I also bought stock at $224 ytday for first time since selling at ~450 and ~350. Approx ~30% of what I had before. I think the odds of holding ~215-220 are better than options market implying.

Summary: Bought TSLA stock and selling puts into earnings; expects 215-220 support to hold, poor EPS largely priced in, with upcoming catalysts.

I'm selling puts into $TSLA earnings w/ some downside protection (May long puts). I think the odds of holding ~215-220 are better than options market implying. Collecting premium here has a solid risk/reward setup with extremely high IV (highest I've seen for past 6+ earnings). Option flow is extremely aligned past few days with put selling holding 200-215 assignment levels. Yesterday we also had the largest darkpool $TSLA print of the year at 1.2b at $227 (shown below).

I also bought stock at $224 ytday for first time since selling at ~450 and ~350. Approx ~30% of what I had before.

Good chance poor EPS print is mostly expected (I'm at 0.35 EPS) and all eyes on China/US tension + upcoming Cybercab/optimus ramp. I also expect Elon to announce some investor relief comments by returning back to $TSLA within ~30 days. New model (to expand TAM) rather than nerfed Model Y would be very nice to hear as well although I'm expecting the latter.

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Called it https://t.co/JNsKI59dRD


Summary: Bearish TSLA: failure to reclaim ~450 on a full candle likely leads to price discovery below 430.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

$TSLA didn't hit $515 but hit the lower end of my range (500-515) and sold off as I suggested. I exited all my calls for ~2x gains.

Respect for the crossing multi-decade fib channels remains strong. If price cannot overcome ~450 with a full candle print, further price discovery below 430 will very likely happen.

https://t.co/CKNzhBkEsH


Summary: Long NVDA calls from $181; expects outperformance vs SPY over ~3 months, with support at 0.25/0.22 ratio levels as add zones.

$NVDA / $SPY suggests $NVDA can move ±20% relative to $SPY in the next ~3 months. I'm leaning outperformance - went long w/ calls at $181 last Friday (+9% in 2 days already).

Downside suggests ~0.25 and 0.22 are strong support areas where I'd look at adding stock/LEAPs ex-fundamental breakdowns


Summary: Endorses Palantir reaching $1T market cap (~$420/share); bullish on premium valuation for exquisite growth.

@brewmarkets @DivesTech It is. Gotta pay a premium for exquisite growth. $420 is $1T

Dan Ives (@DivesTech) says Palantir is going to a $1 trillion market cap.

Full interview: https://t.co/rE8dvx4rGP https://t.co/KHNLUXcFgC


Summary: Short QQQ entered at 497-502; multi-year double fib channel confluence at ~500 as key technical resistance.

@freshjiva I also recently entered short QQQ at 497-502. The 1.6 fib ext is one technical among many others but nothing compares to the multi year double fib channel conveniently crossing at 500ish.

today i initiated a 2x short Nasdaq position via $qid. just 5% of my money, which I’ll triple if it turns out to be the right move.

equity risk premiums are at 22-yr lows just as cyclical unemployment has crossed a key threshold from which there is no return.

nasdaq reached the https://t.co/bqpaCNEExM


Summary: Long PTON into earnings on inverse H&S setup; targets $9 neckline re-test, $10 cloud breach, then $14-17 if pattern fulfills.

Almost 3 years ago to the month, $PTON broke an inverse h/s setup and rallied ~30% in 2 days.

Today, it's showing signs of doing the same. This is not a high conviction name although the risk/reward setup is skewed in favor into earnings later today.

$PTON has been the target of M&A talks for years, and a profitability/cost cutting inflection point is at hand.

I expect movement to re-test the neckline at ~$9 and a potential breach to the upper 2w cloud at $10 before a rally to ~$14-17 if the pattern fulfills.


Summary: Bullish TSLA: targets 500-525 base case and ~610 moonshot (~$2T mkt cap) on fib extension analogous to Apr 2023 85% rally, with resistance at 415-430.

As I predicted 2+ weeks ago, $TSLA hit 347-365 resistance and sold off into CPI (rate cut confirmation) to retest the breakout. Everyone sees the obvious 4-month pennant breakout, but no one is posting the key fib channels (you can see 397 Friday close to the penny).

Normally I don't post my advanced insight charts, but I'll post this one which offers a clear picture into $TSLA previous highs and lows since 2023.

I'm seeing a similar extension as Apr 2023 where price rallied about 85% in a few months to ~500-525 with moonshot priced at ~610 (~2T market cap). However, there's a major resistance area around 415-430 (technicals not shown on this chart) that can end the rally.

