{"unit_id": "reply:1726434620995166592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-20T02:57:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see $255-265 H/S target before resistance rejection. This time we don't have that momentum unless NVDA earnings repeat this week which I doubt.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: head-and-shoulders target $255-265 then rejection; lacks AI/NVDA momentum catalyst of prior rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SimpleSwings I can see $255-265 H/S target before resistance rejection. Last time the breakout rally had fuel from AI + NVDA blowout. This time we don\u2019t have that momentum unless NVDA earnings repeat this week which I doubt.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA - You guys notice anything?\u270d\ufe0f https://t.co/rO37eGEyB7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SimpleSwings", "ret_m1d": -0.005517839635312383, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005517839635312383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021209024521382513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00039878572422979985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007638742087450634, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005119053911082583, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023769060694616817, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023769060694616817, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02594836029407699, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02632854128779538, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0021792995994601716, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025594805931785647, "ret_p1w": 0.0020373332559600055, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020373332559600055, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015529982497255457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0009982888017685543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0004843350062344598, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030356220577285598, "ret_p1m": 0.09176568148172426, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09176568148172426, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04222308973496469, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01001260927976233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04954259174675957, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08175307220196193, "ret_p3m": -0.1491935833814434, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1491935833814434, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2587903197342233, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22307543909991623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10959673635277989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07388185571847283, "ret_p6m": -0.24639219672283186, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24639219672283186, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4066401307789712, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31418685967309157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16024793405613935, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06779466295025971, "price_path": [0.0053, -0.0236, 0.0127, 0.0137, 0.0916, 0.0904, 0.0954, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0887, 0.0693, 0.0674, 0.0548, 0.1612, 0.1353, 0.1515, 0.1716, 0.1646, 0.126, 0.1312, 0.1146, 0.0853, 0.0394, 0.0483, 0.0362, 0.0208, 0.0458, 0.0621, 0.0679, 0.0464, 0.1085, 0.1038, 0.1058, 0.1022, 0.1189, 0.1163, 0.0988, 0.0659, 0.0778, 0.0817, 0.0301, -0.0657, -0.1002, -0.0998, -0.081, -0.0984, -0.1267, -0.1201, -0.1623, -0.1475, -0.1271, -0.0725, -0.0664, -0.0693, -0.057, -0.0573, -0.1087, -0.0889, -0.0505, 0.0077, 0.0307, -0.0085, -0.0055, 0.0, 0.0238, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0006, 0.002, 0.0472, 0.0362, 0.019, 0.0137, -0.0001, 0.0132, 0.016, 0.0299, 0.035, 0.0176, 0.006, 0.0157, 0.0656, 0.076, 0.0699, 0.0918, 0.049, 0.0802, 0.0719, 0.0719, 0.0892, 0.1097, 0.0746, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.0544, 0.0121, 0.0099, 0.008, 0.0206, -0.0027, -0.007, -0.0356, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.0666, -0.0851, -0.1007, -0.0994, -0.1138, -0.1123, -0.1179, -0.2248, -0.2222, -0.1896, -0.1868, -0.2051, -0.1984, -0.2024, -0.2315, -0.2143, -0.2038, -0.1954, -0.1784, -0.2015, -0.2189, -0.199, -0.1492, -0.1513, -0.1513, -0.1776, -0.1733, -0.1621, -0.1852, -0.1537, -0.1522, -0.1424, -0.1431, -0.1399, -0.2014, -0.2329, -0.2507, -0.2417, -0.2558, -0.2455, -0.2464, -0.2806, -0.3103, -0.3057, -0.2623, -0.2728, -0.2544, -0.2665, -0.2749, -0.2673, -0.2459, -0.2367, -0.2539, -0.2539, -0.2563, -0.2927, -0.2853, -0.2737, -0.3001, -0.2658, -0.2492, -0.271, -0.2589, -0.274, -0.3146, -0.3331, -0.3402, -0.3636, -0.3758, -0.3971, -0.3859, -0.3118, -0.2777, -0.2857, -0.1764, -0.2221, -0.236, -0.236, -0.2309, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2584, -0.2701, -0.2849, -0.2704, -0.2464]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1754943318742728722", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T19:01:07+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT diamond top + macd crossover too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "MSFT showing diamond top + MACD crossover \u2014 bearish technical setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives Looks like a broad top candidate. $MSFT diamond top + macd crossover too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today is an INTERIM top on $SMCI and $NVDA.\n\nNotice I didn\u2019t say THE top. Just interim.\n\nDon\u2019t cancel me.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.00039474126378880037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00039474126378880037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003289705878948279, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003289705878948279, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02111025641379749, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02111025641379749, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012769863674918502, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012769863674918502, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "ret_p1w": 0.002046977049152243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002046977049152243, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001844732618412337, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001844732618412337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "ret_p1m": -0.006551093790063911, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006551093790063911, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03847543431356981, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03847543431356981, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "ret_p3m": 0.004739887373297336, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.004739887373297336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03351789048347675, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03351789048347675, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "ret_p6m": 0.03548704780642775, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03548704780642775, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08663094525086246, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08663094525086246, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "price_path": [-0.1123, -0.0902, -0.0975, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.0723, -0.0879, -0.0692, -0.08, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0692, -0.0663, -0.0562, -0.0657, -0.0656, -0.0764, -0.0896, -0.0813, -0.0905, -0.0852, -0.0771, -0.0843, -0.0767, -0.0767, -0.0976, -0.0857, -0.081, -0.0795, -0.086, -0.0788, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.076, -0.0775, -0.0745, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.0854, -0.086, -0.0926, -0.0931, -0.076, -0.0732, -0.056, -0.0514, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0375, -0.0395, -0.0287, -0.0168, -0.0221, -0.0163, -0.0072, -0.0015, -0.0038, 0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0195, -0.0042, 0.0141, 0.0004, 0.0, 0.0211, 0.0213, 0.0371, 0.0241, 0.002, 0.0117, 0.0045, -0.0017, -0.0017, -0.0048, -0.0063, 0.0171, 0.0138, 0.0069, 0.0068, 0.0074, 0.022, 0.0266, 0.0251, -0.0052, -0.0066, 0.0109, 0.0037, -0.0005, 0.026, 0.0256, 0.0506, 0.0289, 0.0311, 0.0412, 0.0506, 0.0608, 0.0593, 0.0448, 0.0418, 0.0412, 0.0395, 0.0395, 0.049, 0.0413, 0.0388, 0.0325, 0.0513, 0.049, 0.0532, 0.0458, 0.0573, 0.0424, 0.022, 0.0243, 0.0175, -0.0012, -0.0139, -0.0093, 0.007, 0.0107, -0.0141, 0.0039, -0.0062, -0.0381, -0.0242, -0.0171, 0.0047, 0.0217, 0.0114, 0.0143, 0.0187, 0.0247, 0.0222, 0.0292, 0.0472, 0.042, 0.0401, 0.0528, 0.0619, 0.0656, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0647, 0.0651, 0.0623, 0.0264, 0.0275, 0.0235, 0.0298, 0.0495, 0.0508, 0.0491, 0.0591, 0.071, 0.0917, 0.093, 0.0954, 0.1098, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1032, 0.1133, 0.1081, 0.1162, 0.1192, 0.1209, 0.1063, 0.1305, 0.1368, 0.1405, 0.1405, 0.1573, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.154, 0.1255, 0.1226, 0.1236, 0.1126, 0.0978, 0.09, 0.0819, 0.0964, 0.1011, 0.0616, 0.0356, 0.0526, 0.0562, 0.0468, 0.0355]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1754958774115484006", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T20:02:31+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think we follow the gann line up to 206-213 with some chop downwards to 192-194. Looking to buy the dip next ~2 weeks.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects TSLA to rally to 206-213 following gann line, with dips to 192-194; plans to buy the dip over next ~2 weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Always tough predicting short term movement, but $TSLA looks like it's going to re-test $196 by Monday. It would be a repeat pattern setup from Dec 1 2022. 20sma + gann fan + fib chan + trendline resistance confluence around there https://t.co/vYB8vLBjRH\n\n---\n\nWithin $2 of projection. I can see 20sma touch around 196.50 Monday though, and unless Tues China numbers surprise (unlikely during CNY), we going down to 180 and possibly 165 real fast. Sold all my calls today at 193 that I got from 177-182. Adding to my short/hedged positions on $TSLA\n\n---\n\nTook profits on $TSLA short positions today at bottom yellow arrow. I expect an inverse head/shoulders setup (194 neckline) going into next week. If it fulfills expect a 206 gap fill and possibly 213. After that, I'd expect a measured move down to 146-167 https://t.co/XdMZ7ajjg3\n\n---\n\nTaking almost 3x gains (here at 198 green arrow) on my March 200c's I bought at 183 (bottom yellow arrow). I think we follow the gann line up to 206-213 with some chop downwards to 192-194. Lots of resistance at 197/198 + 200 + 206/207 + 210-213. Lots. \n\nLooking to buy the dip next ~2 weeks. Keep in mind that $TSLA moves fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021826085422506858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021826085422506858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01893112080734738, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015799114575455242, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006026970847051616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01339813963135228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01339813963135228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005057746892473292, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002197287196343378, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011200852435008901, "ret_p1w": -0.005834693654470757, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005834693654470757, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0060369380852106636, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007483404246613978, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001648710592143221, "ret_p1m": -0.046245340546319014, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046245340546319014, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07816968106982491, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06745303873750275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021207698191183733, "ret_p3m": -0.02112373599773265, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02112373599773265, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05938151385450674, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03486909137364058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01374535537590793, "ret_p6m": 0.25375472540198385, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25375472540198385, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13163673234469364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1831234614533026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07063126394868124, "price_path": [0.1344, 0.1596, 0.2086, 0.2826, 0.3119, 0.262, 0.2658, 0.2728, 0.3031, 0.2653, 0.2653, 0.272, 0.2754, 0.3329, 0.319, 0.297, 0.2903, 0.2727, 0.2897, 0.2932, 0.3109, 0.3173, 0.2952, 0.2804, 0.2928, 0.3563, 0.3695, 0.3619, 0.3896, 0.3352, 0.3749, 0.3643, 0.3643, 0.3863, 0.4124, 0.3678, 0.3424, 0.3424, 0.3421, 0.2882, 0.2854, 0.283, 0.299, 0.2694, 0.2639, 0.2276, 0.1825, 0.1825, 0.1881, 0.1645, 0.1447, 0.1464, 0.128, 0.1299, 0.1228, -0.0133, -0.01, 0.0315, 0.0351, 0.0118, 0.0203, 0.0152, -0.0218, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0241, 0.0458, 0.0164, -0.0058, 0.0195, 0.0829, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0468, 0.0522, 0.0665, 0.0371, 0.0773, 0.079, 0.0915, 0.0907, 0.0948, 0.0164, -0.0236, -0.0462, -0.0348, -0.0527, -0.0396, -0.0408, -0.0844, -0.1221, -0.1163, -0.061, -0.0744, -0.051, -0.0663, -0.0771, -0.0674, -0.0401, -0.0285, -0.0503, -0.0503, -0.0534, -0.0998, -0.0903, -0.0756, -0.1091, -0.0655, -0.0444, -0.0721, -0.0567, -0.0759, -0.1276, -0.1512, -0.1602, -0.19, -0.2056, -0.2326, -0.2184, -0.1241, -0.0806, -0.0908, 0.0484, -0.0098, -0.0276, -0.0275, -0.0211, -0.0018, -0.0394, -0.0561, -0.0709, -0.0898, -0.0714, -0.0408, -0.06, -0.0554, -0.0413, -0.0548, 0.0081, -0.027, -0.0614, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0451, -0.0481, -0.0341, -0.0379, -0.0476, -0.0558, -0.0546, -0.0387, -0.0412, -0.0611, -0.078, -0.0422, -0.0142, -0.0383, 0.0126, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0191, -0.0113, -0.0136, 0.0122, 0.0609, 0.0666, 0.069, 0.1338, 0.2494, 0.3311, 0.3311, 0.3588, 0.3665, 0.4172, 0.4223, 0.3022, 0.3411, 0.3649, 0.3861, 0.3425, 0.3465, 0.2923, 0.3588, 0.3311, 0.1669, 0.1899, 0.1875, 0.2539, 0.2027, 0.2538]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1394706690684047364", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-18T17:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA isn't in profit maximizing mode. They're in hyper growth mode. Large cap companies are not near $TSLA growth projection of 50%+ a year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: hyper-growth mode with 50%+ annual growth projection, not yet profit-maximizing \u2014 analogous to early Amazon.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Masterstroke420 @jpr007 $TSLA isn\u2019t in profit maximizing mode. They\u2019re in hyper growth mode. Large cap companies are not near $TSLA growth projection of 50%+ a year; can\u2019t have growth and profits maximized at same time. Refer to $AMZN for reference and look where they at now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@jpr007 I have a friend that is trying to argue that Tesla is \u2018only\u2019 profitable from selling regulatory credits, could I trouble you for a rebuttal?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "richfishlife", "ret_m1d": -0.0017997010875442365, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0017997010875442365, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01049020649384691, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009664755371718958, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008690505406302673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007865054284174722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02493638386588848, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02493638386588848, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022314732733316522, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01653874112663767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002621651132571956, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839764273925081, "ret_p1w": 0.04641183456945441, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04641183456945441, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031118340836209457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03659527167937582, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015293493733244956, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009816562890078595, "ret_p1m": 0.04672331063249513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04672331063249513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02203519685226496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02708990291032909, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02468811378023017, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01963340772216604, "ret_p3m": 0.24105767828499314, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24105767828499314, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15502838514882988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1657810414847567, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08602929313616325, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07527663680023644, "ret_p6m": 0.8480800059380076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8480800059380076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7153254843988575, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6401130954040339, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13275452153915013, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20796691053397365, "price_path": [0.3626, 0.352, 0.2364, 0.2093, 0.2841, 0.1806, 0.1689, 0.2432, 0.1879, 0.1304, 0.0754, 0.0347, -0.0257, 0.1656, 0.1561, 0.2107, 0.2005, 0.2251, 0.1713, 0.2145, 0.1303, 0.1332, 0.1594, 0.1459, 0.0907, 0.1082, 0.0707, 0.0578, 0.0999, 0.1558, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1959, 0.1968, 0.1611, 0.1833, 0.1716, 0.2148, 0.3192, 0.2671, 0.2786, 0.2802, 0.2367, 0.2442, 0.2877, 0.2454, 0.2622, 0.2774, 0.2195, 0.2017, 0.1715, 0.2277, 0.1852, 0.1657, 0.1611, 0.1483, 0.1635, 0.0885, 0.0681, 0.0208, -0.0107, 0.0205, -0.0018, 0.0, -0.0249, 0.0154, 0.0052, 0.0494, 0.0464, 0.0714, 0.0917, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0797, 0.0472, -0.0087, 0.0367, 0.0472, 0.0445, 0.0362, 0.0558, 0.0554, 0.0689, 0.0372, 0.0467, 0.067, 0.0786, 0.0743, 0.0793, 0.1362, 0.1764, 0.1627, 0.1918, 0.1781, 0.1762, 0.1731, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.1414, 0.1156, 0.1297, 0.1368, 0.1866, 0.1569, 0.1307, 0.1259, 0.1148, 0.1183, 0.143, 0.134, 0.1235, 0.1134, 0.138, 0.1158, 0.1196, 0.1721, 0.1892, 0.2281, 0.2282, 0.2302, 0.2367, 0.2098, 0.2352, 0.2286, 0.2249, 0.2498, 0.2411, 0.1874, 0.152, 0.1923, 0.1654, 0.1772, 0.2222, 0.226, 0.2307, 0.2134, 0.232, 0.2648, 0.2732, 0.2703, 0.2674, 0.2694, 0.2694, 0.3029, 0.3046, 0.3063, 0.2741, 0.2858, 0.2883, 0.308, 0.31, 0.3143, 0.2636, 0.2795, 0.3012, 0.3042, 0.3401, 0.3694, 0.3456, 0.3521, 0.342, 0.3415, 0.3524, 0.3508, 0.3545, 0.3733, 0.3593, 0.3704, 0.3943, 0.4036, 0.4161, 0.4589, 0.5057, 0.4956, 0.4983, 0.5471, 0.5742, 0.7735, 0.7624, 0.796, 0.8638, 0.9278, 1.0915, 1.0281, 1.1006, 1.1284, 1.1148, 1.0125, 0.7712, 0.8481]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1777390364950942016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-08T17:37:39+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do not think the bottom for 2024 is in yet. EPS and vol growth est are still too high at $2.80 and ~1.97m.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA; 2024 bottom not in, EPS and volume growth estimates still too high, rally to $1T unlikely.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Now $TSLA investors are thinking 'rally back to 1T' - my take: unlikely. Today's +5% movement is driven by FSD bullishness but amplified by bullish reversal TA patterns. A convincing break above ~$184 is confirmation of a double bottom. Unlikely with earnings coming up Apr 23.\n\nAnyone saying mathematical models from TA are useless, look at this simple trading 101 Fibonacci extension for $TSLA. Accurate within $0.01. \n\nI do not think the bottom for 2024 is in yet. EPS and vol growth est are still too high at $2.80 and ~1.97m.\n\nDisclosure: been short since $257 with 60+ DTE puts (deep in profit) but bought Apr 12 calls on Friday to hedge upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.046710614120846095, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046710614120846095, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04615160271046859, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03729436096867367, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005590114103775079, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009416253152172427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02254601255405486, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02254601255405486, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021389300069063033, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01783788597796865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011567124849918287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004708126576086213, "ret_p1w": -0.06648167582402797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06648167582402797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03897169741611484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03114322476002851, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027509978407913138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035338451063999465, "ret_p1m": 0.027922314431446882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027922314431446882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030968131129580523, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03911096899975286, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003045816698133641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011188654568305978, "ret_p3m": 0.4243843535395708, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4243843535395708, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35783770920202307, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.382100337191847, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06654664433754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04228401634772383, "ret_p6m": 0.4916175013674955, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4916175013674955, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3885096064401865, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38160330874906645, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310789492730899, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11001419261842904, "price_path": [0.3524, 0.3136, 0.2654, 0.2654, 0.2713, 0.2461, 0.2249, 0.2267, 0.2071, 0.209, 0.2015, 0.0558, 0.0594, 0.1038, 0.1076, 0.0827, 0.0918, 0.0863, 0.0467, 0.0701, 0.0844, 0.0958, 0.119, 0.0876, 0.0638, 0.0909, 0.1588, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1201, 0.126, 0.1412, 0.1098, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.168, 0.1671, 0.1715, 0.0876, 0.0449, 0.0206, 0.0328, 0.0136, 0.0277, 0.0264, -0.0202, -0.0606, -0.0544, 0.0047, -0.0096, 0.0155, -0.0009, -0.0124, -0.002, 0.0271, 0.0396, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0129, -0.0367, -0.0266, -0.0108, -0.0467, 0.0, 0.0225, -0.0071, 0.0094, -0.0112, -0.0665, -0.0917, -0.1013, -0.1333, -0.1499, -0.1788, -0.1636, -0.0627, -0.0162, -0.0271, 0.1218, 0.0595, 0.0405, 0.0406, 0.0475, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.0101, -0.0058, -0.0261, -0.0063, 0.0264, 0.0058, 0.0108, 0.0259, 0.0114, 0.0787, 0.0412, 0.0044, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0218, 0.0186, 0.0336, 0.0295, 0.0191, 0.0103, 0.0117, 0.0287, 0.026, 0.0047, -0.0134, 0.0249, 0.0549, 0.0291, 0.0836, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0497, 0.058, 0.0555, 0.0831, 0.1352, 0.1413, 0.1439, 0.2132, 0.3369, 0.4244, 0.4244, 0.454, 0.4623, 0.5165, 0.5219, 0.3934, 0.435, 0.4605, 0.4832, 0.4366, 0.4408, 0.3828, 0.454, 0.4243, 0.2486, 0.2733, 0.2707, 0.3418, 0.287, 0.3416, 0.2537, 0.2005, 0.1497, 0.1599, 0.1086, 0.1495, 0.1562, 0.1417, 0.2015, 0.1642, 0.2379, 0.2494, 0.2875, 0.2782, 0.2907, 0.2178, 0.2737, 0.2326, 0.2094, 0.1894, 0.1925, 0.2378, 0.2378, 0.2175, 0.2684, 0.3306, 0.2182, 0.2503, 0.3075, 0.3188, 0.3285, 0.3313, 0.311, 0.3173, 0.3134, 0.4101, 0.3773, 0.4453, 0.4699, 0.4858, 0.4696, 0.5057, 0.5125, 0.4916]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1748410199445275111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-19T18:20:50+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Watching $PYPL inverse h/s setup - target 1 $72.50 gap fill, target 2 $79 - confluence at $79 w/ ichi weekly top of cloud + momentum is bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long PYPL on inverse head-and-shoulders; targets $72.50 gap fill then $79 confluence with weekly Ichimoku cloud top.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Watching $PYPL inverse h/s setup - target 1 $72.50 gap fill, target 2 $79 - confluence at $79 w/ ichi weekly top of cloud + momentum is bullish @gurgavin @saxena_puru", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0566696409707691, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0566696409707691, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044356903550180626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04085094857910332, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012312737420588471, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01581869239166578, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03160117506959048, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03160117506959048, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03371539356760811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03634694935662608, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002114218498017628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004745774287035598, "ret_p1w": -0.06137942840455368, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06137942840455368, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0717022251814674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08036190091693651, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010322796776913723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01898247251238283, "ret_p1m": -0.10148883400714503, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10148883400714503, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13689287775632974, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14630832364225166, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03540404374918471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044819489635106624, "ret_p3m": -0.03889385253643429, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03889385253643429, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07967733340963712, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08923491407159323, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040783480873202826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05034106153515894, "ret_p6m": -0.08128217250598657, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08128217250598657, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2526270792361719, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22372348641481354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17134490673018532, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14244131390882697, "price_path": [-0.1759, -0.2177, -0.2138, -0.2344, -0.2244, -0.213, -0.2151, -0.1635, -0.1477, -0.1702, -0.17, -0.1632, -0.1753, -0.1679, -0.1737, -0.1389, -0.115, -0.1367, -0.141, -0.1342, -0.1583, -0.144, -0.144, -0.1528, -0.1433, -0.1117, -0.1193, -0.1247, -0.0937, -0.0907, -0.12, -0.0956, -0.1115, -0.1045, -0.103, -0.1053, -0.0621, -0.06, -0.0693, -0.0661, -0.0427, -0.062, -0.0571, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0495, -0.0477, -0.0416, -0.067, -0.067, -0.0662, -0.1092, -0.112, -0.0866, -0.062, -0.0725, -0.0738, -0.0679, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.112, -0.0901, -0.0567, 0.0, -0.0316, -0.0158, -0.0425, -0.0776, -0.0614, -0.0313, -0.0325, -0.0679, -0.0577, -0.0517, -0.065, -0.0321, -0.0392, -0.1472, -0.105, -0.0871, -0.1149, -0.1056, -0.093, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.1092, -0.1267, -0.1135, -0.1012, -0.0986, -0.086, -0.0846, -0.0833, -0.0802, -0.0887, -0.1147, -0.117, -0.1112, -0.1035, -0.0872, -0.088, -0.0512, -0.0428, -0.0451, -0.0242, -0.0427, -0.0117, 0.0049, -0.016, 0.0027, 0.0129, 0.0114, 0.0178, 0.0178, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0073, -0.0194, -0.0102, 0.0079, 0.0179, 0.0009, -0.0003, -0.0187, -0.0351, -0.0363, -0.0389, -0.0565, -0.0533, -0.04, -0.0211, -0.0149, -0.0261, 0.0021, 0.0178, 0.0319, 0.0049, 0.0176, -0.0018, -0.0032, 0.0015, -0.0305, -0.0208, -0.0439, -0.0284, -0.0188, -0.0292, -0.0261, -0.0204, -0.016, -0.0261, -0.0552, -0.0644, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0555, -0.0725, -0.0503, -0.043, -0.0359, -0.0378, -0.0348, 0.0182, 0.0225, 0.0193, -0.016, -0.0363, -0.065, -0.0788, -0.0864, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0915, -0.0792, -0.0962, -0.0986, -0.1149, -0.1132, -0.1184, -0.1217, -0.1041, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.0921, -0.1022, -0.1036, -0.1051, -0.0886, -0.0843, -0.0813]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1699874371681341787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-07T19:56:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sounds like Q3 sub 450k deliveries and <0.75 EPS more likely than not. Been saying for 12+ months that we likely aren't breaking out of this trading pattern until ~mid-2024.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA near-term: sub-450k Q3 deliveries, <$0.75 EPS, no breakout from trading range until mid-2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Hmm. Sounds like Q3 sub 450k deliveries and &lt;0.75 EPS more likely than not. Been saying for 12+ months that we likely aren't breaking out of this trading pattern until ~mid-2024. A potential refresh MY will also hamper deliveries. 2025+ nothing changes though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This changes things for me from a forecast perspective for Q3-23. \n\nTesla IR appears to be trying to lower expectations for both deliveries and production heading into the end of the quarter. This may suggest that they won\u2019t be as aggressive on price to hit a volume target. Maybe https://t.co/6vML35VmAE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.0017097803745245166, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0017097803745245166, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0013700184619533928, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004494904664753441, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030797988364779094, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002785124290228924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01188916230408743, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01188916230408743, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013395182656669724, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01188916230408743, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015060203525822935, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.09761820555698031, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09761820555698031, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08523203335799945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061884793655343495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01238617219898086, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03573341190163681, "ret_p1m": 0.03594573576952165, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03594573576952165, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06695594771539382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08248987250352346, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031010211945872168, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04654413673400182, "ret_p3m": -0.05077738277280386, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05077738277280386, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08081120998999525, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06436981025317767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03003382721719139, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013592427480373814, "ret_p6m": -0.1942423358245282, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1942423358245282, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3558599681664929, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2945721913822139, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1616176323419647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1003298555576857, "price_path": [-0.0066, 0.0287, 0.0211, 0.0175, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0913, 0.0317, 0.0522, 0.0203, -0.0415, -0.0051, 0.0189, 0.0239, 0.0409, 0.1126, 0.1126, 0.1232, 0.0996, 0.0912, 0.0721, 0.0728, 0.0815, 0.105, 0.1189, 0.1546, 0.1664, 0.1581, 0.0454, 0.0339, 0.0699, 0.0548, 0.0511, 0.0168, 0.0594, 0.0634, 0.0381, 0.0104, 0.0311, 0.0094, -0.0002, -0.0071, -0.037, -0.0245, -0.0352, -0.0466, -0.0737, -0.1029, -0.1283, -0.1431, -0.0804, -0.0728, -0.0582, -0.0853, -0.0513, -0.0504, 0.0226, 0.0215, 0.0262, -0.0258, -0.0258, 0.0199, 0.0017, 0.0, -0.0119, 0.0878, 0.0636, 0.0788, 0.0976, 0.0911, 0.0548, 0.0597, 0.0441, 0.0167, -0.0263, -0.0179, -0.0293, -0.0437, -0.0203, -0.005, 0.0004, -0.0197, 0.0385, 0.034, 0.0359, 0.0325, 0.0482, 0.0457, 0.0293, -0.0015, 0.0097, 0.0134, -0.035, -0.1248, -0.1571, -0.1567, -0.1391, -0.1554, -0.1818, -0.1757, -0.2152, -0.2014, -0.1822, -0.1311, -0.1254, -0.1281, -0.1165, -0.1168, -0.1651, -0.1465, -0.1105, -0.056, -0.0344, -0.0712, -0.0684, -0.0632, -0.0409, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0638, -0.0613, -0.019, -0.0292, -0.0454, -0.0503, -0.0633, -0.0508, -0.0482, -0.0352, -0.0304, -0.0467, -0.0576, -0.0485, -0.0017, 0.008, 0.0023, 0.0228, -0.0173, 0.012, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0204, 0.0396, 0.0067, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0122, -0.0519, -0.0539, -0.0557, -0.0439, -0.0657, -0.0698, -0.0965, -0.1296, -0.1296, -0.1256, -0.1429, -0.1575, -0.1563, -0.1697, -0.1684, -0.1736, -0.2738, -0.2713, -0.2408, -0.2382, -0.2553, -0.249, -0.2528, -0.2801, -0.264, -0.2541, -0.2463, -0.2303, -0.2519, -0.2683, -0.2496, -0.203, -0.2049, -0.2049, -0.2296, -0.2255, -0.215, -0.2367, -0.2071, -0.2058, -0.1966, -0.1973, -0.1942]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1750313278746591253", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-25T00:22:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Plan to re-enter around $123-156", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sold/hedged TSLA and plans to re-enter only at $123\u2013156, implying further downside ahead from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well, sucks for $TSLA investors who didn\u2019t capitalize. Fortunately, I sold and hedged hard between $235 and $414 as I saw margin compression and demand gap year 2023-24. Plan to re-enter around $123-156", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "1 YEAR AGO ANALYSTS EXPECTED TESLA TO MAKE OVER $7 DOLLARS IN PROFIT PER SHARE IN 2024\n\nEARNING ESTIMATES ARE NOW DOWN 50% TO JUST $3.70 YET THE STOCK IS AT THE SAME EXACT PRICE\n\n$TSLA https://t.co/RyDHuGBOS0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13798388147890694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14339347305641337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12546185884405592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005409591577506423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012522022634851027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033948152034783963, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004665161971329046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001169351131914187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012703467678506497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004564166335392583, "ret_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034112662547080674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03171525328088065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014744390409140662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023974092662000235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019368272137940012, "ret_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05114163110209513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010529471870479146, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009654170905785131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040612159231615985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06079580200788026, "ret_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20779724685098977, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24712081145263032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21959272612257574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03932356460164055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011795479271585974, "ret_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30975190578201395, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17770607049351428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20604200340087164, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13204583528849967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1037099023811423, "price_path": [0.0807, 0.0997, 0.1261, 0.1965, 0.2044, 0.2006, 0.2166, 0.2162, 0.1498, 0.1753, 0.2249, 0.3, 0.3297, 0.279, 0.2829, 0.29, 0.3207, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2892, 0.2927, 0.3509, 0.3368, 0.3146, 0.3077, 0.2899, 0.3071, 0.3107, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.3127, 0.2978, 0.3102, 0.3746, 0.3881, 0.3803, 0.4084, 0.3532, 0.3935, 0.3828, 0.3828, 0.4051, 0.4315, 0.3863, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3602, 0.3056, 0.3028, 0.3004, 0.3166, 0.2865, 0.281, 0.2442, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.2041, 0.1803, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.1433, 0.1452, 0.138, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0454, 0.0491, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0289, -0.0086, 0.0135, 0.0271, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0333, 0.0976, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0809, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.0936, 0.1063, 0.1054, 0.1096, 0.0302, -0.0103, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0399, -0.0266, -0.0279, -0.072, -0.1102, -0.1044, -0.0483, -0.0619, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0406, -0.0876, -0.078, -0.0631, -0.0971, -0.0528, -0.0315, -0.0595, -0.044, -0.0634, -0.1158, -0.1397, -0.1488, -0.1791, -0.1948, -0.2222, -0.2078, -0.1122, -0.0682, -0.0785, 0.0625, 0.0036, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.0079, 0.0117, -0.0264, -0.0433, -0.0584, -0.0775, -0.0588, -0.0278, -0.0473, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0421, 0.0217, -0.0138, -0.0487, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0322, -0.0353, -0.021, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.043, -0.0418, -0.0257, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0655, -0.0292, -0.0009, -0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0258, 0.0752, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.1491, 0.2663, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3772, 0.385, 0.4364, 0.4415, 0.3198, 0.3592, 0.3833, 0.4048, 0.3607, 0.3647, 0.3098]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782258005242966021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-22T03:59:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentals and technicals are shit. FYI that's a textbook diamond top", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: fundamentals and technicals weak, chart forming a diamond top reversal pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptocantoncat I remember discussing $TSLA with you months ago when you thought it would break above $300 and I was calling for $180. Fundamentals and technicals are shit. \n\nFYI that\u2019s a textbook diamond top", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035198872879842025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035198872879842025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044323858280928774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0395974634235412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004398590543699177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018514534090260826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018514534090260826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006647799288034495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006609029031749758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011905505058511068, "ret_p1w": 0.36606827795035746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.36606827795035746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3453766369612008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3104115523755615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05565672557479595, "ret_p1m": 0.31362197884307985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31362197884307985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2503067659904563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667038313743191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046918147468760774, "ret_p3m": 0.7545229874914454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7545229874914454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.64501571856198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6407602229158194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11376276457562606, "ret_p6m": 0.5457233552062333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5457233552062333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37820052131743753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38036739942345665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16535595578277662, "price_path": [0.4631, 0.2857, 0.29, 0.3441, 0.3488, 0.3185, 0.3295, 0.3228, 0.2746, 0.3031, 0.3205, 0.3345, 0.3627, 0.3244, 0.2955, 0.3285, 0.4111, 0.4076, 0.4076, 0.364, 0.3711, 0.3897, 0.3514, 0.4037, 0.4061, 0.4223, 0.4212, 0.4265, 0.3245, 0.2724, 0.2428, 0.2577, 0.2344, 0.2515, 0.2498, 0.1931, 0.144, 0.1515, 0.2235, 0.2061, 0.2366, 0.2166, 0.2026, 0.2153, 0.2508, 0.266, 0.2375, 0.2375, 0.2335, 0.173, 0.1854, 0.2046, 0.1609, 0.2177, 0.2452, 0.2092, 0.2291, 0.2042, 0.1368, 0.106, 0.0943, 0.0555, 0.0352, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.1414, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.3661, 0.2902, 0.2671, 0.2672, 0.2755, 0.3007, 0.2517, 0.23, 0.2106, 0.186, 0.2101, 0.2499, 0.2249, 0.2308, 0.2493, 0.2316, 0.3136, 0.2679, 0.2231, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2443, 0.2403, 0.2586, 0.2536, 0.241, 0.2303, 0.232, 0.2527, 0.2494, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2481, 0.2845, 0.2532, 0.3195, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.2782, 0.2883, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.3824, 0.3898, 0.393, 0.4774, 0.628, 0.7345, 0.7345, 0.7706, 0.7806, 0.8467, 0.8533, 0.6968, 0.7475, 0.7785, 0.8061, 0.7494, 0.7545, 0.6839, 0.7706, 0.7345, 0.5205, 0.5505, 0.5473, 0.6339, 0.5672, 0.6337, 0.5266, 0.4619, 0.4001, 0.4125, 0.3499, 0.3998, 0.408, 0.3903, 0.4631, 0.4177, 0.5075, 0.5214, 0.5679, 0.5565, 0.5718, 0.483, 0.551, 0.501, 0.4728, 0.4484, 0.4522, 0.5073, 0.5073, 0.4826, 0.5446, 0.6203, 0.4835, 0.5225, 0.5922, 0.606, 0.6178, 0.6212, 0.5965, 0.6042, 0.5994, 0.7171, 0.6772, 0.7599, 0.79, 0.8094, 0.7897, 0.8336, 0.8418, 0.8164, 0.753, 0.6942, 0.7605, 0.6954, 0.7212, 0.6969, 0.6809, 0.5333, 0.5428, 0.5457]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1760416229343596977", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-21T21:28:30+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this stock is not overvalued given AI potential + earnings growth and we're still in the 1st inning", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NVDA not overvalued; AI potential + earnings growth still in early innings \u2014 bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA early reaction is this stock is not overvalued given AI potential + earnings growth and we're still in the 1st inning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030250765303645566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022882762450559202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009052597775182081, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006462743075568156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14331364779080857, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09571724994400643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020695282899041212, "bench_c_p1d": 0.06829168074584335, "ret_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1328388558728315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09557237499634619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018201498440170605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.055467979316655924, "ret_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3016947363285152, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20357201940633374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.053523531645810696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15164624856799214, "ret_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33541603985741, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20892896393684146, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06938083989994581, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19586791582051433, "ret_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7017360650971363, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5674109682994335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11940246548011246, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25372756227781523, "price_path": [-0.292, -0.2851, -0.2913, -0.2866, -0.3069, -0.307, -0.3256, -0.3098, -0.3256, -0.3094, -0.2959, -0.3089, -0.2937, -0.2873, -0.2834, -0.2754, -0.2578, -0.2648, -0.2869, -0.2739, -0.2763, -0.2763, -0.2696, -0.2676, -0.266, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2861, -0.295, -0.2886, -0.2723, -0.2256, -0.2124, -0.1945, -0.1875, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1644, -0.1692, -0.1536, -0.1183, -0.1159, -0.1126, -0.0906, -0.0868, -0.0955, -0.0742, -0.0696, -0.0881, -0.0659, -0.0194, 0.0276, 0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0321, 0.0691, 0.0708, 0.069, 0.0953, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0293, 0.0, 0.164, 0.1681, 0.1722, 0.1664, 0.151, 0.1725, 0.2195, 0.2633, 0.2741, 0.3147, 0.3735, 0.2973, 0.2713, 0.3623, 0.3471, 0.3035, 0.3019, 0.311, 0.325, 0.3395, 0.3552, 0.3975, 0.4081, 0.3719, 0.3377, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.3393, 0.3258, 0.3186, 0.2733, 0.3044, 0.2915, 0.2651, 0.2901, 0.3431, 0.3071, 0.2747, 0.2956, 0.2455, 0.255, 0.1294, 0.1786, 0.2216, 0.1809, 0.2247, 0.3004, 0.3007, 0.2806, 0.2308, 0.272, 0.316, 0.3657, 0.3422, 0.3401, 0.3154, 0.3321, 0.3399, 0.354, 0.4026, 0.3986, 0.3707, 0.4048, 0.4138, 0.4073, 0.5385, 0.578, 0.578, 0.6882, 0.7019, 0.6378, 0.6249, 0.7045, 0.7258, 0.8148, 0.7934, 0.7918, 0.8051, 0.7922, 0.8558, 0.9212, 0.9548, 0.9415, 1.0097, 1.0097, 0.9385, 0.8761, 0.7507, 0.869, 0.8736, 0.8379, 0.8312, 0.8425, 0.8183, 0.9015, 0.9015, 0.8652, 0.9003, 0.9474, 0.9998, 0.8884, 0.9157, 0.9038, 0.873, 0.749, 0.7949, 0.7481, 0.8312, 0.8171, 0.6935, 0.6643, 0.6759, 0.6541, 0.5376, 0.7346, 0.6188, 0.59, 0.489, 0.5453, 0.4661, 0.556, 0.5527, 0.616, 0.7215, 0.7503, 0.8211]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1613772397597032449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-13T05:38:16+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tsla bottoms around $75-80. Let's get there soon then trade sideways until July/Aug when CT releases", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA bottoms at $75-80 then trades sideways until Cybertruck release in July/Aug; implies a floor and eventual recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers Tsla bottoms around $75-80. Let\u2019s get there soon then trade sideways until July/Aug when CT releases", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "These Tesla price cuts in US are clearly a step back for margins in Q1 (maybe Q2 too?) and my gut says $TSLA stock may drop significantly, anywhere from 5-20% tomorrow/Monday as either one day or two day drop\n  \nJust another week in the life of being a $TSLA shareholder", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": 0.009477091652401626, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009477091652401626, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013341667186172357, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01878285801653312, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003864575533770731, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009305766364131496, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.09003265119025716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09003265119025716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09660739042906752, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0951865536448081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0065747392388103565, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00515390245455094, "ret_p1m": 0.5901960536209299, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5901960536209299, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5542362569654888, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5141758520747703, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03595979665544102, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07602020154615952, "ret_p3m": 0.47499992676030667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.47499992676030667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44712724390194425, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4443770674598788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02787268285836242, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03062285930042785, "ret_p6m": 1.2026959312950591, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2026959312950591, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.091084014978613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9804252569382752, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11161191631644618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22227067435678394, "price_path": [0.7989, 0.8141, 0.6935, 0.752, 0.7259, 0.8172, 0.8353, 0.839, 0.867, 0.859, 0.8613, 0.7564, 0.7591, 0.695, 0.6101, 0.5629, 0.4509, 0.5582, 0.6011, 0.56, 0.5884, 0.5271, 0.4965, 0.4721, 0.3715, 0.3882, 0.4967, 0.4967, 0.494, 0.4944, 0.4774, 0.5907, 0.5907, 0.592, 0.4906, 0.4691, 0.4219, 0.417, 0.4628, 0.3711, 0.315, 0.281, 0.2882, 0.2274, 0.2244, 0.1258, 0.1239, 0.0241, 0.0061, 0.0061, -0.1087, -0.0792, -0.0047, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.1168, -0.0716, -0.0985, -0.0763, -0.0215, -0.029, 0.0067, 0.0095, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0743, 0.0521, 0.039, 0.09, 0.1744, 0.1756, 0.18, 0.3094, 0.4534, 0.3616, 0.4152, 0.4821, 0.5382, 0.5521, 0.5912, 0.6079, 0.6445, 0.6938, 0.6086, 0.5902, 0.7096, 0.7503, 0.6507, 0.7019, 0.7019, 0.6125, 0.641, 0.6509, 0.6085, 0.6963, 0.6806, 0.6566, 0.5596, 0.6159, 0.5834, 0.5336, 0.4869, 0.4127, 0.417, 0.4255, 0.4972, 0.4743, 0.5043, 0.4717, 0.4971, 0.6142, 0.5617, 0.5704, 0.5556, 0.5671, 0.5457, 0.584, 0.5954, 0.6949, 0.5913, 0.5734, 0.5157, 0.5119, 0.5119, 0.5074, 0.5261, 0.475, 0.5188, 0.5114, 0.5281, 0.5058, 0.4754, 0.3316, 0.3487, 0.328, 0.3127, 0.2561, 0.3087, 0.3424, 0.3221, 0.3097, 0.3122, 0.317, 0.3894, 0.4035, 0.3819, 0.377, 0.4059, 0.3724, 0.3591, 0.3605, 0.4204, 0.4452, 0.4717, 0.5431, 0.5177, 0.4943, 0.5071, 0.5782, 0.5782, 0.6435, 0.6661, 0.6954, 0.7481, 0.7779, 0.8081, 0.8347, 0.9188, 0.9967, 1.0411, 1.1136, 1.098, 1.0907, 1.1286, 1.1286, 1.2422, 1.1198, 1.1618, 1.0964, 0.9694, 1.0442, 1.0935, 1.1038, 1.1386, 1.2861, 1.2861, 1.3078, 1.2593, 1.2421, 1.2027]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1709720460185788510", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-05T00:01:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA likely dips into or after Q3 earnings and this will be one of the fundamental reasons that leads into a technical bearish setup into EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA into/after Q3 earnings; overvaluation at 1.9x PEG sets up technical bearish case into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA likely dips into or after Q3 earnings and this will be one of the fundamental reasons that leads into a technical bearish setup into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "S&amp;P 500 Magnificent 7:  \n- $AAPL most expensive (2.6x) on PEG, $META cheapest (1.2x) \n- $TSLA offers highest forward EPS growth (+29% CGR) but at 1.9x PEG no longer that cheap \n- $NVDA looks cheap on PEG (1.3x) https://t.co/NT23iLSN4I", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004268471144956765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004268471144956765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003891546610336638, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0007472936500256822, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00037692453462012665, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005015764794982447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001845841218459432, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001845841218459432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010026910779362908, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005176405304627041, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01187275199782234, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007022246523086473, "ret_p1w": -0.00453756097354896, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00453756097354896, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026115934316484735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016136828392350866, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021578373342935775, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011599267418801906, "ret_p1m": -0.1541625955045921, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1541625955045921, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17816731855739898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15873961640030754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024004723052806876, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0045770208957154335, "ret_p3m": -0.044722131013066324, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044722131013066324, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1626639836171795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15743682568120465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11794185260411316, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11271469466813833, "ret_p6m": -0.3240146066606129, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3240146066606129, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.565057104864807, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.48158070711128254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2410424982041941, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15756610045066965, "price_path": [0.0368, 0.0375, 0.0459, 0.0686, 0.082, 0.1166, 0.128, 0.12, 0.011, -0.0001, 0.0346, 0.0201, 0.0165, -0.0167, 0.0246, 0.0284, 0.0039, -0.0228, -0.0028, -0.0238, -0.0331, -0.0398, -0.0687, -0.0566, -0.0669, -0.078, -0.1042, -0.1325, -0.157, -0.1714, -0.1106, -0.1033, -0.0892, -0.1154, -0.0825, -0.0816, -0.011, -0.0121, -0.0076, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0137, -0.0313, -0.0329, -0.0444, 0.052, 0.0286, 0.0433, 0.0615, 0.0551, 0.0201, 0.0248, 0.0098, -0.0167, -0.0583, -0.0502, -0.0613, -0.0752, -0.0526, -0.0378, -0.0325, -0.052, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0018, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0113, -0.0045, -0.0343, -0.0236, -0.02, -0.0668, -0.1536, -0.1848, -0.1845, -0.1674, -0.1832, -0.2088, -0.2028, -0.2411, -0.2277, -0.2092, -0.1597, -0.1542, -0.1568, -0.1456, -0.1459, -0.1925, -0.1746, -0.1397, -0.0871, -0.0662, -0.1017, -0.099, -0.094, -0.0725, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0946, -0.0922, -0.0513, -0.0612, -0.0768, -0.0816, -0.0941, -0.082, -0.0795, -0.0669, -0.0623, -0.0781, -0.0886, -0.0798, -0.0346, -0.0252, -0.0306, -0.0109, -0.0496, -0.0213, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0132, 0.0053, -0.0264, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0447, -0.0831, -0.0851, -0.0868, -0.0754, -0.0965, -0.1004, -0.1262, -0.1583, -0.1583, -0.1544, -0.1711, -0.1852, -0.184, -0.1971, -0.1958, -0.2008, -0.2977, -0.2953, -0.2658, -0.2633, -0.2798, -0.2738, -0.2774, -0.3037, -0.2882, -0.2787, -0.2711, -0.2556, -0.2766, -0.2924, -0.2743, -0.2292, -0.2311, -0.2311, -0.2549, -0.251, -0.2409, -0.2618, -0.2332, -0.232, -0.2231, -0.2237, -0.2208, -0.2765, -0.305, -0.3211, -0.313, -0.3257, -0.3164, -0.3173, -0.3483, -0.3751, -0.371, -0.3317, -0.3412, -0.3245, -0.3354, -0.3431, -0.3362, -0.3168, -0.3085, -0.324, -0.324]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1345664097887551495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-03T09:31:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The mainstream misunderstanding of $TSLA has been one of the main reasons why being long has been so profitable", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly still long TSLA; mainstream misunderstanding of FSD/Robotaxi potential remains the edge.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt The mainstream misunderstanding of $TSLA has been one of the main reasons why being long has been so profitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The amount of \ud83e\udd21 that showed up in my replies today reinforces my thoughts that so many people have no idea what FSD/FSD Beta is, the tech behind it, the potential of it and what a Robotaxi network will do to Teslas balance sheet. Their ignorance and lack of research is our gain.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": -0.03302413256397274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03302413256397274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046825967445603855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041554936263729636, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013801834881631114, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008530803699756895, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007317368906131216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007317368906131216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004300960540895016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00014708433115595554, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006887272852041715, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007464453237287172, "ret_p1w": 0.11156939541536293, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11156939541536293, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08472484479300513, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07255324949149267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0268445506223578, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03901614592387026, "ret_p1m": 0.19597951809140968, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19597951809140968, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16137995210488953, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13118205328971144, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03459956598652014, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06479746480169823, "ret_p3m": -0.09320747514014649, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09320747514014649, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18304744766963366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1576228310261264, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08983997252948717, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06441535588597991, "ret_p6m": -0.06715815870574893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06715815870574893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23450170660638892, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1897180707777647, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16734354790064, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12255991207201578, "price_path": [-0.4172, -0.4164, -0.4053, -0.3939, -0.388, -0.3679, -0.3849, -0.3975, -0.4096, -0.4218, -0.4209, -0.4165, -0.4236, -0.4241, -0.4181, -0.4436, -0.437, -0.4683, -0.4512, -0.4191, -0.4231, -0.3997, -0.4108, -0.4227, -0.4377, -0.4284, -0.4358, -0.4402, -0.4408, -0.3949, -0.3332, -0.3159, -0.3291, -0.2849, -0.239, -0.2135, -0.2135, -0.1973, -0.2222, -0.1987, -0.2205, -0.1869, -0.1791, -0.1206, -0.1095, -0.1717, -0.1407, -0.1641, -0.1232, -0.1323, -0.1466, -0.1012, -0.0476, -0.1095, -0.1225, -0.1148, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0905, -0.0874, -0.0479, -0.033, -0.033, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0359, 0.1182, 0.2059, 0.1116, 0.164, 0.1708, 0.1579, 0.1321, 0.1321, 0.1573, 0.1654, 0.1579, 0.1601, 0.207, 0.2101, 0.1842, 0.1448, 0.0874, 0.1508, 0.196, 0.1712, 0.1647, 0.1678, 0.1831, 0.164, 0.1028, 0.1122, 0.1183, 0.1183, 0.0911, 0.0937, 0.0789, 0.0706, -0.0209, -0.0424, 0.0168, -0.0652, -0.0744, -0.0155, -0.0594, -0.1049, -0.1484, -0.1806, -0.2285, -0.077, -0.0846, -0.0413, -0.0494, -0.0299, -0.0725, -0.0383, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.0819, -0.0926, -0.1363, -0.1225, -0.1522, -0.1624, -0.129, -0.0847, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0531, -0.0523, -0.0806, -0.063, -0.0723, -0.0381, 0.0446, 0.0034, 0.0124, 0.0137, -0.0207, -0.0148, 0.0197, -0.0138, -0.0005, 0.0116, -0.0343, -0.0485, -0.0723, -0.0279, -0.0615, -0.077, -0.0806, -0.0908, -0.0787, -0.138, -0.1543, -0.1917, -0.2166, -0.1919, -0.2096, -0.2081, -0.2279, -0.1959, -0.204, -0.169, -0.1714, -0.1516, -0.1355, -0.1433, -0.1433, -0.1451, -0.1708, -0.215, -0.1791, -0.1708, -0.1729, -0.1795, -0.164, -0.1643, -0.1536, -0.1787, -0.1711, -0.1551, -0.1459, -0.1493, -0.1453, -0.1003, -0.0684, -0.0793, -0.0563, -0.0672]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1773411854527926634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-28T18:08:29+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "\"No competition\" does not apply to China for $TSLA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: Xiaomi's 50k EV orders in 27 mins shows meaningful competition exists in China, undermining TSLA's moat narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"No competition\" does not apply to China for $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So\u2026yesterday I said I wouldn\u2019t be surprised if Xiaomi got 20k orders in the first 24 hrs. \n\nWell guys\u2026I was wrong\u2026turns out, they got 50k orders in 27 mins! \n\nI repeat\u202650k orders! in 27 mins! \n\nCongrats @leijun and the entire @Xiaomi team! https://t.co/Wk8YeXw196", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022982016606291955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022982016606291955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022790714933773826, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019882417069320812, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00019130167251812935, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030995995369711427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.026622634134604195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026622634134604195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007504778080716035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006223080060464792, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01911785605388816, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03284571419506899, "ret_p1m": -0.042664544549997685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042664544549997685, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014350940807775991, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0007309458722946083, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028313603742221694, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04339549042229229, "ret_p3m": 0.06576035757943632, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06576035757943632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0207995042006639, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08093915599796975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044960853378772425, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015178798418533423, "ret_p6m": 0.3553103652049252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3553103652049252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2620879426169609, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2834025247748575, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09322242258796432, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0719078404300677, "price_path": [0.4135, 0.4132, 0.3564, 0.3535, 0.351, 0.3678, 0.3366, 0.3308, 0.2926, 0.2452, 0.2452, 0.251, 0.2262, 0.2053, 0.2071, 0.1878, 0.1897, 0.1823, 0.0389, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.0899, 0.0654, 0.0744, 0.0689, 0.03, 0.053, 0.0671, 0.0783, 0.1011, 0.0702, 0.0468, 0.0735, 0.1403, 0.1374, 0.1374, 0.1022, 0.108, 0.123, 0.092, 0.1343, 0.1362, 0.1493, 0.1484, 0.1527, 0.0703, 0.0282, 0.0043, 0.0163, -0.0026, 0.0113, 0.01, -0.0359, -0.0756, -0.0695, -0.0113, -0.0254, -0.0007, -0.0169, -0.0282, -0.018, 0.0107, 0.023, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0521, -0.0422, -0.0266, -0.0619, -0.016, 0.0062, -0.0229, -0.0068, -0.027, -0.0814, -0.1063, -0.1157, -0.1471, -0.1635, -0.1919, -0.177, -0.0777, -0.0319, -0.0427, 0.1039, 0.0426, 0.0239, 0.024, 0.0307, 0.051, 0.0115, -0.0061, -0.0217, -0.0416, -0.0222, 0.01, -0.0102, -0.0054, 0.0095, -0.0048, 0.0615, 0.0246, -0.0117, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0055, 0.0023, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0028, -0.0058, -0.0045, 0.0122, 0.0096, -0.0114, -0.0292, 0.0085, 0.038, 0.0126, 0.0663, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0329, 0.0411, 0.0386, 0.0658, 0.1171, 0.123, 0.1257, 0.1938, 0.3155, 0.4016, 0.4016, 0.4308, 0.4389, 0.4923, 0.4976, 0.3711, 0.4121, 0.4372, 0.4595, 0.4136, 0.4178, 0.3607, 0.4307, 0.4016, 0.2287, 0.2529, 0.2504, 0.3203, 0.2664, 0.3202, 0.2336, 0.1814, 0.1313, 0.1414, 0.0908, 0.1311, 0.1377, 0.1234, 0.1823, 0.1456, 0.2182, 0.2294, 0.267, 0.2578, 0.2701, 0.1984, 0.2533, 0.2129, 0.1901, 0.1704, 0.1734, 0.218, 0.218, 0.198, 0.2481, 0.3093, 0.1988, 0.2303, 0.2866, 0.2977, 0.3073, 0.31, 0.2901, 0.2963, 0.2925, 0.3876, 0.3553]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1347093106714296321", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-07T08:09:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Increasing my 2021 end of year $1600-2000 PT probability to 25-35% with the recent Q1 massive beat and 1m+ deliveries increasingly likely. 50% between $1000-1400 and <15% it's below $1000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Raises 2021 EOY TSLA PT range to $1600-2000 at 25-35% probability; 50% chance $1000-1400, on Q1 beat and 1M+ delivery outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My 2020 $TSLA price target was $2000 pre-split ($400 post split). For 2021, I\u2019m targeting $1240 with 50% probability and 80% it\u2019s between 1000-1400. I believe there\u2019s a 10-15% chance it ends the year 1600-2000.\n\n---\n\nIncreasing my 2021 end of year $1600-2000 PT probability to 25-35% with the recent Q1 massive beat and 1m+ deliveries increasingly likely. 