRotation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Fun #finTwitt fact:\nUtilities is the top S&amp;P 500 sector YTD at 20.3% vs 14.7% for the SPX. If it holds, it will be the 4th time since 1973 ranked #1. The other 3 were 1977, 2000 &amp; 2011. Any guesses as to how the SPX did in those years?\n\"One of these things is not like the other.\" https://t.co/zVvGFzp3Aa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0031055865161555563, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0031055865161555563, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0070490877860881485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0070490877860881485, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002199725574062228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002199725574062228, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006223736109645106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006223736109645106, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": 0.015527932580777781, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015527932580777781, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002937930542134648, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002937930542134648, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": 0.023451802478511086, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023451802478511086, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018893712264237195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018893712264237195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": 0.025145400178888666, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.025145400178888666, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06885317919448264, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06885317919448264, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": -0.0032723928108666644, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0032723928108666644, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04291763509216806, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04291763509216806, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": 0.12319771092354936, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12319771092354936, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05476175039232323, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05476175039232323, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023451802478511086, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018893712264237195, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018893712264237195, "price_path": [-0.1022, -0.1121, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.104, -0.1093, -0.0976, -0.1061, -0.1099, -0.1083, -0.1183, -0.1244, -0.1198, -0.1145, -0.1145, -0.113, -0.1121, -0.1095, -0.1011, -0.0846, -0.0779, -0.1003, -0.0933, -0.0928, -0.0936, -0.0925, -0.0849, -0.0906, -0.0804, -0.088, -0.0791, -0.0749, -0.0701, -0.0581, -0.0411, -0.0396, -0.065, -0.0571, -0.0518, -0.0507, -0.0475, -0.0458, -0.0402, -0.0409, -0.041, -0.0367, -0.0304, -0.0325, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0241, -0.0177, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0202, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0142, -0.0058, -0.0083, -0.0177, -0.0078, -0.0031, 0.0, 0.0022, 0.0163, 0.0241, 0.0233, 0.0155, 0.0096, 0.0362, 0.0465, 0.0391, 0.0446, 0.0374, 0.0477, 0.0524, 0.0608, 0.0614, 0.061, 0.0593, 0.0349, 0.0354, 0.0266, 0.0235, 0.0324, 0.0455, 0.0502, 0.071, 0.0615, 0.0676, 0.0634, 0.0597, 0.0698, 0.0629, 0.0472, 0.0554, 0.0328, 0.0304, 0.041, 0.0179, 0.0057, 0.0208, 0.0103, 0.0121, 0.0315, 0.0344, 0.0225, 0.0207, 0.0172, 0.0324, 0.0414, 0.0481, 0.0486, 0.0668, 0.0611, 0.0631, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.0804, 0.0572, 0.0481, 0.0479, 0.0512, 0.0382, 0.0251, 0.0177, 0.0113, 0.0108, 0.0115, 0.0034, -0.0008, -0.0244, -0.0199, -0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0046, 0.0046, 0.0022, -0.0006, -0.0048, -0.0058, -0.0058, 0.0019, 0.0125, 0.0012, -0.0013, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0072, -0.0188, -0.0059, 0.0087, 0.0342, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0515, 0.0288, 0.0336, 0.0441, 0.02, 0.0059, 0.008, 0.029, 0.023, 0.0285, 0.0195, 0.0297, 0.0285, 0.0264, 0.0376, 0.0428, 0.041, 0.0434, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0487, 0.0543, 0.0541, 0.0544, 0.0491, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.025, 0.0406, 0.042, 0.0251, 0.0179, -0.0033]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833675106595295729", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-11T01:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "XLP", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding swing longs in XLU, XLP, XLV for clients since March 25; defensive sector rotation play.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2000 you say.\n\n$XLU outperformance.\n\nRec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV. \n\n#GrowthValueRotation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Fun #finTwitt fact:\nUtilities is the top S&amp;P 500 sector YTD at 20.3% vs 14.7% for the SPX. If it holds, it will be the 4th time since 1973 ranked #1. The other 3 were 1977, 2000 &amp; 2011. Any guesses as to how the SPX did in those years?\n\"One of these things is not like the other.\" https://t.co/zVvGFzp3Aa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009416842263747283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009416842263747283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019571516565990987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019571516565990987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0061571512664146955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0061571512664146955, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0022663104172926385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0022663104172926385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": 0.0037426010421797162, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0037426010421797162, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008847400996463417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008847400996463417, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": -0.014590630600515464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014590630600515464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056936145343263744, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056936145343263744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": -0.0017253672261001718, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0017253672261001718, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09572394659947148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09572394659947148, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": 0.010007226300611238, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010007226300611238, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.029638015980690158, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.029638015980690158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": -8.222001362367948e-05, "ret_signed_p1y": -8.222001362367948e-05, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17804168132949627, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17804168132949627, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014590630600515464, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056936145343263744, "alpha_c_stated": -0.056936145343263744, "price_path": [-0.078, -0.0692, -0.068, -0.068, -0.07, -0.0693, -0.0594, -0.0654, -0.0674, -0.0714, -0.0755, -0.082, -0.0756, -0.0771, -0.0771, -0.0658, -0.0672, -0.0697, -0.0656, -0.0691, -0.065, -0.0704, -0.0615, -0.0494, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0566, -0.06, -0.0608, -0.0619, -0.0524, -0.052, -0.0584, -0.0601, -0.0514, -0.0431, -0.0619, -0.0554, -0.0544, -0.0459, -0.0444, -0.0493, -0.0449, -0.0406, -0.0307, -0.028, -0.0247, -0.0199, -0.0133, -0.0147, -0.012, -0.0049, -0.0025, -0.0068, -0.0117, -0.0039, -0.0039, 0.0031, 0.0078, 0.004, 0.0019, 0.0097, 0.0094, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0133, 0.0173, 0.0076, 0.0037, -0.0022, 0.0027, 0.0085, 0.006, 0.0035, 0.0058, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.004, -0.0045, -0.0145, -0.0112, -0.021, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0146, -0.0091, -0.0051, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.004, -0.0018, -0.0102, -0.0046, -0.0066, -0.0079, -0.0162, -0.0143, -0.0241, -0.0256, -0.0276, -0.0272, -0.0245, -0.0184, -0.0344, -0.0309, -0.0191, -0.0225, -0.0214, -0.0185, -0.0209, -0.0295, -0.0227, -0.0214, -0.0264, -0.0158, -0.0067, -0.0012, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.01, 0.0088, 0.0036, 0.0008, 0.0048, -0.0001, -0.0017, 0.003, -0.0046, -0.0017, -0.0043, -0.0095, -0.0112, -0.0262, -0.0332, -0.0298, -0.0349, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0255, -0.0302, -0.0416, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0416, -0.0421, -0.0521, -0.0554, -0.0537, -0.0537, -0.0664, -0.0648, -0.0646, -0.0678, -0.0608, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.051, -0.0557, -0.0522, -0.0473, -0.0215, -0.0368, -0.0345, -0.025, -0.0341, -0.0303, -0.0385, -0.0326, -0.0281, -0.0296, -0.0236, -0.0142, -0.0149, -0.0043, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0107, -0.0027, -0.0066, 0.005, 0.0081, 0.0224, 0.0028, 0.0027, 0.016, 0.0214, 0.004, 0.0082, 0.01]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833675106595295729", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-09-11T01:13:08+00:00", "symbol": "XLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding swing longs in XLU, XLP, XLV for clients since March 25; defensive sector rotation play.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2000 you say.\n\n$XLU outperformance.\n\nRec'd swing long for clients since March 25th this year - with $XLP $XLV. \n\n#GrowthValueRotation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Fun #finTwitt fact:\nUtilities is the top S&amp;P 500 sector YTD at 20.3% vs 14.7% for the SPX. If it holds, it will be the 4th time since 1973 ranked #1. The other 3 were 1977, 2000 &amp; 2011. Any guesses as to how the SPX did in those years?\n\"One of these things is not like the other.\" https://t.co/zVvGFzp3Aa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0029625868128846378, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029625868128846378, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013117261115128342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013117261115128342, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00360655259735565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00360655259735565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004816909086351684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004816909086351684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": 0.0005152941114536791, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0005152941114536791, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012074707927189454, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012074707927189454, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": -0.01249461674570207, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01249461674570207, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05484013148845035, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05484013148845035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": -0.06465928733103365, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06465928733103365, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15865786670440496, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15865786670440496, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": -0.030750100173580264, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.030750100173580264, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07039534245488166, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07039534245488166, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": -0.0999014563284697, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0999014563284697, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2778609176443423, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2778609176443423, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01249461674570207, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05484013148845035, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05484013148845035, "price_path": [-0.0642, -0.0652, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0609, -0.0582, -0.0527, -0.0557, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0614, -0.0667, -0.0701, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.07, -0.071, -0.0665, -0.0577, -0.0511, -0.0451, -0.0485, -0.0349, -0.0305, -0.0526, -0.0477, -0.0422, -0.0428, -0.0348, -0.0397, -0.0343, -0.0337, -0.0328, -0.0364, -0.0265, -0.0285, -0.0544, -0.05, -0.0597, -0.0389, -0.0341, -0.0378, -0.0261, -0.0227, -0.0166, -0.0155, -0.0095, -0.0055, -0.0039, -0.0032, 0.0011, 0.0006, 0.0021, 0.0033, 0.0054, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0104, 0.0087, -0.0052, -0.0086, -0.0016, 0.003, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0057, 0.0126, 0.0022, 0.0005, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.002, -0.004, -0.0137, -0.0104, -0.0109, -0.0044, -0.0097, -0.0117, -0.0206, -0.0198, -0.0241, -0.0188, -0.0088, -0.0125, -0.0053, 0.0002, -0.012, -0.0092, -0.015, -0.0102, -0.0218, -0.0232, -0.0278, -0.0342, -0.0395, -0.0381, -0.0407, -0.0426, -0.0506, -0.045, -0.0513, -0.0443, -0.0431, -0.0362, -0.0292, -0.0349, -0.0484, -0.0509, -0.0658, -0.0831, -0.0825, -0.0872, -0.0764, -0.069, -0.0681, -0.0602, -0.0552, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0471, -0.0488, -0.051, -0.0515, -0.0621, -0.0674, -0.0647, -0.0685, -0.0812, -0.0885, -0.0886, -0.0995, -0.1001, -0.1124, -0.1191, -0.108, -0.0991, -0.0954, -0.0954, -0.0935, -0.0978, -0.1089, -0.1067, -0.1067, -0.1065, -0.0977, -0.0973, -0.0928, -0.0882, -0.0882, -0.0933, -0.0815, -0.0909, -0.0872, -0.0836, -0.0898, -0.0898, -0.0747, -0.0768, -0.0645, -0.063, -0.0419, -0.0486, -0.0542, -0.0433, -0.0463, -0.0426, -0.0452, -0.0361, -0.0447, -0.0492, -0.05, -0.0518, -0.0532, -0.0495, -0.0598, -0.0598, -0.0616, -0.0494, -0.0441, -0.0492, -0.0415, -0.0332, -0.0402, -0.0441, -0.033, -0.0287, -0.0378, -0.0281, -0.0308]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1843618351203205443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-08T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WTIC $79-80 and $VIX at 25 in a New York minute", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects oil spike to $79-80 and VIX to 25 imminently.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil Spike Incoming\n\n\"$WTIC $79-80 and $VIX at 25 in a New York minute\"\n\nhttps://t.co/iiWbBNWVuq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04852521013501332, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04852521013501332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05789404760584238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05789404760584238, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009368837470829061, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009368837470829061, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004485548897968816, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004485548897968816, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011412033355001072, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011412033355001072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006926484457032256, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006926484457032256, "ret_p1w": -0.040641536987526816, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040641536987526816, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05217408579166061, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05217408579166061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011532548804133791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011532548804133791, "ret_p1m": -0.02555385702346591, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02555385702346591, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056731405024494475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056731405024494475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031177548001028565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031177548001028565, "ret_p3m": 0.005301065533046101, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005301065533046101, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030940175565688843, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.030940175565688843, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036241241098734944, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036241241098734944, "ret_p6m": -0.0252820527126143, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0252820527126143, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.016478323174140108, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016478323174140108, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008803729538474192, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008803729538474192, "ret_p1y": -0.11675949943622121, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11675949943622121, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2788063725310196, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2788063725310196, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16204687309479837, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16204687309479837, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.040641536987526816, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05217408579166061, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05217408579166061, "price_path": [0.123, 0.1174, 0.1134, 0.0977, 0.1261, 0.1257, 0.0892, 0.0844, 0.0461, 0.0546, 0.064, 0.0488, 0.0304, 0.0158, 0.059, 0.0372, -0.0007, -0.0086, -0.005, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0444, 0.0882, 0.065, 0.0464, 0.0624, 0.0419, 0.0109, 0.0064, -0.0223, -0.0076, 0.0171, 0.0523, 0.0266, 0.0129, 0.0318, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0439, -0.0594, -0.0601, -0.0802, -0.0661, -0.1063, -0.0851, -0.0625, -0.0669, -0.0473, -0.0324, -0.0362, -0.022, -0.0224, -0.0435, -0.0273, -0.0527, -0.0802, -0.0733, -0.0734, -0.0508, -0.0472, 0.0019, 0.011, 0.0485, 0.0, -0.0045, 0.031, 0.027, 0.0035, -0.0406, -0.0432, -0.0394, -0.0591, -0.0409, -0.0201, -0.0381, -0.0459, -0.0243, -0.0841, -0.0864, -0.0674, -0.0586, -0.0555, -0.0285, -0.0215, -0.0256, -0.0164, -0.0434, -0.0752, -0.0741, -0.0699, -0.0662, -0.089, -0.0599, -0.0568, -0.0639, -0.0472, -0.0317, -0.0629, -0.0652, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0757, -0.0744, -0.0493, -0.0684, -0.0716, -0.0866, -0.0707, -0.0677, -0.0446, -0.0483, -0.031, -0.0389, -0.0474, -0.0406, -0.0497, -0.0559, -0.0589, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0537, -0.0404, -0.0351, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.006, 0.0053, -0.0001, 0.0092, -0.0034, 0.0048, 0.0408, 0.0714, 0.0534, 0.0879, 0.0695, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0315, 0.0254, 0.0143, 0.0148, -0.0054, 0.0027, -0.0129, -0.0114, -0.0141, -0.0056, -0.0118, -0.0345, -0.0402, -0.0349, -0.017, -0.0034, -0.0299, -0.031, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0234, -0.0179, -0.0136, -0.0431, -0.039, -0.0631, -0.0673, -0.0438, -0.0518, -0.0707, -0.0722, -0.0987, -0.098, -0.0888, -0.1025, -0.0995, -0.0801, -0.0954, -0.0869, -0.0814, -0.0907, -0.0871, -0.0722, -0.0719, -0.0606, -0.0621, -0.0533, -0.0496, -0.0572, -0.0284, -0.0322, -0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857886943876415994", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-16T20:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "XLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Discovery in Big Pharma stocks still has room to go...This will remove the liability shield Big Pharma (& their investors) have had, making them accountable for injuries caused by their products.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on Big Pharma ETFs; repeal of 1986 vaccine liability shield removes key protection, implying further downside price discovery ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": 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{"unit_id": "quote:1857886943876415994", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-16T20:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "XBI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Discovery in Big Pharma stocks still has room to go...This will remove the liability shield Big Pharma (& their investors) have had, making them accountable for injuries caused by their products.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on Big Pharma ETFs; repeal of 1986 vaccine liability shield removes key protection, implying further downside price discovery ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["XBI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": 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{"unit_id": "quote:1852108781876056317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-31T22:01:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it remains: A massive utility/staple With a massively wide moat (Bank of Apple) That makes investors lazy rich. So we can't unload it because it's ubiquitous and AI-enabling its way into our 'best future self'", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAPL despite valuation concerns: wide moat, utility-like stickiness, AI optionality, and unholdable/unloadable position.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL - say anything negative you want about it but it remains:\n\nA massive utility/staple\n\nWith a massively wide moat\n(Bank of Apple)\n\nThat makes investors lazy rich.\n\nSo we can’t unload it because it’s ubiquitous\nand AI-enabling its way into our ‘best future self’ \n\nWhile making the majority of users dumber from less critical thinking & more hyper/addicted than sugar itself!\n\nPerfect business model!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAPL Selling for $3.43trln.\n\nFY 2024 Net Income at $94bln, so ~34X Earnings. \n\nYet no growth... In fact, PRODUCTS had a negative growth, saved by Services. https://t.co/U6irv0Nkzq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013458337120706876, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013458337120706876, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017660969721848274, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02091670610803087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004202632601141398, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007458368987323993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0040375356191276746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0040375356191276746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018836427790597243, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003278254332058861, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0021538928400679502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007592812870688137, "ret_p1w": 0.019288984349859817, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019288984349859817, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028255914869531384, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03988654248964374, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0475448992193912, "bench_c_p1w": 0.059175526839503556, "ret_p1m": 0.0760109666706068, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0760109666706068, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018939569366168918, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02223939624982907, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05707139730443789, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05377157042077774, "ret_p3m": 0.07497799645157, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07497799645157, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.017546744367461065, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03831277691915003, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05743125208410893, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03666521953241997, "ret_p6m": -0.055212803037586244, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.055212803037586244, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02601460726371463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.012104177747528921, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029198195773871616, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06731698078511517, "ret_p1y": 0.1843027699298494, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1843027699298494, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.005546096516686694, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11162623489727053, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1898488664465361, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2959290048271199, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0760109666706068, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018939569366168918, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02223939624982907, "price_path": [-0.0714, -0.0598, -0.0442, -0.031, -0.0241, -0.0074, -0.0053, 0.0081, 0.0141, 0.0134, 0.0161, 0.0157, 0.0073, 0.0176, 0.0192, 0.023, 0.0161, 0.0309, 0.0273, 0.0273, -0.0006, -0.0092, -0.0024, -0.0094, -0.009, -0.0126, -0.0011, -0.0006, -0.0018, -0.0296, -0.0275, -0.01, 0.0267, 0.0237, 0.016, 0.02, 0.0155, 0.0207, 0.0219, 0.0453, 0.0148, 0.0174, 0.0124, 0.0175, -0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0297, 0.0275, 0.0208, 0.0376, 0.0491, 0.0398, 0.0415, 0.0542, 0.0609, 0.0581, 0.0352, 0.0344, 0.0381, 0.0471, 0.0483, 0.0323, 0.0135, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0024, -0.0009, 0.0205, 0.0193, 0.007, 0.007, 0.011, 0.0249, 0.0105, 0.024, 0.0252, 0.0285, 0.0263, 0.0324, 0.0458, 0.0557, 0.0551, 0.0551, 0.0659, 0.076, 0.0898, 0.0914, 0.0915, 0.0906, 0.1082, 0.1127, 0.107, 0.1136, 0.1144, 0.1274, 0.1384, 0.114, 0.1218, 0.1429, 0.1464, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1633, 0.1479, 0.1326, 0.1246, 0.1246, 0.0951, 0.0929, 0.1003, 0.0878, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0637, 0.0527, 0.0477, 0.0683, 0.0251, 0.0329, 0.0329, -0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0045, 0.0005, 0.0323, 0.07, 0.075, 0.067, 0.0599, 0.024, 0.0455, 0.044, 0.0474, 0.0223, 0.0235, 0.0459, 0.065, 0.0859, 0.0997, 0.0997, 0.0991, 0.1009, 0.1052, 0.104, 0.111, 0.1107, 0.0807, 0.0669, 0.0873, 0.0702, 0.0607, 0.0599, 0.058, 0.0749, 0.0227, -0.0071, -0.0245, -0.0573, -0.0402, -0.0379, -0.0437, -0.0323, -0.0374, -0.0187, -0.0076, 0.006, -0.004, 0.0064, -0.0203, -0.0013, 0.0035, 0.0066, -0.0865, -0.153, -0.1842, -0.2248, -0.106, -0.1439, -0.1091, -0.0895, -0.0912, -0.1266, -0.1144, -0.1144, -0.1316, -0.102, -0.0801, -0.0632, -0.0591, -0.0552]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1832789049649578340", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-08T14:32:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTCUSD more likely to break 50K on way to 40,000 on way to 4000 next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC targeting 50K → 40K → 4K; only wrong if price gets and stays above $70K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BittelJulien Respectfully, I am so taking the other side of this trade. \n$BTCUSD more likely to break 50K on way to 40,000 on way to 4000 next. \n\nI am wrong and long only if it can get and stay above $70K but I sincerely doubt it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This year’s Bitcoin price structure is starting to look eerily similar to 2019...\n \nTake a close look at the chart – it’s almost a perfect fractal of what we saw back then.\n \nBitcoin has been stuck in a consolidation phase, and interestingly, just like in 2019, this consolidation https://t.co/8p6tDTIBoL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BittelJulien", "ret_m1d": -0.05385489800267873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05385489800267873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.042782612608465165, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.011034389872275785, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011034389872275785, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006678703209570758, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.020571417375391032, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020571417375391032, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0094977085108372, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0896610886030631, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0896610886030631, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.037469575148311396, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.6940434545424776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6940434545424776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5803727479760501, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.5296896944790235, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5296896944790235, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46715988577727807, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": 0.9505957422349975, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.9505957422349975, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7524407000520041, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0896610886030631, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.037469575148311396, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1968, 0.1708, 0.1577, 0.1661, 0.1424, 0.1393, 0.137, 0.1241, 0.0571, 0.0839, 0.0665, 0.0804, 0.0579, 0.1023, 0.0879, 0.0553, -0.0007, -0.0063, -0.0055, 0.0174, 0.0127, 0.0057, 0.0154, 0.1377, 0.1417, 0.1245, 0.122, 0.17, 0.1853, 0.1562, 0.1465, 0.1536, 0.191, 0.1719, 0.161, 0.1333, 0.1462, 0.0771, -0.0531, -0.0173, -0.0349, 0.0823, 0.0677, 0.041, 0.063, 0.0301, 0.0095, 0.0329, 0.0434, 0.035, 0.0729, 0.059, 0.1241, 0.1028, 0.0436, 0.0352, 0.0415, 0.0368, 0.0367, 0.0072, 0.0167, -0.0151, -0.0539, 0.0, 0.011, 0.0057, 0.0194, 0.0623, 0.0206, 0.0577, 0.0812, 0.1038, 0.1083, 0.1107, 0.1277, 0.1074, 0.1431, 0.1538, 0.1107, 0.067, 0.0634, 0.0656, 0.0885, 0.0915, 0.0897, 0.0625, 0.0571, 0.0952, 0.1583, 0.1758, 0.1858, 0.182, 0.1999, 0.1815, 0.1814, 0.1651, 0.1954, 0.1688, 0.226, 0.2754, 0.2687, 0.2314, 0.2186, 0.1893, 0.2164, 0.3265, 0.3312, 0.3424, 0.5556, 0.5426, 0.5887, 0.5302, 0.5971, 0.5879, 0.6195, 0.6545, 0.7276, 0.7362, 0.6328, 0.6132, 0.683, 0.6775, 0.7093, 0.6813, 0.6837, 0.7322, 0.694, 0.7524, 0.7088, 0.6955, 0.7744, 0.7545, 0.7794, 0.8595, 0.8615, 0.7545, 0.7098, 0.7144, 0.6606, 0.7306, 0.7415, 0.68, 0.6514, 0.6248, 0.6385, 0.6559, 0.6992, 0.7206, 0.7902, 0.6998, 0.6669, 0.622, 0.6609, 0.6576, 0.693, 0.7626, 0.7495, 0.832, 0.7892, 0.8616, 0.8179, 0.8232, 0.8383, 0.7904, 0.7772, 0.8187, 0.8368, 0.796, 0.7784, 0.7165, 0.6944, 0.694, 0.6929, 0.7088, 0.6792, 0.7167, 0.6946, 0.7101, 0.6797, 0.6756, 0.6948, 0.7246, 0.6858, 0.6033, 0.5562, 0.4793, 0.4855, 0.4797, 0.5094, 0.5297]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1867260689380675923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-12T17:30:15+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT moving higher into ATH levels as part of the \"Bullish a Growth Rotation ala Summer 2024\" since Dec 2nd", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long MSFT targeting ATH levels on bullish growth rotation; #NotDone implies move continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT moving higher into ATH levels as part of the “Bullish a Growth Rotation ala Summer 2024” since Dec 2nd as $IWM breadth broke down on that day + has continued since.\n#NotDone\n\nJOIN US to see when it is ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001267852486757537, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001267852486757537, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006447076263877305, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006447076263877305, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005179223777119768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005179223777119768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005093939777762402, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005093939777762402, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004895321611858461, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004895321611858461, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000198618165903941, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000198618165903941, "ret_p1w": -0.027871736025116944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027871736025116944, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0022940034647405128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0022940034647405128, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030165739489857457, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030165739489857457, "ret_p1m": -0.0680887889638998, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0680887889638998, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03187308035932179, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03187308035932179, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03621570860457801, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03621570860457801, "ret_p3m": -0.152031160404427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.152031160404427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07502193975964044, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07502193975964044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07700922064478655, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07700922064478655, "ret_p6m": 0.050334595461777765, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.050334595461777765, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052593400394723266, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.052593400394723266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0022588049329455018, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0022588049329455018, "ret_p1y": 0.09068991836782914, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09068991836782914, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04865510344357893, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.04865510344357893, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13934502181140807, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13934502181140807, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0680887889638998, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03187308035932179, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03187308035932179, "price_path": [-0.0424, -0.034, -0.0436, -0.0261, -0.0337, -0.0376, -0.0473, -0.0407, -0.0425, -0.0498, -0.0448, -0.0661, -0.074, -0.0753, -0.0764, -0.0908, -0.0794, -0.0733, -0.0769, -0.0758, -0.0695, -0.0704, -0.0762, -0.0749, -0.0717, -0.0703, -0.0509, -0.0574, -0.0571, -0.0495, -0.053, -0.0411, -0.0398, -0.0979, -0.089, -0.0932, -0.0866, -0.0672, -0.0556, -0.062, -0.072, -0.0609, -0.0561, -0.0523, -0.0787, -0.077, -0.0725, -0.0776, -0.0816, -0.0724, -0.0684, -0.048, -0.0591, -0.0591, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0408, -0.027, -0.0154, -0.0133, -0.0079, -0.0139, -0.0013, 0.0, -0.0051, 0.0045, 0.0109, -0.0271, -0.0279, -0.0288, -0.0318, -0.0228, -0.0228, -0.0255, -0.0423, -0.055, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0689, -0.0583, -0.0483, -0.0605, -0.0556, -0.0556, -0.0681, -0.072, -0.0754, -0.0517, -0.0556, -0.0457, -0.0457, -0.0468, -0.0075, -0.0063, -0.0122, -0.0334, -0.0052, -0.0161, -0.0769, -0.0767, -0.086, -0.0827, -0.0807, -0.0751, -0.0886, -0.0831, -0.0848, -0.0901, -0.0868, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.0888, -0.0774, -0.0725, -0.0902, -0.0995, -0.1131, -0.1091, -0.1251, -0.1152, -0.1341, -0.1338, -0.1062, -0.1154, -0.1234, -0.1527, -0.152, -0.1457, -0.1558, -0.134, -0.1336, -0.1452, -0.1356, -0.1378, -0.1279, -0.1239, -0.1192, -0.1308, -0.1295, -0.1557, -0.1633, -0.1482, -0.1483, -0.1684, -0.198, -0.2024, -0.2097, -0.1297, -0.15, -0.1342, -0.1356, -0.1403, -0.1717, -0.1803, -0.1803, -0.1996, -0.1824, -0.1655, -0.1368, -0.1266, -0.1282, -0.1217, -0.119, -0.0518, -0.0298, -0.0278, -0.0342, -0.0341, -0.0234, -0.0221, 0.0013, 0.0011, 0.0095, 0.0118, 0.0144, 0.0246, 0.0231, 0.0106, 0.0157, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0287, 0.0213, 0.0242, 0.028, 0.0316, 0.0338, 0.0358, 0.0443, 0.0503]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Melt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum: $QQQ 548", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014196138404347414, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014196138404347414, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009944340046287414, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009944340046287414, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0044038848473964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0044038848473964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0002838933676229116, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0002838933676229116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "ret_p1w": -0.02686296595082771, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02686296595082771, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010220602460511818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010220602460511818, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "ret_p1m": -0.05997286610665098, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05997286610665098, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02266094625837256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02266094625837256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "ret_p3m": -0.12835128332135504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12835128332135504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04015913681451966, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04015913681451966, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "ret_p6m": -0.00427493712369531, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00427493712369531, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004505907120692654, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.004505907120692654, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "ret_p1y": 0.16484583259361774, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.16484583259361774, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.024081321903556274, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.024081321903556274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05997286610665098, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02266094625837256, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02266094625837256, "price_path": [-0.1252, -0.1031, -0.1048, -0.1024, -0.0981, -0.0973, -0.0905, -0.0955, -0.0931, -0.1057, -0.1045, -0.1051, -0.0945, -0.1042, -0.0908, -0.0837, -0.0847, -0.0833, -0.0756, -0.0879, -0.0878, -0.0872, -0.0812, -0.0794, -0.0784, -0.0926, -0.0852, -0.0796, -0.0795, -0.0706, -0.0777, -0.1009, -0.0943, -0.0969, -0.0854, -0.0606, -0.0458, -0.0447, -0.0452, -0.0469, -0.0482, -0.0548, -0.0773, -0.0709, -0.0645, -0.065, -0.0617, -0.0602, -0.0587, -0.0536, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0528, -0.0425, -0.0396, -0.0277, -0.0304, -0.0217, -0.0293, -0.0326, -0.0153, -0.0217, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0403, -0.0446, -0.0363, -0.0269, -0.0137, -0.0137, -0.0143, -0.0274, -0.0404, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0504, -0.0348, -0.0238, -0.0412, -0.041, -0.041, -0.056, -0.0591, -0.06, -0.0383, -0.0451, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0233, -0.0108, -0.0087, -0.0143, -0.043, -0.0288, -0.0307, -0.0265, -0.0279, -0.0357, -0.0239, -0.0195, -0.0143, -0.0268, -0.015, -0.0173, -0.0168, -0.0026, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0038, 0.0041, -0.0001, -0.0209, -0.0324, -0.0446, -0.0423, -0.0689, -0.0542, -0.0749, -0.0777, -0.0657, -0.0914, -0.0847, -0.1202, -0.1223, -0.1124, -0.1284, -0.1073, -0.1015, -0.1168, -0.105, -0.108, -0.1051, -0.0854, -0.0802, -0.0972, -0.1023, -0.1259, -0.126, -0.1189, -0.1125, -0.16, -0.2122, -0.2103, -0.2245, -0.1314, -0.1684, -0.153, -0.1473, -0.1463, -0.1721, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1927, -0.1715, -0.1527, -0.1289, -0.1192, -0.1195, -0.1136, -0.1138, -0.1022, -0.0889, -0.0943, -0.1027, -0.0992, -0.0899, -0.0905, -0.0534, -0.039, -0.0332, -0.0322, -0.0279, -0.027, -0.0303, -0.0437, -0.0419, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0285, -0.0328, -0.0309, -0.0324, -0.0248, -0.0172, -0.0144, -0.0218, -0.0123, -0.0108, -0.0043]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: \"> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05785922565548829, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05785922565548829, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05360742729742829, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0444941005278956, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013365125127592692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036369912179738284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036369912179738284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04048990365951177, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322754539532302, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031423667844152625, "ret_p1w": -0.07001853846357153, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07001853846357153, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05337617497325564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03199410073890874, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.038024437724662796, "ret_p1m": -0.14396787448444492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14396787448444492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1066559546361665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0743350152012634, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06963285928318153, "ret_p3m": -0.4801952434311113, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4801952434311113, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39200309692427593, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2886627379118045, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.19153250551930678, "ret_p6m": -0.29573235697117606, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29573235697117606, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2959633269681734, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2067304594586058, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08900189751257026, "ret_p1y": -0.035160466428191595, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.035160466428191595, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17592497711825306, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.045035209365472784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.009874742937281189, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14396787448444492, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1066559546361665, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0743350152012634, "price_path": [-0.5093, -0.4732, -0.4854, -0.4601, -0.4508, -0.4449, -0.451, -0.4375, -0.4349, -0.4427, -0.4622, -0.4802, -0.4599, -0.4799, -0.4719, -0.4794, -0.4843, -0.5296, -0.5267, -0.5258, -0.522, -0.5229, -0.5233, -0.5273, -0.5292, -0.5386, -0.4374, -0.4186, -0.433, -0.4395, -0.4438, -0.4604, -0.4623, -0.4755, -0.457, -0.3769, -0.3588, -0.3063, -0.2441, -0.2905, -0.2868, -0.3279, -0.3073, -0.2684, -0.2527, -0.2613, -0.2665, -0.2386, -0.2687, -0.2695, -0.281, -0.281, -0.2545, -0.2288, -0.241, -0.227, -0.202, -0.1594, -0.1582, -0.134, -0.0826, -0.097, -0.0579, 0.0, 0.0364, -0.0494, -0.058, -0.0906, -0.07, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0192, -0.0677, -0.0985, -0.1278, -0.1278, -0.1809, -0.1136, -0.1122, -0.1483, -0.147, -0.147, -0.1475, -0.129, -0.144, -0.0752, -0.1063, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0841, -0.1035, -0.1094, -0.1219, -0.1423, -0.1402, -0.1596, -0.1355, -0.1262, -0.1714, -0.1529, -0.1833, -0.1916, -0.219, -0.2425, -0.2905, -0.2732, -0.2313, -0.2315, -0.2315, -0.2352, -0.2213, -0.2346, -0.2704, -0.2861, -0.346, -0.3719, -0.3911, -0.3672, -0.3852, -0.4125, -0.3972, -0.431, -0.4327, -0.5202, -0.502, -0.4642, -0.4802, -0.4601, -0.486, -0.5134, -0.4906, -0.4897, -0.4629, -0.3988, -0.3777, -0.4124, -0.4101, -0.4308, -0.4403, -0.4202, -0.3893, -0.4227, -0.4829, -0.4962, -0.5208, -0.4121, -0.4549, -0.4551, -0.455, -0.4512, -0.4783, -0.4787, -0.4787, -0.5087, -0.486, -0.4585, -0.4395, -0.3846, -0.3826, -0.3693, -0.3906, -0.3942, -0.3797, -0.3947, -0.4053, -0.4034, -0.3849, -0.3558, -0.3124, -0.2785, -0.2491, -0.2596, -0.2441, -0.2612, -0.2574, -0.2773, -0.2634, -0.2671, -0.2671, -0.2163, -0.2292, -0.2259, -0.2517, -0.2599, -0.2565, -0.2829, -0.3851, -0.3626, -0.3335, -0.2957]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMH 272 is still in play until year-end", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014846927597324533, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014846927597324533, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010595129239264534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010595129239264534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012991046470848144, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012991046470848144, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008871054991074656, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008871054991074656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "ret_p1w": -0.011551434909785052, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011551434909785052, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00509092858053084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00509092858053084, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "ret_p1m": -0.02654351352517914, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02654351352517914, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010768406323099278, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010768406323099278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "ret_p3m": -0.1292276296389515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1292276296389515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.041035483132116135, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.041035483132116135, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "ret_p6m": 0.03941387399689633, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03941387399689633, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03918290399989899, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03918290399989899, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "ret_p1y": 0.44515291820627834, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.44515291820627834, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3043884075162169, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3043884075162169, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02654351352517914, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.010768406323099278, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010768406323099278, "price_path": [-0.0876, -0.048, -0.0606, -0.0565, -0.0389, -0.0304, -0.0025, -0.0218, -0.0308, -0.0567, -0.0432, -0.0344, -0.0214, -0.0199, -0.0029, 0.0075, 0.0055, 0.0136, 0.0317, -0.024, -0.0234, -0.0066, -0.0069, -0.0016, -0.0062, -0.0167, -0.0126, -0.0011, -0.0081, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0457, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0195, 0.0062, 0.0307, 0.024, 0.0011, -0.0055, -0.0222, -0.02, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0358, -0.0423, -0.0282, -0.0341, -0.0379, -0.0467, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0439, -0.0212, -0.0191, -0.0024, -0.0195, -0.0183, -0.0284, -0.0528, -0.0296, -0.039, -0.0148, 0.0, -0.013, -0.0445, -0.0568, -0.0416, -0.0116, -0.003, -0.003, -0.0048, -0.0148, -0.0296, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0291, -0.001, 0.0321, 0.0076, 0.0004, 0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0297, -0.0265, -0.0037, 0.0006, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0407, 0.0596, 0.0584, 0.0373, -0.0647, -0.0463, -0.05, -0.0276, -0.0338, -0.053, -0.0423, -0.0198, -0.015, -0.0283, -0.01, -0.009, -0.0144, -0.0008, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0162, 0.0207, 0.0225, -0.0085, -0.0346, -0.0551, -0.033, -0.0926, -0.0768, -0.1155, -0.1067, -0.0902, -0.1283, -0.1073, -0.1491, -0.1504, -0.1254, -0.1292, -0.1014, -0.0919, -0.1059, -0.0981, -0.0995, -0.1085, -0.0853, -0.0892, -0.1195, -0.1364, -0.1585, -0.1613, -0.1572, -0.1509, -0.2243, -0.2829, -0.2667, -0.2863, -0.1638, -0.2218, -0.2016, -0.2004, -0.1952, -0.2292, -0.2364, -0.2364, -0.255, -0.2389, -0.2111, -0.1712, -0.1593, -0.1645, -0.166, -0.162, -0.158, -0.1313, -0.1369, -0.1449, -0.1274, -0.1197, -0.114, -0.0584, -0.0261, -0.0164, -0.0198, -0.0227, -0.0243, -0.0261, -0.0423, -0.0449, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0284, -0.0388, -0.0319, -0.0491, -0.035, -0.0133, -0.0015, -0.0033, 0.0024, 0.0191, 0.0394]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04310547072445192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04310547072445192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03885367236639192, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.001045771070669721, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001045771070669721, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005165762550443209, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.10698393522334981, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10698393522334981, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09034157173303392, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.08955670152619355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08955670152619355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05224478167791513, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.23543413977979644, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23543413977979644, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14724199327296106, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.03987104440942413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03987104440942413, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.039640074412426785, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.11790952772380148, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11790952772380148, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25867403841386294, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08955670152619355, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05224478167791513, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4186, -0.4064, -0.404, -0.4027, -0.3935, -0.4045, -0.3853, -0.3795, -0.4027, -0.4262, -0.4282, -0.427, -0.4146, -0.413, -0.414, -0.4286, -0.4315, -0.4111, -0.3771, -0.3677, -0.3623, -0.3643, -0.3547, -0.3646, -0.3647, -0.3735, -0.3572, -0.3715, -0.3407, -0.3141, -0.3177, -0.3378, -0.3447, -0.3604, -0.3458, -0.2866, -0.2841, -0.2781, -0.1634, -0.1705, -0.1457, -0.1771, -0.1411, -0.1461, -0.1291, -0.1103, -0.071, -0.0663, -0.1219, -0.1325, -0.0949, -0.0979, -0.0808, -0.0959, -0.0946, -0.0685, -0.089, -0.0576, -0.0811, -0.0882, -0.0458, -0.0565, -0.0431, 0.0, 0.001, -0.0565, -0.0805, -0.078, -0.107, -0.0694, -0.0635, -0.0965, -0.1119, -0.1263, -0.1188, -0.1095, -0.0862, -0.0747, -0.0373, -0.0859, -0.1036, -0.1278, -0.1068, -0.1086, -0.0896, -0.0521, -0.0592, -0.0148, -0.0378, 0.0011, -0.0224, -0.0195, -0.0114, -0.0372, -0.0443, -0.0219, -0.0122, -0.0342, -0.0436, -0.0769, -0.0888, -0.089, -0.0896, -0.081, -0.097, -0.0768, -0.0887, -0.0804, -0.0967, -0.0989, -0.0886, -0.0726, -0.0934, -0.1378, -0.1631, -0.2045, -0.2011, -0.2043, -0.1883, -0.1774, -0.1453, -0.1515, -0.1819, -0.2593, -0.2185, -0.2104, -0.2354, -0.2081, -0.2071, -0.2199, -0.1809, -0.2062, -0.2074, -0.1748, -0.175, -0.1804, -0.1778, -0.2044, -0.2215, -0.1967, -0.2221, -0.2162, -0.2092, -0.2527, -0.2807, -0.2212, -0.249, -0.2134, -0.2027, -0.2109, -0.2074, -0.1993, -0.2035, -0.1746, -0.1187, -0.1163, -0.114, -0.1067, -0.1042, -0.1108, -0.1115, -0.09, -0.086, -0.1064, -0.087, -0.0849, -0.0263, -0.0288, -0.0303, -0.0175, -0.0235, -0.0216, -0.024, -0.004, 0.0072, 0.0344, 0.0532, 0.0119, 0.0322, 0.028, 0.0167, -0.0037, -0.0192, -0.0014, -0.0056, -0.0122, -0.042, -0.0155, 0.0402, 0.0399]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH is next to run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01912877718729311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01912877718729311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014876978829233112, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.02525776168846805, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02525776168846805, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021137770208694562, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.1433726111299758, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1433726111299758, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1267302476396599, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.19154859796180945, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19154859796180945, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15423667811353103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.5327953601365406, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5327953601365406, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44460321362970523, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.29441228473735115, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29441228473735115, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2946432547343485, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.19960200143001272, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19960200143001272, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3403665121200742, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19154859796180945, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15423667811353103, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4057, -0.3819, -0.3577, -0.3358, -0.3343, -0.3531, -0.3399, -0.3239, -0.3472, -0.3858, -0.4068, -0.4107, -0.3944, -0.3926, -0.3881, -0.4061, -0.4022, -0.389, -0.3407, -0.3464, -0.3452, -0.3469, -0.3375, -0.3315, -0.3429, -0.3708, -0.3644, -0.3891, -0.3566, -0.3384, -0.3336, -0.3691, -0.3701, -0.3989, -0.3924, -0.3168, -0.2738, -0.2571, -0.1536, -0.1859, -0.1993, -0.2329, -0.2218, -0.1955, -0.2197, -0.2295, -0.1571, -0.1645, -0.1439, -0.1658, -0.0828, -0.1022, -0.0988, -0.0861, -0.092, -0.0367, -0.0443, 0.0046, -0.0674, -0.0892, -0.0388, -0.0262, -0.0191, 0.0, -0.0253, -0.0925, -0.1428, -0.1291, -0.1434, -0.1242, -0.1239, -0.1646, -0.1652, -0.1583, -0.1643, -0.159, -0.1344, -0.0959, -0.075, -0.152, -0.1658, -0.1926, -0.1806, -0.2137, -0.1915, -0.1347, -0.1703, -0.1287, -0.1779, -0.1655, -0.1874, -0.1637, -0.17, -0.2028, -0.2283, -0.2193, -0.1855, -0.1728, -0.2766, -0.3141, -0.3009, -0.3258, -0.3424, -0.3326, -0.3473, -0.3136, -0.3289, -0.3163, -0.312, -0.3306, -0.3189, -0.3128, -0.333, -0.3696, -0.3746, -0.4153, -0.4218, -0.4388, -0.4619, -0.4558, -0.4377, -0.4477, -0.4636, -0.5333, -0.5185, -0.5213, -0.5328, -0.5211, -0.5167, -0.5153, -0.4839, -0.5029, -0.5072, -0.479, -0.4814, -0.4961, -0.4978, -0.5246, -0.5427, -0.5221, -0.5498, -0.5447, -0.5447, -0.61, -0.6307, -0.5817, -0.6182, -0.607, -0.593, -0.6016, -0.6042, -0.6031, -0.6015, -0.6038, -0.5593, -0.5496, -0.5562, -0.5519, -0.5489, -0.5488, -0.5501, -0.5388, -0.5379, -0.5436, -0.5448, -0.5457, -0.4466, -0.4118, -0.3739, -0.3279, -0.3454, -0.3613, -0.3639, -0.3657, -0.367, -0.3599, -0.3319, -0.3664, -0.357, -0.3321, -0.3273, -0.3398, -0.3655, -0.3462, -0.3496, -0.3458, -0.394, -0.3788, -0.3275, -0.2944]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868757867521622425", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2024-12-16T20:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still-active melt-up swing long targets: QQQ $548, TSLA $474, SMH $272, BTC $130-135K, ETH next to run, MSTR not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/16/24\n\nMelt-up SWING long targets STILL in play for momentum:\n💠$QQQ 548 - since OCT 7th: “QQQ support of $465 meant $478.83 and then $493.15 as short-term targets with $495.41 still in view. Melt-up PT: $548”\n💠$TSLA 474 - since OCT 17th: “> $237, it could double - in time - to $474 area.”\n💠$SMH 272 - since Oct: “\"One More High\" of SPX $6010 and $SMH 272 is still in play until year-end.”\n💠$BTC $130-135K since Oct 17th: “> $65K area (green arrow), then it could double to $130k in time”\n💠$ETH is next to run\n💠$MSTR not done going up, even if it is the 2021 meme stock of 2024\nand more!!!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO FOR ALL MACRO-TO-MICRO TRADE SET-UPS!\n https://t.co/5YYbDNvL1R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0004161895415775163, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0004161895415775163, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004667987899637516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004667987899637516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251798358059999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05405137471790855, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05405137471790855, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04993138323813506, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04993138323813506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004119991479773488, "ret_p1w": -0.18670743944595314, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18670743944595314, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17006507595563725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17006507595563725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016642363490315892, "ret_p1m": -0.16237450813284116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16237450813284116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12506258828456274, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12506258828456274, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731191984827842, "ret_p3m": -0.35554465173653615, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35554465173653615, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2673525052297008, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2673525052297008, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819214650683538, "ret_p6m": -0.0423990387373776, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0423990387373776, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04263000873437495, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04263000873437495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00023096999699734333, "ret_p1y": -0.5388249708943735, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5388249708943735, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.679589481584435, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.679589481584435, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14076451069006146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16237450813284116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12506258828456274, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12506258828456274, "price_path": [-0.6752, -0.6459, -0.6456, -0.6329, -0.6233, -0.6281, -0.5937, -0.5686, -0.5873, -0.6017, -0.597, -0.6, -0.5679, -0.5445, -0.5295, -0.5376, -0.5512, -0.4796, -0.5063, -0.5243, -0.5249, -0.5265, -0.4716, -0.4638, -0.4622, -0.4763, -0.4225, -0.4263, -0.3749, -0.3678, -0.3946, -0.4015, -0.4377, -0.4541, -0.4424, -0.3689, -0.3371, -0.338, -0.1677, -0.1271, -0.1961, -0.1979, -0.1661, -0.058, 0.054, 0.1599, -0.0275, 0.0328, -0.0124, -0.1342, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0515, -0.069, -0.0859, -0.0061, -0.0541, -0.033, -0.1057, -0.0763, 0.0071, -0.0399, 0.0004, 0.0, -0.0541, -0.1441, -0.2008, -0.1084, -0.1867, -0.1232, -0.1232, -0.1651, -0.1922, -0.2584, -0.291, -0.291, -0.2656, -0.1685, -0.072, -0.1642, -0.188, -0.188, -0.1973, -0.1961, -0.1624, -0.1172, -0.1016, -0.0294, -0.0294, -0.0475, -0.0764, -0.0866, -0.1342, -0.1483, -0.1776, -0.1646, -0.1675, -0.1804, -0.1503, -0.1473, -0.1758, -0.2033, -0.1981, -0.1809, -0.218, -0.2, -0.2046, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.1824, -0.2199, -0.2071, -0.2664, -0.3078, -0.3868, -0.3555, -0.4124, -0.3747, -0.3858, -0.3264, -0.2447, -0.2555, -0.297, -0.4143, -0.3621, -0.3573, -0.3555, -0.2718, -0.2796, -0.3068, -0.2553, -0.2605, -0.2558, -0.1782, -0.1633, -0.1939, -0.2054, -0.2915, -0.2943, -0.2509, -0.2349, -0.309, -0.2812, -0.3436, -0.4175, -0.2733, -0.3333, -0.2657, -0.2376, -0.2394, -0.2371, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.2221, -0.1603, -0.1537, -0.1424, -0.0974, -0.0961, -0.0662, -0.0695, -0.0659, -0.0346, -0.0538, -0.0561, -0.0392, 0.0144, 0.0184, -0.0088, 0.0321, 0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0213, 0.012, 0.0206, -0.0142, -0.0221, -0.0954, -0.0954, -0.0889, -0.1083, -0.0927, -0.0965, -0.0887, -0.0516, -0.0744, -0.0972, -0.0833, -0.0401, -0.0424]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1828816433930961279", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-28T15:26:30+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short $SMCI below $606 with 2 PTs: $428.69 and $357", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short SMCI below $606 with price targets $428.69 and $357, erasing all YTD gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Way before Hindenberg, there was @theOrcaFin \n\nHis May Substack as 🔥\nhttps://t.co/zxnxVv6e4D\n\nAs discussed in my #LiveTradingRoom Mon:\nShort $SMCI below $606 with 2 PTs: \n$428.69 and $357\n\nYes, $357 because that = Jan 2024 breakout. Translation: ALL gains erased for the year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.23484184862939617, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23484184862939617, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.22900265328947178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22085044986282587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005839195339924386, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013991398766570295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012018330915726905, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012018330915726905, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01192868997302643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02104222316050708, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.964094270047518e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009023892244780174, "ret_p1w": -0.045141918542720094, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045141918542720094, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03197712211886772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0007065712457574591, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013164796423852376, "bench_c_p1w": -0.044435347296962635, "ret_p1m": -0.09265141120319731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09265141120319731, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12087174528301614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13005973933941606, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028220334079818832, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03740832813621875, "ret_p3m": -0.13391506700944378, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13391506700944378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20746495689433075, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20040663819297078, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07354988988488698, "bench_c_p3m": 0.066491571183527, "ret_p6m": 0.336445055421448, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.336445055421448, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23611747988664344, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23244420166751434, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10032757553480454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10400085375393364, "ret_p1y": 0.023021938057895985, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.023021938057895985, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1438314152911444, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1962112314635105, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1668533533490404, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21923316952140648, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09265141120319731, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12087174528301614, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13005973933941606, "price_path": [0.7689, 0.7376, 0.7399, 0.8096, 0.7541, 0.7342, 0.7742, 0.7308, 0.7469, 0.9642, 0.9043, 1.001, 1.0745, 1.0745, 1.0691, 1.0412, 0.8647, 0.9011, 0.8741, 1.0076, 0.8475, 0.8317, 0.8877, 0.9099, 0.9099, 0.9089, 1.0279, 1.0195, 1.0293, 1.0051, 1.0518, 1.0241, 0.9774, 0.8407, 0.8075, 0.7966, 0.7729, 0.766, 0.6045, 0.5685, 0.6059, 0.5733, 0.5024, 0.5821, 0.5158, 0.4085, 0.3728, 0.3911, 0.111, 0.1498, 0.1472, 0.2198, 0.2795, 0.3012, 0.4131, 0.4178, 0.4062, 0.3775, 0.4065, 0.3638, 0.3828, 0.2684, 0.2348, 0.0, 0.012, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.0039, -0.0451, -0.0651, -0.1286, -0.0758, -0.0694, 0.0043, -0.0031, 0.0308, 0.0126, -0.0093, -0.0149, -0.0142, 0.0311, 0.0506, 0.0454, 0.0331, -0.0927, -0.0536, -0.0611, -0.0857, -0.053, -0.0631, -0.0703, 0.0765, 0.0226, 0.0663, 0.0478, 0.0778, 0.0686, 0.0769, 0.0992, 0.0731, 0.0656, 0.0778, 0.0366, 0.0228, 0.0424, 0.0659, 0.076, 0.1076, -0.2543, -0.3436, -0.4126, -0.4131, -0.3754, -0.4882, -0.4255, -0.4471, -0.4762, -0.5107, -0.5416, -0.5939, -0.5811, -0.5143, -0.3626, -0.4183, -0.3303, -0.2525, -0.1339, -0.2237, -0.2092, -0.2092, -0.264, -0.053, -0.0933, -0.0573, -0.0724, -0.0094, -0.0043, -0.0859, -0.1366, -0.1447, -0.1781, -0.246, -0.2379, -0.2733, -0.2956, -0.2877, -0.2694, -0.2259, -0.2259, -0.2392, -0.2789, -0.3082, -0.3127, -0.3127, -0.3224, -0.2485, -0.1781, -0.2248, -0.2647, -0.2647, -0.2649, -0.2992, -0.3116, -0.3012, -0.2983, -0.3051, -0.3051, -0.2683, -0.2365, -0.2467, -0.2498, -0.3445, -0.3646, -0.3732, -0.3542, -0.3569, -0.3946, -0.3425, -0.29, -0.237, -0.1819, -0.0383, -0.1294, -0.1053, -0.0467, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.2582, 0.3585, 0.3364]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1831679828942094598", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-05T13:04:36+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another reason why I have rec'd bonds to clients since April. $TLT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TLT since April; productivity > wages reduces inflation/wage-spiral risk, giving Fed room to run hot — bullish bonds.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another reason why I have rec'd bonds to clients since April. $TLT\n\nThey love productivity > wages.\n\nGoolsbee said, \"nothing is more important than the productivity growth rate.\"\n\nWhy? If productivity growth offsets wage growth, then the Fed has less fear higher wages can stoke inflation. No wage spiral. \n\nHe also said if productivity continues to run above long-term trend, \"it will definitely change the way we think about the economy.\"\n\nTranslation: Fed can let it run hot, as long as productivity is outpacing wages.\n\nSo what asset class cares most about (wage) inflation? All of them, but especially, BONDS!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Another thing bonds just love and forgot to mention yday: \n\nPRODUCTIVITY &gt; WAGES &gt; INFLATION\n\n*(US) Q2 PRELIMINARY NONFARM PRODUCTIVITY: 2.3% V 1.8%E; UNIT LABOR COSTS: 0.9% V 1.7%E  \n\nAnd higher jobless claims pulling recession risk forward = SAFETY PAYS.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005624051677238673, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005624051677238673, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008062162185361932, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008062162185361932, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002438110508123259, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002438110508123259, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00010038814821156095, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00010038814821156095, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016729815820018756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016729815820018756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016830203968230317, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016830203968230317, "ret_p1w": 0.005724439825450345, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005724439825450345, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011524222891341696, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011524222891341696, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01724866271679204, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01724866271679204, "ret_p1m": -0.03727244905156768, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03727244905156768, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08299108516479636, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08299108516479636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04571863611322868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04571863611322868, "ret_p3m": -0.055930835046643645, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.055930835046643645, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15809843090166242, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15809843090166242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10216759585501878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10216759585501878, "ret_p6m": -0.0553183350352735, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0553183350352735, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14337792556184947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14337792556184947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08805959052657597, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08805959052657597, "ret_p1y": -0.09343697183037447, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09343697183037447, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27695256189131423, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.27695256189131423, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18351559006093976, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18351559006093976, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03727244905156768, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08299108516479636, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08299108516479636, "price_path": [-0.096, -0.0867, -0.0798, -0.0663, -0.0584, -0.0678, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0617, -0.0601, -0.0736, -0.0699, -0.0872, -0.1029, -0.096, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.0765, -0.0745, -0.0786, -0.0757, -0.0667, -0.0627, -0.0735, -0.0604, -0.0602, -0.0674, -0.0729, -0.0756, -0.0769, -0.0869, -0.0794, -0.0722, -0.0672, -0.0636, -0.054, -0.0459, -0.0162, -0.011, -0.0331, -0.0399, -0.0458, -0.0364, -0.0329, -0.0262, -0.0201, -0.028, -0.0246, -0.0201, -0.0123, -0.0117, -0.0215, -0.0151, -0.0176, -0.0193, -0.0205, -0.0237, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0183, -0.0056, 0.0, -0.0001, 0.0042, 0.0112, 0.0104, 0.0057, 0.0084, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0069, -0.009, -0.0092, -0.0175, -0.0152, -0.01, -0.0148, -0.0077, -0.016, -0.0253, -0.0373, -0.0445, -0.0429, -0.0484, -0.0521, -0.0559, -0.0552, -0.0437, -0.0397, -0.0549, -0.0542, -0.0707, -0.0698, -0.0723, -0.0664, -0.0716, -0.0741, -0.0727, -0.07, -0.0685, -0.0816, -0.0674, -0.0624, -0.0881, -0.0767, -0.065, -0.0695, -0.0835, -0.0922, -0.0869, -0.0893, -0.0877, -0.0831, -0.086, -0.0867, -0.0862, -0.0625, -0.0662, -0.0597, -0.0597, -0.05, -0.0477, -0.0559, -0.0458, -0.0439, -0.0424, -0.0513, -0.0557, -0.0647, -0.076, -0.0855, -0.0827, -0.0805, -0.092, -0.1057, -0.1006, -0.1089, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1056, -0.113, -0.1058, -0.1106, -0.1106, -0.1082, -0.111, -0.115, -0.125, -0.1239, -0.1239, -0.1297, -0.13, -0.1314, -0.1164, -0.1136, -0.112, -0.112, -0.1041, -0.1088, -0.1157, -0.1117, -0.1012, -0.1019, -0.1037, -0.1003, -0.1062, -0.099, -0.0962, -0.0813, -0.0817, -0.0876, -0.0904, -0.0962, -0.1085, -0.0936, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.0996, -0.0984, -0.0951, -0.0841, -0.0815, -0.0656, -0.0601, -0.0668, -0.0553]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869114061935227032", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-17T20:14:53+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA to 433.20/422.62, IWM to 224.23, and QQQ/SPX as catch-down trades on breadth breakdown, yield spike, and VX3:VIX ratio warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM & BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers were rolling over? Do they all smell the yield spike now?\n\n💠I showed not only the continued breadth breakdown and net selling under the surface but also warned that ‘crashes occur from oversold not overbought’ territory. And my repeated mantra: in lieu of sector rotation there will be volatility. \n\n💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.\n\n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\n💠DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\n\n💠and so much more…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO!\n\nhttps://t.co/EqbVewNf7Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006428294879486929, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006428294879486929, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00229125884650605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00229125884650605, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02605792863657297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02605792863657297, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003745532516931882, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003745532516931882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "ret_p1w": -0.004179480920706635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004179480920706635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002580534790306732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002580534790306732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "ret_p1m": -0.0047781724558035865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0047781724558035865, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010967406270543822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010967406270543822, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "ret_p3m": -0.041857503937293816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.041857503937293816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02365032535314804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02365032535314804, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "ret_p6m": -0.005866918212495631, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005866918212495631, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007371135649378302, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.007371135649378302, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "bench_c_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "ret_p1y": 0.11783668669854364, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11783668669854364, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.02848461365120003, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02848461365120003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004179480920706635, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.002580534790306732, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002580534790306732, "price_path": [-0.0363, -0.0354, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0387, -0.0329, -0.0299, -0.0295, -0.0332, -0.0323, -0.0367, -0.0288, -0.0376, -0.0348, -0.0251, -0.026, -0.0166, -0.0117, -0.0194, -0.0121, -0.0081, -0.0073, -0.0148, -0.015, -0.0245, -0.0277, -0.0337, -0.027, -0.0306, -0.0323, -0.0417, -0.0354, -0.0408, -0.0311, 0.0032, 0.0036, 0.0098, 0.0165, 0.0082, 0.0091, 0.0043, -0.0024, -0.0032, -0.0063, -0.0029, 0.0078, 0.0174, 0.0275, 0.0306, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0333, 0.0302, 0.0283, 0.0353, 0.0301, 0.0266, 0.0218, 0.0186, 0.0159, 0.0108, 0.0087, 0.0064, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.0253, -0.0133, -0.0125, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0025, -0.0099, -0.0197, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0242, -0.0165, -0.0165, -0.0207, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.0345, -0.0261, -0.0211, -0.0048, -0.0063, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.0259, 0.023, 0.0299, 0.0328, 0.03, 0.0338, 0.0259, 0.0233, 0.0262, 0.0334, 0.0304, 0.0207, 0.0245, 0.0275, 0.0218, 0.0302, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0271, 0.0288, 0.019, 0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0061, 0.0019, -0.0027, 0.0112, -0.0033, -0.0183, -0.007, -0.0175, -0.0121, -0.0323, -0.0433, -0.0451, -0.057, -0.0419, -0.033, -0.0392, -0.0302, -0.0309, -0.0302, -0.0166, -0.0159, -0.0195, -0.0225, -0.0394, -0.0296, -0.0303, -0.0246, -0.0635, -0.1143, -0.1227, -0.1299, -0.0615, -0.0855, -0.0711, -0.063, -0.067, -0.083, -0.095, -0.095, -0.1176, -0.0939, -0.0845, -0.0728, -0.0727, -0.0698, -0.063, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0449, -0.0467, -0.056, -0.0495, -0.043, -0.0463, -0.019, -0.0253, -0.0275, -0.0208, -0.0129, -0.0095, -0.012, -0.031, -0.0308, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0192, -0.0248, -0.0224, -0.0215, -0.0195, -0.0142, -0.0167, -0.0189, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.0058, -0.0059]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869114061935227032", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-17T20:14:53+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA to 433.20/422.62, IWM to 224.23, and QQQ/SPX as catch-down trades on breadth breakdown, yield spike, and VX3:VIX ratio warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM & BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers were rolling over? Do they all smell the yield spike now?\n\n💠I showed not only the continued breadth breakdown and net selling under the surface but also warned that ‘crashes occur from oversold not overbought’ territory. And my repeated mantra: in lieu of sector rotation there will be volatility. \n\n💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.\n\n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\n💠DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\n\n💠and so much more…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO!\n\nhttps://t.co/EqbVewNf7Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011580812720869416, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011580812720869416, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007443776687888537, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007443776687888537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04427228079662071, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04427228079662071, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01446881964311586, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01446881964311586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "ret_p1w": -0.033236699154553184, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033236699154553184, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03163775302415328, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03163775302415328, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "ret_p1m": -0.030423773496619733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030423773496619733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014678194770272324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014678194770272324, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "ret_p3m": -0.12195439894057125, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12195439894057125, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0564465696501294, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0564465696501294, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "ret_p6m": -0.07340026713707681, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07340026713707681, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07490448457395948, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07490448457395948, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "bench_c_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "ret_p1y": 0.09837199806905983, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09837199806905983, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.047949302280683836, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.047949302280683836, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.033236699154553184, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03163775302415328, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03163775302415328, "price_path": [-0.0369, -0.0472, -0.0507, -0.0491, -0.0607, -0.0557, -0.0493, -0.0469, -0.0598, -0.0611, -0.0674, -0.0544, -0.0618, -0.0612, -0.0591, -0.0643, -0.0453, -0.0383, -0.0375, -0.0216, -0.0243, -0.0263, -0.0417, -0.0453, -0.054, -0.0519, -0.0555, -0.0401, -0.0432, -0.0445, -0.0604, -0.0551, -0.0503, -0.0325, 0.0236, 0.02, 0.0275, 0.0429, 0.0246, 0.0145, 0.0008, -0.0141, -0.0122, -0.0049, -0.0036, 0.0116, 0.0303, 0.0459, 0.0382, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0436, 0.0431, 0.0357, 0.0394, 0.0273, 0.031, 0.0258, 0.0213, 0.0259, 0.0126, 0.0057, 0.0116, 0.0, -0.0443, -0.0485, -0.0396, -0.0418, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0233, -0.0376, -0.045, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.043, -0.0287, -0.0283, -0.0361, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0616, -0.0598, -0.0491, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0055, -0.012, -0.0075, -0.0103, -0.0198, -0.0187, -0.0209, -0.011, -0.0199, -0.0313, -0.0179, -0.0072, -0.0105, -0.0219, -0.0175, -0.0232, -0.0322, -0.0213, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.0167, -0.0201, -0.0295, -0.0574, -0.0642, -0.0678, -0.0666, -0.0808, -0.0711, -0.0965, -0.1067, -0.0978, -0.1116, -0.1087, -0.1311, -0.1312, -0.1297, -0.1427, -0.122, -0.1109, -0.1186, -0.1049, -0.1106, -0.1161, -0.0941, -0.0991, -0.1083, -0.1125, -0.1306, -0.1347, -0.1346, -0.121, -0.1774, -0.2141, -0.2212, -0.2417, -0.1773, -0.2119, -0.2004, -0.1909, -0.1899, -0.1977, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.2074, -0.1869, -0.1748, -0.1583, -0.158, -0.1545, -0.1495, -0.1548, -0.1496, -0.1304, -0.1371, -0.1465, -0.1437, -0.1274, -0.129, -0.0984, -0.0951, -0.1031, -0.0973, -0.0898, -0.0936, -0.0931, -0.1186, -0.1186, -0.1214, -0.1214, -0.0991, -0.1086, -0.106, -0.1105, -0.1078, -0.0934, -0.0959, -0.0955, -0.0809, -0.0746, -0.0696, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869114061935227032", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-17T20:14:53+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA to 433.20/422.62, IWM to 224.23, and QQQ/SPX as catch-down trades on breadth breakdown, yield spike, and VX3:VIX ratio warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM & BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers were rolling over? Do they all smell the yield spike now?\n\n💠I showed not only the continued breadth breakdown and net selling under the surface but also warned that ‘crashes occur from oversold not overbought’ territory. And my repeated mantra: in lieu of sector rotation there will be volatility. \n\n💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.\n\n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\n💠DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\n\n💠and so much more…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO!\n\nhttps://t.co/EqbVewNf7Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004423364836775523, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004423364836775523, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002863288037946443, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002863288037946443, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036076878181905636, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036076878181905636, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006273417028400785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006273417028400785, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "ret_p1w": -0.009304521066039628, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009304521066039628, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007705574935639725, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007705574935639725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "ret_p1m": -0.03409242655502387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03409242655502387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01834684782867646, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01834684782867646, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "ret_p3m": -0.10333420712126828, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10333420712126828, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03782637783082643, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03782637783082643, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "ret_p6m": -0.0032405935465765756, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0032405935465765756, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004744810983459247, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004744810983459247, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "bench_c_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "ret_p1y": 0.16891009709609617, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.16891009709609617, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.022588796746352502, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.022588796746352502, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009304521066039628, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007705574935639725, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007705574935639725, "price_path": [-0.0991, -0.1009, -0.0985, -0.0941, -0.0933, -0.0865, -0.0915, -0.0891, -0.1018, -0.1005, -0.1012, -0.0905, -0.1002, -0.0868, -0.0796, -0.0806, -0.0792, -0.0715, -0.0839, -0.0838, -0.0831, -0.0771, -0.0754, -0.0744, -0.0885, -0.0811, -0.0756, -0.0754, -0.0665, -0.0736, -0.097, -0.0903, -0.0929, -0.0814, -0.0564, -0.0415, -0.0404, -0.041, -0.0427, -0.044, -0.0506, -0.0732, -0.0668, -0.0604, -0.0609, -0.0575, -0.056, -0.0545, -0.0494, -0.0569, -0.0569, -0.0486, -0.0383, -0.0353, -0.0234, -0.0261, -0.0174, -0.025, -0.0284, -0.011, -0.0174, -0.0098, 0.0044, 0.0, -0.0361, -0.0404, -0.032, -0.0226, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.01, -0.0231, -0.0361, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0462, -0.0306, -0.0194, -0.0369, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0519, -0.0549, -0.0558, -0.0341, -0.0409, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.019, -0.0064, -0.0043, -0.0099, -0.0387, -0.0245, -0.0264, -0.0222, -0.0236, -0.0315, -0.0196, -0.0151, -0.01, -0.0225, -0.0106, -0.013, -0.0124, 0.0018, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0083, 0.0086, 0.0043, -0.0166, -0.0282, -0.0404, -0.0381, -0.0648, -0.05, -0.0708, -0.0736, -0.0616, -0.0874, -0.0807, -0.1163, -0.1184, -0.1085, -0.1245, -0.1033, -0.0975, -0.1129, -0.101, -0.1041, -0.1011, -0.0814, -0.0762, -0.0932, -0.0983, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.115, -0.1086, -0.1563, -0.2087, -0.2068, -0.2211, -0.1276, -0.1647, -0.1493, -0.1435, -0.1426, -0.1684, -0.1686, -0.1686, -0.1891, -0.1679, -0.149, -0.125, -0.1153, -0.1156, -0.1097, -0.1098, -0.0982, -0.0848, -0.0903, -0.0987, -0.0952, -0.0858, -0.0864, -0.0492, -0.0347, -0.0289, -0.0279, -0.0236, -0.0227, -0.026, -0.0395, -0.0377, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0242, -0.0285, -0.0266, -0.0281, -0.0205, -0.0128, -0.0101, -0.0175, -0.0079, -0.0064, 0.0001, -0.0032]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869114061935227032", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-17T20:14:53+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA to 433.20/422.62, IWM to 224.23, and QQQ/SPX as catch-down trades on breadth breakdown, yield spike, and VX3:VIX ratio warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM & BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers were rolling over? Do they all smell the yield spike now?\n\n💠I showed not only the continued breadth breakdown and net selling under the surface but also warned that ‘crashes occur from oversold not overbought’ territory. And my repeated mantra: in lieu of sector rotation there will be volatility. \n\n💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.\n\n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\n💠DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\n\n💠and so much more…\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO!\n\nhttps://t.co/EqbVewNf7Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004137036032980879, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004137036032980879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02980346115350485, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02980346115350485, "ret_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001598946130399903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001598946130399903, "ret_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01574557872634741, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01574557872634741, "ret_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06550782929044185, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06550782929044185, "ret_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.001504217436882671, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "bench_c_p6m": 0.001504217436882671, "ret_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14632130034974367, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14632130034974367, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.001598946130399903, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.058, -0.0596, -0.0573, -0.0546, -0.0567, -0.0529, -0.0543, -0.0505, -0.059, -0.0586, -0.0604, -0.0518, -0.0604, -0.0515, -0.0449, -0.0466, -0.0409, -0.033, -0.0406, -0.0364, -0.0363, -0.0326, -0.0342, -0.0347, -0.0435, -0.0415, -0.0418, -0.0388, -0.0373, -0.0402, -0.059, -0.055, -0.0571, -0.0457, -0.0219, -0.0144, -0.0101, -0.0092, -0.0122, -0.0117, -0.0181, -0.0307, -0.0267, -0.0232, -0.0228, -0.0176, -0.0145, -0.0112, -0.006, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0029, -0.0011, -0.0006, 0.0056, 0.0039, 0.0058, 0.0006, -0.0025, 0.0052, 0.0001, -0.0001, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0298, -0.0301, -0.0185, -0.0126, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0015, -0.012, -0.0233, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0293, -0.0171, -0.0115, -0.0226, -0.0212, -0.0212, -0.0362, -0.0347, -0.0333, -0.0157, -0.0176, -0.0078, -0.0078, 0.0013, 0.0069, 0.0124, 0.0095, -0.0048, 0.0037, -0.0008, 0.0046, -0.0007, -0.0075, -0.0008, 0.0032, 0.0067, -0.0025, 0.0043, 0.0051, 0.0018, 0.0124, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0153, 0.0177, 0.0135, -0.0039, -0.0084, -0.0133, -0.0128, -0.0286, -0.0134, -0.0307, -0.0422, -0.0319, -0.0491, -0.0437, -0.0692, -0.0769, -0.072, -0.0844, -0.0655, -0.0583, -0.0685, -0.0583, -0.0611, -0.0607, -0.0439, -0.0416, -0.0531, -0.0556, -0.0746, -0.0684, -0.0658, -0.0598, -0.1062, -0.1585, -0.16, -0.1732, -0.0863, -0.1264, -0.1108, -0.1022, -0.1047, -0.1246, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.1442, -0.1219, -0.1083, -0.0895, -0.083, -0.0826, -0.0768, -0.0765, -0.0699, -0.0561, -0.0615, -0.0694, -0.0655, -0.0589, -0.0601, -0.0291, -0.0227, -0.0214, -0.0166, -0.0104, -0.0093, -0.0127, -0.0293, -0.0289, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0155, -0.0212, -0.0173, -0.0184, -0.0129, -0.0073, -0.0075, -0.0123, -0.0022, -0.0013, 0.0044, 0.0015]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849888105727393912", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-25T18:57:48+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Much more likely $TLT rises on a Trump victory in my opinion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TLT more likely to rise on a Trump victory than a Kamala victory; bullish TLT.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SehrLangsam2 @DannyDayan5 Much more likely $TLT rises on a Trump victory in my opinion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@DannyDayan5 @ubenjammin2 @SamanthaLaDuc @ces921 @trentkelp Buy $TLT ahead of a Kamala victory ( $XBI $XBH $KRE $TAN) - mark it down. \nDivided Congress (senate def going GOP), lame duck prez, but better social. \nVol heading back to sub 15 regardless...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SehrLangsam2", "ret_m1d": 0.005643801500512691, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005643801500512691, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005298169714006207, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005298169714006207, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00034563178650648396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00034563178650648396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002713321569846494, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002713321569846494, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00580485966894706, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00580485966894706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003091538099100566, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003091538099100566, "ret_p1w": -0.010781226757686668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010781226757686668, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003034685858680386, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003034685858680386, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013815912616367054, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013815912616367054, "ret_p1m": 0.009800362168127519, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009800362168127519, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02213212076542903, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02213212076542903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193248293355655, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193248293355655, "ret_p3m": -0.04001904366593245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04001904366593245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09086402893919998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09086402893919998, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05084498527326753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05084498527326753, "ret_p6m": -0.04682434845811334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04682434845811334, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06004095518796315, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06004095518796315, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10686530364607649, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10686530364607649, "ret_p1y": 0.029644432132667875, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.029644432132667875, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12792880888875846, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12792880888875846, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15757324102142634, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15757324102142634, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009800362168127519, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02213212076542903, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02213212076542903, "price_path": [0.0086, 0.0189, 0.0277, 0.0598, 0.0654, 0.0415, 0.0342, 0.0278, 0.038, 0.0417, 0.049, 0.0555, 0.047, 0.0507, 0.0555, 0.064, 0.0646, 0.054, 0.0609, 0.0582, 0.0564, 0.0551, 0.0517, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0575, 0.0711, 0.0772, 0.077, 0.0817, 0.0893, 0.0884, 0.0833, 0.0862, 0.0962, 0.0909, 0.0774, 0.0738, 0.0697, 0.0674, 0.0672, 0.0583, 0.0608, 0.0663, 0.0613, 0.0689, 0.0599, 0.0499, 0.037, 0.0292, 0.0309, 0.0251, 0.0211, 0.0169, 0.0177, 0.0301, 0.0344, 0.018, 0.0188, 0.001, 0.002, -0.0008, 0.0056, 0.0, -0.0027, -0.0012, 0.0017, 0.0034, -0.0108, 0.0046, 0.0099, -0.0178, -0.0054, 0.0072, 0.0023, -0.0127, -0.0221, -0.0164, -0.0191, -0.0173, -0.0123, -0.0155, -0.0162, -0.0157, 0.0098, 0.0059, 0.0128, 0.0128, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0169, 0.0278, 0.0299, 0.0314, 0.0219, 0.0171, 0.0075, -0.0047, -0.0149, -0.0119, -0.0095, -0.0219, -0.0367, -0.0312, -0.0401, -0.0361, -0.0361, -0.0366, -0.0445, -0.0368, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0394, -0.0424, -0.0467, -0.0575, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0625, -0.0628, -0.0644, -0.0482, -0.0452, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.035, -0.04, -0.0475, -0.0432, -0.0319, -0.0326, -0.0345, -0.0309, -0.0373, -0.0294, -0.0265, -0.0104, -0.0108, -0.0172, -0.0202, -0.0265, -0.0397, -0.0237, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0301, -0.0289, -0.0253, -0.0135, -0.0106, 0.0065, 0.0124, 0.0052, 0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0097, 0.0017, -0.0016, -0.0048, 0.0055, -0.0016, -0.0076, 0.0011, -0.0042, 0.0008, 0.0018, 0.007, 0.0076, 0.0017, -0.0086, -0.0087, -0.0152, -0.0181, -0.0045, 0.0053, 0.014, 0.0134, 0.018, 0.0291, -0.0019, -0.0208, -0.015, -0.0422, -0.037, -0.0301, -0.0267, -0.0212, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0468]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1879685178723049523", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-16T00:20:44+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't short gasoline", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Don't short gasoline/crude amid extreme cold snap hitting 80M Americans; implied long WTIC.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know: “Don’t short gasoline” h/t @oilin60 🎩\n\n$WTIC #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nearly 80 million Americans will be below 0°F by next Tuesday when extremely cold Canadian / Siberian Arctic air descends on the Lower 48.  \n\nThe nationwide average low temperature will be only 6°F https://t.co/1tK8M7ijex", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01687959796569105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01687959796569105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014952790622396739, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014952790622396739, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019268073432943122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019268073432943122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005063971376617182, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005063971376617182, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015103767718233074, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015103767718233074, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010039796341615892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010039796341615892, "ret_p1w": -0.044972308260645244, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044972308260645244, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0755820295141707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0755820295141707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030609721253525457, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030609721253525457, "ret_p1m": -0.08584521988182992, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08584521988182992, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11637057838939835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11637057838939835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030525358507568434, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030525358507568434, "ret_p3m": -0.19845669881793138, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19845669881793138, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1098677360463508, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1098677360463508, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08858896277158057, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08858896277158057, "ret_p6m": -0.06812155003094444, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06812155003094444, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1284709230237222, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1284709230237222, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06034937299277776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06034937299277776, "ret_p1y": -0.15336388770532394, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15336388770532394, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3294100513356838, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3294100513356838, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17604616363035985, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17604616363035985, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08584521988182992, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11637057838939835, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11637057838939835, "price_path": [-0.1288, -0.108, -0.1132, -0.1191, -0.105, -0.1508, -0.1601, -0.1396, -0.1189, -0.1317, -0.1043, -0.099, -0.1013, -0.0998, -0.1183, -0.1447, -0.1477, -0.1472, -0.1405, -0.159, -0.1311, -0.1282, -0.1317, -0.1174, -0.1048, -0.1307, -0.1366, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1366, -0.1435, -0.1194, -0.1333, -0.1383, -0.1531, -0.1419, -0.1391, -0.1159, -0.1173, -0.1053, -0.1114, -0.1162, -0.1206, -0.1245, -0.1186, -0.1191, -0.112, -0.112, -0.1183, -0.1096, -0.0979, -0.0891, -0.0891, -0.0725, -0.0605, -0.068, -0.0575, -0.068, -0.068, -0.0277, -0.0086, -0.0153, 0.0169, 0.0, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0221, -0.0303, -0.045, -0.0403, -0.0604, -0.0492, -0.0622, -0.0626, -0.0593, -0.0617, -0.0655, -0.0826, -0.0903, -0.0854, -0.0668, -0.0563, -0.0798, -0.079, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0721, -0.0662, -0.0625, -0.0915, -0.084, -0.1062, -0.1096, -0.0924, -0.0931, -0.116, -0.1161, -0.1389, -0.1424, -0.1308, -0.1453, -0.1385, -0.1223, -0.1365, -0.1285, -0.1233, -0.1294, -0.1268, -0.111, -0.1103, -0.0972, -0.0979, -0.0907, -0.0899, -0.0985, -0.0676, -0.0707, -0.0627, -0.1289, -0.1811, -0.2045, -0.2363, -0.1852, -0.2124, -0.1987, -0.1963, -0.1985, -0.1831, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1727, -0.1636, -0.1795, -0.1746, -0.1677, -0.183, -0.2061, -0.2337, -0.2221, -0.2282, -0.248, -0.2211, -0.2343, -0.2091, -0.1969, -0.185, -0.161, -0.1713, -0.1851, -0.1789, -0.174, -0.1722, -0.1851, -0.1905, -0.1803, -0.1803, -0.1888, -0.1815, -0.1899, -0.1904, -0.1614, -0.1573, -0.164, -0.1569, -0.1394, -0.1313, -0.1367, -0.0979, -0.0951, -0.0328, -0.0524, -0.0077, -0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0022, -0.0787, -0.1198, -0.1161, -0.1127, -0.1165, -0.1185, -0.1086, -0.0886, -0.0934, -0.0934, -0.0779, -0.0721, -0.0725, -0.091, -0.0681]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1845886918589886684", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-14T17:58:30+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If China does a second devaluation of the CNH versus Gold ... then we are likely to see the CNH plunge versus Gold, and if they maintain their relative FX at the same time the USD will plunge along with the CNH versus Gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Chinese equities and gold on CNH devaluation thesis; CNH and USD both lose vs gold as China pushes asset prices higher via currency debasement.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China's Saturday \"hot mic\" moment - txs @Luther97777506 for the share!\n\nBy default or design, it will hold investors' interest in China stocks big picture, as they await for fiscal spending to be approved & then announced. Discussed repeatedly in my client posts:\n\n1. THE CHINA BAZOOKA - Sept 24th\n2. IS THE CHINA BAZOOKA STICKY ENOUGH? - Oct 3rd\n3. HOW TO PLAY CHINA'S PARABOLA - Oct 5th\n4. CHINA'S RHETORIC/STIMULUS MEETING SATURDAY - Oct 11th\n\nSo far, this is all playing out perfectly.\n\nBut here's the BIGGER reason to own Chinese equities, even if they don't pass fiscal ...\nH/t @GraphCall \n\nWhen you buy Gold with your own currency, commodities (assets, stocks, property) go up versus the currency. That is the devaluation China has been doing all year!\n\nSo for this recent round of monetary & capital market stimulus,\n\n\"If it is not enough they will devalue the CNH versus Gold more (that's the normal way to do a devaluation BTW), and the USD will move also against Gold, and the USD assets will move \"up\", but by less than the USD goes down against the Gold. And the Chinese assets will be in a pressure cooker and move much faster because they are much cheaper... \"\n\nClassical Economics is a marvelous edge in understanding Macro & at LaDucTrading, we are at a distinct advantage in having Geoffrey as macro advisor for clients!\nhttps://t.co/IWXWxOfOLZ\n\n\"I think people in the West should be careful what they wish for on CHINA deval. If China does a second devaluation of the CNH versus Gold (remember they don't need USD to buy Gold, they have a Gold exchange in Shanghai in Yuan), then we are likely to see the CNH plunge versus Gold, and if they maintain their relative FX at the same time  the USD will plunge along with the CNH versus Gold.  \n\nChina absolutely DOES NOT need a devaluation for exports, trade balance, production / consumption purposes - like Argentina. \n\nThe CNH is down huge versus Gold. And the replacement costs for real-estate got a big pump upwards in China.\n\nBasically,\nWhen you push down your currency vs Gold that moves up asset prices....\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "“Wanna discuss the specific numbers?”\n“Not now …”\n\nAt today’s presser, China’s Minister of Finance whispering with his deputy. 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{"unit_id": "reply:1832135560221356099", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-06T19:15:31+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am Uber-bearish oil", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Uber-bearish oil, yields, equities; uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks under a 'Liquidity Deflation' thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Respectfully disagree. \n\nYou see RESURGENT INFLATION.\n\nI see the exact opposite.\n\nEverything changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April and I doubled down in May.\n\nI am Uber-bearish oil and yields and equities. I am Uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks and cash.\n\nI call it:\n\nLIQUIDITY DEFLATION", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc ICYMI, here is my piece about why they shouldn’t be cutting at all.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UrbanKaoboy", "ret_m1d": 0.013927159150187496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013927159150187496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0031911494432617094, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031911494432617094, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004932487108448402, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004932487108448402, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006263766399956072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006263766399956072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "ret_p1w": 0.013201741312723003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013201741312723003, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02686396705488403, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02686396705488403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "ret_p1m": 0.14899168138107877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14899168138107877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09498774683414246, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09498774683414246, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "ret_p3m": 0.042796996013079625, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042796996013079625, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08519880627350873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08519880627350873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "ret_p6m": 0.06368779007997194, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06368779007997194, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.023608438013673627, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.023608438013673627, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "ret_p1y": 0.07427829281755538, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07427829281755538, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13453713660052524, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13453713660052524, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14899168138107877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09498774683414246, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09498774683414246, "price_path": [0.0955, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1037, 0.1285, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.152, 0.141, 0.1562, 0.1446, 0.1425, 0.1594, 0.1546, 0.1829, 0.1767, 0.179, 0.179, 0.1796, 0.1667, 0.1573, 0.1676, 0.1742, 0.1642, 0.1623, 0.147, 0.1696, 0.1591, 0.1316, 0.1261, 0.1116, 0.1143, 0.1237, 0.1042, 0.0908, 0.0802, 0.1278, 0.1068, 0.0647, 0.0622, 0.0511, 0.0836, 0.0933, 0.1058, 0.1407, 0.1264, 0.1111, 0.123, 0.1072, 0.0791, 0.0711, 0.0532, 0.0675, 0.096, 0.1291, 0.1097, 0.095, 0.1137, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0313, 0.0099, 0.0139, 0.0, 0.0049, -0.0286, -0.0157, 0.0139, 0.0132, 0.0283, 0.0405, 0.0251, 0.0554, 0.0579, 0.0482, 0.0633, 0.037, 0.0012, 0.0194, 0.0144, 0.0461, 0.0556, 0.0987, 0.1076, 0.149, 0.0995, 0.0917, 0.1282, 0.1242, 0.1016, 0.0556, 0.0503, 0.0535, 0.0355, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.067, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0218, 0.0106, 0.0353, 0.0602, 0.0448, 0.0778, 0.0841, 0.0814, 0.0831, 0.0609, 0.0292, 0.0255, 0.0261, 0.0342, 0.0119, 0.0456, 0.049, 0.0448, 0.0619, 0.0772, 0.046, 0.0389, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0389, 0.0306, 0.0596, 0.0428, 0.0368, 0.019, 0.0325, 0.0358, 0.0638, 0.0621, 0.0766, 0.0692, 0.0634, 0.0582, 0.0534, 0.0605, 0.0599, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0609, 0.0714, 0.0854, 0.096, 0.096, 0.1161, 0.1304, 0.1214, 0.134, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1699, 0.1929, 0.1848, 0.2236, 0.2032, 0.1972, 0.1972, 0.1767, 0.1668, 0.1491, 0.1548, 0.1306, 0.1441, 0.1284, 0.128, 0.1319, 0.129, 0.1245, 0.1039, 0.0946, 0.1005, 0.1229, 0.1355, 0.1072, 0.1082, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1165, 0.1236, 0.1281, 0.0931, 0.1021, 0.0754, 0.0714, 0.0921, 0.0913, 0.0637]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1832135560221356099", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-06T19:15:31+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Uber-bullish bonds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Uber-bearish oil, yields, equities; uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks under a 'Liquidity Deflation' thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Respectfully disagree. \n\nYou see RESURGENT INFLATION.\n\nI see the exact opposite.\n\nEverything changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April and I doubled down in May.\n\nI am Uber-bearish oil and yields and equities. I am Uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks and cash.\n\nI call it:\n\nLIQUIDITY DEFLATION", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc ICYMI, here is my piece about why they shouldn’t be cutting at all.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UrbanKaoboy", "ret_m1d": 0.00010039822700380618, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00010039822700380618, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0170179103664454, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0170179103664454, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004319025869248927, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004319025869248927, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006877227639155548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006877227639155548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "ret_p1w": 0.008537736211845948, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008537736211845948, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.031527972155761086, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031527972155761086, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "ret_p1m": -0.04443092936918569, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04443092936918569, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.098434863916122, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.098434863916122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "ret_p3m": -0.04569045572607722, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04569045572607722, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17368625801266557, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17368625801266557, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "ret_p6m": -0.050814321418390374, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.050814321418390374, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13811054951203594, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13811054951203594, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "ret_p1y": -0.09386804183016872, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09386804183016872, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30268347124824935, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30268347124824935, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04443092936918569, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.098434863916122, "alpha_c_stated": -0.098434863916122, "price_path": [-0.0866, -0.0797, -0.0662, -0.0583, -0.0677, -0.0591, -0.0591, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0616, -0.06, -0.0735, -0.0698, -0.0871, -0.1028, -0.0959, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0764, -0.0744, -0.0785, -0.0756, -0.0666, -0.0626, -0.0734, -0.0603, -0.0601, -0.0673, -0.0728, -0.0755, -0.0768, -0.0868, -0.0793, -0.0721, -0.0671, -0.0635, -0.054, -0.0458, -0.0161, -0.0109, -0.033, -0.0398, -0.0457, -0.0363, -0.0328, -0.0261, -0.02, -0.0279, -0.0245, -0.02, -0.0122, -0.0116, -0.0214, -0.015, -0.0175, -0.0192, -0.0204, -0.0236, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0182, -0.0055, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0113, 0.0105, 0.0058, 0.0085, 0.0178, 0.0129, 0.0003, -0.003, -0.0068, -0.0089, -0.0091, -0.0174, -0.0151, -0.0099, -0.0147, -0.0076, -0.0159, -0.0252, -0.0372, -0.0444, -0.0428, -0.0483, -0.052, -0.0558, -0.0551, -0.0436, -0.0396, -0.0548, -0.0541, -0.0706, -0.0697, -0.0722, -0.0663, -0.0715, -0.0741, -0.0726, -0.0699, -0.0684, -0.0815, -0.0673, -0.0623, -0.088, -0.0766, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0834, -0.0921, -0.0868, -0.0892, -0.0876, -0.083, -0.0859, -0.0866, -0.0861, -0.0624, -0.0661, -0.0596, -0.0596, -0.0499, -0.0476, -0.0558, -0.0457, -0.0438, -0.0423, -0.0512, -0.0556, -0.0646, -0.0759, -0.0854, -0.0826, -0.0804, -0.0919, -0.1056, -0.1005, -0.1088, -0.105, -0.105, -0.1055, -0.1129, -0.1057, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1081, -0.1109, -0.1149, -0.1249, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1296, -0.1299, -0.1313, -0.1163, -0.1135, -0.112, -0.112, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.1156, -0.1116, -0.1012, -0.1018, -0.1036, -0.1002, -0.1061, -0.0989, -0.0961, -0.0812, -0.0816, -0.0875, -0.0903, -0.0961, -0.1084, -0.0936, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.0995, -0.0984, -0.095, -0.084, -0.0814, -0.0655, -0.06, -0.0667, -0.0552, -0.0508]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1832135560221356099", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-09-06T19:15:31+00:00", "symbol": "defensive stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks and cash", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Uber-bearish oil, yields, equities; uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks under a 'Liquidity Deflation' thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU", "XLP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLU utilities; XLP consumer staples defensive ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Respectfully disagree. \n\nYou see RESURGENT INFLATION.\n\nI see the exact opposite.\n\nEverything changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April and I doubled down in May.\n\nI am Uber-bearish oil and yields and equities. I am Uber-bullish bonds and defensive stocks and cash.\n\nI call it:\n\nLIQUIDITY DEFLATION", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc ICYMI, here is my piece about why they shouldn’t be cutting at all.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UrbanKaoboy", "ret_m1d": 0.005832665160329875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005832665160329875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01128564343311933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01128564343311933, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017118308593449205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00892765798643358, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00892765798643358, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0022685955219708953, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0022685955219708953, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011196253508404475, "ret_p1w": 0.02298645878833372, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02298645878833372, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017079249579273315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017079249579273315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040065708367607034, "ret_p1m": 0.015341543082583453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015341543082583453, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03866239146435285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03866239146435285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054003934546936305, "ret_p3m": 0.03287525315373829, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03287525315373829, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09512054913285006, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09512054913285006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12799580228658836, "ret_p6m": 0.040131410603598594, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.040131410603598594, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04716481749004697, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04716481749004697, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08729622809364557, "ret_p1y": 0.07555875384153349, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07555875384153349, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.13325667557654713, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.13325667557654713, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20881542941808062, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015341543082583453, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03866239146435285, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03866239146435285, "price_path": [-0.0762, -0.0842, -0.0826, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0798, -0.0822, -0.0712, -0.0786, -0.0815, -0.0827, -0.0898, -0.0961, -0.0906, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0823, -0.0825, -0.0824, -0.0761, -0.0695, -0.064, -0.0781, -0.0701, -0.0638, -0.0666, -0.0676, -0.0634, -0.068, -0.0632, -0.0676, -0.0583, -0.056, -0.0568, -0.0515, -0.0386, -0.0336, -0.0559, -0.0486, -0.0455, -0.0407, -0.0383, -0.0398, -0.0348, -0.033, -0.0281, -0.0246, -0.0198, -0.0184, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.0102, -0.0034, -0.0062, -0.0083, -0.0081, -0.0004, -0.0004, 0.0024, 0.009, 0.0058, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0081, 0.0123, 0.023, 0.0289, 0.0237, 0.0178, 0.0118, 0.0278, 0.036, 0.031, 0.0325, 0.03, 0.0361, 0.0384, 0.041, 0.037, 0.0319, 0.0326, 0.0153, 0.018, 0.0165, 0.0127, 0.02, 0.0286, 0.0342, 0.0444, 0.0373, 0.0416, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.024, 0.0291, 0.0128, 0.0107, 0.0152, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0095, -0.0039, -0.0012, 0.0146, 0.0143, 0.0089, 0.0094, 0.0064, 0.0098, 0.0178, 0.0219, 0.0196, 0.0342, 0.0358, 0.0395, 0.0502, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.054, 0.0416, 0.0343, 0.0329, 0.0365, 0.0274, 0.02, 0.0186, 0.0115, 0.0127, 0.0118, 0.005, 0.0021, -0.0174, -0.0186, -0.009, -0.0098, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0035, -0.0074, -0.0152, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0118, -0.0066, -0.0173, -0.0203, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0288, -0.0339, -0.0272, -0.0213, -0.0049, -0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0088, -0.0051, -0.0009, 0.0069, 0.0075, -0.0073, -0.0051, 0.0104, 0.0027, 0.0074, -0.0013, 0.0069, 0.0085, 0.0067, 0.0154, 0.0228, 0.0215, 0.028, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0276, 0.0343, 0.0323, 0.0382, 0.0371, 0.0416, 0.034, 0.0221, 0.0367, 0.0401]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1873395814891978967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-29T15:49:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC to $130K then crashes; gold picks up; SPX tops Mar-May into recession; USD falls on Trump policies dragging foreign equity flows out.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I couldn’t agree more with Joseph here. @josephwang \n\nAnd I’ve already gone on record with clients on these points:\n\n1. Fed cuts more than 50 basis points! Attempted January pause doesn’t last. \n\n2. Cuts are not seen as bullish (and take place into inflation - see term premia). \n\n3. Market stability - in place since Nov ‘23 - Dec ‘24 save one-n-done Aug VIX 65 print - makes way to market instability. Many more bouts AS markets top into health, war, growth slowdown fears - actual or perceived.\n\n4. Here we have different process, same result…\n\nJoseph:\nEquities decline with USD so foreign funds leave. \n\nMe: Trump policies devalue dollar - USD demand falls. \nForeign funds leave. Equities decline more. \n\n5. Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes. Gold flows pick up as BTC falls. SPX tops Mar-May and recession risk is pulled forward end of 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01642482403299428, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01642482403299428, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004881511360299795, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011543312672694483, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.008484077565384274, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008484077565384274, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012122213103241464, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00363813553785719, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1018409757663199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1018409757663199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08970263500815201, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012138340758167887, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.09379279428108389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09379279428108389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0660819838408, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027710810440283895, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.05900172629689626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05900172629689626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025962892112902147, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.033038834183994115, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.1446670699274628, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1446670699274628, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10695233660780024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037714733319662574, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.07015574114097511, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07015574114097511, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22156685372845752, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1514111125874824, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09379279428108389, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0660819838408, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3455, -0.3442, -0.33, -0.3282, -0.3293, -0.3461, -0.3494, -0.326, -0.2871, -0.2764, -0.2702, -0.2725, -0.2615, -0.2728, -0.2729, -0.2829, -0.2643, -0.2807, -0.2454, -0.215, -0.2192, -0.2421, -0.25, -0.268, -0.2513, -0.1835, -0.1807, -0.1738, -0.0425, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0582, -0.017, -0.0227, -0.0032, 0.0183, 0.0633, 0.0686, 0.005, -0.0071, 0.0358, 0.0325, 0.052, 0.0348, 0.0363, 0.0661, 0.0426, 0.0786, 0.0517, 0.0435, 0.0921, 0.0799, 0.0952, 0.1445, 0.1457, 0.0799, 0.0523, 0.0552, 0.0221, 0.0651, 0.0718, 0.034, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0192, 0.0458, 0.059, 0.1018, 0.0462, 0.0259, -0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0202, 0.042, 0.0849, 0.0768, 0.1276, 0.1012, 0.1458, 0.1188, 0.1222, 0.1314, 0.1019, 0.0938, 0.1194, 0.1305, 0.1054, 0.0946, 0.0564, 0.0429, 0.0426, 0.0419, 0.0518, 0.0335, 0.0566, 0.043, 0.0525, 0.0338, 0.0313, 0.0431, 0.0614, 0.0376, -0.0132, -0.0422, -0.0895, -0.0857, -0.0893, -0.071, -0.0585, -0.0218, -0.0289, -0.0637, -0.1523, -0.1056, -0.0963, -0.125, -0.0936, -0.0925, -0.1071, -0.0625, -0.0915, -0.0928, -0.0555, -0.0558, -0.062, -0.059, -0.0895, -0.109, -0.0807, -0.1096, -0.103, -0.095, -0.1447, -0.1767, -0.1087, -0.1405, -0.0997, -0.0874, -0.0969, -0.0929, -0.0836, -0.0884, -0.0553, 0.0086, 0.0114, 0.014, 0.0224, 0.0252, 0.0177, 0.0169, 0.0415, 0.0461, 0.0227, 0.0449, 0.0474, 0.1144, 0.1115, 0.1098, 0.1244, 0.1176, 0.1198, 0.1171, 0.1399, 0.1527, 0.1839, 0.2054, 0.1581, 0.1813, 0.1765, 0.1636, 0.1403, 0.1226, 0.1429, 0.138, 0.1305, 0.0964, 0.1268, 0.1905, 0.1901, 0.1732, 0.1434, 0.1452, 0.1528, 0.1291, 0.1321, 0.13, 0.1151, 0.1396, 0.1447]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1873395814891978967", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-29T15:49:02+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold flows pick up as BTC falls", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC to $130K then crashes; gold picks up; SPX tops Mar-May into recession; USD falls on Trump policies dragging foreign equity flows out.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I couldn’t agree more with Joseph here. @josephwang \n\nAnd I’ve already gone on record with clients on these points:\n\n1. Fed cuts more than 50 basis points! Attempted January pause doesn’t last. \n\n2. Cuts are not seen as bullish (and take place into inflation - see term premia). \n\n3. Market stability - in place since Nov ‘23 - Dec ‘24 save one-n-done Aug VIX 65 print - makes way to market instability. Many more bouts AS markets top into health, war, growth slowdown fears - actual or perceived.\n\n4. Here we have different process, same result…\n\nJoseph:\nEquities decline with USD so foreign funds leave. \n\nMe: Trump policies devalue dollar - USD demand falls. \nForeign funds leave. Equities decline more. \n\n5. Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes. Gold flows pick up as BTC falls. SPX tops Mar-May and recession risk is pulled forward end of 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004259181573880166, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004259181573880166, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007284131098814317, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007284131098814317, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011543312672694483, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011543312672694483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008863762959987476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008863762959987476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012501898497844666, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012501898497844666, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00363813553785719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00363813553785719, "ret_p1w": 0.012393923286579955, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012393923286579955, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0002555825284120683, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0002555825284120683, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012138340758167887, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012138340758167887, "ret_p1m": 0.061663000326195316, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.061663000326195316, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03395218988591142, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03395218988591142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027710810440283895, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027710810440283895, "ret_p3m": 0.174244977744336, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.174244977744336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20728381192833012, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20728381192833012, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.033038834183994115, "bench_c_p3m": -0.033038834183994115, "ret_p6m": 0.2729364867171429, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2729364867171429, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2352217533974803, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2352217533974803, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037714733319662574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037714733319662574, "ret_p1y": 0.6682014646750702, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6682014646750702, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5167903520875878, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5167903520875878, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1514111125874824, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1514111125874824, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.061663000326195316, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03395218988591142, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03395218988591142, "price_path": [0.0157, 0.0196, 0.0152, 0.0148, 0.0034, -0.0, 0.0056, 0.0198, 0.016, 0.0212, 0.0261, 0.0326, 0.0413, 0.0449, 0.053, 0.0416, 0.0494, 0.0517, 0.0525, 0.0623, 0.07, 0.0507, 0.0508, 0.0499, 0.0515, 0.0236, 0.0354, 0.0312, 0.002, -0.0023, -0.0097, -0.0145, -0.0155, 0.0017, 0.0081, 0.0162, 0.0253, 0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0054, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0195, 0.0111, 0.0148, 0.0183, 0.0079, 0.0125, 0.0226, 0.0351, 0.049, 0.0312, 0.0191, 0.0174, 0.0147, 0.0117, -0.0053, 0.0087, 0.0024, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0125, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0089, 0.0203, 0.0149, 0.0124, 0.0194, 0.0224, 0.0298, 0.0393, 0.0259, 0.0274, 0.0408, 0.0538, 0.053, 0.053, 0.0571, 0.062, 0.0602, 0.0657, 0.0504, 0.0617, 0.0625, 0.0832, 0.0792, 0.0874, 0.0949, 0.1019, 0.0959, 0.1002, 0.1183, 0.1176, 0.1162, 0.1227, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1249, 0.1202, 0.1281, 0.1272, 0.1312, 0.1145, 0.1192, 0.1063, 0.0885, 0.109, 0.1165, 0.1186, 0.1191, 0.1146, 0.1093, 0.1177, 0.1278, 0.1451, 0.149, 0.1511, 0.1646, 0.1649, 0.1665, 0.1581, 0.1562, 0.1602, 0.1592, 0.1742, 0.1843, 0.1983, 0.1968, 0.2048, 0.1884, 0.1557, 0.1325, 0.139, 0.1728, 0.2107, 0.2364, 0.2297, 0.2351, 0.2765, 0.2696, 0.2696, 0.307, 0.3049, 0.2572, 0.2785, 0.2595, 0.2787, 0.2735, 0.2682, 0.2317, 0.2401, 0.2706, 0.309, 0.2975, 0.265, 0.2798, 0.2356, 0.2434, 0.2208, 0.2358, 0.221, 0.239, 0.2587, 0.2698, 0.2633, 0.2907, 0.2907, 0.2659, 0.2638, 0.2728, 0.262, 0.2934, 0.2855, 0.2945, 0.2857, 0.275, 0.2786, 0.2743, 0.2744, 0.2973, 0.3166, 0.3032, 0.2995, 0.3007, 0.3007, 0.2924, 0.2961, 0.2729]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869897643947598267", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-20T00:08:33+00:00", "symbol": "SVXY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SVXY has come down into its 100W, so this is where I would look for a reversal/bounce potential start to form, but not until next week", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Watching SVXY for bounce at 100W; QQQ/SMH may tag downside targets (548/272) in Q1 before a bigger short conviction forms.", "resolved_tickers": ["SVXY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/19/24\n\n💠FOMC hawkish cut I expected, and the SEP reinforced this point, so pricing out rate cuts is still working itself out as govt shutdown looms. The market reaction reflected a tightening of conditions, for which PCE Friday morning might help to loosen. Translation: bonds, yen, gold/silver might find some brief relief tomorrow.\n\n💠Today's market bounce is a convexity move from VIX being sold at 27, a very popular/historic place to sell btw. Just keep in mind my intermarket review this morning from first hour + last 5 min of room: I see no confirmation yet the selling is done, so for the next few days this market is still at risk AND I still see selling underneath - even today as I showed.\n\n💠SVXY has come down into its 100W, so this is where I would look for a reversal/bounce potential start to form, but not until next week. USDJPY is at resistance on wkly at 157.62; 10Y T-Note futures tagged all 3 short targets; NYSE fell into 19000 target I gave Monday. So we are on a lot of support.\n\n💠But...I'm waiting for highest conviction swings based on my indicators basing and turning back up. That will be helped when VIX gets/stays < 19.29 again, for example. Until then I will suggest caution and patience.\n\n💠Macro still worries me in 2025, and the spiking higher USD + Yields could be foreplay. But I also have QQQ 548 and SMH 272 still to tag in Q1 before I get more convicted for big picture short. NVDA held pretty well in this sell-off, ironically.\n\nJOIN US LIVE at https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt or UPGRADE TO PRO on Substack. \n\n https://t.co/u924mRl0Ea", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07166124866258439, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07166124866258439, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.059792787206519815, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059792787206519815, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03135181085127625, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03135181085127625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025363497005367996, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025363497005367996, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "ret_p1w": 0.03277688610262741, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03277688610262741, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026247215999144924, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026247215999144924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "ret_p1m": 0.03583066316168049, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03583066316168049, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024953655522833795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024953655522833795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "ret_p3m": -0.0437703126615101, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0437703126615101, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0031377187091577996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0031377187091577996, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "ret_p6m": -0.1592019516463813, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1592019516463813, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18177319959069782, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18177319959069782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "ret_p1y": 0.04193813961901016, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.04193813961901016, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12362908202095801, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12362908202095801, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03583066316168049, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024953655522833795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024953655522833795, "price_path": [0.0397, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0086, 0.0202, -0.0189, -0.0116, -0.0348, -0.0155, -0.0586, -0.0411, -0.0283, -0.0338, -0.0291, -0.0116, -0.0275, -0.0222, -0.0147, -0.0031, -0.0035, -0.0016, -0.0263, -0.0177, -0.0417, -0.0189, -0.0161, -0.0279, -0.0654, -0.0574, -0.0356, -0.0106, 0.0401, 0.0564, 0.0584, 0.0599, 0.0605, 0.0729, 0.0725, 0.0346, 0.055, 0.0362, 0.0187, 0.0234, 0.0425, 0.0633, 0.0688, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0774, 0.0884, 0.0898, 0.0869, 0.0847, 0.0943, 0.0829, 0.0843, 0.0892, 0.0857, 0.0849, 0.0755, 0.0629, -0.0291, -0.0717, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0592, 0.0592, 0.058, 0.0328, 0.0222, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0079, 0.0356, 0.0407, 0.0108, 0.0106, 0.0106, -0.0224, -0.0124, -0.0022, 0.0391, 0.0383, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0578, 0.0499, 0.0586, 0.0609, 0.0244, 0.0428, 0.0458, 0.0485, 0.0301, 0.0181, 0.0338, 0.0452, 0.0499, 0.0305, 0.0448, 0.0432, 0.0458, 0.0542, 0.0566, 0.0566, 0.0592, 0.0651, 0.0635, 0.0257, 0.022, 0.0195, 0.0295, -0.0018, 0.013, -0.0324, -0.0438, -0.0226, -0.0755, -0.0548, -0.1063, -0.1053, -0.0831, -0.1036, -0.0635, -0.0458, -0.059, -0.0438, -0.0346, -0.0344, -0.0043, -0.0073, -0.0236, -0.0259, -0.0688, -0.0684, -0.0696, -0.0544, -0.1722, -0.2539, -0.2557, -0.305, -0.2307, -0.3042, -0.295, -0.2557, -0.2526, -0.284, -0.274, -0.274, -0.296, -0.2732, -0.26, -0.2463, -0.2303, -0.2335, -0.2288, -0.2384, -0.2323, -0.2158, -0.2229, -0.2384, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2107, -0.1586, -0.1555, -0.1647, -0.1572, -0.1555, -0.1604, -0.1561, -0.1861, -0.183, -0.2095, -0.2095, -0.1698, -0.1732, -0.1739, -0.1769, -0.1716, -0.1625, -0.1616, -0.1692, -0.1519, -0.148, -0.146, -0.1498, -0.1541, -0.1881, -0.1592]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869897643947598267", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-20T00:08:33+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ 548 and SMH 272 still to tag in Q1 before I get more convicted for big picture short", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Watching SVXY for bounce at 100W; QQQ/SMH may tag downside targets (548/272) in Q1 before a bigger short conviction forms.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/19/24\n\n💠FOMC hawkish cut I expected, and the SEP reinforced this point, so pricing out rate cuts is still working itself out as govt shutdown looms. The market reaction reflected a tightening of conditions, for which PCE Friday morning might help to loosen. Translation: bonds, yen, gold/silver might find some brief relief tomorrow.\n\n💠Today's market bounce is a convexity move from VIX being sold at 27, a very popular/historic place to sell btw. Just keep in mind my intermarket review this morning from first hour + last 5 min of room: I see no confirmation yet the selling is done, so for the next few days this market is still at risk AND I still see selling underneath - even today as I showed.\n\n💠SVXY has come down into its 100W, so this is where I would look for a reversal/bounce potential start to form, but not until next week. USDJPY is at resistance on wkly at 157.62; 10Y T-Note futures tagged all 3 short targets; NYSE fell into 19000 target I gave Monday. So we are on a lot of support.\n\n💠But...I'm waiting for highest conviction swings based on my indicators basing and turning back up. That will be helped when VIX gets/stays < 19.29 again, for example. Until then I will suggest caution and patience.\n\n💠Macro still worries me in 2025, and the spiking higher USD + Yields could be foreplay. But I also have QQQ 548 and SMH 272 still to tag in Q1 before I get more convicted for big picture short. NVDA held pretty well in this sell-off, ironically.\n\nJOIN US LIVE at https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt or UPGRADE TO PRO on Substack. \n\n https://t.co/u924mRl0Ea", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015821314478412507, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015821314478412507, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003952853022347935, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003952853022347935, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011868461456064572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03137322890687244, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03137322890687244, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025384915060964186, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025384915060964186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005988313845908255, "ret_p1w": 0.02797972576177088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02797972576177088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02145005565828839, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02145005565828839, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006529670103482488, "ret_p1m": 0.0687430001435998, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0687430001435998, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.057865992504753105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057865992504753105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010877007638846692, "ret_p3m": -0.05888535270091444, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05888535270091444, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.018252758748562137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018252758748562137, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0406325939523523, "ret_p6m": 0.08997309230020711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08997309230020711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06740184435589058, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06740184435589058, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02257124794431653, "ret_p1y": 0.5270713478129474, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5270713478129474, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3615041261729792, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3615041261729792, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16556722163996818, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0687430001435998, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.057865992504753105, "alpha_c_stated": -0.057865992504753105, "price_path": [0.0028, 0.0117, 0.0408, 0.0207, 0.0113, -0.0158, -0.0016, 0.0076, 0.0211, 0.0227, 0.0404, 0.0513, 0.0492, 0.0576, 0.0765, 0.0183, 0.019, 0.0365, 0.0363, 0.0417, 0.037, 0.026, 0.0303, 0.0422, 0.035, 0.0585, 0.0328, -0.0042, 0.0084, 0.0064, 0.0231, 0.0499, 0.0754, 0.0685, 0.0446, 0.0377, 0.0203, 0.0225, -0.0114, -0.0048, 0.0061, -0.0007, 0.014, 0.0079, 0.0039, -0.0053, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0024, 0.0213, 0.0235, 0.0409, 0.023, 0.0243, 0.0138, -0.0117, 0.0125, 0.0027, 0.0279, 0.0434, 0.0299, -0.003, -0.0158, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0384, 0.028, 0.0125, 0.0022, 0.0022, 0.013, 0.0424, 0.0769, 0.0513, 0.0438, 0.0438, 0.0229, 0.0124, 0.0157, 0.0396, 0.0441, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0859, 0.1057, 0.1043, 0.0823, -0.0241, -0.0049, -0.0087, 0.0146, 0.0082, -0.0118, -0.0007, 0.0228, 0.0278, 0.0139, 0.033, 0.0341, 0.0284, 0.0425, 0.0453, 0.0453, 0.0603, 0.065, 0.0669, 0.0346, 0.0074, -0.014, 0.009, -0.0532, -0.0367, -0.0771, -0.0679, -0.0506, -0.0905, -0.0685, -0.1122, -0.1135, -0.0874, -0.0914, -0.0624, -0.0525, -0.0671, -0.0589, -0.0604, -0.0698, -0.0456, -0.0496, -0.0812, -0.0989, -0.122, -0.1249, -0.1206, -0.114, -0.1907, -0.2518, -0.2348, -0.2553, -0.1275, -0.188, -0.1669, -0.1657, -0.1602, -0.1957, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.2227, -0.2058, -0.1768, -0.1352, -0.1228, -0.1282, -0.1297, -0.1256, -0.1214, -0.0936, -0.0994, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0815, -0.0755, -0.0175, 0.0162, 0.0263, 0.0227, 0.0198, 0.0181, 0.0161, -0.0007, -0.0034, -0.0174, -0.0174, 0.0138, 0.003, 0.0101, -0.0078, 0.0069, 0.0296, 0.0418, 0.04, 0.0459, 0.0634, 0.0846, 0.0838, 0.089, 0.0635, 0.09]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857945547287503046", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-17T00:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author flags nuclear/energy beneficiaries of Chris Wright's nomination as Energy Secretary; implied bullish on uranium and nuclear stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"energy is the agent of change\" - Chris Wright, Liberty \n\nOur new Secretary of Energy\n\nBig nuclear proponent.\n\n$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chris Wright, the Chief Executive of Liberty Energy and Board Member of the Oklo Advanced Nuclear-Technology Company, has been tapped by President-Elect Donald J. Trump as Secretary of Energy. https://t.co/WmWmIGkgx7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04985897179519572, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04985897179519572, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045778387834294776, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045778387834294776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019441766064577815, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019441766064577815, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015786185566824873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015786185566824873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "ret_p1w": 0.005644346324310545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005644346324310545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010304033070657415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010304033070657415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "ret_p1m": -0.09971781486510589, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09971781486510589, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12715971552549754, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12715971552549754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "ret_p3m": -0.06728251846902122, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06728251846902122, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10746287329025284, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10746287329025284, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "ret_p6m": -0.10335443290944313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10335443290944313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1074969722717749, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1074969722717749, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "ret_p1y": 0.6116431505951323, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6116431505951323, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.44558403518694045, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.44558403518694045, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09971781486510589, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12715971552549754, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12715971552549754, "price_path": [-0.1932, -0.2132, -0.1593, -0.1612, -0.1587, -0.1878, -0.196, -0.1878, -0.1878, -0.2402, -0.2302, -0.2455, -0.2731, -0.2603, -0.2443, -0.2054, -0.1907, -0.2026, -0.1969, -0.2076, -0.2104, -0.1816, -0.1477, -0.122, -0.096, -0.0944, -0.0862, -0.0875, -0.1029, -0.0828, -0.0633, -0.0699, -0.0492, -0.064, -0.0593, -0.0762, -0.0728, -0.0593, -0.0539, -0.0521, 0.0144, 0.0273, 0.0492, 0.0426, 0.027, -0.01, -0.0038, -0.0103, 0.0091, -0.0022, -0.0185, -0.0364, -0.0417, -0.0633, -0.059, -0.0492, -0.0116, -0.0279, -0.043, -0.0367, -0.0542, -0.0467, -0.0499, 0.0, 0.0194, 0.0025, 0.0379, 0.0386, 0.0056, -0.0041, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0144, 0.0006, 0.0, -0.0066, 0.0019, -0.0028, -0.0477, -0.048, -0.0326, -0.0561, -0.0784, -0.0934, -0.0997, -0.1283, -0.1204, -0.1229, -0.1138, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.1192, -0.1188, -0.1359, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.0947, -0.0711, -0.057, -0.0914, -0.1034, -0.1034, -0.1249, -0.1272, -0.124, -0.1095, -0.1188, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0602, -0.0225, -0.0022, -0.0167, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.0866, -0.0686, -0.0882, -0.0985, -0.0689, -0.0666, -0.0866, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0789, -0.0679, -0.0673, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0918, -0.1182, -0.1224, -0.1607, -0.1736, -0.189, -0.172, -0.2038, -0.2013, -0.2435, -0.2254, -0.2055, -0.2199, -0.229, -0.2557, -0.238, -0.2322, -0.2428, -0.2303, -0.2064, -0.2125, -0.1887, -0.1826, -0.1948, -0.1823, -0.199, -0.2177, -0.2386, -0.256, -0.2618, -0.2567, -0.2538, -0.2766, -0.3294, -0.3394, -0.3475, -0.2876, -0.3046, -0.2705, -0.2644, -0.2679, -0.2686, -0.2634, -0.2634, -0.277, -0.2702, -0.238, -0.208, -0.2125, -0.1932, -0.1906, -0.1948, -0.1848, -0.1678, -0.1739, -0.1501, -0.1378, -0.1407, -0.1253, -0.1211, -0.1034]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1857945547287503046", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-17T00:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "SMR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author flags nuclear/energy beneficiaries of Chris Wright's nomination as Energy Secretary; implied bullish on uranium and nuclear stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"energy is the agent of change\" - Chris Wright, Liberty \n\nOur new Secretary of Energy\n\nBig nuclear proponent.\n\n$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chris Wright, the Chief Executive of Liberty Energy and Board Member of the Oklo Advanced Nuclear-Technology Company, has been tapped by President-Elect Donald J. Trump as Secretary of Energy. https://t.co/WmWmIGkgx7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15621562733303984, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15621562733303984, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1521350433721389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1575831740993573, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013675467663174512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009167583271118884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009167583271118884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012823163768871826, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008303692330111856, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008638909410070283, "ret_p1w": 0.02896952676631881, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02896952676631881, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01302114737135085, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004286795556351475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033256322322670284, "ret_p1m": -0.2038871023087241, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2038871023087241, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23132900296911574, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18495511974859258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01893198256013151, "ret_p3m": -0.09387610305529692, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09387610305529692, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13405645787652853, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0914563555273683, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0024197475279286174, "ret_p6m": -0.2064540144337399, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2064540144337399, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21059655379607167, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23169920156353796, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025245187129798063, "ret_p1y": 0.390172321637027, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.390172321637027, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22411320622883513, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.27043499475889754, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11973732687812944, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2038871023087241, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23132900296911574, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18495511974859258, "price_path": [-0.6777, -0.7055, -0.6821, -0.6993, -0.6813, -0.7052, -0.7015, -0.6982, -0.6982, -0.7217, -0.7048, -0.7275, -0.744, -0.7224, -0.6975, -0.6795, -0.6835, -0.645, -0.645, -0.6667, -0.6637, -0.6476, -0.6076, -0.6007, -0.5618, -0.5589, -0.564, -0.5398, -0.5754, -0.5644, -0.5457, -0.5596, -0.5178, -0.5284, -0.527, -0.5662, -0.56, -0.5182, -0.4888, -0.5006, -0.3007, -0.3392, -0.3322, -0.3047, -0.3469, -0.3649, -0.3256, -0.3249, -0.1933, -0.2076, -0.2373, -0.2981, -0.3029, -0.3227, -0.3099, -0.2149, -0.2054, -0.1019, -0.1386, -0.1478, -0.084, -0.0957, -0.1562, 0.0, -0.0092, -0.0561, 0.0147, 0.1078, 0.029, -0.0341, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0873, -0.0018, -0.088, -0.0887, -0.1071, -0.0576, -0.1221, -0.1881, -0.1786, -0.2057, -0.2252, -0.2035, -0.2039, -0.2992, -0.3029, -0.275, -0.2765, -0.2296, -0.2296, -0.1999, -0.2846, -0.3322, -0.3425, -0.3425, -0.3506, -0.2354, -0.1324, -0.2035, -0.2783, -0.2783, -0.2618, -0.3106, -0.2948, -0.2365, -0.2563, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.0609, -0.0623, 0.0664, 0.0257, -0.2567, -0.2318, -0.1933, -0.1353, -0.1258, -0.1254, -0.1573, -0.0997, -0.1474, -0.0524, 0.007, -0.0517, -0.0319, -0.0939, -0.1536, -0.1536, -0.1918, -0.2252, -0.238, -0.3018, -0.3231, -0.3542, -0.3418, -0.3872, -0.3696, -0.4334, -0.3682, -0.3649, -0.4151, -0.4268, -0.462, -0.4056, -0.414, -0.4422, -0.3579, -0.3546, -0.392, -0.3205, -0.3326, -0.3352, -0.3077, -0.3139, -0.3722, -0.4096, -0.451, -0.4807, -0.4631, -0.4459, -0.4815, -0.538, -0.4829, -0.4899, -0.4111, -0.4554, -0.4444, -0.4408, -0.436, -0.4683, -0.4642, -0.4642, -0.4998, -0.4466, -0.4338, -0.3927, -0.3891, -0.3781, -0.3806, -0.3924, -0.3726, -0.3597, -0.3726, -0.352, -0.3909, -0.3792, -0.3601, -0.3476, -0.2065]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1857945547287503046", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-11-17T00:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "FLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author flags nuclear/energy beneficiaries of Chris Wright's nomination as Energy Secretary; implied bullish on uranium and nuclear stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"energy is the agent of change\" - Chris Wright, Liberty \n\nOur new Secretary of Energy\n\nBig nuclear proponent.\n\n$URA $OKLO $SMR $FLR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chris Wright, the Chief Executive of Liberty Energy and Board Member of the Oklo Advanced Nuclear-Technology Company, has been tapped by President-Elect Donald J. Trump as Secretary of Energy. https://t.co/WmWmIGkgx7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019452362212524332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019452362212524332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015371778251623391, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020819908978841783, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080583960900941, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013675467663174512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005288056467604774, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005288056467604774, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008943636965357715, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004424165526597745, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0036555804977529416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008638909410070283, "ret_p1w": 0.05835694255080415, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05835694255080415, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04240856315583619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025100620228133863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594837939496796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033256322322670284, "ret_p1m": 0.009442870496612965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009442870496612965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017999030163778684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028374853056744476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02744190066039165, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01893198256013151, "ret_p3m": -0.15146365141087959, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15146365141087959, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1916440062321112, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14904390388295097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04018035482123161, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0024197475279286174, "ret_p6m": -0.2677998130474172, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2677998130474172, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27194235240974896, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29304500017721524, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.004142539362331776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025245187129798063, "ret_p1y": -0.10462702239288502, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10462702239288502, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27068613780107686, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22436434927101445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16605911540819185, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11973732687812944, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009442870496612965, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017999030163778684, "alpha_c_stated": 0.028374853056744476, "price_path": [-0.0704, -0.0797, -0.0629, -0.0704, -0.0642, -0.0697, -0.0591, -0.0544, -0.0544, -0.1063, -0.1139, -0.1262, -0.1683, -0.1662, -0.17, -0.1609, -0.152, -0.1333, -0.1279, -0.1273, -0.133, -0.1039, -0.1088, -0.119, -0.126, -0.1367, -0.1059, -0.0956, -0.099, -0.1139, -0.1007, -0.0737, -0.0563, -0.0436, -0.0476, -0.048, -0.0561, -0.0357, -0.0253, -0.0468, 0.0314, 0.0176, 0.0387, 0.0172, 0.0136, -0.0023, -0.0108, -0.0127, 0.0128, 0.0047, 0.0028, -0.0127, -0.0011, -0.0026, 0.031, 0.1093, 0.1129, -0.0381, -0.0591, -0.084, -0.0495, -0.0406, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0079, 0.0334, 0.0536, 0.0584, 0.0563, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0601, 0.0408, 0.0331, 0.0585, 0.057, 0.0536, 0.0436, 0.0423, 0.0544, 0.0466, 0.0319, 0.0317, 0.0094, -0.0536, -0.0542, -0.0493, -0.0516, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0431, -0.0546, -0.0682, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0695, -0.0368, -0.024, -0.0455, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0891, -0.0914, -0.0797, -0.0693, -0.065, -0.0483, -0.0483, 0.0108, 0.0247, 0.044, 0.0306, -0.1248, -0.1211, -0.0916, -0.0833, -0.0895, -0.1097, -0.1003, -0.0978, -0.0784, -0.0682, -0.0531, -0.0961, -0.1245, -0.1515, -0.1804, -0.1804, -0.2493, -0.2534, -0.2478, -0.2874, -0.2982, -0.3048, -0.2878, -0.2948, -0.2818, -0.3027, -0.3214, -0.3001, -0.3092, -0.3175, -0.3524, -0.3277, -0.3282, -0.3401, -0.3048, -0.2946, -0.2975, -0.2778, -0.2886, -0.2888, -0.265, -0.2684, -0.2873, -0.2982, -0.3165, -0.3235, -0.3135, -0.2971, -0.3585, -0.4142, -0.4042, -0.4172, -0.3441, -0.3754, -0.3715, -0.3653, -0.3581, -0.3664, -0.3586, -0.3586, -0.3766, -0.3602, -0.3496, -0.3277, -0.3284, -0.3386, -0.3377, -0.3411, -0.3243, -0.3245, -0.35, -0.3369, -0.3426, -0.3275, -0.3228, -0.2912, -0.2678]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1855960172247564656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-11T13:06:01+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC-proxy basket MSTR/HOOD/COIN/MARA plus TSLA as earnings/Trump/crypto trade; positions still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies. MARA earnings 11/12 holds special interest. \n\nOh and $TSLA was rec’d earnings, Trump &amp; crypto trade 🎯\n\nSector rotation turns basket trading - when they all move together 🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gonna be nuts.  It's a crash-up in Elon/crypto land.  Props to @SamanthaLaDuc for calling MARA perfectly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.20464701933019303, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.20464701933019303, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20369483276529265, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20369483276529265, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048794106876148824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048794106876148824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05190044259426585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05190044259426585, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": 0.1317353192497701, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1317353192497701, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14945537286266952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14945537286266952, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": 0.10976472742417287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10976472742417287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10301775792202306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10301775792202306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": -0.04276473101447609, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04276473101447609, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05879887449181598, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05879887449181598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": 0.13411766501034017, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13411766501034017, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1948977110581781, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1948977110581781, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": -0.19011769014246327, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19011769014246327, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35209728528268114, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.35209728528268114, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10976472742417287, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10301775792202306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10301775792202306, "price_path": [-0.6166, -0.612, -0.6087, -0.6019, -0.6068, -0.5841, -0.6064, -0.5588, -0.5679, -0.5882, -0.6115, -0.6101, -0.6105, -0.6105, -0.6402, -0.6328, -0.6483, -0.6638, -0.6329, -0.6187, -0.6198, -0.6154, -0.5839, -0.6043, -0.6139, -0.6098, -0.5745, -0.5742, -0.5589, -0.5474, -0.5531, -0.5118, -0.4817, -0.5041, -0.5215, -0.5158, -0.5194, -0.4809, -0.4527, -0.4347, -0.4444, -0.4608, -0.3747, -0.4069, -0.4285, -0.4291, -0.4311, -0.3651, -0.3557, -0.3538, -0.3707, -0.3062, -0.3108, -0.249, -0.2405, -0.2726, -0.2809, -0.3244, -0.3441, -0.33, -0.2417, -0.2035, -0.2046, 0.0, 0.0488, -0.0342, -0.0363, 0.0019, 0.1317, 0.2663, 0.3936, 0.1685, 0.2408, 0.1866, 0.0403, 0.1436, 0.1436, 0.1396, 0.1185, 0.0983, 0.1941, 0.1365, 0.1618, 0.0745, 0.1098, 0.21, 0.1535, 0.202, 0.2015, 0.1365, 0.0284, -0.0398, 0.0712, -0.0229, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0031, -0.0294, -0.1089, -0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1176, -0.001, 0.115, 0.0042, -0.0244, -0.0244, -0.0356, -0.0341, 0.0064, 0.0606, 0.0794, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.1444, 0.1097, 0.0974, 0.0402, 0.0233, -0.012, 0.0037, 0.0003, -0.0153, 0.0209, 0.0244, -0.0097, -0.0428, -0.0366, -0.0158, -0.0604, -0.0388, -0.0444, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0177, -0.0627, -0.0473, -0.1186, -0.1684, -0.2632, -0.2257, -0.294, -0.2487, -0.262, -0.1907, -0.0925, -0.1056, -0.1554, -0.2963, -0.2336, -0.2278, -0.2257, -0.125, -0.1345, -0.1671, -0.1052, -0.1116, -0.1059, -0.0126, 0.0053, -0.0314, -0.0453, -0.1488, -0.1521, -0.0999, -0.0808, -0.1698, -0.1364, -0.2114, -0.3001, -0.1269, -0.199, -0.1177, -0.084, -0.0861, -0.0834, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0654, 0.0089, 0.0169, 0.0304, 0.0844, 0.086, 0.1219, 0.118, 0.1224, 0.1599, 0.1369, 0.1341]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1855960172247564656", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-11T13:06:01+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC-proxy basket MSTR/HOOD/COIN/MARA plus TSLA as earnings/Trump/crypto trade; positions still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies. MARA earnings 11/12 holds special interest. \n\nOh and $TSLA was rec’d earnings, Trump &amp; crypto trade 🎯\n\nSector rotation turns basket trading - when they all move together 🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gonna be nuts.  It's a crash-up in Elon/crypto land.  Props to @SamanthaLaDuc for calling MARA perfectly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0689023894543157, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0689023894543157, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06795020288941533, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05487165064032595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014030738813989752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006097584377790843, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006097584377790843, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00920392009590787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009104070650064022, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003006486272273179, "ret_p1w": 0.06707319555220237, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06707319555220237, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08479324916510178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06446730804164935, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026058875105530177, "ret_p1m": 0.13902443534628794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13902443534628794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13227746584413813, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14283266694261332, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0038082315963253732, "ret_p3m": 0.6210365672468923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6210365672468923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6050024237695524, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5720842437427713, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04895232350412093, "ret_p6m": 0.48445121217242004, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48445121217242004, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.545231258220258, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.49128674646426884, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006835534291848799, "ret_p1y": 3.414634342068797, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.414634342068797, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.252654746928579, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.3551932802496545, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05944106181914255, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13902443534628794, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13227746584413813, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14283266694261332, "price_path": [-0.4314, -0.404, -0.3909, -0.3817, -0.3954, -0.3848, -0.3936, -0.3561, -0.361, -0.3488, -0.3805, -0.3851, -0.3866, -0.3866, -0.4095, -0.4174, -0.4003, -0.4226, -0.4006, -0.3994, -0.3707, -0.3402, -0.3271, -0.3229, -0.3098, -0.3003, -0.3046, -0.307, -0.3079, -0.3058, -0.3174, -0.3162, -0.2716, -0.286, -0.3192, -0.3101, -0.3162, -0.3021, -0.289, -0.2192, -0.218, -0.2226, -0.1991, -0.1768, -0.1829, -0.179, -0.1976, -0.182, -0.1777, -0.1643, -0.186, -0.1701, -0.175, -0.15, -0.1454, -0.1399, -0.2838, -0.2692, -0.2585, -0.239, -0.0896, -0.1049, -0.0689, 0.0, 0.0061, -0.0271, -0.0177, -0.0146, 0.0671, 0.0744, 0.1, 0.0698, 0.1174, 0.154, 0.1104, 0.1479, 0.1479, 0.1445, 0.147, 0.178, 0.2195, 0.1866, 0.2704, 0.2055, 0.139, 0.1537, 0.1991, 0.2256, 0.3171, 0.2692, 0.1305, 0.1262, 0.1686, 0.1433, 0.2067, 0.2067, 0.2311, 0.1896, 0.1671, 0.136, 0.136, 0.2024, 0.2607, 0.3021, 0.2366, 0.2442, 0.2442, 0.222, 0.207, 0.2732, 0.389, 0.4049, 0.468, 0.468, 0.5244, 0.5293, 0.5354, 0.5585, 0.4555, 0.5061, 0.5595, 0.6159, 0.5838, 0.5823, 0.603, 0.6524, 0.621, 0.703, 0.7155, 0.6262, 0.7046, 0.9451, 0.9902, 0.9902, 0.8427, 0.8058, 0.7091, 0.5732, 0.5223, 0.4, 0.4893, 0.4872, 0.5274, 0.4296, 0.4091, 0.4671, 0.3671, 0.3543, 0.0863, 0.1085, 0.1866, 0.0982, 0.1963, 0.2811, 0.2226, 0.3049, 0.3311, 0.3524, 0.4744, 0.468, 0.3637, 0.3412, 0.278, 0.2689, 0.2854, 0.3012, 0.1665, 0.0521, 0.0796, 0.0418, 0.2869, 0.2351, 0.3317, 0.3457, 0.3439, 0.2396, 0.2555, 0.2555, 0.2149, 0.2832, 0.3616, 0.468, 0.5076, 0.4918, 0.5052, 0.4973, 0.4213, 0.4814, 0.4649, 0.4845]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1855960172247564656", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-11T13:06:01+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC-proxy basket MSTR/HOOD/COIN/MARA plus TSLA as earnings/Trump/crypto trade; positions still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies. MARA earnings 11/12 holds special interest. \n\nOh and $TSLA was rec’d earnings, Trump &amp; crypto trade 🎯\n\nSector rotation turns basket trading - when they all move together 🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gonna be nuts.  It's a crash-up in Elon/crypto land.  Props to @SamanthaLaDuc for calling MARA perfectly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16500123862367455, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16500123862367455, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16404905205877418, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1509704998096848, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014030738813989752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015759886212273755, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015759886212273755, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012653550494156729, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012753399940000576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003006486272273179, "ret_p1w": 0.003608479715560886, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003608479715560886, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021328533328460297, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0010025922050078684, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026058875105530177, "ret_p1m": -0.06729576074458976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06729576074458976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07404273024673957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06348752914826439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0038082315963253732, "ret_p3m": -0.16614235362592966, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16614235362592966, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18217649710326955, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2150946771300506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04895232350412093, "ret_p6m": -0.3927646023942709, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3927646023942709, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.331984556346433, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3859290681024221, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006835534291848799, "ret_p1y": 0.07516036223530542, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07516036223530542, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.08681923290491245, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.015719300416162874, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05944106181914255, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06729576074458976, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07404273024673957, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06348752914826439, "price_path": [-0.3956, -0.3921, -0.3668, -0.3694, -0.3917, -0.364, -0.388, -0.348, -0.3708, -0.3884, -0.4134, -0.4193, -0.4345, -0.4345, -0.4784, -0.4966, -0.5075, -0.5456, -0.5218, -0.5113, -0.5153, -0.4976, -0.4971, -0.5019, -0.499, -0.4984, -0.4811, -0.4754, -0.475, -0.4705, -0.4847, -0.4451, -0.4102, -0.4505, -0.4911, -0.4928, -0.497, -0.4729, -0.479, -0.4828, -0.485, -0.4934, -0.456, -0.3944, -0.3945, -0.3509, -0.3702, -0.3208, -0.3409, -0.3501, -0.3865, -0.3549, -0.3676, -0.3335, -0.3225, -0.347, -0.4472, -0.436, -0.4255, -0.4018, -0.2157, -0.2118, -0.165, 0.0, -0.0158, -0.1219, -0.14, -0.0567, 0.0036, 0.001, -0.013, -0.0895, -0.0604, -0.0371, -0.0955, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0865, -0.0674, -0.0459, 0.0207, -0.0113, 0.0598, -0.0423, -0.0673, -0.0322, -0.0348, -0.0421, -0.0275, -0.0389, -0.1369, -0.1552, -0.1404, -0.173, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1537, -0.1805, -0.2118, -0.2342, -0.2342, -0.2067, -0.1653, -0.1125, -0.1848, -0.1981, -0.1981, -0.2019, -0.2253, -0.2124, -0.1521, -0.1314, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0927, -0.0876, -0.0871, -0.0809, -0.1426, -0.1308, -0.1025, -0.0708, -0.1015, -0.1228, -0.1352, -0.1514, -0.1661, -0.1534, -0.1358, -0.1768, -0.1522, -0.0806, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1838, -0.2022, -0.2086, -0.2741, -0.2997, -0.3447, -0.3432, -0.3574, -0.335, -0.3654, -0.3445, -0.3139, -0.3395, -0.3294, -0.4472, -0.4088, -0.4087, -0.4526, -0.4352, -0.4172, -0.4413, -0.4148, -0.4128, -0.4144, -0.3738, -0.3701, -0.4018, -0.4184, -0.4636, -0.4688, -0.4618, -0.4358, -0.4734, -0.5048, -0.5149, -0.5328, -0.4538, -0.4769, -0.4587, -0.4554, -0.4585, -0.4689, -0.4602, -0.4602, -0.4603, -0.414, -0.3992, -0.3712, -0.3534, -0.3669, -0.3643, -0.3743, -0.3792, -0.368, -0.385, -0.3928]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1855960172247564656", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-11-11T13:06:01+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC-proxy basket MSTR/HOOD/COIN/MARA plus TSLA as earnings/Trump/crypto trade; positions still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies. MARA earnings 11/12 holds special interest. \n\nOh and $TSLA was rec’d earnings, Trump &amp; crypto trade 🎯\n\nSector rotation turns basket trading - when they all move together 🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gonna be nuts.  It's a crash-up in Elon/crypto land.  Props to @SamanthaLaDuc for calling MARA perfectly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.23030788389318446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23030788389318446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2293556973282841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2162771450791947, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014030738813989752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008796453872096821, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008796453872096821, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011902789590213847, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01180294014437, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003006486272273179, "ret_p1w": -0.27588962636482006, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.27588962636482006, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.25816957275192065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2784955138753731, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026058875105530177, "ret_p1m": -0.08796484377472602, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08796484377472602, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09471181327687583, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08415661217840065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0038082315963253732, "ret_p3m": -0.3282687291757913, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3282687291757913, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3443028726531312, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37722105267991224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04895232350412093, "ret_p6m": -0.474210335938162, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.474210335938162, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41343028989032404, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4673748016463132, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006835534291848799, "ret_p1y": -0.2451019996807613, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2451019996807613, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.40708159482097916, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30454306149990384, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05944106181914255, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08796484377472602, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09471181327687583, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08415661217840065, "price_path": [-0.3946, -0.3818, -0.3507, -0.3427, -0.3435, -0.2951, -0.3259, -0.2527, -0.2579, -0.2903, -0.3151, -0.3207, -0.3323, -0.3323, -0.3898, -0.405, -0.4466, -0.4654, -0.4154, -0.3627, -0.3687, -0.3683, -0.3555, -0.3655, -0.3655, -0.3866, -0.3822, -0.3786, -0.3575, -0.3439, -0.3547, -0.2995, -0.3087, -0.3515, -0.3974, -0.3918, -0.3814, -0.3479, -0.3607, -0.3671, -0.3826, -0.391, -0.3571, -0.3211, -0.3235, -0.2771, -0.2799, -0.2451, -0.2519, -0.2415, -0.2775, -0.2715, -0.3179, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.2691, -0.3295, -0.3559, -0.3802, -0.3507, -0.2275, -0.2279, -0.2303, 0.0, 0.0088, -0.1323, -0.1687, -0.1575, -0.2759, -0.2059, -0.0952, -0.0332, 0.0408, 0.0564, -0.0016, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0964, 0.0248, 0.0048, 0.038, -0.0088, 0.0568, -0.046, -0.088, -0.0696, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.018, -0.0164, -0.1359, -0.1855, -0.2019, -0.2303, -0.1943, -0.1943, -0.2283, -0.2627, -0.3087, -0.3295, -0.3295, -0.3119, -0.2147, -0.1783, -0.2375, -0.2667, -0.2667, -0.2859, -0.3127, -0.3059, -0.2743, -0.2683, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.2179, -0.2127, -0.2023, -0.2007, -0.2687, -0.2699, -0.2635, -0.2331, -0.2667, -0.2823, -0.2943, -0.3191, -0.3283, -0.3295, -0.3299, -0.3595, -0.3507, -0.3239, -0.3243, -0.3243, -0.3583, -0.3691, -0.3623, -0.4138, -0.4446, -0.5034, -0.5022, -0.475, -0.4434, -0.4486, -0.4414, -0.3954, -0.3966, -0.3595, -0.4638, -0.4674, -0.4758, -0.5138, -0.473, -0.4814, -0.5174, -0.499, -0.5002, -0.505, -0.4158, -0.4302, -0.4486, -0.4546, -0.5014, -0.5402, -0.5266, -0.5034, -0.551, -0.5482, -0.5498, -0.5794, -0.5078, -0.5306, -0.4998, -0.4822, -0.497, -0.5074, -0.4938, -0.4938, -0.5086, -0.4378, -0.435, -0.4398, -0.4282, -0.4398, -0.4314, -0.4654, -0.4382, -0.421, -0.4766, -0.4742]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1855960172247564656", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-11-11T13:06:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA was rec'd earnings, Trump & crypto trade", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC-proxy basket MSTR/HOOD/COIN/MARA plus TSLA as earnings/Trump/crypto trade; positions still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, I recommended bitcoin swing Long to clients weeks ago using $MSTR $HOOD $COIN and $MARA as proxies. MARA earnings 11/12 holds special interest. \n\nOh and $TSLA was rec’d earnings, Trump &amp; crypto trade 🎯\n\nSector rotation turns basket trading - when they all move together 🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gonna be nuts.  It's a crash-up in Elon/crypto land.  Props to @SamanthaLaDuc for calling MARA perfectly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127638137594784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245267501411811, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0197758929267301, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835083504081151, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106172491369725, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350998267558811, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451402860314877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013717054202024515, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454402271189774, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13893871688177883, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654049581786527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914519056606338, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345159173471359, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107441790859214, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378293421194265, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15250565079926026, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "ret_p1y": 0.31860002790178577, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31860002790178577, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1566204327615679, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21954673479565123, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09905329310613453, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13893871688177883, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08654049581786527, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869469001149235654", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-18T19:45:17+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA targeting 433.20 / 422.62 overshoot; short IWM targeting 224.23 on 55D break below 230.30.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty sure this would have helped to have leading into today...\n\n💠\"DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\"\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM &amp; BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02675511142063547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02675511142063547, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003963882061797763, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003963882061797763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007309042498453433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007309042498453433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0010380569991068622, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0010380569991068622, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "ret_p1w": 0.022463808022214815, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022463808022214815, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00660712131406016, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00660712131406016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "ret_p1m": 0.020241640591768917, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020241640591768917, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007702881282761753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007702881282761753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "ret_p3m": -0.007103671765894437, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007103671765894437, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.022269841807632806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022269841807632806, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "ret_p6m": 0.0228458330189778, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0228458330189778, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.013526428463525697, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013526428463525697, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "ret_p1y": 0.15004435919237769, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15004435919237769, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.03373508579715989, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.03373508579715989, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022463808022214815, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00660712131406016, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00660712131406016, "price_path": [-0.0095, -0.0083, -0.0059, -0.013, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0035, -0.0074, -0.0064, -0.0109, -0.0029, -0.0118, -0.009, 0.001, 0.0001, 0.0097, 0.0148, 0.0069, 0.0144, 0.0184, 0.0192, 0.0115, 0.0114, 0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0079, -0.001, -0.0047, -0.0064, -0.016, -0.0096, -0.0151, -0.0051, 0.03, 0.0304, 0.0368, 0.0437, 0.0351, 0.0361, 0.0311, 0.0243, 0.0235, 0.0203, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0446, 0.055, 0.0581, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.061, 0.0578, 0.0558, 0.063, 0.0576, 0.0541, 0.0492, 0.0459, 0.0431, 0.0378, 0.0357, 0.0334, 0.0268, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0131, 0.0139, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0241, 0.0166, 0.0066, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0019, 0.0098, 0.0098, 0.0055, 0.0074, 0.0074, -0.0087, -0.0001, 0.0051, 0.0218, 0.0202, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0408, 0.0436, 0.0533, 0.0503, 0.0574, 0.0605, 0.0576, 0.0614, 0.0533, 0.0507, 0.0537, 0.0611, 0.058, 0.048, 0.0519, 0.055, 0.0492, 0.0578, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0546, 0.0564, 0.0462, 0.0283, 0.0292, 0.033, 0.0287, 0.024, 0.0383, 0.0234, 0.008, 0.0196, 0.0087, 0.0143, -0.0064, -0.0177, -0.0196, -0.0318, -0.0162, -0.0071, -0.0135, -0.0042, -0.0049, -0.0042, 0.0097, 0.0105, 0.0067, 0.0036, -0.0137, -0.0036, -0.0043, 0.0015, -0.0384, -0.0906, -0.0993, -0.1066, -0.0364, -0.061, -0.0463, -0.0379, -0.042, -0.0585, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.094, -0.0696, -0.06, -0.048, -0.0479, -0.0449, -0.038, -0.0353, -0.0327, -0.0194, -0.0212, -0.0308, -0.0241, -0.0174, -0.0208, 0.0072, 0.0007, -0.0015, 0.0054, 0.0135, 0.017, 0.0145, -0.005, -0.0049, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0071, 0.0013, 0.0038, 0.0047, 0.0067, 0.0122, 0.0097, 0.0074, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.0208, 0.0207, 0.0228]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869469001149235654", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-18T19:45:17+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short DIA targeting 433.20 / 422.62 overshoot; short IWM targeting 224.23 on 55D break below 230.30.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty sure this would have helped to have leading into today...\n\n💠\"DIA en route short to 433.20 ~100D with 422.62 overshoot if we see that 55D break, and IWM at my 230 PT with 55D just below at 230.30 looking unlikely to hold so 224.23.\"\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM &amp; BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04632311055446081, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04632311055446081, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015604117072027579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015604117072027579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004437681443525854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004437681443525854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004130528694264335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004130528694264335, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "ret_p1w": 0.011546784110505914, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011546784110505914, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01752414522576906, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01752414522576906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "ret_p1m": 0.016527870869216255, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016527870869216255, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003989111560209091, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003989111560209091, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "ret_p3m": -0.06968848667618577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06968848667618577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.040314973102658525, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.040314973102658525, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "ret_p6m": -0.03433486663205809, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03433486663205809, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07070712811456159, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07070712811456159, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "ret_p1y": 0.14446000561436967, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14446000561436967, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.03931943937516791, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.03931943937516791, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011546784110505914, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01752414522576906, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01752414522576906, "price_path": [-0.0031, -0.0067, -0.005, -0.0172, -0.0119, -0.0053, -0.0027, -0.0163, -0.0176, -0.0242, -0.0106, -0.0184, -0.0177, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0071, 0.0237, 0.0209, 0.0188, 0.0027, -0.0011, -0.0102, -0.008, -0.0118, 0.0044, 0.0011, -0.0003, -0.0169, -0.0114, -0.0063, 0.0123, 0.071, 0.0672, 0.0751, 0.0912, 0.0721, 0.0615, 0.0472, 0.0315, 0.0336, 0.0412, 0.0426, 0.0584, 0.078, 0.0944, 0.0863, 0.0878, 0.0878, 0.092, 0.0914, 0.0837, 0.0876, 0.0749, 0.0787, 0.0733, 0.0686, 0.0735, 0.0595, 0.0523, 0.0584, 0.0463, 0.0, -0.0044, 0.0049, 0.0026, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0219, 0.007, -0.0007, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0014, 0.0163, 0.0167, 0.0085, 0.0039, 0.0039, -0.0182, -0.0163, -0.0051, 0.0145, 0.0165, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0405, 0.0337, 0.0384, 0.0355, 0.0256, 0.0268, 0.0244, 0.0348, 0.0255, 0.0135, 0.0276, 0.0388, 0.0354, 0.0234, 0.028, 0.022, 0.0126, 0.024, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0288, 0.0253, 0.0155, -0.0138, -0.0209, -0.0246, -0.0234, -0.0383, -0.028, -0.0546, -0.0653, -0.056, -0.0705, -0.0674, -0.0909, -0.091, -0.0894, -0.103, -0.0813, -0.0697, -0.0778, -0.0634, -0.0694, -0.0751, -0.0521, -0.0574, -0.067, -0.0714, -0.0903, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.0803, -0.1393, -0.1777, -0.1851, -0.2066, -0.1392, -0.1753, -0.1633, -0.1535, -0.1524, -0.1605, -0.1537, -0.1537, -0.1707, -0.1492, -0.1366, -0.1193, -0.119, -0.1153, -0.1101, -0.1157, -0.1102, -0.0902, -0.0971, -0.107, -0.104, -0.087, -0.0887, -0.0566, -0.0532, -0.0616, -0.0554, -0.0476, -0.0516, -0.0511, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0574, -0.0673, -0.0646, -0.0693, -0.0664, -0.0514, -0.054, -0.0536, -0.0383, -0.0317, -0.0265, -0.0305, -0.0343]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1828393140144726041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-27T11:24:29+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS was already a swing short past 2 months", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ongoing short HIMS and long LLY, both positions already established and still live.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HIMS was already a swing short past 2 months and $LLY was already a trend long past 2 years. 👍✊\n\nhttps://t.co/SECKcSleV8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LLY is now selling vials of its blockbuster weight-loss drug Zepbound to patients for half the price to boost access and supply.\n\nThis is not good for the companies that try to sell compounded knockoffs -- $HIMS down 8% pre-market on the news. https://t.co/KK6xyo4sCN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08153632560857149, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08153632560857149, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08290740244072203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08290740244072203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013710768321505418, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013710768321505418, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013477075957459395, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013477075957459395, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007671778881169766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007671778881169766, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005805297076289628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005805297076289628, "ret_p1w": -0.022911061259564658, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022911061259564658, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006029670809860832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006029670809860832, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016881390449703826, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016881390449703826, "ret_p1m": 0.16307277974467738, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16307277974467738, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1448584751953903, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1448584751953903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018214304549287075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018214304549287075, "ret_p3m": 0.7068732926723624, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7068732926723624, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6431638928686725, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6431638928686725, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06370939980368995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06370939980368995, "ret_p6m": 3.6320752801193352, "ret_signed_p6m": -3.6320752801193352, "alpha_spy_p6m": -3.533565251108983, "alpha_c_p6m": -3.533565251108983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09851002901035244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09851002901035244, "ret_p1y": 2.1758760501020893, "ret_signed_p1y": -2.1758760501020893, "alpha_spy_p1y": -2.013074278016159, "alpha_c_p1y": -2.013074278016159, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1628017720859305, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1628017720859305, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16307277974467738, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1448584751953903, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1448584751953903, "price_path": [0.3726, 0.3086, 0.3807, 0.4036, 0.4656, 0.4535, 0.4009, 0.4569, 0.4852, 0.5957, 0.6422, 0.6004, 0.6274, 0.6705, 0.6705, 0.5088, 0.4926, 0.4926, 0.5606, 0.4528, 0.3491, 0.3605, 0.4434, 0.4292, 0.3807, 0.3807, 0.4003, 0.3821, 0.3942, 0.3619, 0.4185, 0.4636, 0.5391, 0.5573, 0.4818, 0.3726, 0.3086, 0.3706, 0.5344, 0.5168, 0.5667, 0.467, 0.4629, 0.4286, 0.4313, 0.2473, 0.1846, 0.2022, 0.1375, 0.0809, 0.0681, 0.0755, 0.0761, 0.0768, 0.0398, 0.0586, 0.0499, 0.1159, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1092, 0.1274, 0.0815, 0.0, -0.0135, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0229, -0.0155, -0.0276, -0.0802, -0.0586, -0.0209, 0.029, 0.066, 0.1166, 0.097, 0.0849, 0.0991, 0.1402, 0.0984, 0.1078, 0.1637, 0.1631, 0.1934, 0.1974, 0.2412, 0.3012, 0.277, 0.1543, 0.19, 0.31, 0.2635, 0.2621, 0.2028, 0.2594, 0.3814, 0.5364, 0.5067, 0.4528, 0.4926, 0.5532, 0.5896, 0.4407, 0.4501, 0.4643, 0.5553, 0.4987, 0.283, 0.2689, 0.372, 0.3989, 0.3908, 0.5782, 0.5916, 0.5775, 0.8787, 0.7985, 0.8598, 0.405, 0.3019, 0.4144, 0.5856, 0.4683, 0.6274, 0.7069, 1.1125, 1.0674, 1.0445, 1.0445, 1.1712, 1.0788, 1.1705, 1.2857, 1.1294, 1.3066, 1.1988, 1.0802, 1.0344, 1.0276, 1.0229, 1.1058, 1.097, 0.9239, 0.7763, 0.7655, 0.8598, 0.8969, 0.8969, 0.9198, 0.7898, 0.6961, 0.6294, 0.6294, 0.6981, 0.7945, 0.8127, 0.8646, 0.7338, 0.7338, 0.7123, 0.7453, 0.7662, 0.8774, 0.8827, 0.8767, 0.8767, 1.0088, 1.0027, 1.0815, 1.0802, 1.0559, 1.1253, 1.1469, 1.2884, 1.5121, 1.6233, 1.8201, 1.8437, 1.7271, 1.8673, 2.0168, 1.9367, 2.1226, 2.9879, 3.0748, 3.0748, 2.942, 3.6321]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1828393140144726041", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-27T11:24:29+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LLY was already a trend long past 2 years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ongoing short HIMS and long LLY, both positions already established and still live.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HIMS was already a swing short past 2 months and $LLY was already a trend long past 2 years. 👍✊\n\nhttps://t.co/SECKcSleV8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LLY is now selling vials of its blockbuster weight-loss drug Zepbound to patients for half the price to boost access and supply.\n\nThis is not good for the companies that try to sell compounded knockoffs -- $HIMS down 8% pre-market on the news. https://t.co/KK6xyo4sCN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004138342389073291, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004138342389073291, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002767265556922749, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002767265556922749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013710768321505418, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013710768321505418, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005804259266885214, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005804259266885214, "alpha_spy_p1d": 1.037809404413892e-06, "alpha_c_p1d": 1.037809404413892e-06, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005805297076289628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005805297076289628, "ret_p1w": 0.002147776001939272, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002147776001939272, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019029166451643098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019029166451643098, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016881390449703826, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016881390449703826, "ret_p1m": -0.03134693675641087, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03134693675641087, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049561241305697945, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049561241305697945, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018214304549287075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018214304549287075, "ret_p3m": -0.21501891824763342, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21501891824763342, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27872831805132336, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27872831805132336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06370939980368995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06370939980368995, "ret_p6m": -0.08852694849921794, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08852694849921794, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18703697750957038, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18703697750957038, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09851002901035244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09851002901035244, "ret_p1y": -0.27902867767548356, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27902867767548356, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.44183044976141406, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.44183044976141406, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1628017720859305, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1628017720859305, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03134693675641087, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.049561241305697945, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049561241305697945, "price_path": [-0.1473, -0.1417, -0.1303, -0.1289, -0.1298, -0.124, -0.1107, -0.095, -0.0942, -0.0926, -0.0758, -0.0809, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0731, -0.0753, -0.0687, -0.0536, -0.0571, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0434, -0.0514, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.0432, -0.0396, -0.0244, -0.0168, -0.0227, -0.0078, -0.0056, -0.0149, -0.0525, -0.1119, -0.1029, -0.094, -0.0811, -0.1004, -0.1408, -0.1582, -0.1549, -0.1733, -0.1585, -0.1291, -0.1584, -0.1889, -0.1702, -0.1922, -0.1156, -0.0671, -0.0747, -0.05, -0.0252, -0.024, -0.0339, -0.0342, -0.0047, -0.0026, -0.0003, -0.0018, -0.0041, 0.0, -0.0058, -0.015, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0086, -0.0437, -0.0542, -0.0484, -0.0558, -0.0352, -0.0204, -0.0322, -0.0324, -0.0506, -0.0519, -0.0413, -0.0346, -0.0377, -0.0315, -0.0313, -0.0473, -0.0803, -0.0718, -0.0733, -0.0664, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0588, -0.0427, -0.0364, -0.0459, -0.0235, -0.0262, -0.0431, -0.0399, -0.0391, -0.0383, -0.0507, -0.0475, -0.0537, -0.0662, -0.0647, -0.0617, -0.0533, -0.1128, -0.1307, -0.142, -0.1554, -0.1555, -0.1866, -0.1645, -0.1288, -0.1279, -0.1421, -0.1495, -0.1763, -0.2169, -0.2369, -0.2342, -0.2094, -0.213, -0.215, -0.2077, -0.1717, -0.1729, -0.1729, -0.1653, -0.1607, -0.1465, -0.1291, -0.1336, -0.1324, -0.1567, -0.1609, -0.1646, -0.179, -0.1719, -0.1825, -0.1829, -0.1975, -0.205, -0.1943, -0.1644, -0.165, -0.165, -0.1666, -0.1781, -0.1879, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.1835, -0.1794, -0.1971, -0.1885, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.1606, -0.1631, -0.2183, -0.2164, -0.205, -0.2384, -0.2384, -0.221, -0.2088, -0.1955, -0.1758, -0.1519, -0.1552, -0.1562, -0.1361, -0.1488, -0.1495, -0.1331, -0.1162, -0.0866, -0.0783, -0.0882, -0.0922, -0.0839, -0.085, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.0989, -0.0885]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1843998859820671119", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-09T12:56:02+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see $NVDA headed higher into YE. Like up to 148-150 kind of higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "NVDA seen heading higher into year-end, up to 148-150, on pure hopium before semis top and roll over into 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These guys are players!!! \nSell off China stocks on disappointing fiscal promises, then trick US into buying back up before the weekend.\n🔥🫶\n\nWarning: This could be the game for a few months - I still think China will trigger fiscal spend AFTER the election to suck in lots of US spec money - away from NVDA et al.\n\nBut, in the meantime, I can see $NVDA headed higher into YE. Like up to 148-150 kind of higher. On pure hopium and one last gasp as semis top & roll over into 2025. \n\nChina will likely time their fiscal easing then ;-).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Well, well, well. The plot thickens.\n\nFrom MarketWatch:\nTake two — Beijing sets new press conference for fiscal discussion on Saturday\n\nGood time to read this:\n\nhttps://t.co/qkFrUhN9UN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0018092607791804216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018092607791804216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00868809906971102, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012116933360254323, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006878838290530598, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010307672581073901, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016283347012622906, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016283347012622906, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018033276158516354, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01824302617549045, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017499291458934474, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019596791628675447, "ret_p1w": 0.023143652817326776, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023143652817326776, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01420297621403277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.053831494599761665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008940676603294007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030687841782434888, "ret_p1m": 0.12235218187356645, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12235218187356645, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09034954586336164, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09934615225838739, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03200263601020481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023006029615179058, "ret_p3m": 0.12657578733489805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12657578733489805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0915342494521807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10214544581577822, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035041537882717355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024430341519119825, "ret_p6m": -0.23244340760396454, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23244340760396454, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16831045788652832, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.002330990722970161, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06413294971743622, "bench_c_p6m": -0.23011241688099437, "ret_p1y": 0.3436946847088893, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3436946847088893, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1830297332188593, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07680702615040036, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16066495149003002, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26688765855848895, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12235218187356645, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09034954586336164, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09934615225838739, "price_path": [-0.0258, -0.0318, -0.0475, -0.1106, -0.0872, -0.111, -0.0688, -0.0759, -0.1388, -0.1536, -0.1478, -0.1588, -0.2181, -0.1179, -0.1768, -0.1914, -0.2428, -0.2142, -0.2544, -0.2087, -0.2104, -0.1782, -0.1245, -0.1099, -0.0739, -0.0609, -0.0201, -0.0408, -0.0314, -0.0672, -0.0248, -0.0467, -0.0329, -0.0532, -0.1136, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.1859, -0.1994, -0.1919, -0.2249, -0.1974, -0.1851, -0.1187, -0.1018, -0.1021, -0.1196, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.1255, -0.1236, -0.0888, -0.0689, -0.0649, -0.0848, -0.0845, -0.118, -0.104, -0.0739, -0.0583, -0.0372, 0.0018, 0.0, 0.0163, 0.0162, 0.0409, -0.0079, 0.0231, 0.0323, 0.0403, 0.0834, 0.0825, 0.0521, 0.0585, 0.067, 0.0593, 0.0648, 0.0504, 0.0008, 0.0207, 0.0256, 0.0547, 0.0977, 0.1224, 0.1129, 0.0951, 0.1179, 0.1027, 0.1064, 0.0703, 0.0565, 0.1083, 0.0998, 0.1057, 0.0701, 0.0254, 0.0322, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0422, 0.0451, 0.0574, 0.0942, 0.0936, 0.0739, 0.0465, 0.0183, 0.0503, 0.0354, 0.0121, -0.0048, -0.017, -0.0281, -0.0148, 0.0155, 0.053, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.055, 0.0329, 0.0366, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0427, 0.0892, 0.1266, 0.0565, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0246, 0.0044, -0.0066, 0.0271, 0.007, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0617, 0.1088, 0.1099, 0.0752, -0.1072, -0.0275, -0.0674, -0.0602, -0.0948, -0.1205, -0.1055, -0.0589, -0.0299, -0.0211, 0.007, 0.0012, -0.0113, 0.02, 0.0468, 0.0468, 0.051, 0.0497, 0.0563, 0.0135, -0.0178, -0.0453, -0.0103, -0.0942, -0.0582, -0.1401, -0.1255, -0.1157, -0.1664, -0.1504, -0.1935, -0.18, -0.1273, -0.1285, -0.0826, -0.0988, -0.1297, -0.1139, -0.1063, -0.1126, -0.0846, -0.09, -0.1423, -0.1598, -0.1731, -0.1828, -0.1695, -0.1674, -0.2324]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869472011040301510", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-18T19:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish QQQ and SPX; US-JP yield differential reversal signals a catch-down trade lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also posted for clients yday:\n\n\"💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.  \n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\"\n\nand now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS\nhttps://t.co/Qs53c4MwmW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM &amp; BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03742713227363992, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03742713227363992, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006708138791206686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006708138791206686, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0044533023561865726, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0044533023561865726, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004146149606925054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004146149606925054, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "ret_p1w": 0.027774369666918597, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027774369666918597, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0012965596693563786, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0012965596693563786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "ret_p1m": -0.0049617594079146565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0049617594079146565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01750051871692182, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01750051871692182, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "ret_p3m": -0.06374331358429042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06374331358429042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.034369800010763174, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.034369800010763174, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "ret_p6m": 0.036493124602889004, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.036493124602889004, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.00012086312038550595, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00012086312038550595, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "ret_p1y": 0.21760353715053915, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21760353715053915, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03382409216100157, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03382409216100157, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027774369666918597, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0012965596693563786, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0012965596693563786, "price_path": [-0.0672, -0.0647, -0.0602, -0.0593, -0.0523, -0.0575, -0.055, -0.0682, -0.0668, -0.0675, -0.0564, -0.0665, -0.0526, -0.0452, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.0367, -0.0496, -0.0495, -0.0488, -0.0426, -0.0408, -0.0397, -0.0544, -0.0468, -0.041, -0.0408, -0.0316, -0.0389, -0.0632, -0.0562, -0.059, -0.047, -0.0211, -0.0057, -0.0045, -0.0051, -0.0069, -0.0082, -0.0151, -0.0385, -0.0319, -0.0252, -0.0258, -0.0222, -0.0207, -0.0191, -0.0139, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.013, -0.0023, 0.0008, 0.0131, 0.0103, 0.0194, 0.0114, 0.008, 0.026, 0.0194, 0.0272, 0.042, 0.0374, 0.0, -0.0045, 0.0042, 0.014, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0271, 0.0134, -0.0001, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0105, 0.0057, 0.0173, -0.0009, -0.0007, -0.0007, -0.0164, -0.0195, -0.0205, 0.0021, -0.005, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0178, 0.0308, 0.033, 0.0271, -0.0028, 0.012, 0.0101, 0.0144, 0.0129, 0.0048, 0.0171, 0.0217, 0.0271, 0.0141, 0.0264, 0.024, 0.0246, 0.0393, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.046, 0.0463, 0.0419, 0.0202, 0.0082, -0.0045, -0.0021, -0.0298, -0.0145, -0.036, -0.039, -0.0264, -0.0532, -0.0463, -0.0832, -0.0854, -0.0751, -0.0917, -0.0698, -0.0637, -0.0797, -0.0674, -0.0706, -0.0675, -0.047, -0.0416, -0.0592, -0.0646, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0819, -0.0752, -0.1247, -0.1791, -0.1771, -0.1919, -0.0949, -0.1334, -0.1174, -0.1115, -0.1105, -0.1373, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1588, -0.1367, -0.1171, -0.0923, -0.0822, -0.0825, -0.0764, -0.0765, -0.0645, -0.0506, -0.0562, -0.065, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0522, -0.0136, 0.0014, 0.0074, 0.0085, 0.0129, 0.0139, 0.0105, -0.0036, -0.0017, -0.0109, -0.0109, 0.0123, 0.0078, 0.0098, 0.0082, 0.0162, 0.0241, 0.027, 0.0193, 0.0292, 0.0307, 0.0376, 0.0341, 0.0365]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1869472011040301510", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-18T19:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish QQQ and SPX; US-JP yield differential reversal signals a catch-down trade lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also posted for clients yday:\n\n\"💠I showed my VX3:VIX ratio warning that it would likely push below 1.20 ratio and pull market lower. It did.  \n💠I showed my US-JP yield differential as bearish and how it would influence stocks. It reversed lower Dec 4th and now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\"\n\nand now QQQ with SPX are looking as a catch down trade.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS\nhttps://t.co/Qs53c4MwmW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/17/24\n\n💠Growth over Value still in play, but for NYFANG, QTUM &amp; BITCOIN only. And VXN with VIX past few days. Value still not safe. Today’s victim: REM (REITs) - with XLF, KRE + KIE (remember my warning earlier this month that insurers", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030718993482433232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030718993482433232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0003071527492615189, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003071527492615189, "ret_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029070929336274975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029070929336274975, "ret_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012538759309007164, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012538759309007164, "ret_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.029373513573527243, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029373513573527243, "ret_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0363722614825035, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0363722614825035, "ret_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18377944498953758, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18377944498953758, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029070929336274975, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0308, -0.0283, -0.0256, -0.0277, -0.0238, -0.0253, -0.0214, -0.0301, -0.0297, -0.0315, -0.0227, -0.0315, -0.0224, -0.0156, -0.0173, -0.0114, -0.0033, -0.0111, -0.0068, -0.0067, -0.0029, -0.0045, -0.005, -0.0141, -0.012, -0.0123, -0.0093, -0.0077, -0.0107, -0.0301, -0.026, -0.0281, -0.0163, 0.0081, 0.0159, 0.0203, 0.0213, 0.0181, 0.0186, 0.0121, -0.0009, 0.0032, 0.0069, 0.0072, 0.0126, 0.0157, 0.0192, 0.0245, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0278, 0.0296, 0.0301, 0.0365, 0.0348, 0.0367, 0.0314, 0.0282, 0.0361, 0.0308, 0.0306, 0.035, 0.0307, 0.0, -0.0003, 0.0117, 0.0178, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0183, 0.0067, 0.003, 0.003, 0.0006, 0.0131, 0.0189, 0.0074, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0065, -0.005, -0.0036, 0.0145, 0.0125, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.0321, 0.0379, 0.0435, 0.0405, 0.0258, 0.0346, 0.0299, 0.0355, 0.03, 0.023, 0.0299, 0.0341, 0.0377, 0.0282, 0.0351, 0.0359, 0.0326, 0.0435, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0465, 0.049, 0.0446, 0.0267, 0.0221, 0.017, 0.0175, 0.0013, 0.0169, -0.0009, -0.0128, -0.0021, -0.0199, -0.0144, -0.0406, -0.0486, -0.0435, -0.0563, -0.0368, -0.0294, -0.0399, -0.0294, -0.0322, -0.0319, -0.0146, -0.0122, -0.024, -0.0266, -0.0462, -0.0398, -0.0371, -0.031, -0.0787, -0.1327, -0.1342, -0.1478, -0.0583, -0.0995, -0.0835, -0.0746, -0.0772, -0.0977, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1179, -0.0949, -0.0809, -0.0616, -0.0548, -0.0544, -0.0485, -0.0481, -0.0414, -0.0271, -0.0327, -0.0408, -0.0368, -0.03, -0.0313, 0.0007, 0.0073, 0.0086, 0.0136, 0.02, 0.0211, 0.0177, 0.0005, 0.0009, -0.0059, -0.0059, 0.0147, 0.0089, 0.0129, 0.0117, 0.0174, 0.0232, 0.0229, 0.018, 0.0285, 0.0294, 0.0352, 0.0323, 0.0364]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839321484252393802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-26T15:09:49+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ but uber bearish $SMCI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held short SMCI (uber bearish) vs long NVDA, SMH, QQQ (uber bullish); client up 600% short SMCI.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I LOVE running a live trading room &amp; helping clients make money.\n\n\"Hi Sam I am short SMCI up 600%… should I be more greedy? I have 350P expiring October 4. Thoughts?\"\n\nI have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ but uber bearish $SMCI. 😉❤️‍🔥🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Super Micro Computer stock, $SMCI, has now been halted 3 TIMES and is down 13%.\n\nThis comes just minutes after the US Justice Department announced a probe into the company.\n\n$SMCI recently delayed their 10-K filing for FY2024.\n\nThe company said additional time is needed https://t.co/Mbbrt6uzE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13854365595679075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13854365595679075, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14249269019953137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15161471203951693, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013071056082726185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04309138351499131, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04309138351499131, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04454167376895368, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05242147232289662, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009330088807905312, "ret_p1w": 0.032554609939162926, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032554609939162926, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04038258559736074, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05196314365184951, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019408533712686582, "ret_p1m": 0.1747017516417939, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1747017516417939, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16292485058064954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16119074918752752, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013511002454266396, "ret_p3m": -0.14686877735829384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14686877735829384, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2010777427968703, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20718080315546972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06031202579717587, "ret_p6m": 0.047465202975729204, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.047465202975729204, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05571177648133707, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10427981776107165, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05681461478534244, "ret_p1y": 0.1277335779138138, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1277335779138138, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.03790600389757648, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.08124027089318075, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20897384880699454, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1747017516417939, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16292485058064954, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16119074918752752, "price_path": [1.0187, 1.0804, 1.1049, 1.1049, 1.1038, 1.2349, 1.2257, 1.2365, 1.2098, 1.2613, 1.2308, 1.1793, 1.0286, 0.9921, 0.9801, 0.954, 0.9464, 0.7683, 0.7287, 0.7699, 0.7339, 0.6558, 0.7437, 0.6706, 0.5523, 0.513, 0.5332, 0.2244, 0.2672, 0.2643, 0.3444, 0.4101, 0.4341, 0.5574, 0.5626, 0.5498, 0.5182, 0.5501, 0.503, 0.524, 0.3979, 0.3609, 0.1021, 0.1154, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0979, 0.0524, 0.0303, -0.0396, 0.0186, 0.0256, 0.1069, 0.0987, 0.1361, 0.1161, 0.0919, 0.0857, 0.0865, 0.1364, 0.1579, 0.1521, 0.1385, 0.0, 0.0431, 0.0348, 0.0077, 0.0437, 0.0326, 0.0246, 0.1864, 0.127, 0.1752, 0.1548, 0.1879, 0.1777, 0.1869, 0.2115, 0.1827, 0.1745, 0.1879, 0.1424, 0.1272, 0.1489, 0.1747, 0.1859, 0.2207, -0.1782, -0.2766, -0.3526, -0.3531, -0.3116, -0.4359, -0.3668, -0.3907, -0.4227, -0.4607, -0.4948, -0.5524, -0.5383, -0.4647, -0.2975, -0.3588, -0.2619, -0.1762, -0.0455, -0.1444, -0.1285, -0.1285, -0.1889, 0.0437, -0.0007, 0.039, 0.0224, 0.0917, 0.0974, 0.0075, -0.0485, -0.0574, -0.0942, -0.169, -0.16, -0.1991, -0.2237, -0.215, -0.1948, -0.1469, -0.1469, -0.1615, -0.2053, -0.2376, -0.2425, -0.2425, -0.2532, -0.1717, -0.0942, -0.1456, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.1899, -0.2276, -0.2413, -0.2299, -0.2266, -0.2341, -0.2341, -0.1936, -0.1585, -0.1697, -0.1732, -0.2776, -0.2997, -0.3091, -0.2883, -0.2913, -0.3328, -0.2753, -0.2174, -0.159, -0.0984, 0.0599, -0.0405, -0.0139, 0.0507, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.3867, 0.4973, 0.4729, 0.3934, 0.2826, 0.1317, 0.2701, 0.0673, 0.0303, -0.1036, -0.0273, -0.0333, -0.0793, -0.0497, -0.083, 0.0149, 0.0554, -0.0288, 0.048, 0.0422, -0.0582, -0.0035, -0.0283, 0.0475]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839321484252393802", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-26T15:09:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held short SMCI (uber bearish) vs long NVDA, SMH, QQQ (uber bullish); client up 600% short SMCI.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I LOVE running a live trading room &amp; helping clients make money.\n\n\"Hi Sam I am short SMCI up 600%… should I be more greedy? I have 350P expiring October 4. Thoughts?\"\n\nI have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ but uber bearish $SMCI. 😉❤️‍🔥🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Super Micro Computer stock, $SMCI, has now been halted 3 TIMES and is down 13%.\n\nThis comes just minutes after the US Justice Department announced a probe into the company.\n\n$SMCI recently delayed their 10-K filing for FY2024.\n\nThe company said additional time is needed https://t.co/Mbbrt6uzE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004272767399103206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004272767399103206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00032373315636258226, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02375348774794006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028026255147043266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021283382631652414, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021283382631652414, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019833092377690043, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019658769667781906, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019317505664874224, "ret_p1w": -0.009593597656104458, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009593597656104458, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017656219979066412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022351588672051004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03194518632815546, "ret_p1m": 0.14108362664370078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14108362664370078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1293067255825564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1397376769899834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001345949653717371, "ret_p3m": 0.13051995634765534, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13051995634765534, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07631099090907889, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13105782499657714, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005378686489218021, "ret_p6m": -0.0509598310335152, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0509598310335152, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04271325752790733, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.055341162039493685, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10630099307300889, "ret_p1y": 0.4334165906631664, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4334165906631664, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.26777700885177613, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2120902143648311, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2213263762983353, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14108362664370078, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1293067255825564, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1397376769899834, "price_path": [0.002, -0.0111, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0143, 0.0334, 0.0591, 0.0875, 0.027, 0.0418, 0.0354, 0.0186, -0.0489, -0.0239, -0.0493, -0.0041, -0.0118, -0.079, -0.0949, -0.0886, -0.1004, -0.1638, -0.0567, -0.1196, -0.1353, -0.1902, -0.1596, -0.2027, -0.1538, -0.1556, -0.1212, -0.0638, -0.0481, -0.0096, 0.0043, 0.048, 0.0258, 0.0359, -0.0025, 0.0429, 0.0194, 0.0343, 0.0126, -0.0521, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.1294, -0.1438, -0.1358, -0.1711, -0.1417, -0.1286, -0.0576, -0.0395, -0.0398, -0.0585, -0.0681, -0.086, -0.0497, -0.0648, -0.0627, -0.0256, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.0213, -0.021, -0.0568, -0.0418, -0.0096, 0.0071, 0.0297, 0.0713, 0.0694, 0.0868, 0.0867, 0.1131, 0.0609, 0.0942, 0.1039, 0.1125, 0.1586, 0.1576, 0.1251, 0.132, 0.1411, 0.1329, 0.1387, 0.1233, 0.0703, 0.0916, 0.0968, 0.1279, 0.1739, 0.2003, 0.1902, 0.1711, 0.1955, 0.1792, 0.1832, 0.1446, 0.1299, 0.1852, 0.1762, 0.1824, 0.1444, 0.0966, 0.1038, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.1146, 0.1176, 0.1308, 0.1701, 0.1695, 0.1484, 0.1192, 0.089, 0.1232, 0.1073, 0.0824, 0.0642, 0.0513, 0.0393, 0.0536, 0.086, 0.1261, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1282, 0.1046, 0.1085, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.1151, 0.1648, 0.2048, 0.1299, 0.1296, 0.1296, 0.0958, 0.0742, 0.0623, 0.0984, 0.0769, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1354, 0.1857, 0.187, 0.1499, -0.0452, 0.04, -0.0027, 0.005, -0.0319, -0.0594, -0.0434, 0.0064, 0.0375, 0.0468, 0.0769, 0.0707, 0.0573, 0.0908, 0.1195, 0.1195, 0.1239, 0.1225, 0.1296, 0.0838, 0.0504, 0.021, 0.0584, -0.0313, 0.0072, -0.0804, -0.0648, -0.0543, -0.1085, -0.0914, -0.1375, -0.1231, -0.0668, -0.0681, -0.0189, -0.0362, -0.0693, -0.0524, -0.0443, -0.051]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839321484252393802", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-09-26T15:09:49+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held short SMCI (uber bearish) vs long NVDA, SMH, QQQ (uber bullish); client up 600% short SMCI.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I LOVE running a live trading room &amp; helping clients make money.\n\n\"Hi Sam I am short SMCI up 600%… should I be more greedy? I have 350P expiring October 4. Thoughts?\"\n\nI have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ but uber bearish $SMCI. 😉❤️‍🔥🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Super Micro Computer stock, $SMCI, has now been halted 3 TIMES and is down 13%.\n\nThis comes just minutes after the US Justice Department announced a probe into the company.\n\n$SMCI recently delayed their 10-K filing for FY2024.\n\nThe company said additional time is needed https://t.co/Mbbrt6uzE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028026255147043266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028026255147043266, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024077220904302643, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024077220904302643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019317505664874224, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019317505664874224, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017867215410911852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017867215410911852, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": -0.03194518632815546, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03194518632815546, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024117210669957645, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024117210669957645, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": 0.001345949653717371, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.001345949653717371, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010430951407427003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010430951407427003, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": -0.0005378686489218021, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0005378686489218021, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05474683408749825, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05474683408749825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": -0.10630099307300889, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10630099307300889, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09805441956740102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09805441956740102, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.2213263762983353, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2213263762983353, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.055686794486945024, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.055686794486945024, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.001345949653717371, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.010430951407427003, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010430951407427003, "price_path": [0.0332, 0.0436, 0.0673, 0.0673, 0.0677, 0.0855, 0.0878, 0.1134, 0.0728, 0.0864, 0.084, 0.0835, 0.0063, 0.0116, -0.0177, 0.0202, 0.0089, -0.0461, -0.0636, -0.0487, -0.0555, -0.0916, -0.0223, -0.0855, -0.1353, -0.1556, -0.1392, -0.1629, -0.1097, -0.1099, -0.1016, -0.065, -0.0642, -0.0247, -0.0234, -0.0051, -0.0181, -0.0079, -0.0404, -0.0167, -0.0398, -0.0301, -0.0464, -0.0582, -0.0363, -0.0363, -0.1086, -0.1107, -0.1123, -0.1489, -0.1297, -0.1214, -0.0761, -0.0741, -0.0622, -0.0745, -0.0748, -0.0853, -0.0456, -0.0583, -0.0541, -0.0365, -0.028, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0284, -0.0544, -0.0408, -0.0319, -0.019, -0.0174, -0.0004, 0.01, 0.008, 0.0161, 0.0343, -0.0216, -0.021, -0.0041, -0.0044, 0.0009, -0.0037, -0.0143, -0.0101, 0.0013, -0.0056, 0.017, -0.0077, -0.0433, -0.0312, -0.0331, -0.0171, 0.0087, 0.0333, 0.0266, 0.0036, -0.003, -0.0198, -0.0176, -0.0502, -0.0439, -0.0334, -0.0399, -0.0258, -0.0317, -0.0355, -0.0443, -0.0569, -0.0569, -0.0415, -0.0188, -0.0166, 0.0, -0.0171, -0.0159, -0.0259, -0.0504, -0.0272, -0.0366, -0.0124, 0.0025, -0.0105, -0.0421, -0.0544, -0.0392, -0.0091, -0.0005, -0.0005, -0.0023, -0.0123, -0.0272, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0267, 0.0015, 0.0347, 0.0101, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0172, -0.0273, -0.0241, -0.0012, 0.0031, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0433, 0.0623, 0.061, 0.0399, -0.0624, -0.044, -0.0476, -0.0252, -0.0314, -0.0506, -0.0399, -0.0174, -0.0125, -0.0259, -0.0075, -0.0065, -0.0119, 0.0016, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0187, 0.0232, 0.025, -0.006, -0.0321, -0.0527, -0.0306, -0.0903, -0.0745, -0.1133, -0.1045, -0.0879, -0.1261, -0.105, -0.147, -0.1482, -0.1232, -0.1271, -0.0991, -0.0896, -0.1037, -0.0958, -0.0972, -0.1063]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839321484252393802", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-09-26T15:09:49+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held short SMCI (uber bearish) vs long NVDA, SMH, QQQ (uber bullish); client up 600% short SMCI.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I LOVE running a live trading room &amp; helping clients make money.\n\n\"Hi Sam I am short SMCI up 600%… should I be more greedy? I have 350P expiring October 4. Thoughts?\"\n\nI have been uber bullish $NVDA $SMH $QQQ but uber bearish $SMCI. 😉❤️‍🔥🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Super Micro Computer stock, $SMCI, has now been halted 3 TIMES and is down 13%.\n\nThis comes just minutes after the US Justice Department announced a probe into the company.\n\n$SMCI recently delayed their 10-K filing for FY2024.\n\nThe company said additional time is needed https://t.co/Mbbrt6uzE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00745701507610641, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00745701507610641, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003507980833365787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003507980833365787, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003949034242740623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005557034149443862, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005557034149443862, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0041067438954814905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0041067438954814905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014502902539623719, "ret_p1w": -0.016099090858529563, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016099090858529563, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008271115200331747, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008271115200331747, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007827975658197817, "ret_p1m": 0.01195172403174527, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01195172403174527, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00017482297060089635, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00017482297060089635, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011776901061144374, "ret_p3m": 0.08446811311903124, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08446811311903124, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03025914768045479, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03025914768045479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05420896543857645, "ret_p6m": -0.016047306904453884, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.016047306904453884, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.007800733398846016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.007800733398846016, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008246573505607868, "ret_p1y": 0.21393428276866922, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21393428276866922, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.048294700957278947, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.048294700957278947, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16563958181139027, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01195172403174527, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00017482297060089635, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00017482297060089635, "price_path": [-0.0168, -0.0065, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0122, 0.0147, 0.0155, 0.0261, 0.0036, 0.0095, 0.0122, 0.0126, -0.0171, -0.0218, -0.0304, -0.016, -0.0195, -0.0546, -0.0651, -0.0555, -0.0536, -0.0666, -0.0389, -0.0622, -0.0845, -0.1118, -0.1033, -0.113, -0.0859, -0.0811, -0.0791, -0.0563, -0.056, -0.0321, -0.0309, -0.0181, -0.0202, -0.0156, -0.0312, -0.0207, -0.0302, -0.0273, -0.0384, -0.0398, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0578, -0.0603, -0.0594, -0.0846, -0.0728, -0.0643, -0.0439, -0.0346, -0.0302, -0.0345, -0.034, -0.0382, -0.0139, -0.0157, -0.0131, -0.0084, -0.0075, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0029, -0.0168, -0.0154, -0.0161, -0.0044, -0.0151, -0.0003, 0.0075, 0.0064, 0.0079, 0.0164, 0.0028, 0.0029, 0.0036, 0.0102, 0.0122, 0.0133, -0.0023, 0.0058, 0.012, 0.0121, 0.0218, 0.0141, -0.0115, -0.0042, -0.0071, 0.0056, 0.0329, 0.0492, 0.0504, 0.0498, 0.0479, 0.0465, 0.0393, 0.0145, 0.0216, 0.0286, 0.028, 0.0317, 0.0333, 0.035, 0.0405, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0414, 0.0528, 0.056, 0.069, 0.0661, 0.0756, 0.0672, 0.0636, 0.0826, 0.0757, 0.0839, 0.0995, 0.0947, 0.0552, 0.0505, 0.0596, 0.07, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.0837, 0.0693, 0.0551, 0.0461, 0.0461, 0.0441, 0.0612, 0.0734, 0.0542, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0379, 0.0345, 0.0336, 0.0573, 0.0499, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0739, 0.0876, 0.09, 0.0838, 0.0522, 0.0678, 0.0658, 0.0703, 0.0688, 0.0602, 0.0732, 0.0781, 0.0837, 0.0701, 0.083, 0.0804, 0.0811, 0.0966, 0.1012, 0.1012, 0.1037, 0.104, 0.0993, 0.0765, 0.0638, 0.0504, 0.053, 0.0237, 0.0399, 0.0171, 0.0141, 0.0273, -0.001, 0.0064, -0.0326, -0.035, -0.0241, -0.0416, -0.0185, -0.0121, -0.0289, -0.0159, -0.0193, -0.016]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1832892558441124040", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-08T21:23:34+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my tactical short into $SPY 540", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Tactical short SPY at 540 and QQQ at 447 into the Friday NFP session; warns bulls need Monday gap to get bought.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My #LiveTradingRoom NFP review for clients pre-market, PLUS my rant to be careful PLUS my tactical short into $SPY 540 + $QQQ 447 Friday - something for everyone!!\n\nOh, and why I say \"Bulls Better Hope Monday Morning Gap Gets Bought\" ;-)\n\nSee ya tomorrow!\n\nhttps://t.co/5uDXj7dxTz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011072285394213566, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004355686662705027, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "ret_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030069125886228232, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "ret_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0521915134547517, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11367070656642753, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "ret_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0625298087017454, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "ret_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1981550421829934, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.030069125886228232, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0124, -0.0104, -0.0098, -0.002, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0021, -0.0035, -0.0067, -0.0029, -0.0016, -0.0001, -0.004, -0.002, 0.0048, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0151, 0.0162, 0.0172, 0.0273, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0277, 0.0338, 0.0193, 0.0114, 0.0047, 0.0151, 0.0135, -0.0095, -0.0146, -0.0036, -0.003, -0.0081, 0.0081, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0531, -0.0444, -0.0508, -0.0288, -0.0246, -0.024, -0.008, -0.0049, 0.0122, 0.0145, 0.0242, 0.0225, 0.026, 0.018, 0.0288, 0.0263, 0.0277, 0.0218, 0.0219, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0104, 0.0083, 0.0059, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0147, 0.0232, 0.0285, 0.0301, 0.0305, 0.0274, 0.045, 0.0432, 0.0458, 0.0488, 0.0464, 0.0506, 0.0491, 0.0533, 0.0438, 0.0443, 0.0424, 0.0518, 0.0423, 0.0522, 0.0595, 0.0576, 0.064, 0.0727, 0.0643, 0.069, 0.069, 0.0732, 0.0714, 0.0708, 0.061, 0.0633, 0.063, 0.0663, 0.068, 0.0647, 0.0439, 0.0483, 0.046, 0.0587, 0.085, 0.0934, 0.0981, 0.0992, 0.0958, 0.0963, 0.0892, 0.0753, 0.0797, 0.0836, 0.084, 0.0898, 0.0932, 0.0969, 0.1026, 0.0993, 0.0993, 0.1061, 0.1081, 0.1086, 0.1155, 0.1137, 0.1158, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.1151, 0.1094, 0.1092, 0.1139, 0.1093, 0.0763, 0.0759, 0.0889, 0.0954, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1076, 0.096, 0.0835, 0.0795, 0.0795, 0.0769, 0.0903, 0.0966, 0.0842, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.0692, 0.0709, 0.0723, 0.0919, 0.0898, 0.1007, 0.1007, 0.1108, 0.117, 0.1231, 0.1198, 0.104, 0.1135, 0.1085, 0.1144, 0.1085, 0.101, 0.1084, 0.1129, 0.1168, 0.1066, 0.1141, 0.1149, 0.1113, 0.1231, 0.123, 0.123, 0.1263, 0.129, 0.1243, 0.105, 0.1, 0.0945, 0.0951, 0.0776, 0.0944, 0.0753, 0.0625]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1832892558441124040", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-08T21:23:34+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QQQ 447 Friday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Tactical short SPY at 540 and QQQ at 447 into the Friday NFP session; warns bulls need Monday gap to get bought.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My #LiveTradingRoom NFP review for clients pre-market, PLUS my rant to be careful PLUS my tactical short into $SPY 540 + $QQQ 447 Friday - something for everyone!!\n\nOh, and why I say \"Bulls Better Hope Monday Morning Gap Gets Bought\" ;-)\n\nSee ya tomorrow!\n\nhttps://t.co/5uDXj7dxTz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012696339674160173, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012696339674160173, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016240542799466073, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016240542799466073, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009241810659600391, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009241810659600391, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004886123996895364, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004886123996895364, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "ret_p1w": 0.04132386965270207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04132386965270207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01125474376647384, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01125474376647384, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "ret_p1m": 0.07817541003807538, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07817541003807538, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025983896583323673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025983896583323673, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_p3m": 0.14981143989589918, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14981143989589918, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03614073332947165, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03614073332947165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "ret_p6m": 0.09370811554716996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09370811554716996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.031178306845424553, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.031178306845424553, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "ret_p1y": 0.2690374941725242, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2690374941725242, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.0708824519895308, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0708824519895308, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04132386965270207, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01125474376647384, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01125474376647384, "price_path": [0.0417, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0656, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0578, 0.0549, 0.0429, 0.0548, 0.057, 0.0597, 0.0542, 0.0604, 0.0716, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.0918, 0.0944, 0.0953, 0.1067, 0.0824, 0.0888, 0.0917, 0.0922, 0.0601, 0.0551, 0.0457, 0.0613, 0.0576, 0.0196, 0.0084, 0.0187, 0.0208, 0.0068, 0.0365, 0.0114, -0.0126, -0.042, -0.0329, -0.0433, -0.0141, -0.0089, -0.0068, 0.0179, 0.0182, 0.0439, 0.0453, 0.059, 0.0568, 0.0617, 0.0449, 0.0562, 0.0459, 0.0491, 0.0372, 0.0356, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0162, 0.0135, 0.0145, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0312, 0.0413, 0.0459, 0.0413, 0.0419, 0.0374, 0.0636, 0.0616, 0.0644, 0.0695, 0.0705, 0.0786, 0.0726, 0.0755, 0.0605, 0.062, 0.0612, 0.0738, 0.0623, 0.0782, 0.0867, 0.0854, 0.0871, 0.0962, 0.0816, 0.0817, 0.0825, 0.0896, 0.0917, 0.0929, 0.0761, 0.0848, 0.0914, 0.0916, 0.1021, 0.0938, 0.0662, 0.0741, 0.0709, 0.0846, 0.114, 0.1316, 0.1329, 0.1322, 0.1302, 0.1287, 0.1209, 0.0942, 0.1018, 0.1094, 0.1087, 0.1127, 0.1145, 0.1163, 0.1223, 0.1134, 0.1134, 0.1232, 0.1354, 0.1389, 0.153, 0.1498, 0.1601, 0.1511, 0.1471, 0.1677, 0.1601, 0.169, 0.1859, 0.1806, 0.138, 0.133, 0.1429, 0.154, 0.1697, 0.1697, 0.1689, 0.1533, 0.138, 0.1283, 0.1283, 0.1261, 0.1445, 0.1577, 0.137, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1194, 0.1158, 0.1147, 0.1404, 0.1324, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.1583, 0.1731, 0.1756, 0.1689, 0.1349, 0.1517, 0.1495, 0.1544, 0.1527, 0.1435, 0.1575, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1541, 0.1681, 0.1653, 0.166, 0.1828, 0.1877, 0.1877, 0.1904, 0.1908, 0.1857, 0.1611, 0.1474, 0.1329, 0.1357, 0.1041, 0.1216, 0.097, 0.0937]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1828799314229080067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-28T14:18:28+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That works well for my short oil thesis.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a short oil position, reinforced by Trump's pledge to cut energy prices 50%.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That works well for my short oil thesis. \n\nBut does he know that yields follow oil? 🤔🤫", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trump says he vows to bring energy prices down 50%, per Bloomberg.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013380954715381144, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013380954715381144, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007541759375456758, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007541759375456758, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005839195339924386, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005839195339924386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01709053032274821, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01709053032274821, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017000889380047735, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017000889380047735, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.964094270047518e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.964094270047518e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.07776897834547869, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07776897834547869, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06460418192162631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06460418192162631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013164796423852376, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013164796423852376, "ret_p1m": -0.08571808337245912, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08571808337245912, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11393841745227795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11393841745227795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028220334079818832, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028220334079818832, "ret_p3m": -0.04478013689041538, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04478013689041538, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11833002677530235, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11833002677530235, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07354988988488698, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07354988988488698, "ret_p6m": 0.030206659749537845, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.030206659749537845, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07012091578526669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07012091578526669, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10032757553480454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10032757553480454, "ret_p1y": -0.03550609679364303, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03550609679364303, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.20235945014268342, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20235945014268342, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1668533533490404, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1668533533490404, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08571808337245912, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11393841745227795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11393841745227795, "price_path": [-0.0087, -0.0484, -0.0582, -0.0476, -0.0294, -0.0326, -0.0003, 0.0004, 0.0066, 0.0034, 0.0079, 0.0306, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0521, 0.042, 0.0559, 0.0453, 0.0433, 0.0588, 0.0545, 0.0803, 0.0746, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0772, 0.0654, 0.0568, 0.0662, 0.0723, 0.0632, 0.0615, 0.0474, 0.0681, 0.0586, 0.0334, 0.0284, 0.0151, 0.0176, 0.0262, 0.0083, -0.0038, -0.0135, 0.0299, 0.0107, -0.0277, -0.0299, -0.0401, -0.0105, -0.0016, 0.0098, 0.0417, 0.0286, 0.0147, 0.0256, 0.0111, -0.0146, -0.0219, -0.0382, -0.0252, 0.0009, 0.0311, 0.0134, 0.0, 0.0171, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0582, -0.0778, -0.0741, -0.0868, -0.0823, -0.1129, -0.1011, -0.0741, -0.0747, -0.0609, -0.0498, -0.0639, -0.0362, -0.0339, -0.0428, -0.029, -0.053, -0.0857, -0.069, -0.0737, -0.0446, -0.036, 0.0033, 0.0115, 0.0493, 0.0041, -0.003, 0.0303, 0.0266, 0.006, -0.036, -0.0408, -0.0379, -0.0543, -0.0427, -0.0199, -0.0256, -0.0321, -0.0166, -0.0669, -0.0771, -0.0546, -0.0318, -0.0458, -0.0158, -0.0099, -0.0125, -0.0109, -0.0311, -0.0601, -0.0635, -0.0629, -0.0555, -0.0759, -0.0452, -0.042, -0.0458, -0.0302, -0.0163, -0.0448, -0.0513, -0.0498, -0.0498, -0.0513, -0.0588, -0.0323, -0.0477, -0.0531, -0.0694, -0.0571, -0.0541, -0.0285, -0.0301, -0.0168, -0.0236, -0.0289, -0.0337, -0.038, -0.0315, -0.0321, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0311, -0.0216, -0.0087, 0.0009, 0.0009, 0.0192, 0.0323, 0.0241, 0.0356, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0684, 0.0894, 0.082, 0.1174, 0.0988, 0.0933, 0.0933, 0.0746, 0.0656, 0.0494, 0.0546, 0.0325, 0.0448, 0.0305, 0.0301, 0.0337, 0.031, 0.0269, 0.0081, -0.0004, 0.005, 0.0254, 0.037, 0.0111, 0.0121, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0196, 0.0261, 0.0302]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864507802720276906", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-05T03:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin Can Double", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin trade not over; BTC can double from here, bullish on BTC and related equities MSTR, COIN, MARA, PYPL, SQ.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $65K to $100K, is this bitcoin trade over?\n\nNah, as I said to clients then: Bitcoin Can Double\n – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ \n\nhttps://t.co/xmXSw3CTQy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022516622281002263, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022516622281002263, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020868375395324268, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.03444474217316973, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03444474217316973, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03254894509491901, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.03571075876313912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03571075876313912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03955143172181774, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.015672465259357837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015672465259357837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03663599303544429, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.09701862111196102, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09701862111196102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05109759835079375, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.07666141727698128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07666141727698128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09892656006395284, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.08616523631514361, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08616523631514361, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20188093616192127, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015672465259357837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03663599303544429, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4097, -0.4032, -0.4063, -0.3982, -0.3729, -0.3976, -0.3756, -0.3618, -0.3484, -0.3458, -0.3444, -0.3343, -0.3463, -0.3252, -0.3189, -0.3444, -0.3702, -0.3723, -0.371, -0.3574, -0.3557, -0.3568, -0.3728, -0.376, -0.3535, -0.3162, -0.3059, -0.3, -0.3022, -0.2917, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.3123, -0.2944, -0.3101, -0.2763, -0.2471, -0.2511, -0.2731, -0.2807, -0.298, -0.2819, -0.2169, -0.2142, -0.2076, -0.0817, -0.0894, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0572, -0.0626, -0.044, -0.0233, 0.0198, 0.0249, -0.0361, -0.0477, -0.0065, -0.0097, 0.009, -0.0075, -0.0061, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.0344, 0.0087, 0.0008, 0.0474, 0.0357, 0.0504, 0.0977, 0.0988, 0.0357, 0.0093, 0.012, -0.0197, 0.0216, 0.028, -0.0083, -0.0251, -0.0409, -0.0328, -0.0225, 0.003, 0.0157, 0.0568, 0.0034, -0.016, -0.0425, -0.0196, -0.0215, -0.0006, 0.0405, 0.0327, 0.0815, 0.0561, 0.0989, 0.0731, 0.0763, 0.0852, 0.0569, 0.0491, 0.0736, 0.0843, 0.0602, 0.0498, 0.0132, 0.0002, -0.0, -0.0007, 0.0087, -0.0088, 0.0134, 0.0003, 0.0095, -0.0085, -0.0109, 0.0004, 0.018, -0.0048, -0.0536, -0.0813, -0.1268, -0.1231, -0.1265, -0.109, -0.097, -0.0618, -0.0687, -0.102, -0.187, -0.1422, -0.1333, -0.1607, -0.1307, -0.1296, -0.1436, -0.1008, -0.1286, -0.1299, -0.0942, -0.0944, -0.1003, -0.0975, -0.1267, -0.1454, -0.1183, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.132, -0.1797, -0.2104, -0.1451, -0.1757, -0.1365, -0.1248, -0.1338, -0.13, -0.1211, -0.1257, -0.0939, -0.0326, -0.03, -0.0274, -0.0194, -0.0167, -0.0239, -0.0247, -0.001, 0.0033, -0.0191, 0.0022, 0.0045, 0.0688, 0.066, 0.0644, 0.0784, 0.0719, 0.074, 0.0714, 0.0933, 0.1056, 0.1355, 0.1561, 0.1107, 0.133, 0.1284, 0.116, 0.0937, 0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864507802720276906", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-05T03:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin Can Double – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin trade not over; BTC can double from here, bullish on BTC and related equities MSTR, COIN, MARA, PYPL, SQ.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $65K to $100K, is this bitcoin trade over?\n\nNah, as I said to clients then: Bitcoin Can Double\n – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ \n\nhttps://t.co/xmXSw3CTQy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05072465427824624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05072465427824624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049076407392568244, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.049076407392568244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02228265011683006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02228265011683006, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020386853038579344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020386853038579344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "ret_p1w": 0.01498449440056926, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01498449440056926, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018825167359247885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018825167359247885, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "ret_p1m": -0.1209627095566066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1209627095566066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09999918178052014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09999918178052014, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "ret_p3m": -0.2879140832227953, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2879140832227953, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24199306046162805, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24199306046162805, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "ret_p6m": -0.04487576762885759, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04487576762885759, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02261062484188603, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02261062484188603, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "ret_p1y": -0.5366459727892823, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5366459727892823, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6523616726360599, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6523616726360599, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1209627095566066, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09999918178052014, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09999918178052014, "price_path": [-0.677, -0.6645, -0.6654, -0.6616, -0.6339, -0.6518, -0.6603, -0.6567, -0.6256, -0.6253, -0.6119, -0.6018, -0.6068, -0.5704, -0.5439, -0.5637, -0.579, -0.5739, -0.5771, -0.5432, -0.5184, -0.5026, -0.5111, -0.5255, -0.4498, -0.4781, -0.4971, -0.4977, -0.4994, -0.4414, -0.4331, -0.4314, -0.4463, -0.3895, -0.3935, -0.3392, -0.3317, -0.36, -0.3672, -0.4055, -0.4229, -0.4105, -0.3328, -0.2991, -0.3002, -0.1201, -0.0771, -0.1502, -0.152, -0.1184, -0.0042, 0.1142, 0.2263, 0.0282, 0.0918, 0.0441, -0.0847, 0.0063, 0.0063, 0.0028, -0.0158, -0.0336, 0.0507, 0.0, 0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0235, 0.0647, 0.015, 0.0576, 0.0572, 0.0001, -0.0951, -0.1551, -0.0575, -0.1402, -0.073, -0.073, -0.1174, -0.146, -0.2159, -0.2505, -0.2505, -0.2236, -0.121, -0.0189, -0.1164, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1514, -0.1501, -0.1145, -0.0667, -0.0502, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.007, -0.0235, -0.0344, -0.0847, -0.0996, -0.1306, -0.1168, -0.1198, -0.1336, -0.1017, -0.0986, -0.1286, -0.1577, -0.1523, -0.134, -0.1732, -0.1542, -0.1591, -0.126, -0.126, -0.1357, -0.1753, -0.1617, -0.2244, -0.2682, -0.3517, -0.3187, -0.3788, -0.3389, -0.3506, -0.2879, -0.2015, -0.213, -0.2568, -0.3808, -0.3256, -0.3205, -0.3187, -0.2301, -0.2384, -0.2671, -0.2127, -0.2182, -0.2133, -0.1312, -0.1154, -0.1477, -0.16, -0.251, -0.254, -0.208, -0.1911, -0.2695, -0.2401, -0.3061, -0.3842, -0.2317, -0.2952, -0.2237, -0.194, -0.1959, -0.1934, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.1776, -0.1122, -0.1053, -0.0933, -0.0458, -0.0444, -0.0128, -0.0163, -0.0124, 0.0206, 0.0003, -0.0021, 0.0157, 0.0724, 0.0767, 0.0479, 0.0911, 0.0785, 0.0275, 0.0347, 0.0699, 0.079, 0.0422, 0.0338, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0367, -0.0573, -0.0408, -0.0449]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864507802720276906", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-05T03:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin Can Double – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin trade not over; BTC can double from here, bullish on BTC and related equities MSTR, COIN, MARA, PYPL, SQ.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $65K to $100K, is this bitcoin trade over?\n\nNah, as I said to clients then: Bitcoin Can Double\n – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ \n\nhttps://t.co/xmXSw3CTQy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03234861303384351, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03234861303384351, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030700366148165514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0353243180647298, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029757050308862887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07190313275208049, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07190313275208049, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07000733567382977, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07210148210748768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00019834935540719023, "ret_p1w": -0.023739013929160224, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023739013929160224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0198983409704816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007273926281360477, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016465087647799748, "ret_p1m": -0.15572265741394253, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15572265741394253, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13475912963785608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12372931687156663, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0319933405423759, "ret_p3m": -0.3369622915571495, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3369622915571495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29104126879598224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33146512552874796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005497166028401557, "ret_p6m": -0.23068287898886164, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23068287898886164, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20841773620189008, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24959197767111252, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01890909868225088, "ret_p1y": -0.20151606397219923, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20151606397219923, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3172317638189769, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24600262570655784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04448656173435861, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15572265741394253, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13475912963785608, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12372931687156663, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5057, -0.5098, -0.4919, -0.4914, -0.4962, -0.4932, -0.4927, -0.4752, -0.4694, -0.469, -0.4645, -0.4788, -0.4387, -0.4035, -0.4442, -0.4853, -0.4869, -0.4912, -0.4669, -0.4731, -0.4769, -0.4791, -0.4876, -0.4498, -0.3875, -0.3875, -0.3434, -0.363, -0.3131, -0.3333, -0.3427, -0.3794, -0.3475, -0.3604, -0.3259, -0.3148, -0.3395, -0.4408, -0.4295, -0.4189, -0.395, -0.2067, -0.2027, -0.1554, 0.0114, -0.0045, -0.1118, -0.1302, -0.0459, 0.0151, 0.0125, -0.0017, -0.079, -0.0497, -0.026, -0.0851, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.076, -0.0567, -0.035, 0.0323, 0.0, 0.0719, -0.0314, -0.0566, -0.0211, -0.0237, -0.0312, -0.0164, -0.0279, -0.127, -0.1455, -0.1306, -0.1635, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.144, -0.1711, -0.2028, -0.2254, -0.2254, -0.1976, -0.1557, -0.1023, -0.1754, -0.1889, -0.1889, -0.1928, -0.2164, -0.2034, -0.1424, -0.1215, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0823, -0.0771, -0.0766, -0.0704, -0.1328, -0.1209, -0.0922, -0.0601, -0.0912, -0.1128, -0.1253, -0.1417, -0.1566, -0.1437, -0.1259, -0.1674, -0.1425, -0.0701, -0.1443, -0.1443, -0.1745, -0.1931, -0.1996, -0.2657, -0.2917, -0.3371, -0.3357, -0.35, -0.3274, -0.3582, -0.337, -0.3061, -0.3319, -0.3217, -0.4409, -0.402, -0.4019, -0.4463, -0.4288, -0.4105, -0.4349, -0.4081, -0.4061, -0.4077, -0.3666, -0.3629, -0.395, -0.4117, -0.4574, -0.4627, -0.4556, -0.4293, -0.4673, -0.4992, -0.5094, -0.5275, -0.4476, -0.4709, -0.4525, -0.4492, -0.4523, -0.4628, -0.454, -0.454, -0.4541, -0.4073, -0.3923, -0.364, -0.346, -0.3597, -0.357, -0.3671, -0.3721, -0.3607, -0.378, -0.3858, -0.3868, -0.3558, -0.3782, -0.3536, -0.1986, -0.1783, -0.2375, -0.1688, -0.1765, -0.1846, -0.1921, -0.1517, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.169, -0.2068, -0.2238, -0.2307]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864507802720276906", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-05T03:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin Can Double – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin trade not over; BTC can double from here, bullish on BTC and related equities MSTR, COIN, MARA, PYPL, SQ.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $65K to $100K, is this bitcoin trade over?\n\nNah, as I said to clients then: Bitcoin Can Double\n – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ \n\nhttps://t.co/xmXSw3CTQy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.047196374575867006, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.047196374575867006, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04554812769018901, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050172079606753295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029757050308862887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06615568088265844, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06615568088265844, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06425988380440772, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06635403023806563, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00019834935540719023, "ret_p1w": -0.08914888705942092, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08914888705942092, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0853082141007423, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07268379941162117, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016465087647799748, "ret_p1m": -0.20774511237122129, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20774511237122129, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18678158459513483, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17575177182884538, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0319933405423759, "ret_p3m": -0.43646632710373856, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.43646632710373856, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3905453043425713, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.430969161075337, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005497166028401557, "ret_p6m": -0.43041551576890225, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43041551576890225, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4081503729819307, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4493246144511531, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01890909868225088, "ret_p1y": -0.5478015480376391, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5478015480376391, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6635172478844168, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5922881097719978, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04448656173435861, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20774511237122129, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18678158459513483, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17575177182884538, "price_path": [-0.4102, -0.357, -0.363, -0.3626, -0.3497, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3812, -0.3768, -0.3731, -0.3518, -0.338, -0.3489, -0.2933, -0.3025, -0.3457, -0.3921, -0.3864, -0.376, -0.3421, -0.355, -0.3614, -0.3772, -0.3856, -0.3514, -0.315, -0.3175, -0.2707, -0.2735, -0.2384, -0.2453, -0.2348, -0.2711, -0.265, -0.3118, -0.236, -0.236, -0.2626, -0.3235, -0.3501, -0.3747, -0.3449, -0.2207, -0.2211, -0.2235, 0.0089, 0.0177, -0.1246, -0.1614, -0.1501, -0.2695, -0.1989, -0.0871, -0.0246, 0.05, 0.0658, 0.0073, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.1061, 0.0339, 0.0137, 0.0472, 0.0, 0.0662, -0.0375, -0.0799, -0.0613, -0.0891, -0.0831, -0.0093, -0.0077, -0.1283, -0.1783, -0.1948, -0.2235, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.2215, -0.2562, -0.3025, -0.3235, -0.3235, -0.3058, -0.2077, -0.171, -0.2307, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2795, -0.3066, -0.2997, -0.2678, -0.2618, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.211, -0.2057, -0.1952, -0.1936, -0.2622, -0.2634, -0.257, -0.2263, -0.2602, -0.2759, -0.288, -0.313, -0.3223, -0.3235, -0.3239, -0.3538, -0.3449, -0.3179, -0.3183, -0.3183, -0.3526, -0.3635, -0.3566, -0.4086, -0.4397, -0.499, -0.4978, -0.4704, -0.4385, -0.4437, -0.4365, -0.3901, -0.3913, -0.3538, -0.4591, -0.4627, -0.4712, -0.5095, -0.4683, -0.4768, -0.5131, -0.4946, -0.4958, -0.5006, -0.4106, -0.4252, -0.4437, -0.4498, -0.497, -0.5361, -0.5224, -0.499, -0.547, -0.5442, -0.5458, -0.5756, -0.5034, -0.5264, -0.4954, -0.4776, -0.4925, -0.503, -0.4893, -0.4893, -0.5042, -0.4328, -0.43, -0.4349, -0.4232, -0.4349, -0.4264, -0.4607, -0.4332, -0.4159, -0.472, -0.4695, -0.4623, -0.4236, -0.3643, -0.3566, -0.3397, -0.3598, -0.3675, -0.3461, -0.3417, -0.3469, -0.361, -0.3687, -0.4058, -0.4058, -0.3368, -0.4006, -0.4106, -0.4304]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864507802720276906", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-12-05T03:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin Can Double – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin trade not over; BTC can double from here, bullish on BTC and related equities MSTR, COIN, MARA, PYPL, SQ.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $65K to $100K, is this bitcoin trade over?\n\nNah, as I said to clients then: Bitcoin Can Double\n – $BTCUSD $MSTR $COIN $MARA $PYPL $SQ \n\nhttps://t.co/xmXSw3CTQy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0032007342433884034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0032007342433884034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015524873577104081, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006176439274274692, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016482468856779953, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029757050308862887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009377245628006792, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009377245628006792, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007481448549756076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009575594983413982, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001895797078250716, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00019834935540719023, "ret_p1w": 0.003986830978399247, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003986830978399247, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007827503937077873, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020451918626198995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003840672958678626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016465087647799748, "ret_p1m": -0.016227764096656383, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016227764096656383, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004735763679430072, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01576557644571952, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020963527776086455, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0319933405423759, "ret_p3m": -0.24218088262173976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24218088262173976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19625985986057248, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2366837165933382, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045921022761167274, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005497166028401557, "ret_p6m": -0.21073614899886317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21073614899886317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1884710062118916, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22964524768111405, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02226514278697156, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01890909868225088, "ret_p1y": -0.31832220718955295, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.31832220718955295, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4340379070363306, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.36280876892391156, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.11571569984677765, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04448656173435861, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016227764096656383, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004735763679430072, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01576557644571952, "price_path": [-0.2212, -0.2268, -0.2212, -0.2098, -0.2128, -0.2019, -0.194, -0.1788, -0.1289, -0.138, -0.1277, -0.1202, -0.1312, -0.1007, -0.1254, -0.1237, -0.13, -0.1303, -0.1318, -0.1088, -0.0987, -0.0886, -0.083, -0.113, -0.0959, -0.0941, -0.1066, -0.0924, -0.1036, -0.091, -0.0953, -0.0914, -0.0923, -0.086, -0.0825, -0.0613, -0.0984, -0.1216, -0.1094, -0.1325, -0.1226, -0.11, -0.0857, -0.0864, -0.0678, -0.0236, -0.0297, -0.0195, -0.0366, -0.0361, -0.0491, -0.0556, -0.0483, -0.0474, -0.0255, -0.0143, -0.0236, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0255, -0.0282, -0.0439, 0.0032, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0107, -0.0032, 0.0191, 0.004, 0.0222, 0.0253, 0.0204, -0.0404, -0.0254, -0.0215, -0.0241, -0.0089, -0.0089, -0.0102, -0.0245, -0.0406, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0322, -0.0162, 0.0054, -0.0121, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0638, -0.0568, -0.0209, 0.0067, -0.0014, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0081, 0.009, 0.0077, 0.0007, 0.0134, -0.0096, -0.0032, 0.0059, -0.0052, 0.0052, -0.1271, -0.1106, -0.1176, -0.1318, -0.1213, -0.1441, -0.1435, -0.1399, -0.1244, -0.1244, -0.1171, -0.12, -0.1282, -0.1583, -0.1549, -0.1682, -0.1909, -0.2057, -0.2021, -0.2167, -0.2422, -0.2195, -0.2354, -0.2085, -0.2345, -0.2366, -0.2294, -0.2486, -0.2257, -0.2178, -0.2265, -0.2139, -0.2176, -0.2117, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.2142, -0.2267, -0.2683, -0.2672, -0.2577, -0.2459, -0.307, -0.3445, -0.3427, -0.3553, -0.2818, -0.3199, -0.2971, -0.3007, -0.3037, -0.3235, -0.315, -0.315, -0.323, -0.3102, -0.2986, -0.2726, -0.2662, -0.2708, -0.2552, -0.2606, -0.2654, -0.2449, -0.2303, -0.2358, -0.2286, -0.2085, -0.211, -0.1879, -0.1882, -0.1838, -0.1962, -0.1894, -0.1878, -0.1846, -0.1954, -0.1976, -0.2156, -0.2156, -0.1973, -0.1977, -0.2034, -0.2107]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833227463515648191", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-09T19:34:21+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still contend market is on its way to revisiting the Nov 1st 2023 Fed Pause & Yellen Yahtzee price", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on SPX and QQQ; expects market to retrace to Nov 1 2023 Fed Pause levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Recorded this for clients at the MAG7 top on 07/09/2024.\n\nI still contend market is on its way to revisiting the Nov 1st 2023 Fed Pause &amp; Yellen Yahtzee price. \n\n$SPX $QQQ #NFP #10Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The last time a MAG 7 stock made a new ATH on a CLOSING basis was over 60 days ago on July 9th.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012696339674160173, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012696339674160173, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016240542799466073, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016240542799466073, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011072285394213566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009241810659600391, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009241810659600391, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004886123996895364, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004886123996895364, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004355686662705027, "ret_p1w": 0.04132386965270207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04132386965270207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01125474376647384, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01125474376647384, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030069125886228232, "ret_p1m": 0.07817541003807538, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07817541003807538, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025983896583323673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025983896583323673, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_p3m": 0.14981143989589918, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14981143989589918, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03614073332947165, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03614073332947165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11367070656642753, "ret_p6m": 0.09370811554716996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09370811554716996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.031178306845424553, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.031178306845424553, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0625298087017454, "ret_p1y": 0.2690374941725242, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2690374941725242, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.0708824519895308, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0708824519895308, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1981550421829934, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07817541003807538, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025983896583323673, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025983896583323673, "price_path": [0.0417, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0656, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0578, 0.0549, 0.0429, 0.0548, 0.057, 0.0597, 0.0542, 0.0604, 0.0716, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.0918, 0.0944, 0.0953, 0.1067, 0.0824, 0.0888, 0.0917, 0.0922, 0.0601, 0.0551, 0.0457, 0.0613, 0.0576, 0.0196, 0.0084, 0.0187, 0.0208, 0.0068, 0.0365, 0.0114, -0.0126, -0.042, -0.0329, -0.0433, -0.0141, -0.0089, -0.0068, 0.0179, 0.0182, 0.0439, 0.0453, 0.059, 0.0568, 0.0617, 0.0449, 0.0562, 0.0459, 0.0491, 0.0372, 0.0356, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0162, 0.0135, 0.0145, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0312, 0.0413, 0.0459, 0.0413, 0.0419, 0.0374, 0.0636, 0.0616, 0.0644, 0.0695, 0.0705, 0.0786, 0.0726, 0.0755, 0.0605, 0.062, 0.0612, 0.0738, 0.0623, 0.0782, 0.0867, 0.0854, 0.0871, 0.0962, 0.0816, 0.0817, 0.0825, 0.0896, 0.0917, 0.0929, 0.0761, 0.0848, 0.0914, 0.0916, 0.1021, 0.0938, 0.0662, 0.0741, 0.0709, 0.0846, 0.114, 0.1316, 0.1329, 0.1322, 0.1302, 0.1287, 0.1209, 0.0942, 0.1018, 0.1094, 0.1087, 0.1127, 0.1145, 0.1163, 0.1223, 0.1134, 0.1134, 0.1232, 0.1354, 0.1389, 0.153, 0.1498, 0.1601, 0.1511, 0.1471, 0.1677, 0.1601, 0.169, 0.1859, 0.1806, 0.138, 0.133, 0.1429, 0.154, 0.1697, 0.1697, 0.1689, 0.1533, 0.138, 0.1283, 0.1283, 0.1261, 0.1445, 0.1577, 0.137, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1194, 0.1158, 0.1147, 0.1404, 0.1324, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.1583, 0.1731, 0.1756, 0.1689, 0.1349, 0.1517, 0.1495, 0.1544, 0.1527, 0.1435, 0.1575, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1541, 0.1681, 0.1653, 0.166, 0.1828, 0.1877, 0.1877, 0.1904, 0.1908, 0.1857, 0.1611, 0.1474, 0.1329, 0.1357, 0.1041, 0.1216, 0.097, 0.0937]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1833625136336879859", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-10T21:54:34+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't see higher oil now into EOY. Demand (actual and speculative positioning) is simply not strong enough to compensate short-term supply disruptions.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude oil into EOY; demand insufficient to offset supply disruptions, with $65.65 as critical support already reached.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From my JUNE 19th client post on Crude Oil falling to $65.65.  $WTIC\n\nWe. Are. There.\n\n“I don’t see higher oil now into EOY.\n\nDemand (actual and speculative positioning) is simply not strong enough to compensate short-term supply disruptions.\n\nAs such, I am paying closer attention to the yen carry trade as oil serves as a sort of “currency hedge” against Yen devaluation.\n\nBy that I mean, if oil prices go down, typically the yen strengthens. And we know that is not allowed. The Yen is a political instrument, not economic one.\n\nSo I see lots of reasons WHY the yen would continue to fall, but what if…\n\nCrude breaks lower not higher, and what if it breaks critical support at $65.65, and stays below? \n\nHow do US 10Y yields rise if yen carry trade unwinds …”\n\nhttps://t.co/3Bk5efnTbX\n\nCLIENTS have my daily updated analysis on yen, yields, oil price targets. Become one!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "#Oil is falling off a cliff!\nThis will add to the ‘we are heading for a US #recession’ narrative. https://t.co/7hjwrydmwQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013117161527835486, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013117161527835486, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002962487225591781, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002962487225591781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010154674302243705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030066336940382188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030066336940382188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021642875256674854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021642875256674854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008423461683707334, "ret_p1w": 0.04141496317144444, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04141496317144444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028824961132801308, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028824961132801308, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012590002038643133, "ret_p1m": 0.1462048399710567, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1462048399710567, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10385932522830843, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10385932522830843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04234551474274828, "ret_p3m": 0.04893146307277396, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04893146307277396, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04506711630059734, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04506711630059734, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0939985793733713, "ret_p6m": 0.04834191382550901, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04834191382550901, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.008696671544207613, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.008696671544207613, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039645242281301396, "ret_p1y": 0.10302134150283893, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10302134150283893, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07493811981303367, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07493811981303367, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1779594613158726, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1462048399710567, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10385932522830843, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10385932522830843, "price_path": [0.1213, 0.1465, 0.1595, 0.1595, 0.1704, 0.1592, 0.1746, 0.1629, 0.1606, 0.1779, 0.173, 0.2018, 0.1954, 0.1978, 0.1978, 0.1984, 0.1853, 0.1757, 0.1861, 0.1929, 0.1828, 0.1808, 0.1652, 0.1882, 0.1776, 0.1496, 0.144, 0.1293, 0.1321, 0.1416, 0.1217, 0.1082, 0.0974, 0.1458, 0.1244, 0.0817, 0.0791, 0.0678, 0.1008, 0.1107, 0.1234, 0.1589, 0.1443, 0.1288, 0.1409, 0.1248, 0.0962, 0.0881, 0.07, 0.0845, 0.1135, 0.1471, 0.1273, 0.1125, 0.1315, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.0478, 0.0259, 0.0301, 0.0159, 0.0209, -0.0131, 0.0, 0.0301, 0.0293, 0.0447, 0.057, 0.0414, 0.0722, 0.0747, 0.0648, 0.0802, 0.0535, 0.0171, 0.0357, 0.0305, 0.0628, 0.0724, 0.1161, 0.1253, 0.1673, 0.117, 0.1091, 0.1462, 0.1421, 0.1191, 0.0724, 0.0671, 0.0703, 0.052, 0.065, 0.0903, 0.084, 0.0768, 0.094, 0.038, 0.0267, 0.0517, 0.0771, 0.0615, 0.0949, 0.1014, 0.0986, 0.1004, 0.0778, 0.0455, 0.0419, 0.0424, 0.0507, 0.028, 0.0622, 0.0657, 0.0615, 0.0789, 0.0943, 0.0626, 0.0554, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0554, 0.047, 0.0765, 0.0594, 0.0534, 0.0352, 0.0489, 0.0523, 0.0808, 0.079, 0.0937, 0.0862, 0.0803, 0.075, 0.0702, 0.0774, 0.0768, 0.0855, 0.0855, 0.0778, 0.0884, 0.1027, 0.1135, 0.1135, 0.1338, 0.1484, 0.1393, 0.1521, 0.1393, 0.1393, 0.1885, 0.2119, 0.2037, 0.243, 0.2224, 0.2162, 0.2162, 0.1954, 0.1854, 0.1674, 0.1732, 0.1486, 0.1623, 0.1464, 0.1459, 0.1499, 0.1469, 0.1424, 0.1214, 0.112, 0.1181, 0.1408, 0.1536, 0.1248, 0.1259, 0.1175, 0.1175, 0.1343, 0.1415, 0.1461, 0.1105, 0.1197, 0.0926, 0.0884, 0.1095, 0.1086, 0.0806, 0.0805, 0.0526, 0.0483]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1843315703144964154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-07T15:41:25+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't expect the US 10Y yield to get/stay above 4.09% big picture. Overshoot then back below, like Jacek expects, would also work. It would be the \"fake breakout, fast failure\" to support bond bounce.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects US 10Y yield to fail above 4.09% and fall back, supporting a bond price bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After calling for a yield spike pre-market Fed day Sept 18th, I told clients I don't expect the US 10Y yield to get/stay above 4.09% big picture. Overshoot then back below, like Jacek expects, would also work. It would be the \"fake breakout, fast failure\" to support bond bounce.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "10Y Yield update:\nI don't expect higher yield than 4,2%\nDownward minimum target - 2,9-3% https://t.co/NGpz0PKP7K", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00759247727851986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00759247727851986, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015304828604598697, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015304828604598697, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016871210111648605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016871210111648605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007770321703346017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007770321703346017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "ret_p1w": -0.011177977246281667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011177977246281667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04027291500772989, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04027291500772989, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "ret_p1m": -0.018738605723523816, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018738605723523816, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.034413211771284646, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.034413211771284646, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "ret_p3m": -0.06661116205284567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06661116205284567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09973502964996406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09973502964996406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "ret_p6m": -0.01474071570660851, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01474071570660851, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.009019078051834883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.009019078051834883, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "ret_p1y": -0.02366184189060716, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.02366184189060716, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20213555697946828, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20213555697946828, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.018738605723523816, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.034413211771284646, "alpha_c_stated": -0.034413211771284646, "price_path": [-0.0326, -0.0232, -0.019, -0.0303, -0.0166, -0.0164, -0.024, -0.0297, -0.0325, -0.0339, -0.0443, -0.0365, -0.029, -0.0237, -0.02, -0.01, -0.0014, 0.0297, 0.0351, 0.012, 0.0049, -0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0122, 0.0192, 0.0256, 0.0173, 0.0209, 0.0256, 0.0338, 0.0344, 0.0241, 0.0308, 0.0282, 0.0264, 0.0252, 0.0218, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0275, 0.0407, 0.0466, 0.0465, 0.051, 0.0584, 0.0575, 0.0526, 0.0554, 0.0651, 0.06, 0.0468, 0.0433, 0.0393, 0.0371, 0.0369, 0.0283, 0.0307, 0.0361, 0.0312, 0.0386, 0.0298, 0.0201, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0017, -0.004, -0.0079, -0.0119, -0.0112, 0.0008, 0.0051, -0.0109, -0.0101, -0.0274, -0.0265, -0.0291, -0.0229, -0.0284, -0.031, -0.0295, -0.0267, -0.0251, -0.0388, -0.0239, -0.0187, -0.0456, -0.0337, -0.0214, -0.0261, -0.0407, -0.0498, -0.0443, -0.0469, -0.0452, -0.0403, -0.0434, -0.0441, -0.0436, -0.0188, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0057, -0.0033, -0.0119, -0.0013, 0.0007, 0.0022, -0.0071, -0.0117, -0.0211, -0.033, -0.0428, -0.04, -0.0376, -0.0497, -0.0641, -0.0587, -0.0674, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0639, -0.0716, -0.0642, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0666, -0.0696, -0.0738, -0.0842, -0.083, -0.083, -0.0891, -0.0894, -0.0909, -0.0752, -0.0723, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0623, -0.0673, -0.0745, -0.0703, -0.0594, -0.06, -0.0619, -0.0584, -0.0646, -0.057, -0.0541, -0.0385, -0.0389, -0.0451, -0.048, -0.0541, -0.0669, -0.0514, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0576, -0.0564, -0.0529, -0.0415, -0.0387, -0.0221, -0.0163, -0.0233, -0.0113, -0.0067, -0.0189, -0.0267, -0.03, -0.0331, -0.023, -0.03, -0.0358, -0.0273, -0.0324, -0.0276, -0.0266, -0.0216, -0.021, -0.0267, -0.0367, -0.0368, -0.0432, -0.046, -0.0328, -0.0232, -0.0147]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1852334779074531610", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-01T13:00:00+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So maybe back to book value $INTC 👍", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC; expects price to recover back to book value.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So maybe back to book value $INTC 👍", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "God Candle for Intel $INTC https://t.co/vKdu5hGSvy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07241380387622554, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07241380387622554, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06821117127508414, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059870352781720926, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004202632601141398, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01254345109450461, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029310357017834243, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029310357017834243, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027156464177766293, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027349192362040253, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0021538928400679502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00196116465579399, "ret_p1w": 0.1293103405751741, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1293103405751741, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0817654413557829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06969849803268158, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0475448992193912, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05961184254249252, "ret_p1m": 0.03146549647543351, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03146549647543351, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02560590082900438, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01871783198943011, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05707139730443789, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012747664486003396, "ret_p3m": -0.14870692454677037, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14870692454677037, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2061381766308793, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.131716697014986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05743125208410893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016990227531784363, "ret_p6m": -0.11594829506879689, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11594829506879689, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08675009929492528, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01956289985781634, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.029198195773871616, "bench_c_p6m": -0.13551119492661323, "ret_p1y": 0.6431033482024309, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6431033482024309, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4532544817558948, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2260229677763128, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1898488664465361, "bench_c_p1y": 0.41708038042611806, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03146549647543351, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02560590082900438, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01871783198943011, "price_path": [-0.1506, -0.1815, -0.1168, -0.1504, -0.1655, -0.1177, -0.1414, -0.1082, -0.1004, -0.0724, -0.0953, -0.0772, -0.1336, -0.1147, -0.1323, -0.1349, -0.1547, -0.1323, -0.05, -0.05, -0.1336, -0.1625, -0.1638, -0.1858, -0.178, -0.1819, -0.1534, -0.1655, -0.1526, -0.0987, -0.0746, -0.1047, -0.0888, -0.0586, -0.0276, -0.0168, 0.0147, 0.031, 0.0306, 0.0112, -0.022, -0.0349, -0.0405, -0.0263, -0.0353, 0.0052, 0.0112, 0.0009, 0.0155, 0.0103, -0.0233, -0.0384, -0.0328, -0.0185, -0.0155, -0.0345, -0.0526, -0.0371, -0.0224, -0.0121, -0.0129, -0.0388, -0.0724, 0.0, -0.0293, 0.0052, 0.0797, 0.1306, 0.1293, 0.0797, 0.0414, 0.0741, 0.0789, 0.0496, 0.0707, 0.0431, 0.0349, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.072, 0.0366, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0366, 0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0534, -0.1034, -0.0983, -0.103, -0.131, -0.1328, -0.1043, -0.1233, -0.1022, -0.119, -0.1681, -0.1784, -0.1586, -0.1293, -0.1207, -0.1207, -0.119, -0.125, -0.1457, -0.1358, -0.1358, -0.1284, -0.1138, -0.1435, -0.1375, -0.1431, -0.1431, -0.1746, -0.1724, -0.1724, -0.15, -0.1522, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0616, -0.0578, -0.0703, -0.1022, -0.1254, -0.1466, -0.1487, -0.1375, -0.1625, -0.1647, -0.1685, -0.153, -0.1647, -0.1767, -0.1478, -0.0961, -0.031, 0.0401, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.1806, 0.1086, 0.1246, 0.072, 0.0461, -0.0091, 0.0138, -0.0047, 0.0228, -0.0198, -0.0806, -0.103, -0.1056, -0.1103, -0.1409, -0.1474, -0.1086, 0.0216, 0.0366, 0.1073, 0.1172, 0.0397, 0.0328, 0.0457, 0.044, 0.0431, 0.0095, 0.0181, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0496, -0.0526, -0.0332, -0.1444, -0.1565, -0.2185, -0.072, -0.1431, -0.1491, -0.1246, -0.1444, -0.1711, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.1879, -0.1591, -0.1125, -0.0737, -0.1358, -0.1159]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1878441010440573392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-12T13:56:51+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil vey!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects Trump strike on Iran: oil and USD spike, US yields up, equities crushed on yen-carry unwind, then peace.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Rebecca98869736 I really really think Trump is gonna go after Iran - soon after he’s in power. It just doesn’t pass the smell test.\n\nUS yields will spike with dollar - and oil vey!\n\nEquities will get crushed as yen carry forces an unwind of both the carry and basis trades. \n\nThen peace 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Rumors are that Iran is already unhappy about Russia’s attitude in regard to Israel, which makes me believe there are big things happening behind the curtains. Most of the Russian seized assets are in Europe though and Europe’s response is unclear now. https://t.co/n2xPdXAuzN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Rebecca98869736", "ret_m1d": -0.019336056212760577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019336056212760577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01778797884306127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01778797884306127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006810229419029423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006810229419029423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008186072770427821, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008186072770427821, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "ret_p1w": 0.003526611629505183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003526611629505183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02432020153395742, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02432020153395742, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "ret_p1m": -0.048157686394321164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.048157686394321164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08930036780997153, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08930036780997153, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04114268141565036, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04114268141565036, "ret_p3m": -0.20564274561328388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20564274561328388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11064281768889606, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11064281768889606, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "ret_p6m": -0.06408858150699048, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06408858150699048, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13745664282785341, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13745664282785341, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07336806132086293, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07336806132086293, "ret_p1y": -0.15894441397614467, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15894441397614467, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.345631140798363, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.345631140798363, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18668672682221832, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18668672682221832, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.048157686394321164, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08930036780997153, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08930036780997153, "price_path": [-0.1195, -0.1169, -0.1319, -0.1212, -0.1003, -0.1056, -0.1115, -0.0973, -0.1435, -0.1529, -0.1322, -0.1113, -0.1242, -0.0966, -0.0912, -0.0935, -0.0921, -0.1107, -0.1373, -0.1403, -0.1399, -0.133, -0.1518, -0.1236, -0.1206, -0.1242, -0.1098, -0.097, -0.1232, -0.1291, -0.1278, -0.1278, -0.1291, -0.1361, -0.1118, -0.1259, -0.1309, -0.1458, -0.1345, -0.1317, -0.1082, -0.1097, -0.0975, -0.1037, -0.1086, -0.113, -0.117, -0.111, -0.1115, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.1107, -0.1019, -0.0901, -0.0812, -0.0812, -0.0645, -0.0524, -0.06, -0.0494, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0257, 0.0086, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0136, -0.0219, -0.0367, -0.032, -0.0523, -0.041, -0.0541, -0.0545, -0.0512, -0.0536, -0.0574, -0.0747, -0.0825, -0.0775, -0.0587, -0.0482, -0.0719, -0.071, -0.078, -0.078, -0.0641, -0.0581, -0.0544, -0.0837, -0.0761, -0.0985, -0.1019, -0.0845, -0.0852, -0.1084, -0.1085, -0.1315, -0.135, -0.1233, -0.1379, -0.1311, -0.1147, -0.129, -0.121, -0.1158, -0.1219, -0.1193, -0.1034, -0.1026, -0.0894, -0.0901, -0.0828, -0.0821, -0.0907, -0.0596, -0.0626, -0.0546, -0.1214, -0.174, -0.1976, -0.2297, -0.1782, -0.2056, -0.1918, -0.1893, -0.1915, -0.1761, -0.1551, -0.1551, -0.1655, -0.1564, -0.1724, -0.1675, -0.1605, -0.176, -0.1992, -0.227, -0.2154, -0.2216, -0.2415, -0.2144, -0.2277, -0.2022, -0.19, -0.1779, -0.1537, -0.1642, -0.178, -0.1718, -0.1668, -0.165, -0.178, -0.1835, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.1818, -0.1744, -0.1829, -0.1834, -0.1542, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1496, -0.1319, -0.1238, -0.1293, -0.0901, -0.0873, -0.0244, -0.0443, 0.0009, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0108, -0.0708, -0.1122, -0.1085, -0.1051, -0.1088, -0.1109, -0.1009, -0.0807, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0699, -0.0641]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1859008774410780786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-19T23:00:05+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oh, NVDA... counting on you to crush earnings 11/20!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NVDA into 11/20 earnings, expecting a beat.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So what's left on my \"One More High\" from Sept 18th now that $SPX $6010 has hit? \n\n$SMH $272.46 \n\nOh, NVDA... counting on you to crush earnings 11/20!\n\nYes, I still think your round-tripping is coordinated collusion, but I also know it takes years for Proper Ponzi's to play out! So let's make hay while the sun shines!!\n\nhttps://t.co/RkpvJuVVwJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@hoanandony We’re 5% away from 6000. I’ve got 5820 with 6010 on my bingo card as the overshoot for 2024. Let’s hit it and call it a day shall we?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007677036906365453, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007677036906365453, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00801553894465612, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009152557992280208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003385020382906667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006761781107137432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005346563963976703, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005346563963976703, "alpha_spy_p1d": -2.1894819048906555e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00933148269626205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005368458783025609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014678046660238753, "ret_p1w": -0.07231484671643418, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07231484671643418, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0864215947951793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05462707755145679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014106748078745124, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017687769164977385, "ret_p1m": -0.10419519698608792, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10419519698608792, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0967439327352998, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08906373643236765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0074512642507881255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015131460553720277, "ret_p3m": -0.048189889705054334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.048189889705054334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08417996650039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09420084580238086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035990076795342496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04601095609732653, "ret_p6m": -0.07566185714400941, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07566185714400941, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08197778408157752, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09910271521886849, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.006315926937568106, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023440858074859072, "ret_p1y": 0.29004012201382956, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.29004012201382956, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13995144059793962, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15163122004121865, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15008868141588994, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4416713420550482, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10419519698608792, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0967439327352998, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08906373643236765, "price_path": [-0.1133, -0.1333, -0.1206, -0.1391, -0.1941, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.2598, -0.272, -0.2652, -0.2952, -0.2703, -0.2591, -0.1987, -0.1834, -0.1836, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2229, -0.1921, -0.2049, -0.2031, -0.1715, -0.1534, -0.1498, -0.1679, -0.1676, -0.198, -0.1853, -0.1579, -0.1437, -0.1245, -0.0891, -0.0908, -0.0759, -0.076, -0.0536, -0.098, -0.0697, -0.0614, -0.0541, -0.0149, -0.0158, -0.0434, -0.0376, -0.0298, -0.0368, -0.0318, -0.0449, -0.09, -0.0719, -0.0674, -0.041, -0.0019, 0.0205, 0.0119, -0.0043, 0.0165, 0.0026, 0.006, -0.0268, -0.0393, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.0053, -0.027, -0.0677, -0.0615, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0524, -0.0498, -0.0386, -0.0051, -0.0056, -0.0236, -0.0485, -0.0741, -0.045, -0.0585, -0.0797, -0.0951, -0.1062, -0.1163, -0.1042, -0.0766, -0.0426, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0408, -0.0608, -0.0575, -0.0794, -0.0794, -0.0519, -0.0097, 0.0243, -0.0393, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.0683, -0.0867, -0.0968, -0.0661, -0.0844, -0.056, -0.056, -0.0346, 0.0082, 0.0092, -0.0223, -0.1882, -0.1158, -0.152, -0.1455, -0.1769, -0.2003, -0.1867, -0.1443, -0.1179, -0.11, -0.0844, -0.0897, -0.101, -0.0726, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0444, -0.0456, -0.0396, -0.0785, -0.1069, -0.132, -0.1001, -0.1764, -0.1437, -0.2181, -0.2049, -0.1959, -0.242, -0.2275, -0.2667, -0.2545, -0.2065, -0.2076, -0.1659, -0.1806, -0.2087, -0.1943, -0.1874, -0.1931, -0.1677, -0.1726, -0.2201, -0.2361, -0.2481, -0.257, -0.2449, -0.243, -0.3021, -0.3535, -0.3306, -0.3398, -0.2162, -0.2625, -0.2395, -0.241, -0.2308, -0.2837, -0.3042, -0.3042, -0.3356, -0.3221, -0.2959, -0.2704, -0.239, -0.2546, -0.2526, -0.2533, -0.2348, -0.215, -0.2197, -0.2216, -0.1975, -0.1954, -0.2003, -0.1568, -0.1093, -0.0722, -0.0757]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867570641899037111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-13T14:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA to move higher off $136, finally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish semis: NVDA higher off $136, SMH into $272.46, ARM long working, QQQ to $548 target — AVGO earnings seen as the sector turn.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have no edge with earnings, but I was pretty confident that $AVGO earnings would be the turn for semis :-) \n\n$NVDA to move higher off $136, finally.\n$SMH to move higher into $272.46, finally.\n$ARM as chase long to position in yday: working.\n$QQQ to push into $548 target price #2024\n\nJOIN US 💚: https://t.co/5qudNqgwEe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM. I put this in a one month timeframe to highlight. Yesterday @SamanthaLaDuc highlighted this as a chase at the open. I have been adding to my allocations per trade all year. This was the highest allocation I did for a chase and it netted me 2%. This could turn into a swing https://t.co/qal2jEJ41o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02301673278818983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02301673278818983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022818075165273122, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047546843924340054, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024530111136150223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01675976572571225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01675976572571225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02102971906436657, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03183044663128409, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015070680905571843, "ret_p1w": 0.0033519303792892696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033519303792892696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021673998199991384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030527418471334, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02717548809204473, "ret_p1m": -0.007597761980046358, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007597761980046358, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026931860685932785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007495903984682473, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01509366596472883, "ret_p3m": -0.13779772471234486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13779772471234486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0658706756677262, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02559840764590149, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11219931706644337, "ret_p6m": 0.06251867511386067, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06251867511386067, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06368000262925066, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.028012801815024746, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03450587329883592, "ret_p1y": 0.351951779191259, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.351951779191259, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.21026971922201732, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09509240074219272, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4470441799334517, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007597761980046358, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026931860685932785, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007495903984682473, "price_path": [-0.1391, -0.1556, -0.1221, -0.136, -0.1341, -0.0997, -0.0801, -0.0761, -0.0958, -0.0955, -0.1286, -0.1148, -0.085, -0.0696, -0.0487, -0.0102, -0.012, 0.0041, 0.004, 0.0284, -0.0198, 0.0109, 0.0199, 0.0279, 0.0704, 0.0695, 0.0395, 0.0458, 0.0542, 0.0466, 0.0521, 0.0378, -0.0112, 0.0085, 0.0133, 0.0421, 0.0845, 0.1089, 0.0996, 0.0819, 0.1045, 0.0895, 0.0931, 0.0575, 0.0439, 0.095, 0.0866, 0.0924, 0.0573, 0.0131, 0.0198, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0297, 0.0326, 0.0447, 0.081, 0.0805, 0.061, 0.034, 0.0061, 0.0377, 0.023, 0.0, -0.0168, -0.0288, -0.0398, -0.0266, 0.0034, 0.0404, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0423, 0.0206, 0.0241, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0302, 0.0761, 0.1131, 0.0439, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0124, -0.0076, -0.0185, 0.0148, -0.0051, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.049, 0.0955, 0.0966, 0.0623, -0.1179, -0.0392, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.1056, -0.131, -0.1162, -0.0702, -0.0415, -0.0328, -0.0051, -0.0108, -0.0232, 0.0077, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0384, 0.0371, 0.0436, 0.0013, -0.0296, -0.0568, -0.0221, -0.105, -0.0695, -0.1504, -0.136, -0.1263, -0.1764, -0.1606, -0.2031, -0.1899, -0.1378, -0.139, -0.0936, -0.1096, -0.1401, -0.1245, -0.117, -0.1232, -0.0956, -0.1009, -0.1525, -0.1699, -0.183, -0.1926, -0.1794, -0.1774, -0.2416, -0.2974, -0.2726, -0.2826, -0.1483, -0.1987, -0.1736, -0.1753, -0.1642, -0.2216, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2781, -0.2633, -0.2349, -0.2072, -0.173, -0.19, -0.1879, -0.1886, -0.1686, -0.147, -0.1521, -0.1542, -0.128, -0.1257, -0.131, -0.0837, -0.0321, 0.0082, 0.0044, 0.0087, 0.0099, 0.0011, -0.0182, -0.0105, -0.022, -0.022, 0.0094, 0.0043, 0.0369, 0.0066, 0.0234, 0.052, 0.0572, 0.0429, 0.0557, 0.0625]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867570641899037111", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-13T14:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMH to move higher into $272.46, finally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish semis: NVDA higher off $136, SMH into $272.46, ARM long working, QQQ to $548 target — AVGO earnings seen as the sector turn.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have no edge with earnings, but I was pretty confident that $AVGO earnings would be the turn for semis :-) \n\n$NVDA to move higher off $136, finally.\n$SMH to move higher into $272.46, finally.\n$ARM as chase long to position in yday: working.\n$QQQ to push into $548 target price #2024\n\nJOIN US 💚: https://t.co/5qudNqgwEe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM. I put this in a one month timeframe to highlight. Yesterday @SamanthaLaDuc highlighted this as a chase at the open. I have been adding to my allocations per trade all year. This was the highest allocation I did for a chase and it netted me 2%. This could turn into a swing https://t.co/qal2jEJ41o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024530111136150223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024530111136150223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024728768759066933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024728768759066933, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015070680905571843, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015070680905571843, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010800727566917523, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010800727566917523, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "ret_p1w": -0.02717548809204473, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02717548809204473, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008853420271342616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008853420271342616, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "ret_p1m": -0.01509366596472883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01509366596472883, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019435956701250312, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019435956701250312, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "ret_p3m": -0.11219931706644337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11219931706644337, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04027226802182471, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04027226802182471, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "ret_p6m": 0.03450587329883592, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03450587329883592, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03566720081422592, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03566720081422592, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "ret_p1y": 0.4470441799334517, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4470441799334517, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.30536211996421003, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.30536211996421003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01509366596472883, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019435956701250312, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019435956701250312, "price_path": [-0.0632, -0.0739, -0.0337, -0.0465, -0.0422, -0.0244, -0.0158, 0.0125, -0.007, -0.0162, -0.0425, -0.0287, -0.0198, -0.0067, -0.0051, 0.0121, 0.0227, 0.0207, 0.0289, 0.0473, -0.0093, -0.0087, 0.0084, 0.0081, 0.0134, 0.0088, -0.0019, 0.0023, 0.0139, 0.0069, 0.0298, 0.0048, -0.0313, -0.019, -0.0209, -0.0047, 0.0213, 0.0462, 0.0395, 0.0162, 0.0095, -0.0075, -0.0053, -0.0382, -0.0319, -0.0213, -0.0279, -0.0136, -0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0323, -0.0451, -0.0451, -0.0295, -0.0065, -0.0043, 0.0126, -0.0048, -0.0035, -0.0137, -0.0385, -0.015, -0.0245, 0.0, 0.0151, 0.0019, -0.0301, -0.0426, -0.0272, 0.0033, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0102, 0.0, -0.015, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0145, 0.0141, 0.0477, 0.0228, 0.0155, 0.0155, -0.0049, -0.0151, -0.0119, 0.0114, 0.0157, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0564, 0.0756, 0.0743, 0.0529, -0.0506, -0.032, -0.0357, -0.013, -0.0192, -0.0387, -0.0279, -0.005, -0.0002, -0.0136, 0.005, 0.006, 0.0005, 0.0142, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0315, 0.036, 0.0379, 0.0064, -0.02, -0.0408, -0.0184, -0.0789, -0.0629, -0.1022, -0.0932, -0.0764, -0.1152, -0.0938, -0.1363, -0.1376, -0.1122, -0.1161, -0.0878, -0.0782, -0.0925, -0.0845, -0.0859, -0.0951, -0.0715, -0.0754, -0.1062, -0.1234, -0.1458, -0.1486, -0.1445, -0.1381, -0.2126, -0.2721, -0.2556, -0.2755, -0.1512, -0.2101, -0.1895, -0.1883, -0.1831, -0.2176, -0.2249, -0.2249, -0.2438, -0.2274, -0.1992, -0.1587, -0.1466, -0.1519, -0.1534, -0.1494, -0.1453, -0.1182, -0.1239, -0.132, -0.1142, -0.1064, -0.1006, -0.0442, -0.0114, -0.0016, -0.0051, -0.0079, -0.0096, -0.0115, -0.0279, -0.0305, -0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0138, -0.0243, -0.0173, -0.0348, -0.0205, 0.0016, 0.0135, 0.0117, 0.0175, 0.0345]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867570641899037111", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-13T14:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM as chase long to position in yday: working.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish semis: NVDA higher off $136, SMH into $272.46, ARM long working, QQQ to $548 target — AVGO earnings seen as the sector turn.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have no edge with earnings, but I was pretty confident that $AVGO earnings would be the turn for semis :-) \n\n$NVDA to move higher off $136, finally.\n$SMH to move higher into $272.46, finally.\n$ARM as chase long to position in yday: working.\n$QQQ to push into $548 target price #2024\n\nJOIN US 💚: https://t.co/5qudNqgwEe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM. I put this in a one month timeframe to highlight. Yesterday @SamanthaLaDuc highlighted this as a chase at the open. I have been adding to my allocations per trade all year. This was the highest allocation I did for a chase and it netted me 2%. This could turn into a swing https://t.co/qal2jEJ41o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025738947849717198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025738947849717198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025937605472633907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012088367135669742, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024530111136150223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04548748269060121, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04548748269060121, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04975743602925553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.060558163596173054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015070680905571843, "ret_p1w": -0.13007708043755184, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13007708043755184, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11175501261684972, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10290159234550711, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02717548809204473, "ret_p1m": -0.09768939490580852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09768939490580852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06315977223982938, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0825957289410797, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01509366596472883, "ret_p3m": -0.258113394566702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.258113394566702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18618634552208335, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14591407750025864, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11219931706644337, "ret_p6m": -0.08755185788383468, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08755185788383468, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08639053036844468, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1220577311826706, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03450587329883592, "ret_p1y": -0.10157334976366006, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10157334976366006, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.24325540973290172, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5486175296971117, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4470441799334517, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09768939490580852, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06315977223982938, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0825957289410797, "price_path": [-0.0992, -0.0892, -0.0745, -0.0856, -0.0671, -0.0567, -0.0361, -0.0181, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.1042, -0.098, -0.09, -0.0748, -0.0696, -0.0547, -0.0229, -0.017, -0.003, 0.0652, -0.0082, 0.0039, 0.0177, 0.0074, 0.0029, 0.0044, -0.0625, -0.0716, -0.0537, -0.0124, 0.0346, 0.0164, -0.0698, -0.0687, -0.0947, -0.0741, -0.0476, -0.0083, -0.0292, -0.0655, -0.0789, -0.1107, -0.1024, -0.1526, -0.1531, -0.1241, -0.1199, -0.1236, -0.1048, -0.0805, -0.1, -0.122, -0.122, -0.116, -0.0762, -0.0759, -0.0698, -0.0919, -0.0725, -0.0808, -0.0962, -0.0576, -0.0257, 0.0, -0.0455, -0.06, -0.101, -0.1304, -0.1301, -0.1648, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.1712, -0.1879, -0.1879, -0.1561, -0.0713, -0.0296, -0.0496, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0752, -0.0977, -0.078, -0.0297, -0.0289, -0.0174, -0.0174, 0.0217, 0.1845, 0.0964, 0.0698, -0.0392, -0.0161, -0.0284, 0.0087, 0.0503, 0.0246, 0.0677, 0.1405, 0.1024, 0.0698, 0.0588, 0.0384, 0.023, 0.0851, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.0554, 0.0161, -0.007, -0.0465, -0.0749, -0.1001, -0.0852, -0.142, -0.1331, -0.2028, -0.1937, -0.1786, -0.2238, -0.1735, -0.2339, -0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2624, -0.2236, -0.201, -0.2119, -0.2238, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.1781, -0.1819, -0.2434, -0.2596, -0.2904, -0.297, -0.2958, -0.2881, -0.3567, -0.4226, -0.4166, -0.4351, -0.2983, -0.3387, -0.3154, -0.3084, -0.3167, -0.3351, -0.3369, -0.3369, -0.3626, -0.3381, -0.3077, -0.2627, -0.2539, -0.2622, -0.265, -0.2492, -0.2403, -0.1885, -0.1972, -0.194, -0.1825, -0.233, -0.2377, -0.1784, -0.1661, -0.1215, -0.124, -0.105, -0.1307, -0.1374, -0.1413, -0.149, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.1182, -0.1078, -0.1567, -0.1802, -0.1702, -0.1523, -0.1419, -0.1472, -0.1238, -0.0876]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867570641899037111", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-12-13T14:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QQQ to push into $548 target price #2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish semis: NVDA higher off $136, SMH into $272.46, ARM long working, QQQ to $548 target — AVGO earnings seen as the sector turn.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have no edge with earnings, but I was pretty confident that $AVGO earnings would be the turn for semis :-) \n\n$NVDA to move higher off $136, finally.\n$SMH to move higher into $272.46, finally.\n$ARM as chase long to position in yday: working.\n$QQQ to push into $548 target price #2024\n\nJOIN US 💚: https://t.co/5qudNqgwEe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM. I put this in a one month timeframe to highlight. Yesterday @SamanthaLaDuc highlighted this as a chase at the open. I have been adding to my allocations per trade all year. This was the highest allocation I did for a chase and it netted me 2%. This could turn into a swing https://t.co/qal2jEJ41o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007596178231532802, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007596178231532802, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007794835854449511, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007794835854449511, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001986576229167092, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014400570901973442, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014400570901973442, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010130617563319122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010130617563319122, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00426995333865432, "ret_p1w": -0.022374088063763065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022374088063763065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00405202024306095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00405202024306095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018322067820702115, "ret_p1m": -0.04552964110939506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04552964110939506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011000018443415915, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011000018443415915, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03452962266597914, "ret_p3m": -0.09960037325708315, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09960037325708315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02767332421246449, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02767332421246449, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07192704904461866, "ret_p6m": 0.0034274759562393786, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0034274759562393786, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004588803471629377, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004588803471629377, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0011613275153899982, "ret_p1y": 0.17873967637678567, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.17873967637678567, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.037057616407544014, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.037057616407544014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14168205996924166, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04552964110939506, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.011000018443415915, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011000018443415915, "price_path": [-0.1088, -0.1126, -0.0902, -0.0919, -0.0895, -0.0851, -0.0843, -0.0774, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0929, -0.0916, -0.0922, -0.0814, -0.0913, -0.0777, -0.0705, -0.0715, -0.0701, -0.0623, -0.0748, -0.0747, -0.074, -0.068, -0.0662, -0.0652, -0.0795, -0.072, -0.0664, -0.0662, -0.0572, -0.0644, -0.088, -0.0812, -0.0839, -0.0722, -0.047, -0.032, -0.0309, -0.0315, -0.0332, -0.0345, -0.0412, -0.064, -0.0575, -0.051, -0.0516, -0.0482, -0.0466, -0.0451, -0.04, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0392, -0.0287, -0.0257, -0.0137, -0.0164, -0.0076, -0.0154, -0.0187, -0.0011, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0144, 0.0099, -0.0265, -0.0308, -0.0224, -0.0128, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0001, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0367, -0.0209, -0.0097, -0.0274, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0425, -0.0455, -0.0464, -0.0245, -0.0313, -0.015, -0.015, -0.0092, 0.0035, 0.0056, -0.0001, -0.0292, -0.0149, -0.0167, -0.0125, -0.0139, -0.0218, -0.0098, -0.0053, -0.0001, -0.0128, -0.0008, -0.0032, -0.0026, 0.0118, 0.016, 0.016, 0.0183, 0.0186, 0.0143, -0.0068, -0.0185, -0.0309, -0.0285, -0.0555, -0.0406, -0.0616, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0783, -0.0715, -0.1075, -0.1096, -0.0996, -0.1158, -0.0944, -0.0886, -0.1041, -0.0921, -0.0952, -0.0922, -0.0723, -0.067, -0.0842, -0.0894, -0.1133, -0.1134, -0.1062, -0.0997, -0.1479, -0.2008, -0.1989, -0.2133, -0.1189, -0.1564, -0.1408, -0.135, -0.134, -0.1602, -0.1603, -0.1603, -0.1811, -0.1596, -0.1405, -0.1164, -0.1065, -0.1068, -0.1009, -0.101, -0.0893, -0.0757, -0.0812, -0.0898, -0.0862, -0.0768, -0.0774, -0.0398, -0.0251, -0.0193, -0.0182, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0163, -0.03, -0.0281, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0145, -0.0189, -0.0169, -0.0185, -0.0107, -0.003, -0.0002, -0.0077, 0.002, 0.0034]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1882467726733545549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-23T16:37:35+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if BOJ pushes out until March, JPY & US BONDS will fall hard", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "If BOJ delays until March, JPY and US bonds fall, 10Y yields rise, acting as headwind to equity melt-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remind...\nUeda has a press conference then BOJ decides...\n\nAs McElligott of Nomura suggests what we already feel: A potential melt-up for markets is afoot.\n\nUnless, as I contend, we get a macro trigger to interrupt the flows. \n\nBOJ would be that trigger IF they price in more than an expected 25bp (dovish) hike. \n\nAnd if BOJ pushes out until March, JPY & US BONDS will fall hard, pushing higher US 10Y yield, serving as headwind to this market advance.\n\nPLACE YOUR BETS\n\nhttps://t.co/WEfgNKKLhb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007831551645749002, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007831551645749002, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013259778425001145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013259778425001145, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428226779252143, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005428226779252143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0044916705895026166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0044916705895026166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007410732221806993, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007410732221806993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002919061632304376, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002919061632304376, "ret_p1w": 0.017390366786568023, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017390366786568023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02511476729514106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02511476729514106, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007724400508573037, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007724400508573037, "ret_p1m": 0.03569855562955482, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03569855562955482, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05178694177362819, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05178694177362819, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016088386144073374, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016088386144073374, "ret_p3m": 0.006272329539918298, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006272329539918298, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13897239689896324, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13897239689896324, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.13270006735904494, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13270006735904494, "ret_p6m": 0.0029267442406315514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0029267442406315514, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03246292009629714, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03246292009629714, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.035389664336928695, "bench_c_p6m": 0.035389664336928695, "ret_p1y": 0.05461017857647166, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.05461017857647166, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09885176682116259, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09885176682116259, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15346194539763425, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15346194539763425, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03569855562955482, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05178694177362819, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05178694177362819, "price_path": [0.047, 0.0486, 0.0517, 0.0534, 0.0385, 0.0546, 0.0602, 0.0312, 0.0441, 0.0574, 0.0522, 0.0365, 0.0266, 0.0326, 0.0298, 0.0317, 0.0369, 0.0336, 0.0328, 0.0334, 0.0601, 0.056, 0.0633, 0.0633, 0.0743, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0791, 0.0813, 0.0829, 0.0729, 0.0678, 0.0577, 0.0449, 0.0342, 0.0373, 0.0398, 0.0268, 0.0113, 0.017, 0.0077, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0114, 0.0031, 0.0112, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0085, 0.0053, 0.0008, -0.0105, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0158, -0.0161, -0.0177, -0.0008, 0.0024, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0131, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0164, 0.0157, 0.0136, 0.0174, 0.0107, 0.0189, 0.0221, 0.0389, 0.0385, 0.0318, 0.0286, 0.0221, 0.0082, 0.0249, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0182, 0.0195, 0.0233, 0.0357, 0.0387, 0.0566, 0.0629, 0.0553, 0.0683, 0.0733, 0.0601, 0.0516, 0.0481, 0.0448, 0.0557, 0.0481, 0.0419, 0.051, 0.0455, 0.0507, 0.0517, 0.0572, 0.0579, 0.0516, 0.0408, 0.0407, 0.0339, 0.0308, 0.0451, 0.0554, 0.0646, 0.0639, 0.0688, 0.0804, 0.0478, 0.028, 0.0341, 0.0056, 0.011, 0.0183, 0.0219, 0.0276, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.0007, 0.0063, 0.016, 0.0268, 0.0343, 0.0408, 0.0496, 0.0411, 0.0358, 0.0246, 0.0189, 0.0222, 0.0266, 0.0151, 0.0166, 0.0072, 0.0031, -0.0036, 0.0052, 0.0079, 0.005, -0.0023, -0.0193, -0.0142, -0.0126, -0.0126, 0.0012, -0.0031, 0.0061, 0.0076, -0.0017, -0.0035, 0.0127, 0.0134, 0.0005, 0.0015, 0.0067, 0.0097, 0.0218, 0.012, 0.0018, 0.014, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0139, 0.0171, 0.0245, 0.0258, 0.031, 0.0244, 0.0345, 0.037, 0.0305, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0135, 0.0122, 0.0228, 0.0235, 0.0094, 0.0073, 0.0002, 0.0016, 0.0014, 0.0029]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849487338574909737", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T16:25:17+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The trend is still a morass of money printing that has caused USD & UST to be worth less big picture. THINGS OVER PAPER™️", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long hard assets (gold, oil) over paper; bearish USD on dedollarization and structural supply issues persisting despite geopolitical easing.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💯\n\nI said “What’s the trade” for Trump removing sanctions on Russia. The trend is still a morass of money printing that has caused USD &amp; UST to be worth less big picture. \n\nTHINGS OVER PAPER™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc The kneejerk answer is short oil and gold, but I think the decrease in geopolitical tensions won't stop dedollarization, nor will it solve the long-term structural supply issues for crude oil. The genie is already out of the bottle. Long hard assets", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007634524965473122, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007634524965473122, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0054764975238550395, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0054764975238550395, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0020569789010425055, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020569789010425055, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002402491267492479, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002402491267492479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "ret_p1w": 0.0028085104687785023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0028085104687785023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02110829927931801, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02110829927931801, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "ret_p1m": -0.011708887176164917, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011708887176164917, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039797440285867514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039797440285867514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "ret_p3m": 0.0013053869741730395, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0013053869741730395, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.043303991025066324, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.043303991025066324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "ret_p6m": 0.21091768758607587, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21091768758607587, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29632182790603556, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.29632182790603556, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "ret_p1y": 0.4956091446742632, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4956091446742632, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3370204739742173, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3370204739742173, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011708887176164917, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.039797440285867514, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039797440285867514, "price_path": [-0.1285, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1199, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1139, -0.1117, -0.0965, -0.0979, -0.1052, -0.1024, -0.0823, -0.0838, -0.0805, -0.0817, -0.0927, -0.0822, -0.0793, -0.0768, -0.0833, -0.0785, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.089, -0.0885, -0.0809, -0.0877, -0.0839, -0.0798, -0.0813, -0.0652, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0612, -0.0684, -0.0539, -0.0419, -0.04, -0.0266, -0.028, -0.023, -0.0308, -0.0385, -0.0284, -0.0282, -0.0289, -0.0309, -0.0341, -0.0413, -0.0465, -0.0395, -0.029, -0.0306, -0.0272, -0.0223, -0.0165, -0.0061, -0.0063, 0.0045, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0021, 0.013, 0.0186, 0.0028, -0.0013, 0.0001, 0.0024, -0.0281, -0.0125, -0.0191, -0.0422, -0.0504, -0.06, -0.0625, -0.0641, -0.0463, -0.0378, -0.0324, -0.0243, -0.0117, -0.0408, -0.039, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0285, -0.037, -0.0351, -0.0322, -0.0393, -0.039, -0.0294, -0.0167, -0.0073, -0.0218, -0.0337, -0.0313, -0.035, -0.0536, -0.0522, -0.0423, -0.0468, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0385, -0.0451, -0.0481, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0292, -0.0368, -0.038, -0.0326, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0182, -0.0279, -0.0228, -0.0155, -0.0087, -0.014, -0.014, 0.0013, 0.0064, 0.005, 0.0113, 0.0008, 0.0094, 0.0055, 0.0208, 0.0228, 0.0282, 0.0384, 0.0448, 0.042, 0.0439, 0.0616, 0.0577, 0.0588, 0.0693, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0708, 0.0714, 0.072, 0.071, 0.0768, 0.0626, 0.0642, 0.048, 0.0414, 0.0551, 0.0643, 0.0665, 0.0611, 0.0617, 0.0524, 0.0647, 0.0693, 0.0883, 0.0888, 0.0947, 0.1074, 0.112, 0.1106, 0.1016, 0.0967, 0.1015, 0.1006, 0.1154, 0.1237, 0.1398, 0.1375, 0.1399, 0.133, 0.1065, 0.0827, 0.0886, 0.1289, 0.1564, 0.1785, 0.1718, 0.1779, 0.2163, 0.2109, 0.2109]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1849487338574909737", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-24T16:25:17+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "THINGS OVER PAPER™️", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long hard assets (gold, oil) over paper; bearish USD on dedollarization and structural supply issues persisting despite geopolitical easing.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💯\n\nI said “What’s the trade” for Trump removing sanctions on Russia. The trend is still a morass of money printing that has caused USD &amp; UST to be worth less big picture. \n\nTHINGS OVER PAPER™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc The kneejerk answer is short oil and gold, but I think the decrease in geopolitical tensions won't stop dedollarization, nor will it solve the long-term structural supply issues for crude oil. The genie is already out of the bottle. Long hard assets", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0067068917265029615, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0067068917265029615, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008864919168121044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008864919168121044, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021580274416180822, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016014314774668748, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016014314774668748, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01635982714111872, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01635982714111872, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00034551236644997374, "ret_p1w": 0.00027380609265548195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00027380609265548195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01857359490319499, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01857359490319499, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018299788810539508, "ret_p1m": 0.016288016440896724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016288016440896724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011800536668805872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011800536668805872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028088553109702596, "ret_p3m": 0.11018345634766491, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11018345634766491, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06557407834842555, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06557407834842555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044609377999239364, "ret_p6m": -0.049000743516163126, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.049000743516163126, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03640339680379656, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03640339680379656, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08540414031995969, "ret_p1y": -0.038050901617774247, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.038050901617774247, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19663957231782014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19663957231782014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1585886707000459, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016288016440896724, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.011800536668805872, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011800536668805872, "price_path": [0.0292, 0.0192, 0.0641, 0.0442, 0.0045, 0.0022, -0.0083, 0.0223, 0.0315, 0.0433, 0.0762, 0.0627, 0.0483, 0.0595, 0.0446, 0.0181, 0.0105, -0.0063, 0.0071, 0.0341, 0.0653, 0.0469, 0.0331, 0.0508, 0.0175, 0.0175, -0.027, -0.0472, -0.0434, -0.0565, -0.0519, -0.0835, -0.0713, -0.0434, -0.0441, -0.0298, -0.0183, -0.0328, -0.0042, -0.0019, -0.0111, 0.0031, -0.0216, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.043, -0.013, -0.0041, 0.0365, 0.045, 0.084, 0.0374, 0.03, 0.0645, 0.0606, 0.0393, -0.0041, -0.009, -0.006, -0.023, -0.0109, 0.0126, 0.0067, 0.0, 0.016, -0.036, -0.0465, -0.0233, 0.0003, -0.0142, 0.0168, 0.0229, 0.0203, 0.0219, 0.001, -0.029, -0.0324, -0.0319, -0.0242, -0.0453, -0.0136, -0.0103, -0.0142, 0.0019, 0.0163, -0.0131, -0.0198, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0198, -0.0276, -0.0003, -0.0162, -0.0218, -0.0386, -0.0259, -0.0227, 0.0037, 0.0021, 0.0157, 0.0088, 0.0033, -0.0016, -0.0062, 0.0005, 0.0, 0.0081, 0.0081, 0.001, 0.0108, 0.0241, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.053, 0.0665, 0.058, 0.0699, 0.058, 0.058, 0.1038, 0.1255, 0.1178, 0.1544, 0.1352, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.1102, 0.1009, 0.0842, 0.0895, 0.0667, 0.0794, 0.0646, 0.0642, 0.0679, 0.0652, 0.0609, 0.0415, 0.0327, 0.0383, 0.0594, 0.0713, 0.0446, 0.0456, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0534, 0.0601, 0.0643, 0.0313, 0.0398, 0.0146, 0.0108, 0.0304, 0.0296, 0.0036, 0.0034, -0.0224, -0.0264, -0.0133, -0.0297, -0.022, -0.0036, -0.0197, -0.0107, -0.0048, -0.0116, -0.0088, 0.0092, 0.01, 0.0249, 0.0241, 0.0323, 0.0331, 0.0234, 0.0584, 0.055, 0.0641, -0.0111, -0.0704, -0.0969, -0.133, -0.075, -0.1059, -0.0903, -0.0876, -0.0901, -0.0727, -0.049, -0.049]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855613221983474066", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-10T14:07:22+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SLV dumped 10% and it's not done", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish precious metals: SLV down 10% with more downside ahead; GLD implied same.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jg255mass @KingKong9888 @infraa_ The reaction to precious metals made perfect sense to me. In fact, I warned clients strongly on Oct\n29th - while also on record expecting a Trump win.\n\n$SLV dumped 10% and it’s not done. $GLD\n\nhttps://t.co/Edj42oEPFP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @KingKong9888 @infraa_ The reaction of metals to his win makes no sense", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jg255mass", "ret_m1d": 0.01823383058283934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01823383058283934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918601714773971, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918601714773971, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009521865649003702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003575272932594631, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003575272932594631, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006681608650711657, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006681608650711657, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003106335718117026, "ret_p1w": 0.014658557650244708, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014658557650244708, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03237861126314412, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03237861126314412, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01772005361289941, "ret_p1m": 0.036467661165678456, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036467661165678456, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029720691663528642, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029720691663528642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006746969502149813, "ret_p3m": 0.05041115059087242, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05041115059087242, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03437700711353253, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03437700711353253, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01603414347733989, "ret_p6m": 0.08044333411641236, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08044333411641236, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1412233801642503, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1412233801642503, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06078004604783793, "ret_p1y": 0.5455845764570981, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5455845764570981, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.38360498131688026, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38360498131688026, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16197959514021787, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.036467661165678456, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029720691663528642, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029720691663528642, "price_path": [-0.1015, -0.0754, -0.0551, -0.0408, -0.0393, -0.0365, -0.0565, -0.0275, -0.0232, -0.0218, -0.0458, -0.0415, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0854, -0.0819, -0.0622, -0.089, -0.0758, -0.0726, -0.0661, -0.025, 0.0018, 0.0036, -0.0004, -0.0261, 0.0043, 0.0157, 0.0004, 0.0504, 0.039, 0.0461, 0.0318, 0.0157, 0.0218, 0.0368, 0.045, 0.0497, 0.0343, 0.0014, -0.0039, 0.0147, 0.0297, 0.0204, 0.0265, 0.0336, 0.0329, 0.0955, 0.103, 0.1348, 0.098, 0.0972, 0.0951, 0.0987, 0.1223, 0.1015, 0.0658, 0.0561, 0.0593, 0.0636, 0.0164, 0.0408, 0.0182, 0.0, 0.0036, -0.0129, -0.0057, -0.0143, 0.0147, 0.0189, 0.0046, 0.0025, 0.0179, -0.0122, -0.0061, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0018, -0.0064, 0.0111, 0.02, 0.0211, 0.01, 0.0361, 0.0365, 0.0383, 0.0082, -0.0079, -0.0061, -0.0057, -0.04, -0.0518, -0.0375, -0.035, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0297, -0.0433, -0.0551, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0372, -0.0354, -0.0261, -0.0229, -0.0204, -0.0204, -0.0129, -0.0361, -0.0275, -0.0004, 0.0025, -0.0129, -0.0129, 0.0025, 0.0029, -0.0072, -0.0021, -0.0182, -0.0122, 0.0011, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.025, 0.0447, 0.0493, 0.0504, 0.0379, 0.044, 0.0368, 0.049, 0.0533, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.0694, 0.0658, 0.0708, 0.0579, 0.0526, 0.0307, 0.0347, 0.0154, 0.0122, 0.0279, 0.0368, 0.0644, 0.0615, 0.0579, 0.0408, 0.0711, 0.0804, 0.099, 0.098, 0.1015, 0.103, 0.0994, 0.0905, 0.0733, 0.0711, 0.0933, 0.0915, 0.1198, 0.1083, 0.108, 0.0951, 0.0997, 0.0329, -0.0318, -0.0297, -0.0297, 0.0032, 0.0111, 0.0436, 0.0504, 0.0515, 0.064, 0.0565, 0.0565, 0.0651, 0.0547, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.0744, 0.0794, 0.0665, 0.0583, 0.0508, 0.0411, 0.054, 0.0804]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1877904834726125778", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-11T02:26:17+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian energy and mining stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bet energy and mining stocks in, or invested heavily in, Canada are going 'work well'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Canadian energy and mining stocks over years if Poilievre wins, citing removal of policy malaise.", "resolved_tickers": ["XEG.TO", "XMA.TO"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Canadian energy & mining ETFs; XEG energy, XMA materials", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If this guy wins, Canada is going to grow faster than US. 🚀\n\nWe’re talking years of malaise and repression removed! \n\nAnd I bet energy and mining stocks in, or invested heavily in, Canada are going ‘work well’. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN: Pierre Poilievre HITS BACK: \n\nTrump is right. Trade is unfair. \n\n\"You're buying our oil at a discount. We should build more refineries....and bypass you... and you can buy from Venezuela and Iran\" https://t.co/Jdb9HyvsUM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016141187264425927, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016141187264425927, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017689264634125235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017689264634125235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007269178341738236, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007269178341738236, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005893334990339838, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005893334990339838, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "ret_p1w": 0.02183083214358983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02183083214358983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006015981019872774, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006015981019872774, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "ret_p1m": 0.04815840341797578, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04815840341797578, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00701572200232542, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00701572200232542, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04114268141565036, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04114268141565036, "ret_p3m": -0.03748954140377997, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03748954140377997, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05751038652060786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05751038652060786, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "ret_p6m": 0.11777101464772516, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11777101464772516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04440295332686223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04440295332686223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07336806132086293, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07336806132086293, "ret_p1y": 0.5231732205191029, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5231732205191029, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.33648649369688455, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.33648649369688455, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18668672682221832, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18668672682221832, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5231732205191029, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.33648649369688455, "alpha_c_stated": 0.33648649369688455, "price_path": [0.0116, 0.0202, 0.0349, 0.0366, 0.0456, 0.0353, 0.0339, 0.0374, 0.0286, 0.0321, 0.0294, 0.0103, 0.0054, 0.0094, 0.0127, 0.0115, 0.0255, 0.0097, -0.0115, -0.0244, -0.0269, -0.0115, -0.02, -0.0021, 0.0056, 0.0127, 0.0281, 0.0331, 0.0127, 0.0036, 0.0023, 0.0072, 0.01, 0.0027, 0.0192, 0.0058, 0.0084, -0.0066, 0.0066, -0.0004, 0.0168, -0.0044, -0.0136, -0.0289, -0.0334, -0.0587, -0.068, -0.0609, -0.0478, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0451, -0.0482, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0133, -0.01, -0.0115, 0.0013, 0.0098, 0.018, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0123, 0.0002, 0.0104, 0.0218, 0.0211, 0.0197, 0.0178, 0.0193, 0.0052, 0.0016, 0.012, 0.0309, 0.0136, 0.0153, 0.0233, 0.0357, 0.0284, 0.0299, 0.0508, 0.0482, 0.0427, 0.0455, 0.0267, 0.0267, 0.0382, 0.0446, 0.0499, 0.0238, 0.0239, 0.0145, 0.0209, 0.0104, 0.014, -0.0173, -0.0219, -0.0074, -0.0108, 0.0027, -0.0128, 0.0053, 0.0156, 0.0257, 0.0404, 0.057, 0.061, 0.0742, 0.0747, 0.0688, 0.0775, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0831, 0.0684, 0.0788, 0.0812, 0.0849, 0.0334, -0.0514, -0.0585, -0.0854, -0.0165, -0.0375, 0.0021, 0.01, 0.0183, 0.0339, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0332, 0.037, 0.0293, 0.0398, 0.036, 0.0389, 0.0314, 0.0235, 0.0134, 0.0146, 0.0129, 0.0354, 0.0323, 0.0383, 0.0622, 0.0471, 0.0555, 0.0417, 0.0427, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0597, 0.0668, 0.0618, 0.0702, 0.0758, 0.0751, 0.0748, 0.0734, 0.0641, 0.0987, 0.1036, 0.1007, 0.105, 0.1009, 0.1066, 0.1045, 0.1184, 0.1277, 0.1527, 0.1464, 0.154, 0.1486, 0.1485, 0.144, 0.1334, 0.1136, 0.1119, 0.123, 0.1037, 0.111, 0.111, 0.1246, 0.1251, 0.1257, 0.1299, 0.1178]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1873396324286287969", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-29T15:51:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC to $130K then crashes; gold benefits from BTC decline; SPX tops Mar-May with recession risk by end-2025; USD weakens on Trump policies dragging equities lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I couldn’t agree more with Joseph here @josephwang \n\nAnd I’ve already gone on record with clients on these 2025 market calls:\n\n1. Fed cuts more than 50 basis points! Attempted January pause doesn’t last. \n\n2. Cuts are not seen as bullish (and take place into inflation - see term premia). \n\n3. Market stability - in place since Nov ‘23 - Dec ‘24 save one-n-done Aug VIX 65 print - makes way to market instability. Many more bouts AS markets top into health, war, growth slowdown fears - actual or perceived.\n\n4. Here we have different process, same result…\n\nJoseph:\nEquities decline with USD so foreign funds leave. \n\nMe: Trump policies devalue dollar - USD demand falls. \nForeign funds leave. Equities decline more. \n\n5. Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes. Gold flows pick up as BTC falls. SPX tops Mar-May and recession risk is pulled forward end of 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01642482403299428, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01642482403299428, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004881511360299795, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011543312672694483, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.008484077565384274, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008484077565384274, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012122213103241464, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00363813553785719, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1018409757663199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1018409757663199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08970263500815201, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012138340758167887, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.09379279428108389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09379279428108389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0660819838408, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027710810440283895, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.05900172629689626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05900172629689626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025962892112902147, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.033038834183994115, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.1446670699274628, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1446670699274628, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10695233660780024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037714733319662574, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.07015574114097511, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07015574114097511, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22156685372845752, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1514111125874824, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09379279428108389, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0660819838408, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3455, -0.3442, -0.33, -0.3282, -0.3293, -0.3461, -0.3494, -0.326, -0.2871, -0.2764, -0.2702, -0.2725, -0.2615, -0.2728, -0.2729, -0.2829, -0.2643, -0.2807, -0.2454, -0.215, -0.2192, -0.2421, -0.25, -0.268, -0.2513, -0.1835, -0.1807, -0.1738, -0.0425, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0582, -0.017, -0.0227, -0.0032, 0.0183, 0.0633, 0.0686, 0.005, -0.0071, 0.0358, 0.0325, 0.052, 0.0348, 0.0363, 0.0661, 0.0426, 0.0786, 0.0517, 0.0435, 0.0921, 0.0799, 0.0952, 0.1445, 0.1457, 0.0799, 0.0523, 0.0552, 0.0221, 0.0651, 0.0718, 0.034, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0192, 0.0458, 0.059, 0.1018, 0.0462, 0.0259, -0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0202, 0.042, 0.0849, 0.0768, 0.1276, 0.1012, 0.1458, 0.1188, 0.1222, 0.1314, 0.1019, 0.0938, 0.1194, 0.1305, 0.1054, 0.0946, 0.0564, 0.0429, 0.0426, 0.0419, 0.0518, 0.0335, 0.0566, 0.043, 0.0525, 0.0338, 0.0313, 0.0431, 0.0614, 0.0376, -0.0132, -0.0422, -0.0895, -0.0857, -0.0893, -0.071, -0.0585, -0.0218, -0.0289, -0.0637, -0.1523, -0.1056, -0.0963, -0.125, -0.0936, -0.0925, -0.1071, -0.0625, -0.0915, -0.0928, -0.0555, -0.0558, -0.062, -0.059, -0.0895, -0.109, -0.0807, -0.1096, -0.103, -0.095, -0.1447, -0.1767, -0.1087, -0.1405, -0.0997, -0.0874, -0.0969, -0.0929, -0.0836, -0.0884, -0.0553, 0.0086, 0.0114, 0.014, 0.0224, 0.0252, 0.0177, 0.0169, 0.0415, 0.0461, 0.0227, 0.0449, 0.0474, 0.1144, 0.1115, 0.1098, 0.1244, 0.1176, 0.1198, 0.1171, 0.1399, 0.1527, 0.1839, 0.2054, 0.1581, 0.1813, 0.1765, 0.1636, 0.1403, 0.1226, 0.1429, 0.138, 0.1305, 0.0964, 0.1268, 0.1905, 0.1901, 0.1732, 0.1434, 0.1452, 0.1528, 0.1291, 0.1321, 0.13, 0.1151, 0.1396, 0.1447]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1873396324286287969", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-29T15:51:04+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold flows pick up as BTC falls", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC to $130K then crashes; gold benefits from BTC decline; SPX tops Mar-May with recession risk by end-2025; USD weakens on Trump policies dragging equities lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I couldn’t agree more with Joseph here @josephwang \n\nAnd I’ve already gone on record with clients on these 2025 market calls:\n\n1. Fed cuts more than 50 basis points! Attempted January pause doesn’t last. \n\n2. Cuts are not seen as bullish (and take place into inflation - see term premia). \n\n3. Market stability - in place since Nov ‘23 - Dec ‘24 save one-n-done Aug VIX 65 print - makes way to market instability. Many more bouts AS markets top into health, war, growth slowdown fears - actual or perceived.\n\n4. Here we have different process, same result…\n\nJoseph:\nEquities decline with USD so foreign funds leave. \n\nMe: Trump policies devalue dollar - USD demand falls. \nForeign funds leave. Equities decline more. \n\n5. Bitcoin $130K still in play since Oct call (if $65K then $130K) but then crashes. Gold flows pick up as BTC falls. 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{"unit_id": "reply:1857181708908695787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-14T21:59:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVO has already started its descent. It will be hit more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVO continuing lower; expects LLY to break below critical $800 support.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaBurnVictim $NVO has already started its descent. It will be hit more - bringing $LLY below critical $800 level.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Short Bayer? 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaBurnVictim", "ret_m1d": 0.03518785931502477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03518785931502477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022213029922567795, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022213029922567795, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012974829392456977, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012974829392456977, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018969860214977263, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018969860214977263, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023067163566216298, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023067163566216298, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0040973033512390344, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0040973033512390344, "ret_p1w": 0.032632188826767994, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032632188826767994, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01596978641819602, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01596978641819602, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016662402408571975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016662402408571975, "ret_p1m": 0.062020921621445124, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.062020921621445124, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026101299802650857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026101299802650857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03591962181879427, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03591962181879427, "ret_p3m": -0.1960879780758572, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1960879780758572, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22961865829627148, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22961865829627148, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03353068022041428, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03353068022041428, "ret_p6m": -0.32345611516837125, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32345611516837125, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32509812038629193, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32509812038629193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0016420052179206834, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0016420052179206834, "ret_p1y": -0.5126796180705306, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5126796180705306, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6794729363928247, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6794729363928247, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16679331832229405, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16679331832229405, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.062020921621445124, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026101299802650857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026101299802650857, "price_path": [0.3349, 0.3265, 0.3454, 0.3463, 0.3299, 0.3287, 0.3218, 0.3517, 0.3678, 0.3678, 0.3393, 0.3223, 0.2865, 0.289, 0.2965, 0.2756, 0.3292, 0.3432, 0.3466, 0.3456, 0.2974, 0.298, 0.3257, 0.2533, 0.2158, 0.2329, 0.2478, 0.2217, 0.1869, 0.1703, 0.1599, 0.1449, 0.1311, 0.1315, 0.1576, 0.152, 0.15, 0.1552, 0.1799, 0.1773, 0.158, 0.1601, 0.162, 0.1607, 0.1532, 0.1448, 0.1376, 0.1197, 0.1144, 0.1044, 0.1006, 0.113, 0.1004, 0.1003, 0.0784, 0.0825, 0.0356, 0.0579, 0.0537, 0.0722, 0.0523, 0.0508, 0.0352, 0.0, -0.019, 0.0087, 0.0347, 0.0087, 0.0326, 0.0277, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0497, 0.0681, 0.0733, 0.0711, 0.0696, 0.0888, 0.0918, 0.0732, 0.0978, 0.0675, 0.0512, 0.062, 0.0616, 0.0415, 0.0167, -0.1645, -0.1281, -0.1412, -0.1412, -0.1385, -0.1412, -0.1574, -0.1545, -0.1545, -0.1398, -0.1385, -0.1642, -0.1809, -0.1582, -0.1582, -0.1522, -0.1683, -0.2021, -0.185, -0.1835, -0.2266, -0.2266, -0.2036, -0.2081, -0.2029, -0.1353, -0.1399, -0.1627, -0.1741, -0.1612, -0.1699, -0.1876, -0.1879, -0.1574, -0.1432, -0.1506, -0.1753, -0.1769, -0.1961, -0.2252, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.1908, -0.1803, -0.1769, -0.1343, -0.1096, -0.1061, -0.1198, -0.1231, -0.109, -0.1216, -0.14, -0.1069, -0.1347, -0.1432, -0.224, -0.2323, -0.2649, -0.2541, -0.2417, -0.2122, -0.204, -0.2235, -0.2256, -0.2445, -0.2596, -0.2766, -0.295, -0.3104, -0.3189, -0.3065, -0.3206, -0.3185, -0.3298, -0.3753, -0.3644, -0.3848, -0.3499, -0.3887, -0.3535, -0.3402, -0.3559, -0.372, -0.4199, -0.4199, -0.4174, -0.4017, -0.3878, -0.3745, -0.38, -0.3746, -0.3492, -0.3363, -0.3448, -0.3086, -0.3097, -0.3379, -0.3254, -0.3523, -0.3431, -0.3235]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1857181708908695787", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-14T21:59:58+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bringing $LLY below critical $800 level", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVO continuing lower; expects LLY to break below critical $800 support.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaBurnVictim $NVO has already started its descent. It will be hit more - bringing $LLY below critical $800 level.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Short Bayer? 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaBurnVictim", "ret_m1d": 0.051902951393094865, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051902951393094865, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03892812200063789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03892812200063789, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012974829392456977, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012974829392456977, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0254624804461846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0254624804461846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029559783797423633, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029559783797423633, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0040973033512390344, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0040973033512390344, "ret_p1w": 0.0024254627450361887, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0024254627450361887, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014236939663535786, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014236939663535786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016662402408571975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016662402408571975, "ret_p1m": 0.04395591038901592, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04395591038901592, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00803628857022165, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00803628857022165, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03591962181879427, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03591962181879427, "ret_p3m": 0.16988731859363515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16988731859363515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13635663837322087, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13635663837322087, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03353068022041428, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03353068022041428, "ret_p6m": 0.014302077518728584, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.014302077518728584, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0126600723008079, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0126600723008079, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0016420052179206834, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0016420052179206834, "ret_p1y": 0.2225734561570778, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2225734561570778, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.05578013783478375, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.05578013783478375, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16679331832229405, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16679331832229405, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04395591038901592, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00803628857022165, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00803628857022165, "price_path": [0.271, 0.2736, 0.2766, 0.2747, 0.2717, 0.277, 0.2696, 0.2579, 0.2844, 0.2844, 0.2797, 0.2661, 0.2212, 0.2077, 0.2152, 0.2058, 0.2321, 0.251, 0.2358, 0.2356, 0.2124, 0.2108, 0.2242, 0.2329, 0.2289, 0.2368, 0.237, 0.2166, 0.1744, 0.1853, 0.1834, 0.1922, 0.1848, 0.1869, 0.202, 0.2225, 0.2305, 0.2184, 0.247, 0.2436, 0.2219, 0.2261, 0.227, 0.2282, 0.2123, 0.2164, 0.2085, 0.1925, 0.1943, 0.1982, 0.2089, 0.133, 0.1101, 0.0957, 0.0785, 0.0784, 0.0387, 0.0669, 0.1125, 0.1137, 0.0956, 0.0861, 0.0519, 0.0, -0.0255, -0.0221, 0.0097, 0.005, 0.0024, 0.0118, 0.0578, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0659, 0.0718, 0.09, 0.1121, 0.1064, 0.1079, 0.0769, 0.0715, 0.0668, 0.0484, 0.0575, 0.044, 0.0434, 0.0248, 0.0152, 0.0289, 0.0671, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0642, 0.0495, 0.037, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0427, 0.0479, 0.0253, 0.0363, 0.055, 0.055, 0.072, 0.0687, -0.0017, 0.0007, 0.0153, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0052, 0.0104, 0.0273, 0.0525, 0.083, 0.0788, 0.0776, 0.1032, 0.0869, 0.0861, 0.107, 0.1286, 0.1664, 0.177, 0.1644, 0.1592, 0.1699, 0.1684, 0.1334, 0.1334, 0.1507, 0.164, 0.1721, 0.1729, 0.1832, 0.2106, 0.2283, 0.2151, 0.2359, 0.2481, 0.223, 0.2481, 0.2253, 0.1674, 0.1139, 0.1062, 0.1033, 0.0762, 0.092, 0.1072, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.1311, 0.1244, 0.1611, 0.1442, 0.1099, 0.103, 0.1042, 0.1087, 0.081, 0.0984, 0.0593, -0.009, -0.0284, -0.0251, 0.0118, -0.0322, -0.0168, 0.0127, 0.0165, -0.0134, 0.1276, 0.1276, 0.0981, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1541, 0.1874, 0.1777, 0.1883, 0.2068, 0.066, 0.1057, 0.1028, 0.0405, 0.0427, 0.0088, -0.0139, 0.0143]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1839805622264410286", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-27T23:13:36+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He is still Uber bullish China!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses $210 PT on BABA, originally rec'd long at $68 in Jan 2024; collaborator still uber bullish China.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OMG Geoffrey @GraphCall has a $210 price target on $BABA! \n\nI rec’d long to clients in Jan 2024 (at 2016 IPO price of $68) and he did a FULL fundamental analysis for clients in Feb for $baba + others. 🔥����\n\nHe is still Uber bullish China!\n\nhttps://t.co/hwkQFNyk7w https://t.co/UBUQUk5fP3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc At 210USD /share $BABA should at fair value on Sum of the parts....", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011402202661015659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011402202661015659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015393515029274663, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009056529798597612, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039913123682590035, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0023456728624180467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.062382241538968985, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.062382241538968985, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0713407375356061, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06642476608413483, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008958495996637117, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004042524545165849, "ret_p1w": 0.10742552382571335, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10742552382571335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11781324945183858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1337768092149606, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010387725626125222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026351285389247248, "ret_p1m": -0.0592725364894906, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0592725364894906, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07323317334509416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0585737466713101, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013960636855603559, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0006987898181805008, "ret_p3m": -0.18884279322460873, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18884279322460873, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24043901419599412, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3568954984171985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05159622097138539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16805270519258975, "ret_p6m": 0.25094238125583, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25094238125583, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24157655752885954, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21846184087893383, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00936582372697048, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03248054037689618, "ret_p1y": 0.5923349917000504, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5923349917000504, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4327049694750682, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.37853044588027407, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15963002222498224, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21380454581977637, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0592725364894906, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07323317334509416, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0585737466713101, "price_path": [-0.2879, -0.2879, -0.2978, -0.3074, -0.2867, -0.2837, -0.2601, -0.2494, -0.2649, -0.2614, -0.274, -0.2787, -0.2907, -0.2778, -0.2829, -0.2857, -0.2895, -0.2788, -0.2591, -0.265, -0.257, -0.2652, -0.2702, -0.2746, -0.2659, -0.2666, -0.2432, -0.2462, -0.2376, -0.2358, -0.2511, -0.2505, -0.2162, -0.2093, -0.2363, -0.2129, -0.2182, -0.1952, -0.2296, -0.2325, -0.2497, -0.2365, -0.2147, -0.2147, -0.2247, -0.2229, -0.2232, -0.235, -0.2326, -0.2103, -0.2008, -0.1944, -0.2019, -0.2122, -0.2018, -0.2045, -0.1661, -0.168, -0.1511, -0.0841, -0.1005, -0.0099, 0.0114, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.086, 0.0633, 0.0792, 0.1074, 0.0335, 0.0167, 0.0298, 0.0379, 0.0159, -0.0403, -0.0372, -0.057, -0.0348, -0.0491, -0.0533, -0.0765, -0.092, -0.082, -0.0583, -0.0593, -0.0699, -0.0767, -0.0805, -0.0727, -0.0651, -0.0885, -0.0564, -0.1124, -0.1008, -0.1351, -0.1331, -0.1464, -0.1652, -0.158, -0.1791, -0.1823, -0.1936, -0.2166, -0.1936, -0.1973, -0.184, -0.184, -0.1767, -0.1901, -0.1926, -0.1997, -0.207, -0.1903, -0.13, -0.1535, -0.1615, -0.1592, -0.1724, -0.189, -0.1788, -0.199, -0.2055, -0.2247, -0.1977, -0.1941, -0.1941, -0.1888, -0.1985, -0.2072, -0.201, -0.201, -0.1995, -0.1939, -0.1941, -0.2039, -0.2114, -0.2114, -0.2411, -0.241, -0.2303, -0.2231, -0.2232, -0.1979, -0.1979, -0.1954, -0.1858, -0.1887, -0.16, -0.152, -0.0951, -0.0886, -0.0319, -0.0686, -0.0708, -0.0355, -0.0645, -0.0541, -0.0246, 0.049, 0.0628, 0.1151, 0.1265, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.1958, 0.1854, 0.2813, 0.3546, 0.216, 0.2628, 0.3106, 0.2868, 0.2487, 0.2327, 0.2236, 0.329, 0.3188, 0.3251, 0.249, 0.31, 0.2923, 0.3037, 0.3296, 0.3906, 0.3451, 0.3494, 0.2901, 0.2735, 0.2672, 0.2509]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1837488422199447731", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-21T13:45:53+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as local currencies are devalued globally, folks would prefer to buy THINGS OVER PAPER", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold: multiple marginal buyers plus global currency debasement driving demand for hard assets over paper.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Excellent point on who buys gold NOW.\n\nI would add it’s not only an excellent FX hedge, but as local currencies are devalued globally, folks would prefer to buy THINGS OVER PAPER!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pre-2020, Gold had one marginal buyer, that being gold-backed ETFs.\n\nToday, gold has at least 3 marginal buyers that can overlap or alternate each other. They are:\n\n- Gold backed Western ETFs (which buy, sell or hold based on US real rates);\n\n- Central Banks seeking higher gold https://t.co/X6O57SBLnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002512886981248852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002512886981248852, "alpha_spy_m1d": -2.0102203440508504e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": -2.0102203440508504e-05, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024927847778083434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024927847778083434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009404131418951023, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009404131418951023, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006543081919164528, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006543081919164528, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028610494997864944, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028610494997864944, "ret_p1w": 0.0036550914358461917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0036550914358461917, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0035244305088715233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0035244305088715233, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007179521944717715, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007179521944717715, "ret_p1m": 0.044812469511469555, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044812469511469555, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020851316628578864, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020851316628578864, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02396115288289069, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02396115288289069, "ret_p3m": -0.013059222854797214, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013059222854797214, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04190032067292715, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04190032067292715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028841097818129935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028841097818129935, "ret_p6m": 0.1555682838972967, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1555682838972967, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16743804196115153, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16743804196115153, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.011869758063854818, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011869758063854818, "ret_p1y": 0.38724542077146396, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.38724542077146396, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23163947058451595, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23163947058451595, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.155605950186948, "bench_c_p1y": 0.155605950186948, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.044812469511469555, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020851316628578864, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020851316628578864, "price_path": [-0.1246, -0.115, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1156, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.0906, -0.1033, -0.1014, -0.0968, -0.0805, -0.0809, -0.0775, -0.0625, -0.0654, -0.0665, -0.0879, -0.0893, -0.0845, -0.0812, -0.1045, -0.0939, -0.0949, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0729, -0.0765, -0.0856, -0.0904, -0.0899, -0.0778, -0.074, -0.0625, -0.0608, -0.0712, -0.066, -0.0487, -0.0475, -0.0439, -0.045, -0.0562, -0.045, -0.0414, -0.0421, -0.0478, -0.0384, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.052, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0506, -0.0475, -0.0435, -0.0436, -0.0287, -0.0172, -0.0176, -0.0237, -0.0212, -0.0147, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0125, 0.0165, 0.0068, 0.0037, 0.0155, 0.0078, 0.0117, 0.0073, 0.007, -0.0044, -0.0078, -0.0022, 0.0118, 0.0081, 0.0133, 0.0181, 0.0246, 0.0332, 0.0368, 0.0448, 0.0335, 0.0413, 0.0436, 0.0443, 0.054, 0.0617, 0.0426, 0.0427, 0.0417, 0.0433, 0.0156, 0.0274, 0.0232, -0.0058, -0.0101, -0.0174, -0.0222, -0.0231, -0.0061, 0.0002, 0.0083, 0.0174, 0.0318, -0.0037, -0.0024, 0.0051, 0.0051, 0.0116, 0.0032, 0.0069, 0.0104, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0146, 0.0271, 0.0409, 0.0232, 0.0112, 0.0095, 0.0068, 0.0038, -0.0131, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0047, -0.0035, -0.0078, 0.001, 0.001, 0.0123, 0.007, 0.0045, 0.0115, 0.0145, 0.0218, 0.0312, 0.0179, 0.0194, 0.0327, 0.0457, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0489, 0.0537, 0.052, 0.0574, 0.0423, 0.0534, 0.0543, 0.0748, 0.0708, 0.079, 0.0864, 0.0933, 0.0874, 0.0917, 0.1096, 0.1089, 0.1076, 0.114, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.1162, 0.1115, 0.1194, 0.1184, 0.1224, 0.1058, 0.1105, 0.0977, 0.0801, 0.1004, 0.1078, 0.11, 0.1105, 0.1059, 0.1007, 0.109, 0.119, 0.1362, 0.1401, 0.1422, 0.1556]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1851249596648833257", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-10-29T13:07:53+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COIN in it to win it!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META as next mover, MCD continuing to work, and COIN as a sustained long play.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA worked! $META up next!\n$MCD working! $COIN in it to win it!\n\nLast Wed @HansCashFlow and shared our market views &amp; option plays. We meet this Wed after the close &amp; do it again. Join us!\n\nhttps://t.co/LygCCmUIuY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016206853770565743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016206853770565743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014590982168331434, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022387505850703704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001615871602234309, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0061806520801379605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03605571354322745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03605571354322745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033030397614739915, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04053145857986695, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030253159284875375, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0044757450366395, "ret_p1w": -0.11699898260848185, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11699898260848185, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10828406841980798, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11252323757184246, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008714914188673872, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004475745036639389, "ret_p1m": 0.4157334325856208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4157334325856208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38640930311075006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3232355894107741, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02932412947487073, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09249784317484666, "ret_p3m": 0.35664206060196846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.35664206060196846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30808989419160504, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2682606580265594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04855216641036342, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08838140257540905, "ret_p6m": -0.1131749075657501, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1131749075657501, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03937951190044453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13827246396273385, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07379539566530557, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025097556396983745, "ret_p1y": 0.5034598674959734, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5034598674959734, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.35408532179925944, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.38409374110069394, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14937454569671393, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11936612639527944, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4157334325856208, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.38640930311075006, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3232355894107741, "price_path": [-0.032, -0.0693, -0.1374, -0.116, -0.1855, -0.1245, -0.1064, -0.1271, -0.0989, -0.1079, -0.1026, -0.0653, -0.0692, -0.102, -0.0611, -0.0966, -0.0376, -0.0713, -0.0972, -0.1341, -0.1429, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.23, -0.2569, -0.273, -0.3292, -0.2941, -0.2786, -0.2846, -0.2584, -0.2577, -0.2648, -0.2604, -0.2596, -0.2341, -0.2257, -0.2251, -0.2184, -0.2394, -0.1809, -0.1294, -0.1889, -0.2488, -0.2513, -0.2575, -0.2219, -0.231, -0.2366, -0.2399, -0.2522, -0.197, -0.1061, -0.1062, -0.0418, -0.0704, 0.0025, -0.027, -0.0407, -0.0944, -0.0478, -0.0666, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0361, -0.184, -0.1674, -0.152, -0.117, 0.1577, 0.1635, 0.2325, 0.4761, 0.4528, 0.2962, 0.2694, 0.3924, 0.4814, 0.4776, 0.4568, 0.344, 0.3869, 0.4214, 0.3352, 0.4157, 0.4157, 0.3484, 0.3767, 0.4083, 0.5066, 0.4594, 0.5643, 0.4136, 0.3768, 0.4286, 0.4247, 0.4139, 0.4354, 0.4187, 0.2741, 0.247, 0.2688, 0.2208, 0.273, 0.273, 0.2492, 0.2096, 0.1634, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.1709, 0.2321, 0.31, 0.2034, 0.1837, 0.1837, 0.1781, 0.1436, 0.1626, 0.2516, 0.2821, 0.3452, 0.3452, 0.3393, 0.3469, 0.3476, 0.3566, 0.2655, 0.283, 0.3248, 0.3717, 0.3263, 0.2948, 0.2765, 0.2526, 0.2309, 0.2496, 0.2757, 0.2151, 0.2515, 0.3571, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2047, 0.1776, 0.1681, 0.0716, 0.0337, -0.0326, -0.0305, -0.0514, -0.0184, -0.0633, -0.0324, 0.0127, -0.025, -0.0101, -0.1841, -0.1273, -0.1272, -0.192, -0.1663, -0.1398, -0.1754, -0.1362, -0.1333, -0.1357, -0.0757, -0.0702, -0.117, -0.1415, -0.2082, -0.2159, -0.2055, -0.1671, -0.2226, -0.2691, -0.284, -0.3104, -0.1938, -0.2278, -0.201, -0.1961, -0.2007, -0.216, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.2033, -0.135, -0.1132]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1846613791800545331", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-16T18:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients literally every day in my live trading room with $250 target from $194", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GLD with $250 target from $194 on swing-trade basis; also reviewing SLV and GDX alongside it for clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No dig on day trading or AI for trading triggers, but why don't more people swing trade?\n\nI mean 247 to 250 is cool, but I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients (with $SLV $GDX) literally every day in my live trading room with $250 target from $194.\n\nMy point: zoom out!\nTHERE IS SO MUCH MONEY TO BE MADE IN SWING TRADING!!\n\nEspecially if you use options with time & roll em.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$GLD is on tear. AI predicts close to 250 soon https://t.co/jMZqZcWVer", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004976717612440007, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004976717612440007, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0006491127004329966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0006491127004329966, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00598831083503093, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00598831083503093, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005902520367870867, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005902520367870867, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.015051593415216447, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015051593415216447, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022453214106251118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022453214106251118, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "ret_p1m": -0.041027714505610935, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.041027714505610935, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06000430911185084, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06000430911185084, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "ret_p3m": -0.005704990645926777, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005704990645926777, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007502846483283365, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007502846483283365, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "ret_p6m": 0.18288494162764457, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18288494162764457, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2762578098896431, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2762578098896431, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "ret_p1y": 0.447056538460731, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.447056538460731, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.28383129612405544, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.28383129612405544, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.041027714505610935, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06000430911185084, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06000430911185084, "price_path": [-0.1029, -0.1026, -0.0994, -0.1026, -0.1166, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.0997, -0.0834, -0.0865, -0.0882, -0.0998, -0.107, -0.1076, -0.0936, -0.0914, -0.0758, -0.0772, -0.0848, -0.0819, -0.0613, -0.0629, -0.0594, -0.0607, -0.0719, -0.0612, -0.0582, -0.0557, -0.0623, -0.0575, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.0682, -0.0677, -0.0599, -0.0668, -0.0629, -0.0588, -0.0603, -0.0438, -0.0343, -0.0344, -0.0397, -0.0471, -0.0323, -0.02, -0.0181, -0.0044, -0.0057, -0.0007, -0.0086, -0.0165, -0.0062, -0.006, -0.0067, -0.0087, -0.0121, -0.0193, -0.0247, -0.0175, -0.0068, -0.0084, -0.005, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0167, 0.0165, 0.0274, 0.0151, 0.0229, 0.025, 0.025, 0.0362, 0.0419, 0.0257, 0.0215, 0.023, 0.0253, -0.0059, 0.0101, 0.0033, -0.0203, -0.0287, -0.0385, -0.041, -0.0427, -0.0245, -0.0158, -0.0102, -0.002, 0.0109, -0.0189, -0.017, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0063, -0.015, -0.013, -0.01, -0.0174, -0.017, -0.0072, 0.0058, 0.0154, 0.0005, -0.0116, -0.0092, -0.013, -0.0319, -0.0305, -0.0204, -0.025, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0165, -0.0233, -0.0264, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.007, -0.0148, -0.016, -0.0105, -0.0052, -0.0052, 0.0043, -0.0057, -0.0005, 0.007, 0.014, 0.0086, 0.0086, 0.0242, 0.0295, 0.028, 0.0344, 0.0236, 0.0325, 0.0285, 0.0441, 0.0462, 0.0517, 0.0621, 0.0687, 0.0659, 0.0678, 0.0859, 0.0819, 0.083, 0.0937, 0.0774, 0.0774, 0.0953, 0.0959, 0.0965, 0.0954, 0.1014, 0.0869, 0.0885, 0.0719, 0.0652, 0.0793, 0.0887, 0.0909, 0.0854, 0.0859, 0.0764, 0.0891, 0.0938, 0.1132, 0.1137, 0.1197, 0.1328, 0.1374, 0.1359, 0.1268, 0.1218, 0.1267, 0.1258, 0.1409, 0.1493, 0.1659, 0.1635, 0.1659, 0.1589, 0.1318, 0.1075, 0.1135, 0.1547, 0.1829]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1846613791800545331", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-16T18:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients (with $SLV $GDX) literally every day in my live trading room", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GLD with $250 target from $194 on swing-trade basis; also reviewing SLV and GDX alongside it for clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No dig on day trading or AI for trading triggers, but why don't more people swing trade?\n\nI mean 247 to 250 is cool, but I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients (with $SLV $GDX) literally every day in my live trading room with $250 target from $194.\n\nMy point: zoom out!\nTHERE IS SO MUCH MONEY TO BE MADE IN SWING TRADING!!\n\nEspecially if you use options with time & roll em.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$GLD is on tear. AI predicts close to 250 soon https://t.co/jMZqZcWVer", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0069180478725376915, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0069180478725376915, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002590442960530681, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002590442960530681, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006918179823325321, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006918179823325321, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.000777608449492595, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.000777608449492595, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.06226216695126263, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06226216695126263, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0696637876422973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0696637876422973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "ret_p1m": -0.038049131348168896, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038049131348168896, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0570257259544088, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0570257259544088, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "ret_p3m": -0.06745073584336281, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06745073584336281, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0692485916807194, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0692485916807194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "ret_p6m": -0.021791738640323688, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.021791738640323688, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07158112962167484, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07158112962167484, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "ret_p1y": 0.5053614903999863, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5053614903999863, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3421362480633108, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3421362480633108, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.038049131348168896, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0570257259544088, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0570257259544088, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0789, -0.0771, -0.0858, -0.1211, -0.1186, -0.12, -0.1065, -0.0872, -0.0996, -0.0993, -0.1401, -0.1477, -0.1584, -0.1349, -0.1352, -0.1183, -0.1207, -0.1308, -0.1055, -0.0858, -0.0719, -0.0706, -0.0678, -0.0872, -0.0591, -0.055, -0.0536, -0.0768, -0.0726, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.1152, -0.1117, -0.0927, -0.1186, -0.1058, -0.1027, -0.0965, -0.0567, -0.0308, -0.0291, -0.0329, -0.0578, -0.0284, -0.0173, -0.0322, 0.0163, 0.0052, 0.0121, -0.0017, -0.0173, -0.0114, 0.0031, 0.0111, 0.0156, 0.0007, -0.0311, -0.0363, -0.0183, -0.0038, -0.0128, -0.0069, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0598, 0.0671, 0.0979, 0.0623, 0.0616, 0.0595, 0.063, 0.0858, 0.0657, 0.0311, 0.0218, 0.0249, 0.0291, -0.0166, 0.0069, -0.0149, -0.0325, -0.0291, -0.045, -0.038, -0.0464, -0.0183, -0.0142, -0.028, -0.0301, -0.0152, -0.0443, -0.0384, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0342, -0.0387, -0.0218, -0.0131, -0.0121, -0.0228, 0.0024, 0.0028, 0.0045, -0.0246, -0.0401, -0.0384, -0.038, -0.0713, -0.0827, -0.0688, -0.0664, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0612, -0.0744, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0685, -0.0668, -0.0578, -0.0547, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.045, -0.0675, -0.0591, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0301, -0.0297, -0.0394, -0.0346, -0.0502, -0.0443, -0.0315, -0.0066, -0.0138, -0.0083, 0.0107, 0.0152, 0.0163, 0.0042, 0.01, 0.0031, 0.0149, 0.019, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0346, 0.0311, 0.036, 0.0235, 0.0183, -0.0028, 0.001, -0.0176, -0.0208, -0.0055, 0.0031, 0.0297, 0.027, 0.0235, 0.0069, 0.0363, 0.0453, 0.0633, 0.0623, 0.0657, 0.0671, 0.0636, 0.055, 0.0384, 0.0363, 0.0578, 0.056, 0.0834, 0.0723, 0.0719, 0.0595, 0.064, -0.0007, -0.0633, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0294, -0.0218]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1846613791800545331", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-10-16T18:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients (with $SLV $GDX) literally every day in my live trading room", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GLD with $250 target from $194 on swing-trade basis; also reviewing SLV and GDX alongside it for clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No dig on day trading or AI for trading triggers, but why don't more people swing trade?\n\nI mean 247 to 250 is cool, but I have reviewed this $GLD chart for clients (with $SLV $GDX) literally every day in my live trading room with $250 target from $194.\n\nMy point: zoom out!\nTHERE IS SO MUCH MONEY TO BE MADE IN SWING TRADING!!\n\nEspecially if you use options with time & roll em.