---

https://t.co/X2lsCq9DDc


Summary: Both RGTI and QBTS in bearish H&S patterns pointing to further downside; quantum stocks in an AI-FOMO bubble.

$RGTI and $QBTS both printed bearish head and shoulder patterns which suggest even further downside. However, I think a minor short-term relief is possible before further bloodshed. Quantum is in an obvious bubble and fueled by AI FOMO. https://t.co/rCuybOrkVs


Summary: Long TSLA; current ~$1T valuation fair, upside to $2T on FSD milestones; massive TAM offsets overvaluation concern.

I’ve been a $TSLA investor from 2015-22 and on and off since. He’s not wrong. The narrative has conveniently changed many times.

However, the TAM upside is still massive and trying to assign a fair value based on current fundamentals is pointless since the company is essentially multiple pre revenue startups being funded by a legacy business. To that end, I think 1T is ballpark fair atm and 2T once they reach FSD milestones.

Short seller Michael Burry says $TSLA is "ridiculously overvalued."

https://t.co/A0crKPHX09 https://t.co/E8yWBk6q7w


Summary: Raised near-term TSLA targets to $450-460 by Christmas and $500 by Jan 2 on strong close.

Worth noting, with today's strong close, odds of $450-460 by xmas and $500 by Jan 2 have gone up considerably. Let's see how price action behaves around 420-430.

$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. I expect this range to be strong resistance for at least a few weeks depending on the Q4 delivery print Jan 3.

My PT for 2025 is $607. Not financial advice.


Summary: Bullish TSLA: disagrees EVs policy hurts Tesla most; EV transition inevitable makes this net positive for Tesla.

@ElectrekCo @fredlambert Disagree. Net negative for EVs but Tesla will suffer the least. EV transition inevitable so this is a net positive for Tesla. The real threat to Tesla from an EV standpoint is and will remain China.

Elon Musk supports new VP candidate that would crush Tesla's sales in the US https://t.co/9qxlPKnMPs by @fredlambert


Summary: Buying NVDA dip with hedges removed, targeting ~$95 before earnings.

Should add that I still see a decent chance of ~$95 before $NVDA earnings, buying the dip with my hedges removed (profited from this downswing w/ those hedges as I outlined above)

Closed remaining Sep 20 $TSLA puts for gains. Can see a vicious upside squeeze in next week or two if things align (lots of macro events + big tech earnings). Long $NVDA


Summary: Entered light TSLA long calls at $437 spot; upside targets $488/$500/$523, but watching $414 support for potential drop to $350-$370.

$TSLA has failed to print a daily candle above $465 (moving target) key multi-decade fib channel that has called every single top and bottom for the past 5+ years.

Doesn't mean it can't go higher with today's SH vote, but every day failing to breach it increases the odds of further downside. There are many gaps to fill (near term 397/369/339).

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I entered a light (<1%) position into TSLA long calls at 437 spot just now. It bounced off my fib channel. Upside targets 1/2/3 are 488/500/523

If price cannot hold ~414 it's going to gap fill 396-400 fast. I would expect a rebound there before further downside to ~350-370 within 2-3 weeks following.


Can't regain 2d cloud + fundamentals aren't good w/ extreme cash burn. Golden retrace on watch otherwise it'll go fill those gaps in the 500s

Summary: Bearish META: can't regain key technical level, poor fundamentals with extreme cash burn, downside gap-fill target in the 500s.

industry='Internet Content & Information'

@SixSigmaCapital Can’t regain 2d cloud + fundamentals aren’t good w/ extreme cash burn. Golden retrace on watch otherwise it’ll go fill those gaps in the 500s

Been buying $META sub 620...How cooked am I out of 10?

(Actually feel like this time decent chance I am cooked and we see mid 500's..) https://t.co/a5y6Gu8GsN


went short since $360. I see $220-225 as a potential near term bottom. I originally targeted $185-200.

Summary: Short TSLA from $360; targets $220-225 near-term bottom, originally $185-200; PT of $607 pushed to 2026-27 implying rough stretch ahead.

Friendly reminder that almost every single $TSLA ‘trader’ on X (especially those with discords) got this move extremely wrong. Any that are actually good wouldn’t need a discord to capitalize on their skill set. A broken clock is right twice a day.

Before anyone questions me, I moved my entire portfolio into $TSLA calls/stock 225-277. Isold 100% of my shares/calls at ~$450 (doing about 14x), re-entered 1/3 hedged in the 390s post Q1 earnings and closed those with less than a -15% loss of that 1/3, then went short since $360.

I would have posted but my short $TSLA plays generate nothing but negative feedback and aren’t worth the burden. The purpose of this post is to highlight how misleading many posts on X can be.