50% between $1000-1400 and &lt;15% it's below $1000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07359934830214465, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07359934830214465, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.058959314667847096, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05467327950958045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014640033634297556, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0189260687925642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07840299470467449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07840299470467449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07270524300389236, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05778364718821094, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005697751700782128, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02061934751646355, "ret_p1w": 0.03548840820824273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03548840820824273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03717652204325306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025148560921906427, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016881138350103297, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010339847286336301, "ret_p1m": 0.044348281389240185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044348281389240185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02163665623248745, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002928545187685927, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022711625156752735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04141973620155426, "ret_p3m": -0.15246804983051798, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15246804983051798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22725074905899412, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20638309157008394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07478269922847613, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05391504173956596, "ret_p6m": -0.1680554849684175, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1680554849684175, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31963603580786537, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26671849449439766, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15158055083944788, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09866300952598017, "price_path": [-0.458, -0.4527, -0.4347, -0.4499, -0.4612, -0.472, -0.4829, -0.4821, -0.4782, -0.4845, -0.485, -0.4796, -0.5025, -0.4966, -0.5245, -0.5092, -0.4805, -0.4841, -0.4632, -0.4731, -0.4838, -0.4971, -0.4888, -0.4954, -0.4994, -0.4999, -0.4588, -0.4037, -0.3882, -0.4, -0.3605, -0.3194, -0.2966, -0.2966, -0.2822, -0.3044, -0.2834, -0.303, -0.2729, -0.2659, -0.2136, -0.2036, -0.2593, -0.2316, -0.2525, -0.2159, -0.224, -0.2368, -0.1962, -0.1483, -0.2036, -0.2153, -0.2084, -0.189, -0.189, -0.1867, -0.1839, -0.1486, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1057, -0.0992, -0.0736, 0.0, 0.0784, -0.0059, 0.0409, 0.047, 0.0355, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0349, 0.0422, 0.0355, 0.0375, 0.0794, 0.0822, 0.059, 0.0238, -0.0276, 0.0291, 0.0695, 0.0474, 0.0416, 0.0443, 0.0581, 0.041, -0.0137, -0.0054, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0243, -0.0219, -0.0351, -0.0426, -0.1244, -0.1436, -0.0907, -0.164, -0.1722, -0.1196, -0.1588, -0.1995, -0.2385, -0.2673, -0.3101, -0.1746, -0.1813, -0.1427, -0.1499, -0.1325, -0.1705, -0.14, -0.1996, -0.1975, -0.179, -0.1886, -0.2276, -0.2152, -0.2418, -0.2509, -0.2211, -0.1815, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1532, -0.1525, -0.1778, -0.1621, -0.1704, -0.1398, -0.0658, -0.1027, -0.0946, -0.0935, -0.1243, -0.1189, -0.0881, -0.1181, -0.1062, -0.0954, -0.1364, -0.1491, -0.1704, -0.1306, -0.1607, -0.1746, -0.1778, -0.1869, -0.1761, -0.2292, -0.2437, -0.2771, -0.2994, -0.2773, -0.2931, -0.2919, -0.3095, -0.2809, -0.2882, -0.2569, -0.259, -0.2413, -0.2269, -0.2338, -0.2338, -0.2355, -0.2585, -0.298, -0.2659, -0.2585, -0.2603, -0.2662, -0.2523, -0.2526, -0.2431, -0.2655, -0.2588, -0.2444, -0.2362, -0.2392, -0.2357, -0.1954, -0.1669, -0.1767, -0.156, -0.1658, -0.1671, -0.1693, -0.1681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1509981308079902724", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-01T19:49:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's a setup for a big beat here. I think we delivery sub 315k but I wouldn't put it past $TSLA to deliver 320k+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Setup for a delivery beat vs lowered expectations; TSLA could deliver 320k+ in Q1.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TeslaAndDoge With expectations being lowered due to the Shanghai closure (which might have near-zero impact on Q1 deliveries), there's a setup for a big beat here. I think we delivery sub 315k but I wouldn't put it past $TSLA to deliver 320k+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Estimate from Troy Teslike", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TeslaAndDoge", "ret_m1d": -0.006444794567899814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006444794567899814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036188019582891195, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005203247797456512, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028259926096106947, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012415467704433025, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05611341298759176, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05611341298759176, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04754671345971784, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033654618217541454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008566699527873922, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022458794770050305, "ret_p1w": -0.054490670963815435, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.054490670963815435, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04267829528367206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02344824926023381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011812375680143372, "bench_c_p1w": -0.031042421703581624, "ret_p1m": -0.16748261001138298, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16748261001138298, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08261126181538492, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05967092872611002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08487134819599806, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10781168128527296, "ret_p3m": -0.3679915739643772, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3679915739643772, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21137007632643223, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12301336542136199, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.15662149763794497, "bench_c_p3m": -0.24497820854301522, "ret_p6m": -0.23655018754302393, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23655018754302393, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.047701636408956305, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02872431520248231, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.18884855113406762, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20782587234054162, "price_path": [0.0599, 0.0033, -0.0183, -0.0531, -0.0244, -0.0186, 0.0199, -0.0489, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0499, -0.082, -0.0814, -0.1297, -0.1425, -0.1532, -0.1357, -0.2356, -0.2197, -0.1363, -0.1414, -0.165, -0.1784, -0.1487, -0.1634, -0.1499, -0.1407, -0.166, -0.2071, -0.1925, -0.1495, -0.1486, -0.192, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.2425, -0.2955, -0.2617, -0.2533, -0.1975, -0.203, -0.1887, -0.2262, -0.2271, -0.2582, -0.2399, -0.208, -0.2271, -0.2667, -0.2934, -0.2607, -0.2253, -0.1964, -0.1652, -0.1507, -0.0835, -0.0788, -0.0652, -0.0682, 0.0067, 0.0138, 0.0087, -0.0064, 0.0, 0.0561, 0.0061, -0.0358, -0.0252, -0.0545, -0.1002, -0.09, -0.0574, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.074, -0.052, -0.099, -0.0699, -0.0733, -0.0798, -0.1919, -0.1872, -0.1909, -0.1972, -0.1675, -0.1617, -0.1217, -0.1948, -0.2019, -0.2743, -0.2624, -0.3232, -0.3288, -0.2904, -0.3321, -0.2978, -0.3455, -0.3459, -0.3879, -0.3777, -0.4208, -0.3926, -0.3475, -0.2996, -0.2996, -0.3009, -0.3174, -0.2854, -0.3513, -0.3409, -0.3392, -0.331, -0.337, -0.3576, -0.4033, -0.389, -0.3555, -0.4106, -0.4004, -0.4004, -0.3444, -0.347, -0.3498, -0.3204, -0.3225, -0.3564, -0.368, -0.3791, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3553, -0.359, -0.3236, -0.3064, -0.3518, -0.3553, -0.3443, -0.3408, -0.336, -0.3346, -0.3209, -0.3154, -0.2485, -0.247, -0.2575, -0.284, -0.2398, -0.223, -0.1781, -0.1777, -0.1686, -0.1497, -0.1463, -0.2029, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.1858, -0.2072, -0.1701, -0.1444, -0.152, -0.1591, -0.1623, -0.1794, -0.1981, -0.18, -0.1782, -0.1811, -0.2031, -0.2122, -0.2319, -0.2377, -0.2334, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.2409, -0.2153, -0.1999, -0.1711, -0.158, -0.192, -0.163, -0.1598, -0.1609, -0.1451, -0.146, -0.168, -0.2018, -0.2384, -0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1606395352168513536", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-23T21:04:31+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Likely continues into Q4 print", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects TSLA downside move to continue into Q4 earnings print, fueled by margin calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers @micki_bruin Without a doubt. $TSLA had traders pile on during the long runs, can happen for the short runs too. Margin calls are blood in the water. Likely continues into Q4 print", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@micki_bruin This feels like it could be part of it", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": 0.01786436801448099, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01786436801448099, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023583614397167607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024663276408263823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005719246382686616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006798908393782832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.00024359544397212218, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00024359544397212218, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001496886319773405, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0023295594335698278, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012532908758012828, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020859639895977056, "ret_p1m": 0.16727566560193807, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16727566560193807, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12099834687456323, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0767249425097647, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04627731872737484, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09055072309217338, "ret_p3m": 0.5521720789935667, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5521720789935667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5242372022321733, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.45023365392152415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02793487676139339, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10193842507204254, "ret_p6m": 1.1156313870623187, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.1156313870623187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9592868628460369, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8262260749341954, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15634452421628176, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28940531212812326, "price_path": [1.2975, 1.3371, 1.1779, 1.1539, 0.9683, 1.0255, 0.9554, 0.9337, 0.8114, 0.8105, 0.758, 0.764, 0.8004, 0.6646, 0.7812, 0.788, 0.803, 0.6832, 0.7413, 0.7154, 0.8061, 0.8241, 0.8278, 0.8556, 0.8477, 0.8499, 0.7457, 0.7484, 0.6847, 0.6003, 0.5534, 0.4421, 0.5487, 0.5913, 0.5505, 0.5787, 0.5178, 0.4874, 0.4632, 0.3631, 0.3797, 0.4876, 0.4876, 0.4849, 0.4853, 0.4684, 0.581, 0.581, 0.5823, 0.4815, 0.4602, 0.4132, 0.4084, 0.4539, 0.3627, 0.3069, 0.2732, 0.2803, 0.2199, 0.217, 0.119, 0.1171, 0.0179, 0.0, 0.0, -0.1141, -0.0848, -0.0108, 0.0002, 0.0002, -0.1222, -0.0772, -0.104, -0.0819, -0.0274, -0.0349, 0.0006, 0.0033, -0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0677, 0.0457, 0.0326, 0.0834, 0.1673, 0.1684, 0.1728, 0.3014, 0.4446, 0.3533, 0.4066, 0.4731, 0.5288, 0.5427, 0.5815, 0.5981, 0.6345, 0.6835, 0.5988, 0.5805, 0.6991, 0.7397, 0.6406, 0.6915, 0.6915, 0.6027, 0.631, 0.6408, 0.5987, 0.686, 0.6704, 0.6465, 0.5501, 0.6061, 0.5738, 0.5242, 0.4779, 0.4041, 0.4084, 0.4168, 0.4881, 0.4653, 0.4952, 0.4627, 0.488, 0.6044, 0.5522, 0.5609, 0.5462, 0.5575, 0.5363, 0.5743, 0.5857, 0.6846, 0.5816, 0.5638, 0.5065, 0.5027, 0.5027, 0.4983, 0.5168, 0.466, 0.5095, 0.5022, 0.5188, 0.4966, 0.4664, 0.3235, 0.3405, 0.3199, 0.3047, 0.2485, 0.3008, 0.3342, 0.3141, 0.3017, 0.3042, 0.309, 0.3809, 0.395, 0.3735, 0.3686, 0.3973, 0.364, 0.3508, 0.3522, 0.4118, 0.4364, 0.4628, 0.5337, 0.5085, 0.4852, 0.4979, 0.5686, 0.5686, 0.6335, 0.6559, 0.6851, 0.7375, 0.767, 0.7971, 0.8235, 0.9071, 0.9846, 1.0287, 1.1008, 1.0852, 1.078, 1.1156, 1.1156]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782832912616026152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-23T18:04:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still holding 1/2 my puts I've had for 70+ days. I still expect a disaster call w/o Drew/Zach fwiw.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still holds TSLA puts; expects further downside toward $135\u2013$150 range, anticipates a bad earnings call.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you weren't short $TSLA before this week, I'd probably avoid opening. IV is sky high and it's already -40% YTD. I can see a $150 retest in the next week or so based on technicals.\n\nOn the contrary, I can see ~$135 this week as well. Both of these price ranges are priced into weekly options. \n\nStill holding 1/2 my puts I've had for 70+ days. I may consider opening some offsetting puts to hedge upside.\n\nIf you do open a position, always consider spreading to maximize ROI in a high IV env.\n\nI still expect a disaster call w/o Drew/Zach fwiw.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01817797730966908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01817797730966908, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006450410433438303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006412545657211943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011727566876230777, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011765431652457137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12061109407252757, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12061109407252757, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12108582502020038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11104808374360231, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004747309476728079, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009563010328925259, "ret_p1w": 0.2667957427259193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2667957427259193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2740537662600616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2489448080974821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01785093462843723, "ret_p1m": 0.24488533127014134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24488533127014134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19706566250981172, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22106481057748884, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023820520692652503, "ret_p3m": 0.6533039055667795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6533039055667795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.564089849574122, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5624610178561844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08921405599265753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09084288771059512, "ret_p6m": 0.5297899712162779, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5297899712162779, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37094421716808235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3720919821633668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15884575404819556, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1576979890529111, "price_path": [0.2623, 0.2666, 0.3197, 0.3242, 0.2945, 0.3054, 0.2988, 0.2515, 0.2794, 0.2965, 0.3102, 0.3379, 0.3003, 0.2719, 0.3043, 0.3855, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3392, 0.3462, 0.3645, 0.3269, 0.3782, 0.3805, 0.3965, 0.3954, 0.4006, 0.3004, 0.2492, 0.2202, 0.2348, 0.2119, 0.2287, 0.2271, 0.1714, 0.1232, 0.1306, 0.2013, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1945, 0.1807, 0.1932, 0.228, 0.243, 0.215, 0.215, 0.2111, 0.1517, 0.1638, 0.1827, 0.1398, 0.1956, 0.2226, 0.1872, 0.2068, 0.1823, 0.1161, 0.0859, 0.0744, 0.0363, 0.0164, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.1206, 0.1763, 0.1632, 0.3412, 0.2668, 0.2441, 0.2442, 0.2524, 0.277, 0.229, 0.2076, 0.1886, 0.1644, 0.1881, 0.2272, 0.2026, 0.2085, 0.2266, 0.2092, 0.2897, 0.2449, 0.2009, 0.2389, 0.2389, 0.2217, 0.2178, 0.2358, 0.2309, 0.2185, 0.208, 0.2096, 0.2299, 0.2267, 0.2012, 0.1796, 0.2254, 0.2612, 0.2304, 0.2955, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.255, 0.2649, 0.262, 0.2949, 0.3573, 0.3645, 0.3677, 0.4505, 0.5984, 0.703, 0.703, 0.7385, 0.7483, 0.8132, 0.8196, 0.666, 0.7157, 0.7462, 0.7733, 0.7176, 0.7226, 0.6533, 0.7384, 0.7029, 0.4929, 0.5223, 0.5192, 0.6042, 0.5387, 0.604, 0.4989, 0.4354, 0.3746, 0.3868, 0.3254, 0.3743, 0.3824, 0.365, 0.4365, 0.3919, 0.4801, 0.4938, 0.5394, 0.5282, 0.5432, 0.456, 0.5228, 0.4737, 0.446, 0.4221, 0.4258, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.4556, 0.5165, 0.5909, 0.4565, 0.4948, 0.5632, 0.5768, 0.5884, 0.5917, 0.5675, 0.575, 0.5704, 0.6859, 0.6467, 0.728, 0.7575, 0.7765, 0.7571, 0.8002, 0.8083, 0.7834, 0.7212, 0.6634, 0.7285, 0.6646, 0.6899, 0.6661, 0.6503, 0.5054, 0.5148, 0.5176, 0.5298]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1760432057564770407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-21T22:31:24+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long here too. Looking at 830-1000 by August.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NVDA with $830\u2013$1000 price target by August.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@saxena_puru Long here too. I projected 5.15 EPS within 0.01. Looking at 830-1000 by August.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NVIDIA Q4 results -\n\nQ1 revenue guidance $24b (plus or minus 2%)\n\nI'm long $NVDA https://t.co/nxUvTj9yNj", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saxena_puru", "ret_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030250765303645566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022882762450559202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009052597775182081, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006462743075568156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14331364779080857, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09571724994400643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020695282899041212, "bench_c_p1d": 0.06829168074584335, "ret_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1328388558728315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09557237499634619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018201498440170605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.055467979316655924, "ret_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3016947363285152, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20357201940633374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.053523531645810696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15164624856799214, "ret_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33541603985741, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20892896393684146, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06938083989994581, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19586791582051433, "ret_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7017360650971363, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5674109682994335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11940246548011246, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25372756227781523, "price_path": [-0.292, -0.2851, -0.2913, -0.2866, -0.3069, -0.307, -0.3256, -0.3098, -0.3256, -0.3094, -0.2959, -0.3089, -0.2937, -0.2873, -0.2834, -0.2754, -0.2578, -0.2648, -0.2869, -0.2739, -0.2763, -0.2763, -0.2696, -0.2676, -0.266, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2861, -0.295, -0.2886, -0.2723, -0.2256, -0.2124, -0.1945, -0.1875, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1644, -0.1692, -0.1536, -0.1183, -0.1159, -0.1126, -0.0906, -0.0868, -0.0955, -0.0742, -0.0696, -0.0881, -0.0659, -0.0194, 0.0276, 0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0321, 0.0691, 0.0708, 0.069, 0.0953, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0293, 0.0, 0.164, 0.1681, 0.1722, 0.1664, 0.151, 0.1725, 0.2195, 0.2633, 0.2741, 0.3147, 0.3735, 0.2973, 0.2713, 0.3623, 0.3471, 0.3035, 0.3019, 0.311, 0.325, 0.3395, 0.3552, 0.3975, 0.4081, 0.3719, 0.3377, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.3393, 0.3258, 0.3186, 0.2733, 0.3044, 0.2915, 0.2651, 0.2901, 0.3431, 0.3071, 0.2747, 0.2956, 0.2455, 0.255, 0.1294, 0.1786, 0.2216, 0.1809, 0.2247, 0.3004, 0.3007, 0.2806, 0.2308, 0.272, 0.316, 0.3657, 0.3422, 0.3401, 0.3154, 0.3321, 0.3399, 0.354, 0.4026, 0.3986, 0.3707, 0.4048, 0.4138, 0.4073, 0.5385, 0.578, 0.578, 0.6882, 0.7019, 0.6378, 0.6249, 0.7045, 0.7258, 0.8148, 0.7934, 0.7918, 0.8051, 0.7922, 0.8558, 0.9212, 0.9548, 0.9415, 1.0097, 1.0097, 0.9385, 0.8761, 0.7507, 0.869, 0.8736, 0.8379, 0.8312, 0.8425, 0.8183, 0.9015, 0.9015, 0.8652, 0.9003, 0.9474, 0.9998, 0.8884, 0.9157, 0.9038, 0.873, 0.749, 0.7949, 0.7481, 0.8312, 0.8171, 0.6935, 0.6643, 0.6759, 0.6541, 0.5376, 0.7346, 0.6188, 0.59, 0.489, 0.5453, 0.4661, 0.556, 0.5527, 0.616, 0.7215, 0.7503, 0.8211]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1777366300626731208", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-08T16:02:02+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$2.85 EPS too high. Needs to drop to 1.60-2.20 range.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA EPS consensus of $2.85 is too high; expects it to fall to $1.60\u2013$2.20, implying downside to estimates and stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 $2.85 EPS too high. Needs to drop to 1.60-2.20 range.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Our view on $TSLA is that investors will not get excited about the 8/8 robotaxi unveil until TSLA can provide assurance FSD will be 99.99% intervention free, and that TSLA is prepared to assume liability for injury or damages to appease regulators tasked with granting robotaxi https://t.co/RT2LhnLKRV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.046710614120846095, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046710614120846095, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04615160271046859, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03729436096867367, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005590114103775079, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009416253152172427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02254601255405486, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02254601255405486, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021389300069063033, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01783788597796865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011567124849918287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004708126576086213, "ret_p1w": -0.06648167582402797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06648167582402797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03897169741611484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03114322476002851, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027509978407913138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035338451063999465, "ret_p1m": 0.027922314431446882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027922314431446882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030968131129580523, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03911096899975286, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003045816698133641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011188654568305978, "ret_p3m": 0.4243843535395708, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4243843535395708, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35783770920202307, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.382100337191847, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06654664433754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04228401634772383, "ret_p6m": 0.4916175013674955, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4916175013674955, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3885096064401865, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38160330874906645, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310789492730899, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11001419261842904, "price_path": [0.3524, 0.3136, 0.2654, 0.2654, 0.2713, 0.2461, 0.2249, 0.2267, 0.2071, 0.209, 0.2015, 0.0558, 0.0594, 0.1038, 0.1076, 0.0827, 0.0918, 0.0863, 0.0467, 0.0701, 0.0844, 0.0958, 0.119, 0.0876, 0.0638, 0.0909, 0.1588, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1201, 0.126, 0.1412, 0.1098, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.168, 0.1671, 0.1715, 0.0876, 0.0449, 0.0206, 0.0328, 0.0136, 0.0277, 0.0264, -0.0202, -0.0606, -0.0544, 0.0047, -0.0096, 0.0155, -0.0009, -0.0124, -0.002, 0.0271, 0.0396, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0129, -0.0367, -0.0266, -0.0108, -0.0467, 0.0, 0.0225, -0.0071, 0.0094, -0.0112, -0.0665, -0.0917, -0.1013, -0.1333, -0.1499, -0.1788, -0.1636, -0.0627, -0.0162, -0.0271, 0.1218, 0.0595, 0.0405, 0.0406, 0.0475, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.0101, -0.0058, -0.0261, -0.0063, 0.0264, 0.0058, 0.0108, 0.0259, 0.0114, 0.0787, 0.0412, 0.0044, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0218, 0.0186, 0.0336, 0.0295, 0.0191, 0.0103, 0.0117, 0.0287, 0.026, 0.0047, -0.0134, 0.0249, 0.0549, 0.0291, 0.0836, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0497, 0.058, 0.0555, 0.0831, 0.1352, 0.1413, 0.1439, 0.2132, 0.3369, 0.4244, 0.4244, 0.454, 0.4623, 0.5165, 0.5219, 0.3934, 0.435, 0.4605, 0.4832, 0.4366, 0.4408, 0.3828, 0.454, 0.4243, 0.2486, 0.2733, 0.2707, 0.3418, 0.287, 0.3416, 0.2537, 0.2005, 0.1497, 0.1599, 0.1086, 0.1495, 0.1562, 0.1417, 0.2015, 0.1642, 0.2379, 0.2494, 0.2875, 0.2782, 0.2907, 0.2178, 0.2737, 0.2326, 0.2094, 0.1894, 0.1925, 0.2378, 0.2378, 0.2175, 0.2684, 0.3306, 0.2182, 0.2503, 0.3075, 0.3188, 0.3285, 0.3313, 0.311, 0.3173, 0.3134, 0.4101, 0.3773, 0.4453, 0.4699, 0.4858, 0.4696, 0.5057, 0.5125, 0.4916]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1754949581161496802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T19:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still expect a rally to ~$25 if it holds above $20.30 fib channel", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long PLTR via Jan 2026 30c's; expects rally to ~$25 if price holds above $20.30 fib channel.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rolled my Feb 9 18.50c's (took 15% profits in 1 day) into Jan 2026 30c's for $PLTR - hedges my upside by roughly 50% but accounts for some dramatic swings likely from now until EOY. I still expect a rally to ~$25 if it holds above $20.30 fib channel", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.23548245671029555, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23548245671029555, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23258749209513607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.23258749209513607, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07910377118654788, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07910377118654788, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07076337844766889, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07076337844766889, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "ret_p1w": 0.09785090569404153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09785090569404153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09764866126330163, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09764866126330163, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "ret_p1m": 0.19615906920692594, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19615906920692594, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16423472868342004, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16423472868342004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "ret_p3m": 0.06675807171682901, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06675807171682901, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028500293860054926, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028500293860054926, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "ret_p6m": 0.22953810506534045, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22953810506534045, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10742011200805024, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10742011200805024, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "price_path": [-0.1646, -0.1006, -0.0988, -0.0882, -0.0878, -0.096, -0.0631, -0.0242, -0.0947, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.1221, -0.1276, -0.0988, -0.0928, -0.0832, -0.0732, -0.1587, -0.1632, -0.2167, -0.2126, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.1998, -0.1829, -0.1674, -0.1678, -0.1843, -0.1792, -0.2112, -0.1957, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1916, -0.2012, -0.1971, -0.2149, -0.2149, -0.2419, -0.2643, -0.257, -0.2693, -0.2378, -0.2506, -0.2323, -0.2373, -0.2337, -0.2337, -0.2442, -0.2506, -0.2501, -0.2327, -0.1952, -0.2076, -0.2341, -0.2474, -0.2524, -0.2186, -0.2346, -0.2643, -0.2533, -0.2218, -0.2355, 0.0, 0.0791, 0.1207, 0.1148, 0.1454, 0.0979, 0.1518, 0.1619, 0.1175, 0.1175, 0.07, 0.0398, 0.0786, 0.0503, 0.0773, 0.1216, 0.1166, 0.1468, 0.1399, 0.0992, 0.0887, 0.1962, 0.2099, 0.1907, 0.1591, 0.1294, 0.1431, 0.1171, 0.0741, 0.0974, 0.0882, 0.1235, 0.1198, 0.1056, 0.1207, 0.1381, 0.1207, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.0453, 0.0389, 0.038, 0.0279, 0.0498, 0.0517, 0.043, 0.0251, 0.0444, 0.0366, 0.0014, 0.0005, -0.0256, -0.0338, -0.064, -0.0412, -0.0105, -0.0128, -0.0073, 0.0297, 0.0439, 0.0046, 0.0114, 0.0311, 0.0668, 0.1527, -0.0215, -0.0142, -0.0334, -0.0581, -0.0425, -0.0197, -0.0091, -0.0101, -0.005, -0.0114, -0.0288, -0.032, -0.0526, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.0375, -0.0425, -0.0064, -0.0087, -0.0251, 0.0105, 0.0498, 0.0878, 0.0658, 0.0576, 0.0905, 0.0869, 0.064, 0.0777, 0.144, 0.1806, 0.1806, 0.1687, 0.0901, 0.1047, 0.123, 0.102, 0.1532, 0.1582, 0.1834, 0.1811, 0.182, 0.182, 0.2451, 0.2666, 0.2524, 0.2995, 0.2638, 0.2835, 0.3109, 0.3109, 0.2904, 0.3096, 0.3068, 0.3013, 0.3173, 0.2163, 0.2176, 0.2428, 0.2382, 0.2058, 0.2295]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1458131663347585025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-09T17:57:33+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just bought PLTR Jan 30c's", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought PLTR January $30 calls; bullish bet on Palantir.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pakpakchicken Just bought PLTR Jan 30c\u2019s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just sold $pltr puts ( bullish move ) \n\n5.4% easy money https://t.co/uVEoRAAAyv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pakpakchicken", "ret_m1d": 0.10309278350515472, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10309278350515472, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09977649606338468, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09977649606338468, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033162874417700383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033162874417700383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07134018730871461, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07134018730871461, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06329528684387586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06329528684387586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008044900464838745, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008044900464838745, "ret_p1w": -0.04618560161787211, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04618560161787211, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05025087380085802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025087380085802, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004065272182985913, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004065272182985913, "ret_p1m": -0.18268042495570236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18268042495570236, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1872592132466182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1872592132466182, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004578788290915847, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004578788290915847, "ret_p3m": -0.466391769881101, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.466391769881101, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4297970269579753, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4297970269579753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0365947429231257, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0365947429231257, "ret_p6m": -0.5472165137222132, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5472165137222132, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.471314762627423, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.471314762627423, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07590175109479025, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07590175109479025, "price_path": [0.0264, 0.0268, 0.0103, -0.0115, 0.0425, -0.0037, -0.0099, 0.0235, 0.0351, 0.0041, 0.0256, 0.0602, 0.0623, 0.0862, 0.0804, 0.0932, 0.0986, 0.0986, 0.101, 0.0548, 0.0775, 0.0837, 0.0652, 0.0829, 0.1167, 0.1806, 0.1839, 0.0948, 0.0977, 0.1311, 0.1864, 0.1777, 0.1328, 0.0449, 0.0111, -0.0087, 0.0033, -0.0445, -0.0429, -0.0276, -0.0214, -0.0309, -0.0297, -0.0231, -0.0049, 0.0041, -0.0103, 0.0004, 0.0181, -0.0012, 0.0219, 0.0074, 0.0478, 0.0524, 0.0334, 0.0573, 0.0672, 0.0953, 0.0689, 0.0771, 0.0915, 0.0722, 0.1031, 0.0, -0.0713, -0.052, -0.0586, -0.0346, -0.0462, -0.0726, -0.1134, -0.1171, -0.1485, -0.1509, -0.1295, -0.1295, -0.1328, -0.1311, -0.1485, -0.2008, -0.188, -0.2173, -0.2247, -0.1975, -0.1827, -0.2078, -0.219, -0.2412, -0.2313, -0.2223, -0.2437, -0.214, -0.2594, -0.2206, -0.2214, -0.2194, -0.2194, -0.219, -0.2342, -0.2507, -0.2293, -0.2491, -0.2359, -0.2507, -0.3006, -0.3097, -0.3171, -0.3196, -0.3035, -0.3105, -0.3398, -0.3398, -0.3398, -0.3827, -0.3996, -0.3971, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4614, -0.4742, -0.4936, -0.4759, -0.4346, -0.4144, -0.4507, -0.4866, -0.4664, -0.4647, -0.4577, -0.428, -0.4408, -0.4586, -0.4532, -0.4157, -0.4239, -0.5146, -0.5456, -0.5456, -0.5678, -0.5699, -0.5122, -0.527, -0.5113, -0.4977, -0.5027, -0.5324, -0.548, -0.5419, -0.5447, -0.5196, -0.5105, -0.5303, -0.567, -0.5559, -0.5138, -0.492, -0.4713, -0.4808, -0.4528, -0.4565, -0.4478, -0.4652, -0.4466, -0.4144, -0.4276, -0.4338, -0.4297, -0.3967, -0.4272, -0.4639, -0.4705, -0.4763, -0.4779, -0.4862, -0.468, -0.4878, -0.4878, -0.499, -0.4676, -0.4726, -0.4915, -0.5068, -0.5006, -0.5414, -0.5645, -0.5485, -0.5711, -0.5571, -0.5649, -0.5472]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1547339200076435456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-13T21:56:28+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "-5 to -10% % tmr in cards", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Expects TSLA down 5\u201310% tomorrow on Karpathy not returning news.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wholemars @elonmusk @elonmusk had to have known months ago - yet he still reaffirmed FSD by EOY. Possible offsetting announcement incoming from @tesla or @aelluswamy ? Although market will surely not like this (-5 to -10% % tmr in cards).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Karpathy isn\u2019t coming back @elonmusk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wholemars", "ret_m1d": -0.016748169399084745, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016748169399084745, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022027422395084706, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008616817177183878, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005279252995999961, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008131352221900867, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005371861218914864, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005371861218914864, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007800380323222722, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006213134633989981, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002428519104307858, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008412734150751167, "ret_p1w": 0.044127602978965896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044127602978965896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0020509029710911175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022534283766961982, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04207670000787478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06666188674592788, "ret_p1m": 0.20920525228339515, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20920525228339515, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10055500285795405, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04454810406659648, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1086502494254411, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16465714821679867, "ret_p3m": -0.059399202544144325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.059399202544144325, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013649971342090117, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.041262938567019014, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04574923120205421, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01813626397712531, "ret_p6m": -0.5345089459030723, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5345089459030723, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5446921969535445, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.443415054045207, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.010183251050472242, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09109389185786532, "price_path": [0.3851, 0.4123, 0.4458, 0.3742, 0.4186, 0.4133, 0.4034, 0.2325, 0.2396, 0.234, 0.2245, 0.2697, 0.2786, 0.3396, 0.228, 0.2173, 0.1069, 0.125, 0.0322, 0.0237, 0.0822, 0.0186, 0.071, -0.0018, -0.0024, -0.0664, -0.0509, -0.1167, -0.0736, -0.0048, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0663, 0.0411, 0.0898, -0.0106, 0.0052, 0.0078, 0.0204, 0.0112, -0.0203, -0.0899, -0.0681, -0.017, -0.101, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0, -0.004, -0.0083, 0.0366, 0.0332, -0.0185, -0.0361, -0.053, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0168, -0.0224, 0.0317, 0.0579, -0.0114, -0.0167, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0128, 0.0148, 0.0358, 0.0441, 0.1462, 0.1485, 0.1324, 0.0921, 0.1594, 0.185, 0.2536, 0.2541, 0.2681, 0.2968, 0.302, 0.2157, 0.2252, 0.1953, 0.2418, 0.2092, 0.2657, 0.3049, 0.2933, 0.2825, 0.2777, 0.2515, 0.2231, 0.2506, 0.2534, 0.249, 0.2154, 0.2016, 0.1715, 0.1627, 0.1693, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1577, 0.1968, 0.2203, 0.2643, 0.2843, 0.2324, 0.2766, 0.2814, 0.2797, 0.3039, 0.3024, 0.269, 0.2175, 0.1615, 0.1644, 0.1936, 0.2142, 0.1315, 0.119, 0.0226, 0.0523, 0.0159, 0.0046, -0.0589, -0.0594, -0.0867, -0.0835, -0.0646, -0.1352, -0.0746, -0.0711, -0.0633, -0.1255, -0.0953, -0.1088, -0.0617, -0.0523, -0.0504, -0.0359, -0.0401, -0.0389, -0.0931, -0.0917, -0.1247, -0.1686, -0.193, -0.2508, -0.1954, -0.1733, -0.1944, -0.1798, -0.2114, -0.2273, -0.2398, -0.2918, -0.2832, -0.2271, -0.2271, -0.2286, -0.2283, -0.2371, -0.1786, -0.1786, -0.1779, -0.2303, -0.2414, -0.2658, -0.2683, -0.2446, -0.292, -0.321, -0.3385, -0.3348, -0.3662, -0.3677, -0.4187, -0.4196, -0.4712, -0.4805, -0.4805, -0.5397, -0.5245, -0.4861, -0.4803, -0.4803, -0.544, -0.5206, -0.5345]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1748033568201413115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-18T17:24:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Either sell and buy back around $150 or just hedge", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA near-term; suggests selling and rebuying around $150 or hedging through 2024 demand pocket.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@teslashanghai Come to peace with the fact that 2024 will be a demand pocket year. Either sell and buy back around $150 or just hedge", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla needs a $25k car, and it should be released for immediate delivery. Hoping to get more information about 25k car and FSD during the earnings call. Or,we done.  $TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "teslashanghai", "ret_m1d": 0.017321116124077607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017321116124077607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026135530385293038, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02297850363748244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00881441426121543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005657387513404832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014630807600990448, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014630807600990448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011003150087540714, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008177845112064652, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012466230847639759, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009640925872163697, "ret_p1w": -0.13804983635042734, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13804983635042734, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1622686634191336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12465643978678242, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02421882706870626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01339339656364491, "ret_p1m": -0.05630549206928992, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05630549206928992, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10461712164843162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08978893859346304, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0483116295791417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03348344652417312, "ret_p3m": -0.25849538894787816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25849538894787816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3185271050186943, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26038441650130595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.060031716070816143, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0018890275534277912, "ret_p6m": 0.17155932606680446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17155932606680446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0111352843136312, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06129507406623791, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18269461038043566, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11026425200056655, "price_path": [0.0009, 0.0219, 0.0025, -0.0289, -0.0216, -0.0685, -0.0521, -0.0294, 0.0313, 0.0381, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0483, -0.009, 0.0131, 0.0558, 0.1205, 0.1461, 0.1025, 0.1058, 0.112, 0.1384, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1112, 0.1142, 0.1644, 0.1523, 0.1331, 0.1272, 0.1119, 0.1267, 0.1297, 0.1452, 0.1508, 0.1315, 0.1186, 0.1294, 0.1849, 0.1964, 0.1897, 0.214, 0.1664, 0.2012, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.2111, 0.2339, 0.1949, 0.1727, 0.1727, 0.1725, 0.1254, 0.1229, 0.1209, 0.1348, 0.1089, 0.1041, 0.0724, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0379, 0.0173, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.0145, -0.0129, -0.0191, -0.138, -0.1351, -0.0989, -0.0958, -0.1161, -0.1086, -0.1131, -0.1455, -0.1264, -0.1147, -0.1053, -0.0864, -0.1121, -0.1315, -0.1094, -0.0539, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0855, -0.0808, -0.0683, -0.094, -0.0589, -0.0573, -0.0464, -0.0472, -0.0436, -0.112, -0.147, -0.1668, -0.1568, -0.1725, -0.161, -0.1621, -0.2001, -0.2331, -0.228, -0.1797, -0.1914, -0.1709, -0.1843, -0.1937, -0.1852, -0.1615, -0.1513, -0.1703, -0.1703, -0.173, -0.2136, -0.2053, -0.1924, -0.2217, -0.1836, -0.1652, -0.1894, -0.1759, -0.1927, -0.2379, -0.2585, -0.2663, -0.2924, -0.306, -0.3296, -0.3172, -0.2348, -0.1968, -0.2057, -0.0842, -0.135, -0.1505, -0.1504, -0.1448, -0.128, -0.1608, -0.1754, -0.1884, -0.2049, -0.1887, -0.162, -0.1788, -0.1748, -0.1625, -0.1743, -0.1193, -0.1499, -0.18, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1658, -0.1684, -0.1562, -0.1595, -0.168, -0.1751, -0.1741, -0.1602, -0.1624, -0.1798, -0.1945, -0.1633, -0.1388, -0.1599, -0.1153, -0.1275, -0.1275, -0.1431, -0.1363, -0.1383, -0.1158, -0.0732, -0.0682, -0.0661, -0.0095, 0.0915, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.1871, 0.1938, 0.2381, 0.2425, 0.1376, 0.1716]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1780312484370579920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-16T19:09:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still super bullish. $2000 pre-split PT by 2027-28 (around $5T)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NVDA ($2000 pre-split by 2027-28) and PLTR as AI software proxy; short TSLA on demand-gap thesis, actively trading around core positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some people have been asking for my positioning. It hasn't changed for 3 months. \n\nLong $NVDA \nLong $PLTR\nShort $TSLA \n\nThe rotation from $TSLA in Mag7 into $NVDA was only one thesis. $TSLA is in a demand-gap year. I've been saying this for 9+ months. I closed my $TSLA shares I bought sub $40 from 2015-2020 in 2022 for an avg above $280 if you include my hedging profits. \n\n$NVDA, even in a recession or high int. rate env, will flourish. The risk/reward, forward PE or PEG setup is not comparable. \n\n$PLTR is my AI proxy on the software level. Yes, I know $NVDA has CUDA and NIMMs.\n\nHope for the best for $TSLA as a company, but also be prudent when it comes to your money.\n\n---\n\nClosed half my $TSLA short position (puts) today at $150. I got these originally above $200.\n\n---\n\nClosed my remaining $TSLA short position (puts) yesterday and today around 160.\n\nI think the bottom isn't in yet (at least for 2024), but near-term is skewed to the upside.\n\n---\n\nTaking profits off $NVDA, within 5% of my $1200 price target for 2024. Going to be some wild swing going into the 10:1 split. Keeping a close watch for re-entry\n\n---\n\nBack in today. I expect to sell again before the split but we\u2019ll see what happens. TSM is a good proxy hedge to NVDA if you can\u2019t write calls.\n\n---\n\nOnce again taking chips off table for $NVDA. My end of year 2024 PT is $1400 but $1200 was my original target.\n\nI can see it rallying to 1265-1380 though. Still super bullish. $2000 pre-split PT by 2027-28 (around $5T).\n\nWill monitor for re-entry again.\n\n---\n\nBack in at about 50% exposure - lower entry than when I sold. \n\nIncreasingly likely we get to 1350-1400 pre-split range in June. Then I'd expect a correction to 1000-1100 but still ending the year around 120-150 range post-split\n\n---\n\n$1400 on the dot. Closed my positions earlier between $134-140.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016175601555016517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016175601555016517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01800268258354576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007962351257018607, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00821325029799791, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038666263448266625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038666263448266625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03274796122435575, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007821170142948475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03084509330531815, "ret_p1w": -0.05710695571825375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05710695571825375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061317250695922754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005272655435183848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518343002830699, "ret_p1m": 0.08253739761878176, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08253739761878176, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03040555475644169, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015280655908285201, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06725674171049656, "ret_p3m": 0.47858638708250334, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.47858638708250334, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3628701377948973, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22630496374147024, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2522814233410331, "ret_p6m": 0.5177284959816864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5177284959816864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3643158960137207, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.35351063092589174, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1642178650557946, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.3195, -0.3176, -0.3151, -0.2981, -0.2952, -0.3019, -0.2855, -0.2819, -0.2962, -0.279, -0.2432, -0.2069, -0.2196, -0.1981, -0.2034, -0.1749, -0.1735, -0.1749, -0.1546, -0.1689, -0.1694, -0.1694, -0.2055, -0.2282, -0.1016, -0.0984, -0.0953, -0.0997, -0.1116, -0.095, -0.0588, -0.025, -0.0166, 0.0147, 0.0601, 0.0013, -0.0188, 0.0515, 0.0397, 0.0061, 0.0048, 0.0119, 0.0227, 0.0338, 0.046, 0.0786, 0.0868, 0.0589, 0.0324, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0233, 0.0177, -0.0173, 0.0068, -0.0032, -0.0236, -0.0043, 0.0366, 0.0088, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0387, -0.0314, -0.1283, -0.0903, -0.0571, -0.0885, -0.0547, 0.0037, 0.0039, -0.0116, -0.05, -0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0541, 0.0359, 0.0343, 0.0152, 0.0282, 0.0341, 0.0451, 0.0825, 0.0794, 0.0579, 0.0843, 0.0912, 0.0862, 0.1874, 0.218, 0.218, 0.303, 0.3136, 0.2641, 0.2542, 0.3156, 0.332, 0.4007, 0.3842, 0.3829, 0.3932, 0.3833, 0.4324, 0.4828, 0.5088, 0.4985, 0.5511, 0.5511, 0.4962, 0.448, 0.3513, 0.4425, 0.4461, 0.4185, 0.4134, 0.4221, 0.4034, 0.4676, 0.4676, 0.4396, 0.4667, 0.5031, 0.5435, 0.4575, 0.4786, 0.4694, 0.4456, 0.3499, 0.3853, 0.3492, 0.4134, 0.4025, 0.3071, 0.2846, 0.2935, 0.2767, 0.1867, 0.3388, 0.2494, 0.2272, 0.1492, 0.1927, 0.1316, 0.2009, 0.1984, 0.2473, 0.3287, 0.3509, 0.4056, 0.4253, 0.4873, 0.4558, 0.4701, 0.4157, 0.4801, 0.4468, 0.4678, 0.4371, 0.3453, 0.3657, 0.3657, 0.2356, 0.2151, 0.2265, 0.1764, 0.2181, 0.2367, 0.3375, 0.3632, 0.3627, 0.3362, 0.3225, 0.2971, 0.3486, 0.3272, 0.3302, 0.3829, 0.4132, 0.4192, 0.389, 0.3895, 0.3387, 0.3598, 0.4056, 0.4293, 0.4613, 0.5205, 0.5177]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1780312484370579920", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-16T19:09:07+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR is my AI proxy on the software level", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NVDA ($2000 pre-split by 2027-28) and PLTR as AI software proxy; short TSLA on demand-gap thesis, actively trading around core positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some people have been asking for my positioning. It hasn't changed for 3 months. \n\nLong $NVDA \nLong $PLTR\nShort $TSLA \n\nThe rotation from $TSLA in Mag7 into $NVDA was only one thesis. $TSLA is in a demand-gap year. I've been saying this for 9+ months. I closed my $TSLA shares I bought sub $40 from 2015-2020 in 2022 for an avg above $280 if you include my hedging profits. \n\n$NVDA, even in a recession or high int. rate env, will flourish. The risk/reward, forward PE or PEG setup is not comparable. \n\n$PLTR is my AI proxy on the software level. Yes, I know $NVDA has CUDA and NIMMs.\n\nHope for the best for $TSLA as a company, but also be prudent when it comes to your money.\n\n---\n\nClosed half my $TSLA short position (puts) today at $150. I got these originally above $200.\n\n---\n\nClosed my remaining $TSLA short position (puts) yesterday and today around 160.\n\nI think the bottom isn't in yet (at least for 2024), but near-term is skewed to the upside.\n\n---\n\nTaking profits off $NVDA, within 5% of my $1200 price target for 2024. Going to be some wild swing going into the 10:1 split. Keeping a close watch for re-entry\n\n---\n\nBack in today. I expect to sell again before the split but we\u2019ll see what happens. TSM is a good proxy hedge to NVDA if you can\u2019t write calls.\n\n---\n\nOnce again taking chips off table for $NVDA. My end of year 2024 PT is $1400 but $1200 was my original target.\n\nI can see it rallying to 1265-1380 though. Still super bullish. $2000 pre-split PT by 2027-28 (around $5T).\n\nWill monitor for re-entry again.\n\n---\n\nBack in at about 50% exposure - lower entry than when I sold. \n\nIncreasingly likely we get to 1350-1400 pre-split range in June. Then I'd expect a correction to 1000-1100 but still ending the year around 120-150 range post-split\n\n---\n\n$1400 on the dot. Closed my positions earlier between $134-140.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009140977390682536, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009140977390682536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009129832894609891, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009129832894609891, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026051175351336164, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026051175351336164, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020132873127425288, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020132873127425288, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "ret_p1w": -0.010968911349343746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010968911349343746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01517920632701275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01517920632701275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "ret_p1m": -0.009597764740741366, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009597764740741366, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06172960760308144, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06172960760308144, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "ret_p3m": 0.2829067994279, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2829067994279, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16719055014029394, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16719055014029394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "ret_p6m": 0.971206705777776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.971206705777776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8177941058098104, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8177941058098104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "price_path": [-0.2505, -0.2331, -0.1956, -0.208, -0.2345, -0.2477, -0.2527, -0.2189, -0.2349, -0.2646, -0.2537, -0.2221, -0.2358, -0.0005, 0.0786, 0.1202, 0.1143, 0.1449, 0.0973, 0.1513, 0.1613, 0.117, 0.117, 0.0695, 0.0393, 0.0782, 0.0498, 0.0768, 0.1211, 0.1161, 0.1463, 0.1394, 0.0987, 0.0882, 0.1956, 0.2093, 0.1901, 0.1586, 0.1289, 0.1426, 0.1165, 0.0736, 0.0969, 0.0878, 0.1229, 0.1193, 0.1051, 0.1202, 0.1376, 0.1202, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0448, 0.0384, 0.0375, 0.0274, 0.0494, 0.0512, 0.0425, 0.0247, 0.0439, 0.0361, 0.0009, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.0343, -0.0644, -0.0416, -0.011, -0.0133, -0.0078, 0.0293, 0.0434, 0.0041, 0.011, 0.0306, 0.0663, 0.1522, -0.0219, -0.0146, -0.0338, -0.0585, -0.043, -0.0201, -0.0096, -0.0105, -0.0055, -0.0119, -0.0293, -0.0324, -0.053, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0379, -0.043, -0.0069, -0.0091, -0.0256, 0.0101, 0.0494, 0.0873, 0.0654, 0.0571, 0.09, 0.0864, 0.0635, 0.0772, 0.1435, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.1682, 0.0896, 0.1042, 0.1225, 0.1015, 0.1527, 0.1577, 0.1828, 0.1805, 0.1814, 0.1814, 0.2445, 0.266, 0.2518, 0.2989, 0.2633, 0.2829, 0.3103, 0.3103, 0.2898, 0.309, 0.3062, 0.3007, 0.3167, 0.2157, 0.2171, 0.2422, 0.2377, 0.2052, 0.229, 0.192, 0.1307, 0.101, 0.2153, 0.2029, 0.3382, 0.3716, 0.3428, 0.3889, 0.4168, 0.4269, 0.4662, 0.4854, 0.4771, 0.4872, 0.4589, 0.4525, 0.41, 0.4095, 0.3876, 0.4168, 0.4388, 0.4388, 0.3944, 0.3981, 0.3784, 0.3862, 0.5814, 0.5887, 0.5928, 0.5955, 0.6266, 0.6595, 0.6659, 0.6627, 0.6833, 0.7002, 0.7345, 0.6865, 0.6965, 0.6956, 0.6837, 0.7002, 0.6664, 0.7134, 0.7934, 0.8286, 0.7774, 0.8944, 0.9712]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1780312484370579920", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-04-16T19:09:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA is in a demand-gap year. I've been saying this for 9+ months", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NVDA ($2000 pre-split by 2027-28) and PLTR as AI software proxy; short TSLA on demand-gap thesis, actively trading around core positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some people have been asking for my positioning. It hasn't changed for 3 months. \n\nLong $NVDA \nLong $PLTR\nShort $TSLA \n\nThe rotation from $TSLA in Mag7 into $NVDA was only one thesis. $TSLA is in a demand-gap year. I've been saying this for 9+ months. I closed my $TSLA shares I bought sub $40 from 2015-2020 in 2022 for an avg above $280 if you include my hedging profits. \n\n$NVDA, even in a recession or high int. rate env, will flourish. The risk/reward, forward PE or PEG setup is not comparable. \n\n$PLTR is my AI proxy on the software level. Yes, I know $NVDA has CUDA and NIMMs.\n\nHope for the best for $TSLA as a company, but also be prudent when it comes to your money.\n\n---\n\nClosed half my $TSLA short position (puts) today at $150. I got these originally above $200.\n\n---\n\nClosed my remaining $TSLA short position (puts) yesterday and today around 160.\n\nI think the bottom isn't in yet (at least for 2024), but near-term is skewed to the upside.\n\n---\n\nTaking profits off $NVDA, within 5% of my $1200 price target for 2024. Going to be some wild swing going into the 10:1 split. Keeping a close watch for re-entry\n\n---\n\nBack in today. I expect to sell again before the split but we\u2019ll see what happens. TSM is a good proxy hedge to NVDA if you can\u2019t write calls.\n\n---\n\nOnce again taking chips off table for $NVDA. My end of year 2024 PT is $1400 but $1200 was my original target.\n\nI can see it rallying to 1265-1380 though. Still super bullish. $2000 pre-split PT by 2027-28 (around $5T).\n\nWill monitor for re-entry again.\n\n---\n\nBack in at about 50% exposure - lower entry than when I sold. \n\nIncreasingly likely we get to 1350-1400 pre-split range in June. Then I'd expect a correction to 1000-1100 but still ending the year around 120-150 range post-split\n\n---\n\n$1400 on the dot. Closed my positions earlier between $134-140.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027814875566231523, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027814875566231523, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02598779453770228, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02209799757799491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005716877988236613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010565868854054306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010565868854054306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004647566630143429, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005715160063866076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0048507087901882295, "ret_p1w": -0.07911659274572835, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911659274572835, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08332688772339736, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07547853875293209, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003638053992796264, "ret_p1m": 0.1074406773422183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1074406773422183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05530883447987822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07406301260856551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03337766473365278, "ret_p3m": 0.5799757797924918, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5799757797924918, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4642595305048858, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4718048931307359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1081708866617559, "ret_p6m": 0.5342753619458369, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5342753619458369, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3808627619778713, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3837465883641855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1505287735816514, "price_path": [0.3486, 0.3506, 0.329, 0.3312, 0.3228, 0.1624, 0.1664, 0.2153, 0.2195, 0.1921, 0.2021, 0.196, 0.1524, 0.1782, 0.1939, 0.2065, 0.2321, 0.1974, 0.1713, 0.2011, 0.2759, 0.2727, 0.2727, 0.2333, 0.2397, 0.2565, 0.2219, 0.2692, 0.2713, 0.286, 0.285, 0.2898, 0.1975, 0.1504, 0.1237, 0.1371, 0.116, 0.1315, 0.13, 0.0787, 0.0343, 0.0411, 0.1062, 0.0904, 0.1181, 0.1, 0.0873, 0.0988, 0.1309, 0.1446, 0.1189, 0.1189, 0.1153, 0.0606, 0.0717, 0.0891, 0.0496, 0.101, 0.1258, 0.0932, 0.1113, 0.0887, 0.0278, 0.0, -0.0106, -0.0457, -0.064, -0.0959, -0.0791, 0.032, 0.0832, 0.0712, 0.2351, 0.1666, 0.1456, 0.1458, 0.1533, 0.176, 0.1318, 0.1121, 0.0946, 0.0723, 0.0941, 0.1301, 0.1074, 0.1129, 0.1295, 0.1136, 0.1877, 0.1464, 0.1058, 0.1409, 0.1409, 0.125, 0.1214, 0.138, 0.1335, 0.1221, 0.1124, 0.1139, 0.1326, 0.1297, 0.1062, 0.0862, 0.1284, 0.1614, 0.133, 0.193, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.1557, 0.1649, 0.1621, 0.1925, 0.2499, 0.2566, 0.2595, 0.3358, 0.472, 0.5683, 0.5683, 0.6009, 0.61, 0.6697, 0.6756, 0.5341, 0.58, 0.608, 0.633, 0.5817, 0.5863, 0.5225, 0.6009, 0.5682, 0.3748, 0.4019, 0.399, 0.4773, 0.417, 0.4771, 0.3803, 0.3218, 0.2659, 0.2771, 0.2205, 0.2656, 0.273, 0.257, 0.3228, 0.2818, 0.363, 0.3756, 0.4176, 0.4073, 0.4211, 0.3408, 0.4023, 0.3571, 0.3316, 0.3096, 0.313, 0.3628, 0.3628, 0.3405, 0.3965, 0.465, 0.3413, 0.3766, 0.4396, 0.452, 0.4627, 0.4658, 0.4434, 0.4504, 0.4461, 0.5525, 0.5165, 0.5912, 0.6184, 0.6359, 0.6181, 0.6578, 0.6653, 0.6423, 0.585, 0.5318, 0.5918, 0.5329, 0.5562, 0.5343]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1779965209802948816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T20:09:10+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Robotaxi beta reveal Aug 8 with a car w/o a steering wheel. Likely some interesting leasing/financing options baked into FSD (which will obviously be a must-have).", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TSLA into Aug 8 robotaxi reveal; FSD monetization via leasing/financing seen as catalyst over next 5 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Double plot twist. Looks like the Reuters article had some merit. It was suspicious that Elon did not out-right deny the article in its entirety.\n\nM2 delay/scrap, key brass departure, FSD monthly price drop all point to one outcome. Robotaxi beta reveal Aug 8 with a car w/o a steering wheel. Likely some interesting leasing/financing options baked into FSD (which will obviously be a must-have). I would bet money that the engineers were blindsided by Aug 8 in both China/US $TSLA offices. Aug 8 (as Elon pointed out) is 8/8 and 8 is a significant number among Chinese culture. Yet, there's no significant presence of FSD in China due to regulatory hurdles. \n\nGoing to be a choppy and pivotal next 5 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We can confirm that the \"Tesla Model 2\" or \"$25,000 Tesla\" is indeed scrapped for now.\n\nElon denied the original report from Reuters presumably because they mentioned the words \"canceled\" and \"scrapped\" and you can argue that it is \"postponed\" instead, but effectively, nothing is", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1625411017693093888", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-14T08:25:59+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR reminds me of $TSLA in 2019 with the model 3 ramp and profit inflection", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PLTR: analogizes to TSLA's 2019 Model 3 ramp + profit inflection as a durable growth catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@farzyness $PLTR reminds me of $TSLA in 2019 with the model 3 ramp and profit inflection", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I think $PLTR has just turned a corner.\n\nThey have a very strong balance sheet with $2.5B in cash, ~$800M in TOTAL liabilities, and is now profitable.\n\nWhat is Palantir's long term TAM? How fast can they scale?  Can their competitors displace them?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "farzyness", "ret_m1d": -0.17462039987914613, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17462039987914613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17508081405749587, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17508081405749587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00046041417834974396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00046041417834974396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09652921517053747, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09652921517053747, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0932818602762222, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0932818602762222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032473548943152686, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032473548943152686, "ret_p1w": -0.08134490003021344, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08134490003021344, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04850752513781442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04850752513781442, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03283737489239902, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03283737489239902, "ret_p1m": -0.14316704267154579, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14316704267154579, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08655584840438124, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08655584840438124, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.056611194267164544, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056611194267164544, "ret_p3m": 0.030368733716037433, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030368733716037433, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02910660637726381, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02910660637726381, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.001262127338773622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.001262127338773622, "ret_p6m": 0.6540129672810073, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6540129672810073, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5656229341370498, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5656229341370498, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08839003314395755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08839003314395755, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1985, -0.2202, -0.2169, -0.2007, -0.2007, -0.2104, -0.2234, -0.2321, -0.1866, -0.1475, -0.1692, -0.2202, -0.2419, -0.2332, -0.2278, -0.2289, -0.2093, -0.1866, -0.2028, -0.2397, -0.2516, -0.3113, -0.3156, -0.295, -0.3145, -0.3178, -0.3178, -0.3492, -0.3416, -0.3059, -0.3037, -0.3037, -0.3069, -0.2863, -0.3145, -0.3059, -0.295, -0.2733, -0.243, -0.2397, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2332, -0.2516, -0.2701, -0.2386, -0.1996, -0.2386, -0.2169, -0.2148, -0.1811, -0.2007, -0.1562, -0.1106, -0.0249, -0.0879, -0.0987, -0.0965, -0.1085, -0.1377, -0.1855, -0.1746, 0.0, 0.0965, 0.0531, -0.0022, -0.0022, -0.0813, -0.0933, -0.1139, -0.1226, -0.1291, -0.1497, -0.1659, -0.1356, -0.0965, -0.102, -0.102, -0.1182, -0.1659, -0.2028, -0.1464, -0.1443, -0.1432, -0.1345, -0.1453, -0.1236, -0.0835, -0.1095, -0.0965, -0.1106, -0.128, -0.1323, -0.1085, -0.1161, -0.0835, -0.0911, -0.0944, -0.1345, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.09, -0.0662, -0.0965, -0.0694, -0.0445, -0.0456, -0.0531, -0.0792, -0.1161, -0.1128, -0.1215, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1518, -0.1594, -0.1562, -0.1768, -0.18, -0.1996, -0.1963, -0.1605, 0.0358, 0.0781, 0.0716, 0.0304, 0.0325, 0.0271, 0.1117, 0.2733, 0.2701, 0.2842, 0.3709, 0.3265, 0.3926, 0.4805, 0.4805, 0.5954, 0.5954, 0.577, 0.5748, 0.6529, 0.6768, 0.5933, 0.6475, 0.6291, 0.6974, 0.7354, 0.7256, 0.8004, 0.7679, 0.7679, 0.7126, 0.5879, 0.5239, 0.5217, 0.5119, 0.5846, 0.6573, 0.6486, 0.6627, 0.6833, 0.6833, 0.7028, 0.641, 0.6638, 0.7679, 0.7885, 0.7993, 0.8156, 0.7787, 0.8872, 0.961, 0.9577, 0.8579, 0.782, 0.7701, 0.795, 0.782, 0.7516, 0.9317, 1.1518, 1.1681, 1.0575, 1.0293, 0.974, 0.9512, 0.8482, 0.654]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1781561669669589447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-20T05:52:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA fast tracking to $135 with this news. Might even happen before earnings.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA to $135 on Model Y price cuts; expects the drop before earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA fast tracking to $135 with this news. Might even happen before earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Tesla has dropped all Model Y trim prices in the U.S. by $2,000.