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$GLD is on tear. AI predicts close to 250 soon https://t.co/jMZqZcWVer", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007804986464346686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007804986464346686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034773815523396756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034773815523396756, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00432760491200701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011951160332281718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011951160332281718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011865369865121655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011865369865121655, "bench_spy_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 8.579046716006289e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.05512188725247813, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05512188725247813, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0625235079435128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0625235079435128, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007401620691034672, "ret_p1m": -0.1287804751317274, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1287804751317274, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14775706973796732, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14775706973796732, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018976594606239905, "ret_p3m": -0.1269424404530336, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1269424404530336, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1287402962903902, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1287402962903902, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017978558373565878, "ret_p6m": 0.16399441298140793, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16399441298140793, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25736728124340646, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25736728124340646, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09337286826199853, "ret_p1y": 0.9020711052509764, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9020711052509764, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7388458629143009, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7388458629143009, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16322524233667557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1287804751317274, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14775706973796732, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14775706973796732, "price_path": [-0.088, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.092, -0.1173, -0.1102, -0.1063, -0.0988, -0.0749, -0.091, -0.1102, -0.138, -0.131, -0.1534, -0.1329, -0.1259, -0.1, -0.0883, -0.0949, -0.0905, -0.0612, -0.0434, -0.0366, -0.03, -0.0541, -0.0405, -0.0432, -0.0434, -0.0644, -0.0517, -0.058, -0.058, -0.091, -0.0998, -0.0895, -0.1141, -0.1034, -0.0922, -0.088, -0.0437, -0.0222, -0.0271, -0.0368, -0.0473, -0.0312, -0.012, -0.0163, 0.01, 0.0076, 0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0288, -0.0134, -0.0154, -0.0351, -0.0354, -0.048, -0.049, -0.0539, -0.0276, -0.0232, -0.0205, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.012, 0.0524, 0.0541, 0.0754, 0.0551, 0.0276, 0.0137, 0.0088, 0.0249, 0.0124, -0.0161, -0.028, -0.0268, -0.0217, -0.0576, -0.0349, -0.0483, -0.1041, -0.1193, -0.1327, -0.1288, -0.1339, -0.0971, -0.0761, -0.08, -0.0698, -0.0663, -0.0941, -0.0905, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0815, -0.1017, -0.0805, -0.0829, -0.0846, -0.102, -0.0754, -0.0737, -0.0466, -0.0815, -0.1061, -0.1117, -0.1173, -0.1578, -0.1612, -0.1529, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1494, -0.1546, -0.1667, -0.1632, -0.1632, -0.1279, -0.1363, -0.1467, -0.1351, -0.1141, -0.1141, -0.1124, -0.1269, -0.1037, -0.0939, -0.0963, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0719, -0.0739, -0.0746, -0.0635, -0.0783, -0.0697, -0.0648, -0.0272, -0.0386, -0.0238, -0.0122, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0083, 0.0354, 0.0226, 0.0396, 0.049, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0423, 0.0068, 0.011, -0.0036, 0.0083, -0.0263, -0.0198, -0.0201, -0.006, 0.029, 0.0206, 0.0275, -0.0004, 0.0325, 0.0339, 0.0663, 0.0769, 0.0998, 0.1067, 0.1161, 0.1144, 0.0981, 0.0919, 0.1109, 0.1023, 0.1292, 0.1245, 0.1344, 0.1302, 0.1292, 0.1282, 0.0285, 0.0228, 0.0241, 0.1102, 0.164]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1867004561740927044", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-12T00:32:29+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL: the new $NVDA\n#Quantum: the new #AI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL on Willow quantum chip breakthrough; frames it as a sea-change akin to NVDA/AI, with client adding to long-held core position.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have a wealth manager client who has a core position in $GOOGL he built up 10yrs ago. \n\nHe last added to it: 2 yrs ago \n\nAnd then again: 2 days ago \n\nThis is a sea change.\n\nMy 2024 price target of $194 for him was taken out today!\n\n$GOOGL: the new $NVDA\n#Quantum: the new #AI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨🇺🇸GOOGLE’S “WILLOW” QUANTUM CHIP MAKES CLASSICAL COMPUTERS LOOK LIKE DINOSAURS!\n\nGoogle just flexed its Quantum AI muscles, claiming its “Willow” chip solved in 5 minutes what classical computers couldn’t crack in billions of years. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1847252822284198007", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-18T12:26:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish on Nvidia for the next 3-6 months given TSM's revenue guidance and Nvidia's comments about \"insane demand\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA for 3-6 months on TSMC guidance and insane demand, then bearish into 2025 on lower TSMC capex.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In a nutshell:\n\n“bullish on Nvidia for the next 3-6 months given TSM’s revenue guidance and Nvidia’s comments about “insane demand” but to expect slower than expected growth in all of 2025 for Nvidia given TSMC’s lower capex guidance for 2024.”\n\n$TSM $NVDA $SMH \n\nSo when do they front run the turn 🤔🤨", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM, the primary fab for both $NVDA and $AAPL, reported strong results and guidance this morning.\n\nAs it relates to Nvidia, High Performance Computing (HPC) revenue at TSMC grew 11% q/q in Q3 versus 6% in Q3 of 2023. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1853435092833608088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-04T13:52:15+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Harris, it's business as usual and we need MUCH more gold & silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Conditional calls: Trump win = short gold/silver, bonds defended; Harris win = long gold/silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I hate Trump.\nBut his team... his team is actually incredibly competent. \n\nRon Paul\nElon Musk\nRFKJr\nTulsi Gabbard\nVivek\nShanahan\nVance\n\nMy bet: IF Trump gets elected, we will have short term market & economic PAIN, but bonds would get defended and gold/silver would suffer.\n\nIf Harris, it's business as usual and we need MUCH more gold & silver.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Not a chance. He bankrupted six times, now tell me again how financially responsible he is.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009137092616391396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009137092616391396, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0012448328468213088, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012448328468213088, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0021585421084604484, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021585421084604484, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015350137136695974, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015350137136695974, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010556801174673947, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010556801174673947, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012091814888343544, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012091814888343544, "ret_p1w": -0.045648968249138555, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045648968249138555, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09645560120220376, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09645560120220376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0508066329530652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0508066329530652, "ret_p1m": -0.03340526414317535, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03340526414317535, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09324987665884976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09324987665884976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "ret_p3m": 0.031760498242805024, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.031760498242805024, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03364094456758049, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03364094456758049, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06540144281038551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06540144281038551, "ret_p6m": 0.21296733685694358, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21296733685694358, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23394135684701556, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23394135684701556, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02097401999007198, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02097401999007198, "ret_p1y": 0.47816225941740687, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.47816225941740687, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.29194433105594975, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.29194433105594975, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18621792836145712, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18621792836145712, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03340526414317535, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09324987665884976, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09324987665884976, "price_path": [-0.1263, -0.1147, -0.1111, -0.1, -0.0985, -0.1084, -0.1034, -0.0868, -0.0856, -0.0822, -0.0832, -0.094, -0.0832, -0.0798, -0.0804, -0.0859, -0.0769, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.09, -0.0887, -0.0821, -0.0887, -0.0856, -0.0818, -0.0819, -0.0676, -0.0566, -0.0569, -0.0628, -0.0605, -0.0541, -0.0425, -0.0401, -0.031, -0.0281, -0.0242, -0.0336, -0.0365, -0.0251, -0.0325, -0.0289, -0.033, -0.0334, -0.0443, -0.0475, -0.0422, -0.0287, -0.0323, -0.0273, -0.0227, -0.0165, -0.0082, -0.0048, 0.003, -0.0079, -0.0004, 0.0018, 0.0025, 0.0118, 0.0192, 0.0008, 0.0009, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.025, -0.0138, -0.0178, -0.0456, -0.0497, -0.0568, -0.0614, -0.0623, -0.0459, -0.0398, -0.0321, -0.0234, -0.0096, -0.0436, -0.0423, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0289, -0.037, -0.0334, -0.0301, -0.04, -0.0356, -0.026, -0.0141, -0.0008, -0.0178, -0.0293, -0.031, -0.0335, -0.0364, -0.0526, -0.0393, -0.0452, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.0356, -0.0435, -0.0475, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0282, -0.0333, -0.0357, -0.029, -0.0262, -0.0191, -0.0101, -0.0229, -0.0214, -0.0086, 0.0038, 0.003, 0.003, 0.0069, 0.0115, 0.0099, 0.0151, 0.0005, 0.0112, 0.0121, 0.0318, 0.0279, 0.0357, 0.0428, 0.0495, 0.0438, 0.048, 0.0651, 0.0645, 0.0632, 0.0694, 0.0539, 0.0539, 0.0715, 0.067, 0.0745, 0.0736, 0.0774, 0.0615, 0.066, 0.0538, 0.0368, 0.0563, 0.0634, 0.0655, 0.066, 0.0616, 0.0566, 0.0646, 0.0742, 0.0907, 0.0944, 0.0965, 0.1093, 0.1096, 0.1111, 0.1031, 0.1012, 0.1051, 0.1041, 0.1185, 0.1281, 0.1413, 0.1399, 0.1476, 0.1319, 0.1008, 0.0787, 0.0849, 0.1171, 0.1532, 0.1777, 0.1713, 0.1764, 0.2158, 0.2093, 0.2093, 0.2449, 0.2429, 0.1974, 0.2178, 0.1997, 0.218, 0.213]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1853435092833608088", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-04T13:52:15+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Harris, it's business as usual and we need MUCH more gold & silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Conditional calls: Trump win = short gold/silver, bonds defended; Harris win = long gold/silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I hate Trump.\nBut his team... his team is actually incredibly competent. \n\nRon Paul\nElon Musk\nRFKJr\nTulsi Gabbard\nVivek\nShanahan\nVance\n\nMy bet: IF Trump gets elected, we will have short term market & economic PAIN, but bonds would get defended and gold/silver would suffer.\n\nIf Harris, it's business as usual and we need MUCH more gold & silver.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Not a chance. He bankrupted six times, now tell me again how financially responsible he is.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019088754782023987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019088754782023987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002496666302580497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002496666302580497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0021585421084604484, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021585421084604484, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005387907620903132, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005387907620903132, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006703907267440412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006703907267440412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012091814888343544, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012091814888343544, "ret_p1w": -0.05972902260008506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05972902260008506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11053565555315026, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11053565555315026, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0508066329530652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0508066329530652, "ret_p1m": -0.04319580965834857, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04319580965834857, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10304042217402298, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10304042217402298, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "ret_p3m": -0.003571463386246254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.003571463386246254, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06897290619663177, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06897290619663177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06540144281038551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06540144281038551, "ret_p6m": 0.024476662402928007, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024476662402928007, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.045450682392999986, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.045450682392999986, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02097401999007198, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02097401999007198, "ret_p1y": 0.46123766022345336, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46123766022345336, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.27501973186199624, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.27501973186199624, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18621792836145712, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18621792836145712, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04319580965834857, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10304042217402298, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10304042217402298, "price_path": [-0.174, -0.1533, -0.1537, -0.1405, -0.1473, -0.1609, -0.1274, -0.114, -0.0998, -0.0931, -0.0925, -0.107, -0.0829, -0.0771, -0.0779, -0.1017, -0.09, -0.1154, -0.1154, -0.1394, -0.1328, -0.1158, -0.1438, -0.129, -0.13, -0.1206, -0.0843, -0.0548, -0.0526, -0.0573, -0.0659, -0.0427, -0.0401, -0.0527, -0.0114, -0.0241, -0.014, -0.0296, -0.0405, -0.0319, -0.0262, -0.009, -0.0108, -0.0226, -0.0654, -0.0633, -0.0454, -0.0296, -0.043, -0.0293, -0.0222, -0.0279, 0.017, 0.0428, 0.0724, 0.0357, 0.0348, 0.0346, 0.0416, 0.0551, 0.0442, 0.0053, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.0388, -0.022, -0.0345, -0.0597, -0.0552, -0.0582, -0.0607, -0.0649, -0.0405, -0.0392, -0.0469, -0.0483, -0.0361, -0.0699, -0.0644, -0.0729, -0.0729, -0.0553, -0.0625, -0.0432, -0.03, -0.0414, -0.0398, -0.0081, -0.0036, 0.0025, -0.0385, -0.0562, -0.0549, -0.0587, -0.0637, -0.1042, -0.0868, -0.0798, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.0749, -0.087, -0.1039, -0.109, -0.109, -0.088, -0.0823, -0.0658, -0.0626, -0.0624, -0.052, -0.0428, -0.0736, -0.0723, -0.0357, -0.0295, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.036, -0.0382, -0.0556, -0.0449, -0.0685, -0.054, -0.0382, -0.0036, -0.0108, -0.0027, 0.0126, 0.0116, 0.0012, -0.0045, -0.0027, -0.0077, 0.0066, 0.0052, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0258, 0.0158, 0.0297, 0.0153, 0.0029, -0.0209, -0.007, -0.0209, -0.0388, -0.0138, -0.0115, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0021, -0.0063, 0.0126, 0.0309, 0.0484, 0.0526, 0.0491, 0.0646, 0.046, 0.0402, 0.0249, 0.0242, 0.0469, 0.0478, 0.0744, 0.0666, 0.0609, 0.0517, 0.0622, -0.0196, -0.1036, -0.0914, -0.0889, -0.0664, -0.0557, -0.0202, -0.0119, -0.0078, 0.0137, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0005, 0.0123, 0.032, 0.0308, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0245]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1842616132869496934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-05T17:21:34+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Imagine, ULSD oil shorts haven't even covered much... $WTIC $XLE #OOTT Fits really well with this trade set-up for clients Tuesday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish crude oil and energy equities; ULSD short covering still ahead, fits Tuesday client trade setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imagine, ULSD oil shorts haven't even covered much...\n\n$WTIC $XLE #OOTT \n\nFits really well with this trade set-up for clients Tuesday: https://t.co/9G9y8P5cBs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ULSD - HEY SHORTY! ..... shifting focus from CL, latest CFT-SEE data shows ULSD MM shorts still at record highs, OI data suggests little has changed in the late week rally post report, interesting to see how this gets resolved, these positioning extremes seldom end quietly #OOTT https://t.co/uMmlomEG5b", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.035984830605278795, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035984830605278795, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045107790744258525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045107790744258525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04305550712259876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04305550712259876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052512949837109635, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.052512949837109635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "ret_p1w": -0.04128783799326874, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04128783799326874, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07038277575471696, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07038277575471696, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "ret_p1m": -0.056439315196309514, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056439315196309514, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07211392124407034, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07211392124407034, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "ret_p3m": -0.02866157488048726, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02866157488048726, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061785442477605645, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061785442477605645, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "ret_p6m": -0.026767616147421514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026767616147421514, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.021045978492647888, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.021045978492647888, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "ret_p1y": -0.03547976852107837, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03547976852107837, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2139534836099395, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2139534836099395, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04128783799326874, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07038277575471696, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07038277575471696, "price_path": [0.0162, 0.022, 0.0133, 0.0116, -0.0018, 0.0179, 0.0088, -0.0152, -0.0199, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.022, -0.039, -0.0506, -0.0598, -0.0184, -0.0367, -0.0734, -0.0755, -0.0852, -0.0569, -0.0485, -0.0376, -0.0072, -0.0197, -0.033, -0.0226, -0.0364, -0.0609, -0.0678, -0.0833, -0.071, -0.0461, -0.0173, -0.0342, -0.047, -0.0307, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.1024, -0.1211, -0.1176, -0.1297, -0.1254, -0.1545, -0.1433, -0.1176, -0.1182, -0.1051, -0.0944, -0.1078, -0.0814, -0.0793, -0.0878, -0.0746, -0.0975, -0.1287, -0.1128, -0.1172, -0.0895, -0.0813, -0.0438, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0431, -0.0499, -0.0181, -0.0216, -0.0413, -0.0813, -0.0859, -0.0831, -0.0987, -0.0876, -0.0659, -0.0713, -0.0775, -0.0628, -0.1107, -0.1205, -0.099, -0.0773, -0.0907, -0.062, -0.0564, -0.0588, -0.0573, -0.0766, -0.1043, -0.1074, -0.1069, -0.0999, -0.1193, -0.09, -0.087, -0.0907, -0.0758, -0.0625, -0.0896, -0.0958, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0958, -0.103, -0.0778, -0.0924, -0.0976, -0.1131, -0.1014, -0.0985, -0.0741, -0.0756, -0.063, -0.0694, -0.0745, -0.079, -0.0832, -0.077, -0.0775, -0.0701, -0.0701, -0.0766, -0.0676, -0.0553, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0287, -0.0162, -0.024, -0.013, -0.024, -0.024, 0.0182, 0.0383, 0.0312, 0.0649, 0.0472, 0.0419, 0.0419, 0.0241, 0.0155, 0.0001, 0.0051, -0.016, -0.0043, -0.0179, -0.0183, -0.0149, -0.0174, -0.0213, -0.0393, -0.0473, -0.0422, -0.0227, -0.0117, -0.0364, -0.0355, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0221, -0.0182, -0.0486, -0.0408, -0.064, -0.0676, -0.0495, -0.0503, -0.0742, -0.0744, -0.0982, -0.1019, -0.0898, -0.1049, -0.0979, -0.0808, -0.0957, -0.0874, -0.0819, -0.0883, -0.0856, -0.0691, -0.0683, -0.0545, -0.0553, -0.0477, -0.047, -0.0559, -0.0236, -0.0268]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1842616132869496934", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-05T17:21:34+00:00", "symbol": "XLE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Imagine, ULSD oil shorts haven't even covered much... $WTIC $XLE #OOTT Fits really well with this trade set-up for clients Tuesday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish crude oil and energy equities; ULSD short covering still ahead, fits Tuesday client trade setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imagine, ULSD oil shorts haven't even covered much...\n\n$WTIC $XLE #OOTT \n\nFits really well with this trade set-up for clients Tuesday: https://t.co/9G9y8P5cBs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "ULSD - HEY SHORTY! ..... shifting focus from CL, latest CFT-SEE data shows ULSD MM shorts still at record highs, OI data suggests little has changed in the late week rally post report, interesting to see how this gets resolved, these positioning extremes seldom end quietly #OOTT https://t.co/uMmlomEG5b", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0035291170771903912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0035291170771903912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012652077216170121, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012652077216170121, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00912296013897973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026093592845542912, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026093592845542912, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03555103556005379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03555103556005379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009457442714510877, "ret_p1w": -0.007913749162520411, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007913749162520411, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03700868692396864, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03700868692396864, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029094937761448225, "ret_p1m": -0.03571828644716868, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03571828644716868, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05139289249492951, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05139289249492951, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01567460604776083, "ret_p3m": -0.06547954581455306, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06547954581455306, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09860341341167145, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09860341341167145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033123867597118384, "ret_p6m": 0.021579140187306223, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.021579140187306223, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02730077784207985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02730077784207985, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005721637654773626, "ret_p1y": -0.0017640022869643834, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0017640022869643834, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1802377173758255, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1802377173758255, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17847371508886112, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007913749162520411, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03700868692396864, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03700868692396864, "price_path": [-0.0522, -0.0423, -0.0399, -0.0254, -0.021, -0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0203, -0.0264, -0.0419, -0.0418, -0.0253, -0.0222, -0.0306, -0.0155, -0.0114, -0.0376, -0.0624, -0.0831, -0.0775, -0.0737, -0.0538, -0.0517, -0.047, -0.0562, -0.0507, -0.0394, -0.0404, -0.034, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.0554, -0.0413, -0.0327, -0.0417, -0.0479, -0.0354, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.0559, -0.069, -0.0762, -0.0877, -0.0812, -0.097, -0.1053, -0.0973, -0.0922, -0.0818, -0.0694, -0.0676, -0.0565, -0.0586, -0.0469, -0.0493, -0.0679, -0.0862, -0.0676, -0.0611, -0.0397, -0.0298, -0.0127, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.0202, -0.0136, -0.0075, -0.0079, -0.0399, -0.0353, -0.0307, -0.0339, -0.0368, -0.0345, -0.0396, -0.0397, -0.04, -0.0461, -0.0606, -0.0585, -0.0526, -0.0586, -0.0421, -0.0357, 0.0005, -0.0041, 0.0026, 0.0082, 0.0029, 0.0107, 0.0145, 0.013, 0.0265, 0.02, 0.0303, 0.0386, 0.0402, 0.0197, 0.0183, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0216, 0.0108, 0.0107, -0.0137, -0.0098, -0.0266, -0.0282, -0.0349, -0.0333, -0.0411, -0.0459, -0.0668, -0.0738, -0.1012, -0.109, -0.1002, -0.0949, -0.0873, -0.0873, -0.088, -0.0881, -0.0882, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0655, -0.0567, -0.0611, -0.0517, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0468, -0.0268, -0.0163, -0.0017, 0.0055, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0081, -0.0103, -0.0057, -0.0153, -0.0256, -0.0349, -0.0327, -0.0277, -0.0549, -0.049, -0.029, -0.027, -0.0449, -0.045, -0.024, -0.0161, -0.0398, -0.0326, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0154, -0.0077, 0.0014, -0.0194, -0.0192, -0.0333, -0.0388, -0.0337, -0.0187, -0.053, -0.0621, -0.0758, -0.073, -0.0572, -0.0502, -0.0577, -0.0534, -0.0599, -0.032, -0.0166, -0.015, 0.0011, 0.0047, -0.0023, 0.0091, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0093, 0.0045, 0.0156, 0.0216]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1834212534863139225", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-12T12:48:40+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Those $118 $NVDA calls now look good to 122 ;-)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "NVDA calls at $118 now targeting $122; bullish continuation call on NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just need to keep it together post boring Jobless Claims &amp; expected ECB 25bps cut for the open!\n\nThose $118 $NVDA calls now look good to 122 ;-)\n\n#LiveTradingRoom \n#MarketStructure\n#OptionFlow \n\nHow NVDA saved the market: https://t.co/v0a8Jn4lBY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "They knew.\n\n1st thing I said premarket in my live trading room:\n\n“They are hammering $NVDA calls. At close Tues, then at open with 10/4 strike and Jan all the way up to $118!”\n\nAmidst all the great shorts, this one green-on -the-screen has played out well!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018801457737671723, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018801457737671723, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010448358068963937, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016663805894520545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008353099668707786, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002137651843151178, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00033588691623298583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00033588691623298583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0055583343210178215, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01320465354988165, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005222447404784836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012868766633648665, "ret_p1w": -0.01065980774081765, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01065980774081765, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03192631717082628, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04139941477097231, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02126650943000863, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03073960703015466, "ret_p1m": 0.13144197208784214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13144197208784214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09161349079615477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034007193737269015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03982848129168737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09743477835057313, "ret_p3m": 0.13378618953835075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13378618953835075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05229882239187211, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10821968419356387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08148736714647864, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025566505344786883, "ret_p6m": -0.05407285494322345, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05407285494322345, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09081247964267747, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.020672455702792525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03673962469945402, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03340039924043092, "ret_p1y": 0.46231399468314804, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46231399468314804, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2941941461533444, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21572722430423763, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16811984852980366, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2465867703789104, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01065980774081765, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03192631717082628, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04139941477097231, "price_path": [0.0993, 0.1379, 0.1379, 0.0976, 0.0623, -0.0087, 0.0582, 0.0608, 0.0406, 0.0368, 0.0432, 0.0295, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0561, 0.076, 0.1026, 0.1323, 0.0692, 0.0847, 0.078, 0.0605, -0.0097, 0.0163, -0.0102, 0.0368, 0.0289, -0.0411, -0.0577, -0.0511, -0.0635, -0.1294, -0.0179, -0.0834, -0.0997, -0.1569, -0.1251, -0.1699, -0.119, -0.1209, -0.085, -0.0253, -0.009, 0.0311, 0.0456, 0.0911, 0.068, 0.0785, 0.0385, 0.0858, 0.0613, 0.0768, 0.0542, -0.0131, 0.0018, 0.0018, -0.0936, -0.1086, -0.1002, -0.137, -0.1064, -0.0927, -0.0188, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0198, -0.0298, -0.0484, -0.0107, -0.0264, -0.0242, 0.0145, 0.0367, 0.0411, 0.019, 0.0193, -0.018, -0.0024, 0.0311, 0.0485, 0.072, 0.1154, 0.1134, 0.1315, 0.1314, 0.1589, 0.1046, 0.1392, 0.1493, 0.1583, 0.2062, 0.2052, 0.1714, 0.1785, 0.188, 0.1795, 0.1856, 0.1695, 0.1143, 0.1365, 0.1419, 0.1743, 0.2222, 0.2496, 0.2391, 0.2192, 0.2447, 0.2277, 0.2318, 0.1917, 0.1763, 0.2339, 0.2245, 0.2311, 0.1915, 0.1417, 0.1492, 0.136, 0.136, 0.1604, 0.1636, 0.1773, 0.2182, 0.2176, 0.1957, 0.1652, 0.1338, 0.1694, 0.1528, 0.1269, 0.108, 0.0945, 0.0821, 0.0969, 0.1307, 0.1724, 0.177, 0.177, 0.1746, 0.1501, 0.1541, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.161, 0.2127, 0.2543, 0.1763, 0.1761, 0.1761, 0.1408, 0.1183, 0.106, 0.1436, 0.1212, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1821, 0.2345, 0.2358, 0.1972, -0.006, 0.0828, 0.0383, 0.0463, 0.0079, -0.0207, -0.004, 0.0478, 0.0801, 0.0899, 0.1212, 0.1147, 0.1008, 0.1356, 0.1655, 0.1655, 0.1701, 0.1687, 0.1761, 0.1284, 0.0936, 0.0629, 0.102, 0.0085, 0.0486, -0.0426, -0.0264, -0.0154, -0.0719, -0.0541]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1895574595786457356", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-02-28T20:39:36+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Basket Trading Short: NVDA, QQQ, SPX, OIL, YIELDS & GOLD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Short basket across NVDA, QQQ, SPX, oil, and gold from Thursday morning live trading room.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Basket Trading Short: \nNVDA, QQQ, SPX, OIL, YIELDS &amp; GOLD\n\nFrom my #LiveTradingRoom Thursday morning!\n\nhttps://t.co/Jtnu14CLJI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006305328109476038, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006305328109476038, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021671132229090007, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021671132229090007, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015365804119613968, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015365804119613968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013180390342641513, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013180390342641513, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030700368008945822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030700368008945822, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01751997766630431, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01751997766630431, "ret_p1w": 0.01944781345548563, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01944781345548563, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.050179212734237644, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.050179212734237644, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030731399278752014, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030731399278752014, "ret_p1m": 0.09446585889998316, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09446585889998316, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1501851698152008, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1501851698152008, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.055719310915217646, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055719310915217646, "ret_p3m": 0.1539864406756084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1539864406756084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16186613126365246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16186613126365246, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.007879690588044053, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007879690588044053, "ret_p6m": 0.17685265887322932, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17685265887322932, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08912217024423152, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08912217024423152, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0877304886289978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0877304886289978, "ret_p1y": 0.7024348802010842, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7024348802010842, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5397084767493916, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5397084767493916, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16272640345169265, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16272640345169265, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013180390342641513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030700368008945822, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030700368008945822, "price_path": [-0.0735, -0.0706, -0.0775, -0.0772, -0.068, -0.0558, -0.0468, -0.0607, -0.0721, -0.0699, -0.0734, -0.0912, -0.0899, -0.0804, -0.0847, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0767, -0.0831, -0.086, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0678, -0.0751, -0.0763, -0.0711, -0.0661, -0.0661, -0.0572, -0.0666, -0.0617, -0.0547, -0.0481, -0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0385, -0.0336, -0.0349, -0.0289, -0.039, -0.0307, -0.0345, -0.0198, -0.0179, -0.0126, -0.0029, 0.0033, 0.0006, 0.0024, 0.0194, 0.0156, 0.0167, 0.0267, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0282, 0.0288, 0.0293, 0.0284, 0.034, 0.0203, 0.0219, 0.0063, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.022, 0.0241, 0.0189, 0.0194, 0.0105, 0.0224, 0.0268, 0.045, 0.0455, 0.0511, 0.0634, 0.0678, 0.0664, 0.0578, 0.0531, 0.0577, 0.0569, 0.071, 0.079, 0.0945, 0.0923, 0.0945, 0.0879, 0.0625, 0.0397, 0.0453, 0.084, 0.1105, 0.1317, 0.1252, 0.1311, 0.1679, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1987, 0.1817, 0.1534, 0.1702, 0.1575, 0.174, 0.1625, 0.1538, 0.1299, 0.1318, 0.1656, 0.1983, 0.1803, 0.1571, 0.1655, 0.1326, 0.1375, 0.1135, 0.1313, 0.1176, 0.132, 0.1531, 0.1616, 0.1513, 0.1765, 0.1765, 0.1566, 0.154, 0.1608, 0.1532, 0.1838, 0.1734, 0.1809, 0.175, 0.1592, 0.1647, 0.165, 0.1713, 0.1859, 0.2014, 0.1843, 0.1849, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.178, 0.1816, 0.163, 0.1666, 0.1653, 0.1441, 0.1579, 0.1682, 0.1746, 0.1666, 0.1666, 0.1675, 0.1553, 0.1605, 0.1631, 0.1742, 0.1699, 0.1651, 0.1709, 0.1683, 0.1714, 0.1894, 0.2007, 0.1858, 0.1785, 0.1676, 0.1601, 0.1633, 0.1432, 0.1508, 0.1741, 0.181, 0.1819, 0.1794, 0.1893, 0.1891, 0.172, 0.1709, 0.1745, 0.1671, 0.1677, 0.1659, 0.1595, 0.1713, 0.1672, 0.1797, 0.1769]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884949373437546983", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-30T12:58:45+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Logically, this is one really big reason why Gold is rising past year.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold: USD structural decline from US trade competitiveness loss is driving gold higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US Trade Deficit deepened A LOT\nWhy does it matter? \n\nHigher US rates & inflation make terms of trade ugly- esp with USD as reserve currency.\n\nGeoffrey says \"it has to stop or you get an abrupt deval - like the UK in 1927\"\n\nThe Problem is: US production has become less + less competitive.\n\nThe \"Solution\", according to Trump, Lutnik & Bessent: The loss of competitiveness from US manufacturers means the USD has to fall! And that will save the US manufacturer.🤔😬\n\nLogically, this is one really big reason why Gold is rising past year. \n\nAnd ironically, this is why China has risen the past few decades. \n\n\"If the US did not have FX as reserve, CHINA would probably never have been able to advance so much like they did.\"\n\nMore words of wisdom from Geoffrey.\nEngage with him directly here:\nhttps://t.co/FR5sZU6PAp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01909312870837765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01909312870837765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013754595632199607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013754595632199607, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0037194473963868546, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0037194473963868546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016024636855890284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016024636855890284, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "ret_p1w": 0.011689691817215797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011689691817215797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0095740813329237, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0095740813329237, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "ret_p1m": 0.00488843387464577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00488843387464577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022837622490467724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022837622490467724, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "ret_p3m": 0.17562878102306945, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17562878102306945, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25670194211492103, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25670194211492103, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "ret_p6m": 0.1810131066241587, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1810131066241587, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12173497110298781, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12173497110298781, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "ret_p1y": 0.6253630543194297, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6253630543194297, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4687746344934127, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4687746344934127, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00488843387464577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.022837622490467724, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022837622490467724, "price_path": [-0.0308, -0.0293, -0.055, -0.0441, -0.048, -0.075, -0.079, -0.0858, -0.0903, -0.0911, -0.0752, -0.0694, -0.0619, -0.0535, -0.0401, -0.073, -0.0718, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0588, -0.0666, -0.0632, -0.0599, -0.0696, -0.0653, -0.056, -0.0444, -0.0316, -0.048, -0.0592, -0.0608, -0.0633, -0.0661, -0.0818, -0.0688, -0.0746, -0.0719, -0.0719, -0.0652, -0.0729, -0.0768, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0581, -0.0631, -0.0654, -0.0589, -0.0561, -0.0493, -0.0406, -0.053, -0.0515, -0.0391, -0.0271, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0241, -0.0196, -0.0212, -0.0162, -0.0303, -0.0199, -0.0191, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0039, 0.0107, 0.0172, 0.0117, 0.0157, 0.0323, 0.0317, 0.0305, 0.0365, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0385, 0.0341, 0.0414, 0.0406, 0.0442, 0.0289, 0.0332, 0.0213, 0.0049, 0.0238, 0.0307, 0.0327, 0.0332, 0.0289, 0.0241, 0.0318, 0.0411, 0.0571, 0.0608, 0.0627, 0.0751, 0.0754, 0.0769, 0.0691, 0.0673, 0.0711, 0.0701, 0.084, 0.0933, 0.1062, 0.1048, 0.1123, 0.0971, 0.067, 0.0454, 0.0515, 0.0827, 0.1177, 0.1414, 0.1352, 0.1402, 0.1784, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.2066, 0.2047, 0.1606, 0.1803, 0.1627, 0.1805, 0.1756, 0.1707, 0.1371, 0.1448, 0.173, 0.2084, 0.1978, 0.1678, 0.1815, 0.1406, 0.1478, 0.127, 0.1409, 0.1272, 0.1438, 0.162, 0.1723, 0.1662, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1687, 0.1667, 0.175, 0.165, 0.194, 0.1868, 0.195, 0.1869, 0.177, 0.1803, 0.1764, 0.1765, 0.1976, 0.2154, 0.2031, 0.1996, 0.2008, 0.2008, 0.1931, 0.1965, 0.1751, 0.1786, 0.1808, 0.1597, 0.167, 0.182, 0.186, 0.1802, 0.1805, 0.1804, 0.1714, 0.1731, 0.1751, 0.1888, 0.1872, 0.1795, 0.1876, 0.1832, 0.1877, 0.2051, 0.2183, 0.2023, 0.1941, 0.181]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1897788770575106431", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-06T23:17:56+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just flush it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish S&P: endorses MS QDS view of $100–350bn forced systematic selling still ahead; says just flush it.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just flush it.\n\n\"As the market continues to go lower and future forced systematic supply builds, many are asking how much more there is to go. Macro systematic length coming into Tuesday was in the 80th %ile versus the last 5 years, so the answer is a lot: at -2.2% in SPX QDS is forecasting nearly $100bn for sale over the next week. If leverage was to fall to the lows in Aug 2024 there would be an additional $100bn of supply ($200bn total). In a return to the leverage seen in the 2022 lows there would be an additional $150bn of supply on top of that ($350bn total).\" (MS QDS)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005573861179176354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005573861179176354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005573861179176354, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005573861179176354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02663561657302338, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02663561657302338, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02663561657302338, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02663561657302338, "ret_p1w": -0.022763589122923977, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022763589122923977, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022763589122923977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022763589122923977, "ret_p1m": -0.12158420584470153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12158420584470153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.12158420584470153, "bench_c_p1m": -0.12158420584470153, "ret_p3m": 0.03785696145715245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03785696145715245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03785696145715245, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03785696145715245, "ret_p6m": 0.12672441633398202, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12672441633398202, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12672441633398202, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12672441633398202, "ret_p1y": 0.20749684274702784, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20749684274702784, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20749684274702784, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20749684274702784, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12158420584470153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0432, 0.0512, 0.0458, 0.0456, 0.0501, 0.0457, 0.0146, 0.0143, 0.0264, 0.0326, 0.0441, 0.0441, 0.0441, 0.0331, 0.0214, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0151, 0.0278, 0.0338, 0.0221, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0079, 0.0095, 0.0109, 0.0293, 0.0273, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.0471, 0.053, 0.0587, 0.0557, 0.0407, 0.0497, 0.045, 0.0506, 0.045, 0.0379, 0.0449, 0.0491, 0.0528, 0.0431, 0.0502, 0.051, 0.0476, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0618, 0.0643, 0.0598, 0.0417, 0.037, 0.0318, 0.0323, 0.0159, 0.0317, 0.0136, 0.0016, 0.0124, -0.0056, 0.0, -0.0266, -0.0347, -0.0296, -0.0425, -0.0228, -0.0152, -0.0259, -0.0153, -0.0181, -0.0178, -0.0002, 0.0022, -0.0098, -0.0124, -0.0323, -0.0258, -0.023, -0.0168, -0.0653, -0.12, -0.1216, -0.1353, -0.0445, -0.0864, -0.0701, -0.0611, -0.0637, -0.0845, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.105, -0.0818, -0.0675, -0.0479, -0.041, -0.0407, -0.0346, -0.0342, -0.0274, -0.0129, -0.0186, -0.0268, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0172, 0.0153, 0.022, 0.0233, 0.0283, 0.0348, 0.036, 0.0325, 0.0151, 0.0155, 0.0086, 0.0086, 0.0295, 0.0236, 0.0276, 0.0265, 0.0322, 0.0381, 0.0379, 0.0328, 0.0434, 0.0444, 0.0503, 0.0473, 0.0515, 0.0397, 0.0496, 0.0406, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.038, 0.0483, 0.0599, 0.0605, 0.0688, 0.0741, 0.0792, 0.0789, 0.0838, 0.0923, 0.0923, 0.0842, 0.0836, 0.0901, 0.0931, 0.0893, 0.0914, 0.0867, 0.0903, 0.097, 0.0962, 0.0983, 0.0984, 0.1078, 0.1082, 0.1128, 0.1126, 0.1096, 0.1082, 0.1041, 0.086, 0.1025, 0.0969, 0.1053, 0.1044, 0.113, 0.1108, 0.1226, 0.1264, 0.1265, 0.1239, 0.1237, 0.1176, 0.1146, 0.1101, 0.1272, 0.1222, 0.1269, 0.1295, 0.1335, 0.1267, 0.1267]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1905385499239284923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-27T22:24:38+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it was a much better short into $170", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AVGO into $170 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually didn't set this up until a client in my live trading room wanted to go long $AVGO on Monday and I said it was a  much better short into $170. 😉💃🎯\n\nhttps://t.co/C2TEpvGYiA https://t.co/5kYHUYozXo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016970329800766182, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016970329800766182, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035818786677550563, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009329370213106536, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020552208468521238, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026299700013872718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009992846335372674, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009992846335372674, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016705535572524965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006693597711057597, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006712689237152292, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032992486243150765, "ret_p1w": -0.13499297139943967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13499297139943967, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04432610898684586, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012860157966701036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09066686241259381, "bench_c_p1w": -0.1478531293661407, "ret_p1m": 0.13806781928742584, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13806781928742584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14672422993683598, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1452319061368833, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00865641064941014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007164086849457463, "ret_p3m": 0.5685484336748872, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5685484336748872, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47270770788819805, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27147530936009634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09584072578668912, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2970731243147908, "ret_p6m": 1.011407843927321, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.011407843927321, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8044366007565222, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49295559141262957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20697124317079885, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5184522525146915, "ret_p1y": 0.9112783685096866, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.9112783685096866, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6935702087560591, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.034882348731075874, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21770815975362745, "bench_c_p1y": 0.8763960197786107, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13499297139943967, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04432610898684586, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012860157966701036, "price_path": [0.3667, 0.3667, 0.3676, 0.3709, 0.3937, 0.3479, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.3223, 0.3281, 0.3246, 0.3441, 0.3524, 0.3997, 0.3997, 0.4167, 0.4202, 0.4165, 0.4425, 0.1916, 0.2224, 0.2165, 0.2713, 0.3044, 0.2835, 0.3113, 0.3677, 0.3639, 0.3256, 0.3856, 0.3856, 0.3933, 0.3901, 0.3738, 0.3738, 0.3472, 0.3484, 0.3367, 0.289, 0.2258, 0.194, 0.2553, 0.1661, 0.1757, 0.1046, 0.1052, 0.1294, 0.0579, 0.1493, 0.0874, 0.1206, 0.145, 0.1281, 0.1527, 0.1466, 0.1122, 0.1529, 0.1267, 0.1333, 0.1309, 0.1132, 0.06, 0.017, 0.0, -0.01, -0.0035, 0.0176, -0.0893, -0.135, -0.0886, -0.0774, 0.0948, 0.0188, 0.0758, 0.0546, 0.0581, 0.0325, 0.0111, 0.0111, -0.0172, 0.0027, 0.0461, 0.1125, 0.1371, 0.1381, 0.1304, 0.1381, 0.1668, 0.2041, 0.1868, 0.1831, 0.211, 0.2285, 0.2311, 0.3102, 0.3743, 0.3725, 0.3756, 0.3518, 0.3637, 0.3699, 0.3584, 0.3631, 0.3524, 0.3524, 0.3934, 0.4157, 0.4308, 0.4314, 0.4706, 0.5187, 0.5438, 0.537, 0.4601, 0.4444, 0.4465, 0.4954, 0.5141, 0.4706, 0.4907, 0.4745, 0.4857, 0.4857, 0.4817, 0.5041, 0.5633, 0.5685, 0.6013, 0.5964, 0.6337, 0.5691, 0.5997, 0.631, 0.631, 0.625, 0.6109, 0.6471, 0.6323, 0.6262, 0.6334, 0.6651, 0.6643, 0.6978, 0.6793, 0.7082, 0.6512, 0.6814, 0.7111, 0.7199, 0.7443, 0.7628, 0.7936, 0.7407, 0.7107, 0.7646, 0.7362, 0.788, 0.8003, 0.8075, 0.8012, 0.8541, 0.8319, 0.8446, 0.8156, 0.8122, 0.7479, 0.7257, 0.7164, 0.7425, 0.7439, 0.7663, 0.7795, 0.8293, 0.7626, 0.7626, 0.7676, 0.7922, 0.8142, 0.9849, 1.0486, 0.9954, 1.1904, 1.1315, 1.1329, 1.1579, 1.1337, 1.0517, 1.0468, 1.0444, 1.0114]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1888701740431941768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-09T21:29:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "given $TSLA is already heavily invested in China, Musk should do okay. In fact, this might even help.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: China's retaliatory tariffs may actually help given Tesla's deep China investment exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good thread on impact of China's retaliatory 15% tariffs - which are specific to US energy/vehicle industries - versus Trump's blanket 10% tariff hit against China.\n\nBut given $TSLA is already heavily invested in China, Musk should do okay. In fact, this might even help. 😉🚗", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨🇨🇳 China's retaliatory tariff will hit the United States tomorrow. \n\nHere is how the U.S Corporations and consumers will be impacted - a thread🧵 https://t.co/Gi15CNOQNj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03104947905722244, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03104947905722244, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037794893717889244, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03445131977122606, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006745414660666804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034018407140036233, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06338211812502892, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06338211812502892, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06414265924028184, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05202788710182227, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007605411152529218, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011354231023206651, "ret_p1w": 0.014569569730266574, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014569569730266574, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006551044139289752, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01169800192387549, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008018525590976822, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028715678063910843, "ret_p1m": -0.3425712239947355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3425712239947355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2616751033394549, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2102097783166743, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08089612065528062, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13236144567806118, "ret_p3m": -0.1879223379737488, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1879223379737488, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12494758352537871, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08032108739360311, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06297475444837008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10760125058014569, "ret_p6m": -0.1197787712761843, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1197787712761843, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16420473875684205, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09163322345651004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044425967480657746, "bench_c_p6m": -0.028145547819674266, "ret_p1y": 0.23017699637883848, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.23017699637883848, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.06693592937557669, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.14492378851049614, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1632410670032618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08525320786834234, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3425712239947355, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2616751033394549, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2102097783166743, "price_path": [-0.0584, -0.1128, -0.0856, -0.0342, -0.0135, -0.0248, -0.0316, 0.0052, -0.0346, -0.0356, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0159, 0.0181, 0.002, 0.0205, 0.0535, 0.1097, 0.1114, 0.1433, 0.2111, 0.1921, 0.2438, 0.3202, 0.3682, 0.2549, 0.2436, 0.2005, 0.2277, 0.3181, 0.3181, 0.2948, 0.2307, 0.1901, 0.1514, 0.1514, 0.0814, 0.1702, 0.172, 0.1244, 0.1261, 0.1261, 0.1255, 0.1499, 0.1301, 0.2209, 0.1799, 0.216, 0.216, 0.2091, 0.1836, 0.1758, 0.1592, 0.1324, 0.135, 0.1094, 0.1413, 0.1536, 0.0939, 0.1183, 0.0782, 0.0673, 0.031, 0.0, -0.0634, -0.0405, 0.0149, 0.0146, 0.0146, 0.0096, 0.028, 0.0105, -0.0369, -0.0576, -0.1367, -0.1709, -0.1961, -0.1647, -0.1884, -0.2244, -0.2042, -0.2489, -0.2511, -0.3666, -0.3426, -0.2926, -0.3138, -0.2873, -0.3214, -0.3576, -0.3275, -0.3264, -0.2909, -0.2063, -0.1785, -0.2243, -0.2213, -0.2486, -0.2611, -0.2346, -0.1938, -0.2379, -0.3173, -0.3348, -0.3674, -0.2239, -0.2804, -0.2806, -0.2805, -0.2755, -0.3113, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3514, -0.3215, -0.2851, -0.2601, -0.1876, -0.1849, -0.1674, -0.1955, -0.2002, -0.1811, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.2124, -0.1879, -0.1496, -0.0922, -0.0475, -0.0087, -0.0226, -0.0021, -0.0246, -0.0197, -0.0459, -0.0276, -0.0325, -0.0325, 0.0347, 0.0176, 0.022, -0.0122, -0.0229, -0.0184, -0.0533, -0.1883, -0.1585, -0.1202, -0.0703, -0.0693, -0.0902, -0.0725, -0.0616, -0.098, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.0815, -0.0058, -0.0293, -0.0661, -0.0711, -0.0773, -0.0943, -0.1426, -0.1, -0.1009, -0.1009, -0.1619, -0.1509, -0.1564, -0.1165, -0.1061, -0.0965, -0.1139, -0.0829, -0.0893, -0.0601, -0.0634, -0.0531, -0.0518, -0.1295, -0.0989, -0.0717, -0.0842, -0.0904, -0.1211, -0.1371, -0.1182, -0.1198]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1908187295087202460", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-04T15:57:58+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yen & bonds crash higher with VIX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Baseline bet: yields crash to 3.5%, bonds/yen/VIX surge, dollar and oil fall, forcing an emergency Fed cut as basis trade unwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "VIX is a basis trade short with NDX long.\nBonds are a basis trade short with NXD long.\nYen is a basis trade short with NDX long.\n\nMy baseline bet has been:\nAs \"oil as inflation hedge\" crashes lower with yields crashes lower with dollar... \nYen & bonds crash higher with VIX.\n\nBessent wants the basis trade unwound. \nWall St IS positioned for this.\nMain St is not.\n\n---\n\nAgree: \"this time those who are short VIX are also short the basis -long futures, short bond. That's the achilees heel to watch. If it blows up, u can sell your 10s at 3% before FED does emergency anything.\"\n\nMy bet has been: 10Y yield breaks 4.1 to 3.9% then 3.5% Fed does an emergency cut.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010769898432492098, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010769898432492098, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07295310543141931, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07295310543141931, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030155975272597058, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030155975272597058, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028374664435080854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028374664435080854, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_p1w": -0.06418930439941217, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06418930439941217, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1209102494765597, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1209102494765597, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_p1m": -0.05696283497863586, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05696283497863586, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17220588003286463, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17220588003286463, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_p3m": -0.046218123723222204, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046218123723222204, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2777813054417939, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2777813054417939, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_p6m": -0.016436234290255647, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.016436234290255647, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33746110416771613, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33746110416771613, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "ret_p1y": -0.03548726108750788, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.03548726108750788, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.34301522865986, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.34301522865986, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05696283497863586, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17220588003286463, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17220588003286463, "price_path": [-0.0841, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.089, -0.0893, -0.0908, -0.0752, -0.0722, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0623, -0.0672, -0.0744, -0.0703, -0.0593, -0.0599, -0.0618, -0.0583, -0.0645, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0384, -0.0388, -0.045, -0.0479, -0.054, -0.0668, -0.0513, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0575, -0.0563, -0.0528, -0.0414, -0.0386, -0.022, -0.0162, -0.0232, -0.0112, -0.0066, -0.0188, -0.0267, -0.0299, -0.033, -0.0229, -0.0299, -0.0357, -0.0272, -0.0323, -0.0275, -0.0265, -0.0215, -0.0209, -0.0267, -0.0366, -0.0367, -0.0431, -0.0459, -0.0327, -0.0231, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.0108, 0.0, -0.0302, -0.0485, -0.0429, -0.0693, -0.0642, -0.0575, -0.0542, -0.0489, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0738, -0.0686, -0.0596, -0.0496, -0.0426, -0.0366, -0.0285, -0.0364, -0.0413, -0.0517, -0.057, -0.0538, -0.0498, -0.0604, -0.059, -0.0678, -0.0716, -0.0777, -0.0696, -0.0671, -0.0698, -0.0765, -0.0923, -0.0876, -0.086, -0.086, -0.0733, -0.0773, -0.0687, -0.0673, -0.076, -0.0776, -0.0627, -0.062, -0.074, -0.073, -0.0682, -0.0654, -0.0542, -0.0633, -0.0728, -0.0615, -0.0599, -0.0599, -0.0616, -0.0586, -0.0517, -0.0505, -0.0457, -0.0518, -0.0425, -0.0401, -0.0462, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.0619, -0.0631, -0.0533, -0.0526, -0.0657, -0.0677, -0.0742, -0.0729, -0.0731, -0.0717, -0.0634, -0.0578, -0.063, -0.0646, -0.0587, -0.0648, -0.049, -0.054, -0.0534, -0.0399, -0.0373, -0.0344, -0.0399, -0.0416, -0.0457, -0.0446, -0.0495, -0.0416, -0.0487, -0.0555, -0.0582, -0.0527, -0.0507, -0.0554, -0.0484, -0.0511, -0.0516, -0.0527, -0.0465, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0603, -0.05, -0.0428, -0.0282, -0.0152, -0.0208, -0.0152, -0.0086, -0.0129, -0.0106, -0.0085, -0.0111, -0.0213, -0.0231, -0.0266, -0.0198, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0244, -0.0164]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1908187295087202460", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-04-04T15:57:58+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil as inflation hedge crashes lower with yields crashes lower with dollar", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Baseline bet: yields crash to 3.5%, bonds/yen/VIX surge, dollar and oil fall, forcing an emergency Fed cut as basis trade unwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "VIX is a basis trade short with NDX long.\nBonds are a basis trade short with NXD long.\nYen is a basis trade short with NDX long.\n\nMy baseline bet has been:\nAs \"oil as inflation hedge\" crashes lower with yields crashes lower with dollar... \nYen & bonds crash higher with VIX.\n\nBessent wants the basis trade unwound. \nWall St IS positioned for this.\nMain St is not.\n\n---\n\nAgree: \"this time those who are short VIX are also short the basis -long futures, short bond. That's the achilees heel to watch. If it blows up, u can sell your 10s at 3% before FED does emergency anything.\"\n\nMy bet has been: 10Y yield breaks 4.1 to 3.9% then 3.5% Fed does an emergency cut.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06375150099804427, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06375150099804427, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015682939991170652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015682939991170652, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02856293969835133, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02856293969835133, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026781628860835127, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026781628860835127, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_p1w": -0.021495864602955828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021495864602955828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07821680968010336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07821680968010336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_p1m": -0.08171377188873574, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08171377188873574, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19695681694296452, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19695681694296452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_p3m": 0.11292694899471045, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11292694899471045, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11863623272386126, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11863623272386126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_p6m": 0.09820374482864747, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09820374482864747, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22282112504881302, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22282112504881302, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "ret_p1y": 0.6863958186603403, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6863958186603403, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.37886785108798815, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.37886785108798815, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08171377188873574, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19695681694296452, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19695681694296452, "price_path": [0.1509, 0.1381, 0.1381, 0.1873, 0.2107, 0.2024, 0.2418, 0.2211, 0.215, 0.215, 0.1942, 0.1842, 0.1662, 0.172, 0.1474, 0.1611, 0.1452, 0.1447, 0.1487, 0.1458, 0.1412, 0.1203, 0.1109, 0.1169, 0.1396, 0.1524, 0.1237, 0.1247, 0.1163, 0.1163, 0.1331, 0.1403, 0.1449, 0.1094, 0.1185, 0.0914, 0.0873, 0.1084, 0.1075, 0.0795, 0.0794, 0.0515, 0.0473, 0.0614, 0.0437, 0.052, 0.0718, 0.0545, 0.0642, 0.0705, 0.0632, 0.0663, 0.0855, 0.0864, 0.1025, 0.1016, 0.1104, 0.1113, 0.1009, 0.1385, 0.1349, 0.1446, 0.0638, 0.0, -0.0286, -0.0674, -0.005, -0.0383, -0.0215, -0.0186, -0.0212, -0.0025, 0.023, 0.023, 0.0103, 0.0213, 0.0019, 0.008, 0.0163, -0.0024, -0.0305, -0.0642, -0.0501, -0.0576, -0.0817, -0.0489, -0.0649, -0.0342, -0.0193, -0.0047, 0.0246, 0.0119, -0.0049, 0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0109, -0.0049, -0.0115, 0.001, 0.001, -0.0094, -0.0004, -0.0107, -0.0113, 0.024, 0.029, 0.0209, 0.0296, 0.0509, 0.0608, 0.0542, 0.1016, 0.105, 0.1811, 0.1571, 0.2117, 0.2113, 0.2113, 0.2238, 0.125, 0.0748, 0.0794, 0.0835, 0.0789, 0.0764, 0.0885, 0.1129, 0.107, 0.107, 0.126, 0.1331, 0.1327, 0.11, 0.138, 0.1134, 0.1081, 0.107, 0.1213, 0.1179, 0.1129, 0.1094, 0.1084, 0.1203, 0.102, 0.1362, 0.1749, 0.1932, 0.1718, 0.1405, 0.1206, 0.1045, 0.0864, 0.081, 0.0792, 0.0866, 0.0741, 0.0668, 0.0857, 0.0718, 0.0773, 0.0645, 0.0824, 0.0914, 0.0989, 0.1153, 0.0903, 0.0995, 0.1078, 0.1019, 0.1019, 0.1302, 0.1017, 0.0922, 0.0693, 0.0754, 0.0805, 0.1, 0.0748, 0.0794, 0.0929, 0.1141, 0.1038, 0.0997, 0.0824, 0.0814, 0.105, 0.1247, 0.1335, 0.134, 0.0982]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910712672582086676", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T15:12:55+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GOLD is the new VIX\n\nOnly sector that matters in a dance to the edge of default", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold as the key fear/volatility asset amid sovereign default risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "GOLD is the new VIX\n\nOnly sector that matters in a dance to the edge of default\n\nhttps://t.co/5Ba4a9OeBa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020793247165072137, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020793247165072137, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003263255109012708, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003263255109012708, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01752999205605943, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01752999205605943, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005400007016144959, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005400007016144959, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015101514000100846, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015101514000100846, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009701506983955888, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009701506983955888, "ret_p1w": 0.02684501313102583, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02684501313102583, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04094785499374953, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04094785499374953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014102841862723703, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014102841862723703, "ret_p1m": -0.0006827481860878226, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0006827481860878226, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09254706572763705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09254706572763705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09186431754154922, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09186431754154922, "ret_p3m": 0.027745064812585873, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027745064812585873, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.144493314609629, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.144493314609629, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17223837942221487, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17223837942221487, "ret_p6m": 0.22540502136249452, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22540502136249452, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03964902421066263, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03964902421066263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26505404557315715, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26505404557315715, "ret_p1y": 0.4423686202235757, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4423686202235757, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.21040393291147352, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21040393291147352, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23196468731210218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23196468731210218, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0006827481860878226, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09254706572763705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09254706572763705, "price_path": [-0.169, -0.1582, -0.1477, -0.1483, -0.1483, -0.145, -0.1411, -0.1425, -0.1381, -0.1504, -0.1413, -0.1406, -0.1239, -0.1271, -0.1205, -0.1145, -0.1088, -0.1136, -0.1101, -0.0956, -0.0961, -0.0972, -0.092, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.0902, -0.094, -0.0876, -0.0883, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0948, -0.1052, -0.1196, -0.103, -0.097, -0.0952, -0.0948, -0.0985, -0.1028, -0.096, -0.0879, -0.0738, -0.0707, -0.069, -0.0581, -0.0578, -0.0565, -0.0633, -0.0649, -0.0616, -0.0625, -0.0503, -0.0421, -0.0308, -0.0321, -0.0255, -0.0389, -0.0652, -0.0841, -0.0788, -0.0514, -0.0208, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0011, 0.0324, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0571, 0.0554, 0.0168, 0.0341, 0.0187, 0.0342, 0.03, 0.0257, -0.0038, 0.003, 0.0277, 0.0587, 0.0494, 0.0231, 0.0351, -0.0007, 0.0056, -0.0127, -0.0005, -0.0125, 0.0021, 0.018, 0.027, 0.0218, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0239, 0.0222, 0.0295, 0.0207, 0.0461, 0.0397, 0.047, 0.0399, 0.0312, 0.0341, 0.0306, 0.0308, 0.0493, 0.0649, 0.0541, 0.051, 0.052, 0.052, 0.0453, 0.0483, 0.0295, 0.0326, 0.0345, 0.016, 0.0224, 0.0355, 0.039, 0.034, 0.0342, 0.0341, 0.0263, 0.0277, 0.0295, 0.0415, 0.0401, 0.0334, 0.0404, 0.0366, 0.0406, 0.0558, 0.0673, 0.0533, 0.0462, 0.0347, 0.027, 0.0314, 0.0228, 0.022, 0.0389, 0.0472, 0.0496, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0673, 0.0406, 0.0393, 0.0424, 0.0351, 0.0353, 0.034, 0.0283, 0.0376, 0.0356, 0.0472, 0.047, 0.0516, 0.0566, 0.065, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.1015, 0.1151, 0.1066, 0.1213, 0.1291, 0.1307, 0.1308, 0.1287, 0.1326, 0.1428, 0.1448, 0.1426, 0.1308, 0.1394, 0.1609, 0.1733, 0.1582, 0.1597, 0.1717, 0.1858, 0.192, 0.2003, 0.1916, 0.2044, 0.2254]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1902197996839649460", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-03-19T03:18:38+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It makes me much more bearish dollar, yields and oil then I was back in July 2024!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish US equities, banks, tech, dollar, yields, and oil: refi rejections signal duration risk, credit contraction, M2 decline, and equity selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mortgage Refi Rejections are stopping an even steeper equity sell off. \n\nHear me out!\nHomeowners are sitting on $17 trillion in equity. \n\nI expected Refis to pick up under 4.2% 10Y. ✅\n\nBut mortgage apps are being rejected at the highest rate in decades. 🤯\n\nLots of theories out there about folks not qualifying. I don’t buy it. Here’s why:\n\nHow about because bad things happen to banks when mortgage refinancing accelerates causing falling mortgage rates amidst no refi supplies (high coupon asset pools).\n\nBanks are tight, rejecting credit demand - likely worried about a Duration Grab. \n\nIt’s going to plan as we get tighter MBS spreads, then more refinancing, then lower net interest margin at banks, then less credit formation, leading to more M2 declines.\n\nAnd what’s negative for banks will be negative for tech and equity markets!\n\nIt makes me much more bearish dollar, yields and oil then I was back in July 2024!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Agreed, I was not referring to the generational REFI waves that took place at 2001, 2009, 2020 lows. Just an unlock of housing activity &amp; refinancing on break of 4.2% 10Y yield.\n\nAs highlighted inside @TXMC chart...\nTo stimulate any refi activity, Fed would only need to have Fed https://t.co/GulnNTPeA3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002899738881279146, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002899738881279146, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00787388272358569, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00787388272358569, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010773621604864836, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010773621604864836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018088997805995932, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018088997805995932, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020980915356735852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020980915356735852, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028919175507399197, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028919175507399197, "ret_p1w": 0.04142502175989349, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04142502175989349, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0358347182163723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0358347182163723, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005590303543521191, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005590303543521191, "ret_p1m": -0.04059644968718634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04059644968718634, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028411671523117077, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028411671523117077, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06900812121030342, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06900812121030342, "ret_p3m": 0.08519743613568731, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08519743613568731, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019316688574070096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019316688574070096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06588074756161721, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06588074756161721, "ret_p6m": 0.008008862824072871, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.008008862824072871, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15849318890599307, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15849318890599307, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16650205173006594, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16650205173006594, "ret_p1y": 0.501933159254186, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.501933159254186, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30242719015202457, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30242719015202457, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19950596910216145, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19950596910216145, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04059644968718634, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.028411671523117077, "alpha_c_stated": -0.028411671523117077, "price_path": [0.0094, 0.0088, 0.017, 0.017, 0.0098, 0.0197, 0.0331, 0.0432, 0.0432, 0.0623, 0.0759, 0.0674, 0.0794, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.1135, 0.1355, 0.1277, 0.1646, 0.1453, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.12, 0.1106, 0.0938, 0.0991, 0.0761, 0.0889, 0.074, 0.0736, 0.0773, 0.0746, 0.0703, 0.0507, 0.0418, 0.0475, 0.0688, 0.0808, 0.0539, 0.0548, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0627, 0.0695, 0.0737, 0.0405, 0.049, 0.0236, 0.0197, 0.0395, 0.0387, 0.0124, 0.0123, -0.0138, -0.0178, -0.0046, -0.0211, -0.0134, 0.0052, -0.011, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.0189, 0.034, 0.0331, 0.0414, 0.0423, 0.0324, 0.0678, 0.0643, 0.0735, -0.0023, -0.0621, -0.0889, -0.1254, -0.0668, -0.098, -0.0823, -0.0795, -0.082, -0.0645, -0.0406, -0.0406, -0.0525, -0.0421, -0.0603, -0.0547, -0.0468, -0.0643, -0.0907, -0.1223, -0.1091, -0.1161, -0.1388, -0.108, -0.123, -0.0942, -0.0802, -0.0666, -0.0391, -0.051, -0.0667, -0.0597, -0.054, -0.0519, -0.0667, -0.0729, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.071, -0.0626, -0.0722, -0.0728, -0.0396, -0.0349, -0.0425, -0.0344, -0.0144, -0.0051, -0.0113, 0.0331, 0.0363, 0.1077, 0.0852, 0.1364, 0.136, 0.136, 0.1477, 0.0551, 0.008, 0.0123, 0.0162, 0.0119, 0.0095, 0.0209, 0.0438, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0561, 0.0627, 0.0623, 0.041, 0.0672, 0.0442, 0.0392, 0.0382, 0.0516, 0.0485, 0.0438, 0.0405, 0.0395, 0.0507, 0.0336, 0.0656, 0.1019, 0.119, 0.099, 0.0696, 0.051, 0.0359, 0.0189, 0.0138, 0.0122, 0.0191, 0.0073, 0.0006, 0.0182, 0.0052, 0.0104, -0.0017, 0.0152, 0.0236, 0.0307, 0.046, 0.0225, 0.0312, 0.0389, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0599, 0.0333, 0.0243, 0.0029, 0.0086, 0.0134, 0.0316, 0.008]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1887579728464199873", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-06T19:10:51+00:00", "symbol": "ASO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it has fallen to 'support' at $51, but it is 'ovah' below $47, with $40 strong support for bounce until that breaks when $28 is in view (min)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish ASO: below $47 support is broken, targeting $40 then $28 minimum after 5-wave monthly top at $75.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fun game. My pick - even if doesn't fit your parameters above: $ASO - Rebranded IPO in Oct 2020 of $12. Now after a 5-wave monthly topped at $75, it has fallen to 'support' at $51, but it is 'ovah' below $47,  with $40 strong support for bounce until that breaks when $28 is in view (min).\n\n$KKR will take a write-down. Bigger question: how many PE firms like KKR backing China-dependent US companies?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨 New recommendation alert...\n\nOur team of analysts have been working on a Company with a $4+ billion market cap, which is sourcing more than 60% from China sees a potential margin pressure, potential store closings for the remainder of 2025.\n\nReport/analysis/fin.model will be", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UnicusResearch", "ret_m1d": 0.001541217748826762, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001541217748826762, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005004911168802417, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005496319133866279, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034636934199756553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003955101385039517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027745879749447866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027745879749447866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018592366735589172, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008187542456455255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009153513013858694, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01955833729299261, "ret_p1w": 0.03314059020285853, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03314059020285853, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027516606278638944, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04609254685097397, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005623983924219589, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012951956648115437, "ret_p1m": -0.051252476663545266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051252476663545266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0011139555477013285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054841055213772916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05013852111584394, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10609353187731818, "ret_p3m": -0.272087176165687, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.272087176165687, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19648519958025046, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13306496366694465, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07560197658543655, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13902221249874236, "ret_p6m": -0.04542452755466597, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04542452755466597, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07694875538826695, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010792780958859494, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03152422783360098, "bench_c_p6m": -0.056217308513525466, "ret_p1y": 0.0778601895968325, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0778601895968325, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07807195236002484, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.005378350239756413, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15593214195685734, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07248183935707608, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.051252476663545266, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0011139555477013285, "alpha_c_stated": -0.054841055213772916, "price_path": [-0.0245, -0.0385, -0.0493, -0.0522, -0.0808, -0.1039, -0.1148, -0.1297, -0.1195, -0.1031, -0.0493, -0.0768, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0529, -0.0277, -0.0393, -0.0491, -0.052, -0.0308, -0.0306, 0.0111, 0.0484, 0.025, 0.0444, 0.0573, 0.0771, 0.078, 0.0711, 0.0721, 0.1021, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1786, 0.157, 0.116, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.0894, 0.0956, 0.0906, 0.1092, 0.1341, 0.1341, 0.1118, 0.069, 0.0094, 0.0089, 0.0108, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.0706, 0.0548, 0.0686, 0.0855, 0.0755, 0.064, 0.0399, 0.0536, 0.0079, -0.0187, -0.0133, 0.0015, 0.0, -0.0277, 0.0185, 0.0224, 0.0141, 0.0331, 0.032, 0.032, 0.0152, -0.0081, -0.0075, -0.0204, -0.0256, -0.0141, -0.022, -0.0382, -0.0445, -0.0647, -0.0881, -0.0751, -0.0599, -0.0513, -0.0258, -0.0987, -0.1355, -0.1557, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1062, -0.0834, -0.0863, -0.09, -0.041, -0.0335, -0.0538, -0.0671, -0.11, -0.1189, -0.0998, -0.0799, -0.2427, -0.2736, -0.297, -0.3412, -0.229, -0.2713, -0.2935, -0.2804, -0.2897, -0.292, -0.2688, -0.2688, -0.2895, -0.2875, -0.2734, -0.2649, -0.2618, -0.2647, -0.2659, -0.2721, -0.2738, -0.2448, -0.2698, -0.2721, -0.2489, -0.2222, -0.2423, -0.1038, -0.1009, -0.1139, -0.1212, -0.1262, -0.128, -0.1372, -0.1811, -0.189, -0.2147, -0.2147, -0.2095, -0.2085, -0.2041, -0.2097, -0.2186, -0.174, -0.1732, -0.1712, -0.1604, -0.1428, -0.1384, -0.1264, -0.1133, -0.1587, -0.098, -0.1326, -0.1452, -0.1452, -0.1475, -0.1473, -0.1415, -0.1384, -0.1146, -0.0989, -0.1318, -0.0863, -0.0815, -0.0846, -0.0846, -0.0739, -0.0476, -0.0276, 0.0051, -0.0185, -0.0098, -0.0059, 0.0079, 0.0513, 0.0485, 0.0452, 0.0871, 0.1018, 0.0792, 0.0749, 0.083, 0.0435, 0.0115, -0.016, -0.0454]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1883932926473298049", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-27T17:39:46+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA very likely gets defended with semis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NVDA defended by chip demand thesis; MAG7 faces re-rating and continued volatility post-DeepSeek.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Demand for Intelligence\" as your AI investment thesis - great line by @natebjones. \n\nThat and \"we still need the chips to build and SERVE the next model\"  \n\nTranslation: $NVDA very likely gets defended with semis BUT MAG7 gets re-rated & volatility continues post DeepSeek.\n\nhttps://t.co/unkA5DDA4Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.20435730167999933, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.20435730167999933, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1900086696851797, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0952863917433806, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "bench_c_m1d": 0.10907090993661872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0892585743856511, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0892585743856511, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08066594656202608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06958170081357529, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019676873572075815, "ret_p1w": -0.014862373849066635, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014862373849066635, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012193128289247013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027457315101580337, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012594941252513703, "ret_p1m": 0.06932948364537528, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06932948364537528, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0778884494144838, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05898215772148507, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010347325923890205, "ret_p3m": -0.1011670947431409, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1011670947431409, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016018772480653087, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012653295691664623, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11382039043480552, "ret_p6m": 0.41071590684947523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41071590684947523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3552468483885334, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20054664019637025, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21016926665310498, "ret_p1y": 0.5469521722856665, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5469521722856665, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.38161669314308977, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10504905372173612, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6520012260074026, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06932948364537528, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0778884494144838, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05898215772148507, "price_path": [0.1766, 0.121, 0.1433, 0.1488, 0.1814, 0.2295, 0.2571, 0.2466, 0.2266, 0.2522, 0.2351, 0.2392, 0.1989, 0.1834, 0.2413, 0.2319, 0.2385, 0.1986, 0.1485, 0.1561, 0.1428, 0.1428, 0.1674, 0.1706, 0.1843, 0.2256, 0.225, 0.2028, 0.1722, 0.1406, 0.1764, 0.1598, 0.1337, 0.1147, 0.1011, 0.0886, 0.1035, 0.1375, 0.1794, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.1816, 0.157, 0.161, 0.134, 0.134, 0.168, 0.22, 0.2619, 0.1834, 0.1832, 0.1832, 0.1477, 0.1251, 0.1126, 0.1505, 0.1279, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.1892, 0.2419, 0.2432, 0.2044, 0.0, 0.0893, 0.0446, 0.0526, 0.0139, -0.0149, 0.0019, 0.0541, 0.0866, 0.0964, 0.1279, 0.1214, 0.1074, 0.1425, 0.1725, 0.1725, 0.1772, 0.1757, 0.1832, 0.1352, 0.1002, 0.0693, 0.1086, 0.0146, 0.0549, -0.0368, -0.0205, -0.0095, -0.0663, -0.0484, -0.0966, -0.0816, -0.0225, -0.0239, 0.0275, 0.0095, -0.0252, -0.0075, 0.001, -0.006, 0.0253, 0.0193, -0.0393, -0.0589, -0.0738, -0.0847, -0.0698, -0.0675, -0.1403, -0.2035, -0.1754, -0.1867, -0.0344, -0.0915, -0.0632, -0.065, -0.0524, -0.1176, -0.1429, -0.1429, -0.1816, -0.1648, -0.1326, -0.1012, -0.0625, -0.0817, -0.0793, -0.0801, -0.0574, -0.033, -0.0388, -0.0411, -0.0114, -0.0088, -0.0149, 0.0388, 0.0973, 0.143, 0.1387, 0.1435, 0.1449, 0.1349, 0.1131, 0.1218, 0.1088, 0.1088, 0.1443, 0.1385, 0.1755, 0.1412, 0.1602, 0.1926, 0.1986, 0.1823, 0.1969, 0.2046, 0.2158, 0.2063, 0.2247, 0.1991, 0.222, 0.2172, 0.2287, 0.2287, 0.2149, 0.2176, 0.2491, 0.3033, 0.3093, 0.3323, 0.3344, 0.2948, 0.3281, 0.3458, 0.3458, 0.3365, 0.3513, 0.3757, 0.386, 0.3929, 0.3857, 0.4417, 0.4474, 0.4611, 0.4562, 0.4475, 0.4107]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892783243717411291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-21T03:47:46+00:00", "symbol": "China tech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "soon rest of China/China tech", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author warns FOMO will meet FOMU (fear of messing up) on BABA and China tech broadly after >100% run; implied caution/bearish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet tech; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh boy. Now more people see it - AFTER our $BABA has risen &gt;100% on stock basis. @GraphCall  😉\n\nAs I warned clients this week: “FOMO will meet FOMU on $BABA” -  &amp; soon rest of China/China tech”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$BABA AI-iBaba (get it?) huge beats &amp; ACCELERATION across the board. 👍 Tmall &amp; Taobao +9% (up from +2%). Cloud +13% (up from +7%!) w/ superb AI growth! 🤪. International ecom +36% 😮 Wowowow! Logistics biz slow (1)%. Cost control 👍. $52bn cash pile. \n\nBABA IS BACK, BABY! 🐉 https://t.co/1U1p3iJvXb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028819080149117215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028819080149117215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046220724110834055, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046220724110834055, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01740164396171684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01740164396171684, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05322298117785618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05322298117785618, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.048672574781811195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.048672574781811195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004550406396044981, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004550406396044981, "ret_p1w": -0.07623822908377142, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07623822908377142, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06663720788875971, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06663720788875971, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009601021195011716, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009601021195011716, "ret_p1m": -0.04541267379168812, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04541267379168812, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005186874296408073, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005186874296408073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040225799495280046, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040225799495280046, "ret_p3m": -0.10752203781939029, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10752203781939029, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08197498532379122, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08197498532379122, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025547052495599076, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025547052495599076, "ret_p6m": 0.014260360458763222, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.014260360458763222, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06441846849479749, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06441846849479749, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07867882895356071, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07867882895356071, "ret_p1y": 0.054862221375117814, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.054862221375117814, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.11233383424259297, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11233383424259297, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16719605561771078, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16719605561771078, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04541267379168812, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005186874296408073, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005186874296408073, "price_path": [-0.2134, -0.1856, -0.1856, -0.1847, -0.1758, -0.1806, -0.1918, -0.1862, -0.1763, -0.1004, -0.1501, -0.1584, -0.1588, -0.1684, -0.1891, -0.1761, -0.1917, -0.1852, -0.1776, -0.1812, -0.1798, -0.1798, -0.1749, -0.1836, -0.1978, -0.2029, -0.2029, -0.2202, -0.2184, -0.2296, -0.2275, -0.2331, -0.2331, -0.2562, -0.2531, -0.2303, -0.2228, -0.2249, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.195, -0.1983, -0.2016, -0.1729, -0.1701, -0.1546, -0.1604, -0.1342, -0.1599, -0.1682, -0.142, -0.1521, -0.1339, -0.1186, -0.0912, -0.1041, -0.08, -0.0693, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0371, -0.043, -0.0288, 0.0, -0.0532, -0.0479, -0.0313, -0.0484, -0.0762, -0.0933, -0.0671, -0.0131, 0.0044, 0.0054, -0.033, -0.0108, -0.0221, -0.0296, -0.0009, 0.0283, 0.0172, 0.0081, -0.0269, -0.0481, -0.0454, -0.0636, -0.0602, -0.0424, -0.072, -0.0757, -0.0732, -0.0731, -0.0862, -0.1646, -0.222, -0.2495, -0.1899, -0.1991, -0.1678, -0.1571, -0.1644, -0.1855, -0.1839, -0.1839, -0.18, -0.1588, -0.1429, -0.1418, -0.1435, -0.1446, -0.1406, -0.138, -0.1393, -0.1001, -0.1002, -0.0909, -0.1164, -0.1078, -0.1199, -0.075, -0.0837, -0.075, -0.0984, -0.0997, -0.0995, -0.0984, -0.1075, -0.1129, -0.1127, -0.1127, -0.1243, -0.1346, -0.1185, -0.1424, -0.1346, -0.1335, -0.1141, -0.1029, -0.1007, -0.0808, -0.0882, -0.0874, -0.0872, -0.1081, -0.0878, -0.0981, -0.1057, -0.1057, -0.1211, -0.1111, -0.0835, -0.0864, -0.0872, -0.0841, -0.0842, -0.0847, -0.1, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.0982, -0.0814, -0.0927, -0.0926, -0.0934, -0.084, -0.0511, -0.0593, -0.0471, -0.0377, -0.0391, -0.0316, -0.0147, -0.0202, -0.0234, -0.0317, -0.0349, -0.0538, -0.0433, -0.0637, -0.0431, -0.0375, -0.0247, -0.0286, -0.0314, -0.0385, -0.0216, 0.0115, -0.0131, 0.0028, 0.0143]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1923768128258932992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-17T15:50:38+00:00", "symbol": "WMT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Squeezing margins on sky-high valuations... not priced in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish WMT: implied price controls squeezing margins on sky-high valuations not yet priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["WMT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Implied Price Controls to make Trump's base feel protected...expected. \nSqueezing margins on sky-high valutaions... not priced in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trump: Walmart should STOP trying to blame Tariffs as the reason for raising prices throughout the chain. Walmart made BILLIONS OF DOLLARS last year, far more than expected. Between Walmart and China they should, as is said, “EAT THE TARIFFS,” and not charge valued customers", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0012229744828153866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0012229744828153866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023157029275190366, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004138803229337684, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00109272844470365, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029158287465222976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032613698286440007, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032613698286440007, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00010088754729897786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006784635114860271, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033622573759429786, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035232652862162706, "ret_p1w": -0.018141154055738684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018141154055738684, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008319272516228993, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009515212276678287, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.026460426571967677, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008625941779060398, "ret_p1m": -0.03944159352054033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03944159352054033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.043946939326640955, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017816014469775876, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505345806100625, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021625579050764454, "ret_p3m": 0.027822943904532993, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.027822943904532993, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05960521637964722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0261007465330938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742816028418021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017221973714391936, "ret_p6m": 0.056681629116797305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.056681629116797305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09809406345005844, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1030170255308166, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477569256685575, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04633539641401929, "ret_p1y": 0.33426139727069226, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.33426139727069226, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.08648080032798044, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.28251079507313803, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24778059694271182, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05175060219755423, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03944159352054033, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.043946939326640955, "alpha_c_stated": 0.017816014469775876, "price_path": [0.0545, -0.0144, -0.039, -0.0503, -0.0095, -0.0246, -0.0186, -0.0002, -0.0105, -0.0371, -0.0268, -0.0404, -0.07, -0.1096, -0.1134, -0.1361, -0.1432, -0.1346, -0.1132, -0.1322, -0.1247, -0.13, -0.1258, -0.1105, -0.1382, -0.1337, -0.1294, -0.1343, -0.1074, -0.0969, -0.0874, -0.1128, -0.1542, -0.1477, -0.1684, -0.089, -0.0788, -0.0565, -0.0369, -0.0446, -0.0729, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0605, -0.0357, -0.0345, -0.0256, -0.0332, -0.0319, -0.0236, -0.0113, -0.0096, 0.004, 0.0099, 0.002, 0.0048, -0.0094, -0.0143, -0.014, -0.0228, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0012, 0.0, -0.0033, -0.0172, -0.0223, -0.0181, -0.0181, -0.0055, -0.009, -0.0104, 0.0061, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0125, -0.0016, -0.0066, -0.0068, -0.0082, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0375, -0.039, -0.0394, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0204, -0.0025, -0.0012, -0.0088, -0.0214, -0.0087, -0.0035, 0.0012, -0.0052, 0.0024, 0.0024, 0.0125, -0.0105, -0.0134, -0.0332, -0.0379, -0.0238, -0.0278, -0.0303, -0.0309, -0.0313, -0.025, -0.0231, -0.0249, -0.0155, -0.0066, -0.0052, 0.0021, -0.0054, -0.0014, 0.0038, 0.015, 0.0121, 0.0534, 0.051, 0.0572, 0.0592, 0.0561, 0.0292, 0.0278, 0.0215, 0.0287, 0.0347, 0.0478, 0.0007, -0.0108, -0.0186, -0.0188, -0.0185, -0.0182, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.0004, 0.0158, 0.031, 0.0268, 0.0448, 0.0449, 0.0257, 0.0486, 0.0572, 0.0592, 0.0565, 0.0652, 0.0583, 0.0453, 0.0503, 0.0473, 0.0494, 0.0527, 0.0538, 0.053, 0.0528, 0.0416, 0.0389, 0.0427, 0.0491, 0.0546, 0.0512, 0.0396, 0.0403, 0.0432, 0.0952, 0.1138, 0.0876, 0.1005, 0.0936, 0.0851, 0.0945, 0.0916, 0.0846, 0.0672, 0.0539, 0.0467, 0.0443, 0.0336, 0.0378, 0.0447, 0.0366, 0.0387, 0.048, 0.0463, 0.0567]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1896628661727703431", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-03T18:28:05+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil dump. With yields. With equities.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish oil: OPEC+ supply restart triggers a dump alongside yields and equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "LOL - ya know what. I know this guy. \n\nOil dump. With yields. With equities.\n\nIYKYK ��", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OPEC+ to Begin Long-Delayed Supply Restart Amid Trump Pressure\n\nOPEC+ will proceed with plans to restart halted oil production after repeated delays, despite pressure from President Donald Trump to reduce oil prices.\n\nIn an unexpected move, the group led by Saudi Arabia and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020330544592788158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020330544592788158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002498143660412122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002498143660412122, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017832400932376036, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017832400932376036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016089016517856214, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016089016517856214, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010227859996881139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010227859996881139, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01183676164866676, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01183676164866676, "ret_p1w": -0.034225594168228124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034225594168228124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005498865902547667, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005498865902547667, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03972446007077579, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03972446007077579, "ret_p1m": 0.04139233710651902, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04139233710651902, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07755812259428574, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07755812259428574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03616578548776672, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03616578548776672, "ret_p3m": -0.10867345065661105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10867345065661105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12247171579211746, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12247171579211746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013798265135506416, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013798265135506416, "ret_p6m": -0.07488668335380444, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07488668335380444, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1866494193815882, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1866494193815882, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11176273602778375, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11176273602778375, "ret_p1y": -0.046511630502088286, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.046511630502088286, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23593416578974336, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23593416578974336, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18942253528765507, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18942253528765507, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04139233710651902, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07755812259428574, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07755812259428574, "price_path": [0.0025, -0.001, -0.0171, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0281, 0.0241, 0.0427, 0.0342, 0.025, 0.0323, 0.0225, 0.0159, 0.0127, 0.0253, 0.0253, 0.0183, 0.0326, 0.0383, 0.049, 0.049, 0.0696, 0.0818, 0.0759, 0.086, 0.0724, 0.0812, 0.1199, 0.1528, 0.1335, 0.1707, 0.1508, 0.1391, 0.1391, 0.11, 0.1034, 0.0914, 0.092, 0.0702, 0.079, 0.0622, 0.0638, 0.0608, 0.0701, 0.0633, 0.0389, 0.0328, 0.0385, 0.0578, 0.0724, 0.0439, 0.0427, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.0509, 0.0567, 0.0614, 0.0297, 0.0341, 0.0082, 0.0037, 0.029, 0.0203, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0301, -0.0294, -0.0195, -0.0342, -0.031, -0.0101, -0.0266, -0.0174, -0.0116, -0.0215, -0.0177, -0.0016, -0.0013, 0.0108, 0.0092, 0.0187, 0.0227, 0.0145, 0.0455, 0.0414, 0.0489, -0.0208, -0.0933, -0.1122, -0.1286, -0.0881, -0.1214, -0.1005, -0.1, -0.103, -0.0863, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0774, -0.0594, -0.0892, -0.0816, -0.0783, -0.0924, -0.1163, -0.1486, -0.1335, -0.1474, -0.1644, -0.1357, -0.1507, -0.1237, -0.1075, -0.0939, -0.0687, -0.0763, -0.0987, -0.086, -0.0831, -0.085, -0.0995, -0.1049, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1094, -0.0955, -0.1087, -0.1109, -0.0856, -0.0725, -0.0807, -0.0731, -0.0554, -0.045, -0.0496, -0.0032, -0.0048, 0.0674, 0.0497, 0.0946, 0.099, 0.099, 0.0959, 0.002, -0.0585, -0.0505, -0.0458, -0.0417, -0.0477, -0.0427, -0.0135, -0.02, -0.0274, -0.0064, -0.0006, 0.0001, -0.0263, 0.0012, -0.0203, -0.0271, -0.0291, -0.0121, -0.0151, -0.0171, -0.0316, -0.0456, -0.0342, -0.047, -0.0243, 0.0123, 0.0238, 0.013, -0.0152, -0.0304, -0.047, -0.0588, -0.0657, -0.0657, -0.0645, -0.0761, -0.0837, -0.0645, -0.0815, -0.0724, -0.0881, -0.0755, -0.0709, -0.0689, -0.0522, -0.0749]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1884110262275649553", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-28T05:24:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL a big DeepSeek winner", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAPL as a major beneficiary of DeepSeek/model commoditization thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL a big DeepSeek winner\n\n“in few years every apple device will ship with agi on board”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "some people didn’t get my apple post about execs smiling this morning, so let me break it down a bit. the r1 news is massive for apple—like, generationally massive. apple bet early on model commoditization. they didn’t blow capex on some me-too race, didn’t overreact, didn’t", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03525550648555631, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03525550648555631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026736082898090263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009275353651064688, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02598015283449162, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004616873847964831, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004616873847964831, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009099943239368247, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012749053180435732, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008132179332470901, "ret_p1w": -0.02291615011256176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02291615011256176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018383582623651584, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011531072728092395, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011385077384469366, "ret_p1m": 0.009923252762386925, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009923252762386925, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026432305984959492, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021222727566540645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01129947480415372, "ret_p3m": -0.12066596470092417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12066596470092417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03427740751090447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014502710513240702, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10616325418768346, "ret_p6m": -0.09902376833145377, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09902376833145377, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1544038212964719, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21689371820689896, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11786994987544519, "ret_p1y": 0.08863362692619758, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08863362692619758, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06992028102048575, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1642866646357961, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2529202915619937, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009923252762386925, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026432305984959492, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021222727566540645, "price_path": [-0.0529, -0.0655, -0.0692, -0.0632, -0.0663, -0.0463, -0.0474, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0551, -0.0421, -0.0557, -0.043, -0.0419, -0.0389, -0.0409, -0.0352, -0.0226, -0.0134, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0039, 0.0056, 0.0184, 0.0199, 0.0201, 0.0192, 0.0356, 0.0399, 0.0345, 0.0407, 0.0414, 0.0536, 0.0639, 0.0411, 0.0484, 0.0681, 0.0714, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.0871, 0.0727, 0.0585, 0.051, 0.051, 0.0235, 0.0214, 0.0283, 0.0166, 0.0186, 0.0186, -0.0059, -0.0162, -0.0209, -0.0016, -0.042, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0656, -0.0606, -0.0613, -0.065, -0.0353, 0.0, 0.0046, -0.0028, -0.0095, -0.043, -0.0229, -0.0243, -0.0212, -0.0446, -0.0435, -0.0226, -0.0047, 0.0148, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.0272, 0.0289, 0.0329, 0.0317, 0.0382, 0.038, 0.0099, -0.0029, 0.0161, 0.0001, -0.0087, -0.0095, -0.0112, 0.0045, -0.0442, -0.0721, -0.0883, -0.119, -0.103, -0.1008, -0.1063, -0.0956, -0.1004, -0.0829, -0.0726, -0.0599, -0.0692, -0.0594, -0.0844, -0.0667, -0.0622, -0.0593, -0.1463, -0.2085, -0.2376, -0.2755, -0.1645, -0.1999, -0.1674, -0.1491, -0.1507, -0.1837, -0.1723, -0.1723, -0.1884, -0.1608, -0.1403, -0.1245, -0.1207, -0.1171, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1037, -0.1372, -0.1643, -0.1659, -0.1754, -0.1702, -0.1658, -0.1132, -0.1042, -0.1067, -0.1104, -0.1112, -0.1216, -0.1297, -0.1498, -0.1528, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1577, -0.1568, -0.1588, -0.155, -0.1514, -0.1448, -0.1467, -0.1559, -0.1421, -0.1525, -0.1473, -0.1637, -0.1619, -0.1735, -0.1652, -0.1769, -0.1729, -0.1729, -0.1543, -0.1522, -0.1573, -0.152, -0.1543, -0.154, -0.1368, -0.1257, -0.1062, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.1167, -0.1164, -0.1117, -0.1063, -0.1116, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.1158, -0.1164, -0.1115, -0.106, -0.098, -0.099]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884601300371025999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-29T13:55:38+00:00", "symbol": "0981.HK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Geoffrey has been long $SMIC at 17 (#3 holding)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SMIC (#3 holding) and BABA (#1 holding); thesis: China will dominate chips in 10 years as sanctions accelerate domestic ecosystem build-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["0981.HK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"China is the largest market for Chips.\n\nChina bought a lot of lower end DUV because because the Sanctions gave a fantastic impulse to build-out the China ecosystem.\n\nThe sanctions changed everything.\n\nNow the Chinese companies CAN NOT defend buying Western Equipment when there is a China alternative.\n\nThey have 2 advantages: Low cost of capital (low rates to invest  in capex and invest in R&D), and they have 10X the amount of STEM graduates than the US.\n\nI think in 10 years the Chip industry in the West will be destroyed and China will be a net exporter of Chips.\"\n\nGeoffrey has been long $SMIC at 17 (#3 holding) and long $BABA (#1 holding) since the lows last year - sharing when & why with our clients.\n\nLearn more about Geoffrey here:\nhttps://t.co/ero6OhofM4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09307879197737334, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09307879197737334, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09758204978602036, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0969196410359544, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004503257808647021, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003840849058581064, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08472551569879871, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08472551569879871, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07935832972276158, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06117937157743336, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053671859760371365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023546144121365353, "ret_p1w": 0.14081139609356796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14081139609356796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1368068956209605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10904084046445495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004004500472607475, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03177055562911302, "ret_p1m": 0.2303101995168535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2303101995168535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2581595300318382, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.275148051350794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849330514984727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04483785183394051, "ret_p3m": 0.11933173789771412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11933173789771412, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20125616342158725, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23990120802336445, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192442552387313, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12056947012565034, "ret_p6m": 0.2732696069514524, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2732696069514524, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21278607331916732, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0717499583368062, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06048353363228509, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20151964861464622, "ret_p1y": 0.8436753505196819, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8436753505196819, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6808793055467277, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.16690887690297807, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1627960449729542, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6767664736167038, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8436753505196819, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6808793055467277, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16690887690297807, "price_path": [-0.358, -0.3258, -0.3186, -0.2959, -0.352, -0.352, -0.3663, -0.3699, -0.3687, -0.3532, -0.358, -0.3592, -0.4021, -0.401, -0.4117, -0.3866, -0.3998, -0.3795, -0.3699, -0.3795, -0.3723, -0.3771, -0.3687, -0.3425, -0.3556, -0.3604, -0.3532, -0.3819, -0.395, -0.3974, -0.3807, -0.3759, -0.3246, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.2685, -0.222, -0.2434, -0.2434, -0.3079, -0.2947, -0.2924, -0.2566, -0.2709, -0.2494, -0.2279, -0.1802, -0.1623, -0.1122, -0.1408, -0.0585, -0.0597, 0.0, 0.0048, -0.068, -0.0143, -0.0895, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0931, 0.0, 0.0847, 0.0668, 0.1432, 0.1134, 0.1408, 0.0811, 0.1444, 0.0979, 0.0871, 0.1337, 0.1408, 0.2363, 0.1993, 0.2936, 0.3126, 0.2936, 0.3699, 0.3795, 0.2792, 0.2267, 0.2303, 0.3115, 0.3437, 0.3031, 0.2422, 0.2721, 0.2518, 0.1897, 0.2053, 0.1826, 0.2339, 0.2184, 0.2112, 0.1205, 0.1527, 0.1337, 0.1527, 0.2017, 0.1456, 0.1002, 0.0573, 0.0668, 0.0752, 0.0752, -0.1002, -0.0656, 0.0322, 0.0525, 0.1146, 0.1337, 0.0823, 0.0835, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.1122, 0.1169, 0.1062, 0.0752, 0.0835, 0.0919, 0.1193, 0.1193, 0.1337, 0.1337, 0.1205, 0.1026, 0.0776, 0.0263, 0.0609, 0.0179, 0.0191, -0.0155, -0.0048, 0.0131, 0.0263, 0.0179, -0.0024, -0.0012, 0.006, -0.0012, -0.0263, -0.0119, -0.0322, -0.043, -0.0334, -0.0322, 0.0084, -0.0406, 0.0084, -0.0107, -0.006, -0.0263, -0.0453, -0.043, -0.0525, -0.0632, -0.0728, -0.0573, -0.0143, -0.0048, 0.0513, 0.0621, 0.0704, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0394, 0.0334, 0.0489, 0.0573, 0.0895, 0.0656, 0.0728, 0.0967, 0.1086, 0.0883, 0.0835, 0.105, 0.1241, 0.1277, 0.1587, 0.1635, 0.1993, 0.2589, 0.2673, 0.2733]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884601300371025999", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-29T13:55:38+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long $BABA (#1 holding) since the lows last year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SMIC (#3 holding) and BABA (#1 holding); thesis: China will dominate chips in 10 years as sanctions accelerate domestic ecosystem build-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"China is the largest market for Chips.\n\nChina bought a lot of lower end DUV because because the Sanctions gave a fantastic impulse to build-out the China ecosystem.\n\nThe sanctions changed everything.\n\nNow the Chinese companies CAN NOT defend buying Western Equipment when there is a China alternative.\n\nThey have 2 advantages: Low cost of capital (low rates to invest  in capex and invest in R&D), and they have 10X the amount of STEM graduates than the US.\n\nI think in 10 years the Chip industry in the West will be destroyed and China will be a net exporter of Chips.\"\n\nGeoffrey has been long $SMIC at 17 (#3 holding) and long $BABA (#1 holding) since the lows last year - sharing when & why with our clients.\n\nLearn more about Geoffrey here:\nhttps://t.co/ero6OhofM4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007133984315709552, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007133984315709552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011637242124356573, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009991884817606711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004503257808647021, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028579005018971593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06224149759676201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06224149759676201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05687431162072487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05245544046773354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053671859760371365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00978605712902847, "ret_p1w": 0.026468201366051103, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026468201366051103, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022463700893443628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034132519292640495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004004500472607475, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007664317926589392, "ret_p1m": 0.41180729572476604, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41180729572476604, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43965662623975077, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4919579924302506, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849330514984727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08015069670548458, "ret_p3m": 0.22384198330381988, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22384198330381988, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.305766408827693, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36554936065640253, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192442552387313, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14170737735258265, "ret_p6m": 0.27375583101441947, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27375583101441947, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21327229738213438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3042906985424474, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06048353363228509, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03053486752802792, "ret_p1y": 0.7389946268656717, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7389946268656717, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5761985818927176, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6706813424196636, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1627960449729542, "bench_c_p1y": 0.06831328444600815, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7389946268656717, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5761985818927176, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6706813424196636, "price_path": [0.0089, 0.0174, 0.0257, 0.0001, 0.0354, -0.0262, -0.0134, -0.0511, -0.0488, -0.0635, -0.0841, -0.0762, -0.0994, -0.1029, -0.1152, -0.1405, -0.1152, -0.1193, -0.1047, -0.1047, -0.0967, -0.1114, -0.1141, -0.1219, -0.13, -0.1116, -0.0455, -0.0712, -0.08, -0.0774, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.0989, -0.1212, -0.1283, -0.1493, -0.1197, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.11, -0.1206, -0.1302, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.1217, -0.1156, -0.1158, -0.1266, -0.1347, -0.1347, -0.1674, -0.1673, -0.1555, -0.1476, -0.1477, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1172, -0.1067, -0.1098, -0.0784, -0.0696, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0622, 0.0219, 0.0195, 0.0582, 0.0265, 0.0378, 0.0702, 0.151, 0.166, 0.2234, 0.2359, 0.2896, 0.2896, 0.312, 0.3006, 0.4058, 0.4862, 0.3342, 0.3855, 0.438, 0.4118, 0.37, 0.3525, 0.3425, 0.4581, 0.447, 0.4539, 0.3703, 0.4373, 0.4179, 0.4304, 0.4589, 0.5257, 0.4758, 0.4806, 0.4155, 0.3972, 0.3904, 0.3725, 0.3672, 0.4023, 0.3692, 0.3671, 0.372, 0.3419, 0.3372, 0.2049, 0.0957, 0.0274, 0.0833, 0.0771, 0.1138, 0.1783, 0.1609, 0.1037, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1389, 0.1981, 0.23, 0.2334, 0.2436, 0.2238, 0.2291, 0.2348, 0.2462, 0.3002, 0.3086, 0.3199, 0.2741, 0.3006, 0.2958, 0.3705, 0.3611, 0.386, 0.281, 0.2765, 0.2713, 0.294, 0.2778, 0.256, 0.2482, 0.2482, 0.2357, 0.207, 0.2115, 0.177, 0.1864, 0.1887, 0.235, 0.2403, 0.2343, 0.256, 0.2601, 0.2441, 0.2261, 0.1867, 0.2192, 0.2094, 0.1932, 0.1932, 0.1882, 0.189, 0.2302, 0.2044, 0.1978, 0.1994, 0.1924, 0.1983, 0.164, 0.1429, 0.1429, 0.1173, 0.1354, 0.0917, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.1378, 0.2298, 0.2168, 0.2333, 0.2641, 0.2645, 0.2691, 0.2888, 0.2738]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1918475581995221099", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T01:19:56+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are going to see $WTIC with a 4-handle soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bearish crude oil; expects WTI to print a $40-handle soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not only was this an under-rated tweet… but we are going to see $WTIC with a 4-handle soon. \n\nAlso, about the yen …", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In April/May/June I turned big oil bear big picture. \nI've been showing this chart of $WTIC to clients every week since. Yes, we can play the counter-trend bounces on geo-political stress, but overall, my strong view is that we could be closer to $40 in next yr or so.\n\nCiti out https://t.co/Z4LScXADxY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026294744788063484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026294744788063484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02052745833324554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02052745833324554, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767286454817944, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767286454817944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03575436236052765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03575436236052765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04411268803735291, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04411268803735291, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358325676825262, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358325676825262, "ret_p1w": 0.08385441128431137, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08385441128431137, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04928540083832633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04928540083832633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03456901044598504, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03456901044598504, "ret_p1m": 0.12057079664176973, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12057079664176973, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06275448583568632, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06275448583568632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.057816310806083404, "bench_c_p1m": 0.057816310806083404, "ret_p3m": 0.27609423923210397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27609423923210397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15109455501157676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15109455501157676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499968422052721, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499968422052721, "ret_p6m": 0.1446208211036617, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1446208211036617, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08162457194842099, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08162457194842099, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2262453930520827, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2262453930520827, "ret_p1y": 1.0747153457194076, "ret_signed_p1y": -1.0747153457194076, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7981399768477948, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7981399768477948, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765753688716128, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765753688716128, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12057079664176973, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06275448583568632, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06275448583568632, "price_path": [0.22, 0.2097, 0.2163, 0.241, 0.2549, 0.2237, 0.2248, 0.2156, 0.2156, 0.2339, 0.2418, 0.2468, 0.2081, 0.2181, 0.1886, 0.1841, 0.207, 0.206, 0.1756, 0.1754, 0.1451, 0.1405, 0.1558, 0.1366, 0.1456, 0.1672, 0.1483, 0.1589, 0.1658, 0.1578, 0.1611, 0.1821, 0.1831, 0.2006, 0.1996, 0.2092, 0.2102, 0.1988, 0.2399, 0.2359, 0.2464, 0.1584, 0.089, 0.0579, 0.0156, 0.0835, 0.0473, 0.0656, 0.0688, 0.0659, 0.0863, 0.114, 0.114, 0.1002, 0.1122, 0.0911, 0.0976, 0.1068, 0.0864, 0.0558, 0.0191, 0.0345, 0.0263, 0.0, 0.0358, 0.0183, 0.0518, 0.068, 0.0839, 0.1158, 0.102, 0.0837, 0.0919, 0.0984, 0.1008, 0.0837, 0.0765, 0.0901, 0.0901, 0.0787, 0.0885, 0.0773, 0.0766, 0.1151, 0.1206, 0.1118, 0.1212, 0.1445, 0.1552, 0.148, 0.1996, 0.2033, 0.2862, 0.2601, 0.3195, 0.3191, 0.3191, 0.3327, 0.2251, 0.1704, 0.1754, 0.1799, 0.1749, 0.1722, 0.1853, 0.212, 0.2055, 0.2055, 0.2262, 0.2339, 0.2334, 0.2088, 0.2392, 0.2124, 0.2067, 0.2055, 0.2211, 0.2174, 0.212, 0.2081, 0.207, 0.22, 0.2001, 0.2373, 0.2795, 0.2993, 0.2761, 0.2419, 0.2203, 0.2028, 0.1831, 0.1772, 0.1752, 0.1833, 0.1696, 0.1618, 0.1823, 0.1672, 0.1732, 0.1592, 0.1788, 0.1886, 0.1967, 0.2145, 0.1873, 0.1974, 0.2063, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.2307, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1645, 0.1711, 0.1767, 0.1979, 0.1704, 0.1754, 0.1902, 0.2132, 0.202, 0.1975, 0.1788, 0.1776, 0.2033, 0.2248, 0.2344, 0.2349, 0.1959, 0.1825, 0.1727, 0.147, 0.1498, 0.1684, 0.1736, 0.1789, 0.1626, 0.1126, 0.1268, 0.1063, 0.1061, 0.0872, 0.0899, 0.0875, 0.0946, 0.1324, 0.1751, 0.1733, 0.1724, 0.1446]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1899548830904786973", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-11T19:51:47+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am very bearish oil big picture. Last year said WTIC would fall into $60-40 range by end of 2025 (from $70-80 range 2024). Any spike on geopolitical tensions will be a short.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Very bearish crude oil; targets WTIC $60–40 by end-2025; any Iran-driven spike is a shorting opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can see that Iran escalation by Trump 💯 - all but the higher-for-longer oil call. I am very bearish oil big picture. Last year said WTIC would fall into $60-40 range by end of 2025 (from $70-80 range 2024). Any spike on geopolitical tensions will be a short. \n\nMAGA: Make America Go-It Alone 😆🎯", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0033207731426886378, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0033207731426886378, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011703346814472604, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011703346814472604, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021584910266804203, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021584910266804203, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016278422312238083, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016278422312238083, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "ret_p1w": 0.009811343786851445, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009811343786851445, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006373586768215755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006373586768215755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "ret_p1m": -0.05886794756043634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05886794756043634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.048705340260087326, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.048705340260087326, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "ret_p3m": -0.02520751953125, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02520751953125, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1061946944671257, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1061946944671257, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "ret_p6m": -0.03441507591391513, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03441507591391513, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.199304482111894, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.199304482111894, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "ret_p1y": -0.015698127026827824, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.015698127026827824, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.27018531374398014, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.27018531374398014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05886794756043634, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.048705340260087326, "alpha_c_stated": 0.048705340260087326, "price_path": [0.0569, 0.0761, 0.0673, 0.0578, 0.0654, 0.0552, 0.0485, 0.0451, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0509, 0.0657, 0.0715, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.1038, 0.1164, 0.1103, 0.1208, 0.1067, 0.1158, 0.1558, 0.1897, 0.1698, 0.2082, 0.1876, 0.1755, 0.1755, 0.1455, 0.1387, 0.1263, 0.1269, 0.1045, 0.1135, 0.0962, 0.0978, 0.0948, 0.1043, 0.0974, 0.0722, 0.0658, 0.0717, 0.0916, 0.1067, 0.0773, 0.0761, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0845, 0.0906, 0.0954, 0.0626, 0.0672, 0.0405, 0.0358, 0.0619, 0.053, 0.032, 0.0303, 0.0009, 0.0017, 0.0119, -0.0033, 0.0, 0.0216, 0.0045, 0.014, 0.0201, 0.0098, 0.0137, 0.0303, 0.0306, 0.0432, 0.0415, 0.0513, 0.0554, 0.0469, 0.0789, 0.0747, 0.0824, 0.0106, -0.0643, -0.0838, -0.1007, -0.0589, -0.0933, -0.0717, -0.0712, -0.0743, -0.0571, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0478, -0.0293, -0.0601, -0.0522, -0.0488, -0.0634, -0.088, -0.1214, -0.1058, -0.1202, -0.1377, -0.1081, -0.1235, -0.0957, -0.0789, -0.0649, -0.0389, -0.0468, -0.0699, -0.0568, -0.0537, -0.0557, -0.0706, -0.0762, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0809, -0.0666, -0.0802, -0.0824, -0.0563, -0.0429, -0.0513, -0.0435, -0.0252, -0.0145, -0.0192, 0.0287, 0.027, 0.1016, 0.0833, 0.1297, 0.1342, 0.1342, 0.131, 0.0341, -0.0284, -0.0201, -0.0152, -0.011, -0.0172, -0.0121, 0.0181, 0.0113, 0.0038, 0.0254, 0.0314, 0.0322, 0.0048, 0.0332, 0.011, 0.0041, 0.002, 0.0195, 0.0165, 0.0143, -0.0006, -0.0151, -0.0033, -0.0165, 0.0069, 0.0447, 0.0566, 0.0454, 0.0163, 0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0287, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0346, -0.0465, -0.0543, -0.0346, -0.0521, -0.0427, -0.0589, -0.0459, -0.0412, -0.0391, -0.0219, -0.0453, -0.0317, -0.0249, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.01, -0.0344]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1924656320096903658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T02:39:59+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is one way they can keep the rally going", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SLR relaxation for banks on treasuries seen as a bullish catalyst to keep the XLF/financials rally going.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is one way they can keep the rally going …\n\n#SLR $XLF #BondStuffing", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "“Who is going to buy our treasuries?”\n\nWe are…they are going to relax the SLR for banks regarding treasuries. \nhttps://t.co/mMhyu5Bv2e", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0054538284051022234, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0054538284051022234, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002080228116706051, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002080228116706051, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033736002883961724, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033736002883961724, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020451931969141857, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020451931969141857, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003601156622586754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003601156622586754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850775346555102, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016850775346555102, "ret_p1w": -0.007986006136047386, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007986006136047386, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005118539851431181, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005118539851431181, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028674662846162047, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028674662846162047, "ret_p1m": -0.021815313620409005, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021815313620409005, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02955766050991382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02955766050991382, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007742346889504814, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007742346889504814, "ret_p3m": 0.025317174858940472, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.025317174858940472, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06322506002962403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06322506002962403, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "ret_p6m": 0.05241942146593481, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05241942146593481, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10689669628163112, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10689669628163112, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931611774756593, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15931611774756593, "ret_p1y": 0.01959542347411225, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.01959542347411225, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22855598158541124, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22855598158541124, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021815313620409005, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02955766050991382, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02955766050991382, "price_path": [-0.0026, -0.0151, -0.0108, -0.011, -0.0131, -0.0077, 0.0127, 0.0041, -0.0312, -0.0255, -0.0417, -0.0467, -0.0681, -0.076, -0.0747, -0.0797, -0.0583, -0.0473, -0.0485, -0.038, -0.0366, -0.0401, -0.0232, -0.0177, -0.0206, -0.0226, -0.0415, -0.0298, -0.031, -0.023, -0.0711, -0.1391, -0.1412, -0.1445, -0.0801, -0.1058, -0.091, -0.0816, -0.0793, -0.0937, -0.0914, -0.0914, -0.1108, -0.0814, -0.0705, -0.0602, -0.0647, -0.0617, -0.052, -0.0503, -0.0504, -0.0308, -0.037, -0.0425, -0.0368, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0092, -0.0051, -0.0078, -0.0012, 0.0049, 0.0055, 0.0, -0.0205, -0.0216, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.008, -0.0146, -0.0095, -0.0074, -0.007, -0.0051, -0.0107, -0.0134, -0.0012, -0.0066, -0.0055, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0269, -0.0158, -0.0214, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0191, -0.0067, 0.0081, 0.0048, 0.0122, 0.0152, 0.0236, 0.0292, 0.0284, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0296, 0.0204, 0.0241, 0.0302, 0.0195, 0.0271, 0.0095, 0.0165, 0.0263, 0.0269, 0.0239, 0.0296, 0.0378, 0.0372, 0.0445, 0.0372, 0.032, 0.03, 0.0236, 0.0046, 0.0146, 0.0105, 0.0153, 0.004, 0.0134, 0.013, 0.0253, 0.0312, 0.0361, 0.0253, 0.0261, 0.0281, 0.0333, 0.03, 0.047, 0.041, 0.049, 0.0511, 0.0525, 0.0552, 0.0552, 0.0474, 0.0456, 0.0566, 0.0372, 0.038, 0.0425, 0.039, 0.056, 0.0515, 0.0492, 0.0468, 0.057, 0.058, 0.0603, 0.0589, 0.0542, 0.0512, 0.0485, 0.0561, 0.0614, 0.0563, 0.0469, 0.0461, 0.0534, 0.053, 0.0544, 0.0493, 0.0456, 0.0228, 0.0326, 0.044, 0.044, 0.015, 0.0232, 0.0352, 0.034, 0.0281, 0.0303, 0.0414, 0.0458, 0.0391, 0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0269, 0.0226, 0.0279, 0.0314, 0.0277, 0.035, 0.0387, 0.0434, 0.0524]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1897331271896064241", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-05T17:00:00+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still see lower... even before OPEC+ long-delayed supply restart", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish oil: WTIC below $67 still heading lower; Aramco's 32% dividend cut signals anticipation of further price declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Aramco plans to cut its dividend by 32% in 2025. This would be a very strong indication the world’s largest oil company is tightening its belt in anticipation of lower oil prices.\n\nh/t @Alyosha745", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As WTIC breaks $67, I still see lower... even before OPEC+ long-delayed supply restart\n\nIt also goes with my \"oil dumping with yields and equities\" since Feb 19th. https://t.co/mCkGcPc8gz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029407399327886052, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029407399327886052, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040040950096540184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040040950096540184, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010633550768654132, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010633550768654132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007540801326924029, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007540801326924029, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01850544790964026, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01850544790964026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017751367776947857, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017751367776947857, "ret_p1w": 0.02066057603714211, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02066057603714211, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06214868328512213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06214868328512213, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04148810724798002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04148810724798002, "ret_p1m": 0.009651627404795304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009651627404795304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08639428197543553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08639428197543553, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07674265457064022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07674265457064022, "ret_p3m": -0.05715574182431704, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05715574182431704, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07676431565765396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07676431565765396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.019608573833336918, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019608573833336918, "ret_p6m": -0.025787952758732136, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025787952758732136, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1453916820770449, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1453916820770449, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11960372931831276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11960372931831276, "ret_p1y": 0.0012064821897179723, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0012064821897179723, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.19511307053910154, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.19511307053910154, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1963195527288195, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1963195527288195, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009651627404795304, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08639428197543553, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08639428197543553, "price_path": [0.0134, 0.0311, 0.0344, 0.06, 0.0559, 0.0751, 0.0664, 0.0569, 0.0644, 0.0543, 0.0475, 0.0442, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.0499, 0.0647, 0.0706, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.1029, 0.1154, 0.1093, 0.1197, 0.1057, 0.1148, 0.1547, 0.1887, 0.1688, 0.2071, 0.1865, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.1445, 0.1377, 0.1253, 0.1259, 0.1035, 0.1125, 0.0952, 0.0968, 0.0938, 0.1033, 0.0964, 0.0712, 0.0648, 0.0707, 0.0906, 0.1057, 0.0763, 0.0751, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0835, 0.0896, 0.0944, 0.0617, 0.0662, 0.0395, 0.0348, 0.0609, 0.052, 0.0311, 0.0294, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.011, -0.0042, -0.0009, 0.0207, 0.0036, 0.0131, 0.0192, 0.0089, 0.0128, 0.0294, 0.0297, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0504, 0.0544, 0.046, 0.078, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.0097, -0.0651, -0.0846, -0.1015, -0.0597, -0.0941, -0.0725, -0.0721, -0.0751, -0.0579, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0487, -0.0302, -0.0609, -0.0531, -0.0496, -0.0642, -0.0888, -0.1222, -0.1066, -0.1209, -0.1384, -0.1089, -0.1243, -0.0965, -0.0798, -0.0658, -0.0398, -0.0477, -0.0707, -0.0576, -0.0546, -0.0566, -0.0715, -0.0771, -0.0721, -0.0721, -0.0817, -0.0674, -0.081, -0.0832, -0.0572, -0.0437, -0.0522, -0.0443, -0.0261, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0277, 0.0261, 0.1006, 0.0823, 0.1286, 0.1332, 0.1332, 0.13, 0.0332, -0.0293, -0.021, -0.0161, -0.0119, -0.0181, -0.013, 0.0172, 0.0104, 0.0029, 0.0244, 0.0305, 0.0312, 0.0039, 0.0323, 0.0101, 0.0032, 0.0011, 0.0185, 0.0155, 0.0134, -0.0015, -0.016, -0.0042, -0.0173, 0.006, 0.0437, 0.0556, 0.0445, 0.0154, -0.0003, -0.0173, -0.0296, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0354, -0.0474, -0.0552, -0.0354, -0.0529, -0.0436, -0.0597, -0.0468, -0.0421, -0.04, -0.0228, -0.0461, -0.0326, -0.0258]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1922252879290646718", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T11:29:34+00:00", "symbol": "shipping", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another 90-day tariff delay that causes another supply-shock to spike shipping costs & trigger further delays/stress that further inflates prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish shipping costs/sector: 90-day tariff pause triggers supply shock, sold-out ships, and spiking freight rates.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOAT", "BDRY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "BOAT global shipping ETF; BDRY dry bulk freight ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another 90-day tariff delay that causes another supply-shock to spike shipping costs &amp; trigger further delays/stress that further inflates prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Our ocean freight bookings from China to US increased 35% in the first day since the trade deal. A big backlog is looming, soon the ships will be sold out.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013716024029287566, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013716024029287566, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02027666476227702, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02027666476227702, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006560640732989453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006560640732989453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023757233667164535, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023757233667164535, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022479256627719657, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022479256627719657, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "ret_p1w": 0.028393992781308053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028393992781308053, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018152879425683444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018152879425683444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "ret_p1m": 0.054719901246956804, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.054719901246956804, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029977540131377767, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029977540131377767, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024742361115579037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024742361115579037, "ret_p3m": 0.29488303874049915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29488303874049915, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2058918770006236, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2058918770006236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "ret_p6m": 0.3622941942017188, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3622941942017188, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.201045596817643, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.201045596817643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "ret_p1y": 0.8913337328428875, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8913337328428875, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.652668541205922, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.652668541205922, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.054719901246956804, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.029977540131377767, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029977540131377767, "price_path": [0.0015, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0578, 0.045, 0.0901, 0.0712, 0.0517, 0.0675, 0.0799, 0.0483, 0.0684, 0.04, 0.0328, 0.0611, 0.0816, 0.0955, 0.089, 0.0992, 0.1436, 0.113, 0.124, 0.1239, 0.1106, 0.0948, 0.1193, 0.1249, 0.114, 0.0924, 0.0803, 0.0686, 0.0656, 0.0502, 0.0788, 0.0666, 0.0023, -0.0669, -0.0848, -0.1014, -0.0738, -0.0579, -0.0281, -0.0172, -0.0281, -0.0295, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0271, -0.0362, 0.0001, 0.0018, 0.0154, 0.0043, -0.0111, 0.0031, 0.0207, 0.0222, 0.0306, 0.0004, -0.0028, -0.0249, -0.0196, 0.0137, 0.0, 0.0238, 0.0364, 0.0442, 0.0233, 0.0284, 0.0227, 0.0046, 0.006, 0.006, 0.004, -0.0059, 0.0003, 0.004, 0.0011, 0.0055, 0.0278, 0.0286, 0.0245, 0.0257, 0.0383, 0.0547, 0.0664, 0.0961, 0.0717, 0.0682, 0.0647, 0.0647, 0.0668, 0.0757, 0.0556, 0.0619, 0.0497, 0.0419, 0.0344, 0.0434, 0.0665, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.1003, 0.1113, 0.1153, 0.1584, 0.2068, 0.2192, 0.1685, 0.2143, 0.2506, 0.2306, 0.2254, 0.263, 0.2638, 0.256, 0.2308, 0.237, 0.2071, 0.2079, 0.2382, 0.2415, 0.2364, 0.2924, 0.2896, 0.2906, 0.2949, 0.297, 0.3175, 0.3332, 0.323, 0.3103, 0.3203, 0.286, 0.3189, 0.3371, 0.3713, 0.3753, 0.3818, 0.3529, 0.3623, 0.3568, 0.3568, 0.3229, 0.3395, 0.3331, 0.334, 0.3617, 0.383, 0.3621, 0.3588, 0.3612, 0.3786, 0.3629, 0.3726, 0.3765, 0.36, 0.3436, 0.3694, 0.377, 0.3509, 0.3381, 0.3047, 0.2753, 0.2871, 0.3037, 0.3005, 0.3063, 0.3054, 0.2651, 0.2742, 0.3062, 0.3565, 0.3167, 0.3518, 0.3384, 0.3275, 0.3393, 0.3422, 0.3323, 0.3056, 0.3035, 0.3231, 0.327, 0.3566, 0.3589, 0.3501, 0.3325, 0.3423, 0.3623]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1907122483200725332", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-01T17:26:47+00:00", "symbol": "DAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still said Mar 13th it wasn't done with $42PT... from $70", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short DAL with $42 PT; author's short rec from Jan 22 doubled down Mar 3 and still sees further downside as of Mar 13.", "resolved_tickers": ["DAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Shares of Delta Air Lines were down more than 3% in afternoon trading after Jefferies downgraded the carrier, the most profitable in the U.S., to a hold rating from buy, and nearly halved its price target to $46, several weeks after the airline cut its first-quarter guidance.\"\n\n$DAL - rec'd this short to clients JAN 22nd & doubled-down MAR 3rd & still said Mar 13th it wasn't done with $42PT... from $70.\n\nNow they downgrade it? LOLOLOLOL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Big Shorts - my Top Ten version anyway ;-)\n\n$DAL $UAL $JETS $ARM $CVNA $ANF $IRM $INTU $NVO $FDX\n\nhttps://t.co/j1MkgIb2Vn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027817109120310768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027817109120310768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03063370718885361, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03343104689113052, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028165980685428416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005613937770819755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0223949971810129, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0223949971810129, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016066698888183684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012987281108056914, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006328298292829215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009407716072955985, "ret_p1w": -0.1541724431486018, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1541724431486018, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03921093194796843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03741350727901227, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11496151120063336, "bench_c_p1w": -0.11675893586958952, "ret_p1m": -0.018623204339003885, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018623204339003885, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007160969790793836, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014147071552539692, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011462234548210049, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004476132786464193, "ret_p3m": 0.17246304626032183, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17246304626032183, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07306763066867283, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05542505603361847, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.099395415591649, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11703799022670336, "ret_p6m": 0.3692478767236005, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3692478767236005, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18399256018511223, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20587395761193772, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18525531653848826, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16337391911166277, "ret_p1y": 0.5513682241513216, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5513682241513216, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.364948115000423, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2934579394525225, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18642010915089857, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25791028469879906, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.018623204339003885, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007160969790793836, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014147071552539692, "price_path": [0.3891, 0.3875, 0.4119, 0.4387, 0.4444, 0.4444, 0.5744, 0.5309, 0.5589, 0.5403, 0.5563, 0.5479, 0.5479, 0.6071, 0.5939, 0.5862, 0.5798, 0.5937, 0.5909, 0.6092, 0.6125, 0.582, 0.5634, 0.624, 0.624, 0.5972, 0.6024, 0.5566, 0.5227, 0.5598, 0.5065, 0.5377, 0.5377, 0.513, 0.5295, 0.4992, 0.411, 0.446, 0.4531, 0.451, 0.4085, 0.4173, 0.3779, 0.2893, 0.3383, 0.2956, 0.256, 0.1865, 0.1004, 0.0679, 0.0354, 0.1021, 0.1054, 0.0825, 0.1256, 0.1068, 0.1025, 0.1523, 0.1473, 0.1332, 0.0879, 0.0335, 0.0278, 0.0, 0.0224, -0.0875, -0.1219, -0.1209, -0.1542, 0.0436, -0.0721, -0.0363, -0.05, -0.0375, -0.0431, -0.037, -0.037, -0.0695, -0.049, -0.024, -0.0094, -0.0198, -0.0108, -0.008, -0.0186, -0.0217, 0.042, 0.0728, 0.0563, 0.0679, 0.1443, 0.1396, 0.2056, 0.2528, 0.1959, 0.1888, 0.2039, 0.2103, 0.1817, 0.1413, 0.1467, 0.133, 0.133, 0.168, 0.1491, 0.1467, 0.1441, 0.1467, 0.1545, 0.158, 0.1547, 0.2046, 0.2105, 0.2219, 0.1625, 0.1557, 0.1122, 0.1694, 0.1188, 0.1245, 0.1245, 0.116, 0.1408, 0.1718, 0.1422, 0.1578, 0.1725, 0.1628, 0.1585, 0.1852, 0.2025, 0.2025, 0.1822, 0.1945, 0.1987, 0.3425, 0.3394, 0.3739, 0.3172, 0.3136, 0.3321, 0.3309, 0.325, 0.3162, 0.3235, 0.2935, 0.2971, 0.3148, 0.2886, 0.2673, 0.2625, 0.2136, 0.2461, 0.2544, 0.2841, 0.2724, 0.2727, 0.2694, 0.3866, 0.4098, 0.3989, 0.4293, 0.4494, 0.4354, 0.401, 0.3723, 0.4637, 0.4333, 0.4509, 0.4535, 0.4703, 0.4658, 0.4658, 0.4504, 0.4537, 0.4366, 0.4516, 0.4653, 0.4397, 0.4566, 0.434, 0.4205, 0.3861, 0.3728, 0.3956, 0.411, 0.4179, 0.3972, 0.3939, 0.3692]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1890524105893400992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-14T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "cloud computing", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "From chips to cloud. (This theme keeps working for us.)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on cloud and select chip plays as hyperscaler capex rises 40%; theme continues working.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLOU", "SKYY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CLOU Global X Cloud Computing; SKYY First Trust Cloud ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From chips to cloud. (This theme keeps working for us.) And also select chip plays ;-)\n\nhttps://t.co/lz892lf5T8\n\nMAG4 AI Capex spending expected to jump 40% this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Jefferies: The initial reaction to DeepSeek, namely that the hyperscalers would spend less, has been abandoned. Companies are now on course to invest $320bn in capex this year, up from $230bn last year. https://t.co/xA7oDAx9y9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01085125607360471, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01085125607360471, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007924155417971535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007924155417971535, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01406940515330729, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01406940515330729, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01642442575225017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01642442575225017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "ret_p1w": -0.09307713508581117, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09307713508581117, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06486734464883748, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06486734464883748, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "ret_p1m": -0.1566619243543692, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1566619243543692, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08411801073795011, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08411801073795011, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "ret_p3m": -0.10389010249692832, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10389010249692832, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07853817427749321, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07853817427749321, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "ret_p6m": -0.11403699688369773, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11403699688369773, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1749574823243364, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1749574823243364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "ret_p1y": -0.22355394562130315, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22355394562130315, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3447128874305583, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3447128874305583, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1566619243543692, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08411801073795011, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08411801073795011, "price_path": [-0.0738, -0.059, -0.0492, -0.051, -0.0631, -0.0631, -0.0602, -0.0558, -0.0526, -0.0233, -0.0299, -0.0093, -0.0207, -0.0405, -0.0254, -0.0239, -0.0377, -0.026, -0.0294, -0.0724, -0.0734, -0.058, -0.0614, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0516, -0.0663, -0.0774, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0823, -0.0653, -0.0564, -0.0779, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.0941, -0.1004, -0.0904, -0.0731, -0.068, -0.0658, -0.0658, -0.048, -0.0419, -0.0377, -0.03, -0.0403, -0.0028, -0.0139, -0.0159, -0.0179, -0.0257, -0.0107, -0.0015, -0.0072, -0.0148, 0.0021, -0.0127, -0.0122, -0.0013, -0.0109, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.03, -0.0681, -0.0802, -0.0931, -0.0828, -0.1035, -0.0979, -0.121, -0.1224, -0.1054, -0.1438, -0.1443, -0.1853, -0.1836, -0.1751, -0.1994, -0.1716, -0.1594, -0.1701, -0.1567, -0.165, -0.1618, -0.1409, -0.1383, -0.1583, -0.1705, -0.1963, -0.2057, -0.1979, -0.1845, -0.2449, -0.2908, -0.2913, -0.306, -0.2243, -0.2571, -0.2512, -0.2485, -0.2434, -0.2559, -0.2589, -0.2589, -0.2834, -0.2643, -0.2389, -0.2048, -0.1946, -0.1931, -0.1851, -0.1875, -0.1795, -0.168, -0.1654, -0.1748, -0.1707, -0.1522, -0.1589, -0.1186, -0.1063, -0.105, -0.1101, -0.1039, -0.1101, -0.1122, -0.1329, -0.1253, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1199, -0.1222, -0.1248, -0.121, -0.1163, -0.1062, -0.1029, -0.1, -0.0922, -0.0934, -0.0976, -0.1057, -0.1071, -0.1244, -0.1091, -0.1143, -0.119, -0.119, -0.128, -0.1178, -0.1015, -0.1083, -0.0998, -0.0964, -0.0865, -0.0947, -0.0929, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.0803, -0.078, -0.0743, -0.093, -0.1124, -0.1038, -0.1027, -0.0992, -0.0857, -0.0775, -0.0779, -0.0764, -0.0682, -0.0735, -0.0698, -0.0652, -0.0704, -0.0768, -0.094, -0.1246, -0.1077, -0.1112, -0.0879, -0.1011, -0.1206, -0.1398, -0.1312, -0.114]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1890524105893400992", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-14T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And also select chip plays ;-)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on cloud and select chip plays as hyperscaler capex rises 40%; theme continues working.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH", "SOXX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SMH VanEck; SOXX iShares semiconductor ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From chips to cloud. (This theme keeps working for us.) And also select chip plays ;-)\n\nhttps://t.co/lz892lf5T8\n\nMAG4 AI Capex spending expected to jump 40% this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Jefferies: The initial reaction to DeepSeek, namely that the hyperscalers would spend less, has been abandoned. Companies are now on course to invest $320bn in capex this year, up from $230bn last year. https://t.co/xA7oDAx9y9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015239596430976443, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015239596430976443, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012312495775343268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012312495775343268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010498376194347014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010498376194347014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008143355595404134, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008143355595404134, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "ret_p1w": -0.06273991372511994, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06273991372511994, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03453012328814625, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03453012328814625, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "ret_p1m": -0.10779635966305845, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10779635966305845, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03525244604663935, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03525244604663935, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "ret_p3m": -0.04857720432095042, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04857720432095042, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.023225276101515313, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023225276101515313, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "ret_p6m": 0.14967473040788548, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14967473040788548, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08875424496724682, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08875424496724682, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "ret_p1y": 0.48057063456834803, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.48057063456834803, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3594116927590929, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3594116927590929, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10779635966305845, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03525244604663935, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03525244604663935, "price_path": [-0.0462, -0.0488, -0.0461, -0.0566, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0554, -0.0318, -0.0334, -0.0189, -0.0365, -0.033, -0.0403, -0.0638, -0.0406, -0.0489, -0.0237, -0.0073, -0.0207, -0.0545, -0.0685, -0.0548, -0.0257, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0174, -0.0265, -0.0435, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0442, -0.0179, 0.0126, -0.0064, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0365, -0.0429, -0.0382, -0.0176, -0.0148, 0.0105, 0.0105, 0.0246, 0.0413, 0.0397, 0.0189, -0.0712, -0.06, -0.0599, -0.0392, -0.0436, -0.0617, -0.0516, -0.0313, -0.0296, -0.0437, -0.0284, -0.0275, -0.0296, -0.017, -0.0152, -0.0152, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0126, -0.0183, -0.0427, -0.0627, -0.0436, -0.101, -0.086, -0.1213, -0.1145, -0.0967, -0.1344, -0.1113, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1373, -0.1414, -0.1144, -0.1024, -0.1153, -0.1078, -0.1121, -0.1212, -0.0967, -0.101, -0.1286, -0.1455, -0.1694, -0.1719, -0.1697, -0.1639, -0.2422, -0.2992, -0.2831, -0.3069, -0.1832, -0.2449, -0.2268, -0.2237, -0.2196, -0.2512, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2722, -0.2572, -0.2297, -0.1881, -0.1783, -0.1816, -0.1867, -0.1818, -0.1804, -0.153, -0.159, -0.1669, -0.1511, -0.1436, -0.1359, -0.0778, -0.0489, -0.0418, -0.0466, -0.0486, -0.0522, -0.0538, -0.0703, -0.0758, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0599, -0.0673, -0.0621, -0.0797, -0.0659, -0.0429, -0.0301, -0.033, -0.027, -0.0074, 0.0133, 0.0112, 0.0144, -0.0107, 0.0172, 0.0097, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.006, 0.0123, 0.0501, 0.0619, 0.0699, 0.0718, 0.0724, 0.0641, 0.0846, 0.0919, 0.0919, 0.0743, 0.0916, 0.0971, 0.1066, 0.1057, 0.0963, 0.1124, 0.1079, 0.1147, 0.1124, 0.1133, 0.0957, 0.0949, 0.0961, 0.0955, 0.1124, 0.1163, 0.1268, 0.0946, 0.079, 0.0982, 0.0885, 0.0836, 0.101, 0.1102, 0.1089, 0.1391, 0.1497]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1909742765870579741", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-08T22:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "HYD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Selling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade. Careful...", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Muni selloff is forced/collateral-driven not fundamental; current dip in muni ETFs is a buying opportunity, not a true outflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💩 Munis are not, repeat, not MONEY GOES HOME mantra. It's already home!\n\nSelling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade - like gold since April 2nd and bonds since April 7th.\n\nCareful...\n\n---\n\nForeign holdings of municipal bonds ~3%. \n\n$HYD $ITM $MUB $VTEB $SUB\nMUB has $39.52 billion AUM. \n\nNot usual for these to dump like they have. https://t.co/biwm1Kskvh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00968521846114001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00968521846114001, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08535327595925046, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08535327595925046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006053291891279455, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006053291891279455, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04987235446454019, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04987235446454019, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "ret_p1w": 0.004842730642837578, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004842730642837578, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04669335545936826, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04669335545936826, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "ret_p1m": 0.012940524177229573, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012940524177229573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017025353076100203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017025353076100203, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "ret_p3m": 0.0188748320463632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0188748320463632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11581739422650461, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11581739422650461, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "ret_p6m": 0.04631878004953616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04631878004953616, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18050328278929673, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18050328278929673, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "ret_p1y": 0.04495734382335326, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.04495734382335326, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12408292544015898, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12408292544015898, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012940524177229573, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017025353076100203, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017025353076100203, "price_path": [0.0279, 0.0255, 0.0251, 0.0297, 0.0305, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0337, 0.0341, 0.0315, 0.0335, 0.0372, 0.0352, 0.0319, 0.0342, 0.0372, 0.0394, 0.042, 0.0456, 0.046, 0.042, 0.0422, 0.0414, 0.033, 0.039, 0.0404, 0.0404, 0.038, 0.0392, 0.0398, 0.0444, 0.045, 0.0464, 0.0508, 0.0508, 0.0528, 0.0524, 0.0452, 0.0438, 0.0417, 0.0419, 0.0431, 0.0377, 0.0369, 0.0411, 0.0401, 0.0405, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.0413, 0.0397, 0.0377, 0.0361, 0.0253, 0.021, 0.0261, 0.0289, 0.0341, 0.0309, 0.0361, 0.0351, -0.0008, -0.0097, 0.0, 0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0002, 0.0022, 0.0048, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0022, -0.0034, 0.0028, 0.0099, 0.0119, 0.0129, 0.0153, 0.0169, 0.0164, 0.0154, 0.0119, 0.0152, 0.0178, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.0123, 0.0144, 0.0087, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0107, 0.0077, 0.0028, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0054, 0.0107, 0.0101, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0071, 0.0053, 0.0084, 0.0071, 0.0035, 0.0065, 0.0059, 0.0075, 0.0124, 0.0092, 0.0114, 0.0136, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0151, 0.0155, 0.0159, 0.0151, 0.0163, 0.0159, 0.0203, 0.0211, 0.0225, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0189, 0.0179, 0.0201, 0.0179, 0.013, 0.0099, 0.0072, 0.0038, -0.0017, -0.0036, 0.0003, 0.0001, -0.0013, -0.0015, -0.0001, -0.0007, 0.0036, 0.0003, 0.0024, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0112, 0.0083, 0.0077, 0.0075, 0.0087, 0.0102, 0.0106, 0.0075, 0.0079, 0.0087, 0.0077, 0.0092, 0.0061, 0.01, 0.0087, 0.0102, 0.0122, 0.013, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0131, 0.017, 0.0207, 0.0306, 0.0358, 0.036, 0.0413, 0.0442, 0.0427, 0.0456, 0.0471, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0464, 0.0448, 0.0436, 0.0427, 0.0421, 0.0419, 0.046, 0.0462, 0.0476, 0.0463]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1909742765870579741", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-08T22:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "ITM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Selling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade. Careful...", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Muni selloff is forced/collateral-driven not fundamental; current dip in muni ETFs is a buying opportunity, not a true outflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["ITM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💩 Munis are not, repeat, not MONEY GOES HOME mantra. It's already home!\n\nSelling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade - like gold since April 2nd and bonds since April 7th.\n\nCareful...\n\n---\n\nForeign holdings of municipal bonds ~3%. \n\n$HYD $ITM $MUB $VTEB $SUB\nMUB has $39.52 billion AUM. \n\nNot usual for these to dump like they have. https://t.co/biwm1Kskvh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006061999901625481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006061999901625481, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08897649451876499, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08897649451876499, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004714711560916296, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004714711560916296, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04853377413417703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04853377413417703, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "ret_p1w": 0.0076333340866521215, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0076333340866521215, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0494839589031828, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0494839589031828, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "ret_p1m": 0.01798428754440695, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01798428754440695, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011981589708922824, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011981589708922824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "ret_p3m": 0.027716278906943392, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027716278906943392, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10697594736592442, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10697594736592442, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "ret_p6m": 0.06008939677340308, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06008939677340308, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1667326660654298, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1667326660654298, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "ret_p1y": 0.0666403448249886, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0666403448249886, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10239992443852364, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10239992443852364, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01798428754440695, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.011981589708922824, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011981589708922824, "price_path": [0.0217, 0.0177, 0.0155, 0.0202, 0.0195, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.021, 0.021, 0.0197, 0.0228, 0.0277, 0.0259, 0.0259, 0.0275, 0.0262, 0.0273, 0.0293, 0.034, 0.0331, 0.0322, 0.0315, 0.0304, 0.0271, 0.0306, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.0302, 0.0322, 0.0342, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0407, 0.0423, 0.0409, 0.0427, 0.0425, 0.0387, 0.0384, 0.0348, 0.0328, 0.036, 0.0319, 0.0286, 0.0263, 0.025, 0.0263, 0.0272, 0.0261, 0.0266, 0.0257, 0.0232, 0.0212, 0.0156, 0.0122, 0.0163, 0.0189, 0.0229, 0.0213, 0.0272, 0.0287, 0.0052, -0.0061, 0.0, 0.0047, -0.004, 0.0027, 0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0027, -0.0009, 0.0038, 0.0099, 0.0128, 0.0146, 0.0155, 0.0177, 0.0189, 0.0178, 0.0153, 0.0189, 0.0202, 0.018, 0.0184, 0.0148, 0.0164, 0.0142, 0.0164, 0.0166, 0.0164, 0.0169, 0.0117, 0.0142, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0173, 0.0162, 0.0169, 0.0164, 0.0143, 0.0149, 0.0172, 0.0174, 0.0152, 0.0174, 0.0167, 0.0186, 0.0213, 0.0195, 0.0204, 0.0219, 0.0213, 0.0213, 0.0222, 0.0226, 0.0224, 0.0222, 0.0231, 0.0237, 0.0258, 0.0273, 0.0288, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0277, 0.027, 0.0293, 0.0291, 0.0268, 0.0264, 0.0243, 0.0234, 0.0227, 0.0223, 0.025, 0.0252, 0.0241, 0.025, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0273, 0.0255, 0.027, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0344, 0.0324, 0.033, 0.0324, 0.0333, 0.0335, 0.0344, 0.033, 0.0333, 0.0328, 0.0333, 0.0328, 0.0317, 0.0358, 0.0349, 0.0355, 0.0367, 0.0362, 0.0364, 0.0364, 0.0342, 0.0372, 0.0395, 0.0461, 0.0506, 0.0508, 0.0547, 0.0572, 0.0577, 0.0599, 0.0613, 0.0608, 0.0611, 0.0617, 0.0613, 0.0602, 0.0599, 0.0577, 0.0565, 0.0592, 0.0592, 0.061, 0.0601]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1909742765870579741", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-08T22:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "MUB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not usual for these to dump like they have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Muni selloff is forced/collateral-driven not fundamental; current dip in muni ETFs is a buying opportunity, not a true outflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["MUB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💩 Munis are not, repeat, not MONEY GOES HOME mantra. It's already home!\n\nSelling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade - like gold since April 2nd and bonds since April 7th.\n\nCareful...\n\n---\n\nForeign holdings of municipal bonds ~3%. \n\n$HYD $ITM $MUB $VTEB $SUB\nMUB has $39.52 billion AUM. \n\nNot usual for these to dump like they have. https://t.co/biwm1Kskvh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009194834042523858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009194834042523858, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08584366037786662, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08584366037786662, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0034844420734500003, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034844420734500003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040334620499810736, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040334620499810736, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "ret_p1w": 0.0032907512437181374, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0032907512437181374, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04514137606024882, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04514137606024882, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "ret_p1m": 0.011172212762516454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011172212762516454, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018793664490813322, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018793664490813322, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "ret_p3m": 0.017566616193611218, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017566616193611218, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11712561007925659, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11712561007925659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "ret_p6m": 0.04616494839829488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04616494839829488, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.180657114440538, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.180657114440538, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "ret_p1y": 0.05287675338297859, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05287675338297859, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11616351588053364, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11616351588053364, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011172212762516454, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018793664490813322, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018793664490813322, "price_path": [0.0146, 0.0129, 0.0117, 0.0173, 0.0179, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0215, 0.0209, 0.0182, 0.0208, 0.0259, 0.0245, 0.0231, 0.0248, 0.0232, 0.0247, 0.0272, 0.0308, 0.0296, 0.0274, 0.0275, 0.0262, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0254, 0.0274, 0.0287, 0.031, 0.0312, 0.0346, 0.036, 0.0341, 0.0367, 0.0359, 0.0325, 0.0311, 0.0277, 0.0272, 0.0282, 0.0251, 0.0207, 0.0214, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0235, 0.0216, 0.0188, 0.017, 0.012, 0.0108, 0.0154, 0.0178, 0.0212, 0.019, 0.024, 0.0234, 0.0048, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.0035, -0.0098, -0.0011, 0.001, 0.0033, 0.0027, 0.0027, -0.0034, -0.0018, 0.0016, 0.0055, 0.0068, 0.009, 0.0103, 0.0136, 0.0131, 0.0118, 0.0093, 0.0132, 0.0145, 0.0112, 0.012, 0.0114, 0.0135, 0.0095, 0.0133, 0.0143, 0.0136, 0.0111, 0.0062, 0.0064, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.01, 0.0083, 0.0092, 0.0079, 0.005, 0.0052, 0.0076, 0.0075, 0.0042, 0.0069, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.013, 0.0108, 0.0116, 0.0127, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0116, 0.0128, 0.0141, 0.0139, 0.0154, 0.0151, 0.0167, 0.0176, 0.0182, 0.0174, 0.0174, 0.0176, 0.016, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0142, 0.0131, 0.0113, 0.009, 0.0075, 0.0073, 0.0103, 0.011, 0.0102, 0.0098, 0.011, 0.0111, 0.0134, 0.0111, 0.0135, 0.0185, 0.0183, 0.0192, 0.0178, 0.0182, 0.0177, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0196, 0.0179, 0.018, 0.0179, 0.0184, 0.0179, 0.0166, 0.0197, 0.0199, 0.0207, 0.0218, 0.0227, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0199, 0.0225, 0.0256, 0.0325, 0.0381, 0.0366, 0.0407, 0.0445, 0.044, 0.046, 0.0465, 0.0463, 0.0455, 0.0444, 0.0445, 0.044, 0.0432, 0.0423, 0.0424, 0.0439, 0.0446, 0.0465, 0.0462]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1909742765870579741", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-04-08T22:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "VTEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not usual for these to dump like they have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Muni selloff is forced/collateral-driven not fundamental; current dip in muni ETFs is a buying opportunity, not a true outflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["VTEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💩 Munis are not, repeat, not MONEY GOES HOME mantra. It's already home!\n\nSelling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade - like gold since April 2nd and bonds since April 7th.\n\nCareful...\n\n---\n\nForeign holdings of municipal bonds ~3%. \n\n$HYD $ITM $MUB $VTEB $SUB\nMUB has $39.52 billion AUM. \n\nNot usual for these to dump like they have. https://t.co/biwm1Kskvh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005977037889739134, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005977037889739134, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08906145653065134, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08906145653065134, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.000412339231043779, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.000412339231043779, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04340672334221696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04340672334221696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "ret_p1w": 0.0039157506389539964, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0039157506389539964, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045766375455484676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045766375455484676, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "ret_p1m": 0.01085273257748165, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01085273257748165, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019113144675848126, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019113144675848126, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "ret_p3m": 0.018388595949752506, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.018388595949752506, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1163036303231153, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1163036303231153, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "ret_p6m": 0.047831596143736776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.047831596143736776, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1789904666950961, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1789904666950961, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "ret_p1y": 0.05527676451259089, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.05527676451259089, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11376350475092134, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11376350475092134, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01085273257748165, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019113144675848126, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019113144675848126, "price_path": [0.0163, 0.014, 0.0128, 0.0179, 0.0187, 0.021, 0.021, 0.0226, 0.0228, 0.0208, 0.0222, 0.0269, 0.0259, 0.0247, 0.0265, 0.0249, 0.0263, 0.0286, 0.0323, 0.031, 0.0296, 0.0298, 0.0282, 0.0235, 0.0278, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0263, 0.0278, 0.0294, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.036, 0.0374, 0.0356, 0.0384, 0.0372, 0.0339, 0.0324, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0304, 0.0267, 0.023, 0.0221, 0.0228, 0.0232, 0.024, 0.0238, 0.0248, 0.0232, 0.0211, 0.0193, 0.0152, 0.0123, 0.0182, 0.0199, 0.0239, 0.021, 0.0264, 0.0274, 0.0068, -0.006, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.008, -0.0004, 0.0016, 0.0039, 0.0027, 0.0027, -0.0033, -0.0016, 0.0019, 0.0052, 0.0068, 0.008, 0.0099, 0.014, 0.0123, 0.0111, 0.009, 0.0125, 0.014, 0.0109, 0.0111, 0.0119, 0.0129, 0.0086, 0.0125, 0.0137, 0.0125, 0.0113, 0.0071, 0.0065, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0106, 0.0092, 0.0102, 0.0086, 0.0073, 0.0067, 0.0091, 0.01, 0.0075, 0.0104, 0.0087, 0.0106, 0.0141, 0.0118, 0.0116, 0.0125, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0129, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0135, 0.0147, 0.0149, 0.0162, 0.0169, 0.0178, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0184, 0.0165, 0.0173, 0.0171, 0.0146, 0.0142, 0.0126, 0.0109, 0.0095, 0.0082, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0088, 0.008, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0117, 0.0099, 0.0117, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.019, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0196, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0183, 0.0177, 0.0211, 0.0204, 0.0206, 0.0213, 0.0217, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.02, 0.0229, 0.0254, 0.0315, 0.0378, 0.0373, 0.0413, 0.0455, 0.0449, 0.0476, 0.0478, 0.0486, 0.049, 0.0482, 0.0478, 0.0474, 0.0459, 0.0453, 0.0447, 0.0461, 0.0465, 0.0478, 0.0478]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1909742765870579741", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-04-08T22:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "SUB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not usual for these to dump like they have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Muni selloff is forced/collateral-driven not fundamental; current dip in muni ETFs is a buying opportunity, not a true outflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["SUB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💩 Munis are not, repeat, not MONEY GOES HOME mantra. It's already home!\n\nSelling in munis is likely forced selling from a collateral trade - like gold since April 2nd and bonds since April 7th.\n\nCareful...\n\n---\n\nForeign holdings of municipal bonds ~3%. \n\n$HYD $ITM $MUB $VTEB $SUB\nMUB has $39.52 billion AUM. \n\nNot usual for these to dump like they have. https://t.co/biwm1Kskvh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019051635304022652, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019051635304022652, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09313333088998821, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09313333088998821, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503849442039047, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010480569307338428, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010480569307338428, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04486711950399458, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04486711950399458, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043819062573260736, "ret_p1w": 0.002286390778356129, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002286390778356129, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04413701559488681, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04413701559488681, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185062481653068, "ret_p1m": 0.006460585966108434, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006460585966108434, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02350529128722134, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02350529128722134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029965877253329776, "ret_p3m": 0.01894486174507648, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01894486174507648, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11574736452779133, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11574736452779133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1346922262728678, "ret_p6m": 0.0283222289829681, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0283222289829681, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19849983385586478, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19849983385586478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682206283883288, "ret_p1y": 0.037093972404384834, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.037093972404384834, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1319462968591274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1319462968591274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16904026926351223, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006460585966108434, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02350529128722134, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02350529128722134, "price_path": [-0.0022, -0.0025, -0.0027, -0.002, -0.0027, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.0001, 0.0002, -0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0021, 0.0028, 0.0035, 0.0038, 0.0041, 0.0051, 0.005, 0.0041, 0.0046, 0.0049, 0.0039, 0.0043, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0042, 0.0049, 0.0046, 0.0061, 0.0062, 0.0058, 0.0081, 0.0059, 0.0069, 0.0063, 0.0059, 0.0055, 0.0054, 0.0054, 0.0056, 0.0048, 0.0044, 0.0041, 0.0039, 0.0045, 0.0043, 0.0042, 0.0044, 0.0036, 0.0034, 0.0035, 0.0029, 0.0019, 0.003, 0.004, 0.0056, 0.0064, 0.008, 0.0106, 0.0004, -0.0019, 0.0, 0.001, -0.0004, 0.0011, 0.0014, 0.0023, 0.0022, 0.0022, 0.0009, 0.0006, 0.002, 0.0032, 0.0034, 0.004, 0.005, 0.0056, 0.0054, 0.005, 0.0053, 0.0062, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0071, 0.0066, 0.0074, 0.0073, 0.0081, 0.0084, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0081, 0.0088, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0102, 0.0096, 0.011, 0.0112, 0.011, 0.0114, 0.0122, 0.0125, 0.012, 0.0127, 0.013, 0.0132, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0143, 0.0146, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0153, 0.0155, 0.0158, 0.0159, 0.0161, 0.0166, 0.0169, 0.0174, 0.018, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0189, 0.0191, 0.0197, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0197, 0.0199, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0207, 0.0213, 0.0215, 0.0218, 0.0225, 0.0223, 0.0228, 0.0244, 0.0252, 0.0253, 0.0255, 0.0257, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0264, 0.0265, 0.0257, 0.0263, 0.026, 0.0263, 0.0268, 0.0267, 0.0272, 0.0271, 0.0273, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0279, 0.0276, 0.0284, 0.03, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0315, 0.0324, 0.0316, 0.0311, 0.0308, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0301, 0.0303, 0.0292, 0.0282, 0.0273, 0.0272, 0.0274, 0.028, 0.0283]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1886874303570096495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-04T20:27:45+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$106 was my pre-market point for this to top and turn until months from now when it likely makes another run into the hot-hot sun ($126)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "PLTR expected to top and pull back from $106 before making another run to $126 months later; near-term bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 2/4/25\n\nI’m back from a mini-vaca/long weekend with much to catch up on! On again/ Off again tariffs is clearly the theme. That, and much head-scratching and agenda-pushing around DeepSeek and NVDA/semis. You have my detailed thoughts on this - https://t.co/T4fWmdYzrU - so just going to summarize my market positioning view here: THE GAME is bullish until either the macro flows or fundamentals disrupt them.\n\nPLTR was a nice gift to return to: PLTR hit my “$100 Q1” price target post earnings this morning. Let’s review this trade as I have been as laser focused on it since May 2023 when it broke-out > 8.94 on the biggest volume I had ever seen come into a earnings beat. Client Tim can attest, this has been front-and-center for both of us for nearly 2 yrs AND at $40 I said “$79 by EOY, $100 Q1”. And that’s exactly what has happened. Thank you options market for it showed the way - despite the fact that PLTR beat on a measly $39M, moving the market cap $39B or that, as Ross Hendricks spotted, “Stripping out stock comp from income and you have a stock trading at over 700x earnings”. Point is: I have a ‘mom-alert’ for fraud and story-stocks, and this is probably both, but for now: $106 was my pre-market point for this to top and turn until months from now when it likely makes another run into the hot-hot sun ($126).\n\nMORE BELOW BUT TO FULLY UNLOCK UPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG\n\nhttps://t.co/nvzhw27ooN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19348939240099683, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.19348939240099683, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.18682582812139037, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.18682582812139037, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023788897015740718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023788897015740718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027843320078518863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027843320078518863, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "ret_p1w": 0.08465762073114336, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08465762073114336, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07879169522618956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07879169522618956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "ret_p1m": -0.13194649269031566, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13194649269031566, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10083878680032277, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10083878680032277, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "ret_p3m": 0.19695653074837716, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19695653074837716, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2523175308957939, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2523175308957939, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "ret_p6m": 0.5275931601005965, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5275931601005965, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4669899442298544, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4669899442298544, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "ret_p1y": 0.5978040158992377, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5978040158992377, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.439455800770737, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.439455800770737, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13194649269031566, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10083878680032277, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10083878680032277, "price_path": [-0.4618, -0.4376, -0.4198, -0.4236, -0.4154, -0.43, -0.3666, -0.41, -0.3934, -0.4017, -0.409, -0.3802, -0.3773, -0.3668, -0.3639, -0.3639, -0.3539, -0.3606, -0.3166, -0.3273, -0.3078, -0.2648, -0.3021, -0.3172, -0.3016, -0.295, -0.2674, -0.2704, -0.2835, -0.3113, -0.2853, -0.2242, -0.2229, -0.2066, -0.2066, -0.2089, -0.2384, -0.2567, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2758, -0.2306, -0.2688, -0.3259, -0.3429, -0.3429, -0.3522, -0.3742, -0.3652, -0.3437, -0.3331, -0.3088, -0.3088, -0.2963, -0.2597, -0.2393, -0.2393, -0.2734, -0.2273, -0.2318, -0.2178, -0.2055, -0.1935, 0.0, -0.0238, 0.0718, 0.0676, 0.1235, 0.0847, 0.1306, 0.1356, 0.1476, 0.1476, 0.2002, 0.0793, 0.0235, -0.0239, -0.1266, -0.154, -0.1398, -0.1836, -0.1821, -0.1966, -0.1871, -0.1319, -0.2251, -0.1822, -0.2644, -0.2483, -0.1944, -0.2332, -0.1694, -0.1587, -0.192, -0.1708, -0.1583, -0.124, -0.0682, -0.0706, -0.1112, -0.1323, -0.1732, -0.1871, -0.1844, -0.1578, -0.1948, -0.2872, -0.2503, -0.2553, -0.1138, -0.1468, -0.1472, -0.108, -0.0523, -0.1071, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.1255, -0.0948, -0.029, 0.038, 0.0862, 0.1042, 0.118, 0.1407, 0.1191, 0.197, 0.192, 0.0484, 0.064, 0.1475, 0.1297, 0.1409, 0.2337, 0.2538, 0.2339, 0.2474, 0.2167, 0.2096, 0.1613, 0.1778, 0.1876, 0.1876, 0.1884, 0.1919, 0.1781, 0.2692, 0.2717, 0.2826, 0.2521, 0.1549, 0.2301, 0.2719, 0.2791, 0.3136, 0.302, 0.3233, 0.3619, 0.331, 0.348, 0.348, 0.3224, 0.3476, 0.3795, 0.3763, 0.3893, 0.2592, 0.3129, 0.2586, 0.2725, 0.294, 0.294, 0.3399, 0.3456, 0.3785, 0.3724, 0.3686, 0.4365, 0.431, 0.4534, 0.4831, 0.4786, 0.4619, 0.4357, 0.4893, 0.4915, 0.5294, 0.5206, 0.5048, 0.5276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910817401844748367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T22:09:04+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is up +19% as USD continues to crash lower", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold, bearish USD: dollar collapse + rising yields signal loss of control; gold continues higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Gold is up +19% as USD continues to crash lower. The risk of US yields continuing to rise with gold as dollar falls is a sure sign that they are losing control.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/5Ba4a9OeBa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0054293254114596845, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0054293254114596845, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015037617482781873, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015037617482781873, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608292071322189, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608292071322189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004337213595847489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004337213595847489, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007138120512446999, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007138120512446999, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028009069165995104, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028009069165995104, "ret_p1w": 0.06284320371793384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06284320371793384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10966026467029266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966026467029266, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817060952358824, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817060952358824, "ret_p1m": 0.01107713412978173, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01107713412978173, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07743758615895846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07743758615895846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851472028874019, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851472028874019, "ret_p3m": 0.035134751560178756, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.035134751560178756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12911455383855586, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12911455383855586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642493053987346, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642493053987346, "ret_p6m": 0.2408262721758081, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2408262721758081, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.007427624060561522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.007427624060561522, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24825389623636962, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24825389623636962, "ret_p1y": 0.49251127135421036, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.49251127135421036, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2631906195765006, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2631906195765006, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932065177770977, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932065177770977, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01107713412978173, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07743758615895846, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07743758615895846, "price_path": [-0.1536, -0.143, -0.1437, -0.1437, -0.1404, -0.1364, -0.1378, -0.1334, -0.1458, -0.1367, -0.136, -0.1191, -0.1224, -0.1157, -0.1097, -0.104, -0.1088, -0.1053, -0.0906, -0.0912, -0.0923, -0.087, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0852, -0.0891, -0.0826, -0.0834, -0.0802, -0.0937, -0.0899, -0.1003, -0.1148, -0.0982, -0.0921, -0.0903, -0.0899, -0.0936, -0.0979, -0.0911, -0.0829, -0.0688, -0.0656, -0.0639, -0.053, -0.0527, -0.0514, -0.0582, -0.0598, -0.0565, -0.0574, -0.0451, -0.0369, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0203, -0.0336, -0.0602, -0.0791, -0.0738, -0.0463, -0.0155, 0.0054, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.038, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0628, 0.0612, 0.0223, 0.0397, 0.0242, 0.0398, 0.0356, 0.0313, 0.0016, 0.0085, 0.0332, 0.0645, 0.0551, 0.0286, 0.0408, 0.0047, 0.0111, -0.0073, 0.005, -0.0071, 0.0075, 0.0236, 0.0326, 0.0273, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0294, 0.0277, 0.035, 0.0262, 0.0517, 0.0454, 0.0526, 0.0455, 0.0368, 0.0397, 0.0362, 0.0364, 0.0549, 0.0706, 0.0598, 0.0567, 0.0577, 0.0577, 0.051, 0.054, 0.0351, 0.0382, 0.0402, 0.0215, 0.028, 0.0412, 0.0447, 0.0396, 0.0398, 0.0398, 0.0319, 0.0333, 0.0351, 0.0472, 0.0458, 0.039, 0.0461, 0.0422, 0.0462, 0.0615, 0.0731, 0.0591, 0.0519, 0.0403, 0.0325, 0.037, 0.0284, 0.0276, 0.0446, 0.0529, 0.0553, 0.0547, 0.061, 0.0731, 0.0463, 0.045, 0.048, 0.0407, 0.0409, 0.0396, 0.0339, 0.0432, 0.0412, 0.0529, 0.0527, 0.0574, 0.0623, 0.0708, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.1075, 0.1212, 0.1126, 0.1274, 0.1352, 0.1368, 0.1369, 0.1348, 0.1387, 0.149, 0.1511, 0.1488, 0.137, 0.1456, 0.1672, 0.1797, 0.1645, 0.166, 0.178, 0.1922, 0.1985, 0.2068, 0.1981, 0.2109, 0.2321, 0.2408]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1895525356075171922", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-28T17:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I fully expect HYOAS credit spreads to rise", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish US equities, HY credit spreads widening, and USD weakening as tariff-driven slowdown, trapped Fed, and capital outflows to ROW compound.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "HYG iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, you know by now the Atlanta Fed Nowcast GDP for Q1 just went negative. And you are thinking: BIG SLOWDOWN!\n\nBut keep in mind it was driven by folks pulling forward imports on tariff risk so exports relatively cratered. Goods went negative; Services fell marginally. Personal income & outlays weak. \n\n\"We have priced a very aggressive forward curve now and the degree of that being realized is HOW much credit spreads rise.\" @Globalflows \n\nI have written to clients I fully expect HYOAS credit spreads to rise - and laid out a case why.\n\nThis sell-off in equities is just starting as commodities roll-over hurting credit, and credit vol hits equities...\n\nPoint is: FED IS TRAPPED or at least on sidelines given sticky inflation, expectations & swaps. \n\nROW is cutting rates on falling global credit demand attracting capital into their markets. And China is/will be seen as more reliable AI partner for ROW. Translation: money will continue to flow abroad OUT OF US.\n\nAmerican businesses will put this together & start their labor shedding, which will trigger the real economic contraction that future Atlanta GDP reports will show - but this one is not it. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "After recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (@BEA_News) and the @uscensusbureau, the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to first-quarter real GDP growth fell from -0.41 percentage points to -3.70 percentage points while the nowcast of first-quarter real https://t.co/sXg8qrsnrn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002745722502396686, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002745722502396686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012620081617217282, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012620081617217282, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015365804119613968, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015365804119613968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020816556234194428, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020816556234194428, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015438322042884867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015438322042884867, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01751997766630431, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01751997766630431, "ret_p1w": -0.003836682164991889, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003836682164991889, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026894717113760125, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026894717113760125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030731399278752014, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030731399278752014, "ret_p1m": -0.010858229493319382, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010858229493319382, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04486108142189826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04486108142189826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.055719310915217646, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055719310915217646, "ret_p3m": 0.0052568444130729475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0052568444130729475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013136535001117, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013136535001117, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.007879690588044053, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007879690588044053, "ret_p6m": 0.03675652895299675, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03675652895299675, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.050973959676001046, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.050973959676001046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0877304886289978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0877304886289978, "ret_p1y": 0.06867682692765964, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.06867682692765964, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09404957652403301, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09404957652403301, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16272640345169265, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16272640345169265, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010858229493319382, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04486108142189826, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04486108142189826, "price_path": [-0.0156, -0.0132, -0.0141, -0.0125, -0.0137, -0.0132, -0.013, -0.0157, -0.0185, -0.0167, -0.0188, -0.0289, -0.0299, -0.0238, -0.0264, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0208, -0.0241, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0205, -0.0191, -0.0173, -0.0205, -0.0193, -0.0193, -0.0244, -0.0246, -0.0234, -0.0148, -0.0137, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0102, -0.0116, -0.0104, -0.0092, -0.0085, -0.0089, -0.0095, -0.0076, -0.0096, -0.0109, -0.0077, -0.0051, -0.0066, -0.0097, -0.0077, -0.0081, -0.0102, -0.0057, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0055, -0.0047, -0.0041, -0.006, -0.0047, -0.0022, -0.0009, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0022, -0.0017, -0.0055, -0.0038, -0.0076, -0.0111, -0.01, -0.0155, -0.011, -0.0086, -0.0104, -0.0038, -0.0052, -0.0067, -0.0038, -0.0043, -0.0084, -0.0102, -0.012, -0.0109, -0.0086, -0.0065, -0.0189, -0.0329, -0.0412, -0.0456, -0.02, -0.036, -0.0331, -0.0283, -0.0257, -0.0258, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.026, -0.0222, -0.0173, -0.0084, -0.0076, -0.0071, -0.0044, -0.0097, -0.0084, -0.0054, -0.0058, -0.0065, -0.0056, -0.0059, -0.0053, 0.0046, 0.0064, 0.0027, 0.0046, 0.0058, 0.0053, 0.0048, -0.002, 0.0001, -0.0002, -0.0002, 0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0068, 0.0077, 0.0075, 0.0094, 0.0113, 0.0091, 0.009, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.0117, 0.0128, 0.0098, 0.0118, 0.0107, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0154, 0.0173, 0.0201, 0.0198, 0.0228, 0.0222, 0.0262, 0.0249, 0.0268, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.024, 0.0226, 0.0254, 0.0244, 0.0231, 0.0239, 0.0208, 0.0235, 0.0245, 0.0259, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.0296, 0.0283, 0.029, 0.0285, 0.0291, 0.0269, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0311, 0.0306, 0.0316, 0.0306, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.033, 0.0357, 0.033, 0.0338, 0.033, 0.0328, 0.0324, 0.0305, 0.0388, 0.0368]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1898164482343673932", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-08T00:10:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My bet: $BTCUSD will not significantly rise until/unless QE is restarted. And if/when QE is foolishly restarted, after the initial risk-on excitement, bonds will crash with stocks and bitcoin. Bitcoin is trapped.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC: won't significantly rise without QE, and even if QE restarts, bitcoin ultimately crashes; trapped in fiscal dominance regime.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Financial conditions are not easing. They are being reset to push down dollar, yields and oil so as to unwind equity leverage from Wall St to stimulate real growth from Main St . \n\nAll the examples of BTC troughs triggered by falling USD were in fact global central bank POLICY INTERFERENCE & LIQUIDITY INFUSIONS - led by US - to suppress dollar, yields and volatility.\n\nNow we’re in Fiscal Dominance (& trade wars) where rising yields inflate assets & falling yields deflate them - opposite to the prior macro landscape of rate repression to keep speculation bid. \n\nThis time really is different!\n\nMy bet: $BTCUSD will not significantly rise until/unless QE is restarted. \n\nAnd if/when QE is foolishly restarted, after the initial risk-on excitement, bonds will crash with stocks and bitcoin.\n\nBitcoin is trapped.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The move in the DXY this week was absolutely massive.\n \nThis kind of decline has only happened three other times in the last twelve years. And when we look at what it meant for Bitcoin going forward, it's pretty eye-opening...\n \nBack in August 2015, when we saw that -4 standard https://t.co/WUwWhvX5NK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10455192628482646, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10455192628482646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07718743974049036, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.05513944554449135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05513944554449135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0634523358012723, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.07059144679875717, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07059144679875717, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058871340202398814, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.028778674616716793, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028778674616716793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08290298216285408, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.29343392661590184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29343392661590184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.232329504355407, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.4159907545650181, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4159907545650181, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26701200030364447, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.13461869047012687, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13461869047012687, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3856261155372812, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.028778674616716793, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08290298216285408, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2883, 0.2739, 0.2919, 0.3501, 0.3516, 0.2739, 0.2414, 0.2448, 0.2057, 0.2565, 0.2644, 0.2198, 0.1991, 0.1797, 0.1897, 0.2023, 0.2337, 0.2493, 0.2998, 0.2342, 0.2103, 0.1777, 0.2059, 0.2035, 0.2292, 0.2798, 0.2703, 0.3302, 0.299, 0.3516, 0.3199, 0.3238, 0.3347, 0.3, 0.2903, 0.3205, 0.3337, 0.304, 0.2913, 0.2463, 0.2303, 0.23, 0.2292, 0.2407, 0.2192, 0.2464, 0.2304, 0.2416, 0.2195, 0.2166, 0.2305, 0.2522, 0.224, 0.1641, 0.1299, 0.074, 0.0786, 0.0744, 0.0959, 0.1107, 0.154, 0.1455, 0.1046, 0.0, 0.0551, 0.0661, 0.0323, 0.0692, 0.0706, 0.0533, 0.106, 0.0718, 0.0702, 0.1142, 0.1138, 0.1066, 0.1101, 0.0741, 0.0512, 0.0845, 0.0503, 0.0582, 0.0676, 0.009, -0.0288, 0.0515, 0.0139, 0.062, 0.0765, 0.0654, 0.0701, 0.081, 0.0754, 0.1144, 0.1899, 0.1931, 0.1962, 0.2061, 0.2094, 0.2006, 0.1996, 0.2287, 0.234, 0.2065, 0.2327, 0.2356, 0.3146, 0.3112, 0.3092, 0.3265, 0.3184, 0.321, 0.3178, 0.3448, 0.3598, 0.3966, 0.422, 0.3662, 0.3936, 0.3879, 0.3727, 0.3452, 0.3243, 0.3483, 0.3425, 0.3336, 0.2934, 0.3293, 0.4044, 0.404, 0.384, 0.3489, 0.3509, 0.3599, 0.332, 0.3355, 0.333, 0.3155, 0.3444, 0.3503, 0.3671, 0.362, 0.3636, 0.3642, 0.3459, 0.3862, 0.3962, 0.3757, 0.3791, 0.3873, 0.4176, 0.4769, 0.4964, 0.5261, 0.4997, 0.512, 0.519, 0.5026, 0.4954, 0.528, 0.5122, 0.5073, 0.4979, 0.5016, 0.5016, 0.5004, 0.474, 0.443, 0.4653, 0.4534, 0.4647, 0.4962, 0.4859, 0.5119, 0.5302, 0.5706, 0.5072, 0.4949, 0.4803, 0.4368, 0.4551, 0.4315, 0.4882, 0.4023, 0.4237, 0.4163, 0.4331, 0.3805, 0.3912, 0.416]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1885105624318451751", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-30T23:19:39+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see no weakness in either right now. Quite the opposite.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "No weakness in gold or SLV; sees continued strength, especially with tariff risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaBurnVictim I see no weakness in either right now. Quite the opposite. And especially if Trump does the stupid Mexico/Canada 25% tariffs Saturday. Dumb &amp; Dumber. It only makes us MORE dependent on China.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @SamanthaLaDuc do you think gold and SLV sell off with the broader market? The case for both is quite strong globally imo..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaBurnVictim", "ret_m1d": -0.001972500659191967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001972500659191967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007322886016292607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007322886016292607, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005337271410283728, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005337271410283728, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012066824119594588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012066824119594588, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "ret_p1w": 0.02065283256618411, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02065283256618411, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02239747410903603, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02239747410903603, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "ret_p1m": 0.031636729397506835, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031636729397506835, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06162913211437371, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06162913211437371, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "ret_p3m": 0.17485300078111599, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17485300078111599, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2506428371326458, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2506428371326458, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "ret_p6m": 0.18119587927710534, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18119587927710534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11651767553684889, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11651767553684889, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "ret_p1y": 0.6910195510318449, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6910195510318449, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5519133484407226, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5519133484407226, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.031636729397506835, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06162913211437371, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06162913211437371, "price_path": [-0.02, -0.0497, -0.0345, -0.041, -0.0635, -0.0716, -0.0809, -0.0833, -0.085, -0.0676, -0.0592, -0.0539, -0.046, -0.0337, -0.0622, -0.0604, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0502, -0.0585, -0.0566, -0.0537, -0.0607, -0.0604, -0.0511, -0.0386, -0.0294, -0.0436, -0.0552, -0.0529, -0.0565, -0.0746, -0.0733, -0.0637, -0.0681, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0599, -0.0664, -0.0693, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0508, -0.0583, -0.0594, -0.0541, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0446, -0.0374, -0.0308, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.021, -0.016, -0.0174, -0.0113, -0.0215, -0.0131, -0.0169, -0.002, 0.0, 0.0053, 0.0152, 0.0215, 0.0188, 0.0207, 0.0379, 0.0342, 0.0352, 0.0454, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.047, 0.0475, 0.0481, 0.0471, 0.0528, 0.0389, 0.0405, 0.0246, 0.0182, 0.0316, 0.0406, 0.0428, 0.0375, 0.038, 0.0289, 0.041, 0.0455, 0.0641, 0.0645, 0.0703, 0.0828, 0.0872, 0.0858, 0.0771, 0.0723, 0.077, 0.0761, 0.0905, 0.0986, 0.1144, 0.1122, 0.1145, 0.1078, 0.0818, 0.0586, 0.0644, 0.1037, 0.1307, 0.1523, 0.1457, 0.1517, 0.1892, 0.1839, 0.1839, 0.2206, 0.2032, 0.1744, 0.1915, 0.1786, 0.1954, 0.1837, 0.1749, 0.1504, 0.1525, 0.1869, 0.2201, 0.2018, 0.1782, 0.1867, 0.1533, 0.1582, 0.1338, 0.1519, 0.138, 0.1527, 0.1741, 0.1828, 0.1723, 0.198, 0.198, 0.1777, 0.175, 0.182, 0.1742, 0.2054, 0.1947, 0.2024, 0.1964, 0.1803, 0.1859, 0.1862, 0.1926, 0.2075, 0.2233, 0.2058, 0.2065, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1995, 0.2031, 0.1842, 0.1878, 0.1865, 0.165, 0.179, 0.1895, 0.196, 0.1879, 0.1879, 0.1888, 0.1764, 0.1816, 0.1843, 0.1956, 0.1913, 0.1863, 0.1922, 0.1896, 0.1927, 0.2111, 0.2225, 0.2074, 0.2, 0.1889, 0.1812]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1885105624318451751", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-30T23:19:39+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see no weakness in either right now. Quite the opposite.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "No weakness in gold or SLV; sees continued strength, especially with tariff risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaBurnVictim I see no weakness in either right now. Quite the opposite. And especially if Trump does the stupid Mexico/Canada 25% tariffs Saturday. Dumb &amp; Dumber. It only makes us MORE dependent on China.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @SamanthaLaDuc do you think gold and SLV sell off with the broader market? The case for both is quite strong globally imo..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaBurnVictim", "ret_m1d": 0.007365804376946894, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007365804376946894, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002015419019846254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002015419019846254, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005612060544637254, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005612060544637254, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012341613253948114, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012341613253948114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "ret_p1w": 0.018239230220590708, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018239230220590708, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01998387176344263, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01998387176344263, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "ret_p1m": 0.008418090816955992, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008418090816955992, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.038410493533822865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.038410493533822865, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "ret_p3m": 0.03823220427349128, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03823220427349128, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11402204062502108, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11402204062502108, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "ret_p6m": 0.2150122452316452, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2150122452316452, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15033404149138874, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15033404149138874, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "ret_p1y": 1.9950893968476633, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9950893968476633, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.855983194256541, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.855983194256541, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008418090816955992, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.038410493533822865, "alpha_c_stated": 0.038410493533822865, "price_path": [0.0435, -0.0028, 0.021, -0.0011, -0.0189, -0.0154, -0.0316, -0.0246, -0.033, -0.0046, -0.0004, -0.0144, -0.0165, -0.0014, -0.0309, -0.0249, -0.0372, -0.0372, -0.0207, -0.0253, -0.0081, 0.0007, 0.0018, -0.0091, 0.0165, 0.0168, 0.0186, -0.0109, -0.0267, -0.0249, -0.0246, -0.0582, -0.0698, -0.0558, -0.0533, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0481, -0.0614, -0.073, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0554, -0.0537, -0.0445, -0.0414, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0316, -0.0544, -0.0459, -0.0193, -0.0165, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0165, -0.0161, -0.026, -0.021, -0.0368, -0.0309, -0.0179, 0.0074, 0.0, 0.0056, 0.0249, 0.0295, 0.0305, 0.0182, 0.0242, 0.0172, 0.0291, 0.0333, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0491, 0.0456, 0.0505, 0.0379, 0.0326, 0.0112, 0.0151, -0.0039, -0.007, 0.0084, 0.0172, 0.0442, 0.0414, 0.0379, 0.021, 0.0509, 0.06, 0.0782, 0.0772, 0.0807, 0.0821, 0.0786, 0.0698, 0.053, 0.0509, 0.0726, 0.0709, 0.0986, 0.0873, 0.087, 0.0744, 0.0789, 0.0133, -0.0502, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0158, -0.0081, 0.0239, 0.0305, 0.0316, 0.0438, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0449, 0.0347, 0.0719, 0.0719, 0.054, 0.0589, 0.0463, 0.0382, 0.0309, 0.0214, 0.034, 0.06, 0.0344, 0.0333, 0.0452, 0.0393, 0.0498, 0.026, 0.0386, 0.0277, 0.0319, 0.0568, 0.0702, 0.0533, 0.068, 0.068, 0.0603, 0.0516, 0.0628, 0.0523, 0.108, 0.1028, 0.0993, 0.1382, 0.1466, 0.1712, 0.1656, 0.1557, 0.1596, 0.1564, 0.1585, 0.1834, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1477, 0.1561, 0.1438, 0.1578, 0.1694, 0.1442, 0.1508, 0.148, 0.1659, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.1726, 0.1677, 0.1575, 0.1838, 0.2287, 0.2147, 0.2017, 0.2069, 0.2154, 0.214, 0.2399, 0.2529, 0.2518, 0.2448, 0.2157, 0.215]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1908214600065339563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-04T17:46:28+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the SELLING UNDER THE SURFACE that I spied for clients DEC 2nd for NYSE and FEB 19th for QQQ & SPX is not done", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Selling under the surface in NYSE, QQQ, and SPX is not done; money still going home (risk-off), near-term bounce notwithstanding.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DAY 2 OF GLOBAL MARGIN CALL would make MONDAY GAP DOWN best bet for bull bounce.\n\nBut a Sunday night CR bill passing would set up futures for a strong bounce. \n\nBig Picture however... the SELLING UNDER THE SURFACE that I spied for clients DEC 2nd for NYSE and FEB 19th for QQQ & SPX is not done.\n\nMONEY WILL STILL GO HOME... but slower.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@dapstats @MotherCabriniNY @MarketsPuke @bbm010 @dedkatbouns @DiMartinoBooth @dailyjobcuts @ChallengerGray @WARNTracker @MacroEdgeRes @coloradotravis @Danstringer74 @jennablan @m3_melody @JCOviedo6 @tyillc @GlobalMktObserv @PekalaLaw @PiQSuite @GratkeWealth @texasrunnerDFW @SamanthaLaDuc @spomboy ...because everyone knows global trade wars only last 3-5 business days https://t.co/hJMcQPbt1Z", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06622185894936594, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06622185894936594, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004038651950438732, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004038651950438732, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024132042363624873, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024132042363624873, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004194515073878691, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004194515073878691, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_p1w": 0.07507029866649106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07507029866649106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01834935358934353, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01834935358934353, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_p1m": 0.14966748973796906, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14966748973796906, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.034424444683740285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.034424444683740285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_p3m": 0.3046077240818512, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3046077240818512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07304454236327951, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07304454236327951, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_p6m": 0.41977724692734, 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{"unit_id": "quote:1908214600065339563", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-04T17:46:28+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the SELLING UNDER THE SURFACE that I spied for clients DEC 2nd for NYSE and FEB 19th for QQQ & SPX is not done", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Selling under the surface in NYSE, QQQ, and SPX is not done; money still going home (risk-off), near-term bounce notwithstanding.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DAY 2 OF GLOBAL MARGIN CALL would make MONDAY GAP DOWN best bet for bull bounce.\n\nBut a Sunday night CR bill passing would set up futures for a strong bounce. \n\nBig Picture however... the SELLING UNDER THE SURFACE that I spied for clients DEC 2nd for NYSE and FEB 19th for QQQ & SPX is not done.\n\nMONEY WILL STILL GO HOME... but slower.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@dapstats @MotherCabriniNY @MarketsPuke @bbm010 @dedkatbouns @DiMartinoBooth @dailyjobcuts @ChallengerGray @WARNTracker @MacroEdgeRes @coloradotravis @Danstringer74 @jennablan @m3_melody @JCOviedo6 @tyillc @GlobalMktObserv @PekalaLaw @PiQSuite @GratkeWealth @texasrunnerDFW @SamanthaLaDuc @spomboy ...because everyone knows global trade wars only last 3-5 business days https://t.co/hJMcQPbt1Z", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06218320699892721, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017813108375162034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05672094507714753, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11524304505422878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2315631817185717, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3210248698774605, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "ret_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3075279675723521, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11524304505422878, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.1615, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.1454, 0.1472, 0.1488, 0.1697, 0.1674, 0.1791, 0.1791, 0.1899, 0.1966, 0.2031, 0.1996, 0.1827, 0.1928, 0.1875, 0.1938, 0.1875, 0.1795, 0.1874, 0.1922, 0.1964, 0.1854, 0.1935, 0.1944, 0.1905, 0.2031, 0.203, 0.203, 0.2066, 0.2094, 0.2044, 0.1838, 0.1784, 0.1725, 0.1731, 0.1544, 0.1724, 0.1519, 0.1382, 0.1505, 0.1301, 0.1364, 0.1061, 0.0969, 0.1027, 0.088, 0.1105, 0.1191, 0.107, 0.119, 0.1158, 0.1162, 0.1362, 0.1389, 0.1253, 0.1223, 0.0997, 0.1071, 0.1102, 0.1172, 0.0622, 0.0, -0.0018, -0.0174, 0.0858, 0.0382, 0.0567, 0.067, 0.064, 0.0403, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.017, 0.0435, 0.0597, 0.082, 0.0898, 0.0902, 0.0971, 0.0975, 0.1053, 0.1217, 0.1152, 0.1059, 0.1106, 0.1183, 0.1169, 0.1538, 0.1614, 0.1629, 0.1686, 0.176, 0.1773, 0.1733, 0.1535, 0.154, 0.1461, 0.1461, 0.1699, 0.1632, 0.1678, 0.1665, 0.173, 0.1797, 0.1794, 0.1737, 0.1858, 0.1868, 0.1936, 0.1902, 0.1949, 0.1815, 0.1928, 0.1826, 0.1824, 0.1824, 0.1796, 0.1913, 0.2044, 0.2051, 0.2145, 0.2206, 0.2264, 0.226, 0.2316, 0.2413, 0.2413, 0.232, 0.2313, 0.2387, 0.2422, 0.2379, 0.2402, 0.2349, 0.239, 0.2466, 0.2457, 0.2481, 0.2483, 0.2589, 0.2593, 0.2646, 0.2643, 0.261, 0.2594, 0.2546, 0.2341, 0.2528, 0.2465, 0.256, 0.255, 0.2648, 0.2623, 0.2757, 0.2801, 0.2802, 0.2772, 0.2769, 0.27, 0.2666, 0.2615, 0.2809, 0.2753, 0.2806, 0.2835, 0.2881, 0.2804, 0.2804, 0.2709, 0.2778, 0.2885, 0.2847, 0.2879, 0.2909, 0.2946, 0.3054, 0.3049, 0.3119, 0.3101, 0.3084, 0.3146, 0.3211, 0.3273, 0.3201, 0.3159, 0.3098, 0.3173, 0.321]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1898467760004640812", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-08T20:16:00+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "will they wait until it's $50 to buy? ;-) $WTIC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish oil: $20B SPR refill signals supply/war-shock hedging; sarcastic Q implies oil won't drop to $50 before govt buys.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump admin commits to a new bitcoin reserve - but with seized crypto so no new investment.\n\nMore importantly, Friday they announced a sizable $20B investment in the purchase of oil for the SPR. Think: supply +/or war shocks.\n\nQ: will they wait until it's $50 to buy? ;-) $WTIC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "*US ENERGY CHIEF PLANS TO SEEK $20 BILLION TO REFILL OIL RESERVE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016927591459641178, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016927591459641178, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01043689508469492, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01043689508469492, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00789952833143226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00789952833143226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016212418588213207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016212418588213207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "ret_p1w": 0.025673574700156854, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025673574700156854, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013953468103798494, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013953468103798494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "ret_p1m": -0.10650302302249726, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10650302302249726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005178633757073614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005178633757073614, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "ret_p3m": -0.013542094692313378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013542094692313378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07464651695280822, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07464651695280822, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "ret_p6m": 0.08280438421669944, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08280438421669944, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06617437004467419, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06617437004467419, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "ret_p1y": 0.12470029684576356, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.12470029684576356, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12630712822139079, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12630712822139079, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10650302302249726, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005178633757073614, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005178633757073614, "price_path": [0.0344, 0.0327, 0.0468, 0.0396, 0.034, 0.0289, 0.0243, 0.0312, 0.0306, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0316, 0.0418, 0.0554, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0852, 0.0992, 0.0904, 0.1027, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.1375, 0.16, 0.1521, 0.1897, 0.17, 0.1641, 0.1641, 0.1442, 0.1346, 0.1174, 0.1229, 0.0993, 0.1124, 0.0972, 0.0968, 0.1006, 0.0978, 0.0934, 0.0734, 0.0643, 0.0701, 0.0918, 0.1041, 0.0766, 0.0776, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0856, 0.0925, 0.0969, 0.0629, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0418, 0.0619, 0.0611, 0.0343, 0.0341, 0.0075, 0.0034, 0.0169, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.0269, 0.0103, 0.0196, 0.0257, 0.0186, 0.0216, 0.0401, 0.0409, 0.0563, 0.0554, 0.0639, 0.0647, 0.0547, 0.0908, 0.0873, 0.0966, 0.0192, -0.0419, -0.0693, -0.1065, -0.0467, -0.0786, -0.0625, -0.0597, -0.0622, -0.0443, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.032, -0.0214, -0.0401, -0.0343, -0.0262, -0.0442, -0.0711, -0.1034, -0.0899, -0.0971, -0.1202, -0.0887, -0.1041, -0.0746, -0.0604, -0.0464, -0.0183, -0.0305, -0.0466, -0.0394, -0.0336, -0.0315, -0.0466, -0.0529, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0509, -0.0423, -0.0522, -0.0528, -0.0189, -0.0141, -0.0219, -0.0135, 0.0069, 0.0164, 0.01, 0.0554, 0.0587, 0.1316, 0.1086, 0.161, 0.1605, 0.1605, 0.1725, 0.0779, 0.0298, 0.0341, 0.0381, 0.0337, 0.0313, 0.0429, 0.0663, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0789, 0.0856, 0.0852, 0.0635, 0.0903, 0.0667, 0.0616, 0.0607, 0.0743, 0.0711, 0.0663, 0.0629, 0.0619, 0.0734, 0.0559, 0.0886, 0.1257, 0.1432, 0.1227, 0.0927, 0.0736, 0.0583, 0.0409, 0.0357, 0.034, 0.041, 0.0291, 0.0221, 0.0402, 0.0269, 0.0322, 0.0199, 0.0371, 0.0457, 0.0529, 0.0686, 0.0446, 0.0535, 0.0614, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0828]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1897716421477777643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-06T18:30:27+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not taking profits on long bond trade as trades won't go lower next 4yrs", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Endorses Fitzpatrick view: hold long bonds 4yrs, long HK equity indexes on China-US deal necessity.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THIS is real...\n\nconsumer & corporate confidence is falling off a cliff. Dawn Fitzpatrick, Soros CIO\n\nShe thinks Bessent will change the SLR to allow banks to buy Treasuries that won't be punitive while relieving the basis trade leverage that HFs took on post Covid.\n\nNot taking profits on long bond trade as trades won't go lower next 4yrs. \n\nAlso long Hong Kong equity indexes on expectations of China-US deal out of economic necessity. \"Money forced into that market.\"\n\nRussia dropping out of OPEC+ is the wildcard!\n\nBond issuance out of EU is going materially higher, so likelihood of a failed auction out of Europe in next 2yrs. UK & France most vulnerable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I love this lady, great insights (like you) https://t.co/6THoYJp33h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0033183272697034916, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0033183272697034916, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014753846306932106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014753846306932106, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018072173576635597, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018072173576635597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032082308577223717, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032082308577223717, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008813334104289972, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008813334104289972, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056051032465676, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056051032465676, "ret_p1w": 0.0027655255123006928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0027655255123006928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03993964467513289, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03993964467513289, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0371741191628322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0371741191628322, "ret_p1m": 0.030793092083604146, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030793092083604146, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14587737675464563, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14587737675464563, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11508428467104148, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11508428467104148, "ret_p3m": -0.049245304263122236, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.049245304263122236, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09320009271922625, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09320009271922625, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04395478845610401, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04395478845610401, "ret_p6m": -0.02413350822662874, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02413350822662874, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15717333124459132, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15717333124459132, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13303982301796258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13303982301796258, "ret_p1y": 0.03389113731021087, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03389113731021087, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1716116824765439, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1716116824765439, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20550281978675478, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20550281978675478, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03389113731021087, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1716116824765439, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1716116824765439, "price_path": [0.0236, 0.0188, 0.0092, -0.0031, -0.0133, -0.0103, -0.0079, -0.0203, -0.0351, -0.0296, -0.0385, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.035, -0.0429, -0.0353, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0378, -0.0409, -0.0451, -0.0559, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.061, -0.0613, -0.0628, -0.0467, -0.0436, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0334, -0.0384, -0.0459, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.031, -0.0329, -0.0293, -0.0357, -0.0278, -0.0249, -0.0088, -0.0092, -0.0156, -0.0186, -0.0249, -0.0381, -0.0221, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0285, -0.0273, -0.0236, -0.0118, -0.009, 0.0081, 0.0141, 0.0069, 0.0192, 0.024, 0.0114, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.0032, 0.0072, 0.0, -0.006, 0.0028, -0.0025, 0.0024, 0.0034, 0.0086, 0.0093, 0.0033, -0.007, -0.0071, -0.0136, -0.0165, -0.0029, 0.007, 0.0157, 0.015, 0.0197, 0.0308, -0.0003, -0.0192, -0.0134, -0.0406, -0.0354, -0.0285, -0.025, -0.0196, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0453, -0.0399, -0.0306, -0.0204, -0.0132, -0.007, 0.0014, -0.0067, -0.0118, -0.0225, -0.0279, -0.0247, -0.0206, -0.0315, -0.03, -0.0391, -0.043, -0.0493, -0.041, -0.0384, -0.0412, -0.0481, -0.0644, -0.0595, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0447, -0.0489, -0.0401, -0.0386, -0.0476, -0.0492, -0.0338, -0.0331, -0.0454, -0.0444, -0.0395, -0.0366, -0.0251, -0.0345, -0.0442, -0.0326, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0327, -0.0296, -0.0225, -0.0213, -0.0164, -0.0226, -0.013, -0.0106, -0.0168, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.033, -0.0342, -0.0241, -0.0235, -0.0369, -0.039, -0.0457, -0.0444, -0.0446, -0.0431, -0.0346, -0.0287, -0.0341, -0.0358, -0.0298, -0.036, -0.0198, -0.0248, -0.0243, -0.0104, -0.0077, -0.0046, -0.0104, -0.0121, -0.0164, -0.0152, -0.0202, -0.0121, -0.0194, -0.0264, -0.0292, -0.0236, -0.0214, -0.0263, -0.0191, -0.0219, -0.0224, -0.0236, -0.0171, -0.0241]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1886532788431581505", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-03T21:50:41+00:00", "symbol": "China technology", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We can go back to focusing on China tech again", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on China tech as tariff delay removes overhang and refocuses attention on the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tariffs delayed. Again.\n\nWe can go back to focusing on China tech again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "My Sunday Sermon\n\nhttps://t.co/NXzg6cZi2R", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030493238631781605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030493238631781605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023829674352175145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023829674352175145, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011620328957906878, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011620328957906878, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015674752020685023, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015674752020685023, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "ret_p1w": 0.04440236210627768, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04440236210627768, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03853643660132389, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03853643660132389, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "ret_p1m": 0.1502198997135179, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1502198997135179, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1813276056035108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1813276056035108, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "ret_p3m": 0.0488490850710851, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0488490850710851, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10421008521850184, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10421008521850184, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "ret_p6m": 0.1028467162886183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1028467162886183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04224350041787617, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04224350041787617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "ret_p1y": 0.29765401021258464, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.29765401021258464, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13930579508408392, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13930579508408392, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1502198997135179, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1813276056035108, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1813276056035108, "price_path": [0.0529, -0.0109, 0.0039, -0.0374, -0.0377, -0.0576, -0.0579, -0.0497, -0.0496, -0.0368, -0.0501, -0.0799, -0.0771, -0.0831, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0494, -0.0391, -0.0448, -0.0578, -0.0512, -0.0397, 0.0487, -0.0094, -0.019, -0.0195, -0.0306, -0.0548, -0.0397, -0.0578, -0.05, -0.0412, -0.0455, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.091, -0.089, -0.102, -0.0994, -0.106, -0.106, -0.1329, -0.1294, -0.1027, -0.094, -0.0965, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0616, -0.0654, -0.0693, -0.0359, -0.0327, -0.0148, -0.0214, 0.009, -0.0209, -0.0305, 0.0, -0.0116, 0.0097, 0.0274, 0.0593, 0.0444, 0.0725, 0.0848, 0.1246, 0.1246, 0.1224, 0.1157, 0.1322, 0.1658, 0.1039, 0.1102, 0.1295, 0.1094, 0.0769, 0.057, 0.0876, 0.1502, 0.1708, 0.1721, 0.1273, 0.1532, 0.1401, 0.1312, 0.1647, 0.1985, 0.1856, 0.175, 0.1341, 0.1094, 0.1125, 0.0913, 0.0952, 0.1158, 0.0813, 0.077, 0.08, 0.0801, 0.0647, -0.0264, -0.0935, -0.1254, -0.0557, -0.0665, -0.0299, -0.0176, -0.0261, -0.0506, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0441, -0.0196, -0.0011, 0.0002, -0.0018, -0.0031, 0.0016, 0.0047, 0.0031, 0.0488, 0.0486, 0.0595, 0.0298, 0.0398, 0.0257, 0.0779, 0.0677, 0.0777, 0.0505, 0.0489, 0.0492, 0.0505, 0.0399, 0.0336, 0.0338, 0.0338, 0.0202, 0.0082, 0.027, -0.0009, 0.0082, 0.0095, 0.0321, 0.0452, 0.0478, 0.0709, 0.0623, 0.0632, 0.0634, 0.0391, 0.0627, 0.0508, 0.042, 0.042, 0.0241, 0.0358, 0.0679, 0.0646, 0.0637, 0.0673, 0.0672, 0.0667, 0.0488, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0509, 0.0705, 0.0573, 0.0575, 0.0566, 0.0675, 0.1058, 0.0963, 0.1105, 0.1214, 0.1198, 0.1285, 0.1482, 0.1419, 0.1382, 0.1286, 0.1249, 0.1028]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1896406604054168035", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-03T03:45:42+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My call for higher bonds & yen Jan 14th is still in play (lower yields)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Reaffirms Jan 14th call for higher bonds and stronger yen (lower yields), with US govt shutdown March 14th as a key catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beware The Ides Of March\n\nEarlier this week for clients I posted:\n\n“My call for higher bonds &amp; yen Jan 14th is still in play (lower yields).\nUS Govt shutdown March 14th will greatly influence this trade.”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While Elon &amp; the work of DOGE are stealing the light and sound-bytes, the reality is that Congress still has the power AND the checkbook. Only way to shut that down is, literally, to shut that down!\n\nTrump Is Fine With A US Govt Shutdown\n\nhttps://t.co/2HsWdPhe7q", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0046452125776133, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0046452125776133, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022477613509989336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022477613509989336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017832400932376036, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017832400932376036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012314975646069204, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012314975646069204, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0004782139974024435, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004782139974024435, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01183676164866676, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01183676164866676, "ret_p1w": -0.016419996570654294, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016419996570654294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023304463500121497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023304463500121497, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03972446007077579, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03972446007077579, "ret_p1m": -0.008114724160716458, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008114724160716458, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028051061327050264, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028051061327050264, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03616578548776672, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03616578548776672, "ret_p3m": -0.06257144470249731, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06257144470249731, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07636970983800373, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07636970983800373, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013798265135506416, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013798265135506416, "ret_p6m": -0.045358586189495065, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.045358586189495065, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1571213222172788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1571213222172788, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11176273602778375, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11176273602778375, "ret_p1y": 0.0072924130605098725, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0072924130605098725, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1821301222271452, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1821301222271452, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18942253528765507, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18942253528765507, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008114724160716458, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.028051061327050264, "alpha_c_stated": 0.028051061327050264, "price_path": [0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0089, -0.0004, -0.0051, -0.0145, -0.0265, -0.0364, -0.0335, -0.0312, -0.0433, -0.0578, -0.0524, -0.0611, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0577, -0.0654, -0.0579, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0603, -0.0633, -0.0675, -0.078, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.083, -0.0833, -0.0848, -0.069, -0.066, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.056, -0.061, -0.0683, -0.0641, -0.053, -0.0537, -0.0556, -0.0521, -0.0583, -0.0506, -0.0477, -0.032, -0.0324, -0.0387, -0.0416, -0.0477, -0.0606, -0.045, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0513, -0.0501, -0.0465, -0.035, -0.0322, -0.0155, -0.0097, -0.0167, -0.0046, 0.0, -0.0123, -0.0202, -0.0234, -0.0266, -0.0164, -0.0234, -0.0293, -0.0207, -0.0259, -0.0211, -0.0201, -0.015, -0.0144, -0.0202, -0.0302, -0.0304, -0.0367, -0.0395, -0.0263, -0.0166, -0.0081, -0.0088, -0.0042, 0.0066, -0.0237, -0.0422, -0.0365, -0.0631, -0.058, -0.0513, -0.0479, -0.0426, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0676, -0.0624, -0.0533, -0.0433, -0.0363, -0.0302, -0.0221, -0.03, -0.0349, -0.0454, -0.0507, -0.0476, -0.0435, -0.0542, -0.0528, -0.0616, -0.0654, -0.0716, -0.0634, -0.0609, -0.0637, -0.0704, -0.0863, -0.0815, -0.08, -0.08, -0.0671, -0.0712, -0.0626, -0.0612, -0.0699, -0.0715, -0.0565, -0.0558, -0.0678, -0.0668, -0.062, -0.0592, -0.0479, -0.0571, -0.0666, -0.0553, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.0554, -0.0523, -0.0454, -0.0442, -0.0394, -0.0455, -0.0361, -0.0338, -0.0399, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0557, -0.0569, -0.047, -0.0464, -0.0595, -0.0615, -0.0681, -0.0668, -0.067, -0.0655, -0.0572, -0.0515, -0.0568, -0.0584, -0.0525, -0.0586, -0.0427, -0.0477, -0.0471, -0.0336, -0.0309, -0.028, -0.0336, -0.0352, -0.0394, -0.0383, -0.0432, -0.0352, -0.0424, -0.0492, -0.052, -0.0465, -0.0444, -0.0491, -0.0421, -0.0448, -0.0454]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1911462543563825335", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-13T16:52:38+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump knows these tariffs are going to hurt Nvidia's precious 72% gross profit margins (that keep falling every quarter btw)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: tariffs will compress already-declining gross margins, back-door chip routing via Malaysia poses regulatory risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The end-runs being made under Trump's nose are just 🔥and why I wrote about this for clients Feb 27th before the sell-off:\n\nDOES TRUMP WANT TO PUNISH NVIDIA?\n\nhttps://t.co/DipPTjOUtN\n\n\"Trump timed his announcement today on additional 10% China tariffs on purpose - after NVDA announced earnings, as NVDA is still trying to make opaque their “sales by destination. \n\nAssume it matters to US regulators, but it should also matter to investors, as client George @Vera_Icona_23 pointed out early & often:\n\n\"US sales relatively flat. Sales growth almost all due to \"Singapore\" and China.\"\n\nTrump knows these tariffs are going to hurt Nvidia's precious 72% gross profit margins (that keep falling every quarter btw).\"\n\nSo $NVDA does the back-door deals with Malaysia ...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nvidia Chip Shipments to Malaysia Skyrocket to Record Highs Despite U.S. Warnings — March 2025 Update\n\nOn March 23, 2025, the Financial Times reported that U.S. officials asked Malaysia to monitor every shipment entering the country when it involves Nvidia chips. \"[The U.S. is] https://t.co/n7EdMReqxR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019872092897272875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019872092897272875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011595501361049476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003475244876250172, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608292071322189, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014880355865228845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013458588155291329, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013458588155291329, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01625949507189084, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006960883374263371, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028009069165995104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0064977047810279576, "ret_p1w": -0.1246499041141843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1246499041141843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07783284316182548, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05630010217475767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817060952358824, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06834980193942664, "ret_p1m": 0.1736067745093688, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1736067745093688, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0850920542206286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04438831315111136, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851472028874019, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21799508766048015, "ret_p3m": 0.48235392517656006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.48235392517656006, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31810461977782545, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.056234284685957814, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642493053987346, "bench_c_p3m": 0.42611964049060225, "ret_p6m": 0.6716040724954597, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6716040724954597, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4233501762590901, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.00018796572458246175, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24825389623636962, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6717920382200422, "ret_p1y": 0.5878550292315616, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5878550292315616, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.35853437745385186, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.36239371565597334, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932065177770977, "bench_c_p1y": 0.950248744887535, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1736067745093688, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0850920542206286, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04438831315111136, "price_path": [0.2305, 0.2064, 0.2438, 0.2438, 0.2719, 0.3283, 0.3297, 0.2881, 0.0695, 0.165, 0.1172, 0.1258, 0.0844, 0.0536, 0.0716, 0.1274, 0.1622, 0.1727, 0.2064, 0.1994, 0.1844, 0.2219, 0.2541, 0.2541, 0.259, 0.2575, 0.2654, 0.2141, 0.1767, 0.1437, 0.1857, 0.0852, 0.1282, 0.0302, 0.0476, 0.0594, -0.0014, 0.0178, -0.0338, -0.0177, 0.0454, 0.044, 0.099, 0.0797, 0.0426, 0.0615, 0.0706, 0.0631, 0.0966, 0.0901, 0.0275, 0.0065, -0.0094, -0.021, -0.0051, -0.0026, -0.0805, -0.1481, -0.1181, -0.1302, 0.0327, -0.0284, 0.002, 0.0, 0.0135, -0.0562, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.1246, -0.1068, -0.0723, -0.0387, 0.0027, -0.0179, -0.0153, -0.0162, 0.0081, 0.0342, 0.0281, 0.0256, 0.0574, 0.0602, 0.0537, 0.111, 0.1736, 0.2225, 0.2179, 0.223, 0.2246, 0.2138, 0.1905, 0.1998, 0.1859, 0.1859, 0.2239, 0.2177, 0.2572, 0.2206, 0.2409, 0.2756, 0.2819, 0.2645, 0.2801, 0.2883, 0.3003, 0.2902, 0.3098, 0.2824, 0.307, 0.3019, 0.3142, 0.3142, 0.2994, 0.3023, 0.336, 0.3939, 0.4003, 0.425, 0.4272, 0.3848, 0.4205, 0.4394, 0.4394, 0.4294, 0.4453, 0.4713, 0.4824, 0.4898, 0.4821, 0.542, 0.548, 0.5627, 0.5574, 0.5481, 0.5088, 0.5427, 0.5694, 0.5673, 0.5966, 0.5854, 0.6194, 0.6067, 0.5693, 0.626, 0.6103, 0.6207, 0.6329, 0.6504, 0.6446, 0.6545, 0.6403, 0.6442, 0.63, 0.6441, 0.5866, 0.5844, 0.5806, 0.6078, 0.6243, 0.642, 0.6404, 0.6275, 0.5734, 0.5734, 0.5427, 0.5413, 0.5506, 0.5087, 0.5204, 0.5425, 0.6019, 0.6005, 0.6064, 0.6057, 0.5798, 0.5384, 0.5921, 0.596, 0.6587, 0.6119, 0.5987, 0.6052, 0.6097, 0.6428, 0.6855, 0.6915, 0.7064, 0.6949, 0.6761, 0.6716]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1898149132402872783", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-07T23:09:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding up. Until the next pump & dump.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish BTC and MSTR on waning liquidity and no new Bitcoin reserve buying; expects downside to mid-70s pulling Nasdaq lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Counting on it. 😉\n$BTCUSD $MSTR\n\nBitcoin is simply a speculation + liquidity tell. And right now, liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding up.\n\nAlso the newly pimped bitcoin reserve only uses seized bitcoin/crypto assets. It doesn’t buy any! No new investment allocation = Just a big show to gird up Trump’s base of bitcoin maxis. \nUntil the next pump & dump.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Saylor’s plan to stuff taxpayers with Bitcoin he bought at highs failed. If Bitcoin moves down to mid 70s, it will start feeling the gravitational forces of Saylor’s break even at mid 60s. That can pull Nasdaq down as well,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.037110393511267326, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037110393511267326, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009745906966931228, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.09465551034480402, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09465551034480402, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08634262008802307, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.03197469310718071, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03197469310718071, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04369479970353907, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0865472065273526, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0865472065273526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025134450252218277, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.20738711537411936, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20738711537411936, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14628269311362452, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.2594792319452057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2594792319452057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11050047768383209, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.2612627489606021, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2612627489606021, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5122701740277564, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0865472065273526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025134450252218277, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1145, 0.1664, 0.1533, 0.1697, 0.2223, 0.2236, 0.1533, 0.1239, 0.127, 0.0916, 0.1376, 0.1448, 0.1044, 0.0856, 0.068, 0.0771, 0.0885, 0.1169, 0.131, 0.1768, 0.1174, 0.0957, 0.0662, 0.0918, 0.0896, 0.1129, 0.1587, 0.15, 0.2043, 0.1761, 0.2237, 0.1949, 0.1985, 0.2084, 0.1769, 0.1682, 0.1955, 0.2074, 0.1806, 0.169, 0.1283, 0.1138, 0.1136, 0.1128, 0.1233, 0.1038, 0.1285, 0.1139, 0.1241, 0.1041, 0.1014, 0.114, 0.1336, 0.1082, 0.0539, 0.023, -0.0276, -0.0235, -0.0273, -0.0078, 0.0055, 0.0447, 0.0371, 0.0, -0.0947, -0.0447, -0.0348, -0.0654, -0.032, -0.0307, -0.0464, 0.0013, -0.0297, -0.0311, 0.0087, 0.0084, 0.0018, 0.005, -0.0275, -0.0483, -0.0181, -0.0491, -0.042, -0.0334, -0.0865, -0.1207, -0.0481, -0.082, -0.0385, -0.0254, -0.0354, -0.0312, -0.0213, -0.0264, 0.0089, 0.0772, 0.0802, 0.083, 0.092, 0.0949, 0.0869, 0.0861, 0.1124, 0.1172, 0.0923, 0.116, 0.1186, 0.1902, 0.1871, 0.1853, 0.2009, 0.1936, 0.196, 0.1931, 0.2175, 0.2311, 0.2644, 0.2874, 0.2369, 0.2617, 0.2565, 0.2428, 0.2179, 0.1989, 0.2206, 0.2155, 0.2074, 0.171, 0.2034, 0.2715, 0.2711, 0.253, 0.2212, 0.2231, 0.2312, 0.2059, 0.2091, 0.2068, 0.191, 0.2171, 0.2225, 0.2377, 0.2331, 0.2346, 0.2351, 0.2185, 0.255, 0.2641, 0.2455, 0.2485, 0.256, 0.2834, 0.3371, 0.3548, 0.3817, 0.3578, 0.3689, 0.3752, 0.3604, 0.3539, 0.3833, 0.369, 0.3646, 0.3561, 0.3595, 0.3594, 0.3584, 0.3345, 0.3064, 0.3266, 0.3159, 0.3261, 0.3545, 0.3452, 0.3688, 0.3854, 0.422, 0.3645, 0.3534, 0.3402, 0.3008, 0.3174, 0.296, 0.3474, 0.2696, 0.2889, 0.2822, 0.2975, 0.2498, 0.2595]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1898149132402872783", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-07T23:09:53+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Counting on it. 😉 $BTCUSD $MSTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish BTC and MSTR on waning liquidity and no new Bitcoin reserve buying; expects downside to mid-70s pulling Nasdaq lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Counting on it. 😉\n$BTCUSD $MSTR\n\nBitcoin is simply a speculation + liquidity tell. And right now, liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding up.\n\nAlso the newly pimped bitcoin reserve only uses seized bitcoin/crypto assets. It doesn’t buy any! No new investment allocation = Just a big show to gird up Trump’s base of bitcoin maxis. \nUntil the next pump & dump.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Saylor’s plan to stuff taxpayers with Bitcoin he bought at highs failed. If Bitcoin moves down to mid 70s, it will start feeling the gravitational forces of Saylor’s break even at mid 60s. That can pull Nasdaq down as well,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.2002339931785364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2002339931785364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1728695066342003, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1728695066342003, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08910432433959525, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08910432433959525, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0974172145963762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0974172145963762, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "ret_p1w": 0.2298657740590897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2298657740590897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21814566746273134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21814566746273134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "ret_p1m": -0.0055168107186375215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0055168107186375215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10616484606093335, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10616484606093335, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "ret_p3m": 0.5413131690547146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5413131690547146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.48020874679421977, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48020874679421977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "ret_p6m": 0.4277593890464382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4277593890464382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27878063478506454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27878063478506454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "ret_p1y": -0.43306728183940113, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43306728183940113, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6840747069065555, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6840747069065555, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0055168107186375215, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10616484606093335, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10616484606093335, "price_path": [0.7194, 0.6391, 0.708, 0.7073, 0.615, 0.4613, 0.3644, 0.5221, 0.3885, 0.497, 0.497, 0.4254, 0.3792, 0.2662, 0.2104, 0.2104, 0.2539, 0.4196, 0.5844, 0.427, 0.3863, 0.3863, 0.3705, 0.3725, 0.4301, 0.5072, 0.5338, 0.6571, 0.6571, 0.6262, 0.5769, 0.5594, 0.4781, 0.4541, 0.404, 0.4262, 0.4214, 0.3992, 0.4506, 0.4557, 0.4072, 0.3602, 0.369, 0.3985, 0.3351, 0.3659, 0.358, 0.4115, 0.4115, 0.3958, 0.3318, 0.3538, 0.2525, 0.1818, 0.047, 0.1003, 0.0033, 0.0675, 0.0487, 0.15, 0.2895, 0.271, 0.2002, 0.0, 0.0891, 0.0973, 0.1003, 0.2433, 0.2299, 0.1836, 0.2715, 0.2625, 0.2705, 0.4031, 0.4286, 0.3763, 0.3566, 0.2096, 0.2048, 0.279, 0.3062, 0.1798, 0.2271, 0.1207, -0.0055, 0.2407, 0.1382, 0.2537, 0.3017, 0.2986, 0.3025, 0.3257, 0.3257, 0.328, 0.4337, 0.4449, 0.4642, 0.541, 0.5432, 0.5942, 0.5886, 0.5949, 0.6482, 0.6155, 0.6116, 0.6403, 0.7319, 0.7387, 0.6922, 0.7621, 0.7418, 0.6593, 0.6709, 0.7278, 0.7425, 0.683, 0.6695, 0.5443, 0.5443, 0.5556, 0.5223, 0.549, 0.5424, 0.5559, 0.6192, 0.5802, 0.5413, 0.5651, 0.6388, 0.6349, 0.6179, 0.5872, 0.6002, 0.5976, 0.568, 0.5423, 0.5423, 0.5451, 0.5346, 0.5757, 0.6244, 0.6151, 0.6044, 0.6894, 0.5602, 0.6813, 0.6884, 0.6884, 0.6537, 0.659, 0.7362, 0.7626, 0.8163, 0.885, 0.8486, 0.9054, 0.8863, 0.7688, 0.7816, 0.7821, 0.7247, 0.7341, 0.6964, 0.6876, 0.6494, 0.651, 0.6795, 0.5323, 0.6268, 0.5692, 0.6024, 0.6802, 0.6514, 0.6728, 0.6483, 0.6295, 0.5587, 0.531, 0.5196, 0.4067, 0.4393, 0.4109, 0.4968, 0.4344, 0.4685, 0.4296, 0.4161, 0.3976, 0.3976, 0.4278]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1915116385296081123", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T18:51:42+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Catching a Gold Top 💃", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish gold; calling a top in price.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Catching a Gold Top 💃\n\n👉👉https://t.co/Z420ieiPwn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03800018256707949, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03800018256707949, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05325921681124235, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05325921681124235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259034244162861, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259034244162861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017000869988021305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017000869988021305, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00404804296184702, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00404804296184702, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.008759866539739036, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008759866539739036, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026950435146395835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026950435146395835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03571030168613487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03571030168613487, "ret_p1m": 0.004883557598982069, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004883557598982069, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0841494392533797, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0841494392533797, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.03833588244170438, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03833588244170438, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13948492632641418, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13948492632641418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 0.30641276181143806, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30641276181143806, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06546174481414546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06546174481414546, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2409510169972926, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2409510169972926, "ret_p1y": 0.45343827835518247, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45343827835518247, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16986831631896604, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16986831631896604, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004883557598982069, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0841494392533797, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0841494392533797, "price_path": [-0.1523, -0.1645, -0.1555, -0.1548, -0.1384, -0.1416, -0.135, -0.1291, -0.1235, -0.1283, -0.1248, -0.1105, -0.111, -0.1121, -0.1069, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1052, -0.1089, -0.1026, -0.1034, -0.1002, -0.1135, -0.1097, -0.12, -0.1341, -0.1178, -0.1119, -0.1102, -0.1098, -0.1134, -0.1176, -0.1109, -0.1029, -0.0891, -0.086, -0.0843, -0.0736, -0.0734, -0.0721, -0.0788, -0.0803, -0.0771, -0.078, -0.066, -0.0579, -0.0469, -0.048, -0.0416, -0.0547, -0.0807, -0.0992, -0.094, -0.0671, -0.037, -0.0165, -0.0218, -0.0176, 0.0154, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0396, 0.038, 0.0, 0.017, 0.0019, 0.0172, 0.013, 0.0088, -0.0202, -0.0136, 0.0107, 0.0412, 0.0321, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0172, -0.011, -0.029, -0.017, -0.0288, -0.0145, 0.0012, 0.0101, 0.0049, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.007, 0.0053, 0.0125, 0.0038, 0.0288, 0.0226, 0.0297, 0.0227, 0.0142, 0.017, 0.0136, 0.0137, 0.0319, 0.0473, 0.0367, 0.0337, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.028, 0.0309, 0.0125, 0.0155, 0.0175, -0.0008, 0.0055, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0169, 0.0172, 0.0171, 0.0094, 0.0108, 0.0125, 0.0243, 0.023, 0.0163, 0.0233, 0.0195, 0.0234, 0.0383, 0.0497, 0.036, 0.0289, 0.0176, 0.01, 0.0144, 0.006, 0.0052, 0.0218, 0.0299, 0.0322, 0.0317, 0.0378, 0.0497, 0.0234, 0.0222, 0.0252, 0.018, 0.0182, 0.0169, 0.0113, 0.0205, 0.0185, 0.0299, 0.0298, 0.0343, 0.0392, 0.0475, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0834, 0.0967, 0.0884, 0.1028, 0.1104, 0.112, 0.1121, 0.1101, 0.1139, 0.1239, 0.1259, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1206, 0.1417, 0.1539, 0.1391, 0.1406, 0.1523, 0.1662, 0.1723, 0.1804, 0.172, 0.1845, 0.2052, 0.2137, 0.2341, 0.2045, 0.2135, 0.254, 0.2632, 0.2749, 0.3064]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1900026875516186822", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-13T03:31:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I only had $180 from $390 rec'd short - which I cover live in my trading room daily", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds live TSLA short from $390 targeting $180; rhetorically challenges NVDA buy-rated analysts, implying bearish lean on NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dang. I only had $180 from $390 rec’d short - which I cover live in my trading room daily. \n\n$120 is fine too, but wow!\n\nSo … when do ANY of the $NVDA “solid buy” analysts re-rate it? https://t.co/94bkbxgi8D", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Breaking: $JPM cuts $TSLA price target to $120. Sees ~50% downside from here.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03078778414328509, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03078778414328509, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017277132347525814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005190764843870266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013510651795759276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025597019299414825, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038640532386444715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038640532386444715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017984626251176472, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017352948139471636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020655906135268243, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02128758424697308, "ret_p1w": -0.018364626489329572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018364626489329572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04388059351580509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03985999564825149, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025515967026475517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021495369158921918, "ret_p1m": 0.04832144439392283, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04832144439392283, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07710848717369434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0605633787361326, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02878704277977151, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01224193434220977, "ret_p3m": 0.35486956232861755, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35486956232861755, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25789395922859915, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2280486218372555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0969756031000184, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12682094049136206, "ret_p6m": 0.45770320348357885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45770320348357885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2769222005135479, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23102403715988395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18078100297003097, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2266791663236949, "ret_p1y": 0.6757521173250534, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6757521173250534, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.41638468742238866, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46683619887090266, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2593674299026647, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2089159184541507, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04832144439392283, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07710848717369434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0605633787361326, "price_path": [0.9238, 0.9938, 0.8287, 0.8122, 0.7495, 0.7891, 0.9207, 0.9207, 0.8869, 0.7935, 0.7343, 0.6779, 0.6779, 0.5759, 0.7053, 0.7079, 0.6385, 0.6409, 0.6409, 0.6401, 0.6757, 0.6468, 0.7792, 0.7194, 0.7721, 0.7721, 0.762, 0.7247, 0.7134, 0.6893, 0.6501, 0.654, 0.6167, 0.6631, 0.6811, 0.5941, 0.6296, 0.5713, 0.5553, 0.5025, 0.4572, 0.3649, 0.3982, 0.4789, 0.4785, 0.4785, 0.4713, 0.4981, 0.4725, 0.4035, 0.3733, 0.2581, 0.2082, 0.1715, 0.2173, 0.1827, 0.1303, 0.1596, 0.0946, 0.0914, -0.077, -0.042, 0.0308, 0.0, 0.0386, -0.0111, -0.0639, -0.02, -0.0184, 0.0334, 0.1567, 0.1972, 0.1304, 0.1348, 0.095, 0.0768, 0.1154, 0.1748, 0.1105, -0.0052, -0.0307, -0.0782, 0.131, 0.0487, 0.0483, 0.0485, 0.0558, 0.0036, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0548, -0.0113, 0.0418, 0.0782, 0.1839, 0.1878, 0.2134, 0.1723, 0.1655, 0.1933, 0.1645, 0.1441, 0.1477, 0.1834, 0.2392, 0.3228, 0.388, 0.4446, 0.4244, 0.4541, 0.4213, 0.4285, 0.3903, 0.417, 0.4099, 0.4099, 0.5078, 0.4829, 0.4892, 0.4395, 0.4238, 0.4304, 0.3796, 0.1829, 0.2263, 0.2821, 0.3549, 0.3563, 0.3259, 0.3516, 0.3675, 0.3144, 0.3381, 0.3381, 0.3385, 0.4487, 0.4146, 0.3609, 0.3536, 0.3446, 0.3198, 0.2494, 0.3115, 0.3102, 0.3102, 0.2213, 0.2374, 0.2294, 0.2875, 0.3026, 0.3167, 0.2913, 0.3365, 0.3271, 0.3697, 0.3648, 0.3799, 0.3818, 0.2685, 0.3132, 0.3528, 0.3346, 0.3256, 0.2808, 0.2574, 0.2849, 0.2827, 0.3292, 0.339, 0.3697, 0.4086, 0.4162, 0.4101, 0.3943, 0.3734, 0.3926, 0.3682, 0.3458, 0.33, 0.4127, 0.4401, 0.4612, 0.4526, 0.4375, 0.3872, 0.3872, 0.3685, 0.3881, 0.4066, 0.4577]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884066310382051609", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-28T02:29:47+00:00", "symbol": "RSP", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "into RSP & value stocks on DeepSeek deep-sixing semis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Rotation out of NVDA/semis into value/RSP on DeepSeek; also long yen/bonds, short dollar and oil as concentration unwind continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["RSP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary -1/27/25\n\nTopping is a process, not an event. And the race for AI superiority just took a dramatic turn: advantage, China. More on this in my market thoughts. For now, the key takeaway is that rotation took a big turn: out of NVDA & SEMI stocks and into RSP & value stocks on DeepSeek deep-sixing semis. This is sudden and yet part of the concentration unwind I have written about - that includes but is not limited to falling dollar, yields and oil as bonds, yen, value get bid up.\n\nUPGARDE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG \n\nhttps://t.co/Za5m6q5EkI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0049611549072947625, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0049611549072947625, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013480578494760809, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013480578494760809, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0033074938953414623, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033074938953414623, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0011755754960619536, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0011755754960619536, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "ret_p1w": -0.005181580022695642, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005181580022695642, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006490125337854646, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006490125337854646, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "ret_p1m": -0.009040265610115616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009040265610115616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007468787612456951, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007468787612456951, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "ret_p3m": -0.07251917548116482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07251917548116482, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013869381708854878, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013869381708854878, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "ret_p6m": 0.04238340993786416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04238340993786416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.012996643027153976, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012996643027153976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "ret_p1y": 0.11910750601227771, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11910750601227771, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03944640193440563, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03944640193440563, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009040265610115616, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007468787612456951, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007468787612456951, "price_path": [-0.0316, -0.031, -0.0299, -0.0186, 0.0047, 0.0057, 0.0113, 0.0163, 0.0086, 0.0091, 0.001, -0.0061, -0.0021, -0.0048, -0.0014, 0.0112, 0.0191, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0306, 0.028, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0184, 0.0173, 0.0131, 0.0069, 0.0078, 0.0041, 0.0006, -0.0027, -0.0105, -0.0398, -0.043, -0.0296, -0.0283, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0193, -0.026, -0.0358, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0369, -0.0281, -0.0287, -0.032, -0.0308, -0.0308, -0.045, -0.0372, -0.0294, -0.0201, -0.0123, -0.0076, -0.0076, 0.004, 0.0004, 0.0052, 0.0043, 0.005, 0.0, -0.0033, 0.0073, -0.0009, -0.0064, -0.0052, -0.0003, -0.0017, -0.0066, -0.0037, -0.0036, -0.0094, -0.0008, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0058, 0.0079, 0.0053, -0.0088, -0.0079, -0.0069, -0.009, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0174, -0.0332, -0.0243, -0.0351, -0.026, -0.0397, -0.0525, -0.057, -0.066, -0.0482, -0.0354, -0.0404, -0.0333, -0.0373, -0.0417, -0.0269, -0.0292, -0.031, -0.0335, -0.0484, -0.0405, -0.0395, -0.0315, -0.0776, -0.1294, -0.1367, -0.1529, -0.0852, -0.116, -0.1026, -0.0911, -0.0941, -0.1057, -0.0991, -0.0991, -0.1172, -0.0954, -0.0866, -0.0712, -0.0725, -0.0699, -0.0645, -0.0632, -0.0644, -0.0479, -0.0511, -0.0581, -0.0519, -0.0439, -0.0442, -0.018, -0.0157, -0.0217, -0.0128, -0.0031, -0.0032, -0.0058, -0.0274, -0.0305, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0164, -0.0248, -0.0224, -0.0228, -0.022, -0.0139, -0.0161, -0.0187, -0.0103, -0.0101, -0.0052, -0.008, -0.0057, -0.0177, -0.0082, -0.0177, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.016, -0.0073, 0.0021, -0.0052, 0.0023, 0.006, 0.0107, 0.0226, 0.0249, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0216, 0.0242, 0.0273, 0.0332, 0.0256, 0.0267, 0.0125, 0.0164, 0.0247, 0.0243, 0.0208, 0.0338, 0.0424]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884066310382051609", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-01-28T02:29:47+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yields and oil as bonds, yen, value get bid up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Rotation out of NVDA/semis into value/RSP on DeepSeek; also long yen/bonds, short dollar and oil as concentration unwind continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary -1/27/25\n\nTopping is a process, not an event. And the race for AI superiority just took a dramatic turn: advantage, China. More on this in my market thoughts. For now, the key takeaway is that rotation took a big turn: out of NVDA & SEMI stocks and into RSP & value stocks on DeepSeek deep-sixing semis. This is sudden and yet part of the concentration unwind I have written about - that includes but is not limited to falling dollar, yields and oil as bonds, yen, value get bid up.\n\nUPGARDE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG \n\nhttps://t.co/Za5m6q5EkI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011793054754981935, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011793054754981935, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003273631167515889, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003273631167515889, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013695179085668419, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013695179085668419, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009212109694265003, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009212109694265003, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "ret_p1w": -0.01711892548405436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01711892548405436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012586357995144182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012586357995144182, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "ret_p1m": -0.06353033347013226, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06353033347013226, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.047021280247559694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047021280247559694, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "ret_p3m": -0.12465130300499072, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12465130300499072, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03826274581497102, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03826274581497102, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "ret_p6m": -0.04539692877690338, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04539692877690338, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10077698174192151, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10077698174192151, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "ret_p1y": -0.09802185261356589, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09802185261356589, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2565757605602492, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2565757605602492, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06353033347013226, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.047021280247559694, "alpha_c_stated": 0.047021280247559694, "price_path": [-0.0733, -0.0867, -0.058, -0.0524, -0.0548, -0.0533, -0.0727, -0.1004, -0.1036, -0.1031, -0.096, -0.1155, -0.0861, -0.0831, -0.0867, -0.0718, -0.0585, -0.0857, -0.0919, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0919, -0.0992, -0.0738, -0.0885, -0.0937, -0.1093, -0.0975, -0.0946, -0.0701, -0.0716, -0.059, -0.0654, -0.0705, -0.0751, -0.0793, -0.073, -0.0735, -0.0661, -0.0661, -0.0727, -0.0635, -0.0512, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0245, -0.0119, -0.0198, -0.0087, -0.0198, -0.0198, 0.0226, 0.0427, 0.0356, 0.0695, 0.0517, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0285, 0.0199, 0.0044, 0.0094, -0.0118, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.0141, -0.0107, -0.0132, -0.0171, -0.0351, -0.0432, -0.038, -0.0185, -0.0075, -0.0322, -0.0313, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0241, -0.0179, -0.0139, -0.0445, -0.0366, -0.06, -0.0635, -0.0454, -0.0462, -0.0703, -0.0704, -0.0943, -0.098, -0.0858, -0.1011, -0.094, -0.0768, -0.0918, -0.0834, -0.078, -0.0843, -0.0817, -0.0651, -0.0643, -0.0505, -0.0512, -0.0436, -0.0429, -0.0519, -0.0194, -0.0226, -0.0142, -0.0838, -0.1387, -0.1633, -0.1968, -0.143, -0.1717, -0.1572, -0.1547, -0.157, -0.1409, -0.1189, -0.1189, -0.1299, -0.1203, -0.1371, -0.1319, -0.1247, -0.1408, -0.165, -0.194, -0.1818, -0.1883, -0.2091, -0.1808, -0.1946, -0.1681, -0.1553, -0.1428, -0.1176, -0.1285, -0.1429, -0.1364, -0.1312, -0.1293, -0.1429, -0.1486, -0.1378, -0.1378, -0.1468, -0.1391, -0.148, -0.1485, -0.1181, -0.1137, -0.1207, -0.1132, -0.0949, -0.0864, -0.0921, -0.0512, -0.0483, 0.0172, -0.0034, 0.0436, 0.0432, 0.0432, 0.054, -0.0311, -0.0743, -0.0704, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0729, -0.0625, -0.0415, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0302, -0.0241, -0.0245, -0.044, -0.0199, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.0465, -0.0342, -0.0372, -0.0415, -0.0445, -0.0454]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892931152383791408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-21T13:35:30+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "recd short $UNH in anticipation", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Team member recommended short UNH ahead of DOJ Medicare billing investigation.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DOJ Launches Investigation Into Unitedhealth Group's Medicare Billing Practices - WSJ \n\nOur resident doctor, @DrBenJamminK on my amazing trading team, recd short $UNH in anticipation.\n🎯🔥\n\nGet all his amazing trades before they happen - like $CADL +40% past wk!\n\nhttps://t.co/5qudNqh4tM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I don’t care if this sounds naive, but where does this $663 million end up? \n\nSo how much of this massive difference goes to pharma cos vs lobbyists vs politicians… like I’m fascinated how the fraud mechanics work!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07718370889652415, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07718370889652415, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05978206493480731, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07178845076538609, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01740164396171684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005395258131138059, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010505608884741946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010505608884741946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0059552024886969646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01863246133531371, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004550406396044981, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008126852450571764, "ret_p1w": 0.018309614351547987, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018309614351547987, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027910635546559703, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001236590865799414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009601021195011716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017073023485748573, "ret_p1m": 0.112103495872105, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.112103495872105, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15232929536738504, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10329829661158918, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040225799495280046, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008805199260515817, "ret_p3m": -0.34763765301328664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34763765301328664, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32209060051768756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24970070679199563, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025547052495599076, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09793694622129101, "ret_p6m": -0.3310586684166389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3310586684166389, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4097374973701996, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26711689529622973, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07867882895356071, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06394177312040916, "ret_p1y": -0.39979307185490487, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.39979307185490487, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5669891274726157, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4792311992471793, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16719605561771078, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0794381273922744, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.112103495872105, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15232929536738504, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10329829661158918, "price_path": [0.296, 0.2994, 0.2994, 0.3033, 0.2997, 0.2926, 0.3045, 0.2366, 0.1739, 0.202, 0.2118, 0.1439, 0.1058, 0.1159, 0.0688, 0.041, 0.0714, 0.0489, 0.0723, 0.0856, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0959, 0.0934, 0.0887, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.0817, 0.0999, 0.1013, 0.1025, 0.1246, 0.1246, 0.1164, 0.1602, 0.1658, 0.1651, 0.0947, 0.0929, 0.0929, 0.1256, 0.1143, 0.1358, 0.1417, 0.1653, 0.1631, 0.1537, 0.1697, 0.1631, 0.1753, 0.1694, 0.1573, 0.1364, 0.1299, 0.1435, 0.1447, 0.1307, 0.1388, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.0736, 0.0957, 0.0772, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0085, -0.0061, 0.0046, 0.0183, 0.0014, 0.0176, 0.0205, 0.0457, 0.058, 0.034, 0.0465, 0.0359, 0.0368, 0.0521, 0.0745, 0.0848, 0.0835, 0.1009, 0.1129, 0.1121, 0.1055, 0.1158, 0.1104, 0.1111, 0.1277, 0.1264, 0.1265, 0.1637, 0.1305, 0.1298, 0.1909, 0.2456, 0.2798, 0.2908, 0.264, 0.2566, 0.2597, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0842, -0.0802, -0.0785, -0.0865, -0.0986, -0.0957, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1373, -0.1389, -0.1284, -0.1506, -0.158, -0.1699, -0.1804, -0.1845, -0.3296, -0.3368, -0.4093, -0.3715, -0.3198, -0.3076, -0.3476, -0.3612, -0.3636, -0.3636, -0.3648, -0.3581, -0.358, -0.3499, -0.3439, -0.3514, -0.3532, -0.363, -0.3471, -0.3472, -0.3459, -0.3313, -0.3142, -0.3249, -0.3329, -0.3302, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.3451, -0.348, -0.3373, -0.3451, -0.3438, -0.3297, -0.3235, -0.2928, -0.3331, -0.3309, -0.3309, -0.3414, -0.3328, -0.3432, -0.3505, -0.3406, -0.3482, -0.3674, -0.3658, -0.3753, -0.3871, -0.3882, -0.3817, -0.3657, -0.3959, -0.3905, -0.3882, -0.4339, -0.4231, -0.4588, -0.4844, -0.4774, -0.4557, -0.467, -0.4694, -0.456, -0.4528, -0.4328, -0.4106, -0.4113, -0.3408, -0.3311]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1885169654877818902", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-31T03:34:05+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LLY will stay below 800 and rollover in due time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish LLY; expects it to stay capped below 800 and roll over.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rsrindy LLY will stay below 800 and rollover in due time. Patience is a virtue. Do you have that virtue?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Lly just bounced off 740.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rsrindy", "ret_m1d": 0.014980136912784214, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014980136912784214, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009629751555683574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009629751555683574, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008013241703149765, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008013241703149765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005928228538995883, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005928228538995883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "ret_p1w": 0.08288958378230649, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08288958378230649, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08463422532515841, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08463422532515841, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "ret_p1m": 0.14824976393495048, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14824976393495048, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17824216665181736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17824216665181736, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "ret_p3m": 0.11024726563531106, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11024726563531106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18603710198684087, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18603710198684087, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "ret_p6m": 0.00010124952256407305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00010124952256407305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06457695421769238, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06457695421769238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "ret_p1y": 0.29340749981305736, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.29340749981305736, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15430129722193509, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15430129722193509, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14824976393495048, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17824216665181736, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17824216665181736, "price_path": [-0.0078, -0.0444, -0.0184, 0.0235, 0.0246, 0.0079, -0.0008, -0.0322, -0.08, -0.1034, -0.1003, -0.0711, -0.0754, -0.0778, -0.0691, -0.0268, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.0194, -0.0139, 0.0028, 0.0231, 0.0179, 0.0193, -0.0092, -0.0142, -0.0186, -0.0354, -0.0271, -0.0396, -0.04, -0.0572, -0.066, -0.0534, -0.0182, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0209, -0.0344, -0.0459, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0407, -0.0359, -0.0567, -0.0466, -0.0294, -0.0294, -0.0138, -0.0168, -0.0816, -0.0793, -0.0659, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.0847, -0.0704, -0.0548, -0.0316, -0.0036, -0.0075, -0.0086, 0.015, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0185, 0.0383, 0.0731, 0.0829, 0.0713, 0.0665, 0.0763, 0.0749, 0.0427, 0.0427, 0.0587, 0.0708, 0.0783, 0.079, 0.0886, 0.1138, 0.1301, 0.1179, 0.137, 0.1482, 0.1252, 0.1482, 0.1273, 0.074, 0.0248, 0.0178, 0.015, -0.0099, 0.0047, 0.0186, 0.0158, 0.0337, 0.0406, 0.0344, 0.0682, 0.0527, 0.0211, 0.0148, 0.0158, 0.02, -0.0055, 0.0105, -0.0254, -0.0883, -0.1062, -0.1031, -0.0691, -0.1096, -0.0954, -0.0683, -0.0648, -0.0924, 0.0374, 0.0374, 0.0103, 0.0221, 0.0244, 0.0618, 0.0925, 0.0835, 0.0933, 0.1102, -0.0192, 0.0172, 0.0145, -0.0427, -0.0407, -0.0719, -0.0928, -0.0668, -0.0786, -0.1162, -0.0944, -0.0627, -0.0655, -0.0755, -0.1028, -0.1149, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.1025, -0.1097, -0.1058, -0.0871, -0.0754, -0.0708, -0.0522, -0.0524, -0.0472, -0.0425, -0.001, 0.0007, 0.005, 0.014, -0.0006, -0.0208, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0561, -0.0463, -0.0371, -0.0195, -0.016, -0.0403, -0.0353, -0.0398, -0.0356, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.0435, -0.0376, -0.0261, -0.0215, -0.0186, -0.0108, -0.0449, -0.0226, -0.0576, -0.0449, -0.0567, -0.0391, -0.0113, -0.0032, 0.0058, 0.0001]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899519992724672603", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-11T17:57:12+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not one $NVDA analyst has a sell-rating on this over-hyped, round-tripping, sanction-running fraud. The semi rotation started this cycle in 2015 & $NVDA will end it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: over-hyped, customer migration accelerating, semi cycle ending; META migration away from NVDA is implicitly positive for META.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To cut reliance + costs… $META (among others) migrates away from $NVDA\n\nAnd despite DEEPSEEK & QWEN & MANUS oh my, not one $NVDA analyst has a sell-rating on this over-hyped, round-tripping, sanction-running fraud.\n\nThe semi rotation started this cycle in 2015 & $NVDA will end it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$META TESTING ITS FIRST AI TRAINING CHIP WITH $TSM TO CUT $NVDA RELIANCE &amp; AI COSTS  👀 https://t.co/hh4u7rQOb0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016366225658594802, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016366225658594802, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024748799330378768, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017813326109573202, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014471004509784002, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06427599970802578, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06427599970802578, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05896951175345966, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03486691442084244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029409085287183334, "ret_p1w": 0.061425316375126826, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.061425316375126826, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052251331265096956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009142569537966327, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0522827468371605, "ret_p1m": 0.05131040314298074, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05131040314298074, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061473010443329756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06713519288185033, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015824789738869582, "ret_p3m": 0.30317235383038144, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30317235383038144, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22218517889450573, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12340386560914185, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1797684882212396, "ret_p6m": 0.5690286958859658, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5690286958859658, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40413928968798696, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23194531959261933, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3370833762933465, "ret_p1y": 0.7004466236821905, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7004466236821905, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.44595943696503815, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22884115896164992, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.9292877826438404, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05131040314298074, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061473010443329756, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06713519288185033, "price_path": [0.2628, 0.2344, 0.2137, 0.1989, 0.1853, 0.2015, 0.2385, 0.2842, 0.2893, 0.2893, 0.2866, 0.2597, 0.2642, 0.2347, 0.2347, 0.2717, 0.3283, 0.3739, 0.2885, 0.2882, 0.2882, 0.2496, 0.225, 0.2115, 0.2527, 0.2281, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.2949, 0.3522, 0.3536, 0.3113, 0.0888, 0.186, 0.1374, 0.1461, 0.104, 0.0726, 0.0909, 0.1478, 0.1832, 0.1938, 0.2281, 0.221, 0.2058, 0.2439, 0.2767, 0.2767, 0.2817, 0.2802, 0.2882, 0.236, 0.1979, 0.1643, 0.2071, 0.1047, 0.1486, 0.0487, 0.0665, 0.0785, 0.0166, 0.0361, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.0643, 0.0628, 0.1188, 0.0991, 0.0614, 0.0806, 0.0899, 0.0823, 0.1164, 0.1098, 0.0461, 0.0246, 0.0085, -0.0034, 0.0129, 0.0154, -0.0639, -0.1328, -0.1022, -0.1145, 0.0513, -0.0109, 0.02, 0.018, 0.0317, -0.0392, -0.0668, -0.0668, -0.1089, -0.0907, -0.0555, -0.0213, 0.0208, -0.0002, 0.0025, 0.0016, 0.0263, 0.0529, 0.0466, 0.044, 0.0764, 0.0793, 0.0726, 0.131, 0.1948, 0.2445, 0.2398, 0.2451, 0.2466, 0.2357, 0.212, 0.2214, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.246, 0.2396, 0.2799, 0.2426, 0.2633, 0.2986, 0.305, 0.2873, 0.3032, 0.3115, 0.3238, 0.3135, 0.3334, 0.3056, 0.3306, 0.3253, 0.3378, 0.3378, 0.3229, 0.3258, 0.3601, 0.419, 0.4256, 0.4507, 0.4529, 0.4098, 0.4461, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.4552, 0.4714, 0.4979, 0.5091, 0.5166, 0.5088, 0.5698, 0.5759, 0.5909, 0.5855, 0.576, 0.536, 0.5705, 0.5977, 0.5955, 0.6254, 0.614, 0.6486, 0.6357, 0.5975, 0.6553, 0.6393, 0.65, 0.6624, 0.6801, 0.6742, 0.6843, 0.6699, 0.6739, 0.6594, 0.6738, 0.6152, 0.613, 0.6091, 0.6368, 0.6535, 0.6716, 0.67, 0.6569, 0.6018, 0.6018, 0.5705, 0.569]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899519992724672603", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-11T17:57:12+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META (among others) migrates away from $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: over-hyped, customer migration accelerating, semi cycle ending; META migration away from NVDA is implicitly positive for META.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To cut reliance + costs… $META (among others) migrates away from $NVDA\n\nAnd despite DEEPSEEK & QWEN & MANUS oh my, not one $NVDA analyst has a sell-rating on this over-hyped, round-tripping, sanction-running fraud.\n\nThe semi rotation started this cycle in 2015 & $NVDA will end it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$META TESTING ITS FIRST AI TRAINING CHIP WITH $TSM TO CUT $NVDA RELIANCE &amp; AI COSTS  👀 https://t.co/hh4u7rQOb0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012745335712640915, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012745335712640915, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02112790938442488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027690864878220034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014945529165579119, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022865899042261884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022865899042261884, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017559411087695764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01788410958927944, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004981789452982444, "ret_p1w": -0.037694445305191615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037694445305191615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.046868430415221485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03312777817218571, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004566667133005908, "ret_p1m": -0.032059589624128915, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.032059589624128915, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0218969823237799, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00785007080420519, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024209518819923725, "ret_p3m": 0.15291263659803578, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15291263659803578, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07192546166216007, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07333892211439141, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07957371448364436, "ret_p6m": 0.21885609341111256, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21885609341111256, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05396668721313369, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03909663118708284, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17975946222402972, "ret_p1y": 0.08811447977153142, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08811447977153142, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1663727069456209, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1380408314544277, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2261553112259591, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.032059589624128915, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0218969823237799, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00785007080420519, "price_path": [0.0406, 0.0233, 0.0306, 0.0227, -0.0141, -0.0167, -0.0338, -0.0097, 0.0034, 0.0034, -0.0039, -0.0097, -0.0239, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0107, -0.0018, 0.0404, 0.0201, 0.0083, 0.0083, 0.0168, 0.0043, -0.0189, 0.0188, 0.0092, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0177, 0.0294, 0.0508, 0.069, 0.0894, 0.1133, 0.1169, 0.1342, 0.1378, 0.1515, 0.1626, 0.1637, 0.1755, 0.1796, 0.1844, 0.1884, 0.1976, 0.2028, 0.2162, 0.2162, 0.1827, 0.1619, 0.1471, 0.1285, 0.1031, 0.0855, 0.1122, 0.0867, 0.1032, 0.0815, 0.0566, 0.0838, 0.0367, 0.0329, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0229, -0.0249, 0.004, -0.0004, -0.0377, -0.0349, -0.0317, -0.0147, 0.0226, 0.0349, 0.0096, -0.0043, -0.047, -0.0476, -0.0317, -0.0351, -0.1215, -0.166, -0.1469, -0.1565, -0.0321, -0.0973, -0.1018, -0.1218, -0.1382, -0.17, -0.1713, -0.1713, -0.1991, -0.1733, -0.1403, -0.119, -0.0957, -0.0916, -0.0838, -0.0928, -0.0545, -0.0135, -0.0098, -0.0295, -0.0138, -0.0118, -0.021, 0.0566, 0.084, 0.0895, 0.064, 0.0581, 0.0583, 0.0528, 0.0501, 0.0519, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0614, 0.0635, 0.0659, 0.0699, 0.1086, 0.1019, 0.1368, 0.1313, 0.1529, 0.1469, 0.1607, 0.147, 0.1457, 0.1284, 0.1611, 0.153, 0.1506, 0.1506, 0.1284, 0.1552, 0.1778, 0.1719, 0.2007, 0.2132, 0.2206, 0.1894, 0.18, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1879, 0.1918, 0.2118, 0.2026, 0.1865, 0.1922, 0.1748, 0.1624, 0.1599, 0.1647, 0.179, 0.1655, 0.18, 0.1821, 0.1786, 0.1867, 0.1576, 0.1497, 0.279, 0.2403, 0.2839, 0.2625, 0.2766, 0.2598, 0.2722, 0.2665, 0.3064, 0.29, 0.2934, 0.2985, 0.269, 0.2427, 0.2365, 0.2222, 0.2482, 0.2457, 0.2471, 0.2359, 0.2421, 0.2216, 0.2216, 0.2156, 0.2189]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1900599482154127512", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-14T17:26:42+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Dollar has much further to fall. #Gold #Silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD has much further to fall; bullish gold and silver as dollar weakens on external drain of UST recycling.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Geoffrey nails it:\n\n“External Drain. Someone is not recycling their dollars acquired in trade into UST.”\n\nHe has been so ahead on this macro play for our clients! https://t.co/yLau2ZoVYV\n\nTRANSLATION:\nUS Dollar has much further to fall. #Gold #Silver", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "HOLY SHITARSKY!\nAnother 5,148,338 ounces of silver deposited into the Comex vault system on Wednesday.\nThat makes the 3-day deposit total (Mon-Wed) over 12,500,000 ounces or 388 metric tonnes!!\nYes, that's a lot and it's unprecedented.\nBig question: Where is it coming from?? https://t.co/yrmVZFOWyv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0003995980070659044, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0003995980070659044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019838276492168738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019838276492168738, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020237874499234643, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020237874499234643, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0054135329342379634, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0054135329342379634, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002297914159715475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002297914159715475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0077114470939534385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0077114470939534385, "ret_p1w": 0.01180787718104681, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01180787718104681, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006714600449727159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006714600449727159, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005093276731319651, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005093276731319651, "ret_p1m": 0.07626079602051838, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07626079602051838, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11547158134698388, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11547158134698388, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03921078532646549, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03921078532646549, "ret_p3m": 0.120367701127301, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.120367701127301, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04865811507861051, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04865811507861051, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07170958604869049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07170958604869049, "ret_p6m": 0.21646569976662766, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21646569976662766, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05673921782716085, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05673921782716085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1597264819394668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1597264819394668, "ret_p1y": 0.7008430143083584, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7008430143083584, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4778383461423692, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4778383461423692, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22300466816598918, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22300466816598918, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07626079602051838, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11547158134698388, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11547158134698388, "price_path": [-0.1137, -0.1307, -0.1295, -0.1204, -0.1245, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1169, -0.1229, -0.1257, -0.1203, -0.1203, -0.1083, -0.1154, -0.1164, -0.1115, -0.1067, -0.1067, -0.0982, -0.1072, -0.1025, -0.0958, -0.0895, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0803, -0.0756, -0.0769, -0.0712, -0.0808, -0.0729, -0.0764, -0.0625, -0.0606, -0.0556, -0.0463, -0.0404, -0.0429, -0.0412, -0.025, -0.0285, -0.0275, -0.0179, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0165, -0.0159, -0.0154, -0.0163, -0.011, -0.0241, -0.0226, -0.0375, -0.0435, -0.0309, -0.0225, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0249, -0.0334, -0.0221, -0.0178, -0.0004, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0171, 0.0213, 0.02, 0.0118, 0.0073, 0.0117, 0.0109, 0.0245, 0.032, 0.0469, 0.0448, 0.0469, 0.0406, 0.0163, -0.0056, -0.0001, 0.0368, 0.0622, 0.0824, 0.0763, 0.0819, 0.1171, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.1466, 0.1303, 0.1032, 0.1193, 0.1071, 0.1229, 0.112, 0.1037, 0.0807, 0.0826, 0.115, 0.1462, 0.129, 0.1068, 0.1148, 0.0834, 0.088, 0.0651, 0.0821, 0.069, 0.0828, 0.103, 0.1111, 0.1013, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.1063, 0.1038, 0.1103, 0.103, 0.1324, 0.1223, 0.1296, 0.1239, 0.1088, 0.114, 0.1143, 0.1204, 0.1343, 0.1491, 0.1328, 0.1333, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.1268, 0.1302, 0.1124, 0.1158, 0.1146, 0.0944, 0.1075, 0.1174, 0.1236, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1167, 0.1051, 0.11, 0.1125, 0.1232, 0.1191, 0.1144, 0.12, 0.1175, 0.1204, 0.1377, 0.1485, 0.1342, 0.1273, 0.1168, 0.1096, 0.1127, 0.0934, 0.1007, 0.1231, 0.1296, 0.1305, 0.1281, 0.1376, 0.1374, 0.121, 0.12, 0.1234, 0.1163, 0.117, 0.1152, 0.1091, 0.1203, 0.1164, 0.1284, 0.1257, 0.1338, 0.1361, 0.1446, 0.1556, 0.1556, 0.1829, 0.1922, 0.1869, 0.2028, 0.2165]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1900599482154127512", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-03-14T17:26:42+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Dollar has much further to fall. #Gold #Silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD has much further to fall; bullish gold and silver as dollar weakens on external drain of UST recycling.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Geoffrey nails it:\n\n“External Drain. Someone is not recycling their dollars acquired in trade into UST.”\n\nHe has been so ahead on this macro play for our clients! https://t.co/yLau2ZoVYV\n\nTRANSLATION:\nUS Dollar has much further to fall. #Gold #Silver", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "HOLY SHITARSKY!\nAnother 5,148,338 ounces of silver deposited into the Comex vault system on Wednesday.\nThat makes the 3-day deposit total (Mon-Wed) over 12,500,000 ounces or 388 metric tonnes!!\nYes, that's a lot and it's unprecedented.\nBig question: Where is it coming from?? https://t.co/yrmVZFOWyv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009769028830963755, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009769028830963755, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021214777382331018, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021214777382331018, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020237874499234643, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020237874499234643, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032562808352634143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032562808352634143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004455166258690024, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004455166258690024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0077114470939534385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0077114470939534385, "ret_p1w": -0.022468207335696544, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022468207335696544, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027561484067016195, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027561484067016195, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005093276731319651, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005093276731319651, "ret_p1m": -0.043308367416348026, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.043308367416348026, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004097582089882534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004097582089882534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03921078532646549, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03921078532646549, "ret_p3m": 0.0729404671196936, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0729404671196936, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0012308810710031093, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0012308810710031093, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07170958604869049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07170958604869049, "ret_p6m": 0.22142622728043992, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22142622728043992, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06169974534097311, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06169974534097311, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1597264819394668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1597264819394668, "ret_p1y": 1.4317812612028011, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.4317812612028011, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.208776593036812, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.208776593036812, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22300466816598918, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22300466816598918, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.043308367416348026, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004097582089882534, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004097582089882534, "price_path": [-0.0944, -0.1257, -0.1364, -0.1234, -0.1211, -0.1202, -0.1202, -0.1162, -0.1286, -0.1394, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.1231, -0.1215, -0.113, -0.1101, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.1009, -0.1221, -0.1143, -0.0895, -0.0869, -0.1009, -0.1009, -0.0869, -0.0866, -0.0957, -0.0912, -0.1058, -0.1003, -0.0882, -0.0648, -0.0716, -0.0664, -0.0485, -0.0443, -0.0433, -0.0547, -0.0492, -0.0557, -0.0446, -0.0407, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0261, -0.0293, -0.0247, -0.0365, -0.0414, -0.0612, -0.0576, -0.0752, -0.0782, -0.0638, -0.0557, -0.0306, -0.0332, -0.0365, -0.0521, -0.0244, -0.016, 0.001, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0046, 0.0013, -0.0068, -0.0225, -0.0244, -0.0042, -0.0059, 0.0199, 0.0094, 0.0091, -0.0026, 0.0016, -0.0593, -0.1182, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.0863, -0.0791, -0.0495, -0.0433, -0.0423, -0.0309, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.03, -0.0394, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0215, -0.0169, -0.0287, -0.0361, -0.043, -0.0518, -0.0401, -0.016, -0.0397, -0.0407, -0.0296, -0.0352, -0.0254, -0.0475, -0.0358, -0.0459, -0.042, -0.0189, -0.0065, -0.0221, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0156, -0.0238, -0.0134, -0.0231, 0.0287, 0.0238, 0.0205, 0.0567, 0.0645, 0.0873, 0.0821, 0.0729, 0.0765, 0.0736, 0.0755, 0.0987, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0655, 0.0733, 0.0619, 0.0749, 0.0856, 0.0622, 0.0684, 0.0658, 0.0824, 0.0912, 0.0912, 0.0886, 0.084, 0.0746, 0.099, 0.1407, 0.1276, 0.1156, 0.1205, 0.1283, 0.127, 0.1511, 0.1631, 0.1622, 0.1556, 0.1286, 0.128, 0.1286, 0.0912, 0.085, 0.0938, 0.1065, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1319, 0.1358, 0.113, 0.1205, 0.1397, 0.1234, 0.1234, 0.125, 0.1029, 0.1211, 0.127, 0.1508, 0.1403, 0.1403, 0.1394, 0.1566, 0.1784, 0.1784, 0.2097, 0.2159, 0.2025, 0.2117, 0.2214]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1913995736104026481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-20T16:38:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bitcoin is falling with USD as capital flows & confidence pressure the USD lower", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC: falling alongside USD as capital flows and confidence weigh on the dollar.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“No counterparty risk” can also mean hard to mitigate risks. As such, some would say “Bitcoin has no value”. \n\nAt the very least - Be Careful What You Ask For From Bitcoin - bitcoin is falling with USD as capital flows &amp; confidence pressure the USD lower.\n\nhttps://t.co/ltdTySAcUq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin has no counterparty risk.\nNo company. No country. No creditor. No currency. No competitor. No culture. Not even chaos.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0594394134075692, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024382970246180857, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04165886727232859, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601775974219156, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013294157628295666, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194278224719541, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06653195554298952, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1536739463960557, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13725203171479627, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576595904077257, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.003573672251755422, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2960791308937274, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5179192663540239, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33058206599910056, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06653195554298952, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1925962762871570865", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T17:11:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bearish into $NVDA, then let's see.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on NVDA going into the print/event; watching for next move after.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bearish into $NVDA, then let’s see. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011729735643340788, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011729735643340788, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004857079535538045, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00246330834625752, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872656107802744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014193043989598308, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.02924833976941832, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02924833976941832, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011497041981645362, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019519602502374944, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017751297787772957, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009728737267043375, "ret_p1m": 0.09817974018235187, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09817974018235187, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058784449272792694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004920004741113315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529090955918, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10309974492346519, "ret_p3m": 0.3360665162973775, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3360665162973775, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2309286864317408, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1190854030745061, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513782986563669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2169811132228714, "ret_p6m": 0.42145997872484053, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42145997872484053, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26539487360379055, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.011744089787470102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15606510512104999, "bench_c_p6m": 0.43320406851231064, "ret_p1y": 0.6820171365125032, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6820171365125032, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3927247419961355, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6890929527768543, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2892923945163677, "bench_c_p1y": 1.3711100892893575, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09817974018235187, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.058784449272792694, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004920004741113315, "price_path": [-0.0356, -0.0002, -0.0849, -0.0486, -0.1313, -0.1166, -0.1066, -0.1579, -0.1417, -0.1852, -0.1717, -0.1184, -0.1197, -0.0733, -0.0896, -0.1208, -0.1049, -0.0972, -0.1035, -0.0753, -0.0807, -0.1335, -0.1513, -0.1647, -0.1745, -0.161, -0.159, -0.2246, -0.2817, -0.2563, -0.2665, -0.1292, -0.1807, -0.1551, -0.1568, -0.1454, -0.2041, -0.227, -0.227, -0.2619, -0.2468, -0.2177, -0.1894, -0.1545, -0.1718, -0.1696, -0.1704, -0.1499, -0.1279, -0.1331, -0.1352, -0.1084, -0.106, -0.1115, -0.0631, -0.0104, 0.0308, 0.027, 0.0313, 0.0326, 0.0235, 0.0039, 0.0117, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0321, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0292, 0.0464, 0.0756, 0.081, 0.0663, 0.0794, 0.0864, 0.0965, 0.088, 0.1045, 0.0814, 0.1021, 0.0978, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.0957, 0.0982, 0.1266, 0.1754, 0.1808, 0.2016, 0.2035, 0.1677, 0.1978, 0.2137, 0.2137, 0.2054, 0.2188, 0.2407, 0.25, 0.2562, 0.2498, 0.3003, 0.3054, 0.3178, 0.3133, 0.3054, 0.2723, 0.3009, 0.3234, 0.3216, 0.3463, 0.3369, 0.3655, 0.3549, 0.3233, 0.3711, 0.3579, 0.3667, 0.377, 0.3917, 0.3868, 0.3952, 0.3832, 0.3865, 0.3745, 0.3864, 0.3379, 0.3361, 0.3329, 0.3558, 0.3697, 0.3846, 0.3833, 0.3724, 0.3268, 0.3268, 0.3009, 0.2997, 0.3076, 0.2722, 0.2821, 0.3007, 0.3508, 0.3496, 0.3546, 0.354, 0.3322, 0.2972, 0.3425, 0.3458, 0.3987, 0.3592, 0.3481, 0.3536, 0.3574, 0.3853, 0.4213, 0.4263, 0.4389, 0.4292, 0.4134, 0.4096, 0.4406, 0.4669, 0.3953, 0.4346, 0.3714, 0.3699, 0.385, 0.3957, 0.3913, 0.38, 0.3733, 0.3876, 0.4189, 0.4587, 0.5314, 0.5772, 0.5456, 0.5425, 0.5759, 0.5136, 0.487, 0.4327, 0.4333, 0.5163, 0.4714, 0.4763, 0.4234, 0.4487, 0.4215]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1899848045769920720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-12T15:40:46+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver Are In Still Trend", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold and silver remain in an uptrend.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A short video on why Gold &amp; Silver Are In Still Trend.\n\n@HansCashFlow and I meet again today after the close for MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR. Join us!\n\nhttps://t.co/J77zkI06wM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004327980498913253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004327980498913253, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009504972769168729, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009504972769168729, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017756144523255468, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017756144523255468, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031086691934691935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031086691934691935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "ret_p1w": 0.03987718460680334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03987718460680334, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025097246887931357, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025097246887931357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "ret_p1m": 0.08145607452010695, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08145607452010695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13998831578982973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13998831578982973, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "ret_p3m": 0.1342433705008923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1342433705008923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.057993199157809094, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057993199157809094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "ret_p6m": 0.20848599366934928, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20848599366934928, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04006146360483087, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04006146360483087, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "ret_p1y": 0.7894796139113562, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7894796139113562, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5476063857987827, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5476063857987827, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08145607452010695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13998831578982973, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13998831578982973, "price_path": [-0.0963, -0.0941, -0.0976, -0.1149, -0.1137, -0.1044, -0.1086, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1008, -0.107, -0.1099, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.0921, -0.0993, -0.1004, -0.0953, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0818, -0.091, -0.0862, -0.0793, -0.073, -0.0779, -0.0779, -0.0636, -0.0588, -0.0601, -0.0543, -0.0641, -0.056, -0.0597, -0.0454, -0.0435, -0.0384, -0.029, -0.0229, -0.0255, -0.0238, -0.0073, -0.0109, -0.0098, -0.0001, -0.0149, -0.0149, 0.0014, 0.0019, 0.0024, 0.0015, 0.007, -0.0063, -0.0048, -0.02, -0.0261, -0.0133, -0.0047, -0.0026, -0.0077, -0.0072, -0.0159, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0182, 0.0237, 0.0356, 0.0399, 0.0385, 0.0302, 0.0256, 0.0301, 0.0293, 0.0431, 0.0508, 0.0659, 0.0638, 0.066, 0.0595, 0.0347, 0.0125, 0.018, 0.0557, 0.0815, 0.1021, 0.0958, 0.1015, 0.1374, 0.1324, 0.1324, 0.1674, 0.1509, 0.1233, 0.1396, 0.1273, 0.1433, 0.1322, 0.1237, 0.1004, 0.1023, 0.1352, 0.167, 0.1495, 0.1269, 0.1351, 0.1031, 0.1078, 0.0845, 0.1018, 0.0884, 0.1025, 0.123, 0.1313, 0.1213, 0.1458, 0.1458, 0.1264, 0.1238, 0.1305, 0.1231, 0.1529, 0.1427, 0.1501, 0.1443, 0.1289, 0.1342, 0.1346, 0.1407, 0.1549, 0.17, 0.1533, 0.1539, 0.1477, 0.1477, 0.1472, 0.1507, 0.1327, 0.1361, 0.1348, 0.1143, 0.1276, 0.1377, 0.144, 0.1362, 0.1362, 0.137, 0.1251, 0.1302, 0.1327, 0.1436, 0.1394, 0.1347, 0.1403, 0.1378, 0.1408, 0.1583, 0.1693, 0.1548, 0.1477, 0.1371, 0.1298, 0.1329, 0.1133, 0.1207, 0.1435, 0.1501, 0.151, 0.1486, 0.1583, 0.158, 0.1414, 0.1403, 0.1438, 0.1366, 0.1372, 0.1355, 0.1292, 0.1407, 0.1367, 0.1489, 0.1461, 0.1544, 0.1568, 0.1654, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.2044, 0.2138, 0.2085]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1899848045769920720", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-12T15:40:46+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver Are In Still Trend", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold and silver remain in an uptrend.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A short video on why Gold &amp; Silver Are In Still Trend.\n\n@HansCashFlow and I meet again today after the close for MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR. Join us!\n\nhttps://t.co/J77zkI06wM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008603581561530294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008603581561530294, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0033251037857001675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0033251037857001675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017207163123060587, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017207163123060587, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030537710534497053, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030537710534497053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "ret_p1w": 0.017538077388747464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017538077388747464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002758139669875481, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002758139669875481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "ret_p1m": -0.06419585277262663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06419585277262663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0056636115029038425, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0056636115029038425, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "ret_p3m": 0.10489742383591305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10489742383591305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028647252492829844, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028647252492829844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "ret_p6m": 0.22203842304046906, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22203842304046906, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05361389297595065, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05361389297595065, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "ret_p1y": 1.8123759032056523, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.8123759032056523, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.5705026750930788, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.5705026750930788, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06419585277262663, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0056636115029038425, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0056636115029038425, "price_path": [-0.0817, -0.0801, -0.0797, -0.1115, -0.1224, -0.1092, -0.1069, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.1019, -0.1145, -0.1254, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1089, -0.1072, -0.0986, -0.0956, -0.0933, -0.0933, -0.0864, -0.1079, -0.0999, -0.0748, -0.0721, -0.0864, -0.0864, -0.0721, -0.0718, -0.0811, -0.0764, -0.0913, -0.0857, -0.0735, -0.0496, -0.0566, -0.0513, -0.0331, -0.0288, -0.0278, -0.0394, -0.0338, -0.0404, -0.0291, -0.0251, -0.0301, -0.0301, -0.0103, -0.0136, -0.0089, -0.0208, -0.0258, -0.046, -0.0424, -0.0602, -0.0632, -0.0486, -0.0404, -0.0149, -0.0175, -0.0208, -0.0367, -0.0086, 0.0, 0.0172, 0.0162, 0.0195, 0.0208, 0.0175, 0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0086, 0.0119, 0.0103, 0.0364, 0.0258, 0.0255, 0.0136, 0.0179, -0.044, -0.1039, -0.1019, -0.1019, -0.0715, -0.0642, -0.0341, -0.0278, -0.0268, -0.0152, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0142, -0.0238, 0.0113, 0.0113, -0.0056, -0.001, -0.0129, -0.0205, -0.0275, -0.0364, -0.0245, 0.0, -0.0242, -0.0251, -0.0139, -0.0195, -0.0096, -0.0321, -0.0202, -0.0304, -0.0265, -0.003, 0.0096, -0.0063, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0003, -0.0079, 0.0026, -0.0073, 0.0453, 0.0404, 0.0371, 0.0738, 0.0817, 0.1049, 0.0996, 0.0903, 0.094, 0.091, 0.093, 0.1165, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.0827, 0.0907, 0.0791, 0.0923, 0.1032, 0.0794, 0.0857, 0.0831, 0.0999, 0.1089, 0.1089, 0.1062, 0.1016, 0.092, 0.1168, 0.1592, 0.1459, 0.1337, 0.1386, 0.1466, 0.1453, 0.1698, 0.182, 0.181, 0.1744, 0.1469, 0.1463, 0.1469, 0.1089, 0.1026, 0.1115, 0.1244, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1502, 0.1542, 0.131, 0.1386, 0.1582, 0.1416, 0.1416, 0.1433, 0.1208, 0.1393, 0.1453, 0.1694, 0.1588, 0.1588, 0.1578, 0.1754, 0.1976, 0.1976, 0.2293, 0.2356, 0.222]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899951333886636367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-12T22:31:12+00:00", "symbol": "ANF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're never gonna see Abercrombie back at $200.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ANF; author endorses it won't reclaim $200.", "resolved_tickers": ["ANF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"You're never gonna see Abercrombie back at $200.\" $ANF  ;-)))", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Big Shorts - my Top Ten version anyway ;-)\n\n$DAL $UAL $JETS $ARM $CVNA $ANF $IRM $INTU $NVO $FDX\n\nhttps://t.co/j1MkgIb2Vn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007770266502295842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007770266502295842, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005740385293463435, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017826752797118983, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013510651795759276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025597019299414825, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05083630442298892, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05083630442298892, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030180398287720678, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02954872017601584, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020655906135268243, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02128758424697308, "ret_p1w": 0.08455153619310196, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08455153619310196, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.059035569166626445, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06305616703418004, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025515967026475517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021495369158921918, "ret_p1m": -0.03055445391149403, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03055445391149403, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0017674111317225183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018312519569284258, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02878704277977151, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01224193434220977, "ret_p3m": 0.0679572765965486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0679572765965486, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029018326503469805, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058863663894813456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0969756031000184, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12682094049136206, "ret_p6m": 0.25602531757241564, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25602531757241564, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07524431460238468, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.029346151248720753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18078100297003097, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2266791663236949, "ret_p1y": 0.28868692322988343, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.28868692322988343, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.029319493327218726, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07977100477573273, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2593674299026647, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2089159184541507, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03055445391149403, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0017674111317225183, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018312519569284258, "price_path": [0.934, 1.0116, 0.9083, 1.0183, 1.0356, 1.0145, 1.0028, 1.0028, 1.0458, 1.0266, 1.0367, 0.9685, 0.9685, 1.0182, 1.093, 1.0574, 1.0036, 0.9968, 0.9968, 1.1193, 0.7874, 0.7304, 0.712, 0.6872, 0.7167, 0.7167, 0.6631, 0.6933, 0.6351, 0.6254, 0.5742, 0.5913, 0.6148, 0.6161, 0.5722, 0.5218, 0.5119, 0.4965, 0.5131, 0.511, 0.4907, 0.4411, 0.4343, 0.45, 0.476, 0.476, 0.4334, 0.3843, 0.3585, 0.3185, 0.3453, 0.3293, 0.3707, 0.3357, 0.3564, 0.2737, 0.2658, 0.1488, 0.1008, 0.133, 0.0295, 0.0363, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0508, 0.0884, 0.0497, 0.0876, 0.0846, 0.0454, 0.0449, 0.0079, -0.0028, 0.0211, 0.0084, 0.0058, 0.0374, 0.0982, -0.0747, -0.0342, -0.0424, -0.1184, 0.0171, -0.0387, -0.0306, -0.0406, -0.0715, -0.0864, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0416, -0.013, -0.0284, -0.0377, -0.0565, -0.0693, -0.0852, -0.0857, -0.091, -0.0677, -0.0855, -0.0835, -0.0824, -0.0348, -0.0365, 0.0295, 0.0722, 0.0579, 0.0491, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0094, -0.0437, 0.0109, -0.0363, -0.0363, 0.0161, 0.1652, 0.0936, 0.0337, 0.0317, 0.0121, 0.0013, 0.0473, 0.093, 0.0797, 0.068, 0.0406, 0.0371, -0.0167, -0.0122, -0.0125, -0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0275, 0.0109, 0.0483, 0.0468, 0.0518, 0.0894, 0.0911, 0.1625, 0.1833, 0.2064, 0.2064, 0.1692, 0.1457, 0.1463, 0.1621, 0.1766, 0.213, 0.1746, 0.1803, 0.2307, 0.231, 0.2552, 0.2606, 0.2519, 0.2361, 0.2161, 0.299, 0.2895, 0.2995, 0.2646, 0.1993, 0.3053, 0.3088, 0.3588, 0.3613, 0.358, 0.3186, 0.3386, 0.3327, 0.2817, 0.2356, 0.2602, 0.2496, 0.2109, 0.2234, 0.2967, 0.3138, 0.2741, 0.2559, 0.2712, 0.2318, 0.2318, 0.2107, 0.2176, 0.2311, 0.256]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1898161784802230766", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-08T00:00:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTCUSD will not rise until/unless QE is restarted. And if/when QE is started, after the initial risk-on excitement, bonds will crash with stocks and bitcoin. Bitcoin is trapped.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC: won't rise without QE, and even if QE restarts bonds/stocks/bitcoin crash after initial excitement; Bitcoin is trapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Financial conditions are not easing. They are being reset to push down dollar, yields and oil so as to unwind equity leverage from Wall St to stimulate real growth from Main St . \n\nAll your examples of BTC troughs triggered by falling USD were in fact POLICY INTERFERENCE & LIQUIDITY INFUSIONS.\n\nNow we’re in Fiscal Dominance (& trade wars) where rising yields inflate assets & falling yields deflate them. \n\nThis time is different!\n\n$BTCUSD will not rise until/unless QE is restarted. \n\nAnd if/when QE is started, after the initial risk-on excitement, bonds will crash with stocks and bitcoin.\n\nBitcoin is trapped.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The move in the DXY this week was absolutely massive.\n \nThis kind of decline has only happened three other times in the last twelve years. And when we look at what it meant for Bitcoin going forward, it's pretty eye-opening...\n \nBack in August 2015, when we saw that -4 standard https://t.co/WUwWhvX5NK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BittelJulien", "ret_m1d": 0.10455192628482646, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10455192628482646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07718743974049036, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.05513944554449135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05513944554449135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0634523358012723, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.07059144679875717, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07059144679875717, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058871340202398814, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.028778674616716793, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028778674616716793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08290298216285408, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.29343392661590184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29343392661590184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.232329504355407, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.4159907545650181, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4159907545650181, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26701200030364447, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.13461869047012687, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13461869047012687, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3856261155372812, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.028778674616716793, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08290298216285408, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2883, 0.2739, 0.2919, 0.3501, 0.3516, 0.2739, 0.2414, 0.2448, 0.2057, 0.2565, 0.2644, 0.2198, 0.1991, 0.1797, 0.1897, 0.2023, 0.2337, 0.2493, 0.2998, 0.2342, 0.2103, 0.1777, 0.2059, 0.2035, 0.2292, 0.2798, 0.2703, 0.3302, 0.299, 0.3516, 0.3199, 0.3238, 0.3347, 0.3, 0.2903, 0.3205, 0.3337, 0.304, 0.2913, 0.2463, 0.2303, 0.23, 0.2292, 0.2407, 0.2192, 0.2464, 0.2304, 0.2416, 0.2195, 0.2166, 0.2305, 0.2522, 0.224, 0.1641, 0.1299, 0.074, 0.0786, 0.0744, 0.0959, 0.1107, 0.154, 0.1455, 0.1046, 0.0, 0.0551, 0.0661, 0.0323, 0.0692, 0.0706, 0.0533, 0.106, 0.0718, 0.0702, 0.1142, 0.1138, 0.1066, 0.1101, 0.0741, 0.0512, 0.0845, 0.0503, 0.0582, 0.0676, 0.009, -0.0288, 0.0515, 0.0139, 0.062, 0.0765, 0.0654, 0.0701, 0.081, 0.0754, 0.1144, 0.1899, 0.1931, 0.1962, 0.2061, 0.2094, 0.2006, 0.1996, 0.2287, 0.234, 0.2065, 0.2327, 0.2356, 0.3146, 0.3112, 0.3092, 0.3265, 0.3184, 0.321, 0.3178, 0.3448, 0.3598, 0.3966, 0.422, 0.3662, 0.3936, 0.3879, 0.3727, 0.3452, 0.3243, 0.3483, 0.3425, 0.3336, 0.2934, 0.3293, 0.4044, 0.404, 0.384, 0.3489, 0.3509, 0.3599, 0.332, 0.3355, 0.333, 0.3155, 0.3444, 0.3503, 0.3671, 0.362, 0.3636, 0.3642, 0.3459, 0.3862, 0.3962, 0.3757, 0.3791, 0.3873, 0.4176, 0.4769, 0.4964, 0.5261, 0.4997, 0.512, 0.519, 0.5026, 0.4954, 0.528, 0.5122, 0.5073, 0.4979, 0.5016, 0.5016, 0.5004, 0.474, 0.443, 0.4653, 0.4534, 0.4647, 0.4962, 0.4859, 0.5119, 0.5302, 0.5706, 0.5072, 0.4949, 0.4803, 0.4368, 0.4551, 0.4315, 0.4882, 0.4023, 0.4237, 0.4163, 0.4331, 0.3805, 0.3912, 0.416]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1884320489134514641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-28T19:19:48+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA and SMH likely get defended soon - as soon as Trump realizes he has to.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NVDA and SMH to be defended/supported soon once Trump acts, implying near-term bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What did I write to clients yday? 🤣👍����\n\n“NVDA and SMH likely get defended soon - as soon as Trump realizes he has to. “ https://t.co/9nfUbC5Zwa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A Red Swan Disrupts US Big Tech\nAnd what does this mean for $BABA?\n\nhttps://t.co/icaqjHe5rQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08194433946594681, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08194433946594681, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07342491587848077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06264717378330764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019297165682639172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041010939378136047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041010939378136047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03652786998673263, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.037184785997166236, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00382615338096981, "ret_p1w": -0.08016129120155924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08016129120155924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07562872371264906, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08440337787024177, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004242086668682532, "ret_p1m": 0.01775335800216138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01775335800216138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034262411224733946, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003737921237197961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014015436764963418, "ret_p3m": -0.13931144873249024, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13931144873249024, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05292289154247054, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.020866901729928, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11844454700256224, "ret_p6m": 0.3241923059699212, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3241923059699212, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2688122530049031, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1322189144967445, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1919733914731767, "ret_p1y": 0.45050908187082817, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.45050908187082817, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.29195517392414483, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20323797798244292, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6537470598532711, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08016129120155924, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07562872371264906, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08440337787024177, "price_path": [0.0292, 0.0496, 0.0547, 0.0846, 0.1288, 0.1541, 0.1444, 0.1261, 0.1495, 0.1339, 0.1377, 0.1006, 0.0864, 0.1396, 0.1309, 0.137, 0.1004, 0.0544, 0.0614, 0.0492, 0.0492, 0.0717, 0.0747, 0.0873, 0.1251, 0.1246, 0.1043, 0.0761, 0.0471, 0.08, 0.0647, 0.0408, 0.0233, 0.0109, -0.0006, 0.0131, 0.0443, 0.0828, 0.0871, 0.0871, 0.0848, 0.0622, 0.0659, 0.0411, 0.0411, 0.0723, 0.12, 0.1585, 0.0864, 0.0862, 0.0862, 0.0536, 0.0329, 0.0215, 0.0562, 0.0355, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0918, 0.1402, 0.1413, 0.1057, -0.0819, 0.0, -0.041, -0.0336, -0.0692, -0.0956, -0.0802, -0.0323, -0.0024, 0.0066, 0.0355, 0.0295, 0.0167, 0.0488, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0807, 0.0794, 0.0862, 0.0422, 0.01, -0.0183, 0.0178, -0.0685, -0.0316, -0.1157, -0.1008, -0.0906, -0.1428, -0.1264, -0.1706, -0.1568, -0.1026, -0.1039, -0.0567, -0.0733, -0.105, -0.0888, -0.081, -0.0874, -0.0587, -0.0643, -0.118, -0.1361, -0.1497, -0.1597, -0.146, -0.1439, -0.2107, -0.2688, -0.243, -0.2534, -0.1136, -0.166, -0.1399, -0.1416, -0.1301, -0.1899, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2486, -0.2333, -0.2037, -0.1748, -0.1393, -0.157, -0.1547, -0.1555, -0.1347, -0.1123, -0.1175, -0.1197, -0.0924, -0.09, -0.0956, -0.0464, 0.0074, 0.0493, 0.0454, 0.0498, 0.0511, 0.0419, 0.0219, 0.0299, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.0506, 0.0452, 0.0792, 0.0477, 0.0651, 0.0949, 0.1003, 0.0854, 0.0988, 0.1058, 0.1162, 0.1075, 0.1243, 0.1008, 0.1219, 0.1175, 0.128, 0.128, 0.1154, 0.1179, 0.1468, 0.1965, 0.202, 0.2232, 0.225, 0.1887, 0.2193, 0.2355, 0.2355, 0.227, 0.2406, 0.2629, 0.2724, 0.2788, 0.2722, 0.3236, 0.3288, 0.3414, 0.3368, 0.3288, 0.2951, 0.3242]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1884320489134514641", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-28T19:19:48+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA and SMH likely get defended soon - as soon as Trump realizes he has to.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NVDA and SMH to be defended/supported soon once Trump acts, implying near-term bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What did I write to clients yday? 🤣👍����\n\n“NVDA and SMH likely get defended soon - as soon as Trump realizes he has to. “ https://t.co/9nfUbC5Zwa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A Red Swan Disrupts US Big Tech\nAnd what does this mean for $BABA?\n\nhttps://t.co/icaqjHe5rQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019297165682639172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019297165682639172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010777742095173126, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010777742095173126, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008519423587466046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00382615338096981, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00382615338096981, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006569160104336058, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006569160104336058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004483069391403416, "ret_p1w": 0.004242086668682532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004242086668682532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00877465415759271, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00877465415759271, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045325674889101775, "ret_p1m": 0.014015436764963418, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014015436764963418, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030524489987535985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030524489987535985, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016509053222572567, "ret_p3m": -0.11844454700256224, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11844454700256224, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03205598981254254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03205598981254254, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0863885571900197, "ret_p6m": 0.1919733914731767, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1919733914731767, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13659333850815858, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13659333850815858, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055380052965018134, "ret_p1y": 0.6537470598532711, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6537470598532711, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.49519315190658775, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49519315190658775, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15855390794668334, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004242086668682532, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00877465415759271, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00877465415759271, "price_path": [0.0007, 0.0134, 0.0114, 0.0281, 0.055, 0.0808, 0.0738, 0.0497, 0.0428, 0.0253, 0.0276, -0.0065, 0.0001, 0.011, 0.0042, 0.019, 0.0129, 0.0089, -0.0004, -0.0135, -0.0135, 0.0025, 0.0263, 0.0286, 0.046, 0.0281, 0.0294, 0.0189, -0.0068, 0.0175, 0.0077, 0.033, 0.0486, 0.035, 0.002, -0.011, 0.0049, 0.0365, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0436, 0.0331, 0.0175, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.018, 0.0475, 0.0823, 0.0565, 0.049, 0.049, 0.028, 0.0174, 0.0208, 0.0447, 0.0492, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0912, 0.1111, 0.1098, 0.0877, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0196, 0.0132, -0.0069, 0.0042, 0.0278, 0.0329, 0.0189, 0.0381, 0.0392, 0.0335, 0.0477, 0.0504, 0.0504, 0.0656, 0.0702, 0.0722, 0.0397, 0.0124, -0.0091, 0.014, -0.0485, -0.0319, -0.0725, -0.0633, -0.046, -0.086, -0.0639, -0.1078, -0.1091, -0.0829, -0.0869, -0.0577, -0.0478, -0.0625, -0.0542, -0.0557, -0.0652, -0.0408, -0.0449, -0.0767, -0.0944, -0.1176, -0.1205, -0.1163, -0.1096, -0.1866, -0.2481, -0.231, -0.2516, -0.1232, -0.184, -0.1628, -0.1615, -0.1561, -0.1917, -0.1993, -0.1993, -0.2188, -0.2019, -0.1728, -0.1309, -0.1184, -0.1239, -0.1254, -0.1213, -0.1171, -0.0891, -0.095, -0.1034, -0.085, -0.0769, -0.0709, -0.0126, 0.0213, 0.0314, 0.0278, 0.0248, 0.0231, 0.0212, 0.0042, 0.0015, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0188, 0.0079, 0.0151, -0.0029, 0.0119, 0.0347, 0.047, 0.0451, 0.0511, 0.0687, 0.0899, 0.0891, 0.0944, 0.0688, 0.0954, 0.0879, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.0824, 0.0893, 0.1293, 0.1445, 0.1528, 0.1579, 0.1598, 0.1472, 0.1697, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.1635, 0.179, 0.187, 0.1958, 0.1956, 0.1866, 0.2094, 0.2031, 0.2132, 0.2074, 0.2082, 0.1868, 0.192]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1900147704585458063", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-13T11:31:30+00:00", "symbol": "WMT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd short $WMT & $COST before earnings and after earnings and until this downturn is over.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Recommends shorting WMT and COST through earnings and until the downturn ends, citing tariff pressures on Chinese suppliers.", "resolved_tickers": ["WMT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d short $WMT &amp; $COST before earnings and after earnings and until this downturn is over. 👇👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Walmart has the gall to demand Chinese suppliers to take 100% of the tariff cost which will push Chinese suppliers into bankruptcy. Now the CPC is getting involved. The CPC will no longer allow foreign companies to press Chinese companies like this...🧵\n\nhttps://t.co/jJlyFldxt5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008283968218539162, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008283968218539162, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005226683577220115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036199002407641956, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013510651795759276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004664067977774966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010059163096006518, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010059163096006518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010596743039261725, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007790269835233454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020655906135268243, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002268893260773064, "ret_p1w": 0.01550289272205796, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01550289272205796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010013074304417557, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015124843201246962, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025515967026475517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00037804952081099685, "ret_p1m": 0.10124065055337339, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10124065055337339, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1300276933331449, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08301786880240503, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02878704277977151, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018222781750968364, "ret_p3m": 0.15767103729931709, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15767103729931709, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06069543419929868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12158017466184701, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0969756031000184, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609086263747008, "ret_p6m": 0.19841019484223432, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19841019484223432, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.017629191872203354, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16656769474362343, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18078100297003097, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03184250009861089, "ret_p1y": 0.518539749841932, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.518539749841932, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25917231993926726, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.36975446120435196, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2593674299026647, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14878528863758, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10124065055337339, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1300276933331449, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08301786880240503, "price_path": [0.1227, 0.1292, 0.1071, 0.1053, 0.0916, 0.0692, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.0981, 0.0847, 0.0718, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0651, 0.0743, 0.082, 0.0747, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.1006, 0.0832, 0.0744, 0.0809, 0.0805, 0.088, 0.088, 0.1015, 0.1033, 0.1102, 0.1214, 0.1527, 0.1514, 0.1538, 0.1675, 0.1617, 0.178, 0.1925, 0.2125, 0.2172, 0.197, 0.218, 0.2127, 0.2262, 0.2432, 0.2312, 0.2312, 0.2282, 0.2308, 0.1504, 0.1217, 0.1085, 0.1561, 0.1385, 0.1454, 0.167, 0.1549, 0.1239, 0.1359, 0.12, 0.0854, 0.0393, 0.0348, 0.0083, 0.0, 0.0101, 0.035, 0.0129, 0.0217, 0.0155, 0.0203, 0.0382, 0.0058, 0.0112, 0.0162, 0.0105, 0.0418, 0.0541, 0.0652, 0.0355, -0.0128, -0.0052, -0.0294, 0.0633, 0.0753, 0.1012, 0.1241, 0.1151, 0.0821, 0.1062, 0.1062, 0.0966, 0.1256, 0.1269, 0.1373, 0.1284, 0.13, 0.1397, 0.154, 0.1559, 0.1718, 0.1787, 0.1695, 0.1728, 0.1562, 0.1505, 0.1509, 0.1405, 0.1518, 0.1461, 0.1686, 0.1672, 0.1634, 0.1471, 0.1411, 0.146, 0.146, 0.1608, 0.1567, 0.1551, 0.1743, 0.1868, 0.1893, 0.1818, 0.1653, 0.1595, 0.1592, 0.1577, 0.1396, 0.1281, 0.1234, 0.1216, 0.1212, 0.1311, 0.1311, 0.1434, 0.1642, 0.1658, 0.157, 0.1422, 0.1571, 0.1631, 0.1686, 0.1611, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1818, 0.1549, 0.1516, 0.1284, 0.1229, 0.1394, 0.1347, 0.1319, 0.1311, 0.1307, 0.138, 0.1402, 0.1382, 0.1491, 0.1595, 0.1611, 0.1697, 0.1609, 0.1655, 0.1716, 0.1847, 0.1813, 0.2295, 0.2267, 0.2339, 0.2363, 0.2326, 0.2013, 0.1997, 0.1923, 0.2007, 0.2077, 0.223, 0.168, 0.1545, 0.1455, 0.1452, 0.1456, 0.1459, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1667, 0.1857, 0.2034, 0.1984]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1900147704585458063", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-13T11:31:30+00:00", "symbol": "COST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd short $WMT & $COST before earnings and after earnings and until this downturn is over.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Recommends shorting WMT and COST through earnings and until the downturn ends, citing tariff pressures on Chinese suppliers.", "resolved_tickers": ["COST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rec’d short $WMT &amp; $COST before earnings and after earnings and until this downturn is over. 👇👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Walmart has the gall to demand Chinese suppliers to take 100% of the tariff cost which will push Chinese suppliers into bankruptcy. Now the CPC is getting involved. The CPC will no longer allow foreign companies to press Chinese companies like this...🧵\n\nhttps://t.co/jJlyFldxt5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0409377120444967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0409377120444967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027427060248737423, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03627364406672173, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013510651795759276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004664067977774966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014933315078774267, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014933315078774267, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005722591056493975, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012664421818001204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020655906135268243, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002268893260773064, "ret_p1w": 0.0053670612075873425, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0053670612075873425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020148905818888174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004989011686776346, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025515967026475517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00037804952081099685, "ret_p1m": 0.0817294750243196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0817294750243196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11051651780409111, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06350669327335123, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02878704277977151, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018222781750968364, "ret_p3m": 0.13244970778098963, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13244970778098963, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03547410468097123, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09635884514351956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0969756031000184, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609086263747008, "ret_p6m": 0.08471836005420341, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08471836005420341, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09606264291582756, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05287585995559252, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18078100297003097, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03184250009861089, "ret_p1y": 0.1320940475070762, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1320940475070762, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1272733823955885, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.016691241130503798, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2593674299026647, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14878528863758, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0817294750243196, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11051651780409111, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06350669327335123, "price_path": [0.1136, 0.1015, 0.082, 0.0709, 0.0701, 0.0654, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0724, 0.0539, 0.0343, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.0204, 0.028, 0.0349, 0.0334, 0.0401, 0.0401, 0.0508, 0.0371, 0.0287, 0.0358, 0.0316, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0629, 0.0596, 0.0567, 0.0539, 0.0826, 0.0752, 0.0812, 0.098, 0.099, 0.1281, 0.1461, 0.1697, 0.1788, 0.172, 0.1923, 0.1883, 0.1959, 0.2091, 0.2035, 0.2035, 0.1857, 0.193, 0.1619, 0.1621, 0.1628, 0.1853, 0.1587, 0.1472, 0.1774, 0.1754, 0.1642, 0.1764, 0.1527, 0.0827, 0.0492, 0.0448, 0.0409, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0292, 0.0083, 0.0151, 0.0054, 0.0209, 0.0398, 0.0445, 0.0439, 0.054, 0.0438, 0.0619, 0.0716, 0.0836, 0.0859, 0.029, 0.0197, 0.0204, 0.0837, 0.0827, 0.0817, 0.0996, 0.0969, 0.0866, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.0754, 0.0995, 0.0957, 0.0953, 0.0972, 0.0987, 0.1135, 0.1166, 0.1217, 0.1336, 0.141, 0.1361, 0.1323, 0.1329, 0.1334, 0.1424, 0.1232, 0.1148, 0.136, 0.1533, 0.1629, 0.1657, 0.1527, 0.1447, 0.1338, 0.1338, 0.1443, 0.139, 0.1341, 0.1694, 0.1882, 0.1868, 0.1824, 0.1364, 0.1411, 0.1312, 0.1324, 0.1207, 0.1273, 0.1133, 0.1067, 0.0992, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.1021, 0.1293, 0.1264, 0.1091, 0.1051, 0.1076, 0.113, 0.1085, 0.1044, 0.1097, 0.1097, 0.1155, 0.1084, 0.1041, 0.0907, 0.0909, 0.1028, 0.0879, 0.0696, 0.0725, 0.0691, 0.0653, 0.0586, 0.0582, 0.0498, 0.0517, 0.0501, 0.0507, 0.0428, 0.0564, 0.0724, 0.0756, 0.0624, 0.0904, 0.1004, 0.1044, 0.1132, 0.116, 0.102, 0.0981, 0.0944, 0.1026, 0.1043, 0.1197, 0.0917, 0.0792, 0.0601, 0.0598, 0.069, 0.0639, 0.062, 0.062, 0.057, 0.0693, 0.0762, 0.0847]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892919328577597816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-21T12:48:31+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR short for clients is still looking great this morning. Down -10% on learning their Chief Accounting Officer quit FEB 12th but PLTR didn't announce publicly - just buried in their 10-K.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds PLTR short on CAO departure disclosure; bullish on undervalued China equities as US money rotates out of overvalued US stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PLTR short for clients is still looking great this morning. Down -10% on learning their Chief Accounting Officer quit FEB 12th but PLTR didn’t announce publicly - just buried in their 10-K. 😏\n\nSymptom of US overvalued stocks gonna make my case for me as money rotates into undervalued China plays.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "😳\n\ni guess I don't suck at this.\n\n$PLTR $126 back to $106 in a NY minute.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048544629926182026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048544629926182026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031142985964465186, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031142985964465186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01740164396171684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01740164396171684, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10527872056820808, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10527872056820808, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1007283141721631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1007283141721631, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004550406396044981, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004550406396044981, "ret_p1w": -0.16211150027171484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16211150027171484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15251047907670312, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15251047907670312, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009601021195011716, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009601021195011716, "ret_p1m": -0.045387257458081476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.045387257458081476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00516145796280143, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00516145796280143, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040225799495280046, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040225799495280046, "ret_p3m": 0.18973856582586746, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18973856582586746, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21528561832146653, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21528561832146653, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025547052495599076, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025547052495599076, "ret_p6m": 0.7171189087263188, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7171189087263188, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6384400797727581, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6384400797727581, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07867882895356071, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07867882895356071, "ret_p1y": 0.3765169867512006, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3765169867512006, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.20932093113348982, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20932093113348982, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16719605561771078, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16719605561771078, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.045387257458081476, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00516145796280143, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00516145796280143, "price_path": [-0.3514, -0.3483, -0.3483, -0.3381, -0.3449, -0.2999, -0.3108, -0.2909, -0.2468, -0.2851, -0.3005, -0.2846, -0.2778, -0.2494, -0.2526, -0.266, -0.2944, -0.2678, -0.2052, -0.2038, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1895, -0.2197, -0.2385, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.2581, -0.2117, -0.2509, -0.3094, -0.3268, -0.3268, -0.3364, -0.3589, -0.3497, -0.3277, -0.3168, -0.2919, -0.2919, -0.279, -0.2415, -0.2207, -0.2207, -0.2556, -0.2084, -0.213, -0.1986, -0.1861, -0.1738, 0.0245, 0.0001, 0.098, 0.0937, 0.151, 0.1112, 0.1583, 0.1634, 0.1757, 0.1757, 0.2296, 0.1057, 0.0485, 0.0, -0.1053, -0.1333, -0.1188, -0.1636, -0.1621, -0.1769, -0.1672, -0.1107, -0.2061, -0.1622, -0.2464, -0.2299, -0.1746, -0.2144, -0.1491, -0.1381, -0.1723, -0.1505, -0.1377, -0.1025, -0.0454, -0.0479, -0.0895, -0.1111, -0.1529, -0.1672, -0.1645, -0.1371, -0.1751, -0.2698, -0.232, -0.2371, -0.0922, -0.1259, -0.1263, -0.0861, -0.0291, -0.0852, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.1041, -0.0726, -0.0052, 0.0634, 0.1128, 0.1312, 0.1453, 0.1686, 0.1465, 0.2262, 0.2212, 0.0741, 0.0901, 0.1756, 0.1574, 0.1688, 0.2639, 0.2845, 0.2641, 0.2779, 0.2465, 0.2392, 0.1897, 0.2066, 0.2167, 0.2167, 0.2175, 0.2211, 0.2069, 0.3002, 0.3028, 0.314, 0.2828, 0.1831, 0.2602, 0.303, 0.3104, 0.3457, 0.3339, 0.3557, 0.3953, 0.3636, 0.381, 0.381, 0.3547, 0.3806, 0.4132, 0.41, 0.4233, 0.29, 0.345, 0.2894, 0.3036, 0.3257, 0.3257, 0.3727, 0.3785, 0.4122, 0.406, 0.4021, 0.4716, 0.466, 0.489, 0.5194, 0.5148, 0.4977, 0.4708, 0.5257, 0.528, 0.5668, 0.5578, 0.5416, 0.565, 0.5624, 0.5222, 0.5852, 0.7096, 0.7715, 0.7977, 0.8447, 0.8025, 0.8448, 0.8191, 0.7861, 0.7481, 0.7171]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1890391069323362486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-14T13:22:07+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's going to be a BIG rotation in money flow that the market doesn't see yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish China tech/KWEB/BABA on DeepSeek-driven rotation; bearish MAG7 concentration into year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From the tippy top in 2021 to the bottom in 2024, I have guided clients through every twist and turn with surprising precision.\n\nWhen everyone was getting excited in October that “this was the big one“ I said not yet. Ditto in December. Back then I said wait until ~March. \n\nThis recent bounce in Chinese ADRs specifically China Tech started early with DEEPSEEK bombshell, and it’s going to be a BIG rotation in money flow that the market doesn’t see yet. \n\nBut also headwind to the CONCENTRATION RISK that is MAG7 toward rest of year. $KWEB $BABA\n\nParabola risk is here. \n\nhttps://t.co/1zLvpmFfut", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "What a helluva week for China tech! Hang Seng Tech Index up another 5.56% on Friday 2/14.��� $KWEB $KTEC $CWEB\n\nAlmost all major components post gains larger than the index led by AI-related names:\n\n$BABA +6.3%\n$TCEHY +7.4%\n$JD +7.6%\n$MPNGF +6.4%\n$XIACF +7.3%\n$BILI +14.9%‼️\n$KUASF https://t.co/UXVOyVRMEI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03674619493105513, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03674619493105513, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03679527249682424, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03679527249682424, "bench_spy_m1d": 4.907756576910671e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 4.907756576910671e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.028050435156938835, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028050435156938835, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044058274534415354, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044058274534415354, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016007839377476518, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016007839377476518, "ret_p1m": 0.07405319422357892, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07405319422357892, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14384149274713842, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14384149274713842, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0697882985235595, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0697882985235595, "ret_p3m": -0.012061721174428719, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.012061721174428719, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02130287789444152, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02130287789444152, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03336459906887024, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03336459906887024, "ret_p6m": -0.004488137739000253, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.004488137739000253, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05372301645224753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05372301645224753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.049234878713247276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049234878713247276, "ret_p1y": 0.024318929213320795, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.024318929213320795, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11989498869559201, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11989498869559201, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1442139179089128, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1442139179089128, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07405319422357892, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14384149274713842, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14384149274713842, "price_path": [-0.1682, -0.1539, -0.1674, -0.1905, -0.187, -0.188, -0.1615, -0.1615, -0.1647, -0.1552, -0.156, -0.1691, -0.1655, -0.1569, -0.0722, -0.117, -0.1287, -0.1276, -0.14, -0.1626, -0.1453, -0.1647, -0.1649, -0.1596, -0.1576, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1548, -0.1666, -0.1835, -0.1798, -0.1798, -0.1944, -0.1871, -0.2008, -0.2056, -0.209, -0.209, -0.2345, -0.2295, -0.2084, -0.198, -0.2003, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1719, -0.1753, -0.1742, -0.1433, -0.1358, -0.1144, -0.1237, -0.0895, -0.1226, -0.1338, -0.1049, -0.1231, -0.1077, -0.0912, -0.0614, -0.0794, -0.0536, -0.0367, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0006, -0.0188, -0.0017, 0.0281, -0.0373, -0.0342, -0.0115, -0.0258, -0.0482, -0.0648, -0.0396, 0.0289, 0.0356, 0.0376, -0.0067, 0.0154, 0.0028, 0.002, 0.0317, 0.0741, 0.0612, 0.0558, 0.0182, -0.002, 0.0022, -0.0135, -0.0081, 0.0146, -0.0171, -0.0208, -0.0177, -0.0194, -0.0306, -0.1217, -0.1767, -0.2067, -0.1582, -0.1691, -0.1436, -0.1223, -0.1273, -0.1537, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1509, -0.1229, -0.1021, -0.1004, -0.1021, -0.1018, -0.0973, -0.0996, -0.0985, -0.0575, -0.0564, -0.0468, -0.0738, -0.0637, -0.0763, -0.025, -0.0272, -0.0121, -0.0381, -0.0379, -0.0367, -0.0376, -0.0494, -0.0544, -0.0511, -0.0511, -0.0595, -0.0682, -0.0547, -0.0816, -0.0698, -0.0712, -0.0482, -0.0401, -0.0396, -0.018, -0.0216, -0.0219, -0.0224, -0.0463, -0.023, -0.0356, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0659, -0.0561, -0.0275, -0.0342, -0.0367, -0.0328, -0.037, -0.0367, -0.0488, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.0499, -0.0325, -0.0457, -0.0446, -0.0502, -0.0384, -0.0003, -0.009, 0.0017, 0.016, 0.0123, 0.0213, 0.0396, 0.0264, 0.0185, 0.0098, 0.0031, -0.0146, -0.0059, -0.0323, -0.0109, -0.0042, 0.0087, 0.0059, 0.005, -0.0045]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1890391069323362486", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-14T13:22:07+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This recent bounce in Chinese ADRs specifically China Tech started early with DEEPSEEK bombshell, and it's going to be a BIG rotation in money flow that the market doesn't see yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish China tech/KWEB/BABA on DeepSeek-driven rotation; bearish MAG7 concentration into year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From the tippy top in 2021 to the bottom in 2024, I have guided clients through every twist and turn with surprising precision.\n\nWhen everyone was getting excited in October that “this was the big one“ I said not yet. Ditto in December. Back then I said wait until ~March. \n\nThis recent bounce in Chinese ADRs specifically China Tech started early with DEEPSEEK bombshell, and it’s going to be a BIG rotation in money flow that the market doesn’t see yet. \n\nBut also headwind to the CONCENTRATION RISK that is MAG7 toward rest of year. $KWEB $BABA\n\nParabola risk is here. \n\nhttps://t.co/1zLvpmFfut", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "What a helluva week for China tech! Hang Seng Tech Index up another 5.56% on Friday 2/14.��� $KWEB $KTEC $CWEB\n\nAlmost all major components post gains larger than the index led by AI-related names:\n\n$BABA +6.3%\n$TCEHY +7.4%\n$JD +7.6%\n$MPNGF +6.4%\n$XIACF +7.3%\n$BILI +14.9%‼️\n$KUASF https://t.co/UXVOyVRMEI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041609920444810045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041609920444810045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04165899801057915, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0420504926247659, "bench_spy_m1d": 4.907756576910671e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00044057217995585596, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1524894015131657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1524894015131657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16849724089064222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19041889569757897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016007839377476518, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03792949418441327, "ret_p1m": 0.18311553832077387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18311553832077387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2529038368443334, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31523012513234583, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0697882985235595, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13211458681157195, "ret_p3m": 0.07472134089815707, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07472134089815707, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10808593996702731, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12007439139343556, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03336459906887024, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04535305049527849, "ret_p6m": -0.03274884724821003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03274884724821003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08198372596145731, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.025946711712989567, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.049234878713247276, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006802135535220466, "ret_p1y": 0.33420976115364565, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.33420976115364565, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.18999584324473284, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2589956998016767, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1442139179089128, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07521406135196895, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18311553832077387, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2529038368443334, "alpha_c_stated": 0.31523012513234583, "price_path": [-0.3016, -0.3043, -0.3139, -0.3335, -0.3139, -0.3171, -0.3058, -0.3058, -0.2995, -0.3109, -0.3131, -0.3191, -0.3253, -0.3111, -0.2598, -0.2798, -0.2866, -0.2846, -0.2959, -0.31, -0.3013, -0.3185, -0.3241, -0.3403, -0.3174, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3099, -0.318, -0.3255, -0.3202, -0.3202, -0.3189, -0.3142, -0.3144, -0.3227, -0.329, -0.329, -0.3544, -0.3543, -0.3451, -0.3391, -0.3391, -0.3176, -0.3176, -0.3155, -0.3073, -0.3097, -0.2853, -0.2785, -0.2301, -0.2246, -0.1763, -0.2076, -0.2094, -0.1794, -0.204, -0.1952, -0.1701, -0.1075, -0.0958, -0.0513, -0.0416, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0085, 0.0901, 0.1525, 0.0346, 0.0744, 0.115, 0.0948, 0.0624, 0.0487, 0.041, 0.1307, 0.122, 0.1274, 0.0626, 0.1146, 0.0995, 0.1092, 0.1312, 0.1831, 0.1444, 0.1481, 0.0977, 0.0835, 0.0782, 0.0643, 0.0602, 0.0874, 0.0617, 0.0601, 0.0639, 0.0406, 0.0369, -0.0657, -0.1503, -0.2033, -0.1599, -0.1648, -0.1363, -0.0863, -0.0998, -0.1442, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1169, -0.071, -0.0462, -0.0436, -0.0357, -0.051, -0.0469, -0.0425, -0.0337, 0.0083, 0.0148, 0.0235, -0.012, 0.0085, 0.0048, 0.0627, 0.0555, 0.0747, -0.0067, -0.0102, -0.0142, 0.0034, -0.0091, -0.0261, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0418, -0.0641, -0.0605, -0.0873, -0.08, -0.0782, -0.0423, -0.0382, -0.0429, -0.0261, -0.0228, -0.0353, -0.0492, -0.0798, -0.0546, -0.0622, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0786, -0.078, -0.046, -0.0661, -0.0711, -0.0699, -0.0754, -0.0708, -0.0974, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1336, -0.1196, -0.1535, -0.1306, -0.1299, -0.1177, -0.0464, -0.0565, -0.0437, -0.0198, -0.0195, -0.0159, -0.0006, -0.0123, -0.0214, -0.0041, -0.0269, -0.043, -0.0165, -0.0455, -0.042, -0.0458, -0.0146, -0.0138, -0.0187, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892212551871615453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-19T14:00:02+00:00", "symbol": "China tech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Investment into the 'uninvestible' is underway. Market, and especially MAG7 bulls, just don't see it yet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish China tech / BABA on foreign investment inflows and AI model traction; bearish MAG7 which hasn't priced the rotation yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet tech; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "and THIS...\n\nChina to fully eliminate foreign investment restrictions in manufacturing sector\n- via mktnews\n\nInvestment into the \"uninvestible\" is underway. \n\nMarket, and especially MAG7 bulls, just don't see it yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Led by CHINA TECH outperforming US.\n\nDOWNLOAD COUNT FOR ALIBABA'S TONGYI QIANWEN OPEN-SOURCE MODEL HAS SURPASSED 200 MILLION - via MKTnews\n\n$BABA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0062352198859323416, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0062352198859323416, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008584707393398228, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008584707393398228, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01483098036870012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01483098036870012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01899132648486468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01899132648486468, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "ret_p1w": 0.012251740848090109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012251740848090109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04225513285294524, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04225513285294524, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "ret_p1m": 0.01686582420648164, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01686582420648164, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09426460922255087, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09426460922255087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "ret_p3m": -0.05888461098909148, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05888461098909148, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03230644502758162, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03230644502758162, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "ret_p6m": 0.031239658664819592, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.031239658664819592, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027286655504108248, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.027286655504108248, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "ret_p1y": 0.09973180006280313, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09973180006280313, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.040251652139250194, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.040251652139250194, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01686582420648164, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09426460922255087, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09426460922255087, "price_path": [-0.1753, -0.1728, -0.1781, -0.149, -0.149, -0.148, -0.1388, -0.1438, -0.1555, -0.1496, -0.1393, -0.0599, -0.1119, -0.1206, -0.121, -0.131, -0.1527, -0.1391, -0.1553, -0.1485, -0.1407, -0.1444, -0.143, -0.143, -0.1378, -0.1469, -0.1618, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.1852, -0.1832, -0.195, -0.1928, -0.1986, -0.1986, -0.2228, -0.2196, -0.1957, -0.1879, -0.1901, -0.1667, -0.1667, -0.1589, -0.1623, -0.1657, -0.1358, -0.1327, -0.1166, -0.1226, -0.0952, -0.1221, -0.1308, -0.1034, -0.114, -0.0949, -0.079, -0.0504, -0.0639, -0.0387, -0.0275, 0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0449, -0.0107, -0.0051, 0.0123, -0.0057, -0.0347, -0.0525, -0.0251, 0.0313, 0.0495, 0.0506, 0.0105, 0.0337, 0.0219, 0.0141, 0.0441, 0.0746, 0.063, 0.0535, 0.0169, -0.0052, -0.0025, -0.0214, -0.0179, 0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0341, -0.0315, -0.0314, -0.0451, -0.127, -0.187, -0.2157, -0.1534, -0.1631, -0.1304, -0.1192, -0.1268, -0.1488, -0.1472, -0.1472, -0.1431, -0.121, -0.1043, -0.1031, -0.1049, -0.1061, -0.1019, -0.0992, -0.1006, -0.0596, -0.0597, -0.05, -0.0766, -0.0677, -0.0803, -0.0334, -0.0424, -0.0333, -0.0578, -0.0591, -0.0589, -0.0577, -0.0673, -0.0729, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0848, -0.0955, -0.0788, -0.1038, -0.0956, -0.0945, -0.0741, -0.0625, -0.0602, -0.0394, -0.0471, -0.0463, -0.0461, -0.068, -0.0467, -0.0575, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0815, -0.0711, -0.0423, -0.0453, -0.0461, -0.0429, -0.043, -0.0435, -0.0594, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0576, -0.0401, -0.0519, -0.0517, -0.0526, -0.0428, -0.0084, -0.0169, -0.0042, 0.0056, 0.0042, 0.012, 0.0296, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0118, 0.0085, -0.0112, -0.0003, -0.0216, -0.0001, 0.0057, 0.0192, 0.0151, 0.0121, 0.0048, 0.0224, 0.0571, 0.0312]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892212551871615453", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-19T14:00:02+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Led by CHINA TECH outperforming US.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish China tech / BABA on foreign investment inflows and AI model traction; bearish MAG7 which hasn't priced the rotation yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "and THIS...\n\nChina to fully eliminate foreign investment restrictions in manufacturing sector\n- via mktnews\n\nInvestment into the \"uninvestible\" is underway. \n\nMarket, and especially MAG7 bulls, just don't see it yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Led by CHINA TECH outperforming US.\n\nDOWNLOAD COUNT FOR ALIBABA'S TONGYI QIANWEN OPEN-SOURCE MODEL HAS SURPASSED 200 MILLION - via MKTnews\n\n$BABA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008824184798169599, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008824184798169599, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011173672305635485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008249619258400731, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005745655397688676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0809284972700044, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0809284972700044, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08508884338616896, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08954773018513207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008619232915127673, "ret_p1w": 0.10565219881040422, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10565219881040422, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13565559081525935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1529472111875234, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "bench_c_p1w": -0.047295012377119194, "ret_p1m": 0.08840131557653574, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08840131557653574, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16580010059260497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21879381493663375, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "bench_c_p1m": -0.130392499360098, "ret_p3m": -0.022497877500006203, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022497877500006203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.004080288461503656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.014994483723057006, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03749236122306321, "ret_p6m": -0.01147345069949135, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01147345069949135, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06999976486841919, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03123751005376807, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01976405935427672, "ret_p1y": 0.31375081227639057, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31375081227639057, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17376736007433724, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2616748883720714, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "bench_c_p1y": 0.052075923904319144, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08840131557653574, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16580010059260497, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21879381493663375, "price_path": [-0.3391, -0.3197, -0.3228, -0.3116, -0.3116, -0.3054, -0.3167, -0.3189, -0.3248, -0.331, -0.3169, -0.2661, -0.2859, -0.2926, -0.2906, -0.3019, -0.3158, -0.3072, -0.3243, -0.3298, -0.3459, -0.3232, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3157, -0.3238, -0.3312, -0.3259, -0.3259, -0.3247, -0.32, -0.3201, -0.3284, -0.3347, -0.3347, -0.3598, -0.3597, -0.3507, -0.3446, -0.3447, -0.3233, -0.3233, -0.3212, -0.3131, -0.3155, -0.2914, -0.2846, -0.2366, -0.2311, -0.1832, -0.2142, -0.2161, -0.1863, -0.2107, -0.202, -0.1771, -0.115, -0.1034, -0.0593, -0.0497, -0.0084, -0.0084, 0.0088, 0.0, 0.0809, 0.1428, 0.0258, 0.0653, 0.1057, 0.0855, 0.0534, 0.0399, 0.0323, 0.1212, 0.1126, 0.1179, 0.0537, 0.1052, 0.0902, 0.0998, 0.1217, 0.1731, 0.1347, 0.1384, 0.0884, 0.0743, 0.0691, 0.0553, 0.0513, 0.0782, 0.0528, 0.0512, 0.0549, 0.0318, 0.0281, -0.0735, -0.1575, -0.21, -0.167, -0.1718, -0.1436, -0.094, -0.1074, -0.1514, -0.1345, -0.1345, -0.1243, -0.0788, -0.0542, -0.0517, -0.0438, -0.059, -0.0549, -0.0506, -0.0418, -0.0002, 0.0062, 0.0149, -0.0204, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0537, 0.0466, 0.0657, -0.015, -0.0185, -0.0225, -0.005, -0.0175, -0.0343, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0498, -0.0719, -0.0684, -0.095, -0.0878, -0.086, -0.0504, -0.0463, -0.051, -0.0343, -0.0311, -0.0434, -0.0572, -0.0875, -0.0626, -0.0701, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0864, -0.0858, -0.0541, -0.074, -0.079, -0.0778, -0.0832, -0.0787, -0.105, -0.1213, -0.1213, -0.1409, -0.127, -0.1606, -0.1379, -0.1373, -0.1251, -0.0544, -0.0644, -0.0517, -0.028, -0.0277, -0.0242, -0.009, -0.0206, -0.0297, -0.0125, -0.0351, -0.0511, -0.0248, -0.0536, -0.0501, -0.0538, -0.023, -0.0221, -0.027, -0.0409, -0.0103, 0.0256, -0.0115]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1902084755883225255", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-18T19:48:39+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "nominal price of USD is falling WITH equities as MONEY GOES HOME", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD and US equities falling together as capital repatriates; prior long-equity rationale (USD real value decline) has broken down; trade is now long real money vs USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”\n\nThe real value of USD falling versus nominal price rising was a key reason to be long US equities. \n\nNow, nominal price of USD is falling WITH equities as MONEY GOES HOME.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Since Jan 2024 to today,\n\nSPY +21% total return\nQQQ +19%\nIWM +4%\nHYG +10%\nTLT -4%\n\nVs.\nGold +47%\nBTC +95%\n\nReally not complicated what is going on here. \nWe just spend way too much energy and time on stocks and bonds when the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010926698446249938, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010890956650734918, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "ret_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02882448554222239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "ret_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.060209544298746476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "bench_c_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "ret_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06733422307904169, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "ret_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16948748367689914, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "ret_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22867412655848884, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.060209544298746476, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0412, 0.0537, 0.06, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0719, 0.0606, 0.0485, 0.0447, 0.0447, 0.0421, 0.0551, 0.0612, 0.0492, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0347, 0.0363, 0.0377, 0.0566, 0.0546, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0749, 0.081, 0.0869, 0.0837, 0.0684, 0.0775, 0.0727, 0.0785, 0.0727, 0.0655, 0.0727, 0.077, 0.0807, 0.0709, 0.0781, 0.0789, 0.0755, 0.0868, 0.0868, 0.0868, 0.09, 0.0925, 0.088, 0.0694, 0.0645, 0.0592, 0.0597, 0.0428, 0.0591, 0.0406, 0.0282, 0.0393, 0.0208, 0.0266, -0.0008, -0.0091, -0.0038, -0.0171, 0.0032, 0.0109, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.008, 0.0083, 0.0264, 0.0288, 0.0165, 0.0138, -0.0066, 0.0001, 0.0029, 0.0093, -0.0405, -0.0966, -0.0983, -0.1124, -0.0192, -0.0621, -0.0454, -0.0361, -0.0388, -0.0602, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0813, -0.0574, -0.0428, -0.0226, -0.0155, -0.0152, -0.009, -0.0086, -0.0016, 0.0133, 0.0075, -0.001, 0.0032, 0.0102, 0.0089, 0.0423, 0.0492, 0.0505, 0.0556, 0.0623, 0.0635, 0.0599, 0.0421, 0.0425, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0569, 0.0508, 0.0549, 0.0537, 0.0597, 0.0657, 0.0654, 0.0603, 0.0712, 0.0721, 0.0782, 0.0751, 0.0794, 0.0673, 0.0775, 0.0683, 0.0681, 0.0681, 0.0656, 0.0761, 0.088, 0.0886, 0.0972, 0.1026, 0.1079, 0.1075, 0.1125, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.113, 0.1123, 0.119, 0.1222, 0.1182, 0.1204, 0.1156, 0.1193, 0.1261, 0.1253, 0.1275, 0.1276, 0.1372, 0.1376, 0.1424, 0.1421, 0.1391, 0.1377, 0.1334, 0.1148, 0.1318, 0.126, 0.1346, 0.1337, 0.1425, 0.1403, 0.1524, 0.1564, 0.1565, 0.1538, 0.1535, 0.1473, 0.1442, 0.1396, 0.1571, 0.152, 0.1568, 0.1595, 0.1636, 0.1566, 0.1566, 0.1481, 0.1543, 0.1639, 0.1606, 0.1634, 0.1661, 0.1695]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1902084755883225255", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-03-18T19:48:39+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the trade is all about value of USD against \"real money\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD and US equities falling together as capital repatriates; prior long-equity rationale (USD real value decline) has broken down; trade is now long real money vs USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”\n\nThe real value of USD falling versus nominal price rising was a key reason to be long US equities. \n\nNow, nominal price of USD is falling WITH equities as MONEY GOES HOME.