I see $220-225 as a potential near term bottom. I originally targeted $185-200. A sharp relief rally is warranted around these prices ($225).

2025 PT of $607 moved to 2026-27. Expecting a rough bumpy year or two for the market overall. Obviously solving autonomy accelerates this timeline.

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Well this post aged well too


the h/s suggests $328 or $310 but I wouldn't be surprised to see $295-300. If I had to target a bottom, $147 triple gap re-fill looks like a strong candidate for 2025. If not, $176-185 or $200-213.

Summary: Bearish TSLA: H&S pattern targets $295-310; longer-term bottom candidates at $147, $176-185, or $200-213 in 2025.

Seeing lots of fear among $TSLA traders/investors blaming BYD/DOGE/Elon etc. and while those might have a minor role to play, they are not the main reason.

$TSLA moved almost 100% since election night and is now retracing into a head/shoulders pattern after attempting a high tight flag and bullish pennant. When bullish patterns fail, the opposite effect is often amplified. This is why you're seeing massive downward pressure. The h/s suggests $328 or $310 but I wouldn't be surprised to see $295-300.

Technicals matter. Look at $NVDA - the Wyckoff distribution (which I called before anyone back in December) amplified the Deepseek news.

Let's see how CPI comes in tomorrow.

---

Well this aged well. If I had to target a bottom, $147 triple gap re-fill looks like a strong candidate for 2025. If not, $176-185 or $200-213.


Summary: Holds Sep 20 puts on TSLA, targeting ~$225 downside despite possible rally to ~$288 if earnings surprise.

Rob was the best. Losing him and several key brass (Zach, Drew, Karpathy etc.) within a few quarters of each other was a lot to digest.

I closed all my weekly calls between 225-265 and added more Sep 20 puts. The trade is going very well. However, that said, tough to predict movement for the next 30 days due to earnings season (esp w/ robotaxi pushed). If I had to pick: $225. Tesla can still rally to ~288 if earnings go well though.

@mrwgreig @dannyle1022 I miss Rob, curious what your target is for this move down setting up potentially here


Summary: TSLA targeting 292–325 by mid-May contingent on breaching ~275 and no macro disruption.

@redmercy Seeing ~292-325 by mid May if macro news doesn't derail

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@redmercy I should add that I want to see TSLA breach ~275 (daily cloud + several key fib levels) to greatly increase those chances


Summary: TSLA likely stays below $430 for another week with possible breakdown from rising wedge on 4h; hedged with puts.

As the week passes, many $TSLA "traders" kept pumping that it was going to keep rallying. Saw very few, if any, highlight the ~430 resistance wall. The reasoning? Very few can chart advanced technicals (like I posted several times prior) and simply use amateur trendlines to justify core/root cause technical movement (such as fib channels).

Price has remained below $430 as I suggested. I can see this for another week w/ a possible price break down (rising wedge forming on 4h). I am holding 1/3 of my Oct ITM calls (which did 5x) and hedged with 1:1 higher strike puts.

Sensitivity is high, any positive unexpected news headlines will send the stock higher. I still see ~475 or ~525 during this rally. Each yellow arrow is a potential pivot/top (spectrum of possibilities).

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https://t.co/WZHne0bKPX


Summary: Bullish TSLA: selloff is overreaction; net positive as only profitable US EV maker, BYD blocked by tariffs.

$TSLA selling off on this news is hysterical. This is a net positive for Tesla as they are the only profitable EV maker ex-BYD (who is unlikely to sell cars in the US due to tariffs).

I assigned 100% chance this would happen since Elon himself wanted it. Not sure how the market assigned any lower probability and is now digesting the news.


Summary: Long TSLA to 400 by Dec 20 based on author's own chart analysis.

@EliteOptions2 Yep. 400 lining up by Dec 20 on my charts

TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 📈

$SPX consolidation day after failing to get through 6100. I'd wait for 6100+ for calls tomorrow- 6110C can work OR if SPX backtests 6071 and holds, calls can also work

$TSLA setting up for a run to 400+ this month. IF TSLA can gap through 372 we


Summary: TSLA targets ~488 ATH retest then ~525 (PT2) contingent on holding ~465; downside support at 414.

Key $TSLA multi-decade fib channel (that's called every single annual top within 0.5% since 2020) suggests PT 1 at ~488 ATH retest *if* price can hold above ~465 (moving target) with a daily candle print. After that, ~525 remains PT 2. These targets line up with the Nov 6 shareholder vote. To the downside, key prior ATH support at 414 w/ fib overlap will continue to be critical.