\n\n\u2022\u00a0Model Y RWD: $42,990 (from $44,990)\n\u2022\u00a0Model Y Long Range: $47,990 (from $49,990)\n\u2022\u00a0Model Y Performance: $51,490 (from $53,4900) https://t.co/zEd17otmKp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035198872879842025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035198872879842025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044323858280928774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0395974634235412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004398590543699177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018514534090260826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018514534090260826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006647799288034495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006609029031749758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011905505058511068, "ret_p1w": 0.36606827795035746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.36606827795035746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3453766369612008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3104115523755615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05565672557479595, "ret_p1m": 0.31362197884307985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31362197884307985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2503067659904563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667038313743191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046918147468760774, "ret_p3m": 0.7545229874914454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7545229874914454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.64501571856198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6407602229158194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11376276457562606, "ret_p6m": 0.5457233552062333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5457233552062333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37820052131743753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38036739942345665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16535595578277662, "price_path": [0.4631, 0.2857, 0.29, 0.3441, 0.3488, 0.3185, 0.3295, 0.3228, 0.2746, 0.3031, 0.3205, 0.3345, 0.3627, 0.3244, 0.2955, 0.3285, 0.4111, 0.4076, 0.4076, 0.364, 0.3711, 0.3897, 0.3514, 0.4037, 0.4061, 0.4223, 0.4212, 0.4265, 0.3245, 0.2724, 0.2428, 0.2577, 0.2344, 0.2515, 0.2498, 0.1931, 0.144, 0.1515, 0.2235, 0.2061, 0.2366, 0.2166, 0.2026, 0.2153, 0.2508, 0.266, 0.2375, 0.2375, 0.2335, 0.173, 0.1854, 0.2046, 0.1609, 0.2177, 0.2452, 0.2092, 0.2291, 0.2042, 0.1368, 0.106, 0.0943, 0.0555, 0.0352, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.1414, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.3661, 0.2902, 0.2671, 0.2672, 0.2755, 0.3007, 0.2517, 0.23, 0.2106, 0.186, 0.2101, 0.2499, 0.2249, 0.2308, 0.2493, 0.2316, 0.3136, 0.2679, 0.2231, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2443, 0.2403, 0.2586, 0.2536, 0.241, 0.2303, 0.232, 0.2527, 0.2494, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2481, 0.2845, 0.2532, 0.3195, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.2782, 0.2883, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.3824, 0.3898, 0.393, 0.4774, 0.628, 0.7345, 0.7345, 0.7706, 0.7806, 0.8467, 0.8533, 0.6968, 0.7475, 0.7785, 0.8061, 0.7494, 0.7545, 0.6839, 0.7706, 0.7345, 0.5205, 0.5505, 0.5473, 0.6339, 0.5672, 0.6337, 0.5266, 0.4619, 0.4001, 0.4125, 0.3499, 0.3998, 0.408, 0.3903, 0.4631, 0.4177, 0.5075, 0.5214, 0.5679, 0.5565, 0.5718, 0.483, 0.551, 0.501, 0.4728, 0.4484, 0.4522, 0.5073, 0.5073, 0.4826, 0.5446, 0.6203, 0.4835, 0.5225, 0.5922, 0.606, 0.6178, 0.6212, 0.5965, 0.6042, 0.5994, 0.7171, 0.6772, 0.7599, 0.79, 0.8094, 0.7897, 0.8336, 0.8418, 0.8164, 0.753, 0.6942, 0.7605, 0.6954, 0.7212, 0.6969, 0.6809, 0.5333, 0.5428, 0.5457]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1750372858076021026", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-25T04:19:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146 gap is a buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA long at the $146 gap level.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin $146 gap is a buy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I AM STILL NOT A BUYER OF TESLA HERE AFTER THIS 40% CRASH\n\nTESLA NEEDS TO DROP ANOTHER 50% + TO GET ME INTERESTED\n\n$TSLA https://t.co/D44gw0efXm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14339347305641337, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12546185884405592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005409591577506423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012522022634851027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004665161971329046, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001169351131914187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012703467678506497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004564166335392583, "ret_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03171525328088065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014744390409140662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023974092662000235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019368272137940012, "ret_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010529471870479146, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009654170905785131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040612159231615985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06079580200788026, "ret_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24712081145263032, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21959272612257574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03932356460164055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011795479271585974, "ret_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17770607049351428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20604200340087164, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13204583528849967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1037099023811423, "price_path": [0.0807, 0.0997, 0.1261, 0.1965, 0.2044, 0.2006, 0.2166, 0.2162, 0.1498, 0.1753, 0.2249, 0.3, 0.3297, 0.279, 0.2829, 0.29, 0.3207, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2892, 0.2927, 0.3509, 0.3368, 0.3146, 0.3077, 0.2899, 0.3071, 0.3107, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.3127, 0.2978, 0.3102, 0.3746, 0.3881, 0.3803, 0.4084, 0.3532, 0.3935, 0.3828, 0.3828, 0.4051, 0.4315, 0.3863, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3602, 0.3056, 0.3028, 0.3004, 0.3166, 0.2865, 0.281, 0.2442, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.2041, 0.1803, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.1433, 0.1452, 0.138, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0454, 0.0491, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0289, -0.0086, 0.0135, 0.0271, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0333, 0.0976, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0809, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.0936, 0.1063, 0.1054, 0.1096, 0.0302, -0.0103, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0399, -0.0266, -0.0279, -0.072, -0.1102, -0.1044, -0.0483, -0.0619, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0406, -0.0876, -0.078, -0.0631, -0.0971, -0.0528, -0.0315, -0.0595, -0.044, -0.0634, -0.1158, -0.1397, -0.1488, -0.1791, -0.1948, -0.2222, -0.2078, -0.1122, -0.0682, -0.0785, 0.0625, 0.0036, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.0079, 0.0117, -0.0264, -0.0433, -0.0584, -0.0775, -0.0588, -0.0278, -0.0473, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0421, 0.0217, -0.0138, -0.0487, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0322, -0.0353, -0.021, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.043, -0.0418, -0.0257, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0655, -0.0292, -0.0009, -0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0258, 0.0752, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.1491, 0.2663, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3772, 0.385, 0.4364, 0.4415, 0.3198, 0.3592, 0.3833, 0.4048, 0.3607, 0.3647, 0.3098]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1771948250343612649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-24T17:12:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's clear '24/25 EPS multiples are currently still too high despite the stock decline", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "TSLA '24/25 EPS multiples still too high vs other growth megacaps; bearish valuation stance despite recent stock decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Likely all accurate takes Gary. It\u2019s clear \u201824/25 EPS multiples are currently still too high despite the stock decline (especially when compared to other growth megacaps).\n\nQuestion: if mgmt declares vol reductions and price stability over price cuts, how do you think WS reacts? I\u2019m uncertain since FSD 12 is showing promise, then Tesla should maximize vol for FSD install base", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With one week left in 1Q, there\u2019s risk $TSLA 1Q volumes come in well below 1Q consensus ests which stood at 468K this morning.  My 1Q estimate is 425K which is roughly flat with 2023 1Q of 423K. TSLA will likely send out their IR-compiled summary Fri or Sat and report 1Q volumes https://t.co/2HczCbLPY5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.010426942019608476, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010426942019608476, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013197467944408126, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013721438143342257, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0027705259247996494, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003294496123733781, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029195349264770964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029195349264770964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0310423264529488, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027932298629007146, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001846977188177834, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012630506357638183, "ret_p1w": 0.015003164366755417, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015003164366755417, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010404846721802308, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012806776819369814, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004598317644953109, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002196387547385603, "ret_p1m": -0.1619070347938919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1619070347938919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13474125406683124, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10930440500745187, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027165780727060662, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052602629786440036, "ret_p3m": 0.051787071705611254, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.051787071705611254, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0006015250776774117, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.057497594131469376, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052388596783288666, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005710522425858122, "ret_p6m": 0.3199906660019729, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3199906660019729, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.233189714691443, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2572546640322102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0868009513105299, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0627360019697627, "price_path": [0.5145, 0.4666, 0.4394, 0.4394, 0.439, 0.3813, 0.3783, 0.3757, 0.3929, 0.3611, 0.3552, 0.3162, 0.268, 0.268, 0.2739, 0.2486, 0.2274, 0.2292, 0.2095, 0.2115, 0.2039, 0.0579, 0.0615, 0.106, 0.1098, 0.0849, 0.094, 0.0885, 0.0488, 0.0722, 0.0866, 0.0981, 0.1213, 0.0898, 0.066, 0.0931, 0.1612, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.1224, 0.1283, 0.1435, 0.112, 0.1551, 0.157, 0.1704, 0.1694, 0.1738, 0.0898, 0.047, 0.0226, 0.0349, 0.0157, 0.0298, 0.0284, -0.0182, -0.0587, -0.0525, 0.0068, -0.0076, 0.0176, 0.0011, -0.0104, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0417, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.015, -0.0348, -0.0246, -0.0088, -0.0448, 0.002, 0.0246, -0.005, 0.0114, -0.0092, -0.0646, -0.0899, -0.0995, -0.1315, -0.1482, -0.1771, -0.1619, -0.0608, -0.0142, -0.0251, 0.1241, 0.0617, 0.0426, 0.0428, 0.0496, 0.0703, 0.03, 0.0121, -0.0038, -0.0241, -0.0043, 0.0285, 0.0079, 0.0128, 0.028, 0.0134, 0.0809, 0.0433, 0.0064, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0239, 0.0206, 0.0357, 0.0316, 0.0212, 0.0124, 0.0137, 0.0308, 0.0281, 0.0067, -0.0114, 0.027, 0.057, 0.0312, 0.0858, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.0518, 0.0601, 0.0576, 0.0853, 0.1375, 0.1436, 0.1463, 0.2157, 0.3396, 0.4273, 0.4273, 0.457, 0.4652, 0.5196, 0.525, 0.3962, 0.4379, 0.4635, 0.4862, 0.4395, 0.4437, 0.3856, 0.4569, 0.4272, 0.2512, 0.2759, 0.2732, 0.3445, 0.2896, 0.3443, 0.2562, 0.203, 0.1521, 0.1623, 0.1108, 0.1518, 0.1585, 0.144, 0.2039, 0.1665, 0.2405, 0.2519, 0.2902, 0.2808, 0.2933, 0.2203, 0.2763, 0.2351, 0.2119, 0.1919, 0.1949, 0.2403, 0.2403, 0.22, 0.271, 0.3333, 0.2207, 0.2528, 0.3101, 0.3215, 0.3312, 0.334, 0.3137, 0.32]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1714714555371450484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-18T18:46:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA FSD revenue recognition gunna be high this Q", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: FSD revenue recognition expected to be high this quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tesla Interesting timing for this video. $TSLA FSD revenue recognition gunna be high this Q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla Full Self-Driving capability demo\u00a0in Austin\n\nFSD capability features use vision neural networks to perceive &amp; understand the world, just like humans do.\n\u00a0\nVia our unique fleet learning approach, we are able to collect anonymized data from our vehicles\u2014meaning the neural https://t.co/CWAS5h0jGH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tesla", "ret_m1d": 0.05014840034214707, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05014840034214707, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036643438494136316, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026116081529823587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013504961848010755, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024032318812323483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09300310180733784, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09300310180733784, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0842167604851507, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06745300625912498, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008786341322187141, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02555009554821286, "ret_p1w": -0.1246909321744668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1246909321744668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09526351682527934, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07580376320047932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02942741534918747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04888716897398748, "ret_p1m": -0.03745671918671434, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03745671918671434, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08399231745204538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08748187589770406, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046535598265331046, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05002515671098973, "ret_p3m": -0.09803030329705043, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09803030329705043, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2105398657195714, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2001752195479114, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11250956242252097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10214491625086097, "ret_p6m": -0.28053398972703947, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28053398972703947, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4932351262693949, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4236206526506582, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21270113654235545, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430866629236187, "price_path": [0.0715, 0.1087, 0.0931, 0.0893, 0.0537, 0.0979, 0.102, 0.0758, 0.0471, 0.0686, 0.0461, 0.0361, 0.0289, -0.002, 0.011, -0.0001, -0.012, -0.0401, -0.0704, -0.0967, -0.112, -0.047, -0.0391, -0.024, -0.0521, -0.0169, -0.0159, 0.0597, 0.0586, 0.0635, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0569, 0.0381, 0.0363, 0.024, 0.1273, 0.1022, 0.1179, 0.1375, 0.1307, 0.0931, 0.0982, 0.082, 0.0537, 0.0091, 0.0178, 0.0059, -0.009, 0.0152, 0.0311, 0.0368, 0.0159, 0.0761, 0.0716, 0.0736, 0.07, 0.0863, 0.0837, 0.0667, 0.0348, 0.0463, 0.0501, 0.0, -0.093, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.1078, -0.1247, -0.1521, -0.1458, -0.1867, -0.1724, -0.1525, -0.0996, -0.0936, -0.0965, -0.0845, -0.0848, -0.1347, -0.1155, -0.0782, -0.0217, 0.0007, -0.0375, -0.0345, -0.0292, -0.0061, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0298, -0.0272, 0.0166, 0.006, -0.0107, -0.0159, -0.0293, -0.0163, -0.0136, -0.0002, 0.0048, -0.0121, -0.0234, -0.014, 0.0345, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0599, 0.0184, 0.0487, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0574, 0.0773, 0.0433, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0237, -0.0174, -0.0196, -0.0214, -0.0092, -0.0318, -0.036, -0.0637, -0.098, -0.098, -0.0938, -0.1118, -0.1269, -0.1256, -0.1396, -0.1382, -0.1436, -0.2474, -0.2449, -0.2132, -0.2105, -0.2282, -0.2218, -0.2257, -0.2539, -0.2373, -0.227, -0.2189, -0.2024, -0.2248, -0.2417, -0.2224, -0.174, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.2016, -0.1974, -0.1865, -0.209, -0.1783, -0.177, -0.1675, -0.1681, -0.165, -0.2247, -0.2552, -0.2725, -0.2638, -0.2775, -0.2675, -0.2684, -0.3016, -0.3304, -0.326, -0.2838, -0.294, -0.2762, -0.2879, -0.2961, -0.2887, -0.2679, -0.259, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.278, -0.3134, -0.3062, -0.2949, -0.3205, -0.2872, -0.2711, -0.2922, -0.2805]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1755284643262402929", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-07T17:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expected move is more downside within cloud until it breaks above", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short AAPL: hit resistance at ~191 (50 SMA + cloud + fib confluence), expects more downside within cloud.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is $AAPL on the daily chart. It hit strong resistance at ~191 where the 50 SMA + cloud resistance sit. Additionally, there's confluence of the 2 key fib channel crossovers (white and yellow dotted lines). Expected move is more downside within cloud until it breaks above https://t.co/6w7fb7O309\n\n---\n\nStill stuck within the daily cloud https://t.co/C4Sok8BGkZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0005807285617834834, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0005807285617834834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00769067740284779, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012479196108775126, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008271405964631273, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01305992467055861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005754573583677702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005754573583677702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006196259158066875, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008885073043252367, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00044168557438917233, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003130499459574665, "ret_p1w": -0.026529958644272544, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026529958644272544, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0274735768133888, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02868227166151127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.000943618169116256, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021523130172387273, "ret_p1m": -0.10661713636456593, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10661713636456593, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14016459109163726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13616124394205842, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033547454727071324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029544107577492484, "ret_p3m": -0.03942827566389662, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03942827566389662, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07973145478647203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04348040543017073, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04030317912257542, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004052129766274115, "ret_p6m": 0.15587966893583682, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15587966893583682, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.058801951601635816, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12204100489018499, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09707771733420101, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033838664045651834, "price_path": [-0.0159, -0.0243, -0.0104, -0.0074, 0.0016, 0.0015, 0.0108, 0.0065, 0.01, 0.01, 0.003, 0.002, 0.0052, -0.0002, 0.0029, 0.0097, 0.0001, 0.0212, 0.0154, 0.0257, 0.0333, 0.0199, 0.028, 0.0451, 0.0459, 0.0431, 0.0342, 0.0398, 0.0286, 0.0278, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0192, 0.0197, 0.022, 0.0165, 0.0165, -0.0199, -0.0272, -0.0396, -0.0435, -0.0203, -0.0225, -0.017, -0.0202, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0305, -0.0355, -0.0041, 0.0114, 0.0237, 0.0305, 0.0269, 0.0251, 0.0159, 0.0122, -0.0072, -0.0265, -0.0135, -0.0188, -0.0091, -0.0006, 0.0, -0.0058, -0.0017, -0.0107, -0.0218, -0.0265, -0.0281, -0.0363, -0.0363, -0.0402, -0.0362, -0.0254, -0.0351, -0.0423, -0.0346, -0.041, -0.0445, -0.0503, -0.0744, -0.1007, -0.106, -0.1066, -0.0975, -0.0868, -0.0843, -0.0954, -0.0855, -0.0875, -0.0817, -0.0692, -0.0555, -0.0941, -0.0893, -0.0968, -0.1029, -0.0838, -0.0935, -0.0935, -0.1012, -0.1075, -0.1032, -0.1076, -0.1036, -0.1095, -0.1031, -0.1131, -0.0747, -0.0667, -0.0871, -0.1046, -0.1119, -0.117, -0.1278, -0.1233, -0.1177, -0.1065, -0.1019, -0.105, -0.0828, -0.0996, -0.105, -0.0853, -0.0306, -0.0394, -0.0358, -0.034, -0.0243, -0.031, -0.0139, -0.0078, 0.0043, 0.0049, 0.0051, 0.0113, 0.0182, 0.0105, -0.0108, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0073, 0.0126, 0.0177, 0.0271, 0.0288, 0.0368, 0.0295, 0.0422, 0.0223, 0.0965, 0.1279, 0.1341, 0.1248, 0.1469, 0.1343, 0.1343, 0.1099, 0.0983, 0.1018, 0.1067, 0.1288, 0.1333, 0.1149, 0.1474, 0.166, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1981, 0.206, 0.2105, 0.2333, 0.2046, 0.2204, 0.2408, 0.243, 0.2116, 0.1867, 0.1874, 0.1855, 0.1911, 0.1568, 0.1513, 0.1538, 0.1552, 0.1582, 0.1756, 0.1559]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1732115147504877645", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-05T19:10:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $TSLA hits new highs in 2025-26", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TSLA to new all-time highs in 2025-26 on $25K car news as mega catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DoctorJack16 Great interview and great news. This is the first unexpected + undisputable mega bullish news I've heard from Elon in a while. I think $TSLA hits new highs in 2025-26", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I just finished watching the interview by Sandy Munro of Elon Musk.\n\nI was pleasantly surprised to hear that the $25K car is already very far along &amp; that it will be made in Texas first because Mexico would have taken too long.  I'd be surprised if it is not released by the end", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DoctorJack16", "ret_m1d": -0.013153482630663293, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013153482630663293, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013350554112585677, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011396264006664047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001757218623999246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002722829646282676, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002722829646282676, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006752520830167863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0012587545030160463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00146407514326663, "ret_p1w": -0.007163231841165407, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007163231841165407, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02358911917309614, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027369147573317543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020205915732152135, "ret_p1m": -0.0011310500631713793, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0011310500631713793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03199121674509997, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019524275264606095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018393225201434715, "ret_p3m": -0.1511394170851137, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1511394170851137, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2788864887325264, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23671368315666164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08557426607154794, "ret_p6m": -0.2619386664692842, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2619386664692842, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42241663583590827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2848435459260026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022904879456718374, "price_path": [0.0535, 0.041, 0.146, 0.1205, 0.1365, 0.1563, 0.1494, 0.1113, 0.1164, 0.1, 0.0711, 0.0258, 0.0346, 0.0226, 0.0075, 0.0321, 0.0482, 0.054, 0.0327, 0.094, 0.0894, 0.0914, 0.0878, 0.1043, 0.1017, 0.0844, 0.0519, 0.0637, 0.0676, 0.0166, -0.078, -0.112, -0.1116, -0.093, -0.1102, -0.1381, -0.1316, -0.1733, -0.1587, -0.1385, -0.0847, -0.0786, -0.0815, -0.0693, -0.0696, -0.1204, -0.1008, -0.0629, -0.0055, 0.0173, -0.0215, -0.0185, -0.0131, 0.0104, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0137, -0.0111, 0.0335, 0.0227, 0.0057, 0.0005, -0.0132, 0.0, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0214, 0.0043, -0.0072, 0.0024, 0.0517, 0.0619, 0.056, 0.0775, 0.0353, 0.0661, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0749, 0.0952, 0.0606, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0406, -0.0011, -0.0033, -0.0052, 0.0072, -0.0158, -0.02, -0.0482, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0788, -0.0971, -0.1124, -0.1111, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.1294, -0.235, -0.2324, -0.2002, -0.1974, -0.2154, -0.2089, -0.2128, -0.2415, -0.2246, -0.2142, -0.2059, -0.1891, -0.2119, -0.2291, -0.2095, -0.1603, -0.1624, -0.1624, -0.1883, -0.1841, -0.173, -0.1958, -0.1647, -0.1633, -0.1537, -0.1543, -0.1511, -0.2119, -0.2429, -0.2605, -0.2516, -0.2655, -0.2553, -0.2563, -0.29, -0.3193, -0.3148, -0.272, -0.2823, -0.2642, -0.2761, -0.2844, -0.2769, -0.2557, -0.2467, -0.2636, -0.2636, -0.266, -0.302, -0.2947, -0.2832, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.259, -0.2805, -0.2686, -0.2835, -0.3236, -0.3419, -0.3488, -0.3719, -0.384, -0.405, -0.3939, -0.3208, -0.2871, -0.295, -0.1871, -0.2322, -0.246, -0.2459, -0.241, -0.226, -0.2552, -0.2681, -0.2796, -0.2943, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2712, -0.2676, -0.2566, -0.2671, -0.2183, -0.2455, -0.2722, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.2596, -0.2619]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1709335811265794468", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-03T22:33:09+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "75 bottom for next 6-12 months imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects TLT to fall to $75 bottom over the next 6\u201312 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KobeissiLetter 75 bottom for next 6-12 months imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Treasury bond tracking ETF, $TLT, is now seeing its highest volume on record.\n\nThere were an average of ~32 million shares traded PER DAY in September 2023.\n\nToday alone, we have seen 60 million+ shares traded.\n\nTo put this in perspective, even in March 2020, daily average volume https://t.co/Jm2TkpNubj", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KobeissiLetter", "ret_m1d": 0.021984489022708775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021984489022708775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008416987577641422, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008416987577641422, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013567501445067354, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013567501445067354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014107566835114715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014107566835114715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006825697313861401, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006825697313861401, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007281869521253315, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007281869521253315, "ret_p1w": 0.018810256377318257, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018810256377318257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011906795715303398, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011906795715303398, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030717052092621655, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030717052092621655, "ret_p1m": 0.0039052424967618293, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0039052424967618293, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0013674504400764675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0013674504400764675, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002537792056685362, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002537792056685362, "ret_p3m": 0.17392866010229713, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17392866010229713, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04193546797481451, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04193546797481451, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13199319212748262, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13199319212748262, "ret_p6m": 0.13146405296188446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13146405296188446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11838359885979655, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11838359885979655, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.249847651821681, "bench_c_p6m": 0.249847651821681, "price_path": [0.1615, 0.1545, 0.156, 0.162, 0.1749, 0.1872, 0.1802, 0.1808, 0.1862, 0.1996, 0.185, 0.1854, 0.1811, 0.1788, 0.18, 0.1571, 0.163, 0.1658, 0.1467, 0.1344, 0.1083, 0.1279, 0.1168, 0.1297, 0.1356, 0.1169, 0.1143, 0.1119, 0.1051, 0.0964, 0.0918, 0.0956, 0.081, 0.0893, 0.1163, 0.109, 0.1126, 0.1137, 0.1253, 0.1241, 0.1292, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.096, 0.0987, 0.1017, 0.1059, 0.098, 0.1043, 0.1041, 0.0961, 0.0894, 0.0956, 0.0876, 0.0909, 0.0629, 0.0715, 0.0451, 0.0415, 0.0361, 0.0393, 0.0394, 0.022, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.0091, -0.0032, 0.0202, 0.0188, 0.0401, 0.0119, 0.03, 0.0134, 0.0022, -0.0066, -0.0269, -0.0214, -0.0096, 0.0034, -0.0189, -0.0039, -0.0081, -0.0126, -0.0174, 0.0039, 0.0268, 0.0338, 0.0237, 0.0388, 0.0565, 0.0322, 0.038, 0.0356, 0.0591, 0.0443, 0.0572, 0.0622, 0.0687, 0.0682, 0.072, 0.072, 0.0594, 0.077, 0.0792, 0.0927, 0.0801, 0.1005, 0.0961, 0.1196, 0.1345, 0.128, 0.1188, 0.1164, 0.1197, 0.146, 0.1758, 0.1771, 0.1678, 0.174, 0.182, 0.1745, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1725, 0.1933, 0.1846, 0.1739, 0.1739, 0.1672, 0.172, 0.1542, 0.1432, 0.1545, 0.1471, 0.1418, 0.1482, 0.1459, 0.1459, 0.1257, 0.1239, 0.1135, 0.1171, 0.1237, 0.1148, 0.1083, 0.1155, 0.1134, 0.1262, 0.1364, 0.1476, 0.1701, 0.1442, 0.1211, 0.1321, 0.1266, 0.1201, 0.1178, 0.1191, 0.0999, 0.1055, 0.1112, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1058, 0.0979, 0.1033, 0.118, 0.1147, 0.1068, 0.1139, 0.1217, 0.1287, 0.1242, 0.1402, 0.1469, 0.1458, 0.1438, 0.1432, 0.1336, 0.1281, 0.1108, 0.1104, 0.1071, 0.1102, 0.1098, 0.1122, 0.1229, 0.1172, 0.1204, 0.1315]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775159042954207364", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T13:51:11+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "On a scale of 1-10, this is a 0. China is a major problem for Tesla. Xiaomi SU7 sells 100k+ in ~60 hours. It's a M3 killer. There are multiple of potential MY killers coming too. Besides FSD, the list of upside is short and thin.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: disastrous Q1, China market under threat from Xiaomi SU7 and other competitors, upside list short and thin.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Surprised you didn't call this a black eye print Dan. On a scale of 1-10, this is a 0. China is a major problem for Tesla. Xiaomi SU7 sells 100k+ in ~60 hours. It's a M3 killer. There are multiple of potential MY killers coming  too.\n\nI hope you take a realistic approach to this on @squawkstreet so retail investors aren't mislead. Besides FSD, the list of upside is short and thin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While anticipating a bad 1Q, this was an unmitigated disaster 1Q that is hard to explain away. We view this as a seminal moment in the Tesla story for Musk to either turn this around and reverse the black eye 1Q.  Otherwise darker days ahead. Will discuss on @SquawkStreet \ud83d\udc47", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1754974611710861350", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T21:05:27+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BABA earnings tmr could be the breakout you've been waiting for. The inverse head/shoulders setup is suggesting $148 by sometime 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BABA into earnings; inverse H&S setup targets $148 in 2025, needs convincing break above $88.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin $BABA earnings tmr could be the breakout you've been waiting for. The inverse head/shoulders setup is suggesting $148 by sometime 2025. Need to convincingly breach $88", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "SHUTTING UP AND WAITING IS THE NAME OF THE GAME\n\nNOT SURE WHY ALMOST EVERYONE HERE IS OBSESSED WILL MAKING MULTIPLE TRADES EVERY SINGLE DAY / WEEK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": -0.04601821974835574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04601821974835574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04312325513319626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03999124890130412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006026970847051616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.058673288443275906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.058673288443275906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0670136811821549, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06987414087828481, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011200852435008901, "ret_p1w": -0.08475018168273274, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08475018168273274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08495242611347265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08639889227487596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001648710592143221, "ret_p1m": -0.05777845285348282, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05777845285348282, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08970279337698872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07898615104466655, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021207698191183733, "ret_p3m": 0.039626594866353226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.039626594866353226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0013688170095791374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025881239490445296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01374535537590793, "ret_p6m": 0.02983092663665432, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02983092663665432, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09228706642063589, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.040800337312026924, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07063126394868124, "price_path": [0.0435, 0.0437, 0.0376, 0.0579, 0.0982, -0.0022, -0.0212, -0.0104, -0.0043, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.01, -0.0221, -0.0321, -0.0582, -0.0555, -0.0667, -0.0789, -0.0871, -0.0983, -0.0877, -0.0901, -0.0998, -0.0995, -0.0987, -0.0854, -0.0602, -0.0686, -0.0491, -0.0624, -0.0252, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0304, -0.0271, -0.0127, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0444, -0.021, -0.0456, -0.0667, -0.0684, -0.0794, -0.0872, -0.0748, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.1121, -0.1189, -0.1301, -0.1126, -0.1227, -0.0538, -0.0387, -0.056, -0.0539, -0.0594, -0.0755, -0.0775, -0.0738, -0.0816, -0.046, 0.0, -0.0587, -0.0952, -0.0794, -0.0651, -0.0848, -0.0619, -0.0564, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0651, -0.0339, -0.027, -0.029, -0.022, -0.007, -0.0465, -0.0537, -0.0461, -0.0796, -0.0787, -0.0578, -0.0727, -0.0598, -0.0431, -0.0277, -0.0235, -0.0617, -0.0615, -0.0602, -0.0615, -0.0518, -0.0562, -0.078, -0.0865, -0.0863, -0.0849, -0.075, -0.075, -0.0621, -0.0684, -0.074, -0.0803, -0.084, -0.0833, -0.067, -0.0465, -0.0432, -0.0887, -0.0973, -0.1102, -0.1203, -0.1195, -0.1171, -0.0965, -0.0731, -0.046, -0.0399, -0.0343, -0.0233, -0.0432, -0.0348, 0.0268, 0.0396, 0.0424, 0.0146, 0.0029, 0.0157, 0.0231, 0.0814, 0.0164, 0.0353, 0.1083, 0.1318, 0.1285, 0.101, 0.0569, 0.0329, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.03, 0.0106, 0.0179, 0.0014, -0.0042, 0.0028, 0.0205, 0.0228, 0.0023, 0.0137, -0.0042, -0.0024, -0.0116, -0.042, -0.0263, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0289, -0.0378, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0313, -0.0548, -0.0596, -0.0573, -0.0377, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0267, -0.04, -0.0113, -0.0073, 0.0255, 0.0403, 0.0189, 0.0237, 0.0062, -0.0003, -0.0169, 0.001, -0.0061, -0.01, -0.0152, -0.0005, 0.0268, 0.0187, 0.0298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1283155561228283904", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-07-14T21:45:00+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expecting $TSLA to test 1700 again by Monday and 1850 by EOW", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects TSLA to test 1700 by Monday and 1850 by end of week.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Expecting $TSLA to test 1700 again by Monday and 1850 by EOW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013014258864172401, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013014258864172401, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002209146077661872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003159569014243302, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012793344256406214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009854689849929099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019257581163604875, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019257581163604875, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010070529948667861, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004964241482645182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009187051214937014, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014293339680959694, "ret_p1w": 0.033992603441028946, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033992603441028946, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01489695220799625, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009468164478625418, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019095651233032696, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024524438962403527, "ret_p1m": 0.025026329785247547, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025026329785247547, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03304477189499111, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0556931159515639, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05807110168023866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08071944573681145, "ret_p3m": 0.43064347135630965, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43064347135630965, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33871326197760543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.27426861516971823, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09193020937870422, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15637485618659142, "ret_p6m": 1.49202259755375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.49202259755375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.3110245365736521, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.266586649070508, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18099806098009785, "bench_c_p6m": 0.225435948483242, "price_path": [-0.5087, -0.503, -0.5079, -0.5473, -0.5173, -0.5348, -0.5219, -0.4734, -0.4929, -0.4722, -0.4845, -0.5376, -0.4982, -0.4935, -0.4841, -0.4857, -0.4598, -0.4651, -0.4664, -0.4785, -0.4704, -0.4731, -0.4636, -0.4673, -0.4623, -0.4544, -0.4614, -0.4614, -0.4601, -0.4592, -0.4687, -0.4495, -0.4079, -0.4188, -0.4179, -0.4301, -0.4161, -0.3737, -0.3798, -0.3242, -0.3586, -0.3834, -0.3467, -0.3525, -0.3461, -0.3381, -0.3401, -0.3445, -0.3395, -0.3665, -0.35, -0.3673, -0.3346, -0.2881, -0.2618, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.0957, -0.0837, -0.0995, -0.0808, 0.0184, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0193, -0.0107, -0.0105, 0.0832, 0.034, 0.0498, -0.0025, -0.0658, 0.015, -0.0266, -0.0117, -0.0193, -0.0567, -0.021, -0.0196, -0.021, -0.0179, -0.0423, -0.0648, -0.0939, 0.025, 0.0687, 0.0883, 0.2102, 0.2441, 0.2385, 0.3198, 0.3515, 0.3279, 0.334, 0.4195, 0.476, 0.4593, 0.6427, 0.566, 0.4747, 0.3416, 0.379, 0.379, 0.0885, 0.2074, 0.2241, 0.2286, 0.3832, 0.4826, 0.4562, 0.3958, 0.4575, 0.4814, 0.3984, 0.2538, 0.2783, 0.3428, 0.3884, 0.3814, 0.4142, 0.4773, 0.3683, 0.4032, 0.3646, 0.402, 0.404, 0.4306, 0.458, 0.4723, 0.5206, 0.4797, 0.4493, 0.4202, 0.3909, 0.3932, 0.4036, 0.3866, 0.3854, 0.3999, 0.3384, 0.3543, 0.2791, 0.3202, 0.3973, 0.3877, 0.4441, 0.4173, 0.3886, 0.3527, 0.375, 0.3573, 0.3466, 0.3452, 0.4557, 0.6042, 0.6458, 0.614, 0.7202, 0.8308, 0.8921, 0.8921, 0.9309, 0.871, 0.9276, 0.8751, 0.956, 0.9747, 1.1155, 1.1423, 0.9926, 1.0671, 1.0108, 1.1091, 1.0875, 1.0529, 1.1621, 1.291, 1.1422, 1.1108, 1.1294, 1.1815, 1.1815, 1.1878, 1.1954, 1.2903, 1.3262, 1.3262, 1.4056, 1.4232, 1.492]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775402173763129663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-03T05:57:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "China is a serious problem. Most retail have 0 clue what's going on there. I have family/friends there. It ain't good for $TSLA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA on deteriorating China business situation that retail investors are underestimating.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers @TeslaLarry You\u2019re dead on Emmet. China is a serious problem. Most retail have 0 clue what\u2019s going on there. I have family/friends there. It ain\u2019t good for $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@TeslaLarry thanks Larry, this is the one addendum I think we need to pay careful attention to over the next several weeks, Tesla China business may be on thin ice\nhttps://t.co/SPwbC7hB1f", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": -0.010393158030954752, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010393158030954752, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009295819274542372, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009670548829753933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010973387564123804, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000722609201200819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016213301154368365, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016213301154368365, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0284194419542515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027938176473888632, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012206140799883136, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011724875319520267, "ret_p1w": 0.02007358074597887, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02007358074597887, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030258314382387907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027686541566696032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010184733636409038, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007612960820717163, "ret_p1m": 0.06906989717762246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06906989717762246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09675523701951738, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08707399727999143, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027685339841894918, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01800410010236897, "ret_p3m": 0.2463475146969376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2463475146969376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1930382044940826, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2271559075514784, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05330931020285501, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0191916071454592, "ret_p6m": 0.5097992270378702, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5097992270378702, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40102715530526956, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3907389931939109, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10877207173260062, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11906023384395925, "price_path": [0.4104, 0.428, 0.3954, 0.3894, 0.3494, 0.3, 0.3, 0.306, 0.2801, 0.2583, 0.2602, 0.2401, 0.2421, 0.2343, 0.0846, 0.0883, 0.1339, 0.1378, 0.1123, 0.1216, 0.116, 0.0753, 0.0993, 0.114, 0.1258, 0.1496, 0.1173, 0.0929, 0.1207, 0.1905, 0.1875, 0.1875, 0.1507, 0.1567, 0.1724, 0.1401, 0.1842, 0.1862, 0.1999, 0.199, 0.2035, 0.1174, 0.0734, 0.0485, 0.061, 0.0413, 0.0558, 0.0544, 0.0065, -0.0349, -0.0286, 0.0322, 0.0175, 0.0432, 0.0264, 0.0146, 0.0252, 0.0552, 0.068, 0.044, 0.044, 0.0406, -0.0104, 0.0, 0.0162, -0.0207, 0.0273, 0.0505, 0.0201, 0.0369, 0.0159, -0.041, -0.0669, -0.0768, -0.1096, -0.1267, -0.1564, -0.1408, -0.0371, 0.0107, -0.0005, 0.1525, 0.0885, 0.069, 0.0691, 0.0761, 0.0973, 0.056, 0.0377, 0.0213, 0.0005, 0.0208, 0.0545, 0.0333, 0.0384, 0.0539, 0.039, 0.1082, 0.0697, 0.0318, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0497, 0.0464, 0.0618, 0.0576, 0.047, 0.0379, 0.0393, 0.0568, 0.054, 0.0321, 0.0135, 0.0529, 0.0837, 0.0572, 0.1132, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.0783, 0.0869, 0.0843, 0.1127, 0.1662, 0.1725, 0.1752, 0.2463, 0.3734, 0.4633, 0.4633, 0.4938, 0.5022, 0.558, 0.5635, 0.4315, 0.4742, 0.5004, 0.5237, 0.4758, 0.4802, 0.4206, 0.4937, 0.4632, 0.2828, 0.3081, 0.3054, 0.3784, 0.3221, 0.3783, 0.2879, 0.2333, 0.1811, 0.1916, 0.1389, 0.1809, 0.1878, 0.1729, 0.2343, 0.196, 0.2718, 0.2835, 0.3227, 0.3131, 0.326, 0.2511, 0.3085, 0.2662, 0.2425, 0.2219, 0.2251, 0.2716, 0.2716, 0.2507, 0.3031, 0.367, 0.2515, 0.2844, 0.3432, 0.3549, 0.3648, 0.3677, 0.3468, 0.3533, 0.3493, 0.4486, 0.415, 0.4847, 0.5101, 0.5264, 0.5098]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775279135142879293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T21:48:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$2.70 '24 EPS is still too high. I'm already closer to $2. Need FSD subscription/take-rate to significantly ramp to justify 2.70 imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author's own FY24 EPS estimate ~$2 is well below consensus ~$2.70; bearish implied on earnings power.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 $2.70 '24 EPS is still too high. I'm already closer to $2. Need FSD subscription/take-rate to significantly ramp to justify 2.70 imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tonight I expect $TSLA analysts to reduce FY\u201924 adj EPS to ~$2.70 (from $2.93) and FY\u201925 adj EPS to ~$3.60 (from $3.93).  There\u2019s no way to sugarcoat 1Q deliveries as anything but negative. M-Y inventories are at an ATH and TSLA FG inventories are now at 29 DIO vs 15 in 4Q. https://t.co/2wRt33SPg6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1523475848006803456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-09T01:32:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "His PE estimates beyond 2022 are hilariously low", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies Jonas's TSLA PE estimates are too low, suggesting bullish view on TSLA earnings trajectory beyond 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 His PE estimates beyond 2022 are hilariously low", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "MS\u2019 Jonas reiterated his $1,300 $TSLA PT, but adjusted the value components. Jonas lowered his FY\u201922 vols and auto GM %, but raised his 2022 EPS ests (lower SG&amp;A) and lowered 2023 ests. He raised WACC from 8.0% to 8.5%. Jonas believes FSD L4/L5 at scale is at least a decade away. https://t.co/Ez6ohkO7Og", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.09978272349354578, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09978272349354578, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0667062993533043, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055267850216408565, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.03307642414024148, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04451487327713721, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016427173986372612, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016427173986372612, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0141165949735933, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019399283709564785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023105790127793124, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029721097231921734, "ret_p1w": -0.07970930543633259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07970930543633259, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08453125307778764, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06399062495414276, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004821947641455049, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01571868048218983, "ret_p1m": -0.08950460258638138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08950460258638138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1336314212753832, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1076012212442653, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04412681868900181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018096618657883923, "ret_p3m": 0.1763286086161533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1763286086161533, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13165150164542472, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0697533257769336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044677106970728575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10657528283921969, "ret_p6m": -0.13168421860715063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13168421860715063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10555799864216686, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0774533102936108, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026126219964983766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05423090831353983, "price_path": [0.1841, 0.1492, 0.0926, 0.1126, 0.1719, 0.1731, 0.1134, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0437, -0.0293, 0.0174, 0.0289, 0.1059, 0.0982, 0.1179, 0.0663, 0.065, 0.0222, 0.0474, 0.0913, 0.065, 0.0105, -0.0263, 0.0188, 0.0675, 0.1073, 0.1503, 0.1703, 0.2628, 0.2693, 0.2882, 0.284, 0.3872, 0.397, 0.3899, 0.3691, 0.3779, 0.4553, 0.3864, 0.3286, 0.3432, 0.3029, 0.2399, 0.2539, 0.2989, 0.2514, 0.2514, 0.2759, 0.3062, 0.2415, 0.2816, 0.2769, 0.268, 0.1135, 0.1199, 0.1149, 0.1063, 0.1472, 0.1552, 0.2103, 0.1095, 0.0998, 0.0, 0.0164, -0.0675, -0.0751, -0.0223, -0.0797, -0.0324, -0.0982, -0.0987, -0.1565, -0.1426, -0.2019, -0.163, -0.1008, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0367, -0.0594, -0.0154, -0.1062, -0.0918, -0.0895, -0.0781, -0.0864, -0.1149, -0.1777, -0.1581, -0.1119, -0.1878, -0.1738, -0.1738, -0.0966, -0.1002, -0.1041, -0.0635, -0.0665, -0.1132, -0.1291, -0.1444, -0.1338, -0.1338, -0.1117, -0.1168, -0.0679, -0.0442, -0.1068, -0.1117, -0.0965, -0.0917, -0.085, -0.0832, -0.0642, -0.0567, 0.0356, 0.0376, 0.0231, -0.0134, 0.0475, 0.0706, 0.1326, 0.133, 0.1457, 0.1716, 0.1763, 0.0983, 0.1069, 0.0799, 0.1219, 0.0925, 0.1435, 0.1789, 0.1684, 0.1587, 0.1544, 0.1307, 0.105, 0.1299, 0.1324, 0.1284, 0.098, 0.0856, 0.0584, 0.0505, 0.0564, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0459, 0.0813, 0.1025, 0.1422, 0.1603, 0.1134, 0.1534, 0.1577, 0.1562, 0.178, 0.1767, 0.1465, 0.0999, 0.0494, 0.052, 0.0784, 0.097, 0.0223, 0.011, -0.0761, -0.0493, -0.0822, -0.0924, -0.1498, -0.1502, -0.1748, -0.172, -0.1549, -0.2187, -0.164, -0.1608, -0.1537, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1948, -0.1523, -0.1438, -0.1421, -0.129, -0.1328, -0.1317]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1758200991802146877", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-15T18:45:56+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buying $AAPL at 181.80 today. Decent chunk. I expect it to remain above the weekly/monthly ichi clouds ~178", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying AAPL at $181.80, expects price to hold above ~$178 ichi cloud support on weekly/monthly charts.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Buying $AAPL at 181.80 today. Decent chunk. Bought each dip below $182 past 2 months for good gains. Am aware of a potential close below 200sma on daily. Risk/reward is solid here but will monitor for a breakdown and possibly hedge with covered calls.\n\nI expect it to remain above the weekly/monthly ichi clouds ~178\n\nImage is the monthly chart with fib channels", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015771446715686643, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015771446715686643, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008429601322533009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005260802859841096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006852456650964345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002103224957552774, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008430410366924379, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008430410366924379, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0034503659614711912, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007650002858369254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004980044405453188, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009195410652761304, "ret_p1w": 0.0027738131451968684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0027738131451968684, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008162083782181861, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0036825825066897355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01093589692737873, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006456395651886604, "ret_p1m": -0.06113353071601357, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06113353071601357, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07986627316344797, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06690500227621954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018732742447434392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005771471560205965, "ret_p3m": 0.0207993654874139, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0207993654874139, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024848928206967935, "alpha_c_p3m": 9.01590310635747e-05, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.045648293694381836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020709206456350326, "ret_p6m": 0.1777076154000068, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1777076154000068, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10926119099468479, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16850796513752564, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.068446424405322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009199650262481152, "price_path": [0.04, 0.0356, 0.0392, 0.0392, 0.0319, 0.0309, 0.0343, 0.0287, 0.0318, 0.0388, 0.029, 0.0507, 0.0447, 0.0553, 0.0631, 0.0494, 0.0577, 0.0753, 0.0761, 0.0732, 0.0641, 0.0698, 0.0583, 0.0575, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0486, 0.0492, 0.0515, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0084, 0.0008, -0.0119, -0.0158, 0.008, 0.0057, 0.0114, 0.0081, 0.0099, 0.0099, -0.0025, -0.0077, 0.0246, 0.0406, 0.0532, 0.0602, 0.0565, 0.0547, 0.0452, 0.0415, 0.0214, 0.0017, 0.015, 0.0095, 0.0195, 0.0283, 0.0289, 0.023, 0.0271, 0.0179, 0.0064, 0.0016, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0125, -0.0084, 0.0028, -0.0073, -0.0147, -0.0067, -0.0133, -0.0169, -0.0228, -0.0476, -0.0747, -0.0802, -0.0808, -0.0714, -0.0604, -0.0578, -0.0692, -0.0591, -0.0611, -0.0552, -0.0423, -0.0282, -0.0679, -0.063, -0.0708, -0.077, -0.0574, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0752, -0.0817, -0.0773, -0.0818, -0.0777, -0.0838, -0.0772, -0.0875, -0.048, -0.0398, -0.0608, -0.0788, -0.0863, -0.0915, -0.1026, -0.098, -0.0922, -0.0807, -0.076, -0.0792, -0.0563, -0.0736, -0.0792, -0.0589, -0.0026, -0.0117, -0.0079, -0.0061, 0.0039, -0.0031, 0.0145, 0.0208, 0.0333, 0.0339, 0.0341, 0.0405, 0.0476, 0.0397, 0.0178, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.0364, 0.0418, 0.0471, 0.0567, 0.0585, 0.0668, 0.0592, 0.0723, 0.0518, 0.1282, 0.1604, 0.1668, 0.1573, 0.18, 0.1671, 0.1671, 0.142, 0.1301, 0.1336, 0.1387, 0.1614, 0.1661, 0.1471, 0.1805, 0.1997, 0.2066, 0.2066, 0.2327, 0.2408, 0.2455, 0.2689, 0.2394, 0.2556, 0.2766, 0.2789, 0.2465, 0.221, 0.2217, 0.2198, 0.2255, 0.1902, 0.1845, 0.1871, 0.1886, 0.1917, 0.2095, 0.1893, 0.1974, 0.1397, 0.1286, 0.1427, 0.1617, 0.1777]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1792967571240824874", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-21T17:15:55+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same. I expect it in the next 3-4 months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses $300 post-split NVDA target within 3-4 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TickerSymbolYOU Same. I expect it in the next 3-4 months. Will be nice to have more flexibility when writing NVDA covered calls", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "My current $NVDA price target is $300\n\nAfter a 4 for 1 split", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TickerSymbolYOU", "ret_m1d": -0.006352987555961698, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006352987555961698, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003906688531881031, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007759239951307673, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002446299024080667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001406252395345975, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0045708890349162035, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0045708890349162035, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016918312300857608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012752572258433292, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028790578048304427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008181683223517089, "ret_p1w": 0.1941062061252874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1941062061252874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19702291559130325, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12950487753287754, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0029167094660158543, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06460132859240986, "ret_p1m": 0.4214993524407138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4214993524407138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3892610588422374, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2421410804730073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03223829359847641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17935827196770648, "ret_p3m": 0.3061689755598489, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3061689755598489, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25961222585832666, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2548628085026985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04655674970152224, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05130616705715041, "ret_p6m": 0.5337110569097492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5337110569097492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40273692960171714, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47848454774509785, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097412730803204, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05522650916465133, "price_path": [-0.1767, -0.1737, -0.1709, -0.175, -0.1858, -0.1707, -0.1375, -0.1064, -0.0988, -0.0701, -0.0285, -0.0824, -0.1008, -0.0364, -0.0472, -0.078, -0.0791, -0.0727, -0.0628, -0.0526, -0.0414, -0.0115, -0.004, -0.0296, -0.0538, -0.0527, -0.0527, -0.0527, -0.0622, -0.0673, -0.0994, -0.0773, -0.0865, -0.1052, -0.0875, -0.05, -0.0755, -0.0984, -0.0836, -0.119, -0.1123, -0.2011, -0.1664, -0.1359, -0.1647, -0.1337, -0.0802, -0.08, -0.0942, -0.1294, -0.1003, -0.0692, -0.034, -0.0507, -0.0521, -0.0696, -0.0577, -0.0523, -0.0422, -0.0079, -0.0108, -0.0305, -0.0064, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0882, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.1941, 0.2038, 0.1585, 0.1494, 0.2056, 0.2207, 0.2836, 0.2685, 0.2674, 0.2768, 0.2677, 0.3127, 0.3589, 0.3827, 0.3733, 0.4215, 0.4215, 0.3712, 0.327, 0.2383, 0.322, 0.3253, 0.3, 0.2953, 0.3032, 0.2861, 0.345, 0.345, 0.3193, 0.3441, 0.3775, 0.4145, 0.3357, 0.355, 0.3466, 0.3248, 0.2371, 0.2696, 0.2364, 0.2953, 0.2853, 0.1979, 0.1772, 0.1854, 0.17, 0.0876, 0.2269, 0.145, 0.1247, 0.0532, 0.093, 0.037, 0.1006, 0.0983, 0.143, 0.2177, 0.238, 0.2881, 0.3062, 0.363, 0.3342, 0.3473, 0.2974, 0.3564, 0.3259, 0.3452, 0.317, 0.2329, 0.2515, 0.2515, 0.1323, 0.1136, 0.1241, 0.0781, 0.1163, 0.1334, 0.2258, 0.2492, 0.2488, 0.2245, 0.212, 0.1887, 0.2359, 0.2163, 0.219, 0.2674, 0.2951, 0.3006, 0.2729, 0.2734, 0.2268, 0.2462, 0.2881, 0.3098, 0.3392, 0.3934, 0.3909, 0.4135, 0.4134, 0.4477, 0.3799, 0.4231, 0.4358, 0.447, 0.5069, 0.5056, 0.4634, 0.4723, 0.4841, 0.4734, 0.4811, 0.461, 0.3921, 0.4197, 0.4265, 0.467, 0.5268, 0.5611, 0.548, 0.5231, 0.5549, 0.5337]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1750262909870149857", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-24T21:02:50+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA -10% tmr would put it exactly at the .236 fib retrace", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Targets TSLA -10% to the .236 Fibonacci retracement level by tomorrow.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA -10% tmr would put it exactly at the .236 fib retrace https://t.co/6MuuuUkYUF\n\n---\n\n\ud83c\udfaf https://t.co/DticmILREY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006303216797633793, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006303216797633793, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007395063799512158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002489060836900814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010918470018783655, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003814155960732979, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12125293136804816, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12125293136804816, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12669194579217335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10888577060026006, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005439014424125199, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012367160767788099, "ret_p1w": -0.0988308153969939, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0988308153969939, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09365977217953059, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08657921877409092, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005171043217463311, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012251596622902983, "ret_p1m": -0.05013712205716936, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05013712205716936, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09568809262911149, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10255283054939968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04555097057194213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05241570849223032, "ret_p3m": -0.3165086763208015, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3165086763208015, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3492301054575021, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3040341289642594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03272142913670062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012474547356542076, "ret_p6m": 0.19920123914610977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19920123914610977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05338930673971487, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0993321609211355, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1458119324063949, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09986907822497426, "price_path": [-0.0026, -0.0504, -0.0336, -0.0104, 0.0514, 0.0584, 0.055, 0.069, 0.0687, 0.0103, 0.0328, 0.0764, 0.1423, 0.1685, 0.1239, 0.1274, 0.1336, 0.1606, 0.1269, 0.1269, 0.1329, 0.1359, 0.1871, 0.1747, 0.1552, 0.1492, 0.1335, 0.1486, 0.1518, 0.1675, 0.1733, 0.1535, 0.1404, 0.1514, 0.208, 0.2197, 0.2129, 0.2376, 0.1891, 0.2246, 0.2151, 0.2151, 0.2347, 0.258, 0.2182, 0.1956, 0.1956, 0.1953, 0.1473, 0.1448, 0.1427, 0.157, 0.1305, 0.1256, 0.0933, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.0581, 0.0371, 0.0195, 0.021, 0.0047, 0.0063, 0.0, -0.1213, -0.1183, -0.0813, -0.0781, -0.0988, -0.0913, -0.0958, -0.1288, -0.1094, -0.0974, -0.0879, -0.0686, -0.0948, -0.1146, -0.092, -0.0355, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0677, -0.0628, -0.0501, -0.0763, -0.0406, -0.039, -0.0279, -0.0286, -0.025, -0.0947, -0.1303, -0.1506, -0.1404, -0.1563, -0.1446, -0.1457, -0.1845, -0.2181, -0.213, -0.1637, -0.1757, -0.1548, -0.1685, -0.178, -0.1694, -0.1451, -0.1347, -0.1542, -0.1542, -0.1569, -0.1982, -0.1898, -0.1767, -0.2066, -0.1677, -0.1489, -0.1736, -0.1599, -0.177, -0.223, -0.244, -0.252, -0.2786, -0.2925, -0.3165, -0.3039, -0.2199, -0.1812, -0.1903, -0.0663, -0.1181, -0.134, -0.1339, -0.1282, -0.111, -0.1444, -0.1593, -0.1725, -0.1894, -0.1729, -0.1457, -0.1628, -0.1587, -0.1461, -0.1582, -0.1022, -0.1334, -0.164, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1495, -0.1522, -0.1397, -0.1431, -0.1518, -0.1591, -0.158, -0.1438, -0.146, -0.1638, -0.1788, -0.1469, -0.122, -0.1435, -0.0981, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1264, -0.1194, -0.1215, -0.0985, -0.0551, -0.0501, -0.0479, 0.0098, 0.1127, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.2102, 0.2171, 0.2622, 0.2667, 0.1597, 0.1944, 0.2156, 0.2345, 0.1957, 0.1992]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1751697729452192168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-28T20:04:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Definitely taking under on that. Consensus is significantly below $4 EPS and falling", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: EPS will miss $4/share for 2024; consensus well below $4 and declining.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sspencer_smb @garyblack00 Better than 50/50? Definitely taking under on that. Consensus is significantly below $4 EPS and falling", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@garyblack00 It is better than 50/50 that Tesla will print $4/sh for 2024. Assuming the market remains strong TSLA will likely hit your price target in q4.