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Since Jan 2024 to today,\n\nSPY +21% total return\nQQQ +19%\nIWM +4%\nHYG +10%\nTLT -4%\n\nVs.\nGold +47%\nBTC +95%\n\nReally not complicated what is going on here. \nWe just spend way too much energy and time on stocks and bonds when the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01153729306806428, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01153729306806428, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02246399151431422, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02246399151431422, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004107707999658539, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004107707999658539, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006783248651076379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006783248651076379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "ret_p1w": -0.005322154164353443, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005322154164353443, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03414663970657583, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03414663970657583, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "ret_p1m": 0.09826407560109951, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09826407560109951, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15847361989984599, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15847361989984599, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "bench_c_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "ret_p3m": 0.12976860336728935, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12976860336728935, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06243438028824766, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06243438028824766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "ret_p6m": 0.19752828975000236, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19752828975000236, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02804080607310322, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02804080607310322, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "ret_p1y": 0.6649879236676819, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6649879236676819, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.43631379710919305, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.43631379710919305, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09826407560109951, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15847361989984599, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15847361989984599, "price_path": [-0.1442, -0.1352, -0.1393, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1318, -0.1377, -0.1405, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1234, -0.1303, -0.1313, -0.1264, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1134, -0.1222, -0.1176, -0.111, -0.1049, -0.1096, -0.1096, -0.0958, -0.0912, -0.0925, -0.0868, -0.0963, -0.0885, -0.092, -0.0783, -0.0764, -0.0715, -0.0624, -0.0565, -0.059, -0.0574, -0.0414, -0.0449, -0.0439, -0.0345, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0331, -0.0325, -0.032, -0.0329, -0.0277, -0.0405, -0.039, -0.0537, -0.0596, -0.0472, -0.0389, -0.0369, -0.0418, -0.0413, -0.0497, -0.0386, -0.0344, -0.0173, -0.0169, -0.0115, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0028, -0.0053, -0.0097, -0.0053, -0.0061, 0.0072, 0.0146, 0.0292, 0.0272, 0.0293, 0.0231, -0.0009, -0.0223, -0.017, 0.0194, 0.0443, 0.0642, 0.0581, 0.0637, 0.0983, 0.0934, 0.0934, 0.1273, 0.1113, 0.0846, 0.1004, 0.0885, 0.104, 0.0932, 0.085, 0.0625, 0.0644, 0.0962, 0.1269, 0.11, 0.0881, 0.096, 0.0651, 0.0697, 0.0471, 0.0639, 0.051, 0.0645, 0.0844, 0.0924, 0.0827, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0877, 0.0852, 0.0916, 0.0844, 0.1133, 0.1034, 0.1105, 0.1049, 0.0901, 0.0952, 0.0955, 0.1015, 0.1152, 0.1298, 0.1137, 0.1142, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.1078, 0.1112, 0.0937, 0.097, 0.0958, 0.0759, 0.0888, 0.0985, 0.1046, 0.0971, 0.0971, 0.0979, 0.0864, 0.0913, 0.0937, 0.1042, 0.1002, 0.0956, 0.1011, 0.0987, 0.1016, 0.1185, 0.1291, 0.1151, 0.1083, 0.098, 0.0909, 0.0939, 0.075, 0.0822, 0.1041, 0.1106, 0.1114, 0.1091, 0.1184, 0.1182, 0.1021, 0.1011, 0.1045, 0.0975, 0.0981, 0.0964, 0.0904, 0.1014, 0.0976, 0.1094, 0.1067, 0.1147, 0.117, 0.1253, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.163, 0.1721, 0.1669, 0.1825, 0.196, 0.1932, 0.1975]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1902084755883225255", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-03-18T19:48:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the trade is all about value of USD against \"real money\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD and US equities falling together as capital repatriates; prior long-equity rationale (USD real value decline) has broken down; trade is now long real money vs USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”\n\nThe real value of USD falling versus nominal price rising was a key reason to be long US equities. \n\nNow, nominal price of USD is falling WITH equities as MONEY GOES HOME.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Since Jan 2024 to today,\n\nSPY +21% total return\nQQQ +19%\nIWM +4%\nHYG +10%\nTLT -4%\n\nVs.\nGold +47%\nBTC +95%\n\nReally not complicated what is going on here. \nWe just spend way too much energy and time on stocks and bonds when the trade is all about value of USD against “real money”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016407303082140112, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016407303082140112, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005480604635890174, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010926698446249938, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.049997601050550955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049997601050550955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03910664439981604, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010890956650734918, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.057462395050683845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057462395050683845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028637909508461457, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02882448554222239, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.015901729208097404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015901729208097404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07611127350684388, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.060209544298746476, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.28255431070437687, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28255431070437687, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21522008762533518, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06733422307904169, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.3776284552427813, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3776284552427813, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20814097156588218, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16948748367689914, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.1435878914632156, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1435878914632156, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.37226201802170444, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22867412655848884, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015901729208097404, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07611127350684388, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1786, 0.1818, 0.1447, 0.1929, 0.2004, 0.1581, 0.1384, 0.12, 0.1295, 0.1415, 0.1713, 0.186, 0.234, 0.1717, 0.149, 0.1181, 0.1449, 0.1426, 0.167, 0.215, 0.206, 0.2629, 0.2333, 0.2832, 0.2531, 0.2568, 0.2672, 0.2342, 0.225, 0.2537, 0.2662, 0.238, 0.2259, 0.1832, 0.168, 0.1677, 0.167, 0.1779, 0.1575, 0.1834, 0.1681, 0.1788, 0.1578, 0.155, 0.1682, 0.1888, 0.1621, 0.1052, 0.0727, 0.0197, 0.024, 0.02, 0.0405, 0.0544, 0.0956, 0.0876, 0.0486, -0.0506, 0.0017, 0.0121, -0.02, 0.0151, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.05, 0.0175, 0.016, 0.0578, 0.0575, 0.0506, 0.0539, 0.0198, -0.0021, 0.0296, -0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0136, -0.0421, -0.0779, -0.0017, -0.0374, 0.0083, 0.022, 0.0115, 0.0159, 0.0263, 0.0209, 0.058, 0.1296, 0.1327, 0.1357, 0.1451, 0.1482, 0.1398, 0.1389, 0.1665, 0.1716, 0.1454, 0.1703, 0.173, 0.2481, 0.2448, 0.2429, 0.2593, 0.2517, 0.2542, 0.2511, 0.2767, 0.291, 0.3259, 0.35, 0.297, 0.323, 0.3177, 0.3032, 0.2771, 0.2573, 0.28, 0.2746, 0.2661, 0.228, 0.262, 0.3334, 0.3329, 0.3139, 0.2806, 0.2826, 0.2911, 0.2645, 0.268, 0.2655, 0.2489, 0.2764, 0.282, 0.2979, 0.2931, 0.2946, 0.2952, 0.2778, 0.316, 0.3256, 0.306, 0.3093, 0.3171, 0.3458, 0.4022, 0.4207, 0.4489, 0.4238, 0.4355, 0.4421, 0.4266, 0.4197, 0.4506, 0.4357, 0.431, 0.4221, 0.4256, 0.4256, 0.4245, 0.3994, 0.3699, 0.3911, 0.3799, 0.3906, 0.4204, 0.4107, 0.4354, 0.4528, 0.4911, 0.4309, 0.4193, 0.4054, 0.364, 0.3815, 0.3591, 0.4129, 0.3313, 0.3516, 0.3446, 0.3606, 0.3106, 0.3208, 0.3443, 0.3506, 0.3386, 0.3377, 0.3549, 0.3483, 0.3776]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1897414013430210618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-05T22:28:47+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil Short Still Working", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oil short still active; ANF and AAPL cited alongside as shorts still working.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oil Short Still Working With $ANF + $AAPL\n\n#WTIC real test is coming...\n\nhttps://t.co/G7vpkHWpOv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0040770550643232095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0040770550643232095, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013995118512312388, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013995118512312388, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018072173576635597, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018072173576635597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013496402664721296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013496402664721296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007891299418153697, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007891299418153697, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056051032465676, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056051032465676, "ret_p1w": 0.006888872656894751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006888872656894751, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04406299181972695, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04406299181972695, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0371741191628322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0371741191628322, "ret_p1m": -0.045128626577001674, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.045128626577001674, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06995565809403981, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06995565809403981, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11508428467104148, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11508428467104148, "ret_p3m": -0.01743284003444756, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01743284003444756, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06138762849055157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06138762849055157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04395478845610401, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04395478845610401, "ret_p6m": 0.05215800966861961, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05215800966861961, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08088181334934297, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08088181334934297, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13303982301796258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13303982301796258, "ret_p1y": 0.13735420567574197, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.13735420567574197, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0681486141110128, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0681486141110128, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20550281978675478, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20550281978675478, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.045128626577001674, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06995565809403981, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06995565809403981, "price_path": [0.0006, 0.0038, 0.0309, 0.0292, 0.0433, 0.0361, 0.0305, 0.0254, 0.0208, 0.0277, 0.0271, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0382, 0.0519, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.0815, 0.0955, 0.0867, 0.099, 0.0867, 0.0867, 0.1337, 0.1561, 0.1482, 0.1857, 0.166, 0.1601, 0.1601, 0.1403, 0.1307, 0.1136, 0.1191, 0.0956, 0.1087, 0.0935, 0.0931, 0.0969, 0.0941, 0.0897, 0.0697, 0.0607, 0.0665, 0.0881, 0.1004, 0.073, 0.0739, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.082, 0.0889, 0.0932, 0.0593, 0.068, 0.0422, 0.0382, 0.0583, 0.0575, 0.0308, 0.0306, 0.0041, 0.0, 0.0135, -0.0034, 0.0045, 0.0235, 0.0069, 0.0162, 0.0222, 0.0152, 0.0181, 0.0366, 0.0374, 0.0527, 0.0519, 0.0603, 0.0612, 0.0512, 0.0872, 0.0836, 0.0929, 0.0157, -0.0451, -0.0724, -0.1095, -0.0499, -0.0817, -0.0657, -0.0628, -0.0654, -0.0475, -0.0232, -0.0232, -0.0353, -0.0247, -0.0433, -0.0375, -0.0295, -0.0474, -0.0742, -0.1064, -0.0929, -0.1001, -0.1232, -0.0918, -0.1071, -0.0777, -0.0635, -0.0496, -0.0217, -0.0337, -0.0498, -0.0426, -0.0368, -0.0347, -0.0498, -0.0561, -0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0541, -0.0456, -0.0554, -0.056, -0.0222, -0.0174, -0.0252, -0.0169, 0.0035, 0.0129, 0.0066, 0.0519, 0.0551, 0.1278, 0.1049, 0.157, 0.1566, 0.1566, 0.1686, 0.0742, 0.0263, 0.0306, 0.0346, 0.0302, 0.0278, 0.0394, 0.0627, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0752, 0.082, 0.0815, 0.0599, 0.0866, 0.0631, 0.0581, 0.0571, 0.0707, 0.0675, 0.0627, 0.0593, 0.0583, 0.0697, 0.0523, 0.0849, 0.1219, 0.1393, 0.1189, 0.089, 0.07, 0.0547, 0.0374, 0.0322, 0.0305, 0.0375, 0.0256, 0.0187, 0.0367, 0.0235, 0.0287, 0.0164, 0.0336, 0.0422, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0411, 0.0499, 0.0578, 0.0522]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1883950566696534130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-27T18:49:51+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bearish oil this year - part of my 2025 top predictions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil in 2025; Saudi $50/bbl warning validates prior call, reinforced by yen carry trade risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Such a good reminder: Saudi warning Russia of $50 crude in 2025 dovetails with 2 important calls I made for clients:\n\n1. Bearish oil this year - part of my 2025 top predictions.\n\n2. Falling oil & yields can trigger Yen Carry Trade Part 2 - as I detailed Jan 11th:\n\nhttps://t.co/WEfgNKKLhb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Idk this account nor do I know if what he’s saying is legit, but I do know that this exact scenario is a REAL risk and I’ve been warning about it for over a year now.\n\n@BurggrabenH \n#Oil https://t.co/7yTMrGX9HQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021429464421988342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021429464421988342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007080832427168726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007080832427168726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01193379060097377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01193379060097377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0033411627773487496, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0033411627773487496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "ret_p1w": -0.0014115309883331317, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0014115309883331317, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012577145714864901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0012577145714864901, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "ret_p1m": -0.04876174819552048, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04876174819552048, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040202782426411954, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040202782426411954, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "ret_p3m": -0.1215193273914843, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1215193273914843, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03637100512899649, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03637100512899649, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "ret_p6m": -0.03310665752536046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03310665752536046, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08857571598630232, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08857571598630232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "ret_p1y": -0.06826638873336288, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06826638873336288, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23360186787593962, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23360186787593962, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04876174819552048, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.040202782426411954, "alpha_c_stated": 0.040202782426411954, "price_path": [-0.0843, -0.0622, -0.0758, -0.0467, -0.0411, -0.0435, -0.042, -0.0616, -0.0897, -0.0929, -0.0924, -0.0852, -0.105, -0.0752, -0.0721, -0.0758, -0.0607, -0.0472, -0.0748, -0.0811, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0811, -0.0884, -0.0627, -0.0776, -0.0829, -0.0987, -0.0867, -0.0838, -0.059, -0.0606, -0.0477, -0.0543, -0.0594, -0.064, -0.0683, -0.062, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0616, -0.0524, -0.0399, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0128, -0.0001, -0.0081, 0.0031, -0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0348, 0.0552, 0.048, 0.0823, 0.0643, 0.0589, 0.0589, 0.0408, 0.0321, 0.0164, 0.0214, 0.0, 0.0119, -0.0019, -0.0023, 0.0012, -0.0014, -0.0054, -0.0236, -0.0318, -0.0266, -0.0068, 0.0044, -0.0207, -0.0198, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0124, -0.0062, -0.0022, -0.0331, -0.0252, -0.0488, -0.0524, -0.034, -0.0348, -0.0592, -0.0593, -0.0835, -0.0873, -0.0749, -0.0903, -0.0832, -0.0658, -0.081, -0.0725, -0.067, -0.0734, -0.0707, -0.0539, -0.0531, -0.0391, -0.0399, -0.0322, -0.0314, -0.0405, -0.0077, -0.0109, -0.0024, -0.0729, -0.1284, -0.1533, -0.1872, -0.1328, -0.1618, -0.1472, -0.1446, -0.1469, -0.1306, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1195, -0.1098, -0.1268, -0.1215, -0.1142, -0.1305, -0.155, -0.1844, -0.1721, -0.1786, -0.1997, -0.1711, -0.185, -0.1582, -0.1453, -0.1326, -0.107, -0.1181, -0.1327, -0.1261, -0.1209, -0.119, -0.1327, -0.1385, -0.1276, -0.1276, -0.1367, -0.1288, -0.1378, -0.1383, -0.1075, -0.1032, -0.1102, -0.1027, -0.084, -0.0755, -0.0812, -0.0399, -0.037, 0.0294, 0.0085, 0.0561, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0666, -0.0195, -0.0633, -0.0593, -0.0557, -0.0597, -0.0619, -0.0513, -0.03, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0186, -0.0124, -0.0128, -0.0326, -0.0082, -0.0296, -0.0343, -0.0352, -0.0227, -0.0257, -0.03, -0.0331]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912479326043251008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T12:12:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expected $NVDA to pull down into $106~ before most likely getting defended next week and moving higher into 124 with overshoot to 139 (best bullish case I've got before rejection)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects NVDA to dip to ~$106, get defended, then rally to $124 with possible overshoot to $139 before rejection.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"I highlighted $NVDA Monday morning in my live trading room. PRO subs can go review: Min 23.56 - 25.22. \n\nI literally said I expected $NVDA to pull down into $106~ before most likely getting defended next week and moving higher into 124 with overshoot to 139 (best bullish case I’ve got before rejection).\"\n\nAnd no, it wasn't because of option flow. \nhttps://t.co/GryucBTPQh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07378689957340834, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07378689957340834, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05105350142532661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029691224336255706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04409567523715263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028710901955003698, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028710901955003698, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030137619234790747, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019346317216364373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009364584738639326, "ret_p1w": -0.017035147833733166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017035147833733166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0356023713915119, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04049795872284889, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023462810889115726, "ret_p1m": 0.2903626916940365, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2903626916940365, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16708899664228571, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01879083686029981, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327369505175079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2715718548337367, "ret_p3m": 0.5703071835310478, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5703071835310478, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.37817309730419746, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10223412014404132, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213408622685035, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4680730633870065, "ret_p6m": 0.8431833707733392, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8431833707733392, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5590635218120334, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06695509498204211, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.776228275791297, "ret_p1y": 0.6980743750597282, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6980743750597282, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4361404095686954, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.32683290329689463, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 1.0249072783566229, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2903626916940365, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16708899664228571, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01879083686029981, "price_path": [0.3178, 0.3178, 0.3477, 0.4074, 0.4088, 0.3648, 0.1332, 0.2344, 0.1837, 0.1928, 0.149, 0.1164, 0.1354, 0.1945, 0.2314, 0.2425, 0.2782, 0.2708, 0.2549, 0.2946, 0.3287, 0.3287, 0.334, 0.3323, 0.3408, 0.2864, 0.2467, 0.2118, 0.2563, 0.1498, 0.1954, 0.0915, 0.11, 0.1225, 0.0581, 0.0784, 0.0237, 0.0408, 0.1077, 0.1061, 0.1644, 0.1439, 0.1047, 0.1247, 0.1344, 0.1264, 0.1619, 0.155, 0.0887, 0.0664, 0.0496, 0.0372, 0.0542, 0.0568, -0.0257, -0.0974, -0.0656, -0.0784, 0.0942, 0.0295, 0.0616, 0.0595, 0.0738, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0725, -0.0536, -0.017, 0.0186, 0.0624, 0.0406, 0.0434, 0.0424, 0.0681, 0.0958, 0.0893, 0.0866, 0.1203, 0.1233, 0.1164, 0.1771, 0.2435, 0.2952, 0.2904, 0.2958, 0.2974, 0.2861, 0.2614, 0.2712, 0.2565, 0.2565, 0.2968, 0.2902, 0.3321, 0.2932, 0.3148, 0.3515, 0.3582, 0.3397, 0.3563, 0.365, 0.3777, 0.367, 0.3878, 0.3588, 0.3848, 0.3794, 0.3924, 0.3924, 0.3768, 0.3798, 0.4155, 0.4769, 0.4837, 0.5098, 0.5121, 0.4672, 0.505, 0.525, 0.525, 0.5145, 0.5314, 0.5589, 0.5706, 0.5784, 0.5703, 0.6338, 0.6402, 0.6558, 0.6501, 0.6403, 0.5986, 0.6345, 0.6629, 0.6606, 0.6917, 0.6798, 0.7158, 0.7024, 0.6627, 0.7228, 0.7061, 0.7172, 0.7301, 0.7486, 0.7425, 0.753, 0.738, 0.7421, 0.7271, 0.742, 0.681, 0.6787, 0.6747, 0.7035, 0.721, 0.7397, 0.7381, 0.7244, 0.6671, 0.6671, 0.6345, 0.633, 0.643, 0.5985, 0.6109, 0.6343, 0.6972, 0.6958, 0.702, 0.7013, 0.6739, 0.6299, 0.6869, 0.691, 0.7574, 0.7078, 0.6939, 0.7008, 0.7055, 0.7406, 0.7859, 0.7922, 0.808, 0.7958, 0.7759, 0.7711, 0.8101, 0.8432]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1886876252063121589", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-04T20:35:29+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver smelled it already.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD set to fall further vs EUR/CAD/JPY/CNY; gold and silver already leading the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DXY - If I’m reading these macro tea leaves correctly, USD is about to fall further as euro, cad, yen, yuan rise.\n\nWhat's the trade?\n\n[Gold &amp; Silver smelled it already.]", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Is Still Doing Awesome 🤩\n\nJoin us for more nuggets tomorrow after the close - with @HansCashFlow \n\nhttps://t.co/3fIO4iedJZ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009752371651785663, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009752371651785663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003088807372179203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003088807372179203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006209542410714253, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006209542410714253, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0021551193479361075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021551193479361075, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "ret_p1w": 0.018628627232142758, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018628627232142758, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012762701727188963, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012762701727188963, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "ret_p1m": 0.027123790922618962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027123790922618962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05823149681261186, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05823149681261186, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "ret_p3m": 0.13516194661458325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13516194661458325, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.190522946762, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.190522946762, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "ret_p6m": 0.14651425316220235, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14651425316220235, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08591103729146021, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08591103729146021, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "ret_p1y": 0.7211047944568452, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7211047944568452, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5627565793283444, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5627565793283444, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027123790922618962, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05823149681261186, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05823149681261186, "price_path": [-0.049, -0.0554, -0.0776, -0.0855, -0.0947, -0.0971, -0.0987, -0.0816, -0.0733, -0.0681, -0.0603, -0.0482, -0.0763, -0.0745, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0644, -0.0726, -0.0707, -0.0679, -0.0748, -0.0745, -0.0653, -0.053, -0.044, -0.058, -0.0694, -0.0671, -0.0707, -0.0885, -0.0872, -0.0777, -0.0821, -0.0802, -0.0802, -0.074, -0.0804, -0.0833, -0.0776, -0.0776, -0.0651, -0.0724, -0.0736, -0.0683, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0544, -0.0638, -0.0589, -0.0519, -0.0453, -0.0504, -0.0504, -0.0357, -0.0307, -0.0321, -0.0261, -0.0362, -0.0279, -0.0316, -0.017, -0.015, -0.0098, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0035, 0.0053, 0.0224, 0.0186, 0.0197, 0.0298, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0312, 0.0318, 0.0323, 0.0314, 0.037, 0.0233, 0.0249, 0.0093, 0.0029, 0.0162, 0.025, 0.0271, 0.0219, 0.0224, 0.0135, 0.0254, 0.0298, 0.0481, 0.0485, 0.0542, 0.0665, 0.0709, 0.0695, 0.0609, 0.0562, 0.0608, 0.06, 0.0742, 0.0821, 0.0977, 0.0955, 0.0978, 0.0911, 0.0656, 0.0427, 0.0484, 0.0872, 0.1137, 0.135, 0.1285, 0.1344, 0.1713, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.2022, 0.1852, 0.1568, 0.1736, 0.1609, 0.1774, 0.1659, 0.1572, 0.1332, 0.1352, 0.1691, 0.2018, 0.1838, 0.1605, 0.1689, 0.136, 0.1408, 0.1168, 0.1346, 0.1209, 0.1354, 0.1565, 0.165, 0.1547, 0.18, 0.18, 0.16, 0.1574, 0.1642, 0.1566, 0.1873, 0.1768, 0.1844, 0.1784, 0.1626, 0.1681, 0.1684, 0.1747, 0.1893, 0.2049, 0.1877, 0.1883, 0.1819, 0.1819, 0.1814, 0.1851, 0.1664, 0.17, 0.1687, 0.1475, 0.1613, 0.1716, 0.1781, 0.1701, 0.1701, 0.1709, 0.1587, 0.1639, 0.1665, 0.1777, 0.1734, 0.1685, 0.1743, 0.1718, 0.1748, 0.1929, 0.2042, 0.1893, 0.182, 0.171, 0.1635, 0.1667, 0.1465]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1886876252063121589", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-02-04T20:35:29+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver smelled it already.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USD set to fall further vs EUR/CAD/JPY/CNY; gold and silver already leading the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DXY - If I’m reading these macro tea leaves correctly, USD is about to fall further as euro, cad, yen, yuan rise.\n\nWhat's the trade?\n\n[Gold &amp; Silver smelled it already.]", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Is Still Doing Awesome 🤩\n\nJoin us for more nuggets tomorrow after the close - with @HansCashFlow \n\nhttps://t.co/3fIO4iedJZ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01882269849367102, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01882269849367102, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01215913421406456, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01215913421406456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00666356427960646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004449044187890161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004449044187890161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039462112511201575, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00039462112511201575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004054423062778145, "ret_p1w": -0.0075290663423782656, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0075290663423782656, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01339499184733206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01339499184733206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005865925504953795, "ret_p1m": 0.018822763769122064, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018822763769122064, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04993046965911496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04993046965911496, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031107705889992898, "ret_p3m": -0.00342226134397583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00342226134397583, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05193873880344091, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05193873880344091, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05536100014741674, "ret_p6m": 0.1468172179668068, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1468172179668068, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08621400209606467, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08621400209606467, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06060321587074213, "ret_p1y": 1.9818617146098534, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9818617146098534, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.8235134994813527, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.8235134994813527, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15834821512850072, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.018822763769122064, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04993046965911496, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04993046965911496, "price_path": [-0.0038, -0.0253, -0.0428, -0.0394, -0.0551, -0.0483, -0.0565, -0.0287, -0.0246, -0.0383, -0.0404, -0.0257, -0.0544, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0445, -0.0489, -0.0322, -0.0236, -0.0226, -0.0332, -0.0082, -0.0079, -0.0062, -0.0349, -0.0503, -0.0486, -0.0483, -0.0811, -0.0924, -0.0787, -0.0763, -0.0753, -0.0753, -0.0712, -0.0842, -0.0955, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0784, -0.0767, -0.0678, -0.0647, -0.0623, -0.0623, -0.0551, -0.0773, -0.0691, -0.0431, -0.0404, -0.0551, -0.0551, -0.0404, -0.04, -0.0496, -0.0448, -0.0602, -0.0544, -0.0418, -0.0171, -0.0243, -0.0188, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0055, -0.0065, -0.0007, -0.0075, 0.0041, 0.0082, 0.0031, 0.0031, 0.0236, 0.0202, 0.025, 0.0127, 0.0075, -0.0133, -0.0096, -0.0281, -0.0311, -0.0161, -0.0075, 0.0188, 0.0161, 0.0127, -0.0038, 0.0253, 0.0342, 0.052, 0.051, 0.0544, 0.0558, 0.0524, 0.0438, 0.0274, 0.0253, 0.0465, 0.0448, 0.0719, 0.0609, 0.0606, 0.0483, 0.0527, -0.0113, -0.0732, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0397, -0.0322, -0.001, 0.0055, 0.0065, 0.0185, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0195, 0.0096, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0284, 0.0332, 0.0209, 0.013, 0.0058, -0.0034, 0.0089, 0.0342, 0.0092, 0.0082, 0.0198, 0.014, 0.0243, 0.001, 0.0133, 0.0027, 0.0068, 0.0311, 0.0441, 0.0277, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0346, 0.026, 0.037, 0.0267, 0.0811, 0.076, 0.0726, 0.1105, 0.1188, 0.1427, 0.1372, 0.1277, 0.1314, 0.1283, 0.1304, 0.1547, 0.1386, 0.1386, 0.1198, 0.128, 0.116, 0.1297, 0.141, 0.1164, 0.1229, 0.1201, 0.1376, 0.1468, 0.1468, 0.1441, 0.1393, 0.1294, 0.155, 0.1988, 0.1851, 0.1725, 0.1776, 0.1858, 0.1845, 0.2098, 0.2225, 0.2214, 0.2146, 0.1862, 0.1855, 0.1862, 0.1468]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1913331747418259934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-18T20:40:11+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "chases gold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Capital rotating out of US assets into gold and EU debt as China sells USTs.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MONEY GOES HOME™️\n\nAnd chases gold &amp; EU  debt.\n\n#ChinaSellsUST https://t.co/HXS9rJ8VWB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030007292153088172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030007292153088172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05439026239926903, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05439026239926903, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024382970246180857, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024382970246180857, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014195668551963636, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014195668551963636, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.040213428294155196, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.040213428294155196, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601775974219156, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601775974219156, "ret_p1w": -0.020659682148768677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020659682148768677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09260246439596409, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09260246439596409, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194278224719541, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07194278224719541, "ret_p1m": -0.03805573657273442, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03805573657273442, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19172968296879012, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19172968296879012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1536739463960557, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1536739463960557, "ret_p3m": -0.025349345964168934, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025349345964168934, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2511153050049415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2511153050049415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576595904077257, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576595904077257, "ret_p6m": 0.2065972082880092, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2065972082880092, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08948192260571819, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08948192260571819, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2960791308937274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2960791308937274, "ret_p1y": 0.37688140885828836, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.37688140885828836, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0462993428591878, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0462993428591878, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33058206599910056, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33058206599910056, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03805573657273442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19172968296879012, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19172968296879012, "price_path": [-0.1938, -0.1949, -0.1899, -0.1984, -0.1914, -0.1945, -0.1823, -0.1807, -0.1763, -0.1682, -0.1631, -0.1653, -0.1638, -0.1496, -0.1527, -0.1518, -0.1435, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1422, -0.1418, -0.1413, -0.1421, -0.1375, -0.1488, -0.1475, -0.1605, -0.1658, -0.1548, -0.1474, -0.1457, -0.15, -0.1496, -0.157, -0.1471, -0.1434, -0.1282, -0.1279, -0.1231, -0.1129, -0.1093, -0.1104, -0.1176, -0.1215, -0.1176, -0.1183, -0.1065, -0.0999, -0.087, -0.0888, -0.0869, -0.0924, -0.1137, -0.1327, -0.128, -0.0957, -0.0736, -0.056, -0.0613, -0.0564, -0.0257, -0.03, -0.03, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0378, -0.0238, -0.0344, -0.0207, -0.0302, -0.0375, -0.0574, -0.0558, -0.0276, -0.0003, -0.0153, -0.0347, -0.0277, -0.0551, -0.0511, -0.0711, -0.0562, -0.0677, -0.0556, -0.0381, -0.031, -0.0395, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0351, -0.0373, -0.0316, -0.038, -0.0124, -0.0212, -0.0149, -0.0198, -0.033, -0.0284, -0.0281, -0.0229, -0.0107, 0.0022, -0.0121, -0.0116, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0173, -0.0143, -0.0298, -0.0268, -0.0279, -0.0455, -0.0341, -0.0255, -0.0201, -0.0268, -0.0268, -0.026, -0.0362, -0.0319, -0.0298, -0.0204, -0.024, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0253, -0.0228, -0.0078, 0.0016, -0.0108, -0.0169, -0.026, -0.0323, -0.0296, -0.0464, -0.04, -0.0205, -0.0148, -0.014, -0.0161, -0.0078, -0.008, -0.0223, -0.0232, -0.0202, -0.0264, -0.0259, -0.0274, -0.0327, -0.0229, -0.0263, -0.0159, -0.0183, -0.0111, -0.0091, -0.0018, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0317, 0.0398, 0.0352, 0.049, 0.0609, 0.0585, 0.0623, 0.0607, 0.0628, 0.0739, 0.076, 0.0677, 0.0635, 0.0747, 0.0933, 0.0978, 0.0879, 0.0924, 0.0987, 0.1168, 0.1264, 0.1281, 0.1242, 0.1332, 0.1546, 0.1606, 0.1797, 0.1579, 0.1696, 0.198, 0.2066]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899856898016395422", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-12T16:15:56+00:00", "symbol": "China Tech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay long China.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long China Tech; endorses JPM's view to keep China Tech exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet tech ETF; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sell the rip.\nStay long China.\n\nHow times change, when changes time.\n😉😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JPM: We like more the tactical buy the dip in the US, but with a sell the rally mentality. We keep China Tech but we would tactically unwind the short Nasdaq side.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011553659138927808, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011553659138927808, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016832136914757934, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016832136914757934, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007638994194259396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007638994194259396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00569155321717707, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00569155321717707, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "ret_p1w": 0.03097150258634651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03097150258634651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01619156486747453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01619156486747453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "ret_p1m": -0.18103122397561067, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18103122397561067, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12249898270588788, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12249898270588788, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "ret_p3m": -0.05995774606144588, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05995774606144588, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1362079174045291, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1362079174045291, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "ret_p6m": 0.04816240493533386, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04816240493533386, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12026212512918455, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12026212512918455, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "ret_p1y": 0.009754637845462766, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.009754637845462766, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.23211859026711074, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.23211859026711074, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18103122397561067, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12249898270588788, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12249898270588788, "price_path": [-0.1496, -0.1708, -0.1575, -0.1734, -0.1668, -0.1591, -0.1627, -0.1613, -0.1613, -0.1563, -0.1651, -0.1797, -0.1849, -0.1849, -0.2026, -0.2007, -0.2122, -0.21, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.2394, -0.2363, -0.2129, -0.2052, -0.2074, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1769, -0.1802, -0.1835, -0.1542, -0.1513, -0.1355, -0.1414, -0.1146, -0.1409, -0.1494, -0.1226, -0.1329, -0.1143, -0.0987, -0.0707, -0.0839, -0.0593, -0.0483, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0214, -0.0069, 0.0226, -0.0319, -0.0264, -0.0094, -0.027, -0.0554, -0.0728, -0.046, 0.0092, 0.0271, 0.0282, -0.0111, 0.0116, 0.0, -0.0076, 0.0217, 0.0516, 0.0402, 0.031, -0.0049, -0.0265, -0.0238, -0.0424, -0.0389, -0.0207, -0.051, -0.0548, -0.0522, -0.0521, -0.0655, -0.1456, -0.2044, -0.2325, -0.1716, -0.181, -0.149, -0.1381, -0.1454, -0.167, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1614, -0.1398, -0.1235, -0.1223, -0.1241, -0.1252, -0.1211, -0.1185, -0.1198, -0.0797, -0.0798, -0.0703, -0.0964, -0.0876, -0.1, -0.0541, -0.0629, -0.054, -0.078, -0.0793, -0.079, -0.0779, -0.0873, -0.0928, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.1044, -0.1149, -0.0985, -0.123, -0.1149, -0.1139, -0.0939, -0.0826, -0.0803, -0.06, -0.0674, -0.0667, -0.0665, -0.0879, -0.0671, -0.0776, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.1012, -0.0909, -0.0628, -0.0657, -0.0665, -0.0633, -0.0635, -0.064, -0.0796, -0.0804, -0.0804, -0.0778, -0.0606, -0.0722, -0.072, -0.0728, -0.0633, -0.0296, -0.0379, -0.0255, -0.0159, -0.0173, -0.0096, 0.0076, 0.002, -0.0013, -0.0098, -0.0131, -0.0324, -0.0217, -0.0425, -0.0215, -0.0158, -0.0026, -0.0066, -0.0095, -0.0167, 0.0005, 0.0344, 0.0092, 0.0255, 0.0372, 0.0246, 0.0313, 0.0323, 0.0763, 0.0785, 0.082, 0.0574, 0.0781, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.074, 0.0692, 0.0482]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1907195024250397088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-01T22:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Some call it round-tripping. Others Keiretsu. Both are a closed loop. One is a circle jerk. FRAUD ALWAYS MARKS A TOP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV; author alleges its business model is fraudulent round-tripping/Keiretsu and that fraud marks a top.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CoreWeave deep-thoughts:\nhttps://t.co/zc7wcnAgDQ\n\nPlayahs:\n$NVDA\n#Magnetar\n$CRWV\n#OpenAI\n#Softbank\n$MSFT\n\nMy $.02s:\nSome call it round-tripping. Others Keiretsu.\n\nBoth are a closed loop.\nOne is a circle jerk.\n\nI simply called it like I saw it Sept 2023\n\n👉FRAUD ALWAYS MARKS A TOP\n\nhttps://t.co/0mxJs2N7mV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Totally made-up thought experiment: \n\nCould three traders with no tech background convince Wall Street they're an AI tech company worth roughly twice as much as:\n\nSnapchat, Twilio, Zillow, and WiseTech\n\n...by renting NVIDIA GPUs? \n\nWhat if they rented GPUs primarily to clients", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14325294700281432, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14325294700281432, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13696444423133836, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13696444423133836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288502771475968, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006288502771475968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12320732232873588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12320732232873588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07392651583560128, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07392651583560128, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0492808064931346, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0492808064931346, "ret_p1w": -0.2051825297808737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2051825297808737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17701715079760338, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17701715079760338, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165378983270317, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028165378983270317, "ret_p1m": -0.277705357660193, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.277705357660193, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.266988172755231, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.266988172755231, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010717184904961985, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010717184904961985, "ret_p3m": 1.657431485277482, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.657431485277482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.5597261594563783, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.5597261594563783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0977053258211038, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0977053258211038, "ret_p6m": 1.0642112516658218, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0642112516658218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8918431670343892, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8918431670343892, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1723680846314326, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1723680846314326, "ret_p1y": 0.3277379467131061, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3277379467131061, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16567995425369575, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16567995425369575, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16205799245941033, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16205799245941033, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.277705357660193, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.266988172755231, "alpha_c_stated": 0.266988172755231, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.3481, -0.3957, -0.1433, 0.0, -0.1232, -0.2207, -0.1876, -0.2893, -0.2052, -0.3123, -0.287, -0.2893, -0.3354, -0.3362, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.4228, -0.3724, -0.3217, -0.3193, -0.323, -0.3152, -0.3022, -0.3269, -0.2777, -0.1596, -0.1687, -0.1151, -0.1265, -0.1037, -0.1628, -0.0468, 0.031, 0.0994, 0.0719, 0.3087, 0.4112, 0.4707, 0.7502, 0.6323, 0.6744, 0.6744, 1.0204, 0.8929, 0.7202, 0.814, 0.9589, 1.4524, 1.6581, 1.2009, 1.2842, 1.6418, 1.5244, 1.4397, 1.4278, 1.3988, 1.5831, 1.802, 1.7705, 1.7705, 1.9919, 1.8305, 1.8132, 1.5994, 1.5763, 1.6074, 1.6574, 1.5414, 1.4734, 1.6923, 1.6923, 1.6027, 1.4682, 1.4943, 1.2537, 1.0508, 1.1574, 1.2912, 1.3312, 1.1547, 1.0049, 1.0357, 1.1149, 1.0543, 0.9557, 0.8843, 0.7973, 0.7722, 0.6768, 0.86, 0.6972, 0.7277, 0.8227, 0.7966, 0.9733, 1.1113, 1.278, 1.4242, 0.9192, 0.6217, 0.6292, 0.5776, 0.5139, 0.4915, 0.4796, 0.5318, 0.5055, 0.4894, 0.5797, 0.6752, 0.6793, 0.6793, 0.5212, 0.4648, 0.4257, 0.4519, 0.5246, 0.6333, 0.9091, 0.8365, 0.8246, 0.9633, 0.9353, 0.9697, 0.9783, 1.0349, 1.1713, 1.1331, 1.1741, 1.0642]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1919773656520999053", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T15:18:02+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold isn't taking any chances", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold rising in anticipation of debt-limit concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Debt limit is closer than we think &amp; Gold isn't taking any chances...\n\nhttps://t.co/AeLf8Fy5H0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029342749715989935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029342749715989935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03777152584879029, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03777152584879029, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008428776132800353, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008428776132800353, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008794043752944014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008794043752944014, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012999460087278147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012999460087278147, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205416334334133, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004205416334334133, "ret_p1w": -0.050155319931290854, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050155319931290854, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10033432813843202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10033432813843202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05017900820714116, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05017900820714116, "ret_p1m": -0.01110977998144147, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01110977998144147, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07755553528331971, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07755553528331971, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06644575530187824, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06644575530187824, "ret_p3m": -0.01867267192219557, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01867267192219557, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13456020273206504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13456020273206504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11588753080986947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11588753080986947, "ret_p6m": 0.16776105564021826, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16776105564021826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06941410258624536, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06941410258624536, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23717515822646362, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23717515822646362, "ret_p1y": 0.37922853735901296, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.37922853735901296, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09688901533966887, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09688901533966887, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2823395220193441, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2823395220193441, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01110977998144147, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07755553528331971, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07755553528331971, "price_path": [-0.1628, -0.1595, -0.1457, -0.1462, -0.1473, -0.1423, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1406, -0.1442, -0.1382, -0.1389, -0.1359, -0.1486, -0.145, -0.1548, -0.1684, -0.1528, -0.1471, -0.1454, -0.145, -0.1485, -0.1525, -0.1461, -0.1384, -0.1252, -0.1222, -0.1206, -0.1103, -0.1101, -0.1089, -0.1153, -0.1168, -0.1136, -0.1145, -0.1029, -0.0952, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.0796, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1349, -0.1299, -0.104, -0.0751, -0.0555, -0.0606, -0.0565, -0.0249, -0.0301, -0.0301, -0.0015, -0.0031, -0.0396, -0.0233, -0.0378, -0.0231, -0.0271, -0.0312, -0.059, -0.0526, -0.0293, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0337, -0.0223, -0.0561, -0.0502, -0.0674, -0.0559, -0.0672, -0.0535, -0.0384, -0.0299, -0.0349, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0329, -0.0345, -0.0276, -0.0359, -0.012, -0.0179, -0.0111, -0.0178, -0.026, -0.0232, -0.0265, -0.0264, -0.0089, 0.0058, -0.0044, -0.0073, -0.0063, -0.0063, -0.0127, -0.0099, -0.0276, -0.0247, -0.0228, -0.0404, -0.0343, -0.0219, -0.0186, -0.0234, -0.0231, -0.0232, -0.0306, -0.0293, -0.0276, -0.0162, -0.0176, -0.0239, -0.0173, -0.0209, -0.0171, -0.0028, 0.0081, -0.0051, -0.0118, -0.0227, -0.03, -0.0258, -0.0339, -0.0346, -0.0187, -0.0108, -0.0086, -0.0092, -0.0033, 0.0081, -0.0171, -0.0183, -0.0154, -0.0223, -0.0221, -0.0234, -0.0287, -0.0199, -0.0218, -0.0108, -0.011, -0.0067, -0.002, 0.006, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0405, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.0592, 0.0665, 0.068, 0.0681, 0.0661, 0.0698, 0.0794, 0.0813, 0.0793, 0.0681, 0.0762, 0.0965, 0.1082, 0.094, 0.0954, 0.1067, 0.12, 0.1259, 0.1337, 0.1255, 0.1376, 0.1574, 0.1657, 0.1852, 0.1568, 0.1655, 0.2044, 0.2132, 0.2244, 0.2547, 0.2282, 0.2711, 0.1982, 0.1856, 0.2093, 0.2072, 0.1731, 0.1626, 0.1678]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014919554453981854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014919554453981854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009581021377803811, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009581021377803811, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019763991077348386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019763991077348386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007298310189710722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007298310189710722, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "ret_p1w": 0.020848692646049827, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020848692646049827, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01873308216175773, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01873308216175773, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "ret_p1m": 0.020228643548284575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020228643548284575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03817783216410653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03817783216410653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "ret_p3m": 0.18604926191332738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18604926191332738, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26712242300517897, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26712242300517897, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "ret_p6m": 0.19124204006205447, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19124204006205447, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13196390454088358, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13196390454088358, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "ret_p1y": 0.6325906935632919, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6325906935632919, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4760022737372749, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4760022737372749, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.020228643548284575, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03817783216410653, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03817783216410653, "price_path": [-0.0202, -0.018, -0.0479, -0.0326, -0.0391, -0.0617, -0.0698, -0.0791, -0.0815, -0.0832, -0.0657, -0.0574, -0.052, -0.0441, -0.0318, -0.0603, -0.0585, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0483, -0.0566, -0.0547, -0.0519, -0.0589, -0.0585, -0.0492, -0.0367, -0.0275, -0.0417, -0.0533, -0.051, -0.0547, -0.0728, -0.0715, -0.0618, -0.0662, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0581, -0.0645, -0.0675, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.0489, -0.0564, -0.0576, -0.0523, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0381, -0.0477, -0.0427, -0.0355, -0.0289, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0191, -0.014, -0.0154, -0.0093, -0.0196, -0.0111, -0.0149, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0073, 0.0172, 0.0236, 0.0208, 0.0227, 0.04, 0.0362, 0.0373, 0.0475, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.049, 0.0496, 0.0501, 0.0492, 0.0549, 0.041, 0.0425, 0.0267, 0.0202, 0.0337, 0.0427, 0.0448, 0.0395, 0.0401, 0.031, 0.0431, 0.0476, 0.0662, 0.0666, 0.0724, 0.0849, 0.0894, 0.088, 0.0792, 0.0744, 0.0791, 0.0782, 0.0927, 0.1008, 0.1166, 0.1144, 0.1167, 0.1099, 0.084, 0.0607, 0.0665, 0.1059, 0.1329, 0.1545, 0.148, 0.154, 0.1915, 0.1863, 0.1863, 0.223, 0.2056, 0.1767, 0.1938, 0.1809, 0.1977, 0.186, 0.1772, 0.1527, 0.1547, 0.1892, 0.2226, 0.2042, 0.1805, 0.1891, 0.1556, 0.1605, 0.1361, 0.1542, 0.1402, 0.1549, 0.1764, 0.1851, 0.1746, 0.2003, 0.2003, 0.18, 0.1773, 0.1843, 0.1765, 0.2078, 0.1971, 0.2048, 0.1987, 0.1826, 0.1882, 0.1886, 0.195, 0.2098, 0.2257, 0.2082, 0.2088, 0.2023, 0.2023, 0.2018, 0.2055, 0.1866, 0.1902, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1813, 0.1918, 0.1984, 0.1902, 0.1902, 0.1911, 0.1787, 0.184, 0.1866, 0.198, 0.1936, 0.1886, 0.1946, 0.192, 0.1951, 0.2134, 0.225, 0.2098, 0.2024, 0.1912]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025069614574109722, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025069614574109722, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01973108149793168, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01973108149793168, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007311946013000337, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007311946013000337, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019900349310244536, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019900349310244536, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "ret_p1w": 0.022980496629232627, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022980496629232627, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02086488614494053, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02086488614494053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "ret_p1m": -0.014275761045072999, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014275761045072999, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003673427570748955, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003673427570748955, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "ret_p3m": 0.03864904724546503, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03864904724546503, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11972220833731662, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11972220833731662, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "ret_p6m": 0.20682453607495677, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20682453607495677, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14754640055378587, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14754640055378587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "ret_p1y": 1.8210305912296096, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.8210305912296096, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.6644421714035926, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.6644421714035926, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014275761045072999, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.003673427570748955, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003673427570748955, "price_path": [0.0317, 0.0359, -0.0101, 0.0136, -0.0084, -0.0261, -0.0226, -0.0386, -0.0317, -0.04, -0.0118, -0.0077, -0.0216, -0.0237, -0.0087, -0.038, -0.032, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0279, -0.0324, -0.0153, -0.0066, -0.0056, -0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0094, 0.0111, -0.0181, -0.0338, -0.032, -0.0317, -0.0651, -0.0766, -0.0627, -0.0602, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.055, -0.0682, -0.0797, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.0623, -0.0606, -0.0515, -0.0484, -0.046, -0.046, -0.0386, -0.0613, -0.0529, -0.0265, -0.0237, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0237, -0.0233, -0.0331, -0.0282, -0.0439, -0.038, -0.0251, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0017, 0.0174, 0.0219, 0.023, 0.0108, 0.0167, 0.0097, 0.0216, 0.0258, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0414, 0.038, 0.0428, 0.0303, 0.0251, 0.0038, 0.0077, -0.0111, -0.0143, 0.001, 0.0097, 0.0366, 0.0338, 0.0303, 0.0136, 0.0432, 0.0522, 0.0703, 0.0693, 0.0728, 0.0742, 0.0707, 0.062, 0.0453, 0.0432, 0.0648, 0.063, 0.0905, 0.0794, 0.079, 0.0665, 0.071, 0.0059, -0.0571, -0.055, -0.055, -0.023, -0.0153, 0.0164, 0.023, 0.024, 0.0362, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0373, 0.0272, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0463, 0.0512, 0.0386, 0.0306, 0.0233, 0.0139, 0.0265, 0.0522, 0.0268, 0.0258, 0.0376, 0.0317, 0.0421, 0.0185, 0.031, 0.0202, 0.0244, 0.0491, 0.0623, 0.0456, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0526, 0.0439, 0.055, 0.0446, 0.0999, 0.0947, 0.0912, 0.1299, 0.1382, 0.1626, 0.157, 0.1473, 0.1511, 0.148, 0.1501, 0.1748, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1393, 0.1476, 0.1354, 0.1494, 0.1609, 0.1358, 0.1424, 0.1396, 0.1574, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.164, 0.1591, 0.149, 0.1751, 0.2197, 0.2058, 0.1929, 0.1981, 0.2065, 0.2051, 0.2308, 0.2437, 0.2427, 0.2357, 0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "AEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04605113508708103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04605113508708103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04071260201090299, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03665942058010152, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00939171450697951, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01609124037733034, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01609124037733034, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010769329295354457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00882391715054165, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007267323226788691, "ret_p1w": 0.047639377199451216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047639377199451216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04552376671515912, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04831025140175582, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006708742023046055, "ret_p1m": 0.02357316358786976, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02357316358786976, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041522352203691715, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03117596760958452, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00760280402171476, "ret_p3m": 0.23715435053392264, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23715435053392264, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31822751162577423, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2995667117472044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06241236121328175, "ret_p6m": 0.3531498314289734, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3531498314289734, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2938716959078025, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.310181286926253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04296854450272036, "ret_p1y": 1.1172989172039873, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.1172989172039873, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.9607104973779703, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.0070688764761468, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11023004072784048, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02357316358786976, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.041522352203691715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03117596760958452, "price_path": [-0.0951, -0.0961, -0.1237, -0.0989, -0.1167, -0.1768, -0.1872, -0.1994, -0.182, -0.1913, -0.1572, -0.1313, -0.1276, -0.1195, -0.1118, -0.139, -0.1138, -0.1197, -0.1197, -0.1063, -0.1227, -0.0897, -0.0947, -0.1, -0.1151, -0.1051, -0.1075, -0.0753, -0.0979, -0.1137, -0.1251, -0.1348, -0.1768, -0.181, -0.1726, -0.1654, -0.1665, -0.1665, -0.1636, -0.1674, -0.1758, -0.172, -0.172, -0.132, -0.1416, -0.1567, -0.1409, -0.1175, -0.1175, -0.1076, -0.1281, -0.1114, -0.1071, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.0998, -0.062, -0.0554, -0.061, -0.0479, -0.0528, -0.0475, -0.0461, 0.0, -0.0161, 0.0042, 0.012, 0.0438, 0.0476, 0.0412, 0.064, 0.0414, 0.0539, 0.0672, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0303, 0.038, 0.0379, 0.0174, 0.0321, 0.0253, 0.0413, 0.0067, 0.0236, 0.0199, 0.0192, 0.0583, 0.0406, 0.0503, 0.0315, 0.0692, 0.0743, 0.0916, 0.1014, 0.1193, 0.125, 0.1214, 0.1206, 0.1093, 0.1076, 0.1211, 0.1136, 0.1464, 0.1414, 0.1525, 0.1507, 0.1432, 0.1534, 0.0576, 0.0592, 0.0645, 0.1248, 0.1859, 0.2508, 0.2586, 0.2818, 0.3027, 0.292, 0.292, 0.3126, 0.2874, 0.257, 0.2718, 0.2599, 0.2653, 0.2372, 0.25, 0.1966, 0.1813, 0.2151, 0.2665, 0.247, 0.219, 0.2473, 0.1318, 0.1375, 0.1139, 0.1323, 0.1317, 0.1505, 0.1968, 0.2293, 0.2182, 0.2504, 0.2504, 0.2364, 0.2531, 0.2563, 0.2586, 0.3257, 0.3069, 0.3186, 0.3021, 0.2584, 0.2641, 0.2486, 0.2685, 0.3024, 0.3277, 0.3229, 0.3218, 0.3083, 0.3083, 0.291, 0.3053, 0.2853, 0.2777, 0.3126, 0.2387, 0.2687, 0.2583, 0.2662, 0.2807, 0.2807, 0.303, 0.2389, 0.2554, 0.2603, 0.2788, 0.2754, 0.2701, 0.277, 0.2653, 0.2559, 0.3086, 0.372, 0.3569, 0.3418, 0.3531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "AGI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["AGI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03206020859214742, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03206020859214742, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02672167551596938, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022668494085167912, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00939171450697951, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013201326091352938, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013201326091352938, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007879415009377055, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005934002864564247, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007267323226788691, "ret_p1w": 0.04903341952445617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04903341952445617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04691780904016407, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04970429372676077, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006708742023046055, "ret_p1m": 0.07779356744575727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07779356744575727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09574275606157923, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08539637146747203, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00760280402171476, "ret_p3m": 0.32761489541501754, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32761489541501754, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4086880565068691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3900272566282993, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06241236121328175, "ret_p6m": 0.22207795842602485, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22207795842602485, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16279982290485395, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17910941392330448, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04296854450272036, "ret_p1y": 0.8376047294369167, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8376047294369167, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6810163096108997, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7273746887090762, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11023004072784048, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07779356744575727, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09574275606157923, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08539637146747203, "price_path": [-0.0531, -0.0502, -0.0846, -0.0705, -0.0874, -0.144, -0.1553, -0.1633, -0.1647, -0.1741, -0.1374, -0.1152, -0.119, -0.1119, -0.1115, -0.1383, -0.1345, -0.1312, -0.1312, -0.1138, -0.1275, -0.0884, -0.079, -0.0825, -0.1014, -0.0787, -0.0797, -0.0391, -0.0783, -0.099, -0.0995, -0.1009, -0.1485, -0.1462, -0.1358, -0.1348, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1311, -0.1348, -0.148, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.0919, -0.0962, -0.1188, -0.1169, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.0802, -0.0967, -0.0783, -0.0853, -0.0825, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.0613, -0.0486, -0.0514, -0.0288, -0.0504, -0.0344, -0.0321, 0.0, -0.0132, 0.008, 0.0132, 0.0528, 0.049, 0.0457, 0.0754, 0.0599, 0.0778, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0702, 0.0693, 0.0971, 0.0698, 0.0924, 0.0905, 0.1113, 0.0669, 0.0778, 0.0868, 0.0905, 0.148, 0.1264, 0.1207, 0.0868, 0.1292, 0.1561, 0.1738, 0.187, 0.2191, 0.2195, 0.2332, 0.2313, 0.2323, 0.2115, 0.2365, 0.2191, 0.2606, 0.254, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2512, 0.2681, 0.1572, 0.1577, 0.1563, 0.2526, 0.3201, 0.3791, 0.3866, 0.3984, 0.4314, 0.396, 0.396, 0.4041, 0.3616, 0.3149, 0.3338, 0.3196, 0.3418, 0.3276, 0.346, 0.2143, 0.1667, 0.2129, 0.2856, 0.2809, 0.2559, 0.2766, 0.1742, 0.169, 0.1237, 0.1582, 0.1563, 0.1837, 0.2049, 0.2318, 0.212, 0.2384, 0.2384, 0.2143, 0.2139, 0.2115, 0.2219, 0.2908, 0.27, 0.279, 0.2743, 0.2582, 0.2842, 0.2653, 0.2814, 0.2991, 0.3005, 0.2693, 0.2674, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2495, 0.2632, 0.2211, 0.2334, 0.2348, 0.2089, 0.2547, 0.2556, 0.274, 0.275, 0.275, 0.3095, 0.2329, 0.2495, 0.2334, 0.2575, 0.2537, 0.2429, 0.2259, 0.1989, 0.1758, 0.215, 0.2462, 0.2386, 0.215, 0.2221]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.058594488859245675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.058594488859245675, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05325595578306763, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048903270546277855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00969121831296782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03795990886146794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03795990886146794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032637997779492056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03354309243587594, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004416816425591996, "ret_p1w": -0.02297065645928109, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02297065645928109, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025086266943573188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009591582589416725, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013379073869864366, "ret_p1m": 0.28976051062939945, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.28976051062939945, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3077096992452214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3636883717412913, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07392786111189187, "ret_p3m": 0.15709554075666188, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15709554075666188, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23816870184851346, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3011008576807155, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1440053169240536, "ret_p6m": 0.18803517938802328, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18803517938802328, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12875704386685238, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21904547762183235, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031010298233809075, "ret_p1y": 0.637099125575503, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.637099125575503, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.48051070574948596, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5791390983957045, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05796002717979842, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.28976051062939945, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3077096992452214, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3636883717412913, "price_path": [-0.0422, -0.0344, -0.0585, -0.0253, -0.0832, -0.0712, -0.1067, -0.1045, -0.1184, -0.1377, -0.1303, -0.1521, -0.1554, -0.167, -0.1909, -0.167, -0.1709, -0.1572, -0.1572, -0.1496, -0.1634, -0.1661, -0.1734, -0.1809, -0.1636, -0.1014, -0.1257, -0.1339, -0.1315, -0.1452, -0.1624, -0.1517, -0.1727, -0.1794, -0.1991, -0.1713, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1622, -0.1721, -0.1811, -0.1747, -0.1747, -0.1732, -0.1674, -0.1676, -0.1777, -0.1854, -0.1854, -0.2162, -0.2161, -0.205, -0.1976, -0.1977, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.169, -0.159, -0.162, -0.1324, -0.1241, -0.0653, -0.0586, 0.0, -0.038, -0.0402, -0.0038, -0.0337, -0.023, 0.0075, 0.0835, 0.0977, 0.1517, 0.1635, 0.214, 0.214, 0.2352, 0.2244, 0.3234, 0.3992, 0.256, 0.3044, 0.3537, 0.3291, 0.2898, 0.2732, 0.2639, 0.3727, 0.3622, 0.3687, 0.2901, 0.3531, 0.3348, 0.3466, 0.3734, 0.4363, 0.3893, 0.3938, 0.3326, 0.3154, 0.3089, 0.2921, 0.2871, 0.3201, 0.289, 0.287, 0.2916, 0.2633, 0.2588, 0.1343, 0.0315, -0.0328, 0.0199, 0.014, 0.0486, 0.1093, 0.0929, 0.039, 0.0597, 0.0597, 0.0721, 0.1279, 0.158, 0.1611, 0.1707, 0.1521, 0.1571, 0.1624, 0.1732, 0.2241, 0.2319, 0.2426, 0.1994, 0.2244, 0.2199, 0.2901, 0.2814, 0.3047, 0.206, 0.2017, 0.1968, 0.2182, 0.2029, 0.1824, 0.1751, 0.1751, 0.1633, 0.1363, 0.1405, 0.108, 0.1169, 0.119, 0.1626, 0.1676, 0.162, 0.1824, 0.1863, 0.1712, 0.1543, 0.1172, 0.1478, 0.1385, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.1186, 0.1193, 0.1581, 0.1338, 0.1277, 0.1291, 0.1225, 0.1281, 0.0958, 0.0759, 0.0759, 0.0518, 0.0689, 0.0277, 0.0555, 0.0563, 0.0711, 0.1577, 0.1455, 0.161, 0.19, 0.1904, 0.1948, 0.2133, 0.1991, 0.188]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "China tech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet tech; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030028378124655253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030028378124655253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02468984504847721, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02468984504847721, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02953170524924964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02953170524924964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024209794167273757, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024209794167273757, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "ret_p1w": 0.0008650069050493703, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0008650069050493703, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012506035792427261, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0012506035792427261, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "ret_p1m": 0.0674675209264386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0674675209264386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08541670954226055, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08541670954226055, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "ret_p3m": -0.007301258259888921, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.007301258259888921, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07377190283196267, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07377190283196267, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "ret_p6m": 0.12815385109374178, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12815385109374178, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06887571557257088, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06887571557257088, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "ret_p1y": 0.2784806556342554, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2784806556342554, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12189223580823838, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12189223580823838, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0674675209264386, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08541670954226055, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08541670954226055, "price_path": [-0.025, 0.0088, -0.012, 0.0437, -0.0194, -0.0047, -0.0456, -0.0459, -0.0657, -0.066, -0.0579, -0.0578, -0.0452, -0.0583, -0.0879, -0.0852, -0.0911, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0577, -0.0475, -0.0532, -0.066, -0.0594, -0.048, 0.0396, -0.0181, -0.0276, -0.0281, -0.0391, -0.0631, -0.0481, -0.066, -0.0583, -0.0495, -0.0538, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0464, -0.0563, -0.0728, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.097, -0.1099, -0.1073, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1405, -0.137, -0.1105, -0.1019, -0.1044, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.0698, -0.0736, -0.0775, -0.0444, -0.0412, -0.0235, -0.03, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.039, -0.0088, -0.0203, 0.0009, 0.0184, 0.0501, 0.0353, 0.0631, 0.0753, 0.1148, 0.1148, 0.1125, 0.106, 0.1223, 0.1556, 0.0944, 0.1006, 0.1197, 0.0998, 0.0675, 0.0477, 0.0781, 0.1401, 0.1606, 0.1618, 0.1175, 0.1432, 0.1302, 0.1213, 0.1545, 0.1879, 0.1751, 0.1645, 0.1241, 0.0996, 0.1026, 0.0815, 0.0854, 0.1058, 0.0717, 0.0674, 0.0703, 0.0704, 0.0552, -0.035, -0.1016, -0.1332, -0.064, -0.0747, -0.0383, -0.0263, -0.0347, -0.0589, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0525, -0.0283, -0.0099, -0.0086, -0.0106, -0.0119, -0.0073, -0.0042, -0.0058, 0.0396, 0.0393, 0.0501, 0.0207, 0.0305, 0.0166, 0.0683, 0.0581, 0.068, 0.041, 0.0395, 0.0397, 0.041, 0.0305, 0.0243, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.011, -0.001, 0.0177, -0.0099, -0.0009, 0.0003, 0.0228, 0.0357, 0.0383, 0.0613, 0.0527, 0.0536, 0.0538, 0.0297, 0.0531, 0.0413, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0149, 0.0265, 0.0583, 0.0551, 0.0542, 0.0578, 0.0577, 0.0572, 0.0394, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0416, 0.0609, 0.0479, 0.0481, 0.0473, 0.058, 0.096, 0.0865, 0.1006, 0.1113, 0.1098, 0.1185, 0.1379, 0.1317, 0.1282]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1885030820613939392", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-01-30T18:22:24+00:00", "symbol": "DBA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish GLD/SLV on technical breakouts + macro tailwinds; long BABA/China tech on DeepSeek disruption; warns of rotation risk to US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["DBA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 1/30/25\n\nAI euphoria is still in the house. I wrote my detailed thoughts on what to look for later when everyone is looking for the same door: THIS IS THE MANHATTEN PROJECT 2.0\n\nAll eyes on AAPL tonight and QRA Monday with China reopening on the 5th, then NFP next Friday. Never boring!!\n\nIMPORTANT: WEDNESDAY’S MACRO-TO-MICRO OPTIONS POWER HOUR HAS BEEN RESCHEDULED TO TODAY AT THE CLOSE!\n\nLet’s review some of my recent themes:\n\nGOLD! Great trade so far:\n\nGLD: Technical breakout I anticipated a month ago (Jan 6th), plus weekly gap up is still very bullish.\n\nSLV: Technical breakout I added last week based on how silver lags gold. AEM + AGI as my preferred miners are pushing nicely higher.\n\nChinese New Year: According to The World Gold Council, there is a correlation between the Lunar New Year and higher gold prices. Makes sense!\n\nMacro: Falling dollar and yields is bullish precious metals, but specifically I made a bet Jan 14th that rising US bonds and yen would pull gold higher with it.\n\nTariffs: Expected Trump tariffs causing London to move/deliver gold & rumors there’s too little of it. This has put a bid on spot as well.\n\nDBA: I mentioned last month that rising food prices/soft commodities would pull SLV higher with it. See Eggs, Cocoa, Beef and now Lettuce!\n\nCHINA! Great trade so far:\n\nBABA was discussed last week before all the Deepseek market drama which revealed BABA had a DeepSeek equivalent that may even perform better.\n\nChina Tech is now on radar for many US investors given the disruption China just made with a better, faster, cheaper product in DeepSeek.\n\nThe market is closed in China until Feb 4th, so take care chasing into that event.\n\nThe China Wall - my monthly chart of resistance I showcased yday - will likely show a nice move above next week. Now, price action has to see follow-through/not break back below.\n\nThe danger is to US tech stocks should money rotate STRONGLY into China tech & ROW.\n\nIGV & IPO: Strong sector rotation so far:\n...\nTrend Long Updates:\n...\nChase/Earnings Review:\n...\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/HzgCvwnnM1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007215036430202382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007215036430202382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012553569506380424, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012553569506380424, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053385330761780425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0043289648267687, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0043289648267687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009929462552071833, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009929462552071833, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005321911081975883, "ret_p1w": -0.0014429645125259016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0014429645125259016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003558574996817998, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003558574996817998, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021156104842920964, "ret_p1m": -0.04437224592033351, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04437224592033351, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026423057304511555, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026423057304511555, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017949188615821954, "ret_p3m": -0.026695520729043243, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.026695520729043243, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.054377640362808344, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.054377640362808344, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08107316109185159, "ret_p6m": -0.05916304208657186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05916304208657186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11844117760774275, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844117760774275, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059278135521170894, "ret_p1y": -0.04317266270545905, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04317266270545905, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19976108253147606, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19976108253147606, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "bench_c_p1y": 0.156588419826017, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04437224592033351, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026423057304511555, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026423057304511555, "price_path": [-0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1283, -0.1089, -0.1173, -0.1204, -0.1131, -0.1103, -0.1027, -0.0989, -0.0961, -0.0913, -0.0864, -0.0881, -0.0812, -0.0805, -0.0722, -0.068, -0.068, -0.0725, -0.0795, -0.0836, -0.0798, -0.0642, -0.0556, -0.0518, -0.0441, -0.0472, -0.0483, -0.042, -0.0379, -0.0396, -0.0355, -0.0528, -0.0434, -0.048, -0.0429, -0.0429, -0.053, -0.0675, -0.0523, -0.0408, -0.0408, -0.0397, -0.0444, -0.0465, -0.044, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0458, -0.035, -0.0382, -0.0357, -0.0498, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0289, -0.018, -0.0166, -0.013, -0.0144, -0.0058, 0.0072, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0029, 0.0004, 0.0054, -0.0014, -0.0054, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.009, 0.017, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0238, 0.018, 0.0072, -0.0061, -0.0249, -0.0238, -0.0216, -0.0328, -0.0444, -0.0602, -0.0552, -0.048, -0.0516, -0.044, -0.0393, -0.039, -0.0411, -0.0397, -0.0455, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0296, -0.0354, -0.0375, -0.0343, -0.0415, -0.0465, -0.0451, -0.0498, -0.0285, -0.0195, -0.0267, -0.057, -0.0812, -0.0884, -0.0613, -0.0707, -0.0509, -0.0519, -0.057, -0.0433, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0393, -0.0267, -0.0271, -0.017, -0.0087, -0.0155, -0.0267, -0.0328, -0.0397, -0.031, -0.0364, -0.0303, -0.0307, -0.0292, -0.0253, -0.0263, -0.0123, -0.0177, -0.0115, -0.0137, -0.0051, -0.0025, -0.0014, -0.0115, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0256, -0.0361, -0.0415, -0.0368, -0.0393, -0.0368, -0.0296, -0.0166, -0.0087, -0.0119, -0.0234, -0.0242, -0.0256, -0.0274, -0.0198, -0.0299, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.0473, -0.0447, -0.0516, -0.0592, -0.057, -0.0501, -0.0566, -0.0747, -0.0667, -0.066, -0.066, -0.0725, -0.0714, -0.0646, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0664, -0.0758, -0.0664, -0.07, -0.061, -0.0657, -0.0631, -0.0548, -0.0548, -0.0592]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1889488194762318110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-12T01:34:25+00:00", "symbol": "IRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IRM is a short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IRM; government inefficiency (paper-based records mining) signals vulnerability to digitization/disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["IRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IRM is a short", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Federal employee retirements are processed using paper, by hand, in an old limestone mine in Pennsylvania.  700+ mine workers operate 230 feet underground to process ~10,000 applications per month, which are stored in manila envelopes and cardboard boxes.  The retirement process https://t.co/dXCTgpAWLs", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03387521048701769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03387521048701769, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030643107793958846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030643107793958846, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003232102693058847, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003232102693058847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07281218465998729, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07281218465998729, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08336979002511524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08336979002511524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010557605365127953, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010557605365127953, "ret_p1w": -0.09597973701228713, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09597973701228713, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1118410445872996, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1118410445872996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015861307575012473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015861307575012473, "ret_p1m": -0.17161494699944702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17161494699944702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08553038738154162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08553038738154162, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0860845596179054, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0860845596179054, "ret_p3m": -0.03790804802384318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03790804802384318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007053932502383287, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.007053932502383287, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03085411552145989, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03085411552145989, "ret_p6m": -0.09090352431027426, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09090352431027426, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14504487131296795, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14504487131296795, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054141347002693685, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054141347002693685, "ret_p1y": -0.07083657459909842, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07083657459909842, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23116535125033844, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23116535125033844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16032877665124, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16032877665124, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17161494699944702, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08553038738154162, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08553038738154162, "price_path": [0.1111, 0.1171, 0.1269, 0.1249, 0.1484, 0.1519, 0.1682, 0.1956, 0.2017, 0.2017, 0.1961, 0.176, 0.1622, 0.1496, 0.1449, 0.1622, 0.1059, 0.0835, 0.0938, 0.0922, 0.0823, 0.0833, 0.0716, 0.0047, -0.0108, 0.0231, 0.0242, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.0292, 0.0194, 0.0093, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0196, 0.0289, 0.0068, -0.0199, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0153, -0.0048, 0.0128, 0.0336, 0.0732, 0.0632, 0.0632, 0.0796, 0.0706, 0.0835, 0.081, 0.0123, -0.0385, -0.0206, -0.0071, -0.0113, -0.0203, -0.0142, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.0324, 0.034, 0.0339, 0.0, -0.0728, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0829, -0.096, -0.0898, -0.1066, -0.1097, -0.1006, -0.0939, -0.1072, -0.0931, -0.1219, -0.141, -0.1404, -0.1941, -0.1786, -0.1882, -0.1774, -0.1585, -0.1716, -0.1568, -0.1243, -0.1393, -0.1296, -0.1313, -0.1401, -0.115, -0.1368, -0.1451, -0.16, -0.164, -0.1548, -0.1465, -0.1346, -0.1837, -0.2417, -0.2384, -0.2443, -0.17, -0.1981, -0.1803, -0.171, -0.1817, -0.1883, -0.1728, -0.1728, -0.1983, -0.1844, -0.1726, -0.1619, -0.1383, -0.1309, -0.1329, -0.1191, -0.0977, -0.0593, -0.0455, -0.0479, -0.0441, -0.0497, -0.0465, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0458, -0.0226, -0.0117, -0.0073, -0.0124, -0.0558, -0.0589, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0441, -0.0443, -0.0393, -0.0303, -0.0229, -0.0181, -0.0156, -0.0051, 0.004, -0.0057, -0.0073, -0.008, 0.007, -0.0021, 0.0105, 0.0174, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0031, 0.0202, 0.042, 0.0165, -0.001, 0.0127, 0.0154, -0.0107, -0.0139, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0069, -0.0141, -0.0174, -0.0203, -0.0299, -0.0298, -0.0371, -0.0274, -0.023, -0.0133, -0.0226, -0.017, -0.0162, -0.0222, -0.0166, -0.0298, -0.0158, -0.0303, -0.0362, -0.0681, -0.0618, -0.0541, -0.1086, -0.0909]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1888065325402361883", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-08T03:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "AEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEM, AGI, WPM — top recommended gold miners to clients for months, two at blue-sky highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HitDaWallAgain BOE instability and/or US REPATRIATION are best bets. \n\n$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners  to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Paper gold funds get bailed out by governments, otherwise contagion spreads to other ETFs. I don't think this is the US buying, i think it's holders repatriating on US instability, tarrif rumors, BOE instability (hell, just generally British instability), and a coordinated run by", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HitDaWallAgain", "ret_m1d": -0.02149050524118834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02149050524118834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014745090580521536, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016419567245370636, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006745414660666804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005070937995817704, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021291476191053427, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021291476191053427, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02205201730630635, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02715131875540111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007605411152529218, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005859842564347684, "ret_p1w": -0.04636365510288332, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04636365510288332, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05438218069386014, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05887215672323365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008018525590976822, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012508501620350332, "ret_p1m": 0.004823713763183024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004823713763183024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08571983441846365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.043250421208268386, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08089612065528062, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03842670744508536, "ret_p3m": 0.14560102179568823, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14560102179568823, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20857577624405832, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19065366446305054, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06297475444837008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04505264266736231, "ret_p6m": 0.34889352432195975, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34889352432195975, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.304467556841302, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3418534516338765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044425967480657746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007040072688083265, "ret_p1y": 1.2468962315184968, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.2468962315184968, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.083655164515235, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.0987155210234854, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1632410670032618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14818071049501147, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004823713763183024, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08571983441846365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.043250421208268386, "price_path": [-0.2476, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.208, -0.1836, -0.1801, -0.1725, -0.1653, -0.1908, -0.1672, -0.1727, -0.1727, -0.1601, -0.1755, -0.1445, -0.1492, -0.1542, -0.1683, -0.159, -0.1612, -0.1309, -0.1522, -0.167, -0.1778, -0.1868, -0.2263, -0.2303, -0.2224, -0.2156, -0.2167, -0.2167, -0.2139, -0.2175, -0.2255, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.1843, -0.1933, -0.2074, -0.1926, -0.1706, -0.1706, -0.1613, -0.1806, -0.1649, -0.1609, -0.1625, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1185, -0.1122, -0.1175, -0.1052, -0.1098, -0.1049, -0.1035, -0.0602, -0.0753, -0.0562, -0.049, -0.019, -0.0154, -0.0215, 0.0, -0.0213, -0.0096, 0.003, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0317, -0.0245, -0.0246, -0.0439, -0.03, -0.0364, -0.0214, -0.0539, -0.038, -0.0415, -0.0421, -0.0054, -0.0221, -0.013, -0.0305, 0.0048, 0.0096, 0.0259, 0.0351, 0.0519, 0.0573, 0.0539, 0.0532, 0.0425, 0.0409, 0.0536, 0.0466, 0.0774, 0.0727, 0.0832, 0.0815, 0.0744, 0.084, -0.0061, -0.0046, 0.0004, 0.0571, 0.1145, 0.1755, 0.1829, 0.2046, 0.2243, 0.2142, 0.2142, 0.2336, 0.2099, 0.1814, 0.1953, 0.1841, 0.1892, 0.1627, 0.1748, 0.1246, 0.1102, 0.142, 0.1903, 0.172, 0.1456, 0.1722, 0.0637, 0.0691, 0.0469, 0.0642, 0.0636, 0.0813, 0.1247, 0.1553, 0.1449, 0.1752, 0.1752, 0.162, 0.1777, 0.1807, 0.1829, 0.2459, 0.2282, 0.2392, 0.2237, 0.1827, 0.188, 0.1735, 0.1921, 0.224, 0.2477, 0.2432, 0.2422, 0.2296, 0.2296, 0.2133, 0.2267, 0.2079, 0.2008, 0.2336, 0.1641, 0.1923, 0.1826, 0.19, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.2246, 0.1643, 0.1799, 0.1845, 0.2018, 0.1986, 0.1936, 0.2001, 0.1891, 0.1803, 0.2298, 0.2894, 0.2752, 0.2611, 0.2717, 0.2405, 0.2662, 0.2368, 0.2467, 0.2554, 0.3172, 0.3489]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1888065325402361883", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-08T03:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "AGI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEM, AGI, WPM — top recommended gold miners to clients for months, two at blue-sky highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AGI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HitDaWallAgain BOE instability and/or US REPATRIATION are best bets. \n\n$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners  to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Paper gold funds get bailed out by governments, otherwise contagion spreads to other ETFs. I don't think this is the US buying, i think it's holders repatriating on US instability, tarrif rumors, BOE instability (hell, just generally British instability), and a coordinated run by", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HitDaWallAgain", "ret_m1d": -0.027619394776665862, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027619394776665862, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020873980115999058, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02254845678084816, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006745414660666804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005070937995817704, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014467369986253864, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014467369986253864, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015227911101506786, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020327212550601548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007605411152529218, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005859842564347684, "ret_p1w": -0.022358601650712906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022358601650712906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030377127241689728, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03486710327106324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008018525590976822, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012508501620350332, "ret_p1m": 0.0499781643294972, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0499781643294972, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13087428498477782, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08840487177458256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08089612065528062, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03842670744508536, "ret_p3m": 0.16778433510173452, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16778433510173452, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2307590895501046, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21283697776909682, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06297475444837008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04505264266736231, "ret_p6m": 0.15216893438066204, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15216893438066204, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10774296690000429, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14512886169257877, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044425967480657746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007040072688083265, "ret_p1y": 0.951615310725537, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.951615310725537, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7883742437222752, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8034346002305255, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1632410670032618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14818071049501147, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0499781643294972, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13087428498477782, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08840487177458256, "price_path": [-0.222, -0.2233, -0.232, -0.1979, -0.1773, -0.1808, -0.1742, -0.1738, -0.1987, -0.1952, -0.1922, -0.1922, -0.176, -0.1887, -0.1523, -0.1436, -0.1469, -0.1644, -0.1434, -0.1442, -0.1065, -0.1429, -0.1622, -0.1626, -0.164, -0.2082, -0.206, -0.1964, -0.1955, -0.1968, -0.1968, -0.192, -0.1955, -0.2078, -0.1916, -0.1916, -0.1556, -0.1596, -0.1806, -0.1789, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1447, -0.16, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.1469, -0.1434, -0.1434, -0.1271, -0.1153, -0.1179, -0.0969, -0.1171, -0.1021, -0.1, -0.0701, -0.0824, -0.0627, -0.0579, -0.021, -0.0246, -0.0276, 0.0, -0.0145, 0.0022, 0.0118, -0.0224, -0.0224, -0.0048, -0.0057, 0.0202, -0.0053, 0.0158, 0.014, 0.0333, -0.0079, 0.0022, 0.0105, 0.014, 0.0675, 0.0473, 0.0421, 0.0105, 0.05, 0.075, 0.0914, 0.1037, 0.1336, 0.134, 0.1467, 0.145, 0.1458, 0.1265, 0.1498, 0.1336, 0.1722, 0.166, 0.1735, 0.1744, 0.1634, 0.1792, 0.0761, 0.0765, 0.0752, 0.1647, 0.2275, 0.2823, 0.2893, 0.3003, 0.331, 0.2981, 0.2981, 0.3056, 0.2661, 0.2226, 0.2402, 0.227, 0.2477, 0.2345, 0.2516, 0.1292, 0.0848, 0.1278, 0.1954, 0.191, 0.1678, 0.1871, 0.0919, 0.087, 0.0449, 0.0769, 0.0752, 0.1006, 0.1204, 0.1454, 0.127, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.1292, 0.1287, 0.1265, 0.1362, 0.2003, 0.1809, 0.1893, 0.1849, 0.17, 0.1941, 0.1766, 0.1915, 0.208, 0.2093, 0.1803, 0.1785, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1618, 0.1746, 0.1355, 0.1469, 0.1482, 0.1241, 0.1667, 0.1675, 0.1847, 0.1856, 0.1856, 0.2176, 0.1465, 0.1618, 0.1469, 0.1693, 0.1658, 0.1557, 0.1399, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.1298, 0.1588, 0.1517, 0.1298, 0.1364, 0.1126, 0.128, 0.1144, 0.0674, 0.0924, 0.1236, 0.1522]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1888065325402361883", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-02-08T03:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "WPM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEM, AGI, WPM — top recommended gold miners to clients for months, two at blue-sky highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["WPM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HitDaWallAgain BOE instability and/or US REPATRIATION are best bets. \n\n$AEM, $AGI, $WPM are my best recd miners  to clients for many months. They are doing great with 2 in blue skies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Paper gold funds get bailed out by governments, otherwise contagion spreads to other ETFs. I don't think this is the US buying, i think it's holders repatriating on US instability, tarrif rumors, BOE instability (hell, just generally British instability), and a coordinated run by", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HitDaWallAgain", "ret_m1d": -0.02187090434363559, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02187090434363559, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015125489682968785, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016799966347817885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006745414660666804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005070937995817704, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01285651443135849, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01285651443135849, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013617055546611412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018716356995706174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007605411152529218, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005859842564347684, "ret_p1w": -0.002512324299109747, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002512324299109747, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010530849890086569, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015020825919460079, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008018525590976822, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012508501620350332, "ret_p1m": 0.05024387430043831, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05024387430043831, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13113999495571893, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08867058174552367, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08089612065528062, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03842670744508536, "ret_p3m": 0.22115607569153362, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22115607569153362, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2841308301399037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2662087183588959, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06297475444837008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04505264266736231, "ret_p6m": 0.4537978735460029, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4537978735460029, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4093719060653451, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4467578008579196, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044425967480657746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007040072688083265, "ret_p1y": 1.3191325219557273, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.3191325219557273, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.1558914549524655, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.1709518114607158, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1632410670032618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14818071049501147, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05024387430043831, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13113999495571893, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08867058174552367, "price_path": [-0.1297, -0.1254, -0.1351, -0.1023, -0.0773, -0.0719, -0.0619, -0.057, -0.0995, -0.0828, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0789, -0.0915, -0.0675, -0.0696, -0.07, -0.0937, -0.0811, -0.087, -0.0535, -0.0927, -0.1051, -0.113, -0.1169, -0.1544, -0.1592, -0.1561, -0.1531, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.1518, -0.1568, -0.1713, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.1419, -0.1497, -0.166, -0.16, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1552, -0.1761, -0.159, -0.1408, -0.1506, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.1213, -0.1286, -0.1289, -0.1133, -0.125, -0.1079, -0.1068, -0.0672, -0.0768, -0.0607, -0.0539, -0.0256, -0.0118, -0.0219, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.0095, 0.0235, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0155, 0.0262, 0.0337, 0.0056, 0.0174, 0.0188, 0.0383, 0.0055, 0.0185, 0.0158, 0.0197, 0.0488, 0.0374, 0.0417, 0.03, 0.0502, 0.0517, 0.0746, 0.0909, 0.1234, 0.1162, 0.1256, 0.1167, 0.1083, 0.107, 0.1222, 0.1122, 0.1323, 0.1355, 0.1472, 0.1378, 0.1501, 0.1625, 0.05, 0.0467, 0.0449, 0.1051, 0.1536, 0.2163, 0.2192, 0.2346, 0.2552, 0.2441, 0.2441, 0.2608, 0.236, 0.2074, 0.2169, 0.2092, 0.2154, 0.2118, 0.2369, 0.2012, 0.1972, 0.2351, 0.27, 0.2579, 0.2212, 0.2702, 0.1696, 0.1627, 0.1329, 0.1665, 0.1625, 0.1901, 0.2289, 0.2628, 0.2523, 0.2828, 0.2828, 0.2665, 0.2786, 0.2769, 0.2872, 0.3625, 0.3608, 0.3762, 0.359, 0.3161, 0.3225, 0.3082, 0.3229, 0.3415, 0.3606, 0.3634, 0.3539, 0.3513, 0.3513, 0.3232, 0.3379, 0.3142, 0.325, 0.3391, 0.2958, 0.3324, 0.3262, 0.3308, 0.3437, 0.3437, 0.3741, 0.2867, 0.3182, 0.3338, 0.3505, 0.3557, 0.3444, 0.3428, 0.3206, 0.3105, 0.3563, 0.4203, 0.4088, 0.3949, 0.3944, 0.3611, 0.3855, 0.3502, 0.3578, 0.3666, 0.4225, 0.4538]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1883860744912924735", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-27T12:52:56+00:00", "symbol": "China tech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": "tech", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are close to a rotation to Chinese stocks and not just for a bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish China tech near-term; sees institutional rotation into Chinese stocks, not just a bounce, timing from money flow and Fed liquidity signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet tech; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I focus on money flow (institutions’ positioning, options, Fed liquidity, etc), and then match it against MOTIVATIONS. 👇\n\nHere’s why we are close to a rotation to Chinese stocks  and not just for a bounce.\n\nI timed the entirety of the bounce in October - bottom and top  - and again in Dec warning it ‘wasn’t the big one - wait until March’. We are getting closer. \n\n#ChinaTech", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Trump or not, there’a a serious case for holding China tech in portfolio from now on, at least as far as I’m concerned.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003394229441247232, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003394229441247232, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017742861436066848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017742861436066848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01850502334640769, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01850502334640769, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009912395522782669, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009912395522782669, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "ret_p1w": 0.0022468784731753955, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0022468784731753955, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004916124032995017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004916124032995017, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "ret_p1m": 0.14761416720820275, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14761416720820275, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15617313297731128, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15617313297731128, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "ret_p3m": 0.0340248988084908, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0340248988084908, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11917322107097861, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11917322107097861, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "ret_p6m": 0.16666341754637493, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16666341754637493, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11119435908543307, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11119435908543307, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "bench_c_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "ret_p1y": 0.3579215319419725, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3579215319419725, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.19258605279939578, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.19258605279939578, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14761416720820275, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15617313297731128, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15617313297731128, "price_path": [0.0148, 0.0136, 0.0038, 0.0169, 0.052, 0.0303, 0.0884, 0.0225, 0.0378, -0.005, -0.0052, -0.0259, -0.0261, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.0043, -0.0181, -0.0489, -0.046, -0.0522, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0174, -0.0067, -0.0126, -0.026, -0.0192, -0.0073, 0.0841, 0.024, 0.0141, 0.0136, 0.0021, -0.0229, -0.0072, -0.0259, -0.018, -0.0089, -0.0133, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0056, -0.016, -0.0331, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0603, -0.0582, -0.0717, -0.069, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.1037, -0.1, -0.0724, -0.0634, -0.066, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0299, -0.0339, -0.0379, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.0117, 0.0431, 0.0122, 0.0022, 0.0338, 0.0217, 0.0438, 0.0621, 0.0951, 0.0796, 0.1086, 0.1215, 0.1626, 0.1626, 0.1603, 0.1533, 0.1704, 0.2051, 0.1411, 0.1476, 0.1675, 0.1468, 0.1132, 0.0927, 0.1243, 0.1891, 0.2104, 0.2116, 0.1654, 0.1921, 0.1785, 0.1694, 0.204, 0.239, 0.2256, 0.2146, 0.1724, 0.1469, 0.1501, 0.1281, 0.1322, 0.1535, 0.1179, 0.1134, 0.1165, 0.1166, 0.1007, 0.0065, -0.0628, -0.0959, -0.0238, -0.035, 0.0029, 0.0156, 0.0068, -0.0185, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0118, 0.0135, 0.0327, 0.034, 0.0319, 0.0306, 0.0354, 0.0386, 0.037, 0.0843, 0.0841, 0.0953, 0.0646, 0.0749, 0.0603, 0.1143, 0.1038, 0.1141, 0.086, 0.0844, 0.0847, 0.0861, 0.075, 0.0685, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.0548, 0.0423, 0.0617, 0.0329, 0.0423, 0.0436, 0.067, 0.0805, 0.0832, 0.1072, 0.0983, 0.0992, 0.0994, 0.0742, 0.0987, 0.0863, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0587, 0.0708, 0.104, 0.1006, 0.0996, 0.1034, 0.1033, 0.1027, 0.0843, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0864, 0.1066, 0.0931, 0.0932, 0.0923, 0.1036, 0.1432, 0.1333, 0.148, 0.1593, 0.1576, 0.1667]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1908201415538843920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-04T16:54:04+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SPOT (just starting)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPOT, NFLX, PLTR as new rollover trades; NDX100 broadly just starting to roll over.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SBUX from 110 to 75 was one of my newest 'big shorts' for clients...so was $SPOT (just starting) &amp; $NFLX (just starting) &amp; $PLTR (just starting)...\n\nThat's the crazy thing: a LOT of NDX100 is JUST STARTING to roll over.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS \n\nhttps://t.co/UsjO1AvXq6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10951717952328055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10951717952328055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733397252435334, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04875826712758502, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06075891239569553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031134479018906758, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031134479018906758, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03291578985642296, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029758804862419108, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013756741564876496, "ret_p1w": 0.0801907139488438, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0801907139488438, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023469768871696273, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03387646874378025, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04631424520506355, "ret_p1m": 0.2669382870646091, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2669382870646091, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15169524201038032, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1474839735079494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1194543135566597, "ret_p3m": 0.4096960405487853, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4096960405487853, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17813285883021357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17490540405863864, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23479063649014664, "ret_p6m": 0.44738722108369955, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44738722108369955, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12636235120623907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08028667750822893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3671005435754706, "ret_p1y": -0.03665802133307916, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.03665802133307916, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3441859889054313, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3264438355256869, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28978581419260774, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2669382870646091, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15169524201038032, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1474839735079494, "price_path": [-0.0782, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.087, -0.0889, -0.0789, -0.0251, -0.0258, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0314, -0.0194, -0.0036, 0.0142, 0.0212, 0.0546, 0.0706, 0.093, 0.0899, 0.091, 0.2354, 0.2438, 0.2435, 0.2378, 0.267, 0.2381, 0.2728, 0.2881, 0.268, 0.268, 0.2529, 0.277, 0.2652, 0.2068, 0.1953, 0.1694, 0.1984, 0.1738, 0.208, 0.1919, 0.1606, 0.166, 0.0797, 0.0572, -0.0279, 0.0102, 0.0647, 0.0688, 0.142, 0.1871, 0.1315, 0.1648, 0.1813, 0.192, 0.2015, 0.2237, 0.1451, 0.1528, 0.115, 0.0928, 0.0962, 0.1234, 0.1095, 0.0, 0.0311, 0.0299, 0.1307, 0.0988, 0.0802, 0.0911, 0.1373, 0.1188, 0.141, 0.141, 0.1103, 0.173, 0.1776, 0.204, 0.2333, 0.1876, 0.1463, 0.2199, 0.1966, 0.2796, 0.2669, 0.2574, 0.3056, 0.3019, 0.288, 0.2335, 0.232, 0.2582, 0.272, 0.304, 0.3205, 0.3086, 0.2776, 0.2652, 0.2991, 0.2991, 0.2982, 0.3192, 0.265, 0.3216, 0.3352, 0.3333, 0.393, 0.4163, 0.4152, 0.3891, 0.3775, 0.409, 0.3964, 0.4124, 0.4218, 0.4331, 0.4111, 0.4111, 0.4056, 0.4527, 0.49, 0.4629, 0.5416, 0.5351, 0.5246, 0.4352, 0.4097, 0.4406, 0.4406, 0.4629, 0.4333, 0.4348, 0.4106, 0.409, 0.4256, 0.4116, 0.4018, 0.4324, 0.3818, 0.4045, 0.3426, 0.3401, 0.3539, 0.3771, 0.3928, 0.2319, 0.2924, 0.2449, 0.2461, 0.3085, 0.2855, 0.3249, 0.3645, 0.4025, 0.3694, 0.3697, 0.3809, 0.3878, 0.456, 0.4466, 0.4293, 0.3984, 0.3699, 0.3769, 0.3805, 0.3838, 0.3769, 0.3666, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.3702, 0.3855, 0.3985, 0.4051, 0.4271, 0.4289, 0.3989, 0.3716, 0.3837, 0.397, 0.3989, 0.4051, 0.4586, 0.4602, 0.4674, 0.4285, 0.408, 0.4159, 0.4237, 0.4474]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1908201415538843920", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-04T16:54:04+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NFLX (just starting)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPOT, NFLX, PLTR as new rollover trades; NDX100 broadly just starting to roll over.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SBUX from 110 to 75 was one of my newest 'big shorts' for clients...so was $SPOT (just starting) &amp; $NFLX (just starting) &amp; $PLTR (just starting)...\n\nThat's the crazy thing: a LOT of NDX100 is JUST STARTING to roll over.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS \n\nhttps://t.co/UsjO1AvXq6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07149537775603476, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07149537775603476, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009312170757107552, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010736465360339231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06075891239569553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013985916115703434, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013985916115703434, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015767226953219637, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012610241959215784, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013756741564876496, "ret_p1w": 0.0729442192889811, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0729442192889811, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01622327421183356, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02662997408391754, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04631424520506355, "ret_p1m": 0.32505316489818803, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32505316489818803, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20981011984395925, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20559885134152833, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1194543135566597, "ret_p3m": 0.5012501417374047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5012501417374047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26968696001883297, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26645950524725803, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23479063649014664, "ret_p6m": 0.4095880273077168, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4095880273077168, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08856315743025633, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0424874837322462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3671005435754706, "ret_p1y": 0.062323273959326464, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.062323273959326464, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.24520469361302566, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22746254023328127, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28978581419260774, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.32505316489818803, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20981011984395925, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20559885134152833, "price_path": [0.0273, 0.0224, 0.0224, -0.0212, -0.0182, -0.0321, -0.0089, -0.0158, 0.0026, 0.0026, 0.0161, 0.1147, 0.1507, 0.1422, 0.1356, 0.1355, 0.1429, 0.1371, 0.1413, 0.1438, 0.1624, 0.1814, 0.1867, 0.1847, 0.2007, 0.1779, 0.2003, 0.2195, 0.2369, 0.2369, 0.2103, 0.219, 0.1971, 0.1721, 0.1549, 0.1418, 0.1568, 0.1253, 0.1457, 0.1377, 0.1364, 0.1578, 0.059, 0.0412, 0.0126, 0.0458, 0.0746, 0.0401, 0.0726, 0.11, 0.0866, 0.1211, 0.111, 0.122, 0.1357, 0.1652, 0.1341, 0.1412, 0.0911, 0.0896, 0.0847, 0.0931, 0.0715, 0.0, 0.014, 0.017, 0.1047, 0.0763, 0.0729, 0.0881, 0.1407, 0.1236, 0.1369, 0.1369, 0.1543, 0.2155, 0.2264, 0.2816, 0.287, 0.2974, 0.3152, 0.3223, 0.3244, 0.3513, 0.3251, 0.3293, 0.35, 0.3372, 0.3323, 0.2969, 0.3302, 0.3448, 0.3764, 0.3922, 0.3923, 0.3928, 0.3958, 0.388, 0.385, 0.385, 0.4156, 0.4121, 0.3844, 0.4105, 0.4243, 0.4231, 0.4484, 0.4611, 0.4506, 0.4307, 0.4063, 0.4253, 0.4197, 0.4163, 0.4317, 0.4262, 0.4281, 0.4281, 0.4388, 0.4647, 0.4945, 0.49, 0.5267, 0.546, 0.5647, 0.5115, 0.5013, 0.5156, 0.5156, 0.5068, 0.4901, 0.5052, 0.4612, 0.4548, 0.4745, 0.4725, 0.4609, 0.4888, 0.4129, 0.441, 0.3905, 0.375, 0.3796, 0.3793, 0.3724, 0.3656, 0.3836, 0.3547, 0.3537, 0.3682, 0.3412, 0.377, 0.3792, 0.4157, 0.4235, 0.4316, 0.4073, 0.4378, 0.4476, 0.4548, 0.4186, 0.4183, 0.4094, 0.4075, 0.4232, 0.4326, 0.4296, 0.4388, 0.4117, 0.4117, 0.4186, 0.4327, 0.4693, 0.4533, 0.4544, 0.476, 0.4578, 0.4062, 0.3886, 0.4047, 0.4027, 0.4354, 0.4112, 0.4336, 0.4341, 0.4237, 0.4067, 0.4117, 0.4145, 0.4096]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1908201415538843920", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-04T16:54:04+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR (just starting)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPOT, NFLX, PLTR as new rollover trades; NDX100 broadly just starting to roll over.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SBUX from 110 to 75 was one of my newest 'big shorts' for clients...so was $SPOT (just starting) &amp; $NFLX (just starting) &amp; $PLTR (just starting)...\n\nThat's the crazy thing: a LOT of NDX100 is JUST STARTING to roll over.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS \n\nhttps://t.co/UsjO1AvXq6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12957703095641437, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12957703095641437, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06739382395748716, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06739382395748716, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06218320699892721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051749683706403315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.051749683706403315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05353099454391952, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05353099454391952, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017813108375162034, "ret_p1w": 0.1964599445459212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1964599445459212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13973899946877366, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13973899946877366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672094507714753, "ret_p1m": 0.672341481834341, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.672341481834341, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5570984367801122, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5570984367801122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524304505422878, "ret_p3m": 0.785164049502306, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.785164049502306, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5536008677837343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5536008677837343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2315631817185717, "ret_p6m": 1.4167003843767407, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.4167003843767407, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.0956755144992802, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.0956755144992802, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3210248698774605, "ret_p1y": 1.0913389313837984, "ret_signed_p1y": -1.0913389313837984, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7838109638114463, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7838109638114463, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3075279675723521, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.672341481834341, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5570984367801122, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5570984367801122, "price_path": [-0.0543, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0912, -0.122, -0.1094, -0.0793, -0.0645, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0127, 0.0386, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0193, 0.084, 0.0777, 0.0974, 0.1146, 0.1315, 0.4029, 0.3695, 0.5036, 0.4978, 0.5761, 0.5217, 0.5861, 0.5932, 0.6101, 0.6101, 0.6838, 0.5141, 0.4359, 0.3694, 0.2252, 0.1869, 0.2067, 0.1454, 0.1474, 0.1271, 0.1404, 0.2178, 0.0872, 0.1473, 0.032, 0.0546, 0.1303, 0.0758, 0.1652, 0.1802, 0.1335, 0.1634, 0.1808, 0.229, 0.3073, 0.3039, 0.2469, 0.2173, 0.16, 0.1404, 0.1442, 0.1816, 0.1296, 0.0, 0.0517, 0.0447, 0.2432, 0.197, 0.1965, 0.2515, 0.3296, 0.2527, 0.2671, 0.2671, 0.2269, 0.27, 0.3622, 0.4563, 0.5238, 0.5491, 0.5684, 0.6003, 0.5701, 0.6792, 0.6723, 0.4709, 0.4928, 0.6099, 0.5849, 0.6006, 0.7308, 0.759, 0.7311, 0.75, 0.7069, 0.6969, 0.6292, 0.6523, 0.6661, 0.6661, 0.6672, 0.6722, 0.6527, 0.7806, 0.7841, 0.7994, 0.7567, 0.6202, 0.7257, 0.7844, 0.7945, 0.8429, 0.8266, 0.8565, 0.9107, 0.8673, 0.8911, 0.8911, 0.8552, 0.8906, 0.9353, 0.9308, 0.9491, 0.7665, 0.8419, 0.7657, 0.7852, 0.8154, 0.8154, 0.8797, 0.8877, 0.9339, 0.9254, 0.92, 1.0153, 1.0076, 1.039, 1.0807, 1.0743, 1.0509, 1.0142, 1.0893, 1.0924, 1.1457, 1.1332, 1.1111, 1.1431, 1.1396, 1.0844, 1.1708, 1.3412, 1.4259, 1.4618, 1.5261, 1.4683, 1.5263, 1.4911, 1.4459, 1.3939, 1.3514, 1.1315, 1.108, 1.1103, 1.1448, 1.1236, 1.1736, 1.1176, 1.1365, 1.1174, 1.1174, 1.1226, 1.093, 1.1097, 1.0688, 1.1092, 1.1938, 1.2529, 1.2208, 1.3163, 1.3133, 1.3005, 1.2744, 1.3912, 1.4644, 1.4231, 1.4666, 1.4262, 1.4202, 1.3993, 1.4167]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1897279307040612555", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-05T13:33:31+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As WTIC breaks $67, I still see lower... even before OPEC+ long-delayed supply restart", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish crude oil below $67; expects further downside even ahead of OPEC+ supply restart, part of broader oil/yields/equities down thesis since Feb 19.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As WTIC breaks $67, I still see lower... even before OPEC+ long-delayed supply restart\n\nIt also goes with my \"oil dumping with yields and equities\" since Feb 19th. https://t.co/mCkGcPc8gz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I won't be invited to Vienna anyway... https://t.co/PtxKySACVn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029407399327886052, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029407399327886052, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040040950096540184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040040950096540184, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010633550768654132, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010633550768654132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007540801326924029, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007540801326924029, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01850544790964026, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01850544790964026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017751367776947857, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017751367776947857, "ret_p1w": 0.02066057603714211, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02066057603714211, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06214868328512213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06214868328512213, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04148810724798002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04148810724798002, "ret_p1m": 0.009651627404795304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009651627404795304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08639428197543553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08639428197543553, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07674265457064022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07674265457064022, "ret_p3m": -0.05715574182431704, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05715574182431704, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07676431565765396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07676431565765396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.019608573833336918, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019608573833336918, "ret_p6m": -0.025787952758732136, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025787952758732136, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1453916820770449, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1453916820770449, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11960372931831276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11960372931831276, "ret_p1y": 0.0012064821897179723, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0012064821897179723, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.19511307053910154, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.19511307053910154, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1963195527288195, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1963195527288195, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009651627404795304, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08639428197543553, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08639428197543553, "price_path": [0.0134, 0.0311, 0.0344, 0.06, 0.0559, 0.0751, 0.0664, 0.0569, 0.0644, 0.0543, 0.0475, 0.0442, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.0499, 0.0647, 0.0706, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.1029, 0.1154, 0.1093, 0.1197, 0.1057, 0.1148, 0.1547, 0.1887, 0.1688, 0.2071, 0.1865, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.1445, 0.1377, 0.1253, 0.1259, 0.1035, 0.1125, 0.0952, 0.0968, 0.0938, 0.1033, 0.0964, 0.0712, 0.0648, 0.0707, 0.0906, 0.1057, 0.0763, 0.0751, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0835, 0.0896, 0.0944, 0.0617, 0.0662, 0.0395, 0.0348, 0.0609, 0.052, 0.0311, 0.0294, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.011, -0.0042, -0.0009, 0.0207, 0.0036, 0.0131, 0.0192, 0.0089, 0.0128, 0.0294, 0.0297, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0504, 0.0544, 0.046, 0.078, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.0097, -0.0651, -0.0846, -0.1015, -0.0597, -0.0941, -0.0725, -0.0721, -0.0751, -0.0579, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0487, -0.0302, -0.0609, -0.0531, -0.0496, -0.0642, -0.0888, -0.1222, -0.1066, -0.1209, -0.1384, -0.1089, -0.1243, -0.0965, -0.0798, -0.0658, -0.0398, -0.0477, -0.0707, -0.0576, -0.0546, -0.0566, -0.0715, -0.0771, -0.0721, -0.0721, -0.0817, -0.0674, -0.081, -0.0832, -0.0572, -0.0437, -0.0522, -0.0443, -0.0261, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0277, 0.0261, 0.1006, 0.0823, 0.1286, 0.1332, 0.1332, 0.13, 0.0332, -0.0293, -0.021, -0.0161, -0.0119, -0.0181, -0.013, 0.0172, 0.0104, 0.0029, 0.0244, 0.0305, 0.0312, 0.0039, 0.0323, 0.0101, 0.0032, 0.0011, 0.0185, 0.0155, 0.0134, -0.0015, -0.016, -0.0042, -0.0173, 0.006, 0.0437, 0.0556, 0.0445, 0.0154, -0.0003, -0.0173, -0.0296, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0354, -0.0474, -0.0552, -0.0354, -0.0529, -0.0436, -0.0597, -0.0468, -0.0421, -0.04, -0.0228, -0.0461, -0.0326, -0.0258]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1888943199743262752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-10T13:28:48+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA likely gets defended into earnings 2/26, but then Trump either approves the grift - \"spilt milk\" - or says no more.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "NVDA defended into 2/26 earnings but faces binary risk afterward depending on Trump's stance on Singapore/China sales.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Kakashiii has been so diligent, patient &amp; right.\n🎩\n\n$NVDA likely gets defended into earnings 2/26, but then Trump either approves the grift - \"spilt milk\" - or says no more. \n\n#SingaporeSales https://t.co/w62QK04Taq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Singapore x Nvidia - A Billing Location for Chinese Entities? A Violation of CHIPS Act?\n\nIf you recall, the 10-Q filing last week revealed that it obtained $2.7 billion, or 15 percent of its $18 billion revenue for the quarter from Singapore.\n\nThe comparison is even more stark https://t.co/qBOZ0pH8ij", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027925803635681312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027925803635681312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021180388975014508, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009417678565280307, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006745414660666804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018508125070401005, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00576471382366639, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00576471382366639, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0065252549389193115, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006766225257900271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007605411152529218, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010015114342338816, "ret_p1w": 0.03952982578979225, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03952982578979225, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03151130019881543, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027671790602789015, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008018525590976822, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011858035187003235, "ret_p1m": -0.18574541306708126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18574541306708126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10484929241180063, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04392984875895467, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08089612065528062, "bench_c_p1m": -0.14181556430812658, "ret_p3m": -0.12120394618669905, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12120394618669905, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05822919173832897, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010355461260172727, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06297475444837008, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11084848492652633, "ret_p6m": 0.3347963924632089, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3347963924632089, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29037042498255117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18464810340565796, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044425967480657746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15014828905755095, "ret_p1y": 0.434247001632613, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.434247001632613, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2710059346293512, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24000344833624032, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1632410670032618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6742504499688533, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18574541306708126, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10484929241180063, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04392984875895467, "price_path": [0.095, 0.0987, 0.0629, 0.0492, 0.1005, 0.0922, 0.098, 0.0627, 0.0183, 0.025, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.035, 0.0378, 0.05, 0.0865, 0.086, 0.0664, 0.0392, 0.0112, 0.043, 0.0282, 0.0051, -0.0118, -0.0238, -0.0349, -0.0216, 0.0085, 0.0457, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0476, 0.0258, 0.0293, 0.0054, 0.0054, 0.0355, 0.0816, 0.1187, 0.0492, 0.049, 0.049, 0.0175, -0.0025, -0.0136, 0.02, 0.0, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0544, 0.1011, 0.1022, 0.0678, -0.1134, -0.0343, -0.0739, -0.0668, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1117, -0.0654, -0.0366, -0.0279, 0.0, -0.0058, -0.0182, 0.0129, 0.0395, 0.0395, 0.0436, 0.0424, 0.049, 0.0064, -0.0246, -0.052, -0.0171, -0.1005, -0.0648, -0.1461, -0.1316, -0.1218, -0.1722, -0.1563, -0.1991, -0.1857, -0.1334, -0.1346, -0.089, -0.105, -0.1357, -0.1201, -0.1125, -0.1187, -0.091, -0.0963, -0.1482, -0.1657, -0.1789, -0.1885, -0.1753, -0.1732, -0.2378, -0.2939, -0.2689, -0.279, -0.144, -0.1946, -0.1694, -0.1711, -0.1599, -0.2176, -0.2401, -0.2401, -0.2744, -0.2596, -0.231, -0.2031, -0.1688, -0.1859, -0.1837, -0.1845, -0.1643, -0.1427, -0.1478, -0.1499, -0.1235, -0.1212, -0.1266, -0.079, -0.0272, 0.0133, 0.0095, 0.0138, 0.0151, 0.0062, -0.0132, -0.0054, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0145, 0.0094, 0.0422, 0.0118, 0.0286, 0.0574, 0.0626, 0.0482, 0.0611, 0.0679, 0.0779, 0.0695, 0.0857, 0.0631, 0.0834, 0.0792, 0.0893, 0.0893, 0.0771, 0.0795, 0.1075, 0.1555, 0.1608, 0.1812, 0.183, 0.1479, 0.1775, 0.1931, 0.1931, 0.1849, 0.1981, 0.2196, 0.2288, 0.2349, 0.2285, 0.2782, 0.2832, 0.2954, 0.291, 0.2833, 0.2507, 0.2788, 0.301, 0.2992, 0.3235, 0.3142, 0.3424, 0.3319, 0.3008, 0.3478, 0.3348]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1905732344625205370", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-28T21:22:52+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I talk about a $NFLX short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses a short position in NFLX.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short-Term Jump Risk / Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour / Mar 26, 2025\n\nI talk about a $NFLX short &amp; answer the question: \n\"Are we really at risk of a short squeeze in markets? NO\"\n\n@HansCashFlow talks about portfolio protection. \n\nhttps://t.co/4LUKs6PvjR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0014155446635757407, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014155446635757407, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00808347416214883, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008776929291317792, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006667929498573089, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007361384627742051, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004450268869217733, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004450268869217733, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007274822570259354, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0050723531992834525, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006220843300657197, "ret_p1w": -0.06938116023119634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06938116023119634, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028958075661082883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024968163023858292, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833923589227922, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09434932325505463, "ret_p1m": 0.20708186310287346, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20708186310287346, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21614526375576937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21786455138008343, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010782688277209962, "ret_p3m": 0.4012097171716891, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4012097171716891, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3041596098899879, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2950581696448227, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705010728170116, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1061515475268664, "ret_p6m": 0.3066282293902318, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3066282293902318, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11423128886607392, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07167367285875881, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1923969405241579, "bench_c_p6m": 0.234954556531473, "ret_p1y": 0.015516912289818885, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.015516912289818885, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17719348642280064, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.17373526754796997, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18925217983778886, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20708186310287346, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21614526375576937, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21786455138008343, "price_path": [-0.0442, -0.0491, -0.0552, -0.0544, -0.0572, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.1017, -0.0989, -0.1117, -0.0904, -0.0967, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0674, 0.023, 0.0561, 0.0483, 0.0422, 0.0421, 0.0489, 0.0437, 0.0474, 0.0498, 0.0669, 0.0843, 0.0892, 0.0873, 0.1019, 0.081, 0.1016, 0.1192, 0.1352, 0.1352, 0.1108, 0.1188, 0.0987, 0.0757, 0.06, 0.0479, 0.0617, 0.0327, 0.0515, 0.0441, 0.0429, 0.0626, -0.0281, -0.0444, -0.0706, -0.0401, -0.0138, -0.0454, -0.0156, 0.0188, -0.0027, 0.0289, 0.0196, 0.0298, 0.0423, 0.0694, 0.0409, 0.0474, 0.0014, 0.0, -0.0045, 0.0032, -0.0166, -0.0822, -0.0694, -0.0666, 0.0139, -0.0122, -0.0153, -0.0013, 0.0469, 0.0312, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0594, 0.1156, 0.1255, 0.1762, 0.1812, 0.1907, 0.2071, 0.2136, 0.2155, 0.2402, 0.2161, 0.22, 0.239, 0.2272, 0.2227, 0.1903, 0.2208, 0.2343, 0.2632, 0.2777, 0.2779, 0.2783, 0.2811, 0.2739, 0.2712, 0.2712, 0.2992, 0.296, 0.2706, 0.2946, 0.3072, 0.3061, 0.3294, 0.341, 0.3313, 0.3131, 0.2907, 0.3081, 0.3029, 0.2999, 0.314, 0.309, 0.3107, 0.3107, 0.3205, 0.3442, 0.3717, 0.3675, 0.4012, 0.4188, 0.436, 0.3872, 0.3778, 0.391, 0.391, 0.3829, 0.3676, 0.3815, 0.3411, 0.3352, 0.3533, 0.3515, 0.3408, 0.3664, 0.2967, 0.3225, 0.2762, 0.2619, 0.2662, 0.2659, 0.2596, 0.2533, 0.2699, 0.2433, 0.2424, 0.2557, 0.2309, 0.2637, 0.2658, 0.2993, 0.3065, 0.3139, 0.2916, 0.3196, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.302, 0.3017, 0.2935, 0.2918, 0.3062, 0.3148, 0.312, 0.3205, 0.2957, 0.2957, 0.302, 0.3149, 0.3485, 0.3338, 0.3348, 0.3546, 0.338, 0.2906, 0.2744, 0.2892, 0.2874, 0.3174, 0.2952, 0.3157, 0.3162, 0.3066]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1908984522445869359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-06T20:45:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We need a proper washout of bitcoin before we really get to see what this market is made of", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC near-term; expects a proper washout/selloff before any meaningful recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THAT was predictable. In fact I did in my #LiveTradingRoom Friday! 🫰\n\nINFLATION has to escape somewhere ... Bitcoin is an inflation absorber. As Geoffrey @GraphCall has explained many times:\n\n\"#BTC is non-inflationary liquidity decoy to absorb this excessive liquidity without creating inflation. If the liquidity was going into food and metals, this would create inflation with 2nd & 3rd consequences.\"\nhttps://t.co/hiilgdd3bS\n\nSo too are precious metals.\nGold fell after Tariffs were announced WITH GOLD/SILVER MARGIN INCREASES. They also serve as a collateral trade in a GLOBAL MARGIN CALL. Now bitcoin sells-off on liquidity crunch.\n\nWe need a proper washout of bitcoin before we really get to see what this market is made of 😉⏳", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN: $200,000,000 liquidated from the cryptocurrency market in the past 60 minutes.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05816178723133203, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05637729766320865, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017844895681233819, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03739976334343409, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02173706942192688, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566269392150721, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0669783831255053, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0018983492878175134, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887673241332282, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11381342769468428, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789498581992207, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3838267392339849, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14034220613963067, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348453309435425, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43945986456681707, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11109267743016193, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.32836718713665514, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.10002422569712477, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4171849116076948, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31716068591057, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11381342769468428, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1995, 0.1672, 0.1952, 0.1929, 0.2183, 0.2684, 0.259, 0.3184, 0.2875, 0.3396, 0.3082, 0.312, 0.3229, 0.2884, 0.2789, 0.3088, 0.3218, 0.2924, 0.2798, 0.2352, 0.2193, 0.2191, 0.2183, 0.2297, 0.2084, 0.2354, 0.2195, 0.2306, 0.2087, 0.2058, 0.2196, 0.241, 0.2132, 0.1538, 0.1199, 0.0645, 0.069, 0.0648, 0.0862, 0.1008, 0.1437, 0.1354, 0.0947, -0.0089, 0.0458, 0.0566, 0.0231, 0.0597, 0.0611, 0.044, 0.0962, 0.0622, 0.0607, 0.1043, 0.1039, 0.0967, 0.1002, 0.0646, 0.0418, 0.0749, 0.041, 0.0488, 0.0582, 0.0, -0.0374, 0.0421, 0.0049, 0.0526, 0.067, 0.056, 0.0606, 0.0714, 0.0658, 0.1045, 0.1793, 0.1825, 0.1856, 0.1954, 0.1987, 0.1899, 0.189, 0.2178, 0.2231, 0.1958, 0.2217, 0.2246, 0.303, 0.2996, 0.2976, 0.3147, 0.3067, 0.3093, 0.3061, 0.3328, 0.3478, 0.3842, 0.4094, 0.354, 0.3812, 0.3756, 0.3605, 0.3333, 0.3125, 0.3363, 0.3306, 0.3218, 0.282, 0.3175, 0.392, 0.3915, 0.3717, 0.3369, 0.3389, 0.3478, 0.3201, 0.3237, 0.3212, 0.3038, 0.3325, 0.3384, 0.355, 0.3499, 0.3515, 0.3521, 0.334, 0.3739, 0.3838, 0.3635, 0.3668, 0.375, 0.405, 0.4638, 0.4831, 0.5126, 0.4864, 0.4986, 0.5055, 0.4893, 0.4822, 0.5144, 0.4988, 0.4939, 0.4846, 0.4883, 0.4883, 0.4871, 0.4609, 0.4302, 0.4523, 0.4405, 0.4517, 0.4829, 0.4727, 0.4985, 0.5167, 0.5567, 0.4938, 0.4816, 0.4672, 0.424, 0.4422, 0.4188, 0.475, 0.3898, 0.411, 0.4037, 0.4204, 0.3682, 0.3788, 0.4034, 0.41, 0.3974, 0.3965, 0.4144, 0.4076, 0.4382, 0.4578, 0.4653, 0.457, 0.4746, 0.4699, 0.4783, 0.4601, 0.423, 0.4137, 0.4303, 0.3763, 0.3846, 0.4438, 0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884667073134997707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-29T18:17:00+00:00", "symbol": "MMM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what I look for in bottom-fishing TREND reversal longs for clients? 👉 $MMM & $GLW", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bottom-fishing trend-reversal long setups in MMM and GLW for clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["MMM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Conglomerates'", "bench_c_industry": "Conglomerates", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Want to see what I look for in bottom-fishing TREND reversal longs for clients?\n\n👉 $MMM &amp; $GLW\n\nBoring But Profitable!\nhttps://t.co/M47KqSaOlu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.000923882311129054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000923882311129054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005427140119776075, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004334841736483908, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004503257808647021, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034109594253548536, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018872929875374922, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018872929875374922, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013505743899337785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007696546832027806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053671859760371365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011176383043347116, "ret_p1w": 0.006005079643544464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006005079643544464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002000579170936989, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010867602184200909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004004500472607475, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004862522540656444, "ret_p1m": -0.0018312944700583644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0018312944700583644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026018036044926363, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02182781087442731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849330514984727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023659105344485676, "ret_p3m": -0.08532149996058558, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08532149996058558, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003397074436712444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027607681471494616, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192442552387313, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05771381848909096, "ret_p6m": -0.005072496119932546, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.005072496119932546, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06555602975221764, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12569059137282357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06048353363228509, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12061809525289102, "ret_p1y": 0.1282042862379862, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1282042862379862, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.034591758734968, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09970395660062015, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1627960449729542, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22790824283860633, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0018312944700583644, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026018036044926363, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02182781087442731, "price_path": [-0.1649, -0.1739, -0.1695, -0.1209, -0.1265, -0.1182, -0.127, -0.1444, -0.1372, -0.1315, -0.1435, -0.141, -0.1541, -0.1564, -0.1598, -0.1526, -0.14, -0.1227, -0.1258, -0.1258, -0.1188, -0.1231, -0.1346, -0.1392, -0.1202, -0.1216, -0.1323, -0.1437, -0.1437, -0.1438, -0.1427, -0.1456, -0.155, -0.1716, -0.1611, -0.1469, -0.1489, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1344, -0.141, -0.1479, -0.1481, -0.1481, -0.1441, -0.143, -0.1402, -0.1239, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.1342, -0.1118, -0.0946, -0.0908, -0.0816, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0307, -0.016, -0.0126, -0.0139, -0.0001, -0.0009, 0.0, 0.0189, 0.0044, -0.0099, 0.0009, 0.006, 0.0051, -0.011, -0.0122, -0.0097, -0.0176, -0.0186, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.012, -0.004, -0.0114, -0.0386, -0.0353, -0.0282, -0.0223, -0.0018, 0.0287, 0.0174, -0.0327, -0.0211, -0.0256, -0.0298, -0.0211, -0.0216, -0.0037, -0.0311, -0.0026, 0.016, 0.0008, 0.016, 0.0031, -0.0029, 0.0156, 0.0179, 0.0125, -0.0156, -0.0395, -0.0261, -0.0207, -0.0201, -0.0733, -0.1584, -0.1475, -0.1567, -0.0827, -0.1182, -0.0985, -0.0981, -0.103, -0.1349, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.1638, -0.0959, -0.0977, -0.079, -0.0894, -0.0853, -0.0823, -0.0788, -0.0855, -0.0578, -0.0663, -0.0847, -0.0806, -0.0642, -0.0544, -0.0031, -0.0004, -0.0193, -0.0136, 0.0153, 0.0222, 0.0222, -0.0093, -0.0067, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0038, -0.0093, -0.0029, -0.0114, -0.0244, -0.0129, -0.0217, -0.0253, -0.0304, -0.0389, -0.0333, -0.0192, -0.0353, -0.0516, -0.0333, -0.0523, -0.0503, -0.0503, -0.0402, -0.0164, -0.0013, -0.0154, 0.0047, 0.0131, 0.0145, 0.025, 0.026, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0119, 0.0245, 0.0394, 0.0484, 0.0385, 0.0523, 0.0435, 0.05, 0.0598, 0.0211, 0.0184, 0.0076, 0.0051, -0.0051]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884667073134997707", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-29T18:17:00+00:00", "symbol": "GLW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what I look for in bottom-fishing TREND reversal longs for clients? 👉 $MMM & $GLW", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bottom-fishing trend-reversal long setups in MMM and GLW for clients.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Want to see what I look for in bottom-fishing TREND reversal longs for clients?\n\n👉 $MMM &amp; $GLW\n\nBoring But Profitable!\nhttps://t.co/M47KqSaOlu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028714927348010066, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028714927348010066, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024211669539363045, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020516073465445483, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004503257808647021, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008198853882564583, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0038153631769286545, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0038153631769286545, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001551822799108482, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001959851243103161, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053671859760371365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018555119338254933, "ret_p1w": 0.07008037529251188, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07008037529251188, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0660758748199044, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0595081829359394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004004500472607475, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010572192356572474, "ret_p1m": -0.016064093464727924, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016064093464727924, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011785237050256803, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023419815370735564, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849330514984727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03948390883546349, "ret_p3m": -0.10936849685154604, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10936849685154604, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027444071327672903, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00906398353485971, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192442552387313, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10030451331668633, "ret_p6m": 0.13164835688127385, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13164835688127385, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07116482324898876, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00014997389432624963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06048353363228509, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1317983307756001, "ret_p1y": 0.9275159318081174, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.9275159318081174, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7647198868351632, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6629337679406284, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1627960449729542, "bench_c_p1y": 0.264582163867489, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016064093464727924, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011785237050256803, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023419815370735564, "price_path": [-0.0347, -0.0614, -0.0563, -0.0371, -0.0375, -0.0275, -0.0235, -0.0355, -0.0576, -0.0608, -0.0665, -0.0675, -0.0504, -0.0492, -0.0394, -0.0257, -0.0309, -0.0361, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0227, -0.0112, -0.0127, -0.0131, -0.0008, -0.0048, -0.0259, -0.0287, -0.0436, -0.0239, -0.0331, -0.0325, -0.041, -0.0661, -0.055, -0.05, -0.0462, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0363, -0.0406, -0.0494, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.062, -0.0462, -0.0293, -0.0392, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0538, -0.0647, -0.0476, -0.0199, -0.0112, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.0351, 0.0845, 0.0839, 0.0894, -0.0054, 0.0287, 0.0, 0.0038, 0.0458, 0.0311, 0.045, 0.0701, 0.0773, 0.0637, 0.0653, 0.0522, 0.0444, 0.0464, 0.055, 0.055, 0.062, 0.0576, 0.0416, 0.0339, 0.0197, -0.0026, 0.0042, -0.0161, 0.0128, -0.0256, -0.0611, -0.05, -0.0809, -0.0724, -0.091, -0.093, -0.0831, -0.0791, -0.0558, -0.0536, -0.0453, -0.0153, -0.0171, -0.0199, 0.0076, -0.0106, -0.0488, -0.0597, -0.0738, -0.0754, -0.0803, -0.0601, -0.1459, -0.211, -0.2, -0.2087, -0.1263, -0.158, -0.1667, -0.1597, -0.1562, -0.1663, -0.1615, -0.1615, -0.178, -0.1568, -0.1322, -0.1138, -0.1078, -0.1094, -0.1021, -0.1037, -0.0956, -0.0758, -0.0829, -0.096, -0.0942, -0.0902, -0.0896, -0.0514, -0.0383, -0.0506, -0.0387, -0.0262, -0.028, -0.031, -0.027, -0.0195, -0.0233, -0.0233, 0.0082, -0.0013, 0.009, 0.0072, 0.0163, 0.0313, 0.0309, 0.0329, 0.0299, 0.0336, 0.0279, 0.0246, 0.0321, 0.0074, 0.0313, 0.0252, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.024, 0.052, 0.0443, 0.0437, 0.05, 0.0524, 0.0681, 0.0681, 0.0707, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0638, 0.0709, 0.0677, 0.0614, 0.048, 0.0788, 0.0667, 0.0758, 0.1008, 0.0969, 0.0947, 0.0971, 0.1333, 0.1316]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1883857338936770947", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-27T12:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "MAG7", "kind": "equity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bet the market, because it's so whacked, that it will get bought hard after this selling and make \"One More MAG7 High\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects a hard bounce after selling to produce one more MAG7 high, despite viewing overall rally as fake/sucker's rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL", "AMZN", "NVDA", "META", "TSLA"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Magnificent 7 mega-cap US tech basket", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yup, Semis clobbered. Market cared!!\n\nHere’s the irony:\nI bet the market, because it’s so whacked, that it will get bought hard after this selling and make “One More MAG7 High”.\n\nBecause the market is fake and price discovery is not really possible for more than a few weeks. \n\nThe disruption, however, is real. And the risk China represents. \n\nBut the market mindset is  still “CONSENSUS: RISK ASSETS RALLY HARD” which is why I mocked it in my market thoughts post this weekend. \n\nWhich is why last Wednesday I said it felt like a sucker’s rally. Didn’t know DeepSeek would be giving the sucker’s punch.\n\nBut that’s why we say:\nRisk Happens Fast!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "THAT’s called Trader’s Instinct:\n\n“I feel this is a Sucker’s Rally”\n\nMinute 15:18-17:00 - from last Wed’s Macro-To-Micro OPTIONS Power Hour 😉\n\nhttps://t.co/DO2FgBGa1L", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03453677443093132, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03453677443093132, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0201881424361117, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039688708989189116, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348631994819616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005151934558257798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029849400802122998, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029849400802122998, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021256772978497977, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024994584009650093, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00859262782362502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004854816792472905, "ret_p1w": 0.0004755838312538848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0004755838312538848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0031448293910735065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016070521538940636, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002669245559819622, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01654610537019452, "ret_p1m": -0.05142573994336835, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05142573994336835, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04286677417425982, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058955767949653674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558965769108529, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0075300280062853275, "ret_p3m": -0.17354239066135152, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17354239066135152, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08839406839886371, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10535182941195559, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514832226248781, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06819056124939593, "ret_p6m": 0.05501804053296371, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05501804053296371, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0004510179279781437, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.019407772284839538, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.055469058460941856, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07442581281780325, "ret_p1y": 0.22178679668388063, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.22178679668388063, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.05645131754130389, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.052074142030668014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16533547914257674, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1697126546532126, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05142573994336835, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04286677417425982, "alpha_c_stated": -0.058955767949653674, "price_path": [-0.0798, -0.1132, -0.1039, -0.1107, -0.0959, -0.0637, -0.0429, -0.0402, -0.0365, -0.0364, -0.0369, -0.0453, -0.0663, -0.0582, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0563, -0.0589, -0.0625, -0.0504, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0463, -0.0301, -0.0221, -0.0065, -0.0016, 0.0113, 0.0082, 0.0153, 0.0438, 0.0363, 0.0337, 0.0532, 0.0568, 0.0152, 0.0183, 0.0214, 0.0365, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0512, 0.0301, 0.0171, 0.0023, 0.0023, -0.0031, 0.0221, 0.0422, 0.0144, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0001, -0.0049, -0.0148, 0.0211, 0.0013, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0226, 0.0379, 0.0399, 0.0345, 0.0, 0.0298, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0189, 0.0005, 0.0175, 0.0054, 0.0133, -0.0053, 0.0001, -0.0065, -0.0062, 0.0126, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0118, 0.0142, 0.0097, -0.0159, -0.0299, -0.0514, -0.0512, -0.082, -0.0624, -0.0933, -0.0979, -0.0819, -0.1086, -0.1054, -0.1531, -0.1504, -0.1305, -0.1519, -0.1273, -0.1366, -0.158, -0.1443, -0.1447, -0.1333, -0.1041, -0.0937, -0.1211, -0.1257, -0.1555, -0.1585, -0.1451, -0.1373, -0.1959, -0.2427, -0.2399, -0.2579, -0.1506, -0.1931, -0.177, -0.1776, -0.1819, -0.2148, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2461, -0.2236, -0.1971, -0.1735, -0.1503, -0.1536, -0.1489, -0.1554, -0.1319, -0.1204, -0.1291, -0.1365, -0.1379, -0.1276, -0.1245, -0.0745, -0.0531, -0.0364, -0.0465, -0.0418, -0.0438, -0.05, -0.0599, -0.0529, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0361, -0.041, -0.0345, -0.0425, -0.0361, -0.0331, -0.0298, -0.0494, -0.0303, -0.0219, -0.0098, -0.0183, -0.0173, -0.0255, -0.0099, -0.0198, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0282, -0.0134, -0.0045, 0.0018, 0.0124, 0.0235, 0.0216, 0.006, 0.0192, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0151, 0.0145, 0.0265, 0.0325, 0.0361, 0.0367, 0.0422, 0.0447, 0.0483, 0.0546, 0.0613, 0.055]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1885166455169200164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-31T03:21:22+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would bet on $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA as a national security asset immune to DeepSeek fallout; short SMCI as likely scapegoat.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I were a betting woman…\n\nI would bet on  $NVDA\n\n1. Because Nvidia is a national security interest now. #DeepSeek\n\n2. And the market’s fortunes, and therefore the US economy’s, is dependent on this Ponzi Shell game continuing. \n\n3. $SMCI on the other hand can easily be made scapegoat with $NVDA fanning indignation. 😈", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨STOCK NEWS:  $NVDA \n\n• The FBI and White House are investigating DeepSeek's use of Singapore intermediaries for Nvidia chips, crucial for Nvidia's supply chain to China.\n\n** Singapore has been a gateway for Nvidia GPUs into China, showing its importance in tech trade.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03814444700049546, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03814444700049546, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03279406164339482, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03178206063753741, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00636238636295805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028400101945069922, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028400101945069922, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021670549235759062, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008533116067964253, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00672955270931086, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01986698587710567, "ret_p1w": 0.08136890210823289, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08136890210823289, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08311354365108481, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07570435139922949, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0017446415428519213, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005664550709003402, "ret_p1m": -0.05005413843211415, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05005413843211415, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.020061735715247275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03454481654218744, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08459895497430159, "ret_p3m": -0.09277911360607138, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09277911360607138, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01698927725454158, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.039968616637442334, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0757898363515298, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13274773024351372, "ret_p6m": 0.47229553633956756, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47229553633956756, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4076173325993111, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2761293286871245, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06467820374025646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19616620765244308, "ret_p1y": 0.4834571851388014, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4834571851388014, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.34435098254767915, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12398371448928547, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13910620259112227, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6074408996280869, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05005413843211415, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.020061735715247275, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03454481654218744, "price_path": [0.1652, 0.2126, 0.2399, 0.2294, 0.2097, 0.2349, 0.2181, 0.2222, 0.1824, 0.1672, 0.2243, 0.215, 0.2215, 0.1821, 0.1328, 0.1403, 0.1271, 0.1271, 0.1513, 0.1545, 0.1681, 0.2087, 0.2081, 0.1863, 0.1561, 0.1249, 0.1602, 0.1438, 0.1181, 0.0994, 0.0859, 0.0736, 0.0884, 0.1218, 0.1632, 0.1678, 0.1678, 0.1654, 0.1411, 0.1451, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1519, 0.2032, 0.2445, 0.1672, 0.1669, 0.1669, 0.1319, 0.1096, 0.0974, 0.1347, 0.1124, 0.1469, 0.1469, 0.1729, 0.2249, 0.2261, 0.1878, -0.0137, 0.0743, 0.0302, 0.0381, 0.0, -0.0284, -0.0118, 0.0396, 0.0717, 0.0814, 0.1124, 0.106, 0.0922, 0.1268, 0.1564, 0.1564, 0.161, 0.1596, 0.1669, 0.1196, 0.085, 0.0546, 0.0934, 0.0007, 0.0404, -0.0501, -0.034, -0.0231, -0.0791, -0.0615, -0.109, -0.0942, -0.036, -0.0373, 0.0134, -0.0044, -0.0386, -0.0211, -0.0127, -0.0196, 0.0113, 0.0053, -0.0525, -0.0719, -0.0865, -0.0973, -0.0825, -0.0803, -0.1521, -0.2145, -0.1867, -0.1979, -0.0477, -0.104, -0.076, -0.0779, -0.0655, -0.1297, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1928, -0.1763, -0.1445, -0.1135, -0.0754, -0.0944, -0.0919, -0.0928, -0.0704, -0.0463, -0.052, -0.0543, -0.025, -0.0224, -0.0284, 0.0245, 0.0822, 0.1273, 0.123, 0.1278, 0.1292, 0.1193, 0.0978, 0.1064, 0.0935, 0.0935, 0.1286, 0.1229, 0.1593, 0.1255, 0.1443, 0.1763, 0.1821, 0.166, 0.1804, 0.188, 0.1991, 0.1897, 0.2078, 0.1826, 0.2052, 0.2005, 0.2118, 0.2118, 0.1982, 0.2009, 0.232, 0.2854, 0.2913, 0.314, 0.316, 0.277, 0.3099, 0.3273, 0.3273, 0.3181, 0.3328, 0.3568, 0.3669, 0.3738, 0.3667, 0.4219, 0.4275, 0.4411, 0.4361, 0.4276, 0.3913, 0.4226, 0.4472, 0.4452, 0.4723]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912996224673677496", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-17T22:26:56+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NFLX is priced to perfection. Both are overvalued & due a deeper correction IMO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both NFLX and SPOT overvalued and due a deeper correction; bearish on both amid tariff/services risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RealJohnGaltFla $NFLX is priced to perfection. \n\n$SPOT is also defended as recession-proof and yet, is the poster child of financialization. \n\nBoth are overvalued &amp; due a deeper correction IMO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc That's the nuke on us Samantha.\n\nWhat happens when counter-tariffs hit our services and production industries like Hollywood.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RealJohnGaltFla", "ret_m1d": -0.015062090239864379, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015062090239864379, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.039445060486045236, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038083167703757415, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024382970246180857, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023021077463893036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05307159757857405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05307159757857405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02705383783638249, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026988511930639225, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601775974219156, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026083085647934823, "ret_p1w": 0.12396879880303358, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12396879880303358, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05202601655583816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0498022778336602, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194278224719541, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07416652096937337, "ret_p1m": 0.20660792012562768, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20660792012562768, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05293397372957198, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05407888373540737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1536739463960557, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1525290363902203, "ret_p3m": 0.2897632309073612, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2897632309073612, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06399727186658866, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07702868600322188, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576595904077257, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21273454490413934, "ret_p6m": 0.23022343342600138, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23022343342600138, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06585569746772602, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07697472528722815, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2960791308937274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.30719815871322953, "ret_p1y": 0.006063295454211914, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.006063295454211914, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.32451877054488865, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3005965132204238, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33058206599910056, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3066598086746357, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20660792012562768, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05293397372957198, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05407888373540737, "price_path": [-0.0343, -0.0031, -0.0104, -0.0162, -0.0163, -0.0099, -0.0148, -0.0113, -0.0091, 0.007, 0.0235, 0.0281, 0.0263, 0.0402, 0.0204, 0.0399, 0.0565, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0485, 0.0561, 0.0371, 0.0154, 0.0006, -0.0108, 0.0022, -0.0251, -0.0074, -0.0144, -0.0155, 0.003, -0.0825, -0.098, -0.1227, -0.0939, -0.0691, -0.0989, -0.0708, -0.0384, -0.0586, -0.0288, -0.0375, -0.028, -0.0161, 0.0095, -0.0175, -0.0113, -0.0547, -0.0561, -0.0603, -0.053, -0.0717, -0.1337, -0.1215, -0.1189, -0.043, -0.0676, -0.0705, -0.0573, -0.0118, -0.0266, -0.0151, -0.0151, 0.0, 0.0531, 0.0624, 0.1103, 0.115, 0.124, 0.1394, 0.1456, 0.1473, 0.1706, 0.1479, 0.1516, 0.1695, 0.1584, 0.1542, 0.1236, 0.1524, 0.1651, 0.1924, 0.2061, 0.2062, 0.2066, 0.2092, 0.2025, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.2264, 0.2233, 0.1994, 0.222, 0.2339, 0.2328, 0.2548, 0.2658, 0.2567, 0.2394, 0.2183, 0.2348, 0.2299, 0.227, 0.2403, 0.2356, 0.2372, 0.2372, 0.2465, 0.2689, 0.2948, 0.2909, 0.3227, 0.3393, 0.3555, 0.3094, 0.3006, 0.3131, 0.3131, 0.3054, 0.2909, 0.304, 0.2659, 0.2603, 0.2774, 0.2757, 0.2656, 0.2898, 0.224, 0.2484, 0.2046, 0.1912, 0.1952, 0.1949, 0.189, 0.183, 0.1987, 0.1736, 0.1728, 0.1853, 0.1619, 0.1929, 0.1948, 0.2265, 0.2332, 0.2403, 0.2192, 0.2456, 0.2541, 0.2603, 0.229, 0.2287, 0.221, 0.2194, 0.233, 0.2411, 0.2385, 0.2465, 0.223, 0.223, 0.229, 0.2412, 0.2729, 0.259, 0.26, 0.2787, 0.263, 0.2182, 0.203, 0.217, 0.2152, 0.2435, 0.2226, 0.242, 0.2424, 0.2334, 0.2187, 0.223, 0.2254, 0.2212, 0.2136, 0.1852, 0.1768, 0.1674, 0.1775, 0.2056, 0.2291, 0.2461, 0.235, 0.2339, 0.2302]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912996224673677496", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-17T22:26:56+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SPOT is also defended as recession-proof and yet, is the poster child of financialization. Both are overvalued & due a deeper correction IMO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both NFLX and SPOT overvalued and due a deeper correction; bearish on both amid tariff/services risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RealJohnGaltFla $NFLX is priced to perfection. \n\n$SPOT is also defended as recession-proof and yet, is the poster child of financialization. \n\nBoth are overvalued &amp; due a deeper correction IMO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc That's the nuke on us Samantha.\n\nWhat happens when counter-tariffs hit our services and production industries like Hollywood.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RealJohnGaltFla", "ret_m1d": 0.02761173986891463, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02761173986891463, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032287696227337737, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004590662405021595, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024382970246180857, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023021077463893036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05649405338113156, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05649405338113156, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03047629363894, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030410967733196737, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601775974219156, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026083085647934823, "ret_p1w": 0.06962881184380398, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06962881184380398, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00231397040339143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004537709125569389, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194278224719541, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07416652096937337, "ret_p1m": 0.17857266511477476, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17857266511477476, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02489871871871907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026043628724554457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1536739463960557, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1525290363902203, "ret_p3m": 0.2900575564508563, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2900575564508563, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06429159741008372, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07732301154671695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576595904077257, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21273454490413934, "ret_p6m": 0.22313088437626938, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22313088437626938, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07294824651745802, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08406727433696015, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2960791308937274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.30719815871322953, "ret_p1y": -0.13537452651116944, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.13537452651116944, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.46595659251027, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.44203433518580515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33058206599910056, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3066598086746357, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17857266511477476, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02489871871871907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026043628724554457, "price_path": [-0.1168, -0.1026, -0.0866, -0.0802, -0.0501, -0.0358, -0.0156, -0.0184, -0.0174, 0.1126, 0.1202, 0.12, 0.1148, 0.1411, 0.1151, 0.1463, 0.1602, 0.142, 0.142, 0.1284, 0.1502, 0.1395, 0.0869, 0.0766, 0.0532, 0.0793, 0.0572, 0.088, 0.0734, 0.0453, 0.0501, -0.0276, -0.0478, -0.1245, -0.0902, -0.0411, -0.0374, 0.0286, 0.0691, 0.0191, 0.049, 0.0639, 0.0736, 0.0821, 0.1021, 0.0314, 0.0383, 0.0042, -0.0157, -0.0127, 0.0118, -0.0007, -0.0994, -0.0713, -0.0724, 0.0183, -0.0104, -0.0271, -0.0173, 0.0243, 0.0076, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0, 0.0565, 0.0606, 0.0843, 0.1108, 0.0696, 0.0324, 0.0987, 0.0777, 0.1524, 0.1411, 0.1325, 0.1759, 0.1726, 0.16, 0.1109, 0.1096, 0.1332, 0.1456, 0.1744, 0.1893, 0.1786, 0.1506, 0.1395, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1692, 0.1881, 0.1393, 0.1903, 0.2025, 0.2009, 0.2546, 0.2756, 0.2746, 0.251, 0.2407, 0.269, 0.2577, 0.2721, 0.2805, 0.2907, 0.2709, 0.2709, 0.2659, 0.3084, 0.342, 0.3176, 0.3885, 0.3826, 0.3731, 0.2926, 0.2696, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.3176, 0.2909, 0.2922, 0.2704, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2714, 0.2626, 0.2901, 0.2446, 0.265, 0.2092, 0.2069, 0.2194, 0.2403, 0.2544, 0.1095, 0.164, 0.1212, 0.1223, 0.1785, 0.1578, 0.1932, 0.2289, 0.2632, 0.2334, 0.2336, 0.2437, 0.25, 0.3114, 0.3029, 0.2873, 0.2594, 0.2338, 0.2401, 0.2433, 0.2463, 0.2401, 0.2308, 0.2202, 0.2202, 0.2341, 0.2479, 0.2595, 0.2655, 0.2854, 0.2869, 0.26, 0.2353, 0.2462, 0.2582, 0.2599, 0.2655, 0.3137, 0.3151, 0.3216, 0.2865, 0.2681, 0.2752, 0.2822, 0.3036, 0.2491, 0.2539, 0.2657, 0.2177, 0.2174, 0.2176, 0.2075, 0.2055, 0.2263, 0.2384, 0.2231]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892080632538280377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-19T05:15:50+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China still bid. Parabola Potential continues.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish China equities; record HK inflows fuel parabolic upside continuation in KWEB, FXI, and Shanghai Composite.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China still bid. Parabola Potential continues.\n\nJoin me live as we set up &amp; keep up with this massively profitable rotation. \n\nhttps://t.co/FPSfC9UYXB\n\n$KWEB $FXI #HCI $SSEC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇨🇳➡️🇭🇰 Chinese mainland investors bought HK$22.4 billion worth of Hong Kong stocks on Tuesday, the biggest daily inflow since early 2021 and the fourth largest on record.\nThe strong inflows into HK's equities have reduced the premium between onshore and Hong Kong shares to around https://t.co/oB5ItQ288r", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01858218646190357, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01858218646190357, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020931673969369458, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020931673969369458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017438631695765316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017438631695765316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021598977811929876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021598977811929876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "ret_p1w": 0.007432990282329799, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007432990282329799, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03743638228718493, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03743638228718493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "ret_p1m": 0.03773591891173944, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03773591891173944, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11513470392780867, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11513470392780867, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "ret_p3m": -0.01829606637523218, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01829606637523218, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00828209958627768, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.00828209958627768, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "ret_p6m": 0.04688400994813979, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04688400994813979, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.011642304220788047, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.011642304220788047, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "ret_p1y": 0.040602557564168196, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.040602557564168196, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09938089463788513, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09938089463788513, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03773591891173944, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11513470392780867, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11513470392780867, "price_path": [-0.175, -0.1714, -0.1725, -0.1454, -0.1454, -0.1487, -0.139, -0.1399, -0.1531, -0.1496, -0.1407, -0.0545, -0.1001, -0.112, -0.1109, -0.1236, -0.1465, -0.1289, -0.1487, -0.1489, -0.1435, -0.1415, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1387, -0.1507, -0.1678, -0.1641, -0.1641, -0.179, -0.1715, -0.1855, -0.1904, -0.1938, -0.1938, -0.2198, -0.2147, -0.1933, -0.1827, -0.185, -0.1601, -0.1601, -0.1561, -0.1595, -0.1584, -0.1269, -0.1192, -0.0975, -0.1069, -0.072, -0.1058, -0.1172, -0.0878, -0.1063, -0.0906, -0.0738, -0.0435, -0.0617, -0.0354, -0.0183, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0186, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0477, -0.0189, -0.0157, 0.0074, -0.0071, -0.03, -0.0469, -0.0212, 0.0486, 0.0555, 0.0575, 0.0123, 0.0349, 0.022, 0.0212, 0.0515, 0.0946, 0.0815, 0.076, 0.0377, 0.0172, 0.0214, 0.0054, 0.0109, 0.034, 0.0017, -0.002, 0.0011, -0.0006, -0.012, -0.1049, -0.1609, -0.1915, -0.1421, -0.1532, -0.1272, -0.1055, -0.1106, -0.1375, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1346, -0.1061, -0.0849, -0.0832, -0.0849, -0.0846, -0.08, -0.0823, -0.0812, -0.0395, -0.0383, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0457, -0.0586, -0.0063, -0.0086, 0.0069, -0.0197, -0.0194, -0.0183, -0.0192, -0.0312, -0.0363, -0.0329, -0.0329, -0.0415, -0.0503, -0.0366, -0.064, -0.052, -0.0535, -0.03, -0.0217, -0.0212, 0.0009, -0.0029, -0.0031, -0.0037, -0.028, -0.0043, -0.0172, -0.0294, -0.0294, -0.048, -0.038, -0.0089, -0.0157, -0.0183, -0.0143, -0.0186, -0.0183, -0.0306, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0317, -0.014, -0.0274, -0.0263, -0.032, -0.02, 0.0189, 0.01, 0.0209, 0.0354, 0.0317, 0.0409, 0.0595, 0.046, 0.038, 0.0292, 0.0223, 0.0043, 0.0132, -0.0137, 0.008, 0.0149, 0.028, 0.0252, 0.0243, 0.0146, 0.0383, 0.0758, 0.0469]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892080632538280377", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-19T05:15:50+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China still bid. Parabola Potential continues.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish China equities; record HK inflows fuel parabolic upside continuation in KWEB, FXI, and Shanghai Composite.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China still bid. Parabola Potential continues.\n\nJoin me live as we set up &amp; keep up with this massively profitable rotation. \n\nhttps://t.co/FPSfC9UYXB\n\n$KWEB $FXI #HCI $SSEC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇨🇳➡️🇭🇰 Chinese mainland investors bought HK$22.4 billion worth of Hong Kong stocks on Tuesday, the biggest daily inflow since early 2021 and the fourth largest on record.\nThe strong inflows into HK's equities have reduced the premium between onshore and Hong Kong shares to around https://t.co/oB5ItQ288r", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0071327027349969985, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0071327027349969985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009482190242462885, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009482190242462885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002349487507465886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01940096492808685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01940096492808685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02356131104425141, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02356131104425141, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004160346116164559, "ret_p1w": 0.03965768782133772, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03965768782133772, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06966107982619285, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06966107982619285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030003392004855134, "ret_p1m": 0.06219695652315638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06219695652315638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1395957415392256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1395957415392256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07739878501606923, "ret_p3m": 0.023109961357688835, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.023109961357688835, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049688127319198694, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049688127319198694, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02657816596150986, "ret_p6m": 0.10930152591997921, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10930152591997921, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.050775211751051375, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.050775211751051375, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05852631416892784, "ret_p1y": 0.14708054792340142, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14708054792340142, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.00709709572134809, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.00709709572134809, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13998345220205333, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06219695652315638, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1395957415392256, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1395957415392256, "price_path": [-0.1654, -0.1651, -0.1702, -0.148, -0.148, -0.148, -0.1463, -0.1426, -0.1488, -0.1463, -0.1351, -0.0639, -0.1067, -0.1151, -0.1145, -0.1258, -0.1401, -0.125, -0.1427, -0.1372, -0.1321, -0.1241, -0.113, -0.113, -0.1121, -0.1198, -0.1301, -0.1315, -0.1315, -0.1472, -0.133, -0.1444, -0.1549, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1826, -0.1786, -0.1606, -0.1492, -0.1489, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1227, -0.129, -0.1281, -0.1064, -0.0984, -0.0882, -0.0919, -0.0702, -0.0902, -0.095, -0.0736, -0.089, -0.079, -0.0662, -0.0408, -0.0488, -0.0251, -0.0254, -0.0003, -0.0003, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0194, 0.034, -0.0006, 0.0094, 0.0397, 0.0285, 0.0051, -0.0154, -0.0003, 0.0496, 0.0548, 0.0545, 0.0262, 0.0382, 0.0371, 0.0439, 0.0745, 0.0999, 0.0981, 0.0936, 0.0622, 0.0431, 0.0462, 0.0357, 0.0348, 0.0465, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0203, 0.014, 0.0049, -0.0659, -0.1441, -0.1558, -0.0961, -0.0996, -0.0602, -0.0479, -0.0534, -0.075, -0.0756, -0.0756, -0.0748, -0.0454, -0.0348, -0.0268, -0.0305, -0.03, -0.0357, -0.034, -0.0359, -0.004, -0.0051, 0.0063, -0.0165, -0.0014, -0.0063, 0.0282, 0.0197, 0.0359, 0.02, 0.0168, 0.0231, 0.0345, 0.0297, 0.0245, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0157, 0.0054, 0.0163, -0.0014, 0.0086, 0.0185, 0.0377, 0.0451, 0.0439, 0.0573, 0.0619, 0.0673, 0.0631, 0.0437, 0.061, 0.0485, 0.0344, 0.0344, 0.0277, 0.0439, 0.0734, 0.0723, 0.0752, 0.065, 0.0636, 0.0656, 0.0616, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0506, 0.0616, 0.0468, 0.0566, 0.0555, 0.0679, 0.089, 0.0841, 0.0876, 0.1012, 0.1055, 0.1209, 0.1307, 0.1255, 0.1183, 0.1134, 0.1058, 0.0931, 0.0833, 0.0656, 0.0841, 0.089, 0.0934, 0.0919, 0.0899, 0.0801, 0.0977, 0.131, 0.1093]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1887123300997857513", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-02-05T12:57:10+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold before that + silver last week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Ongoing macro basket: long 10Y bonds, yen, gold, and silver on expected USD decline as EUR/CAD/JPY/CNY rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "👇👇👇\n\nMy rec’d macro trade since JAN 14th: higher 10Y bonds + yen. Gold before that + silver last week. See how I saw this basket trade in the video review from last Wed Macro-to-Micro Options Power Hour. 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/UMkewSnrdL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DXY - If I’m reading these macro tea leaves correctly, USD is about to fall further as euro, cad, yen, yuan rise.\n\nWhat's the trade?\n\n[Gold &amp; Silver smelled it already.]", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00637277065252273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00637277065252273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023347195572339663, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0023347195572339663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004038051095288764, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004038051095288764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005432545314712378, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005432545314712378, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008908277605754078, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008908277605754078, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034757322910417, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034757322910417, "ret_p1w": 0.01302406361327102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01302406361327102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014447378503684605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014447378503684605, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001423314890413585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001423314890413585, "ret_p1m": 0.015670705693570763, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015670705693570763, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06782056052120566, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06782056052120566, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0521498548276349, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0521498548276349, "ret_p3m": 0.15312018951759687, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15312018951759687, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2176905807252446, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2176905807252446, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06457039120764774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06457039120764774, "ret_p6m": 0.1468170494421308, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1468170494421308, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09445903494020325, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09445903494020325, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05235801450192756, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05235801450192756, "ret_p1y": 0.7329015274006949, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7329015274006949, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5788123045750106, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5788123045750106, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15408922282568427, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15408922282568427, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015670705693570763, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06782056052120566, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06782056052120566, "price_path": [-0.0641, -0.0907, -0.0946, -0.1013, -0.1057, -0.1065, -0.0909, -0.0851, -0.0778, -0.0695, -0.0563, -0.0887, -0.0875, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0747, -0.0824, -0.079, -0.0758, -0.0853, -0.0811, -0.072, -0.0606, -0.048, -0.0641, -0.0751, -0.0767, -0.0791, -0.0819, -0.0973, -0.0846, -0.0903, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0811, -0.0886, -0.0925, -0.0844, -0.0844, -0.0741, -0.0789, -0.0812, -0.0748, -0.0721, -0.0654, -0.0568, -0.069, -0.0676, -0.0554, -0.0436, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0406, -0.0362, -0.0378, -0.0328, -0.0467, -0.0365, -0.0357, -0.0169, -0.0206, -0.0131, -0.0064, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0015, 0.0149, 0.0142, 0.013, 0.0189, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0209, 0.0166, 0.0238, 0.023, 0.0266, 0.0115, 0.0157, 0.004, -0.0121, 0.0065, 0.0132, 0.0152, 0.0157, 0.0115, 0.0068, 0.0144, 0.0235, 0.0392, 0.0428, 0.0447, 0.0569, 0.0572, 0.0586, 0.0511, 0.0493, 0.053, 0.052, 0.0657, 0.0748, 0.0875, 0.0861, 0.0934, 0.0785, 0.0489, 0.0278, 0.0337, 0.0644, 0.0988, 0.1221, 0.116, 0.1209, 0.1584, 0.1522, 0.1522, 0.1862, 0.1843, 0.1409, 0.1603, 0.1431, 0.1605, 0.1557, 0.1509, 0.1178, 0.1255, 0.1531, 0.188, 0.1775, 0.148, 0.1615, 0.1213, 0.1284, 0.1079, 0.1216, 0.1081, 0.1244, 0.1423, 0.1524, 0.1465, 0.1713, 0.1713, 0.1489, 0.147, 0.1551, 0.1453, 0.1738, 0.1667, 0.1748, 0.1668, 0.1571, 0.1604, 0.1565, 0.1566, 0.1774, 0.1949, 0.1828, 0.1793, 0.1805, 0.1805, 0.1729, 0.1762, 0.1552, 0.1586, 0.1609, 0.14, 0.1472, 0.162, 0.1659, 0.1602, 0.1605, 0.1604, 0.1516, 0.1532, 0.1552, 0.1687, 0.1671, 0.1596, 0.1675, 0.1631, 0.1676, 0.1847, 0.1977, 0.182, 0.1739, 0.161, 0.1524, 0.1573, 0.1477, 0.1468]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1887123300997857513", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-02-05T12:57:10+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "silver last week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Ongoing macro basket: long 10Y bonds, yen, gold, and silver on expected USD decline as EUR/CAD/JPY/CNY rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "👇👇👇\n\nMy rec’d macro trade since JAN 14th: higher 10Y bonds + yen. Gold before that + silver last week. See how I saw this basket trade in the video review from last Wed Macro-to-Micro Options Power Hour. 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/UMkewSnrdL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DXY - If I’m reading these macro tea leaves correctly, USD is about to fall further as euro, cad, yen, yuan rise.\n\nWhat's the trade?\n\n[Gold &amp; Silver smelled it already.]", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009435446372543232, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009435446372543232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004981595732543087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004981595732543087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004038051095288764, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004038051095288764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010317341913896771, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010317341913896771, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013793074204938471, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013793074204938471, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034757322910417, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034757322910417, "ret_p1w": -0.004930418372127154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004930418372127154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0035071034817135693, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0035071034817135693, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001423314890413585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001423314890413585, "ret_p1m": 0.006269631783069496, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006269631783069496, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058419486610704396, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.058419486610704396, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0521498548276349, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0521498548276349, "ret_p3m": -0.019843462380409793, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019843462380409793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.044726928827237944, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.044726928827237944, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06457039120764774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06457039120764774, "ret_p6m": 0.11245700672160908, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11245700672160908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06009899221968151, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06009899221968151, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05235801450192756, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05235801450192756, "ret_p1y": 2.071644028135672, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.071644028135672, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.9175548053099878, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9175548053099878, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15408922282568427, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15408922282568427, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006269631783069496, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.058419486610704396, "alpha_c_stated": 0.058419486610704396, "price_path": [-0.0456, -0.0705, -0.0661, -0.069, -0.0715, -0.0757, -0.0516, -0.0502, -0.0579, -0.0592, -0.0471, -0.0806, -0.0751, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.0661, -0.0733, -0.0542, -0.0411, -0.0524, -0.0509, -0.0195, -0.015, -0.009, -0.0496, -0.067, -0.0657, -0.0695, -0.0745, -0.1145, -0.0973, -0.0904, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.0855, -0.0975, -0.1142, -0.1192, -0.1192, -0.0985, -0.0929, -0.0765, -0.0733, -0.0732, -0.0629, -0.0537, -0.0842, -0.0829, -0.0468, -0.0406, -0.058, -0.058, -0.0471, -0.0492, -0.0665, -0.0558, -0.0792, -0.0648, -0.0493, -0.015, -0.0222, -0.0142, 0.0009, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0159, -0.0142, -0.0191, -0.0049, -0.0063, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.014, 0.0041, 0.0179, 0.0036, -0.0086, -0.0321, -0.0184, -0.0321, -0.0499, -0.0251, -0.0228, 0.0, 0.0063, -0.0094, -0.0177, 0.0009, 0.0191, 0.0363, 0.0405, 0.037, 0.0524, 0.034, 0.0283, 0.0132, 0.0124, 0.0348, 0.0358, 0.0621, 0.0544, 0.0487, 0.0396, 0.05, -0.0308, -0.1139, -0.1019, -0.0994, -0.0771, -0.0665, -0.0314, -0.0233, -0.0192, 0.0021, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.011, 0.0007, 0.0201, 0.019, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0127, -0.0099, -0.0203, -0.0264, -0.0198, 0.0078, -0.0099, -0.0146, -0.0055, -0.0143, 0.0003, -0.0192, -0.0114, -0.0213, -0.0166, 0.0037, 0.0184, 0.0058, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.0088, 0.0044, 0.013, 0.0011, 0.0519, 0.0501, 0.0506, 0.0862, 0.0964, 0.1166, 0.1122, 0.1007, 0.1021, 0.1042, 0.1072, 0.1288, 0.122, 0.122, 0.0949, 0.1003, 0.0866, 0.0982, 0.1135, 0.0968, 0.0912, 0.0982, 0.1086, 0.1195, 0.1192, 0.1144, 0.11, 0.1063, 0.1272, 0.1771, 0.1706, 0.1515, 0.1521, 0.1582, 0.1633, 0.19, 0.1967, 0.1954, 0.1876, 0.1616, 0.1573, 0.1591, 0.1433, 0.1125]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1891335483231182996", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-17T03:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PARABOLA potential is HIGH into March", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Parabolic upside potential into March for China-linked ETFs and Alibaba; recommends keeping a runner.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did say “PARABOLA” potential is HIGH into March… that, and “Keep A Runner”!\n\nFrom my live trading room summaries last week. JOIN US 😉😊💃👍🤑\n\n#China $KWEB $FXI $BABA $HSEC https://t.co/Gm4P602eI8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇭🇰📈HANG SENG TECH INDEX RISES OVER 2%, HANG SENG INDEX UP MORE THAN 1.3%.\n#CHINA $HSI $KWEB $FXI $HXC $DRAG $YINN $YANG #TENCENT $TCEHY\nhttps://t.co/Yp1KFyd1PW https://t.co/5tt90qpqnL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0005613463406966002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0005613463406966002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003488446996329775, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003488446996329775, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01824318813825887, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01824318813825887, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02059820873720175, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02059820873720175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "ret_p1w": -0.033679530986158945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033679530986158945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0054697405491852535, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0054697405491852535, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "ret_p1m": 0.056413035502486775, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056413035502486775, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12895694911890587, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12895694911890587, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "ret_p3m": -0.03732816861381072, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03732816861381072, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.011976240394375615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.011976240394375615, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "ret_p6m": 0.05613247591901427, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05613247591901427, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004788009521624392, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.004788009521624392, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "ret_p1y": -0.006370974282341124, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.006370974282341124, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12752991609159625, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12752991609159625, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.056413035502486775, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12895694911890587, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12895694911890587, "price_path": [-0.167, -0.19, -0.1865, -0.1876, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1643, -0.1548, -0.1556, -0.1686, -0.1651, -0.1564, -0.0717, -0.1165, -0.1282, -0.1271, -0.1396, -0.1621, -0.1448, -0.1642, -0.1645, -0.1591, -0.1572, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1544, -0.1662, -0.183, -0.1793, -0.1793, -0.1939, -0.1866, -0.2004, -0.2052, -0.2085, -0.2085, -0.2341, -0.229, -0.208, -0.1976, -0.1998, -0.1754, -0.1754, -0.1715, -0.1749, -0.1737, -0.1429, -0.1353, -0.1139, -0.1232, -0.089, -0.1221, -0.1333, -0.1044, -0.1226, -0.1072, -0.0907, -0.0609, -0.0789, -0.053, -0.0362, 0.0006, 0.0006, 0.0, -0.0182, -0.0011, 0.0286, -0.0368, -0.0337, -0.0109, -0.0253, -0.0477, -0.0643, -0.039, 0.0295, 0.0362, 0.0382, -0.0062, 0.016, 0.0034, 0.0025, 0.0323, 0.0747, 0.0617, 0.0564, 0.0188, -0.0014, 0.0028, -0.0129, -0.0076, 0.0152, -0.0166, -0.0202, -0.0171, -0.0188, -0.03, -0.1212, -0.1763, -0.2063, -0.1577, -0.1687, -0.1431, -0.1218, -0.1269, -0.1532, -0.1521, -0.1521, -0.1504, -0.1224, -0.1016, -0.0999, -0.1016, -0.1013, -0.0968, -0.0991, -0.098, -0.057, -0.0559, -0.0463, -0.0733, -0.0631, -0.0758, -0.0244, -0.0267, -0.0115, -0.0376, -0.0373, -0.0362, -0.037, -0.0488, -0.0539, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0589, -0.0676, -0.0542, -0.0811, -0.0693, -0.0707, -0.0477, -0.0396, -0.039, -0.0174, -0.021, -0.0213, -0.0219, -0.0457, -0.0225, -0.0351, -0.0472, -0.0472, -0.0654, -0.0556, -0.0269, -0.0337, -0.0362, -0.0323, -0.0365, -0.0362, -0.0483, -0.0561, -0.0561, -0.0494, -0.032, -0.0452, -0.0441, -0.0497, -0.0379, 0.0003, -0.0084, 0.0022, 0.0166, 0.0129, 0.0219, 0.0401, 0.0269, 0.0191, 0.0104, 0.0036, -0.014, -0.0053, -0.0317, -0.0104, -0.0036, 0.0093, 0.0065, 0.0056, -0.0039, 0.0194, 0.0561]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1891335483231182996", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-02-17T03:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PARABOLA potential is HIGH into March", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Parabolic upside potential into March for China-linked ETFs and Alibaba; recommends keeping a runner.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did say “PARABOLA” potential is HIGH into March… that, and “Keep A Runner”!\n\nFrom my live trading room summaries last week. JOIN US 😉😊💃👍🤑\n\n#China $KWEB $FXI $BABA $HSEC https://t.co/Gm4P602eI8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇭🇰📈HANG SENG TECH INDEX RISES OVER 2%, HANG SENG INDEX UP MORE THAN 1.3%.\n#CHINA $HSI $KWEB $FXI $HXC $DRAG $YINN $YANG #TENCENT $TCEHY\nhttps://t.co/Yp1KFyd1PW https://t.co/5tt90qpqnL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007365345630822362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007365345630822362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004438244975189187, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004438244975189187, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007082187596160194, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007082187596160194, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009437208195103075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009437208195103075, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "ret_p1w": 0.0022663803909546143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0022663803909546143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030476170827928306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030476170827928306, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "ret_p1m": 0.08583583686927443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08583583686927443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15837975048569353, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15837975048569353, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "ret_p3m": 0.009631726021776865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009631726021776865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03498365424121197, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03498365424121197, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "ret_p6m": 0.12299159532933213, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12299159532933213, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.062071109888693465, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.062071109888693465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "ret_p1y": 0.1093357215189279, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1093357215189279, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.01182322029032723, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.01182322029032723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08583583686927443, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15837975048569353, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15837975048569353, "price_path": [-0.1529, -0.1713, -0.171, -0.1761, -0.154, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1523, -0.1487, -0.1549, -0.1523, -0.1412, -0.0706, -0.113, -0.1214, -0.1208, -0.132, -0.1462, -0.1312, -0.1487, -0.1433, -0.1382, -0.1303, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.1184, -0.1261, -0.1363, -0.1377, -0.1377, -0.1533, -0.1391, -0.1504, -0.1609, -0.164, -0.164, -0.1884, -0.1844, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.155, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1289, -0.1351, -0.1343, -0.1127, -0.1048, -0.0946, -0.0983, -0.0768, -0.0966, -0.1014, -0.0802, -0.0955, -0.0856, -0.0728, -0.0476, -0.0555, -0.032, -0.0323, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0, -0.0071, 0.0122, 0.0266, -0.0076, 0.0023, 0.0323, 0.0212, -0.002, -0.0224, -0.0074, 0.0422, 0.0473, 0.047, 0.019, 0.0309, 0.0297, 0.0365, 0.0669, 0.0921, 0.0904, 0.0858, 0.0547, 0.0357, 0.0388, 0.0283, 0.0275, 0.0391, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.013, 0.0068, -0.0023, -0.0725, -0.1501, -0.1618, -0.1025, -0.1059, -0.0669, -0.0547, -0.0601, -0.0816, -0.0822, -0.0822, -0.0813, -0.0521, -0.0416, -0.0337, -0.0374, -0.0368, -0.0425, -0.0408, -0.0428, -0.011, -0.0122, -0.0008, -0.0235, -0.0085, -0.0133, 0.021, 0.0125, 0.0286, 0.0127, 0.0096, 0.0159, 0.0272, 0.0224, 0.0173, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0085, -0.0017, 0.0091, -0.0085, 0.0014, 0.0113, 0.0303, 0.0377, 0.0365, 0.0499, 0.0544, 0.0598, 0.0555, 0.0363, 0.0535, 0.0411, 0.027, 0.027, 0.0204, 0.0365, 0.0658, 0.0647, 0.0675, 0.0575, 0.0561, 0.0581, 0.054, 0.042, 0.042, 0.0431, 0.054, 0.0394, 0.0492, 0.048, 0.0604, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0799, 0.0934, 0.0977, 0.1129, 0.1227, 0.1175, 0.1104, 0.1055, 0.098, 0.0854, 0.0756, 0.0581, 0.0765, 0.0813, 0.0856, 0.0842, 0.0822, 0.0724, 0.09, 0.123]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1891335483231182996", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-02-17T03:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PARABOLA potential is HIGH into March", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Parabolic upside potential into March for China-linked ETFs and Alibaba; recommends keeping a runner.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did say “PARABOLA” potential is HIGH into March… that, and “Keep A Runner”!\n\nFrom my live trading room summaries last week. JOIN US 😉😊💃👍🤑\n\n#China $KWEB $FXI $BABA $HSEC https://t.co/Gm4P602eI8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇭🇰📈HANG SENG TECH INDEX RISES OVER 2%, HANG SENG INDEX UP MORE THAN 1.3%.\n#CHINA $HSI $KWEB $FXI $HXC $DRAG $YINN $YANG #TENCENT $TCEHY\nhttps://t.co/Yp1KFyd1PW https://t.co/5tt90qpqnL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01710005146310134, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01710005146310134, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014172950807468165, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019883074200078954, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029271006556331747, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002783022736977614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008746999656768728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008746999656768728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011102020255711609, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0081727640529895, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023550205989428807, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005742356037792273, "ret_p1w": 0.05602839237995649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05602839237995649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08423818281693018, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09993891981014691, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028209790436973692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.043910527430190416, "ret_p1m": 0.12844766839327093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12844766839327093, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20099158200969003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2572633818883322, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0725439136164191, "bench_c_p1m": -0.12881571349506127, "ret_p3m": -0.02710793103709963, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02710793103709963, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.001756002817664526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008678072084169597, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.025351928219435105, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03578600312126923, "ret_p6m": 0.016581348318447375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.016581348318447375, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.044339137122191286, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0037514562648641725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06092048544063866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.020332804583311548, "ret_p1y": 0.2641957426608008, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2641957426608008, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1430368008515457, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2170014650422416, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12115894180925513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04719427761855921, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12844766839327093, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20099158200969003, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2572633818883322, "price_path": [-0.3256, -0.3449, -0.3256, -0.3288, -0.3177, -0.3177, -0.3115, -0.3227, -0.3248, -0.3307, -0.3369, -0.3229, -0.2725, -0.2921, -0.2988, -0.2968, -0.308, -0.3218, -0.3132, -0.3302, -0.3356, -0.3516, -0.3291, -0.3261, -0.3261, -0.3217, -0.3297, -0.337, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.3306, -0.3259, -0.3261, -0.3343, -0.3405, -0.3405, -0.3654, -0.3653, -0.3563, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3292, -0.3292, -0.3272, -0.3191, -0.3215, -0.2976, -0.2909, -0.2433, -0.2378, -0.1904, -0.2211, -0.2229, -0.1935, -0.2177, -0.209, -0.1843, -0.1228, -0.1113, -0.0675, -0.058, -0.0171, -0.0171, 0.0, -0.0087, 0.0715, 0.1328, 0.0169, 0.056, 0.096, 0.076, 0.0442, 0.0308, 0.0232, 0.1113, 0.1028, 0.1081, 0.0444, 0.0955, 0.0807, 0.0902, 0.1119, 0.1629, 0.1248, 0.1284, 0.0789, 0.0649, 0.0597, 0.0461, 0.0421, 0.0688, 0.0436, 0.042, 0.0457, 0.0228, 0.0191, -0.0816, -0.1649, -0.2169, -0.1743, -0.179, -0.1511, -0.1019, -0.1152, -0.1588, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.132, -0.0868, -0.0625, -0.06, -0.0522, -0.0672, -0.0632, -0.0589, -0.0502, -0.009, -0.0026, 0.006, -0.0289, -0.0087, -0.0124, 0.0445, 0.0374, 0.0563, -0.0236, -0.0271, -0.031, -0.0137, -0.0261, -0.0427, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0582, -0.0801, -0.0766, -0.1029, -0.0957, -0.094, -0.0587, -0.0547, -0.0593, -0.0427, -0.0396, -0.0518, -0.0655, -0.0955, -0.0708, -0.0782, -0.0906, -0.0906, -0.0944, -0.0938, -0.0624, -0.0821, -0.087, -0.0858, -0.0912, -0.0867, -0.1128, -0.1289, -0.1289, -0.1484, -0.1346, -0.168, -0.1454, -0.1448, -0.1328, -0.0627, -0.0726, -0.06, -0.0365, -0.0362, -0.0327, -0.0177, -0.0292, -0.0382, -0.0212, -0.0435, -0.0594, -0.0333, -0.0619, -0.0584, -0.0621, -0.0315, -0.0307, -0.0355, -0.0493, -0.019, 0.0166]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899221156730679488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-10T22:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "UAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. I rec'd March & June puts. High conviction trade.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction short on airlines sector via puts; ongoing theme from start of year.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. \nI rec'd March &amp; June puts. \nHigh conviction trade. 👍👍👍\n#Airlines", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Airliners are crashing post market \n$UAL $DAL $JETS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02051019245414132, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02051019245414132, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012127618782357352, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004909265004447327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015600927449693991, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.047331035888448336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.047331035888448336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.052637523843014455, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047254263014736564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": -7.677287371177233e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.062056289405834075, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.062056289405834075, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07123027451586394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07558220343964717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013525914033813091, "ret_p1m": -0.06876145011061918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06876145011061918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05859884281027017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0459315936407253, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022829856469893883, "ret_p3m": 0.10741527820910046, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10741527820910046, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.026428103273224757, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009823993094731254, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11723927130383172, "ret_p6m": 0.39574029804994026, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39574029804994026, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2308508918519614, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23744434827799688, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1582959497719434, "ret_p1y": 0.5307652385274204, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5307652385274204, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2762780518102681, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15412711670663248, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.37663812182078793, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06876145011061918, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05859884281027017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0459315936407253, "price_path": [0.2618, 0.2505, 0.2553, 0.2489, 0.2026, 0.2564, 0.2806, 0.3079, 0.33, 0.33, 0.3262, 0.3101, 0.2912, 0.2766, 0.2766, 0.2547, 0.2578, 0.296, 0.3307, 0.3637, 0.3637, 0.4082, 0.3767, 0.4156, 0.38, 0.3951, 0.4118, 0.4118, 0.4531, 0.4195, 0.3542, 0.3805, 0.4034, 0.3981, 0.4234, 0.4383, 0.3915, 0.3783, 0.4287, 0.4176, 0.4351, 0.4331, 0.3947, 0.3583, 0.3697, 0.3265, 0.3708, 0.3708, 0.3575, 0.4003, 0.3475, 0.2607, 0.2854, 0.2698, 0.2806, 0.2118, 0.2334, 0.2052, 0.1334, 0.2, 0.1342, 0.0897, 0.0205, 0.0, -0.0473, -0.081, -0.0314, -0.0281, -0.0621, -0.0214, -0.0266, -0.0156, 0.0547, 0.0373, 0.0238, -0.0333, -0.0766, -0.0922, -0.1033, -0.0617, -0.2081, -0.2418, -0.2273, -0.2618, -0.0688, -0.175, -0.1375, -0.1363, -0.1191, -0.1192, -0.1283, -0.1283, -0.1415, -0.1195, -0.1056, -0.0922, -0.1033, -0.0949, -0.0937, -0.0952, -0.0907, -0.0262, -0.0158, -0.0334, -0.0093, 0.044, 0.0159, 0.0337, 0.086, 0.0385, 0.0063, 0.0246, 0.0337, 0.0035, -0.0359, -0.0008, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.0279, 0.0189, 0.033, 0.0444, 0.068, 0.066, 0.0731, 0.0564, 0.1074, 0.0974, 0.0939, 0.0338, 0.018, -0.0271, 0.0323, -0.0314, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0235, 0.012, 0.0389, 0.0088, 0.0196, 0.041, 0.0469, 0.0525, 0.0651, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0664, 0.0677, 0.0542, 0.2052, 0.1529, 0.1693, 0.1357, 0.1632, 0.1993, 0.2129, 0.2142, 0.1935, 0.1889, 0.1797, 0.1979, 0.2152, 0.1918, 0.1864, 0.1611, 0.1119, 0.144, 0.1525, 0.1684, 0.1567, 0.1739, 0.1745, 0.2946, 0.312, 0.3034, 0.327, 0.3459, 0.3435, 0.3126, 0.2778, 0.3539, 0.3455, 0.3691, 0.3701, 0.3815, 0.3805, 0.3805, 0.3763, 0.3957]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899221156730679488", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-10T22:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "DAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. I rec'd March & June puts. High conviction trade.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction short on airlines sector via puts; ongoing theme from start of year.", "resolved_tickers": ["DAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. \nI rec'd March &amp; June puts. \nHigh conviction trade. 👍👍👍\n#Airlines", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Airliners are crashing post market \n$UAL $DAL $JETS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07819203176293121, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07819203176293121, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06980945809114725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06259110431323722, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015600927449693991, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029562922942145353, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029562922942145353, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03486941089671147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02948615006843358, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": -7.677287371177233e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.016281090130502496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016281090130502496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025455075240532365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029807004164315587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013525914033813091, "ret_p1m": -0.05162803436339358, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05162803436339358, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04146542706304457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0287981778934997, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022829856469893883, "ret_p3m": 0.09468487808632786, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09468487808632786, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013697703150452156, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022554393217503854, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11723927130383172, "ret_p6m": 0.32104843286316775, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32104843286316775, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15615902666518888, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16275248309122436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1582959497719434, "ret_p1y": 0.5290626872980624, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5290626872980624, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27457550058091007, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15242456547727445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.37663812182078793, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05162803436339358, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04146542706304457, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0287981778934997, "price_path": [0.3171, 0.3147, 0.3047, 0.2995, 0.2583, 0.2903, 0.3021, 0.3147, 0.3369, 0.3369, 0.3335, 0.3091, 0.2976, 0.2929, 0.2929, 0.2623, 0.2609, 0.2831, 0.3074, 0.3126, 0.3126, 0.4307, 0.3912, 0.4166, 0.3998, 0.4143, 0.4066, 0.4066, 0.4605, 0.4485, 0.4414, 0.4357, 0.4483, 0.4457, 0.4624, 0.4654, 0.4376, 0.4207, 0.4758, 0.4758, 0.4515, 0.4562, 0.4145, 0.3837, 0.4175, 0.369, 0.3974, 0.3974, 0.375, 0.3899, 0.3624, 0.2822, 0.3141, 0.3205, 0.3186, 0.28, 0.2879, 0.2521, 0.1716, 0.2162, 0.1774, 0.1414, 0.0782, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0591, 0.0015, 0.0045, -0.0163, 0.0229, 0.0058, 0.0019, 0.0471, 0.0426, 0.0298, -0.0114, -0.0608, -0.066, -0.0913, -0.0709, -0.1707, -0.202, -0.2012, -0.2314, -0.0516, -0.1568, -0.1243, -0.1367, -0.1253, -0.1305, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1545, -0.1358, -0.1131, -0.0998, -0.1093, -0.1011, -0.0985, -0.1082, -0.111, -0.0531, -0.0251, -0.0401, -0.0296, 0.0398, 0.0356, 0.0955, 0.1385, 0.0867, 0.0803, 0.094, 0.0998, 0.0738, 0.0371, 0.042, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0614, 0.0442, 0.042, 0.0397, 0.042, 0.0491, 0.0524, 0.0494, 0.0947, 0.1001, 0.1104, 0.0564, 0.0502, 0.0107, 0.0627, 0.0167, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0141, 0.0367, 0.0648, 0.038, 0.0521, 0.0655, 0.0567, 0.0528, 0.0771, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.0743, 0.0854, 0.0893, 0.2199, 0.2172, 0.2485, 0.197, 0.1937, 0.2105, 0.2094, 0.204, 0.1961, 0.2028, 0.1755, 0.1787, 0.1948, 0.171, 0.1516, 0.1473, 0.1029, 0.1324, 0.1399, 0.1669, 0.1563, 0.1565, 0.1535, 0.26, 0.2812, 0.2712, 0.2988, 0.3172, 0.3044, 0.2732, 0.2471, 0.3301, 0.3025, 0.3185, 0.3208, 0.3361, 0.332, 0.332, 0.318, 0.321]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899221156730679488", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-03-10T22:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. I rec'd March & June puts. High conviction trade.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction short on airlines sector via puts; ongoing theme from start of year.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know this is one of my SECTOR THEMES SHORT from start of the year. \nI rec'd March &amp; June puts. \nHigh conviction trade. 👍👍👍\n#Airlines", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Airliners are crashing post market \n$UAL $DAL $JETS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017145541104262918, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017145541104262918, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008762967432478952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008762967432478952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008382573671783966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01807227412620216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01807227412620216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02337876208076828, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02337876208076828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005306487954566119, "ret_p1w": 0.0032437437946759573, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0032437437946759573, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005930241315353912, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005930241315353912, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00917398511002987, "ret_p1m": -0.056533833151343194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056533833151343194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04637122585099418, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04637122585099418, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010162607300349014, "ret_p3m": 0.07738648456125152, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07738648456125152, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0036006903746241825, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0036006903746241825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0809871749358757, "ret_p6m": 0.2252085104744892, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2252085104744892, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06031910427651033, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06031910427651033, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16488940619797887, "ret_p1y": 0.3842765307179026, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3842765307179026, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12978934400075026, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12978934400075026, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2544871867171523, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.056533833151343194, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04637122585099418, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04637122585099418, "price_path": [0.1826, 0.171, 0.1654, 0.1608, 0.1293, 0.1501, 0.165, 0.184, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1969, 0.1854, 0.1789, 0.1747, 0.1747, 0.1631, 0.1645, 0.1854, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.215, 0.1877, 0.2118, 0.2062, 0.2053, 0.2136, 0.2136, 0.2424, 0.2271, 0.2173, 0.2164, 0.2271, 0.2057, 0.2132, 0.222, 0.2062, 0.1891, 0.2081, 0.1993, 0.2057, 0.2243, 0.2095, 0.1909, 0.1979, 0.1803, 0.196, 0.196, 0.2011, 0.1983, 0.1895, 0.1423, 0.1534, 0.1441, 0.1483, 0.1233, 0.1325, 0.1089, 0.0714, 0.1108, 0.0778, 0.0672, 0.0171, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0269, 0.0032, 0.0218, 0.0032, 0.0306, 0.0199, 0.0185, 0.0528, 0.0422, 0.0343, 0.0097, -0.0209, -0.0375, -0.0528, -0.0297, -0.114, -0.1631, -0.165, -0.1951, -0.0565, -0.1386, -0.1154, -0.1256, -0.1168, -0.127, -0.1251, -0.1251, -0.1474, -0.1274, -0.1098, -0.0936, -0.0959, -0.0871, -0.0848, -0.0816, -0.076, -0.0324, -0.025, -0.0357, -0.0213, 0.0111, 0.012, 0.0449, 0.0709, 0.0482, 0.0426, 0.0538, 0.0551, 0.0459, 0.0139, 0.0241, 0.0158, 0.0158, 0.0556, 0.0496, 0.0538, 0.0528, 0.057, 0.0584, 0.0556, 0.0468, 0.0774, 0.0806, 0.0862, 0.0505, 0.0389, 0.0028, 0.0352, 0.0037, 0.0023, 0.0023, -0.0005, 0.019, 0.05, 0.0334, 0.0487, 0.0616, 0.0644, 0.0857, 0.1024, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1033, 0.1094, 0.1061, 0.1867, 0.1599, 0.1715, 0.1478, 0.1543, 0.1631, 0.158, 0.1594, 0.1654, 0.184, 0.1316, 0.139, 0.1437, 0.1237, 0.1145, 0.1098, 0.0714, 0.0936, 0.0927, 0.1038, 0.0931, 0.0973, 0.0894, 0.1691, 0.1914, 0.177, 0.1891, 0.1914, 0.1923, 0.1687, 0.1557, 0.215, 0.1946, 0.2159, 0.2108, 0.2192, 0.2192, 0.2192, 0.2173, 0.2252]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1884580472396587270", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-29T12:32:53+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BABA is front-running that hard (already active swing long this Jan)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Active swing long BABA since Jan; expects durable rally in Chinese ADRs from March.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Since last year - even with catching the October AND December surprise, I said I didn’t expect a durable rally in Chinese ADRs until March.\n\n$BABA is front-running that hard (already active swing long this Jan) - on AI announcements similar to DeepSeek.\n\nhttps://t.co/CqGl0TM4Gj\n\nArticle is further support 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Could China stocks be the ultimate Trump trade? Our non-consensus view. \nhttps://t.co/k6XhP6Y6NN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007133984315709552, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007133984315709552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011637242124356573, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009991884817606711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004503257808647021, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028579005018971593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06224149759676201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06224149759676201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05687431162072487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05245544046773354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053671859760371365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00978605712902847, "ret_p1w": 0.026468201366051103, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026468201366051103, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022463700893443628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034132519292640495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004004500472607475, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007664317926589392, "ret_p1m": 0.41180729572476604, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41180729572476604, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43965662623975077, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4919579924302506, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027849330514984727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08015069670548458, "ret_p3m": 0.22384198330381988, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22384198330381988, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.305766408827693, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36554936065640253, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192442552387313, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14170737735258265, "ret_p6m": 0.27375583101441947, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27375583101441947, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21327229738213438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3042906985424474, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06048353363228509, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03053486752802792, "ret_p1y": 0.7389946268656717, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7389946268656717, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5761985818927176, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6706813424196636, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1627960449729542, "bench_c_p1y": 0.06831328444600815, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.41180729572476604, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.43965662623975077, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4919579924302506, "price_path": [0.0089, 0.0174, 0.0257, 0.0001, 0.0354, -0.0262, -0.0134, -0.0511, -0.0488, -0.0635, -0.0841, -0.0762, -0.0994, -0.1029, -0.1152, -0.1405, -0.1152, -0.1193, -0.1047, -0.1047, -0.0967, -0.1114, -0.1141, -0.1219, -0.13, -0.1116, -0.0455, -0.0712, -0.08, -0.0774, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.0989, -0.1212, -0.1283, -0.1493, -0.1197, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.11, -0.1206, -0.1302, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.1217, -0.1156, -0.1158, -0.1266, -0.1347, -0.1347, -0.1674, -0.1673, -0.1555, -0.1476, -0.1477, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1172, -0.1067, -0.1098, -0.0784, -0.0696, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0622, 0.0219, 0.0195, 0.0582, 0.0265, 0.0378, 0.0702, 0.151, 0.166, 0.2234, 0.2359, 0.2896, 0.2896, 0.312, 0.3006, 0.4058, 0.4862, 0.3342, 0.3855, 0.438, 0.4118, 0.37, 0.3525, 0.3425, 0.4581, 0.447, 0.4539, 0.3703, 0.4373, 0.4179, 0.4304, 0.4589, 0.5257, 0.4758, 0.4806, 0.4155, 0.3972, 0.3904, 0.3725, 0.3672, 0.4023, 0.3692, 0.3671, 0.372, 0.3419, 0.3372, 0.2049, 0.0957, 0.0274, 0.0833, 0.0771, 0.1138, 0.1783, 0.1609, 0.1037, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1389, 0.1981, 0.23, 0.2334, 0.2436, 0.2238, 0.2291, 0.2348, 0.2462, 0.3002, 0.3086, 0.3199, 0.2741, 0.3006, 0.2958, 0.3705, 0.3611, 0.386, 0.281, 0.2765, 0.2713, 0.294, 0.2778, 0.256, 0.2482, 0.2482, 0.2357, 0.207, 0.2115, 0.177, 0.1864, 0.1887, 0.235, 0.2403, 0.2343, 0.256, 0.2601, 0.2441, 0.2261, 0.1867, 0.2192, 0.2094, 0.1932, 0.1932, 0.1882, 0.189, 0.2302, 0.2044, 0.1978, 0.1994, 0.1924, 0.1983, 0.164, 0.1429, 0.1429, 0.1173, 0.1354, 0.0917, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.1378, 0.2298, 0.2168, 0.2333, 0.2641, 0.2645, 0.2691, 0.2888, 0.2738]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1895199503269142800", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-27T19:49:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These tariffs are going to hurt Nvidia's precious 72% GP margins & FORCE them to pull back on 'Singapore Sales'", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: Trump's China tariffs will compress 72% GP margins and force pullback on Singapore/China-routed sales.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CLIENTS KNOW: I already expected THIS selloff into Friday morning & gave them exact levels for $NVDA, $QQQ, $SPX etc.\n\nAs for the Trump Tariffs... \nNOTICE HE ANNOUNCED THEM POST-NVDA EARNINGS...\n\nHe announced EXTRA 10% tariffs this morning. \nthen, China pushes back. \nTrump doubles them to 20%!\n\nWhy? TO PUNISH $NVDA!\n\nThese tariffs are going to hurt Nvidia's precious 72% GP margins & FORCE them to pull back on 'Singapore Sales'.\n\nThink about it - and client @Vera_Icona_23 pointed it out early & often: \n\n\"US sales relatively flat. Sales growth almost all due to \"Singapore\" and China.\"\n\nJOIN ME LIVE: https://t.co/uD7G1gCHiG \nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Aaaand since just this morning, Trump-proclaimed tariffs on China has doubled to 20%!\n\nAFTER...\n\nCHINA'S COMMERCE MINISTRY: CHARGING FEES ON CHINESE SHIPS ENTERING U.S. PORTS WOULD DISRUPT GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS, BACKFIRE ON U.S. ECONOMY, EMPLOYMENT - XINHUA  \n\nCHINA WARNS THAT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09263414639419976, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09263414639419976, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07641321370011989, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026940621001608323, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01622093269407987, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06569352539259143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03970023943680867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03970023943680867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024094642775730923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022304318923169975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015605596661077747, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017395920513638696, "ret_p1w": -0.0797337736903393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0797337736903393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058641510318028334, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04035272793476996, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02109226337231096, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03938104575556933, "ret_p1m": -0.0871404099647074, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0871404099647074, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039762506523547514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014497414193516689, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.047377903441159885, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07264299577119071, "ret_p3m": 0.1278605022875623, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1278605022875623, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11439441596161504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05714057443355092, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013466086325947257, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07071992785401138, "ret_p6m": 0.4816373379734722, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4816373379734722, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37204895098472557, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19818950365769838, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10958838698874662, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2834478343157738, "ret_p1y": 0.5219308434559207, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5219308434559207, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3429616475024315, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.26568525478679206, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17896919595348915, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7876160982427127, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0871404099647074, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.039762506523547514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014497414193516689, "price_path": [0.1537, 0.1673, 0.2079, 0.2073, 0.1855, 0.1553, 0.1242, 0.1595, 0.1431, 0.1174, 0.0986, 0.0852, 0.0729, 0.0876, 0.1211, 0.1625, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1646, 0.1403, 0.1443, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1511, 0.2024, 0.2437, 0.1664, 0.1661, 0.1661, 0.1312, 0.1089, 0.0966, 0.1339, 0.1117, 0.1462, 0.1462, 0.1721, 0.2241, 0.2253, 0.187, -0.0144, 0.0736, 0.0295, 0.0375, -0.0007, -0.029, -0.0125, 0.039, 0.071, 0.0806, 0.1117, 0.1053, 0.0915, 0.126, 0.1556, 0.1556, 0.1602, 0.1588, 0.1661, 0.1189, 0.0843, 0.0539, 0.0926, 0.0, 0.0397, -0.0507, -0.0346, -0.0237, -0.0797, -0.0621, -0.1096, -0.0948, -0.0366, -0.0379, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0392, -0.0218, -0.0134, -0.0203, 0.0106, 0.0046, -0.0531, -0.0725, -0.0871, -0.0979, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.1526, -0.215, -0.1873, -0.1984, -0.0484, -0.1046, -0.0767, -0.0785, -0.0661, -0.1303, -0.1552, -0.1552, -0.1934, -0.1769, -0.1451, -0.1141, -0.076, -0.095, -0.0926, -0.0934, -0.071, -0.0469, -0.0526, -0.0549, -0.0256, -0.023, -0.029, 0.0238, 0.0815, 0.1265, 0.1223, 0.127, 0.1284, 0.1185, 0.0971, 0.1056, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.1279, 0.1221, 0.1586, 0.1248, 0.1435, 0.1755, 0.1813, 0.1652, 0.1796, 0.1872, 0.1983, 0.189, 0.207, 0.1818, 0.2044, 0.1997, 0.211, 0.211, 0.1974, 0.2001, 0.2312, 0.2845, 0.2904, 0.3132, 0.3152, 0.2761, 0.309, 0.3264, 0.3264, 0.3172, 0.3319, 0.3559, 0.366, 0.3728, 0.3658, 0.421, 0.4265, 0.4401, 0.4352, 0.4266, 0.3904, 0.4216, 0.4463, 0.4443, 0.4713, 0.461, 0.4923, 0.4806, 0.4461, 0.4984, 0.4839, 0.4935, 0.5048, 0.5208, 0.5155, 0.5247, 0.5116, 0.5152, 0.5021, 0.5151, 0.4621, 0.4601, 0.4566, 0.4816]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899869096251994237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-12T17:04:25+00:00", "symbol": "DAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have ~$43 until we bottom $DAL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding directional puts on airline basket (DAL, UAL, AAL, JETS); targets ~$43 on DAL before bottoming; high-conviction short on airlines.", "resolved_tickers": ["DAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tis true. High conviction - \"health, war, growth scare\". \n\nI rec'd MAR &amp; JUN directional puts - early &amp; often.\n\nThe March $57.50P are up 12X. I have ~$43 until we bottom $DAL. I call this basket trading ;-)\n\n$JETS $UAL $AAL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@unusual_whales @SamanthaLaDuc was way ahead of this. Has been saying be short airlines since January because they were way extended. Some traders have great/curious timing and some traders are just good.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030463513442595902, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030463513442595902, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03574199121842603, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030386734674357374, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": 7.677876823852792e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030463598913426426, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030463598913426426, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01713305150198996, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020241412007318105, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010222186906108321, "ret_p1w": 0.05408397577483148, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05408397577483148, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0393040380559595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02703001109032277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027053964684508713, "ret_p1m": -0.13112584400308447, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13112584400308447, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07259360273336168, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08316122947750726, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04796461452557721, "ret_p3m": 0.13356774563333795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13356774563333795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05731757429025475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.017244752377291617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11632299325604634, "ret_p6m": 0.3452952324883516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3452952324883516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17687070242383318, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17384162620808685, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17145360628026474, "ret_p1y": 0.4681570728223443, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4681570728223443, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2262838447097708, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0879850347317297, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3801720380906146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13112584400308447, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07259360273336168, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08316122947750726, "price_path": [0.3548, 0.3444, 0.3391, 0.2966, 0.3297, 0.3418, 0.3548, 0.3777, 0.3777, 0.3741, 0.349, 0.3371, 0.3323, 0.3323, 0.3008, 0.2993, 0.3222, 0.3473, 0.3526, 0.3526, 0.4743, 0.4336, 0.4598, 0.4424, 0.4574, 0.4494, 0.4494, 0.5049, 0.4926, 0.4853, 0.4794, 0.4924, 0.4897, 0.5069, 0.51, 0.4814, 0.464, 0.5208, 0.5208, 0.4957, 0.5005, 0.4576, 0.4259, 0.4607, 0.4107, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4169, 0.4323, 0.4039, 0.3213, 0.3541, 0.3607, 0.3587, 0.319, 0.3272, 0.2903, 0.2073, 0.2532, 0.2132, 0.1762, 0.111, 0.0305, 0.0, -0.0305, 0.032, 0.0351, 0.0137, 0.0541, 0.0364, 0.0325, 0.079, 0.0744, 0.0611, 0.0188, -0.0322, -0.0375, -0.0636, -0.0426, -0.1455, -0.1777, -0.1768, -0.2079, -0.0227, -0.1311, -0.0976, -0.1104, -0.0987, -0.104, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.1287, -0.1095, -0.0861, -0.0724, -0.0821, -0.0737, -0.0711, -0.081, -0.0839, -0.0243, 0.0046, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0715, 0.0671, 0.1289, 0.1732, 0.1198, 0.1132, 0.1274, 0.1333, 0.1066, 0.0687, 0.0738, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.0937, 0.076, 0.0738, 0.0714, 0.0738, 0.0811, 0.0844, 0.0813, 0.128, 0.1336, 0.1442, 0.0886, 0.0822, 0.0415, 0.095, 0.0477, 0.053, 0.053, 0.045, 0.0683, 0.0973, 0.0696, 0.0842, 0.0979, 0.0888, 0.0849, 0.1099, 0.126, 0.126, 0.107, 0.1185, 0.1225, 0.2571, 0.2542, 0.2866, 0.2334, 0.2301, 0.2474, 0.2463, 0.2407, 0.2325, 0.2394, 0.2113, 0.2146, 0.2312, 0.2066, 0.1867, 0.1822, 0.1364, 0.1669, 0.1747, 0.2024, 0.1915, 0.1918, 0.1887, 0.2984, 0.3202, 0.31, 0.3384, 0.3573, 0.3442, 0.312, 0.2851, 0.3706, 0.3422, 0.3586, 0.3611, 0.3768, 0.3726, 0.3726, 0.3582, 0.3613, 0.3453]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899869096251994237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-12T17:04:25+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JETS $UAL $AAL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding directional puts on airline basket (DAL, UAL, AAL, JETS); targets ~$43 on DAL before bottoming; high-conviction short on airlines.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tis true. High conviction - \"health, war, growth scare\". \n\nI rec'd MAR &amp; JUN directional puts - early &amp; often.\n\nThe March $57.50P are up 12X. I have ~$43 until we bottom $DAL. I call this basket trading ;-)\n\n$JETS $UAL $AAL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@unusual_whales @SamanthaLaDuc was way ahead of this. Has been saying be short airlines since January because they were way extended. Some traders have great/curious timing and some traders are just good.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01840489238667753, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01840489238667753, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023683370162507655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023683370162507655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008966544206961413, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008966544206961413, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004364003204475053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004364003204475053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "ret_p1w": 0.049551668252202585, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.049551668252202585, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0347717305333306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0347717305333306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "ret_p1m": -0.12269943382615778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12269943382615778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.064167192556435, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.064167192556435, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "ret_p3m": 0.10051902066962404, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10051902066962404, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02426884932654083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02426884932654083, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "ret_p6m": 0.22557801885346462, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22557801885346462, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.057153488788946216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.057153488788946216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "ret_p1y": 0.35361131501903875, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.35361131501903875, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11173808690646525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11173808690646525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12269943382615778, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.064167192556435, "alpha_c_stated": 0.064167192556435, "price_path": [0.1925, 0.1869, 0.1822, 0.1501, 0.1713, 0.1864, 0.2058, 0.218, 0.218, 0.219, 0.2072, 0.2006, 0.1963, 0.1963, 0.1845, 0.1859, 0.2072, 0.2161, 0.2161, 0.2161, 0.2374, 0.2095, 0.2341, 0.2284, 0.2275, 0.236, 0.236, 0.2652, 0.2496, 0.2397, 0.2388, 0.2496, 0.2279, 0.2355, 0.2445, 0.2284, 0.2109, 0.2303, 0.2213, 0.2279, 0.2468, 0.2317, 0.2128, 0.2199, 0.202, 0.218, 0.218, 0.2232, 0.2204, 0.2114, 0.1633, 0.1746, 0.1652, 0.1694, 0.1439, 0.1534, 0.1293, 0.0911, 0.1312, 0.0977, 0.0868, 0.0359, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.009, 0.0217, 0.0406, 0.0217, 0.0496, 0.0387, 0.0373, 0.0722, 0.0613, 0.0533, 0.0283, -0.0028, -0.0198, -0.0354, -0.0118, -0.0977, -0.1477, -0.1496, -0.1803, -0.0392, -0.1227, -0.0991, -0.1095, -0.1005, -0.1109, -0.109, -0.109, -0.1317, -0.1114, -0.0934, -0.0769, -0.0793, -0.0703, -0.068, -0.0647, -0.059, -0.0146, -0.0071, -0.0179, -0.0033, 0.0297, 0.0307, 0.0642, 0.0906, 0.0675, 0.0618, 0.0731, 0.0746, 0.0651, 0.0326, 0.0429, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.075, 0.0689, 0.0731, 0.0722, 0.0765, 0.0779, 0.075, 0.0661, 0.0972, 0.1005, 0.1062, 0.0698, 0.058, 0.0212, 0.0543, 0.0222, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0179, 0.0378, 0.0694, 0.0524, 0.068, 0.0812, 0.084, 0.1057, 0.1227, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.1236, 0.1298, 0.1265, 0.2086, 0.1812, 0.193, 0.1689, 0.1756, 0.1845, 0.1793, 0.1807, 0.1869, 0.2058, 0.1524, 0.16, 0.1647, 0.1444, 0.135, 0.1303, 0.0911, 0.1137, 0.1128, 0.1241, 0.1133, 0.1175, 0.1095, 0.1907, 0.2133, 0.1987, 0.2109, 0.2133, 0.2143, 0.1902, 0.177, 0.2374, 0.2166, 0.2383, 0.2331, 0.2416, 0.2416, 0.2416, 0.2397, 0.2478, 0.2256]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899869096251994237", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-03-12T17:04:25+00:00", "symbol": "UAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JETS $UAL $AAL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding directional puts on airline basket (DAL, UAL, AAL, JETS); targets ~$43 on DAL before bottoming; high-conviction short on airlines.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tis true. High conviction - \"health, war, growth scare\". \n\nI rec'd MAR &amp; JUN directional puts - early &amp; often.\n\nThe March $57.50P are up 12X. I have ~$43 until we bottom $DAL. I call this basket trading ;-)\n\n$JETS $UAL $AAL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@unusual_whales @SamanthaLaDuc was way ahead of this. Has been saying be short airlines since January because they were way extended. Some traders have great/curious timing and some traders are just good.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04968256306385377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04968256306385377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054961040839683895, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04960578429561524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": 7.677876823852792e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03532980390476337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03532980390476337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021999256493326902, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025107616998655047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010222186906108321, "ret_p1w": 0.027187430935605272, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027187430935605272, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01240749321673329, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00013346625109655896, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027053964684508713, "ret_p1m": -0.13400495731655893, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13400495731655893, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07547271604683614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08604034279098172, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04796461452557721, "ret_p3m": 0.15194593258820221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15194593258820221, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07569576124511901, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03562293933215588, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11632299325604634, "ret_p6m": 0.4635661660459931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4635661660459931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2951416359814747, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29211255976572836, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17145360628026474, "ret_p1y": 0.46701634549891513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.46701634549891513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22514311738634163, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.08684430740830051, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3801720380906146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13400495731655893, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07547271604683614, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08604034279098172, "price_path": [0.3126, 0.3177, 0.3109, 0.2624, 0.3188, 0.3442, 0.3729, 0.3961, 0.3961, 0.3921, 0.3752, 0.3554, 0.34, 0.34, 0.317, 0.3203, 0.3603, 0.3968, 0.4314, 0.4314, 0.4782, 0.4451, 0.4859, 0.4485, 0.4644, 0.4819, 0.4819, 0.5253, 0.4901, 0.4215, 0.4491, 0.4731, 0.4676, 0.4941, 0.5098, 0.4607, 0.4467, 0.4997, 0.488, 0.5063, 0.5043, 0.464, 0.4258, 0.4378, 0.3924, 0.4389, 0.4389, 0.4249, 0.4699, 0.4144, 0.3234, 0.3493, 0.3329, 0.3442, 0.272, 0.2946, 0.2651, 0.1898, 0.2596, 0.1906, 0.1438, 0.0712, 0.0497, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0167, 0.0201, -0.0155, 0.0272, 0.0218, 0.0333, 0.1071, 0.0889, 0.0747, 0.0148, -0.0308, -0.0471, -0.0588, -0.015, -0.1688, -0.2041, -0.1889, -0.2251, -0.0225, -0.134, -0.0947, -0.0934, -0.0754, -0.0755, -0.085, -0.085, -0.0988, -0.0758, -0.0611, -0.0471, -0.0588, -0.05, -0.0487, -0.0502, -0.0455, 0.0222, 0.0331, 0.0146, 0.0399, 0.0959, 0.0664, 0.085, 0.1399, 0.0901, 0.0563, 0.0755, 0.085, 0.0534, 0.012, 0.0489, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0789, 0.0696, 0.0843, 0.0963, 0.121, 0.119, 0.1264, 0.1089, 0.1624, 0.1519, 0.1482, 0.0852, 0.0686, 0.0213, 0.0836, 0.0167, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.025, 0.0622, 0.0905, 0.0589, 0.0702, 0.0927, 0.099, 0.1047, 0.118, 0.1366, 0.1366, 0.1194, 0.1208, 0.1065, 0.2651, 0.2102, 0.2274, 0.1921, 0.2209, 0.2589, 0.2731, 0.2745, 0.2528, 0.248, 0.2383, 0.2574, 0.2756, 0.251, 0.2454, 0.2187, 0.1671, 0.2008, 0.2098, 0.2265, 0.2142, 0.2323, 0.2328, 0.359, 0.3772, 0.3682, 0.3929, 0.4128, 0.4103, 0.3779, 0.3413, 0.4212, 0.4124, 0.4371, 0.4382, 0.4502, 0.4491, 0.4491, 0.4447, 0.4651, 0.4636]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1899869096251994237", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-03-12T17:04:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JETS $UAL $AAL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding directional puts on airline basket (DAL, UAL, AAL, JETS); targets ~$43 on DAL before bottoming; high-conviction short on airlines.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Airlines'", "bench_c_industry": "Airlines", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tis true. High conviction - \"health, war, growth scare\". \n\nI rec'd MAR &amp; JUN directional puts - early &amp; often.\n\nThe March $57.50P are up 12X. I have ~$43 until we bottom $DAL. I call this basket trading ;-)\n\n$JETS $UAL $AAL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@unusual_whales @SamanthaLaDuc was way ahead of this. Has been saying be short airlines since January because they were way extended. Some traders have great/curious timing and some traders are just good.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04849036762791448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04849036762791448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0537688454037446, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04841358885967595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005278477775830126, "bench_c_m1d": 7.677876823852792e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023787760441206562, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023787760441206562, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010457213029770096, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013565573535098241, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013330547411436466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010222186906108321, "ret_p1w": 0.05032014837182586, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05032014837182586, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.035540210652953874, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023266183687317143, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779937718871983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027053964684508713, "ret_p1m": -0.12991766117531767, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12991766117531767, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07138541990559488, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08195304664974046, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.058532241269722785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04796461452557721, "ret_p3m": 0.07593777680985214, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07593777680985214, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00031239453323106403, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.040385216446194194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0762501713430832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11632299325604634, "ret_p6m": 0.1765781608064123, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1765781608064123, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.008153630741893902, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.005124554526147573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1684245300645184, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17145360628026474, "ret_p1y": 0.19579133850847774, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19579133850847774, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.04608188960409576, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.18438069958213688, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2418732281125735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3801720380906146, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12991766117531767, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07138541990559488, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08195304664974046, "price_path": [0.548, 0.5114, 0.5297, 0.5069, 0.5224, 0.5444, 0.5782, 0.5874, 0.5874, 0.5874, 0.5874, 0.6121, 0.5947, 0.5947, 0.5554, 0.5526, 0.6029, 0.6185, 0.6102, 0.6102, 0.6816, 0.6102, 0.6661, 0.6532, 0.6734, 0.6715, 0.6715, 0.7054, 0.7072, 0.5581, 0.5517, 0.5737, 0.5691, 0.5855, 0.5462, 0.548, 0.5279, 0.5407, 0.5517, 0.5608, 0.5709, 0.5206, 0.5014, 0.4876, 0.4401, 0.4611, 0.4611, 0.4712, 0.4639, 0.4511, 0.3934, 0.4007, 0.3843, 0.3888, 0.3294, 0.3129, 0.269, 0.2214, 0.2891, 0.2123, 0.1921, 0.1436, 0.0485, 0.0, -0.0238, -0.0055, 0.0357, 0.0128, 0.0503, 0.0302, 0.0421, 0.0823, 0.0531, 0.0467, 0.0192, -0.021, -0.0348, -0.0576, -0.0311, -0.1299, -0.1345, -0.1116, -0.1702, 0.0174, -0.1299, -0.1153, -0.1235, -0.0988, -0.1382, -0.1345, -0.1345, -0.1702, -0.1482, -0.1473, -0.1208, -0.108, -0.0988, -0.0942, -0.0897, -0.0823, -0.0375, -0.0247, -0.0457, -0.0339, 0.0091, 0.0165, 0.0677, 0.1253, 0.0833, 0.0759, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0659, 0.0284, 0.043, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.065, 0.0457, 0.043, 0.0439, 0.0412, 0.0494, 0.0448, 0.0311, 0.0778, 0.0759, 0.0833, 0.0119, -0.0027, -0.0512, -0.0027, -0.0339, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0284, -0.0027, 0.0403, 0.0119, 0.0183, 0.032, 0.0265, 0.054, 0.064, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0604, 0.0595, 0.0503, 0.1839, 0.118, 0.1327, 0.1134, 0.1226, 0.1391, 0.1446, 0.1272, 0.1436, 0.1601, 0.0485, 0.0522, 0.0595, 0.0448, 0.0531, 0.0512, 0.0091, 0.0311, 0.065, 0.0741, 0.0732, 0.0631, 0.0595, 0.1876, 0.1995, 0.1729, 0.2049, 0.2049, 0.2095, 0.1711, 0.15, 0.2397, 0.1894, 0.2031, 0.2013, 0.2123, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2251, 0.2296, 0.1766]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1923184580766380165", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T01:11:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expect $96 again by Q3. Lower later.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Exited NVDA long at $136; now expects NVDA to fall back to $96 by Q3, with further downside later.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "💃👌🫶\n\nI got my $136 by earnings from $96 - as repeated early/OFTEN. $NVDA\n\nI am out! \n\nAnd expect $96 again by Q3. Lower later. 😉\n\nhttps://t.co/1gCq5IJcSL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@LaDucTrading @SamanthaLaDuc Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management 13F filing, today. No reason for panic, only 49% of his portfolio is now in $NVDA puts. Not even 50%! Clearly a lack of conviction. https://t.co/knv38fy1ar", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0042097216209713295, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0042097216209713295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0020844547190879137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00709096723141367, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006294176340059243, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00288124561044234, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0012554795333701296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0012554795333701296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00016155572700693455, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0029193420385854596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001093923806363195, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00166386250521533, "ret_p1w": -0.030354504536428406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030354504536428406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004959056080270252, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006087357764678503, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025395448456158154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03644186230110691, "ret_p1m": 0.0686857335544031, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0686857335544031, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05441441315961981, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00013986102006469103, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0688255945744678, "ret_p3m": 0.34123053470675835, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34123053470675835, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2527140576747313, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11860247670642576, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22262805800033258, "ret_p6m": 0.4702737430646746, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4702737430646746, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31687535553461443, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.014263672556583229, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4560100705080914, "ret_p1y": 0.45159751165649276, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45159751165649276, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.21957629315953486, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6761372134900308, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2320212184969579, "bench_c_p1y": 1.1277347251465235, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.34123053470675835, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2527140576747313, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11860247670642576, "price_path": [0.0294, 0.0282, 0.0347, -0.0073, -0.0379, -0.0649, -0.0305, -0.1127, -0.0775, -0.1577, -0.1434, -0.1338, -0.1835, -0.1678, -0.21, -0.1968, -0.1452, -0.1464, -0.1014, -0.1172, -0.1475, -0.1321, -0.1246, -0.1307, -0.1033, -0.1086, -0.1598, -0.177, -0.19, -0.1996, -0.1865, -0.1845, -0.2482, -0.3035, -0.2789, -0.2888, -0.1556, -0.2055, -0.1807, -0.1823, -0.1713, -0.2283, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.2843, -0.2696, -0.2414, -0.214, -0.1801, -0.197, -0.1948, -0.1956, -0.1757, -0.1544, -0.1594, -0.1614, -0.1355, -0.1332, -0.1385, -0.0916, -0.0404, -0.0004, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0013, -0.0075, -0.0266, -0.019, -0.0304, -0.0304, 0.0007, -0.0044, 0.028, -0.002, 0.0146, 0.043, 0.0482, 0.0339, 0.0467, 0.0534, 0.0632, 0.0549, 0.071, 0.0486, 0.0687, 0.0645, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.0625, 0.0648, 0.0924, 0.1397, 0.145, 0.1651, 0.1669, 0.1323, 0.1615, 0.1769, 0.1769, 0.1688, 0.1818, 0.203, 0.212, 0.2181, 0.2118, 0.2608, 0.2657, 0.2778, 0.2734, 0.2658, 0.2337, 0.2614, 0.2833, 0.2815, 0.3055, 0.2963, 0.3241, 0.3138, 0.2831, 0.3295, 0.3166, 0.3252, 0.3352, 0.3494, 0.3447, 0.3528, 0.3412, 0.3444, 0.3328, 0.3443, 0.2973, 0.2955, 0.2924, 0.3146, 0.3281, 0.3426, 0.3413, 0.3307, 0.2865, 0.2865, 0.2614, 0.2602, 0.2679, 0.2336, 0.2431, 0.2612, 0.3098, 0.3087, 0.3135, 0.3129, 0.2917, 0.2578, 0.3018, 0.305, 0.3562, 0.318, 0.3072, 0.3125, 0.3162, 0.3432, 0.3782, 0.383, 0.3952, 0.3858, 0.3705, 0.3668, 0.3969, 0.4224, 0.3529, 0.391, 0.3298, 0.3283, 0.3429, 0.3533, 0.3491, 0.3381, 0.3316, 0.3455, 0.3758, 0.4144, 0.4849, 0.5293, 0.4986, 0.4957, 0.5281, 0.4676, 0.4419, 0.3892, 0.3898, 0.4703]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1912899161546010811", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-17T16:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "XLE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec'd to clients Monday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holds live long positions in XLE, XOM, GLD, GDX; added protection on gold longs this morning.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Actually, $XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec’d to clients Monday as $OVX came down with $VIX 😉\n\nAnd this morning, I rec’d protection on $GLD $GDX longs. 😉😉\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While everyone is looking at tech and index drawdown, XLE is up +4% this week, with WTI/Brent +2-3 to $64/67 respectively.\n\nGold and oil up, rates and equities selling off. \n\nStagflation &gt; Recession narrative this wk.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02208590984246217, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02208590984246217, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02066122518489444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02066122518489444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.012760767232494752, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012760767232494752, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025764507193022368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025764507193022368, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "ret_p1m": 0.04883439098990805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04883439098990805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07994372175265396, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07994372175265396, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "bench_c_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "ret_p3m": 0.07468403876567953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07468403876567953, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11066453102352791, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11066453102352791, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "ret_p6m": 0.06314596704200337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06314596704200337, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18448684832394435, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18448684832394435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "ret_p1y": 0.5115583131072476, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5115583131072476, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.24546573741095457, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.24546573741095457, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012760767232494752, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025764507193022368, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025764507193022368, "price_path": [0.144, 0.1381, 0.1174, 0.1225, 0.1117, 0.1001, 0.0897, 0.0921, 0.0977, 0.067, 0.0737, 0.0962, 0.0985, 0.0783, 0.0782, 0.102, 0.1108, 0.0841, 0.0922, 0.0966, 0.0966, 0.1116, 0.1203, 0.1306, 0.1071, 0.1073, 0.0914, 0.0852, 0.091, 0.1079, 0.0692, 0.0589, 0.0434, 0.0466, 0.0645, 0.0724, 0.0639, 0.0687, 0.0614, 0.0928, 0.1102, 0.1121, 0.1302, 0.1343, 0.1264, 0.1393, 0.1439, 0.1507, 0.1395, 0.1341, 0.1466, 0.1534, 0.155, 0.0643, -0.0336, -0.0399, -0.0621, 0.0106, -0.0555, -0.032, -0.0286, -0.0301, -0.0221, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.0013, -0.0032, 0.0128, 0.0109, 0.018, 0.0151, -0.0123, -0.0086, 0.0059, -0.0123, -0.012, -0.0117, 0.0013, 0.0114, 0.0378, 0.0524, 0.046, 0.0504, 0.0488, 0.0352, 0.0256, 0.0067, 0.0028, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0147, 0.0018, 0.0093, 0.0004, 0.0135, 0.0255, 0.0055, 0.0045, 0.0234, 0.0254, 0.0437, 0.0588, 0.0625, 0.081, 0.0778, 0.0879, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.0918, 0.0642, 0.0503, 0.0457, 0.0607, 0.0551, 0.0491, 0.0571, 0.0753, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.0661, 0.0948, 0.0893, 0.0976, 0.1025, 0.0904, 0.0747, 0.0654, 0.072, 0.0633, 0.0523, 0.0572, 0.0738, 0.0815, 0.0774, 0.0897, 0.1003, 0.0846, 0.0788, 0.0587, 0.0564, 0.0577, 0.048, 0.0439, 0.0506, 0.0422, 0.0472, 0.0593, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.052, 0.0524, 0.0612, 0.0685, 0.0903, 0.0931, 0.0914, 0.1036, 0.112, 0.1181, 0.1181, 0.1197, 0.0946, 0.1019, 0.0806, 0.0781, 0.0833, 0.1023, 0.1025, 0.096, 0.0922, 0.1106, 0.1132, 0.1097, 0.095, 0.0937, 0.1125, 0.127, 0.1371, 0.1476, 0.1265, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.1033, 0.1092, 0.1147, 0.1164, 0.1099, 0.0948, 0.0631]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1912899161546010811", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-17T16:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "XOM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec'd to clients Monday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holds live long positions in XLE, XOM, GLD, GDX; added protection on gold longs this morning.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Actually, $XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec’d to clients Monday as $OVX came down with $VIX 😉\n\nAnd this morning, I rec’d protection on $GLD $GDX longs. 😉😉\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While everyone is looking at tech and index drawdown, XLE is up +4% this week, with WTI/Brent +2-3 to $64/67 respectively.\n\nGold and oil up, rates and equities selling off. \n\nStagflation &gt; Recession narrative this wk.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02553310256979191, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02553310256979191, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024108417912224178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00344719272732974, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02208590984246217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.015993262865790614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015993262865790614, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022532011559726506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003232495633295862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012760767232494752, "ret_p1m": 0.021197554883374492, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021197554883374492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10758055785918752, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027636836106533558, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04883439098990805, "ret_p3m": 0.06574932932580957, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06574932932580957, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11959924046339787, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008934709439869959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07468403876567953, "ret_p6m": 0.05489816200123743, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05489816200123743, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1927346533647103, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.008247805040765943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06314596704200337, "ret_p1y": 0.5804644806103785, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5804644806103785, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3143719049140854, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.06890616750313083, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5115583131072476, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015993262865790614, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.022532011559726506, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003232495633295862, "price_path": [0.0412, 0.0333, 0.0153, 0.0211, 0.0073, 0.0213, 0.0015, 0.0074, 0.0157, -0.0097, -0.0073, 0.0193, 0.0186, 0.0051, 0.0094, 0.0287, 0.0352, 0.004, 0.0113, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0301, 0.0316, 0.0475, 0.0353, 0.0407, 0.0263, 0.0238, 0.0302, 0.0412, 0.0079, 0.0058, -0.0138, 0.0065, 0.0196, 0.0456, 0.021, 0.0207, 0.0164, 0.0466, 0.064, 0.0629, 0.0794, 0.084, 0.0802, 0.0831, 0.0904, 0.1062, 0.1026, 0.1011, 0.1123, 0.1134, 0.1099, 0.0515, -0.0241, -0.0372, -0.0575, -0.0105, -0.0654, -0.0354, -0.033, -0.0357, -0.0255, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0147, 0.0129, 0.0042, 0.016, 0.0154, 0.016, 0.0135, -0.0121, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0341, -0.0207, -0.0216, -0.0079, 0.0036, 0.021, 0.0238, 0.0146, 0.0249, 0.0212, 0.005, -0.0094, -0.0216, -0.0281, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0229, -0.0362, -0.0307, -0.0344, -0.0273, -0.0202, -0.0344, -0.0388, -0.0158, -0.0092, 0.012, 0.0318, 0.0357, 0.0583, 0.0617, 0.076, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0826, 0.0547, 0.0226, 0.0229, 0.0382, 0.0324, 0.0175, 0.0311, 0.0482, 0.059, 0.059, 0.0488, 0.0778, 0.0742, 0.0848, 0.0895, 0.0753, 0.0657, 0.0593, 0.054, 0.0172, 0.0199, 0.0245, 0.0376, 0.0457, 0.0421, 0.0519, 0.0655, 0.0562, 0.0538, 0.0349, 0.0135, 0.0122, 0.0053, 0.0001, 0.0081, -0.0011, 0.0018, 0.0156, 0.0136, 0.0145, 0.0167, 0.0234, 0.0339, 0.0406, 0.0601, 0.0645, 0.0621, 0.0741, 0.0799, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0926, 0.0661, 0.0708, 0.0406, 0.0465, 0.0541, 0.0718, 0.0683, 0.0685, 0.0703, 0.0925, 0.0983, 0.0854, 0.0748, 0.0672, 0.0856, 0.0914, 0.1012, 0.1167, 0.0881, 0.0741, 0.0669, 0.0602, 0.079, 0.088, 0.0885, 0.0862, 0.0757, 0.0549]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1912899161546010811", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-17T16:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I rec'd protection on $GLD $GDX longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holds live long positions in XLE, XOM, GLD, GDX; added protection on gold longs this morning.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Actually, $XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec’d to clients Monday as $OVX came down with $VIX 😉\n\nAnd this morning, I rec’d protection on $GLD $GDX longs. 😉😉\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While everyone is looking at tech and index drawdown, XLE is up +4% this week, with WTI/Brent +2-3 to $64/67 respectively.\n\nGold and oil up, rates and equities selling off. \n\nStagflation &gt; Recession narrative this wk.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004410055288936121, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004410055288936121, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005834739946503853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005834739946503853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.006370090938635942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006370090938635942, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03215518348688118, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03215518348688118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "ret_p1m": -0.038808327036150114, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038808327036150114, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16758643977871213, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16758643977871213, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "bench_c_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "ret_p3m": 0.0019927344795203084, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0019927344795203084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18335583530968713, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18335583530968713, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "ret_p6m": 0.20580164969584103, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20580164969584103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.041831165670106696, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.041831165670106696, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "ret_p1y": 0.39700117835417226, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.39700117835417226, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13090860265787918, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13090860265787918, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006370090938635942, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03215518348688118, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03215518348688118, "price_path": [-0.1857, -0.1731, -0.1689, -0.17, -0.1649, -0.1736, -0.1664, -0.1696, -0.157, -0.1554, -0.1509, -0.1425, -0.1372, -0.1395, -0.1379, -0.1233, -0.1265, -0.1256, -0.117, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1157, -0.1152, -0.1148, -0.1156, -0.1108, -0.1225, -0.1212, -0.1346, -0.14, -0.1286, -0.1211, -0.1192, -0.1237, -0.1233, -0.1309, -0.1207, -0.1169, -0.1012, -0.1009, -0.096, -0.0855, -0.0817, -0.0829, -0.0903, -0.0943, -0.0903, -0.0911, -0.0789, -0.0721, -0.0587, -0.0606, -0.0587, -0.0644, -0.0862, -0.1059, -0.101, -0.0678, -0.045, -0.0268, -0.0323, -0.0272, 0.0044, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0163, -0.0081, 0.0064, -0.0045, 0.0096, -0.0002, -0.0077, -0.0283, -0.0266, 0.0025, 0.0306, 0.0151, -0.0049, 0.0024, -0.0259, -0.0218, -0.0423, -0.027, -0.0388, -0.0264, -0.0083, -0.001, -0.0098, 0.0119, 0.0119, -0.0053, -0.0075, -0.0017, -0.0082, 0.0181, 0.0091, 0.0156, 0.0105, -0.0031, 0.0016, 0.0019, 0.0074, 0.0199, 0.0332, 0.0185, 0.019, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0131, 0.0162, 0.0002, 0.0033, 0.0022, -0.016, -0.0042, 0.0047, 0.0102, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0041, -0.0064, -0.002, 0.0003, 0.0099, 0.0062, 0.002, 0.007, 0.0048, 0.0074, 0.0229, 0.0326, 0.0198, 0.0136, 0.0042, -0.0023, 0.0004, -0.0169, -0.0103, 0.0098, 0.0156, 0.0165, 0.0143, 0.0229, 0.0226, 0.0079, 0.007, 0.0101, 0.0037, 0.0043, 0.0027, -0.0028, 0.0073, 0.0038, 0.0146, 0.0121, 0.0195, 0.0215, 0.0291, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0636, 0.0719, 0.0672, 0.0814, 0.0938, 0.0913, 0.0952, 0.0936, 0.0957, 0.1071, 0.1093, 0.1008, 0.0964, 0.108, 0.1272, 0.1318, 0.1215, 0.1262, 0.1327, 0.1514, 0.1612, 0.163, 0.159, 0.1683, 0.1903, 0.1965, 0.2162, 0.1937, 0.2058]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1912899161546010811", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-04-17T16:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I rec'd protection on $GLD $GDX longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holds live long positions in XLE, XOM, GLD, GDX; added protection on gold longs this morning.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Actually, $XLE $XOM long was exactly what I rec’d to clients Monday as $OVX came down with $VIX 😉\n\nAnd this morning, I rec’d protection on $GLD $GDX longs. 😉😉\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While everyone is looking at tech and index drawdown, XLE is up +4% this week, with WTI/Brent +2-3 to $64/67 respectively.\n\nGold and oil up, rates and equities selling off. \n\nStagflation &gt; Recession narrative this wk.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019442315855004333, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019442315855004333, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020867000512572065, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020867000512572065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.022780799305771704, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022780799305771704, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061306073731288824, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061306073731288824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "ret_p1m": -0.09014131695860095, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09014131695860095, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21891942970116296, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21891942970116296, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "bench_c_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "ret_p3m": 0.013747078298763427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013747078298763427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.171601491490444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.171601491490444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "ret_p6m": 0.4882168708791985, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4882168708791985, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2405840555132508, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2405840555132508, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "ret_p1y": 0.8558797174038126, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8558797174038126, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5897871417075196, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5897871417075196, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022780799305771704, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061306073731288824, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061306073731288824, "price_path": [-0.2783, -0.2614, -0.263, -0.2636, -0.2547, -0.2665, -0.2596, -0.2557, -0.2258, -0.2349, -0.2231, -0.2139, -0.194, -0.1923, -0.1976, -0.176, -0.1862, -0.1726, -0.1652, -0.1932, -0.1932, -0.1842, -0.1842, -0.1705, -0.1987, -0.1954, -0.207, -0.1976, -0.2251, -0.22, -0.2201, -0.209, -0.1811, -0.1877, -0.1822, -0.2044, -0.1783, -0.1771, -0.1514, -0.143, -0.1247, -0.1192, -0.1117, -0.1131, -0.1261, -0.131, -0.1159, -0.1227, -0.1013, -0.1051, -0.0972, -0.1005, -0.1013, -0.1021, -0.1815, -0.186, -0.185, -0.1165, -0.0736, -0.024, -0.0177, -0.0077, 0.0194, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0145, -0.0136, -0.043, -0.0228, -0.0414, -0.0293, -0.0479, -0.0375, -0.0731, -0.0754, -0.0432, -0.0026, -0.0216, -0.0401, -0.0108, -0.0844, -0.086, -0.1055, -0.087, -0.0901, -0.0703, -0.0414, -0.0291, -0.0342, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0226, -0.0112, -0.0126, -0.0053, 0.056, 0.0426, 0.045, 0.0438, 0.0137, 0.0238, 0.01, 0.02, 0.0513, 0.0695, 0.0516, 0.0509, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0269, 0.043, 0.0185, 0.0196, 0.0334, -0.0037, 0.0224, 0.022, 0.0342, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.0442, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0192, 0.0295, 0.03, 0.0137, 0.0177, 0.0063, 0.0041, 0.0412, 0.0699, 0.0573, 0.0473, 0.0597, 0.0328, 0.0458, 0.0169, 0.0141, 0.03, 0.0789, 0.1088, 0.1271, 0.1379, 0.1402, 0.133, 0.1432, 0.1404, 0.1332, 0.1445, 0.141, 0.1115, 0.1453, 0.1644, 0.1819, 0.1834, 0.2097, 0.2074, 0.2044, 0.2406, 0.2406, 0.2726, 0.2804, 0.2681, 0.3028, 0.3205, 0.3128, 0.3452, 0.37, 0.3698, 0.3841, 0.3555, 0.3484, 0.3509, 0.4211, 0.4597, 0.4578, 0.4203, 0.4362, 0.4666, 0.487, 0.5004, 0.5147, 0.5141, 0.5137, 0.5438, 0.5116, 0.5544, 0.4849, 0.4882]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1915437547519385818", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T16:07:53+00:00", "symbol": "TIP", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "inflation will be spiking with yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Inflation spike incoming as China-US trade shutdown hits supply chains; yields rising with it.", "resolved_tickers": ["TIP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market isn't pricing a supply-shut-down in.\n\nMedia hasn't talked about shortages, yet.\n\nBy the time consumers race to the store to hoard toilet paper again, inflation will be spiking with yields. They won't wait this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The White House has put itself and the country in a bad situation but doesn’t realize it yet.\n\nAround April 10th China to USA trade shut down.\n\nIt takes ~30 days for containers to go from China to LA.\n\n45 to Houston by sea, 45 to Chicago by train.\n\n55 to New York by sea.\n\nThat https://t.co/8vnGDMWCpt", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00528369021110342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00528369021110342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015331299612505456, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015331299612505456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00045537525944605584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00045537525944605584, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006769936052532399, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006769936052532399, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007225311311978455, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007225311311978455, "ret_p1w": 0.0033996168626926337, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033996168626926337, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01814804371081946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01814804371081946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021547660573512095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021547660573512095, "ret_p1m": -0.006212391207027879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006212391207027879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06551476299621706, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06551476299621706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05930237178918918, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05930237178918918, "ret_p3m": 0.013726373683873971, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013726373683873971, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1399787395550125, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1399787395550125, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15370511323888647, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15370511323888647, "ret_p6m": 0.0366696269207738, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0366696269207738, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18559810800373788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18559810800373788, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "ret_p1y": 0.042550115987697756, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.042550115987697756, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22684409749110412, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22684409749110412, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006212391207027879, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06551476299621706, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06551476299621706, "price_path": [-0.0235, -0.0229, -0.024, -0.023, -0.0223, -0.0201, -0.0184, -0.0141, -0.0158, -0.0184, -0.018, -0.0182, -0.0241, -0.0187, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0201, -0.0181, -0.0161, -0.0141, -0.0119, -0.0077, -0.0069, -0.0081, -0.0012, 0.0015, -0.002, -0.0071, -0.0076, -0.0092, -0.0048, -0.0075, -0.0086, -0.0072, -0.0096, -0.0093, -0.0082, -0.0031, -0.0022, -0.0034, -0.0059, -0.0043, -0.0056, -0.0035, 0.0016, 0.0056, 0.0062, 0.0046, 0.0109, 0.0076, -0.0046, -0.007, -0.0049, -0.0168, -0.0164, -0.0117, -0.0118, -0.009, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0118, -0.0082, -0.0053, 0.0, 0.0005, 0.0039, 0.0056, 0.0068, 0.0034, -0.0018, -0.0028, 0.0002, 0.0012, -0.0024, -0.0015, -0.0092, -0.0069, -0.0079, -0.005, -0.0033, -0.0032, -0.0047, -0.0101, -0.0071, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0034, -0.0057, -0.0028, 0.0005, -0.0029, -0.0038, 0.0, -0.0029, -0.0082, -0.0068, -0.0064, -0.0047, -0.0019, -0.0034, -0.0047, 0.0005, 0.0012, 0.0012, 0.003, 0.0038, 0.0051, 0.0056, 0.0086, 0.0073, 0.0099, 0.0093, 0.0088, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0058, 0.005, 0.0088, 0.0085, 0.0068, 0.0075, 0.0048, 0.0082, 0.0091, 0.0102, 0.0128, 0.0137, 0.0098, 0.0105, 0.0114, 0.0101, 0.0156, 0.0116, 0.01, 0.017, 0.02, 0.019, 0.0182, 0.0193, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0169, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0158, 0.0147, 0.0157, 0.0168, 0.017, 0.0239, 0.022, 0.0244, 0.0267, 0.0273, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0244, 0.0267, 0.0282, 0.0328, 0.0349, 0.0329, 0.0345, 0.0361, 0.0347, 0.0358, 0.0367, 0.036, 0.0332, 0.0326, 0.0301, 0.0329, 0.031, 0.0294, 0.0295, 0.0308, 0.0306, 0.0324, 0.0319, 0.0308, 0.0291, 0.0319, 0.0327, 0.0315, 0.0351, 0.0377, 0.0366, 0.0363, 0.0387, 0.0367]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1898147621874651616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-07T23:03:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Counting on it. 😉 $BTCUSD $MSTR\n\nFor me, bitcoin is simply a speculation and liquidity tell. Right now, liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding this up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish BTC and MSTR; liquidity waning removes bid, endorses parent's mid-70s gravitational pull thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Counting on it. 😉\n$BTCUSD $MSTR\n\nFor me, bitcoin is simply a speculation and liquidity tell. Right now, liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding this up.\n\nAnd the newly pimped bitcoin reserve only uses seized bitcoin/crypto assets. It doesn’t buy any - no new investment allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Saylor’s plan to stuff taxpayers with Bitcoin he bought at highs failed. If Bitcoin moves down to mid 70s, it will start feeling the gravitational forces of Saylor’s break even at mid 60s. That can pull Nasdaq down as well,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bogachan_1971", "ret_m1d": 0.037110393511267326, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037110393511267326, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009745906966931228, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.09465551034480402, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09465551034480402, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08634262008802307, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.03197469310718071, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03197469310718071, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04369479970353907, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0865472065273526, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0865472065273526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025134450252218277, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.20738711537411936, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20738711537411936, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14628269311362452, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.2594792319452057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2594792319452057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11050047768383209, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": -0.2612627489606021, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2612627489606021, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5122701740277564, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0865472065273526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025134450252218277, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1145, 0.1664, 0.1533, 0.1697, 0.2223, 0.2236, 0.1533, 0.1239, 0.127, 0.0916, 0.1376, 0.1448, 0.1044, 0.0856, 0.068, 0.0771, 0.0885, 0.1169, 0.131, 0.1768, 0.1174, 0.0957, 0.0662, 0.0918, 0.0896, 0.1129, 0.1587, 0.15, 0.2043, 0.1761, 0.2237, 0.1949, 0.1985, 0.2084, 0.1769, 0.1682, 0.1955, 0.2074, 0.1806, 0.169, 0.1283, 0.1138, 0.1136, 0.1128, 0.1233, 0.1038, 0.1285, 0.1139, 0.1241, 0.1041, 0.1014, 0.114, 0.1336, 0.1082, 0.0539, 0.023, -0.0276, -0.0235, -0.0273, -0.0078, 0.0055, 0.0447, 0.0371, 0.0, -0.0947, -0.0447, -0.0348, -0.0654, -0.032, -0.0307, -0.0464, 0.0013, -0.0297, -0.0311, 0.0087, 0.0084, 0.0018, 0.005, -0.0275, -0.0483, -0.0181, -0.0491, -0.042, -0.0334, -0.0865, -0.1207, -0.0481, -0.082, -0.0385, -0.0254, -0.0354, -0.0312, -0.0213, -0.0264, 0.0089, 0.0772, 0.0802, 0.083, 0.092, 0.0949, 0.0869, 0.0861, 0.1124, 0.1172, 0.0923, 0.116, 0.1186, 0.1902, 0.1871, 0.1853, 0.2009, 0.1936, 0.196, 0.1931, 0.2175, 0.2311, 0.2644, 0.2874, 0.2369, 0.2617, 0.2565, 0.2428, 0.2179, 0.1989, 0.2206, 0.2155, 0.2074, 0.171, 0.2034, 0.2715, 0.2711, 0.253, 0.2212, 0.2231, 0.2312, 0.2059, 0.2091, 0.2068, 0.191, 0.2171, 0.2225, 0.2377, 0.2331, 0.2346, 0.2351, 0.2185, 0.255, 0.2641, 0.2455, 0.2485, 0.256, 0.2834, 0.3371, 0.3548, 0.3817, 0.3578, 0.3689, 0.3752, 0.3604, 0.3539, 0.3833, 0.369, 0.3646, 0.3561, 0.3595, 0.3594, 0.3584, 0.3345, 0.3064, 0.3266, 0.3159, 0.3261, 0.3545, 0.3452, 0.3688, 0.3854, 0.422, 0.3645, 0.3534, 0.3402, 0.3008, 0.3174, 0.296, 0.3474, 0.2696, 0.2889, 0.2822, 0.2975, 0.2498, 0.2595]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1898147621874651616", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-07T23:03:53+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Counting on it. 😉 $BTCUSD $MSTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish BTC and MSTR; liquidity waning removes bid, endorses parent's mid-70s gravitational pull thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Counting on it. 😉\n$BTCUSD $MSTR\n\nFor me, bitcoin is simply a speculation and liquidity tell. Right now, liquidity is waning so there is no interest in bidding this up.\n\nAnd the newly pimped bitcoin reserve only uses seized bitcoin/crypto assets. It doesn’t buy any - no new investment allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Saylor’s plan to stuff taxpayers with Bitcoin he bought at highs failed. If Bitcoin moves down to mid 70s, it will start feeling the gravitational forces of Saylor’s break even at mid 60s. That can pull Nasdaq down as well,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bogachan_1971", "ret_m1d": 0.2002339931785364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2002339931785364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1728695066342003, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1728695066342003, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027364486544336097, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08910432433959525, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08910432433959525, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0974172145963762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0974172145963762, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "ret_p1w": 0.2298657740590897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2298657740590897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21814566746273134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21814566746273134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01172010659635836, "ret_p1m": -0.0055168107186375215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0055168107186375215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10616484606093335, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10616484606093335, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168165677957087, "ret_p3m": 0.5413131690547146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5413131690547146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.48020874679421977, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48020874679421977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06110442226049484, "ret_p6m": 0.4277593890464382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4277593890464382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27878063478506454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27878063478506454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14897875426137364, "ret_p1y": -0.43306728183940113, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43306728183940113, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6840747069065555, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6840747069065555, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25100742506715434, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0055168107186375215, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10616484606093335, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10616484606093335, "price_path": [0.7194, 0.6391, 0.708, 0.7073, 0.615, 0.4613, 0.3644, 0.5221, 0.3885, 0.497, 0.497, 0.4254, 0.3792, 0.2662, 0.2104, 0.2104, 0.2539, 0.4196, 0.5844, 0.427, 0.3863, 0.3863, 0.3705, 0.3725, 0.4301, 0.5072, 0.5338, 0.6571, 0.6571, 0.6262, 0.5769, 0.5594, 0.4781, 0.4541, 0.404, 0.4262, 0.4214, 0.3992, 0.4506, 0.4557, 0.4072, 0.3602, 0.369, 0.3985, 0.3351, 0.3659, 0.358, 0.4115, 0.4115, 0.3958, 0.3318, 0.3538, 0.2525, 0.1818, 0.047, 0.1003, 0.0033, 0.0675, 0.0487, 0.15, 0.2895, 0.271, 0.2002, 0.0, 0.0891, 0.0973, 0.1003, 0.2433, 0.2299, 0.1836, 0.2715, 0.2625, 0.2705, 0.4031, 0.4286, 0.3763, 0.3566, 0.2096, 0.2048, 0.279, 0.3062, 0.1798, 0.2271, 0.1207, -0.0055, 0.2407, 0.1382, 0.2537, 0.3017, 0.2986, 0.3025, 0.3257, 0.3257, 0.328, 0.4337, 0.4449, 0.4642, 0.541, 0.5432, 0.5942, 0.5886, 0.5949, 0.6482, 0.6155, 0.6116, 0.6403, 0.7319, 0.7387, 0.6922, 0.7621, 0.7418, 0.6593, 0.6709, 0.7278, 0.7425, 0.683, 0.6695, 0.5443, 0.5443, 0.5556, 0.5223, 0.549, 0.5424, 0.5559, 0.6192, 0.5802, 0.5413, 0.5651, 0.6388, 0.6349, 0.6179, 0.5872, 0.6002, 0.5976, 0.568, 0.5423, 0.5423, 0.5451, 0.5346, 0.5757, 0.6244, 0.6151, 0.6044, 0.6894, 0.5602, 0.6813, 0.6884, 0.6884, 0.6537, 0.659, 0.7362, 0.7626, 0.8163, 0.885, 0.8486, 0.9054, 0.8863, 0.7688, 0.7816, 0.7821, 0.7247, 0.7341, 0.6964, 0.6876, 0.6494, 0.651, 0.6795, 0.5323, 0.6268, 0.5692, 0.6024, 0.6802, 0.6514, 0.6728, 0.6483, 0.6295, 0.5587, 0.531, 0.5196, 0.4067, 0.4393, 0.4109, 0.4968, 0.4344, 0.4685, 0.4296, 0.4161, 0.3976, 0.3976, 0.4278]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978790107898400781", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T11:48:20+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "falling demand from debasement, de-dollarizarion & devaluation bids Gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currency swaps recycling dollars amid debasement/de-dollarization/devaluation pressures drives demand for gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m starting to wonder if these swaps - Argentina 2x now; South Korea next - is less a bail-out for them and more a bail-in for US to recycle dollars as falling demand from debasement, de-dollarizarion & devaluation bids Gold\n\nS. KOREA SEEKS ARGENTINA-STYLE CURRENCY SWAP WITH US: MUNHWA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024134453589783056, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024134453589783056, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030991471674667648, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030991471674667648, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006857018084884592, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006857018084884592, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021097212477968474, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021097212477968474, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02677360500643644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02677360500643644, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005676392528467966, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005676392528467966, "ret_p1w": -0.03614321486222105, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03614321486222105, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05297546626597216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05297546626597216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683225140375111, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683225140375111, "ret_p1m": -0.04499791805700526, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04499791805700526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06208736585978314, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06208736585978314, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708944780277788, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708944780277788, "ret_p3m": 0.07219288488851627, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07219288488851627, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01894139981452403, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01894139981452403, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251485073992244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251485073992244, "ret_p6m": 0.11254139644187378, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11254139644187378, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07819761940702508, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07819761940702508, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0343437770348487, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0343437770348487, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04499791805700526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06208736585978314, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06208736585978314, "price_path": [-0.2052, -0.1965, -0.207, -0.2124, -0.2211, -0.2269, -0.2235, -0.23, -0.2306, -0.2179, -0.2116, -0.2099, -0.2103, -0.2056, -0.1965, -0.2166, -0.2176, -0.2153, -0.2208, -0.2206, -0.2216, -0.2259, -0.2189, -0.2204, -0.2116, -0.2118, -0.2083, -0.2046, -0.1982, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.1707, -0.1605, -0.1669, -0.1558, -0.15, -0.1488, -0.1487, -0.1503, -0.1474, -0.1397, -0.1381, -0.1398, -0.1487, -0.1422, -0.126, -0.1167, -0.1281, -0.1269, -0.118, -0.1073, -0.1027, -0.0964, -0.1029, -0.0933, -0.0775, -0.0709, -0.0553, -0.078, -0.0711, -0.0401, -0.0331, -0.0241, 0.0, -0.0211, 0.0131, -0.045, -0.0551, -0.0361, -0.0378, -0.065, -0.0734, -0.0693, -0.0652, -0.0696, -0.0654, -0.0777, -0.0701, -0.0702, -0.0656, -0.0393, -0.0405, -0.0177, -0.0218, -0.045, -0.0495, -0.0511, -0.0473, -0.0523, -0.0475, -0.044, -0.0329, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0145, -0.0096, -0.0219, -0.0189, -0.016, -0.0157, -0.0217, -0.0172, -0.0196, 0.0012, 0.0046, 0.0062, 0.0057, 0.0157, 0.0139, 0.019, 0.0384, 0.0473, 0.0468, 0.0468, 0.0582, 0.0105, 0.021, 0.0106, 0.0106, 0.008, 0.0366, 0.0472, 0.0395, 0.0396, 0.0491, 0.0757, 0.0722, 0.0809, 0.0785, 0.072, 0.072, 0.112, 0.1289, 0.1469, 0.1626, 0.1868, 0.1868, 0.2386, 0.2426, 0.1013, 0.08, 0.1457, 0.1496, 0.1358, 0.1568, 0.1801, 0.1691, 0.1849, 0.1503, 0.1733, 0.1733, 0.1408, 0.165, 0.1625, 0.182, 0.216, 0.2046, 0.2164, 0.2094, 0.222, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.1963, 0.1834, 0.2023, 0.1895, 0.2218, 0.2073, 0.1952, 0.1804, 0.1668, 0.1684, 0.1424, 0.0749, 0.0678, 0.0289, 0.0278, 0.063, 0.0223, 0.0495, 0.0574, 0.0858, 0.1175, 0.0867, 0.0867, 0.088, 0.0881, 0.1096, 0.1196, 0.1125]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966325234803552424", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:17:23+00:00", "symbol": "BIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very long & strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Held long positions in Chinese equities and ETFs with conviction on SSEC breakout momentum continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Patience I said. Much patience. \n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI \nVery long &amp; strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode before the US stocks triggered.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS 💃 https://t.co/rIlZRenTAV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025788457187251312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025788457187251312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026123387384156205, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01752267736208113, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008265779825170183, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00034850074884795745, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00034850074884795745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004975462549260845, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013712044712776983, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01406054546162494, "ret_p1w": 0.17921247205945257, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17921247205945257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1668454936986843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16165804792762506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017554424131827506, "ret_p1m": 0.09531279454395247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09531279454395247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08395257805588718, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12184003436798407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0265272398240316, "ret_p3m": 0.09836209300921994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09836209300921994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04958525470897568, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09726884011303549, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.001093252896184449, "ret_p6m": 0.0670848985844874, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0670848985844874, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02943660420337335, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.058547020260711236, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008537878323776171, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09531279454395247, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08395257805588718, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12184003436798407, "price_path": [-0.2507, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2715, -0.2662, -0.2448, -0.2451, -0.2467, -0.2496, -0.2528, -0.2504, -0.2469, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2177, -0.2135, -0.2276, -0.2295, -0.2426, -0.2519, -0.1871, -0.248, -0.2376, -0.235, -0.2263, -0.1945, -0.1891, -0.2073, -0.2089, -0.2211, -0.2438, -0.2513, -0.2344, -0.2496, -0.2365, -0.252, -0.2437, -0.2379, -0.2389, -0.2508, -0.2348, -0.2066, -0.227, -0.2172, -0.2148, -0.224, -0.2441, -0.2367, -0.2158, -0.1991, -0.1943, -0.2171, -0.2074, -0.1697, -0.1697, -0.1611, -0.1601, -0.1444, -0.1117, -0.0534, -0.055, -0.0626, -0.0258, 0.0, 0.0003, 0.0785, 0.2008, 0.1783, 0.1792, 0.1904, 0.094, 0.158, 0.1796, 0.1443, 0.1749, 0.148, 0.1974, 0.2217, 0.2371, 0.2625, 0.2105, 0.2014, 0.1535, 0.0602, 0.0953, 0.045, 0.0592, 0.0532, 0.0456, 0.0639, 0.038, 0.0196, 0.0497, 0.0695, 0.1209, 0.1049, 0.1117, 0.0612, 0.0531, 0.0562, 0.089, 0.0745, 0.1068, 0.0974, 0.1528, 0.1496, 0.1234, 0.0511, 0.0106, -0.0058, 0.0206, 0.0062, -0.0377, -0.0334, 0.0386, 0.027, 0.0136, 0.0136, 0.0184, 0.043, 0.0367, 0.0218, 0.0343, 0.0948, 0.1331, 0.0798, 0.0984, 0.1179, 0.0891, 0.0353, 0.0395, 0.0411, 0.0497, 0.0788, 0.0839, 0.0788, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0873, 0.1048, 0.1533, 0.1384, 0.1384, 0.3095, 0.3041, 0.2757, 0.2791, 0.2307, 0.2506, 0.3265, 0.3012, 0.3112, 0.3016, 0.3028, 0.3028, 0.307, 0.4138, 0.4159, 0.4065, 0.3598, 0.3734, 0.3737, 0.3723, 0.3346, 0.2944, 0.2621, 0.2019, 0.2107, 0.2714, 0.2804, 0.2865, 0.2643, 0.2056, 0.1937, 0.1937, 0.1965, 0.2012, 0.1945, 0.1837, 0.1669, 0.1642, 0.1557, 0.0903, 0.0842, 0.0765, 0.0342, 0.0366, 0.0274, 0.0372, 0.0671]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966325234803552424", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:17:23+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very long & strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Held long positions in Chinese equities and ETFs with conviction on SSEC breakout momentum continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Patience I said. Much patience. \n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI \nVery long &amp; strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode before the US stocks triggered.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS 💃 https://t.co/rIlZRenTAV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0024506595836510936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024506595836510936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0021157293867462013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0076050700205042565, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005154410436853163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019218367006854642, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019218367006854642, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01389440370874584, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010543841590511915, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008674525416342727, "ret_p1w": 0.04998066444782845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04998066444782845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03761368608706017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0384146091220523, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011566055325776148, "ret_p1m": 0.07577709157146706, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07577709157146706, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06441687508340177, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09403763577410429, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01826054420263723, "ret_p3m": 0.02424868916476175, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02424868916476175, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024528149135482513, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019168559038519994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005080130126241755, "ret_p6m": -0.14458921336379615, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14458921336379615, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1822375077449102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10858873025237337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03600048311142279, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07577709157146706, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06441687508340177, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09403763577410429, "price_path": [-0.2582, -0.2681, -0.2681, -0.2712, -0.2707, -0.2454, -0.2613, -0.2653, -0.2643, -0.2686, -0.265, -0.286, -0.299, -0.299, -0.3147, -0.3036, -0.3304, -0.3123, -0.3118, -0.3021, -0.2456, -0.2536, -0.2435, -0.2246, -0.2244, -0.2215, -0.2095, -0.2187, -0.2259, -0.2122, -0.2302, -0.243, -0.222, -0.245, -0.2422, -0.2452, -0.2206, -0.2199, -0.2238, -0.2349, -0.2105, -0.1819, -0.2114, -0.218, -0.2171, -0.2262, -0.2294, -0.2384, -0.2071, -0.1981, -0.1991, -0.2117, -0.2289, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.12, -0.1557, -0.1256, -0.0894, -0.0513, -0.0718, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0461, 0.0716, 0.0479, 0.05, 0.0593, 0.0517, 0.1379, 0.1316, 0.1087, 0.1602, 0.1527, 0.1788, 0.2211, 0.2126, 0.2074, 0.1694, 0.1681, 0.1201, 0.0255, 0.0758, 0.0503, 0.07, 0.0647, 0.0773, 0.1187, 0.0749, 0.0697, 0.1086, 0.1267, 0.1573, 0.1397, 0.1606, 0.1217, 0.0991, 0.0815, 0.0596, 0.0629, 0.0809, 0.0727, 0.0698, 0.037, 0.0184, 0.0308, -0.0081, 0.0171, 0.0301, 0.0247, -0.0115, -0.0137, 0.0366, 0.0126, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0144, 0.0593, 0.0391, 0.0195, 0.0153, 0.021, 0.0198, 0.0058, 0.0242, 0.0119, 0.004, -0.0321, -0.0372, -0.0514, -0.0499, -0.034, -0.0264, -0.0247, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0182, -0.0424, -0.0497, -0.0547, -0.0547, 0.0044, 0.0077, -0.0268, -0.0536, -0.0038, -0.0264, 0.0726, 0.0771, 0.0957, 0.1023, 0.0667, 0.0667, 0.0473, 0.0878, 0.1427, 0.1172, 0.1052, 0.1139, 0.1329, 0.1238, 0.0935, 0.086, 0.0554, 0.0263, 0.0174, 0.048, 0.0512, 0.0738, 0.0597, 0.0237, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0024, 0.0046, -0.0051, -0.0039, -0.0147, -0.0126, -0.0179, -0.0452, -0.0706, -0.0806, -0.1256, -0.1405, -0.1594, -0.1565, -0.1446]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966325234803552424", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:17:23+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very long & strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Held long positions in Chinese equities and ETFs with conviction on SSEC breakout momentum continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Patience I said. Much patience. \n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI \nVery long &amp; strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode before the US stocks triggered.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS 💃 https://t.co/rIlZRenTAV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02168105945705956, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02168105945705956, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021346129260154667, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026835469893912722, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005154410436853163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0014850008577240725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014850008577240725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006808964155832875, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010159526274066799, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008674525416342727, "ret_p1w": 0.0424709541294781, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0424709541294781, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030103975768709823, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030904898803701952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011566055325776148, "ret_p1m": -0.012473960270594886, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012473960270594886, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023834176758660175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005786583932042344, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01826054420263723, "ret_p3m": -0.12058210484791299, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12058210484791299, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16935894314815725, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12566223497415474, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005080130126241755, "ret_p6m": -0.1841402236935078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1841402236935078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22178851807462185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.148139740582085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03600048311142279, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012473960270594886, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023834176758660175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005786583932042344, "price_path": [-0.0149, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0662, -0.0618, -0.0324, -0.0217, -0.0122, -0.0178, -0.0306, -0.0288, -0.0356, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.049, -0.0288, -0.0615, -0.0728, -0.0763, -0.0852, -0.0484, -0.0603, -0.0291, 0.0074, -0.008, 0.0062, 0.0077, -0.0059, -0.0146, -0.0134, -0.0431, -0.057, -0.0647, -0.082, -0.0609, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.057, -0.0647, -0.074, -0.046, -0.0345, -0.0621, -0.0585, -0.0564, -0.0722, -0.0743, -0.074, -0.0532, -0.0499, -0.0552, -0.0846, -0.0974, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.0621, -0.0734, -0.0814, -0.0659, -0.0244, 0.0059, -0.0104, 0.0217, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0309, 0.0466, 0.0508, 0.0425, 0.0077, -0.0217, 0.0345, 0.0446, 0.0247, 0.0585, 0.0389, 0.0743, 0.0686, 0.0514, 0.0665, 0.0362, 0.0389, 0.0089, -0.0541, -0.0125, -0.0285, -0.0157, -0.0276, -0.0178, 0.0027, -0.0249, -0.0359, -0.0146, -0.0143, 0.0157, 0.0255, 0.0205, -0.0089, -0.0187, -0.0264, -0.0549, -0.0484, -0.0511, -0.0558, -0.0671, -0.0612, -0.0719, -0.0879, -0.1295, -0.1227, -0.1253, -0.1424, -0.1568, -0.1408, -0.1369, -0.1345, -0.1262, -0.1262, -0.114, -0.1123, -0.1075, -0.1129, -0.1167, -0.112, -0.1114, -0.1179, -0.1206, -0.1227, -0.1256, -0.1432, -0.1432, -0.1506, -0.1446, -0.144, -0.136, -0.1363, -0.1337, -0.1337, -0.1268, -0.1307, -0.1473, -0.1476, -0.1476, -0.123, -0.1194, -0.1209, -0.1378, -0.1188, -0.1253, -0.0873, -0.1126, -0.114, -0.1265, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.1571, -0.1366, -0.109, -0.1138, -0.1155, -0.1238, -0.1319, -0.1366, -0.1541, -0.1527, -0.1672, -0.1818, -0.1886, -0.1663, -0.1681, -0.158, -0.1604, -0.1827, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1883, -0.1859, -0.1901, -0.1859, -0.1913, -0.1827, -0.1821, -0.1987, -0.2121, -0.2174, -0.2385, -0.2456, -0.2435, -0.1972, -0.1841]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966325234803552424", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:17:23+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very long & strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Held long positions in Chinese equities and ETFs with conviction on SSEC breakout momentum continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Patience I said. Much patience. \n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI \nVery long &amp; strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode before the US stocks triggered.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS 💃 https://t.co/rIlZRenTAV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002707363850377398, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002707363850377398, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0023724336534725055, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0023724336534725055, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007629725858990355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007629725858990355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023057625608815524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023057625608815524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "ret_p1w": 0.026827505462041712, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026827505462041712, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014460527101273435, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014460527101273435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "ret_p1m": -0.018951546952641896, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.018951546952641896, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030311763440707185, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030311763440707185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "ret_p3m": -0.08466657887821905, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08466657887821905, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1334434171784633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1334434171784633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "ret_p6m": -0.20254508139323857, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20254508139323857, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24019337577435262, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24019337577435262, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.018951546952641896, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030311763440707185, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030311763440707185, "price_path": [-0.1538, -0.1644, -0.1644, -0.1804, -0.1718, -0.1467, -0.1526, -0.1548, -0.1514, -0.1551, -0.1548, -0.1654, -0.1723, -0.1723, -0.1664, -0.1511, -0.1627, -0.1617, -0.1666, -0.1563, -0.1228, -0.1304, -0.1211, -0.1085, -0.1117, -0.1039, -0.0879, -0.0994, -0.1063, -0.114, -0.1199, -0.1354, -0.1277, -0.1509, -0.1322, -0.1263, -0.1149, -0.1174, -0.1181, -0.1265, -0.1061, -0.0738, -0.0987, -0.0852, -0.0768, -0.0859, -0.0857, -0.0795, -0.0554, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0778, -0.0763, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0593, -0.0583, -0.0662, -0.0539, -0.0391, -0.0162, -0.0202, 0.0027, 0.0, 0.0076, 0.0197, 0.0482, 0.0327, 0.0268, 0.0199, -0.0002, 0.0229, 0.0258, 0.0108, 0.0325, 0.034, 0.0445, 0.0569, 0.0497, 0.0551, 0.0367, 0.0409, 0.0175, -0.0544, -0.019, -0.0364, -0.0239, -0.0271, -0.0281, -0.0066, -0.0167, -0.0288, -0.0089, -0.0015, 0.0177, 0.0106, 0.013, -0.0101, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0389, -0.0315, -0.0278, -0.0409, -0.0197, -0.0256, -0.0322, -0.0448, -0.0588, -0.0665, -0.0687, -0.082, -0.1083, -0.1026, -0.0765, -0.0711, -0.077, -0.077, -0.0753, -0.065, -0.0746, -0.0859, -0.0864, -0.0748, -0.0761, -0.0879, -0.0847, -0.0891, -0.0921, -0.1076, -0.1103, -0.1176, -0.1093, -0.1016, -0.0924, -0.0971, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0905, -0.0999, -0.102, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0696, -0.0482, -0.0511, -0.0725, -0.0621, -0.0644, -0.0166, -0.036, -0.0386, -0.0501, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0869, -0.0709, -0.0628, -0.0626, -0.0647, -0.0626, -0.0576, -0.0524, -0.0762, -0.0843, -0.1012, -0.1273, -0.1286, -0.1041, -0.1033, -0.1041, -0.1096, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1456, -0.1412, -0.1448, -0.1461, -0.1571, -0.1579, -0.1582, -0.1785, -0.189, -0.1997, -0.2216, -0.2169, -0.2323, -0.2242, -0.2025]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966325234803552424", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:17:23+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very long & strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Held long positions in Chinese equities and ETFs with conviction on SSEC breakout momentum continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Patience I said. Much patience. \n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI \nVery long &amp; strong for weeks as the $SSEC was firmly in breakout mode before the US stocks triggered.\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS 💃 https://t.co/rIlZRenTAV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006174451128715619, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006174451128715619, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005839520931810727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005839520931810727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007162267358243657, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007162267358243657, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0018383040601348544, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018383040601348544, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "ret_p1w": 0.01086684208440647, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01086684208440647, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015001362763618076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0015001362763618076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "ret_p1m": -0.023709508530001866, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.023709508530001866, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035069725018067155, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035069725018067155, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "ret_p3m": -0.03457644656547476, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03457644656547476, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08335328486571902, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08335328486571902, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "ret_p6m": -0.08925704033754045, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08925704033754045, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1269053347186545, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1269053347186545, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.023709508530001866, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035069725018067155, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035069725018067155, "price_path": [-0.105, -0.1171, -0.1171, -0.1227, -0.1089, -0.0837, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0909, -0.0921, -0.0904, -0.0939, -0.1042, -0.1042, -0.1032, -0.0939, -0.1064, -0.098, -0.099, -0.0884, -0.0704, -0.0746, -0.0716, -0.06, -0.0563, -0.0432, -0.0348, -0.0393, -0.0454, -0.0496, -0.0561, -0.0669, -0.0753, -0.0904, -0.0746, -0.0704, -0.0667, -0.0679, -0.0696, -0.078, -0.063, -0.0346, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0472, -0.0561, -0.0509, -0.0524, -0.0309, -0.0333, -0.0314, -0.0561, -0.0477, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0304, -0.039, -0.0533, -0.0393, -0.0259, -0.0128, -0.019, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0072, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.0146, 0.0109, 0.004, -0.0096, 0.002, 0.0044, -0.004, 0.0121, 0.0161, 0.022, 0.0311, 0.023, 0.0225, 0.0109, 0.0138, 0.0005, -0.0533, -0.0237, -0.0269, -0.017, -0.0123, -0.0121, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0185, -0.002, 0.0015, 0.0146, 0.0091, 0.0119, -0.0084, -0.0193, -0.0163, -0.0277, -0.0178, -0.0086, -0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0104, 0.004, -0.0091, -0.0203, -0.0242, -0.0341, -0.0472, -0.0437, -0.0282, -0.022, -0.0277, -0.0277, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0247, -0.0316, -0.0291, -0.0148, -0.0252, -0.0412, -0.0346, -0.0321, -0.0348, -0.0432, -0.0523, -0.0551, -0.0461, -0.0363, -0.0356, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0281, -0.0396, -0.0346, -0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0059, -0.0031, -0.0036, -0.0194, -0.0164, -0.0176, 0.0146, 0.0049, -0.0004, -0.0014, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0296, -0.0179, -0.0144, -0.0154, -0.0151, -0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0181, -0.0111, -0.0221, -0.0333, -0.0446, -0.0463, -0.0209, -0.0164, -0.0131, -0.0146, -0.0348, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0383, -0.0333, -0.0361, -0.0311, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0408, -0.0665, -0.0693, -0.0788, -0.0997, -0.096, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.0893]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1931402412608066033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T17:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "APO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$APO \"can offer credit solutions to the S&P500 behemoths -- and on better terms than traditional bank lenders.\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on APO and XLF; Apollo's competitive advantage in credit over traditional banks seen as a durable positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["APO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$APO “can offer credit solutions to the S&amp;P500 behemoths -- and on better terms than traditional bank lenders.” $XLF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you are looking for something to listen to, highly recommend you listen to this podcast episode. \n\nReally high level overview: \n\n- Apollo owns the insurance company, Athene, which gives Apollo a lot of long-term capital to invest (Athene sells annuities products, with https://t.co/a5ykcR47xN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00044948851087156516, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00044948851087156516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0004508255721028531, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00593967595150946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003140829744183, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005490187440637895, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015803974240163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015803974240163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01013415263817774, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014627462101162836, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669821601985259, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011765121390001632, "ret_p1w": 0.004419176891436782, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004419176891436782, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0005835886612233221, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013634935470234422, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0050027655526601045, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00921575857879764, "ret_p1m": 0.08613586304058374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08613586304058374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04862590699940195, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05890199954257547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03750995604118179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02723386349800827, "ret_p3m": 0.013069072949395855, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013069072949395855, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07257491687353546, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05056375196714136, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564398982293131, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06363282491653721, "ret_p6m": -0.003185318736820042, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.003185318736820042, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1461947870519673, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04623685247495768, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14300946831514727, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04305153373813764, "ret_p1y": -0.008666500774325514, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.008666500774325514, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2744465873708545, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03247085797070237, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26578008659652896, "bench_c_p1y": 0.023804357196376857, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08613586304058374, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04862590699940195, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05890199954257547, "price_path": [0.007, -0.0279, 0.0025, 0.0352, 0.0258, 0.0703, 0.0805, 0.0703, 0.1076, 0.1039, 0.0795, 0.06, 0.0222, 0.0221, 0.0327, 0.0562, -0.0786, -0.1889, -0.1614, -0.1759, -0.0413, -0.075, -0.0602, -0.0632, -0.0459, -0.0655, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.1071, -0.0767, -0.0555, -0.005, -0.0044, 0.0177, 0.0266, 0.0186, 0.0291, 0.0103, -0.0, -0.0349, -0.0347, -0.0059, -0.0114, 0.0706, 0.0827, 0.0765, 0.0747, 0.0774, 0.0682, 0.0433, -0.0212, -0.0202, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0025, -0.015, -0.0136, -0.0211, -0.0224, -0.0181, -0.024, -0.0242, -0.0004, 0.0, 0.0158, 0.0339, 0.0345, -0.0105, 0.0044, -0.0086, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0039, 0.0479, 0.0316, 0.0437, 0.0705, 0.0626, 0.0608, 0.0694, 0.0821, 0.0821, 0.0601, 0.0861, 0.0984, 0.1101, 0.1024, 0.1125, 0.0915, 0.1438, 0.1688, 0.1385, 0.1137, 0.1209, 0.1374, 0.1358, 0.132, 0.1138, 0.1072, 0.0895, 0.0885, 0.0358, 0.0637, 0.0901, 0.0926, 0.0569, 0.0634, 0.0645, 0.0831, 0.0557, 0.0537, 0.044, 0.0479, 0.0305, 0.0174, 0.0074, 0.0089, 0.0065, 0.0104, 0.0203, 0.0253, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0212, -0.0029, 0.0131, -0.0111, 0.0107, 0.0105, 0.0046, 0.0254, 0.0377, 0.041, 0.0528, 0.0436, 0.0787, 0.0882, 0.0822, 0.0892, 0.0311, 0.0234, 0.0346, 0.0407, 0.0019, -0.0231, -0.0435, -0.0536, -0.0475, -0.0524, -0.0618, -0.0713, -0.1113, -0.0795, -0.0405, -0.04, -0.0916, -0.0875, -0.0589, -0.0529, -0.0488, -0.075, -0.0603, -0.05, -0.0643, -0.0612, -0.072, -0.0655, -0.0682, -0.0189, 0.0055, -0.0304, -0.0049, -0.0158, -0.0011, 0.0042, -0.0324, -0.0182, -0.0616, -0.0618, -0.04, -0.0433, -0.0187, -0.0181, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0049, -0.0084, -0.0032]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1931402412608066033", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-07T17:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$APO \"can offer credit solutions to the S&P500 behemoths -- and on better terms than traditional bank lenders.\" $XLF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on APO and XLF; Apollo's competitive advantage in credit over traditional banks seen as a durable positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$APO “can offer credit solutions to the S&amp;P500 behemoths -- and on better terms than traditional bank lenders.” $XLF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you are looking for something to listen to, highly recommend you listen to this podcast episode. \n\nReally high level overview: \n\n- Apollo owns the insurance company, Athene, which gives Apollo a lot of long-term capital to invest (Athene sells annuities products, with https://t.co/a5ykcR47xN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005490187440637895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005490187440637895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006390501523612313, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006390501523612313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003140829744183, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003140829744183, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011765121390001632, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011765121390001632, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004493309462985096, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004493309462985096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669821601985259, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669821601985259, "ret_p1w": -0.00921575857879764, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00921575857879764, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014218524131457744, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014218524131457744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0050027655526601045, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0050027655526601045, "ret_p1m": 0.02723386349800827, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02723386349800827, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01027609254317352, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01027609254317352, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03750995604118179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03750995604118179, "ret_p3m": 0.06363282491653721, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06363282491653721, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0220111649063941, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0220111649063941, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564398982293131, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564398982293131, "ret_p6m": 0.04305153373813764, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04305153373813764, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09995793457700963, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09995793457700963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14300946831514727, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14300946831514727, "ret_p1y": 0.023804357196376857, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.023804357196376857, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2419757294001521, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2419757294001521, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26578008659652896, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26578008659652896, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02723386349800827, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01027609254317352, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01027609254317352, "price_path": [-0.0685, -0.0736, -0.0521, -0.0409, -0.0421, -0.0316, -0.0302, -0.0337, -0.0167, -0.0112, -0.0141, -0.0161, -0.0351, -0.0233, -0.0245, -0.0165, -0.0649, -0.1333, -0.1355, -0.1388, -0.0739, -0.0998, -0.0849, -0.0755, -0.0731, -0.0876, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.1049, -0.0753, -0.0643, -0.0539, -0.0584, -0.0555, -0.0457, -0.0439, -0.0441, -0.0243, -0.0306, -0.0361, -0.0304, -0.0224, -0.0224, -0.0025, 0.0016, -0.0012, 0.0055, 0.0116, 0.0122, 0.0067, -0.0139, -0.0151, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0029, -0.0008, -0.0004, 0.0016, -0.0041, -0.0069, 0.0055, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0204, -0.0092, -0.0149, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0125, -0.0001, 0.0148, 0.0115, 0.019, 0.0219, 0.0304, 0.0361, 0.0353, 0.0465, 0.0465, 0.0365, 0.0272, 0.031, 0.0371, 0.0263, 0.0339, 0.0162, 0.0233, 0.0331, 0.0337, 0.0308, 0.0365, 0.0447, 0.0442, 0.0514, 0.0442, 0.0388, 0.0369, 0.0304, 0.0113, 0.0213, 0.0172, 0.0221, 0.0107, 0.0202, 0.0198, 0.0322, 0.0381, 0.043, 0.0322, 0.0329, 0.0349, 0.0402, 0.0369, 0.054, 0.0479, 0.056, 0.0581, 0.0595, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0544, 0.0526, 0.0636, 0.0442, 0.0449, 0.0495, 0.0459, 0.063, 0.0585, 0.0562, 0.0538, 0.064, 0.065, 0.0674, 0.0659, 0.0612, 0.0583, 0.0555, 0.0632, 0.0685, 0.0634, 0.0539, 0.0531, 0.0604, 0.06, 0.0614, 0.0563, 0.0525, 0.0296, 0.0395, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0217, 0.03, 0.0421, 0.0409, 0.035, 0.0371, 0.0484, 0.0527, 0.046, 0.0282, 0.031, 0.0338, 0.0294, 0.0348, 0.0383, 0.0346, 0.0419, 0.0456, 0.0504, 0.0594, 0.0458, 0.0354, 0.0156, 0.014, 0.0178, 0.0089, 0.02, 0.0243, 0.0371, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0527, 0.044, 0.0431]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967655456161034444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T18:23:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA short chase working ;-)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Author is actively running a short on TSLA live this morning, describing it as working.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It was fun to chase short $ORCL & long $TSLA, which triggered perfectly Thurs morning live in my trading room - before I knew Musk spent $1B in the open market to buy shares which made him $17B richer - a 1,600% 1day ROI🤣\n\nAnd live this am we did it again!\n$TSLA short chase working ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0343869032525661, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02909113443328648, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025786978105490355, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008599925147075749, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028241113869250656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029617905449056625, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02209239883382308, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006148715035427577, "ret_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05894542582790008, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0471755151993678, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05934583158940743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040040576150734974, "ret_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04682465439796135, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0420493492114955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07148875668250576, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02466410228454441, "ret_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08986929405811517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0442190123784163, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08952053298877671, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00034876106933845463, "ret_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02633893787309216, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05683330736044023, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01920288189458319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04554181976767535, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.028241113869250656, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029617905449056625, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02209239883382308, "price_path": [-0.2146, -0.2146, -0.2143, -0.1496, -0.1697, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2107, -0.2253, -0.2666, -0.2302, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2831, -0.2737, -0.2784, -0.2443, -0.2354, -0.2271, -0.2421, -0.2155, -0.221, -0.1961, -0.1989, -0.1901, -0.189, -0.2554, -0.2292, -0.206, -0.2167, -0.2219, -0.2482, -0.262, -0.2458, -0.2471, -0.2198, -0.2141, -0.1961, -0.1732, -0.1688, -0.1723, -0.1816, -0.1938, -0.1826, -0.1969, -0.2101, -0.2193, -0.1708, -0.1547, -0.1424, -0.1474, -0.1562, -0.1858, -0.1858, -0.1968, -0.1852, -0.1744, -0.1444, -0.1552, -0.1538, -0.1518, -0.1006, -0.0344, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0386, 0.0166, 0.0391, 0.0589, 0.0386, 0.0799, 0.0326, 0.074, 0.0809, 0.0846, 0.1205, 0.0633, 0.0483, 0.1054, 0.0562, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0084, 0.0631, 0.0468, 0.0612, 0.0456, 0.0714, 0.0912, 0.0794, 0.0706, 0.095, 0.0578, 0.1034, 0.1232, 0.1255, 0.0733, 0.1135, 0.1423, 0.0835, 0.1269, 0.0875, 0.0475, 0.0858, 0.0721, 0.0501, -0.0196, -0.0139, -0.0027, -0.0214, -0.0148, -0.0361, -0.0462, 0.0189, 0.0228, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0491, 0.049, 0.0468, 0.0895, 0.1085, 0.1096, 0.072, 0.0857, 0.101, 0.0899, 0.1193, 0.1592, 0.1947, 0.1395, 0.1788, 0.1735, 0.1919, 0.1842, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1589, 0.121, 0.1083, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.0684, 0.1015, 0.0559, 0.0521, 0.0628, 0.0853, 0.0949, 0.0906, 0.0711, 0.0696, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0225, 0.0522, 0.0959, 0.0952, 0.0614, 0.0509, 0.0522, 0.0159, 0.0497, 0.0287, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0313, 0.0026, 0.0178, 0.037, 0.0445, 0.0171, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0041, 0.0043, -0.0249, -0.0016, 0.0179, -0.0036, -0.0184, -0.0164, -0.0429, -0.01, -0.011, -0.0325, -0.0277, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979945210479083882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T16:18:18+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can print U.S. dollars but they cannot print physical #Gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish physical gold and silver as China's top silver refiner cuts output 17% amid surging demand; dollar funding squeeze looms, bearish USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is fascinating actually -\n\nSo China’s largest silver refiner has throttled back output (17%  of globally refined silver so not a small amount) - just as demand balloons. \n\nPerception (paper) meets Reality (physical) - just as US credit market wobbles & USD flexes from the metal squeeze that can trigger a dollar FUNDING squeeze.\n\n👉🔥⚠️ I wrote about THIS exactly: \nhttps://t.co/L6g4a7j67d\n\nThis morning: Trump walks back tariffs on mining just in time? Or we enter that uncomfortable period where:\n\nMETAL WARS ARE CAPITAL WARS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It is going to be physical metals liquidity vs USD liquidity. Let’s see which runs out first.\n\nThey can print U.S. dollars but they cannot print physical #Gold and #Silver.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03378378454459863, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03378378454459863, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023490341241455992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023490341241455992, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057351710352510854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.057351710352510854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05733676747372762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05733676747372762, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.07713771965985161, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07713771965985161, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0979034624410201, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0979034624410201, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.06343968723155313, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06343968723155313, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.046725848127304515, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.046725848127304515, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.06454660747327967, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06454660747327967, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03030633001610661, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03030633001610661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.11267413261220893, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11267413261220893, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07228343958715966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07228343958715966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06343968723155313, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.046725848127304515, "alpha_c_stated": -0.046725848127304515, "price_path": [-0.2173, -0.2226, -0.2312, -0.2369, -0.2336, -0.24, -0.2406, -0.228, -0.2218, -0.2201, -0.2206, -0.2159, -0.2069, -0.2268, -0.2277, -0.2255, -0.2309, -0.2307, -0.2317, -0.2359, -0.229, -0.2305, -0.2218, -0.222, -0.2186, -0.2149, -0.2086, -0.1989, -0.1989, -0.1815, -0.1714, -0.1777, -0.1668, -0.161, -0.1598, -0.1598, -0.1613, -0.1584, -0.1509, -0.1493, -0.151, -0.1597, -0.1533, -0.1374, -0.1282, -0.1394, -0.1382, -0.1294, -0.1189, -0.1143, -0.1081, -0.1145, -0.1051, -0.0895, -0.083, -0.0676, -0.09, -0.0831, -0.0525, -0.0456, -0.0368, -0.013, -0.0338, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0673, -0.0486, -0.0503, -0.0771, -0.0854, -0.0813, -0.0773, -0.0817, -0.0775, -0.0896, -0.0821, -0.0822, -0.0777, -0.0518, -0.0529, -0.0304, -0.0345, -0.0574, -0.0618, -0.0634, -0.0597, -0.0645, -0.0599, -0.0564, -0.0455, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0272, -0.0224, -0.0345, -0.0316, -0.0287, -0.0285, -0.0344, -0.0299, -0.0323, -0.0117, -0.0084, -0.0068, -0.0074, 0.0026, 0.0007, 0.0058, 0.025, 0.0338, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0444, -0.0026, 0.0078, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0051, 0.0232, 0.0336, 0.026, 0.0261, 0.0355, 0.0618, 0.0583, 0.0669, 0.0645, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0976, 0.1142, 0.132, 0.1475, 0.1714, 0.1715, 0.2226, 0.2265, 0.0871, 0.066, 0.1308, 0.1347, 0.1211, 0.1418, 0.1648, 0.1539, 0.1695, 0.1354, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.126, 0.1499, 0.1475, 0.1667, 0.2002, 0.189, 0.2006, 0.1937, 0.2062, 0.2209, 0.1778, 0.1807, 0.1681, 0.1867, 0.1741, 0.206, 0.1916, 0.1797, 0.1651, 0.1516, 0.1533, 0.1276, 0.0609, 0.054, 0.0156, 0.0145, 0.0492, 0.009, 0.0359, 0.0437, 0.0718, 0.103, 0.0727, 0.0727, 0.0739, 0.074, 0.0953, 0.1051, 0.0981, 0.0936, 0.1127]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979945210479083882", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-19T16:18:18+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China's largest silver refiner has throttled back output (17% of globally refined silver so not a small amount) - just as demand balloons", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish physical gold and silver as China's top silver refiner cuts output 17% amid surging demand; dollar funding squeeze looms, bearish USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is fascinating actually -\n\nSo China’s largest silver refiner has throttled back output (17%  of globally refined silver so not a small amount) - just as demand balloons. \n\nPerception (paper) meets Reality (physical) - just as US credit market wobbles & USD flexes from the metal squeeze that can trigger a dollar FUNDING squeeze.\n\n👉🔥⚠️ I wrote about THIS exactly: \nhttps://t.co/L6g4a7j67d\n\nThis morning: Trump walks back tariffs on mining just in time? Or we enter that uncomfortable period where:\n\nMETAL WARS ARE CAPITAL WARS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It is going to be physical metals liquidity vs USD liquidity. Let’s see which runs out first.\n\nThey can print U.S. dollars but they cannot print physical #Gold and #Silver.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02455057964459484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02455057964459484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014257136341452203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014257136341452203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07177368014823882, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07177368014823882, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07175873726945559, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07175873726945559, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.08914492170799992, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08914492170799992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10991066448916842, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10991066448916842, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.01308708552693294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01308708552693294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003626753577315678, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003626753577315678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.797296511729864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.797296511729864, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.763056234272691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.763056234272691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.5530624551743777, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5530624551743777, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5126717621493284, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5126717621493284, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01308708552693294, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.003626753577315678, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003626753577315678, "price_path": [-0.2316, -0.2367, -0.2534, -0.2561, -0.255, -0.2651, -0.285, -0.2804, -0.2724, -0.2628, -0.2612, -0.2535, -0.2485, -0.2632, -0.2586, -0.2469, -0.257, -0.2587, -0.2576, -0.2711, -0.2624, -0.2561, -0.237, -0.2434, -0.2453, -0.2432, -0.2334, -0.2136, -0.2136, -0.1966, -0.1873, -0.1997, -0.1965, -0.1896, -0.2003, -0.1953, -0.1843, -0.1708, -0.1683, -0.1692, -0.1838, -0.1841, -0.1679, -0.1432, -0.1355, -0.1436, -0.1256, -0.0958, -0.0882, -0.0952, -0.0749, -0.1001, -0.0689, -0.0594, -0.0771, -0.0482, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0193, -0.0157, -0.0009, 0.0372, -0.0246, 0.0, -0.0718, -0.0716, -0.0516, -0.0536, -0.0891, -0.0781, -0.0665, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0632, -0.078, -0.0637, -0.065, -0.0607, -0.0184, -0.0098, 0.0433, 0.0382, -0.0103, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0064, -0.0171, -0.0244, -0.0161, -0.0036, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.1042, 0.1428, 0.1343, 0.1331, 0.1121, 0.1429, 0.1303, 0.177, 0.1811, 0.2506, 0.2004, 0.2312, 0.2265, 0.2957, 0.2636, 0.3076, 0.3284, 0.3788, 0.3895, 0.3895, 0.4962, 0.3665, 0.5136, 0.372, 0.372, 0.3802, 0.4899, 0.5753, 0.5089, 0.4616, 0.5431, 0.6552, 0.6799, 0.7776, 0.7973, 0.7233, 0.7233, 0.8429, 0.8038, 0.8775, 0.9743, 1.2512, 1.0643, 1.2127, 1.2308, 0.5315, 0.5019, 0.6245, 0.6465, 0.4971, 0.5011, 0.6054, 0.5692, 0.6384, 0.4778, 0.5229, 0.5229, 0.4368, 0.5162, 0.5173, 0.6096, 0.6926, 0.7109, 0.779, 0.7019, 0.8131, 0.727, 0.6222, 0.6165, 0.598, 0.6396, 0.6439, 0.7427, 0.6641, 0.6563, 0.5829, 0.5701, 0.5558, 0.5109, 0.387, 0.3568, 0.3508, 0.3552, 0.4155, 0.3238, 0.3605, 0.3757, 0.4611, 0.4841, 0.4229, 0.4229, 0.4214, 0.4051, 0.4715, 0.4921, 0.4931, 0.4774, 0.5531]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976700939949293675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T17:26:44+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold/metals as entrenched-inflation proxy on dedollarization/demand/supply; skeptical of BTC and oil; crack-up boom thesis, not secular bull.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Sunday Sermon last week:\n\n\"I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In conversation with @MacroEdgeRes, we discuss weakening labor data, sticky inflation &amp; dollar devaluation as backdrop to gold’s surge &amp; AI-fueled melt-ups, and how fiscal dominance &amp; credit cracks can turn this boom into a “recession at all-time highs.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZkBcChiCDF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009996755771073174, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009996755771073174, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03777541574315735, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03777541574315735, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02430104394061705, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02430104394061705, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008956925805448712, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008956925805448712, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "ret_p1w": 0.05383072003693323, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05383072003693323, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036419251533987174, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036419251533987174, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "ret_p1m": 0.025086719462827034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025086719462827034, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018434129846207403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018434129846207403, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "ret_p3m": 0.10866389358399986, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10866389358399986, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049557482385307106, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049557482385307106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "ret_p6m": 0.15856631868646098, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15856631868646098, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1437704908571562, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1437704908571562, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025086719462827034, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018434129846207403, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018434129846207403, "price_path": [-0.169, -0.1649, -0.1667, -0.1645, -0.1517, -0.1436, -0.1543, -0.1594, -0.1672, -0.1726, -0.1703, -0.1847, -0.1792, -0.1626, -0.1577, -0.157, -0.1588, -0.1517, -0.1519, -0.1641, -0.1649, -0.1623, -0.1676, -0.1671, -0.1684, -0.173, -0.1646, -0.1675, -0.1586, -0.1606, -0.1545, -0.1528, -0.1465, -0.1383, -0.1383, -0.1179, -0.111, -0.1149, -0.1031, -0.0929, -0.095, -0.0917, -0.0931, -0.0913, -0.0818, -0.08, -0.0871, -0.0908, -0.0811, -0.0652, -0.0614, -0.0699, -0.066, -0.0606, -0.0451, -0.037, -0.0355, -0.0388, -0.0311, -0.0128, -0.0077, 0.0086, -0.01, 0.0, 0.0243, 0.0316, 0.0495, 0.074, 0.0538, 0.0922, 0.022, 0.0221, 0.0262, 0.0228, -0.0057, -0.0128, -0.0166, 0.0027, -0.0027, -0.0009, -0.0184, -0.0071, -0.0083, -0.0022, 0.0251, 0.0291, 0.0457, 0.0373, 0.0185, 0.0069, 0.0142, 0.0158, 0.0155, 0.014, 0.03, 0.0297, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0508, 0.0559, 0.0491, 0.0481, 0.0488, 0.0469, 0.0442, 0.0495, 0.054, 0.0653, 0.0713, 0.0723, 0.0725, 0.0817, 0.0798, 0.081, 0.106, 0.1206, 0.116, 0.116, 0.129, 0.0799, 0.0807, 0.0737, 0.0737, 0.079, 0.1074, 0.1194, 0.1087, 0.1148, 0.1229, 0.1439, 0.1423, 0.1539, 0.1469, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.1845, 0.2018, 0.224, 0.2408, 0.2589, 0.2898, 0.3398, 0.3435, 0.2054, 0.1572, 0.2307, 0.2299, 0.1971, 0.2339, 0.2653, 0.2527, 0.2669, 0.2229, 0.2533, 0.2533, 0.2142, 0.2415, 0.245, 0.2696, 0.3039, 0.2858, 0.2826, 0.2936, 0.3105, 0.3275, 0.2683, 0.2782, 0.2628, 0.2828, 0.2802, 0.2946, 0.2902, 0.2648, 0.2485, 0.2474, 0.2442, 0.2049, 0.1552, 0.1199, 0.0946, 0.0948, 0.1278, 0.0854, 0.1235, 0.1232, 0.1657, 0.1861, 0.1633, 0.1633, 0.1586]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976700939949293675", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T17:26:44+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold/metals as entrenched-inflation proxy on dedollarization/demand/supply; skeptical of BTC and oil; crack-up boom thesis, not secular bull.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Sunday Sermon last week:\n\n\"I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In conversation with @MacroEdgeRes, we discuss weakening labor data, sticky inflation &amp; dollar devaluation as backdrop to gold’s surge &amp; AI-fueled melt-ups, and how fiscal dominance &amp; credit cracks can turn this boom into a “recession at all-time highs.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZkBcChiCDF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01584858498495534, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01584858498495534, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04362724495703951, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04362724495703951, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04028170821185162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04028170821185162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02493759007668328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493759007668328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "ret_p1w": 0.034338572811175805, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034338572811175805, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016927104308229746, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016927104308229746, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "ret_p1m": 0.007924292492477614, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007924292492477614, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035596556816556824, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035596556816556824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "ret_p3m": 0.5619634296235803, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5619634296235803, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5028570184248875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5028570184248875, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "ret_p6m": 0.4547654830273262, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4547654830273262, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.43996965519802145, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.43996965519802145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007924292492477614, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035596556816556824, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035596556816556824, "price_path": [-0.2459, -0.2426, -0.2373, -0.2382, -0.2219, -0.2137, -0.2144, -0.2188, -0.2371, -0.2375, -0.2371, -0.2624, -0.2666, -0.2606, -0.252, -0.2439, -0.2439, -0.2349, -0.2322, -0.2476, -0.2426, -0.2296, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.2395, -0.2545, -0.2421, -0.2382, -0.2221, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.2298, -0.2181, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.1823, -0.1781, -0.1871, -0.1809, -0.1743, -0.1816, -0.1765, -0.1682, -0.1561, -0.1468, -0.1503, -0.1682, -0.1638, -0.1407, -0.1186, -0.1204, -0.1235, -0.0969, -0.0786, -0.0645, -0.0674, -0.0555, -0.0638, -0.042, -0.0302, -0.0449, -0.0192, -0.0158, 0.0, 0.0403, 0.0302, 0.0638, 0.0823, 0.0343, 0.0504, -0.0361, -0.0341, -0.0275, -0.0317, -0.0667, -0.0601, -0.0484, -0.024, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0592, -0.0392, -0.0414, -0.0332, 0.0079, 0.0225, 0.0636, 0.0438, 0.0117, 0.0009, 0.0147, 0.0225, 0.0077, -0.0029, 0.0264, 0.0273, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.1272, 0.1561, 0.1695, 0.1682, 0.1393, 0.1655, 0.1602, 0.2144, 0.2342, 0.2683, 0.2349, 0.2791, 0.2707, 0.3264, 0.3057, 0.3412, 0.3751, 0.4273, 0.4356, 0.4356, 0.5655, 0.453, 0.5184, 0.418, 0.418, 0.4473, 0.5206, 0.6225, 0.562, 0.5344, 0.5932, 0.7, 0.7301, 0.8613, 0.834, 0.7834, 0.7834, 0.8796, 0.8481, 0.9179, 1.0451, 1.1646, 1.2362, 1.3245, 1.3238, 0.6606, 0.5945, 0.694, 0.7429, 0.468, 0.545, 0.6738, 0.6159, 0.6852, 0.4909, 0.5347, 0.5347, 0.4609, 0.5428, 0.5631, 0.6866, 0.7735, 0.7407, 0.7618, 0.7709, 0.8708, 0.7955, 0.6438, 0.6584, 0.6348, 0.6716, 0.7227, 0.7629, 0.7149, 0.6835, 0.6, 0.6117, 0.5774, 0.5122, 0.4457, 0.3542, 0.3751, 0.3856, 0.4354, 0.3377, 0.3964, 0.3982, 0.4999, 0.4999, 0.4482, 0.4482, 0.4548]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976700939949293675", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-10T17:26:44+00:00", "symbol": "Copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold/metals as entrenched-inflation proxy on dedollarization/demand/supply; skeptical of BTC and oil; crack-up boom thesis, not secular bull.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CPER United States Copper Index Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Sunday Sermon last week:\n\n\"I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In conversation with @MacroEdgeRes, we discuss weakening labor data, sticky inflation &amp; dollar devaluation as backdrop to gold’s surge &amp; AI-fueled melt-ups, and how fiscal dominance &amp; credit cracks can turn this boom into a “recession at all-time highs.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZkBcChiCDF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.046250399648448015, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046250399648448015, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01847173967636384, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01847173967636384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04360752146885627, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04360752146885627, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02826340333368793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02826340333368793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "ret_p1w": 0.01816977960829469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01816977960829469, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0007583111053486302, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0007583111053486302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "ret_p1m": 0.04426825676655066, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04426825676655066, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0007474074575162248, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0007474074575162248, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "ret_p3m": 0.18632306918918085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18632306918918085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1272166579904881, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1272166579904881, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "ret_p6m": 0.13313507493731325, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13313507493731325, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11833924710800847, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11833924710800847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04426825676655066, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0007474074575162248, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0007474074575162248, "price_path": [0.1335, 0.1292, 0.1282, 0.145, 0.1543, 0.1728, 0.1926, 0.1949, 0.184, 0.1493, 0.1563, -0.0671, -0.0932, -0.0892, -0.0842, -0.1011, -0.0928, -0.0922, -0.0826, -0.0852, -0.073, -0.0766, -0.0753, -0.0776, -0.0803, -0.0892, -0.0862, -0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0796, -0.0773, -0.0862, -0.0773, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0588, -0.0631, -0.0723, -0.077, -0.074, -0.0707, -0.0641, -0.0486, -0.0552, -0.041, -0.0436, -0.0611, -0.0638, -0.0558, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0188, -0.0251, -0.0297, 0.0007, -0.0089, -0.004, 0.0096, 0.0347, 0.0284, 0.034, 0.0367, 0.0463, 0.0, 0.0436, 0.0192, 0.0155, 0.0188, 0.0182, 0.0317, 0.0089, 0.0231, 0.0377, 0.0436, 0.0538, 0.0568, 0.0638, 0.0429, 0.0416, 0.0334, 0.0086, 0.0202, 0.0185, 0.0132, 0.0443, 0.0353, 0.0406, 0.0327, 0.0347, 0.0211, 0.0175, 0.0284, 0.0165, 0.0264, 0.0278, 0.0301, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0664, 0.0667, 0.0618, 0.0912, 0.0849, 0.1018, 0.0981, 0.0786, 0.0925, 0.1103, 0.0846, 0.0951, 0.0866, 0.0978, 0.0988, 0.11, 0.1143, 0.1282, 0.1298, 0.1298, 0.183, 0.1292, 0.1645, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1556, 0.2147, 0.2313, 0.1863, 0.1787, 0.1943, 0.2184, 0.2187, 0.2389, 0.2147, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.1797, 0.1787, 0.1781, 0.2065, 0.2071, 0.2085, 0.2151, 0.2788, 0.2035, 0.1853, 0.2382, 0.1989, 0.1642, 0.1972, 0.2147, 0.2002, 0.2157, 0.1731, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.1543, 0.1754, 0.1741, 0.1949, 0.1787, 0.1992, 0.2151, 0.2134, 0.2184, 0.2022, 0.1761, 0.1883, 0.1754, 0.1771, 0.186, 0.1919, 0.1933, 0.1751, 0.1503, 0.1791, 0.1632, 0.1117, 0.114, 0.0687, 0.1077, 0.1018, 0.1163, 0.1011, 0.1051, 0.1097, 0.1374, 0.1345, 0.1354, 0.1354, 0.1331]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1966560691319418973", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-12T17:53:00+00:00", "symbol": "AGI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I rec'd $WPM $AEM $AGI to clients as swing longs in April 2024 and they haven't done anything wrong to remove them", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding WPM, AEM, AGI as swing longs; no reason to remove them.", "resolved_tickers": ["AGI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I rec’d $WPM $AEM $AGI to clients as swing longs in April 2024 and they haven’t done anything wrong to remove them. We talked about this on your show a year ago!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0018202880707927083, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018202880707927083, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021552182676976006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011964284807532977, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010143996736740268, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014259850992907053, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014259850992907053, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00893588769479825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022331387426337113, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00807153643343006, "ret_p1w": -0.018810571169888823, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018810571169888823, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0311775495306571, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00953920262684782, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009271368543041003, "ret_p1m": 0.05400501066299612, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05400501066299612, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04264479417493083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08706889883151858, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03306388816852246, "ret_p3m": 0.12833738325007937, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12833738325007937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07956054494983511, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15866140292148423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030324019671404856, "ret_p6m": 0.5521845486350101, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5521845486350101, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.514536254253896, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45082097949874744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10136356913626265, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05400501066299612, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04264479417493083, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08706889883151858, "price_path": [-0.186, -0.1899, -0.1899, -0.1975, -0.1887, -0.2157, -0.2078, -0.2069, -0.2236, -0.1942, -0.1936, -0.1817, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.159, -0.2081, -0.1975, -0.2078, -0.1924, -0.1948, -0.2018, -0.2127, -0.23, -0.2448, -0.2197, -0.1996, -0.2045, -0.2197, -0.2151, -0.2315, -0.2209, -0.2303, -0.2627, -0.2454, -0.2239, -0.2042, -0.1987, -0.1996, -0.2057, -0.2075, -0.2127, -0.2224, -0.2294, -0.2115, -0.2069, -0.2184, -0.1957, -0.1572, -0.1383, -0.1387, -0.111, -0.0983, -0.1004, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.0294, -0.0264, -0.0428, -0.0234, -0.0061, -0.0133, 0.0049, -0.0018, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.041, -0.0482, -0.0552, -0.0188, 0.0103, 0.0252, 0.0118, 0.0106, 0.037, 0.051, 0.0576, 0.0646, 0.044, 0.0319, 0.054, 0.0173, 0.0391, -0.0061, 0.0027, 0.054, 0.0334, 0.0931, 0.1368, 0.0473, 0.0686, -0.0373, -0.0337, -0.0334, -0.0428, -0.0734, -0.0431, -0.0331, -0.0583, -0.0658, -0.051, -0.0895, -0.0598, -0.0765, -0.0598, -0.0137, -0.0088, 0.0212, 0.0152, 0.0118, 0.0033, 0.0261, 0.0282, -0.0209, -0.01, 0.0434, 0.0501, 0.1156, 0.1156, 0.1377, 0.1229, 0.0977, 0.0865, 0.095, 0.0947, 0.0758, 0.1098, 0.1283, 0.1666, 0.1678, 0.1383, 0.1326, 0.142, 0.1438, 0.1675, 0.2285, 0.2333, 0.2242, 0.2242, 0.237, 0.1796, 0.1866, 0.1705, 0.1705, 0.1654, 0.1917, 0.2318, 0.2482, 0.2627, 0.2685, 0.2913, 0.2976, 0.3043, 0.2227, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.2391, 0.2184, 0.2797, 0.3174, 0.2937, 0.324, 0.348, 0.2779, 0.1195, 0.1174, 0.1617, 0.2282, 0.1429, 0.2188, 0.3304, 0.3708, 0.4032, 0.28, 0.3729, 0.3729, 0.314, 0.3271, 0.3914, 0.4515, 0.5079, 0.534, 0.5176, 0.5913, 0.6441, 0.6787, 0.5853, 0.5765, 0.4982, 0.5137, 0.5522]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963630525219819633", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T15:49:34+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It is however very good for Gold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trade balance deterioration is bullish for Gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Andrea_Texas_82 @GraphCall nice share Andrea on trade balance going the wrong way. It is however very good for Gold.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Samantha, nobody is talking about the lousy balance of trade statistics that have just been released!\n\nhttps://t.co/u2gOz1pWep", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Andrea_Lisi_CFA", "ret_m1d": 0.007684082665474934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007684082665474934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01597213761406524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01597213761406524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288054948590307, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008288054948590307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01329292211977151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01329292211977151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016189116225621025, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016189116225621025, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028961941058495144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028961941058495144, "ret_p1w": 0.01993938317965749, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01993938317965749, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006829123214293187, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006829123214293187, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013110259965364301, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013110259965364301, "ret_p1m": 0.0883392214051717, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0883392214051717, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05453121291129159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05453121291129159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033808008493880104, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033808008493880104, "ret_p3m": 0.17409839035482277, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17409839035482277, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12125834423475701, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12125834423475701, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052840046120065765, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052840046120065765, "ret_p6m": 0.4668517382849233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4668517382849233, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4039904270421686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4039904270421686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06286131124275474, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06286131124275474, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0883392214051717, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05453121291129159, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05453121291129159, "price_path": [-0.0655, -0.0687, -0.0686, -0.0519, -0.0377, -0.0475, -0.0503, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0554, -0.0528, -0.0697, -0.0669, -0.0651, -0.0819, -0.0761, -0.0642, -0.0611, -0.0657, -0.0654, -0.0655, -0.0726, -0.0713, -0.0697, -0.0588, -0.0601, -0.0662, -0.0598, -0.0633, -0.0597, -0.046, -0.0355, -0.0482, -0.0546, -0.065, -0.072, -0.068, -0.0757, -0.0764, -0.0612, -0.0537, -0.0516, -0.0521, -0.0464, -0.0355, -0.0596, -0.0608, -0.0581, -0.0647, -0.0644, -0.0657, -0.0708, -0.0624, -0.0642, -0.0537, -0.0538, -0.0497, -0.0452, -0.0376, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.0046, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.0133, 0.0203, 0.0217, 0.0218, 0.0199, 0.0234, 0.0326, 0.0345, 0.0325, 0.0218, 0.0296, 0.049, 0.0602, 0.0466, 0.048, 0.0588, 0.0715, 0.0771, 0.0846, 0.0768, 0.0883, 0.1073, 0.1152, 0.1339, 0.1067, 0.115, 0.1522, 0.1607, 0.1714, 0.2003, 0.175, 0.2161, 0.1464, 0.1342, 0.157, 0.155, 0.1223, 0.1123, 0.1172, 0.1221, 0.1168, 0.1219, 0.1071, 0.1162, 0.1161, 0.1216, 0.1531, 0.1517, 0.1791, 0.1742, 0.1463, 0.1409, 0.139, 0.1436, 0.1376, 0.1433, 0.1475, 0.1608, 0.1681, 0.1681, 0.183, 0.1889, 0.1741, 0.1777, 0.1812, 0.1815, 0.1743, 0.1797, 0.1768, 0.2018, 0.2059, 0.2078, 0.2072, 0.2192, 0.217, 0.2231, 0.2465, 0.2572, 0.2565, 0.2565, 0.2701, 0.2129, 0.2256, 0.2131, 0.2131, 0.2099, 0.2443, 0.257, 0.2478, 0.2479, 0.2593, 0.2912, 0.287, 0.2974, 0.2946, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.3348, 0.355, 0.3766, 0.3955, 0.4246, 0.4246, 0.4868, 0.4915, 0.322, 0.2963, 0.3752, 0.3799, 0.3633, 0.3885, 0.4165, 0.4033, 0.4223, 0.3808, 0.4084, 0.4084, 0.3694, 0.3984, 0.3955, 0.4188, 0.4596, 0.4459, 0.4601, 0.4517, 0.4669]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1977848771837919681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T21:27:48+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is great from physical metals. Not so much paper. Esp if #SilverThursday starts to trend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish physical silver on 360:1 paper-to-physical ratio squeeze thesis; bearish on paper silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, that's a chart:\nRatio of paper silver to physical silver: 360:1\n\nUnderstanding the Current Silver Squeeze\nh/t @TheBubbleBubble \n\nhttps://t.co/ju17jN4aXU\n\nBTW, this is great from physical metals. Not so much paper. Esp if #SilverThursday starts to trend. https://t.co/iUiqUmzJln", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003656996281818703, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003656996281818703, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004880136814551239, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004880136814551239, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015085318161481842, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015085318161481842, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010645788251876454, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010645788251876454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "ret_p1w": -0.05692249592536136, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05692249592536136, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07060351143123711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07060351143123711, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "ret_p1m": 0.05998333676156209, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05998333676156209, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02804572677927819, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02804572677927819, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319376099822839, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319376099822839, "ret_p3m": 0.5678340815161258, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5678340815161258, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5166571456234841, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5166571456234841, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "ret_p6m": 0.49509083466538906, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49509083466538906, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46846982497319445, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.46846982497319445, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05998333676156209, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02804572677927819, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02804572677927819, "price_path": [-0.2436, -0.2403, -0.2229, -0.2185, -0.2193, -0.2245, -0.2414, -0.2442, -0.2431, -0.2534, -0.2735, -0.2689, -0.2608, -0.251, -0.2494, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.2515, -0.2468, -0.2348, -0.2451, -0.2468, -0.2457, -0.2594, -0.2506, -0.2442, -0.2248, -0.2313, -0.2332, -0.231, -0.2211, -0.201, -0.201, -0.1837, -0.1743, -0.1869, -0.1836, -0.1767, -0.1875, -0.1825, -0.1713, -0.1576, -0.155, -0.1559, -0.1708, -0.1711, -0.1546, -0.1295, -0.1217, -0.1299, -0.1116, -0.0813, -0.0736, -0.0807, -0.0601, -0.0857, -0.054, -0.0444, -0.0623, -0.033, -0.0688, -0.0671, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0151, 0.0538, -0.0089, 0.016, -0.0569, -0.0567, -0.0364, -0.0385, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0515, -0.0375, -0.0461, -0.0482, -0.0633, -0.0487, -0.0501, -0.0457, -0.0027, 0.006, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0055, 0.0062, 0.0027, 0.0095, -0.0013, -0.0088, -0.0004, 0.0123, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.1219, 0.1611, 0.1524, 0.1512, 0.1298, 0.1611, 0.1484, 0.1959, 0.2, 0.2706, 0.2196, 0.2509, 0.2462, 0.3165, 0.2838, 0.3286, 0.3496, 0.4009, 0.4118, 0.4118, 0.5202, 0.3884, 0.5378, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4023, 0.5138, 0.6005, 0.5331, 0.485, 0.5678, 0.6816, 0.7068, 0.806, 0.8261, 0.7508, 0.7508, 0.8724, 0.8327, 0.9075, 1.0059, 1.2872, 1.0973, 1.2481, 1.2665, 0.556, 0.526, 0.6505, 0.6728, 0.521, 0.5251, 0.6311, 0.5943, 0.6646, 0.5015, 0.5473, 0.5473, 0.4598, 0.5405, 0.5416, 0.6354, 0.7197, 0.7382, 0.8074, 0.7291, 0.8421, 0.7547, 0.6481, 0.6423, 0.6235, 0.6659, 0.6702, 0.7705, 0.6907, 0.6828, 0.6082, 0.5952, 0.5807, 0.5351, 0.4092, 0.3785, 0.3724, 0.3768, 0.4382, 0.345, 0.3822, 0.3977, 0.4845, 0.5079, 0.4456, 0.4456, 0.4442, 0.4276, 0.4951]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1979977358699348007", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T18:26:03+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold's Perfect Storm Is Here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold on fiscal dominance, de-dollarization, debasement, inflation, and CB demand; Bitcoin fails as a macro hedge.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gold’s Perfect Storm Is Here\n$GLD $BTCUSD $DXY\n\nGold’s breakout is a macro story driven by fiscal dominance, de-dollarization, debasement, inflation and global central bank demand — and why Bitcoin isn’t the hedge many think.\n\nhttps://t.co/1jrEaA5pds", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "price_path": [-0.2256, -0.2304, -0.2375, -0.2424, -0.2404, -0.2535, -0.2485, -0.2333, -0.2288, -0.2282, -0.2298, -0.2233, -0.2235, -0.2347, -0.2353, -0.233, -0.2379, -0.2374, -0.2386, -0.2428, -0.2351, -0.2378, -0.2296, -0.2315, -0.2259, -0.2243, -0.2186, -0.211, -0.211, -0.1924, -0.1861, -0.1897, -0.1788, -0.1695, -0.1714, -0.1684, -0.1696, -0.168, -0.1593, -0.1577, -0.1642, -0.1675, -0.1587, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.1484, -0.1449, -0.1399, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.1169, -0.12, -0.1129, -0.0962, -0.0915, -0.0765, -0.0936, -0.0844, -0.0622, -0.0555, -0.0391, -0.0166, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0643, -0.0642, -0.0604, -0.0636, -0.0896, -0.0962, -0.0996, -0.0819, -0.0869, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0909, -0.092, -0.0864, -0.0614, -0.0577, -0.0426, -0.0503, -0.0674, -0.0781, -0.0714, -0.0699, -0.0702, -0.0716, -0.0569, -0.0572, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.0379, -0.0332, -0.0395, -0.0404, -0.0397, -0.0414, -0.044, -0.0391, -0.035, -0.0246, -0.0191, -0.0182, -0.018, -0.0096, -0.0114, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.026, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0337, -0.0113, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0121, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0151, 0.0207, 0.0281, 0.0473, 0.0458, 0.0565, 0.0501, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0845, 0.1003, 0.1206, 0.1361, 0.1527, 0.181, 0.2267, 0.2301, 0.1037, 0.0595, 0.1269, 0.1261, 0.0961, 0.1298, 0.1585, 0.147, 0.1599, 0.1197, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1117, 0.1367, 0.1399, 0.1624, 0.1938, 0.1773, 0.1743, 0.1844, 0.1999, 0.2154, 0.1612, 0.1703, 0.1562, 0.1745, 0.1721, 0.1853, 0.1813, 0.1581, 0.1431, 0.1421, 0.1392, 0.1032, 0.0577, 0.0254, 0.0022, 0.0024, 0.0326, -0.0062, 0.0286, 0.0284, 0.0673, 0.086, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0608, 0.0711, 0.0778, 0.0862, 0.0843, 0.0799, 0.104]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1952848361218031770", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-05T21:45:06+00:00", "symbol": "NEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long and strong. I review rec'd swing long $NEM & miners daily for clients", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds and recommends long NEM and gold/silver miners; trend longs continuing to shine.", "resolved_tickers": ["NEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Andrea_Texas_82 @TheBubbleBubble long and strong. I review rec'd swing long $NEM &amp; miners daily for clients. Gold &amp; Silver trend longs continue to shine.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚀 What an incredible year for $NEM shareholders – smashing 75% returns! 📈💰\n\nMining’s that underrated sector with skimpy analyst coverage, hiding epic bargains just waiting to be unearthed. 💎 @TheBubbleBubble @SamanthaLaDuc, what’s your take on gold miners like Newmont right https://t.co/AuSeNPxee9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Andrea_Lisi_CFA", "ret_m1d": -0.010011860931037675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010011860931037675, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024104249048496618, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020979525684080902, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007601436026188013, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010967664753043227, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016931569875051622, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016931569875051622, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017769206306706753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012590128893316566, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000837636431655131, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004341440981735056, "ret_p1w": 0.009422787700232638, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009422787700232638, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009714995837114992, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02999227961111295, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01913778353734763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039415067311345586, "ret_p1m": 0.10613989359673193, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10613989359673193, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08031740269282572, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06284043028195252, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025822490903906203, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04329946331477941, "ret_p3m": 0.2057043949017976, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2057043949017976, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1228091083304681, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22839333136281936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0828952865713295, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02268893646102177, "ret_p6m": 0.8804809126196311, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8804809126196311, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7773792684765326, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7266683449172464, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310164414309853, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15381256770238472, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10613989359673193, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08031740269282572, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06284043028195252, "price_path": [-0.2089, -0.2558, -0.2662, -0.2869, -0.2696, -0.2658, -0.2536, -0.2336, -0.2286, -0.2284, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2239, -0.2219, -0.2267, -0.2238, -0.1817, -0.1852, -0.1861, -0.1974, -0.2291, -0.2155, -0.2261, -0.2151, -0.1767, -0.1475, -0.1443, -0.1384, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1447, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.1643, -0.1422, -0.1338, -0.1157, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.1143, -0.1518, -0.135, -0.1198, -0.1147, -0.1045, -0.1556, -0.1394, -0.1462, -0.1433, -0.1187, -0.0916, -0.0957, -0.0944, -0.0319, -0.0627, -0.0579, -0.0826, -0.0857, -0.0785, -0.0368, -0.01, 0.0, 0.0169, 0.0156, 0.014, 0.0149, 0.0094, 0.0082, 0.0208, 0.0159, -0.008, 0.0159, 0.0319, 0.042, 0.0468, 0.0664, 0.0658, 0.0744, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.1169, 0.1104, 0.1061, 0.1252, 0.119, 0.1215, 0.1586, 0.1766, 0.1707, 0.1723, 0.1673, 0.1624, 0.157, 0.2072, 0.2367, 0.2508, 0.233, 0.236, 0.2593, 0.2488, 0.2454, 0.2697, 0.2768, 0.2831, 0.3075, 0.2844, 0.3059, 0.2587, 0.2577, 0.3206, 0.3375, 0.3824, 0.4517, 0.3409, 0.4017, 0.2751, 0.2853, 0.3134, 0.2316, 0.1615, 0.172, 0.1769, 0.2159, 0.1961, 0.2057, 0.1655, 0.2059, 0.2191, 0.2319, 0.3038, 0.3288, 0.3748, 0.3254, 0.297, 0.2865, 0.2793, 0.2927, 0.2113, 0.2333, 0.2782, 0.2744, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.3442, 0.3605, 0.3405, 0.3282, 0.344, 0.3298, 0.3185, 0.394, 0.3985, 0.4729, 0.454, 0.4769, 0.4523, 0.4734, 0.4717, 0.5006, 0.5538, 0.5593, 0.5516, 0.5516, 0.5671, 0.4787, 0.5091, 0.4793, 0.4793, 0.4996, 0.5338, 0.6178, 0.6002, 0.5836, 0.6147, 0.6735, 0.6983, 0.6911, 0.692, 0.6907, 0.6907, 0.7621, 0.7617, 0.8028, 0.8417, 0.8655, 0.8815, 0.9549, 0.8805]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975643000735682587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T19:22:51+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bonds to rise", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shutdown-driven unemployment spike pulls recession risk forward: bearish gold, bullish bonds, with AI animal spirits driving recession-into-ATH paradox.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If true, the only reason for Gold to fall and Bonds to rise.\n\nFor furloughs that turn into firings and a big unemployment spike that triggers “recession risk pulled forward” (by EOY) while AI keeps the animal spirits chasing so we also get…\n\nRECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "President Trump on Government Shutdown\n\n“Because of the shutdown, which I think they made a big mistake, we’re able to take out billions and billions of dollars of waste, fraud, and abuse. \n\nAnd they’ve handed it, you know, on a silver platter.”\n\nReporter: “How many permanent https://t.co/pMRbzuesCX", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005718627621034034, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005718627621034034, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009439938321460173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009439938321460173, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721310700426139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721310700426139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007849528781487258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007849528781487258, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005178102391422579, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005178102391422579, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963055269571305, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963055269571305, "ret_p1w": 0.018838428387901063, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018838428387901063, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029135517026301017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029135517026301017, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010297088638399954, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010297088638399954, "ret_p1m": 0.00113670977649738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00113670977649738, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01150678845606179, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01150678845606179, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01264349823255917, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01264349823255917, "ret_p3m": -0.013260291996124773, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013260291996124773, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.037274937006022024, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.037274937006022024, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401464500989725, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401464500989725, "ret_p6m": -0.011049185679695483, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011049185679695483, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004118597505877397, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004118597505877397, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01516778318557288, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01516778318557288, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00113670977649738, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01150678845606179, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01150678845606179, "price_path": [-0.0353, -0.0486, -0.0506, -0.0573, -0.0559, -0.0562, -0.0547, -0.0463, -0.0405, -0.0458, -0.0475, -0.0415, -0.0477, -0.0317, -0.0366, -0.0361, -0.0224, -0.0197, -0.0167, -0.0224, -0.0241, -0.0283, -0.0272, -0.0321, -0.0241, -0.0313, -0.0382, -0.041, -0.0354, -0.0333, -0.0381, -0.031, -0.0337, -0.0343, -0.0354, -0.0291, -0.036, -0.036, -0.0431, -0.0326, -0.0253, -0.0104, 0.0028, -0.0029, 0.0028, 0.0095, 0.0051, 0.0075, 0.0096, 0.007, -0.0034, -0.0053, -0.0088, -0.0019, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0066, 0.0016, -0.0013, 0.0012, 0.0041, 0.0022, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0156, 0.0188, 0.0166, 0.0242, 0.0227, 0.0266, 0.0316, 0.0323, 0.0252, 0.0257, 0.0292, 0.0318, 0.0214, 0.0155, 0.0124, 0.0099, 0.0122, 0.0011, 0.0101, 0.008, 0.0078, 0.0124, 0.0142, 0.0059, 0.0001, 0.0026, 0.0023, 0.0002, 0.0042, 0.0072, 0.013, 0.0155, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0152, 0.0026, 0.003, 0.0058, 0.0004, -0.0042, -0.0075, -0.0065, -0.0026, -0.004, -0.0136, -0.0129, -0.0075, -0.0084, -0.0036, -0.0074, -0.0095, -0.0079, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0052, -0.0015, -0.0038, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0133, -0.0084, -0.0104, -0.0046, -0.0096, -0.0031, -0.006, -0.0043, 0.0015, 0.0013, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0176, -0.0101, -0.0058, -0.0031, 0.0017, -0.0045, -0.0068, -0.0066, -0.0121, -0.0149, -0.0126, -0.0151, -0.0044, -0.0037, -0.0039, 0.0076, 0.0022, 0.0156, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0228, 0.019, 0.02, 0.0176, 0.0214, 0.0232, 0.0233, 0.0274, 0.0336, 0.0233, 0.0212, 0.018, 0.0139, 0.0101, 0.0189, 0.0081, -0.0049, -0.0069, -0.0118, -0.0041, -0.0014, -0.007, -0.0009, -0.0199, -0.0135, -0.0178, -0.0084, -0.0167, -0.0221, -0.009, -0.0101, -0.011]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1932424334376587774", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-10T13:07:18+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSFT as biggest tell and why. Plus updates on my swing long themes that are working across the board", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "MSFT cited as key bullish tell; swing long themes working across the board.