Summary: CRWV targets $42-50 downside if NVDA earnings fail to refuel AI trade; NVDA earnings are the key catalyst.

$CRWV can go down to ~42-50 if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade.

I exited calls around $135 before the bullish channel structure broke and Wyckoff confirmation down.

This downward pressure was visible miles away. https://t.co/vD51xpFwZK


if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade


Summary: QQQ finds support around $585 after market correction/overextension.

Been saying for weeks the market can correct - and it should. Still don't think there's an AI 'bubble' but there is market over extension and too much easy money being made.

$QQQ can find support around $585 https://t.co/r6GijXxxN9


Summary: Significantly long ONON via stock and LEAPs; ONON taking share from NKE/LULU with Rule-of-40 score of 49-57, no comparable public consumer brand above $10B cap.

$ONON (20%+ today) is executing like a SaaS tech name in sneakers.

At ~$11b market cap prior to today, lots of attention was given to $LULU and it's justified sell off due to reduced growth and profitability. As a byproduct, $ONON sell off was exacerbated. Today's earnings confirmed this.

Their shoe line is flat out dominating. Beyond taking market-share from $NKE $LULU etc., the company is fast growing its DTC and apparel line (which IMO is better than Vuori, $LULU and Alo).

We can take a SaaS-lens and apply the Rule of 40. *No* other public consumer brand above $10b market cap has a score above 40. $ONON is 49-57 depending on how you look at it.

I have significant allocation to the stock and LEAPs.


Summary: Long TSLA: EV credit phase-out + new Model Y drive record 2025 deliveries; 10%+ growth projection increasingly credible.

@SawyerMerritt We know the EV tax credits will be tapered out - next few Q's have a demand tailwind due to this. Factor in new Model Y, you have yourself a record delivery vol for 2025 and Musk's 10%+ growth projection looks more realistic

Dan Ives on Trump winning: “It’s a dream scenario for any Tesla bull. We could now be talking about a $1.5 trillion market cap for Tesla; He will fast track autonomous regulation. Musk will have a big voice in a Trump administration; Tesla is the most undervalued AI name on the https://t.co/AcMbEWSRf0


Summary: TSLA rectangle + bull flag breakout signals continued upside.

@TrendSpider This is a rectangle + bull flag break out

$TSLA bulls secured the close above the breakout level. ✅ https://t.co/BAmZSaf4Xa


Summary: Technical setup on CRWV points to retest of ~$78; if that fails, next support at ~$65.

Key $CRWV fib IPO fib chan (that called both tops at 185 and $150 and the Sept low at $86) is suggesting a retest at ~78. If this fails to hold, ~65 is the next support target. Will continue to monitor how price handles $92 key 0.618 fib level.

Yesterday, saw an overwhelming amount of bullish posts on $CRWV to rally post-earnings from 'traders' who lack fundamental understandings. Technical analysis is in the back seat during earnings.


Summary: Pattern-based target of ~109-110 near-term and $120-125 for NVDA next week.

If this pattern holds (which it has for over a 1.5 months) then ~109-110 is the target for $NVDA and $120-125 for next week

Uncanny forecasting update https://t.co/hxPNOvgjYV


Summary: Trimmed TSLA (bearish EOY $400 odds), rotated into NVDA; next NVDA add target ~$126.

Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.

Remaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.

I said last week that this week's trading range is 330-365 this week. $TSLA did 330-361.50 🎯 https://t.co/izhtHrmCyn


Re-entered my QQQ puts (-30% less than what I sold for) and plan to buy more around 487 if we form a head/shoulders setup

Summary: Re-entered QQQ puts with plan to add more near 487 on a potential head/shoulders formation.

Closing $QQQ puts (pt hit at 478 fib chan + 4h ichi cloud)


Summary: Still long TSLA via stock/LEAPs (>50% portfolio); expects $420 by Thurs/Fri but resistance above 420-430 through EOY.

$400 and $407 targets hit today. Closed my Dec 20 350c's (grabbed Nov 29 at 340 spot) for ~4x ROI. 15 for 15 for large TSLA trades in 2024 🎯

I'm still long $TSLA (over 50% portfolio) with stock/LEAPs but hedged with short term covered calls for ~425 breakeven. I think $TSLA hits by $420 Thurs/Fri this week and has a tough time remaining above 420-430 until EOY.

Of course CPI tmr can ruin those plans but I think it's unlikely to derail.

---

This aged well


Summary: Bullish TSLA: auto gross margin ex-regulatory credits and FY2024/25 guidance came in substantially above street estimates.