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sspencer_smb", "ret_m1d": -0.040224129106958384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040224129106958384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032367063802391516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025814703196004984, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007857065304566868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0144094259109534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034567835721344142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034567835721344142, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004230266795341997, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004030878867668508, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007734832232075828, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005740952955340939, "ret_p1w": -0.05169431464834218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05169431464834218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05429976205617448, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05531108822921049, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0026054474078323064, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0036167735808683155, "ret_p1m": 0.046090207873736855, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046090207873736855, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014213673617295974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013293850854676492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03187653425644088, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047419592959204504, "ret_p3m": -0.10867857746810705, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10867857746810705, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13673716330103225, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11171991670361503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028058585832925198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030413392355079782, "ret_p6m": 0.2904206480602085, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2904206480602085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1560285444060523, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2005227345408669, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13439210365415621, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08989791351934162, "price_path": [0.0771, 0.1445, 0.152, 0.1484, 0.1637, 0.1633, 0.0998, 0.1242, 0.1717, 0.2434, 0.2719, 0.2234, 0.2272, 0.234, 0.2633, 0.2267, 0.2267, 0.2332, 0.2365, 0.2922, 0.2787, 0.2574, 0.2509, 0.2339, 0.2503, 0.2537, 0.2708, 0.2771, 0.2556, 0.2413, 0.2533, 0.3149, 0.3277, 0.3203, 0.3472, 0.2944, 0.3329, 0.3227, 0.3227, 0.344, 0.3693, 0.326, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.3011, 0.2489, 0.2462, 0.2439, 0.2594, 0.2306, 0.2253, 0.1901, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.1518, 0.1289, 0.1097, 0.1113, 0.0936, 0.0954, 0.0885, -0.0435, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0035, -0.0191, -0.0108, -0.0158, -0.0517, -0.0305, -0.0175, -0.0072, 0.0138, -0.0147, -0.0362, -0.0116, 0.0499, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0148, 0.0201, 0.0339, 0.0054, 0.0444, 0.0461, 0.0582, 0.0574, 0.0613, -0.0146, -0.0534, -0.0754, -0.0643, -0.0817, -0.0689, -0.0701, -0.1123, -0.1489, -0.1433, -0.0897, -0.1027, -0.08, -0.0949, -0.1053, -0.0958, -0.0694, -0.0581, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0823, -0.1273, -0.1181, -0.1038, -0.1363, -0.094, -0.0736, -0.1004, -0.0855, -0.1041, -0.1542, -0.1771, -0.1858, -0.2147, -0.2298, -0.256, -0.2422, -0.1508, -0.1087, -0.1186, 0.0163, -0.0401, -0.0573, -0.0572, -0.051, -0.0323, -0.0687, -0.0849, -0.0993, -0.1176, -0.0997, -0.0701, -0.0887, -0.0843, -0.0705, -0.0837, -0.0227, -0.0567, -0.09, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0743, -0.0772, -0.0636, -0.0673, -0.0767, -0.0846, -0.0834, -0.068, -0.0704, -0.0898, -0.1062, -0.0714, -0.0443, -0.0677, -0.0183, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.049, -0.0415, -0.0437, -0.0188, 0.0285, 0.034, 0.0364, 0.0991, 0.2112, 0.2905, 0.2905, 0.3173, 0.3248, 0.374, 0.3788, 0.2624, 0.3001, 0.3232, 0.3437, 0.3015, 0.3053, 0.2528, 0.3173, 0.2904]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1772681293714825317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-26T17:45:29+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still expect a -5-10% drop on Apr 2 ... I expect $135-146 before earnings on Apr 17 ... If the print is sub 423k, I expect ~157 as the likely near-term low until earnings. The next low targets would be ~146 and ~135", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short TSLA: expects -5-10% drop on Apr 2 delivery print, with downside targets of $135-157 before Apr 17 earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today's $TSLA movement (7%+ at high) from bullish FSD news sets up an interesting inverse h/s pattern going into Apr 2 delivery print. I expected ~165 into the print, but this bumps my expectation up to ~171-175. \n\nI still expect a -5-10% drop on Apr 2 although unsure how much bad news is priced in (let's see company compiled results hopefully by Thursday). A -10% drop from $177 would be $160 and a potential double bottom bounce despite potential negative YoY print being unequivocally bad news. Otherwise, I expect $135-146 before earnings on Apr 17 with a small chance of a short squeeze going to ~195-200 (as the inverse h/s pattern suggests)\n\n---\n\n$TSLA ended up collapsing intraday, closing within several bearish patterns + printing a shooting star candle (bearish) + below 20 daily sma https://t.co/vg7Q6zxx22\n\n---\n\nLooks like 171-175 will be accurate into the print as predicted. If the print is sub 423k, I expect ~157 as the likely near-term low until earnings. The next low targets would be ~146 and ~135", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028367160117491075, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028367160117491075, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030217554942700176, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027105702766236695, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018503948252091007, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012614573512543803, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012157391142962881, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012157391142962881, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00375336903173884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005863598196791386, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008404022111224041, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011571031323283743, "ret_p1w": -0.06213763381499526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06213763381499526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06219559799024288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04831784735653788, "bench_spy_p1w": 5.796417524761566e-05, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013819786458457384, "ret_p1m": -0.08746548908812357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08746548908812357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06163714667915898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042716299994603024, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02582834240896459, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04474918909352055, "ret_p3m": 0.03005570097891752, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03005570097891752, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02286667559083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028629849995108314, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05292237656974752, "bench_c_p3m": 0.001425850983809207, "ret_p6m": 0.2787752535022774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2787752535022774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19319241407955245, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21946829349111363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08558283942272493, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059306960011163756, "price_path": [0.425, 0.3985, 0.3985, 0.3982, 0.3421, 0.3392, 0.3367, 0.3534, 0.3225, 0.3167, 0.2789, 0.232, 0.232, 0.2377, 0.2132, 0.1925, 0.1943, 0.1752, 0.1771, 0.1698, 0.0279, 0.0314, 0.0746, 0.0783, 0.0541, 0.063, 0.0576, 0.0191, 0.0418, 0.0558, 0.0669, 0.0895, 0.0589, 0.0357, 0.0621, 0.1282, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.0906, 0.0962, 0.1111, 0.0805, 0.1223, 0.1242, 0.1372, 0.1363, 0.1405, 0.0589, 0.0173, -0.0064, 0.0055, -0.0131, 0.0006, -0.0007, -0.0461, -0.0854, -0.0794, -0.0218, -0.0357, -0.0113, -0.0273, -0.0385, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.0122, -0.0106, -0.0106, -0.0138, -0.0621, -0.0523, -0.0369, -0.0719, -0.0264, -0.0044, -0.0333, -0.0173, -0.0373, -0.0911, -0.1157, -0.1251, -0.1561, -0.1723, -0.2005, -0.1857, -0.0875, -0.0422, -0.0528, 0.0922, 0.0316, 0.0131, 0.0132, 0.0198, 0.0399, 0.0008, -0.0166, -0.0321, -0.0518, -0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0207, -0.0159, -0.0012, -0.0153, 0.0503, 0.0137, -0.0221, 0.0088, 0.0088, -0.0052, -0.0083, 0.0063, 0.0023, -0.0078, -0.0163, -0.015, 0.0015, -0.0011, -0.0218, -0.0395, -0.0021, 0.027, 0.0019, 0.055, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.022, 0.0301, 0.0276, 0.0545, 0.1053, 0.1112, 0.1138, 0.1812, 0.3016, 0.3868, 0.3868, 0.4157, 0.4237, 0.4765, 0.4817, 0.3566, 0.3971, 0.422, 0.444, 0.3987, 0.4028, 0.3463, 0.4156, 0.3867, 0.2157, 0.2397, 0.2371, 0.3064, 0.253, 0.3062, 0.2206, 0.1689, 0.1194, 0.1293, 0.0793, 0.1192, 0.1257, 0.1116, 0.1698, 0.1334, 0.2053, 0.2164, 0.2536, 0.2444, 0.2567, 0.1857, 0.2401, 0.2, 0.1775, 0.158, 0.161, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1853, 0.2349, 0.2955, 0.1861, 0.2173, 0.273, 0.284, 0.2935, 0.2962, 0.2764, 0.2825, 0.2788]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1765546793142772088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-07T01:15:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "closer to $108 is great. Still a bad year+ outlook so if you can hold into 2026+ should be solid 2-3x potential", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long TSLA into 2026+; $108 is great entry with 2-3x potential despite near-term headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gmpbev @TSLAFanMtl $150 is good, closer to $108 is great. Still a bad year+ outlook so if you can hold into 2026+ should be solid 2-3x potential", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011810807066549134, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011810807066549134, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001981960502844604, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004241187618212017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00982884656370453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007569619448337117, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018527834714126334, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018527834714126334, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01252557773100993, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014825852607984968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006002256983116405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003701982106141366, "ret_p1w": -0.09040019282531975, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09040019282531975, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09067209795381959, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08410116965850367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002719051284998386, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006299023166816076, "ret_p1m": -0.07696613753016524, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07696613753016524, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08712676438843492, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06729420878941139, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010160626858269683, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009671928740753843, "ret_p3m": -0.02171838654677838, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02171838654677838, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05128605921978313, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0032922891083460026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029567672673004752, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02501067565512438, "ret_p6m": 0.19848870934982443, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19848870934982443, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09661522575845227, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1600808383203305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10187348359137216, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038407871029493945, "price_path": [0.342, 0.3267, 0.3394, 0.4053, 0.419, 0.411, 0.4398, 0.3834, 0.4246, 0.4136, 0.4136, 0.4364, 0.4634, 0.4172, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3905, 0.3347, 0.3318, 0.3294, 0.3459, 0.3152, 0.3095, 0.2719, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.231, 0.2065, 0.186, 0.1877, 0.1688, 0.1707, 0.1633, 0.0223, 0.0257, 0.0687, 0.0724, 0.0484, 0.0572, 0.0518, 0.0135, 0.0361, 0.05, 0.0611, 0.0835, 0.0531, 0.0301, 0.0563, 0.122, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.0846, 0.0902, 0.105, 0.0746, 0.1161, 0.118, 0.1309, 0.13, 0.1343, 0.0531, 0.0117, -0.0118, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0049, -0.0062, -0.0513, -0.0904, -0.0844, -0.0271, -0.041, -0.0167, -0.0326, -0.0438, -0.0337, -0.0055, 0.0066, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0673, -0.0575, -0.0422, -0.077, -0.0317, -0.0099, -0.0386, -0.0227, -0.0425, -0.0961, -0.1206, -0.1299, -0.1608, -0.1769, -0.2049, -0.1901, -0.0925, -0.0474, -0.058, 0.0862, 0.0259, 0.0075, 0.0076, 0.0142, 0.0342, -0.0047, -0.022, -0.0374, -0.057, -0.0378, -0.0062, -0.0261, -0.0213, -0.0067, -0.0207, 0.0445, 0.0082, -0.0275, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0106, -0.0138, 0.0008, -0.0032, -0.0132, -0.0217, -0.0204, -0.004, -0.0065, -0.0272, -0.0447, -0.0076, 0.0214, -0.0036, 0.0492, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0163, 0.0244, 0.022, 0.0487, 0.0992, 0.1051, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2945, 0.3792, 0.3792, 0.4079, 0.4158, 0.4684, 0.4736, 0.3492, 0.3895, 0.4142, 0.4361, 0.391, 0.3951, 0.3389, 0.4078, 0.3791, 0.209, 0.2329, 0.2303, 0.2992, 0.2461, 0.299, 0.2139, 0.1624, 0.1132, 0.1231, 0.0734, 0.113, 0.1195, 0.1055, 0.1633, 0.1272, 0.1987, 0.2097, 0.2467, 0.2376, 0.2498, 0.1792, 0.2332, 0.1935, 0.1711, 0.1517, 0.1547, 0.1985]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1767271604508369137", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-11T19:29:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect it to break soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects TSLA to break below a key trendline from the COVID high that is currently being tested.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Haven't posted my $TSLA charts in a while but things are going exactly as predicted for the past 8 months. Here's a simple key trendline from covid high that is being tested right now. I expect it to break soon. https://t.co/IWAyTQ7Q49", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01366939233936193, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01366939233936193, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014529991629747774, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01639413331428974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008605992903858439, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027247409749278084, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012938683737420131, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012938683737420131, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012051359503564951, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009913351106196622, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010757491129822938, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008619482732454609, "ret_p1w": -0.022332233364963372, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022332233364963372, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028539195350725022, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020051714497630324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00620696198576165, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002280518867333048, "ret_p1m": -0.005006465479318822, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005006465479318822, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023887641016734906, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01593457145616861, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018881175537416084, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010928105976849789, "ret_p3m": 0.0009562815146517689, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0009562815146517689, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04802127537815548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006747858589608691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04897755689280725, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005791577074956922, "ret_p6m": 0.1846768354729713, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1846768354729713, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09802757500755455, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15392450724151918, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08664926046541677, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03075232823145213, "price_path": [0.3461, 0.4122, 0.426, 0.418, 0.4469, 0.3902, 0.4316, 0.4206, 0.4206, 0.4435, 0.4707, 0.4242, 0.3978, 0.3978, 0.3974, 0.3413, 0.3384, 0.3359, 0.3526, 0.3217, 0.316, 0.2782, 0.2313, 0.2313, 0.237, 0.2125, 0.1919, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.1765, 0.1691, 0.0273, 0.0308, 0.074, 0.0777, 0.0536, 0.0624, 0.057, 0.0185, 0.0412, 0.0552, 0.0663, 0.0889, 0.0583, 0.0352, 0.0615, 0.1276, 0.1248, 0.1248, 0.0899, 0.0956, 0.1105, 0.0799, 0.1217, 0.1235, 0.1365, 0.1356, 0.1399, 0.0583, 0.0167, -0.0069, 0.005, -0.0137, 0.0, -0.0013, -0.0466, -0.0859, -0.0799, -0.0223, -0.0363, -0.0119, -0.0278, -0.039, -0.0289, -0.0006, 0.0116, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.0143, -0.0627, -0.0528, -0.0375, -0.0724, -0.0269, -0.005, -0.0338, -0.0178, -0.0378, -0.0916, -0.1162, -0.1256, -0.1566, -0.1728, -0.2009, -0.1861, -0.088, -0.0427, -0.0533, 0.0916, 0.031, 0.0125, 0.0126, 0.0192, 0.0393, 0.0002, -0.0172, -0.0326, -0.0523, -0.0331, -0.0012, -0.0213, -0.0165, -0.0017, -0.0159, 0.0497, 0.0132, -0.0227, 0.0083, 0.0083, -0.0057, -0.0089, 0.0057, 0.0017, -0.0083, -0.0169, -0.0156, 0.001, -0.0016, -0.0224, -0.04, -0.0027, 0.0264, 0.0014, 0.0544, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0214, 0.0295, 0.0271, 0.0539, 0.1046, 0.1105, 0.1131, 0.1805, 0.3009, 0.386, 0.386, 0.4149, 0.4228, 0.4757, 0.4809, 0.3559, 0.3964, 0.4212, 0.4432, 0.3979, 0.402, 0.3456, 0.4148, 0.3859, 0.215, 0.239, 0.2364, 0.3056, 0.2523, 0.3055, 0.2199, 0.1682, 0.1187, 0.1286, 0.0787, 0.1185, 0.125, 0.1109, 0.1691, 0.1328, 0.2046, 0.2157, 0.2529, 0.2437, 0.2559, 0.185, 0.2394, 0.1994, 0.1769, 0.1574, 0.1604, 0.2044, 0.2044, 0.1847]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1770351085380882505", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-20T07:26:04+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA is going to continue separating itself to the upside from the AI pack over the next few months. Fundamentally, $NVDA still has the most appealing forward PE at my 40x '25 $35 EPS. I expect $NVDA to outperform for the foreseeable future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NVDA to outperform AI peers over coming months; most appealing forward PE at 40x 2025 $35 EPS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Technically, it looks like $NVDA is going to continue separating itself to the upside from the AI pack ( $AMD $SMCI $ARM $TSM $PLTR etc.) over the next few months. Fundamentally, $NVDA still has the most appealing forward PE at my 40x '25 $35 EPS. All AI-related boats may rise with the tide but I expect $NVDA to outperform for the foreseeable future\n\n---\n\nSo it begins (it would seem) https://t.co/YOpLsvevZI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010777579499124834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010777579499124834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0016130094940899342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004993578397952225, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0091645700050349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01577115789707706, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0117624122802793, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0117624122802793, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008457764036847504, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010922752319739493, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003304648243431796, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022685164600018792, "ret_p1w": -0.0013499954977624906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0013499954977624906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006518440845810325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017618246563507967, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005168445348047834, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016268251065745476, "ret_p1m": -0.06308369651101087, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06308369651101087, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022813198481625552, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005873726579763261, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040270498029385315, "bench_c_p1m": -0.057209969931247606, "ret_p3m": 0.44946166585491243, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44946166585491243, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39831637538707065, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21813625081164334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051145290467841775, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2313254150432691, "ret_p6m": 0.3185497760791476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3185497760791476, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24090279469831977, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2615657386404939, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07764698138082782, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056984037438653656, "price_path": [-0.4597, -0.4597, -0.4547, -0.4532, -0.452, -0.452, -0.452, -0.467, -0.4737, -0.4689, -0.4567, -0.4218, -0.412, -0.3986, -0.3934, -0.3946, -0.3946, -0.3761, -0.3798, -0.3681, -0.3417, -0.3399, -0.3375, -0.321, -0.3182, -0.3247, -0.3088, -0.3054, -0.3192, -0.3026, -0.2679, -0.2329, -0.2451, -0.2244, -0.2294, -0.2019, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.1823, -0.196, -0.1965, -0.1965, -0.2315, -0.2534, -0.131, -0.1279, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.1407, -0.1246, -0.0896, -0.0569, -0.0488, -0.0185, 0.0254, -0.0315, -0.0509, 0.0171, 0.0057, -0.0269, -0.0281, -0.0212, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.0433, 0.0512, 0.0242, -0.0013, -0.0002, -0.0002, -0.0001, -0.0102, -0.0156, -0.0494, -0.0262, -0.0358, -0.0555, -0.0369, 0.0027, -0.0242, -0.0484, -0.0327, -0.0701, -0.0631, -0.1568, -0.1201, -0.088, -0.1183, -0.0856, -0.0292, -0.0289, -0.0439, -0.0811, -0.0504, -0.0175, 0.0196, 0.002, 0.0004, -0.018, -0.0055, 0.0003, 0.0109, 0.0471, 0.0441, 0.0233, 0.0488, 0.0555, 0.0507, 0.1486, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.2604, 0.2706, 0.2227, 0.2131, 0.2725, 0.2884, 0.3548, 0.3389, 0.3377, 0.3477, 0.338, 0.3855, 0.4343, 0.4594, 0.4495, 0.5004, 0.5004, 0.4472, 0.4007, 0.307, 0.3953, 0.3988, 0.3721, 0.3671, 0.3755, 0.3575, 0.4196, 0.4196, 0.3925, 0.4187, 0.4539, 0.493, 0.4098, 0.4302, 0.4214, 0.3983, 0.3057, 0.34, 0.305, 0.3671, 0.3566, 0.2643, 0.2425, 0.2512, 0.2349, 0.1479, 0.295, 0.2085, 0.1871, 0.1116, 0.1537, 0.0946, 0.1616, 0.1592, 0.2064, 0.2852, 0.3067, 0.3596, 0.3786, 0.4386, 0.4082, 0.422, 0.3693, 0.4316, 0.3994, 0.4198, 0.39, 0.3013, 0.321, 0.321, 0.1952, 0.1753, 0.1864, 0.1379, 0.1782, 0.1963, 0.2938, 0.3185]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1457107747309178881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-06T22:08:53+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Non-fundamental dip is just a buying opportunity.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Any TSLA dip from Elon's tax-driven selling is a non-fundamental buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt True. Non-fundamental dip is just a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If Elon has to sell to pay taxes &amp; or doesn't want more loans, I support his decision to sell. Honestly, if he does sell &amp; the stock dips, It allows those with high conviction in Tesla to buy more $TSLA at a cheaper price. It's true we've all made a lot of $$ cuz of Elon.\n\n1/2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05171533681468876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036506002113225744, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008528466691211101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014356488032341908, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11659770651303447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10141737857082345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003305326030563993, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018485653972775018, "ret_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12539779214284408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10626948911138923, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0031987115431505453, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022327014574605397, "ret_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0942250416220487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08778474159074345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.001386057566561738, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007826357597866984, "ret_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18944502459241241, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09590885192004117, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04427298127198842, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13780915394435966, "ret_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11196958981075811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012069287389383287, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10617577572077974, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20607607814215456, "price_path": [-0.3914, -0.3789, -0.3833, -0.41, -0.4276, -0.4075, -0.4209, -0.4151, -0.3927, -0.3908, -0.3884, -0.3971, -0.3878, -0.3715, -0.3674, -0.3688, -0.3702, -0.3692, -0.3692, -0.3526, -0.3518, -0.3509, -0.3669, -0.3611, -0.3598, -0.3501, -0.3491, -0.3469, -0.3721, -0.3642, -0.3534, -0.352, -0.3341, -0.3195, -0.3314, -0.3282, -0.3332, -0.3334, -0.328, -0.3288, -0.3269, -0.3176, -0.3246, -0.319, -0.3072, -0.3026, -0.2963, -0.2751, -0.2518, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2313, -0.2178, -0.1187, -0.1243, -0.1076, -0.0739, -0.0421, 0.0393, 0.0078, 0.0438, 0.0576, 0.0509, 0.0, -0.1199, -0.0817, -0.0855, -0.1114, -0.1286, -0.093, -0.0636, -0.0572, -0.0223, -0.0052, -0.0464, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0697, -0.0223, -0.0156, -0.0584, -0.0674, -0.1272, -0.1324, -0.0956, -0.0808, -0.1368, -0.1255, -0.169, -0.1758, -0.1608, -0.203, -0.1981, -0.2262, -0.193, -0.1325, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0593, -0.064, -0.066, -0.0796, -0.0913, 0.0317, -0.0115, -0.0643, -0.0845, -0.1169, -0.0901, -0.0847, -0.0488, -0.113, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1139, -0.1439, -0.1433, -0.1884, -0.2003, -0.2103, -0.1939, -0.2871, -0.2722, -0.1945, -0.1992, -0.2212, -0.2337, -0.206, -0.2198, -0.2072, -0.1986, -0.2222, -0.2605, -0.2469, -0.2068, -0.206, -0.2464, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.2936, -0.343, -0.3114, -0.3036, -0.2515, -0.2567, -0.2434, -0.2783, -0.2792, -0.3082, -0.2911, -0.2614, -0.2792, -0.3161, -0.341, -0.3105, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2215, -0.2079, -0.1453, -0.1409, -0.1281, -0.131, -0.0611, -0.0545, -0.0593, -0.0734, -0.0674, -0.015, -0.0616, -0.1008, -0.0909, -0.1182, -0.1608, -0.1513, -0.1209, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1364, -0.1159, -0.1597, -0.1326, -0.1358, -0.1418, -0.2464, -0.242, -0.2454, -0.2512, -0.2236, -0.2181]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1776355849637900757", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-05T21:06:52+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "First bullish event to look forward to in quite some time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Robotaxi unveil on 8/8 seen as bullish catalyst for Tesla.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "First bullish event to look forward to in quite some time. I wonder if the robotaxi app (likely connected to the Tesla app) will allow for any Tesla owner to participate - and if not, interested to see how soon that\u2019ll happen", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Tesla Robotaxi unveil on 8/8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.037659229494972024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.037659229494972024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04799810234359281, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04319477146932549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010338872848620784, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005535541974353464, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04899940648952894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04899940648952894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.048440082410609264, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03949364467773231, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005593240789196763, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009505761811796631, "ret_p1w": 0.03729538740392013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03729538740392013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05191644202406309, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04696876934477734, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01462105462014296, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009673381940857206, "ret_p1m": 0.12043663641866864, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12043663641866864, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1240243663341194, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11501275443712111, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0035877299154507547, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005423881981547529, "ret_p3m": 0.49417834147598105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.49417834147598105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42703515191896435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.441986621528613, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0671431895570167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05219171994736804, "ret_p6m": 0.5865980264805237, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5865980264805237, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47289599148996664, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.46148408904031224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11370203499055709, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1251139374402115, "price_path": [0.4249, 0.4187, 0.3779, 0.3274, 0.3274, 0.3336, 0.3072, 0.2849, 0.2868, 0.2662, 0.2683, 0.2603, 0.1075, 0.1113, 0.1579, 0.1619, 0.1358, 0.1453, 0.1395, 0.098, 0.1225, 0.1375, 0.1495, 0.1739, 0.1409, 0.1159, 0.1444, 0.2156, 0.2126, 0.2126, 0.175, 0.1811, 0.1971, 0.1642, 0.2092, 0.2112, 0.2252, 0.2243, 0.2289, 0.1409, 0.0961, 0.0706, 0.0834, 0.0633, 0.078, 0.0767, 0.0278, -0.0146, -0.0081, 0.054, 0.0389, 0.0653, 0.048, 0.036, 0.0469, 0.0774, 0.0905, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0626, 0.0105, 0.0211, 0.0377, 0.0, 0.049, 0.0727, 0.0416, 0.0588, 0.0373, -0.0207, -0.0472, -0.0573, -0.0908, -0.1082, -0.1386, -0.1226, -0.0168, 0.032, 0.0206, 0.1768, 0.1115, 0.0915, 0.0916, 0.0988, 0.1204, 0.0783, 0.0596, 0.0429, 0.0216, 0.0424, 0.0767, 0.0551, 0.0603, 0.0762, 0.0609, 0.1316, 0.0922, 0.0536, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0719, 0.0685, 0.0842, 0.0799, 0.0691, 0.0599, 0.0612, 0.0791, 0.0763, 0.0539, 0.0349, 0.0751, 0.1065, 0.0795, 0.1367, 0.121, 0.121, 0.1011, 0.1098, 0.1072, 0.1361, 0.1908, 0.1972, 0.2, 0.2727, 0.4024, 0.4942, 0.4942, 0.5253, 0.5339, 0.5908, 0.5965, 0.4617, 0.5053, 0.5321, 0.5559, 0.507, 0.5114, 0.4506, 0.5252, 0.4941, 0.3098, 0.3357, 0.3329, 0.4075, 0.35, 0.4073, 0.3151, 0.2594, 0.2061, 0.2167, 0.1629, 0.2058, 0.2129, 0.1976, 0.2603, 0.2212, 0.2986, 0.3106, 0.3506, 0.3408, 0.354, 0.2775, 0.3361, 0.293, 0.2687, 0.2477, 0.2509, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.2771, 0.3306, 0.3958, 0.2779, 0.3115, 0.3716, 0.3834, 0.3936, 0.3965, 0.3753, 0.3819, 0.3778, 0.4792, 0.4448, 0.5161, 0.542, 0.5586, 0.5417, 0.5795, 0.5866]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1769899016723292516", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-03-19T01:29:43+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gap might be closing fast", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA as NVDA's digital-twin simulation erodes its real-world data moat; bullish NVDA as the gap to autonomy closes fast.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I\u2019ve said for 12+ months that $NVDA poses a threat to $TSLA (one of the reasons why I trimmed/hedged before selling). Today\u2019s #GTC2024 reaffirmed my suspicions that the path to autonomous driving and robotics will not be as obvious as it once seemed due to digital twin sims circumventing $TSLA real-world data trove advantage (yes I know Tesla does sims too). I never thought Waymo Cruise etc. would beat Tesla to autonomy but worried instead about a visually trained model from $NVDA or someone similar. Yes $NVDA is currently far behind but that gap might be closing fast", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01054831765814046, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01054831765814046, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005021895503522611, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012752151655885058, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005526422154617849, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022038339977445975, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010895001241144397, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010895001241144397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016456650470586531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005128871685989189, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009249336194085744, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016023872927133587, "ret_p1w": 0.03538093822653576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03538093822653576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02936989108013144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002460863473638497, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006011047146404325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032920074752897266, "ret_p1m": -0.059990349217105665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.059990349217105665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03059388827066667, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035196952036751106, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029396460946438996, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02479339718035456, "ret_p3m": 0.4753218927181675, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4753218927181675, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42283121727882866, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24534012211920908, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05249067543933883, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2299817705989584, "ret_p6m": 0.3078547655372952, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3078547655372952, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22932490742482425, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23622941943455755, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07852985811247093, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07162534610273763, "price_path": [-0.452, -0.4538, -0.4538, -0.4488, -0.4473, -0.4461, -0.4461, -0.4461, -0.4612, -0.4679, -0.4631, -0.4508, -0.4155, -0.4056, -0.3921, -0.3868, -0.388, -0.388, -0.3693, -0.373, -0.3612, -0.3346, -0.3327, -0.3303, -0.3136, -0.3108, -0.3173, -0.3013, -0.2978, -0.3118, -0.295, -0.26, -0.2245, -0.2369, -0.2159, -0.221, -0.1932, -0.1919, -0.1932, -0.1734, -0.1873, -0.1878, -0.1878, -0.2232, -0.2453, -0.1215, -0.1184, -0.1153, -0.1197, -0.1313, -0.1151, -0.0797, -0.0466, -0.0384, -0.0078, 0.0366, -0.0209, -0.0405, 0.0281, 0.0167, -0.0163, -0.0175, -0.0105, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0228, 0.0547, 0.0627, 0.0354, 0.0095, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0108, 0.0006, -0.0049, -0.0391, -0.0155, -0.0253, -0.0452, -0.0264, 0.0136, -0.0136, -0.038, -0.0222, -0.06, -0.0529, -0.1476, -0.1105, -0.078, -0.1087, -0.0757, -0.0186, -0.0184, -0.0335, -0.0711, -0.0401, -0.0068, 0.0307, 0.0129, 0.0113, -0.0073, 0.0054, 0.0112, 0.0219, 0.0585, 0.0555, 0.0345, 0.0602, 0.067, 0.0621, 0.1611, 0.191, 0.191, 0.2741, 0.2844, 0.236, 0.2263, 0.2864, 0.3025, 0.3696, 0.3535, 0.3522, 0.3623, 0.3526, 0.4006, 0.4499, 0.4753, 0.4653, 0.5167, 0.5167, 0.463, 0.4159, 0.3213, 0.4105, 0.414, 0.3871, 0.382, 0.3905, 0.3723, 0.435, 0.435, 0.4076, 0.4342, 0.4697, 0.5092, 0.4252, 0.4458, 0.4368, 0.4136, 0.3199, 0.3546, 0.3193, 0.382, 0.3714, 0.2781, 0.2561, 0.2648, 0.2483, 0.1604, 0.3091, 0.2217, 0.2, 0.1237, 0.1662, 0.1065, 0.1743, 0.1718, 0.2196, 0.2992, 0.3209, 0.3744, 0.3937, 0.4543, 0.4235, 0.4375, 0.3843, 0.4472, 0.4147, 0.4353, 0.4052, 0.3155, 0.3354, 0.3354, 0.2082, 0.1882, 0.1993, 0.1503, 0.1911, 0.2093, 0.3079]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1760684208740237566", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-22T15:13:21+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA continuing to crush high bars, whisper numbers and guidance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA; continues beating high bars, whisper numbers, and guidance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPY SP500 is now the SP1 with $NVDA continuing to crush high bars, whisper numbers and guidance", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14090006216073436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14090006216073436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12062439003235814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07697399966611251, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02027567212837622, "bench_c_m1d": -0.06392606249462185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003552444656776954, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003552444656776954, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0028627669423944013, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009792606065514908, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0006896777143825528, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006240161408737954, "ret_p1w": 0.007308430482768635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007308430482768635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006165537750020489, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002313844508946783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011428927327481464, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009622274991715418, "ret_p1m": 0.20060877666800003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20060877666800003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17040290706701278, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.116247371957926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030205869600987256, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08436140471007403, "ret_p3m": 0.21457710531214258, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21457710531214258, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1643094118688817, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09672829418197026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.050267693443260875, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11784881113017232, "ret_p6m": 0.586442933384008, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.586442933384008, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48727818981751403, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4112415844053541, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09916474356649396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17520134897865391, "price_path": [-0.3858, -0.3912, -0.3871, -0.4045, -0.4046, -0.4206, -0.4071, -0.4206, -0.4067, -0.3951, -0.4063, -0.3932, -0.3877, -0.3844, -0.3775, -0.3624, -0.3684, -0.3874, -0.3762, -0.3783, -0.3783, -0.3725, -0.3708, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3867, -0.3943, -0.3889, -0.3749, -0.3347, -0.3234, -0.308, -0.302, -0.3034, -0.3034, -0.2821, -0.2863, -0.2729, -0.2425, -0.2404, -0.2377, -0.2187, -0.2154, -0.2229, -0.2047, -0.2007, -0.2166, -0.1975, -0.1576, -0.1172, -0.1313, -0.1075, -0.1133, -0.0816, -0.0801, -0.0816, -0.0591, -0.0749, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.1157, -0.1409, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0071, 0.0021, -0.0111, 0.0073, 0.0476, 0.0853, 0.0946, 0.1294, 0.18, 0.1145, 0.0922, 0.1704, 0.1573, 0.1198, 0.1185, 0.1263, 0.1383, 0.1507, 0.1643, 0.2006, 0.2097, 0.1786, 0.1492, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.1506, 0.139, 0.1328, 0.0939, 0.1206, 0.1095, 0.0868, 0.1083, 0.1538, 0.1229, 0.0951, 0.1131, 0.07, 0.0781, -0.0297, 0.0125, 0.0495, 0.0146, 0.0522, 0.1172, 0.1174, 0.1002, 0.0574, 0.0927, 0.1306, 0.1732, 0.1531, 0.1512, 0.13, 0.1444, 0.1511, 0.1633, 0.205, 0.2015, 0.1776, 0.2069, 0.2146, 0.209, 0.3217, 0.3557, 0.3557, 0.4503, 0.4621, 0.407, 0.396, 0.4643, 0.4826, 0.5591, 0.5407, 0.5393, 0.5508, 0.5397, 0.5943, 0.6505, 0.6794, 0.6679, 0.7265, 0.7265, 0.6654, 0.6118, 0.5041, 0.6057, 0.6096, 0.5789, 0.5732, 0.5829, 0.5621, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.6024, 0.6325, 0.673, 0.718, 0.6224, 0.6458, 0.6356, 0.6091, 0.5025, 0.542, 0.5018, 0.5732, 0.5611, 0.4549, 0.4298, 0.4397, 0.421, 0.3209, 0.4902, 0.3907, 0.366, 0.2792, 0.3276, 0.2596, 0.3367, 0.3339, 0.3883, 0.479, 0.5037, 0.5645, 0.5864]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1779965784384827600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T20:11:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It looks like it's going to break the double-bottom setup tomorrow/this week which would remove one of the two remaining major bullish reversal patterns against 6+ bearish patterns currently formed/forming. I did not expect movement sub-160 before earnings, but that has changed quickly after today's revelations.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA into earnings: double-bottom setup breaking, 6+ bearish patterns forming, now expects sub-160 move before the report.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA charts at a pivotal intersection a week before earnings. It looks like it's going to break the double-bottom setup tomorrow/this week which would remove one of the two remaining major bullish reversal patterns against 6+ bearish patterns currently formed/forming.\n\nThe street knows this layoff news is to offset a likely poor report next week. I did not expect movement sub-160 before earnings, but that has changed quickly after today's revelations.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1775953242595475465", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-04T18:27:03+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I re-entered my short (closed most of it at 163 for a nice profit). I do not expect movement above $183 into earnings.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Re-entered short TSLA at ~$177 based on trendline resistance + Ichimoku; expects price capped below $183 into earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA retail wondering why is the stock back above it's pre-delivery print? Technicals. \n\nThere's many at play, but I'll keep it simple. On the left is a key trendline from 2020 pre-covid peak being re-tested right now at $177. It coincided with 3 other indications at 177 to prompt a sharp, clean rejection.\n\nOn the right is the 4h ichi clouds which have been pivotal the past month. You can see the white trendline here too.\n\nI re-entered my short (closed most of it at 163 for a nice profit). I do not expect movement above $183 into earnings. If price does break 183 convincingly, I'll re-assess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01595462403016268, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01595462403016268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02831159576692488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027818603024181154, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012356971736762201, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011863978994018476, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036292482565110196, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036292482565110196, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04673936439665194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04185883732990836, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010446881831541743, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005566354764798165, "ret_p1w": 0.020396268369558657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020396268369558657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010787571763730464, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008138911420985107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009608696605828193, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01225735694857355, "ret_p1m": 0.05890948392904671, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05890948392904671, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06237884084716694, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0585721158762047, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0034693569181202255, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003373680528420131, "ret_p3m": 0.35152821975295767, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35152821975295767, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27802710720936386, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3001851119065899, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07350111254359382, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05134310784636775, "ret_p6m": 0.522178660078394, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.522178660078394, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40133351688562535, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3881480121930163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12084514319276862, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13403064788537766, "price_path": [0.4052, 0.3732, 0.3672, 0.3279, 0.2792, 0.2792, 0.2852, 0.2597, 0.2383, 0.2401, 0.2203, 0.2223, 0.2146, 0.0673, 0.0709, 0.1158, 0.1197, 0.0946, 0.1037, 0.0982, 0.0581, 0.0818, 0.0963, 0.1078, 0.1313, 0.0995, 0.0754, 0.1029, 0.1715, 0.1685, 0.1685, 0.1324, 0.1383, 0.1537, 0.1219, 0.1653, 0.1673, 0.1808, 0.1798, 0.1843, 0.0995, 0.0563, 0.0317, 0.0441, 0.0247, 0.0389, 0.0376, -0.0095, -0.0503, -0.0441, 0.0157, 0.0012, 0.0266, 0.01, -0.0016, 0.0089, 0.0383, 0.051, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.024, -0.0262, -0.016, 0.0, -0.0363, 0.0109, 0.0337, 0.0038, 0.0204, -0.0004, -0.0563, -0.0818, -0.0915, -0.1238, -0.1406, -0.1698, -0.1545, -0.0525, -0.0054, -0.0165, 0.1341, 0.0711, 0.0519, 0.052, 0.0589, 0.0798, 0.0392, 0.0211, 0.005, -0.0154, 0.0046, 0.0376, 0.0168, 0.0218, 0.0371, 0.0224, 0.0905, 0.0526, 0.0154, 0.0475, 0.0475, 0.033, 0.0297, 0.0449, 0.0407, 0.0303, 0.0214, 0.0227, 0.0399, 0.0372, 0.0157, -0.0026, 0.0361, 0.0664, 0.0403, 0.0954, 0.0804, 0.0804, 0.0611, 0.0695, 0.067, 0.0949, 0.1476, 0.1538, 0.1564, 0.2265, 0.3515, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4699, 0.4782, 0.5331, 0.5385, 0.4086, 0.4507, 0.4765, 0.4994, 0.4523, 0.4565, 0.3979, 0.4699, 0.4399, 0.2623, 0.2872, 0.2846, 0.3564, 0.301, 0.3563, 0.2674, 0.2137, 0.1623, 0.1726, 0.1207, 0.1621, 0.1688, 0.1542, 0.2146, 0.1769, 0.2515, 0.263, 0.3016, 0.2922, 0.3048, 0.2311, 0.2876, 0.246, 0.2227, 0.2024, 0.2055, 0.2513, 0.2513, 0.2308, 0.2823, 0.3452, 0.2315, 0.2639, 0.3218, 0.3332, 0.3431, 0.3459, 0.3253, 0.3317, 0.3278, 0.4255, 0.3924, 0.461, 0.486, 0.5021, 0.4857, 0.5222]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1766022973591535703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-08T08:47:42+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Company is worth $1000-1200 on a 50-60x multiple which isn't absurd considering its revenue and earnings growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Values Nvidia at $1000\u20131200 on 50\u201360x multiple; bullish on sustained revenue and earnings growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bastion_manager @GregCrennan Yep. Company is worth $1000-1200 on a 50-60x multiple which isn't absurd considering its revenue and earnings growth", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@GregCrennan Nvidia has a forward P/E of 35x. The company does not even rank in the top 20% of the most expensive by this measure. https://t.co/A8hbjtQkaV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VladBastion", "ret_m1d": 0.0587354839294858, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0587354839294858, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052696982307843365, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017933726146680984, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006038501621642434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.040801757782804815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020039161001147776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020039161001147776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01917930170506199, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00221601961695872, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008598592960857854, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017823141384189056, "ret_p1w": 0.0035302636952960764, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0035302636952960764, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0041280963130706505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03530954729152125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0005978326177745741, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03177928359622517, "ret_p1m": -0.00451282090640337, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00451282090640337, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021341723306919524, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004065424310584431, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016828902400516155, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008578245216987801, "ret_p3m": 0.3988666840106998, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3988666840106998, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3507716136725303, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2681053824287021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04809507033816951, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13076130158199772, "ret_p6m": 0.3639041831418266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3639041831418266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25537703473294315, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28181168088087816, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10852714840888344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08209250226094844, "price_path": [-0.4555, -0.4506, -0.4476, -0.4415, -0.4279, -0.4333, -0.4504, -0.4403, -0.4421, -0.4421, -0.437, -0.4354, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.4497, -0.4566, -0.4517, -0.4391, -0.403, -0.3929, -0.3791, -0.3737, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3559, -0.3596, -0.3476, -0.3204, -0.3185, -0.316, -0.299, -0.2961, -0.3028, -0.2864, -0.2828, -0.2971, -0.28, -0.2442, -0.2079, -0.2206, -0.1992, -0.2044, -0.1759, -0.1746, -0.176, -0.1557, -0.1699, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.2066, -0.2292, -0.1028, -0.0996, -0.0964, -0.1009, -0.1127, -0.0962, -0.06, -0.0262, -0.0179, 0.0134, 0.0587, 0.0, -0.02, 0.0501, 0.0384, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0106, 0.0214, 0.0325, 0.0446, 0.0772, 0.0854, 0.0575, 0.0311, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0324, 0.022, 0.0164, -0.0185, 0.0055, -0.0045, -0.0248, -0.0056, 0.0353, 0.0075, -0.0174, -0.0013, -0.0399, -0.0326, -0.1294, -0.0915, -0.0583, -0.0897, -0.0559, 0.0024, 0.0026, -0.0129, -0.0513, -0.0195, 0.0144, 0.0527, 0.0346, 0.0329, 0.0139, 0.0268, 0.0328, 0.0437, 0.0811, 0.078, 0.0566, 0.0829, 0.0898, 0.0848, 0.1859, 0.2164, 0.2164, 0.3013, 0.3119, 0.2625, 0.2525, 0.3139, 0.3303, 0.3989, 0.3824, 0.3811, 0.3914, 0.3815, 0.4305, 0.4809, 0.5068, 0.4966, 0.5491, 0.5491, 0.4943, 0.4462, 0.3495, 0.4407, 0.4442, 0.4167, 0.4116, 0.4202, 0.4016, 0.4657, 0.4657, 0.4377, 0.4648, 0.5011, 0.5415, 0.4557, 0.4767, 0.4675, 0.4438, 0.3481, 0.3836, 0.3475, 0.4116, 0.4007, 0.3054, 0.2829, 0.2918, 0.275, 0.1852, 0.3371, 0.2478, 0.2257, 0.1477, 0.1911, 0.1301, 0.1994, 0.1969, 0.2456, 0.327, 0.3492, 0.4038, 0.4234, 0.4854, 0.4539, 0.4682, 0.4138, 0.4782, 0.4449, 0.4659, 0.4352, 0.3436, 0.3639, 0.3639]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1737302467497615434", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-20T02:42:40+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am leaning bullish, waiting to see what $NVDA does due to high correlation w/ $PLTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Leaning bullish on PLTR, watching NVDA as a correlated signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptocantoncat Good points. I am leaning bullish, waiting to see what $NVDA does due to high correlation w/ $PLTR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040579754373301524, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040579754373301524, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026527783281637074, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026527783281637074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01405197109166445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01405197109166445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019710153773210948, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019710153773210948, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010228331172867033, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010228331172867033, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009481822600343914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009481822600343914, "ret_p1w": 0.012753583382869138, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012753583382869138, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0048647857131072225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0048647857131072225, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01761836909597636, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01761836909597636, "ret_p1m": -0.04927538443302759, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04927538443302759, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06685102934388731, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06685102934388731, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017575644910859722, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017575644910859722, "ret_p3m": 0.3913043478260869, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3913043478260869, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.292655208879135, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.292655208879135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09864913894695193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09864913894695193, "ret_p6m": 0.34898553378340136, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34898553378340136, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1869486374985705, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1869486374985705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16203689628483087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16203689628483087, "price_path": [-0.1809, -0.1757, -0.1907, -0.1391, -0.0858, -0.0725, -0.0794, -0.1362, -0.0881, -0.0835, -0.0371, 0.0209, 0.0319, 0.0388, 0.04, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0342, -0.0029, -0.011, -0.0661, -0.0609, -0.0354, -0.0962, -0.1136, -0.1264, -0.1484, -0.142, -0.1351, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.0748, 0.0899, 0.0719, 0.0591, 0.1403, 0.1426, 0.1559, 0.1565, 0.1461, 0.1878, 0.2371, 0.1478, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.113, 0.1061, 0.1426, 0.1501, 0.1623, 0.1751, 0.0667, 0.0609, -0.007, -0.0017, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0145, 0.0359, 0.0557, 0.0551, 0.0342, 0.0406, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0093, 0.0093, 0.0249, 0.0128, 0.018, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0388, -0.0672, -0.058, -0.0736, -0.0336, -0.0499, -0.0267, -0.033, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0417, -0.0499, -0.0493, -0.0272, 0.0203, 0.0046, -0.029, -0.0458, -0.0522, -0.0093, -0.0296, -0.0672, -0.0533, -0.0133, -0.0307, 0.2678, 0.3681, 0.4209, 0.4133, 0.4522, 0.3919, 0.4603, 0.473, 0.4168, 0.4168, 0.3565, 0.3183, 0.3675, 0.3316, 0.3658, 0.422, 0.4157, 0.4539, 0.4452, 0.3936, 0.3803, 0.5165, 0.5339, 0.5096, 0.4696, 0.4319, 0.4493, 0.4162, 0.3617, 0.3913, 0.3797, 0.4243, 0.4197, 0.4017, 0.4209, 0.4429, 0.4209, 0.3339, 0.3339, 0.3252, 0.3171, 0.3159, 0.3032, 0.331, 0.3333, 0.3223, 0.2997, 0.3241, 0.3142, 0.2696, 0.2684, 0.2354, 0.2249, 0.1867, 0.2157, 0.2545, 0.2516, 0.2586, 0.3055, 0.3235, 0.2736, 0.2823, 0.3072, 0.3525, 0.4614, 0.2406, 0.2499, 0.2255, 0.1942, 0.2139, 0.2429, 0.2562, 0.2551, 0.2614, 0.2533, 0.2313, 0.2272, 0.2012, 0.218, 0.218, 0.2203, 0.2139, 0.2597, 0.2568, 0.2359, 0.2812, 0.331, 0.3791, 0.3513, 0.3409, 0.3826, 0.378, 0.349]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1707152450069709171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-27T21:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This bear flag suggests $320 target which is exactly where the gap from earnings sits", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bear flag on NVDA points to $320 target where the earnings gap sits; implied bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider This bear flag suggests $320 target which is exactly where the gap from earnings sits", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA Hard to ignore this potential bear flag forming just below previous channel support on NVIDIA. \ud83d\udc3b\ud83d\udea9 https://t.co/GFIn6I3T97", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": -0.01311565327343911, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01311565327343911, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012716600211575169, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004030459965404853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00039905306186394096, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009085193308034256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014622805979100484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014622805979100484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008825377876084284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0015754275904844572, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0057974281030162, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01619823356958494, "ret_p1w": 0.037039713703008736, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037039713703008736, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04030219417989189, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014362077776948645, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003262480476883156, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02267763592606009, "ret_p1m": -0.050437885074729794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050437885074729794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01875152008971459, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01853421110773823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0316863649850152, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031903673966991564, "ret_p3m": 0.149908165887652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.149908165887652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03367679344440888, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07781543683565117, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11623137244324311, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22772360272330316, "ret_p6m": 1.1533232820531074, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.1533232820531074, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9188524134808638, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5498715730607648, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23447086857224364, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6034517089923426, "price_path": [-0.004, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0036, -0.0087, 0.0007, -0.0069, -0.0016, 0.0337, 0.0825, 0.0706, 0.0939, 0.1183, 0.1084, 0.0718, 0.0433, 0.0504, 0.0755, 0.0702, 0.0807, 0.1007, 0.1002, 0.095, 0.0423, 0.0481, 0.052, 0.0694, 0.0516, 0.0019, -0.002, -0.0381, 0.0302, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0195, 0.1058, 0.0753, 0.1094, 0.1105, 0.0835, 0.1027, 0.1486, 0.1599, 0.1621, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1431, 0.1082, 0.0888, 0.0731, 0.0638, 0.0566, 0.071, 0.0733, 0.0337, 0.0353, 0.0248, -0.0054, -0.0342, -0.0202, -0.0058, -0.0131, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.0243, 0.0545, 0.0247, 0.037, 0.0523, 0.0776, 0.066, 0.0784, 0.1021, 0.1054, 0.0705, 0.0854, 0.0346, -0.0064, -0.0086, -0.0255, 0.0119, 0.0281, -0.0162, -0.0504, -0.0463, -0.0308, -0.0397, -0.0034, 0.0244, 0.0597, 0.0773, 0.0821, 0.0967, 0.1055, 0.1382, 0.1449, 0.1693, 0.1512, 0.1651, 0.1608, 0.187, 0.176, 0.1471, 0.1471, 0.125, 0.136, 0.126, 0.1336, 0.1013, 0.1012, 0.0716, 0.0966, 0.0716, 0.0973, 0.1187, 0.098, 0.1223, 0.1324, 0.1386, 0.1513, 0.1793, 0.1681, 0.133, 0.1537, 0.1499, 0.1499, 0.1605, 0.1637, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.1343, 0.1202, 0.1303, 0.1562, 0.2305, 0.2514, 0.2799, 0.291, 0.2884, 0.2884, 0.3278, 0.32, 0.3448, 0.401, 0.4048, 0.41, 0.445, 0.451, 0.4372, 0.471, 0.4783, 0.4489, 0.4842, 0.558, 0.6327, 0.6066, 0.6508, 0.64, 0.6987, 0.7014, 0.6986, 0.7403, 0.711, 0.71, 0.71, 0.6355, 0.5889, 0.8495, 0.8561, 0.8626, 0.8533, 0.8289, 0.863, 0.9376, 1.0073, 1.0245, 1.0889, 1.1824, 1.0613, 1.02, 1.1646, 1.1404, 1.0711, 1.0686, 1.0831, 1.1054, 1.1283, 1.1533]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765646206493950399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-07T07:50:34+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "option flow is heavily long $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long NVDA / short TSLA pair trade; TSLA's P/E premium vs NVDA unjustified given profit divergence.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@freshjiva Exactly why option flow is heavily long $NVDA and short $TSLA - it\u2019s obvious for this reason among others", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "why does $tsla deserve a 50% premium price-to-earnings multiple to $nvda (54x vs 36x)? the latter just quintupled net profit over the past year while the former's went down -28%, and that divergence is likely to continue in 2024. https://t.co/q6X5kUWVkT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "freshjiva", "ret_m1d": -0.042829829333429936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.042829829333429936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03300098276972541, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00943531120081853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00982884656370453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.033394518132611406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05547701462832777, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05547701462832777, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049474757645211365, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01627477704782654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006002256983116405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03920223758050123, "ret_p1w": -0.0509880175889208, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0509880175889208, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.051259922717420636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011829565396601516, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002719051284998386, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06281758298552231, "ret_p1m": -0.050297130185362415, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.050297130185362415, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0604577570436321, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0010593424813405417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010160626858269683, "bench_c_p1m": -0.049237787704021874, "ret_p3m": 0.25648282543045564, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25648282543045564, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2269151527574509, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22048330286359863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029567672673004752, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03599952256685701, "ret_p6m": 0.28823885082202994, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28823885082202994, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18636536723065777, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24856679591879427, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10187348359137216, "bench_c_p6m": 0.039672054903235665, "price_path": [-0.4969, -0.4858, -0.4811, -0.4783, -0.4724, -0.4596, -0.4647, -0.4809, -0.4714, -0.4731, -0.4731, -0.4683, -0.4668, -0.4656, -0.4656, -0.4656, -0.4802, -0.4867, -0.4821, -0.4702, -0.4362, -0.4266, -0.4135, -0.4084, -0.4096, -0.4096, -0.3916, -0.3952, -0.3838, -0.3581, -0.3563, -0.3539, -0.3379, -0.3351, -0.3414, -0.326, -0.3226, -0.3361, -0.3199, -0.2861, -0.2519, -0.2638, -0.2436, -0.2485, -0.2216, -0.2204, -0.2217, -0.2026, -0.216, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2506, -0.2719, -0.1525, -0.1495, -0.1466, -0.1508, -0.162, -0.1463, -0.1122, -0.0802, -0.0724, -0.0428, 0.0, -0.0555, -0.0744, -0.0082, -0.0192, -0.051, -0.0521, -0.0455, -0.0353, -0.0248, -0.0133, 0.0175, 0.0252, -0.0012, -0.0261, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.04, -0.073, -0.0503, -0.0597, -0.0789, -0.0608, -0.0222, -0.0484, -0.072, -0.0567, -0.0932, -0.0863, -0.1777, -0.1419, -0.1106, -0.1402, -0.1083, -0.0532, -0.053, -0.0676, -0.1039, -0.0739, -0.0419, -0.0057, -0.0228, -0.0244, -0.0423, -0.0301, -0.0245, -0.0142, 0.0212, 0.0182, -0.0021, 0.0228, 0.0293, 0.0246, 0.1201, 0.1489, 0.1489, 0.2291, 0.2391, 0.1924, 0.1831, 0.241, 0.2565, 0.3213, 0.3057, 0.3045, 0.3142, 0.3049, 0.3512, 0.3987, 0.4232, 0.4135, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.4114, 0.3659, 0.2746, 0.3608, 0.3641, 0.3381, 0.3332, 0.3414, 0.3239, 0.3844, 0.3844, 0.358, 0.3835, 0.4179, 0.4559, 0.3749, 0.3948, 0.3861, 0.3637, 0.2733, 0.3068, 0.2727, 0.3332, 0.323, 0.233, 0.2117, 0.2201, 0.2043, 0.1195, 0.2629, 0.1786, 0.1577, 0.0841, 0.1251, 0.0674, 0.1328, 0.1305, 0.1765, 0.2534, 0.2743, 0.3259, 0.3445, 0.403, 0.3733, 0.3868, 0.3354, 0.3962, 0.3648, 0.3846, 0.3556, 0.269, 0.2882]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765646206493950399", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-03-07T07:50:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short $TSLA - it's obvious for this reason among others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long NVDA / short TSLA pair trade; TSLA's P/E premium vs NVDA unjustified given profit divergence.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@freshjiva Exactly why option flow is heavily long $NVDA and short $TSLA - it\u2019s obvious for this reason among others", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "why does $tsla deserve a 50% premium price-to-earnings multiple to $nvda (54x vs 36x)? the latter just quintupled net profit over the past year while the former's went down -28%, and that divergence is likely to continue in 2024. https://t.co/q6X5kUWVkT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "freshjiva", "ret_m1d": -0.011810807066549134, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011810807066549134, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001981960502844604, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004241187618212017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00982884656370453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007569619448337117, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018527834714126334, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018527834714126334, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01252557773100993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014825852607984968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006002256983116405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003701982106141366, "ret_p1w": -0.09040019282531975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09040019282531975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09067209795381959, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08410116965850367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002719051284998386, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006299023166816076, "ret_p1m": -0.07696613753016524, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07696613753016524, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08712676438843492, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06729420878941139, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010160626858269683, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009671928740753843, "ret_p3m": -0.02171838654677838, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02171838654677838, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05128605921978313, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0032922891083460026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029567672673004752, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02501067565512438, "ret_p6m": 0.19848870934982443, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19848870934982443, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09661522575845227, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1600808383203305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10187348359137216, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038407871029493945, "price_path": [0.342, 0.3267, 0.3394, 0.4053, 0.419, 0.411, 0.4398, 0.3834, 0.4246, 0.4136, 0.4136, 0.4364, 0.4634, 0.4172, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3905, 0.3347, 0.3318, 0.3294, 0.3459, 0.3152, 0.3095, 0.2719, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.231, 0.2065, 0.186, 0.1877, 0.1688, 0.1707, 0.1633, 0.0223, 0.0257, 0.0687, 0.0724, 0.0484, 0.0572, 0.0518, 0.0135, 0.0361, 0.05, 0.0611, 0.0835, 0.0531, 0.0301, 0.0563, 0.122, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.0846, 0.0902, 0.105, 0.0746, 0.1161, 0.118, 0.1309, 0.13, 0.1343, 0.0531, 0.0117, -0.0118, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0049, -0.0062, -0.0513, -0.0904, -0.0844, -0.0271, -0.041, -0.0167, -0.0326, -0.0438, -0.0337, -0.0055, 0.0066, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0673, -0.0575, -0.0422, -0.077, -0.0317, -0.0099, -0.0386, -0.0227, -0.0425, -0.0961, -0.1206, -0.1299, -0.1608, -0.1769, -0.2049, -0.1901, -0.0925, -0.0474, -0.058, 0.0862, 0.0259, 0.0075, 0.0076, 0.0142, 0.0342, -0.0047, -0.022, -0.0374, -0.057, -0.0378, -0.0062, -0.0261, -0.0213, -0.0067, -0.0207, 0.0445, 0.0082, -0.0275, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0106, -0.0138, 0.0008, -0.0032, -0.0132, -0.0217, -0.0204, -0.004, -0.0065, -0.0272, -0.0447, -0.0076, 0.0214, -0.0036, 0.0492, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0163, 0.0244, 0.022, 0.0487, 0.0992, 0.1051, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2945, 0.3792, 0.3792, 0.4079, 0.4158, 0.4684, 0.4736, 0.3492, 0.3895, 0.4142, 0.4361, 0.391, 0.3951, 0.3389, 0.4078, 0.3791, 0.209, 0.2329, 0.2303, 0.2992, 0.2461, 0.299, 0.2139, 0.1624, 0.1132, 0.1231, 0.0734, 0.113, 0.1195, 0.1055, 0.1633, 0.1272, 0.1987, 0.2097, 0.2467, 0.2376, 0.2498, 0.1792, 0.2332, 0.1935, 0.1711, 0.1517, 0.1547, 0.1985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1177704536590311425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-09-27T22:00:16+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There are MANY ways for $TSLA to up sell new and existing users with future software updates *cough Full Self Driving*", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA on future upsell potential via software updates and Full Self Driving monetization.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@aija_tweet Garbage content by CNBC. Profitability is not the be-all-end-all of an EV market still in its infancy. Win the market then focus on unit economics. There are MANY ways for $TSLA to up sell new and existing users with future software updates *cough Full Self Driving*", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "All 4 of these panelists along with CNBC as a whole should be sued for slander and conflict of interest.\n\nBlatant stock manipulation. At least one of them holds a sizable $tsla short position and uses this platform to misinform investors. It\u2019s criminal. https://t.co/4jfAtmvH6V", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "aija_tweet", "ret_m1d": 0.0017759540081083713, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0017759540081083713, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036403651782463964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017334943041609208, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005416319186354768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003509448312269292, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005203793381044264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005203793381044264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009841370421703743, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013810588349861153, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00463757704065948, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008606794968816889, "ret_p1w": -0.04419112384567425, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04419112384567425, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040636628878984116, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040430610277219836, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003554494966690136, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037605135684544155, "ret_p1m": 0.353446514657765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.353446514657765, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3267032256712692, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33865606542031257, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026743288986495806, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01479044923745243, "ret_p3m": 0.7562879465422483, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7562879465422483, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6635005074769751, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7121617265040967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0927874390652732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04412622003815159, "ret_p6m": 0.7936232734814381, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7936232734814381, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0307134497770725, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0562230923312097, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.23709017629563434, "bench_c_p6m": -0.26259981884977157, "price_path": [-0.0726, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0373, -0.0487, -0.0498, -0.0133, -0.0146, 0.0122, 0.047, 0.0423, 0.0526, 0.0471, 0.0663, 0.056, 0.0745, 0.094, -0.055, -0.0582, -0.0263, 0.0005, -0.0021, -0.0342, -0.0322, -0.057, -0.047, -0.036, -0.0158, -0.0294, -0.0542, -0.0294, -0.093, -0.1094, -0.0916, -0.0632, -0.0672, -0.088, -0.0825, -0.1269, -0.112, -0.1158, -0.1096, -0.0843, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0707, -0.0886, -0.0518, -0.0606, -0.0427, -0.0272, 0.0205, 0.0154, 0.0127, 0.0028, 0.011, 0.0056, 0.0185, -0.0062, -0.0037, -0.0781, -0.0555, 0.0018, 0.0, -0.0052, 0.0106, 0.0041, -0.0376, -0.0442, -0.0182, -0.0086, 0.0099, 0.0108, 0.0238, 0.0612, 0.0651, 0.0728, 0.0819, 0.0612, 0.047, 0.0555, 0.0518, 0.2377, 0.3552, 0.3534, 0.306, 0.301, 0.3006, 0.294, 0.3112, 0.3101, 0.3488, 0.3858, 0.3924, 0.4252, 0.4452, 0.4294, 0.4428, 0.4545, 0.4455, 0.4848, 0.4547, 0.4655, 0.3755, 0.3891, 0.3584, 0.3682, 0.3682, 0.3627, 0.383, 0.3885, 0.3754, 0.3644, 0.3872, 0.4023, 0.4407, 0.4567, 0.4855, 0.4802, 0.5756, 0.5652, 0.6237, 0.6687, 0.6751, 0.7314, 0.7563, 0.7563, 0.7798, 0.7775, 0.7127, 0.7277, 0.7277, 0.777, 0.8296, 0.8649, 0.9372, 1.0325, 0.9879, 0.9748, 1.1677, 1.2216, 1.1414, 1.1207, 1.1084, 1.1084, 1.2599, 1.3523, 1.3632, 1.3327, 1.3046, 1.3413, 1.3995, 1.6466, 1.6869, 2.2214, 2.6636, 2.0343, 2.0932, 2.0895, 2.1854, 2.1982, 2.1689, 2.3205, 2.3041, 2.3041, 2.5452, 2.789, 2.7146, 2.7211, 2.4436, 2.3036, 2.2165, 1.8043, 1.7588, 2.0712, 2.079, 2.0954, 1.9924, 1.9054, 1.511, 1.6652, 1.6194, 1.3151, 1.2575, 0.8381, 0.7767, 0.4918, 0.7662, 0.7657, 0.7936]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1754612824989728951", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-05T21:07:51+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought a decent chunk of $PLTR today near session low", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought PLTR near session low; wrote covered calls against the position.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought a decent chunk of $PLTR today near session low and wrote weekly 18.50c's", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017942652914439083, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017942652914439083, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01428818224703643, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01428818224703643, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003654470667402654, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003654470667402654, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.30801445797701255, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.30801445797701255, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.30511108820911015, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.30511108820911015, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029033697679023973, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029033697679023973, "ret_p1w": 0.498205757523732, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.498205757523732, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4810906776357031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4810906776357031, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01711507988802885, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01711507988802885, "ret_p1m": 0.424043088741338, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.424043088741338, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39434054328725554, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39434054328725554, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029702545454082463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029702545454082463, "ret_p3m": 0.34868422028280555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34868422028280555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3201609121538158, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3201609121538158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028523308128989733, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028523308128989733, "ret_p6m": 0.5771532250106803, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5771532250106803, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4697773734330055, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4697773734330055, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737585157767482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10737585157767482, "price_path": [0.1059, 0.0927, 0.1764, 0.1788, 0.1926, 0.1932, 0.1824, 0.2255, 0.2763, 0.1842, 0.1776, 0.1776, 0.1483, 0.1411, 0.1788, 0.1866, 0.1992, 0.2123, 0.1005, 0.0945, 0.0245, 0.0299, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0467, 0.0688, 0.0891, 0.0885, 0.067, 0.0736, 0.0317, 0.052, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0574, 0.0449, 0.0502, 0.0269, 0.0269, -0.0084, -0.0377, -0.0281, -0.0443, -0.003, -0.0197, 0.0042, -0.0024, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.0114, -0.0197, -0.0191, 0.0036, 0.0526, 0.0365, 0.0018, -0.0156, -0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0012, -0.0377, -0.0233, 0.0179, 0.0, 0.308, 0.4115, 0.4659, 0.4581, 0.4982, 0.436, 0.5066, 0.5197, 0.4617, 0.4617, 0.3995, 0.36, 0.4109, 0.3738, 0.4091, 0.4671, 0.4605, 0.5, 0.491, 0.4378, 0.424, 0.5646, 0.5825, 0.5574, 0.5161, 0.4773, 0.4952, 0.4611, 0.4049, 0.4354, 0.4234, 0.4695, 0.4647, 0.4462, 0.4659, 0.4886, 0.4659, 0.3762, 0.3762, 0.3672, 0.3589, 0.3577, 0.3445, 0.3732, 0.3756, 0.3642, 0.3409, 0.366, 0.3559, 0.3098, 0.3086, 0.2745, 0.2638, 0.2243, 0.2542, 0.2943, 0.2913, 0.2984, 0.3469, 0.3654, 0.314, 0.323, 0.3487, 0.3953, 0.5078, 0.2799, 0.2895, 0.2644, 0.2321, 0.2524, 0.2823, 0.2961, 0.2949, 0.3014, 0.2931, 0.2703, 0.2661, 0.2392, 0.2566, 0.2566, 0.259, 0.2524, 0.2996, 0.2967, 0.2751, 0.3218, 0.3732, 0.4228, 0.3941, 0.3834, 0.4264, 0.4217, 0.3917, 0.4097, 0.4964, 0.5443, 0.5443, 0.5287, 0.4258, 0.445, 0.4689, 0.4414, 0.5084, 0.515, 0.5478, 0.5449, 0.5461, 0.5461, 0.6286, 0.6567, 0.6382, 0.6998, 0.6531, 0.6788, 0.7147, 0.7147, 0.6878, 0.7129, 0.7093, 0.7022, 0.7231, 0.5909, 0.5927, 0.6256, 0.6196, 0.5772]}