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "6/6 & 6/9 /2025 Live Trading Room Market Recap & Trades\n\n\"While so many are expecting a melt-up, I present a few names that have already melted up - stalking for chase shorts.\n\nAnd a few that still are… MSFT as biggest tell and why.\n\nPlus updates on my swing long themes that are working across the board!!!\"\n\nhttps://t.co/Iy8EDLGufW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003885993355336792, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003885993355336792, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009523849319785893, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009523849319785893, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005637855964449101, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005637855964449101, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003609943465949339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003609943465949339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0064622260771549644, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0064622260771549644, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028522826112056254, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028522826112056254, "ret_p1w": 0.015119316457100185, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015119316457100185, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024322115167045744, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024322115167045744, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009202798709945559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009202798709945559, "ret_p1m": 0.06920497566534656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06920497566534656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.031357734734598575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.031357734734598575, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03784724093074798, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03784724093074798, "ret_p3m": 0.052861855451106665, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.052861855451106665, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.023534920952289262, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023534920952289262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07639677640339593, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07639677640339593, "ret_p6m": 0.018030512723149927, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.018030512723149927, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12247057643377324, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12247057643377324, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14050108915692316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14050108915692316, "ret_p1y": -0.08604310441289853, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08604310441289853, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3516303126561101, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3516303126561101, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655872082432116, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655872082432116, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06920497566534656, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.031357734734598575, "alpha_c_stated": 0.031357734734598575, "price_path": [-0.1972, -0.1764, -0.1761, -0.1871, -0.178, -0.18, -0.1707, -0.1668, -0.1624, -0.1734, -0.1721, -0.1971, -0.2043, -0.1899, -0.19, -0.2092, -0.2373, -0.2415, -0.2485, -0.1723, -0.1917, -0.1766, -0.178, -0.1824, -0.2123, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.2388, -0.2225, -0.2064, -0.1791, -0.1694, -0.1709, -0.1648, -0.1622, -0.0983, -0.0774, -0.0755, -0.0816, -0.0815, -0.0712, -0.0701, -0.0477, -0.048, -0.0399, -0.0378, -0.0354, -0.0256, -0.0271, -0.039, -0.0341, -0.044, -0.044, -0.0217, -0.0288, -0.026, -0.0224, -0.019, -0.0169, -0.015, -0.0069, -0.0011, 0.0039, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0169, 0.0086, 0.0175, 0.0151, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0138, 0.032, 0.0407, 0.0453, 0.0563, 0.0531, 0.0563, 0.0449, 0.0428, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0569, 0.0546, 0.0692, 0.0649, 0.0688, 0.0682, 0.0741, 0.0737, 0.0866, 0.0831, 0.0831, 0.0729, 0.0742, 0.0849, 0.0909, 0.0883, 0.0884, 0.0899, 0.1329, 0.1129, 0.1374, 0.1207, 0.1147, 0.106, 0.1086, 0.108, 0.1238, 0.1055, 0.1095, 0.1046, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0739, 0.0725, 0.0789, 0.0726, 0.0678, 0.0778, 0.084, 0.0777, 0.0777, 0.0744, 0.0749, 0.0804, 0.0529, 0.0597, 0.0601, 0.0643, 0.0656, 0.0846, 0.0962, 0.0827, 0.0848, 0.0815, 0.1016, 0.0942, 0.0831, 0.0851, 0.0784, 0.0879, 0.0946, 0.1017, 0.1054, 0.097, 0.1004, 0.1243, 0.1145, 0.1164, 0.1111, 0.0868, 0.0934, 0.0924, 0.0921, 0.0882, 0.0924, 0.0992, 0.1011, 0.1072, 0.1072, 0.1137, 0.1305, 0.153, 0.1519, 0.1183, 0.1014, 0.0997, 0.094, 0.0787, 0.0573, 0.0567, 0.0763, 0.082, 0.0872, 0.0705, 0.0851, 0.0794, 0.0503, 0.0361, 0.0195, 0.0061, 0.0101, 0.0165, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0485, 0.0372, 0.0442, 0.018]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1980318288333926582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T17:00:47+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why Gold, Not Bitcoin, Is The Real Hedge", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold as the real macro hedge driven by structural China-led shift; bearish Bitcoin as Western hype.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why Gold, Not Bitcoin, Is The Real Hedge\n$GLD $BTCUSD $DXY\n\nGold’s outperformance over stocks and Bitcoin past 3 years isn’t a fluke. It’s the result of a structural macro shift driven by China, while Western crypto hype only delays the dollar’s decline. https://t.co/0sUp0kAWt2\n\n---\n\nFull interview can be found on our YouTube channel:\nhttps://t.co/1jrEaA5X30", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "price_path": [-0.2256, -0.2304, -0.2375, -0.2424, -0.2404, -0.2535, -0.2485, -0.2333, -0.2288, -0.2282, -0.2298, -0.2233, -0.2235, -0.2347, -0.2353, -0.233, -0.2379, -0.2374, -0.2386, -0.2428, -0.2351, -0.2378, -0.2296, -0.2315, -0.2259, -0.2243, -0.2186, -0.211, -0.211, -0.1924, -0.1861, -0.1897, -0.1788, -0.1695, -0.1714, -0.1684, -0.1696, -0.168, -0.1593, -0.1577, -0.1642, -0.1675, -0.1587, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.1484, -0.1449, -0.1399, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.1169, -0.12, -0.1129, -0.0962, -0.0915, -0.0765, -0.0936, -0.0844, -0.0622, -0.0555, -0.0391, -0.0166, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0643, -0.0642, -0.0604, -0.0636, -0.0896, -0.0962, -0.0996, -0.0819, -0.0869, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0909, -0.092, -0.0864, -0.0614, -0.0577, -0.0426, -0.0503, -0.0674, -0.0781, -0.0714, -0.0699, -0.0702, -0.0716, -0.0569, -0.0572, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.0379, -0.0332, -0.0395, -0.0404, -0.0397, -0.0414, -0.044, -0.0391, -0.035, -0.0246, -0.0191, -0.0182, -0.018, -0.0096, -0.0114, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.026, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0337, -0.0113, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0121, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0151, 0.0207, 0.0281, 0.0473, 0.0458, 0.0565, 0.0501, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0845, 0.1003, 0.1206, 0.1361, 0.1527, 0.181, 0.2267, 0.2301, 0.1037, 0.0595, 0.1269, 0.1261, 0.0961, 0.1298, 0.1585, 0.147, 0.1599, 0.1197, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1117, 0.1367, 0.1399, 0.1624, 0.1938, 0.1773, 0.1743, 0.1844, 0.1999, 0.2154, 0.1612, 0.1703, 0.1562, 0.1745, 0.1721, 0.1853, 0.1813, 0.1581, 0.1431, 0.1421, 0.1392, 0.1032, 0.0577, 0.0254, 0.0022, 0.0024, 0.0326, -0.0062, 0.0286, 0.0284, 0.0673, 0.086, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0608, 0.0711, 0.0778, 0.0862, 0.0843, 0.0799, 0.104]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962974399965102496", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T20:22:21+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's gonna help $QQQ fill that gap down at 568.54 after tagging my $559 short price target given to clients/live last Wed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects QQQ to fill the gap at 568.54 after hitting the 559 short target; implied near-term upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL Judge in antitrust case rules that Google will have to share information with competitors in online search but won't have to sell Chrome division.\n\nThat's gonna help $QQQ fill that gap down at 568.54 after tagging my $559 short price target given to clients/live last Wed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007805943039548513, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007805943039548513, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002415514687908571, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002415514687908571, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390428351639942, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005390428351639942, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009051446492677417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009051446492677417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006941256093833115, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006941256093833115, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357320883294106, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008357320883294106, "ret_p1w": 0.01864687387230357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01864687387230357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005489454670970728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005489454670970728, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157419201332843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013157419201332843, "ret_p1m": 0.0637854664899391, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0637854664899391, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02132225450978642, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02132225450978642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246321198015268, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04246321198015268, "ret_p3m": 0.08387643660065036, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08387643660065036, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024200186321806205, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.024200186321806205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059676250278844156, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059676250278844156, "ret_p6m": 0.07132833856717036, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07132833856717036, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.005586929133311935, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.005586929133311935, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691526770048229, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07691526770048229, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01864687387230357, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005489454670970728, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005489454670970728, "price_path": [-0.0715, -0.0701, -0.064, -0.0671, -0.0649, -0.0767, -0.0638, -0.0729, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0769, -0.0674, -0.0531, -0.0507, -0.0418, -0.0386, -0.0323, -0.0405, -0.0338, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0316, -0.0311, -0.0242, -0.0256, -0.0278, -0.0243, -0.0234, -0.0224, -0.0145, -0.0155, -0.0103, -0.0155, -0.011, -0.0089, -0.0065, -0.0034, -0.0049, -0.0036, -0.0089, -0.0284, -0.0105, -0.0172, -0.0048, -0.0015, 0.0079, 0.0049, 0.0175, 0.018, 0.0172, 0.0128, 0.0123, -0.0014, -0.0073, -0.0119, 0.0033, 0.0004, 0.0045, 0.006, 0.0123, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0105, 0.0154, 0.0183, 0.0186, 0.0246, 0.0291, 0.0379, 0.037, 0.035, 0.0443, 0.0514, 0.0576, 0.0506, 0.0469, 0.0424, 0.0466, 0.0515, 0.0544, 0.0594, 0.0638, 0.0593, 0.0673, 0.0616, 0.0738, 0.0725, 0.0353, 0.0573, 0.0502, 0.0576, 0.0537, 0.0606, 0.074, 0.0737, 0.0634, 0.0723, 0.0838, 0.1031, 0.1115, 0.1165, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.1101, 0.0875, 0.0946, 0.0742, 0.0708, 0.0945, 0.0916, 0.0907, 0.0685, 0.0693, 0.0602, 0.0472, 0.0535, 0.0286, 0.0363, 0.0628, 0.0693, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0875, 0.0839, 0.0924, 0.095, 0.094, 0.0985, 0.0964, 0.0977, 0.1022, 0.0986, 0.0776, 0.0722, 0.0744, 0.0544, 0.0697, 0.0837, 0.0889, 0.094, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0971, 0.0918, 0.0892, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0782, 0.0867, 0.0963, 0.0973, 0.0911, 0.1019, 0.1029, 0.1012, 0.0895, 0.0934, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.0693, 0.0837, 0.0916, 0.095, 0.0999, 0.1098, 0.1135, 0.1068, 0.0935, 0.101, 0.0841, 0.0652, 0.0499, 0.072, 0.0803, 0.0752, 0.0781, 0.0562, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0574, 0.0653, 0.0612, 0.0706, 0.0576, 0.0689, 0.0844, 0.0713]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013363054896929905, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013363054896929905, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009789689949406988, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008438602376382165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00492445252054774, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013362965291379814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013362965291379814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017070479180697595, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011796082215077996, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015668830763018171, "ret_p1w": 0.08017815017047902, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08017815017047902, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09293851846796863, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11341822635374355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03324007618326452, "ret_p1m": 0.13644353600346526, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13644353600346526, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.131038634820563, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1606181053446506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024174569341185337, "ret_p3m": 0.07452977471462208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07452977471462208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.056178309435236384, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06521532788276918, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009314446831852896, "ret_p6m": 0.27560041766939003, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27560041766939003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30175689562924124, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1163607969254623, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39196121459485234, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13644353600346526, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.131038634820563, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1606181053446506, "price_path": [-0.1613, -0.1699, -0.1478, -0.1192, -0.1115, -0.1069, -0.0867, -0.0743, -0.0965, -0.0869, -0.0722, -0.0632, -0.0669, -0.0723, -0.0776, -0.0886, -0.1217, -0.1451, -0.1178, -0.1257, -0.1027, -0.1048, -0.0983, -0.0896, -0.0806, -0.1138, -0.1144, -0.1138, -0.0995, -0.1347, -0.174, -0.1627, -0.1219, -0.1212, -0.1032, -0.1176, -0.0783, -0.0928, -0.0928, -0.1159, -0.0954, -0.1055, -0.1109, -0.0946, -0.0928, -0.0685, -0.0635, -0.0844, 0.0118, -0.0595, -0.041, -0.0316, 0.0102, 0.0117, 0.0185, -0.026, 0.0041, 0.0032, -0.01, -0.017, -0.0213, -0.013, -0.0134, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0105, 0.0166, 0.0157, 0.0802, 0.0924, 0.0955, 0.0682, 0.015, 0.0069, -0.0298, -0.0207, 0.0116, 0.0331, 0.0154, 0.2532, 0.2504, 0.2275, 0.1981, 0.1822, 0.1364, 0.1164, 0.0578, 0.0815, 0.1047, 0.0845, 0.0851, 0.0079, -0.0064, -0.0267, -0.0236, 0.0109, -0.039, -0.0688, -0.0231, 0.0239, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0375, 0.028, 0.0362, 0.0506, 0.1051, 0.0719, 0.0676, 0.0965, 0.1012, 0.1244, 0.0745, 0.0544, 0.0224, -0.0035, 0.0286, 0.0569, 0.0771, 0.0971, 0.0963, 0.0963, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.0731, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.1576, 0.1765, 0.199, 0.2208, 0.2421, 0.2633, 0.2895, 0.2792, 0.3012, 0.3253, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.36, 0.4367, 0.4313, 0.4568, 0.4242, 0.4795, 0.5749, 0.5699, 0.4492, 0.4118, 0.4816, 0.3485, 0.2835, 0.3346, 0.4174, 0.3869, 0.3997, 0.367, 0.326, 0.326, 0.3265, 0.3683, 0.398, 0.4252, 0.3947, 0.4221, 0.4061, 0.388, 0.3906, 0.4768, 0.3834, 0.4122, 0.3417, 0.2882, 0.364, 0.4103, 0.3552, 0.3542, 0.2675, 0.2956, 0.3098, 0.2849, 0.252, 0.1927, 0.2399, 0.2689, 0.2804, 0.2293, 0.2205, 0.2078, 0.2756]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03143922063906013, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03143922063906013, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02786585569153721, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02786585569153721, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0037075138893177817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0037075138893177817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.08357742605531948, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08357742605531948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09633779435280909, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09633779435280909, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.028900578283170053, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028900578283170053, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03430547946607232, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03430547946607232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.12576070687066965, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12576070687066965, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14411217215005534, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14411217215005534, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.009140891958122399, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.009140891958122399, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01701558600172881, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01701558600172881, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.028900578283170053, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03430547946607232, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03430547946607232, "price_path": [-0.2828, -0.2769, -0.2675, -0.239, -0.2349, -0.2191, -0.2107, -0.2007, -0.2162, -0.2146, -0.1953, -0.1767, -0.1832, -0.1996, -0.214, -0.2171, -0.2314, -0.2537, -0.2289, -0.2105, -0.1957, -0.2074, -0.2199, -0.2261, -0.2109, -0.2296, -0.2378, -0.2382, -0.2345, -0.2783, -0.2882, -0.274, -0.2298, -0.2289, -0.2101, -0.2252, -0.1998, -0.2058, -0.2058, -0.2068, -0.1927, -0.2111, -0.2046, -0.189, -0.1804, -0.1756, -0.1672, -0.1789, -0.1021, -0.1338, -0.1301, -0.1072, -0.0348, -0.0158, -0.0166, -0.0512, -0.0398, -0.0547, -0.0488, -0.0691, -0.0576, -0.0197, -0.0314, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0055, 0.0129, 0.0836, 0.1123, 0.1347, 0.0885, 0.041, 0.0432, -0.0256, -0.0443, -0.0248, 0.0057, -0.0088, 0.0744, 0.1027, 0.0972, 0.0764, 0.0268, -0.0289, -0.0228, -0.0795, -0.0662, -0.0451, -0.0736, -0.0697, -0.1146, -0.1261, -0.1463, -0.1461, -0.1185, -0.1777, -0.1879, -0.1547, -0.1426, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1158, -0.1369, -0.1162, -0.0896, -0.0393, -0.0642, -0.0664, -0.0601, -0.0687, -0.0432, -0.1008, -0.1285, -0.1355, -0.166, -0.1416, -0.1039, -0.0982, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.1041, -0.1068, -0.1241, -0.1258, -0.1258, -0.0576, -0.005, 0.0101, 0.0195, 0.013, 0.0293, 0.059, 0.0387, 0.076, 0.0799, 0.113, 0.113, 0.1073, 0.1488, 0.1572, 0.1662, 0.1238, 0.1836, 0.2646, 0.2139, 0.1251, 0.0899, 0.1515, 0.0719, 0.0048, 0.0672, 0.1232, 0.0946, 0.0989, 0.0588, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.05, 0.0842, 0.1032, 0.1122, 0.0934, 0.1243, 0.1292, 0.1226, 0.1118, 0.1549, 0.0639, 0.0797, 0.0242, -0.002, 0.0449, 0.0702, 0.0508, 0.0387, 0.0085, 0.022, 0.0336, 0.004, -0.0124, -0.0499, -0.0149, -0.0141, 0.0015, -0.0445, -0.046, -0.0734, -0.0091]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "FLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018210772399341213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018210772399341213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014637407451818296, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013569513145624601, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02299117070826584, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02299117070826584, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01928365681894806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017318487517437475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.07489189375534155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07489189375534155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08765226205283116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09854941943850026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": 0.05212840654721185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05212840654721185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04672350536430958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0683728634229821, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": -0.09788297762779496, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09788297762779496, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11623444290718066, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10124329564803114, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": 0.06191671299357249, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06191671299357249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0880731909534237, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.012861572937267196, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05212840654721185, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04672350536430958, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0683728634229821, "price_path": [0.1755, 0.1846, 0.1898, 0.2249, 0.2053, 0.2183, 0.2276, 0.2509, 0.2299, 0.2301, 0.2666, 0.2661, 0.2886, 0.28, 0.2745, 0.2754, 0.2923, -0.0571, -0.0897, -0.061, -0.0005, 0.0046, -0.0464, -0.0514, -0.0107, -0.0291, -0.0542, -0.0467, -0.0412, -0.0606, -0.0694, -0.0658, -0.0542, -0.061, -0.0574, -0.0644, -0.0528, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0499, -0.0241, -0.056, -0.0537, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0585, -0.0596, -0.0665, -0.0558, -0.0715, -0.0817, -0.0344, 0.0153, 0.0187, 0.0023, -0.0041, -0.0348, -0.0401, -0.0294, -0.0423, -0.0244, -0.0105, -0.0182, 0.0, -0.023, 0.0025, -0.0096, 0.0011, 0.0749, 0.0979, 0.1548, 0.1031, 0.0619, 0.0899, 0.1106, 0.0574, 0.0851, 0.1143, 0.104, 0.1384, 0.1225, 0.1106, 0.1102, 0.0938, 0.0521, 0.0792, 0.0148, 0.0407, 0.0378, 0.0323, 0.041, -0.0203, -0.0351, -0.064, -0.0637, -0.0526, -0.0769, -0.0883, -0.0617, -0.0476, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0228, -0.0348, -0.0291, 0.0027, 0.0346, 0.0007, -0.0132, -0.0121, -0.0123, 0.0214, -0.0075, -0.0134, -0.0244, -0.0699, -0.0599, -0.0687, -0.0715, -0.069, -0.0681, -0.0681, -0.0708, -0.0804, -0.0826, -0.0979, -0.0979, -0.0508, 0.0157, 0.0212, 0.0107, -0.0112, 0.0082, 0.0139, 0.0087, 0.0084, -0.0112, 0.0009, 0.0009, -0.0219, 0.0198, 0.0382, 0.0376, 0.0401, 0.0469, 0.0649, 0.069, 0.0514, 0.0672, 0.0562, 0.0394, 0.0237, 0.0681, 0.0983, 0.0956, 0.0776, 0.0396, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.1056, 0.1527, 0.2028, 0.2222, 0.1753, 0.2087, 0.219, 0.1858, 0.1908, 0.1589, 0.1109, 0.0961, 0.0512, 0.0262, 0.043, 0.0234, 0.0153, -0.0102, -0.0207, -0.0023, 0.0166, 0.0389, 0.0897, 0.0225, 0.069, 0.0806, 0.0913, 0.0558, 0.0412, -0.0034, 0.0619]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "SMR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04339532080158848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04339532080158848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03982195585406556, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038754061547871865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06509298120238283, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06509298120238283, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061385467313065045, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05942029801155446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.0734382911756517, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0734382911756517, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08619865947314131, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09709581685881041, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": -0.1504529748500112, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1504529748500112, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15585787603291346, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13420851797424094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": -0.6621363724301614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6621363724301614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6804878377095471, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6654966904503976, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": -0.7415355148418015, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7415355148418015, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7153790368819503, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7905906548981068, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1504529748500112, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15585787603291346, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13420851797424094, "price_path": [-0.1545, -0.1412, -0.1063, 0.0043, 0.0248, 0.099, 0.1166, 0.1981, 0.0835, 0.0596, 0.1409, 0.2167, 0.232, 0.2158, 0.1676, 0.2043, 0.1972, 0.0594, 0.0343, 0.0761, 0.0951, 0.0653, -0.0618, -0.088, -0.0899, -0.1106, -0.1433, -0.1543, -0.166, -0.2215, -0.1943, -0.2015, -0.1645, -0.144, -0.1412, -0.1617, -0.1302, -0.1738, -0.1738, -0.1121, -0.0362, -0.1409, -0.1767, -0.1905, -0.1574, -0.1819, -0.1612, -0.1335, -0.068, -0.1116, -0.1385, -0.0911, 0.1152, 0.073, -0.0072, -0.0541, -0.1011, -0.0939, -0.0901, -0.1416, -0.1271, -0.0579, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0892, -0.0317, -0.0644, 0.0734, 0.0918, 0.274, 0.1359, 0.0551, 0.0541, -0.0851, -0.1722, -0.1044, -0.1004, -0.077, 0.0043, 0.0293, 0.0074, 0.0699, -0.0265, -0.1505, -0.0961, -0.226, -0.2766, -0.3221, -0.3624, -0.381, -0.448, -0.4647, -0.4979, -0.4864, -0.4962, -0.5541, -0.5565, -0.5246, -0.5534, -0.546, -0.546, -0.5231, -0.5689, -0.5491, -0.5198, -0.4552, -0.49, -0.4859, -0.4917, -0.5155, -0.494, -0.5627, -0.5849, -0.5918, -0.6249, -0.6235, -0.6168, -0.6082, -0.6192, -0.6166, -0.6166, -0.6459, -0.6547, -0.6588, -0.6621, -0.6621, -0.6111, -0.5522, -0.5334, -0.5358, -0.531, -0.511, -0.5298, -0.5415, -0.5272, -0.5494, -0.5186, -0.5186, -0.547, -0.5291, -0.5079, -0.5286, -0.5613, -0.5422, -0.5117, -0.5489, -0.5832, -0.6071, -0.5737, -0.6137, -0.6462, -0.582, -0.5784, -0.6009, -0.6288, -0.6664, -0.6588, -0.6588, -0.6598, -0.6614, -0.6509, -0.6795, -0.6996, -0.6798, -0.6857, -0.6822, -0.6936, -0.6888, -0.7012, -0.701, -0.7096, -0.7217, -0.7101, -0.7132, -0.7048, -0.7196, -0.7186, -0.7146, -0.7034, -0.7132, -0.7141, -0.7272, -0.721, -0.7275, -0.7213, -0.738, -0.7544, -0.7556, -0.7415]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "PWR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["PWR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01549785665510306, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01549785665510306, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011924491707580143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010856597401386447, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014703094775354142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014703094775354142, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01099558088603636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009030411584525777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.007433407290341698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007433407290341698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02019377558783131, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031090932973500407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": 0.02538570502001747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02538570502001747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019980803837115202, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04163016189578772, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": -0.01341745895443136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01341745895443136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03176892423381705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.016777776974667535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": 0.283691309233169, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.283691309233169, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3098477871930202, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2346361691768637, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02538570502001747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019980803837115202, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04163016189578772, "price_path": [-0.107, -0.1117, -0.1031, -0.0956, -0.0967, -0.0906, -0.0701, -0.0575, -0.0683, -0.0771, -0.0533, -0.0483, -0.0145, -0.0372, -0.0395, -0.0392, -0.0509, -0.0765, -0.0801, -0.0906, -0.0944, -0.0948, -0.0976, -0.1023, -0.0849, -0.112, -0.1178, -0.1101, -0.1042, -0.1137, -0.1216, -0.1161, -0.1123, -0.1159, -0.1028, -0.1083, -0.098, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.1244, -0.125, -0.1211, -0.1295, -0.1224, -0.1272, -0.0882, -0.0894, -0.106, -0.0987, -0.1161, -0.1213, -0.0871, -0.0919, -0.0745, -0.0897, -0.0585, -0.0643, -0.0525, -0.0439, -0.0315, -0.0167, -0.0162, -0.0155, 0.0, -0.0147, 0.0366, 0.005, -0.0238, 0.0074, 0.0089, 0.0213, 0.0227, 0.0141, 0.0302, 0.0225, -0.0364, -0.001, 0.0307, 0.0328, 0.0275, 0.0488, 0.0608, 0.0499, 0.0538, 0.0254, 0.06, 0.0353, 0.0402, 0.0528, 0.0493, 0.0505, -0.002, 0.0035, -0.0022, 0.0269, 0.0413, 0.0046, 0.0055, 0.0347, 0.0522, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0867, 0.0571, 0.0629, 0.066, 0.0866, 0.0768, 0.0825, 0.0705, 0.0804, 0.0914, 0.0241, 0.0189, 0.025, -0.0317, -0.0152, -0.0027, 0.0122, 0.0173, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0114, 0.0076, 0.0024, -0.0134, -0.0134, 0.028, 0.019, 0.0246, 0.0215, -0.0339, -0.012, 0.0116, 0.0386, 0.0219, 0.0466, 0.0913, 0.0913, 0.0837, 0.1065, 0.0961, 0.096, 0.1007, 0.1206, 0.1253, 0.1303, 0.1098, 0.1171, 0.1424, 0.0862, 0.117, 0.188, 0.2031, 0.194, 0.2251, 0.2062, 0.2254, 0.2254, 0.2278, 0.2142, 0.2953, 0.2922, 0.2839, 0.3286, 0.3158, 0.3212, 0.3166, 0.339, 0.3234, 0.329, 0.2842, 0.263, 0.3282, 0.3188, 0.3274, 0.3255, 0.3071, 0.3421, 0.3366, 0.3374, 0.3513, 0.2986, 0.3268, 0.3525, 0.3409, 0.2758, 0.2859, 0.2481, 0.2837]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1974554316934443263", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "BWXT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding long uranium/nuclear energy basket as diversifier with alpha; trend still en fuego.", "resolved_tickers": ["BWXT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium and nuclear energy plays are so old they’re new! \n\nAnd being/staying long and strong has rewarded the patient value investors, while helping to diversify portfolios away from the passive & tech-focused concentration risk- all without sacrificing the alpha.\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n(link below!)\n\n---\n\nIt’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\nhttps://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024767440715406153, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024767440715406153, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021194075767883236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02012618146168954, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 5.227985397837642e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": 5.227985397837642e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003759793743296158, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005724963044806741, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.03129905989934256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03129905989934256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04405942819683217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05495658558250127, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": 0.0470791693924113, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0470791693924113, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041674268209509036, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06332362626818155, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": -0.09558999016129976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09558999016129976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11394145544068546, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09895030818153594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": 0.07149994583871178, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07149994583871178, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09765642379856299, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.022444805782406485, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0470791693924113, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.041674268209509036, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06332362626818155, "price_path": [-0.2823, -0.288, -0.2849, -0.2766, -0.2828, -0.2703, -0.2573, -0.2541, -0.2676, -0.2693, -0.2519, -0.2495, -0.228, -0.2182, -0.2159, -0.2049, -0.2073, -0.22, -0.1938, -0.0504, -0.0622, -0.0633, -0.065, -0.0718, -0.0634, -0.0777, -0.0885, -0.0947, -0.1068, -0.1339, -0.1454, -0.1361, -0.1478, -0.1491, -0.1299, -0.1347, -0.1335, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1638, -0.159, -0.1442, -0.1449, -0.1444, -0.1523, -0.1319, -0.1112, -0.1204, -0.0892, -0.077, -0.1202, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0689, -0.0698, -0.0855, -0.0793, -0.0562, -0.0492, -0.0366, -0.0219, -0.0297, -0.0248, 0.0, 0.0001, 0.0294, 0.0221, -0.0068, 0.0313, 0.0579, 0.065, 0.0921, 0.0613, 0.0854, 0.0724, -0.0011, 0.0446, 0.0622, 0.0661, 0.0849, 0.1166, 0.1171, 0.1162, 0.1279, 0.0471, 0.0352, 0.0133, 0.0113, 0.0387, 0.0223, 0.0282, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0794, -0.0808, -0.0591, -0.0828, -0.1114, -0.0863, -0.0829, -0.0676, -0.0676, -0.064, -0.0847, -0.078, -0.0858, -0.0669, -0.0693, -0.0647, -0.073, -0.06, -0.0404, -0.0841, -0.0876, -0.0937, -0.1203, -0.1065, -0.0768, -0.0664, -0.0706, -0.0729, -0.0729, -0.0797, -0.0817, -0.0876, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0484, -0.0109, 0.0219, 0.0059, 0.0109, 0.0542, 0.0812, 0.1017, 0.0679, 0.1159, 0.1401, 0.1401, 0.0783, 0.0963, 0.0797, 0.0871, 0.0781, 0.1114, 0.1318, 0.0998, 0.0749, 0.0781, 0.1035, -0.0053, -0.0193, 0.0318, 0.0622, 0.0456, 0.0387, 0.0303, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0522, 0.0583, 0.094, 0.0802, 0.0381, 0.0687, 0.0898, 0.0844, 0.0778, 0.1327, 0.077, 0.0757, 0.023, 0.0216, 0.0486, 0.0251, 0.0269, 0.0366, 0.0172, 0.0724, 0.0872, 0.095, 0.101, 0.0467, 0.0734, 0.0729, 0.1639, 0.0746, 0.0615, 0.0039, 0.0715]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975599763899949345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T16:31:03+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ short trigger 607.33 - after doing a whole rant about how it was time for a pullback from weakening breadth & start of some intraday selling under the surface", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short QQQ triggered at 607.33 on weakening breadth and intraday selling signals; expects continued pullback.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Caught that market dump LIVE with QQQ short trigger 607.33 - after doing a whole rant about how it was time for a pullback from weakening breadth &amp; start of some intraday selling under the surface. Plus my $VIX $VXN analysis with #USD $EURUSD... FX, Rate &amp; Equity vol on watch!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🎙 Live Trading Room is on now with @SamanthaLaDuc reviewing all the morning's action &amp; sharing her Macro-to-Micro analysis live for members \nJoin CLUB by LaDucTrading for full access\nSign up to Get the trade before it happens \nhttps://t.co/tQUEmsMLpP\n\n#optionstrading https://t.co/Tb04U8HcCx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0052935032180592145, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0052935032180592145, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015721925176330753, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015721925176330753, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721310700426139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721310700426139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011463807753162802, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011463807753162802, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005500752483591498, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005500752483591498, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963055269571305, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963055269571305, "ret_p1w": -0.010769006986574015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010769006986574015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00047191834817406075, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00047191834817406075, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010297088638399954, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010297088638399954, "ret_p1m": 0.031050022719701698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031050022719701698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018406524487142528, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018406524487142528, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01264349823255917, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01264349823255917, "ret_p3m": 0.015549709988500027, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.015549709988500027, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.008464935021397224, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008464935021397224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401464500989725, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401464500989725, "ret_p6m": -0.030949811070674405, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.030949811070674405, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.015782027885101524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.015782027885101524, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01516778318557288, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01516778318557288, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010769006986574015, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00047191834817406075, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00047191834817406075, "price_path": [-0.0822, -0.0843, -0.081, -0.0801, -0.0792, -0.0717, -0.0726, -0.0678, -0.0726, -0.0684, -0.0664, -0.0642, -0.0613, -0.0627, -0.0615, -0.0664, -0.0848, -0.0679, -0.0743, -0.0626, -0.0594, -0.0507, -0.0535, -0.0416, -0.0411, -0.0418, -0.0461, -0.0464, -0.0594, -0.065, -0.0693, -0.0549, -0.0577, -0.0539, -0.0524, -0.0465, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0654, -0.0581, -0.0495, -0.0482, -0.0435, -0.0408, -0.0405, -0.0349, -0.0307, -0.0224, -0.0232, -0.0251, -0.0163, -0.0097, -0.0038, -0.0104, -0.0139, -0.0182, -0.0141, -0.0096, -0.0068, -0.0021, 0.002, -0.0022, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0102, -0.0248, -0.0041, -0.0108, -0.0038, -0.0075, -0.001, 0.0116, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.01, 0.0208, 0.039, 0.047, 0.0517, 0.0356, 0.0406, 0.0456, 0.0244, 0.0311, 0.0118, 0.0087, 0.031, 0.0282, 0.0274, 0.0064, 0.0072, -0.0014, -0.0136, -0.0077, -0.0312, -0.0239, 0.0011, 0.0072, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0244, 0.0209, 0.0289, 0.0314, 0.0305, 0.0347, 0.0327, 0.034, 0.0382, 0.0349, 0.0151, 0.01, 0.012, -0.0068, 0.0076, 0.0207, 0.0256, 0.0304, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0334, 0.0284, 0.026, 0.0175, 0.0175, 0.0155, 0.0236, 0.0326, 0.0336, 0.0277, 0.038, 0.0388, 0.0373, 0.0262, 0.0299, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0072, 0.0208, 0.0282, 0.0315, 0.036, 0.0454, 0.0488, 0.0426, 0.03, 0.0371, 0.0212, 0.0033, -0.0111, 0.0098, 0.0175, 0.0128, 0.0155, -0.0051, -0.003, -0.003, -0.004, 0.0034, -0.0004, 0.0084, -0.0038, 0.0069, 0.0214, 0.0091, 0.0059, 0.0072, -0.0036, 0.0116, 0.0086, -0.0066, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0066, -0.0107, -0.0166, -0.0056, -0.0007, -0.0146, -0.0177, -0.0359, -0.0248, -0.0315, -0.0251, -0.0484, -0.067, -0.0741, -0.0428, -0.0309]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1950576948628893743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-30T15:19:19+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GOLD is all bulled-up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold on any dip; short-term pullback and USD strength dismissed, big picture remains long.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short-term pullback in gold doesn't worry me.\nUS dollar exceptionalism doesn't worry me.\n\nSoooo many reasons for gold to get bought on any dip. Big picture, GOLD is all bulled-up.\n\nWill yields follow?? 🤔\n@HansCashFlow $GLD $XAUUSD https://t.co/zRNsQ4X2dh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017577115547305233, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017577115547305233, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016316060647890485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016316060647890485, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012610548994147486, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012610548994147486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0066454015709211944, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0066454015709211944, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010396565724475226, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010396565724475226, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003751164153554032, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003751164153554032, "ret_p1w": 0.03169859388551255, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03169859388551255, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03434646874295688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03434646874295688, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026478748574443323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026478748574443323, "ret_p1m": 0.046750424387617784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.046750424387617784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023959422473907477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023959422473907477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022791001913710307, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022791001913710307, "ret_p3m": 0.2194644477201404, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2194644477201404, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13643344172125405, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13643344172125405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08303100599888635, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08303100599888635, "ret_p6m": 0.5011630162554577, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5011630162554577, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40900319833758436, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40900319833758436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.046750424387617784, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023959422473907477, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023959422473907477, "price_path": [-0.0099, 0.0197, 0.0482, 0.0325, 0.0122, 0.0195, -0.0092, -0.005, -0.0259, -0.0104, -0.0223, -0.0097, 0.0087, 0.0161, 0.0071, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.0118, 0.0095, 0.0155, 0.0088, 0.0356, 0.0264, 0.033, 0.0278, 0.014, 0.0188, 0.0191, 0.0246, 0.0373, 0.0509, 0.036, 0.0365, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0305, 0.0336, 0.0174, 0.0205, 0.0193, 0.0009, 0.0129, 0.0219, 0.0275, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0213, 0.0106, 0.0152, 0.0174, 0.0272, 0.0234, 0.0192, 0.0243, 0.022, 0.0247, 0.0404, 0.0503, 0.0373, 0.0309, 0.0214, 0.0148, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0271, 0.0331, 0.0339, 0.0317, 0.0404, 0.0402, 0.0252, 0.0243, 0.0274, 0.0209, 0.0215, 0.0199, 0.0143, 0.0246, 0.021, 0.032, 0.0295, 0.0369, 0.039, 0.0468, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0818, 0.0903, 0.0855, 0.1, 0.1125, 0.11, 0.114, 0.1123, 0.1145, 0.1261, 0.1284, 0.1197, 0.1152, 0.127, 0.1465, 0.1512, 0.1407, 0.1455, 0.1521, 0.1711, 0.1811, 0.183, 0.1789, 0.1883, 0.2107, 0.217, 0.237, 0.2142, 0.2265, 0.2563, 0.2653, 0.2872, 0.3173, 0.2925, 0.3395, 0.2535, 0.2536, 0.2586, 0.2544, 0.2195, 0.2107, 0.2061, 0.2298, 0.2232, 0.2253, 0.2039, 0.2178, 0.2163, 0.2238, 0.2572, 0.2622, 0.2825, 0.2722, 0.2492, 0.2349, 0.2439, 0.2459, 0.2455, 0.2436, 0.2633, 0.2629, 0.273, 0.273, 0.2888, 0.295, 0.2867, 0.2855, 0.2863, 0.284, 0.2806, 0.2872, 0.2927, 0.3066, 0.3139, 0.3151, 0.3154, 0.3267, 0.3243, 0.3258, 0.3564, 0.3744, 0.3687, 0.3687, 0.3847, 0.3244, 0.3254, 0.3168, 0.3168, 0.3234, 0.3582, 0.3729, 0.3597, 0.3673, 0.3772, 0.4029, 0.401, 0.4153, 0.4066, 0.3998, 0.3998, 0.4528, 0.474, 0.5012]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975950629286879644", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T15:45:16+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is outperforming SPY & BTC over a 3Y time horizon. Gold is no longer viewed as a lost asset class or speculative asset... but an off-ramp for inflation; a debasement hedge; a hard asset used in goods production; a central bank reserve asset; AND an under-owned wealth tool.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold as inflation hedge, debasement hedge, hard asset, CB reserve, and under-owned wealth tool outperforming SPY and BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gold is outperforming SPY &amp; BTC over a 3Y time horizon. Gold is no longer viewed as a lost asset class or speculative asset...  but an off-ramp for inflation; a debasement hedge; a hard asset used in goods production; a central bank reserve asset; AND an under-owned wealth tool.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016496413911009866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016496413911009866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010568705891977892, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010568705891977892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927708019031974, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927708019031974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02399030465921359, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02399030465921359, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02109332993428037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02109332993428037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "ret_p1w": 0.03304228029140366, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03304228029140366, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04483826839374805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04483826839374805, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "ret_p1m": -0.015680297212360084, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015680297212360084, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01152052456718522, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01152052456718522, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159772645174864, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004159772645174864, "ret_p3m": 0.09734618968723385, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09734618968723385, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07262197416569927, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07262197416569927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724215521534587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724215521534587, "ret_p6m": 0.15042167136424878, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15042167136424878, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17054570752313059, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17054570752313059, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015680297212360084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01152052456718522, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01152052456718522, "price_path": [-0.17, -0.1711, -0.1765, -0.1709, -0.1739, -0.1707, -0.1586, -0.1494, -0.1606, -0.1663, -0.1754, -0.1816, -0.178, -0.1849, -0.1855, -0.172, -0.1654, -0.1636, -0.164, -0.159, -0.1494, -0.1707, -0.1717, -0.1693, -0.1751, -0.1749, -0.176, -0.1805, -0.1731, -0.1747, -0.1654, -0.1656, -0.1619, -0.158, -0.1512, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1222, -0.1113, -0.1181, -0.1064, -0.1002, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.1005, -0.0974, -0.0893, -0.0877, -0.0894, -0.0988, -0.092, -0.0748, -0.065, -0.077, -0.0758, -0.0663, -0.055, -0.0501, -0.0435, -0.0504, -0.0402, -0.0234, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.024, -0.0167, 0.0162, 0.0236, 0.033, 0.0586, 0.0363, 0.0725, 0.011, 0.0003, 0.0203, 0.0186, -0.0102, -0.0191, -0.0147, -0.0104, -0.0151, -0.0106, -0.0236, -0.0156, -0.0157, -0.0109, 0.0169, 0.0157, 0.0398, 0.0355, 0.011, 0.0062, 0.0045, 0.0085, 0.0033, 0.0083, 0.012, 0.0237, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0433, 0.0485, 0.0354, 0.0386, 0.0417, 0.0419, 0.0356, 0.0404, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0635, 0.0651, 0.0646, 0.0752, 0.0733, 0.0787, 0.0993, 0.1087, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.1201, 0.0697, 0.0808, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.067, 0.0973, 0.1085, 0.1004, 0.1005, 0.1106, 0.1387, 0.135, 0.1442, 0.1417, 0.1348, 0.1348, 0.1772, 0.195, 0.2141, 0.2307, 0.2563, 0.2564, 0.3112, 0.3154, 0.1659, 0.1432, 0.2128, 0.2169, 0.2023, 0.2245, 0.2492, 0.2376, 0.2543, 0.2177, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2077, 0.2333, 0.2307, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.2751, 0.2877, 0.2803, 0.2936, 0.3094, 0.2632, 0.2663, 0.2528, 0.2727, 0.2592, 0.2934, 0.278, 0.2653, 0.2496, 0.2351, 0.2369, 0.2094, 0.1379, 0.1304, 0.0892, 0.088, 0.1253, 0.0822, 0.111, 0.1194, 0.1495, 0.183, 0.1504]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1942668736953229493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T19:34:54+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "beautifully sophisticated operation to keep the beat-and-raise game alive.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA; author characterizes its earnings management as a sophisticated beat-and-raise machine despite H20 ban headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"beautifully sophisticated operation to keep the beat-and-raise game alive.\" $NVDA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Let’s talk about the elephant in the room—again. \n\nThe H20 export was basically banned in the first week of April. Since then, Nvidia hasn’t had a real product to offer chinese for their data centers. Nvidia even admitted they lost around $8 billion in H20 revenue in Q2 alone. https://t.co/b1I39zg6dX", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010999910999166196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010999910999166196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011547946472550419, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021227241236743133, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01312263512284051, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018000036669871378, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018000036669871378, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012003281111499398, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011156491581121752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00599675555837198, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006843545088749625, "ret_p1w": 0.06687505467057653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06687505467057653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06397342121846727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04105320670714474, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025821847963431788, "ret_p1m": 0.12137507816221293, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12137507816221293, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10132159570964427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11029849812271286, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011076580039500072, "ret_p3m": 0.17269122096538791, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17269122096538791, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09092092611951785, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01497620820694956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18766742917233747, "ret_p6m": 0.16575574504202328, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16575574504202328, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06018276445425741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10858658166827717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.27434232671030045, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12137507816221293, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10132159570964427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11029849812271286, "price_path": [-0.3277, -0.3067, -0.3081, -0.2988, -0.347, -0.3657, -0.3657, -0.3944, -0.382, -0.3581, -0.3349, -0.3062, -0.3205, -0.3187, -0.3193, -0.3025, -0.2844, -0.2887, -0.2904, -0.2684, -0.2665, -0.271, -0.2313, -0.188, -0.1542, -0.1574, -0.1538, -0.1527, -0.1602, -0.1763, -0.1699, -0.1795, -0.1795, -0.1532, -0.1575, -0.1301, -0.1555, -0.1414, -0.1174, -0.1131, -0.1251, -0.1143, -0.1086, -0.1003, -0.1073, -0.0937, -0.1127, -0.0957, -0.0993, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.1009, -0.0989, -0.0756, -0.0356, -0.0311, -0.0141, -0.0126, -0.0419, -0.0172, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.011, 0.0, 0.018, 0.0256, 0.0308, 0.0254, 0.0669, 0.0711, 0.0813, 0.0776, 0.0711, 0.0439, 0.0674, 0.0859, 0.0844, 0.1047, 0.0969, 0.1204, 0.1117, 0.0858, 0.125, 0.1141, 0.1214, 0.1298, 0.1419, 0.1379, 0.1448, 0.1349, 0.1376, 0.1278, 0.1376, 0.0978, 0.0963, 0.0936, 0.1124, 0.1238, 0.1361, 0.135, 0.1261, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0674, 0.0664, 0.0729, 0.0439, 0.0519, 0.0672, 0.1083, 0.1074, 0.1114, 0.111, 0.0931, 0.0644, 0.1016, 0.1042, 0.1476, 0.1153, 0.1061, 0.1106, 0.1138, 0.1366, 0.1662, 0.1703, 0.1806, 0.1727, 0.1597, 0.1566, 0.182, 0.2036, 0.1448, 0.1771, 0.1253, 0.124, 0.1364, 0.1452, 0.1416, 0.1323, 0.1268, 0.1386, 0.1642, 0.1969, 0.2565, 0.2941, 0.2681, 0.2656, 0.2931, 0.2419, 0.2201, 0.1756, 0.176, 0.2441, 0.2073, 0.2113, 0.1679, 0.1886, 0.1663, 0.1336, 0.1658, 0.1291, 0.1181, 0.141, 0.1114, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.1063, 0.1246, 0.1342, 0.1225, 0.1463, 0.1402, 0.1598, 0.1562, 0.1488, 0.1309, 0.094, 0.1019, 0.1109, 0.0685, 0.0885, 0.1313, 0.1482, 0.1827, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.1909, 0.1765, 0.1723, 0.1658]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981094423397355951", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T20:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "KRE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "EXTEND & PRETEND about to hit a wall… $XLF $KRE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish regional banks and financials: CRE loan stress + rising NPLs mirror S&L crisis patterns; extend-and-pretend ending.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "EXTEND & PRETEND about to hit a wall…\n\n“Studies suggest a 1% increase in non-performing loan ratios can decrease GDP growth by 0.1%, creating vicious cycles where economic weakness worsens credit quality. The concentration of regional bank problems in CRE mirrors historical patterns from the S&L crisis of the 1980s, when similar interest rate and real estate pressures caused widespread failures.”\n\n$XLF $KRE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🦔 Regional banks are facing a perfect storm of credit problems, with commercial real estate loans comprising 44% of their portfolios versus just 13% for large banks. Office loan delinquencies have hit 10.4%, approaching 2008 crisis levels, while over $1 trillion in CRE loans https://t.co/EHcrsrCakc", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004320395883065542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004320395883065542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010215401426008741, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010215401426008741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895005542943199, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005895005542943199, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017281519377177368, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017281519377177368, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009108964682696952, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009108964682696952, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "ret_p1w": -0.005317301747475467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005317301747475467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017330569632456605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017330569632456605, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "ret_p1m": 0.023762145279318192, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.023762145279318192, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04271240591811842, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04271240591811842, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "ret_p3m": 0.11962222406561174, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11962222406561174, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10797796659784598, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10797796659784598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "ret_p6m": 0.18347359880322545, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18347359880322545, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12032078222677911, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12032078222677911, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.023762145279318192, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04271240591811842, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04271240591811842, "price_path": [0.022, 0.017, 0.004, -0.0081, -0.0286, -0.0149, -0.0116, -0.0195, -0.0281, -0.0164, -0.019, 0.0163, 0.0345, 0.0338, 0.0172, 0.0228, 0.021, 0.0246, 0.0205, 0.0708, 0.0651, 0.0773, 0.0859, 0.0821, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0748, 0.0763, 0.0921, 0.0809, 0.0821, 0.071, 0.0722, 0.0769, 0.0733, 0.0629, 0.0518, 0.0644, 0.0928, 0.0791, 0.0658, 0.0645, 0.0623, 0.0616, 0.0666, 0.0563, 0.0518, 0.0464, 0.0439, 0.0543, 0.065, 0.0573, 0.0508, 0.046, 0.0002, 0.0221, 0.0537, 0.0299, -0.0339, -0.0184, 0.006, 0.0075, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0173, 0.0165, 0.0123, -0.0061, -0.0053, -0.003, -0.0007, -0.006, 0.0063, -0.0003, 0.0138, 0.0191, 0.0211, 0.0224, 0.0101, 0.0123, -0.0258, -0.0169, -0.0065, -0.0098, 0.0238, 0.0246, 0.0537, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.0467, 0.0582, 0.0523, 0.0743, 0.0779, 0.0754, 0.0791, 0.0769, 0.1142, 0.12, 0.1147, 0.1176, 0.1133, 0.1181, 0.1213, 0.1173, 0.1228, 0.1148, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.1123, 0.1026, 0.0942, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.0909, 0.1129, 0.1241, 0.1161, 0.1383, 0.1283, 0.1149, 0.1076, 0.12, 0.141, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1196, 0.1718, 0.1693, 0.1305, 0.1358, 0.1414, 0.1333, 0.1542, 0.1506, 0.1711, 0.1912, 0.2097, 0.2089, 0.2311, 0.2276, 0.2146, 0.2007, 0.1822, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.196, 0.1935, 0.187, 0.2022, 0.1494, 0.1482, 0.1683, 0.177, 0.1164, 0.133, 0.1253, 0.1287, 0.1136, 0.0853, 0.0827, 0.0822, 0.0698, 0.0611, 0.0552, 0.0611, 0.0609, 0.0471, 0.0566, 0.0541, 0.0731, 0.0821, 0.0859, 0.0842, 0.0657, 0.0698, 0.0957, 0.1075, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1207, 0.1226, 0.1552, 0.1747, 0.1594, 0.167, 0.1653, 0.1633, 0.1576, 0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981094423397355951", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-22T20:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "EXTEND & PRETEND about to hit a wall… $XLF $KRE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish regional banks and financials: CRE loan stress + rising NPLs mirror S&L crisis patterns; extend-and-pretend ending.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "EXTEND & PRETEND about to hit a wall…\n\n“Studies suggest a 1% increase in non-performing loan ratios can decrease GDP growth by 0.1%, creating vicious cycles where economic weakness worsens credit quality. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1968713684252835968", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T16:28:13+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Pair trade: long China names (BABA/BIDU/KWEB/FXI/JD) vs short NVDA; warns to protect into end of month.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China / $NVDA Pair Trade &amp; Time To Protect\n\nClients know: Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'. \n\nChaulk it up to 'trader's instinct' but I am also warning it's time to protect into EOM.\n\nJOIN US LIVE https://t.co/ja7XQdeRrv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02271047614029098, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02271047614029098, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02736124496148462, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01817779489973037, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453268124056061, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002031012797750087, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002031012797750087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029218556531431794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017531563729975552, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003784169170747642, "ret_p1w": 0.07994826461661053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07994826461661053, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08355044394582078, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09593026407875904, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01598199946214851, "ret_p1m": 0.028126541859050613, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028126541859050613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022128904423520446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05160680836482978, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023480266505779168, "ret_p3m": -0.08117928772580207, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08117928772580207, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1091020713586367, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09702312292576754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01584383519996546, "ret_p6m": -0.16783605490311893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16783605490311893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17361713480027097, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09328204467424106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07455401022887786, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07994826461661053, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08355044394582078, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09593026407875904, "price_path": [-0.304, -0.2798, -0.295, -0.2988, -0.2979, -0.302, -0.2986, -0.3186, -0.331, -0.331, -0.346, -0.3354, -0.361, -0.3437, -0.3432, -0.3339, -0.2801, -0.2877, -0.2781, -0.26, -0.2598, -0.2571, -0.2456, -0.2544, -0.2613, -0.2482, -0.2654, -0.2776, -0.2576, -0.2795, -0.2768, -0.2797, -0.2562, -0.2555, -0.2592, -0.2698, -0.2466, -0.2192, -0.2474, -0.2537, -0.2528, -0.2615, -0.2646, -0.2732, -0.2434, -0.2347, -0.2357, -0.2477, -0.2641, -0.1691, -0.1691, -0.1473, -0.1602, -0.1942, -0.1656, -0.131, -0.0947, -0.1142, -0.0433, -0.0457, -0.0273, -0.0017, 0.0227, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0109, 0.0037, 0.0859, 0.0799, 0.058, 0.1072, 0.1, 0.1249, 0.1653, 0.1573, 0.1523, 0.116, 0.1147, 0.0689, -0.0214, 0.0266, 0.0023, 0.0211, 0.0161, 0.0281, 0.0676, 0.0258, 0.0208, 0.058, 0.0752, 0.1044, 0.0876, 0.1076, 0.0705, 0.0489, 0.0321, 0.0112, 0.0144, 0.0316, 0.0238, 0.021, -0.0103, -0.0281, -0.0162, -0.0534, -0.0294, -0.017, -0.0221, -0.0566, -0.0588, -0.0108, -0.0337, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0319, 0.011, -0.0083, -0.0271, -0.031, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0401, -0.0225, -0.0343, -0.0419, -0.0763, -0.0812, -0.0947, -0.0933, -0.0781, -0.0709, -0.0692, -0.0764, -0.0764, -0.063, -0.0861, -0.0931, -0.0979, -0.0979, -0.0415, -0.0383, -0.0713, -0.0968, -0.0493, -0.0709, 0.0236, 0.0279, 0.0457, 0.052, 0.018, 0.018, -0.0006, 0.0381, 0.0905, 0.0662, 0.0547, 0.063, 0.0811, 0.0724, 0.0436, 0.0364, 0.0072, -0.0206, -0.029, 0.0002, 0.0032, 0.0248, 0.0113, -0.0231, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0434, -0.0413, -0.0505, -0.0494, -0.0597, -0.0577, -0.0628, -0.0888, -0.1131, -0.1226, -0.1655, -0.1798, -0.1977, -0.195, -0.1837, -0.1577, -0.1612, -0.1741, -0.1678]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968713684252835968", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T16:28:13+00:00", "symbol": "BIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Pair trade: long China names (BABA/BIDU/KWEB/FXI/JD) vs short NVDA; warns to protect into end of month.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China / $NVDA Pair Trade &amp; Time To Protect\n\nClients know: Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'. \n\nChaulk it up to 'trader's instinct' but I am also warning it's time to protect into EOM.\n\nJOIN US LIVE https://t.co/ja7XQdeRrv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019075799120552128, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019075799120552128, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02372656794174577, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01983265738317852, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000756858262626392, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007394166618530651, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007394166618530651, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004213451789040201, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0033809609288444342, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004120377590697499, "ret_p1w": 0.001109012173636792, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001109012173636792, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004711191502847045, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01356999244018231, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012460980266545518, "ret_p1m": -0.1126802060167803, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1126802060167803, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11867784345231047, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08258315179000131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030097054226778996, "ret_p3m": -0.11785584060189469, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11785584060189469, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14577862423472931, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10218833677564931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015667503826245377, "ret_p6m": -0.08266173977948821, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08266173977948821, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08844281967664025, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.051556426720012594, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031105313059475614, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.001109012173636792, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004711191502847045, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01356999244018231, "price_path": [-0.3772, -0.3591, -0.3593, -0.3607, -0.3632, -0.3659, -0.3638, -0.3609, -0.3616, -0.3616, -0.3361, -0.3325, -0.3445, -0.3461, -0.3573, -0.3651, -0.3102, -0.3618, -0.353, -0.3508, -0.3434, -0.3165, -0.3118, -0.3272, -0.3287, -0.339, -0.3582, -0.3646, -0.3503, -0.3632, -0.352, -0.3652, -0.3582, -0.3533, -0.3541, -0.3642, -0.3506, -0.3267, -0.344, -0.3357, -0.3336, -0.3414, -0.3585, -0.3522, -0.3345, -0.3203, -0.3162, -0.3356, -0.3274, -0.2954, -0.2954, -0.2881, -0.2872, -0.2739, -0.2461, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2044, -0.1732, -0.1513, -0.1511, -0.0847, 0.0191, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0102, -0.0716, -0.0172, 0.0011, -0.0289, -0.0029, -0.0257, 0.0162, 0.0368, 0.0499, 0.0714, 0.0273, 0.0196, -0.0211, -0.1003, -0.0705, -0.1132, -0.1011, -0.1062, -0.1127, -0.0971, -0.1191, -0.1347, -0.1092, -0.0923, -0.0487, -0.0623, -0.0566, -0.0994, -0.1063, -0.1037, -0.0759, -0.0881, -0.0607, -0.0687, -0.0217, -0.0244, -0.0467, -0.1079, -0.1423, -0.1563, -0.1339, -0.1461, -0.1834, -0.1797, -0.1186, -0.1284, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1357, -0.1149, -0.1202, -0.1329, -0.1222, -0.0709, -0.0384, -0.0836, -0.0679, -0.0513, -0.0757, -0.1214, -0.1179, -0.1165, -0.1091, -0.0845, -0.0801, -0.0844, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0773, -0.0624, -0.0212, -0.0339, -0.0339, 0.1113, 0.1067, 0.0826, 0.0855, 0.0444, 0.0613, 0.1258, 0.1043, 0.1128, 0.1046, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1092, 0.1999, 0.2016, 0.1936, 0.154, 0.1655, 0.1658, 0.1646, 0.1326, 0.0985, 0.0711, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.079, 0.0867, 0.0918, 0.073, 0.0231, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0154, 0.0194, 0.0138, 0.0045, -0.0097, -0.012, -0.0192, -0.0747, -0.0799, -0.0864, -0.1223, -0.1203, -0.1281, -0.1198, -0.0944, -0.0721, -0.0747, -0.0894, -0.0827]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968713684252835968", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-18T16:28:13+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Pair trade: long China names (BABA/BIDU/KWEB/FXI/JD) vs short NVDA; warns to protect into end of month.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China / $NVDA Pair Trade &amp; Time To Protect\n\nClients know: Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'. \n\nChaulk it up to 'trader's instinct' but I am also warning it's time to protect into EOM.\n\nJOIN US LIVE https://t.co/ja7XQdeRrv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015014299884374083, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015014299884374083, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019665068705567723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019665068705567723, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005719664395429147, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005719664395429147, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010672532846322413, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010672532846322413, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "ret_p1w": -0.006672990020366698, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006672990020366698, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0030708106911564448, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0030708106911564448, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "ret_p1m": -0.058865542506324364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058865542506324364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06486317994185453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06486317994185453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "ret_p3m": -0.1384651457438505, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1384651457438505, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16638792937668512, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16638792937668512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "ret_p6m": -0.23742987501056145, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23742987501056145, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2432109549077135, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2432109549077135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006672990020366698, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0030708106911564448, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0030708106911564448, "price_path": [-0.198, -0.1737, -0.1795, -0.1816, -0.1783, -0.1818, -0.1816, -0.1918, -0.1985, -0.1985, -0.1928, -0.178, -0.1892, -0.1883, -0.193, -0.183, -0.1506, -0.158, -0.149, -0.1368, -0.1399, -0.1323, -0.1168, -0.128, -0.1347, -0.142, -0.1478, -0.1628, -0.1554, -0.1778, -0.1597, -0.154, -0.143, -0.1454, -0.1461, -0.1542, -0.1344, -0.1032, -0.1273, -0.1142, -0.1061, -0.1149, -0.1146, -0.1087, -0.0853, -0.0822, -0.082, -0.107, -0.1056, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.0891, -0.0882, -0.0958, -0.0839, -0.0696, -0.0474, -0.0512, -0.0291, -0.0317, -0.0243, -0.0126, 0.015, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0124, -0.0319, -0.0095, -0.0067, -0.0212, -0.0002, 0.0012, 0.0114, 0.0234, 0.0164, 0.0217, 0.0038, 0.0079, -0.0148, -0.0844, -0.05, -0.067, -0.0548, -0.0579, -0.0589, -0.0381, -0.0479, -0.0596, -0.0403, -0.0331, -0.0145, -0.0214, -0.0191, -0.0415, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0694, -0.0622, -0.0586, -0.0713, -0.0508, -0.0565, -0.0629, -0.0751, -0.0887, -0.096, -0.0982, -0.1111, -0.1366, -0.1311, -0.1058, -0.1006, -0.1063, -0.1063, -0.1046, -0.0946, -0.1039, -0.1149, -0.1153, -0.1041, -0.1053, -0.1168, -0.1137, -0.118, -0.1208, -0.1358, -0.1385, -0.1456, -0.1375, -0.1301, -0.1211, -0.1257, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.1194, -0.1285, -0.1305, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.0991, -0.0784, -0.0812, -0.1019, -0.0918, -0.0941, -0.0478, -0.0665, -0.069, -0.0802, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1158, -0.1004, -0.0926, -0.0923, -0.0943, -0.0923, -0.0875, -0.0824, -0.1054, -0.1133, -0.1297, -0.155, -0.1563, -0.1325, -0.1317, -0.1325, -0.1378, -0.1709, -0.1709, -0.1709, -0.1727, -0.1684, -0.1719, -0.1732, -0.1838, -0.1846, -0.1848, -0.2046, -0.2147, -0.225, -0.2463, -0.2417, -0.2566, -0.2488, -0.2278, -0.2164, -0.2291, -0.24, -0.2374]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968713684252835968", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-18T16:28:13+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Pair trade: long China names (BABA/BIDU/KWEB/FXI/JD) vs short NVDA; warns to protect into end of month.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China / $NVDA Pair Trade &amp; Time To Protect\n\nClients know: Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'. \n\nChaulk it up to 'trader's instinct' but I am also warning it's time to protect into EOM.\n\nJOIN US LIVE https://t.co/ja7XQdeRrv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013144984278658178, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013144984278658178, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01779575309985182, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01779575309985182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0036514633326786283, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0036514633326786283, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008604331783571895, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008604331783571895, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "ret_p1w": -0.009980666442654718, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009980666442654718, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006378487113444464, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006378487113444464, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "ret_p1m": -0.026290252276301107, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026290252276301107, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032287889711831275, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032287889711831275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "ret_p3m": -0.06591898517880401, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06591898517880401, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09384176881163864, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09384176881163864, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "ret_p6m": -0.10824295386265903, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10824295386265903, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11402403375981107, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11402403375981107, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009980666442654718, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.006378487113444464, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006378487113444464, "price_path": [-0.1217, -0.0969, -0.0979, -0.0954, -0.1039, -0.1052, -0.1035, -0.1069, -0.1171, -0.1171, -0.1161, -0.1069, -0.1193, -0.111, -0.112, -0.1015, -0.0837, -0.0879, -0.085, -0.0735, -0.0699, -0.057, -0.0487, -0.0531, -0.0592, -0.0633, -0.0696, -0.0803, -0.0886, -0.1035, -0.0879, -0.0837, -0.0801, -0.0813, -0.083, -0.0913, -0.0764, -0.0484, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.0609, -0.0696, -0.0645, -0.066, -0.0448, -0.0472, -0.0453, -0.0696, -0.0613, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0443, -0.0528, -0.0669, -0.0531, -0.0399, -0.027, -0.0331, -0.0083, -0.0144, -0.0073, -0.0007, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0037, -0.0105, -0.0239, -0.0124, -0.01, -0.0183, -0.0024, 0.0015, 0.0073, 0.0163, 0.0083, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0007, -0.0139, -0.0669, -0.0377, -0.0409, -0.0312, -0.0265, -0.0263, -0.0144, -0.0278, -0.0326, -0.0163, -0.0129, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0027, -0.0226, -0.0333, -0.0304, -0.0416, -0.0319, -0.0229, -0.0278, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0041, -0.0105, -0.0234, -0.0343, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0609, -0.0574, -0.0421, -0.036, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0377, -0.0351, -0.0387, -0.0455, -0.0431, -0.029, -0.0392, -0.055, -0.0484, -0.046, -0.0487, -0.057, -0.0659, -0.0686, -0.0598, -0.0502, -0.0494, -0.0519, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0421, -0.0534, -0.0484, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0202, -0.0174, -0.0179, -0.0334, -0.0305, -0.0317, 0.0, -0.0096, -0.0147, -0.0157, -0.0329, -0.0329, -0.0435, -0.032, -0.0285, -0.0295, -0.0293, -0.0172, -0.0034, 0.0035, -0.0253, -0.0361, -0.0472, -0.0583, -0.06, -0.0349, -0.0305, -0.0273, -0.0288, -0.0487, -0.0568, -0.0568, -0.0521, -0.0472, -0.0499, -0.045, -0.0482, -0.0558, -0.0546, -0.0799, -0.0827, -0.092, -0.1127, -0.109, -0.1245, -0.1186, -0.1023, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.1102, -0.1082]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968713684252835968", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-18T16:28:13+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Pair trade: long China names (BABA/BIDU/KWEB/FXI/JD) vs short NVDA; warns to protect into end of month.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China / $NVDA Pair Trade &amp; Time To Protect\n\nClients know: Trading $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $FXI and $JD while watching downside risk in $NVDA has been a phenomenal 'pair trade'. \n\nChaulk it up to 'trader's instinct' but I am also warning it's time to protect into EOM.\n\nJOIN US LIVE https://t.co/ja7XQdeRrv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003957058263235891, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003957058263235891, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006937105579577496, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0084897395037965, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453268124056061, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007914228191067019, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007914228191067019, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012867096641960285, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01169839736181466, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003784169170747642, "ret_p1w": -0.005935643227151455, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005935643227151455, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0023334638979412015, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010046356234997056, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01598199946214851, "ret_p1m": -0.06529118218190388, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06529118218190388, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07128881961743405, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041810915676124716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023480266505779168, "ret_p3m": -0.18456756210505632, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18456756210505632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21249034573789094, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20041139730502178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01584383519996546, "ret_p6m": -0.19954781422137957, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19954781422137957, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2053288941185316, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1249938039925017, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07455401022887786, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005935643227151455, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0023334638979412015, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010046356234997056, "price_path": [-0.1071, -0.0791, -0.069, -0.0599, -0.0653, -0.0774, -0.0757, -0.0822, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.095, -0.0757, -0.1068, -0.1176, -0.121, -0.1295, -0.0944, -0.1057, -0.076, -0.0413, -0.056, -0.0424, -0.041, -0.054, -0.0622, -0.0611, -0.0893, -0.1026, -0.1099, -0.1263, -0.1063, -0.1142, -0.1142, -0.1026, -0.1099, -0.1187, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.1074, -0.104, -0.102, -0.117, -0.119, -0.1187, -0.0989, -0.0958, -0.1009, -0.1289, -0.141, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1074, -0.1181, -0.1258, -0.1111, -0.0715, -0.0427, -0.0582, -0.0277, -0.0483, -0.0497, -0.0189, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.041, -0.069, -0.0155, -0.0059, -0.0249, 0.0073, -0.0113, 0.0223, 0.017, 0.0006, 0.015, -0.0138, -0.0113, -0.0399, -0.0998, -0.0602, -0.0755, -0.0633, -0.0746, -0.0653, -0.0458, -0.0721, -0.0825, -0.0622, -0.0619, -0.0334, -0.024, -0.0288, -0.0568, -0.0661, -0.0735, -0.1006, -0.0944, -0.0969, -0.1015, -0.1122, -0.1066, -0.1167, -0.132, -0.1716, -0.1651, -0.1676, -0.1839, -0.1976, -0.1823, -0.1786, -0.1764, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.1569, -0.1552, -0.1507, -0.1557, -0.1594, -0.1549, -0.1543, -0.1605, -0.1631, -0.1651, -0.1679, -0.1846, -0.1846, -0.1916, -0.186, -0.1854, -0.1778, -0.1781, -0.1755, -0.1755, -0.169, -0.1727, -0.1885, -0.1888, -0.1888, -0.1653, -0.162, -0.1634, -0.1795, -0.1614, -0.1676, -0.1314, -0.1555, -0.1569, -0.1687, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.1979, -0.1783, -0.1521, -0.1566, -0.1583, -0.1662, -0.1738, -0.1783, -0.195, -0.1936, -0.2075, -0.2213, -0.2278, -0.2066, -0.2083, -0.1987, -0.201, -0.2222, -0.2329, -0.2329, -0.2275, -0.2253, -0.2292, -0.2253, -0.2304, -0.2222, -0.2216, -0.2374, -0.2501, -0.2552, -0.2753, -0.2821, -0.2801, -0.236, -0.2236, -0.2162, -0.2055, -0.2103, -0.1995]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1943441782127448154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T22:46:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish Bitcoin & Ethereum charts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pre-existing bullish chart thesis on both BTC and ETH; cautions that the China crypto rumor driving the afterhours spike is unverified.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As highlighted in yday’s market thoughts: bullish Bitcoin & Ethereum charts...\n\nBoth are screaming higher afterhours on this FinTwit “news”:\n\nCHINA ALLOWS OWNERSHIP OF BITCOIN & CRYPTO AGAIN\n\nBut I can find NO PROOF and NO SOURCE for this news. So careful.\n\nhttps://t.co/aT2kh3tYXV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04371024679097657, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035278101778857263, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011281008689802752, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019082830706971254, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33364109998104297, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911195270577112, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2786, -0.2755, -0.2681, -0.2719, -0.2454, -0.1944, -0.1922, -0.1901, -0.1834, -0.1811, -0.1871, -0.1878, -0.1681, -0.1645, -0.1831, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1099, -0.1122, -0.1136, -0.1019, -0.1073, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0793, -0.0544, -0.0372, -0.075, -0.0564, -0.0603, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1034, -0.0871, -0.091, -0.097, -0.1242, -0.1, -0.0491, -0.0494, -0.0629, -0.0867, -0.0853, -0.0792, -0.0982, -0.0957, -0.0974, -0.1093, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0744, -0.0778, -0.0767, -0.0763, -0.0887, -0.0615, -0.0547, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.0607, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0333, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0285, 0.0174, 0.0125, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0159, -0.002, -0.023, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0083, 0.013, 0.006, 0.0237, 0.0361, 0.0634, 0.0205, 0.0122, 0.0023, -0.0272, -0.0148, -0.0308, 0.0076, -0.0505, -0.0361, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0653, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0368, -0.0454, -0.046, -0.0338, -0.0384, -0.0175, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.0041, 0.0099, -0.0026, -0.0279, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0598, -0.0541, -0.0137, -0.0166, 0.0229, 0.0405, 0.0541, 0.0756, 0.0471, 0.0635, 0.0493, -0.0239, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0449, -0.0673, -0.0821, -0.0465, -0.0648, -0.0715, -0.051, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0261, -0.0511, -0.0662, -0.0554, -0.0814, -0.1241, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1088, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1235, -0.1404, -0.1861, -0.206, -0.1986, -0.2114, -0.2531, -0.2664, -0.239, -0.247, -0.2196, -0.213, -0.2161, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2056, -0.2293, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2066, -0.2024, -0.2217, -0.2549, -0.2426, -0.2573, -0.2632, -0.2404, -0.2371, -0.2463, -0.2446, -0.2479, -0.2473, -0.2487, -0.2376, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2245]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943441782127448154", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-10T22:46:42+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish Bitcoin & Ethereum charts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pre-existing bullish chart thesis on both BTC and ETH; cautions that the China crypto rumor driving the afterhours spike is unverified.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As highlighted in yday’s market thoughts: bullish Bitcoin & Ethereum charts...\n\nBoth are screaming higher afterhours on this FinTwit “news”:\n\nCHINA ALLOWS OWNERSHIP OF BITCOIN & CRYPTO AGAIN\n\nBut I can find NO PROOF and NO SOURCE for this news. So careful.\n\nhttps://t.co/aT2kh3tYXV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06229349206802981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06229349206802981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06582130224591554, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035278101778857263, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0010291624108509367, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010291624108509367, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008791206598461887, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019082830706971254, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.17663842639282712, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17663842639282712, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1702883680726328, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.35704193803774675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35704193803774675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3373184609607447, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.5063908705296172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5063908705296172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42403921346324513, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.057389602584341226, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.057389602584341226, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.051722350121429894, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911195270577112, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.35704193803774675, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3373184609607447, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4508, -0.4624, -0.4659, -0.4644, -0.4623, -0.4654, -0.4053, -0.3921, -0.401, -0.3954, -0.3912, -0.3911, -0.3929, -0.3776, -0.3764, -0.3842, -0.3857, -0.3869, -0.2533, -0.2062, -0.1552, -0.093, -0.1167, -0.1381, -0.1416, -0.1441, -0.1458, -0.1362, -0.0984, -0.145, -0.1322, -0.0987, -0.0923, -0.109, -0.1438, -0.1177, -0.1224, -0.1172, -0.1823, -0.1616, -0.0925, -0.0478, -0.0614, -0.1026, -0.127, -0.1402, -0.1503, -0.1457, -0.1466, -0.1853, -0.1804, -0.1715, -0.1812, -0.1823, -0.1797, -0.1585, -0.1858, -0.1298, -0.1231, -0.151, -0.1394, -0.1148, -0.0623, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0198, 0.0626, 0.141, 0.1766, 0.2011, 0.2736, 0.2688, 0.2284, 0.2549, 0.2614, 0.2818, 0.2838, 0.2888, 0.2511, 0.1806, 0.2586, 0.2224, 0.2467, 0.3247, 0.357, 0.4305, 0.5537, 0.6097, 0.5392, 0.5026, 0.4595, 0.3786, 0.4669, 0.4292, 0.6351, 0.4799, 0.5569, 0.5241, 0.5254, 0.4756, 0.4601, 0.4638, 0.5061, 0.4548, 0.4576, 0.458, 0.4583, 0.4719, 0.5098, 0.5958, 0.532, 0.5241, 0.5543, 0.5534, 0.5131, 0.4224, 0.4097, 0.4056, 0.3091, 0.3659, 0.4273, 0.4031, 0.4725, 0.5188, 0.528, 0.5865, 0.5064, 0.5323, 0.4786, 0.3006, 0.4368, 0.3962, 0.3495, 0.3181, 0.297, 0.3472, 0.312, 0.2888, 0.305, 0.3316, 0.3944, 0.3477, 0.321, 0.2875, 0.302, 0.2191, 0.1143, 0.1592, 0.121, 0.1626, 0.2077, 0.1558, 0.1551, 0.0941, 0.0504, 0.0236, 0.0569, 0.0231, -0.0416, -0.064, -0.0007, 0.001, 0.0247, 0.0202, 0.0262, -0.0523, 0.0146, 0.0801, 0.0607, 0.0236, 0.0577, 0.124, 0.1254, 0.0955, 0.0438, 0.0032, 0.0032, -0.0418, -0.0432, 0.0078, 0.0173, 0.0029, -0.0031, -0.0173, -0.0098, -0.0069, 0.0056, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0574]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967717160710713792", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T22:28:24+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They control the price.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold: China's dominant inventory position means it now controls gold pricing, framing it as a structural upward driver.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China has the most in gold AND oil inventories.\n\nThey aren't just the 'marginal buyer' anymore.\n\nThey control the price. \nLet's call it...\nTHE CHINA COLLAR™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Shanghai gold inventories at RECORD highs. \n\nGoldman estimates China buying 10x more gold than officially reported. \n\n55 tonnes in Oct ’24 alone. \n\nThe quietest, biggest gold squeeze on earth is happening right now. https://t.co/txCTcj3hl1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002002393130287161, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002002393130287161, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003381082878529784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003381082878529784, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001378689748242623, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001378689748242623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007715171664187115, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007715171664187115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006472714602495211, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006472714602495211, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001242457061691904, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001242457061691904, "ret_p1w": 0.02023026352740942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02023026352740942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01258056909723182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01258056909723182, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0076496944301776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0076496944301776, "ret_p1m": 0.14075802828710549, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14075802828710549, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1301305697055355, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1301305697055355, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627458581569993, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627458581569993, "ret_p3m": 0.16446304869341644, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16446304869341644, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1286294575278022, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1286294575278022, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583359116561424, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583359116561424, "ret_p6m": 0.4023969945231196, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4023969945231196, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.371777085308133, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.371777085308133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619909214986585, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619909214986585, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14075802828710549, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1301305697055355, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1301305697055355, "price_path": [-0.0864, -0.0868, -0.084, -0.0984, -0.0956, -0.0966, -0.113, -0.1024, -0.0943, -0.0893, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0949, -0.1043, -0.1003, -0.0983, -0.0897, -0.093, -0.0968, -0.0923, -0.0942, -0.0919, -0.0779, -0.0692, -0.0807, -0.0863, -0.0948, -0.1007, -0.0982, -0.1138, -0.1079, -0.0898, -0.0845, -0.0837, -0.0857, -0.0779, -0.0782, -0.0914, -0.0922, -0.0895, -0.0952, -0.0947, -0.0961, -0.1011, -0.092, -0.0951, -0.0854, -0.0876, -0.081, -0.0792, -0.0723, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0412, -0.0337, -0.038, -0.0251, -0.014, -0.0163, -0.0128, -0.0142, -0.0123, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0117, -0.0012, 0.0161, 0.0202, 0.011, 0.0152, 0.0211, 0.0379, 0.0468, 0.0484, 0.0448, 0.0532, 0.073, 0.0785, 0.0963, 0.0761, 0.087, 0.1134, 0.1213, 0.1408, 0.1674, 0.1455, 0.1872, 0.1109, 0.111, 0.1154, 0.1117, 0.0807, 0.073, 0.0689, 0.0899, 0.084, 0.086, 0.0669, 0.0793, 0.078, 0.0846, 0.1142, 0.1186, 0.1366, 0.1274, 0.1071, 0.0944, 0.1024, 0.1042, 0.1038, 0.1021, 0.1196, 0.1192, 0.1282, 0.1282, 0.1422, 0.1477, 0.1403, 0.1393, 0.14, 0.138, 0.135, 0.1408, 0.1456, 0.158, 0.1645, 0.1655, 0.1658, 0.1758, 0.1737, 0.175, 0.2021, 0.2181, 0.213, 0.213, 0.2272, 0.1738, 0.1746, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1728, 0.2037, 0.2167, 0.2051, 0.2117, 0.2205, 0.2434, 0.2416, 0.2543, 0.2466, 0.2406, 0.2406, 0.2875, 0.3063, 0.3304, 0.3487, 0.3684, 0.402, 0.4563, 0.4603, 0.3103, 0.2578, 0.3378, 0.3368, 0.3012, 0.3412, 0.3753, 0.3616, 0.377, 0.3292, 0.3623, 0.3623, 0.3198, 0.3495, 0.3533, 0.38, 0.4172, 0.3976, 0.3941, 0.406, 0.4245, 0.4429, 0.3785, 0.3893, 0.3726, 0.3944, 0.3915, 0.4072, 0.4024]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1932785364680184246", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-11T13:01:55+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am short on oil (#NotDone)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remains short crude oil targeting continuation of decline toward $40 range; tactical long to ~$70 already given, but primary trend stays short.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm no bro, but...\nThose who follow closely & clients for sure know  I made the call with crude oil at $85 LAST APRIL 2024 that it would fall into the $60-$40 range by end of 2025. We hit $56, so it’s working phenomenally, thank you very much. \n\nBig picture: I am short on oil (#NotDone), but I also gave clients a tactical trade long 2 wks ago for crude to travel higher into 70 before it rolls over again. \n\n$WTIC \n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS:\nhttps://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Where are the 40$ oil bros? https://t.co/wxpdPkftLG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04303663771500754, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04303663771500754, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04589707911347429, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04589707911347429, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002860441398466751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002860441398466751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0030740892524956376, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0030740892524956376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009004957174452155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009004957174452155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974584969940853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003974584969940853, "ret_p1w": 0.0995722664879608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0995722664879608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10609059818944688, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10609059818944688, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00651833170148608, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00651833170148608, "ret_p1m": 0.007618279833589092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007618279833589092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03613292887066666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03613292887066666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120870425575, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04375120870425575, "ret_p3m": -0.023790414148050387, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.023790414148050387, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1059179765367454, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1059179765367454, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08212756238869501, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08212756238869501, "ret_p6m": -0.04584336165685732, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04584336165685732, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19044293536957368, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19044293536957368, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459957371271637, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14459957371271637, "ret_p1y": 0.7253407760548363, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7253407760548363, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.45297132048868316, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.45297132048868316, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2723694555661531, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2723694555661531, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007618279833589092, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03613292887066666, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03613292887066666, "price_path": [-0.0339, -0.0282, -0.0349, -0.0321, -0.0146, -0.0138, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.008, 0.0088, -0.0007, 0.0335, 0.0302, 0.039, -0.0343, -0.0922, -0.1182, -0.1534, -0.0968, -0.127, -0.1117, -0.1091, -0.1115, -0.0945, -0.0714, -0.0714, -0.0829, -0.0728, -0.0905, -0.085, -0.0774, -0.0944, -0.1199, -0.1505, -0.1377, -0.1445, -0.1664, -0.1366, -0.1512, -0.1232, -0.1097, -0.0965, -0.0699, -0.0814, -0.0966, -0.0898, -0.0843, -0.0823, -0.0966, -0.1026, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1008, -0.0926, -0.102, -0.1025, -0.0704, -0.0659, -0.0732, -0.0654, -0.046, -0.037, -0.043, 0.0, 0.0031, 0.0722, 0.0504, 0.1, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.1109, 0.0213, -0.0243, -0.0202, -0.0164, -0.0206, -0.0229, -0.0119, 0.0103, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0222, 0.0286, 0.0282, 0.0076, 0.033, 0.0107, 0.0059, 0.0049, 0.0179, 0.0148, 0.0103, 0.0071, 0.0061, 0.017, 0.0004, 0.0314, 0.0666, 0.0831, 0.0638, 0.0353, 0.0172, 0.0027, -0.0138, -0.0187, -0.0203, -0.0136, -0.025, -0.0315, -0.0144, -0.027, -0.0221, -0.0337, -0.0174, -0.0092, -0.0024, 0.0124, -0.0103, -0.0019, 0.0056, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0259, 0.0001, -0.0086, -0.0293, -0.0238, -0.0191, -0.0015, -0.0243, -0.0202, -0.0079, 0.0114, 0.002, -0.0017, -0.0174, -0.0183, 0.0031, 0.021, 0.029, 0.0294, -0.0031, -0.0143, -0.0225, -0.0438, -0.0416, -0.0261, -0.0217, -0.0172, -0.0309, -0.0726, -0.0607, -0.0778, -0.0779, -0.0937, -0.0914, -0.0934, -0.0875, -0.056, -0.0204, -0.0219, -0.0227, -0.0458, -0.0404, -0.0416, -0.0302, -0.0278, -0.0386, -0.0507, -0.0527, -0.0476, -0.042, -0.0281, -0.0672, -0.0664, -0.046, -0.047, -0.031, -0.0527, -0.0624, -0.0738, -0.0588, -0.0744, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0501, -0.0503, -0.0617, -0.0556, -0.0458]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1926722998549020846", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-25T19:32:14+00:00", "symbol": "uranium", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trend Long Uranium Sector: REALLY WORKING!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long uranium sector trend trade is paying off; ongoing bullish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "URA Global X Uranium ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5/23/25 Live Trading Room Market Recap &amp; Trades \n\n⭐️ Short Updates\n⭐️ Commodities\n⭐️ Uranium WOW\n⭐️ FX Updates\n⭐️ Stock Updates\n\nTrend Long Uranium Sector: REALLY WORKING!\n\nhttps://t.co/2Yo4w8IYmd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034576915159977406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034576915159977406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014209886490279655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014209886490279655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00212314019150206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00212314019150206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036621027536268835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0036621027536268835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "ret_p1w": -0.006976032057792514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006976032057792514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01533283145890385, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01533283145890385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "ret_p1m": 0.14771001740553102, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14771001740553102, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1176586878361916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1176586878361916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "ret_p3m": 0.19623893606843512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19623893606843512, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10139382782089101, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10139382782089101, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "ret_p6m": 0.3691233300303476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3691233300303476, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2417758463833044, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2417758463833044, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "ret_p1y": 0.6683706905309208, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6683706905309208, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.38824431666005355, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.38824431666005355, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14771001740553102, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1176586878361916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1176586878361916, "price_path": [-0.2502, -0.2478, -0.2875, -0.2705, -0.2517, -0.2654, -0.2739, -0.2991, -0.2824, -0.2769, -0.2869, -0.2751, -0.2527, -0.2584, -0.236, -0.2302, -0.2417, -0.2299, -0.2457, -0.2633, -0.283, -0.2994, -0.3048, -0.3, -0.2972, -0.3188, -0.3685, -0.3779, -0.3855, -0.3291, -0.3452, -0.313, -0.3072, -0.3106, -0.3112, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.3191, -0.3127, -0.2824, -0.2542, -0.2584, -0.2402, -0.2378, -0.2417, -0.2323, -0.2163, -0.222, -0.1996, -0.188, -0.1908, -0.1762, -0.1723, -0.1556, -0.1462, -0.1504, -0.1595, -0.1565, -0.1504, -0.1438, -0.135, -0.0346, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0215, -0.0291, -0.0334, -0.007, 0.0033, 0.0061, 0.0203, 0.067, 0.0328, 0.088, 0.0922, 0.0958, 0.1547, 0.1392, 0.1456, 0.1456, 0.1153, 0.1386, 0.1729, 0.1477, 0.1741, 0.1547, 0.1771, 0.135, 0.1438, 0.1495, 0.1495, 0.152, 0.1228, 0.114, 0.1231, 0.1377, 0.182, 0.1884, 0.2129, 0.226, 0.2414, 0.2175, 0.2199, 0.2499, 0.2787, 0.2687, 0.2433, 0.2208, 0.216, 0.1938, 0.1592, 0.1978, 0.2263, 0.2493, 0.2311, 0.2117, 0.202, 0.2257, 0.1965, 0.1838, 0.1832, 0.189, 0.121, 0.1056, 0.1277, 0.1962, 0.1978, 0.2269, 0.2035, 0.2429, 0.2335, 0.2335, 0.232, 0.2539, 0.2254, 0.2354, 0.2596, 0.273, 0.2806, 0.2936, 0.2754, 0.3946, 0.3455, 0.3512, 0.3867, 0.4992, 0.5287, 0.5274, 0.4738, 0.4914, 0.4683, 0.4774, 0.4459, 0.4638, 0.5226, 0.5044, 0.5532, 0.5532, 0.5475, 0.5617, 0.5732, 0.683, 0.7276, 0.7625, 0.6906, 0.6169, 0.6203, 0.5135, 0.4844, 0.5147, 0.562, 0.5396, 0.6688, 0.7128, 0.7043, 0.6718, 0.5948, 0.5083, 0.5177, 0.4298, 0.4504, 0.4832, 0.4389, 0.4449, 0.3752, 0.3573, 0.3261, 0.3264, 0.3691]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1929560375520886972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-02T15:26:57+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA not getting its money's worth on lobbying costs. I still contend: TRUMP WANTS TO PUNISH NVIDIA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: lobbying spend wasted and Trump intent to punish the company implies ongoing headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great research. $NVDA not getting its money's worth on lobbying costs. I still contend:\n\nTRUMP WANTS TO PUNISH NVIDIA\n\nhttps://t.co/dK40fC2Ipg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nvidia's expenses on lobbying reached a record high in its history—$940,000 USD in just the first quarter of 2025. In comparison, they spent a total of $640,000 in all of 2024 and $510,000 in all of 2023. This means Nvidia spent nearly the combined total of 2023 and 2024 lobbying https://t.co/JbH5kGl70e", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016377858275451573, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016377858275451573, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01077638462663566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017867636797593844, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005601473648815913, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014591094595692189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027951549239128015, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027951549239128015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02224878311926659, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005386851632913858, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005702766119861424, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022564697606214157, "ret_p1w": 0.03821522509391895, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03821522509391895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026455795756904266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017929335528432677, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011759429337014682, "bench_c_p1w": 0.056144560622351625, "ret_p1m": 0.11596047309141322, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11596047309141322, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07080188771909035, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01778378289028315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04515858537232287, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13374425598169637, "ret_p3m": 0.31156292432566146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31156292432566146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21349082288281807, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08312074568698313, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0980721014428434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22844217863867833, "ret_p6m": 0.2945288350141746, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2945288350141746, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14912453708064533, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10296399453722715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14540429793352927, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39749282955140175, "ret_p1y": 0.6270393213636791, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6270393213636791, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.36209131990590304, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.701020489969741, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2649480014577761, "bench_c_p1y": 1.32805981133342, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11596047309141322, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07080188771909035, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01778378289028315, "price_path": [-0.1462, -0.1952, -0.1798, -0.2214, -0.2084, -0.1575, -0.1587, -0.1144, -0.1299, -0.1598, -0.1446, -0.1372, -0.1433, -0.1162, -0.1215, -0.1719, -0.1889, -0.2017, -0.2111, -0.1982, -0.1962, -0.259, -0.3135, -0.2893, -0.299, -0.1678, -0.217, -0.1925, -0.1941, -0.1833, -0.2394, -0.2612, -0.2612, -0.2946, -0.2802, -0.2524, -0.2253, -0.1919, -0.2085, -0.2064, -0.2072, -0.1876, -0.1665, -0.1715, -0.1735, -0.1479, -0.1457, -0.1509, -0.1047, -0.0542, -0.0148, -0.0186, -0.0144, -0.0132, -0.0218, -0.0406, -0.0331, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0137, -0.0187, 0.0132, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.028, 0.033, 0.019, 0.0316, 0.0382, 0.0479, 0.0397, 0.0555, 0.0335, 0.0533, 0.0491, 0.059, 0.059, 0.0472, 0.0495, 0.0767, 0.1233, 0.1285, 0.1484, 0.1501, 0.116, 0.1447, 0.1599, 0.1599, 0.1519, 0.1647, 0.1857, 0.1946, 0.2005, 0.1944, 0.2426, 0.2475, 0.2594, 0.2551, 0.2476, 0.2159, 0.2432, 0.2648, 0.263, 0.2867, 0.2776, 0.305, 0.2948, 0.2646, 0.3103, 0.2977, 0.3061, 0.3159, 0.33, 0.3253, 0.3333, 0.3219, 0.325, 0.3136, 0.325, 0.2786, 0.2768, 0.2738, 0.2957, 0.3089, 0.3232, 0.322, 0.3116, 0.268, 0.268, 0.2432, 0.242, 0.2496, 0.2158, 0.2252, 0.2431, 0.2909, 0.2898, 0.2945, 0.294, 0.2731, 0.2397, 0.283, 0.2862, 0.3367, 0.299, 0.2883, 0.2936, 0.2972, 0.3239, 0.3583, 0.3631, 0.3751, 0.3659, 0.3507, 0.3471, 0.3767, 0.4019, 0.3334, 0.371, 0.3106, 0.3092, 0.3236, 0.3338, 0.3296, 0.3188, 0.3124, 0.3261, 0.356, 0.394, 0.4635, 0.5073, 0.477, 0.4741, 0.5061, 0.4465, 0.4211, 0.3692, 0.3697, 0.4491, 0.4062, 0.4109, 0.3603, 0.3844, 0.3584, 0.3203, 0.3579, 0.3151, 0.3022, 0.329, 0.2945]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977821483511795882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold, silver, and miners; bearish Bitcoin and Ethereum as retail rotates from crypto to underweighted metals.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I know I pitched this earlier, but I’m gonna do it again:\n\nAt what point do Bitcoin HODLers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "SILVER update:\n\nThe SILVER shortage is REAL.\n\n“Australia’s Perth Mint, trusted worldwide, has fully suspended all sales of silver products. Not a single coin or bar leaves the facility—effectively erasing one of the world’s key sources of new physical supply.\nIn INDIA, the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023724513495688604, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023724513495688604, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008612279267799283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008612279267799283, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007141189222626965, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007141189222626965, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008362835510268285, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008362835510268285, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": 0.06628050940601504, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06628050940601504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05382272451563175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05382272451563175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": 0.004707870603659403, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004707870603659403, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025395936845134415, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025395936845134415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": 0.08833874003541609, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08833874003541609, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04534369623268608, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04534369623268608, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": 0.14208257753716058, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14208257753716058, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14218281898911722, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14218281898911722, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004707870603659403, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025395936845134415, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025395936845134415, "price_path": [-0.1847, -0.1865, -0.1843, -0.1718, -0.164, -0.1743, -0.1794, -0.187, -0.1922, -0.19, -0.204, -0.1987, -0.1824, -0.1777, -0.177, -0.1788, -0.1718, -0.172, -0.1839, -0.1847, -0.1822, -0.1874, -0.1869, -0.1882, -0.1926, -0.1844, -0.1873, -0.1786, -0.1805, -0.1746, -0.1729, -0.1668, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.1389, -0.1321, -0.1359, -0.1244, -0.1144, -0.1165, -0.1133, -0.1146, -0.1129, -0.1036, -0.1018, -0.1088, -0.1123, -0.1029, -0.0874, -0.0837, -0.092, -0.0882, -0.0829, -0.0678, -0.0598, -0.0583, -0.0616, -0.0541, -0.0363, -0.0313, -0.0153, -0.0335, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0246, 0.0486, 0.0288, 0.0663, -0.0022, -0.0021, 0.0019, -0.0015, -0.0293, -0.0363, -0.0399, -0.0211, -0.0264, -0.0246, -0.0417, -0.0306, -0.0318, -0.0259, 0.0008, 0.0047, 0.0209, 0.0126, -0.0056, -0.017, -0.0099, -0.0083, -0.0086, -0.0101, 0.0056, 0.0053, 0.0133, 0.0133, 0.0259, 0.0308, 0.0242, 0.0232, 0.0239, 0.0221, 0.0194, 0.0246, 0.029, 0.0401, 0.0459, 0.0468, 0.0471, 0.0561, 0.0542, 0.0554, 0.0797, 0.094, 0.0895, 0.0895, 0.1022, 0.0542, 0.055, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0534, 0.0811, 0.0928, 0.0824, 0.0883, 0.0962, 0.1167, 0.1152, 0.1266, 0.1197, 0.1143, 0.1143, 0.1564, 0.1733, 0.1949, 0.2114, 0.2291, 0.2592, 0.308, 0.3116, 0.1768, 0.1297, 0.2015, 0.2007, 0.1687, 0.2046, 0.2352, 0.223, 0.2368, 0.1939, 0.2236, 0.2236, 0.1854, 0.2121, 0.2155, 0.2394, 0.2729, 0.2553, 0.2521, 0.2629, 0.2795, 0.296, 0.2382, 0.2479, 0.2329, 0.2524, 0.2498, 0.2639, 0.2596, 0.2348, 0.2189, 0.2178, 0.2147, 0.1763, 0.1278, 0.0933, 0.0686, 0.0689, 0.101, 0.0596, 0.0968, 0.0965, 0.1381, 0.158, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1311, 0.1421]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977821483511795882", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold, silver, and miners; bearish Bitcoin and Ethereum as retail rotates from crypto to underweighted metals.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I know I pitched this earlier, but I’m gonna do it again:\n\nAt what point do Bitcoin HODLers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "SILVER update:\n\nThe SILVER shortage is REAL.\n\n“Australia’s Perth Mint, trusted worldwide, has fully suspended all sales of silver products. Not a single coin or bar leaves the facility—effectively erasing one of the world’s key sources of new physical supply.\nIn INDIA, the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038721923007847714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038721923007847714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023609688779958393, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023609688779958393, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009733370732327495, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009733370732327495, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008511724444686175, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008511724444686175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": 0.009733451449581043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009733451449581043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0027243334408022513, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0027243334408022513, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": -0.017139178742304084, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017139178742304084, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0472429861910979, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0472429861910979, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": 0.4750317723289148, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750317723289148, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4320367285261848, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4320367285261848, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": 0.39526036359086847, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39526036359086847, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3953606050428251, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3953606050428251, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017139178742304084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0472429861910979, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0472429861910979, "price_path": [-0.2719, -0.2668, -0.2677, -0.252, -0.2442, -0.2448, -0.249, -0.2666, -0.267, -0.2666, -0.2909, -0.295, -0.2893, -0.281, -0.2732, -0.2732, -0.2645, -0.262, -0.2768, -0.2719, -0.2594, -0.27, -0.27, -0.2689, -0.2833, -0.2715, -0.2677, -0.2522, -0.259, -0.259, -0.2596, -0.2484, -0.2342, -0.2342, -0.2139, -0.2099, -0.2186, -0.2127, -0.2063, -0.2133, -0.2084, -0.2004, -0.1887, -0.1799, -0.1832, -0.2004, -0.1961, -0.1739, -0.1528, -0.1545, -0.1574, -0.1318, -0.1143, -0.1007, -0.1035, -0.092, -0.1001, -0.0791, -0.0677, -0.0819, -0.0571, -0.054, -0.0387, 0.0, -0.0097, 0.0226, 0.0404, -0.0057, 0.0097, -0.0734, -0.0715, -0.0652, -0.0692, -0.1028, -0.0965, -0.0853, -0.0618, -0.0688, -0.0741, -0.0956, -0.0764, -0.0785, -0.0707, -0.0311, -0.0171, 0.0224, 0.0034, -0.0275, -0.0379, -0.0245, -0.0171, -0.0313, -0.0415, -0.0133, -0.0125, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0836, 0.1113, 0.1242, 0.1229, 0.0952, 0.1204, 0.1153, 0.1674, 0.1864, 0.2192, 0.1871, 0.2296, 0.2215, 0.2751, 0.2552, 0.2893, 0.3218, 0.372, 0.38, 0.38, 0.5049, 0.3967, 0.4596, 0.3631, 0.3631, 0.3912, 0.4617, 0.5597, 0.5015, 0.475, 0.5315, 0.6342, 0.6631, 0.7893, 0.763, 0.7143, 0.7143, 0.8068, 0.7766, 0.8436, 0.9659, 1.0808, 1.1496, 1.2344, 1.2338, 0.5963, 0.5328, 0.6284, 0.6754, 0.4111, 0.4852, 0.609, 0.5533, 0.62, 0.4331, 0.4752, 0.4752, 0.4044, 0.4831, 0.5025, 0.6212, 0.7048, 0.6733, 0.6936, 0.7023, 0.7983, 0.726, 0.5802, 0.5942, 0.5715, 0.6069, 0.6559, 0.6947, 0.6485, 0.6183, 0.5381, 0.5493, 0.5163, 0.4537, 0.3898, 0.3017, 0.3218, 0.332, 0.3798, 0.2859, 0.3424, 0.3441, 0.4418, 0.4418, 0.3921, 0.3921, 0.3984, 0.3953]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977821483511795882", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "gold and silver miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#GOLDandSILVERminers #IndustrialMiners", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold, silver, and miners; bearish Bitcoin and Ethereum as retail rotates from crypto to underweighted metals.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "SIL"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX gold miners; SIL silver miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I know I pitched this earlier, but I’m gonna do it again:\n\nAt what point do Bitcoin HODLers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "SILVER update:\n\nThe SILVER shortage is REAL.\n\n“Australia’s Perth Mint, trusted worldwide, has fully suspended all sales of silver products. Not a single coin or bar leaves the facility—effectively erasing one of the world’s key sources of new physical supply.\nIn INDIA, the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05180835489514268, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05180835489514268, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03669612066725336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03669612066725336, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006128204453756836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006128204453756836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0049065581661155155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0049065581661155155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": 0.007633043577169651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007633043577169651, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004824741313213643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004824741313213643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": -0.06556668706482027, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06556668706482027, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09567049451361409, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09567049451361409, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": 0.1689778006430228, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1689778006430228, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1259827568402928, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1259827568402928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": 0.22663469853870588, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22663469853870588, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22673493999066252, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22673493999066252, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06556668706482027, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09567049451361409, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09567049451361409, "price_path": [-0.3466, -0.3528, -0.3574, -0.3332, -0.3155, -0.3217, -0.3286, -0.3272, -0.3428, -0.337, -0.355, -0.3599, -0.3532, -0.3259, -0.3062, -0.2941, -0.277, -0.2723, -0.2786, -0.2704, -0.2734, -0.2788, -0.2737, -0.2758, -0.2977, -0.28, -0.2679, -0.253, -0.2548, -0.2415, -0.2406, -0.2389, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.1942, -0.184, -0.1924, -0.1732, -0.1582, -0.1655, -0.1445, -0.1256, -0.1227, -0.1079, -0.1307, -0.1394, -0.1404, -0.1018, -0.0738, -0.0763, -0.0975, -0.0855, -0.0641, -0.0508, -0.0424, -0.0361, -0.0405, -0.0426, -0.0239, -0.0424, -0.0096, -0.0523, -0.0518, 0.0, -0.0061, 0.0326, 0.0629, -0.0138, 0.0076, -0.0945, -0.0885, -0.0823, -0.0917, -0.1259, -0.1115, -0.1103, -0.0918, -0.1034, -0.1175, -0.1562, -0.1393, -0.1346, -0.1119, -0.071, -0.0656, -0.0324, -0.0539, -0.066, -0.0844, -0.0764, -0.0638, -0.1099, -0.1038, -0.0524, -0.0487, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0407, 0.0409, 0.0269, 0.0191, 0.0194, 0.0163, -0.0043, 0.038, 0.0553, 0.0978, 0.0881, 0.0814, 0.0783, 0.09, 0.0847, 0.1165, 0.1578, 0.1608, 0.1522, 0.1522, 0.1778, 0.1116, 0.1258, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1019, 0.1393, 0.1864, 0.1675, 0.169, 0.1907, 0.2392, 0.2468, 0.2521, 0.2641, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.3471, 0.3302, 0.3977, 0.4289, 0.4349, 0.4512, 0.4814, 0.429, 0.2316, 0.2249, 0.2911, 0.2953, 0.2046, 0.2726, 0.3455, 0.3427, 0.3794, 0.2733, 0.3427, 0.3427, 0.2917, 0.3263, 0.3552, 0.3985, 0.4403, 0.4532, 0.4667, 0.5065, 0.5284, 0.5182, 0.384, 0.3942, 0.3343, 0.3237, 0.3386, 0.3623, 0.3328, 0.3008, 0.2256, 0.2386, 0.2294, 0.1497, 0.0829, 0.0407, 0.0851, 0.0907, 0.1216, 0.0683, 0.1102, 0.1059, 0.1878, 0.2361, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.2134, 0.2266]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973818275105562978", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T18:32:03+00:00", "symbol": "SOUN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My favorite swing long SOUN (just starting +10%)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Weakest: GTLB & AI; favorite swing long SOUN; PLTR buy-the-dip until parabola cracks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOUN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SOUN $INOD $PLTR $AI $GTLB $APP - Sept 21 client report was well-timed:\n\nOf the 6 names I said the weakest are GTLB & AI.\n\nThe strongest in chase mode are INOD (+24% since) & APP +12% into 726 (hit).\n\nMy favorite swing long SOUN (just starting +10%)\n\n& PLTR for buy-the-dip when/if we get it until the parabola cracks. \n\nUpgrade to Pro or join us live at https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt 💃", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09473097082975435, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09473097082975435, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09358056316610819, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09358056316610819, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001150407663646158, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001150407663646158, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005605509414967624, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005605509414967624, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005752643888335962, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005752643888335962, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04147980744332114, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04147980744332114, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03858079852274199, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03858079852274199, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.012331799970448976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012331799970448976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03151841117477583, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03151841117477583, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186611204326853, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186611204326853, "ret_p3m": -0.43721973789352164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.43721973789352164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.46683652799681563, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.46683652799681563, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02961679010329399, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02961679010329399, "ret_p6m": -0.6692825086937249, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6692825086937249, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6221837522191184, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6221837522191184, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012331799970448976, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03151841117477583, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03151841117477583, "price_path": [-0.3621, -0.2876, -0.2769, -0.3111, -0.3515, -0.3582, -0.3666, -0.3397, -0.2915, -0.282, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.3161, -0.3296, -0.3436, -0.37, -0.4008, -0.4176, -0.421, -0.4333, -0.4036, -0.3739, -0.3946, -0.3991, -0.2405, -0.1087, -0.1043, -0.0751, -0.0729, -0.1261, -0.1693, -0.2545, -0.3027, -0.3145, -0.296, -0.3212, -0.3262, -0.3324, -0.2976, -0.2702, -0.2702, -0.2478, -0.2859, -0.255, -0.2007, -0.1429, -0.1676, -0.2124, -0.1827, -0.2085, -0.2046, -0.1766, -0.1525, -0.1239, -0.0891, -0.0297, 0.0118, -0.0034, -0.0835, -0.1065, -0.1211, -0.0987, -0.0947, 0.0, 0.0006, 0.023, 0.0202, 0.0583, 0.0415, -0.0269, 0.0729, 0.1693, 0.1996, 0.1637, 0.0661, 0.0684, 0.0219, -0.0045, 0.0224, 0.0078, 0.0275, -0.0073, 0.0174, -0.0544, -0.0123, -0.0409, -0.1519, -0.1188, -0.2024, -0.2074, -0.1923, -0.2466, -0.2578, -0.315, -0.3178, -0.3593, -0.3537, -0.3481, -0.3672, -0.3711, -0.3302, -0.3307, -0.3374, -0.3374, -0.3246, -0.3543, -0.3711, -0.3397, -0.2825, -0.2848, -0.2892, -0.31, -0.3156, -0.3257, -0.347, -0.3952, -0.3772, -0.384, -0.3896, -0.3823, -0.3683, -0.3834, -0.389, -0.389, -0.4002, -0.4165, -0.4372, -0.4411, -0.4411, -0.4058, -0.3834, -0.3705, -0.38, -0.3823, -0.3414, -0.3515, -0.3789, -0.3677, -0.3879, -0.3778, -0.3778, -0.4142, -0.4047, -0.389, -0.421, -0.4484, -0.4428, -0.4568, -0.491, -0.5258, -0.528, -0.537, -0.5476, -0.588, -0.5202, -0.5062, -0.5376, -0.5538, -0.5818, -0.5818, -0.5818, -0.5897, -0.5774, -0.5611, -0.5617, -0.5611, -0.5314, -0.5224, -0.4966, -0.5179, -0.5168, -0.523, -0.5426, -0.5364, -0.5476, -0.5392, -0.5572, -0.5633, -0.5813, -0.5908, -0.5774, -0.5617, -0.5858, -0.6146, -0.6328, -0.6138, -0.6435, -0.6368, -0.6603, -0.6693]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973818275105562978", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T18:32:03+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PLTR for buy-the-dip when/if we get it until the parabola cracks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Weakest: GTLB & AI; favorite swing long SOUN; PLTR buy-the-dip until parabola cracks.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SOUN $INOD $PLTR $AI $GTLB $APP - Sept 21 client report was well-timed:\n\nOf the 6 names I said the weakest are GTLB & AI.\n\nThe strongest in chase mode are INOD (+24% since) & APP +12% into 726 (hit).\n\nMy favorite swing long SOUN (just starting +10%)\n\n& PLTR for buy-the-dip when/if we get it until the parabola cracks. \n\nUpgrade to Pro or join us live at https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt 💃", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011226977114427217, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011226977114427217, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010076569450781059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010076569450781059, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001150407663646158, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001150407663646158, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0747393504381324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0747393504381324, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07472463699079557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07472463699079557, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.008446948972342438, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008446948972342438, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011345957892921588, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011345957892921588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": 0.07174551162788223, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07174551162788223, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05255890042355538, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05255890042355538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186611204326853, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186611204326853, "ret_p3m": -0.033199714581928386, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.033199714581928386, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06281650468522237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06281650468522237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02961679010329399, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02961679010329399, "ret_p6m": -0.23517778548761514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23517778548761514, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18807902901300866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18807902901300866, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07174551162788223, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05255890042355538, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05255890042355538, "price_path": [-0.2562, -0.2531, -0.2348, -0.2382, -0.2403, -0.2026, -0.2057, -0.1932, -0.1767, -0.1793, -0.1885, -0.203, -0.1733, -0.1721, -0.151, -0.1559, -0.1647, -0.152, -0.1534, -0.1752, -0.1411, -0.0737, -0.0401, -0.0259, -0.0005, -0.0234, -0.0004, -0.0143, -0.0322, -0.0528, -0.0696, -0.1566, -0.1659, -0.165, -0.1513, -0.1597, -0.14, -0.1621, -0.1547, -0.1622, -0.1622, -0.1602, -0.1719, -0.1652, -0.1814, -0.1655, -0.132, -0.1086, -0.1213, -0.0835, -0.0847, -0.0898, -0.1001, -0.0539, -0.0249, -0.0413, -0.0241, -0.04, -0.0424, -0.0507, -0.0438, -0.0248, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.0747, -0.0402, -0.0261, -0.0187, -0.0084, -0.0621, -0.0526, -0.0391, -0.0397, -0.0477, -0.0476, -0.0292, -0.0296, -0.0618, -0.0351, -0.0129, 0.0114, 0.0136, 0.0629, 0.0401, 0.0717, 0.1076, 0.0197, 0.0045, -0.0642, -0.0488, 0.0351, 0.0209, -0.0154, -0.0797, -0.0697, -0.0845, -0.1054, -0.1156, -0.1674, -0.1721, -0.1326, -0.1256, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.0994, -0.1046, -0.0875, -0.0586, -0.0488, -0.0283, -0.0297, -0.0279, 0.0046, 0.0026, -0.0186, -0.0203, 0.0037, -0.0522, -0.0073, 0.0338, 0.037, 0.0379, 0.0381, 0.0381, 0.0089, -0.0153, -0.0332, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.1026, -0.0696, -0.0392, -0.0287, -0.0545, -0.0511, -0.0408, -0.0433, -0.0462, -0.0534, -0.086, -0.086, -0.099, -0.1161, -0.1131, -0.0933, -0.1047, -0.1141, -0.1588, -0.1881, -0.2163, -0.2101, -0.1559, -0.254, -0.3049, -0.2735, -0.236, -0.2542, -0.2746, -0.3096, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2889, -0.2762, -0.2789, -0.277, -0.3018, -0.3112, -0.2826, -0.2732, -0.2666, -0.2239, -0.2129, -0.181, -0.1838, -0.1598, -0.1637, -0.192, -0.1895, -0.1794, -0.193, -0.1835, -0.1709, -0.1833, -0.1677, -0.1944, -0.1401, -0.1725, -0.1716, -0.2111, -0.2352]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976341126757183854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T17:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It looks like a price crash, but it's actually a funding squeeze. 🎯🚀 #Silver #Metals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver: reframes apparent price crash as a funding squeeze, implying upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It looks like a price crash, but it’s actually a funding squeeze.\n🎯🚀 #Silver #Metals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🧵 Silver is starting to behave like it’s entering a squeeze phase.\nLet’s decode what’s really happening beneath the charts (a thread)\n1️⃣ The structure has flipped.\nSpot &gt; SI 2 &gt; SI 1 — that’s backwardation, not contango.\nIt means immediate metal is worth more than future https://t.co/bFr6kHIgLq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038548555275983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038548555275983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0356431637051029, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0356431637051029, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0018783618801889723, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0018783618801889723, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028906224059034646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028906224059034646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "bench_c_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "ret_p1w": 0.1317609506242181, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1317609506242181, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14743535751346026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14743535751346026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015674406889242154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015674406889242154, "ret_p1m": 0.024909281854921694, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024909281854921694, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02519243053796394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02519243053796394, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "ret_p3m": 0.7188901046342588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7188901046342588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6850766686240732, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6850766686240732, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813436010185605, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033813436010185605, "ret_p6m": 0.5525080678610645, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5525080678610645, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5697851806540943, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5697851806540943, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277112793029792, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017277112793029792, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024909281854921694, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02519243053796394, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02519243053796394, "price_path": [-0.179, -0.1924, -0.192, -0.1877, -0.1841, -0.1654, -0.1607, -0.1616, -0.1671, -0.1853, -0.1883, -0.1871, -0.1982, -0.2198, -0.2148, -0.2061, -0.1956, -0.1939, -0.1855, -0.18, -0.1961, -0.1911, -0.1782, -0.1893, -0.1912, -0.1899, -0.2047, -0.1952, -0.1883, -0.1675, -0.1745, -0.1765, -0.1742, -0.1635, -0.1419, -0.1419, -0.1234, -0.1133, -0.1268, -0.1233, -0.1158, -0.1275, -0.122, -0.11, -0.0953, -0.0925, -0.0935, -0.1095, -0.1098, -0.0921, -0.0651, -0.0567, -0.0656, -0.046, -0.0134, -0.0051, -0.0127, 0.0094, -0.0181, 0.0159, 0.0263, 0.007, 0.0385, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.07, 0.0739, 0.0901, 0.1318, 0.0643, 0.0911, 0.0128, 0.013, 0.0348, 0.0326, -0.0061, 0.0059, 0.0186, 0.0337, 0.0244, 0.0222, 0.006, 0.0216, 0.0201, 0.0249, 0.071, 0.0804, 0.1384, 0.1328, 0.0798, 0.0806, 0.0768, 0.0841, 0.0725, 0.0645, 0.0735, 0.0872, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.2048, 0.2469, 0.2376, 0.2363, 0.2134, 0.247, 0.2333, 0.2843, 0.2888, 0.3645, 0.3098, 0.3434, 0.3383, 0.4138, 0.3787, 0.4268, 0.4494, 0.5045, 0.5161, 0.5161, 0.6326, 0.4911, 0.6515, 0.497, 0.497, 0.506, 0.6257, 0.7189, 0.6464, 0.5948, 0.6838, 0.806, 0.833, 0.9396, 0.9611, 0.8803, 0.8803, 1.0108, 0.9682, 1.0486, 1.1542, 1.4564, 1.2524, 1.4143, 1.4341, 0.6711, 0.6388, 0.7725, 0.7965, 0.6335, 0.6379, 0.7517, 0.7122, 0.7877, 0.6125, 0.6617, 0.6617, 0.5677, 0.6544, 0.6556, 0.7563, 0.8468, 0.8667, 0.9411, 0.8569, 0.9783, 0.8844, 0.77, 0.7638, 0.7436, 0.789, 0.7936, 0.9015, 0.8157, 0.8073, 0.7271, 0.7132, 0.6975, 0.6486, 0.5134, 0.4805, 0.4738, 0.4786, 0.5445, 0.4444, 0.4844, 0.501, 0.5942, 0.6194, 0.5525, 0.5525]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976485745541230763", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "XHB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pressed this short theme knowing… CONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author is pressing a short theme on homebuilders/consumer lending; names XHB, RKT, CVNA, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, COF, APO as consumer lending sector in trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["XHB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Clients knew two months ago exactly where I expected home builders to get rejected. ✅. And then I pressed this short theme knowing…\n\nCONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE\n\nhttps://t.co/gGD9ZOY5py\n\n$XHB $RKT $CVNA $SOFI $AFRM $UPST $COF $APO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why is nobody talking about homebuilders/suppliers crashing the past two weeks?\n\n$HD -12%\n$LOW -15%\n$PHM -16%\n$LOW -14%\n\nConcerning. https://t.co/6xvplK9c1n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015908243666989508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015908243666989508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011870416305094666, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011870416305094666, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005881291289950852, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005881291289950852, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009462826845217487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009462826845217487, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "ret_p1w": 0.038951018333942766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.038951018333942766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021539549830996707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021539549830996707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "ret_p1m": 0.019475509166971383, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019475509166971383, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024045340142063054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024045340142063054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "ret_p3m": 0.002102430266599953, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.002102430266599953, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0570039809320928, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0570039809320928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "ret_p6m": -0.03913371625003359, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03913371625003359, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.053929544079338365, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.053929544079338365, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019475509166971383, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024045340142063054, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024045340142063054, "price_path": [-0.0334, -0.0275, -0.0141, -0.0234, -0.0271, 0.0275, 0.0369, 0.0162, 0.0257, 0.0263, 0.015, -0.0091, -0.0188, -0.0001, 0.0178, 0.0327, 0.0257, 0.038, 0.0413, 0.0352, 0.0725, 0.1142, 0.0943, 0.0912, 0.0893, 0.1052, 0.0814, 0.0719, 0.1265, 0.109, 0.1065, 0.106, 0.1014, 0.0976, 0.0976, 0.0879, 0.0939, 0.1285, 0.1492, 0.1513, 0.1175, 0.1145, 0.1435, 0.1184, 0.1116, 0.1074, 0.0961, 0.103, 0.0881, 0.0714, 0.0733, 0.0667, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.0666, 0.0683, 0.0756, 0.0764, 0.081, 0.0588, 0.0317, 0.0393, 0.0159, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0375, 0.0392, 0.0321, 0.039, 0.047, 0.0635, 0.0401, 0.0496, 0.0492, 0.0503, 0.044, 0.0148, 0.0078, 0.0126, -0.0024, -0.0024, 0.0043, 0.0078, 0.0177, 0.0195, 0.0234, 0.022, 0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0314, -0.0348, -0.0376, -0.0409, 0.004, -0.0026, 0.0394, 0.0526, 0.0526, 0.0497, 0.0469, 0.0437, 0.0566, 0.0381, 0.0356, 0.0195, 0.0094, 0.0403, 0.0511, 0.0401, 0.0373, 0.0283, 0.0182, 0.0253, 0.013, 0.0098, 0.0055, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.014, 0.0097, 0.0049, -0.0056, -0.0056, 0.0097, 0.0163, 0.0225, 0.0021, 0.0395, 0.0933, 0.0974, 0.1095, 0.0999, 0.115, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0806, 0.1091, 0.0971, 0.0787, 0.0759, 0.0631, 0.0589, 0.0663, 0.0469, 0.0538, 0.0775, 0.114, 0.1137, 0.1326, 0.1305, 0.1623, 0.1647, 0.1504, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.1603, 0.155, 0.1382, 0.1484, 0.1249, 0.1321, 0.1021, 0.1137, 0.1139, 0.0928, 0.0764, 0.0746, 0.0458, 0.0194, 0.016, 0.0077, -0.0048, -0.0334, -0.0291, -0.0181, -0.0141, -0.0382, -0.0466, -0.0702, -0.0378, -0.035, -0.0266, -0.0501, -0.0652, -0.0743, -0.0437, -0.0389, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0391]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976485745541230763", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "RKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author is pressing a short theme on homebuilders/consumer lending; names XHB, RKT, CVNA, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, COF, APO as consumer lending sector in trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Clients knew two months ago exactly where I expected home builders to get rejected. ✅. And then I pressed this short theme knowing…\n\nCONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE\n\nhttps://t.co/gGD9ZOY5py\n\n$XHB $RKT $CVNA $SOFI $AFRM $UPST $COF $APO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why is nobody talking about homebuilders/suppliers crashing the past two weeks?\n\n$HD -12%\n$LOW -15%\n$PHM -16%\n$LOW -14%\n\nConcerning. https://t.co/6xvplK9c1n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007931614741163773, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007931614741163773, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03571027471324795, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03571027471324795, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004270878427758085, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004270878427758085, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011073239707410254, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011073239707410254, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "ret_p1w": 0.0164734879693893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0164734879693893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0009379805335567593, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0009379805335567593, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "ret_p1m": 0.0420988749086475, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0420988749086475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0014219744003869383, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0014219744003869383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "ret_p3m": 0.2983527443012284, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2983527443012284, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23924633310253562, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23924633310253562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "ret_p6m": -0.08297740740223525, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08297740740223525, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09777323523154002, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09777323523154002, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0420988749086475, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0014219744003869383, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0014219744003869383, "price_path": [-0.1879, -0.1702, -0.1592, -0.1464, -0.0824, -0.0238, -0.011, -0.0933, -0.0848, -0.0824, -0.0726, -0.1056, -0.0988, 0.0092, 0.0299, 0.1001, 0.1056, 0.0708, 0.0256, 0.0439, 0.1147, 0.1971, 0.1422, 0.1306, 0.0879, 0.1251, 0.0836, 0.0726, 0.1721, 0.1428, 0.1556, 0.1031, 0.0915, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.047, 0.0909, 0.1684, 0.2361, 0.2495, 0.2483, 0.2752, 0.288, 0.2874, 0.2874, 0.2672, 0.291, 0.2898, 0.2514, 0.2093, 0.1971, 0.1952, 0.1623, 0.1904, 0.2288, 0.1824, 0.1952, 0.1208, 0.086, 0.0336, -0.0067, -0.0104, -0.0079, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0323, 0.0207, 0.0098, 0.0165, 0.0451, 0.0397, 0.058, 0.0744, 0.0903, 0.108, 0.0683, -0.0092, -0.0275, 0.0165, 0.0305, 0.0226, -0.0055, -0.0476, -0.014, 0.0421, 0.0891, 0.094, 0.0464, 0.0403, 0.0018, 0.0354, 0.0238, -0.0134, 0.0641, 0.1056, 0.1995, 0.2044, 0.2044, 0.219, 0.2392, 0.205, 0.2026, 0.183, 0.1611, 0.1477, 0.1586, 0.1739, 0.1812, 0.1415, 0.1104, 0.1117, 0.108, 0.1379, 0.1641, 0.1733, 0.1641, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.1843, 0.1818, 0.2239, 0.1812, 0.1812, 0.2129, 0.2874, 0.2941, 0.2984, 0.2959, 0.421, 0.4143, 0.3887, 0.3832, 0.4301, 0.4179, 0.4179, 0.3453, 0.2947, 0.3118, 0.2855, 0.2941, 0.2831, 0.2666, 0.2672, 0.094, 0.1452, 0.2416, 0.2203, 0.1714, 0.1519, 0.1965, 0.2355, 0.1342, 0.083, 0.1397, 0.1397, 0.1208, 0.1257, 0.1196, 0.097, 0.0427, 0.0805, 0.0574, 0.0842, 0.1098, 0.0244, 0.0024, 0.0146, -0.0445, -0.0879, -0.0488, -0.0543, -0.0757, -0.1104, -0.1373, -0.0995, -0.0946, -0.1318, -0.1062, -0.1672, -0.13, -0.1354, -0.1281, -0.1489, -0.166, -0.1769, -0.1306, -0.1196, -0.0872, -0.0872, -0.083]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976485745541230763", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "SOFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author is pressing a short theme on homebuilders/consumer lending; names XHB, RKT, CVNA, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, COF, APO as consumer lending sector in trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Clients knew two months ago exactly where I expected home builders to get rejected. ✅. And then I pressed this short theme knowing…\n\nCONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE\n\nhttps://t.co/gGD9ZOY5py\n\n$XHB $RKT $CVNA $SOFI $AFRM $UPST $COF $APO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why is nobody talking about homebuilders/suppliers crashing the past two weeks?\n\n$HD -12%\n$LOW -15%\n$PHM -16%\n$LOW -14%\n\nConcerning. https://t.co/6xvplK9c1n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08629248502469178, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08629248502469178, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.058513825052607604, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06405323892744796, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022239246097243814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03627334235275925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03627334235275925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020929224217590914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026687490938730463, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00958585141402879, "ret_p1w": 0.013363893636221258, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013363893636221258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004047574866724801, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012980524494965895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00038336914125536303, "ret_p1m": 0.16609394015906798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16609394015906798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12257309085003354, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15056479742838347, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015529142730684509, "ret_p3m": 0.030927814029215295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030927814029215295, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02817859716947746, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.038941045987935574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06986886001715087, "ret_p6m": -0.3787705182897543, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3787705182897543, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39356634611905905, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34333399052094127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03543652776881301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16609394015906798, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12257309085003354, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15056479742838347, "price_path": [-0.1997, -0.1833, -0.1565, -0.1672, -0.1921, -0.1989, -0.1768, -0.1787, -0.1905, -0.1974, -0.1447, -0.1649, -0.1378, -0.1894, -0.1672, -0.1775, -0.1806, -0.1569, -0.1562, -0.1439, -0.097, -0.0909, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0748, -0.1313, -0.1401, -0.1092, -0.0447, -0.0015, -0.0218, -0.047, -0.0057, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0489, -0.0649, -0.0309, -0.0225, -0.0088, -0.0084, -0.0256, -0.0088, 0.0137, 0.0565, 0.047, 0.0363, 0.0733, 0.1268, 0.1382, 0.1107, 0.0859, 0.0737, 0.0683, 0.0519, 0.0088, -0.0164, -0.0084, -0.0363, 0.0065, 0.0745, 0.0699, 0.0863, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.0641, 0.0703, 0.0157, 0.0134, 0.0951, 0.0977, 0.0382, 0.0722, 0.1077, 0.1455, 0.2089, 0.1798, 0.1084, 0.1333, 0.1695, 0.1214, 0.1481, 0.037, 0.0771, 0.1661, 0.1817, 0.2299, 0.084, 0.0622, 0.0325, 0.0019, 0.0202, -0.0489, -0.0382, 0.0462, 0.0817, 0.0878, 0.0878, 0.1348, 0.1084, 0.1268, 0.11, 0.1302, 0.0607, 0.0542, 0.0244, 0.0344, 0.0336, 0.0416, -0.0141, 0.0149, -0.0351, 0.0038, 0.0401, 0.0443, 0.0382, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.0336, 0.0241, 0.0141, -0.0004, -0.0004, 0.0485, 0.118, 0.0302, 0.0309, 0.0584, 0.0462, 0.0157, 0.0363, 0.0183, 0.0095, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0267, -0.021, -0.0038, -0.013, -0.0149, -0.0279, -0.0607, -0.0699, -0.1291, -0.1569, -0.1691, -0.2077, -0.257, -0.2035, -0.1848, -0.1913, -0.2153, -0.2631, -0.2512, -0.2512, -0.2551, -0.2539, -0.2631, -0.2738, -0.3043, -0.2875, -0.2635, -0.2707, -0.3219, -0.2978, -0.2894, -0.286, -0.265, -0.2784, -0.2826, -0.3016, -0.2925, -0.3242, -0.3219, -0.3268, -0.3368, -0.344, -0.3478, -0.3547, -0.3452, -0.3624, -0.3677, -0.394, -0.4185, -0.4215, -0.3937, -0.4032, -0.3948, -0.3948, -0.3788]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976485745541230763", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "AFRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author is pressing a short theme on homebuilders/consumer lending; names XHB, RKT, CVNA, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, COF, APO as consumer lending sector in trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["AFRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Clients knew two months ago exactly where I expected home builders to get rejected. ✅. And then I pressed this short theme knowing…\n\nCONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE\n\nhttps://t.co/gGD9ZOY5py\n\n$XHB $RKT $CVNA $SOFI $AFRM $UPST $COF $APO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why is nobody talking about homebuilders/suppliers crashing the past two weeks?\n\n$HD -12%\n$LOW -15%\n$PHM -16%\n$LOW -14%\n\nConcerning. https://t.co/6xvplK9c1n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08883890566554942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08883890566554942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06106024569346524, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0665996595683056, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022239246097243814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028675863551162584, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028675863551162584, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013331745415994245, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019090012137133794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00958585141402879, "ret_p1w": -0.045543968113120115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045543968113120115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06295543661606617, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04592733725437548, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00038336914125536303, "ret_p1m": 0.06958106537406672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06958106537406672, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026060216065032282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05405192264338221, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015529142730684509, "ret_p3m": 0.1674164150167592, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1674164150167592, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10831000381806644, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09754755499960832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06986886001715087, "ret_p6m": -0.3189485355830717, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3189485355830717, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33374436341237645, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28351200781425867, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03543652776881301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06958106537406672, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026060216065032282, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05405192264338221, "price_path": [-0.0701, -0.0552, -0.0235, -0.0315, -0.0617, -0.0803, -0.0773, -0.0748, -0.0569, -0.051, -0.0447, -0.0522, -0.0363, -0.0665, 0.0513, 0.0523, 0.0863, 0.1099, 0.0167, 0.0257, 0.0808, 0.0924, 0.0827, 0.1066, 0.0998, 0.0382, 0.0259, 0.0471, 0.1174, 0.0879, 0.0957, 0.0907, 0.1244, 0.2435, 0.2435, 0.1557, 0.1992, 0.2603, 0.2279, 0.2072, 0.2429, 0.193, 0.1444, 0.1678, 0.2571, 0.2645, 0.2707, 0.2638, 0.2958, 0.2668, 0.1629, 0.1461, 0.0956, 0.0687, 0.0762, 0.0273, 0.0461, 0.0884, 0.0519, 0.0663, 0.0775, 0.0578, 0.0888, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.025, 0.027, -0.0291, -0.0455, 0.0132, 0.0471, 0.0111, 0.0618, 0.0597, 0.0746, 0.0672, 0.0214, -0.0315, 0.0104, 0.0132, 0.0038, 0.0053, -0.0728, 0.0349, 0.0696, 0.0562, 0.1098, 0.0287, -0.0089, -0.0417, -0.0766, -0.0814, -0.1209, -0.095, -0.0597, -0.0325, -0.0329, -0.0329, -0.0027, -0.0292, -0.0579, -0.0211, -0.0344, -0.0443, -0.0426, -0.0382, -0.0039, -0.0297, -0.0547, -0.077, 0.0316, 0.0127, 0.0735, 0.0714, 0.1044, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0656, 0.0614, 0.0662, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0406, 0.1358, 0.1576, 0.1674, 0.1472, 0.1498, 0.0738, 0.0679, 0.0207, 0.0094, 0.0509, 0.0509, -0.0006, 0.0087, 0.0238, 0.0041, -0.0342, -0.033, -0.0812, -0.1172, -0.1524, -0.1286, -0.1333, -0.1262, -0.1647, -0.1983, -0.1854, -0.1615, -0.2052, -0.3005, -0.2998, -0.2998, -0.2747, -0.2733, -0.2716, -0.2818, -0.3375, -0.3271, -0.3256, -0.2913, -0.3396, -0.344, -0.3277, -0.287, -0.262, -0.2733, -0.2858, -0.3004, -0.2861, -0.348, -0.341, -0.3296, -0.3315, -0.3756, -0.3755, -0.3842, -0.3511, -0.3704, -0.3667, -0.3836, -0.4022, -0.3951, -0.3559, -0.3599, -0.349, -0.349, -0.3189]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976485745541230763", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "UPST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author is pressing a short theme on homebuilders/consumer lending; names XHB, RKT, CVNA, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, COF, APO as consumer lending sector in trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Clients knew two months ago exactly where I expected home builders to get rejected. ✅. And then I pressed this short theme knowing…\n\nCONSUMER LENDING SECTOR IS IN TROUBLE\n\nhttps://t.co/gGD9ZOY5py\n\n$XHB $RKT $CVNA $SOFI $AFRM $UPST $COF $APO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why is nobody talking about homebuilders/suppliers crashing the past two weeks?\n\n$HD -12%\n$LOW -15%\n$PHM -16%\n$LOW -14%\n\nConcerning. https://t.co/6xvplK9c1n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07801558167927714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07801558167927714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05023692170719296, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05577633558203332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022239246097243814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020996224878986558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020996224878986558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005652106743818219, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011410373464957768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00958585141402879, "ret_p1w": -0.042816009729440774, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.042816009729440774, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06022747823238683, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04319937887069614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00038336914125536303, "ret_p1m": -0.20193497331282495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20193497331282495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2454558226218594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21746411604350946, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015529142730684509, "ret_p3m": 0.03581716340441221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03581716340441221, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023289247794280543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03405169661273866, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06986886001715087, "ret_p6m": -0.4460683649005148, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4460683649005148, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4608641927298196, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4106318371317018, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03543652776881301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20193497331282495, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2454558226218594, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21746411604350946, "price_path": [0.5259, 0.5842, 0.597, 0.613, 0.5784, 0.6466, 0.7318, 0.7023, 0.7194, 0.6941, 0.6556, 0.7152, 0.6826, 0.6307, 0.705, 0.7007, 0.3821, 0.4312, 0.4154, 0.3063, 0.3053, 0.3757, 0.3139, 0.3193, 0.3442, 0.2677, 0.3149, 0.3075, 0.4172, 0.4234, 0.4181, 0.4327, 0.5183, 0.5084, 0.5084, 0.4238, 0.3269, 0.3559, 0.3771, 0.4043, 0.4187, 0.2849, 0.2802, 0.2985, 0.3788, 0.3827, 0.4022, 0.4008, 0.3975, 0.3359, 0.2841, 0.2476, 0.1719, 0.1805, 0.0856, 0.0457, 0.0731, 0.0885, 0.0696, 0.083, 0.0665, 0.0655, 0.078, 0.0, 0.021, 0.0373, 0.0513, -0.0164, -0.0428, 0.0338, 0.0778, 0.0371, 0.0725, 0.0846, 0.0856, 0.0436, 0.0035, -0.0745, -0.0218, -0.0214, -0.0482, -0.1406, -0.2234, -0.2054, -0.2019, -0.1986, -0.1844, -0.2324, -0.203, -0.2576, -0.2196, -0.2328, -0.2676, -0.2365, -0.1968, -0.1402, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.0745, -0.0889, -0.121, -0.0675, -0.0298, -0.0377, -0.0344, -0.0428, 0.0048, 0.0113, 0.0159, -0.0521, -0.0344, -0.0727, -0.0319, -0.0204, 0.0039, 0.0067, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0228, -0.0414, -0.0745, -0.0998, -0.0998, -0.0564, 0.0436, 0.0432, 0.0358, 0.0418, 0.0111, -0.0685, -0.0305, -0.0438, -0.0138, -0.0095, -0.0095, -0.0817, -0.0513, -0.0473, -0.0677, -0.0548, -0.0696, -0.1115, -0.1451, -0.1921, -0.183, -0.2058, -0.2194, -0.2874, -0.2128, -0.2003, -0.198, -0.3186, -0.3786, -0.3685, -0.3685, -0.3419, -0.351, -0.3691, -0.3971, -0.4389, -0.4207, -0.4146, -0.3893, -0.4395, -0.4179, -0.4187, -0.4162, -0.4111, -0.4282, -0.4253, -0.4203, -0.4345, -0.4697, -0.4574, -0.428, -0.4271, -0.4683, -0.449, -0.4652, -0.4255, -0.4524, -0.4629, -0.4786, -0.4901, -0.5014, -0.472, -0.478, -0.4734, -0.4734, -0.4461]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1941880225773580723", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T15:21:38+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I rec'd $ASTS in Feb '25 for clients' TREND LONG portfolio, never did the thought of \"Golden Dome\" enter my mind.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long ASTS in client trend portfolio; anti-Musk thesis was the original driver, now validated.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When I rec’d $ASTS in Feb ‘25 for clients’ TREND LONG portfolio, never did the thought of “Golden Dome” enter my mind. \n\nBut the “anti-Musk” thesis most certainly did. 🎯\n\nhttps://t.co/aYcWOkaywZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "My take:  yes*\n\nAnd, the Ligado deal woke up people.  Guys saw Cerberus and then started digging.  There is also the bridge financing going around, which is forcing big funds to study the name.  At the same time, it doesn’t take much work or much calling around to figure out that", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019697998532063332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019697998532063332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00947772058878027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00947772058878027, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005033914404669715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005033914404669715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004486179109657207, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004486179109657207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.047494026020260316, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047494026020260316, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04083997181464949, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04083997181464949, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0066540542056108265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0066540542056108265, "ret_p1m": 0.15058002352605437, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15058002352605437, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1388348845898002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1388348845898002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.4480193839059179, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4480193839059179, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3668257047453718, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3668257047453718, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": 0.6344933803854422, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6344933803854422, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.52127821496819, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.52127821496819, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321516541725218, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321516541725218, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15058002352605437, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1388348845898002, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1388348845898002, "price_path": [-0.4717, -0.4935, -0.4905, -0.4986, -0.4984, -0.51, -0.4881, -0.4881, -0.5455, -0.5338, -0.5093, -0.4732, -0.48, -0.4692, -0.4769, -0.492, -0.4962, -0.4218, -0.4583, -0.4511, -0.4458, -0.4474, -0.4362, -0.4056, -0.4189, -0.4255, -0.4257, -0.4165, -0.4614, -0.4522, -0.4784, -0.4657, -0.4726, -0.4726, -0.4563, -0.4576, -0.4841, -0.4951, -0.4714, -0.4489, -0.3721, -0.3248, -0.3174, -0.2379, -0.2184, -0.2018, -0.1919, -0.1602, -0.0827, -0.1223, -0.0293, -0.0293, 0.0055, 0.0987, 0.1648, 0.0937, 0.1079, 0.0803, 0.0228, -0.0127, 0.0004, -0.002, -0.002, 0.0, -0.005, -0.0698, -0.0376, -0.0024, 0.0475, 0.1188, 0.1519, 0.2574, 0.269, 0.2403, 0.2495, 0.2896, 0.3145, 0.1892, 0.1867, 0.162, 0.1882, 0.1637, 0.1482, 0.1245, 0.1506, 0.1335, 0.0442, 0.0206, 0.005, 0.0891, 0.0954, 0.0615, 0.0523, 0.0541, -0.0162, -0.0134, -0.0155, 0.0302, 0.0946, 0.1037, 0.056, 0.0714, 0.0711, 0.0711, 0.0672, -0.0103, -0.0838, -0.0718, -0.1077, -0.1922, -0.1775, -0.1602, -0.1525, -0.1033, -0.1151, -0.0985, -0.093, -0.0129, 0.0692, 0.1994, 0.1928, 0.081, 0.0744, 0.0689, 0.0742, 0.2462, 0.448, 0.483, 0.5955, 0.636, 0.7772, 0.8995, 0.7954, 0.9807, 1.0683, 1.0943, 0.9589, 0.8273, 0.8124, 0.7205, 0.5616, 0.5697, 0.613, 0.7389, 0.7021, 0.7522, 0.6783, 0.7564, 0.5571, 0.5332, 0.5404, 0.4288, 0.5143, 0.5036, 0.4859, 0.4115, 0.3447, 0.3438, 0.2388, 0.2742, 0.2696, 0.1097, 0.1243, 0.2038, 0.2149, 0.2151, 0.2151, 0.23, 0.1515, 0.2451, 0.3447, 0.5901, 0.6179, 0.6196, 0.5942, 0.7301, 0.8549, 0.6787, 0.4841, 0.4964, 0.3539, 0.443, 0.6599, 0.8928, 0.875, 0.7083, 0.7083, 0.5747, 0.5642, 0.6345]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1963005496841166937", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T22:25:55+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also gave $QQQ $559 short ;-)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short QQQ from $559.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I also gave $QQQ $559 short ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007805943039548513, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007805943039548513, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002415514687908571, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002415514687908571, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390428351639942, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005390428351639942, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009051446492677417, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009051446492677417, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006941256093833115, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006941256093833115, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357320883294106, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008357320883294106, "ret_p1w": 0.01864687387230357, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01864687387230357, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005489454670970728, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005489454670970728, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157419201332843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013157419201332843, "ret_p1m": 0.0637854664899391, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0637854664899391, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02132225450978642, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02132225450978642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246321198015268, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04246321198015268, "ret_p3m": 0.08387643660065036, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08387643660065036, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024200186321806205, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.024200186321806205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059676250278844156, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059676250278844156, "ret_p6m": 0.07132833856717036, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07132833856717036, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.005586929133311935, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.005586929133311935, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691526770048229, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07691526770048229, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0637854664899391, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02132225450978642, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02132225450978642, "price_path": [-0.0715, -0.0701, -0.064, -0.0671, -0.0649, -0.0767, -0.0638, -0.0729, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0769, -0.0674, -0.0531, -0.0507, -0.0418, -0.0386, -0.0323, -0.0405, -0.0338, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0316, -0.0311, -0.0242, -0.0256, -0.0278, -0.0243, -0.0234, -0.0224, -0.0145, -0.0155, -0.0103, -0.0155, -0.011, -0.0089, -0.0065, -0.0034, -0.0049, -0.0036, -0.0089, -0.0284, -0.0105, -0.0172, -0.0048, -0.0015, 0.0079, 0.0049, 0.0175, 0.018, 0.0172, 0.0128, 0.0123, -0.0014, -0.0073, -0.0119, 0.0033, 0.0004, 0.0045, 0.006, 0.0123, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0105, 0.0154, 0.0183, 0.0186, 0.0246, 0.0291, 0.0379, 0.037, 0.035, 0.0443, 0.0514, 0.0576, 0.0506, 0.0469, 0.0424, 0.0466, 0.0515, 0.0544, 0.0594, 0.0638, 0.0593, 0.0673, 0.0616, 0.0738, 0.0725, 0.0353, 0.0573, 0.0502, 0.0576, 0.0537, 0.0606, 0.074, 0.0737, 0.0634, 0.0723, 0.0838, 0.1031, 0.1115, 0.1165, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.1101, 0.0875, 0.0946, 0.0742, 0.0708, 0.0945, 0.0916, 0.0907, 0.0685, 0.0693, 0.0602, 0.0472, 0.0535, 0.0286, 0.0363, 0.0628, 0.0693, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0875, 0.0839, 0.0924, 0.095, 0.094, 0.0985, 0.0964, 0.0977, 0.1022, 0.0986, 0.0776, 0.0722, 0.0744, 0.0544, 0.0697, 0.0837, 0.0889, 0.094, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0971, 0.0918, 0.0892, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0782, 0.0867, 0.0963, 0.0973, 0.0911, 0.1019, 0.1029, 0.1012, 0.0895, 0.0934, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.0693, 0.0837, 0.0916, 0.095, 0.0999, 0.1098, 0.1135, 0.1068, 0.0935, 0.101, 0.0841, 0.0652, 0.0499, 0.072, 0.0803, 0.0752, 0.0781, 0.0562, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0574, 0.0653, 0.0612, 0.0706, 0.0576, 0.0689, 0.0844, 0.0713]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1935395562146205801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-18T17:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT is the strongest of the #MAG7 stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT is the strongest MAG7 name; bearish scenario only if OpenAI rift drags it down, implying current bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT is the strongest of the #MAG7 stocks. If this OpenAI rift &amp; lawsuits brings Microsoft down, don't be surprised if market falls. #sentiment", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/VWJWSKFRPe", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0045810208736927205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0045810208736927205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004731653067895136, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004731653067895136, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001506321942024158, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001506321942024158, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.025049955789862688, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025049955789862688, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005843315044227193, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005843315044227193, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019206640745635495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019206640745635495, "ret_p1m": 0.06550889314265018, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06550889314265018, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011182781072504921, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011182781072504921, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05432611207014526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05432611207014526, "ret_p3m": 0.07489422747044472, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07489422747044472, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03461258055566119, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03461258055566119, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1095068080261059, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1095068080261059, "ret_p6m": 0.010268063831700758, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010268063831700758, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14988804250634047, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14988804250634047, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16015610633804123, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16015610633804123, "ret_p1y": -0.12544104448147053, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12544104448147053, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3741102442691765, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3741102442691765, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24866919978770596, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24866919978770596, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06550889314265018, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011182781072504921, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011182781072504921, "price_path": [-0.1868, -0.183, -0.1787, -0.1895, -0.1882, -0.2127, -0.2198, -0.2056, -0.2057, -0.2245, -0.2521, -0.2562, -0.2631, -0.1884, -0.2074, -0.1926, -0.1939, -0.1983, -0.2276, -0.2356, -0.2356, -0.2536, -0.2376, -0.2218, -0.195, -0.1855, -0.187, -0.181, -0.1785, -0.1158, -0.0953, -0.0934, -0.0994, -0.0993, -0.0893, -0.0881, -0.0662, -0.0665, -0.0586, -0.0565, -0.0541, -0.0445, -0.046, -0.0576, -0.0528, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0407, -0.0476, -0.0449, -0.0414, -0.038, -0.036, -0.0341, -0.0262, -0.0205, -0.0156, -0.0194, -0.0159, -0.0029, -0.011, -0.0023, -0.0046, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0059, 0.012, 0.0206, 0.025, 0.0358, 0.0327, 0.0358, 0.0246, 0.0226, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0364, 0.0341, 0.0485, 0.0442, 0.0481, 0.0474, 0.0533, 0.0528, 0.0655, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.0521, 0.0534, 0.0638, 0.0697, 0.0672, 0.0673, 0.0687, 0.1109, 0.0914, 0.1154, 0.0989, 0.0931, 0.0845, 0.087, 0.0865, 0.102, 0.084, 0.088, 0.0831, 0.0768, 0.0615, 0.0531, 0.0517, 0.0579, 0.0517, 0.0471, 0.0569, 0.063, 0.0568, 0.0568, 0.0535, 0.054, 0.0595, 0.0324, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0436, 0.045, 0.0635, 0.0749, 0.0617, 0.0638, 0.0605, 0.0803, 0.073, 0.0621, 0.064, 0.0575, 0.0668, 0.0733, 0.0803, 0.084, 0.0757, 0.079, 0.1024, 0.0929, 0.0947, 0.0896, 0.0657, 0.0722, 0.0712, 0.0709, 0.0671, 0.0712, 0.0779, 0.0797, 0.0857, 0.0857, 0.0921, 0.1086, 0.1306, 0.1295, 0.0966, 0.08, 0.0784, 0.0727, 0.0578, 0.0368, 0.0362, 0.0554, 0.061, 0.0661, 0.0497, 0.0641, 0.0585, 0.0299, 0.016, -0.0003, -0.0134, -0.0095, -0.0033, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0281, 0.0171, 0.0239, -0.0017, 0.0048, 0.0096, 0.026, 0.0281, 0.0, 0.0103]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976801125832482979", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-11T00:04:50+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GOLD & SILVER FUNDING STRESS TRIGGERED FX VOL WHICH TRIGGERED EQUITY VOL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Selloff is planned/mechanical deleveraging, not a real top; bullish gold/silver as inflation/supply-risk signals, and equities resume higher once hedges unwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Marko, you are brilliant, but no. \n\nCHINA HAS THE GOLD & SILVER & RARE EARTHS & OIL & AI … AND DOES NOT NEED US. TRUMP IS PISSED HE CANNOT CONTROL THEM!\n\nBut even before that…\nGOLD & SILVER FUNDING STRESS TRIGGERED FX VOL WHICH TRIGGERED EQUITY VOL & THEN TRUMP’S TIRADE\n\nMECHANICAL DELEVERAGING TRIGGERED FORCED SELLING\n\nBullish Valuations from Nirvana AI Stories & Leverage & Fraud don’t just stop on a tweet. We are far from a real top. Because US buyers are far from reasonable or afraid. \n\nMarket behavior is predictable -  like people. Also like people, it LOVES to be lied to. \n\nTry not to project this sell-off as anything more than it is: PLANNED & PATTERNED EVENT RISK TO MAXIMIZE POSITION HEDGES.\n\nOnce unwound, we go back to the same ol’ same ol’\n\nMore policy intervention AND fraud AND financialization AND political expediency of self-preservation.\n\nBut next time… market “may” be a little bit wiser to hedge the REAL RISKS NOT PRICED IN… like GOLD (silver, metals) telling US that we are not ready for the inflation & supply risks & consumer/labor weakness that are about to hit US shores and that CHINA (not Trump)  is the price-setter NOT price-taker.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Selloff today has little do with tariffs. Extreme leverage/valuations, fraudulent cos that rallied 2-3x in the last month of the bubble. Bucket of fuel, waiting for a spark. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1976801125832482979", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-11T00:04:50+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "like GOLD (silver, metals) telling US that we are not ready for the inflation & supply risks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Selloff is planned/mechanical deleveraging, not a real top; bullish gold/silver as inflation/supply-risk signals, and equities resume higher once hedges unwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Marko, you are brilliant, but no. \n\nCHINA HAS THE GOLD & SILVER & RARE EARTHS & OIL & AI … AND DOES NOT NEED US. TRUMP IS PISSED HE CANNOT CONTROL THEM!\n\nBut even before that…\nGOLD & SILVER FUNDING STRESS TRIGGERED FX VOL WHICH TRIGGERED EQUITY VOL & THEN TRUMP’S TIRADE\n\nMECHANICAL DELEVERAGING TRIGGERED FORCED SELLING\n\nBullish Valuations from Nirvana AI Stories & Leverage & Fraud don’t just stop on a tweet. We are far from a real top. Because US buyers are far from reasonable or afraid. \n\nMarket behavior is predictable -  like people. Also like people, it LOVES to be lied to. \n\nTry not to project this sell-off as anything more than it is: PLANNED & PATTERNED EVENT RISK TO MAXIMIZE POSITION HEDGES.\n\nOnce unwound, we go back to the same ol’ same ol’\n\nMore policy intervention AND fraud AND financialization AND political expediency of self-preservation.\n\nBut next time… market “may” be a little bit wiser to hedge the REAL RISKS NOT PRICED IN… like GOLD (silver, metals) telling US that we are not ready for the inflation & supply risks & consumer/labor weakness that are about to hit US shores and that CHINA (not Trump)  is the price-setter NOT price-taker.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Selloff today has little do with tariffs. Extreme leverage/valuations, fraudulent cos that rallied 2-3x in the last month of the bubble. Bucket of fuel, waiting for a spark. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1974570811403948383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T20:22:21+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JD China Play Is In Play … position for a breakout using call spreads or a broken-wing butterfly", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish JD on unusual call-options flow; positioning for breakout via spreads/butterfly; also covers BABA, BIDU, ASTS.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mispriced Options: $JD China Play Is In Play\n\n@HansCashFlow and I discuss $JD unusual options setup — 400K Jan $40 calls with IV spiking while price stays flat. \n\nWe break down how to position for a breakout using call spreads or a broken-wing butterfly to profit without overpaying for vol.\n\nAlso discuss $BABA $BIDU $ASTS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014202144156202356, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014202144156202356, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01062877920867944, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005698633323311553, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008503510832890804, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02840439832893693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02840439832893693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02469688443961915, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010897170143573498, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017507228185363433, "ret_p1w": -0.0740740211031512, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0740740211031512, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06131365280566159, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048896959617533375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025177061485617824, "ret_p1m": -0.11389582512564167, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11389582512564167, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11930072630854394, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10664286252113986, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007252962604501811, "ret_p3m": -0.20077967616193682, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20077967616193682, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2191311414413225, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19825073723834696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002528938923589852, "ret_p6m": -0.17655249554350527, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17655249554350527, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15039601758365406, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08872707394086732, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08782542160263795, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11389582512564167, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11930072630854394, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10664286252113986, "price_path": [-0.12, -0.1306, -0.1339, -0.1423, -0.1078, -0.1189, -0.0897, -0.0554, -0.0699, -0.0565, -0.0551, -0.0679, -0.076, -0.0749, -0.1028, -0.1158, -0.1231, -0.1392, -0.1195, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1158, -0.1231, -0.1317, -0.1055, -0.0947, -0.1206, -0.1172, -0.1153, -0.13, -0.132, -0.1317, -0.1122, -0.1092, -0.1142, -0.1417, -0.1537, -0.1348, -0.1348, -0.1206, -0.1312, -0.1387, -0.1242, -0.0852, -0.0568, -0.0721, -0.042, -0.0624, -0.0638, -0.0334, -0.0187, -0.0148, -0.0226, -0.0551, -0.0827, -0.0301, -0.0206, -0.0393, -0.0075, -0.0259, 0.0072, 0.0019, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0284, -0.0259, -0.054, -0.1131, -0.0741, -0.0891, -0.0771, -0.0883, -0.0791, -0.0599, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.076, -0.0757, -0.0476, -0.0384, -0.0432, -0.0707, -0.0799, -0.0872, -0.1139, -0.1078, -0.1103, -0.1147, -0.1253, -0.1197, -0.1298, -0.1448, -0.1838, -0.1774, -0.1799, -0.1959, -0.2094, -0.1944, -0.1908, -0.1885, -0.1807, -0.1807, -0.1693, -0.1676, -0.1632, -0.1682, -0.1718, -0.1674, -0.1668, -0.1729, -0.1754, -0.1774, -0.1802, -0.1966, -0.1966, -0.2036, -0.198, -0.1974, -0.1899, -0.1902, -0.1877, -0.1877, -0.1813, -0.1849, -0.2005, -0.2008, -0.2008, -0.1777, -0.1743, -0.1757, -0.1916, -0.1738, -0.1799, -0.1442, -0.1679, -0.1693, -0.181, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.2097, -0.1905, -0.1646, -0.169, -0.1707, -0.1785, -0.186, -0.1905, -0.2069, -0.2055, -0.2192, -0.2328, -0.2392, -0.2183, -0.22, -0.2105, -0.2128, -0.2336, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2389, -0.2367, -0.2406, -0.2367, -0.2417, -0.2336, -0.2331, -0.2487, -0.2612, -0.2662, -0.286, -0.2927, -0.2907, -0.2473, -0.235, -0.2278, -0.2172, -0.2219, -0.2114, -0.2066, -0.2052, -0.2147, -0.2197, -0.2406, -0.2331, -0.235, -0.1715, -0.1874, -0.2008, -0.1941, -0.1766]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1951793749287166351", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T23:54:27+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MAG7 to include $AVGO not $TSLA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on mega-cap 7 at super-peak valuations (33.7x earnings, 27x index P/E); prefers AVGO over TSLA in the group.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Beyond “super peak” valuations\n\n“Trading for 33.7x current earnings, the 7 have pushed the index P/E dangerously to over 27x (on margins near record highs). Capital expenditures at Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta and Broadcom are consuming a now huge proportion of cash earned in operations, feeding Nvidia and their own internal capex.” \n\nMAG7 to include $AVGO not $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Stunning. The 7 largest U.S. stocks reached a combined $20 trillion in market value, an unprecedented 37% of the S&amp;P 500. That’s 55% larger than the index at its 2000 and 2007 peaks. It matches where the index first traded in April 2017 and larger than the March 2020 Covid low. https://t.co/QMYJjGI7TW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030498380627905664, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030498380627905664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015526288003927857, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008995234348321945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972092623977806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021503146279583718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016088979280119653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016088979280119653, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011019052936507068, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005440787665627278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010648191614492375, "ret_p1w": 0.020757715213190586, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020757715213190586, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013232021909024949, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009696102988852706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01106161222433788, "ret_p1m": 0.0017466909469388003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0017466909469388003, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012671028198266265, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014531398920502703, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012784707973563902, "ret_p3m": 0.26667681093799867, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26667681093799867, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18659555758071478, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013256623057900097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.25342018788009857, "ret_p6m": 0.12185290476673538, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12185290476673538, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.013626882299650145, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2859047183021135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4077576230688489, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0017466909469388003, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012671028198266265, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014531398920502703, "price_path": [-0.3137, -0.3038, -0.3023, -0.2575, -0.2212, -0.2222, -0.2204, -0.2339, -0.2272, -0.2236, -0.2302, -0.2275, -0.2336, -0.2336, -0.2103, -0.1977, -0.1892, -0.1888, -0.1666, -0.1393, -0.1251, -0.129, -0.1725, -0.1814, -0.1803, -0.1525, -0.1419, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.1644, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1603, -0.1476, -0.114, -0.1111, -0.0925, -0.0953, -0.0741, -0.1108, -0.0934, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.0791, -0.0871, -0.0666, -0.075, -0.0784, -0.0743, -0.0564, -0.0568, -0.0379, -0.0483, -0.0319, -0.0643, -0.0471, -0.0303, -0.0253, -0.0115, -0.001, 0.0165, -0.0135, -0.0305, 0.0, -0.0161, 0.0133, 0.0203, 0.0244, 0.0208, 0.0508, 0.0382, 0.0454, 0.029, 0.027, -0.0094, -0.022, -0.0273, -0.0125, -0.0117, 0.001, 0.0085, 0.0367, -0.0011, -0.0011, 0.0017, 0.0157, 0.0281, 0.1248, 0.161, 0.1308, 0.2413, 0.2079, 0.2088, 0.2229, 0.2092, 0.1627, 0.16, 0.1586, 0.1399, 0.1404, 0.1416, 0.1308, 0.1256, 0.1033, 0.11, 0.1217, 0.1378, 0.1385, 0.1288, 0.1319, 0.1625, 0.1609, 0.0923, 0.2002, 0.1579, 0.1821, 0.1916, 0.1754, 0.1751, 0.1529, 0.145, 0.1584, 0.1915, 0.2182, 0.2549, 0.2987, 0.2667, 0.2437, 0.2198, 0.1841, 0.2078, 0.1964, 0.1757, 0.2058, 0.1842, 0.1952, 0.1439, 0.1522, 0.1529, 0.1457, 0.1925, 0.1669, 0.1446, 0.2717, 0.2955, 0.3377, 0.3377, 0.3558, 0.299, 0.2838, 0.2806, 0.282, 0.313, 0.3495, 0.367, 0.3895, 0.3673, 0.211, 0.1433, 0.1483, 0.0969, 0.1099, 0.1452, 0.151, 0.1776, 0.1806, 0.1806, 0.187, 0.1778, 0.1794, 0.1667, 0.1667, 0.1718, 0.1577, 0.1589, 0.158, 0.1208, 0.1629, 0.1873, 0.1954, 0.1458, 0.1563, 0.1856, 0.1856, 0.1212, 0.1084, 0.0972, 0.0789, 0.0951, 0.1219]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965563152692822065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T23:49:08+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL Long As AI Moves To The Edge", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAPL on AI-to-edge thesis; GOOGL and QQQ also bullish following antitrust win bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL Long As AI Moves To The Edge With $GOOGL\n\nApple looks strong in its consolidation channel, and Google’s antitrust win gave both stocks — and $QQQ — a stick-save bounce.\n\nh/t @HansCashFlow - know what else he is trading? $NBIS 😉🔥 That worked.\n\nJoin us at https://t.co/MrMkwZYLl1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03333490992734012, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03333490992734012, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03621738255596141, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051139811407633906, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780490148029379, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014286370691166894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014286370691166894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00597598561462398, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010917823703288088, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033685469878788066, "ret_p1w": 0.05379435461044779, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05379435461044779, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310761383314898, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049056225990909974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738128619537818, "ret_p1m": 0.12015515304353386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12015515304353386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08824707803263365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044556515434152955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0755986376093809, "ret_p3m": 0.22650642713952962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22650642713952962, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.175425802684535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1321534248748144, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435300226471521, "ret_p6m": 0.14990136616481275, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14990136616481275, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0992923227097211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10919762691772994, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040703739247082815, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12015515304353386, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08824707803263365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.044556515434152955, "price_path": [-0.1348, -0.1261, -0.1383, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.1147, -0.1125, -0.1178, -0.1123, -0.1147, -0.1144, -0.0964, -0.0847, -0.0643, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0753, -0.075, -0.0701, -0.0645, -0.07, -0.0812, -0.079, -0.0744, -0.075, -0.0699, -0.0642, -0.0557, -0.0568, -0.0585, -0.058, -0.0572, -0.0695, -0.0793, -0.0858, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1063, -0.0608, -0.0309, 0.0101, 0.0017, 0.0126, 0.0288, 0.0264, 0.0212, 0.0181, 0.0166, -0.0034, -0.0083, 0.0043, 0.0016, 0.0111, 0.0163, 0.0254, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0129, 0.0515, 0.0573, 0.0569, 0.0489, 0.0333, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.0321, 0.0437, 0.0501, 0.0538, 0.0489, 0.0825, 0.1292, 0.1219, 0.1125, 0.1326, 0.1264, 0.1219, 0.1228, 0.1264, 0.1338, 0.1377, 0.1318, 0.1309, 0.1379, 0.1202, 0.0815, 0.092, 0.0925, 0.0994, 0.0911, 0.1124, 0.1563, 0.1586, 0.1396, 0.1446, 0.1589, 0.1853, 0.1861, 0.1892, 0.1967, 0.1922, 0.1863, 0.1907, 0.1911, 0.1895, 0.1838, 0.1892, 0.2149, 0.207, 0.2047, 0.2023, 0.1805, 0.1804, 0.1853, 0.1751, 0.1983, 0.2178, 0.2224, 0.225, 0.225, 0.2307, 0.2495, 0.2631, 0.2541, 0.2389, 0.2304, 0.2265, 0.2234, 0.2304, 0.2271, 0.2282, 0.2098, 0.212, 0.1998, 0.2013, 0.2079, 0.196, 0.2021, 0.2085, 0.2085, 0.2067, 0.2083, 0.2053, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.1961, 0.1796, 0.158, 0.149, 0.1433, 0.1448, 0.1486, 0.1522, 0.1474, 0.1396, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.0888, 0.093, 0.0961, 0.0948, 0.1273, 0.1399, 0.1318, 0.14, 0.1453, 0.1917, 0.1894, 0.2203, 0.2178, 0.2275, 0.2132, 0.2091, 0.2171, 0.1563, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1658, 0.1678, 0.1512, 0.1689, 0.1759, 0.2023, 0.2115, 0.2058, 0.1671, 0.1695, 0.1652, 0.1598, 0.1499]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965563152692822065", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-09T23:49:08+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Apple looks strong in its consolidation channel, and Google's antitrust win gave both stocks — and $QQQ — a stick-save bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAPL on AI-to-edge thesis; GOOGL and QQQ also bullish following antitrust win bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL Long As AI Moves To The Edge With $GOOGL\n\nApple looks strong in its consolidation channel, and Google’s antitrust win gave both stocks — and $QQQ — a stick-save bounce.\n\nh/t @HansCashFlow - know what else he is trading? $NBIS 😉🔥 That worked.\n\nJoin us at https://t.co/MrMkwZYLl1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019232741032839673, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019232741032839673, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004805746731905258, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005492487096741883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00741576120002585, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0050173118321086285, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0050173118321086285, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003293073244434286, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010337756734086767, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015355068566195396, "ret_p1w": 0.04331652820354548, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04331652820354548, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03262978742624667, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006586484081940958, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03673004412160452, "ret_p1m": 0.00986746303736541, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00986746303736541, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022040611973534796, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003753441431741722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006114021605623687, "ret_p3m": 0.31256096728407634, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31256096728407634, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2614803428290817, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2947153570687684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01784561021530795, "ret_p6m": 0.25884033609577717, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25884033609577717, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20823129264068552, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21855208722661468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04028824886916249, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00986746303736541, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.022040611973534796, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003753441431741722, "price_path": [-0.2703, -0.2616, -0.265, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3039, -0.3099, -0.3033, -0.287, -0.2751, -0.2542, -0.2638, -0.2654, -0.2538, -0.25, -0.25, -0.2615, -0.2716, -0.2622, -0.258, -0.2473, -0.2416, -0.2397, -0.2357, -0.2331, -0.2269, -0.2059, -0.2007, -0.2053, -0.1972, -0.193, -0.1955, -0.1823, -0.179, -0.1984, -0.2099, -0.1852, -0.1868, -0.1809, -0.1791, -0.1586, -0.1603, -0.1506, -0.1563, -0.1522, -0.1482, -0.1499, -0.158, -0.1674, -0.1656, -0.1391, -0.1291, -0.1347, -0.1333, -0.1159, -0.1106, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.0364, -0.0296, -0.0183, -0.0214, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.005, 0.0068, 0.052, 0.0501, 0.0433, 0.0538, 0.065, 0.0559, 0.0522, 0.0333, 0.0277, 0.0308, 0.0204, 0.0164, 0.024, 0.0273, 0.0258, 0.0471, 0.0276, 0.0228, 0.0099, -0.0109, 0.0208, 0.0263, 0.0496, 0.0514, 0.0591, 0.0727, 0.0472, 0.0523, 0.0582, 0.0868, 0.1259, 0.1183, 0.148, 0.1769, 0.1757, 0.1863, 0.1604, 0.1887, 0.1906, 0.1658, 0.2129, 0.218, 0.1988, 0.1647, 0.1557, 0.1917, 0.1886, 0.2243, 0.2102, 0.2529, 0.332, 0.3523, 0.3378, 0.3378, 0.3387, 0.3166, 0.3204, 0.3364, 0.328, 0.3433, 0.3126, 0.3266, 0.3397, 0.3072, 0.294, 0.2895, 0.2826, 0.2414, 0.2655, 0.2851, 0.2961, 0.3152, 0.3141, 0.3141, 0.3117, 0.3119, 0.3131, 0.3095, 0.3095, 0.3185, 0.3244, 0.3152, 0.3471, 0.3616, 0.3747, 0.3885, 0.4057, 0.4051, 0.3923, 0.3807, 0.3807, 0.3472, 0.3739, 0.3829, 0.372, 0.3943, 0.3997, 0.4058, 0.4152, 0.4141, 0.438, 0.4213, 0.3934, 0.3859, 0.3508, 0.3569, 0.3329, 0.301, 0.2928, 0.2791, 0.2791, 0.2636, 0.2691, 0.2671, 0.3178, 0.3032, 0.3008, 0.3091, 0.286, 0.3044, 0.2824, 0.2701, 0.2683, 0.2588]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965563152692822065", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-09T23:49:08+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Google's antitrust win gave both stocks — and $QQQ — a stick-save bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAPL on AI-to-edge thesis; GOOGL and QQQ also bullish following antitrust win bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL Long As AI Moves To The Edge With $GOOGL\n\nApple looks strong in its consolidation channel, and Google’s antitrust win gave both stocks — and $QQQ — a stick-save bounce.\n\nh/t @HansCashFlow - know what else he is trading? $NBIS 😉🔥 That worked.\n\nJoin us at https://t.co/MrMkwZYLl1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00032724998607447375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00032724998607447375, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002555222642546817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002555222642546817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005820555603380573, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005820555603380573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024898294731623416, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024898294731623416, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "ret_p1w": 0.016015099495811258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016015099495811258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005328358718512449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005328358718512449, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "ret_p1m": 0.05288093923910897, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05288093923910897, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020972864228208765, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020972864228208765, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "ret_p3m": 0.07629355526410397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07629355526410397, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.025212930809109357, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025212930809109357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "ret_p6m": 0.051147316085929706, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.051147316085929706, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0005382726308380548, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0005382726308380548, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05288093923910897, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020972864228208765, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020972864228208765, "price_path": [-0.0936, -0.081, -0.0899, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.0938, -0.0845, -0.0705, -0.0681, -0.0594, -0.0562, -0.05, -0.0581, -0.0515, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0494, -0.0488, -0.0421, -0.0435, -0.0456, -0.0422, -0.0413, -0.0403, -0.0325, -0.0335, -0.0285, -0.0335, -0.0291, -0.027, -0.0247, -0.0216, -0.0231, -0.0218, -0.027, -0.0462, -0.0286, -0.0352, -0.023, -0.0197, -0.0106, -0.0135, -0.0011, -0.0006, -0.0014, -0.0058, -0.0062, -0.0197, -0.0255, -0.03, -0.015, -0.0179, -0.0139, -0.0124, -0.0062, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.026, -0.0183, -0.0094, -0.008, -0.0032, -0.0003, 0.0, 0.0058, 0.0103, 0.0189, 0.018, 0.016, 0.0252, 0.0321, 0.0382, 0.0313, 0.0277, 0.0233, 0.0275, 0.0322, 0.0351, 0.04, 0.0443, 0.0399, 0.0477, 0.0422, 0.0542, 0.0529, 0.0163, 0.0379, 0.031, 0.0383, 0.0344, 0.0412, 0.0543, 0.0541, 0.0439, 0.0527, 0.0639, 0.0829, 0.0912, 0.0961, 0.0793, 0.0846, 0.0897, 0.0676, 0.0746, 0.0546, 0.0512, 0.0745, 0.0716, 0.0708, 0.0489, 0.0497, 0.0407, 0.0281, 0.0342, 0.0097, 0.0173, 0.0433, 0.0498, 0.059, 0.059, 0.0676, 0.064, 0.0724, 0.075, 0.074, 0.0784, 0.0763, 0.0776, 0.082, 0.0785, 0.0579, 0.0526, 0.0547, 0.0351, 0.0501, 0.0638, 0.0689, 0.0739, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.077, 0.0718, 0.0693, 0.0605, 0.0605, 0.0584, 0.0668, 0.0762, 0.0772, 0.0711, 0.0818, 0.0827, 0.0811, 0.0695, 0.0734, 0.0725, 0.0725, 0.0497, 0.0639, 0.0716, 0.075, 0.0797, 0.0895, 0.0931, 0.0866, 0.0735, 0.0809, 0.0643, 0.0457, 0.0306, 0.0524, 0.0605, 0.0556, 0.0584, 0.0369, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.038, 0.0458, 0.0418, 0.051, 0.0382, 0.0494, 0.0646, 0.0517, 0.0484, 0.0497, 0.0385, 0.0543, 0.0511]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1934334333411635420", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-15T19:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "she remains long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium—due to strong fundamentals and continued global de-dollarization", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish gold, silver, uranium, miners on de-dollarization; macro bearish equities into year-end on unpriced war risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dancing Closer To Global Bond Volatility\n\n\"While stocks have rallied on liquidity and policy interventions, Samantha warns that this is a \"monetary illusion\" masking deeper structural problems. Amidst this, she remains long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium—due to strong fundamentals and continued global de-dollarization.\"\n\nI might add that this macro-focused talk was before escalation between Israel & Iran! So I am even more macro bearish into end-of-year as volatility rises with war not priced in. \n\nLink below\n\n---\n\nHere's the link from my interview recorded on Jun 11 with Jason Burack of WallStForMainSt as we discuss the growing risks to the U.S. economy and financial markets as fiscal policy takes center stage. @JasonEBurack \n\nhttps://t.co/DMtiJOOUQF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014465359494781227, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014465359494781227, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023890034394794646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023890034394794646, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005131941200071655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005131941200071655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009058365518438305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009058365518438305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.002245212039810096, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002245212039810096, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0009911698565052696, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0009911698565052696, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": -0.016197279532814246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016197279532814246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05153814156948311, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05153814156948311, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.07370585373116012, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07370585373116012, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02069617426178083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02069617426178083, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.24254280394271688, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24254280394271688, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10270318495957254, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10270318495957254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 0.3081980778565301, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3081980778565301, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.04237502525227965, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.04237502525227965, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016197279532814246, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05153814156948311, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05153814156948311, "price_path": [-0.0984, -0.0995, -0.1068, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.1076, -0.0956, -0.0889, -0.0758, -0.0777, -0.0758, -0.0813, -0.1028, -0.1221, -0.1173, -0.0847, -0.0623, -0.0444, -0.0499, -0.0449, -0.0138, -0.0182, -0.0182, 0.0122, -0.0021, -0.0261, -0.0119, -0.0226, -0.0087, -0.0183, -0.0257, -0.0459, -0.0443, -0.0157, 0.0119, -0.0033, -0.0229, -0.0158, -0.0436, -0.0395, -0.0597, -0.0447, -0.0563, -0.0441, -0.0263, -0.0191, -0.0278, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0233, -0.0256, -0.0198, -0.0262, -0.0004, -0.0092, -0.0028, -0.0079, -0.0212, -0.0166, -0.0163, -0.0109, 0.0013, 0.0145, 0.0, 0.0005, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0053, -0.0022, -0.0179, -0.0149, -0.016, -0.0339, -0.0223, -0.0136, -0.0081, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0141, -0.0244, -0.0201, -0.0179, -0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0162, -0.0113, -0.0134, -0.0109, 0.0043, 0.0139, 0.0013, -0.0048, -0.014, -0.0204, -0.0177, -0.0347, -0.0283, -0.0086, -0.0028, -0.002, -0.0041, 0.0043, 0.0041, -0.0104, -0.0113, -0.0082, -0.0145, -0.014, -0.0155, -0.0209, -0.011, -0.0144, -0.0038, -0.0063, 0.001, 0.003, 0.0104, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0443, 0.0525, 0.0478, 0.0618, 0.0739, 0.0715, 0.0753, 0.0737, 0.0758, 0.087, 0.0892, 0.0808, 0.0765, 0.0879, 0.1067, 0.1112, 0.1012, 0.1057, 0.1121, 0.1305, 0.1401, 0.1419, 0.1379, 0.1471, 0.1687, 0.1747, 0.1941, 0.1721, 0.1839, 0.2127, 0.2213, 0.2425, 0.2716, 0.2476, 0.2931, 0.21, 0.2101, 0.2149, 0.2109, 0.1771, 0.1687, 0.1643, 0.1872, 0.1807, 0.1828, 0.1621, 0.1755, 0.1741, 0.1813, 0.2136, 0.2184, 0.238, 0.228, 0.2059, 0.192, 0.2007, 0.2026, 0.2023, 0.2004, 0.2194, 0.2191, 0.2288, 0.2288, 0.2441, 0.2501, 0.242, 0.2409, 0.2417, 0.2395, 0.2362, 0.2425]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1934334333411635420", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-15T19:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish gold, silver, uranium, miners on de-dollarization; macro bearish equities into year-end on unpriced war risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dancing Closer To Global Bond Volatility\n\n\"While stocks have rallied on liquidity and policy interventions, Samantha warns that this is a \"monetary illusion\" masking deeper structural problems. Amidst this, she remains long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium—due to strong fundamentals and continued global de-dollarization.\"\n\nI might add that this macro-focused talk was before escalation between Israel & Iran! So I am even more macro bearish into end-of-year as volatility rises with war not priced in. \n\nLink below\n\n---\n\nHere's the link from my interview recorded on Jun 11 with Jason Burack of WallStForMainSt as we discuss the growing risks to the U.S. economy and financial markets as fiscal policy takes center stage. @JasonEBurack \n\nhttps://t.co/DMtiJOOUQF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0018164565792039289, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018164565792039289, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00760821832080949, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00760821832080949, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021495698619733217, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021495698619733217, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030040870018164356, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030040870018164356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.002119276337003484, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002119276337003484, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008652341536986574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008652341536986574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": 0.037238861268359846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.037238861268359846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0018979992316909833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0018979992316909833, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.14411148386762962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14411148386762962, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04970945587468867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04970945587468867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.6702997338142724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6702997338142724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5304601148311281, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5304601148311281, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 1.0045413724318069, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.0045413724318069, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7387183198275564, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7387183198275564, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.037238861268359846, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0018979992316909833, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0018979992316909833, "price_path": [-0.069, -0.0766, -0.0911, -0.0929, -0.0742, -0.0757, -0.0518, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0727, -0.0687, -0.1253, -0.1801, -0.1783, -0.1783, -0.1505, -0.1438, -0.1163, -0.1105, -0.1096, -0.099, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.0981, -0.1069, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0902, -0.086, -0.0969, -0.1038, -0.1102, -0.1184, -0.1075, -0.0851, -0.1072, -0.1081, -0.0978, -0.1029, -0.0939, -0.1144, -0.1035, -0.1129, -0.1093, -0.0878, -0.0763, -0.0908, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0848, -0.0923, -0.0827, -0.0917, -0.0436, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.0176, -0.0103, 0.0109, 0.0061, -0.0024, 0.0009, -0.0018, 0.0, 0.0215, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0094, -0.0021, -0.0127, -0.0006, 0.0094, -0.0124, -0.0067, -0.0091, 0.0064, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0121, 0.0079, -0.0009, 0.0218, 0.0606, 0.0484, 0.0372, 0.0418, 0.049, 0.0478, 0.0702, 0.0814, 0.0805, 0.0745, 0.0493, 0.0487, 0.0493, 0.0145, 0.0088, 0.017, 0.0288, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0524, 0.056, 0.0348, 0.0418, 0.0596, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.046, 0.0254, 0.0424, 0.0478, 0.0699, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0593, 0.0754, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.1247, 0.1305, 0.1181, 0.1266, 0.1356, 0.1256, 0.1326, 0.1441, 0.1608, 0.1735, 0.1686, 0.1441, 0.1502, 0.182, 0.2122, 0.2098, 0.2056, 0.2422, 0.2673, 0.2867, 0.2828, 0.2991, 0.2876, 0.3176, 0.3339, 0.3137, 0.3491, 0.3536, 0.3754, 0.4308, 0.4169, 0.4632, 0.4886, 0.4226, 0.4447, 0.3258, 0.3285, 0.3376, 0.3318, 0.2837, 0.2928, 0.3088, 0.3424, 0.3324, 0.3249, 0.294, 0.3215, 0.3185, 0.3297, 0.3863, 0.4063, 0.4629, 0.4357, 0.3915, 0.3766, 0.3957, 0.4063, 0.386, 0.3715, 0.4117, 0.413, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5504, 0.5901, 0.6085, 0.6067, 0.5671, 0.6031, 0.5958, 0.6703]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1934334333411635420", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-15T19:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "uranium", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish gold, silver, uranium, miners on de-dollarization; macro bearish equities into year-end on unpriced war risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "URA Global X Uranium ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dancing Closer To Global Bond Volatility\n\n\"While stocks have rallied on liquidity and policy interventions, Samantha warns that this is a \"monetary illusion\" masking deeper structural problems. Amidst this, she remains long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium—due to strong fundamentals and continued global de-dollarization.\"\n\nI might add that this macro-focused talk was before escalation between Israel & Iran! So I am even more macro bearish into end-of-year as volatility rises with war not priced in. \n\nLink below\n\n---\n\nHere's the link from my interview recorded on Jun 11 with Jason Burack of WallStForMainSt as we discuss the growing risks to the U.S. economy and financial markets as fiscal policy takes center stage. @JasonEBurack \n\nhttps://t.co/DMtiJOOUQF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050958712029230524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050958712029230524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.041534037129217105, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041534037129217105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013396362440673992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013396362440673992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004851191042242853, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004851191042242853, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.013921709987367081, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013921709987367081, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012667667804062255, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012667667804062255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": 0.029156788841466996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029156788841466996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006184073195201867, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006184073195201867, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.12030469317824033, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12030469317824033, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02590266518529938, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02590266518529938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.26425013094319105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26425013094319105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12441051196004671, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12441051196004671, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 0.38679951954426195, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.38679951954426195, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.12097646694001152, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.12097646694001152, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.029156788841466996, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.006184073195201867, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006184073195201867, "price_path": [-0.3383, -0.3333, -0.3433, -0.3331, -0.3467, -0.362, -0.379, -0.3932, -0.398, -0.3937, -0.3914, -0.41, -0.4531, -0.4613, -0.4678, -0.419, -0.4329, -0.405, -0.4001, -0.4029, -0.4035, -0.3993, -0.3993, -0.4103, -0.4048, -0.3785, -0.3541, -0.3578, -0.342, -0.3399, -0.3433, -0.3352, -0.3213, -0.3262, -0.3068, -0.2968, -0.2992, -0.2866, -0.2832, -0.2687, -0.2606, -0.2643, -0.2721, -0.2695, -0.2643, -0.2585, -0.2509, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.134, -0.1358, -0.1526, -0.1592, -0.1629, -0.14, -0.1311, -0.1287, -0.1164, -0.0759, -0.1056, -0.0578, -0.0541, -0.051, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0341, -0.0139, 0.0158, -0.006, 0.0168, 0.0, 0.0194, -0.0171, -0.0095, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0024, -0.0276, -0.0352, -0.0273, -0.0147, 0.0236, 0.0292, 0.0504, 0.0617, 0.0751, 0.0544, 0.0565, 0.0825, 0.1074, 0.0988, 0.0767, 0.0573, 0.0531, 0.0339, 0.0039, 0.0373, 0.062, 0.082, 0.0662, 0.0494, 0.041, 0.0615, 0.0362, 0.0252, 0.0247, 0.0297, -0.0292, -0.0426, -0.0234, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0625, 0.0423, 0.0764, 0.0683, 0.0683, 0.067, 0.0859, 0.0612, 0.0699, 0.0909, 0.1024, 0.109, 0.1203, 0.1045, 0.2078, 0.1652, 0.1702, 0.2009, 0.2984, 0.3239, 0.3228, 0.2763, 0.2916, 0.2716, 0.2795, 0.2522, 0.2677, 0.3186, 0.3029, 0.3452, 0.3452, 0.3402, 0.3525, 0.3625, 0.4576, 0.4962, 0.5264, 0.4641, 0.4003, 0.4032, 0.3107, 0.2855, 0.3118, 0.3528, 0.3333, 0.4452, 0.4833, 0.476, 0.4479, 0.3811, 0.3063, 0.3144, 0.2382, 0.2561, 0.2845, 0.2461, 0.2514, 0.191, 0.1755, 0.1484, 0.1487, 0.1857, 0.1061, 0.0925, 0.1371, 0.1534, 0.1765, 0.1765, 0.1894, 0.161, 0.1889, 0.2246, 0.2924, 0.2587, 0.2558, 0.2643]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1934334333411635420", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-06-15T19:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "mining stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish gold, silver, uranium, miners on de-dollarization; macro bearish equities into year-end on unpriced war risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["PICK", "GDX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "PICK iShares Global Metals & Mining; GDX gold miners", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dancing Closer To Global Bond Volatility\n\n\"While stocks have rallied on liquidity and policy interventions, Samantha warns that this is a \"monetary illusion\" masking deeper structural problems. Amidst this, she remains long-term bullish on gold and commodities—particularly miners, silver, and uranium—due to strong fundamentals and continued global de-dollarization.\"\n\nI might add that this macro-focused talk was before escalation between Israel & Iran! So I am even more macro bearish into end-of-year as volatility rises with war not priced in. \n\nLink below\n\n---\n\nHere's the link from my interview recorded on Jun 11 with Jason Burack of WallStForMainSt as we discuss the growing risks to the U.S. economy and financial markets as fiscal policy takes center stage. @JasonEBurack \n\nhttps://t.co/DMtiJOOUQF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00337821109717501, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00337821109717501, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012802885997188429, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012802885997188429, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008051259034821623, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008051259034821623, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004939123636095166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004939123636095166, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.017173978627399333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017173978627399333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015919936444094507, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015919936444094507, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": 0.002453645206641597, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002453645206641597, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032887216830027266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032887216830027266, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.22207047417376125, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22207047417376125, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1276684461808203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1276684461808203, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.42132945069183214, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.42132945069183214, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2814898317086878, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2814898317086878, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 0.7167407008150027, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7167407008150027, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4509176482107523, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4509176482107523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.002453645206641597, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.032887216830027266, "alpha_c_stated": -0.032887216830027266, "price_path": [-0.0708, -0.0768, -0.0915, -0.0885, -0.0764, -0.0859, -0.079, -0.0932, -0.0965, -0.0943, -0.0964, -0.1229, -0.1982, -0.2019, -0.2129, -0.1436, -0.1342, -0.0937, -0.0841, -0.0809, -0.07, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0681, -0.0727, -0.08, -0.0582, -0.0715, -0.0645, -0.0729, -0.0776, -0.0931, -0.0839, -0.0712, -0.0494, -0.0648, -0.0748, -0.0582, -0.0797, -0.0753, -0.0866, -0.0773, -0.0802, -0.0708, -0.057, -0.0549, -0.0582, -0.0399, -0.0399, -0.0438, -0.0435, -0.0417, -0.0401, -0.0074, -0.0167, -0.0096, -0.0057, -0.019, -0.0094, -0.0143, -0.0135, 0.0006, 0.0034, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0309, -0.0172, -0.0228, -0.0248, 0.0016, -0.0169, -0.0074, -0.0033, 0.0189, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.014, -0.003, 0.0004, 0.0167, 0.0227, 0.0194, 0.0025, 0.0076, 0.0052, 0.0054, 0.0371, 0.0631, 0.0605, 0.0467, 0.0472, 0.025, 0.029, 0.0031, -0.0009, 0.0037, 0.0314, 0.0474, 0.0563, 0.0683, 0.0774, 0.0737, 0.0885, 0.0922, 0.08, 0.0861, 0.0806, 0.0666, 0.0798, 0.0941, 0.1148, 0.115, 0.1259, 0.1237, 0.1253, 0.1421, 0.1421, 0.1547, 0.1654, 0.1585, 0.1826, 0.1925, 0.1837, 0.2009, 0.2221, 0.2218, 0.2375, 0.2223, 0.2142, 0.2121, 0.2489, 0.2731, 0.2727, 0.2554, 0.2689, 0.2857, 0.3067, 0.3128, 0.3252, 0.3263, 0.3318, 0.3466, 0.3256, 0.3613, 0.3273, 0.3043, 0.3637, 0.3532, 0.3854, 0.4086, 0.3477, 0.3742, 0.2888, 0.2888, 0.3047, 0.2992, 0.274, 0.2889, 0.2979, 0.3084, 0.3001, 0.2832, 0.2384, 0.2692, 0.2701, 0.2887, 0.3315, 0.3384, 0.3724, 0.3433, 0.3333, 0.3127, 0.3153, 0.3251, 0.2817, 0.2926, 0.3425, 0.3474, 0.394, 0.394, 0.4156, 0.4166, 0.406, 0.4176, 0.4212, 0.4188, 0.3977, 0.4213]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1952061297941774840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-03T17:37:35+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nvidia margins have already fallen from 90 to 70%… Where are fundamental analysts expecting them to be post tariffs? #NotPricedIn", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: tariff-driven markup multiplier on Taiwan-sourced hardware will compress already-declining margins further, not priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t forget- it isn’t just adding tariff increases to COST of goods/services for a company, but adding the MARKUP MULTIPLIER… to maintain margins!\n\nNvidia margins have already fallen from 90 to 70%…\nWhere are fundamental analysts expecting them to be post tariffs?\n#NotPricedIn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So a 20% tariff on Taiwan means a 20% increase in the cost of any Nvidia GPUs and hardware coming from Taiwan.\n\nWill Microsoft and Meta buy fewer GPUs? Has this already been priced into their newly announced capex?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03488891661764615, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03488891661764615, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019916823993668342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01338577033806243, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972092623977806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021503146279583718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009666754097136132, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009666754097136132, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004596827753523547, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009814375173562429, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010648191614492375, "ret_p1w": 0.011444308913069579, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011444308913069579, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0039186156089039414, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0003826966887316985, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01106161222433788, "ret_p1m": -0.0512222864510784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0512222864510784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06564000559628347, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0384375784775145, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012784707973563902, "ret_p3m": 0.12723017726315478, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12723017726315478, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04714892390587089, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1261900106169438, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.25342018788009857, "ret_p6m": 0.04745063786044912, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04745063786044912, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06077538460663612, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36030698520839977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4077576230688489, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0512222864510784, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06564000559628347, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0384375784775145, "price_path": [-0.3497, -0.348, -0.352, -0.3167, -0.2782, -0.2482, -0.251, -0.2478, -0.2469, -0.2535, -0.2678, -0.2621, -0.2707, -0.2707, -0.2473, -0.2511, -0.2268, -0.2493, -0.2368, -0.2155, -0.2116, -0.2223, -0.2127, -0.2077, -0.2003, -0.2065, -0.1944, -0.2113, -0.1962, -0.1993, -0.1918, -0.1918, -0.2008, -0.1991, -0.1783, -0.1427, -0.1388, -0.1236, -0.1223, -0.1483, -0.1264, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.1209, -0.1111, -0.0951, -0.0883, -0.0838, -0.0885, -0.0517, -0.0479, -0.0389, -0.0422, -0.0479, -0.0721, -0.0512, -0.0348, -0.0361, -0.0181, -0.0249, -0.0041, -0.0118, -0.0349, 0.0, -0.0097, -0.0032, 0.0043, 0.015, 0.0114, 0.0176, 0.0088, 0.0112, 0.0025, 0.0112, -0.0242, -0.0256, -0.0279, -0.0112, -0.0011, 0.0098, 0.0089, 0.0009, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0512, -0.0521, -0.0463, -0.0721, -0.0649, -0.0513, -0.0148, -0.0157, -0.0121, -0.0124, -0.0284, -0.0539, -0.0208, -0.0184, 0.0201, -0.0087, -0.0168, -0.0128, -0.01, 0.0103, 0.0366, 0.0403, 0.0494, 0.0424, 0.0308, 0.0281, 0.0507, 0.0699, 0.0176, 0.0463, 0.0002, -0.0009, 0.0101, 0.0179, 0.0147, 0.0065, 0.0016, 0.0121, 0.0348, 0.0639, 0.1169, 0.1503, 0.1272, 0.125, 0.1494, 0.1039, 0.0846, 0.0449, 0.0453, 0.1059, 0.0732, 0.0767, 0.0382, 0.0566, 0.0367, 0.0076, 0.0363, 0.0036, -0.0062, 0.0142, -0.0121, 0.0015, 0.0015, -0.0166, -0.0004, 0.0082, -0.0022, 0.0189, 0.0135, 0.0309, 0.0277, 0.0211, 0.0053, -0.0276, -0.0205, -0.0126, -0.0502, -0.0324, 0.0056, 0.0206, 0.0513, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0586, 0.0458, 0.042, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0493, 0.0452, 0.0403, 0.0507, 0.0281, 0.0271, 0.0276, 0.0324, 0.0176, 0.0393, 0.0347, 0.0347, -0.0106, 0.0186, 0.027, 0.0427, 0.0361, 0.0475]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1933952593480343722", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-14T18:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the my bullish bent remains regardless", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bullish on ASTS despite research report being from early March.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KenTabor I hope you noticed that this research report on ASTS was from early March - I’m not sure if the analyst situation has evolved since but the my bullish bent remains regardless. 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Glad to hear your insights on one of my favorite stock choices.\n\nEspecially appreciate your round-up of current analyst coverage. \n\nFeels like something people need to hear more about when it comes to $ASTS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KenTabor", "ret_m1d": -0.08446673654058567, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08446673654058567, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07504206164057226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07504206164057226, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043187816270125357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043187816270125357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03464264487169422, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03464264487169422, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": 0.197804842417322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.197804842417322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19905888460062682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19905888460062682, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": 0.21975660028644373, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21975660028644373, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18441573824977486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18441573824977486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": -0.08446673654058567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08446673654058567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17886876453352663, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17886876453352663, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.7380099404220926, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7380099404220926, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5981703214389482, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5981703214389482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 1.570508321383012, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.570508321383012, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.3046852687787616, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.3046852687787616, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21975660028644373, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18441573824977486, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18441573824977486, "price_path": [-0.388, -0.4109, -0.3865, -0.3009, -0.3188, -0.3488, -0.3844, -0.4259, -0.4574, -0.4786, -0.4653, -0.4851, -0.5211, -0.4911, -0.5156, -0.424, -0.4479, -0.4445, -0.4534, -0.4531, -0.4658, -0.4419, -0.4419, -0.5045, -0.4918, -0.465, -0.4257, -0.4331, -0.4214, -0.4297, -0.4462, -0.4507, -0.3696, -0.4094, -0.4016, -0.3958, -0.3975, -0.3853, -0.3519, -0.3665, -0.3737, -0.3739, -0.3639, -0.4128, -0.4028, -0.4314, -0.4176, -0.4251, -0.4251, -0.4073, -0.4087, -0.4376, -0.4495, -0.4238, -0.3992, -0.3154, -0.2639, -0.2558, -0.1692, -0.1479, -0.1298, -0.1191, -0.0845, 0.0, -0.0432, 0.0582, 0.0582, 0.0962, 0.1978, 0.2699, 0.1923, 0.2078, 0.1778, 0.115, 0.0764, 0.0907, 0.088, 0.088, 0.0902, 0.0847, 0.0141, 0.0492, 0.0876, 0.142, 0.2198, 0.2558, 0.3708, 0.3834, 0.3522, 0.3622, 0.4059, 0.4331, 0.2965, 0.2937, 0.2668, 0.2954, 0.2687, 0.2517, 0.226, 0.2544, 0.2357, 0.1384, 0.1126, 0.0957, 0.1873, 0.1942, 0.1572, 0.1472, 0.1491, 0.0725, 0.0756, 0.0733, 0.1231, 0.1933, 0.2033, 0.1513, 0.168, 0.1677, 0.1677, 0.1634, 0.079, -0.0012, 0.0119, -0.0272, -0.1193, -0.1033, -0.0845, -0.0761, -0.0224, -0.0353, -0.0172, -0.0112, 0.0761, 0.1656, 0.3076, 0.3004, 0.1785, 0.1713, 0.1654, 0.1711, 0.3586, 0.5786, 0.6168, 0.7394, 0.7836, 0.9375, 1.0709, 0.9573, 1.1594, 1.2548, 1.2832, 1.1355, 0.9921, 0.9759, 0.8757, 0.7025, 0.7113, 0.7585, 0.8957, 0.8556, 0.9103, 0.8296, 0.9148, 0.6976, 0.6714, 0.6793, 0.5576, 0.6509, 0.6392, 0.6199, 0.5388, 0.466, 0.465, 0.3505, 0.3892, 0.3842, 0.2097, 0.2257, 0.3123, 0.3245, 0.3247, 0.3247, 0.341, 0.2553, 0.3574, 0.466, 0.7335, 0.7638, 0.7657, 0.738]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1926308604958695531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-24T16:05:35+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Past 3 yrs MSFT increased revenue >$40 billion. Same timeline headcount was flat...until last week w/ 3% layoff or ~6K ee's. Now net negative & $40B bigger. Let that sink in.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MSFT: $40B revenue growth on flat headcount, now net negative after layoffs — operating leverage thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Past 3 yrs MSFT increased revenue &gt;$40 billion. Same timeline headcount was flat...until last week w/ 3% layoff or ~6K ee's. Now net negative &amp; $40B bigger. Let that sink in.“ @AntithetosCptl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022813498559220213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022813498559220213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024464698895224624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0024464698895224624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007228170708784898, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007228170708784898, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014429277636559545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014429277636559545, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "ret_p1w": 0.004949164561391051, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004949164561391051, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003407634839720286, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003407634839720286, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "ret_p1m": 0.06854940133604748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06854940133604748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03849807176670805, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03849807176670805, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "ret_p3m": 0.1028325153167362, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1028325153167362, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007987407069192098, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.007987407069192098, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "ret_p6m": 0.05910872971331638, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05910872971331638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0682387539337268, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0682387539337268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "ret_p1y": -0.10610509362648168, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10610509362648168, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.38623146749734893, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38623146749734893, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06854940133604748, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03849807176670805, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03849807176670805, "price_path": [-0.1495, -0.1398, -0.1583, -0.158, -0.1311, -0.1401, -0.1478, -0.1763, -0.1757, -0.1696, -0.1793, -0.1581, -0.1578, -0.169, -0.1597, -0.1618, -0.1523, -0.1483, -0.1438, -0.1551, -0.1537, -0.1793, -0.1867, -0.1719, -0.172, -0.1916, -0.2203, -0.2246, -0.2318, -0.1539, -0.1737, -0.1584, -0.1597, -0.1642, -0.1948, -0.2031, -0.2031, -0.2219, -0.2052, -0.1888, -0.1608, -0.151, -0.1525, -0.1462, -0.1436, -0.0783, -0.0569, -0.055, -0.0612, -0.0611, -0.0506, -0.0494, -0.0266, -0.0269, -0.0186, -0.0164, -0.0139, -0.004, -0.0055, -0.0176, -0.0127, -0.0228, -0.0228, 0.0, -0.0072, -0.0044, -0.0007, 0.0028, 0.0049, 0.0069, 0.0152, 0.021, 0.0262, 0.0222, 0.0259, 0.0395, 0.031, 0.04, 0.0377, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0363, 0.0549, 0.0639, 0.0685, 0.0798, 0.0765, 0.0797, 0.0681, 0.066, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0804, 0.078, 0.0929, 0.0885, 0.0925, 0.0919, 0.098, 0.0975, 0.1107, 0.1071, 0.1072, 0.0968, 0.0981, 0.1089, 0.1151, 0.1125, 0.1126, 0.1141, 0.158, 0.1377, 0.1627, 0.1456, 0.1395, 0.1306, 0.1332, 0.1326, 0.1488, 0.13, 0.1341, 0.1291, 0.1224, 0.1065, 0.0977, 0.0963, 0.1028, 0.0964, 0.0915, 0.1018, 0.1081, 0.1017, 0.1017, 0.0982, 0.0987, 0.1044, 0.0762, 0.0832, 0.0837, 0.0879, 0.0893, 0.1086, 0.1205, 0.1068, 0.1089, 0.1055, 0.1261, 0.1185, 0.1072, 0.1092, 0.1024, 0.112, 0.1189, 0.1261, 0.13, 0.1213, 0.1248, 0.1492, 0.1393, 0.1411, 0.1358, 0.1109, 0.1177, 0.1166, 0.1163, 0.1124, 0.1166, 0.1236, 0.1255, 0.1318, 0.1318, 0.1384, 0.1556, 0.1786, 0.1775, 0.1431, 0.1258, 0.1241, 0.1183, 0.1027, 0.0808, 0.0802, 0.1002, 0.106, 0.1113, 0.0943, 0.1092, 0.1034, 0.0736, 0.0591]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "SOFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $SOFI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04248864997345925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04248864997345925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03891528502593633, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04286116822911079, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06752650751449041, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06752650751449041, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07123402140380819, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06622294440137844, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": 0.029590241321563848, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029590241321563848, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04235060961905346, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048957106456843036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": 0.1141881699236309, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1141881699236309, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10878326874072863, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13802439430386526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": -0.006828539491956387, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.006828539491956387, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02518000477134208, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03031875682149987, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.39757208851486714, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39757208851486714, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37141561055501593, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32489455784301513, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1141881699236309, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10878326874072863, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13802439430386526, "price_path": [-0.2329, -0.2045, -0.1958, -0.1908, -0.2049, -0.1885, -0.162, -0.1726, -0.1973, -0.2041, -0.1821, -0.184, -0.1958, -0.2026, -0.1502, -0.1703, -0.1434, -0.1946, -0.1726, -0.1829, -0.1859, -0.1624, -0.1616, -0.1495, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1165, -0.0983, -0.0808, -0.1369, -0.1457, -0.1149, -0.0508, -0.008, -0.0281, -0.0531, -0.0121, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.055, -0.0709, -0.0372, -0.0288, -0.0152, -0.0148, -0.0319, -0.0152, 0.0072, 0.0497, 0.0402, 0.0296, 0.0664, 0.1195, 0.1309, 0.1036, 0.0789, 0.0668, 0.0615, 0.0451, 0.0023, -0.0228, -0.0148, -0.0425, 0.0, 0.0675, 0.063, 0.0793, -0.0064, 0.0296, 0.0573, 0.0634, 0.0091, 0.0068, 0.088, 0.0907, 0.0315, 0.0653, 0.1005, 0.1381, 0.2011, 0.1722, 0.1013, 0.1259, 0.162, 0.1142, 0.1407, 0.0303, 0.0702, 0.1586, 0.1741, 0.2219, 0.077, 0.0554, 0.0258, -0.0046, 0.0137, -0.055, -0.0444, 0.0395, 0.0747, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.1275, 0.1013, 0.1195, 0.1028, 0.1229, 0.0539, 0.0474, 0.0178, 0.0277, 0.0269, 0.0349, -0.0205, 0.0083, -0.0414, -0.0027, 0.0334, 0.0376, 0.0315, 0.0425, 0.0425, 0.0269, 0.0175, 0.0076, -0.0068, -0.0068, 0.0417, 0.1108, 0.0235, 0.0243, 0.0516, 0.0395, 0.0091, 0.0296, 0.0118, 0.003, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.033, -0.0273, -0.0102, -0.0193, -0.0212, -0.0341, -0.0668, -0.0759, -0.1347, -0.1624, -0.1745, -0.2128, -0.2618, -0.2086, -0.1901, -0.1965, -0.2204, -0.2678, -0.2561, -0.2561, -0.2599, -0.2587, -0.2678, -0.2785, -0.3088, -0.2921, -0.2682, -0.2754, -0.3263, -0.3024, -0.294, -0.2906, -0.2697, -0.283, -0.2872, -0.3061, -0.297, -0.3285, -0.3263, -0.3312, -0.341, -0.3483, -0.352, -0.3589, -0.3494, -0.3665, -0.3718, -0.398, -0.4222, -0.4253, -0.3976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "AFRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $AFRM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["AFRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013577626825860167, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013577626825860167, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01000426187833725, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013950145081511711, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01041393236450272, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01041393236450272, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014121446253820502, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009110369251390749, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": -0.035328239963263064, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035328239963263064, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022567871665773453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015961374827983876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": -0.05866065004532783, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05866065004532783, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0640655512282301, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03482442566509347, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": -0.018850517976144676, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.018850517976144676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03720198325553037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04234073530568816, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.3959926268630718, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3959926268630718, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3698361489032206, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3233150961912198, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05866065004532783, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0640655512282301, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03482442566509347, "price_path": [-0.0895, -0.0964, -0.1468, -0.1557, -0.128, -0.114, -0.0842, -0.0917, -0.1201, -0.1375, -0.1347, -0.1323, -0.1156, -0.1101, -0.1041, -0.1111, -0.0962, -0.1246, -0.0141, -0.0132, 0.0187, 0.0409, -0.0465, -0.0381, 0.0135, 0.0244, 0.0153, 0.0377, 0.0314, -0.0264, -0.038, -0.0181, 0.0479, 0.0202, 0.0276, 0.0228, 0.0544, 0.1661, 0.1661, 0.0838, 0.1246, 0.1819, 0.1515, 0.1321, 0.1656, 0.1188, 0.0732, 0.0952, 0.1789, 0.1859, 0.1917, 0.1852, 0.2151, 0.188, 0.0906, 0.0747, 0.0274, 0.0022, 0.0092, -0.0366, -0.019, 0.0207, -0.0136, 0.0, 0.0104, -0.008, 0.0211, -0.0622, -0.0353, -0.0388, -0.0369, -0.0895, -0.1049, -0.0498, -0.0181, -0.0518, -0.0042, -0.0062, 0.0078, 0.0008, -0.0422, -0.0917, -0.0525, -0.0498, -0.0587, -0.0572, -0.1305, -0.0295, 0.003, -0.0095, 0.0407, -0.0353, -0.0705, -0.1014, -0.1341, -0.1385, -0.1756, -0.1513, -0.1182, -0.0927, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0647, -0.0896, -0.1165, -0.082, -0.0945, -0.1037, -0.1022, -0.0981, -0.0659, -0.09, -0.1135, -0.1345, -0.0326, -0.0504, 0.0067, 0.0047, 0.0357, -0.0029, 0.0017, 0.0017, -0.0007, -0.0046, -0.0001, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0241, 0.0651, 0.0856, 0.0948, 0.0758, 0.0783, 0.007, 0.0015, -0.0428, -0.0534, -0.0145, -0.0145, -0.0627, -0.054, -0.0399, -0.0584, -0.0943, -0.0932, -0.1384, -0.1722, -0.2051, -0.1828, -0.1872, -0.1806, -0.2167, -0.2482, -0.2361, -0.2137, -0.2547, -0.3441, -0.3434, -0.3434, -0.3198, -0.3185, -0.3169, -0.3265, -0.3787, -0.369, -0.3675, -0.3354, -0.3807, -0.3848, -0.3695, -0.3314, -0.3079, -0.3185, -0.3302, -0.3439, -0.3305, -0.3886, -0.382, -0.3713, -0.3731, -0.4144, -0.4143, -0.4225, -0.3915, -0.4096, -0.4061, -0.422, -0.4394, -0.4328, -0.396]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "UPST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $UPST", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012355094437140335, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012355094437140335, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008781729489617418, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012727612692791879, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015206219877958671, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015206219877958671, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01149870598864089, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016509782991070643, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": -0.057213497458850404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057213497458850404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044453129161360794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03784663232357122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": -0.12107962094627689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12107962094627689, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12648452212917916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09724339656604253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": -0.16878922191778123, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16878922191778123, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18714068719716692, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1922794392473247, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.5124501174500391, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5124501174500391, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4862936394901879, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4397725867781871, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12107962094627689, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12648452212917916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09724339656604253, "price_path": [0.4906, 0.5022, 0.4374, 0.4253, 0.409, 0.4628, 0.4746, 0.4895, 0.4575, 0.5204, 0.5991, 0.5719, 0.5877, 0.5643, 0.5288, 0.5838, 0.5537, 0.5058, 0.5744, 0.5704, 0.2762, 0.3216, 0.307, 0.2062, 0.2053, 0.2703, 0.2133, 0.2182, 0.2412, 0.1706, 0.2142, 0.2074, 0.3087, 0.3144, 0.3094, 0.3229, 0.402, 0.3929, 0.3929, 0.3148, 0.2252, 0.252, 0.2716, 0.2967, 0.31, 0.1865, 0.1821, 0.199, 0.2731, 0.2768, 0.2948, 0.2935, 0.2904, 0.2336, 0.1857, 0.1521, 0.0821, 0.0901, 0.0025, -0.0344, -0.0091, 0.0051, -0.0124, 0.0, -0.0152, -0.0162, -0.0046, -0.0766, -0.0572, -0.0422, -0.0293, -0.0917, -0.1161, -0.0454, -0.0048, -0.0424, -0.0097, 0.0015, 0.0025, -0.0363, -0.0734, -0.1454, -0.0967, -0.0964, -0.1211, -0.2064, -0.2829, -0.2663, -0.2631, -0.26, -0.2469, -0.2912, -0.264, -0.3145, -0.2794, -0.2916, -0.3237, -0.295, -0.2583, -0.206, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1454, -0.1587, -0.1884, -0.1389, -0.1042, -0.1114, -0.1083, -0.1161, -0.0721, -0.0661, -0.062, -0.1247, -0.1083, -0.1437, -0.1061, -0.0954, -0.073, -0.0704, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0977, -0.1148, -0.1454, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1287, -0.0363, -0.0367, -0.0435, -0.038, -0.0663, -0.1399, -0.1047, -0.1171, -0.0893, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.1521, -0.1239, -0.1203, -0.1391, -0.1272, -0.1408, -0.1795, -0.2106, -0.2539, -0.2456, -0.2667, -0.2792, -0.342, -0.2731, -0.2615, -0.2595, -0.3708, -0.4262, -0.4168, -0.4168, -0.3923, -0.4007, -0.4174, -0.4433, -0.4818, -0.4651, -0.4594, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4625, -0.4632, -0.4609, -0.4562, -0.472, -0.4693, -0.4647, -0.4779, -0.5104, -0.499, -0.4718, -0.471, -0.509, -0.4912, -0.5062, -0.4695, -0.4944, -0.5041, -0.5185, -0.5292, -0.5396, -0.5125]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "RKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $RKT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.050767336239093686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050767336239093686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0543407011866166, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0543407011866166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038961028725187474, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038961028725187474, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03525351483586969, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03525351483586969, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": -0.028335385740981822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028335385740981822, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015575017443492212, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015575017443492212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.010625755578572371, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010625755578572371, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016030656761474638, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016030656761474638, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.1428571428571428, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1428571428571428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1245056775777571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1245056775777571, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.1587957762250014, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1587957762250014, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1326392982651502, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1326392982651502, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010625755578572371, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.016030656761474638, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016030656761474638, "price_path": [-0.1765, -0.186, -0.1924, -0.1765, -0.2143, -0.1972, -0.1865, -0.1741, -0.1122, -0.0555, -0.0431, -0.1228, -0.1145, -0.1122, -0.1027, -0.1346, -0.1281, -0.0236, -0.0035, 0.0643, 0.0697, 0.036, -0.0077, 0.01, 0.0785, 0.1582, 0.1051, 0.0939, 0.0525, 0.0885, 0.0484, 0.0378, 0.134, 0.1057, 0.1181, 0.0673, 0.0561, 0.049, 0.049, 0.013, 0.0555, 0.1305, 0.196, 0.209, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.2462, 0.2456, 0.2456, 0.2261, 0.2491, 0.2479, 0.2107, 0.17, 0.1582, 0.1564, 0.1246, 0.1517, 0.1889, 0.144, 0.1564, 0.0844, 0.0508, 0.0, -0.039, -0.0425, -0.0401, -0.0325, -0.0283, -0.0012, -0.0124, -0.023, -0.0165, 0.0112, 0.0059, 0.0236, 0.0396, 0.0549, 0.072, 0.0336, -0.0413, -0.059, -0.0165, -0.003, -0.0106, -0.0378, -0.0785, -0.046, 0.0083, 0.0537, 0.0584, 0.0124, 0.0065, -0.0307, 0.0018, -0.0094, -0.0455, 0.0295, 0.0697, 0.1606, 0.1653, 0.1653, 0.1795, 0.1989, 0.1659, 0.1635, 0.1446, 0.1234, 0.1104, 0.121, 0.1358, 0.1429, 0.1045, 0.0744, 0.0756, 0.072, 0.1009, 0.1263, 0.1352, 0.1263, 0.1482, 0.1482, 0.1458, 0.1434, 0.1842, 0.1429, 0.1429, 0.1736, 0.2456, 0.2521, 0.2562, 0.2538, 0.3749, 0.3684, 0.3436, 0.3383, 0.3837, 0.3719, 0.3719, 0.3017, 0.2527, 0.2692, 0.2438, 0.2521, 0.2414, 0.2255, 0.2261, 0.0584, 0.108, 0.2013, 0.1806, 0.1334, 0.1145, 0.1576, 0.1954, 0.0974, 0.0478, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.0844, 0.0891, 0.0832, 0.0614, 0.0089, 0.0455, 0.023, 0.049, 0.0738, -0.0089, -0.0301, -0.0183, -0.0756, -0.1175, -0.0797, -0.085, -0.1057, -0.1393, -0.1653, -0.1287, -0.124, -0.16, -0.1352, -0.1942, -0.1582, -0.1635, -0.1564, -0.1765, -0.193, -0.2037, -0.1588]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "APO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $APO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["APO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006393042037385999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006393042037385999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002819677089863082, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0067655602930375425, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005130233217022662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005130233217022662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00142271932770488, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0064337963301346335, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": -0.03362270390915434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03362270390915434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02086233561166473, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014255838773875151, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": 0.03007102743398371, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03007102743398371, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024666126251081444, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05390725181421807, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": 0.14702064406236648, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14702064406236648, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1286691787829808, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.123530426732823, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.1135459393720103, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1135459393720103, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08738946141215909, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04086840870015829, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03007102743398371, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024666126251081444, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05390725181421807, "price_path": [0.1532, 0.1655, 0.1574, 0.168, 0.1459, 0.2009, 0.2271, 0.1953, 0.1693, 0.1768, 0.1941, 0.1925, 0.1885, 0.1693, 0.1624, 0.1439, 0.1428, 0.0875, 0.1168, 0.1445, 0.1471, 0.1097, 0.1164, 0.1176, 0.1371, 0.1084, 0.1063, 0.0961, 0.1002, 0.0819, 0.0682, 0.0577, 0.0592, 0.0567, 0.0608, 0.0712, 0.0765, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0721, 0.0468, 0.0636, 0.0383, 0.0611, 0.0609, 0.0548, 0.0766, 0.0894, 0.093, 0.1054, 0.0957, 0.1325, 0.1425, 0.1362, 0.1436, 0.0826, 0.0744, 0.0863, 0.0927, 0.0519, 0.0257, 0.0042, -0.0064, 0.0, -0.0051, -0.015, -0.0249, -0.0669, -0.0336, 0.0074, 0.0079, -0.0463, -0.042, -0.0119, -0.0057, -0.0013, -0.0288, -0.0134, -0.0026, -0.0176, -0.0144, -0.0257, -0.0189, -0.0217, 0.0301, 0.0556, 0.018, 0.0448, 0.0333, 0.0488, 0.0543, 0.0159, 0.0308, -0.0148, -0.0149, 0.0079, 0.0044, 0.0302, 0.0309, 0.035, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.0447, 0.0411, 0.0465, 0.0657, 0.0836, 0.0945, 0.0885, 0.1401, 0.1813, 0.1912, 0.1731, 0.1634, 0.166, 0.16, 0.1592, 0.1595, 0.1797, 0.1756, 0.1794, 0.1794, 0.1768, 0.1669, 0.1573, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1617, 0.1866, 0.2099, 0.1432, 0.1584, 0.1554, 0.1403, 0.135, 0.1415, 0.1422, 0.14, 0.14, 0.0985, 0.1056, 0.1072, 0.0801, 0.0424, 0.0437, 0.053, 0.0656, 0.066, 0.0553, 0.0051, 0.0523, -0.001, 0.0541, 0.0614, 0.0493, 0.0059, -0.0066, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0084, -0.0067, -0.0585, -0.0475, -0.0952, -0.092, -0.0675, -0.0898, -0.1678, -0.1531, -0.1481, -0.1265, -0.115, -0.1352, -0.1396, -0.1394, -0.1559, -0.202, -0.1691, -0.177, -0.1337, -0.1153, -0.1139, -0.1089, -0.1213, -0.1149, -0.1264, -0.125, -0.1374, -0.1252, -0.1135]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "KKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Clients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late: $KKR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["KKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006148009769781471, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006148009769781471, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009721374717304387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005775491514129927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016946459663377822, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016946459663377822, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01323894577406004, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018250022776489794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": -0.0506818291739215, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0506818291739215, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03792146087643189, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03131496403864231, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": -0.06762828883729932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06762828883729932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07303319002020159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04379206445706496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": 0.006360514606306822, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006360514606306822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01199095067307887, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01712970272323666, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.26845037724898435, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26845037724898435, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24229389928913314, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19577284657713234, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06762828883729932, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07303319002020159, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04379206445706496, "price_path": [0.0959, 0.1261, 0.1103, 0.0976, 0.0801, 0.1261, 0.1619, 0.1491, 0.1358, 0.1412, 0.1671, 0.1823, 0.1978, 0.1977, 0.1887, 0.1842, 0.1539, 0.1221, 0.1424, 0.123, 0.138, 0.1193, 0.1231, 0.1159, 0.1606, 0.1623, 0.1513, 0.1215, 0.113, 0.0952, 0.0884, 0.0865, 0.1174, 0.0933, 0.1041, 0.1072, 0.1042, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.0936, 0.0627, 0.0826, 0.0683, 0.0932, 0.0829, 0.0979, 0.143, 0.1298, 0.1401, 0.138, 0.1382, 0.1771, 0.1738, 0.1583, 0.1606, 0.0873, 0.0693, 0.0563, 0.06, 0.0243, 0.0047, -0.0177, 0.0061, 0.0, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0221, -0.0713, -0.0507, -0.007, -0.019, -0.0737, -0.0731, -0.0533, -0.0251, -0.0281, -0.0466, -0.0444, -0.0363, -0.0493, -0.0656, -0.069, -0.0673, -0.0728, -0.0676, -0.0629, -0.0596, -0.0437, -0.0533, -0.0434, -0.03, -0.0482, -0.0548, -0.0999, -0.0986, -0.0724, -0.0968, -0.0632, -0.0697, -0.0463, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0345, -0.0354, -0.0315, -0.0015, 0.0139, 0.0217, 0.0281, 0.0719, 0.1174, 0.1271, 0.0784, 0.0642, 0.0529, 0.0432, 0.0418, 0.0311, 0.0375, 0.0341, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0295, 0.0217, 0.0155, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0176, 0.0623, 0.0722, 0.0328, 0.055, 0.063, 0.0576, 0.0269, 0.0427, 0.0367, 0.0375, 0.0375, -0.0298, -0.0185, -0.0252, -0.0428, -0.0633, -0.0843, -0.0782, -0.0923, -0.098, -0.0972, -0.1847, -0.1729, -0.2171, -0.1853, -0.153, -0.1537, -0.1706, -0.2017, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.189, -0.1807, -0.1962, -0.1998, -0.2709, -0.243, -0.2358, -0.2596, -0.3066, -0.2834, -0.2839, -0.2579, -0.244, -0.2777, -0.2808, -0.2885, -0.3109, -0.3366, -0.3204, -0.3191, -0.2964, -0.2832, -0.2835, -0.2882, -0.2816, -0.281, -0.2968, -0.2883, -0.3001, -0.2854, -0.2685]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974542529698930928", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-04T18:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CVNA next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names SOFI, AFRM, UPST, RKT, APO, KKR as credit standards tighten; CVNA flagged as the next short.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The reversal in credit froth will continue.\nThe standards are going to tighten which will cripple more weak entities.\"\n\nh/t Geoffrey @ https://t.co/SICj0bSILF\n\nClients have hugely benefited from our Consumer Lending shorts of late:\n\n$SOFI $AFRM $UPST $RKT $APO $KKR\n$CVNA next https://t.co/97Zerh85MM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016558428757533772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016558428757533772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02013179370505669, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025061939590424576, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008503510832890804, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019209725992022086, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0019209725992022086, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00562848648851999, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01942820078456564, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017507228185363433, "ret_p1w": -0.08474026101364851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08474026101364851, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0719798927161589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059563199528030686, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025177061485617824, "ret_p1m": -0.1618235698342485, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1618235698342485, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16722847101715077, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1545706072297467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007252962604501811, "ret_p3m": 0.14182902353036608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14182902353036608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12347755825098039, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14435796245395593, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002528938923589852, "ret_p6m": -0.1494047482660983, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1494047482660983, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12324827030624708, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06157932666346033, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08782542160263795, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1618235698342485, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16722847101715077, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1545706072297467, "price_path": [-0.0501, -0.0651, -0.0702, -0.0602, -0.0573, -0.0476, -0.0636, -0.0597, -0.0749, -0.0759, -0.072, -0.1177, -0.1014, -0.09, -0.0896, -0.0974, 0.0557, -0.0049, -0.0242, -0.051, -0.0398, -0.0321, -0.0596, -0.0659, -0.0663, -0.0534, -0.0731, -0.0531, -0.0273, -0.0686, -0.0838, -0.0826, -0.0319, -0.0202, 0.007, -0.0061, 0.021, 0.0063, 0.0063, -0.0087, -0.0197, 0.0015, -0.0019, 0.0071, 0.0146, -0.0121, -0.0416, -0.0212, -0.0115, -0.0136, 0.0229, 0.0232, 0.0603, 0.0575, 0.023, 0.0141, 0.0048, -0.0008, 0.0624, 0.0207, 0.0698, 0.0679, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.0019, -0.0235, -0.0259, -0.1092, -0.0847, -0.0641, -0.0384, -0.0673, -0.0968, -0.0866, -0.0371, -0.1156, -0.0746, -0.0498, -0.0391, -0.02, -0.0423, -0.1746, -0.1706, -0.1008, -0.1618, -0.1621, -0.215, -0.1775, -0.128, -0.1156, -0.112, -0.1381, -0.1388, -0.1258, -0.1417, -0.1078, -0.1525, -0.1616, -0.1047, -0.0497, -0.0332, -0.0332, 0.0133, 0.0153, 0.034, 0.0687, 0.0791, 0.0816, 0.2121, 0.2347, 0.2653, 0.279, 0.2329, 0.2119, 0.2315, 0.2073, 0.2601, 0.2181, 0.1731, 0.1833, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1863, 0.173, 0.1622, 0.1418, 0.1418, 0.0829, 0.1636, 0.1917, 0.2196, 0.1975, 0.2529, 0.2568, 0.2677, 0.2408, 0.247, 0.1989, 0.1989, 0.1967, 0.2311, 0.2945, 0.2806, 0.2817, 0.2925, 0.1094, 0.1565, 0.0853, 0.1036, 0.1103, 0.0634, 0.0381, 0.0922, 0.1137, 0.0598, -0.015, -0.0689, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0505, -0.0218, -0.0996, -0.0892, -0.1204, -0.1202, -0.0939, -0.0425, -0.0959, -0.1258, -0.1369, -0.1443, -0.104, -0.1404, -0.1119, -0.1375, -0.1627, -0.2082, -0.1879, -0.1722, -0.1484, -0.2122, -0.2041, -0.239, -0.1894, -0.1857, -0.1652, -0.1846, -0.1828, -0.2132, -0.1494]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978917263622197528", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T20:13:36+00:00", "symbol": "ZION", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Consumer Lending Sector Is In Trouble", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's short watchlist on regional banks/consumer lending is paying off; maintains bearish stance on the sector including ZION and WAL.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZION"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Banks - Regional", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bears Reminding: WE HAD THIS CONVERSATION ALREADY\n\nConsumer Lending Sector Is In Trouble\n📣 SEPT 30TH\nhttps://t.co/riqITbJBmJ\n\nMY WATCHLIST OF 32 SHORTS I review live with clients daily is a sea of red (great for our shorts) because “regional banks hit by bad loans” headline finally breaks😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "REGIONAL BANKS HIT BY BAD LOANS.\n\nShares of Zions Bancorporation ( $ZION) fell up to 6.4% after a $50M charge-off tied to a loan from California Bank &amp; Trust. Western Alliance Bancorporation ( $WAL) dropped 11% over a collateral issue with a borrower and exposure to the collapse", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05516403975334783, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05516403975334783, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0495196867878811, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0495196867878811, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644352965466726, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644352965466726, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04650699865997754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04650699865997754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036106498397054265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036106498397054265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "ret_p1w": 0.06945845242133708, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06945845242133708, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05010234919607326, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05010234919607326, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "ret_p1m": -0.006576448700406079, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006576448700406079, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008503009310369736, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008503009310369736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "ret_p3m": 0.19385468557818886, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19385468557818886, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15169580763880375, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15169580763880375, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215887793938511, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215887793938511, "ret_p6m": 0.2584983335213584, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2584983335213584, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21994174137078448, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21994174137078448, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006576448700406079, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008503009310369736, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008503009310369736, "price_path": [0.135, 0.1288, 0.1017, 0.1056, 0.1052, 0.0935, 0.0823, 0.0705, 0.0398, 0.0533, 0.0475, 0.0286, 0.0222, 0.039, 0.0338, 0.0613, 0.0753, 0.0825, 0.0604, 0.0725, 0.0699, 0.0827, 0.0771, 0.1246, 0.1256, 0.144, 0.1677, 0.1641, 0.1679, 0.1679, 0.1536, 0.156, 0.1699, 0.1379, 0.148, 0.1456, 0.1673, 0.1729, 0.1762, 0.149, 0.1375, 0.1576, 0.1909, 0.1818, 0.1494, 0.1534, 0.1458, 0.1536, 0.1584, 0.1476, 0.1391, 0.1371, 0.1353, 0.1462, 0.145, 0.1417, 0.1295, 0.124, 0.054, 0.084, 0.1127, 0.0878, -0.0552, 0.0, 0.0465, 0.061, 0.0407, 0.0405, 0.0695, 0.064, 0.0517, 0.037, 0.0457, 0.0491, 0.0423, 0.0358, 0.0445, 0.0318, 0.0517, 0.0592, 0.0604, 0.056, 0.0338, 0.0361, -0.0066, 0.002, 0.0241, 0.0243, 0.0584, 0.0537, 0.0809, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0809, 0.0982, 0.0978, 0.1132, 0.1317, 0.126, 0.1297, 0.1392, 0.1949, 0.2064, 0.1979, 0.2012, 0.2048, 0.204, 0.2095, 0.2172, 0.2227, 0.2034, 0.2093, 0.2093, 0.2085, 0.1947, 0.192, 0.1888, 0.1888, 0.2032, 0.2247, 0.2379, 0.2215, 0.2351, 0.2231, 0.2054, 0.1884, 0.1939, 0.2085, 0.2107, 0.2107, 0.1999, 0.2505, 0.2393, 0.1997, 0.2018, 0.2008, 0.1845, 0.2069, 0.2166, 0.2385, 0.2664, 0.2958, 0.3021, 0.3259, 0.3232, 0.3013, 0.2775, 0.2311, 0.253, 0.253, 0.2585, 0.2689, 0.2575, 0.2783, 0.2129, 0.2108, 0.2354, 0.261, 0.1716, 0.1892, 0.1791, 0.1908, 0.1757, 0.1401, 0.1409, 0.1335, 0.1219, 0.1094, 0.0861, 0.0951, 0.1049, 0.0967, 0.1102, 0.1055, 0.126, 0.1499, 0.1699, 0.171, 0.1331, 0.137, 0.1785, 0.1916, 0.189, 0.189, 0.2061, 0.2086, 0.2477, 0.2634, 0.2487, 0.2585]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978917263622197528", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-16T20:13:36+00:00", "symbol": "WAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MY WATCHLIST OF 32 SHORTS I review live with clients daily is a sea of red (great for our shorts)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's short watchlist on regional banks/consumer lending is paying off; maintains bearish stance on the sector including ZION and WAL.", "resolved_tickers": ["WAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Banks - Regional", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bears Reminding: WE HAD THIS CONVERSATION ALREADY\n\nConsumer Lending Sector Is In Trouble\n📣 SEPT 30TH\nhttps://t.co/riqITbJBmJ\n\nMY WATCHLIST OF 32 SHORTS I review live with clients daily is a sea of red (great for our shorts) because “regional banks hit by bad loans” headline finally breaks😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "REGIONAL BANKS HIT BY BAD LOANS.\n\nShares of Zions Bancorporation ( $ZION) fell up to 6.4% after a $50M charge-off tied to a loan from California Bank &amp; Trust. Western Alliance Bancorporation ( $WAL) dropped 11% over a collateral issue with a borrower and exposure to the collapse", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029801414415302374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029801414415302374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02415706144983565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02415706144983565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644352965466726, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644352965466726, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04028691117431715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04028691117431715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02988641091139388, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02988641091139388, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "ret_p1w": 0.09409483642415517, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09409483642415517, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07473873319889135, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07473873319889135, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "ret_p1m": 0.024389010604159322, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024389010604159322, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022462449994195666, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022462449994195666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "ret_p3m": 0.22493947673432868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22493947673432868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18278059879494357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18278059879494357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215887793938511, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215887793938511, "ret_p6m": 0.07455324604185432, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07455324604185432, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03599665389128037, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03599665389128037, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.024389010604159322, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.022462449994195666, "alpha_c_stated": -0.022462449994195666, "price_path": [0.127, 0.1474, 0.1429, 0.1287, 0.1087, 0.1035, 0.0866, 0.0653, 0.0484, 0.0631, 0.0823, 0.0679, 0.0727, 0.0874, 0.0638, 0.1359, 0.1636, 0.1581, 0.1389, 0.1435, 0.132, 0.138, 0.1238, 0.2021, 0.1981, 0.2151, 0.2228, 0.2278, 0.2355, 0.2355, 0.2274, 0.2352, 0.2602, 0.2507, 0.2325, 0.2191, 0.2249, 0.2366, 0.2209, 0.2286, 0.2046, 0.226, 0.2623, 0.2552, 0.235, 0.2366, 0.2282, 0.2176, 0.2179, 0.2018, 0.1965, 0.1867, 0.1794, 0.1969, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.1362, 0.0973, 0.0338, 0.0879, 0.1329, 0.0877, -0.0298, 0.0, 0.0403, 0.052, 0.0861, 0.0636, 0.0941, 0.0944, 0.0866, 0.0502, 0.0573, 0.0672, 0.0611, 0.0686, 0.0833, 0.0855, 0.1036, 0.0984, 0.1031, 0.1097, 0.0843, 0.084, 0.0244, 0.0259, 0.0477, 0.0534, 0.0975, 0.0982, 0.1241, 0.1248, 0.1248, 0.1308, 0.1381, 0.1337, 0.1776, 0.1813, 0.1839, 0.1684, 0.1492, 0.2041, 0.2134, 0.2148, 0.1953, 0.1955, 0.1957, 0.2039, 0.1978, 0.2186, 0.2007, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.2005, 0.1837, 0.1739, 0.166, 0.166, 0.1854, 0.2109, 0.228, 0.2191, 0.2444, 0.2498, 0.213, 0.2136, 0.2249, 0.2459, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.1893, 0.2584, 0.2604, 0.2066, 0.2263, 0.2406, 0.2299, 0.2512, 0.2365, 0.2434, 0.267, 0.2782, 0.2636, 0.3091, 0.3326, 0.3165, 0.3152, 0.3073, 0.2926, 0.2926, 0.3125, 0.3177, 0.2645, 0.3008, 0.2209, 0.2291, 0.2386, 0.2549, 0.1191, 0.1347, 0.1084, 0.1364, 0.125, 0.0298, 0.0226, 0.007, -0.0302, -0.0508, -0.0529, -0.0571, -0.0503, -0.0706, -0.0616, -0.0659, -0.0366, -0.029, -0.0143, -0.0224, -0.0553, -0.0529, -0.0128, 0.0085, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0183, 0.0027, 0.045, 0.0694, 0.0619, 0.0746]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966364620379078972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T04:53:53+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold/silver trend long for macro reasons with miners to outperform from falling energy prices & margin expansion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold/silver and miners (GDX/GDXJ) on macro tailwinds and margin expansion from falling energy costs; remains short oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🫶 @JasonEBurack interviewed me JUNE ‘24, DEC, JUNE ‘25- each time we talked about exactly this: gold/silver trend long for macro reasons with miners to outperform from falling energy prices (I’m still oil bear) &amp; margin expansion!\n\n🎯🌟🙏 $GDX $GDXJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners: The highest profit margins ever - by far! 🪙💰 We've never seen such stellar margins or this kind of margin expansion in such a short period of time.\nNow, imagine: The Q3 AISC margin numbers are about to get even better. The average sale price of gold for the https://t.co/FCXVH7LceV", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00014333951092471153, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00014333951092471153, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0001915906859801808, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0001915906859801808, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010465987825726941, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010465987825726941, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005142024527618139, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005142024527618139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "ret_p1w": 0.03741932470013021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03741932470013021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02505234633936193, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02505234633936193, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "ret_p1m": 0.13792114520005994, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13792114520005994, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12656092871199465, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12656092871199465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "ret_p3m": 0.19455193071490284, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19455193071490284, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14577509241465858, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14577509241465858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "ret_p6m": 0.4793404355251498, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4793404355251498, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.44169214114403577, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44169214114403577, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13792114520005994, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12656092871199465, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12656092871199465, "price_path": [-0.2328, -0.2401, -0.2401, -0.2503, -0.2386, -0.2565, -0.2556, -0.2456, -0.2727, -0.2536, -0.2539, -0.245, -0.2414, -0.2414, -0.2377, -0.2718, -0.2616, -0.2559, -0.2485, -0.248, -0.2599, -0.2571, -0.2654, -0.267, -0.2399, -0.2189, -0.2281, -0.2354, -0.2264, -0.246, -0.2366, -0.2576, -0.2596, -0.248, -0.2123, -0.1905, -0.1772, -0.1693, -0.1676, -0.1729, -0.1654, -0.1675, -0.1728, -0.1644, -0.167, -0.1885, -0.1639, -0.15, -0.1372, -0.1361, -0.1168, -0.1186, -0.1207, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.071, -0.0652, -0.0743, -0.0489, -0.036, -0.0416, -0.0179, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0156, -0.0138, 0.0374, 0.0657, 0.0642, 0.0368, 0.0485, 0.0707, 0.0856, 0.0953, 0.1058, 0.1054, 0.1051, 0.127, 0.1035, 0.1348, 0.084, 0.0865, 0.1379, 0.1247, 0.168, 0.2106, 0.1287, 0.1521, 0.0436, 0.0459, 0.0579, 0.0437, 0.0023, 0.0182, 0.0189, 0.0452, 0.0331, 0.0222, -0.0211, 0.0132, 0.0145, 0.0401, 0.0893, 0.0998, 0.1362, 0.1047, 0.0919, 0.0746, 0.0843, 0.0952, 0.0462, 0.0559, 0.1177, 0.1154, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1933, 0.1874, 0.17, 0.1622, 0.1669, 0.1617, 0.1349, 0.1748, 0.1946, 0.2367, 0.2281, 0.2165, 0.2162, 0.2305, 0.2282, 0.2586, 0.3023, 0.3036, 0.2954, 0.2954, 0.3183, 0.2398, 0.2541, 0.2386, 0.2386, 0.238, 0.2773, 0.3306, 0.315, 0.3219, 0.3367, 0.3823, 0.3931, 0.3988, 0.4024, 0.4042, 0.4042, 0.4843, 0.4627, 0.5188, 0.5455, 0.5521, 0.5783, 0.6197, 0.5593, 0.3603, 0.3602, 0.4184, 0.4253, 0.3349, 0.4064, 0.4858, 0.4876, 0.5303, 0.4193, 0.501, 0.501, 0.4477, 0.4811, 0.5053, 0.5345, 0.5927, 0.5986, 0.6053, 0.6447, 0.6729, 0.6656, 0.5198, 0.529, 0.4704, 0.464, 0.4793]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1966364620379078972", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-12T04:53:53+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still oil bear", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold/silver and miners (GDX/GDXJ) on macro tailwinds and margin expansion from falling energy costs; remains short oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🫶 @JasonEBurack interviewed me JUNE ‘24, DEC, JUNE ‘25- each time we talked about exactly this: gold/silver trend long for macro reasons with miners to outperform from falling energy prices (I’m still oil bear) &amp; margin expansion!\n\n🎯🌟🙏 $GDX $GDXJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners: The highest profit margins ever - by far! 🪙💰 We've never seen such stellar margins or this kind of margin expansion in such a short period of time.\nNow, imagine: The Q3 AISC margin numbers are about to get even better. The average sale price of gold for the https://t.co/FCXVH7LceV", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00422858503502177, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00422858503502177, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0045635152319266625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0045635152319266625, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033493019690489234, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012549527062861054, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012549527062861054, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007225563764752252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007225563764752252, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0053239632981088025, "ret_p1w": 0.0028645354176257687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0028645354176257687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009502442943142508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009502442943142508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366978360768277, "ret_p1m": -0.041331317421953506, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.041331317421953506, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052691533910018795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052691533910018795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360216488065289, "ret_p3m": -0.037784705160472276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037784705160472276, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08656154346071654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08656154346071654, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877683830024426, "ret_p6m": 0.42313470611791915, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42313470611791915, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3854864117368051, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3854864117368051, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648294381114056, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.041331317421953506, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.052691533910018795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.052691533910018795, "price_path": [0.1226, 0.1222, 0.1222, 0.1338, 0.0423, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0038, -0.0004, -0.0027, 0.0085, 0.0311, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0432, 0.0498, 0.0494, 0.0284, 0.0543, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0256, 0.0389, 0.0357, 0.0311, 0.0278, 0.0269, 0.0379, 0.021, 0.0527, 0.0885, 0.1054, 0.0857, 0.0566, 0.0382, 0.0233, 0.0065, 0.0015, -0.0001, 0.0067, -0.0049, -0.0116, 0.0059, -0.007, -0.0019, -0.0138, 0.0029, 0.0112, 0.0181, 0.0333, 0.0101, 0.0187, 0.0263, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0471, 0.0207, 0.0119, -0.0093, -0.0037, 0.0011, 0.0191, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0125, 0.0322, 0.0226, 0.0188, 0.0029, 0.0019, 0.0237, 0.042, 0.0502, 0.0506, 0.0175, 0.006, -0.0023, -0.0241, -0.0218, -0.006, -0.0015, 0.003, -0.0109, -0.0535, -0.0413, -0.0588, -0.0589, -0.075, -0.0727, -0.0748, -0.0687, -0.0366, -0.0003, -0.0018, -0.0026, -0.0262, -0.0206, -0.0218, -0.0102, -0.0078, -0.0188, -0.0311, -0.0331, -0.028, -0.0222, -0.008, -0.048, -0.0472, -0.0263, -0.0274, -0.011, -0.0331, -0.0431, -0.0547, -0.0394, -0.0554, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0306, -0.0307, -0.0424, -0.0361, -0.0262, -0.019, -0.0385, -0.0471, -0.0378, -0.0554, -0.0614, -0.0739, -0.0974, -0.0727, -0.0835, -0.072, -0.0488, -0.0411, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.0659, -0.0505, -0.0487, -0.0566, -0.0566, -0.0593, -0.0421, -0.0655, -0.0753, -0.0378, -0.0345, -0.0226, 0.0023, -0.0095, -0.0297, -0.0226, -0.0226, -0.0198, 0.0004, -0.0203, 0.0087, 0.0023, 0.0321, 0.0452, 0.0795, 0.0847, 0.0276, 0.0567, 0.0623, 0.0461, 0.0502, 0.0642, 0.0644, 0.0761, 0.0419, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.033, 0.0831, 0.1075, 0.1029, 0.1035, 0.1016, 0.0876, 0.0881, 0.1179, 0.1893, 0.2304, 0.2489, 0.3137, 0.4837, 0.4231]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973051261499932994", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T15:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "UPST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed recent shorts rec'd: $UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI & soon $CVNA. Consumer lending sector is in trouble.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names UPST, AFRM, ALLY, SOFI, and CVNA on sector trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my Live Trading Room this morning, I reviewed recent shorts rec'd:\n\n$UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI &amp; soon $CVNA.\n\nConsumer lending sector is in trouble.\n@GraphCall alerted clients before the selling 🕺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03818902501067245, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03818902501067245, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04194172396916751, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03336257004052667, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00375269895849506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826454970145777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02618113879978967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02618113879978967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022773566575138293, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035091506217629465, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075722246513784, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910367417839793, "ret_p1w": 0.019881932114157008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019881932114157008, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015468725621672785, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02173821699449563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413206492484223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018562848803386212, "ret_p1m": -0.04035431629622932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04035431629622932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07219262700802631, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007311816879242317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831071179699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033042499416987, "ret_p3m": -0.06555114303875931, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06555114303875931, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10483452839206475, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10164530937299843, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283385353305444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416633423912, "ret_p6m": -0.4864173121177089, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4864173121177089, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47798101428183637, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.410251705707387, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843629783587252, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616560641032188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04035431629622932, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07219262700802631, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007311816879242317, "price_path": [0.4531, 0.4531, 0.503, 0.4974, 0.5437, 0.5557, 0.4886, 0.4761, 0.4593, 0.515, 0.5272, 0.5425, 0.5094, 0.5746, 0.6561, 0.628, 0.6443, 0.6201, 0.5833, 0.6403, 0.6091, 0.5594, 0.6305, 0.6264, 0.3217, 0.3687, 0.3535, 0.2492, 0.2482, 0.3156, 0.2565, 0.2616, 0.2854, 0.2123, 0.2575, 0.2504, 0.3553, 0.3612, 0.3561, 0.3701, 0.452, 0.4425, 0.4425, 0.3616, 0.2689, 0.2967, 0.3169, 0.3429, 0.3567, 0.2287, 0.2242, 0.2417, 0.3185, 0.3222, 0.3409, 0.3396, 0.3364, 0.2776, 0.228, 0.1931, 0.1207, 0.1289, 0.0382, 0.0, 0.0262, 0.0409, 0.0228, 0.0356, 0.0199, 0.0189, 0.0309, -0.0437, -0.0236, -0.0081, 0.0053, -0.0594, -0.0846, -0.0114, 0.0307, -0.0083, 0.0256, 0.0372, 0.0382, -0.002, -0.0404, -0.115, -0.0646, -0.0642, -0.0898, -0.1781, -0.2574, -0.2402, -0.2368, -0.2337, -0.2201, -0.2659, -0.2378, -0.2901, -0.2537, -0.2663, -0.2996, -0.2699, -0.2319, -0.1778, -0.172, -0.172, -0.115, -0.1287, -0.1594, -0.1083, -0.0722, -0.0797, -0.0766, -0.0846, -0.0391, -0.0329, -0.0285, -0.0935, -0.0766, -0.1132, -0.0742, -0.0632, -0.04, -0.0373, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0656, -0.0833, -0.115, -0.1392, -0.1392, -0.0976, -0.002, -0.0024, -0.0094, -0.0037, -0.0331, -0.1093, -0.0728, -0.0856, -0.0569, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.1219, -0.0927, -0.089, -0.1085, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.1503, -0.1825, -0.2274, -0.2187, -0.2406, -0.2535, -0.3185, -0.2472, -0.2352, -0.2331, -0.3484, -0.4057, -0.3961, -0.3961, -0.3707, -0.3793, -0.3967, -0.4234, -0.4634, -0.4461, -0.4402, -0.4159, -0.464, -0.4433, -0.4441, -0.4417, -0.4368, -0.4531, -0.4504, -0.4457, -0.4593, -0.4929, -0.4811, -0.453, -0.4522, -0.4915, -0.473, -0.4886, -0.4506, -0.4764, -0.4864]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973051261499932994", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-30T15:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "AFRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed recent shorts rec'd: $UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI & soon $CVNA. Consumer lending sector is in trouble.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names UPST, AFRM, ALLY, SOFI, and CVNA on sector trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["AFRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my Live Trading Room this morning, I reviewed recent shorts rec'd:\n\n$UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI &amp; soon $CVNA.\n\nConsumer lending sector is in trouble.\n@GraphCall alerted clients before the selling 🕺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04761898796313746, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04761898796313746, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05137168692163252, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04279253299299168, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00375269895849506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826454970145777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01833601948982455, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01833601948982455, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014928447265173173, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027246386907664344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075722246513784, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910367417839793, "ret_p1w": 0.04885056931275522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04885056931275522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.044437362820271, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05070685419309384, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413206492484223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018562848803386212, "ret_p1m": -0.005747101237302377, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005747101237302377, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03758541194909937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027295398179684627, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831071179699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033042499416987, "ret_p3m": 0.037356262440307875, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.037356262440307875, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0019271229129975698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0012620961060687552, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283385353305444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416633423912, "ret_p6m": -0.3835522973684853, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3835522973684853, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37511599953261276, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3073866909581634, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843629783587252, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616560641032188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005747101237302377, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03758541194909937, "alpha_c_stated": -0.027295398179684627, "price_path": [-0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0253, -0.0732, -0.0549, -0.0621, -0.1144, -0.1236, -0.0948, -0.0803, -0.0494, -0.0572, -0.0866, -0.1047, -0.1018, -0.0993, -0.082, -0.0762, -0.0701, -0.0773, -0.0619, -0.0913, 0.0234, 0.0244, 0.0575, 0.0805, -0.0103, -0.0015, 0.0521, 0.0634, 0.0539, 0.0772, 0.0706, 0.0107, -0.0014, 0.0193, 0.0877, 0.059, 0.0666, 0.0617, 0.0946, 0.2105, 0.2105, 0.1251, 0.1674, 0.2269, 0.1953, 0.1752, 0.2099, 0.1613, 0.114, 0.1368, 0.2237, 0.231, 0.237, 0.2303, 0.2614, 0.2332, 0.132, 0.1156, 0.0665, 0.0404, 0.0476, 0.0, 0.0183, 0.0595, 0.0239, 0.038, 0.0489, 0.0297, 0.0599, -0.0265, 0.0014, -0.0022, -0.0003, -0.0549, -0.0709, -0.0137, 0.0193, -0.0157, 0.0337, 0.0316, 0.0461, 0.0389, -0.0057, -0.0572, -0.0164, -0.0137, -0.0229, -0.0213, -0.0974, 0.0074, 0.0412, 0.0282, 0.0803, 0.0014, -0.0352, -0.0672, -0.1011, -0.1058, -0.1442, -0.119, -0.0847, -0.0582, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0291, -0.0549, -0.0829, -0.0471, -0.0601, -0.0696, -0.068, -0.0638, -0.0304, -0.0554, -0.0798, -0.1015, 0.0042, -0.0142, 0.045, 0.043, 0.0751, 0.035, 0.0398, 0.0398, 0.0374, 0.0333, 0.0379, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.013, 0.1056, 0.1268, 0.1364, 0.1167, 0.1193, 0.0453, 0.0395, -0.0064, -0.0174, 0.023, 0.023, -0.0271, -0.0181, -0.0034, -0.0226, -0.0598, -0.0587, -0.1056, -0.1407, -0.1749, -0.1518, -0.1563, -0.1494, -0.1869, -0.2196, -0.207, -0.1838, -0.2263, -0.3191, -0.3184, -0.3184, -0.2939, -0.2926, -0.2909, -0.3009, -0.3551, -0.345, -0.3435, -0.3101, -0.3571, -0.3614, -0.3455, -0.306, -0.2816, -0.2926, -0.3047, -0.319, -0.305, -0.3654, -0.3585, -0.3474, -0.3492, -0.3922, -0.392, -0.4005, -0.3684, -0.3871, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973051261499932994", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-30T15:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "ALLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed recent shorts rec'd: $UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI & soon $CVNA. Consumer lending sector is in trouble.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names UPST, AFRM, ALLY, SOFI, and CVNA on sector trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my Live Trading Room this morning, I reviewed recent shorts rec'd:\n\n$UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI &amp; soon $CVNA.\n\nConsumer lending sector is in trouble.\n@GraphCall alerted clients before the selling 🕺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01683677355548352, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01683677355548352, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02058947251397858, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012010318585337743, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00375269895849506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826454970145777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011479604773692254, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011479604773692254, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014887176998343632, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0025692373558524606, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075722246513784, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910367417839793, "ret_p1w": 0.018367208538695667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018367208538695667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013954002046211444, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02022349341903429, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413206492484223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018562848803386212, "ret_p1m": 0.019642786471555373, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019642786471555373, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012195524240241618, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05268528588854238, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831071179699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033042499416987, "ret_p3m": 0.18920297062093838, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18920297062093838, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14991958526763294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15310880428669926, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283385353305444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416633423912, "ret_p6m": 0.01569016542141699, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01569016542141699, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02412646325728951, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09185577183173887, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843629783587252, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616560641032188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019642786471555373, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012195524240241618, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05268528588854238, "price_path": [0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0227, 0.0212, 0.0217, 0.0255, 0.0235, 0.0288, -0.012, -0.0046, 0.0184, 0.0093, -0.0168, -0.017, -0.0019, -0.0287, -0.0246, -0.0175, -0.0254, -0.0317, -0.0421, -0.0554, -0.0449, -0.05, -0.0505, -0.0574, -0.0439, -0.0505, -0.0227, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0089, -0.0204, -0.0237, -0.0245, -0.0191, 0.0352, 0.0388, 0.0398, 0.0474, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0398, 0.0426, 0.0605, 0.0551, 0.0546, 0.0564, 0.0487, 0.074, 0.077, 0.0987, 0.1046, 0.1212, 0.1372, 0.1278, 0.1092, 0.0888, 0.0707, 0.0416, 0.0245, 0.0168, 0.0, -0.0115, -0.0089, 0.011, 0.0151, 0.0184, -0.0031, -0.0003, -0.0571, -0.0339, 0.0189, 0.0128, -0.0191, 0.0158, 0.0332, 0.0454, 0.0357, 0.0464, 0.0666, 0.0533, 0.0416, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0018, 0.0123, 0.0185, 0.027, -0.0069, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0147, 0.0357, 0.008, 0.01, -0.0306, -0.0321, -0.0129, -0.0342, -0.0108, 0.019, 0.0473, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.0617, 0.0653, 0.0586, 0.0735, 0.0905, 0.0897, 0.0964, 0.0884, 0.1437, 0.1779, 0.1617, 0.153, 0.1396, 0.1476, 0.1681, 0.1746, 0.1931, 0.1936, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1892, 0.1766, 0.172, 0.1643, 0.1643, 0.1763, 0.1987, 0.2098, 0.1967, 0.1802, 0.1753, 0.1406, 0.1244, 0.1278, 0.1221, 0.1211, 0.1211, 0.0905, 0.0907, 0.0794, 0.0568, 0.0851, 0.1026, 0.0874, 0.1044, 0.0869, 0.0915, 0.089, 0.1221, 0.0908, 0.0954, 0.0884, 0.0975, 0.0791, 0.0571, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.069, 0.09, 0.0848, 0.0905, 0.0348, 0.0488, 0.0742, 0.0859, 0.0211, 0.0292, 0.0325, 0.0462, 0.033, -0.0143, -0.0048, -0.0322, -0.0459, -0.0462, -0.0643, -0.069, -0.0327, -0.0268, -0.0138, -0.005, 0.0154, 0.0232, 0.0157]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973051261499932994", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-30T15:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "SOFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed recent shorts rec'd: $UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI & soon $CVNA. Consumer lending sector is in trouble.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names UPST, AFRM, ALLY, SOFI, and CVNA on sector trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my Live Trading Room this morning, I reviewed recent shorts rec'd:\n\n$UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI &amp; soon $CVNA.\n\nConsumer lending sector is in trouble.\n@GraphCall alerted clients before the selling 🕺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04277059642329539, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04277059642329539, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04652329538179045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037944141453149616, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00375269895849506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826454970145777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024981069095617148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024981069095617148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028388641320268526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016070701677777355, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075722246513784, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910367417839793, "ret_p1w": 0.0651021691289777, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0651021691289777, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06068896263649348, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06695845400931633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413206492484223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018562848803386212, "ret_p1m": 0.16956849088945036, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16956849088945036, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13773018017765337, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20261099030643737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831071179699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033042499416987, "ret_p3m": 0.024602559298003257, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024602559298003257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.014680826055302187, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011491607036235862, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283385353305444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416633423912, "ret_p6m": -0.3732021416305261, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3732021416305261, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3647658437946536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.29703653522020423, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843629783587252, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616560641032188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16956849088945036, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13773018017765337, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20261099030643737, "price_path": [-0.2971, -0.2971, -0.2718, -0.2449, -0.2347, -0.2063, -0.1976, -0.1927, -0.2067, -0.1904, -0.1639, -0.1745, -0.1991, -0.2059, -0.184, -0.1858, -0.1976, -0.2044, -0.1522, -0.1722, -0.1453, -0.1964, -0.1745, -0.1847, -0.1877, -0.1643, -0.1635, -0.1514, -0.1048, -0.0988, -0.1185, -0.1003, -0.0829, -0.1389, -0.1476, -0.117, -0.053, -0.0102, -0.0303, -0.0553, -0.0144, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0572, -0.0731, -0.0394, -0.031, -0.0174, -0.017, -0.0341, -0.0174, 0.0049, 0.0473, 0.0379, 0.0273, 0.064, 0.117, 0.1283, 0.1011, 0.0765, 0.0643, 0.059, 0.0428, 0.0, -0.025, -0.017, -0.0447, -0.0023, 0.0651, 0.0606, 0.0768, -0.0087, 0.0273, 0.0549, 0.0609, 0.0068, 0.0045, 0.0855, 0.0882, 0.0291, 0.0628, 0.098, 0.1355, 0.1983, 0.1696, 0.0988, 0.1234, 0.1593, 0.1117, 0.1382, 0.028, 0.0678, 0.1559, 0.1715, 0.2192, 0.0746, 0.053, 0.0235, -0.0068, 0.0114, -0.0572, -0.0466, 0.0371, 0.0723, 0.0783, 0.0783, 0.1249, 0.0988, 0.117, 0.1003, 0.1204, 0.0515, 0.045, 0.0155, 0.0254, 0.0246, 0.0326, -0.0227, 0.0061, -0.0435, -0.0049, 0.031, 0.0352, 0.0291, 0.0401, 0.0401, 0.0246, 0.0151, 0.0053, -0.0091, -0.0091, 0.0394, 0.1083, 0.0212, 0.022, 0.0492, 0.0371, 0.0068, 0.0273, 0.0095, 0.0008, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0352, -0.0295, -0.0125, -0.0216, -0.0235, -0.0363, -0.0689, -0.078, -0.1366, -0.1643, -0.1764, -0.2146, -0.2634, -0.2104, -0.1919, -0.1983, -0.2222, -0.2695, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2615, -0.2604, -0.2695, -0.2801, -0.3104, -0.2937, -0.2699, -0.2771, -0.3278, -0.3039, -0.2956, -0.2922, -0.2714, -0.2846, -0.2888, -0.3077, -0.2986, -0.3301, -0.3278, -0.3327, -0.3425, -0.3497, -0.3535, -0.3603, -0.3509, -0.3679, -0.3732]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973051261499932994", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-30T15:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "soon $CVNA. Consumer lending sector is in trouble.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short consumer lending names UPST, AFRM, ALLY, SOFI, and CVNA on sector trouble.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my Live Trading Room this morning, I reviewed recent shorts rec'd:\n\n$UPST, $AFRM, $ALLY, $SOFI &amp; soon $CVNA.\n\nConsumer lending sector is in trouble.\n@GraphCall alerted clients before the selling 🕺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040875831216528935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040875831216528935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044628530175023995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03620217196086095, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00375269895849506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0046736592556679835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048165660847476754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.048165660847476754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044758088622825376, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0419062638088461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075722246513784, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006259397038630654, "ret_p1w": -0.018370289773003035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018370289773003035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022783496265487257, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001928992213095837, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413206492484223, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016441297559907198, "ret_p1m": -0.06173784927273607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06173784927273607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09357615998453306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05969310736634359, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831071179699, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0020447419063924777, "ret_p3m": 0.16231049881081439, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16231049881081439, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12302711345750894, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1416805009479325, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283385353305444, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020629997862881888, "ret_p6m": -0.18205912153963144, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18205912153963144, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17362282370375892, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10988692416095414, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843629783587252, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0721721973786773, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06173784927273607, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09357615998453306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05969310736634359, "price_path": [-0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0528, -0.083, -0.0693, -0.084, -0.089, -0.0793, -0.0764, -0.0669, -0.0825, -0.0788, -0.0936, -0.0946, -0.0908, -0.1356, -0.1196, -0.1084, -0.108, -0.1157, 0.0343, -0.0251, -0.044, -0.0702, -0.0592, -0.0517, -0.0787, -0.0848, -0.0852, -0.0726, -0.0919, -0.0722, -0.047, -0.0875, -0.1024, -0.1012, -0.0515, -0.0401, -0.0134, -0.0262, 0.0004, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0288, -0.0396, -0.0187, -0.0222, -0.0133, -0.0059, -0.0321, -0.061, -0.041, -0.0315, -0.0335, 0.0022, 0.0024, 0.0388, 0.0361, 0.0023, -0.0064, -0.0155, -0.0211, 0.0409, 0.0, 0.0482, 0.0463, -0.004, -0.0203, -0.0184, -0.0433, -0.0456, -0.1272, -0.1033, -0.0831, -0.0578, -0.0862, -0.1151, -0.1051, -0.0566, -0.1335, -0.0934, -0.069, -0.0586, -0.0399, -0.0617, -0.1913, -0.1874, -0.119, -0.1788, -0.1791, -0.2309, -0.1942, -0.1457, -0.1335, -0.13, -0.1556, -0.1562, -0.1435, -0.1591, -0.1259, -0.1696, -0.1786, -0.1228, -0.0689, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0073, -0.0052, 0.0131, 0.0471, 0.0573, 0.0597, 0.1875, 0.2097, 0.2397, 0.2531, 0.2079, 0.1874, 0.2066, 0.1829, 0.2346, 0.1935, 0.1494, 0.1593, 0.1705, 0.1705, 0.1623, 0.1493, 0.1387, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.061, 0.14, 0.1675, 0.1949, 0.1732, 0.2276, 0.2314, 0.242, 0.2157, 0.2217, 0.1746, 0.1746, 0.1724, 0.2062, 0.2683, 0.2547, 0.2557, 0.2664, 0.0869, 0.1331, 0.0633, 0.0812, 0.0878, 0.0419, 0.0171, 0.0701, 0.0911, 0.0383, -0.0349, -0.0877, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.0697, -0.0416, -0.1178, -0.1077, -0.1382, -0.1381, -0.1123, -0.0619, -0.1142, -0.1435, -0.1544, -0.1616, -0.1222, -0.1578, -0.1298, -0.155, -0.1796, -0.2243, -0.2044, -0.1889, -0.1657, -0.2282, -0.2202, -0.2544, -0.2058, -0.2022, -0.1821]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970526050422579404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T16:29:55+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every day in my live trading room I review the refiner thesis long: $VLO $PBF $MPC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long refiners VLO/PBF/MPC on ongoing refiner thesis; also long gold/silver/miners on parabola move, plus China rotation plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bob &amp; I have been rec'd $VLO to clients since 100 now pushing &gt; $170!\n\nEvery day in my live trading room I review the refiner thesis long: $VLO $PBF $MPC. \n\nAlong with my high conviction China rotation plays &amp; Gold/Silver/Miner parabola.\n\nThere are bull markets outside AI Tech😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OIL - VAL-AIR-OH! \n@SamanthaLaDuc https://t.co/ZfJR84p632", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023182174377963993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023182174377963993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02865543858099373, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006250122646330625, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01693205173163337, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0025823765078893945, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0025823765078893945, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005764040738756804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010425043574809889, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013007420082699284, "ret_p1w": -0.0007629521026413233, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0007629521026413233, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005241018309985801, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0025571389026717295, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0017941868000304062, "ret_p1m": -0.05000301536890717, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05000301536890717, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0569237475005796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.034528805544926766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0154742098239804, "ret_p3m": -0.03905148701414529, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03905148701414529, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.068289615392367, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02873534713149173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010316139882653563, "ret_p6m": 0.41693341901475245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41693341901475245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4166705382761253, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09537971229950903, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3215537067152434, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05000301536890717, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0569237475005796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.034528805544926766, "price_path": [-0.2027, -0.2159, -0.2175, -0.1966, -0.173, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.1632, -0.1345, -0.1322, -0.0988, -0.109, -0.1334, -0.1338, -0.1664, -0.1578, -0.1492, -0.1485, -0.1553, -0.1411, -0.183, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1575, -0.1887, -0.1941, -0.2184, -0.2075, -0.197, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2177, -0.2267, -0.2172, -0.201, -0.2029, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.1905, -0.1754, -0.1767, -0.1468, -0.1366, -0.1376, -0.1151, -0.1129, -0.1079, -0.1079, -0.0945, -0.0881, -0.088, -0.0799, -0.0765, -0.0502, -0.0698, -0.0751, -0.0802, -0.0752, -0.0455, -0.0394, -0.0384, -0.0456, -0.0232, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0237, 0.0308, 0.0103, -0.0008, -0.016, -0.0334, -0.0586, -0.0409, -0.0424, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0726, -0.0527, -0.0481, -0.0552, -0.0822, -0.0741, -0.06, -0.0745, -0.05, 0.0161, 0.0039, 0.0232, -0.0062, 0.0016, -0.0017, -0.0049, 0.0071, -0.0075, -0.0015, 0.033, 0.0307, 0.0516, 0.0614, 0.042, 0.0316, 0.0667, 0.047, 0.0883, 0.0583, 0.0088, 0.0244, 0.0298, 0.0282, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0439, 0.0663, 0.0544, 0.0456, 0.0332, 0.0285, 0.025, 0.0354, 0.0394, 0.0153, -0.006, -0.0084, -0.0384, -0.0379, -0.0436, -0.0391, -0.0341, -0.0269, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0314, -0.0216, -0.0264, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0237, 0.0664, 0.0528, 0.0859, 0.1299, 0.0942, 0.0608, 0.0733, 0.1015, 0.0901, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.091, 0.1114, 0.1038, 0.1049, 0.0824, 0.0802, 0.0868, 0.0778, 0.0715, 0.0644, 0.1355, 0.1659, 0.1536, 0.2043, 0.1966, 0.1854, 0.2117, 0.17, 0.1894, 0.1894, 0.1726, 0.1852, 0.1839, 0.1929, 0.1729, 0.1844, 0.1863, 0.2109, 0.216, 0.277, 0.2936, 0.3405, 0.355, 0.3348, 0.2832, 0.2895, 0.3729, 0.4012, 0.3702, 0.3819, 0.4021, 0.4169]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970526050422579404", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T16:29:55+00:00", "symbol": "PBF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every day in my live trading room I review the refiner thesis long: $VLO $PBF $MPC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long refiners VLO/PBF/MPC on ongoing refiner thesis; also long gold/silver/miners on parabola move, plus China rotation plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["PBF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bob &amp; I have been rec'd $VLO to clients since 100 now pushing &gt; $170!\n\nEvery day in my live trading room I review the refiner thesis long: $VLO $PBF $MPC. \n\nAlong with my high conviction China rotation plays &amp; Gold/Silver/Miner parabola.\n\nThere are bull markets outside AI Tech😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OIL - VAL-AIR-OH! \n@SamanthaLaDuc https://t.co/ZfJR84p632", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034656599730880866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034656599730880866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0401298639339106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017724547999247497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01693205173163337, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014177683136623376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014177683136623376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017359347367490785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0011702630539240921, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013007420082699284, "ret_p1w": -0.04946441849900807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04946441849900807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053942484706352545, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05125860529903847, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0017941868000304062, "ret_p1m": -0.07120354492757097, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07120354492757097, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07812427705924341, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05572933510359057, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0154742098239804, "ret_p3m": -0.16367106526891795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16367106526891795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19290919364713965, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15335492538626438, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010316139882653563, "ret_p6m": 0.5064064915395783, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5064064915395783, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5061436108009512, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18485278482433487, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3215537067152434, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07120354492757097, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07812427705924341, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05572933510359057, "price_path": [-0.3217, -0.3201, -0.3254, -0.3067, -0.2582, -0.2498, -0.2498, -0.241, -0.2055, -0.1965, -0.1315, -0.1081, -0.1604, -0.1629, -0.2224, -0.2273, -0.2413, -0.2354, -0.2526, -0.2429, -0.2737, -0.2479, -0.2186, -0.2074, -0.2333, -0.2964, -0.3251, -0.2756, -0.2638, -0.2924, -0.3058, -0.3145, -0.3182, -0.317, -0.2815, -0.2845, -0.2662, -0.2527, -0.2602, -0.2561, -0.3009, -0.2338, -0.1884, -0.2177, -0.1695, -0.161, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1027, -0.1226, -0.11, -0.1018, -0.1049, -0.0555, -0.1125, -0.0974, -0.1352, -0.1204, -0.0353, -0.0391, -0.034, -0.0507, -0.0347, 0.0, 0.0142, 0.0573, 0.0277, -0.0249, -0.0495, -0.0564, -0.051, -0.0384, -0.0233, -0.0548, -0.0618, -0.0744, -0.1273, -0.0829, -0.0744, -0.1068, -0.1037, -0.0948, -0.0703, -0.1159, -0.0712, 0.0744, 0.0652, 0.0536, 0.0328, 0.0747, 0.0892, 0.0766, 0.1055, 0.1125, 0.1128, 0.1607, 0.1629, 0.2546, 0.2678, 0.2196, 0.179, 0.2375, 0.2026, 0.2502, 0.189, 0.1029, 0.1064, 0.1017, 0.0928, 0.0715, 0.0715, 0.0944, 0.1014, 0.0966, 0.0725, 0.0595, 0.0601, 0.0144, -0.0018, 0.0077, -0.0221, -0.0364, -0.05, -0.1545, -0.1554, -0.1741, -0.1637, -0.171, -0.1557, -0.1583, -0.1583, -0.17, -0.1576, -0.1735, -0.1392, -0.1392, -0.0945, -0.0637, -0.1357, -0.1037, 0.0204, 0.0401, 0.0407, 0.0442, 0.029, -0.0101, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0227, 0.0417, 0.0474, 0.0604, 0.0223, 0.0487, 0.0442, 0.0556, 0.062, 0.0306, 0.0937, 0.1201, 0.0947, 0.1271, 0.1191, 0.0944, 0.1353, 0.0687, 0.0963, 0.0963, 0.0779, 0.0541, 0.076, 0.0912, 0.0893, 0.1137, 0.1193, 0.1536, 0.1388, 0.2598, 0.2719, 0.4331, 0.4607, 0.3836, 0.2195, 0.2684, 0.3433, 0.373, 0.3916, 0.3938, 0.4252, 0.5064]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1970526050422579404", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-23T16:29:55+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold/Silver/Miner parabola", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long refiners VLO/PBF/MPC on ongoing refiner thesis; also long gold/silver/miners on parabola move, plus China rotation plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bob &amp; I have been rec'd $VLO to clients since 100 now pushing &gt; $170!\n\nEvery day in my live trading room I review the refiner thesis long: $VLO $PBF $MPC. \n\nAlong with my high conviction China rotation plays &amp; Gold/Silver/Miner parabola.\n\nThere are bull markets outside AI Tech😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OIL - VAL-AIR-OH! \n@SamanthaLaDuc https://t.co/ZfJR84p632", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0020020478700604194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020020478700604194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003471216332969318, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003471216332969318, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035034883097091463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035034883097091463, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.000321824078841737, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.000321824078841737, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "ret_p1w": 0.06031030787356961, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06031030787356961, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055832241666225135, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055832241666225135, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "ret_p1m": 0.09809814998633937, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09809814998633937, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09117741785466693, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09117741785466693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "ret_p3m": 0.5247748173460665, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5247748173460665, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.49553668896784475, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49553668896784475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "ret_p6m": 0.7192191822380971, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7192191822380971, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.71895630149947, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.71895630149947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09809814998633937, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09117741785466693, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09117741785466693, "price_path": [-0.1657, -0.1837, -0.1789, -0.1809, -0.1682, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.1634, -0.1669, -0.1742, -0.1554, -0.1234, -0.1334, -0.1426, -0.1389, -0.1329, -0.1339, -0.1154, -0.1061, -0.1069, -0.1119, -0.1326, -0.1331, -0.1326, -0.1614, -0.1662, -0.1594, -0.1496, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.1301, -0.1271, -0.1446, -0.1389, -0.1241, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1354, -0.1524, -0.1384, -0.1339, -0.1156, -0.1236, -0.1236, -0.1244, -0.1111, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.0703, -0.0656, -0.0758, -0.0688, -0.0613, -0.0696, -0.0638, -0.0543, -0.0405, -0.03, -0.034, -0.0543, -0.0493, -0.023, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0035, 0.0268, 0.0475, 0.0636, 0.0603, 0.0738, 0.0643, 0.0891, 0.1026, 0.0858, 0.1151, 0.1189, 0.1369, 0.1827, 0.1712, 0.2095, 0.2305, 0.1759, 0.1942, 0.0958, 0.0981, 0.1056, 0.1009, 0.0611, 0.0686, 0.0818, 0.1096, 0.1014, 0.0951, 0.0696, 0.0923, 0.0898, 0.0991, 0.1459, 0.1624, 0.2092, 0.1867, 0.1502, 0.1379, 0.1537, 0.1624, 0.1456, 0.1336, 0.1669, 0.1679, 0.2112, 0.2112, 0.2815, 0.3143, 0.3296, 0.3281, 0.2953, 0.3251, 0.3191, 0.3806, 0.4032, 0.4419, 0.4039, 0.4542, 0.4447, 0.508, 0.4845, 0.5248, 0.5633, 0.6226, 0.6321, 0.6321, 0.7798, 0.6519, 0.7262, 0.6121, 0.6121, 0.6454, 0.7287, 0.8446, 0.7758, 0.7445, 0.8113, 0.9327, 0.967, 1.1161, 1.0851, 1.0275, 1.0275, 1.1369, 1.1011, 1.1804, 1.3251, 1.461, 1.5423, 1.6426, 1.6419, 0.8879, 0.8128, 0.9259, 0.9815, 0.6689, 0.7565, 0.9029, 0.8371, 0.9159, 0.6949, 0.7447, 0.7447, 0.6609, 0.754, 0.777, 0.9174, 1.0163, 0.979, 1.003, 1.0133, 1.1269, 1.0413, 0.8689, 0.8854, 0.8586, 0.9004, 0.9585, 1.0043, 0.9497, 0.9139, 0.8191, 0.8323, 0.7933, 0.7192]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1933881086418850027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-14T13:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS. $WPM $AEM $AGI - Adding two more this week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding gold miner longs since last summer and adding two more positions this week; bullish continuation on GDX, WPM, AEM, AGI.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The hiccup to the Gold Miner advance will be the oil spike, and how long that lasts… $GDX\n\nOTHERWISE, THEY HAVE BEEN PHENOMENAL. CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS.  $WPM $AEM $AGI - \n\nAdding two more this week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Miners: Q2 margins are poised for another banner quarter!\nThe average gold price in Q1 was $2,860 per ounce. For Q2, the avg. POG is currently estimated to be $3,350/oz, which is up 15% QoQ. Imagine the AISC margins of the most profitable &amp; leading gold producers. 💰👇 $GDX https://t.co/fBYY7ahPA1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01699346461506046, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01699346461506046, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02641813951507388, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02641813951507388, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007469544385776405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007469544385776405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007798216959853499, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007798216959853499, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.008216570577902371, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008216570577902371, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006962528394597545, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006962528394597545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "ret_p1m": -0.036041089812983707, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036041089812983707, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07138195184965257, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07138195184965257, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.30270777083036005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30270777083036005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2083057428374191, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2083057428374191, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "ret_p6m": 0.5301587697940235, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5301587697940235, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3903191508108792, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3903191508108792, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": 0.5988297857302713, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5988297857302713, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3330067331260209, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3330067331260209, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.036041089812983707, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07138195184965257, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07138195184965257, "price_path": [-0.1554, -0.1567, -0.169, -0.1737, -0.1593, -0.1658, -0.1455, -0.149, -0.1415, -0.1447, -0.1455, -0.1462, -0.2217, -0.226, -0.225, -0.1599, -0.1191, -0.0719, -0.0659, -0.0564, -0.0306, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0353, -0.062, -0.09, -0.0708, -0.0885, -0.0769, -0.0947, -0.0848, -0.1186, -0.1208, -0.0902, -0.0515, -0.0697, -0.0872, -0.0594, -0.1294, -0.1309, -0.1494, -0.1318, -0.1348, -0.116, -0.0885, -0.0768, -0.0816, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0706, -0.0598, -0.0611, -0.0542, 0.0041, -0.0086, -0.0063, -0.0075, -0.036, -0.0265, -0.0396, -0.0301, -0.0004, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0007, -0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0235, -0.0082, -0.0316, -0.0304, -0.0174, -0.0527, -0.0278, -0.0282, -0.0166, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0071, -0.0515, -0.0383, -0.0308, -0.0211, -0.0205, -0.036, -0.0323, -0.0431, -0.0452, -0.0099, 0.0174, 0.0054, -0.0041, 0.0077, -0.0179, -0.0056, -0.0331, -0.0357, -0.0205, 0.026, 0.0543, 0.0717, 0.082, 0.0842, 0.0773, 0.087, 0.0844, 0.0775, 0.0883, 0.085, 0.057, 0.0891, 0.1072, 0.1238, 0.1253, 0.1503, 0.1481, 0.1453, 0.1796, 0.1796, 0.2101, 0.2176, 0.2058, 0.2388, 0.2556, 0.2484, 0.2792, 0.3027, 0.3025, 0.3162, 0.2889, 0.2822, 0.2846, 0.3513, 0.388, 0.3862, 0.3505, 0.3656, 0.3946, 0.414, 0.4267, 0.4403, 0.4398, 0.4394, 0.468, 0.4373, 0.4781, 0.412, 0.4151, 0.4822, 0.465, 0.5214, 0.5768, 0.4702, 0.5007, 0.3593, 0.3623, 0.378, 0.3595, 0.3055, 0.3262, 0.3272, 0.3613, 0.3457, 0.3315, 0.2751, 0.3197, 0.3214, 0.3548, 0.4189, 0.4325, 0.4799, 0.4388, 0.4222, 0.3996, 0.4123, 0.4265, 0.3627, 0.3754, 0.4558, 0.4528, 0.5229, 0.5229, 0.5542, 0.5466, 0.524, 0.5137, 0.5199, 0.5132, 0.4782, 0.5302]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1933881086418850027", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-14T13:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "WPM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS. $WPM $AEM $AGI - Adding two more this week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding gold miner longs since last summer and adding two more positions this week; bullish continuation on GDX, WPM, AEM, AGI.", "resolved_tickers": ["WPM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The hiccup to the Gold Miner advance will be the oil spike, and how long that lasts… $GDX\n\nOTHERWISE, THEY HAVE BEEN PHENOMENAL. CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS.  $WPM $AEM $AGI - \n\nAdding two more this week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Miners: Q2 margins are poised for another banner quarter!\nThe average gold price in Q1 was $2,860 per ounce. For Q2, the avg. POG is currently estimated to be $3,350/oz, which is up 15% QoQ. Imagine the AISC margins of the most profitable &amp; leading gold producers. 💰👇 $GDX https://t.co/fBYY7ahPA1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002067756072409388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002067756072409388, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007356918827604031, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006330094342005599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008397850414414987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0069648933695637405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0069648933695637405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001580278028867399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002794610774851214, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009759504144414954, "ret_p1w": -0.018718072852673018, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018718072852673018, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01746403066936819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010353061024161447, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00836501182851157, "ret_p1m": -0.013929703455895948, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013929703455895948, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04927056549256481, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030657696770242437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01672799331434649, "ret_p3m": 0.16846232254113125, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16846232254113125, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0740602945481903, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1121555352909418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05630678725018945, "ret_p6m": 0.18913913371614188, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18913913371614188, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04929951473299754, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1946320051388657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005492871422723811, "ret_p1y": 0.36396662707659444, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.36396662707659444, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.09814357447234401, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.16919867891353824, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1947679481630562, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013929703455895948, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04927056549256481, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030657696770242437, "price_path": [-0.1744, -0.1809, -0.1871, -0.1881, -0.1769, -0.1843, -0.1696, -0.1672, -0.1586, -0.1655, -0.1565, -0.1474, -0.2299, -0.2323, -0.2336, -0.1895, -0.1539, -0.1079, -0.1058, -0.0945, -0.0794, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0752, -0.0935, -0.1145, -0.1075, -0.1132, -0.1086, -0.1112, -0.0928, -0.119, -0.1219, -0.0941, -0.0685, -0.0774, -0.1044, -0.0684, -0.1422, -0.1473, -0.1691, -0.1444, -0.1474, -0.1272, -0.0987, -0.0738, -0.0815, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0711, -0.0622, -0.0634, -0.0559, -0.0007, -0.002, 0.0094, -0.0033, -0.0347, -0.03, -0.0405, -0.0297, -0.0161, -0.0021, 0.0, -0.007, -0.0089, -0.0089, -0.0295, -0.0187, -0.0361, -0.0282, -0.0178, -0.0496, -0.0227, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0145, -0.0145, 0.0078, -0.0563, -0.0332, -0.0218, -0.0095, -0.0057, -0.0139, -0.0151, -0.0315, -0.0389, -0.0052, 0.0417, 0.0333, 0.0231, 0.0227, -0.0017, 0.0162, -0.0097, -0.0041, 0.0023, 0.0433, 0.0663, 0.0727, 0.086, 0.0958, 0.0612, 0.0492, 0.0352, 0.026, 0.0267, 0.0163, -0.0095, 0.0147, 0.0268, 0.04, 0.0393, 0.0523, 0.051, 0.0581, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.1053, 0.1148, 0.118, 0.1344, 0.1541, 0.1384, 0.1476, 0.1685, 0.1604, 0.1721, 0.1452, 0.1439, 0.1403, 0.1715, 0.1717, 0.1711, 0.146, 0.1682, 0.1866, 0.2024, 0.2171, 0.2131, 0.1952, 0.1934, 0.195, 0.1788, 0.1667, 0.125, 0.1476, 0.1861, 0.1788, 0.2, 0.2352, 0.1382, 0.1474, 0.043, 0.057, 0.069, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.0384, 0.0358, 0.0673, 0.0504, 0.0577, 0.027, 0.0502, 0.0478, 0.078, 0.1134, 0.1328, 0.1728, 0.1504, 0.1336, 0.1131, 0.1216, 0.1325, 0.0841, 0.0803, 0.1175, 0.1155, 0.1618, 0.1618, 0.1976, 0.1969, 0.1726, 0.1751, 0.184, 0.1763, 0.1422, 0.1891]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1933881086418850027", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-14T13:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "AEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS. $WPM $AEM $AGI - Adding two more this week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding gold miner longs since last summer and adding two more positions this week; bullish continuation on GDX, WPM, AEM, AGI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The hiccup to the Gold Miner advance will be the oil spike, and how long that lasts… $GDX\n\nOTHERWISE, THEY HAVE BEEN PHENOMENAL. CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS.  $WPM $AEM $AGI - \n\nAdding two more this week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Miners: Q2 margins are poised for another banner quarter!\nThe average gold price in Q1 was $2,860 per ounce. For Q2, the avg. POG is currently estimated to be $3,350/oz, which is up 15% QoQ. Imagine the AISC margins of the most profitable &amp; leading gold producers. 💰👇 $GDX https://t.co/fBYY7ahPA1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0036287406192847538, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0036287406192847538, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013053415519298173, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01202659103369974, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008397850414414987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008063523049783861, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008063523049783861, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007738819093452753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008953151839436568, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009759504144414954, "ret_p1w": -0.013305402970295144, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013305402970295144, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012051360786990317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004940391141783573, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00836501182851157, "ret_p1m": -0.039916146812132625, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039916146812132625, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07525700884880149, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056644140126479114, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01672799331434649, "ret_p3m": 0.2431071160637488, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2431071160637488, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14870508807080784, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18680032881355935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05630678725018945, "ret_p6m": 0.34768054637960244, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34768054637960244, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2078409273964581, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.35317341780232625, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005492871422723811, "ret_p1y": 0.3971292864362723, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3971292864362723, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1313062338320219, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20236133827321612, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1947679481630562, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.039916146812132625, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07525700884880149, "alpha_c_stated": -0.056644140126479114, "price_path": [-0.1523, -0.1529, -0.1615, -0.1628, -0.1525, -0.1582, -0.1334, -0.1372, -0.1288, -0.1301, -0.1358, -0.1281, -0.2005, -0.1993, -0.1953, -0.1497, -0.1035, -0.0545, -0.0486, -0.031, -0.0152, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0077, -0.0268, -0.0498, -0.0386, -0.0476, -0.0435, -0.0648, -0.0551, -0.0954, -0.107, -0.0814, -0.0426, -0.0573, -0.0785, -0.0571, -0.1444, -0.1401, -0.1579, -0.144, -0.1445, -0.1303, -0.0953, -0.0707, -0.0791, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0653, -0.0527, -0.0503, -0.0485, 0.0022, -0.0121, -0.0032, -0.0157, -0.0487, -0.0444, -0.0561, -0.0411, -0.0155, 0.0036, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0241, -0.0133, -0.0284, -0.0341, -0.0077, -0.0636, -0.041, -0.0488, -0.0428, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.015, -0.0635, -0.051, -0.0473, -0.0333, -0.0359, -0.0399, -0.0347, -0.0435, -0.0506, -0.0108, 0.0372, 0.0257, 0.0144, 0.0229, -0.0022, 0.0185, -0.0052, 0.0028, 0.0098, 0.0595, 0.085, 0.092, 0.0949, 0.0935, 0.0923, 0.0917, 0.0781, 0.0703, 0.0753, 0.0766, 0.0502, 0.0861, 0.0994, 0.1068, 0.1017, 0.1263, 0.1249, 0.1218, 0.1626, 0.1626, 0.1947, 0.203, 0.1999, 0.2279, 0.2467, 0.2352, 0.2357, 0.2431, 0.2392, 0.2433, 0.2324, 0.2388, 0.2484, 0.3034, 0.3034, 0.3131, 0.2771, 0.293, 0.3215, 0.3486, 0.363, 0.3762, 0.3596, 0.37, 0.378, 0.3447, 0.3712, 0.3078, 0.3292, 0.3917, 0.3843, 0.4453, 0.5002, 0.411, 0.4434, 0.3197, 0.3221, 0.3316, 0.3209, 0.2548, 0.2679, 0.2678, 0.3149, 0.3004, 0.3141, 0.2607, 0.2912, 0.2881, 0.3052, 0.3579, 0.3572, 0.3997, 0.3655, 0.3594, 0.3338, 0.3463, 0.3558, 0.2825, 0.2938, 0.3439, 0.3413, 0.3991, 0.3991, 0.4105, 0.3941, 0.376, 0.3712, 0.3894, 0.3683, 0.335, 0.3477]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1933881086418850027", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-06-14T13:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "AGI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS. $WPM $AEM $AGI - Adding two more this week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding gold miner longs since last summer and adding two more positions this week; bullish continuation on GDX, WPM, AEM, AGI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AGI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The hiccup to the Gold Miner advance will be the oil spike, and how long that lasts… $GDX\n\nOTHERWISE, THEY HAVE BEEN PHENOMENAL. CONTINUATION SWING LONGS SINCE LAST SUMMER FOR CLIENTS.  $WPM $AEM $AGI - \n\nAdding two more this week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Miners: Q2 margins are poised for another banner quarter!\nThe average gold price in Q1 was $2,860 per ounce. For Q2, the avg. POG is currently estimated to be $3,350/oz, which is up 15% QoQ. Imagine the AISC margins of the most profitable &amp; leading gold producers. 💰👇 $GDX https://t.co/fBYY7ahPA1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02456270502647384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02456270502647384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03398737992648726, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03296055544088883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008397850414414987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0014886380125128662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014886380125128662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007056533385918273, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008270866131902088, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009759504144414954, "ret_p1w": -0.004838126886670291, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004838126886670291, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0035840847033654644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0035268849418412795, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012540421833048265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00836501182851157, "ret_p1m": -0.02084114555919414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02084114555919414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056182007595863004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03756913887354063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01672799331434649, "ret_p3m": 0.224413834112422, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.224413834112422, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13001180611948104, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16810704686223255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440202799294095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05630678725018945, "ret_p6m": 0.3613695270556705, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3613695270556705, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22152990807252615, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3668623984783943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005492871422723811, "ret_p1y": 0.40791284827827545, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.40791284827827545, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.14208979567402502, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21314490011521925, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1947679481630562, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02084114555919414, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056182007595863004, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03756913887354063, "price_path": [-0.0284, -0.0299, -0.0292, -0.0455, -0.0258, -0.0396, -0.0069, -0.0121, -0.0058, -0.005, -0.0143, -0.0009, -0.0883, -0.0879, -0.089, -0.0132, 0.04, 0.0865, 0.0924, 0.1017, 0.1277, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.1062, 0.0727, 0.0359, 0.0508, 0.0396, 0.0571, 0.0459, 0.0604, -0.0433, -0.0809, -0.0444, 0.0128, 0.0091, -0.0106, 0.0058, -0.0749, -0.079, -0.1147, -0.0876, -0.089, -0.0675, -0.0507, -0.0296, -0.0452, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0433, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0374, 0.0169, 0.0006, 0.0076, 0.0039, -0.0087, 0.0117, -0.0032, 0.0095, 0.0234, 0.0246, 0.0, -0.0015, -0.0063, -0.0063, -0.0156, -0.0048, -0.038, -0.0283, -0.0272, -0.0476, -0.0115, -0.0108, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0316, -0.0287, -0.0156, -0.0283, -0.0093, -0.0123, -0.0208, -0.0342, -0.0555, -0.0737, -0.0428, -0.0182, -0.0242, -0.0428, -0.0372, -0.0573, -0.0443, -0.0558, -0.0956, -0.0744, -0.048, -0.0238, -0.0171, -0.0182, -0.0257, -0.0279, -0.0342, -0.0461, -0.0547, -0.0328, -0.0272, -0.0413, -0.0134, 0.0339, 0.0569, 0.0566, 0.0904, 0.1061, 0.1035, 0.1332, 0.1332, 0.1905, 0.1943, 0.1742, 0.198, 0.2192, 0.2103, 0.2326, 0.2244, 0.2266, 0.2441, 0.1764, 0.1675, 0.1589, 0.2036, 0.2393, 0.2575, 0.2412, 0.2397, 0.2721, 0.2892, 0.2974, 0.3059, 0.2806, 0.2657, 0.2929, 0.2479, 0.2747, 0.2192, 0.23, 0.2929, 0.2676, 0.3409, 0.3945, 0.2847, 0.3108, 0.1809, 0.1853, 0.1857, 0.1742, 0.1366, 0.1738, 0.1861, 0.1552, 0.1459, 0.1641, 0.1169, 0.1533, 0.1329, 0.1533, 0.2099, 0.2159, 0.2527, 0.2453, 0.2412, 0.2307, 0.2587, 0.2613, 0.201, 0.2144, 0.2799, 0.2881, 0.3684, 0.3684, 0.3956, 0.3774, 0.3465, 0.3327, 0.3431, 0.3428, 0.3197, 0.3614]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960379327838552243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-26T16:30:28+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA will suffer greatly as a result", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: market will eventually be forced to price in China AI tech domination risk, causing significant downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@fredwalton216 @MotherCabriniNY Txs Fred. Even if not \"this\" Wed, there will be a time where market is forced to price the China AI Tech domination risk in &amp; $NVDA will suffer greatly as a result.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@MotherCabriniNY I thought this was a very timely read, ahead of Wednesday.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fredwalton216", "ret_m1d": -0.010782881947952627, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010782881947952627, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006613466056441419, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012463160339262203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004169415891511208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009536565914026407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009352225175625062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009352225175625062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003213866794044673, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004001737292405272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002278644276482167, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0030665147748427657, "ret_p1w": -0.06046105142009073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06046105142009073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05288160830766653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02585284391795095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0075794431124242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.034608207502139776, "ret_p1m": -0.026352159778976092, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026352159778976092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.053900205771204024, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1084414171668101, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027548045992227932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08208925738783401, "ret_p3m": -0.015843725208323667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015843725208323667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.040174388995709354, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11484967141629432, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024330663787385687, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09900594620797065, "ret_p6m": 0.03427986437172059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03427986437172059, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.035572988888447066, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36027338395624686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985285326016766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39455324832796745, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.026352159778976092, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.053900205771204024, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1084414171668101, "price_path": [-0.2343, -0.2566, -0.2443, -0.2231, -0.2193, -0.2299, -0.2204, -0.2154, -0.2081, -0.2142, -0.2023, -0.219, -0.204, -0.2071, -0.1996, -0.1996, -0.2086, -0.2069, -0.1863, -0.1511, -0.1472, -0.1321, -0.1308, -0.1566, -0.1349, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1294, -0.1198, -0.1039, -0.0972, -0.0927, -0.0974, -0.0609, -0.0572, -0.0482, -0.0515, -0.0572, -0.0811, -0.0605, -0.0442, -0.0455, -0.0276, -0.0344, -0.0138, -0.0215, -0.0443, -0.0097, -0.0193, -0.0129, -0.0055, 0.0051, 0.0016, 0.0076, -0.001, 0.0014, -0.0073, 0.0013, -0.0337, -0.035, -0.0374, -0.0208, -0.0108, 0.0, -0.0009, -0.0088, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0605, -0.0613, -0.0556, -0.0811, -0.074, -0.0606, -0.0244, -0.0253, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0379, -0.0631, -0.0304, -0.028, 0.0102, -0.0183, -0.0264, -0.0224, -0.0196, 0.0005, 0.0265, 0.0302, 0.0392, 0.0322, 0.0208, 0.018, 0.0404, 0.0595, 0.0077, 0.0361, -0.0095, -0.0106, 0.0003, 0.008, 0.0048, -0.0033, -0.0081, 0.0022, 0.0248, 0.0535, 0.106, 0.1391, 0.1163, 0.1141, 0.1382, 0.0931, 0.074, 0.0348, 0.0352, 0.0951, 0.0627, 0.0662, 0.0281, 0.0463, 0.0266, -0.0022, 0.0262, -0.0062, -0.0158, 0.0043, -0.0217, -0.0083, -0.0083, -0.0262, -0.0101, -0.0016, -0.0119, 0.009, 0.0036, 0.0209, 0.0177, 0.0112, -0.0045, -0.037, -0.03, -0.0222, -0.0595, -0.0419, -0.0042, 0.0107, 0.041, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0483, 0.0356, 0.0319, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0391, 0.0351, 0.0302, 0.0405, 0.0181, 0.0171, 0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0076, 0.0292, 0.0247, 0.0247, -0.0202, 0.0086, 0.017, 0.0326, 0.026, 0.0373, 0.0538, 0.0592, 0.0516, 0.0212, -0.0078, -0.0416, -0.0543, 0.0201, 0.0456, 0.0374, 0.0457, 0.0286, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0177, 0.0343]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "price_path": [-0.1615, -0.1597, -0.1516, -0.1547, -0.1582, -0.154, -0.1559, -0.1537, -0.1406, -0.1325, -0.1433, -0.1485, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1595, -0.174, -0.1686, -0.1517, -0.1467, -0.1461, -0.1479, -0.1407, -0.1409, -0.1532, -0.154, -0.1514, -0.1568, -0.1563, -0.1576, -0.1622, -0.1537, -0.1567, -0.1476, -0.1497, -0.1435, -0.1418, -0.1354, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1065, -0.0995, -0.1034, -0.0915, -0.0811, -0.0832, -0.0799, -0.0813, -0.0795, -0.0699, -0.068, -0.0752, -0.0789, -0.0692, -0.053, -0.0492, -0.0578, -0.0539, -0.0484, -0.0327, -0.0245, -0.0229, -0.0263, -0.0185, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0217, 0.0029, 0.013, 0.0376, 0.045, 0.0631, 0.088, 0.0675, 0.1064, 0.0353, 0.0354, 0.0395, 0.0361, 0.0072, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0158, 0.0103, 0.0121, -0.0057, 0.0058, 0.0046, 0.0108, 0.0384, 0.0425, 0.0593, 0.0507, 0.0318, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.029, 0.0287, 0.0271, 0.0434, 0.0431, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0645, 0.0696, 0.0627, 0.0617, 0.0624, 0.0605, 0.0577, 0.0632, 0.0677, 0.0792, 0.0852, 0.0862, 0.0865, 0.0958, 0.0938, 0.0951, 0.1203, 0.1352, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1437, 0.0939, 0.0947, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.093, 0.1218, 0.1339, 0.1231, 0.1293, 0.1375, 0.1588, 0.1571, 0.1689, 0.1618, 0.1562, 0.1562, 0.1999, 0.2174, 0.2399, 0.2569, 0.2753, 0.3066, 0.3573, 0.3609, 0.2211, 0.1722, 0.2467, 0.2459, 0.2127, 0.25, 0.2817, 0.269, 0.2834, 0.2388, 0.2696, 0.2696, 0.23, 0.2577, 0.2612, 0.2861, 0.3208, 0.3025, 0.2992, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3447, 0.2848, 0.2948, 0.2792, 0.2995, 0.2968, 0.3114, 0.307, 0.2813, 0.2647, 0.2636, 0.2604, 0.2205, 0.1702, 0.1345, 0.1088, 0.1091, 0.1425, 0.0995, 0.1381, 0.1378, 0.1809]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012256034922747183, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012256034922747183, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008682669975224266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008682669975224266, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0152065810885047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0152065810885047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011499067199186919, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011499067199186919, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.07262816269865158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07262816269865158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08538853099614119, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08538853099614119, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.02995913875809353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02995913875809353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035364039940995795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035364039940995795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.46209705313346716, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46209705313346716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44374558785408147, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44374558785408147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.5465274004951488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5465274004951488, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.572683878455, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.572683878455, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02995913875809353, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035364039940995795, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035364039940995795, "price_path": [-0.251, -0.234, -0.2049, -0.214, -0.2224, -0.219, -0.2136, -0.2145, -0.1977, -0.1893, -0.19, -0.1945, -0.2133, -0.2138, -0.2133, -0.2394, -0.2438, -0.2376, -0.2288, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.2111, -0.2084, -0.2242, -0.219, -0.2056, -0.217, -0.217, -0.2158, -0.2313, -0.2186, -0.2145, -0.1979, -0.2052, -0.2052, -0.2059, -0.1938, -0.1786, -0.1786, -0.1568, -0.1525, -0.1618, -0.1555, -0.1487, -0.1562, -0.1509, -0.1423, -0.1298, -0.1203, -0.1239, -0.1423, -0.1378, -0.1139, -0.0912, -0.0931, -0.0962, -0.0688, -0.0499, -0.0354, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0347, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0152, 0.0113, 0.0148, 0.0311, 0.0726, 0.0622, 0.0969, 0.116, 0.0665, 0.0831, -0.0061, -0.0041, 0.0027, -0.0016, -0.0377, -0.0309, -0.0188, 0.0064, -0.0011, -0.0068, -0.03, -0.0093, -0.0116, -0.0032, 0.0393, 0.0542, 0.0967, 0.0763, 0.0431, 0.032, 0.0463, 0.0542, 0.039, 0.0281, 0.0583, 0.0592, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.1623, 0.192, 0.2059, 0.2045, 0.1748, 0.2018, 0.1963, 0.2522, 0.2726, 0.3078, 0.2733, 0.3189, 0.3103, 0.3677, 0.3463, 0.3829, 0.4178, 0.4716, 0.4803, 0.4803, 0.6142, 0.4982, 0.5656, 0.4621, 0.4621, 0.4923, 0.5679, 0.6729, 0.6105, 0.5822, 0.6428, 0.7528, 0.7839, 0.9192, 0.8911, 0.8389, 0.8389, 0.938, 0.9056, 0.9775, 1.1087, 1.232, 1.3057, 1.3967, 1.3961, 0.7122, 0.6441, 0.7467, 0.7971, 0.5136, 0.5931, 0.7258, 0.6661, 0.7376, 0.5372, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.5064, 0.5908, 0.6117, 0.739, 0.8286, 0.7948, 0.8166, 0.8259, 0.929, 0.8513, 0.695, 0.7099, 0.6857, 0.7236, 0.7762, 0.8177, 0.7683, 0.7358, 0.6498, 0.6618, 0.6264, 0.5592, 0.4907, 0.3963, 0.4178, 0.4287, 0.48, 0.3793, 0.4399, 0.4417, 0.5465]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CPER United States Copper Index Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00610345451910832, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00610345451910832, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009676819466631237, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009676819466631237, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0054609727233208005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0054609727233208005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009168486612638582, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009168486612638582, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.014776774950929994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014776774950929994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027537143248419604, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027537143248419604, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.019273963710133235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019273963710133235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0246788648930355, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0246788648930355, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.12303244545322811, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12303244545322811, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10468098017384242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10468098017384242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.1060071067579147, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1060071067579147, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1321635847177659, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1321635847177659, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019273963710133235, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0246788648930355, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0246788648930355, "price_path": [0.1018, 0.1179, 0.1086, 0.1012, 0.1022, 0.098, 0.097, 0.1134, 0.1224, 0.1404, 0.1597, 0.1619, 0.1513, 0.1176, 0.1243, -0.0928, -0.1182, -0.1144, -0.1095, -0.1259, -0.1179, -0.1173, -0.1079, -0.1105, -0.0986, -0.1022, -0.1009, -0.1031, -0.1057, -0.1144, -0.1115, -0.1079, -0.1079, -0.105, -0.1028, -0.1115, -0.1028, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.0848, -0.089, -0.098, -0.1025, -0.0996, -0.0964, -0.0899, -0.0748, -0.0813, -0.0675, -0.07, -0.0871, -0.0896, -0.0819, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0459, -0.052, -0.0565, -0.027, -0.0363, -0.0315, -0.0183, 0.0061, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.008, 0.0173, -0.0276, 0.0148, -0.009, -0.0125, -0.0093, -0.01, 0.0032, -0.019, -0.0051, 0.009, 0.0148, 0.0247, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0141, 0.0128, 0.0048, -0.0193, -0.008, -0.0096, -0.0148, 0.0154, 0.0067, 0.0119, 0.0042, 0.0061, -0.0071, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0019, -0.0006, 0.0016, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0369, 0.0373, 0.0324, 0.061, 0.0549, 0.0713, 0.0678, 0.0488, 0.0623, 0.0797, 0.0546, 0.0649, 0.0565, 0.0675, 0.0684, 0.0793, 0.0835, 0.097, 0.0986, 0.0986, 0.1503, 0.098, 0.1323, 0.123, 0.123, 0.1237, 0.1812, 0.1972, 0.1535, 0.1462, 0.1613, 0.1847, 0.185, 0.2046, 0.1812, 0.1545, 0.1545, 0.1471, 0.1462, 0.1455, 0.1731, 0.1738, 0.1751, 0.1815, 0.2435, 0.1703, 0.1526, 0.204, 0.1658, 0.132, 0.1642, 0.1812, 0.167, 0.1821, 0.1407, 0.1423, 0.1423, 0.1224, 0.1429, 0.1417, 0.1619, 0.1462, 0.1661, 0.1815, 0.1799, 0.1847, 0.169, 0.1436, 0.1555, 0.1429, 0.1446, 0.1532, 0.159, 0.1603, 0.1426, 0.1185, 0.1465, 0.1311, 0.081, 0.0832, 0.0392, 0.0771, 0.0713, 0.0854, 0.0707, 0.0745, 0.079, 0.106]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Palladium", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["PALL"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "PALL Aberdeen Physical Palladium Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04656725596710609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04656725596710609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.042993891019583175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042993891019583175, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013434364799711496, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013434364799711496, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017141878689029277, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017141878689029277, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.11176130427869069, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11176130427869069, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1245216725761803, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1245216725761803, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": 0.04739139467141862, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04739139467141862, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04198649348851635, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04198649348851635, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.1982197031953079, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1982197031953079, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1798682379159222, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1798682379159222, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.11027769740755122, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11027769740755122, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13643417536740243, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13643417536740243, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04739139467141862, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04198649348851635, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04198649348851635, "price_path": [-0.1655, -0.1354, -0.0847, -0.1007, -0.1006, -0.0696, -0.0337, -0.0586, -0.0496, -0.0361, -0.0355, -0.0697, -0.0791, -0.073, -0.0562, -0.1064, -0.1044, -0.0925, -0.1024, -0.1149, -0.1395, -0.1292, -0.1556, -0.137, -0.1525, -0.1465, -0.1371, -0.1599, -0.158, -0.1665, -0.162, -0.1651, -0.1535, -0.174, -0.171, -0.1775, -0.1689, -0.1662, -0.1662, -0.142, -0.1376, -0.1548, -0.1619, -0.143, -0.1437, -0.1135, -0.104, -0.0879, -0.0987, -0.1156, -0.1324, -0.1306, -0.1358, -0.1069, -0.0786, -0.0906, -0.0519, -0.0447, -0.0493, -0.059, -0.0592, -0.0598, -0.0466, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.1067, 0.0668, 0.0676, 0.1118, 0.1406, 0.161, 0.2167, 0.0931, 0.1368, 0.0586, 0.0906, 0.0858, 0.0738, 0.0502, 0.054, 0.0542, 0.0911, 0.0852, 0.0796, 0.0474, 0.0682, 0.0339, 0.0425, 0.0705, 0.0898, 0.1067, 0.0715, 0.0541, 0.041, 0.0554, 0.0406, 0.0325, 0.0278, 0.0484, 0.045, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0915, 0.0715, 0.1038, 0.11, 0.0902, 0.0962, 0.1038, 0.1324, 0.1082, 0.1248, 0.125, 0.1818, 0.2042, 0.232, 0.2689, 0.2862, 0.3228, 0.3945, 0.2899, 0.2899, 0.4498, 0.245, 0.212, 0.1982, 0.1982, 0.2279, 0.2745, 0.363, 0.3209, 0.3352, 0.3701, 0.3964, 0.3711, 0.4025, 0.3642, 0.3443, 0.3443, 0.3973, 0.391, 0.4498, 0.5226, 0.5146, 0.4423, 0.5323, 0.5039, 0.2681, 0.2869, 0.3164, 0.3212, 0.2368, 0.2766, 0.3026, 0.2782, 0.2857, 0.2116, 0.2649, 0.2649, 0.2654, 0.291, 0.2604, 0.3154, 0.3149, 0.341, 0.3392, 0.3387, 0.3384, 0.3266, 0.2358, 0.2498, 0.2181, 0.2173, 0.2628, 0.2429, 0.23, 0.2119, 0.1601, 0.2045, 0.2021, 0.1155, 0.0846, 0.0546, 0.0668, 0.0564, 0.0652, 0.0087, 0.0339, 0.0559, 0.1103]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Platinum", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["PPLT"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "PPLT Aberdeen Physical Platinum Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012013258112973602, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012013258112973602, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008439893165450685, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008439893165450685, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0025646288596631317, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0025646288596631317, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00114288502965465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00114288502965465, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.0009448564889789068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0009448564889789068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013705224786468517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013705224786468517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.05709662206725208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05709662206725208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06250152325015434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06250152325015434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.25821685627838153, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25821685627838153, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23986539099899584, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23986539099899584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.2028750412489715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2028750412489715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2290315192088227, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2290315192088227, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05709662206725208, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06250152325015434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06250152325015434, "price_path": [-0.1708, -0.1626, -0.1348, -0.1612, -0.1616, -0.1294, -0.1028, -0.1234, -0.1156, -0.1153, -0.1307, -0.1342, -0.1387, -0.1511, -0.1402, -0.1985, -0.2049, -0.1898, -0.1829, -0.1906, -0.1773, -0.1774, -0.1825, -0.1835, -0.1768, -0.1755, -0.1646, -0.1743, -0.1801, -0.1938, -0.1753, -0.1651, -0.1633, -0.1749, -0.1684, -0.17, -0.1628, -0.1549, -0.1549, -0.1356, -0.1251, -0.1541, -0.1511, -0.1485, -0.1564, -0.1458, -0.1477, -0.1393, -0.1351, -0.1438, -0.1641, -0.1486, -0.133, -0.1242, -0.0906, -0.0927, -0.0559, -0.0293, -0.0162, -0.0357, -0.0412, -0.036, -0.012, 0.0, -0.0026, 0.0272, -0.0034, -0.0161, 0.0009, 0.0086, 0.0208, 0.0504, -0.0132, 0.0113, -0.0527, 0.0007, -0.0005, -0.0129, -0.0263, -0.0236, -0.0198, -0.0088, -0.0312, -0.0401, -0.0571, -0.042, -0.0581, -0.0507, -0.0269, -0.0241, -0.0047, -0.0308, -0.0521, -0.0584, -0.056, -0.0515, -0.0732, -0.0691, -0.0505, -0.046, -0.0218, -0.0218, 0.0298, 0.0217, 0.0103, 0.0234, 0.0137, 0.0103, 0.0119, 0.0433, 0.0165, 0.0437, 0.0733, 0.0997, 0.1323, 0.1631, 0.1834, 0.2125, 0.2943, 0.4041, 0.3803, 0.3803, 0.4857, 0.3011, 0.3404, 0.2582, 0.2582, 0.3127, 0.3802, 0.4878, 0.4136, 0.3836, 0.3957, 0.4317, 0.4284, 0.4764, 0.4758, 0.4124, 0.4124, 0.5122, 0.5273, 0.6231, 0.7024, 0.6653, 0.6048, 0.6546, 0.6139, 0.3163, 0.3136, 0.3673, 0.3593, 0.2268, 0.2911, 0.3134, 0.2832, 0.3119, 0.2251, 0.2619, 0.2619, 0.2346, 0.2774, 0.2718, 0.3261, 0.332, 0.3338, 0.3988, 0.3976, 0.4492, 0.4158, 0.2883, 0.3177, 0.2952, 0.3053, 0.337, 0.3495, 0.3337, 0.3084, 0.2407, 0.2955, 0.2999, 0.2407, 0.2064, 0.176, 0.1481, 0.1587, 0.184, 0.1167, 0.1433, 0.1623, 0.2029]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974827569590473155", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "Oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn't see it yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish metals (gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum) as inflation proxies amid dedollarization; bearish BTC (NDX-correlated liquidity tell) and oil (falling global demand).", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree:\n\nI DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. \n\nI see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… \n\nAnd THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil. No. \nThere is actually falling global oil demand, but the market doesn’t see it yet\n\nGold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement. \n\nAlso I believe BTC’s purpose as inflation off-ramp will not fix this. BTC is only as strong as NDX is strong + as a LIQUIDITY tell - from the MONEY BUBBLE that Fed/Treasury/White House created to keep the MONETARY ILLUSION in tact.\n\nStory stocks can continue to rise with financialization, policy intervention, liquidity and dollar falling. AI hope is real but manic - ala 2000. Productivity gains will come but MUCH later. \n\nFocus on gold is the tell:\nInflation is entrenched. \nFiscal Dominance is here. \n\nCrack-up BOOM is not the same thing as a “secular bull market”. Fed cuts & Treasury T-bill issuance & White House stimulus only make the boom-bust worse, as “growing our way out of debt” will now trigger ever more inflation.\n\nNo matter what happens to NDX & BTC, there will be no deflation for non-asset holders which are the MAJORITY of humans on this planet!\n\nI know we are taught everywhere in this soul-corrupting political & social media world: “Greed is Good”. \n\nBut it’s not really. It’s a sin actually. What isn’t is treating capital as if it is not disposable and living within our means. Good luck & God bless everyone. \n\nMy Sunday Sermon 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "https://t.co/yvGWt1xQ27", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015918809089983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015918809089983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012345444142460082, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012345444142460082, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004528532856074685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004528532856074685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008236046745392467, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008236046745392467, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": -0.03554280046197256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03554280046197256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022782432164482946, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022782432164482946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.01289971738680007, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01289971738680007, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018304618569702336, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018304618569702336, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.05091256957097723, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05091256957097723, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06926403485036292, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06926403485036292, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.7462603980204827, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7462603980204827, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7724168759803339, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7724168759803339, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01289971738680007, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018304618569702336, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018304618569702336, "price_path": [0.0557, 0.0346, 0.0607, 0.0377, 0.0328, 0.0318, 0.0451, 0.042, 0.0373, 0.034, 0.0331, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.059, 0.0951, 0.1121, 0.0922, 0.063, 0.0445, 0.0295, 0.0126, 0.0075, 0.0059, 0.0128, 0.0011, -0.0056, 0.0119, -0.001, 0.0041, -0.0078, 0.0089, 0.0173, 0.0243, 0.0395, 0.0162, 0.0248, 0.0325, 0.027, 0.027, 0.0534, 0.0269, 0.018, -0.0033, 0.0023, 0.0071, 0.0253, 0.0018, 0.006, 0.0187, 0.0384, 0.0288, 0.025, 0.0089, 0.008, 0.0299, 0.0483, 0.0565, 0.057, 0.0236, 0.0121, 0.0037, -0.0183, -0.0159, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0091, -0.0049, -0.0478, -0.0355, -0.0531, -0.0532, -0.0694, -0.0671, -0.0692, -0.0631, -0.0307, 0.0058, 0.0043, 0.0034, -0.0203, -0.0147, -0.0159, -0.0043, -0.0018, -0.0129, -0.0253, -0.0273, -0.0221, -0.0163, -0.0021, -0.0423, -0.0414, -0.0204, -0.0215, -0.0051, -0.0273, -0.0373, -0.049, -0.0336, -0.0497, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0247, -0.0248, -0.0366, -0.0303, -0.0203, -0.013, -0.0327, -0.0413, -0.032, -0.0497, -0.0557, -0.0683, -0.0919, -0.0671, -0.0779, -0.0664, -0.0431, -0.0353, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0602, -0.0447, -0.043, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0537, -0.0364, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.032, -0.0287, -0.0167, 0.0084, -0.0036, -0.0239, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0139, 0.0064, -0.0144, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0383, 0.0515, 0.086, 0.0913, 0.0338, 0.0631, 0.0688, 0.0524, 0.0565, 0.0707, 0.0708, 0.0826, 0.0482, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0392, 0.0896, 0.1142, 0.1095, 0.1102, 0.1083, 0.0941, 0.0947, 0.1246, 0.1965, 0.2378, 0.2565, 0.3217, 0.4927, 0.4317, 0.4527, 0.4828, 0.6247, 0.6453, 0.5786, 0.6308, 0.6697, 0.6105, 0.6664, 0.5172, 0.5718, 0.5561, 0.6092, 0.7044, 0.7817, 0.7463]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973824371882922131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T18:56:16+00:00", "symbol": "ASML.AS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ASML isn't done ;-)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ASML after a year of basing; claims the move is not over and expects further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASML.AS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TECH TRIFECTA: $AAPL $TSLA $ASML - all working as advertised!!!\n\nAAPL ✅\nTSLA ✅ tagged 479.44 today before sharp pullback we also caught live 🔥\nASML ✅\n\nI mean, look at this oversold, strategic chip fab player just itching to explode higher after ONE YEAR OF BASING! Did I waste client’s time recommending before Sept 5th? No I did not - saving a lot of frustrations & wasted option premium from non-directional chop. My timing was spot on - and…ASML isn’t done ;-)\n\nUpgrade to Pro or Join us live at https://t.co/1cI3g5CVHC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0028405904005014415, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0028405904005014415, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0016901827368552835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010611403921553575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001150407663646158, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013451994322055016, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01954320339088822, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01954320339088822, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019557916838225053, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024155357103762487, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004612153712874267, "ret_p1w": -0.07521864974522674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07521864974522674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07811765866580589, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09582527466598934, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020606624920762595, "ret_p1m": 0.05457938269466012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05457938269466012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035392771490333264, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018682181086103977, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186611204326853, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0732615637807641, "ret_p3m": 0.04877437967753928, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04877437967753928, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019157589574245293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028686814334480504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02961679010329399, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07746119401201979, "ret_p6m": 0.2674216149944799, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2674216149944799, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3145203714690864, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1575158745284062, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10990574046607371, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05457938269466012, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.035392771490333264, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018682181086103977, "price_path": [-0.2307, -0.2296, -0.2181, -0.225, -0.2211, -0.1998, -0.2908, -0.2632, -0.2821, -0.2928, -0.3173, -0.3126, -0.302, -0.3145, -0.2861, -0.2921, -0.287, -0.3034, -0.3239, -0.3155, -0.3216, -0.3263, -0.3061, -0.2991, -0.2876, -0.2797, -0.2721, -0.2695, -0.2766, -0.2743, -0.2702, -0.2749, -0.2791, -0.2658, -0.2652, -0.2608, -0.2499, -0.2566, -0.2767, -0.2772, -0.2987, -0.2895, -0.2642, -0.2499, -0.2312, -0.2237, -0.2271, -0.2205, -0.2162, -0.1712, -0.1673, -0.1626, -0.0978, -0.0982, -0.0787, -0.0685, -0.0819, -0.0777, -0.0765, -0.062, -0.0591, -0.044, -0.0028, 0.0, 0.0195, -0.006, -0.0322, -0.0344, -0.0752, -0.041, -0.0381, -0.0081, -0.0031, -0.005, 0.0215, 0.011, -0.0114, 0.0086, 0.0162, 0.0318, 0.0328, 0.0465, 0.0671, 0.045, 0.0546, 0.0449, 0.0319, 0.0191, -0.0088, 0.0093, 0.0095, 0.0151, 0.0034, -0.0051, -0.0024, -0.0147, 0.0092, 0.0128, -0.0507, -0.0225, -0.0208, 0.035, 0.0212, 0.0283, 0.0548, 0.0689, 0.0966, 0.0896, 0.0831, 0.0964, 0.0846, 0.0768, 0.071, 0.0532, 0.0597, 0.0342, -0.0052, 0.0161, 0.0262, 0.0199, 0.0281, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0322, 0.0454, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.1226, 0.1988, 0.2077, 0.1972, 0.153, 0.2311, 0.2366, 0.255, 0.2341, 0.3083, 0.3286, 0.2753, 0.2976, 0.3144, 0.339, 0.3411, 0.3408, 0.3859, 0.3595, 0.3568, 0.3836, 0.3941, 0.355, 0.2983, 0.3085, 0.3588, 0.3732, 0.3597, 0.3766, 0.3447, 0.3568, 0.362, 0.3668, 0.4188, 0.4113, 0.4311, 0.4238, 0.44, 0.4685, 0.4046, 0.4058, 0.3796, 0.3242, 0.3675, 0.3518, 0.3073, 0.308, 0.3677, 0.3664, 0.3454, 0.3445, 0.3648, 0.3607, 0.3575, 0.3319, 0.2859, 0.3397, 0.3695, 0.3809, 0.3287, 0.3066, 0.2674]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969756067639828821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T13:30:17+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my crude oil short call last April 2024 for new $60-40 range by EOY 2025 is just too high?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms crude oil short with $60-40 target range by EOY 2025, suggesting even that target may be too high given China fusion energy news.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maybe my crude oil short call  last April 2024 for new $60-40 range by EOY 2025 is just too high? #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It Burns For 17 Minutes: China's Artificial Sun Reaches 180 Million Degrees And Terrifies Global Energy Markets Forever https://t.co/6mAnm8hTYN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009530251563325542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009530251563325542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005661797077090247, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005661797077090247, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021783610210945215, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021783610210945215, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027227080860926067, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027227080860926067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.015520754758529876, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015520754758529876, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020259520032760436, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020259520032760436, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": -0.07052417318445847, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07052417318445847, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07719737132682714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07719737132682714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": -0.08522797504330937, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08522797504330937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09966917487342708, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09966917487342708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.617971426488054, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.617971426488054, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.609075674709725, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.609075674709725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07052417318445847, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07719737132682714, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07719737132682714, "price_path": [-0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0023, -0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0291, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0413, 0.0478, 0.0474, 0.0264, 0.0523, 0.0295, 0.0246, 0.0237, 0.0369, 0.0338, 0.0291, 0.0259, 0.0249, 0.0359, 0.0191, 0.0506, 0.0865, 0.1033, 0.0836, 0.0546, 0.0362, 0.0214, 0.0046, -0.0004, -0.002, 0.0048, -0.0068, -0.0135, 0.0039, -0.0088, -0.0038, -0.0157, 0.001, 0.0093, 0.0162, 0.0313, 0.0082, 0.0167, 0.0244, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0451, 0.0188, 0.0099, -0.0112, -0.0056, -0.0008, 0.0172, -0.0061, -0.0019, 0.0106, 0.0302, 0.0207, 0.0169, 0.001, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.04, 0.0482, 0.0486, 0.0155, 0.0041, -0.0042, -0.026, -0.0237, -0.0079, -0.0034, 0.0011, -0.0128, -0.0553, -0.0432, -0.0606, -0.0607, -0.0768, -0.0745, -0.0765, -0.0705, -0.0384, -0.0022, -0.0037, -0.0045, -0.028, -0.0225, -0.0237, -0.0121, -0.0097, -0.0207, -0.0329, -0.035, -0.0298, -0.0241, -0.0099, -0.0498, -0.049, -0.0282, -0.0293, -0.0129, -0.035, -0.0449, -0.0565, -0.0413, -0.0572, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0324, -0.0325, -0.0442, -0.038, -0.028, -0.0208, -0.0403, -0.0489, -0.0396, -0.0572, -0.0632, -0.0757, -0.0991, -0.0745, -0.0852, -0.0738, -0.0506, -0.0429, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0677, -0.0523, -0.0505, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0611, -0.044, -0.0673, -0.0771, -0.0396, -0.0364, -0.0245, 0.0004, -0.0114, -0.0316, -0.0245, -0.0245, -0.0216, -0.0015, -0.0222, 0.0068, 0.0004, 0.0301, 0.0432, 0.0775, 0.0826, 0.0256, 0.0547, 0.0603, 0.0441, 0.0482, 0.0622, 0.0624, 0.0741, 0.0399, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.031, 0.081, 0.1054, 0.1007, 0.1014, 0.0995, 0.0855, 0.086, 0.1157, 0.1871, 0.228, 0.2466, 0.3112, 0.4809, 0.4204, 0.4413, 0.4711, 0.6118, 0.6323, 0.5661, 0.618]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1977107453264511219", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-11T20:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold (but also Silver & Metals) remains in a most powerful macro trend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver as real inflation hedge / USD debasement plays; trend outperforming SPY and BTC on 3yr lookback, though caution flagged.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THE MOST POWERFUL MACRO TREND \n\nGold (but also Silver &amp; Metals) remains in a most powerful macro trend - outperforming both $SPY &amp; #Bitcoin on 3yr lookback.\n\nCentral banks aren't the only ones turning to metals as real inflation hedge &amp; USD debasement. But it's time to take care! https://t.co/96CUYI6Unw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03229815318073881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03229815318073881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017185918952849488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017185918952849488, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007326120075161535, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007326120075161535, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008547766362802856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008547766362802856, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": 0.055444628163604515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.055444628163604515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04298684327322122, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04298684327322122, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": -0.0004381767331839148, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0004381767331839148, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030541984181977733, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030541984181977733, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": 0.08302100217804864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08302100217804864, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04002595837531864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04002595837531864, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": 0.13350045927149057, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13350045927149057, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1336007007234472, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1336007007234472, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0004381767331839148, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030541984181977733, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030541984181977733, "price_path": [-0.184, -0.187, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1629, -0.1739, -0.1795, -0.1885, -0.1946, -0.1911, -0.1978, -0.1985, -0.1852, -0.1787, -0.1769, -0.1773, -0.1724, -0.163, -0.1839, -0.1849, -0.1825, -0.1882, -0.188, -0.1891, -0.1935, -0.1862, -0.1878, -0.1787, -0.1788, -0.1752, -0.1713, -0.1647, -0.1545, -0.1545, -0.1361, -0.1254, -0.1321, -0.1206, -0.1145, -0.1133, -0.1132, -0.1148, -0.1118, -0.1038, -0.1022, -0.1039, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0895, -0.0798, -0.0916, -0.0905, -0.0811, -0.07, -0.0652, -0.0587, -0.0654, -0.0554, -0.039, -0.0321, -0.0159, -0.0395, -0.0323, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0166, 0.0418, 0.0198, 0.0554, -0.0051, -0.0156, 0.0041, 0.0024, -0.026, -0.0347, -0.0304, -0.0261, -0.0308, -0.0264, -0.0392, -0.0312, -0.0313, -0.0266, 0.0008, -0.0004, 0.0233, 0.0191, -0.0051, -0.0098, -0.0115, -0.0075, -0.0127, -0.0078, -0.0041, 0.0074, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0267, 0.0318, 0.019, 0.0221, 0.0251, 0.0254, 0.0191, 0.0239, 0.0214, 0.0431, 0.0466, 0.0482, 0.0477, 0.0581, 0.0562, 0.0615, 0.0818, 0.0911, 0.0905, 0.0905, 0.1023, 0.0527, 0.0636, 0.0528, 0.0528, 0.0501, 0.0799, 0.0909, 0.0829, 0.083, 0.0929, 0.1206, 0.117, 0.126, 0.1236, 0.1168, 0.1168, 0.1584, 0.176, 0.1948, 0.2112, 0.2364, 0.2364, 0.2904, 0.2945, 0.1473, 0.1251, 0.1935, 0.1976, 0.1832, 0.2051, 0.2293, 0.2179, 0.2344, 0.1984, 0.2223, 0.2223, 0.1885, 0.2137, 0.2111, 0.2314, 0.2668, 0.2549, 0.2672, 0.2599, 0.2731, 0.2886, 0.2431, 0.2462, 0.2329, 0.2525, 0.2392, 0.2729, 0.2577, 0.2451, 0.2297, 0.2155, 0.2172, 0.1902, 0.1198, 0.1124, 0.0719, 0.0708, 0.1074, 0.065, 0.0933, 0.1016, 0.1312, 0.1642, 0.1321, 0.1321, 0.1334, 0.1335]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1977107453264511219", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-11T20:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold (but also Silver & Metals) remains in a most powerful macro trend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver as real inflation hedge / USD debasement plays; trend outperforming SPY and BTC on 3yr lookback, though caution flagged.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THE MOST POWERFUL MACRO TREND \n\nGold (but also Silver &amp; Metals) remains in a most powerful macro trend - outperforming both $SPY &amp; #Bitcoin on 3yr lookback.\n\nCentral banks aren't the only ones turning to metals as real inflation hedge &amp; USD debasement. But it's time to take care! https://t.co/96CUYI6Unw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06367447186837749, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06367447186837749, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04856223764048817, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04856223764048817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003670418990419533, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003670418990419533, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004892065278060853, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004892065278060853, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": 0.019728673289715504, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019728673289715504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007270888399332209, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007270888399332209, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": 0.009734668900949428, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009734668900949428, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02036913854784439, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02036913854784439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": 0.490444879832473, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.490444879832473, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.447449836029743, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.447449836029743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": 0.4327946313292641, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4327946313292641, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.43289487278122074, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.43289487278122074, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009734668900949428, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02036913854784439, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02036913854784439, "price_path": [-0.2449, -0.2409, -0.2375, -0.22, -0.2156, -0.2165, -0.2216, -0.2386, -0.2415, -0.2403, -0.2506, -0.2709, -0.2662, -0.2581, -0.2482, -0.2466, -0.2388, -0.2337, -0.2487, -0.244, -0.232, -0.2423, -0.2441, -0.2429, -0.2567, -0.2479, -0.2414, -0.222, -0.2285, -0.2304, -0.2282, -0.2182, -0.1981, -0.1981, -0.1807, -0.1713, -0.1839, -0.1807, -0.1736, -0.1846, -0.1795, -0.1682, -0.1545, -0.1519, -0.1528, -0.1677, -0.168, -0.1515, -0.1263, -0.1185, -0.1267, -0.1084, -0.078, -0.0702, -0.0773, -0.0567, -0.0824, -0.0505, -0.0409, -0.0589, -0.0294, -0.0654, -0.0637, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0188, 0.0577, -0.0053, 0.0197, -0.0535, -0.0532, -0.0329, -0.035, -0.0712, -0.0599, -0.0481, -0.034, -0.0426, -0.0447, -0.0598, -0.0452, -0.0466, -0.0422, 0.0009, 0.0097, 0.0639, 0.0587, 0.0092, 0.0099, 0.0064, 0.0132, 0.0023, -0.0051, 0.0033, 0.016, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.126, 0.1653, 0.1567, 0.1554, 0.134, 0.1654, 0.1526, 0.2003, 0.2044, 0.2753, 0.2241, 0.2555, 0.2507, 0.3213, 0.2885, 0.3334, 0.3546, 0.406, 0.4169, 0.4169, 0.5258, 0.3935, 0.5435, 0.399, 0.399, 0.4075, 0.5193, 0.6064, 0.5387, 0.4904, 0.5736, 0.6878, 0.7131, 0.8127, 0.8328, 0.7573, 0.7573, 0.8792, 0.8394, 0.9145, 1.0133, 1.2956, 1.105, 1.2564, 1.2748, 0.5617, 0.5316, 0.6565, 0.6789, 0.5266, 0.5307, 0.637, 0.6002, 0.6707, 0.507, 0.553, 0.553, 0.4651, 0.5462, 0.5473, 0.6414, 0.726, 0.7446, 0.8141, 0.7354, 0.8488, 0.7611, 0.6542, 0.6484, 0.6295, 0.672, 0.6763, 0.777, 0.6969, 0.689, 0.6141, 0.6011, 0.5865, 0.5408, 0.4144, 0.3836, 0.3774, 0.3819, 0.4435, 0.3499, 0.3873, 0.4028, 0.4899, 0.5134, 0.4509, 0.4509, 0.4495, 0.4328]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1942406266434748703", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-08T02:11:56+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are still in the grips of a MELT-UP INTO MELT-DOWN baseline bet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "VIX bottoming near 15.50 mid-July/Aug before spike; equity melt-up leads to eventual melt-down.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Since late April I've warned clients that “I don't see volatility until ~15.50 about mid-July/Aug”. \nWith Trump's Trade Tariffs continuing to get pushed out, it could extend the VIX bottoming process. Translation: we are still in the grips of a MELT-UP INTO MELT-DOWN baseline bet.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/lTXEBnejY4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000548035473384223, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00599675555837198, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00599675555837198, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00599675555837198, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00599675555837198, "ret_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0029016334521092535, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02005348245256866, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "ret_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08177029484587006, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10557298058776587, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02005348245256866, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.1569, -0.1418, -0.1335, -0.1359, -0.1551, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1741, -0.1526, -0.1394, -0.1213, -0.115, -0.1146, -0.1091, -0.1087, -0.1024, -0.0891, -0.0943, -0.1019, -0.0981, -0.0918, -0.093, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0556, -0.051, -0.045, -0.0439, -0.0471, -0.0632, -0.0628, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0499, -0.0554, -0.0516, -0.0527, -0.0474, -0.0419, -0.0422, -0.0468, -0.037, -0.0362, -0.0307, -0.0335, -0.0296, -0.0405, -0.0313, -0.0396, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.042, -0.0325, -0.0219, -0.0213, -0.0137, -0.0088, -0.004, -0.0043, 0.0002, 0.0081, 0.0081, 0.0005, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0088, 0.0053, 0.0072, 0.0029, 0.0063, 0.0124, 0.0117, 0.0136, 0.0137, 0.0224, 0.0227, 0.027, 0.0268, 0.0241, 0.0228, 0.0189, 0.0022, 0.0175, 0.0123, 0.0201, 0.0192, 0.0271, 0.0251, 0.036, 0.0396, 0.0397, 0.0372, 0.037, 0.0314, 0.0286, 0.0245, 0.0403, 0.0357, 0.04, 0.0424, 0.0461, 0.0398, 0.0398, 0.0321, 0.0377, 0.0464, 0.0434, 0.0459, 0.0483, 0.0514, 0.0601, 0.0598, 0.0654, 0.0639, 0.0626, 0.0676, 0.0729, 0.0779, 0.0721, 0.0687, 0.0637, 0.0698, 0.0728, 0.0769, 0.0805, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0856, 0.0816, 0.0881, 0.0849, 0.0556, 0.0718, 0.0705, 0.0752, 0.0679, 0.074, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0795, 0.0859, 0.0948, 0.1077, 0.1106, 0.1112, 0.0989, 0.1025, 0.1046, 0.0915, 0.0953, 0.0835, 0.0846, 0.1015, 0.1041, 0.1047, 0.0863, 0.0862, 0.076, 0.067, 0.0711, 0.0548, 0.0653, 0.081, 0.0912, 0.0987, 0.0987, 0.1047, 0.0996, 0.1017, 0.1055, 0.1063, 0.1084, 0.1051, 0.1041, 0.1114, 0.114, 0.1021, 0.1004, 0.0974, 0.0853, 0.0935, 0.1034, 0.1103, 0.1154, 0.1193, 0.1193, 0.1192, 0.1152, 0.1138, 0.1056]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960879397684306072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-28T01:37:34+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expecting Nvidia sales to recover in China is a risk not priced in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA as China-recovery thesis is unpriced risk; China will push domestic alternatives over NVDA chips.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been writing about this since JAN so I have been expecting this!\n\nMy bet: China will discourage Chinese firms from buying $NVDA chips - even if currently more advanced then in-country alternatives. \n\nExpecting Nvidia sales to recover in China is a risk not priced in. $SMH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Scoop: China seeks to triple output of AI chips in boost to DeepSeek ambitions\n\n*New capacity: 3 plants for Huawei + SMIC doubling (now ~30K WPM)\n*Cambricon 690 &amp; Huawei 910D to natively support UE8M0 FP8\n*Unprecedented alignment to build own AI ecosystem\n\nhttps://t.co/ZXGIS6xNvb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007936962915950252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007936962915950252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011465790327123027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012018873577487543, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035288274111727747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004081910661537291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033246505487318556, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033246505487318556, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027282866094356373, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004505974602332707, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005963639392962183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02874053088498585, "ret_p1w": -0.0472331214028322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0472331214028322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04754133628518897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017053735702066475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0003082148823567721, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030179385700765726, "ret_p1m": -0.010933846543683012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08768714357788854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022706811377722458, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07675329703420553, "ret_p3m": -0.012987626438315858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012987626438315858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05609244298769578, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15060147090925413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04310481654937992, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13761384447093827, "ret_p6m": 0.05367863882341095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05367863882341095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01484187553501859, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3392597264048105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06852051435842954, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39293836522822145, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08768714357788854, "price_path": [-0.2376, -0.2162, -0.2124, -0.2231, -0.2135, -0.2084, -0.201, -0.2072, -0.1952, -0.212, -0.1969, -0.2001, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2016, -0.1998, -0.1791, -0.1435, -0.1396, -0.1244, -0.1231, -0.1491, -0.1272, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1217, -0.1119, -0.096, -0.0892, -0.0846, -0.0894, -0.0526, -0.0488, -0.0398, -0.0431, -0.0488, -0.0729, -0.0521, -0.0357, -0.037, -0.019, -0.0259, -0.005, -0.0128, -0.0358, -0.0009, -0.0106, -0.0042, 0.0033, 0.014, 0.0105, 0.0166, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0016, 0.0102, -0.0251, -0.0265, -0.0288, -0.0121, -0.002, 0.0089, 0.0079, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0521, -0.053, -0.0472, -0.073, -0.0658, -0.0522, -0.0158, -0.0166, -0.013, -0.0134, -0.0293, -0.0548, -0.0218, -0.0194, 0.0192, -0.0096, -0.0177, -0.0137, -0.0109, 0.0094, 0.0356, 0.0393, 0.0485, 0.0414, 0.0299, 0.0271, 0.0497, 0.0689, 0.0167, 0.0453, -0.0007, -0.0018, 0.0092, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0056, 0.0007, 0.0111, 0.0339, 0.0629, 0.1158, 0.1492, 0.1262, 0.1239, 0.1483, 0.1029, 0.0835, 0.044, 0.0444, 0.1049, 0.0722, 0.0757, 0.0372, 0.0556, 0.0357, 0.0067, 0.0353, 0.0027, -0.0071, 0.0133, -0.013, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0175, -0.0013, 0.0072, -0.0032, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.03, 0.0268, 0.0202, 0.0043, -0.0285, -0.0214, -0.0135, -0.0511, -0.0334, 0.0047, 0.0197, 0.0503, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0576, 0.0448, 0.041, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0483, 0.0442, 0.0394, 0.0497, 0.0271, 0.0261, 0.0266, 0.0314, 0.0166, 0.0383, 0.0338, 0.0338, -0.0115, 0.0176, 0.026, 0.0417, 0.0351, 0.0465, 0.0631, 0.0686, 0.061, 0.0303, 0.0011, -0.0331, -0.0459, 0.0292, 0.0549, 0.0466, 0.055, 0.0377, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0268, 0.0435, 0.043, 0.0537]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1933373868388892749", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-13T04:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Crude oil long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Hedge QQQ (bearish equity), long crude oil, VIX rising to ~22, SPX testing ~5900 support.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yup - my team uses these great SpotGamma tools &amp; saw the same thing for https://t.co/R7vVGDvkqf clients. \n\nEarly this week I suggested a QQQ hedge and Crude oil long - with VIX pushing to 22 before getting tested/rejected most likely  ~ $SPX 5900 area. \n\nhttps://t.co/ofK6d1gadi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SPX we see the huge JPM 5,905 as major support and very little in the way of put positioning below that.\n\nOur read on the VIX is there ain't much calls, either.\n\nSo, IMO, we lack fuel for huge downside and traders need to be forced to now add puts to spool up more selling. https://t.co/ILSs8GCCPV", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0676898083608668, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0676898083608668, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07899648364222212, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07899648364222212, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016579976133314744, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016579976133314744, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02609432063716377, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02609432063716377, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": 0.02671960617355773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02671960617355773, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02833278681319218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02833278681319218, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": -0.08221430150742737, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08221430150742737, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13189134917121315, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13189134917121315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "ret_p3m": -0.12756926226016363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12756926226016363, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22327804624646364, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22327804624646364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": -0.19320363990472145, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19320363990472145, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3448819127978644, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3448819127978644, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "ret_p1y": 0.28473551416084764, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.28473551416084764, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.0021614053587521997, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.0021614053587521997, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02671960617355773, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02833278681319218, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02833278681319218, "price_path": [-0.0833, -0.0797, -0.0647, -0.0644, -0.053, -0.0545, -0.0456, -0.0419, -0.0496, -0.0206, -0.0244, -0.0174, -0.0826, -0.1506, -0.1683, -0.1836, -0.1457, -0.1769, -0.1573, -0.1569, -0.1596, -0.144, -0.1137, -0.1137, -0.1357, -0.1188, -0.1468, -0.1396, -0.1365, -0.1498, -0.1721, -0.2024, -0.1883, -0.2013, -0.2172, -0.1903, -0.2043, -0.1791, -0.1639, -0.1511, -0.1276, -0.1347, -0.1557, -0.1437, -0.141, -0.1428, -0.1563, -0.1614, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1657, -0.1526, -0.165, -0.167, -0.1433, -0.1311, -0.1388, -0.1317, -0.1151, -0.1054, -0.1096, -0.0662, -0.0677, 0.0, -0.0166, 0.0255, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0267, -0.0612, -0.118, -0.1104, -0.1061, -0.1022, -0.1078, -0.1032, -0.0758, -0.0819, -0.0888, -0.0692, -0.0637, -0.063, -0.0878, -0.0621, -0.0822, -0.0885, -0.0904, -0.0745, -0.0773, -0.0792, -0.0928, -0.1059, -0.0952, -0.1072, -0.0859, -0.0517, -0.0408, -0.051, -0.0774, -0.0917, -0.1072, -0.1183, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1236, -0.1344, -0.1415, -0.1236, -0.1395, -0.131, -0.1457, -0.1339, -0.1296, -0.1277, -0.1121, -0.1333, -0.121, -0.1148, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1013, -0.1235, -0.1302, -0.1522, -0.1469, -0.1418, -0.1276, -0.1454, -0.141, -0.1326, -0.1159, -0.1224, -0.1289, -0.1411, -0.1417, -0.1311, -0.1095, -0.1096, -0.0995, -0.1306, -0.1454, -0.1535, -0.1713, -0.1658, -0.1547, -0.1542, -0.1429, -0.1572, -0.1929, -0.1848, -0.1957, -0.2016, -0.2127, -0.2116, -0.2118, -0.2077, -0.1984, -0.1533, -0.1573, -0.1599, -0.1758, -0.1713, -0.17, -0.1644, -0.1635, -0.1702, -0.1833, -0.1857, -0.1813, -0.1761, -0.1636, -0.1985, -0.1958, -0.1766, -0.1791, -0.1677, -0.1855, -0.1896, -0.2044, -0.1938, -0.2059, -0.1964, -0.1964, -0.1977, -0.1872, -0.1965, -0.1922, -0.1824, -0.1768, -0.1932]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960867300329791528", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-28T00:49:30+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA missed but market doesn't get it yet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: datacenter rev miss despite strong hyperscaler capex is a warning sign the market hasn't priced in yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“when there is an issue with a semiconductor company after a few years of beating consistently, you should beware…\n\nNvidia’s miss in datacenter revs is despite a strong quarter from Nvidia's big hyperscaler customers and strong capex expectations.”\n\n$NVDA missed but market doesn’t get it yet. #China", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I thought NVDA would report a very strong quarter and was more concerned about their China commentary. I was wrong.\n\nIn reality, they missed expectations of datacenter revs (though by just 1%) for the first time since the intro of ChatGPT in late 2022 and beat overall rev", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007936962915950252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007936962915950252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011465790327123027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012018873577487543, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035288274111727747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004081910661537291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033246505487318556, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033246505487318556, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027282866094356373, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004505974602332707, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005963639392962183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02874053088498585, "ret_p1w": -0.0472331214028322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0472331214028322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04754133628518897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017053735702066475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0003082148823567721, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030179385700765726, "ret_p1m": -0.010933846543683012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08768714357788854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022706811377722458, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07675329703420553, "ret_p3m": -0.012987626438315858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012987626438315858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05609244298769578, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15060147090925413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04310481654937992, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13761384447093827, "ret_p6m": 0.05367863882341095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05367863882341095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01484187553501859, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3392597264048105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06852051435842954, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39293836522822145, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08768714357788854, "price_path": [-0.2376, -0.2162, -0.2124, -0.2231, -0.2135, -0.2084, -0.201, -0.2072, -0.1952, -0.212, -0.1969, -0.2001, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2016, -0.1998, -0.1791, -0.1435, -0.1396, -0.1244, -0.1231, -0.1491, -0.1272, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1217, -0.1119, -0.096, -0.0892, -0.0846, -0.0894, -0.0526, -0.0488, -0.0398, -0.0431, -0.0488, -0.0729, -0.0521, -0.0357, -0.037, -0.019, -0.0259, -0.005, -0.0128, -0.0358, -0.0009, -0.0106, -0.0042, 0.0033, 0.014, 0.0105, 0.0166, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0016, 0.0102, -0.0251, -0.0265, -0.0288, -0.0121, -0.002, 0.0089, 0.0079, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0521, -0.053, -0.0472, -0.073, -0.0658, -0.0522, -0.0158, -0.0166, -0.013, -0.0134, -0.0293, -0.0548, -0.0218, -0.0194, 0.0192, -0.0096, -0.0177, -0.0137, -0.0109, 0.0094, 0.0356, 0.0393, 0.0485, 0.0414, 0.0299, 0.0271, 0.0497, 0.0689, 0.0167, 0.0453, -0.0007, -0.0018, 0.0092, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0056, 0.0007, 0.0111, 0.0339, 0.0629, 0.1158, 0.1492, 0.1262, 0.1239, 0.1483, 0.1029, 0.0835, 0.044, 0.0444, 0.1049, 0.0722, 0.0757, 0.0372, 0.0556, 0.0357, 0.0067, 0.0353, 0.0027, -0.0071, 0.0133, -0.013, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0175, -0.0013, 0.0072, -0.0032, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.03, 0.0268, 0.0202, 0.0043, -0.0285, -0.0214, -0.0135, -0.0511, -0.0334, 0.0047, 0.0197, 0.0503, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0576, 0.0448, 0.041, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0483, 0.0442, 0.0394, 0.0497, 0.0271, 0.0261, 0.0266, 0.0314, 0.0166, 0.0383, 0.0338, 0.0338, -0.0115, 0.0176, 0.026, 0.0417, 0.0351, 0.0465, 0.0631, 0.0686, 0.061, 0.0303, 0.0011, -0.0331, -0.0459, 0.0292, 0.0549, 0.0466, 0.055, 0.0377, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0268, 0.0435, 0.043, 0.0537]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03746478442772494, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03746478442772494, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03556013596544416, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03556013596544416, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005388755610979512, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005388755610979512, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009662066146607029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009662066146607029, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "ret_p1w": 0.03002306697545709, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03002306697545709, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023685202052406984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023685202052406984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "ret_p1m": 0.03695146704671637, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03695146704671637, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00833482515608508, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00833482515608508, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "ret_p3m": 0.3212727850611412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3212727850611412, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24411220069634543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24411220069634543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "ret_p6m": 0.3273483911217938, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3273483911217938, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.213765306264885, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.213765306264885, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03695146704671637, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00833482515608508, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00833482515608508, "price_path": [-0.4172, -0.4131, -0.4131, -0.4239, -0.4185, -0.3929, -0.369, -0.3726, -0.3572, -0.3551, -0.3585, -0.3505, -0.3369, -0.3418, -0.3228, -0.3131, -0.3154, -0.3031, -0.2997, -0.2856, -0.2776, -0.2812, -0.2889, -0.2864, -0.2812, -0.2756, -0.2682, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.154, -0.1558, -0.1722, -0.1786, -0.1822, -0.1599, -0.1511, -0.1488, -0.1368, -0.0973, -0.1263, -0.0795, -0.076, -0.0729, -0.0231, -0.0362, -0.0308, -0.0308, -0.0565, -0.0367, -0.0077, -0.029, -0.0067, -0.0231, -0.0041, -0.0398, -0.0323, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0254, -0.05, -0.0575, -0.0498, -0.0375, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0262, 0.0372, 0.0503, 0.03, 0.0321, 0.0575, 0.0819, 0.0734, 0.0518, 0.0328, 0.0287, 0.01, -0.0192, 0.0133, 0.0375, 0.057, 0.0416, 0.0251, 0.0169, 0.037, 0.0123, 0.0015, 0.001, 0.0059, -0.0516, -0.0647, -0.0459, 0.0121, 0.0133, 0.038, 0.0182, 0.0516, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0423, 0.0608, 0.0367, 0.0452, 0.0657, 0.077, 0.0834, 0.0944, 0.079, 0.1799, 0.1383, 0.1432, 0.1732, 0.2684, 0.2933, 0.2923, 0.2469, 0.2617, 0.2422, 0.2499, 0.2232, 0.2384, 0.2882, 0.2728, 0.3141, 0.3141, 0.3092, 0.3213, 0.331, 0.4239, 0.4616, 0.4911, 0.4303, 0.368, 0.3708, 0.2805, 0.2558, 0.2815, 0.3215, 0.3025, 0.4119, 0.4491, 0.4419, 0.4144, 0.3492, 0.2761, 0.2841, 0.2096, 0.2271, 0.2548, 0.2173, 0.2225, 0.1635, 0.1483, 0.1219, 0.1221, 0.1583, 0.0806, 0.0672, 0.1109, 0.1268, 0.1493, 0.1493, 0.1619, 0.1342, 0.1614, 0.1963, 0.2625, 0.2297, 0.2268, 0.2351, 0.2238, 0.2574, 0.1817, 0.1452, 0.136, 0.096, 0.128, 0.1776, 0.185, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.1773, 0.1737, 0.151, 0.1488, 0.1488, 0.2384, 0.3075, 0.3273]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03247269907222172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03247269907222172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030568050609940944, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043589987143656694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011117288071434972, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008783663972053324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008783663972053324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01305697450768084, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023191054727725202, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014407390755671878, "ret_p1w": 0.025818519166221243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025818519166221243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019480654243171136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06075903574716557, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": -0.034940516580944325, "ret_p1m": 0.04378494733921823, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04378494733921823, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015168305448586938, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08337649647774492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": -0.039591549138526694, "ret_p3m": 0.15424547319319148, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15424547319319148, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0770848888283957, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15017402539383262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004071447799358863, "ret_p6m": 0.36130921152424045, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36130921152424045, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24772612666733163, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3080627305456256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05324648097861484, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04378494733921823, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015168305448586938, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08337649647774492, "price_path": [-0.4506, -0.452, -0.452, -0.4729, -0.4653, -0.4414, -0.4159, -0.4146, -0.3969, -0.3955, -0.3991, -0.3943, -0.3744, -0.3824, -0.3592, -0.338, -0.3447, -0.3249, -0.3191, -0.3085, -0.2907, -0.3134, -0.3177, -0.3189, -0.3026, -0.3057, -0.2972, -0.2189, -0.2189, -0.1952, -0.196, -0.2128, -0.2211, -0.2257, -0.2057, -0.2022, -0.2011, -0.1959, -0.1095, -0.1505, -0.1172, -0.1198, -0.1129, -0.0769, -0.0784, -0.0728, -0.0728, -0.0914, -0.0721, -0.0373, -0.0494, -0.009, -0.0249, -0.0121, -0.0462, -0.0463, -0.0225, -0.0225, 0.0007, -0.0426, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0325, 0.0, 0.0088, 0.014, 0.0369, 0.051, 0.0258, 0.0367, 0.0534, 0.0636, 0.0594, 0.0532, 0.0472, 0.0347, -0.0028, -0.0294, 0.0016, -0.0073, 0.0188, 0.0164, 0.0237, 0.0337, 0.0438, 0.0061, 0.0055, 0.0061, 0.0224, -0.0176, -0.0622, -0.0494, -0.0031, -0.0023, 0.0182, 0.0019, 0.0464, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0037, 0.027, 0.0156, 0.0094, 0.0279, 0.0299, 0.0576, 0.0632, 0.0395, 0.1488, 0.0677, 0.0888, 0.0994, 0.1469, 0.1487, 0.1564, 0.1058, 0.14, 0.1389, 0.124, 0.1161, 0.1111, 0.1206, 0.1202, 0.1353, 0.1505, 0.1473, 0.1542, 0.1532, 0.2264, 0.2402, 0.2438, 0.2128, 0.1524, 0.1432, 0.1015, 0.1118, 0.1485, 0.1729, 0.1528, 0.4228, 0.4196, 0.3937, 0.3603, 0.3422, 0.2903, 0.2675, 0.201, 0.2278, 0.2542, 0.2313, 0.232, 0.1443, 0.128, 0.105, 0.1086, 0.1477, 0.091, 0.0572, 0.1091, 0.1625, 0.1819, 0.1819, 0.1779, 0.1672, 0.1765, 0.1928, 0.2546, 0.217, 0.2121, 0.2449, 0.2502, 0.2766, 0.22, 0.1972, 0.1608, 0.1314, 0.1678, 0.2, 0.2229, 0.2456, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.238, 0.238, 0.2184, 0.22, 0.22, 0.3142, 0.3357, 0.3613]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10142602198099349, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10142602198099349, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09952137351871271, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09952137351871271, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023393672296783352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023393672296783352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019120361761155835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019120361761155835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "ret_p1w": 0.0016022828771924402, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0016022828771924402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004735582045857667, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004735582045857667, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "ret_p1m": 0.257330578634138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.257330578634138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2287139367435067, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2287139367435067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "ret_p3m": 1.2132671882796071, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2132671882796071, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1361066039148113, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1361066039148113, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "ret_p6m": 0.5318057796483915, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5318057796483915, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41822269479148266, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41822269479148266, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.257330578634138, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2287139367435067, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2287139367435067, "price_path": [-0.6545, -0.6478, -0.6478, -0.6733, -0.655, -0.6255, -0.6103, -0.6196, -0.6076, -0.6084, -0.6196, -0.5784, -0.5796, -0.5919, -0.5408, -0.5655, -0.5682, -0.5499, -0.5377, -0.4868, -0.407, -0.4006, -0.3956, -0.3634, -0.398, -0.4102, -0.3636, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1364, -0.1149, -0.1519, -0.1553, -0.1598, -0.2025, -0.2134, -0.2444, -0.1942, -0.1306, -0.1581, 0.09, 0.0332, 0.02, 0.0487, 0.0058, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0715, -0.117, -0.0272, -0.1096, -0.1051, -0.1146, -0.1029, -0.171, -0.1775, -0.1392, -0.1392, -0.1037, -0.1424, -0.1359, -0.1115, -0.1014, 0.0, -0.0234, 0.0314, 0.0763, 0.1053, 0.0016, -0.0175, 0.0731, 0.1952, 0.2097, 0.2097, 0.1378, 0.2118, 0.2272, 0.1455, 0.2243, 0.3474, 0.3315, 0.271, 0.2069, 0.1514, 0.2573, 0.2405, 0.1803, 0.1386, 0.1054, 0.0481, 0.0667, 0.0766, 0.1277, 0.1407, 0.1907, 0.1729, 0.248, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.1791, 0.1573, 0.1154, 0.1183, 0.1332, 0.1852, 0.1817, 0.2814, 0.3253, 0.5331, 0.5355, 0.5268, 0.6819, 1.1668, 1.248, 1.2857, 1.1017, 0.9088, 0.771, 0.8668, 0.7887, 0.8576, 1.0638, 1.0407, 1.2202, 1.149, 1.1594, 1.2133, 1.358, 1.7401, 1.7903, 1.7489, 1.598, 1.618, 1.5485, 1.2343, 0.9247, 0.9981, 1.1799, 1.2021, 1.1195, 1.298, 1.2014, 1.1274, 1.0296, 0.7983, 0.9425, 0.7105, 0.805, 0.7869, 0.6699, 0.7813, 0.6286, 0.5634, 0.528, 0.5483, 0.6481, 0.41, 0.4128, 0.4349, 0.3743, 0.4216, 0.4216, 0.4642, 0.3998, 0.4716, 0.5477, 0.789, 0.6771, 0.6762, 0.6653, 0.6119, 0.6504, 0.4007, 0.3192, 0.3381, 0.2168, 0.2453, 0.3336, 0.337, 0.312, 0.3028, 0.3028, 0.2325, 0.1871, 0.1476, 0.1498, 0.1498, 0.2466, 0.4315, 0.5318]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "FLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028619232042832343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028619232042832343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026714583580551565, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023255315667164655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005363916375667688, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015982170384749916, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015982170384749916, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0117088598491224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008499252821808523, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074829175629413935, "ret_p1w": 0.0040884110832797305, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0040884110832797305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0022494538397703767, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006406090965346722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002317679882066992, "ret_p1m": -0.19234346821547676, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19234346821547676, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22096011010610805, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19823705831600957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005893590100532808, "ret_p3m": -0.19141428710073016, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19141428710073016, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26857487146552594, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2107064375872837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019292150486553528, "ret_p6m": -0.1663259716507246, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1663259716507246, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2799090565076334, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24735767968819666, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08103170803747206, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19234346821547676, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22096011010610805, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19823705831600957, "price_path": [-0.3765, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3865, -0.3704, -0.36, -0.3384, -0.3392, -0.3492, -0.3483, -0.3516, -0.3351, -0.3353, -0.3603, -0.3475, -0.3531, -0.3382, -0.3336, -0.3025, -0.2795, -0.2804, -0.284, -0.2849, -0.2957, -0.2873, -0.296, -0.3016, -0.2373, -0.2373, -0.1909, -0.2113, -0.2165, -0.2273, -0.2353, -0.1936, -0.2029, -0.2018, -0.1743, -0.1611, -0.1661, -0.0747, -0.1007, -0.1028, -0.0552, -0.073, -0.0701, -0.0701, -0.0775, -0.0873, -0.0478, -0.0755, -0.0452, -0.0444, -0.0472, -0.065, -0.0433, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0301, -0.0479, -0.0403, -0.0329, -0.0286, 0.0, -0.016, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0212, 0.0041, 0.0043, 0.034, 0.0336, 0.052, 0.045, 0.0405, 0.0413, 0.055, -0.2303, -0.2568, -0.2334, -0.184, -0.1799, -0.2215, -0.2256, -0.1923, -0.2074, -0.2278, -0.2217, -0.2172, -0.233, -0.2403, -0.2373, -0.2278, -0.2334, -0.2304, -0.2362, -0.2267, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2243, -0.2033, -0.2293, -0.2275, -0.2416, -0.2434, -0.2314, -0.2323, -0.2379, -0.2291, -0.242, -0.2503, -0.2117, -0.1712, -0.1684, -0.1818, -0.187, -0.212, -0.2163, -0.2076, -0.2182, -0.2035, -0.1922, -0.1985, -0.1836, -0.2024, -0.1816, -0.1914, -0.1827, -0.1225, -0.1037, -0.0572, -0.0994, -0.1331, -0.1102, -0.0933, -0.1368, -0.1141, -0.0903, -0.0987, -0.0706, -0.0836, -0.0933, -0.0937, -0.107, -0.1411, -0.1189, -0.1715, -0.1503, -0.1528, -0.1572, -0.1502, -0.2001, -0.2122, -0.2358, -0.2356, -0.2265, -0.2464, -0.2557, -0.234, -0.2224, -0.2119, -0.2119, -0.2022, -0.212, -0.2074, -0.1814, -0.1554, -0.1831, -0.1944, -0.1935, -0.1936, -0.1661, -0.1897, -0.1946, -0.2035, -0.2407, -0.2325, -0.2397, -0.242, -0.2399, -0.2392, -0.2392, -0.2414, -0.2492, -0.2511, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2251, -0.1708, -0.1663]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "SMR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11016143179756743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11016143179756743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10825678333528665, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10479751542189975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005363916375667688, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020417868759738722, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020417868759738722, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02469117929536624, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027900786322680116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074829175629413935, "ret_p1w": 0.07882240690920295, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07882240690920295, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07248454198615284, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08114008679126994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002317679882066992, "ret_p1m": -0.09377969760462912, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09377969760462912, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12239633949526041, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09967328770516193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005893590100532808, "ret_p3m": -0.03584991357609313, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03584991357609313, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11301049794088891, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.055142064062646656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019292150486553528, "ret_p6m": -0.535375114171483, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.535375114171483, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6489581990283918, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.616406822208955, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08103170803747206, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09377969760462912, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12239633949526041, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09967328770516193, "price_path": [-0.6557, -0.6531, -0.6531, -0.6762, -0.6417, -0.6334, -0.6068, -0.6045, -0.5973, -0.599, -0.6066, -0.5938, -0.5855, -0.5938, -0.5805, -0.6057, -0.5981, -0.5857, -0.5776, -0.4862, -0.4554, -0.4302, -0.4262, -0.4179, -0.4425, -0.4333, -0.3989, -0.2821, -0.2821, -0.1567, -0.1603, -0.217, -0.2405, -0.2396, -0.2453, -0.2595, -0.2628, -0.1842, -0.1633, -0.1797, -0.0123, -0.0413, -0.0783, 0.0088, -0.0684, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.1168, -0.1334, 0.0266, -0.0821, -0.0921, -0.0931, -0.0608, -0.1425, -0.1641, -0.1481, -0.1481, -0.1287, -0.1671, -0.1581, -0.1448, -0.1102, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.0943, 0.1118, 0.193, 0.0788, 0.0551, 0.136, 0.2115, 0.2267, 0.2106, 0.1626, 0.1992, 0.1921, 0.0548, 0.0299, 0.0715, 0.0905, 0.0608, -0.0658, -0.0919, -0.0938, -0.1144, -0.147, -0.1579, -0.1695, -0.2248, -0.1978, -0.2049, -0.1681, -0.1477, -0.1448, -0.1652, -0.1339, -0.1774, -0.1774, -0.1159, -0.0404, -0.1446, -0.1802, -0.194, -0.161, -0.1854, -0.1648, -0.1372, -0.0719, -0.1154, -0.1422, -0.095, 0.1104, 0.0684, -0.0114, -0.0582, -0.1049, -0.0978, -0.094, -0.1453, -0.1308, -0.062, -0.0475, -0.0043, -0.0691, -0.0931, -0.0358, -0.0684, 0.0689, 0.0871, 0.2685, 0.1311, 0.0506, 0.0496, -0.089, -0.1757, -0.1083, -0.1042, -0.081, 0.0, 0.0249, 0.0031, 0.0653, -0.0306, -0.1541, -0.1, -0.2293, -0.2797, -0.325, -0.3651, -0.3837, -0.4504, -0.467, -0.5, -0.4886, -0.4983, -0.556, -0.5584, -0.5266, -0.5553, -0.548, -0.548, -0.5252, -0.5708, -0.551, -0.5218, -0.4575, -0.4922, -0.4881, -0.4938, -0.5176, -0.4962, -0.5646, -0.5867, -0.5935, -0.6265, -0.6251, -0.6185, -0.6099, -0.6208, -0.6182, -0.6182, -0.6474, -0.6562, -0.6603, -0.6636, -0.6636, -0.6128, -0.5541, -0.5354]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1944126531992793450", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-07-12T20:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "URNM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continues to validate my bullish positioning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium/nuclear complex (URA, CCJ, OKLO, FLR, SMR, URNM) on AI energy demand, energy security, and supply deficit.", "resolved_tickers": ["URNM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is my AI avatar, but the market analysis is real AND created without AI. \n\nIn this 10min video, I explain how renewed global interest in nuclear energy—fueled by AI infrastructure needs, energy security concerns, & deepening supply deficit—continues to validate my bullish positioning. \n\nLINK BELOW! \n\n$URA $CCJ $OKLO $FLR $SMR $URNM\n\n---\n\nUranium Trend Long: It's So Old It's New\n\nhttps://t.co/UNCyBeyqdO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027263054077286242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027263054077286242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025358405615005464, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025358405615005464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001904648462280778, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01256659352065137, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01256659352065137, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016839904056278887, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016839904056278887, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273310535627517, "ret_p1w": 0.04387643696723398, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04387643696723398, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03753857204418387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03753857204418387, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337864923050107, "ret_p1m": 0.013205511630518751, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013205511630518751, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015411130260112538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015411130260112538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02861664189063129, "ret_p3m": 0.3094781225148575, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3094781225148575, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23231753815006173, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23231753815006173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716058436479578, "ret_p6m": 0.3765065627709323, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3765065627709323, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2629234779140235, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2629234779140235, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358308485690882, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013205511630518751, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015411130260112538, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015411130260112538, "price_path": [-0.3342, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3504, -0.3489, -0.3044, -0.2694, -0.2765, -0.2613, -0.2571, -0.2613, -0.2528, -0.2332, -0.2441, -0.2204, -0.2002, -0.2062, -0.1925, -0.1876, -0.1817, -0.1834, -0.1962, -0.2207, -0.2217, -0.2166, -0.2145, -0.2194, -0.1246, -0.1246, -0.1165, -0.1135, -0.1414, -0.1436, -0.1593, -0.1135, -0.1003, -0.1063, -0.1078, -0.0639, -0.1046, -0.0899, -0.0863, -0.0782, -0.0138, -0.0115, 0.0004, 0.0004, -0.0334, -0.0143, -0.0032, -0.0153, 0.0177, 0.0034, 0.0209, -0.004, 0.0121, 0.0079, 0.0079, -0.0047, -0.0368, -0.0535, -0.0415, -0.0273, 0.0, 0.0126, 0.0343, 0.0466, 0.0475, 0.0439, 0.0558, 0.0637, 0.0794, 0.0669, 0.0273, -0.0015, -0.0117, -0.0379, -0.0458, -0.0115, 0.006, 0.0143, 0.0068, 0.0047, 0.0034, 0.0132, -0.0049, 0.0009, 0.0075, 0.0249, -0.0379, -0.0599, -0.0394, 0.0279, 0.0334, 0.0769, 0.0541, 0.0754, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.0948, 0.1052, 0.0884, 0.1031, 0.1408, 0.1487, 0.1502, 0.1382, 0.1071, 0.2185, 0.1725, 0.1921, 0.1977, 0.2407, 0.2777, 0.2801, 0.2535, 0.3003, 0.2884, 0.2852, 0.2871, 0.2705, 0.2995, 0.2716, 0.2954, 0.3071, 0.3016, 0.3095, 0.3131, 0.3519, 0.4128, 0.4096, 0.3497, 0.2692, 0.2613, 0.1987, 0.2373, 0.2224, 0.2522, 0.2204, 0.3421, 0.3657, 0.4, 0.371, 0.2946, 0.2426, 0.2217, 0.1706, 0.1859, 0.2443, 0.2132, 0.2136, 0.1649, 0.151, 0.1252, 0.1308, 0.1698, 0.0933, 0.082, 0.1306, 0.1608, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.184, 0.1663, 0.1925, 0.2296, 0.2805, 0.2483, 0.2371, 0.2439, 0.2407, 0.2709, 0.2083, 0.1749, 0.1576, 0.1333, 0.17, 0.2265, 0.2252, 0.2444, 0.2459, 0.2459, 0.2327, 0.2312, 0.2045, 0.2087, 0.2087, 0.3311, 0.3688, 0.3765]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965796723068219610", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T15:17:16+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WINNER TAKE ALL $ORCL promises unbelievable future AI growth: market screams in delight", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ORCL as a winner-take-all AI growth story embraced by the market.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WINNER TAKE ALL $ORCL promises unbelievable future AI growth: market screams in delight.\n\nBLS revises jobs down by 2.5 million (March 2023 to March 2025) - market silence is deafening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2644290373996603, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2644290373996603, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.261546564771039, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.261546564771039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002882472628621291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0623458824512515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0623458824512515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07065626752779441, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07065626752779441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310385076542914, "ret_p1w": -0.08199058277488314, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08199058277488314, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09267732355218194, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09267732355218194, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "ret_p1m": -0.09397448981599299, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09397448981599299, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1258825648268932, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1258825648268932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "ret_p3m": -0.32713212687978677, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32713212687978677, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3782127513347814, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3782127513347814, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080624454994616, "ret_p6m": -0.5264870932378733, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5264870932378733, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.577096136692965, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.577096136692965, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060904345509165, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09397448981599299, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1258825648268932, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1258825648268932, "price_path": [-0.3459, -0.3584, -0.3673, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3764, -0.3708, -0.3457, -0.3596, -0.3532, -0.361, -0.3355, -0.3345, -0.301, -0.2787, -0.2787, -0.2941, -0.2873, -0.2833, -0.2843, -0.2978, -0.3017, -0.2844, -0.2651, -0.2424, -0.2524, -0.2582, -0.2748, -0.2632, -0.2604, -0.2534, -0.2455, -0.2386, -0.2367, -0.2271, -0.2556, -0.2309, -0.2213, -0.219, -0.2404, -0.2384, -0.2304, -0.2268, -0.2563, -0.2539, -0.2438, -0.2414, -0.2854, -0.2841, -0.2899, -0.2801, -0.283, -0.2867, -0.2818, -0.2681, -0.3113, -0.3113, -0.3138, -0.3194, -0.3208, -0.291, -0.2737, -0.2644, 0.0, -0.0623, -0.1101, -0.0798, -0.066, -0.082, -0.0966, -0.0599, -0.0005, -0.0442, -0.0605, -0.1127, -0.1367, -0.1388, -0.1434, -0.1198, -0.1205, -0.1285, -0.1119, -0.1343, -0.1209, -0.094, -0.1062, -0.0603, -0.0878, -0.0737, -0.045, -0.1112, -0.1543, -0.1605, -0.1681, -0.1455, -0.1356, -0.1414, -0.1432, -0.1601, -0.2162, -0.1988, -0.2133, -0.2428, -0.2363, -0.2562, -0.27, -0.2652, -0.2795, -0.3075, -0.3362, -0.3201, -0.3292, -0.3273, -0.3119, -0.3572, -0.3936, -0.3889, -0.3989, -0.3747, -0.3747, -0.3839, -0.3869, -0.3864, -0.3662, -0.3461, -0.3362, -0.3271, -0.3241, -0.3196, -0.3933, -0.4204, -0.4358, -0.4244, -0.4555, -0.4507, -0.4143, -0.3947, -0.404, -0.3975, -0.3975, -0.3959, -0.4039, -0.3983, -0.4053, -0.4053, -0.4029, -0.4124, -0.4089, -0.4116, -0.4214, -0.3927, -0.3739, -0.3812, -0.4077, -0.4192, -0.4154, -0.4154, -0.4496, -0.4681, -0.4549, -0.4581, -0.4419, -0.465, -0.4714, -0.483, -0.4965, -0.5104, -0.5269, -0.5513, -0.5825, -0.5631, -0.521, -0.5109, -0.5192, -0.5213, -0.5101, -0.5101, -0.529, -0.5223, -0.5211, -0.547, -0.5677, -0.5529, -0.5476, -0.5402, -0.5552, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5339, -0.5265]}