@TrendSpider If this is what you interpret from the earnings call you are hopeless. Auto GM% ex-RC + guidance was substantially above street estimates for FY 2024/25

Ya gotta love it.  $TSLA https://t.co/n1kLl6NniO


Summary: Disagrees with bounce thesis; 15yr fib and cloud resistance capping MSFT at ~$515, poor risk/reward.

@great_martis Yes but missing lots of context. 15+ year fib chan on log suggests otherwise. $515 (5% upside) upper 2d cloud supp flipped into resistance suggests mediocre risk/reward https://t.co/yQf9PSAlFt

Microsoft

High probability of a bounce. https://t.co/XNnixIzGXu


Summary: Bearish TSLA: $415 must hold or Wyckoff distribution targets $350-360; downside outweighs upside.

All the ‘traders’ on X suggesting $TSLA going to $500 by now and referencing the bullish flow got faked out as I suggested. Option flow cannot always be taken at face value. I have opened 6 figure positions and seen the flow mislabel my position many times.

Those millions in Nov 21 500cs and Dec 21 500cs have been bled dry, down -95% and -65% respectively. Screenshots show their value and OI.

I haven’t missed a single 20% $TSLA move since 2023 (up or down) and I suggested this move was likely done several times in the past few weeks. The downside risk outweighs the upside.

$415 needs to hold otherwise Wyckoff distribution final phase will unfold and suggests $350-360.


Summary: Model Y Juniper Q4 China launch will close the delivery gap vs last year.

@TroyTeslike @TraderStevee I think model Y juniper release in q4 China will be the gap filler

@TraderStevee Tesla needs 514,925 deliveries this quarter to match last year’s total. Even if they sell out all U.S. production and inventory, that still wouldn’t be enough. They would also need much higher sales in China compared to Q3, but right now, China is trending below Q3. Plus, U.S.


Summary: Rotated into NVDA; bullish into Jan 6 Jensen keynote as near-term catalyst.

@EliteOptions2 Rotated massive $TSLA gains back into $NVDA over past few days as well. Jan 6 Jensen keynote - mark it down.

$NVDA is one of the few stocks that has yet to participate in the market rally the past 2 months. NVDA has been in a 6 month consolidation is getting ready for a breakout higher.
This may be the best trade if you want to grow your account  👇

Trigger: NVDA above 136 ✅
Trade


Summary: Long TSLA; buy dips to $300-305, floor at $271 for 6+ months, uptrend still very strong.

I should point out that the chart on the left had a target of $311 (hit Friday) and on the right target is $325 (yellow arrow) which was also hit Friday and showed resistance.

Uptrend is still very strong. Buy dips down to $300-305. Doubt $TSLA trades below $271 for next 6+ months (or ever).

Quick recap on my positions in the last 3 months:

- Closed my $PLTR (entered $8 and $16) at $28 - yes I know I missed significant upside; price target was $30
- Closed $PTON (entered $3 closed at $5) - same upside miss; price target was $6
- Closed $NVDA from $70 to 135 exact top, re-entered $102 and $118 and sold again at $134
- Closed $ONON (entered $27 and $36 closed at $49)
- Closed $TSLA puts (shorts entered $260-265 closed at $213-235)
- Moved 80% allocation from $NVDA $PLTR $PTON $ONON into $TSLA at $242 and $277. I have about 60% allocated into $TSLA stock/long calls/short puts (cash secured puts) and plan to increase up to 80% but I want powder for $NVDA earnings. Targets $310, $325 short term; $400 2-6 months.

These are all my large moves since July. Zero misses. Goal is to open/close within 5% of targets.

I stopped sharing my charts since I get requests for expanded commentary (I ignore most don't take it personally), but here's 2 that I think are important. Fib chan/bull flag ext on left; anchored vwap/parallel channels on right.

Fundamentals are strongest I've seen since 2021.


Summary: Diamond bottom pattern on CRWV targets ~$108 into upper daily cloud.

Almost 2 months ago I posted this suggesting $CRWV will go further to ~65 and ~49. It found a double bottom at 65 and now formed a diamond bottom suggesting ~$108 into upper daily cloud.

https://t.co/oYOdCHJE0R https://t.co/r5dd7Ib8Vu


Summary: Long DRAM ETF as best memory exposure; supplement with extra SNDK weighting given low ETF allocation; memory is no longer boom-bust.

By far best way to get exposure to the memory trade.

This isn’t a boom and bust cycle anymore.

Mix in some extra $SNDK (since the ETF only has 5%) and you’re golden.