{"unit_id": "orig:659860344982994944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2015-10-29T22:32:20+00:00", "symbol": "GPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's in the camera business, we all know how this will end without serious innovation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish GPRO: camera-only business with no serious innovation points to continued decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["GPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$gpro stock tanks and this is surprising, because why? it's in the camera business, we all know how this will end without serious innovation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.17915683430463925, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17915683430463925, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17858192864534472, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17642569583553747, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0005749056592945223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027311384691017793, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02419987583622385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02419987583622385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019890648769968045, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017600088965341154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004309227066255805, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006599786870882696, "ret_p1w": -0.03161597762520807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03161597762520807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03793724405602217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037305385006390246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006321266430814099, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005689407381182177, "ret_p1m": -0.20843091247719392, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20843091247719392, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21192695805501183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20774834785281415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003496045577817908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0006825646243797667, "ret_p3m": -0.5753317814970662, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5753317814970662, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4915410426350263, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4970984945773451, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08379073886203992, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07823328691972109, "ret_p6m": -0.4543325884350503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4543325884350503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46615080867461656, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45294184223576983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011818220239566246, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0013907461992804793, "price_path": [1.4301, 1.4231, 1.4461, 1.4543, 1.4614, 1.5269, 1.308, 1.2213, 1.3224, 1.297, 1.2853, 1.244, 1.1339, 0.975, 0.8888, 0.8681, 0.8357, 0.8064, 0.8642, 0.8806, 0.8185, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.5086, 0.4375, 0.4375, 0.4637, 0.3134, 0.3224, 0.2654, 0.2834, 0.3103, 0.3946, 0.4176, 0.372, 0.2596, 0.3002, 0.274, 0.324, 0.2611, 0.1581, 0.1655, 0.2186, 0.1737, 0.1881, 0.1811, 0.1963, 0.1448, 0.0773, 0.1351, 0.1109, 0.0917, 0.0964, 0.114, 0.1132, 0.1569, 0.1831, 0.1343, 0.121, 0.1378, 0.1237, 0.1019, 0.1792, 0.0, -0.0242, -0.0027, -0.0234, -0.0094, -0.0316, -0.0191, 0.0117, -0.0234, -0.0203, -0.0964, -0.1741, -0.1561, -0.1854, -0.2268, -0.2221, -0.2018, -0.2588, -0.2459, -0.2194, -0.2194, -0.2084, -0.2037, -0.2143, -0.2158, -0.2611, -0.2974, -0.3165, -0.3138, -0.3407, -0.265, -0.2525, -0.3244, -0.3009, -0.2654, -0.2994, -0.2389, -0.2935, -0.2842, -0.2869, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.3005, -0.2865, -0.2818, -0.297, -0.297, -0.2705, -0.2783, -0.2814, -0.3365, -0.3681, -0.4044, -0.4301, -0.4297, -0.5129, -0.5527, -0.5527, -0.5874, -0.5706, -0.5831, -0.5773, -0.5867, -0.5753, -0.5859, -0.5874, -0.5531, -0.5683, -0.6003, -0.582, -0.6183, -0.6112, -0.571, -0.5554, -0.5867, -0.603, -0.5976, -0.5976, -0.5476, -0.493, -0.5164, -0.5168, -0.498, -0.5273, -0.5414, -0.5574, -0.5199, -0.5363, -0.5359, -0.4918, -0.4699, -0.4785, -0.4582, -0.5156, -0.5207, -0.5246, -0.5082, -0.5211, -0.5433, -0.5195, -0.4945, -0.4973, -0.4899, -0.4938, -0.5211, -0.5152, -0.5152, -0.5511, -0.5453, -0.5254, -0.5332, -0.5418, -0.5304, -0.5453, -0.5269, -0.5203, -0.5191, -0.5406, -0.5441, -0.4575, -0.4614, -0.4625, -0.4875, -0.4945, -0.4754, -0.4707, -0.4543]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1759838899764072841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-20T07:14:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've said weeks ago that $165 into Q1 delivery print April 2 is most likely and that still holds true today. We'll see some sharp bounces but the destination to $108 looks increasingly likely by EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA: $165 target into Apr 2 delivery print, then $108 by EOY on expected disastrous Q1 deliveries and no rate cuts in H1 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My past 4 large $TSLA plays since July 2023 have been scary accurate. I predicted the move up to 290 and down to 220 before the recent 252-265 rally and fast move down to 170-180 we just saw. This is the result of months of research and planning. \n\nNext, I expect a move up to 206-220 the next ~2 weeks and then a large move down into Q1 delivery print Apr 2 and earnings Apr 17. \n\nThis is the culmination of TA, option flow, dark pool prints and fundamentals. I may adjust my projections due to unforeseen news/patterns and will update them here. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\nAlmost 4 weeks later: $TSLA touched $206 then sold off exactly as I predicted. I\u2019ve said weeks ago that $165 into Q1 delivery print April 2 is most likely and that still holds true today. We\u2019ll see some sharp bounces but the destination to $108 looks increasingly likely by EOY https://t.co/xw98WC0kqm\n\n---\n\nThe more I look at $TSLA and a potential disastrous Q1 deliveries print Apr 2, the more I see ~$135 as an increasingly likely target (~30-50% chance) as I expect ~$167 into the print. $TSLA typically moves 5-10% on delivery prints, so -10% would be ~$150 (my previous target) - however, this print has the potential to cause a massive drop of -15-20% due to data I'm seeing of a likely large miss (40k+ shortfall) even after the street has reduced estimates significantly. This drop could happen in 1-day, but potentially over a few days.\n\nTesla ex-shutdowns has never had a YoY delivery decline. If this happens, it will not digest well among WS + MSM. $108 might come sooner than I expected (which was closer to Q3-Q4). Also, investors cheering for rate cuts have been very quiet lately. I did not expect any cuts 1H 2024 6 months ago and still do not today. Powell likely reaffirms a hawkish stance tomorrow.\n\nOn the contrary, FSD v12 has been promising and is a x-factor to the upside but I doubt it can fully offset deliv/earnings material decline.\n\n---\n\nShort term price movement is always tough, but here's my last prediction into Q4 earnings\nhttps://t.co/CgNCZjhqRI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03194675173872308, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03194675173872308, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026410788429345633, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022416595182701338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005535963309377445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00953015655602174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00521268473502845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00521268473502845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004306604719717111, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021746093541454847, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009060800153113391, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007387294089173935, "ret_p1w": 0.030811320138081966, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030811320138081966, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010338608207898003, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0019386664286726862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020472711930183962, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02887265370940928, "ret_p1m": -0.09341448884118331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09341448884118331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14441939558576677, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12910585947255904, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05100490674458347, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03569137063137573, "ret_p3m": -0.08412462972274537, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08412462972274537, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15324261505124315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09404535424649407, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06911798532849778, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009920724523748703, "ret_p6m": 0.039327057142890975, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.039327057142890975, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06220907483346427, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0365787003300273, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10153613197635525, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0027483568128636726, "price_path": [0.2088, 0.2152, 0.2184, 0.2733, 0.26, 0.2391, 0.2326, 0.2158, 0.232, 0.2354, 0.2523, 0.2585, 0.2373, 0.2232, 0.235, 0.2957, 0.3083, 0.301, 0.3275, 0.2755, 0.3135, 0.3034, 0.3034, 0.3244, 0.3493, 0.3067, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2821, 0.2306, 0.228, 0.2257, 0.241, 0.2126, 0.2074, 0.1727, 0.1297, 0.1297, 0.135, 0.1125, 0.0935, 0.0951, 0.0776, 0.0794, 0.0726, -0.0574, -0.0542, -0.0146, -0.0112, -0.0334, -0.0253, -0.0302, -0.0655, -0.0447, -0.0319, -0.0217, -0.001, -0.0291, -0.0503, -0.0261, 0.0345, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0, 0.0052, 0.0188, -0.0092, 0.0291, 0.0308, 0.0427, 0.0419, 0.0458, -0.029, -0.0672, -0.0889, -0.078, -0.0951, -0.0825, -0.0837, -0.1253, -0.1613, -0.1558, -0.103, -0.1158, -0.0934, -0.1081, -0.1183, -0.1091, -0.083, -0.0719, -0.0927, -0.0927, -0.0957, -0.14, -0.131, -0.1169, -0.1489, -0.1072, -0.0871, -0.1135, -0.0989, -0.1172, -0.1666, -0.1892, -0.1977, -0.2262, -0.2411, -0.2669, -0.2533, -0.1632, -0.1217, -0.1315, 0.0015, -0.0541, -0.0711, -0.071, -0.0649, -0.0464, -0.0823, -0.0983, -0.1125, -0.1305, -0.1129, -0.0837, -0.102, -0.0976, -0.0841, -0.0971, -0.037, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.0749, -0.0749, -0.0878, -0.0907, -0.0773, -0.0809, -0.0902, -0.098, -0.0968, -0.0816, -0.084, -0.1031, -0.1192, -0.085, -0.0583, -0.0813, -0.0326, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0629, -0.0555, -0.0577, -0.0331, 0.0135, 0.0189, 0.0213, 0.0831, 0.1935, 0.2716, 0.2716, 0.2981, 0.3054, 0.3539, 0.3587, 0.244, 0.2811, 0.3039, 0.3241, 0.2825, 0.2863, 0.2345, 0.298, 0.2716, 0.1147, 0.1367, 0.1344, 0.1979, 0.1489, 0.1977, 0.1192, 0.0718, 0.0264, 0.0355, -0.0103, 0.0262, 0.0322, 0.0193, 0.0726, 0.0393]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1519529648660512769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-28T04:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA crushing earnings relatively better than any of the above", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA earnings beat was stronger than peers; implied bullish on durable strength.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech Let\u2019s not forget $TSLA crushing earnings relatively better than any of the above", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Let\u2019s think about the narrative so far in tech; Netflix a disaster followed by robust Microsoft and Qualcomm numbers and a much better than feared Facebook print. Alphabet mixed but overall fine. Valuations in tech are so oversold that the Meta reaction AH so dramatic positive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": 0.004558387496636618, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004558387496636618, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0291957143487086, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024663383670760708, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024637326852071983, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02010499617412409, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007692220213591394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007692220213591394, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029263543910889922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04312371501974288, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.036955764124481316, "bench_c_p1d": -0.050815935233334275, "ret_p1w": -0.004820470520406905, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004820470520406905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027904486941980555, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06172970147830581, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03272495746238746, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06655017199871271, "ret_p1m": -0.13433460803198916, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13433460803198916, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10499924112524539, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030371954324939998, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029335366906743765, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10396265370704916, "ret_p3m": -0.11501866141721606, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11501866141721606, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03266557213229193, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01771271938152663, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08235308928492413, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1327313807987427, "ret_p6m": -0.26688012383005544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26688012383005544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14916648271822086, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10037737943612357, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.11771364111183458, "bench_c_p6m": -0.16650274439393187, "price_path": [0.0675, 0.0612, 0.0321, 0.0155, 0.0522, 0.034, 0.0507, 0.0621, 0.0308, -0.02, -0.002, 0.0512, 0.0523, -0.0013, -0.0234, -0.0234, -0.0638, -0.1293, -0.0875, -0.0771, -0.0081, -0.015, 0.0027, -0.0436, -0.0447, -0.0831, -0.0605, -0.0211, -0.0447, -0.0936, -0.1267, -0.0862, -0.0425, -0.0067, 0.0318, 0.0497, 0.1327, 0.1386, 0.1555, 0.1517, 0.2442, 0.2531, 0.2467, 0.228, 0.236, 0.3053, 0.2436, 0.1917, 0.2048, 0.1686, 0.1122, 0.1247, 0.1651, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.1445, 0.1717, 0.1136, 0.1496, 0.1453, 0.1373, -0.0012, 0.0046, 0.0, -0.0077, 0.029, 0.0362, 0.0856, -0.0048, -0.0135, -0.103, -0.0883, -0.1635, -0.1704, -0.123, -0.1745, -0.1321, -0.1911, -0.1916, -0.2434, -0.2309, -0.2842, -0.2492, -0.1935, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1359, -0.1563, -0.1168, -0.1982, -0.1854, -0.1833, -0.1731, -0.1805, -0.2061, -0.2624, -0.2448, -0.2034, -0.2715, -0.2589, -0.2589, -0.1896, -0.1929, -0.1964, -0.16, -0.1627, -0.2046, -0.2188, -0.2326, -0.223, -0.223, -0.2032, -0.2078, -0.164, -0.1427, -0.1988, -0.2032, -0.1896, -0.1853, -0.1793, -0.1776, -0.1606, -0.1539, -0.0711, -0.0693, -0.0823, -0.115, -0.0605, -0.0397, 0.0159, 0.0163, 0.0276, 0.0509, 0.0551, -0.0148, -0.0071, -0.0314, 0.0063, -0.0201, 0.0257, 0.0575, 0.0481, 0.0393, 0.0354, 0.0142, -0.0089, 0.0135, 0.0157, 0.0122, -0.0151, -0.0263, -0.0506, -0.0578, -0.0525, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.0618, -0.0301, -0.0111, 0.0245, 0.0407, -0.0013, 0.0346, 0.0384, 0.0371, 0.0566, 0.0555, 0.0284, -0.0134, -0.0587, -0.0564, -0.0327, -0.016, -0.0831, -0.0932, -0.1713, -0.1472, -0.1767, -0.1859, -0.2374, -0.2378, -0.2598, -0.2573, -0.242, -0.2992, -0.2501, -0.2472, -0.2409, -0.2914, -0.2669]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1748075214179909751", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-18T20:09:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not much to be bullish about technically or fundamentally rn. We just hit the weekly cloud bottom so a bounce into earnings is likely, then next leg down (possible c-wave)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: Wyckoff distribution + rising wedge breakdown; expects bounce into earnings then next leg down (possible c-wave).", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I called the gap fill around $290 last year and $260 recently. 2024 fundamentals aren't great and it's a demand gap year. You were saying $300+ not long ago, but your charts are off. Wyckoff distribution from a bear bat + rising weekly wedge. Not much to be bullish about technically or fundamentally rn. We just hit the weekly cloud bottom so a bounce into earnings is likely, then next leg down (possible c-wave)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA Hearing some of my bearish friends targeting that 144.43 gap.\n\nGulp\u2026.\n\nThat would be disastrous for bulls.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.017321116124077607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017321116124077607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026135530385293038, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02297850363748244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00881441426121543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005657387513404832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014630807600990448, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014630807600990448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011003150087540714, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008177845112064652, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012466230847639759, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009640925872163697, "ret_p1w": -0.13804983635042734, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13804983635042734, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1622686634191336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12465643978678242, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02421882706870626, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01339339656364491, "ret_p1m": -0.05630549206928992, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05630549206928992, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10461712164843162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08978893859346304, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0483116295791417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03348344652417312, "ret_p3m": -0.25849538894787816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25849538894787816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3185271050186943, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26038441650130595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.060031716070816143, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0018890275534277912, "ret_p6m": 0.17155932606680446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17155932606680446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0111352843136312, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06129507406623791, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18269461038043566, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11026425200056655, "price_path": [0.0009, 0.0219, 0.0025, -0.0289, -0.0216, -0.0685, -0.0521, -0.0294, 0.0313, 0.0381, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0483, -0.009, 0.0131, 0.0558, 0.1205, 0.1461, 0.1025, 0.1058, 0.112, 0.1384, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1112, 0.1142, 0.1644, 0.1523, 0.1331, 0.1272, 0.1119, 0.1267, 0.1297, 0.1452, 0.1508, 0.1315, 0.1186, 0.1294, 0.1849, 0.1964, 0.1897, 0.214, 0.1664, 0.2012, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.2111, 0.2339, 0.1949, 0.1727, 0.1727, 0.1725, 0.1254, 0.1229, 0.1209, 0.1348, 0.1089, 0.1041, 0.0724, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0379, 0.0173, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.0145, -0.0129, -0.0191, -0.138, -0.1351, -0.0989, -0.0958, -0.1161, -0.1086, -0.1131, -0.1455, -0.1264, -0.1147, -0.1053, -0.0864, -0.1121, -0.1315, -0.1094, -0.0539, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0855, -0.0808, -0.0683, -0.094, -0.0589, -0.0573, -0.0464, -0.0472, -0.0436, -0.112, -0.147, -0.1668, -0.1568, -0.1725, -0.161, -0.1621, -0.2001, -0.2331, -0.228, -0.1797, -0.1914, -0.1709, -0.1843, -0.1937, -0.1852, -0.1615, -0.1513, -0.1703, -0.1703, -0.173, -0.2136, -0.2053, -0.1924, -0.2217, -0.1836, -0.1652, -0.1894, -0.1759, -0.1927, -0.2379, -0.2585, -0.2663, -0.2924, -0.306, -0.3296, -0.3172, -0.2348, -0.1968, -0.2057, -0.0842, -0.135, -0.1505, -0.1504, -0.1448, -0.128, -0.1608, -0.1754, -0.1884, -0.2049, -0.1887, -0.162, -0.1788, -0.1748, -0.1625, -0.1743, -0.1193, -0.1499, -0.18, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1658, -0.1684, -0.1562, -0.1595, -0.168, -0.1751, -0.1741, -0.1602, -0.1624, -0.1798, -0.1945, -0.1633, -0.1388, -0.1599, -0.1153, -0.1275, -0.1275, -0.1431, -0.1363, -0.1383, -0.1158, -0.0732, -0.0682, -0.0661, -0.0095, 0.0915, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.1871, 0.1938, 0.2381, 0.2425, 0.1376, 0.1716]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1702749566075019386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-15T18:21:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Q3 deliveries likely short by 10k+ estimates, that'll break the lower support. I'm a bull but don't see us breaking above that ATH resistance until 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Near-term bearish on TSLA: Q3 deliveries miss will break lower support; ATH resistance holds until 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider Q3 deliveries likely short by 10k+ estimates, that'll break the lower support. I'm a bull but don't see us breaking above that ATH resistance until 2024", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA Extremely well-defined support and resistance zones for Tesla heading into Q4...\n\nWill we see one break before year end? \u26a1 https://t.co/Hz2kMNOvoT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": 0.006013316113556266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006013316113556266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006181984233422089, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011391693277063908, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012195300346978355, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017405009390620174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033200974462619715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033200974462619715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033787461777834316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02232547796337936, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005864873152146011, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010875496499240356, "ret_p1w": -0.10754768100229428, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10754768100229428, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07833970375223598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04599726347737565, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029207977250058303, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06155041752491863, "ret_p1m": -0.07460190016651813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07460190016651813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05806940575835051, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01660851788538087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01653249440816762, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05799338228113726, "ret_p3m": -0.12792018473149114, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12792018473149114, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18911064533316357, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15698982066611344, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061190460601672436, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029069635934622307, "ret_p6m": -0.35212655423985106, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35212655423985106, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5099697551269886, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40260744029654005, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15784320088713755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05048088605668899, "price_path": [0.0002, -0.0544, -0.0356, -0.0648, -0.1215, -0.0881, -0.0661, -0.0616, -0.046, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0295, 0.0078, 0.0001, -0.0174, -0.0168, -0.0087, 0.0128, 0.0255, 0.0583, 0.0691, 0.0615, -0.0419, -0.0524, -0.0194, -0.0332, -0.0366, -0.0681, -0.029, -0.0254, -0.0485, -0.0739, -0.0549, -0.0748, -0.0836, -0.09, -0.1174, -0.1059, -0.1157, -0.1262, -0.151, -0.1778, -0.2011, -0.2147, -0.1571, -0.1502, -0.1368, -0.1616, -0.1305, -0.1296, -0.0627, -0.0637, -0.0594, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.0652, -0.0819, -0.0835, -0.0944, -0.003, -0.0252, -0.0113, 0.006, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0288, -0.043, -0.0681, -0.1075, -0.0999, -0.1103, -0.1235, -0.1021, -0.0881, -0.0831, -0.1015, -0.0482, -0.0523, -0.0505, -0.0536, -0.0393, -0.0415, -0.0566, -0.0848, -0.0746, -0.0712, -0.1156, -0.1978, -0.2274, -0.2271, -0.2109, -0.2258, -0.2501, -0.2445, -0.2807, -0.268, -0.2505, -0.2037, -0.1984, -0.2009, -0.1903, -0.1905, -0.2347, -0.2177, -0.1847, -0.1348, -0.115, -0.1487, -0.1461, -0.1414, -0.121, -0.1464, -0.1464, -0.1419, -0.1396, -0.1008, -0.1102, -0.125, -0.1296, -0.1414, -0.13, -0.1276, -0.1157, -0.1113, -0.1263, -0.1362, -0.1279, -0.0851, -0.0761, -0.0813, -0.0626, -0.0993, -0.0725, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0648, -0.0472, -0.0773, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0946, -0.131, -0.1329, -0.1345, -0.1237, -0.1437, -0.1474, -0.1719, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.1985, -0.2144, -0.2278, -0.2267, -0.239, -0.2378, -0.2426, -0.3344, -0.3322, -0.3042, -0.3018, -0.3174, -0.3117, -0.3152, -0.3401, -0.3254, -0.3164, -0.3092, -0.2945, -0.3144, -0.3293, -0.3123, -0.2695, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.2939, -0.2902, -0.2805, -0.3004, -0.2733, -0.2721, -0.2637, -0.2643, -0.2615, -0.3143, -0.3413, -0.3566, -0.3489, -0.361, -0.3521]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732134783667581076", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-05T20:28:08+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wyckoff distribution + MACD crossovers signal 1-3 month decline across SPY, QQQ, TSLA, NVDA, PLTR; TSLA distribution near fulfillment.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months\n\n---\n\nI expect $TSLA to hit 258-260 before moving down if this pattern fulfills\n\n---\n\nadd $NVDA and $PLTR to this list https://t.co/NT5RyDBpAr\n\n---\n\nMonth later update: this is playing out textbook. We are currently in phase D of Wyckoff distribution. I expect a bounce to $243-247 for $TSLA before earnings and a correction down to ~207 quickly after (C-wave)\n\n---\n\nAs I expected, textbook Wyckoff has played out. I expected a rebound Phase D before earnings to ~243 but it looks like we're into Phase E https://t.co/B9GxIs4wn4\n\n---\n\n$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment https://t.co/5viGquc82C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000197071481922384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004029691183885187, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "ret_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016425887331930733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "ret_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03086016668192859, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "ret_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12774707164741272, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "ret_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16047796936662406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "price_path": [-0.0292, -0.0277, -0.0213, -0.0267, -0.0255, -0.0171, -0.029, -0.0284, -0.0304, -0.0393, -0.0552, -0.0573, -0.0534, -0.0673, -0.0669, -0.0615, -0.0638, -0.0641, -0.0767, -0.07, -0.0703, -0.0593, -0.0532, -0.0483, -0.0444, -0.0502, -0.055, -0.045, -0.0451, -0.0578, -0.0661, -0.0776, -0.0792, -0.0722, -0.0855, -0.0965, -0.1006, -0.0898, -0.0841, -0.0743, -0.0566, -0.048, -0.0458, -0.0431, -0.0424, -0.0498, -0.035, -0.0359, -0.0172, -0.0152, -0.014, -0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0073, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0028, -0.0046, -0.0037, -0.0044, -0.0004, 0.0055, 0.0002, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0036, 0.0079, 0.0118, 0.0164, 0.0304, 0.0337, 0.032, 0.0379, 0.0442, 0.0297, 0.0395, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0459, 0.0478, 0.0482, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0393, 0.0309, 0.0275, 0.0289, 0.0436, 0.0421, 0.0479, 0.0475, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0444, 0.0386, 0.0478, 0.0609, 0.0631, 0.0662, 0.0674, 0.0732, 0.0718, 0.0803, 0.0795, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.0871, 0.0831, 0.0863, 0.0953, 0.0958, 0.1021, 0.1016, 0.0865, 0.0963, 0.1039, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.0924, 0.0934, 0.116, 0.1168, 0.1127, 0.1147, 0.1133, 0.1173, 0.1277, 0.1265, 0.1153, 0.1209, 0.1321, 0.1253, 0.1243, 0.1364, 0.1346, 0.1324, 0.1246, 0.1313, 0.1376, 0.1481, 0.1519, 0.1497, 0.1465, 0.1444, 0.154, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.1518, 0.1445, 0.1457, 0.1317, 0.1436, 0.1442, 0.1455, 0.1341, 0.1426, 0.1268, 0.1127, 0.1107, 0.1041, 0.1018, 0.0922, 0.1023, 0.1154, 0.1148, 0.1106, 0.1211, 0.1251, 0.1073, 0.1037, 0.114, 0.1278, 0.1395, 0.1407, 0.1408, 0.1474, 0.1489, 0.149, 0.1543, 0.1686, 0.1662, 0.1679, 0.1692, 0.1721, 0.1687, 0.1602, 0.1678, 0.1678, 0.1687, 0.1605]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732134783667581076", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-12-05T20:28:08+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wyckoff distribution + MACD crossovers signal 1-3 month decline across SPY, QQQ, TSLA, NVDA, PLTR; TSLA distribution near fulfillment.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months\n\n---\n\nI expect $TSLA to hit 258-260 before moving down if this pattern fulfills\n\n---\n\nadd $NVDA and $PLTR to this list https://t.co/NT5RyDBpAr\n\n---\n\nMonth later update: this is playing out textbook. We are currently in phase D of Wyckoff distribution. I expect a bounce to $243-247 for $TSLA before earnings and a correction down to ~207 quickly after (C-wave)\n\n---\n\nAs I expected, textbook Wyckoff has played out. I expected a rebound Phase D before earnings to ~243 but it looks like we're into Phase E https://t.co/B9GxIs4wn4\n\n---\n\n$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment https://t.co/5viGquc82C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0025047354141806144, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0025047354141806144, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027018068961029984, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0027018068961029984, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005783738836410035, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005783738836410035, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017540476525248483, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017540476525248483, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "ret_p1w": 0.029383798781803305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029383798781803305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012957911449872572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012957911449872572, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "ret_p1m": 0.03110211077198577, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03110211077198577, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00024194409005717787, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00024194409005717787, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "ret_p3m": 0.15348931610910888, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15348931610910888, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02574224446169615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02574224446169615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "ret_p6m": 0.18308583467002926, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18308583467002926, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.022607865303405195, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.022607865303405195, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "price_path": [-0.0407, -0.0394, -0.0281, -0.0388, -0.0352, -0.0273, -0.0439, -0.0429, -0.045, -0.0587, -0.076, -0.0759, -0.0715, -0.0854, -0.0833, -0.0756, -0.0749, -0.0672, -0.0836, -0.0711, -0.0738, -0.0583, -0.0535, -0.0483, -0.0415, -0.0448, -0.0568, -0.0462, -0.0493, -0.0618, -0.0705, -0.0844, -0.0816, -0.0727, -0.0954, -0.1127, -0.1084, -0.0984, -0.094, -0.0783, -0.0616, -0.0506, -0.0467, -0.0377, -0.0371, -0.0445, -0.023, -0.026, -0.0051, -0.0043, -0.0035, -0.0032, 0.0089, 0.003, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0057, 0.0049, 0.0075, 0.0065, 0.004, 0.0068, -0.0025, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0081, 0.0126, 0.0213, 0.0294, 0.0425, 0.0416, 0.0466, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0428, 0.055, 0.0566, 0.0566, 0.063, 0.0652, 0.0647, 0.0601, 0.0601, 0.0421, 0.0311, 0.0258, 0.027, 0.0482, 0.0503, 0.0574, 0.0596, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0601, 0.0541, 0.0691, 0.0903, 0.0917, 0.0962, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.0971, 0.1083, 0.1009, 0.0794, 0.0921, 0.1105, 0.1091, 0.1068, 0.1182, 0.1203, 0.1313, 0.1269, 0.1093, 0.1214, 0.1248, 0.1146, 0.1146, 0.1061, 0.1017, 0.134, 0.1306, 0.13, 0.1328, 0.1267, 0.1364, 0.1535, 0.1494, 0.1287, 0.1358, 0.1531, 0.1364, 0.1322, 0.1484, 0.1396, 0.1367, 0.1232, 0.1339, 0.1368, 0.1502, 0.1557, 0.157, 0.1528, 0.1491, 0.153, 0.1509, 0.1509, 0.1533, 0.1434, 0.1459, 0.1284, 0.1417, 0.142, 0.1463, 0.1362, 0.1544, 0.136, 0.1173, 0.1174, 0.1038, 0.0975, 0.0748, 0.0856, 0.1018, 0.1055, 0.1002, 0.1171, 0.1217, 0.1005, 0.0926, 0.1065, 0.1288, 0.1411, 0.1413, 0.1406, 0.1431, 0.1458, 0.1485, 0.1558, 0.1739, 0.1715, 0.171, 0.1791, 0.1814, 0.1812, 0.1759, 0.187, 0.187, 0.1915, 0.1831]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732134783667581076", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2023-12-05T20:28:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wyckoff distribution + MACD crossovers signal 1-3 month decline across SPY, QQQ, TSLA, NVDA, PLTR; TSLA distribution near fulfillment.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months\n\n---\n\nI expect $TSLA to hit 258-260 before moving down if this pattern fulfills\n\n---\n\nadd $NVDA and $PLTR to this list https://t.co/NT5RyDBpAr\n\n---\n\nMonth later update: this is playing out textbook. We are currently in phase D of Wyckoff distribution. I expect a bounce to $243-247 for $TSLA before earnings and a correction down to ~207 quickly after (C-wave)\n\n---\n\nAs I expected, textbook Wyckoff has played out. I expected a rebound Phase D before earnings to ~243 but it looks like we're into Phase E https://t.co/B9GxIs4wn4\n\n---\n\n$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment https://t.co/5viGquc82C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013153482630663293, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013153482630663293, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013350554112585677, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011396264006664047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001757218623999246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002722829646282676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002722829646282676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006752520830167863, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012587545030160463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00146407514326663, "ret_p1w": -0.007163231841165407, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007163231841165407, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02358911917309614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027369147573317543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020205915732152135, "ret_p1m": -0.0011310500631713793, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0011310500631713793, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03199121674509997, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019524275264606095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018393225201434715, "ret_p3m": -0.1511394170851137, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1511394170851137, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2788864887325264, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23671368315666164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08557426607154794, "ret_p6m": -0.2619386664692842, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2619386664692842, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42241663583590827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2848435459260026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022904879456718374, "price_path": [0.0535, 0.041, 0.146, 0.1205, 0.1365, 0.1563, 0.1494, 0.1113, 0.1164, 0.1, 0.0711, 0.0258, 0.0346, 0.0226, 0.0075, 0.0321, 0.0482, 0.054, 0.0327, 0.094, 0.0894, 0.0914, 0.0878, 0.1043, 0.1017, 0.0844, 0.0519, 0.0637, 0.0676, 0.0166, -0.078, -0.112, -0.1116, -0.093, -0.1102, -0.1381, -0.1316, -0.1733, -0.1587, -0.1385, -0.0847, -0.0786, -0.0815, -0.0693, -0.0696, -0.1204, -0.1008, -0.0629, -0.0055, 0.0173, -0.0215, -0.0185, -0.0131, 0.0104, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0137, -0.0111, 0.0335, 0.0227, 0.0057, 0.0005, -0.0132, 0.0, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0214, 0.0043, -0.0072, 0.0024, 0.0517, 0.0619, 0.056, 0.0775, 0.0353, 0.0661, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0749, 0.0952, 0.0606, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0406, -0.0011, -0.0033, -0.0052, 0.0072, -0.0158, -0.02, -0.0482, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0788, -0.0971, -0.1124, -0.1111, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.1294, -0.235, -0.2324, -0.2002, -0.1974, -0.2154, -0.2089, -0.2128, -0.2415, -0.2246, -0.2142, -0.2059, -0.1891, -0.2119, -0.2291, -0.2095, -0.1603, -0.1624, -0.1624, -0.1883, -0.1841, -0.173, -0.1958, -0.1647, -0.1633, -0.1537, -0.1543, -0.1511, -0.2119, -0.2429, -0.2605, -0.2516, -0.2655, -0.2553, -0.2563, -0.29, -0.3193, -0.3148, -0.272, -0.2823, -0.2642, -0.2761, -0.2844, -0.2769, -0.2557, -0.2467, -0.2636, -0.2636, -0.266, -0.302, -0.2947, -0.2832, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.259, -0.2805, -0.2686, -0.2835, -0.3236, -0.3419, -0.3488, -0.3719, -0.384, -0.405, -0.3939, -0.3208, -0.2871, -0.295, -0.1871, -0.2322, -0.246, -0.2459, -0.241, -0.226, -0.2552, -0.2681, -0.2796, -0.2943, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2712, -0.2676, -0.2566, -0.2671, -0.2183, -0.2455, -0.2722, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.2596, -0.2619]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732134783667581076", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2023-12-05T20:28:08+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "add $NVDA and $PLTR to this list", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wyckoff distribution + MACD crossovers signal 1-3 month decline across SPY, QQQ, TSLA, NVDA, PLTR; TSLA distribution near fulfillment.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months\n\n---\n\nI expect $TSLA to hit 258-260 before moving down if this pattern fulfills\n\n---\n\nadd $NVDA and $PLTR to this list https://t.co/NT5RyDBpAr\n\n---\n\nMonth later update: this is playing out textbook. We are currently in phase D of Wyckoff distribution. I expect a bounce to $243-247 for $TSLA before earnings and a correction down to ~207 quickly after (C-wave)\n\n---\n\nAs I expected, textbook Wyckoff has played out. I expected a rebound Phase D before earnings to ~243 but it looks like we're into Phase E https://t.co/B9GxIs4wn4\n\n---\n\n$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment https://t.co/5viGquc82C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022763563216318006, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022763563216318006, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02296063469824039, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022763563216318006, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02282790990479966, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02282790990479966, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018798218720914472, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014766346716079792, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008061563188719867, "ret_p1w": 0.02342924405346425, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02342924405346425, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007003356721533516, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03552013921878472, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05894938327224897, "ret_p1m": 0.02153925475878604, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02153925475878604, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00932091192314255, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03004407350110405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05158332825989009, "ret_p3m": 0.7669326876259268, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7669326876259268, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6391856159785141, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36959480848751913, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3973378791384077, "ret_p6m": 1.4659705201999418, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.4659705201999418, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.3054925508333177, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.9095361198200425, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5564344003798993, "price_path": [-0.0071, -0.0214, -0.0299, -0.0365, -0.0233, -0.0212, -0.0573, -0.0559, -0.0655, -0.093, -0.1192, -0.1065, -0.0934, -0.1, -0.0881, -0.0747, -0.0659, -0.0384, -0.0656, -0.0543, -0.0404, -0.0174, -0.0279, -0.0166, 0.0051, 0.0081, -0.0238, -0.0102, -0.0565, -0.0939, -0.096, -0.1113, -0.0772, -0.0624, -0.1029, -0.1341, -0.1303, -0.1161, -0.1243, -0.0912, -0.0658, -0.0336, -0.0176, -0.0132, 0.0001, 0.0082, 0.0379, 0.044, 0.0663, 0.0498, 0.0625, 0.0586, 0.0824, 0.0724, 0.0461, 0.0461, 0.0259, 0.0359, 0.0269, 0.0337, 0.0043, 0.0042, -0.0228, 0.0, -0.0228, 0.0006, 0.0202, 0.0013, 0.0234, 0.0327, 0.0383, 0.0499, 0.0754, 0.0652, 0.0332, 0.0521, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0583, 0.0612, 0.0635, 0.0635, 0.0635, 0.0344, 0.0215, 0.0308, 0.0544, 0.1221, 0.1412, 0.1672, 0.1773, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.2108, 0.2037, 0.2264, 0.2776, 0.2811, 0.2858, 0.3177, 0.3232, 0.3106, 0.3414, 0.3481, 0.3213, 0.3535, 0.4208, 0.4889, 0.4651, 0.5054, 0.4955, 0.549, 0.5515, 0.5489, 0.587, 0.5603, 0.5594, 0.5594, 0.4915, 0.449, 0.6866, 0.6926, 0.6985, 0.6901, 0.6678, 0.6989, 0.7669, 0.8305, 0.8462, 0.9049, 0.9902, 0.8797, 0.8421, 0.9739, 0.9519, 0.8887, 0.8864, 0.8997, 0.9199, 0.9408, 0.9636, 1.0249, 1.0403, 0.9878, 0.9382, 0.9405, 0.9405, 0.9406, 0.9211, 0.9106, 0.8449, 0.8901, 0.8713, 0.8331, 0.8692, 0.9461, 0.8939, 0.8469, 0.8773, 0.8047, 0.8184, 0.6365, 0.7077, 0.7701, 0.7111, 0.7746, 0.8842, 0.8847, 0.8556, 0.7834, 0.843, 0.9068, 0.9788, 0.9447, 0.9417, 0.9059, 0.9302, 0.9414, 0.962, 1.0323, 1.0264, 0.9861, 1.0355, 1.0485, 1.0391, 1.2292, 1.2865, 1.2865, 1.4461, 1.466]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732134783667581076", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2023-12-05T20:28:08+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "add $NVDA and $PLTR to this list", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wyckoff distribution + MACD crossovers signal 1-3 month decline across SPY, QQQ, TSLA, NVDA, PLTR; TSLA distribution near fulfillment.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing Wyckoff on $SPY $QQQ and $TSLA + MACD crossovers on $SPY $QQQ $VIX $DXY.. might be a bumpy ride down for 1-3 months\n\n---\n\nI expect $TSLA to hit 258-260 before moving down if this pattern fulfills\n\n---\n\nadd $NVDA and $PLTR to this list https://t.co/NT5RyDBpAr\n\n---\n\nMonth later update: this is playing out textbook. We are currently in phase D of Wyckoff distribution. I expect a bounce to $243-247 for $TSLA before earnings and a correction down to ~207 quickly after (C-wave)\n\n---\n\nAs I expected, textbook Wyckoff has played out. I expected a rebound Phase D before earnings to ~243 but it looks like we're into Phase E https://t.co/B9GxIs4wn4\n\n---\n\n$TSLA wyckoff distribution nearing/at fulfillment https://t.co/5viGquc82C", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0054645019474759415, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0054645019474759415, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0052674304655535575, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0052674304655535575, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06393443306404623, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06393443306404623, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05990474188016104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05990474188016104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "ret_p1w": -0.04371580712639678, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04371580712639678, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06014169445832751, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06014169445832751, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "ret_p1m": -0.12076498232836208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12076498232836208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15162514901029067, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15162514901029067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "ret_p3m": 0.36229515543849744, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36229515543849744, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23454808379108472, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23454808379108472, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "ret_p6m": 0.1442623719705205, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1442623719705205, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016215597396103565, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.016215597396103565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "price_path": [-0.1689, -0.1732, -0.1372, -0.1481, -0.1475, -0.135, -0.1623, -0.1552, -0.1721, -0.1945, -0.235, -0.2279, -0.223, -0.2372, -0.1885, -0.1383, -0.1257, -0.1322, -0.1858, -0.1404, -0.1361, -0.0923, -0.0377, -0.0273, -0.0208, -0.0197, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0251, -0.0601, -0.0678, -0.1197, -0.1148, -0.0907, -0.1481, -0.1645, -0.1765, -0.1973, -0.1913, -0.1847, -0.018, 0.0322, 0.0131, 0.0273, 0.0104, -0.0016, 0.0749, 0.077, 0.0896, 0.0902, 0.0803, 0.1197, 0.1661, 0.082, 0.076, 0.076, 0.0492, 0.0426, 0.077, 0.0842, 0.0956, 0.1077, 0.0055, 0.0, -0.0639, -0.059, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0437, -0.0235, -0.0049, -0.0055, -0.0251, -0.0191, -0.0574, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0339, -0.0454, -0.0404, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.094, -0.1208, -0.112, -0.1268, -0.0891, -0.1044, -0.0825, -0.0885, -0.0842, -0.0842, -0.0967, -0.1044, -0.1038, -0.0831, -0.0383, -0.053, -0.0847, -0.1005, -0.1066, -0.0661, -0.0852, -0.1208, -0.1077, -0.0699, -0.0863, 0.1951, 0.2896, 0.3393, 0.3322, 0.3689, 0.312, 0.3765, 0.3885, 0.3355, 0.3355, 0.2787, 0.2426, 0.2891, 0.2552, 0.2874, 0.3404, 0.3344, 0.3705, 0.3623, 0.3137, 0.3011, 0.4295, 0.4459, 0.423, 0.3852, 0.3497, 0.3661, 0.335, 0.2836, 0.3115, 0.3005, 0.3426, 0.3383, 0.3213, 0.3393, 0.3601, 0.3393, 0.2574, 0.2574, 0.2492, 0.2415, 0.2404, 0.2284, 0.2546, 0.2568, 0.2464, 0.2251, 0.2481, 0.2388, 0.1967, 0.1956, 0.1645, 0.1546, 0.1186, 0.1459, 0.1825, 0.1798, 0.1863, 0.2306, 0.2475, 0.2005, 0.2087, 0.2322, 0.2749, 0.3776, 0.1694, 0.1781, 0.1552, 0.1257, 0.1443, 0.1716, 0.1842, 0.1831, 0.1891, 0.1814, 0.1607, 0.1568, 0.1322, 0.1481, 0.1481, 0.1503, 0.1443]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1762322386672820333", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-27T03:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's forming a huge bear flag which points to $155 and $108-123", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: bear flag formation targets $155 then $108\u2013123.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt No.. it\u2019s forming a huge bear flag which points to $155 and $108-123", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Jim Cramer on $TSLA: It does feel like there is some big portfolio manager making a stand and not letting it go any lower; There could be a Cathie Wood imitator out there buying.\" https://t.co/heRkcyNs2Q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": -0.0016522397141832679, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0016522397141832679, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000202123780403074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0016363867315688507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018543634945863419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032886264457521186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01156560160219966, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01156560160219966, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012887186633283698, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007619266912994638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013215850310840382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003946334689205022, "ret_p1w": -0.09507830892000879, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09507830892000879, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09557143673970458, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08302026763771553, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0004931278196957933, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012058041282293264, "ret_p1m": -0.09963447815635507, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09963447815635507, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13487721989259793, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11285341667644422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035242741736242866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013218938520089152, "ret_p3m": -0.10258844776788734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10258844776788734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15023812956683158, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0668108068481219, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04764968179894424, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03577764091976543, "ret_p6m": 0.11785915510173983, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11785915510173983, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004932142101648385, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08545085200605373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11292701300009145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0324083030956861, "price_path": [0.202, 0.1958, 0.1795, 0.1952, 0.1985, 0.2148, 0.2208, 0.2003, 0.1867, 0.1981, 0.2569, 0.2692, 0.2621, 0.2878, 0.2374, 0.2742, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2848, 0.309, 0.2676, 0.2441, 0.2441, 0.2438, 0.1939, 0.1913, 0.1891, 0.2039, 0.1764, 0.1713, 0.1376, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.101, 0.0792, 0.0608, 0.0624, 0.0454, 0.0471, 0.0406, -0.0856, -0.0825, -0.0441, -0.0408, -0.0623, -0.0544, -0.0592, -0.0935, -0.0732, -0.0608, -0.0509, -0.0308, -0.0581, -0.0787, -0.0552, 0.0036, 0.0011, 0.0011, -0.0299, -0.0248, -0.0116, -0.0389, -0.0017, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0108, 0.0146, -0.058, -0.0951, -0.1161, -0.1055, -0.1221, -0.1099, -0.1111, -0.1515, -0.1864, -0.181, -0.1298, -0.1422, -0.1205, -0.1347, -0.1447, -0.1357, -0.1104, -0.0996, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1227, -0.1657, -0.157, -0.1433, -0.1744, -0.1339, -0.1144, -0.14, -0.1258, -0.1436, -0.1915, -0.2134, -0.2217, -0.2493, -0.2638, -0.2888, -0.2756, -0.1883, -0.1479, -0.1574, -0.0284, -0.0824, -0.0988, -0.0987, -0.0928, -0.075, -0.1097, -0.1252, -0.139, -0.1565, -0.1394, -0.111, -0.1289, -0.1246, -0.1115, -0.1241, -0.0657, -0.0982, -0.1301, -0.1026, -0.1026, -0.1151, -0.1179, -0.1048, -0.1084, -0.1174, -0.125, -0.1238, -0.1091, -0.1114, -0.1299, -0.1455, -0.1124, -0.0864, -0.1087, -0.0615, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0909, -0.0837, -0.0859, -0.062, -0.0168, -0.0116, -0.0093, 0.0507, 0.1579, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2593, 0.2664, 0.3134, 0.3181, 0.2068, 0.2428, 0.2649, 0.2845, 0.2442, 0.2478, 0.1976, 0.2592, 0.2336, 0.0814, 0.1027, 0.1005, 0.1621, 0.1146, 0.1619, 0.0858, 0.0398, -0.0043, 0.0046, -0.0399, -0.0045, 0.0014, -0.0112, 0.0406, 0.0083, 0.0721, 0.0821, 0.1151, 0.107, 0.1179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1368694029697781762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-07T22:44:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You have plenty of time - hold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Advises holding TSLA LEAPS; implied long with recovery expected over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yiffzer @pakpakchicken You have plenty of time - hold", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pakpakchicken I\u2019ve got $650 strike 2023 LEAPS bought when $TSLA was at $850. It\u2019s lost 50% of its value since the \u201ccrash\u201d. Given the market fear of interest rates rising, it is likely that Tesla may not see its former price for a long while. What would you do?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yiffzer", "ret_m1d": 0.062078118547453265, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.062078118547453265, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05707455929864924, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06328826909192475, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005003559248804024, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012101505444714888, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1964120760817838, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1964120760817838, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1821347178078594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15864365978431927, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014277358273924401, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037768416297464524, "ret_p1w": 0.2574422166884043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2574422166884043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21895887490888644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18101396633880196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03848334177951784, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07642825034960232, "ret_p1m": 0.2284546378573149, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2284546378573149, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16104910394466, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1183567897294342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06740553391265491, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1100978481278807, "ret_p3m": 0.01747779053499232, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01747779053499232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08317573890096996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06487063752638855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10065352943596229, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08234842806138087, "ret_p6m": 0.30678507378247666, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30678507378247666, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11606670495842164, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13351842156557048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19071836882405502, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17326665221690618, "price_path": [0.0737, 0.1138, 0.0835, 0.1365, 0.1248, 0.1062, 0.165, 0.2345, 0.1543, 0.1374, 0.1474, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.1788, 0.1829, 0.2341, 0.2534, 0.2534, 0.2962, 0.3057, 0.3428, 0.4494, 0.5631, 0.4408, 0.5088, 0.5176, 0.5009, 0.4674, 0.4674, 0.5001, 0.5106, 0.5009, 0.5038, 0.5645, 0.5685, 0.5349, 0.4839, 0.4095, 0.4917, 0.5502, 0.5181, 0.5098, 0.5137, 0.5336, 0.5088, 0.4295, 0.4417, 0.4496, 0.4496, 0.4142, 0.4177, 0.3985, 0.3877, 0.2691, 0.2413, 0.318, 0.2118, 0.1998, 0.2761, 0.2193, 0.1602, 0.1038, 0.0621, 0.0, 0.1964, 0.1866, 0.2426, 0.2322, 0.2574, 0.2023, 0.2466, 0.1601, 0.1632, 0.1901, 0.1761, 0.1195, 0.1375, 0.099, 0.0858, 0.129, 0.1864, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.2274, 0.2285, 0.1918, 0.2146, 0.2025, 0.2469, 0.354, 0.3006, 0.3123, 0.314, 0.2693, 0.2771, 0.3217, 0.2783, 0.2956, 0.3112, 0.2518, 0.2334, 0.2025, 0.2601, 0.2165, 0.1964, 0.1917, 0.1786, 0.1943, 0.1173, 0.0963, 0.0478, 0.0154, 0.0475, 0.0246, 0.0264, 0.0008, 0.0422, 0.0318, 0.0772, 0.074, 0.0997, 0.1205, 0.1105, 0.1105, 0.1082, 0.0748, 0.0175, 0.064, 0.0748, 0.0721, 0.0636, 0.0837, 0.0833, 0.0971, 0.0646, 0.0744, 0.0952, 0.1071, 0.1027, 0.1078, 0.1662, 0.2075, 0.1934, 0.2233, 0.2092, 0.2073, 0.2041, 0.2059, 0.2059, 0.1715, 0.145, 0.1595, 0.1669, 0.2179, 0.1875, 0.1605, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1478, 0.1732, 0.1639, 0.1532, 0.1428, 0.1681, 0.1453, 0.1492, 0.2031, 0.2206, 0.2605, 0.2606, 0.2627, 0.2693, 0.2417, 0.2678, 0.2611, 0.2572, 0.2829, 0.2738, 0.2188, 0.1824, 0.2238, 0.1962, 0.2083, 0.2545, 0.2584, 0.2632, 0.2454, 0.2645, 0.2982, 0.3068]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1798027642727510322", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-04T16:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher for longer. Rates and chips.