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{"unit_id": "thread:1975241103914725808", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T16:45:52+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail is way under-exposed to METALS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish crypto (BTC/ETH), bullish gold, silver, and miners; retail overexposed to crypto and underexposed to metals — expects mean reversion with velocity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At what point do Bitcoin HOLDers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️\n\n---\n\n*HODLers, sorry 😁\nI'm so clearly TradFi I can't even get the meme right 😅", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "price_path": [-0.1615, -0.1597, -0.1516, -0.1547, -0.1582, -0.154, -0.1559, -0.1537, -0.1406, -0.1325, -0.1433, -0.1485, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1595, -0.174, -0.1686, -0.1517, -0.1467, -0.1461, -0.1479, -0.1407, -0.1409, -0.1532, -0.154, -0.1514, -0.1568, -0.1563, -0.1576, -0.1622, -0.1537, -0.1567, -0.1476, -0.1497, -0.1435, -0.1418, -0.1354, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1065, -0.0995, -0.1034, -0.0915, -0.0811, -0.0832, -0.0799, -0.0813, -0.0795, -0.0699, -0.068, -0.0752, -0.0789, -0.0692, -0.053, -0.0492, -0.0578, -0.0539, -0.0484, -0.0327, -0.0245, -0.0229, -0.0263, -0.0185, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0217, 0.0029, 0.013, 0.0376, 0.045, 0.0631, 0.088, 0.0675, 0.1064, 0.0353, 0.0354, 0.0395, 0.0361, 0.0072, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0158, 0.0103, 0.0121, -0.0057, 0.0058, 0.0046, 0.0108, 0.0384, 0.0425, 0.0593, 0.0507, 0.0318, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.029, 0.0287, 0.0271, 0.0434, 0.0431, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0645, 0.0696, 0.0627, 0.0617, 0.0624, 0.0605, 0.0577, 0.0632, 0.0677, 0.0792, 0.0852, 0.0862, 0.0865, 0.0958, 0.0938, 0.0951, 0.1203, 0.1352, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1437, 0.0939, 0.0947, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.093, 0.1218, 0.1339, 0.1231, 0.1293, 0.1375, 0.1588, 0.1571, 0.1689, 0.1618, 0.1562, 0.1562, 0.1999, 0.2174, 0.2399, 0.2569, 0.2753, 0.3066, 0.3573, 0.3609, 0.2211, 0.1722, 0.2467, 0.2459, 0.2127, 0.25, 0.2817, 0.269, 0.2834, 0.2388, 0.2696, 0.2696, 0.23, 0.2577, 0.2612, 0.2861, 0.3208, 0.3025, 0.2992, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3447, 0.2848, 0.2948, 0.2792, 0.2995, 0.2968, 0.3114, 0.307, 0.2813, 0.2647, 0.2636, 0.2604, 0.2205, 0.1702, 0.1345, 0.1088, 0.1091, 0.1425, 0.0995, 0.1381, 0.1378, 0.1809]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1975241103914725808", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-06T16:45:52+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#GOLD #SILVER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish crypto (BTC/ETH), bullish gold, silver, and miners; retail overexposed to crypto and underexposed to metals — expects mean reversion with velocity.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At what point do Bitcoin HOLDers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️\n\n---\n\n*HODLers, sorry 😁\nI'm so clearly TradFi I can't even get the meme right 😅", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012256034922747183, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012256034922747183, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008682669975224266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008682669975224266, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0152065810885047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0152065810885047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011499067199186919, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011499067199186919, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.07262816269865158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07262816269865158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08538853099614119, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08538853099614119, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.02995913875809353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02995913875809353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035364039940995795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035364039940995795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.46209705313346716, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46209705313346716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44374558785408147, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44374558785408147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.5465274004951488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5465274004951488, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.572683878455, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.572683878455, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02995913875809353, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035364039940995795, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035364039940995795, "price_path": [-0.251, -0.234, -0.2049, -0.214, -0.2224, -0.219, -0.2136, -0.2145, -0.1977, -0.1893, -0.19, -0.1945, -0.2133, -0.2138, -0.2133, -0.2394, -0.2438, -0.2376, -0.2288, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.2111, -0.2084, -0.2242, -0.219, -0.2056, -0.217, -0.217, -0.2158, -0.2313, -0.2186, -0.2145, -0.1979, -0.2052, -0.2052, -0.2059, -0.1938, -0.1786, -0.1786, -0.1568, -0.1525, -0.1618, -0.1555, -0.1487, -0.1562, -0.1509, -0.1423, -0.1298, -0.1203, -0.1239, -0.1423, -0.1378, -0.1139, -0.0912, -0.0931, -0.0962, -0.0688, -0.0499, -0.0354, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0347, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0152, 0.0113, 0.0148, 0.0311, 0.0726, 0.0622, 0.0969, 0.116, 0.0665, 0.0831, -0.0061, -0.0041, 0.0027, -0.0016, -0.0377, -0.0309, -0.0188, 0.0064, -0.0011, -0.0068, -0.03, -0.0093, -0.0116, -0.0032, 0.0393, 0.0542, 0.0967, 0.0763, 0.0431, 0.032, 0.0463, 0.0542, 0.039, 0.0281, 0.0583, 0.0592, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.1623, 0.192, 0.2059, 0.2045, 0.1748, 0.2018, 0.1963, 0.2522, 0.2726, 0.3078, 0.2733, 0.3189, 0.3103, 0.3677, 0.3463, 0.3829, 0.4178, 0.4716, 0.4803, 0.4803, 0.6142, 0.4982, 0.5656, 0.4621, 0.4621, 0.4923, 0.5679, 0.6729, 0.6105, 0.5822, 0.6428, 0.7528, 0.7839, 0.9192, 0.8911, 0.8389, 0.8389, 0.938, 0.9056, 0.9775, 1.1087, 1.232, 1.3057, 1.3967, 1.3961, 0.7122, 0.6441, 0.7467, 0.7971, 0.5136, 0.5931, 0.7258, 0.6661, 0.7376, 0.5372, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.5064, 0.5908, 0.6117, 0.739, 0.8286, 0.7948, 0.8166, 0.8259, 0.929, 0.8513, 0.695, 0.7099, 0.6857, 0.7236, 0.7762, 0.8177, 0.7683, 0.7358, 0.6498, 0.6618, 0.6264, 0.5592, 0.4907, 0.3963, 0.4178, 0.4287, 0.48, 0.3793, 0.4399, 0.4417, 0.5465]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1975241103914725808", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-06T16:45:52+00:00", "symbol": "Gold and Silver miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#GOLDandSILVERminers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish crypto (BTC/ETH), bullish gold, silver, and miners; retail overexposed to crypto and underexposed to metals — expects mean reversion with velocity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "SIL"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX gold miners ETF; SIL silver miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At what point do Bitcoin HOLDers say...\n\n\"We're riding the wrong horse!\"\n\n#GOLD #SILVER #GOLDandSILVERminers\n#IndustrialMiners #REALthings\n\nRetail is way under-exposed to METALS but over-exposed to Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum... \n⏳\n\nOutliers Revert With Velocity™️\n\n---\n\n*HODLers, sorry 😁\nI'm so clearly TradFi I can't even get the meme right 😅", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019135517884714737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019135517884714737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01556215293719182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01556215293719182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01893626200833004, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01893626200833004, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015228748119012259, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015228748119012259, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.024748344567399383, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024748344567399383, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03750871286488899, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03750871286488899, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.13561141082948985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13561141082948985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14101631201239212, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14101631201239212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.1332342461570063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1332342461570063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1148827808776206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1148827808776206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.2175231289573637, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2175231289573637, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2436796069172149, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2436796069172149, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13561141082948985, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14101631201239212, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14101631201239212, "price_path": [-0.3387, -0.3303, -0.315, -0.3178, -0.3281, -0.3305, -0.3367, -0.3416, -0.3168, -0.2985, -0.3049, -0.312, -0.3107, -0.3266, -0.3207, -0.3392, -0.3442, -0.3374, -0.3095, -0.2893, -0.2769, -0.2593, -0.2543, -0.2608, -0.2524, -0.2555, -0.261, -0.2558, -0.258, -0.2804, -0.2624, -0.25, -0.2346, -0.2365, -0.223, -0.2221, -0.2203, -0.1965, -0.1965, -0.1744, -0.1639, -0.1726, -0.1529, -0.1375, -0.145, -0.1234, -0.1041, -0.101, -0.0858, -0.1092, -0.1182, -0.1192, -0.0798, -0.051, -0.0537, -0.0753, -0.0629, -0.041, -0.0274, -0.0188, -0.0123, -0.0169, -0.0191, 0.0, -0.0189, 0.0148, -0.0289, -0.0284, 0.0247, 0.0186, 0.0582, 0.0892, 0.0105, 0.0325, -0.0723, -0.0661, -0.0598, -0.0693, -0.1044, -0.0896, -0.0883, -0.0695, -0.0814, -0.0959, -0.1356, -0.1185, -0.1135, -0.0903, -0.0485, -0.0429, -0.0089, -0.0309, -0.0433, -0.0621, -0.054, -0.041, -0.0883, -0.0821, -0.0294, -0.0256, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0664, 0.0666, 0.0523, 0.0443, 0.0446, 0.0414, 0.0203, 0.0638, 0.0815, 0.1251, 0.1152, 0.1084, 0.1051, 0.1171, 0.1116, 0.1443, 0.1867, 0.1898, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.2073, 0.1395, 0.154, 0.1332, 0.1332, 0.1294, 0.1677, 0.216, 0.1965, 0.198, 0.2204, 0.2702, 0.278, 0.2834, 0.2959, 0.3104, 0.3104, 0.3811, 0.3638, 0.4332, 0.4654, 0.4714, 0.4881, 0.519, 0.4652, 0.2626, 0.2557, 0.3237, 0.328, 0.2349, 0.3046, 0.3794, 0.3765, 0.4141, 0.3052, 0.3763, 0.3763, 0.324, 0.3595, 0.3893, 0.4339, 0.4766, 0.4899, 0.5038, 0.5447, 0.5671, 0.5566, 0.419, 0.4295, 0.3679, 0.357, 0.3723, 0.3968, 0.3665, 0.3336, 0.2566, 0.2698, 0.2604, 0.1786, 0.1102, 0.0668, 0.1124, 0.1182, 0.1498, 0.0951, 0.138, 0.1336, 0.2175]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1933354007084319215", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-13T02:41:29+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still see room for crude to rise on a tactical swing long that is working well since June 2nd recommendation at $62 $WTIC into 70 PT. Now at 69 I can now see 73 with overshoot to 75.65", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tactical long crude from $62, now at $69; sees $73 with overshoot to $75.65 as runner, then expects rejection. Trend bearish into EOY but short-term long still valid.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“I am trend bearish oil into EOY … but I still see room for crude to rise on a tactical swing long that is working well since June 2nd recommendation at $62 $WTIC into 70 PT. Now at 69 I can now see 73 with overshoot to 75.65 (runner only), but that's where I would really expect rejection.” #OOTT\n\nhttps://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06444774483013893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06444774483013893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07575442011149425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07575442011149425, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020319182971937244, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020319182971937244, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02983352747578627, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02983352747578627, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": 0.036150604359882266, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036150604359882266, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.037763784999516714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037763784999516714, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": -0.05734228875745673, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05734228875745673, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1070193364212425, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1070193364212425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "ret_p3m": -0.0686861387731873, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0686861387731873, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1643949227594873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1643949227594873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": -0.12129148851748561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12129148851748561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27296976141062856, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27296976141062856, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "ret_p1y": 0.7111693116882474, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7111693116882474, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.42427239216864754, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.42427239216864754, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05734228875745673, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1070193364212425, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1070193364212425, "price_path": [-0.0999, -0.0972, -0.0809, -0.0802, -0.0666, -0.0673, -0.0598, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.036, -0.0391, -0.0309, -0.0994, -0.1533, -0.1775, -0.2104, -0.1576, -0.1857, -0.1715, -0.169, -0.1713, -0.1554, -0.1339, -0.1339, -0.1446, -0.1353, -0.1517, -0.1466, -0.1395, -0.1553, -0.1791, -0.2077, -0.1957, -0.2021, -0.2225, -0.1947, -0.2083, -0.1822, -0.1697, -0.1573, -0.1325, -0.1432, -0.1574, -0.1511, -0.146, -0.1441, -0.1574, -0.1631, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1613, -0.1537, -0.1624, -0.1629, -0.133, -0.1288, -0.1356, -0.1283, -0.1102, -0.1018, -0.1075, -0.0673, -0.0644, 0.0, -0.0203, 0.0259, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0362, -0.0475, -0.09, -0.0861, -0.0826, -0.0865, -0.0886, -0.0784, -0.0577, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0466, -0.0406, -0.041, -0.0602, -0.0365, -0.0573, -0.0618, -0.0627, -0.0506, -0.0535, -0.0577, -0.0607, -0.0616, -0.0515, -0.0669, -0.038, -0.0052, 0.0102, -0.0079, -0.0344, -0.0512, -0.0648, -0.0802, -0.0848, -0.0863, -0.08, -0.0906, -0.0967, -0.0808, -0.0925, -0.0879, -0.0987, -0.0835, -0.0759, -0.0696, -0.0557, -0.0769, -0.0691, -0.0621, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0431, -0.0672, -0.0753, -0.0946, -0.0895, -0.0851, -0.0687, -0.09, -0.0861, -0.0747, -0.0567, -0.0654, -0.0689, -0.0835, -0.0844, -0.0644, -0.0477, -0.0403, -0.0399, -0.0702, -0.0807, -0.0883, -0.1082, -0.1061, -0.0916, -0.0875, -0.0834, -0.0961, -0.135, -0.1239, -0.1399, -0.14, -0.1547, -0.1526, -0.1545, -0.149, -0.1195, -0.0864, -0.0878, -0.0885, -0.1101, -0.105, -0.1061, -0.0955, -0.0932, -0.1033, -0.1146, -0.1164, -0.1117, -0.1065, -0.0935, -0.13, -0.1293, -0.1102, -0.1112, -0.0962, -0.1164, -0.1255, -0.1361, -0.1222, -0.1367, -0.1269, -0.1269, -0.1141, -0.1142, -0.1249, -0.1192, -0.1101, -0.1035, -0.1213]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1928136664972677461", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-29T17:09:38+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "analysts/investors buy it. But it's a bad bet. ... there is a massive effort underway to de-Nvidia the AI technology stack, pushed from the top of the system", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: Jensen's $50B China market claim is a bad bet as Xi is actively driving de-Nvidia'd tech stack from the top.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen says China 'could be' a $50B market. \nAnd analysts/investors buy it. But it's a bad bet.\n\n\"The problem for Huang and Nvidia is that Xi Jinping made it clear at the April Politburo study session that he wants China to de-Americanize the AI technology stack:\n\n'Xi Jinping emphasized that to seize the initiative and gain the advantage in the AI field, breakthroughs must be achieved in fundamental theories, methods, tools, and more. We must continuously strengthen basic research, concentrate resources to overcome challenges in core technologies such as high-end chips and foundational software, and build an independent, controllable, and collaboratively functioning AI foundational hardware and software system [集中力量攻克高端芯片、基础软件等核心技术,构建自主可控、协同运行的人工智能基础软硬件系统]. We should use AI to lead a paradigm shift in scientific research and accelerate technological innovations and breakthroughs across various fields.'\n\n“An independent, controllable, and collaboratively functioning AI foundational hardware and software system” means a de-Nvidia’d Chinese technology stack.\n\nHuang can make his case to the media and to the US government, directly and through a growing army of lobbyists and proxies, but the ground truth in China is that there is a massive effort underway to de-Nvidia the AI technology stack, pushed from the top of the system.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/WRvqtosxOv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03146778143830575, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03146778143830575, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0275359650897834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02442092800272322, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039318163485223545, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007046853435582534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02916867471202156, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02916867471202156, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028050063887363863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011428566720303346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0011186108246576953, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017740107991718213, "ret_p1w": 0.005747492367597973, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005747492367597973, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006632886860213905, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023832962365530674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005084203681576582, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029580454733128647, "ret_p1m": 0.1334216324393278, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1334216324393278, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08820883886299025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007269989147176137, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04521279357633756, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14069162158650395, "ret_p3m": 0.30600349756674294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30600349756674294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20937236861212494, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09021358425209547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.096631128954618, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21578991331464747, "ret_p6m": 0.28531153703018597, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28531153703018597, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1619986447781918, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05084880704228478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12331289225199416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33616034407247075, "ret_p1y": 0.5976176806060693, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5976176806060693, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.33142407386973294, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6469718219326843, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2661936067363364, "bench_c_p1y": 1.2445895025387537, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1334216324393278, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08820883886299025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007269989147176137, "price_path": [-0.1806, -0.1668, -0.1573, -0.2057, -0.1905, -0.2315, -0.2187, -0.1685, -0.1696, -0.1259, -0.1412, -0.1707, -0.1557, -0.1484, -0.1544, -0.1277, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1994, -0.2121, -0.2214, -0.2086, -0.2067, -0.2686, -0.3224, -0.2985, -0.3081, -0.1786, -0.2272, -0.203, -0.2046, -0.1939, -0.2493, -0.2709, -0.2709, -0.3038, -0.2895, -0.2621, -0.2354, -0.2025, -0.2188, -0.2168, -0.2175, -0.1981, -0.1774, -0.1823, -0.1843, -0.159, -0.1568, -0.1619, -0.1163, -0.0665, -0.0277, -0.0313, -0.0272, -0.026, -0.0346, -0.0531, -0.0457, -0.0568, -0.0568, -0.0265, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.0292, -0.013, 0.0146, 0.0196, 0.0057, 0.0182, 0.0247, 0.0343, 0.0262, 0.0418, 0.02, 0.0396, 0.0355, 0.0453, 0.0453, 0.0336, 0.0359, 0.0626, 0.1087, 0.1138, 0.1334, 0.1351, 0.1014, 0.1298, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1369, 0.1496, 0.1703, 0.179, 0.1849, 0.1788, 0.2265, 0.2313, 0.243, 0.2388, 0.2314, 0.2001, 0.227, 0.2483, 0.2466, 0.2699, 0.261, 0.288, 0.278, 0.2482, 0.2933, 0.2808, 0.2891, 0.2988, 0.3127, 0.3081, 0.316, 0.3047, 0.3078, 0.2965, 0.3077, 0.262, 0.2602, 0.2572, 0.2788, 0.2919, 0.306, 0.3048, 0.2945, 0.2515, 0.2515, 0.227, 0.2259, 0.2334, 0.2, 0.2093, 0.2269, 0.2741, 0.273, 0.2777, 0.2772, 0.2566, 0.2236, 0.2663, 0.2694, 0.3193, 0.2821, 0.2716, 0.2768, 0.2804, 0.3067, 0.3406, 0.3454, 0.3572, 0.3481, 0.3332, 0.3296, 0.3588, 0.3837, 0.3161, 0.3531, 0.2936, 0.2921, 0.3064, 0.3165, 0.3123, 0.3017, 0.2954, 0.3089, 0.3383, 0.3759, 0.4445, 0.4877, 0.4578, 0.455, 0.4865, 0.4277, 0.4026, 0.3514, 0.3519, 0.4302, 0.3879, 0.3925, 0.3427, 0.3664, 0.3408, 0.3031, 0.3402, 0.298, 0.2853]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932624826490929407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-11T02:23:59+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like it!! $AMD ~> $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMD / bearish NVDA on Modular/Mojo breaching CUDA moat.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Allen58028224 @thrashima I like it!! $AMD ~&gt; $NVDA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#nvidia #AMD #MOATS \n@thrashima @SamanthaLaDuc \n\nAMD just partnered with the software firm Modular, and announced that (reading between the lines) Nvidia's software moat 'CUDA' has just been breached.\n\nModular offers a new computer language called 'MOJO' which is  similar to", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Allen58028224", "ret_m1d": 0.017335302003481212, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017335302003481212, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014474860605014461, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016609732971847535, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002860441398466751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007255690316336771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02179296188665847, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02179296188665847, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02576754685659932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026642479664385488, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974584969940853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004849517777727019, "ret_p1w": 0.046640263780302726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046640263780302726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.053158595481788806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04392911144412115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00651833170148608, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002711152336181577, "ret_p1m": 0.1900281029259112, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1900281029259112, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14627689422165546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09212070386352833, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120870425575, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09790739906238288, "ret_p3m": 0.2498762128526768, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2498762128526768, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1677486504639818, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11760195079799662, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08212756238869501, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13227426205468018, "ret_p6m": 0.782895796728845, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.782895796728845, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6382962230161286, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40211069292875457, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459957371271637, "bench_c_p6m": 0.38078510380009045, "ret_p1y": 3.260359734078378, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.260359734078378, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.9879902785122248, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9662035046994366, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2723694555661531, "bench_c_p1y": 1.2941562293789413, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1900281029259112, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14627689422165546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09212070386352833, "price_path": [-0.1665, -0.1366, -0.1455, -0.1231, -0.1156, -0.1213, -0.0602, -0.0523, -0.0904, -0.1196, -0.1479, -0.1519, -0.1516, -0.1501, -0.2257, -0.2921, -0.3096, -0.3544, -0.2006, -0.2678, -0.229, -0.2199, -0.2134, -0.2712, -0.2777, -0.2777, -0.2937, -0.2879, -0.2538, -0.2202, -0.2022, -0.2043, -0.207, -0.1964, -0.2022, -0.1844, -0.1696, -0.1859, -0.1715, -0.1605, -0.1511, -0.1075, -0.0717, -0.0282, -0.0508, -0.0328, -0.0528, -0.063, -0.075, -0.0861, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0543, -0.0684, -0.0669, -0.0859, -0.0537, -0.0316, -0.0211, -0.045, -0.0409, 0.0049, 0.0173, 0.0, -0.0218, -0.0411, 0.0433, 0.0492, 0.0466, 0.0466, 0.0586, 0.0697, 0.1427, 0.1838, 0.1861, 0.1871, 0.1714, 0.1236, 0.1435, 0.1384, 0.1384, 0.1128, 0.1377, 0.1426, 0.19, 0.2087, 0.2072, 0.2845, 0.3214, 0.3242, 0.2959, 0.296, 0.2772, 0.3096, 0.3383, 0.3742, 0.4335, 0.4648, 0.4818, 0.4554, 0.4174, 0.4593, 0.4389, 0.3465, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4222, 0.4442, 0.5224, 0.4937, 0.4653, 0.454, 0.3749, 0.3637, 0.3514, 0.3848, 0.3485, 0.3754, 0.3796, 0.3916, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.3399, 0.3384, 0.3356, 0.2476, 0.2499, 0.2863, 0.317, 0.285, 0.309, 0.3304, 0.3246, 0.3139, 0.3036, 0.2992, 0.3191, 0.3282, 0.3281, 0.3313, 0.3163, 0.332, 0.3356, 0.3539, 0.4011, 0.3593, 0.6816, 0.746, 0.9445, 0.9225, 0.774, 0.7865, 0.8003, 0.9696, 0.9363, 0.9241, 0.9858, 0.9649, 0.9005, 0.9398, 1.0878, 1.1436, 1.1298, 1.182, 1.1037, 1.1142, 1.1434, 1.0641, 1.116, 0.9622, 0.9279, 1.014, 0.9607, 1.1371, 1.0469, 1.0374, 0.9855, 0.901, 0.8454, 0.7007, 0.6822, 0.7752, 0.7016, 0.7685, 0.7685, 0.7957, 0.8141, 0.7768, 0.7963, 0.7829]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1934950304438530527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-17T12:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT, META, PLTR not sustainably shortable given AI/defense contract backdrop; implied bullish on all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI wins $200 million U.S. defense contract\n\nThere are no coincidences in markets. \n\n$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade. 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023010516022679006, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023010516022679006, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0063177690962847866, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0063177690962847866, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004602103204535579, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004602103204535579, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004752712712097429, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004752712712097429, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015060950756184965, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015060950756184965, "ret_p1w": 0.02524882746688184, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02524882746688184, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006766327017591056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006766327017591056, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018482500449290784, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018482500449290784, "ret_p1m": 0.057693854540386225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057693854540386225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00993831428056935, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00993831428056935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "ret_p3m": 0.06840060729899045, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06840060729899045, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03506429182941151, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03506429182941151, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10346489912840195, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10346489912840195, "ret_p6m": 0.004610211163423861, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.004610211163423861, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15267821691975936, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15267821691975936, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15728842808318322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15728842808318322, "ret_p1y": -0.09742060088212023, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09742060088212023, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3789779280502005, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3789779280502005, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.057693854540386225, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00993831428056935, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00993831428056935, "price_path": [-0.1923, -0.183, -0.1792, -0.1749, -0.1857, -0.1845, -0.209, -0.2162, -0.202, -0.2021, -0.2209, -0.2486, -0.2528, -0.2597, -0.1846, -0.2037, -0.1889, -0.1902, -0.1946, -0.2241, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.2501, -0.2341, -0.2183, -0.1913, -0.1818, -0.1832, -0.1772, -0.1747, -0.1117, -0.0911, -0.0893, -0.0952, -0.0951, -0.0851, -0.0839, -0.0619, -0.0622, -0.0542, -0.0521, -0.0497, -0.0401, -0.0416, -0.0533, -0.0485, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0363, -0.0433, -0.0405, -0.037, -0.0336, -0.0315, -0.0296, -0.0217, -0.016, -0.0111, -0.0149, -0.0113, 0.0017, -0.0064, 0.0023, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0046, -0.0013, 0.0167, 0.0252, 0.0298, 0.0406, 0.0374, 0.0405, 0.0293, 0.0273, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0412, 0.0389, 0.0533, 0.049, 0.0529, 0.0523, 0.0581, 0.0577, 0.0704, 0.067, 0.067, 0.057, 0.0582, 0.0687, 0.0746, 0.0721, 0.0722, 0.0736, 0.116, 0.0964, 0.1205, 0.104, 0.0981, 0.0895, 0.092, 0.0915, 0.1071, 0.089, 0.093, 0.0881, 0.0817, 0.0664, 0.0579, 0.0565, 0.0628, 0.0566, 0.0519, 0.0618, 0.0679, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.0584, 0.0589, 0.0644, 0.0372, 0.0439, 0.0443, 0.0484, 0.0498, 0.0684, 0.0798, 0.0666, 0.0687, 0.0654, 0.0852, 0.0779, 0.067, 0.0689, 0.0624, 0.0717, 0.0782, 0.0853, 0.089, 0.0806, 0.084, 0.1075, 0.0979, 0.0997, 0.0946, 0.0706, 0.0771, 0.0761, 0.0758, 0.072, 0.0761, 0.0828, 0.0847, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.0971, 0.1137, 0.1358, 0.1347, 0.1016, 0.085, 0.0833, 0.0777, 0.0627, 0.0416, 0.041, 0.0602, 0.0658, 0.071, 0.0546, 0.069, 0.0634, 0.0346, 0.0207, 0.0043, -0.0089, -0.005, 0.0013, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0328, 0.0218, 0.0286, 0.0029, 0.0094, 0.0143, 0.0308, 0.0329, 0.0046]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1934950304438530527", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-17T12:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT, META, PLTR not sustainably shortable given AI/defense contract backdrop; implied bullish on all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI wins $200 million U.S. defense contract\n\nThere are no coincidences in markets. \n\n$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade. 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00701346501672484, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00701346501672484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001605355681827847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018823547097983617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008895819726523202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020939570342710656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020939570342710656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001943347526709216, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0025773978964134248, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015060950756184965, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00048344086214235915, "ret_p1w": 0.021470744411298703, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021470744411298703, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0029882439620079193, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001499550705216235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018482500449290784, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01997119370608247, "ret_p1m": 0.008146513406085187, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008146513406085187, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03960902685373169, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022292784443301183, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03043929784938637, "ret_p3m": 0.08370268725949837, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08370268725949837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01976221186890359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.053744785318694754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10346489912840195, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13744747257819312, "ret_p6m": -0.06692371697485833, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06692371697485833, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22421214505804155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20561470729670528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15728842808318322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13869099032184695, "ret_p1y": -0.0977957505723207, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0977957505723207, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.37935307774040095, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.20505337570736193, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10725762513504122, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008146513406085187, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03960902685373169, "alpha_c_stated": -0.022292784443301183, "price_path": [-0.1602, -0.1455, -0.1131, -0.1024, -0.1244, -0.1364, -0.1734, -0.174, -0.1602, -0.1631, -0.2381, -0.2766, -0.2601, -0.2685, -0.1605, -0.2171, -0.221, -0.2383, -0.2526, -0.2801, -0.2813, -0.2813, -0.3054, -0.283, -0.2544, -0.2359, -0.2157, -0.2121, -0.2054, -0.2132, -0.1799, -0.1444, -0.1412, -0.1583, -0.1447, -0.143, -0.1509, -0.0836, -0.0598, -0.055, -0.0772, -0.0823, -0.0822, -0.0869, -0.0892, -0.0877, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.0795, -0.0777, -0.0756, -0.0721, -0.0385, -0.0443, -0.0141, -0.0188, -0.0001, -0.0053, 0.0066, -0.0052, -0.0063, -0.0213, 0.007, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0213, 0.0019, 0.0215, 0.0164, 0.0414, 0.0522, 0.0586, 0.0315, 0.0234, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0303, 0.0336, 0.051, 0.043, 0.0291, 0.034, 0.0189, 0.0081, 0.006, 0.0101, 0.0226, 0.0109, 0.0234, 0.0252, 0.0222, 0.0293, 0.004, -0.0029, 0.1093, 0.0757, 0.1135, 0.095, 0.1072, 0.0927, 0.1034, 0.0984, 0.1331, 0.1188, 0.1218, 0.1262, 0.1006, 0.0778, 0.0724, 0.0601, 0.0826, 0.0804, 0.0816, 0.0719, 0.0773, 0.0595, 0.0595, 0.0543, 0.0571, 0.0737, 0.0792, 0.079, 0.0982, 0.0785, 0.077, 0.0837, 0.0968, 0.1173, 0.1126, 0.1191, 0.1164, 0.0982, 0.0842, 0.0917, 0.0748, 0.0674, 0.0669, 0.054, 0.0295, 0.0435, 0.0198, 0.0271, 0.0234, 0.0303, 0.0527, 0.0123, 0.0272, 0.0171, 0.0298, 0.022, 0.0289, 0.0508, 0.0524, 0.0526, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0776, 0.0785, 0.0788, -0.0435, -0.0695, -0.0847, -0.0997, -0.0873, -0.1117, -0.1077, -0.0933, -0.1, -0.1259, -0.1247, -0.1253, -0.136, -0.1422, -0.1528, -0.1544, -0.1471, -0.1201, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.0906, -0.0701, -0.0802, -0.0713, -0.082, -0.0506, -0.0335, -0.043, -0.0571, -0.0669]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1934950304438530527", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-17T12:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT, META, PLTR not sustainably shortable given AI/defense contract backdrop; implied bullish on all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI wins $200 million U.S. defense contract\n\nThere are no coincidences in markets. \n\n$MSFT $META $PLTR - just not shortable against this backdrop for more than a trade. 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0232272560401674, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0232272560401674, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014608435341614712, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014608435341614712, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012735237369680519, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012735237369680519, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012885846877242368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012885846877242368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015060950756184965, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015060950756184965, "ret_p1w": 0.03639651874363414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03639651874363414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01791401829434336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01791401829434336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018482500449290784, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018482500449290784, "ret_p1m": 0.09196821269559985, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09196821269559985, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044212672435782974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044212672435782974, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "ret_p3m": 0.24044859957546993, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24044859957546993, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13698370044706798, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13698370044706798, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10346489912840195, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10346489912840195, "ret_p6m": 0.35969614914307324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35969614914307324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20240772105989002, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20240772105989002, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15728842808318322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15728842808318322, "ret_p1y": 0.025325615609896213, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.025325615609896213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.256231711558184, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.256231711558184, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09196821269559985, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.044212672435782974, "alpha_c_stated": 0.044212672435782974, "price_path": [-0.3677, -0.3418, -0.2999, -0.3017, -0.3323, -0.3481, -0.3788, -0.3893, -0.3873, -0.3672, -0.3951, -0.4645, -0.4368, -0.4405, -0.3342, -0.359, -0.3593, -0.3298, -0.288, -0.3292, -0.3214, -0.3214, -0.343, -0.3199, -0.2705, -0.2201, -0.1839, -0.1704, -0.1601, -0.143, -0.1592, -0.1007, -0.1044, -0.2123, -0.2006, -0.1378, -0.1512, -0.1428, -0.0731, -0.058, -0.0729, -0.0628, -0.0859, -0.0912, -0.1275, -0.1151, -0.1077, -0.1077, -0.1072, -0.1045, -0.1149, -0.0465, -0.0446, -0.0364, -0.0593, -0.1323, -0.0758, -0.0444, -0.039, -0.0131, -0.0218, -0.0058, 0.0232, 0.0, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0065, 0.0124, 0.0364, 0.034, 0.0438, -0.054, -0.0136, -0.0544, -0.044, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0067, 0.0109, 0.0357, 0.0311, 0.0282, 0.0792, 0.0751, 0.092, 0.1143, 0.1109, 0.0983, 0.0787, 0.1189, 0.1205, 0.1491, 0.1424, 0.1305, 0.1477, 0.1458, 0.1163, 0.1625, 0.2538, 0.2991, 0.3184, 0.3528, 0.3219, 0.3529, 0.3341, 0.3098, 0.282, 0.2593, 0.1415, 0.1289, 0.1301, 0.1486, 0.1373, 0.164, 0.134, 0.1441, 0.1339, 0.1339, 0.1367, 0.1208, 0.1298, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1748, 0.2065, 0.1893, 0.2404, 0.2389, 0.232, 0.218, 0.2805, 0.3198, 0.2976, 0.3209, 0.2993, 0.2961, 0.2849, 0.2942, 0.32, 0.3383, 0.3535, 0.2523, 0.2991, 0.3182, 0.3282, 0.342, 0.2695, 0.2823, 0.3006, 0.2997, 0.2889, 0.2891, 0.314, 0.3134, 0.2698, 0.3059, 0.336, 0.3689, 0.3719, 0.4386, 0.4077, 0.4506, 0.4991, 0.3802, 0.3596, 0.2666, 0.2875, 0.4009, 0.3818, 0.3326, 0.2456, 0.2591, 0.2391, 0.2108, 0.197, 0.127, 0.1205, 0.174, 0.1834, 0.1995, 0.1995, 0.2189, 0.2119, 0.2351, 0.2741, 0.2874, 0.3152, 0.3132, 0.3158, 0.3597]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965226424782258468", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-09T01:31:06+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very bullish $SSEC & US Chinese ADRs: $BABA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Very bullish on China/Chinese ADRs: long SSEC, BABA, BIDU, JD, KWEB, FXI; all working well and staying focused on the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know I'm very bullish $SSEC &amp; US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU, $JD, $KWEB, $FXI.\n\nAll working really well. Very focused on this space.\n\nGet the trade before it happens. Join us. 😊🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04010880790233884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04010880790233884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0378022557646005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041508958198898105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001400150296559266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021550015362285624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021550015362285624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024440820658046647, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009585153840946159, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964861521339465, "ret_p1w": 0.10271930774976279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10271930774976279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08784993677320507, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07518317051719237, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536137232570423, "ret_p1m": 0.23127122782609777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23127122782609777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1933733435494065, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22648976307341484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464752682929, "ret_p3m": 0.07627471639964556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07627471639964556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01897919077107768, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058487149210761036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017787567188884523, "ret_p6m": -0.094017711380601, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.094017711380601, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1535713939689648, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08537373835271922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864397302788178, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23127122782609777, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1933733435494065, "alpha_c_stated": 0.22648976307341484, "price_path": [-0.2072, -0.2327, -0.2117, -0.218, -0.2285, -0.2285, -0.2317, -0.2312, -0.2046, -0.2213, -0.2255, -0.2245, -0.229, -0.2252, -0.2474, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2776, -0.2659, -0.2942, -0.2751, -0.2745, -0.2643, -0.2048, -0.2133, -0.2026, -0.1827, -0.1824, -0.1794, -0.1667, -0.1764, -0.184, -0.1696, -0.1886, -0.202, -0.1799, -0.2041, -0.2012, -0.2044, -0.1784, -0.1777, -0.1818, -0.1935, -0.1678, -0.1376, -0.1687, -0.1757, -0.1747, -0.1843, -0.1877, -0.1972, -0.1642, -0.1547, -0.1557, -0.1691, -0.1872, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0581, -0.0724, -0.11, -0.0783, -0.0401, 0.0, -0.0216, 0.0567, 0.0541, 0.0744, 0.1027, 0.1296, 0.1046, 0.1068, 0.1166, 0.1086, 0.1995, 0.1929, 0.1687, 0.223, 0.215, 0.2426, 0.2872, 0.2782, 0.2727, 0.2327, 0.2313, 0.1807, 0.081, 0.134, 0.1071, 0.1279, 0.1223, 0.1356, 0.1793, 0.133, 0.1275, 0.1686, 0.1876, 0.2199, 0.2014, 0.2235, 0.1824, 0.1586, 0.14, 0.1169, 0.1205, 0.1394, 0.1308, 0.1277, 0.0931, 0.0735, 0.0866, 0.0455, 0.0721, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.042, 0.0396, 0.0927, 0.0674, 0.0714, 0.0714, 0.0693, 0.1167, 0.0954, 0.0746, 0.0703, 0.0763, 0.075, 0.0602, 0.0797, 0.0666, 0.0583, 0.0203, 0.0149, -0.0001, 0.0015, 0.0183, 0.0262, 0.0281, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0349, 0.0094, 0.0018, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0587, 0.0623, 0.0258, -0.0024, 0.0501, 0.0262, 0.1306, 0.1354, 0.155, 0.162, 0.1244, 0.1244, 0.1039, 0.1466, 0.2045, 0.1776, 0.165, 0.1742, 0.1942, 0.1846, 0.1527, 0.1447, 0.1125, 0.0818, 0.0725, 0.1048, 0.1081, 0.132, 0.1171, 0.0791, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0566, 0.0589, 0.0487, 0.05, 0.0386, 0.0409, 0.0352, 0.0065, -0.0203, -0.0309, -0.0782, -0.094]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965226424782258468", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-09T01:31:06+00:00", "symbol": "BIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Very bullish on China/Chinese ADRs: long SSEC, BABA, BIDU, JD, KWEB, FXI; all working well and staying focused on the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know I'm very bullish $SSEC &amp; US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU, $JD, $KWEB, $FXI.\n\nAll working really well. Very focused on this space.\n\nGet the trade before it happens. Join us. 😊🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0016594478026190629, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0016594478026190629, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003965999940357401, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007288646446240943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00562919864362188, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008020676102066582, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008020676102066582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010911481397827605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006595035994720888, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007361172502594493, "ret_p1w": 0.1412372040418135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1412372040418135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12636783306525579, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11482338487229615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02641381916951735, "ret_p1m": 0.2713191882048591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2713191882048591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23342130392816784, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2668756459483004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004443542256558741, "ret_p3m": 0.15847701897255329, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15847701897255329, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10118149334398541, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1405633177814518, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017913701191101472, "ret_p6m": 0.09689316878355925, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09689316878355925, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03733948619519545, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06121117079506444, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03568199798849481, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2713191882048591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23342130392816784, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2668756459483004, "price_path": [-0.1905, -0.2072, -0.1956, -0.2071, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2291, -0.2235, -0.2009, -0.2012, -0.2029, -0.206, -0.2094, -0.2068, -0.2031, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1722, -0.1677, -0.1826, -0.1847, -0.1986, -0.2084, -0.1399, -0.2042, -0.1932, -0.1905, -0.1812, -0.1477, -0.1419, -0.1612, -0.1629, -0.1758, -0.1998, -0.2077, -0.1899, -0.206, -0.192, -0.2084, -0.1997, -0.1936, -0.1946, -0.2072, -0.1903, -0.1604, -0.182, -0.1717, -0.1691, -0.1789, -0.2001, -0.1923, -0.1702, -0.1525, -0.1474, -0.1716, -0.1613, -0.1214, -0.1214, -0.1123, -0.1113, -0.0946, -0.06, 0.0017, 0.0, -0.008, 0.0309, 0.0582, 0.0585, 0.1412, 0.2707, 0.2469, 0.2478, 0.2596, 0.1576, 0.2254, 0.2483, 0.2108, 0.2433, 0.2148, 0.2671, 0.2928, 0.3091, 0.3359, 0.2809, 0.2713, 0.2206, 0.1219, 0.159, 0.1057, 0.1209, 0.1145, 0.1064, 0.1258, 0.0984, 0.0789, 0.1107, 0.1317, 0.1861, 0.1692, 0.1764, 0.123, 0.1143, 0.1176, 0.1523, 0.137, 0.1712, 0.1612, 0.2199, 0.2165, 0.1887, 0.1123, 0.0694, 0.052, 0.0799, 0.0647, 0.0183, 0.0229, 0.099, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0776, 0.1036, 0.097, 0.0812, 0.0945, 0.1585, 0.199, 0.1426, 0.1623, 0.1829, 0.1525, 0.0955, 0.0999, 0.1017, 0.1108, 0.1415, 0.147, 0.1416, 0.1373, 0.1373, 0.1505, 0.1691, 0.2204, 0.2046, 0.2046, 0.3856, 0.3799, 0.3499, 0.3535, 0.3023, 0.3233, 0.4037, 0.3769, 0.3875, 0.3773, 0.3785, 0.3785, 0.3831, 0.4961, 0.4983, 0.4883, 0.4389, 0.4533, 0.4536, 0.4521, 0.4122, 0.3697, 0.3355, 0.2718, 0.2811, 0.3453, 0.3549, 0.3613, 0.3379, 0.2757, 0.2631, 0.2631, 0.2661, 0.271, 0.264, 0.2525, 0.2348, 0.232, 0.2229, 0.1538, 0.1472, 0.1391, 0.0944, 0.0969]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965226424782258468", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-09T01:31:06+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BABA, $BIDU, $JD", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Very bullish on China/Chinese ADRs: long SSEC, BABA, BIDU, JD, KWEB, FXI; all working well and staying focused on the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know I'm very bullish $SSEC &amp; US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU, $JD, $KWEB, $FXI.\n\nAll working really well. Very focused on this space.\n\nGet the trade before it happens. Join us. 😊🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03011520348696828, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03011520348696828, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02780865134922994, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031515353783527544, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001400150296559266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016238552378126325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016238552378126325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01912935767388735, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00427369085678686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964861521339465, "ret_p1w": 0.02480072150607393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02480072150607393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009931350529516214, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002735415726496493, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536137232570423, "ret_p1m": 0.032772327834555526, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.032772327834555526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005125556442135748, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027990863081872597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464752682929, "ret_p3m": -0.11721289351510022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11721289351510022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1745084191436681, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13500046070398475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017787567188884523, "ret_p6m": -0.2500738349302907, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2500738349302907, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30962751751865447, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2414298619024089, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864397302788178, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.032772327834555526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.005125556442135748, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027990863081872597, "price_path": [-0.0077, -0.0328, -0.0115, -0.0207, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0717, -0.0673, -0.0381, -0.0275, -0.018, -0.0236, -0.0363, -0.0345, -0.0413, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0546, -0.0345, -0.067, -0.0782, -0.0818, -0.0906, -0.054, -0.0658, -0.0348, 0.0015, -0.0139, 0.0003, 0.0018, -0.0118, -0.0204, -0.0192, -0.0487, -0.0626, -0.0703, -0.0874, -0.0664, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0626, -0.0703, -0.0794, -0.0517, -0.0402, -0.0676, -0.0641, -0.062, -0.0776, -0.0797, -0.0794, -0.0588, -0.0555, -0.0608, -0.0901, -0.1027, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0676, -0.0788, -0.0868, -0.0714, -0.0301, 0.0, -0.0162, 0.0156, -0.0059, -0.0074, 0.0248, 0.0404, 0.0446, 0.0363, 0.0018, -0.0275, 0.0283, 0.0384, 0.0186, 0.0523, 0.0328, 0.0679, 0.0623, 0.0452, 0.0602, 0.0301, 0.0328, 0.003, -0.0596, -0.0183, -0.0342, -0.0216, -0.0334, -0.0236, -0.0032, -0.0307, -0.0416, -0.0204, -0.0201, 0.0097, 0.0195, 0.0145, -0.0148, -0.0245, -0.0322, -0.0605, -0.054, -0.0567, -0.0614, -0.0726, -0.0667, -0.0774, -0.0933, -0.1346, -0.1278, -0.1305, -0.1475, -0.1618, -0.1459, -0.142, -0.1397, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1193, -0.1175, -0.1128, -0.1181, -0.1219, -0.1172, -0.1166, -0.1231, -0.1258, -0.1278, -0.1308, -0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1556, -0.1497, -0.1491, -0.1411, -0.1414, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.132, -0.1358, -0.1523, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1281, -0.1246, -0.1261, -0.1429, -0.124, -0.1305, -0.0927, -0.1178, -0.1193, -0.1317, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.1621, -0.1417, -0.1143, -0.119, -0.1208, -0.129, -0.137, -0.1417, -0.1591, -0.1577, -0.1721, -0.1866, -0.1934, -0.1712, -0.173, -0.163, -0.1653, -0.1875, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.1931, -0.1907, -0.1949, -0.1907, -0.196, -0.1875, -0.1869, -0.2034, -0.2167, -0.222, -0.243, -0.2501]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965226424782258468", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-09T01:31:06+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BIDU, $JD, $KWEB", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Very bullish on China/Chinese ADRs: long SSEC, BABA, BIDU, JD, KWEB, FXI; all working well and staying focused on the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know I'm very bullish $SSEC &amp; US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU, $JD, $KWEB, $FXI.\n\nAll working really well. Very focused on this space.\n\nGet the trade before it happens. Join us. 😊🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023267436908464667, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023267436908464667, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02096088477072633, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02096088477072633, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004002954170862827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004002954170862827, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00689375946662385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00689375946662385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "ret_p1w": 0.036527387136315204, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036527387136315204, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021658016159757487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021658016159757487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "ret_p1m": 0.058043544251709545, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.058043544251709545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02014565997501827, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02014565997501827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "ret_p3m": -0.059544626752418894, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.059544626752418894, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11684015238098677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11684015238098677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "ret_p6m": -0.20397584862041152, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20397584862041152, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2635295312087753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2635295312087753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.058043544251709545, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02014565997501827, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02014565997501827, "price_path": [-0.1281, -0.1494, -0.1286, -0.1399, -0.1506, -0.1506, -0.1669, -0.1581, -0.1326, -0.1386, -0.1409, -0.1374, -0.1411, -0.1409, -0.1516, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1526, -0.1371, -0.1489, -0.1479, -0.1529, -0.1424, -0.1083, -0.1161, -0.1066, -0.0938, -0.0971, -0.0891, -0.0728, -0.0846, -0.0916, -0.0993, -0.1053, -0.1211, -0.1133, -0.1369, -0.1178, -0.1118, -0.1003, -0.1028, -0.1036, -0.1121, -0.0913, -0.0585, -0.0838, -0.0701, -0.0615, -0.0708, -0.0706, -0.0643, -0.0398, -0.0365, -0.0363, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0448, -0.0448, -0.0438, -0.0428, -0.0508, -0.0383, -0.0233, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0193, 0.0165, 0.0243, 0.0365, 0.0655, 0.0498, 0.0438, 0.0368, 0.0163, 0.0398, 0.0428, 0.0275, 0.0495, 0.051, 0.0618, 0.0743, 0.0671, 0.0726, 0.0538, 0.058, 0.0343, -0.0388, -0.0028, -0.0205, -0.0078, -0.011, -0.012, 0.0098, -0.0005, -0.0128, 0.0075, 0.015, 0.0345, 0.0273, 0.0298, 0.0063, -0.0005, -0.0005, -0.023, -0.0155, -0.0118, -0.025, -0.0035, -0.0095, -0.0163, -0.029, -0.0433, -0.051, -0.0533, -0.0668, -0.0936, -0.0878, -0.0613, -0.0558, -0.0618, -0.0618, -0.06, -0.0495, -0.0593, -0.0708, -0.0713, -0.0595, -0.0608, -0.0728, -0.0696, -0.0741, -0.0771, -0.0928, -0.0956, -0.1031, -0.0946, -0.0868, -0.0774, -0.0821, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0755, -0.0851, -0.0872, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0543, -0.0325, -0.0354, -0.0572, -0.0466, -0.049, -0.0004, -0.02, -0.0227, -0.0344, -0.0521, -0.0521, -0.0718, -0.0556, -0.0474, -0.0471, -0.0492, -0.0471, -0.0421, -0.0368, -0.0609, -0.0691, -0.0864, -0.1129, -0.1143, -0.0893, -0.0885, -0.0893, -0.0949, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.1315, -0.127, -0.1307, -0.132, -0.1432, -0.144, -0.1443, -0.165, -0.1756, -0.1865, -0.2088, -0.204]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965226424782258468", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-09T01:31:06+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$KWEB, $FXI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Very bullish on China/Chinese ADRs: long SSEC, BABA, BIDU, JD, KWEB, FXI; all working well and staying focused on the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Clients know I'm very bullish $SSEC &amp; US Chinese ADRs: $BABA, $BIDU, $JD, $KWEB, $FXI.\n\nAll working really well. Very focused on this space.\n\nGet the trade before it happens. Join us. 😊🔥", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01326003464379788, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01326003464379788, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010953482506059542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010953482506059542, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002306552137738338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006254681971938014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006254681971938014, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009145487267699037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009145487267699037, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002890805295761023, "ret_p1w": 0.027020257222568844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027020257222568844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012150886246011128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012150886246011128, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014869370976557716, "ret_p1m": 0.027020257222568844, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027020257222568844, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01087762705412243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01087762705412243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037897884276691274, "ret_p3m": -0.0020015293348171204, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0020015293348171204, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.059297054963385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.059297054963385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05729552562856788, "ret_p6m": -0.08423685813548487, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08423685813548487, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14379054072384867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14379054072384867, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0595536825883638, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027020257222568844, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01087762705412243, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01087762705412243, "price_path": [-0.0808, -0.0975, -0.0826, -0.0933, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1113, -0.0973, -0.0718, -0.0728, -0.0703, -0.0791, -0.0803, -0.0786, -0.0821, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0916, -0.0821, -0.0948, -0.0863, -0.0873, -0.0766, -0.0583, -0.0625, -0.0595, -0.0478, -0.044, -0.0308, -0.0223, -0.0268, -0.033, -0.0373, -0.0438, -0.0548, -0.0633, -0.0786, -0.0625, -0.0583, -0.0545, -0.0558, -0.0575, -0.066, -0.0508, -0.022, -0.0408, -0.0408, -0.0348, -0.0438, -0.0385, -0.04, -0.0183, -0.0208, -0.0188, -0.0438, -0.0353, -0.0265, -0.0265, -0.0178, -0.0265, -0.041, -0.0268, -0.0133, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0193, 0.013, 0.0203, 0.027, 0.0413, 0.0278, 0.024, 0.017, 0.0033, 0.015, 0.0175, 0.009, 0.0253, 0.0293, 0.0353, 0.0445, 0.0363, 0.0358, 0.024, 0.027, 0.0135, -0.041, -0.011, -0.0143, -0.0043, 0.0005, 0.0008, 0.013, -0.0008, -0.0058, 0.011, 0.0145, 0.0278, 0.0223, 0.025, 0.0045, -0.0065, -0.0035, -0.015, -0.005, 0.0043, -0.0008, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0235, 0.017, 0.0038, -0.0075, -0.0115, -0.0215, -0.0348, -0.0313, -0.0155, -0.0093, -0.015, -0.015, -0.011, -0.0083, -0.012, -0.019, -0.0165, -0.002, -0.0125, -0.0288, -0.022, -0.0195, -0.0223, -0.0308, -0.04, -0.0428, -0.0337, -0.0238, -0.023, -0.0256, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0154, -0.0271, -0.022, -0.0316, -0.0316, 0.0071, 0.0098, 0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0036, -0.0048, 0.0278, 0.0179, 0.0126, 0.0116, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0015, -0.0025, -0.0023, 0.0101, 0.0243, 0.0313, 0.0018, -0.0094, -0.0208, -0.0321, -0.0339, -0.0081, -0.0036, -0.0003, -0.0018, -0.0223, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.0258, -0.0208, -0.0235, -0.0185, -0.0218, -0.0296, -0.0283, -0.0544, -0.0572, -0.0668, -0.088, -0.0842]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1963661928489742699", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T17:54:21+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for Gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Widening trade deficit bullish for gold, bearish for USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice reminder on trade balance going the wrong way. \n\nIt is however very good for Gold but not for US dollar.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Last month, Bessent highlighted a narrowing U.S. trade deficit and credited tariffs for the improvement. 📉 But July's data shows a sharp reversal: \n\nDeficit widened to -$78.3B from June's -$60.2B, exceeding forecasts of -$75.7B. What will he say now? #TradeDeficit #Tariffs https://t.co/rY0VZNBjpu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007684082665474934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007684082665474934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01597213761406524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01597213761406524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288054948590307, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008288054948590307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01329292211977151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01329292211977151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016189116225621025, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016189116225621025, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028961941058495144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028961941058495144, "ret_p1w": 0.01993938317965749, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01993938317965749, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006829123214293187, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006829123214293187, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013110259965364301, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013110259965364301, "ret_p1m": 0.0883392214051717, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0883392214051717, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05453121291129159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05453121291129159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033808008493880104, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033808008493880104, "ret_p3m": 0.17409839035482277, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17409839035482277, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12125834423475701, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12125834423475701, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052840046120065765, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052840046120065765, "ret_p6m": 0.4668517382849233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4668517382849233, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4039904270421686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4039904270421686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06286131124275474, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06286131124275474, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0883392214051717, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05453121291129159, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05453121291129159, "price_path": [-0.0655, -0.0687, -0.0686, -0.0519, -0.0377, -0.0475, -0.0503, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0554, -0.0528, -0.0697, -0.0669, -0.0651, -0.0819, -0.0761, -0.0642, -0.0611, -0.0657, -0.0654, -0.0655, -0.0726, -0.0713, -0.0697, -0.0588, -0.0601, -0.0662, -0.0598, -0.0633, -0.0597, -0.046, -0.0355, -0.0482, -0.0546, -0.065, -0.072, -0.068, -0.0757, -0.0764, -0.0612, -0.0537, -0.0516, -0.0521, -0.0464, -0.0355, -0.0596, -0.0608, -0.0581, -0.0647, -0.0644, -0.0657, -0.0708, -0.0624, -0.0642, -0.0537, -0.0538, -0.0497, -0.0452, -0.0376, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.0046, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.0133, 0.0203, 0.0217, 0.0218, 0.0199, 0.0234, 0.0326, 0.0345, 0.0325, 0.0218, 0.0296, 0.049, 0.0602, 0.0466, 0.048, 0.0588, 0.0715, 0.0771, 0.0846, 0.0768, 0.0883, 0.1073, 0.1152, 0.1339, 0.1067, 0.115, 0.1522, 0.1607, 0.1714, 0.2003, 0.175, 0.2161, 0.1464, 0.1342, 0.157, 0.155, 0.1223, 0.1123, 0.1172, 0.1221, 0.1168, 0.1219, 0.1071, 0.1162, 0.1161, 0.1216, 0.1531, 0.1517, 0.1791, 0.1742, 0.1463, 0.1409, 0.139, 0.1436, 0.1376, 0.1433, 0.1475, 0.1608, 0.1681, 0.1681, 0.183, 0.1889, 0.1741, 0.1777, 0.1812, 0.1815, 0.1743, 0.1797, 0.1768, 0.2018, 0.2059, 0.2078, 0.2072, 0.2192, 0.217, 0.2231, 0.2465, 0.2572, 0.2565, 0.2565, 0.2701, 0.2129, 0.2256, 0.2131, 0.2131, 0.2099, 0.2443, 0.257, 0.2478, 0.2479, 0.2593, 0.2912, 0.287, 0.2974, 0.2946, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.3348, 0.355, 0.3766, 0.3955, 0.4246, 0.4246, 0.4868, 0.4915, 0.322, 0.2963, 0.3752, 0.3799, 0.3633, 0.3885, 0.4165, 0.4033, 0.4223, 0.3808, 0.4084, 0.4084, 0.3694, 0.3984, 0.3955, 0.4188, 0.4596, 0.4459, 0.4601, 0.4517, 0.4669]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pushed firmly above 250 target given last week on way to ATH at 260", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. AAPL & TSLA making the day.”\n\n* AAPL - pushed firmly above 250 target given last week on way to ATH at 260.\n* TSLA - pushed firmly higher (Must-Trump at Charlie Kirk memorial shaking hands helped)… still have 480 in view.\n* ASML - fast approaching my $1K PT from 800 given 2 wks ago as semis still hot.\n* XHB - fell back on cue at 120 into 110; you know I don't trust it because I see recession risk & rising yields\n* UBER - my “if 80 then 100” just needs to stay above 100 nowto continue to hit blue skies.\n* VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks. \n👇\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\n*⃣ Best-of-breed MACRO analysis\n*⃣ Get-the-trade-before-it-happens MICRO\n*⃣ OPTIONS Mastery courses, mentoring & custom trade support", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006485003414568258, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006485003414568258, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010117392115385204, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022224744080314718, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00870747782259973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008332448743135101, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008332448743135101, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005150784512267692, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002158782098200529, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006173666644934572, "ret_p1w": 0.0007860573749713939, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007860573749713939, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0036920088323730837, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0050665419110140775, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005852599285985471, "ret_p1m": 0.01579999380536279, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01579999380536279, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008879261673690353, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0030066905549546163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018806684360317405, "ret_p3m": 0.07666272635610683, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07666272635610683, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04742459797788512, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04461638170252824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032046344653578585, "ret_p6m": -0.015774914545579777, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.015774914545579777, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0160377952842069, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0019233697583759257, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013851544787203851, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01579999380536279, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008879261673690353, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0030066905549546163, "price_path": [-0.2109, -0.2106, -0.1945, -0.1841, -0.166, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.1758, -0.1755, -0.1711, -0.1661, -0.171, -0.181, -0.1791, -0.1749, -0.1755, -0.1709, -0.1658, -0.1583, -0.1593, -0.1608, -0.1603, -0.1597, -0.1706, -0.1793, -0.1851, -0.2055, -0.2017, -0.2034, -0.1628, -0.1362, -0.0996, -0.1071, -0.0974, -0.0829, -0.0851, -0.0898, -0.0925, -0.0938, -0.1117, -0.1161, -0.1048, -0.1072, -0.0987, -0.0941, -0.086, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0971, -0.0627, -0.0576, -0.0579, -0.065, -0.0789, -0.1086, -0.0959, -0.08, -0.0697, -0.064, -0.0607, -0.065, -0.0351, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0096, 0.004, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.004, 0.0106, 0.0141, 0.0089, 0.0081, 0.0143, -0.0015, -0.036, -0.0266, -0.0262, -0.02, -0.0274, -0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0328, 0.0158, 0.0202, 0.033, 0.0565, 0.0573, 0.06, 0.0667, 0.0626, 0.0575, 0.0614, 0.0617, 0.0603, 0.0552, 0.06, 0.0829, 0.0759, 0.0738, 0.0717, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0566, 0.0475, 0.0681, 0.0855, 0.0896, 0.0919, 0.0919, 0.097, 0.1138, 0.1259, 0.1179, 0.1043, 0.0968, 0.0933, 0.0905, 0.0968, 0.0938, 0.0948, 0.0784, 0.0804, 0.0695, 0.0708, 0.0767, 0.066, 0.0715, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0756, 0.077, 0.0743, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0662, 0.0514, 0.0322, 0.0242, 0.0191, 0.0204, 0.0239, 0.027, 0.0227, 0.0158, 0.0053, 0.0053, -0.0294, -0.0257, -0.023, -0.0242, 0.0048, 0.0161, 0.0089, 0.0161, 0.0208, 0.0623, 0.0602, 0.0878, 0.0855, 0.0942, 0.0814, 0.0777, 0.0849, 0.0307, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0391, 0.041, 0.0261, 0.0419, 0.0482, 0.0716, 0.0799, 0.0748, 0.0403, 0.0424, 0.0386, 0.0338, 0.025, 0.0138, 0.0234, 0.0271, 0.027, 0.0071, -0.0151, -0.0044, 0.0011, -0.0158]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still have 480 in view", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. AAPL & TSLA making the day.”\n\n* AAPL - pushed firmly above 250 target given last week on way to ATH at 260.\n* TSLA - pushed firmly higher (Must-Trump at Charlie Kirk memorial shaking hands helped)… still have 480 in view.\n* ASML - fast approaching my $1K PT from 800 given 2 wks ago as semis still hot.\n* XHB - fell back on cue at 120 into 110; you know I don't trust it because I see recession risk & rising yields\n* UBER - my “if 80 then 100” just needs to stay above 100 nowto continue to hit blue skies.\n* VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks. \n👇\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\n*⃣ Best-of-breed MACRO analysis\n*⃣ Get-the-trade-before-it-happens MICRO\n*⃣ OPTIONS Mastery courses, mentoring & custom trade support", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019631290904643883, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019631290904643883, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014158026701614146, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010132239148549438, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009499051756094445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03977927016229388, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03977927016229388, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04296093439316129, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032717971166338344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007061298995955534, "ret_p1w": 0.044311365144375614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.044311365144375614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039833298937031136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037082007438365316, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007229357706010298, "ret_p1m": 0.03080895838709541, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03080895838709541, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023888226255422973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.033414769857289084, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002605811470193675, "ret_p3m": 0.1299753559004555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1299753559004555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1007372275222338, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10568140692192074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024293948978534763, "ret_p6m": -0.07765646788832048, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07765646788832048, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0779193486269476, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.008970615527704062, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06868585236061642, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03080895838709541, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023888226255422973, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033414769857289084, "price_path": [-0.235, -0.24, -0.2541, -0.2939, -0.2588, -0.2595, -0.2595, -0.3098, -0.3007, -0.3052, -0.2723, -0.2638, -0.2558, -0.2702, -0.2446, -0.2499, -0.2259, -0.2286, -0.2201, -0.2191, -0.2831, -0.2578, -0.2354, -0.2457, -0.2508, -0.2761, -0.2894, -0.2738, -0.275, -0.2488, -0.2432, -0.2259, -0.2039, -0.1996, -0.2031, -0.212, -0.2238, -0.213, -0.2267, -0.2394, -0.2483, -0.2016, -0.1861, -0.1742, -0.1791, -0.1876, -0.216, -0.216, -0.2266, -0.2155, -0.205, -0.1761, -0.1866, -0.1852, -0.1833, -0.1339, -0.0702, -0.0371, -0.0099, 0.0, -0.0211, 0.0005, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0398, -0.0058, 0.0342, 0.0408, 0.0443, 0.0789, 0.0238, 0.0093, 0.0643, 0.017, 0.0302, 0.0228, -0.029, 0.0236, 0.008, 0.0218, 0.0068, 0.0316, 0.0507, 0.0393, 0.0308, 0.0543, 0.0185, 0.0624, 0.0815, 0.0837, 0.0335, 0.0721, 0.0998, 0.0432, 0.0851, 0.0471, 0.0086, 0.0455, 0.0323, 0.0112, -0.056, -0.0505, -0.0398, -0.0578, -0.0513, -0.0719, -0.0816, -0.019, -0.0151, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.008, 0.0491, 0.0673, 0.0685, 0.0322, 0.0454, 0.0601, 0.0494, 0.0778, 0.1161, 0.1504, 0.0972, 0.1351, 0.13, 0.1477, 0.1402, 0.1398, 0.1398, 0.1159, 0.0793, 0.0671, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0287, 0.0606, 0.0167, 0.0131, 0.0234, 0.045, 0.0543, 0.0501, 0.0313, 0.0299, 0.0274, 0.0274, -0.0155, 0.0131, 0.0552, 0.0545, 0.022, 0.0119, 0.0132, -0.0218, 0.0107, -0.0095, -0.0091, -0.0466, -0.0673, -0.0346, -0.02, -0.0015, 0.0057, -0.0206, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0357, -0.0341, -0.0332, -0.0329, -0.0611, -0.0387, -0.0198, -0.0406, -0.0548, -0.0529, -0.0785, -0.0468, -0.0477, -0.0684, -0.0638, -0.0625, -0.0423, -0.0724, -0.0814, -0.0711, -0.0624, -0.0777]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "ASML", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fast approaching my $1K PT from 800 given 2 wks ago as semis still hot", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASML"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. AAPL & TSLA making the day.”\n\n* AAPL - pushed firmly above 250 target given last week on way to ATH at 260.\n* TSLA - pushed firmly higher (Must-Trump at Charlie Kirk memorial shaking hands helped)… still have 480 in view.\n* ASML - fast approaching my $1K PT from 800 given 2 wks ago as semis still hot.\n* XHB - fell back on cue at 120 into 110; you know I don't trust it because I see recession risk & rising yields\n* UBER - my “if 80 then 100” just needs to stay above 100 nowto continue to hit blue skies.\n* VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks. \n👇\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\n*⃣ Best-of-breed MACRO analysis\n*⃣ Get-the-trade-before-it-happens MICRO\n*⃣ OPTIONS Mastery courses, mentoring & custom trade support", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005926269617661628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005926269617661628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011399533820691365, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007387240252941574, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014609706352799456, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01719752357698301, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01719752357698301, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0140158593461156, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01536343590523237, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0018340876717506394, "ret_p1w": 0.004753510016122231, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004753510016122231, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0002754438087777533, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009731919149830404, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014485429165952635, "ret_p1m": 0.04988017359338426, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04988017359338426, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04295944146171182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002653201635127278, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052533375228511536, "ret_p3m": 0.09795809536861211, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09795809536861211, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0687199669903904, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009377903231413853, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10733599860002596, "ret_p6m": 0.41084686730985465, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41084686730985465, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4105839865712275, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18332141165934868, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22752545565050597, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04988017359338426, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04295944146171182, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002653201635127278, "price_path": [-0.1738, -0.176, -0.1704, -0.1817, -0.1722, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1872, -0.1779, -0.172, -0.1696, -0.1698, -0.1648, -0.148, -0.219, -0.2288, -0.2395, -0.255, -0.2697, -0.2578, -0.2494, -0.2637, -0.2443, -0.2543, -0.2512, -0.279, -0.2841, -0.2742, -0.2843, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2503, -0.2514, -0.2301, -0.2158, -0.2162, -0.2297, -0.2241, -0.2282, -0.2221, -0.2367, -0.2165, -0.217, -0.2079, -0.2008, -0.2076, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.2467, -0.2353, -0.218, -0.1887, -0.1736, -0.1644, -0.1768, -0.1654, -0.1553, -0.0999, -0.0883, -0.0947, -0.0371, -0.0325, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0145, -0.0124, -0.0009, 0.0048, 0.0413, 0.0692, 0.0713, 0.0828, 0.0403, 0.0252, 0.0177, -0.0284, 0.022, 0.0204, 0.0481, 0.0582, 0.0683, 0.0816, 0.0638, 0.0499, 0.0757, 0.0722, 0.1001, 0.0923, 0.1134, 0.1182, 0.1013, 0.1092, 0.0711, 0.0852, 0.0701, 0.0573, 0.08, 0.063, 0.0785, 0.0604, 0.047, 0.0605, 0.0439, 0.0806, 0.02, 0.005, 0.027, 0.0431, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.1021, 0.1312, 0.1528, 0.1862, 0.1542, 0.1431, 0.1642, 0.1556, 0.1638, 0.1674, 0.1238, 0.131, 0.1188, 0.0558, 0.0775, 0.098, 0.099, 0.104, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1154, 0.1083, 0.1147, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.21, 0.277, 0.2915, 0.2773, 0.2418, 0.3245, 0.3321, 0.3206, 0.3139, 0.3845, 0.4125, 0.4125, 0.3787, 0.4141, 0.4504, 0.4442, 0.4695, 0.5124, 0.4794, 0.5129, 0.4795, 0.4986, 0.4513, 0.3923, 0.4038, 0.4691, 0.4863, 0.4717, 0.4946, 0.4647, 0.4644, 0.4644, 0.4781, 0.5291, 0.5189, 0.53, 0.547, 0.5593, 0.5892, 0.5239, 0.5102, 0.482, 0.4169, 0.4569, 0.4246, 0.3459, 0.4132, 0.4402, 0.4437, 0.4071, 0.401, 0.4321, 0.4462, 0.4108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my 'if 80 then 100' just needs to stay above 100 now to continue to hit blue skies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. AAPL & TSLA making the day.”\n\n* AAPL - pushed firmly above 250 target given last week on way to ATH at 260.\n* TSLA - pushed firmly higher (Must-Trump at Charlie Kirk memorial shaking hands helped)… still have 480 in view.\n* ASML - fast approaching my $1K PT from 800 given 2 wks ago as semis still hot.\n* XHB - fell back on cue at 120 into 110; you know I don't trust it because I see recession risk & rising yields\n* UBER - my “if 80 then 100” just needs to stay above 100 nowto continue to hit blue skies.\n* VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks. \n👇\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE\n\n*⃣ Best-of-breed MACRO analysis\n*⃣ Get-the-trade-before-it-happens MICRO\n*⃣ OPTIONS Mastery courses, mentoring & custom trade support", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016257630759471065, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016257630759471065, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010784366556441327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010784366556441327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00020454265681724149, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00020454265681724149, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0029771215740501678, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029771215740501678, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "ret_p1w": 0.0017382225321131983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017382225321131983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0027398436752312794, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0027398436752312794, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "ret_p1m": -0.05715750299442024, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05715750299442024, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06407823512609268, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06407823512609268, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "ret_p3m": -0.18905935497137727, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18905935497137727, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21829748334959898, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21829748334959898, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "ret_p6m": -0.21615540623716245, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21615540623716245, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21641828697578958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21641828697578958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05715750299442024, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06407823512609268, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06407823512609268, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0641, -0.046, -0.058, -0.0588, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0115, -0.0033, -0.0119, -0.0143, -0.0246, -0.04, -0.0572, -0.0721, -0.0746, -0.0737, -0.0679, -0.0615, -0.0804, -0.0709, -0.0666, -0.0736, -0.1093, -0.1039, -0.1028, -0.1113, -0.0958, -0.086, -0.0877, -0.0525, -0.0843, -0.0738, -0.0621, -0.0713, -0.0654, -0.0532, -0.0391, -0.0254, -0.0416, -0.0365, -0.0103, -0.027, -0.013, -0.0253, -0.0188, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.051, -0.0497, -0.0595, -0.0696, -0.0352, -0.024, -0.0367, -0.0319, -0.0195, 0.0107, 0.0003, -0.0496, -0.0317, 0.0073, 0.0163, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.002, 0.0066, 0.0181, 0.0017, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0123, 0.0235, 0.0, 0.0151, -0.0184, -0.045, -0.038, -0.0363, -0.0335, -0.054, -0.0562, -0.0419, -0.0488, -0.0572, -0.0326, -0.0381, -0.0141, -0.0242, -0.0209, -0.0134, -0.0133, 0.0196, -0.032, -0.0516, -0.0581, -0.0594, -0.0378, -0.0429, -0.0433, -0.0616, -0.0632, -0.0582, -0.071, -0.0846, -0.1476, -0.1424, -0.1443, -0.1443, -0.1241, -0.1241, -0.1049, -0.1148, -0.1046, -0.0728, -0.0696, -0.0663, -0.0535, -0.0893, -0.1395, -0.1264, -0.1298, -0.163, -0.1726, -0.1908, -0.1852, -0.1891, -0.1691, -0.1721, -0.1702, -0.1702, -0.1691, -0.1667, -0.1603, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1528, -0.1744, -0.1254, -0.1187, -0.1044, -0.1264, -0.1343, -0.1267, -0.1345, -0.1372, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.144, -0.1384, -0.1558, -0.1584, -0.1618, -0.1693, -0.1843, -0.1646, -0.1815, -0.1734, -0.2032, -0.2442, -0.231, -0.2355, -0.2443, -0.2485, -0.2739, -0.2718, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2788, -0.2559, -0.2542, -0.2448, -0.2769, -0.2701, -0.2553, -0.2352, -0.2288, -0.2234, -0.2192, -0.2163, -0.2286, -0.2318, -0.245, -0.2601, -0.2334, -0.2539, -0.2502, -0.2366, -0.2046, -0.2162]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "VRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1970472970570117220", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-23T12:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "VRT & CEG - working nicely higher as posted last few weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAPL to ATH $260, TSLA to $480, ASML to $1K; bearish XHB on recession/yield risk; long UBER above $100, VRT, and CEG.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Monday's Live Trading Room Review:\n\n“Growth Rotation still in play. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1974158330718540226", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-03T17:03:18+00:00", "symbol": "UFO", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defense/space tech is a sector that continues its rocket launch from my theme of US Government as Venture Capitalist & Whale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish defense/space tech names ASTS, RKLB, UFO on US government as VC/whale theme continuing to drive the sector higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["UFO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Defense/space tech is a sector that continues its rocket launch from my theme of US Government as Venture Capitalist &amp; Whale.\n\n$ASTS $RKLB $UFO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017772971979017504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017772971979017504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017787685642843054, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017787685642843054, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02496085017333849, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02496085017333849, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021374670497064763, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021374670497064763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": 0.0007841957621248508, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007841957621248508, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02497704554683633, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02497704554683633, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.037898531244409894, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.037898531244409894, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05901282275482822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05901282275482822, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114291510418326, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114291510418326, "ret_p3m": 0.012535539648006244, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012535539648006244, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009467916959468026, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009467916959468026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": 0.11339608631649845, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11339608631649845, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1636667901427683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1636667901427683, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.037898531244409894, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05901282275482822, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05901282275482822, "price_path": [-0.2167, -0.2177, -0.2122, -0.2229, -0.2141, -0.2128, -0.2036, -0.1775, -0.1792, -0.1929, -0.1983, -0.1741, -0.19, -0.1973, -0.2107, -0.2228, -0.2172, -0.2248, -0.2301, -0.2126, -0.2082, -0.1897, -0.2099, -0.2123, -0.2135, -0.2014, -0.191, -0.1982, -0.1981, -0.1942, -0.2215, -0.2235, -0.2205, -0.1955, -0.1907, -0.1375, -0.1203, -0.12, -0.1142, -0.1142, -0.1179, -0.1383, -0.1324, -0.1251, -0.0899, -0.0961, -0.1179, -0.102, -0.1033, -0.0873, -0.1014, -0.0923, -0.0996, -0.0873, -0.0659, -0.0574, -0.0734, -0.0902, -0.0834, -0.0708, -0.0676, -0.0533, -0.0178, 0.0, 0.025, 0.0199, 0.0507, 0.0531, 0.0008, 0.0298, 0.0502, 0.0528, 0.0152, -0.006, 0.0144, 0.0034, -0.0327, -0.011, 0.0042, 0.0102, -0.0063, -0.0133, -0.0267, -0.0149, -0.0379, -0.0687, -0.0619, -0.1095, -0.1004, -0.0889, -0.0936, -0.0989, -0.1264, -0.1252, -0.1515, -0.1458, -0.1461, -0.1781, -0.1703, -0.1531, -0.1458, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.1282, -0.1511, -0.1392, -0.1157, -0.0753, -0.0659, -0.0581, -0.051, -0.0159, 0.028, 0.007, -0.023, -0.036, -0.0727, -0.0523, 0.0076, 0.0591, 0.0494, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.017, 0.0183, 0.0209, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0563, 0.0877, 0.1231, 0.0998, 0.127, 0.1495, 0.181, 0.1661, 0.1988, 0.2048, 0.2407, 0.2407, 0.2114, 0.1983, 0.2274, 0.23, 0.1862, 0.2384, 0.2614, 0.2344, 0.1904, 0.1663, 0.1949, 0.1391, 0.1032, 0.1519, 0.1928, 0.1668, 0.1401, 0.1171, 0.1406, 0.1406, 0.1454, 0.1738, 0.1854, 0.1697, 0.1564, 0.1747, 0.1629, 0.1778, 0.165, 0.2098, 0.1891, 0.2166, 0.1763, 0.1661, 0.1849, 0.1883, 0.1896, 0.1723, 0.1695, 0.197, 0.2255, 0.192, 0.208, 0.1883, 0.2208, 0.1972, 0.2554, 0.2001, 0.1569, 0.1134]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969423622155489733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "Crude Oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new lower range for crude oil in the $60-40 based on FALLING GLOBAL DEMAND", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short crude oil ($60-40 range on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher UST yields ahead, and weaker USD from fiscal dominance / stealth QE.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when 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{"unit_id": "quote:1969423622155489733", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short crude oil ($60-40 range on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher UST yields ahead, and weaker USD from fiscal dominance / stealth QE.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new lower 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{"unit_id": "quote:1969423622155489733", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short crude oil ($60-40 range on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher UST yields ahead, and weaker USD from fiscal dominance / stealth QE.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new 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{"unit_id": "quote:1958125421284688172", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-20T11:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered $PLTR $MSFT $SMH", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short PLTR, MSFT, SMH; bearish NVDA earnings; growth scare + stagflation risk drives shorts, SPX $6666 target viewed skeptically amid macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market has been pricing in rate cuts. But now: growth scare.\n\nAnd exactly when my Growth: Value Ratio hit resistance last Thursday 😉🎯\n\nCHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered \n\n$PLTR $MSFT $SMH \n\nBut it’s a dance:\n\n1. Powell trapped at Jackson Hole (stagflation)\n2. NVDA earnings risk disappointment\n3. NFP, if allowed, warns\n\nAfter all that, market is still hell-bent on $SPX $6666", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨This is INSANE:\n\nThe BLS is set to revise DOWN US job numbers by 550,000-950,000 for 12 months ending March 2025 on September 9, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.\n\nThat’d be the biggest 12-month downward revision in 15 YEARS. \n\nTotal cut over 2 years would reach 1.5M jobs. https://t.co/6S2KDLypQN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01115316681257772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01115316681257772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008489007120052738, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008489007120052738, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001089662040452577, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001089662040452577, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005101375136333242, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005101375136333242, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "ret_p1w": 0.004551033516228209, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004551033516228209, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008801002189778417, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008801002189778417, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "ret_p1m": 0.13435040992164615, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13435040992164615, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0965042168857333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0965042168857333, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "ret_p3m": 0.09768608441618976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09768608441618976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05160380048821578, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05160380048821578, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "ret_p6m": -0.17229658720900498, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17229658720900498, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2460573898069378, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2460573898069378, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13435040992164615, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0965042168857333, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0965042168857333, "price_path": [-0.2096, -0.2096, -0.2091, -0.2067, -0.2159, -0.1553, -0.1536, -0.1464, -0.1667, -0.2314, -0.1813, -0.1535, -0.1487, -0.1258, -0.1335, -0.1193, -0.0936, -0.1142, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.1199, -0.1031, -0.0819, -0.084, -0.0754, -0.162, -0.1262, -0.1624, -0.1531, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1083, -0.1045, -0.0826, -0.0866, -0.0892, -0.044, -0.0476, -0.0327, -0.0129, -0.016, -0.027, -0.0445, -0.0088, -0.0074, 0.0179, 0.012, 0.0015, 0.0167, 0.015, -0.0112, 0.0298, 0.1106, 0.1508, 0.1679, 0.1984, 0.171, 0.1984, 0.1818, 0.1603, 0.1356, 0.1155, 0.0112, 0.0, 0.0011, 0.0175, 0.0074, 0.0312, 0.0046, 0.0135, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0069, -0.0071, 0.0008, -0.0186, 0.0006, 0.0407, 0.0688, 0.0535, 0.0988, 0.0974, 0.0913, 0.079, 0.1344, 0.1691, 0.1495, 0.1701, 0.151, 0.1481, 0.1382, 0.1465, 0.1693, 0.1855, 0.199, 0.1094, 0.1508, 0.1677, 0.1766, 0.1888, 0.1245, 0.1359, 0.1521, 0.1513, 0.1417, 0.1419, 0.164, 0.1635, 0.1249, 0.1568, 0.1834, 0.2126, 0.2153, 0.2743, 0.247, 0.285, 0.328, 0.2226, 0.2044, 0.122, 0.1405, 0.241, 0.224, 0.1805, 0.1034, 0.1154, 0.0977, 0.0726, 0.0603, -0.0017, -0.0074, 0.04, 0.0483, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.0797, 0.0736, 0.0941, 0.1286, 0.1404, 0.1651, 0.1633, 0.1656, 0.2045, 0.2021, 0.1767, 0.1746, 0.2034, 0.1364, 0.1902, 0.2395, 0.2434, 0.2443, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2096, 0.1806, 0.1592, 0.1394, 0.1394, 0.076, 0.1156, 0.1519, 0.1645, 0.1336, 0.1377, 0.15, 0.1471, 0.1435, 0.135, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0803, 0.0597, 0.0634, 0.0871, 0.0735, 0.0621, 0.0086, -0.0266, -0.0604, -0.0529, 0.012, -0.1056, -0.1667, -0.1289, -0.084, -0.1058, -0.1303, -0.1723]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1958125421284688172", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-20T11:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered $PLTR $MSFT $SMH", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short PLTR, MSFT, SMH; bearish NVDA earnings; growth scare + stagflation risk drives shorts, SPX $6666 target viewed skeptically amid macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market has been pricing in rate cuts. But now: growth scare.\n\nAnd exactly when my Growth: Value Ratio hit resistance last Thursday 😉🎯\n\nCHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered \n\n$PLTR $MSFT $SMH \n\nBut it’s a dance:\n\n1. Powell trapped at Jackson Hole (stagflation)\n2. NVDA earnings risk disappointment\n3. NFP, if allowed, warns\n\nAfter all that, market is still hell-bent on $SPX $6666", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨This is INSANE:\n\nThe BLS is set to revise DOWN US job numbers by 550,000-950,000 for 12 months ending March 2025 on September 9, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.\n\nThat’d be the biggest 12-month downward revision in 15 YEARS. \n\nTotal cut over 2 years would reach 1.5M jobs. https://t.co/6S2KDLypQN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008008337166943491, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008008337166943491, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00534417747441851, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00534417747441851, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012874604237913534, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012874604237913534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002724252672089311, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002724252672089311, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "ret_p1w": 0.00366414667243542, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00366414667243542, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009687889033571206, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009687889033571206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "ret_p1m": 0.007050983882900486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007050983882900486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03079520915301237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03079520915301237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "ret_p3m": 0.0051495375610770555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0051495375610770555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04093274636689692, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04093274636689692, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "ret_p6m": -0.20261431229473614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20261431229473614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27637511489266897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27637511489266897, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007050983882900486, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03079520915301237, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03079520915301237, "price_path": [-0.1098, -0.1098, -0.089, -0.0956, -0.093, -0.0897, -0.0865, -0.0845, -0.0828, -0.0752, -0.0699, -0.0652, -0.0688, -0.0655, -0.0531, -0.0608, -0.0526, -0.0547, -0.0504, -0.0504, -0.056, -0.039, -0.0309, -0.0266, -0.0164, -0.0193, -0.0164, -0.027, -0.0289, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0158, -0.018, -0.0044, -0.0084, -0.0047, -0.0053, 0.0002, -0.0002, 0.0118, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0009, 0.0003, 0.0102, 0.0158, 0.0134, 0.0135, 0.0149, 0.0549, 0.0364, 0.0592, 0.0436, 0.038, 0.0299, 0.0323, 0.0317, 0.0465, 0.0294, 0.0331, 0.0286, 0.0225, 0.008, 0.0, -0.0013, 0.0046, -0.0012, -0.0056, 0.0037, 0.0094, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0005, 0.0009, 0.0061, -0.0196, -0.0133, -0.0128, -0.009, -0.0077, 0.0099, 0.0207, 0.0082, 0.0102, 0.0071, 0.0258, 0.0189, 0.0086, 0.0104, 0.0042, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0259, 0.0294, 0.0215, 0.0247, 0.0469, 0.0378, 0.0395, 0.0347, 0.012, 0.0181, 0.0172, 0.0169, 0.0133, 0.0172, 0.0236, 0.0253, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0371, 0.0527, 0.0736, 0.0726, 0.0413, 0.0256, 0.024, 0.0187, 0.0045, -0.0154, -0.016, 0.0022, 0.0075, 0.0124, -0.0032, 0.0105, 0.0051, -0.022, -0.0352, -0.0506, -0.0632, -0.0594, -0.0535, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0237, -0.0341, -0.0277, -0.052, -0.0459, -0.0412, -0.0257, -0.0237, -0.0504, -0.0406, -0.0504, -0.0578, -0.0547, -0.0552, -0.0396, -0.0358, -0.0378, -0.0339, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0322, -0.0334, -0.0327, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0615, -0.0617, -0.0505, -0.0406, -0.0513, -0.0489, -0.0531, -0.066, -0.0884, -0.0938, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0981, -0.1187, -0.1048, -0.0754, -0.0668, -0.0464, -0.0443, -0.1398, -0.1462, -0.1599, -0.184, -0.1781, -0.2188, -0.204, -0.1793, -0.1799, -0.1976, -0.2026]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1958125421284688172", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-20T11:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered $PLTR $MSFT $SMH", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short PLTR, MSFT, SMH; bearish NVDA earnings; growth scare + stagflation risk drives shorts, SPX $6666 target viewed skeptically amid macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market has been pricing in rate cuts. But now: growth scare.\n\nAnd exactly when my Growth: Value Ratio hit resistance last Thursday 😉🎯\n\nCHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered \n\n$PLTR $MSFT $SMH \n\nBut it’s a dance:\n\n1. Powell trapped at Jackson Hole (stagflation)\n2. NVDA earnings risk disappointment\n3. NFP, if allowed, warns\n\nAfter all that, market is still hell-bent on $SPX $6666", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨This is INSANE:\n\nThe BLS is set to revise DOWN US job numbers by 550,000-950,000 for 12 months ending March 2025 on September 9, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.\n\nThat’d be the biggest 12-month downward revision in 15 YEARS. \n\nTotal cut over 2 years would reach 1.5M jobs. https://t.co/6S2KDLypQN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006609939116054564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006609939116054564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003945779423529583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003945779423529583, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005191079394910814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005191079394910814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001179366299030149, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001179366299030149, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "ret_p1w": 0.030107942669295396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030107942669295396, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01675590696328877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01675590696328877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "ret_p1m": 0.09693387306433654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09693387306433654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.059087680028423684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059087680028423684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "ret_p3m": 0.17767157841655123, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17767157841655123, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13158929448857726, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13158929448857726, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "ret_p6m": 0.4097924945467182, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4097924945467182, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33603169194878535, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33603169194878535, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09693387306433654, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.059087680028423684, "alpha_c_stated": -0.059087680028423684, "price_path": [-0.1783, -0.1783, -0.1522, -0.1613, -0.1553, -0.1703, -0.158, -0.139, -0.1288, -0.1303, -0.1254, -0.1107, -0.0931, -0.0937, -0.0893, -0.1106, -0.0885, -0.0947, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.0993, -0.0936, -0.0603, -0.0476, -0.0407, -0.0365, -0.0349, -0.0454, -0.0267, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0318, -0.019, -0.0123, -0.005, -0.0051, -0.0126, 0.0064, 0.0011, 0.0095, 0.0047, 0.0054, -0.0124, -0.0081, -0.004, -0.0051, 0.0085, 0.0136, 0.0253, -0.0006, -0.0173, 0.0043, -0.0064, -0.0081, 0.0075, 0.0158, 0.0154, 0.0386, 0.0426, 0.0449, 0.0232, 0.0273, 0.0066, 0.0, -0.0052, 0.0162, 0.0172, 0.027, 0.0301, 0.0343, 0.0046, 0.0046, -0.0086, -0.0088, 0.0031, 0.015, 0.0262, 0.0306, 0.0411, 0.0518, 0.0532, 0.063, 0.0632, 0.0564, 0.0969, 0.0926, 0.1149, 0.1133, 0.1113, 0.1111, 0.1137, 0.1166, 0.1294, 0.1548, 0.1705, 0.1651, 0.1883, 0.1664, 0.1976, 0.1947, 0.1259, 0.1758, 0.1541, 0.1828, 0.1881, 0.1864, 0.2016, 0.195, 0.1718, 0.1932, 0.2152, 0.2456, 0.2566, 0.2756, 0.2588, 0.2563, 0.267, 0.2208, 0.2441, 0.215, 0.2047, 0.2417, 0.2149, 0.2304, 0.1933, 0.1939, 0.1777, 0.1534, 0.1747, 0.1251, 0.1286, 0.1736, 0.1767, 0.2033, 0.2033, 0.2191, 0.2215, 0.2439, 0.261, 0.2514, 0.2611, 0.2754, 0.277, 0.2946, 0.2835, 0.2255, 0.2213, 0.218, 0.174, 0.2017, 0.2328, 0.2487, 0.2607, 0.2642, 0.2642, 0.2701, 0.2643, 0.2612, 0.2502, 0.2502, 0.2959, 0.3108, 0.3456, 0.3366, 0.3156, 0.3512, 0.3562, 0.3592, 0.3481, 0.3761, 0.3899, 0.3899, 0.3552, 0.3953, 0.3984, 0.3889, 0.3845, 0.4138, 0.4463, 0.4494, 0.4006, 0.4162, 0.3805, 0.3262, 0.3229, 0.3943, 0.4117, 0.4051, 0.4399, 0.4098]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1958125421284688172", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-08-20T11:14:15+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA earnings risk disappointment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short PLTR, MSFT, SMH; bearish NVDA earnings; growth scare + stagflation risk drives shorts, SPX $6666 target viewed skeptically amid macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market has been pricing in rate cuts. But now: growth scare.\n\nAnd exactly when my Growth: Value Ratio hit resistance last Thursday 😉🎯\n\nCHASE Shorts from my live trading room delivered \n\n$PLTR $MSFT $SMH \n\nBut it’s a dance:\n\n1. Powell trapped at Jackson Hole (stagflation)\n2. NVDA earnings risk disappointment\n3. NFP, if allowed, warns\n\nAfter all that, market is still hell-bent on $SPX $6666", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨This is INSANE:\n\nThe BLS is set to revise DOWN US job numbers by 550,000-950,000 for 12 months ending March 2025 on September 9, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.\n\nThat’d be the biggest 12-month downward revision in 15 YEARS. \n\nTotal cut over 2 years would reach 1.5M jobs. https://t.co/6S2KDLypQN", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0013683255799530336, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0013683255799530336, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012958341125719475, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00524161353610153, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664159692524981, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006609939116054564, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002394569764917698, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002394569764917698, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016171433309629668, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002796509629993116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011713095880665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005191079394910814, "ret_p1w": 0.03534788815480239, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03534788815480239, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02199585244879576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005239945485506992, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013352035706006626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030107942669295396, "ret_p1m": 0.004845848210287995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004845848210287995, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03300034482562486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09208802485404854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037846193035912856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09693387306433654, "ret_p3m": 0.06391408016429656, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06391408016429656, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.017831796236322583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11375749825225467, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608228392797398, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17767157841655123, "ret_p6m": 0.06591203760647901, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06591203760647901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007848764991453816, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34388045694023917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07376080259793283, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4097924945467182, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004845848210287995, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03300034482562486, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09208802485404854, "price_path": [-0.2515, -0.2515, -0.2275, -0.2315, -0.2065, -0.2296, -0.2168, -0.1949, -0.1909, -0.2019, -0.1921, -0.1869, -0.1793, -0.1857, -0.1733, -0.1906, -0.1751, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1706, -0.1799, -0.1781, -0.1568, -0.1202, -0.1162, -0.1006, -0.0993, -0.126, -0.1035, -0.0916, -0.0916, -0.0978, -0.0878, -0.0714, -0.0644, -0.0597, -0.0646, -0.0268, -0.023, -0.0137, -0.017, -0.0229, -0.0477, -0.0263, -0.0095, -0.0108, 0.0077, 0.0006, 0.0221, 0.0141, -0.0096, 0.0262, 0.0163, 0.0229, 0.0306, 0.0416, 0.038, 0.0442, 0.0353, 0.0377, 0.0288, 0.0377, 0.0014, 0.0, -0.0024, 0.0148, 0.0251, 0.0363, 0.0353, 0.0272, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0263, -0.0273, -0.0213, -0.0478, -0.0404, -0.0265, 0.011, 0.0101, 0.0139, 0.0135, -0.0029, -0.0291, 0.0048, 0.0073, 0.0469, 0.0173, 0.009, 0.0131, 0.016, 0.0368, 0.0638, 0.0676, 0.077, 0.0697, 0.0579, 0.055, 0.0782, 0.098, 0.0443, 0.0737, 0.0265, 0.0253, 0.0366, 0.0446, 0.0413, 0.0329, 0.0279, 0.0386, 0.062, 0.0918, 0.1462, 0.1805, 0.1568, 0.1545, 0.1795, 0.1328, 0.113, 0.0724, 0.0728, 0.1349, 0.1013, 0.105, 0.0654, 0.0843, 0.0639, 0.034, 0.0635, 0.0299, 0.0199, 0.0408, 0.0139, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0092, 0.0258, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0456, 0.0401, 0.058, 0.0547, 0.0479, 0.0316, -0.0021, 0.0052, 0.0133, -0.0253, -0.0071, 0.032, 0.0474, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0864, 0.0732, 0.0693, 0.0634, 0.0634, 0.0768, 0.0726, 0.0676, 0.0783, 0.0551, 0.0541, 0.0545, 0.0595, 0.0442, 0.0665, 0.0619, 0.0619, 0.0153, 0.0453, 0.0539, 0.0701, 0.0632, 0.0749, 0.092, 0.0977, 0.0898, 0.0583, 0.0283, -0.0068, -0.02, 0.0572, 0.0836, 0.075, 0.0836, 0.0659]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969383790318383422", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-20T12:50:59+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "go from a 60/40 portfolio to a 60(stocks)/20(bonds)/20(gold) portfolio", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Morgan Stanley's 60/20/20 shift implies a structural sell of US Treasuries driving yields higher; gold allocation rises as bonds are sold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MS just buried the lede!\n\nThe only way to go from a 60/40 portfolio to a 60(stocks)/20(bonds)/20(gold) portfolio is to SELL BONDS. \n\nThis is a major sell rating on U.S. Treasuries!\n\nAnd this will help yields rise not fall!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Morgan Stanley has revised the classic 60/40 portfolio by splitting the 40% that was traditionally allocated to bonds with gold. So it’s now the 60/20/20 portfolio. If investors follow this advice, both long-term interest rates and gold prices are headed much higher.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "price_path": [-0.1099, -0.1109, -0.127, -0.1166, -0.1087, -0.1038, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1092, -0.1185, -0.1146, -0.1126, -0.1041, -0.1073, -0.1111, -0.1066, -0.1086, -0.1062, -0.0925, -0.0839, -0.0953, -0.1008, -0.1091, -0.1149, -0.1124, -0.1278, -0.122, -0.1042, -0.0989, -0.0982, -0.1001, -0.0925, -0.0927, -0.1058, -0.1066, -0.1039, -0.1095, -0.109, -0.1104, -0.1153, -0.1063, -0.1094, -0.0999, -0.1021, -0.0956, -0.0937, -0.087, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0564, -0.049, -0.0532, -0.0406, -0.0296, -0.0319, -0.0284, -0.0298, -0.0279, -0.0178, -0.0158, -0.0234, -0.0273, -0.017, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0049, 0.0215, 0.0302, 0.0318, 0.0282, 0.0365, 0.056, 0.0615, 0.079, 0.0591, 0.0698, 0.0958, 0.1036, 0.1227, 0.149, 0.1273, 0.1684, 0.0933, 0.0934, 0.0978, 0.0941, 0.0636, 0.056, 0.052, 0.0727, 0.0669, 0.0688, 0.0501, 0.0622, 0.0609, 0.0674, 0.0966, 0.1009, 0.1186, 0.1096, 0.0896, 0.0771, 0.0849, 0.0867, 0.0864, 0.0847, 0.1019, 0.1015, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1241, 0.1295, 0.1223, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.12, 0.117, 0.1227, 0.1275, 0.1397, 0.146, 0.1471, 0.1473, 0.1572, 0.1551, 0.1564, 0.1831, 0.1988, 0.1938, 0.1938, 0.2078, 0.1552, 0.156, 0.1486, 0.1486, 0.1543, 0.1846, 0.1974, 0.186, 0.1926, 0.2012, 0.2237, 0.2219, 0.2344, 0.2269, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2671, 0.2856, 0.3093, 0.3273, 0.3468, 0.3798, 0.4333, 0.4372, 0.2895, 0.2379, 0.3166, 0.3157, 0.2806, 0.32, 0.3535, 0.3401, 0.3553, 0.3082, 0.3407, 0.3407, 0.2989, 0.3282, 0.3319, 0.3581, 0.3948, 0.3755, 0.372, 0.3838, 0.402, 0.4201, 0.3567, 0.3673, 0.3509, 0.3723, 0.3695, 0.3849, 0.3802, 0.3531, 0.3356, 0.3344, 0.331]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1969106736402321704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T18:30:04+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The gold market sees what is coming. The failure of the dollar is the reason for inflationary assets to advance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dollar failure + inflation from rolling short-term UST debt drives inflationary assets higher; bullish gold/commodities, bearish USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The gold market sees what is coming.\n\nThe failure of the dollar is the reason for inflationary assets to advance - even more than AI narrative. \n\nRolling short-term UST debt every few months keeps Fed trapped from hiking so inflation will rise with interest expense.\nh/t @infraa_ \nhttps://t.co/Kb18SydXMC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007571850423021886, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007571850423021886, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026433919784701887, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0026433919784701887, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928458444551698, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928458444551698, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01884786903768898, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01884786903768898, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01411681968458156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01411681968458156, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731049353107419, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731049353107419, "ret_p1w": 0.028271836804609762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028271836804609762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031104457910543948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031104457910543948, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028326211059341855, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028326211059341855, "ret_p1m": 0.18109761741624686, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18109761741624686, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16964668470233368, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16964668470233368, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450932713913176, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450932713913176, "ret_p3m": 0.18412093149938724, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18412093149938724, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.172519322517932, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.172519322517932, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601608981455236, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601608981455236, "ret_p6m": 0.36020699986381577, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36020699986381577, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3491976181566936, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3491976181566936, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009381707122179, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009381707122179, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18109761741624686, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16964668470233368, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16964668470233368, "price_path": [-0.0964, -0.0938, -0.0921, -0.1083, -0.1027, -0.0912, -0.0881, -0.0926, -0.0923, -0.0924, -0.0993, -0.098, -0.0964, -0.0859, -0.0872, -0.0931, -0.0869, -0.0903, -0.0867, -0.0734, -0.0633, -0.0756, -0.0818, -0.0919, -0.0987, -0.0948, -0.1023, -0.103, -0.0882, -0.0809, -0.0789, -0.0794, -0.0739, -0.0633, -0.0867, -0.0879, -0.0852, -0.0916, -0.0914, -0.0926, -0.0975, -0.0894, -0.0911, -0.0809, -0.0811, -0.0771, -0.0727, -0.0653, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0333, -0.0213, -0.0288, -0.0159, -0.0091, -0.0077, -0.0076, -0.0094, -0.006, 0.0029, 0.0047, 0.0028, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.0297, 0.0165, 0.0178, 0.0283, 0.0407, 0.0461, 0.0534, 0.0458, 0.057, 0.0754, 0.0831, 0.1013, 0.0748, 0.0829, 0.1191, 0.1273, 0.1377, 0.1658, 0.1412, 0.1811, 0.1134, 0.1016, 0.1237, 0.1217, 0.09, 0.0803, 0.085, 0.0898, 0.0846, 0.0896, 0.0752, 0.0841, 0.084, 0.0893, 0.1199, 0.1186, 0.1451, 0.1404, 0.1133, 0.1081, 0.1062, 0.1106, 0.1049, 0.1104, 0.1145, 0.1274, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1489, 0.1547, 0.1403, 0.1438, 0.1472, 0.1475, 0.1405, 0.1458, 0.143, 0.1672, 0.1712, 0.173, 0.1724, 0.1841, 0.1819, 0.1879, 0.2106, 0.221, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.2336, 0.178, 0.1903, 0.1782, 0.1782, 0.1751, 0.2085, 0.2208, 0.2118, 0.212, 0.223, 0.2541, 0.25, 0.2601, 0.2573, 0.2497, 0.2497, 0.2964, 0.316, 0.337, 0.3554, 0.3835, 0.3836, 0.444, 0.4486, 0.2839, 0.259, 0.3356, 0.3402, 0.3241, 0.3485, 0.3757, 0.3629, 0.3813, 0.3411, 0.3678, 0.3678, 0.3299, 0.3582, 0.3553, 0.378, 0.4176, 0.4043, 0.4181, 0.4099, 0.4246, 0.442, 0.3911, 0.3946, 0.3796, 0.4016, 0.3868, 0.4244, 0.4074, 0.3934, 0.3761, 0.3602]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1952892893309644844", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-06T00:42:03+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Strip those out, and the company posted a pre-tax loss... creates the illusion of strength while masking underlying weakness", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish AMD: net income almost entirely artificial (tax reserve release + discontinued ops); cash flow inflated via receivables factoring and delayed vendor payments; underlying business at a pre-tax loss.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"AMD reported $872 million in net income. But that number was almost entirely artificial—padded by an $834 million one-time tax reserve release and a $104 million gain from discontinued operations. Strip those out, and the company posted a pre-tax loss.\n\nManagement also touted strong cash flow. But a deeper look reveals the “cash” came from selling off future revenues—literally factoring receivables to pull money into the current quarter. That trick alone added $330 million. They also delayed $836 million in payments to vendors, inflating the optics of free cash flow. Artificially boosting cash flow by factoring receivables and delaying vendor payments distorts the true health of the business—and creates the illusion of strength while masking underlying weakness.\" @1CoastalJournal \n\nhttps://t.co/er5wdHG3vb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06859982084579652, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06859982084579652, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07620125687198454, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06692511369792631, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007601436026188013, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016747071478702136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05689062688255975, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05689062688255975, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05772826331421488, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04119046098188295, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000837636431655131, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0157001659006768, "ret_p1w": 0.13057873767379413, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13057873767379413, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1114409541364465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0794308530222394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01913778353734763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05114788465155473, "ret_p1m": -0.008153518090159295, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008153518090159295, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0339760089940655, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01945757772767709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025822490903906203, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011304059637517794, "ret_p3m": 0.5917729381364221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5917729381364221, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5088776515650926, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31447198076572946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0828952865713295, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2773009573706926, "ret_p6m": 0.545978422170819, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.545978422170819, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4428767780277205, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08474356702924912, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310164414309853, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4612348551415699, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008153518090159295, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0339760089940655, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01945757772767709, "price_path": [-0.3695, -0.3372, -0.3106, -0.2783, -0.2951, -0.2817, -0.2966, -0.3041, -0.313, -0.3213, -0.3237, -0.3237, -0.2977, -0.3081, -0.3071, -0.3212, -0.2973, -0.2808, -0.2731, -0.2908, -0.2877, -0.2537, -0.2445, -0.2574, -0.2735, -0.2879, -0.2252, -0.2208, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2138, -0.2056, -0.1514, -0.1209, -0.1192, -0.1184, -0.1301, -0.1656, -0.1508, -0.1545, -0.1545, -0.1736, -0.1551, -0.1515, -0.1162, -0.1024, -0.1035, -0.046, -0.0186, -0.0166, -0.0376, -0.0375, -0.0515, -0.0274, -0.0061, 0.0205, 0.0646, 0.0878, 0.1005, 0.0809, 0.0526, 0.0837, 0.0686, 0.0, 0.0569, 0.0591, 0.0562, 0.0725, 0.1306, 0.1093, 0.0882, 0.0798, 0.021, 0.0128, 0.0036, 0.0284, 0.0015, 0.0215, 0.0246, 0.0335, -0.003, -0.003, -0.0049, -0.0061, -0.0082, -0.0734, -0.0718, -0.0448, -0.0219, -0.0457, -0.0279, -0.012, -0.0163, -0.0243, -0.0319, -0.0351, -0.0204, -0.0136, -0.0137, -0.0113, -0.0224, -0.0108, -0.0082, 0.0055, 0.0405, 0.0095, 0.2488, 0.2967, 0.4441, 0.4277, 0.3174, 0.3268, 0.337, 0.4627, 0.438, 0.4289, 0.4747, 0.4592, 0.4114, 0.4406, 0.5505, 0.5919, 0.5817, 0.6205, 0.5623, 0.5701, 0.5918, 0.5329, 0.5714, 0.4572, 0.4317, 0.4957, 0.4561, 0.5871, 0.5201, 0.5131, 0.4745, 0.4118, 0.3705, 0.263, 0.2493, 0.3184, 0.2637, 0.3134, 0.3134, 0.3336, 0.3472, 0.3195, 0.334, 0.3241, 0.3363, 0.3555, 0.3586, 0.3574, 0.3575, 0.2922, 0.2726, 0.2823, 0.2145, 0.2326, 0.3084, 0.3177, 0.3174, 0.3183, 0.3183, 0.318, 0.3218, 0.3201, 0.3129, 0.3129, 0.37, 0.3553, 0.3141, 0.2875, 0.2548, 0.2455, 0.2732, 0.3546, 0.3708, 0.3973, 0.4212, 0.4212, 0.4218, 0.5314, 0.5555, 0.592, 0.5406, 0.5451, 0.5494, 0.546]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1950714235362664663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T00:24:50+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty sure $MSFT & $META just delivered on this 14% forward earnings growth expectation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT and META delivered on 14% forward earnings growth; author bullish both as market moves into rarified air.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty sure $MSFT &amp; $META just delivered on this 14% forward earnings growth expectation.\n\nSo who is next? \n\nBecause once there… market is in rarified air.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037975526540782956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037975526540782956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04174081490909198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04174081490909198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037652883683090277, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037652883683090277, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017600677522182195, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017600677522182195, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001210357533202977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001210357533202977, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01639031998897922, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01639031998897922, "ret_p1w": -0.02372988231234885, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02372988231234885, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0239987617441364, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0239987617441364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002688794317875498, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0002688794317875498, "ret_p1m": -0.04869160217067259, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04869160217067259, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06921118384738867, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06921118384738867, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02051958167671608, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02051958167671608, "ret_p3m": 0.017734216922878465, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017734216922878465, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07226199396646504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07226199396646504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999621088934351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08999621088934351, "ret_p6m": -0.12354349221446848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12354349221446848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22021326326372992, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22021326326372992, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09666977104926144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09666977104926144, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04869160217067259, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06921118384738867, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06921118384738867, "price_path": [-0.1839, -0.1893, -0.1892, -0.1802, -0.1791, -0.1594, -0.1597, -0.1526, -0.1506, -0.1485, -0.1399, -0.1412, -0.1517, -0.1474, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1365, -0.1427, -0.1402, -0.1371, -0.1341, -0.1322, -0.1305, -0.1234, -0.1183, -0.1139, -0.1173, -0.1141, -0.1024, -0.1097, -0.1019, -0.104, -0.0998, -0.0998, -0.1052, -0.089, -0.0813, -0.0773, -0.0676, -0.0704, -0.0676, -0.0777, -0.0795, -0.065, -0.065, -0.0671, -0.0691, -0.0562, -0.06, -0.0566, -0.0571, -0.0519, -0.0523, -0.0409, -0.044, -0.0439, -0.0529, -0.0518, -0.0424, -0.0371, -0.0394, -0.0392, -0.038, 0.0, -0.0176, 0.004, -0.0108, -0.016, -0.0237, -0.0215, -0.022, -0.008, -0.0242, -0.0207, -0.025, -0.0307, -0.0445, -0.0521, -0.0533, -0.0477, -0.0533, -0.0574, -0.0486, -0.0432, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.0516, -0.0512, -0.0463, -0.0706, -0.0646, -0.0642, -0.0606, -0.0594, -0.0427, -0.0324, -0.0443, -0.0424, -0.0454, -0.0276, -0.0341, -0.0439, -0.0422, -0.0481, -0.0397, -0.0338, -0.0276, -0.0242, -0.0317, -0.0287, -0.0076, -0.0162, -0.0146, -0.0192, -0.0407, -0.0349, -0.0358, -0.036, -0.0395, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0281, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0169, -0.0021, 0.0177, 0.0168, -0.0129, -0.0278, -0.0293, -0.0343, -0.0478, -0.0667, -0.0672, -0.05, -0.045, -0.0403, -0.0551, -0.0421, -0.0472, -0.0729, -0.0854, -0.1001, -0.1119, -0.1084, -0.1028, -0.0868, -0.0868, -0.0745, -0.0844, -0.0783, -0.1014, -0.0955, -0.0912, -0.0764, -0.0745, -0.0998, -0.0906, -0.0999, -0.1069, -0.1039, -0.1044, -0.0896, -0.086, -0.0879, -0.0842, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0826, -0.0838, -0.083, -0.0903, -0.0903, -0.1104, -0.1106, -0.0999, -0.0906, -0.1007, -0.0985, -0.1024, -0.1147, -0.1359, -0.141, -0.135, -0.135, -0.145, -0.1646, -0.1514, -0.1235]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1950714235362664663", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-31T00:24:50+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty sure $MSFT & $META just delivered on this 14% forward earnings growth expectation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT and META delivered on 14% forward earnings growth; author bullish both as market moves into rarified air.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty sure $MSFT &amp; $META just delivered on this 14% forward earnings growth expectation.\n\nSo who is next? \n\nBecause once there… market is in rarified air.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10114551562058116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10114551562058116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10491080398889019, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09220770033538261, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037652883683090277, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008937815285198547, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03029322970388526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03029322970388526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013902909714906042, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01828319509783749, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01639031998897922, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01201003460604777, "ret_p1w": -0.015010873554824333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015010873554824333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015279752986611883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01370733604772234, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002688794317875498, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013035375071019928, "ret_p1m": -0.04491623705014569, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04491623705014569, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06543581872686177, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08197039006282303, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02051958167671608, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03705415301267734, "ret_p3m": -0.027788606820048134, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.027788606820048134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11778481770939164, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11694760238381674, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999621088934351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0891589955637686, "ret_p6m": -0.14700263897866173, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14700263897866173, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24367241002792317, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24324934623904493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09666977104926144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0962467072603832, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04491623705014569, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06543581872686177, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08197039006282303, "price_path": [-0.2258, -0.2412, -0.229, -0.2274, -0.2345, -0.1739, -0.1525, -0.1482, -0.1682, -0.1727, -0.1726, -0.1769, -0.179, -0.1776, -0.1899, -0.1899, -0.1702, -0.1685, -0.1666, -0.1635, -0.1332, -0.1385, -0.1112, -0.1155, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.0925, -0.1032, -0.1042, -0.1178, -0.0922, -0.0985, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.1178, -0.0969, -0.0792, -0.0837, -0.0612, -0.0515, -0.0457, -0.0701, -0.0774, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0712, -0.0682, -0.0526, -0.0597, -0.0723, -0.0679, -0.0815, -0.0912, -0.0931, -0.0894, -0.0782, -0.0887, -0.0774, -0.0758, -0.0786, -0.0722, -0.095, -0.1011, 0.0, -0.0303, 0.0038, -0.0129, -0.0019, -0.015, -0.0054, -0.0098, 0.0214, 0.0086, 0.0112, 0.0152, -0.0078, -0.0284, -0.0333, -0.0444, -0.0241, -0.026, -0.025, -0.0337, -0.0289, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0496, -0.047, -0.0321, -0.0271, -0.0273, -0.01, -0.0277, -0.0291, -0.0231, -0.0113, 0.0072, 0.0029, 0.0088, 0.0064, -0.01, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0311, -0.0377, -0.0382, -0.0499, -0.0719, -0.0593, -0.0807, -0.0741, -0.0774, -0.0713, -0.051, -0.0875, -0.074, -0.0832, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.0725, -0.0527, -0.0513, -0.0511, -0.0504, -0.0447, -0.0286, -0.0278, -0.0275, -0.1377, -0.1612, -0.1749, -0.1884, -0.1772, -0.1992, -0.1956, -0.1826, -0.1887, -0.2121, -0.2109, -0.2115, -0.2211, -0.2267, -0.2362, -0.2378, -0.2312, -0.2068, -0.1769, -0.1802, -0.1802, -0.1617, -0.1708, -0.1628, -0.1725, -0.1441, -0.1287, -0.1373, -0.15, -0.1589, -0.1555, -0.1665, -0.1616, -0.1491, -0.159, -0.1396, -0.147, -0.1435, -0.139, -0.1356, -0.1356, -0.1411, -0.1471, -0.1377, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1578, -0.147, -0.1446, -0.16, -0.1634, -0.1544, -0.1687, -0.1828, -0.203, -0.1962, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.2178, -0.2063, -0.1614, -0.147]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970519993675546657", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T16:05:51+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China become the 'collar price' on Oil & Gold... ensures the beginning of the end for the petrol-dollar... Gold can be used as electronic warrants as collateral for global trade instead of the USD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "China anchoring gold/oil pricing and enabling non-USD trade settlement signals structural long gold, long oil, short USD thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not only has China decoupled from US...\nAnd not only has China become the 'collar price' on Oil & Gold...\n\nBut this ensures the beginning of the end for the petrol-dollar that US has weaponized against oil importing nations, supports global GDP growth ex-US, and (as @GraphCall reminds):\n\n\"Gold can be used as electronic warrants as collateral for global trade instead of the USD.\"\n\nAgain, no need to settle trade in US dollar, treasuries or oil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bloomberg Reports\n\nCHINA MAKES POWER PLAY FOR GLOBAL GOLD – EYES CONTROL OVER FOREIGN RESERVES TO CHALLENGE DOLLAR DOMINANCE\n\n•Beijing pushes to become the world’s custodian of foreign sovereign gold, aiming to shake up the bullion market.\n\n•The People’s Bank of China woos", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004069744550265653, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004069744550265653, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00954300875329539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00954300875329539, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009063049726670935, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009063049726670935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005881385495803526, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005881385495803526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "ret_p1w": 0.026005916953886432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026005916953886432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021527850746541954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021527850746541954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "ret_p1m": 0.08895690147303736, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08895690147303736, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08203616934136493, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08203616934136493, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "ret_p3m": 0.15170582132109955, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15170582132109955, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12246769294287785, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12246769294287785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "ret_p6m": 0.28366911390413696, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28366911390413696, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28340623316550984, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28340623316550984, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002628807386271248, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08895690147303736, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08203616934136493, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08203616934136493, "price_path": [-0.1145, -0.1306, -0.1202, -0.1123, -0.1074, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1128, -0.1221, -0.1182, -0.1162, -0.1077, -0.111, -0.1147, -0.1103, -0.1122, -0.1099, -0.0962, -0.0876, -0.0989, -0.1045, -0.1127, -0.1185, -0.1161, -0.1313, -0.1256, -0.1078, -0.1026, -0.1019, -0.1038, -0.0962, -0.0964, -0.1094, -0.1102, -0.1075, -0.1132, -0.1127, -0.114, -0.1189, -0.11, -0.1131, -0.1036, -0.1057, -0.0992, -0.0974, -0.0907, -0.0819, -0.0819, -0.0602, -0.0529, -0.0571, -0.0445, -0.0336, -0.0358, -0.0323, -0.0338, -0.0319, -0.0218, -0.0198, -0.0274, -0.0313, -0.021, -0.0041, 0.0, -0.0091, -0.0049, 0.0008, 0.0173, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.024, 0.0323, 0.0517, 0.0571, 0.0746, 0.0548, 0.0654, 0.0913, 0.0991, 0.1181, 0.1443, 0.1228, 0.1636, 0.0888, 0.089, 0.0933, 0.0896, 0.0593, 0.0517, 0.0477, 0.0683, 0.0625, 0.0644, 0.0458, 0.0579, 0.0566, 0.0631, 0.0921, 0.0964, 0.1141, 0.1051, 0.0851, 0.0727, 0.0805, 0.0823, 0.0819, 0.0803, 0.0974, 0.097, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1196, 0.1249, 0.1177, 0.1167, 0.1174, 0.1154, 0.1125, 0.1182, 0.1229, 0.135, 0.1414, 0.1424, 0.1427, 0.1525, 0.1504, 0.1517, 0.1783, 0.1939, 0.189, 0.189, 0.2029, 0.1505, 0.1513, 0.1439, 0.1439, 0.1496, 0.1798, 0.1926, 0.1812, 0.1877, 0.1963, 0.2187, 0.217, 0.2294, 0.2219, 0.216, 0.216, 0.262, 0.2804, 0.304, 0.3219, 0.3413, 0.3742, 0.4275, 0.4313, 0.2843, 0.2328, 0.3112, 0.3103, 0.2754, 0.3146, 0.348, 0.3346, 0.3497, 0.3029, 0.3353, 0.3353, 0.2937, 0.3228, 0.3264, 0.3526, 0.3891, 0.3699, 0.3664, 0.3782, 0.3963, 0.4143, 0.3512, 0.3618, 0.3454, 0.3667, 0.3639, 0.3793, 0.3746, 0.3476, 0.3301, 0.329, 0.3256, 0.2837]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970519993675546657", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T16:05:51+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China become the 'collar price' on Oil & Gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "China anchoring gold/oil pricing and enabling non-USD trade settlement signals structural long gold, long oil, short USD thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not only has China decoupled from US...\nAnd not only has China become the 'collar price' on Oil & Gold...\n\nBut this ensures the beginning of the end for the petrol-dollar that US has weaponized against 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{"unit_id": "reply:1969423305263178027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "Crude Oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see a new lower range for crude oil in the $60-40 based on FALLING GLOBAL DEMAND", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude ($60-40 target on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher yields ahead, bearish USD on fiscal dominance/devaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new lower range for crude oil in the $60-40 based on FALLING GLOBAL DEMAND.\n\nRISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long. \n\nRISING UST SUPPLY will underpin higher yields. \n\nWhen the conditions change back from FISCAL DOMINANCE to MONETARY DOMIANCE, so too will my analysis, but I see no reason for that now. \n\nIn fact, I see the rate of change to trigger strongly higher yields picking up next year as all these DC policies are inflationary in an attempt to run the economy hot on rate cuts and stealth QE forcing the value of the dollar lower in a MONETARY ILLUSION of wealth. \n\nIt's not a \"commodity supercycle\".\nIt's debasement, dedollarization, devaluation of the US dollar, treasuries and oil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Samantha, you have been bearish oil most of the time. Do you see this👇happening within the next 6-12 months? \n\nhttps://t.co/bfI5sNkd2U", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noneotherthanwe", "ret_m1d": 0.0009530251563325542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009530251563325542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005661797077090247, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005661797077090247, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021783610210945215, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021783610210945215, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027227080860926067, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027227080860926067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.015520754758529876, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015520754758529876, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020259520032760436, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020259520032760436, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": -0.07052417318445847, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07052417318445847, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07719737132682714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07719737132682714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": -0.08522797504330937, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08522797504330937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09966917487342708, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09966917487342708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.617971426488054, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.617971426488054, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.609075674709725, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.609075674709725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07052417318445847, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07719737132682714, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07719737132682714, "price_path": [-0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0023, -0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0291, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0413, 0.0478, 0.0474, 0.0264, 0.0523, 0.0295, 0.0246, 0.0237, 0.0369, 0.0338, 0.0291, 0.0259, 0.0249, 0.0359, 0.0191, 0.0506, 0.0865, 0.1033, 0.0836, 0.0546, 0.0362, 0.0214, 0.0046, -0.0004, -0.002, 0.0048, -0.0068, -0.0135, 0.0039, -0.0088, -0.0038, -0.0157, 0.001, 0.0093, 0.0162, 0.0313, 0.0082, 0.0167, 0.0244, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0451, 0.0188, 0.0099, -0.0112, -0.0056, -0.0008, 0.0172, -0.0061, -0.0019, 0.0106, 0.0302, 0.0207, 0.0169, 0.001, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.04, 0.0482, 0.0486, 0.0155, 0.0041, -0.0042, -0.026, -0.0237, -0.0079, -0.0034, 0.0011, -0.0128, -0.0553, -0.0432, -0.0606, -0.0607, -0.0768, -0.0745, -0.0765, -0.0705, -0.0384, -0.0022, -0.0037, -0.0045, -0.028, -0.0225, -0.0237, -0.0121, -0.0097, -0.0207, -0.0329, -0.035, -0.0298, -0.0241, -0.0099, -0.0498, -0.049, -0.0282, -0.0293, -0.0129, -0.035, -0.0449, -0.0565, -0.0413, -0.0572, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0324, -0.0325, -0.0442, -0.038, -0.028, -0.0208, -0.0403, -0.0489, -0.0396, -0.0572, -0.0632, -0.0757, -0.0991, -0.0745, -0.0852, -0.0738, -0.0506, -0.0429, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0677, -0.0523, -0.0505, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0611, -0.044, -0.0673, -0.0771, -0.0396, -0.0364, -0.0245, 0.0004, -0.0114, -0.0316, -0.0245, -0.0245, -0.0216, -0.0015, -0.0222, 0.0068, 0.0004, 0.0301, 0.0432, 0.0775, 0.0826, 0.0256, 0.0547, 0.0603, 0.0441, 0.0482, 0.0622, 0.0624, 0.0741, 0.0399, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.031, 0.081, 0.1054, 0.1007, 0.1014, 0.0995, 0.0855, 0.086, 0.1157, 0.1871, 0.228, 0.2466, 0.3112, 0.4809, 0.4204, 0.4413, 0.4711, 0.6118, 0.6323, 0.5661, 0.618]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969423305263178027", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude ($60-40 target on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher yields ahead, bearish USD on fiscal dominance/devaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new lower range for crude oil in the $60-40 based on FALLING GLOBAL DEMAND.\n\nRISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long. \n\nRISING UST SUPPLY will underpin higher yields. \n\nWhen the conditions change back from FISCAL DOMINANCE to MONETARY DOMIANCE, so too will my analysis, but I see no reason for that now. \n\nIn fact, I see the rate of change to trigger strongly higher yields picking up next year as all these DC policies are inflationary in an attempt to run the economy hot on rate cuts and stealth QE forcing the value of the dollar lower in a MONETARY ILLUSION of wealth. \n\nIt's not a \"commodity supercycle\".\nIt's debasement, dedollarization, devaluation of the US dollar, treasuries and oil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Samantha, you have been bearish oil most of the time. Do you see this👇happening within the next 6-12 months? \n\nhttps://t.co/bfI5sNkd2U", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noneotherthanwe", "ret_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "price_path": [-0.1099, -0.1109, -0.127, -0.1166, -0.1087, -0.1038, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1092, -0.1185, -0.1146, -0.1126, -0.1041, -0.1073, -0.1111, -0.1066, -0.1086, -0.1062, -0.0925, -0.0839, -0.0953, -0.1008, -0.1091, -0.1149, -0.1124, -0.1278, -0.122, -0.1042, -0.0989, -0.0982, -0.1001, -0.0925, -0.0927, -0.1058, -0.1066, -0.1039, -0.1095, -0.109, -0.1104, -0.1153, -0.1063, -0.1094, -0.0999, -0.1021, -0.0956, -0.0937, -0.087, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0564, -0.049, -0.0532, -0.0406, -0.0296, -0.0319, -0.0284, -0.0298, -0.0279, -0.0178, -0.0158, -0.0234, -0.0273, -0.017, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0049, 0.0215, 0.0302, 0.0318, 0.0282, 0.0365, 0.056, 0.0615, 0.079, 0.0591, 0.0698, 0.0958, 0.1036, 0.1227, 0.149, 0.1273, 0.1684, 0.0933, 0.0934, 0.0978, 0.0941, 0.0636, 0.056, 0.052, 0.0727, 0.0669, 0.0688, 0.0501, 0.0622, 0.0609, 0.0674, 0.0966, 0.1009, 0.1186, 0.1096, 0.0896, 0.0771, 0.0849, 0.0867, 0.0864, 0.0847, 0.1019, 0.1015, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1241, 0.1295, 0.1223, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.12, 0.117, 0.1227, 0.1275, 0.1397, 0.146, 0.1471, 0.1473, 0.1572, 0.1551, 0.1564, 0.1831, 0.1988, 0.1938, 0.1938, 0.2078, 0.1552, 0.156, 0.1486, 0.1486, 0.1543, 0.1846, 0.1974, 0.186, 0.1926, 0.2012, 0.2237, 0.2219, 0.2344, 0.2269, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2671, 0.2856, 0.3093, 0.3273, 0.3468, 0.3798, 0.4333, 0.4372, 0.2895, 0.2379, 0.3166, 0.3157, 0.2806, 0.32, 0.3535, 0.3401, 0.3553, 0.3082, 0.3407, 0.3407, 0.2989, 0.3282, 0.3319, 0.3581, 0.3948, 0.3755, 0.372, 0.3838, 0.402, 0.4201, 0.3567, 0.3673, 0.3509, 0.3723, 0.3695, 0.3849, 0.3802, 0.3531, 0.3356, 0.3344, 0.331]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969423305263178027", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-20T15:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude ($60-40 target on falling demand), long gold/silver on debasement, higher yields ahead, bearish USD on fiscal dominance/devaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you know I've been bearish oil for over a year when crude was $85, then you know that I see a new lower range for crude oil in the $60-40 based on FALLING GLOBAL DEMAND.\n\nRISING GLOBAL DEMAND will underpin Gold/Silver as I posted to clients in Spring of last year as durable macro trend long. \n\nRISING UST SUPPLY will underpin higher yields. \n\nWhen the conditions change back from FISCAL DOMINANCE to MONETARY DOMIANCE, so too will my analysis, but I see no reason for that now. \n\nIn fact, I see the rate of change to trigger strongly higher yields picking up next year as all these DC policies are inflationary in an attempt to run the economy hot on rate cuts and stealth QE forcing the value of the dollar lower in a MONETARY ILLUSION of wealth. \n\nIt's not a \"commodity supercycle\".\nIt's debasement, dedollarization, devaluation of the US dollar, treasuries and oil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Samantha, you have been bearish oil most of the time. 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{"unit_id": "quote:1976035478056178029", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:22:25+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good for a $CVNA short holder", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Record auto repossessions are bullish for CVNA short holders; author endorses the short thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good for a $CVNA short holder. Bad for consumer lending, income &amp; spending. \n\n#AutoRepossessions", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "2025 On Course for The Highest Auto Repossession Volume in Recorded History, Nearly 3 Million Cars Set to Be Seized — CUReposession \n\n#MacroEdge", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0024442756228300055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024442756228300055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0004611159480500948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002572252594978286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0050165282178082915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08552061513227949, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08552061513227949, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05849275295343381, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.058014443305897556, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02750617182638193, "ret_p1w": -0.042551947081840735, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.042551947081840735, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02687754019259858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030648178400688675, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015674406889242154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01190376868115206, "ret_p1m": -0.1556536522154658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1556536522154658, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15537050353242354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1583744987415766, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0027208465261108206, "ret_p3m": 0.22334251963081053, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22334251963081053, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18952908362062493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19188318757857292, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813436010185605, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03145933205223761, "ret_p6m": -0.12810037539852315, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12810037539852315, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11082326260549336, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.051338323444135914, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277112793029792, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07676205195438723, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1556536522154658, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15537050353242354, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1583744987415766, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0323, -0.0222, -0.0387, -0.0347, -0.0503, -0.0513, -0.0473, -0.0943, -0.0775, -0.0658, -0.0654, -0.0734, 0.0837, 0.0215, 0.0017, -0.0258, -0.0143, -0.0063, -0.0346, -0.0411, -0.0414, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0279, -0.0014, -0.0439, -0.0595, -0.0582, -0.0062, 0.0058, 0.0338, 0.0203, 0.0482, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0177, 0.0064, 0.0282, 0.0246, 0.0338, 0.0416, 0.0141, -0.0161, 0.0048, 0.0148, 0.0127, 0.0501, 0.0504, 0.0885, 0.0856, 0.0502, 0.0411, 0.0315, 0.0257, 0.0906, 0.0478, 0.0983, 0.0963, 0.0436, 0.0266, 0.0286, 0.0024, 0.0, -0.0855, -0.0604, -0.0392, -0.0128, -0.0426, -0.0728, -0.0623, -0.0116, -0.0921, -0.0501, -0.0245, -0.0136, 0.006, -0.0169, -0.1527, -0.1486, -0.0769, -0.1395, -0.1398, -0.1941, -0.1557, -0.1049, -0.0921, -0.0884, -0.1152, -0.1159, -0.1025, -0.1189, -0.0841, -0.1299, -0.1393, -0.0809, -0.0244, -0.0075, -0.0075, 0.0402, 0.0423, 0.0615, 0.0971, 0.1078, 0.1104, 0.2443, 0.2675, 0.299, 0.313, 0.2657, 0.2441, 0.2643, 0.2394, 0.2936, 0.2505, 0.2043, 0.2148, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.2179, 0.2042, 0.1931, 0.1722, 0.1722, 0.1117, 0.1945, 0.2233, 0.2521, 0.2293, 0.2863, 0.2902, 0.3014, 0.2738, 0.2801, 0.2308, 0.2308, 0.2285, 0.2638, 0.3289, 0.3146, 0.3158, 0.3269, 0.1389, 0.1872, 0.1141, 0.1329, 0.1398, 0.0917, 0.0657, 0.1212, 0.1433, 0.0879, 0.0112, -0.0441, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0252, 0.0042, -0.0757, -0.065, -0.097, -0.0969, -0.0698, -0.017, -0.0719, -0.1025, -0.114, -0.1216, -0.0802, -0.1176, -0.0882, -0.1146, -0.1404, -0.1872, -0.1663, -0.1502, -0.1258, -0.1913, -0.1829, -0.2187, -0.1678, -0.164, -0.143, -0.1629, -0.1611, -0.1923, -0.1268, -0.1332, -0.1281, -0.1281]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970163617916911840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T16:29:45+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short of a balanced US trade +/or fiscal budget, what reasons are there for gold + silver to reverse this trend?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rhetorically argues no fundamental basis for gold/silver trend reversal absent fiscal/trade balance; structurally bullish both on dedollarization/debasement.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short of a balanced US trade +/or fiscal budget, what reasons are there for gold + silver to reverse this trend? \n\nAnd if you say USD rises, you'd be right but only for a trade... \n\n#dedollarization \n#devaluation \n#debasement", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DB just lifted its 2026 targets: Gold avg $4,000 (range ~$3,550–4,450), Silver $45. \n\nDrivers: softer USD, lower real yields, strong CB buying, weak recycling. Risks: hot equities, Q4 seasonality. Positioning still light; silver in deficit. #gold #silver https://t.co/WIuMuxwakb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "price_path": [-0.1099, -0.1109, -0.127, -0.1166, -0.1087, -0.1038, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1092, -0.1185, -0.1146, -0.1126, -0.1041, -0.1073, -0.1111, -0.1066, -0.1086, -0.1062, -0.0925, -0.0839, -0.0953, -0.1008, -0.1091, -0.1149, -0.1124, -0.1278, -0.122, -0.1042, -0.0989, -0.0982, -0.1001, -0.0925, -0.0927, -0.1058, -0.1066, -0.1039, -0.1095, -0.109, -0.1104, -0.1153, -0.1063, -0.1094, -0.0999, -0.1021, -0.0956, -0.0937, -0.087, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0564, -0.049, -0.0532, -0.0406, -0.0296, -0.0319, -0.0284, -0.0298, -0.0279, -0.0178, -0.0158, -0.0234, -0.0273, -0.017, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0049, 0.0215, 0.0302, 0.0318, 0.0282, 0.0365, 0.056, 0.0615, 0.079, 0.0591, 0.0698, 0.0958, 0.1036, 0.1227, 0.149, 0.1273, 0.1684, 0.0933, 0.0934, 0.0978, 0.0941, 0.0636, 0.056, 0.052, 0.0727, 0.0669, 0.0688, 0.0501, 0.0622, 0.0609, 0.0674, 0.0966, 0.1009, 0.1186, 0.1096, 0.0896, 0.0771, 0.0849, 0.0867, 0.0864, 0.0847, 0.1019, 0.1015, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1241, 0.1295, 0.1223, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.12, 0.117, 0.1227, 0.1275, 0.1397, 0.146, 0.1471, 0.1473, 0.1572, 0.1551, 0.1564, 0.1831, 0.1988, 0.1938, 0.1938, 0.2078, 0.1552, 0.156, 0.1486, 0.1486, 0.1543, 0.1846, 0.1974, 0.186, 0.1926, 0.2012, 0.2237, 0.2219, 0.2344, 0.2269, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2671, 0.2856, 0.3093, 0.3273, 0.3468, 0.3798, 0.4333, 0.4372, 0.2895, 0.2379, 0.3166, 0.3157, 0.2806, 0.32, 0.3535, 0.3401, 0.3553, 0.3082, 0.3407, 0.3407, 0.2989, 0.3282, 0.3319, 0.3581, 0.3948, 0.3755, 0.372, 0.3838, 0.402, 0.4201, 0.3567, 0.3673, 0.3509, 0.3723, 0.3695, 0.3849, 0.3802, 0.3531, 0.3356, 0.3344, 0.331]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970163617916911840", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-22T16:29:45+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short of a balanced US trade +/or fiscal budget, what reasons are there for gold + silver to reverse this trend?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rhetorically argues no fundamental basis for gold/silver trend reversal absent fiscal/trade balance; structurally bullish both on dedollarization/debasement.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short of a balanced US trade +/or fiscal budget, what reasons are there for gold + silver to reverse this trend? \n\nAnd if you say USD rises, you'd be right but only for a trade... \n\n#dedollarization \n#devaluation \n#debasement", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DB just lifted its 2026 targets: Gold avg $4,000 (range ~$3,550–4,450), Silver $45. \n\nDrivers: softer USD, lower real yields, strong CB buying, weak recycling. Risks: hot equities, Q4 seasonality. Positioning still light; silver in deficit. #gold #silver https://t.co/WIuMuxwakb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024975024403963042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024975024403963042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02026625248320535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02026625248320535, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0019980476829525307, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0019980476829525307, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003445422967028322, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003445422967028322, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.061438537168431395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.061438537168431395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06617730244266196, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06617730244266196, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": 0.09365634151486169, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09365634151486169, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08698314337249302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08698314337249302, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.48151844002131816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.48151844002131816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.46707724019120045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.46707724019120045, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.7897103402492662, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7897103402492662, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7808145884709372, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7808145884709372, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09365634151486169, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08698314337249302, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08698314337249302, "price_path": [-0.1756, -0.1673, -0.1853, -0.1806, -0.1826, -0.1698, -0.1631, -0.1631, -0.1651, -0.1686, -0.1758, -0.1571, -0.1251, -0.1351, -0.1444, -0.1406, -0.1346, -0.1356, -0.1171, -0.1079, -0.1086, -0.1136, -0.1344, -0.1349, -0.1344, -0.1631, -0.1678, -0.1611, -0.1513, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.1319, -0.1289, -0.1464, -0.1406, -0.1259, -0.1384, -0.1384, -0.1371, -0.1541, -0.1401, -0.1356, -0.1174, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1261, -0.1129, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0722, -0.0674, -0.0777, -0.0707, -0.0632, -0.0714, -0.0657, -0.0562, -0.0425, -0.032, -0.036, -0.0562, -0.0512, -0.025, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0055, 0.0247, 0.0455, 0.0614, 0.0582, 0.0717, 0.0622, 0.0869, 0.1004, 0.0837, 0.1129, 0.1166, 0.1346, 0.1803, 0.1688, 0.207, 0.228, 0.1736, 0.1918, 0.0937, 0.0959, 0.1034, 0.0987, 0.0589, 0.0664, 0.0797, 0.1074, 0.0992, 0.0929, 0.0674, 0.0902, 0.0877, 0.0969, 0.1436, 0.1601, 0.2068, 0.1843, 0.1479, 0.1356, 0.1513, 0.1601, 0.1434, 0.1314, 0.1646, 0.1656, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.279, 0.3117, 0.3269, 0.3254, 0.2927, 0.3224, 0.3164, 0.3779, 0.4003, 0.4391, 0.4011, 0.4513, 0.4418, 0.505, 0.4815, 0.5217, 0.5602, 0.6194, 0.6289, 0.6289, 0.7762, 0.6486, 0.7228, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.6421, 0.7253, 0.8409, 0.7722, 0.741, 0.8077, 0.9288, 0.963, 1.1119, 1.0809, 1.0235, 1.0235, 1.1326, 1.0969, 1.1761, 1.3204, 1.456, 1.5372, 1.6374, 1.6366, 0.8841, 0.8092, 0.9221, 0.9775, 0.6656, 0.753, 0.8991, 0.8334, 0.9121, 0.6916, 0.7413, 0.7413, 0.6576, 0.7505, 0.7735, 0.9136, 1.0122, 0.975, 0.999, 1.0092, 1.1226, 1.0372, 0.8651, 0.8816, 0.8549, 0.8966, 0.9545, 1.0002, 0.9458, 0.9101, 0.8154, 0.8287, 0.7897]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960849080369721706", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T23:37:06+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "market hasn't priced in either: compliance cost OR Trump's payback when they refuse. Concentration risk meet confiscation risk", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: market not pricing in compliance costs or government retaliation risk; concentration + confiscation risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So no surprise: \n\n$NVDA doesn’t want to share profits with US Govt &amp; market hasn’t priced in either: compliance cost OR Trump’s payback when they refuse.\n\nConcentration risk meet confiscation risk ⚠️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🔴 Nvidia: Any request for a percentage of revenue may subject us to litigation. $NVDA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007936962915950252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007936962915950252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011465790327123027, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012018873577487543, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035288274111727747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004081910661537291, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033246505487318556, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033246505487318556, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027282866094356373, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004505974602332707, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005963639392962183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02874053088498585, "ret_p1w": -0.0472331214028322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0472331214028322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04754133628518897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017053735702066475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0003082148823567721, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030179385700765726, "ret_p1m": -0.010933846543683012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08768714357788854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022706811377722458, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07675329703420553, "ret_p3m": -0.012987626438315858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012987626438315858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05609244298769578, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15060147090925413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04310481654937992, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13761384447093827, "ret_p6m": 0.05367863882341095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05367863882341095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01484187553501859, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3392597264048105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06852051435842954, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39293836522822145, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010933846543683012, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03364065792140547, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08768714357788854, "price_path": [-0.2376, -0.2162, -0.2124, -0.2231, -0.2135, -0.2084, -0.201, -0.2072, -0.1952, -0.212, -0.1969, -0.2001, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2016, -0.1998, -0.1791, -0.1435, -0.1396, -0.1244, -0.1231, -0.1491, -0.1272, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1217, -0.1119, -0.096, -0.0892, -0.0846, -0.0894, -0.0526, -0.0488, -0.0398, -0.0431, -0.0488, -0.0729, -0.0521, -0.0357, -0.037, -0.019, -0.0259, -0.005, -0.0128, -0.0358, -0.0009, -0.0106, -0.0042, 0.0033, 0.014, 0.0105, 0.0166, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0016, 0.0102, -0.0251, -0.0265, -0.0288, -0.0121, -0.002, 0.0089, 0.0079, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0521, -0.053, -0.0472, -0.073, -0.0658, -0.0522, -0.0158, -0.0166, -0.013, -0.0134, -0.0293, -0.0548, -0.0218, -0.0194, 0.0192, -0.0096, -0.0177, -0.0137, -0.0109, 0.0094, 0.0356, 0.0393, 0.0485, 0.0414, 0.0299, 0.0271, 0.0497, 0.0689, 0.0167, 0.0453, -0.0007, -0.0018, 0.0092, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0056, 0.0007, 0.0111, 0.0339, 0.0629, 0.1158, 0.1492, 0.1262, 0.1239, 0.1483, 0.1029, 0.0835, 0.044, 0.0444, 0.1049, 0.0722, 0.0757, 0.0372, 0.0556, 0.0357, 0.0067, 0.0353, 0.0027, -0.0071, 0.0133, -0.013, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0175, -0.0013, 0.0072, -0.0032, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.03, 0.0268, 0.0202, 0.0043, -0.0285, -0.0214, -0.0135, -0.0511, -0.0334, 0.0047, 0.0197, 0.0503, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0576, 0.0448, 0.041, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0483, 0.0442, 0.0394, 0.0497, 0.0271, 0.0261, 0.0266, 0.0314, 0.0166, 0.0383, 0.0338, 0.0338, -0.0115, 0.0176, 0.026, 0.0417, 0.0351, 0.0465, 0.0631, 0.0686, 0.061, 0.0303, 0.0011, -0.0331, -0.0459, 0.0292, 0.0549, 0.0466, 0.055, 0.0377, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0268, 0.0435, 0.043, 0.0537]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1926252835827490939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-24T12:23:58+00:00", "symbol": "uranium", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Uranium Trend Long - Thesis & Update\n\nEven more relevant today.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long uranium; author reaffirms bullish thesis as even more relevant now.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "URA Global X Uranium ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uranium Trend Long - Thesis &amp; Update \n\nEven more relevant today.\n\nhttps://t.co/pcmXmi44Gp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034576915159977406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034576915159977406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014209886490279655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014209886490279655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036702866969775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00212314019150206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00212314019150206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036621027536268835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0036621027536268835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785242945128943, "ret_p1w": -0.006976032057792514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006976032057792514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01533283145890385, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01533283145890385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356799401111337, "ret_p1m": 0.14771001740553102, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14771001740553102, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1176586878361916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1176586878361916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051329569339424, "ret_p3m": 0.19623893606843512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19623893606843512, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10139382782089101, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10139382782089101, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484510824754411, "ret_p6m": 0.3691233300303476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3691233300303476, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2417758463833044, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2417758463833044, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12734748364704318, "ret_p1y": 0.6683706905309208, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6683706905309208, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.38824431666005355, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.38824431666005355, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012637387086725, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14771001740553102, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1176586878361916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1176586878361916, "price_path": [-0.2502, -0.2478, -0.2875, -0.2705, -0.2517, -0.2654, -0.2739, -0.2991, -0.2824, -0.2769, -0.2869, -0.2751, -0.2527, -0.2584, -0.236, -0.2302, -0.2417, -0.2299, -0.2457, -0.2633, -0.283, -0.2994, -0.3048, -0.3, -0.2972, -0.3188, -0.3685, -0.3779, -0.3855, -0.3291, -0.3452, -0.313, -0.3072, -0.3106, -0.3112, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.3191, -0.3127, -0.2824, -0.2542, -0.2584, -0.2402, -0.2378, -0.2417, -0.2323, -0.2163, -0.222, -0.1996, -0.188, -0.1908, -0.1762, -0.1723, -0.1556, -0.1462, -0.1504, -0.1595, -0.1565, -0.1504, -0.1438, -0.135, -0.0346, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0215, -0.0291, -0.0334, -0.007, 0.0033, 0.0061, 0.0203, 0.067, 0.0328, 0.088, 0.0922, 0.0958, 0.1547, 0.1392, 0.1456, 0.1456, 0.1153, 0.1386, 0.1729, 0.1477, 0.1741, 0.1547, 0.1771, 0.135, 0.1438, 0.1495, 0.1495, 0.152, 0.1228, 0.114, 0.1231, 0.1377, 0.182, 0.1884, 0.2129, 0.226, 0.2414, 0.2175, 0.2199, 0.2499, 0.2787, 0.2687, 0.2433, 0.2208, 0.216, 0.1938, 0.1592, 0.1978, 0.2263, 0.2493, 0.2311, 0.2117, 0.202, 0.2257, 0.1965, 0.1838, 0.1832, 0.189, 0.121, 0.1056, 0.1277, 0.1962, 0.1978, 0.2269, 0.2035, 0.2429, 0.2335, 0.2335, 0.232, 0.2539, 0.2254, 0.2354, 0.2596, 0.273, 0.2806, 0.2936, 0.2754, 0.3946, 0.3455, 0.3512, 0.3867, 0.4992, 0.5287, 0.5274, 0.4738, 0.4914, 0.4683, 0.4774, 0.4459, 0.4638, 0.5226, 0.5044, 0.5532, 0.5532, 0.5475, 0.5617, 0.5732, 0.683, 0.7276, 0.7625, 0.6906, 0.6169, 0.6203, 0.5135, 0.4844, 0.5147, 0.562, 0.5396, 0.6688, 0.7128, 0.7043, 0.6718, 0.5948, 0.5083, 0.5177, 0.4298, 0.4504, 0.4832, 0.4389, 0.4449, 0.3752, 0.3573, 0.3261, 0.3264, 0.3691]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978548624859488443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T19:48:46+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SLV surging into $48.38 (2011 highs) is now at risk - for quick reversal from slow down in pace of price gains", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "SPX stalling after volatility spike; SLV at risk of quick reversal after surging to 2011 highs near $48.38.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bear Market Rallies &amp; Metal Squeeze Risks\n\nIn my client post &amp; live trading room I share why $SPX can stall after volatility roared.\n\nAlso, $SLV surging into $48.38 (2011 highs) is now at risk - for quick reversal from slow down in pace of price gains.\n\nJOIN US LIVE #AllAssets https://t.co/lK7XC4czC6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031657408152859445, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031657408152859445, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02723750055523133, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02723750055523133, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017380432569131132, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017380432569131132, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02419075216935307, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02419075216935307, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810319600221937, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810319600221937, "ret_p1w": -0.09207532783663341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09207532783663341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09602921750427484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09602921750427484, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00395388966764143, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00395388966764143, "ret_p1m": -0.01882895981031496, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01882895981031496, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029157219805576173, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029157219805576173, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "ret_p3m": 0.5979722828669347, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5979722828669347, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5497979453465331, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5497979453465331, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "ret_p6m": 0.41506304155991347, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41506304155991347, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3870831844147169, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3870831844147169, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09207532783663341, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09602921750427484, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09602921750427484, "price_path": [-0.2839, -0.2686, -0.2609, -0.2615, -0.2657, -0.2828, -0.2833, -0.2828, -0.3066, -0.3106, -0.305, -0.2969, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2808, -0.2783, -0.2928, -0.288, -0.2758, -0.2862, -0.2862, -0.2851, -0.2992, -0.2876, -0.2839, -0.2688, -0.2754, -0.2754, -0.276, -0.2651, -0.2512, -0.2512, -0.2313, -0.2274, -0.2359, -0.2301, -0.2239, -0.2307, -0.2259, -0.2181, -0.2067, -0.198, -0.2013, -0.2181, -0.2139, -0.1922, -0.1715, -0.1732, -0.1761, -0.151, -0.1339, -0.1206, -0.1233, -0.1121, -0.12, -0.0995, -0.0884, -0.1022, -0.078, -0.0749, -0.06, -0.0221, -0.0317, 0.0, 0.0174, -0.0277, -0.0126, -0.0939, -0.0921, -0.0859, -0.0898, -0.1227, -0.1165, -0.1055, -0.0826, -0.0894, -0.0946, -0.1157, -0.0968, -0.0989, -0.0912, -0.0526, -0.0389, -0.0002, -0.0188, -0.049, -0.0592, -0.0461, -0.0389, -0.0528, -0.0627, -0.0352, -0.0343, 0.0014, 0.0014, 0.0596, 0.0867, 0.0993, 0.0981, 0.071, 0.0956, 0.0906, 0.1415, 0.1601, 0.1922, 0.1608, 0.2024, 0.1945, 0.2468, 0.2274, 0.2607, 0.2926, 0.3416, 0.3495, 0.3495, 0.4715, 0.3658, 0.4273, 0.3329, 0.3329, 0.3604, 0.4293, 0.5251, 0.4682, 0.4424, 0.4976, 0.598, 0.6263, 0.7496, 0.724, 0.6764, 0.6764, 0.7668, 0.7372, 0.8028, 0.9224, 1.0348, 1.102, 1.185, 1.1844, 0.5609, 0.4989, 0.5924, 0.6383, 0.3799, 0.4523, 0.5733, 0.5189, 0.5841, 0.4014, 0.4426, 0.4426, 0.3733, 0.4502, 0.4693, 0.5854, 0.6671, 0.6363, 0.6561, 0.6646, 0.7585, 0.6878, 0.5452, 0.5589, 0.5367, 0.5713, 0.6193, 0.6571, 0.612, 0.5825, 0.504, 0.515, 0.4827, 0.4215, 0.359, 0.2729, 0.2926, 0.3025, 0.3493, 0.2574, 0.3126, 0.3143, 0.4099, 0.4099, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.3675, 0.3644, 0.396, 0.4151]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1942728561539887308", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T23:32:37+00:00", "symbol": "FCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for my rec'd $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding recommended swing longs in FCX, COPX, and XME since May; positions benefiting from copper's historic surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Copper'", "bench_c_industry": "Copper", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers. \n🙄\n\nBut it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX &amp; $XME - from May for clients! 💃 \n\nhttps://t.co/VUg8TLT72u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN 🚨: Copper gets a God Candle as it explodes by more than 13% for its biggest gain IN HISTORY 📈📈 https://t.co/rnj0KrtsZa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014915646310673658, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014915646310673658, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02087665515611814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02090827031936937, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005961008845444482, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005992624008695713, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.035534214356146565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.035534214356146565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03271405524692095, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030195369478379197, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028201591092256173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005338844877767368, "ret_p1w": -0.03213301360471832, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03213301360471832, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032389328777449156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005983450560736903, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002563151727308366, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026149563043981416, "ret_p1m": -0.10211516747957405, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10211516747957405, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11523876142966583, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05994915412824553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123593950091772, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042166013351328524, "ret_p3m": -0.11267860409324071, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11267860409324071, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19185675401586166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0955294875551922, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917814992262096, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017149116538048514, "ret_p6m": 0.12174361966955671, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12174361966955671, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.022760969398359032, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12369568120726582, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898265027119768, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0019520615377091044, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10211516747957405, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11523876142966583, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05994915412824553, "price_path": [-0.2717, -0.263, -0.268, -0.2691, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2773, -0.2529, -0.2281, -0.1746, -0.1807, -0.1832, -0.1847, -0.2097, -0.2014, -0.1753, -0.1807, -0.1682, -0.188, -0.1779, -0.1696, -0.1421, -0.1342, -0.1432, -0.1562, -0.166, -0.1489, -0.1577, -0.1663, -0.1731, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1305, -0.147, -0.1439, -0.156, -0.1193, -0.1174, -0.1038, -0.0855, -0.0902, -0.0713, -0.0746, -0.1005, -0.0967, -0.102, -0.0807, -0.0926, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.1178, -0.102, -0.0785, -0.0873, -0.0248, -0.0377, -0.0491, -0.0338, 0.0039, 0.0046, 0.0046, -0.0101, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0355, 0.0169, 0.0009, -0.0291, -0.0321, -0.0216, -0.0141, -0.0055, 0.0079, -0.0132, -0.0189, -0.0121, -0.0363, -0.0486, -0.1386, -0.1144, -0.1191, -0.1105, -0.1191, -0.1228, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.0876, -0.0724, -0.0594, -0.0695, -0.0678, -0.0812, -0.0876, -0.0909, -0.0819, -0.0475, -0.0385, -0.024, -0.0346, -0.0236, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.011, 0.0169, 0.0139, 0.0198, 0.0268, -0.0341, -0.0123, 0.0106, -0.0158, 0.0044, -0.0031, -0.0077, -0.0112, -0.011, -0.0062, -0.0018, -0.171, -0.2223, -0.2133, -0.1831, -0.1369, -0.1397, -0.1446, -0.127, -0.1127, -0.1045, -0.057, -0.0469, -0.1004, -0.0585, -0.0764, -0.0788, -0.079, -0.0905, -0.0682, -0.0876, -0.0993, -0.0894, -0.0863, -0.0923, -0.0907, -0.0682, -0.0784, -0.079, -0.0905, -0.1294, -0.1119, -0.1464, -0.1208, -0.0956, -0.0929, -0.0766, -0.1046, -0.113, -0.1386, -0.1166, -0.089, -0.1247, -0.1194, -0.0991, -0.0929, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0507, -0.0488, -0.051, -0.0165, -0.0147, -0.0017, -0.0061, -0.0106, 0.0259, 0.0626, 0.0464, 0.0495, 0.05, 0.0561, 0.0584, 0.0855, 0.1184, 0.1463, 0.1467, 0.1467, 0.1714, 0.137, 0.1354, 0.1217, 0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1942728561539887308", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-08T23:32:37+00:00", "symbol": "COPX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for my rec'd $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding recommended swing longs in FCX, COPX, and XME since May; positions benefiting from copper's historic surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["COPX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers. \n🙄\n\nBut it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX &amp; $XME - from May for clients! 💃 \n\nhttps://t.co/VUg8TLT72u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN 🚨: Copper gets a God Candle as it explodes by more than 13% for its biggest gain IN HISTORY 📈📈 https://t.co/rnj0KrtsZa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016477463682607052, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016477463682607052, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022438472528051534, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022438472528051534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005961008845444482, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005961008845444482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012692071035052432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012692071035052432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009871911925826815, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009871911925826815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028201591092256173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028201591092256173, "ret_p1w": -0.013582695407507783, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013582695407507783, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01383901058023862, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01383901058023862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002563151727308366, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0002563151727308366, "ret_p1m": 0.005344093965087504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005344093965087504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007779499985004268, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007779499985004268, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123593950091772, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123593950091772, "ret_p3m": 0.37319082416093097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37319082416093097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29401267423831, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29401267423831, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917814992262096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917814992262096, "ret_p6m": 0.6360120335566748, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6360120335566748, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5370293832854771, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5370293832854771, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898265027119768, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898265027119768, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005344093965087504, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.007779499985004268, "alpha_c_stated": -0.007779499985004268, "price_path": [-0.2134, -0.1953, -0.1984, -0.1984, -0.195, -0.195, -0.1955, -0.1742, -0.155, -0.1246, -0.1322, -0.1344, -0.1368, -0.1627, -0.157, -0.139, -0.1461, -0.1273, -0.147, -0.1401, -0.1328, -0.1082, -0.0952, -0.1047, -0.1109, -0.1246, -0.1158, -0.1151, -0.1102, -0.1096, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0825, -0.0925, -0.0868, -0.0899, -0.0717, -0.0686, -0.0569, -0.0407, -0.0438, -0.0354, -0.0378, -0.0438, -0.0385, -0.0502, -0.0363, -0.0482, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0704, -0.0584, -0.0453, -0.0482, 0.0096, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0116, 0.0381, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.0094, 0.0165, 0.0, 0.0127, 0.0056, 0.0002, -0.0127, -0.0136, -0.0198, -0.0232, -0.0007, 0.0265, 0.0354, 0.0178, 0.0069, -0.0056, -0.016, -0.0445, -0.0414, -0.0481, -0.0325, -0.0229, -0.0143, 0.0053, 0.0296, 0.0131, 0.0352, 0.0523, 0.0354, 0.0499, 0.0392, 0.0261, 0.0303, 0.0383, 0.0735, 0.0737, 0.0873, 0.0795, 0.0897, 0.1091, 0.1091, 0.1167, 0.1363, 0.1165, 0.1369, 0.145, 0.1452, 0.1532, 0.1801, 0.189, 0.2077, 0.1964, 0.1808, 0.173, 0.1922, 0.2066, 0.2051, 0.2456, 0.2518, 0.269, 0.3189, 0.3318, 0.3478, 0.3534, 0.3799, 0.3732, 0.3741, 0.428, 0.4246, 0.3462, 0.4282, 0.3837, 0.4135, 0.3943, 0.3607, 0.3874, 0.3204, 0.3146, 0.3407, 0.3552, 0.3589, 0.377, 0.3992, 0.383, 0.3752, 0.3407, 0.2899, 0.3204, 0.3369, 0.3554, 0.3923, 0.3805, 0.4099, 0.3747, 0.3616, 0.3351, 0.3079, 0.3327, 0.2788, 0.3002, 0.3362, 0.35, 0.3863, 0.3863, 0.4318, 0.4442, 0.4395, 0.5023, 0.4963, 0.5144, 0.5017, 0.4896, 0.5244, 0.5397, 0.5173, 0.5311, 0.5215, 0.5308, 0.5397, 0.5654, 0.6155, 0.6464, 0.6422, 0.6422, 0.6858, 0.625, 0.6522, 0.636, 0.636]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1942728561539887308", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-07-08T23:32:37+00:00", "symbol": "XME", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for my rec'd $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding recommended swing longs in FCX, COPX, and XME since May; positions benefiting from copper's historic surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["XME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers. \n🙄\n\nBut it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX &amp; $XME - from May for clients! 💃 \n\nhttps://t.co/VUg8TLT72u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN 🚨: Copper gets a God Candle as it explodes by more than 13% for its biggest gain IN HISTORY 📈📈 https://t.co/rnj0KrtsZa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0018982086451952984, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018982086451952984, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00785921749063978, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00785921749063978, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005961008845444482, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005961008845444482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053292514957750114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053292514957750114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0504723558485245, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0504723558485245, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028201591092256173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028201591092256173, "ret_p1w": 0.06044671698167181, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06044671698167181, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060190401808940974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060190401808940974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002563151727308366, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0002563151727308366, "ret_p1m": 0.13812233088849135, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13812233088849135, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12499873693839958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12499873693839958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123593950091772, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123593950091772, "ret_p3m": 0.43582848148671194, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43582848148671194, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.356650331564091, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.356650331564091, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917814992262096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917814992262096, "ret_p6m": 0.5163279461002594, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5163279461002594, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41734529582906177, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41734529582906177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898265027119768, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898265027119768, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13812233088849135, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12499873693839958, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12499873693839958, "price_path": [-0.2156, -0.2055, -0.2077, -0.2016, -0.202, -0.202, -0.2226, -0.2122, -0.193, -0.166, -0.1756, -0.1701, -0.1707, -0.1784, -0.1766, -0.1613, -0.1622, -0.1526, -0.1626, -0.1562, -0.1485, -0.1378, -0.1304, -0.1384, -0.1386, -0.1333, -0.1326, -0.1307, -0.1425, -0.1513, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1043, -0.1125, -0.1204, -0.1237, -0.0944, -0.0766, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0609, -0.047, -0.0553, -0.0614, -0.0539, -0.047, -0.0343, -0.0266, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0445, -0.0336, -0.0372, -0.0432, -0.0174, -0.0308, -0.0185, -0.0194, 0.0232, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0099, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0533, 0.0677, 0.0599, 0.0553, 0.0604, 0.0898, 0.0977, 0.1102, 0.1406, 0.1447, 0.128, 0.133, 0.1129, 0.0975, 0.0753, 0.0705, 0.0572, 0.0777, 0.1035, 0.101, 0.1381, 0.1577, 0.1491, 0.1827, 0.1901, 0.177, 0.1648, 0.1551, 0.1307, 0.1257, 0.1314, 0.17, 0.1775, 0.1853, 0.1831, 0.1914, 0.2021, 0.2021, 0.1905, 0.1905, 0.191, 0.2254, 0.2276, 0.2171, 0.2393, 0.2562, 0.2494, 0.3008, 0.2884, 0.2812, 0.3008, 0.3198, 0.3293, 0.3375, 0.3225, 0.3404, 0.3477, 0.3664, 0.3622, 0.3931, 0.413, 0.426, 0.4358, 0.4466, 0.4949, 0.4962, 0.4746, 0.5798, 0.5924, 0.5776, 0.5583, 0.4947, 0.5684, 0.4662, 0.4221, 0.4443, 0.4591, 0.4288, 0.4369, 0.4347, 0.4094, 0.4119, 0.3847, 0.3167, 0.3278, 0.3316, 0.3676, 0.3921, 0.3737, 0.4088, 0.3508, 0.3424, 0.3173, 0.3255, 0.335, 0.2781, 0.2962, 0.3363, 0.3578, 0.3936, 0.3936, 0.4192, 0.4005, 0.412, 0.4569, 0.4734, 0.4579, 0.4354, 0.454, 0.4639, 0.533, 0.493, 0.4741, 0.475, 0.4768, 0.4958, 0.5373, 0.5683, 0.5807, 0.5787, 0.5787, 0.5782, 0.5441, 0.5327, 0.5163, 0.5163]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1964678335209832886", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-07T13:13:11+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Falling global oil demand & an oil industry recession are not on many 2026 bingo cards - but mine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects falling global oil demand and an oil industry recession heading into 2026; bearish oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Conoco Phillips this week announced they’re reducing 25% of workforce &amp; now Halliburton layoffs as oil activity slumps.\n\nFalling global oil demand &amp; an oil industry recession are not on many 2026 bingo cards - but mine. https://t.co/1l5E4IJxfT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005613412609120294, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005613412609120294, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0031628548587522287, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031628548587522287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024505577503680653, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024505577503680653, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0047918739010679445, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047918739010679445, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002479989280916861, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002479989280916861, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023118846201510834, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023118846201510834, "ret_p1w": 0.016292475718648003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016292475718648003, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002325580911539671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002325580911539671, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018618056630187674, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018618056630187674, "ret_p1m": 0.0021905261597665593, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0021905261597665593, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03194027912499231, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03194027912499231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "ret_p3m": -0.02259038205362529, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02259038205362529, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08032110946077164, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08032110946077164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "ret_p6m": 0.2349397017746595, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2349397017746595, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18037667574053895, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18037667574053895, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054563026034120554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054563026034120554, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02259038205362529, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08032110946077164, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08032110946077164, "price_path": [0.0244, 0.0275, 0.0983, 0.076, 0.1268, 0.1264, 0.1264, 0.138, 0.0461, -0.0005, 0.0037, 0.0075, 0.0033, 0.001, 0.0122, 0.0349, 0.0294, 0.0294, 0.0471, 0.0537, 0.0533, 0.0322, 0.0582, 0.0353, 0.0304, 0.0294, 0.0427, 0.0396, 0.0349, 0.0316, 0.0307, 0.0418, 0.0248, 0.0565, 0.0926, 0.1095, 0.0897, 0.0605, 0.042, 0.0271, 0.0103, 0.0052, 0.0036, 0.0104, -0.0012, -0.0079, 0.0096, -0.0033, 0.0018, -0.0101, 0.0066, 0.0149, 0.0219, 0.0371, 0.0138, 0.0225, 0.0301, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0509, 0.0245, 0.0156, -0.0056, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0229, -0.0005, 0.0037, 0.0163, 0.036, 0.0264, 0.0226, 0.0066, 0.0056, 0.0275, 0.0459, 0.0541, 0.0545, 0.0212, 0.0097, 0.0014, -0.0205, -0.0182, -0.0023, 0.0022, 0.0067, -0.0073, -0.05, -0.0378, -0.0553, -0.0554, -0.0716, -0.0693, -0.0713, -0.0653, -0.033, 0.0034, 0.0019, 0.0011, -0.0226, -0.017, -0.0182, -0.0066, -0.0041, -0.0152, -0.0275, -0.0296, -0.0244, -0.0186, -0.0044, -0.0445, -0.0437, -0.0227, -0.0238, -0.0074, -0.0296, -0.0396, -0.0512, -0.0359, -0.0519, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.027, -0.0271, -0.0389, -0.0326, -0.0226, -0.0153, -0.0349, -0.0435, -0.0342, -0.0519, -0.0579, -0.0705, -0.0941, -0.0693, -0.0801, -0.0686, -0.0453, -0.0375, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.0624, -0.047, -0.0452, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0559, -0.0386, -0.062, -0.0719, -0.0342, -0.0309, -0.019, 0.006, -0.0059, -0.0262, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0162, 0.0041, -0.0167, 0.0125, 0.006, 0.0359, 0.049, 0.0835, 0.0887, 0.0314, 0.0607, 0.0663, 0.05, 0.0541, 0.0682, 0.0683, 0.0801, 0.0457, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0368, 0.0871, 0.1116, 0.1069, 0.1076, 0.1057, 0.0916, 0.0921, 0.122, 0.1937, 0.2349]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977829655605661816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T20:11:50+00:00", "symbol": "UAMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "From 12X to 17X in ONE DAY is called a parabola which is really trapped longs that can trigger volatility and then liquidation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Warns UAMY's parabolic move traps longs and risks liquidation-driven selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UAMY - From 12X to 17X in ONE DAY is called a parabola which is really trapped longs that can trigger volatility and then liquidation.\n\nDon't be complacent metal &amp; mining piggies!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04350316306543145, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04350316306543145, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044726303598163986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.033627810412855674, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875352652575775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.21236400860283045, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21236400860283045, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21680353851243583, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20787514121696882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004488867385861628, "ret_p1w": -0.2907841539609257, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2907841539609257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.30446516946680147, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28494868686898545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005835467091940272, "ret_p1m": -0.5638236871747231, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5638236871747231, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.595761297157007, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.553050543756495, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319376099822839, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010773143418228104, "ret_p3m": -0.5621064455612437, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5621064455612437, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6132833814538854, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6508533998713353, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08874695431009161, "ret_p6m": -0.49398966800013666, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49398966800013666, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5206106776923313, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6666631161883342, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17267344818819752, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2907841539609257, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.30446516946680147, "alpha_c_stated": 0.28494868686898545, "price_path": [-0.7865, -0.7785, -0.7979, -0.7962, -0.7865, -0.7939, -0.8082, -0.8088, -0.8243, -0.8329, -0.8248, -0.8306, -0.7968, -0.8031, -0.8054, -0.7985, -0.7916, -0.7831, -0.7813, -0.7705, -0.7636, -0.7556, -0.743, -0.7562, -0.7481, -0.7401, -0.7298, -0.7241, -0.7172, -0.7373, -0.7384, -0.7396, -0.7396, -0.7533, -0.7533, -0.7378, -0.7418, -0.7533, -0.7355, -0.7304, -0.7373, -0.7178, -0.7098, -0.6955, -0.6795, -0.6629, -0.6285, -0.6308, -0.5821, -0.6182, -0.6388, -0.6422, -0.6342, -0.6451, -0.5678, -0.5701, -0.5564, -0.5369, -0.502, -0.4551, -0.3772, -0.3011, -0.0435, 0.0, -0.2124, -0.2811, -0.3595, -0.2313, -0.2908, -0.2496, -0.3286, -0.3125, -0.4522, -0.4768, -0.5192, -0.5226, -0.5381, -0.597, -0.601, -0.6359, -0.5959, -0.5238, -0.561, -0.5381, -0.5638, -0.5884, -0.5776, -0.6079, -0.5947, -0.6142, -0.6634, -0.664, -0.6634, -0.6686, -0.6686, -0.6686, -0.6503, -0.6863, -0.6932, -0.6955, -0.6497, -0.6359, -0.6365, -0.6314, -0.6611, -0.6566, -0.6795, -0.7149, -0.7149, -0.7401, -0.743, -0.7241, -0.68, -0.6548, -0.6365, -0.6365, -0.6428, -0.6789, -0.7035, -0.7127, -0.7127, -0.6606, -0.6068, -0.5999, -0.5512, -0.5758, -0.5621, -0.5094, -0.5564, -0.4974, -0.5255, -0.5255, -0.5255, -0.4694, -0.4785, -0.4167, -0.3789, -0.4562, -0.4327, -0.4448, -0.5255, -0.5804, -0.5501, -0.4476, -0.5381, -0.5724, -0.5072, -0.5289, -0.5335, -0.5369, -0.577, -0.5638, -0.5638, -0.585, -0.5736, -0.5592, -0.577, -0.557, -0.5209, -0.4762, -0.49, -0.4883, -0.3904, -0.4511, -0.4459, -0.4699, -0.4522, -0.4505, -0.3572, -0.3984, -0.4459, -0.4722, -0.3715, -0.4104, -0.4654, -0.4785, -0.5329, -0.4883, -0.4688, -0.435, -0.4934, -0.4991, -0.5495, -0.5003, -0.5249, -0.5026, -0.5026, -0.526, -0.5346, -0.494]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969918265703956874", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T00:14:48+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd & still trend long since NOV 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding long positions in uranium ETFs and CCJ since Nov 2020; expects dotcom-style frenzy then long sustained nuclear bull market.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good take on this uranium & miner run into the hot hot sun:\n\n“A dotcom-style frenzy panic buy on all things nuclear, huge gains, then a major reset (like 2000 dotcom bust), then a L-O-N-G sustained nuclear bull market, just as all things Internet have been in a sustained bull since the 2000-2003 washout cleaned up the dotcom mal-investment.”\n\n$URA $URNM $CCJ \n\nRec’d & still trend long since NOV 2020\n\nhttps://t.co/TDXj3gN0su", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Non-consensus Uranium view:\n\nAs much as I've been an outspoken bull on uranium fundamentals for over two years, I don't think this is about fundamentals any more.\n\nIf I learned anything from running a small HF, it was that market inefficiencies and vicious or virtuous cycles of", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01924601343114707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01924601343114707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014537241510389376, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014537241510389376, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 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{"unit_id": "quote:1969918265703956874", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-22T00:14:48+00:00", "symbol": "URNM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd & still trend long since NOV 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding long positions in uranium ETFs and CCJ since Nov 2020; expects dotcom-style frenzy then long sustained nuclear bull market.", "resolved_tickers": ["URNM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good take on this uranium & miner run into the hot hot sun:\n\n“A dotcom-style frenzy panic buy on all things nuclear, huge gains, then a major reset (like 2000 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{"unit_id": "quote:1969918265703956874", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-22T00:14:48+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rec'd & still trend long since NOV 2020", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding long positions in uranium ETFs and CCJ since Nov 2020; expects dotcom-style frenzy then long sustained nuclear bull market.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good take on this uranium & miner run into the hot hot sun:\n\n“A dotcom-style frenzy panic buy on all things nuclear, huge gains, then a major reset (like 2000 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{"unit_id": "orig:1928496262946377928", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-30T16:58:33+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we need more electricity, and more of that electricity needs to come from nuclear power", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish nuclear power demand outlook; tags uranium ETF and Cameco as plays on growing nuclear electricity needs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“The United States is dominant in energy, and has some of the lowest prices for gasoline in the world. But the problem is that we need more electricity, and more of that electricity needs to come from nuclear power, and the supply chains for nuclear power run through Russia and China.” $URA $CCJ \n@35quai \n\nhttps://t.co/ju3TbIJRNf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01059289493590998, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01059289493590998, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009473031419801048, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016391613016142337, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001119863516108932, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008953733634295746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005979832659765205, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005979832659765205, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011612859560327649, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019103881749320206, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005633026900562443, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013124049089555001, "ret_p1w": 0.03229110942312752, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03229110942312752, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015748444397891248, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009232149860767702, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01654266502523627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023058959562359815, "ret_p1m": 0.26823858103505205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26823858103505205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21685224061859598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2195458815837441, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05138634041645607, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04869269945130794, "ret_p3m": 0.28617794841039323, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28617794841039323, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18581711166736037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1829546487297804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10036083674303287, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10322329968061283, "ret_p6m": 0.4238850601614055, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4238850601614055, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28276209454774737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3118709607303991, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1411229656136581, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11201409943100638, "ret_p1y": 0.7721092904339395, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7721092904339395, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5129410117231814, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2203445580767478, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2591682787107581, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5517647323571917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.26823858103505205, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21685224061859598, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2195458815837441, "price_path": [-0.2843, -0.2655, -0.2802, -0.2853, -0.3057, -0.287, -0.2722, -0.2857, -0.2744, -0.2597, -0.2638, -0.245, -0.2337, -0.2392, -0.2185, -0.24, -0.2611, -0.2717, -0.2853, -0.2968, -0.2858, -0.2744, -0.301, -0.3537, -0.3651, -0.3733, -0.3157, -0.3391, -0.3022, -0.2942, -0.3028, -0.2947, -0.2964, -0.2964, -0.3233, -0.3135, -0.2829, -0.2501, -0.2484, -0.2257, -0.224, -0.2286, -0.2225, -0.1968, -0.2071, -0.1773, -0.1502, -0.1587, -0.1333, -0.1259, -0.1123, -0.0894, -0.1186, -0.124, -0.1256, -0.1047, -0.1087, -0.0977, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0331, 0.0321, 0.0106, 0.0, -0.006, 0.0196, 0.0243, 0.0256, 0.0323, 0.1432, 0.0906, 0.1333, 0.13, 0.1389, 0.185, 0.1832, 0.1903, 0.1903, 0.1664, 0.1912, 0.2359, 0.2204, 0.2722, 0.2518, 0.2682, 0.2245, 0.2243, 0.2549, 0.2549, 0.2846, 0.2291, 0.2225, 0.21, 0.2421, 0.2838, 0.2951, 0.3017, 0.3311, 0.3492, 0.3169, 0.3309, 0.3523, 0.3655, 0.36, 0.3521, 0.3444, 0.3284, 0.2802, 0.246, 0.2858, 0.2744, 0.3079, 0.3048, 0.3142, 0.327, 0.34, 0.2916, 0.2908, 0.2916, 0.3125, 0.2612, 0.204, 0.2204, 0.2799, 0.2809, 0.3072, 0.2862, 0.3434, 0.3222, 0.3222, 0.2886, 0.3185, 0.3038, 0.2959, 0.3197, 0.3222, 0.3578, 0.3649, 0.3345, 0.4748, 0.3708, 0.3977, 0.4114, 0.4724, 0.4746, 0.4845, 0.4196, 0.4635, 0.4622, 0.443, 0.4328, 0.4264, 0.4386, 0.4381, 0.4575, 0.477, 0.4729, 0.4818, 0.4804, 0.5744, 0.5922, 0.5968, 0.557, 0.4794, 0.4676, 0.4141, 0.4273, 0.4745, 0.5057, 0.4799, 0.8266, 0.8225, 0.7892, 0.7463, 0.723, 0.6564, 0.6272, 0.5418, 0.5763, 0.6101, 0.5807, 0.5816, 0.469, 0.4481, 0.4186, 0.4232, 0.4734, 0.4006, 0.3573, 0.4239]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981375977373462677", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T15:03:39+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "flows are now moving through Chinese bonds and ultimately into Gold, the final settlement asset beyond debt and politics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold as global reserves rotate away from US Treasuries into Chinese bonds and ultimately gold as the final settlement asset.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"As Japan and China reduce their U.S. Treasury exposure, their reserves are quietly re-anchoring elsewhere. The correlation between Treasuries and global reserves has broken, flows are now moving through Chinese bonds and ultimately into Gold, the final settlement asset beyond debt and politics\" @SunilRe89392848 🎯", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019658246917040323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019658246917040323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013763241374097124, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013763241374097124, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895005542943199, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005895005542943199, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001721027186098678, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001721027186098678, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009893581880579094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009893581880579094, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "ret_p1w": -0.030105429928948046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030105429928948046, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042118697813929185, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042118697813929185, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "ret_p1m": -0.01182888106365898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01182888106365898, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007121379575141251, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007121379575141251, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "ret_p3m": 0.15370260517664525, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15370260517664525, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14205834770887948, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14205834770887948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "ret_p6m": 0.1774573015770815, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1774573015770815, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11430448500063517, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11430448500063517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01182888106365898, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007121379575141251, "alpha_c_stated": 0.007121379575141251, "price_path": [-0.1979, -0.1944, -0.2011, -0.2017, -0.1885, -0.1821, -0.1802, -0.1807, -0.1758, -0.1664, -0.1872, -0.1882, -0.1859, -0.1916, -0.1914, -0.1924, -0.1968, -0.1896, -0.1912, -0.1821, -0.1822, -0.1786, -0.1747, -0.1681, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1396, -0.129, -0.1357, -0.1242, -0.1181, -0.1169, -0.1168, -0.1184, -0.1154, -0.1075, -0.1058, -0.1076, -0.1168, -0.11, -0.0933, -0.0836, -0.0954, -0.0942, -0.0849, -0.0738, -0.069, -0.0625, -0.0693, -0.0593, -0.0429, -0.0361, -0.0199, -0.0434, -0.0363, -0.0041, 0.0032, 0.0125, 0.0375, 0.0156, 0.0511, -0.0092, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0017, -0.03, -0.0386, -0.0344, -0.0301, -0.0347, -0.0303, -0.0431, -0.0352, -0.0353, -0.0306, -0.0033, -0.0045, 0.0191, 0.0149, -0.0092, -0.0139, -0.0156, -0.0116, -0.0167, -0.0118, -0.0081, 0.0033, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0225, 0.0276, 0.0148, 0.0179, 0.0209, 0.0212, 0.015, 0.0197, 0.0172, 0.0388, 0.0423, 0.0439, 0.0434, 0.0538, 0.0519, 0.0572, 0.0773, 0.0866, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.0978, 0.0484, 0.0593, 0.0485, 0.0485, 0.0458, 0.0755, 0.0865, 0.0785, 0.0786, 0.0884, 0.1161, 0.1124, 0.1214, 0.119, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.1537, 0.1712, 0.1899, 0.2062, 0.2313, 0.2313, 0.2851, 0.2892, 0.1426, 0.1205, 0.1886, 0.1927, 0.1784, 0.2001, 0.2243, 0.2129, 0.2293, 0.1935, 0.2173, 0.2173, 0.1836, 0.2087, 0.2061, 0.2263, 0.2616, 0.2497, 0.262, 0.2548, 0.2678, 0.2833, 0.238, 0.2411, 0.2278, 0.2474, 0.2342, 0.2677, 0.2526, 0.24, 0.2247, 0.2105, 0.2122, 0.1853, 0.1152, 0.1078, 0.0675, 0.0664, 0.1028, 0.0606, 0.0888, 0.0971, 0.1266, 0.1594, 0.1275, 0.1275, 0.1288, 0.1289, 0.1513, 0.1616, 0.1543, 0.1495, 0.1696, 0.1635, 0.16, 0.1775]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967647918149816474", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T17:53:15+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold miners and precious metals ETFs; weekly client chart is bullish, 100-level reading is a positive not a negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\". \n\nhttps://t.co/bWFFY5tU3q\n\n$GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners are printing money.\n\nMargins have never been this fat.\n\nAnd yet… most gold stocks are still trading like it’s 2015. https://t.co/ZE5d7ecTE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010357585462373753, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010357585462373753, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00506181664309413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00506181664309413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020715170924747617, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020715170924747617, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019338379344941647, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019338379344941647, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.054625351611421014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054625351611421014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04285544098288874, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04285544098288874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": 0.11308165671647319, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11308165671647319, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10830635153000734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10830635153000734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": 0.22389330857215506, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22389330857215506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1782430268924562, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1782430268924562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": 0.47730911035304957, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47730911035304957, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4468147408657015, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4468147408657015, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11308165671647319, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10830635153000734, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10830635153000734, "price_path": [-0.248, -0.248, -0.2581, -0.2465, -0.2642, -0.2633, -0.2534, -0.2802, -0.2614, -0.2616, -0.2528, -0.2493, -0.2493, -0.2456, -0.2794, -0.2693, -0.2636, -0.2562, -0.2558, -0.2676, -0.2648, -0.273, -0.2745, -0.2477, -0.227, -0.2361, -0.2433, -0.2344, -0.2538, -0.2445, -0.2653, -0.2673, -0.2558, -0.2205, -0.1989, -0.1857, -0.1779, -0.1762, -0.1815, -0.1741, -0.1761, -0.1813, -0.1731, -0.1757, -0.1969, -0.1725, -0.1588, -0.1461, -0.145, -0.126, -0.1277, -0.1298, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.0806, -0.0749, -0.0839, -0.0587, -0.046, -0.0515, -0.0281, -0.0102, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.0207, -0.0258, -0.024, 0.0267, 0.0546, 0.0532, 0.0261, 0.0376, 0.0596, 0.0743, 0.084, 0.0944, 0.0939, 0.0936, 0.1154, 0.0921, 0.123, 0.0728, 0.0752, 0.1261, 0.1131, 0.1559, 0.1981, 0.1171, 0.1402, 0.0328, 0.035, 0.047, 0.0329, -0.0081, 0.0077, 0.0084, 0.0343, 0.0224, 0.0116, -0.0312, 0.0027, 0.004, 0.0294, 0.078, 0.0884, 0.1244, 0.0932, 0.0806, 0.0634, 0.0731, 0.0839, 0.0353, 0.045, 0.1061, 0.1039, 0.1571, 0.1571, 0.1809, 0.1751, 0.1579, 0.1501, 0.1548, 0.1497, 0.1232, 0.1626, 0.1822, 0.2239, 0.2154, 0.2039, 0.2036, 0.2178, 0.2155, 0.2456, 0.2888, 0.2901, 0.2819, 0.2819, 0.3047, 0.2269, 0.2411, 0.2258, 0.2258, 0.2252, 0.2641, 0.3168, 0.3014, 0.3082, 0.3228, 0.368, 0.3787, 0.3843, 0.3878, 0.3897, 0.3897, 0.4689, 0.4476, 0.503, 0.5295, 0.536, 0.5619, 0.6029, 0.5432, 0.3463, 0.3461, 0.4037, 0.4106, 0.3211, 0.3918, 0.4704, 0.4722, 0.5145, 0.4046, 0.4855, 0.4855, 0.4327, 0.4657, 0.4897, 0.5186, 0.5762, 0.5821, 0.5886, 0.6277, 0.6555, 0.6484, 0.504, 0.5132, 0.4552, 0.4489, 0.464, 0.4773]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967647918149816474", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-15T17:53:15+00:00", "symbol": "GDXJ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold miners and precious metals ETFs; weekly client chart is bullish, 100-level reading is a positive not a negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDXJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\". \n\nhttps://t.co/bWFFY5tU3q\n\n$GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners are printing money.\n\nMargins have never been this fat.\n\nAnd yet… most gold stocks are still trading like it’s 2015. https://t.co/ZE5d7ecTE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015958060780303263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015958060780303263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01066229196102364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01066229196102364, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028855650512189968, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028855650512189968, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027478858932383998, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027478858932383998, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.04033228897623853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04033228897623853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028562378347706252, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028562378347706252, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": 0.13258287496081, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13258287496081, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12780756977434415, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12780756977434415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": 0.2555471144392143, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2555471144392143, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20989683275951543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20989683275951543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": 0.5536232081882146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5536232081882146, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5231288387008666, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5231288387008666, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13258287496081, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12780756977434415, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12780756977434415, "price_path": [-0.2476, -0.2476, -0.2655, -0.2559, -0.27, -0.2701, -0.2595, -0.2841, -0.2612, -0.2613, -0.254, -0.2518, -0.2518, -0.2456, -0.2743, -0.2653, -0.262, -0.2476, -0.2504, -0.2608, -0.2623, -0.2703, -0.2765, -0.2503, -0.2318, -0.2451, -0.2545, -0.2587, -0.2773, -0.2727, -0.2924, -0.2981, -0.2892, -0.2612, -0.2395, -0.2213, -0.209, -0.2105, -0.2142, -0.2029, -0.2017, -0.2046, -0.1925, -0.1944, -0.2216, -0.199, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1693, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1568, -0.125, -0.125, -0.0932, -0.0841, -0.0963, -0.0725, -0.0559, -0.0644, -0.0372, -0.0162, -0.016, 0.0, -0.0289, -0.0424, -0.0428, 0.0054, 0.0403, 0.0385, 0.0141, 0.0273, 0.0516, 0.0738, 0.0824, 0.0919, 0.0891, 0.0902, 0.1201, 0.1004, 0.1456, 0.0918, 0.0919, 0.1492, 0.1326, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.127, 0.16, 0.0396, 0.0384, 0.0501, 0.0369, -0.0022, 0.016, 0.0138, 0.0376, 0.0238, 0.0064, -0.043, -0.0162, -0.0125, 0.0168, 0.0675, 0.0716, 0.1088, 0.0776, 0.065, 0.0497, 0.0591, 0.069, 0.0212, 0.0272, 0.0914, 0.0947, 0.1513, 0.1513, 0.1944, 0.1835, 0.1727, 0.1668, 0.1693, 0.166, 0.1421, 0.1903, 0.212, 0.2555, 0.2493, 0.2305, 0.2376, 0.2528, 0.2482, 0.2857, 0.3418, 0.3418, 0.3303, 0.3303, 0.3597, 0.2727, 0.2875, 0.2723, 0.2723, 0.2658, 0.3121, 0.3629, 0.344, 0.3528, 0.3636, 0.4123, 0.4107, 0.4165, 0.4218, 0.4321, 0.4321, 0.5207, 0.5067, 0.5888, 0.6217, 0.6134, 0.6484, 0.682, 0.6066, 0.3876, 0.3875, 0.4521, 0.4576, 0.3549, 0.4376, 0.5308, 0.5244, 0.5786, 0.4408, 0.5246, 0.5246, 0.4626, 0.4992, 0.5423, 0.588, 0.6397, 0.6446, 0.6533, 0.714, 0.7465, 0.7335, 0.5791, 0.5933, 0.5287, 0.5226, 0.5345, 0.5536]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967647918149816474", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-15T17:53:15+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold miners and precious metals ETFs; weekly client chart is bullish, 100-level reading is a positive not a negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\". \n\nhttps://t.co/bWFFY5tU3q\n\n$GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners are printing money.\n\nMargins have never been this fat.\n\nAnd yet… most gold stocks are still trading like it’s 2015. https://t.co/ZE5d7ecTE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010297690232403123, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010297690232403123, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0050019214131235, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0050019214131235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0020064107533963593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020064107533963593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033832023332023287, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033832023332023287, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.01811685717303546, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01811685717303546, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006346946544503185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006346946544503185, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": 0.12357264297387505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12357264297387505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1187973377874092, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1187973377874092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": 0.16030800503142473, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16030800503142473, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11465772335172586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11465772335172586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": 0.40999079457089493, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40999079457089493, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37949642508354686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37949642508354686, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12357264297387505, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1187973377874092, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1187973377874092, "price_path": [-0.0845, -0.0845, -0.0849, -0.0821, -0.0965, -0.0938, -0.0948, -0.1112, -0.1006, -0.0925, -0.0875, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0931, -0.1025, -0.0985, -0.0965, -0.0878, -0.0912, -0.095, -0.0904, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0761, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0845, -0.093, -0.0988, -0.0964, -0.112, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.0826, -0.0819, -0.0838, -0.0761, -0.0763, -0.0896, -0.0904, -0.0876, -0.0934, -0.0929, -0.0943, -0.0993, -0.0901, -0.0933, -0.0836, -0.0858, -0.0792, -0.0773, -0.0705, -0.0615, -0.0615, -0.0393, -0.0318, -0.0361, -0.0232, -0.0121, -0.0143, -0.0108, -0.0122, -0.0103, 0.0, 0.002, -0.0057, -0.0097, 0.0008, 0.0181, 0.0223, 0.013, 0.0172, 0.0231, 0.04, 0.0489, 0.0505, 0.0469, 0.0553, 0.0752, 0.0807, 0.0985, 0.0783, 0.0891, 0.1156, 0.1236, 0.143, 0.1698, 0.1478, 0.1895, 0.1131, 0.1132, 0.1177, 0.1139, 0.0829, 0.0752, 0.0711, 0.0921, 0.0862, 0.0881, 0.0691, 0.0814, 0.0801, 0.0867, 0.1165, 0.1209, 0.1389, 0.1297, 0.1093, 0.0966, 0.1046, 0.1064, 0.106, 0.1043, 0.1218, 0.1215, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.1445, 0.15, 0.1426, 0.1415, 0.1423, 0.1402, 0.1372, 0.1431, 0.1479, 0.1603, 0.1668, 0.1679, 0.1681, 0.1782, 0.176, 0.1774, 0.2045, 0.2205, 0.2155, 0.2155, 0.2296, 0.1761, 0.177, 0.1694, 0.1694, 0.1752, 0.2061, 0.2191, 0.2075, 0.2142, 0.223, 0.2458, 0.2441, 0.2568, 0.2491, 0.2431, 0.2431, 0.2901, 0.3089, 0.3331, 0.3514, 0.3712, 0.4048, 0.4593, 0.4632, 0.3129, 0.2603, 0.3404, 0.3395, 0.3038, 0.3439, 0.378, 0.3644, 0.3798, 0.3319, 0.365, 0.365, 0.3225, 0.3522, 0.356, 0.3827, 0.4201, 0.4004, 0.3969, 0.4089, 0.4274, 0.4458, 0.3813, 0.3921, 0.3754, 0.3972, 0.3943, 0.41]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967647918149816474", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-15T17:53:15+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold miners and precious metals ETFs; weekly client chart is bullish, 100-level reading is a positive not a negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have posted my bullish precent gold miners chart for clients each week and also said early last month... \"rising into and staying at 100 is not bearish gold miners - just the opposite\". \n\nhttps://t.co/bWFFY5tU3q\n\n$GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold miners are printing money.\n\nMargins have never been this fat.\n\nAnd yet… most gold stocks are still trading like it’s 2015. https://t.co/ZE5d7ecTE4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010835866541097916, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010835866541097916, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005540097721818293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005540097721818293, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004127963218285791, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004127963218285791, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0027511716384798213, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0027511716384798213, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.03302380416469286, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03302380416469286, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021253893536160584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021253893536160584, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": 0.20743037316027713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20743037316027713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20265506797381128, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20265506797381128, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": 0.4865841441451726, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4865841441451726, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4409338624654737, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4409338624654737, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": 1.0663054645540697, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0663054645540697, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0358110950667216, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0358110950667216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20743037316027713, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20265506797381128, "alpha_c_stated": 0.20265506797381128, "price_path": [-0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1558, -0.1496, -0.1587, -0.1483, -0.1398, -0.1584, -0.1535, -0.1556, -0.1424, -0.1354, -0.1354, -0.1375, -0.1411, -0.1486, -0.1293, -0.0962, -0.1066, -0.1161, -0.1122, -0.106, -0.1071, -0.088, -0.0784, -0.0792, -0.0844, -0.1058, -0.1063, -0.1058, -0.1354, -0.1404, -0.1334, -0.1233, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1032, -0.1001, -0.1182, -0.1122, -0.097, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1086, -0.1262, -0.1117, -0.1071, -0.0882, -0.0965, -0.0965, -0.0973, -0.0836, -0.0663, -0.0663, -0.0415, -0.0366, -0.0472, -0.04, -0.0322, -0.0408, -0.0348, -0.025, -0.0108, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.025, -0.0199, 0.0072, 0.033, 0.031, 0.0273, 0.0586, 0.08, 0.0965, 0.0931, 0.1071, 0.0973, 0.1228, 0.1367, 0.1195, 0.1496, 0.1535, 0.1721, 0.2193, 0.2074, 0.2469, 0.2686, 0.2123, 0.2312, 0.1298, 0.1321, 0.1398, 0.1349, 0.0939, 0.1017, 0.1153, 0.144, 0.1354, 0.129, 0.1027, 0.1262, 0.1236, 0.1331, 0.1814, 0.1984, 0.2466, 0.2234, 0.1858, 0.1731, 0.1894, 0.1984, 0.1811, 0.1687, 0.203, 0.2041, 0.2487, 0.2487, 0.3212, 0.355, 0.3707, 0.3692, 0.3354, 0.3661, 0.3599, 0.4234, 0.4466, 0.4866, 0.4474, 0.4992, 0.4894, 0.5547, 0.5304, 0.572, 0.6117, 0.6729, 0.6827, 0.6827, 0.8349, 0.703, 0.7797, 0.662, 0.662, 0.6963, 0.7822, 0.9017, 0.8308, 0.7985, 0.8674, 0.9925, 1.0279, 1.1816, 1.1496, 1.0903, 1.0903, 1.203, 1.1662, 1.2479, 1.3971, 1.5372, 1.621, 1.7245, 1.7237, 0.9463, 0.8689, 0.9856, 1.0428, 0.7206, 0.8109, 0.9618, 0.894, 0.9752, 0.7474, 0.7988, 0.7988, 0.7123, 0.8083, 0.832, 0.9768, 1.0787, 1.0402, 1.065, 1.0756, 1.1927, 1.1045, 0.9267, 0.9438, 0.9162, 0.9592, 1.0191, 1.0663]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978507942249849016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T17:07:06+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LONG GOLD, SHORT OIL was my call since APR 2024", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reaffirms long gold / short oil position held since Apr 2024, with China controlling gold and oil pricing as thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bessent saying China is in depression without US is such a bold-faced lie. \n\nNot only does China now control the pricing of Gold AND oil - as I’ve posted repeatedly past few months - but the Chinese are richer as a result!\n\nLONG GOLD, SHORT OIL was my call since APR 2024!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@onechancefreedm Gold manages FX convertibility, liquidity mismatch, and collateral scarcity (even BIS calls gold collateral), and gold's price rise in the last year alone has improved Chinese consumer balance sheets by an estimated $1.2T.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009145468630889497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009145468630889497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004725561033261383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004725561033261383, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024731330743833713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024731330743833713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03154165034405565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03154165034405565, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810319600221937, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810319600221937, "ret_p1w": -0.03172209128728498, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03172209128728498, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03567598095492641, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03567598095492641, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00395388966764143, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00395388966764143, "ret_p1m": 0.0023941200971535626, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0023941200971535626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00793413989810765, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00793413989810765, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "ret_p3m": 0.10232466957226505, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10232466957226505, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05415033205186348, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05415033205186348, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "ret_p6m": 0.14731027971809696, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14731027971809696, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11933042257290039, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11933042257290039, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0023941200971535626, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00793413989810765, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00793413989810765, "price_path": [-0.1973, -0.1855, -0.1766, -0.1874, -0.1929, -0.2018, -0.2078, -0.2043, -0.2109, -0.2116, -0.1985, -0.1921, -0.1903, -0.1908, -0.1859, -0.1766, -0.1972, -0.1982, -0.1959, -0.2015, -0.2013, -0.2024, -0.2067, -0.1995, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.1923, -0.1887, -0.1849, -0.1784, -0.1684, -0.1684, -0.1502, -0.1397, -0.1463, -0.135, -0.129, -0.1278, -0.1277, -0.1293, -0.1263, -0.1184, -0.1168, -0.1185, -0.1277, -0.121, -0.1044, -0.0949, -0.1065, -0.1053, -0.0961, -0.0852, -0.0805, -0.0741, -0.0807, -0.0709, -0.0547, -0.048, -0.032, -0.0552, -0.0481, -0.0164, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0247, 0.0031, 0.0382, -0.0214, -0.0317, -0.0123, -0.014, -0.0419, -0.0504, -0.0463, -0.042, -0.0466, -0.0423, -0.0549, -0.0471, -0.0472, -0.0425, -0.0156, -0.0168, 0.0066, 0.0024, -0.0214, -0.026, -0.0277, -0.0237, -0.0288, -0.024, -0.0204, -0.009, -0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0099, 0.0149, 0.0023, 0.0054, 0.0084, 0.0086, 0.0025, 0.0071, 0.0047, 0.026, 0.0295, 0.0311, 0.0305, 0.0408, 0.0389, 0.0442, 0.0641, 0.0732, 0.0727, 0.0727, 0.0843, 0.0355, 0.0463, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0329, 0.0622, 0.0731, 0.0652, 0.0653, 0.075, 0.1023, 0.0987, 0.1076, 0.1052, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.1395, 0.1568, 0.1752, 0.1914, 0.2161, 0.2162, 0.2693, 0.2733, 0.1286, 0.1067, 0.174, 0.178, 0.1639, 0.1854, 0.2092, 0.198, 0.2142, 0.1788, 0.2023, 0.2023, 0.169, 0.1938, 0.1913, 0.2113, 0.2461, 0.2344, 0.2465, 0.2393, 0.2522, 0.2675, 0.2228, 0.2258, 0.2127, 0.232, 0.219, 0.2521, 0.2371, 0.2248, 0.2096, 0.1956, 0.1973, 0.1707, 0.1015, 0.0942, 0.0544, 0.0532, 0.0893, 0.0475, 0.0754, 0.0836, 0.1127, 0.1452, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.1149, 0.115, 0.1371, 0.1473]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1975224988623048837", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-06T15:41:49+00:00", "symbol": "BWXT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "URANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium trend; names CCJ, URA, FLR, SMR, PWR, BWXT as plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["BWXT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s So Old It’s New\n\nURANIUM TREND IS EN FUEGO\n\n$CCJ $URA $FLR $SMR $PWR $BWXT\n\n https://t.co/vcdXUtAiq4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024767440715406153, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024767440715406153, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021194075767883236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02012618146168954, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 5.227985397837642e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": 5.227985397837642e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003759793743296158, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005724963044806741, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.03129905989934256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03129905989934256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04405942819683217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05495658558250127, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": 0.0470791693924113, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0470791693924113, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041674268209509036, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06332362626818155, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": -0.09558999016129976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09558999016129976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11394145544068546, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09895030818153594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": 0.07149994583871178, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07149994583871178, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09765642379856299, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.022444805782406485, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0470791693924113, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.041674268209509036, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06332362626818155, "price_path": [-0.2823, -0.288, -0.2849, -0.2766, -0.2828, -0.2703, -0.2573, -0.2541, -0.2676, -0.2693, -0.2519, -0.2495, -0.228, -0.2182, -0.2159, -0.2049, -0.2073, -0.22, -0.1938, -0.0504, -0.0622, -0.0633, -0.065, -0.0718, -0.0634, -0.0777, -0.0885, -0.0947, -0.1068, -0.1339, -0.1454, -0.1361, -0.1478, -0.1491, -0.1299, -0.1347, -0.1335, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1638, -0.159, -0.1442, -0.1449, -0.1444, -0.1523, -0.1319, -0.1112, -0.1204, -0.0892, -0.077, -0.1202, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0689, -0.0698, -0.0855, -0.0793, -0.0562, -0.0492, -0.0366, -0.0219, -0.0297, -0.0248, 0.0, 0.0001, 0.0294, 0.0221, -0.0068, 0.0313, 0.0579, 0.065, 0.0921, 0.0613, 0.0854, 0.0724, -0.0011, 0.0446, 0.0622, 0.0661, 0.0849, 0.1166, 0.1171, 0.1162, 0.1279, 0.0471, 0.0352, 0.0133, 0.0113, 0.0387, 0.0223, 0.0282, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0794, -0.0808, -0.0591, -0.0828, -0.1114, -0.0863, -0.0829, -0.0676, -0.0676, -0.064, -0.0847, -0.078, -0.0858, -0.0669, -0.0693, -0.0647, -0.073, -0.06, -0.0404, -0.0841, -0.0876, -0.0937, -0.1203, -0.1065, -0.0768, -0.0664, -0.0706, -0.0729, -0.0729, -0.0797, -0.0817, -0.0876, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0484, -0.0109, 0.0219, 0.0059, 0.0109, 0.0542, 0.0812, 0.1017, 0.0679, 0.1159, 0.1401, 0.1401, 0.0783, 0.0963, 0.0797, 0.0871, 0.0781, 0.1114, 0.1318, 0.0998, 0.0749, 0.0781, 0.1035, -0.0053, -0.0193, 0.0318, 0.0622, 0.0456, 0.0387, 0.0303, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0522, 0.0583, 0.094, 0.0802, 0.0381, 0.0687, 0.0898, 0.0844, 0.0778, 0.1327, 0.077, 0.0757, 0.023, 0.0216, 0.0486, 0.0251, 0.0269, 0.0366, 0.0172, 0.0724, 0.0872, 0.095, 0.101, 0.0467, 0.0734, 0.0729, 0.1639, 0.0746, 0.0615, 0.0039, 0.0715]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975234901394759851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T16:21:13+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold is far out performing oil and will continue to", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold will continue to outperform oil; long GLD / short USO on intermarket analysis confirmation.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LeopoldHeinrich Excellent chart. I love intermarket analysis and this is for the proof that gold is far out performing oil and will continue to", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The #GLD:#USO ratio confirms this view. Golden cross, parabolic curve,higher highs and higher lows... https://t.co/9CVOgopo9h", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LeopoldHeinrich", "ret_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01849714623211185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014923781284588933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005159462258136571, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008866976147454353, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "ret_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037625531783741506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050385900081231116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01105833312480109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08762827885149793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06927681357211224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18088260271939616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20703908067924737, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005653431941898823, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01105833312480109, "price_path": [-0.1615, -0.1597, -0.1516, -0.1547, -0.1582, -0.154, -0.1559, -0.1537, -0.1406, -0.1325, -0.1433, -0.1485, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1595, -0.174, -0.1686, -0.1517, -0.1467, -0.1461, -0.1479, -0.1407, -0.1409, -0.1532, -0.154, -0.1514, -0.1568, -0.1563, -0.1576, -0.1622, -0.1537, -0.1567, -0.1476, -0.1497, -0.1435, -0.1418, -0.1354, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1065, -0.0995, -0.1034, -0.0915, -0.0811, -0.0832, -0.0799, -0.0813, -0.0795, -0.0699, -0.068, -0.0752, -0.0789, -0.0692, -0.053, -0.0492, -0.0578, -0.0539, -0.0484, -0.0327, -0.0245, -0.0229, -0.0263, -0.0185, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0217, 0.0029, 0.013, 0.0376, 0.045, 0.0631, 0.088, 0.0675, 0.1064, 0.0353, 0.0354, 0.0395, 0.0361, 0.0072, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0158, 0.0103, 0.0121, -0.0057, 0.0058, 0.0046, 0.0108, 0.0384, 0.0425, 0.0593, 0.0507, 0.0318, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.029, 0.0287, 0.0271, 0.0434, 0.0431, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0645, 0.0696, 0.0627, 0.0617, 0.0624, 0.0605, 0.0577, 0.0632, 0.0677, 0.0792, 0.0852, 0.0862, 0.0865, 0.0958, 0.0938, 0.0951, 0.1203, 0.1352, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1437, 0.0939, 0.0947, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.093, 0.1218, 0.1339, 0.1231, 0.1293, 0.1375, 0.1588, 0.1571, 0.1689, 0.1618, 0.1562, 0.1562, 0.1999, 0.2174, 0.2399, 0.2569, 0.2753, 0.3066, 0.3573, 0.3609, 0.2211, 0.1722, 0.2467, 0.2459, 0.2127, 0.25, 0.2817, 0.269, 0.2834, 0.2388, 0.2696, 0.2696, 0.23, 0.2577, 0.2612, 0.2861, 0.3208, 0.3025, 0.2992, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3447, 0.2848, 0.2948, 0.2792, 0.2995, 0.2968, 0.3114, 0.307, 0.2813, 0.2647, 0.2636, 0.2604, 0.2205, 0.1702, 0.1345, 0.1088, 0.1091, 0.1425, 0.0995, 0.1381, 0.1378, 0.1809]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962901002543038617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T15:30:42+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SO TOO WILL $NVDA SHORT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects NVDA short to work, following a successful MSFT short call.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From last Wednesday's Macro-to-Micro Options Power Hour...\n\n$MSFT SHORT WORKED &amp; SO TOO WILL $NVDA SHORT 😉💃 https://t.co/WK7OCj3REQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019908563308068228, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019908563308068228, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012442892449716636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006609186436860037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465670858351592, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01329937687120819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009368051517751885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009368051517751885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006356447698253498, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007622000062449397, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419642546478309, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00017460514553024886, "ret_p1w": -0.0001172012939381073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0001172012939381073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015829345505199877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0396661216165024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01571214421126177, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039548920322564296, "ret_p1m": 0.09644315544890736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09644315544890736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04953592270798213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06835012124852935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690723274092523, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1647932766974367, "ret_p3m": 0.03647957373799926, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03647957373799926, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033826192219995166, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19320483975006653, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2296844134880658, "ret_p6m": 0.14522725465094544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14522725465094544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05642781390639473, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3469747128519809, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.49220196750292633, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09644315544890736, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04953592270798213, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06835012124852935, "price_path": [-0.1803, -0.1702, -0.1649, -0.1571, -0.1637, -0.151, -0.1687, -0.1528, -0.1561, -0.1481, -0.1481, -0.1577, -0.1558, -0.134, -0.0964, -0.0923, -0.0763, -0.0749, -0.1024, -0.0792, -0.067, -0.067, -0.0734, -0.0631, -0.0463, -0.0391, -0.0343, -0.0393, -0.0005, 0.0035, 0.013, 0.0095, 0.0035, -0.022, 0.0, 0.0173, 0.0159, 0.035, 0.0277, 0.0497, 0.0415, 0.0172, 0.054, 0.0438, 0.0506, 0.0585, 0.0698, 0.066, 0.0725, 0.0633, 0.0658, 0.0566, 0.0658, 0.0285, 0.0271, 0.0246, 0.0422, 0.0529, 0.0644, 0.0634, 0.055, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0, -0.0009, 0.0052, -0.022, -0.0145, -0.0001, 0.0384, 0.0375, 0.0413, 0.0409, 0.0241, -0.0028, 0.032, 0.0345, 0.0752, 0.0449, 0.0363, 0.0405, 0.0434, 0.0649, 0.0926, 0.0964, 0.1061, 0.0987, 0.0865, 0.0836, 0.1074, 0.1277, 0.0726, 0.1028, 0.0542, 0.0531, 0.0646, 0.0729, 0.0695, 0.0608, 0.0557, 0.0667, 0.0907, 0.1213, 0.1772, 0.2124, 0.1881, 0.1857, 0.2115, 0.1635, 0.1431, 0.1014, 0.1018, 0.1656, 0.1311, 0.1349, 0.0942, 0.1136, 0.0927, 0.062, 0.0922, 0.0578, 0.0475, 0.069, 0.0413, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0365, 0.0536, 0.0626, 0.0516, 0.0739, 0.0682, 0.0866, 0.0832, 0.0762, 0.0596, 0.0249, 0.0324, 0.0408, 0.001, 0.0198, 0.0599, 0.0757, 0.108, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.1158, 0.1022, 0.0983, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.1059, 0.1017, 0.0965, 0.1075, 0.0836, 0.0826, 0.083, 0.0881, 0.0725, 0.0954, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.0428, 0.0735, 0.0824, 0.099, 0.092, 0.104, 0.1216, 0.1274, 0.1193, 0.087, 0.0561, 0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0858, 0.1129, 0.1041, 0.113, 0.0947, 0.0706, 0.0706, 0.0832, 0.1008, 0.1004, 0.1116, 0.1217, 0.1294, 0.1452]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1935459493183385759", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-18T22:07:56+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "strong, strong incentive to go long GOLD March 2024 & stay long!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong conviction long gold through March 2024 despite being 18% above 10M EMA; watching for a pullback trigger but bias firmly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DKlemitz XAU/USD is 18% above its mean (10M EMA), so watching for a trigger for it to come in a bit, but yes: strong, strong incentive to go long GOLD March 2024 &amp; stay long!! \n\nXAG/USD next? https://t.co/yanoPG1DpV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc https://t.co/BT9vAVmL3V https://t.co/276R5BJ1ek", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DKlemitz", "ret_m1d": 0.00644278689548905, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00644278689548905, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004088680485518026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004088680485518026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354106409971024, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354106409971024, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00285022809218316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00285022809218316, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007027257647404417, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007027257647404417, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009877485739587577, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009877485739587577, "ret_p1w": -0.02802771406647475, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02802771406647475, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06274190509135835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06274190509135835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.010035273212640083, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010035273212640083, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04800128989168995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04800128989168995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 0.09313854757172102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09313854757172102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016069144530682866, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.016069144530682866, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": 0.27867345697635026, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27867345697635026, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13002757698967127, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13002757698967127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": 0.26480801534502896, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.26480801534502896, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.01404781135293387, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.01404781135293387, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010035273212640083, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04800128989168995, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04800128989168995, "price_path": [-0.1023, -0.1031, -0.0914, -0.0836, -0.0728, -0.074, -0.0678, -0.0805, -0.1057, -0.1237, -0.1187, -0.0925, -0.0632, -0.0433, -0.0485, -0.0444, -0.0123, -0.0176, -0.0176, 0.0113, 0.0097, -0.0273, -0.0107, -0.0254, -0.0106, -0.0146, -0.0187, -0.0469, -0.0404, -0.0169, 0.0129, 0.0039, -0.0212, -0.0097, -0.044, -0.0379, -0.0554, -0.0438, -0.0553, -0.0413, -0.0261, -0.0175, -0.0225, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0205, -0.0221, -0.0151, -0.0235, 0.0007, -0.0053, 0.0016, -0.0052, -0.0135, -0.0107, -0.014, -0.0139, 0.0038, 0.0187, 0.0084, 0.0055, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.0029, -0.0151, -0.0122, -0.0103, -0.028, -0.0219, -0.0093, -0.006, -0.0108, -0.0106, -0.0107, -0.0181, -0.0168, -0.0151, -0.0036, -0.0049, -0.0114, -0.0046, -0.0083, -0.0045, 0.01, 0.0211, 0.0077, 0.0009, -0.0101, -0.0175, -0.0133, -0.0215, -0.0222, -0.0061, 0.0019, 0.0041, 0.0035, 0.0096, 0.0211, -0.0045, -0.0057, -0.0028, -0.0098, -0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0162, -0.0073, -0.0093, 0.0019, 0.0017, 0.0061, 0.0108, 0.0189, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0538, 0.0668, 0.0587, 0.0728, 0.0802, 0.0817, 0.0818, 0.0798, 0.0835, 0.0933, 0.0952, 0.0931, 0.0818, 0.0901, 0.1106, 0.1225, 0.1081, 0.1095, 0.1209, 0.1344, 0.1403, 0.1483, 0.14, 0.1522, 0.1723, 0.1807, 0.2005, 0.1717, 0.1805, 0.2199, 0.2288, 0.2401, 0.2708, 0.244, 0.2875, 0.2137, 0.2008, 0.2249, 0.2228, 0.1882, 0.1776, 0.1828, 0.188, 0.1823, 0.1877, 0.1721, 0.1818, 0.1816, 0.1874, 0.2208, 0.2193, 0.2483, 0.2431, 0.2136, 0.2079, 0.2058, 0.2107, 0.2044, 0.2104, 0.2149, 0.2289, 0.2367, 0.2367, 0.2524, 0.2587, 0.243, 0.2468, 0.2505, 0.2508, 0.2432, 0.249, 0.2459, 0.2724, 0.2767, 0.2787]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966594824003276807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T20:08:38+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$50 $ORCL short", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short ORCL position; long SPX toward $6666 target set months ago.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice way to close a week:\n$50 $ORCL short - 😆😚\n\nAnd almost to my $6666 $SPX target given months ago. \n\n🙏 Enjoy your weekend 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.032964949945581856, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032964949945581856, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027669181126302234, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027669181126302234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014926688960582135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014926688960582135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016303480540388104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016303480540388104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.08608574012301129, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08608574012301129, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07431582949447901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07431582949447901, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": -0.00867534581308027, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00867534581308027, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013450650999546121, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013450650999546121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": -0.3407193254124067, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3407193254124067, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.38636960709210555, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.38636960709210555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": -0.5033598666152093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5033598666152093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5338542361025573, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5338542361025573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00867534581308027, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013450650999546121, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013450650999546121, "price_path": [-0.3036, -0.3036, -0.3224, -0.3162, -0.289, -0.3041, -0.2971, -0.3056, -0.2779, -0.2768, -0.2404, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2329, -0.2255, -0.2212, -0.2222, -0.2369, -0.2411, -0.2223, -0.2014, -0.1767, -0.1876, -0.1939, -0.2119, -0.1994, -0.1963, -0.1887, -0.1801, -0.1726, -0.1706, -0.1601, -0.191, -0.1642, -0.1538, -0.1513, -0.1746, -0.1724, -0.1637, -0.1598, -0.1918, -0.1893, -0.1783, -0.1756, -0.2235, -0.222, -0.2283, -0.2177, -0.2209, -0.2248, -0.2195, -0.2046, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2543, -0.2604, -0.2619, -0.2295, -0.2107, -0.2007, 0.0867, 0.0189, -0.033, 0.0, 0.0149, -0.0024, -0.0183, 0.0216, 0.0861, 0.0387, 0.0209, -0.0358, -0.0618, -0.0641, -0.0692, -0.0435, -0.0442, -0.053, -0.0349, -0.0592, -0.0447, -0.0154, -0.0287, 0.0212, -0.0087, 0.0066, 0.0377, -0.0342, -0.081, -0.0877, -0.096, -0.0714, -0.0606, -0.067, -0.0689, -0.0873, -0.1483, -0.1293, -0.1451, -0.1772, -0.1701, -0.1917, -0.2067, -0.2015, -0.2171, -0.2474, -0.2787, -0.2611, -0.2711, -0.269, -0.2523, -0.3015, -0.341, -0.336, -0.3468, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3304, -0.3338, -0.3333, -0.3113, -0.2894, -0.2786, -0.2688, -0.2655, -0.2606, -0.3407, -0.3702, -0.3869, -0.3745, -0.4083, -0.4031, -0.3635, -0.3423, -0.3524, -0.3452, -0.3452, -0.3436, -0.3522, -0.3462, -0.3538, -0.3538, -0.3511, -0.3615, -0.3576, -0.3606, -0.3712, -0.3401, -0.3196, -0.3275, -0.3564, -0.3689, -0.3648, -0.3648, -0.4019, -0.422, -0.4077, -0.4111, -0.3935, -0.4186, -0.4256, -0.4382, -0.4529, -0.4679, -0.4858, -0.5124, -0.5463, -0.5252, -0.4795, -0.4685, -0.4776, -0.4798, -0.4677, -0.4677, -0.4882, -0.4809, -0.4796, -0.5077, -0.5303, -0.5142, -0.5084, -0.5003, -0.5167, -0.5039, -0.5047, -0.4935, -0.4854, -0.4915, -0.4962, -0.5034]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974465006445179331", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T13:21:55+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL as gatekeeper just created an even deeper moat", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Google's search restriction deepens its moat; bearish Reddit which loses impressions from the change.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL as gatekeeper just created an even deeper moat.\n\nDeepMind and Gemini will benefit. $RDDT will not.\n\n \"88% of sites saw a drop in impressions\"\n\nhttps://t.co/nRI2hI0uwY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Google just made a subtle but massive change\n\nLast month, Google quietly removed the num=100 search parameter.\n\nThis means you can no longer view 100 results at once. The default max is now 10.\n\nWhy does this matter?\n\n- Most LLMs (OpenAI, Perplexity, etc.) rely (directly or https://t.co/nR1rJMRp7K", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02028500384307086, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02028500384307086, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016711638895547942, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019254984401280928, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001030019441789931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018647898398852725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018647898398852725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014940384509534943, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014785440824792717, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037075138893177817, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038624575740600076, "ret_p1w": -0.0250768461544566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0250768461544566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01231647785696699, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002160248138178167, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022916598016278433, "ret_p1m": 0.10825384169722696, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10825384169722696, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1028489405143247, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14001085227487875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175701057765179, "ret_p3m": 0.25066785184244567, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25066785184244567, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23231638656305997, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23701154314636375, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01365630869608192, "ret_p6m": 0.14982494033930127, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14982494033930127, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17598141829915248, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19219209359992007, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.042367153260618795, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10825384169722696, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1028489405143247, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14001085227487875, "price_path": [-0.2954, -0.2914, -0.2811, -0.2757, -0.2739, -0.27, -0.2676, -0.2617, -0.2416, -0.2366, -0.2411, -0.2333, -0.2293, -0.2317, -0.219, -0.2159, -0.2344, -0.2455, -0.2219, -0.2234, -0.2177, -0.216, -0.1964, -0.1981, -0.1888, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1865, -0.1881, -0.1958, -0.2048, -0.2031, -0.1778, -0.1682, -0.1736, -0.1722, -0.1556, -0.1506, -0.1506, -0.1568, -0.0798, -0.0732, -0.0625, -0.0654, -0.0431, -0.045, -0.0402, -0.0385, 0.0047, 0.0029, -0.0036, 0.0064, 0.0171, 0.0084, 0.0049, -0.0131, -0.0185, -0.0155, -0.0255, -0.0293, -0.0221, -0.0189, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.0186, -0.0232, -0.0355, -0.0553, -0.0251, -0.0199, 0.0024, 0.0041, 0.0115, 0.0244, 0.0001, 0.005, 0.0106, 0.0379, 0.0752, 0.068, 0.0964, 0.124, 0.1228, 0.1329, 0.1083, 0.1353, 0.137, 0.1134, 0.1584, 0.1632, 0.1449, 0.1124, 0.1037, 0.1381, 0.1352, 0.1692, 0.1558, 0.1966, 0.2721, 0.2915, 0.2776, 0.2776, 0.2785, 0.2574, 0.2611, 0.2763, 0.2683, 0.2829, 0.2535, 0.267, 0.2795, 0.2484, 0.2358, 0.2316, 0.225, 0.1856, 0.2086, 0.2273, 0.2378, 0.2561, 0.255, 0.255, 0.2527, 0.2529, 0.2541, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2593, 0.2648, 0.256, 0.2865, 0.3004, 0.3129, 0.326, 0.3425, 0.3419, 0.3297, 0.3186, 0.3186, 0.2866, 0.3121, 0.3208, 0.3103, 0.3316, 0.3368, 0.3426, 0.3516, 0.3506, 0.3733, 0.3574, 0.3307, 0.3236, 0.2901, 0.2959, 0.273, 0.2425, 0.2347, 0.2216, 0.2216, 0.2068, 0.212, 0.2101, 0.2586, 0.2446, 0.2423, 0.2503, 0.2282, 0.2457, 0.2248, 0.213, 0.2112, 0.2022, 0.1928, 0.225, 0.2277, 0.2344, 0.2138, 0.2087, 0.2218, 0.2432, 0.2303, 0.2281, 0.2036, 0.2078, 0.1613, 0.1633, 0.1233, 0.097, 0.0936, 0.1498]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1971609288851304607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:14:19+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "support gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "China's dollar bypass + gold settlement supports gold (long GLD) and pressures oil prices lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "China’s Pricing Power Over Oil & Gold\n\nOur Geoffrey @GraphCall has been way ahead of this transition & how to trade it…\n\nChina’s move to settle trade in gold, push EV adoption, and bypass the U.S. dollar that will reshape global markets. \n\nThese shifts pressure oil, support gold, and create growth advantages for countries outside the U.S. $GLD #WTIC\n\nhttps://t.co/mxOm2Efmly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005739142557597332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005739142557597332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -4.274334025244908e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": -4.274334025244908e-05, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005696399217344883, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005696399217344883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016496514338703028, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016496514338703028, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013686067555401804, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013686067555401804, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028104467833012237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028104467833012237, "ret_p1w": 0.031435729137255786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031435729137255786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02026944765479355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02026944765479355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011166281482462237, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011166281482462237, "ret_p1m": 0.05845884553883929, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05845884553883929, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023071522937598843, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023071522937598843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387322601240445, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387322601240445, "ret_p3m": 0.1880083182713992, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1880083182713992, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14177217267493147, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14177217267493147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046236145596467715, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046236145596467715, "ret_p6m": 0.1652535615283821, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1652535615283821, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16934574462921326, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16934574462921326, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092183100831148, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092183100831148, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05845884553883929, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023071522937598843, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023071522937598843, "price_path": [-0.113, -0.1081, -0.1142, -0.1142, -0.1135, -0.1228, -0.1189, -0.1169, -0.1084, -0.1117, -0.1154, -0.111, -0.1129, -0.1106, -0.0969, -0.0884, -0.0997, -0.1052, -0.1135, -0.1192, -0.1168, -0.132, -0.1263, -0.1085, -0.1033, -0.1026, -0.1045, -0.097, -0.0972, -0.1101, -0.1109, -0.1082, -0.1139, -0.1134, -0.1148, -0.1196, -0.1107, -0.1138, -0.1043, -0.1064, -0.1, -0.0981, -0.0915, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.061, -0.0536, -0.0578, -0.0453, -0.0344, -0.0366, -0.0331, -0.0346, -0.0326, -0.0226, -0.0206, -0.0282, -0.0321, -0.0218, -0.0049, -0.0008, -0.0099, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0165, 0.0252, 0.0268, 0.0232, 0.0314, 0.0509, 0.0563, 0.0737, 0.0539, 0.0645, 0.0904, 0.0982, 0.1172, 0.1434, 0.1218, 0.1627, 0.088, 0.0881, 0.0924, 0.0888, 0.0585, 0.0509, 0.0469, 0.0675, 0.0617, 0.0636, 0.0449, 0.057, 0.0557, 0.0622, 0.0912, 0.0955, 0.1132, 0.1042, 0.0843, 0.0718, 0.0796, 0.0814, 0.0811, 0.0794, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.1049, 0.1049, 0.1186, 0.124, 0.1168, 0.1158, 0.1165, 0.1145, 0.1116, 0.1173, 0.122, 0.1341, 0.1405, 0.1415, 0.1417, 0.1516, 0.1495, 0.1508, 0.1773, 0.1929, 0.188, 0.188, 0.2019, 0.1496, 0.1504, 0.143, 0.143, 0.1486, 0.1789, 0.1916, 0.1802, 0.1867, 0.1953, 0.2177, 0.216, 0.2284, 0.2209, 0.215, 0.215, 0.261, 0.2793, 0.303, 0.3209, 0.3402, 0.3731, 0.4263, 0.4302, 0.2832, 0.2318, 0.3102, 0.3093, 0.2744, 0.3135, 0.3469, 0.3336, 0.3486, 0.3018, 0.3342, 0.3342, 0.2926, 0.3217, 0.3254, 0.3515, 0.388, 0.3688, 0.3653, 0.3771, 0.3951, 0.4132, 0.3501, 0.3607, 0.3443, 0.3656, 0.3628, 0.3782, 0.3735, 0.3465, 0.3291, 0.3279, 0.3245, 0.2826, 0.2298, 0.1922, 0.1653]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1969808715219075465", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T16:59:29+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "recomending TREND LONG GOLD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold and gold/silver miners: dollar debasement, ATH room to run, and low investor expectations set up outsized upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Ironically, the chronic underperformance of mining companies is why they have been left-for-dead by many active traders let alone passive investors.\n\nAnd that is likely why I am most excited about this sector.\n\n🧵\n\n---\n\n1. Foreign Central Banks will not stop converting USD for gold as long as US is in Fiscal Dominance. Debasement of the dollar is bullish gold.\n\n2. Gold is at ATH nominally, but not relative to USD. It has room to move much higher relative to history.\n\n---\n\n3. Central Bankers need gold (not gold equities) to circumvent USD, but gold/silver stocks will appreciate nominally as the underlying prices rise.\n\n4. Gold & Silver chasers will point to the $35 to $850 gold run during the 1970s, when stagflation occurred in the US during an inflationary wave.\n\n---\n\n5. Investor expectations are currently extremely low for miners, which is a great set up for my mantra that Outliers Revert With Velocity.\"\n\nThe above was part of my client post April 5, 2024.\n\nTo see more of my rationale for recomending TREND LONG GOLD: https://t.co/t037QHwGDx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017012013693243566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012303241772485873, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004086375052867464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009529845702848316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021475159902209384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026213925176439945, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08661763964986546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1551080174602475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14066681763012978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33102450445306353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3221287526747345, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09329083779223413, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08661763964986546, "price_path": [-0.1099, -0.1109, -0.127, -0.1166, -0.1087, -0.1038, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1092, -0.1185, -0.1146, -0.1126, -0.1041, -0.1073, -0.1111, -0.1066, -0.1086, -0.1062, -0.0925, -0.0839, -0.0953, -0.1008, -0.1091, -0.1149, -0.1124, -0.1278, -0.122, -0.1042, -0.0989, -0.0982, -0.1001, -0.0925, -0.0927, -0.1058, -0.1066, -0.1039, -0.1095, -0.109, -0.1104, -0.1153, -0.1063, -0.1094, -0.0999, -0.1021, -0.0956, -0.0937, -0.087, -0.0782, -0.0782, -0.0564, -0.049, -0.0532, -0.0406, -0.0296, -0.0319, -0.0284, -0.0298, -0.0279, -0.0178, -0.0158, -0.0234, -0.0273, -0.017, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0049, 0.0215, 0.0302, 0.0318, 0.0282, 0.0365, 0.056, 0.0615, 0.079, 0.0591, 0.0698, 0.0958, 0.1036, 0.1227, 0.149, 0.1273, 0.1684, 0.0933, 0.0934, 0.0978, 0.0941, 0.0636, 0.056, 0.052, 0.0727, 0.0669, 0.0688, 0.0501, 0.0622, 0.0609, 0.0674, 0.0966, 0.1009, 0.1186, 0.1096, 0.0896, 0.0771, 0.0849, 0.0867, 0.0864, 0.0847, 0.1019, 0.1015, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1241, 0.1295, 0.1223, 0.1212, 0.122, 0.12, 0.117, 0.1227, 0.1275, 0.1397, 0.146, 0.1471, 0.1473, 0.1572, 0.1551, 0.1564, 0.1831, 0.1988, 0.1938, 0.1938, 0.2078, 0.1552, 0.156, 0.1486, 0.1486, 0.1543, 0.1846, 0.1974, 0.186, 0.1926, 0.2012, 0.2237, 0.2219, 0.2344, 0.2269, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2671, 0.2856, 0.3093, 0.3273, 0.3468, 0.3798, 0.4333, 0.4372, 0.2895, 0.2379, 0.3166, 0.3157, 0.2806, 0.32, 0.3535, 0.3401, 0.3553, 0.3082, 0.3407, 0.3407, 0.2989, 0.3282, 0.3319, 0.3581, 0.3948, 0.3755, 0.372, 0.3838, 0.402, 0.4201, 0.3567, 0.3673, 0.3509, 0.3723, 0.3695, 0.3849, 0.3802, 0.3531, 0.3356, 0.3344, 0.331]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1969808715219075465", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-21T16:59:29+00:00", "symbol": "gold and silver miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold/silver stocks will appreciate nominally as the underlying prices rise", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold and gold/silver miners: dollar debasement, ATH room to run, and low investor expectations set up outsized upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "SIL"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX gold miners; SIL silver miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Ironically, the chronic underperformance of mining companies is why they have been left-for-dead by many active traders let alone passive investors.\n\nAnd that is likely why I am most excited about this sector.\n\n🧵\n\n---\n\n1. Foreign Central Banks will not stop converting USD for gold as long as US is in Fiscal Dominance. Debasement of the dollar is bullish gold.\n\n2. Gold is at ATH nominally, but not relative to USD. It has room to move much higher relative to history.\n\n---\n\n3. Central Bankers need gold (not gold equities) to circumvent USD, but gold/silver stocks will appreciate nominally as the underlying prices rise.\n\n4. Gold & Silver chasers will point to the $35 to $850 gold run during the 1970s, when stagflation occurred in the US during an inflationary wave.\n\n---\n\n5. Investor expectations are currently extremely low for miners, which is a great set up for my mantra that Outliers Revert With Velocity.\"\n\nThe above was part of my client post April 5, 2024.\n\nTo see more of my rationale for recomending TREND LONG GOLD: https://t.co/t037QHwGDx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030312927604342343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030312927604342343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02560415568358465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02560415568358465, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002778054627337212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002778054627337212, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026654160226436407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026654160226436407, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443470649980853, "ret_p1w": 0.02488671275942833, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02488671275942833, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029625478033658892, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029625478033658892, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": -0.022410928111916695, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022410928111916695, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02908412625428536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02908412625428536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": 0.17131548565474453, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17131548565474453, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1568742858246268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1568742858246268, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441199830117712, "ret_p6m": 0.3279698366208462, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3279698366208462, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3190740848425172, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3190740848425172, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022410928111916695, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02908412625428536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02908412625428536, "price_path": [-0.3069, -0.2944, -0.3181, -0.3003, -0.2995, -0.2921, -0.2877, -0.2877, -0.2801, -0.3123, -0.3032, -0.2943, -0.2783, -0.2812, -0.292, -0.2945, -0.3011, -0.3062, -0.2801, -0.2609, -0.2676, -0.2751, -0.2737, -0.2904, -0.2842, -0.3036, -0.3089, -0.3017, -0.2723, -0.251, -0.238, -0.2194, -0.2143, -0.2211, -0.2123, -0.2154, -0.2213, -0.2158, -0.2181, -0.2417, -0.2228, -0.2097, -0.1935, -0.1955, -0.1812, -0.1802, -0.1783, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.13, -0.119, -0.1281, -0.1073, -0.0911, -0.099, -0.0763, -0.0559, -0.0527, -0.0367, -0.0613, -0.0708, -0.0719, -0.0303, 0.0, -0.0028, -0.0256, -0.0126, 0.0106, 0.0249, 0.034, 0.0408, 0.0359, 0.0336, 0.0538, 0.0338, 0.0693, 0.0233, 0.0238, 0.0798, 0.0732, 0.115, 0.1477, 0.0648, 0.088, -0.0224, -0.0159, -0.0092, -0.0193, -0.0562, -0.0407, -0.0394, -0.0195, -0.032, -0.0473, -0.0891, -0.071, -0.0658, -0.0414, 0.0028, 0.0086, 0.0444, 0.0213, 0.0082, -0.0117, -0.0031, 0.0106, -0.0392, -0.0327, 0.0228, 0.0269, 0.0815, 0.0815, 0.1237, 0.1239, 0.1088, 0.1004, 0.1007, 0.0973, 0.0751, 0.1209, 0.1395, 0.1855, 0.175, 0.1678, 0.1644, 0.177, 0.1713, 0.2057, 0.2503, 0.2536, 0.2443, 0.2443, 0.272, 0.2006, 0.2159, 0.194, 0.194, 0.19, 0.2304, 0.2812, 0.2608, 0.2623, 0.2859, 0.3384, 0.3466, 0.3522, 0.3654, 0.3806, 0.3806, 0.4551, 0.4369, 0.51, 0.5438, 0.5502, 0.5677, 0.6003, 0.5437, 0.3303, 0.323, 0.3946, 0.3992, 0.3011, 0.3745, 0.4533, 0.4503, 0.4899, 0.3752, 0.4501, 0.4501, 0.395, 0.4325, 0.4637, 0.5107, 0.5557, 0.5697, 0.5844, 0.6275, 0.651, 0.64, 0.495, 0.506, 0.4413, 0.4298, 0.4459, 0.4716, 0.4397, 0.405, 0.3239, 0.3379, 0.328]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979636709714456793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T19:52:26+00:00", "symbol": "rare earth", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Rare Earth Dependency: Not priced in. Not even close.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US rare earth dependency risk not priced in; bullish on rare earth assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["REMX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "REMX VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Excellent job, Ed. \n\nI say it again, US Rare Earth Dependency: \nNot priced in. Not even close.\n\nhttps://t.co/eZ9XtsWI7O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🎥 What on earth are rare earths?\nWhy do they matter so much?\nWhy do they nearly all come from China?\nAnd how worried should we be about the latest chapter in the trade war?\nThese and more questions answered in my latest primer👇 https://t.co/VKMw3CscJE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014206980767186628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014206980767186628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003913537464043992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003913537464043992, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0398621616941609, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0398621616941609, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03984721881537767, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03984721881537767, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.03931042700343235, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03931042700343235, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06007616978460084, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06007616978460084, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.01131040042930076, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01131040042930076, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005403438674947858, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005403438674947858, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.27162137777442497, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27162137777442497, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2373811003172519, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2373811003172519, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.3876319277046465, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3876319277046465, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3472412346795972, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3472412346795972, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01131040042930076, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005403438674947858, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005403438674947858, "price_path": [-0.2749, -0.243, -0.2425, -0.2637, -0.2815, -0.3028, -0.3211, -0.3192, -0.2975, -0.2884, -0.2953, -0.2745, -0.2443, -0.207, -0.2119, -0.2062, -0.2167, -0.1959, -0.1783, -0.1989, -0.2193, -0.2088, -0.1879, -0.1554, -0.1779, -0.1458, -0.149, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1599, -0.1644, -0.1803, -0.1597, -0.1459, -0.1743, -0.209, -0.1879, -0.1837, -0.1593, -0.1643, -0.1575, -0.1548, -0.1441, -0.1479, -0.1564, -0.1019, -0.0763, -0.0917, -0.096, -0.0921, -0.0625, -0.0434, 0.0117, 0.0215, 0.0172, 0.0283, 0.0314, -0.0418, 0.0927, 0.0996, 0.0743, 0.0048, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0399, -0.0521, -0.0306, 0.0135, -0.0393, -0.0566, -0.0422, -0.013, -0.0276, -0.0869, -0.1168, -0.1203, -0.1233, -0.1006, -0.0463, -0.0579, -0.0564, -0.0422, -0.0316, -0.0058, -0.0113, 0.0163, -0.0292, -0.0488, -0.0458, -0.0148, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0319, 0.0103, 0.0092, 0.0069, -0.0211, -0.0048, 0.0126, 0.0223, 0.0266, 0.0343, -0.0006, -0.0258, -0.0335, -0.0117, -0.0057, 0.0011, 0.0437, 0.0518, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0778, 0.0395, 0.0393, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0784, 0.1195, 0.1782, 0.194, 0.158, 0.1935, 0.2477, 0.2528, 0.2826, 0.2716, 0.2525, 0.2525, 0.2572, 0.3039, 0.3424, 0.3829, 0.3611, 0.3709, 0.3697, 0.3136, 0.2027, 0.1911, 0.2668, 0.2227, 0.1469, 0.2167, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.291, 0.2247, 0.2598, 0.2598, 0.2499, 0.2844, 0.2653, 0.25, 0.2826, 0.3299, 0.3792, 0.3702, 0.4025, 0.4494, 0.3333, 0.3744, 0.3118, 0.2996, 0.33, 0.3552, 0.3612, 0.3175, 0.2572, 0.2654, 0.2657, 0.2173, 0.165, 0.1109, 0.1746, 0.1885, 0.2521, 0.1882, 0.2093, 0.2006, 0.2359, 0.2434, 0.2486, 0.2486, 0.2421, 0.2513, 0.3146, 0.309, 0.3272, 0.3906, 0.3876]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1933364821409608167", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-13T03:24:28+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It won't last. #ShortTheRip", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short oil; any war-driven price spike won't last — fade the rip.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@richardhirschs1 It won’t last. \n\n#ShortTheRip\n\n#OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "⚠️BREAKING \nWAR BREAKS OUT WITH IRAN.\n\n#OIL SHOCK 3.0 POSSIBLE.\n\nIf this war causes an oil price spike (as it did in 1973), then that will devastate the world economy, and stoke #inflation.\n\n A third #oil crisis will be the ultimate #stagflationary impulse.\n\nOil price spikes are https://t.co/eXKT6A8MLS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "richardhirschs1", "ret_m1d": -0.06444774483013893, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06444774483013893, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07575442011149425, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07575442011149425, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306675281355316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020319182971937244, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020319182971937244, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02983352747578627, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02983352747578627, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": 0.036150604359882266, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036150604359882266, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037763784999516714, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037763784999516714, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": -0.05734228875745673, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05734228875745673, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1070193364212425, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1070193364212425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04967704766378578, "ret_p3m": -0.0686861387731873, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0686861387731873, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1643949227594873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1643949227594873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": -0.12129148851748561, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12129148851748561, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27296976141062856, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27296976141062856, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167827289314295, "ret_p1y": 0.7111693116882474, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.7111693116882474, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.42427239216864754, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.42427239216864754, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05734228875745673, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1070193364212425, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1070193364212425, "price_path": [-0.0999, -0.0972, -0.0809, -0.0802, -0.0666, -0.0673, -0.0598, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.036, -0.0391, -0.0309, -0.0994, -0.1533, -0.1775, -0.2104, -0.1576, -0.1857, -0.1715, -0.169, -0.1713, -0.1554, -0.1339, -0.1339, -0.1446, -0.1353, -0.1517, -0.1466, -0.1395, -0.1553, -0.1791, -0.2077, -0.1957, -0.2021, -0.2225, -0.1947, -0.2083, -0.1822, -0.1697, -0.1573, -0.1325, -0.1432, -0.1574, -0.1511, -0.146, -0.1441, -0.1574, -0.1631, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1613, -0.1537, -0.1624, -0.1629, -0.133, -0.1288, -0.1356, -0.1283, -0.1102, -0.1018, -0.1075, -0.0673, -0.0644, 0.0, -0.0203, 0.0259, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0362, -0.0475, -0.09, -0.0861, -0.0826, -0.0865, -0.0886, -0.0784, -0.0577, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0466, -0.0406, -0.041, -0.0602, -0.0365, -0.0573, -0.0618, -0.0627, -0.0506, -0.0535, -0.0577, -0.0607, -0.0616, -0.0515, -0.0669, -0.038, -0.0052, 0.0102, -0.0079, -0.0344, -0.0512, -0.0648, -0.0802, -0.0848, -0.0863, -0.08, -0.0906, -0.0967, -0.0808, -0.0925, -0.0879, -0.0987, -0.0835, -0.0759, -0.0696, -0.0557, -0.0769, -0.0691, -0.0621, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0431, -0.0672, -0.0753, -0.0946, -0.0895, -0.0851, -0.0687, -0.09, -0.0861, -0.0747, -0.0567, -0.0654, -0.0689, -0.0835, -0.0844, -0.0644, -0.0477, -0.0403, -0.0399, -0.0702, -0.0807, -0.0883, -0.1082, -0.1061, -0.0916, -0.0875, -0.0834, -0.0961, -0.135, -0.1239, -0.1399, -0.14, -0.1547, -0.1526, -0.1545, -0.149, -0.1195, -0.0864, -0.0878, -0.0885, -0.1101, -0.105, -0.1061, -0.0955, -0.0932, -0.1033, -0.1146, -0.1164, -0.1117, -0.1065, -0.0935, -0.13, -0.1293, -0.1102, -0.1112, -0.0962, -0.1164, -0.1255, -0.1361, -0.1222, -0.1367, -0.1269, -0.1269, -0.1141, -0.1142, -0.1249, -0.1192, -0.1101, -0.1035, -0.1213]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970691150181711901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T03:25:58+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My $BABA price target given clients early 2024 is fast approaching: \"If $120 them $240\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BABA with $240 price target; says target is fast approaching.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A few points:\n\n1. ASI - super artificial intelligence - exciting/scary stuff 🫥\n\n2. China is way ahead of US &amp; will keep it that way. \n\n3. My $BABA price target given clients early 2024 is fast approaching: “If $120 them $240”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇨🇳Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu: AGI is not the end point, ASI is the beginning\nOn September 24, at the 2025 APSARA Conference, Eddie Wu, chairman and CEO of Alibaba Group, said that AGI is an intelligent system with human-like public cognitive ability, and it has become a real world in https://t.co/57Sva25UA7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07571978670167934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07571978670167934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07891160623057314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0687080000279231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031918195288938023, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007011786673756237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005497670917022357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005497670917022357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008842033525106041, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008609214711967184, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004613467564511753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01410688562898954, "ret_p1w": 0.03593288952476015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03593288952476015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024814953990056843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029505567597728488, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117935534703305, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0064273219270316595, "ret_p1m": -0.02573123290978141, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02573123290978141, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04185593504975649, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02059758511254728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124702139975078, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005133647797234131, "ret_p3m": -0.14441169763193973, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14441169763193973, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1833674789044265, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16763740978410702, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03895578127248678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023225712152167288, "ret_p6m": -0.2921106345179061, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2921106345179061, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29309337013288905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20961811264235797, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827356149829658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08249252187554812, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02573123290978141, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04185593504975649, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02059758511254728, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3572, -0.3541, -0.3725, -0.3839, -0.3839, -0.3977, -0.388, -0.4115, -0.3956, -0.3951, -0.3866, -0.3371, -0.3441, -0.3352, -0.3186, -0.3184, -0.3159, -0.3053, -0.3134, -0.3197, -0.3077, -0.3235, -0.3347, -0.3163, -0.3365, -0.3341, -0.3367, -0.315, -0.3144, -0.3178, -0.3276, -0.3062, -0.281, -0.307, -0.3127, -0.3119, -0.3199, -0.3228, -0.3307, -0.3032, -0.2952, -0.2961, -0.3072, -0.3223, -0.2349, -0.2349, -0.2147, -0.2266, -0.258, -0.2316, -0.1997, -0.1663, -0.1843, -0.119, -0.1212, -0.1043, -0.0807, -0.0582, -0.0791, -0.0773, -0.0691, -0.0757, 0.0, -0.0055, -0.0257, 0.0196, 0.013, 0.0359, 0.0731, 0.0657, 0.0611, 0.0277, 0.0265, -0.0156, -0.0988, -0.0546, -0.077, -0.0597, -0.0643, -0.0532, -0.0168, -0.0554, -0.06, -0.0257, -0.0099, 0.0171, 0.0016, 0.02, -0.0142, -0.0341, -0.0496, -0.0688, -0.0659, -0.05, -0.0572, -0.0598, -0.0886, -0.105, -0.0941, -0.1283, -0.1062, -0.0948, -0.0995, -0.1313, -0.1332, -0.089, -0.1101, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1085, -0.069, -0.0868, -0.1041, -0.1077, -0.1027, -0.1038, -0.1161, -0.0999, -0.1107, -0.1177, -0.1493, -0.1539, -0.1663, -0.165, -0.151, -0.1444, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.1495, -0.1372, -0.1584, -0.1648, -0.1692, -0.1692, -0.1173, -0.1144, -0.1448, -0.1683, -0.1245, -0.1444, -0.0574, -0.0534, -0.0371, -0.0312, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0796, -0.044, 0.0042, -0.0182, -0.0287, -0.0211, -0.0044, -0.0124, -0.039, -0.0456, -0.0725, -0.0981, -0.1059, -0.079, -0.0762, -0.0563, -0.0687, -0.1004, -0.1174, -0.1174, -0.1191, -0.1172, -0.1257, -0.1246, -0.1341, -0.1322, -0.1369, -0.1609, -0.1832, -0.192, -0.2315, -0.2447, -0.2612, -0.2587, -0.2482, -0.2244, -0.2276, -0.2394, -0.2337, -0.2252, -0.226, -0.2381, -0.2921]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970835042508345601", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T12:57:45+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BABA is approaching the $182 I gave for Q4 …in Q3! 🚀 THAT is gorgeous!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish BABA toward $182 Q4 target (hit early), BIDU working, JD described as next mover.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How many days in a row, weeks in a row have I written and said to clients:\n\n“BABA - gorgeous”\n“BIDU - working”\n“JD - next”\n\nBABA is approaching the $182 I gave for Q4 …in Q3! 🚀\nTHAT is gorgeous!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07571978670167934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07571978670167934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07891160623057314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0687080000279231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031918195288938023, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007011786673756237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005497670917022357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005497670917022357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008842033525106041, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008609214711967184, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004613467564511753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01410688562898954, "ret_p1w": 0.03593288952476015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03593288952476015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024814953990056843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029505567597728488, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117935534703305, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0064273219270316595, "ret_p1m": -0.02573123290978141, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02573123290978141, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04185593504975649, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02059758511254728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124702139975078, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005133647797234131, "ret_p3m": -0.14441169763193973, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14441169763193973, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1833674789044265, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16763740978410702, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03895578127248678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023225712152167288, "ret_p6m": -0.2921106345179061, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2921106345179061, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29309337013288905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20961811264235797, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827356149829658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08249252187554812, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14441169763193973, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1833674789044265, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16763740978410702, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3572, -0.3541, -0.3725, -0.3839, -0.3839, -0.3977, -0.388, -0.4115, -0.3956, -0.3951, -0.3866, -0.3371, -0.3441, -0.3352, -0.3186, -0.3184, -0.3159, -0.3053, -0.3134, -0.3197, -0.3077, -0.3235, -0.3347, -0.3163, -0.3365, -0.3341, -0.3367, -0.315, -0.3144, -0.3178, -0.3276, -0.3062, -0.281, -0.307, -0.3127, -0.3119, -0.3199, -0.3228, -0.3307, -0.3032, -0.2952, -0.2961, -0.3072, -0.3223, -0.2349, -0.2349, -0.2147, -0.2266, -0.258, -0.2316, -0.1997, -0.1663, -0.1843, -0.119, -0.1212, -0.1043, -0.0807, -0.0582, -0.0791, -0.0773, -0.0691, -0.0757, 0.0, -0.0055, -0.0257, 0.0196, 0.013, 0.0359, 0.0731, 0.0657, 0.0611, 0.0277, 0.0265, -0.0156, -0.0988, -0.0546, -0.077, -0.0597, -0.0643, -0.0532, -0.0168, -0.0554, -0.06, -0.0257, -0.0099, 0.0171, 0.0016, 0.02, -0.0142, -0.0341, -0.0496, -0.0688, -0.0659, -0.05, -0.0572, -0.0598, -0.0886, -0.105, -0.0941, -0.1283, -0.1062, -0.0948, -0.0995, -0.1313, -0.1332, -0.089, -0.1101, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1085, -0.069, -0.0868, -0.1041, -0.1077, -0.1027, -0.1038, -0.1161, -0.0999, -0.1107, -0.1177, -0.1493, -0.1539, -0.1663, -0.165, -0.151, -0.1444, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.1495, -0.1372, -0.1584, -0.1648, -0.1692, -0.1692, -0.1173, -0.1144, -0.1448, -0.1683, -0.1245, -0.1444, -0.0574, -0.0534, -0.0371, -0.0312, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0796, -0.044, 0.0042, -0.0182, -0.0287, -0.0211, -0.0044, -0.0124, -0.039, -0.0456, -0.0725, -0.0981, -0.1059, -0.079, -0.0762, -0.0563, -0.0687, -0.1004, -0.1174, -0.1174, -0.1191, -0.1172, -0.1257, -0.1246, -0.1341, -0.1322, -0.1369, -0.1609, -0.1832, -0.192, -0.2315, -0.2447, -0.2612, -0.2587, -0.2482, -0.2244, -0.2276, -0.2394, -0.2337, -0.2252, -0.226, -0.2381, -0.2921]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970835042508345601", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-24T12:57:45+00:00", "symbol": "BIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BIDU - working", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish BABA toward $182 Q4 target (hit early), BIDU working, JD described as next mover.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How many days in a row, weeks in a row have I written and said to clients:\n\n“BABA - gorgeous”\n“BIDU - working”\n“JD - next”\n\nBABA is approaching the $182 I gave for Q4 …in Q3! 🚀\nTHAT is gorgeous!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05529640818064885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05529640818064885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05848822770954265, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06364181977685357, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031918195288938023, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008345411596204722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018657807415757732, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018657807415757732, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023271274980269485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02206413255888895, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004613467564511753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003406325143131217, "ret_p1w": 0.03400544940360195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03400544940360195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022887513868898646, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04013682158362786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117935534703305, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006131372180025907, "ret_p1m": -0.09359009165949661, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09359009165949661, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10971479379947169, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07502583541000096, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124702139975078, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018564256249495648, "ret_p3m": -0.06402343232069174, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06402343232069174, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10297921359317852, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06068249522883573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03895578127248678, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003340937091856011, "ret_p6m": -0.10464938477530539, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10464938477530539, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10563212039028835, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07123609057366931, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827356149829658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03341329420163608, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06402343232069174, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10297921359317852, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06068249522883573, "price_path": [-0.352, -0.3548, -0.3527, -0.3497, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3245, -0.3208, -0.333, -0.3346, -0.346, -0.354, -0.2981, -0.3506, -0.3416, -0.3394, -0.3319, -0.3045, -0.2997, -0.3155, -0.3169, -0.3274, -0.347, -0.3534, -0.3389, -0.352, -0.3407, -0.354, -0.3469, -0.3419, -0.3428, -0.3531, -0.3392, -0.3149, -0.3325, -0.324, -0.3219, -0.3299, -0.3473, -0.3409, -0.3228, -0.3084, -0.3042, -0.324, -0.3156, -0.283, -0.283, -0.2756, -0.2748, -0.2611, -0.2329, -0.1826, -0.1839, -0.1905, -0.1587, -0.1365, -0.1362, -0.0687, 0.0369, 0.0175, 0.0183, 0.0279, -0.0553, 0.0, 0.0187, -0.0119, 0.0146, -0.0087, 0.034, 0.055, 0.0683, 0.0902, 0.0453, 0.0375, -0.0039, -0.0845, -0.0542, -0.0977, -0.0853, -0.0905, -0.0971, -0.0813, -0.1037, -0.1195, -0.0936, -0.0764, -0.032, -0.0459, -0.04, -0.0836, -0.0907, -0.0879, -0.0597, -0.0721, -0.0442, -0.0524, -0.0045, -0.0073, -0.0299, -0.0923, -0.1273, -0.1415, -0.1187, -0.1311, -0.169, -0.1653, -0.1031, -0.1132, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1206, -0.0994, -0.1048, -0.1177, -0.1068, -0.0546, -0.0215, -0.0676, -0.0515, -0.0347, -0.0595, -0.106, -0.1024, -0.101, -0.0935, -0.0685, -0.064, -0.0684, -0.0719, -0.0719, -0.0611, -0.046, -0.0041, -0.017, -0.017, 0.1308, 0.1261, 0.1016, 0.1045, 0.0627, 0.0799, 0.1455, 0.1236, 0.1323, 0.124, 0.125, 0.125, 0.1286, 0.2209, 0.2227, 0.2146, 0.1742, 0.186, 0.1862, 0.185, 0.1524, 0.1177, 0.0898, 0.0378, 0.0454, 0.0979, 0.1057, 0.1109, 0.0918, 0.0411, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0332, 0.0372, 0.0315, 0.0221, 0.0077, 0.0053, -0.002, -0.0585, -0.0638, -0.0704, -0.1069, -0.1049, -0.1128, -0.1043, -0.0785, -0.0558, -0.0585, -0.0734, -0.0666, -0.0837, -0.092, -0.0831, -0.1046]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970835042508345601", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-24T12:57:45+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "JD - next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish BABA toward $182 Q4 target (hit early), BIDU working, JD described as next mover.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How many days in a row, weeks in a row have I written and said to clients:\n\n“BABA - gorgeous”\n“BIDU - working”\n“JD - next”\n\nBABA is approaching the $182 I gave for Q4 …in Q3! 🚀\nTHAT is gorgeous!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05426367492293138, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05426367492293138, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.057455494451825184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047251888249175145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031918195288938023, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007011786673756237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009761604069974172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009761604069974172, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014375071634485925, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023868489698963713, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004613467564511753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01410688562898954, "ret_p1w": 0.038472471164929356, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038472471164929356, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02735453563022605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0320451492378977, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117935534703305, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0064273219270316595, "ret_p1m": -0.047373044134564446, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.047373044134564446, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06349774627453952, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042239396337330315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124702139975078, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005133647797234131, "ret_p3m": -0.16480051323850908, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16480051323850908, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20375629451099586, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18802622539067637, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03895578127248678, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023225712152167288, "ret_p6m": -0.19552115237290013, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19552115237290013, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1965038879878831, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11302863049735201, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827356149829658, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08249252187554812, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16480051323850908, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20375629451099586, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18802622539067637, "price_path": [-0.0505, -0.0629, -0.0612, -0.0678, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.0807, -0.0612, -0.0927, -0.1036, -0.1071, -0.1157, -0.0801, -0.0916, -0.0614, -0.0261, -0.0411, -0.0273, -0.0258, -0.039, -0.0474, -0.0462, -0.0749, -0.0884, -0.0959, -0.1125, -0.0922, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0884, -0.0959, -0.1048, -0.0778, -0.0666, -0.0933, -0.0899, -0.0879, -0.1031, -0.1051, -0.1048, -0.0847, -0.0815, -0.0867, -0.1151, -0.1275, -0.108, -0.108, -0.0933, -0.1042, -0.112, -0.097, -0.0568, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0123, -0.0333, -0.0347, -0.0034, 0.0118, 0.0158, 0.0078, -0.0258, -0.0543, 0.0, 0.0098, -0.0095, 0.0233, 0.0043, 0.0385, 0.033, 0.0164, 0.031, 0.0017, 0.0043, -0.0247, -0.0856, -0.0454, -0.0609, -0.0485, -0.06, -0.0505, -0.0307, -0.0574, -0.068, -0.0474, -0.0471, -0.0181, -0.0086, -0.0135, -0.0419, -0.0514, -0.0589, -0.0864, -0.0801, -0.0827, -0.0873, -0.0982, -0.0924, -0.1028, -0.1183, -0.1585, -0.1519, -0.1545, -0.171, -0.1849, -0.1694, -0.1657, -0.1634, -0.1553, -0.1553, -0.1436, -0.1418, -0.1372, -0.1424, -0.1461, -0.1415, -0.141, -0.1473, -0.1499, -0.1519, -0.1548, -0.1717, -0.1717, -0.1789, -0.1731, -0.1726, -0.1648, -0.1651, -0.1625, -0.1625, -0.1559, -0.1596, -0.1757, -0.176, -0.176, -0.1522, -0.1487, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.1481, -0.1545, -0.1177, -0.1421, -0.1436, -0.1556, -0.1703, -0.1703, -0.1852, -0.1654, -0.1387, -0.1433, -0.145, -0.153, -0.1608, -0.1654, -0.1823, -0.1809, -0.1949, -0.209, -0.2156, -0.1941, -0.1958, -0.186, -0.1883, -0.2099, -0.2208, -0.2208, -0.2153, -0.213, -0.2171, -0.213, -0.2182, -0.2099, -0.2093, -0.2254, -0.2383, -0.2435, -0.2639, -0.2707, -0.2687, -0.2239, -0.2113, -0.2038, -0.1929, -0.1978, -0.1869, -0.182, -0.1806, -0.1904, -0.1955]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979515597340758403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T11:51:10+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we have GLOBAL oil demand falling - with price - the market just doesn't know it yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish crude oil: global demand falling driven by China-led EV displacement of ICE, price to follow as market catches up.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And y’all wonder why I keep saying past year plus that we have GLOBAL oil demand falling - with price - the market just doesn’t know it yet.\n$WTIC\n\nOur Geoffrey warned this China-led EV revolution would replace ICE cars in many countries. @GraphCall 🎩\n\nhttps://t.co/RqYliIMUWK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chinese Innovation Strikes Again https://t.co/DfdhVZK2xa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0022114333160792032, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0022114333160792032, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012504876619221839, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012504876619221839, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00648672858814936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00648672858814936, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00650167146693259, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00650167146693259, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.0779891017650749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0779891017650749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0572233589839064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0572233589839064, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": 0.06884856321509414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06884856321509414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08556240231934276, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08556240231934276, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.04865097056288792, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04865097056288792, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014410693105714856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014410693105714856, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.8258881782518057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8258881782518057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7854974852267564, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7854974852267564, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06884856321509414, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08556240231934276, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08556240231934276, "price_path": [0.1098, 0.1218, 0.1035, 0.1377, 0.1765, 0.1948, 0.1734, 0.142, 0.1221, 0.106, 0.0879, 0.0824, 0.0806, 0.088, 0.0755, 0.0683, 0.0871, 0.0733, 0.0787, 0.0659, 0.0839, 0.0929, 0.1004, 0.1168, 0.0917, 0.101, 0.1092, 0.1033, 0.1033, 0.1317, 0.1032, 0.0936, 0.0708, 0.0768, 0.082, 0.1014, 0.0762, 0.0808, 0.0944, 0.1156, 0.1053, 0.1011, 0.0839, 0.0829, 0.1064, 0.1262, 0.135, 0.1355, 0.0997, 0.0873, 0.0783, 0.0547, 0.0572, 0.0743, 0.0792, 0.084, 0.069, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0172, 0.0171, -0.0003, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0065, 0.0413, 0.0805, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0525, 0.0585, 0.0572, 0.0697, 0.0724, 0.0604, 0.0472, 0.045, 0.0506, 0.0568, 0.0721, 0.0289, 0.0298, 0.0523, 0.0512, 0.0688, 0.045, 0.0342, 0.0217, 0.0382, 0.0209, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0478, 0.0476, 0.0349, 0.0417, 0.0525, 0.0603, 0.0392, 0.0299, 0.04, 0.0209, 0.0144, 0.0009, -0.0245, 0.0022, -0.0094, 0.0029, 0.028, 0.0364, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0096, 0.0262, 0.0282, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0167, 0.0352, 0.01, -0.0006, 0.04, 0.0435, 0.0563, 0.0833, 0.0705, 0.0487, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0594, 0.0812, 0.0588, 0.0902, 0.0833, 0.1154, 0.1296, 0.1667, 0.1723, 0.1106, 0.1421, 0.1482, 0.1306, 0.135, 0.1502, 0.1504, 0.1631, 0.1261, 0.1237, 0.1237, 0.1165, 0.1706, 0.197, 0.192, 0.1927, 0.1906, 0.1754, 0.176, 0.2082, 0.2854, 0.3298, 0.3498, 0.4199, 0.6036, 0.5381, 0.5607, 0.593, 0.7454, 0.7675, 0.6959, 0.752, 0.7937, 0.7302, 0.7902, 0.63, 0.6886, 0.6717, 0.7287, 0.831, 0.914, 0.876, 0.8294, 1.0333, 1.0333, 1.0484, 1.0357, 0.8367, 0.8717, 0.8402, 0.894, 0.8259]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1967609054089691346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T15:18:49+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL chase short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Chase short ORCL; chase long NVDA on AI outlook lifting markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The Market Is Not Pricing In Anything Bad – That's Why It's Bullish!\" 😆\n\n@HansCashFlow and I discuss $ORCL chase short, $NVDA chase long on AI outlook lifting markets with misinterpreted PPI drop fueling #Fedcut hopes. https://t.co/c7xOAjGDUt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.032964949945581856, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032964949945581856, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027669181126302234, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027669181126302234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014926688960582135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014926688960582135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016303480540388104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016303480540388104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.08608574012301129, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08608574012301129, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07431582949447901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07431582949447901, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": -0.00867534581308027, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00867534581308027, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013450650999546121, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013450650999546121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": -0.3407193254124067, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3407193254124067, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.38636960709210555, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.38636960709210555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": -0.5033598666152093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5033598666152093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5338542361025573, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5338542361025573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00867534581308027, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013450650999546121, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013450650999546121, "price_path": [-0.3036, -0.3036, -0.3224, -0.3162, -0.289, -0.3041, -0.2971, -0.3056, -0.2779, -0.2768, -0.2404, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2329, -0.2255, -0.2212, -0.2222, -0.2369, -0.2411, -0.2223, -0.2014, -0.1767, -0.1876, -0.1939, -0.2119, -0.1994, -0.1963, -0.1887, -0.1801, -0.1726, -0.1706, -0.1601, -0.191, -0.1642, -0.1538, -0.1513, -0.1746, -0.1724, -0.1637, -0.1598, -0.1918, -0.1893, -0.1783, -0.1756, -0.2235, -0.222, -0.2283, -0.2177, -0.2209, -0.2248, -0.2195, -0.2046, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2543, -0.2604, -0.2619, -0.2295, -0.2107, -0.2007, 0.0867, 0.0189, -0.033, 0.0, 0.0149, -0.0024, -0.0183, 0.0216, 0.0861, 0.0387, 0.0209, -0.0358, -0.0618, -0.0641, -0.0692, -0.0435, -0.0442, -0.053, -0.0349, -0.0592, -0.0447, -0.0154, -0.0287, 0.0212, -0.0087, 0.0066, 0.0377, -0.0342, -0.081, -0.0877, -0.096, -0.0714, -0.0606, -0.067, -0.0689, -0.0873, -0.1483, -0.1293, -0.1451, -0.1772, -0.1701, -0.1917, -0.2067, -0.2015, -0.2171, -0.2474, -0.2787, -0.2611, -0.2711, -0.269, -0.2523, -0.3015, -0.341, -0.336, -0.3468, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3304, -0.3338, -0.3333, -0.3113, -0.2894, -0.2786, -0.2688, -0.2655, -0.2606, -0.3407, -0.3702, -0.3869, -0.3745, -0.4083, -0.4031, -0.3635, -0.3423, -0.3524, -0.3452, -0.3452, -0.3436, -0.3522, -0.3462, -0.3538, -0.3538, -0.3511, -0.3615, -0.3576, -0.3606, -0.3712, -0.3401, -0.3196, -0.3275, -0.3564, -0.3689, -0.3648, -0.3648, -0.4019, -0.422, -0.4077, -0.4111, -0.3935, -0.4186, -0.4256, -0.4382, -0.4529, -0.4679, -0.4858, -0.5124, -0.5463, -0.5252, -0.4795, -0.4685, -0.4776, -0.4798, -0.4677, -0.4677, -0.4882, -0.4809, -0.4796, -0.5077, -0.5303, -0.5142, -0.5084, -0.5003, -0.5167, -0.5039, -0.5047, -0.4935, -0.4854, -0.4915, -0.4962, -0.5034]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1967609054089691346", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-15T15:18:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA chase long on AI outlook lifting markets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Chase short ORCL; chase long NVDA on AI outlook lifting markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"The Market Is Not Pricing In Anything Bad – That's Why It's Bullish!\" 😆\n\n@HansCashFlow and I discuss $ORCL chase short, $NVDA chase long on AI outlook lifting markets with misinterpreted PPI drop fueling #Fedcut hopes. https://t.co/c7xOAjGDUt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00039375337475267, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00039375337475267, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005689522194032293, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009671991387534051, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009278238012781381, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016146295065249894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016146295065249894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014769503485443924, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016276450908435103, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000130155843185209, "ret_p1w": 0.03296758363670649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03296758363670649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02119767300817421, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01586527423580364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04883285787251013, "ret_p1m": 0.01282685355039015, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01282685355039015, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008051548363924299, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07289113381771628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08571798736810643, "ret_p3m": 0.01794685077237035, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01794685077237035, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02770343090732852, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18949525304834158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20744210382071193, "ret_p6m": 0.03955154232535052, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03955154232535052, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009057172838002447, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2579914920697761, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29754303439512664, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01282685355039015, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008051548363924299, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07289113381771628, "price_path": [-0.1816, -0.1816, -0.1908, -0.189, -0.168, -0.1319, -0.1279, -0.1126, -0.1112, -0.1376, -0.1154, -0.1036, -0.1036, -0.1098, -0.0999, -0.0837, -0.0768, -0.0722, -0.077, -0.0397, -0.0359, -0.0268, -0.0301, -0.0359, -0.0604, -0.0393, -0.0226, -0.024, -0.0057, -0.0127, 0.0085, 0.0006, -0.0227, 0.0126, 0.0028, 0.0093, 0.0169, 0.0278, 0.0242, 0.0304, 0.0215, 0.024, 0.0151, 0.0239, -0.0119, -0.0133, -0.0156, 0.0013, 0.0115, 0.0226, 0.0216, 0.0136, -0.0201, -0.0201, -0.0393, -0.0402, -0.0343, -0.0604, -0.0532, -0.0394, -0.0024, -0.0033, 0.0004, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.042, -0.0085, -0.0061, 0.033, 0.0038, -0.0044, -0.0003, 0.0025, 0.0231, 0.0497, 0.0534, 0.0627, 0.0555, 0.0438, 0.041, 0.0639, 0.0834, 0.0304, 0.0595, 0.0128, 0.0117, 0.0228, 0.0308, 0.0275, 0.0192, 0.0142, 0.0248, 0.0479, 0.0773, 0.131, 0.1648, 0.1414, 0.1392, 0.1639, 0.1178, 0.0982, 0.0581, 0.0585, 0.1198, 0.0867, 0.0903, 0.0513, 0.0699, 0.0498, 0.0203, 0.0493, 0.0163, 0.0064, 0.027, 0.0004, 0.0141, 0.0141, -0.0042, 0.0122, 0.0209, 0.0104, 0.0317, 0.0263, 0.0439, 0.0407, 0.034, 0.0179, -0.0153, -0.0082, -0.0001, -0.0383, -0.0203, 0.0183, 0.0335, 0.0645, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.072, 0.059, 0.0551, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.0625, 0.0584, 0.0534, 0.064, 0.0411, 0.0401, 0.0405, 0.0454, 0.0304, 0.0524, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.0019, 0.0314, 0.0399, 0.0559, 0.0491, 0.0606, 0.0775, 0.0831, 0.0753, 0.0443, 0.0146, -0.02, -0.033, 0.0432, 0.0692, 0.0608, 0.0693, 0.0518, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0407, 0.0576, 0.0572, 0.068, 0.0777, 0.085, 0.1003, 0.0402, -0.0031, 0.0267, 0.013, 0.0298, 0.0315, 0.0004, 0.0276, 0.0396]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960681514468843899", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T12:31:15+00:00", "symbol": "UUUU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher highs. Still working.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "UUUU extended but still bullish — expects digestion to ~10.74 before higher highs continue.", "resolved_tickers": ["UUUU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UUUU sideways consolidation above its 10W EMA = SIDEWAYS when frothy/extended. Only one tag of its 10W EMA but never closing below so doing nothing wrong. It's extended again NOW - which translates to likely digestion back down with tag of 10.74 vs 8.21 warning then. Higher highs. Still working.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc also said it was frothy 40% ago 🤷‍♂️", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UraniumCharts", "ret_m1d": 0.07982463434536036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07982463434536036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08209809820642766, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09092074018974539, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011096105844385029, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02456146456271613, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02456146456271613, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021020140429871548, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016939944664016604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541324132844581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007621519898699525, "ret_p1w": 0.0035087687010102453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0035087687010102453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007978107382802024, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011690841241757344, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469338681791779, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008182072540747098, "ret_p1m": 0.5140351584596854, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5140351584596854, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4935529879058047, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4836850367366816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030350121723003776, "ret_p3m": 0.22543866092075082, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22543866092075082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18839433190657262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2174703740354591, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00796828688529172, "ret_p6m": 0.9271929867123048, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9271929867123048, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8625876562975154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6690609900908535, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06460533041478933, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25813199662145125, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5140351584596854, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4935529879058047, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4836850367366816, "price_path": [-0.5711, -0.5728, -0.5105, -0.4982, -0.5105, -0.5202, -0.5044, -0.5298, -0.5254, -0.5289, -0.507, -0.4912, -0.4842, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.5254, -0.5193, -0.5044, -0.5079, -0.4825, -0.5132, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.4509, -0.4588, -0.4588, -0.4596, -0.4886, -0.5096, -0.4289, -0.4211, -0.3851, -0.3193, -0.2772, -0.1965, -0.1789, -0.1921, -0.193, -0.1684, -0.1263, -0.1219, -0.1193, -0.1693, -0.2009, -0.2026, -0.2237, -0.1474, -0.1298, -0.1509, -0.1579, -0.1623, -0.157, -0.1588, -0.1658, -0.1412, -0.1412, -0.0947, -0.257, -0.2518, -0.1754, -0.0719, -0.0412, 0.0798, 0.0, 0.0246, 0.014, 0.014, -0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0149, 0.014, 0.0439, 0.1474, 0.1079, 0.0991, 0.0465, 0.2123, 0.1763, 0.2351, 0.2368, 0.3035, 0.3658, 0.4623, 0.4798, 0.514, 0.4658, 0.4491, 0.3465, 0.3781, 0.4754, 0.4491, 0.4833, 0.543, 0.5789, 0.7281, 0.7842, 1.0851, 1.3009, 1.1921, 0.9026, 0.8474, 0.9807, 0.8096, 0.9947, 0.8649, 0.8746, 0.6754, 0.757, 0.7895, 0.914, 0.7991, 0.5614, 0.4921, 0.4219, 0.3263, 0.3728, 0.4465, 0.3754, 0.3877, 0.3579, 0.364, 0.3123, 0.3202, 0.3588, 0.1588, 0.1211, 0.2254, 0.2719, 0.2596, 0.2596, 0.2632, 0.2342, 0.3202, 0.3246, 0.4316, 0.3693, 0.3588, 0.3509, 0.3035, 0.3877, 0.2781, 0.2298, 0.2351, 0.1816, 0.2263, 0.3219, 0.3237, 0.3316, 0.3246, 0.3246, 0.2842, 0.3219, 0.2465, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.4632, 0.6202, 0.6088, 0.6623, 0.6307, 0.593, 0.6895, 0.7035, 0.8342, 0.8351, 0.9246, 0.9246, 1.0632, 0.9754, 1.1421, 1.2368, 1.0465, 1.1193, 1.4316, 1.1825, 0.9684, 0.843, 1.1518, 0.8789, 0.7184, 0.8614, 1.0263, 0.9088, 0.9702, 0.8684, 0.8175, 0.8175, 0.8044, 0.8719, 0.9272]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1929564379583844355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-02T15:42:52+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my call last APRIL 2024, that crude would trade in $60-40 range by end of 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reiterates bearish crude oil call targeting $60-40 range by end of 2025, framed as inevitable oil industry recession.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a question of IF just WHEN the Oil Industry Recession hits US. \n\nAgain, here's our Geoffrey @GraphCall \n\n\"50% of the demand is for ground transportation. And EVs are 5X cheaper per mile. And with high power density batteries with Sodium (cheap raw material), new  EVs will be cheaper than ICE.\" \n\nAnd my call last APRIL 2024, that crude would trade in $60-40 range by end of 2025.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Weekly unemployment insurance claims in some of the big Permian and Eagle Ford Counties.\n\nThis is not a chart that I enjoy seeing go up.\n\nLatest data point a/o May 17th. https://t.co/0pJPWHB31F", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027671137709044835, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027671137709044835, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022069664060228922, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022069664060228922, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005601473648815913, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005601473648815913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014235434790978552, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014235434790978552, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008532668671117127, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008532668671117127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005702766119861424, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005702766119861424, "ret_p1w": 0.04430582913439007, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04430582913439007, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03254639979737539, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03254639979737539, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011759429337014682, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011759429337014682, "ret_p1m": 0.04686494672145636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04686494672145636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0017063613491334895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0017063613491334895, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04515858537232287, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04515858537232287, "ret_p3m": 0.033269321835059706, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.033269321835059706, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06480277960778369, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06480277960778369, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0980721014428434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0980721014428434, "ret_p6m": -0.07309660366863802, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07309660366863802, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21850090160216729, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21850090160216729, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14540429793352927, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14540429793352927, "ret_p1y": 0.5716570923989595, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5716570923989595, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30670909094118337, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30670909094118337, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2649480014577761, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2649480014577761, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04686494672145636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0017063613491334895, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0017063613491334895, "price_path": [0.0606, 0.0614, 0.0723, 0.0561, 0.0597, 0.0825, 0.0645, 0.0745, 0.0809, 0.0701, 0.0742, 0.0918, 0.0921, 0.1054, 0.1036, 0.114, 0.1184, 0.1094, 0.1433, 0.1388, 0.147, 0.0709, -0.0085, -0.0291, -0.047, -0.0027, -0.0392, -0.0163, -0.0158, -0.019, -0.0008, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.009, 0.0286, -0.004, 0.0043, 0.008, -0.0075, -0.0336, -0.0689, -0.0525, -0.0677, -0.0862, -0.0549, -0.0712, -0.0417, -0.024, -0.0091, 0.0184, 0.0101, -0.0144, -0.0005, 0.0027, 0.0006, -0.0152, -0.0211, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0261, -0.0109, -0.0253, -0.0277, 0.0, 0.0142, 0.0053, 0.0136, 0.0329, 0.0443, 0.0393, 0.0901, 0.0883, 0.1673, 0.148, 0.1971, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.1985, 0.0958, 0.0296, 0.0384, 0.0435, 0.048, 0.0414, 0.0469, 0.0789, 0.0717, 0.0637, 0.0865, 0.0929, 0.0937, 0.0648, 0.0948, 0.0713, 0.064, 0.0617, 0.0803, 0.0771, 0.0749, 0.059, 0.0437, 0.0561, 0.0422, 0.067, 0.107, 0.1196, 0.1078, 0.0769, 0.0603, 0.0422, 0.0293, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.023, 0.0104, 0.0021, 0.023, 0.0045, 0.0144, -0.0027, 0.011, 0.016, 0.0182, 0.0365, 0.0117, 0.0261, 0.0333, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0491, 0.0232, 0.0154, -0.0104, -0.0042, 0.0018, 0.0184, -0.0024, 0.0027, 0.0125, 0.032, 0.0245, 0.0168, 0.0026, 0.0019, 0.0142, 0.0395, 0.0393, 0.0512, 0.0149, -0.0024, -0.0118, -0.0326, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0126, 0.0005, -0.0162, -0.0579, -0.0485, -0.0611, -0.068, -0.0809, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0752, -0.0643, -0.0117, -0.0163, -0.0194, -0.0379, -0.0326, -0.0312, -0.0246, -0.0235, -0.0313, -0.0467, -0.0494, -0.0443, -0.0382, -0.0237, -0.0645, -0.0613, -0.0389, -0.0417, -0.0285, -0.0493, -0.0541, -0.0713, -0.0589, -0.0731]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968117362546164193", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-17T00:58:39+00:00", "symbol": "commodities", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "reprice commodities higher", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish USD on de-dollarization/debasement, bearish long-duration USTs as bond bears entrenched, bullish commodities as inflation reprices them higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["DJP", "PDBC"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "DJP broad commodity ETN; PDBC Invesco commodity ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Recession can drive a short-term rally in dollar and bonds BUT I do not see a trend reversal higher for the dollar without falling term premium demanded on longer duration notes and bonds, and that’s not likely because the US currency is shite.  \n\nDollar would be bullish if Trump/Congress actually focused on fiscal restructuring not trade wars, if grift was kept to a dull roar not magnified from crypto crap & stable cons, if fiscal dominance was reversed not accelerated by removing Fed independence…\n\nSo… de-dollarization, devaluation and debasement are the entrenched trends the market does not see yet that will further erode consumer purchasing power and reprice commodities higher.\n\nResult: Inflation is entrenched and so are Bond Bears. \n\nFed cuts won’t help and recession will trigger growth scares that will only drive a weaker dollar big picture as MONEY GOES HOME FASTER, pushing G7 yields even higher.\n\nI think it will surprise many when US bonds don’t get bid for more than a trade but yields do.\n\nCrack-up boom phase is coming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc but what if the dollar does strengthen when yields rise?  what is your thesis then?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fx_poet", "ret_m1d": 0.012593506058172443, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012593506058172443, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01134950337656393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01134950337656393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012440026816085137, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012440026816085137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005726731666702012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005726731666702012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010399231203056303, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010399231203056303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672499536354291, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004672499536354291, "ret_p1w": 0.0015993416566005836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015993416566005836, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004093880429240193, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004093880429240193, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693222085840777, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005693222085840777, "ret_p1m": 0.00438649380813777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00438649380813777, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.000606929960046354, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.000606929960046354, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004993423768184124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004993423768184124, "ret_p3m": 0.035059632305325716, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.035059632305325716, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0004956457233756817, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0004956457233756817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0355552780287014, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0355552780287014, "ret_p6m": 0.3483914127534614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3483914127534614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3321588067204416, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3321588067204416, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232606033019792, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016232606033019792, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00438649380813777, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.000606929960046354, "alpha_c_stated": -0.000606929960046354, "price_path": [0.0275, -0.0023, -0.0254, -0.0286, -0.0255, -0.0272, -0.0306, -0.0274, -0.0112, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0173, -0.0138, -0.0153, -0.0151, -0.0041, -0.0109, -0.0117, -0.0081, -0.002, 0.0029, -0.0013, -0.0009, -0.0042, -0.0048, -0.0152, -0.0099, -0.0003, -0.0138, -0.0215, -0.0314, -0.0339, -0.0394, -0.0395, -0.0366, -0.0382, -0.0363, -0.0402, -0.0404, -0.0394, -0.039, -0.0387, -0.0465, -0.0377, -0.0291, -0.0254, -0.023, -0.0278, -0.0272, -0.0207, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0024, -0.0094, -0.0152, -0.0216, -0.0138, -0.0134, -0.0081, -0.0135, -0.0077, 0.0038, 0.0126, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0039, 0.0016, 0.0092, 0.0098, 0.0066, 0.0047, 0.0064, 0.0001, 0.0039, 0.0137, 0.0174, 0.0206, 0.0105, -0.0077, 0.0056, -0.0021, 0.0026, 0.0044, 0.002, 0.0174, 0.003, 0.0137, 0.0269, 0.025, 0.022, 0.0124, 0.0165, 0.0214, 0.0262, 0.0361, 0.0262, 0.026, 0.0258, 0.0284, 0.0434, 0.0515, 0.0451, 0.0409, 0.0377, 0.0354, 0.0433, 0.0361, 0.0247, 0.0209, 0.0255, 0.0204, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0506, 0.054, 0.0487, 0.0534, 0.0563, 0.0645, 0.0485, 0.0434, 0.0506, 0.0516, 0.0393, 0.0351, 0.0247, 0.0377, 0.0298, 0.0371, 0.0502, 0.0639, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0737, 0.0566, 0.0647, 0.0481, 0.0481, 0.0501, 0.0711, 0.077, 0.0674, 0.0732, 0.0747, 0.0911, 0.0986, 0.1014, 0.0922, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.1086, 0.125, 0.1261, 0.1476, 0.1574, 0.1738, 0.1881, 0.2049, 0.1664, 0.1106, 0.1409, 0.1449, 0.1257, 0.1355, 0.1443, 0.1417, 0.1512, 0.1268, 0.1279, 0.1279, 0.1135, 0.1419, 0.1522, 0.1629, 0.1676, 0.1665, 0.1676, 0.1692, 0.1851, 0.2158, 0.2179, 0.2263, 0.2436, 0.2942, 0.2761, 0.2924, 0.315, 0.3484]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1979505088616861832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T11:09:25+00:00", "symbol": "gold miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "forward earnings in GOLD & SILVER MINING stocks that are so undervalued despite a REAL MANIA in physical buying of their underlying", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish gold/silver miners on extreme undervaluation vs physical mania; bearish AI tech growth rally as China rare earth ban threatens forward earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "GDXJ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX senior; GDXJ junior gold miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tale of Two Markets:\n\nThere are forward earnings in AI TECH MANIA stocks brought way way forward that have driven the growth rally. Very hard to achieve with China rare earth ban. 😬\n\nAnd then there are forward earnings in GOLD & SILVER MINING stocks that are so undervalued despite a REAL MANIA in physical buying of their underlying. 🚀\n\nThe ULTIMATE ROTATION is close! 💰💸🤑\n\nExcept for one problem:\nChina controls the ultimate price on both sectors. 🫥🔥🥺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@TaviCosta FCF up 11x while price only 2.5x. Value trap resolving.\n\nMiners at 0.5x NAV with record margins are finally getting re-rated. \n\nIf gold consolidates here and FCF stays elevated, these stocks have another 2-3x just to reach historical valuation norms.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02436969073448897, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02436969073448897, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014076247431346334, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014076247431346334, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09901799390513755, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09901799390513755, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09900305102635432, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09900305102635432, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.13493414521560854, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13493414521560854, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15569988799677703, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15569988799677703, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.07291449162384284, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07291449162384284, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05620065251959422, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05620065251959422, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.2214370780708873, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2214370780708873, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18719680061371424, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18719680061371424, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.2713366117277005, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2713366117277005, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23094591870265124, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23094591870265124, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07291449162384284, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05620065251959422, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05620065251959422, "price_path": [-0.3396, -0.3468, -0.3447, -0.3613, -0.3552, -0.3728, -0.3761, -0.3673, -0.3397, -0.3209, -0.3073, -0.2985, -0.2985, -0.3024, -0.2942, -0.2946, -0.2982, -0.2893, -0.2913, -0.3123, -0.2919, -0.2788, -0.2662, -0.267, -0.2514, -0.2522, -0.255, -0.2298, -0.2298, -0.206, -0.1995, -0.2087, -0.1874, -0.1747, -0.1808, -0.1588, -0.1419, -0.1419, -0.1304, -0.152, -0.16, -0.1594, -0.1164, -0.0891, -0.0905, -0.1129, -0.1022, -0.0821, -0.066, -0.0581, -0.0494, -0.0509, -0.0505, -0.0281, -0.0468, -0.0137, -0.059, -0.0578, -0.0108, -0.0237, 0.018, 0.0516, -0.0244, 0.0, -0.099, -0.0985, -0.0883, -0.1001, -0.1349, -0.1202, -0.1208, -0.0992, -0.1103, -0.1226, -0.1626, -0.1362, -0.1341, -0.1103, -0.0671, -0.0608, -0.029, -0.0561, -0.0671, -0.0812, -0.0729, -0.0639, -0.1058, -0.099, -0.0445, -0.0441, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0327, 0.0254, 0.0132, 0.0073, 0.0104, 0.0068, -0.0152, 0.0229, 0.0408, 0.0779, 0.0715, 0.0583, 0.0613, 0.074, 0.0711, 0.1004, 0.1435, 0.1441, 0.1356, 0.1356, 0.1582, 0.0866, 0.0992, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.0829, 0.1199, 0.1649, 0.15, 0.1568, 0.1679, 0.2086, 0.2127, 0.2176, 0.2214, 0.2267, 0.2267, 0.2996, 0.2842, 0.344, 0.3697, 0.369, 0.3955, 0.4279, 0.3692, 0.1885, 0.1883, 0.2415, 0.2468, 0.1633, 0.23, 0.3047, 0.3027, 0.3445, 0.237, 0.3085, 0.3085, 0.2587, 0.2889, 0.3181, 0.3504, 0.398, 0.4027, 0.4093, 0.4525, 0.4788, 0.4701, 0.3402, 0.3503, 0.297, 0.2917, 0.3034, 0.3175, 0.2876, 0.2566, 0.1818, 0.198, 0.192, 0.1131, 0.0448, 0.0071, 0.0529, 0.0525, 0.087, 0.0269, 0.0706, 0.0708, 0.1537, 0.2054, 0.1817, 0.1817, 0.1722, 0.1876, 0.2286, 0.2327, 0.2439, 0.2411, 0.2713]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979505088616861832", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-18T11:09:25+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "forward earnings in GOLD & SILVER MINING stocks that are so undervalued despite a REAL MANIA in physical buying of their underlying", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish gold/silver miners on extreme undervaluation vs physical mania; bearish AI tech growth rally as China rare earth ban threatens forward earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tale of Two Markets:\n\nThere are forward earnings in AI TECH MANIA stocks brought way way forward that have driven the growth rally. Very hard to achieve with China rare earth ban. 😬\n\nAnd then there are forward earnings in GOLD & SILVER MINING stocks that are so undervalued despite a REAL MANIA in physical buying of their underlying. 🚀\n\nThe ULTIMATE ROTATION is close! 💰💸🤑\n\nExcept for one problem:\nChina controls the ultimate price on both sectors. 🫥🔥🥺", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@TaviCosta FCF up 11x while price only 2.5x. Value trap resolving.\n\nMiners at 0.5x NAV with record margins are finally getting re-rated. \n\nIf gold consolidates here and FCF stays elevated, these stocks have another 2-3x just to reach historical valuation norms.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03512341281529374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024829969512151107, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06426889260666147, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06425394972787823, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08964401507628184, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11040975785745033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020765742781168495, "ret_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054723561935037135, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05005579308271746, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015815515625544396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10403076541326972, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06364007238822045, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07143740103928575, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "alpha_c_stated": -0.054723561935037135, "price_path": [-0.2256, -0.2304, -0.2375, -0.2424, -0.2404, -0.2535, -0.2485, -0.2333, -0.2288, -0.2282, -0.2298, -0.2233, -0.2235, -0.2347, -0.2353, -0.233, -0.2379, -0.2374, -0.2386, -0.2428, -0.2351, -0.2378, -0.2296, -0.2315, -0.2259, -0.2243, -0.2186, -0.211, -0.211, -0.1924, -0.1861, -0.1897, -0.1788, -0.1695, -0.1714, -0.1684, -0.1696, -0.168, -0.1593, -0.1577, -0.1642, -0.1675, -0.1587, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.1484, -0.1449, -0.1399, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.1169, -0.12, -0.1129, -0.0962, -0.0915, -0.0765, -0.0936, -0.0844, -0.0622, -0.0555, -0.0391, -0.0166, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0643, -0.0642, -0.0604, -0.0636, -0.0896, -0.0962, -0.0996, -0.0819, -0.0869, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0909, -0.092, -0.0864, -0.0614, -0.0577, -0.0426, -0.0503, -0.0674, -0.0781, -0.0714, -0.0699, -0.0702, -0.0716, -0.0569, -0.0572, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.0379, -0.0332, -0.0395, -0.0404, -0.0397, -0.0414, -0.044, -0.0391, -0.035, -0.0246, -0.0191, -0.0182, -0.018, -0.0096, -0.0114, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.026, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0337, -0.0113, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0121, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0151, 0.0207, 0.0281, 0.0473, 0.0458, 0.0565, 0.0501, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0845, 0.1003, 0.1206, 0.1361, 0.1527, 0.181, 0.2267, 0.2301, 0.1037, 0.0595, 0.1269, 0.1261, 0.0961, 0.1298, 0.1585, 0.147, 0.1599, 0.1197, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1117, 0.1367, 0.1399, 0.1624, 0.1938, 0.1773, 0.1743, 0.1844, 0.1999, 0.2154, 0.1612, 0.1703, 0.1562, 0.1745, 0.1721, 0.1853, 0.1813, 0.1581, 0.1431, 0.1421, 0.1392, 0.1032, 0.0577, 0.0254, 0.0022, 0.0024, 0.0326, -0.0062, 0.0286, 0.0284, 0.0673, 0.086, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0608, 0.0711, 0.0778, 0.0862, 0.0843, 0.0799, 0.104]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1967212953347699168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-14T13:04:51+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & silver miners keep crushing earnings with macro tailwinds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on gold/silver miners (GLD, GDX, SLV) on earnings + macro tailwinds, and China internet names (BIDU, BABA, JD, KWEB) on stimulus-driven rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Fave Sectors, Still\n\nGold &amp; silver miners keep crushing earnings with macro tailwinds, while China’s stimulus fuels a rally.\n\n$GLD $GDX $SLV\n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB https://t.co/S1hQXZWGHZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010357585462373753, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010357585462373753, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00506181664309413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00506181664309413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020715170924747617, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020715170924747617, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019338379344941647, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019338379344941647, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.054625351611421014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054625351611421014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04285544098288874, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04285544098288874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": 0.11308165671647319, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11308165671647319, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10830635153000734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10830635153000734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": 0.22389330857215506, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22389330857215506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1782430268924562, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1782430268924562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": 0.47730911035304957, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47730911035304957, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4468147408657015, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4468147408657015, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11308165671647319, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10830635153000734, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10830635153000734, "price_path": [-0.248, -0.248, -0.2581, -0.2465, -0.2642, -0.2633, -0.2534, -0.2802, -0.2614, -0.2616, -0.2528, -0.2493, -0.2493, -0.2456, -0.2794, -0.2693, -0.2636, -0.2562, -0.2558, -0.2676, -0.2648, -0.273, -0.2745, -0.2477, -0.227, -0.2361, -0.2433, -0.2344, -0.2538, -0.2445, -0.2653, -0.2673, -0.2558, -0.2205, -0.1989, -0.1857, -0.1779, -0.1762, -0.1815, -0.1741, -0.1761, -0.1813, -0.1731, -0.1757, -0.1969, -0.1725, -0.1588, -0.1461, -0.145, -0.126, -0.1277, -0.1298, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.0806, -0.0749, -0.0839, -0.0587, -0.046, -0.0515, -0.0281, -0.0102, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.0207, -0.0258, -0.024, 0.0267, 0.0546, 0.0532, 0.0261, 0.0376, 0.0596, 0.0743, 0.084, 0.0944, 0.0939, 0.0936, 0.1154, 0.0921, 0.123, 0.0728, 0.0752, 0.1261, 0.1131, 0.1559, 0.1981, 0.1171, 0.1402, 0.0328, 0.035, 0.047, 0.0329, -0.0081, 0.0077, 0.0084, 0.0343, 0.0224, 0.0116, -0.0312, 0.0027, 0.004, 0.0294, 0.078, 0.0884, 0.1244, 0.0932, 0.0806, 0.0634, 0.0731, 0.0839, 0.0353, 0.045, 0.1061, 0.1039, 0.1571, 0.1571, 0.1809, 0.1751, 0.1579, 0.1501, 0.1548, 0.1497, 0.1232, 0.1626, 0.1822, 0.2239, 0.2154, 0.2039, 0.2036, 0.2178, 0.2155, 0.2456, 0.2888, 0.2901, 0.2819, 0.2819, 0.3047, 0.2269, 0.2411, 0.2258, 0.2258, 0.2252, 0.2641, 0.3168, 0.3014, 0.3082, 0.3228, 0.368, 0.3787, 0.3843, 0.3878, 0.3897, 0.3897, 0.4689, 0.4476, 0.503, 0.5295, 0.536, 0.5619, 0.6029, 0.5432, 0.3463, 0.3461, 0.4037, 0.4106, 0.3211, 0.3918, 0.4704, 0.4722, 0.5145, 0.4046, 0.4855, 0.4855, 0.4327, 0.4657, 0.4897, 0.5186, 0.5762, 0.5821, 0.5886, 0.6277, 0.6555, 0.6484, 0.504, 0.5132, 0.4552, 0.4489, 0.464, 0.4773]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1967212953347699168", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-09-14T13:04:51+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China's stimulus fuels a rally", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on gold/silver miners (GLD, GDX, SLV) on earnings + macro tailwinds, and China internet names (BIDU, BABA, JD, KWEB) on stimulus-driven rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Fave Sectors, Still\n\nGold &amp; silver miners keep crushing earnings with macro tailwinds, while China’s stimulus fuels a rally.\n\n$GLD $GDX $SLV\n$BIDU $BABA $JD $KWEB https://t.co/S1hQXZWGHZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007571953926315711, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007571953926315711, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022761851070360883, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022761851070360883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295768819279623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011968801932564777, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011968801932564777, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013345593512370746, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013345593512370746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767915798059693, "ret_p1w": 0.012213071266245379, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012213071266245379, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00044316063771310255, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00044316063771310255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": -0.04372243134880072, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04372243134880072, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04849773653526657, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04849773653526657, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": -0.09599409166752915, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09599409166752915, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14164437334722801, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14164437334722801, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": -0.19692205811395802, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19692205811395802, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2274164276013061, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2274164276013061, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04372243134880072, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04849773653526657, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04849773653526657, "price_path": [-0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1866, -0.1781, -0.1532, -0.159, -0.1612, -0.1578, -0.1615, -0.1612, -0.1717, -0.1786, -0.1786, -0.1727, -0.1575, -0.169, -0.1681, -0.1729, -0.1627, -0.1295, -0.137, -0.1277, -0.1153, -0.1185, -0.1106, -0.0948, -0.1063, -0.1131, -0.1207, -0.1265, -0.1419, -0.1343, -0.1573, -0.1387, -0.1329, -0.1216, -0.1241, -0.1248, -0.1331, -0.1128, -0.0808, -0.1055, -0.0921, -0.0838, -0.0928, -0.0926, -0.0865, -0.0625, -0.0594, -0.0591, -0.0848, -0.0833, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.0664, -0.0655, -0.0733, -0.0611, -0.0464, -0.0237, -0.0276, -0.0049, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.012, 0.0403, 0.0249, 0.0191, 0.0122, -0.0078, 0.0151, 0.0181, 0.0032, 0.0247, 0.0261, 0.0366, 0.0489, 0.0418, 0.0471, 0.0288, 0.033, 0.0098, -0.0616, -0.0264, -0.0437, -0.0313, -0.0344, -0.0354, -0.0142, -0.0242, -0.0362, -0.0164, -0.009, 0.01, 0.0029, 0.0054, -0.0176, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0462, -0.0388, -0.0352, -0.0481, -0.0271, -0.033, -0.0396, -0.052, -0.066, -0.0735, -0.0757, -0.0889, -0.115, -0.1094, -0.0835, -0.0782, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0823, -0.0721, -0.0816, -0.0928, -0.0933, -0.0818, -0.083, -0.0948, -0.0916, -0.096, -0.0989, -0.1143, -0.117, -0.1243, -0.116, -0.1085, -0.0992, -0.1039, -0.1057, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.1067, -0.1088, -0.1176, -0.1176, -0.0767, -0.0554, -0.0583, -0.0795, -0.0692, -0.0715, -0.0241, -0.0433, -0.0458, -0.0572, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0938, -0.078, -0.0699, -0.0697, -0.0718, -0.0697, -0.0648, -0.0596, -0.0832, -0.0912, -0.108, -0.134, -0.1352, -0.1109, -0.1101, -0.1109, -0.1163, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1521, -0.1477, -0.1513, -0.1526, -0.1635, -0.1643, -0.1645, -0.1847, -0.1951, -0.2057, -0.2275, -0.2228, -0.2381, -0.2301, -0.2086, -0.1969]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1961404101175939458", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T12:22:33+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "THIS IS A CATALYST. One long One short $BABA $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BABA long / NVDA short: BABA's new AI chip development buries NVDA's H20 China sales hopes.