History was made today. The Roundhill Memory ETF $DRAM has surpassed $10 billion in AUM faster than any ETF ever launched. This is what the memory trade looks like. Learn more: https://t.co/EJX0CAVG1I https://t.co/fxqw83j5kP


Mix in some extra $SNDK (since the ETF only has 5%) and you're golden


Summary: Rotated from NVDA into TSLA; TSLA target 600–690 before Q2 on flag breakout; NVDA still seen with solid 2025 outlook.

Rotated my $NVDA with modest gains back into $TSLA today. Both have a solid 2025 outlook but my risk/reward targets for $TSLA around ~385 is more appealing than $NVDA.

If $TSLA can break its high tight flag in the next few weeks (likely earnings), it can run to 600 or even 690 (the pole is 276 + 414 ATH = 690) before 2Q.

Of course, the fed and earnings can derail this bullish projection.


$TSLA should be second and it's abundantly clear right after the election

Summary: TSLA should be the second-largest holding; bullish post-election reallocation case.

@garyblack00 $GOOGL as second weighting is criminal Gary. From a risk/reward and ethical POV. Look how they conveniently suppressed Trump/Rogan and messed up voting locations for Trump.

$TSLA should be second and it’s abundantly clear right after the election. Hopefully you’ve reallocated.

We’re doing just fine with our top 6 positions all up >+22% YTD:
1. $NVDA +198%
2. $GOOGL +28%
3. $LLY +43%
4. $CRM +22%
5. $NFLX +63%
6. $TSLA +29% https://t.co/HroWs5xpcw


Summary: Author holds GOOGL as second-largest position at $230 avg and AAPL as largest, validating both as live long positions.

$GOOGL is my second largest position ($230 avg) after $AAPL which is Berkshire’s largest holding. Looks like I’m doing something right.

Warren Buffett just bought Alphabet, $GOOGL, with the stock up +90% since April 7th.

The stock is up +4% after hours on the news.

Buffett is officially buying-in to the AI Revolution.

We are still early.


$AAPL which is Berkshire's largest holding. Looks like I'm doing something right


More validation for my 40% GOOGL position

Summary: Author holds a 40% GOOGL position and cites Musk's bullish comment as validation.

Elon Musk on where people should invest:

"I don't really buy stocks. I don't look for things to invest in. I just try to build things and then there happens to be stock of the company that I built, but I don't have like a portfolio or anything; Google is gonna be pretty valuable https://t.co/dGJsvvfr3L


2d cloud test looking likely if 0.5 retrace (106ish) fails to hold and h/s pattern fulfills ... confluence at ~85 post-earnings for a move down of around -20%

Summary: Short OKLO: H&S pattern fulfilling with neckline break targets ~85, a ~20% decline from current levels.

$OKLO 2d cloud test looking likely if 0.5 retrace (106ish) fails to hold and h/s pattern fulfills (looking likely after today) https://t.co/ZdG24c3AOf

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Zooming into the 2h chart we can clearly see the fib channels call the neckline for the H/S setup and confluence at ~85 post-earnings for a move down of around -20% https://t.co/aw4W2Djy2H


Summary: Holds live short QQQ / long DIA rotation trade initiated last week.

@gurgavin Gurg behind the curve as per usual. Went short $QQQ and long $DIA last week.

INTERESTING SECTOR ROTATIONS OVER THE LAST 5 DAYS https://t.co/yiPXNTB3hf


Summary: TSLA found technical support at $385 via cloud bottom + fib confluence; implies the rebound holds from here.

For those wondering why $TSLA rebounded off $385 - daily cloud bottom + multi-decade fib chan + golden fib retrace confluence. I mentioned this yesterday.

https://t.co/zASmXDRO0p https://t.co/bDOv6GaRuz


I will be closing my remaining long positions at 258-265 with a couple runners to 288

Summary: Long TSLA to 258-265 (runners to 288) then short via long-dated puts targeting 195-215 by EOY on post-print spike/chop thesis.

$TSLA rally/short squeeze has been warranted.  It can keep going. The q2 report wasn’t as bad as expected and energy storage was much higher than any lofty expectations (even though this does not mean q3 will repeat this growth due to energy storage lumpy demand).

That said, technicals will continue to drive short term price movement. 225-235 was a key area that was decisively breached, so the following are my most likely near-term (potentially 2024) highs:

258 (diamond bottom/inverse head shoulder target/cloud/fib chan)
265 (fib ext/retrace/cloud/fib chan)
288 (gap/fib ext)
300 (psych level/previous supply level)

This is the confluence of key technicals, patterns and options flow. I will be closing my remaining (sold half at 225 and 246) long positions at 258-265 with a couple runners to 288. I also have long dated 90+ day short positions as I expected a spike upwards post print and downwards chop back to 195-215 by EOY. Not financial advice.