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish NVDA; chip demand stays higher for longer over the next 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@munster_gene Here\u2019s the trend for the last 2 years and next 2 years. Higher for longer. Rates and chips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Despite shares of $NVDA being down slightly today, there's more good news for the company. CNBC is reporting that Musk is directing Nvidia chips away from $TSLA (used for FSD training) to X and xAI. What jumps out to me is huge companies continue to fight over Nvidia chips, which", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munster_gene", "ret_m1d": -0.012341487979137034, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012341487979137034, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011224994365430785, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01596885229486844, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011164936137062487, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0036273643157314073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05155574734267421, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05155574734267421, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039670698855779785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0028748312562174583, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011885048486894423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04868091608645675, "ret_p1w": 0.03850089257716327, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03850089257716327, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022300612838481504, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014590542111679206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016200279738681767, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053091434688842476, "ret_p1m": 0.10180204933802295, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10180204933802295, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05477419296434838, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009574746417709168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04702785637367457, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11137679575573212, "ret_p3m": 0.025273744096498074, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.025273744096498074, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04495555004076279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.021728827080243596, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07022929413726087, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0035449170162544785, "ret_p6m": 0.16254004206248163, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16254004206248163, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.022085950053042813, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18047084045082384, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1404540920094388, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017930798388342217, "price_path": [-0.2041, -0.2483, -0.2633, -0.2106, -0.2194, -0.2447, -0.2456, -0.2403, -0.2322, -0.2239, -0.2147, -0.1902, -0.1841, -0.2051, -0.2249, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2239, -0.2318, -0.2359, -0.2622, -0.2442, -0.2517, -0.267, -0.2525, -0.2218, -0.2426, -0.2614, -0.2493, -0.2783, -0.2728, -0.3456, -0.3171, -0.2921, -0.3157, -0.2903, -0.2465, -0.2463, -0.258, -0.2868, -0.263, -0.2375, -0.2087, -0.2223, -0.2235, -0.2378, -0.2281, -0.2236, -0.2154, -0.1873, -0.1896, -0.2058, -0.186, -0.1808, -0.1845, -0.1085, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0218, -0.0138, -0.051, -0.0584, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.0516, 0.0392, 0.0382, 0.046, 0.0385, 0.0753, 0.1132, 0.1327, 0.125, 0.1645, 0.1645, 0.1233, 0.0871, 0.0145, 0.083, 0.0857, 0.065, 0.0611, 0.0676, 0.0536, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.0808, 0.1011, 0.1284, 0.1587, 0.0942, 0.11, 0.1032, 0.0853, 0.0134, 0.04, 0.0129, 0.0611, 0.0529, -0.0187, -0.0356, -0.0289, -0.0415, -0.1091, 0.0051, -0.062, -0.0787, -0.1372, -0.1046, -0.1505, -0.0984, -0.1003, -0.0636, -0.0025, 0.0142, 0.0552, 0.07, 0.1166, 0.093, 0.1037, 0.0628, 0.1112, 0.0862, 0.102, 0.0789, 0.01, 0.0253, 0.0253, -0.0724, -0.0878, -0.0792, -0.1168, -0.0855, -0.0715, 0.0041, 0.0234, 0.023, 0.0031, -0.0071, -0.0262, 0.0125, -0.0036, -0.0014, 0.0382, 0.0609, 0.0655, 0.0428, 0.0431, 0.005, 0.0209, 0.0553, 0.073, 0.0971, 0.1415, 0.1394, 0.158, 0.1579, 0.186, 0.1304, 0.1658, 0.1762, 0.1854, 0.2344, 0.2334, 0.1988, 0.2061, 0.2158, 0.207, 0.2133, 0.1969, 0.1404, 0.1631, 0.1686, 0.2018, 0.2508, 0.2788, 0.2681, 0.2478, 0.2738, 0.2564, 0.2606, 0.2196, 0.2039, 0.2628, 0.2532, 0.2599, 0.2193, 0.1684, 0.1761, 0.1625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1705284027274625232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-22T18:12:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA unfortunately looking downward to $180-207 by EOY with Diamond Top pattern confirmation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA to $180-207 EOY on Diamond Top pattern confirmation and sub-450K delivery expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 @TroyTeslike @MartinViecha Yup. Sub 450k very likely. $TSLA unfortunately looking downward to $180-207 by EOY with Diamond Top pattern confirmation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Everyone should already know this. Both @TroyTeslike and I have been talking about this for weeks (my $TSLA 3Q deliveries est 445K vs WS at 462K) due to lack of M-3 inventory in China in front of M-3 Highland deliveries start in Oct. @MartinViecha https://t.co/rLWxxwCBl0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.044184873610271236, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.044184873610271236, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04193131704258546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03424271834925352, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002253556567685777, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009942155261017716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008616467528091087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008616467528091087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004411384224840109, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024647408106517332, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205083303250978, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006151726717439354, "ret_p1w": 0.021806583761079468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021806583761079468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028637256503454056, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021496054756334537, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006830672742374588, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003105290047449305, "ret_p1m": -0.13394316562291098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13394316562291098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11080295509443927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.077645263765177, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023140210528471705, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05629790185773398, "ret_p3m": 0.009228987511322062, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009228987511322062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08309595094342481, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09944299957810543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09232493845474687, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10867198708942749, "ret_p6m": -0.2902646210950137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2902646210950137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49034647417860366, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40709099530685755, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20008185308358994, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11682637421184383, "price_path": [0.0218, 0.0464, 0.0515, 0.069, 0.1427, 0.1427, 0.1535, 0.1293, 0.1207, 0.101, 0.1017, 0.1107, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1858, 0.1979, 0.1894, 0.0736, 0.0618, 0.0987, 0.0833, 0.0795, 0.0442, 0.088, 0.0921, 0.0661, 0.0377, 0.059, 0.0367, 0.0268, 0.0197, -0.011, 0.0019, -0.0091, -0.0209, -0.0487, -0.0787, -0.1048, -0.12, -0.0555, -0.0477, -0.0328, -0.0606, -0.0257, -0.0247, 0.0502, 0.0491, 0.0539, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0474, 0.0287, 0.027, 0.0148, 0.1172, 0.0923, 0.1079, 0.1272, 0.1205, 0.0833, 0.0883, 0.0723, 0.0442, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0031, -0.0179, 0.0061, 0.0218, 0.0274, 0.0067, 0.0665, 0.0619, 0.0639, 0.0604, 0.0765, 0.074, 0.0571, 0.0255, 0.0369, 0.0407, -0.009, -0.1012, -0.1343, -0.1339, -0.1158, -0.1326, -0.1598, -0.1535, -0.1941, -0.1798, -0.1602, -0.1077, -0.1018, -0.1046, -0.0927, -0.093, -0.1425, -0.1234, -0.0865, -0.0305, -0.0083, -0.0461, -0.0432, -0.0379, -0.015, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0385, -0.0359, 0.0075, -0.003, -0.0196, -0.0247, -0.038, -0.0252, -0.0225, -0.0091, -0.0042, -0.021, -0.0321, -0.0228, 0.0252, 0.0352, 0.0294, 0.0504, 0.0092, 0.0393, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0479, 0.0676, 0.0339, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0145, -0.0263, -0.0284, -0.0302, -0.0181, -0.0405, -0.0447, -0.0721, -0.1061, -0.1061, -0.102, -0.1198, -0.1348, -0.1335, -0.1473, -0.1459, -0.1513, -0.2542, -0.2517, -0.2203, -0.2176, -0.2352, -0.2288, -0.2326, -0.2606, -0.2441, -0.234, -0.2259, -0.2095, -0.2317, -0.2485, -0.2294, -0.1814, -0.1835, -0.1835, -0.2088, -0.2046, -0.1939, -0.2161, -0.1857, -0.1844, -0.1749, -0.1756, -0.1725, -0.2317, -0.2619, -0.2791, -0.2705, -0.284, -0.2741, -0.275, -0.3079, -0.3364, -0.332, -0.2903]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1754914390737093042", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T17:06:10+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2.5T without AI or robotics at current growth rates, even increased beyond management guidance, would be a stretch for $1.5T", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: parent's $2.5T valuation ex-AI/robotics is a stretch even at above-guidance growth; current $1.5T already generous.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CuriousPejjy 2.5T without AI or robotics at current growth rates, even increased beyond management guidance, would be a stretch for $1.5T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA in 2028:\n\nRevenue: $330B\nNet Income GAAP: $50B\nP/E: 50\nMarket cap: $2.5T\nStock price: $800\n\nThis EST doesn't include FSD or BOTS. Purely vehicles &amp; energy.\n\nIf to include FSD, double net income GAAP EASILY while revenues would be ~35% more (FSD is 60%+ gross profit). Market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CuriousPejjy", "ret_m1d": -0.021826085422506858, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021826085422506858, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01893112080734738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015799114575455242, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006026970847051616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01339813963135228, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01339813963135228, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005057746892473292, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002197287196343378, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011200852435008901, "ret_p1w": -0.005834693654470757, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005834693654470757, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0060369380852106636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007483404246613978, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001648710592143221, "ret_p1m": -0.046245340546319014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.046245340546319014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07816968106982491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06745303873750275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021207698191183733, "ret_p3m": -0.02112373599773265, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02112373599773265, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05938151385450674, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03486909137364058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01374535537590793, "ret_p6m": 0.25375472540198385, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25375472540198385, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13163673234469364, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1831234614533026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07063126394868124, "price_path": [0.1344, 0.1596, 0.2086, 0.2826, 0.3119, 0.262, 0.2658, 0.2728, 0.3031, 0.2653, 0.2653, 0.272, 0.2754, 0.3329, 0.319, 0.297, 0.2903, 0.2727, 0.2897, 0.2932, 0.3109, 0.3173, 0.2952, 0.2804, 0.2928, 0.3563, 0.3695, 0.3619, 0.3896, 0.3352, 0.3749, 0.3643, 0.3643, 0.3863, 0.4124, 0.3678, 0.3424, 0.3424, 0.3421, 0.2882, 0.2854, 0.283, 0.299, 0.2694, 0.2639, 0.2276, 0.1825, 0.1825, 0.1881, 0.1645, 0.1447, 0.1464, 0.128, 0.1299, 0.1228, -0.0133, -0.01, 0.0315, 0.0351, 0.0118, 0.0203, 0.0152, -0.0218, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0241, 0.0458, 0.0164, -0.0058, 0.0195, 0.0829, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0468, 0.0522, 0.0665, 0.0371, 0.0773, 0.079, 0.0915, 0.0907, 0.0948, 0.0164, -0.0236, -0.0462, -0.0348, -0.0527, -0.0396, -0.0408, -0.0844, -0.1221, -0.1163, -0.061, -0.0744, -0.051, -0.0663, -0.0771, -0.0674, -0.0401, -0.0285, -0.0503, -0.0503, -0.0534, -0.0998, -0.0903, -0.0756, -0.1091, -0.0655, -0.0444, -0.0721, -0.0567, -0.0759, -0.1276, -0.1512, -0.1602, -0.19, -0.2056, -0.2326, -0.2184, -0.1241, -0.0806, -0.0908, 0.0484, -0.0098, -0.0276, -0.0275, -0.0211, -0.0018, -0.0394, -0.0561, -0.0709, -0.0898, -0.0714, -0.0408, -0.06, -0.0554, -0.0413, -0.0548, 0.0081, -0.027, -0.0614, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0451, -0.0481, -0.0341, -0.0379, -0.0476, -0.0558, -0.0546, -0.0387, -0.0412, -0.0611, -0.078, -0.0422, -0.0142, -0.0383, 0.0126, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0191, -0.0113, -0.0136, 0.0122, 0.0609, 0.0666, 0.069, 0.1338, 0.2494, 0.3311, 0.3311, 0.3588, 0.3665, 0.4172, 0.4223, 0.3022, 0.3411, 0.3649, 0.3861, 0.3425, 0.3465, 0.2923, 0.3588, 0.3311, 0.1669, 0.1899, 0.1875, 0.2539, 0.2027, 0.2538]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1559227320002818048", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-15T17:15:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "traders and HFs will also pile in to front the split and play the bullish cup and handle forming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: traders/HFs buying ahead of the split + bullish cup-and-handle pattern forming.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 I know you aren\u2019t one for technicals Gary, but traders and HFs will also pile in to front the split and play the bullish cup and handle forming", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Hedge fund 13F filings are due today. I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see more new $TSLA positions beside Soros Fund Mgmt ($20M), given huge YTD positive revisions, several catalysts, and cheap valuation on FY\u201923 EPS (38.7x my FY\u201923 EPS of $24).", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.030033649052595535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030033649052595535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025929889920277005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023194678945095748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00410375913231853, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006838970107499787, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008912075793144236, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008912075793144236, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01087092124464828, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01995952242072052, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001958845451504043, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047446627576285, "ret_p1w": -0.06273980598271589, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06273980598271589, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0265742820819711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014808977443564797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03616552390074479, "bench_c_p1w": -0.047930828539151094, "ret_p1m": -0.055573522676754195, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055573522676754195, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02781027745197362, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020823642610348192, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08338380012872781, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07639716528710239, "ret_p3m": -0.3834217098643836, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3834217098643836, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3075260140979936, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21336482269988233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07589569576638999, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1700568871645013, "ret_p6m": -0.36373337353408186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36373337353408186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3402991844815727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25345273504104493, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.023434189052509158, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11028063849303693, "price_path": [-0.2351, -0.2355, -0.2846, -0.2727, -0.3231, -0.2901, -0.2373, -0.1814, -0.1814, -0.1829, -0.2022, -0.1648, -0.2418, -0.2297, -0.2277, -0.2181, -0.2251, -0.2492, -0.3025, -0.2859, -0.2467, -0.3111, -0.2992, -0.2992, -0.2337, -0.2368, -0.24, -0.2057, -0.2082, -0.2478, -0.2613, -0.2743, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.2465, -0.2508, -0.2094, -0.1893, -0.2424, -0.2465, -0.2337, -0.2296, -0.2239, -0.2223, -0.2062, -0.1999, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.1322, -0.1631, -0.1115, -0.0919, -0.0393, -0.0389, -0.0282, -0.0062, -0.0022, -0.0684, -0.0611, -0.084, -0.0484, -0.0734, -0.03, 0.0, -0.0089, -0.0172, -0.0209, -0.0409, -0.0627, -0.0416, -0.0395, -0.0428, -0.0686, -0.0792, -0.1022, -0.109, -0.104, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1128, -0.0828, -0.0649, -0.0312, -0.0158, -0.0556, -0.0217, -0.018, -0.0193, -0.0008, -0.0019, -0.0275, -0.067, -0.1099, -0.1077, -0.0853, -0.0695, -0.1329, -0.1425, -0.2163, -0.1936, -0.2215, -0.2302, -0.2788, -0.2792, -0.3001, -0.2977, -0.2832, -0.3373, -0.2909, -0.2881, -0.2822, -0.3299, -0.3067, -0.3171, -0.2809, -0.2738, -0.2723, -0.2612, -0.2644, -0.2635, -0.305, -0.3039, -0.3293, -0.3629, -0.3815, -0.4259, -0.3834, -0.3664, -0.3827, -0.3715, -0.3957, -0.4078, -0.4175, -0.4573, -0.4507, -0.4077, -0.4077, -0.4088, -0.4086, -0.4154, -0.3706, -0.3706, -0.37, -0.4102, -0.4187, -0.4373, -0.4393, -0.4211, -0.4575, -0.4797, -0.4931, -0.4903, -0.5143, -0.5155, -0.5545, -0.5553, -0.5948, -0.6019, -0.6019, -0.6473, -0.6356, -0.6062, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.6505, -0.6326, -0.6433, -0.6345, -0.6128, -0.6158, -0.6016, -0.6005, -0.6043, -0.6043, -0.5749, -0.5837, -0.5889, -0.5687, -0.5353, -0.5348, -0.5331, -0.4819, -0.4249, -0.4612, -0.44, -0.4135, -0.3913, -0.3858, -0.3704, -0.3637]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1761094369346760831", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-23T18:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've extended my price target for 2H 2025 to $1280", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Raises NVDA PT to $1,280 by 2H 2025, implying largest-company-in-world status.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. $NVDA also hard for non-tech to understand the core value prop of the company and AI growth waves and will look like a 'bubble' despite booming fundamentals. I expect $1000 by 2H 2025\n\n---\n\nLooks like I was too conservative. Underestimated WS but happily captured excessive gains during the past 3-week run up. I\u2019ve extended my price target for 2H 2025 to $1280 (yes, the largest company in the world)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0035398694664053876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0035398694664053876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002850667079549729, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009819215004844506, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006892023868556585, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006279345538439118, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003489115872392201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003489115872392201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0071516689973804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004803484768438837, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036625531249881993, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008292600640831038, "ret_p1w": 0.04392423302021076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04392423302021076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034078802184436485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013213109682028712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009845430835774271, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05713734270223947, "ret_p1m": 0.2054054127352003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2054054127352003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17875392803259738, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11691916995383522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026651484702602923, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08848624278136508, "ret_p3m": 0.2047456160130301, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2047456160130301, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15822346697353873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07067413090226715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04652214903949137, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13407148511076294, "ret_p6m": 0.6496033858458687, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6496033858458687, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5406939106220523, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4448291288633135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10890947522381644, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20477425698255525, "price_path": [-0.3933, -0.3893, -0.4067, -0.4067, -0.4226, -0.4092, -0.4227, -0.4088, -0.3973, -0.4084, -0.3953, -0.3899, -0.3866, -0.3797, -0.3646, -0.3706, -0.3896, -0.3784, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.3748, -0.373, -0.3717, -0.3717, -0.3717, -0.3889, -0.3965, -0.391, -0.3771, -0.337, -0.3258, -0.3104, -0.3044, -0.3059, -0.3059, -0.2846, -0.2888, -0.2754, -0.2452, -0.2431, -0.2404, -0.2215, -0.2182, -0.2257, -0.2075, -0.2035, -0.2194, -0.2003, -0.1606, -0.1203, -0.1344, -0.1106, -0.1164, -0.0848, -0.0833, -0.0849, -0.0624, -0.0781, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.1188, -0.1439, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.0035, -0.0015, -0.0146, 0.0037, 0.0439, 0.0815, 0.0907, 0.1254, 0.1758, 0.1106, 0.0883, 0.1662, 0.1532, 0.1159, 0.1145, 0.1223, 0.1343, 0.1467, 0.1601, 0.1964, 0.2054, 0.1744, 0.1451, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.135, 0.1288, 0.09, 0.1167, 0.1056, 0.083, 0.1044, 0.1498, 0.1189, 0.0912, 0.1091, 0.0663, 0.0743, -0.0332, 0.0089, 0.0458, 0.011, 0.0485, 0.1132, 0.1135, 0.0963, 0.0536, 0.0889, 0.1266, 0.1691, 0.149, 0.1472, 0.126, 0.1404, 0.147, 0.1591, 0.2007, 0.1972, 0.1734, 0.2026, 0.2103, 0.2047, 0.317, 0.3509, 0.3509, 0.4452, 0.4569, 0.402, 0.391, 0.4591, 0.4774, 0.5535, 0.5352, 0.5339, 0.5453, 0.5343, 0.5887, 0.6447, 0.6735, 0.662, 0.7204, 0.7204, 0.6595, 0.6061, 0.4987, 0.6, 0.6039, 0.5733, 0.5676, 0.5773, 0.5566, 0.6278, 0.6278, 0.5967, 0.6268, 0.6671, 0.7119, 0.6166, 0.64, 0.6298, 0.6034, 0.4972, 0.5365, 0.4964, 0.5676, 0.5556, 0.4497, 0.4247, 0.4346, 0.416, 0.3163, 0.4849, 0.3858, 0.3612, 0.2746, 0.3229, 0.2551, 0.332, 0.3292, 0.3834, 0.4737, 0.4983, 0.559, 0.5808, 0.6496]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1378110442229309441", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-02T22:21:48+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good chance it tests resistance at 740 for the 50 day MA next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA likely tests $740 resistance / 50-day MA next week; bullish short-term price call.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Good chance it tests resistance at 740 for the 50 day MA next week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Monday thoughts:  $TSLA huge 1Q delivs beat (+7% vs Street) will likely be partially offset by concerns about higher 10-yr Treas ylds (1.72% +5.1 bp), following today\u2019s strong March employment results. Net, I still believe $TSLA can move 5-10% higher next week ($695-$725). https://t.co/Wo0D4FlTwW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04427659122771899, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04427659122771899, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029923506501641883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02155173819620182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014353084726077103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022724853031517167, "ret_p1w": 0.02307523255328925, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02307523255328925, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0040834558274303046, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015645408340077216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027158688380719553, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038720640893366465, "ret_p1m": 0.03498303732204189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03498303732204189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008925280154225446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016074035442682266, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04390831747626733, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051057072764724154, "ret_p3m": 0.027125066295318412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027125066295318412, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04489116133520765, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02832818646608315, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07201622763052606, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05545325276140156, "ret_p6m": 0.19585956121509263, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19585956121509263, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08377831213776599, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09537402655711458, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11208124907732664, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10048553465797805, "price_path": [0.1109, 0.1424, 0.2332, 0.3298, 0.2258, 0.2836, 0.2911, 0.2769, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.2762, 0.2852, 0.2769, 0.2794, 0.331, 0.3345, 0.3059, 0.2625, 0.1991, 0.2691, 0.3189, 0.2916, 0.2845, 0.2878, 0.3048, 0.2837, 0.2162, 0.2265, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2032, 0.2061, 0.1898, 0.1807, 0.0797, 0.056, 0.1213, 0.0309, 0.0208, 0.0857, 0.0373, -0.0129, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.1492, 0.0179, 0.0095, 0.0572, 0.0483, 0.0698, 0.0229, 0.0605, -0.013, -0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0476, -0.0323, -0.065, -0.0763, -0.0395, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0443, 0.0451, 0.0139, 0.0333, 0.0231, 0.0608, 0.152, 0.1065, 0.1165, 0.1179, 0.0799, 0.0865, 0.1245, 0.0876, 0.1022, 0.1155, 0.065, 0.0493, 0.023, 0.0721, 0.035, 0.0179, 0.0139, 0.0027, 0.016, -0.0494, -0.0673, -0.1086, -0.1361, -0.1088, -0.1283, -0.1268, -0.1485, -0.1133, -0.1222, -0.0836, -0.0862, -0.0644, -0.0467, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0572, -0.0856, -0.1344, -0.0947, -0.0856, -0.0879, -0.0952, -0.078, -0.0784, -0.0666, -0.0943, -0.086, -0.0682, -0.0581, -0.0618, -0.0575, -0.0078, 0.0273, 0.0153, 0.0408, 0.0287, 0.0271, 0.0244, 0.0259, 0.0259, -0.0033, -0.0258, -0.0135, -0.0073, 0.0362, 0.0103, -0.0126, -0.0168, -0.0265, -0.0235, -0.0019, -0.0098, -0.0189, -0.0278, -0.0062, -0.0256, -0.0223, 0.0236, 0.0385, 0.0724, 0.0725, 0.0743, 0.0799, 0.0564, 0.0786, 0.0729, 0.0696, 0.0914, 0.0837, 0.0369, 0.006, 0.0412, 0.0177, 0.028, 0.0673, 0.0706, 0.0747, 0.0596, 0.0758, 0.1045, 0.1118, 0.1093, 0.1067, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.1378, 0.1392, 0.1407, 0.1126, 0.1228, 0.125, 0.1422, 0.1439, 0.1477, 0.1034, 0.1173, 0.1363, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1959]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1778496851970601171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-11T18:54:27+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally, I believe the stock is worth north of $1200 this year and will split this summer or Q3 at 4:1", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NVDA with $1200+ price target this year and anticipated 4:1 stock split in summer or Q3.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA entry explained. A bearish pennant was canceled (yellow) and formed a bull flag (white) into a bull pennant (blue). I bought a chunk of shares at $843.80 (green pin). Both bullish patterns reached their price targets the next day.\n\nI do expect chop between 890-910 as the bull pennant price target was fulfilled quickly today.\n\nFundamentally, I believe the stock is worth north of $1200 this year and will split this summer or Q3 at 4:1 (like last time).\n\n---\n\nFun to revisit old thoughts, this one nailed it. Predicted the split (not 4:1 though) and the $1200 price target", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03947425395445958, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03947425395445958, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03198391537418588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016773990644688652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007490338580273703, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02270026330977093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026816512365673506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026816512365673506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013013527237724198, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023507379345750756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013802985127949308, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02916725030024858, "ret_p1w": -0.06560655041117824, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06560655041117824, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02993096072330681, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01657192114225603, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035675589687871434, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08217847155343427, "ret_p1m": -0.008144376464657599, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008144376464657599, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013627237439787887, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009496722125037937, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005482860975130288, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017641098589695536, "ret_p3m": 0.44997347210173233, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44997347210173233, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3735000716476977, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24100780517712828, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07647340045403461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20896566692460405, "ret_p6m": 0.37879555760058414, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.37879555760058414, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26568413689060866, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2885662905480959, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11311142070997549, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09022926705248824, "price_path": [-0.3963, -0.3778, -0.3815, -0.3698, -0.3435, -0.3417, -0.3393, -0.3229, -0.3201, -0.3265, -0.3107, -0.3073, -0.321, -0.3045, -0.2699, -0.2349, -0.2472, -0.2265, -0.2315, -0.204, -0.2027, -0.2041, -0.1845, -0.1982, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.2336, -0.2554, -0.1333, -0.1302, -0.1272, -0.1315, -0.143, -0.127, -0.092, -0.0594, -0.0513, -0.0211, 0.0227, -0.0341, -0.0534, 0.0143, 0.003, -0.0295, -0.0307, -0.0238, -0.0134, -0.0027, 0.009, 0.0405, 0.0484, 0.0215, -0.004, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.0028, -0.0128, -0.0182, -0.052, -0.0288, -0.0384, -0.0581, -0.0395, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0509, -0.0353, -0.0726, -0.0656, -0.1591, -0.1225, -0.0904, -0.1207, -0.0881, -0.0318, -0.0316, -0.0465, -0.0836, -0.053, -0.0202, 0.0168, -0.0007, -0.0023, -0.0206, -0.0081, -0.0024, 0.0082, 0.0443, 0.0413, 0.0206, 0.046, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.1455, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.257, 0.2672, 0.2194, 0.2099, 0.2691, 0.2849, 0.3512, 0.3353, 0.3341, 0.344, 0.3344, 0.3818, 0.4304, 0.4555, 0.4456, 0.4963, 0.4963, 0.4434, 0.3969, 0.3035, 0.3916, 0.395, 0.3684, 0.3634, 0.3718, 0.3538, 0.4158, 0.4158, 0.3887, 0.4149, 0.45, 0.4889, 0.406, 0.4264, 0.4175, 0.3946, 0.3022, 0.3364, 0.3015, 0.3634, 0.353, 0.2609, 0.2392, 0.2478, 0.2316, 0.1448, 0.2915, 0.2053, 0.1839, 0.1086, 0.1506, 0.0916, 0.1585, 0.1561, 0.2032, 0.2818, 0.3032, 0.3559, 0.3749, 0.4347, 0.4044, 0.4182, 0.3657, 0.4278, 0.3957, 0.416, 0.3863, 0.2978, 0.3174, 0.3174, 0.1919, 0.1722, 0.1832, 0.1349, 0.1751, 0.193, 0.2903, 0.315, 0.3146, 0.289, 0.2758, 0.2513, 0.301, 0.2803, 0.2832, 0.3341, 0.3632, 0.3691, 0.3399, 0.3404, 0.2914, 0.3118, 0.3559, 0.3788]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1774571516354851113", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-31T22:56:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Global $TSLA inventory levels have never been this high - especially going into quarter end", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Record-high TSLA global inventory (~75k units) heading into Q2 end implies bearish delivery/demand pressure.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global $TSLA inventory levels have never been this high - especially going into quarter end. \n\nHistorically, we can apply around ~6x the numbers shown for more accurate levels. That puts inventory globally around 75k going into Q2. https://t.co/wbVX2oErU4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003253007998280655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003253007998280655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015103323814609215, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004253090451677988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017426756168197333, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0075060984499586425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049024062767074494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049024062767074494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042665862077104544, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0342858551226638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006358200689969951, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014738207644410695, "ret_p1w": -0.012783960036289455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012783960036289455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006195809260634455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019358387499256446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0065881507756549995, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01084812128636381, "ret_p1m": 0.04599930089283344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04599930089283344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08464654063869703, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08380335734499134, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03864723974586359, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0378040564521579, "ret_p3m": 0.12669784724107824, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12669784724107824, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07695732684505652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11394956838751447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049740520396021726, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012748278853563777, "ret_p6m": 0.4511471435968559, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4511471435968559, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35014170316102233, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3484977448557782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1010054404358336, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1026493987410777, "price_path": [0.3609, 0.3579, 0.3554, 0.3723, 0.3409, 0.3351, 0.2968, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.2551, 0.2302, 0.2092, 0.211, 0.1916, 0.1936, 0.1861, 0.0423, 0.0458, 0.0897, 0.0934, 0.0689, 0.0778, 0.0724, 0.0333, 0.0564, 0.0705, 0.0818, 0.1047, 0.0737, 0.0502, 0.077, 0.144, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.1058, 0.1116, 0.1266, 0.0956, 0.138, 0.1399, 0.1531, 0.1522, 0.1565, 0.0737, 0.0315, 0.0075, 0.0196, 0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0132, -0.0328, -0.0726, -0.0665, -0.0081, -0.0223, 0.0025, -0.0137, -0.0251, -0.0148, 0.014, 0.0263, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.049, -0.039, -0.0235, -0.0589, -0.0128, 0.0095, -0.0197, -0.0035, -0.0238, -0.0784, -0.1034, -0.1128, -0.1443, -0.1608, -0.1893, -0.1743, -0.0747, -0.0288, -0.0396, 0.1075, 0.046, 0.0272, 0.0273, 0.0341, 0.0544, 0.0148, -0.0029, -0.0185, -0.0385, -0.019, 0.0133, -0.007, -0.0022, 0.0128, -0.0015, 0.0649, 0.0279, -0.0084, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0087, 0.0055, 0.0204, 0.0163, 0.0061, -0.0026, -0.0013, 0.0155, 0.0129, -0.0082, -0.026, 0.0118, 0.0414, 0.0159, 0.0697, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0362, 0.0445, 0.042, 0.0692, 0.1207, 0.1267, 0.1293, 0.1977, 0.3198, 0.4062, 0.4062, 0.4355, 0.4436, 0.4971, 0.5025, 0.3756, 0.4167, 0.4418, 0.4642, 0.4182, 0.4224, 0.3651, 0.4354, 0.4061, 0.2327, 0.257, 0.2544, 0.3246, 0.2705, 0.3244, 0.2376, 0.1852, 0.135, 0.1451, 0.0944, 0.1348, 0.1414, 0.1271, 0.1861, 0.1493, 0.2221, 0.2334, 0.2711, 0.2618, 0.2742, 0.2023, 0.2574, 0.2168, 0.194, 0.1742, 0.1773, 0.2219, 0.2219, 0.2019, 0.2522, 0.3136, 0.2027, 0.2343, 0.2908, 0.302, 0.3116, 0.3143, 0.2943, 0.3005, 0.2967, 0.3921, 0.3597, 0.4268, 0.4511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1635418618665238529", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-13T23:12:37+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I grabbed some at $7.88", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a long position in PLTR, purchased at $7.88.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pakpakchicken Any fundamental/technical reasoning to this purchase? I grabbed some at $7.88", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$300k buy order $pltr https://t.co/uf8ESIWb9w", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pakpakchicken", "ret_m1d": -0.06607369612300484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06607369612300484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06750083995929401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06750083995929401, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0014271438362891686, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014271438362891686, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002541293674376277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002541293674376277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013988577505157807, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013988577505157807, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016529871179534084, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016529871179534084, "ret_p1w": 0.026683613875561507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026683613875561507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0010383942663276802, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0010383942663276802, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025645219609233827, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025645219609233827, "ret_p1m": 0.09402792654114434, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09402792654114434, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02675671460805429, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02675671460805429, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06727121193309005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06727121193309005, "ret_p3m": 0.9301143330708204, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9301143330708204, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8122822798795604, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8122822798795604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11783205319126, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11783205319126, "ret_p6m": 0.9326556873344172, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9326556873344172, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7580926840475091, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7580926840475091, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1745630032869081, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1745630032869081, "price_path": [-0.0661, -0.1093, -0.1233, -0.1931, -0.1982, -0.1741, -0.197, -0.2008, -0.2008, -0.2376, -0.2287, -0.1868, -0.1842, -0.1842, -0.1881, -0.1639, -0.197, -0.1868, -0.1741, -0.1487, -0.1131, -0.1093, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1017, -0.1233, -0.1449, -0.108, -0.0623, -0.108, -0.0826, -0.0801, -0.0407, -0.0635, -0.0114, 0.0419, 0.1423, 0.0686, 0.0559, 0.0584, 0.0445, 0.0102, -0.0457, -0.033, 0.1715, 0.2846, 0.2338, 0.169, 0.169, 0.0762, 0.0623, 0.0381, 0.028, 0.0203, -0.0038, -0.0229, 0.0127, 0.0584, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.033, -0.0229, -0.0661, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0038, 0.014, 0.0013, 0.0267, 0.0737, 0.0432, 0.0584, 0.0419, 0.0216, 0.0165, 0.0445, 0.0356, 0.0737, 0.0648, 0.061, 0.014, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0661, 0.094, 0.0584, 0.0902, 0.1194, 0.1182, 0.1093, 0.0788, 0.0356, 0.0394, 0.0292, -0.0165, -0.0165, -0.0064, -0.0152, -0.0114, -0.0356, -0.0394, -0.0623, -0.0584, -0.0165, 0.2135, 0.263, 0.2554, 0.2071, 0.2097, 0.2033, 0.3024, 0.4917, 0.4879, 0.5044, 0.6061, 0.554, 0.6315, 0.7344, 0.7344, 0.8691, 0.8691, 0.8475, 0.845, 0.9365, 0.9644, 0.8666, 0.9301, 0.9085, 0.9886, 1.033, 1.0216, 1.1093, 1.0712, 1.0712, 1.0064, 0.8602, 0.7853, 0.7827, 0.7713, 0.8564, 0.9416, 0.9314, 0.9479, 0.972, 0.972, 0.9949, 0.9225, 0.9492, 1.0712, 1.0953, 1.108, 1.1271, 1.0839, 1.2109, 1.2973, 1.2935, 1.1766, 1.0877, 1.0737, 1.1029, 1.0877, 1.0521, 1.263, 1.521, 1.54, 1.4104, 1.3774, 1.3126, 1.2859, 1.1652, 0.9377, 0.9581, 0.9581, 0.9975, 0.953, 0.9632, 0.798, 0.8297, 0.8424, 0.864, 0.9441, 0.7967, 0.8463, 0.8602, 0.9568, 1.075, 0.9034, 0.9288, 0.9288, 0.9327]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1681177829596364800", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-18T05:43:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "unless margins appease inst investors, we're going to revisit sub-250 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; expects revisit below $250 if margins disappoint institutional investors this week.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dana_marlane Unlikely. Fundamentals are on deck this week and unless margins appease inst investors, we're going to revisit sub-250 soon. From a TA standpoint, your supporting trendline seems a bit contrived, try using fib channels on your log chart - that better explains the movement imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bears are going to murder me for this, but $TSLA is about to explode higher. https://t.co/CBuuGH6caP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dana_marlane", "ret_m1d": -0.010090650753498354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010090650753498354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002714911784828744, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006007922251625275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0073757389686696095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0040827285018730786, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007090702250741598, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007090702250741598, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009314477775951735, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01060646624448669, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022237755252101365, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035157639937450913, "ret_p1w": -0.0956569097596639, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0956569097596639, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09840902936201534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06928885678940966, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002752119602351444, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02636805297025424, "ret_p1m": -0.23092653944246688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23092653944246688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19889163631621432, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1713290745091819, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03203490312625257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.059597464933284994, "ret_p3m": -0.14392855303669883, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14392855303669883, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09732255330187956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04697788762106481, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04660599973481927, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09695066541563402, "ret_p6m": -0.20249537955288954, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20249537955288954, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2597180691727615, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20583840830083078, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05722268961987198, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0033430287479412346, "price_path": [-0.4444, -0.4372, -0.4459, -0.4523, -0.4759, -0.4539, -0.4399, -0.4483, -0.4535, -0.4525, -0.4505, -0.4203, -0.4144, -0.4234, -0.4254, -0.4134, -0.4274, -0.4329, -0.4323, -0.4073, -0.397, -0.3859, -0.3561, -0.3667, -0.3765, -0.3711, -0.3415, -0.3415, -0.3142, -0.3048, -0.2926, -0.2706, -0.2582, -0.2456, -0.2344, -0.1994, -0.1668, -0.1483, -0.1181, -0.1246, -0.1276, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.0644, -0.1155, -0.0979, -0.1252, -0.1783, -0.147, -0.1265, -0.1222, -0.1076, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.037, -0.0573, -0.0645, -0.0809, -0.0803, -0.0728, -0.0526, -0.0408, -0.0101, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.1038, -0.1136, -0.0828, -0.0957, -0.0988, -0.1283, -0.0917, -0.0883, -0.11, -0.1337, -0.116, -0.1346, -0.1428, -0.1488, -0.1744, -0.1636, -0.1728, -0.1827, -0.2058, -0.2309, -0.2527, -0.2654, -0.2116, -0.2051, -0.1925, -0.2158, -0.1866, -0.1859, -0.1233, -0.1242, -0.1202, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1256, -0.1412, -0.1427, -0.1529, -0.0674, -0.0882, -0.0751, -0.059, -0.0646, -0.0957, -0.0915, -0.1048, -0.1283, -0.1652, -0.158, -0.1678, -0.1801, -0.1601, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.1596, -0.1097, -0.1135, -0.1118, -0.1148, -0.1013, -0.1035, -0.1175, -0.1439, -0.1344, -0.1312, -0.1727, -0.2496, -0.2773, -0.277, -0.2619, -0.2759, -0.2986, -0.2933, -0.3272, -0.3153, -0.2989, -0.2551, -0.2502, -0.2525, -0.2426, -0.2428, -0.2842, -0.2683, -0.2374, -0.1907, -0.1722, -0.2037, -0.2013, -0.1968, -0.1777, -0.2016, -0.2016, -0.1973, -0.1952, -0.1589, -0.1677, -0.1816, -0.1858, -0.1969, -0.1862, -0.184, -0.1728, -0.1687, -0.1827, -0.192, -0.1843, -0.1442, -0.1358, -0.1407, -0.1231, -0.1575, -0.1324, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1252, -0.1087, -0.1369, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.1531, -0.1871, -0.1889, -0.1904, -0.1803, -0.199, -0.2025]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1745156206266843488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-10T18:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "U", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $U at $35.69 ytday - will buy more around 28-33", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Unity Software, bought at $35.69, will add more at $28-33; bullish technical setup into earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["U"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptocantoncat Bought $U at $35.69 ytday - will buy more around 28-33. 5th wave + Descending wedge + potential H/S likely still some chop until earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.033934880150393365, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.033934880150393365, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028311260130395532, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028311260130395532, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056236200199978326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056236200199978326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.062213878449755566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.062213878449755566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06177321920193857, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06177321920193857, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00044065924781699906, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00044065924781699906, "ret_p1w": -0.11176949653908441, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11176949653908441, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10280944709997253, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10280944709997253, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008960049439111883, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008960049439111883, "ret_p1m": -0.10018855679208727, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10018855679208727, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14584913244295628, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14584913244295628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045660575650869006, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045660575650869006, "ret_p3m": -0.2941018494346327, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2941018494346327, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38595104171945704, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.38595104171945704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09184919228482435, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09184919228482435, "ret_p6m": -0.5763533775994367, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5763533775994367, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7408614697534781, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7408614697534781, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16450809215404139, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16450809215404139, "price_path": [-0.2451, -0.2357, -0.2198, -0.2594, -0.2596, -0.2682, -0.2901, -0.2607, -0.3081, -0.3025, -0.3121, -0.3245, -0.3167, -0.3245, -0.2984, -0.2556, -0.3049, -0.2782, -0.2981, -0.3202, -0.2726, -0.2416, -0.2141, -0.1869, -0.2217, -0.2136, -0.2071, -0.2346, -0.23, -0.23, -0.223, -0.2424, -0.209, -0.1823, -0.2052, -0.1242, -0.1212, -0.1581, -0.1516, -0.1409, -0.1193, -0.1274, -0.1061, -0.0469, 0.031, 0.0601, 0.0587, 0.1026, 0.0415, 0.0695, 0.056, 0.056, 0.1349, 0.1508, 0.1495, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.0447, -0.0054, -0.0022, 0.0175, 0.0498, -0.0339, 0.0, -0.0622, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.0816, -0.1118, -0.1147, -0.1075, -0.0784, -0.0768, -0.1104, -0.1145, -0.1083, -0.0681, -0.0975, -0.1274, -0.139, -0.1155, -0.1527, -0.1368, -0.1242, -0.1002, -0.0891, -0.0816, -0.1083, -0.0598, -0.0568, -0.087, -0.087, -0.1376, -0.1697, -0.1646, -0.1581, -0.1102, -0.1646, -0.2112, -0.2103, -0.2214, -0.2726, -0.2758, -0.2712, -0.2637, -0.2712, -0.2701, -0.3003, -0.2949, -0.2998, -0.2973, -0.2979, -0.2998, -0.2688, -0.2575, -0.2731, -0.2674, -0.2809, -0.2731, -0.2809, -0.2809, -0.2833, -0.293, -0.3062, -0.3181, -0.317, -0.2941, -0.2707, -0.3019, -0.2984, -0.3183, -0.342, -0.3552, -0.3612, -0.369, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.3779, -0.3652, -0.3719, -0.3501, -0.327, -0.3464, -0.3388, -0.3493, -0.3337, -0.3135, -0.3181, -0.3509, -0.3493, -0.4158, -0.3889, -0.3797, -0.3973, -0.4051, -0.4164, -0.4271, -0.4463, -0.4492, -0.4721, -0.4775, -0.4775, -0.4861, -0.495, -0.5093, -0.5079, -0.5144, -0.5166, -0.5252, -0.5144, -0.5349, -0.516, -0.5268, -0.5176, -0.5481, -0.5583, -0.5567, -0.5669, -0.5669, -0.5817, -0.5699, -0.5502, -0.5685, -0.5567, -0.5545, -0.5621, -0.5742, -0.5688, -0.5764, -0.5764]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1775021041611616303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T04:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this seems like an obvious $TSLA Model 3 killer in China", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA (Model 3 losing China share to Xiaomi SU7) and AAPL (scrapped EV project unable to compete with Xiaomi).", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Best English review of the Xiaomi SU7 I\u2019ve seen yet. This is likely the reason why $AAPL scrapped their Project Titan. They knew what Xiaomi was releasing and couldn\u2019t come close to competing on specs, value or software. Also, this seems like an obvious $TSLA Model 3 killer in China. The reservation numbers speak for themselves. 100000+ resos in 72 hours   https://t.co/41kkYA5pfN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1456313734821867521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-04T17:33:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "5. 1-2 more gigafactory plans announced and existing factory expansion plans underway", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Adds to bullish Tesla thesis: 1-2 more gigafactory announcements plus existing factory expansions ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@heydave7 5. 1-2 more gigafactory plans announced and existing factory expansion plans underway", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla's next few years of growth will be bonkers...\n\n1. Austin/Berlin factories will come online and ramp (in addition to Fremont/Shanghai expansion)\n\n2. Cybertruck &amp; Semi start deliveries\n\n3. $25k gen car announced\n\n4. Possible first Robotaxi deployments", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "heydave7", "ret_m1d": -0.013049750195345378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013049750195345378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008359276931738324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00024166021501392798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004690473263607053, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013291410410359306, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006358169933862068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006358169933862068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009827910332228185, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012789650955169374, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003469740398366117, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006431481021307306, "ret_p1w": -0.13529447188704813, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13529447188704813, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12856942067147437, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10289966894461333, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006725051215573763, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0323948029424348, "ret_p1m": -0.17476075631665178, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17476075631665178, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14586873426516977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1258826177210023, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028892022051482003, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04887813859564949, "ret_p3m": -0.24283080330301776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24283080330301776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21634026740706092, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13058586066950661, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.026490535895956846, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11224494263351115, "ret_p6m": -0.29201325572170156, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29201325572170156, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18026130485750302, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0703207397394301, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.11175195086419853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.22169251598227147, "price_path": [-0.4197, -0.4227, -0.4245, -0.4128, -0.4169, -0.4421, -0.4587, -0.4398, -0.4524, -0.4469, -0.4257, -0.4239, -0.4217, -0.4299, -0.4212, -0.4057, -0.4018, -0.4031, -0.4045, -0.4036, -0.4036, -0.3878, -0.3871, -0.3862, -0.4014, -0.3959, -0.3947, -0.3855, -0.3845, -0.3825, -0.4063, -0.3988, -0.3886, -0.3872, -0.3704, -0.3566, -0.3678, -0.3647, -0.3695, -0.3697, -0.3646, -0.3653, -0.3636, -0.3547, -0.3613, -0.3561, -0.3449, -0.3405, -0.3347, -0.3146, -0.2925, -0.2973, -0.296, -0.2731, -0.2604, -0.1667, -0.1719, -0.1561, -0.1243, -0.0942, -0.0173, -0.0471, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0545, -0.1678, -0.1317, -0.1353, -0.1598, -0.176, -0.1424, -0.1146, -0.1086, -0.0755, -0.0594, -0.0983, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.1203, -0.0756, -0.0692, -0.1097, -0.1181, -0.1748, -0.1796, -0.1449, -0.1309, -0.1838, -0.1731, -0.2142, -0.2207, -0.2065, -0.2464, -0.2418, -0.2683, -0.2369, -0.1797, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.1106, -0.115, -0.1169, -0.1297, -0.1408, -0.0245, -0.0653, -0.1153, -0.1343, -0.165, -0.1397, -0.1346, -0.1006, -0.1613, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1621, -0.1905, -0.19, -0.2325, -0.2438, -0.2533, -0.2378, -0.3259, -0.3119, -0.2384, -0.2428, -0.2636, -0.2754, -0.2493, -0.2623, -0.2504, -0.2422, -0.2645, -0.3008, -0.2879, -0.25, -0.2492, -0.2875, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.332, -0.3788, -0.3489, -0.3415, -0.2923, -0.2972, -0.2846, -0.3176, -0.3184, -0.3458, -0.3297, -0.3016, -0.3184, -0.3533, -0.3769, -0.348, -0.3168, -0.2913, -0.2639, -0.251, -0.1918, -0.1877, -0.1756, -0.1783, -0.1123, -0.106, -0.1105, -0.1238, -0.1182, -0.0687, -0.1127, -0.1497, -0.1404, -0.1662, -0.2065, -0.1975, -0.1687, -0.1991, -0.1991, -0.1834, -0.164, -0.2055, -0.1798, -0.1828, -0.1885, -0.2874, -0.2833, -0.2865, -0.292]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1736811866729722374", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-18T18:13:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expecting C-wave to ~207-213 by early Feb \u2026 I still expect $147 gap to fill in 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: expects C-wave drop to ~207-213 by early Feb and $147 gap fill in 2024, based on bear bat, Wyckoff distribution, and Elliott wave count.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA hit my 258 target within a day. There's several strong technical forces (bear bat, wyckoff, ATH trendline) around here that can send the stock much lower into Q4 delivery/earnings print. Long-term holders can do nothing or hedge by selling calls/buying puts\n\n---\n\n$TSLA 4h chart showing wyckoff distribution https://t.co/KHOS1UL1ng\n\n---\n\n$TSLA bearish bat pattern if this point D is the top into q4 delivery print https://t.co/wlb8avnwP9\n\n---\n\nWith $TSLA likely completing the 5th wave + bear bat (above) and Wyckoff distribution, looking for a bounce around 240-244 to form the A correction wave before hitting ~213 C-wave in January unless Q4 deliveries surprise to upside https://t.co/JFPcNwpUXO\n\n---\n\nLooks like the bounce will happen around 230-235 instead (around where we are now). That would complete the A-wave into a B-wave bounce into Jan 24 earnings. Expecting C-wave to ~207-213 by early Feb https://t.co/6IGgnPCkvV\n\n---\n\nLooking back ~30 days, these patterns above have all fulfilled very accurately. Called a potential top at $414 in 2021 and 2022-23 highs around 265-300. More difficult to call a bottom (didn't expect $101) but I still expect $147 gap to fill in 2024 $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005633125034238073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005633125034238073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011226725643141977, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011799970669154947, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005593600608903904, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006166845634916873, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0203903496997484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0203903496997484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014309482436858811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012557069207402849, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006080867262889589, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007833280492345551, "ret_p1w": 0.0018247836073344015, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0018247836073344015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001734707937154134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004713702636223616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0035594915444885356, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002888919028889214, "ret_p1m": -0.1276182082484505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1276182082484505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13388975662627578, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09295152545592378, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006271548377825287, "bench_c_p1m": -0.034666682792526715, "ret_p3m": -0.3553633813883089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3553633813883089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4464284297591913, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3544742705768701, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09106504837088236, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008891108114388313, "ret_p6m": -0.32299269111999374, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32299269111999374, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46420587612778086, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3126993242909454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14121318500778712, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010293366829048356, "price_path": [0.0417, 0.0144, -0.0286, -0.0202, -0.0316, -0.0459, -0.0226, -0.0074, -0.0019, -0.022, 0.036, 0.0316, 0.0335, 0.0301, 0.0458, 0.0433, 0.0269, -0.0038, 0.0073, 0.011, -0.0373, -0.1268, -0.159, -0.1587, -0.1411, -0.1573, -0.1838, -0.1776, -0.2171, -0.2033, -0.1841, -0.1332, -0.1274, -0.1302, -0.1186, -0.1189, -0.167, -0.1485, -0.1125, -0.0582, -0.0367, -0.0733, -0.0705, -0.0654, -0.0432, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.066, -0.0635, -0.0213, -0.0315, -0.0476, -0.0526, -0.0655, -0.053, -0.0504, -0.0374, -0.0327, -0.049, -0.0598, -0.0507, -0.0041, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0204, -0.0196, 0.0096, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.018, 0.0371, 0.0044, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0145, -0.0541, -0.0561, -0.0579, -0.0461, -0.0679, -0.072, -0.0986, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1276, -0.1449, -0.1595, -0.1582, -0.1717, -0.1703, -0.1755, -0.2755, -0.273, -0.2426, -0.24, -0.257, -0.2508, -0.2546, -0.2817, -0.2657, -0.2559, -0.248, -0.2321, -0.2537, -0.27, -0.2514, -0.2048, -0.2068, -0.2068, -0.2314, -0.2273, -0.2169, -0.2385, -0.209, -0.2077, -0.1985, -0.1991, -0.1961, -0.2536, -0.283, -0.2997, -0.2913, -0.3044, -0.2948, -0.2957, -0.3277, -0.3554, -0.3511, -0.3105, -0.3204, -0.3032, -0.3144, -0.3223, -0.3152, -0.2952, -0.2866, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.3049, -0.339, -0.332, -0.3212, -0.3458, -0.3138, -0.2983, -0.3186, -0.3074, -0.3214, -0.3594, -0.3767, -0.3833, -0.4052, -0.4167, -0.4365, -0.4261, -0.3568, -0.3249, -0.3324, -0.2302, -0.2729, -0.286, -0.2859, -0.2812, -0.2671, -0.2946, -0.3069, -0.3178, -0.3317, -0.3181, -0.2957, -0.3098, -0.3064, -0.296, -0.306, -0.2598, -0.2855, -0.3108, -0.289, -0.289, -0.2988, -0.3011, -0.2907, -0.2936, -0.3007, -0.3067, -0.3058, -0.2941, -0.2959, -0.3106, -0.323]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1741535742432800942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-31T19:04:11+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tesla has throttled output at Berlin and Texas due to 4680 slow ramp + weakened demand. 2024 looking like a demand gap year. Rates won't fall as fast as people expect - and if they do, it's because larger recession issues looming", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: throttled output, 4680 ramp issues, weakened demand, 2024 demand gap year, rates staying higher or recession risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EdwardDiGi @ItsJso @garyblack00 @TSLAFanMtl @TroyTeslike Many don\u2019t realize that Tesla has throttled output at Berlin and Texas due to 4680 slow ramp + weakened demand. Also as Troy pointed out. 2024 looking like a demand gap year. Rates won\u2019t fall as fast as people expect - and if they do, it\u2019s because larger recession issues looming", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ItsJso @garyblack00 @TSLAFanMtl @TroyTeslike Macro is changing for the worst.. \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 \ud83c\uddeb\ud83c\uddf7 \ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddea are cancelling many BEVs incentive. So @TroyTeslike is right I guess", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EdwardDiGi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002414583049958896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002414583049958896, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0053547953512853574, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009042153141866738, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005596253656281247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009283611446862627, "ret_p1w": -0.032316479867062875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032316479867062875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030822927265596878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014140679557455571, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014935526014659972, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018175800309607304, "ret_p1m": -0.22895202981260887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22895202981260887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26173075609242535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2025552247114012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.032778726279816484, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026396805101207677, "ret_p3m": -0.29253864975557875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29253864975557875, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39643981126172945, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3231889251993295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1039011615061507, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030650275443750763, "ret_p6m": -0.24601573838987467, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24601573838987467, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39954923816316, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2610219810626586, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15353349977328534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015006242672783943, "price_path": [0.051, 0.0466, 0.0485, 0.045, 0.0609, 0.0584, 0.0418, 0.0106, 0.0219, 0.0256, -0.0233, -0.1142, -0.1469, -0.1465, -0.1286, -0.1451, -0.1719, -0.1657, -0.2057, -0.1917, -0.1723, -0.1206, -0.1148, -0.1176, -0.1058, -0.1061, -0.1549, -0.1361, -0.0997, -0.0446, -0.0227, -0.0599, -0.0571, -0.0518, -0.0293, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0524, -0.0499, -0.0071, -0.0175, -0.0338, -0.0388, -0.0519, -0.0393, -0.0367, -0.0235, -0.0187, -0.0352, -0.0462, -0.037, 0.0103, 0.0202, 0.0145, 0.0352, -0.0054, 0.0242, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0327, 0.0522, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.0404, -0.0425, -0.0442, -0.0323, -0.0544, -0.0585, -0.0856, -0.1191, -0.1191, -0.115, -0.1325, -0.1473, -0.146, -0.1597, -0.1583, -0.1636, -0.265, -0.2625, -0.2316, -0.229, -0.2463, -0.2399, -0.2438, -0.2713, -0.2551, -0.2451, -0.2371, -0.221, -0.2429, -0.2594, -0.2405, -0.1933, -0.1953, -0.1953, -0.2202, -0.2162, -0.2055, -0.2274, -0.1975, -0.1962, -0.1869, -0.1875, -0.1845, -0.2428, -0.2726, -0.2895, -0.281, -0.2943, -0.2846, -0.2855, -0.3179, -0.346, -0.3417, -0.3005, -0.3105, -0.2931, -0.3045, -0.3125, -0.3053, -0.285, -0.2763, -0.2925, -0.2925, -0.2948, -0.3294, -0.3224, -0.3114, -0.3364, -0.3038, -0.2882, -0.3088, -0.2973, -0.3116, -0.3501, -0.3677, -0.3744, -0.3966, -0.4082, -0.4283, -0.4177, -0.3475, -0.3151, -0.3227, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.2708, -0.2564, -0.2844, -0.2968, -0.3079, -0.322, -0.3082, -0.2855, -0.2998, -0.2964, -0.2858, -0.2959, -0.249, -0.2752, -0.3008, -0.2787, -0.2787, -0.2887, -0.2909, -0.2805, -0.2833, -0.2905, -0.2966, -0.2957, -0.2839, -0.2857, -0.3006, -0.3132, -0.2865, -0.2657, -0.2836, -0.2457, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2693, -0.2635, -0.2652, -0.246]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1756035093154725909", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-09T19:19:26+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Adding to the short thesis for next week, an extremely large $2.3m put sweep above ask around 193 (top of vwap)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short thesis reinforced by $2.3M put sweep; expects TSLA to drop to ~$180 within ~2 weeks before potential reversal setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dec 1 2022 - a similar pattern forming (I know that's when Elon was selling which amplified the sell off). I expect $180 within the next ~2 weeks to form a potential inverse head/shoulder or diamond bottom setup going into end of Feb https://t.co/MsV5GFYCAV\n\n---\n\nAdding to the short thesis for next week, an extremely large $2.3m put sweep above ask around 193 (top of vwap) https://t.co/sMI2Vf3DBs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020716069710678187, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020716069710678187, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014969942870322828, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01365662200752693, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005746126840355359, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007059447703151256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028103539988478476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028103539988478476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027664648839614725, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027269859252156414, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00043889114886375147, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008336807363220622, "ret_p1w": 0.032959597988428735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032959597988428735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036331458227468305, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03785113003085494, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0033718602390395702, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004891532042426205, "ret_p1m": -0.08162423130611196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08162423130611196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10173595678836356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08117977445321745, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020111725482251597, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00044445685289451475, "ret_p3m": -0.0973808203248292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0973808203248292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13249042298788183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08813919492658351, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03510960266305263, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00924162539824569, "ret_p6m": 0.027431923116579826, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027431923116579826, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.011398588070546056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07177907071402778, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03883051118712588, "bench_c_p6m": -0.044347147597447956, "price_path": [0.2265, 0.2545, 0.2067, 0.2104, 0.2171, 0.2461, 0.2099, 0.2099, 0.2164, 0.2196, 0.2746, 0.2612, 0.2403, 0.2338, 0.217, 0.2332, 0.2366, 0.2535, 0.2597, 0.2385, 0.2244, 0.2362, 0.2969, 0.3096, 0.3023, 0.3288, 0.2767, 0.3148, 0.3046, 0.3046, 0.3257, 0.3506, 0.308, 0.2837, 0.2837, 0.2834, 0.2319, 0.2292, 0.2269, 0.2422, 0.2138, 0.2086, 0.1738, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.1361, 0.1136, 0.0946, 0.0962, 0.0787, 0.0804, 0.0737, -0.0565, -0.0533, -0.0136, -0.0102, -0.0324, -0.0243, -0.0292, -0.0646, -0.0438, -0.0309, -0.0207, 0.0, -0.0281, -0.0493, -0.0251, 0.0355, 0.033, 0.033, 0.001, 0.0062, 0.0198, -0.0083, 0.0301, 0.0318, 0.0438, 0.0429, 0.0469, -0.0281, -0.0663, -0.088, -0.0771, -0.0942, -0.0816, -0.0828, -0.1245, -0.1605, -0.155, -0.1021, -0.1149, -0.0925, -0.1072, -0.1175, -0.1082, -0.0821, -0.071, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0948, -0.1392, -0.1301, -0.116, -0.1481, -0.1064, -0.0862, -0.1127, -0.098, -0.1163, -0.1658, -0.1884, -0.1969, -0.2254, -0.2403, -0.2662, -0.2526, -0.1624, -0.1208, -0.1306, 0.0025, -0.0532, -0.0702, -0.0701, -0.064, -0.0455, -0.0814, -0.0974, -0.1116, -0.1297, -0.112, -0.0828, -0.1012, -0.0968, -0.0832, -0.0962, -0.036, -0.0695, -0.1024, -0.074, -0.074, -0.0869, -0.0898, -0.0764, -0.08, -0.0893, -0.0971, -0.0959, -0.0807, -0.0831, -0.1022, -0.1184, -0.0841, -0.0573, -0.0804, -0.0317, -0.045, -0.045, -0.062, -0.0546, -0.0568, -0.0321, 0.0145, 0.0199, 0.0223, 0.0842, 0.1947, 0.2729, 0.2729, 0.2994, 0.3067, 0.3552, 0.36, 0.2452, 0.2824, 0.3052, 0.3254, 0.2838, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.2993, 0.2728, 0.1158, 0.1378, 0.1355, 0.199, 0.1501, 0.1989, 0.1203, 0.0728, 0.0274]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1477711422532603905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-02T18:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time for the street to revise those 1.2 - 1.3m annual estimates to 1.5 - 1.7m", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TSLA; beat delivery numbers warrant upward revision of annual estimates to 1.5-1.7M from 1.2-1.3M.