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THIS IS A CATALYST. \n\nOne long\nOne short\n\n$BABA $NVDA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$BABA develops and announces new AI Chip, to fill in the hole left by the Americans.\n\nSeems $NVDA's hopes of selling the H20 or whatever version of it into China, are now buried.\n\nThe Chinese are serious x serious in this race, and they will not be threatened by the likes of https://t.co/fIqaZY5p9e", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1142963501354991, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1142963501354991, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12029576789253194, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12469584407778644, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005999417757032832, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010399493942287341, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.004296299946411786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004296299946411786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0009012857868866408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010245839543427282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003395014159525145, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014542139489839068, "ret_p1m": 0.3325924739638406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3325924739638406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30085851020851306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29183719925124296, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031733963755327554, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040755274712597656, "ret_p3m": 0.1674074119700517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1674074119700517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11080040368193877, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15155138729655948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05660700828811294, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01585602467349223, "ret_p6m": 0.1317036936658862, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1317036936658862, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06774919242357336, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13557786690827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06395450124231283, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003874173242383816, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3325924739638406, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.30085851020851306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.29183719925124296, "price_path": [-0.1625, -0.1299, -0.1262, -0.1304, -0.1151, -0.1122, -0.1235, -0.1361, -0.1639, -0.141, -0.1479, -0.1593, -0.1593, -0.1629, -0.1623, -0.1333, -0.1515, -0.1561, -0.155, -0.1599, -0.1558, -0.1799, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.2128, -0.2001, -0.2309, -0.2101, -0.2095, -0.1984, -0.1336, -0.1427, -0.1311, -0.1094, -0.1091, -0.1059, -0.092, -0.1026, -0.1109, -0.0952, -0.1159, -0.1305, -0.1064, -0.1328, -0.1296, -0.133, -0.1047, -0.104, -0.1084, -0.1212, -0.0932, -0.0603, -0.0942, -0.1018, -0.1007, -0.1112, -0.1149, -0.1253, -0.0893, -0.0789, -0.0801, -0.0946, -0.1143, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0263, 0.0107, -0.0302, 0.0043, 0.0459, 0.0896, 0.0661, 0.1514, 0.1486, 0.1707, 0.2016, 0.2309, 0.2036, 0.206, 0.2167, 0.208, 0.307, 0.2998, 0.2734, 0.3326, 0.3239, 0.3539, 0.4025, 0.3928, 0.3868, 0.3432, 0.3416, 0.2865, 0.1779, 0.2356, 0.2064, 0.229, 0.2229, 0.2374, 0.285, 0.2346, 0.2286, 0.2733, 0.2941, 0.3293, 0.309, 0.3331, 0.2884, 0.2624, 0.2421, 0.217, 0.2209, 0.2416, 0.2321, 0.2288, 0.1911, 0.1697, 0.184, 0.1393, 0.1682, 0.1831, 0.177, 0.1354, 0.1328, 0.1906, 0.163, 0.1674, 0.1674, 0.1652, 0.2167, 0.1936, 0.171, 0.1662, 0.1727, 0.1713, 0.1553, 0.1764, 0.1622, 0.1532, 0.1118, 0.1059, 0.0896, 0.0913, 0.1096, 0.1182, 0.1202, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.1277, 0.0999, 0.0916, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.1536, 0.1575, 0.1178, 0.087, 0.1442, 0.1182, 0.2319, 0.2371, 0.2585, 0.2661, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2029, 0.2494, 0.3124, 0.2832, 0.2694, 0.2794, 0.3012, 0.2907, 0.256, 0.2473, 0.2122, 0.1788, 0.1686, 0.2038, 0.2074, 0.2334, 0.2172, 0.1758, 0.1536, 0.1536, 0.1513, 0.1539, 0.1427, 0.1441, 0.1317]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1971344135081820254", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T22:40:42+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that's good for a short term gold pull back", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "If Supreme Court doesn't take up the case Sep 29, expects a short-term gold pullback.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump: under pressure \n\nSo if the Supreme Court doesn’t take up the case on September 29, that’s good for a short term gold pull back…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "NEW: Every living former Fed chair (Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen) ...\n\nhave joined several former Treasury secretaries (Rubin, Summers, Paulson, Geithner, Lew) ...\n\nand CEA chairs (Hubbard, Mankiw, Romer, Furman, Rouse, Bernstein) who served presidents of both parties ...\n\nin an", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010171415778275628, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010171415778275628, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004475016560930745, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004475016560930745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005696399217344883, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005696399217344883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012078471360118748, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012078471360118748, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009268024576817524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009268024576817524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028104467833012237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028104467833012237, "ret_p1w": 0.027944798727387976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027944798727387976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01677851724492574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01677851724492574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011166281482462237, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011166281482462237, "ret_p1m": 0.0600216805511824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0600216805511824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024634357949941954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024634357949941954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387322601240445, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387322601240445, "ret_p3m": 0.18681960101344908, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18681960101344908, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14058345541698136, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14058345541698136, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046236145596467715, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046236145596467715, "ret_p6m": 0.1665563109409829, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1665563109409829, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17064849404181404, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17064849404181404, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092183100831148, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092183100831148, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027944798727387976, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01677851724492574, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01677851724492574, "price_path": [-0.1162, -0.1132, -0.1175, -0.1173, -0.1174, -0.124, -0.1228, -0.1213, -0.1111, -0.1123, -0.118, -0.112, -0.1153, -0.1119, -0.0989, -0.089, -0.101, -0.1071, -0.1169, -0.1235, -0.1197, -0.127, -0.1277, -0.1133, -0.1062, -0.1042, -0.1047, -0.0993, -0.0891, -0.1118, -0.1129, -0.1103, -0.1166, -0.1164, -0.1175, -0.1223, -0.1144, -0.1161, -0.1062, -0.1063, -0.1024, -0.0982, -0.091, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0598, -0.0482, -0.0555, -0.0429, -0.0363, -0.035, -0.0349, -0.0367, -0.0333, -0.0247, -0.0229, -0.0248, -0.0349, -0.0275, -0.0092, 0.0014, -0.0114, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0173, 0.0244, 0.0171, 0.0279, 0.0459, 0.0533, 0.071, 0.0453, 0.0531, 0.0883, 0.0963, 0.1064, 0.1337, 0.1098, 0.1486, 0.0827, 0.0713, 0.0928, 0.0909, 0.06, 0.0506, 0.0552, 0.0599, 0.0548, 0.0596, 0.0457, 0.0543, 0.0542, 0.0594, 0.0891, 0.0878, 0.1137, 0.109, 0.0827, 0.0776, 0.0758, 0.0801, 0.0745, 0.0798, 0.0839, 0.0964, 0.1033, 0.1033, 0.1173, 0.1229, 0.1089, 0.1123, 0.1156, 0.1159, 0.1091, 0.1143, 0.1115, 0.1351, 0.139, 0.1408, 0.1402, 0.1516, 0.1494, 0.1552, 0.1773, 0.1874, 0.1868, 0.1868, 0.1997, 0.1456, 0.1576, 0.1458, 0.1458, 0.1428, 0.1752, 0.1872, 0.1785, 0.1786, 0.1894, 0.2196, 0.2156, 0.2254, 0.2228, 0.2154, 0.2154, 0.2607, 0.2798, 0.3002, 0.3181, 0.3455, 0.3456, 0.4043, 0.4087, 0.2486, 0.2244, 0.2989, 0.3033, 0.2877, 0.3115, 0.3379, 0.3254, 0.3434, 0.3042, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.2934, 0.3208, 0.318, 0.3401, 0.3786, 0.3657, 0.3791, 0.3711, 0.3855, 0.4024, 0.3528, 0.3562, 0.3417, 0.3631, 0.3486, 0.3852, 0.3687, 0.3551, 0.3383, 0.3228, 0.3247, 0.2952, 0.2186, 0.2106, 0.1666]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955306063072272535", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-12T16:31:07+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macro, Intermarket, Technical Tells For Gold Trend Long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long gold trend intact; short-term pullback on Trump-Putin peace talks is just a dip, not a reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro, Intermarket, Technical Tells For Gold Trend Long \n\n*short-term pullback into Trump-Putin \"peace talks\" is just that 😉 https://t.co/2HohRBM7TL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0012542015094449965, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012542015094449965, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011788135265640043, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011788135265640043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010533933756195046, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010533933756195046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002926348685807545, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002926348685807545, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0004967837002127773, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004967837002127773, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003423132386020322, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003423132386020322, "ret_p1w": -0.010600495994268155, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010600495994268155, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006119313236254698, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006119313236254698, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004481182758013458, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004481182758013458, "ret_p1m": 0.08799910534986499, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08799910534986499, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07318640014196043, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07318640014196043, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014812705207904564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014812705207904564, "ret_p3m": 0.19424289138792816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19424289138792816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1473459776994508, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1473459776994508, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04689691368847737, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04689691368847737, "ret_p6m": 0.4692585761969701, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4692585761969701, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39545056082446517, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39545056082446517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07380801537250492, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07380801537250492, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08799910534986499, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07318640014196043, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07318640014196043, "price_path": [-0.0383, -0.0498, -0.0358, -0.0205, -0.0118, -0.0169, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0149, -0.0165, -0.0095, -0.0179, 0.0065, 0.0004, 0.0073, 0.0005, -0.0078, -0.005, -0.0084, -0.0082, 0.0096, 0.0246, 0.0142, 0.0113, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0057, 0.0086, -0.0094, -0.0065, -0.0046, -0.0225, -0.0163, -0.0036, -0.0003, -0.0052, -0.0049, -0.005, -0.0125, -0.0111, -0.0094, 0.0021, 0.0008, -0.0057, 0.0011, -0.0026, 0.0012, 0.0158, 0.027, 0.0135, 0.0066, -0.0044, -0.0119, -0.0076, -0.0159, -0.0166, -0.0004, 0.0076, 0.0099, 0.0093, 0.0153, 0.0269, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0029, -0.0041, -0.0039, -0.0051, -0.0106, -0.0016, -0.0036, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0119, 0.0166, 0.0248, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0599, 0.0729, 0.0648, 0.0789, 0.0864, 0.0879, 0.088, 0.086, 0.0897, 0.0995, 0.1015, 0.0994, 0.088, 0.0963, 0.117, 0.1289, 0.1144, 0.1159, 0.1273, 0.1409, 0.1469, 0.1549, 0.1466, 0.1588, 0.179, 0.1874, 0.2074, 0.1784, 0.1872, 0.2269, 0.2358, 0.2472, 0.2781, 0.2511, 0.2949, 0.2206, 0.2077, 0.2319, 0.2298, 0.195, 0.1843, 0.1896, 0.1948, 0.1891, 0.1945, 0.1788, 0.1885, 0.1884, 0.1942, 0.2278, 0.2263, 0.2555, 0.2502, 0.2206, 0.2148, 0.2127, 0.2176, 0.2113, 0.2173, 0.2219, 0.236, 0.2438, 0.2438, 0.2596, 0.2659, 0.2501, 0.2539, 0.2577, 0.258, 0.2503, 0.2561, 0.2531, 0.2797, 0.284, 0.286, 0.2853, 0.2982, 0.2958, 0.3023, 0.3272, 0.3386, 0.3379, 0.3379, 0.3524, 0.2915, 0.3049, 0.2916, 0.2916, 0.2883, 0.3249, 0.3384, 0.3286, 0.3287, 0.3408, 0.3749, 0.3704, 0.3814, 0.3785, 0.3701, 0.3701, 0.4212, 0.4428, 0.4658, 0.4859, 0.5168, 0.5169, 0.5831, 0.5881, 0.4076, 0.3803, 0.4643, 0.4693]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019561938590789769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T00:01:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this nasty gap down on W/M charts post Epstein file reveal... means it can easily head much lower in time. $65K > 49K > 38K > 26K", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish BTC after tagging $65K target; gap down on weekly/monthly charts signals path to $49K, $38K, $26K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jaketh1747091 Yes, Bitcoin just tagged my $65K call from Oct 2025, but this nasty gap down on W/M charts post Epstein file reveal... means it can easily head much lower in time.\n$BTCUSD \n\n$65K &gt; 49K &gt; 38K &gt; 26K... https://t.co/MK47uhLOWN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc As a btc relative newbie (since 3/24) I was stunned by a comment you made back in the “good old days” (BTC = 110K+) In response to another writer suggesting to a fomo victim that they “jump in with two feet now before it’s too late.”  I believe you said something to the effect", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jaketh1747091", "ret_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11130677470825778, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09248311610250182, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006159832312600089, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010981647876177836, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821815563577747, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02405977573028284, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011216231033489232, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012632729207849303, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017882413482567916, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.154093691902085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08862482495722057, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012632729207849303, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4598, 0.4409, 0.413, 0.3379, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.2964, 0.2279, 0.206, 0.2511, 0.2379, 0.2829, 0.2938, 0.2886, 0.2235, 0.2947, 0.3256, 0.3059, 0.2669, 0.2847, 0.3137, 0.3042, 0.3112, 0.2794, 0.2249, 0.245, 0.2209, 0.2113, 0.2487, 0.2542, 0.2389, 0.2417, 0.2364, 0.2373, 0.235, 0.2533, 0.2403, 0.2576, 0.2748, 0.3306, 0.3284, 0.2941, 0.2902, 0.2829, 0.2925, 0.351, 0.3738, 0.3543, 0.3539, 0.3118, 0.2517, 0.2668, 0.268, 0.2686, 0.251, 0.2629, 0.264, 0.1985, 0.1924, 0.1153, 0.072, 0.0349, -0.1113, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0614, -0.0241, -0.0243, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0361, -0.0842, -0.0918, -0.0368, -0.044, -0.0662, -0.0252, -0.0321, 0.0305, 0.004, -0.0343, -0.0305, -0.0089, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0059, 0.061, 0.0477, 0.0098, -0.0091, -0.0005, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0107, -0.025, -0.0598, -0.0548, -0.0329, -0.0351, -0.052, -0.0514, -0.024, 0.0196, 0.008, 0.0172, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.0602, 0.0652, 0.0931, 0.0754, 0.0822, 0.1084, 0.1093, 0.0978, 0.0965, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.1541, 0.134, 0.1365, 0.1584, 0.1406, 0.1236, 0.1488, 0.1206, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0699, 0.0953, 0.0747, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0399, 0.0108, -0.0546, -0.0927, -0.0957, -0.1365, -0.1058, -0.1263, -0.1291, -0.0991, -0.0994, -0.0605, -0.0702, -0.087, -0.1086, -0.0994, -0.087, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012934100399604122", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T17:04:22+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "falling global oil demand ... The market just doesn't see it yet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish oil: rising EV adoption signals falling global demand, market hasn't priced it in yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All I read is:\n“falling global oil demand”\n\nAnd US makes up 20% of GLOBAL oil supply/sales…\n\nThe market just doesn’t see it yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "President Trump cannot have his cake and eat it!\n\n\"Trump administration officials said on Friday that Canada would regret its decision to allow China to import up to 49,000 Chinese EVs, and that those cars would not be allowed to enter the United States.\n\"I think they'll look https://t.co/iB1KBLmxAo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029223362467158953, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029223362467158953, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02059554293026089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02059554293026089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.05288064318789343, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05288064318789343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.10492625732654393, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10492625732654393, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.6148065673521796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6148065673521796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10492625732654393, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09207171138134496, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09207171138134496, "price_path": [0.0199, 0.0184, 0.0175, -0.0065, -0.0008, -0.0021, 0.0097, 0.0122, 0.001, -0.0116, -0.0136, -0.0083, -0.0025, 0.012, -0.0288, -0.028, -0.0067, -0.0078, 0.0089, -0.0136, -0.0238, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0363, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.011, -0.0111, -0.0231, -0.0167, -0.0065, 0.0008, -0.0191, -0.0278, -0.0184, -0.0363, -0.0424, -0.0552, -0.0792, -0.054, -0.065, -0.0533, -0.0296, -0.0217, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.047, -0.0313, -0.0295, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0404, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0566, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.0029, 0.0225, 0.0104, -0.0102, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0206, -0.0006, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.0529, 0.0662, 0.1013, 0.1066, 0.0483, 0.0781, 0.0838, 0.0672, 0.0714, 0.0857, 0.0859, 0.0978, 0.0629, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0539, 0.1049, 0.1298, 0.1251, 0.1258, 0.1239, 0.1095, 0.1101, 0.1404, 0.2133, 0.2552, 0.2741, 0.3402, 0.5136, 0.4519, 0.4731, 0.5036, 0.6475, 0.6684, 0.6008, 0.6538, 0.6932, 0.6332, 0.6898, 0.5385, 0.5939, 0.5779, 0.6318, 0.7284, 0.8067, 0.7708, 0.7268, 0.9193, 0.9193, 0.9335, 0.9215, 0.7336, 0.7668, 0.737, 0.7878, 0.7235, 0.706, 0.7512, 0.6148, 0.6883, 0.7847, 0.8007, 0.8748, 0.8425, 0.8748, 0.9427, 1.0962, 1.0469, 0.9872, 1.0541, 1.0063, 0.864, 0.8782, 0.859, 0.9296, 1.0081, 0.9766, 0.99, 1.0628, 1.0775, 1.1286, 1.0077, 0.9836, 0.961, 0.961, 0.9065, 0.8234, 0.8199, 0.7964, 0.8856, 0.9102, 0.9602, 0.9029, 0.8511, 0.8807, 0.8272, 0.8689, 0.7928, 0.7455, 0.6868, 0.6069, 0.5896, 0.5985, 0.5985, 0.5985, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997340102196953522", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T16:19:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My bet: $BTCUSD bounce into 110K at some point in the next month or two before rolling down to 65K by summer. Bitcoin is a bull trap of size.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC bounces to ~110K near-term then rolls to 65K by summer; author calls it a bull trap of size.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My bet: $BTCUSD bounce into 110K at some point in the next month or two before rolling down to 65K by summer. \n\nBitcoin is a bull trap of size. \nEspecially if it doesn’t hold 65,000 …", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Tom Lee expects Bitcoin to break into a fresh all-time high by the end of January 2026. https://t.co/kB0gh1d3ee", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013817768157169508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016831120022757884, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022633530616329445, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023496468746924237, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04656236117630608, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04232040722367858, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019122049963465892, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21843594169460878, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21798727868158096, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2640831115745582, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.38149319893061506, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019122049963465892, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2572, 0.2744, 0.2809, 0.2737, 0.2891, 0.285, 0.2923, 0.2764, 0.2439, 0.2358, 0.2503, 0.2031, 0.2104, 0.2621, 0.2583, 0.309, 0.3314, 0.3489, 0.3763, 0.3399, 0.3609, 0.3427, 0.2491, 0.2717, 0.248, 0.2222, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.2201, 0.1968, 0.1881, 0.2144, 0.225, 0.259, 0.2462, 0.2142, 0.1949, 0.2087, 0.1755, 0.1208, 0.1462, 0.1176, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1363, 0.1216, 0.0999, 0.0415, 0.016, 0.0255, 0.0091, -0.0442, -0.0612, -0.0261, -0.0364, -0.0013, 0.0071, 0.0031, -0.0476, 0.0078, 0.0319, 0.0166, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0152, 0.0206, -0.0041, -0.0466, -0.0308, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.028, -0.0237, -0.0356, -0.0334, -0.0376, -0.0368, -0.0386, -0.0244, -0.0345, -0.0211, -0.0077, 0.0358, 0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0043, -0.0014, 0.0061, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.0542, 0.0539, 0.0211, -0.0257, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0671, -0.0718, -0.1319, -0.1656, -0.1944, -0.3082, -0.2216, -0.2264, -0.241, -0.2609, -0.2694, -0.2403, -0.2405, -0.2554, -0.2672, -0.2613, -0.2497, -0.2871, -0.293, -0.2502, -0.2558, -0.2732, -0.2412, -0.2465, -0.1978, -0.2184, -0.2483, -0.2453, -0.2285, -0.2255, -0.2223, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.1844, -0.214, -0.2287, -0.222, -0.2176, -0.222, -0.2133, -0.241, -0.2681, -0.2642, -0.2472, -0.2489, -0.262, -0.2616, -0.2403, -0.2063, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.1948, -0.1782, -0.1816, -0.1747, -0.1709, -0.1491, -0.1629, -0.1576, -0.1372, -0.1365, -0.1455, -0.1464, -0.1577, -0.164, -0.1582, -0.1375, -0.1193, -0.1072, -0.1016, -0.1173, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1121, -0.1254, -0.1058, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1532, -0.1454, -0.1445, -0.1672, -0.1474, -0.1634, -0.1798, -0.1887, -0.1905, -0.2132, -0.2641]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017661292149162198", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T18:08:33+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, I still have $6K gold & $150 silver", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holds long-term targets of $6K gold and $150 silver; expects digestion period after recent volatility but maintains bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank you. Yes, I still have $6K gold & $150 silver.\nDoesn't mean we can't have volatility.\n\nI called the OCT 2025 metals volatility in advance & I caught this one too:\n\nWarned Jan 22nd, then 28th, then 29th.\nNow we see how long the digestion period, but this one should take longer. Unless we bomb Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Hi @SamanthaLaDuc great call on Precious metals !! However do you thons that gold can go 6k oz, or moré in the ne t years or so ? Seems like gold will continue to outperform stocks. Thank you, have a nice weekend !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nicolas48963641", "ret_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.143, -0.1377, -0.1141, -0.1106, -0.0963, -0.1036, -0.1198, -0.1299, -0.1236, -0.1221, -0.1224, -0.1238, -0.1099, -0.1102, -0.103, -0.103, -0.0919, -0.0875, -0.0934, -0.0942, -0.0936, -0.0953, -0.0977, -0.093, -0.0892, -0.0793, -0.0742, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.0652, -0.0669, -0.0658, -0.0442, -0.0316, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0243, -0.0668, -0.0661, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.0675, -0.043, -0.0327, -0.0419, -0.0366, -0.0296, -0.0115, -0.0129, -0.0028, -0.0089, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0236, 0.0386, 0.0577, 0.0723, 0.088, 0.1146, 0.1579, 0.161, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0628, 0.0345, 0.0663, 0.0934, 0.0826, 0.0948, 0.0568, 0.0831, 0.0831, 0.0493, 0.0729, 0.0759, 0.0971, 0.1268, 0.1112, 0.1084, 0.1179, 0.1326, 0.1472, 0.096, 0.1046, 0.0913, 0.1086, 0.1063, 0.1188, 0.115, 0.0931, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0752, 0.0412, -0.0017, -0.0322, -0.0541, -0.0538, -0.0254, -0.062, -0.0291, -0.0294, 0.0074, 0.025, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0012, 0.011, 0.0173, 0.0252, 0.0234, 0.0193, 0.042, 0.0312, 0.0303, 0.044, 0.035, 0.0057, 0.019, 0.0092, 0.0143, 0.0065, -0.0122, -0.0228, -0.0081, -0.0092, -0.0291, -0.0207, 0.009, 0.0107, 0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0136, 0.0079, 0.0002, -0.023, -0.0204, -0.0366, -0.0228, -0.0237, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0307, -0.0436, -0.0336, -0.0234, -0.0372, -0.0355, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0723, -0.0699, -0.0851, -0.123, -0.0955, -0.095, -0.0716, -0.0691, -0.0902, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017661292149162198", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T18:08:33+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, I still have $6K gold & $150 silver", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holds long-term targets of $6K gold and $150 silver; expects digestion period after recent volatility but maintains bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank you. Yes, I still have $6K gold & $150 silver.\nDoesn't mean we can't have volatility.\n\nI called the OCT 2025 metals volatility in advance & I caught this one too:\n\nWarned Jan 22nd, then 28th, then 29th.\nNow we see how long the digestion period, but this one should take longer. Unless we bomb Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Hi @SamanthaLaDuc great call on Precious metals !! However do you thons that gold can go 6k oz, or moré in the ne t years or so ? Seems like gold will continue to outperform stocks. Thank you, have a nice weekend !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nicolas48963641", "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.0614, -0.086, -0.0754, -0.1501, -0.1499, -0.1854, -0.204, -0.1604, -0.1539, -0.1238, -0.1249, -0.1633, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1785, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016345976957448528", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T03:01:57+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as USD moves lower, BTC will follow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC and ETH: as USD weakens, both will follow lower despite equities rising; crypto is trapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again, “BTCUSD IS trapped”, as warned.\n\nBTC price Mar 7, 2025 is same as Jan 27, 2026\n\nAnd now as USD moves lower, BTC will follow. ETH too. Despite rising equities. 😉\n\nWe moved from digital back to physical. And only real inflationary assets &amp; stores of value will do. ⏳", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Financial conditions are not easing. They are being reset to push down dollar, yields and oil so as to unwind equity leverage from Wall St to stimulate real growth from Main St . \n\nAll the examples of BTC troughs triggered by falling USD were in fact global central bank POLICY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009194415548864354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009194415548864354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010201162695891997, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.05183614563372574, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05183614563372574, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.049851768478891945, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.18125183684642754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18125183684642754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1679793624516427, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.24366094716671227, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24366094716671227, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23486051242135353, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.13251109772789493, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13251109772789493, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16371981811697767, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24366094716671227, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23486051242135353, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2284, 0.1947, 0.1391, 0.1649, 0.1359, 0.1591, 0.1885, 0.1549, 0.1399, 0.1179, 0.0585, 0.0326, 0.0422, 0.0256, -0.0286, -0.0459, -0.0102, -0.0207, 0.015, 0.0236, 0.0195, -0.0321, 0.0243, 0.0487, 0.0332, 0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0393, 0.0318, 0.0373, 0.0122, -0.031, -0.015, -0.0341, -0.0417, -0.0121, -0.0078, -0.0199, -0.0176, -0.0219, -0.0211, -0.0229, -0.0085, -0.0188, -0.0051, 0.0085, 0.0527, 0.051, 0.0238, 0.0207, 0.0149, 0.0225, 0.0688, 0.0868, 0.0714, 0.0711, 0.0378, -0.0098, 0.0022, 0.0031, 0.0036, -0.0103, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0518, -0.0567, -0.1177, -0.1519, -0.1813, -0.2969, -0.2089, -0.2138, -0.2286, -0.2488, -0.2575, -0.2279, -0.2281, -0.2432, -0.2552, -0.2492, -0.2375, -0.2755, -0.2815, -0.238, -0.2437, -0.2613, -0.2288, -0.2342, -0.1847, -0.2057, -0.236, -0.233, -0.2159, -0.2128, -0.2096, -0.2043, -0.1606, -0.1711, -0.2011, -0.2161, -0.2093, -0.2049, -0.2093, -0.2004, -0.2287, -0.2562, -0.2522, -0.2349, -0.2367, -0.25, -0.2495, -0.2279, -0.1934, -0.2025, -0.1953, -0.1817, -0.1648, -0.1682, -0.1612, -0.1573, -0.1352, -0.1493, -0.1439, -0.1231, -0.1224, -0.1315, -0.1325, -0.1439, -0.1503, -0.1444, -0.1234, -0.1049, -0.0926, -0.087, -0.1029, -0.1009, -0.0836, -0.0976, -0.1111, -0.0912, -0.1135, -0.1371, -0.1394, -0.1315, -0.1306, -0.1536, -0.1335, -0.1498, -0.1664, -0.1755, -0.1773, -0.2003, -0.2521, -0.2822, -0.2846, -0.3169, -0.2926, -0.3088, -0.311, -0.2873, -0.2875, -0.2567, -0.2644, -0.2777, -0.2948, -0.2875, -0.2777, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016345976957448528", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T03:01:57+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ETH too. Despite rising equities.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC and ETH: as USD weakens, both will follow lower despite equities rising; crypto is trapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again, “BTCUSD IS trapped”, as warned.\n\nBTC price Mar 7, 2025 is same as Jan 27, 2026\n\nAnd now as USD moves lower, BTC will follow. ETH too. Despite rising equities. 😉\n\nWe moved from digital back to physical. And only real inflationary assets &amp; stores of value will do. ⏳", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Financial conditions are not easing. They are being reset to push down dollar, yields and oil so as to unwind equity leverage from Wall St to stimulate real growth from Main St . \n\nAll the examples of BTC troughs triggered by falling USD were in fact global central bank POLICY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005189741604266107, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005189741604266107, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005089066889563343, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.06265359238084345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06265359238084345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.060669215226009654, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.28706882887494534, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28706882887494534, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2737963544801605, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.3258871817474923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3258871817474923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3170867470021336, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2339991087338239, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2339991087338239, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26520782912290664, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3258871817474923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3170867470021336, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2795, 0.1981, 0.0951, 0.1392, 0.1017, 0.1426, 0.1869, 0.1359, 0.1352, 0.0752, 0.0323, 0.006, 0.0387, 0.0055, -0.0581, -0.0801, -0.0179, -0.0162, 0.0071, 0.0026, 0.0085, -0.0687, -0.0029, 0.0615, 0.0425, 0.0059, 0.0394, 0.1046, 0.106, 0.0766, 0.0258, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0583, -0.0597, -0.0095, -0.0002, -0.0144, -0.0203, -0.0343, -0.0269, -0.024, -0.0117, -0.0132, -0.0021, 0.0392, 0.073, 0.0962, 0.0533, 0.0325, 0.0254, 0.0285, 0.1049, 0.1158, 0.1033, 0.0961, 0.0599, -0.0236, -0.0092, -0.0189, -0.0177, -0.0267, 0.0052, 0.0, -0.0627, -0.1012, -0.2203, -0.2591, -0.2871, -0.3941, -0.3137, -0.3004, -0.3283, -0.3545, -0.3524, -0.3187, -0.3355, -0.3374, -0.3501, -0.352, -0.3451, -0.3829, -0.3837, -0.3166, -0.3259, -0.3578, -0.3257, -0.3405, -0.2927, -0.311, -0.3419, -0.3371, -0.3225, -0.3176, -0.3105, -0.304, -0.218, -0.229, -0.2671, -0.2891, -0.2861, -0.2842, -0.283, -0.2789, -0.315, -0.3377, -0.327, -0.3, -0.2887, -0.3159, -0.317, -0.299, -0.2544, -0.2715, -0.2719, -0.2533, -0.2115, -0.2273, -0.2152, -0.2188, -0.1947, -0.23, -0.2257, -0.2097, -0.2245, -0.2298, -0.234, -0.2385, -0.2505, -0.2496, -0.2367, -0.2196, -0.2147, -0.2181, -0.238, -0.2327, -0.2219, -0.2435, -0.2491, -0.2414, -0.2605, -0.2921, -0.2982, -0.2926, -0.2911, -0.3133, -0.2978, -0.3112, -0.3274, -0.3323, -0.3308, -0.3337, -0.3821, -0.3974, -0.4114, -0.4742, -0.4379, -0.4553, -0.4611, -0.4438, -0.4462, -0.403, -0.4045, -0.4187, -0.4314, -0.4309, -0.4216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2012165936942395471", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-16T14:11:58+00:00", "symbol": "COPX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Big bull of #gold, #silver, and #copper since April 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold, silver, and copper as the new structural commodity cycle; warns of near-term volatility ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["COPX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Metals Are The New Oil\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX\n\nBig bull of #gold, #silver, and #copper since April 2024 doesn't mean I don't warn when I can see volatility approaching...\n\n$XAGUSD $XAUUSD https://t.co/zC9FIscN4O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015723713324803823, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015723713324803823, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014885105461761805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014885105461761805, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.06487564331988716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06487564331988716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06838896048904575, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06838896048904575, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "ret_p1m": 0.08877065861504341, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08877065861504341, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10309849529507531, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10309849529507531, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "ret_p3m": 0.06574229799035303, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06574229799035303, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05100735547265045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05100735547265045, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08877065861504341, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10309849529507531, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10309849529507531, "price_path": [-0.2826, -0.2858, -0.2716, -0.2638, -0.2617, -0.2519, -0.2398, -0.2486, -0.2529, -0.2716, -0.2992, -0.2826, -0.2737, -0.2636, -0.2436, -0.25, -0.234, -0.2531, -0.2603, -0.2747, -0.2894, -0.276, -0.3053, -0.2936, -0.274, -0.2665, -0.2468, -0.2468, -0.2222, -0.2154, -0.2179, -0.1838, -0.1871, -0.1773, -0.1842, -0.1907, -0.1718, -0.1635, -0.1757, -0.1682, -0.1734, -0.1683, -0.1635, -0.1496, -0.1223, -0.1055, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.0841, -0.1171, -0.1024, -0.1112, -0.1112, -0.0955, -0.051, -0.0334, -0.0603, -0.0638, -0.04, -0.0087, -0.0115, 0.0201, 0.0157, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0183, 0.0396, 0.0181, 0.0649, 0.0905, 0.1195, 0.1388, 0.1666, 0.05, 0.0548, 0.1237, 0.0723, 0.0067, 0.0484, 0.1023, 0.0924, 0.1158, 0.079, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0496, 0.0729, 0.0662, 0.103, 0.1248, 0.156, 0.1769, 0.1694, 0.1848, 0.1588, 0.0774, 0.0915, 0.0189, -0.0102, 0.0182, 0.0284, 0.0188, -0.0128, -0.0542, -0.0261, -0.0354, -0.0723, -0.1039, -0.1447, -0.0894, -0.0962, -0.0635, -0.1223, -0.1134, -0.1241, -0.0547, -0.0324, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.0501, -0.0499, 0.0156, 0.0098, 0.034, 0.0508, 0.0701, 0.0657, 0.0674, 0.0795, 0.0678, 0.0087, 0.0511, 0.0209, 0.0198, 0.0115, -0.0258, -0.0376, -0.0144, -0.0213, -0.051, -0.0317, 0.0347, 0.0228, 0.0644, 0.0844, 0.1238, 0.1379, 0.1066, 0.0282, 0.0134, -0.0173, 0.0191, 0.0279, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0834, 0.0659, 0.095, 0.0912, 0.115, 0.1596, 0.1174, 0.117, -0.0016, 0.0064, -0.0078, -0.0411, 0.0296, 0.0644, 0.1119, 0.1117, 0.0742, 0.0583, 0.0583, 0.0583, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994899064471834697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T22:39:35+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't be surprised if it started this week and could run ~3 mos of FOMO before it breaks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Silver retail FOMO could start this week and run ~3 months before the parabola breaks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GregorPepe I wouldn't be surprised if it started this week and  could run ~3 mos of FOMO before it breaks. But it is a parabola nonetheless. #Silver", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Imho, I don’t believe that\n\n— BB’s frenetic short covering,\n— the CME Group halting trading due to almost empty order book,\n— canceling buy orders,\n— or a sudden liquidity injection from the Fed\n\nare signs of FOMO. Retail FOMO will only begin once silver reaches the $80–$100", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GregorPepe", "ret_m1d": -0.0337567213323714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0337567213323714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038343130749518894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038343130749518894, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00744629333506075, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00744629333506075, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009298479740967869, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009298479740967869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": -0.010938408486705686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010938408486705686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015877542080693585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015877542080693585, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "ret_p1m": 0.32448905336370926, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32448905336370926, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3115970254095719, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3115970254095719, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "ret_p3m": 0.4892328081991766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4892328081991766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4729646155157019, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4729646155157019, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": 0.30618989458485113, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30618989458485113, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19653655125449987, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19653655125449987, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.32448905336370926, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3115970254095719, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3115970254095719, "price_path": [-0.2889, -0.2997, -0.2969, -0.2909, -0.3002, -0.2959, -0.2862, -0.2744, -0.2722, -0.273, -0.2858, -0.2861, -0.2719, -0.2502, -0.2435, -0.2506, -0.2349, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2082, -0.1905, -0.2126, -0.1852, -0.1769, -0.1924, -0.1671, -0.198, -0.1965, -0.1419, -0.1387, -0.1257, -0.0924, -0.1464, -0.1249, -0.1878, -0.1876, -0.1701, -0.1719, -0.203, -0.1933, -0.1831, -0.171, -0.1784, -0.1803, -0.1932, -0.1807, -0.1819, -0.178, -0.1411, -0.1335, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.134, -0.1334, -0.1364, -0.1306, -0.1399, -0.1463, -0.139, -0.1281, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0338, 0.0, -0.0074, -0.0085, -0.0269, 0.0001, -0.0109, 0.03, 0.0336, 0.0943, 0.0504, 0.0774, 0.0733, 0.1338, 0.1057, 0.1443, 0.1624, 0.2066, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.3093, 0.1958, 0.3245, 0.2006, 0.2006, 0.2078, 0.3038, 0.3785, 0.3204, 0.279, 0.3503, 0.4484, 0.47, 0.5555, 0.5727, 0.5079, 0.5079, 0.6126, 0.5785, 0.6429, 0.7276, 0.9699, 0.8063, 0.9362, 0.9521, 0.3402, 0.3143, 0.4215, 0.4407, 0.31, 0.3136, 0.4048, 0.3732, 0.4337, 0.2932, 0.3327, 0.3327, 0.2573, 0.3268, 0.3278, 0.4085, 0.4811, 0.4971, 0.5567, 0.4892, 0.5865, 0.5112, 0.4195, 0.4145, 0.3983, 0.4348, 0.4385, 0.5249, 0.4561, 0.4494, 0.3851, 0.3739, 0.3614, 0.3222, 0.2137, 0.1873, 0.182, 0.1858, 0.2387, 0.1584, 0.1905, 0.2038, 0.2785, 0.2987, 0.2451, 0.2451, 0.2438, 0.2295, 0.2877, 0.3057, 0.3065, 0.2928, 0.359, 0.3607, 0.3456, 0.3992, 0.3686, 0.308, 0.3334, 0.2918, 0.3075, 0.2839, 0.2531, 0.2251, 0.2588, 0.3001, 0.2508, 0.2515, 0.3149, 0.3643, 0.3762, 0.4633, 0.4573, 0.5216, 0.4535, 0.3208, 0.3193, 0.2809, 0.2984, 0.3081, 0.2991, 0.2991, 0.3062]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990795611155861507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:53:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin to $65K", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bitcoin target $65K to downside; swing shorts active on HOOD, APP, TSLA with VIX as risk guide.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorts Working. So Are Volatility Tells\n\nFrom Friday’s live trading room:\n\nBitcoin to $65K, updates on swing shorts &amp; $VIX levels to manage risk in this risk-filled week. \n\n$BTCUSD $HOOD $APP $TSLA $VIX\n\nhttps://t.co/ZLJgFiLysk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009198605147184402, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017667274594413307, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08295705988279523, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633743704950193, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2591858293067022, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29506705424584, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14708900793581414, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27806809330385074, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08295705988279523, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2574, 0.1848, 0.2028, 0.1966, 0.2108, 0.1663, 0.1754, 0.1964, 0.202, 0.1912, 0.1904, 0.2057, 0.1999, 0.226, 0.2427, 0.2491, 0.242, 0.2571, 0.253, 0.2602, 0.2447, 0.213, 0.2051, 0.2193, 0.1732, 0.1804, 0.2308, 0.2271, 0.2765, 0.2984, 0.3154, 0.3422, 0.3066, 0.3271, 0.3094, 0.218, 0.2402, 0.217, 0.1919, 0.1639, 0.1454, 0.1898, 0.1671, 0.1586, 0.1842, 0.1946, 0.2278, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.1652, 0.1787, 0.1463, 0.093, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.1121, 0.1404, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.0726, 0.0156, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.016, -0.068, -0.0845, -0.0503, -0.0603, -0.0261, -0.0179, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0172, 0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0383, -0.0248, -0.0028, -0.01, -0.0047, -0.0288, -0.0702, -0.0549, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0595, -0.0574, -0.0615, -0.0608, -0.0625, -0.0486, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0323, 0.01, 0.0084, -0.0177, -0.0207, -0.0262, -0.0189, 0.0255, 0.0428, 0.028, 0.0277, -0.0043, -0.0499, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0414, -0.0405, -0.0902, -0.0949, -0.1534, -0.1863, -0.2144, -0.3254, -0.2409, -0.2456, -0.2599, -0.2793, -0.2875, -0.2592, -0.2593, -0.2739, -0.2854, -0.2796, -0.2684, -0.3048, -0.3106, -0.2688, -0.2743, -0.2912, -0.2601, -0.2653, -0.2177, -0.2378, -0.2669, -0.2641, -0.2477, -0.2447, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2047, -0.2335, -0.2478, -0.2413, -0.2371, -0.2413, -0.2328, -0.2599, -0.2863, -0.2825, -0.2659, -0.2676, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2592, -0.226, -0.2348, -0.2279, -0.2148, -0.1986, -0.2019, -0.1952, -0.1915, -0.1702, -0.1837, -0.1786, -0.1586, -0.1579, -0.1667, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.1848, -0.1791, -0.1589, -0.1412, -0.1293, -0.124, -0.1392, -0.1373, -0.1207, -0.1342, -0.1471]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1990795611155861507", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:53:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "updates on swing shorts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bitcoin target $65K to downside; swing shorts active on HOOD, APP, TSLA with VIX as risk guide.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorts Working. So Are Volatility Tells\n\nFrom Friday’s live trading room:\n\nBitcoin to $65K, updates on swing shorts &amp; $VIX levels to manage risk in this risk-filled week. \n\n$BTCUSD $HOOD $APP $TSLA $VIX\n\nhttps://t.co/ZLJgFiLysk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019115298262266434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019115298262266434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010646628815037529, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0003180092219345898, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018797289040331844, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006828636098130891, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006828636098130891, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002965459454854269, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006784144019563287, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": 4.4492078567603954e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04523362964855915, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04523362964855915, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022599885943608955, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005590027575337553, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633743704950193, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039643602073221595, "ret_p1m": 0.1645109277647976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1645109277647976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1473614852198073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09083607178060626, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07367485598419132, "ret_p3m": 0.04034891574182242, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04034891574182242, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00446769080268461, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0032866048587461005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03706231088307632, "ret_p6m": 0.10970713772877727, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10970713772877727, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021271947639259325, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0478430861408945, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.061864051587882773, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04523362964855915, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.022599885943608955, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005590027575337553, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.1526, -0.1362, -0.1236, -0.1287, -0.1377, -0.1679, -0.1679, -0.1792, -0.1674, -0.1563, -0.1256, -0.1367, -0.1353, -0.1332, -0.0808, -0.0132, 0.0219, 0.0508, 0.0613, 0.0389, 0.0619, 0.0821, 0.0613, 0.1035, 0.0552, 0.0976, 0.1046, 0.1083, 0.1451, 0.0866, 0.0712, 0.1296, 0.0794, 0.0933, 0.0855, 0.0305, 0.0864, 0.0698, 0.0845, 0.0685, 0.0949, 0.1151, 0.1031, 0.094, 0.119, 0.0809, 0.1275, 0.1478, 0.1502, 0.0968, 0.1378, 0.1673, 0.1072, 0.1516, 0.1113, 0.0705, 0.1096, 0.0956, 0.0731, 0.0018, 0.0077, 0.0191, 0.0, 0.0068, -0.015, -0.0253, 0.0412, 0.0452, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0721, 0.072, 0.0698, 0.1134, 0.1328, 0.134, 0.0955, 0.1095, 0.1251, 0.1137, 0.1438, 0.1846, 0.2209, 0.1645, 0.2047, 0.1993, 0.218, 0.2101, 0.2097, 0.2097, 0.1843, 0.1455, 0.1325, 0.1208, 0.1208, 0.0918, 0.1257, 0.079, 0.0752, 0.0861, 0.1091, 0.1189, 0.1145, 0.0946, 0.093, 0.0903, 0.0903, 0.0449, 0.0752, 0.1199, 0.1192, 0.0846, 0.0739, 0.0753, 0.0382, 0.0727, 0.0512, 0.0516, 0.0119, -0.0101, 0.0246, 0.04, 0.0597, 0.0673, 0.0394, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0234, 0.0251, 0.0261, 0.0263, -0.0035, 0.0203, 0.0402, 0.0183, 0.0031, 0.0052, -0.022, 0.0117, 0.0107, -0.0113, -0.0064, -0.005, 0.0164, -0.0156, -0.025, -0.0142, -0.0049, -0.0211, -0.0522, -0.083, -0.0508, -0.0454, -0.0381, -0.0726, -0.0982, -0.1146, -0.0735, -0.0498, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.1207, -0.1361, -0.1445, -0.1386, -0.1303, -0.1217, -0.0923, -0.0232, -0.0308, -0.0016, -0.0218, -0.037, -0.0342, -0.0686, -0.0622, -0.0563, -0.0629, -0.0709, -0.0489, -0.026, -0.0218, -0.0296, -0.0063, 0.0263, 0.0675, 0.109, 0.0802, 0.1097]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999527051653476525", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T17:09:33+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not hold the 30 yrs under waterboarding. If you want more active timing of bond shorts, clients can attest: Geoffrey & I don't suck at it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bearish 30-year US Treasuries; won't hold them and actively trades bond shorts.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Geoffrey, tell us how you really feel?\n\n\"I would not hold the 30 yrs under waterboarding.\" 🤭\n\nIf you want more active timing of bond shorts, clients can attest: Geoffrey &amp; I don't suck at it.\nhttps://t.co/V1yrzM8SnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Five is a nicer number, round number. I like 5 🙃\nIt's a yuuuuuge number, it's the most beautiful number in the world.\nIt's a number everyone likes, it's the most buuuuuuuuuutiful number in the world. https://t.co/BCPH6tOoXd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009732145306326156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009732145306326156, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0011367026763062782, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011367026763062782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868847982632435, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010868847982632435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0006869329151215631, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006869329151215631, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0021977413289623327, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0021977413289623327, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108084138407696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015108084138407696, "ret_p1w": 0.006305522349131953, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006305522349131953, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005071835392570945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005071835392570945, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336869565610087, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012336869565610087, "ret_p1m": 0.007684838609632871, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007684838609632871, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014983064722820405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014983064722820405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667903332453276, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022667903332453276, "ret_p3m": 0.008767329799369561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008767329799369561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013800649818235478, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013800649818235478, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033320018865917, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005033320018865917, "ret_p6m": -0.00897659058074518, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.00897659058074518, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09943219360200095, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09943219360200095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09045560302125577, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09045560302125577, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007684838609632871, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014983064722820405, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014983064722820405, "price_path": [0.0235, 0.0209, 0.0104, 0.0084, 0.0048, 0.0118, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0071, 0.0154, 0.0124, 0.015, 0.018, 0.016, 0.008, 0.0138, 0.0146, 0.0138, 0.0301, 0.0296, 0.0329, 0.0306, 0.0383, 0.0367, 0.0407, 0.0458, 0.0465, 0.0393, 0.0398, 0.0433, 0.0461, 0.0355, 0.0295, 0.0264, 0.0238, 0.0261, 0.0149, 0.0241, 0.0219, 0.0217, 0.0263, 0.0282, 0.0197, 0.0139, 0.0164, 0.0161, 0.014, 0.018, 0.0211, 0.0269, 0.0295, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0292, 0.0164, 0.0168, 0.0197, 0.0142, 0.0095, 0.0062, 0.0072, 0.0111, 0.0097, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0062, 0.0053, 0.0101, 0.0063, 0.0041, 0.0057, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0085, 0.0123, 0.0099, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0003, 0.0053, 0.0032, 0.0091, 0.004, 0.0107, 0.0077, 0.0094, 0.0153, 0.015, 0.0092, 0.0092, -0.004, 0.0035, 0.0079, 0.0107, 0.0155, 0.0092, 0.0069, 0.0071, 0.0015, -0.0014, 0.001, -0.0015, 0.0093, 0.01, 0.0098, 0.0215, 0.016, 0.0295, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0369, 0.033, 0.034, 0.0316, 0.0354, 0.0373, 0.0374, 0.0415, 0.0479, 0.0374, 0.0353, 0.032, 0.0279, 0.024, 0.033, 0.022, 0.0088, 0.0068, 0.0018, 0.0096, 0.0124, 0.0067, 0.0128, -0.0064, 0.0001, -0.0043, 0.0053, -0.0032, -0.0086, 0.0046, 0.0036, 0.0026, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0071, 0.007, 0.0102, 0.0077, 0.0052, 0.0083, 0.0136, 0.0092, 0.0028, 0.012, 0.0118, 0.0062, 0.0081, 0.0059, 0.0078, 0.0028, 0.0038, -0.0039, -0.0049, -0.0013, -0.0089, -0.0034, 0.0042, -0.0008, 0.0042, -0.0019, -0.0085, -0.0108, -0.0094, -0.0241, -0.0252, -0.0315, -0.0211, -0.0175, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0073, -0.0049, 0.0002, 0.0004, 0.001, 0.0031, -0.0009, 0.0013, -0.0038, -0.009]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993315463292752387", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T13:46:55+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gonna stick with it for 2026. Any lower and... Houston, we have a problem.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Maintains $60–40 oil range forecast into 2026, consistent with Goldman/JPM downside calls; bearish crude outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "November 2025: Brent Oil Price is $60.\n\n2026 Oil Forecast bottom range: \nGoldman Sachs: $40 \nJP Morgan: $30\n\nI gave mine in April 2024 for EOY 2025:\n$WTIC $60-40 😉😜\nGonna stick with it for 2026.\nAny lower and...\nHouston, we have a problem. https://t.co/3KeMXtzfRu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01689528041798294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01689528041798294, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026213651722395426, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026213651722395426, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318371304412487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318371304412487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011407955458878627, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011407955458878627, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004504556637418666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004504556637418666, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903398821459961, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903398821459961, "ret_p1w": 0.013718367483641636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013718367483641636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004074340937086918, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004074340937086918, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644026546554718, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644026546554718, "ret_p1m": 0.013718367483641636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013718367483641636, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012058539530025891, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012058539530025891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776907013667527, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776907013667527, "ret_p3m": 0.16750900323640572, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16750900323640572, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14314357283495727, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14314357283495727, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436543040144845, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436543040144845, "ret_p6m": 1.0833213613351762, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0833213613351762, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9789532323348566, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.9789532323348566, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436812900031955, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436812900031955, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16750900323640572, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14314357283495727, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14314357283495727, "price_path": [0.0865, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.1084, 0.0806, 0.0712, 0.0488, 0.0547, 0.0598, 0.0788, 0.0542, 0.0586, 0.0719, 0.0927, 0.0826, 0.0786, 0.0617, 0.0606, 0.0838, 0.1031, 0.1118, 0.1122, 0.0771, 0.065, 0.0562, 0.0331, 0.0355, 0.0523, 0.057, 0.0618, 0.0471, 0.002, 0.0149, -0.0036, -0.0038, -0.0208, -0.0183, -0.0205, -0.0142, 0.0199, 0.0583, 0.0568, 0.0559, 0.0309, 0.0368, 0.0355, 0.0478, 0.0504, 0.0387, 0.0257, 0.0235, 0.029, 0.0351, 0.0501, 0.0078, 0.0087, 0.0308, 0.0296, 0.0469, 0.0235, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0169, 0.0, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0263, 0.0261, 0.0137, 0.0204, 0.0309, 0.0386, 0.0179, 0.0088, 0.0186, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0196, -0.0445, -0.0183, -0.0297, -0.0176, 0.0069, 0.0152, 0.0137, 0.0137, -0.0111, 0.0052, 0.0071, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0042, 0.014, -0.0107, -0.0211, 0.0186, 0.0221, 0.0347, 0.0611, 0.0485, 0.0271, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.0377, 0.0591, 0.0371, 0.0679, 0.0611, 0.0926, 0.1064, 0.1428, 0.1483, 0.0878, 0.1187, 0.1246, 0.1074, 0.1118, 0.1266, 0.1268, 0.1392, 0.103, 0.1006, 0.1006, 0.0936, 0.1466, 0.1724, 0.1675, 0.1682, 0.1662, 0.1513, 0.1519, 0.1834, 0.2591, 0.3025, 0.3222, 0.3908, 0.5707, 0.5066, 0.5287, 0.5603, 0.7096, 0.7313, 0.6611, 0.7161, 0.757, 0.6947, 0.7535, 0.5965, 0.654, 0.6374, 0.6933, 0.7935, 0.8748, 0.8375, 0.7919, 0.9916, 0.9916, 1.0064, 0.9939, 0.799, 0.8334, 0.8025, 0.8552, 0.7884, 0.7703, 0.8172, 0.6757, 0.7519, 0.852, 0.8686, 0.9454, 0.9119, 0.9454, 1.0159, 1.1752, 1.124, 1.0621, 1.1316, 1.0819, 0.9343, 0.949, 0.9291, 1.0023, 1.0838, 1.0511, 1.065, 1.1405, 1.1558, 1.2088, 1.0833]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998932564325662751", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:47:16+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL invested in SpaceX early... And that was based on the $350 billion valuation from late 2024. If SpaceX hits the $1.5 trillion target, the paper gains from this single position could exceed $80 billion more.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL on massive SpaceX paper gains and new ASTS stake; bullish ASTS on Google's 3.22% investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL invested in SpaceX early.\n\n\"In Q1 2025, Alphabet reported $8 billion in unrealized gains from a “non-marketable equity security in a private company.” Bloomberg confirmed it was SpaceX. That $8 billion boost represented nearly 25% of Google’s entire net income for the quarter.\"\n\nAnd that was based on the $350 billion valuation from late 2024. If SpaceX hits the $1.5 trillion target, the paper gains from this single position could exceed $80 billion more.\"\n\nGuess what: last month $GOOG invested in $ASTS and now owns 3.22%. 😉+😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In January 2015, Google and Fidelity wrote a combined $1 billion check for roughly 10% of SpaceX. The company was valued at $12 billion. Google’s portion: approximately $900 million for 7.4%.\n\nAt the time, SpaceX had just successfully landed a Falcon 9 first stage for the first", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02490151498406057, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02490151498406057, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027223058908103837, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0226757239293085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002321543924043268, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022257910547520687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010050273864534609, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010050273864534609, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0007017124137280728, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00782448280978243, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010751986278262682, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.03191121863605073, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03191121863605073, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013483260524925544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02900046766427211, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018427958111125187, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029107509717786195, "ret_p1m": 0.051659569590307486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051659569590307486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041573649783674727, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03897466410195771, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01008591980663276, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": -0.01656009478504261, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01656009478504261, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.002065848995709607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.024692974905422105, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494245789333005, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": 0.1803904738450126, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1803904738450126, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10409635017828411, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21823805895703408, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0762941236667285, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037847585112021465, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.051659569590307486, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.041573649783674727, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03897466410195771, "price_path": [-0.1952, -0.1966, -0.2018, -0.1939, -0.1852, -0.1923, -0.195, -0.2095, -0.2138, -0.2114, -0.2194, -0.2224, -0.2167, -0.2141, -0.2152, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.2176, -0.2274, -0.2433, -0.2191, -0.2149, -0.197, -0.1957, -0.1898, -0.1794, -0.1989, -0.1949, -0.1905, -0.1686, -0.1387, -0.1445, -0.1218, -0.0997, -0.1006, -0.0925, -0.1123, -0.0906, -0.0892, -0.1081, -0.0721, -0.0682, -0.0829, -0.109, -0.1159, -0.0883, -0.0907, -0.0634, -0.0742, -0.0415, 0.019, 0.0346, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0241, 0.0072, 0.0102, 0.0224, 0.0159, 0.0276, 0.0041, 0.0149, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.0101, -0.0135, -0.0188, -0.0503, -0.0319, -0.0169, -0.0085, 0.0061, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0035, 0.0036, 0.0045, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0087, 0.0132, 0.0061, 0.0306, 0.0416, 0.0517, 0.0622, 0.0753, 0.0749, 0.0651, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0306, 0.0511, 0.058, 0.0496, 0.0667, 0.0708, 0.0755, 0.0826, 0.0818, 0.1001, 0.0873, 0.066, 0.0602, 0.0334, 0.0381, 0.0197, -0.0047, -0.011, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0333, -0.0291, -0.0307, 0.0082, -0.003, -0.0049, 0.0015, -0.0162, -0.0021, -0.0189, -0.0283, -0.0298, -0.037, -0.0445, -0.0187, -0.0166, -0.0112, -0.0277, -0.0318, -0.0213, -0.0041, -0.0145, -0.0163, -0.0359, -0.0325, -0.0697, -0.0682, -0.1002, -0.1213, -0.124, -0.079, -0.0475, -0.0527, -0.0527, -0.0391, -0.0216, 0.0164, 0.0201, 0.0161, 0.0291, 0.0663, 0.0798, 0.0763, 0.0944, 0.0807, 0.0643, 0.0868, 0.0855, 0.1031, 0.1221, 0.1203, 0.1208, 0.2325, 0.2354, 0.2275, 0.2441, 0.2749, 0.2747, 0.2838, 0.2448, 0.2407, 0.2896, 0.2846, 0.2709, 0.2714, 0.2417, 0.2457, 0.2417, 0.2266, 0.2266, 0.2456, 0.2454, 0.2496, 0.2182, 0.2055, 0.159, 0.1498, 0.1921, 0.1804]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998932564325662751", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:47:16+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "last month $GOOG invested in $ASTS and now owns 3.22%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL on massive SpaceX paper gains and new ASTS stake; bullish ASTS on Google's 3.22% investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL invested in SpaceX early.\n\n\"In Q1 2025, Alphabet reported $8 billion in unrealized gains from a “non-marketable equity security in a private company.” Bloomberg confirmed it was SpaceX. That $8 billion boost represented nearly 25% of Google’s entire net income for the quarter.\"\n\nAnd that was based on the $350 billion valuation from late 2024. If SpaceX hits the $1.5 trillion target, the paper gains from this single position could exceed $80 billion more.\"\n\nGuess what: last month $GOOG invested in $ASTS and now owns 3.22%. 😉+😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In January 2015, Google and Fidelity wrote a combined $1 billion check for roughly 10% of SpaceX. The company was valued at $12 billion. 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{"unit_id": "quote:2013303656590836117", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T17:32:51+00:00", "symbol": "critical minerals", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on metals/minerals/materials sector as the new oil; endorses critical mineral stocks list.", "resolved_tickers": ["REMX", "PICK"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "REMX rare earth; PICK metals & mining ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️\n\nI should expand that to cover:\nMetals, Minerals, Materials\n\nNot a bad list of 𝗖𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "𝗔 𝗟𝗶𝘀𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗖𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀\n\n𝗥𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗵𝘀\n$MP MP Materials\n$IDR Idaho Strategic Resources\n$USAR USA Rare Earth\n$TMQ Trilogy Metals\n$REEMF Rare Element Resources\n\n𝗠𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶-𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝘀\n$CRML Critical Metals Corp\n$TMC TMC the metals https://t.co/KpPJmdTgZ5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005288618940279599, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005288618940279599, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0260684293975319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0260684293975319, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03255883508275592, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03255883508275592, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021017725801094622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021017725801094622, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08367390921513662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08367390921513662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05724163025944562, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05724163025944562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.04643745293120927, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04643745293120927, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0335829069860103, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0335829069860103, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.13139450171899714, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13139450171899714, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0804788179413708, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0804788179413708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04643745293120927, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0335829069860103, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0335829069860103, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.197, -0.2168, -0.2207, -0.2096, -0.2022, -0.2083, -0.2382, -0.2608, -0.2567, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2191, -0.2236, -0.2164, -0.2163, -0.2132, -0.2089, -0.2135, -0.2008, -0.2263, -0.2312, -0.2237, -0.2073, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.1774, -0.1828, -0.1828, -0.173, -0.1838, -0.1767, -0.1721, -0.1697, -0.1583, -0.1504, -0.17, -0.1799, -0.1847, -0.1723, -0.168, -0.1609, -0.1338, -0.1268, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1089, -0.1354, -0.1308, -0.1336, -0.1336, -0.1086, -0.0801, -0.0441, -0.045, -0.0634, -0.0445, -0.0127, -0.01, 0.0136, 0.0099, -0.0053, -0.0053, 0.0, 0.0326, 0.0452, 0.0731, 0.0677, 0.0837, 0.0865, 0.0697, -0.0066, -0.0111, 0.0427, 0.0184, -0.0367, 0.0076, 0.0347, 0.0345, 0.0646, 0.0231, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0239, 0.0464, 0.035, 0.0399, 0.0581, 0.0842, 0.1176, 0.1115, 0.1262, 0.145, 0.0651, 0.0875, 0.0411, 0.0237, 0.0414, 0.0582, 0.0606, 0.0298, -0.011, 0.0024, 0.0032, -0.0317, -0.0614, -0.1003, -0.0562, -0.0498, -0.0133, -0.054, -0.043, -0.0461, -0.0085, 0.0056, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0014, 0.0066, 0.0591, 0.0584, 0.0693, 0.1024, 0.108, 0.0974, 0.1301, 0.1314, 0.136, 0.1057, 0.1391, 0.0943, 0.0965, 0.1096, 0.0838, 0.095, 0.1331, 0.1374, 0.1027, 0.1231, 0.1788, 0.1559, 0.1669, 0.1941, 0.1887, 0.1898, 0.1432, 0.0952, 0.0826, 0.0532, 0.0855, 0.0954, 0.1024, 0.1024, 0.1348, 0.1256, 0.1522, 0.1404, 0.1471, 0.1797, 0.1414, 0.1307, 0.0406, 0.0363, 0.038, 0.0086, 0.0827, 0.1084, 0.1276, 0.125, 0.1073, 0.0941, 0.0941, 0.0941, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014064136062132299", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T19:54:44+00:00", "symbol": "BA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Swing Long $BA review from Dec 2nd client post: $200 to $250 ;-) ... so that, once above, it can continue into my 245-260 higher targets. I like it again!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BA targeting 245-260 on CFO's delivery ramp, positive FCF outlook for 2026, and recovery momentum above 214 pivot.", "resolved_tickers": ["BA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Swing Long $BA review from Dec 2nd client post: $200 to $250 ;-)\n\n\"BA - wow, what a move! Opened right above 197.68 daily support which I called out as bullish to 200 for a chase - $200 because that was 10W/400W. It just kept going and closed > 205 so 10%... on solid news I might add. Now it needs to make its way back up into pivotal 214 monthly... so that, once above, it can continue into my 245-260 higher targets. I like it again!\n\n...optimistic comments from the company’s new CFO, Jay Malave, during an appearance at the UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference. He indicated that Boeing expects higher deliveries for both its 737 and 787 jet models in 2026 compared to 2025, signaling a potential turnaround after years of challenges including safety issues, production delays, strikes, and negative cash flow.\n\nMalave also projected that Boeing will achieve positive free cash flow in 2026, in the low single-digit billions, following an estimated $2 billion outflow in 2025. He emphasized that the company’s recovery is “in full force” and reiterated a long-term goal of reaching $10 billion in annual free cash flow. Additionally, Boeing is on track to complete its acquisition of key supplier Spirit AeroSystems by year-end, and a U.S. Department of Justice penalty related to the 737 MAX crashes has been deferred to 2026. These updates have boosted investor confidence, as Boeing has not generated positive annual cash flow since 2023.\"\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004278831098810998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004278831098810998, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007130600683805555, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012732451073223294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409431782616553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017011282172034292, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005358484818826392, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005358484818826392, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00013522714611191589, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01052799333702259, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223257672714476, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0051695085181961975, "ret_p1w": -0.033910547998399876, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033910547998399876, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04852967139709019, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020566017727116304, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619123398690315, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013344530271283572, "ret_p1m": -0.06542168245366842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06542168245366842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06407927524135626, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12541200623894477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013424072123121578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059990323785276356, "ret_p3m": -0.09993203807429907, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09993203807429907, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13677979557835085, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14819261890472435, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03684775750405178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04826058083042528, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06542168245366842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06407927524135626, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12541200623894477, "price_path": [-0.1148, -0.1082, -0.1069, -0.1459, -0.1999, -0.1961, -0.182, -0.208, -0.2097, -0.2142, -0.2218, -0.221, -0.2194, -0.2182, -0.2219, -0.2221, -0.233, -0.2417, -0.2574, -0.2827, -0.2814, -0.2837, -0.2704, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2442, -0.2544, -0.1787, -0.1901, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.1752, -0.1987, -0.2053, -0.1974, -0.1827, -0.1782, -0.1734, -0.1749, -0.1672, -0.1439, -0.1329, -0.1328, -0.1276, -0.1276, -0.1345, -0.1312, -0.1262, -0.1318, -0.1318, -0.0892, -0.0877, -0.0809, -0.0878, -0.0907, -0.0621, -0.041, -0.0221, -0.0298, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0083, -0.0066, -0.022, -0.0339, -0.0641, -0.0654, -0.0682, -0.0677, -0.0565, -0.0525, -0.0282, -0.0214, -0.0299, -0.0552, -0.0429, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0241, -0.0445, -0.0654, -0.0721, -0.0785, -0.0667, -0.0788, -0.0826, -0.0901, -0.0813, -0.1038, -0.091, -0.112, -0.0758, -0.1003, -0.1292, -0.1438, -0.1812, -0.1607, -0.1464, -0.157, -0.1763, -0.1955, -0.2197, -0.2066, -0.2145, -0.2018, -0.2228, -0.2381, -0.2434, -0.2041, -0.171, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.151, -0.1602, -0.129, -0.12, -0.1297, -0.1117, -0.1052, -0.1045, -0.1247, -0.1067, -0.0999, -0.1236, -0.0751, -0.0637, -0.0705, -0.0749, -0.0774, -0.1038, -0.0841, -0.0907, -0.115, -0.1027, -0.0805, -0.0761, -0.0508, -0.0474, -0.0528, -0.0379, -0.0834, -0.1183, -0.1178, -0.1402, -0.1114, -0.1218, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1246, -0.1031, -0.0851, -0.0757, -0.1031, -0.1294, -0.1579, -0.1306, -0.1384, -0.1366, -0.1422, -0.1642, -0.1137, -0.124, -0.0845, -0.0903, -0.0977, -0.1094, -0.1094, -0.1094, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010436754537652521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T19:40:49+00:00", "symbol": "Consumer Cyclical", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My consumer cyclical rotation call mid-Nov has been a VERY profitable one. #NotDone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author reaffirms bullish consumer cyclical rotation call is still ongoing and not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLY SPDR Consumer Discretionary ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My consumer cyclical rotation call mid-Nov has been a VERY profitable one. \n\n#NotDone https://t.co/o0kadaTbRy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "2026 Prediction: ROTATION &amp; RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS \n\nConsumer Cyclical Rotation Got Popular\n\nAbout That Yield Curve Steepener\n\nMy Top 2026 Trading Themes Remain My Focus\n\nhttps://t.co/imW7A5HJXb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008833299648755011, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008833299648755011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006846406430017771, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006846406430017771, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002489507233507271, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002489507233507271, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0004900004681254178, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004900004681254178, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": -0.017828371222548767, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017828371222548767, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012793547340319233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012793547340319233, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.0497108242423856, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0497108242423856, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04533773621059822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04533773621059822, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.0927844564377368, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0927844564377368, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07351811910021167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07351811910021167, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0497108242423856, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04533773621059822, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04533773621059822, "price_path": [-0.0595, -0.0686, -0.0606, -0.0531, -0.0415, -0.049, -0.0447, -0.0476, -0.0339, -0.0336, -0.0416, -0.0633, -0.0385, -0.0295, -0.0456, -0.034, -0.0563, -0.0548, -0.0424, -0.04, -0.0465, -0.0703, -0.0747, -0.0834, -0.1003, -0.1003, -0.1137, -0.0963, -0.0843, -0.0647, -0.0582, -0.0582, -0.0524, -0.0518, -0.0525, -0.0423, -0.0457, -0.0404, -0.0543, -0.0544, -0.0405, -0.0368, -0.0326, -0.0243, -0.0227, -0.034, -0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0175, -0.0189, -0.0155, -0.0155, -0.0198, -0.0295, -0.0334, -0.041, -0.041, -0.0496, -0.0339, -0.0277, -0.0291, -0.0128, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0182, -0.0146, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0434, -0.0251, -0.0153, -0.0112, -0.0177, -0.0147, -0.0221, -0.0267, -0.0269, -0.0205, -0.0283, -0.0355, -0.0563, -0.0524, -0.056, -0.0497, -0.0543, -0.0674, -0.067, -0.067, -0.0681, -0.0602, -0.0665, -0.0568, -0.0765, -0.0625, -0.0597, -0.06, -0.0615, -0.0731, -0.0816, -0.0653, -0.064, -0.081, -0.0797, -0.081, -0.0834, -0.1044, -0.1097, -0.0989, -0.0911, -0.112, -0.119, -0.1348, -0.1139, -0.1174, -0.109, -0.1242, -0.1496, -0.1498, -0.123, -0.1164, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.1226, -0.1328, -0.1082, -0.0928, -0.0916, -0.0833, -0.063, -0.049, -0.0534, -0.0311, -0.0354, -0.0427, -0.043, -0.0525, -0.0449, -0.0517, -0.0584, -0.0598, -0.0476, -0.0454, -0.0527, -0.0499, -0.0354, -0.0353, -0.0328, -0.0394, -0.0481, -0.0447, -0.0451, -0.0623, -0.064, -0.0744, -0.0509, -0.0448, -0.041, -0.041, -0.0388, -0.0219, -0.0178, -0.0274, -0.0489, -0.0538, -0.0607, -0.0564, -0.0757, -0.0715, -0.0676, -0.0867, -0.0641, -0.0617, -0.0459, -0.0468, -0.0707, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0572, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "TRI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "already long yday $TRI & $IGV profiled below", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["TRI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Business Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09347956351498787, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09347956351498787, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08511186640568791, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08511186640568791, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005232485394431885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005232485394431885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01078693097363903, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01078693097363903, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.05473939406125705, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05473939406125705, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06630984259783068, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06630984259783068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.09056147384892277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09056147384892277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02376746432193233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02376746432193233, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": -0.11607127358606528, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11607127358606528, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1947358236158664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1947358236158664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05473939406125705, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06630984259783068, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06630984259783068, "price_path": [0.3525, 0.3303, 0.3314, 0.3412, 0.335, 0.3324, 0.2952, 0.2848, 0.2968, 0.3173, 0.3052, 0.3162, 0.3217, 0.319, 0.3129, 0.3145, 0.3282, 0.3287, 0.3282, 0.3282, 0.3303, 0.3304, 0.3264, 0.3171, 0.3171, 0.2619, 0.2918, 0.3027, 0.2773, 0.2921, 0.2906, 0.2874, 0.2636, 0.271, 0.2467, 0.2385, 0.2385, 0.2087, 0.1995, 0.2169, 0.2323, 0.2311, 0.1874, 0.1712, 0.1261, 0.1048, 0.0888, -0.0817, -0.0657, -0.1181, -0.1205, -0.1081, -0.0926, -0.1092, -0.1423, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.1628, -0.1378, -0.1431, -0.1628, -0.1864, -0.0935, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0299, 0.0011, 0.0612, 0.0547, 0.1012, 0.1216, 0.1222, 0.0435, 0.0375, -0.001, -0.0306, -0.0327, -0.0388, -0.0551, -0.0616, -0.0598, -0.0838, -0.1205, -0.1205, -0.0906, -0.1001, -0.0834, -0.0946, -0.114, -0.0925, -0.0925, -0.0881, -0.11, -0.1335, -0.146, -0.1621, -0.1202, -0.1147, -0.0699, -0.0635, -0.0641, -0.045, -0.0268, -0.0656, -0.0926, -0.0969, -0.104, -0.0955, -0.0613, -0.0371, -0.05, -0.0216, -0.0246, -0.0625, -0.046, -0.0504, -0.0884, -0.1083, -0.1618, -0.1924, -0.1547, -0.0804, -0.1075, -0.1212, -0.1192, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.1381, -0.1541, -0.1302, -0.1094, -0.0327, -0.1112, -0.1411, -0.1173, -0.1142, -0.1437, -0.1525, -0.1562, -0.1738, -0.1619, -0.1716, -0.1646, -0.1841, -0.191, -0.191, -0.191, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "IGV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "already long yday $TRI & $IGV profiled below", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["IGV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030179277679368233, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030179277679368233, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021811580570068267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021811580570068267, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021645022870768527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021645022870768527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027199468449975672, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027199468449975672, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.0593693323306137, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0593693323306137, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07093978086718733, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07093978086718733, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.013605332384977964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013605332384977964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.053188677142012475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.053188677142012475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.16277065126948242, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16277065126948242, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08410610123968132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08410610123968132, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0593693323306137, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07093978086718733, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07093978086718733, "price_path": [0.2874, 0.2872, 0.3014, 0.3195, 0.3352, 0.3539, 0.3531, 0.3599, 0.3615, 0.3578, 0.3354, 0.3035, 0.3149, 0.295, 0.3133, 0.3328, 0.3476, 0.3367, 0.3387, 0.3387, 0.337, 0.3283, 0.3233, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2693, 0.2818, 0.2977, 0.314, 0.2918, 0.2987, 0.303, 0.2783, 0.2501, 0.2341, 0.216, 0.216, 0.1865, 0.18, 0.199, 0.2085, 0.2221, 0.2092, 0.2005, 0.1412, 0.117, 0.1072, 0.0562, 0.037, -0.0146, 0.0199, 0.0521, 0.0564, 0.0294, 0.0014, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0014, 0.0142, 0.0115, -0.0009, -0.0484, -0.0302, 0.0, 0.0216, 0.0089, 0.0237, 0.0404, 0.0594, 0.0837, 0.0881, 0.0848, 0.0594, 0.0605, 0.0512, 0.0413, 0.0507, 0.0579, 0.0432, 0.0447, 0.0265, 0.0444, -0.0004, -0.0056, -0.0136, -0.049, -0.04, -0.0099, -0.0134, -0.0063, -0.0063, -0.0048, -0.0043, -0.0136, -0.0521, -0.0764, -0.0266, -0.0169, 0.0263, 0.0434, 0.0523, 0.0674, 0.0721, 0.0976, 0.0336, 0.0538, 0.0566, 0.0513, 0.0451, 0.0378, 0.0715, 0.0939, 0.0918, 0.0862, 0.1237, 0.1274, 0.1217, 0.1062, 0.0959, 0.1211, 0.1352, 0.1487, 0.1373, 0.1542, 0.1438, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1633, 0.1509, 0.1834, 0.2574, 0.3321, 0.2954, 0.2393, 0.2376, 0.1855, 0.1831, 0.1497, 0.1327, 0.1246, 0.1218, 0.1465, 0.1303, 0.103, 0.1021, 0.1021, 0.1021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NFLX chase into PT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05634820078205449, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05634820078205449, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047980503672754526, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05342979327258501, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029184075094694784, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022853681492047695, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022853681492047695, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02840812707125484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020965276975092317, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018884045169553776, "ret_p1w": 0.19298678721663998, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19298678721663998, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2045572357532136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1733301412566819, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019656645959958086, "ret_p1m": 0.12841599925606473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12841599925606473, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19521000878305517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1914441279032939, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06302812864722918, "ret_p3m": 0.0713422218089248, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0713422218089248, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007322328220876306, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07710663835243636, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0057644165435115635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19298678721663998, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2045572357532136, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1733301412566819, "price_path": [0.3008, 0.3196, 0.3222, 0.2571, 0.2481, 0.2121, 0.1704, 0.1694, 0.121, 0.1377, 0.151, 0.1339, 0.1435, 0.1462, 0.1366, 0.1414, 0.1273, 0.1306, 0.1323, 0.1323, 0.1423, 0.1385, 0.134, 0.1337, 0.1337, 0.1002, 0.1059, 0.0961, 0.0971, 0.0947, 0.0817, 0.0811, 0.0921, 0.0707, 0.0647, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0551, 0.0322, 0.0102, 0.0414, 0.0363, 0.0348, 0.0235, 0.0056, 0.0096, 0.0007, -0.0334, -0.0307, -0.0221, -0.006, -0.0149, -0.0059, -0.0372, -0.0827, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0689, -0.057, -0.0689, -0.0487, -0.0808, -0.0563, 0.0, 0.0229, 0.1637, 0.174, 0.1814, 0.193, 0.1992, 0.1973, 0.1889, 0.1722, 0.1474, 0.1404, 0.1525, 0.1511, 0.141, 0.1451, 0.1093, 0.1103, 0.1291, 0.0994, 0.1158, 0.1284, 0.1297, 0.1242, 0.1626, 0.1554, 0.193, 0.193, 0.1963, 0.1949, 0.2018, 0.234, 0.2456, 0.2474, 0.2851, 0.3024, 0.3034, 0.1767, 0.1467, 0.1195, 0.1274, 0.1224, 0.1178, 0.1048, 0.1157, 0.1139, 0.1319, 0.1132, 0.1006, 0.0628, 0.0674, 0.0671, 0.0579, 0.0333, 0.06, 0.0588, 0.0513, 0.0522, 0.084, 0.0802, 0.0652, 0.0798, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0602, 0.0562, 0.0443, 0.0401, 0.0381, 0.0076, -0.0143, -0.0138, -0.0063, -0.0007, -0.0156, -0.0085, -0.0173, -0.0285, -0.0125, -0.0481, -0.0694, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0643, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QQQ target in sight", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014286151735201424, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014286151735201424, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005918454625901459, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005918454625901459, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012064559559788246, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012064559559788246, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0065101139805811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0065101139805811, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": -0.009615932516239045, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009615932516239045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0019545160203345846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019545160203345846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.06837663925170256, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06837663925170256, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0015826297247121257, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0015826297247121257, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.16502035831869732, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16502035831869732, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08635580828889622, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08635580828889622, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009615932516239045, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0019545160203345846, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0019545160203345846, "price_path": [0.0029, -0.0005, 0.0073, 0.0098, 0.0089, 0.013, 0.011, 0.0123, 0.0164, 0.0131, -0.0062, -0.0112, -0.0093, -0.0276, -0.0135, -0.0007, 0.0041, 0.0088, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0117, 0.0068, 0.0045, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0058, 0.0021, 0.0109, 0.0119, 0.0061, 0.0162, 0.017, 0.0155, 0.0047, 0.0083, 0.0074, 0.0074, -0.014, -0.0006, 0.0066, 0.0098, 0.0142, 0.0234, 0.0268, 0.0207, 0.0084, 0.0153, -0.0003, -0.0177, -0.0319, -0.0114, -0.0038, -0.0084, -0.0058, -0.026, -0.0239, -0.0239, -0.0249, -0.0177, -0.0214, -0.0128, -0.0248, -0.0143, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.0152, -0.0139, -0.0245, -0.0096, -0.0126, -0.0275, -0.0145, -0.0144, -0.0146, -0.0315, -0.0372, -0.0264, -0.0217, -0.0353, -0.0384, -0.0561, -0.0453, -0.0518, -0.0456, -0.0684, -0.0866, -0.0936, -0.0629, -0.0513, -0.0502, -0.0502, -0.0445, -0.0443, -0.0159, -0.0093, -0.0078, 0.0024, 0.0206, 0.0349, 0.0399, 0.0535, 0.0501, 0.0462, 0.0637, 0.0577, 0.0779, 0.0785, 0.0676, 0.0741, 0.0842, 0.0946, 0.0925, 0.1067, 0.1297, 0.1283, 0.1548, 0.1581, 0.1483, 0.1604, 0.1687, 0.151, 0.1461, 0.139, 0.1579, 0.1601, 0.165, 0.165, 0.1857, 0.1844, 0.1943, 0.1987, 0.2059, 0.2115, 0.2083, 0.2025, 0.1448, 0.1626, 0.1493, 0.1263, 0.1643, 0.1712, 0.208, 0.185, 0.1731, 0.2025, 0.2025, 0.2025, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "APP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["APP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Advertising Agencies", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06738136122453053, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06738136122453053, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05901366411523057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05901366411523057, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05526169277123616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05526169277123616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.060816138350443305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.060816138350443305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.14510350773727687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14510350773727687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1566739562738505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1566739562738505, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.07214859729015088, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07214859729015088, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0053545877631604455, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0053545877631604455, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.14242342124028617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14242342124028617, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06375887121048507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06375887121048507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14510350773727687, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1566739562738505, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1566739562738505, "price_path": [0.4218, 0.479, 0.5488, 0.5706, 0.6218, 0.6411, 0.6359, 0.7186, 0.668, 0.7005, 0.5907, 0.6013, 0.6064, 0.5585, 0.6469, 0.7109, 0.7399, 0.7277, 0.7254, 0.7254, 0.694, 0.6574, 0.6453, 0.5981, 0.5981, 0.4665, 0.5011, 0.4639, 0.5011, 0.4623, 0.5362, 0.5622, 0.5858, 0.4652, 0.4396, 0.349, 0.349, 0.3413, 0.2631, 0.2379, 0.2438, 0.2699, 0.2892, 0.2863, 0.3501, 0.1221, 0.1456, 0.0952, -0.0813, -0.11, -0.0354, 0.0919, 0.1216, 0.0834, -0.1298, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.1073, -0.0409, -0.0228, -0.007, -0.0973, -0.0674, 0.0, 0.0553, 0.0312, 0.0269, 0.0409, 0.1451, 0.2062, 0.1909, 0.2267, 0.1322, 0.0944, 0.0657, 0.0878, 0.0751, 0.0888, 0.0497, 0.0434, 0.0492, 0.0885, 0.0339, 0.0357, -0.0721, -0.0959, -0.1175, -0.056, -0.0801, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.0212, -0.0265, -0.0722, -0.1008, -0.0717, -0.0099, 0.0282, 0.102, 0.1054, 0.1318, 0.1644, 0.1223, 0.1472, 0.0772, 0.0632, 0.0917, 0.065, 0.0517, 0.0586, 0.091, 0.1266, 0.134, 0.1119, 0.1832, 0.1113, 0.1347, 0.1638, 0.0757, 0.1507, 0.1882, 0.1678, 0.1311, 0.1438, 0.1524, 0.1424, 0.1424, 0.2196, 0.3467, 0.4228, 0.4541, 0.4555, 0.4364, 0.3539, 0.3255, 0.3215, 0.3369, 0.2353, 0.1692, 0.135, 0.1782, 0.2353, 0.2219, 0.1372, 0.114, 0.114, 0.114, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "INTU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0590719562820855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0590719562820855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05070425917278554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05070425917278554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034598586648309615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034598586648309615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04015303222751676, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04015303222751676, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.1545261517117178, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1545261517117178, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16609660024829143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16609660024829143, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": 0.1346169025504873, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1346169025504873, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20141091207747774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20141091207747774, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": -0.15817560124297603, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15817560124297603, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23684015127277713, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23684015127277713, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1545261517117178, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16609660024829143, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16609660024829143, "price_path": [0.6602, 0.6537, 0.6642, 0.6958, 0.7361, 0.7637, 0.7182, 0.7169, 0.7344, 0.77, 0.7567, 0.7139, 0.7525, 0.7301, 0.7513, 0.7576, 0.7679, 0.7651, 0.7669, 0.7669, 0.7714, 0.7651, 0.7539, 0.7344, 0.7344, 0.6481, 0.6596, 0.6945, 0.7049, 0.7091, 0.6969, 0.6668, 0.5877, 0.4862, 0.4547, 0.4303, 0.4303, 0.3875, 0.3769, 0.4366, 0.4793, 0.4736, 0.4306, 0.4131, 0.3194, 0.3087, 0.2778, 0.1387, 0.169, 0.1408, 0.164, 0.1476, 0.1053, 0.0484, 0.0439, 0.0477, 0.0477, -0.0054, 0.0219, 0.0008, -0.0018, -0.0569, -0.0591, 0.0, 0.0346, 0.0729, 0.0992, 0.1367, 0.1545, 0.2244, 0.2622, 0.2425, 0.1908, 0.1553, 0.1414, 0.1541, 0.1864, 0.2047, 0.172, 0.1941, 0.195, 0.1988, 0.1344, 0.1197, 0.1346, 0.0924, 0.1254, 0.1342, 0.1171, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.0948, 0.0761, 0.0217, -0.0483, -0.0766, -0.0279, -0.0349, 0.0254, 0.0186, 0.0347, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0753, 0.0085, 0.0418, 0.026, 0.0535, 0.0395, 0.0222, 0.05, 0.0709, 0.0481, 0.0224, 0.0703, 0.0428, 0.0348, 0.0202, -0.022, -0.0046, 0.0341, 0.0608, 0.0517, 0.0102, -0.192, -0.1582, -0.1582, -0.1992, -0.1903, -0.1764, -0.1277, -0.0692, -0.1524, -0.1805, -0.2054, -0.2192, -0.1961, -0.227, -0.2522, -0.2714, -0.2719, -0.2586, -0.2607, -0.292, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2975, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01183313650955764, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01183313650955764, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003465439400257675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003465439400257675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01636350007133691, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01636350007133691, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021917945650544057, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021917945650544057, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.030292742493414515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030292742493414515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.041863191029988145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041863191029988145, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.03434983857551355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03434983857551355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03244417095147689, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03244417095147689, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.30333939852890546, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30333939852890546, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22467484849910435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22467484849910435, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030292742493414515, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.041863191029988145, "alpha_c_stated": 0.041863191029988145, "price_path": [0.3619, 0.3551, 0.3562, 0.4009, 0.4454, 0.4673, 0.4873, 0.494, 0.504, 0.341, 0.2811, 0.2471, 0.2722, 0.2035, 0.2141, 0.2946, 0.3379, 0.3174, 0.3319, 0.3319, 0.3352, 0.3176, 0.33, 0.3145, 0.3145, 0.3199, 0.2988, 0.3066, 0.3005, 0.279, 0.3423, 0.384, 0.3678, 0.3091, 0.2837, 0.2921, 0.2921, 0.2166, 0.1757, 0.2048, 0.1979, 0.2336, 0.1826, 0.1684, 0.1428, 0.1129, 0.0823, 0.0458, -0.0082, -0.0772, -0.0343, 0.0588, 0.0811, 0.0627, 0.0581, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0411, 0.056, 0.0585, 0.0013, -0.0445, -0.0118, 0.0, 0.0164, -0.0168, 0.0092, 0.0076, 0.0303, 0.0467, 0.0343, 0.0248, 0.0102, 0.103, 0.0762, 0.0488, 0.0546, 0.046, 0.0339, 0.0516, 0.0121, 0.0436, -0.0054, -0.0126, -0.0343, -0.0556, -0.0615, -0.0053, -0.018, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0159, -0.0319, -0.0286, -0.0646, -0.063, 0.0559, 0.106, 0.1522, 0.2101, 0.1879, 0.205, 0.2293, 0.2723, 0.1961, 0.1758, 0.1736, 0.1261, 0.1117, 0.0951, 0.1659, 0.2233, 0.2577, 0.3166, 0.3204, 0.3296, 0.3153, 0.2677, 0.2876, 0.3273, 0.3092, 0.2662, 0.2313, 0.2767, 0.2877, 0.3033, 0.3033, 0.31, 0.2957, 0.3822, 0.532, 0.6838, 0.6596, 0.5629, 0.6037, 0.4499, 0.4373, 0.3965, 0.3656, 0.2492, 0.2494, 0.3071, 0.2779, 0.2453, 0.2505, 0.2505, 0.2505, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026751875127591248", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-02-25T20:11:16+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TRI & IGV; chasing NFLX into price target; QQQ target in sight; also setting up APP, INTU, ORCL, MSTR chases.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "my RIGHT TAIL set up Tues AM was right on schedule with continuation today\n\nalready long yday $TRI &amp; $IGV profiled below\n\n$NFLX chase into PT with $QQQ target in sight\n\nalso set up $APP $INTU $ORCL $MSTR chases\n\nall working! join us live &amp; get the trade before it happens", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots \n\nhttps://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08138587381402707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08138587381402707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0730181767047271, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0730181767047271, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01658680502202603, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01658680502202603, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011032359442818884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011032359442818884, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.07954300796471703, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07954300796471703, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09111345650129066, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09111345650129066, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01157044853657363, "ret_p1m": -0.02005161329221128, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02005161329221128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04674239623477916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04674239623477916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.17869521993242254, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17869521993242254, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10003066990262144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10003066990262144, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07954300796471703, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09111345650129066, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09111345650129066, "price_path": [0.3062, 0.2637, 0.3367, 0.3888, 0.3712, 0.3195, 0.3541, 0.3932, 0.3612, 0.3513, 0.3008, 0.1948, 0.2348, 0.1823, 0.1665, 0.215, 0.2114, 0.1639, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1707, 0.1455, 0.1471, 0.1202, 0.1202, 0.1586, 0.2143, 0.1645, 0.193, 0.2309, 0.1598, 0.1959, 0.2753, 0.322, 0.2599, 0.2806, 0.2806, 0.1812, 0.2076, 0.1867, 0.2024, 0.1838, 0.1912, 0.1681, 0.0556, 0.1036, 0.0293, -0.0176, -0.0484, -0.2113, -0.0053, 0.0206, -0.0195, -0.0706, -0.0933, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0515, -0.077, -0.0457, -0.0339, -0.088, -0.0814, 0.0, -0.0166, -0.0453, 0.0147, -0.0219, 0.0795, 0.0307, -0.0156, 0.0243, 0.0207, 0.0198, 0.0125, 0.0296, 0.0875, 0.1079, 0.0362, 0.0191, 0.0001, 0.0188, 0.0044, 0.0257, -0.0201, -0.0709, -0.1048, -0.08, -0.0949, -0.1166, -0.1166, -0.0587, -0.0879, -0.0542, -0.0501, -0.0517, -0.0243, 0.013, 0.0582, 0.098, 0.2276, 0.2592, 0.2088, 0.3222, 0.2714, 0.2607, 0.2473, 0.2216, 0.1662, 0.2197, 0.3061, 0.355, 0.3778, 0.3772, 0.3258, 0.3829, 0.4445, 0.3595, 0.3124, 0.3783, 0.3079, 0.2284, 0.2136, 0.2223, 0.2153, 0.1787, 0.1787, 0.179, 0.1367, 0.1179, 0.1728, 0.1042, 0.0032, -0.0671, -0.0463, -0.1121, -0.0623, -0.1373, -0.1496, -0.1143, -0.0861, -0.0332, -0.0947, -0.1407, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.1704, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989098662203719986", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T22:30:51+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Color me skeptical. $IWM is same price as NOV 2021 - 4 yrs later - with constant calls for the rally to 'broaden out'. How does that work when they leave the junkiest companies in the Russell 2000... IWM has a growing, not falling, number of unprofitable companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IWM: stagnant 4-year price, rising unprofitable constituents, K-shaped economy, and high unemployment fears undermine small-cap bull thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tom Lee says we’re going to 10,000 soon because Valuations are low & earnings growth is massive. 🙈\n\nOthers say lack of Fed independence will push down rates which will help small caps. Oh & somehow Trump pulls off an industrial renaissance so wages rise & earnings rise. 🤨\n\nColor me skeptical.\n\n$IWM is same price as NOV 2021 - 4 yrs later - with constant calls for the rally to \"broaden out\". \n\nHow does that work when they leave the junkiest companies in the Russell 2000, moving out the high-performers to the mid-cap tier?\n\nAlso, IWM has a growing, not falling, number of unprofitable companies ...\namidst a worsening K-shaped economy...\nwith highest unemployment fears since the GFC. \n\nThe ONLY reason it is even relevant of late is because of the metals/commodity revival on dollar debasement theme!\n\nThat and continued policy intervention from repressed yields, financialization & AI hype. \n\nNow imagine a time it is not so easy to keep yields down and AI up. 😱 \n\nThen is your bullish bet that money will rotate out of Growth into Value? Sure, high-quality value, but that's NOT the Russell 2000!\n\nWhen we get a growth scare of size, more likely cash is raised and commodities get bid. But then, that's a select group of IWM - not the index at large.\n\nMy point: KNOW WHAT YOU OWN & WHY.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002905511512317438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002905511512317438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003069362728452485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003069362728452485, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019875389666239696, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019875389666239696, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01055904215072423, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01055904215072423, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "ret_p1w": -0.00791638921606086, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00791638921606086, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01128195428386336, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01128195428386336, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "ret_p1m": 0.06084723218987209, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06084723218987209, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0477504918307623, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0477504918307623, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "ret_p3m": 0.11941430916190998, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11941430916190998, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0865615450038002, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0865615450038002, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "ret_p6m": 0.20766412333528028, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20766412333528028, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10113573769198059, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10113573769198059, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06084723218987209, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0477504918307623, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0477504918307623, "price_path": [-0.0502, -0.0535, -0.0512, -0.014, -0.0243, -0.0163, -0.0093, -0.0081, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0179, -0.0188, -0.0066, -0.0016, 0.0004, -0.0055, -0.0072, 0.0111, 0.0008, 0.005, 0.0034, 0.0059, 0.031, 0.0232, 0.0291, 0.0268, 0.0173, 0.0076, 0.0163, 0.0174, 0.0189, 0.0211, 0.0275, 0.0352, 0.0393, 0.0281, 0.0389, 0.0322, 0.0013, 0.0292, 0.0439, 0.0541, 0.0319, 0.025, 0.045, 0.04, 0.0247, 0.0376, 0.0503, 0.054, 0.0483, 0.0394, 0.031, 0.0368, 0.0335, 0.0157, 0.0303, 0.0121, 0.0174, 0.0276, 0.0285, 0.0259, -0.0029, 0.0, -0.0199, -0.0169, -0.0171, -0.0352, -0.0079, 0.0102, 0.0322, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.0475, 0.0343, 0.0324, 0.0512, 0.0604, 0.056, 0.0564, 0.0586, 0.073, 0.0856, 0.0689, 0.0608, 0.0558, 0.0446, 0.0508, 0.0596, 0.0714, 0.065, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0623, 0.0557, 0.0479, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0511, 0.0678, 0.0819, 0.0794, 0.0912, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.1042, 0.112, 0.1218, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1094, 0.1314, 0.1399, 0.1188, 0.1153, 0.1185, 0.1124, 0.1127, 0.097, 0.1077, 0.1102, 0.1007, 0.0809, 0.1197, 0.1276, 0.1245, 0.1194, 0.0966, 0.111, 0.111, 0.1113, 0.1154, 0.1179, 0.118, 0.1006, 0.1126, 0.1179, 0.1238, 0.1045, 0.1146, 0.0953, 0.1059, 0.0848, 0.06, 0.0715, 0.0704, 0.0683, 0.0453, 0.0418, 0.0517, 0.0583, 0.0413, 0.0481, 0.0252, 0.0473, 0.053, 0.0658, 0.0473, 0.0289, 0.0142, 0.0497, 0.0563, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0681, 0.0704, 0.1024, 0.1088, 0.106, 0.1219, 0.1374, 0.1402, 0.1426, 0.1672, 0.1739, 0.1619, 0.1702, 0.1661, 0.1709, 0.173, 0.1593, 0.1516, 0.1765, 0.1821, 0.1761, 0.1959, 0.2139, 0.1947, 0.2028, 0.2077]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007602836390150483", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T23:59:50+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long US bonds (for a trade). $TLT currently has 27% SI for example…an ATH.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TLT as a trade on anticipated Russia-Ukraine peace deal + sanctions lifted, with record 27% short interest as a squeeze catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The other side of this Venezuela trade isn’t being talked about very much, but should be…\n\nIf/When Russia-Ukraine peace deal be presented soon, and Russia get all sanctions lifted &amp; assets unfrozen…\n\nLong US bonds (for a trade).\n\n$TLT currently has 27% SI for example…an ATH.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Venezuela is now couped. Maduro has been taken out. US now controls VE oil. And most of world's oil. The rest of what I said in this attached post about olive branch to Russia (to make it ditch China) is likely to follow👇", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004916641260998111, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004916641260998111, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016994123383775595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016994123383775595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020580813579870183, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020580813579870183, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008005329409631279, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008005329409631279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "ret_p1w": 0.002401080103850761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002401080103850761, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008417313583324315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008417313583324315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "ret_p1m": -0.004209223013180385, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004209223013180385, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006841172700016718, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006841172700016718, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "ret_p3m": 0.003440831160889335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003440831160889335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04720699868293887, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04720699868293887, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004209223013180385, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.006841172700016718, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006841172700016718, "price_path": [0.0092, 0.0085, 0.0247, 0.0242, 0.0275, 0.0252, 0.0329, 0.0313, 0.0353, 0.0403, 0.041, 0.0339, 0.0344, 0.0379, 0.0406, 0.0301, 0.0241, 0.021, 0.0185, 0.0207, 0.0096, 0.0187, 0.0165, 0.0163, 0.021, 0.0228, 0.0144, 0.0086, 0.0111, 0.0107, 0.0087, 0.0127, 0.0157, 0.0215, 0.0241, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0238, 0.011, 0.0115, 0.0143, 0.0089, 0.0042, 0.0009, 0.0019, 0.0058, 0.0044, -0.0052, -0.0046, 0.0009, -0.0, 0.0048, 0.001, -0.0011, 0.0005, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0032, 0.007, 0.0046, -0.0034, -0.0034, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0021, 0.0038, -0.0013, 0.0054, 0.0024, 0.0041, 0.0099, 0.0097, 0.0039, 0.0039, -0.0093, -0.0017, 0.0026, 0.0054, 0.0102, 0.0039, 0.0016, 0.0018, -0.0038, -0.0066, -0.0042, -0.0067, 0.0041, 0.0047, 0.0045, 0.0161, 0.0107, 0.0241, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0315, 0.0276, 0.0286, 0.0262, 0.03, 0.0318, 0.0319, 0.0361, 0.0424, 0.0319, 0.0298, 0.0266, 0.0225, 0.0187, 0.0275, 0.0166, 0.0035, 0.0015, -0.0034, 0.0043, 0.007, 0.0014, 0.0075, -0.0116, -0.0052, -0.0095, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0138, -0.0007, -0.0017, -0.0027, 0.0034, 0.0034, 0.0018, 0.0017, 0.0049, 0.0024, -0.0, 0.003, 0.0083, 0.0039, -0.0025, 0.0067, 0.0064, 0.0009, 0.0029, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0014, -0.0092, -0.0101, -0.0065, -0.0141, -0.0086, -0.0011, -0.0061, -0.0011, -0.0071, -0.0137, -0.0159, -0.0146, -0.0292, -0.0303, -0.0366, -0.0263, -0.0227, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.0125, -0.0101, -0.005, -0.0048, -0.0043, -0.0022, -0.0061, -0.0039, -0.009, -0.0142, -0.0083, -0.0111, 0.0017, -0.0008, -0.0014, 0.0041, 0.0057, 0.0106, 0.0106, 0.0106, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011940483459686691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T23:16:05+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the precious metals under both pressures moon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish precious metals as USD/UST recycling abates amid US-China trade tensions and reduced technology transfer.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US reshoring is very problematic!\nThis paper explains. Geoffrey sums it up well:\n\nThe system works \"as long as there is demand for USD via the energy cartelization which is priced in dollars (to make it) artificially expensive for exporters to the US (as it) generates demand for the USD.\n\nThere is (was) also the willingness of the creditor to the US (China) to lend money to the US or do vendor financing. \n\nAs long as there is a technology transfer it's ok, but if there is not so much technology to transfer, the willingness to recycle (USD & UST) abates, and the precious metals under both pressures moon.\" @GraphCall \n\nhttps://t.co/hsQxUJJ9mF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Very interesting paper by Chinese economists on the role of multinational corporations in the US–China trade conflict:\n\nUS-based multinational corporations (MNCs) depend on extracting surplus value from China via a \"financialization–offshoring nexus\", with 4 parts:\n\n1. MNCs https://t.co/6vPpcQjHEz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004842217916322111, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004842217916322111, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004003610053280093, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004003610053280093, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08713710439483102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08713710439483102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09065042156398961, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09065042156398961, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "ret_p1m": 0.0981034103206333, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0981034103206333, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1124312470006652, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1124312470006652, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "ret_p3m": 0.04550305614027428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04550305614027428, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030768113622571702, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030768113622571702, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0981034103206333, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1124312470006652, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1124312470006652, "price_path": [-0.1046, -0.1045, -0.1009, -0.1039, -0.1288, -0.1351, -0.1384, -0.1214, -0.1262, -0.1246, -0.14, -0.13, -0.1311, -0.1258, -0.1019, -0.0983, -0.0838, -0.0912, -0.1076, -0.1178, -0.1114, -0.11, -0.1102, -0.1116, -0.0975, -0.0978, -0.0906, -0.0906, -0.0793, -0.0749, -0.0808, -0.0817, -0.0811, -0.0827, -0.0851, -0.0804, -0.0765, -0.0666, -0.0614, -0.0605, -0.0603, -0.0522, -0.0539, -0.0529, -0.031, -0.0182, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0108, -0.0539, -0.0532, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.0546, -0.0297, -0.0193, -0.0286, -0.0233, -0.0162, 0.0022, 0.0008, 0.011, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0378, 0.053, 0.0724, 0.0871, 0.103, 0.1301, 0.1739, 0.1771, 0.0562, 0.0139, 0.0783, 0.0776, 0.0489, 0.0811, 0.1086, 0.0976, 0.11, 0.0714, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.0639, 0.0878, 0.0908, 0.1123, 0.1424, 0.1266, 0.1237, 0.1334, 0.1483, 0.1631, 0.1112, 0.1199, 0.1064, 0.124, 0.1216, 0.1343, 0.1304, 0.1082, 0.0939, 0.0929, 0.0902, 0.0557, 0.0122, -0.0188, -0.0409, -0.0407, -0.0119, -0.049, -0.0156, -0.0159, 0.0214, 0.0392, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0151, 0.025, 0.0314, 0.0395, 0.0376, 0.0334, 0.0565, 0.0455, 0.0446, 0.0585, 0.0494, 0.0197, 0.0332, 0.0231, 0.0284, 0.0204, 0.0015, -0.0092, 0.0056, 0.0045, -0.0156, -0.0072, 0.023, 0.0247, 0.0296, 0.0317, 0.0276, 0.0219, 0.0141, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0232, -0.0092, -0.0102, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0173, -0.0304, -0.0202, -0.0099, -0.0238, -0.0222, -0.0319, -0.0238, -0.0595, -0.057, -0.0724, -0.1109, -0.083, -0.0825, -0.0587, -0.0562, -0.0776, -0.0811, -0.0811, -0.0811, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998177552368820511", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T23:47:07+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PEP as one of my \"Oversold Consumer Cyclical\" plays with news we can use", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long PEP as an oversold consumer cyclical with a positive catalyst from the Elliott-driven price-cut agreement.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PEP as one of my “Oversold Consumer Cyclical” plays with news we can use", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "PEPSI AGREES TO CUT PRICES BY UP TO 20% IN THE 🇺🇸\n\nPepsiCo $PEP made an agreement with activist investor Elliott Management, committing to cut costs across the company and lower prices in its slowing food business \n\nThe maker of Pepsi-Cola, Lay’s and Doritos said it would reduce https://t.co/IM6HDatBKZ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006844731359513467, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006844731359513467, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005981047923548921, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005981047923548921, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034983549111200274, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034983549111200274, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028351404554415094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028351404554415094, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": 0.039615719284055606, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039615719284055606, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04572078809492042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04572078809492042, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": -0.052751584587899636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.052751584587899636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06530959220193666, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06530959220193666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.11210159432183509, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11210159432183509, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12479952477919087, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12479952477919087, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": -0.005714411709978218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.005714411709978218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1162417451373744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1162417451373744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.052751584587899636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06530959220193666, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06530959220193666, "price_path": [-0.0125, -0.0173, -0.0371, -0.0412, -0.033, -0.0365, -0.0294, -0.0344, -0.0284, -0.0266, -0.042, -0.0384, -0.0403, -0.0384, -0.02, -0.0256, -0.0279, -0.0435, -0.036, -0.0494, -0.0092, 0.0276, 0.0194, 0.0376, 0.035, 0.0453, 0.0524, 0.0519, 0.0488, 0.0478, 0.0374, 0.0376, 0.045, 0.0278, 0.0007, 0.0102, 0.0002, -0.0168, -0.0216, -0.0219, -0.0306, -0.0213, -0.0235, -0.0067, -0.0114, -0.0071, -0.0014, 0.0122, 0.0186, 0.0072, 0.0003, 0.0019, -0.0038, 0.0004, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0184, 0.0237, 0.0175, 0.0137, 0.0059, 0.0026, 0.0068, 0.0, 0.035, 0.0304, 0.0416, 0.0455, 0.0396, 0.0376, 0.0327, 0.0243, 0.0167, -0.0066, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0059, -0.0028, -0.0033, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0167, -0.0326, -0.0393, -0.0528, -0.0364, -0.0327, -0.0227, -0.008, 0.0088, 0.0133, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0209, 0.0145, -0.0017, -0.0004, 0.0085, 0.0286, 0.0267, 0.028, 0.0622, 0.073, 0.1259, 0.1489, 0.1583, 0.1787, 0.1509, 0.1544, 0.1695, 0.156, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.1195, 0.1365, 0.1379, 0.1403, 0.1637, 0.1722, 0.1696, 0.1586, 0.1735, 0.1565, 0.1401, 0.1333, 0.111, 0.1121, 0.1268, 0.1215, 0.1171, 0.1081, 0.1152, 0.1002, 0.0917, 0.071, 0.0654, 0.0466, 0.0525, 0.0504, 0.0584, 0.0521, 0.0675, 0.0939, 0.0832, 0.0788, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0933, 0.0687, 0.0798, 0.0986, 0.0956, 0.0873, 0.0862, 0.0802, 0.1048, 0.0998, 0.0951, 0.0806, 0.0728, 0.0861, 0.0843, 0.0749, 0.0902, 0.0832, 0.1055, 0.098, 0.0783, 0.0815, 0.0879, 0.0902, 0.0785, 0.0422, 0.0592, 0.0412, 0.037, 0.0402, 0.0398, 0.0489, 0.0414, 0.0383, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0162, 0.0306, 0.0204, 0.0058, -0.0128, -0.0095, -0.0057]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001651646636736736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-18T13:51:56+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it will be a lovely bounce to fade after $MU tags $271 as warned this wk for clients", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Fade the CPI-driven bounce in MU once it tags $271 target; bearish after that level is hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hard to believe...😉😉 #CPI \n\nbut regardless, it will be a lovely bounce to fade after $MU tags $271 as warned this wk for clients.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The November CPI was much lower than expected, with core CPI up just 0.2% over the *two months* through Nov.\n\nThis is likely to raise questions over certain adjustments statisticians had to make given the void in the October data.\n\nCore CPI: +2.6% y/y\nHeadline CPI: +2.7% y/y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09265740689197877, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09265740689197877, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08516264810132557, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06959040894286439, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074947587906532, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023066997949114376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06988528442465691, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06988528442465691, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0608218699990839, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04402494212140229, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063414425573013, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025860342303254624, "ret_p1w": 0.15340979399907528, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15340979399907528, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12983147061293332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10142084748290103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023578323386141964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05198894651617425, "ret_p1m": 0.46005451856089974, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.46005451856089974, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.43457848847961045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.30343575761179387, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02547603008128929, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15661876094910587, "ret_p3m": 0.858284060061105, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.858284060061105, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8637505652195285, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.7118047706210504, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466505158423507, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14647928944005462, "ret_p6m": 2.9526013178780106, "ret_signed_p6m": -2.9526013178780106, "alpha_spy_p6m": -2.8498568755613345, "alpha_c_p6m": -2.1617040271910626, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1027444423166759, "bench_c_p6m": 0.790897290686948, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15340979399907528, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12983147061293332, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10142084748290103, "price_path": [-0.3381, -0.3309, -0.3498, -0.3694, -0.3676, -0.341, -0.3272, -0.2676, -0.2612, -0.2443, -0.2317, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2262, -0.2694, -0.2244, -0.2474, -0.2278, -0.1852, -0.1858, -0.1681, -0.1861, -0.2015, -0.1683, -0.1188, -0.1145, -0.1072, -0.0882, -0.0987, -0.0997, -0.0557, -0.1228, -0.0445, -0.0411, -0.0428, 0.0191, -0.0299, -0.0147, -0.0467, -0.0069, -0.0266, -0.0807, -0.091, -0.1898, -0.1657, -0.0991, -0.0966, -0.0736, -0.0736, -0.0486, -0.0325, -0.0365, -0.0579, -0.0881, -0.0456, -0.0066, 0.0156, 0.061, 0.0399, -0.0298, -0.0445, -0.0645, -0.0927, 0.0, 0.0699, 0.1128, 0.1115, 0.1534, 0.1534, 0.1458, 0.1848, 0.1778, 0.1488, 0.1488, 0.2696, 0.2564, 0.3823, 0.3667, 0.3162, 0.389, 0.3921, 0.361, 0.3417, 0.3549, 0.4601, 0.4601, 0.4691, 0.5662, 0.6002, 0.6086, 0.5661, 0.6512, 0.752, 0.754, 0.6699, 0.7621, 0.6882, 0.5271, 0.5411, 0.5886, 0.5436, 0.5023, 0.6516, 0.6662, 0.6569, 0.6569, 0.6091, 0.6943, 0.6798, 0.7234, 0.6944, 0.6825, 0.7267, 0.6726, 0.6598, 0.661, 0.5282, 0.6131, 0.5981, 0.4904, 0.567, 0.6225, 0.6852, 0.6315, 0.7152, 0.7782, 0.8583, 0.8584, 0.7882, 0.7022, 0.6275, 0.592, 0.5379, 0.4307, 0.4378, 0.2958, 0.3604, 0.4812, 0.4747, 0.4747, 0.5211, 0.5204, 0.6378, 0.6973, 0.6936, 0.7176, 0.8751, 0.8371, 0.8411, 0.8324, 0.8056, 0.8095, 0.9629, 0.9397, 1.0001, 1.1122, 1.0306, 1.0877, 1.0824, 1.1833, 1.3212, 1.5779, 1.6841, 1.6038, 2.0071, 2.2025, 2.0868, 2.2359, 2.1247, 1.918, 1.7443, 1.8136, 1.9475, 2.0687, 2.024, 2.024, 2.6074, 2.7384, 2.7187, 2.9099, 3.1696, 3.2848, 3.3471, 3.0105, 2.4791, 2.8224, 2.7685, 2.5913, 3.01, 2.9526]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990630928113434803", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T03:59:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTC down -30% is yet another funding stress incoming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC: synthetic ETF hypothecation creating phantom liquidity; expects another -30% funding stress event with retail tapped out.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BTC down -30% is yet another funding stress incoming. WHY?\n\n“the crypto ETF’s are synthetically propping up hedge funds and institutional players with liquidity that doesn’t exist.”\n\nAnd retail is tapped!\n\n👉https://t.co/r1OoQdr8nZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ummm. Our old friend hypothecation at it again. How the crypto ETF’s are synthetically propping up hedge funds and institutional players with liquidity that doesn’t exist.\n\nTDLR: we are F’d\n\nhttps://t.co/9VIHCLmOi9\n\nThe integration of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009198605147184402, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017667274594413307, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08295705988279523, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633743704950193, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2591858293067022, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29506705424584, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14708900793581414, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27806809330385074, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2574, 0.1848, 0.2028, 0.1966, 0.2108, 0.1663, 0.1754, 0.1964, 0.202, 0.1912, 0.1904, 0.2057, 0.1999, 0.226, 0.2427, 0.2491, 0.242, 0.2571, 0.253, 0.2602, 0.2447, 0.213, 0.2051, 0.2193, 0.1732, 0.1804, 0.2308, 0.2271, 0.2765, 0.2984, 0.3154, 0.3422, 0.3066, 0.3271, 0.3094, 0.218, 0.2402, 0.217, 0.1919, 0.1639, 0.1454, 0.1898, 0.1671, 0.1586, 0.1842, 0.1946, 0.2278, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.1652, 0.1787, 0.1463, 0.093, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.1121, 0.1404, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.0726, 0.0156, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.016, -0.068, -0.0845, -0.0503, -0.0603, -0.0261, -0.0179, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0172, 0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0383, -0.0248, -0.0028, -0.01, -0.0047, -0.0288, -0.0702, -0.0549, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0595, -0.0574, -0.0615, -0.0608, -0.0625, -0.0486, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0323, 0.01, 0.0084, -0.0177, -0.0207, -0.0262, -0.0189, 0.0255, 0.0428, 0.028, 0.0277, -0.0043, -0.0499, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0414, -0.0405, -0.0902, -0.0949, -0.1534, -0.1863, -0.2144, -0.3254, -0.2409, -0.2456, -0.2599, -0.2793, -0.2875, -0.2592, -0.2593, -0.2739, -0.2854, -0.2796, -0.2684, -0.3048, -0.3106, -0.2688, -0.2743, -0.2912, -0.2601, -0.2653, -0.2177, -0.2378, -0.2669, -0.2641, -0.2477, -0.2447, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2047, -0.2335, -0.2478, -0.2413, -0.2371, -0.2413, -0.2328, -0.2599, -0.2863, -0.2825, -0.2659, -0.2676, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2592, -0.226, -0.2348, -0.2279, -0.2148, -0.1986, -0.2019, -0.1952, -0.1915, -0.1702, -0.1837, -0.1786, -0.1586, -0.1579, -0.1667, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.1848, -0.1791, -0.1589, -0.1412, -0.1293, -0.124, -0.1392, -0.1373, -0.1207, -0.1342, -0.1471]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011073479949365703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T13:50:56+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why would silver pull back - other than scared longs on profit taking or scared shorts, minor interruptions from rebalancing or dollar pop…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver (and gold/miners) — sees no durable reason to short without rate hikes, trade war reversal, or balanced budget; structural USD/Treasury loss of faith drives the trend.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why would silver pull back - other than scared longs on profit taking or scared shorts, minor interruptions from rebalancing or dollar pop…\n\nYen intervention\nVIX\n\nMore durable reason to short:\n\nRate hikes\nReversal of trade wars/Peace/Political stability in US\n\nOnly macro reason:\nBalanced budget\nSurplus", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017429963661367842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017429963661367842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019433476464153387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019433476464153387, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07582696183429283, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07582696183429283, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08074212629383481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08074212629383481, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.08638678177281323, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08638678177281323, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10972306705860235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10972306705860235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": -0.025954210625067753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025954210625067753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023345301400833907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.023345301400833907, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": -0.12111955251755946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12111955251755946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10316780186057828, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10316780186057828, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025954210625067753, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023345301400833907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.023345301400833907, "price_path": [-0.3744, -0.4022, -0.3929, -0.4429, -0.4417, -0.4379, -0.4403, -0.4606, -0.4567, -0.45, -0.4359, -0.4401, -0.4433, -0.4562, -0.4447, -0.4459, -0.4412, -0.4174, -0.409, -0.3852, -0.3967, -0.4153, -0.4215, -0.4135, -0.409, -0.4176, -0.4237, -0.4067, -0.4062, -0.3842, -0.3842, -0.3485, -0.3318, -0.324, -0.3248, -0.3415, -0.3263, -0.3294, -0.2981, -0.2866, -0.2669, -0.2863, -0.2607, -0.2655, -0.2333, -0.2453, -0.2248, -0.2052, -0.1751, -0.1702, -0.1702, -0.0952, -0.1602, -0.1224, -0.1804, -0.1804, -0.1635, -0.1211, -0.0622, -0.0972, -0.1131, -0.0791, -0.0174, 0.0, 0.0758, 0.0601, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0864, 0.0682, 0.1085, 0.1821, 0.2511, 0.2925, 0.3435, 0.3431, -0.0402, -0.0784, -0.0209, 0.0074, -0.1515, -0.107, -0.0326, -0.066, -0.026, -0.1383, -0.113, -0.113, -0.1556, -0.1083, -0.0966, -0.0252, 0.0251, 0.0061, 0.0183, 0.0235, 0.0813, 0.0378, -0.0499, -0.0415, -0.0551, -0.0338, -0.0043, 0.019, -0.0088, -0.027, -0.0752, -0.0684, -0.0883, -0.126, -0.1644, -0.2173, -0.2052, -0.1991, -0.1704, -0.2268, -0.1929, -0.1919, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1592, -0.1611, -0.1416, -0.1299, -0.1211, -0.1313, -0.0835, -0.086, -0.0936, -0.0632, -0.0821, -0.1286, -0.1047, -0.13, -0.1248, -0.1307, -0.1578, -0.1751, -0.1519, -0.1312, -0.1611, -0.1615, -0.1078, -0.0891, -0.0711, -0.0076, -0.0006, 0.0095, -0.0393, -0.1216, -0.1102, -0.1489, -0.1256, -0.1164, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.113, -0.1412, -0.1303, -0.1307, -0.1391, -0.135, -0.1576, -0.1478, -0.2167, -0.2165, -0.2492, -0.2664, -0.2262, -0.2202, -0.1925, -0.1935, -0.2289, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2429, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:2011073479949365703", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-13T13:50:56+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver (and gold/miners) — sees no durable reason to short without rate hikes, trade war reversal, or balanced budget; structural USD/Treasury loss of faith drives the trend.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why would silver pull back - other than scared longs on profit taking or scared shorts, minor interruptions from rebalancing or dollar pop…\n\nYen intervention\nVIX\n\nMore durable reason to short:\n\nRate hikes\nReversal of trade wars/Peace/Political stability in US\n\nOnly macro reason:\nBalanced budget\nSurplus", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007774437550634561, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007774437550634561, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009777950353420106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009777950353420106, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004042701199476584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004042701199476584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008957865659018571, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008957865659018571, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.06540890928525855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06540890928525855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08874519457104768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08874519457104768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": 0.09847620897470488, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09847620897470488, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10108511819893873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10108511819893873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": 0.030268457883243505, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030268457883243505, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.048220208540224685, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.048220208540224685, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09847620897470488, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10108511819893873, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10108511819893873, "price_path": [-0.131, -0.1898, -0.173, -0.2509, -0.2493, -0.2406, -0.2508, -0.2805, -0.2691, -0.2686, -0.2498, -0.2584, -0.2662, -0.2973, -0.2727, -0.2718, -0.2534, -0.2181, -0.2106, -0.1844, -0.2071, -0.2162, -0.2287, -0.2217, -0.2139, -0.2491, -0.2421, -0.1977, -0.1993, -0.1608, -0.1608, -0.1435, -0.1477, -0.1601, -0.1658, -0.1624, -0.1661, -0.1854, -0.1567, -0.1425, -0.1123, -0.1185, -0.1268, -0.127, -0.1167, -0.1184, -0.0965, -0.0652, -0.0643, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0537, -0.1101, -0.0998, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.1113, -0.0831, -0.0449, -0.0561, -0.0511, -0.0405, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.004, 0.0066, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0654, 0.05, 0.0902, 0.1094, 0.1141, 0.1329, 0.1626, 0.1193, -0.0235, -0.0236, 0.0181, 0.0231, -0.0418, 0.0095, 0.0665, 0.0678, 0.0985, 0.0188, 0.0774, 0.0774, 0.0392, 0.0631, 0.0805, 0.1015, 0.1433, 0.1475, 0.1523, 0.1806, 0.2008, 0.1956, 0.0909, 0.0975, 0.0555, 0.0509, 0.0619, 0.0715, 0.0507, 0.0293, -0.0333, -0.0217, -0.026, -0.0867, -0.1407, -0.1695, -0.1357, -0.1344, -0.1052, -0.146, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0487, -0.0048, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0275, -0.0155, 0.0177, 0.0195, 0.0303, 0.0239, 0.0444, 0.0135, 0.0123, 0.0401, 0.0276, -0.0361, -0.0206, -0.0444, -0.0221, -0.0402, -0.0822, -0.1063, -0.0848, -0.097, -0.1122, -0.1105, -0.0418, -0.0492, -0.0195, 0.0117, 0.0069, -0.0025, -0.0261, -0.0945, -0.0967, -0.1315, -0.1048, -0.1086, -0.1187, -0.1187, -0.0826, -0.1143, -0.0963, -0.0724, -0.1015, -0.0873, -0.1189, -0.1044, -0.1828, -0.1845, -0.1957, -0.2349, -0.1944, -0.1704, -0.1161, -0.0957, -0.1255, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1447, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011073479949365703", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-13T13:50:56+00:00", "symbol": "SIL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver (and gold/miners) — sees no durable reason to short without rate hikes, trade war reversal, or balanced budget; structural USD/Treasury loss of faith drives the trend.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why would silver pull back - other than scared longs on profit taking or scared shorts, minor interruptions from rebalancing or dollar pop…\n\nYen intervention\nVIX\n\nMore durable reason to short:\n\nRate hikes\nReversal of trade wars/Peace/Political stability in US\n\nOnly macro reason:\nBalanced budget\nSurplus", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004553640832215655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004553640832215655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0065571536350012005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0065571536350012005, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004341798489779114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004341798489779114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009256962949321101, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009256962949321101, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.09488509007218071, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09488509007218071, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11822137535796984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11822137535796984, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": 0.1139468611824277, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1139468611824277, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11655577040666154, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11655577040666154, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": 0.023615411942462528, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.023615411942462528, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04156716259944371, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04156716259944371, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1139468611824277, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11655577040666154, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11655577040666154, "price_path": [-0.1634, -0.2276, -0.21, -0.2958, -0.288, -0.2865, -0.2914, -0.3167, -0.3051, -0.3036, -0.2927, -0.3026, -0.3173, -0.3483, -0.3454, -0.3388, -0.3209, -0.2905, -0.2891, -0.2621, -0.2741, -0.2844, -0.3013, -0.2955, -0.2832, -0.3218, -0.319, -0.2807, -0.2733, -0.231, -0.231, -0.1864, -0.1821, -0.1921, -0.1989, -0.2016, -0.203, -0.2169, -0.1779, -0.1643, -0.1265, -0.1359, -0.1384, -0.1431, -0.1346, -0.1413, -0.1123, -0.0774, -0.0735, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.057, -0.1068, -0.0945, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1209, -0.0893, -0.052, -0.071, -0.0734, -0.0493, -0.0046, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0209, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0949, 0.0831, 0.1507, 0.1814, 0.1862, 0.1938, 0.2128, 0.1719, -0.0014, -0.0118, 0.0522, 0.0541, -0.0263, 0.0313, 0.0913, 0.0857, 0.1139, 0.0236, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0329, 0.0644, 0.0931, 0.1411, 0.1667, 0.1829, 0.1995, 0.235, 0.2499, 0.2389, 0.1285, 0.1381, 0.0843, 0.072, 0.0849, 0.113, 0.0865, 0.0567, -0.0014, 0.0078, -0.0023, -0.0695, -0.1226, -0.1614, -0.1239, -0.1163, -0.0958, -0.1405, -0.1085, -0.1152, -0.0461, -0.0124, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.0262, -0.0168, 0.0155, 0.013, 0.0236, 0.0301, 0.0568, 0.0335, 0.0291, 0.0694, 0.0532, -0.0025, 0.0286, -0.0025, 0.0047, -0.0077, -0.0552, -0.0846, -0.062, -0.061, -0.0797, -0.0852, 0.0026, -0.0019, 0.0298, 0.0796, 0.0877, 0.0867, 0.0492, -0.03, -0.0405, -0.0841, -0.0514, -0.0535, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0328, -0.0602, -0.0365, -0.0074, -0.0311, -0.0251, -0.0735, -0.0626, -0.1604, -0.1573, -0.1762, -0.2136, -0.1624, -0.135, -0.0792, -0.0551, -0.0898, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1133, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1998470670229889161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T19:11:52+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why I'm Staying Short #Oil Into 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Staying short crude oil into 2026 on falling global demand, rising EV adoption, and renewables cost-competitiveness.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why I’m Staying Short #Oil Into 2026\n\nStill bearish on #crudeoil despite widespread bullish calls - Rick Rule etc.  I have focused on falling global demand, rising EV adoption &amp; Geoffrey's take on renewables as cost-competitive. @GraphCall \n$WTIC #CL1\n\nhttps://t.co/V1yrzM8SnW https://t.co/t9DNdaLyxF\n\n---\n\nHere's the link on our YT channel where we also offer the option of view-only live trading room YouTube Membership\n\nhttps://t.co/iq7AFpf6rF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009017996677838758, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009017996677838758, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008154313241874211, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008154313241874211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009733757504076346, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009733757504076346, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0031016129472911658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0031016129472911658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": -0.052819960051066484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052819960051066484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04671489124020167, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04671489124020167, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": -0.029630685324063655, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029630685324063655, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04218869293810068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04218869293810068, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.5569710233719827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5569710233719827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5696689538293385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5696689538293385, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": 1.0163183421083382, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0163183421083382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.905791008680942, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.905791008680942, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5569710233719827, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5696689538293385, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5696689538293385, "price_path": [0.0449, 0.0494, 0.0626, 0.0832, 0.0731, 0.0691, 0.0524, 0.0514, 0.0743, 0.0935, 0.1021, 0.1025, 0.0677, 0.0557, 0.047, 0.024, 0.0265, 0.0431, 0.0478, 0.0525, 0.0379, -0.0067, 0.006, -0.0123, -0.0125, -0.0293, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0228, 0.011, 0.0491, 0.0475, 0.0467, 0.0219, 0.0278, 0.0265, 0.0386, 0.0412, 0.0296, 0.0167, 0.0146, 0.02, 0.0261, 0.0409, -0.001, -0.0001, 0.0218, 0.0206, 0.0378, 0.0146, 0.0042, -0.008, 0.008, -0.0087, 0.0026, 0.0026, 0.0173, 0.0172, 0.0049, 0.0115, 0.0219, 0.0295, 0.009, 0.0, 0.0097, -0.0087, -0.015, -0.0282, -0.0528, -0.0269, -0.0382, -0.0262, -0.0019, 0.0063, 0.0049, 0.0049, -0.0198, -0.0036, -0.0017, -0.01, -0.01, -0.0129, 0.0052, -0.0193, -0.0296, 0.0097, 0.0132, 0.0256, 0.0518, 0.0394, 0.0182, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0286, 0.0498, 0.0281, 0.0585, 0.0518, 0.083, 0.0968, 0.1328, 0.1383, 0.0783, 0.1089, 0.1148, 0.0978, 0.1021, 0.1168, 0.1169, 0.1293, 0.0933, 0.091, 0.091, 0.084, 0.1366, 0.1622, 0.1573, 0.158, 0.156, 0.1413, 0.1419, 0.1731, 0.2481, 0.2912, 0.3106, 0.3786, 0.557, 0.4934, 0.5153, 0.5467, 0.6947, 0.7161, 0.6466, 0.7011, 0.7416, 0.6799, 0.7382, 0.5826, 0.6396, 0.6231, 0.6785, 0.7778, 0.8584, 0.8215, 0.7763, 0.9742, 0.9742, 0.9888, 0.9765, 0.7833, 0.8173, 0.7867, 0.839, 0.7728, 0.7548, 0.8013, 0.661, 0.7366, 0.8358, 0.8523, 0.9284, 0.8952, 0.9284, 0.9983, 1.1562, 1.1055, 1.0441, 1.1129, 1.0637, 0.9174, 0.932, 0.9123, 0.9848, 1.0656, 1.0332, 1.047, 1.1218, 1.137, 1.1895, 1.0651, 1.0404, 1.0172, 1.0172, 0.9611, 0.8756, 0.872, 0.8478, 0.9396, 0.9649, 1.0163]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016197179220635834", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-27T17:10:41+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EUR/gold, short US equities and oil: USD devaluation + foreigners dumping USTs/equities mirrors 1973 crack-up boom then crash.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "1973 IS COMING - BUT NOT FOR OIL\n\nThere is falling global dollar AND treasury demand, but not for US equities.\n\n25% of USTs are owned by foreigners (down from 33% a decade ago)\n\n25% of US Equities are owned by foreigners (up from 18%)\n\nUSD share of global foreign reserves as fallen 33%. As a result: Gold is #1 reserve asset on global central banks - not USD anymore. \n\nUSD wasn’t in a hurry to fall without Fed/Treasury intervention Oct 2022 - but then Trump entered the scene JAN 2025 to make USD devalutation a feature not a bug.\n\nNow, with Fed pressured to lower rates & monetize deficits, the USD is falling faster as foreigners stay away from USTs & bypass USD, UST & Petrol-dollar (Oil) for trade settlement in Gold.\n\nTHIS macro roadmap was laid out early last year as basis of potential crack-up boom reaction in stocks.\n\nThe problem is when the USD weakens too much as Fed cuts, forcing the Fed to later re-tighten... just like what happened in 1973 ... THEN the equity rally falters & fades WITH the USD falling, setting up an even more aggressive selling of both foreign-held equities & treasuries & dollars. \n\nIn the same way 1973 caused USD to fall hard with equities, US is setting up for a strong case of foreigners selling EVERYTHING once inflation picks up state-side and Fed intonates hiking.\n\nBad news will be very bad news - ala 1973 - 1974 - and it won't have to do with oil. \n\nRemember my mantra last year:\n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️\n\nGeoffrey: @GraphCall \n\"Now the Fed is going to cut rates and resume balance sheet expansion. DO THEY BELIEVE THEY OPERATE IN VACCUM?\n\nSo now you know why I am long the euro\"\n\nIt's all about BALANCE OF TRADE & CAPITAL FLOWS.\n\n\"once the DXY is at 0.8 you should get better terms of trade IF the Treasury manages to shrink primary deficit as a % of GDP.  A much lower FX with not TOO MUCH inflation is the cure.\"\n\nPLACE YOUR BETS\n\n$EURUSD $WTIC $SPX \n\nhttps://t.co/NcKcmjafDU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023944536337615063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023944536337615063, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019976093316061427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019976093316061427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038773348494905324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038773348494905324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038874013075230196, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038874013075230196, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": -0.04580969812853086, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04580969812853086, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03724023974455648, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03724023974455648, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": -0.005629054067263661, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005629054067263661, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002264598527659145, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002264598527659145, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": -0.09000211206508368, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09000211206508368, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11933370630971651, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11933370630971651, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005629054067263661, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002264598527659145, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002264598527659145, "price_path": [-0.2226, -0.2268, -0.2254, -0.239, -0.2302, -0.2311, -0.2264, -0.2053, -0.2021, -0.1893, -0.1958, -0.2103, -0.2194, -0.2137, -0.2124, -0.2127, -0.2139, -0.2014, -0.2017, -0.1953, -0.1953, -0.1853, -0.1814, -0.1866, -0.1874, -0.1869, -0.1883, -0.1905, -0.1863, -0.1828, -0.174, -0.1694, -0.1687, -0.1685, -0.1613, -0.1628, -0.1619, -0.1426, -0.1312, -0.1348, -0.1348, -0.1247, -0.1628, -0.1622, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1635, -0.1414, -0.1322, -0.1405, -0.1357, -0.1294, -0.1131, -0.1144, -0.1054, -0.1108, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.0816, -0.0683, -0.0511, -0.038, -0.0239, 0.0, 0.0388, 0.0416, -0.0654, -0.1029, -0.0458, -0.0465, -0.0719, -0.0434, -0.0191, -0.0288, -0.0178, -0.0519, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0586, -0.0374, -0.0347, -0.0157, 0.0109, -0.0031, -0.0056, 0.0029, 0.0161, 0.0292, -0.0167, -0.009, -0.0209, -0.0054, -0.0075, 0.0037, 0.0003, -0.0194, -0.0321, -0.0329, -0.0353, -0.0659, -0.1044, -0.1317, -0.1514, -0.1512, -0.1256, -0.1585, -0.129, -0.1292, -0.0962, -0.0804, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1018, -0.093, -0.0873, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0856, -0.0651, -0.0749, -0.0757, -0.0634, -0.0714, -0.0977, -0.0858, -0.0946, -0.09, -0.0971, -0.1138, -0.1233, -0.1101, -0.1112, -0.1289, -0.1215, -0.0948, -0.0933, -0.0889, -0.0871, -0.0907, -0.0958, -0.1027, -0.1235, -0.1211, -0.1357, -0.1233, -0.1242, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1304, -0.142, -0.133, -0.1239, -0.1362, -0.1347, -0.1433, -0.1362, -0.1677, -0.1656, -0.1792, -0.2132, -0.1886, -0.1881, -0.1671, -0.1648, -0.1838, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1869, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992695323517415892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T20:42:42+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "their appetite for gold elevates the wealth of their country as China settles global trade in gold - outside of USD & UST & US OIL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish gold as global store of value displacing USD; bearish USD and implicitly bearish crypto vs gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Excellent point on India. \n\nI made the same point in a podcast a few months ago on Chinese citizens hoarding gold\n\n … and how their appetite for gold elevates the wealth of their country as China settles global trade in gold - outside of USD & UST & US OIL.\n\nAlso, and this is really important to… how in contrast Americans hoard crypto crap instead of gold. 😤😩👎", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "1/ In 5 years, Indian households could turn out to be worlds best investor , they are shorting the USD via INR and buying gold. \n\n2/ If gold hits $10,000 per ounce, Indian households will hold around $10 trillion worth of gold ( assuming 30000 tonnes ) — a staggering store of https://t.co/b5SNEo0W0b", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0037146439391562147, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0037146439391562147, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01079046789824778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01079046789824778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01155949414638835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01155949414638835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0021534740542608066, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021534740542608066, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "ret_p1w": 0.036022362682753384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036022362682753384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01876575300037797, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01876575300037797, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": 0.09553017221165438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09553017221165438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06373430889112952, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06373430889112952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": 0.2160365651891103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2160365651891103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.189460072141016, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.189460072141016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026576493048094285, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026576493048094285, "ret_p6m": 0.10127322569801644, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10127322569801644, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0021733936885446337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0021733936885446337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.168, -0.1613, -0.1511, -0.1511, -0.1326, -0.1219, -0.1286, -0.117, -0.1109, -0.1096, -0.1096, -0.1112, -0.1081, -0.1001, -0.0985, -0.1002, -0.1095, -0.1027, -0.0858, -0.0761, -0.0879, -0.0868, -0.0774, -0.0662, -0.0614, -0.0548, -0.0616, -0.0516, -0.035, -0.0282, -0.0119, -0.0356, -0.0283, 0.0041, 0.0114, 0.0208, 0.046, 0.0239, 0.0598, -0.001, -0.0116, 0.0082, 0.0065, -0.022, -0.0307, -0.0264, -0.0221, -0.0268, -0.0224, -0.0352, -0.0273, -0.0274, -0.0226, 0.0049, 0.0036, 0.0275, 0.0232, -0.0011, -0.0058, -0.0075, -0.0035, -0.0087, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.0309, 0.036, 0.0231, 0.0262, 0.0293, 0.0296, 0.0233, 0.0281, 0.0255, 0.0473, 0.0509, 0.0525, 0.052, 0.0625, 0.0605, 0.0659, 0.0862, 0.0955, 0.095, 0.095, 0.1068, 0.057, 0.068, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0544, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0873, 0.0874, 0.0974, 0.1252, 0.1215, 0.1306, 0.1282, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1632, 0.1808, 0.1996, 0.2161, 0.2414, 0.2415, 0.2956, 0.2997, 0.152, 0.1297, 0.1984, 0.2025, 0.1881, 0.21, 0.2344, 0.2229, 0.2394, 0.2033, 0.2273, 0.2273, 0.1933, 0.2186, 0.216, 0.2364, 0.272, 0.26, 0.2724, 0.2651, 0.2783, 0.2939, 0.2482, 0.2513, 0.2379, 0.2576, 0.2443, 0.2781, 0.2628, 0.2502, 0.2348, 0.2205, 0.2222, 0.195, 0.1243, 0.1169, 0.0763, 0.0751, 0.1119, 0.0693, 0.0978, 0.1061, 0.1358, 0.1689, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1381, 0.1381, 0.1607, 0.1711, 0.1637, 0.159, 0.1792, 0.173, 0.1695, 0.1871, 0.1747, 0.1482, 0.1566, 0.1499, 0.1541, 0.1426, 0.1221, 0.1108, 0.1278, 0.1315, 0.1045, 0.1134, 0.1442, 0.1486, 0.1536, 0.1532, 0.1431, 0.148, 0.1433, 0.1134, 0.1126, 0.1013]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997396135648924145", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T20:02:03+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2 Month $NFLX Short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Active 2-month short on NFLX and SPOT pair-trade; both breaking down on weekly chart with failed bounces toward key monthly support.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lucky Or Good: 2 Month $NFLX Short\n\nThe $NFLX – $SPOT pair-trade still working as both stocks break down on weekly chart: same distribution pattern, with failed bounces, driving them to key monthly support levels - long before Friday’s $NFLX news. 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/Sgen5wnLWw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03564414625073864, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03564414625073864, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032630794385150264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028160991802147928, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007483154448590712, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008265505764847303, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008265505764847303, "alpha_spy_p1d": -3.6387554110062226e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0019447109338891488, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011181603574044185, "ret_p1w": -0.03120161425658652, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03120161425658652, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02695966030395902, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033868027130132594, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026664128735460757, "ret_p1m": -0.06343629849747667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06343629849747667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07839215236152375, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07590698971805543, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012470691220578756, "ret_p3m": 0.024589288468910064, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024589288468910064, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02503795148193788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0025401304938541536, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02204915797505591, "ret_p6m": -0.13906394211339823, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13906394211339823, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2564740294694551, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12221598002174228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "bench_c_p6m": -0.016847962091655955, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06343629849747667, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07839215236152375, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07590698971805543, "price_path": [0.2891, 0.2434, 0.2279, 0.2421, 0.2403, 0.2692, 0.2478, 0.2677, 0.2681, 0.2589, 0.2439, 0.2483, 0.2508, 0.2464, 0.2387, 0.2097, 0.2011, 0.1916, 0.2019, 0.2306, 0.2545, 0.2719, 0.2605, 0.2595, 0.2557, 0.2432, 0.2228, 0.2391, 0.2796, 0.2825, 0.1534, 0.1505, 0.131, 0.1309, 0.1391, 0.1369, 0.1251, 0.156, 0.1366, 0.1292, 0.1349, 0.1334, 0.1403, 0.1572, 0.1741, 0.1959, 0.1925, 0.1491, 0.1395, 0.1787, 0.1365, 0.0917, 0.0777, 0.1052, 0.0786, 0.0966, 0.0966, 0.1115, 0.1275, 0.1298, 0.0741, 0.0664, 0.0356, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0422, -0.0279, -0.0165, -0.0312, -0.0229, -0.0207, -0.0288, -0.0248, -0.0368, -0.034, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.024, -0.0273, -0.0311, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.0599, -0.0551, -0.0634, -0.0626, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.0762, -0.0668, -0.0851, -0.0903, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0985, -0.1181, -0.1369, -0.1102, -0.1146, -0.1158, -0.1255, -0.1408, -0.1374, -0.145, -0.1741, -0.1718, -0.1645, -0.1507, -0.1583, -0.1506, -0.1774, -0.2162, -0.2058, -0.2058, -0.2045, -0.1942, -0.2045, -0.1872, -0.2146, -0.1937, -0.1456, -0.126, -0.0057, 0.0031, 0.0094, 0.0193, 0.0246, 0.023, 0.0158, 0.0015, -0.0196, -0.0256, -0.0153, -0.0164, -0.0251, -0.0216, -0.0522, -0.0513, -0.0352, -0.0606, -0.0466, -0.0359, -0.0347, -0.0395, -0.0066, -0.0128, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0221, 0.021, 0.0269, 0.0543, 0.0643, 0.0658, 0.098, 0.1128, 0.1136, 0.0054, -0.0203, -0.0435, -0.0367, -0.041, -0.0449, -0.056, -0.0467, -0.0482, -0.0329, -0.0489, -0.0596, -0.092, -0.088, -0.0882, -0.0961, -0.1172, -0.0943, -0.0954, -0.1018, -0.1009, -0.0738, -0.0771, -0.0899, -0.0774, -0.0846, -0.0846, -0.0941, -0.0975, -0.1078, -0.1113, -0.113, -0.1391]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997396135648924145", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-06T20:02:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $NFLX – $SPOT pair-trade still working as both stocks break down on weekly chart", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Active 2-month short on NFLX and SPOT pair-trade; both breaking down on weekly chart with failed bounces toward key monthly support.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lucky Or Good: 2 Month $NFLX Short\n\nThe $NFLX – $SPOT pair-trade still working as both stocks break down on weekly chart: same distribution pattern, with failed bounces, driving them to key monthly support levels - long before Friday’s $NFLX news. 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/Sgen5wnLWw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012964066090087822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012964066090087822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0159774179556762, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020447220538678534, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007483154448590712, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030261217896423442, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030261217896423442, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031124156027018235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029143057539019024, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011181603574044185, "ret_p1w": 0.008386562475539483, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008386562475539483, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01262851642816698, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005720149601993407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026664128735460757, "ret_p1m": -0.0016073782639973722, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0016073782639973722, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016563232128044447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014078069484576128, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012470691220578756, "ret_p3m": -0.035345472755615615, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.035345472755615615, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0348968097425878, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057394630730671525, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02204915797505591, "ret_p6m": -0.12378785464855757, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12378785464855757, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24119794200461442, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10693989255690162, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "bench_c_p6m": -0.016847962091655955, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0016073782639973722, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.016563232128044447, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014078069484576128, "price_path": [0.2302, 0.2061, 0.2167, 0.2284, 0.2301, 0.2356, 0.2826, 0.284, 0.2903, 0.2561, 0.2381, 0.2451, 0.2519, 0.2728, 0.2195, 0.2242, 0.2358, 0.189, 0.1886, 0.1889, 0.1789, 0.177, 0.1973, 0.2091, 0.1942, 0.1729, 0.1609, 0.1733, 0.1803, 0.2042, 0.1804, 0.1774, 0.1283, 0.1493, 0.1417, 0.163, 0.1473, 0.145, 0.1253, 0.1, 0.0833, 0.0801, 0.0779, 0.0884, 0.1175, 0.1319, 0.1275, 0.1108, 0.1193, 0.112, 0.0807, 0.0295, 0.0197, 0.0221, 0.0229, 0.0355, 0.0355, 0.0463, 0.0114, 0.0078, -0.0265, -0.0199, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0303, 0.0648, 0.0463, 0.0445, 0.0084, 0.0117, -0.0107, -0.0149, 0.0171, 0.0113, 0.0123, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.021, 0.0154, 0.0076, 0.0146, 0.0146, 0.0046, 0.0368, -0.0016, -0.0048, -0.0326, -0.0576, -0.074, -0.0659, -0.0759, -0.1124, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1066, -0.1226, -0.1288, -0.1033, -0.1044, -0.106, -0.1112, -0.1196, -0.1258, -0.1114, -0.1719, -0.2303, -0.2789, -0.2616, -0.2752, -0.1683, -0.1488, -0.2211, -0.1992, -0.1992, -0.1914, -0.1656, -0.1521, -0.1428, -0.1826, -0.1864, -0.1906, -0.134, -0.1003, -0.1137, -0.0915, -0.0668, -0.0353, -0.0125, -0.048, -0.0735, -0.1013, -0.1097, -0.0983, -0.0845, -0.0823, -0.0972, -0.1569, -0.1709, -0.1397, -0.1529, -0.1732, -0.1645, -0.1745, -0.1701, -0.1528, -0.1788, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1535, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1498, -0.1684, -0.1192, -0.1066, -0.0719, -0.0715, -0.0624, -0.0622, -0.0872, -0.0864, -0.0986, -0.095, -0.1337, -0.2414, -0.225, -0.2198, -0.2286, -0.2343, -0.267, -0.257, -0.2532, -0.27, -0.2671, -0.2439, -0.2471, -0.2443, -0.2366, -0.2225, -0.2285, -0.2429, -0.144, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.0745, -0.104, -0.0972, -0.1305, -0.1129, -0.1238]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005999057408299024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T13:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver, gold, and related miners/ETFs as dollar hegemony, treasuries, and US leadership lose credibility driving precious metals demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL  \nhttps://t.co/42fR3tgCk4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04305597384991422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04305597384991422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044278591226407316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.044278591226407316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.066106189708237, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.066106189708237, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.058697248087256626, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.058697248087256626, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "ret_p1w": 0.06857053489928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06857053489928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06158377987620178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06158377987620178, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "ret_p1m": 0.5308784188904596, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5308784188904596, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5186370617699883, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5186370617699883, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "ret_p3m": -0.08031319890719824, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08031319890719824, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.005804364829032016, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.005804364829032016, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5308784188904596, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5186370617699883, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5186370617699883, "price_path": [-0.3834, -0.3691, -0.3613, -0.371, -0.354, -0.3518, -0.3414, -0.3149, -0.3215, -0.2994, -0.2872, -0.3188, -0.3082, -0.3652, -0.3639, -0.3595, -0.3623, -0.3853, -0.381, -0.3733, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3656, -0.3804, -0.3672, -0.3687, -0.3633, -0.3362, -0.3266, -0.2995, -0.3126, -0.3337, -0.3408, -0.3317, -0.3266, -0.3363, -0.3433, -0.324, -0.3234, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.2576, -0.2386, -0.2298, -0.2306, -0.2496, -0.2324, -0.2359, -0.2002, -0.1872, -0.1647, -0.1867, -0.1576, -0.1631, -0.1264, -0.14, -0.1167, -0.0944, -0.06, -0.0545, -0.0545, 0.031, -0.0431, 0.0, -0.0661, -0.0661, -0.0468, 0.0014, 0.0686, 0.0287, 0.0106, 0.0493, 0.1196, 0.1395, 0.2259, 0.2079, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.2379, 0.2172, 0.2631, 0.3469, 0.4256, 0.4727, 0.5309, 0.5304, 0.0937, 0.0502, 0.1157, 0.1479, -0.0332, 0.0175, 0.1023, 0.0642, 0.1099, -0.0181, 0.0107, 0.0107, -0.0378, 0.0161, 0.0294, 0.1108, 0.168, 0.1464, 0.1603, 0.1663, 0.2321, 0.1825, 0.0826, 0.0922, 0.0767, 0.1009, 0.1345, 0.1611, 0.1295, 0.1087, 0.0538, 0.0615, 0.0389, -0.0041, -0.0478, -0.1081, -0.0944, -0.0874, -0.0547, -0.119, -0.0803, -0.0792, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0462, -0.0462, -0.0419, -0.0441, -0.0219, -0.0086, 0.0014, -0.0101, 0.0444, 0.0415, 0.0328, 0.0674, 0.046, -0.0071, 0.0202, -0.0087, -0.0028, -0.0094, -0.0403, -0.06, -0.0336, -0.01, -0.0441, -0.0445, 0.0167, 0.038, 0.0584, 0.1308, 0.1387, 0.1503, 0.0947, 0.0009, 0.0139, -0.0302, -0.0036, 0.0068, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0107, -0.0215, -0.009, -0.0094, -0.019, -0.0144, -0.0402, -0.029, -0.1074, -0.1073, -0.1445, -0.1641, -0.1183, -0.1115, -0.0799, -0.081, -0.1213, -0.1373, -0.1373, -0.1373, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005999057408299024", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-30T13:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver, gold, and related miners/ETFs as dollar hegemony, treasuries, and US leadership lose credibility driving precious metals demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL  \nhttps://t.co/42fR3tgCk4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007270388685399753, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007270388685399753, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019496562450330712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0019496562450330712, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006467991163222386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006467991163222386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009409504577579941, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009409504577579941, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "ret_p1w": 0.035824356345290465, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035824356345290465, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028837601322212247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028837601322212247, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "ret_p1m": 0.23984050589603045, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23984050589603045, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2275991487755591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2275991487755591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "ret_p3m": 0.039634979513156976, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.039634979513156976, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1141438135913232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1141438135913232, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23984050589603045, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2275991487755591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2275991487755591, "price_path": [-0.1106, -0.1034, -0.0865, -0.0818, -0.0667, -0.0839, -0.0746, -0.0521, -0.0454, -0.0288, -0.0061, -0.0248, 0.0107, -0.0543, -0.0542, -0.0504, -0.0536, -0.0799, -0.0865, -0.09, -0.0721, -0.0771, -0.0755, -0.0917, -0.0812, -0.0823, -0.0767, -0.0514, -0.0477, -0.0323, -0.0402, -0.0575, -0.0683, -0.0615, -0.06, -0.0603, -0.0617, -0.0469, -0.0472, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0276, -0.0229, -0.0292, -0.0301, -0.0295, -0.0312, -0.0338, -0.0288, -0.0247, -0.0142, -0.0086, -0.0077, -0.0075, 0.001, -0.0008, 0.0003, 0.0234, 0.037, 0.0327, 0.0327, 0.0447, -0.0007, 0.0, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0015, 0.0247, 0.0358, 0.0259, 0.0316, 0.0391, 0.0585, 0.057, 0.0678, 0.0613, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0961, 0.1121, 0.1326, 0.1482, 0.165, 0.1936, 0.2398, 0.2432, 0.1155, 0.0708, 0.1389, 0.1381, 0.1078, 0.1418, 0.1708, 0.1592, 0.1723, 0.1316, 0.1598, 0.1598, 0.1236, 0.1489, 0.1521, 0.1748, 0.2065, 0.1898, 0.1868, 0.197, 0.2127, 0.2284, 0.1736, 0.1828, 0.1686, 0.1871, 0.1846, 0.198, 0.1939, 0.1704, 0.1553, 0.1543, 0.1514, 0.1149, 0.069, 0.0363, 0.0129, 0.0131, 0.0436, 0.0044, 0.0396, 0.0393, 0.0787, 0.0976, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.0721, 0.0825, 0.0893, 0.0978, 0.0959, 0.0914, 0.1158, 0.1042, 0.1033, 0.1179, 0.1083, 0.0769, 0.0912, 0.0806, 0.0861, 0.0777, 0.0577, 0.0464, 0.0621, 0.0609, 0.0397, 0.0486, 0.0804, 0.0822, 0.0874, 0.0896, 0.0853, 0.0792, 0.071, 0.0461, 0.049, 0.0316, 0.0464, 0.0454, 0.0374, 0.0374, 0.0379, 0.0241, 0.0348, 0.0457, 0.031, 0.0327, 0.0225, 0.031, -0.0066, -0.0041, -0.0203, -0.0609, -0.0315, -0.031, -0.0059, -0.0032, -0.0258, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0295, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005999057408299024", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-30T13:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver, gold, and related miners/ETFs as dollar hegemony, treasuries, and US leadership lose credibility driving precious metals demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL  \nhttps://t.co/42fR3tgCk4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011400252251479781, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011400252251479781, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012622869627972877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012622869627972877, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012321507829881728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012321507829881728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004912566208901348, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004912566208901348, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "ret_p1w": 0.061031820304733087, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.061031820304733087, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05404506528165487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05404506528165487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "ret_p1m": 0.2915708013816549, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2915708013816549, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27932944426118356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27932944426118356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "ret_p3m": -0.012091150007397466, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.012091150007397466, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06241768407076875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06241768407076875, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2915708013816549, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.27932944426118356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.27932944426118356, "price_path": [-0.1186, -0.1188, -0.1013, -0.12, -0.0951, -0.1356, -0.1337, -0.0926, -0.1031, -0.0686, -0.0346, -0.0999, -0.0813, -0.1678, -0.166, -0.1564, -0.1677, -0.2008, -0.1881, -0.1875, -0.1666, -0.1762, -0.1849, -0.2194, -0.1921, -0.191, -0.1706, -0.1314, -0.123, -0.094, -0.1191, -0.1293, -0.1431, -0.1354, -0.1267, -0.1658, -0.158, -0.1087, -0.1106, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0485, -0.0532, -0.067, -0.0733, -0.0695, -0.0736, -0.095, -0.0632, -0.0475, -0.0138, -0.0207, -0.03, -0.0302, -0.0188, -0.0206, 0.0037, 0.0385, 0.0395, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0512, -0.0114, 0.0, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0128, 0.0185, 0.061, 0.0486, 0.0541, 0.0659, 0.1023, 0.1109, 0.1154, 0.1183, 0.1198, 0.1198, 0.1836, 0.1664, 0.2111, 0.2324, 0.2377, 0.2585, 0.2916, 0.2434, 0.0848, 0.0846, 0.131, 0.1366, 0.0645, 0.1215, 0.1848, 0.1862, 0.2203, 0.1317, 0.1969, 0.1969, 0.1544, 0.181, 0.2004, 0.2236, 0.27, 0.2748, 0.2801, 0.3115, 0.3339, 0.3282, 0.2119, 0.2193, 0.1725, 0.1674, 0.1796, 0.1904, 0.1672, 0.1435, 0.0739, 0.0868, 0.082, 0.0146, -0.0454, -0.0774, -0.0398, -0.0385, -0.006, -0.0512, -0.0121, -0.0121, 0.0568, 0.1056, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.0804, 0.0936, 0.1306, 0.1325, 0.1445, 0.1375, 0.1602, 0.1259, 0.1246, 0.1555, 0.1415, 0.0708, 0.088, 0.0616, 0.0864, 0.0662, 0.0196, -0.0071, 0.0167, 0.0031, -0.0137, -0.0119, 0.0645, 0.0562, 0.0892, 0.1239, 0.1186, 0.1081, 0.0819, 0.0059, 0.0035, -0.0352, -0.0055, -0.0098, -0.021, -0.021, 0.0191, -0.0161, 0.0039, 0.0305, -0.0018, 0.0139, -0.0212, -0.0051, -0.0921, -0.0941, -0.1065, -0.15, -0.105, -0.0784, -0.0181, 0.0046, -0.0286, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0499, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005999057408299024", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-30T13:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "SIL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver, gold, and related miners/ETFs as dollar hegemony, treasuries, and US leadership lose credibility driving precious metals demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"the silver stampede represents a growing chorus of consensus in the lack of faith in the US dollar (hegemony), US collateral (treasuries), US leadership (military) and economic growth (inelastic supply meets price inelastic demand).\"\n\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $SIL  \nhttps://t.co/42fR3tgCk4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01365930145939942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01365930145939942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014881918835892516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014881918835892516, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012226173764930959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023272195573024068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023272195573024068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015863253952043688, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015863253952043688, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074089416209803804, "ret_p1w": 0.0468950345767436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0468950345767436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03990827955366538, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03990827955366538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006986755023078217, "ret_p1m": 0.3392584935341083, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3392584935341083, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32701713641363694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32701713641363694, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012241357120471363, "ret_p3m": -0.015553757429871085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.015553757429871085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.058955076648295135, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058955076648295135, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07450883407816622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3392584935341083, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.32701713641363694, "alpha_c_stated": 0.32701713641363694, "price_path": [-0.1756, -0.1791, -0.1634, -0.1776, -0.1444, -0.1798, -0.1808, -0.1301, -0.1306, -0.0964, -0.0761, -0.1471, -0.1276, -0.2224, -0.2137, -0.2121, -0.2175, -0.2454, -0.2326, -0.2309, -0.2189, -0.2299, -0.2461, -0.2803, -0.2771, -0.2698, -0.25, -0.2165, -0.215, -0.1851, -0.1984, -0.2098, -0.2284, -0.222, -0.2084, -0.2511, -0.248, -0.2057, -0.1975, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1015, -0.0967, -0.1078, -0.1154, -0.1184, -0.1199, -0.1353, -0.0921, -0.0772, -0.0354, -0.0457, -0.0485, -0.0537, -0.0443, -0.0517, -0.0197, 0.0189, 0.0231, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0414, -0.0137, 0.0, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0292, 0.0057, 0.0469, 0.026, 0.0233, 0.0498, 0.0993, 0.1043, 0.1091, 0.1274, 0.1502, 0.1502, 0.2091, 0.1961, 0.2707, 0.3046, 0.3099, 0.3183, 0.3393, 0.2941, 0.1028, 0.0913, 0.162, 0.1641, 0.0753, 0.1389, 0.2051, 0.1989, 0.2301, 0.1304, 0.1886, 0.1886, 0.1407, 0.1754, 0.2071, 0.2601, 0.2884, 0.3063, 0.3246, 0.3638, 0.3803, 0.3681, 0.2462, 0.2568, 0.1974, 0.1838, 0.1981, 0.2291, 0.1999, 0.1669, 0.1028, 0.113, 0.1017, 0.0276, -0.0311, -0.0739, -0.0325, -0.0241, -0.0015, -0.0509, -0.0156, -0.0229, 0.0534, 0.0906, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0754, 0.0857, 0.1214, 0.1187, 0.1304, 0.1375, 0.167, 0.1413, 0.1365, 0.1809, 0.163, 0.1015, 0.1359, 0.1015, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0434, 0.0109, 0.0359, 0.037, 0.0163, 0.0102, 0.1072, 0.1022, 0.1372, 0.1923, 0.2011, 0.2001, 0.1587, 0.0712, 0.0596, 0.0115, 0.0476, 0.0453, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0681, 0.0379, 0.064, 0.0961, 0.0699, 0.0766, 0.0232, 0.0352, -0.0729, -0.0693, -0.0903, -0.1316, -0.0751, -0.0448, 0.0168, 0.0435, 0.0051, -0.0208, -0.0208, -0.0208, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "WVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["WVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1309244053542884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1309244053542884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13178808879025294, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14072684718682327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00980244183253487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05068042941212225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05068042941212225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05731257396890743, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06521751170020218, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014537082288079928, "ret_p1w": -0.22993898363824206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22993898363824206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22383391482737724, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.25734621494375365, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027407231305511592, "ret_p1m": -0.27592676246491743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27592676246491743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28848477007895446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34514440683969483, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0692176443747774, "ret_p3m": -0.3843265971673321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3843265971673321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3716286667099763, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4069342385675684, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0226076414002363, "ret_p6m": -0.7297043466337265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7297043466337265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8402316800611227, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7218853768592304, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.007818969774496143, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22993898363824206, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22383391482737724, "alpha_c_stated": -0.25734621494375365, "price_path": [-0.664, -0.6729, -0.6729, -0.68, -0.6809, -0.6734, -0.6767, -0.6757, -0.6795, -0.6842, -0.6875, -0.6809, -0.6654, -0.6565, -0.6701, -0.6706, -0.6645, -0.6612, -0.6626, -0.6551, -0.6157, -0.6434, -0.6344, -0.6298, -0.6204, -0.6307, -0.6335, -0.6335, -0.6316, -0.6631, -0.6692, -0.6654, -0.6424, -0.6438, -0.6124, -0.6105, -0.5758, -0.61, -0.6241, -0.6227, -0.6302, -0.6312, -0.6692, -0.6593, -0.6734, -0.687, -0.6678, -0.6645, -0.6664, -0.6771, -0.6828, -0.6692, -0.6499, -0.6513, -0.6401, -0.6401, -0.6359, -0.6523, -0.672, -0.6649, -0.6424, -0.6485, -0.1309, 0.0, -0.0507, -0.214, -0.2229, -0.244, -0.2299, -0.2332, -0.2708, -0.2501, -0.1567, -0.1797, -0.1436, -0.1436, -0.1661, -0.1619, -0.1952, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2515, -0.2961, -0.2891, -0.2759, -0.3041, -0.3505, -0.3473, -0.3327, -0.3191, -0.3397, -0.3595, -0.3595, -0.3515, -0.3458, -0.3515, -0.3679, -0.3782, -0.3731, -0.4026, -0.3895, -0.3928, -0.3698, -0.3571, -0.3745, -0.4017, -0.3688, -0.3585, -0.3623, -0.3773, -0.3993, -0.405, -0.405, -0.4092, -0.3857, -0.3824, -0.367, -0.3665, -0.3421, -0.3177, -0.2792, -0.3463, -0.3501, -0.3693, -0.3566, -0.3806, -0.3843, -0.3763, -0.3548, -0.3393, -0.3735, -0.389, -0.4176, -0.4153, -0.4416, -0.4313, -0.4481, -0.4547, -0.4542, -0.4228, -0.7091, -0.7011, -0.6893, -0.6598, -0.6795, -0.6584, -0.6584, -0.6673, -0.6668, -0.6668, -0.664, -0.6631, -0.6593, -0.6532, -0.6438, -0.6565, -0.6485, -0.6443, -0.6556, -0.6537, -0.657, -0.6631, -0.6743, -0.6471, -0.6692, -0.6687, -0.6565, -0.6495, -0.6631, -0.6579, -0.6603, -0.6631, -0.6682, -0.6814, -0.672, -0.6762, -0.6823, -0.6997, -0.7119, -0.7095, -0.6987, -0.7006, -0.7006, -0.7006, -0.7025, -0.6964, -0.6912, -0.7062, -0.733, -0.7297]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LLY nice short with $XLV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015648322147483684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015648322147483684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014784638711519138, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014784638711519138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011626753485678432, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011626753485678432, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004994608928893252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004994608928893252, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": 0.07337468900166222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07337468900166222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07947975781252703, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07947975781252703, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": 0.12814855518385437, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12814855518385437, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11559054756981735, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11559054756981735, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.009939663688144806, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009939663688144806, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.022637594145500595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022637594145500595, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": 0.10203488917663117, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10203488917663117, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.008492444250765008, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.008492444250765008, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07337468900166222, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07947975781252703, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07947975781252703, "price_path": [-0.2312, -0.2321, -0.2394, -0.2226, -0.2272, -0.2244, -0.2355, -0.2325, -0.2406, -0.2458, -0.2735, -0.2634, -0.2614, -0.2243, -0.1609, -0.1665, -0.1462, -0.1409, -0.1424, -0.1402, -0.1304, -0.1527, -0.167, -0.1742, -0.1597, -0.167, -0.1838, -0.1776, -0.1872, -0.1741, -0.1653, -0.1608, -0.1599, -0.1663, -0.173, -0.1415, -0.1228, -0.0886, -0.0781, -0.0588, -0.047, -0.0603, -0.0173, 0.005, 0.0347, 0.0399, 0.0438, 0.0402, 0.0487, 0.0686, 0.0622, 0.0789, 0.0895, 0.13, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.0949, 0.077, 0.0651, 0.0523, 0.0329, 0.0286, 0.0156, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0277, 0.0461, 0.0814, 0.0734, 0.0606, 0.076, 0.0908, 0.096, 0.091, 0.0965, 0.0965, 0.0973, 0.0983, 0.0993, 0.0941, 0.0941, 0.0999, 0.0604, 0.0833, 0.1281, 0.1048, 0.0828, 0.1006, 0.0967, 0.0927, 0.0517, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.0601, 0.098, 0.1071, 0.0836, 0.082, 0.0583, 0.0423, 0.0427, 0.0559, 0.063, 0.0216, 0.1272, 0.0393, 0.0773, 0.0636, 0.0436, 0.0336, 0.0571, 0.0606, 0.0606, 0.0566, 0.0408, 0.0435, 0.0295, 0.0795, 0.0628, 0.0492, 0.0423, 0.0728, 0.0381, 0.0277, 0.0234, 0.0027, 0.0099, 0.0284, 0.0212, 0.0196, -0.0034, 0.0046, 0.0087, -0.0512, -0.0638, -0.0643, -0.0753, -0.0714, -0.0791, -0.0655, -0.0852, -0.1044, -0.0958, -0.062, -0.0266, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0546, -0.0505, -0.0278, -0.0259, -0.0419, -0.052, -0.0592, -0.077, -0.0781, -0.0546, -0.0619, -0.0791, -0.0603, -0.0642, -0.0985, -0.1145, -0.1087, -0.1319, -0.0469, -0.0176, -0.0129, 0.0085, 0.0066, -0.0057, -0.0328, -0.0139, 0.0095, 0.0359, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0094, 0.0434, 0.0408, 0.0641, 0.088, 0.088, 0.0877, 0.1063, 0.1511, 0.1288, 0.1055, 0.0871, 0.102]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "XLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LLY nice short with $XLV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00980244183253487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00980244183253487, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008938758396570323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008938758396570323, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014537082288079928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014537082288079928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007904937731294748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007904937731294748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": 0.027407231305511592, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027407231305511592, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0335123001163764, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0335123001163764, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": 0.0692176443747774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0692176443747774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05665963676074037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05665963676074037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.0226076414002363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0226076414002363, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03530557185759209, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03530557185759209, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": -0.007818969774496143, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.007818969774496143, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11834630320189232, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11834630320189232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027407231305511592, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0335123001163764, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0335123001163764, "price_path": [-0.0725, -0.0832, -0.091, -0.091, -0.0893, -0.0875, -0.0887, -0.0889, -0.0868, -0.0905, -0.1056, -0.0964, -0.0938, -0.072, -0.0433, -0.0451, -0.0343, -0.0389, -0.0382, -0.0363, -0.0385, -0.0523, -0.0534, -0.0508, -0.0493, -0.0509, -0.0446, -0.0345, -0.0322, -0.0267, -0.0261, -0.0262, -0.0239, -0.0301, -0.0399, -0.0377, -0.0381, -0.0367, -0.0324, -0.0287, -0.0268, -0.0255, -0.0179, 0.0048, 0.0191, 0.0185, 0.0125, 0.0116, 0.0175, 0.0158, 0.0097, 0.031, 0.0353, 0.0587, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0513, 0.0355, 0.0293, 0.0341, 0.0263, 0.022, 0.0098, 0.0, 0.0145, 0.0241, 0.0273, 0.0409, 0.0274, 0.0255, 0.0263, 0.0332, 0.04, 0.0379, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.045, 0.0434, 0.0426, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0414, 0.0383, 0.0587, 0.0692, 0.0589, 0.0535, 0.0539, 0.0497, 0.0572, 0.0511, 0.043, 0.043, 0.0407, 0.0598, 0.06, 0.0546, 0.0588, 0.041, 0.0334, 0.0301, 0.0363, 0.0426, 0.032, 0.0449, 0.0369, 0.0562, 0.0469, 0.0402, 0.0464, 0.0447, 0.0559, 0.0559, 0.0539, 0.0559, 0.0531, 0.0502, 0.0617, 0.0572, 0.057, 0.0542, 0.0728, 0.0617, 0.0497, 0.0517, 0.0307, 0.0226, 0.0331, 0.0256, 0.0236, 0.0056, 0.0031, 0.0113, 0.0021, -0.0146, -0.0182, -0.0267, -0.0265, -0.0264, -0.0166, -0.02, -0.0367, -0.0329, -0.0141, -0.0066, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0164, -0.0144, 0.0064, 0.0042, -0.0094, -0.005, 0.0008, -0.0063, -0.0141, 0.0006, -0.0087, -0.0188, -0.0157, -0.0166, -0.0305, -0.0353, -0.0328, -0.0395, -0.0183, -0.0239, -0.0268, -0.0229, -0.0223, -0.0268, -0.0351, -0.0381, -0.0193, -0.0135, -0.014, -0.0243, -0.0201, -0.0094, -0.0106, -0.0038, 0.0079, 0.0079, -0.0014, 0.0005, 0.0146, 0.0051, -0.0059, -0.0156, -0.0078]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "UPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01592536683731205, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01592536683731205, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015061683401347503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015061683401347503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08525545066010398, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08525545066010398, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0786233061033188, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0786233061033188, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": -0.06136729566230559, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06136729566230559, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05526222685144078, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05526222685144078, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": 0.17696331228860473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17696331228860473, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1644053046745677, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1644053046745677, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.22837730604850548, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22837730604850548, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24107523650586127, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24107523650586127, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": 0.47899517810510295, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47899517810510295, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36846784467770677, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36846784467770677, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06136729566230559, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05526222685144078, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05526222685144078, "price_path": [-0.4732, -0.4684, -0.4375, -0.4449, -0.4345, -0.4311, -0.3808, -0.3294, -0.2477, -0.2518, -0.3219, -0.3261, -0.3295, -0.3262, -0.2183, -0.0917, -0.0697, 0.0008, 0.0262, 0.1148, 0.1915, 0.1262, 0.2424, 0.2974, 0.3137, 0.2287, 0.1462, 0.1369, 0.0792, -0.0205, -0.0154, 0.0118, 0.0907, 0.0677, 0.0991, 0.0527, 0.1017, -0.0233, -0.0383, -0.0338, -0.1038, -0.0501, -0.0568, -0.068, -0.1146, -0.1565, -0.1571, -0.223, -0.2007, -0.2036, -0.304, -0.2948, -0.2449, -0.2379, -0.2378, -0.2378, -0.2284, -0.2777, -0.219, -0.1565, -0.0026, 0.0148, 0.0159, 0.0, 0.0853, 0.1635, 0.053, -0.0691, -0.0614, -0.1507, -0.0949, 0.0412, 0.1873, 0.1761, 0.0715, 0.0715, -0.0122, -0.0188, 0.0253, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.1459, 0.2482, 0.3384, 0.177, 0.2433, 0.3409, 0.3508, 0.2729, 0.3072, 0.39, 0.5894, 0.5894, 0.5437, 0.4209, 0.5976, 0.5592, 0.4385, 0.5286, 0.6643, 0.6761, 0.5268, 0.4353, 0.5892, 0.4209, 0.2805, 0.3974, 0.402, 0.3217, 0.3306, 0.1288, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.1399, 0.1591, 0.1862, 0.101, 0.1518, 0.1782, 0.1307, 0.1774, 0.0872, 0.1933, 0.2724, 0.44, 0.2886, 0.2284, 0.2323, 0.2017, 0.211, 0.1956, 0.1853, 0.2234, 0.3138, 0.2457, 0.2917, 0.2346, 0.2139, 0.1941, 0.3188, 0.2062, 0.08, 0.0135, 0.1377, 0.1531, 0.2716, 0.2716, 0.3016, 0.2709, 0.3243, 0.2577, 0.3029, 0.3587, 0.216, 0.1932, 0.2485, 0.1742, 0.112, 0.0984, 0.1623, 0.0811, 0.0489, 0.0599, -0.0132, -0.041, 0.0146, -0.0268, -0.0605, -0.1231, -0.0297, -0.1028, 0.0303, 0.1333, 0.0016, 0.027, 0.1396, 0.1487, 0.1921, 0.2095, 0.2298, 0.3211, 0.4533, 0.4533, 0.6433, 0.7792, 0.8272, 0.557, 0.4504, 0.6223, 0.479]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB with $TE 😉", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03499904400531362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03499904400531362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035862727441278164, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04237222512968142, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0073731811243678, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07654875779949588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07654875779949588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0699166132427107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05827915365527869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01826960414421719, "ret_p1w": 0.03855514432949492, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03855514432949492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04466021314035973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02028554018527773, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01826960414421719, "ret_p1m": 0.5736477887107523, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5736477887107523, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5610897810967153, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5328381724083049, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04080961630244739, "ret_p3m": 0.312184170127358, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.312184170127358, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3248821005847138, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19955173297927642, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11263243714808158, "ret_p6m": 1.1467339751658425, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1467339751658425, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0362066417384463, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.003990482964702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14274349220114058, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03855514432949492, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04466021314035973, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02028554018527773, "price_path": [-0.0936, -0.0017, 0.0114, -0.1158, -0.1001, -0.117, -0.1056, -0.0678, -0.0097, -0.0887, -0.1273, -0.1342, -0.1202, -0.1033, -0.1022, -0.018, 0.0511, 0.0949, 0.1512, 0.2223, 0.2431, 0.2027, 0.2244, 0.2733, 0.2965, 0.254, 0.2403, 0.2605, 0.224, 0.1335, 0.1898, 0.2083, 0.2281, 0.1931, 0.2383, 0.1402, 0.1787, 0.148, 0.0588, 0.056, -0.0715, -0.0335, -0.0286, -0.041, -0.0648, -0.1531, -0.1477, -0.1894, -0.1993, -0.1836, -0.2611, -0.2457, -0.2055, -0.2027, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.2113, -0.2444, -0.2158, -0.163, -0.076, -0.0819, -0.035, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.1509, 0.0371, 0.0386, 0.0099, 0.1215, 0.3199, 0.4514, 0.4445, 0.4445, 0.4445, 0.3223, 0.3124, 0.3185, 0.3056, 0.3056, 0.4222, 0.4625, 0.6101, 0.5736, 0.5549, 0.5881, 0.6451, 0.6204, 0.7181, 0.6987, 0.8024, 0.8024, 0.6687, 0.6436, 0.6466, 0.6639, 0.5063, 0.6283, 0.6577, 0.6036, 0.4986, 0.3878, 0.5211, 0.3683, 0.2413, 0.3535, 0.4194, 0.3481, 0.303, 0.2354, 0.2622, 0.2622, 0.3081, 0.3929, 0.4333, 0.3262, 0.3141, 0.3096, 0.3139, 0.3597, 0.2933, 0.3283, 0.3126, 0.3459, 0.3101, 0.3122, 0.3378, 0.2901, 0.3468, 0.2796, 0.2804, 0.3346, 0.4709, 0.3004, 0.3462, 0.2583, 0.2727, 0.2366, 0.364, 0.2341, 0.1404, 0.0739, 0.2019, 0.2263, 0.2676, 0.2676, 0.2665, 0.2413, 0.2929, 0.2491, 0.2736, 0.3217, 0.3517, 0.3775, 0.5521, 0.5871, 0.6743, 0.6216, 0.6852, 0.5834, 0.4913, 0.5401, 0.4709, 0.4415, 0.5443, 0.475, 0.5031, 0.4741, 0.5843, 0.4707, 0.974, 1.1963, 1.2003, 1.3236, 1.4808, 1.3352, 1.4548, 1.3827, 1.5132, 1.3479, 1.5409, 1.5409, 1.6801, 1.8117, 1.7705, 1.6854, 1.2907, 1.3081, 1.1467]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Chase short in $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010596661517245143, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010596661517245143, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011460344953209689, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00947975004597057, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011169114712745731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00987137368128388, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00987137368128388, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032392291244986993, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004028996476727942, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0058423772045559375, "ret_p1w": -0.03314611668402945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03314611668402945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027041047873164636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035380005598904196, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0022338889148747487, "ret_p1m": 0.015453661470023361, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015453661470023361, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0028956538559863354, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006182570562863532, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009271090907159829, "ret_p3m": -0.058534082071435956, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.058534082071435956, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04583615161408017, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07099447311183993, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012460391040403973, "ret_p6m": 0.13297187799051136, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13297187799051136, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.022444544563115176, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16380213113094244, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030830253140431085, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03314611668402945, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.027041047873164636, "alpha_c_stated": 0.035380005598904196, "price_path": [-0.2424, -0.2411, -0.207, -0.2084, -0.2136, -0.2057, -0.1972, -0.2041, -0.2068, -0.2211, -0.2253, -0.223, -0.2308, -0.2338, -0.2281, -0.2257, -0.2267, -0.2107, -0.2254, -0.229, -0.2388, -0.2544, -0.2305, -0.2264, -0.2088, -0.2075, -0.2017, -0.1914, -0.2106, -0.2067, -0.2024, -0.1808, -0.1513, -0.157, -0.1346, -0.1129, -0.1138, -0.1058, -0.1253, -0.1039, -0.1025, -0.1212, -0.0857, -0.0819, -0.0964, -0.122, -0.1288, -0.1017, -0.104, -0.0771, -0.0877, -0.0556, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0091, -0.0076, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.001, 0.0126, -0.0106, 0.0, 0.0099, -0.0147, -0.0246, -0.0279, -0.0331, -0.0642, -0.0461, -0.0313, -0.023, -0.0086, -0.0094, -0.0094, -0.0113, -0.0111, -0.0102, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0061, -0.0017, -0.0086, 0.0155, 0.0264, 0.0362, 0.0466, 0.0596, 0.0592, 0.0495, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.0155, 0.0356, 0.0424, 0.0342, 0.051, 0.0551, 0.0597, 0.0668, 0.066, 0.0839, 0.0714, 0.0503, 0.0447, 0.0182, 0.0228, 0.0047, -0.0193, -0.0255, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0475, -0.0434, -0.0449, -0.0066, -0.0176, -0.0195, -0.0132, -0.0306, -0.0168, -0.0333, -0.0426, -0.044, -0.0511, -0.0585, -0.0331, -0.031, -0.0257, -0.042, -0.046, -0.0357, -0.0187, -0.0289, -0.0307, -0.05, -0.0467, -0.0834, -0.0818, -0.1134, -0.1342, -0.1368, -0.0925, -0.0614, -0.0666, -0.0666, -0.0532, -0.036, 0.0015, 0.0052, 0.0012, 0.0141, 0.0507, 0.064, 0.0605, 0.0783, 0.0649, 0.0487, 0.0709, 0.0695, 0.0869, 0.1057, 0.1039, 0.1044, 0.2144, 0.2172, 0.2095, 0.2259, 0.2562, 0.2561, 0.2649, 0.2265, 0.2225, 0.2707, 0.2658, 0.2522, 0.2527, 0.2235, 0.2274, 0.2235, 0.2087, 0.2087, 0.2273, 0.2271, 0.2312, 0.2004, 0.1878, 0.142, 0.133]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long in $ORCL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004468964553699162, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004468964553699162, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005332647989663708, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005332647989663708, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006680819600545229, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006680819600545229, "alpha_spy_p1d": 4.8675043760049164e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 4.8675043760049164e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "ret_p1w": -0.14842236230083095, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14842236230083095, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14231729348996613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14231729348996613, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": -0.12950842360142756, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12950842360142756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14206643121546458, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14206643121546458, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": -0.3077039238388922, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3077039238388922, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29500599338153644, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29500599338153644, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "ret_p6m": 0.04611311660674433, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04611311660674433, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06441421682065185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06441421682065185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14842236230083095, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14231729348996613, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14231729348996613, "price_path": [0.3873, 0.3166, 0.3615, 0.3818, 0.3582, 0.3366, 0.3909, 0.4787, 0.4142, 0.39, 0.3128, 0.2773, 0.2742, 0.2673, 0.3023, 0.3013, 0.2894, 0.314, 0.2809, 0.3006, 0.3405, 0.3224, 0.3904, 0.3497, 0.3706, 0.4129, 0.315, 0.2512, 0.242, 0.2308, 0.2643, 0.279, 0.2703, 0.2677, 0.2427, 0.1596, 0.1854, 0.164, 0.1203, 0.1299, 0.1005, 0.08, 0.0871, 0.066, 0.0246, -0.0179, 0.006, -0.0075, -0.0047, 0.0181, -0.0489, -0.1028, -0.0959, -0.1106, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0884, -0.0929, -0.0922, -0.0623, -0.0325, -0.0178, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0067, -0.1024, -0.1425, -0.1653, -0.1484, -0.1944, -0.1873, -0.1334, -0.1045, -0.1182, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1063, -0.118, -0.1098, -0.1202, -0.1202, -0.1166, -0.1306, -0.1254, -0.1295, -0.1439, -0.1015, -0.0736, -0.0844, -0.1237, -0.1407, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1857, -0.213, -0.1936, -0.1982, -0.1743, -0.2084, -0.2179, -0.2351, -0.2551, -0.2756, -0.3, -0.3362, -0.3823, -0.3536, -0.2913, -0.2763, -0.2887, -0.2918, -0.2752, -0.2752, -0.3031, -0.2932, -0.2915, -0.3298, -0.3604, -0.3386, -0.3307, -0.3197, -0.3419, -0.3245, -0.3256, -0.3104, -0.2994, -0.3077, -0.314, -0.3238, -0.2617, -0.2796, -0.298, -0.2941, -0.2999, -0.308, -0.2961, -0.3225, -0.3015, -0.3343, -0.3391, -0.3536, -0.3679, -0.3718, -0.3342, -0.3427, -0.3375, -0.3375, -0.3413, -0.352, -0.3498, -0.3739, -0.3728, -0.2932, -0.2597, -0.2288, -0.19, -0.2049, -0.1935, -0.1772, -0.1484, -0.1994, -0.213, -0.2145, -0.2462, -0.2559, -0.267, -0.2196, -0.1812, -0.1582, -0.1188, -0.1162, -0.11, -0.1196, -0.1515, -0.1381, -0.1116, -0.1237, -0.1525, -0.1758, -0.1454, -0.1381, -0.1276, -0.1276, -0.1232, -0.1327, -0.0748, 0.0254, 0.127, 0.1108, 0.0461]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued swing shorts in $NFLX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0008272343274950966, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008272343274950966, "alpha_spy_m1d": 3.64491084694496e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0019441457987696698, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011169114712745731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04136076970186031, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04136076970186031, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04799291425864549, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04720314690641625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0058423772045559375, "ret_p1w": -0.022128005479342683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022128005479342683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016022936668477872, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02436189439421743, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0022338889148747487, "ret_p1m": -0.06183430652621302, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06183430652621302, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07439231414025005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07110539743337285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009271090907159829, "ret_p3m": 0.02388581925821387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02388581925821387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03658374971556966, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.011425428217809896, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012460391040403973, "ret_p6m": -0.1570675481874252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1570675481874252, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26759488161482137, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1262372950469941, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030830253140431085, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022128005479342683, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.016022936668477872, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02436189439421743, "price_path": [0.2444, 0.2289, 0.2432, 0.2414, 0.2703, 0.2489, 0.2687, 0.2691, 0.2599, 0.2449, 0.2493, 0.2518, 0.2475, 0.2397, 0.2107, 0.2021, 0.1926, 0.2029, 0.2316, 0.2556, 0.273, 0.2616, 0.2605, 0.2567, 0.2442, 0.2239, 0.2402, 0.2807, 0.2836, 0.1543, 0.1515, 0.1319, 0.1318, 0.14, 0.1378, 0.126, 0.1569, 0.1375, 0.1301, 0.1358, 0.1343, 0.1412, 0.1582, 0.1751, 0.1969, 0.1935, 0.15, 0.1404, 0.1797, 0.1374, 0.0926, 0.0786, 0.1061, 0.0795, 0.0975, 0.0975, 0.1124, 0.1284, 0.1307, 0.075, 0.0673, 0.0365, 0.0008, 0.0, -0.0414, -0.0271, -0.0157, -0.0304, -0.0221, -0.0199, -0.028, -0.024, -0.036, -0.0332, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0232, -0.0265, -0.0303, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0591, -0.0543, -0.0627, -0.0618, -0.0639, -0.075, -0.0755, -0.0661, -0.0844, -0.0895, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.0977, -0.1174, -0.1362, -0.1095, -0.1138, -0.1151, -0.1248, -0.1401, -0.1367, -0.1442, -0.1734, -0.1711, -0.1638, -0.15, -0.1576, -0.1499, -0.1767, -0.2156, -0.2051, -0.2051, -0.2038, -0.1936, -0.2038, -0.1865, -0.2139, -0.1931, -0.1449, -0.1253, -0.0049, 0.0039, 0.0102, 0.0202, 0.0254, 0.0239, 0.0166, 0.0024, -0.0188, -0.0248, -0.0145, -0.0156, -0.0243, -0.0208, -0.0514, -0.0506, -0.0344, -0.0599, -0.0458, -0.0351, -0.0339, -0.0387, -0.0058, -0.012, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.023, 0.0218, 0.0277, 0.0552, 0.0651, 0.0667, 0.099, 0.1137, 0.1146, 0.0062, -0.0194, -0.0427, -0.0359, -0.0402, -0.0442, -0.0552, -0.0459, -0.0475, -0.0321, -0.0481, -0.0588, -0.0912, -0.0873, -0.0875, -0.0953, -0.1164, -0.0936, -0.0946, -0.101, -0.1002, -0.073, -0.0763, -0.0891, -0.0766, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.0934, -0.0968, -0.107, -0.1105, -0.1123, -0.1384, -0.1571]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998147564189921712", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued swing shorts in $NFLX & $SPOT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Multiple calls: long WVE 14→20, short LLY/XLV, long ASTS, long RKLB, short GOOGL, long ORCL, swing short NFLX and SPOT.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029372374084128516, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029372374084128516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030236057520093063, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028255462612853943, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011169114712745731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03347633558851615, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03347633558851615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02684419103173097, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02763395838396021, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0058423772045559375, "ret_p1w": -0.017976115273197757, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017976115273197757, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011871046462332946, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020210004188072506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0022338889148747487, "ret_p1m": -0.03400204923780836, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03400204923780836, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04656005685184539, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04327314014496819, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009271090907159829, "ret_p3m": -0.0415147136164804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0415147136164804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028816783159124615, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.053975104656884376, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012460391040403973, "ret_p6m": -0.17319853023753995, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17319853023753995, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28372586366493613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14236827709710886, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030830253140431085, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017976115273197757, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011871046462332946, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020210004188072506, "price_path": [0.1707, 0.181, 0.1924, 0.194, 0.1993, 0.245, 0.2463, 0.2524, 0.2192, 0.2018, 0.2085, 0.2151, 0.2354, 0.1837, 0.1883, 0.1995, 0.154, 0.1537, 0.1539, 0.1443, 0.1424, 0.1622, 0.1736, 0.1591, 0.1384, 0.1268, 0.1388, 0.1456, 0.1688, 0.1458, 0.1428, 0.0952, 0.1155, 0.1081, 0.1289, 0.1136, 0.1113, 0.0923, 0.0677, 0.0514, 0.0484, 0.0462, 0.0564, 0.0846, 0.0987, 0.0944, 0.0781, 0.0864, 0.0793, 0.0489, -0.0007, -0.0103, -0.008, -0.0071, 0.0051, 0.0051, 0.0156, -0.0183, -0.0218, -0.0551, -0.0487, -0.042, -0.0294, 0.0, 0.0335, 0.0156, 0.0138, -0.0212, -0.018, -0.0398, -0.0438, -0.0127, -0.0184, -0.0174, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.009, -0.0144, -0.022, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0249, 0.0063, -0.0309, -0.034, -0.061, -0.0853, -0.1012, -0.0933, -0.103, -0.1384, -0.1444, -0.1444, -0.1329, -0.1484, -0.1544, -0.1297, -0.1307, -0.1322, -0.1373, -0.1454, -0.1515, -0.1375, -0.1962, -0.2529, -0.3, -0.2833, -0.2965, -0.1927, -0.1738, -0.244, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2151, -0.1901, -0.177, -0.168, -0.2066, -0.2103, -0.2143, -0.1594, -0.1267, -0.1397, -0.1182, -0.0943, -0.0637, -0.0415, -0.076, -0.1008, -0.1277, -0.1358, -0.1248, -0.1114, -0.1093, -0.1237, -0.1817, -0.1952, -0.165, -0.1778, -0.1975, -0.1891, -0.1987, -0.1945, -0.1777, -0.2029, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1784, -0.1806, -0.1806, -0.1748, -0.1928, -0.1451, -0.1328, -0.0992, -0.0987, -0.09, -0.0897, -0.114, -0.1133, -0.125, -0.1215, -0.1592, -0.2637, -0.2478, -0.2427, -0.2513, -0.2568, -0.2885, -0.2788, -0.2751, -0.2914, -0.2886, -0.2661, -0.2693, -0.2665, -0.259, -0.2453, -0.2511, -0.2651, -0.1691, -0.1184, -0.1184, -0.1017, -0.1303, -0.1237, -0.156, -0.1389, -0.1495, -0.1732]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992224132361269385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T13:30:21+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And I think it's just starting.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish HYG: three consecutive weeks of outflows and tightening credit liquidity seen as just the beginning.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yieldsearcher $HYG HYOAS\n\nTXS for pointing out the 3 consecutive weeks of outflows. \n\nAgree, credit market tightens liquidity as equities fall.\n\nAnd I think it’s just starting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "HYG is an extremely liquidity-sensitive product. When you are a $1.5t asset class sandwiched between a $50t Treasury &amp; IG corp credit market and a $60T equity market, flows from major asset allocators will have a much outsized impact. The asset class is simply too small for large https://t.co/XhYQTF7tac", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yieldsearcher", "ret_m1d": -0.0027297896266034183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0027297896266034183, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011775322210800576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011775322210800576, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003474429128494494, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003474429128494494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005931590963633049, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005931590963633049, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "ret_p1w": 0.003155801804790581, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003155801804790581, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014100807877584831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014100807877584831, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": 0.008160171173025699, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008160171173025699, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023635692147499165, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023635692147499165, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": 0.018807536261249425, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.018807536261249425, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007768956786844861, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.007768956786844861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026576493048094285, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026576493048094285, "ret_p6m": 0.013845885685491055, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.013845885685491055, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08960073370107002, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08960073370107002, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008160171173025699, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023635692147499165, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023635692147499165, "price_path": [-0.0098, -0.0093, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.0122, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0063, -0.0063, -0.0074, -0.0067, -0.0042, -0.0052, -0.0024, -0.0031, -0.0041, -0.0019, -0.0015, -0.0008, -0.0015, -0.0029, -0.0057, -0.0037, -0.002, -0.0024, -0.0005, -0.0009, -0.002, -0.0017, -0.0029, -0.0043, -0.0072, -0.013, -0.0068, -0.0057, -0.0025, -0.0061, -0.0035, -0.0015, -0.003, -0.004, -0.0017, 0.001, 0.0034, 0.0025, -0.0006, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0056, -0.0055, -0.0045, -0.0041, -0.0032, 0.0001, 0.0012, -0.0007, -0.0048, -0.0046, -0.0062, -0.006, -0.0055, -0.0061, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.005, 0.0032, 0.005, 0.0059, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0042, 0.003, 0.0064, 0.0063, 0.0044, 0.0049, 0.0055, 0.0043, 0.007, 0.0065, 0.0074, 0.0082, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0095, 0.0099, 0.0109, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0104, 0.013, 0.0133, 0.013, 0.0138, 0.0145, 0.015, 0.015, 0.015, 0.015, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.013, 0.0161, 0.0168, 0.0163, 0.0168, 0.0167, 0.015, 0.0149, 0.0161, 0.0167, 0.016, 0.0148, 0.0136, 0.0172, 0.0186, 0.0175, 0.0174, 0.0169, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0172, 0.0184, 0.0188, 0.0196, 0.0179, 0.0172, 0.0186, 0.0177, 0.016, 0.0155, 0.0134, 0.017, 0.0129, 0.008, 0.0141, 0.0124, 0.0101, 0.0037, 0.0018, 0.005, 0.0095, 0.0043, 0.0076, -0.0017, 0.0048, 0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0017, -0.0043, -0.0031, 0.0063, 0.0088, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.013, 0.0133, 0.0192, 0.0204, 0.0163, 0.0201, 0.0232, 0.0227, 0.0213, 0.0251, 0.0242, 0.0215, 0.0232, 0.0215, 0.0229, 0.0233, 0.0219, 0.0185, 0.0217, 0.0229, 0.0196, 0.0211, 0.0242, 0.0204, 0.0239, 0.0219, 0.0205, 0.021, 0.0202, 0.0153, 0.0163, 0.0138]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1991281983511523632", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T23:06:35+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You had me at \"If Google were to make those TPUs commercially available at scale and reasonable price, Nvidia's dominance would end, price wars would begin, and compute would become a commodity.\" $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL on TPU commercial potential displacing NVDA; if realized, NVDA dominance ends and compute becomes commodity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You had me at \"If Google were to make those TPUs commercially available at scale and reasonable price, Nvidia’s dominance would end, price wars would begin, and compute would become a commodity.\" $GOOGL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Hot take on Gemini 3.  Points 4 and 5 might literally change the world. Also, OpenAI is in trouble.\n\n• Great model, but it’s not AGI; has the same kind of problems all earlier models have had. Hallucinations and unreliability persist.\n\n• In short, scaling isn’t getting us to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011608172085538992, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011608172085538992, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003869976693235966, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005141538313733207, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011094018254165672, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03527369446754425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03527369446754425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025312556298579203, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017723422057118965, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017550272410425283, "ret_p1w": 0.10537232774881855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10537232774881855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06376510065165575, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06454302254831679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040829305200501764, "ret_p1m": 0.06187915796199017, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06187915796199017, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01579536028796591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002317533883628986, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059561624078361186, "ret_p3m": 0.044109574975153665, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044109574975153665, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.005447794748682622, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.00045806313709340074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043651511838060264, "ret_p6m": 0.37266896368713187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.37266896368713187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23344352564509063, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3103117358245462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.062357227862585685, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06187915796199017, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01579536028796591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002317533883628986, "price_path": [-0.2803, -0.285, -0.2838, -0.2695, -0.2651, -0.2651, -0.2705, -0.2038, -0.1982, -0.1888, -0.1914, -0.1721, -0.1737, -0.1696, -0.1681, -0.1307, -0.1323, -0.1379, -0.1293, -0.12, -0.1276, -0.1306, -0.1462, -0.1508, -0.1482, -0.1568, -0.1601, -0.1539, -0.1512, -0.1524, -0.1348, -0.1509, -0.1549, -0.1656, -0.1827, -0.1565, -0.152, -0.1327, -0.1312, -0.1249, -0.1137, -0.1347, -0.1305, -0.1257, -0.102, -0.0697, -0.0759, -0.0514, -0.0275, -0.0285, -0.0198, -0.0411, -0.0178, -0.0162, -0.0367, 0.0022, 0.0064, -0.0095, -0.0376, -0.0451, -0.0153, -0.0179, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.0353, 0.1006, 0.1174, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1062, 0.0879, 0.0911, 0.1043, 0.0973, 0.1099, 0.0846, 0.0962, 0.107, 0.0801, 0.0692, 0.0655, 0.0598, 0.0258, 0.0456, 0.0619, 0.0709, 0.0867, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.0838, 0.084, 0.085, 0.0821, 0.0821, 0.0895, 0.0943, 0.0867, 0.1131, 0.1251, 0.1359, 0.1473, 0.1615, 0.161, 0.1504, 0.1408, 0.1408, 0.1132, 0.1352, 0.1427, 0.1337, 0.1521, 0.1566, 0.1616, 0.1694, 0.1685, 0.1882, 0.1744, 0.1513, 0.1452, 0.1162, 0.1212, 0.1014, 0.075, 0.0682, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0441, 0.0486, 0.047, 0.0889, 0.0768, 0.0748, 0.0817, 0.0626, 0.0778, 0.0597, 0.0495, 0.0479, 0.0402, 0.032, 0.0599, 0.0622, 0.068, 0.0501, 0.0457, 0.0571, 0.0756, 0.0645, 0.0625, 0.0413, 0.045, 0.0048, 0.0065, -0.0282, -0.0509, -0.0538, -0.0052, 0.0288, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0378, 0.0567, 0.0978, 0.1018, 0.0975, 0.1116, 0.1517, 0.1663, 0.1625, 0.182, 0.1673, 0.1496, 0.1739, 0.1724, 0.1915, 0.212, 0.2101, 0.2106, 0.3312, 0.3343, 0.3259, 0.3438, 0.377, 0.3769, 0.3866, 0.3445, 0.34, 0.3929, 0.3875, 0.3727]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989407641630835175", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T18:58:37+00:00", "symbol": "China technology", "kind": "sector", "geography": "China", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China's AI scene is not priced in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on China AI/tech sector; argues the market has not yet priced in China's AI competitive position.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB", "CQQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KWEB China internet; CQQQ China tech ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"This all fits into a story that's been emerging from China's AI scene since the beginning of this year ala DeepSeek...\"\n\nYupper. I wrote at length about it in Jan 2025:\n\nTHIS IS THE MANHATTAN PROJECT 2.0 \nhttps://t.co/NXzg6cZPSp\n\nAnd no, \"China's AI scene\" is not priced in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "CNBC just laid it out clearly:\n🇺🇸 US tech giants are expected to spend $700B on AI infrastructure by 2027.\n🇨🇳 Chinese cloud firms? Less than $80B combined.\n\nAnd yet, Chinese models like Kimi, Tongyi Qianwen, and Qwen are already neck-and-neck with top US models on standard https://t.co/8WBzSG0Dp5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017603271115319452, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017603271115319452, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017439419899184405, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017439419899184405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00912854931760837, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00912854931760837, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0001877981979070964, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0001877981979070964, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "ret_p1w": -0.04949591363666944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04949591363666944, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030297570136745222, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030297570136745222, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "ret_p1m": -0.040644783161852105, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.040644783161852105, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0537415235209619, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0537415235209619, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "ret_p3m": -0.008819177584758975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008819177584758975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04167194174286876, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04167194174286876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "ret_p6m": -0.06360054122431819, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06360054122431819, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17012892686761788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17012892686761788, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.040644783161852105, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0537415235209619, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0537415235209619, "price_path": [-0.054, -0.0479, -0.047, -0.0065, -0.0045, -0.0013, -0.0241, -0.0051, 0.0021, 0.0021, -0.0086, -0.013, -0.0323, -0.0117, 0.0007, 0.0126, 0.0115, 0.0463, 0.0453, 0.0522, 0.0677, 0.0989, 0.088, 0.0799, 0.0854, 0.0601, 0.085, 0.0923, 0.0737, 0.0955, 0.1039, 0.1161, 0.1292, 0.1238, 0.1289, 0.1114, 0.1138, 0.0937, 0.0124, 0.0532, 0.0283, 0.0407, 0.0369, 0.0271, 0.0449, 0.0395, 0.0293, 0.0455, 0.062, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.087, 0.0626, 0.0497, 0.0466, 0.0254, 0.0347, 0.0433, 0.0272, 0.0463, 0.038, 0.0304, 0.0176, 0.0, -0.0091, -0.011, -0.0248, -0.0515, -0.0495, -0.0223, -0.0137, -0.0181, -0.0181, -0.0142, -0.0054, -0.0167, -0.029, -0.0242, -0.0111, -0.0077, -0.0186, -0.0133, -0.019, -0.0237, -0.0406, -0.045, -0.05, -0.0428, -0.0329, -0.02, -0.025, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0151, -0.0236, -0.0203, -0.0281, -0.0281, 0.0162, 0.0404, 0.0405, 0.0251, 0.0342, 0.0383, 0.0881, 0.059, 0.0621, 0.0573, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0158, 0.0424, 0.0487, 0.0528, 0.0458, 0.0527, 0.056, 0.0505, 0.0268, 0.0135, -0.0017, -0.0321, -0.0361, -0.0073, -0.004, -0.0051, -0.0088, -0.0399, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.0281, -0.0324, -0.032, -0.0404, -0.0427, -0.0408, -0.0614, -0.069, -0.0842, -0.1197, -0.1082, -0.124, -0.1193, -0.0936, -0.0808, -0.0943, -0.1089, -0.1084, -0.0941, -0.1042, -0.125, -0.1341, -0.1655, -0.1622, -0.1672, -0.1407, -0.1731, -0.18, -0.1851, -0.1636, -0.1667, -0.1766, -0.1766, -0.1758, -0.1772, -0.1371, -0.1452, -0.1443, -0.1389, -0.1212, -0.1186, -0.1073, -0.0924, -0.093, -0.1182, -0.112, -0.1327, -0.1192, -0.124, -0.1358, -0.14, -0.1109, -0.1093, -0.1133, -0.1141, -0.0729, -0.0794, -0.0748, -0.0636]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014334158139449546", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-22T13:47:42+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the NEW way MONETIZES GOLD so NDX>USD>GOLD or yen>gold... *THEY* ARE SETTLING OUTSIDE THE DOLLAR INTO GOLD & SILVER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USDJPY rising; yen carry unwind now routes into gold/silver as global capitals settle trade outside USD, with silver having too much speculation priced in per bonus note.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maybe $USDJPY keeps rising...\n\nand with it a stealth yen carry trade unwind we can't see...\n\nfrom converting yen into GOLD...\n\nsince the new Japanese PM entered the scene...\n\n>>the OLD way of using yen to buy USD to buy NDX etc before an unwind NDX>USD>YEN...\n\n>>the NEW way MONETIZES GOLD so NDX>USD>GOLD or yen>gold...\n\nHas anyone thought, maybe, Japanese are tired of buying a currency that is not devaluing their lives into prosperity and/or that Japanese capital no longer wants to hold junk bonds when gold is being used by countries to settle trade outside of USD, UST & Petrol-dollar (Oil)??\n\nUSDJPY is to GOLD as USDCNY is to SILVER.\n\n*THEY* ARE SETTLING OUTSIDE THE DOLLAR INTO GOLD & SILVER.\n\nBonus thought: But one has way too much speculation priced in & an official price war that isn't priced in. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Yen weakness continues, this is bad for Japanese consumers as their pricing power continues to fall. Yen is near that 160 level after which intervention becomes a given. Recent bond sell off in JGBs complicating Ueda's decision. Huge issue for Ueda as BOJ meets next 2 days. BOJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01568611535684783, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01568611535684783, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010489998342198548, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010489998342198548, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013730523408316264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013730523408316264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013367788219342591, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013367788219342591, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": 0.08344200496119547, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08344200496119547, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07609788646781923, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07609788646781923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": 0.0306592254702025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0306592254702025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030006070578002086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030006070578002086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.042861781029007395, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042861781029007395, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.067569097013927, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.067569097013927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0306592254702025, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.030006070578002086, "alpha_c_stated": 0.030006070578002086, "price_path": [-0.1847, -0.192, -0.1885, -0.1849, -0.1888, -0.1851, -0.1958, -0.1892, -0.1892, -0.1853, -0.1624, -0.1634, -0.1435, -0.1471, -0.1673, -0.1712, -0.1726, -0.1693, -0.1736, -0.1695, -0.1664, -0.1568, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.1407, -0.1364, -0.1471, -0.1445, -0.142, -0.1418, -0.147, -0.143, -0.1451, -0.127, -0.124, -0.1227, -0.1231, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1115, -0.0946, -0.0868, -0.0872, -0.0872, -0.0774, -0.1189, -0.1097, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.1211, -0.0961, -0.0869, -0.0936, -0.0935, -0.0853, -0.062, -0.0651, -0.0575, -0.0596, -0.0653, -0.0653, -0.0304, -0.0157, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0348, 0.0349, 0.08, 0.0834, -0.0397, -0.0583, -0.001, 0.0024, -0.0097, 0.0086, 0.0289, 0.0194, 0.0332, 0.003, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0053, 0.0158, 0.0137, 0.0307, 0.0603, 0.0503, 0.0606, 0.0545, 0.0655, 0.0786, 0.0405, 0.0431, 0.0319, 0.0483, 0.0372, 0.0654, 0.0527, 0.0422, 0.0293, 0.0174, 0.0188, -0.0039, -0.0628, -0.0689, -0.1028, -0.1038, -0.0731, -0.1086, -0.0849, -0.078, -0.0532, -0.0256, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0513, -0.0513, -0.0325, -0.0238, -0.0299, -0.0339, -0.0171, -0.0222, -0.0251, -0.0104, -0.0208, -0.0429, -0.0359, -0.0415, -0.038, -0.0475, -0.0646, -0.0741, -0.0599, -0.0568, -0.0793, -0.0719, -0.0462, -0.0426, -0.0384, -0.0387, -0.0471, -0.043, -0.047, -0.0719, -0.0726, -0.082, -0.0769, -0.0752, -0.079, -0.079, -0.0832, -0.094, -0.0834, -0.071, -0.0883, -0.0855, -0.0962, -0.0882, -0.1165, -0.1167, -0.1322, -0.1631, -0.1667, -0.1413, -0.1183, -0.1177, -0.112, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1429, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014334158139449546", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-22T13:47:42+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "USDJPY is to GOLD as USDCNY is to SILVER. *THEY* ARE SETTLING OUTSIDE THE DOLLAR INTO GOLD & SILVER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "USDJPY rising; yen carry unwind now routes into gold/silver as global capitals settle trade outside USD, with silver having too much speculation priced in per bonus note.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maybe $USDJPY keeps rising...\n\nand with it a stealth yen carry trade unwind we can't see...\n\nfrom converting yen into GOLD...\n\nsince the new Japanese PM entered the scene...\n\n>>the OLD way of using yen to buy USD to buy NDX etc before an unwind NDX>USD>YEN...\n\n>>the NEW way MONETIZES GOLD so NDX>USD>GOLD or yen>gold...\n\nHas anyone thought, maybe, Japanese are tired of buying a currency that is not devaluing their lives into prosperity and/or that Japanese capital no longer wants to hold junk bonds when gold is being used by countries to settle trade outside of USD, UST & Petrol-dollar (Oil)??\n\nUSDJPY is to GOLD as USDCNY is to SILVER.\n\n*THEY* ARE SETTLING OUTSIDE THE DOLLAR INTO GOLD & SILVER.\n\nBonus thought: But one has way too much speculation priced in & an official price war that isn't priced in. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Yen weakness continues, this is bad for Japanese consumers as their pricing power continues to fall. Yen is near that 160 level after which intervention becomes a given. Recent bond sell off in JGBs complicating Ueda's decision. Huge issue for Ueda as BOJ meets next 2 days. 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{"unit_id": "quote:2013792920743141739", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T01:57:01+00:00", "symbol": "real assets", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "INFLATIONARY REAL ASSETS would outperform", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reiterates 2yr-old call: USD has peaked and is falling; inflationary real assets outperform paper assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["REET", "PDBC"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "REET global real estate; PDBC commodities as real assets", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So much talk of dollar debasement picking up speed. Well, it was one of my predictions >2yrs ago: \n\n\"USD Has Likely Peaked and THINGS OVER PAPER\". \n\nI did an interview with @RogerHirst3 with a few themes that have stuck LIKE... the falling value of USD & why INFLATIONARY REAL ASSETS would outperform. 😉\n\nI just updated my market/sector/themes if interested across all assets 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "MANIFESTO INCOMIMG 🤣\n\nMy 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction &amp; Key Themes \n\nhttps://t.co/G0u4ZTZSGg", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005913267441728487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005913267441728487, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005496164340888066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005496164340888066, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409431782616553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409431782616553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031646386871714283, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0031646386871714283, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008387896359885905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008387896359885905, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223257672714476, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223257672714476, "ret_p1w": 0.022563115180722848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022563115180722848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007943991782032533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007943991782032533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619123398690315, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619123398690315, "ret_p1m": 0.0412050065371774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0412050065371774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04254741374948956, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04254741374948956, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013424072123121578, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013424072123121578, "ret_p3m": 0.14705509504965464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14705509504965464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11020733754560286, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11020733754560286, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03684775750405178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03684775750405178, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0357, -0.0343, -0.0471, -0.0549, -0.0524, -0.0502, -0.0451, -0.0501, -0.0502, -0.0501, -0.0426, -0.0384, -0.0314, -0.0409, -0.0482, -0.0477, -0.0507, -0.0458, -0.0539, -0.0606, -0.0569, -0.0557, -0.0526, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0358, -0.0404, -0.0427, -0.04, -0.041, -0.0387, -0.0487, -0.0518, -0.0465, -0.0455, -0.0505, -0.0498, -0.0572, -0.0503, -0.0537, -0.0512, -0.0438, -0.0378, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0327, -0.0355, -0.0324, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0392, -0.0295, -0.027, -0.0322, -0.0232, -0.0232, -0.0159, -0.0113, -0.0079, -0.0098, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0101, 0.019, 0.0226, 0.0363, 0.0176, -0.0053, 0.0097, 0.0168, 0.0083, 0.0199, 0.0276, 0.0304, 0.038, 0.0251, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0311, 0.0377, 0.0412, 0.049, 0.0521, 0.0517, 0.0529, 0.0564, 0.0627, 0.0781, 0.0734, 0.079, 0.0826, 0.0967, 0.091, 0.1004, 0.1071, 0.1194, 0.114, 0.1125, 0.1238, 0.1274, 0.1175, 0.1059, 0.0834, 0.0917, 0.0907, 0.0947, 0.1033, 0.1086, 0.1093, 0.1064, 0.1246, 0.1246, 0.1257, 0.1264, 0.1201, 0.126, 0.122, 0.1344, 0.1377, 0.1405, 0.1479, 0.137, 0.1471, 0.1493, 0.1523, 0.1659, 0.1627, 0.1672, 0.174, 0.1842, 0.1949, 0.1882, 0.1945, 0.1943, 0.1822, 0.1776, 0.1803, 0.1974, 0.2098, 0.1997, 0.1962, 0.1877, 0.1957, 0.2, 0.1922, 0.1896, 0.1851, 0.1851, 0.1786, 0.1656, 0.1689, 0.1616, 0.1606, 0.1665, 0.1682, 0.1666, 0.1539, 0.1549, 0.157, 0.16, 0.1565, 0.1543, 0.1458, 0.1386, 0.1221, 0.1215, 0.1215, 0.1215, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2021057632442945950", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-10T03:04:23+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A metals-treasury roadmap of currency debasement & inflation. #Gold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold on currency debasement and inflation dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A metals-treasury roadmap of currency debasement &amp; inflation.\n\n#Gold", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trump's Federal Reserve chairman-designate will not be able to stop the bull market in gold: https://t.co/9VQlbiYQUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01001298647043014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01001298647043014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007368867584816474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007368867584816474, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026441188856136666, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026441188856136666, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011310577541873812, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011310577541873812, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01154169968553831, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01154169968553831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023112214366449724, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00023112214366449724, "ret_p1w": -0.030709303366971974, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030709303366971974, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01731565545810876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01731565545810876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013393647908863215, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013393647908863215, "ret_p1m": 0.02993078832303997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02993078832303997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05274468047490499, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05274468047490499, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813892151865023, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022813892151865023, "ret_p3m": -0.06191610134238401, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06191610134238401, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1305667363298616, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1305667363298616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865063498747759, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06865063498747759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02993078832303997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05274468047490499, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05274468047490499, "price_path": [-0.172, -0.1869, -0.1963, -0.1904, -0.1891, -0.1893, -0.1906, -0.1778, -0.178, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1612, -0.1571, -0.1625, -0.1633, -0.1628, -0.1643, -0.1665, -0.1622, -0.1586, -0.1496, -0.1448, -0.144, -0.1438, -0.1365, -0.138, -0.1371, -0.1171, -0.1054, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.0987, -0.138, -0.1373, -0.1429, -0.1429, -0.1387, -0.116, -0.1064, -0.115, -0.1101, -0.1037, -0.0869, -0.0882, -0.0788, -0.0845, -0.0889, -0.0889, -0.0544, -0.0407, -0.0229, -0.0095, 0.005, 0.0296, 0.0696, 0.0724, -0.0377, -0.0763, -0.0175, -0.0182, -0.0444, -0.015, 0.01, 0.0, 0.0113, -0.0238, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0307, -0.0089, -0.0061, 0.0135, 0.0408, 0.0264, 0.0238, 0.0326, 0.0462, 0.0597, 0.0124, 0.0203, 0.0081, 0.024, 0.0219, 0.0334, 0.0299, 0.0097, -0.0034, -0.0043, -0.0068, -0.0382, -0.0778, -0.106, -0.1262, -0.126, -0.0997, -0.1336, -0.1032, -0.1034, -0.0694, -0.0532, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0752, -0.0662, -0.0603, -0.053, -0.0546, -0.0585, -0.0374, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0356, -0.0439, -0.071, -0.0587, -0.0678, -0.063, -0.0703, -0.0876, -0.0973, -0.0838, -0.0848, -0.1031, -0.0954, -0.068, -0.0664, -0.0619, -0.06, -0.0637, -0.069, -0.0761, -0.0976, -0.0951, -0.1101, -0.0973, -0.0982, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1047, -0.1166, -0.1073, -0.0979, -0.1106, -0.1091, -0.1179, -0.1106, -0.1431, -0.1409, -0.1549, -0.1899, -0.1645, -0.1641, -0.1424, -0.1401, -0.1596, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.1628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986492684228333656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:55:37+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IONQ in the ZERO DOLLAR CLUB deserves to be repriced", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IONQ should be repriced to zero; strongly bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MattocksHunter @SpecialSitsNews $IONQ in the ZERO DOLLAR CLUB deserves to be repriced", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SpecialSitsNews @SamanthaLaDuc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MattocksHunter", "ret_m1d": -0.03517326218056149, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03517326218056149, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0460189938513228, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055680830258230674, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845731670761305, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02050756807766918, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03203900649156122, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03203900649156122, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031054441412902145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03549743220144652, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000984565078659072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0034584257098853044, "ret_p1w": -0.20947237881544456, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20947237881544456, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21205332748117256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20058443957638283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002580948665728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008887939239061726, "ret_p1m": -0.08253528910463215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08253528910463215, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10547986031249346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09650667705842297, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294457120786131, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013971387953790826, "ret_p3m": -0.3301410235716805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3301410235716805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3618539528924124, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3143400428007137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031712929320731886, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01580098077096681, "ret_p6m": -0.19554239043290134, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19554239043290134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27676359266177897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3182223671544865, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122120222887763, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12267997672158515, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08253528910463215, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10547986031249346, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09650667705842297, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.2513, -0.2824, -0.2856, -0.2995, -0.2995, -0.3592, -0.3594, -0.3528, -0.3073, -0.3265, -0.2904, -0.2788, -0.246, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.2514, -0.2866, -0.2668, -0.2722, -0.2859, -0.2338, -0.2363, -0.1807, -0.0317, 0.0293, 0.0841, 0.1395, 0.1633, 0.226, 0.2527, 0.3084, 0.2861, 0.209, 0.1715, 0.1189, 0.0709, 0.0986, 0.2119, 0.276, 0.3754, 0.3796, 0.2937, 0.3495, 0.2302, 0.4294, 0.3503, 0.2608, 0.1421, 0.0959, 0.0437, 0.036, -0.0345, 0.0338, 0.05, 0.0935, -0.0049, 0.0641, 0.0477, 0.0862, 0.0169, -0.0705, -0.0352, 0.0, 0.032, -0.0359, -0.0524, -0.117, -0.2095, -0.1785, -0.1679, -0.1447, -0.1663, -0.2861, -0.2737, -0.1858, -0.1806, -0.1834, -0.1834, -0.1416, -0.1795, -0.1828, -0.1529, -0.0465, -0.0825, -0.0535, -0.0521, -0.1003, -0.085, -0.1233, -0.1978, -0.1351, -0.2016, -0.1914, -0.1558, -0.0622, -0.1052, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.199, -0.2121, -0.211, -0.2187, -0.2187, -0.1856, -0.1518, -0.1161, -0.1332, -0.1215, -0.139, -0.1128, -0.1478, -0.1141, -0.1719, -0.1154, -0.1154, -0.1179, -0.1585, -0.141, -0.1773, -0.2448, -0.2079, -0.2025, -0.2471, -0.3038, -0.3286, -0.3301, -0.3846, -0.4701, -0.3907, -0.3822, -0.3873, -0.4148, -0.455, -0.4061, -0.4061, -0.4223, -0.4195, -0.4179, -0.4445, -0.464, -0.4494, -0.4151, -0.2882, -0.3319, -0.3324, -0.3549, -0.3535, -0.3728, -0.3779, -0.3754, -0.3885, -0.4033, -0.4249, -0.4257, -0.4203, -0.42, -0.4362, -0.4445, -0.4567, -0.4235, -0.4306, -0.4435, -0.4804, -0.521, -0.537, -0.498, -0.5161, -0.4898, -0.4898, -0.4909, -0.5039, -0.4952, -0.5111, -0.4987, -0.4818, -0.3773, -0.2469, -0.222, -0.1975, -0.1586, -0.1941, -0.1753, -0.2403, -0.2567, -0.2366, -0.2499, -0.2668, -0.2143, -0.1955]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990488353805103246", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:32:59+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting to hear a flushing sound soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on memory stocks SNDK, MU, WDC, STX — calls it an overtraded bubble with a crash incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another great case of overtrading a bubble - this one in memory. 🧻 \n\nI’m expecting to hear a flushing sound soon. \n\n$SNDK $MU $WDC $STX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory is the new toilet paper, in the AI era\n\n$SNDK reminds me of the toilet paper hoarding during Covid. I recall Costco of all places declining to take back toilet paper because of the massive hoarding consumers did during Covid.\n\nMemory business is cyclical, it is not meant", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.044080039888177214, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.044080039888177214, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05348399794497116, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05998051800191784, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900478113740624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07879498955276854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07879498955276854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07039743620897365, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06254203539461389, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016252954158154642, "ret_p1w": -0.1463818168128116, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1463818168128116, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15097868081652732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13252617447188297, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01385564234092862, "ret_p1m": -0.21276518085349128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21276518085349128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23259484828878263, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21798305625477388, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005217875401282601, "ret_p3m": 1.370580586927348, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.370580586927348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.344121369430587, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.3874952293562068, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691464242885876, "ret_p6m": 4.4611854703825236, "ret_signed_p6m": -4.4611854703825236, "alpha_spy_p6m": -4.3459434404958355, "alpha_c_p6m": -4.222404582201152, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878088818137133, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21276518085349128, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23259484828878263, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21798305625477388, "price_path": [-0.833, -0.8289, -0.8256, -0.8241, -0.8219, -0.8178, -0.8087, -0.8027, -0.8027, -0.8079, -0.8006, -0.7649, -0.7422, -0.7349, -0.7348, -0.722, -0.6829, -0.6761, -0.6612, -0.6557, -0.6466, -0.6281, -0.6156, -0.6129, -0.5998, -0.6245, -0.6454, -0.6347, -0.5731, -0.578, -0.5445, -0.5331, -0.517, -0.5443, -0.5451, -0.504, -0.5123, -0.5603, -0.4937, -0.5213, -0.4573, -0.4574, -0.4728, -0.4432, -0.4385, -0.4473, -0.3717, -0.2998, -0.3362, -0.3398, -0.2314, -0.2635, -0.2503, -0.2214, -0.2682, -0.1857, -0.2189, -0.0993, 0.0078, 0.0214, 0.0648, -0.0839, -0.0441, 0.0, -0.0788, -0.0749, -0.263, -0.2468, -0.1464, -0.1707, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.1602, -0.2095, -0.2277, -0.2689, -0.1977, -0.1407, -0.152, -0.1746, -0.1242, -0.0913, -0.2245, -0.2407, -0.2128, -0.2221, -0.1746, -0.1063, -0.0934, -0.0789, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0595, -0.0814, -0.0965, -0.1072, -0.1072, 0.0352, 0.0308, 0.315, 0.3298, 0.2582, 0.4195, 0.4641, 0.4661, 0.4586, 0.5392, 0.5557, 0.5557, 0.7042, 0.8854, 0.8935, 0.7821, 0.7707, 0.8107, 0.9845, 1.0284, 1.1673, 1.502, 1.6159, 1.1985, 1.1671, 1.2489, 1.1942, 1.0372, 1.2542, 1.3706, 1.3566, 1.3566, 1.2213, 1.2582, 1.336, 1.4446, 1.5067, 1.4015, 1.3784, 1.4519, 1.3896, 1.3284, 1.1266, 1.2531, 1.1272, 0.9833, 1.2143, 1.3277, 1.4651, 1.3274, 1.4884, 1.6464, 1.7086, 1.8347, 1.9039, 1.6693, 1.6421, 1.6421, 1.5495, 1.2686, 1.3162, 1.1532, 1.3896, 1.6054, 1.6387, 1.6387, 1.7254, 1.6734, 1.937, 2.2028, 2.2036, 2.5824, 2.5522, 2.3538, 2.4582, 2.4639, 2.434, 2.3981, 2.6824, 2.507, 2.7231, 3.0251, 2.7699, 3.0026, 3.1241, 3.4644, 3.7234, 4.2893, 4.3031, 4.0397, 4.8761, 4.8205, 4.4612]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990488353805103246", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:32:59+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting to hear a flushing sound soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on memory stocks SNDK, MU, WDC, STX — calls it an overtraded bubble with a crash incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another great case of overtrading a bubble - this one in memory. 🧻 \n\nI’m expecting to hear a flushing sound soon. \n\n$SNDK $MU $WDC $STX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory is the new toilet paper, in the AI era\n\n$SNDK reminds me of the toilet paper hoarding during Covid. I recall Costco of all places declining to take back toilet paper because of the massive hoarding consumers did during Covid.\n\nMemory business is cyclical, it is not meant", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02016950175265686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02016950175265686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010765543695862911, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006416798529659484, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013752703222997376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05558998284204075, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05558998284204075, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04719242949824587, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03499061398388936, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02059936885815139, "ret_p1w": -0.07447819202170047, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07447819202170047, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0790750560254162, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07101069006962268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0034675019520777894, "ret_p1m": -0.03901630561567182, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03901630561567182, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058845973050963174, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07322147709266602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0342051714769942, "ret_p3m": 0.711664609865978, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.711664609865978, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.685205392369217, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.514563040647277, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19710156921870103, "ret_p6m": 2.170952201096534, "ret_signed_p6m": -2.170952201096534, "alpha_spy_p6m": -2.055710171209846, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.5165401453516678, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.654412055744866, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03901630561567182, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.058845973050963174, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07322147709266602, "price_path": [-0.5159, -0.5217, -0.5139, -0.5191, -0.5188, -0.5136, -0.4961, -0.5084, -0.5084, -0.5106, -0.5096, -0.487, -0.4574, -0.457, -0.4414, -0.4217, -0.3781, -0.3506, -0.3483, -0.344, -0.3392, -0.3024, -0.3278, -0.32, -0.3126, -0.3321, -0.3522, -0.3504, -0.323, -0.3089, -0.2476, -0.241, -0.2237, -0.2107, -0.2325, -0.1877, -0.2051, -0.2494, -0.2033, -0.2269, -0.2067, -0.1629, -0.1635, -0.1454, -0.1639, -0.1797, -0.1456, -0.0948, -0.0903, -0.0828, -0.0633, -0.0741, -0.0751, -0.03, -0.0989, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.0167, 0.0469, -0.0035, 0.0122, -0.0207, 0.0202, 0.0, -0.0556, -0.0663, -0.1677, -0.1429, -0.0745, -0.072, -0.0483, -0.0483, -0.0226, -0.0062, -0.0102, -0.0322, -0.0632, -0.0195, 0.0205, 0.0433, 0.0899, 0.0682, -0.0033, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0679, 0.0273, 0.0991, 0.1432, 0.1418, 0.1849, 0.1849, 0.1771, 0.2171, 0.21, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.3042, 0.2907, 0.42, 0.404, 0.3521, 0.4269, 0.4301, 0.3981, 0.3783, 0.3919, 0.4999, 0.4999, 0.5092, 0.6089, 0.6439, 0.6525, 0.6088, 0.6962, 0.7998, 0.8019, 0.7154, 0.8102, 0.7343, 0.5687, 0.5832, 0.6319, 0.5857, 0.5433, 0.6967, 0.7117, 0.7021, 0.7021, 0.653, 0.7405, 0.7256, 0.7704, 0.7406, 0.7284, 0.7738, 0.7182, 0.705, 0.7063, 0.5699, 0.6571, 0.6417, 0.5311, 0.6097, 0.6668, 0.7312, 0.676, 0.7619, 0.8267, 0.909, 0.9091, 0.8369, 0.7486, 0.6719, 0.6354, 0.5798, 0.4697, 0.477, 0.3311, 0.3975, 0.5216, 0.5149, 0.5149, 0.5626, 0.5619, 0.6824, 0.7436, 0.7398, 0.7645, 0.9262, 0.8872, 0.8913, 0.8824, 0.8549, 0.8589, 1.0165, 0.9926, 1.0547, 1.1698, 1.086, 1.1446, 1.1392, 1.2428, 1.3845, 1.6482, 1.7573, 1.6748, 2.0892, 2.2899, 2.171]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990488353805103246", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:32:59+00:00", "symbol": "WDC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting to hear a flushing sound soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on memory stocks SNDK, MU, WDC, STX — calls it an overtraded bubble with a crash incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["WDC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another great case of overtrading a bubble - this one in memory. 🧻 \n\nI’m expecting to hear a flushing sound soon. \n\n$SNDK $MU $WDC $STX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory is the new toilet paper, in the AI era\n\n$SNDK reminds me of the toilet paper hoarding during Covid. I recall Costco of all places declining to take back toilet paper because of the massive hoarding consumers did during Covid.\n\nMemory business is cyclical, it is not meant", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02843947205945041, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02843947205945041, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03784343011624436, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044339950173191034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900478113740624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05903343104818681, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05903343104818681, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05063587770439193, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04278047689003217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016252954158154642, "ret_p1w": -0.07091415363950904, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07091415363950904, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07551101764322476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05705851129858042, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01385564234092862, "ret_p1m": 0.07553329007802412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07553329007802412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.055703622642732764, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07031541467674152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005217875401282601, "ret_p3m": 0.7502522364020237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7502522364020237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.7237930189052626, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.7671668788308824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691464242885876, "ret_p6m": 2.012416757283623, "ret_signed_p6m": -2.012416757283623, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.8971747273969346, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.7736358691022516, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878088818137133, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07553329007802412, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.055703622642732764, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07031541467674152, "price_path": [-0.5349, -0.5409, -0.5267, -0.5129, -0.5099, -0.504, -0.4956, -0.506, -0.506, -0.4964, -0.4712, -0.443, -0.4334, -0.4257, -0.418, -0.4151, -0.4081, -0.3988, -0.3697, -0.3654, -0.3786, -0.3527, -0.3436, -0.308, -0.3213, -0.3248, -0.34, -0.3421, -0.2814, -0.2609, -0.1961, -0.192, -0.1917, -0.2288, -0.2617, -0.254, -0.2632, -0.2895, -0.2683, -0.3036, -0.2586, -0.2249, -0.2231, -0.2519, -0.2526, -0.2584, -0.2261, -0.2033, -0.2203, -0.231, -0.1297, -0.1497, -0.0753, -0.0273, -0.0632, -0.0145, 0.0071, 0.0031, 0.0725, 0.0464, 0.0225, -0.0326, -0.0284, 0.0, -0.059, -0.0522, -0.1368, -0.1432, -0.0709, -0.0433, -0.029, -0.029, 0.0054, 0.0067, -0.0151, -0.0422, -0.0081, 0.0405, 0.046, 0.0445, 0.1209, 0.1533, 0.0864, 0.0599, 0.0755, 0.0243, 0.0782, 0.1156, 0.089, 0.0981, 0.1062, 0.1062, 0.1184, 0.107, 0.0847, 0.0613, 0.0613, 0.1564, 0.1575, 0.3515, 0.2314, 0.1562, 0.235, 0.3069, 0.3184, 0.3245, 0.3683, 0.3647, 0.3647, 0.3736, 0.4903, 0.4988, 0.4563, 0.4838, 0.5566, 0.7231, 0.7152, 0.5416, 0.6648, 0.7881, 0.6598, 0.6029, 0.7409, 0.7619, 0.6176, 0.6864, 0.7503, 0.7347, 0.7347, 0.7503, 0.827, 0.7538, 0.759, 0.7276, 0.6669, 0.7925, 0.7389, 0.7231, 0.6639, 0.5439, 0.6098, 0.5966, 0.5116, 0.6152, 0.6409, 0.6568, 0.6098, 0.6783, 0.7641, 0.9342, 0.8793, 0.9534, 0.8066, 0.817, 0.8556, 0.8253, 0.6848, 0.6971, 0.5512, 0.6672, 0.8351, 0.8181, 0.8181, 0.8747, 0.9228, 1.0881, 1.0826, 1.1168, 1.1583, 1.2572, 1.2497, 1.2293, 1.2961, 1.3059, 1.3657, 1.3983, 1.4847, 1.4901, 1.47, 1.4099, 1.5441, 1.6782, 1.6597, 1.7265, 1.8677, 1.978, 1.8594, 1.9585, 2.1794, 2.0124]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990488353805103246", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:32:59+00:00", "symbol": "STX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting to hear a flushing sound soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on memory stocks SNDK, MU, WDC, STX — calls it an overtraded bubble with a crash incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["STX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another great case of overtrading a bubble - this one in memory. 🧻 \n\nI’m expecting to hear a flushing sound soon. \n\n$SNDK $MU $WDC $STX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory is the new toilet paper, in the AI era\n\n$SNDK reminds me of the toilet paper hoarding during Covid. I recall Costco of all places declining to take back toilet paper because of the massive hoarding consumers did during Covid.\n\nMemory business is cyclical, it is not meant", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012128012844860536, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012128012844860536, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021531970901654485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02802849095860116, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900478113740624, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02877041910790279, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02877041910790279, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020372865764107906, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012517464949748147, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016252954158154642, "ret_p1w": -0.030606806382981966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030606806382981966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035203670386697694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016751164042053346, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01385564234092862, "ret_p1m": 0.10234141722894785, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10234141722894785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0825117497936565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09712354182766525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005217875401282601, "ret_p3m": 0.653918394279853, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.653918394279853, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6274591767830919, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6708330367087117, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691464242885876, "ret_p6m": 2.107875322203294, "ret_signed_p6m": -2.107875322203294, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.992633292316606, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.8690944340219229, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878088818137133, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10234141722894785, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0825117497936565, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09712354182766525, "price_path": [-0.3959, -0.4104, -0.3928, -0.3745, -0.3698, -0.3622, -0.3426, -0.3616, -0.3616, -0.3497, -0.3275, -0.2983, -0.2824, -0.2783, -0.2693, -0.2638, -0.2494, -0.2525, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.1863, -0.1738, -0.1563, -0.1254, -0.13, -0.1468, -0.1615, -0.1705, -0.1261, -0.0969, -0.0174, -0.0254, -0.0329, -0.071, -0.1391, -0.1417, -0.1518, -0.1798, -0.1602, -0.1903, -0.1607, -0.1352, -0.1377, -0.1797, -0.1791, -0.1773, -0.1338, -0.1043, -0.1188, -0.1468, 0.0162, 0.0266, -0.021, 0.016, -0.0421, 0.0551, 0.0654, 0.0688, 0.1248, 0.1018, 0.0837, 0.0045, -0.0121, 0.0, -0.0288, -0.0086, -0.0799, -0.0914, -0.0306, 0.002, 0.0417, 0.0417, 0.0586, 0.0334, 0.021, -0.0104, 0.0163, 0.0666, 0.0919, 0.0822, 0.1436, 0.1778, 0.1005, 0.0926, 0.1023, 0.0622, 0.1171, 0.1338, 0.0821, 0.0819, 0.0943, 0.0943, 0.0979, 0.079, 0.0744, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.103, 0.1118, 0.2675, 0.1824, 0.0912, 0.1661, 0.2332, 0.2215, 0.1979, 0.2287, 0.2514, 0.2514, 0.2505, 0.3204, 0.3292, 0.3276, 0.3744, 0.426, 0.699, 0.713, 0.5639, 0.6607, 0.7049, 0.6058, 0.5553, 0.6468, 0.6303, 0.5199, 0.5622, 0.6539, 0.634, 0.634, 0.5955, 0.627, 0.5688, 0.577, 0.5627, 0.5191, 0.6182, 0.5714, 0.5644, 0.4558, 0.3718, 0.4385, 0.4091, 0.3533, 0.4359, 0.4741, 0.4805, 0.4345, 0.4719, 0.5297, 0.6153, 0.5603, 0.6671, 0.5774, 0.5498, 0.6301, 0.5878, 0.4555, 0.4604, 0.3927, 0.5054, 0.6259, 0.6498, 0.6498, 0.7418, 0.8011, 0.9071, 0.9242, 0.9333, 0.9723, 1.0498, 0.9966, 1.0435, 1.1048, 1.074, 1.1515, 1.2282, 1.258, 1.2527, 1.2896, 1.225, 1.4719, 1.5885, 1.7933, 1.8379, 1.9627, 2.0219, 1.9451, 2.0074, 2.2047, 2.1079]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011934353438240968", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T22:51:44+00:00", "symbol": "PFGC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "doesn't look done ;-)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author hints PFGC still has more upside after booking profits on calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["PFGC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Food Distribution", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DJ_Tao @LaDucTrading outstanding job! \nPS. doesn't look done ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Not a single Twitter account, Discord, or Tiktok had this name because NOBODY else is watching it. \n\nBut at @LaDucTrading we will not only show you the names that no one else is looking at, but we will show you how to maximize profit on them!\n\nBooked profits on $PFGC calls today https://t.co/PkeT8Uh77H", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DJ_Tao", "ret_m1d": -0.007888579732057477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007888579732057477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008727187595099495, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008727187595099495, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.038110861565844645, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.038110861565844645, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03459754439668605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03459754439668605, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "ret_p1m": 0.003995485987191794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.003995485987191794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018323322667223696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018323322667223696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "ret_p3m": -0.08964245410599925, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08964245410599925, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10437739662370182, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10437739662370182, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.003995485987191794, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018323322667223696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018323322667223696, "price_path": [0.0362, 0.0389, 0.0425, 0.0271, 0.0231, 0.0258, 0.0077, -0.0054, -0.0089, 0.0038, -0.0098, -0.0216, -0.027, 0.0115, -0.0012, -0.0089, -0.0107, -0.0233, -0.0259, -0.0363, -0.031, -0.0383, -0.0339, -0.0098, -0.033, -0.0104, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0055, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0513, -0.0473, -0.0626, -0.0537, -0.0395, -0.037, -0.0325, -0.0457, -0.0308, -0.0336, -0.0286, -0.0614, -0.061, -0.0559, -0.0728, -0.061, -0.061, -0.0599, -0.0638, -0.0757, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.0979, -0.0978, -0.1039, -0.1205, -0.0942, -0.0686, -0.0573, -0.0557, -0.0349, -0.0079, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0232, -0.0185, -0.0347, -0.0381, -0.0396, -0.0018, -0.0024, 0.0056, -0.0221, -0.0293, -0.0053, -0.0794, -0.0767, -0.0329, -0.0594, -0.0779, -0.0752, 0.004, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0091, 0.0106, 0.0022, 0.0026, -0.0186, -0.0031, -0.0344, -0.0163, -0.0056, -0.0182, -0.057, -0.0696, -0.0776, -0.104, -0.0988, -0.1119, -0.1007, -0.1064, -0.0966, -0.1125, -0.1104, -0.1332, -0.1426, -0.1699, -0.1478, -0.1415, -0.1224, -0.1283, -0.1496, -0.1367, -0.1224, -0.137, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1193, -0.1377, -0.101, -0.0902, -0.0882, -0.0959, -0.0822, -0.0896, -0.0881, -0.0421, -0.0613, -0.0703, -0.059, -0.0757, -0.0751, -0.0916, -0.0995, -0.0969, -0.0722, -0.0914, -0.1093, -0.1075, -0.0485, -0.0502, -0.046, -0.0363, -0.0264, -0.0182, -0.0084, -0.0168, -0.0151, -0.0381, -0.0305, -0.0249, -0.0408, -0.0408, -0.0379, -0.0103, -0.0041, 0.0059, -0.0002, -0.0143, -0.011, -0.0377, -0.005, -0.0025, 0.022, 0.0321, 0.0661, 0.0662, 0.0665, 0.0707, 0.0594, 0.0616, 0.0616, 0.0616, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004927872113447057", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T14:50:29+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation & debasement.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold (GLD/SLV): best inflation proxy with surging demand, limited supply, geopolitical stress, and dollar debasement tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Gold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation &amp; debasement.”\n\nMe in a podcast back in early October 😉 $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04550924197966122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04550924197966122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04193284342691972, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04193284342691972, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007275678386380324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007275678386380324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0019486922472102819, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0019486922472102819, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "ret_p1w": 0.025489221039978638, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025489221039978638, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02567824599591151, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02567824599591151, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "ret_p1m": 0.19443050379651372, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19443050379651372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18332343663600925, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18332343663600925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": 0.005117934053397999, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005117934053397999, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06472136522654803, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06472136522654803, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19443050379651372, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18332343663600925, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18332343663600925, "price_path": [-0.1068, -0.1099, -0.1028, -0.0859, -0.0811, -0.066, -0.0832, -0.074, -0.0515, -0.0447, -0.0281, -0.0054, -0.0241, 0.0114, -0.0536, -0.0535, -0.0497, -0.0529, -0.0793, -0.0859, -0.0893, -0.0714, -0.0765, -0.0748, -0.091, -0.0805, -0.0816, -0.076, -0.0507, -0.047, -0.0316, -0.0395, -0.0568, -0.0676, -0.0608, -0.0593, -0.0596, -0.061, -0.0462, -0.0465, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0269, -0.0222, -0.0285, -0.0294, -0.0288, -0.0305, -0.0331, -0.0281, -0.024, -0.0134, -0.0079, -0.007, -0.0068, 0.0017, -0.0001, 0.0011, 0.0242, 0.0377, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0455, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0008, 0.0255, 0.0366, 0.0267, 0.0323, 0.0398, 0.0593, 0.0578, 0.0686, 0.062, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0969, 0.1129, 0.1334, 0.149, 0.1658, 0.1944, 0.2407, 0.2441, 0.1163, 0.0716, 0.1397, 0.1389, 0.1086, 0.1426, 0.1717, 0.1601, 0.1732, 0.1324, 0.1606, 0.1606, 0.1244, 0.1497, 0.1529, 0.1757, 0.2074, 0.1907, 0.1877, 0.1979, 0.2136, 0.2293, 0.1745, 0.1836, 0.1694, 0.1879, 0.1855, 0.1988, 0.1948, 0.1713, 0.1561, 0.1551, 0.1522, 0.1158, 0.0698, 0.0371, 0.0136, 0.0139, 0.0444, 0.0051, 0.0404, 0.0401, 0.0795, 0.0984, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0729, 0.0833, 0.0901, 0.0986, 0.0967, 0.0922, 0.1166, 0.105, 0.1041, 0.1187, 0.1091, 0.0777, 0.092, 0.0814, 0.0869, 0.0785, 0.0585, 0.0472, 0.0629, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0493, 0.0812, 0.083, 0.0882, 0.0904, 0.0861, 0.08, 0.0718, 0.0469, 0.0497, 0.0324, 0.0472, 0.0461, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0386, 0.0248, 0.0355, 0.0465, 0.0318, 0.0335, 0.0233, 0.0318, -0.0059, -0.0033, -0.0196, -0.0603, -0.0308, -0.0303, -0.0051, -0.0024, -0.0251, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0288, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004927872113447057", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T14:50:29+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GLD $SLV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long gold (GLD/SLV): best inflation proxy with surging demand, limited supply, geopolitical stress, and dollar debasement tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Gold is now the purist form of an inflation proxy WITH exploding demand against limited supply ALL wrapped neatly against the backdrop of growing geopolitical stress AND dollar dedollarization, devaluation &amp; debasement.”\n\nMe in a podcast back in early October 😉 $GLD $SLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046214324296275366, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046214324296275366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04669712366025336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04669712366025336, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.0985, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016729364918829478", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T04:25:24+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You want to really understand why gold has led this monster sector rotation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold: foreign nations are buying commodities instead of recycling USD into USTs, driving the sector rotation into gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You want to really understand why gold has led this monster sector rotation? Listen to our Classical Economist Geoffrey:\n\n“They stop the vendor financing and do an external drain.”\n\nWhat’s an external drain?\n\n“When foreign countries don't recycle their USD acquired in trade for UST. Instead they buy all sort of commodities in high demand” @GraphCall\n\nIt’s a trend. The FOMO & mania follow and reinforce the trend.\n\nhttps://t.co/1ArgV7af2v", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@Dhrumit08 Great reminder of foreign holdings of USTs\nand the biggest sellers last 12mos:\n\nCHINA\nBELGIUM\nINDIA\nABRAZIL\nSAUDI ARABIA\nMEXICO\nINDONESIA\nDENMARK\nTURKEY\n\nh/t @Dhrumit08 https://t.co/Q8JPvUSg6F", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0027021503415672887, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0027021503415672887, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004690473078616919, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004690473078616919, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019883227370496304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019883227370496304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10274245274560045, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10274245274560045, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09975988023083371, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09975988023083371, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002982572514766746, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002982572514766746, "ret_p1w": -0.10893323185833348, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10893323185833348, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08527466674483064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08527466674483064, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02365856511350284, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365856511350284, "ret_p1m": -0.024500895434615755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024500895434615755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012902139847044247, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012902139847044247, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598755587571508, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011598755587571508, "ret_p3m": -0.14920345058487716, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14920345058487716, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17743471594763194, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17743471594763194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028231265362754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028231265362754776, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.024500895434615755, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012902139847044247, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012902139847044247, "price_path": [-0.2563, -0.2694, -0.2609, -0.2618, -0.2573, -0.237, -0.234, -0.2216, -0.2279, -0.2419, -0.2506, -0.2451, -0.2439, -0.2441, -0.2453, -0.2333, -0.2336, -0.2274, -0.2274, -0.2178, -0.2141, -0.2191, -0.2198, -0.2193, -0.2207, -0.2228, -0.2188, -0.2155, -0.207, -0.2026, -0.2019, -0.2017, -0.1948, -0.1963, -0.1954, -0.1768, -0.1659, -0.1693, -0.1693, -0.1596, -0.1962, -0.1956, -0.2008, -0.2008, -0.1969, -0.1757, -0.1668, -0.1748, -0.1702, -0.1642, -0.1486, -0.1498, -0.1411, -0.1463, -0.1505, -0.1505, -0.1183, -0.1055, -0.0889, -0.0764, -0.0629, -0.0399, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.1027, -0.1387, -0.0839, -0.0846, -0.1089, -0.0815, -0.0582, -0.0676, -0.057, -0.0898, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0962, -0.0759, -0.0733, -0.055, -0.0295, -0.0429, -0.0453, -0.0371, -0.0245, -0.0119, -0.056, -0.0486, -0.06, -0.0452, -0.0471, -0.0364, -0.0396, -0.0585, -0.0707, -0.0715, -0.0739, -0.1032, -0.1401, -0.1664, -0.1852, -0.1851, -0.1605, -0.1921, -0.1637, -0.164, -0.1323, -0.1171, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1376, -0.1292, -0.1238, -0.1169, -0.1185, -0.1221, -0.1025, -0.1118, -0.1126, -0.1008, -0.1085, -0.1338, -0.1223, -0.1308, -0.1263, -0.1331, -0.1492, -0.1583, -0.1457, -0.1466, -0.1637, -0.1565, -0.131, -0.1295, -0.1253, -0.1235, -0.127, -0.1319, -0.1385, -0.1585, -0.1562, -0.1702, -0.1583, -0.1591, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1652, -0.1763, -0.1676, -0.1589, -0.1707, -0.1693, -0.1775, -0.1707, -0.201, -0.1989, -0.212, -0.2446, -0.221, -0.2205, -0.2003, -0.1982, -0.2164, -0.2194, -0.2194, -0.2194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001794605927325736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-18T23:20:00+00:00", "symbol": "RIVN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RIVN - up +43% on stock basis since rec'd and today hit 20 target - with 22/23 by Feb still in view", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "RIVN still targeting 22-23 by Feb; ALB and AA remain bullish pending pullbacks staying above 125 and 44 respectively.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIVN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\" $LULU - up +25% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 220 target - overshot to 226 where I warned it would likely soften. It dropped $10.\n\n$RIVN - up +43% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 20 target - with 22/23 by Feb still in view\n\n$ALB - up +65% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 125 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\n\n$AA - up +41% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 44 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/1jZLDbJ6rJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09665924287522476, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09665924287522476, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08767723609943401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1006805336071458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982006775790752, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0040212907319210345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031180433815174657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031180433815174657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03741032782195908, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.037191467926650734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00622989400678442, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006011034111476077, "ret_p1w": -0.06904236488793036, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06904236488793036, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08332403244143505, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07266881238192058, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0036264474939902147, "ret_p1m": -0.25746104633489164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25746104633489164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27372624376557986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2631432434812959, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0056821971464042775, "ret_p3m": -0.3082405699242481, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3082405699242481, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2800884379339078, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21746604037452844, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09077452954971965, "ret_p6m": -0.2570156018564066, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2570156018564066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36912628644783874, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2339843159517444, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02303128590466219, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.25746104633489164, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.27372624376557986, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2631432434812959, "price_path": [-0.3082, -0.2967, -0.2989, -0.3056, -0.3207, -0.3461, -0.3492, -0.3973, -0.392, -0.3987, -0.4094, -0.4151, -0.4169, -0.4298, -0.4183, -0.4156, -0.4027, -0.4249, -0.4196, -0.4174, -0.412, -0.4245, -0.4169, -0.4218, -0.4027, -0.3987, -0.3893, -0.4214, -0.3955, -0.4125, -0.4432, -0.3131, -0.322, -0.3216, -0.269, -0.1973, -0.2196, -0.2699, -0.3269, -0.3376, -0.3323, -0.3443, -0.347, -0.3381, -0.3243, -0.3069, -0.2793, -0.2793, -0.249, -0.2356, -0.2325, -0.2192, -0.1955, -0.2004, -0.2156, -0.2111, -0.2205, -0.2682, -0.1795, -0.167, -0.2027, -0.2147, -0.0967, 0.0, -0.0312, -0.0566, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.069, -0.0793, -0.1274, -0.122, -0.122, -0.1354, -0.1274, -0.1301, -0.1065, -0.114, -0.1439, -0.147, -0.1604, -0.2205, -0.2401, -0.2575, -0.2575, -0.2802, -0.2664, -0.2731, -0.2895, -0.2984, -0.3198, -0.3229, -0.3243, -0.343, -0.3568, -0.3581, -0.3599, -0.3884, -0.3408, -0.3457, -0.3336, -0.3425, -0.3764, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2664, -0.2806, -0.3056, -0.3198, -0.3336, -0.3265, -0.3207, -0.3047, -0.3171, -0.3314, -0.3274, -0.3354, -0.3234, -0.3154, -0.2931, -0.2633, -0.2584, -0.3185, -0.3381, -0.3171, -0.2953, -0.3082, -0.282, -0.3359, -0.2976, -0.2829, -0.3042, -0.3225, -0.3421, -0.3546, -0.3296, -0.3345, -0.314, -0.314, -0.3189, -0.3457, -0.3256, -0.3212, -0.3127, -0.2918, -0.2878, -0.269, -0.2477, -0.2325, -0.2463, -0.2361, -0.2098, -0.245, -0.2641, -0.2552, -0.2811, -0.2846, -0.2695, -0.331, -0.3537, -0.3497, -0.355, -0.3684, -0.3666, -0.3728, -0.3786, -0.3644, -0.3532, -0.3857, -0.4053, -0.4254, -0.3884, -0.3697, -0.3666, -0.3666, -0.359, -0.3452, -0.3229, -0.2739, -0.245, -0.2298, -0.1862, -0.1929, -0.2717, -0.2499, -0.2993, -0.3425, -0.3078, -0.2535, -0.257]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001794605927325736", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-18T23:20:00+00:00", "symbol": "ALB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALB - up +65% on stock basis since rec'd and just needs to stay > 125 on pullback, which I expect shortly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "RIVN still targeting 22-23 by Feb; ALB and AA remain bullish pending pullbacks staying above 125 and 44 respectively.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\" $LULU - up +25% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 220 target - overshot to 226 where I warned it would likely soften. It dropped $10.\n\n$RIVN - up +43% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 20 target - with 22/23 by Feb still in view\n\n$ALB - up +65% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 125 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\n\n$AA - up +41% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 44 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/1jZLDbJ6rJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037016829673511165, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037016829673511165, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028034822897720413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032608682512974885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982006775790752, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00440814716053628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0034273907845732143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034273907845732143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009657284791357634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015235873734412042, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00622989400678442, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011808482949838828, "ret_p1w": 0.02831090175815265, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02831090175815265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014029234204647967, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006754206455960032, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02155669530219262, "ret_p1m": 0.11763089430689178, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11763089430689178, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10136569687620356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03913645211390815, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07849444219298363, "ret_p3m": 0.13957227155388652, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13957227155388652, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1677244035442268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0655088118239, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07406345972998651, "ret_p6m": 0.1636319178040142, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1636319178040142, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05152123321258206, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.004666298682463044, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16829821648647725, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11763089430689178, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10136569687620356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03913645211390815, "price_path": [-0.4524, -0.4425, -0.4202, -0.3979, -0.4062, -0.4459, -0.4227, -0.4012, -0.3971, -0.371, -0.3813, -0.3734, -0.3405, -0.3859, -0.3416, -0.3423, -0.3291, -0.3488, -0.3662, -0.3429, -0.3758, -0.3762, -0.3346, -0.278, -0.3423, -0.3393, -0.3316, -0.331, -0.3287, -0.3403, -0.3955, -0.3715, -0.3763, -0.3358, -0.2921, -0.2901, -0.246, -0.217, -0.2131, -0.1956, -0.1704, -0.1411, -0.2043, -0.2016, -0.208, -0.1439, -0.1327, -0.1327, -0.1116, -0.123, -0.1243, -0.1355, -0.1858, -0.1444, -0.1307, -0.1164, -0.0896, -0.0802, -0.0901, -0.0936, -0.1015, -0.0766, -0.037, 0.0, -0.0034, 0.0056, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0283, -0.0089, -0.0265, -0.0304, -0.0304, -0.0134, 0.0017, 0.0841, 0.1076, 0.0852, 0.1056, 0.1607, 0.2125, 0.2171, 0.1913, 0.1176, 0.1176, 0.1828, 0.2343, 0.2909, 0.2991, 0.3007, 0.3311, 0.2636, 0.2387, 0.1697, 0.1306, 0.1697, 0.1562, 0.0727, 0.1199, 0.1363, 0.1555, 0.2026, 0.0895, 0.1403, 0.1403, 0.1579, 0.1737, 0.1544, 0.1545, 0.2169, 0.2807, 0.3427, 0.2677, 0.2248, 0.2214, 0.1292, 0.154, 0.1237, 0.1125, 0.1624, 0.1416, 0.1516, 0.1235, 0.0873, 0.1163, 0.1429, 0.1396, 0.1219, 0.0768, 0.1515, 0.2167, 0.2465, 0.1992, 0.2332, 0.2178, 0.2337, 0.2264, 0.2238, 0.2238, 0.1891, 0.1925, 0.2194, 0.1844, 0.1932, 0.2743, 0.3047, 0.2739, 0.4817, 0.3589, 0.3389, 0.3635, 0.3347, 0.3272, 0.2942, 0.3712, 0.2844, 0.3117, 0.3517, 0.3323, 0.3104, 0.3388, 0.3236, 0.363, 0.3986, 0.443, 0.4123, 0.3808, 0.3132, 0.2396, 0.2077, 0.1614, 0.1697, 0.1675, 0.1791, 0.1791, 0.2005, 0.2196, 0.2117, 0.2123, 0.176, 0.1804, 0.1568, 0.1383, 0.0682, 0.0297, 0.05, 0.0117, 0.093, 0.1741, 0.1636]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001794605927325736", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-18T23:20:00+00:00", "symbol": "AA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AA - up +41% on stock basis since rec'd and just needs to stay > 44 on pullback, which I expect shortly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "RIVN still targeting 22-23 by Feb; ALB and AA remain bullish pending pullbacks staying above 125 and 44 respectively.", "resolved_tickers": ["AA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aluminum'", "bench_c_industry": "Aluminum", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\" $LULU - up +25% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 220 target - overshot to 226 where I warned it would likely soften. It dropped $10.\n\n$RIVN - up +43% on stock basis since rec’d and today hit 20 target - with 22/23 by Feb still in view\n\n$ALB - up +65% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 125 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\n\n$AA - up +41% on stock basis since rec’d and just needs to stay > 44 on pullback, which I expect shortly.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/1jZLDbJ6rJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05990240214619991, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05990240214619991, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050920395370409155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05549425498566363, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982006775790752, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00440814716053628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04819511028016832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04819511028016832, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0419652162733839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03638662733032949, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00622989400678442, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011808482949838828, "ret_p1w": 0.05853660867881483, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05853660867881483, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04425494112531014, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03697991337662221, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02155669530219262, "ret_p1m": 0.1720975189977092, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1720975189977092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15583232156702098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09360307680472557, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07849444219298363, "ret_p3m": 0.25532086326809367, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25532086326809367, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28347299525843395, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18125740353810715, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07406345972998651, "ret_p6m": 0.2559594781250143, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2559594781250143, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14384879353358215, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08766126163853705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16829821648647725, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1720975189977092, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15583232156702098, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09360307680472557, "price_path": [-0.3864, -0.3923, -0.388, -0.3635, -0.3413, -0.36, -0.3413, -0.3222, -0.3286, -0.3425, -0.3086, -0.2788, -0.28, -0.3185, -0.2946, -0.3043, -0.2905, -0.2775, -0.3, -0.2418, -0.2755, -0.3063, -0.2189, -0.2329, -0.2236, -0.235, -0.2428, -0.2847, -0.2841, -0.2761, -0.312, -0.3026, -0.2839, -0.2718, -0.2431, -0.2687, -0.2189, -0.2548, -0.2665, -0.3019, -0.2868, -0.2835, -0.3009, -0.2909, -0.2445, -0.2351, -0.1889, -0.1889, -0.1856, -0.1873, -0.1912, -0.1395, -0.1413, -0.146, -0.1325, -0.1518, -0.129, -0.0782, -0.0997, -0.1124, -0.0915, -0.086, -0.0599, 0.0, 0.0482, 0.0468, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0585, 0.0492, 0.0611, 0.0369, 0.0369, 0.1032, 0.1988, 0.2402, 0.2242, 0.192, 0.2423, 0.2814, 0.2755, 0.2599, 0.2451, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.2121, 0.2462, 0.232, 0.2139, 0.1424, 0.1641, 0.1709, 0.1832, 0.1085, 0.1358, 0.1971, 0.1348, 0.1001, 0.1543, 0.2168, 0.2051, 0.2322, 0.1807, 0.1698, 0.1698, 0.1214, 0.1748, 0.1647, 0.1803, 0.167, 0.1982, 0.2663, 0.2384, 0.2113, 0.2503, 0.2457, 0.201, 0.1781, 0.1639, 0.1934, 0.1983, 0.2969, 0.2885, 0.2428, 0.3016, 0.2786, 0.2553, 0.1463, 0.1033, 0.096, 0.1078, 0.1472, 0.1257, 0.1416, 0.2356, 0.2964, 0.4084, 0.398, 0.398, 0.3878, 0.4259, 0.4025, 0.432, 0.4273, 0.4328, 0.4041, 0.3755, 0.3761, 0.2825, 0.3003, 0.3124, 0.3394, 0.2776, 0.2901, 0.3165, 0.2346, 0.2207, 0.2467, 0.2241, 0.2207, 0.2325, 0.2364, 0.2242, 0.2348, 0.277, 0.3216, 0.3376, 0.2903, 0.2221, 0.2233, 0.2515, 0.2556, 0.2973, 0.3973, 0.3973, 0.4597, 0.4319, 0.4795, 0.5198, 0.5222, 0.6402, 0.5829, 0.5273, 0.4073, 0.4376, 0.4175, 0.2832, 0.3503, 0.3462, 0.256]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018751651700494526", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:21:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTCUSD winter is here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SPX targeting 6666 and bearish BTC ('winter is here') amid expected equity collateral damage.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Epstein is suspected of triggering the great financial crisis & even “potentially“from the dead, looks like he’s ready to trigger the second one.\n\n(emphasis on “potentially“ dead… \nVegas odds are rising strongly for serious collateral damage in equities)\n\nI told clients last week I expect $SPX $6666 to be the first target. \n\n$BTCUSD winter is here", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So let me get this straight…\n\nJeffrey Epstein admits he spoke with Satoshi, paid the salaries of roughly 60% of Bitcoin’s core developers, was a lead investor in Blockstream (responsible for the majority of major protocol changes, the centralized Lightning Network, and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040395021471746784, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040395021471746784, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031867443371913495, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527578099833288, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03455931736640505, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03455931736640505, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029715463640411666, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843853725993386, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.0904305856342269, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904305856342269, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0941867457902752, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003756160156048294, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.03864645875765693, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03864645875765693, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03226525788985135, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381200867805581, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.0336550807171172, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0336550807171172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.014331400309869124, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04798648102698633, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03864645875765693, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03226525788985135, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3394, 0.3668, 0.4014, 0.3618, 0.3442, 0.3182, 0.2481, 0.2176, 0.2289, 0.2093, 0.1454, 0.125, 0.1671, 0.1548, 0.1968, 0.2069, 0.2021, 0.1413, 0.2078, 0.2366, 0.2183, 0.1819, 0.1984, 0.2255, 0.2167, 0.2232, 0.1935, 0.1426, 0.1614, 0.139, 0.13, 0.1649, 0.17, 0.1558, 0.1584, 0.1534, 0.1543, 0.1521, 0.1692, 0.157, 0.1732, 0.1892, 0.2413, 0.2393, 0.2072, 0.2035, 0.1967, 0.2057, 0.2603, 0.2816, 0.2633, 0.263, 0.2237, 0.1676, 0.1817, 0.1828, 0.1834, 0.167, 0.1781, 0.1792, 0.118, 0.1123, 0.0404, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.171, -0.0671, -0.0729, -0.0904, -0.1143, -0.1244, -0.0896, -0.0898, -0.1076, -0.1217, -0.1147, -0.1009, -0.1457, -0.1528, -0.1015, -0.1082, -0.1289, -0.0907, -0.097, -0.0386, -0.0634, -0.0991, -0.0956, -0.0755, -0.0718, -0.068, -0.0617, -0.0102, -0.0226, -0.058, -0.0756, -0.0676, -0.0624, -0.0676, -0.0572, -0.0905, -0.1229, -0.1182, -0.0978, -0.0999, -0.1156, -0.1151, -0.0896, -0.0488, -0.0596, -0.0511, -0.0351, -0.0152, -0.0192, -0.011, -0.0064, 0.0197, 0.0032, 0.0095, 0.034, 0.0348, 0.0241, 0.0229, 0.0095, 0.0019, 0.0089, 0.0337, 0.0555, 0.07, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0602, 0.0806, 0.064, 0.0482, 0.0716, 0.0454, 0.0175, 0.0148, 0.0241, 0.0252, -0.0019, 0.0218, 0.0025, -0.017, -0.0277, -0.0299, -0.057, -0.1181, -0.1536, -0.1564, -0.1945, -0.1658, -0.185, -0.1875, -0.1596, -0.1599, -0.1235, -0.1327, -0.1483, -0.1684, -0.1599, -0.1483, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2007199835041178103", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T21:18:27+00:00", "symbol": "IVOL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long interest rate volatility✅ Long inflation protected bonds in tax efficient way✅ Long steepener...✅Oh yeah", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Enthusiastically endorses IVOL ETF for its long rate vol, inflation-protected bonds, and SOFR curve steepener exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IVOL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How did I not know about this $IVOL product by @nancy__davis 🤯\n\nLong interest rate volatility✅\nLong inflation protected bonds in tax efficient way✅\nLong steepener...✅Oh yeah\n\nBetter yet, long steepness of SOFR curve (cheaper than the 2Y10Y spot 50bp vs 71bp)❗️\n\n#FixedIncome https://t.co/q0IZs62ZNL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00365540987415669, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00365540987415669, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002960643725218981, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002960643725218981, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0059472480516442605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0059472480516442605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "ret_p1w": -0.013577048895555999, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013577048895555999, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024395442582731075, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024395442582731075, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "ret_p1m": -0.012156421856058808, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012156421856058808, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01478837154289514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01478837154289514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "ret_p3m": -0.020414764450431222, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020414764450431222, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023351403071618315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.023351403071618315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012156421856058808, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01478837154289514, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01478837154289514, "price_path": [0.0029, 0.0024, 0.006, 0.0071, 0.0065, 0.0097, 0.0138, 0.0107, 0.0091, 0.0097, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0071, 0.0055, 0.004, -0.0033, -0.0044, -0.0024, -0.0039, -0.0044, -0.0091, -0.0055, -0.0013, -0.0055, -0.0024, -0.0044, -0.0049, -0.0013, -0.0003, 0.0075, 0.007, 0.0065, 0.0127, 0.0106, 0.0122, 0.0126, 0.0126, 0.01, 0.0074, 0.0084, 0.01, 0.0032, 0.0022, 0.0001, -0.0041, -0.0009, -0.0046, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0006, -0.0004, 0.0017, -0.0015, -0.0025, -0.0087, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.0041, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0052, -0.0094, -0.012, -0.0136, -0.0099, -0.0078, -0.0131, -0.0188, -0.0188, -0.0115, -0.012, -0.0204, -0.0178, -0.0198, -0.0183, -0.0157, -0.0127, -0.0069, -0.0101, -0.0122, -0.0116, -0.0022, -0.0043, -0.0033, -0.0038, -0.0064, -0.0038, -0.0006, -0.0006, -0.0006, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.0046, 0.0009, -0.0022, -0.0101, -0.0023, 0.0029, -0.0044, -0.0039, -0.0102, -0.0123, -0.0076, -0.0047, -0.0092, -0.0081, -0.0134, -0.0144, -0.0118, -0.0086, -0.016, -0.0218, -0.0186, -0.0165, -0.0207, -0.0218, -0.0307, -0.0192, -0.0136, -0.0141, -0.0209, -0.0204, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0209, -0.0241, -0.023, -0.0249, -0.0212, -0.022, -0.0257, -0.0249, -0.0209, -0.0215, -0.0283, -0.0307, -0.0315, -0.0246, -0.0225, -0.0294, -0.0333, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0275, -0.0299, -0.0296, -0.0318, -0.0344, -0.0402, -0.0429, -0.0434, -0.0465, -0.0505, -0.0476, -0.0487, -0.0471, -0.0481, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.055, -0.0539, -0.0559, -0.0564, -0.058, -0.0596, -0.0627, -0.0617, -0.0702, -0.0675, -0.067, -0.0659, -0.0622, -0.0659, -0.0643, -0.0665, -0.0861, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0825, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015911141239673057", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-26T22:14:04+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Back to $37!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish INTC back to $37 after selling into earnings; prior $53 bull thesis now reversed to downside target.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After being very bullish $INTC with a $53 target from $37, I told clients it had turned FOMO &amp; was not safe into earnings. In fact, I rec'd selling that juicy 200IV in the options for the inevitable 'option crush'. That worked great. #NotDone\nBack to $37!\nhttps://t.co/VJBNMnODyJ https://t.co/0MGj3zEznK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Swing Long $INTC from client post Dec 2nd:\n\n\"INTC - gorgeous bounce off the 10W at 35 on cue, getting back above 37.16 monthly support and 40 monthly trendline resistance. I’m afraid my bullish thesis may have been buried as I posted it on the chart. I will pull out and highlight https://t.co/mkrw5M4Usr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03277939031881416, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03277939031881416, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028810947297260525, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012079592465453204, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020699797853360957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11040287822510386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11040287822510386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11050354280542873, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08737033093765767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023032547287446192, "ret_p1w": 0.12110174500038462, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12110174500038462, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.129671203384359, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14460084217464797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02349909717426335, "ret_p1m": 0.06715230463114485, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06715230463114485, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07051676017074937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.020718900918169192, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04643340371297566, "ret_p3m": 0.8788982549996154, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.8788982549996154, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8495666607549825, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6353377824608646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2435604725387508, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06715230463114485, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07051676017074937, "alpha_c_stated": -0.020718900918169192, "price_path": [-0.0858, -0.0897, -0.1008, -0.1571, -0.1263, -0.1523, -0.132, -0.1247, -0.1377, -0.1375, -0.1826, -0.1914, -0.2099, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2347, -0.2147, -0.1853, -0.1844, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.0767, -0.0892, -0.0105, -0.0039, -0.0781, -0.0574, -0.0826, -0.0781, -0.0717, -0.1006, -0.1393, -0.1461, -0.1507, -0.1794, -0.1741, -0.1618, -0.1721, -0.1725, -0.1769, -0.1769, -0.176, -0.165, -0.1509, -0.16, -0.16, -0.1036, -0.1038, -0.0885, -0.0296, -0.0642, 0.0369, 0.003, 0.0765, 0.109, 0.0999, 0.069, 0.069, 0.1054, 0.2349, 0.2365, 0.026, -0.0328, 0.0, 0.1104, 0.1077, 0.0578, 0.1111, 0.1211, 0.1063, 0.0981, 0.1516, 0.1436, 0.0728, 0.0992, 0.058, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0512, 0.0348, 0.0157, 0.0041, -0.0068, 0.0499, 0.0672, 0.0348, 0.0382, 0.0357, -0.0189, 0.0376, 0.046, -0.0116, 0.0376, 0.0649, 0.0922, 0.03, 0.0419, 0.0417, 0.003, 0.025, 0.0512, -0.0014, 0.0018, 0.003, 0.074, 0.0039, -0.0182, -0.0624, 0.0046, 0.0933, 0.1468, 0.1468, 0.1559, 0.2044, 0.3419, 0.405, 0.42, 0.4837, 0.4525, 0.4783, 0.5593, 0.5593, 0.4956, 0.5083, 0.4858, 0.5201, 0.8789, 0.9347, 0.924, 1.1568, 1.1507, 1.2677, 1.1803, 1.4619, 1.5725, 1.4953, 1.8436, 1.9465, 1.7455, 1.7382, 1.639, 1.476, 1.4623, 1.5222, 1.7079, 1.6975, 1.728, 1.728, 1.8117, 1.7719, 1.7519, 1.6105, 1.4887, 1.4569, 1.5657, 1.5445, 1.2575, 1.5101, 1.4566, 1.4366, 1.6624, 1.8356, 1.9105, 1.6645, 1.7567, 2.0501, 2.0501, 2.0501, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986646426873430299", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T04:06:32+00:00", "symbol": "TMUS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TMUS swing short also still in play with one of my fave trend reversal patterns post gap down on wkly below 248, breaking 208 target on way to 190 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short TMUS targeting 190; short CVNA targeting 288-292.84 on weekly 50MA.", "resolved_tickers": ["TMUS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Telecom Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Telecom Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "•ORCL long awaited swing short from Wed Sept 10th at 339.69 into “NOT IF JUST WHEN” 243.49 finally tagged TODAY!! Congrats shorts!!\n•TMUS swing short also still in play with one of my fave trend reversal patterns post gap down on wkly below 248, breaking 208 target on way to 190 soon.\n•CVNA swing short into 292.84 target with 50W right below at 288 where it’s headed next.\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028937264139470398, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028937264139470398, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027953667475737798, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0315239613366568, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005458923549849448, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005458923549849448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021063202176992757, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015895024519736012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010436100969886564, "ret_p1w": 0.04386484782376865, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04386484782376865, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04243412007688652, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.050822294130983936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.007474044817476488, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007474044817476488, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02634224277281716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04449127275366915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.02033943335472488, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02033943335472488, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04604502225479434, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06554619105406512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": -0.05158114724806773, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05158114724806773, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1277818226131996, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09383916466010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007474044817476488, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02634224277281716, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04449127275366915, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.2075, 0.205, 0.2258, 0.2284, 0.2431, 0.2469, 0.2428, 0.2129, 0.2119, 0.2093, 0.21, 0.2062, 0.2173, 0.2173, 0.2362, 0.2206, 0.218, 0.2211, 0.1734, 0.1726, 0.1613, 0.1661, 0.1677, 0.1582, 0.1479, 0.1568, 0.1538, 0.1506, 0.1471, 0.157, 0.1517, 0.1495, 0.1472, 0.1496, 0.1564, 0.1269, 0.1118, 0.1124, 0.0868, 0.0999, 0.0946, 0.0928, 0.1053, 0.0872, 0.1083, 0.0949, 0.094, 0.1079, 0.1115, 0.1067, 0.0986, 0.0628, 0.052, 0.0661, 0.0628, 0.0387, 0.0176, 0.0147, -0.0178, -0.0034, -0.0109, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0055, 0.0241, 0.0274, 0.0366, 0.0439, 0.0427, 0.0294, 0.0206, 0.017, 0.012, 0.0016, -0.0005, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0147, 0.0032, 0.0202, 0.0123, 0.0099, 0.0177, -0.0075, -0.0225, -0.0518, -0.0517, -0.0525, -0.0477, -0.0387, -0.032, -0.0277, -0.0449, -0.0496, -0.0403, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0242, -0.0137, -0.0106, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0311, -0.0249, -0.0358, -0.0422, -0.0392, -0.0263, -0.0411, -0.0792, -0.0678, -0.0744, -0.0954, -0.0954, -0.1084, -0.1086, -0.1, -0.0969, -0.0875, -0.1043, -0.0958, -0.0811, -0.0426, -0.0534, -0.0403, -0.0203, -0.02, -0.0417, -0.0404, -0.0318, 0.0173, 0.0422, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.0662, 0.0353, 0.0452, 0.046, 0.0678, 0.0777, 0.0616, 0.0348, 0.059, 0.0542, 0.066, 0.0718, 0.0758, 0.0809, 0.061, 0.0673, 0.0412, 0.0457, 0.0605, 0.0479, 0.0408, 0.0079, 0.0078, 0.017, 0.0184, 0.0306, 0.0311, 0.0322, 0.0284, 0.0436, 0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0175, -0.0175, -0.0311, -0.0217, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.0453, -0.0613, -0.0731, -0.0722, -0.0384, -0.0357, -0.0324, -0.0468, -0.0784, -0.0533, -0.0741, -0.1085, -0.0891, -0.0333, -0.0463, -0.0436, -0.0516]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986646426873430299", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T04:06:32+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CVNA swing short into 292.84 target with 50W right below at 288 where it's headed next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short TMUS targeting 190; short CVNA targeting 288-292.84 on weekly 50MA.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "•ORCL long awaited swing short from Wed Sept 10th at 339.69 into “NOT IF JUST WHEN” 243.49 finally tagged TODAY!! Congrats shorts!!\n•TMUS swing short also still in play with one of my fave trend reversal patterns post gap down on wkly below 248, breaking 208 target on way to 190 soon.\n•CVNA swing short into 292.84 target with 50W right below at 288 where it’s headed next.\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04556071651155036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04556071651155036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04457711984781776, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043992044077647674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015686724339026847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.060166468072098356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060166468072098356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04456218944495505, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04702303129142904, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013143436780669315, "ret_p1w": 0.04710678636258603, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04710678636258603, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045676058615703896, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06817860838493872, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021071822022352693, "ret_p1m": 0.47366689984352317, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.47366689984352317, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4547987018881825, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4731581903696991, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0005087094738240872, "ret_p3m": 0.29293728864360524, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29293728864360524, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2672316997435358, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27251830611581407, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020418982527791174, "ret_p6m": 0.2386920152434795, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2386920152434795, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16249133987834763, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23648524757581169, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0022067676676678083, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.47366689984352317, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4547987018881825, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4731581903696991, "price_path": [0.1353, 0.1509, 0.127, 0.1513, 0.1826, 0.1324, 0.1139, 0.1154, 0.177, 0.1912, 0.2244, 0.2084, 0.2414, 0.2235, 0.2235, 0.2053, 0.1919, 0.2177, 0.2135, 0.2244, 0.2336, 0.2011, 0.1653, 0.1901, 0.2018, 0.1993, 0.2437, 0.244, 0.2892, 0.2857, 0.2438, 0.233, 0.2217, 0.2148, 0.2917, 0.241, 0.3007, 0.2984, 0.236, 0.2158, 0.2182, 0.1872, 0.1843, 0.0831, 0.1128, 0.1379, 0.1692, 0.134, 0.0981, 0.1106, 0.1707, 0.0753, 0.1251, 0.1553, 0.1683, 0.1915, 0.1643, 0.0036, 0.0084, 0.0932, 0.0191, 0.0187, -0.0456, 0.0, 0.0602, 0.0753, 0.0796, 0.0479, 0.0471, 0.0629, 0.0435, 0.0847, 0.0305, 0.0194, 0.0885, 0.1554, 0.1755, 0.1755, 0.2319, 0.2344, 0.2572, 0.2994, 0.312, 0.3151, 0.4737, 0.5011, 0.5384, 0.5551, 0.499, 0.4735, 0.4974, 0.4679, 0.5321, 0.481, 0.4263, 0.4387, 0.4526, 0.4526, 0.4424, 0.4262, 0.413, 0.3883, 0.3883, 0.3167, 0.4147, 0.4489, 0.4829, 0.4559, 0.5234, 0.5281, 0.5413, 0.5086, 0.5161, 0.4577, 0.4577, 0.4549, 0.4968, 0.5739, 0.557, 0.5583, 0.5715, 0.3489, 0.4061, 0.3195, 0.3418, 0.3499, 0.2929, 0.2622, 0.3279, 0.354, 0.2885, 0.1976, 0.1321, 0.1279, 0.1279, 0.1544, 0.1893, 0.0947, 0.1073, 0.0694, 0.0696, 0.1016, 0.1642, 0.0992, 0.0629, 0.0493, 0.0404, 0.0894, 0.0451, 0.0798, 0.0486, 0.0181, -0.0373, -0.0126, 0.0065, 0.0354, -0.0422, -0.0323, -0.0747, -0.0144, -0.0099, 0.015, -0.0086, -0.0064, -0.0434, 0.0342, 0.0266, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0423, 0.0534, 0.1145, 0.0755, 0.1063, 0.1818, 0.231, 0.2207, 0.1916, 0.2748, 0.3224, 0.3189, 0.3711, 0.3258, 0.3457, 0.338, 0.337, 0.3046, 0.302, 0.2586, 0.2387]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2020215119775498340", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T19:16:32+00:00", "symbol": "IGV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "software stocks are really busted & for good reason", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Software/tech remain structurally broken post growth-to-value rotation; any oversold bounce won't repair major support breaks, staying bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["IGV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said to clients Wed:\nSoftware Needs An Intervention!!\n\nAfter calling this growth-to-value rotation Nov & saying it should working into Feb... we are there!\n\nBut big picture, software stocks are really busted & for good reason. #AI #SaaS \n\n$IGV $QQQ $XLK $XLP $IYT $XLB $XLE\n\n---\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS\n\nSign up for more market timing calls reviewed in our YouTube channel, or better yet: JOIN US LIVE!\n\nA reflexive, over-sold bounce won't quickly repair the major long-term support &amp; investor confidence breaks. $XLK \n\n https://t.co/uinYjGijM0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03056663138628568, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03056663138628568, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02576795415924571, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02576795415924571, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798677227039971, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798677227039971, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004114778520366347, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004114778520366347, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006751924478547777, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006751924478547777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026371459581814305, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026371459581814305, "ret_p1w": -0.02692220810568402, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02692220810568402, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009341618207301505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009341618207301505, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580589898382515, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580589898382515, "ret_p1m": 0.006936371692419341, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006936371692419341, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031102443361779142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031102443361779142, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0241660716693598, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0241660716693598, "ret_p3m": 0.06806963446499092, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06806963446499092, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01096474767658373, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01096474767658373, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057104886788407194, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057104886788407194, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006936371692419341, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.031102443361779142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031102443361779142, "price_path": [0.2914, 0.2561, 0.2631, 0.2402, 0.2275, 0.2214, 0.185, 0.1865, 0.2019, 0.2131, 0.2106, 0.2106, 0.2237, 0.2235, 0.237, 0.2542, 0.2691, 0.2869, 0.2862, 0.2926, 0.2941, 0.2906, 0.2693, 0.239, 0.2498, 0.2309, 0.2483, 0.2669, 0.2809, 0.2705, 0.2724, 0.2724, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2578, 0.2425, 0.2425, 0.2064, 0.2183, 0.2335, 0.249, 0.2278, 0.2344, 0.2385, 0.215, 0.1882, 0.1731, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.1278, 0.1216, 0.1397, 0.1487, 0.1617, 0.1493, 0.1411, 0.0848, 0.0617, 0.0524, 0.0039, -0.0143, -0.0634, -0.0306, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.0215, -0.0482, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0482, -0.036, -0.0386, -0.0503, -0.0955, -0.0782, -0.0495, -0.0289, -0.041, -0.0269, -0.0111, 0.0069, 0.0301, 0.0342, 0.0312, 0.0069, 0.008, -0.0008, -0.0102, -0.0013, 0.0055, -0.0085, -0.0071, -0.0243, -0.0073, -0.0498, -0.0548, -0.0624, -0.096, -0.0875, -0.0589, -0.0622, -0.0555, -0.0555, -0.0541, -0.0536, -0.0624, -0.099, -0.1221, -0.0748, -0.0656, -0.0245, -0.0082, 0.0002, 0.0146, 0.019, 0.0433, -0.0175, 0.0016, 0.0043, -0.0007, -0.0066, -0.0135, 0.0185, 0.0397, 0.0377, 0.0324, 0.0681, 0.0716, 0.0662, 0.0515, 0.0416, 0.0656, 0.079, 0.0918, 0.081, 0.0971, 0.0872, 0.1052, 0.1052, 0.1057, 0.0939, 0.1249, 0.1952, 0.2662, 0.2312, 0.178, 0.1763, 0.1269, 0.1245, 0.0928, 0.0767, 0.0689, 0.0663, 0.0898, 0.0744, 0.0484, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.0476, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2020215119775498340", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T19:16:32+00:00", "symbol": "XLK", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A reflexive, over-sold bounce won't quickly repair the major long-term support & investor confidence breaks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Software/tech remain structurally broken post growth-to-value rotation; any oversold bounce won't repair major support breaks, staying bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said to clients Wed:\nSoftware Needs An Intervention!!\n\nAfter calling this growth-to-value rotation Nov & saying it should working into Feb... we are there!\n\nBut big picture, software stocks are really busted & for good reason. #AI #SaaS \n\n$IGV $QQQ $XLK $XLP $IYT $XLB $XLE\n\n---\n\nGET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS\n\nSign up for more market timing calls reviewed in our YouTube channel, or better yet: JOIN US LIVE!\n\nA reflexive, over-sold bounce won't quickly repair the major long-term support &amp; investor confidence breaks. $XLK \n\n https://t.co/uinYjGijM0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015486650211234854, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015486650211234854, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010687972984194882, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010687972984194882, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798677227039971, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798677227039971, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005580778691494759, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005580778691494759, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0029436327333133283, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029436327333133283, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026371459581814305, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026371459581814305, "ret_p1w": -0.02643889109147257, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02643889109147257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008858301193090057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008858301193090057, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580589898382515, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580589898382515, "ret_p1m": -0.025043696418598937, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025043696418598937, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0008776247492391365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0008776247492391365, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0241660716693598, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0241660716693598, "ret_p3m": 0.1852178213178839, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1852178213178839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1281129345294767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1281129345294767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057104886788407194, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057104886788407194, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025043696418598937, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0008776247492391365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0008776247492391365, "price_path": [0.0236, -0.0019, 0.0035, -0.0122, -0.0282, -0.0215, -0.0522, -0.0485, -0.0259, -0.0232, -0.0117, -0.0117, -0.0032, -0.0027, 0.0075, 0.0099, 0.0137, 0.0211, 0.0283, 0.031, 0.036, 0.0307, 0.0009, -0.0088, -0.007, -0.0291, -0.0141, 0.0072, 0.0126, 0.0181, 0.0206, 0.0206, 0.0222, 0.0176, 0.0144, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0066, 0.0089, 0.023, 0.0222, 0.0062, 0.0195, 0.024, 0.0218, 0.0094, 0.0147, 0.0158, 0.0158, -0.0105, 0.0032, 0.0107, 0.0121, 0.019, 0.0328, 0.041, 0.0246, 0.0037, 0.0133, -0.0089, -0.0365, -0.0539, -0.0155, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0027, -0.0289, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.027, -0.017, -0.0219, -0.0172, -0.0337, -0.0211, -0.0024, -0.0163, -0.032, -0.0266, -0.0408, -0.0245, -0.0221, -0.0423, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0204, -0.0384, -0.0457, -0.0319, -0.0266, -0.0376, -0.0343, -0.0562, -0.0435, -0.049, -0.0448, -0.0745, -0.0926, -0.1095, -0.0717, -0.0577, -0.0502, -0.0502, -0.0446, -0.0401, -0.0104, -0.0077, -0.0039, 0.017, 0.0333, 0.0498, 0.0618, 0.0781, 0.0795, 0.0804, 0.1042, 0.0885, 0.1191, 0.1215, 0.1025, 0.1113, 0.114, 0.1306, 0.1319, 0.1569, 0.1876, 0.1852, 0.2259, 0.2424, 0.2237, 0.2352, 0.2537, 0.2311, 0.2178, 0.21, 0.2373, 0.2475, 0.26, 0.26, 0.2931, 0.2882, 0.3051, 0.3342, 0.3673, 0.3844, 0.3706, 0.3492, 0.2593, 0.2864, 0.2626, 0.2337, 0.2796, 0.2908, 0.3396, 0.3022, 0.2977, 0.3371, 0.3371, 0.3371, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016150538476216743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T14:05:21+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the de-dollarization movement is also one really big reason why Gold is rising over the past year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish USD on de-dollarization + tariff spiral; bullish gold on same de-dollarization trend continuing.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's go back, way back to a year ago when I wrote for clients a long post entitled:\n\nBALANCE OF TRADE IS THE END GAME\n\n\"I have written repeatedly about the current administration putting into play policies that would “reduce demand of USD” by foreign investors on top of the de-dollarization movement already under way.\n\nWe can see that movement grow - from trade settled locally between nations or in gold, to China’s mandate to move away from oil as largest imported commodity and with it their dependence on the petrol-dollar in trade.\n\nThe Problem is clear: US production has become less & less competitive.\n\nThe \"Solution\", according to Trump, Lutnik & Bessent: The loss of competitiveness from US manufacturers means the USD has to fall! And that, they contend, will save the US manufacturer.\n\nThe de-dollarization movement is also one really big reason why Gold is rising over the past year. And ironically, this is why China has risen the past few decades.\"\n\nSo this news out on Trump torpedoing Korea is part and parcel of his STRATEGY OF CHOAS, another post I did for clients in March of last year. \n\nWhat else did I write on this topic?\n\nThe more the dollar falls, the more Trump will raise tariffs. ✅\n\nhttps://t.co/gQyLKiG4Qr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023944536337615063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023944536337615063, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019976093316061427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019976093316061427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038773348494905324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038773348494905324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038874013075230196, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038874013075230196, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": -0.04580969812853086, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04580969812853086, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03724023974455648, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03724023974455648, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": -0.005629054067263661, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005629054067263661, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002264598527659145, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002264598527659145, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": -0.09000211206508368, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09000211206508368, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11933370630971651, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11933370630971651, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005629054067263661, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002264598527659145, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002264598527659145, "price_path": [-0.2226, -0.2268, -0.2254, -0.239, -0.2302, -0.2311, -0.2264, -0.2053, -0.2021, -0.1893, -0.1958, -0.2103, -0.2194, -0.2137, -0.2124, -0.2127, -0.2139, -0.2014, -0.2017, -0.1953, -0.1953, -0.1853, -0.1814, -0.1866, -0.1874, -0.1869, -0.1883, -0.1905, -0.1863, -0.1828, -0.174, -0.1694, -0.1687, -0.1685, -0.1613, -0.1628, -0.1619, -0.1426, -0.1312, -0.1348, -0.1348, -0.1247, -0.1628, -0.1622, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1635, -0.1414, -0.1322, -0.1405, -0.1357, -0.1294, -0.1131, -0.1144, -0.1054, -0.1108, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.0816, -0.0683, -0.0511, -0.038, -0.0239, 0.0, 0.0388, 0.0416, -0.0654, -0.1029, -0.0458, -0.0465, -0.0719, -0.0434, -0.0191, -0.0288, -0.0178, -0.0519, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0586, -0.0374, -0.0347, -0.0157, 0.0109, -0.0031, -0.0056, 0.0029, 0.0161, 0.0292, -0.0167, -0.009, -0.0209, -0.0054, -0.0075, 0.0037, 0.0003, -0.0194, -0.0321, -0.0329, -0.0353, -0.0659, -0.1044, -0.1317, -0.1514, -0.1512, -0.1256, -0.1585, -0.129, -0.1292, -0.0962, -0.0804, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1018, -0.093, -0.0873, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0856, -0.0651, -0.0749, -0.0757, -0.0634, -0.0714, -0.0977, -0.0858, -0.0946, -0.09, -0.0971, -0.1138, -0.1233, -0.1101, -0.1112, -0.1289, -0.1215, -0.0948, -0.0933, -0.0889, -0.0871, -0.0907, -0.0958, -0.1027, -0.1235, -0.1211, -0.1357, -0.1233, -0.1242, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1304, -0.142, -0.133, -0.1239, -0.1362, -0.1347, -0.1433, -0.1362, -0.1677, -0.1656, -0.1792, -0.2132, -0.1886, -0.1881, -0.1671, -0.1648, -0.1838, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1869, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011435715071009036", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T13:50:19+00:00", "symbol": "FCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you will not believe my upside target on copper!! METALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish copper, FCX, COPX, and XME; author teases new upside target well above prior $6/lb call, framing metals as the new secular bull theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Copper'", "bench_c_industry": "Copper", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Me in July '25 last year: \n\n\"Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers.  🙄 But it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients!\"\n\nNow that XME has tripled & copper spot price is at my $6/lb target (from 2023), you will not believe my upside target on copper!!\n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chamath's best trade idea for 2026 is not a stock. It is copper.\n\n\"We are still completely underestimating how short we are in terms of the global demand and supply dynamics of a handful of critical elements that we need.\n\nThe asset that is set up to go absolutely parabolic is https://t.co/jXvD5GKokB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016735703632482224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016735703632482224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02167514626490097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01632542110344415, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00041028252903807516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003986690286887917, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003986690286887917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006709898672368153, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008294342449045367, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004307652162157449, "ret_p1w": 0.006312365465238168, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006312365465238168, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013497017374252684, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0037389277107100494, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010051293175948217, "ret_p1m": 0.030564837221471963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030564837221471963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04373185506964583, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05312745402567698, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08369229124714894, "ret_p3m": 0.1300664056757117, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1300664056757117, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13352296672898778, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05474144147718518, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07532496419852652, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030564837221471963, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04373185506964583, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05312745402567698, "price_path": [-0.3176, -0.3009, -0.3155, -0.3243, -0.3168, -0.3145, -0.319, -0.3178, -0.3009, -0.3085, -0.309, -0.3176, -0.3468, -0.3337, -0.3596, -0.3403, -0.3215, -0.3195, -0.3072, -0.3283, -0.3345, -0.3538, -0.3372, -0.3165, -0.3433, -0.3394, -0.3241, -0.3195, -0.3016, -0.3016, -0.2878, -0.2863, -0.288, -0.2621, -0.2608, -0.251, -0.2543, -0.2577, -0.2303, -0.2028, -0.2149, -0.2126, -0.2123, -0.2076, -0.206, -0.1856, -0.1609, -0.14, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1211, -0.147, -0.1481, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.1395, -0.0984, -0.0696, -0.0804, -0.1016, -0.0633, -0.0272, -0.0167, 0.0, -0.004, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0022, 0.0063, -0.0224, 0.0035, 0.0161, 0.0444, 0.057, 0.0819, 0.0005, 0.0093, 0.0743, 0.0276, -0.0163, 0.0078, 0.0566, 0.0508, 0.0874, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0148, 0.039, 0.0394, 0.0688, 0.0889, 0.1276, 0.1432, 0.1359, 0.1309, 0.1344, 0.0892, 0.0952, 0.0409, -0.014, 0.0048, 0.0365, 0.0223, -0.0164, -0.0635, -0.0377, -0.035, -0.0789, -0.1093, -0.1347, -0.0874, -0.0618, -0.0517, -0.0726, -0.0658, -0.0922, -0.0236, 0.0166, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0141, 0.0093, 0.0814, 0.1038, 0.1262, 0.1301, 0.1341, 0.1437, 0.1367, 0.1688, 0.1683, 0.1249, 0.1713, 0.0235, 0.0164, 0.0084, -0.0309, -0.0522, -0.0381, -0.0586, -0.0749, -0.0398, 0.0137, 0.009, 0.0263, 0.0716, 0.0993, 0.1181, 0.1011, 0.049, 0.0072, -0.0228, 0.0134, 0.0373, 0.032, 0.032, 0.0715, 0.0593, 0.0966, 0.0939, 0.1161, 0.194, 0.176, 0.1602, 0.055, 0.064, 0.0696, 0.0335, 0.1044, 0.1389, 0.1675, 0.1678, 0.1497, 0.1434, 0.1434, 0.1434, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011435715071009036", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T13:50:19+00:00", "symbol": "COPX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for my rec'd $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish copper, FCX, COPX, and XME; author teases new upside target well above prior $6/lb call, framing metals as the new secular bull theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["COPX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Me in July '25 last year: \n\n\"Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers.  🙄 But it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients!\"\n\nNow that XME has tripled & copper spot price is at my $6/lb target (from 2023), you will not believe my upside target on copper!!\n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chamath's best trade idea for 2026 is not a stock. It is copper.\n\n\"We are still completely underestimating how short we are in terms of the global demand and supply dynamics of a handful of critical elements that we need.\n\nThe asset that is set up to go absolutely parabolic is https://t.co/jXvD5GKokB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030950395322835722, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030950395322835722, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03588983795525447, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03588983795525447, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004248069871512494, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004248069871512494, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00697127825699273, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00697127825699273, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "ret_p1w": 0.01917710696394548, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01917710696394548, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026361758872959995, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026361758872959995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "ret_p1m": 0.05777402805550347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05777402805550347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07094104590367734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07094104590367734, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "ret_p3m": 0.030100781348533223, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030100781348533223, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0335573424018093, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0335573424018093, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05777402805550347, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07094104590367734, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07094104590367734, "price_path": [-0.2753, -0.261, -0.2967, -0.2998, -0.286, -0.2782, -0.2762, -0.2666, -0.2548, -0.2634, -0.2676, -0.286, -0.313, -0.2967, -0.288, -0.2781, -0.2584, -0.2647, -0.2491, -0.2678, -0.2748, -0.2889, -0.3034, -0.2902, -0.3189, -0.3075, -0.2883, -0.281, -0.2616, -0.2616, -0.2374, -0.2308, -0.2333, -0.1999, -0.2031, -0.1934, -0.2002, -0.2066, -0.1881, -0.1799, -0.1919, -0.1846, -0.1897, -0.1847, -0.1799, -0.1663, -0.1396, -0.1231, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1021, -0.1345, -0.12, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1132, -0.0697, -0.0524, -0.0788, -0.0822, -0.0589, -0.0282, -0.031, 0.0, -0.0042, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0017, 0.0192, -0.0019, 0.0439, 0.0691, 0.0975, 0.1164, 0.1437, 0.0294, 0.0341, 0.1016, 0.0512, -0.0131, 0.0278, 0.0806, 0.0709, 0.0938, 0.0578, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.029, 0.0518, 0.0453, 0.0813, 0.1027, 0.1333, 0.1538, 0.1464, 0.1615, 0.1361, 0.0562, 0.07, -0.0011, -0.0296, -0.0018, 0.0081, -0.0012, -0.0322, -0.0728, -0.0453, -0.0544, -0.0905, -0.1215, -0.1615, -0.1073, -0.114, -0.0819, -0.1396, -0.1308, -0.1413, -0.0733, -0.0515, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0688, -0.0686, -0.0044, -0.0101, 0.0137, 0.0301, 0.049, 0.0448, 0.0464, 0.0583, 0.0469, -0.0112, 0.0305, 0.0008, -0.0002, -0.0084, -0.0449, -0.0566, -0.0337, -0.0405, -0.0697, -0.0507, 0.0143, 0.0027, 0.0435, 0.0631, 0.1017, 0.1155, 0.0848, 0.008, -0.0066, -0.0367, -0.001, 0.0076, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0621, 0.0449, 0.0734, 0.0698, 0.0931, 0.1368, 0.0954, 0.095, -0.0212, -0.0134, -0.0273, -0.06, 0.0093, 0.0435, 0.0901, 0.0898, 0.053, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0375, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011435715071009036", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-14T13:50:19+00:00", "symbol": "XME", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very good for my rec'd $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish copper, FCX, COPX, and XME; author teases new upside target well above prior $6/lb call, framing metals as the new secular bull theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["XME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Me in July '25 last year: \n\n\"Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers.  🙄 But it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients!\"\n\nNow that XME has tripled & copper spot price is at my $6/lb target (from 2023), you will not believe my upside target on copper!!\n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chamath's best trade idea for 2026 is not a stock. It is copper.\n\n\"We are still completely underestimating how short we are in terms of the global demand and supply dynamics of a handful of critical elements that we need.\n\nThe asset that is set up to go absolutely parabolic is https://t.co/jXvD5GKokB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026024683496835288, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026024683496835288, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030964126129254033, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030964126129254033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006099537134765409, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006099537134765409, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033763287492851735, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033763287492851735, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "ret_p1w": 0.039443690027809675, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039443690027809675, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04662834193682419, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04662834193682419, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "ret_p1m": -0.05107349568798736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05107349568798736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03790647783981349, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03790647783981349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "ret_p3m": -0.06456383929303156, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06456383929303156, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06110727823975548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06110727823975548, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05107349568798736, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03790647783981349, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03790647783981349, "price_path": [-0.1694, -0.1284, -0.1852, -0.2097, -0.1974, -0.1892, -0.206, -0.2015, -0.2028, -0.2168, -0.2154, -0.2305, -0.2683, -0.2621, -0.26, -0.24, -0.2264, -0.2366, -0.2171, -0.2494, -0.254, -0.268, -0.2634, -0.2581, -0.2897, -0.2797, -0.2574, -0.2455, -0.2256, -0.2256, -0.2114, -0.2218, -0.2153, -0.1904, -0.1812, -0.1898, -0.2023, -0.192, -0.1865, -0.1481, -0.1703, -0.1808, -0.1803, -0.1794, -0.1688, -0.1457, -0.1285, -0.1216, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.123, -0.1419, -0.1483, -0.1574, -0.1574, -0.1255, -0.0968, -0.0646, -0.0715, -0.0726, -0.0493, -0.02, -0.026, 0.0, 0.0061, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.023, 0.0394, 0.0629, 0.069, 0.0261, 0.0438, 0.0468, 0.031, -0.0345, -0.0353, 0.0132, -0.0107, -0.0594, -0.0037, 0.0204, 0.0011, 0.0063, -0.0511, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0638, -0.0477, -0.0465, -0.0447, -0.0427, -0.0292, -0.0283, -0.0238, -0.0294, -0.0073, -0.0462, -0.0432, -0.0821, -0.1043, -0.0887, -0.0719, -0.0655, -0.0825, -0.1133, -0.1015, -0.0991, -0.1224, -0.1447, -0.1727, -0.1568, -0.1307, -0.1219, -0.1462, -0.1379, -0.1581, -0.121, -0.1057, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1031, -0.1065, -0.0776, -0.0828, -0.0759, -0.0646, -0.062, -0.0586, -0.0563, -0.043, -0.03, -0.0449, -0.0087, -0.0427, -0.0415, -0.0218, -0.0473, -0.0673, -0.0338, -0.0352, -0.0482, -0.0326, 0.0102, -0.0193, -0.0157, 0.0135, 0.0058, 0.0037, -0.0156, -0.0594, -0.0787, -0.1039, -0.0789, -0.0611, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0019, 0.0002, 0.029, 0.0189, 0.0372, 0.0809, 0.0459, 0.0469, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0552, -0.0851, -0.0369, -0.0199, -0.0183, -0.0289, -0.0366, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0477, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011435715071009036", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-14T13:50:19+00:00", "symbol": "copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you will not believe my upside target on copper!! METALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish copper, FCX, COPX, and XME; author teases new upside target well above prior $6/lb call, framing metals as the new secular bull theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CPER United States Copper Index Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Me in July '25 last year: \n\n\"Trump making EVERYTHING that uses copper more expensive for US manufactures and consumers.  🙄 But it is very good for my rec’d $FCX swing long with $COPX & $XME - from May for clients!\"\n\nNow that XME has tripled & copper spot price is at my $6/lb target (from 2023), you will not believe my upside target on copper!!\n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Chamath's best trade idea for 2026 is not a stock. It is copper.\n\n\"We are still completely underestimating how short we are in terms of the global demand and supply dynamics of a handful of critical elements that we need.\n\nThe asset that is set up to go absolutely parabolic is https://t.co/jXvD5GKokB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016266682942708388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016266682942708388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021206125575127133, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021206125575127133, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01946665445963547, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01946665445963547, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022189862845115704, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022189862845115704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "ret_p1w": -0.048533325195312504, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.048533325195312504, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04134867328629799, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04134867328629799, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "ret_p1m": -0.05306671142578123, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05306671142578123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039899693577607365, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039899693577607365, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "ret_p3m": -0.018933308919270808, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.018933308919270808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.015476747865994733, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015476747865994733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05306671142578123, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.039899693577607365, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039899693577607365, "price_path": [-0.1781, -0.1672, -0.1856, -0.1741, -0.1624, -0.1576, -0.1493, -0.1469, -0.1413, -0.1581, -0.1592, -0.1659, -0.1859, -0.1765, -0.1779, -0.1821, -0.1571, -0.1643, -0.16, -0.1664, -0.1648, -0.1757, -0.1787, -0.1699, -0.1795, -0.1715, -0.1704, -0.1685, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1392, -0.1389, -0.1429, -0.1192, -0.1243, -0.1107, -0.1136, -0.1293, -0.1181, -0.1037, -0.1245, -0.116, -0.1229, -0.1139, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.088, -0.088, -0.0451, -0.0885, -0.06, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0672, -0.0195, -0.0061, -0.0424, -0.0485, -0.036, -0.0165, -0.0163, 0.0, -0.0195, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0477, -0.0485, -0.0491, -0.0261, -0.0256, -0.0245, -0.0192, 0.0323, -0.0285, -0.0432, -0.0005, -0.0323, -0.0603, -0.0336, -0.0195, -0.0312, -0.0187, -0.0531, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0683, -0.0512, -0.0523, -0.0355, -0.0485, -0.032, -0.0192, -0.0205, -0.0165, -0.0296, -0.0507, -0.0408, -0.0512, -0.0499, -0.0427, -0.0379, -0.0368, -0.0515, -0.0715, -0.0483, -0.0611, -0.1027, -0.1008, -0.1373, -0.1059, -0.1107, -0.0989, -0.1112, -0.108, -0.1043, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.0853, -0.0912, -0.06, -0.0611, -0.0435, -0.0189, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0149, -0.0056, -0.0131, -0.0251, 0.0027, -0.0144, -0.0149, -0.0152, -0.0336, -0.0408, -0.0259, -0.0339, -0.0512, -0.0312, 0.0011, -0.004, 0.0205, 0.0504, 0.0784, 0.0739, 0.0672, 0.0171, 0.024, 0.0035, 0.0285, 0.0288, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0408, 0.0261, 0.0416, 0.0363, 0.0656, 0.0827, 0.0512, 0.0595, 0.0155, 0.028, 0.0293, 0.0059, 0.0384, 0.0547, 0.0573, 0.0547, 0.0304, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017661169926803923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T18:08:03+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still have $6K gold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains long-term targets of $6K gold and $150 silver; near-term volatility expected but longer digestion period ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still have $6K gold & $150 silver.\nDoesn't mean we can't have volatility.\n\nI called the OCT 2025 metals volatility in advance & I caught this one too:\n\nWarned Jan 22nd, then 28th, then 29th. \nNow we see how long the digestion period, but this one should take longer. Unless we bomb Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc What am\nI missing not a subscriber but video you shared said 6k gold By you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bprice1665", "ret_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.143, -0.1377, -0.1141, -0.1106, -0.0963, -0.1036, -0.1198, -0.1299, -0.1236, -0.1221, -0.1224, -0.1238, -0.1099, -0.1102, -0.103, -0.103, -0.0919, -0.0875, -0.0934, -0.0942, -0.0936, -0.0953, -0.0977, -0.093, -0.0892, -0.0793, -0.0742, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.0652, -0.0669, -0.0658, -0.0442, -0.0316, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0243, -0.0668, -0.0661, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.0675, -0.043, -0.0327, -0.0419, -0.0366, -0.0296, -0.0115, -0.0129, -0.0028, -0.0089, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0236, 0.0386, 0.0577, 0.0723, 0.088, 0.1146, 0.1579, 0.161, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0628, 0.0345, 0.0663, 0.0934, 0.0826, 0.0948, 0.0568, 0.0831, 0.0831, 0.0493, 0.0729, 0.0759, 0.0971, 0.1268, 0.1112, 0.1084, 0.1179, 0.1326, 0.1472, 0.096, 0.1046, 0.0913, 0.1086, 0.1063, 0.1188, 0.115, 0.0931, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0752, 0.0412, -0.0017, -0.0322, -0.0541, -0.0538, -0.0254, -0.062, -0.0291, -0.0294, 0.0074, 0.025, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0012, 0.011, 0.0173, 0.0252, 0.0234, 0.0193, 0.042, 0.0312, 0.0303, 0.044, 0.035, 0.0057, 0.019, 0.0092, 0.0143, 0.0065, -0.0122, -0.0228, -0.0081, -0.0092, -0.0291, -0.0207, 0.009, 0.0107, 0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0136, 0.0079, 0.0002, -0.023, -0.0204, -0.0366, -0.0228, -0.0237, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0307, -0.0436, -0.0336, -0.0234, -0.0372, -0.0355, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0723, -0.0699, -0.0851, -0.123, -0.0955, -0.095, -0.0716, -0.0691, -0.0902, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017661169926803923", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T18:08:03+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150 silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains long-term targets of $6K gold and $150 silver; near-term volatility expected but longer digestion period ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still have $6K gold & $150 silver.\nDoesn't mean we can't have volatility.\n\nI called the OCT 2025 metals volatility in advance & I caught this one too:\n\nWarned Jan 22nd, then 28th, then 29th. \nNow we see how long the digestion period, but this one should take longer. Unless we bomb Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc What am\nI missing not a subscriber but video you shared said 6k gold By you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bprice1665", "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.0614, -0.086, -0.0754, -0.1501, -0.1499, -0.1854, -0.204, -0.1604, -0.1539, -0.1238, -0.1249, -0.1633, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1785, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011079733241659747", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T14:15:47+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JD has the edge. The market just doesn't see it yet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish JD; market underestimates its edge, endorsed by analyst who called BABA early.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$JD has the edge. The market just doesn’t see it yet.\n\nGeoffrey knows. He saw $BABA early and China when they were “uninvestible” and now $JD…\n\nGet the EDGE:\nhttps://t.co/SICj0bSILF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$BABA, $JD , Meituan\nThe antitrust regulator is launching a probe for excessive competition in fast retail.\n\nThe Whole sector is jumping on the news, BABA and Meituan the most.\n\nJD is jumping the least on the news because JD launched the involution war.\n\nWhy?\nBecause they can and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02844717702235222, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02844717702235222, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026443664219566676, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02595145667498744, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024957203473647827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016732933561375285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016732933561375285, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003241871103404459, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014106429380718044, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015779722736855573, "ret_p1w": -0.05020078396414973, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05020078396414973, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026864498678360604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009221794421310325, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.040978989542839406, "ret_p1m": -0.053882148344453706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053882148344453706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05127323912021986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.001953993578526436, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05192815476592727, "ret_p3m": 0.002723374019441671, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.002723374019441671, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02067512467642285, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09203360369095315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08931022967151148, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.053882148344453706, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05127323912021986, "alpha_c_stated": -0.001953993578526436, "price_path": [0.0957, 0.1068, 0.1299, 0.0987, 0.0863, 0.1104, 0.1108, 0.1446, 0.1556, 0.1499, 0.1168, 0.1058, 0.0971, 0.0649, 0.0723, 0.0693, 0.0639, 0.0512, 0.0579, 0.0459, 0.0278, -0.0191, -0.0114, -0.0144, -0.0336, -0.0499, -0.0318, -0.0274, -0.0248, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0017, 0.0003, 0.0057, -0.0003, -0.0047, 0.0007, 0.0013, -0.006, -0.009, -0.0114, -0.0147, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.0428, -0.0361, -0.0355, -0.0264, -0.0268, -0.0238, -0.0238, -0.0161, -0.0204, -0.0392, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0117, -0.0077, -0.0094, -0.0284, -0.007, -0.0144, 0.0284, 0.0, -0.0017, -0.0157, -0.0328, -0.0328, -0.0502, -0.0271, 0.004, -0.0013, -0.0033, -0.0127, -0.0218, -0.0271, -0.0469, -0.0452, -0.0616, -0.078, -0.0857, -0.0606, -0.0626, -0.0512, -0.0539, -0.079, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.0853, -0.0827, -0.0873, -0.0827, -0.0887, -0.079, -0.0783, -0.0971, -0.1121, -0.1181, -0.1419, -0.1499, -0.1476, -0.0954, -0.0807, -0.072, -0.0592, -0.0649, -0.0522, -0.0465, -0.0448, -0.0562, -0.0622, -0.0873, -0.0783, -0.0807, -0.0044, -0.0234, -0.0395, -0.0315, -0.0104, -0.0338, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0458, -0.0475, -0.0278, -0.0177, 0.0027, 0.0031, 0.0831, 0.0908, 0.0859, 0.0953, 0.0873, 0.0578, 0.061, 0.0391, 0.0492, 0.0311, 0.0305, 0.0294, 0.0509, 0.0384, 0.0412, 0.0287, 0.0637, 0.0471, 0.0443, 0.0582, 0.0915, 0.1705, 0.1389, 0.1095, 0.0953, 0.1223, 0.1251, 0.0908, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.0395, 0.0343, 0.01, -0.0007, 0.0083, 0.045, 0.0194, 0.0117, 0.001, -0.0091, -0.0042, -0.0139, -0.0274, -0.0101, -0.0059, -0.0163, -0.0326, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.0444, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2000564780336091219", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T13:53:06+00:00", "symbol": "RIVN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still in good shape for higher into 22 in Q1", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long RIVN targeting ~22 in Q1; short TLT targeting 85.48 by EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIVN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Short Chases/Swings of late: NVDA, AAPL, META, MRVL, NFLX, CRDO, HOOD, AVGO, ORCL\n\nConsumer Cyclical Longs (from late Nov): LULU, JBHT, ANF, EL, DG, DLTR, ADBE, CRM, TGT\n\nRIVN - Swing long from 14 working GREAT & said I was bullish into AI & Autonomous day before Friday it spiked low to high 24% - hitting wkly resistance at the 30W near 18.77. Still in good shape for higher into 22 in Q1.\n\nTLT - working nicely lower, hitting 87.24 on target with 85.48 potentially by EOY\"\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE.\nGood morning!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro-to-Micro In A Nutshell\n\nsample of what I post for clients every day after my trading room - if interested ;-) \n\nhttps://t.co/2cxyAz372d", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01497329814020254, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01497329814020254, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016486392549808326, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006511825217557776, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008461472922644764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042780808116043456, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042780808116043456, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0400484328136641, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04442371909580345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016429109797599928, "ret_p1w": 0.1631015568248093, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1631015568248093, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15410589098100136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15609887609044337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00700268073436594, "ret_p1m": 0.008021369647617904, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008021369647617904, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014146001357851823, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014373667224592657, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02239503687221056, "ret_p3m": -0.18181820499937473, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18181820499937473, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16315896738488012, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0997595555503531, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08205864944902164, "ret_p6m": -0.15882358821017883, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15882358821017883, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24772333162509474, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1144865121348867, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04433707607529214, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18181820499937473, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16315896738488012, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0997595555503531, "price_path": [-0.2455, -0.215, -0.231, -0.185, -0.1695, -0.1556, -0.1583, -0.1663, -0.1845, -0.215, -0.2187, -0.2765, -0.2701, -0.2781, -0.2909, -0.2979, -0.3, -0.3155, -0.3016, -0.2984, -0.2829, -0.3096, -0.3032, -0.3005, -0.2941, -0.3091, -0.3, -0.3059, -0.2829, -0.2781, -0.2668, -0.3053, -0.2743, -0.2947, -0.3316, -0.1754, -0.1861, -0.1856, -0.1225, -0.0364, -0.0631, -0.1235, -0.192, -0.2048, -0.1984, -0.2128, -0.216, -0.2053, -0.1888, -0.1679, -0.1348, -0.1348, -0.0984, -0.0824, -0.0786, -0.0626, -0.0342, -0.0401, -0.0583, -0.0529, -0.0642, -0.1214, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0428, -0.0572, 0.0845, 0.2005, 0.1631, 0.1326, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.1176, 0.1053, 0.0476, 0.054, 0.054, 0.038, 0.0476, 0.0444, 0.0727, 0.0636, 0.0278, 0.0241, 0.008, -0.0642, -0.0877, -0.1086, -0.1086, -0.1358, -0.1193, -0.1273, -0.1471, -0.1578, -0.1834, -0.1872, -0.1888, -0.2112, -0.2278, -0.2294, -0.2316, -0.2658, -0.2086, -0.2144, -0.2, -0.2107, -0.2513, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.1193, -0.1364, -0.1663, -0.1834, -0.2, -0.1914, -0.1845, -0.1652, -0.1802, -0.1973, -0.1925, -0.2021, -0.1877, -0.1781, -0.1513, -0.1155, -0.1096, -0.1818, -0.2053, -0.1802, -0.154, -0.1695, -0.138, -0.2027, -0.1567, -0.139, -0.1647, -0.1866, -0.2102, -0.2251, -0.1952, -0.2011, -0.1765, -0.1765, -0.1824, -0.2144, -0.1904, -0.185, -0.1749, -0.1497, -0.1449, -0.1225, -0.0968, -0.0786, -0.0952, -0.0829, -0.0513, -0.0936, -0.1166, -0.1059, -0.1369, -0.1412, -0.123, -0.1968, -0.2241, -0.2193, -0.2257, -0.2417, -0.2396, -0.2471, -0.254, -0.2369, -0.2235, -0.2626, -0.2861, -0.3102, -0.2658, -0.2433, -0.2396, -0.2396, -0.2305, -0.2139, -0.1872, -0.1283, -0.0936, -0.0754, -0.023, -0.031, -0.1257, -0.0995, -0.1588]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023823835615932858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T18:16:17+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see META as a YUGE trend reversal short - on technicals alone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short META on technicals; sees a major trend reversal to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@timztweet44 THAT!! \nanyway, I see META as a YUGE trend reversal short - on technicals alone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Pretty much invalidates any user activity metrics they try to spin about how much people use their apps", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "timztweet44", "ret_m1d": 0.0007508026654354794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007508026654354794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023616865506929097, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0008226298614517624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015734325268872418, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006147400066013331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006147400066013331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011096925154365778, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004486591789482519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016608082765308119, "ret_p1w": 1.5685558870215388e-05, "ret_signed_p1w": -1.5685558870215388e-05, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006574318478448582, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015369002904767726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015384688463637941, "ret_p1m": -0.036107008795485895, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.036107008795485895, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00473848893691875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0296385271886499, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006468481606835996, "ret_p3m": -0.0383771108673473, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0383771108673473, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12381128617288473, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05630044620711161, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017923335339764312, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.036107008795485895, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00473848893691875, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0296385271886499, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0712, -0.0418, -0.0056, -0.0097, -0.0097, 0.0127, 0.0017, 0.0114, -0.0003, 0.0339, 0.0525, 0.0422, 0.0268, 0.0161, 0.0202, 0.0069, 0.0129, 0.0279, 0.016, 0.0394, 0.0305, 0.0347, 0.0401, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0375, 0.0303, 0.0417, 0.0325, 0.0325, 0.0174, 0.0305, 0.0334, 0.0147, 0.0106, 0.0215, 0.0042, -0.0128, -0.0372, -0.0289, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.055, -0.0412, 0.013, 0.0305, 0.0517, 0.0527, 0.0461, 0.1549, 0.1208, 0.105, 0.082, 0.0465, 0.0484, 0.0347, 0.0593, 0.0492, 0.046, 0.0165, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0061, 0.0086, 0.0256, -0.0032, 0.0, 0.0225, 0.0277, 0.0139, 0.0223, 0.0247, 0.0445, 0.0333, 0.0087, 0.0127, 0.0231, 0.0244, -0.0017, -0.04, -0.0177, -0.0252, -0.0361, -0.0502, -0.0706, -0.0543, -0.0717, -0.0687, -0.1428, -0.1769, -0.1603, -0.1043, -0.0932, -0.1006, -0.1006, -0.1029, -0.0997, -0.0412, -0.0162, -0.0139, -0.0066, 0.0372, 0.0514, 0.0597, 0.078, 0.0504, 0.0471, 0.0563, 0.0319, 0.0568, 0.0624, 0.051, 0.0476, -0.042, -0.047, -0.0444, -0.0529, -0.0405, -0.0343, -0.0456, -0.0624, -0.056, -0.0346, -0.0318, -0.0384, -0.0431, -0.0566, -0.0527, -0.0491, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0413, -0.0055, -0.0054, -0.0098, -0.0599, -0.0644, -0.0247, -0.0175, -0.0716, -0.0835, -0.0848, -0.1061, -0.1101, -0.1124, -0.07, -0.0595, -0.1106, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0955, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998504488882340306", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T21:26:15+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I forgot to even talk about RECESSION RISK on oil demand. 🙅‍♀️", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stays short crude oil into 2026; adds recession risk to demand bears on top of EV adoption and renewables competitiveness.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I forgot to even talk about RECESSION RISK on oil demand. 🙅‍♀️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I’m Staying Short #Oil Into 2026\n\nStill bearish on #crudeoil despite widespread bullish calls - Rick Rule etc.  I have focused on falling global demand, rising EV adoption &amp; Geoffrey's take on renewables as cost-competitive. @GraphCall \n$WTIC #CL1\n\nhttps://t.co/V1yrzM8SnW https://t.co/t9DNdaLyxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0035921841902394336, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035921841902394336, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0029962648203027964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0029962648203027964, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014710924115973634, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014710924115973634, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01703787014743774, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01703787014743774, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "ret_p1w": -0.04310640604223004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04310640604223004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019588748891475993, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019588748891475993, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "ret_p1m": -0.011974012553917057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011974012553917057, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017758708377192955, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017758708377192955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "ret_p3m": 0.6211084181874014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6211084181874014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6317193923362643, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6317193923362643, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "ret_p6m": 0.591515606784184, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.591515606784184, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48413623957602514, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.48413623957602514, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011974012553917057, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.017758708377192955, "alpha_c_stated": 0.017758708377192955, "price_path": [0.0724, 0.0828, 0.1037, 0.0956, 0.0874, 0.0722, 0.0715, 0.0847, 0.1117, 0.1115, 0.1242, 0.0854, 0.0669, 0.0568, 0.0346, 0.0414, 0.0553, 0.0559, 0.07, 0.0522, 0.0075, 0.0176, 0.0041, -0.0033, -0.0171, -0.0157, -0.0161, -0.0109, 0.0007, 0.057, 0.052, 0.0488, 0.0289, 0.0346, 0.0361, 0.0431, 0.0443, 0.0359, 0.0195, 0.0166, 0.0221, 0.0286, 0.0441, 0.0005, 0.0039, 0.0279, 0.0248, 0.039, 0.0168, 0.0116, -0.0068, 0.0065, -0.0087, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0015, 0.0147, 0.0031, 0.0084, 0.0207, 0.0277, 0.0072, -0.0036, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0174, -0.0281, -0.0546, -0.0431, -0.0395, -0.0308, -0.0077, -0.0014, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0294, -0.0065, -0.0087, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0195, -0.0024, -0.0228, -0.0423, -0.012, 0.0113, 0.0178, 0.046, 0.0609, 0.0125, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0322, 0.0369, 0.0154, 0.0446, 0.0371, 0.0672, 0.0813, 0.1191, 0.1155, 0.0629, 0.0813, 0.1143, 0.0826, 0.0871, 0.1009, 0.0941, 0.1055, 0.0749, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.0662, 0.1151, 0.1363, 0.1356, 0.1343, 0.1226, 0.1191, 0.1155, 0.1464, 0.2184, 0.2754, 0.2771, 0.3857, 0.5549, 0.6211, 0.4275, 0.4925, 0.6375, 0.6885, 0.5994, 0.6457, 0.6476, 0.6445, 0.6818, 0.5075, 0.5797, 0.545, 0.6161, 0.7044, 0.7598, 0.7342, 0.7126, 0.908, 0.908, 0.9229, 0.9321, 0.615, 0.6741, 0.6519, 0.6948, 0.5614, 0.5616, 0.6197, 0.4343, 0.5328, 0.5759, 0.5901, 0.6396, 0.6148, 0.6485, 0.7094, 0.8283, 0.7973, 0.7438, 0.8204, 0.7494, 0.6264, 0.6218, 0.6322, 0.6776, 0.7479, 0.728, 0.7306, 0.8033, 0.8587, 0.8435, 0.6808, 0.6481, 0.6524, 0.6524, 0.6061, 0.5169, 0.5207, 0.4944, 0.5765, 0.6038, 0.6425, 0.5915]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:2008994153129218115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T20:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is done! BTCUSD was offramp for inflation that drove NON-productive speculation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin is done; gold/silver benefit from real commodity shortages; US equities to retreat as anti-financialization policies undermine buyback-driven returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My THINGS OVER PAPER™️mantra I've posted since 2020 is in full view these days!\n\nNow Trump wants to discourage \"financialization\" to incentivize US investment in US. One sector to start: defense, where he has leverage given massive govt contracts.\n\nBitcoin is done! BTCUSD was offramp for inflation that drove NON-productive speculation. Then, finally, Gold & Silver attracted both physcial & spec investors as REAL COMMODITY SHORTAGES trump imagined. \n\nNow, how will Trump give the stock market a \"soft landing\" if he is to punish corporate stock financialization which is responsible (with easy money & liquidity support) for outsized-US market returns?!\n\nPolicies dictate price. If anti-financialization policies force capitalism to retreat, so too will the economy. The stock market IS the economy.\n\nHow long before he is pressured to talk this back? Or will he actually roll it out? 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{"unit_id": "quote:2008994153129218115", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T20:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver attracted both physical & spec investors as REAL COMMODITY SHORTAGES trump imagined.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin is done; gold/silver benefit from real commodity shortages; US equities to retreat as anti-financialization policies undermine buyback-driven returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My THINGS OVER PAPER™️mantra I've posted since 2020 is in full view these days!\n\nNow Trump wants to discourage \"financialization\" to incentivize US investment in US. 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The slower the 'better' as equities would retreat with economic growth with UST collateral with US dollar.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US was the best performing stock market for one major reason along with earnings and that was stock buybacks. \n\nCompanies would show increased earnings due to buybacks and executive compensation was linked to stock prices .. so there was vested interest in seeing higher stocks https://t.co/NUaowCyGCZ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009652228779440941, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009652228779440941, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006418392510698867, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006418392510698867, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005522515913727544, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005522515913727544, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005624043228000808, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005624043228000808, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "ret_p1w": 0.04083276154357218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04083276154357218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039701635146514924, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.039701635146514924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011311263970572583, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011311263970572583, "ret_p1m": 0.07978396749982042, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07978396749982042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09712787592769978, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09712787592769978, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "ret_p3m": 0.04501131983394946, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04501131983394946, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08684902650899218, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08684902650899218, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07978396749982042, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09712787592769978, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09712787592769978, "price_path": [-0.098, -0.0761, -0.0695, -0.0534, -0.0312, -0.0495, -0.0149, -0.0782, -0.0781, -0.0744, -0.0775, -0.1032, -0.1096, -0.113, -0.0955, -0.1005, -0.0988, -0.1146, -0.1044, -0.1055, -0.1, -0.0754, -0.0717, -0.0568, -0.0644, -0.0813, -0.0918, -0.0852, -0.0837, -0.084, -0.0854, -0.0709, -0.0712, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0522, -0.0476, -0.0537, -0.0546, -0.054, -0.0557, -0.0582, -0.0533, -0.0493, -0.0391, -0.0337, -0.0328, -0.0326, -0.0243, -0.026, -0.0249, -0.0024, 0.0108, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0184, -0.026, -0.0253, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0268, -0.0011, 0.0097, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0318, 0.0303, 0.0408, 0.0345, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0684, 0.084, 0.104, 0.1192, 0.1355, 0.1634, 0.2085, 0.2118, 0.0873, 0.0437, 0.1101, 0.1093, 0.0798, 0.113, 0.1412, 0.1299, 0.1427, 0.103, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.0952, 0.1199, 0.123, 0.1451, 0.1761, 0.1598, 0.1569, 0.1668, 0.1821, 0.1974, 0.144, 0.1529, 0.139, 0.1571, 0.1547, 0.1677, 0.1637, 0.1409, 0.1261, 0.1251, 0.1223, 0.0868, 0.042, 0.0101, -0.0127, -0.0125, 0.0173, -0.021, 0.0134, 0.0131, 0.0515, 0.0699, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.045, 0.0552, 0.0618, 0.0701, 0.0682, 0.0639, 0.0876, 0.0763, 0.0754, 0.0897, 0.0803, 0.0497, 0.0636, 0.0533, 0.0587, 0.0505, 0.031, 0.02, 0.0353, 0.0341, 0.0134, 0.0221, 0.0531, 0.0549, 0.06, 0.0621, 0.0579, 0.052, 0.0439, 0.0197, 0.0225, 0.0055, 0.02, 0.019, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.0117, -0.0018, 0.0087, 0.0193, 0.005, 0.0066, -0.0033, 0.005, -0.0317, -0.0292, -0.0451, -0.0847, -0.056, -0.0554, -0.031, -0.0283, -0.0504, -0.054, -0.054, -0.054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2008994153129218115", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-07T20:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & Silver attracted both physical & spec investors as REAL COMMODITY SHORTAGES trump imagined.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin is done; gold/silver benefit from real commodity shortages; US equities to retreat as anti-financialization policies undermine buyback-driven returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My THINGS OVER PAPER™️mantra I've posted since 2020 is in full view these days!\n\nNow Trump wants to discourage \"financialization\" to incentivize US investment in US. One sector to start: defense, where he has leverage given massive govt contracts.\n\nBitcoin is done! BTCUSD was offramp for inflation that drove NON-productive speculation. Then, finally, Gold & Silver attracted both physcial & spec investors as REAL COMMODITY SHORTAGES trump imagined. \n\nNow, how will Trump give the stock market a \"soft landing\" if he is to punish corporate stock financialization which is responsible (with easy money & liquidity support) for outsized-US market returns?!\n\nPolicies dictate price. If anti-financialization policies force capitalism to retreat, so too will the economy. The stock market IS the economy.\n\nHow long before he is pressured to talk this back? Or will he actually roll it out? 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{"unit_id": "quote:2015890990507204650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-26T20:54:00+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GME, which is where money goes to die", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish GME; dismisses Burry's bull thesis — calls it a money-losing pump with no credible path to $100B.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No. \nJust No.\n\nNo, Ryan Cohen will not become anything close to Warren Buffett - not even his driver.\n\nNo, Burry can’t be serious or taken seriously if he is seriously pumping a stock like \n$GME, which is where money goes to die. \n\nNo is a complete sentence.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In short, Burry argues that if $GME can rally into the $30s, doubling the tangible BV to $20, it would become the catalyst to unleash Ryan Cohen and give him the necessary resources to become the next Buffett resulting in $GME hitting $100B in market cap and $10B in annual", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.042482317702634, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042482317702634, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03742983220945262, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04910426308775595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00505248549318138, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006621945385121952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008329814814005632, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008329814814005632, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004345560506248125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005304987909239278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0039842543077575066, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0030248269047663534, "ret_p1w": 0.07663474115150315, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07663474115150315, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07276590187149101, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07949607403401959, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038688392800121374, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002861332882516443, "ret_p1m": -0.009995825440662243, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009995825440662243, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002229448132372802, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03562225664821139, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0077663773082894405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045618082088873635, "ret_p3m": 0.04164931238930558, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04164931238930558, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016163406707741856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07715851408411867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485905681563725, "bench_c_p3m": -0.035509201694813086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009995825440662243, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.002229448132372802, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03562225664821139, "price_path": [-0.0262, -0.0596, -0.0716, -0.0791, -0.0845, -0.0833, -0.1108, -0.1045, -0.105, -0.1066, -0.1104, -0.127, -0.1395, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.1495, -0.1695, -0.1612, -0.1466, -0.1229, -0.0991, -0.0991, -0.0616, -0.0508, -0.05, -0.0333, -0.0441, -0.0421, -0.0275, -0.0375, -0.0787, -0.0895, -0.1158, -0.08, -0.0721, -0.0408, -0.0604, -0.0625, -0.0945, -0.1095, -0.1033, -0.1033, -0.1216, -0.1449, -0.1462, -0.1637, -0.1637, -0.1412, -0.137, -0.1395, -0.1133, -0.1079, -0.1158, -0.1262, -0.1245, -0.1245, -0.1104, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.0966, -0.0362, -0.0425, 0.0, 0.0083, -0.0154, -0.05, -0.0054, 0.0766, 0.0212, 0.0404, 0.0283, 0.0404, 0.0262, 0.0337, 0.0083, -0.0204, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0312, -0.0058, -0.0046, -0.0242, -0.0154, -0.01, 0.0087, 0.0037, 0.0008, 0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0058, -0.0054, 0.015, 0.0329, 0.015, 0.0187, 0.0175, -0.02, -0.0304, -0.0175, -0.0271, -0.0325, -0.06, -0.0408, -0.05, -0.0387, -0.0604, -0.0796, -0.0725, -0.0404, -0.0521, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0387, -0.0242, -0.0458, -0.0475, -0.0329, -0.0254, 0.0008, 0.0325, 0.0487, 0.0225, 0.0379, 0.0187, 0.0687, 0.0416, 0.0392, 0.0583, 0.045, 0.0212, 0.0392, 0.105, -0.0071, 0.0092, 0.0483, -0.0017, 0.0112, -0.035, -0.0683, -0.0804, -0.1, -0.1008, -0.0875, -0.0796, -0.0608, -0.0633, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0875, -0.097, -0.097, -0.1179, -0.1104, -0.1287, -0.0762, -0.0725, -0.092, -0.0729, -0.0721, -0.0662, -0.0762, -0.0933, -0.0945, -0.1062, -0.1041, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1037, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995155626390151219", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T15:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US institutions are buying gold offshore. JPM moved its gold trading desk to Singapore last week. Folks are getting justifiably nervous.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutions de-risking into offshore gold; author endorses bullish gold thesis on US jurisdictional/geopolitical concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US institutions are buying gold offshore. JPM moved its gold trading desk to Singapore last week. Folks are getting justifiably nervous. \n\nVenezuela\nEpstein\nDollar", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The thing discussed last week is no longer speculation: for some reason, US institutions are de-risking away from US jurisdiction for their gold holdings. My thread below suggests they already shadow-accumulated gold and it is slowly surfacing now.