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258 rejection was strong. 265 still on table for tmr/wednesday. Thurs is CPI https://t.co/5QxidTz38Y

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Well this aged well. Above targets remain. Also adding ~272-275 to the list.

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For anyone wondering what resistance was at 270, monthly ichi cloud https://t.co/4tnk75KFpw


I also have long dated 90+ day short positions as I expected a spike upwards post print and downwards chop back to 195-215 by EOY


Summary: Bullish TSLA to $500–600 on technical breakout after 3+ years of consolidation.

@garyblack00 Fundamentals back seat Gary. Let the technicals drive us to $500-600 after 3+ years of consolidation.

As a fundamentals-based analyst, I generally don’t look at price charts, but two I look at are TSLA’s P/E trend on a forward one-year basis, and TSLA Adj EPS est on both near-term FY’25 and longer-term FY’29 ests.   We know that $TSLA is up +51% YTD (vs NDX +28%), all of which is https://t.co/fqH4ky4jwn


Summary: Long ONON with 1-yr PT $61 (~50% upside); near-term resistance $45-50, expects climb to ~$51 by early 2026.

$ONON follow up to yesterday's 20%+ high conviction post.

Outlook suggests ~$45-50 will act as resistance for the next few weeks/months. I expect it to climb the 2w cloud back to ~$51 by early 2026.

My 1-yr PT is $61 (~50% upside). https://t.co/JDQ0x2jbI9

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https://t.co/9u1iuYsiBN


Summary: Heavy LEAP call buying in ARM over the past week signals bullish positioning.

Massive amount of $ARM leap calls being bought the past week https://t.co/Pagb5imJLW


Summary: Holds NVDA and TSLA as only two longs; targets $60-80 by 2026 on the unnamed company (NVDA corrected).

@garyblack00 My only other long position next to $TSLA after closing $PLTR this week. This company is worth $60-80 by 2026

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@garyblack00 woops I meant $NVDA not $TSLA


My only other long position next to $TSLA


Summary: Expects a relief rally in TSLA; 213-225 was buy zone #1 though could go lower first.

@Honeystocks1 @elonmusk 213-225 was buy zone candidate #1 but it can definitely go lower still. I except a relief rally

$TSLA is probably getting ready to rally to the upside amidst a sea of negativity.

- terrorist attacks
- media attacks
- department of government efficiency
- crazy lunatics

@elonmusk is telling employees not to sell their stock and the chart tells us it's probably good advice. https://t.co/Xgqp8LOVOC


Summary: Bullish TSLA; dismisses 136x forward P/E concern as irrelevant given multi-year breakout and incoming growth wave.

@SpecialSitsNews $TSLA PE was over 1000 pre 2021. Using forward PE during multi year breakout and right before next growth wave is not smart.

$TSLA forward P/E now 136x but still cheaper than $PLTR

This market has become a clown show


Summary: Relative pair: more downside in TSLA vs NVDA over next ~6 months; NVDA better positioned on the upside.

@redmercy The rising wedge break will provide short term downside but I see more downside to $TSLA than $NVDA and more upside inversely next ~6 months.

@mrwgreig The lower low on NVDA today not concerning? I Think it sees a bounce to 145 soon but that could just be to set a lower high. First break of structure we've seen since september


Summary: Bearish TSLA; doubts it breaches $315 over the next 12 months, dismissing the new-ATH call.

@SimonHale007 All time highs without a time frame is meaningless. Highly doubt it even breaches 315 next 12 months.

Rich Ross is the best technical analysts on Wall Street. Been following him for some time. When his technicals and our fundamentals lign up, watch out.
This should not be ignored. Please pay attention when he says $TSLA is going to new all time highs. https://t.co/aDgN9rFZHA


Summary: Bearish NVDA: rising wedge on log chart points to $96 gap fill in coming weeks.

@TheChartress There's a rising wedge on the log charts that also coincides with $96 gap in the next few weeks

Nvidia's chart still points to sub-$100 $NVDA https://t.co/xMfUijnlgp


Summary: Avoid ABNB on poor risk/reward; reallocate into NVDA, TSLA, PLTR instead.

@Gfilche Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint when you could simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc https://t.co/n860WUpcym

$ABNB just popped 11% after hours .. 🤯 bro what!?!?!? https://t.co/1ZorAZhe7q


simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc


Summary: Holding AAPL and GOOGL at 70%+ allocation; added TSLA calls at $438 into shareholder meeting with lighter sizing due to less compelling risk/reward.

Been hitting every single position for months. Feels like I'm playing whack-a-mole with 100% success.

Currently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning) and was long $FIG $MDB until recently.