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Time for the street to revise those 1.2 - 1.3m annual estimates to 1.5 - 1.7m", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Tesla just announced its 4Q delivery number which beat even the bull case whisper number on the Street. This was a \u201ctrophy case\u201d quarter for Musk &amp; Co. with massive momentum moving into 2022. 309k deliveries vs. the Street's 266k and bull case whisper numbers in the 275k range.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11918849258023612, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11918849258023612, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11343189820655097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09127740453904132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005756594373685142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027911088041194798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041832696836128, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041832696836128, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.041497822131073336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03574652693747893, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003348747050546663, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006086169898649074, "ret_p1w": -0.11807164964096739, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11807164964096739, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09253320395937137, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.060775155453269836, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025538445681596023, "bench_c_p1w": -0.057296494187697555, "ret_p1m": -0.2238160575856306, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2238160575856306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1719853764667333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10855775288595015, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.051830681118897326, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11525830469968046, "ret_p3m": -0.10183530504135241, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10183530504135241, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05019958939785496, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01715934812941322, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05163571564349745, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11899465317076563, "ret_p6m": -0.4182350172993905, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4182350172993905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2209854864795069, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08476506994017496, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1972495308198836, "bench_c_p6m": -0.33346994735921553, "price_path": [-0.3476, -0.3385, -0.3453, -0.3399, -0.3284, -0.324, -0.3179, -0.2973, -0.2748, -0.2796, -0.2784, -0.2549, -0.2418, -0.1458, -0.1512, -0.135, -0.1023, -0.0715, 0.0073, -0.0232, 0.0117, 0.0251, 0.0186, -0.0307, -0.1469, -0.1099, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1554, -0.1209, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.0523, -0.0358, -0.0756, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0982, -0.0523, -0.0459, -0.0873, -0.096, -0.154, -0.159, -0.1234, -0.109, -0.1633, -0.1523, -0.1945, -0.2011, -0.1865, -0.2274, -0.2227, -0.2499, -0.2177, -0.1591, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0882, -0.0928, -0.0947, -0.1079, -0.1192, 0.0, -0.0418, -0.0931, -0.1126, -0.144, -0.1181, -0.1128, -0.078, -0.1402, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1411, -0.1701, -0.1696, -0.2133, -0.2249, -0.2345, -0.2187, -0.309, -0.2946, -0.2193, -0.2238, -0.2451, -0.2572, -0.2304, -0.2437, -0.2315, -0.2232, -0.2461, -0.2832, -0.2701, -0.2312, -0.2304, -0.2696, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.3153, -0.3632, -0.3326, -0.325, -0.2745, -0.2796, -0.2666, -0.3005, -0.3013, -0.3294, -0.3129, -0.2841, -0.3013, -0.3371, -0.3612, -0.3316, -0.2997, -0.2735, -0.2454, -0.2322, -0.1715, -0.1673, -0.1549, -0.1576, -0.09, -0.0835, -0.0882, -0.1018, -0.096, -0.0453, -0.0904, -0.1284, -0.1188, -0.1453, -0.1866, -0.1774, -0.1479, -0.179, -0.179, -0.1629, -0.1431, -0.1855, -0.1592, -0.1623, -0.1682, -0.2695, -0.2653, -0.2686, -0.2742, -0.2474, -0.2422, -0.206, -0.2721, -0.2785, -0.344, -0.3332, -0.3882, -0.3932, -0.3586, -0.3962, -0.3652, -0.4084, -0.4087, -0.4466, -0.4375, -0.4764, -0.4509, -0.4101, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.368, -0.3829, -0.354, -0.4136, -0.4042, -0.4027, -0.3952, -0.4006, -0.4193, -0.4606, -0.4477, -0.4174, -0.4672, -0.458, -0.458, -0.4073, -0.4097, -0.4122, -0.3856, -0.3876, -0.4182]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1367925618638123012", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-05T19:50:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added more $TSLA today at $588 - I think the sell off is over", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Added to TSLA at $588; believes selloff is over, bullish into ARK PT update.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added more $TSLA today at $588 - @ARKInvest likely to publish new PT for $TSLA afterhours today, or sometime next week (Cathie appearing on CNBC Monday 3pm EST). I think the sell off is over, but there's still a good chance we test 500", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039284230475876036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039284230475876036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.057348717827120255, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045597183265248864, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01806448735124422, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006312952789372828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05844967282854319, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05844967282854319, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05347102454142272, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.059661289611724455, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049786482871204685, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012116167831812685, "ret_p1w": 0.16018061588448762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16018061588448762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13299317831733348, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09673196901896364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027187437567154138, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06344864686552398, "ret_p1m": 0.1556986735303274, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1556986735303274, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09297973665370529, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04904604782775057, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06271893687662211, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10665262570257683, "ret_p3m": 0.011990966143555104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011990966143555104, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08726266814237205, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08469832677548528, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09925363428592715, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09668929291904038, "ret_p6m": 0.2223597669558397, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2223597669558397, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03581149133715966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.050485983381230115, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18654827561868004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17187378357460958, "price_path": [0.0868, 0.0109, 0.0487, 0.0201, 0.07, 0.059, 0.0415, 0.0969, 0.1623, 0.0868, 0.0709, 0.0803, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1099, 0.1138, 0.1619, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.2205, 0.2294, 0.2643, 0.3647, 0.4717, 0.3566, 0.4206, 0.4289, 0.4132, 0.3817, 0.3817, 0.4124, 0.4223, 0.4131, 0.4159, 0.473, 0.4769, 0.4452, 0.3972, 0.3271, 0.4045, 0.4596, 0.4294, 0.4215, 0.4253, 0.444, 0.4206, 0.346, 0.3574, 0.3649, 0.3649, 0.3316, 0.3348, 0.3168, 0.3066, 0.1949, 0.1687, 0.2409, 0.1409, 0.1297, 0.2015, 0.148, 0.0924, 0.0393, 0.0, -0.0584, 0.1265, 0.1173, 0.17, 0.1602, 0.1839, 0.132, 0.1737, 0.0923, 0.0952, 0.1205, 0.1074, 0.0541, 0.071, 0.0347, 0.0223, 0.063, 0.117, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1557, 0.1567, 0.1221, 0.1436, 0.1322, 0.174, 0.2749, 0.2246, 0.2356, 0.2372, 0.1951, 0.2024, 0.2445, 0.2036, 0.2198, 0.2346, 0.1786, 0.1613, 0.1322, 0.1865, 0.1454, 0.1265, 0.1221, 0.1097, 0.1245, 0.052, 0.0322, -0.0135, -0.0439, -0.0137, -0.0353, -0.0336, -0.0577, -0.0187, -0.0285, 0.0142, 0.0113, 0.0354, 0.055, 0.0456, 0.0456, 0.0434, 0.012, -0.042, 0.0018, 0.012, 0.0094, 0.0014, 0.0204, 0.02, 0.033, 0.0024, 0.0116, 0.0312, 0.0424, 0.0383, 0.0431, 0.098, 0.1369, 0.1236, 0.1518, 0.1385, 0.1367, 0.1337, 0.1354, 0.1354, 0.1031, 0.0781, 0.0917, 0.0987, 0.1468, 0.1181, 0.0927, 0.0881, 0.0774, 0.0807, 0.1046, 0.0959, 0.0858, 0.076, 0.0998, 0.0783, 0.082, 0.1328, 0.1493, 0.1868, 0.187, 0.1889, 0.1951, 0.1692, 0.1937, 0.1874, 0.1837, 0.2079, 0.1994, 0.1475, 0.1133, 0.1523, 0.1263, 0.1377, 0.1812, 0.1849, 0.1894, 0.1726, 0.1906, 0.2224]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1793657810989019146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-23T14:58:41+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rather bet on the future NVDA we haven't seen with the prospect of AI than the past NVDA. R/r is skewed in favor of the former.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Risk/reward skewed to the upside for NVDA on AI-driven future growth prospects.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@VladTheImputer @saxena_puru Rather bet on the future NVDA we haven\u2019t seen with the prospect of AI than the past NVDA. R/r is skewed in favor of the former.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @saxena_puru As opposed to a future we have seen?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VladTheImputer", "ret_m1d": -0.08525151478535975, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08525151478535975, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09260953238564273, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0717830467413827, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0073580176002829845, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013468468043977055, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02572265092530812, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02572265092530812, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01910614081760298, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007208780154622341, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066165101077051425, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01851387077068578, "ret_p1w": 0.06455729892713147, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06455729892713147, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07092662005907269, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.054341292763127935, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006369321131941219, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010216006164003533, "ret_p1m": 0.21947573927534014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21947573927534014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1808670678932025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11493891555390201, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03860867138213764, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10453682372143813, "ret_p3m": 0.22602754585760843, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22602754585760843, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16035254343267202, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19166844496154178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0656750024249364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03435910089606664, "ret_p6m": 0.3680648408810727, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3680648408810727, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2473672009622463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3675228173234659, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12069763991882643, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0005420235576067967, "price_path": [-0.2381, -0.2418, -0.2518, -0.2379, -0.2074, -0.1789, -0.1718, -0.1455, -0.1072, -0.1568, -0.1737, -0.1145, -0.1244, -0.1527, -0.1538, -0.1478, -0.1387, -0.1294, -0.1191, -0.0916, -0.0848, -0.1083, -0.1305, -0.1295, -0.1295, -0.1294, -0.1382, -0.1429, -0.1724, -0.1521, -0.1606, -0.1777, -0.1615, -0.127, -0.1504, -0.1715, -0.1578, -0.1904, -0.1843, -0.2659, -0.2339, -0.2059, -0.2324, -0.2039, -0.1548, -0.1545, -0.1676, -0.2, -0.1732, -0.1446, -0.1123, -0.1276, -0.129, -0.145, -0.1341, -0.1291, -0.1199, -0.0883, -0.0909, -0.1091, -0.0869, -0.0811, -0.0853, 0.0, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0973, 0.1062, 0.0646, 0.0562, 0.1079, 0.1218, 0.1796, 0.1657, 0.1646, 0.1733, 0.1649, 0.2063, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.262, 0.3063, 0.3063, 0.26, 0.2195, 0.138, 0.2149, 0.2178, 0.1946, 0.1903, 0.1976, 0.1819, 0.236, 0.236, 0.2123, 0.2352, 0.2658, 0.2998, 0.2275, 0.2452, 0.2375, 0.2175, 0.1368, 0.1667, 0.1362, 0.1903, 0.1811, 0.1008, 0.0818, 0.0893, 0.0751, -0.0006, 0.1275, 0.0522, 0.0335, -0.0322, 0.0044, -0.047, 0.0114, 0.0092, 0.0504, 0.119, 0.1377, 0.1837, 0.2003, 0.2525, 0.226, 0.2381, 0.1922, 0.2465, 0.2184, 0.2361, 0.2102, 0.133, 0.1501, 0.1501, 0.0406, 0.0233, 0.0329, -0.0093, 0.0258, 0.0415, 0.1264, 0.148, 0.1476, 0.1252, 0.1138, 0.0924, 0.1358, 0.1177, 0.1202, 0.1647, 0.1901, 0.1952, 0.1698, 0.1701, 0.1274, 0.1452, 0.1837, 0.2037, 0.2307, 0.2805, 0.2782, 0.299, 0.2989, 0.3304, 0.268, 0.3077, 0.3194, 0.3297, 0.3847, 0.3836, 0.3447, 0.3529, 0.3638, 0.354, 0.361, 0.3426, 0.2792, 0.3047, 0.3109, 0.3481, 0.403, 0.4346, 0.4225, 0.3997, 0.4289, 0.4094, 0.4141, 0.3681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1756513808124981569", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-11T03:01:40+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's going lower this time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Skeptical of the RSI long entry; warns TSLA goes lower without a reversal pattern forming.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider Better hope for another inverse HS setup or diamond bottom or else it\u2019s going lower this time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This $TSLA strategy enters long when daily RSI closes back above 30 after a previous close below.  It then exits 15 candles later.\n\nOver the last two years:\n\n\u2705 +62% total return vs -31.6% buy &amp; hold\n\u2705 +7.17% average return per trade\n\nJust took another entry on Thursday. https://t.co/oLVXQhBjsz", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": 0.028916187212108202, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028916187212108202, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028477103353225175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02808181087230488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00043908385888302703, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008343763398033222, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021846598116614713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021846598116614713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008073448179084841, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0019299613531194026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013773149937529872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01991663676349531, "ret_p1w": 0.06282885110640613, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06282885110640613, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06576310801596807, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06689008818763054, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0029342569095619497, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004061237081224411, "ret_p1m": -0.05629092288216486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05629092288216486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08782922423289707, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0653033119650448, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03153830135073221, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009012389082879935, "ret_p3m": -0.08589806645769005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08589806645769005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12742895251765063, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08422931377808329, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04153088605996058, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0016687526796067553, "ret_p6m": 0.06649654059504484, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06649654059504484, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.017628228385202505, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09948611145310382, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048868312209842335, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03298957085805898, "price_path": [0.2908, 0.2416, 0.2454, 0.2523, 0.2821, 0.2449, 0.2449, 0.2515, 0.2549, 0.3114, 0.2977, 0.2761, 0.2695, 0.2522, 0.2689, 0.2724, 0.2897, 0.2961, 0.2743, 0.2598, 0.2719, 0.3344, 0.3475, 0.3399, 0.3672, 0.3137, 0.3528, 0.3424, 0.3424, 0.364, 0.3897, 0.3458, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.3205, 0.2675, 0.2647, 0.2624, 0.2781, 0.2489, 0.2435, 0.2078, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1689, 0.1458, 0.1262, 0.1279, 0.1099, 0.1117, 0.1047, -0.0292, -0.0259, 0.0149, 0.0184, -0.0045, 0.0039, -0.0012, -0.0376, -0.0161, -0.0029, 0.0076, 0.0289, 0.0, -0.0218, 0.0031, 0.0655, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0299, 0.0353, 0.0493, 0.0204, 0.0599, 0.0617, 0.0739, 0.0731, 0.0771, 0.0001, -0.0393, -0.0616, -0.0504, -0.068, -0.0551, -0.0563, -0.0991, -0.1362, -0.1305, -0.0762, -0.0894, -0.0663, -0.0814, -0.092, -0.0824, -0.0556, -0.0441, -0.0656, -0.0656, -0.0686, -0.1143, -0.105, -0.0905, -0.1235, -0.0805, -0.0598, -0.087, -0.0719, -0.0908, -0.1417, -0.1649, -0.1737, -0.2031, -0.2184, -0.2449, -0.231, -0.1382, -0.0954, -0.1055, 0.0315, -0.0258, -0.0433, -0.0432, -0.0369, -0.0179, -0.0549, -0.0713, -0.0859, -0.1045, -0.0863, -0.0562, -0.0752, -0.0706, -0.0567, -0.0701, -0.0081, -0.0426, -0.0765, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0605, -0.0635, -0.0496, -0.0534, -0.0629, -0.071, -0.0698, -0.0542, -0.0566, -0.0762, -0.0929, -0.0576, -0.0301, -0.0538, -0.0037, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0349, -0.0272, -0.0295, -0.0041, 0.0438, 0.0494, 0.0518, 0.1155, 0.2293, 0.3097, 0.3097, 0.3369, 0.3445, 0.3944, 0.3994, 0.2812, 0.3195, 0.3429, 0.3637, 0.3209, 0.3248, 0.2715, 0.3369, 0.3096, 0.1481, 0.1707, 0.1683, 0.2337, 0.1833, 0.2336, 0.1527, 0.1039, 0.0571, 0.0665]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765282528309751967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-06T07:45:26+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upside is enormous and forward PE reasonable (sub 40)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA: enormous upside, sub-40 forward PE, top retail stock by value.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Upside is enormous and forward PE reasonable (sub 40). Replaced $TSLA as top traded stock by value and #1 among retail. Not surprising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Every $NVDA dip is ferociously consumed.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": -0.030845484356551767, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030845484356551767, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02580369272673788, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005707407746829651, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005041791629813885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025138076609722115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04474630598193774, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04474630598193774, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03481989424029641, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010198066023587415, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009926411741641328, "bench_c_p1d": 0.034548239958350324, "ret_p1w": 0.024667437036389295, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024667437036389295, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012465452381496656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03743531652674459, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01220198465489264, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012767879490355294, "ret_p1m": -0.03151074367988582, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03151074367988582, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04115104789504764, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029708696545217572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009640304215161821, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028539874025364065, "ret_p3m": 0.2965050476658735, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2965050476658735, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25787837855664053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22082578681850107, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03862666910923296, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07567926084737242, "ret_p6m": 0.3258134645560935, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3258134645560935, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22352464125341975, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27474215036019123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10228882330267375, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05107131419590227, "price_path": [-0.4644, -0.4744, -0.4627, -0.4579, -0.4549, -0.4488, -0.4355, -0.4408, -0.4576, -0.4477, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4445, -0.4429, -0.4417, -0.4417, -0.4417, -0.457, -0.4637, -0.4589, -0.4465, -0.4109, -0.4009, -0.3873, -0.382, -0.3832, -0.3832, -0.3644, -0.3681, -0.3562, -0.3293, -0.3275, -0.325, -0.3082, -0.3054, -0.312, -0.2958, -0.2923, -0.3064, -0.2895, -0.2541, -0.2184, -0.2309, -0.2097, -0.2149, -0.1868, -0.1855, -0.1869, -0.1669, -0.1809, -0.1814, -0.1814, -0.217, -0.2394, -0.1146, -0.1115, -0.1084, -0.1128, -0.1245, -0.1081, -0.0724, -0.0391, -0.0308, 0.0, 0.0447, -0.0132, -0.033, 0.0362, 0.0247, -0.0085, -0.0097, -0.0028, 0.0079, 0.0189, 0.0308, 0.063, 0.071, 0.0435, 0.0175, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0085, 0.003, -0.0315, -0.0078, -0.0177, -0.0377, -0.0187, 0.0216, -0.0058, -0.0304, -0.0145, -0.0526, -0.0454, -0.1409, -0.1035, -0.0708, -0.1017, -0.0684, -0.0109, -0.0106, -0.0259, -0.0638, -0.0325, 0.001, 0.0388, 0.0209, 0.0193, 0.0005, 0.0133, 0.0192, 0.0299, 0.0669, 0.0638, 0.0426, 0.0685, 0.0754, 0.0705, 0.1702, 0.2003, 0.2003, 0.2841, 0.2945, 0.2458, 0.236, 0.2965, 0.3127, 0.3804, 0.3641, 0.3629, 0.3731, 0.3632, 0.4116, 0.4613, 0.4869, 0.4768, 0.5286, 0.5286, 0.4745, 0.4271, 0.3317, 0.4217, 0.4251, 0.398, 0.3929, 0.4015, 0.3831, 0.4463, 0.4463, 0.4187, 0.4454, 0.4813, 0.5211, 0.4364, 0.4572, 0.4481, 0.4247, 0.3303, 0.3653, 0.3296, 0.3929, 0.3822, 0.2882, 0.2659, 0.2747, 0.2582, 0.1695, 0.3194, 0.2313, 0.2095, 0.1326, 0.1754, 0.1152, 0.1835, 0.181, 0.2292, 0.3095, 0.3313, 0.3852, 0.4046, 0.4657, 0.4347, 0.4488, 0.3952, 0.4586, 0.4258, 0.4466, 0.4162, 0.3258]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1777432960855351353", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-08T20:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I grabbed long positions in $LULU today at ~$360. I believe it's oversold at -30% with poor guidance + many, many technical support levels 320-360 range", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LULU at ~$360; oversold -30% with multiple technical support levels in the 320-360 range.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I rarely buy consumer retail brands, but I grabbed long positions in $LULU today at ~$360. I believe it's oversold at -30% with poor guidance + many, many technical support levels 320-360 range.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00995948627585208, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00995948627585208, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009400474865474573, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005432331236796539, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005590114103775079, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009416253152172427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004605236923544309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004605236923544309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005761949408536138, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009313363499630523, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011567124849918287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004708126576086213, "ret_p1w": -0.0712977370545601, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0712977370545601, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04378775864664697, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03595928599056064, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027509978407913138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035338451063999465, "ret_p1m": -0.029434571389553965, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029434571389553965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026388754691420324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018245916821247987, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003045816698133641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011188654568305978, "ret_p3m": -0.16684232801563015, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16684232801563015, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2333889723531779, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20912634436335398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06654664433754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04228401634772383, "ret_p6m": -0.260805585853105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.260805585853105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36391348078041397, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.370819778471534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310789492730899, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11001419261842904, "price_path": [0.343, 0.3468, 0.3315, 0.3315, 0.3059, 0.2995, 0.3246, 0.3428, 0.3369, 0.3233, 0.3173, 0.3158, 0.3262, 0.3372, 0.3355, 0.259, 0.2815, 0.2828, 0.2671, 0.2665, 0.2699, 0.3122, 0.3046, 0.293, 0.2657, 0.2781, 0.2733, 0.2473, 0.2473, 0.2334, 0.2303, 0.263, 0.2703, 0.299, 0.2979, 0.2876, 0.2958, 0.272, 0.2506, 0.2375, 0.2444, 0.2686, 0.2772, 0.2699, 0.2908, 0.2915, 0.3039, 0.2899, 0.275, 0.2963, 0.3013, 0.3284, 0.1185, 0.0789, 0.0712, 0.0805, 0.0838, 0.0838, 0.0686, 0.0488, 0.0376, -0.008, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0046, -0.0283, -0.0292, -0.0675, -0.0713, -0.0596, -0.0433, -0.0359, -0.0222, 0.0037, 0.0117, 0.0115, -0.0013, 0.0118, 0.0097, 0.0004, -0.0168, -0.0268, -0.0147, -0.0284, -0.0294, -0.0412, -0.0208, -0.0208, -0.0369, -0.0225, -0.0378, -0.0615, -0.0708, -0.0926, -0.104, -0.1688, -0.1685, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.1809, -0.1718, -0.1597, -0.1345, -0.1494, -0.1489, -0.1448, -0.1038, -0.1182, -0.1171, -0.1177, -0.1405, -0.147, -0.1511, -0.1319, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1379, -0.1349, -0.1337, -0.1426, -0.1544, -0.1447, -0.1713, -0.1612, -0.1631, -0.1668, -0.1668, -0.1729, -0.1843, -0.1958, -0.2008, -0.1977, -0.1925, -0.2129, -0.1906, -0.188, -0.209, -0.2225, -0.2093, -0.2194, -0.2452, -0.3139, -0.2967, -0.2814, -0.2898, -0.2824, -0.3091, -0.3453, -0.3525, -0.3428, -0.3524, -0.3293, -0.3377, -0.335, -0.3288, -0.3328, -0.2883, -0.284, -0.2811, -0.277, -0.2631, -0.2691, -0.255, -0.2464, -0.2477, -0.2819, -0.2814, -0.2802, -0.2802, -0.284, -0.2912, -0.2962, -0.2958, -0.3104, -0.3143, -0.292, -0.2783, -0.2599, -0.264, -0.2554, -0.2504, -0.2488, -0.2715, -0.2793, -0.2689, -0.2794, -0.2542, -0.2232, -0.2472, -0.2608]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1619503888801099778", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-29T01:13:10+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think we will see 120 or so again though for another chance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects TSLA to pull back to ~$120 again, offering another buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche I had a limit set for 101.80, missed bottom by 0.01 - extra salty. I think we will see 120 or so again though for another chance", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "dam $TSLA under $500B was a steal. salty I missed it \ud83e\udd7a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": 0.06744263762986136, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06744263762986136, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0547363750282579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.050107611797309826, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012706262601603457, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01733502583255153, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03936155894904236, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03936155894904236, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024658350453237166, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01645455667409479, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014703208495805198, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022907002274947574, "ret_p1w": 0.16860668563104797, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16860668563104797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14554092349846326, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12898343034652848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02306576213258471, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03962325528451949, "ret_p1m": 0.23430938553756886, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23430938553756886, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2451184343113969, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23313992108625636, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010809048773828045, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0011694644513124963, "ret_p3m": -0.038821559333579336, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.038821559333579336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07225715180880676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05643225466268065, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03343559247522743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01761069532910131, "ret_p6m": 0.5917436274460435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5917436274460435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44624225090512337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40463222837749346, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1455013765409201, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18711139906855, "price_path": [0.2899, 0.2919, 0.2449, 0.1825, 0.1478, 0.0656, 0.1444, 0.1759, 0.1457, 0.1666, 0.1216, 0.0991, 0.0812, 0.0073, 0.0195, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0972, 0.0976, 0.085, 0.1682, 0.1682, 0.1692, 0.0947, 0.079, 0.0443, 0.0407, 0.0743, 0.007, -0.0343, -0.0592, -0.0539, -0.0986, -0.1007, -0.1732, -0.1745, -0.2479, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.3454, -0.3237, -0.2691, -0.2609, -0.2609, -0.3514, -0.3181, -0.3379, -0.3216, -0.2814, -0.2869, -0.2607, -0.2586, -0.2656, -0.2656, -0.211, -0.2273, -0.2369, -0.1994, -0.1375, -0.1366, -0.1334, -0.0383, 0.0674, 0.0, 0.0394, 0.0885, 0.1297, 0.1399, 0.1686, 0.1809, 0.2078, 0.244, 0.1814, 0.1679, 0.2556, 0.2855, 0.2123, 0.2499, 0.2499, 0.1843, 0.2052, 0.2125, 0.1813, 0.2458, 0.2343, 0.2167, 0.1454, 0.1868, 0.1629, 0.1263, 0.092, 0.0376, 0.0407, 0.0469, 0.0996, 0.0827, 0.1048, 0.0808, 0.0995, 0.1855, 0.1469, 0.1534, 0.1425, 0.1509, 0.1352, 0.1633, 0.1717, 0.2448, 0.1687, 0.1555, 0.1132, 0.1104, 0.1104, 0.1071, 0.1208, 0.0833, 0.1154, 0.11, 0.1223, 0.1059, 0.0836, -0.022, -0.0095, -0.0247, -0.0359, -0.0775, -0.0388, -0.0141, -0.029, -0.0381, -0.0363, -0.0328, 0.0204, 0.0308, 0.0149, 0.0113, 0.0325, 0.0079, -0.0019, -0.0008, 0.0432, 0.0614, 0.0809, 0.1333, 0.1147, 0.0974, 0.1069, 0.1591, 0.1591, 0.207, 0.2236, 0.2452, 0.2839, 0.3057, 0.3279, 0.3475, 0.4092, 0.4665, 0.499, 0.5523, 0.5408, 0.5355, 0.5633, 0.5633, 0.6468, 0.5568, 0.5877, 0.5397, 0.4464, 0.5013, 0.5375, 0.5451, 0.5707, 0.679, 0.679, 0.6949, 0.6593, 0.6466, 0.6177, 0.6188, 0.632, 0.6675, 0.6883, 0.7423, 0.7601, 0.7476, 0.5775, 0.5602, 0.6144, 0.5917]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782662107546415200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-23T06:45:41+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sentiment is clearly bearish. Big money is positioning themselves for further downside\u2026 Bottom line: hedge into $TSLA earnings if you can", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish TSLA into earnings: bleak macro, no rate cuts, China lost, hybrid trend, street won't give a pass; recommends hedging.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's how $TSLA option flow over $500k+ looked today. Some of the puts are not above ask, so it's possible they were multi-leg strats or cash covered. Regardless, sentiment is clearly bearish. Big money is positioning themselves for further downside (as they have been for 3+ months).\n\nThe writing is on the wall. Macro setup looks bleak, interest rates are not getting cut anytime soon or nearly as steep, and China is a lost battleground. Oh, and apparently hybrids are the new trend in NA.\n\nEven if Elon vindicates the Model 2 plans on tmr's call, I doubt the street will give them a pass. Any $BTC and FSD rev recognition should get backed out. \n\nI expect Elon to *heavily* emphasize the 'don't look here, look over there (FSD/robotaxis)' narrative tomorrow. Not saying he's wrong, but I doubt it'll digest well. \n\nBottom line: hedge into $TSLA earnings if you can", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01817797730966908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01817797730966908, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006450410433438303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006412545657211943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011727566876230777, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011765431652457137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12061109407252757, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12061109407252757, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12108582502020038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11104808374360231, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004747309476728079, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009563010328925259, "ret_p1w": 0.2667957427259193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2667957427259193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2740537662600616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2489448080974821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01785093462843723, "ret_p1m": 0.24488533127014134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24488533127014134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19706566250981172, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22106481057748884, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023820520692652503, "ret_p3m": 0.6533039055667795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6533039055667795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.564089849574122, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5624610178561844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08921405599265753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09084288771059512, "ret_p6m": 0.5297899712162779, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5297899712162779, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37094421716808235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3720919821633668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15884575404819556, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1576979890529111, "price_path": [0.2623, 0.2666, 0.3197, 0.3242, 0.2945, 0.3054, 0.2988, 0.2515, 0.2794, 0.2965, 0.3102, 0.3379, 0.3003, 0.2719, 0.3043, 0.3855, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3392, 0.3462, 0.3645, 0.3269, 0.3782, 0.3805, 0.3965, 0.3954, 0.4006, 0.3004, 0.2492, 0.2202, 0.2348, 0.2119, 0.2287, 0.2271, 0.1714, 0.1232, 0.1306, 0.2013, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1945, 0.1807, 0.1932, 0.228, 0.243, 0.215, 0.215, 0.2111, 0.1517, 0.1638, 0.1827, 0.1398, 0.1956, 0.2226, 0.1872, 0.2068, 0.1823, 0.1161, 0.0859, 0.0744, 0.0363, 0.0164, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.1206, 0.1763, 0.1632, 0.3412, 0.2668, 0.2441, 0.2442, 0.2524, 0.277, 0.229, 0.2076, 0.1886, 0.1644, 0.1881, 0.2272, 0.2026, 0.2085, 0.2266, 0.2092, 0.2897, 0.2449, 0.2009, 0.2389, 0.2389, 0.2217, 0.2178, 0.2358, 0.2309, 0.2185, 0.208, 0.2096, 0.2299, 0.2267, 0.2012, 0.1796, 0.2254, 0.2612, 0.2304, 0.2955, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.255, 0.2649, 0.262, 0.2949, 0.3573, 0.3645, 0.3677, 0.4505, 0.5984, 0.703, 0.703, 0.7385, 0.7483, 0.8132, 0.8196, 0.666, 0.7157, 0.7462, 0.7733, 0.7176, 0.7226, 0.6533, 0.7384, 0.7029, 0.4929, 0.5223, 0.5192, 0.6042, 0.5387, 0.604, 0.4989, 0.4354, 0.3746, 0.3868, 0.3254, 0.3743, 0.3824, 0.365, 0.4365, 0.3919, 0.4801, 0.4938, 0.5394, 0.5282, 0.5432, 0.456, 0.5228, 0.4737, 0.446, 0.4221, 0.4258, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.4556, 0.5165, 0.5909, 0.4565, 0.4948, 0.5632, 0.5768, 0.5884, 0.5917, 0.5675, 0.575, 0.5704, 0.6859, 0.6467, 0.728, 0.7575, 0.7765, 0.7571, 0.8002, 0.8083, 0.7834, 0.7212, 0.6634, 0.7285, 0.6646, 0.6899, 0.6661, 0.6503, 0.5054, 0.5148, 0.5176, 0.5298]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1619081789506719744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-27T21:15:54+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm targeting 195 and 208 before we sell off again", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects price to reach 195 then 208 before the next selloff; near-term bullish targets.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Hi_Pr_Trades @robmaurer Yeah - there's lots of resistance to slog thru, but I'm targeting 195 and 208 before we sell off again", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @robmaurer We've got the weekly 200 ema at 185 to slog through first.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GreenBoxTrading", "ret_m1d": -0.09910056340014206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09910056340014206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09680804153349332, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07692209973926223, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022925218666487446, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022178463660879832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06318150994943417, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06318150994943417, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05063467078112327, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046141866771548745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012546839168310897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017039643177885422, "ret_p1w": 0.06790332909220753, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06790332909220753, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05146183151946371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044507346565088035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016441497572743824, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023395982527119497, "ret_p1m": 0.16711642499339985, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16711642499339985, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18671307297566675, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1823303201501777, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0195966479822669, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015213895156777846, "ret_p3m": -0.13575039193388994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13575039193388994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13630055009945818, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11031580769537164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0005501581655682486, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0254345842385183, "ret_p6m": 0.5124227475530614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5124227475530614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3843735326054578, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3428207786511235, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12804921494760357, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1696019689019379, "price_path": [0.2806, 0.2084, 0.2103, 0.1662, 0.1078, 0.0753, -0.0017, 0.0721, 0.1016, 0.0734, 0.0929, 0.0507, 0.0296, 0.0129, -0.0564, -0.0449, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0279, 0.0282, 0.0165, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.0953, 0.0256, 0.0108, -0.0217, -0.0251, 0.0065, -0.0567, -0.0953, -0.1186, -0.1137, -0.1555, -0.1576, -0.2254, -0.2267, -0.2954, -0.3078, -0.3078, -0.3867, -0.3664, -0.3152, -0.3076, -0.3076, -0.3924, -0.3612, -0.3798, -0.3645, -0.3268, -0.3319, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.312, -0.312, -0.2609, -0.2761, -0.2852, -0.25, -0.192, -0.1912, -0.1881, -0.0991, 0.0, -0.0632, -0.0263, 0.0197, 0.0583, 0.0679, 0.0948, 0.1063, 0.1315, 0.1654, 0.1067, 0.0941, 0.1762, 0.2043, 0.1357, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.1094, 0.1291, 0.1359, 0.1067, 0.1671, 0.1563, 0.1398, 0.0731, 0.1118, 0.0894, 0.0551, 0.023, -0.028, -0.0251, -0.0192, 0.0301, 0.0143, 0.035, 0.0125, 0.0301, 0.1106, 0.0745, 0.0805, 0.0703, 0.0782, 0.0635, 0.0898, 0.0977, 0.1662, 0.0948, 0.0825, 0.0428, 0.0402, 0.0402, 0.0372, 0.05, 0.0148, 0.045, 0.0399, 0.0514, 0.036, 0.0151, -0.0838, -0.0721, -0.0863, -0.0969, -0.1358, -0.0996, -0.0764, -0.0903, -0.0989, -0.0972, -0.0939, -0.0441, -0.0343, -0.0492, -0.0526, -0.0327, -0.0558, -0.0649, -0.064, -0.0227, -0.0057, 0.0126, 0.0617, 0.0442, 0.0281, 0.0369, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.1307, 0.1463, 0.1665, 0.2028, 0.2232, 0.244, 0.2623, 0.3202, 0.3738, 0.4043, 0.4542, 0.4435, 0.4384, 0.4645, 0.4645, 0.5427, 0.4585, 0.4874, 0.4424, 0.355, 0.4065, 0.4404, 0.4474, 0.4714, 0.5729, 0.5729, 0.5879, 0.5545, 0.5426, 0.5155, 0.5165, 0.5289, 0.5621, 0.5817, 0.6323, 0.6489, 0.6372, 0.4778, 0.4616, 0.5124]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782474498647986541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-22T18:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Today we're back to bullish $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NVDA flow returning; bearish TSLA into earnings with strong historical skew to downside moves.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last few weeks were mostly bearish flow for $NVDA and $TSLA. \n\nToday we're back to bullish $NVDA and bearish $TSLA flow. \n\nThe smartest thing you can do as a $TSLA investor is to always hedge into earnings. I did this for 5+ years. The <10-15% post earnings that rally are easily offset by the 85%+ that fall -5-10%. Do not expect much upside without Zach/Drew on the call.\n\nPast 4 $TSLA earnings have been down -10%+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04172643844670654, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04172643844670654, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03260145304561979, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022959832447517425, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018766605999189112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036532569560143946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036532569560143946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024665834757917615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012988040000159184, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02354452955998476, "ret_p1w": 0.10361184270841872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10361184270841872, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08292020171926207, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02795421750015037, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07565762520826835, "ret_p1m": 0.19955216164804512, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19955216164804512, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1362369487954216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04365618095299495, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15589598069505017, "ret_p3m": 0.5229248596365166, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5229248596365166, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4134175907070512, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26423112730837417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2586937323281424, "ret_p6m": 0.6552487566845755, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6552487566845755, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48772592279577975, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.43783172818136196, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21741702850321354, "price_path": [-0.2284, -0.2252, -0.2325, -0.2145, -0.2106, -0.2263, -0.2074, -0.168, -0.1281, -0.1421, -0.1185, -0.1243, -0.0929, -0.0915, -0.093, -0.0707, -0.0863, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.1266, -0.1515, -0.0124, -0.0089, -0.0054, -0.0103, -0.0234, -0.0052, 0.0347, 0.0719, 0.0811, 0.1155, 0.1654, 0.1007, 0.0787, 0.1559, 0.143, 0.106, 0.1046, 0.1124, 0.1242, 0.1365, 0.1499, 0.1858, 0.1947, 0.164, 0.135, 0.1363, 0.1363, 0.1364, 0.1249, 0.1188, 0.0803, 0.1068, 0.0958, 0.0734, 0.0946, 0.1396, 0.109, 0.0815, 0.0993, 0.0568, 0.0648, -0.0417, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.002, 0.0392, 0.1033, 0.1036, 0.0866, 0.0443, 0.0792, 0.1166, 0.1587, 0.1388, 0.137, 0.1161, 0.1303, 0.1368, 0.1489, 0.19, 0.1866, 0.163, 0.1919, 0.1996, 0.1941, 0.3054, 0.3389, 0.3389, 0.4324, 0.444, 0.3896, 0.3787, 0.4462, 0.4643, 0.5398, 0.5216, 0.5203, 0.5316, 0.5207, 0.5746, 0.6301, 0.6586, 0.6473, 0.7052, 0.7052, 0.6448, 0.5918, 0.4854, 0.5858, 0.5897, 0.5594, 0.5537, 0.5633, 0.5428, 0.6134, 0.6134, 0.5825, 0.6123, 0.6523, 0.6967, 0.6023, 0.6254, 0.6154, 0.5892, 0.4839, 0.5229, 0.4832, 0.5537, 0.5418, 0.4369, 0.4121, 0.4219, 0.4034, 0.3046, 0.4717, 0.3735, 0.3491, 0.2633, 0.3111, 0.244, 0.3202, 0.3174, 0.3711, 0.4607, 0.4851, 0.5452, 0.5668, 0.635, 0.6004, 0.6161, 0.5563, 0.6271, 0.5905, 0.6136, 0.5798, 0.4789, 0.5013, 0.5013, 0.3583, 0.3358, 0.3484, 0.2933, 0.3391, 0.3596, 0.4704, 0.4985, 0.498, 0.4688, 0.4539, 0.426, 0.4826, 0.459, 0.4623, 0.5203, 0.5535, 0.5602, 0.527, 0.5275, 0.4716, 0.4949, 0.5452, 0.5712, 0.6064, 0.6715, 0.6685, 0.6956, 0.6955, 0.7366, 0.6552]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1782474498647986541", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-22T18:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The smartest thing you can do as a $TSLA investor is to always hedge into earnings. The <10-15% post earnings that rally are easily offset by the 85%+ that fall -5-10%. Do not expect much upside without Zach/Drew on the call.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NVDA flow returning; bearish TSLA into earnings with strong historical skew to downside moves.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last few weeks were mostly bearish flow for $NVDA and $TSLA. \n\nToday we're back to bullish $NVDA and bearish $TSLA flow. \n\nThe smartest thing you can do as a $TSLA investor is to always hedge into earnings. I did this for 5+ years. The <10-15% post earnings that rally are easily offset by the 85%+ that fall -5-10%. Do not expect much upside without Zach/Drew on the call.\n\nPast 4 $TSLA earnings have been down -10%+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035198872879842025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035198872879842025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044323858280928774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0395974634235412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004398590543699177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018514534090260826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018514534090260826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006647799288034495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006609029031749758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011905505058511068, "ret_p1w": 0.36606827795035746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.36606827795035746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3453766369612008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3104115523755615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05565672557479595, "ret_p1m": 0.31362197884307985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31362197884307985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2503067659904563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667038313743191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046918147468760774, "ret_p3m": 0.7545229874914454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7545229874914454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.64501571856198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6407602229158194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11376276457562606, "ret_p6m": 0.5457233552062333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5457233552062333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37820052131743753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38036739942345665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16535595578277662, "price_path": [0.4631, 0.2857, 0.29, 0.3441, 0.3488, 0.3185, 0.3295, 0.3228, 0.2746, 0.3031, 0.3205, 0.3345, 0.3627, 0.3244, 0.2955, 0.3285, 0.4111, 0.4076, 0.4076, 0.364, 0.3711, 0.3897, 0.3514, 0.4037, 0.4061, 0.4223, 0.4212, 0.4265, 0.3245, 0.2724, 0.2428, 0.2577, 0.2344, 0.2515, 0.2498, 0.1931, 0.144, 0.1515, 0.2235, 0.2061, 0.2366, 0.2166, 0.2026, 0.2153, 0.2508, 0.266, 0.2375, 0.2375, 0.2335, 0.173, 0.1854, 0.2046, 0.1609, 0.2177, 0.2452, 0.2092, 0.2291, 0.2042, 0.1368, 0.106, 0.0943, 0.0555, 0.0352, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.1414, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.3661, 0.2902, 0.2671, 0.2672, 0.2755, 0.3007, 0.2517, 0.23, 0.2106, 0.186, 0.2101, 0.2499, 0.2249, 0.2308, 0.2493, 0.2316, 0.3136, 0.2679, 0.2231, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2443, 0.2403, 0.2586, 0.2536, 0.241, 0.2303, 0.232, 0.2527, 0.2494, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2481, 0.2845, 0.2532, 0.3195, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.2782, 0.2883, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.3824, 0.3898, 0.393, 0.4774, 0.628, 0.7345, 0.7345, 0.7706, 0.7806, 0.8467, 0.8533, 0.6968, 0.7475, 0.7785, 0.8061, 0.7494, 0.7545, 0.6839, 0.7706, 0.7345, 0.5205, 0.5505, 0.5473, 0.6339, 0.5672, 0.6337, 0.5266, 0.4619, 0.4001, 0.4125, 0.3499, 0.3998, 0.408, 0.3903, 0.4631, 0.4177, 0.5075, 0.5214, 0.5679, 0.5565, 0.5718, 0.483, 0.551, 0.501, 0.4728, 0.4484, 0.4522, 0.5073, 0.5073, 0.4826, 0.5446, 0.6203, 0.4835, 0.5225, 0.5922, 0.606, 0.6178, 0.6212, 0.5965, 0.6042, 0.5994, 0.7171, 0.6772, 0.7599, 0.79, 0.8094, 0.7897, 0.8336, 0.8418, 0.8164, 0.753, 0.6942, 0.7605, 0.6954, 0.7212, 0.6969, 0.6809, 0.5333, 0.5428, 0.5457]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1605991427510398976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-22T18:19:28+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely bearish macro outlook + chart trend + uncertainty around China + TWTR episode. Fundamentals might make a recovery in Q1 23 print but I suspect not until 9-12 months from now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA for 9-12 months on macro headwinds, chart trend, China uncertainty, and Twitter overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@farzyness Fundamentals are in the backseat right now Farzad. Extremely bearish macro outlook + chart trend + uncertainty around China + TWTR episode. Fundamentals might make a recovery in Q1 23 print but I suspect not until 9-12 months from now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA is currently trading at ~17 P/E on ~$23B 2023 earnings. Is this fair value?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "farzyness", "ret_m1d": 0.09748710808816252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09748710808816252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08301456148519959, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0711160506580033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014472546602962932, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026371057430159217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017550833466474902, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017550833466474902, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023302977779717793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024396283447593703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005752144313242891, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006845449981118801, "ret_p1w": -0.028161139387852918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028161139387852918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03530539409999078, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035628969555295376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007144254712137865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467830167442457, "ret_p1m": 0.06437973508623762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06437973508623762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024560477823834637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01675577627271929, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039819257262402985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08113551135895691, "ret_p3m": 0.5762265994111337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5762265994111337, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5244500260646672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4414639024465945, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05177657334646657, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13476269696453924, "ret_p6m": 1.0785002929115408, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0785002929115408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9155043081161389, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7802684212138558, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1629959847954019, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29823187169768506, "price_path": [1.2019, 1.2572, 1.2961, 1.1397, 1.1161, 0.9338, 0.9899, 0.9211, 0.8997, 0.7796, 0.7787, 0.7272, 0.7331, 0.7688, 0.6353, 0.7499, 0.7566, 0.7714, 0.6536, 0.7107, 0.6853, 0.7744, 0.7921, 0.7957, 0.8231, 0.8152, 0.8175, 0.715, 0.7177, 0.6551, 0.5722, 0.5261, 0.4168, 0.5215, 0.5634, 0.5233, 0.551, 0.4912, 0.4613, 0.4375, 0.3392, 0.3555, 0.4615, 0.4615, 0.4588, 0.4593, 0.4426, 0.5533, 0.5533, 0.5545, 0.4555, 0.4345, 0.3884, 0.3836, 0.4284, 0.3388, 0.284, 0.2509, 0.2578, 0.1985, 0.1956, 0.0993, 0.0975, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.1296, -0.1008, -0.0282, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.1376, -0.0934, -0.1197, -0.098, -0.0445, -0.0519, -0.017, -0.0143, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.049, 0.0274, 0.0145, 0.0644, 0.1468, 0.1479, 0.1522, 0.2786, 0.4192, 0.3296, 0.3819, 0.4472, 0.502, 0.5156, 0.5537, 0.5701, 0.6058, 0.6539, 0.5707, 0.5528, 0.6693, 0.7091, 0.6118, 0.6618, 0.6618, 0.5746, 0.6024, 0.612, 0.5706, 0.6564, 0.6411, 0.6176, 0.5229, 0.5779, 0.5462, 0.4975, 0.4519, 0.3795, 0.3836, 0.3919, 0.462, 0.4396, 0.4689, 0.437, 0.4619, 0.5762, 0.5249, 0.5335, 0.519, 0.5302, 0.5093, 0.5467, 0.5579, 0.655, 0.5538, 0.5363, 0.48, 0.4763, 0.4763, 0.472, 0.4901, 0.4403, 0.483, 0.4759, 0.4921, 0.4704, 0.4407, 0.3003, 0.317, 0.2968, 0.2818, 0.2266, 0.2779, 0.3108, 0.291, 0.2789, 0.2813, 0.286, 0.3567, 0.3705, 0.3494, 0.3446, 0.3728, 0.3401, 0.3271, 0.3284, 0.387, 0.4112, 0.4371, 0.5067, 0.482, 0.4591, 0.4716, 0.541, 0.541, 0.6048, 0.6269, 0.6555, 0.707, 0.736, 0.7655, 0.7915, 0.8736, 0.9497, 0.9931, 1.0639, 1.0486, 1.0415, 1.0785]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1214643023197265920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-01-07T20:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "do the exact opposite of what Mark Spiegel and $TSLAQ say. It's been going well so far", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Sarcastic jab at TSLA bears; implied bullish on TSLA as fading the short thesis has been profitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Alright, my new investment strategy for 2020 is to do the exact opposite of what Mark Spiegel and $TSLAQ say. It\u2019s been going well so far. $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03735127556940954, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03735127556940954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0401710205931044, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03893881727344206, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002819745023694864, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015875417040325246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": -0.0, "alpha_c_t0": -0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04920482578812169, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04920482578812169, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.043875237628588026, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046188362397404426, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00532958815953366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003016463390717261, "ret_p1w": 0.14680422218338895, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14680422218338895, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13217912948443944, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14108898261350156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014625092698949516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005715239569887398, "ret_p1m": 0.5663241502582979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5663241502582979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5349356935707341, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5410817197166811, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03138845668756374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02524243054161679, "ret_p3m": 0.02334460822570028, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02334460822570028, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24978960726288324, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28625629680254205, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.22644499903718296, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2629116885768418, "ret_p6m": 1.3869654070931485, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3869654070931485, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4148821348520488, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3556284032470443, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.027916727758900306, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03133700384610427, "price_path": [-0.4782, -0.4715, -0.4522, -0.4502, -0.4462, -0.4415, -0.4522, -0.4596, -0.4551, -0.457, -0.3611, -0.3005, -0.3013, -0.3258, -0.3284, -0.3286, -0.332, -0.3232, -0.3237, -0.3038, -0.2847, -0.2812, -0.2643, -0.254, -0.2621, -0.2552, -0.2492, -0.2538, -0.2335, -0.2491, -0.2435, -0.29, -0.2829, -0.2988, -0.2937, -0.2937, -0.2966, -0.2861, -0.2832, -0.29, -0.2957, -0.2839, -0.2761, -0.2563, -0.2481, -0.2332, -0.2359, -0.1867, -0.192, -0.1618, -0.1386, -0.1353, -0.1063, -0.0934, -0.0934, -0.0813, -0.0825, -0.1159, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.0827, -0.0555, -0.0374, 0.0, 0.0492, 0.0262, 0.0194, 0.119, 0.1468, 0.1054, 0.0947, 0.0883, 0.0883, 0.1666, 0.2143, 0.2199, 0.2042, 0.1897, 0.2086, 0.2386, 0.3662, 0.387, 0.6629, 0.8911, 0.5663, 0.5967, 0.5948, 0.6443, 0.6509, 0.6358, 0.7141, 0.7056, 0.7056, 0.83, 0.9559, 0.9175, 0.9209, 0.7776, 0.7053, 0.6603, 0.4476, 0.4241, 0.5853, 0.5894, 0.5979, 0.5447, 0.4998, 0.2962, 0.3758, 0.3521, 0.195, 0.1654, -0.0511, -0.0828, -0.2299, -0.0883, -0.0885, -0.0741, 0.0766, 0.1496, 0.126, 0.0966, 0.0705, 0.1171, 0.0266, -0.0311, 0.0233, 0.1006, 0.1629, 0.1701, 0.2216, 0.2216, 0.3878, 0.5134, 0.5559, 0.5887, 0.6072, 0.5912, 0.464, 0.5608, 0.5043, 0.546, 0.7029, 0.6397, 0.7066, 0.6669, 0.4952, 0.6228, 0.6378, 0.6684, 0.663, 0.7469, 0.7296, 0.7256, 0.6863, 0.7126, 0.7038, 0.7346, 0.7226, 0.7387, 0.7644, 0.7415, 0.7415, 0.7458, 0.7487, 0.7179, 0.7802, 0.9147, 0.8794, 0.8824, 0.8428, 0.8882, 1.0252, 1.0054, 1.1853, 1.074, 0.9939, 1.1125, 1.0938, 1.1144, 1.1404, 1.1338, 1.1198, 1.1357, 1.0485, 1.102, 1.0461, 1.1519, 1.3021, 1.387]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1733911945164812665", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-10T18:09:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2025+ looking solid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TSLA from 2025 onward despite near-term headwinds over the next 6-18 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Likely 6-18 months of some cloudy skies but 2025+ looking solid", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Here\u2019s the $TSLA investment debate in 3 slides.\n\nThe most important driver of a company\u2019s stock price are future earnings. As $TSLA bears are quick to point out, TSLA fundamentals and earnings revisions have been declining for over a year now:  2024 Adj EPS has declined to $3.93 https://t.co/u5Tz9cAxaj", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.017101821768513492, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017101821768513492, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020976276936033655, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019750981785367827, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038744551675201633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002649160016854335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011387381846063915, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011387381846063915, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01595471651981395, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014496922114399569, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004567334673750034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031095402683356532, "ret_p1w": 0.051472412009444524, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051472412009444524, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025728125369002264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01305030701134946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02574428664044226, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038422104998095064, "ret_p1m": -0.019938260906702032, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019938260906702032, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049833622948340706, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028996053968290747, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029895362041638673, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057793061588715, "ret_p3m": -0.2548177617290561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2548177617290561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37366728052638587, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29889325009588763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11884951879732975, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044075488366831506, "ret_p6m": -0.27100191762761794, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27100191762761794, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4229332127670957, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28896437259544117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15193129513947778, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017962454967823227, "price_path": [0.1316, 0.1514, 0.1445, 0.1065, 0.1116, 0.0953, 0.0666, 0.0214, 0.0302, 0.0183, 0.0032, 0.0277, 0.0437, 0.0495, 0.0283, 0.0893, 0.0847, 0.0867, 0.0831, 0.0996, 0.097, 0.0798, 0.0475, 0.0591, 0.063, 0.0123, -0.0819, -0.1158, -0.1154, -0.0969, -0.114, -0.1417, -0.1353, -0.1768, -0.1623, -0.1422, -0.0886, -0.0825, -0.0854, -0.0732, -0.0735, -0.1241, -0.1047, -0.0669, -0.0097, 0.0129, -0.0257, -0.0227, -0.0173, 0.0061, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0179, -0.0153, 0.0291, 0.0184, 0.0014, -0.0038, -0.0174, -0.0043, -0.0015, 0.0121, 0.0171, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0019, 0.0472, 0.0574, 0.0515, 0.0729, 0.0309, 0.0616, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0704, 0.0905, 0.0561, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0362, -0.0054, -0.0075, -0.0094, 0.003, -0.0199, -0.0242, -0.0522, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0827, -0.1009, -0.1162, -0.1149, -0.1291, -0.1276, -0.1331, -0.2382, -0.2356, -0.2036, -0.2008, -0.2188, -0.2122, -0.2162, -0.2448, -0.2279, -0.2176, -0.2093, -0.1926, -0.2153, -0.2324, -0.2129, -0.1639, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1918, -0.1876, -0.1766, -0.1993, -0.1683, -0.1669, -0.1573, -0.1579, -0.1548, -0.2152, -0.2461, -0.2636, -0.2548, -0.2686, -0.2585, -0.2594, -0.2931, -0.3222, -0.3177, -0.275, -0.2854, -0.2673, -0.2791, -0.2874, -0.2799, -0.2589, -0.2499, -0.2667, -0.2667, -0.2691, -0.305, -0.2977, -0.2863, -0.3122, -0.2785, -0.2622, -0.2836, -0.2717, -0.2865, -0.3264, -0.3447, -0.3516, -0.3746, -0.3866, -0.4075, -0.3965, -0.3237, -0.2901, -0.298, -0.1906, -0.2355, -0.2492, -0.2491, -0.2442, -0.2293, -0.2583, -0.2712, -0.2827, -0.2973, -0.283, -0.2594, -0.2743, -0.2707, -0.2598, -0.2703, -0.2217, -0.2487, -0.2753, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2627, -0.2651, -0.2542, -0.2572, -0.2647, -0.271]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1457212075122429955", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-07T05:03:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll be back at all time highs next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects short-term dip from Musk share sale but forecasts TSLA back at all-time highs within a year; fundamentals unchanged.