\nHT @KingKong9888 https://t.co/HHpII137bA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004797934874118059, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004797934874118059, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009384344291265556, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009384344291265556, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006440050713598433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006440050713598433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008292237119505552, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008292237119505552, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": -0.011109651243786045, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011109651243786045, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016048784837773944, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016048784837773944, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "ret_p1m": 0.023450967667575373, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023450967667575373, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01055893971343802, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01055893971343802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "ret_p3m": 0.22509303652682, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22509303652682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20882484384334532, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20882484384334532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": 0.06221937139191791, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06221937139191791, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04743397193843335, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04743397193843335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023450967667575373, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01055893971343802, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01055893971343802, "price_path": [-0.1581, -0.1618, -0.1506, -0.1409, -0.1429, -0.1398, -0.1411, -0.1394, -0.1304, -0.1287, -0.1354, -0.1389, -0.1297, -0.1147, -0.1111, -0.1191, -0.1155, -0.1104, -0.0957, -0.088, -0.0865, -0.0897, -0.0824, -0.0651, -0.0603, -0.0448, -0.0624, -0.0529, -0.0299, -0.023, -0.0061, 0.0172, -0.0019, 0.0344, -0.0321, -0.032, -0.0281, -0.0314, -0.0583, -0.0651, -0.0686, -0.0503, -0.0555, -0.0538, -0.0704, -0.0596, -0.0608, -0.055, -0.0292, -0.0253, -0.0096, -0.0177, -0.0354, -0.0464, -0.0395, -0.0379, -0.0382, -0.0397, -0.0245, -0.0248, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0048, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0074, -0.0067, -0.0085, -0.0111, -0.006, -0.0018, 0.009, 0.0146, 0.0155, 0.0158, 0.0245, 0.0226, 0.0238, 0.0474, 0.0613, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0692, 0.0227, 0.0235, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0219, 0.0488, 0.0601, 0.05, 0.0558, 0.0634, 0.0833, 0.0818, 0.0929, 0.0862, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.1218, 0.1382, 0.1592, 0.1751, 0.1923, 0.2216, 0.2689, 0.2724, 0.1416, 0.0959, 0.1656, 0.1648, 0.1338, 0.1686, 0.1983, 0.1864, 0.1998, 0.1582, 0.187, 0.187, 0.15, 0.1758, 0.1791, 0.2024, 0.2348, 0.2177, 0.2147, 0.2251, 0.2412, 0.2572, 0.2011, 0.2105, 0.196, 0.2149, 0.2124, 0.2261, 0.2219, 0.1979, 0.1824, 0.1813, 0.1784, 0.1411, 0.0941, 0.0606, 0.0367, 0.0369, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.064, 0.0637, 0.104, 0.1233, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.0972, 0.1079, 0.1149, 0.1236, 0.1216, 0.117, 0.142, 0.1301, 0.1291, 0.1441, 0.1343, 0.1022, 0.1168, 0.1059, 0.1116, 0.103, 0.0825, 0.071, 0.087, 0.0858, 0.064, 0.0732, 0.1057, 0.1076, 0.1129, 0.1152, 0.1108, 0.1046, 0.0961, 0.0707, 0.0736, 0.0558, 0.0709, 0.0699, 0.0618, 0.0618, 0.0622]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984304409669509277", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T17:00:12+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it doesn't look done", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "After a -10% drawdown, author implies gold/silver/miners move is not done — bullish continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That gold volatility timing was good for -10% drawdown. Now what if I told ya it doesn't look done... Clients know where I see it going next!\n\n$GLD $SLV $GDX #GC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005460202630354738, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005460202630354738, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008729609812439754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008729609812439754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0017929035935666526, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017929035935666526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -8.374605401684221e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": -8.374605401684221e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "ret_p1w": 0.0005161426815345482, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0005161426815345482, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016775747777569072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016775747777569072, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "ret_p1m": 0.05875802773475214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05875802773475214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06138239581252569, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06138239581252569, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "ret_p3m": 0.34347496500741626, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34347496500741626, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3208745055129216, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3208745055129216, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "ret_p6m": 0.16779859923551865, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16779859923551865, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11328408793091294, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11328408793091294, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05875802773475214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06138239581252569, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06138239581252569, "price_path": [-0.1547, -0.1565, -0.1494, -0.1496, -0.1618, -0.1626, -0.16, -0.1654, -0.1649, -0.1662, -0.1707, -0.1623, -0.1652, -0.1563, -0.1583, -0.1522, -0.1505, -0.1442, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1155, -0.1086, -0.1125, -0.1007, -0.0905, -0.0925, -0.0893, -0.0906, -0.0888, -0.0793, -0.0775, -0.0846, -0.0883, -0.0786, -0.0627, -0.0588, -0.0674, -0.0635, -0.0581, -0.0425, -0.0344, -0.0328, -0.0362, -0.0285, -0.0102, -0.0051, 0.0114, -0.0073, 0.0027, 0.0271, 0.0344, 0.0523, 0.077, 0.0567, 0.0952, 0.0248, 0.0249, 0.029, 0.0255, -0.003, -0.0102, -0.0139, 0.0055, 0.0, 0.0018, -0.0158, -0.0044, -0.0056, 0.0005, 0.0279, 0.0319, 0.0485, 0.0401, 0.0213, 0.0096, 0.0169, 0.0186, 0.0183, 0.0167, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.0537, 0.0588, 0.0519, 0.051, 0.0516, 0.0498, 0.047, 0.0524, 0.0569, 0.0682, 0.0742, 0.0752, 0.0754, 0.0847, 0.0827, 0.0839, 0.109, 0.1237, 0.119, 0.119, 0.1321, 0.0828, 0.0836, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0819, 0.1104, 0.1224, 0.1117, 0.1178, 0.1259, 0.147, 0.1454, 0.1571, 0.15, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1877, 0.205, 0.2273, 0.2442, 0.2624, 0.2933, 0.3435, 0.3471, 0.2087, 0.1603, 0.2341, 0.2332, 0.2004, 0.2373, 0.2687, 0.2561, 0.2703, 0.2262, 0.2567, 0.2567, 0.2175, 0.2449, 0.2484, 0.273, 0.3074, 0.2893, 0.286, 0.2971, 0.3141, 0.3311, 0.2717, 0.2816, 0.2662, 0.2863, 0.2836, 0.2981, 0.2937, 0.2683, 0.2519, 0.2508, 0.2476, 0.2081, 0.1583, 0.1229, 0.0976, 0.0978, 0.1309, 0.0883, 0.1265, 0.1262, 0.1689, 0.1893, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1617, 0.173, 0.1804, 0.1896, 0.1875, 0.1827, 0.2091, 0.1965, 0.1955, 0.2114, 0.2009, 0.1669, 0.1824, 0.1709, 0.1769, 0.1678]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984304409669509277", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-31T17:00:12+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it doesn't look done", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "After a -10% drawdown, author implies gold/silver/miners move is not done — bullish continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That gold volatility timing was good for -10% drawdown. Now what if I told ya it doesn't look done... Clients know where I see it going next!\n\n$GLD $SLV $GDX #GC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007498337733251592, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007498337733251592, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010767744915336608, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010767744915336608, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00568052736956548, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00568052736956548, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007557177017148975, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007557177017148975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "ret_p1w": -0.0020449933201622805, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020449933201622805, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014214611775872243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014214611775872243, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "ret_p1m": 0.1933652001996713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1933652001996713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19598956827744485, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19598956827744485, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "ret_p3m": 1.3994547262332695, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3994547262332695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3768542667387749, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3768542667387749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "ret_p6m": 0.5526017822550608, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5526017822550608, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49808727095045513, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.49808727095045513, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1933652001996713, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19598956827744485, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19598956827744485, "price_path": [-0.2195, -0.2195, -0.2102, -0.2075, -0.2234, -0.2181, -0.2047, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.215, -0.2304, -0.2177, -0.2136, -0.197, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.205, -0.1929, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.1559, -0.1516, -0.1609, -0.1545, -0.1477, -0.1552, -0.15, -0.1413, -0.1288, -0.1193, -0.1229, -0.1413, -0.1368, -0.1129, -0.0902, -0.092, -0.0952, -0.0677, -0.0489, -0.0343, -0.0373, -0.025, -0.0336, -0.0111, 0.0011, -0.0141, 0.0125, 0.0159, 0.0323, 0.0738, 0.0634, 0.0982, 0.1172, 0.0677, 0.0843, -0.005, -0.003, 0.0039, -0.0005, -0.0366, -0.0298, -0.0177, 0.0075, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0289, -0.0082, -0.0105, -0.002, 0.0404, 0.0554, 0.0979, 0.0775, 0.0443, 0.0332, 0.0475, 0.0554, 0.0402, 0.0293, 0.0595, 0.0604, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.1636, 0.1934, 0.2072, 0.2059, 0.1761, 0.2031, 0.1977, 0.2536, 0.274, 0.3092, 0.2747, 0.3204, 0.3117, 0.3692, 0.3479, 0.3845, 0.4195, 0.4733, 0.4819, 0.4819, 0.616, 0.4999, 0.5674, 0.4638, 0.4638, 0.494, 0.5696, 0.6748, 0.6124, 0.584, 0.6446, 0.7548, 0.786, 0.9214, 0.8932, 0.8409, 0.8409, 0.9402, 0.9077, 0.9798, 1.1111, 1.2345, 1.3083, 1.3995, 1.3988, 0.7142, 0.646, 0.7487, 0.7991, 0.5153, 0.5949, 0.7278, 0.668, 0.7396, 0.539, 0.5842, 0.5842, 0.5081, 0.5926, 0.6135, 0.741, 0.8307, 0.7969, 0.8187, 0.828, 0.9312, 0.8534, 0.6969, 0.7119, 0.6876, 0.7255, 0.7782, 0.8198, 0.7703, 0.7378, 0.6517, 0.6637, 0.6283, 0.561, 0.4924, 0.3979, 0.4195, 0.4304, 0.4817, 0.3808, 0.4415, 0.4433, 0.5483, 0.5483, 0.4949, 0.4949, 0.5017, 0.4983, 0.5331, 0.554, 0.5696, 0.5515, 0.6369, 0.6324, 0.6187, 0.673, 0.6394, 0.5562, 0.599, 0.5537, 0.5631, 0.5526]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1993683998040576231", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:11:20+00:00", "symbol": "CNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is why CNC and OSCR are still up. There is a chance that a discharge petition gets the ACA subsidies reinstated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CNC and OSCR remain elevated on political risk that ACA subsidies could be reinstated via discharge petition.", "resolved_tickers": ["CNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Speaker Johnson has misread his caucus. He made the call to Trump to end the ACA subsidy talk. Now that is blowing up as talk of more retirements and talk of more discharge petitions come forward. He may be in danger of losing power and then so will Trump…this is why CNC  and OSCR are still up. There is a chance that a discharge petition gets the ACA subsidies reinstated…\" @DrBenJamminK on our team🎩", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005068443172320025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005068443172320025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011924511817574368, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002859109190311848, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856068645254343, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002209333982008177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.01647231946939942, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01647231946939942, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02266642224170634, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004610808773468644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021083128242868066, "ret_p1m": 0.010897118985108811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010897118985108811, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007846991139356385, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02324741929504881, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012350300309939999, "ret_p3m": 0.09832744952196415, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09832744952196415, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09137359355038188, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09330834621804485, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005019103303919303, "ret_p6m": 0.46401423715430146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46401423715430146, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3650426881958089, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5209987755072302, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": -0.056984538352928715, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010897118985108811, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.007846991139356385, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02324741929504881, "price_path": [-0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2494, -0.2382, -0.2739, -0.2656, -0.2691, -0.2129, -0.2076, -0.1363, -0.1571, -0.1728, -0.1941, -0.1885, -0.1847, -0.1949, -0.1713, -0.17, -0.1219, -0.1285, -0.1166, -0.1077, -0.0958, -0.0943, -0.0669, -0.0193, -0.0461, -0.0264, -0.0256, -0.0413, -0.0938, -0.0786, -0.0765, -0.093, -0.0968, -0.1062, -0.0976, -0.0851, -0.0872, -0.1292, -0.1366, -0.1599, -0.1589, -0.0537, -0.1125, -0.1036, -0.1257, -0.0849, -0.0664, -0.0598, -0.0481, -0.132, -0.1039, -0.0826, -0.0854, -0.0781, -0.0603, -0.0641, -0.089, -0.1173, -0.075, -0.0327, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.0, -0.003, -0.0398, -0.0165, -0.0165, -0.0155, -0.0284, -0.04, -0.035, -0.02, 0.0253, 0.0352, 0.0251, -0.0124, -0.015, -0.0061, -0.0112, 0.0124, 0.0035, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0266, 0.0342, 0.0443, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0588, 0.1323, 0.1591, 0.1599, 0.1891, 0.1812, 0.1756, 0.1597, 0.17, 0.1979, 0.1594, 0.1594, 0.1597, 0.147, 0.151, 0.168, 0.1728, 0.0525, 0.0618, 0.1049, 0.0978, 0.0846, 0.0773, 0.038, 0.0117, -0.0253, -0.036, 0.0038, 0.0246, -0.0071, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.0449, 0.0915, 0.1069, 0.0958, 0.0983, 0.0737, 0.0819, 0.0879, 0.1374, 0.1303, 0.1105, 0.1401, 0.0966, 0.1062, 0.0978, -0.0775, -0.0912, -0.1239, -0.127, -0.1191, -0.1145, -0.0836, -0.0986, -0.1282, -0.1685, -0.1642, -0.1706, -0.1495, -0.1891, -0.1941, -0.1703, -0.1396, -0.1102, -0.1102, -0.1029, -0.0798, -0.0552, -0.0484, -0.0547, -0.0504, -0.0558, -0.0471, -0.0117, -0.0327, -0.0291, -0.0081, -0.0134, 0.0413, 0.0598, 0.1024, 0.2562, 0.368, 0.3606, 0.3517, 0.3573, 0.3426, 0.4022, 0.3933, 0.4181, 0.4283, 0.503, 0.4904, 0.4876, 0.4767, 0.4757, 0.499, 0.4769, 0.464]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1993683998040576231", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:11:20+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is why CNC and OSCR are still up. There is a chance that a discharge petition gets the ACA subsidies reinstated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CNC and OSCR remain elevated on political risk that ACA subsidies could be reinstated via discharge petition.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Speaker Johnson has misread his caucus. He made the call to Trump to end the ACA subsidy talk. Now that is blowing up as talk of more retirements and talk of more discharge petitions come forward. He may be in danger of losing power and then so will Trump…this is why CNC  and OSCR are still up. There is a chance that a discharge petition gets the ACA subsidies reinstated…\" @DrBenJamminK on our team🎩", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0787445108585485, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0787445108585485, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07188844221329416, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08095384484055668, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856068645254343, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002209333982008177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.058370015134853515, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058370015134853515, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06456411790716043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03728688689198545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021083128242868066, "ret_p1m": -0.1778634124105799, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1778634124105799, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1966075225350451, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1655131121006399, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012350300309939999, "ret_p3m": -0.314427317517884, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.314427317517884, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32138117348946627, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3194464208218033, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005019103303919303, "ret_p6m": 0.21916297222896164, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21916297222896164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12019142327046906, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27614751058189035, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": -0.056984538352928715, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1778634124105799, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1966075225350451, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1655131121006399, "price_path": [-0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0953, -0.0264, 0.0121, 0.0699, 0.1167, 0.1041, 0.0727, 0.0699, 0.0644, 0.0314, -0.0127, -0.0215, 0.0523, 0.0446, 0.0187, -0.022, 0.0154, -0.0039, 0.0143, 0.0534, 0.0424, 0.0407, 0.0617, 0.1927, 0.2285, 0.2373, 0.2004, 0.1311, 0.0336, 0.1233, 0.1393, 0.1382, 0.158, 0.0677, 0.1112, 0.1988, 0.1217, 0.0804, 0.0622, 0.0831, 0.076, 0.0413, -0.0039, -0.0088, -0.0275, -0.0551, -0.0622, -0.0881, -0.0242, -0.1955, -0.1823, -0.1685, -0.2318, -0.2357, -0.2153, -0.19, -0.2247, -0.2825, -0.2577, -0.092, -0.0787, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0105, -0.0831, -0.0721, -0.0584, -0.054, -0.0765, -0.0787, -0.0661, -0.1415, -0.1261, -0.0843, -0.1112, -0.1349, -0.1525, -0.185, -0.1795, -0.1724, -0.1828, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.179, -0.1999, -0.201, -0.2087, -0.2087, -0.1757, -0.0876, -0.0903, -0.0925, -0.0694, -0.0237, -0.0275, -0.043, -0.0809, -0.0407, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.1233, -0.152, -0.136, -0.1366, -0.1355, -0.1806, -0.1812, -0.1779, -0.2098, -0.2291, -0.234, -0.272, -0.3111, -0.326, -0.3029, -0.2907, -0.2511, -0.245, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2627, -0.2456, -0.2439, -0.2715, -0.3144, -0.3227, -0.2869, -0.2478, -0.2489, -0.2302, -0.2472, -0.1713, -0.2076, -0.2379, -0.2313, -0.2676, -0.2621, -0.2841, -0.2715, -0.2687, -0.2561, -0.2533, -0.2676, -0.3045, -0.3276, -0.3376, -0.3276, -0.348, -0.3866, -0.4025, -0.3684, -0.3541, -0.3436, -0.3436, -0.2974, -0.2858, -0.1938, -0.1993, -0.2043, -0.1476, -0.158, -0.1415, -0.1393, -0.1305, -0.0947, -0.1096, -0.0947, -0.0953, -0.0743, -0.054, -0.0066, -0.0127, 0.0165, 0.0182, 0.0226, -0.0121, 0.0925, 0.1492, 0.1735, 0.2115, 0.3067, 0.3007, 0.2748, 0.2841, 0.3932, 0.3502, 0.2896, 0.2192]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986766107966120409", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T12:02:07+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my thesis April 2024 when I made the call for Crude oil's new range of $60-40 by end of 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish crude oil; global demand decline driven by China peak demand supports $60–40/bbl range by end of 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "See, China’s falling oil demand continue - which peaked in 2023 as Geoffrey accurately called THEN - translates into GLOBAL falling oil demand, which was my thesis April 2024 when I made the call for Crude oil’s new range of $60-40 by end of 2025. 🕺💃\n\n#WTIC #OOTT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "1/2\nGasoline demand down 9% from peak.\nTold ya'.\nYou think it stops in China? 🤭\n\nFar from a peak, China's gasoline demand is estimated to have fallen 9% in October on the year to 12.5 million tons https://t.co/GzmZVpekVp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005355643428020418, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005355643428020418, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004372046764287818, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004372046764287818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006359850512388965, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006359850512388965, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009244428114754344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009244428114754344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_p1w": 0.0056903791228097855, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0056903791228097855, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004259651375927653, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004259651375927653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_p1m": -0.014560651579661354, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014560651579661354, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.033428849535002025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.033428849535002025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "ret_p3m": 0.09020919480583167, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09020919480583167, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0645036059057622, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0645036059057622, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_p6m": 0.7810878354635198, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7810878354635198, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7048871600983879, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7048871600983879, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.014560651579661354, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.033428849535002025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033428849535002025, "price_path": [0.0572, 0.0485, 0.0705, 0.051, 0.0614, 0.0435, 0.0579, 0.0631, 0.0654, 0.0845, 0.0586, 0.0736, 0.0812, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0977, 0.0706, 0.0624, 0.0355, 0.042, 0.0482, 0.0656, 0.0438, 0.0492, 0.0594, 0.0798, 0.072, 0.0639, 0.049, 0.0484, 0.0613, 0.0877, 0.0875, 0.0999, 0.0619, 0.0438, 0.034, 0.0122, 0.0189, 0.0325, 0.0331, 0.0469, 0.0295, -0.0142, -0.0044, -0.0176, -0.0248, -0.0383, -0.037, -0.0373, -0.0323, -0.0209, 0.0341, 0.0293, 0.0261, 0.0067, 0.0122, 0.0137, 0.0206, 0.0218, 0.0136, -0.0025, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0064, 0.0216, -0.0211, -0.0177, 0.0057, 0.0027, 0.0166, -0.0052, -0.0102, -0.0283, -0.0152, -0.0301, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0201, -0.0072, -0.0186, -0.0134, -0.0013, 0.0055, -0.0146, -0.0251, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0387, -0.049, -0.075, -0.0638, -0.0603, -0.0517, -0.0291, -0.0229, -0.0234, -0.0234, -0.0504, -0.0279, -0.0301, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0407, -0.0239, -0.0438, -0.0629, -0.0333, -0.0105, -0.0042, 0.0234, 0.038, -0.0094, -0.0052, -0.0052, 0.0099, 0.0146, -0.0065, 0.0221, 0.0147, 0.0442, 0.0579, 0.0949, 0.0914, 0.04, 0.0579, 0.0902, 0.0592, 0.0636, 0.0772, 0.0705, 0.0817, 0.0517, 0.0526, 0.0526, 0.0432, 0.091, 0.1118, 0.1111, 0.1098, 0.0984, 0.0949, 0.0914, 0.1217, 0.1921, 0.2479, 0.2495, 0.3558, 0.5213, 0.5861, 0.3967, 0.4603, 0.6022, 0.6521, 0.5649, 0.6102, 0.6121, 0.609, 0.6455, 0.475, 0.5456, 0.5116, 0.5813, 0.6676, 0.7218, 0.6967, 0.6756, 0.8668, 0.8668, 0.8813, 0.8904, 0.5801, 0.638, 0.6162, 0.6582, 0.5277, 0.5279, 0.5848, 0.4033, 0.4997, 0.5419, 0.5558, 0.6042, 0.5799, 0.6129, 0.6725, 0.7888, 0.7585, 0.7061, 0.7811]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990413446161027392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T13:35:20+00:00", "symbol": "RIVN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "highlight how Rivian and Xpeng match my views for a bullish pattern into 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Rivian and Xpeng into 2026 based on options flows and vanna dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIVN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RIVN &amp; $XPEV Dealer Option Review\n\n@WizOfOps demos his new screener &amp; vanna tools to highlight how Rivian and Xpeng match my views for a bullish pattern into 2026.\nIn this short video, Jason interprets option flows, vanna dynamics &amp; how to play using longer-dated expiries. https://t.co/BEMbgn8iBg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01613986368293374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01613986368293374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006735905626139793, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006652233108955796, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009487630573977945, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008069931841466982, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008069931841466982, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016467485185261865, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026520402060167814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018450470218700832, "ret_p1w": 0.020174861670725797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020174861670725797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015577997667010068, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021092961130495858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0009180994597700609, "ret_p1m": 0.20376595536586106, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20376595536586106, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1839362879305697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1375714330846849, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06619452228117617, "ret_p3m": -0.0585070539512228, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0585070539512228, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08496627144798385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0759969591773969, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017489905226174107, "ret_p6m": -0.061869541585363286, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.061869541585363286, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1771115714720516, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1003666234195929, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03849708183422962, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20376595536586106, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1839362879305697, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1375714330846849, "price_path": [-0.1883, -0.1849, -0.1197, -0.1184, -0.1116, -0.111, -0.0827, -0.0874, -0.0874, -0.0672, -0.0289, -0.0787, -0.0444, -0.0592, -0.0625, -0.0646, -0.0605, -0.0948, -0.0854, -0.037, -0.0511, -0.0128, -0.033, 0.0249, 0.0444, 0.0619, 0.0585, 0.0484, 0.0256, -0.0128, -0.0175, -0.0901, -0.082, -0.0921, -0.1083, -0.117, -0.1197, -0.1392, -0.1217, -0.1177, -0.0982, -0.1318, -0.1237, -0.1204, -0.1123, -0.1311, -0.1197, -0.1271, -0.0982, -0.0921, -0.078, -0.1264, -0.0874, -0.113, -0.1594, 0.037, 0.0235, 0.0242, 0.1036, 0.2118, 0.1782, 0.1022, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0101, -0.0141, -0.0007, 0.0202, 0.0464, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.1338, 0.154, 0.1587, 0.1789, 0.2145, 0.2071, 0.1843, 0.191, 0.1769, 0.1049, 0.2387, 0.2576, 0.2038, 0.1856, 0.3638, 0.5098, 0.4627, 0.4243, 0.421, 0.421, 0.4055, 0.39, 0.3174, 0.3255, 0.3255, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.3134, 0.349, 0.3376, 0.2925, 0.2878, 0.2677, 0.1769, 0.1473, 0.121, 0.121, 0.0868, 0.1076, 0.0975, 0.0726, 0.0592, 0.0269, 0.0222, 0.0202, -0.0081, -0.0289, -0.0309, -0.0336, -0.0767, -0.0047, -0.0121, 0.0061, -0.0074, -0.0585, 0.1923, 0.1923, 0.1076, 0.0861, 0.0484, 0.0269, 0.0061, 0.0168, 0.0256, 0.0498, 0.0309, 0.0094, 0.0155, 0.0034, 0.0215, 0.0336, 0.0672, 0.1123, 0.1197, 0.0289, -0.0007, 0.0309, 0.0639, 0.0444, 0.0841, 0.0027, 0.0605, 0.0827, 0.0504, 0.0229, -0.0067, -0.0256, 0.0121, 0.0047, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0282, -0.0121, 0.0182, 0.0249, 0.0377, 0.0693, 0.0753, 0.1036, 0.1358, 0.1587, 0.1379, 0.1533, 0.193, 0.1399, 0.111, 0.1244, 0.0854, 0.08, 0.1029, 0.0101, -0.0242, -0.0182, -0.0262, -0.0464, -0.0437, -0.0531, -0.0619]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1983561017046003792", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T15:46:13+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bottom-line sounds like a materially better soft-guide", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Shares JPM note implying NVDA's soft-guide points to materially better Blackwell/Rubin revenue vs consensus through C4Q26.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "JPM on $NVDA\n\nThe slide was visibility into $500b revenues (for 20m GPUs), of which 6m have already shipped. So implication is $350b Blackwell & Rubin revenue from C4Q25 through C4Q26... Not including China. \n\nComparing this to consensus F4Q25 DC revenue $56b & F26 revenue $258b only gets you $314b (those forecasts may include some Hopper, but also China). \n\nBottom-line sounds like a materially better soft-guide. Wonder, though, if they can ship this.... I have no idea if he intended to soft guide up... Strange (Joshua Meyers, JPM)\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02902815894280175, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02902815894280175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02854801894927106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01410723572495165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801399935306927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014920923217850102, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020044438573744605, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020044438573744605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009046340959484422, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006805581305602715, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998097614260183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01323885726814189, "ret_p1w": -0.057138693069073154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.057138693069073154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04286726365480009, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03242426599423931, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271429414273062, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024714427074833845, "ret_p1m": -0.12934702157506772, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12934702157506772, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11813065409240775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07264751334723718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011216367482659972, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05669950822783054, "ret_p3m": -0.09930264941566447, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09930264941566447, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11004890406855938, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18462584750023192, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.010746254652894915, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08532319808456745, "ret_p6m": -0.03563601694008467, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03563601694008467, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0721420553070573, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34691173033777245, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03650603836697264, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3112757133976878, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09930264941566447, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11004890406855938, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18462584750023192, "price_path": [-0.161, -0.1307, -0.1391, -0.1335, -0.1269, -0.1176, -0.1207, -0.1154, -0.123, -0.1209, -0.1285, -0.1209, -0.1517, -0.1529, -0.1549, -0.1404, -0.1316, -0.1221, -0.1229, -0.1298, -0.1588, -0.1588, -0.1752, -0.176, -0.1709, -0.1933, -0.1871, -0.1753, -0.1435, -0.1443, -0.1411, -0.1415, -0.1553, -0.1775, -0.1488, -0.1467, -0.1132, -0.1382, -0.1452, -0.1418, -0.1393, -0.1217, -0.0988, -0.0956, -0.0877, -0.0938, -0.1038, -0.1063, -0.0866, -0.0699, -0.1153, -0.0904, -0.1305, -0.1314, -0.1219, -0.1151, -0.1179, -0.125, -0.1293, -0.1202, -0.1004, -0.0751, -0.029, 0.0, -0.02, -0.022, -0.0008, -0.0403, -0.0571, -0.0916, -0.0912, -0.0386, -0.067, -0.0639, -0.0975, -0.0815, -0.0987, -0.124, -0.0991, -0.1275, -0.136, -0.1183, -0.1411, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1451, -0.131, -0.1236, -0.1326, -0.1142, -0.1189, -0.1037, -0.1065, -0.1123, -0.1261, -0.1546, -0.1485, -0.1416, -0.1743, -0.1589, -0.1258, -0.1127, -0.0861, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0797, -0.0908, -0.0941, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.0878, -0.0913, -0.0956, -0.0866, -0.1062, -0.1071, -0.1067, -0.1025, -0.1154, -0.0965, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.1399, -0.1145, -0.1072, -0.0935, -0.0993, -0.0894, -0.0749, -0.0701, -0.0768, -0.1035, -0.1289, -0.1586, -0.1698, -0.1044, -0.0821, -0.0893, -0.082, -0.097, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1065, -0.092, -0.0924, -0.0831, -0.0748, -0.0685, -0.0554, -0.1069, -0.1441, -0.1186, -0.1303, -0.1159, -0.1144, -0.1411, -0.1178, -0.1075, -0.1014, -0.1153, -0.1293, -0.115, -0.1212, -0.1286, -0.1375, -0.1658, -0.1516, -0.1537, -0.1369, -0.1728, -0.1908, -0.2021, -0.1576, -0.151, -0.1431, -0.1431, -0.1419, -0.1397, -0.1205, -0.1116, -0.0888, -0.0855, -0.0508, -0.0394, -0.0419, -0.0258, -0.0239, -0.0345, -0.0218, -0.0356]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1998179692743193032", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-08T23:55:37+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NFLX is the swing short that keeps giving - with $SPOT ironically. Targets still in play!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Reiterates swing short on NFLX and SPOT with downside targets still in play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I was saying…\n\n$NFLX is the swing short that keeps giving - with $SPOT ironically. Targets still in play!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029372374084128516, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029372374084128516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030236057520093063, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028255462612853943, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011169114712745731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03347633558851615, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03347633558851615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02684419103173097, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02763395838396021, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0058423772045559375, "ret_p1w": -0.017976115273197757, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017976115273197757, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011871046462332946, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020210004188072506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0022338889148747487, "ret_p1m": -0.03400204923780836, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03400204923780836, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04656005685184539, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04327314014496819, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009271090907159829, "ret_p3m": -0.0415147136164804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0415147136164804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028816783159124615, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.053975104656884376, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012460391040403973, "ret_p6m": -0.17319853023753995, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17319853023753995, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28372586366493613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14236827709710886, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030830253140431085, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03400204923780836, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04656005685184539, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04327314014496819, "price_path": [0.1707, 0.181, 0.1924, 0.194, 0.1993, 0.245, 0.2463, 0.2524, 0.2192, 0.2018, 0.2085, 0.2151, 0.2354, 0.1837, 0.1883, 0.1995, 0.154, 0.1537, 0.1539, 0.1443, 0.1424, 0.1622, 0.1736, 0.1591, 0.1384, 0.1268, 0.1388, 0.1456, 0.1688, 0.1458, 0.1428, 0.0952, 0.1155, 0.1081, 0.1289, 0.1136, 0.1113, 0.0923, 0.0677, 0.0514, 0.0484, 0.0462, 0.0564, 0.0846, 0.0987, 0.0944, 0.0781, 0.0864, 0.0793, 0.0489, -0.0007, -0.0103, -0.008, -0.0071, 0.0051, 0.0051, 0.0156, -0.0183, -0.0218, -0.0551, -0.0487, -0.042, -0.0294, 0.0, 0.0335, 0.0156, 0.0138, -0.0212, -0.018, -0.0398, -0.0438, -0.0127, -0.0184, -0.0174, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.009, -0.0144, -0.022, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0249, 0.0063, -0.0309, -0.034, -0.061, -0.0853, -0.1012, -0.0933, -0.103, -0.1384, -0.1444, -0.1444, -0.1329, -0.1484, -0.1544, -0.1297, -0.1307, -0.1322, -0.1373, -0.1454, -0.1515, -0.1375, -0.1962, -0.2529, -0.3, -0.2833, -0.2965, -0.1927, -0.1738, -0.244, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2151, -0.1901, -0.177, -0.168, -0.2066, -0.2103, -0.2143, -0.1594, -0.1267, -0.1397, -0.1182, -0.0943, -0.0637, -0.0415, -0.076, -0.1008, -0.1277, -0.1358, -0.1248, -0.1114, -0.1093, -0.1237, -0.1817, -0.1952, -0.165, -0.1778, -0.1975, -0.1891, -0.1987, -0.1945, -0.1777, -0.2029, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1784, -0.1806, -0.1806, -0.1748, -0.1928, -0.1451, -0.1328, -0.0992, -0.0987, -0.09, -0.0897, -0.114, -0.1133, -0.125, -0.1215, -0.1592, -0.2637, -0.2478, -0.2427, -0.2513, -0.2568, -0.2885, -0.2788, -0.2751, -0.2914, -0.2886, -0.2661, -0.2693, -0.2665, -0.259, -0.2453, -0.2511, -0.2651, -0.1691, -0.1184, -0.1184, -0.1017, -0.1303, -0.1237, -0.156, -0.1389, -0.1495, -0.1732]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "price_path": [-0.1337, -0.1366, -0.1606, -0.1666, -0.1698, -0.1535, -0.1581, -0.1566, -0.1713, -0.1617, -0.1628, -0.1576, -0.1346, -0.1312, -0.1172, -0.1243, -0.1401, -0.15, -0.1438, -0.1424, -0.1427, -0.144, -0.1304, -0.1307, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1129, -0.1086, -0.1143, -0.1152, -0.1146, -0.1162, -0.1185, -0.114, -0.1102, -0.1006, -0.0956, -0.0948, -0.0945, -0.0868, -0.0884, -0.0874, -0.0663, -0.054, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0469, -0.0884, -0.0877, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0891, -0.0651, -0.055, -0.064, -0.0589, -0.0521, -0.0343, -0.0357, -0.0258, -0.0318, -0.0365, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.0333, 0.0475, 0.0628, 0.0889, 0.1311, 0.1342, 0.0177, -0.0231, 0.039, 0.0383, 0.0106, 0.0417, 0.0682, 0.0576, 0.0695, 0.0324, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0251, 0.0481, 0.0511, 0.0718, 0.1007, 0.0855, 0.0828, 0.0921, 0.1064, 0.1207, 0.0707, 0.0791, 0.0661, 0.083, 0.0807, 0.0929, 0.0892, 0.0678, 0.054, 0.0531, 0.0504, 0.0172, -0.0247, -0.0545, -0.0759, -0.0757, -0.0479, -0.0837, -0.0515, -0.0518, -0.0159, 0.0013, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0219, -0.0124, -0.0062, 0.0016, -0.0002, -0.0043, 0.018, 0.0074, 0.0065, 0.0199, 0.0111, -0.0175, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0091, -0.0168, -0.035, -0.0453, -0.031, -0.0321, -0.0515, -0.0434, -0.0143, -0.0127, -0.0079, -0.0059, -0.0098, -0.0154, -0.0229, -0.0456, -0.043, -0.0588, -0.0454, -0.0463, -0.0535, -0.0535, -0.0531, -0.0657, -0.0559, -0.046, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.0672, -0.0594, -0.0937, -0.0914, -0.1062, -0.1433, -0.1164, -0.1159, -0.093, -0.0906, -0.1112, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.1146, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "price_path": [-0.4826, -0.4848, -0.5035, -0.4999, -0.4937, -0.4807, -0.4846, -0.4875, -0.4995, -0.4888, -0.49, -0.4857, -0.4638, -0.456, -0.4341, -0.4447, -0.4618, -0.4675, -0.4601, -0.456, -0.4639, -0.4695, -0.4539, -0.4534, -0.4332, -0.4332, -0.4003, -0.3849, -0.3778, -0.3785, -0.3938, -0.3799, -0.3827, -0.3539, -0.3434, -0.3252, -0.343, -0.3195, -0.3239, -0.2943, -0.3053, -0.2865, -0.2684, -0.2407, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.1671, -0.227, -0.1922, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.23, -0.191, -0.1368, -0.169, -0.1836, -0.1524, -0.0956, -0.0795, -0.0097, -0.0242, -0.0512, -0.0512, 0.0, -0.0167, 0.0204, 0.0881, 0.1517, 0.1897, 0.2367, 0.2363, -0.1165, -0.1517, -0.0987, -0.0727, -0.219, -0.178, -0.1095, -0.1403, -0.1034, -0.2068, -0.1835, -0.1835, -0.2227, -0.1792, -0.1684, -0.1027, -0.0564, -0.0739, -0.0627, -0.0579, -0.0047, -0.0447, -0.1254, -0.1177, -0.1302, -0.1107, -0.0835, -0.0621, -0.0876, -0.1043, -0.1487, -0.1425, -0.1608, -0.1955, -0.2308, -0.2795, -0.2684, -0.2628, -0.2363, -0.2883, -0.2571, -0.2561, -0.202, -0.202, -0.2295, -0.2295, -0.226, -0.2278, -0.2099, -0.1991, -0.191, -0.2004, -0.1563, -0.1587, -0.1657, -0.1377, -0.1551, -0.1979, -0.1759, -0.1992, -0.1944, -0.1998, -0.2247, -0.2407, -0.2193, -0.2003, -0.2278, -0.2281, -0.1787, -0.1615, -0.145, -0.0865, -0.0801, -0.0707, -0.1157, -0.1915, -0.1809, -0.2165, -0.1951, -0.1867, -0.1994, -0.1994, -0.1835, -0.2095, -0.1994, -0.1998, -0.2075, -0.2038, -0.2246, -0.2156, -0.279, -0.2788, -0.3089, -0.3247, -0.2877, -0.2822, -0.2567, -0.2576, -0.2902, -0.3031, -0.3031, -0.3031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "XME", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["XME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013117108250993992, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013117108250993992, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03389691870824629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03389691870824629, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016058481783705725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016058481783705725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0045173725020444255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0045173725020444255, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.020271844914736326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020271844914736326, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0061604340409546765, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0061604340409546765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.06916287924212994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06916287924212994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08201742518732891, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08201742518732891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.06452918117346151, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06452918117346151, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11544486495108786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11544486495108786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06916287924212994, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08201742518732891, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08201742518732891, "price_path": [-0.2154, -0.2074, -0.2239, -0.2195, -0.2207, -0.2344, -0.2331, -0.2478, -0.2848, -0.2787, -0.2767, -0.2571, -0.2438, -0.2538, -0.2347, -0.2663, -0.2708, -0.2844, -0.28, -0.2748, -0.3057, -0.2959, -0.2741, -0.2625, -0.243, -0.243, -0.2291, -0.2393, -0.233, -0.2086, -0.1996, -0.2081, -0.2203, -0.2102, -0.2048, -0.1673, -0.189, -0.1993, -0.1988, -0.1978, -0.1875, -0.1649, -0.1481, -0.1413, -0.1425, -0.1425, -0.1427, -0.1612, -0.1674, -0.1763, -0.1763, -0.1452, -0.1171, -0.0856, -0.0924, -0.0935, -0.0707, -0.0421, -0.0479, -0.0225, -0.0165, -0.0131, -0.0131, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.039, 0.0449, 0.003, 0.0203, 0.0233, 0.0078, -0.0562, -0.057, -0.0096, -0.033, -0.0805, -0.0262, -0.0025, -0.0214, -0.0163, -0.0724, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0849, -0.0692, -0.068, -0.0662, -0.0642, -0.051, -0.0502, -0.0458, -0.0512, -0.0297, -0.0677, -0.0647, -0.1027, -0.1244, -0.1092, -0.0928, -0.0866, -0.1032, -0.1332, -0.1217, -0.1194, -0.1421, -0.1639, -0.1913, -0.1758, -0.1503, -0.1417, -0.1654, -0.1573, -0.177, -0.1408, -0.1258, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.1232, -0.1266, -0.0983, -0.1034, -0.0967, -0.0856, -0.0831, -0.0798, -0.0776, -0.0645, -0.0518, -0.0664, -0.031, -0.0642, -0.0631, -0.0438, -0.0687, -0.0883, -0.0555, -0.0569, -0.0696, -0.0543, -0.0125, -0.0414, -0.0379, -0.0093, -0.0168, -0.0189, -0.0377, -0.0805, -0.0995, -0.124, -0.0996, -0.0822, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0244, -0.0223, 0.0059, -0.004, 0.0139, 0.0566, 0.0224, 0.0234, -0.0566, -0.0567, -0.0765, -0.1057, -0.0586, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0508, -0.0582, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0691, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "COPX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["COPX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01799396178642665, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01799396178642665, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03877377224367895, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03877377224367895, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020911868944718748, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020911868944718748, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009370759663057449, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009370759663057449, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.09933128472881836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09933128472881836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07289900577312736, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07289900577312736, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.053617065800721786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.053617065800721786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040762519855522816, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040762519855522816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.06006081995630708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06006081995630708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009145136178680735, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009145136178680735, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.053617065800721786, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.040762519855522816, "alpha_c_stated": 0.040762519855522816, "price_path": [-0.2847, -0.277, -0.275, -0.2654, -0.2535, -0.2622, -0.2663, -0.2847, -0.3118, -0.2955, -0.2868, -0.2769, -0.2572, -0.2635, -0.2478, -0.2666, -0.2736, -0.2877, -0.3022, -0.289, -0.3178, -0.3064, -0.2871, -0.2797, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2361, -0.2295, -0.232, -0.1985, -0.2017, -0.1921, -0.1988, -0.2053, -0.1867, -0.1785, -0.1905, -0.1832, -0.1883, -0.1833, -0.1785, -0.1649, -0.1381, -0.1216, -0.1239, -0.1239, -0.1006, -0.133, -0.1185, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.0681, -0.0508, -0.0772, -0.0806, -0.0573, -0.0265, -0.0293, 0.0017, -0.0026, -0.018, -0.018, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.0002, 0.0457, 0.0709, 0.0993, 0.1183, 0.1457, 0.0311, 0.0359, 0.1035, 0.053, -0.0114, 0.0295, 0.0824, 0.0727, 0.0957, 0.0596, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0308, 0.0536, 0.0471, 0.0832, 0.1046, 0.1352, 0.1557, 0.1483, 0.1635, 0.138, 0.058, 0.0719, 0.0006, -0.028, -0.0001, 0.0098, 0.0005, -0.0305, -0.0712, -0.0436, -0.0528, -0.089, -0.12, -0.1601, -0.1058, -0.1125, -0.0804, -0.1381, -0.1294, -0.1398, -0.0717, -0.0498, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0672, -0.067, -0.0027, -0.0084, 0.0154, 0.0319, 0.0508, 0.0466, 0.0481, 0.0601, 0.0486, -0.0095, 0.0322, 0.0026, 0.0015, -0.0067, -0.0433, -0.055, -0.0321, -0.0389, -0.0681, -0.0491, 0.016, 0.0044, 0.0452, 0.0649, 0.1036, 0.1174, 0.0867, 0.0097, -0.0049, -0.035, 0.0007, 0.0094, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.064, 0.0467, 0.0753, 0.0716, 0.095, 0.1387, 0.0973, 0.0969, -0.0196, -0.0117, -0.0257, -0.0584, 0.0111, 0.0452, 0.0919, 0.0917, 0.0548, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0393, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "price_path": [-0.1337, -0.1366, -0.1606, -0.1666, -0.1698, -0.1535, -0.1581, -0.1566, -0.1713, -0.1617, -0.1628, -0.1576, -0.1346, -0.1312, -0.1172, -0.1243, -0.1401, -0.15, -0.1438, -0.1424, -0.1427, -0.144, -0.1304, -0.1307, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1129, -0.1086, -0.1143, -0.1152, -0.1146, -0.1162, -0.1185, -0.114, -0.1102, -0.1006, -0.0956, -0.0948, -0.0945, -0.0868, -0.0884, -0.0874, -0.0663, -0.054, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0469, -0.0884, -0.0877, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0891, -0.0651, -0.055, -0.064, -0.0589, -0.0521, -0.0343, -0.0357, -0.0258, -0.0318, -0.0365, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.0333, 0.0475, 0.0628, 0.0889, 0.1311, 0.1342, 0.0177, -0.0231, 0.039, 0.0383, 0.0106, 0.0417, 0.0682, 0.0576, 0.0695, 0.0324, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0251, 0.0481, 0.0511, 0.0718, 0.1007, 0.0855, 0.0828, 0.0921, 0.1064, 0.1207, 0.0707, 0.0791, 0.0661, 0.083, 0.0807, 0.0929, 0.0892, 0.0678, 0.054, 0.0531, 0.0504, 0.0172, -0.0247, -0.0545, -0.0759, -0.0757, -0.0479, -0.0837, -0.0515, -0.0518, -0.0159, 0.0013, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0219, -0.0124, -0.0062, 0.0016, -0.0002, -0.0043, 0.018, 0.0074, 0.0065, 0.0199, 0.0111, -0.0175, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0091, -0.0168, -0.035, -0.0453, -0.031, -0.0321, -0.0515, -0.0434, -0.0143, -0.0127, -0.0079, -0.0059, -0.0098, -0.0154, -0.0229, -0.0456, -0.043, -0.0588, -0.0454, -0.0463, -0.0535, -0.0535, -0.0531, -0.0657, -0.0559, -0.046, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.0672, -0.0594, -0.0937, -0.0914, -0.1062, -0.1433, -0.1164, -0.1159, -0.093, -0.0906, -0.1112, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.1146, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2012954777622130840", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish metals, miners, and materials on US govt subsidies reclaiming supply/price control from China; price floor coming soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did this premarket rant for clients Thursday. Then was sent this video making the rounds that matched my warning:\n\nMetals & Miners Price Floor Coming Soon\n\n$GLD $SLV $XME $COPX $XAGUSD $XAUUSD\n\nUS subsidizing metals, miners & materials to reclaim supply & price control from China will support my METALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️ & US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST™️to stimulate reshoring, inflation & higher prices in THINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more timely market timing calls like this.\n\nOR JOIN US LIVE\n\nhttps://t.co/9JH1BxlV8G", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "price_path": [-0.4826, -0.4848, -0.5035, -0.4999, -0.4937, -0.4807, -0.4846, -0.4875, -0.4995, -0.4888, -0.49, -0.4857, -0.4638, -0.456, -0.4341, -0.4447, -0.4618, -0.4675, -0.4601, -0.456, -0.4639, -0.4695, -0.4539, -0.4534, -0.4332, -0.4332, -0.4003, -0.3849, -0.3778, -0.3785, -0.3938, -0.3799, -0.3827, -0.3539, -0.3434, -0.3252, -0.343, -0.3195, -0.3239, -0.2943, -0.3053, -0.2865, -0.2684, -0.2407, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.1671, -0.227, -0.1922, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.23, -0.191, -0.1368, -0.169, -0.1836, -0.1524, -0.0956, -0.0795, -0.0097, -0.0242, -0.0512, -0.0512, 0.0, -0.0167, 0.0204, 0.0881, 0.1517, 0.1897, 0.2367, 0.2363, -0.1165, -0.1517, -0.0987, -0.0727, -0.219, -0.178, -0.1095, -0.1403, -0.1034, -0.2068, -0.1835, -0.1835, -0.2227, -0.1792, -0.1684, -0.1027, -0.0564, -0.0739, -0.0627, -0.0579, -0.0047, -0.0447, -0.1254, -0.1177, -0.1302, -0.1107, -0.0835, -0.0621, -0.0876, -0.1043, -0.1487, -0.1425, -0.1608, -0.1955, -0.2308, -0.2795, -0.2684, -0.2628, -0.2363, -0.2883, -0.2571, -0.2561, -0.202, -0.202, -0.2295, -0.2295, -0.226, -0.2278, -0.2099, -0.1991, -0.191, -0.2004, -0.1563, -0.1587, -0.1657, -0.1377, -0.1551, -0.1979, -0.1759, -0.1992, -0.1944, -0.1998, -0.2247, -0.2407, -0.2193, -0.2003, -0.2278, -0.2281, -0.1787, -0.1615, -0.145, -0.0865, -0.0801, -0.0707, -0.1157, -0.1915, -0.1809, -0.2165, -0.1951, -0.1867, -0.1994, -0.1994, -0.1835, -0.2095, -0.1994, -0.1998, -0.2075, -0.2038, -0.2246, -0.2156, -0.279, -0.2788, -0.3089, -0.3247, -0.2877, -0.2822, -0.2567, -0.2576, -0.2902, -0.3031, -0.3031, -0.3031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "solar energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["TAN"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "TAN Invesco Solar ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007574274168484552, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007574274168484552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01320553628876775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01320553628876775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014760114522408996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014760114522408996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032190052407476966, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0032190052407476966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08875508925717135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08875508925717135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06232281030148035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06232281030148035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.1736259144549166, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736259144549166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16077136850971763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16077136850971763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.07069332435408904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07069332435408904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019777640576462696, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019777640576462696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1736259144549166, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16077136850971763, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16077136850971763, "price_path": [-0.0963, -0.0658, -0.0501, -0.059, -0.0561, -0.073, -0.046, -0.0456, -0.0691, -0.0041, -0.0243, -0.0214, 0.0266, 0.007, -0.0179, -0.0585, -0.0385, -0.053, -0.0635, -0.0752, -0.1132, -0.1078, -0.0977, -0.0856, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0501, -0.0748, -0.075, -0.0798, -0.067, -0.0738, -0.0757, -0.0781, -0.0526, -0.0437, -0.0709, -0.0761, -0.0719, -0.0823, -0.0614, -0.0486, -0.0017, -0.0212, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0128, -0.0264, -0.0381, -0.046, -0.046, 0.0021, -0.0072, 0.0004, -0.0198, -0.0212, -0.0231, 0.0126, 0.0136, 0.0, 0.0093, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0491, 0.0726, 0.0703, 0.0888, 0.114, 0.0827, 0.0458, 0.0427, 0.0796, 0.1284, 0.0843, 0.1214, 0.1404, 0.1379, 0.1338, 0.1043, 0.1249, 0.1249, 0.1627, 0.1736, 0.1365, 0.1608, 0.167, 0.1756, 0.1519, 0.1183, 0.0682, 0.0946, 0.0579, 0.0656, 0.0505, 0.0348, 0.0507, 0.0662, 0.0823, 0.0633, 0.0755, 0.1022, 0.1214, 0.0989, 0.106, 0.0711, 0.068, 0.0765, 0.1068, 0.0726, 0.0588, 0.0272, 0.082, 0.0928, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0519, 0.0385, 0.0775, 0.0627, 0.0726, 0.0662, 0.0726, 0.0744, 0.0583, 0.0707, 0.0789, 0.062, 0.1076, 0.1381, 0.1326, 0.1398, 0.1191, 0.0899, 0.1344, 0.1511, 0.1338, 0.1791, 0.1744, 0.1606, 0.203, 0.2245, 0.1973, 0.2393, 0.2614, 0.2616, 0.216, 0.1841, 0.222, 0.2597, 0.2808, 0.2808, 0.3393, 0.3694, 0.397, 0.4358, 0.3814, 0.4036, 0.3651, 0.368, 0.2439, 0.2348, 0.2008, 0.149, 0.2099, 0.2241, 0.2177, 0.1765, 0.1352, 0.1765, 0.1765, 0.1765, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029223362467158953, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029223362467158953, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02059554293026089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02059554293026089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.05288064318789343, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05288064318789343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.10492625732654393, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10492625732654393, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.6148065673521796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6148065673521796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10492625732654393, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09207171138134496, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09207171138134496, "price_path": [0.0199, 0.0184, 0.0175, -0.0065, -0.0008, -0.0021, 0.0097, 0.0122, 0.001, -0.0116, -0.0136, -0.0083, -0.0025, 0.012, -0.0288, -0.028, -0.0067, -0.0078, 0.0089, -0.0136, -0.0238, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0363, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.011, -0.0111, -0.0231, -0.0167, -0.0065, 0.0008, -0.0191, -0.0278, -0.0184, -0.0363, -0.0424, -0.0552, -0.0792, -0.054, -0.065, -0.0533, -0.0296, -0.0217, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.047, -0.0313, -0.0295, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0404, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0566, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.0029, 0.0225, 0.0104, -0.0102, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0206, -0.0006, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.0529, 0.0662, 0.1013, 0.1066, 0.0483, 0.0781, 0.0838, 0.0672, 0.0714, 0.0857, 0.0859, 0.0978, 0.0629, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0539, 0.1049, 0.1298, 0.1251, 0.1258, 0.1239, 0.1095, 0.1101, 0.1404, 0.2133, 0.2552, 0.2741, 0.3402, 0.5136, 0.4519, 0.4731, 0.5036, 0.6475, 0.6684, 0.6008, 0.6538, 0.6932, 0.6332, 0.6898, 0.5385, 0.5939, 0.5779, 0.6318, 0.7284, 0.8067, 0.7708, 0.7268, 0.9193, 0.9193, 0.9335, 0.9215, 0.7336, 0.7668, 0.737, 0.7878, 0.7235, 0.706, 0.7512, 0.6148, 0.6883, 0.7847, 0.8007, 0.8748, 0.8425, 0.8748, 0.9427, 1.0962, 1.0469, 0.9872, 1.0541, 1.0063, 0.864, 0.8782, 0.859, 0.9296, 1.0081, 0.9766, 0.99, 1.0628, 1.0775, 1.1286, 1.0077, 0.9836, 0.961, 0.961, 0.9065, 0.8234, 0.8199, 0.7964, 0.8856, 0.9102, 0.9602, 0.9029, 0.8511, 0.8807, 0.8272, 0.8689, 0.7928, 0.7455, 0.6868, 0.6069, 0.5896, 0.5985, 0.5985, 0.5985, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03645678942634312, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05723659988359542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014568979615140476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030278703334791768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08890056524139855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06246828628570755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03528942236448551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01989795181219889, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.031017731965427453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04814396830968448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03528942236448551, "price_path": [-0.1337, -0.1366, -0.1606, -0.1666, -0.1698, -0.1535, -0.1581, -0.1566, -0.1713, -0.1617, -0.1628, -0.1576, -0.1346, -0.1312, -0.1172, -0.1243, -0.1401, -0.15, -0.1438, -0.1424, -0.1427, -0.144, -0.1304, -0.1307, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1129, -0.1086, -0.1143, -0.1152, -0.1146, -0.1162, -0.1185, -0.114, -0.1102, -0.1006, -0.0956, -0.0948, -0.0945, -0.0868, -0.0884, -0.0874, -0.0663, -0.054, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.0469, -0.0884, -0.0877, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0891, -0.0651, -0.055, -0.064, -0.0589, -0.0521, -0.0343, -0.0357, -0.0258, -0.0318, -0.0365, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.0333, 0.0475, 0.0628, 0.0889, 0.1311, 0.1342, 0.0177, -0.0231, 0.039, 0.0383, 0.0106, 0.0417, 0.0682, 0.0576, 0.0695, 0.0324, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0251, 0.0481, 0.0511, 0.0718, 0.1007, 0.0855, 0.0828, 0.0921, 0.1064, 0.1207, 0.0707, 0.0791, 0.0661, 0.083, 0.0807, 0.0929, 0.0892, 0.0678, 0.054, 0.0531, 0.0504, 0.0172, -0.0247, -0.0545, -0.0759, -0.0757, -0.0479, -0.0837, -0.0515, -0.0518, -0.0159, 0.0013, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0219, -0.0124, -0.0062, 0.0016, -0.0002, -0.0043, 0.018, 0.0074, 0.0065, 0.0199, 0.0111, -0.0175, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0091, -0.0168, -0.035, -0.0453, -0.031, -0.0321, -0.0515, -0.0434, -0.0143, -0.0127, -0.0079, -0.0059, -0.0098, -0.0154, -0.0229, -0.0456, -0.043, -0.0588, -0.0454, -0.0463, -0.0535, -0.0535, -0.0531, -0.0657, -0.0559, -0.046, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.0672, -0.0594, -0.0937, -0.0914, -0.1062, -0.1433, -0.1164, -0.1159, -0.093, -0.0906, -0.1112, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.1146, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05117698533573001, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07195679579298231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01674669534368367, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02828780462534497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18971773116332935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16328545220763835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19203247264761536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13772107062054972, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18863675439817607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1791779267024164, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19203247264761536, "price_path": [-0.4826, -0.4848, -0.5035, -0.4999, -0.4937, -0.4807, -0.4846, -0.4875, -0.4995, -0.4888, -0.49, -0.4857, -0.4638, -0.456, -0.4341, -0.4447, -0.4618, -0.4675, -0.4601, -0.456, -0.4639, -0.4695, -0.4539, -0.4534, -0.4332, -0.4332, -0.4003, -0.3849, -0.3778, -0.3785, -0.3938, -0.3799, -0.3827, -0.3539, -0.3434, -0.3252, -0.343, -0.3195, -0.3239, -0.2943, -0.3053, -0.2865, -0.2684, -0.2407, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.1671, -0.227, -0.1922, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.23, -0.191, -0.1368, -0.169, -0.1836, -0.1524, -0.0956, -0.0795, -0.0097, -0.0242, -0.0512, -0.0512, 0.0, -0.0167, 0.0204, 0.0881, 0.1517, 0.1897, 0.2367, 0.2363, -0.1165, -0.1517, -0.0987, -0.0727, -0.219, -0.178, -0.1095, -0.1403, -0.1034, -0.2068, -0.1835, -0.1835, -0.2227, -0.1792, -0.1684, -0.1027, -0.0564, -0.0739, -0.0627, -0.0579, -0.0047, -0.0447, -0.1254, -0.1177, -0.1302, -0.1107, -0.0835, -0.0621, -0.0876, -0.1043, -0.1487, -0.1425, -0.1608, -0.1955, -0.2308, -0.2795, -0.2684, -0.2628, -0.2363, -0.2883, -0.2571, -0.2561, -0.202, -0.202, -0.2295, -0.2295, -0.226, -0.2278, -0.2099, -0.1991, -0.191, -0.2004, -0.1563, -0.1587, -0.1657, -0.1377, -0.1551, -0.1979, -0.1759, -0.1992, -0.1944, -0.1998, -0.2247, -0.2407, -0.2193, -0.2003, -0.2278, -0.2281, -0.1787, -0.1615, -0.145, -0.0865, -0.0801, -0.0707, -0.1157, -0.1915, -0.1809, -0.2165, -0.1951, -0.1867, -0.1994, -0.1994, -0.1835, -0.2095, -0.1994, -0.1998, -0.2075, -0.2038, -0.2246, -0.2156, -0.279, -0.2788, -0.3089, -0.3247, -0.2877, -0.2822, -0.2567, -0.2576, -0.2902, -0.3031, -0.3031, -0.3031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "COPPER COILING", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CPER United States Copper Index Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006440760238953347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006440760238953347, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014339050218298954, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014339050218298954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008400666498453724, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008400666498453724, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012381175931506672, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012381175931506672, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.024363001088967273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024363001088967273, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002069277866723729, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002069277866723729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.003640360032226786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003640360032226786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016494905977425756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016494905977425756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.044245361847172315, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044245361847172315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.006670321930454026, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006670321930454026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003640360032226786, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016494905977425756, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016494905977425756, "price_path": [-0.1204, -0.1154, -0.1067, -0.1042, -0.0983, -0.1159, -0.1171, -0.1241, -0.1451, -0.1353, -0.1367, -0.1411, -0.1148, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1246, -0.1229, -0.1344, -0.1375, -0.1283, -0.1383, -0.1299, -0.1288, -0.1269, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.0961, -0.0958, -0.1, -0.075, -0.0804, -0.0661, -0.0692, -0.0857, -0.0739, -0.0588, -0.0806, -0.0717, -0.079, -0.0694, -0.0686, -0.0591, -0.0554, -0.0437, -0.0423, -0.0423, 0.0028, -0.0428, -0.0129, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0204, 0.0297, 0.0437, 0.0056, -0.0008, 0.0123, 0.0328, 0.033, 0.0501, 0.0297, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0014, 0.0227, 0.0232, 0.0244, 0.03, 0.084, 0.0202, 0.0048, 0.0496, 0.0162, -0.0132, 0.0148, 0.0297, 0.0174, 0.0305, -0.0056, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0216, -0.0036, -0.0048, 0.0129, -0.0008, 0.0165, 0.03, 0.0286, 0.0328, 0.019, -0.0031, 0.0073, -0.0036, -0.0022, 0.0053, 0.0104, 0.0115, -0.0039, -0.0249, -0.0006, -0.014, -0.0577, -0.0557, -0.0941, -0.061, -0.0661, -0.0538, -0.0666, -0.0633, -0.0594, -0.0358, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0395, -0.0456, -0.0129, -0.014, 0.0045, 0.0302, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0344, 0.0442, 0.0364, 0.0238, 0.0529, 0.035, 0.0344, 0.0342, 0.0148, 0.0073, 0.023, 0.0146, -0.0036, 0.0174, 0.0512, 0.0459, 0.0717, 0.1031, 0.1325, 0.1277, 0.1207, 0.068, 0.0753, 0.0538, 0.0801, 0.0804, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.093, 0.0776, 0.0938, 0.0882, 0.119, 0.1369, 0.1039, 0.1126, 0.0664, 0.0795, 0.0809, 0.0563, 0.0905, 0.1075, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.082, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0882, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "small-mid cap equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SMIDs OUTPERFORM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM", "IJH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "IWM Russell 2000 small cap; IJH S&P 400 mid cap ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013075200557156497, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013075200557156497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007704609900095805, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007704609900095805, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018966974375998036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018966974375998036, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425865094336737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425865094336737, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.007857264330454528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007857264330454528, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018575014625236475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018575014625236475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.021356278328806044, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021356278328806044, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008501732383607075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008501732383607075, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.05487451871800242, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05487451871800242, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.003958834940376077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.003958834940376077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021356278328806044, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008501732383607075, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008501732383607075, "price_path": [-0.0598, -0.0514, -0.048, -0.0548, -0.0618, -0.0706, -0.0651, -0.0668, -0.0789, -0.0691, -0.0818, -0.0739, -0.0663, -0.066, -0.0655, -0.0873, -0.087, -0.1045, -0.1017, -0.1011, -0.1168, -0.0937, -0.0809, -0.0624, -0.0555, -0.0555, -0.0502, -0.0589, -0.0614, -0.0496, -0.0431, -0.0449, -0.0471, -0.0464, -0.0309, -0.0206, -0.0345, -0.039, -0.0445, -0.0517, -0.0465, -0.0387, -0.0292, -0.0335, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.034, -0.0398, -0.045, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.0421, -0.0282, -0.0148, -0.0195, -0.0124, -0.0043, -0.0011, -0.0004, 0.0036, 0.0139, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0228, 0.0082, 0.0064, 0.0079, 0.004, 0.003, -0.0086, 0.0004, 0.0025, 0.0019, -0.0097, 0.0238, 0.0277, 0.0261, 0.0226, 0.0047, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0174, 0.0214, 0.0224, 0.0257, 0.0089, 0.0189, 0.0233, 0.0281, 0.0151, 0.0241, 0.0064, 0.0112, -0.0055, -0.0286, -0.0185, -0.0213, -0.0237, -0.044, -0.0463, -0.0385, -0.0311, -0.0433, -0.0391, -0.0601, -0.0414, -0.0349, -0.0248, -0.0405, -0.0567, -0.0671, -0.0371, -0.03, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.022, -0.0203, 0.0085, 0.0123, 0.0095, 0.0222, 0.0318, 0.0315, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0612, 0.0526, 0.0543, 0.0525, 0.0557, 0.057, 0.0456, 0.0382, 0.0581, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0705, 0.0884, 0.0727, 0.0788, 0.0795, 0.0709, 0.0697, 0.0753, 0.0534, 0.0498, 0.0391, 0.0619, 0.0677, 0.077, 0.077, 0.0957, 0.0933, 0.0971, 0.0952, 0.092, 0.102, 0.0937, 0.1044, 0.0737, 0.0795, 0.0858, 0.0723, 0.1016, 0.1104, 0.1172, 0.1106, 0.0995, 0.1163, 0.1163, 0.1163, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013131926840676712", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "value equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2026 intermarket roadmap: long solar, gold, silver, copper, SMIDs, value, RoW; short oil, USD, tech pause; yields at inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWD", "VTV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value; VTV Vanguard Value ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2026 INTERMARKET ANALYSIS ROADMAP For Market/Sector Direction & Key Themes \n\nTHE JANUARY BAROMETER\nWE. ARE. HERE.\n\nBREADTH TREND IS FRIEND UNTIL IT ENDS...\nGROWTH-TO-VALUE REBALANCING\nTECH TAKES A PAUSE\nSMIDs OUTPERFORM\n\nENERGY REVISITED...\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL BUT NOT OIL COMPANIES\nLONG SOLAR/SHORT OIL\nCOMMODITIES OUTPERFORM\n\nMETALS ARE STILL BULLISH...\nGOLD TO OUTPERFORM SPX, AGAIN\nSILVER'S PARABOLA HAS A RAISED FLOOR\nPALLADIUM & PLATINUM UPDATED\nCOPPER COILING\n\nTHE BIG MACRO TRENDS...\nDOLLAR DIGESTING BEFORE DEBASING\nUS YIELDS AT INFLECTION POINT\nREST OF WORLD  OUTPERFORMING\n\nBONUS:\nYIELD CURVE SCREAMS WARSH AS NEXT FED CHAIR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow. Sincere thanks!!\n@gave_vincent @LukeGromen are 🔥🎩🧠\n\nBTW: I just worked two full days on my next post to be released to https://t.co/2KkP0W5AGq clients 1st then spread out to Substack over time.\n\nIt's my secret sauce that helps me come up with my market timing calls in https://t.co/vYz9EDMgap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01380612306314044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01380612306314044, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0069736873941118604, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0069736873941118604, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014360223085868928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014360223085868928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002819113804207629, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002819113804207629, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.013698424566829903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013698424566829903, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012733854388861099, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012733854388861099, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.04699498404782809, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04699498404782809, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03414043810262912, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03414043810262912, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.05258059721778008, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05258059721778008, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0016649134401537369, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0016649134401537369, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04699498404782809, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03414043810262912, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03414043810262912, "price_path": [-0.0517, -0.0465, -0.0421, -0.0486, -0.0555, -0.0587, -0.0565, -0.0599, -0.0641, -0.0588, -0.0619, -0.0558, -0.0505, -0.0433, -0.0393, -0.0499, -0.0525, -0.0629, -0.0635, -0.0652, -0.0745, -0.0609, -0.0579, -0.0446, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0321, -0.0387, -0.0398, -0.031, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0367, -0.0391, -0.0258, -0.0187, -0.0228, -0.0202, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0309, -0.0279, -0.0204, -0.0198, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0156, -0.0171, -0.0178, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0161, -0.0058, 0.0029, -0.008, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0071, 0.0058, 0.0105, 0.0144, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0, 0.0144, 0.0165, 0.0106, 0.0138, 0.0137, 0.0143, 0.0198, 0.0193, 0.0279, 0.031, 0.0356, 0.0285, 0.0472, 0.0464, 0.0453, 0.0489, 0.0372, 0.0446, 0.0446, 0.0427, 0.047, 0.0451, 0.0501, 0.0408, 0.0462, 0.049, 0.0505, 0.0516, 0.0496, 0.0365, 0.0406, 0.0276, 0.0151, 0.0185, 0.0156, 0.0131, 0.0003, 0.0012, 0.0093, 0.0132, 0.0005, -0.0008, -0.012, -0.0042, 0.0001, 0.0043, -0.0047, -0.0151, -0.0174, 0.0006, 0.0048, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0111, 0.0347, 0.04, 0.0327, 0.0404, 0.0437, 0.0397, 0.0432, 0.0526, 0.0529, 0.0463, 0.0477, 0.053, 0.0519, 0.0518, 0.0505, 0.0507, 0.0686, 0.0656, 0.0593, 0.0698, 0.0791, 0.0682, 0.0755, 0.0803, 0.08, 0.0807, 0.0835, 0.0705, 0.0735, 0.0705, 0.0787, 0.0824, 0.091, 0.091, 0.0988, 0.0972, 0.0969, 0.0973, 0.095, 0.1041, 0.1041, 0.1123, 0.0941, 0.0975, 0.1025, 0.0901, 0.1098, 0.1204, 0.129, 0.1265, 0.1155, 0.1208, 0.1208, 0.1208, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997820656537493765", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T00:08:56+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now $6 on way to $10", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TE targeting $10 from $6; also bullish ASTS as related solar-in-space play.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Nov 5th client post:\n\n\"TE - new name, looks very supportive for higher big picture &gt; 3.36 wkly close. (Trina Solar ancillary play from China)\n\nNow $6 on way to $10. \n$ASTS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TE: Fun Fact - did you know that $ASTS AST SpaceMobile takes commercial grade silicon-based solar modules and hardens them for use in space?\n\nHistorically, space companies used extremely expensive Gallium Arsenide solar modules both for their higher efficiency (30-45%) and https://t.co/7AcRkiJhG1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0315614713990775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0315614713990775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03457482326466588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03279206461880135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012305932197238523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11794020604593092, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11794020604593092, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11880314417652571, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12525942127075784, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007319215224826925, "ret_p1w": -0.1594684453801648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1594684453801648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1552264914275373, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17630889579677544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01684045041661064, "ret_p1m": 0.27076413946932454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27076413946932454, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25580828560527746, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2177495789081565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.053014560561168045, "ret_p3m": 0.13122922995947284, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13122922995947284, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13167789297250065, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01296190203044656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11826732792902628, "ret_p6m": 1.0, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8825899126439432, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8647080404160468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13529195958395324, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.27076413946932454, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25580828560527746, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2177495789081565, "price_path": [-0.6894, -0.6877, -0.691, -0.7043, -0.7093, -0.706, -0.691, -0.6761, -0.6628, -0.6944, -0.6346, -0.6229, -0.6346, -0.613, -0.6379, -0.603, -0.608, -0.5797, -0.5349, -0.5249, -0.5133, -0.3638, -0.3953, -0.4186, -0.3339, -0.1296, -0.2209, -0.2824, -0.2093, -0.2558, -0.3173, -0.3837, -0.4236, -0.3638, -0.3854, -0.402, -0.3953, -0.3821, -0.4319, -0.3887, -0.3206, -0.3887, -0.3671, -0.2525, -0.2674, -0.3605, -0.4203, -0.4419, -0.4718, -0.4917, -0.5199, -0.5482, -0.5482, -0.4784, -0.4535, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3156, -0.2575, -0.2126, -0.2492, -0.1512, -0.0316, 0.0, 0.1179, 0.0216, -0.0249, -0.1113, -0.1595, -0.0963, -0.0997, 0.0, 0.0681, 0.2126, 0.1811, 0.1711, 0.1711, 0.1296, 0.0664, 0.0797, 0.1096, 0.1096, 0.3023, 0.3621, 0.2708, 0.2093, 0.1312, 0.1528, 0.1977, 0.3056, 0.3056, 0.2309, 0.3571, 0.3571, 0.3754, 0.299, 0.3904, 0.412, 0.3522, 0.515, 0.5764, 0.4751, 0.3837, 0.4385, 0.51, 0.2841, 0.2076, 0.3738, 0.2691, 0.2475, 0.1379, 0.0316, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0698, 0.0731, 0.0482, 0.0316, 0.0449, 0.1777, 0.1993, 0.211, 0.0233, 0.1362, 0.0814, 0.1794, 0.1312, 0.1163, 0.1894, 0.3256, 0.3522, 0.2857, 0.2658, 0.2824, 0.294, 0.2176, 0.2807, 0.0963, 0.1362, 0.098, 0.1096, 0.0432, -0.0432, -0.0664, -0.2708, -0.2558, -0.304, -0.304, -0.3272, -0.3472, -0.3073, -0.3056, -0.2209, -0.1512, -0.1927, -0.113, -0.1711, -0.1645, -0.1728, -0.1545, -0.1047, -0.1047, -0.1213, -0.1179, -0.186, -0.1877, -0.2027, -0.1445, -0.1528, -0.113, -0.1246, -0.1445, 0.0233, 0.0033, -0.0282, -0.0681, -0.0482, -0.0581, 0.1628, 0.1429, 0.4452, 0.4485, 0.3422, 0.3422, 0.7359, 0.8206, 0.7973, 0.7542, 0.7292, 1.0]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997820656537493765", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-08T00:08:56+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ASTS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TE targeting $10 from $6; also bullish ASTS as related solar-in-space play.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Nov 5th client post:\n\n\"TE - new name, looks very supportive for higher big picture &gt; 3.36 wkly close. (Trina Solar ancillary play from China)\n\nNow $6 on way to $10. \n$ASTS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TE: Fun Fact - did you know that $ASTS AST SpaceMobile takes commercial grade silicon-based solar modules and hardens them for use in space?\n\nHistorically, space companies used extremely expensive Gallium Arsenide solar modules both for their higher efficiency (30-45%) and https://t.co/7AcRkiJhG1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0010811058250633776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010811058250633776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004094457690651754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004094457690651754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003013351865588376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01567572516364024, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01567572516364024, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01481278703304545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01481278703304545, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008629381305947925, "ret_p1w": -0.083648681640625, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.083648681640625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0794067276879975, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0794067276879975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004241953952627497, "ret_p1m": 0.3174324035644531, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3174324035644531, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30247654970040605, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30247654970040605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014955853864047075, "ret_p3m": 0.2683783866263725, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2683783866263725, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2688270496394003, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2688270496394003, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00044866301302781686, "ret_p6m": 0.5968918671479095, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5968918671479095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4794817797918527, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4794817797918527, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11741008735605685, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3174324035644531, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.30247654970040605, "alpha_c_stated": 0.30247654970040605, "price_path": [-0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4768, -0.4464, -0.4536, -0.4434, -0.44, -0.3905, -0.3399, -0.2595, -0.2635, -0.3326, -0.3366, -0.34, -0.3368, -0.2305, -0.1059, -0.0843, -0.0149, 0.0101, 0.0973, 0.1728, 0.1085, 0.223, 0.277, 0.2931, 0.2095, 0.1282, 0.1191, 0.0623, -0.0358, -0.0308, -0.0041, 0.0736, 0.0509, 0.0819, 0.0362, 0.0845, -0.0386, -0.0534, -0.0489, -0.1178, -0.065, -0.0716, -0.0826, -0.1285, -0.1697, -0.1703, -0.2351, -0.2132, -0.2161, -0.3149, -0.3058, -0.2568, -0.2499, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2405, -0.2891, -0.2312, -0.1697, -0.0182, -0.0011, 0.0, -0.0157, 0.0682, 0.1453, 0.0365, -0.0836, -0.0761, -0.1641, -0.1091, 0.0249, 0.1686, 0.1577, 0.0547, 0.0547, -0.0277, -0.0342, 0.0092, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.128, 0.2286, 0.3174, 0.1585, 0.2238, 0.3199, 0.3296, 0.253, 0.2868, 0.3682, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5195, 0.3986, 0.5726, 0.5347, 0.4159, 0.5046, 0.6382, 0.6499, 0.5028, 0.4128, 0.5643, 0.3986, 0.2604, 0.3755, 0.38, 0.3009, 0.3097, 0.1111, 0.115, 0.115, 0.122, 0.1409, 0.1676, 0.0838, 0.1338, 0.1597, 0.113, 0.1589, 0.0701, 0.1746, 0.2524, 0.4174, 0.2684, 0.2091, 0.213, 0.1828, 0.192, 0.1769, 0.1668, 0.2042, 0.2932, 0.2262, 0.2715, 0.2153, 0.1949, 0.1754, 0.2981, 0.1873, 0.0631, -0.0024, 0.1199, 0.135, 0.2516, 0.2516, 0.2812, 0.2509, 0.3035, 0.238, 0.2824, 0.3374, 0.1969, 0.1745, 0.2289, 0.1558, 0.0946, 0.0812, 0.1441, 0.0642, 0.0324, 0.0432, -0.0286, -0.0561, -0.0014, -0.042, -0.0753, -0.1369, -0.0449, -0.1169, 0.0142, 0.1155, -0.0141, 0.0109, 0.1218, 0.1307, 0.1734, 0.1905, 0.2105, 0.3004, 0.4305, 0.4305, 0.6176, 0.7514, 0.7985, 0.5326, 0.4277, 0.5969]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:2015907193845842147", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-26T21:58:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTCUSD into $65,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Targets gold up to $6000 and BTC down to $65,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gold into $6000 \n&amp;\nBTCUSD into $65,000 \n\nThat should do it. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014011265871341827, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014011265871341827, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017979708892895463, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.009464787027023913, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009464787027023913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009565451607348785, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.10851575039338146, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10851575039338146, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09994629200940708, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.2740215383095741, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2740215383095741, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2706570827699696, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.11327190876701176, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11327190876701176, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1426035030116446, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2740215383095741, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2706570827699696, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2468, 0.227, 0.2412, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1477, 0.1711, 0.2009, 0.1669, 0.1518, 0.1295, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0185, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.022, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0269, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.0481, 0.0227, -0.0209, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0074, -0.0117, -0.0109, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0053, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0619, 0.0345, 0.0313, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0486, 0.0005, 0.0126, 0.0135, 0.014, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1727, -0.2896, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.241, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2353, -0.2475, -0.2414, -0.2295, -0.2679, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2208, -0.2263, -0.1762, -0.1974, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2046, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1928, -0.2079, -0.201, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2206, -0.2484, -0.2444, -0.227, -0.2287, -0.2422, -0.2417, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1942, -0.1869, -0.1732, -0.1561, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1404, -0.135, -0.114, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1355, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0935, -0.0915, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1042, -0.1282, -0.1305, -0.1225, -0.1215, -0.1448, -0.1245, -0.141, -0.1577, -0.1669, -0.1687, -0.192, -0.2443, -0.2748, -0.2772, -0.3098, -0.2852, -0.3016, -0.3038, -0.2799, -0.2801, -0.249, -0.2568, -0.2702, -0.2874, -0.2801, -0.2702, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992757055363383728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T00:48:00+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL\n\nWINNER TAKE ALL™️", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL as winner of the AI assistant race as Gemini 3 displaces ChatGPT.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Can you feel the #OpenAI burn and $NVDA GPU churn? \n\n$GOOGL\n\nWINNER TAKE ALL™️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy shit. I’ve used ChatGPT every day for 3 years. Just spent 2 hours on Gemini 3. I’m not going back. The leap is insane — reasoning, speed, images, video… everything is sharper and faster. It feels like the world just changed, again. ❤️ 🤖 https://t.co/HruXhc16Mq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05938855206859339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05938855206859339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0448834402311894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04956642111074283, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015255244752224506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015255244752224506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005849224660096963, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003840335801208905, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011414908951015601, "ret_p1w": -0.011582476096434147, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011582476096434147, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02883908577880956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02786418404473745, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.012632208777884402, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012632208777884402, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.044428072098409266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0547527003063738, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": -0.04875349402999929, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04875349402999929, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07532998707809357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07089978038134193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026576493048094285, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 0.21849038324121017, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21849038324121017, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1150437638546491, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1867592315557749, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012632208777884402, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.044428072098409266, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0547527003063738, "price_path": [-0.3493, -0.3363, -0.3323, -0.3323, -0.3372, -0.2766, -0.2715, -0.263, -0.2654, -0.2478, -0.2493, -0.2455, -0.2441, -0.2102, -0.2116, -0.2167, -0.2089, -0.2005, -0.2073, -0.2101, -0.2242, -0.2285, -0.2261, -0.2339, -0.2369, -0.2313, -0.2288, -0.2299, -0.2139, -0.2286, -0.2322, -0.2419, -0.2574, -0.2336, -0.2295, -0.212, -0.2107, -0.2049, -0.1947, -0.2138, -0.21, -0.2056, -0.1841, -0.1548, -0.1604, -0.1381, -0.1165, -0.1174, -0.1094, -0.1288, -0.1076, -0.1062, -0.1248, -0.0894, -0.0856, -0.1, -0.1256, -0.1324, -0.1053, -0.1077, -0.0809, -0.0914, -0.0594, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.005, -0.0116, -0.0087, 0.0033, -0.003, 0.0084, -0.0146, -0.0041, 0.0058, -0.0187, -0.0285, -0.0319, -0.0371, -0.068, -0.05, -0.0352, -0.027, -0.0126, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0151, -0.0142, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0101, -0.0058, -0.0127, 0.0113, 0.0222, 0.032, 0.0424, 0.0553, 0.0549, 0.0453, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0114, 0.0314, 0.0382, 0.03, 0.0468, 0.0508, 0.0554, 0.0624, 0.0617, 0.0795, 0.067, 0.0461, 0.0405, 0.0141, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0233, -0.0294, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0514, -0.0472, -0.0488, -0.0107, -0.0216, -0.0235, -0.0172, -0.0345, -0.0208, -0.0372, -0.0465, -0.0479, -0.0549, -0.0624, -0.0371, -0.0349, -0.0297, -0.0459, -0.0499, -0.0396, -0.0227, -0.0329, -0.0346, -0.0539, -0.0506, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.117, -0.1377, -0.1403, -0.0961, -0.0652, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0571, -0.0399, -0.0026, 0.0011, -0.0029, 0.0099, 0.0464, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.074, 0.0606, 0.0445, 0.0665, 0.0652, 0.0825, 0.1012, 0.0994, 0.0999, 0.2095, 0.2123, 0.2046, 0.2209, 0.2511, 0.251, 0.2598, 0.2216, 0.2175, 0.2655, 0.2606, 0.2472, 0.2477, 0.2185]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017606229426569536", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T14:29:45+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Forced liquidation BEFORE a MARGIN HIKE on ALL precious metals is one way to temper the buying frenzy. #Gold #Silver #NotDone", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author implies margin-forced liquidation is a temporary dip in a continuing precious metals rally; #NotDone signals bullish continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Forced liquidation BEFORE a MARGIN HIKE on ALL precious metals is one way to temper the buying frenzy.\n\n#Gold #Silver #NotDone", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "CME MARGIN HIKE ALERT ON ALL PRECIOUS METALS\n\nA Second MARGIN increase in 3 days.\nMaintenance increases\nA 33% increase for gold futures\nA 36% increase for silver futures\nA 25% increase for platinum futures\nA 14% increase for palladium futures\n\nThis is going into effect Monday Feb https://t.co/2TMNN88D9C", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.143, -0.1377, -0.1141, -0.1106, -0.0963, -0.1036, -0.1198, -0.1299, -0.1236, -0.1221, -0.1224, -0.1238, -0.1099, -0.1102, -0.103, -0.103, -0.0919, -0.0875, -0.0934, -0.0942, -0.0936, -0.0953, -0.0977, -0.093, -0.0892, -0.0793, -0.0742, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.0652, -0.0669, -0.0658, -0.0442, -0.0316, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0243, -0.0668, -0.0661, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.0675, -0.043, -0.0327, -0.0419, -0.0366, -0.0296, -0.0115, -0.0129, -0.0028, -0.0089, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0236, 0.0386, 0.0577, 0.0723, 0.088, 0.1146, 0.1579, 0.161, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0628, 0.0345, 0.0663, 0.0934, 0.0826, 0.0948, 0.0568, 0.0831, 0.0831, 0.0493, 0.0729, 0.0759, 0.0971, 0.1268, 0.1112, 0.1084, 0.1179, 0.1326, 0.1472, 0.096, 0.1046, 0.0913, 0.1086, 0.1063, 0.1188, 0.115, 0.0931, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0752, 0.0412, -0.0017, -0.0322, -0.0541, -0.0538, -0.0254, -0.062, -0.0291, -0.0294, 0.0074, 0.025, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0012, 0.011, 0.0173, 0.0252, 0.0234, 0.0193, 0.042, 0.0312, 0.0303, 0.044, 0.035, 0.0057, 0.019, 0.0092, 0.0143, 0.0065, -0.0122, -0.0228, -0.0081, -0.0092, -0.0291, -0.0207, 0.009, 0.0107, 0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0136, 0.0079, 0.0002, -0.023, -0.0204, -0.0366, -0.0228, -0.0237, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0307, -0.0436, -0.0336, -0.0234, -0.0372, -0.0355, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0723, -0.0699, -0.0851, -0.123, -0.0955, -0.095, -0.0716, -0.0691, -0.0902, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017606229426569536", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T14:29:45+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#Gold #Silver #NotDone", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author implies margin-forced liquidation is a temporary dip in a continuing precious metals rally; #NotDone signals bullish continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Forced liquidation BEFORE a MARGIN HIKE on ALL precious metals is one way to temper the buying frenzy.\n\n#Gold #Silver #NotDone", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "CME MARGIN HIKE ALERT ON ALL PRECIOUS METALS\n\nA Second MARGIN increase in 3 days.\nMaintenance increases\nA 33% increase for gold futures\nA 36% increase for silver futures\nA 25% increase for platinum futures\nA 14% increase for palladium futures\n\nThis is going into effect Monday Feb https://t.co/2TMNN88D9C", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.0614, -0.086, -0.0754, -0.1501, -0.1499, -0.1854, -0.204, -0.1604, -0.1539, -0.1238, -0.1249, -0.1633, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1785, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026027473201135870", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T20:12:46+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is a short on break of $183 to $153. It won't hold $173 next time. It'll just flush.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short NVDA: break of $183 targets $153; $173 support won't hold on next test, expects flush.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Seniorstrategen $NVDA is a short on break of $183 to $153. \nIt won't hold $173 next time. It'll just flush. \n\nAnd it's Ms. LaDuc thank you very much ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Guess Mrs LaDuc is running the buy puts playbook from the april lows😄", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Seniorstrategen", "ret_m1d": -0.009031570818899715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009031570818899715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019348284598385446, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01423888013651764, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005207309317617925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006786738276500337, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006786738276500337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00048173699369802314, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008423489162533215, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015210227439033552, "ret_p1w": -0.0473506055010281, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0473506055010281, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05319773840791375, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03163177640389836, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847132906885655, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01571882909712974, "ret_p1m": -0.08530690663654839, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08530690663654839, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045115567176705285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.041008300919100016, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04429860571744837, "ret_p3m": 0.14602904468441813, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14602904468441813, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054646810591749695, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22938269278636003, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.37541173747077816, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08530690663654839, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.045115567176705285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.041008300919100016, "price_path": [-0.059, -0.059, -0.076, -0.0608, -0.0527, -0.0625, -0.0427, -0.0477, -0.0313, -0.0344, -0.0406, -0.0554, -0.0863, -0.0797, -0.0722, -0.1076, -0.0909, -0.0551, -0.041, -0.0122, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0053, -0.0174, -0.0209, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0141, -0.0179, -0.0225, -0.0127, -0.034, -0.0349, -0.0345, -0.03, -0.0439, -0.0235, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0704, -0.043, -0.035, -0.0203, -0.0265, -0.0158, -0.0002, 0.005, -0.0022, -0.031, -0.0585, -0.0906, -0.1027, -0.0321, -0.0079, -0.0157, -0.0078, -0.0241, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0344, -0.0186, -0.0191, -0.009, 0.0, 0.0068, 0.0209, -0.0348, -0.075, -0.0474, -0.06, -0.0444, -0.0429, -0.0717, -0.0465, -0.0354, -0.0288, -0.0439, -0.0589, -0.0434, -0.0502, -0.0582, -0.0678, -0.0984, -0.083, -0.0853, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1254, -0.1377, -0.0895, -0.0824, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.0726, -0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0398, -0.0152, -0.0116, 0.0259, 0.0383, 0.0356, 0.0529, 0.0549, 0.0435, 0.0572, 0.0423, 0.0873, 0.1309, 0.1129, 0.0925, 0.0419, 0.0361, 0.0362, 0.0259, 0.085, 0.1042, 0.1235, 0.1457, 0.1527, 0.179, 0.2308, 0.1764, 0.1607, 0.1518, 0.1667, 0.146, 0.1242, 0.1242, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1186, 0.1023, 0.1714, 0.1633, 0.1212, 0.1429, 0.072, 0.0905, 0.0882, 0.0476, 0.0708, 0.0725, 0.1105, 0.0841, 0.0697, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1013, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994030628455465210", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:08:43+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JD in particular!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses JD and XPEV as undervalued opportunities crowded out by government agenda.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@whrohde $JD in particular!! $XPEV too. \nAgree, US government has an agenda and American investors sadly love to be lied to.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc It happens to $NIO and $JD both growing at stellar rates but govt intentionally have crowded out them when they are cheap like never before… value everywhere but investors blind only buying US bubbles", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "whrohde", "ret_m1d": -0.013744586006916304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013744586006916304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008315784533372894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007570171595396968, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061744144115193356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0020113705277731153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020113705277731153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0065768408289376135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001419274104750734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005920964230223813, "ret_p1w": 0.002346576875688733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002346576875688733, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010189468444861127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010340574249683154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012687151125371887, "ret_p1m": -0.01877307854648913, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01877307854648913, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0282735036382592, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04295897673907578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024185898192586652, "ret_p3m": -0.07676834592553439, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07676834592553439, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09404721648268155, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06908877951711656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007679566408417826, "ret_p6m": 0.059606337161431266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.059606337161431266, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03769631800291817, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.047544453852952806, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01206188330847846, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01877307854648913, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0282735036382592, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04295897673907578, "price_path": [0.0587, 0.0459, 0.0369, 0.0543, 0.1012, 0.1354, 0.117, 0.1532, 0.1287, 0.1271, 0.1636, 0.1814, 0.1861, 0.1767, 0.1374, 0.1043, 0.1676, 0.179, 0.1566, 0.1948, 0.1726, 0.2125, 0.2062, 0.1867, 0.2038, 0.1696, 0.1726, 0.1388, 0.0677, 0.1146, 0.0965, 0.111, 0.0976, 0.1086, 0.1317, 0.1006, 0.0882, 0.1123, 0.1126, 0.1465, 0.1576, 0.1519, 0.1187, 0.1076, 0.0989, 0.0667, 0.0741, 0.0711, 0.0657, 0.053, 0.0597, 0.0476, 0.0295, -0.0174, -0.0097, -0.0127, -0.032, -0.0483, -0.0302, -0.0258, -0.0231, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0074, 0.0013, -0.003, 0.0023, 0.003, -0.0044, -0.0074, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0329, -0.0329, -0.0412, -0.0345, -0.0339, -0.0248, -0.0251, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.0144, -0.0188, -0.0375, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0101, -0.006, -0.0077, -0.0268, -0.0054, -0.0127, 0.0302, 0.0017, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0486, -0.0255, 0.0057, 0.0003, -0.0017, -0.0111, -0.0201, -0.0255, -0.0453, -0.0436, -0.06, -0.0764, -0.0841, -0.059, -0.061, -0.0496, -0.0523, -0.0774, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.0838, -0.0811, -0.0858, -0.0811, -0.0872, -0.0774, -0.0768, -0.0955, -0.1106, -0.1167, -0.1405, -0.1485, -0.1462, -0.0939, -0.0791, -0.0704, -0.0577, -0.0634, -0.0506, -0.0449, -0.0432, -0.0546, -0.0607, -0.0858, -0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0027, -0.0218, -0.0379, -0.0298, -0.0087, -0.0322, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0443, -0.0459, -0.0261, -0.0161, 0.0044, 0.0048, 0.085, 0.0926, 0.0877, 0.0971, 0.0891, 0.0596, 0.0627, 0.0409, 0.0509, 0.0329, 0.0322, 0.0311, 0.0527, 0.0402, 0.0429, 0.0304, 0.0655, 0.0488, 0.0461, 0.06, 0.0933, 0.1724, 0.1408, 0.1113, 0.0971, 0.1242, 0.127, 0.0926, 0.0596, 0.0596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994030628455465210", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:08:43+00:00", "symbol": "XPEV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XPEV too.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses JD and XPEV as undervalued opportunities crowded out by government agenda.", "resolved_tickers": ["XPEV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@whrohde $JD in particular!! $XPEV too. \nAgree, US government has an agenda and American investors sadly love to be lied to.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc It happens to $NIO and $JD both growing at stellar rates but govt intentionally have crowded out them when they are cheap like never before… value everywhere but investors blind only buying US bubbles", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "whrohde", "ret_m1d": -0.031607903640362256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031607903640362256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026179102166818846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02543348922884292, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061744144115193356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021988068892069834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021988068892069834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017422598590905336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022580165315092215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005920964230223813, "ret_p1w": -0.08382958910223293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08382958910223293, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08719511282240777, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09651674022760481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012687151125371887, "ret_p1m": -0.06092532882978874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06092532882978874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07042575392155881, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08511122702237539, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024185898192586652, "ret_p3m": -0.16720108251427868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16720108251427868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18447995307142584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15952151610586085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007679566408417826, "ret_p6m": -0.285845157715365, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.285845157715365, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38314781287971444, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29790704102384347, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01206188330847846, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06092532882978874, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07042575392155881, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08511122702237539, "price_path": [-0.0476, -0.0724, -0.0912, -0.0916, -0.0573, -0.0495, -0.0792, -0.0573, -0.044, -0.0229, -0.0174, -0.0105, -0.0247, -0.0078, -0.0215, -0.0293, -0.0257, 0.0192, 0.044, 0.0623, 0.0728, 0.0857, 0.0907, 0.0568, 0.0825, 0.0843, 0.1081, 0.0495, -0.0371, -0.0046, -0.0247, -0.0087, -0.0211, -0.0289, -0.0169, -0.016, -0.027, -0.0165, -0.0096, 0.0545, 0.0692, 0.0618, 0.0513, 0.076, 0.0815, 0.0394, -0.0018, 0.0944, 0.027, 0.1929, 0.2858, 0.2497, 0.2084, 0.1457, 0.0275, 0.0362, -0.0302, -0.0797, -0.0673, -0.0412, -0.0096, -0.0316, -0.0316, 0.0, -0.022, -0.0994, -0.1356, -0.1067, -0.0838, -0.06, -0.0925, -0.0999, -0.1209, -0.1301, -0.1612, -0.1539, -0.1713, -0.148, -0.0902, -0.0829, -0.0976, -0.1035, -0.1035, -0.0481, -0.0609, -0.0252, -0.071, -0.071, -0.0641, -0.077, -0.0788, -0.0893, -0.06, -0.0829, -0.0055, -0.0357, -0.0573, -0.0435, -0.0541, -0.0541, -0.0838, -0.0683, -0.087, -0.1182, -0.1393, -0.1493, -0.1452, -0.1484, -0.1764, -0.2446, -0.2139, -0.2318, -0.2268, -0.1883, -0.1965, -0.1837, -0.1704, -0.1892, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.1828, -0.1837, -0.1869, -0.1929, -0.1956, -0.142, -0.1672, -0.1864, -0.1956, -0.2217, -0.273, -0.2593, -0.2515, -0.2066, -0.1548, -0.1356, -0.1164, -0.0847, -0.0852, -0.0797, -0.1223, -0.1402, -0.1228, -0.1961, -0.1356, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.1933, -0.2245, -0.2341, -0.2162, -0.1979, -0.1892, -0.1892, -0.2029, -0.2112, -0.1846, -0.208, -0.202, -0.1997, -0.1814, -0.191, -0.164, -0.1709, -0.1846, -0.2116, -0.2226, -0.2716, -0.2368, -0.2414, -0.2602, -0.2735, -0.2533, -0.2749, -0.268, -0.2753, -0.2703, -0.2877, -0.2845, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2359, -0.2616, -0.2845, -0.3101, -0.3156, -0.3065, -0.284, -0.2858, -0.2858]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1995188496190017840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:49:40+00:00", "symbol": "BIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BIDU evolving into the backbone of China's AI compute layer wasn't on anyone's bingo card", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BIDU as China's AI compute backbone; bearish NVDA as Deepseek replaces its hardware with Baidu Kunlun chips.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BIDU evolving into the backbone of China’s AI compute layer wasn't on anyone's bingo card.\n\nThis weekend, Deepseek completely replaced its $NVDA hardware with baidu kunlun chips.\n\nAlternate lede:\nDEEPSEEK DUMPS NVIDIA FOR KUNLUN CHIPS\n\nhttps://t.co/h0Fg4j44Ph\n\n---\n\nCNBC even concedes…\n\nhttps://t.co/V2xdzeOpNJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023556926876545203, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023556926876545203, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0281433362936927, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028258774688628474, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006014545369723567, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006014545369723567, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007866731775630686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009323228327509314, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.08645893035900598, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08645893035900598, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08151979676501808, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07418199100807588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": 0.1058391604313631, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1058391604313631, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09294713247722575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07255269603946801, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.04544317503141526, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04544317503141526, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02917498234794058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025870940423202704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 0.059477092983334146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.059477092983334146, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.050176250347017115, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04690404425819894, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1058391604313631, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09294713247722575, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07255269603946801, "price_path": [-0.1947, -0.1796, -0.1483, -0.0924, -0.0939, -0.1012, -0.0659, -0.0412, -0.0408, 0.0341, 0.1514, 0.1298, 0.1306, 0.1413, 0.049, 0.1104, 0.1311, 0.0972, 0.1266, 0.1007, 0.1481, 0.1714, 0.1862, 0.2105, 0.1606, 0.152, 0.106, 0.0165, 0.0502, 0.0019, 0.0156, 0.0099, 0.0025, 0.0201, -0.0048, -0.0224, 0.0064, 0.0255, 0.0748, 0.0594, 0.0659, 0.0175, 0.0097, 0.0127, 0.0441, 0.0302, 0.0612, 0.0522, 0.1053, 0.1022, 0.0771, 0.0079, -0.031, -0.0468, -0.0215, -0.0353, -0.0774, -0.0732, -0.0042, -0.0153, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.0236, 0.0, -0.006, -0.0203, -0.0083, 0.0497, 0.0865, 0.0353, 0.0531, 0.0718, 0.0443, -0.0074, -0.0033, -0.0018, 0.0065, 0.0343, 0.0393, 0.0344, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0425, 0.0593, 0.1058, 0.0915, 0.0915, 0.2555, 0.2504, 0.2231, 0.2264, 0.18, 0.1991, 0.2719, 0.2476, 0.2572, 0.248, 0.2491, 0.2491, 0.2532, 0.3556, 0.3576, 0.3486, 0.3038, 0.3168, 0.3171, 0.3158, 0.2796, 0.2411, 0.2101, 0.1524, 0.1608, 0.219, 0.2277, 0.2335, 0.2123, 0.156, 0.1445, 0.1445, 0.1472, 0.1517, 0.1454, 0.1349, 0.1189, 0.1163, 0.1081, 0.0454, 0.0395, 0.0322, -0.0084, -0.0061, -0.0149, -0.0055, 0.0231, 0.0484, 0.0454, 0.0288, 0.0364, 0.0175, 0.0082, 0.018, -0.0058, -0.0455, -0.0433, -0.06, -0.0343, -0.0819, -0.0968, -0.1095, -0.0693, -0.0652, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0704, -0.076, -0.0518, -0.0959, -0.0944, -0.0643, -0.0124, 0.0103, 0.0444, 0.0536, 0.0672, 0.0316, 0.0299, 0.0152, 0.0752, 0.0693, 0.0505, 0.0109, 0.057, 0.0515, 0.0649, 0.0545, 0.1744, 0.1684, 0.1783, 0.2178, 0.169, 0.2572, 0.197, 0.1305, 0.1504, 0.1501, 0.1296, 0.0958, 0.0675, 0.0675, 0.0595]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998853979166711824", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-10T20:35:00+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ - I have 631.19 (not if but when upside target)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "QQQ upside target 631.19 ('not if but when'); SPX equivalent ~6925, expected by Friday.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"QQQ - I have 631.19 (not if but when upside target).\" \n\nGiven clients Mon/Tues/Wed for Friday.\nALMOST THERE ;-)\n= ~ $SPX $6925 \n\n🔥💃Upgrade to PRO or JOIN US LIVE!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Some Macro but lots more Micro: VIX, QQQ, ASTS, TE, GOOGL, WVE, LLY, XLV, NFLX, SPOT, RIVN, ORCL, BA, CVNA\n\nhttps://t.co/sAEDM0ncSh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004079032833304019, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004079032833304019, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0025094161772382106, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0025094161772382106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032344057942019777, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032344057942019777, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005561351825666083, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005561351825666083, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "ret_p1w": -0.04333902917907084, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04333902917907084, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019821372028316797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019821372028316797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "ret_p1m": -0.010102765068885411, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010102765068885411, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01588746089216131, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01588746089216131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "ret_p3m": -0.030380248889544048, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030380248889544048, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01976927474068113, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01976927474068113, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "ret_p6m": 0.1830583591167363, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1830583591167363, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07567899190857741, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07567899190857741, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04333902917907084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019821372028316797, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019821372028316797, "price_path": [-0.0663, -0.0583, -0.0591, -0.061, -0.0525, -0.0461, -0.0405, -0.0469, -0.0502, -0.0543, -0.0504, -0.046, -0.0434, -0.0388, -0.0349, -0.0389, -0.0317, -0.0368, -0.0258, -0.0269, -0.0607, -0.0408, -0.0472, -0.0405, -0.044, -0.0377, -0.0256, -0.0259, -0.0352, -0.0271, -0.0167, 0.0008, 0.0085, 0.013, -0.0025, 0.0023, 0.0071, -0.0133, -0.0069, -0.0254, -0.0285, -0.007, -0.0096, -0.0104, -0.0306, -0.0299, -0.0382, -0.0499, -0.0442, -0.0668, -0.0598, -0.0358, -0.0298, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0133, -0.0166, -0.0089, -0.0065, -0.0074, -0.0034, -0.0053, -0.0041, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0223, -0.0272, -0.0253, -0.0433, -0.0295, -0.0168, -0.0121, -0.0075, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0095, -0.0118, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.0218, -0.0141, -0.0054, -0.0044, -0.0101, -0.0002, 0.0006, -0.0009, -0.0116, -0.008, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0299, -0.0168, -0.0096, -0.0065, -0.0021, 0.0069, 0.0102, 0.0042, -0.0079, -0.0011, -0.0164, -0.0336, -0.0475, -0.0274, -0.0199, -0.0245, -0.0218, -0.0417, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0407, -0.0335, -0.0372, -0.0287, -0.0405, -0.0302, -0.0161, -0.028, -0.0311, -0.0299, -0.0402, -0.0256, -0.0285, -0.0432, -0.0304, -0.0304, -0.0305, -0.0471, -0.0528, -0.0422, -0.0375, -0.0509, -0.0539, -0.0714, -0.0607, -0.0671, -0.061, -0.0834, -0.1013, -0.1082, -0.078, -0.0666, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0599, -0.0598, -0.0318, -0.0253, -0.0239, -0.0138, 0.0041, 0.0182, 0.0231, 0.0365, 0.0332, 0.0293, 0.0465, 0.0406, 0.0605, 0.061, 0.0504, 0.0568, 0.0667, 0.0769, 0.0749, 0.0888, 0.1114, 0.1101, 0.1361, 0.1394, 0.1298, 0.1417, 0.1498, 0.1325, 0.1276, 0.1206, 0.1392, 0.1414, 0.1462, 0.1462, 0.1666, 0.1652, 0.1751, 0.1794, 0.1865, 0.1919, 0.1888, 0.1831]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011111325385044348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T16:21:19+00:00", "symbol": "Gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals likely won't stop going up UNTIL Fed hikes rates.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver: metals keep rising as long as Fed stays on hold; yield suppression is inflationary.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Metals likely won’t stop going up UNTIL Fed hikes rates.\n\nAnother unpopular opinion.\n\nYield suppression is INFLATIONARY\n\n#Silver #Gold", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The US Inflation Rate (CPI) ended 2025 at 2.7%, the 58th consecutive month above the Fed's 2% target level. The last time inflation was this high for this long? 1997, when the Fed Funds Rate was over 5%. The Fed should be hiking interest rates, not cutting. https://t.co/7VsmAOG7ag", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0014230631040652586, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014230631040652586, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005804496987202867, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005804496987202867, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010222226854541994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010222226854541994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015137391314083981, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015137391314083981, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.036999278805718516, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036999278805718516, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06033556409150764, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06033556409150764, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": 0.10910039481840283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10910039481840283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11170930404263668, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11170930404263668, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": 0.0367620895583749, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0367620895583749, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05471384021535608, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05471384021535608, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10910039481840283, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11170930404263668, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11170930404263668, "price_path": [-0.0597, -0.0774, -0.0438, -0.1053, -0.1052, -0.1016, -0.1046, -0.1295, -0.1358, -0.1391, -0.1221, -0.1269, -0.1253, -0.1407, -0.1307, -0.1318, -0.1265, -0.1026, -0.099, -0.0845, -0.0919, -0.1083, -0.1185, -0.1121, -0.1107, -0.111, -0.1123, -0.0983, -0.0985, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.08, -0.0756, -0.0816, -0.0824, -0.0818, -0.0835, -0.0859, -0.0812, -0.0773, -0.0673, -0.0621, -0.0613, -0.061, -0.053, -0.0547, -0.0536, -0.0318, -0.019, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0116, -0.0546, -0.0539, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0554, -0.0305, -0.02, -0.0294, -0.024, -0.017, 0.0014, 0.0, 0.0102, 0.004, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.037, 0.0521, 0.0715, 0.0863, 0.1022, 0.1292, 0.173, 0.1761, 0.0553, 0.013, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.048, 0.0802, 0.1077, 0.0967, 0.1091, 0.0706, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.063, 0.0869, 0.09, 0.1114, 0.1415, 0.1257, 0.1228, 0.1325, 0.1473, 0.1622, 0.1103, 0.119, 0.1055, 0.123, 0.1207, 0.1334, 0.1295, 0.1073, 0.093, 0.092, 0.0893, 0.0548, 0.0113, -0.0196, -0.0417, -0.0415, -0.0127, -0.0498, -0.0164, -0.0167, 0.0205, 0.0384, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.0143, 0.0241, 0.0306, 0.0386, 0.0368, 0.0326, 0.0556, 0.0447, 0.0438, 0.0576, 0.0485, 0.0188, 0.0323, 0.0223, 0.0276, 0.0196, 0.0007, -0.01, 0.0048, 0.0037, -0.0164, -0.008, 0.0221, 0.0238, 0.0288, 0.0309, 0.0268, 0.021, 0.0132, -0.0103, -0.0076, -0.024, -0.01, -0.011, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0181, -0.0312, -0.021, -0.0107, -0.0246, -0.023, -0.0326, -0.0246, -0.0602, -0.0578, -0.0732, -0.1116, -0.0837, -0.0832, -0.0595, -0.0569, -0.0783, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.0818, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011111325385044348", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T16:21:19+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metals likely won't stop going up UNTIL Fed hikes rates.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver: metals keep rising as long as Fed stays on hold; yield suppression is inflationary.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Metals likely won’t stop going up UNTIL Fed hikes rates.\n\nAnother unpopular opinion.\n\nYield suppression is INFLATIONARY\n\n#Silver #Gold", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The US Inflation Rate (CPI) ended 2025 at 2.7%, the 58th consecutive month above the Fed's 2% target level. The last time inflation was this high for this long? 1997, when the Fed Funds Rate was over 5%. The Fed should be hiking interest rates, not cutting. https://t.co/7VsmAOG7ag", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017429963661367842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017429963661367842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019433476464153387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019433476464153387, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07582696183429283, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07582696183429283, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08074212629383481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08074212629383481, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.08638678177281323, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08638678177281323, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10972306705860235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10972306705860235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": -0.025954210625067753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025954210625067753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023345301400833907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.023345301400833907, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": -0.12111955251755946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12111955251755946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10316780186057828, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10316780186057828, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025954210625067753, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023345301400833907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.023345301400833907, "price_path": [-0.3744, -0.4022, -0.3929, -0.4429, -0.4417, -0.4379, -0.4403, -0.4606, -0.4567, -0.45, -0.4359, -0.4401, -0.4433, -0.4562, -0.4447, -0.4459, -0.4412, -0.4174, -0.409, -0.3852, -0.3967, -0.4153, -0.4215, -0.4135, -0.409, -0.4176, -0.4237, -0.4067, -0.4062, -0.3842, -0.3842, -0.3485, -0.3318, -0.324, -0.3248, -0.3415, -0.3263, -0.3294, -0.2981, -0.2866, -0.2669, -0.2863, -0.2607, -0.2655, -0.2333, -0.2453, -0.2248, -0.2052, -0.1751, -0.1702, -0.1702, -0.0952, -0.1602, -0.1224, -0.1804, -0.1804, -0.1635, -0.1211, -0.0622, -0.0972, -0.1131, -0.0791, -0.0174, 0.0, 0.0758, 0.0601, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0864, 0.0682, 0.1085, 0.1821, 0.2511, 0.2925, 0.3435, 0.3431, -0.0402, -0.0784, -0.0209, 0.0074, -0.1515, -0.107, -0.0326, -0.066, -0.026, -0.1383, -0.113, -0.113, -0.1556, -0.1083, -0.0966, -0.0252, 0.0251, 0.0061, 0.0183, 0.0235, 0.0813, 0.0378, -0.0499, -0.0415, -0.0551, -0.0338, -0.0043, 0.019, -0.0088, -0.027, -0.0752, -0.0684, -0.0883, -0.126, -0.1644, -0.2173, -0.2052, -0.1991, -0.1704, -0.2268, -0.1929, -0.1919, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1592, -0.1611, -0.1416, -0.1299, -0.1211, -0.1313, -0.0835, -0.086, -0.0936, -0.0632, -0.0821, -0.1286, -0.1047, -0.13, -0.1248, -0.1307, -0.1578, -0.1751, -0.1519, -0.1312, -0.1611, -0.1615, -0.1078, -0.0891, -0.0711, -0.0076, -0.0006, 0.0095, -0.0393, -0.1216, -0.1102, -0.1489, -0.1256, -0.1164, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.113, -0.1412, -0.1303, -0.1307, -0.1391, -0.135, -0.1576, -0.1478, -0.2167, -0.2165, -0.2492, -0.2664, -0.2262, -0.2202, -0.1925, -0.1935, -0.2289, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2429, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018892567501209872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T03:41:11+00:00", "symbol": "UPS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "already rec'd 11/28 to clients as such & gorgeous trend reversal. $UPS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long UPS; already recommended to clients as a double, citing a gorgeous trend reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Integrated Freight & Logistics'", "bench_c_industry": "Integrated Freight & Logistics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PantexCap Agree - already rec’d 11/28 to clients as such &amp; gorgeous trend reversal. $UPS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ups might double this year.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PantexCap", "ret_m1d": -0.04188797489503038, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04188797489503038, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04675540574407788, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03923143454200351, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026565403530268705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016275483000259827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016275483000259827, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010861735760298252, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004394021456244901, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006021569756270884, "ret_p1w": 0.027925316596686844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027925316596686844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019516562213848454, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004249011275929915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03217432787261676, "ret_p1m": -0.09609973958822904, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09609973958822904, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08898803082965234, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.111862198196091, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111708758576696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015762458607861962, "ret_p3m": -0.16349926792669933, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16349926792669933, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21272887826665232, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1757221719693869, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012222904042687555, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09609973958822904, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08898803082965234, "alpha_c_stated": -0.111862198196091, "price_path": [-0.1921, -0.2165, -0.1999, -0.1902, -0.192, -0.1919, -0.1932, -0.2048, -0.2084, -0.2216, -0.1891, -0.1986, -0.1902, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.1795, -0.1843, -0.1813, -0.1587, -0.1883, -0.1873, -0.1815, -0.1694, -0.1465, -0.1393, -0.1355, -0.1428, -0.1425, -0.1352, -0.1256, -0.1269, -0.1371, -0.1418, -0.1377, -0.1377, -0.1388, -0.1461, -0.1465, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1347, -0.1263, -0.0987, -0.0971, -0.0837, -0.0744, -0.0746, -0.087, -0.08, -0.0696, -0.0842, -0.0842, -0.0874, -0.0708, -0.0637, -0.075, -0.0837, -0.0817, -0.1117, -0.0921, -0.0901, -0.0554, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, 0.0051, 0.0101, 0.0168, 0.0279, 0.0114, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0033, 0.0086, 0.0035, 0.0139, -0.001, 0.002, -0.0112, 0.013, 0.0072, -0.0062, -0.0165, -0.0403, -0.0961, -0.111, -0.132, -0.1235, -0.1245, -0.1498, -0.1557, -0.154, -0.1508, -0.1589, -0.1613, -0.1674, -0.1517, -0.145, -0.1456, -0.1532, -0.1766, -0.1753, -0.1455, -0.1496, -0.1473, -0.1473, -0.1561, -0.1526, -0.1275, -0.1172, -0.1167, -0.1139, -0.1035, -0.1004, -0.0875, -0.0755, -0.0697, -0.0766, -0.0854, -0.0644, -0.0705, -0.0599, -0.0972, -0.074, -0.055, -0.0657, -0.1635, -0.1482, -0.1324, -0.1306, -0.1247, -0.1314, -0.145, -0.1449, -0.1452, -0.1407, -0.1563, -0.1448, -0.1268, -0.1323, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.0994, -0.0773, -0.0579, -0.0577, -0.0371, -0.0379, -0.0402, -0.0265, -0.0414, -0.0488, -0.0473, -0.088, -0.0404, -0.0453, -0.0388, -0.0283, -0.0715, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.0739, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017406007421317412", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T01:14:08+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I forgot we shorted $CVNA too! 😂 I break down growing risk in $CVNA tied to credit pressure.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short CVNA on credit pressure; renewed interest in ZM on investment news; CSCO as a favourite trend long.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I forgot we shorted $CVNA too! 😂\n\nOne Chase, One Swing, One Trend: $CVNA, $ZM, $CSCO\n\nI break down growing risk in $CVNA tied to credit pressure.\n\nReview $ZM renewed interest after investment-related news, and highlight $CSCO as a fave trend long..\n\nhttps://t.co/XN5gshViNK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016622162334446133, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016622162334446133, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011675354372929991, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010063133898994492, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0065590284354516415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006055500855171481, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006055500855171481, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014510974245299346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014090323224010604, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008034822368839123, "ret_p1w": 0.009120052462489925, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009120052462489925, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01121951644358854, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04535848400178444, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03623843153929451, "ret_p1m": -0.21795094211020116, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21795094211020116, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19626595153061266, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1555585037709476, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062392438339253564, "ret_p3m": -0.029640334167805205, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.029640334167805205, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06589610242171096, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0019100621155415665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": -0.027730272052263638, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21795094211020116, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19626595153061266, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1555585037709476, "price_path": [-0.2408, -0.2887, -0.2547, -0.2099, -0.1986, -0.1954, -0.2191, -0.2196, -0.2078, -0.2223, -0.1916, -0.232, -0.2403, -0.1888, -0.1389, -0.124, -0.124, -0.0819, -0.08, -0.063, -0.0316, -0.0222, -0.0199, 0.0983, 0.1188, 0.1466, 0.159, 0.1172, 0.0981, 0.1159, 0.094, 0.1418, 0.1038, 0.063, 0.0722, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.075, 0.0629, 0.0531, 0.0346, 0.0346, -0.0187, 0.0544, 0.0798, 0.1052, 0.085, 0.1353, 0.1388, 0.1487, 0.1243, 0.1299, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.0843, 0.1155, 0.173, 0.1604, 0.1614, 0.1712, 0.0053, 0.0479, -0.0166, 0.0, 0.0061, -0.0364, -0.0593, -0.0103, 0.0091, -0.0397, -0.1074, -0.1563, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.1396, -0.1137, -0.1841, -0.1747, -0.203, -0.2028, -0.179, -0.1324, -0.1808, -0.2079, -0.218, -0.2246, -0.1881, -0.2211, -0.1952, -0.2185, -0.2413, -0.2826, -0.2641, -0.2499, -0.2284, -0.2862, -0.2788, -0.3104, -0.2655, -0.2621, -0.2435, -0.2611, -0.2595, -0.2871, -0.2293, -0.2349, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2232, -0.2149, -0.1694, -0.1985, -0.1755, -0.1192, -0.0826, -0.0902, -0.1119, -0.0499, -0.0145, -0.0171, 0.0218, -0.0119, 0.0029, -0.0028, -0.0036, -0.0277, -0.0296, -0.062, -0.0768, -0.0706, -0.0454, -0.0193, -0.0446, -0.0656, -0.0963, -0.1432, -0.1477, -0.1766, -0.1907, -0.2234, -0.2043, -0.2107, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1401, -0.1052, -0.0991, -0.1052, -0.1297, -0.1959, -0.2198, -0.1886, -0.1847, -0.1487, -0.1467, -0.1756, -0.1686, -0.2142, -0.1554, -0.1414, -0.2294, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.1841, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017406007421317412", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T01:14:08+00:00", "symbol": "ZM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Review $ZM renewed interest after investment-related news", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short CVNA on credit pressure; renewed interest in ZM on investment news; CSCO as a favourite trend long.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I forgot we shorted $CVNA too! 😂\n\nOne Chase, One Swing, One Trend: $CVNA, $ZM, $CSCO\n\nI break down growing risk in $CVNA tied to credit pressure.\n\nReview $ZM renewed interest after investment-related news, and highlight $CSCO as a fave trend long..\n\nhttps://t.co/XN5gshViNK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008237758113887717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008237758113887717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032909501523715745, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032909501523715745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04452694343354058, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04452694343354058, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03607147004341271, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03607147004341271, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.027190024056028328, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027190024056028328, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029289488037126943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029289488037126943, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": -0.20852849091944703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20852849091944703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18684350033985853, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18684350033985853, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": 0.04614228999816872, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04614228999816872, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009886521744262966, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009886521744262966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20852849091944703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18684350033985853, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18684350033985853, "price_path": [-0.1001, -0.1146, -0.1203, -0.1045, -0.0891, -0.0879, -0.095, -0.0931, -0.1185, -0.1244, -0.1309, -0.1555, -0.1533, -0.1536, -0.0703, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0851, -0.0853, -0.0894, -0.0778, -0.0677, -0.0562, -0.0407, -0.0564, -0.0518, -0.0283, -0.036, -0.0681, -0.0534, -0.0443, -0.0375, -0.0328, -0.031, -0.0614, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.052, -0.0704, -0.0707, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.1028, -0.0682, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0777, -0.0828, -0.0658, -0.1042, -0.1088, -0.1222, -0.1282, -0.1282, -0.1243, -0.1258, -0.0885, -0.0763, 0.0279, 0.017, 0.0361, -0.0031, -0.0082, 0.0, -0.0445, -0.0219, -0.0408, -0.0072, 0.0272, 0.0229, -0.0077, -0.0067, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.0454, -0.0188, -0.0205, -0.0277, -0.0733, -0.0577, -0.0801, -0.1866, -0.2038, -0.2169, -0.2085, -0.1599, -0.1673, -0.1655, -0.1702, -0.1775, -0.1811, -0.193, -0.2021, -0.1928, -0.1817, -0.177, -0.1736, -0.175, -0.1606, -0.1818, -0.1589, -0.1459, -0.1632, -0.1527, -0.1343, -0.131, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1097, -0.0952, -0.1038, -0.0951, -0.1467, -0.1084, -0.1127, -0.0413, -0.0666, -0.0522, -0.0248, -0.0205, -0.0102, -0.0307, -0.009, -0.0219, -0.0186, 0.0312, 0.0461, 0.1139, 0.1482, 0.1748, 0.1321, 0.1669, 0.176, 0.1535, 0.1087, 0.103, 0.0578, 0.0786, 0.0647, 0.0487, 0.0706, 0.0418, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.0778, 0.0764, 0.0818, 0.094, 0.202, 0.2048, 0.1436, 0.1329, 0.0943, 0.0892, 0.0427, 0.0118, -0.0059, 0.0088, 0.0149, -0.0086, -0.059, -0.07, -0.07, -0.07, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017406007421317412", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-31T01:14:08+00:00", "symbol": "CSCO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "highlight $CSCO as a fave trend long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short CVNA on credit pressure; renewed interest in ZM on investment news; CSCO as a favourite trend long.", "resolved_tickers": ["CSCO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I forgot we shorted $CVNA too! 😂\n\nOne Chase, One Swing, One Trend: $CVNA, $ZM, $CSCO\n\nI break down growing risk in $CVNA tied to credit pressure.\n\nReview $ZM renewed interest after investment-related news, and highlight $CSCO as a fave trend long..\n\nhttps://t.co/XN5gshViNK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028769825699077156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028769825699077156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023823017737561014, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023823017737561014, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030630055263733302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030630055263733302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03908552865386117, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03908552865386117, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.07614090068936741, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07614090068936741, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07824036467046602, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07824036467046602, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": -0.02083331549773082, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02083331549773082, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0008516750818576835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0008516750818576835, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": 0.14082107123767962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14082107123767962, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10456530298377387, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10456530298377387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02083331549773082, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0008516750818576835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0008516750818576835, "price_path": [-0.1107, -0.1237, -0.1234, -0.1108, -0.1155, -0.0877, -0.0455, -0.0379, -0.0406, -0.0457, -0.0331, -0.0695, -0.0613, -0.0596, -0.0586, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.051, -0.0621, -0.0518, -0.041, -0.0408, -0.0383, -0.0273, -0.0193, -0.0101, -0.0222, -0.0404, -0.0348, -0.0434, -0.0626, -0.0508, -0.0327, -0.0365, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0359, -0.0405, -0.0452, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.057, -0.0627, -0.0671, -0.0734, -0.0828, -0.0838, -0.0822, -0.0641, -0.0773, -0.0668, -0.0676, -0.0676, -0.0904, -0.0862, -0.0782, -0.075, -0.045, -0.0243, -0.0208, -0.0274, -0.0288, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.0064, 0.0213, 0.0518, 0.0761, 0.0701, 0.0608, -0.0699, -0.047, -0.047, -0.047, -0.0305, -0.0258, -0.0179, -0.036, -0.031, -0.0188, -0.0315, -0.0146, -0.0151, -0.0208, 0.0029, -0.0078, -0.0248, -0.0549, -0.0365, -0.0315, -0.036, -0.0286, -0.0216, -0.017, -0.0377, -0.0264, -0.0371, -0.0226, 0.0027, 0.0148, 0.0188, -0.0089, -0.0446, -0.0378, -0.0336, -0.0148, -0.0148, 0.0029, 0.0059, 0.0436, 0.037, 0.0251, 0.0267, 0.03, 0.0269, 0.0535, 0.0754, 0.0936, 0.1184, 0.1196, 0.1045, 0.1098, 0.1004, 0.083, 0.1168, 0.1408, 0.1452, 0.1549, 0.1757, 0.1426, 0.149, 0.204, 0.2308, 0.2379, 0.2701, 0.4404, 0.4738, 0.4822, 0.4386, 0.4257, 0.4737, 0.5013, 0.5013, 0.4753, 0.492, 0.4792, 0.5014, 0.5127, 0.5959, 0.5772, 0.6208, 0.5166, 0.5479, 0.5006, 0.4812, 0.519, 0.5099, 0.4983, 0.4908, 0.4629, 0.4904, 0.4904, 0.4904, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998391478448529746", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T13:57:11+00:00", "symbol": "WVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "@DrBenJamminK alerted our members when $WVE was in the $13s. It exploded to $20. He gave the bullish case well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish case on WVE, highlighting team alert at $13s ahead of move to $20.", "resolved_tickers": ["WVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is why I love working with a team.\n@DrBenJamminK alerted our members when $WVE was in the $13s. It exploded to $20. He gave the bullish case well ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This was my premarket rant, live - even before I had my coffee...💃\n\n$WVE 14 to 20 😳🤣🚀\n$LLY nice short with $XLV\n\nUPDATE on my fave trend: $ASTS 🫶\nBonus: $RKLB with $TE 😉\n\nChase short in $GOOGL, long in $ORCL\nAnd continued swing shorts in $NFLX &amp; $SPOT\n\nHave a great week!! https://t.co/CjBiJpzi7U", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1309244053542884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1309244053542884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13178808879025294, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14072684718682327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008636834359645462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00980244183253487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05068042941212225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05068042941212225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05731257396890743, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06521751170020218, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663214455678518, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014537082288079928, "ret_p1w": -0.22993898363824206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22993898363824206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22383391482737724, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.25734621494375365, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027407231305511592, "ret_p1m": -0.27592676246491743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27592676246491743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28848477007895446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34514440683969483, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0692176443747774, "ret_p3m": -0.3843265971673321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3843265971673321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3716286667099763, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4069342385675684, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697930457355788, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0226076414002363, "ret_p6m": -0.7297043466337265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7297043466337265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8402316800611227, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7218853768592304, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.007818969774496143, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27592676246491743, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.28848477007895446, "alpha_c_stated": -0.34514440683969483, "price_path": [-0.664, -0.6729, -0.6729, -0.68, -0.6809, -0.6734, -0.6767, -0.6757, -0.6795, -0.6842, -0.6875, -0.6809, -0.6654, -0.6565, -0.6701, -0.6706, -0.6645, -0.6612, -0.6626, -0.6551, -0.6157, -0.6434, -0.6344, -0.6298, -0.6204, -0.6307, -0.6335, -0.6335, -0.6316, -0.6631, -0.6692, -0.6654, -0.6424, -0.6438, -0.6124, -0.6105, -0.5758, -0.61, -0.6241, -0.6227, -0.6302, -0.6312, -0.6692, -0.6593, -0.6734, -0.687, -0.6678, -0.6645, -0.6664, -0.6771, -0.6828, -0.6692, -0.6499, -0.6513, -0.6401, -0.6401, -0.6359, -0.6523, -0.672, -0.6649, -0.6424, -0.6485, -0.1309, 0.0, -0.0507, -0.214, -0.2229, -0.244, -0.2299, -0.2332, -0.2708, -0.2501, -0.1567, -0.1797, -0.1436, -0.1436, -0.1661, -0.1619, -0.1952, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2515, -0.2961, -0.2891, -0.2759, -0.3041, -0.3505, -0.3473, -0.3327, -0.3191, -0.3397, -0.3595, -0.3595, -0.3515, -0.3458, -0.3515, -0.3679, -0.3782, -0.3731, -0.4026, -0.3895, -0.3928, -0.3698, -0.3571, -0.3745, -0.4017, -0.3688, -0.3585, -0.3623, -0.3773, -0.3993, -0.405, -0.405, -0.4092, -0.3857, -0.3824, -0.367, -0.3665, -0.3421, -0.3177, -0.2792, -0.3463, -0.3501, -0.3693, -0.3566, -0.3806, -0.3843, -0.3763, -0.3548, -0.3393, -0.3735, -0.389, -0.4176, -0.4153, -0.4416, -0.4313, -0.4481, -0.4547, -0.4542, -0.4228, -0.7091, -0.7011, -0.6893, -0.6598, -0.6795, -0.6584, -0.6584, -0.6673, -0.6668, -0.6668, -0.664, -0.6631, -0.6593, -0.6532, -0.6438, -0.6565, -0.6485, -0.6443, -0.6556, -0.6537, -0.657, -0.6631, -0.6743, -0.6471, -0.6692, -0.6687, -0.6565, -0.6495, -0.6631, -0.6579, -0.6603, -0.6631, -0.6682, -0.6814, -0.672, -0.6762, -0.6823, -0.6997, -0.7119, -0.7095, -0.6987, -0.7006, -0.7006, -0.7006, -0.7025, -0.6964, -0.6912, -0.7062, -0.733, -0.7297]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988726810184687739", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T21:53:14+00:00", "symbol": "FNMA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FNMA short thesis", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short FNMA; F&F privatization thesis is bogus.", "resolved_tickers": ["FNMA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great point on\nFannie Mae and Freddie Mac: \n\nF&amp;F “privatization” is a fugazy\n\n$FNMA short thesis", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The 50 year mortgage idea is so idiotic. A lot of people won’t even live long enough to pay it back. Plus the only way this can work is through a massive government subsidy from  @FannieMae @FreddieMac. Yet the fact that the White House is actually talking about this only", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10892231377962114, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10892231377962114, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09204831175530503, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09204831175530503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874002024316104, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016874002024316104, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.057937426809917536, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.057937426809917536, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05810125118322984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05810125118322984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001638243733123046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001638243733123046, "ret_p1w": 0.11587485361983485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11587485361983485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14490583290955872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14490583290955872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903097928972387, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02903097928972387, "ret_p1m": 0.2398609116308592, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2398609116308592, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22539748132430248, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22539748132430248, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463430306556724, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014463430306556724, "ret_p3m": -0.041714907520666755, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.041714907520666755, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07463719643561728, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07463719643561728, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032922288914950526, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032922288914950526, "ret_p6m": -0.08922363507713549, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08922363507713549, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19305669501881628, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19305669501881628, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1038330599416808, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1038330599416808, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2398609116308592, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22539748132430248, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22539748132430248, "price_path": [0.3152, 0.2746, 0.2283, 0.2468, 0.2804, 0.2457, 0.263, 0.2978, 0.3024, 0.3082, 0.3082, 0.3117, 0.3847, 0.4322, 0.46, 0.6211, 0.6999, 0.6141, 0.774, 0.6964, 0.6477, 0.6095, 0.6292, 0.5817, 0.5064, 0.4542, 0.5307, 0.4844, 0.4739, 0.4774, 0.4484, 0.3963, 0.4009, 0.4577, 0.4311, 0.4218, 0.4079, 0.4137, 0.4079, 0.3766, 0.3094, 0.197, 0.1576, 0.1993, 0.2329, 0.3291, 0.467, 0.387, 0.3824, 0.3187, 0.3372, 0.3326, 0.2723, 0.219, 0.1831, 0.3105, 0.2468, 0.2966, 0.2746, 0.2526, 0.2885, 0.2352, 0.1089, 0.0, 0.0579, 0.0834, 0.1599, 0.3187, 0.1159, 0.066, 0.1402, 0.0997, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1842, 0.226, 0.2468, 0.3395, 0.3314, 0.3001, 0.3256, 0.3847, 0.3557, 0.3476, 0.2399, 0.2445, 0.2572, 0.2735, 0.2445, 0.2445, 0.2793, 0.2514, 0.2514, 0.2514, 0.248, 0.197, 0.1935, 0.2433, 0.2433, 0.2746, 0.3036, 0.2399, 0.2387, 0.2572, 0.2758, 0.2572, 0.2503, 0.1784, 0.124, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0371, 0.066, 0.0348, 0.0278, 0.0197, -0.0174, -0.0579, -0.0324, -0.051, -0.022, -0.0521, 0.0116, -0.0417, -0.0406, -0.0452, -0.0417, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.0973, -0.0672, -0.0765, -0.0614, -0.1136, -0.1425, -0.1599, -0.139, -0.1657, -0.1796, -0.2503, -0.1912, -0.1981, -0.2584, -0.2793, -0.3013, -0.2862, -0.3036, -0.2932, -0.3279, -0.3812, -0.4635, -0.4345, -0.3859, -0.3557, -0.3627, -0.3766, -0.4276, -0.4368, -0.1483, -0.1587, -0.1796, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.2526, -0.2619, -0.2317, -0.0892, -0.044, -0.0394, -0.0487, -0.0452, -0.095, -0.0429, -0.0742, -0.0857, -0.1147, -0.1981, -0.19, -0.1692, -0.1124, -0.1089, -0.0521, -0.0556, 0.0058, -0.066, -0.044, -0.073, -0.0892]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007592865422336301", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-03T23:20:13+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Short USD (after bounce), long gold/silver/industrial metals and Canadian miners for next two years as metals replace oil as key commodity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No like Carney?\n😉\n\nPersonally, I think the best trade on Venezuela has nothing to do with oil long or short, and it has nothing to do with Canada long or short…\n\nIf China does nothing to retaliate for losing face & access to 6% of its oil supply, Trump “wins”. \n\nBut more likely, the trend n falling demand for USD & UST continues which pushes dollar lower (after a bounce) and metals higher. \n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️\n(as I’ve been saying well over a year)\n\nIn fact, that USD bounce is a great time to convert dollars to CAD and buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years 😉🔥🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@mario4thenorth Canada just lost its oil leverage wrt CUSMA. We need to aggressively focus on rare earth elements https://t.co/lVM1wyKaPb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02563854275357602, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02563854275357602, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01902248915420035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01902248915420035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010813149047262716, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010813149047262716, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004865900995618455, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004865900995618455, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "ret_p1w": 0.032953324441954424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032953324441954424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022134930754779347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022134930754779347, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "ret_p1m": 0.11138564852614352, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11138564852614352, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10875369883930719, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10875369883930719, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "ret_p3m": 0.05051862560705156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05051862560705156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0942847931291011, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0942847931291011, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0892, -0.106, -0.097, -0.075, -0.0684, -0.0523, -0.0301, -0.0484, -0.0137, -0.0771, -0.077, -0.0733, -0.0764, -0.1021, -0.1086, -0.1119, -0.0945, -0.0994, -0.0978, -0.1136, -0.1034, -0.1044, -0.099, -0.0743, -0.0707, -0.0557, -0.0633, -0.0802, -0.0908, -0.0842, -0.0827, -0.083, -0.0844, -0.0699, -0.0702, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0511, -0.0465, -0.0526, -0.0535, -0.0529, -0.0546, -0.0571, -0.0523, -0.0482, -0.038, -0.0326, -0.0317, -0.0315, -0.0232, -0.0249, -0.0238, -0.0013, 0.0119, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0195, -0.0249, -0.0241, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0256, 0.0, 0.0108, 0.0011, 0.0067, 0.014, 0.033, 0.0315, 0.042, 0.0356, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0696, 0.0852, 0.1053, 0.1205, 0.1369, 0.1647, 0.2099, 0.2132, 0.0885, 0.0449, 0.1114, 0.1106, 0.081, 0.1142, 0.1426, 0.1312, 0.144, 0.1043, 0.1318, 0.1318, 0.0965, 0.1211, 0.1243, 0.1464, 0.1774, 0.1611, 0.1582, 0.1681, 0.1835, 0.1987, 0.1453, 0.1542, 0.1404, 0.1584, 0.156, 0.169, 0.1651, 0.1422, 0.1274, 0.1264, 0.1236, 0.088, 0.0432, 0.0113, -0.0115, -0.0113, 0.0184, -0.0199, 0.0145, 0.0142, 0.0527, 0.0711, 0.0505, 0.0505, 0.0462, 0.0564, 0.063, 0.0713, 0.0694, 0.0651, 0.0889, 0.0776, 0.0766, 0.0909, 0.0815, 0.0509, 0.0648, 0.0545, 0.0599, 0.0517, 0.0322, 0.0212, 0.0365, 0.0353, 0.0146, 0.0233, 0.0543, 0.0561, 0.0612, 0.0633, 0.0591, 0.0532, 0.0451, 0.0209, 0.0237, 0.0067, 0.0211, 0.0201, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0128, -0.0007, 0.0098, 0.0205, 0.0061, 0.0078, -0.0022, 0.0061, -0.0306, -0.0281, -0.044, -0.0836, -0.0549, -0.0544, -0.0299, -0.0272, -0.0493, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.0529, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007592865422336301", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-03T23:20:13+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Short USD (after bounce), long gold/silver/industrial metals and Canadian miners for next two years as metals replace oil as key commodity.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No like Carney?\n😉\n\nPersonally, I think the best trade on Venezuela has nothing to do with oil long or short, and it has nothing to do with Canada long or short…\n\nIf China does nothing to retaliate for losing face & access to 6% of its oil supply, Trump “wins”. \n\nBut more likely, the trend n falling demand for USD & UST continues which pushes dollar lower (after a bounce) and metals higher. \n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️\n(as I’ve been saying well over a year)\n\nIn fact, that USD bounce is a great time to convert dollars to CAD and buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years 😉🔥🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@mario4thenorth Canada just lost its oil leverage wrt CUSMA. We need to aggressively focus on rare earth elements https://t.co/lVM1wyKaPb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048205004962198705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048205004962198705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.041588951362823035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041588951362823035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616053599375671, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0670236990546309, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0670236990546309, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06107645100298664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06107645100298664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0059472480516442605, "ret_p1w": 0.11797917356474508, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11797917356474508, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10716077987757, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10716077987757, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818393687175076, "ret_p1m": 0.11407059995003554, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11407059995003554, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11143865026319921, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11143865026319921, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026319496868363323, "ret_p3m": -0.047625952928801674, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.047625952928801674, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038597854067521364, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038597854067521364, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376616752204954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.355, -0.3528, -0.3424, -0.3159, -0.3225, -0.3004, -0.2882, -0.3198, -0.3092, -0.3661, -0.3648, -0.3605, -0.3632, -0.3862, -0.3819, -0.3742, -0.3581, -0.3629, -0.3665, -0.3813, -0.3681, -0.3696, -0.3642, -0.3371, -0.3276, -0.3005, -0.3135, -0.3347, -0.3418, -0.3327, -0.3276, -0.3373, -0.3442, -0.325, -0.3244, -0.2994, -0.2994, -0.2587, -0.2397, -0.2309, -0.2318, -0.2507, -0.2335, -0.237, -0.2014, -0.1883, -0.1659, -0.1879, -0.1588, -0.1643, -0.1277, -0.1413, -0.118, -0.0957, -0.0614, -0.0559, -0.0559, 0.0295, -0.0444, -0.0014, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0482, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0272, 0.0091, 0.0478, 0.118, 0.1378, 0.2241, 0.2061, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.2361, 0.2154, 0.2613, 0.345, 0.4236, 0.4706, 0.5287, 0.5282, 0.0921, 0.0486, 0.1141, 0.1462, -0.0346, 0.0161, 0.1008, 0.0627, 0.1083, -0.0195, 0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0392, 0.0146, 0.0279, 0.1091, 0.1663, 0.1448, 0.1587, 0.1646, 0.2303, 0.1808, 0.0811, 0.0906, 0.0751, 0.0993, 0.1329, 0.1594, 0.1278, 0.1071, 0.0523, 0.0599, 0.0373, -0.0055, -0.0492, -0.1094, -0.0957, -0.0887, -0.056, -0.1203, -0.0816, -0.0805, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0433, -0.0455, -0.0233, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0116, 0.0428, 0.04, 0.0313, 0.0659, 0.0444, -0.0085, 0.0187, -0.0101, -0.0042, -0.0109, -0.0417, -0.0614, -0.035, -0.0114, -0.0455, -0.0459, 0.0152, 0.0365, 0.0569, 0.1291, 0.1371, 0.1487, 0.0931, -0.0006, 0.0124, -0.0316, -0.0051, 0.0054, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0093, -0.0229, -0.0104, -0.0109, -0.0204, -0.0158, -0.0415, -0.0304, -0.1087, -0.1086, -0.1458, -0.1653, -0.1196, -0.1128, -0.0812, -0.0824, -0.1226, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1385, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007592865422336301", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-03T23:20:13+00:00", "symbol": "Canadian metals and rare earth miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Short USD (after bounce), long gold/silver/industrial metals and Canadian miners for next two years as metals replace oil as key commodity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMA.TO", "REMX"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "XMA Canadian materials ETF; REMX rare earth/strategic metals", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (mixed suffixes)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No like Carney?\n😉\n\nPersonally, I think the best trade on Venezuela has nothing to do with oil long or short, and it has nothing to do with Canada long or short…\n\nIf China does nothing to retaliate for losing face & access to 6% of its oil supply, Trump “wins”. \n\nBut more likely, the trend n falling demand for USD & UST continues which pushes dollar lower (after a bounce) and metals higher. \n\nMETALS ARE THE NEW OIL™️\n(as I’ve been saying well over a year)\n\nIn fact, that USD bounce is a great time to convert dollars to CAD and buy gold + silver + industrial metal & rare earth mineral MINERS in Canada… and just hold them for the next two years 😉🔥🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@mario4thenorth Canada just lost its oil leverage wrt CUSMA. 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{"unit_id": "orig:1988365470396039586", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T21:57:24+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD the new $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AMD: author frames it as the next NVDA, backed by Lisa Su's 35%+ annual revenue growth and 80% AI data center CAGR guidance.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMD the new $NVDA\n\nPer Bloomberg: Annual revenue growth will average more than 35% a year over the next three to five years, Chief Executive Officer Lisa Su said Tuesday at a company event in New York…Su projected the company’s AI data center revenue will increase by an average of 80% over the next three to five years…The total AI chip market, including accelerators, processors and networking products, will reach $1 trillion by 2030, Su said.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0825447455167253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0825447455167253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08198866459853171, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06994386289957166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005560809181935911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012600882617153641, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04221873118363728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04221873118363728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025624736263200054, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01209474752237849, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016593994920437227, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03012398366125879, "ret_p1w": -0.13650588897632854, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13650588897632854, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1061420697711577, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09124956655698668, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036381920517084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.045256322419341855, "ret_p1m": -0.1446947346483235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1446947346483235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15316724655543423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18789790837105114, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472511907110736, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04320317372272764, "ret_p3m": -0.16566886407990844, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16566886407990844, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18413669410087552, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31301321590616027, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846783002096708, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14734435182625183, "ret_p6m": 0.5777355955954917, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5777355955954917, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5011082754435425, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.053868226332070446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662732015194917, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5238673692634213, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3143, -0.3196, -0.3567, -0.3619, -0.3676, -0.352, -0.369, -0.3564, -0.3544, -0.3488, -0.3718, -0.3718, -0.373, -0.3737, -0.3751, -0.4162, -0.4152, -0.3981, -0.3838, -0.3987, -0.3875, -0.3775, -0.3802, -0.3852, -0.39, -0.3921, -0.3828, -0.3785, -0.3786, -0.3771, -0.3841, -0.3767, -0.3751, -0.3665, -0.3444, -0.3639, -0.2131, -0.183, -0.0901, -0.1004, -0.1699, -0.164, -0.1576, -0.0784, -0.094, -0.0997, -0.0708, -0.0806, -0.1107, -0.0923, -0.0231, 0.003, -0.0034, 0.021, -0.0156, -0.0107, 0.0029, -0.0341, -0.0099, -0.0818, -0.0979, -0.0576, -0.0825, 0.0, -0.0422, -0.0467, -0.071, -0.1105, -0.1365, -0.2042, -0.2129, -0.1693, -0.2038, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.1598, -0.1511, -0.1686, -0.1595, -0.1657, -0.1581, -0.1459, -0.144, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1858, -0.1982, -0.1921, -0.2348, -0.2234, -0.1756, -0.1697, -0.1699, -0.1694, -0.1694, -0.1696, -0.1672, -0.1682, -0.1728, -0.1728, -0.1368, -0.146, -0.172, -0.1888, -0.2094, -0.2152, -0.1978, -0.1465, -0.1363, -0.1196, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1042, -0.0351, -0.0199, 0.0031, -0.0293, -0.0265, -0.0238, -0.0259, -0.0856, -0.0487, -0.0648, -0.2267, -0.2564, -0.1949, -0.1657, -0.1751, -0.175, -0.2045, -0.1992, -0.1992, -0.2156, -0.227, -0.2145, -0.2269, -0.2406, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.2133, -0.2267, -0.2328, -0.2624, -0.2195, -0.2296, -0.2567, -0.2171, -0.215, -0.2088, -0.2362, -0.253, -0.2407, -0.2417, -0.2296, -0.2071, -0.2223, -0.2171, -0.2067, -0.1492, -0.2129, -0.2198, -0.2428, -0.2142, -0.188, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.1495, -0.1443, -0.1046, -0.0859, -0.0535, -0.0466, -0.0148, -0.003, 0.0748, 0.0753, 0.062, 0.0989, 0.1722, 0.1794, 0.3435, 0.2926, 0.2484, 0.3021, 0.3693, 0.3926, 0.3192, 0.3722, 0.6277, 0.5777]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028227657909886985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T21:55:30+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not Priced In", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Middle East/EU war escalation risk not priced in; implied bullish on geopolitical risk assets, particularly oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pro-Israel, Epstein-compromised UK Prime Minister Starmer authorizes US strikes on Iran from British military bases\n\nSo not just Middle East but EU war now\n\nIran already struck base on Cypress &amp; French base in UAE\n\nIran declaring “jihad” &amp; “fatwa” against America…\n\nNot Priced In", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Prepare For A Protracted Middle East War\n\nNo, I do not think even Khamenei's death, if true, will change the fact that Iran Risk Is Not Priced In\n https://t.co/Wb8BCiX2zJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.060098696483985914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.060098696483985914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.059530407187634804, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059530407187634804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682892963511099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682892963511099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0345222436352004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0345222436352004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04333658315555955, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04333658315555955, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814339520359149, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008814339520359149, "ret_p1w": 0.19658216435040154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19658216435040154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2083977900979742, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2083977900979742, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815625747572667, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815625747572667, "ret_p1m": 0.4594563188080538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4594563188080538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5093761128686664, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5093761128686664, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991979406061253, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991979406061253, "ret_p3m": 0.49994259797370844, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.49994259797370844, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3975492391542197, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3975492391542197, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239335881948874, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239335881948874, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4594563188080538, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5093761128686664, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5093761128686664, "price_path": [-0.1896, -0.1812, -0.1751, -0.1915, -0.1988, -0.191, -0.2058, -0.2108, -0.2214, -0.2411, -0.2203, -0.2294, -0.2198, -0.2003, -0.1937, -0.1949, -0.1949, -0.2146, -0.2016, -0.2001, -0.2068, -0.2068, -0.2091, -0.1946, -0.2142, -0.2225, -0.191, -0.1882, -0.1782, -0.1572, -0.1672, -0.1842, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.1758, -0.1588, -0.1763, -0.1519, -0.1572, -0.1322, -0.1212, -0.0923, -0.088, -0.136, -0.1115, -0.1068, -0.1204, -0.117, -0.1052, -0.1051, -0.0952, -0.124, -0.1258, -0.1258, -0.1314, -0.0893, -0.0688, -0.0727, -0.0721, -0.0737, -0.0856, -0.0851, -0.0601, 0.0, 0.0345, 0.0501, 0.1046, 0.2475, 0.1966, 0.2141, 0.2392, 0.3578, 0.375, 0.3193, 0.363, 0.3955, 0.346, 0.3927, 0.268, 0.3137, 0.3005, 0.3449, 0.4245, 0.489, 0.4595, 0.4232, 0.5818, 0.5818, 0.5935, 0.5837, 0.4288, 0.4561, 0.4316, 0.4734, 0.4205, 0.406, 0.4433, 0.3309, 0.3914, 0.4709, 0.4841, 0.5451, 0.5185, 0.5451, 0.6011, 0.7276, 0.687, 0.6378, 0.693, 0.6535, 0.5363, 0.548, 0.5322, 0.5903, 0.655, 0.6291, 0.6401, 0.7001, 0.7122, 0.7543, 0.6547, 0.6348, 0.6162, 0.6162, 0.5713, 0.5028, 0.4999, 0.4806, 0.5541, 0.5744, 0.6156, 0.5683, 0.5256, 0.5501, 0.5059, 0.5403, 0.4776, 0.4386, 0.3902, 0.3243, 0.3101, 0.3175, 0.3175, 0.3175, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986838482455531676", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T16:49:42+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now looking for 603…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish near-term targets: QQQ to 603, SPX to 6650, SPY to 666/662 after prior downside levels hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“QQQ target given Mon for 618.42 into 613: HIT. Now looking for 603…\n\nSPX target given Mon for 6749 into 6700: almost there. Now looking for 6650...\n\nSPY target for 666 with overshoot to 662....”\n\nRISK HAPPENS FAST!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8\n\nALL LEVELS UPDATED LIVE THIS MORNING!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0031653175689325685, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0031653175689325685, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0041489142326651685, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0041489142326651685, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022124205973549582, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022124205973549582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0065199273464062735, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0065199273464062735, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_p1w": -0.001443214608250143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001443214608250143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002873942355132275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002873942355132275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_p1m": 0.02384620857858155, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02384620857858155, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0049780106232408805, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0049780106232408805, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "ret_p3m": -0.005263754218575167, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005263754218575167, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030969343118644632, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030969343118644632, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_p6m": 0.10636745562599303, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10636745562599303, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03016678026086117, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03016678026086117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.001443214608250143, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.002873942355132275, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002873942355132275, "price_path": [-0.0498, -0.0493, -0.0501, -0.0542, -0.0546, -0.0674, -0.073, -0.0773, -0.063, -0.0657, -0.062, -0.0605, -0.0547, -0.0656, -0.0656, -0.0734, -0.0661, -0.0577, -0.0563, -0.0517, -0.049, -0.0487, -0.0432, -0.039, -0.0307, -0.0316, -0.0335, -0.0248, -0.0182, -0.0124, -0.0189, -0.0224, -0.0266, -0.0226, -0.0181, -0.0154, -0.0106, -0.0066, -0.0108, -0.0033, -0.0086, 0.0028, 0.0016, -0.0332, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0123, -0.016, -0.0095, 0.003, 0.0027, -0.007, 0.0014, 0.0121, 0.0301, 0.038, 0.0427, 0.0267, 0.0317, 0.0366, 0.0156, 0.0222, 0.0032, 0.0, 0.0221, 0.0194, 0.0186, -0.0022, -0.0014, -0.01, -0.022, -0.0162, -0.0395, -0.0323, -0.0075, -0.0014, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0156, 0.0122, 0.0201, 0.0226, 0.0216, 0.0258, 0.0238, 0.0251, 0.0293, 0.026, 0.0064, 0.0013, 0.0033, -0.0153, -0.001, 0.012, 0.0168, 0.0216, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0245, 0.0196, 0.0172, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0068, 0.0148, 0.0238, 0.0247, 0.0189, 0.0291, 0.0299, 0.0284, 0.0174, 0.0211, 0.0202, 0.0202, -0.0015, 0.012, 0.0194, 0.0226, 0.0271, 0.0364, 0.0398, 0.0336, 0.0212, 0.0282, 0.0124, -0.0053, -0.0196, 0.0011, 0.0088, 0.0041, 0.0068, -0.0137, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0126, -0.0052, -0.009, -0.0002, -0.0124, -0.0018, 0.0127, 0.0005, -0.0027, -0.0014, -0.0121, 0.0029, -0.0001, -0.0151, -0.002, -0.0019, -0.0021, -0.0192, -0.025, -0.0141, -0.0093, -0.0231, -0.0262, -0.0442, -0.0332, -0.0398, -0.0335, -0.0566, -0.075, -0.0821, -0.051, -0.0393, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0324, -0.0322, -0.0035, 0.0033, 0.0047, 0.0151, 0.0336, 0.048, 0.0531, 0.0669, 0.0635, 0.0594, 0.0771, 0.0711, 0.0916, 0.0921, 0.0812, 0.0878, 0.0979, 0.1085, 0.1064]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986838482455531676", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T16:49:42+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SPY target for 666 with overshoot to 662....", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish near-term targets: QQQ to 603, SPX to 6650, SPY to 666/662 after prior downside levels hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“QQQ target given Mon for 618.42 into 613: HIT. Now looking for 603…\n\nSPX target given Mon for 6749 into 6700: almost there. Now looking for 6650...\n\nSPY target for 666 with overshoot to 662....”\n\nRISK HAPPENS FAST!\n\nUPGRADE TO PRO OR JOIN US LIVE AT https://t.co/uD7G1gC9t8\n\nALL LEVELS UPDATED LIVE THIS MORNING!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009835966637326, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835966637326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015604278627143309, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0014307277468821322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01886819795534067, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01886819795534067, "ret_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025705588900069465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07620067536513186, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0014307277468821322, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0448, -0.0415, -0.0414, -0.0437, -0.0439, -0.0491, -0.0516, -0.0554, -0.0409, -0.0451, -0.0411, -0.0389, -0.0355, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0484, -0.0432, -0.0352, -0.038, -0.0357, -0.0334, -0.0306, -0.0226, -0.0229, -0.0177, -0.0191, -0.0203, -0.0157, -0.0108, -0.0062, -0.0116, -0.0147, -0.0193, -0.0136, -0.0109, -0.0071, -0.0038, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.001, -0.0028, 0.0032, 0.0003, -0.0268, -0.0118, -0.013, -0.0086, -0.0154, -0.0098, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0047, 0.0012, 0.0094, 0.0213, 0.024, 0.0245, 0.0132, 0.0165, 0.0184, 0.0064, 0.0099, -0.001, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0179, 0.0185, 0.0016, 0.0014, -0.0079, -0.0162, -0.0124, -0.0275, -0.0178, -0.0033, 0.006, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0185, 0.0139, 0.0157, 0.0193, 0.02, 0.0219, 0.0189, 0.018, 0.0247, 0.0271, 0.0161, 0.0145, 0.0118, 0.0006, 0.0082, 0.0173, 0.0237, 0.0284, 0.032, 0.032, 0.0319, 0.0282, 0.0269, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0212, 0.028, 0.0341, 0.0308, 0.0307, 0.0375, 0.0391, 0.037, 0.0319, 0.0347, 0.0339, 0.0339, 0.0128, 0.0245, 0.0299, 0.0302, 0.0355, 0.0396, 0.0395, 0.0374, 0.0343, 0.0395, 0.0307, 0.0257, 0.0129, 0.0323, 0.0373, 0.0346, 0.0343, 0.0184, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0207, 0.0259, 0.0231, 0.0305, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.0361, 0.0304, 0.0254, 0.026, 0.0169, 0.0241, 0.0184, 0.0051, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.011, -0.0044, -0.01, 0.0001, 0.0027, -0.0113, -0.0137, -0.0279, -0.0177, -0.021, -0.0155, -0.0331, -0.0496, -0.0528, -0.0252, -0.0179, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0124, -0.0119, 0.0132, 0.0191, 0.0184, 0.0284, 0.0409, 0.0491, 0.0517, 0.0644, 0.0623, 0.0553, 0.066, 0.0619, 0.0701, 0.0719, 0.0667, 0.0666, 0.0772, 0.0802, 0.0762]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019090176740348127", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T16:46:25+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVGO has been a HIGH CONVICTION short from 374.23 to \"not if but when 308.78 which hit yday - with updated short targets this am from my live trading room. #notdone", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still short AVGO with updated downside targets; high conviction, not done to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Go you have my targets?\n\n$AVGO has been a HIGH CONVICTION short from 374.23 to \"not if but when 308.78 which hit yday - with updated short targets this am from my live trading room. #notdone \n\nhttps://t.co/dgkJ5vwEx7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc AVGO under the 200 SMA &amp; EMA as of this moment..huge tell if it continues. https://t.co/cnUI3rDqE9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03986358851319349, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03986358851319349, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03499615766414599, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011290404393948794, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04099262895258837, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007985762408453834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007985762408453834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02047504646877807, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010472495345926203, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002486732937472369, "ret_p1w": 0.11267657508369866, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11267657508369866, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10426782070086027, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026921874524161726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08575470055953693, "ret_p1m": 0.08024668193909856, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08024668193909856, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08735839069767526, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045353175124807965, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111708758576696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0348935068142906, "ret_p3m": 0.3548894615058078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3548894615058078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3056598511658548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028283464124909896, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3266059973808979, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08024668193909856, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08735839069767526, "alpha_c_stated": -0.045353175124807965, "price_path": [0.1322, 0.1612, 0.1404, 0.1509, 0.1015, 0.1096, 0.1102, 0.1032, 0.1483, 0.1237, 0.1023, 0.2246, 0.2475, 0.2881, 0.2881, 0.3056, 0.2509, 0.2363, 0.2332, 0.2345, 0.2644, 0.2996, 0.3164, 0.338, 0.3166, 0.1662, 0.101, 0.1058, 0.0563, 0.0688, 0.1028, 0.1084, 0.134, 0.1369, 0.1369, 0.1431, 0.1342, 0.1357, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.1285, 0.1148, 0.116, 0.1151, 0.0793, 0.1199, 0.1434, 0.1511, 0.1034, 0.1135, 0.1417, 0.1417, 0.0797, 0.0674, 0.0566, 0.039, 0.0545, 0.0803, 0.0818, 0.0736, 0.0755, 0.0749, 0.0399, 0.0, 0.008, 0.0807, 0.1165, 0.1051, 0.1127, 0.0751, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0795, 0.0826, 0.0842, 0.0799, 0.0724, 0.0566, 0.0788, 0.0443, 0.0373, 0.035, 0.0188, 0.0308, 0.0802, 0.0728, 0.1224, 0.1121, 0.1088, 0.0906, 0.0458, 0.0548, 0.043, 0.0256, 0.0383, 0.008, 0.0491, 0.0354, 0.0371, 0.0066, -0.0219, -0.0455, 0.0068, 0.0198, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0229, 0.0864, 0.1406, 0.1545, 0.2087, 0.2353, 0.2387, 0.2905, 0.2962, 0.3225, 0.3, 0.3083, 0.3749, 0.3661, 0.3753, 0.3604, 0.3007, 0.3189, 0.3579, 0.3704, 0.3549, 0.3902, 0.384, 0.3421, 0.3988, 0.3937, 0.364, 0.3558, 0.4307, 0.3832, 0.3686, 0.3372, 0.359, 0.3486, 0.3472, 0.3472, 0.3728, 0.3723, 0.3877, 0.4534, 0.4963, 0.5666, 0.559, 0.3627, 0.2548, 0.2902, 0.2757, 0.2105, 0.2543, 0.2429, 0.2815, 0.2255, 0.2781, 0.3381, 0.3381, 0.3381, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "AA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my oversold commodity longs like $AA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["AA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aluminum'", "bench_c_industry": "Aluminum", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01428875256889972, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01428875256889972, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012775658159293934, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013623798564254663, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023521563950500868, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023521563950500868, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02625393925288022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026181123889232882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": 0.18091876673970253, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18091876673970253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17192310089589458, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16350414205374175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.43701900960525353, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43701900960525353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4148516385997838, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3514350758500371, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.45170300339581027, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45170300339581027, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4703622410103049, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.344955435983644, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.5969367375117067, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5969367375117067, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5080369940967908, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4608768196074915, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.43701900960525353, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4148516385997838, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3514350758500371, "price_path": [-0.2796, -0.2827, -0.2884, -0.2846, -0.3087, -0.3153, -0.3105, -0.2829, -0.2579, -0.2789, -0.2579, -0.2364, -0.2436, -0.2592, -0.221, -0.1875, -0.1888, -0.2322, -0.2053, -0.2162, -0.2007, -0.186, -0.2114, -0.1459, -0.1838, -0.2184, -0.12, -0.1358, -0.1252, -0.1382, -0.1469, -0.1941, -0.1934, -0.1844, -0.2249, -0.2143, -0.1932, -0.1796, -0.1473, -0.1761, -0.12, -0.1605, -0.1737, -0.2135, -0.1965, -0.1928, -0.2124, -0.2011, -0.1488, -0.1383, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.0824, -0.0844, -0.0888, -0.0306, -0.0325, -0.0378, -0.0226, -0.0444, -0.0187, 0.0385, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0297, 0.0591, 0.1266, 0.1809, 0.1794, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.1926, 0.182, 0.1954, 0.1682, 0.1682, 0.2429, 0.3506, 0.3972, 0.3792, 0.3429, 0.3996, 0.4436, 0.437, 0.4194, 0.4027, 0.3205, 0.3205, 0.3656, 0.404, 0.388, 0.3676, 0.2871, 0.3115, 0.3192, 0.333, 0.2488, 0.2796, 0.3486, 0.2785, 0.2394, 0.3005, 0.3709, 0.3577, 0.3882, 0.3302, 0.3179, 0.3179, 0.2634, 0.3236, 0.3122, 0.3297, 0.3148, 0.35, 0.4267, 0.3953, 0.3647, 0.4087, 0.4034, 0.353, 0.3273, 0.3113, 0.3445, 0.35, 0.4612, 0.4517, 0.4002, 0.4665, 0.4405, 0.4143, 0.2914, 0.243, 0.2348, 0.248, 0.2925, 0.2683, 0.2861, 0.392, 0.4605, 0.5867, 0.575, 0.575, 0.5636, 0.6065, 0.5801, 0.6133, 0.608, 0.6142, 0.5818, 0.5497, 0.5503, 0.4449, 0.4649, 0.4786, 0.509, 0.4394, 0.4535, 0.4832, 0.3909, 0.3753, 0.4046, 0.379, 0.3753, 0.3885, 0.3929, 0.3793, 0.3912, 0.4387, 0.4889, 0.507, 0.4537, 0.3768, 0.3782, 0.4099, 0.4145, 0.4615, 0.5742, 0.5742, 0.6446, 0.6133, 0.6668, 0.7123, 0.7149, 0.8479, 0.7833, 0.7207, 0.5855, 0.6197, 0.5969]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "MT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["MT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Steel'", "bench_c_industry": "Steel", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015165409580646383, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015165409580646383, "alpha_spy_m1d": 3.44654845885195e-06, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0008515869534195808, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009531938199793477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009531938199793477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006799562897414124, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0068723782610614625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": -0.023396779393111244, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023396779393111244, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0323924452369192, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04081140407907202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.041594606614390406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.041594606614390406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01942723560892068, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04398932714082604, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.16388739334641733, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16388739334641733, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18254663096091195, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05713982593425104, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.44336835504462435, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.44336835504462435, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.35446861162970844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3073084371404091, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.041594606614390406, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01942723560892068, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04398932714082604, "price_path": [-0.2598, -0.2518, -0.24, -0.2295, -0.2267, -0.2292, -0.2213, -0.2051, -0.2146, -0.2221, -0.1765, -0.1789, -0.1735, -0.1625, -0.1701, -0.1193, -0.1496, -0.2, -0.1748, -0.175, -0.1755, -0.1656, -0.172, -0.1675, -0.1802, -0.1647, -0.163, -0.1582, -0.1479, -0.1442, -0.1604, -0.1763, -0.1804, -0.1787, -0.2058, -0.1948, -0.1853, -0.1574, -0.1486, -0.1406, -0.1238, -0.1356, -0.1449, -0.1493, -0.1486, -0.1256, -0.1451, -0.138, -0.12, -0.0851, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0659, -0.0555, -0.0542, -0.068, -0.0765, -0.0845, -0.0561, -0.0624, -0.0251, -0.0141, 0.0015, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0206, -0.0251, -0.0327, -0.0234, -0.0199, -0.0212, -0.0212, 0.0019, -0.0134, -0.0145, -0.0128, -0.0128, 0.0225, 0.0121, 0.0249, 0.0373, 0.0249, 0.0175, 0.0366, 0.0416, 0.0624, 0.0487, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0578, 0.1101, 0.1573, 0.1763, 0.1616, 0.2017, 0.214, 0.2086, 0.1692, 0.2242, 0.2277, 0.2127, 0.24, 0.328, 0.3449, 0.3668, 0.4439, 0.3343, 0.3325, 0.3325, 0.3919, 0.4107, 0.3962, 0.4158, 0.4512, 0.4156, 0.4575, 0.4303, 0.4149, 0.4006, 0.3044, 0.328, 0.2473, 0.203, 0.2123, 0.2327, 0.2299, 0.1639, 0.1018, 0.1192, 0.1326, 0.1163, 0.0853, 0.0371, 0.1215, 0.137, 0.1483, 0.1076, 0.0775, 0.0529, 0.1287, 0.1732, 0.1491, 0.1491, 0.1582, 0.1682, 0.3037, 0.3005, 0.3168, 0.3298, 0.3474, 0.337, 0.2981, 0.3476, 0.3552, 0.3233, 0.3254, 0.2929, 0.2966, 0.2818, 0.2573, 0.2143, 0.2423, 0.2345, 0.2028, 0.2633, 0.37, 0.3276, 0.3472, 0.3537, 0.3463, 0.4033, 0.3883, 0.3093, 0.3467, 0.288, 0.3748, 0.3955, 0.4384, 0.4384, 0.4932, 0.4932, 0.5132, 0.5108, 0.5278, 0.5583, 0.5539, 0.5596, 0.463, 0.4623, 0.4434]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "FCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Copper'", "bench_c_industry": "Copper", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029461676954877225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0029461676954877225, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004459262105093509, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00361112170013278, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0004209271866941755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0004209271866941755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0031533024890735284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00308048712542619, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": 0.06565649518716254, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06565649518716254, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05666082934335459, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04824187050120177, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.24873731925597098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24873731925597098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22656994825050125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16315338550075453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.249106306011887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.249106306011887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2677655436263816, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1423587385997207, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.35841582976572206, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35841582976572206, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26951608635080615, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22235591186150683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24873731925597098, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.22656994825050125, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16315338550075453, "price_path": [-0.0545, -0.0579, -0.0577, -0.0531, -0.0489, -0.2101, -0.259, -0.2504, -0.2216, -0.1776, -0.1803, -0.185, -0.1682, -0.1545, -0.1468, -0.1015, -0.0919, -0.1428, -0.103, -0.1199, -0.1223, -0.1225, -0.1334, -0.1122, -0.1307, -0.1418, -0.1324, -0.1294, -0.1351, -0.1336, -0.1122, -0.1218, -0.1225, -0.1334, -0.1705, -0.1538, -0.1867, -0.1622, -0.1383, -0.1357, -0.1202, -0.1469, -0.1549, -0.1793, -0.1582, -0.1319, -0.166, -0.161, -0.1416, -0.1357, -0.113, -0.113, -0.0955, -0.0936, -0.0957, -0.0629, -0.0612, -0.0488, -0.053, -0.0572, -0.0225, 0.0124, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0063, 0.0084, 0.0343, 0.0657, 0.0922, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1162, 0.0833, 0.0819, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.0928, 0.145, 0.1816, 0.1679, 0.141, 0.1896, 0.2355, 0.2487, 0.27, 0.2649, 0.2386, 0.2386, 0.2672, 0.278, 0.2415, 0.2744, 0.2905, 0.3263, 0.3424, 0.374, 0.2706, 0.2818, 0.3643, 0.305, 0.2493, 0.2799, 0.3419, 0.3345, 0.381, 0.3088, 0.3257, 0.3257, 0.2888, 0.3196, 0.32, 0.3573, 0.3829, 0.432, 0.4518, 0.4426, 0.4362, 0.4407, 0.3833, 0.3909, 0.3219, 0.2523, 0.2761, 0.3164, 0.2983, 0.2491, 0.1894, 0.2221, 0.2255, 0.1698, 0.1312, 0.0989, 0.159, 0.1915, 0.2044, 0.1778, 0.1865, 0.1529, 0.24, 0.2911, 0.2949, 0.2949, 0.2879, 0.2818, 0.3734, 0.4018, 0.4303, 0.4352, 0.4402, 0.4525, 0.4436, 0.4844, 0.4838, 0.4286, 0.4876, 0.2999, 0.2908, 0.2806, 0.2307, 0.2037, 0.2216, 0.1956, 0.1749, 0.2195, 0.2874, 0.2815, 0.3034, 0.361, 0.396, 0.4199, 0.3984, 0.3322, 0.2791, 0.2411, 0.287, 0.3174, 0.3106, 0.3106, 0.3607, 0.3453, 0.3927, 0.3893, 0.4174, 0.5164, 0.4935, 0.4734, 0.3398, 0.3512, 0.3584]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "RIO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002110259152981464, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002110259152981464, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036233535625872504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0027752131576265215, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002242143885105019, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002242143885105019, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004974519187484372, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004901703823837034, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": 0.05644945820200453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05644945820200453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04745379235819658, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.039034833516043754, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.10247950537122552, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10247950537122552, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0803121343657558, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016895571616009075, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.22970668939014738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22970668939014738, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.248365927004642, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12295912197798109, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.375048008628468, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.375048008628468, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2861482652135521, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23898809072425276, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10247950537122552, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0803121343657558, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016895571616009075, "price_path": [-0.1692, -0.1825, -0.1773, -0.1605, -0.1616, -0.1576, -0.137, -0.1453, -0.1306, -0.1294, -0.1257, -0.1261, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.1262, -0.1071, -0.1163, -0.1369, -0.101, -0.1002, -0.0918, -0.0932, -0.1029, -0.0868, -0.0987, -0.0799, -0.0686, -0.0696, -0.0645, -0.0505, -0.0427, -0.0477, -0.0538, -0.0719, -0.1046, -0.0892, -0.0864, -0.0856, -0.0729, -0.0725, -0.0621, -0.063, -0.0685, -0.0703, -0.0802, -0.0843, -0.0929, -0.0769, -0.0706, -0.0626, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.051, -0.0508, -0.0459, -0.0203, -0.0276, -0.0364, -0.0369, -0.0187, 0.0055, 0.0121, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0022, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.033, 0.0564, 0.0679, 0.0669, 0.0669, 0.0847, 0.0604, 0.062, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.074, 0.0975, 0.1241, 0.1195, 0.1104, 0.07, 0.0931, 0.1025, 0.1327, 0.1389, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.13, 0.1717, 0.1514, 0.1927, 0.1932, 0.2254, 0.2315, 0.2547, 0.2006, 0.2203, 0.271, 0.2725, 0.2018, 0.232, 0.2774, 0.2825, 0.3126, 0.2913, 0.2935, 0.2935, 0.2778, 0.3048, 0.2706, 0.2805, 0.2882, 0.294, 0.3292, 0.3069, 0.3102, 0.3138, 0.2571, 0.2695, 0.2315, 0.2231, 0.225, 0.243, 0.2484, 0.2297, 0.1908, 0.2183, 0.2175, 0.1893, 0.1612, 0.1273, 0.1638, 0.1764, 0.1869, 0.1631, 0.1747, 0.2042, 0.2648, 0.2854, 0.2805, 0.2805, 0.2746, 0.2834, 0.3348, 0.3169, 0.3322, 0.3449, 0.3405, 0.3363, 0.3519, 0.3578, 0.3535, 0.3249, 0.3596, 0.3402, 0.3505, 0.3551, 0.3353, 0.3082, 0.3623, 0.3637, 0.3372, 0.3626, 0.4305, 0.398, 0.4287, 0.4629, 0.4846, 0.519, 0.4858, 0.4058, 0.4009, 0.3683, 0.4007, 0.4203, 0.4131, 0.4131, 0.4499, 0.4454, 0.4435, 0.4424, 0.4773, 0.514, 0.4624, 0.429, 0.3652, 0.3684, 0.375]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Falling USD is driving debasement trades beyond #gold & #silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009095132962733121, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009095132962733121, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024226077058790985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0024226077058790985, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00022745542760316262, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00022745542760316262, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0029598307299825155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029598307299825155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": 0.03140480944092694, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03140480944092694, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022409143597118986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022409143597118986, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "ret_p1m": 0.0652602776313238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0652602776313238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04309290662585408, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04309290662585408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": 0.1795856980344921, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1795856980344921, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1982449356489867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1982449356489867, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": -0.012683145953752972, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.012683145953752972, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10158288936866888, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10158288936866888, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0652602776313238, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04309290662585408, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04309290662585408, "price_path": [-0.1486, -0.152, -0.1431, -0.1282, -0.1247, -0.1326, -0.129, -0.124, -0.1095, -0.1019, -0.1005, -0.1036, -0.0964, -0.0794, -0.0746, -0.0594, -0.0767, -0.0674, -0.0447, -0.0379, -0.0212, 0.0016, -0.0172, 0.0186, -0.0469, -0.0468, -0.043, -0.0462, -0.0727, -0.0794, -0.0829, -0.0649, -0.0699, -0.0683, -0.0846, -0.074, -0.0751, -0.0695, -0.044, -0.0402, -0.0248, -0.0327, -0.0501, -0.061, -0.0542, -0.0527, -0.0529, -0.0544, -0.0394, -0.0397, -0.032, -0.032, -0.02, -0.0153, -0.0216, -0.0225, -0.0219, -0.0236, -0.0262, -0.0212, -0.0171, -0.0065, -0.0009, 0.0, 0.0002, 0.0088, 0.007, 0.0081, 0.0314, 0.0451, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0529, 0.0071, 0.0078, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0063, 0.0327, 0.0439, 0.0339, 0.0396, 0.0472, 0.0668, 0.0653, 0.0761, 0.0696, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.1047, 0.1208, 0.1415, 0.1572, 0.1741, 0.2029, 0.2495, 0.2529, 0.1242, 0.0792, 0.1478, 0.147, 0.1164, 0.1507, 0.18, 0.1683, 0.1815, 0.1404, 0.1688, 0.1688, 0.1324, 0.1579, 0.1611, 0.184, 0.216, 0.1991, 0.1961, 0.2064, 0.2222, 0.238, 0.1828, 0.192, 0.1777, 0.1963, 0.1939, 0.2073, 0.2032, 0.1796, 0.1643, 0.1633, 0.1604, 0.1236, 0.0773, 0.0444, 0.0208, 0.021, 0.0518, 0.0122, 0.0478, 0.0474, 0.0871, 0.1062, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.0805, 0.091, 0.0979, 0.1064, 0.1044, 0.0999, 0.1245, 0.1128, 0.1119, 0.1267, 0.117, 0.0853, 0.0997, 0.089, 0.0946, 0.0861, 0.066, 0.0546, 0.0704, 0.0692, 0.0478, 0.0568, 0.0888, 0.0907, 0.0959, 0.0982, 0.0938, 0.0877, 0.0794, 0.0543, 0.0572, 0.0397, 0.0546, 0.0535, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.046, 0.0321, 0.0429, 0.0539, 0.0391, 0.0408, 0.0305, 0.0391, 0.0011, 0.0037, -0.0127]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000217057242087456", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Falling USD is driving debasement trades beyond #gold & #silver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AA, MT, FCX, RIO as oversold commodity debasement plays on falling USD; gold and silver also benefiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Debasement\" Trades\n\nFalling USD is driving “debasement trades\" beyond  #gold &amp; #silver. Check out my oversold commodity longs like $AA, $MT, $FCX and $RIO. 🫶\n\nA steepening 10Y–2Y curve above 0.64bp raises macro risks. \n\nhttps://t.co/x0sJdd5L0J", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03458960790085441, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03458960790085441, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0361027023104602, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0361027023104602, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006539340287797901, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006539340287797901, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038069649854185483, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038069649854185483, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": 0.07503012501388406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07503012501388406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06603445917007611, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06603445917007611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "ret_p1m": 0.3526070839537987, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3526070839537987, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.33043971294832897, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33043971294832897, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": 0.31612463523722023, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31612463523722023, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33478387285171485, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33478387285171485, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": 0.015487828286501859, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.015487828286501859, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07341191512841405, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07341191512841405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3526070839537987, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.33043971294832897, "alpha_c_stated": 0.33043971294832897, "price_path": [-0.3497, -0.3462, -0.3282, -0.311, -0.3123, -0.3147, -0.2939, -0.2796, -0.2686, -0.2709, -0.2616, -0.2681, -0.2511, -0.2418, -0.2533, -0.2332, -0.2306, -0.2182, -0.1867, -0.1946, -0.1683, -0.1538, -0.1914, -0.1788, -0.2464, -0.2449, -0.2397, -0.243, -0.2703, -0.2652, -0.2561, -0.237, -0.2426, -0.2469, -0.2645, -0.2488, -0.2506, -0.2442, -0.212, -0.2007, -0.1685, -0.184, -0.2091, -0.2175, -0.2067, -0.2007, -0.2122, -0.2204, -0.1976, -0.1969, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.1187, -0.0962, -0.0857, -0.0867, -0.1093, -0.0888, -0.0929, -0.0506, -0.0351, -0.0084, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.037, 0.0208, 0.0485, 0.075, 0.1158, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.2239, 0.1359, 0.1871, 0.1086, 0.1086, 0.1315, 0.1888, 0.2685, 0.2211, 0.1996, 0.2456, 0.329, 0.3526, 0.4552, 0.4338, 0.3943, 0.3943, 0.4695, 0.4448, 0.4994, 0.5989, 0.6923, 0.7482, 0.8172, 0.8167, 0.2982, 0.2466, 0.3244, 0.3626, 0.1477, 0.2079, 0.3086, 0.2633, 0.3175, 0.1655, 0.1998, 0.1998, 0.1421, 0.2062, 0.222, 0.3185, 0.3865, 0.3609, 0.3774, 0.3844, 0.4626, 0.4037, 0.2851, 0.2965, 0.2781, 0.3068, 0.3468, 0.3782, 0.3407, 0.3161, 0.2509, 0.26, 0.2332, 0.1822, 0.1303, 0.0587, 0.075, 0.0833, 0.1222, 0.0458, 0.0917, 0.0931, 0.1726, 0.1726, 0.1322, 0.1322, 0.1373, 0.1347, 0.1611, 0.1769, 0.1888, 0.175, 0.2397, 0.2363, 0.226, 0.2671, 0.2416, 0.1786, 0.211, 0.1767, 0.1838, 0.1759, 0.1392, 0.1158, 0.1471, 0.1752, 0.1347, 0.1342, 0.2068, 0.2321, 0.2564, 0.3423, 0.3517, 0.3655, 0.2994, 0.1881, 0.2036, 0.1513, 0.1828, 0.1951, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.1998, 0.1616, 0.1764, 0.1759, 0.1645, 0.17, 0.1394, 0.1526, 0.0595, 0.0597, 0.0155]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003101171192610841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T13:51:49+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it will hit $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OpenAI margin news will algorithmically pressure GOOGL and bid up MSFT regardless of fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Margin expansion at #OpenAI\n\nSUUUURRRRRE\n\nbut whatever, it will hit $GOOGL &amp; bid $MSFT cuz algos don’t do forensic accounting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OPENAI BOOSTS COMPUTE MARGINS AMID AI RACE\n\nOpenAI has significantly improved margins on its paid products, according to The Information. Its “compute margin,” measuring revenue after model-running costs, reached about 70% in October, up from 52% at the end of 2024 and roughly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008457658342996943, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008457658342996943, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0022663356205352425, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004034418158824327, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191322722461701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0044232401841726166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014752296285657662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014752296285657662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010181893945998777, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00849480885928533, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0045704023396588855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": 0.01220220492349533, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01220220492349533, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007792452091678115, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0016587932682377016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409752831817215, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.039447305279829425, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039447305279829425, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05003395552972323, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06679174723119874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586650249893803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": -0.007856633019244219, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007856633019244219, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.028692608384461527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022316530732492734, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549241403705746, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": 0.20645560185588896, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20645560185588896, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10781922319146964, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2405853414869925, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863637866441932, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03412973963110355, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.039447305279829425, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05003395552972323, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06679174723119874, "price_path": [-0.2027, -0.2071, -0.2047, -0.2127, -0.2158, -0.21, -0.2074, -0.2085, -0.1921, -0.2072, -0.2109, -0.2208, -0.2368, -0.2124, -0.2082, -0.1902, -0.1888, -0.1829, -0.1724, -0.192, -0.1881, -0.1836, -0.1615, -0.1313, -0.1371, -0.1142, -0.0919, -0.0929, -0.0847, -0.1047, -0.0828, -0.0814, -0.1005, -0.0641, -0.0602, -0.0751, -0.1013, -0.1083, -0.0805, -0.0829, -0.0554, -0.0662, -0.0333, 0.0277, 0.0434, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.0329, 0.0158, 0.0188, 0.0311, 0.0246, 0.0364, 0.0127, 0.0236, 0.0337, 0.0086, -0.0016, -0.005, -0.0104, -0.0422, -0.0236, -0.0085, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.012, 0.0122, 0.0131, 0.0104, 0.0104, 0.0173, 0.0218, 0.0147, 0.0394, 0.0506, 0.0607, 0.0713, 0.0845, 0.0841, 0.0742, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0394, 0.06, 0.067, 0.0586, 0.0758, 0.08, 0.0847, 0.0919, 0.0911, 0.1095, 0.0966, 0.0751, 0.0693, 0.0422, 0.0469, 0.0284, 0.0038, -0.0025, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0224, 0.0168, 0.0055, 0.0036, 0.0101, -0.0077, 0.0064, -0.0105, -0.02, -0.0215, -0.0287, -0.0363, -0.0103, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0194, -0.0235, -0.0129, 0.0044, -0.006, -0.0079, -0.0277, -0.0242, -0.0618, -0.0602, -0.0925, -0.1138, -0.1165, -0.0711, -0.0393, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0309, -0.0133, 0.0251, 0.0288, 0.0248, 0.038, 0.0754, 0.089, 0.0855, 0.1038, 0.09, 0.0734, 0.0961, 0.0947, 0.1125, 0.1317, 0.1299, 0.1304, 0.243, 0.2459, 0.238, 0.2548, 0.2858, 0.2857, 0.2947, 0.2555, 0.2513, 0.3006, 0.2956, 0.2817, 0.2823, 0.2523, 0.2563, 0.2523, 0.2371, 0.2371, 0.2562, 0.2561, 0.2603, 0.2286, 0.2158, 0.1689, 0.1597, 0.2023, 0.1905, 0.1743, 0.1774, 0.1519, 0.1564, 0.1626, 0.1938, 0.2065]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003101171192610841", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T13:51:49+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bid $MSFT cuz algos don't do forensic accounting", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OpenAI margin news will algorithmically pressure GOOGL and bid up MSFT regardless of fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Margin expansion at #OpenAI\n\nSUUUURRRRRE\n\nbut whatever, it will hit $GOOGL &amp; bid $MSFT cuz algos don’t do forensic accounting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "OPENAI BOOSTS COMPUTE MARGINS AMID AI RACE\n\nOpenAI has significantly improved margins on its paid products, according to The Information. Its “compute margin,” measuring revenue after model-running costs, reached about 70% in October, up from 52% at the end of 2024 and roughly", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002062150101542981, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002062150101542981, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008253472824004682, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008253472824004682, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191322722461701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006191322722461701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003979983831256417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003979983831256417, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005904185084024682, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005904185084024682, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0045704023396588855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0045704023396588855, "ret_p1w": 0.004495552963381444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004495552963381444, "alpha_spy_p1w": 8.580013156422872e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": 8.580013156422872e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409752831817215, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409752831817215, "ret_p1m": -0.06269076642613303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06269076642613303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.052104116176239224, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052104116176239224, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586650249893803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586650249893803, "ret_p3m": -0.19593359070069039, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19593359070069039, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15938434929698464, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15938434929698464, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549241403705746, "bench_c_p3m": -0.036549241403705746, "ret_p6m": -0.1842287301341371, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1842287301341371, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2828651087985564, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2828651087985564, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863637866441932, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09863637866441932, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06269076642613303, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.052104116176239224, "alpha_c_stated": -0.052104116176239224, "price_path": [0.0501, 0.0436, 0.0528, 0.0592, 0.0661, 0.0697, 0.0616, 0.0649, 0.088, 0.0785, 0.0803, 0.0753, 0.0517, 0.0581, 0.0571, 0.0568, 0.0531, 0.0571, 0.0637, 0.0655, 0.0714, 0.0715, 0.0778, 0.0941, 0.1158, 0.1147, 0.0822, 0.0658, 0.0642, 0.0587, 0.0439, 0.0232, 0.0226, 0.0415, 0.047, 0.0521, 0.0359, 0.0501, 0.0446, 0.0164, 0.0027, -0.0134, -0.0264, -0.0225, -0.0164, 0.0012, 0.0012, 0.0146, 0.0038, 0.0105, -0.0148, -0.0084, -0.0036, 0.0126, 0.0146, -0.0131, -0.003, -0.0132, -0.0208, -0.0176, -0.0181, -0.0019, 0.0021, 0.0, 0.004, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0058, 0.0045, 0.0053, -0.0027, -0.0027, -0.0247, -0.0249, -0.0132, -0.003, -0.014, -0.0116, -0.016, -0.0294, -0.0527, -0.0583, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0627, -0.0842, -0.0697, -0.0391, -0.0302, -0.009, -0.0068, -0.106, -0.1127, -0.1269, -0.152, -0.1459, -0.1882, -0.1728, -0.1471, -0.1478, -0.1661, -0.1713, -0.1724, -0.1724, -0.1816, -0.1759, -0.1764, -0.179, -0.2053, -0.196, -0.172, -0.1697, -0.1882, -0.1762, -0.1651, -0.1625, -0.1512, -0.1547, -0.1538, -0.1613, -0.1632, -0.1694, -0.1824, -0.1733, -0.1745, -0.1902, -0.1959, -0.2107, -0.2084, -0.2296, -0.2331, -0.2436, -0.2626, -0.2581, -0.2349, -0.2365, -0.2281, -0.2281, -0.2293, -0.2305, -0.2263, -0.2289, -0.2334, -0.2055, -0.1875, -0.15, -0.1314, -0.1261, -0.1359, -0.1233, -0.1052, -0.1407, -0.1224, -0.1219, -0.1128, -0.1227, -0.1572, -0.1434, -0.1451, -0.1497, -0.1444, -0.1303, -0.142, -0.1471, -0.1572, -0.1625, -0.1537, -0.1279, -0.1246, -0.1372, -0.1297, -0.1319, -0.133, -0.133, -0.1382, -0.1452, -0.1155, -0.0674, -0.0461, -0.0859, -0.1148, -0.1133, -0.1369, -0.1471, -0.1644, -0.1769, -0.1915, -0.1906, -0.1719, -0.1842]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994030871385411739", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:09:41+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My bet: middle to end of Q1", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects JD to awaken/rally by mid-to-end of Q1.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jwhock78 My bet: middle to end of Q1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Hopefully $jd finally awakens from its slumber", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jwhock78", "ret_m1d": -0.013744586006916304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013744586006916304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008315784533372894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007570171595396968, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061744144115193356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0020113705277731153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020113705277731153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0065768408289376135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001419274104750734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005920964230223813, "ret_p1w": 0.002346576875688733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002346576875688733, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010189468444861127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010340574249683154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012687151125371887, "ret_p1m": -0.01877307854648913, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01877307854648913, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0282735036382592, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04295897673907578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024185898192586652, "ret_p3m": -0.07676834592553439, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07676834592553439, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09404721648268155, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06908877951711656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007679566408417826, "ret_p6m": 0.059606337161431266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.059606337161431266, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03769631800291817, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.047544453852952806, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01206188330847846, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01877307854648913, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0282735036382592, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04295897673907578, "price_path": [0.0587, 0.0459, 0.0369, 0.0543, 0.1012, 0.1354, 0.117, 0.1532, 0.1287, 0.1271, 0.1636, 0.1814, 0.1861, 0.1767, 0.1374, 0.1043, 0.1676, 0.179, 0.1566, 0.1948, 0.1726, 0.2125, 0.2062, 0.1867, 0.2038, 0.1696, 0.1726, 0.1388, 0.0677, 0.1146, 0.0965, 0.111, 0.0976, 0.1086, 0.1317, 0.1006, 0.0882, 0.1123, 0.1126, 0.1465, 0.1576, 0.1519, 0.1187, 0.1076, 0.0989, 0.0667, 0.0741, 0.0711, 0.0657, 0.053, 0.0597, 0.0476, 0.0295, -0.0174, -0.0097, -0.0127, -0.032, -0.0483, -0.0302, -0.0258, -0.0231, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0, 0.002, 0.0074, 0.0013, -0.003, 0.0023, 0.003, -0.0044, -0.0074, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0329, -0.0329, -0.0412, -0.0345, -0.0339, -0.0248, -0.0251, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.0144, -0.0188, -0.0375, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0101, -0.006, -0.0077, -0.0268, -0.0054, -0.0127, 0.0302, 0.0017, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0486, -0.0255, 0.0057, 0.0003, -0.0017, -0.0111, -0.0201, -0.0255, -0.0453, -0.0436, -0.06, -0.0764, -0.0841, -0.059, -0.061, -0.0496, -0.0523, -0.0774, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.0838, -0.0811, -0.0858, -0.0811, -0.0872, -0.0774, -0.0768, -0.0955, -0.1106, -0.1167, -0.1405, -0.1485, -0.1462, -0.0939, -0.0791, -0.0704, -0.0577, -0.0634, -0.0506, -0.0449, -0.0432, -0.0546, -0.0607, -0.0858, -0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0027, -0.0218, -0.0379, -0.0298, -0.0087, -0.0322, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0443, -0.0459, -0.0261, -0.0161, 0.0044, 0.0048, 0.085, 0.0926, 0.0877, 0.0971, 0.0891, 0.0596, 0.0627, 0.0409, 0.0509, 0.0329, 0.0322, 0.0311, 0.0527, 0.0402, 0.0429, 0.0304, 0.0655, 0.0488, 0.0461, 0.06, 0.0933, 0.1724, 0.1408, 0.1113, 0.0971, 0.1242, 0.127, 0.0926, 0.0596, 0.0596]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2000661299588743275", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T20:16:38+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Freaken awesome $AVGO short set up.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding AVGO short and LULU long; both positions actively working.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Freaken awesome $AVGO short set up. \nAnd $LULU long still working. 🫢", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LULU Long $AVGO Short\n\nFrom my pre $AVGO earnings AND again pre-market Friday... where to chase short AVGO &amp; where to cover. Down -12% but even the trigger of 374 to 359 made for a 10X return in Fri's $360P! $LULU also solid pre-earnings play. https://t.co/fzDIDqGz97", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05920950302357042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05920950302357042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.057696408613964634, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05575242905981437, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003457073963756052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004384797073856417, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004384797073856417, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00711717237623577, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0071051403228813426, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027203432490249257, "ret_p1w": 0.006748921248308726, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006748921248308726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0022467445954992282, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015691568423885638, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022440489672194364, "ret_p1m": 0.04555043950311832, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04555043950311832, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023383068497648596, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06736618570636166, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11291662520947998, "ret_p3m": -0.009408617299791255, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009408617299791255, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009250620314703362, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11266082408716904, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10325220678737779, "ret_p6m": 0.15869035870325288, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15869035870325288, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06979061528833697, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5212444293949332, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6799347880981861, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04555043950311832, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023383068497648596, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06736618570636166, "price_path": [0.017, 0.0146, 0.0134, -0.003, -0.0026, -0.0015, -0.0109, -0.0155, -0.035, -0.0291, -0.0189, -0.0048, -0.0042, -0.0127, -0.01, 0.0167, 0.0153, -0.0447, 0.0497, 0.0127, 0.0339, 0.0422, 0.028, 0.0278, 0.0084, 0.0014, 0.0132, 0.0421, 0.0654, 0.0976, 0.1359, 0.1079, 0.0878, 0.0669, 0.0357, 0.0564, 0.0464, 0.0283, 0.0547, 0.0358, 0.0453, 0.0005, 0.0078, 0.0084, 0.002, 0.043, 0.0206, 0.0011, 0.1123, 0.1331, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1858, 0.1362, 0.1229, 0.1201, 0.1213, 0.1484, 0.1804, 0.1956, 0.2153, 0.1959, 0.0592, 0.0, 0.0044, -0.0406, -0.0292, 0.0016, 0.0067, 0.03, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0382, 0.0302, 0.0315, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0249, 0.0126, 0.0136, 0.0128, -0.0197, 0.0171, 0.0385, 0.0456, 0.0021, 0.0114, 0.037, 0.037, -0.0193, -0.0305, -0.0403, -0.0563, -0.0422, -0.0188, -0.0175, -0.0249, -0.0232, -0.0237, -0.0555, -0.0917, -0.0845, -0.0184, 0.0141, 0.0038, 0.0106, -0.0236, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0195, -0.0167, -0.0152, -0.0192, -0.026, -0.0403, -0.0202, -0.0515, -0.0578, -0.06, -0.0747, -0.0638, -0.0188, -0.0256, 0.0194, 0.0101, 0.0071, -0.0094, -0.0501, -0.042, -0.0526, -0.0685, -0.057, -0.0845, -0.0471, -0.0596, -0.058, -0.0858, -0.1116, -0.1331, -0.0855, -0.0738, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.071, -0.0132, 0.036, 0.0486, 0.0978, 0.122, 0.1251, 0.1722, 0.1773, 0.2012, 0.1808, 0.1883, 0.2488, 0.2408, 0.2491, 0.2356, 0.1814, 0.198, 0.2334, 0.2447, 0.2306, 0.2627, 0.257, 0.219, 0.2705, 0.2659, 0.2389, 0.2315, 0.2994, 0.2563, 0.243, 0.2146, 0.2343, 0.2249, 0.2236, 0.2236, 0.2469, 0.2464, 0.2604, 0.32, 0.359, 0.4229, 0.416, 0.2377, 0.1397, 0.1718, 0.1587]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2000661299588743275", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-15T20:16:38+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LULU long still working.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding AVGO short and LULU long; both positions actively working.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Freaken awesome $AVGO short set up. \nAnd $LULU long still working. 🫢", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LULU Long $AVGO Short\n\nFrom my pre $AVGO earnings AND again pre-market Friday... where to chase short AVGO &amp; where to cover. Down -12% but even the trigger of 374 to 359 made for a 10X return in Fri's $360P! $LULU also solid pre-earnings play. https://t.co/fzDIDqGz97", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0063987207736189156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0063987207736189156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007911815183224702, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0020627521490258482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008461472922644764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0021814543684970378, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021814543684970378, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004913829670876391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000538543388737045, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016429109797599928, "ret_p1w": 0.02947308172443175, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02947308172443175, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020477415880623795, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02247040099006581, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00700268073436594, "ret_p1m": 0.027194729715126043, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027194729715126043, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0050273587096563155, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004799692842915482, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02239503687221056, "ret_p3m": -0.23316686417265942, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23316686417265942, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2145076265581648, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15110821472363778, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08205864944902164, "ret_p6m": -0.4117019508453802, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4117019508453802, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5006016942602961, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36736487477008806, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04433707607529214, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027194729715126043, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0050273587096563155, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004799692842915482, "price_path": [-0.2075, -0.1771, -0.1778, -0.1594, -0.1598, -0.1312, -0.1662, -0.1454, -0.1318, -0.1375, -0.1392, -0.1362, -0.1488, -0.1559, -0.1606, -0.1526, -0.159, -0.188, -0.1766, -0.1801, -0.19, -0.202, -0.1885, -0.1641, -0.1207, -0.1357, -0.132, -0.1363, -0.1207, -0.1275, -0.1745, -0.1855, -0.1733, -0.1979, -0.2212, -0.1876, -0.2072, -0.1947, -0.1742, -0.1768, -0.1716, -0.1776, -0.1726, -0.2042, -0.2051, -0.195, -0.2017, -0.1847, -0.1775, -0.1395, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1072, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1163, -0.11, -0.0789, -0.1127, -0.1164, -0.0905, -0.0935, -0.0064, 0.0, 0.0022, 0.0077, 0.0428, 0.0153, 0.0295, 0.031, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.013, 0.0303, 0.0212, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0219, 0.0296, 0.0465, 0.0263, 0.0285, -0.0116, 0.0133, 0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0062, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.085, -0.0797, -0.0564, -0.0738, -0.0654, -0.0965, -0.1257, -0.1636, -0.1541, -0.1319, -0.1683, -0.1371, -0.1755, -0.1621, -0.1484, -0.1244, -0.1475, -0.1782, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1385, -0.1171, -0.1135, -0.0921, -0.1366, -0.1299, -0.1151, -0.0979, -0.1024, -0.146, -0.1552, -0.1604, -0.1605, -0.1753, -0.1771, -0.1932, -0.2109, -0.2332, -0.2352, -0.2248, -0.2279, -0.1983, -0.1974, -0.2107, -0.2032, -0.2198, -0.2306, -0.2661, -0.293, -0.2931, -0.2578, -0.2302, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2429, -0.2551, -0.2299, -0.1928, -0.2057, -0.212, -0.2215, -0.2111, -0.2102, -0.1891, -0.1914, -0.1919, -0.2077, -0.3133, -0.3029, -0.2877, -0.3098, -0.3303, -0.3325, -0.3525, -0.3748, -0.3688, -0.3599, -0.3524, -0.3641, -0.3876, -0.3934, -0.4124, -0.4132, -0.4225, -0.417, -0.4221, -0.3931, -0.3855, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.3827, -0.3648, -0.3634, -0.3641, -0.3597, -0.3869, -0.3891, -0.3944, -0.4463, -0.4302, -0.4117]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996370044515971286", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T00:04:44+00:00", "symbol": "CSCO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the one that has yet to hit my price target is CSCO with 82. Not if just when.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CSCO with $82 price target; still active swing long, expects target will be hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["CSCO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"CSCO - of my 3 top swing longs from past few months (GOOGL, AAPL, CSCO) - even during the pullbacks last month - the one that has yet to hit my price target is CSCO with 82. Not if just when.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00012862886882070157, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00012862886882070157, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006018868893321594, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006018868893321594, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000730515758152861, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000730515758152861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002700611200351366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002700611200351366, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008011263560354642, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0008011263560354642, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018994848443159018, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018994848443159018, "ret_p1w": 0.01941859552944769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01941859552944769, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012434275001721007, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012434275001721007, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006984320527726684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006984320527726684, "ret_p1m": -0.01688667955335532, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01688667955335532, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01805367038414163, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01805367038414163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0011669908307863075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0011669908307863075, "ret_p3m": 0.02086564551014347, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02086564551014347, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023860454388193952, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.023860454388193952, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002994808878050481, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002994808878050481, "ret_p6m": 0.5653339942298499, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5653339942298499, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.453705539364196, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.453705539364196, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162845486565387, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11162845486565387, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01688667955335532, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01805367038414163, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01805367038414163, "price_path": [-0.1451, -0.1392, -0.1291, -0.1347, -0.1496, -0.1433, -0.1444, -0.1343, -0.1221, -0.1281, -0.134, -0.1366, -0.1395, -0.1327, -0.1407, -0.1343, -0.1254, -0.1212, -0.1268, -0.1265, -0.1138, -0.1128, -0.0956, -0.1003, -0.1263, -0.1325, -0.117, -0.106, -0.1115, -0.0981, -0.0914, -0.0905, -0.0913, -0.0963, -0.0917, -0.0819, -0.0661, -0.0827, -0.0624, -0.0598, -0.0426, -0.07, -0.0728, -0.0864, -0.086, -0.0729, -0.0778, -0.0489, -0.0049, 0.0031, 0.0003, -0.005, 0.0081, -0.0298, -0.0213, -0.0195, -0.0185, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0105, -0.0221, -0.0114, -0.0001, 0.0, 0.0027, 0.0141, 0.0225, 0.032, 0.0194, 0.0005, 0.0063, -0.0027, -0.0226, -0.0104, 0.0085, 0.0045, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0051, 0.0004, -0.0045, -0.0094, -0.0094, -0.0169, -0.0228, -0.0274, -0.034, -0.0438, -0.0448, -0.0431, -0.0243, -0.038, -0.0271, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0517, -0.0473, -0.039, -0.0356, -0.0043, 0.0172, 0.0209, 0.014, 0.0126, 0.0426, 0.0745, 0.0493, 0.0648, 0.0966, 0.122, 0.1156, 0.1059, -0.0303, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0108, 0.0157, 0.024, 0.0051, 0.0103, 0.0229, 0.0097, 0.0273, 0.0268, 0.0209, 0.0456, 0.0344, 0.0167, -0.0147, 0.0046, 0.0097, 0.0051, 0.0127, 0.0201, 0.0249, 0.0033, 0.015, 0.0039, 0.0191, 0.0454, 0.058, 0.0622, 0.0333, -0.004, 0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0456, 0.0488, 0.088, 0.0811, 0.0688, 0.0705, 0.0738, 0.0706, 0.0984, 0.1212, 0.1401, 0.166, 0.1673, 0.1516, 0.157, 0.1473, 0.1291, 0.1643, 0.1894, 0.194, 0.2041, 0.2258, 0.1912, 0.198, 0.2553, 0.2833, 0.2907, 0.3242, 0.5018, 0.5366, 0.5453, 0.4998, 0.4864, 0.5365, 0.5652, 0.5652, 0.5382, 0.5556, 0.5422, 0.5653]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984239410573963271", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T12:41:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAPL - $285 is monthly resistance and 12.75 Fib level for taget higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "AAPL targeting $285 monthly resistance; AMZN still has $264.78 upside target after ATH spike.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“For tonight, given AAPL & AMZN reported, here’s what you had in advance: )\n\n•AAPL - $285 is monthly resistance and 12.75 Fib level for taget higher. Well… Apple just hit 284.99 afterhours. That is called CLOSE ENOUGH. If you are long using calls, and you are worred about weakness before the open Friday, a tactic that I like is to SELL SHORT the stock here to lock in those gains. \n\n•AMZN - In my Live Trading Room this morning I expected they would crush it & be in ATH territory. My AI transcript notes lack the same enthusiasm, but Amazon did spike 14% afterhours! I still have 264.78 as upside price target.: \n
“Amazon, seen as the “slowest performer” in the AI arms race, is considered a potential surprise that could “outperform” and reach all-time highs if it demonstrates innovation and scale.”
\nAll from yesterday morning 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0038096143637040836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038096143637040836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007079021545789099, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004774039336000735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009644249722966514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004882115436205092, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004882115436205092, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006758765083788587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008972881301179125, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004090765864974033, "ret_p1w": -0.00702734396665794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00702734396665794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009232261129376584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034611673679591504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04163901764624944, "ret_p1m": 0.0480987583889958, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0480987583889958, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05072312646676935, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09575739184481258, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04765863345581678, "ret_p3m": -0.05060246828056858, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05060246828056858, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07320292777506321, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044724727567179046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005877740713389534, "ret_p6m": -0.008321702780805684, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.008321702780805684, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0628362140854114, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07931746647592519, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07099576369511951, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.00702734396665794, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.009232261129376584, "alpha_c_stated": 0.034611673679591504, "price_path": [-0.2503, -0.2122, -0.1871, -0.1527, -0.1597, -0.1506, -0.137, -0.139, -0.1434, -0.146, -0.1472, -0.1641, -0.1682, -0.1576, -0.1598, -0.1519, -0.1475, -0.1398, -0.1414, -0.1414, -0.1503, -0.118, -0.1131, -0.1135, -0.1202, -0.1332, -0.1612, -0.1492, -0.1343, -0.1245, -0.1192, -0.1161, -0.1202, -0.092, -0.0529, -0.059, -0.0668, -0.0499, -0.0551, -0.059, -0.0582, -0.0552, -0.049, -0.0457, -0.0506, -0.0514, -0.0455, -0.0604, -0.0928, -0.084, -0.0836, -0.0778, -0.0848, -0.0669, -0.0301, -0.0281, -0.0441, -0.0399, -0.0279, -0.0058, -0.0051, -0.0025, 0.0038, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0012, -0.0009, -0.0022, -0.007, -0.0025, 0.019, 0.0124, 0.0105, 0.0085, -0.0098, -0.0099, -0.0057, -0.0143, 0.0051, 0.0215, 0.0254, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0324, 0.0481, 0.0595, 0.052, 0.0392, 0.0321, 0.0288, 0.0262, 0.0321, 0.0293, 0.0303, 0.0148, 0.0167, 0.0064, 0.0077, 0.0132, 0.0032, 0.0083, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0122, 0.0135, 0.011, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0033, -0.0105, -0.0287, -0.0362, -0.041, -0.0398, -0.0365, -0.0335, -0.0376, -0.044, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0867, -0.0831, -0.0806, -0.0817, -0.0544, -0.0438, -0.0506, -0.0438, -0.0393, -0.0004, -0.0023, 0.0236, 0.0215, 0.0297, 0.0177, 0.0142, 0.0209, -0.0301, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0221, -0.0204, -0.0344, -0.0195, -0.0136, 0.0085, 0.0162, 0.0115, -0.021, -0.019, -0.0226, -0.0272, -0.0354, -0.0459, -0.037, -0.0334, -0.0335, -0.0522, -0.0731, -0.0631, -0.0579, -0.0738, -0.0774, -0.081, -0.0681, -0.0675, -0.0639, -0.0629, -0.078, -0.0861, -0.0595, -0.0527, -0.0516, -0.0516, -0.0407, -0.0606, -0.0406, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0395, -0.0409, -0.0127, -0.0239, 0.0014, 0.0118, -0.0137, 0.0123, 0.0132, 0.0045, -0.0083]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984239410573963271", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-31T12:41:55+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still have 264.78 as upside price target", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "AAPL targeting $285 monthly resistance; AMZN still has $264.78 upside target after ATH spike.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“For tonight, given AAPL & AMZN reported, here’s what you had in advance: )\n\n•AAPL - $285 is monthly resistance and 12.75 Fib level for taget higher. Well… Apple just hit 284.99 afterhours. That is called CLOSE ENOUGH. If you are long using calls, and you are worred about weakness before the open Friday, a tactic that I like is to SELL SHORT the stock here to lock in those gains. \n\n•AMZN - In my Live Trading Room this morning I expected they would crush it & be in ATH territory. My AI transcript notes lack the same enthusiasm, but Amazon did spike 14% afterhours! I still have 264.78 as upside price target.: \n
“Amazon, seen as the “slowest performer” in the AI arms race, is considered a potential surprise that could “outperform” and reach all-time highs if it demonstrates innovation and scale.”
\nAll from yesterday morning 👇", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08746212637616191, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08746212637616191, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08419271919407689, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06170467928779422, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694071820850157, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02575744708836769, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04004585509136338, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04004585509136338, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038169205443779886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03066807558251705, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766496475834948, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009377779508846329, "ret_p1w": 0.0007779970537078462, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007779970537078462, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01703760214974237, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017741197873042402, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259605096034524, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016963200819334556, "ret_p1m": -0.04233885957827965, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04233885957827965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0397144915005061, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028459911917488756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026243680777735534, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013878947660790897, "ret_p3m": -0.004954576643268815, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.004954576643268815, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027555036137763445, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02201227677269446, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260045949449463, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017057700129425646, "ret_p6m": 0.06919987639018865, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06919987639018865, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.014685365085582935, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08298949666258926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451451130460572, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013789620272400605, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0007779970537078462, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01703760214974237, "alpha_c_stated": 0.017741197873042402, "price_path": [-0.1248, -0.0897, -0.0864, -0.0882, -0.0938, -0.0932, -0.0805, -0.0542, -0.054, -0.0521, -0.0664, -0.0836, -0.0912, -0.063, -0.0667, -0.0635, -0.0618, -0.0517, -0.0623, -0.0623, -0.0773, -0.0746, -0.035, -0.0487, -0.0343, -0.0245, -0.0569, -0.0584, -0.0658, -0.0524, -0.0416, -0.0516, -0.0532, -0.0522, -0.0679, -0.0963, -0.0983, -0.1067, -0.1001, -0.0903, -0.1009, -0.0966, -0.0893, -0.1012, -0.0955, -0.0919, -0.0778, -0.0675, -0.114, -0.0989, -0.114, -0.1173, -0.1218, -0.1277, -0.1136, -0.0909, -0.1076, -0.0947, -0.0819, -0.0706, -0.0613, -0.057, -0.0875, 0.0, 0.04, 0.0209, 0.0245, -0.0048, 0.0008, 0.0171, 0.02, -0.0001, -0.0272, -0.039, -0.0465, -0.0887, -0.0882, -0.1109, -0.0963, -0.0735, -0.0596, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.045, -0.0423, -0.0401, -0.0485, -0.0619, -0.0602, -0.071, -0.0667, -0.0509, -0.0571, -0.0738, -0.0888, -0.0887, -0.094, -0.0715, -0.0691, -0.0647, -0.0495, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0479, -0.0498, -0.0479, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0726, -0.0457, -0.0135, -0.0109, 0.0085, 0.0129, 0.0092, -0.0066, -0.031, -0.0247, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0541, -0.0529, -0.0405, -0.0207, -0.0237, 0.0019, -0.005, -0.0102, -0.0201, -0.0052, -0.0229, -0.046, -0.0882, -0.1388, -0.1454, -0.1526, -0.1644, -0.1827, -0.186, -0.186, -0.1764, -0.1615, -0.1612, -0.1397, -0.1595, -0.146, -0.1375, -0.1486, -0.1401, -0.1467, -0.1453, -0.1122, -0.1035, -0.127, -0.1258, -0.1224, -0.1293, -0.142, -0.1497, -0.133, -0.1188, -0.1407, -0.1452, -0.1591, -0.1395, -0.1514, -0.1331, -0.1502, -0.1838, -0.1772, -0.1472, -0.1378, -0.1411, -0.1411, -0.1287, -0.1247, -0.0941, -0.0433, -0.0239, -0.0177, 0.0197, 0.0175, 0.0224, 0.026, 0.0166, 0.0233, 0.0456, 0.0445, 0.081, 0.0692]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000309263366041704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T20:57:46+00:00", "symbol": "DOW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DOW & $LYB are close but only for a chase (few wks)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "DOW and LYB near a bottom, tradeable chase over a few weeks despite significant damage.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Chemicals", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SLawohio $DOW &amp; $LYB are close but only for a chase (few wks). Much distruction. But yes, I track each week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc You seeing any signs of bottoming in some of the chemical names", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SLawohio", "ret_m1d": 0.022174821153432278, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022174821153432278, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020661726743826492, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02150986714878722, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02601284451279051, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02601284451279051, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02328046921041116, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023353284574058497, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": -0.0012793134074257084, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0012793134074257084, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010274979251233662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018693938093386486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.13219618987744508, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13219618987744508, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11002881887197535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.046612256122228635, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.6215400529101014, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6215400529101014, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.640199290524596, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5147924854979351, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.4479859085972637, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4479859085972637, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3590861651823478, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3119259906930485, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13219618987744508, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11002881887197535, "alpha_c_stated": 0.046612256122228635, "price_path": [0.0312, 0.0131, -0.013, -0.0264, -0.0394, -0.0281, -0.0672, -0.0352, -0.0382, -0.0365, -0.0314, -0.0046, 0.0009, -0.0159, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0722, -0.1323, -0.0999, -0.0789, -0.0672, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0911, -0.0861, -0.0882, 0.0299, 0.0425, 0.0812, 0.0665, 0.0446, 0.0001, 0.0022, -0.0239, -0.0508, -0.0432, -0.0663, -0.0634, -0.0714, -0.0625, -0.068, -0.0289, -0.0365, -0.0894, -0.0819, -0.1046, -0.1197, -0.0672, -0.0533, -0.0251, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0171, 0.0166, 0.0175, 0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0209, -0.0252, -0.0145, 0.0486, 0.0482, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.026, -0.0162, -0.0175, -0.0081, -0.0013, -0.0235, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0068, -0.0043, 0.0026, -0.003, -0.003, 0.035, 0.0618, 0.0883, 0.0576, 0.1053, 0.1228, 0.1301, 0.1322, 0.2051, 0.1915, 0.1757, 0.1757, 0.1335, 0.2115, 0.2081, 0.2047, 0.2017, 0.1859, 0.1846, 0.1582, 0.1748, 0.2316, 0.3002, 0.3817, 0.3049, 0.3552, 0.368, 0.4328, 0.4499, 0.3923, 0.3855, 0.3855, 0.3399, 0.3467, 0.3386, 0.3015, 0.2921, 0.3241, 0.2802, 0.2751, 0.326, 0.3204, 0.3264, 0.3954, 0.455, 0.436, 0.4804, 0.4623, 0.483, 0.6215, 0.5801, 0.5534, 0.5926, 0.6263, 0.6177, 0.5814, 0.5551, 0.653, 0.7096, 0.7031, 0.7613, 0.8066, 0.7972, 0.7557, 0.7864, 0.7864, 0.7501, 0.7868, 0.6949, 0.6414, 0.6832, 0.7307, 0.6897, 0.6759, 0.7225, 0.5361, 0.5866, 0.653, 0.6746, 0.6625, 0.6681, 0.644, 0.6401, 0.7065, 0.7471, 0.7385, 0.751, 0.7605, 0.6612, 0.6103, 0.5909, 0.6725, 0.7014, 0.6759, 0.6733, 0.672, 0.6638, 0.6284, 0.565, 0.5495, 0.5538, 0.5538, 0.5223, 0.4882, 0.5003, 0.4711, 0.5121, 0.5134, 0.543, 0.5164, 0.4807, 0.4907, 0.448]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000309263366041704", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-14T20:57:46+00:00", "symbol": "LYB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DOW & $LYB are close but only for a chase (few wks)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "DOW and LYB near a bottom, tradeable chase over a few weeks despite significant damage.", "resolved_tickers": ["LYB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SLawohio $DOW &amp; $LYB are close but only for a chase (few wks). Much distruction. But yes, I track each week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc You seeing any signs of bottoming in some of the chemical names", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SLawohio", "ret_m1d": 0.02422704689533295, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02422704689533295, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022713952485727162, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02356209289068789, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006649540046450575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008306369783156131, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008306369783156131, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005573994480776778, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005646809844424117, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026595599387320146, "ret_p1w": 0.0059990148372139895, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0059990148372139895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0029966510065939644, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011415609848746788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017414624685960778, "ret_p1m": 0.12298106442230061, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12298106442230061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10081369341683089, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.037397130667084166, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08558393375521645, "ret_p3m": 0.7358670908819871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7358670908819871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7545263284964817, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6291195234698208, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10674756741216629, "ret_p6m": 0.5017650833247516, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5017650833247516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41286533990983565, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3657051654205363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13605991790421523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12298106442230061, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10081369341683089, "alpha_c_stated": 0.037397130667084166, "price_path": [0.2004, 0.1817, 0.1665, 0.1461, 0.1297, 0.1521, 0.0985, 0.1091, 0.1008, 0.0999, 0.086, 0.1064, 0.1095, 0.0918, 0.1019, 0.092, 0.0691, 0.0072, 0.0377, 0.0465, 0.0487, 0.0286, 0.036, 0.0232, 0.014, 0.0138, 0.0499, 0.0674, 0.101, 0.0678, 0.0476, 0.0138, 0.0411, 0.0377, -0.0033, -0.0138, -0.0495, -0.0351, -0.0407, -0.0172, -0.0286, 0.0209, 0.016, -0.023, -0.019, -0.041, -0.0457, 0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0543, 0.086, 0.086, 0.0988, 0.1057, 0.1024, 0.0621, -0.0042, 0.0002, -0.0245, -0.0129, 0.0436, 0.0408, 0.0242, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0097, -0.0065, -0.0058, 0.006, -0.0159, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0021, 0.0025, 0.0074, -0.0009, -0.0009, 0.0242, 0.0519, 0.066, 0.0362, 0.0992, 0.1239, 0.1121, 0.123, 0.1998, 0.174, 0.1747, 0.1747, 0.1274, 0.1957, 0.1892, 0.1765, 0.1735, 0.1636, 0.1645, 0.1525, 0.1306, 0.1594, 0.2333, 0.3175, 0.2432, 0.2713, 0.2799, 0.3304, 0.3722, 0.3332, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.2916, 0.2914, 0.2766, 0.3076, 0.3073, 0.3456, 0.3094, 0.299, 0.3272, 0.3517, 0.3594, 0.446, 0.5385, 0.5673, 0.5605, 0.5322, 0.5733, 0.7359, 0.6885, 0.66, 0.6628, 0.7562, 0.7415, 0.7123, 0.6691, 0.7751, 0.8027, 0.815, 0.8788, 0.9239, 0.8814, 0.7914, 0.8589, 0.8589, 0.8361, 0.8744, 0.7333, 0.6878, 0.7216, 0.7634, 0.7106, 0.7078, 0.7583, 0.5476, 0.6016, 0.6679, 0.6815, 0.6516, 0.6317, 0.6586, 0.6693, 0.7116, 0.7422, 0.7513, 0.7758, 0.816, 0.716, 0.67, 0.6758, 0.7172, 0.7354, 0.7221, 0.7111, 0.7529, 0.7312, 0.7057, 0.6651, 0.6366, 0.6282, 0.6282, 0.6116, 0.5803, 0.5962, 0.5565, 0.5844, 0.5884, 0.5881, 0.5617, 0.5221, 0.5204, 0.5018]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012625066450718904", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T20:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "FSLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reaffirms long solar / short oil pair trade through 2025–2026, naming FSLR, TAN, FLNC, TE as the long legs.", "resolved_tickers": ["FSLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Solar", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chamath pitching a SOLAR ROTATION of size was not on my bingo card…\n\nMy Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥\n\n$FSLR $TAN $FLNC $TE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The next shoe to drop?\n\nA $500B Tax Equity Fund can pay the electricity costs of all US homeowners forever by paying for each home to get solar + storage. \n\nIf this happens, it will be historic.\n\nThe OBBBA already has the tax law codified to enable the Mag7 to do this right now.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006691153248951087, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006691153248951087, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014088657208301214, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014088657208301214, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006649872398053702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006649872398053702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004891236883607597, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004891236883607597, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.029160288880243357, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029160288880243357, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05559256783593436, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05559256783593436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.014621425291018952, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014621425291018952, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027475971236217922, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027475971236217922, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.2134153815979799, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2134153815979799, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26433106537560624, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26433106537560624, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0541, -0.0029, 0.023, -0.0104, -0.0017, -0.0352, 0.1026, 0.0975, 0.085, 0.1457, 0.1234, 0.1054, 0.1261, 0.091, 0.105, 0.0598, 0.0453, 0.0472, 0.0416, 0.0403, 0.0154, 0.0322, 0.0733, 0.0754, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1273, 0.0885, 0.0845, 0.0576, 0.0627, 0.064, 0.0569, 0.0467, 0.0831, 0.1269, 0.0524, 0.0569, 0.0677, 0.0492, 0.0813, 0.1027, 0.1755, 0.1127, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1139, 0.108, 0.0917, 0.079, 0.079, 0.1331, 0.1235, 0.1102, -0.0041, 0.0171, -0.0142, -0.0177, -0.0031, -0.0234, 0.0063, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0, 0.0066, -0.01, 0.0002, 0.0036, -0.0292, 0.0302, -0.0748, -0.0685, -0.0477, -0.0127, -0.0167, -0.032, -0.0966, -0.0825, -0.0655, -0.0594, -0.0895, -0.068, -0.068, -0.0663, -0.0146, -0.0364, -0.0009, 0.0002, 0.0045, -0.1321, -0.1735, -0.1855, -0.1745, -0.1841, -0.1852, -0.2078, -0.2185, -0.193, -0.183, -0.1729, -0.184, -0.1902, -0.1761, -0.1722, -0.183, -0.1754, -0.2036, -0.2156, -0.2035, -0.2007, -0.2325, -0.214, -0.2371, -0.1852, -0.1763, -0.1933, -0.1933, -0.1922, -0.2057, -0.1707, -0.1853, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1714, -0.1938, -0.2084, -0.2134, -0.2049, -0.2292, -0.2206, -0.1897, -0.1997, -0.1843, -0.191, -0.2127, -0.1661, -0.1256, -0.1269, -0.0939, -0.0996, -0.1137, -0.0915, -0.0365, -0.058, -0.031, -0.0433, -0.0361, -0.035, -0.0843, -0.0176, 0.028, 0.065, 0.065, 0.115, 0.1304, 0.2531, 0.2672, 0.2515, 0.2846, 0.3145, 0.3009, 0.1524, 0.1375, 0.0829, 0.0296, 0.12, 0.1041, 0.1297, 0.0919, 0.0524, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.0644, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012625066450718904", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T20:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "TAN", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reaffirms long solar / short oil pair trade through 2025–2026, naming FSLR, TAN, FLNC, TE as the long legs.", "resolved_tickers": ["TAN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chamath pitching a SOLAR ROTATION of size was not on my bingo card…\n\nMy Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥\n\n$FSLR $TAN $FLNC $TE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The next shoe to drop?\n\nA $500B Tax Equity Fund can pay the electricity costs of all US homeowners forever by paying for each home to get solar + storage. \n\nIf this happens, it will be historic.\n\nThe OBBBA already has the tax law codified to enable the Mag7 to do this right now.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007574274168484552, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007574274168484552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01320553628876775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01320553628876775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014760114522408996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014760114522408996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032190052407476966, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0032190052407476966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.08875508925717135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08875508925717135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06232281030148035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06232281030148035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.1736259144549166, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736259144549166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16077136850971763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16077136850971763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.07069332435408904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07069332435408904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019777640576462696, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019777640576462696, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0963, -0.0658, -0.0501, -0.059, -0.0561, -0.073, -0.046, -0.0456, -0.0691, -0.0041, -0.0243, -0.0214, 0.0266, 0.007, -0.0179, -0.0585, -0.0385, -0.053, -0.0635, -0.0752, -0.1132, -0.1078, -0.0977, -0.0856, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0501, -0.0748, -0.075, -0.0798, -0.067, -0.0738, -0.0757, -0.0781, -0.0526, -0.0437, -0.0709, -0.0761, -0.0719, -0.0823, -0.0614, -0.0486, -0.0017, -0.0212, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0128, -0.0264, -0.0381, -0.046, -0.046, 0.0021, -0.0072, 0.0004, -0.0198, -0.0212, -0.0231, 0.0126, 0.0136, 0.0, 0.0093, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0491, 0.0726, 0.0703, 0.0888, 0.114, 0.0827, 0.0458, 0.0427, 0.0796, 0.1284, 0.0843, 0.1214, 0.1404, 0.1379, 0.1338, 0.1043, 0.1249, 0.1249, 0.1627, 0.1736, 0.1365, 0.1608, 0.167, 0.1756, 0.1519, 0.1183, 0.0682, 0.0946, 0.0579, 0.0656, 0.0505, 0.0348, 0.0507, 0.0662, 0.0823, 0.0633, 0.0755, 0.1022, 0.1214, 0.0989, 0.106, 0.0711, 0.068, 0.0765, 0.1068, 0.0726, 0.0588, 0.0272, 0.082, 0.0928, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0519, 0.0385, 0.0775, 0.0627, 0.0726, 0.0662, 0.0726, 0.0744, 0.0583, 0.0707, 0.0789, 0.062, 0.1076, 0.1381, 0.1326, 0.1398, 0.1191, 0.0899, 0.1344, 0.1511, 0.1338, 0.1791, 0.1744, 0.1606, 0.203, 0.2245, 0.1973, 0.2393, 0.2614, 0.2616, 0.216, 0.1841, 0.222, 0.2597, 0.2808, 0.2808, 0.3393, 0.3694, 0.397, 0.4358, 0.3814, 0.4036, 0.3651, 0.368, 0.2439, 0.2348, 0.2008, 0.149, 0.2099, 0.2241, 0.2177, 0.1765, 0.1352, 0.1765, 0.1765, 0.1765, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:2012625066450718904", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-17T20:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reaffirms long solar / short oil pair trade through 2025–2026, naming FSLR, TAN, FLNC, TE as the long legs.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chamath pitching a SOLAR ROTATION of size was not on my bingo card…\n\nMy Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥\n\n$FSLR $TAN $FLNC $TE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The next shoe to drop?\n\nA $500B Tax Equity Fund can pay the electricity costs of all US homeowners forever by paying for each home to get solar + storage. \n\nIf this happens, it will be historic.\n\nThe OBBBA already has the tax law codified to enable the Mag7 to do this right now.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013284983118927451, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013284983118927451, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03406479357617975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03389277722681827, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.055555504365306096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.055555504365306096, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0670966136469674, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07286117823877925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": 0.10144929706253336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10144929706253336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07501701810684236, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0920932273510231, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.21980673351678126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21980673351678126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23266127946198023, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.29019129999256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.3925120323641138, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3925120323641138, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44342771614174015, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.45652188800934046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.5519, -0.5809, -0.5374, -0.5531, -0.5652, -0.5604, -0.5507, -0.587, -0.5556, -0.506, -0.5556, -0.5399, -0.4565, -0.4674, -0.535, -0.5785, -0.5942, -0.6159, -0.6304, -0.651, -0.6715, -0.6715, -0.6208, -0.6027, -0.5362, -0.5362, -0.5024, -0.4601, -0.4275, -0.4541, -0.3829, -0.2959, -0.2729, -0.1872, -0.2572, -0.2911, -0.3539, -0.3889, -0.343, -0.3454, -0.2729, -0.2234, -0.1184, -0.1413, -0.1486, -0.1486, -0.1787, -0.2246, -0.215, -0.1932, -0.1932, -0.0531, -0.0097, -0.0761, -0.1208, -0.1775, -0.1618, -0.1292, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.1051, -0.0133, -0.0133, 0.0, -0.0556, 0.0109, 0.0266, -0.0169, 0.1014, 0.1461, 0.0725, 0.006, 0.0459, 0.0978, -0.0664, -0.122, -0.0012, -0.0773, -0.093, -0.1727, -0.25, -0.2609, -0.2609, -0.2222, -0.2198, -0.2379, -0.25, -0.2403, -0.1437, -0.128, -0.1196, -0.256, -0.1739, -0.2138, -0.1425, -0.1775, -0.1884, -0.1353, -0.0362, -0.0169, -0.0652, -0.0797, -0.0676, -0.0592, -0.1147, -0.0688, -0.2029, -0.1739, -0.2017, -0.1932, -0.2415, -0.3043, -0.3213, -0.4698, -0.4589, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5109, -0.5254, -0.4964, -0.4952, -0.4336, -0.3829, -0.413, -0.3551, -0.3973, -0.3925, -0.3986, -0.3853, -0.349, -0.349, -0.3611, -0.3587, -0.4082, -0.4094, -0.4203, -0.378, -0.3841, -0.3551, -0.3635, -0.378, -0.256, -0.2705, -0.2935, -0.3225, -0.308, -0.3152, -0.1546, -0.1691, 0.0507, 0.0531, -0.0242, -0.0242, 0.2621, 0.3237, 0.3068, 0.2754, 0.2572, 0.4541, 0.3889, 0.4082, 0.1389, 0.1027, 0.0217, -0.0664, 0.0229, 0.0266, 0.0773, 0.0423, 0.0918, 0.1292, 0.1292, 0.1292, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012625066450718904", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-17T20:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reaffirms long solar / short oil pair trade through 2025–2026, naming FSLR, TAN, FLNC, TE as the long legs.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chamath pitching a SOLAR ROTATION of size was not on my bingo card…\n\nMy Long Solar, Short Oil call for all 2025/2026 is still 🔥\n\n$FSLR $TAN $FLNC $TE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The next shoe to drop?\n\nA $500B Tax Equity Fund can pay the electricity costs of all US homeowners forever by paying for each home to get solar + storage. \n\nIf this happens, it will be historic.\n\nThe OBBBA already has the tax law codified to enable the Mag7 to do this right now.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029223362467158953, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029223362467158953, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023702146703968197, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02059554293026089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02059554293026089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009054433648599591, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.05288064318789343, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05288064318789343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026448364232202426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.10492625732654393, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10492625732654393, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09207171138134496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.6148065673521796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6148065673521796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5638908835745533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0199, 0.0184, 0.0175, -0.0065, -0.0008, -0.0021, 0.0097, 0.0122, 0.001, -0.0116, -0.0136, -0.0083, -0.0025, 0.012, -0.0288, -0.028, -0.0067, -0.0078, 0.0089, -0.0136, -0.0238, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0363, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.011, -0.0111, -0.0231, -0.0167, -0.0065, 0.0008, -0.0191, -0.0278, -0.0184, -0.0363, -0.0424, -0.0552, -0.0792, -0.054, -0.065, -0.0533, -0.0296, -0.0217, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.047, -0.0313, -0.0295, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0404, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0566, -0.0184, -0.015, -0.0029, 0.0225, 0.0104, -0.0102, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0206, -0.0006, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.0529, 0.0662, 0.1013, 0.1066, 0.0483, 0.0781, 0.0838, 0.0672, 0.0714, 0.0857, 0.0859, 0.0978, 0.0629, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0539, 0.1049, 0.1298, 0.1251, 0.1258, 0.1239, 0.1095, 0.1101, 0.1404, 0.2133, 0.2552, 0.2741, 0.3402, 0.5136, 0.4519, 0.4731, 0.5036, 0.6475, 0.6684, 0.6008, 0.6538, 0.6932, 0.6332, 0.6898, 0.5385, 0.5939, 0.5779, 0.6318, 0.7284, 0.8067, 0.7708, 0.7268, 0.9193, 0.9193, 0.9335, 0.9215, 0.7336, 0.7668, 0.737, 0.7878, 0.7235, 0.706, 0.7512, 0.6148, 0.6883, 0.7847, 0.8007, 0.8748, 0.8425, 0.8748, 0.9427, 1.0962, 1.0469, 0.9872, 1.0541, 1.0063, 0.864, 0.8782, 0.859, 0.9296, 1.0081, 0.9766, 0.99, 1.0628, 1.0775, 1.1286, 1.0077, 0.9836, 0.961, 0.961, 0.9065, 0.8234, 0.8199, 0.7964, 0.8856, 0.9102, 0.9602, 0.9029, 0.8511, 0.8807, 0.8272, 0.8689, 0.7928, 0.7455, 0.6868, 0.6069, 0.5896, 0.5985, 0.5985, 0.5985, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "LMT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["LMT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025144127406028005, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025144127406028005, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03008357003844675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02356123844224689, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0090623331552937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0090623331552937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0063391247698134645, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00012974981033209154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": 0.023624913851382212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023624913851382212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03080956576039673, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010902000180635474, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": 0.1130259082633549, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1130259082633549, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12619292611152877, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.061403682277894056, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": 0.08775237595488683, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08775237595488683, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0912089370081629, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033297288251865176, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023624913851382212, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03080956576039673, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010902000180635474, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.1233, -0.1517, -0.1558, -0.1542, -0.1588, -0.1562, -0.1582, -0.1589, -0.1513, -0.1476, -0.1544, -0.1596, -0.1801, -0.1874, -0.2057, -0.2165, -0.2079, -0.208, -0.21, -0.1928, -0.1842, -0.1773, -0.1857, -0.1885, -0.2015, -0.2183, -0.216, -0.213, -0.213, -0.2065, -0.2331, -0.2285, -0.2198, -0.2171, -0.2104, -0.1874, -0.1848, -0.1829, -0.1708, -0.1614, -0.1541, -0.167, -0.171, -0.1791, -0.1721, -0.1556, -0.1574, -0.1518, -0.1518, -0.1566, -0.1464, -0.1479, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1321, -0.1067, -0.0885, -0.1324, -0.0947, -0.052, -0.0375, -0.0251, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.017, 0.017, 0.0059, 0.0236, 0.037, 0.0316, 0.0156, 0.0389, 0.0429, 0.087, 0.1074, 0.1105, 0.097, 0.0525, 0.0637, 0.0888, 0.1145, 0.0993, 0.0978, 0.113, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.1342, 0.1346, 0.1638, 0.1494, 0.1535, 0.1602, 0.1306, 0.1204, 0.1491, 0.1878, 0.1722, 0.1664, 0.1497, 0.1792, 0.1658, 0.1431, 0.14, 0.1459, 0.1339, 0.1325, 0.117, 0.1274, 0.119, 0.1013, 0.0817, 0.071, 0.0957, 0.1012, 0.081, 0.0507, 0.0609, 0.0842, 0.0932, 0.0932, 0.1197, 0.1018, 0.1032, 0.0951, 0.0773, 0.0878, 0.0735, 0.0727, 0.0663, 0.0395, 0.0203, 0.004, -0.025, -0.0701, -0.0987, -0.0989, -0.1008, -0.1051, -0.0908, -0.0999, -0.0905, -0.1067, -0.0973, -0.1006, -0.1109, -0.1008, -0.0855, -0.0873, -0.0865, -0.0942, -0.0726, -0.0756, -0.0827, -0.0823, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0646, -0.0677, -0.057, -0.0689, -0.0874, -0.0929, -0.0953, -0.0829, -0.0746, -0.0811, -0.0634, -0.0724, -0.0306, -0.0453, -0.063, -0.0531, -0.0595, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0972, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "GD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["GD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007377110677772025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007377110677772025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01231655331019077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00579422171399091, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0073496905393457546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0073496905393457546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004626482153865519, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018423924262800373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": 0.0007380727444497026, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007380727444497026, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00792272465346422, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011984840926297036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": -0.0651859119029643, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0651859119029643, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05201889405479043, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11680813788842515, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.060816184812405916, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.060816184812405916, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05735962375912984, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11527127251542757, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0007380727444497026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00792272465346422, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011984840926297036, "price_path": [-0.0952, -0.0787, -0.0692, -0.0758, -0.0669, -0.0416, -0.0334, -0.0528, -0.0615, -0.0583, -0.0577, -0.0659, -0.0616, -0.0631, -0.0702, -0.0537, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0452, -0.0599, -0.0594, -0.0662, -0.0675, -0.0627, -0.0726, -0.0701, -0.0761, -0.0681, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.0666, -0.0919, -0.0825, -0.0763, -0.0664, -0.0784, -0.0819, -0.0867, -0.0649, -0.067, -0.0779, -0.0692, -0.0779, -0.0808, -0.0783, -0.0728, -0.0569, -0.0605, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.065, -0.0697, -0.0725, -0.0802, -0.0802, -0.0617, -0.0285, -0.0145, -0.0556, -0.0398, -0.0331, -0.0138, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0079, 0.0079, -0.0147, 0.0007, 0.0036, -0.0034, -0.0027, 0.0058, -0.0215, -0.0399, -0.0368, -0.0498, -0.0252, -0.0306, -0.0342, -0.0122, -0.0121, -0.0156, -0.0499, -0.0652, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0603, -0.0412, -0.0279, -0.0359, -0.0426, -0.0366, -0.0586, -0.0378, -0.0205, 0.0007, 0.0005, 0.0044, -0.0105, -0.0028, -0.0069, -0.0245, -0.0292, -0.0255, -0.0356, -0.0278, -0.0226, -0.0306, -0.0408, -0.0514, -0.047, -0.0502, -0.033, -0.0253, -0.0487, -0.0651, -0.0584, -0.0384, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.036, -0.0441, -0.0398, -0.0565, -0.0763, -0.0608, -0.0632, -0.066, -0.0769, -0.0731, -0.0846, -0.1028, -0.116, -0.1216, -0.1367, -0.1386, -0.1355, -0.0664, -0.0511, -0.0468, -0.0379, -0.0377, -0.0429, -0.0415, -0.0449, -0.0518, -0.0451, -0.0592, -0.0612, -0.0781, -0.0543, -0.0625, -0.0636, -0.0665, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.0501, -0.0555, -0.0382, -0.0441, -0.0651, -0.0695, -0.0711, -0.0588, -0.0452, -0.0605, -0.0473, -0.06, -0.0109, -0.0072, -0.0091, 0.0035, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0353, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "TXT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["TXT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007114766747826962, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007114766747826962, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012054209380245706, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005531877784045847, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0064776149888310375, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0064776149888310375, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009200823374311273, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01566969795445683, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": 0.022831041715973388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022831041715973388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030015693624987905, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010812804522665, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": 0.048635485324679095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.048635485324679095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06180250317285296, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029867406607817504, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.011040046297046802, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.011040046297046802, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007583485243770727, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06549513400006846, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022831041715973388, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.030015693624987905, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01010812804522665, "price_path": [-0.1362, -0.1252, -0.1186, -0.1233, -0.1563, -0.1377, -0.1457, -0.1512, -0.1508, -0.1568, -0.1421, -0.1509, -0.1532, -0.1478, -0.1461, -0.1291, -0.1288, -0.1247, -0.1243, -0.1353, -0.143, -0.15, -0.1523, -0.153, -0.1557, -0.1365, -0.1253, -0.1197, -0.1184, -0.1184, -0.1171, -0.1294, -0.1249, -0.1114, -0.1173, -0.1138, -0.1038, -0.1093, -0.0965, -0.0779, -0.0743, -0.0662, -0.0833, -0.0715, -0.0659, -0.05, -0.0349, -0.039, -0.035, -0.035, -0.0419, -0.0577, -0.0619, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0756, -0.0549, -0.0435, -0.0594, -0.0261, -0.0036, -0.0095, -0.0071, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0107, 0.0228, 0.0198, 0.0088, 0.005, 0.0006, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.0649, -0.0702, -0.0588, -0.0365, -0.014, 0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0181, 0.033, 0.0486, 0.0416, 0.0416, 0.0587, 0.0646, 0.0516, 0.0701, 0.0492, 0.0512, 0.0262, 0.0474, 0.0476, 0.0691, 0.0465, 0.0546, 0.0237, 0.0084, -0.0003, -0.0176, -0.0096, -0.0279, -0.0329, -0.0243, -0.0282, -0.0536, -0.058, -0.0571, -0.0544, -0.0379, -0.0365, -0.0559, -0.0709, -0.0871, -0.07, -0.0556, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0596, -0.0687, -0.0295, -0.0291, -0.0293, -0.011, -0.0159, -0.0389, -0.0412, -0.027, -0.0281, -0.0357, -0.0498, -0.0401, -0.0657, -0.0602, -0.0638, -0.0464, 0.0192, 0.0061, -0.0341, -0.0268, -0.0113, -0.0272, -0.0333, -0.0264, -0.0354, -0.0294, -0.0277, -0.0571, -0.0378, -0.0634, -0.0492, -0.0415, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0194, -0.0237, -0.0254, -0.0484, -0.0295, -0.0294, -0.0325, -0.0326, -0.0289, -0.0091, -0.0299, -0.0042, -0.0139, -0.004, -0.0041, -0.0153, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0495, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "UPS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Integrated Freight & Logistics'", "bench_c_industry": "Integrated Freight & Logistics", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007634966525106979, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007634966525106979, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012574409157525723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006052077561325864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011359395817896134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011359395817896134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008636187432415898, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002167312852270342, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": 0.010055907821125754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010055907821125754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01724055973014027, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0026670058496209847, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": 0.0993482413532134, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0993482413532134, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11251525920138727, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04772601536775256, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.03684614937839148, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03684614937839148, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033389588325115405, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09130123708141313, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010055907821125754, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01724055973014027, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0026670058496209847, "price_path": [-0.2092, -0.2046, -0.1941, -0.2031, -0.2035, -0.2018, -0.1835, -0.1181, -0.1086, -0.13, -0.1176, -0.1389, -0.1466, -0.1497, -0.1434, -0.1219, -0.1483, -0.1303, -0.1198, -0.1217, -0.1216, -0.123, -0.1357, -0.1396, -0.1539, -0.1186, -0.1289, -0.1197, -0.1092, -0.1092, -0.1081, -0.1134, -0.1101, -0.0856, -0.1177, -0.1167, -0.1103, -0.0971, -0.0723, -0.0644, -0.0603, -0.0682, -0.0679, -0.06, -0.0495, -0.051, -0.0621, -0.0671, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0639, -0.0719, -0.0723, -0.0764, -0.0764, -0.0594, -0.0503, -0.0203, -0.0185, -0.004, 0.0061, 0.0059, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0114, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.008, 0.0101, 0.0177, 0.0054, -0.004, -0.0019, -0.0345, -0.0131, -0.011, 0.0267, 0.0414, 0.087, 0.0852, 0.0926, 0.098, 0.1052, 0.1173, 0.0993, 0.1102, 0.1102, 0.0905, 0.0963, 0.0908, 0.102, 0.0859, 0.0892, 0.0748, 0.1011, 0.0948, 0.0802, 0.069, 0.0432, -0.0175, -0.0336, -0.0565, -0.0472, -0.0484, -0.0758, -0.0823, -0.0805, -0.077, -0.0857, -0.0884, -0.095, -0.0779, -0.0706, -0.0713, -0.0795, -0.105, -0.1036, -0.0712, -0.0756, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0827, -0.0789, -0.0517, -0.0404, -0.0399, -0.0368, -0.0255, -0.0222, -0.0081, 0.0049, 0.0112, 0.0037, -0.0059, 0.017, 0.0104, 0.0219, -0.0187, 0.0065, 0.0272, 0.0156, -0.0908, -0.0741, -0.057, -0.055, -0.0486, -0.0559, -0.0706, -0.0705, -0.0708, -0.066, -0.0829, -0.0704, -0.0509, -0.0568, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.0211, 0.0029, 0.024, 0.0242, 0.0466, 0.0457, 0.0432, 0.0581, 0.042, 0.0339, 0.0355, -0.0087, 0.043, 0.0378, 0.0448, 0.0562, 0.0092, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0067, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011133179697525586, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011133179697525586, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006193737065106841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004899534829282182, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016032714526807768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014945929468472174, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014945929468472174, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01766913785395241, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018626901549264385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003680972080792211, "ret_p1w": -0.0024400842211944607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0024400842211944607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004744567687820056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004512890835192018, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006952975056386479, "ret_p1m": -0.0681714482965794, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0681714482965794, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05500443044840553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01811006541069826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": -0.050061382885881134, "ret_p3m": -0.34124113404355916, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34124113404355916, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3377845729902831, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2749740064299402, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06626712761361897, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0024400842211944607, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004744567687820056, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004512890835192018, "price_path": [0.0209, 0.0247, 0.0359, 0.0468, 0.0559, 0.0473, 0.0394, 0.0218, -0.0097, -0.0165, -0.0212, -0.0506, -0.0721, -0.0588, -0.0621, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.043, -0.0271, 0.0006, -0.0276, -0.0468, -0.053, -0.0507, -0.0691, -0.0483, -0.0615, -0.035, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0206, -0.0027, -0.0098, 0.0012, 0.0018, 0.0044, -0.031, -0.0342, 0.0034, 0.0331, 0.029, 0.0337, 0.0236, 0.0018, 0.0009, -0.1046, -0.1273, -0.1255, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0708, -0.0665, -0.0668, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0349, -0.0159, -0.0034, -0.0358, -0.0047, 0.0053, 0.0011, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.0149, -0.0181, -0.0181, -0.0296, -0.0024, -0.0017, -0.0081, -0.0088, -0.0378, -0.0508, -0.0453, -0.0573, -0.0517, -0.0708, -0.0206, -0.0438, -0.0252, -0.0482, -0.0386, -0.0491, -0.0682, -0.0372, -0.0372, -0.0114, -0.0003, 0.0006, -0.0026, -0.0378, -0.0226, -0.0331, -0.0247, -0.0517, -0.0634, -0.0882, -0.0998, -0.1093, -0.1248, -0.1321, -0.1391, -0.1449, -0.169, -0.1713, -0.1589, -0.1538, -0.1791, -0.1796, -0.196, -0.1908, -0.1788, -0.1866, -0.2006, -0.2114, -0.2134, -0.1891, -0.3148, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.324, -0.3446, -0.3379, -0.3245, -0.3457, -0.3412, -0.3214, -0.3024, -0.2984, -0.2933, -0.2864, -0.2878, -0.2987, -0.3125, -0.3139, -0.307, -0.3087, -0.3185, -0.319, -0.3184, -0.3385, -0.3389, -0.3263, -0.3182, -0.3224, -0.3492, -0.3498, -0.35, -0.3549, -0.3571, -0.3465, -0.3488, -0.3216, -0.3185, -0.3142, -0.3142, -0.3101, -0.2941, -0.2728, -0.2903, -0.2886, -0.3226, -0.3214, -0.3243, -0.3343, -0.3304, -0.3084, -0.3191, -0.2881, -0.3041, -0.2999, -0.3024, -0.3155, -0.2999, -0.2999, -0.2999, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011537287583265029", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "URI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Swing long basket of value stocks (LMT, GD, TXT, UPS, NKE, URI) as they push higher while tech pulls back.", "resolved_tickers": ["URI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Rental & Leasing Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 2)\n\nFrom new blue skies to oversold trend-reversals in process, there are a bunch of great value stocks pushing higher - while tech pulls back - that are working great as profitable swing longs. Join us!\n\n$LMT $GD $TXT $UPS $NKE $URI https://t.co/OjaWwuGHAm\n\n---\n\nDon't forget to sign up on our YouTuber for more great market timing calls like this!\n\nhttps://t.co/RUKcDVohF4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024887116695930578, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024887116695930578, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019947674063511833, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019947674063511833, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939442632418745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010061669178748511, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010061669178748511, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0073384607932682755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0073384607932682755, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002723208385480236, "ret_p1w": 0.024799980113614284, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024799980113614284, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0319846320226288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0319846320226288, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184651909014517, "ret_p1m": -0.050059498782894396, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.050059498782894396, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03689248093472053, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03689248093472053, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013167017848173868, "ret_p3m": -0.14831374675810483, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14831374675810483, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14485718570482875, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14485718570482875, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456561053276075, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024799980113614284, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0319846320226288, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0319846320226288, "price_path": [0.0665, 0.0881, 0.0903, 0.0786, -0.0054, -0.0065, -0.0206, -0.0474, -0.0527, -0.0657, -0.0523, -0.0673, -0.0723, -0.0813, -0.0807, -0.0773, -0.0704, -0.0699, -0.0617, -0.0808, -0.0908, -0.1207, -0.1274, -0.1363, -0.1606, -0.1279, -0.1159, -0.117, -0.1116, -0.1116, -0.1114, -0.1222, -0.127, -0.113, -0.1195, -0.1313, -0.1442, -0.1389, -0.1131, -0.091, -0.108, -0.1165, -0.1076, -0.136, -0.1273, -0.1144, -0.1097, -0.1085, -0.1009, -0.1009, -0.0975, -0.1066, -0.1091, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.0788, -0.0331, -0.0275, -0.0397, 0.0006, 0.0234, 0.034, 0.0249, 0.0, 0.0101, 0.0043, 0.0043, -0.0074, 0.0248, 0.0422, 0.0018, -0.0067, -0.0108, -0.0154, -0.142, -0.1475, -0.1508, -0.1358, -0.0754, -0.0758, -0.0194, -0.0445, -0.0444, -0.0453, -0.0501, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0568, -0.0383, -0.0287, -0.0067, -0.0356, -0.0201, -0.0664, -0.0625, -0.0822, -0.1035, -0.0894, -0.0693, -0.079, -0.1155, -0.1034, -0.1524, -0.1472, -0.1983, -0.1945, -0.1881, -0.186, -0.2076, -0.2134, -0.2238, -0.2002, -0.184, -0.1832, -0.1891, -0.1977, -0.2201, -0.204, -0.2007, -0.2001, -0.2001, -0.1953, -0.1994, -0.1689, -0.1616, -0.1566, -0.1483, -0.1576, -0.1639, -0.1505, -0.1302, -0.1125, -0.1192, -0.1229, 0.0781, 0.0646, 0.0487, 0.0518, 0.0403, 0.0487, 0.0371, 0.0109, 0.0204, 0.0538, 0.0315, 0.0237, 0.025, 0.0442, 0.0239, 0.0652, 0.0523, 0.0341, 0.0156, 0.025, 0.0206, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0542, 0.0819, 0.0821, 0.0901, 0.0924, 0.0891, 0.1568, 0.1875, 0.169, 0.1868, 0.1979, 0.1565, 0.1698, 0.1761, 0.1868, 0.1712, 0.1484, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.1789, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999865917619282109", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-13T15:36:05+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Precious metals are still VERY bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish precious metals with caveat during yen/VIX spikes; author tracks Gold:SPY ratio closely.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Nicolas48963641 Yes indeed. My Gold:SPY ratio has not triggered above 2016 levels however. Trust me: I track closely.\n\nPrecious metals are still VERY bullish - except during yen &amp; VIX spikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @SamanthaLaDuc the ratio gold vs sp500 looking very very bullish for gold for the next years", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nicolas48963641", "ret_m1d": -0.0009095132962733121, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009095132962733121, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024226077058790985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0024226077058790985, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00022745542760316262, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00022745542760316262, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0029598307299825155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029598307299825155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": 0.03140480944092694, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03140480944092694, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022409143597118986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022409143597118986, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "ret_p1m": 0.0652602776313238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0652602776313238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04309290662585408, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04309290662585408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": 0.1795856980344921, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1795856980344921, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1982449356489867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1982449356489867, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": -0.012683145953752972, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.012683145953752972, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10158288936866888, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10158288936866888, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0652602776313238, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04309290662585408, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04309290662585408, "price_path": [-0.1486, -0.152, -0.1431, -0.1282, -0.1247, -0.1326, -0.129, -0.124, -0.1095, -0.1019, -0.1005, -0.1036, -0.0964, -0.0794, -0.0746, -0.0594, -0.0767, -0.0674, -0.0447, -0.0379, -0.0212, 0.0016, -0.0172, 0.0186, -0.0469, -0.0468, -0.043, -0.0462, -0.0727, -0.0794, -0.0829, -0.0649, -0.0699, -0.0683, -0.0846, -0.074, -0.0751, -0.0695, -0.044, -0.0402, -0.0248, -0.0327, -0.0501, -0.061, -0.0542, -0.0527, -0.0529, -0.0544, -0.0394, -0.0397, -0.032, -0.032, -0.02, -0.0153, -0.0216, -0.0225, -0.0219, -0.0236, -0.0262, -0.0212, -0.0171, -0.0065, -0.0009, 0.0, 0.0002, 0.0088, 0.007, 0.0081, 0.0314, 0.0451, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0529, 0.0071, 0.0078, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0063, 0.0327, 0.0439, 0.0339, 0.0396, 0.0472, 0.0668, 0.0653, 0.0761, 0.0696, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.1047, 0.1208, 0.1415, 0.1572, 0.1741, 0.2029, 0.2495, 0.2529, 0.1242, 0.0792, 0.1478, 0.147, 0.1164, 0.1507, 0.18, 0.1683, 0.1815, 0.1404, 0.1688, 0.1688, 0.1324, 0.1579, 0.1611, 0.184, 0.216, 0.1991, 0.1961, 0.2064, 0.2222, 0.238, 0.1828, 0.192, 0.1777, 0.1963, 0.1939, 0.2073, 0.2032, 0.1796, 0.1643, 0.1633, 0.1604, 0.1236, 0.0773, 0.0444, 0.0208, 0.021, 0.0518, 0.0122, 0.0478, 0.0474, 0.0871, 0.1062, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.0805, 0.091, 0.0979, 0.1064, 0.1044, 0.0999, 0.1245, 0.1128, 0.1119, 0.1267, 0.117, 0.0853, 0.0997, 0.089, 0.0946, 0.0861, 0.066, 0.0546, 0.0704, 0.0692, 0.0478, 0.0568, 0.0888, 0.0907, 0.0959, 0.0982, 0.0938, 0.0877, 0.0794, 0.0543, 0.0572, 0.0397, 0.0546, 0.0535, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.046, 0.0321, 0.0429, 0.0539, 0.0391, 0.0408, 0.0305, 0.0391, 0.0011, 0.0037, -0.0127]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990067722269385004", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-16T14:41:33+00:00", "symbol": "EWJ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWJ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish Japan: Nikkei parabola ending, PM unstable; short Nikkei/EWJ, USDJPY implied higher (yen weaker).", "resolved_tickers": ["EWJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Japan's new PM is not going to last long.\nAnd neither is that parabola in the Nikkei.\n$USDJPY #NIKK $EWJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇨🇳🇯🇵China's Ministry of Culture and Tourism solemnly reminds Chinese tourists to avoid traveling to Japan in the near future, and Chinese tourists already in Japan should pay close attention to the local security situation.\n#CHINA #JAPAN #GEOPOLITICS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01830974295436749, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01830974295436749, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008905784897573543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008905784897573543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02049234150975532, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02049234150975532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012094788165960435, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012094788165960435, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.00885178371634232, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00885178371634232, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013448647720058049, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013448647720058049, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": 0.017037951586048372, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017037951586048372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0027917158492429817, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0027917158492429817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": 0.17453107517994937, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17453107517994937, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1480718576831883, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1480718576831883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": 0.15805201703891658, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15805201703891658, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04280998715222828, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04280998715222828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017037951586048372, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0027917158492429817, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0027917158492429817, "price_path": [-0.0343, -0.0457, -0.0297, -0.0415, -0.043, -0.0466, -0.0386, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0524, -0.0551, -0.0453, -0.0399, -0.0183, -0.0292, -0.0256, -0.0139, -0.0207, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0158, -0.0119, -0.0204, -0.0148, -0.0167, -0.0196, -0.0244, -0.0246, -0.0238, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0281, -0.0084, 0.0097, -0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0112, -0.0498, -0.0386, -0.0295, -0.0143, -0.0112, -0.0057, 0.013, 0.0012, -0.0035, -0.003, 0.0004, 0.0129, 0.0177, 0.0092, 0.009, 0.0119, 0.0142, 0.0044, 0.004, 0.0059, 0.0099, 0.0147, 0.0155, 0.0227, 0.0065, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0205, -0.0217, -0.0361, -0.0155, -0.0089, -0.0067, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0065, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.0139, 0.0149, 0.0087, 0.0102, 0.0175, 0.0212, 0.0186, 0.0291, 0.017, 0.0031, 0.006, 0.0136, 0.0121, 0.0207, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0185, 0.0201, 0.0187, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0231, 0.0457, 0.045, 0.0431, 0.0423, 0.0643, 0.0729, 0.0623, 0.0697, 0.0745, 0.0753, 0.0753, 0.0531, 0.0665, 0.0675, 0.0637, 0.0646, 0.0798, 0.0719, 0.083, 0.0783, 0.0804, 0.0904, 0.1006, 0.0831, 0.1246, 0.1484, 0.1711, 0.1821, 0.1745, 0.1806, 0.1806, 0.1557, 0.1495, 0.1472, 0.1506, 0.1496, 0.1476, 0.1628, 0.1633, 0.162, 0.1347, 0.0923, 0.1144, 0.0804, 0.0663, 0.0773, 0.0876, 0.0784, 0.0591, 0.0486, 0.0701, 0.0702, 0.0585, 0.0577, 0.0214, 0.051, 0.0476, 0.0661, 0.0404, 0.0243, 0.0255, 0.0622, 0.0879, 0.0729, 0.0729, 0.0764, 0.0757, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.1086, 0.1114, 0.1247, 0.1204, 0.1247, 0.1345, 0.1237, 0.0962, 0.104, 0.0953, 0.0984, 0.103, 0.1014, 0.092, 0.1208, 0.1108, 0.1085, 0.1228, 0.1533, 0.1446, 0.1601, 0.1606, 0.1581]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2026354315313504281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T17:51:31+00:00", "symbol": "AXP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Recent $AXP short working great!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short financials: AXP working, bearish XLF/GS/C on sector weakness, and newly flagging ALLY as a short candidate.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Losing Financials; Already Lost Consumer Lending\n\nLong before Citrini🙄\n\nConsumer lending weakness in play since OCTOBER. Then early Feb warning we were losing Financials. Recent $AXP short working great! $XLF $GS $C\n\nPlus continued downside in $CVNVA!\nJust noticed $ALLY ;-) https://t.co/Ga2hHItrB1\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed\n\nOr JOIN US LIVE &amp; get the trade before it happens.\n\nhttps://t.co/B4Sk9rARtU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023714239261534154, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0023714239261534154, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009587449691527139, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007275319575261285, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216025765373724, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00490389564910787, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02062532227961622, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02062532227961622, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012187015979077787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0031674958874952086, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438306300538434, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017457826392121012, "ret_p1w": -0.03950319409070768, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03950319409070768, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02929020644054381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044014784104844495, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010212987650163874, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004511590014136813, "ret_p1m": -0.06315524616287849, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06315524616287849, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021348020656672517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.035960778996062204, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180722550620597, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027194467166816283, "ret_p3m": -0.02407121856513994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02407121856513994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11183787046362492, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04813927456737099, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776665189848498, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024068056002231053, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06315524616287849, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021348020656672517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.035960778996062204, "price_path": [0.1332, 0.1372, 0.1218, 0.123, 0.1461, 0.1555, 0.153, 0.1279, 0.133, 0.1693, 0.1983, 0.1911, 0.1911, 0.1854, 0.1694, 0.1691, 0.1722, 0.1857, 0.1899, 0.1928, 0.1928, 0.1864, 0.1685, 0.1625, 0.1518, 0.1518, 0.163, 0.1851, 0.1968, 0.1802, 0.195, 0.172, 0.122, 0.1171, 0.1179, 0.1151, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.0989, 0.1221, 0.1483, 0.1286, 0.1335, 0.1216, 0.1139, 0.1186, 0.0989, 0.1009, 0.091, 0.1036, 0.1065, 0.1207, 0.1223, 0.1333, 0.1046, 0.0699, 0.0531, 0.0531, 0.075, 0.0804, 0.0692, 0.0802, 0.0024, 0.0, 0.0206, 0.0463, -0.0361, -0.0407, -0.0395, -0.0289, -0.0414, -0.0608, -0.0471, -0.0541, -0.0452, -0.058, -0.064, -0.0695, -0.0631, -0.0814, -0.0797, -0.0779, -0.0579, -0.0577, -0.0632, -0.0658, -0.088, -0.0717, -0.0562, -0.0594, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.043, -0.0389, -0.0098, -0.0053, -0.0187, 0.0136, 0.0234, 0.03, 0.0197, 0.0383, 0.0326, 0.0323, 0.042, -0.0029, -0.0169, -0.002, -0.0112, -0.012, 0.0112, 0.0007, -0.0008, -0.011, 0.0076, -0.0024, -0.0108, -0.0224, -0.0162, -0.0309, -0.021, -0.0187, -0.0226, -0.0318, -0.0302, -0.0306, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0274, -0.0217, -0.0136, -0.0094, -0.0186, -0.0266, -0.0592, -0.0217, -0.0276, -0.0224, -0.0034, -0.0192, -0.0031, 0.0187, 0.0498, 0.0666, 0.066, 0.058, 0.058, 0.058, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1991547879555756452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T16:43:10+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bearish after NVDA reports", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bearish on NVDA following earnings report.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said, I'm still bearish after NVDA reports ;-)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03255094603954234, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03255094603954234, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01707279726076738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011558602962739473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04410954900228181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00974309888497693, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00974309888497693, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019704237053941975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012911416425216649, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003168317540239718, "ret_p1w": -0.002103635156317507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002103635156317507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04371086225348031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07165143967902554, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06954780452270803, "ret_p1m": 0.0019933448602480475, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0019933448602480475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044090452813776215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09376184222745731, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09575518708770536, "ret_p3m": 0.024027383794921642, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024027383794921642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.025529985928914645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23336425855874277, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2573916423536644, "ret_p6m": 0.24747983713235766, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24747983713235766, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10825439909031642, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.46913394734182234, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.71661378447418, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0019933448602480475, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.044090452813776215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09376184222745731, "price_path": [-0.0047, 0.0062, 0.0053, -0.0027, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0546, -0.0555, -0.0498, -0.0755, -0.0683, -0.0547, -0.0184, -0.0192, -0.0156, -0.016, -0.0319, -0.0573, -0.0244, -0.022, 0.0164, -0.0122, -0.0203, -0.0163, -0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0329, 0.0365, 0.0457, 0.0386, 0.0271, 0.0244, 0.0469, 0.066, 0.014, 0.0425, -0.0034, -0.0045, 0.0065, 0.0143, 0.0111, 0.0029, -0.002, 0.0084, 0.0311, 0.0601, 0.1129, 0.1461, 0.1232, 0.121, 0.1453, 0.0999, 0.0807, 0.0412, 0.0416, 0.1019, 0.0693, 0.0729, 0.0344, 0.0528, 0.033, 0.004, 0.0326, 0.0, -0.0097, 0.0106, -0.0156, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0202, -0.004, 0.0045, -0.0058, 0.0152, 0.0099, 0.0272, 0.024, 0.0174, 0.0017, -0.0311, -0.024, -0.0161, -0.0536, -0.0359, 0.002, 0.0169, 0.0475, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0548, 0.042, 0.0383, 0.0325, 0.0325, 0.0455, 0.0415, 0.0366, 0.0469, 0.0244, 0.0234, 0.0239, 0.0287, 0.0139, 0.0355, 0.031, 0.031, -0.0142, 0.0149, 0.0233, 0.039, 0.0323, 0.0437, 0.0603, 0.0658, 0.0581, 0.0276, -0.0016, -0.0357, -0.0484, 0.0265, 0.0521, 0.0438, 0.0522, 0.0349, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.024, 0.0407, 0.0402, 0.0509, 0.0605, 0.0677, 0.0827, 0.0236, -0.019, 0.0102, -0.0032, 0.0133, 0.015, -0.0156, 0.0112, 0.0229, 0.03, 0.014, -0.002, 0.0144, 0.0073, -0.0012, -0.0114, -0.0438, -0.0276, -0.03, -0.0107, -0.0519, -0.0725, -0.0855, -0.0344, -0.027, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0165, -0.014, 0.0081, 0.0182, 0.0443, 0.0481, 0.088, 0.101, 0.0982, 0.1166, 0.1187, 0.1066, 0.1211, 0.1053, 0.1531, 0.1993, 0.1802, 0.1585, 0.1049, 0.0987, 0.0989, 0.0879, 0.1506, 0.171, 0.1915, 0.2149, 0.2223, 0.2503, 0.3052, 0.2475]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012298408019591539", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T22:58:21+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US govt investing/buying gold/silver/copper miners is coming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish gold/silver/copper miner ETFs on thesis that US government will act as venture capitalist investing in miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Why is a policy directive that subsidizes demand that initiates a PRICE WAR with China important for miners? Because it’s the kind of proclamation that drives my thesis of US GOVERNMENT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST. US govt investing/buying gold/silver/copper miners is coming.\"\n\n$GDX $GDXJ $SIL $SILJ $XLB $XME", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro Sidebar of Importance\n&amp;\nA LOT OF TRADE UPDATES\n   - Tech Shorts\n   - Value Longs\n https://t.co/lvXBppPrXn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053901546811880974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053901546811880974, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07468135726913327, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07468135726913327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014496963236680482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014496963236680482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02603807251834178, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02603807251834178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.06333919258171639, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06333919258171639, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036906913626025384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036906913626025384, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.002140506161860789, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002140506161860789, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014995052107059759, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014995052107059759, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.023740051278320684, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023740051278320684, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07465573505594703, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07465573505594703, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002140506161860789, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014995052107059759, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014995052107059759, "price_path": [-0.2872, -0.2968, -0.3247, -0.314, -0.3135, -0.2958, -0.3039, -0.3113, -0.3405, -0.3174, -0.3165, -0.2992, -0.2661, -0.259, -0.2345, -0.2557, -0.2643, -0.276, -0.2695, -0.2621, -0.2952, -0.2886, -0.247, -0.2485, -0.2123, -0.2123, -0.1961, -0.2, -0.2117, -0.217, -0.2138, -0.2173, -0.2354, -0.2085, -0.1952, -0.1668, -0.1726, -0.1804, -0.1806, -0.1709, -0.1725, -0.152, -0.1226, -0.1217, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1118, -0.1647, -0.1551, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1659, -0.1394, -0.1035, -0.114, -0.1094, -0.0994, -0.0687, -0.0614, -0.0576, -0.0552, -0.0539, -0.0539, 0.0, -0.0145, 0.0233, 0.0413, 0.0457, 0.0633, 0.0913, 0.0506, -0.0835, -0.0836, -0.0444, -0.0397, -0.1006, -0.0524, 0.0011, 0.0022, 0.031, -0.0438, 0.0113, 0.0113, -0.0246, -0.0021, 0.0142, 0.0339, 0.0731, 0.0771, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1271, 0.1222, 0.0239, 0.0302, -0.0093, -0.0136, -0.0033, 0.0057, -0.0138, -0.0339, -0.0926, -0.0817, -0.0858, -0.1427, -0.1934, -0.2205, -0.1888, -0.1876, -0.1601, -0.1984, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1071, -0.0659, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0872, -0.076, -0.0448, -0.0431, -0.033, -0.0389, -0.0198, -0.0487, -0.0498, -0.0237, -0.0355, -0.0953, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.0821, -0.0991, -0.1385, -0.1611, -0.141, -0.1525, -0.1667, -0.1651, -0.1006, -0.1076, -0.0797, -0.0504, -0.0549, -0.0637, -0.0859, -0.1501, -0.1522, -0.1849, -0.1598, -0.1634, -0.1728, -0.1728, -0.1389, -0.1687, -0.1518, -0.1293, -0.1566, -0.1433, -0.173, -0.1594, -0.2329, -0.2346, -0.2451, -0.2819, -0.2438, -0.2213, -0.1704, -0.1512, -0.1792, -0.1972, -0.1972, -0.1972, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "quote:1998602408285647178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-10T03:55:21+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Silver isn't just 'going up.' It's repricing because the system behind it is cracking.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish silver: endorses thesis that silver is undergoing a structural repricing, not merely trending up.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Risk happens fast. \nSilver moved even faster. \n\n‘Silver isn’t just “going up.”\nIt’s repricing because the system behind it is cracking.’", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "(A THREAD) : What’s coming next in #silver won’t be a trend, it will be a moment. The kind that almost never happens… and the kind people talk about for decades\n\nBookmark this. Screenshot this. Read twice.\n\nThe silver market is entering a phase we’ve only seen a handful of times https://t.co/gRIwUCaSQA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0034780783640731006, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034780783640731006, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0031103706464691294, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031103706464691294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00658844901054223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05879526229257248, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05879526229257248, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.056468316261108376, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056468316261108376, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023269460314641055, "ret_p1w": 0.09702044978159896, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09702044978159896, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.120538106932353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.120538106932353, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023517657150754046, "ret_p1m": 0.23745013028499562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23745013028499562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23166543446171972, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23166543446171972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005784695823275898, "ret_p3m": 0.3917420863150496, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3917420863150496, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4023530604639125, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4023530604639125, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010610974148862917, "ret_p6m": 0.221931422385643, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.221931422385643, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11455205517748412, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11455205517748412, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10737936720815888, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23745013028499562, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23166543446171972, "alpha_c_stated": 0.23166543446171972, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2958, -0.2966, -0.309, -0.3092, -0.2955, -0.2746, -0.2681, -0.275, -0.2597, -0.2345, -0.228, -0.234, -0.2168, -0.2381, -0.2117, -0.2037, -0.2186, -0.1942, -0.2241, -0.2226, -0.1697, -0.1667, -0.1541, -0.1218, -0.1742, -0.1534, -0.2141, -0.2139, -0.197, -0.1988, -0.2288, -0.2195, -0.2096, -0.1979, -0.2051, -0.2069, -0.2194, -0.2073, -0.2084, -0.2047, -0.169, -0.1617, -0.1167, -0.121, -0.1621, -0.1615, -0.1644, -0.1588, -0.1678, -0.174, -0.167, -0.1564, -0.1236, -0.1236, -0.0651, -0.0325, -0.0397, -0.0407, -0.0585, -0.0324, -0.0431, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.0588, 0.0163, 0.0424, 0.0384, 0.097, 0.0698, 0.1071, 0.1247, 0.1674, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.2668, 0.157, 0.2815, 0.1616, 0.1616, 0.1686, 0.2614, 0.3337, 0.2775, 0.2375, 0.3065, 0.4013, 0.4223, 0.505, 0.5217, 0.459, 0.459, 0.5602, 0.5272, 0.5896, 0.6715, 0.906, 0.7477, 0.8733, 0.8887, 0.2966, 0.2716, 0.3753, 0.3939, 0.2675, 0.2709, 0.3592, 0.3286, 0.3871, 0.2512, 0.2894, 0.2894, 0.2164, 0.2837, 0.2846, 0.3628, 0.433, 0.4485, 0.5061, 0.4409, 0.535, 0.4622, 0.3734, 0.3686, 0.3529, 0.3882, 0.3917, 0.4754, 0.4089, 0.4023, 0.3401, 0.3293, 0.3172, 0.2792, 0.1743, 0.1487, 0.1436, 0.1473, 0.1984, 0.1208, 0.1518, 0.1647, 0.237, 0.2565, 0.2046, 0.2046, 0.2034, 0.1896, 0.2459, 0.2633, 0.2641, 0.2508, 0.3149, 0.3165, 0.3019, 0.3537, 0.3242, 0.2655, 0.2901, 0.2499, 0.2651, 0.2422, 0.2124, 0.1853, 0.2179, 0.2579, 0.2102, 0.2108, 0.2721, 0.32, 0.3315, 0.4158, 0.4099, 0.4722, 0.4063, 0.2779, 0.2765, 0.2393, 0.2562, 0.2656, 0.2569, 0.2569, 0.2638, 0.2355, 0.2528, 0.2524, 0.2423, 0.2473, 0.2169, 0.2219]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008537812325331400", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T13:55:05+00:00", "symbol": "refiners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still very bullish refiners though", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bearish oil (short-the-rip only) while staying very bullish on refiners.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRAK"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No - I have not turned bullish on oil. Still very bullish refiners though ;-)\n\nI can see the massive shorts in VIX, but that doesn't make me bullish VIX - except for a trade when the shorts unwind on a macro trigger... but the Trump Admin (WH, FED, TREASURY) work very hard to control those triggers. Then they position FOR the trigger & my job is to see their footprints before the move. ;-)\n\nI can see the massive shorts in TLT, but that doesn't make me bullish TLT - except for a trade when shorts unwind with yen... which I timed with precision last year (July 19th) which lasted one month. I repeatedly told clients I saw no yen carry trade unwind coming in 2025. And I look for it everyday as that is my job. Recession/Unemployment can pull that trigger, but not here yet. \n\nI can see NO massive shorts or longs in CFTC in OIL (as posted yday to clients) as they have better things to trade. I can see an argument of why Trump invaded Venezuela to procure their heavy stuff for US refining ... BUT even that doesn't make me bullish oil. It only makes me more bearish!\n\nI don't see a reason to be bullish oil except for ROTATION... like I wrote about in March 2021 when I called for WTI to double from $65.65. We hit $130 in early March 2022. ;-)\n\nHere's how a commodity 'super cycle' can work: 1st gold triggers, then silver, then the other precious & industrial & base metals advance... after all that inflationary build-up in metals, oil catches a bid on INFLATION ROTATION. \n\nBut oil spiking higher is the most violent to Trump's economic agenda, so VZ infrastructure build-out needs to start NOW if they really want to control oil price later.\n\nBetter bet in the near term, Trump is trying to avoid an oil & gas industry recession (worse than 2014-2106) from the path of oil right now: deflation in prices < $54 WTIC.\n\nSo for all kinds of strategic reasons - macro, fundamental, technical - I cannot be bullish oil for more than a trade and even then it will be a short-the-rip event.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @GraphCall Sam, have you finally turned bullish on oil?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noneotherthanwe", "ret_m1d": 0.004875509898830677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004875509898830677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010787597300196072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010787597300196072, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912087401365396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912087401365396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008211436612791667, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008211436612791667, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00498802433159351, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00498802433159351, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003223412281198157, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003223412281198157, "ret_p1w": 0.011803927894882271, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011803927894882271, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00897076996905577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00897076996905577, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028331579258265016, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028331579258265016, "ret_p1m": 0.11778291015678533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11778291015678533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12590649803470455, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12590649803470455, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008123587877919225, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008123587877919225, "ret_p3m": 0.2511162173866397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2511162173866397, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30053572290244157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30053572290244157, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049419505515801876, "bench_c_p3m": -0.049419505515801876, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11778291015678533, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12590649803470455, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12590649803470455, "price_path": [-0.0798, -0.1071, -0.0948, -0.0894, -0.0886, -0.0841, -0.0827, -0.0679, -0.0733, -0.0528, -0.0224, -0.0167, -0.0011, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0033, -0.0165, -0.0067, -0.0271, -0.0268, -0.0086, -0.0063, 0.0172, 0.0283, 0.0265, 0.0226, 0.0378, 0.0257, 0.0259, 0.0122, -0.0027, 0.0003, -0.0086, -0.0091, -0.0047, -0.0047, -0.0024, 0.0024, -0.0031, 0.0021, 0.0001, 0.0051, -0.0054, -0.0039, 0.0046, -0.0049, -0.014, -0.0071, -0.0317, -0.0392, -0.0468, -0.0386, -0.038, -0.0365, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.0408, -0.0358, -0.037, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0269, 0.0049, 0.0, -0.0082, 0.0046, 0.0033, 0.0126, 0.0118, 0.028, 0.0339, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0195, 0.0423, 0.0529, 0.0603, 0.059, 0.068, 0.0701, 0.0846, 0.0757, 0.0616, 0.0921, 0.1178, 0.1075, 0.136, 0.1386, 0.1306, 0.1573, 0.1419, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.1245, 0.1304, 0.1352, 0.1447, 0.1422, 0.1491, 0.147, 0.1481, 0.1511, 0.1873, 0.1732, 0.1886, 0.1971, 0.2014, 0.1878, 0.1745, 0.2089, 0.2197, 0.2022, 0.214, 0.2353, 0.2371, 0.244, 0.2256, 0.2191, 0.2489, 0.2481, 0.2507, 0.2515, 0.2576, 0.2676, 0.2425, 0.2511, 0.2511, 0.2656, 0.2632, 0.2404, 0.233, 0.2179, 0.2389, 0.232, 0.2245, 0.234, 0.1958, 0.1955, 0.1996, 0.2102, 0.2084, 0.223, 0.2258, 0.2386, 0.2869, 0.3041, 0.301, 0.3061, 0.3331, 0.2859, 0.2602, 0.2738, 0.2892, 0.2769, 0.2651, 0.2575, 0.2639, 0.2787, 0.2759, 0.2684, 0.2368, 0.2445, 0.2445, 0.2289, 0.2189, 0.2317, 0.2363, 0.2587, 0.2751, 0.2823, 0.2789, 0.2443, 0.2484, 0.2209, 0.2309, 0.2439, 0.244, 0.2076, 0.2063, 0.1853, 0.1619, 0.1619, 0.1619, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008537812325331400", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T13:55:05+00:00", "symbol": "USO", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I cannot be bullish oil for more than a trade and even then it will be a short-the-rip event", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remains bearish oil (short-the-rip only) while staying very bullish on refiners.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No - I have not turned bullish on oil. Still very bullish refiners though ;-)\n\nI can see the massive shorts in VIX, but that doesn't make me bullish VIX - except for a trade when the shorts unwind on a macro trigger... but the Trump Admin (WH, FED, TREASURY) work very hard to control those triggers. Then they position FOR the trigger & my job is to see their footprints before the move. ;-)\n\nI can see the massive shorts in TLT, but that doesn't make me bullish TLT - except for a trade when shorts unwind with yen... which I timed with precision last year (July 19th) which lasted one month. I repeatedly told clients I saw no yen carry trade unwind coming in 2025. And I look for it everyday as that is my job. Recession/Unemployment can pull that trigger, but not here yet. \n\nI can see NO massive shorts or longs in CFTC in OIL (as posted yday to clients) as they have better things to trade. I can see an argument of why Trump invaded Venezuela to procure their heavy stuff for US refining ... BUT even that doesn't make me bullish oil. It only makes me more bearish!\n\nI don't see a reason to be bullish oil except for ROTATION... like I wrote about in March 2021 when I called for WTI to double from $65.65. We hit $130 in early March 2022. ;-)\n\nHere's how a commodity 'super cycle' can work: 1st gold triggers, then silver, then the other precious & industrial & base metals advance... after all that inflationary build-up in metals, oil catches a bid on INFLATION ROTATION. \n\nBut oil spiking higher is the most violent to Trump's economic agenda, so VZ infrastructure build-out needs to start NOW if they really want to control oil price later.\n\nBetter bet in the near term, Trump is trying to avoid an oil & gas industry recession (worse than 2014-2106) from the path of oil right now: deflation in prices < $54 WTIC.\n\nSo for all kinds of strategic reasons - macro, fundamental, technical - I cannot be bullish oil for more than a trade and even then it will be a short-the-rip event.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc @GraphCall Sam, have you finally turned bullish on oil?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noneotherthanwe", "ret_m1d": 0.024959845732778874, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024959845732778874, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03087193313414427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03087193313414427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912087401365396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912087401365396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01050943217417244, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01050943217417244, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0072860198929742825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0072860198929742825, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003223412281198157, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003223412281198157, "ret_p1w": 0.07254416969394328, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07254416969394328, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06971101176811678, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06971101176811678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028331579258265016, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028331579258265016, "ret_p1m": 0.1367682794485321, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1367682794485321, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14489186732645132, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14489186732645132, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008123587877919225, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008123587877919225, "ret_p3m": 1.013136678855954, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.013136678855954, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.062556184371756, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.062556184371756, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049419505515801876, "bench_c_p3m": -0.049419505515801876, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1367682794485321, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14489186732645132, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14489186732645132, "price_path": [0.0584, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0072, 0.007, -0.0102, -0.0077, -0.0099, -0.0035, 0.0309, 0.0698, 0.0682, 0.0673, 0.042, 0.048, 0.0467, 0.0591, 0.0617, 0.0499, 0.0368, 0.0346, 0.0401, 0.0463, 0.0615, 0.0187, 0.0196, 0.0419, 0.0407, 0.0582, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0115, 0.0279, 0.0108, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0374, 0.0372, 0.0247, 0.0314, 0.042, 0.0498, 0.0289, 0.0197, 0.0296, 0.0108, 0.0044, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0077, -0.0193, -0.007, 0.0178, 0.0261, 0.0247, 0.0247, -0.0004, 0.0161, 0.018, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0066, 0.025, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0296, 0.0331, 0.0458, 0.0725, 0.0598, 0.0382, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0489, 0.0705, 0.0483, 0.0794, 0.0725, 0.1044, 0.1184, 0.1552, 0.1607, 0.0995, 0.1308, 0.1368, 0.1194, 0.1238, 0.1388, 0.139, 0.1515, 0.1149, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.1054, 0.159, 0.1851, 0.1801, 0.1808, 0.1788, 0.1638, 0.1644, 0.1962, 0.2727, 0.3166, 0.3364, 0.4058, 0.5877, 0.5228, 0.5452, 0.5771, 0.7281, 0.75, 0.679, 0.7346, 0.7759, 0.713, 0.7724, 0.6138, 0.6719, 0.6551, 0.7116, 0.8129, 0.8951, 0.8574, 0.8113, 1.0131, 1.0131, 1.028, 1.0155, 0.8184, 0.8532, 0.8219, 0.8752, 0.8078, 0.7894, 0.8368, 0.6938, 0.7708, 0.872, 0.8888, 0.9664, 0.9326, 0.9664, 1.0377, 1.1987, 1.147, 1.0844, 1.1546, 1.1044, 0.9552, 0.9701, 0.9499, 1.0239, 1.1063, 1.0733, 1.0873, 1.1636, 1.1791, 1.2327, 1.1058, 1.0806, 1.0569, 1.0569, 0.9997, 0.9126, 0.9089, 0.8843, 0.9778, 1.0036, 1.0561, 0.9959, 0.9416, 0.9727, 0.9165, 0.9603, 0.8805, 0.8308, 0.7692, 0.6854, 0.6673, 0.6767, 0.6767, 0.6767, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025560491930575052", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T13:17:09+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Dollar debasement IS the reason to own gold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short BTC (fraud), long gold on dollar debasement, long miners still running, short USD bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "👍 here are mine:\n\nBitcoin is a fraud;\n\nPresidential grift & over-reach are not bullish;\n\nDollar debasement IS the reason to own gold;\n\nTrump’s China trade war is the reason commodities are rising;\n\nMiners (my “outliers revert with velocity call Apr ‘24) are not done;\n\nAI is deflationary to jobs;\n\nFed has a consensus problem & Warsh is a Trojan horse;\n\nIran risk is not priced in & USD bounce will not last;\n\n2026 is the year where inflation will start to matter more than liquidity.\n\nTrump is a lame & sitting duck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Micheal Howell, founder of CrossBorder Capital &amp; GLIndexes, returns to the Metals and Miners pod and shares why Bitcoin is really the canary in the coal mine, why the Supreme Court decision isn't bullish, what's driving gold and precious metals, why he doesn't believe there's a https://t.co/qibZXpjGy0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02630486139922661, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02630486139922661, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03662157517871234, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03662157517871234, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01385890426498504, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01385890426498504, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0211273795351834, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0211273795351834, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.01811835364615244, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01811835364615244, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012271220739266786, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012271220739266786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847132906885655, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847132906885655, "ret_p1m": -0.16030168320346816, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16030168320346816, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12011034374362506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12011034374362506, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": -0.13358130133806723, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13358130133806723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22496353543073566, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22496353543073566, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16030168320346816, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12011034374362506, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12011034374362506, "price_path": [-0.204, -0.204, -0.1941, -0.1902, -0.1954, -0.1961, -0.1956, -0.1971, -0.1992, -0.1951, -0.1916, -0.1829, -0.1784, -0.1776, -0.1774, -0.1704, -0.1719, -0.1709, -0.1518, -0.1405, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1341, -0.1718, -0.1712, -0.1766, -0.1766, -0.1725, -0.1507, -0.1415, -0.1497, -0.145, -0.1388, -0.1227, -0.1239, -0.115, -0.1204, -0.1246, -0.1246, -0.0915, -0.0783, -0.0613, -0.0484, -0.0344, -0.0108, 0.0276, 0.0304, -0.0755, -0.1125, -0.0561, -0.0567, -0.0819, -0.0536, -0.0296, -0.0392, -0.0284, -0.0621, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0687, -0.0478, -0.0451, -0.0263, 0.0, -0.0139, -0.0163, -0.0079, 0.0051, 0.0181, -0.0273, -0.0197, -0.0315, -0.0161, -0.0182, -0.0071, -0.0105, -0.0299, -0.0425, -0.0433, -0.0457, -0.0759, -0.114, -0.1411, -0.1605, -0.1603, -0.135, -0.1676, -0.1383, -0.1386, -0.1059, -0.0903, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.1114, -0.1028, -0.0971, -0.0901, -0.0917, -0.0954, -0.0752, -0.0848, -0.0856, -0.0734, -0.0814, -0.1074, -0.0956, -0.1044, -0.0998, -0.1068, -0.1234, -0.1327, -0.1197, -0.1207, -0.1383, -0.1309, -0.1046, -0.1031, -0.0987, -0.0969, -0.1005, -0.1055, -0.1123, -0.133, -0.1306, -0.145, -0.1327, -0.1336, -0.1402, -0.1402, -0.1398, -0.1512, -0.1423, -0.1333, -0.1455, -0.1441, -0.1525, -0.1455, -0.1767, -0.1746, -0.188, -0.2217, -0.1973, -0.1969, -0.1761, -0.1738, -0.1926, -0.1956, -0.1956, -0.1956, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025560491930575052", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-22T13:17:09+00:00", "symbol": "gold miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Miners (my \"outliers revert with velocity call Apr '24) are not done", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short BTC (fraud), long gold on dollar debasement, long miners still running, short USD bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX", "GDXJ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GDX senior; GDXJ junior gold miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "👍 here are mine:\n\nBitcoin is a fraud;\n\nPresidential grift & over-reach are not bullish;\n\nDollar debasement IS the reason to own gold;\n\nTrump’s China trade war is the reason commodities are rising;\n\nMiners (my “outliers revert with velocity call Apr ‘24) are not done;\n\nAI is deflationary to jobs;\n\nFed has a consensus problem & Warsh is a Trojan horse;\n\nIran risk is not priced in & USD bounce will not last;\n\n2026 is the year where inflation will start to matter more than liquidity.\n\nTrump is a lame & sitting duck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Micheal Howell, founder of CrossBorder Capital &amp; GLIndexes, returns to the Metals and Miners pod and shares why Bitcoin is really the canary in the coal mine, why the Supreme Court decision isn't bullish, what's driving gold and precious metals, why he doesn't believe there's a https://t.co/qibZXpjGy0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034056987708559694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034056987708559694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044373701488045425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.044373701488045425, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033589991659551677, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0033589991659551677, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0039094761042431925, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0039094761042431925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.051501639231059215, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051501639231059215, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04565450632417356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04565450632417356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847132906885655, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847132906885655, "ret_p1m": -0.24710037775321136, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24710037775321136, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20690903829336826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20690903829336826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": -0.22756047203336904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22756047203336904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3189427061260375, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3189427061260375, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24710037775321136, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20690903829336826, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20690903829336826, "price_path": [-0.2819, -0.2819, -0.2612, -0.2664, -0.2751, -0.2794, -0.2771, -0.2797, -0.2955, -0.2682, -0.2554, -0.2289, -0.2335, -0.2429, -0.2408, -0.2317, -0.2338, -0.2128, -0.182, -0.1816, -0.1877, -0.1877, -0.1715, -0.2227, -0.2137, -0.2232, -0.2232, -0.2254, -0.1989, -0.1667, -0.1774, -0.1725, -0.1646, -0.1354, -0.1325, -0.1289, -0.1262, -0.1225, -0.1225, -0.0703, -0.0814, -0.0387, -0.0203, -0.0208, -0.0019, 0.0214, -0.0206, -0.1498, -0.1499, -0.1119, -0.1081, -0.1678, -0.1201, -0.0668, -0.0682, -0.0382, -0.1151, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0995, -0.0779, -0.0571, -0.0341, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0081, 0.039, 0.0577, 0.0515, -0.0414, -0.0341, -0.0723, -0.0761, -0.0677, -0.0576, -0.0789, -0.1011, -0.1546, -0.1431, -0.1474, -0.2038, -0.2526, -0.2795, -0.2468, -0.2471, -0.2224, -0.2653, -0.234, -0.2339, -0.1747, -0.1377, -0.1545, -0.1545, -0.1613, -0.1504, -0.121, -0.1181, -0.1101, -0.1122, -0.0905, -0.1156, -0.1159, -0.0912, -0.102, -0.1608, -0.143, -0.1661, -0.1504, -0.166, -0.2006, -0.2221, -0.2031, -0.2117, -0.2261, -0.2251, -0.1624, -0.1668, -0.1421, -0.116, -0.1168, -0.1241, -0.1456, -0.2072, -0.2112, -0.2441, -0.2219, -0.2276, -0.234, -0.234, -0.201, -0.2289, -0.2132, -0.1876, -0.2151, -0.2054, -0.2366, -0.2268, -0.2996, -0.2969, -0.3088, -0.343, -0.303, -0.2817, -0.2319, -0.2143, -0.2432, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001851029072355435", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T03:04:12+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long-end bond holders are still screwed.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish long-end Treasuries; Fed independence concerns mean long-end bond holders remain screwed.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Irony:\nMost Fed critics (even #EndTheFed bashers) I’ve followed over the years are now scared to death that loss of Fed independence means Trump gains control of monetary policy.  🥺\n\nLong-end bond holders are still screwed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "NEW: Trump's decision on the next Fed chair comes down to who he believes will be more successful in delivering substantially lower rates, which has struggled to get under Powell. That prerequisite creates a credibility problem for whoever is selected, one that will be difficult https://t.co/rDSYWF7AQd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0037463771982872984, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0037463771982872984, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01272838397407805, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01272838397407805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982006775790752, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008982006775790752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0021701515678748118, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021701515678748118, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008400045574659232, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008400045574659232, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00622989400678442, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00622989400678442, "ret_p1w": 0.0021701515678747008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0021701515678747008, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012111515985629984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012111515985629984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "ret_p1m": 0.002855621479253001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002855621479253001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013409575951435215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013409575951435215, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "ret_p3m": 0.00037567657966852686, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00037567657966852686, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.028527808570008806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028527808570008806, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "ret_p6m": -0.0023844941023394295, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0023844941023394295, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11449517869377157, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11449517869377157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002855621479253001, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013409575951435215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013409575951435215, "price_path": [0.0055, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0008, 0.009, 0.0061, 0.0087, 0.0116, 0.0097, 0.0017, 0.0074, 0.0082, 0.0074, 0.0237, 0.0231, 0.0264, 0.0241, 0.0318, 0.0302, 0.0342, 0.0393, 0.04, 0.0328, 0.0333, 0.0368, 0.0395, 0.029, 0.023, 0.02, 0.0174, 0.0197, 0.0086, 0.0176, 0.0155, 0.0153, 0.0199, 0.0217, 0.0133, 0.0075, 0.01, 0.0097, 0.0077, 0.0116, 0.0147, 0.0205, 0.0231, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0227, 0.01, 0.0105, 0.0133, 0.0078, 0.0032, -0.0001, 0.0009, 0.0048, 0.0034, -0.0063, -0.0056, -0.0001, -0.001, 0.0037, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0006, 0.0055, 0.0055, 0.0022, 0.0059, 0.0035, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0059, -0.001, -0.0031, 0.0027, -0.0023, 0.0043, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0089, 0.0087, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0103, -0.0027, 0.0016, 0.0043, 0.0091, 0.0029, 0.0006, 0.0008, -0.0048, -0.0076, -0.0052, -0.0078, 0.003, 0.0037, 0.0035, 0.0151, 0.0097, 0.0231, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0304, 0.0265, 0.0276, 0.0252, 0.0289, 0.0308, 0.0309, 0.035, 0.0413, 0.0309, 0.0288, 0.0256, 0.0214, 0.0176, 0.0265, 0.0156, 0.0024, 0.0005, -0.0045, 0.0033, 0.006, 0.0004, 0.0065, -0.0126, -0.0062, -0.0106, -0.001, -0.0094, -0.0148, -0.0017, -0.0027, -0.0037, 0.0024, 0.0024, 0.0008, 0.0007, 0.0039, 0.0014, -0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0073, 0.0029, -0.0035, 0.0056, 0.0054, -0.0001, 0.0018, -0.0004, 0.0015, -0.0035, -0.0024, -0.0102, -0.0111, -0.0076, -0.0151, -0.0097, -0.0021, -0.0071, -0.0021, -0.0081, -0.0148, -0.017, -0.0156, -0.0302, -0.0313, -0.0376, -0.0273, -0.0237, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0135, -0.0112, -0.0061, -0.0058, -0.0053, -0.0032, -0.0072, -0.0049, -0.0101, -0.0152, -0.0094, -0.0122, 0.0006, -0.0018, -0.0024]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014048254556573852", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T18:51:37+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Swing Long $INTC from client post Dec 2nd", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long INTC; thesis targets 2x book value = ~$53/share on undervaluation, fab assets, and potential Apple foundry win in 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Swing Long $INTC from client post Dec 2nd:\n\n\"INTC - gorgeous bounce off the 10W at 35 on cue, getting back above 37.16 monthly support and 40 monthly trendline resistance. I’m afraid my bullish thesis may have been buried as I posted it on the chart. I will pull out and highlight here for easier reference:\n\nINTC has a market cap of $190Bn and book value of $106Bn which is roughly $22.22/share - as I have mentioned past few years: Intel is very undervalued.\n\nOpportunity: Even though INTC has nearly doubled in price - post US GOVERNMENT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST...\n\nWith over $200Bn worth of advanced fabs, IP & other assets on the books, and if large “tier one” external foundry customers such as Apple are on board in 2026 ...\n\nthen a 2x book value = $250Bn makret cap = ~$53/share.\"\n\nWE ARE THERE 💃\n\nJoin us for my next high-conviction chase, swing or trend trade - along with my amazing team who post their detailed analysis & trades in our member portfolios!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09347533552999143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0761733542863785, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409431782616553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003932940717429334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009240354559703068, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223257672714476, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11544863898768798, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13740307933120166, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619123398690315, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17616913321377514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19808731153536374, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013424072123121578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17421209407644933, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05672949577315611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03684775750405178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1775115404260873, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17616913321377514, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19808731153536374, "price_path": [-0.2944, -0.2712, -0.2345, -0.238, -0.2597, -0.2629, -0.2719, -0.3174, -0.2925, -0.3135, -0.2971, -0.2912, -0.3018, -0.3016, -0.3381, -0.3453, -0.3602, -0.3672, -0.3528, -0.3803, -0.3641, -0.3403, -0.3395, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2524, -0.2625, -0.1987, -0.1934, -0.2535, -0.2367, -0.2571, -0.2535, -0.2483, -0.2717, -0.303, -0.3086, -0.3123, -0.3355, -0.3312, -0.3213, -0.3296, -0.33, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3327, -0.3239, -0.3124, -0.3198, -0.3198, -0.2741, -0.2743, -0.2619, -0.2142, -0.2422, -0.1604, -0.1878, -0.1283, -0.1019, -0.1093, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1049, 0.0, 0.0013, -0.1692, -0.2168, -0.1902, -0.1008, -0.103, -0.1434, -0.1003, -0.0922, -0.1041, -0.1108, -0.0675, -0.0739, -0.1312, -0.1099, -0.1432, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1488, -0.162, -0.1775, -0.1869, -0.1958, -0.1499, -0.1359, -0.162, -0.1593, -0.1613, -0.2055, -0.1598, -0.153, -0.1996, -0.1598, -0.1377, -0.1156, -0.1659, -0.1563, -0.1565, -0.1878, -0.17, -0.1488, -0.1913, -0.1888, -0.1878, -0.1303, -0.1871, -0.205, -0.2407, -0.1865, -0.1147, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.064, -0.0247, 0.0866, 0.1377, 0.1499, 0.2015, 0.1762, 0.1971, 0.2627, 0.2627, 0.2111, 0.2214, 0.2031, 0.231, 0.5215, 0.5666, 0.558, 0.7465, 0.7416, 0.8363, 0.7655, 0.9935, 1.0831, 1.0206, 1.3027, 1.386, 1.2232, 1.2173, 1.137, 1.005, 0.9939, 1.0424, 1.1928, 1.1843, 1.209, 1.209, 1.2769, 1.2446, 1.2284, 1.1139, 1.0153, 0.9895, 1.0776, 1.0605, 0.828, 1.0326, 0.9893, 0.9731, 1.1559, 1.2962, 1.3569, 1.1576, 1.2323, 1.4699, 1.4699, 1.4699, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016595956498616592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T19:35:17+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "1973 is also a spike year for Silver.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Silver, drawing analogy to the 1973 silver spike amid current macro backdrop.", "resolved_tickers": ["SI=F"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SI=F COMEX silver futures on Yahoo Finance", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BTW 1973 is also a spike year for Silver.\n- Geoffrey reminds 😉😉\n\nhttps://t.co/SICj0bSaW7\n\nEngage with us live for more insights like these.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "1973 IS COMING - BUT NOT FOR OIL\n\nThere is falling global dollar AND treasury demand, but not for US equities.\n\n25% of USTs are owned by foreigners (down from 33% a decade ago)\n\n25% of US Equities are owned by foreigners (up from 18%)\n\nUSD share of global foreign reserves as https://t.co/efmDeSGpoi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06708452257012065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06708452257012065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06718519728482342, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06718519728482342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008186670632756687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008186670632756687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010171047787590481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010171047787590481, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "ret_p1w": -0.25590790577298794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25590790577298794, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2426354313782031, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2426354313782031, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "ret_p1m": -0.23086171060561456, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23086171060561456, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2220612758602558, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2220612758602558, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "ret_p3m": -0.3369080079605091, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3369080079605091, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36811672834959186, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36811672834959186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23086171060561456, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2220612758602558, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2220612758602558, "price_path": [-0.5757, -0.5766, -0.5833, -0.5768, -0.5775, -0.5755, -0.5564, -0.5525, -0.5285, -0.5308, -0.5527, -0.5524, -0.554, -0.551, -0.5558, -0.5591, -0.5553, -0.5497, -0.5322, -0.5322, -0.501, -0.4835, -0.4874, -0.4879, -0.4974, -0.4835, -0.4892, -0.4681, -0.4662, -0.4348, -0.4575, -0.4436, -0.4457, -0.4144, -0.429, -0.409, -0.3997, -0.3769, -0.372, -0.372, -0.3238, -0.3824, -0.3159, -0.38, -0.38, -0.3762, -0.3266, -0.288, -0.3181, -0.3394, -0.3026, -0.252, -0.2408, -0.1966, -0.1877, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.1671, -0.1848, -0.1515, -0.1077, 0.0174, -0.0671, 0.0, 0.0082, -0.3078, -0.3212, -0.2658, -0.2559, -0.3234, -0.3216, -0.2745, -0.2908, -0.2595, -0.3321, -0.3117, -0.3117, -0.3507, -0.3148, -0.3143, -0.2725, -0.2351, -0.2268, -0.196, -0.2309, -0.1806, -0.2195, -0.2669, -0.2695, -0.2778, -0.259, -0.2571, -0.2124, -0.248, -0.2514, -0.2846, -0.2904, -0.2969, -0.3171, -0.3732, -0.3868, -0.3895, -0.3876, -0.3603, -0.4017, -0.3852, -0.3783, -0.3397, -0.3293, -0.357, -0.357, -0.3576, -0.365, -0.335, -0.3256, -0.3252, -0.3323, -0.2981, -0.2972, -0.3051, -0.2774, -0.2932, -0.3245, -0.3114, -0.3328, -0.3247, -0.3369, -0.3528, -0.3673, -0.3499, -0.3285, -0.354, -0.3537, -0.3209, -0.2954, -0.2892, -0.2442, -0.2474, -0.2142, -0.2493, -0.3178, -0.3186, -0.3385, -0.3294, -0.3244, -0.329, -0.329, -0.3254, -0.3405, -0.3312, -0.3315, -0.3369, -0.3342, -0.3504, -0.3477, -0.3905, -0.3951, -0.4245, -0.4289, -0.4352, -0.4001, -0.3806, -0.382, -0.375, -0.4142, -0.4142, -0.4165, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1994806383456522482", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T16:31:18+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Well someone is hedging the Euro & EU… #Italy #GOLD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold as a hedge against Euro/EU deterioration amid Italy-ECB gold ownership dispute.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well someone is hedging the Euro &amp; EU…\n\n#Italy #GOLD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Indications of EU fragmentation grow.\n\n(Gold as proxy for EU deterioration,\nGrowing dissent among euro nations on gold treatment.)\n\nItaly’s renewed push to assert state ownership over its gold reserves has triggered formal objections from the European Central Bank, which argues https://t.co/w5CdDeaUCu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004797934874118059, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004797934874118059, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009384344291265556, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009384344291265556, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006440050713598433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006440050713598433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008292237119505552, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008292237119505552, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": -0.011109651243786045, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011109651243786045, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016048784837773944, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016048784837773944, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939133593987899, "ret_p1m": 0.023450967667575373, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023450967667575373, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01055893971343802, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01055893971343802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892027954137353, "ret_p3m": 0.22509303652682, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22509303652682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20882484384334532, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20882484384334532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": 0.06221937139191791, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06221937139191791, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04743397193843335, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04743397193843335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023450967667575373, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01055893971343802, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01055893971343802, "price_path": [-0.1581, -0.1618, -0.1506, -0.1409, -0.1429, -0.1398, -0.1411, -0.1394, -0.1304, -0.1287, -0.1354, -0.1389, -0.1297, -0.1147, -0.1111, -0.1191, -0.1155, -0.1104, -0.0957, -0.088, -0.0865, -0.0897, -0.0824, -0.0651, -0.0603, -0.0448, -0.0624, -0.0529, -0.0299, -0.023, -0.0061, 0.0172, -0.0019, 0.0344, -0.0321, -0.032, -0.0281, -0.0314, -0.0583, -0.0651, -0.0686, -0.0503, -0.0555, -0.0538, -0.0704, -0.0596, -0.0608, -0.055, -0.0292, -0.0253, -0.0096, -0.0177, -0.0354, -0.0464, -0.0395, -0.0379, -0.0382, -0.0397, -0.0245, -0.0248, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0048, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0074, -0.0067, -0.0085, -0.0111, -0.006, -0.0018, 0.009, 0.0146, 0.0155, 0.0158, 0.0245, 0.0226, 0.0238, 0.0474, 0.0613, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0692, 0.0227, 0.0235, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0219, 0.0488, 0.0601, 0.05, 0.0558, 0.0634, 0.0833, 0.0818, 0.0929, 0.0862, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.1218, 0.1382, 0.1592, 0.1751, 0.1923, 0.2216, 0.2689, 0.2724, 0.1416, 0.0959, 0.1656, 0.1648, 0.1338, 0.1686, 0.1983, 0.1864, 0.1998, 0.1582, 0.187, 0.187, 0.15, 0.1758, 0.1791, 0.2024, 0.2348, 0.2177, 0.2147, 0.2251, 0.2412, 0.2572, 0.2011, 0.2105, 0.196, 0.2149, 0.2124, 0.2261, 0.2219, 0.1979, 0.1824, 0.1813, 0.1784, 0.1411, 0.0941, 0.0606, 0.0367, 0.0369, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.064, 0.0637, 0.104, 0.1233, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.0972, 0.1079, 0.1149, 0.1236, 0.1216, 0.117, 0.142, 0.1301, 0.1291, 0.1441, 0.1343, 0.1022, 0.1168, 0.1059, 0.1116, 0.103, 0.0825, 0.071, 0.087, 0.0858, 0.064, 0.0732, 0.1057, 0.1076, 0.1129, 0.1152, 0.1108, 0.1046, 0.0961, 0.0707, 0.0736, 0.0558, 0.0709, 0.0699, 0.0618, 0.0618, 0.0622]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995824390441677159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T11:56:29+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Unlikely given expected $8T of capex is needed to create 100GW of data center energy that requires $800B profit JUST to service interest expense. D.O.A.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: data center capex math ($8T / $800B interest) makes infinite GPU demand thesis dead on arrival.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Infinite GPU demand at risk…\n$NVDA\n\nUnlikely given expected $8T of capex is needed to create 100GW of data center energy that requires $800B profit JUST to service interest expense. \n\nD.O.A.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$IBM CEO says that at today’s costs it takes about $80B to build &amp; fill a 1 GW AI data center, so the ~100 GW of announced capacity implies roughly $8T of capex &amp; “no way you’re going to get a return on that,” since you’d need “about $800B of profit just to pay for the interest” https://t.co/76I5OpsRTa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008486644875555394, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008486644875555394, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006637882721777233, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009514051471721574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018000696347276968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010305283802814369, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010305283802814369, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013768123493897555, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024049284876633603, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013744001073819234, "ret_p1w": 0.01939990977530215, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01939990977530215, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017184266668569093, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007225579056057363, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02662548883135951, "ret_p1m": 0.027831995483039718, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027831995483039718, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024303147921759694, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02276678446835212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005065211014687598, "ret_p3m": -0.023476944625980933, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.023476944625980933, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03299526144876841, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1575905684696749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13411362384369396, "ret_p6m": 0.1717367681809585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717367681809585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06432679329916535, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4902084322863165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.661945200467275, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027831995483039718, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024303147921759694, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02276678446835212, "price_path": [-0.0541, -0.0796, -0.0725, -0.059, -0.0228, -0.0236, -0.0201, -0.0204, -0.0363, -0.0616, -0.0288, -0.0264, 0.0118, -0.0167, -0.0247, -0.0208, -0.018, 0.0021, 0.0282, 0.0319, 0.0409, 0.0339, 0.0225, 0.0197, 0.0422, 0.0612, 0.0094, 0.0378, -0.0079, -0.009, 0.0019, 0.0097, 0.0065, -0.0017, -0.0065, 0.0039, 0.0265, 0.0553, 0.1078, 0.141, 0.1181, 0.1159, 0.1401, 0.095, 0.0758, 0.0365, 0.0369, 0.0969, 0.0645, 0.068, 0.0298, 0.048, 0.0283, -0.0006, 0.0279, -0.0045, -0.0142, 0.006, -0.0201, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0246, -0.0085, 0.0, -0.0103, 0.0106, 0.0053, 0.0226, 0.0194, 0.0128, -0.0029, -0.0354, -0.0284, -0.0206, -0.0579, -0.0403, -0.0025, 0.0123, 0.0428, 0.0395, 0.0395, 0.05, 0.0373, 0.0336, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0408, 0.0368, 0.0319, 0.0422, 0.0198, 0.0188, 0.0192, 0.024, 0.0093, 0.0309, 0.0263, 0.0263, -0.0186, 0.0103, 0.0187, 0.0343, 0.0277, 0.039, 0.0555, 0.061, 0.0533, 0.0229, -0.0061, -0.04, -0.0527, 0.0218, 0.0473, 0.0391, 0.0474, 0.0303, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0194, 0.036, 0.0355, 0.0461, 0.0557, 0.0628, 0.0778, 0.019, -0.0235, 0.0057, -0.0077, 0.0088, 0.0104, -0.02, 0.0066, 0.0183, 0.0253, 0.0094, -0.0066, 0.0098, 0.0027, -0.0057, -0.0159, -0.0482, -0.032, -0.0344, -0.0152, -0.0562, -0.0767, -0.0897, -0.0388, -0.0314, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0209, -0.0184, 0.0035, 0.0136, 0.0396, 0.0434, 0.0831, 0.0961, 0.0932, 0.1116, 0.1136, 0.1016, 0.1161, 0.1003, 0.1479, 0.1938, 0.1749, 0.1533, 0.0999, 0.0937, 0.0939, 0.083, 0.1454, 0.1657, 0.1861, 0.2094, 0.2168, 0.2447, 0.2993, 0.2418, 0.2253, 0.2159, 0.2316, 0.2098, 0.1868, 0.1868, 0.1842, 0.1717]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016558480887275982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T17:06:22+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly recommended November 2020 as a 10 year trend Long play of which we are only halfway through!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long uranium via CCJ/URA; reaffirms a 10-year trend from Nov 2020 now only halfway through.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fascinating how uranium is just getting on the radar for many 🤔\n\nI strongly recommended November 2020 as a 10 year trend Long play of which we are only halfway through!\n\nI have many client write ups on this, repeating the same mantra.\n\nTHINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n$CCJ $URA etc etc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Uranium looks like it's the next commodity to move higher. \n\nThen again, every commodity looks like the next commodity to move higher. \n\nLong the Periodic Table. All of it. \n\n$U.UN https://t.co/8E8ynff5Bu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06055630799426748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06055630799426748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06065698270897024, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052963907176754144, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007592400817513334, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003132211055379308, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003132211055379308, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001147833900545514, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012322983781316577, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009190772725937268, "ret_p1w": -0.14370942776751472, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14370942776751472, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13043695337272987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19925390642631535, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05554447865880063, "ret_p1m": -0.1186516255293465, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1186516255293465, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10985119078398775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21855174934083788, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09990012381149138, "ret_p3m": -0.08188527129101264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08188527129101264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11309399168009537, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22356201137027065, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.141676740079258, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2392, -0.2494, -0.2784, -0.2911, -0.3283, -0.3133, -0.2986, -0.3114, -0.311, -0.36, -0.3691, -0.382, -0.38, -0.3581, -0.3898, -0.4087, -0.3797, -0.3498, -0.339, -0.339, -0.3412, -0.3472, -0.342, -0.3329, -0.2983, -0.3193, -0.3221, -0.3038, -0.3008, -0.286, -0.3177, -0.3304, -0.3508, -0.3672, -0.3469, -0.3289, -0.3161, -0.3034, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.3076, -0.3076, -0.3186, -0.3177, -0.3177, -0.265, -0.253, -0.2386, -0.2248, -0.2113, -0.1979, -0.1812, -0.1877, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.1364, -0.0877, -0.0911, -0.0749, -0.0957, -0.0606, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.0798, -0.1035, -0.0592, -0.1437, -0.185, -0.1526, -0.1, -0.1193, -0.1112, -0.132, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1577, -0.1312, -0.1123, -0.095, -0.1144, -0.097, -0.1072, -0.1187, -0.117, -0.0623, -0.1216, -0.1033, -0.148, -0.182, -0.1339, -0.1045, -0.1395, -0.1401, -0.1952, -0.1773, -0.1683, -0.1841, -0.205, -0.2427, -0.2127, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.2194, -0.225, -0.2331, -0.19, -0.1712, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1761, -0.1779, -0.1357, -0.1383, -0.1346, -0.1297, -0.1345, -0.1117, -0.1031, -0.1002, -0.0781, -0.1304, -0.0568, -0.0764, -0.089, -0.0819, -0.1326, -0.1477, -0.0824, -0.1006, -0.1181, -0.1464, -0.077, -0.1147, -0.1293, -0.104, -0.128, -0.1395, -0.1609, -0.1982, -0.2159, -0.228, -0.2243, -0.2145, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.1933, -0.1987, -0.175, -0.1595, -0.1603, -0.1013, -0.1456, -0.1497, -0.2286, -0.2137, -0.2373, -0.2913, -0.2619, -0.2471, -0.2019, -0.1955, -0.2119, -0.2058, -0.2058, -0.2058, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016558480887275982", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T17:06:22+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly recommended November 2020 as a 10 year trend Long play of which we are only halfway through!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long uranium via CCJ/URA; reaffirms a 10-year trend from Nov 2020 now only halfway through.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fascinating how uranium is just getting on the radar for many 🤔\n\nI strongly recommended November 2020 as a 10 year trend Long play of which we are only halfway through!\n\nI have many client write ups on this, repeating the same mantra.\n\nTHINGS OVER PAPER™️\n\n$CCJ $URA etc etc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Uranium looks like it's the next commodity to move higher. \n\nThen again, every commodity looks like the next commodity to move higher. \n\nLong the Periodic Table. All of it. \n\n$U.UN https://t.co/8E8ynff5Bu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06406734850650064, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06406734850650064, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06416802322120341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06416802322120341, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040122949152820664, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040122949152820664, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03813857199798687, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03813857199798687, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "ret_p1w": -0.1524025525699647, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1524025525699647, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13913007817517986, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13913007817517986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "ret_p1m": -0.11227960341714416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11227960341714416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10347916867178542, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10347916867178542, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "ret_p3m": -0.08267271471959015, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08267271471959015, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11388143510867288, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11388143510867288, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1489, -0.1881, -0.2321, -0.2273, -0.2721, -0.2616, -0.2449, -0.2675, -0.2644, -0.2999, -0.309, -0.3249, -0.3247, -0.303, -0.3498, -0.3578, -0.3315, -0.322, -0.3084, -0.3084, -0.3008, -0.3175, -0.3011, -0.2801, -0.2403, -0.26, -0.2617, -0.2568, -0.2636, -0.2434, -0.2889, -0.3108, -0.3164, -0.3405, -0.3212, -0.2914, -0.2869, -0.281, -0.281, -0.281, -0.2915, -0.2937, -0.3074, -0.3087, -0.3087, -0.2548, -0.2132, -0.2013, -0.1938, -0.199, -0.1861, -0.1626, -0.1786, -0.1492, -0.1461, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1244, -0.0916, -0.0849, -0.0778, -0.1113, -0.0641, 0.0, -0.0401, -0.1103, -0.1382, -0.0895, -0.1524, -0.2055, -0.1561, -0.1118, -0.1344, -0.131, -0.1628, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1697, -0.1427, -0.1276, -0.1205, -0.1354, -0.111, -0.1071, -0.1123, -0.1209, -0.0867, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1901, -0.2108, -0.1738, -0.1537, -0.1691, -0.1786, -0.2026, -0.1919, -0.1827, -0.2061, -0.2191, -0.2487, -0.221, -0.2204, -0.2081, -0.2445, -0.2456, -0.2673, -0.2165, -0.203, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.2136, -0.2242, -0.1684, -0.176, -0.1755, -0.1558, -0.1451, -0.1128, -0.1058, -0.0963, -0.0932, -0.1306, -0.066, -0.0864, -0.1052, -0.0827, -0.1226, -0.1443, -0.0872, -0.0966, -0.1139, -0.1231, -0.0574, -0.0898, -0.1073, -0.0741, -0.1207, -0.1375, -0.1506, -0.1922, -0.2124, -0.2364, -0.2228, -0.2095, -0.2079, -0.2079, -0.1772, -0.1885, -0.1789, -0.1788, -0.1823, -0.1357, -0.1848, -0.1865, -0.2669, -0.2571, -0.2862, -0.3148, -0.2747, -0.2635, -0.2225, -0.2255, -0.238, -0.227, -0.227, -0.227, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017280269397455280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:54:30+00:00", "symbol": "TTWO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "shorted TTWO at the open and it just broke the 200 day. so i may add here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short TTWO at open with potential add after 200-day break; Google Genie seen as watershed threat to video game industry names TTWO, U, RBLX.", "resolved_tickers": ["TTWO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Gaming & Multimedia'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Gaming & Multimedia", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Luke at the open in my live trading room:\n\n\"shorted TTWO at the open and it just broke the 200 day. so i may add here. wrote a lengthy post about the turing test being passed across multiple audio/visual forms, but last nights google genie release was a watershed moment for video game industry. @DJ_Tao 🔥🎇🎉 $TTWO $U $RBLX \n\nhttps://t.co/AYGh1aU1FJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0861098545525043, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0861098545525043, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0831183596873748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08852491319846523, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991494865129507, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024150586459609213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006854264575208324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006854264575208324, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018828640499941596, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010268682010032282, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971400525214165, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0034144174348239575, "ret_p1w": -0.11216525815508849, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11216525815508849, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11021434878445424, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07618923409756051, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0019509093706342462, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03597602405752798, "ret_p1m": -0.029142070267865527, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029142070267865527, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021063810435396735, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01073771717086669, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008078259832468793, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018404353096998838, "ret_p3m": -0.02251478277420571, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02251478277420571, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05366265010598392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014311451557232902, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147867331778212, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03682623433143861, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11216525815508849, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11021434878445424, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07618923409756051, "price_path": [0.1458, 0.1564, 0.1457, 0.0531, 0.0625, 0.0926, 0.091, 0.0783, 0.0669, 0.0603, 0.0853, 0.0915, 0.0684, 0.0689, 0.0852, 0.0978, 0.1059, 0.1059, 0.117, 0.1318, 0.1204, 0.1119, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1225, 0.1291, 0.1167, 0.1004, 0.0961, 0.1101, 0.11, 0.0919, 0.1196, 0.123, 0.1284, 0.1313, 0.1421, 0.1421, 0.1625, 0.1607, 0.1707, 0.1622, 0.1622, 0.1421, 0.168, 0.1546, 0.1651, 0.1456, 0.138, 0.1299, 0.1234, 0.1143, 0.1091, 0.0901, 0.0901, 0.0922, 0.0814, 0.0944, 0.1154, 0.115, 0.1145, 0.1039, 0.0861, 0.0, 0.0069, -0.0369, -0.0887, -0.1228, -0.1122, -0.0693, -0.0435, -0.0745, -0.1359, -0.1209, -0.1209, -0.12, -0.0961, -0.0859, -0.0934, -0.1122, -0.0731, -0.059, -0.0318, -0.04, -0.0291, -0.0148, -0.0206, -0.0353, -0.0399, -0.0257, -0.0509, -0.0418, -0.0504, -0.0532, -0.0572, -0.0616, -0.073, -0.0842, -0.0893, -0.0883, -0.1313, -0.1237, -0.1161, -0.1389, -0.1236, -0.1035, -0.1003, -0.0927, -0.0927, -0.1072, -0.0997, -0.0825, -0.101, -0.1054, -0.086, -0.069, -0.0279, -0.0289, -0.0375, -0.0157, -0.012, -0.0096, -0.0472, -0.0433, -0.0296, -0.0331, -0.0225, -0.0297, -0.0194, 0.0222, 0.0128, 0.0077, 0.0145, 0.0007, 0.0053, 0.0258, 0.0304, 0.1004, 0.1005, 0.0992, 0.081, 0.0741, 0.0807, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0017, -0.0084, -0.011, 0.0175, 0.0303, 0.0094, -0.0204, -0.0166, -0.0268, -0.0352, -0.0374, -0.0447, -0.0373, -0.0388, -0.0185, 0.0439, 0.0351, 0.0862, 0.0862, 0.0862, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011578979841687892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T23:19:36+00:00", "symbol": "SPOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tech Short still working - esp $SPOT 🤭", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short SPOT highlighted as especially working within the tech short basket.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tech Short still working - esp $SPOT 🤭", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Growth Shorts To Fund Value Longs (Part 1)\n\n$AMD $TSLA $ORCL $NFLX $AAPL $CSCO $AVGO $PLTR $SPOT\n\nI cover active short trades across major tech and AI stocks, highlighting failed breakouts, key downside targets, and why many names remain weak. https://t.co/O5xF6Y7qdK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04109907490364151, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04109907490364151, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04381488756530816, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037398921611482505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00271581266166665, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003700153292159003, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006967971981302834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006967971981302834, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006130066792140787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001981392210241517, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000837905189162047, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008949364191544351, "ret_p1w": -0.01850246779462683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01850246779462683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013793162304836515, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018846658910926406, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709305489790316, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003441911162995748, "ret_p1m": -0.09782696514272005, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09782696514272005, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08267322864222981, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08380061733252575, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153736500490234, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014026347810194295, "ret_p3m": 0.0065348727478165, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0065348727478165, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0005880771124755491, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0003223745795837285, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946795635340951, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006212498168232772, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09782696514272005, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08267322864222981, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08380061733252575, "price_path": [0.3297, 0.3566, 0.3299, 0.3264, 0.2711, 0.2948, 0.2862, 0.3103, 0.2926, 0.2899, 0.2678, 0.2393, 0.2204, 0.2168, 0.2143, 0.2261, 0.2589, 0.2752, 0.2702, 0.2514, 0.261, 0.2528, 0.2175, 0.1598, 0.1487, 0.1514, 0.1524, 0.1666, 0.1666, 0.1788, 0.1395, 0.1353, 0.0967, 0.1042, 0.112, 0.1266, 0.1607, 0.1995, 0.1788, 0.1767, 0.136, 0.1398, 0.1145, 0.1098, 0.1459, 0.1393, 0.1404, 0.1546, 0.1546, 0.1502, 0.144, 0.1351, 0.143, 0.143, 0.1318, 0.168, 0.1248, 0.1212, 0.0898, 0.0617, 0.0432, 0.0524, 0.0411, 0.0, -0.007, -0.007, 0.0065, -0.0115, -0.0185, 0.0102, 0.009, 0.0072, 0.0013, -0.0081, -0.0151, 0.0011, -0.067, -0.1329, -0.1876, -0.1682, -0.1835, -0.063, -0.0411, -0.1225, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.089, -0.06, -0.0448, -0.0343, -0.0791, -0.0834, -0.0881, -0.0244, 0.0136, -0.0015, 0.0235, 0.0513, 0.0868, 0.1125, 0.0725, 0.0437, 0.0125, 0.0031, 0.0158, 0.0314, 0.0338, 0.0171, -0.0502, -0.0659, -0.0308, -0.0456, -0.0686, -0.0588, -0.07, -0.065, -0.0455, -0.0749, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0464, -0.0489, -0.049, -0.0422, -0.0631, -0.0078, 0.0065, 0.0455, 0.0461, 0.0562, 0.0565, 0.0283, 0.0292, 0.0155, 0.0196, -0.0241, -0.1453, -0.1269, -0.121, -0.131, -0.1374, -0.1742, -0.163, -0.1587, -0.1776, -0.1743, -0.1482, -0.1518, -0.1486, -0.1399, -0.1241, -0.1308, -0.1471, -0.0356, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0427, 0.0094, 0.0171, -0.0204, -0.0006, -0.0129, -0.0404, -0.0285, -0.0218, -0.0097, -0.0233, -0.0097, -0.0434, -0.0513, -0.0555, -0.0753, -0.1032, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.0787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012141978239344907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T12:36:46+00:00", "symbol": "KWEB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Earnings growth for China's tech megacaps … poised to overtake MAG 7", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish China tech megacaps via KWEB/FXI/KSEC on earnings growth poised to surpass MAG 7.", "resolved_tickers": ["KWEB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Earnings growth for China’s tech megacaps … poised to overtake MAG 7\n\n$KWEB $FXI $KSEC https://t.co/xb7rd6dzu2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01876230749985952, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01876230749985952, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017923699636817503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017923699636817503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.0053207069806078255, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0053207069806078255, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008834024149766417, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008834024149766417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "ret_p1m": -0.08176976319820128, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08176976319820128, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06744192651816938, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06744192651816938, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "ret_p3m": -0.16998039345970084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16998039345970084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18471533597740342, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18471533597740342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16998039345970084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18471533597740342, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18471533597740342, "price_path": [0.0545, 0.0416, 0.0629, 0.0709, 0.0914, 0.0838, 0.0864, 0.0616, 0.0545, 0.0545, 0.0307, 0.0387, 0.0426, 0.0286, 0.0513, 0.045, 0.0379, 0.0244, 0.0094, 0.0012, -0.0012, -0.0155, -0.0437, -0.0376, -0.0096, -0.0038, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0083, 0.0028, -0.0075, -0.0197, -0.0202, -0.0078, -0.0091, -0.0218, -0.0184, -0.0231, -0.0263, -0.0429, -0.0458, -0.0537, -0.0448, -0.0366, -0.0266, -0.0316, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0246, -0.0347, -0.037, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0022, 0.0207, 0.0176, -0.0053, 0.0059, 0.0034, 0.0546, 0.0339, 0.0311, 0.0188, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0207, -0.0036, 0.005, 0.0053, 0.0031, 0.0053, 0.0106, 0.0162, -0.0092, -0.0179, -0.0361, -0.0641, -0.0655, -0.0392, -0.0384, -0.0392, -0.0451, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.0837, -0.079, -0.0829, -0.0843, -0.0961, -0.0969, -0.0972, -0.119, -0.1302, -0.1417, -0.1652, -0.1602, -0.1767, -0.168, -0.1448, -0.1322, -0.1462, -0.1582, -0.1554, -0.142, -0.1481, -0.1753, -0.1854, -0.2095, -0.2036, -0.2081, -0.184, -0.2103, -0.2184, -0.2221, -0.2039, -0.2075, -0.2134, -0.2134, -0.212, -0.2142, -0.1851, -0.1938, -0.1963, -0.1957, -0.1775, -0.17, -0.1571, -0.1473, -0.1518, -0.1764, -0.1815, -0.2039, -0.1927, -0.2058, -0.2128, -0.2156, -0.1943, -0.1941, -0.1994, -0.2011, -0.1666, -0.1733, -0.1725, -0.1714, -0.1837, -0.1434, -0.1823, -0.2111, -0.2142, -0.2081, -0.2125, -0.2263, -0.2464, -0.2464, -0.2366, -0.2428, -0.2534, -0.2515, -0.2338, -0.2067, -0.2377, -0.2403, -0.2613, -0.2686, -0.2663, -0.2596, -0.256, -0.2582, -0.2546, -0.2753, -0.2893, -0.2932, -0.2932, -0.2932, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012141978239344907", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-16T12:36:46+00:00", "symbol": "FXI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Earnings growth for China's tech megacaps … poised to overtake MAG 7", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish China tech megacaps via KWEB/FXI/KSEC on earnings growth poised to surpass MAG 7.", "resolved_tickers": ["FXI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Earnings growth for China’s tech megacaps … poised to overtake MAG 7\n\n$KWEB $FXI $KSEC https://t.co/xb7rd6dzu2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017811680448088563, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017811680448088563, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016973072585046545, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016973072585046545, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000838607863042018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.003562277412671344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003562277412671344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007075594581829936, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007075594581829936, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003513317169158592, "ret_p1m": -0.024681870711020792, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024681870711020792, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01035403403098889, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01035403403098889, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327836680031902, "ret_p3m": -0.06157754339380217, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06157754339380217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07631248591150475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07631248591150475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734942517702576, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06157754339380217, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07631248591150475, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07631248591150475, "price_path": [0.0054, 0.0003, 0.0172, 0.0207, 0.0341, 0.0285, 0.0313, 0.0107, -0.0004, 0.0026, -0.009, 0.0011, 0.0104, 0.0054, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0298, 0.0232, 0.0099, -0.0014, -0.0055, -0.0155, -0.0289, -0.0253, -0.0095, -0.0032, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0049, -0.0022, -0.006, -0.013, -0.0105, 0.0041, -0.0065, -0.0228, -0.016, -0.0135, -0.0163, -0.0248, -0.0341, -0.0369, -0.0277, -0.0178, -0.017, -0.0196, -0.0191, -0.0191, -0.0094, -0.0211, -0.016, -0.0257, -0.0257, 0.0132, 0.016, 0.0155, -0.0005, 0.0025, 0.0013, 0.0341, 0.0242, 0.0188, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0109, 0.001, 0.0046, 0.0036, 0.0038, 0.0163, 0.0305, 0.0377, 0.0079, -0.0033, -0.0148, -0.0262, -0.028, -0.002, 0.0025, 0.0059, 0.0043, -0.0163, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0198, -0.0148, -0.0176, -0.0125, -0.0158, -0.0237, -0.0224, -0.0486, -0.0514, -0.0611, -0.0824, -0.0786, -0.0947, -0.0885, -0.0718, -0.069, -0.0738, -0.0799, -0.0779, -0.0616, -0.0613, -0.0789, -0.0791, -0.1053, -0.0997, -0.1008, -0.084, -0.1112, -0.1132, -0.1094, -0.0865, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.0954, -0.0972, -0.0751, -0.0766, -0.0776, -0.0723, -0.0613, -0.0616, -0.0527, -0.0433, -0.0417, -0.0557, -0.0593, -0.0715, -0.0621, -0.0725, -0.0776, -0.0753, -0.0639, -0.0634, -0.07, -0.0715, -0.0461, -0.0537, -0.0524, -0.0466, -0.0501, -0.0265, -0.0524, -0.0789, -0.0799, -0.0768, -0.0779, -0.0868, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0903, -0.1013, -0.1097, -0.1081, -0.1008, -0.0748, -0.0957, -0.0975, -0.1158, -0.1176, -0.1173, -0.1158, -0.1117, -0.102, -0.0999, -0.114, -0.1373, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.1463, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009381007708012804", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T21:45:39+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Real Commodities are your hedge against inflation if Fed begins buying assets again, because that liquidity they inject will go right to debasement (falling dollar) trades: equities, gold, commodities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "MBS buying = QE → bullish commodities/gold/equities as debasement plays; bearish USD and bitcoin as liquidity flows elsewhere.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THAT'S QE ⚠️🚀\n\nFed bought Mortgage Backed Securities during Covid, but this time IS different:\n\n“Buying assets while inflation is high is road to perdition.\" #MBS\n\nI wrote about it here:\nhttps://t.co/s1wbPygP5o\n\nsee sections:\n👉Leveraged Collateral Shortage, Meet Fed Buying Assets\n\n👉Phase III of this Monetary Illusion & Money Bubble\n\n\"Real Commodities are your hedge against inflation if Fed begins buying assets again, because that liquidity they inject will go right to debasement (falling dollar) trades: equities, gold, commodities - not US treasuries, dollars, bitcoin.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "NEW: Trump says he's instructing unnamed representatives to buy $200 billion in MBS in a bid to narrow mortgage spreads and bring down rates. https://t.co/gTX89jVCfi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007189931665865679, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007189931665865679, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0006199981555448097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0006199981555448097, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018722729613168898, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018722729613168898, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017152296612505058, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017152296612505058, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "ret_p1w": 0.01645476706186777, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01645476706186777, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019927064797010563, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019927064797010563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "ret_p1m": 0.12681254953022725, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12681254953022725, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12698538202945586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12698538202945586, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "ret_p3m": 0.048399154340513784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.048399154340513784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07175956623881574, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07175956623881574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12681254953022725, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12698538202945586, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12698538202945586, "price_path": [-0.0813, -0.0653, -0.0435, -0.0615, -0.0273, -0.0898, -0.0897, -0.0861, -0.0892, -0.1145, -0.1209, -0.1242, -0.107, -0.1118, -0.1102, -0.1258, -0.1157, -0.1168, -0.1114, -0.0871, -0.0835, -0.0687, -0.0762, -0.0929, -0.1033, -0.0968, -0.0953, -0.0956, -0.097, -0.0827, -0.083, -0.0756, -0.0756, -0.0642, -0.0596, -0.0657, -0.0666, -0.066, -0.0676, -0.0701, -0.0653, -0.0613, -0.0512, -0.0459, -0.045, -0.0448, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0373, -0.0151, -0.002, -0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0055, -0.0383, -0.0376, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0391, -0.0138, -0.0031, -0.0126, -0.0072, 0.0, 0.0187, 0.0173, 0.0277, 0.0214, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0549, 0.0703, 0.09, 0.105, 0.1212, 0.1487, 0.1932, 0.1965, 0.0735, 0.0305, 0.0961, 0.0953, 0.0661, 0.0989, 0.1268, 0.1156, 0.1283, 0.0891, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.0814, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1306, 0.1612, 0.1451, 0.1422, 0.152, 0.1672, 0.1822, 0.1295, 0.1383, 0.1246, 0.1424, 0.1401, 0.1529, 0.149, 0.1265, 0.1119, 0.1109, 0.1081, 0.073, 0.0288, -0.0026, -0.0252, -0.0249, 0.0044, -0.0334, 0.0006, 0.0003, 0.0382, 0.0563, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0318, 0.0418, 0.0484, 0.0566, 0.0547, 0.0504, 0.0739, 0.0627, 0.0618, 0.0759, 0.0666, 0.0364, 0.0502, 0.04, 0.0453, 0.0372, 0.018, 0.0071, 0.0222, 0.021, 0.0006, 0.0092, 0.0398, 0.0415, 0.0466, 0.0487, 0.0445, 0.0387, 0.0307, 0.0068, 0.0096, -0.0072, 0.0071, 0.0061, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0011, -0.0144, -0.0041, 0.0064, -0.0077, -0.0061, -0.0159, -0.0077, -0.044, -0.0415, -0.0572, -0.0962, -0.0679, -0.0674, -0.0432, -0.0406, -0.0624, -0.066, -0.066, -0.066, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009381007708012804", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-08T21:45:39+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that liquidity they inject will go right to debasement (falling dollar) trades: equities, gold, commodities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "MBS buying = QE → bullish commodities/gold/equities as debasement plays; bearish USD and bitcoin as liquidity flows elsewhere.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THAT'S QE ⚠️🚀\n\nFed bought Mortgage Backed Securities during Covid, but this time IS different:\n\n“Buying assets while inflation is high is road to perdition.\" #MBS\n\nI wrote about it here:\nhttps://t.co/s1wbPygP5o\n\nsee sections:\n👉Leveraged Collateral Shortage, Meet Fed Buying Assets\n\n👉Phase III of this Monetary Illusion & Money Bubble\n\n\"Real Commodities are your hedge against inflation if Fed begins buying assets again, because that liquidity they inject will go right to debasement (falling dollar) trades: equities, gold, commodities - not US treasuries, dollars, bitcoin.