Today I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting but risk/reward setup isn't as appealing as it was during the past 2x 25%+ run ups this year. As result, I'm not as heavily allocated - risk management is always paramount.

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Before anyone points out $FIG being down, I bought the stock yesterday at $44 into earnings and wrote 100% covered calls at 45c strike for 3.30 for a nice 1-day 5% hedged gain.


Today I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting


Summary: Conditional TSLA long to $600-690 by March if earnings reaction is positive and volume flows in; bearish scenario to $300-330 on sell-off.

$TSLA rare high tight flag (HTF) is intact going into earnings tmrw (as predicted weeks ago). $TSLA has only ever printed one HTF in its history back in Aug 2020 (second screenshot). Key HTF characteristics are 90-130% move on weekly chart in a quick time frame, doesn't retrace more than -25% from top of flag and consolidates with decreasing vol for ~3-5 weeks.

If $TSLA responds favorably to earnings, and increased volume flows in, we can see $600-690 by March.

Big if, otherwise any earnings sell off can see ~300-330 really fast.


Summary: Bullish Xiaomi stock on strong product momentum with the SU7 Ultra launch.

@SawyerMerritt Yep they're crushing it. And their stock is crushing it too. https://t.co/tFudnJFPCv

NEWS: Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi has launched their new flagship SU7 Ultra EV, and it's quicker than a Model S Plaid.

• Starting price: $72,990 USD (RMB 529,900)
• 1,526 hp
• 0-60 mph: 1.98s
• Top speed: 201 mph (with proper equipment)
• 93.7kWh CATL’s Qilin 2 battery https://t.co/CmlGqoGZNq


Summary: Targets $310-325 for TSLA within 14 days despite possible short-term rejection at $300.

Here's another $TSLA chart showing a simple trendline from Jan 2024's upper wedge extending to today's $300 touch which conveniently overlaps with the 1.0 fib extension - both shown.

$310-325 still my <14 day targets but I can see some further rejection tomorrow at $300 https://t.co/Euvt4N9b6f


Summary: Long TSLA to $310 by Nov 15 on bull flag + Trump win catalyst.

@EmmetPeppers $TSLA is the real trump trade. Bull flag + Trump win = $310 by Nov 15

Trump and Elon are besties now.

Trump win = major confidence boost for investing in al Elon companies (less lawfare and less risk of regulatory hurdles to stop/slow his companies down)
$TSLA


$TSLA potentially printed it's 6th bearish bat (in yellow) which suggests ~350 ... the bear bat is undefeated since 2022 ... price suggests ~350 by early November

Summary: Bearish TSLA to ~$350 by early November based on 6th bearish bat harmonic pattern, which has fulfilled all 5 prior instances since 2022.

I don't normally post harmonics since they're esoteric but this is an eerie repeat of 2023. Since 2022, every single bear bat harmonic (there's been 5) has fulfilled and retraced to the 0.618 fib retracement. $TSLA potentially printed it's 6th bearish bat (in yellow) which suggests ~350.

Timeline uncertain, may take weeks or months, but the bear bat is undefeated since 2022. If we overlay a repeat of 2023, price suggests ~350 by early November.

Over 2 weeks ago I posted the extension of this rally reminded me of 2023 (white ovals). Post below.

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https://t.co/WZHne0ciFv


Summary: Disagrees with bullish UBER thesis; bearish on UBER, references smart money selling.

@QualityInvest5 Go long. Buy leaps. Leverage yourself if you’re so confident.

Smart money seems to disagree. As do I. Listen to @altcap recent pod on him selling all their $UBER

This is a joke of a valuation for $UBER

- 19x P/FCF
- 30-40% Future FCF Growth
- Wide moat driven from MASSIVE NETWORK EFFECTS, Scale and Brand

This remains the most obvious large cap long in the market. Once robo-taxi turns out to be a nothing burger … 📈 👀 https://t.co/tm6VBn68dO


Summary: Long NVDA calls into MAG7 earnings week on option flow + capex beat thesis; targets $190/$195/$200-203.

Been selling cash covered puts on $NVDA the past few weeks - but today I'm going long with calls: seeing massive option flow and technical upside pointing into MAG7 earnings week where capex spend will likely exceed/meet the street's guidance floor.

Target 1 is 190, but I see 200-203 with a solid risk/reward setup

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$190 PT1 hit overnight. $195 and $200-203 next 2 targets for the week. Unexpected capex bullish sentiment can send the stock higher than 5T market cap ($203) https://t.co/ryEZBKqRBS

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Profit target #1 hit - sold 1/3 of my calls for ~2x