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "NEW: Trump says he's instructing unnamed representatives to buy $200 billion in MBS in a bid to narrow mortgage spreads and bring down rates. https://t.co/gTX89jVCfi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "ret_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "ret_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00017283249922861454, "ret_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.00017283249922861454, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0487, -0.0445, -0.051, -0.0456, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0407, -0.035, -0.0271, -0.0156, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0234, -0.0202, -0.0184, -0.03, -0.0266, -0.0371, -0.0361, -0.0211, -0.0188, -0.0183, -0.0346, -0.0348, -0.0437, -0.0518, -0.0481, -0.0626, -0.0533, -0.0393, -0.0303, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0183, -0.0228, -0.021, -0.0176, -0.0169, -0.015, -0.0179, -0.0188, -0.0123, -0.01, -0.0206, -0.0221, -0.0248, -0.0355, -0.0282, -0.0194, -0.0133, -0.0088, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.0054, -0.009, -0.0102, -0.0175, -0.0175, -0.0157, -0.0091, -0.0033, -0.0065, -0.0066, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0004, -0.0053, -0.0026, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0238, -0.0125, -0.0073, -0.007, -0.0019, 0.002, 0.0019, -0.0, -0.003, 0.0019, -0.0065, -0.0114, -0.0237, -0.005, -0.0002, -0.0028, -0.003, -0.0184, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0162, -0.0112, -0.0138, -0.0067, -0.0168, -0.0097, -0.0013, -0.0069, -0.0116, -0.0111, -0.0198, -0.0129, -0.0184, -0.0313, -0.0228, -0.0243, -0.0256, -0.0404, -0.0458, -0.0361, -0.0335, -0.047, -0.0494, -0.063, -0.0532, -0.0563, -0.0511, -0.068, -0.0839, -0.087, -0.0604, -0.0534, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.048, -0.0476, -0.0234, -0.0177, -0.0184, -0.0088, 0.0033, 0.0112, 0.0137, 0.0259, 0.0239, 0.0172, 0.0275, 0.0235, 0.0314, 0.0332, 0.0282, 0.028, 0.0383, 0.0411, 0.0373, 0.0456, 0.0602, 0.0569, 0.0656, 0.0681, 0.0665, 0.0724, 0.0809, 0.0679, 0.0671, 0.06, 0.0709, 0.073, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0844, 0.0842, 0.0902, 0.0929, 0.0959, 0.0974, 0.0897, 0.0938, 0.0655, 0.068, 0.0648, 0.048, 0.0659, 0.0716, 0.0905, 0.084, 0.0705, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0816, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001652202579071321", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-18T13:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVGO all the way to/thru $331.42 where it can bounce before $308.78", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AVGO targeting $331.42 then $308.78; long LULU pushing through $220 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVGO all the way to/thru $331.42 where it can bounce before $308.78, and...\n\n$LULU just as much a beast higher as AVGO was lower. Pushing up/thru my $220 target!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Freaken awesome $AVGO short set up. \nAnd $LULU long still working. 🫢", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011701347939924611, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011701347939924611, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004206589149271411, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011365650009189765, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074947587906532, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023066997949114376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03176900175650266, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03176900175650266, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022705587330929644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005908659453248033, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063414425573013, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025860342303254624, "ret_p1w": 0.06369005230311187, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06369005230311187, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0401117289169699, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011701105786937616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023578323386141964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05198894651617425, "ret_p1m": 0.06821547756370094, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06821547756370094, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04273944748241165, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08840328338540493, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02547603008128929, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15661876094910587, "ret_p3m": -0.024115569712512608, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024115569712512608, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0186490645540891, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17059485915256722, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466505158423507, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14647928944005462, "ret_p6m": 0.1628593011830175, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1628593011830175, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0601148588663416, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6280379895039305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1027444423166759, "bench_c_p6m": 0.790897290686948, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06369005230311187, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0401117289169699, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011701105786937616, "price_path": [0.027, 0.0275, 0.0286, 0.0189, 0.0141, -0.006, 0.0001, 0.0106, 0.0252, 0.0257, 0.017, 0.0198, 0.0474, 0.0459, -0.0159, 0.0813, 0.0432, 0.065, 0.0736, 0.059, 0.0587, 0.0387, 0.0316, 0.0437, 0.0735, 0.0975, 0.1306, 0.1701, 0.1412, 0.1205, 0.099, 0.0669, 0.0882, 0.0779, 0.0593, 0.0864, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0306, 0.0381, 0.0387, 0.0322, 0.0744, 0.0514, 0.0313, 0.1457, 0.1672, 0.2052, 0.2052, 0.2215, 0.1704, 0.1567, 0.1538, 0.1551, 0.183, 0.2159, 0.2316, 0.2519, 0.2319, 0.0911, 0.0301, 0.0346, -0.0117, 0.0, 0.0318, 0.0371, 0.061, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0695, 0.0612, 0.0626, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0558, 0.043, 0.0441, 0.0433, 0.0098, 0.0477, 0.0697, 0.077, 0.0323, 0.0418, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0102, -0.0014, -0.0114, -0.0279, -0.0134, 0.0108, 0.0121, 0.0045, 0.0062, 0.0056, -0.0271, -0.0644, -0.0569, 0.0111, 0.0446, 0.034, 0.041, 0.0058, -0.0124, -0.0124, 0.01, 0.0129, 0.0144, 0.0103, 0.0033, -0.0114, 0.0093, -0.0229, -0.0295, -0.0317, -0.0468, -0.0356, 0.0107, 0.0037, 0.0501, 0.0405, 0.0374, 0.0204, -0.0215, -0.0132, -0.0241, -0.0405, -0.0286, -0.0569, -0.0184, -0.0313, -0.0297, -0.0583, -0.0849, -0.107, -0.058, -0.0459, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.043, 0.0165, 0.0672, 0.0802, 0.1308, 0.1558, 0.1589, 0.2074, 0.2128, 0.2373, 0.2163, 0.224, 0.2864, 0.2781, 0.2867, 0.2728, 0.2169, 0.234, 0.2705, 0.2822, 0.2676, 0.3007, 0.2949, 0.2557, 0.3087, 0.304, 0.2762, 0.2685, 0.3385, 0.2941, 0.2805, 0.2511, 0.2715, 0.2618, 0.2605, 0.2605, 0.2844, 0.284, 0.2983, 0.3598, 0.4, 0.4657, 0.4586, 0.275, 0.174, 0.2071, 0.1936, 0.1325, 0.1735, 0.1629]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001652202579071321", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-18T13:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LULU just as much a beast higher as AVGO was lower. Pushing up/thru my $220 target!!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AVGO targeting $331.42 then $308.78; long LULU pushing through $220 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVGO all the way to/thru $331.42 where it can bounce before $308.78, and...\n\n$LULU just as much a beast higher as AVGO was lower. Pushing up/thru my $220 target!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Freaken awesome $AVGO short set up. \nAnd $LULU long still working. 🫢", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.033657224083591286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.033657224083591286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026162465292938086, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018780707417830445, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074947587906532, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014876516665760842, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026312136330480795, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026312136330480795, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03537555075605381, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022306951610752912, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063414425573013, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004005184719727883, "ret_p1w": -0.021895805404225976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021895805404225976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04547412879036794, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02592515810065832, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023578323386141964, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004029352696432342, "ret_p1m": -0.06154993006181475, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06154993006181475, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08702596014310404, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06320418423930585, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02547603008128929, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001654254177491099, "ret_p3m": -0.2595880999463094, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2595880999463094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2541215947878859, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1865482167740583, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466505158423507, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07303988317225107, "ret_p6m": -0.44786390076672733, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44786390076672733, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5506083430834032, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4047526757308072, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1027444423166759, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04311122503592013, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021895805404225976, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04547412879036794, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02592515810065832, "price_path": [-0.1939, -0.1942, -0.1668, -0.2004, -0.1804, -0.1674, -0.1728, -0.1745, -0.1716, -0.1837, -0.1906, -0.195, -0.1873, -0.1935, -0.2213, -0.2104, -0.2138, -0.2232, -0.2347, -0.2217, -0.1984, -0.1568, -0.1712, -0.1676, -0.1717, -0.1568, -0.1633, -0.2083, -0.2189, -0.2072, -0.2308, -0.2531, -0.2209, -0.2397, -0.2277, -0.2081, -0.2106, -0.2055, -0.2113, -0.2065, -0.2369, -0.2377, -0.228, -0.2344, -0.2182, -0.2112, -0.1748, -0.1542, -0.1542, -0.1438, -0.152, -0.1521, -0.1525, -0.1465, -0.1167, -0.1491, -0.1526, -0.1278, -0.1306, -0.0471, -0.041, -0.0389, -0.0337, 0.0, -0.0263, -0.0127, -0.0113, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0285, -0.0119, -0.0206, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.02, -0.0126, 0.0036, -0.0158, -0.0137, -0.0521, -0.0282, -0.0149, -0.0556, -0.047, -0.0615, -0.0615, -0.1225, -0.1175, -0.0951, -0.1118, -0.1038, -0.1335, -0.1616, -0.1979, -0.1888, -0.1675, -0.2024, -0.1725, -0.2093, -0.1965, -0.1833, -0.1603, -0.1825, -0.2119, -0.1799, -0.1799, -0.1738, -0.1533, -0.1498, -0.1293, -0.172, -0.1656, -0.1514, -0.1349, -0.1392, -0.181, -0.1899, -0.1948, -0.1949, -0.2091, -0.2108, -0.2263, -0.2432, -0.2646, -0.2665, -0.2566, -0.2596, -0.2311, -0.2303, -0.2431, -0.2358, -0.2518, -0.2621, -0.2962, -0.322, -0.3221, -0.2883, -0.2617, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.274, -0.2856, -0.2615, -0.2259, -0.2383, -0.2443, -0.2534, -0.2435, -0.2426, -0.2224, -0.2245, -0.225, -0.2402, -0.3415, -0.3315, -0.3169, -0.3381, -0.3577, -0.3599, -0.379, -0.4004, -0.3947, -0.3862, -0.379, -0.3902, -0.4127, -0.4183, -0.4365, -0.4372, -0.4461, -0.4409, -0.4458, -0.418, -0.4107, -0.4088, -0.4088, -0.408, -0.3908, -0.3895, -0.3902, -0.3859, -0.4121, -0.4141, -0.4193, -0.469, -0.4535, -0.4358, -0.4471, -0.4336, -0.4479]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012505715168911709", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T12:42:07+00:00", "symbol": "FCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "mine dangers & disruptions (like Grasberg/FCX) are underpriced", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses copper bull case; supply disruption risk at major mines (incl. FCX/Grasberg) is underpriced, supporting higher copper and copper-miner prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Copper'", "bench_c_industry": "Copper", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And… BMI estimates that the world's 20 largest copper mines will account for 36% of global output, and mine dangers &amp; disruptions (like Grasberg/FCX) are underpriced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why you need to consider Copper as a investment bet :\n\n• Copper leads growth\nFor 175 years, every industrial upcycle has been preceded by higher copper prices, well before GDP or PMI confirm it.\n• Demand is locked in\nEVs need ~80 kg copper vs ~20 kg in ICE cars. Grids,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02264028290536535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02264028290536535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04342009336261765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03280845939049026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010168176485124913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008490114045016206, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008490114045016206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003050995236645093, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013298756054408223, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02178887009942443, "ret_p1w": 0.04661225356393861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04661225356393861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02017997460824761, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00946755493341378, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03714469863052483, "ret_p1m": 0.041285120686907595, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.041285120686907595, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028430574741708625, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05894325240803533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10022837309494292, "ret_p3m": 0.17137670699661767, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17137670699661767, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12046102321899133, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09001706254685837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0813596444497593, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.041285120686907595, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.028430574741708625, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05894325240803533, "price_path": [-0.3153, -0.313, -0.3175, -0.3163, -0.2994, -0.307, -0.3075, -0.3162, -0.3454, -0.3323, -0.3582, -0.3389, -0.32, -0.318, -0.3057, -0.3268, -0.3331, -0.3524, -0.3358, -0.315, -0.3419, -0.3379, -0.3226, -0.318, -0.3001, -0.3001, -0.2863, -0.2848, -0.2864, -0.2605, -0.2592, -0.2494, -0.2527, -0.2561, -0.2287, -0.2011, -0.2132, -0.2109, -0.2106, -0.2059, -0.2042, -0.1838, -0.1591, -0.1382, -0.1378, -0.1378, -0.1192, -0.1451, -0.1463, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.1377, -0.0965, -0.0676, -0.0784, -0.0996, -0.0613, -0.0251, -0.0146, 0.0022, -0.0018, -0.0226, -0.0226, 0.0, 0.0085, -0.0203, 0.0057, 0.0183, 0.0466, 0.0593, 0.0842, 0.0027, 0.0115, 0.0766, 0.0298, -0.0142, 0.01, 0.0589, 0.0531, 0.0897, 0.0328, 0.0461, 0.0461, 0.017, 0.0413, 0.0416, 0.0711, 0.0912, 0.13, 0.1457, 0.1383, 0.1333, 0.1368, 0.0916, 0.0976, 0.0431, -0.0118, 0.007, 0.0388, 0.0245, -0.0143, -0.0614, -0.0356, -0.033, -0.0769, -0.1074, -0.1328, -0.0854, -0.0598, -0.0496, -0.0706, -0.0638, -0.0902, -0.0215, 0.0188, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0163, 0.0115, 0.0837, 0.1062, 0.1287, 0.1325, 0.1365, 0.1462, 0.1392, 0.1714, 0.1709, 0.1273, 0.1739, 0.0257, 0.0186, 0.0105, -0.0288, -0.0502, -0.036, -0.0565, -0.0729, -0.0377, 0.0159, 0.0112, 0.0286, 0.0739, 0.1016, 0.1205, 0.1035, 0.0513, 0.0094, -0.0207, 0.0155, 0.0396, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.0738, 0.0616, 0.099, 0.0963, 0.1185, 0.1966, 0.1786, 0.1627, 0.0573, 0.0663, 0.0719, 0.0357, 0.1068, 0.1413, 0.17, 0.1704, 0.1522, 0.1459, 0.1459, 0.1459, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012505715168911709", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T12:42:07+00:00", "symbol": "Copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BMI estimates that the world's 20 largest copper mines will account for 36% of global output, and mine dangers & disruptions (like Grasberg/FCX) are underpriced", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses copper bull case; supply disruption risk at major mines (incl. FCX/Grasberg) is underpriced, supporting higher copper and copper-miner prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CPER United States Copper Index Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And… BMI estimates that the world's 20 largest copper mines will account for 36% of global output, and mine dangers &amp; disruptions (like Grasberg/FCX) are underpriced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why you need to consider Copper as a investment bet :\n\n• Copper leads growth\nFor 175 years, every industrial upcycle has been preceded by higher copper prices, well before GDP or PMI confirm it.\n• Demand is locked in\nEVs need ~80 kg copper vs ~20 kg in ICE cars. Grids,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006440760238953347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006440760238953347, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014339050218298954, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014339050218298954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008400666498453724, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008400666498453724, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012381175931506672, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012381175931506672, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.024363001088967273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024363001088967273, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002069277866723729, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002069277866723729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.003640360032226786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003640360032226786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016494905977425756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016494905977425756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.044245361847172315, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044245361847172315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.006670321930454026, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006670321930454026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003640360032226786, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016494905977425756, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016494905977425756, "price_path": [-0.1204, -0.1154, -0.1067, -0.1042, -0.0983, -0.1159, -0.1171, -0.1241, -0.1451, -0.1353, -0.1367, -0.1411, -0.1148, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1246, -0.1229, -0.1344, -0.1375, -0.1283, -0.1383, -0.1299, -0.1288, -0.1269, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.0961, -0.0958, -0.1, -0.075, -0.0804, -0.0661, -0.0692, -0.0857, -0.0739, -0.0588, -0.0806, -0.0717, -0.079, -0.0694, -0.0686, -0.0591, -0.0554, -0.0437, -0.0423, -0.0423, 0.0028, -0.0428, -0.0129, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0204, 0.0297, 0.0437, 0.0056, -0.0008, 0.0123, 0.0328, 0.033, 0.0501, 0.0297, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0014, 0.0227, 0.0232, 0.0244, 0.03, 0.084, 0.0202, 0.0048, 0.0496, 0.0162, -0.0132, 0.0148, 0.0297, 0.0174, 0.0305, -0.0056, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0216, -0.0036, -0.0048, 0.0129, -0.0008, 0.0165, 0.03, 0.0286, 0.0328, 0.019, -0.0031, 0.0073, -0.0036, -0.0022, 0.0053, 0.0104, 0.0115, -0.0039, -0.0249, -0.0006, -0.014, -0.0577, -0.0557, -0.0941, -0.061, -0.0661, -0.0538, -0.0666, -0.0633, -0.0594, -0.0358, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0395, -0.0456, -0.0129, -0.014, 0.0045, 0.0302, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0344, 0.0442, 0.0364, 0.0238, 0.0529, 0.035, 0.0344, 0.0342, 0.0148, 0.0073, 0.023, 0.0146, -0.0036, 0.0174, 0.0512, 0.0459, 0.0717, 0.1031, 0.1325, 0.1277, 0.1207, 0.068, 0.0753, 0.0538, 0.0801, 0.0804, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.093, 0.0776, 0.0938, 0.0882, 0.119, 0.1369, 0.1039, 0.1126, 0.0664, 0.0795, 0.0809, 0.0563, 0.0905, 0.1075, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.082, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0882, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011060631064248549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T12:59:52+00:00", "symbol": "FSLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Already strongly rec'd long $FSLR from $138 and $TE from $3.50 for clients & still see higher for both", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long FSLR and TE for clients, sees higher prices for both despite recent solar pushback calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["FSLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Solar", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Already strongly rec’d long $FSLR from $138 and $TE from $3.50 for clients &amp; still see higher for both - and despite recent pushback calls on solar. \n\nMight be time for US to join ROW in its strong embrace for alternatives &amp; EV over oil &amp; ICE. We’ve been plain wimpy about it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trump has spoken.  Data Centers need captive “inside the fence” power generation.  The shortest term solution (with $GEV $SIEGY sold out on gas turbines) and nukes taking 6-10 years… are things like $BE $FSLR $TE.  Our note on $TE is below.  $VST $TLN $NRG $CEG and more are all https://t.co/tOpLCZsWmb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014625450656157613, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014625450656157613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016628963458943158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016628963458943158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02034307113727607, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02034307113727607, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015427906677734082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015427906677734082, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "ret_p1w": 0.003107391440600793, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003107391440600793, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02644367672638992, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02644367672638992, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "ret_p1m": -0.056430208330896736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056430208330896736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05382129910666289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05382129910666289, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "ret_p3m": -0.15698541305034863, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15698541305034863, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13903366239336745, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13903366239336745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.056430208330896736, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05382129910666289, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05382129910666289, "price_path": [-0.0148, -0.0394, -0.0512, -0.0601, -0.0746, -0.0512, 0.0002, 0.0262, -0.0073, 0.0015, -0.0322, 0.106, 0.1009, 0.0884, 0.1493, 0.1269, 0.1089, 0.1296, 0.0944, 0.1084, 0.0631, 0.0486, 0.0505, 0.0449, 0.0435, 0.0186, 0.0354, 0.0766, 0.0787, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.1308, 0.0919, 0.0878, 0.0609, 0.066, 0.0673, 0.0602, 0.05, 0.0865, 0.1304, 0.0557, 0.0602, 0.0711, 0.0525, 0.0846, 0.1061, 0.1791, 0.1161, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.1174, 0.1114, 0.095, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.1366, 0.1269, 0.1136, -0.001, 0.0203, -0.0112, -0.0146, 0.0, -0.0203, 0.0094, 0.0098, 0.0098, 0.0031, 0.0098, -0.007, 0.0033, 0.0067, -0.0261, 0.0334, -0.0719, -0.0656, -0.0448, -0.0096, -0.0137, -0.029, -0.0938, -0.0797, -0.0626, -0.0564, -0.0866, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0634, -0.0116, -0.0334, 0.0022, 0.0033, 0.0077, -0.1294, -0.1709, -0.183, -0.1719, -0.1816, -0.1827, -0.2053, -0.2161, -0.1905, -0.1805, -0.1703, -0.1815, -0.1876, -0.1735, -0.1696, -0.1804, -0.1728, -0.2011, -0.2131, -0.201, -0.1983, -0.2301, -0.2116, -0.2348, -0.1827, -0.1738, -0.1908, -0.1908, -0.1897, -0.2032, -0.1681, -0.1828, -0.157, -0.1699, -0.1688, -0.1912, -0.206, -0.211, -0.2025, -0.2268, -0.2181, -0.1871, -0.1972, -0.1818, -0.1885, -0.2103, -0.1635, -0.1228, -0.1242, -0.0911, -0.0968, -0.111, -0.0887, -0.0335, -0.0551, -0.028, -0.0404, -0.0331, -0.032, -0.0814, -0.0145, 0.0312, 0.0683, 0.0683, 0.1185, 0.1339, 0.257, 0.2711, 0.2554, 0.2886, 0.3186, 0.3049, 0.156, 0.141, 0.0863, 0.0328, 0.1235, 0.1075, 0.1332, 0.0953, 0.0557, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011060631064248549", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T12:59:52+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Already strongly rec'd long $FSLR from $138 and $TE from $3.50 for clients & still see higher for both", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long FSLR and TE for clients, sees higher prices for both despite recent solar pushback calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Already strongly rec’d long $FSLR from $138 and $TE from $3.50 for clients &amp; still see higher for both - and despite recent pushback calls on solar. \n\nMight be time for US to join ROW in its strong embrace for alternatives &amp; EV over oil &amp; ICE. We’ve been plain wimpy about it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trump has spoken.  Data Centers need captive “inside the fence” power generation.  The shortest term solution (with $GEV $SIEGY sold out on gas turbines) and nukes taking 6-10 years… are things like $BE $FSLR $TE.  Our note on $TE is below.  $VST $TLN $NRG $CEG and more are all https://t.co/tOpLCZsWmb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08269721174633116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08269721174633116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0847007245491167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07757566468552257, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020035128027855453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0049151644595419874, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015853984735278992, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049151644595419874, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": 0.053435062636442376, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053435062636442376, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0767713479222315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056361607644247136, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336285285789127, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": -0.12849875467244287, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12849875467244287, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12588984544820903, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19453139878551873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089092242338463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": -0.4033078908965054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4033078908965054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38535614023952425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4520364326685785, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01795175065698118, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12849875467244287, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12588984544820903, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19453139878551873, "price_path": [-0.4033, -0.4504, -0.3944, -0.43, -0.4771, -0.528, -0.5585, -0.5127, -0.5293, -0.542, -0.5369, -0.5267, -0.5649, -0.5318, -0.4796, -0.5318, -0.5153, -0.4275, -0.4389, -0.5102, -0.556, -0.5725, -0.5954, -0.6107, -0.6323, -0.6539, -0.6539, -0.6005, -0.5814, -0.5115, -0.5115, -0.4758, -0.4313, -0.3969, -0.4249, -0.3499, -0.2583, -0.2341, -0.1438, -0.2176, -0.2532, -0.3193, -0.3562, -0.3079, -0.3104, -0.2341, -0.1819, -0.0712, -0.0954, -0.1031, -0.1031, -0.1349, -0.1832, -0.173, -0.1501, -0.1501, -0.0025, 0.0433, -0.0267, -0.0738, -0.1336, -0.117, -0.0827, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0573, 0.0394, 0.0394, 0.0534, -0.0051, 0.0649, 0.0814, 0.0356, 0.1603, 0.2074, 0.1298, 0.0598, 0.1018, 0.1565, -0.0165, -0.0751, 0.0522, -0.028, -0.0445, -0.1285, -0.2099, -0.2214, -0.2214, -0.1807, -0.1781, -0.1972, -0.2099, -0.1997, -0.098, -0.0814, -0.0725, -0.2163, -0.1298, -0.1718, -0.0967, -0.1336, -0.145, -0.0891, 0.0153, 0.0356, -0.0153, -0.0305, -0.0178, -0.0089, -0.0674, -0.0191, -0.1603, -0.1298, -0.159, -0.1501, -0.201, -0.2672, -0.285, -0.4415, -0.43, -0.4669, -0.4669, -0.4847, -0.5, -0.4695, -0.4682, -0.4033, -0.3499, -0.3817, -0.3206, -0.3651, -0.3601, -0.3664, -0.3524, -0.3142, -0.3142, -0.327, -0.3244, -0.3766, -0.3779, -0.3893, -0.3448, -0.3511, -0.3206, -0.3295, -0.3448, -0.2163, -0.2316, -0.2557, -0.2863, -0.271, -0.2786, -0.1094, -0.1247, 0.1069, 0.1094, 0.028, 0.028, 0.3295, 0.3944, 0.3766, 0.3435, 0.3244, 0.5318, 0.4631, 0.4835, 0.1997, 0.1616, 0.0763, -0.0165, 0.0776, 0.0814, 0.1349, 0.098, 0.1501, 0.1896, 0.1896, 0.1896, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985774253883482164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T18:20:50+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "FRAUD ALWAYS MARKS A TOP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish PLTR and NVDA; endorses Burry's short thesis, calls accounting gymnastics fraudulent and says it marks the top.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great read -\n\nWhile most $PLTR bulls are saying it’s only ½ way to its $1T valuation, here’s a good look at what accounting gynastics are needed to get there. And why Burry is betting big it won’t. $NVDA too.\n\nFRAUD ALWAYS MARKS A TOP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$PLTR: Greatest 🫧 of All? 🤔\n\nP/E 690× | $500B market cap | $5B total annual revenue 😳\n\nFind out how they’re legally adjusting earnings while masking weak organic growth.\n\nGAAP EPS: $0.15 vs est. $0.17 (MISS!)\n\nFull report ⬇️\n\nhttps://t.co/yVtnSScEn2 https://t.co/AJCnvGS0x0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08619055630260197, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08619055630260197, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07419481578390341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07419481578390341, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995740518698561, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995740518698561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014889438580735881, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014889438580735881, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018354915236890035, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018354915236890035, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.0011534089040958762, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0011534089040958762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010338878715155264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010338878715155264, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": -0.0768585678930096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0768585678930096, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08966891051439885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08966891051439885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": -0.2314669596507678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2314669596507678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2592714310853753, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2592714310853753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804471434607514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027804471434607514, "ret_p6m": -0.2766593412641595, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2766593412641595, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3364777300180205, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3364777300180205, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0768585678930096, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08966891051439885, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08966891051439885, "price_path": [-0.0448, -0.0198, -0.0423, -0.0198, -0.0334, -0.051, -0.0711, -0.0876, -0.173, -0.1821, -0.1812, -0.1678, -0.176, -0.1566, -0.1784, -0.171, -0.1784, -0.1784, -0.1764, -0.1879, -0.1814, -0.1973, -0.1816, -0.1488, -0.1258, -0.1383, -0.1012, -0.1024, -0.1074, -0.1175, -0.0722, -0.0438, -0.0598, -0.0429, -0.0586, -0.0609, -0.069, -0.0623, -0.0436, -0.0304, -0.0193, -0.0926, -0.0588, -0.0449, -0.0376, -0.0276, -0.0802, -0.0709, -0.0577, -0.0583, -0.0662, -0.066, -0.048, -0.0484, -0.08, -0.0538, -0.032, -0.0082, -0.006, 0.0423, 0.02, 0.051, 0.0862, 0.0, -0.0149, -0.0823, -0.0672, 0.015, 0.0012, -0.0344, -0.0975, -0.0877, -0.1022, -0.1227, -0.1327, -0.1835, -0.1882, -0.1494, -0.1426, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1169, -0.1219, -0.1051, -0.0769, -0.0672, -0.0471, -0.0485, -0.0467, -0.0148, -0.0168, -0.0376, -0.0393, -0.0157, -0.0705, -0.0265, 0.0138, 0.017, 0.0178, 0.018, 0.018, -0.0106, -0.0344, -0.0519, -0.0681, -0.0681, -0.12, -0.0876, -0.0578, -0.0475, -0.0728, -0.0695, -0.0594, -0.0618, -0.0647, -0.0717, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1164, -0.1332, -0.1302, -0.1108, -0.122, -0.1313, -0.1751, -0.2038, -0.2315, -0.2253, -0.1723, -0.2684, -0.3184, -0.2875, -0.2508, -0.2686, -0.2887, -0.323, -0.3111, -0.3111, -0.3026, -0.2902, -0.2928, -0.291, -0.3153, -0.3245, -0.2965, -0.2873, -0.2807, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.1969, -0.1996, -0.1761, -0.1799, -0.2076, -0.2052, -0.1952, -0.2086, -0.1993, -0.187, -0.1991, -0.1838, -0.21, -0.1568, -0.1885, -0.1876, -0.2264, -0.25, -0.2789, -0.2331, -0.232, -0.2217, -0.2217, -0.2244, -0.2132, -0.262, -0.3159, -0.3286, -0.306, -0.2886, -0.2547, -0.2515, -0.2325, -0.2351, -0.2347, -0.1999, -0.2578, -0.2498, -0.2498, -0.2598, -0.2767]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017791452282057155", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-01T02:45:45+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not Done #gold #silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold and silver not done moving — implied bullish continuation after the metals volatility discussed in quoted post.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not Done #gold #silver \n\nhttps://t.co/24yL1TAHcC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Catching This Falling Knife Of Metal Madness\n\n💫‘Rare’ Is An Understatement\n💫Let’s Roll The Tape\n💫Crypto Followed Metals\n💫About That Dollar Bounce &amp; Warsh Nod\n💫Metal Volatility Triggers Equity Volatility\n\nPosting now for clients ;-)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041720336011298986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04666714397281513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06358720612372104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0720426795138489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09341416767813193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09551363165923055, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11769793581127852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008123993119273254, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044379761373179005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09601294523169002, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11769793581127852, "price_path": [-0.1419, -0.143, -0.1377, -0.1141, -0.1106, -0.0963, -0.1036, -0.1198, -0.1299, -0.1236, -0.1221, -0.1224, -0.1238, -0.1099, -0.1102, -0.103, -0.103, -0.0919, -0.0875, -0.0934, -0.0942, -0.0936, -0.0953, -0.0977, -0.093, -0.0892, -0.0793, -0.0742, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.0652, -0.0669, -0.0658, -0.0442, -0.0316, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0243, -0.0668, -0.0661, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.0675, -0.043, -0.0327, -0.0419, -0.0366, -0.0296, -0.0115, -0.0129, -0.0028, -0.0089, -0.0137, -0.0137, 0.0236, 0.0386, 0.0577, 0.0723, 0.088, 0.1146, 0.1579, 0.161, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0628, 0.0345, 0.0663, 0.0934, 0.0826, 0.0948, 0.0568, 0.0831, 0.0831, 0.0493, 0.0729, 0.0759, 0.0971, 0.1268, 0.1112, 0.1084, 0.1179, 0.1326, 0.1472, 0.096, 0.1046, 0.0913, 0.1086, 0.1063, 0.1188, 0.115, 0.0931, 0.0789, 0.078, 0.0752, 0.0412, -0.0017, -0.0322, -0.0541, -0.0538, -0.0254, -0.062, -0.0291, -0.0294, 0.0074, 0.025, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0012, 0.011, 0.0173, 0.0252, 0.0234, 0.0193, 0.042, 0.0312, 0.0303, 0.044, 0.035, 0.0057, 0.019, 0.0092, 0.0143, 0.0065, -0.0122, -0.0228, -0.0081, -0.0092, -0.0291, -0.0207, 0.009, 0.0107, 0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0136, 0.0079, 0.0002, -0.023, -0.0204, -0.0366, -0.0228, -0.0237, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0307, -0.0436, -0.0336, -0.0234, -0.0372, -0.0355, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0723, -0.0699, -0.0851, -0.123, -0.0955, -0.095, -0.0716, -0.0691, -0.0902, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017791452282057155", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-01T02:45:45+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not Done #gold #silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold and silver not done moving — implied bullish continuation after the metals volatility discussed in quoted post.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not Done #gold #silver \n\nhttps://t.co/24yL1TAHcC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Catching This Falling Knife Of Metal Madness\n\n💫‘Rare’ Is An Understatement\n💫Let’s Roll The Tape\n💫Crypto Followed Metals\n💫About That Dollar Bounce &amp; Warsh Nod\n💫Metal Volatility Triggers Equity Volatility\n\nPosting now for clients ;-)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04636039022121541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946807961516142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085189098719313, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455473390127866, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0517957416287006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002099463981098615, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260710251051204, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684990579588503, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1160459198896967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625576825390575, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05260710251051204, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.0614, -0.086, -0.0754, -0.1501, -0.1499, -0.1854, -0.204, -0.1604, -0.1539, -0.1238, -0.1249, -0.1633, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1785, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027163577484800104", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T23:27:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my short price targets on $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Has short price targets on NVDA; prefers other trades over it.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia \n\nalso my short price targets on $NVDA\n\nhttps://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043456135955147523, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043456135955147523, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0386310252000539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029577122454627958, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00482511075509362, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029854947906472917, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029854947906472917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02928633547376247, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02980568361164182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005686124327104469, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.003555472247451341, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003555472247451341, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023395368088601987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06706901377049301, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839895841150645, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": -0.06778633678496748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06778633678496748, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008445207349759953, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04009563497637825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623154413472744, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 0.1999069164139402, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1999069164139402, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10293823696779025, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26550639449813107, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696867944614995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06778633678496748, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008445207349759953, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04009563497637825, "price_path": [0.024, 0.0135, 0.0349, 0.0295, 0.0472, 0.0439, 0.0372, 0.0211, -0.0122, -0.0051, 0.003, -0.0353, -0.0172, 0.0214, 0.0367, 0.0678, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0753, 0.0622, 0.0584, 0.0525, 0.0525, 0.0658, 0.0617, 0.0567, 0.0673, 0.0443, 0.0433, 0.0437, 0.0486, 0.0336, 0.0556, 0.051, 0.051, 0.005, 0.0346, 0.0432, 0.0591, 0.0524, 0.0639, 0.0809, 0.0865, 0.0787, 0.0475, 0.0178, -0.0169, -0.03, 0.0464, 0.0725, 0.0641, 0.0726, 0.055, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0439, 0.0609, 0.0604, 0.0713, 0.081, 0.0884, 0.1037, 0.0435, 0.0, 0.0299, 0.0161, 0.033, 0.0347, 0.0036, 0.0308, 0.0428, 0.0499, 0.0336, 0.0173, 0.0341, 0.0268, 0.0182, 0.0078, -0.0253, -0.0087, -0.0112, 0.0085, -0.0335, -0.0545, -0.0678, -0.0157, -0.0081, 0.0012, 0.0012, 0.0026, 0.0052, 0.0277, 0.038, 0.0646, 0.0685, 0.1091, 0.1224, 0.1195, 0.1383, 0.1404, 0.1281, 0.1429, 0.1268, 0.1755, 0.2225, 0.2031, 0.181, 0.1264, 0.12, 0.1202, 0.109, 0.173, 0.1937, 0.2146, 0.2385, 0.2461, 0.2746, 0.3305, 0.2717, 0.2548, 0.2451, 0.2613, 0.2389, 0.2153, 0.2153, 0.2127, 0.1999, 0.2092, 0.1917, 0.2663, 0.2576, 0.212, 0.2355, 0.1589, 0.1789, 0.1764, 0.1325, 0.1576, 0.1594, 0.2005, 0.172, 0.1564, 0.1905, 0.1905, 0.1905, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009250850363883856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T13:08:27+00:00", "symbol": "PBF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't forget $PBF - perfectly outfitted for the heavy stuff from Venezuela. Maybe that's why Carlos Slim has accumulated so many shares past few years...", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PBF as a Venezuela oil beneficiary, noting Carlos Slim's accumulating stake as validation.", "resolved_tickers": ["PBF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t forget $PBF - perfectly outfitted for the heavy stuff from Venezuela. \n\nMaybe that's why Carlos Slim has accumulated so many shares past few years...🤔", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🇺🇸 7 US Energy Stocks Likely To Benefit From Venezuela Oil Takeover:\n\n• $CVX | Chevron\n• $XOM | ExxonMobil\n• $COP | ConocoPhillips\n• $HAL | Halliburton\n• $SLB | Schlumberger\n• $VLO | Valero Energy\n• $MPC | Marathon Petroleum https://t.co/iezwv7UsJT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12161746540643148, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12161746540643148, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12171900302954697, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09111264220677062, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030504823199660858, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019284530975931746, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019284530975931746, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012671147979043118, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016706664401580973, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025778665743507734, "ret_p1w": -0.02986010147129714, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02986010147129714, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03381944584259777, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05263132494790579, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02277122347660865, "ret_p1m": 0.10450999395174287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10450999395174287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10290016432671312, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039421288454600356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14393128240634323, "ret_p3m": 0.4477377188685576, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4477377188685576, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.48905650126426536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14691991661838277, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.30081780225017485, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10450999395174287, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10290016432671312, "alpha_c_stated": -0.039421288454600356, "price_path": [-0.1012, -0.0929, -0.1247, -0.1216, -0.1129, -0.0889, -0.1336, -0.0898, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0325, 0.0121, 0.0532, 0.0674, 0.055, 0.0834, 0.0902, 0.0905, 0.1375, 0.1396, 0.2295, 0.2424, 0.1952, 0.1554, 0.2128, 0.1785, 0.2252, 0.1652, 0.0809, 0.0843, 0.0796, 0.0709, 0.0501, 0.0501, 0.0725, 0.0793, 0.0747, 0.051, 0.0383, 0.0389, -0.0059, -0.0218, -0.0124, -0.0417, -0.0557, -0.0691, -0.1714, -0.1723, -0.1907, -0.1804, -0.1876, -0.1726, -0.1751, -0.1751, -0.1866, -0.1745, -0.19, -0.1565, -0.1565, -0.1126, -0.0824, -0.153, -0.1216, 0.0, 0.0193, 0.0199, 0.0233, 0.0084, -0.0299, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0423, 0.0208, 0.0264, 0.0392, 0.0019, 0.0277, 0.0233, 0.0345, 0.0407, 0.01, 0.0719, 0.0977, 0.0728, 0.1045, 0.0967, 0.0725, 0.1126, 0.0473, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0563, 0.033, 0.0544, 0.0694, 0.0675, 0.0914, 0.0969, 0.1305, 0.1161, 0.2346, 0.2465, 0.4045, 0.4314, 0.3559, 0.1951, 0.243, 0.3164, 0.3455, 0.3637, 0.3659, 0.3966, 0.4763, 0.4681, 0.5462, 0.4606, 0.5703, 0.5471, 0.5791, 0.6061, 0.5766, 0.4929, 0.4449, 0.423, 0.423, 0.4537, 0.4477, 0.349, 0.2712, 0.275, 0.2737, 0.2214, 0.2706, 0.3364, 0.165, 0.1835, 0.2756, 0.2684, 0.2844, 0.2772, 0.2781, 0.2969, 0.3521, 0.3593, 0.348, 0.4274, 0.4481, 0.3038, 0.2725, 0.2763, 0.333, 0.3302, 0.2832, 0.283, 0.3351, 0.33, 0.3496, 0.3177, 0.2331, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.2076, 0.2246, 0.2568, 0.2846, 0.3202, 0.3625, 0.343, 0.3496, 0.3414, 0.3373, 0.2738, 0.3436, 0.2981, 0.3221, 0.2517, 0.2357, 0.1921, 0.1769, 0.1769, 0.1769, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005722611154886658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T19:28:29+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Translation: FALLING GLOBAL OIL DEMAND\n\nAs we've been saying early & often...", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bearish oil: author endorses structural decline in global oil demand for 2026 and beyond.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Translation: FALLING GLOBAL OIL DEMAND\n\nAs we've been saying early &amp; often...\nhttps://t.co/SICj0bSILF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "1/16\nSTRUCTURED REASONING ON OIL DEMAND FOR 2026 AND BEYOND\na.\n2023-2024 LOWEST GROWTH IN OIL DEMAND OUTSIDE OF A RECESSION\nb.\nDEMAND FOR ROAD TRANSPORTATION WAS THE DRIVER OF TOTAL GROWTH IN OIL DEMAND BUT IS NOW FLAT\nc.\nA STRUCTURAL SHIFT : OIL DEMAND GROWTH WAS BEFORE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016233260214193024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016233260214193024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019809658766934524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019809658766934524, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0018675082930346143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0018675082930346143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030886327016068638, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030886327016068638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "ret_p1w": 0.008763117440065749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008763117440065749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008952142395998619, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008952142395998619, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "ret_p1m": 0.08691284296380442, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08691284296380442, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07580577580329995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07580577580329995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": 0.6845281009635988, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6845281009635988, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.7441315321367489, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.7441315321367489, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.6845281009635988, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.7441315321367489, "alpha_c_stated": -0.7441315321367489, "price_path": [0.0507, 0.0277, 0.0302, 0.0468, 0.0516, 0.0563, 0.0417, -0.0032, 0.0096, -0.0088, -0.0089, -0.0259, -0.0234, -0.0256, -0.0193, 0.0147, 0.0529, 0.0513, 0.0504, 0.0256, 0.0315, 0.0302, 0.0424, 0.045, 0.0333, 0.0204, 0.0182, 0.0237, 0.0297, 0.0447, 0.0026, 0.0034, 0.0254, 0.0243, 0.0415, 0.0182, 0.0078, -0.0045, 0.0116, -0.0052, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.021, 0.0208, 0.0085, 0.0151, 0.0256, 0.0332, 0.0126, 0.0036, 0.0134, -0.0052, -0.0115, -0.0247, -0.0494, -0.0234, -0.0348, -0.0227, 0.0017, 0.0099, 0.0085, 0.0085, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0019, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0093, 0.0088, -0.0158, -0.0261, 0.0134, 0.0168, 0.0293, 0.0556, 0.0431, 0.0218, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0323, 0.0536, 0.0317, 0.0623, 0.0556, 0.0869, 0.1007, 0.1369, 0.1424, 0.0822, 0.1129, 0.1188, 0.1017, 0.106, 0.1208, 0.121, 0.1333, 0.0973, 0.095, 0.095, 0.0879, 0.1406, 0.1664, 0.1615, 0.1622, 0.1602, 0.1454, 0.146, 0.1773, 0.2525, 0.2958, 0.3153, 0.3836, 0.5626, 0.4988, 0.5208, 0.5522, 0.7008, 0.7223, 0.6525, 0.7072, 0.7479, 0.686, 0.7444, 0.5883, 0.6455, 0.6289, 0.6845, 0.7842, 0.8651, 0.828, 0.7826, 0.9813, 0.9813, 0.996, 0.9836, 0.7897, 0.8239, 0.7931, 0.8456, 0.7792, 0.7611, 0.8078, 0.667, 0.7429, 0.8424, 0.8589, 0.9354, 0.902, 0.9354, 1.0055, 1.1639, 1.1131, 1.0514, 1.1205, 1.0711, 0.9243, 0.9389, 0.9191, 0.992, 1.073, 1.0405, 1.0543, 1.1294, 1.1447, 1.1974, 1.0725, 1.0477, 1.0244, 1.0244, 0.9681, 0.8823, 0.8788, 0.8545, 0.9466, 0.972, 1.0236, 0.9644, 0.9109, 0.9415, 0.8862, 0.9293, 0.8507, 0.8019, 0.7413, 0.6588, 0.641, 0.6502, 0.6502, 0.6502, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005726476566683744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T19:43:51+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My THINGS OVER PAPER theme since summer 2020 takes on all new meaning with investor moving from the PAPER ECONOMY to the HARD ASSET ECONOMY", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver as investors rotate from paper economy to hard assets; author has next upside targets after current volatility subsides.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "'My THINGS OVER PAPER theme since summer 2020 takes on all new meaning with investor moving from the PAPER ECONOMY to the HARD ASSET ECONOMY.'\n\nI give my next targets for gold &amp; silver - after this metal volatility has subsided. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Paper Longs &amp; Shorts Are At Risk\nMetal Commodities As Next Inflation Wave\nWhat’s Fair Value For Silver &amp; Gold?\n\nIs Paper Silver About To Burn?\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $GDXJ\n\nhttps://t.co/e26FghOWLC", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04550924197966122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04550924197966122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04193284342691972, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04193284342691972, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007275678386380324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007275678386380324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0019486922472102819, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0019486922472102819, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "ret_p1w": 0.025489221039978638, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025489221039978638, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02567824599591151, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02567824599591151, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "ret_p1m": 0.19443050379651372, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19443050379651372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18332343663600925, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18332343663600925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": 0.005117934053397999, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005117934053397999, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06472136522654803, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06472136522654803, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19443050379651372, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18332343663600925, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18332343663600925, "price_path": [-0.1068, -0.1099, -0.1028, -0.0859, -0.0811, -0.066, -0.0832, -0.074, -0.0515, -0.0447, -0.0281, -0.0054, -0.0241, 0.0114, -0.0536, -0.0535, -0.0497, -0.0529, -0.0793, -0.0859, -0.0893, -0.0714, -0.0765, -0.0748, -0.091, -0.0805, -0.0816, -0.076, -0.0507, -0.047, -0.0316, -0.0395, -0.0568, -0.0676, -0.0608, -0.0593, -0.0596, -0.061, -0.0462, -0.0465, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0269, -0.0222, -0.0285, -0.0294, -0.0288, -0.0305, -0.0331, -0.0281, -0.024, -0.0134, -0.0079, -0.007, -0.0068, 0.0017, -0.0001, 0.0011, 0.0242, 0.0377, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0455, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0008, 0.0255, 0.0366, 0.0267, 0.0323, 0.0398, 0.0593, 0.0578, 0.0686, 0.062, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0969, 0.1129, 0.1334, 0.149, 0.1658, 0.1944, 0.2407, 0.2441, 0.1163, 0.0716, 0.1397, 0.1389, 0.1086, 0.1426, 0.1717, 0.1601, 0.1732, 0.1324, 0.1606, 0.1606, 0.1244, 0.1497, 0.1529, 0.1757, 0.2074, 0.1907, 0.1877, 0.1979, 0.2136, 0.2293, 0.1745, 0.1836, 0.1694, 0.1879, 0.1855, 0.1988, 0.1948, 0.1713, 0.1561, 0.1551, 0.1522, 0.1158, 0.0698, 0.0371, 0.0136, 0.0139, 0.0444, 0.0051, 0.0404, 0.0401, 0.0795, 0.0984, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0729, 0.0833, 0.0901, 0.0986, 0.0967, 0.0922, 0.1166, 0.105, 0.1041, 0.1187, 0.1091, 0.0777, 0.092, 0.0814, 0.0869, 0.0785, 0.0585, 0.0472, 0.0629, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0493, 0.0812, 0.083, 0.0882, 0.0904, 0.0861, 0.08, 0.0718, 0.0469, 0.0497, 0.0324, 0.0472, 0.0461, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0386, 0.0248, 0.0355, 0.0465, 0.0318, 0.0335, 0.0233, 0.0318, -0.0059, -0.0033, -0.0196, -0.0603, -0.0308, -0.0303, -0.0051, -0.0024, -0.0251, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0288, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005726476566683744", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-29T19:43:51+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My THINGS OVER PAPER theme since summer 2020 takes on all new meaning with investor moving from the PAPER ECONOMY to the HARD ASSET ECONOMY", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold and silver as investors rotate from paper economy to hard assets; author has next upside targets after current volatility subsides.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "'My THINGS OVER PAPER theme since summer 2020 takes on all new meaning with investor moving from the PAPER ECONOMY to the HARD ASSET ECONOMY.'\n\nI give my next targets for gold &amp; silver - after this metal volatility has subsided. 😉", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Paper Longs &amp; Shorts Are At Risk\nMetal Commodities As Next Inflation Wave\nWhat’s Fair Value For Silver &amp; Gold?\n\nIs Paper Silver About To Burn?\n$SLV $GLD $GDX $GDXJ\n\nhttps://t.co/e26FghOWLC", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046214324296275366, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046214324296275366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211244085722495, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04669712366025336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04669712366025336, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001890249559328705, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.0985, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983125610818842728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T10:56:04+00:00", "symbol": "CCJ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trend long rec'd Cameco since Nov 2020", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Cameco and URA on Uranium Renaissance thesis, position held since Nov 2020.", "resolved_tickers": ["CCJ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST\n\n$CCJ $BAM \n\nTrend long rec’d Cameco since Nov 2020 with $URA is en fuego on Uranium Renaissance\n\nhttps://t.co/0m2XZ0MntS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18978580729413386, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18978580729413386, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1871369165803799, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20031695512461956, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026488907137539597, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010531147830485699, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002244939590696937, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002244939590696937, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002725310229382938, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009685475542619448, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803706386860007, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440535951922511, "ret_p1w": -0.09316252620448762, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09316252620448762, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07595875446643985, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09121659852579844, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0019459276786891744, "ret_p1m": -0.16930135023138315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16930135023138315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1585599653737979, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19127934006060876, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021977989829225608, "ret_p3m": 0.16248723604870907, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16248723604870907, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1563646825083873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.026742867293020334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13574436875568874, "ret_p6m": 0.1852608922685688, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1852608922685688, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14421692496422645, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12871653337460898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.31397742564317777, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16930135023138315, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1585599653737979, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19127934006060876, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3178, -0.296, -0.3023, -0.284, -0.2857, -0.2805, -0.2735, -0.2664, -0.2929, -0.2933, -0.2929, -0.2815, -0.3095, -0.3408, -0.3319, -0.2993, -0.2988, -0.2844, -0.2959, -0.2645, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.2945, -0.2782, -0.2862, -0.2905, -0.2775, -0.2761, -0.2567, -0.2527, -0.2694, -0.1926, -0.2496, -0.2348, -0.2273, -0.1939, -0.1927, -0.1873, -0.2228, -0.1988, -0.1995, -0.21, -0.2156, -0.2191, -0.2124, -0.2127, -0.202, -0.1914, -0.1936, -0.1888, -0.1895, -0.1381, -0.1283, -0.1258, -0.1476, -0.1901, -0.1965, -0.2258, -0.2186, -0.1928, -0.1757, -0.1898, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0205, -0.044, -0.0567, -0.0932, -0.1092, -0.1559, -0.137, -0.1185, -0.1346, -0.1341, -0.1958, -0.2072, -0.2234, -0.2208, -0.1933, -0.2332, -0.2569, -0.2205, -0.183, -0.1693, -0.1693, -0.1721, -0.1797, -0.1731, -0.1617, -0.1182, -0.1446, -0.1481, -0.125, -0.1213, -0.1027, -0.1426, -0.1586, -0.1842, -0.2048, -0.1792, -0.1566, -0.1405, -0.1246, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1299, -0.1299, -0.1437, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.0763, -0.0612, -0.0432, -0.0259, -0.0088, 0.008, 0.0289, 0.0208, 0.0383, 0.0575, 0.0913, 0.0913, 0.0853, 0.1465, 0.1422, 0.1625, 0.1364, 0.1806, 0.2567, 0.2527, 0.1564, 0.1266, 0.1823, 0.0761, 0.0242, 0.0649, 0.131, 0.1067, 0.1169, 0.0908, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0585, 0.0918, 0.1155, 0.1373, 0.1129, 0.1347, 0.122, 0.1076, 0.1096, 0.1784, 0.1039, 0.1269, 0.0706, 0.0279, 0.0884, 0.1254, 0.0814, 0.0806, 0.0114, 0.0338, 0.0452, 0.0253, -0.001, -0.0483, -0.0106, 0.0125, 0.0217, -0.019, -0.0261, -0.0362, 0.0179, 0.0415, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0354, 0.0331, 0.0862, 0.0828, 0.0875, 0.0937, 0.0877, 0.1163, 0.1272, 0.1308, 0.1586, 0.0929, 0.1853]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983125610818842728", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T10:56:04+00:00", "symbol": "URA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$URA is en fuego on Uranium Renaissance", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Cameco and URA on Uranium Renaissance thesis, position held since Nov 2020.", "resolved_tickers": ["URA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US GOVT AS VENTURE CAPITALIST\n\n$CCJ $BAM \n\nTrend long rec’d Cameco since Nov 2020 with $URA is en fuego on Uranium Renaissance\n\nhttps://t.co/0m2XZ0MntS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07742646257083663, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07742646257083663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07477757185708267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07477757185708267, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026488907137539597, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026488907137539597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026354100826695204, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026354100826695204, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025873730188009203, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025873730188009203, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803706386860007, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803706386860007, "ret_p1w": -0.0961468375347786, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0961468375347786, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07894306579673083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07894306579673083, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "ret_p1m": -0.18593235792168494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18593235792168494, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1751909730640997, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1751909730640997, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "ret_p3m": 0.08544163500597168, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08544163500597168, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07931908146564992, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07931908146564992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "ret_p6m": 0.09934289635121041, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09934289635121041, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.058298929046868064, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.058298929046868064, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18593235792168494, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1751909730640997, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1751909730640997, "price_path": [-0.2846, -0.3053, -0.2823, -0.2652, -0.2514, -0.2623, -0.2739, -0.2797, -0.2655, -0.283, -0.2906, -0.291, -0.2875, -0.3282, -0.3375, -0.3242, -0.2832, -0.2823, -0.2648, -0.2788, -0.2552, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2617, -0.2486, -0.2657, -0.2597, -0.2452, -0.2372, -0.2326, -0.2248, -0.2357, -0.1643, -0.1937, -0.1903, -0.169, -0.1016, -0.084, -0.0847, -0.1169, -0.1063, -0.1201, -0.1147, -0.1336, -0.1229, -0.0876, -0.0985, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0727, -0.0642, -0.0573, 0.0085, 0.0353, 0.0562, 0.0131, -0.0311, -0.0291, -0.0931, -0.1105, -0.0923, -0.064, -0.0774, 0.0, 0.0264, 0.0213, 0.0018, -0.0443, -0.0961, -0.0905, -0.1432, -0.1309, -0.1112, -0.1378, -0.1341, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.2054, -0.2052, -0.1796, -0.2346, -0.2441, -0.2132, -0.2019, -0.1859, -0.1859, -0.177, -0.1967, -0.1774, -0.1527, -0.1058, -0.129, -0.131, -0.1252, -0.1332, -0.1094, -0.163, -0.1888, -0.1954, -0.2237, -0.201, -0.1659, -0.1607, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.1661, -0.1687, -0.1848, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.1229, -0.0739, -0.0599, -0.0511, -0.0572, -0.042, -0.0143, -0.0332, 0.0015, 0.0051, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0306, 0.0693, 0.0771, 0.0854, 0.046, 0.1016, 0.177, 0.1298, 0.0472, 0.0144, 0.0717, -0.0023, -0.0648, -0.0067, 0.0455, 0.0188, 0.0228, -0.0145, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0227, 0.0091, 0.0268, 0.0352, 0.0176, 0.0464, 0.051, 0.0449, 0.0348, 0.075, -0.0098, 0.0049, -0.0467, -0.0711, -0.0275, -0.0039, -0.022, -0.0332, -0.0614, -0.0488, -0.038, -0.0656, -0.0808, -0.1157, -0.0831, -0.0823, -0.0679, -0.1107, -0.112, -0.1375, -0.0778, -0.0619, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.0743, -0.0869, -0.0212, -0.0301, -0.0296, -0.0063, 0.0062, 0.0443, 0.0525, 0.0637, 0.0674, 0.0234, 0.0993]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2023263435069239518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-16T05:09:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "To me, it looks like it just started Feb1st 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish BTC; author believes the crypto selloff only just began as of Feb 1 2026, with more downside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "ROGUE MONEY™️ indeed - \nthe thing everyone believed was free was already owned.\n\n$BTCUSD #Epstein\n\nMany hope this crypto crap selloff is “overdone”. To me, it looks like it just started Feb1st 2026. https://t.co/ZZlJidfANv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If 75% of Bitcoin's code was written on a convicted sex trafficker's dime, what exactly are you holding?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00021334727807453824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00021334727807453824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018242311633319686, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.019594358734823403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019594358734823403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024632066285400156, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06139198431579751, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06139198431579751, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06798198835311631, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.07378104940532859, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07378104940532859, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10514956926389574, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.1773319878836903, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1773319878836903, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09189781257815288, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07378104940532859, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10514956926389574, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3286, 0.2584, 0.236, 0.2822, 0.2687, 0.3148, 0.326, 0.3207, 0.2539, 0.3269, 0.3586, 0.3384, 0.2984, 0.3166, 0.3464, 0.3367, 0.3438, 0.3112, 0.2553, 0.276, 0.2513, 0.2414, 0.2798, 0.2854, 0.2698, 0.2726, 0.2672, 0.2681, 0.2657, 0.2845, 0.2711, 0.2889, 0.3065, 0.3637, 0.3615, 0.3263, 0.3222, 0.3148, 0.3246, 0.3846, 0.408, 0.388, 0.3876, 0.3444, 0.2828, 0.2983, 0.2995, 0.3001, 0.2821, 0.2943, 0.2955, 0.2283, 0.222, 0.143, 0.0986, 0.0607, -0.0892, 0.0249, 0.0186, -0.0007, -0.0269, -0.0381, 0.0002, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0351, -0.0274, -0.0122, -0.0614, -0.0692, -0.0128, -0.0202, -0.043, -0.001, -0.008, 0.0562, 0.029, -0.0103, -0.0064, 0.0157, 0.0198, 0.024, 0.0309, 0.0874, 0.0738, 0.0349, 0.0155, 0.0244, 0.0301, 0.0243, 0.0358, -0.0007, -0.0364, -0.0313, -0.0089, -0.0111, -0.0284, -0.0278, 0.0002, 0.045, 0.0331, 0.0425, 0.0601, 0.0819, 0.0775, 0.0866, 0.0916, 0.1203, 0.1021, 0.1091, 0.136, 0.1369, 0.1251, 0.1238, 0.1091, 0.1007, 0.1084, 0.1356, 0.1596, 0.1755, 0.1828, 0.1622, 0.1648, 0.1872, 0.169, 0.1516, 0.1773, 0.1485, 0.1178, 0.1149, 0.1251, 0.1263, 0.0965, 0.1226, 0.1014, 0.0799, 0.0682, 0.0658, 0.036, -0.0311, -0.0701, -0.0732, -0.1151, -0.0836, -0.1046, -0.1074, -0.0767, -0.077, -0.0371, -0.0471, -0.0643, -0.0864, -0.077, -0.0643, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033973218411688340", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:26:19+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gonna say it again: there is no EV equivalent for jet fuel... #Refiners $VLO $PBF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish refiners VLO and PBF on durable jet fuel demand with no EV substitution threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gonna say it again: there is no EV equivalent for jet fuel...\n\n#Refiners $VLO $PBF \n\nhttps://t.co/5A8N3DTrOh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A little background of jet fuel flows:\n\nMost of China's jet fuel goes to South East Asia, Australia, Hong Kong and sometimes Japan. \n\nSouth Korean jet fuel mostly goes to Australia and South East Asia. \n\nWhen the arb is open, USWC (looking at you, California) imports jet fuel https://t.co/nr2m8Bx6Gx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014366810300549981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014366810300549981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011743166921393877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00394129610395777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010425514196592212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010595064529339782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010595064529339782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02454870904459694, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011962326791241096, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013672622619013142, "ret_p1w": 0.02453804885804467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02453804885804467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04813126393807576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022078146023846834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": 0.046616194881891504, "ret_p1m": -0.004068482428180364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004068482428180364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05037447999900968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0367053978555566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04077388028373696, "ret_p3m": 0.10145359378499474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10145359378499474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00735214079947677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1114345098618662, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00998091607687146, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004068482428180364, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05037447999900968, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0367053978555566, "price_path": [-0.3179, -0.3146, -0.3111, -0.3059, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3091, -0.3022, -0.3056, -0.3143, -0.3143, -0.3037, -0.2394, -0.2491, -0.2255, -0.1941, -0.2196, -0.2434, -0.2345, -0.2144, -0.2225, -0.2272, -0.2272, -0.2219, -0.2073, -0.2128, -0.2119, -0.228, -0.2295, -0.2249, -0.2313, -0.2358, -0.2409, -0.1901, -0.1685, -0.1772, -0.141, -0.1466, -0.1545, -0.1358, -0.1655, -0.1517, -0.1517, -0.1637, -0.1547, -0.1556, -0.1492, -0.1635, -0.1552, -0.1539, -0.1363, -0.1327, -0.0892, -0.0773, -0.0439, -0.0336, -0.048, -0.0848, -0.0803, -0.0208, -0.0006, -0.0228, -0.0144, 0.0, 0.0106, 0.0259, 0.0165, 0.0061, 0.0245, -0.006, 0.0516, 0.0778, 0.0606, 0.0471, 0.0233, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.0408, 0.0658, 0.0156, -0.0036, 0.0121, 0.0259, -0.0016, -0.0041, 0.0245, -0.0522, -0.041, -0.0109, -0.0068, -0.009, -0.0005, 0.0097, 0.0183, 0.065, 0.0704, 0.0462, 0.0664, 0.0741, 0.0031, 0.0017, 0.0216, 0.0516, 0.0473, 0.0345, 0.0373, 0.0626, 0.0956, 0.113, 0.0755, 0.0266, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0281, 0.0234, 0.0426, 0.0425, 0.0753, 0.0997, 0.1133, 0.1022, 0.0893, 0.1003, 0.0806, 0.0986, 0.0884, 0.1015, 0.0524, 0.0395, 0.021, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0062, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033973218411688340", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:26:19+00:00", "symbol": "PBF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gonna say it again: there is no EV equivalent for jet fuel... #Refiners $VLO $PBF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish refiners VLO and PBF on durable jet fuel demand with no EV substitution threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["PBF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gonna say it again: there is no EV equivalent for jet fuel...\n\n#Refiners $VLO $PBF \n\nhttps://t.co/5A8N3DTrOh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A little background of jet fuel flows:\n\nMost of China's jet fuel goes to South East Asia, Australia, Hong Kong and sometimes Japan. \n\nSouth Korean jet fuel mostly goes to Australia and South East Asia. \n\nWhen the arb is open, USWC (looking at you, California) imports jet fuel https://t.co/nr2m8Bx6Gx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021997751906048024, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021997751906048024, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01937410852689192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011572237709455813, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010425514196592212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05701467295526075, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05701467295526075, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0709683174705179, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05838193521716206, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013672622619013142, "ret_p1w": 0.12435473332914371, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12435473332914371, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1479479484091748, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0777385384472522, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": 0.046616194881891504, "ret_p1m": -0.09023565331491268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09023565331491268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.136541650885742, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049461773031175715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04077388028373696, "ret_p3m": -0.05334779189294803, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05334779189294803, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16215352647741954, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04336687581607657, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00998091607687146, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09023565331491268, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.136541650885742, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049461773031175715, "price_path": [-0.4205, -0.4132, -0.4183, -0.4076, -0.4094, -0.4094, -0.4176, -0.4089, -0.4201, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3646, -0.343, -0.3936, -0.3711, -0.284, -0.2702, -0.2697, -0.2673, -0.278, -0.3054, -0.3423, -0.3423, -0.3143, -0.2691, -0.2651, -0.2559, -0.2827, -0.2642, -0.2673, -0.2593, -0.2548, -0.2769, -0.2325, -0.2141, -0.2319, -0.2092, -0.2147, -0.2321, -0.2034, -0.2501, -0.2308, -0.2308, -0.2437, -0.2604, -0.245, -0.2343, -0.2357, -0.2185, -0.2146, -0.1906, -0.2009, -0.116, -0.1075, 0.0056, 0.0249, -0.0292, -0.1443, -0.11, -0.0575, -0.0366, -0.0236, -0.022, 0.0, 0.057, 0.0512, 0.1071, 0.0458, 0.1244, 0.1077, 0.1306, 0.1499, 0.1288, 0.0689, 0.0346, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0409, 0.0366, -0.0341, -0.0898, -0.0871, -0.088, -0.1255, -0.0902, -0.0431, -0.1659, -0.1526, -0.0866, -0.0918, -0.0804, -0.0855, -0.0848, -0.0714, -0.0319, -0.0267, -0.0348, 0.022, 0.0368, -0.0664, -0.0889, -0.0862, -0.0456, -0.0476, -0.0813, -0.0814, -0.0441, -0.0477, -0.0337, -0.0565, -0.1171, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1354, -0.1232, -0.1001, -0.0802, -0.0547, -0.0244, -0.0384, -0.0337, -0.0396, -0.0425, -0.0879, -0.038, -0.0705, -0.0533, -0.1037, -0.1153, -0.1465, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1573, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2062922689166070030", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-05T15:41:11+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold will do much better in Q4", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish gold in Q4, expects significant gains ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PlopTslq75821 Gold will do much better in Q4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc Btw respect- you were very correct on gold. I thought that countries would react defensively to the Strait closing which would drive safe assets. I did not anticipate the Nothing wrong here response.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PlopTslq75821", "ret_m1d": 0.031979826129953315, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031979826129953315, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005486683528064695, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005486683528064695, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02649314260188862, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02649314260188862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00027672760265518015, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00027672760265518015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002540900211426722, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002540900211426722, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002264172608771542, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002264172608771542, "ret_p1w": -0.02815247398191989, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02815247398191989, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03384700498872251, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03384700498872251, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005694531006802617, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005694531006802617, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2058, 0.1914, 0.1795, 0.1649, 0.1515, 0.1531, 0.1275, 0.0608, 0.0538, 0.0154, 0.0143, 0.049, 0.0089, 0.0357, 0.0436, 0.0716, 0.1029, 0.0725, 0.0725, 0.0737, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.1049, 0.0979, 0.0934, 0.1125, 0.1067, 0.1034, 0.12, 0.1083, 0.0833, 0.0912, 0.0848, 0.0888, 0.078, 0.0587, 0.048, 0.064, 0.0675, 0.0421, 0.0504, 0.0795, 0.0836, 0.0884, 0.088, 0.0785, 0.0831, 0.0786, 0.0504, 0.0497, 0.039, 0.0448, 0.0467, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0377, 0.0255, 0.0374, 0.0515, 0.0318, 0.035, 0.023, 0.032, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0178, -0.0528, -0.0569, -0.0282, -0.0021, -0.0014, 0.005, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032558970368372995", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T20:46:36+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META is such a fabulous swing short. By my estimation it is about half-way done from its high.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short META; author estimates it is only halfway through its decline from the high.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Captionella $META is such a fabulous swing short. By my estimation it is about half-way done from its high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$META nothing like committing $135B in AI capex and acquiring two AI companies, only to end up licensing Google's Gemini instead.... https://t.co/tjxAlSv8dM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Captionella", "ret_m1d": -0.02273494244068175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02273494244068175, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01266060262658264, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015104628265679376, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01007433981409911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0076341043414897, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0076341043414897, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010264649332595188, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007980921721301049, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002630544991105488, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.037277878593915736, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037277878593915736, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019550452287145137, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017679046623883532, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177274263067706, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.05584501113953966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05584501113953966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014999935033311207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041954862259585335, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084507610622845, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": -0.09406333910448661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09406333910448661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19980570821281607, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06933245937028176, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10574236910832946, "bench_c_p3m": -0.024730879734204847, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05584501113953966, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014999935033311207, "alpha_c_stated": -0.041954862259585335, "price_path": [0.0343, 0.0581, 0.049, 0.0534, 0.0588, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0562, 0.0489, 0.0605, 0.0511, 0.0511, 0.0357, 0.049, 0.052, 0.033, 0.0288, 0.0399, 0.0223, 0.0049, -0.0199, -0.0114, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.038, -0.0239, 0.0313, 0.049, 0.0707, 0.0716, 0.0649, 0.1757, 0.1409, 0.1249, 0.1015, 0.0653, 0.0672, 0.0533, 0.0784, 0.068, 0.0648, 0.0348, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.018, 0.0243, 0.0267, 0.0441, 0.0148, 0.018, 0.0409, 0.0462, 0.0322, 0.0407, 0.0431, 0.0633, 0.0519, 0.0269, 0.0309, 0.0415, 0.0428, 0.0162, -0.0227, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0188, -0.0331, -0.0539, -0.0373, -0.055, -0.0519, -0.1274, -0.1621, -0.1451, -0.0882, -0.0769, -0.0845, -0.0845, -0.0867, -0.0835, -0.024, 0.0015, 0.0038, 0.0113, 0.0558, 0.0703, 0.0788, 0.0974, 0.0693, 0.066, 0.0753, 0.0505, 0.0758, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0664, -0.0248, -0.0298, -0.0272, -0.0358, -0.0232, -0.017, -0.0284, -0.0456, -0.039, -0.0172, -0.0144, -0.0211, -0.0259, -0.0396, -0.0357, -0.032, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0241, 0.0124, 0.0125, 0.0081, -0.043, -0.0475, -0.0071, 0.0002, -0.0549, -0.067, -0.0683, -0.09, -0.0941, -0.0964, -0.0533, -0.0425, -0.0946, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.0792, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048794081925452043", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T15:59:08+00:00", "symbol": "WTIC", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Supply shocks are still not priced in. Market, show me you care.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crude oil: Hormuz closure + mine-clearing delay + insurer risk-off mean supply shocks remain unpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund tracks WTI crude", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "the Hormuz has been closed for 58 days with no end in sight, and even if there was one, it would take 6 months to clear the mines while insurance companies stay risk-off. \n\nSupply shocks are still not priced in. \n\nMarket, show me you care. #OOTT $WTIC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Goldman Sachs just upgraded their oil forecast.\nPublished yesterday. Most people haven’t read it yet.\nHere’s what they’re actually saying. 👇 https://t.co/KxhiZRDEAd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017220956823018607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017220956823018607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015501131878951413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015501131878951413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198249440671942, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198249440671942, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036223313825672454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036223313825672454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04108930609279193, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04108930609279193, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865992267119479, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865992267119479, "ret_p1w": 0.09567992334361386, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09567992334361386, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0917088389914198, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0917088389914198, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971084352194065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971084352194065, "ret_p1m": 0.01692398128442485, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01692398128442485, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03260278449663745, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03260278449663745, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0495267657810623, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0495267657810623, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01692398128442485, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03260278449663745, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03260278449663745, "price_path": [-0.4313, -0.4126, -0.4097, -0.4408, -0.425, -0.4219, -0.4307, -0.4285, -0.4209, -0.4208, -0.4144, -0.433, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.4379, -0.4106, -0.3973, -0.3999, -0.3995, -0.4005, -0.4082, -0.4079, -0.3917, -0.3528, -0.3305, -0.3204, -0.2851, -0.1926, -0.2256, -0.2142, -0.198, -0.1212, -0.1101, -0.1462, -0.1179, -0.0969, -0.1289, -0.0986, -0.1793, -0.1498, -0.1583, -0.1296, -0.0781, -0.0363, -0.0554, -0.0789, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0313, 0.0249, -0.0753, -0.0576, -0.0735, -0.0464, -0.0807, -0.09, -0.0659, -0.1387, -0.0995, -0.048, -0.0395, 0.0, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0362, 0.1181, 0.0918, 0.06, 0.0957, 0.0701, -0.0057, 0.0019, -0.0084, 0.0292, 0.0711, 0.0543, 0.0615, 0.1003, 0.1082, 0.1354, 0.0709, 0.058, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0169, -0.0274, -0.0292, -0.0418, 0.0058, 0.0189, 0.0456, 0.015, -0.0126, 0.0032, -0.0254, -0.0031, -0.0437, -0.069, -0.1003, -0.1429, -0.1521, -0.1473, -0.1473, -0.1473, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033981326198771864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:58:32+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "JETS & XLF bouncing off their 100W EMA, so I would wait until its over... next week might be better", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cautions against shorting JETS/XLF as both bounce off 100W EMA; stay long refiners which have worked for months.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkepticalBaba JETS &amp; XLF bouncing off their 100W EMA, so I would wait until its over... next week might be better... \nIn the meantime, long refiners hasn't disappointed for months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I shorted $JETS today. \n\nWish me luck.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkepticalBaba", "ret_m1d": -0.0195452643431554, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0195452643431554, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016921620963999295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016921620963999295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01914637208134573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01914637208134573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005192727566088573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005192727566088573, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "ret_p1w": -0.00957318604067281, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00957318604067281, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014020029039358284, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014020029039358284, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "ret_p1m": 0.0777822411917315, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0777822411917315, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03147624362090218, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03147624362090218, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "ret_p3m": 0.1779019164783664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1779019164783664, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06909618189389488, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06909618189389488, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0777822411917315, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03147624362090218, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03147624362090218, "price_path": [0.1292, 0.1371, 0.1553, 0.1347, 0.1384, 0.1384, 0.1332, 0.1189, 0.1205, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1284, 0.1572, 0.1627, 0.158, 0.1568, 0.1755, 0.1667, 0.1472, 0.1328, 0.1588, 0.1572, 0.1572, 0.128, 0.1548, 0.152, 0.1392, 0.1296, 0.1113, 0.1045, 0.1336, 0.1149, 0.154, 0.1707, 0.1891, 0.1755, 0.2429, 0.2361, 0.2318, 0.1915, 0.1699, 0.1711, 0.1711, 0.2034, 0.2086, 0.1607, 0.1755, 0.1372, 0.1496, 0.1532, 0.1819, 0.1348, 0.1049, 0.0941, 0.0897, 0.0403, 0.0112, 0.0279, 0.0112, 0.006, -0.0339, -0.0407, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0191, -0.0152, -0.0391, -0.0056, -0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0024, -0.0375, -0.057, -0.0176, 0.008, -0.0056, -0.0056, -0.0032, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0415, 0.0327, 0.0295, 0.075, 0.0778, 0.0622, 0.1137, 0.0989, 0.067, 0.0323, 0.0259, 0.0371, 0.0183, 0.0084, -0.0056, 0.014, 0.0275, 0.014, 0.0395, 0.0866, 0.1005, 0.0961, 0.0614, 0.0479, 0.0423, 0.0459, 0.0195, 0.0191, -0.0104, 0.0546, 0.077, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.1272, 0.16, 0.1623, 0.1695, 0.154, 0.1368, 0.1101, 0.1169, 0.1145, 0.1049, 0.1392, 0.087, 0.1556, 0.1779, 0.215, 0.2218, 0.2066, 0.2365, 0.2365, 0.2365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033981326198771864", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:58:32+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "JETS & XLF bouncing off their 100W EMA, so I would wait until its over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cautions against shorting JETS/XLF as both bounce off 100W EMA; stay long refiners which have worked for months.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkepticalBaba JETS &amp; XLF bouncing off their 100W EMA, so I would wait until its over... next week might be better... \nIn the meantime, long refiners hasn't disappointed for months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I shorted $JETS today. \n\nWish me luck.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkepticalBaba", "ret_m1d": -0.005246252809193885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005246252809193885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002622609430037781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002622609430037781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011904761904761862, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011904761904761862, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002048882610495295, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002048882610495295, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "ret_p1w": -0.0005384739647837922, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005384739647837922, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0230547411152473, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0230547411152473, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "ret_p1m": 0.05807441710193317, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05807441710193317, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011768419531103858, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011768419531103858, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "ret_p3m": 0.08180355665148409, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08180355665148409, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027002177932987426, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027002177932987426, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05807441710193317, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011768419531103858, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011768419531103858, "price_path": [0.0967, 0.1027, 0.1162, 0.1184, 0.1245, 0.1245, 0.1223, 0.1162, 0.1134, 0.1051, 0.1051, 0.1084, 0.1326, 0.138, 0.1221, 0.1279, 0.1245, 0.1156, 0.0942, 0.0926, 0.0971, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.0734, 0.0787, 0.0858, 0.0708, 0.0777, 0.0694, 0.0692, 0.0805, 0.0783, 0.0902, 0.0801, 0.0888, 0.0753, 0.0948, 0.0884, 0.0805, 0.0642, 0.043, 0.0422, 0.0422, 0.0533, 0.0611, 0.0523, 0.0591, 0.0236, 0.0287, 0.0466, 0.0593, 0.0377, 0.0351, 0.0333, 0.0391, 0.0337, 0.0204, 0.0155, 0.0101, 0.0016, -0.0147, -0.0135, -0.0052, 0.0, -0.0119, -0.0115, -0.0097, -0.0007, -0.0005, 0.0007, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0192, 0.0013, 0.0027, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0384, 0.041, 0.0297, 0.0477, 0.0502, 0.0581, 0.0552, 0.0633, 0.0674, 0.0607, 0.0589, 0.0506, 0.0429, 0.0508, 0.0516, 0.053, 0.0573, 0.053, 0.0461, 0.0463, 0.0514, 0.0455, 0.0392, 0.038, 0.0461, 0.0341, 0.0402, 0.0364, 0.0494, 0.0364, 0.0477, 0.0492, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0516, 0.0429, 0.0398, 0.0461, 0.0431, 0.0437, 0.0317, 0.0585, 0.0607, 0.054, 0.064, 0.0593, 0.0672, 0.0818, 0.0863, 0.1023, 0.0962, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0865, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033981326198771864", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:58:32+00:00", "symbol": "refiners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long refiners hasn't disappointed for months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cautions against shorting JETS/XLF as both bounce off 100W EMA; stay long refiners which have worked for months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRAK"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkepticalBaba JETS &amp; XLF bouncing off their 100W EMA, so I would wait until its over... next week might be better... \nIn the meantime, long refiners hasn't disappointed for months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I shorted $JETS today. \n\nWish me luck.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkepticalBaba", "ret_m1d": -0.017241338323238486, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017241338323238486, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014617694944082382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014617694944082382, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014540859100897752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014540859100897752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015407730425346933, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015407730425346933, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "ret_p1w": 0.011009530245462473, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011009530245462473, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03460274532549357, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03460274532549357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "ret_p1m": -0.008724515460538762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008724515460538762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05503051303136808, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05503051303136808, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "ret_p3m": 0.007062736952609949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007062736952609949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10174299763186156, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10174299763186156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008724515460538762, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05503051303136808, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05503051303136808, "price_path": [-0.2284, -0.2218, -0.2212, -0.22, -0.2179, -0.2179, -0.2235, -0.2195, -0.2204, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2123, -0.1865, -0.1905, -0.1971, -0.1867, -0.1878, -0.1803, -0.1809, -0.1678, -0.1631, -0.1712, -0.1712, -0.1747, -0.1562, -0.1477, -0.1417, -0.1427, -0.1354, -0.1338, -0.122, -0.1292, -0.1406, -0.1159, -0.0951, -0.1034, -0.0804, -0.0783, -0.0848, -0.0631, -0.0756, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0897, -0.085, -0.081, -0.0733, -0.0754, -0.0698, -0.0715, -0.0706, -0.0681, -0.0388, -0.0503, -0.0378, -0.031, -0.0274, -0.0384, -0.0492, -0.0214, -0.0127, -0.0268, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0071, -0.0079, -0.0131, 0.011, 0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0131, 0.0181, 0.0262, 0.0058, 0.0128, 0.0128, 0.0245, 0.0225, 0.0042, -0.0019, -0.0141, 0.0029, -0.0027, -0.0087, -0.001, -0.032, -0.0322, -0.0289, -0.0204, -0.0218, -0.01, -0.0077, 0.0027, 0.0418, 0.0557, 0.0532, 0.0573, 0.0791, 0.0409, 0.0201, 0.0312, 0.0436, 0.0337, 0.0241, 0.018, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0329, 0.0268, 0.0012, 0.0075, 0.0075, -0.0052, -0.0133, -0.0029, 0.0008, 0.0189, 0.0322, 0.038, 0.0353, 0.0073, 0.0106, -0.0117, -0.0035, 0.007, 0.0071, -0.0224, -0.0235, -0.0405, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0594, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2067632074635256033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-18T15:34:35+00:00", "symbol": "ACN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs. AI disruption was the frosting on the cake.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IT services names ACN, BAH, CTSH on dual headwinds: DOGE-driven govt contractor cuts and AI disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["ACN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs.\n\nAI disruption was the frosting on the cake.\n\n$ACN $BAH $CTSH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The AI eating up IT services and consulting has begun I think. \n\n$ACN \n\nNext $INFY $WIT $CTSH $TCS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.21901852175864756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.21901852175864756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2293085290723389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24847944590053195, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "bench_c_m1d": -0.029460924141884393, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.5498, 0.4996, 0.4899, 0.5219, 0.4923, 0.5306, 0.5364, 0.5268, 0.5599, 0.5599, 0.5415, 0.5287, 0.5019, 0.4536, 0.4028, 0.4998, 0.4875, 0.5159, 0.5159, 0.5444, 0.5241, 0.5191, 0.4854, 0.393, 0.3937, 0.3828, 0.3889, 0.4085, 0.3964, 0.4051, 0.4074, 0.3987, 0.364, 0.408, 0.4098, 0.3467, 0.3265, 0.2474, 0.2814, 0.3191, 0.3873, 0.3815, 0.4004, 0.3898, 0.4005, 0.4005, 0.383, 0.378, 0.394, 0.4617, 0.5361, 0.4551, 0.3864, 0.3976, 0.3928, 0.3629, 0.3554, 0.3322, 0.309, 0.3305, 0.2921, 0.2933, 0.219, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2067632074635256033", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-18T15:34:35+00:00", "symbol": "BAH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs. AI disruption was the frosting on the cake.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IT services names ACN, BAH, CTSH on dual headwinds: DOGE-driven govt contractor cuts and AI disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["BAH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Consulting Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs.\n\nAI disruption was the frosting on the cake.\n\n$ACN $BAH $CTSH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The AI eating up IT services and consulting has begun I think. \n\n$ACN \n\nNext $INFY $WIT $CTSH $TCS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07142853858006348, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07142853858006348, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08171854589375482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08171854589375482, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.195, 0.1798, 0.1983, 0.2015, 0.174, 0.1808, 0.1671, 0.2021, 0.2433, 0.2433, 0.252, 0.2576, 0.2205, 0.1895, 0.1692, 0.2236, 0.2178, 0.2309, 0.2368, 0.223, 0.2072, 0.2115, 0.1572, 0.1817, 0.1777, 0.1396, 0.1403, 0.1434, 0.1632, 0.1713, 0.1642, 0.1406, 0.1409, 0.1494, 0.1523, 0.121, 0.1282, 0.0707, 0.0975, 0.0869, 0.1204, 0.1517, 0.1584, 0.1419, 0.1768, 0.1768, 0.1952, 0.2112, 0.2122, 0.1843, 0.2571, 0.2015, 0.1741, 0.1967, 0.1888, 0.185, 0.1807, 0.1647, 0.1634, 0.1665, 0.1234, 0.1148, 0.0714, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2067632074635256033", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-06-18T15:34:35+00:00", "symbol": "CTSH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs. AI disruption was the frosting on the cake.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IT services names ACN, BAH, CTSH on dual headwinds: DOGE-driven govt contractor cuts and AI disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["CTSH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IT services dumping ... started in JAN '25 with DOGE & Trump incoming, promising to shrink govt employee base. I set it up for clients then - that for every one govt employee laid off, three govt contractors are affected - and many programs.\n\nAI disruption was the frosting on the cake.\n\n$ACN $BAH $CTSH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The AI eating up IT services and consulting has begun I think. \n\n$ACN \n\nNext $INFY $WIT $CTSH $TCS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11716244490839611, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11716244490839611, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12745245222208745, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1466233690502805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "bench_c_m1d": -0.029460924141884393, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4075, 0.3688, 0.3586, 0.3807, 0.3572, 0.3875, 0.3941, 0.3918, 0.4211, 0.4211, 0.4168, 0.3972, 0.3861, 0.3452, 0.3161, 0.3754, 0.3643, 0.3722, 0.3754, 0.3929, 0.3693, 0.3736, 0.3363, 0.252, 0.2523, 0.2414, 0.2525, 0.243, 0.2021, 0.1914, 0.1784, 0.1786, 0.1664, 0.1802, 0.1743, 0.1191, 0.0846, 0.0446, 0.0464, 0.0709, 0.1762, 0.1643, 0.1739, 0.1973, 0.2071, 0.2071, 0.1856, 0.2165, 0.2323, 0.276, 0.308, 0.2618, 0.2245, 0.222, 0.2176, 0.2126, 0.2114, 0.1856, 0.1712, 0.1938, 0.1629, 0.1682, 0.1172, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2038738081352736890", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T22:00:11+00:00", "symbol": "XLF", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shorts on 'support' but markets are not safe. Rising #crudeoil, yields, dollar & VIX still reward patient bears.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish XLF, TLT, and SPX; rising oil, yields, dollar, and VIX reward patient bears; OPEX may offer only brief stabilization.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fragile Markets For Banks, Bonds &amp; OPEX\n$XLF $TLT $SPX \n\nShorts on \"support\" but markets are not safe.\n\nRising #crudeoil, yields, dollar &amp; VIX still reward patient bears.\n\nOPEX flows may offer brief stabilization - emphasis on *may*. https://t.co/XIcBupeCGG\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/QtQKqVCDNs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02045773432012199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02045773432012199, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00778905751084269, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00778905751084269, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014178589495372762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014178589495372762, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006116632460766214, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006116632460766214, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "ret_p1w": 0.010330203509506086, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010330203509506086, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0033240921009363156, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0033240921009363156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "ret_p1m": 0.0516507857449775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0516507857449775, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04251534906139942, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04251534906139942, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.010330203509506086, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0033240921009363156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0033240921009363156, "price_path": [0.1037, 0.1069, 0.1311, 0.1366, 0.1206, 0.1265, 0.1231, 0.1142, 0.0928, 0.0912, 0.0956, 0.0971, 0.0971, 0.0721, 0.0773, 0.0844, 0.0694, 0.0763, 0.068, 0.0678, 0.0791, 0.0769, 0.0888, 0.0787, 0.0874, 0.0739, 0.0934, 0.087, 0.0791, 0.0628, 0.0416, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0519, 0.0598, 0.0509, 0.0578, 0.0223, 0.0273, 0.0453, 0.058, 0.0364, 0.0338, 0.032, 0.0378, 0.0324, 0.0191, 0.0142, 0.0088, 0.0003, -0.016, -0.0148, -0.0065, -0.0013, -0.0132, -0.0128, -0.011, -0.002, -0.0018, -0.0006, -0.0065, -0.0316, -0.0205, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0103, 0.0103, 0.0371, 0.0397, 0.0284, 0.0464, 0.0488, 0.0567, 0.0539, 0.062, 0.066, 0.0593, 0.0575, 0.0492, 0.0415, 0.0494, 0.0502, 0.0517, 0.0559, 0.0517, 0.0448, 0.045, 0.05, 0.0442, 0.0379, 0.0367, 0.0448, 0.0328, 0.0389, 0.035, 0.048, 0.035, 0.0464, 0.0478, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.0502, 0.0415, 0.0385, 0.0448, 0.0417, 0.0423, 0.0304, 0.0571, 0.0593, 0.0527, 0.0626, 0.0579, 0.0658, 0.0804, 0.0849, 0.1009, 0.0948, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0851, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2038738081352736890", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T22:00:11+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shorts on 'support' but markets are not safe. Rising #crudeoil, yields, dollar & VIX still reward patient bears.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish XLF, TLT, and SPX; rising oil, yields, dollar, and VIX reward patient bears; OPEX may offer only brief stabilization.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fragile Markets For Banks, Bonds &amp; OPEX\n$XLF $TLT $SPX \n\nShorts on \"support\" but markets are not safe.\n\nRising #crudeoil, yields, dollar &amp; VIX still reward patient bears.\n\nOPEX flows may offer brief stabilization - emphasis on *may*. https://t.co/XIcBupeCGG\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/QtQKqVCDNs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0010382316958130744, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0010382316958130744, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029285023526777754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029285023526777754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.000984365803010867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.000984365803010867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008518857213314357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008518857213314357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "ret_p1w": 0.003416522156199253, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003416522156199253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010237773454243149, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010237773454243149, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "ret_p1m": -0.007470086400001685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007470086400001685, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10163622120637861, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10163622120637861, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003416522156199253, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.010237773454243149, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010237773454243149, "price_path": [-0.0017, -0.0032, 0.0017, -0.0004, 0.0055, 0.0004, 0.0071, 0.0041, 0.0058, 0.0117, 0.0114, 0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0076, -0.0, 0.0043, 0.0071, 0.0119, 0.0056, 0.0033, 0.0035, -0.0021, -0.0049, -0.0025, -0.005, 0.0058, 0.0065, 0.0062, 0.0178, 0.0124, 0.0259, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0332, 0.0293, 0.0304, 0.028, 0.0318, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0378, 0.0442, 0.0337, 0.0316, 0.0284, 0.0242, 0.0204, 0.0293, 0.0183, 0.0052, 0.0032, -0.0017, 0.006, 0.0088, 0.0031, 0.0092, -0.0099, -0.0035, -0.0078, 0.0017, -0.0067, -0.0121, 0.001, 0.0, -0.001, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0067, 0.0041, 0.0017, 0.0047, 0.01, 0.0056, -0.0008, 0.0084, 0.0082, 0.0026, 0.0046, 0.0024, 0.0042, -0.0008, 0.0003, -0.0075, -0.0084, -0.0049, -0.0124, -0.0069, 0.0006, -0.0044, 0.0006, -0.0054, -0.0121, -0.0143, -0.0129, -0.0275, -0.0287, -0.035, -0.0246, -0.021, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0108, -0.0085, -0.0033, -0.0031, -0.0026, -0.0005, -0.0044, -0.0022, -0.0074, -0.0125, -0.0067, -0.0095, 0.0034, 0.0009, 0.0003, 0.0058, 0.0075, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0124, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034618663748153701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T13:11:05+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I gave $SLV $61 with overshoot to 58.56 . How we doin'?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SLV with downside targets at $61 and overshoot to $58.56; metals fall fast when collateral stress hits.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Folks often forget Gold is a collateral trade.\n\nOnce stuff really starts to break, metals fall fast.\n\nI gave $SLV $61 with overshoot to 58.56 . How we doin’?\n\nJOIN US LIVE. Trading room starts ...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold Is Just Another Risk Asset \n\nPrecious Metal Miners Have Further To Fall\n\nhttps://t.co/BiIpfFJ2fA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045980460247172505, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.045980460247172505, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043510084253230774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043510084253230774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06333739080516243, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06333739080516243, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04900160287434974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04900160287434974, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "ret_p1w": -0.07475639197013195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07475639197013195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055131856758206865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055131856758206865, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "ret_p1m": 0.1210413658846421, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1210413658846421, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041806129715153295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041806129715153295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "ret_p3m": -0.03486603082958395, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03486603082958395, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17518002078905492, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17518002078905492, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1210413658846421, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041806129715153295, "alpha_c_stated": -0.041806129715153295, "price_path": [-0.0489, -0.0128, -0.007, -0.007, 0.0828, 0.005, 0.0502, -0.0192, -0.0192, 0.0011, 0.0518, 0.1223, 0.0804, 0.0614, 0.102, 0.1759, 0.1967, 0.2875, 0.2686, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.3001, 0.2783, 0.3266, 0.4146, 0.4973, 0.5467, 0.6078, 0.6073, 0.1486, 0.1029, 0.1717, 0.2055, 0.0154, 0.0687, 0.1577, 0.1177, 0.1657, 0.0312, 0.0615, 0.0615, 0.0105, 0.0671, 0.0812, 0.1666, 0.2267, 0.204, 0.2186, 0.2249, 0.294, 0.2419, 0.137, 0.1471, 0.1308, 0.1562, 0.1915, 0.2194, 0.1862, 0.1644, 0.1067, 0.1148, 0.091, 0.046, 0.0, -0.0633, -0.0489, -0.0416, -0.0072, -0.0748, -0.0341, -0.0329, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0062, 0.004, 0.0273, 0.0413, 0.0518, 0.0396, 0.0968, 0.0938, 0.0847, 0.121, 0.0985, 0.0428, 0.0714, 0.0411, 0.0474, 0.0403, 0.0079, -0.0128, 0.0149, 0.0397, 0.004, 0.0035, 0.0678, 0.0901, 0.1116, 0.1876, 0.196, 0.2081, 0.1497, 0.0512, 0.0649, 0.0186, 0.0464, 0.0574, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0615, 0.0277, 0.0408, 0.0403, 0.0303, 0.0352, 0.0081, 0.0198, -0.0626, -0.0624, -0.1016, -0.1221, -0.074, -0.0668, -0.0336, -0.0349, -0.0772, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.0939, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2035328624329466135", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T12:12:13+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump is fast-tracking higher oil prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Iraq force majeure on foreign oilfields (inc. XOM) cuts supply, pushes oil higher; de-dollarization pressures USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Force Majeure on “foreign companies” meaning $XOM … and Force Majeure on ~ 5% of global oil production & ~8% of global reserves.\n\nAlso, Iraqi was forced post US invasion to route all petrol-dollar flows from Iraqi oil revenue to … NY Fed Bank. So that stops too. \n\nIraqi will work/trade with China & Russia more closely & outside USD.\n\nTrump is fast-tracking higher oil prices AND de-dollarization. Market, show me you care!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Iraq declared force majeure on all oilfields developed by foreign companies as the region's military operations disrupted navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, preventing most of its crude exports from moving, oil ministry sources said https://t.co/j7yObA5det https://t.co/CFLATlDFNe", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09831768258516127, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09831768258516127, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10870856958828001, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10870856958828001, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03599858397992728, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03599858397992728, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039355398457104784, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039355398457104784, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "ret_p1w": 0.17429454321621485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17429454321621485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21001429103683444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21001429103683444, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "ret_p1m": 0.16000364356042107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16000364356042107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08569556171584636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08569556171584636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "ret_p3m": 0.03898340523844612, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03898340523844612, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10335198975213955, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10335198975213955, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16000364356042107, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08569556171584636, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08569556171584636, "price_path": [-0.3651, -0.3651, -0.3806, -0.3704, -0.3692, -0.3745, -0.3745, -0.3763, -0.3649, -0.3803, -0.3868, -0.362, -0.3598, -0.3519, -0.3354, -0.3433, -0.3566, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.35, -0.3366, -0.3504, -0.3311, -0.3354, -0.3157, -0.307, -0.2842, -0.2808, -0.3187, -0.2993, -0.2956, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2943, -0.2942, -0.2865, -0.3092, -0.3106, -0.3106, -0.315, -0.2818, -0.2656, -0.2687, -0.2683, -0.2695, -0.2789, -0.2785, -0.2588, -0.2114, -0.1842, -0.1719, -0.1289, -0.0162, -0.0563, -0.0425, -0.0227, 0.0708, 0.0844, 0.0404, 0.0749, 0.1005, 0.0615, 0.0983, 0.0, 0.036, 0.0256, 0.0606, 0.1234, 0.1743, 0.151, 0.1224, 0.2475, 0.2475, 0.2567, 0.2489, 0.1268, 0.1483, 0.129, 0.162, 0.1202, 0.1088, 0.1382, 0.0496, 0.0973, 0.16, 0.1704, 0.2185, 0.1975, 0.2185, 0.2627, 0.3624, 0.3304, 0.2916, 0.3351, 0.304, 0.2116, 0.2208, 0.2083, 0.2542, 0.3052, 0.2847, 0.2934, 0.3407, 0.3503, 0.3835, 0.3049, 0.2893, 0.2746, 0.2746, 0.2391, 0.1851, 0.1829, 0.1676, 0.2256, 0.2416, 0.2741, 0.2368, 0.2031, 0.2224, 0.1876, 0.2147, 0.1652, 0.1345, 0.0963, 0.0444, 0.0332, 0.039, 0.039, 0.039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2065153412342087834", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-11T19:25:16+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ Has Not Hit My Short Target, Yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short QQQ; target not yet reached, bearish position still active.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Protection Warning Paid \n\nBut QQQ Has Not Hit My Short Target, Yet\n\nhttps://t.co/JrWv0IsUS5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0326723461001146, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0326723461001146, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015959562848065878, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015959562848065878, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.016712783252048724, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016712783252048724, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005884694007997515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005884694007997515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00047644610646813135, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00047644610646813135, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005408247901529384, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005408247901529384, "ret_p1w": 0.03276996898707285, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03276996898707285, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01799043280711854, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01799043280711854, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014779536179954311, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014779536179954311, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1638, -0.1598, -0.1715, -0.1741, -0.1894, -0.1801, -0.1857, -0.1803, -0.1999, -0.2155, -0.2215, -0.1951, -0.1852, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.1794, -0.1792, -0.1548, -0.1491, -0.1479, -0.1391, -0.1234, -0.1112, -0.1069, -0.0952, -0.0981, -0.1015, -0.0865, -0.0916, -0.0742, -0.0738, -0.0831, -0.0775, -0.0689, -0.0599, -0.0617, -0.0495, -0.0298, -0.0309, -0.0082, -0.0053, -0.0138, -0.0034, 0.0037, -0.0114, -0.0157, -0.0217, -0.0055, -0.0036, 0.0006, 0.0006, 0.0184, 0.0172, 0.0258, 0.0295, 0.0357, 0.0405, 0.0378, 0.0328, -0.0168, -0.0015, -0.013, -0.0327, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0375, 0.0178, 0.0075, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.0328, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030077393998578171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T00:25:42+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's time to retreat... yes, even from $ASTS. $40B valuation for <$300M is just not gonna make it in this hostile environment. You can buy it again cheaper later.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish ASTS: $40B valuation vs <$300M revenue unsustainable in current environment; advises selling now to rebuy cheaper later.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kenr0966 My dear, it's time to retreat... yes, even from $ASTS\n\n$40B valuation for &lt;$300M is just not gonna make it in this hostile environment. \nYou can buy it again cheaper later. \nIt's already reached my target given in Feb 2025 for 2027/28! It's time to rest already!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc $asts https://t.co/aSEVbWOdUv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kenr0966", "ret_m1d": -0.0031751744131737203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0031751744131737203, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005508715772778339, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005508715772778339, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024844065328219034, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024844065328219034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023236959432379356, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023236959432379356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "ret_p1w": -0.007241549804025027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007241549804025027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006381352680787766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006381352680787766, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "ret_p1m": 0.031305676155499285, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031305676155499285, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05673766332542973, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05673766332542973, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "ret_p3m": 0.19529855572743027, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19529855572743027, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07604279457168195, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07604279457168195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.031305676155499285, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05673766332542973, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05673766332542973, "price_path": [-0.1193, -0.0558, -0.1455, -0.2445, -0.2383, -0.3108, -0.2655, -0.1551, -0.0365, -0.0456, -0.1305, -0.1305, -0.1984, -0.2038, -0.168, -0.1908, -0.1908, -0.0701, 0.0129, 0.0861, -0.0449, 0.0089, 0.0881, 0.0961, 0.033, 0.0608, 0.128, 0.2898, 0.2898, 0.2527, 0.1531, 0.2965, 0.2653, 0.1673, 0.2404, 0.3506, 0.3602, 0.239, 0.1648, 0.2897, 0.1531, 0.0391, 0.134, 0.1377, 0.0725, 0.0798, -0.084, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.075, -0.0594, -0.0374, -0.1065, -0.0653, -0.0439, -0.0824, -0.0446, -0.1178, -0.0316, 0.0325, 0.1686, 0.0457, -0.0032, 0.0, -0.0248, -0.0173, -0.0297, -0.0381, -0.0072, 0.0662, 0.0109, 0.0482, 0.0019, -0.0149, -0.031, 0.0702, -0.0212, -0.1236, -0.1776, -0.0768, -0.0643, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0563, 0.0313, 0.0746, 0.0206, 0.0573, 0.1026, -0.0133, -0.0318, 0.0131, -0.0471, -0.0976, -0.1086, -0.0568, -0.1227, -0.1488, -0.1399, -0.1992, -0.2218, -0.1767, -0.2102, -0.2376, -0.2884, -0.2126, -0.2719, -0.1639, -0.0803, -0.1872, -0.1666, -0.0752, -0.0678, -0.0326, -0.0185, -0.002, 0.0721, 0.1794, 0.1794, 0.3336, 0.4439, 0.4827, 0.2635, 0.177, 0.3165, 0.2002, 0.1953, 0.0428, 0.0256, -0.0117, -0.0272, 0.0869, -0.0819, -0.0244, -0.0837, -0.0482, -0.1014, -0.1014, -0.1014, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060770341555667311", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-30T17:08:31+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I didn't know the reason, but I knew the target: $460 $MSFT given to clients as high conviction trade Wed when $415", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long MSFT with $460 target, given to clients at $415.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I didn’t know the reason, but I knew the target: $460 $MSFT \ngiven to clients as high conviction trade Wed when $415 with $ORCL &amp; $NOW 🔥\n\nhttps://t.co/AKyMF0KxNK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Axios: Microsoft is expected to unveil new software that allows users to have AI agents perform tasks locally on Windows PCs.\n\n$NVDA $MSFT https://t.co/b5aVcSLL3O", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02232258973451784, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02232258973451784, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019606871482542032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019606871482542032, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715718251975807, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715718251975807, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04171369737114239, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04171369737114239, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.043071637168418664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043071637168418664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013579397972762752, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013579397972762752, "ret_p1w": -0.10592373825894597, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10592373825894597, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08045371506433718, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08045371506433718, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025470023194608782, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025470023194608782, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.122, -0.1102, -0.1139, -0.1129, -0.1208, -0.1227, -0.1293, -0.1429, -0.1334, -0.1346, -0.1511, -0.1571, -0.1726, -0.1701, -0.1924, -0.196, -0.207, -0.227, -0.2222, -0.1979, -0.1997, -0.1908, -0.1908, -0.1921, -0.1933, -0.1889, -0.1916, -0.1964, -0.1672, -0.1482, -0.109, -0.0894, -0.0839, -0.0941, -0.0809, -0.062, -0.0992, -0.0799, -0.0795, -0.0699, -0.0803, -0.1164, -0.102, -0.1038, -0.1086, -0.103, -0.0883, -0.1005, -0.1059, -0.1165, -0.122, -0.1129, -0.0858, -0.0823, -0.0955, -0.0877, -0.09, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.0966, -0.1039, -0.0728, -0.0223, 0.0, -0.0417, -0.072, -0.0705, -0.0952, -0.1059, -0.124, -0.1371, -0.1524, -0.1515, -0.1319, -0.1448, -0.1772, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.1761, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033155099229376950", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-15T12:15:24+00:00", "symbol": "AA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "good for $AA", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aluminium Bahrain production cut is inflationary and bullish for Alcoa.", "resolved_tickers": ["AA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aluminum'", "bench_c_industry": "Aluminum", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Inflationary. But good for $AA\n\n#Aluminum", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "*ALUMINIUM BAHRAIN SUSPENDS 19% OF TOTAL PRODUCTION CAPACITY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04519515233181359, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04519515233181359, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035120812517714484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040944102173424035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01007433981409911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251050158389558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017717735221413733, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017717735221413733, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02034828021251922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020146884579350655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002630544991105488, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024291493579369217, "ret_p1w": -0.1579579156458738, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1579579156458738, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1402304893391032, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12478906711680915, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177274263067706, "bench_c_p1w": -0.033168848529064654, "ret_p1m": 0.07867868639684383, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07867868639684383, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03783361029061538, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02116265333627454, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084507610622845, "bench_c_p1m": 0.057516033060569294, "ret_p3m": 0.03739325849916142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03739325849916142, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06834911060916804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.004059813070149909, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10574236910832946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04145307156931133, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07867868639684383, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03783361029061538, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02116265333627454, "price_path": [-0.2978, -0.2778, -0.2317, -0.1947, -0.1958, -0.1961, -0.1961, -0.1868, -0.194, -0.1848, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.1524, -0.079, -0.0472, -0.0595, -0.0842, -0.0456, -0.0156, -0.0201, -0.0321, -0.0435, -0.0995, -0.0995, -0.0688, -0.0426, -0.0535, -0.0674, -0.1223, -0.1057, -0.1004, -0.091, -0.1484, -0.1274, -0.0803, -0.1282, -0.1548, -0.1132, -0.0652, -0.0742, -0.0534, -0.0929, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.1385, -0.0974, -0.1052, -0.0932, -0.1034, -0.0794, -0.0271, -0.0486, -0.0694, -0.0394, -0.043, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1058, -0.0832, -0.0794, -0.0036, -0.0101, -0.0452, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0356, -0.1194, -0.1524, -0.158, -0.1489, -0.1186, -0.1351, -0.123, -0.0508, -0.0041, 0.082, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0662, 0.0955, 0.0775, 0.1002, 0.0965, 0.1008, 0.0787, 0.0568, 0.0572, -0.0147, -0.0011, 0.0083, 0.029, -0.0185, -0.0089, 0.0114, -0.0515, -0.0622, -0.0422, -0.0596, -0.0622, -0.0532, -0.0502, -0.0595, -0.0514, -0.0189, 0.0153, 0.0276, -0.0087, -0.0611, -0.0602, -0.0386, -0.0354, -0.0034, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.1215, 0.1001, 0.1367, 0.1676, 0.1694, 0.2601, 0.2161, 0.1733, 0.0812, 0.1045, 0.089, -0.0142, 0.0374, 0.0342, -0.0351, -0.0545, -0.0716, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.1071, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037919598222135540", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T15:47:49+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Semis Are Done Going Up. The AI Bubble Is Bursting. Semi Sector Is Next.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish semis: AI bubble bursting, liquidity leaving, semi sector set to fall amid energy crisis and recession risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH", "SOXX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SMH VanEck; SOXX iShares semiconductor ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\n💫Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up.\n💫The AI Bubble Is Bursting. Semi Sector Is Next.\n💫A Semi Supply Hit Bigger Than Oil\n💫Higher Oil, Dollar & Yields As Tech Wrecking Ball\n💫Tail Risk Is Still Rising\n💫Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\nhttps://t.co/AGPnvoJE6Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038259793472975034, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038259793472975034, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034905187025585094, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034905187025585094, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059239898992489826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059239898992489826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03017203320773265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03017203320773265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.10151032771088353, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10151032771088353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05885003620047313, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05885003620047313, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": 0.38555136483529207, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.38555136483529207, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2594061557400432, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2594061557400432, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.38555136483529207, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2594061557400432, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2594061557400432, "price_path": [-0.0176, -0.0176, 0.0208, 0.0338, 0.0642, 0.0551, 0.0382, 0.0671, 0.0717, 0.0776, 0.071, 0.0907, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.0826, 0.1159, 0.118, 0.1078, 0.1034, 0.128, 0.156, 0.1583, 0.115, 0.1316, 0.106, 0.0598, 0.0592, 0.1161, 0.1299, 0.1251, 0.1531, 0.1271, 0.1344, 0.1344, 0.1332, 0.1463, 0.1397, 0.1522, 0.145, 0.1621, 0.1813, 0.1438, 0.1287, 0.1283, 0.0793, 0.1013, 0.0901, 0.0467, 0.0865, 0.0945, 0.1049, 0.0679, 0.0686, 0.0882, 0.0965, 0.0889, 0.0938, 0.0673, 0.083, 0.0946, 0.1076, 0.056, 0.0383, 0.0, 0.0592, 0.087, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.1015, 0.1128, 0.1811, 0.2046, 0.2265, 0.2463, 0.271, 0.2734, 0.2825, 0.3111, 0.3138, 0.3199, 0.3545, 0.3763, 0.4435, 0.4333, 0.3856, 0.4153, 0.4436, 0.4549, 0.4447, 0.5, 0.5763, 0.5396, 0.6211, 0.6547, 0.6069, 0.6422, 0.6531, 0.5881, 0.5536, 0.552, 0.6186, 0.6301, 0.6621, 0.6621, 0.7506, 0.7316, 0.7464, 0.7445, 0.7614, 0.8484, 0.8735, 0.8383, 0.6569, 0.7473, 0.7224, 0.6614, 0.7879, 0.8174, 0.9073, 0.8043, 0.829, 0.9427, 0.9427, 0.9427, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053311314710143091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-10T03:09:00+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Outliers Revert With Velocity™️😉 $QQQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects QQQ to revert sharply from historically extreme extension above 50 SMA.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Outliers Revert With Velocity™️😉 $QQQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$QQQ is now trading 9.8 ATRs above the 50 SMA\n\nThis has literally never happened before in the history of the QQQ ETF since its inception in March 1999.\n\nWe are truly in uncharted territory! https://t.co/oCFmI7rKxm", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0028880225743403987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0028880225743403987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000615635037824025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.000615635037824025, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00848180680976407, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00848180680976407, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006966854195177508, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006966854195177508, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "ret_p1w": -0.010388444213143222, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010388444213143222, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00950925355193255, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00950925355193255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "ret_p1m": -0.007654616082788501, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007654616082788501, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004611219225129526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004611219225129526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007654616082788501, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004611219225129526, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004611219225129526, "price_path": [-0.1415, -0.159, -0.1572, -0.1572, -0.1581, -0.1518, -0.155, -0.1476, -0.1579, -0.1489, -0.1365, -0.1469, -0.1497, -0.1486, -0.1577, -0.1448, -0.1474, -0.1602, -0.149, -0.149, -0.1491, -0.1637, -0.1687, -0.1594, -0.1553, -0.167, -0.1697, -0.185, -0.1757, -0.1813, -0.1759, -0.1956, -0.2113, -0.2173, -0.1908, -0.1808, -0.1799, -0.1799, -0.1749, -0.1748, -0.1503, -0.1445, -0.1433, -0.1344, -0.1187, -0.1064, -0.1021, -0.0903, -0.0932, -0.0967, -0.0816, -0.0867, -0.0693, -0.0688, -0.0781, -0.0725, -0.0639, -0.0549, -0.0567, -0.0444, -0.0246, -0.0257, -0.0029, 0.0, -0.0085, 0.002, 0.0091, -0.0061, -0.0104, -0.0165, -0.0002, 0.0017, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0238, 0.0227, 0.0313, 0.0351, 0.0413, 0.0461, 0.0433, 0.0383, -0.0115, 0.0039, -0.0077, -0.0275, 0.0054, 0.0113, 0.0431, 0.0232, 0.0129, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0383, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2055368327447376218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T19:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2025 Conviction longs should rest now: $INTC & $CSCO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2025 conviction longs on INTC and CSCO: entrenched boomer stocks with US strategic importance become inflationary assets in AI/reshoring cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2025 Conviction longs should rest now:\n$INTC &amp; $CSCO\n\nThe thesis: “boomer stocks” with entrenched systems &amp; U.S. strategic importance would become the new inflationary assets in an AI-driven &amp; reshoring cycle. https://t.co/cc3fPtWxLn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06582701004951996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06582701004951996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05365119927945283, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026282848317444207, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01217581077006713, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039544161732075755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005516213042554563, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005516213042554563, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004812703724822787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012782045611378634, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007035093177317764, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018298258653933197, "ret_p1w": 0.10177438665508931, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10177438665508931, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09302133332696383, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06586113306145469, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753053328125482, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03591325359363462, "ret_p1m": 0.17550799445117082, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17550799445117082, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15432208205554865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012370444842418227, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021185912395622175, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1631375496087526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17550799445117082, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15432208205554865, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012370444842418227, "price_path": [-0.5754, -0.5821, -0.5898, -0.5945, -0.5989, -0.576, -0.569, -0.5821, -0.5807, -0.5817, -0.6038, -0.581, -0.5775, -0.6008, -0.581, -0.5699, -0.5589, -0.584, -0.5792, -0.5793, -0.5949, -0.586, -0.5754, -0.5967, -0.5954, -0.5949, -0.5662, -0.5946, -0.6035, -0.6213, -0.5943, -0.5584, -0.5368, -0.5368, -0.5331, -0.5136, -0.458, -0.4326, -0.4265, -0.4008, -0.4133, -0.403, -0.3702, -0.3702, -0.396, -0.3908, -0.3999, -0.386, -0.2412, -0.2186, -0.2229, -0.1289, -0.1314, -0.0841, -0.1194, -0.0057, 0.039, 0.0078, 0.1485, 0.19, 0.1089, 0.1059, 0.0658, 0.0, -0.0055, 0.0187, 0.0937, 0.0895, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.1356, 0.1195, 0.1114, 0.0543, 0.0051, -0.0077, 0.0362, 0.0277, -0.0883, 0.0138, -0.0078, -0.0159, 0.0753, 0.1453, 0.1755, 0.0761, 0.1134, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2319, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2055368327447376218", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-15T19:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "CSCO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2025 Conviction longs should rest now: $INTC & $CSCO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2025 conviction longs on INTC and CSCO: entrenched boomer stocks with US strategic importance become inflationary assets in AI/reshoring cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["CSCO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2025 Conviction longs should rest now:\n$INTC &amp; $CSCO\n\nThe thesis: “boomer stocks” with entrenched systems &amp; U.S. strategic importance would become the new inflationary assets in an AI-driven &amp; reshoring cycle. https://t.co/cc3fPtWxLn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022671519549379737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022671519549379737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03484733031944687, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03484733031944687, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01217581077006713, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01217581077006713, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005667863752088609, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005667863752088609, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006371373069820385, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006371373069820385, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007035093177317764, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007035093177317764, "ret_p1w": 0.018610985489176723, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018610985489176723, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009857932161051242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009857932161051242, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753053328125482, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008753053328125482, "ret_p1m": 0.01658065391804997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01658065391804997, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004605258477572205, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004605258477572205, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021185912395622175, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021185912395622175, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01658065391804997, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004605258477572205, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004605258477572205, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3422, -0.339, -0.3336, -0.3459, -0.3425, -0.3343, -0.3429, -0.3314, -0.3318, -0.3356, -0.3196, -0.3268, -0.3383, -0.3588, -0.3462, -0.3429, -0.3459, -0.3409, -0.3361, -0.333, -0.3471, -0.3394, -0.3467, -0.3368, -0.3196, -0.3115, -0.3087, -0.3276, -0.3518, -0.3472, -0.3443, -0.3315, -0.3315, -0.3195, -0.3175, -0.2919, -0.2964, -0.3045, -0.3034, -0.3012, -0.3033, -0.2852, -0.2704, -0.258, -0.2412, -0.2403, -0.2506, -0.247, -0.2534, -0.2652, -0.2423, -0.226, -0.223, -0.2164, -0.2023, -0.2248, -0.2204, -0.1831, -0.1649, -0.1601, -0.1382, -0.0227, 0.0, 0.0057, -0.0239, -0.0327, -0.0001, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.001, 0.0124, 0.0036, 0.0187, 0.0264, 0.0828, 0.0701, 0.0997, 0.029, 0.0502, 0.0182, 0.005, 0.0306, 0.0244, 0.0166, 0.0115, -0.0074, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0113, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2033979879151079674", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T18:52:47+00:00", "symbol": "XLE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A fab long recommendation to clients since January - now overbought. But that doesn't mean it's done ;-)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long XLE vs SPY; overbought but not done, ongoing recommendation.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$XLE Over $SPY Still In Play\n\nA fab long recommendation to clients since January - now overbought. But that doesn't mean it's done ;-)\n\n#OOTT $WTIC https://t.co/mlMJdgqOFk\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/FiWaM9MtLn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010425514196592212, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010425514196592212, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007801870817436107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007801870817436107, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026236433791561042, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0013672622619013142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0013672622619013142, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012586382253355843, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012586382253355843, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953644515257158, "ret_p1w": 0.046616194881891504, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046616194881891504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0702094099619226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0702094099619226, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593215080031094, "ret_p1m": -0.04077388028373696, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04077388028373696, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08707987785456628, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08707987785456628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046305997570829316, "ret_p3m": -0.00998091607687146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00998091607687146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11878665066134297, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11878665066134297, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10880573458447151, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04077388028373696, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08707987785456628, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08707987785456628, "price_path": [-0.2521, -0.2521, -0.2444, -0.2394, -0.2417, -0.2417, -0.2446, -0.2374, -0.2316, -0.2359, -0.2359, -0.2198, -0.1986, -0.22, -0.2287, -0.2044, -0.2024, -0.208, -0.1967, -0.1786, -0.1863, -0.1849, -0.1849, -0.1865, -0.1668, -0.1641, -0.1593, -0.1588, -0.1511, -0.1446, -0.1367, -0.1275, -0.1446, -0.1169, -0.0971, -0.1077, -0.0899, -0.0832, -0.0843, -0.0603, -0.0774, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0814, -0.0637, -0.0569, -0.062, -0.0574, -0.0583, -0.0622, -0.0591, -0.0443, -0.0251, -0.034, -0.0397, -0.0347, -0.0332, -0.0374, -0.0497, -0.0261, -0.0171, -0.0138, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.0014, 0.0145, 0.0137, 0.0258, 0.0466, 0.042, 0.0583, 0.0762, 0.0659, 0.0538, 0.0144, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0349, -0.0014, -0.0138, -0.0205, -0.0176, -0.0375, -0.0408, -0.0267, -0.0535, -0.0526, -0.0389, -0.0274, -0.0198, -0.0217, -0.0234, -0.0072, 0.0155, 0.0261, 0.0124, 0.0217, 0.0227, -0.0194, -0.0375, -0.0418, -0.0165, -0.0096, -0.0086, -0.001, 0.0225, 0.0421, 0.0544, 0.0287, 0.0172, 0.0234, 0.0234, -0.0048, -0.0196, -0.0203, -0.0317, -0.0143, -0.0029, 0.01, 0.0107, -0.0079, 0.0034, -0.0127, 0.0021, -0.0174, -0.01, -0.0444, -0.0477, -0.0595, -0.075, -0.075, -0.075, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030007518861156630", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:48:02+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the world will price in physical shortages across energy & food markets the world over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US-Iran conflict escalates and fails, global energy and food markets will price in physical shortages — implied long both sectors.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE", "IXC"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XLE US energy; IXC global energy ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump is going for it?\n#NavalEscort #Hormuz #Iran \n\nIf Trump follows through + fails - which has exceedingly high odds - he will have lost the war for US-Israel.\n\nAnd the world will price in physical shortages across energy &amp; food markets the world over.\n\nPLACE YOUR BETS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "⚠️MarineTraffic confirms the Gerald R Ford (CVN-78) CSG is transiting the Suez canal, also confirmed by Chinese satellite imagery. All shipping traffic is anchored at each entrance.\n\nLooks like Trump is forcing his commanders to reposition for Hormuz escorts. Deadly mistake. https://t.co/Ddx0mu1KiK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004406272023867119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004406272023867119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017687479247056714, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017687479247056714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0025896939203551295, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0025896939203551295, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0113496546432581, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0113496546432581, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "ret_p1w": 0.023385578778125526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023385578778125526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03839200328469783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03839200328469783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "ret_p1m": 0.07065327884257977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07065327884257977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08798046509121549, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08798046509121549, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "ret_p3m": 0.04910096007128795, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04910096007128795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0757091337046063, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0757091337046063, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07065327884257977, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08798046509121549, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08798046509121549, "price_path": [-0.1988, -0.1914, -0.1944, -0.2017, -0.2064, -0.2305, -0.2155, -0.2258, -0.2239, -0.2164, -0.2107, -0.2128, -0.2128, -0.2155, -0.2087, -0.2021, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.1894, -0.1735, -0.1954, -0.2053, -0.1835, -0.1802, -0.1839, -0.1711, -0.1528, -0.1611, -0.1585, -0.1585, -0.1602, -0.1412, -0.14, -0.1318, -0.131, -0.1207, -0.1133, -0.1034, -0.0984, -0.1151, -0.0869, -0.0694, -0.0826, -0.0646, -0.0558, -0.0572, -0.0326, -0.0506, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0549, -0.0371, -0.0286, -0.0342, -0.029, -0.0288, -0.0307, -0.0292, -0.0134, 0.0065, -0.0039, -0.0095, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0137, 0.0101, 0.0192, 0.0234, 0.0284, 0.0405, 0.0404, 0.0567, 0.0529, 0.0617, 0.0815, 0.0779, 0.0927, 0.1101, 0.1029, 0.0924, 0.055, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0707, 0.0775, 0.0411, 0.0317, 0.0271, 0.0311, 0.01, 0.0045, 0.0202, -0.0104, -0.0087, 0.0043, 0.0157, 0.024, 0.0215, 0.0198, 0.0348, 0.0575, 0.0705, 0.0561, 0.0646, 0.0659, 0.0246, 0.0048, -0.0003, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0334, 0.04, 0.0617, 0.0825, 0.0928, 0.0677, 0.0587, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0347, 0.0181, 0.0176, 0.0073, 0.0249, 0.0379, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0285, 0.0395, 0.0231, 0.0372, 0.0214, 0.0266, -0.0085, -0.0126, -0.0262, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030007518861156630", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:48:02+00:00", "symbol": "agriculture", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the world will price in physical shortages across energy & food markets the world over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US-Iran conflict escalates and fails, global energy and food markets will price in physical shortages — implied long both sectors.", "resolved_tickers": ["DBA"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "DBA Invesco DB Agriculture Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump is going for it?\n#NavalEscort #Hormuz #Iran \n\nIf Trump follows through + fails - which has exceedingly high odds - he will have lost the war for US-Israel.\n\nAnd the world will price in physical shortages across energy &amp; food markets the world over.\n\nPLACE YOUR BETS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "⚠️MarineTraffic confirms the Gerald R Ford (CVN-78) CSG is transiting the Suez canal, also confirmed by Chinese satellite imagery. All shipping traffic is anchored at each entrance.\n\nLooks like Trump is forcing his commanders to reposition for Hormuz escorts. Deadly mistake. https://t.co/Ddx0mu1KiK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011231720230007292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011231720230007292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024512927453196887, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024512927453196887, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005990260310608675, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005990260310608675, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014750221033511646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014750221033511646, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "ret_p1w": 0.0014976007824198945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0014976007824198945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016504025288992197, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016504025288992197, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "ret_p1m": 0.0213403826922709, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0213403826922709, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.038667568940906616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.038667568940906616, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "ret_p3m": 0.005615931524539208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005615931524539208, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11919416225135504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11919416225135504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0213403826922709, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.038667568940906616, "alpha_c_stated": 0.038667568940906616, "price_path": [-0.046, -0.0428, -0.0373, -0.0417, -0.0482, -0.0514, -0.0532, -0.055, -0.0532, -0.0475, -0.0461, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0393, -0.0397, -0.0427, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0431, -0.0333, -0.0326, -0.03, -0.0262, -0.0348, -0.0404, -0.0427, -0.0449, -0.0419, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0457, -0.0434, -0.0416, -0.0363, -0.0356, -0.0326, -0.0311, -0.0314, -0.0393, -0.0397, -0.0359, -0.0374, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0359, -0.0367, -0.0333, -0.0307, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0374, -0.0326, -0.0303, -0.0255, -0.0277, -0.0262, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0258, -0.027, -0.0258, -0.0221, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.006, -0.0037, -0.0004, 0.0015, 0.0015, -0.0097, -0.0034, 0.0075, 0.0097, 0.0052, 0.0049, 0.0067, 0.0094, 0.015, 0.0172, 0.0154, 0.0228, 0.0146, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0213, 0.0112, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0067, 0.0082, 0.0154, 0.0172, 0.015, 0.0079, 0.0105, 0.0172, 0.0157, 0.0258, 0.0255, 0.0322, 0.0468, 0.0524, 0.0494, 0.0524, 0.0592, 0.0621, 0.0505, 0.0408, 0.0472, 0.0607, 0.0696, 0.0756, 0.0577, 0.0419, 0.0558, 0.0588, 0.0472, 0.0337, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0326, 0.0202, 0.0198, 0.0154, 0.0056, -0.0007, -0.0116, -0.0142, -0.0161, -0.0142, -0.0154, -0.0176, -0.0124, -0.0019, 0.0049, -0.003, -0.003, -0.003, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2042012627878953218", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T22:52:03+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My bet: Oil, Dollar, Yields & VIX won't fall as much as bulls hope", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish SPX post-ceasefire rip on weak fundamentals; expects oil, dollar, yields, and VIX to stay elevated against bullish consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"CEASEFIRE\" and $SPX 6800 – Now What?\n\nMarkets ripping yet risk remains high with fundamentals weak behind the move.\n\nMy bet: Oil, Dollar, Yields &amp; VIX won't fall as much as bulls hope.\n\nAlso, some trading tips on hedging swing short exposure. https://t.co/by1pQIVgSP\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/nZDMmyJBiR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03535300896467475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03535300896467475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029617081930073064, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029617081930073064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735927034601684, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005735927034601684, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013282957139829188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013282957139829188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012621181713270646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012621181713270646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617754265585418, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006617754265585418, "ret_p1w": -0.03249208353871058, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03249208353871058, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0644816758533675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0644816758533675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198959231465692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03198959231465692, "ret_p1m": -0.025033253385928655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025033253385928655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10991222939353185, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10991222939353185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487897600760319, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08487897600760319, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03249208353871058, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0644816758533675, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0644816758533675, "price_path": [-0.3921, -0.3752, -0.3663, -0.3952, -0.3927, -0.3927, -0.3835, -0.3806, -0.3935, -0.376, -0.3805, -0.3625, -0.3541, -0.3316, -0.3337, -0.3651, -0.3541, -0.3344, -0.3533, -0.3507, -0.3424, -0.3465, -0.3396, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.3574, -0.3631, -0.3339, -0.3212, -0.3217, -0.3225, -0.3294, -0.3316, -0.3337, -0.3152, -0.2722, -0.2382, -0.2372, -0.1723, -0.0712, -0.0317, -0.1473, -0.1085, -0.0219, 0.0086, -0.0447, -0.017, -0.0158, -0.0177, 0.0046, -0.0995, -0.0564, -0.0771, -0.0346, 0.0181, 0.0512, 0.0359, 0.023, 0.1397, 0.1397, 0.1486, 0.1541, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0124, -0.0673, -0.0672, -0.0325, -0.1433, -0.0844, -0.0586, -0.0502, -0.0206, -0.0355, -0.0153, 0.021, 0.0921, 0.0736, 0.0416, 0.0874, 0.045, -0.0285, -0.0313, -0.025, 0.002, 0.044, 0.0322, 0.0337, 0.0771, 0.1102, 0.1012, 0.004, -0.0155, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0407, -0.0939, -0.0917, -0.1074, -0.0583, -0.042, -0.0189, -0.0494, -0.0749, -0.0671, -0.0988, -0.0801, -0.1038, -0.1327, -0.1749, -0.2229, -0.2154, -0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2285, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029027247118594484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T02:52:47+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hormuz Heightens Risk & My Crude Oil Price Target … How High Can Oil Go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crude oil on Strait of Hormuz / Iran risk premium being priced in; article sets an upside price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hormuz Heightens Risk &amp; My Crude Oil Price Target \n\n💫Iran Risk Is Starting To Get Priced In\n💫Day 4 of Operation Epic Folly\n💫Wars Are Not Deflationary\n💫How High Can Oil Go\n💫Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds\n\nhttps://t.co/kHyaoLnd0l", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001339486989154537, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001339486989154537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005666350731298175, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005666350731298175, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005837720452712, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005837720452712, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0850522121973023, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0850522121973023, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09062770407067922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09062770407067922, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575491873376914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575491873376914, "ret_p1w": 0.1686310704573426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1686310704573426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1814752555430742, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1814752555430742, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844185085731596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844185085731596, "ret_p1m": 0.49397261511433466, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.49397261511433466, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5341239482305175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5341239482305175, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401513331161828, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401513331161828, "ret_p3m": 0.23439591671064175, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23439591671064175, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1242247167345718, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1242247167345718, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11017119997606994, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11017119997606994, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.49397261511433466, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5341239482305175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5341239482305175, "price_path": [-0.1953, -0.2114, -0.2198, -0.217, -0.2285, -0.2306, -0.2389, -0.2597, -0.2507, -0.2479, -0.2411, -0.223, -0.2181, -0.2185, -0.2185, -0.24, -0.2221, -0.2238, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2323, -0.2189, -0.2348, -0.2501, -0.2264, -0.2081, -0.2031, -0.181, -0.1693, -0.2072, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1918, -0.1881, -0.2049, -0.182, -0.1879, -0.1643, -0.1534, -0.1238, -0.1266, -0.1677, -0.1534, -0.1275, -0.1523, -0.1488, -0.138, -0.1433, -0.1343, -0.1583, -0.1576, -0.1576, -0.1651, -0.1268, -0.1102, -0.1108, -0.1118, -0.1209, -0.1238, -0.1266, -0.1023, -0.0459, -0.0013, 0.0, 0.0851, 0.2175, 0.2694, 0.1177, 0.1686, 0.2822, 0.3221, 0.2523, 0.2886, 0.2901, 0.2877, 0.3169, 0.1804, 0.2369, 0.2098, 0.2655, 0.3346, 0.378, 0.3579, 0.341, 0.494, 0.494, 0.5056, 0.5129, 0.2645, 0.3109, 0.2935, 0.3271, 0.2226, 0.2227, 0.2683, 0.1231, 0.2002, 0.234, 0.2451, 0.2838, 0.2644, 0.2908, 0.3385, 0.4316, 0.4073, 0.3654, 0.4254, 0.3698, 0.2735, 0.2699, 0.2781, 0.3136, 0.3686, 0.3531, 0.3551, 0.412, 0.4554, 0.4435, 0.3161, 0.2905, 0.2939, 0.2939, 0.2576, 0.1878, 0.1907, 0.1701, 0.2344, 0.2558, 0.2861, 0.2462, 0.2127, 0.2229, 0.1814, 0.2059, 0.1748, 0.1369, 0.0816, 0.0186, 0.0285, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0114, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030332356540911785", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T17:18:50+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people are extremely naive if they think oil prices cannot go materially higher from here. we are simply trading at a long term inflation adjusted average today. we arent even in the phase of pricing the risk we see in headlines quite yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish oil: trading at inflation-adjusted avg with Iran risk not yet priced in; expects material upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yup:\n\n“people are extremely naive if they think oil prices cannot go materially higher from here. \n\nwe are simply trading at a long term inflation adjusted average today. we arent even in the phase of pricing the risk we see in headlines quite yet”\n\nIran Risk Is Not Priced In", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04083565742608519, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04083565742608519, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03215176724013313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03215176724013313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11944708342091537, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11944708342091537, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11783997752507569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11783997752507569, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "ret_p1w": -0.013400830305498657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013400830305498657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0002220721793141367, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0002220721793141367, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "ret_p1m": 0.19183286851478298, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19183286851478298, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21726485568471343, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21726485568471343, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "ret_p3m": -0.01825467752262111, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01825467752262111, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13751043867836943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13751043867836943, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19183286851478298, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21726485568471343, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21726485568471343, "price_path": [-0.3831, -0.3922, -0.3939, -0.4004, -0.4168, -0.4097, -0.4075, -0.4021, -0.3879, -0.384, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.4013, -0.3871, -0.3885, -0.3941, -0.3941, -0.3952, -0.3846, -0.3972, -0.4092, -0.3905, -0.3762, -0.3722, -0.3548, -0.3456, -0.3754, -0.3728, -0.3728, -0.3633, -0.3603, -0.3736, -0.3556, -0.3602, -0.3417, -0.333, -0.3097, -0.3119, -0.3443, -0.333, -0.3127, -0.3322, -0.3294, -0.3209, -0.3251, -0.318, -0.3369, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3423, -0.3121, -0.299, -0.2995, -0.3003, -0.3075, -0.3097, -0.3119, -0.2928, -0.2484, -0.2133, -0.2122, -0.1452, -0.0408, 0.0, -0.1194, -0.0793, 0.0101, 0.0416, -0.0134, 0.0152, 0.0164, 0.0145, 0.0375, -0.0701, -0.0255, -0.047, -0.0031, 0.0514, 0.0856, 0.0697, 0.0565, 0.177, 0.177, 0.1861, 0.1918, -0.0038, 0.0327, 0.019, 0.0455, -0.0368, -0.0367, -0.0008, -0.1152, -0.0544, -0.0279, -0.0191, 0.0114, -0.0039, 0.0169, 0.0544, 0.1278, 0.1087, 0.0757, 0.1229, 0.0791, 0.0033, 0.0004, 0.0069, 0.0348, 0.0782, 0.0659, 0.0675, 0.1124, 0.1466, 0.1372, 0.0368, 0.0167, 0.0193, 0.0193, -0.0093, -0.0643, -0.0619, -0.0782, -0.0275, -0.0107, 0.0132, -0.0183, -0.0446, -0.0366, -0.0693, -0.05, -0.0745, -0.1044, -0.1479, -0.1975, -0.1897, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.2032, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039411032540479836", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T18:34:15+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump & his $CVX et al buddies are banking on this elevated oil spike. BANKING!!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CVX and oil majors: Trump allies banking on elevated oil prices, and oil/gas seen as a catchup trade vs other commodities.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thought provoking client comment:\n\n\"The US as a net exporter of crude with a large trade deficit is in a position to benefit, not get hurt, from this - and anyone saying that $5 diesel is going to be a problem hasn't looked at the price of every other product that has gone up 3x what it was in 2005, but oil and gas have materially stayed flat. This is just a catchup trade…\" 👀\n\nPlus you KNOW Trump & his $CVX et al buddies are banking on this elevated oil spike. BANKING!!\n\nhttps://t.co/qWIPV4ELIY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04807246716293645, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04807246716293645, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05555061453609189, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009239212059897639, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03883325510303881, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00790231482099002, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00790231482099002, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007001855289651138, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003154158580515487, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0047481562404745326, "ret_p1w": -0.02289657263966627, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02289657263966627, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0545949521300334, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007295386195742881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015601186443923387, "ret_p1m": -0.020768966339499206, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020768966339499206, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11755790635798657, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03230025837103212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011531292031532914, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.020768966339499206, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11755790635798657, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03230025837103212, "price_path": [-0.2179, -0.178, -0.2147, -0.2214, -0.2011, -0.1868, -0.1856, -0.1779, -0.161, -0.1665, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1708, -0.1636, -0.1639, -0.1636, -0.1597, -0.152, -0.1475, -0.1412, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.1069, -0.0909, -0.1009, -0.0927, -0.084, -0.0857, -0.0678, -0.085, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0854, -0.0686, -0.064, -0.0683, -0.0633, -0.0611, -0.0668, -0.0671, -0.0539, -0.0396, -0.0438, -0.0576, -0.038, -0.0378, -0.0404, -0.0563, -0.0285, -0.0022, -0.003, -0.0029, 0.0028, 0.0061, 0.0204, 0.0219, 0.0395, 0.0475, 0.0392, 0.0526, 0.0696, 0.0674, 0.0481, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0073, 0.0209, -0.0229, -0.0357, -0.0449, -0.0285, -0.0526, -0.0633, -0.0469, -0.068, -0.0717, -0.0579, -0.0562, -0.0497, -0.0618, -0.064, -0.0458, -0.0263, -0.0208, -0.0343, -0.026, -0.0242, -0.0621, -0.0755, -0.08, -0.0642, -0.0581, -0.0578, -0.0546, -0.032, -0.0065, 0.0083, -0.0219, -0.0236, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0558, -0.0676, -0.0644, -0.0673, -0.05, -0.0412, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0425, -0.0326, -0.0453, -0.0297, -0.0501, -0.0429, -0.0778, -0.0793, -0.0922, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.1124, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039070486978572335", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T20:01:02+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Semis Are Just Starting To Mean Revert", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Semis beginning a mean reversion to the upside; bullish SMH and MU even after today's move.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, even after today ;-)\nSemis Are Just Starting To Mean Revert\n$SMH $MU\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/AhrFbzFcVB\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/MUFXt0Uoqy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014385789401417548, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014385789401417548, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -7.518483744473059e-06, "alpha_c_p1d": -7.518483744473059e-06, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "ret_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.047261775905822256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.047261775905822256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "ret_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1959630553960514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1959630553960514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2927519954145388, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1959630553960514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1959630553960514, "price_path": [-0.0476, -0.0367, -0.0111, -0.0177, -0.0331, -0.007, -0.0033, -0.0011, -0.0092, 0.0113, 0.0215, 0.0215, -0.004, 0.0254, 0.0277, 0.0207, 0.0175, 0.039, 0.0629, 0.0652, 0.0293, 0.0408, 0.0146, -0.0254, -0.0278, 0.0247, 0.0375, 0.0326, 0.0582, 0.0361, 0.0402, 0.0402, 0.0396, 0.0525, 0.0465, 0.0588, 0.0533, 0.0694, 0.0872, 0.0511, 0.0367, 0.0368, -0.0023, 0.0182, 0.0086, -0.0291, 0.0061, 0.0137, 0.0231, -0.0098, -0.0118, 0.005, 0.0125, 0.0043, 0.0075, -0.0184, -0.0016, 0.0067, 0.018, -0.0284, -0.0452, -0.0751, -0.0219, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0009, 0.0102, 0.0202, 0.079, 0.0978, 0.1146, 0.1311, 0.1531, 0.1557, 0.1603, 0.1842, 0.1837, 0.1854, 0.2165, 0.2293, 0.292, 0.2916, 0.2532, 0.2745, 0.2928, 0.3007, 0.2929, 0.3335, 0.4026, 0.3779, 0.4454, 0.4703, 0.4319, 0.4605, 0.4755, 0.4193, 0.3934, 0.3878, 0.4406, 0.4488, 0.4703, 0.4703, 0.5362, 0.5192, 0.5303, 0.528, 0.5507, 0.6129, 0.6274, 0.601, 0.4534, 0.526, 0.5078, 0.4565, 0.5548, 0.5817, 0.6509, 0.5715, 0.5919, 0.6835, 0.6835, 0.6835, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039070486978572335", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-31T20:01:02+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Semis Are Just Starting To Mean Revert", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Semis beginning a mean reversion to the upside; bullish SMH and MU even after today's move.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, even after today ;-)\nSemis Are Just Starting To Mean Revert\n$SMH $MU\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/AhrFbzFcVB\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/MUFXt0Uoqy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08158219183821347, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08158219183821347, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07410404446505803, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05971825506364048, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004376827082850587, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004376827082850587, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005277286614189469, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005269768130444996, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.10569526773875171, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10569526773875171, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07399688824838457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026735112342562317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.40589904733887305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40589904733887305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3091101073203857, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11314705192433427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.40589904733887305, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3091101073203857, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11314705192433427, "price_path": [-0.1429, -0.1518, -0.0668, -0.0773, -0.1114, -0.0623, -0.0601, -0.0812, -0.0942, -0.0853, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0082, 0.0574, 0.0804, 0.086, 0.0573, 0.1148, 0.1828, 0.1842, 0.1274, 0.1897, 0.1398, 0.031, 0.0404, 0.0725, 0.0421, 0.0143, 0.115, 0.1249, 0.1186, 0.1186, 0.0863, 0.1439, 0.1341, 0.1635, 0.1439, 0.1359, 0.1657, 0.1292, 0.1206, 0.1214, 0.0317, 0.089, 0.0789, 0.0062, 0.0579, 0.0954, 0.1377, 0.1015, 0.1579, 0.2005, 0.2546, 0.2547, 0.2072, 0.1492, 0.0988, 0.0748, 0.0383, -0.0341, -0.0293, -0.1252, -0.0816, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0044, 0.0269, 0.0265, 0.1057, 0.1459, 0.1434, 0.1596, 0.2659, 0.2403, 0.243, 0.2371, 0.219, 0.2216, 0.3252, 0.3096, 0.3503, 0.426, 0.3709, 0.4094, 0.4059, 0.474, 0.5671, 0.7404, 0.8121, 0.7579, 1.0302, 1.1621, 1.0839, 1.1847, 1.1096, 0.97, 0.8528, 0.8995, 0.9899, 1.0718, 1.0416, 1.0416, 1.4354, 1.5239, 1.5106, 1.6397, 1.815, 1.8928, 1.9348, 1.7076, 1.3488, 1.5806, 1.5442, 1.4246, 1.7073, 1.6685, 1.9577, 1.7749, 1.8359, 2.0828, 2.0828, 2.0828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039690947781366169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T13:06:32+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Iran Risk Is Not Priced In", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Iran geopolitical risk is not priced in; implied bullish on oil/risk assets tied to Iran escalation.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty simple, the fundamentals go like this:\n\n\"Iran will be sent back to the Stone Age, where they belong.\"\n\nTrump, last night.\n\nMe, on repeat: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In\n\nhttps://t.co/pIYOLN90wD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10027553664925082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10027553664925082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09937588721581914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09937588721581914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07946635172549221, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07946635172549221, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11618309595372145, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11618309595372145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "ret_p1m": 0.03538286649942335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03538286649942335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06345372872401844, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06345372872401844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03538286649942335, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06345372872401844, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06345372872401844, "price_path": [-0.4909, -0.5033, -0.5085, -0.4885, -0.4868, -0.4805, -0.4672, -0.4735, -0.4843, -0.4805, -0.4805, -0.479, -0.4682, -0.4793, -0.4638, -0.4672, -0.4514, -0.4445, -0.4262, -0.4234, -0.4538, -0.4383, -0.4353, -0.444, -0.4418, -0.4343, -0.4342, -0.428, -0.4462, -0.4474, -0.4474, -0.4509, -0.4243, -0.4113, -0.4138, -0.4134, -0.4144, -0.4219, -0.4216, -0.4058, -0.3678, -0.346, -0.3361, -0.3017, -0.2114, -0.2435, -0.2325, -0.2166, -0.1416, -0.1307, -0.166, -0.1383, -0.1178, -0.1491, -0.1196, -0.1984, -0.1695, -0.1779, -0.1498, -0.0995, -0.0587, -0.0774, -0.1003, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0074, 0.0012, -0.0967, -0.0795, -0.095, -0.0685, -0.102, -0.1112, -0.0876, -0.1586, -0.1204, -0.0701, -0.0618, -0.0232, -0.04, -0.0232, 0.0122, 0.0922, 0.0665, 0.0354, 0.0703, 0.0453, -0.0288, -0.0214, -0.0314, 0.0054, 0.0463, 0.0299, 0.0368, 0.0748, 0.0824, 0.109, 0.046, 0.0335, 0.0218, 0.0218, -0.0067, -0.05, -0.0518, -0.064, -0.0175, -0.0047, 0.0213, -0.0086, -0.0355, -0.0201, -0.048, -0.0262, -0.0659, -0.0906, -0.1212, -0.1628, -0.1718, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.1671, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058592542103318876", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-24T16:54:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "up to + 24 months of higher for longer oil prices where the curve will flatten finding a floor at $80-$90 dollars", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Higher-for-longer oil ($80-90 floor) for up to 24 months on unsatisfied demand + inventory drawdown; oil & gas producers set for margin expansion and big repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have the smartest clients!\n\n\"Trump + Bessent averted the big oil spike that the energy supply shock required, but instead they have put us in higher for longer oil prices. \n\nHere's why: energy supply shock met fiscal (lower gas+diesel taxes) + fabricated risk assets melt up + oil price capped (result of multiple tricks, jawboning, agressive futures selling, historical SPR drawdowns, China collaboration slowing purchases last month…). \n\nWell now we are left with a demand that has not been destroyed as it should, a +1,5B oil barrels drawdown from comercial+strategic inventories, and incentives across the globe to replenish oil+product inventories at higher levels that before war. \n\nResult imho up to + 24 months of higher for longer oil prices where the curve will flatten finding a floor at $80-$90 dollars. \n\nAnd guess what that level might not be enough for expanding big oil&gas capex required to contain price hikes through increased supply.\n\nIMHO this will create a situation for big margin expansions for oil&gas producers and big repricing ahead. \" Client Jose\n\n🎯🧠🛢️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02861312532076865, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02861312532076865, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03520798575973416, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03520798575973416, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04357665124600818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04357665124600818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04340340908126217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04340340908126217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "ret_p1w": 0.001970834105554209, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001970834105554209, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009993065977496052, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009993065977496052, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4177, -0.4018, -0.3636, -0.3416, -0.3317, -0.297, -0.2061, -0.2385, -0.2273, -0.2113, -0.1358, -0.1249, -0.1604, -0.1326, -0.1119, -0.1434, -0.1136, -0.193, -0.1639, -0.1723, -0.1441, -0.0934, -0.0523, -0.0712, -0.0942, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0142, 0.0079, -0.0907, -0.0733, -0.0889, -0.0623, -0.096, -0.1052, -0.0815, -0.153, -0.1145, -0.0639, -0.0555, -0.0166, -0.0336, -0.0166, 0.019, 0.0995, 0.0736, 0.0423, 0.0774, 0.0523, -0.0223, -0.0148, -0.0249, 0.0121, 0.0533, 0.0368, 0.0438, 0.082, 0.0897, 0.1165, 0.0531, 0.0404, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.0, -0.0436, -0.0454, -0.0577, -0.0109, 0.002, 0.0282, -0.0019, -0.0291, -0.0135, -0.0416, -0.0197, -0.0596, -0.0845, -0.1153, -0.1572, -0.1662, -0.1615, -0.1615, -0.1615, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058592542103318876", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-24T16:54:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil and gas producers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this will create a situation for big margin expansions for oil&gas producers and big repricing ahead", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Higher-for-longer oil ($80-90 floor) for up to 24 months on unsatisfied demand + inventory drawdown; oil & gas producers set for margin expansion and big repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have the smartest clients!\n\n\"Trump + Bessent averted the big oil spike that the energy supply shock required, but instead they have put us in higher for longer oil prices. \n\nHere's why: energy supply shock met fiscal (lower gas+diesel taxes) + fabricated risk assets melt up + oil price capped (result of multiple tricks, jawboning, agressive futures selling, historical SPR drawdowns, China collaboration slowing purchases last month…). \n\nWell now we are left with a demand that has not been destroyed as it should, a +1,5B oil barrels drawdown from comercial+strategic inventories, and incentives across the globe to replenish oil+product inventories at higher levels that before war. \n\nResult imho up to + 24 months of higher for longer oil prices where the curve will flatten finding a floor at $80-$90 dollars. \n\nAnd guess what that level might not be enough for expanding big oil&gas capex required to contain price hikes through increased supply.\n\nIMHO this will create a situation for big margin expansions for oil&gas producers and big repricing ahead. \" Client Jose\n\n🎯🧠🛢️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03521969072704767, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03521969072704767, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04181455116601318, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04181455116601318, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01649611916002247, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01649611916002247, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01632287699527646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01632287699527646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "ret_p1w": 0.016556290782350436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016556290782350436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004592390699300175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004592390699300175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1018, -0.0782, -0.0432, -0.0466, -0.036, -0.0177, -0.0158, -0.0297, -0.0466, -0.0125, -0.0003, 0.0067, 0.0036, 0.0199, 0.0395, 0.0496, 0.0621, 0.0528, 0.0851, 0.0934, 0.1157, 0.1329, 0.1167, 0.0947, 0.0527, 0.07, 0.07, 0.078, 0.0857, 0.0337, 0.01, 0.0142, 0.0156, -0.0161, -0.0111, 0.0104, -0.0386, -0.03, -0.0066, 0.013, 0.0208, 0.0117, 0.0203, 0.0334, 0.07, 0.0729, 0.0636, 0.0898, 0.0872, 0.0194, -0.0002, -0.0057, 0.0154, 0.0219, 0.0135, 0.0188, 0.0483, 0.0609, 0.075, 0.052, 0.0274, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0, -0.0165, -0.0069, -0.0127, 0.0107, 0.0166, 0.0303, 0.0296, -0.0007, 0.0138, -0.0123, 0.0114, -0.0162, -0.0046, -0.0466, -0.0538, -0.0623, -0.0767, -0.0767, -0.0767, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029406505213079925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T03:59:50+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to get to my targets much faster than I thought at this rate", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish crude oil; China export suspension on Persian Gulf disruption accelerates path to upside price targets.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are going to get to my targets much faster than I thought at this rate:\n\nJUST IN: 🇨🇳 China orders major oil refiners to suspend diesel and gasoline exports as Persian Gulf conflict disrupts crude supply.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Hormuz Heightens Risk &amp; My Crude Oil Price Target \n\n💫Iran Risk Is Starting To Get Priced In\n💫Day 4 of Operation Epic Folly\n💫Wars Are Not Deflationary\n💫How High Can Oil Go\n💫Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds\n\nhttps://t.co/kHyaoLnd0l", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.049319905725365265, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049319905725365265, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05492665800048813, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05492665800048813, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0056067522751228616, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0056067522751228616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12937389056512183, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12937389056512183, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1424810192955417, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1424810192955417, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01310712873041986, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01310712873041986, "ret_p1w": 0.22925970709968602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22925970709968602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2516431266394811, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2516431266394811, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383419539795057, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383419539795057, "ret_p1m": 0.43204238049156407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43204238049156407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46681207991092233, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46681207991092233, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476969941935826, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476969941935826, "ret_p3m": 0.4252934041343699, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4252934041343699, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3073817511677941, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3073817511677941, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1179116529665758, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1179116529665758, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.43204238049156407, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.46681207991092233, "alpha_c_stated": 0.46681207991092233, "price_path": [-0.2681, -0.2746, -0.2676, -0.281, -0.2855, -0.2951, -0.3129, -0.2942, -0.3024, -0.2936, -0.276, -0.2701, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.289, -0.2772, -0.2759, -0.2819, -0.2819, -0.284, -0.2709, -0.2887, -0.2961, -0.2676, -0.2651, -0.256, -0.237, -0.2461, -0.2614, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2539, -0.2385, -0.2543, -0.2322, -0.237, -0.2144, -0.2044, -0.1783, -0.1743, -0.2178, -0.1956, -0.1914, -0.2037, -0.2006, -0.1899, -0.1898, -0.1809, -0.2069, -0.2086, -0.2086, -0.2137, -0.1756, -0.157, -0.1605, -0.16, -0.1615, -0.1722, -0.1717, -0.1491, -0.0947, -0.0634, -0.0493, 0.0, 0.1294, 0.0833, 0.0992, 0.1219, 0.2293, 0.2448, 0.1944, 0.2339, 0.2633, 0.2186, 0.2608, 0.148, 0.1893, 0.1773, 0.2175, 0.2896, 0.348, 0.3213, 0.2884, 0.432, 0.432, 0.4426, 0.4337, 0.2935, 0.3182, 0.296, 0.3339, 0.286, 0.2729, 0.3066, 0.2049, 0.2597, 0.3316, 0.3436, 0.3988, 0.3747, 0.3988, 0.4495, 0.564, 0.5273, 0.4827, 0.5327, 0.4969, 0.3908, 0.4014, 0.3871, 0.4397, 0.4983, 0.4748, 0.4848, 0.5391, 0.5501, 0.5882, 0.498, 0.48, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.4225, 0.3605, 0.3579, 0.3404, 0.4069, 0.4253, 0.4626, 0.4198, 0.3812, 0.4033, 0.3633, 0.3945, 0.3377, 0.3024, 0.2585, 0.1989, 0.1861, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.1927, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034348770368884848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T19:18:37+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every attack on energy supply/infrastructure is an immediate bid in higher oil, dollar & yields", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Iran risk not priced in; energy infrastructure attacks bid oil, dollar, and yields higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every attack on energy supply/infrastructure is an immediate bid in higher oil, dollar &amp; yields.\n\nWhich is why I keep highlighting:\n\nIRAN RISK IS STILL NOT PRICED IN\n&amp;\nThe Only Risk To Market Bears Is A Cease Fire\n\nhttps://t.co/lHkxAnEgfw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN: 🇶🇦🇮🇷 Qatar confirms fire at Ras Laffan, the world's largest LNG facility following Iranian attack.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023259652121676577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023259652121676577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03741075611150624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03741075611150624, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151103989829661, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151103989829661, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035423667489573596, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035423667489573596, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03295937921422931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03295937921422931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002464288275344284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002464288275344284, "ret_p1w": -0.06805292104796168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06805292104796168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06379514966663835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06379514966663835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577713813233276, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577713813233276, "ret_p1m": 0.034273019081951794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.034273019081951794, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029446885482074414, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029446885482074414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371990456402621, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371990456402621, "ret_p3m": -0.0037807108687050173, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0037807108687050173, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1481066091896327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1481066091896327, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14432589832092768, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14432589832092768, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.034273019081951794, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029446885482074414, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029446885482074414, "price_path": [-0.4409, -0.4269, -0.4222, -0.423, -0.423, -0.4372, -0.4279, -0.4268, -0.4316, -0.4316, -0.4332, -0.4229, -0.4369, -0.4428, -0.4202, -0.4183, -0.4111, -0.3961, -0.4032, -0.4154, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.4094, -0.3972, -0.4097, -0.3922, -0.3961, -0.3782, -0.3703, -0.3496, -0.3464, -0.3809, -0.3633, -0.3599, -0.3697, -0.3672, -0.3588, -0.3587, -0.3516, -0.3722, -0.3736, -0.3736, -0.3776, -0.3474, -0.3327, -0.3355, -0.3351, -0.3362, -0.3447, -0.3444, -0.3265, -0.2834, -0.2587, -0.2475, -0.2084, -0.106, -0.1425, -0.1299, -0.1119, -0.027, -0.0146, -0.0546, -0.0233, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.002, -0.0913, -0.0586, -0.0681, -0.0362, 0.0208, 0.0671, 0.0459, 0.0199, 0.1336, 0.1336, 0.1419, 0.1349, 0.0239, 0.0435, 0.0259, 0.0559, 0.0179, 0.0076, 0.0343, -0.0463, -0.0029, 0.0541, 0.0635, 0.1073, 0.0882, 0.1073, 0.1474, 0.238, 0.2089, 0.1737, 0.2132, 0.1849, 0.1009, 0.1093, 0.098, 0.1396, 0.186, 0.1674, 0.1753, 0.2183, 0.227, 0.2572, 0.1857, 0.1715, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.126, 0.0769, 0.0749, 0.061, 0.1137, 0.1282, 0.1577, 0.1239, 0.0933, 0.1108, 0.0791, 0.1038, 0.0588, 0.0309, -0.0038, -0.051, -0.0611, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0559, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2066625957885006307", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-15T20:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The fraud exists as long as Magnetar has a position. They have only exited ~50% of $CRWV so there's time still…", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV; author implies ongoing fraud risk while Magnetar holds remaining ~50% position.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The fraud exists as long as Magnetar has a position. They have only exited ~50% of $CRWV so there’s time still…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wall Street just pulled off the exact move that turned 2008 from a housing problem into a global collapse.\n\nThey turned Nvidia graphics cards into bonds, stamped them investment grade, and started selling them into the funds that hold retirement money.\n\nHere is what happened https://t.co/DVZMAPLqqZ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08818251561538826, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08818251561538826, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09417983183717527, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09417983183717527, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005997316221787008, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005997316221787008, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015551565528565847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015551565528565847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003063694643514414, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003063694643514414, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012487870885051433, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012487870885051433, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3108, -0.3039, -0.2997, -0.2906, -0.2516, -0.3126, -0.3608, -0.4091, -0.338, -0.3297, -0.2973, -0.2973, -0.3084, -0.2716, -0.2404, -0.2139, -0.1284, -0.0578, 0.0015, 0.0142, 0.0216, -0.0015, 0.0034, -0.016, 0.0471, 0.0033, -0.0589, -0.0425, -0.0983, -0.0243, -0.0464, 0.0169, 0.0718, 0.0928, 0.179, 0.1009, -0.0246, -0.0199, -0.0793, -0.0489, -0.0241, -0.0831, -0.1133, -0.1471, -0.1346, -0.0807, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.0952, -0.109, -0.0869, -0.0641, 0.0666, 0.0191, -0.0521, -0.0769, -0.1422, -0.1253, -0.1588, -0.183, -0.1819, -0.1408, -0.0882, 0.0, -0.0156, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0079, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034597300673098169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T11:46:12+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How is selling not assured? $QQQ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish QQQ: GCC fallout from Iran strikes damages US tech/AI sponsors; author views continued selling as near-certain.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump has been pushing to get the market to crash since beginning of the year - EVERY weekend there was a tape bomb. Finally he dropped real ones. Now our major US tech/AI sponsors in GCC suffer  major collateral damage after Trump abandoned them. How is selling not assured? $QQQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WSJ: Arab governments were furious about Israel’s attack and the U.S. failure to head it off, officials said. They had aggressively lobbied the Trump administration to stop U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and now feel a target has been put on their", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003170303109996775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003170303109996775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0006999271160550435, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0006999271160550435, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018481721188927547, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018481721188927547, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004145933258114853, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004145933258114853, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "ret_p1w": -0.031207246148005408, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031207246148005408, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01158271093608032, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01158271093608032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "ret_p1m": 0.09552480656039641, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09552480656039641, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016289570390907615, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016289570390907615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "ret_p3m": 0.2323029195560833, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2323029195560833, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09198892959661231, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09198892959661231, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.031207246148005408, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01158271093608032, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01158271093608032, "price_path": [0.0442, 0.0491, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.047, 0.0445, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0339, 0.0421, 0.0513, 0.0523, 0.0463, 0.0567, 0.0576, 0.056, 0.0447, 0.0485, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.0254, 0.0392, 0.0468, 0.0501, 0.0547, 0.0643, 0.0678, 0.0614, 0.0486, 0.0558, 0.0396, 0.0215, 0.0068, 0.028, 0.0359, 0.0311, 0.0339, 0.0128, 0.015, 0.015, 0.014, 0.0215, 0.0176, 0.0266, 0.0141, 0.025, 0.0399, 0.0274, 0.0241, 0.0254, 0.0144, 0.0299, 0.0268, 0.0113, 0.0249, 0.0249, 0.0247, 0.0071, 0.0012, 0.0124, 0.0174, 0.0032, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0072, -0.014, -0.0075, -0.0312, -0.0501, -0.0574, -0.0255, -0.0134, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0064, -0.0062, 0.0233, 0.0303, 0.0317, 0.0424, 0.0613, 0.0762, 0.0814, 0.0955, 0.092, 0.0879, 0.1061, 0.0999, 0.1209, 0.1215, 0.1102, 0.117, 0.1274, 0.1382, 0.1361, 0.1508, 0.1747, 0.1733, 0.2008, 0.2043, 0.1941, 0.2067, 0.2153, 0.197, 0.1918, 0.1845, 0.2041, 0.2064, 0.2115, 0.2115, 0.233, 0.2316, 0.242, 0.2466, 0.254, 0.2598, 0.2565, 0.2505, 0.1904, 0.209, 0.1951, 0.1712, 0.2108, 0.2179, 0.2562, 0.2323, 0.2199, 0.2505, 0.2505, 0.2505, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2029993590693224532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil & Refiners & Petro Chemicals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, refiners (VLO, PBF), and petrochemicals (DOW, LYB) on straightforward higher-price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Really straight-forward:\nHigher Oil &amp; Refiners &amp; Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF\n$DOW $LYB\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/R6GSztrjiZ\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed...\n\nor JOIN US LIVE &amp; GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS ;-) 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/d9wMyEEOuh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1145536404249482, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1145536404249482, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1278348476481378, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1278348476481378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04082003262886691, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04082003262886691, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04957999335176988, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04957999335176988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "ret_p1w": 0.10223410030132496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10223410030132496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11724052480789726, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11724052480789726, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "ret_p1m": 0.2773743378639981, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2773743378639981, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29470152411263384, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29470152411263384, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "ret_p3m": 0.29502624765715435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29502624765715435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1702161538812601, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1702161538812601, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2773743378639981, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.29470152411263384, "alpha_c_stated": 0.29470152411263384, "price_path": [-0.3577, -0.3515, -0.3633, -0.3674, -0.3758, -0.3917, -0.375, -0.3823, -0.3746, -0.3589, -0.3537, -0.3546, -0.3546, -0.3704, -0.36, -0.3588, -0.3642, -0.3642, -0.366, -0.3544, -0.3701, -0.3768, -0.3515, -0.3493, -0.3413, -0.3244, -0.3324, -0.3461, -0.3413, -0.3413, -0.3393, -0.3257, -0.3397, -0.3201, -0.3244, -0.3044, -0.2956, -0.2724, -0.2689, -0.3074, -0.2878, -0.284, -0.2949, -0.2922, -0.2827, -0.2826, -0.2747, -0.2978, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3038, -0.27, -0.2536, -0.2567, -0.2562, -0.2575, -0.267, -0.2666, -0.2466, -0.1984, -0.1707, -0.1582, -0.1146, 0.0, -0.0408, -0.0268, -0.0066, 0.0884, 0.1022, 0.0576, 0.0926, 0.1186, 0.079, 0.1164, 0.0165, 0.053, 0.0425, 0.0781, 0.1419, 0.1936, 0.1699, 0.1408, 0.268, 0.268, 0.2774, 0.2695, 0.1454, 0.1672, 0.1476, 0.1811, 0.1386, 0.1271, 0.1569, 0.0668, 0.1154, 0.1791, 0.1897, 0.2386, 0.2172, 0.2386, 0.2834, 0.3848, 0.3523, 0.3129, 0.3571, 0.3255, 0.2315, 0.2409, 0.2282, 0.2748, 0.3267, 0.3059, 0.3147, 0.3628, 0.3725, 0.4063, 0.3264, 0.3105, 0.2956, 0.2956, 0.2595, 0.2047, 0.2024, 0.1868, 0.2457, 0.262, 0.295, 0.2571, 0.2229, 0.2425, 0.2071, 0.2347, 0.1844, 0.1532, 0.1144, 0.0616, 0.0502, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0561, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2029993590693224532", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil & Refiners & Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, refiners (VLO, PBF), and petrochemicals (DOW, LYB) on straightforward higher-price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Really straight-forward:\nHigher Oil &amp; Refiners &amp; Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF\n$DOW $LYB\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/R6GSztrjiZ\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed...\n\nor JOIN US LIVE &amp; GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS ;-) 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/d9wMyEEOuh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015135949723377617, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015135949723377617, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018547425001880224, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016726911863840677, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015909621404630592, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0386414173333679, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0386414173333679, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04740137805627087, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03422215346964985, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004419263863718048, "ret_p1w": 0.026532480101339573, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026532480101339573, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.041538904607911875, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00655721739066184, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019975262710677733, "ret_p1m": 0.09326441774151051, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09326441774151051, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11059160399014623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03139533451376053, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06186908322774998, "ret_p3m": 0.1694439022259473, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1694439022259473, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04463380845005305, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12483377177451782, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044610130451429475, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09326441774151051, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11059160399014623, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03139533451376053, "price_path": [-0.2243, -0.2213, -0.2393, -0.2553, -0.2571, -0.2796, -0.2792, -0.2835, -0.2801, -0.2763, -0.2709, -0.2723, -0.2723, -0.2743, -0.267, -0.2705, -0.2797, -0.2797, -0.2686, -0.201, -0.2112, -0.1865, -0.1535, -0.1802, -0.2052, -0.1959, -0.1747, -0.1833, -0.1882, -0.1882, -0.1826, -0.1673, -0.1731, -0.1722, -0.189, -0.1907, -0.1858, -0.1925, -0.1972, -0.2026, -0.1493, -0.1265, -0.1357, -0.0977, -0.1035, -0.1119, -0.0922, -0.1234, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1215, -0.1121, -0.113, -0.1063, -0.1213, -0.1126, -0.1112, -0.0928, -0.089, -0.0433, -0.0308, 0.0043, 0.0151, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.0339, 0.0286, 0.0498, 0.0265, 0.0353, 0.0504, 0.0616, 0.0776, 0.0678, 0.0568, 0.0762, 0.0441, 0.1047, 0.1322, 0.1141, 0.0999, 0.0749, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.0933, 0.1196, 0.0668, 0.0466, 0.0632, 0.0777, 0.0487, 0.0462, 0.0762, -0.0044, 0.0073, 0.039, 0.0433, 0.041, 0.0499, 0.0606, 0.0696, 0.1187, 0.1244, 0.099, 0.1202, 0.1283, 0.0537, 0.0522, 0.0731, 0.1046, 0.1001, 0.0867, 0.0897, 0.1162, 0.1509, 0.1691, 0.1297, 0.0784, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.08, 0.075, 0.0952, 0.0951, 0.1295, 0.1552, 0.1694, 0.1578, 0.1443, 0.1558, 0.1351, 0.154, 0.1433, 0.157, 0.1055, 0.092, 0.0725, 0.057, 0.057, 0.057, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2029993590693224532", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "PBF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil & Refiners & Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, refiners (VLO, PBF), and petrochemicals (DOW, LYB) on straightforward higher-price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["PBF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Really straight-forward:\nHigher Oil &amp; Refiners &amp; Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF\n$DOW $LYB\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/R6GSztrjiZ\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed...\n\nor JOIN US LIVE &amp; GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS ;-) 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/d9wMyEEOuh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05572251497839731, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05572251497839731, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04244130775520771, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05731347711886037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015909621404630592, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1186127809026678, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1186127809026678, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12737274162557077, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11419351703894975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004419263863718048, "ret_p1w": 0.005780375564575779, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005780375564575779, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02078680007114808, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014194887146101953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019975262710677733, "ret_p1m": 0.07213872475125993, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07213872475125993, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08946591099989565, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010269641523509954, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06186908322774998, "ret_p3m": -0.009530213952748223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009530213952748223, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13434030772864247, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0541403444041777, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044610130451429475, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07213872475125993, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08946591099989565, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010269641523509954, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2716, -0.2932, -0.3035, -0.3134, -0.3889, -0.3896, -0.4031, -0.3955, -0.4008, -0.3898, -0.3916, -0.3916, -0.4001, -0.3912, -0.4026, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3455, -0.3233, -0.3753, -0.3522, -0.2625, -0.2483, -0.2478, -0.2453, -0.2563, -0.2845, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.2937, -0.2471, -0.243, -0.2336, -0.2611, -0.2421, -0.2453, -0.237, -0.2324, -0.2551, -0.2095, -0.1904, -0.2088, -0.1854, -0.1911, -0.209, -0.1794, -0.2276, -0.2076, -0.2076, -0.221, -0.2382, -0.2223, -0.2113, -0.2127, -0.195, -0.191, -0.1662, -0.1769, -0.0895, -0.0807, 0.0358, 0.0557, 0.0, -0.1186, -0.0832, -0.0291, -0.0076, 0.0058, 0.0074, 0.0301, 0.0888, 0.0828, 0.1403, 0.0772, 0.1582, 0.141, 0.1646, 0.1845, 0.1628, 0.101, 0.0657, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0721, 0.0677, -0.0051, -0.0624, -0.0597, -0.0606, -0.0992, -0.0629, -0.0143, -0.1408, -0.1272, -0.0592, -0.0645, -0.0527, -0.058, -0.0573, -0.0435, -0.0028, 0.0025, -0.0058, 0.0527, 0.068, -0.0384, -0.0615, -0.0587, -0.0169, -0.019, -0.0536, -0.0538, -0.0153, -0.0191, -0.0046, -0.0282, -0.0905, -0.064, -0.064, -0.1094, -0.0968, -0.0731, -0.0526, -0.0263, 0.0049, -0.0095, -0.0046, -0.0107, -0.0137, -0.0605, -0.0091, -0.0426, -0.0249, -0.0768, -0.0887, -0.1208, -0.132, -0.132, -0.132, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2029993590693224532", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "DOW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil & Refiners & Petro Chemicals\n\n$DOW $LYB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, refiners (VLO, PBF), and petrochemicals (DOW, LYB) on straightforward higher-price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Chemicals", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Really straight-forward:\nHigher Oil &amp; Refiners &amp; Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF\n$DOW $LYB\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/R6GSztrjiZ\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed...\n\nor JOIN US LIVE &amp; GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS ;-) 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/d9wMyEEOuh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01322123637428052, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01322123637428052, "alpha_spy_m1d": -5.997084890907445e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00623324596676178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0194544823410423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030949594000138747, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030949594000138747, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022189633277235776, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028342281151568782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002607312848569965, "ret_p1w": 0.10036065075304523, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10036065075304523, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11536707525961754, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11379828684677595, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01343763609373072, "ret_p1m": 0.2187501338820539, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2187501338820539, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2360773201306896, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20705065512176324, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01169947876029065, "ret_p3m": 0.07451831697550348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07451831697550348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.050291776800390764, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03441389843016851, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.040104418545334974, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2187501338820539, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2360773201306896, "alpha_c_stated": 0.20705065512176324, "price_path": [-0.3137, -0.2698, -0.2701, -0.2882, -0.3036, -0.3217, -0.3149, -0.3158, -0.3093, -0.3045, -0.32, -0.3152, -0.3152, -0.3084, -0.3066, -0.3018, -0.3057, -0.3057, -0.2793, -0.2606, -0.2421, -0.2635, -0.2303, -0.2181, -0.213, -0.2116, -0.1608, -0.1703, -0.1813, -0.1813, -0.2107, -0.1563, -0.1587, -0.1611, -0.1632, -0.1741, -0.175, -0.1934, -0.1819, -0.1424, -0.0946, -0.0378, -0.0913, -0.0563, -0.0473, -0.0022, 0.0097, -0.0304, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0669, -0.0622, -0.0678, -0.0937, -0.1002, -0.0779, -0.1085, -0.1121, -0.0766, -0.0805, -0.0763, -0.0282, 0.0132, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0183, 0.0328, 0.1292, 0.1004, 0.0817, 0.1091, 0.1325, 0.1265, 0.1013, 0.0829, 0.1511, 0.1905, 0.186, 0.2266, 0.2581, 0.2515, 0.2227, 0.244, 0.244, 0.2188, 0.2443, 0.1803, 0.143, 0.1722, 0.2052, 0.1767, 0.1671, 0.1995, 0.0697, 0.1049, 0.1511, 0.1662, 0.1578, 0.1617, 0.1448, 0.1421, 0.1884, 0.2166, 0.2106, 0.2194, 0.226, 0.1569, 0.1214, 0.1079, 0.1647, 0.1848, 0.1671, 0.1653, 0.1644, 0.1587, 0.134, 0.0898, 0.079, 0.082, 0.082, 0.0601, 0.0364, 0.0448, 0.0244, 0.053, 0.0539, 0.0745, 0.056, 0.0311, 0.0381, 0.0083, 0.0393, 0.0208, 0.0275, 0.0087, 0.0005, -0.0135, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2029993590693224532", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "LYB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil & Refiners & Petro Chemicals\n\n$DOW $LYB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long oil, refiners (VLO, PBF), and petrochemicals (DOW, LYB) on straightforward higher-price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["LYB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Really straight-forward:\nHigher Oil &amp; Refiners &amp; Petro Chemicals\n\n$VLO $PBF\n$DOW $LYB\n\n#LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/R6GSztrjiZ\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more market timing calls reviewed...\n\nor JOIN US LIVE &amp; GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS ;-) 💃\n\nhttps://t.co/d9wMyEEOuh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018328172037378243, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018328172037378243, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03160937926056784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037782654378420544, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0194544823410423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004321336105935991, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004321336105935991, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013081296828838962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006928648954505956, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002607312848569965, "ret_p1w": 0.07733569606503155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07733569606503155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09234212057160385, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09077333215876227, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01343763609373072, "ret_p1m": 0.1715095314535786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1715095314535786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18883671770221433, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15981005269328796, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01169947876029065, "ret_p3m": 0.013321726448327631, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013321726448327631, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11148836732756662, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.026782692097007343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.040104418545334974, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1715095314535786, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18883671770221433, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15981005269328796, "price_path": [-0.3702, -0.3341, -0.3359, -0.3465, -0.3619, -0.3672, -0.3558, -0.3661, -0.3656, -0.3581, -0.3721, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3633, -0.3603, -0.3572, -0.3625, -0.3625, -0.3465, -0.3288, -0.3198, -0.3388, -0.2986, -0.2829, -0.2904, -0.2835, -0.2344, -0.2509, -0.2505, -0.2505, -0.2807, -0.2371, -0.2412, -0.2493, -0.2512, -0.2576, -0.257, -0.2646, -0.2786, -0.2602, -0.2131, -0.1594, -0.2068, -0.1888, -0.1834, -0.1511, -0.1245, -0.1494, -0.1519, -0.1519, -0.1759, -0.176, -0.1854, -0.1657, -0.1658, -0.1414, -0.1645, -0.1711, -0.1532, -0.1375, -0.1326, -0.0773, -0.0183, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0224, 0.0039, 0.1076, 0.0773, 0.0592, 0.0609, 0.1205, 0.1112, 0.0925, 0.065, 0.1326, 0.1502, 0.1581, 0.1988, 0.2275, 0.2004, 0.143, 0.1861, 0.1861, 0.1715, 0.1959, 0.1059, 0.0769, 0.0985, 0.1252, 0.0915, 0.0897, 0.1219, -0.0125, 0.0219, 0.0642, 0.0729, 0.0538, 0.0411, 0.0583, 0.0651, 0.0921, 0.1116, 0.1174, 0.1331, 0.1587, 0.0949, 0.0656, 0.0693, 0.0957, 0.1073, 0.0988, 0.0918, 0.1185, 0.1046, 0.0884, 0.0624, 0.0443, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0283, 0.0083, 0.0185, -0.0069, 0.0109, 0.0135, 0.0133, -0.0035, -0.0288, -0.0299, -0.0418, -0.0191, -0.0443, -0.0276, -0.0469, -0.0576, -0.0693, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0955, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039325733424623903", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T12:55:18+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shorting Memory Darling & Data Center Flower $MU $BE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shorting MU and BE: memory stocks broke down after earnings confirming short setups, spilling into data center names.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorting Memory Darling &amp; Data Center Flower\n$MU $BE\n\nMemory stocks like $MU and peers have broken down after earnings, hitting key downside targets and confirming short setups across the group... and spilling into data center-related names like $BE. https://t.co/eWlx1m14Oa\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/ArOW6AxxFo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08158219183821347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08158219183821347, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07410404446505803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05971825506364048, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004376827082850587, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004376827082850587, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005277286614189469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005269768130444996, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.10569526773875171, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10569526773875171, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07399688824838457, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026735112342562317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.40589904733887305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40589904733887305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3091101073203857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11314705192433427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.40589904733887305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3091101073203857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11314705192433427, "price_path": [-0.1429, -0.1518, -0.0668, -0.0773, -0.1114, -0.0623, -0.0601, -0.0812, -0.0942, -0.0853, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0082, 0.0574, 0.0804, 0.086, 0.0573, 0.1148, 0.1828, 0.1842, 0.1274, 0.1897, 0.1398, 0.031, 0.0404, 0.0725, 0.0421, 0.0143, 0.115, 0.1249, 0.1186, 0.1186, 0.0863, 0.1439, 0.1341, 0.1635, 0.1439, 0.1359, 0.1657, 0.1292, 0.1206, 0.1214, 0.0317, 0.089, 0.0789, 0.0062, 0.0579, 0.0954, 0.1377, 0.1015, 0.1579, 0.2005, 0.2546, 0.2547, 0.2072, 0.1492, 0.0988, 0.0748, 0.0383, -0.0341, -0.0293, -0.1252, -0.0816, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0044, 0.0269, 0.0265, 0.1057, 0.1459, 0.1434, 0.1596, 0.2659, 0.2403, 0.243, 0.2371, 0.219, 0.2216, 0.3252, 0.3096, 0.3503, 0.426, 0.3709, 0.4094, 0.4059, 0.474, 0.5671, 0.7404, 0.8121, 0.7579, 1.0302, 1.1621, 1.0839, 1.1847, 1.1096, 0.97, 0.8528, 0.8995, 0.9899, 1.0718, 1.0416, 1.0416, 1.4354, 1.5239, 1.5106, 1.6397, 1.815, 1.8928, 1.9348, 1.7076, 1.3488, 1.5806, 1.5442, 1.4246, 1.7073, 1.6685, 1.9577, 1.7749, 1.8359, 2.0828, 2.0828, 2.0828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039325733424623903", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T12:55:18+00:00", "symbol": "BE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shorting Memory Darling & Data Center Flower $MU $BE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shorting MU and BE: memory stocks broke down after earnings confirming short setups, spilling into data center names.", "resolved_tickers": ["BE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorting Memory Darling &amp; Data Center Flower\n$MU $BE\n\nMemory stocks like $MU and peers have broken down after earnings, hitting key downside targets and confirming short setups across the group... and spilling into data center-related names like $BE. https://t.co/eWlx1m14Oa\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/ArOW6AxxFo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022952122423300914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022952122423300914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030430269796456355, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0393724658430441, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01642034341974319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02400912048199566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02400912048199566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02310866095065678, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02802291621706976, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004013795735074099, "ret_p1w": 0.10819178679675212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10819178679675212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07649340730638499, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07164121796302747, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03655056883372465, "ret_p1m": 1.1393732871303257, "ret_signed_p1m": -1.1393732871303257, "alpha_spy_p1m": -1.0425843471118383, "alpha_c_p1m": -1.077644833640171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06172845349015477, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -1.1393732871303257, "alpha_spy_stated": -1.0425843471118383, "alpha_c_stated": -1.077644833640171, "price_path": [-0.2549, -0.2158, -0.222, -0.1846, -0.0801, 0.0122, 0.0334, 0.0553, 0.0076, 0.0507, 0.1287, 0.1287, 0.1457, 0.1367, 0.0995, 0.0939, 0.0541, 0.1499, 0.2487, 0.1817, 0.1428, 0.1788, 0.2751, 0.1125, 0.0313, 0.0799, 0.1715, 0.1227, 0.1743, 0.0497, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0972, 0.1874, 0.2005, 0.114, 0.2101, 0.2548, 0.3195, 0.2727, 0.1753, 0.2533, 0.1553, 0.2441, 0.2079, 0.0207, 0.1425, 0.1627, 0.202, 0.1866, 0.1666, 0.1603, 0.2084, 0.1822, 0.2585, 0.1334, 0.067, 0.1014, 0.1342, 0.0081, 0.006, -0.0977, 0.023, 0.0, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0193, 0.0261, 0.1082, 0.209, 0.2586, 0.3339, 0.6537, 0.6145, 0.586, 0.5693, 0.6479, 0.6679, 0.7346, 0.7937, 0.7453, 0.7718, 0.7091, 1.1742, 1.1394, 1.1934, 1.1792, 1.2291, 1.1553, 0.9527, 0.9708, 1.1436, 1.1192, 1.1877, 1.2908, 1.0834, 0.9533, 0.9731, 1.1314, 1.3245, 1.2838, 1.2838, 1.2831, 1.2182, 1.1896, 1.1518, 1.065, 1.2865, 1.1693, 1.1998, 0.9903, 0.9145, 0.9601, 0.7684, 0.879, 0.9647, 1.0725, 1.1206, 1.1517, 1.4833, 1.4833, 1.4833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2037854028885815352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T11:27:16+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Timing a sharp selloff in memory stocks $MU $SNDK", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Shorting MU, SNDK on memory selloff and META, NVDA on AI news/yields/geopolitics; NASDAQ volatility VXN not done rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "War Wreaks Havoc On US Tech Market\n\nTiming a sharp selloff in memory stocks $MU $SNDK and continued shorts across tech $META $NVDA - driven by AI news, higher yields &amp; Trump-Netanyahu’s War on Iran. \n\nPS. NASDAQ volatility $VXN does not look done!\n\nhttps://t.co/SlG57vlc5B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1096023022659065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1096023022659065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10624769581851656, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07727393975751706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03232836250838944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04984465243436009, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04984465243436009, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02077678664960292, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0077229838645958004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05756763629895589, "ret_p1w": 0.17389690520640522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17389690520640522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13123661369599482, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08162864514609747, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09226826006030775, "ret_p1m": 0.5670914470927786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5670914470927786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.44094623799752974, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21214153092289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3549499161698886, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17389690520640522, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13123661369599482, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08162864514609747, "price_path": [-0.1135, -0.1135, -0.0202, -0.0304, 0.0668, 0.0547, 0.0158, 0.0719, 0.0743, 0.0503, 0.0355, 0.0456, 0.1268, 0.1268, 0.1338, 0.2087, 0.235, 0.2414, 0.2086, 0.2743, 0.3521, 0.3537, 0.2887, 0.3599, 0.3029, 0.1785, 0.1893, 0.226, 0.1912, 0.1594, 0.2746, 0.2859, 0.2787, 0.2787, 0.2418, 0.3076, 0.2964, 0.33, 0.3076, 0.2984, 0.3326, 0.2908, 0.2809, 0.2818, 0.1794, 0.2449, 0.2333, 0.1502, 0.2093, 0.2521, 0.3005, 0.2591, 0.3237, 0.3723, 0.4341, 0.4342, 0.38, 0.3136, 0.256, 0.2286, 0.1869, 0.1041, 0.1096, 0.0, 0.0498, 0.1431, 0.1381, 0.1381, 0.1739, 0.1733, 0.2639, 0.3099, 0.307, 0.3255, 0.447, 0.4177, 0.4209, 0.4141, 0.3935, 0.3965, 0.5149, 0.497, 0.5436, 0.6301, 0.5671, 0.6111, 0.6071, 0.6849, 0.7913, 0.9894, 1.0714, 1.0094, 1.3207, 1.4715, 1.3822, 1.4973, 1.4115, 1.2519, 1.1179, 1.1713, 1.2747, 1.3682, 1.3337, 1.3337, 1.784, 1.8851, 1.8699, 2.0174, 2.2178, 2.3067, 2.3548, 2.0951, 1.6849, 1.9499, 1.9083, 1.7715, 2.0947, 2.0504, 2.381, 2.172, 2.2417, 2.5239, 2.5239, 2.5239, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2037854028885815352", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-28T11:27:16+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued shorts across tech $META $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Shorting MU, SNDK on memory selloff and META, NVDA on AI news/yields/geopolitics; NASDAQ volatility VXN not done rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "War Wreaks Havoc On US Tech Market\n\nTiming a sharp selloff in memory stocks $MU $SNDK and continued shorts across tech $META $NVDA - driven by AI news, higher yields &amp; Trump-Netanyahu’s War on Iran. \n\nPS. NASDAQ volatility $VXN does not look done!\n\nhttps://t.co/SlG57vlc5B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019874114925740205, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019874114925740205, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023228721373130146, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011352457119634951, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06665043264096115, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06665043264096115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03758256685620398, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.039788617612509514, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.06830978849107039, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06830978849107039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02564949698065999, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03311153836155234, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.25161262987457844, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25161262987457844, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1254674207793296, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17945626657716773, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06830978849107039, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02564949698065999, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03311153836155234, "price_path": [0.2296, 0.2296, 0.2116, 0.2272, 0.2306, 0.2084, 0.2035, 0.2165, 0.1958, 0.1756, 0.1466, 0.1564, 0.1554, 0.1554, 0.1253, 0.1418, 0.2064, 0.2271, 0.2524, 0.2536, 0.2457, 0.3753, 0.3347, 0.3159, 0.2885, 0.2462, 0.2484, 0.2321, 0.2615, 0.2494, 0.2456, 0.2104, 0.1917, 0.1917, 0.1908, 0.1982, 0.2011, 0.2213, 0.187, 0.1909, 0.2177, 0.2238, 0.2074, 0.2174, 0.2203, 0.2438, 0.2305, 0.2012, 0.2059, 0.2184, 0.2198, 0.1888, 0.1432, 0.1698, 0.1609, 0.1478, 0.1311, 0.1068, 0.1262, 0.1054, 0.1091, 0.0208, -0.0199, 0.0, 0.0667, 0.0799, 0.071, 0.071, 0.0683, 0.0721, 0.1418, 0.1715, 0.1743, 0.183, 0.2351, 0.2521, 0.2619, 0.2837, 0.2508, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2289, 0.2585, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2475, 0.1408, 0.1349, 0.138, 0.1279, 0.1426, 0.1499, 0.1366, 0.1165, 0.1242, 0.1496, 0.153, 0.1451, 0.1395, 0.1235, 0.128, 0.1324, 0.1377, 0.1377, 0.1416, 0.1843, 0.1844, 0.1792, 0.1195, 0.1142, 0.1615, 0.17, 0.1056, 0.0914, 0.0899, 0.0645, 0.0598, 0.057, 0.1075, 0.12, 0.0591, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.0771, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037854028885815352", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-28T11:27:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continued shorts across tech $META $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Shorting MU, SNDK on memory selloff and META, NVDA on AI news/yields/geopolitics; NASDAQ volatility VXN not done rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "War Wreaks Havoc On US Tech Market\n\nTiming a sharp selloff in memory stocks $MU $SNDK and continued shorts across tech $META $NVDA - driven by AI news, higher yields &amp; Trump-Netanyahu’s War on Iran. \n\nPS. NASDAQ volatility $VXN does not look done!\n\nhttps://t.co/SlG57vlc5B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014227736270322255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014227736270322255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010873129822932315, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018100626238067186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03232836250838944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05588180888236938, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05588180888236938, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026813943097612203, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016858274165865161, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05756763629895589, "ret_p1w": 0.0754979198999628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0754979198999628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0328376283895524, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016770340160344954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09226826006030775, "ret_p1m": 0.29060967556358785, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29060967556358785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.164464466468339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06434024060630072, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3549499161698886, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0754979198999628, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0328376283895524, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016770340160344954, "price_path": [0.1291, 0.1291, 0.1433, 0.1389, 0.1336, 0.1449, 0.1202, 0.1191, 0.1196, 0.1249, 0.1087, 0.1324, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.078, 0.1098, 0.119, 0.1362, 0.1289, 0.1413, 0.1595, 0.1655, 0.1571, 0.1237, 0.0918, 0.0546, 0.0406, 0.1225, 0.1505, 0.1414, 0.1506, 0.1317, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1198, 0.138, 0.1376, 0.1492, 0.1597, 0.1675, 0.1839, 0.1193, 0.0727, 0.1047, 0.09, 0.1081, 0.1099, 0.0765, 0.1058, 0.1186, 0.1263, 0.1088, 0.0913, 0.1093, 0.1015, 0.0922, 0.0811, 0.0456, 0.0634, 0.0607, 0.0818, 0.0368, 0.0142, 0.0, 0.0559, 0.0641, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0755, 0.0783, 0.1024, 0.1135, 0.142, 0.1462, 0.1897, 0.204, 0.2009, 0.221, 0.2233, 0.2101, 0.226, 0.2087, 0.2609, 0.3114, 0.2906, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2015, 0.2017, 0.1897, 0.2583, 0.2805, 0.3029, 0.3286, 0.3367, 0.3673, 0.4273, 0.3642, 0.346, 0.3357, 0.353, 0.329, 0.3037, 0.3037, 0.3008, 0.2872, 0.2971, 0.2783, 0.3584, 0.349, 0.3002, 0.3254, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2619, 0.2148, 0.2418, 0.2437, 0.2877, 0.2572, 0.2405, 0.2771, 0.2771, 0.2771, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037652260079939753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T22:05:31+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish semis/tech as AI bubble bursts and liquidity exits; bullish oil and dollar amid energy crisis/recession countdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH", "SOXX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SMH VanEck; SOXX iShares semiconductor ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another big client post this weekend:\n\nCountdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\n💫The AI Bubble Is Bursting\n💫Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up\n💫Higher Oil, Dollar & Yields As Tech Wrecking Ball\n💫Tail Risk Is Still Rising\n💫Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\nYou will not want to miss it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038259793472975034, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038259793472975034, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034905187025585094, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034905187025585094, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059239898992489826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059239898992489826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03017203320773265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03017203320773265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.10151032771088353, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10151032771088353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05885003620047313, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05885003620047313, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": 0.38555136483529207, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.38555136483529207, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2594061557400432, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2594061557400432, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.38555136483529207, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2594061557400432, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2594061557400432, "price_path": [-0.0176, -0.0176, 0.0208, 0.0338, 0.0642, 0.0551, 0.0382, 0.0671, 0.0717, 0.0776, 0.071, 0.0907, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.0826, 0.1159, 0.118, 0.1078, 0.1034, 0.128, 0.156, 0.1583, 0.115, 0.1316, 0.106, 0.0598, 0.0592, 0.1161, 0.1299, 0.1251, 0.1531, 0.1271, 0.1344, 0.1344, 0.1332, 0.1463, 0.1397, 0.1522, 0.145, 0.1621, 0.1813, 0.1438, 0.1287, 0.1283, 0.0793, 0.1013, 0.0901, 0.0467, 0.0865, 0.0945, 0.1049, 0.0679, 0.0686, 0.0882, 0.0965, 0.0889, 0.0938, 0.0673, 0.083, 0.0946, 0.1076, 0.056, 0.0383, 0.0, 0.0592, 0.087, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.1015, 0.1128, 0.1811, 0.2046, 0.2265, 0.2463, 0.271, 0.2734, 0.2825, 0.3111, 0.3138, 0.3199, 0.3545, 0.3763, 0.4435, 0.4333, 0.3856, 0.4153, 0.4436, 0.4549, 0.4447, 0.5, 0.5763, 0.5396, 0.6211, 0.6547, 0.6069, 0.6422, 0.6531, 0.5881, 0.5536, 0.552, 0.6186, 0.6301, 0.6621, 0.6621, 0.7506, 0.7316, 0.7464, 0.7445, 0.7614, 0.8484, 0.8735, 0.8383, 0.6569, 0.7473, 0.7224, 0.6614, 0.7879, 0.8174, 0.9073, 0.8043, 0.829, 0.9427, 0.9427, 0.9427, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037652260079939753", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-27T22:05:31+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil, Dollar & Yields As Tech Wrecking Ball", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish semis/tech as AI bubble bursts and liquidity exits; bullish oil and dollar amid energy crisis/recession countdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another big client post this weekend:\n\nCountdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\n💫The AI Bubble Is Bursting\n💫Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up\n💫Higher Oil, Dollar & Yields As Tech Wrecking Ball\n💫Tail Risk Is Still Rising\n💫Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession\n\nYou will not want to miss it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03149298163168346, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03149298163168346, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0348475880790734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0348475880790734, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014580093701841212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014580093701841212, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04364795948659839, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04364795948659839, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.09263225761191185, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09263225761191185, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04997196610150145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04997196610150145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": -0.02867415461701117, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02867415461701117, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15481936371226002, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15481936371226002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02867415461701117, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15481936371226002, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15481936371226002, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4419, -0.4428, -0.4331, -0.4447, -0.4558, -0.4386, -0.4253, -0.4217, -0.4056, -0.3972, -0.4247, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.4135, -0.4108, -0.423, -0.4064, -0.4107, -0.3936, -0.3856, -0.3641, -0.3662, -0.396, -0.3856, -0.3668, -0.3848, -0.3823, -0.3744, -0.3783, -0.3718, -0.3892, -0.3887, -0.3887, -0.3941, -0.3663, -0.3543, -0.3547, -0.3555, -0.3621, -0.3641, -0.3662, -0.3486, -0.3076, -0.2753, -0.2743, -0.2126, -0.1164, -0.0788, -0.1889, -0.1519, -0.0695, -0.0405, -0.0912, -0.0648, -0.0638, -0.0655, -0.0443, -0.1434, -0.1024, -0.1221, -0.0816, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.0146, -0.0268, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.0926, 0.0979, -0.0823, -0.0487, -0.0613, -0.0369, -0.1128, -0.1127, -0.0796, -0.185, -0.129, -0.1045, -0.0964, -0.0683, -0.0824, -0.0633, -0.0287, 0.0389, 0.0213, -0.0091, 0.0344, -0.0059, -0.0758, -0.0784, -0.0725, -0.0468, -0.0068, -0.0181, -0.0166, 0.0247, 0.0562, 0.0475, -0.0449, -0.0635, -0.061, -0.061, -0.0874, -0.138, -0.1359, -0.1509, -0.1042, -0.0886, -0.0667, -0.0956, -0.1199, -0.1126, -0.1427, -0.1249, -0.1475, -0.175, -0.2151, -0.2608, -0.2536, -0.2554, -0.2554, -0.266, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2064491383944085577", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-09T23:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also gave continuous contract gold 4200 as a price target short and that we could go sideways until Q3", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short gold to $4200 target with sideways into Q3; miners/silver can stay oversold for months while dollar remains bid with yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mostly right.\n\nBPGDX is a specialty of mine.\nThat’s one reason I warned clients early JAN 2026 that precious metals were about to top.\n\nI also gave continuous contract gold 4200 as a price target short and that we could go sideways until Q3.\n\nOf important note:\nGold & silver can stay oversold with miners for months.\n\nAnd it is not just institutional sellers “clearing the float”. It’s actual central banks like Turkey and Russia selling gold from Iran War. \n\nCurrently the dollar is bid with yields and oil. While dollar catches a bid, precious metals don’t. \n\nBut my bet is this correlation will end once oil falls back below pre-Iran War levels - and dollar strength fades.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@minenergybiz Zero BPI is not a prediction, it's a signal. Every prior instance of miners hitting zero has been within 6 weeks of a multi-year sector low. GDX is sitting at $78 after printing $117 in April — a 33% drawdown with gold still in a long-term uptrend. The institutional sellers are", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "derrick_dao", "ret_m1d": 0.04324847238977059, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04324847238977059, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027230375575152843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027230375575152843, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016018096814617744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016018096814617744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03134182597256352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03134182597256352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014344978085815585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014344978085815585, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016996847886747934, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016996847886747934, "ret_p1w": 0.037428640167205485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037428640167205485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016020622017079544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016020622017079544, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02140801815012594, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02140801815012594, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2303, 0.2292, 0.2261, 0.1873, 0.1384, 0.1036, 0.0786, 0.0789, 0.1114, 0.0696, 0.1071, 0.1068, 0.1487, 0.1688, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.1417, 0.1528, 0.16, 0.1691, 0.167, 0.1623, 0.1882, 0.1759, 0.1749, 0.1905, 0.1802, 0.1468, 0.162, 0.1507, 0.1566, 0.1477, 0.1264, 0.1143, 0.131, 0.1297, 0.1071, 0.1166, 0.1505, 0.1524, 0.158, 0.1604, 0.1558, 0.1493, 0.1405, 0.114, 0.1171, 0.0986, 0.1143, 0.1132, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1052, 0.0905, 0.102, 0.1136, 0.0979, 0.0998, 0.0889, 0.0979, 0.0578, 0.0606, 0.0432, 0.0, 0.0313, 0.0319, 0.0587, 0.0615, 0.0374, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0335, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2064491383944085577", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-09T23:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "GDX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold & silver can stay oversold with miners for months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short gold to $4200 target with sideways into Q3; miners/silver can stay oversold for months while dollar remains bid with yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mostly right.\n\nBPGDX is a specialty of mine.\nThat’s one reason I warned clients early JAN 2026 that precious metals were about to top.\n\nI also gave continuous contract gold 4200 as a price target short and that we could go sideways until Q3.\n\nOf important note:\nGold & silver can stay oversold with miners for months.\n\nAnd it is not just institutional sellers “clearing the float”. It’s actual central banks like Turkey and Russia selling gold from Iran War. \n\nCurrently the dollar is bid with yields and oil. While dollar catches a bid, precious metals don’t. \n\nBut my bet is this correlation will end once oil falls back below pre-Iran War levels - and dollar strength fades.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@minenergybiz Zero BPI is not a prediction, it's a signal. Every prior instance of miners hitting zero has been within 6 weeks of a multi-year sector low. GDX is sitting at $78 after printing $117 in April — a 33% drawdown with gold still in a long-term uptrend. The institutional sellers are", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "derrick_dao", "ret_m1d": 0.05121255797761193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05121255797761193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035194461162994184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035194461162994184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016018096814617744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016018096814617744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05297390314916939, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05297390314916939, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03597705526242145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03597705526242145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016996847886747934, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016996847886747934, "ret_p1w": 0.14293460778646883, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14293460778646883, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12152658963634289, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12152658963634289, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02140801815012594, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02140801815012594, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2635, 0.2787, 0.273, 0.1937, 0.1232, 0.0855, 0.1297, 0.1313, 0.1695, 0.1162, 0.1623, 0.1623, 0.2433, 0.3008, 0.2815, 0.2815, 0.2711, 0.2867, 0.3302, 0.3325, 0.3466, 0.3383, 0.365, 0.3246, 0.3231, 0.3594, 0.343, 0.2599, 0.28, 0.249, 0.2781, 0.2544, 0.1996, 0.1681, 0.1962, 0.1802, 0.1604, 0.1626, 0.2524, 0.2427, 0.2815, 0.3223, 0.3161, 0.3038, 0.2729, 0.1834, 0.1806, 0.1351, 0.17, 0.165, 0.1519, 0.1519, 0.199, 0.1576, 0.1811, 0.2124, 0.1744, 0.1929, 0.1516, 0.1706, 0.0681, 0.0658, 0.0512, 0.0, 0.053, 0.0843, 0.1553, 0.182, 0.1429, 0.1179, 0.1179, 0.1179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2038290220844527932", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-29T16:20:32+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "causes higher oil & yields", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Deeper equity pullback as Iran risk, higher oil/yields, and capital flight from risk assets are not priced in; inflation & recession risks rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As warned: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In\n\nA frank talk with @RealJohnGaltFla of  @MacroEdgeRes predicting a deeper pullback driven by Trump-Netanyahu's War on Iran that causes higher oil &amp; yields AND capital leaving risk assets. Inflation &amp; recession not priced in.\n\n$SPX $DXY $VIX https://t.co/tR8zRjNqw0\n\n---\n\nWatch the full episode below 🔽 \nhttps://t.co/CrnYkKsMlG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04336443659716438, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04336443659716438, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04671904304455432, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04671904304455432, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019872154314624413, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019872154314624413, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04894002009938159, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04894002009938159, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.07016868583431313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07016868583431313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02750839432390273, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02750839432390273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": 0.07525228479295909, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07525228479295909, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.050892924302289755, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.050892924302289755, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07525228479295909, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.050892924302289755, "alpha_c_stated": -0.050892924302289755, "price_path": [-0.4673, -0.4673, -0.4688, -0.4591, -0.4723, -0.4779, -0.4567, -0.4548, -0.4481, -0.434, -0.4407, -0.4521, -0.4481, -0.4481, -0.4465, -0.4351, -0.4468, -0.4304, -0.434, -0.4172, -0.4098, -0.3904, -0.3875, -0.4198, -0.4033, -0.4001, -0.4093, -0.407, -0.3991, -0.399, -0.3924, -0.4117, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4167, -0.3884, -0.3746, -0.3773, -0.3769, -0.378, -0.3859, -0.3856, -0.3688, -0.3284, -0.3052, -0.2948, -0.2582, -0.1622, -0.1964, -0.1846, -0.1678, -0.0881, -0.0766, -0.114, -0.0846, -0.0629, -0.096, -0.0647, -0.1484, -0.1178, -0.1266, -0.0968, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.0199, -0.0442, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0702, 0.0635, -0.0404, -0.0221, -0.0386, -0.0105, -0.0461, -0.0558, -0.0307, -0.1062, -0.0655, -0.0122, -0.0033, 0.0377, 0.0198, 0.0377, 0.0753, 0.1602, 0.1329, 0.0999, 0.1369, 0.1105, 0.0317, 0.0396, 0.029, 0.068, 0.1115, 0.094, 0.1014, 0.1417, 0.1499, 0.1782, 0.1112, 0.0979, 0.0854, 0.0854, 0.0552, 0.0092, 0.0073, -0.0057, 0.0437, 0.0573, 0.085, 0.0532, 0.0246, 0.041, 0.0113, 0.0344, -0.0077, -0.0339, -0.0664, -0.1106, -0.1202, -0.1152, -0.1152, -0.1152, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030050694393212981", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T22:39:36+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Iran Risk Is Still Not Priced In", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crude oil; Iran risk still not priced in, Gulf states may pull overseas investments under war strain.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again, we haven't even felt this yet:\n\nGulf states might review overseas investments to ease financial strains caused by Iran war - FT\n\nIran Risk Is Still Not Priced In", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Hormuz Heightens Risk &amp; My Crude Oil Price Target \n\n💫Iran Risk Is Starting To Get Priced In\n💫Day 4 of Operation Epic Folly\n💫Wars Are Not Deflationary\n💫How High Can Oil Go\n💫Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds\n\nhttps://t.co/kHyaoLnd0l", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04255721972670501, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04255721972670501, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05124110991265707, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05124110991265707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014664993313950658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014664993313950658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016272099209790336, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016272099209790336, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "ret_p1w": 0.10255915614349442, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10255915614349442, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11618205862830722, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11618205862830722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "ret_p1m": 0.3234927576695781, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3234927576695781, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3489247448395085, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3489247448395085, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "ret_p3m": 0.3106489321699817, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3106489321699817, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19139317101423337, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19139317101423337, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3234927576695781, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3489247448395085, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3489247448395085, "price_path": [-0.3239, -0.3362, -0.3405, -0.3493, -0.3658, -0.3484, -0.356, -0.3479, -0.3316, -0.3262, -0.3271, -0.3271, -0.3436, -0.3328, -0.3315, -0.3371, -0.3371, -0.339, -0.3269, -0.3433, -0.3502, -0.3239, -0.3216, -0.3132, -0.2957, -0.304, -0.3182, -0.3132, -0.3132, -0.3112, -0.297, -0.3116, -0.2912, -0.2957, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2414, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2575, -0.2535, -0.2649, -0.2621, -0.2522, -0.2521, -0.2438, -0.2679, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2741, -0.239, -0.2218, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2259, -0.2358, -0.2354, -0.2145, -0.1643, -0.1354, -0.1224, -0.0769, 0.0426, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0357, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1026, 0.1391, 0.1662, 0.1249, 0.1639, 0.0597, 0.0979, 0.0868, 0.1239, 0.1905, 0.2444, 0.2197, 0.1894, 0.322, 0.322, 0.3317, 0.3235, 0.1941, 0.2169, 0.1964, 0.2314, 0.1871, 0.175, 0.2062, 0.1122, 0.1628, 0.2293, 0.2403, 0.2913, 0.2691, 0.2913, 0.3381, 0.4438, 0.4099, 0.3687, 0.4148, 0.3819, 0.2839, 0.2937, 0.2805, 0.3291, 0.3831, 0.3614, 0.3707, 0.4208, 0.4309, 0.4661, 0.3828, 0.3662, 0.3507, 0.3507, 0.3131, 0.2559, 0.2535, 0.2373, 0.2988, 0.3157, 0.3501, 0.3106, 0.275, 0.2954, 0.2585, 0.2873, 0.2348, 0.2022, 0.1618, 0.1068, 0.0949, 0.101, 0.101, 0.101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032257044560929240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:46:51+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil, Higher Dollar", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Geopolitical Iran risk thesis: bullish oil, USD, USDJPY; bearish bonds, equities, AI investment on higher inflation expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran Is Winning, Which Is Dangerous \n\n💫Odd Man Out\n💫Confirmed Bear\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Dollar\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Yields\n💫Higher Oil, Higher USDJPY\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Inflation Expectations\n💫Higher Oil, Lower AI Investment\n💫Higher Oil, Lower Markets\n\nhttps://t.co/WEe7RNmgRh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030189400822391743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030189400822391743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0358817560785023, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0358817560785023, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0527808644797384, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0527808644797384, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06295772949019496, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06295772949019496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "ret_p1w": -0.003950961333863301, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003950961333863301, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014090564944813533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014090564944813533, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "ret_p1m": 0.0037483816230754474, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0037483816230754474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03503182505312208, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03503182505312208, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "ret_p3m": -0.08793435706293273, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08793435706293273, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.186261615653881, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.186261615653881, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0037483816230754474, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03503182505312208, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03503182505312208, "price_path": [-0.4401, -0.4333, -0.4312, -0.426, -0.4123, -0.4086, -0.4089, -0.4089, -0.4252, -0.4116, -0.4129, -0.4183, -0.4183, -0.4193, -0.4092, -0.4212, -0.4328, -0.4149, -0.4011, -0.3972, -0.3805, -0.3717, -0.4004, -0.3978, -0.3978, -0.3887, -0.3859, -0.3986, -0.3813, -0.3858, -0.3679, -0.3596, -0.3373, -0.3394, -0.3705, -0.3596, -0.3401, -0.3588, -0.3562, -0.348, -0.352, -0.3453, -0.3634, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.3686, -0.3396, -0.327, -0.3274, -0.3282, -0.3351, -0.3373, -0.3394, -0.321, -0.2784, -0.2447, -0.2436, -0.1793, -0.0791, -0.0399, -0.1546, -0.1161, -0.0302, 0.0, -0.0528, -0.0253, -0.0242, -0.026, -0.004, -0.1072, -0.0644, -0.085, -0.0429, 0.0094, 0.0422, 0.027, 0.0143, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1388, 0.1443, -0.0436, -0.0085, -0.0217, 0.0037, -0.0753, -0.0752, -0.0407, -0.1505, -0.0922, -0.0667, -0.0583, -0.029, -0.0437, -0.0237, 0.0124, 0.0828, 0.0644, 0.0327, 0.0781, 0.0361, -0.0368, -0.0395, -0.0333, -0.0065, 0.0352, 0.0234, 0.0249, 0.068, 0.1008, 0.0918, -0.0046, -0.0239, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0488, -0.1016, -0.0994, -0.115, -0.0664, -0.0501, -0.0273, -0.0574, -0.0828, -0.0751, -0.1065, -0.0879, -0.1114, -0.1401, -0.1819, -0.2296, -0.2221, -0.224, -0.224, -0.235, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032257044560929240", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:46:51+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher Oil, Higher Yields", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Geopolitical Iran risk thesis: bullish oil, USD, USDJPY; bearish bonds, equities, AI investment on higher inflation expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran Is Winning, Which Is Dangerous \n\n💫Odd Man Out\n💫Confirmed Bear\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Dollar\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Yields\n💫Higher Oil, Higher USDJPY\n💫Higher Oil, Higher Inflation Expectations\n💫Higher Oil, Lower AI Investment\n💫Higher Oil, Lower Markets\n\nhttps://t.co/WEe7RNmgRh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004968800400065643, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004968800400065643, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007235548560449168, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0007235548560449168, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007742038712780008, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007742038712780008, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002434826297676551, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002434826297676551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "ret_p1w": -0.008204304557470343, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008204304557470343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00983722172120649, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00983722172120649, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "ret_p1m": 0.006431854406683257, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006431854406683257, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03234835226951427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03234835226951427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "ret_p3m": -0.0077390954805063306, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0077390954805063306, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1060663540714546, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1060663540714546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006431854406683257, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03234835226951427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03234835226951427, "price_path": [0.0044, 0.0034, 0.0082, 0.0045, 0.0023, 0.0039, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0067, 0.0104, 0.008, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0034, 0.0014, 0.0072, 0.0022, 0.0088, 0.0059, 0.0076, 0.0134, 0.0132, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0058, 0.0017, 0.0061, 0.0088, 0.0137, 0.0073, 0.005, 0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0032, -0.0008, -0.0033, 0.0075, 0.0082, 0.008, 0.0196, 0.0142, 0.0277, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.035, 0.0311, 0.0322, 0.0297, 0.0335, 0.0354, 0.0355, 0.0396, 0.046, 0.0355, 0.0334, 0.0302, 0.026, 0.0222, 0.0311, 0.0201, 0.0069, 0.005, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0105, 0.0049, 0.011, -0.0082, -0.0017, -0.0061, 0.0035, -0.005, -0.0104, 0.0028, 0.0017, 0.0007, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0053, 0.0052, 0.0084, 0.0059, 0.0034, 0.0064, 0.0118, 0.0074, 0.001, 0.0101, 0.0099, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0041, 0.006, 0.001, 0.002, -0.0057, -0.0067, -0.0031, -0.0107, -0.0052, 0.0023, -0.0027, 0.0023, -0.0037, -0.0103, -0.0126, -0.0112, -0.0258, -0.027, -0.0333, -0.0229, -0.0193, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0091, -0.0067, -0.0016, -0.0014, -0.0008, 0.0013, -0.0027, -0.0005, -0.0056, -0.0108, -0.0049, -0.0077, 0.0051, 0.0027, 0.0021, 0.0076, 0.0092, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0141, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042324574944055534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-09T19:31:37+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "More oil going offline\n\nMarket, show me you care", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bullish oil on Saudi supply disruption from pipeline and production hits reducing capacity by 1.3 mbpd.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "More oil going offline\n\nMarket, show me you care \n\n#SaudiArabia $WTIC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Saudi Arabia confirms hits to the critical East-West pipeline (a pumping station), which led to a 700 kbpd throughput loss.\n\nAs well as confirmed strikes to upstream production assets (!!) that have reduced Saudi production *capacity* by 600 kbpd.\n\nOn top of downstream https://t.co/OxbiE4INam", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03535300896467475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03535300896467475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029617081930073064, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029617081930073064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735927034601684, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005735927034601684, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013282957139829188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013282957139829188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012621181713270646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012621181713270646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617754265585418, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006617754265585418, "ret_p1w": -0.03249208353871058, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03249208353871058, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0644816758533675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0644816758533675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198959231465692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03198959231465692, "ret_p1m": -0.025033253385928655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025033253385928655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10991222939353185, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10991222939353185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487897600760319, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08487897600760319, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013282957139829188, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012621181713270646, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012621181713270646, "price_path": [-0.3921, -0.3752, -0.3663, -0.3952, -0.3927, -0.3927, -0.3835, -0.3806, -0.3935, -0.376, -0.3805, -0.3625, -0.3541, -0.3316, -0.3337, -0.3651, -0.3541, -0.3344, -0.3533, -0.3507, -0.3424, -0.3465, -0.3396, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.3574, -0.3631, -0.3339, -0.3212, -0.3217, -0.3225, -0.3294, -0.3316, -0.3337, -0.3152, -0.2722, -0.2382, -0.2372, -0.1723, -0.0712, -0.0317, -0.1473, -0.1085, -0.0219, 0.0086, -0.0447, -0.017, -0.0158, -0.0177, 0.0046, -0.0995, -0.0564, -0.0771, -0.0346, 0.0181, 0.0512, 0.0359, 0.023, 0.1397, 0.1397, 0.1486, 0.1541, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0124, -0.0673, -0.0672, -0.0325, -0.1433, -0.0844, -0.0586, -0.0502, -0.0206, -0.0355, -0.0153, 0.021, 0.0921, 0.0736, 0.0416, 0.0874, 0.045, -0.0285, -0.0313, -0.025, 0.002, 0.044, 0.0322, 0.0337, 0.0771, 0.1102, 0.1012, 0.004, -0.0155, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0407, -0.0939, -0.0917, -0.1074, -0.0583, -0.042, -0.0189, -0.0494, -0.0749, -0.0671, -0.0988, -0.0801, -0.1038, -0.1327, -0.1749, -0.2229, -0.2154, -0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2285, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2035336827264024909", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T12:44:49+00:00", "symbol": "LNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US LNG stocks are outperforming as LNG glut is removed & US restructuring plans in GCC are quietly negotiated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish US LNG equities (Cheniere, Venture Global) as Qatar LNG damage removes supply glut and US firms fill the gap via GCC restructuring deals.", "resolved_tickers": ["LNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Just enough damage to knock competing infrastructure offline. U.S. LNG steps into the gap. The competing corridor is gone before it opens.”\n\nUS LNG stocks are outperforming as LNG glut is removed &amp; US restructuring plans in GCC are quietly negotiated.\n\n#IranWar", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So…Qatar LNG gets hit. By morning Cheniere is at an all-time high, Venture Global up 61%, and Wall Street has buy notes out before the damage assessment is in. \n\nEuropean firms had signed forward supply deals for U.S. LNG seventeen days earlier.\n\nWhat the headlines missed: every https://t.co/IsrQyKvjEf", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02197073515288872, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02197073515288872, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011579848149769978, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010147860698264677, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011822874454624044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02569628543040392, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02569628543040392, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029053099907581426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005404501717529708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020291783712874212, "ret_p1w": 0.022423382056246055, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022423382056246055, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05814312987686565, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01665087544202004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039074257498266096, "ret_p1m": -0.10243740239468313, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10243740239468313, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17674548423925784, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03938185872740352, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06305554366727961, "ret_p3m": -0.20767418625003553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20767418625003553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3500095812406212, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10940149623854789, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09827269001148764, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10243740239468313, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17674548423925784, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03938185872740352, "price_path": [-0.339, -0.339, -0.3426, -0.3312, -0.3282, -0.3249, -0.3249, -0.3131, -0.3099, -0.3242, -0.3191, -0.3176, -0.3257, -0.3282, -0.3274, -0.3064, -0.2959, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2949, -0.2801, -0.2819, -0.2799, -0.2828, -0.2856, -0.2775, -0.2603, -0.2655, -0.2785, -0.2674, -0.2573, -0.2689, -0.258, -0.2491, -0.2397, -0.236, -0.242, -0.2312, -0.2312, -0.2374, -0.221, -0.2124, -0.2115, -0.2223, -0.2306, -0.2316, -0.1904, -0.1792, -0.1333, -0.1432, -0.1331, -0.1311, -0.1116, -0.1267, -0.1443, -0.1284, -0.1162, -0.1216, -0.125, -0.1243, -0.0731, -0.0186, -0.022, 0.0, 0.0257, -0.0098, 0.0146, 0.0338, 0.0224, -0.012, -0.0396, -0.021, -0.021, -0.011, -0.0102, -0.0417, -0.0746, -0.0754, -0.0891, -0.0958, -0.106, -0.0852, -0.1258, -0.1213, -0.1024, -0.1035, -0.1045, -0.1048, -0.0968, -0.0774, -0.0521, -0.0427, -0.0597, -0.05, -0.0616, -0.0898, -0.1407, -0.164, -0.16, -0.1474, -0.1646, -0.1586, -0.156, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1496, -0.1608, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.1832, -0.1939, -0.1988, -0.2152, -0.2047, -0.1763, -0.1786, -0.1587, -0.1665, -0.1742, -0.1645, -0.1561, -0.1619, -0.1579, -0.179, -0.1943, -0.1924, -0.2077, -0.2077, -0.2077, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2035336827264024909", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-21T12:44:49+00:00", "symbol": "VG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US LNG stocks are outperforming as LNG glut is removed & US restructuring plans in GCC are quietly negotiated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish US LNG equities (Cheniere, Venture Global) as Qatar LNG damage removes supply glut and US firms fill the gap via GCC restructuring deals.", "resolved_tickers": ["VG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Just enough damage to knock competing infrastructure offline. U.S. LNG steps into the gap. The competing corridor is gone before it opens.”\n\nUS LNG stocks are outperforming as LNG glut is removed &amp; US restructuring plans in GCC are quietly negotiated.\n\n#IranWar", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So…Qatar LNG gets hit. By morning Cheniere is at an all-time high, Venture Global up 61%, and Wall Street has buy notes out before the damage assessment is in. \n\nEuropean firms had signed forward supply deals for U.S. LNG seventeen days earlier.\n\nWhat the headlines missed: every https://t.co/IsrQyKvjEf", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006328914234901006, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006328914234901006, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011023778426608843, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012455765878114144, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011822874454624044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05063288537925925, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05063288537925925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05398969985643676, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03034110166638504, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020291783712874212, "ret_p1w": 0.06898728064125903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06898728064125903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10470702846187863, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029913023142992934, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039074257498266096, "ret_p1m": -0.23481015251891513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23481015251891513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.30911823436348984, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17175460885163552, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06305554366727961, "ret_p3m": -0.3015704967064381, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3015704967064381, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44390589169702377, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20329780669495046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09827269001148764, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23481015251891513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.30911823436348984, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17175460885163552, "price_path": [-0.543, -0.543, -0.5607, -0.5563, -0.5569, -0.5689, -0.5689, -0.555, -0.5683, -0.5601, -0.5689, -0.5247, -0.543, -0.5336, -0.502, -0.4994, -0.4969, -0.4438, -0.4438, -0.464, -0.428, -0.3977, -0.3755, -0.4071, -0.4369, -0.3989, -0.3888, -0.3806, -0.4299, -0.4008, -0.3926, -0.4109, -0.3743, -0.3572, -0.3591, -0.3819, -0.4135, -0.4084, -0.4084, -0.4457, -0.3964, -0.3749, -0.3876, -0.404, -0.409, -0.4116, -0.4015, -0.3876, -0.2807, -0.2757, -0.2946, -0.2239, -0.2112, -0.2725, -0.2795, -0.2125, -0.1929, -0.172, -0.2228, -0.1791, -0.0601, -0.0956, 0.0006, 0.0, 0.0506, 0.0576, 0.0646, 0.1095, 0.069, -0.0025, -0.0709, -0.0734, -0.0734, 0.0089, 0.012, -0.0861, -0.1778, -0.1791, -0.193, -0.2082, -0.2291, -0.1975, -0.2747, -0.2753, -0.2348, -0.219, -0.1804, -0.2468, -0.2285, -0.2304, -0.1671, -0.1601, -0.1943, -0.1285, -0.1759, -0.2405, -0.2601, -0.2753, -0.2646, -0.1601, -0.1772, -0.1766, -0.0994, -0.1032, -0.0646, -0.112, -0.1418, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1842, -0.2171, -0.2063, -0.238, -0.1975, -0.2171, -0.2076, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1873, -0.2108, -0.1589, -0.193, -0.1722, -0.2585, -0.2971, -0.2997, -0.3016, -0.3016, -0.3016, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029897156350357854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T12:29:30+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "driving this from a regional oil shock to global oil crisis WHICH WILL REPRICE EVERYTHING", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish oil: Gulf force majeure + Iran conflict escalating to global energy crisis will reprice oil sharply higher; dismisses Bessent's futures suppression as insufficient.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump & Netanyahu’s war on Iran hasn’t just triggered a Middle Eastern War but soon World War as their physical energy supply system just declared force majeure - driving this from a regional oil shock to global oil crisis WHICH WILL REPRICE EVERYTHING\n\nBessent suppressing the US oil futures market won’t fix this!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "\"Qatar expects all Gulf energy producers to shut ​down exports within weeks and drive ‌oil to $150 a barrel, the country's Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi told the Financial Times in an ​interview published on Friday.\n\"Everybody that has ​not called for force majeure we expect", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10880087154710105, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10880087154710105, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12208207877029065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12208207877029065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04257420299476822, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04257420299476822, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03381424227186525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03381424227186525, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "ret_p1w": 0.08591856355877248, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08591856355877248, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10092498806534478, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10092498806534478, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "ret_p1m": 0.23663368289500686, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23663368289500686, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2539608691436426, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2539608691436426, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "ret_p3m": 0.05632557790144643, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05632557790144643, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06848451587444782, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06848451587444782, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23663368289500686, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2539608691436426, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2539608691436426, "price_path": [-0.3592, -0.3569, -0.3663, -0.3681, -0.3749, -0.392, -0.3846, -0.3823, -0.3767, -0.3618, -0.3578, -0.3581, -0.3581, -0.3758, -0.3611, -0.3625, -0.3683, -0.3683, -0.3694, -0.3584, -0.3715, -0.384, -0.3646, -0.3496, -0.3454, -0.3273, -0.3177, -0.3488, -0.3461, -0.3461, -0.3362, -0.3331, -0.347, -0.3282, -0.333, -0.3136, -0.3046, -0.2803, -0.2826, -0.3164, -0.3046, -0.2834, -0.3037, -0.3009, -0.292, -0.2964, -0.289, -0.3087, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.3143, -0.2828, -0.2692, -0.2696, -0.2705, -0.278, -0.2803, -0.2826, -0.2627, -0.2164, -0.1798, -0.1787, -0.1088, 0.0, 0.0426, -0.082, -0.0402, 0.0531, 0.0859, 0.0286, 0.0584, 0.0596, 0.0576, 0.0816, -0.0305, 0.016, -0.0064, 0.0394, 0.0961, 0.1318, 0.1153, 0.1014, 0.2271, 0.2271, 0.2366, 0.2426, 0.0386, 0.0767, 0.0624, 0.09, 0.0042, 0.0043, 0.0417, -0.0776, -0.0142, 0.0135, 0.0227, 0.0545, 0.0385, 0.0602, 0.0993, 0.1758, 0.1559, 0.1215, 0.1707, 0.1251, 0.046, 0.043, 0.0497, 0.0789, 0.1241, 0.1113, 0.113, 0.1597, 0.1954, 0.1856, 0.081, 0.06, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0329, -0.0244, -0.022, -0.0389, 0.0139, 0.0315, 0.0563, 0.0235, -0.004, 0.0044, -0.0297, -0.0096, -0.0351, -0.0662, -0.1117, -0.1634, -0.1552, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1693, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050636314261787112", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-02T17:59:30+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One Of My Highest Conviction Stock Picks From 2025 For 2026: INTEL ($INTC)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Highest-conviction long on INTC into 2026; position given to clients early and still unfolding.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And another highest conviction stock pick from 2025 for 2026 given to clients early &amp; often ... is \"so old it's new\" 😉and just starting to get noticed. \n\nJoin us - and get the trade before it happens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "One Of My Highest Conviction Stock Picks From 2025 For 2026: INTEL ($INTC) \n\nhttps://t.co/wBM5pIbn9u", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04009191915040189, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04009191915040189, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03641505721651206, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034113113869697065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367686193388983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1291501660496559, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1291501660496559, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12112793732571348, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09777623675271507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022228723942426, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.35143040395804515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35143040395804515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3217790091274353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21425329343592714, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029651394830609856, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": 0.12685322280986666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12685322280986666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0689709633554958, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12062603154212037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.057882259454370866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.24747925435198703, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4926, -0.4963, -0.4718, -0.4755, -0.5079, -0.4958, -0.5147, -0.5115, -0.5115, -0.5179, -0.5254, -0.5341, -0.5395, -0.5445, -0.5185, -0.5105, -0.5254, -0.5238, -0.525, -0.55, -0.5241, -0.5203, -0.5467, -0.5241, -0.5116, -0.4991, -0.5276, -0.5221, -0.5222, -0.54, -0.5299, -0.5179, -0.542, -0.5405, -0.54, -0.5074, -0.5396, -0.5497, -0.57, -0.5393, -0.4985, -0.474, -0.474, -0.4698, -0.4476, -0.3845, -0.3556, -0.3487, -0.3195, -0.3338, -0.322, -0.2848, -0.2848, -0.3141, -0.3082, -0.3185, -0.3028, -0.1382, -0.1127, -0.1176, -0.0108, -0.0136, 0.0401, 0.0, 0.1292, 0.1799, 0.1445, 0.3042, 0.3514, 0.2592, 0.2559, 0.2104, 0.1356, 0.1294, 0.1568, 0.242, 0.2372, 0.2512, 0.2512, 0.2896, 0.2714, 0.2622, 0.1973, 0.1415, 0.1269, 0.1768, 0.167, 0.0354, 0.1513, 0.1267, 0.1176, 0.2211, 0.3006, 0.3349, 0.2221, 0.2644, 0.3989, 0.3989, 0.3989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037142803793191316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T12:21:07+00:00", "symbol": "JNK", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JNK & $HYG look like an accident ready to happen. Not if just when.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish HY credit (JNK/HYG accident waiting to happen); expects HY spread widening + leveraged loan repricing; private credit/IG alt managers (BX/OWL/APO/ARES) already hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["JNK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So far, HY credit spreads haven't widened anyway near as much as they should - given sustained oil prices & its large swings, not to mention supported high VIX & mechanical selling.\n\nWait and see mode only lasts so long...\nGeopolitical shocks can trigger financial shocks. Oil spikes are inflationary & often recessionary.\nPrivate credit cracks can turn into ravines.\n\nBut somehow, high yield spreads have stayed range-bound - up 28% from Jan bottom & back at March '25 levels (before they exploded 50%) - but still contained why IG is hit ($BX $OWL $APO $ARES).\n\nColor me skeptical. $JNK & $HYG look like an accident ready to happen. Not if just when.\n\nSoftware-concentrated credit across both private and public books has yet to be repriced. I expect further spread widening in leveraged loans/HY as tighter refinancing conditions develop this year.\n\nWhy bulls remain steadfast now is because HY credit & corp earnings have not deteriorated, yet. \n\nBut when they do, we will already be IN a bear market.\n\nWatch the 10Y yield rise > 4.33% into 4.6 soon. Then everyone will see what I see coming.\n\nAlso, @tradingNQdaily summed up well:\n\n\"IG underperforming HY on dislocations is the tell. When the high-grade names are more dislocated, it means duration risk is the real problem, not credit risk. The Fed has a bond market problem, not just an equity problem.\"\n\nThis year, duration risk and credit risk will be the problem. The market just doesn't see it yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A New York Fed index signaled that the US corporate bond market saw more dislocations in March, with the high-grade bond market more bruised than its high-yield counterpart https://t.co/VcXR6NTmpb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006319214292808573, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006319214292808573, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011864249256219539, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011864249256219539, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0030542011458501994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0030542011458501994, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013997693011575052, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013997693011575052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "ret_p1w": 0.013669291919978566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013669291919978566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0029795476356426764, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0029795476356426764, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "ret_p1m": 0.02605958146670928, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02605958146670928, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08066973241274966, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08066973241274966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02605958146670928, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08066973241274966, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08066973241274966, "price_path": [0.0122, 0.0134, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0128, 0.0155, 0.0159, 0.0156, 0.0164, 0.0174, 0.0173, 0.0177, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.0164, 0.0192, 0.0198, 0.0193, 0.0198, 0.0197, 0.0181, 0.0182, 0.0188, 0.0201, 0.0191, 0.0172, 0.0167, 0.0203, 0.0217, 0.0212, 0.0211, 0.02, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0202, 0.0216, 0.0218, 0.0226, 0.0213, 0.0202, 0.0219, 0.0211, 0.0187, 0.0182, 0.0159, 0.0195, 0.0151, 0.0101, 0.0156, 0.0143, 0.0122, 0.0055, 0.0032, 0.0074, 0.0114, 0.0066, 0.0088, 0.0, 0.0058, 0.0029, 0.0063, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.002, 0.0081, 0.011, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0157, 0.0158, 0.0217, 0.0227, 0.0192, 0.0228, 0.0258, 0.0252, 0.0242, 0.0281, 0.0271, 0.0246, 0.0263, 0.0245, 0.0261, 0.0263, 0.0251, 0.0219, 0.0254, 0.0265, 0.0233, 0.0245, 0.0279, 0.0243, 0.0277, 0.0256, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0235, 0.0192, 0.0197, 0.0173, 0.0235, 0.0243, 0.0249, 0.0249, 0.0282, 0.0277, 0.0288, 0.0304, 0.0296, 0.03, 0.0278, 0.0294, 0.0249, 0.0256, 0.0269, 0.0249, 0.0307, 0.031, 0.0326, 0.0324, 0.0284, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0319, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037142803793191316", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T12:21:07+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JNK & $HYG look like an accident ready to happen. Not if just when.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish HY credit (JNK/HYG accident waiting to happen); expects HY spread widening + leveraged loan repricing; private credit/IG alt managers (BX/OWL/APO/ARES) already hit.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So far, HY credit spreads haven't widened anyway near as much as they should - given sustained oil prices & its large swings, not to mention supported high VIX & mechanical selling.\n\nWait and see mode only lasts so long...\nGeopolitical shocks can trigger financial shocks. Oil spikes are inflationary & often recessionary.\nPrivate credit cracks can turn into ravines.\n\nBut somehow, high yield spreads have stayed range-bound - up 28% from Jan bottom & back at March '25 levels (before they exploded 50%) - but still contained why IG is hit ($BX $OWL $APO $ARES).\n\nColor me skeptical. $JNK & $HYG look like an accident ready to happen. Not if just when.\n\nSoftware-concentrated credit across both private and public books has yet to be repriced. I expect further spread widening in leveraged loans/HY as tighter refinancing conditions develop this year.\n\nWhy bulls remain steadfast now is because HY credit & corp earnings have not deteriorated, yet. \n\nBut when they do, we will already be IN a bear market.\n\nWatch the 10Y yield rise > 4.33% into 4.6 soon. Then everyone will see what I see coming.\n\nAlso, @tradingNQdaily summed up well:\n\n\"IG underperforming HY on dislocations is the tell. When the high-grade names are more dislocated, it means duration risk is the real problem, not credit risk. The Fed has a bond market problem, not just an equity problem.\"\n\nThis year, duration risk and credit risk will be the problem. The market just doesn't see it yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A New York Fed index signaled that the US corporate bond market saw more dislocations in March, with the high-grade bond market more bruised than its high-yield counterpart https://t.co/VcXR6NTmpb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006335598673833154, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006335598673833154, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011847864875194958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011847864875194958, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0025342394695332393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0025342394695332393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014517654687892012, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014517654687892012, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "ret_p1w": 0.012998724733794376, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012998724733794376, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0036501148218268664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0036501148218268664, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "ret_p1m": 0.02471276083797158, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02471276083797158, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08201655304148736, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08201655304148736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02471276083797158, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08201655304148736, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08201655304148736, "price_path": [0.0117, 0.0127, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0122, 0.0148, 0.0151, 0.0148, 0.0156, 0.0163, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0175, 0.0175, 0.0148, 0.0178, 0.0186, 0.0181, 0.0186, 0.0185, 0.0168, 0.0167, 0.0178, 0.0184, 0.0178, 0.0166, 0.0154, 0.019, 0.0203, 0.0193, 0.0192, 0.0187, 0.0195, 0.0195, 0.019, 0.0202, 0.0206, 0.0213, 0.0197, 0.019, 0.0203, 0.0195, 0.0178, 0.0172, 0.0152, 0.0188, 0.0147, 0.0098, 0.0158, 0.0142, 0.0119, 0.0054, 0.0035, 0.0067, 0.0113, 0.0061, 0.0094, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0032, 0.0063, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0014, 0.0081, 0.0106, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0148, 0.015, 0.021, 0.0222, 0.0181, 0.0219, 0.025, 0.0245, 0.0231, 0.0269, 0.026, 0.0233, 0.025, 0.0233, 0.0247, 0.0251, 0.0237, 0.0203, 0.0234, 0.0247, 0.0214, 0.0229, 0.026, 0.0221, 0.0257, 0.0237, 0.0223, 0.0228, 0.022, 0.017, 0.0181, 0.0156, 0.0221, 0.0227, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0262, 0.0256, 0.0269, 0.0279, 0.0271, 0.0279, 0.0251, 0.027, 0.0218, 0.0233, 0.0243, 0.0224, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.0297, 0.0296, 0.0257, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0293, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2064371598430224667", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-09T15:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL got to my $293 with ease. Holding at least a runner for 287 in the next week makes a lot of sense.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short AAPL runner targeting $287; also set up memory sector shorts and bank longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL got to my $293 with ease. Holding at least a runner for 287 in the next week makes a lot of sense. #LiveTradingRoom\n\nToday, I set up memory shorts &amp; bank longs. \nJOIN US.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I gave $316 on the upside as swing long target post earnings in April as long as $265 held. It held. And Last week I gave $316 as short level for reversion to mean trade back to 293/287. Also working. #LiveTradingRoom", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.037824888018181735, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037824888018181735, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034880795228573014, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01896120309963356, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002944092789608721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018863684918548174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003544996808021894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003544996808021894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019310559316049192, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02644702309446556, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015765562508027298, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022902026286443666, "ret_p1w": 0.029908803326463396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029908803326463396, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011890982021546481, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0014570097782338198, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018017821304916914, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031365813104697216, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1205, -0.1399, -0.1307, -0.1258, -0.1406, -0.1439, -0.1473, -0.1352, -0.1347, -0.1313, -0.1304, -0.1445, -0.1519, -0.1273, -0.121, -0.12, -0.12, -0.1099, -0.1283, -0.1098, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.1087, -0.11, -0.0839, -0.0943, -0.0708, -0.0611, -0.0848, -0.0607, -0.0598, -0.0679, -0.0798, -0.0691, -0.071, -0.0669, -0.0367, -0.0481, -0.0228, -0.0114, -0.0116, 0.0086, 0.0073, 0.0146, 0.0286, 0.0264, 0.0333, 0.0251, 0.029, 0.0403, 0.0497, 0.0629, 0.0629, 0.0612, 0.0699, 0.0756, 0.074, 0.0542, 0.0848, 0.0678, 0.0712, 0.0578, 0.0378, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.0175, 0.002, 0.0202, 0.0299, 0.0186, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0257, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2064371598430224667", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-09T15:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "banks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bank longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short AAPL runner targeting $287; also set up memory sector shorts and bank longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["KBE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KBE SPDR S&P Bank ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAPL got to my $293 with ease. Holding at least a runner for 287 in the next week makes a lot of sense. #LiveTradingRoom\n\nToday, I set up memory shorts &amp; bank longs. \nJOIN US.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I gave $316 on the upside as swing long target post earnings in April as long as $265 held. It held. And Last week I gave $316 as short level for reversion to mean trade back to 293/287. Also working. #LiveTradingRoom", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013519700459803219, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013519700459803219, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01646379324941194, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01646379324941194, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002944092789608721, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002944092789608721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002765406595529374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002765406595529374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01853096910355667, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01853096910355667, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015765562508027298, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015765562508027298, "ret_p1w": 0.021201489636728743, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021201489636728743, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0031836683318118286, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0031836683318118286, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018017821304916914, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018017821304916914, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.113, -0.1169, -0.1117, -0.1107, -0.121, -0.115, -0.1164, -0.1017, -0.0951, -0.0906, -0.0922, -0.1108, -0.1075, -0.0851, -0.0767, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0648, -0.0636, -0.0367, -0.0229, -0.0346, -0.0264, -0.0267, -0.0267, -0.0304, -0.0081, -0.004, -0.0144, -0.0203, -0.0117, -0.0244, -0.0109, -0.0074, -0.0227, -0.0138, -0.0157, -0.0275, -0.0155, -0.0057, -0.0151, -0.016, -0.0333, -0.0367, -0.0509, -0.0416, -0.0524, -0.0403, -0.0478, -0.0266, -0.025, -0.0238, -0.0238, -0.0131, -0.0229, -0.0247, -0.0246, -0.0393, -0.0241, -0.0464, -0.0177, -0.0149, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0138, 0.0284, 0.0154, 0.0212, 0.0041, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049635832584077334", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T23:43:57+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Congrats $GOOGL - Cloud/AI biz crushing it!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Acknowledges GOOGL Cloud/AI strength but warns gasoline above $5 triggers recession risk that will weigh on equities at all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Congrats $GOOGL - Cloud/AI biz crushing it!\n\nBut Americans won’t care once gasoline gets/stays above $5/gallon.\n\nRecession Into All Time Highs™️ will start to trend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The $GOOG numbers were absolutely MIND-BLOWING.\n\nRevenue +22%. Cloud +63% (WTF???) up from +48% in Q4, with record margin at 33% despite huge capex. Search accelerated yet again to +19%. The opposite of dead! Total Op margin at 36.1% (+200bps) = staying lean!\n\nJust STUNNING. 🤯 https://t.co/RFLJJQ2MCq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09059247163792472, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09059247163792472, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08074085805516362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08012125716419549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851613582761098, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010471214473729229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002312960442559797, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002312960442559797, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00045613484979090124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005105479404372559, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027690952923506984, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018024125021225412, "ret_p1w": 0.03427755477697714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03427755477697714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016299594633182757, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026810426622861705, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01797796014379438, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467128154115432, "ret_p1m": -0.011590433880652729, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011590433880652729, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06421618691815545, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004552414141665628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262575303750272, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0070380197389871, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011590433880652729, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06421618691815545, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004552414141665628, "price_path": [-0.1075, -0.1178, -0.1351, -0.1398, -0.1616, -0.1578, -0.1727, -0.1925, -0.1976, -0.2061, -0.2061, -0.2157, -0.2123, -0.2135, -0.182, -0.1911, -0.1926, -0.1874, -0.2018, -0.1904, -0.204, -0.2116, -0.2128, -0.2186, -0.2248, -0.2038, -0.2021, -0.1978, -0.2111, -0.2144, -0.2059, -0.192, -0.2004, -0.2018, -0.2178, -0.215, -0.2452, -0.2439, -0.27, -0.2871, -0.2892, -0.2527, -0.2272, -0.2314, -0.2314, -0.2204, -0.2062, -0.1754, -0.1723, -0.1756, -0.165, -0.1348, -0.1239, -0.1268, -0.1121, -0.1231, -0.1365, -0.1182, -0.1193, -0.105, -0.0896, -0.091, -0.0906, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.004, 0.0094, 0.0344, 0.0343, 0.0416, 0.01, 0.0066, 0.0463, 0.0423, 0.0311, 0.0315, 0.0074, 0.0107, 0.0074, -0.0048, -0.0048, 0.0106, 0.0105, 0.0139, -0.0116, -0.0219, -0.0596, -0.0671, -0.0328, -0.0423, -0.0553, -0.0528, -0.0733, -0.0697, -0.0647, -0.0396, -0.0294, -0.054, -0.043, -0.043, -0.043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2067400173920117074", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-18T00:13:06+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and risk assets should rip higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses gold/risk-asset rally and dollar weakness from Fed independence erosion, but says pace yourself — in time.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Gold and risk assets should rip higher. Dollar should get wrecked.\"  \n\nTo which I say: in time... pace yourself: https://t.co/oZHU1EvIv3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I'm not getting it.\n\n•End of Fed independence\n•External political influence\n•A new “inflation measure” (designed to understate it)\n\nThis is all clearly about hiding real inflation so they can cut rates, ease policy, print more, and accommodate for the medium to long term.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031912076317105686, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031912076317105686, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04220208363079703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04220208363079703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0426, 0.0415, 0.0771, 0.0358, 0.0634, 0.0715, 0.1003, 0.1324, 0.1012, 0.1012, 0.1024, 0.1025, 0.1244, 0.1345, 0.1273, 0.1227, 0.1423, 0.1363, 0.1329, 0.15, 0.1379, 0.1123, 0.1204, 0.1139, 0.1179, 0.1068, 0.087, 0.076, 0.0925, 0.0961, 0.0699, 0.0785, 0.1084, 0.1126, 0.1175, 0.1171, 0.1074, 0.1121, 0.1075, 0.0785, 0.0777, 0.0668, 0.0727, 0.0747, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0654, 0.0529, 0.0651, 0.0796, 0.0594, 0.0627, 0.0503, 0.0596, 0.0268, 0.0265, 0.0085, -0.0274, -0.0317, -0.0022, 0.0246, 0.0253, 0.0319, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2037262365863940145", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T20:16:13+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL & $META Shorts Working Well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Active short positions in GOOGL and META, author sees further downside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL &amp; $META Shorts Working Well\n\nAnd where I see them going... https://t.co/uBSCjBPv1C\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/tnfxHpziaR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023984865887439977, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023984865887439977, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006637160493767613, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007449022950898554, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347705393672364, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016535842936541423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003061928559749294, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003061928559749294, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0002814621276844287, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011656829167713045, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033433906874337227, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008594900607963751, "ret_p1w": 0.07811474067772473, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07811474067772473, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04382937656467378, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03457965105835559, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03428536411305094, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04353508961936914, "ret_p1m": 0.27702845671298526, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27702845671298526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14916019277185666, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1950965007333938, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1278682639411286, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08193195597959146, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27702845671298526, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14916019277185666, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1950965007333938, "price_path": [0.1432, 0.1401, 0.1401, 0.1479, 0.153, 0.145, 0.1728, 0.1854, 0.1968, 0.2088, 0.2238, 0.2233, 0.2122, 0.202, 0.202, 0.1729, 0.1961, 0.204, 0.1945, 0.2139, 0.2186, 0.2239, 0.2321, 0.2312, 0.2519, 0.2374, 0.2131, 0.2066, 0.176, 0.1814, 0.1604, 0.1327, 0.1255, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.1001, 0.1049, 0.1031, 0.1473, 0.1346, 0.1325, 0.1398, 0.1196, 0.1356, 0.1165, 0.1058, 0.1042, 0.096, 0.0874, 0.1167, 0.1192, 0.1252, 0.1065, 0.1018, 0.1138, 0.1333, 0.1216, 0.1195, 0.0972, 0.101, 0.0587, 0.0605, 0.024, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.0482, 0.084, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.0935, 0.1134, 0.1567, 0.1609, 0.1564, 0.1712, 0.2135, 0.2288, 0.2248, 0.2455, 0.2299, 0.2112, 0.2369, 0.2353, 0.2554, 0.277, 0.275, 0.2756, 0.4026, 0.4059, 0.397, 0.4159, 0.4509, 0.4507, 0.461, 0.4166, 0.4119, 0.4676, 0.4619, 0.4463, 0.4469, 0.4131, 0.4176, 0.4131, 0.396, 0.396, 0.4175, 0.4173, 0.4221, 0.3864, 0.3719, 0.319, 0.3086, 0.3567, 0.3433, 0.3251, 0.3286, 0.2998, 0.3049, 0.3119, 0.3471, 0.3614, 0.3268, 0.3423, 0.3423, 0.3423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2037262365863940145", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T20:16:13+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL & $META Shorts Working Well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Active short positions in GOOGL and META, author sees further downside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL &amp; $META Shorts Working Well\n\nAnd where I see them going... https://t.co/uBSCjBPv1C\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/tnfxHpziaR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04150500498523013, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04150500498523013, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024157299591557768, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02496916204868871, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347705393672364, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016535842936541423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02027710442953401, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02027710442953401, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023620495116967732, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011682203821570258, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033433906874337227, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008594900607963751, "ret_p1w": 0.09271110532664295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09271110532664295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05842574121359201, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04917601570727381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03428536411305094, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04353508961936914, "ret_p1m": 0.29083937797341686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29083937797341686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16297111403228826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2089074219938254, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1278682639411286, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08193195597959146, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.29083937797341686, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16297111403228826, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2089074219938254, "price_path": [0.2657, 0.2545, 0.2545, 0.2361, 0.252, 0.2555, 0.2329, 0.2279, 0.2412, 0.2201, 0.1994, 0.1698, 0.1798, 0.1788, 0.1788, 0.1481, 0.1649, 0.2308, 0.252, 0.2778, 0.279, 0.2709, 0.4032, 0.3617, 0.3426, 0.3146, 0.2714, 0.2738, 0.2571, 0.2871, 0.2747, 0.2709, 0.235, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.215, 0.2225, 0.2254, 0.2461, 0.2111, 0.215, 0.2424, 0.2487, 0.2319, 0.2421, 0.245, 0.269, 0.2554, 0.2256, 0.2304, 0.2431, 0.2446, 0.2129, 0.1664, 0.1935, 0.1844, 0.1711, 0.154, 0.1292, 0.149, 0.1278, 0.1316, 0.0415, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0883, 0.1018, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.09, 0.0938, 0.1649, 0.1953, 0.1981, 0.207, 0.2602, 0.2774, 0.2875, 0.3097, 0.2762, 0.2722, 0.2834, 0.2538, 0.284, 0.2908, 0.277, 0.2728, 0.1639, 0.1579, 0.1611, 0.1507, 0.1658, 0.1733, 0.1596, 0.1391, 0.147, 0.1729, 0.1763, 0.1684, 0.1626, 0.1463, 0.1509, 0.1553, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1648, 0.2084, 0.2084, 0.2031, 0.1422, 0.1368, 0.185, 0.1937, 0.128, 0.1135, 0.112, 0.0861, 0.0812, 0.0785, 0.1299, 0.1427, 0.0806, 0.099, 0.099, 0.099, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2039682143018709213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T12:31:33+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher for longer! (Oil, that is)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sustainably higher oil → higher global yields → USDJPY up, USD up/yen down → bonds and equities fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "USO United States Oil Fund", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Higher for longer! (Oil, that is)\n\nAnd clients know my mantra: \n\n\"sustainably higher oil → higher global yields → usdjpy up → usd up/yen down = bonds &amp; equities fall\"\n\nhttps://t.co/5HAmJsOd5H", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@KobeissiLetter Iran just created the most aggressive de-dollarization checkpoint in history. \n\nEvery toll paid accelerates the yuan's role in commodity trade and builds a template for dollar bypass that survives any eventual conflict resolution.\n\nThe $2 million flat fee per transit runs roughly https://t.co/Xn3gB4irvR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10027553664925082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10027553664925082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09937588721581914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09937588721581914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07946635172549221, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07946635172549221, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11618309595372145, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11618309595372145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "ret_p1m": 0.03538286649942335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03538286649942335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06345372872401844, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06345372872401844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03538286649942335, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06345372872401844, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06345372872401844, "price_path": [-0.4909, -0.5033, -0.5085, -0.4885, -0.4868, -0.4805, -0.4672, -0.4735, -0.4843, -0.4805, -0.4805, -0.479, -0.4682, -0.4793, -0.4638, -0.4672, -0.4514, -0.4445, -0.4262, -0.4234, -0.4538, -0.4383, -0.4353, -0.444, -0.4418, -0.4343, -0.4342, -0.428, -0.4462, -0.4474, -0.4474, -0.4509, -0.4243, -0.4113, -0.4138, -0.4134, -0.4144, -0.4219, -0.4216, -0.4058, -0.3678, -0.346, -0.3361, -0.3017, -0.2114, -0.2435, -0.2325, -0.2166, -0.1416, -0.1307, -0.166, -0.1383, -0.1178, -0.1491, -0.1196, -0.1984, -0.1695, -0.1779, -0.1498, -0.0995, -0.0587, -0.0774, -0.1003, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0074, 0.0012, -0.0967, -0.0795, -0.095, -0.0685, -0.102, -0.1112, -0.0876, -0.1586, -0.1204, -0.0701, -0.0618, -0.0232, -0.04, -0.0232, 0.0122, 0.0922, 0.0665, 0.0354, 0.0703, 0.0453, -0.0288, -0.0214, -0.0314, 0.0054, 0.0463, 0.0299, 0.0368, 0.0748, 0.0824, 0.109, 0.046, 0.0335, 0.0218, 0.0218, -0.0067, -0.05, -0.0518, -0.064, -0.0175, -0.0047, 0.0213, -0.0086, -0.0355, -0.0201, -0.048, -0.0262, -0.0659, -0.0906, -0.1212, -0.1628, -0.1718, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.1671, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037235546322248089", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T18:29:38+00:00", "symbol": "FNMA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wasn't bearish housing industry until THIS news.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Turned bearish on housing/Fannie Mae and crypto-backed mortgages after news of FNMA accepting crypto-backed loans.", "resolved_tickers": ["FNMA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wasn't bearish housing industry until THIS news.\n\n$FNMA $BTCUSD #CryptoBackedMortgages", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "JUST IN: 🇺🇸 $4.3 trillion mortgage provider Fannie Mae to accept crypto-backed mortgages, WSJ reports.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08906883646232777, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08906883646232777, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07088537291329966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07088537291329966, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016194316352106997, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016194316352106997, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008575778053182548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0008575778053182548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "ret_p1w": 0.3967611367295787, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.3967611367295787, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.38011229717395745, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.38011229717395745, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "ret_p1m": 0.4149796943628292, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4149796943628292, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3082503804833703, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3082503804833703, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4149796943628292, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3082503804833703, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3082503804833703, "price_path": [1.0911, 1.085, 1.1721, 1.1721, 1.2267, 1.2773, 1.166, 1.164, 1.1964, 1.2287, 1.1964, 1.1842, 1.0587, 0.9636, 0.7227, 0.7227, 0.6822, 0.8623, 0.8077, 0.7955, 0.7814, 0.7166, 0.6457, 0.6903, 0.6579, 0.7085, 0.6559, 0.7672, 0.6741, 0.6761, 0.668, 0.6741, 0.6822, 0.5526, 0.5567, 0.5567, 0.5769, 0.6296, 0.6134, 0.6397, 0.5486, 0.498, 0.4676, 0.504, 0.4575, 0.4332, 0.3097, 0.413, 0.4008, 0.2955, 0.2591, 0.2206, 0.247, 0.2166, 0.2348, 0.1741, 0.081, -0.0628, -0.0121, 0.0729, 0.1255, 0.1134, 0.0891, 0.0, -0.0162, 0.4879, 0.4696, 0.4332, 0.3968, 0.3968, 0.3057, 0.2895, 0.3421, 0.5911, 0.67, 0.6781, 0.6619, 0.668, 0.581, 0.6721, 0.6174, 0.5972, 0.5466, 0.4008, 0.415, 0.4514, 0.5506, 0.5567, 0.6559, 0.6498, 0.7571, 0.6316, 0.67, 0.6194, 0.5911, 0.5749, 0.5668, 0.6215, 0.6073, 0.581, 0.4636, 0.4271, 0.4676, 0.4494, 0.4555, 0.4555, 0.4312, 0.4939, 0.4636, 0.4332, 0.502, 0.4271, 0.2854, 0.3664, 0.3563, 0.3138, 0.2895, 0.249, 0.2794, 0.3138, 0.3623, 0.3401, 0.2773, 0.2874, 0.2874, 0.2874, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044028201194701044", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-14T12:21:14+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "'Ceasefire' helps Data Centers in the Middle East and AI Tech back home... but also $ORCL specifically...", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ceasefire seen as a specific positive catalyst for ORCL via Middle East data center expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "'Ceasefire' helps Data Centers in the Middle East and AI Tech back home... \n\nbut also $ORCL specifically...\n\nWhy Iran's Blockade Is an Oracle Story\n\nhttps://t.co/wXbcfdzMK7\n\n@LukeGromen @thedreydossier", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Last week, Luke Gromen appeared on Grant Williams’ podcast, and the insights were quite compelling. Key takeaways are summarized below:\n\nKey Points\n\n1. A US-Iran ceasefire was announced, with both sides claiming total victory. Gromen's base case is that it will not hold, but he", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0452761035755368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0452761035755368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03323791027291689, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03323791027291689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04177912612634205, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04177912612634205, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03388815689929814, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03388815689929814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "ret_p1w": 0.11147238140457238, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11147238140457238, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09761989872711485, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09761989872711485, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "ret_p1m": 0.16417174544071123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16417174544071123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.095269370246021, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.095269370246021, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16417174544071123, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.095269370246021, "alpha_c_stated": 0.095269370246021, "price_path": [0.1607, 0.1683, 0.1683, 0.1, 0.063, 0.0893, 0.0831, 0.1154, 0.0693, 0.0564, 0.0333, 0.0062, -0.0215, -0.0544, -0.1033, -0.1656, -0.1269, -0.0427, -0.0225, -0.0392, -0.0433, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0587, -0.0452, -0.043, -0.0947, -0.1361, -0.1066, -0.0959, -0.0811, -0.1111, -0.0875, -0.089, -0.0685, -0.0537, -0.0649, -0.0734, -0.0866, -0.0027, -0.027, -0.0517, -0.0465, -0.0543, -0.0652, -0.0492, -0.0849, -0.0564, -0.1007, -0.1073, -0.1269, -0.1462, -0.1514, -0.1006, -0.1121, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1102, -0.1247, -0.1217, -0.1542, -0.1528, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0418, 0.0941, 0.074, 0.0894, 0.1115, 0.1503, 0.0815, 0.0631, 0.0611, 0.0182, 0.0051, -0.0099, 0.0542, 0.1061, 0.1371, 0.1904, 0.1938, 0.2021, 0.1892, 0.1462, 0.1642, 0.2001, 0.1837, 0.1448, 0.1133, 0.1544, 0.1642, 0.1784, 0.1784, 0.1844, 0.1715, 0.2497, 0.3852, 0.5224, 0.5005, 0.4131, 0.4499, 0.3109, 0.2995, 0.2626, 0.2347, 0.1294, 0.1296, 0.1818, 0.1554, 0.126, 0.1306, 0.1306, 0.1306, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049158018130948518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-28T16:05:17+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all of which is bearish for the post-war oil market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "UAE exit from OPEC+ accelerates regional oil pricing and petrodollar bypass, bearish for oil and USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "UAE leaving OPEC+ speeds the transition to regional oil pricing sooner … with trade outside purview of SA &amp; USD… transacting outside the petrol-dollar … all of which is bearish for the post-war oil market and USD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "There have been countless premature OPEC obituaries written over the years, and they've all turned out to be wrong—I expect they'll muddle through this latest blowup, too.\n\nBut make no mistake: the UAE announcing its departure from the producer group is a massive crack, arguably", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03562491291626024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03562491291626024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04051469884389136, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04051469884389136, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889785927631118, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889785927631118, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06954865332750537, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06954865332750537, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06970316265249132, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06970316265249132, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015450932498595193, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015450932498595193, "ret_p1w": 0.023416354755774194, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023416354755774194, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0064425982978948415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0064425982978948415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973756457879352, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973756457879352, "ret_p1m": -0.11257880481981064, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11257880481981064, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16705482044992914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16705482044992914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0544760156301185, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0544760156301185, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11257880481981064, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16705482044992914, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16705482044992914, "price_path": [-0.3453, -0.3474, -0.3782, -0.3675, -0.3481, -0.3667, -0.3641, -0.3559, -0.36, -0.3532, -0.3712, -0.3707, -0.3707, -0.3763, -0.3476, -0.3352, -0.3356, -0.3364, -0.3432, -0.3453, -0.3474, -0.3293, -0.2872, -0.2539, -0.2529, -0.1893, -0.0904, -0.0516, -0.1649, -0.1269, -0.042, -0.0122, -0.0643, -0.0372, -0.0361, -0.0379, -0.0161, -0.1181, -0.0759, -0.0962, -0.0545, -0.0029, 0.0295, 0.0145, 0.0019, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.1249, 0.1303, -0.0552, -0.0206, -0.0336, -0.0085, -0.0866, -0.0865, -0.0524, -0.1609, -0.1033, -0.0781, -0.0697, -0.0408, -0.0553, -0.0356, 0.0, 0.0695, 0.0514, 0.0201, 0.0649, 0.0234, -0.0485, -0.0512, -0.0451, -0.0186, 0.0225, 0.0109, 0.0124, 0.0549, 0.0874, 0.0785, -0.0167, -0.0358, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0604, -0.1126, -0.1104, -0.1258, -0.0778, -0.0617, -0.0391, -0.0689, -0.094, -0.0864, -0.1174, -0.0991, -0.1223, -0.1506, -0.1919, -0.239, -0.2316, -0.2335, -0.2335, -0.2444, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2055778475751965035", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-16T22:32:37+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TLT is sitting on monthly support with weakening internals. Bond bulls need an intervention!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on stocks (QQQ) and bonds (TLT): rising yields, sticky oil/dollar are macro headwinds; TLT on monthly support with weakening internals.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bond Bulls Need To Defend Now\n$QQQ $DXY $TLT #crudeoil \n\nRising yields — with sticky oil &amp; dollar —are setting up to be solid macro headwinds for stocks. Same time as $TLT is sitting on monthly support with weakening internals.\n\nBond bulls need an intervention! https://t.co/DYabnJenlY\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DEevNCFZYt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0011968506246640143, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011968506246640143, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000492846033142369, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.000492846033142369, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007040045915216453, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007040045915216453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00646237006122663, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00646237006122663, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00019841802626674454, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00019841802626674454, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0066607880874933745, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0066607880874933745, "ret_p1w": 0.013403590368546991, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013403590368546991, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0039403702591669365, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0039403702591669365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463220109380055, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009463220109380055, "ret_p1m": 0.035531623228086895, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.035531623228086895, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019718941137937263, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019718941137937263, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015812682090149632, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015812682090149632, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.035531623228086895, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019718941137937263, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019718941137937263, "price_path": [0.0597, 0.0608, 0.0583, 0.0622, 0.0641, 0.0642, 0.0685, 0.075, 0.0642, 0.0621, 0.0587, 0.0545, 0.0505, 0.0597, 0.0484, 0.0349, 0.0329, 0.0277, 0.0357, 0.0386, 0.0327, 0.039, 0.0193, 0.026, 0.0215, 0.0313, 0.0226, 0.0171, 0.0306, 0.0295, 0.0285, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0332, 0.033, 0.0364, 0.0338, 0.0313, 0.0344, 0.0398, 0.0353, 0.0288, 0.0382, 0.0379, 0.0322, 0.0342, 0.032, 0.0339, 0.0288, 0.0298, 0.0218, 0.0209, 0.0245, 0.0168, 0.0224, 0.0302, 0.025, 0.0302, 0.0239, 0.0171, 0.0148, 0.0163, 0.0012, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0042, 0.0079, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.0184, 0.0208, 0.0261, 0.0263, 0.0269, 0.029, 0.025, 0.0272, 0.022, 0.0167, 0.0227, 0.0198, 0.033, 0.0305, 0.0299, 0.0355, 0.0372, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2035392340995526783", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T16:25:24+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump sending US troops to invade Iran's Kharg Island will quickly trigger even higher global oil prices", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Kharg Island invasion scenario would send oil, yields, and USDJPY sharply higher via strait closures.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bookends!\n\nStraight of Hormuz on one side and Bab Al Mandab on the other!\n\nTrump sending US troops to invade Iran’s Kharg Island will quickly trigger even higher global oil prices, yields &amp; USDJPY. #NotSafe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "⚡️BREAKING \n\nYemen to close Bab al Mandab strait if US forces try to capture Iran's Kharg Island \n\nIt will cause devastating economic consequences - Tasnim https://t.co/mNKTExRcew", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11562467671597543, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11562467671597543, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12601556371909417, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12601556371909417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04788382335436259, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04788382335436259, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05124063783154009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05124063783154009, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "ret_p1w": 0.1673663957753948, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1673663957753948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2030861435960144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2030861435960144, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "ret_p1m": 0.045387497159429024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.045387497159429024, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02892058468514569, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02892058468514569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "ret_p3m": -0.13082944671088936, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13082944671088936, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27316484170147504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27316484170147504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.045387497159429024, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02892058468514569, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02892058468514569, "price_path": [-0.3379, -0.3379, -0.3562, -0.341, -0.3424, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3496, -0.3383, -0.3518, -0.3647, -0.3446, -0.3292, -0.3249, -0.3061, -0.2963, -0.3284, -0.3255, -0.3255, -0.3153, -0.3122, -0.3264, -0.307, -0.312, -0.2921, -0.2828, -0.2577, -0.2601, -0.2949, -0.2828, -0.2609, -0.2819, -0.2789, -0.2697, -0.2743, -0.2667, -0.287, -0.2864, -0.2864, -0.2927, -0.2603, -0.2462, -0.2467, -0.2476, -0.2553, -0.2577, -0.2601, -0.2395, -0.1918, -0.154, -0.1528, -0.0808, 0.0314, 0.0753, -0.0531, -0.01, 0.0862, 0.12, 0.0609, 0.0917, 0.0929, 0.0909, 0.1156, 0.0, 0.0479, 0.0248, 0.0721, 0.1306, 0.1674, 0.1503, 0.136, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.2755, 0.2816, 0.0713, 0.1105, 0.0958, 0.1242, 0.0357, 0.0359, 0.0744, -0.0486, 0.0168, 0.0454, 0.0548, 0.0876, 0.0711, 0.0935, 0.1339, 0.2128, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.2075, 0.1604, 0.0789, 0.0758, 0.0827, 0.1128, 0.1594, 0.1463, 0.148, 0.1962, 0.233, 0.2229, 0.1149, 0.0933, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.0654, 0.0062, 0.0087, -0.0087, 0.0457, 0.0639, 0.0895, 0.0557, 0.0273, 0.036, 0.0008, 0.0216, -0.0048, -0.0369, -0.0837, -0.1371, -0.1287, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034415649171055034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T23:44:23+00:00", "symbol": "WMT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WMT was a rec'd short for clients post earnings. It's still working well.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "WMT remains a live short recommendation for clients; still working post-earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["WMT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$WMT was a rec'd short for clients post earnings. It's still working well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$WMT is disappointed in results from OpenAI partnership, whereby Walmart users are allowed to shop via ChatGPT and OpenAI would receive a commission on these purchases\n\n“Conversion rates—the percentage of users following through with a purchase of an item shown to them by https://t.co/Ba2QLWpjN0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007349942108310081, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007349942108310081, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00487956611436835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.000823808235082435, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008173750343392516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015077521223579304, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015077521223579304, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0007417332927666109, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006781810928540133, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008295710295039171, "ret_p1w": 0.011072354997510248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011072354997510248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030696890209435335, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015626244120657495, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004553889123147248, "ret_p1m": 0.0550967965248792, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0550967965248792, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0241384396446096, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04345659429412585, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01164020223075335, "ret_p3m": 0.003467175816657342, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.003467175816657342, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13684681414281363, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04657262730647216, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0500398031231295, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0550967965248792, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0241384396446096, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04345659429412585, "price_path": [-0.0701, -0.0842, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0772, -0.0707, -0.0757, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0688, -0.0692, -0.0557, -0.0691, -0.0662, -0.0542, -0.0258, -0.006, -0.0087, -0.0156, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0197, -0.0143, -0.0269, -0.0277, -0.0285, -0.0343, -0.0373, -0.0304, -0.0161, 0.0245, 0.0547, 0.0571, 0.0483, 0.0833, 0.0655, 0.0463, 0.0634, 0.1036, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.0641, 0.0457, 0.0312, 0.0157, 0.039, 0.0467, 0.0385, 0.0275, 0.0567, 0.0496, 0.0563, 0.0555, 0.0183, 0.0224, 0.0268, 0.0333, 0.0198, 0.035, 0.0448, 0.0405, 0.033, 0.0073, 0.0, -0.0151, -0.001, 0.01, 0.0184, 0.0111, 0.0169, 0.022, 0.0285, 0.0323, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0492, 0.0136, 0.0531, 0.0686, 0.0491, 0.0309, 0.0348, 0.0324, 0.0329, 0.0551, 0.0586, 0.0725, 0.0756, 0.0926, 0.0751, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0593, 0.0918, 0.089, 0.0785, 0.0823, 0.0764, 0.0774, 0.0814, 0.0579, 0.0807, 0.09, 0.0982, 0.0899, 0.1055, 0.1127, 0.0849, 0.006, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0169, -0.0172, -0.0142, -0.0403, -0.0498, -0.0626, -0.0309, -0.0238, -0.0144, -0.0065, -0.0144, -0.0002, -0.0009, 0.0036, 0.0017, 0.0035, -0.0206, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0285, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2067400006244434263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-18T00:12:26+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and risk assets should rip higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish gold and risk assets, bearish USD on Fed independence erosion, policy easing, and inflation obfuscation; 'pace yourself' implies medium-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tariko_MuyRico \"Gold and risk assets should rip higher. Dollar should get wrecked.\"\n\nin time... pace yourself https://t.co/blfCIoq1g0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc I'm not getting it.\n\n•End of Fed independence\n•External political influence\n•A new “inflation measure” (designed to understate it)\n\nThis is all clearly about hiding real inflation so they can cut rates, ease policy, print more, and accommodate for the medium to long term.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tariko_MuyRico", "ret_m1d": 0.031912076317105686, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031912076317105686, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04220208363079703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04220208363079703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01029000731369134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0426, 0.0415, 0.0771, 0.0358, 0.0634, 0.0715, 0.1003, 0.1324, 0.1012, 0.1012, 0.1024, 0.1025, 0.1244, 0.1345, 0.1273, 0.1227, 0.1423, 0.1363, 0.1329, 0.15, 0.1379, 0.1123, 0.1204, 0.1139, 0.1179, 0.1068, 0.087, 0.076, 0.0925, 0.0961, 0.0699, 0.0785, 0.1084, 0.1126, 0.1175, 0.1171, 0.1074, 0.1121, 0.1075, 0.0785, 0.0777, 0.0668, 0.0727, 0.0747, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0654, 0.0529, 0.0651, 0.0796, 0.0594, 0.0627, 0.0503, 0.0596, 0.0268, 0.0265, 0.0085, -0.0274, -0.0317, -0.0022, 0.0246, 0.0253, 0.0319, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2057240007044116673", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T23:20:14+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "\"Higher For Longer\" Yields Assured", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Higher-for-longer yields assured; bearish on long-duration bonds (TLT short, 10Y yields up).", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Higher For Longer” Yields Assured\n\n#10Y $TLT #USD\n\nNot if but when... https://t.co/aJIjUdf18H\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/QqOclq5qDE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003680733643917189, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003680733643917189, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017015707963515814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017015707963515814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791628475656076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019791628475656076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005461895148565432, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005461895148565432, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0015303460717615014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015303460717615014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003931549076803931, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003931549076803931, "ret_p1w": 0.018047981589783824, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018047981589783824, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002052700865776913, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002052700865776913, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599528072400691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01599528072400691, "ret_p1m": 0.03409189501942311, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03409189501942311, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026089146502538796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026089146502538796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008002748516884317, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008002748516884317, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03409189501942311, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026089146502538796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026089146502538796, "price_path": [0.0539, 0.0558, 0.0559, 0.0601, 0.0666, 0.0559, 0.0537, 0.0504, 0.0462, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0402, 0.0268, 0.0248, 0.0197, 0.0276, 0.0304, 0.0246, 0.0309, 0.0113, 0.0179, 0.0134, 0.0232, 0.0146, 0.0091, 0.0225, 0.0215, 0.0205, 0.0267, 0.0267, 0.0251, 0.0249, 0.0283, 0.0257, 0.0232, 0.0263, 0.0317, 0.0272, 0.0207, 0.03, 0.0298, 0.0241, 0.0261, 0.0239, 0.0258, 0.0207, 0.0218, 0.0138, 0.0129, 0.0165, 0.0088, 0.0144, 0.0221, 0.017, 0.0221, 0.0159, 0.0091, 0.0069, 0.0083, -0.0066, -0.0078, -0.0142, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0055, 0.0104, 0.0128, 0.018, 0.0183, 0.0188, 0.021, 0.0169, 0.0192, 0.0139, 0.0087, 0.0147, 0.0118, 0.0249, 0.0224, 0.0218, 0.0274, 0.0291, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0341, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031438968584126740", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T18:36:07+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My Crude Oil Price Shock Target Of $120 Triggered – Now What?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Crude oil $120 target triggered; SPX $6666 target active; updated short positions in JETS and FDX.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Crude Oil Price Shock Target Of $120 Triggered – Now What?\n\n$WTIC worked &amp; so did $VIX\n\nGAP DOWN MON that saw puts monetized &amp; bounced on queue!\n\nOh yeah, and my $SPX $6666 is more than a price target👿\n\nUpdated shorts in $JETS $FDX too\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Subscribe to our YouTube channel for snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/AcBGV7CYoO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13565009117789617, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13565009117789617, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13404039833519854, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13404039833519854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096928426976298, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096928426976298, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045536287486201754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045536287486201754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046791422034867525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046791422034867525, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": 0.1529059628863083, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1529059628863083, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16234221519879766, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16234221519879766, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": 0.13133621467553636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13133621467553636, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13033759802372824, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13033759802372824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": 0.0849611051715502, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0849611051715502, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007162526850038153, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007162526850038153, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13133621467553636, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13033759802372824, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13033759802372824, "price_path": [-0.3098, -0.3117, -0.3191, -0.3377, -0.3297, -0.3271, -0.321, -0.3049, -0.3004, -0.3008, -0.3008, -0.3201, -0.304, -0.3056, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3131, -0.3011, -0.3154, -0.3291, -0.3078, -0.2916, -0.287, -0.2672, -0.2568, -0.2907, -0.2877, -0.2877, -0.2769, -0.2736, -0.2887, -0.2682, -0.2735, -0.2524, -0.2425, -0.2161, -0.2186, -0.2554, -0.2425, -0.2194, -0.2416, -0.2385, -0.2288, -0.2336, -0.2255, -0.247, -0.2464, -0.2464, -0.2531, -0.2188, -0.204, -0.2044, -0.2054, -0.2135, -0.2161, -0.2186, -0.1969, -0.1464, -0.1065, -0.1053, -0.0292, 0.0893, 0.1357, 0.0, 0.0455, 0.1472, 0.1829, 0.1204, 0.1529, 0.1542, 0.1521, 0.1782, 0.0561, 0.1067, 0.0823, 0.1322, 0.194, 0.2328, 0.2149, 0.1998, 0.3366, 0.3366, 0.347, 0.3535, 0.1313, 0.1728, 0.1572, 0.1873, 0.0938, 0.0939, 0.1347, 0.0048, 0.0738, 0.104, 0.114, 0.1486, 0.1312, 0.1548, 0.1975, 0.2808, 0.2591, 0.2216, 0.2753, 0.2255, 0.1394, 0.1361, 0.1434, 0.1752, 0.2244, 0.2105, 0.2123, 0.2633, 0.3021, 0.2914, 0.1775, 0.1546, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.1251, 0.0627, 0.0653, 0.0469, 0.1044, 0.1235, 0.1506, 0.1149, 0.085, 0.0941, 0.0569, 0.0788, 0.051, 0.0171, -0.0324, -0.0887, -0.0798, -0.0821, -0.0821, -0.0951, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031438968584126740", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-10T18:36:07+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Updated shorts in $JETS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Crude oil $120 target triggered; SPX $6666 target active; updated short positions in JETS and FDX.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Crude Oil Price Shock Target Of $120 Triggered – Now What?\n\n$WTIC worked &amp; so did $VIX\n\nGAP DOWN MON that saw puts monetized &amp; bounced on queue!\n\nOh yeah, and my $SPX $6666 is more than a price target👿\n\nUpdated shorts in $JETS $FDX too\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Subscribe to our YouTube channel for snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/AcBGV7CYoO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656805009758333, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01656805009758333, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014958357254885701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014958357254885701, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096928426976298, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096928426976298, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005128247185757884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005128247185757884, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003873112637092113, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003873112637092113, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": -0.011045391811914218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011045391811914218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001609139499424872, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001609139499424872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": 0.03313610019516644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03313610019516644, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032137483543358325, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032137483543358325, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": 0.1021696297283341, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1021696297283341, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010045997706745746, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010045997706745746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03313610019516644, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.032137483543358325, "alpha_c_stated": -0.032137483543358325, "price_path": [0.1053, 0.1065, 0.1155, 0.1249, 0.1077, 0.1167, 0.1245, 0.1425, 0.1222, 0.1258, 0.1258, 0.1207, 0.1065, 0.1081, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.116, 0.1444, 0.1499, 0.1452, 0.144, 0.1625, 0.1538, 0.1345, 0.1203, 0.146, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1156, 0.142, 0.1393, 0.1266, 0.1172, 0.099, 0.0923, 0.1211, 0.1026, 0.1412, 0.1578, 0.1759, 0.1625, 0.2292, 0.2225, 0.2181, 0.1783, 0.157, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.1901, 0.1953, 0.1479, 0.1625, 0.1247, 0.1369, 0.1404, 0.1688, 0.1223, 0.0927, 0.0821, 0.0777, 0.0288, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.0, -0.0051, -0.0446, -0.0513, -0.0304, -0.011, -0.03, -0.026, -0.0497, -0.0166, -0.0205, -0.002, -0.0134, -0.0481, -0.0675, -0.0284, -0.0032, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0142, -0.0221, 0.0331, 0.03, 0.0213, 0.0181, 0.0631, 0.0659, 0.0505, 0.1014, 0.0868, 0.0552, 0.0209, 0.0146, 0.0256, 0.0071, -0.0028, -0.0166, 0.0028, 0.0162, 0.0028, 0.028, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.084, 0.0497, 0.0363, 0.0308, 0.0343, 0.0083, 0.0079, -0.0213, 0.043, 0.0651, 0.0702, 0.0702, 0.1148, 0.1471, 0.1495, 0.1566, 0.1412, 0.1243, 0.0978, 0.1045, 0.1022, 0.0927, 0.1266, 0.075, 0.1428, 0.1649, 0.2016, 0.2083, 0.1933, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.2229, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031438968584126740", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-10T18:36:07+00:00", "symbol": "FDX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Updated shorts in $JETS $FDX too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Crude oil $120 target triggered; SPX $6666 target active; updated short positions in JETS and FDX.", "resolved_tickers": ["FDX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Integrated Freight & Logistics'", "bench_c_industry": "Integrated Freight & Logistics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Crude Oil Price Shock Target Of $120 Triggered – Now What?\n\n$WTIC worked &amp; so did $VIX\n\nGAP DOWN MON that saw puts monetized &amp; bounced on queue!\n\nOh yeah, and my $SPX $6666 is more than a price target👿\n\nUpdated shorts in $JETS $FDX too\n\n#LiveTradingRoom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Subscribe to our YouTube channel for snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/AcBGV7CYoO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004534416111879658, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004534416111879658, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002924723269182028, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0008766957292249966, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096928426976298, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005411111841104654, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0053412322224950515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0053412322224950515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006596366771160822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008458534478504975, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003117302256009924, "ret_p1w": -0.013380841857510206, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013380841857510206, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00394458954502086, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007322663881288771, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020703505738798977, "ret_p1m": 0.038834952479184226, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038834952479184226, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03783633582737611, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0335478595343115, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005287092944872729, "ret_p3m": 0.14271289546684818, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14271289546684818, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.050589263445259824, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11536663884853215, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027346256618316023, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.038834952479184226, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03783633582737611, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0335478595343115, "price_path": [-0.215, -0.2162, -0.2208, -0.2174, -0.2181, -0.2045, -0.1999, -0.1888, -0.1821, -0.1802, -0.1802, -0.179, -0.1885, -0.1936, -0.1997, -0.1997, -0.1878, -0.1758, -0.1468, -0.1485, -0.1438, -0.1346, -0.1358, -0.142, -0.1313, -0.1323, -0.1461, -0.1461, -0.166, -0.1496, -0.1416, -0.1571, -0.1564, -0.1344, -0.1282, -0.1136, -0.1072, -0.071, -0.0208, 0.0045, 0.0084, 0.023, 0.0102, 0.0195, 0.0173, 0.0236, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0398, 0.0614, 0.0615, 0.0763, 0.0631, 0.071, 0.06, 0.0741, 0.0722, 0.0729, 0.0599, 0.0642, 0.0344, -0.0051, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.0053, -0.0176, -0.0217, -0.0198, -0.0134, -0.0271, -0.0093, -0.0017, -0.0103, 0.0014, -0.0054, -0.0276, -0.0431, -0.0493, -0.0092, -0.0004, 0.006, 0.006, -0.0018, -0.0069, 0.0388, 0.0488, 0.0406, 0.0346, 0.0297, 0.0152, 0.0596, 0.0916, 0.0954, 0.0977, 0.0737, 0.0924, 0.0793, 0.0791, 0.0855, 0.081, 0.122, 0.0951, -0.0046, 0.0091, 0.0493, 0.0458, 0.0532, 0.0541, 0.0472, 0.0285, 0.0571, 0.0454, 0.0285, 0.0431, 0.0761, 0.0819, 0.0966, 0.0966, 0.1127, 0.1455, 0.1445, 0.1454, 0.1686, 0.1358, 0.1201, 0.1324, 0.1427, 0.14, 0.1453, 0.1021, 0.1669, 0.1679, 0.1695, 0.1591, 0.1252, 0.1261, 0.1261, 0.1261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030095314028290072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T01:36:54+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US oil prices are on track for their largest weekly gain on record in data going back to 1982, now up +34.5% this week - and still not at my target...", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Crude oil still has further to run; author's price target not yet reached despite record 34.5% weekly gain.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US oil prices are on track for their largest weekly gain on record in data going back to 1982, now up +34.5% this week - and still not at my target...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Hormuz Heightens Risk &amp; My Crude Oil Price Target \n\n💫Iran Risk Is Starting To Get Priced In\n💫Day 4 of Operation Epic Folly\n💫Wars Are Not Deflationary\n💫How High Can Oil Go\n💫Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds\n\nhttps://t.co/kHyaoLnd0l", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04083565742608519, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04083565742608519, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03215176724013313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03215176724013313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890185952059, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11944708342091537, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11944708342091537, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11783997752507569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11783997752507569, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071058958396778, "ret_p1w": -0.013400830305498657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013400830305498657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0002220721793141367, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0002220721793141367, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622902484812793, "ret_p1m": 0.19183286851478298, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19183286851478298, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21726485568471343, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21726485568471343, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431987169930448, "ret_p3m": -0.01825467752262111, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01825467752262111, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13751043867836943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13751043867836943, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925576115574832, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19183286851478298, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21726485568471343, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21726485568471343, "price_path": [-0.3831, -0.3922, -0.3939, -0.4004, -0.4168, -0.4097, -0.4075, -0.4021, -0.3879, -0.384, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.4013, -0.3871, -0.3885, -0.3941, -0.3941, -0.3952, -0.3846, -0.3972, -0.4092, -0.3905, -0.3762, -0.3722, -0.3548, -0.3456, -0.3754, -0.3728, -0.3728, -0.3633, -0.3603, -0.3736, -0.3556, -0.3602, -0.3417, -0.333, -0.3097, -0.3119, -0.3443, -0.333, -0.3127, -0.3322, -0.3294, -0.3209, -0.3251, -0.318, -0.3369, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3423, -0.3121, -0.299, -0.2995, -0.3003, -0.3075, -0.3097, -0.3119, -0.2928, -0.2484, -0.2133, -0.2122, -0.1452, -0.0408, 0.0, -0.1194, -0.0793, 0.0101, 0.0416, -0.0134, 0.0152, 0.0164, 0.0145, 0.0375, -0.0701, -0.0255, -0.047, -0.0031, 0.0514, 0.0856, 0.0697, 0.0565, 0.177, 0.177, 0.1861, 0.1918, -0.0038, 0.0327, 0.019, 0.0455, -0.0368, -0.0367, -0.0008, -0.1152, -0.0544, -0.0279, -0.0191, 0.0114, -0.0039, 0.0169, 0.0544, 0.1278, 0.1087, 0.0757, 0.1229, 0.0791, 0.0033, 0.0004, 0.0069, 0.0348, 0.0782, 0.0659, 0.0675, 0.1124, 0.1466, 0.1372, 0.0368, 0.0167, 0.0193, 0.0193, -0.0093, -0.0643, -0.0619, -0.0782, -0.0275, -0.0107, 0.0132, -0.0183, -0.0446, -0.0366, -0.0693, -0.05, -0.0745, -0.1044, -0.1479, -0.1975, -0.1897, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.2032, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050376268655317279", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-02T00:46:11+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One Of My Highest Conviction Stock Picks From 2025 For 2026: INTEL ($INTC)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest-conviction long on INTC for 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One Of My Highest Conviction Stock Picks From 2025 For 2026: INTEL ($INTC) \n\nhttps://t.co/wBM5pIbn9u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04009191915040189, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04009191915040189, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03641505721651206, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034113113869697065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367686193388983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1291501660496559, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1291501660496559, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12112793732571348, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09777623675271507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022228723942426, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.35143040395804515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35143040395804515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3217790091274353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21425329343592714, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029651394830609856, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": 0.12685322280986666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12685322280986666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0689709633554958, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12062603154212037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.057882259454370866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.24747925435198703, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4926, -0.4963, -0.4718, -0.4755, -0.5079, -0.4958, -0.5147, -0.5115, -0.5115, -0.5179, -0.5254, -0.5341, -0.5395, -0.5445, -0.5185, -0.5105, -0.5254, -0.5238, -0.525, -0.55, -0.5241, -0.5203, -0.5467, -0.5241, -0.5116, -0.4991, -0.5276, -0.5221, -0.5222, -0.54, -0.5299, -0.5179, -0.542, -0.5405, -0.54, -0.5074, -0.5396, -0.5497, -0.57, -0.5393, -0.4985, -0.474, -0.474, -0.4698, -0.4476, -0.3845, -0.3556, -0.3487, -0.3195, -0.3338, -0.322, -0.2848, -0.2848, -0.3141, -0.3082, -0.3185, -0.3028, -0.1382, -0.1127, -0.1176, -0.0108, -0.0136, 0.0401, 0.0, 0.1292, 0.1799, 0.1445, 0.3042, 0.3514, 0.2592, 0.2559, 0.2104, 0.1356, 0.1294, 0.1568, 0.242, 0.2372, 0.2512, 0.2512, 0.2896, 0.2714, 0.2622, 0.1973, 0.1415, 0.1269, 0.1768, 0.167, 0.0354, 0.1513, 0.1267, 0.1176, 0.2211, 0.3006, 0.3349, 0.2221, 0.2644, 0.3989, 0.3989, 0.3989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2038262257952362778", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T14:29:26+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "semiconductors, gold & broader liquidity trends have peaked after a multi-year rally. Mean reversion = prolonged rollover.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Semis, gold, and broader market liquidity have all topped; expects prolonged mean-reversion rollover from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This will not be a popular opinion, but it's mine:\n\nSemis, Gold &amp; Liquidity Have Topped This Year\n\nFrom my live trading room March 20th... semiconductors, gold &amp; broader liquidity trends have peaked after a multi-year rally. Mean reversion = prolonged rollover.\n\n$SMH $GLD $SPX https://t.co/lbkxNh43At\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/pcDTpLQZAJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03232836250838944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03232836250838944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0289737560609995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0289737560609995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05756763629895589, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05756763629895589, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02849977051419872, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02849977051419872, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.09226826006030775, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09226826006030775, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04960796854989735, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04960796854989735, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": 0.3549499161698886, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3549499161698886, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22880470707463973, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22880470707463973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3549499161698886, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22880470707463973, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22880470707463973, "price_path": [-0.0066, -0.0066, 0.0297, 0.0415, 0.0692, 0.062, 0.0454, 0.0736, 0.0776, 0.08, 0.0712, 0.0935, 0.1044, 0.1044, 0.0768, 0.1087, 0.1111, 0.1036, 0.1001, 0.1234, 0.1492, 0.1517, 0.1129, 0.1253, 0.097, 0.0538, 0.0511, 0.1079, 0.1217, 0.1165, 0.1441, 0.1202, 0.1247, 0.1247, 0.1241, 0.138, 0.1315, 0.1448, 0.1389, 0.1562, 0.1755, 0.1365, 0.1209, 0.121, 0.0787, 0.1009, 0.0905, 0.0497, 0.0878, 0.096, 0.1062, 0.0706, 0.0684, 0.0866, 0.0948, 0.0859, 0.0893, 0.0613, 0.0795, 0.0884, 0.1007, 0.0505, 0.0323, 0.0, 0.0576, 0.0812, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0923, 0.1031, 0.1666, 0.187, 0.2051, 0.2229, 0.2468, 0.2496, 0.2545, 0.2803, 0.2798, 0.2817, 0.3153, 0.3291, 0.397, 0.3965, 0.3549, 0.378, 0.3977, 0.4063, 0.3979, 0.4418, 0.5165, 0.4898, 0.5627, 0.5897, 0.5481, 0.5791, 0.5953, 0.5346, 0.5065, 0.5005, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.5897, 0.5897, 0.6609, 0.6426, 0.6546, 0.6521, 0.6766, 0.7439, 0.7596, 0.731, 0.5714, 0.65, 0.6302, 0.5748, 0.6811, 0.7101, 0.785, 0.6992, 0.7212, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.8202, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2038262257952362778", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-29T14:29:26+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "semiconductors, gold & broader liquidity trends have peaked after a multi-year rally. Mean reversion = prolonged rollover.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Semis, gold, and broader market liquidity have all topped; expects prolonged mean-reversion rollover from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This will not be a popular opinion, but it's mine:\n\nSemis, Gold &amp; Liquidity Have Topped This Year\n\nFrom my live trading room March 20th... semiconductors, gold &amp; broader liquidity trends have peaked after a multi-year rally. Mean reversion = prolonged rollover.\n\n$SMH $GLD $SPX https://t.co/lbkxNh43At\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/pcDTpLQZAJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00028951140588806545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00028951140588806545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003065095041501875, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003065095041501875, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037893826237359374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037893826237359374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0088259604526022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0088259604526022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": 0.03152590030281299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03152590030281299, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011134391207597405, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011134391207597405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": 0.017680585959896744, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017680585959896744, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1084646231353521, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1084646231353521, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017680585959896744, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1084646231353521, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1084646231353521, "price_path": [-0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0393, -0.014, -0.0034, -0.0129, -0.0075, -0.0003, 0.0185, 0.017, 0.0274, 0.0211, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0546, 0.07, 0.0898, 0.1047, 0.1209, 0.1484, 0.1929, 0.1962, 0.0733, 0.0303, 0.0958, 0.095, 0.0658, 0.0986, 0.1265, 0.1153, 0.128, 0.0888, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.0811, 0.1054, 0.1085, 0.1303, 0.1609, 0.1448, 0.1419, 0.1517, 0.1668, 0.1819, 0.1292, 0.138, 0.1243, 0.1421, 0.1398, 0.1526, 0.1487, 0.1262, 0.1116, 0.1106, 0.1078, 0.0727, 0.0285, -0.0029, -0.0254, -0.0252, 0.0041, -0.0336, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0379, 0.0561, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0315, 0.0416, 0.0481, 0.0563, 0.0544, 0.0501, 0.0736, 0.0624, 0.0615, 0.0756, 0.0664, 0.0362, 0.0499, 0.0397, 0.045, 0.0369, 0.0177, 0.0068, 0.0219, 0.0207, 0.0003, 0.0089, 0.0395, 0.0412, 0.0463, 0.0484, 0.0443, 0.0384, 0.0305, 0.0065, 0.0093, -0.0074, 0.0068, 0.0058, -0.0018, -0.0018, -0.0014, -0.0147, -0.0044, 0.0061, -0.008, -0.0063, -0.0162, -0.008, -0.0442, -0.0418, -0.0574, -0.0965, -0.0682, -0.0676, -0.0435, -0.0409, -0.0627, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays & $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030741079513710412, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030741079513710412, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036282885003455445, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026283419630533267, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004457659883177145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05798591448666701, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05798591448666701, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07584464447001105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04230156963400167, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015684344852665344, "ret_p1w": 0.029504653804396597, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029504653804396597, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03191016482828901, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05592034609732255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026415692292925952, "ret_p1m": -0.003027167570622491, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003027167570622491, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08163324939563588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05624310105535968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05927026862598217, "ret_p3m": 0.012290914790952456, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012290914790952456, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12754008082416046, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1245577015058551, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11226678671490264, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003027167570622491, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08163324939563588, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05624310105535968, "price_path": [-0.305, -0.298, -0.3014, -0.3101, -0.3101, -0.2995, -0.2348, -0.2445, -0.2208, -0.1892, -0.2148, -0.2388, -0.2298, -0.2096, -0.2178, -0.2225, -0.2225, -0.2172, -0.2025, -0.208, -0.2072, -0.2233, -0.2249, -0.2202, -0.2267, -0.2311, -0.2363, -0.1852, -0.1634, -0.1723, -0.1358, -0.1414, -0.1494, -0.1306, -0.1604, -0.1465, -0.1465, -0.1586, -0.1496, -0.1505, -0.144, -0.1584, -0.1501, -0.1488, -0.1311, -0.1275, -0.0837, -0.0718, -0.0381, -0.0278, -0.0423, -0.0793, -0.0747, -0.0149, 0.0054, -0.0168, -0.0084, 0.0061, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.0227, 0.0122, 0.0307, 0.0, 0.058, 0.0843, 0.0671, 0.0535, 0.0295, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.0471, 0.0723, 0.0217, 0.0024, 0.0182, 0.0321, 0.0044, 0.002, 0.0307, -0.0464, -0.0352, -0.0049, -0.0008, -0.003, 0.0056, 0.0158, 0.0244, 0.0715, 0.0769, 0.0526, 0.0729, 0.0806, 0.0092, 0.0077, 0.0278, 0.0579, 0.0536, 0.0408, 0.0436, 0.0691, 0.1022, 0.1197, 0.082, 0.0328, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0344, 0.0296, 0.0489, 0.0488, 0.0818, 0.1064, 0.12, 0.1089, 0.0959, 0.1069, 0.0872, 0.1052, 0.095, 0.1081, 0.0588, 0.0458, 0.0272, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0123, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "PBF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays & $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["PBF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014994996842773611, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014994996842773611, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020536802332518644, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010537336959596466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004457659883177145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02066866585431182, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02066866585431182, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852739583765585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0049843210016464745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015684344852665344, "ret_p1w": -0.066058718341937, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.066058718341937, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06365320731804458, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03964302604901104, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026415692292925952, "ret_p1m": -0.1698074208596092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1698074208596092, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2484135026846226, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11053715223362703, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05927026862598217, "ret_p3m": -0.23926562461332346, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23926562461332346, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3790966202284364, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1269988378984208, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11226678671490264, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1698074208596092, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2484135026846226, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11053715223362703, "price_path": [-0.4743, -0.4664, -0.4765, -0.4548, -0.4548, -0.4264, -0.4069, -0.4526, -0.4322, -0.3536, -0.3412, -0.3408, -0.3386, -0.3482, -0.3729, -0.4063, -0.4063, -0.381, -0.3402, -0.3365, -0.3283, -0.3524, -0.3357, -0.3386, -0.3313, -0.3273, -0.3472, -0.3072, -0.2905, -0.3066, -0.2861, -0.2911, -0.3068, -0.2809, -0.3231, -0.3056, -0.3056, -0.3172, -0.3323, -0.3185, -0.3088, -0.31, -0.2945, -0.291, -0.2693, -0.2786, -0.202, -0.1943, -0.0922, -0.0748, -0.1236, -0.2276, -0.1966, -0.1491, -0.1303, -0.1185, -0.1171, -0.0973, -0.0458, -0.0511, -0.0006, -0.0559, 0.015, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.0381, 0.019, -0.0351, -0.0661, -0.0802, -0.0802, -0.0604, -0.0642, -0.1281, -0.1783, -0.1759, -0.1767, -0.2105, -0.1787, -0.1362, -0.247, -0.2351, -0.1755, -0.1801, -0.1698, -0.1745, -0.1739, -0.1617, -0.126, -0.1214, -0.1287, -0.0774, -0.064, -0.1572, -0.1775, -0.1751, -0.1384, -0.1402, -0.1706, -0.1707, -0.1371, -0.1403, -0.1277, -0.1483, -0.203, -0.1797, -0.1797, -0.2195, -0.2085, -0.1877, -0.1697, -0.1466, -0.1193, -0.132, -0.1277, -0.133, -0.1356, -0.1766, -0.1316, -0.1609, -0.1454, -0.1909, -0.2013, -0.2295, -0.2393, -0.2393, -0.2393, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "COP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays & $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["COP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003257692502585785, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003257692502585785, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008799497992330818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0011999673805913602, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004457659883177145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03350655312096662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03350655312096662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051365283104310655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017822208268301276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015684344852665344, "ret_p1w": -0.004265773244428228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004265773244428228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0018602622205358132, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022149919048497724, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026415692292925952, "ret_p1m": -0.03536795543221982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03536795543221982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11397403725723321, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023902313193762348, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05927026862598217, "ret_p3m": -0.15814247262950498, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15814247262950498, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2979734682446179, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04587568591460234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11226678671490264, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03536795543221982, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11397403725723321, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023902313193762348, "price_path": [-0.2955, -0.2871, -0.2758, -0.2796, -0.2796, -0.2558, -0.2365, -0.2526, -0.277, -0.2402, -0.2495, -0.265, -0.2576, -0.2278, -0.2386, -0.2443, -0.2443, -0.2649, -0.2523, -0.2544, -0.2431, -0.2423, -0.2314, -0.2197, -0.2088, -0.1978, -0.2166, -0.1926, -0.172, -0.192, -0.1717, -0.1634, -0.1727, -0.1441, -0.147, -0.1424, -0.1424, -0.1628, -0.1428, -0.1345, -0.1427, -0.1478, -0.1422, -0.1467, -0.1414, -0.12, -0.0829, -0.0807, -0.103, -0.0939, -0.092, -0.0923, -0.1146, -0.0923, -0.0672, -0.0546, -0.059, -0.047, -0.041, -0.0226, -0.0156, -0.0135, 0.0033, 0.0, 0.0335, 0.0378, 0.0307, 0.0238, -0.0043, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.021, 0.022, -0.0288, -0.0423, -0.0495, -0.0412, -0.0786, -0.0776, -0.0571, -0.1, -0.0968, -0.0672, -0.0491, -0.0354, -0.0556, -0.0562, -0.0358, -0.0053, -0.0244, -0.0445, -0.0312, -0.0435, -0.0778, -0.109, -0.1168, -0.0971, -0.079, -0.0827, -0.0704, -0.0435, -0.0269, -0.0224, -0.0439, -0.058, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0891, -0.1004, -0.1015, -0.1094, -0.0969, -0.0868, -0.0698, -0.0684, -0.0847, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.063, -0.0986, -0.0859, -0.1228, -0.13, -0.131, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "EOG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays & $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["EOG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004748364696141483, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004748364696141483, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007934407936035504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009206024579318628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004457659883177145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02988617862084819, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02988617862084819, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04774490860419223, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014201833768182848, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015684344852665344, "ret_p1w": -0.01948191048287784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01948191048287784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017076399458985425, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006933781810048112, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026415692292925952, "ret_p1m": -0.05796103789704421, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05796103789704421, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1365671197220576, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013092307289379601, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05927026862598217, "ret_p3m": -0.0853348417460521, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0853348417460521, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22516583736116502, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02693194496885054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11226678671490264, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05796103789704421, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1365671197220576, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0013092307289379601, "price_path": [-0.2841, -0.2762, -0.2692, -0.2737, -0.2737, -0.258, -0.2654, -0.2737, -0.2907, -0.2698, -0.2743, -0.2707, -0.2527, -0.234, -0.2528, -0.2646, -0.2646, -0.2584, -0.2455, -0.2576, -0.2436, -0.2487, -0.2417, -0.2248, -0.2174, -0.217, -0.243, -0.2289, -0.1993, -0.2145, -0.2061, -0.2049, -0.213, -0.1745, -0.1771, -0.157, -0.157, -0.1638, -0.1462, -0.135, -0.1406, -0.1459, -0.1362, -0.1446, -0.1542, -0.1336, -0.1017, -0.1061, -0.1075, -0.085, -0.0824, -0.0806, -0.107, -0.0747, -0.071, -0.0671, -0.0608, -0.0523, -0.0397, -0.0307, -0.0313, -0.0246, -0.0047, 0.0, 0.0299, 0.0443, 0.0466, 0.0095, -0.0195, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0011, 0.0071, -0.029, -0.0463, -0.049, -0.0436, -0.0672, -0.0756, -0.0566, -0.0962, -0.0911, -0.0681, -0.064, -0.058, -0.0632, -0.0625, -0.0445, -0.021, -0.0108, -0.0222, -0.0035, -0.0091, -0.0522, -0.0789, -0.085, -0.0619, -0.0561, -0.0505, -0.043, -0.013, 0.0062, 0.0154, -0.0034, -0.015, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0416, -0.0549, -0.053, -0.0614, -0.0386, -0.0248, -0.0043, -0.0086, -0.0304, -0.0138, -0.0336, -0.0129, -0.0392, -0.0384, -0.0713, -0.0708, -0.0623, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.0853, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "OXY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays & $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["OXY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009700874772136658, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009700874772136658, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004159069282391625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014158534655313804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004457659883177145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04058216525621683, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04058216525621683, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.058440895239560864, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024897820403551485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015684344852665344, "ret_p1w": 0.006143914205660073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006143914205660073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008549425229552488, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.032559606498586025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026415692292925952, "ret_p1m": -0.06499591673864524, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06499591673864524, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14360199856365863, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005725648112663073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05927026862598217, "ret_p3m": -0.15829657985037537, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15829657985037537, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2981275754654883, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04602979313547273, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11226678671490264, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06499591673864524, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14360199856365863, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005725648112663073, "price_path": [-0.3587, -0.3497, -0.3328, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.318, -0.3365, -0.3283, -0.3404, -0.3044, -0.3103, -0.3126, -0.3031, -0.2868, -0.3053, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.3203, -0.2998, -0.3056, -0.2904, -0.2933, -0.2831, -0.2786, -0.2691, -0.2696, -0.2952, -0.2717, -0.2487, -0.2744, -0.2548, -0.2492, -0.2554, -0.2398, -0.268, -0.2587, -0.2587, -0.2607, -0.2419, -0.1708, -0.1658, -0.1563, -0.164, -0.1803, -0.1724, -0.1459, -0.1277, -0.1362, -0.1373, -0.1433, -0.128, -0.1146, -0.1411, -0.1014, -0.0556, -0.0642, -0.0744, -0.0666, -0.0561, -0.0367, -0.0184, -0.0249, -0.0097, 0.0, 0.0406, 0.0561, 0.071, 0.0509, 0.0061, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0179, 0.0176, -0.0336, -0.0537, -0.0627, -0.0613, -0.1046, -0.0973, -0.0805, -0.1303, -0.1192, -0.0892, -0.0776, -0.065, -0.0765, -0.0741, -0.0524, -0.0176, -0.0205, -0.0508, -0.0255, -0.0406, -0.1088, -0.1279, -0.1426, -0.1085, -0.0902, -0.0917, -0.081, -0.0361, -0.0348, -0.0186, -0.0482, -0.0488, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.071, -0.0802, -0.0732, -0.0844, -0.0474, -0.0446, -0.0357, -0.0514, -0.0795, -0.0707, -0.0857, -0.0725, -0.099, -0.0816, -0.1154, -0.1282, -0.1385, -0.1583, -0.1583, -0.1583, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2036549838892827031", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-24T21:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "FCG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reiterates long recommendations on refiner and nat gas plays VLO, PBF, COP, EOG, OXY, and FCG after recent digestion.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Refiners &amp; Nat Gas Power Higher\n\nLots of clients trading the oil &amp; gas plays, so I reviewed my long rec'd refiner plays &amp; $FCG nat gas index stocks that still look good after some needed digestion.\n\n$VLO $PBF $COP $EOG $OXY https://t.co/lXeUTMgA6j\n\n---\n\nSubscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...\n\n1. JOIN US LIVE\n2. Join our livestream\n3. Get the recording\n\nhttps://t.co/DmjqMFriSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010328672791484195, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010328672791484195, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004786867301739162, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004786867301739162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017482069579961124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017482069579961124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03534079956330516, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03534079956330516, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "ret_p1w": -0.03691364803745323, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03691364803745323, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03450813701356081, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03450813701356081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "ret_p1m": -0.05326374665536315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05326374665536315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13186982848037654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13186982848037654, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "ret_p3m": -0.15482334176299362, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15482334176299362, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29465433737810653, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29465433737810653, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13983099561511292, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05326374665536315, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13186982848037654, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13186982848037654, "price_path": [-0.2757, -0.2689, -0.261, -0.2673, -0.2673, -0.2541, -0.2717, -0.2817, -0.2911, -0.2726, -0.277, -0.2739, -0.2595, -0.2501, -0.2607, -0.2607, -0.2607, -0.2604, -0.2363, -0.2379, -0.2332, -0.2304, -0.2216, -0.2135, -0.2028, -0.1984, -0.2254, -0.2072, -0.1865, -0.2025, -0.1806, -0.1793, -0.1853, -0.1649, -0.1853, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1806, -0.1603, -0.143, -0.1358, -0.1493, -0.1527, -0.1577, -0.1515, -0.1258, -0.1033, -0.1058, -0.1067, -0.0948, -0.0898, -0.0895, -0.1124, -0.0889, -0.0804, -0.0701, -0.0695, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0313, -0.0269, -0.0329, -0.0103, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.0294, 0.0162, -0.0036, -0.0369, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0146, -0.0045, -0.0473, -0.0589, -0.0577, -0.058, -0.0891, -0.0879, -0.0706, -0.1051, -0.1004, -0.0834, -0.0636, -0.0533, -0.0624, -0.0561, -0.041, -0.0155, -0.0127, -0.0247, -0.0042, -0.013, -0.0677, -0.0819, -0.0907, -0.0699, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0552, -0.0316, -0.0215, -0.0099, -0.0335, -0.0507, -0.046, -0.046, -0.0812, -0.1004, -0.0945, -0.1033, -0.0781, -0.0737, -0.0643, -0.0627, -0.097, -0.0838, -0.1048, -0.0828, -0.1067, -0.0948, -0.1303, -0.1363, -0.1422, -0.1548, -0.1548, -0.1548, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052356717153865890", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T11:55:46+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT WILL GO BOOM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MSFT if OpenAI prevails against Musk in court.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_LeeHutchinson Indeed. But if OpenAI somehow prevails in court with Musk… $MSFT WILL GO BOOM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@SamanthaLaDuc At the risk of making that nasty cough worst - https://t.co/whfUTyft44", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_LeeHutchinson", "ret_m1d": -0.016184628092193343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016184628092193343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019260140285128236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019260140285128236, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030755121929348928, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030755121929348928, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013427757958591746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013427757958591746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021683854969759997, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021683854969759997, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00825609701116825, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825609701116825, "ret_p1w": -0.026950587923689207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026950587923689207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.049627523974465126, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049627523974465126, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02267693605077592, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02267693605077592, "ret_p1m": -0.007599218868624247, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007599218868624247, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015759626958453454, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015759626958453454, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008160408089829208, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008160408089829208, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007599218868624247, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015759626958453454, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015759626958453454, "price_path": [-0.0193, -0.0201, -0.0412, -0.0472, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.059, -0.0525, -0.053, -0.0559, -0.0863, -0.0755, -0.0479, -0.0453, -0.0666, -0.0528, -0.04, -0.037, -0.024, -0.0281, -0.027, -0.0357, -0.0378, -0.0449, -0.0599, -0.0495, -0.0508, -0.0689, -0.0755, -0.0924, -0.0898, -0.1141, -0.1182, -0.1302, -0.1521, -0.1469, -0.1203, -0.1222, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.1138, -0.1152, -0.1104, -0.1134, -0.1186, -0.0865, -0.0657, -0.0227, -0.0012, 0.0048, -0.0064, 0.0081, 0.0289, -0.0119, 0.0091, 0.0096, 0.0202, 0.0088, -0.0309, -0.015, -0.017, -0.0223, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0193, -0.0309, -0.037, -0.027, 0.0027, 0.0066, -0.008, 0.0007, -0.0018, -0.0031, -0.0031, -0.0091, -0.0171, 0.017, 0.0724, 0.0968, 0.0511, 0.0178, 0.0195, -0.0076, -0.0193, -0.0392, -0.0536, -0.0703, -0.0694, -0.0479, -0.062, -0.0975, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.0964, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2066490497208660204", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-15T11:58:22+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold is bouncing right on cue as highlighted in advance to clients once it reached my short target! Strong $4200 technical support ✅ Oversold from an options positioning & skew perspective ✅", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Covered short at $4200 technical support; gold now bouncing long on oversold options positioning and macro regime change.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And gold is bouncing right on cue as highlighted in advance to clients once it reached my short target!\n\n1. Strong $4200 technical support ✅\n\n2. Oversold from an options positioning & skew perspective ✅\n\n3. Macro regime change on use of funds in trade settlement ✅\n\n“This doesn't mean the structural case for gold is broken. The dollar standard is still ending. Surplus countries still need an alternative to Treasuries and gold is still the most obvious destination. \n\nBut it does mean gold is going to be more volatile along that structural trend than most people expect, and the volatility will correlate with global growth and surplus generation rather than with the old drivers. \n\nGold rallies when surpluses expand. Gold sells off when surpluses contract. \n\nEven if the reason for the contraction is rising geopolitical risk that, under the old model, should have sent gold to the moon.”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Gold and silver are not acting well in a period of rapidly rising geopolitical risks. We have an Iran War, Strait of Hormuz blockade, rising volatility. In the old framework, that setup should be close to ideal for gold. But once you understand what is now driving gold, this move", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025242666892409282, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025242666892409282, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007914265506993257, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007914265506993257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017328401385416026, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017328401385416026, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002723533282284807, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002723533282284807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00868509612651891, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00868509612651891, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005961562844234103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005961562844234103, "ret_p1w": -0.023780085653928862, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023780085653928862, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015611046997890066, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015611046997890066, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008169038656038796, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008169038656038796, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1215, 0.0753, 0.0424, 0.0189, 0.0191, 0.0498, 0.0103, 0.0458, 0.0455, 0.0851, 0.1041, 0.0829, 0.0829, 0.0784, 0.0889, 0.0958, 0.1043, 0.1023, 0.0979, 0.1224, 0.1107, 0.1098, 0.1245, 0.1148, 0.0833, 0.0976, 0.087, 0.0925, 0.0841, 0.064, 0.0526, 0.0684, 0.0672, 0.0458, 0.0548, 0.0868, 0.0886, 0.0939, 0.0961, 0.0917, 0.0856, 0.0773, 0.0523, 0.0552, 0.0377, 0.0526, 0.0515, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.044, 0.0301, 0.0409, 0.0519, 0.0371, 0.0388, 0.0285, 0.0371, -0.0008, 0.0018, -0.0146, -0.0554, -0.0258, -0.0252, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.02, -0.0238, -0.0238, -0.0238, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2039744783996842070", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T16:40:27+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all settled outside USD in GOLD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish gold as petrodollar displaced by petro-yuan with gold as settlement mechanism outside USD.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PetrolDollar meet PetrolYuan\n- all settled outside USD in GOLD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "They’ll hold a meeting, realize they can’t open it if the US couldn’t, &amp; then just agree to pay Iran in CNY…\n\n…and the easiest/only way to secure CNY is by buying physical gold in USD and selling that gold to China in CNY.\n\nPeople selling gold today are likely to be sorry.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019585020354409233, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019585020354409233, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020484669787840915, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020484669787840915, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996494334316818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.019794601726811134, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019794601726811134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016922142501418103, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016922142501418103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671674422822924, "ret_p1m": -0.014508304262120464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014508304262120464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11334489948556226, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11334489948556226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659522344179, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014508304262120464, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11334489948556226, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11334489948556226, "price_path": [-0.0481, -0.0378, -0.047, -0.0417, -0.0348, -0.0167, -0.0181, -0.0081, -0.0142, -0.0189, -0.0189, 0.0182, 0.033, 0.0521, 0.0666, 0.0822, 0.1087, 0.1517, 0.1548, 0.0362, -0.0053, 0.0579, 0.0572, 0.029, 0.0607, 0.0876, 0.0768, 0.089, 0.0512, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0438, 0.0672, 0.0702, 0.0913, 0.1208, 0.1053, 0.1025, 0.1119, 0.1265, 0.1411, 0.0902, 0.0987, 0.0855, 0.1027, 0.1004, 0.1128, 0.1091, 0.0873, 0.0732, 0.0722, 0.0695, 0.0357, -0.007, -0.0373, -0.0591, -0.0589, -0.0306, -0.067, -0.0343, -0.0345, 0.002, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0041, 0.0056, 0.0119, 0.0198, 0.018, 0.0139, 0.0365, 0.0257, 0.0248, 0.0385, 0.0295, 0.0004, 0.0136, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0011, -0.0175, -0.0279, -0.0134, -0.0145, -0.0342, -0.0259, 0.0036, 0.0053, 0.0102, 0.0122, 0.0082, 0.0025, -0.0051, -0.0282, -0.0256, -0.0417, -0.028, -0.0289, -0.0363, -0.0363, -0.0359, -0.0487, -0.0388, -0.0286, -0.0423, -0.0407, -0.0502, -0.0422, -0.0772, -0.0748, -0.09, -0.1277, -0.1003, -0.0998, -0.0765, -0.074, -0.095, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.0985, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}