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothing fundamental with $TSLA is changing even if @elonmusk liquidates 10% of his shares. Will we dip this week? Likely. But we'll be back at all time highs next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05171533681468876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036506002113225744, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008528466691211101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014356488032341908, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11659770651303447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10141737857082345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003305326030563993, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018485653972775018, "ret_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12539779214284408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10626948911138923, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0031987115431505453, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022327014574605397, "ret_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0942250416220487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08778474159074345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.001386057566561738, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007826357597866984, "ret_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18944502459241241, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09590885192004117, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04427298127198842, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13780915394435966, "ret_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11196958981075811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012069287389383287, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10617577572077974, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20607607814215456, "price_path": [-0.3914, -0.3789, -0.3833, -0.41, -0.4276, -0.4075, -0.4209, -0.4151, -0.3927, -0.3908, -0.3884, -0.3971, -0.3878, -0.3715, -0.3674, -0.3688, -0.3702, -0.3692, -0.3692, -0.3526, -0.3518, -0.3509, -0.3669, -0.3611, -0.3598, -0.3501, -0.3491, -0.3469, -0.3721, -0.3642, -0.3534, -0.352, -0.3341, -0.3195, -0.3314, -0.3282, -0.3332, -0.3334, -0.328, -0.3288, -0.3269, -0.3176, -0.3246, -0.319, -0.3072, -0.3026, -0.2963, -0.2751, -0.2518, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2313, -0.2178, -0.1187, -0.1243, -0.1076, -0.0739, -0.0421, 0.0393, 0.0078, 0.0438, 0.0576, 0.0509, 0.0, -0.1199, -0.0817, -0.0855, -0.1114, -0.1286, -0.093, -0.0636, -0.0572, -0.0223, -0.0052, -0.0464, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0697, -0.0223, -0.0156, -0.0584, -0.0674, -0.1272, -0.1324, -0.0956, -0.0808, -0.1368, -0.1255, -0.169, -0.1758, -0.1608, -0.203, -0.1981, -0.2262, -0.193, -0.1325, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0593, -0.064, -0.066, -0.0796, -0.0913, 0.0317, -0.0115, -0.0643, -0.0845, -0.1169, -0.0901, -0.0847, -0.0488, -0.113, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1139, -0.1439, -0.1433, -0.1884, -0.2003, -0.2103, -0.1939, -0.2871, -0.2722, -0.1945, -0.1992, -0.2212, -0.2337, -0.206, -0.2198, -0.2072, -0.1986, -0.2222, -0.2605, -0.2469, -0.2068, -0.206, -0.2464, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.2936, -0.343, -0.3114, -0.3036, -0.2515, -0.2567, -0.2434, -0.2783, -0.2792, -0.3082, -0.2911, -0.2614, -0.2792, -0.3161, -0.341, -0.3105, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2215, -0.2079, -0.1453, -0.1409, -0.1281, -0.131, -0.0611, -0.0545, -0.0593, -0.0734, -0.0674, -0.015, -0.0616, -0.1008, -0.0909, -0.1182, -0.1608, -0.1513, -0.1209, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1364, -0.1159, -0.1597, -0.1326, -0.1358, -0.1418, -0.2464, -0.242, -0.2454, -0.2512, -0.2236, -0.2181]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1456337571890360320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-04T19:08:29+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA may hit ~$1300 tomorrow to setup for another Fri/Mon breakout - would put $1400-1420 in play for Monday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "TSLA expected to hit ~$1300 tomorrow, setting up breakout to $1400\u20131420 by Monday.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like $TSLA may hit ~$1300 tomorrow to setup for another Fri/Mon breakout - would put $1400-1420 in play for Monday", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013049750195345378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013049750195345378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008359276931738324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00024166021501392798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004690473263607053, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013291410410359306, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006358169933862068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006358169933862068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009827910332228185, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012789650955169374, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003469740398366117, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006431481021307306, "ret_p1w": -0.13529447188704813, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13529447188704813, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12856942067147437, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10289966894461333, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006725051215573763, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0323948029424348, "ret_p1m": -0.17476075631665178, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17476075631665178, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14586873426516977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1258826177210023, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028892022051482003, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04887813859564949, "ret_p3m": -0.24283080330301776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24283080330301776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21634026740706092, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13058586066950661, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.026490535895956846, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11224494263351115, "ret_p6m": -0.29201325572170156, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29201325572170156, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18026130485750302, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0703207397394301, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.11175195086419853, "bench_c_p6m": -0.22169251598227147, "price_path": [-0.4197, -0.4227, -0.4245, -0.4128, -0.4169, -0.4421, -0.4587, -0.4398, -0.4524, -0.4469, -0.4257, -0.4239, -0.4217, -0.4299, -0.4212, -0.4057, -0.4018, -0.4031, -0.4045, -0.4036, -0.4036, -0.3878, -0.3871, -0.3862, -0.4014, -0.3959, -0.3947, -0.3855, -0.3845, -0.3825, -0.4063, -0.3988, -0.3886, -0.3872, -0.3704, -0.3566, -0.3678, -0.3647, -0.3695, -0.3697, -0.3646, -0.3653, -0.3636, -0.3547, -0.3613, -0.3561, -0.3449, -0.3405, -0.3347, -0.3146, -0.2925, -0.2973, -0.296, -0.2731, -0.2604, -0.1667, -0.1719, -0.1561, -0.1243, -0.0942, -0.0173, -0.0471, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0545, -0.1678, -0.1317, -0.1353, -0.1598, -0.176, -0.1424, -0.1146, -0.1086, -0.0755, -0.0594, -0.0983, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.1203, -0.0756, -0.0692, -0.1097, -0.1181, -0.1748, -0.1796, -0.1449, -0.1309, -0.1838, -0.1731, -0.2142, -0.2207, -0.2065, -0.2464, -0.2418, -0.2683, -0.2369, -0.1797, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.1106, -0.115, -0.1169, -0.1297, -0.1408, -0.0245, -0.0653, -0.1153, -0.1343, -0.165, -0.1397, -0.1346, -0.1006, -0.1613, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1621, -0.1905, -0.19, -0.2325, -0.2438, -0.2533, -0.2378, -0.3259, -0.3119, -0.2384, -0.2428, -0.2636, -0.2754, -0.2493, -0.2623, -0.2504, -0.2422, -0.2645, -0.3008, -0.2879, -0.25, -0.2492, -0.2875, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.332, -0.3788, -0.3489, -0.3415, -0.2923, -0.2972, -0.2846, -0.3176, -0.3184, -0.3458, -0.3297, -0.3016, -0.3184, -0.3533, -0.3769, -0.348, -0.3168, -0.2913, -0.2639, -0.251, -0.1918, -0.1877, -0.1756, -0.1783, -0.1123, -0.106, -0.1105, -0.1238, -0.1182, -0.0687, -0.1127, -0.1497, -0.1404, -0.1662, -0.2065, -0.1975, -0.1687, -0.1991, -0.1991, -0.1834, -0.164, -0.2055, -0.1798, -0.1828, -0.1885, -0.2874, -0.2833, -0.2865, -0.292]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1789364951330754825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-11T18:40:23+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy a great company at a mediocre price instead of a mediocre company at a great price' applies here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long BABA, framing it as a great company available at a mediocre price.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin \u2018Buy a great company at a mediocre price instead of a mediocre company at a great price\u2019 applies here", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "ALIBABA IS CURRENTLY WORTH $195 BILLION AND IT HAS $92 BILLION IN CASH\n\nIN 4 YEARS ALIBABA WILL HAVE MORE CASH ON HAND THAN ITS ENTIRE MARKET CAP\n\nALIBABA SPENT ~$5 BILLION ON SHARE BUYBACKS IN Q1 OF THIS YEAR AND STILL HAS $32 BILLION DOLLARS LEFT IN ITS BUYBACK PLAN\n\n$BABA https://t.co/YfFzzNQz1O", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": -0.0539007113463672, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0539007113463672, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05376670695488783, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05519385386150666, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00013400439147936982, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001293142515139456, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06016554043227984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06016554043227984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06475391560832944, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06471927934049027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004588375176049597, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004553738908210425, "ret_p1w": 0.043498776943000195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043498776943000195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025933159649340398, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04630986150522165, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017565617293659797, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028110845622214553, "ret_p1m": -0.07919624363242961, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07919624363242961, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10998886850600909, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07857784864525852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030792624873579477, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0006183949871710892, "ret_p3m": -0.03007785100274185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03007785100274185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.052062672679983435, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009072746736147885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.021984821677241584, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021005104266593966, "ret_p6m": 0.19818170880917751, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19818170880917751, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08410208403587638, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05247889972225184, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11407962477330114, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14570280908692568, "price_path": [-0.1325, -0.1274, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1355, -0.1066, -0.1002, -0.1021, -0.0956, -0.0818, -0.1183, -0.1249, -0.118, -0.1489, -0.1481, -0.1287, -0.1426, -0.1306, -0.1151, -0.1009, -0.097, -0.1324, -0.1322, -0.131, -0.1322, -0.1232, -0.1273, -0.1474, -0.1553, -0.1551, -0.1538, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1327, -0.1385, -0.1437, -0.1495, -0.153, -0.1524, -0.1372, -0.1183, -0.1152, -0.1573, -0.1652, -0.1772, -0.1865, -0.1858, -0.1836, -0.1645, -0.1429, -0.1178, -0.1122, -0.107, -0.0968, -0.1152, -0.1074, -0.0505, -0.0387, -0.0361, -0.0618, -0.0726, -0.0608, -0.0539, 0.0, -0.0602, -0.0427, 0.0248, 0.0466, 0.0435, 0.0181, -0.0227, -0.0449, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0475, -0.0655, -0.0587, -0.074, -0.0792, -0.0727, -0.0564, -0.0543, -0.0732, -0.0626, -0.0792, -0.0775, -0.086, -0.1141, -0.0996, -0.1007, -0.1007, -0.1021, -0.1103, -0.0967, -0.1088, -0.1042, -0.126, -0.1304, -0.1283, -0.1101, -0.0873, -0.0873, -0.1, -0.1123, -0.0858, -0.082, -0.0517, -0.038, -0.0579, -0.0534, -0.0696, -0.0756, -0.0909, -0.0744, -0.0809, -0.0845, -0.0894, -0.0757, -0.0505, -0.058, -0.0477, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0703, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.0301, -0.0339, -0.0228, -0.0205, -0.0402, -0.0394, 0.0046, 0.0134, -0.0213, 0.0088, 0.0019, 0.0315, -0.0126, -0.0163, -0.0384, -0.0215, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0064, -0.004, -0.0045, -0.0196, -0.0164, 0.0121, 0.0243, 0.0325, 0.0228, 0.0097, 0.0229, 0.0196, 0.0687, 0.0663, 0.088, 0.1738, 0.1529, 0.269, 0.2962, 0.2816, 0.3616, 0.3919, 0.3628, 0.3832, 0.4193, 0.3246, 0.303, 0.3198, 0.3302, 0.302, 0.2299, 0.2339, 0.2086, 0.2371, 0.2187, 0.2133, 0.1836, 0.1638, 0.1766, 0.2069, 0.2057, 0.192, 0.1833, 0.1785, 0.1884, 0.1982]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1701310885388754966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-11T19:04:58+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expect more movement down in Oct. Will post chart updates next week depending on the report", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term bearish TSLA into Q3 deliveries; expects further downside in October unless a beat materializes.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like $TSLA will test $280 tomorrow (purp arrow &gt; key fib channel double crossover). I can see us going as high as $290 to fill the gap before retracing into Q3 deliveries (yellow arrow). If we finally breakout from a Q3 beat, $TSLA will likely test $330-$415 by EOY https://t.co/HrXzmQkAGW\n\n---\n\n$TSLA also tends to like plus/minus 3/5/10% days, given today's large move I'd suspect a 3-5% movement tmrw (bias towards upside) which would put us around 281-290\n\n---\n\nThis chart prediction is aging well - likely more downside ahead with near-term macro headwinds (FOMC next week) + Q3 delivery shortfall, potential price cuts (MY inventory is high). Seeing lots of option hedging for TSLA to hit 200 and below by mid Jan\n\n---\n\nWeekly update: chart is\ud83c\udfaf- predicted the top within $1 and now providing short-term support around 253-256. If we fall thru here, likely 243 next and we range 243-262 into deliveries (as predicted)\n\n---\n\nWeekly update: within $1 of expected price moving into Q3 deliveries. Unless we beat, expect more movement down in Oct. Will post chart updates next week depending on the report https://t.co/Ca4uiYi8Zs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09167332335415845, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09167332335415845, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08513959658999548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06547426994789696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006533726764162973, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026199053406261497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022296863386701782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022296863386701782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016811297564033545, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013236709378132039, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005485565822668237, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009060154008569743, "ret_p1w": -0.03033843190417851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03033843190417851, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023079721871347103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010900903857982258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258710032831406, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01943752804619625, "ret_p1m": -0.03640614059481728, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03640614059481728, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008806189603404402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02396048549651353, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02759995099141288, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06036662609133081, "ret_p3m": -0.11309302105855779, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11309302105855779, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13850576305166717, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10972644188536707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02541274199310939, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00336657917319072, "ret_p6m": -0.339352239329751, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.339352239329751, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47890517758689266, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38323015598782506, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13955293825714166, "bench_c_p6m": 0.043877916658074056, "price_path": [-0.0614, -0.0646, -0.0477, -0.0477, 0.0032, -0.0516, -0.0328, -0.0621, -0.1189, -0.0854, -0.0634, -0.0588, -0.0432, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0325, 0.0108, 0.0031, -0.0145, -0.0139, -0.0058, 0.0158, 0.0285, 0.0614, 0.0722, 0.0646, -0.039, -0.0496, -0.0165, -0.0303, -0.0337, -0.0653, -0.0261, -0.0225, -0.0457, -0.0712, -0.0521, -0.0721, -0.0809, -0.0873, -0.1147, -0.1032, -0.1131, -0.1236, -0.1485, -0.1754, -0.1987, -0.2123, -0.1546, -0.1476, -0.1342, -0.1591, -0.1279, -0.1271, -0.0599, -0.061, -0.0567, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0625, -0.0792, -0.0807, -0.0917, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0083, 0.009, 0.003, -0.0303, -0.0259, -0.0402, -0.0654, -0.1049, -0.0972, -0.1077, -0.1209, -0.0994, -0.0854, -0.0803, -0.0989, -0.0454, -0.0495, -0.0477, -0.0508, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0538, -0.0821, -0.0719, -0.0685, -0.1129, -0.1954, -0.2251, -0.2248, -0.2086, -0.2236, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2786, -0.2659, -0.2483, -0.2013, -0.196, -0.1985, -0.1879, -0.1881, -0.2325, -0.2154, -0.1823, -0.1322, -0.1124, -0.1462, -0.1436, -0.1388, -0.1184, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.1394, -0.1371, -0.0982, -0.1076, -0.1225, -0.127, -0.1389, -0.1274, -0.125, -0.1131, -0.1087, -0.1237, -0.1337, -0.1253, -0.0824, -0.0734, -0.0786, -0.0598, -0.0966, -0.0697, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.062, -0.0444, -0.0746, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.092, -0.1284, -0.1303, -0.1319, -0.1211, -0.1412, -0.1449, -0.1695, -0.1999, -0.1999, -0.1962, -0.2121, -0.2255, -0.2244, -0.2368, -0.2355, -0.2403, -0.3324, -0.3302, -0.3021, -0.2997, -0.3154, -0.3097, -0.3131, -0.3382, -0.3234, -0.3144, -0.3071, -0.2925, -0.3123, -0.3274, -0.3102, -0.2673, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.2918, -0.2881, -0.2784, -0.2983, -0.2711, -0.2699, -0.2615, -0.2621, -0.2593, -0.3123, -0.3394]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1743135828149501991", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-05T05:02:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect EPS sub 0.70 with those price cuts. I really don't think Musk/Tesla care about earnings and keeping stock price afloat.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects TSLA Q4 EPS below $0.70; bearish on near-term earnings as price cuts and volume-over-margin strategy weigh on results.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl I expect EPS sub 0.70 with those price cuts. I really don\u2019t think Musk/Tesla care about earnings and keeping stock price afloat. Their objective is volume growth. Will be interesting to see with S/X increase in volume + inventory price cuts (and Uber incentive)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla\u2019s Q4-23 eps will fundamentally depend on Tesla\u2019s ability to drive down automotive cost per vehicle. I am optimistic that they have continued to progress here.\n\nThe other component that will determine automotive gross margin is automotive revenue and ASP, ofc. Hard to", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.0018526555747200302, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018526555747200302, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003220420943651492, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003416837713478782, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013677653689314617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015641821387587518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012463646412957496, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012463646412957496, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001812446509309007, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004567868470058967, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014276092922266503, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017031514883016463, "ret_p1w": -0.07831911100802513, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07831911100802513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0970404078720829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08608173871150682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018721296864057768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007762627703481684, "ret_p1m": -0.23761003254595736, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23761003254595736, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29024721954649, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2503547298973423, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05263718700053266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012744697351384948, "ret_p3m": -0.29100172222759424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29100172222759424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.40449093122227664, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33579386679751577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1134892089946824, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04479214456992153, "ret_p6m": -0.11634175857395312, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11634175857395312, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2891903092184648, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18118514353112236, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17284855064451166, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06484338495716924, "price_path": [0.11, 0.1074, 0.09, 0.0574, 0.0692, 0.0731, 0.0219, -0.0732, -0.1074, -0.107, -0.0883, -0.1056, -0.1336, -0.1271, -0.169, -0.1543, -0.134, -0.0799, -0.0738, -0.0767, -0.0645, -0.0648, -0.1158, -0.0962, -0.058, -0.0003, 0.0225, -0.0164, -0.0134, -0.008, 0.0156, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0086, -0.0059, 0.0389, 0.028, 0.0109, 0.0056, -0.008, 0.0052, 0.0079, 0.0217, 0.0267, 0.0095, -0.002, 0.0076, 0.0571, 0.0674, 0.0614, 0.0831, 0.0406, 0.0716, 0.0634, 0.0634, 0.0805, 0.1008, 0.0661, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.046, 0.004, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0125, -0.0107, -0.0149, -0.0432, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.074, -0.0924, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1208, -0.1194, -0.1249, -0.231, -0.2284, -0.1961, -0.1933, -0.2114, -0.2048, -0.2088, -0.2376, -0.2206, -0.2102, -0.2018, -0.1849, -0.2078, -0.2251, -0.2054, -0.156, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1841, -0.1799, -0.1688, -0.1917, -0.1604, -0.159, -0.1493, -0.1499, -0.1467, -0.2078, -0.239, -0.2566, -0.2478, -0.2617, -0.2515, -0.2524, -0.2864, -0.3158, -0.3113, -0.2682, -0.2786, -0.2603, -0.2723, -0.2807, -0.2731, -0.2519, -0.2428, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2622, -0.2984, -0.291, -0.2795, -0.3057, -0.2716, -0.2552, -0.2768, -0.2648, -0.2798, -0.3201, -0.3385, -0.3454, -0.3687, -0.3808, -0.4019, -0.3908, -0.3173, -0.2834, -0.2914, -0.1829, -0.2283, -0.2421, -0.242, -0.2371, -0.222, -0.2513, -0.2643, -0.2759, -0.2906, -0.2762, -0.2524, -0.2674, -0.2638, -0.2528, -0.2633, -0.2143, -0.2416, -0.2684, -0.2453, -0.2453, -0.2558, -0.2581, -0.2472, -0.2502, -0.2577, -0.2641, -0.2631, -0.2507, -0.2527, -0.2682, -0.2814, -0.2535, -0.2317, -0.2505, -0.2107, -0.2216, -0.2216, -0.2355, -0.2294, -0.2312, -0.2111, -0.1731, -0.1687, -0.1668, -0.1163]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1749513443684835440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-22T19:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A full candle close below weekly/monthly clouds will be extremely bad for the stock's rebound potential. RSI/MACD also very bearish. not abnormal for $TSLA to trade sub 30 RSI for an extended period before further downside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA into earnings: ichi cloud breakdown, weekly/monthly MACD crossovers down, sub-30 RSI can persist before further downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA ichi clouds aren't looking good going into earnings. D/W/M from left>right. A full candle close below weekly/monthly clouds will be extremely bad for the stock's rebound potential.\n\nRSI/MACD also very bearish. In the last 2 months, we've had MACD on weekly/monthly crossovers to downside. \n\nDaily RSI is oversold, yes - but not abnormal for $TSLA to trade sub 30 RSI for an extended period before further downside.  This happened 3 times in 2022 on the way down to $101.81", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016235629023473308, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016235629023473308, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01834538703208277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011813291158075057, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021097580086094636, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044223378653982515, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016283349277841364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016283349277841364, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012882383379684281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004040308131376236, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029165732657525645, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024119732035920993, "ret_p1w": -0.08558433963023893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08558433963023893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10175975640587342, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08598639470142411, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0161754167756345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00040205507118518113, "ret_p1m": -0.07203069121217265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07203069121217265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09956190787323527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09046646121773905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02753121666106262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0184357700055664, "ret_p3m": -0.28194449001700317, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28194449001700317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3183951048025755, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2676616220372603, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03645061478557232, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014282867979742875, "ret_p6m": 0.22873560253252045, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22873560253252045, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.052930434763722944, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10569460515016504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1758051677687975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12304099738235541, "price_path": [0.0173, -0.0146, -0.0072, -0.0548, -0.0381, -0.015, 0.0465, 0.0534, 0.0501, 0.0641, 0.0637, 0.0057, 0.028, 0.0714, 0.137, 0.163, 0.1187, 0.1221, 0.1284, 0.1552, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1276, 0.1307, 0.1816, 0.1693, 0.1498, 0.1438, 0.1283, 0.1433, 0.1464, 0.1621, 0.1678, 0.1482, 0.1351, 0.146, 0.2023, 0.2141, 0.2073, 0.2319, 0.1836, 0.2189, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.229, 0.2521, 0.2125, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1898, 0.142, 0.1395, 0.1374, 0.1516, 0.1253, 0.1204, 0.0882, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0532, 0.0323, 0.0148, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0046, -0.1253, -0.1224, -0.0856, -0.0824, -0.103, -0.0955, -0.1, -0.1329, -0.1135, -0.1016, -0.0921, -0.0729, -0.099, -0.1187, -0.0962, -0.04, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.072, -0.0672, -0.0545, -0.0806, -0.045, -0.0434, -0.0324, -0.0331, -0.0295, -0.0989, -0.1344, -0.1545, -0.1444, -0.1602, -0.1486, -0.1497, -0.1883, -0.2217, -0.2166, -0.1676, -0.1795, -0.1587, -0.1723, -0.1818, -0.1732, -0.1491, -0.1387, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1608, -0.202, -0.1936, -0.1805, -0.2102, -0.1716, -0.1529, -0.1774, -0.1638, -0.1808, -0.2266, -0.2476, -0.2555, -0.2819, -0.2957, -0.3197, -0.3071, -0.2235, -0.185, -0.194, -0.0706, -0.1222, -0.138, -0.1379, -0.1322, -0.1151, -0.1484, -0.1632, -0.1764, -0.1932, -0.1768, -0.1497, -0.1667, -0.1626, -0.1501, -0.1621, -0.1063, -0.1374, -0.1679, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1535, -0.1562, -0.1437, -0.1471, -0.1557, -0.163, -0.1619, -0.1478, -0.15, -0.1677, -0.1827, -0.1509, -0.1261, -0.1475, -0.1023, -0.1147, -0.1147, -0.1304, -0.1235, -0.1256, -0.1027, -0.0595, -0.0545, -0.0523, 0.0051, 0.1076, 0.18, 0.18, 0.2046, 0.2114, 0.2564, 0.2608, 0.1544, 0.1888, 0.21, 0.2287]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1750679094503858525", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-26T00:36:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went short/hedged from 250+. Still respect your analysis long term. Expected this from Musk and co. on the call. 2024 demand gap year w no guidance", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short/hedged TSLA from 250+; bearish on 2024 demand gap and lack of guidance from management.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech @CNN @CNNBusiness I usually agree with you but your recent bullish takes I had to disagree with. Nothing wrong with that, but I went short/hedged from 250+. Still respect your analysis long term. Expected this from Musk and co. on the call. 2024 demand gap year w no guidance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We were dead wrong expecting Musk and team to step up like adults in the room on the call and give a strategic and financial overview of the ongoing price cuts, margin structure, and fluctuating demand,\u201d he wrote in a note Thursday\n\ud83d\udc47\n\nhttps://t.co/H0Ywkh0rY8 @CNN @CNNBusiness", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": -0.003383329425306947, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003383329425306947, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00465529202673709, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00116009994271693, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012719626014301433, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004543429368023877, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04190991910385411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04190991910385411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033990631438938435, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02728982604516017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007919287664915675, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01462009305869394, "ret_p1w": 0.025429760775494525, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025429760775494525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011191384008475858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00742201783462848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014238376767018668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032851778610123006, "ret_p1m": 0.08813093531505789, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08813093531505789, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05001130147764887, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028892902168366597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03811963383740902, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059238033146691293, "ret_p3m": -0.115252360803206, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.115252360803206, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15540387946389, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13208266803674362, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040151518660684005, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016830307233537622, "ret_p6m": 0.37249655938246073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37249655938246073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22732465174865224, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26169157206252525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1451719076338085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11080498731993549, "price_path": [0.096, 0.1223, 0.1924, 0.2003, 0.1966, 0.2124, 0.2121, 0.1459, 0.1714, 0.2208, 0.2956, 0.3252, 0.2747, 0.2786, 0.2857, 0.3162, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.2849, 0.2883, 0.3464, 0.3323, 0.3101, 0.3033, 0.2856, 0.3027, 0.3062, 0.3241, 0.3306, 0.3083, 0.2934, 0.3058, 0.37, 0.3834, 0.3756, 0.4037, 0.3486, 0.3888, 0.3781, 0.3781, 0.4003, 0.4267, 0.3816, 0.356, 0.356, 0.3556, 0.3012, 0.2984, 0.296, 0.3121, 0.2822, 0.2766, 0.2399, 0.1945, 0.1945, 0.2001, 0.1763, 0.1562, 0.1579, 0.1394, 0.1413, 0.1341, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0455, 0.022, 0.0306, 0.0254, -0.012, 0.0101, 0.0236, 0.0344, 0.0563, 0.0266, 0.0042, 0.0298, 0.0939, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0574, 0.0629, 0.0773, 0.0476, 0.0881, 0.0899, 0.1025, 0.1017, 0.1058, 0.0267, -0.0137, -0.0366, -0.0251, -0.0432, -0.0299, -0.0312, -0.0751, -0.1132, -0.1074, -0.0516, -0.0651, -0.0414, -0.0569, -0.0678, -0.058, -0.0305, -0.0187, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0438, -0.0907, -0.0811, -0.0662, -0.1001, -0.056, -0.0348, -0.0627, -0.0472, -0.0666, -0.1188, -0.1426, -0.1517, -0.1818, -0.1975, -0.2248, -0.2105, -0.1153, -0.0713, -0.0816, 0.0589, 0.0002, -0.0178, -0.0177, -0.0112, 0.0082, -0.0297, -0.0465, -0.0616, -0.0807, -0.062, -0.0311, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.0316, -0.0453, 0.0183, -0.0171, -0.0519, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0355, -0.0385, -0.0243, -0.0282, -0.038, -0.0463, -0.045, -0.029, -0.0315, -0.0516, -0.0687, -0.0325, -0.0043, -0.0286, 0.0229, 0.0088, 0.0088, -0.0092, -0.0013, -0.0037, 0.0224, 0.0716, 0.0773, 0.0798, 0.1452, 0.262, 0.3446, 0.3446, 0.3726, 0.3803, 0.4315, 0.4366, 0.3153, 0.3546, 0.3787, 0.4001, 0.3561, 0.3601, 0.3053, 0.3725]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1748217670057721910", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-19T05:35:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably go into earnings around $220ish and drop to 200 is my best guess. I still expect $146 gap filled by end of year though.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA: expects drop to ~$200 post-earnings and $146 gap fill by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rtmasse @Mr_Derivatives TSLA -10% right after past 4 earnings. It\u2019ll be more clear once we form the B correction wave. Probably go into earnings around $220ish and drop to 200 is my best guess. I still expect $146 gap filled by end of year though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @Mr_Derivatives Where do you see it going?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rtmasse", "ret_m1d": -0.0014609432820914536, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014609432820914536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010851794138497017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008087922681157433, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012312737420588471, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009548865963248887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015976244642273096, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015976244642273096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018090463140290725, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011573377741884605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002114218498017628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004402866900388491, "ret_p1w": -0.1363872100873258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1363872100873258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14671000686423952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11803287706133392, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010322796776913723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018354333025991876, "ret_p1m": -0.057684176220997974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057684176220997974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09308821997018268, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08129902783907539, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03540404374918471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023614851618077415, "ret_p3m": -0.26740187963771833, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26740187963771833, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30818536051092116, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2549105375097357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040783480873202826, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012491342127982641, "ret_p6m": 0.19063102164491452, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19063102164491452, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.019286114914729202, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09223180549908361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17134490673018532, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09839921614583091, "price_path": [0.0204, 0.0011, -0.0303, -0.023, -0.0699, -0.0535, -0.0308, 0.0298, 0.0366, 0.0334, 0.0471, 0.0468, -0.0104, 0.0116, 0.0543, 0.1189, 0.1444, 0.1009, 0.1042, 0.1103, 0.1367, 0.1038, 0.1038, 0.1096, 0.1126, 0.1627, 0.1506, 0.1314, 0.1255, 0.1102, 0.125, 0.1281, 0.1435, 0.1492, 0.1298, 0.117, 0.1277, 0.1831, 0.1947, 0.188, 0.2122, 0.1647, 0.1994, 0.1902, 0.1902, 0.2093, 0.2321, 0.1932, 0.171, 0.171, 0.1707, 0.1238, 0.1213, 0.1192, 0.1332, 0.1073, 0.1025, 0.0708, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0364, 0.0158, -0.0015, 0.0, -0.016, -0.0144, -0.0205, -0.1393, -0.1364, -0.1002, -0.0971, -0.1173, -0.1099, -0.1144, -0.1467, -0.1277, -0.116, -0.1066, -0.0878, -0.1134, -0.1328, -0.1107, -0.0553, -0.0577, -0.0577, -0.0869, -0.0821, -0.0697, -0.0953, -0.0603, -0.0587, -0.0478, -0.0486, -0.045, -0.1133, -0.1482, -0.168, -0.1581, -0.1737, -0.1622, -0.1633, -0.2013, -0.2342, -0.2291, -0.1809, -0.1926, -0.1722, -0.1855, -0.1949, -0.1864, -0.1627, -0.1525, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1742, -0.2147, -0.2065, -0.1936, -0.2229, -0.1848, -0.1664, -0.1905, -0.1772, -0.1939, -0.239, -0.2596, -0.2674, -0.2934, -0.307, -0.3306, -0.3182, -0.2359, -0.198, -0.2069, -0.0855, -0.1362, -0.1518, -0.1517, -0.1461, -0.1293, -0.162, -0.1766, -0.1895, -0.206, -0.1899, -0.1632, -0.18, -0.176, -0.1637, -0.1755, -0.1206, -0.1512, -0.1812, -0.1553, -0.1553, -0.167, -0.1697, -0.1574, -0.1608, -0.1692, -0.1764, -0.1753, -0.1614, -0.1636, -0.181, -0.1957, -0.1645, -0.1401, -0.1611, -0.1166, -0.1288, -0.1288, -0.1443, -0.1375, -0.1395, -0.1171, -0.0746, -0.0696, -0.0674, -0.011, 0.0899, 0.1612, 0.1612, 0.1854, 0.192, 0.2363, 0.2407, 0.1359, 0.1698, 0.1906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1590080149760135174", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-11-08T20:33:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "could be forming a diamond bottom between 187 and 237 which would imply around $262 (gap target) by EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA potentially forming diamond bottom pattern with ~$262 gap target by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA is currently being driven by traders and could be forming a diamond bottom between 187 and 237 which would imply around $262 (gap target) by EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030214316189702606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030214316189702606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035580875200922346, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027717999809488303, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00536655901121974, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002496316380214303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07166757185130745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07166757185130745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05106547043528864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04112435918057922, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020602101416018814, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030543212670728237, "ret_p1w": 0.016309435794119365, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016309435794119365, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02685794830577004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.046392701398200176, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.043167384099889405, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06270213719231954, "ret_p1m": -0.09022482744527272, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09022482744527272, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11943930880794318, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10858010853202138, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029214481362670464, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018355281086748665, "ret_p3m": -0.006900194998228026, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006900194998228026, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09130727825670382, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12117936025996123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08440708325847579, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1142791652617332, "ret_p6m": -0.16042865630850411, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16042865630850411, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23754367227599082, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23409516285125942, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07711501596748671, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0736665065427553, "price_path": [0.4983, 0.5684, 0.6169, 0.6025, 0.5891, 0.5832, 0.5508, 0.5155, 0.5497, 0.553, 0.5477, 0.506, 0.4889, 0.4516, 0.4407, 0.4488, 0.4125, 0.4125, 0.4345, 0.483, 0.5121, 0.5665, 0.5913, 0.5271, 0.5819, 0.5878, 0.5857, 0.6156, 0.6139, 0.5724, 0.5086, 0.4393, 0.4428, 0.479, 0.5045, 0.402, 0.3866, 0.2671, 0.3039, 0.2588, 0.2448, 0.1661, 0.1655, 0.1317, 0.1356, 0.159, 0.0716, 0.1466, 0.151, 0.1607, 0.0835, 0.121, 0.1043, 0.1627, 0.1743, 0.1766, 0.1946, 0.1894, 0.1909, 0.1238, 0.1255, 0.0845, 0.0302, 0.0, -0.0717, -0.003, 0.0244, -0.0018, 0.0163, -0.0229, -0.0425, -0.0581, -0.1225, -0.1118, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.0441, -0.0438, -0.0547, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.0186, -0.0463, -0.06, -0.0902, -0.0934, -0.064, -0.1227, -0.1587, -0.1803, -0.1758, -0.2147, -0.2166, -0.2797, -0.2809, -0.3447, -0.3562, -0.3562, -0.4297, -0.4108, -0.3632, -0.3561, -0.3561, -0.4349, -0.406, -0.4232, -0.409, -0.3739, -0.3787, -0.3559, -0.3541, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3127, -0.3268, -0.3352, -0.3026, -0.2486, -0.2478, -0.245, -0.1622, -0.07, -0.1288, -0.0945, -0.0517, -0.0158, -0.0069, 0.0181, 0.0288, 0.0522, 0.0837, 0.0292, 0.0175, 0.0938, 0.1199, 0.0561, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0317, 0.05, 0.0563, 0.0292, 0.0854, 0.0753, 0.06, -0.0021, 0.0339, 0.0131, -0.0188, -0.0486, -0.0961, -0.0934, -0.0879, -0.042, -0.0567, -0.0375, -0.0584, -0.0421, 0.0328, -0.0008, 0.0048, -0.0047, 0.0027, -0.011, 0.0135, 0.0208, 0.0845, 0.0181, 0.0067, -0.0302, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0355, -0.0236, -0.0562, -0.0282, -0.0329, -0.0223, -0.0365, -0.056, -0.148, -0.1371, -0.1503, -0.1601, -0.1963, -0.1626, -0.1411, -0.1541, -0.162, -0.1604]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1463940838287822878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-25T18:41:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA shorts also never understood software advantages thinking legacy auto can suddenly switch their platoons of mechanical engineers into software engineers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: shorts miss its software moat; legacy auto cannot easily retrain mechanical engineers as software engineers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 $TSLA shorts also never understood software advantages thinking legacy auto can suddenly switch their platoons of mechanical engineers into software engineers", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA shorts never got the uniqueness of the Tesla brand as creator of the EV category. I have tried warning HF PMs shorting TSLA to research Tesla\u2019s brand equity as EV creator, given consumer anxiety about range, charging, tech, etc. Most have no idea what I am talking about.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030537595031082, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030537595031082, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008234492220105083, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0032722852339945874, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022303102810976916, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02726530979708741, "ret_p1w": -0.028136222593245996, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028136222593245996, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0024887158895353645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0013217226646576874, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025647506703710632, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029457945257903684, "ret_p1m": -0.04390683738134238, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04390683738134238, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04990001524275922, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013897013534613367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005993177861416843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03000982384672901, "ret_p3m": -0.2638620356077789, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2638620356077789, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18214609313780505, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09808516963013847, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08171594246997382, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1657768659776404, "ret_p6m": -0.4051075186780704, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4051075186780704, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24059999720977188, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07642798128933448, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1645075214682985, "bench_c_p6m": -0.3286795373887359, "price_path": [-0.3451, -0.3408, -0.3422, -0.3437, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.3253, -0.3245, -0.3236, -0.3403, -0.3342, -0.3329, -0.3227, -0.3217, -0.3195, -0.3457, -0.3375, -0.3262, -0.3247, -0.3061, -0.2909, -0.3033, -0.2999, -0.3051, -0.3054, -0.2997, -0.3005, -0.2986, -0.2889, -0.2962, -0.2904, -0.278, -0.2732, -0.2667, -0.2446, -0.2203, -0.2256, -0.2242, -0.1989, -0.1849, -0.0817, -0.0874, -0.07, -0.0349, -0.0018, 0.083, 0.0502, 0.0877, 0.1021, 0.0951, 0.0421, -0.0829, -0.0431, -0.047, -0.074, -0.0919, -0.0549, -0.0242, -0.0176, 0.0189, 0.0366, -0.0062, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0305, 0.0188, 0.0258, -0.0188, -0.0281, -0.0905, -0.0959, -0.0576, -0.0422, -0.1005, -0.0887, -0.134, -0.1411, -0.1255, -0.1694, -0.1644, -0.1936, -0.159, -0.096, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0198, -0.0247, -0.0267, -0.0409, -0.0531, 0.0751, 0.0301, -0.025, -0.046, -0.0798, -0.0519, -0.0462, -0.0088, -0.0757, -0.0595, -0.0595, -0.0766, -0.1078, -0.1073, -0.1542, -0.1667, -0.1771, -0.16, -0.2571, -0.2416, -0.1606, -0.1655, -0.1885, -0.2015, -0.1727, -0.187, -0.1738, -0.1649, -0.1895, -0.2294, -0.2153, -0.1734, -0.1726, -0.2147, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.2639, -0.3154, -0.2825, -0.2743, -0.22, -0.2255, -0.2116, -0.2479, -0.2488, -0.2791, -0.2613, -0.2303, -0.2488, -0.2873, -0.3133, -0.2815, -0.2471, -0.219, -0.1887, -0.1746, -0.1093, -0.1047, -0.0915, -0.0944, -0.0216, -0.0147, -0.0197, -0.0344, -0.0281, 0.0264, -0.0222, -0.0629, -0.0526, -0.0811, -0.1255, -0.1156, -0.0839, -0.1174, -0.1174, -0.1001, -0.0787, -0.1244, -0.0961, -0.0994, -0.1057, -0.2147, -0.2101, -0.2137, -0.2197, -0.1909, -0.1853, -0.1464, -0.2175, -0.2243, -0.2947, -0.2831, -0.3423, -0.3477, -0.3104, -0.3509, -0.3176, -0.364, -0.3643, -0.4051]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1457820039537577985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-08T21:19:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "125 after averaging up. Bought up to $650", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds TSLA with $125 cost basis, averaged up to $650; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stevenmarkryan 125 after averaging up. Bought up to $650", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What's your $TSLA cost basis?\n\nAfter today's buying I'm at $158. Cost basis has about doubled in the last year or so. Still buying, still cheap IMO. If I keep this up it may crack $1,000 eventually.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stevenmarkryan", "ret_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05171533681468876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036506002113225744, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008528466691211101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014356488032341908, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11659770651303447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10141737857082345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003305326030563993, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018485653972775018, "ret_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12539779214284408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10626948911138923, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0031987115431505453, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022327014574605397, "ret_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0942250416220487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08778474159074345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.001386057566561738, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007826357597866984, "ret_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18944502459241241, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09590885192004117, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04427298127198842, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13780915394435966, "ret_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11196958981075811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012069287389383287, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10617577572077974, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20607607814215456, "price_path": [-0.3914, -0.3789, -0.3833, -0.41, -0.4276, -0.4075, -0.4209, -0.4151, -0.3927, -0.3908, -0.3884, -0.3971, -0.3878, -0.3715, -0.3674, -0.3688, -0.3702, -0.3692, -0.3692, -0.3526, -0.3518, -0.3509, -0.3669, -0.3611, -0.3598, -0.3501, -0.3491, -0.3469, -0.3721, -0.3642, -0.3534, -0.352, -0.3341, -0.3195, -0.3314, -0.3282, -0.3332, -0.3334, -0.328, -0.3288, -0.3269, -0.3176, -0.3246, -0.319, -0.3072, -0.3026, -0.2963, -0.2751, -0.2518, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2313, -0.2178, -0.1187, -0.1243, -0.1076, -0.0739, -0.0421, 0.0393, 0.0078, 0.0438, 0.0576, 0.0509, 0.0, -0.1199, -0.0817, -0.0855, -0.1114, -0.1286, -0.093, -0.0636, -0.0572, -0.0223, -0.0052, -0.0464, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0697, -0.0223, -0.0156, -0.0584, -0.0674, -0.1272, -0.1324, -0.0956, -0.0808, -0.1368, -0.1255, -0.169, -0.1758, -0.1608, -0.203, -0.1981, -0.2262, -0.193, -0.1325, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0593, -0.064, -0.066, -0.0796, -0.0913, 0.0317, -0.0115, -0.0643, -0.0845, -0.1169, -0.0901, -0.0847, -0.0488, -0.113, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1139, -0.1439, -0.1433, -0.1884, -0.2003, -0.2103, -0.1939, -0.2871, -0.2722, -0.1945, -0.1992, -0.2212, -0.2337, -0.206, -0.2198, -0.2072, -0.1986, -0.2222, -0.2605, -0.2469, -0.2068, -0.206, -0.2464, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.2936, -0.343, -0.3114, -0.3036, -0.2515, -0.2567, -0.2434, -0.2783, -0.2792, -0.3082, -0.2911, -0.2614, -0.2792, -0.3161, -0.341, -0.3105, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2215, -0.2079, -0.1453, -0.1409, -0.1281, -0.131, -0.0611, -0.0545, -0.0593, -0.0734, -0.0674, -0.015, -0.0616, -0.1008, -0.0909, -0.1182, -0.1608, -0.1513, -0.1209, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1364, -0.1159, -0.1597, -0.1326, -0.1358, -0.1418, -0.2464, -0.242, -0.2454, -0.2512, -0.2236, -0.2181]}
{"unit_id": "orig:958480147392339968", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2018-01-30T23:20:49+00:00", "symbol": "ZRX-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ZRX top 5 market cap crypto", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2018 predictions: ZRX reaches top-5 crypto market cap; TSLA breaks $500.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZRX-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My predictions for #2018 - $ZRX top 5 market cap crypto; $TSLA breaks $500 USD; InVision Studio dethrones Adobe and Sketch; VGK lose to NSH in conference finals; NSH beats TBL for Stanley Cup", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16235600105239723, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16235600105239723, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.151992141217264, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010363859835133216, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.16136365099765837, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16136365099765837, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.16086662380846217, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004970271891961975, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.35969552358332557, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.35969552358332557, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3148702300554834, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04482529352784215, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.4239514250113843, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4239514250113843, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3880699751637534, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.035881449847630864, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3307540767288596, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3307540767288596, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28059666222516566, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05015741450369393, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2632428268754211, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2632428268754211, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27980998965865533, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016567162783234224, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, -0.8552, -0.8761, -0.8764, -0.8749, -0.8758, -0.8806, -0.885, -0.8737, -0.8777, -0.856, -0.864, -0.8529, -0.8536, -0.8583, -0.8802, -0.8815, -0.8732, -0.8596, -0.8627, -0.837, -0.8347, -0.8319, -0.8523, -0.8349, -0.7846, -0.7617, -0.7743, -0.6786, -0.6457, -0.6388, -0.6366, -0.6866, -0.5626, -0.5932, -0.5794, -0.5938, -0.5704, -0.4487, -0.4368, -0.388, -0.3435, -0.2978, 0.2025, 0.3621, 0.3493, 0.1632, 0.3945, 0.0973, -0.0155, -0.0454, 0.0353, 0.1399, 0.0529, -0.0036, 0.0431, 0.0207, 0.279, 0.1624, 0.0, 0.1614, 0.0065, -0.1858, -0.4868, -0.3597, -0.3761, -0.3257, -0.2848, -0.3532, -0.3921, -0.3253, -0.1202, -0.1889, -0.2603, -0.3635, -0.4075, -0.4323, -0.3851, -0.3516, -0.3763, -0.424, -0.3955, -0.4109, -0.4425, -0.5073, -0.5625, -0.5969, -0.5947, -0.6051, -0.6262, -0.6744, -0.6947, -0.6835, -0.708, -0.6642, -0.6344, -0.6367, -0.6519, -0.586, -0.5995, -0.6019, -0.6637, -0.6775, -0.6661, -0.6258, -0.6724, -0.6572, -0.674, -0.6617, -0.6485, -0.6225, -0.5661, -0.5707, -0.5301, -0.4768, -0.4212, -0.4279, -0.3798, -0.3706, -0.2605, -0.3689, -0.2832, -0.3308, -0.26, -0.2462, -0.174, -0.0764, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.0908, 0.0833, 0.1722, 0.0522, -0.024, -0.0642, -0.138, -0.2147, -0.18, -0.1601, -0.2742, -0.1564, -0.144, -0.1973, -0.3495, -0.2141, -0.2241, -0.1944, -0.2135, -0.2189, -0.2049, -0.1621, -0.1891, -0.1995, -0.3298, -0.432, -0.484, -0.406, -0.4477, -0.4525, -0.4481, -0.4486, -0.4666, -0.5371, -0.557, -0.6068, -0.5966, -0.6187, -0.5852, -0.4028, -0.4398, -0.4034, -0.3711, -0.3629, -0.4269, -0.4859, -0.4727, -0.5122, -0.3861, -0.2722, -0.218, -0.2384, -0.2143, -0.334, -0.2879, -0.3, -0.2632]}
{"unit_id": "orig:958480147392339968", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2018-01-30T23:20:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA breaks $500 USD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2018 predictions: ZRX reaches top-5 crypto market cap; TSLA breaks $500.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My predictions for #2018 - $ZRX top 5 market cap crypto; $TSLA breaks $500 USD; InVision Studio dethrones Adobe and Sketch; VGK lose to NSH in conference finals; NSH beats TBL for Stanley Cup", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010728132909913146, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010728132909913146, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00036427307477993054, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005735679242639735, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010363859835133216, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004992453667273411, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024550343604870628, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024550343604870628, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02405331641567443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027786275220931245, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004970271891961975, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032359316160606166, "ret_p1w": -0.03426633855328143, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03426633855328143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01055895497456072, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001721848025236672, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04482529352784215, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032544490528044756, "ret_p1m": -0.007981031306865005, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007981031306865005, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02790041854076586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02983325445650964, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.035881449847630864, "bench_c_p1m": -0.037814285763374644, "ret_p3m": -0.149615401638995, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.149615401638995, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09945798713530107, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11500489969428229, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05015741450369393, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03461050194471271, "ret_p6m": -0.10722341700390126, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10722341700390126, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12379057978713548, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15333779062010455, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016567162783234224, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0461143736162033, "price_path": [-0.1346, -0.1149, -0.1245, -0.115, -0.1198, -0.1239, -0.1239, -0.088, -0.1073, -0.0998, -0.0964, -0.089, -0.1072, -0.081, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0875, -0.0839, -0.0817, -0.1107, -0.1069, -0.1136, -0.1175, -0.1218, -0.0942, -0.1, -0.0887, -0.0489, -0.0139, -0.0196, -0.0229, -0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0426, -0.0487, -0.0409, -0.0596, -0.0596, -0.0825, -0.0988, -0.0881, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0731, -0.0826, -0.0902, -0.0846, -0.0272, -0.0351, -0.0319, -0.0228, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0167, 0.0039, -0.0036, 0.0121, 0.0166, 0.0202, 0.0002, -0.0237, -0.0086, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0246, 0.0099, -0.006, -0.0367, -0.0343, -0.0024, -0.0885, -0.1024, -0.087, -0.0641, -0.068, -0.034, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.032, -0.0362, 0.001, 0.018, 0.0335, 0.0149, -0.008, -0.0431, -0.0309, -0.0361, -0.051, -0.0391, -0.0483, -0.0539, -0.0009, -0.0115, -0.0555, -0.0585, -0.0708, -0.0933, -0.102, -0.0847, -0.1062, -0.128, -0.1204, -0.1927, -0.2546, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2699, -0.2264, -0.1703, -0.116, -0.1345, -0.1624, -0.1189, -0.1298, -0.1496, -0.1315, -0.1579, -0.1681, -0.1517, -0.1323, -0.1607, -0.1806, -0.1803, -0.1883, -0.1745, -0.1496, -0.1501, -0.1327, -0.1292, -0.1775, -0.1496, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1127, -0.118, -0.1294, -0.1557, -0.1782, -0.1716, -0.1772, -0.1995, -0.1773, -0.2048, -0.193, -0.1965, -0.1937, -0.1937, -0.1795, -0.1564, -0.1767, -0.1562, -0.1419, -0.1581, -0.0761, -0.086, -0.0814, -0.0397, -0.0088, -0.003, 0.0344, 0.0357, 0.0723, 0.0195, 0.0474, 0.0049, -0.0352, -0.037, -0.011, -0.0038, 0.0119, -0.0083, -0.0311, -0.1011, -0.1011, -0.106, -0.1068, -0.079, -0.0675, -0.0777, -0.0842, -0.0779, -0.1033, -0.0669, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0932, -0.1232, -0.1399, -0.1072]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775151574916149306", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T13:21:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We're on a fast track to 130s. Q1 EPS might even be negative.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA on disastrous delivery print and China concerns; sees price heading to the 130s with possible negative Q1 EPS.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Disastrous print. No way to spin this. China is a real concern for TSLA. We\u2019re on a fast track to 130s. Q1 EPS might even be negative.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA (-7% pre-mkt) delivered 386.8K vehicles in 1Q -8.5% YoY and it\u2019s first YoY decline since Covid in 2020 2Q.  This was far below consensus 1Q of 431K.  We expect analysts to reduce vol and eps estimates for FY\u201924.  This will renew the narrative about TSLA\u2019s 60x 2024 P/E with https://t.co/uoRc39z1uR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1741562205504684530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-31T20:49:21+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long $NVDA and short $TSLA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: long NVDA, short TSLA \u2014 author confirms this position aged well and remains in the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA investors expecting the fed to drop rates 2x more than the fed\u2019s guidance, ask yourself: the only way this happens is if we are approaching a hard landing, which inherently suggests a recession. Both a recession or elevated rates (450bps as guided by fed) outcome are not enough to stimulate demand to 2.3m+ and bearish if anything. A soft landing would be undeniably bullish for Tesla but this will take time to confirm (likely beyond 2024).\n\nMy take: 2024 is a demand pocket year for $TSLA with bad macro backdrop continuation. We have multiple model refreshes happening concurrently, CT ramp (challenging and slow like model X), EPS + vol growth decline, $TSLA energy bright spot, Optimus advancing faster than many expected, FSD many false dawns but improving. Bottom line: the bull narrative isn\u2019t as strong as it was 2020-21 *but* long term (2026+) is still intact. \n\nKeep an eye on $TSLA 2.1 PEG - currently not great vs $NVDA in mag7. Elon will sacrifice EPS for vol growth to sustain Tesla\u2019s mission. Nothing wrong with this plan, but at 2.1 PEG, don\u2019t expect much upside for the stock price.\n\n---\n\nThis aged nicely and profitably going long $NVDA and short $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02734129887683512, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02734129887683512, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02174504522055387, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006398042681929117, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005596253656281247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.033739341558764235, "ret_p1w": 0.05514737478440468, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05514737478440468, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056640927385870676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07178828459543685, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014935526014659972, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016640909811032167, "ret_p1m": 0.2675983429272921, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2675983429272921, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23481961664747564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18914010041991713, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.032778726279816484, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07845824250737499, "ret_p3m": 0.8246484902107398, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8246484902107398, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7207473287045891, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5380355258114677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1039011615061507, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2866129643992721, "ret_p6m": 1.5464700338670614, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5464700338670614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.392936534093776, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.049529470046004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15353349977328534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.49694056382105734, "price_path": [-0.1108, -0.0977, -0.076, -0.0859, -0.0753, -0.0549, -0.0521, -0.0821, -0.0693, -0.1128, -0.148, -0.1499, -0.1643, -0.1323, -0.1184, -0.1564, -0.1858, -0.1823, -0.1689, -0.1766, -0.1454, -0.1216, -0.0913, -0.0762, -0.0721, -0.0596, -0.052, -0.0241, -0.0183, 0.0026, -0.0129, -0.0009, -0.0046, 0.0178, 0.0084, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0353, -0.0259, -0.0344, -0.028, -0.0557, -0.0558, -0.0811, -0.0597, -0.0812, -0.0591, -0.0407, -0.0585, -0.0377, -0.029, -0.0237, -0.0128, 0.0112, 0.0017, -0.0285, -0.0107, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0049, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0273, -0.0394, -0.0308, -0.0086, 0.0551, 0.0731, 0.0975, 0.107, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1385, 0.1319, 0.1532, 0.2013, 0.2046, 0.209, 0.2391, 0.2442, 0.2324, 0.2614, 0.2676, 0.2424, 0.2727, 0.336, 0.4, 0.3776, 0.4155, 0.4063, 0.4566, 0.4589, 0.4565, 0.4923, 0.4672, 0.4663, 0.4663, 0.4024, 0.3625, 0.5859, 0.5916, 0.5971, 0.5892, 0.5683, 0.5975, 0.6615, 0.7212, 0.736, 0.7912, 0.8714, 0.7675, 0.7321, 0.8561, 0.8354, 0.7759, 0.7738, 0.7863, 0.8053, 0.825, 0.8464, 0.9041, 0.9185, 0.8692, 0.8225, 0.8246, 0.8246, 0.8248, 0.8064, 0.7965, 0.7348, 0.7772, 0.7596, 0.7236, 0.7577, 0.8299, 0.7808, 0.7367, 0.7653, 0.697, 0.7098, 0.5388, 0.6058, 0.6644, 0.609, 0.6687, 0.7717, 0.7722, 0.7448, 0.6769, 0.733, 0.793, 0.8607, 0.8286, 0.8258, 0.7922, 0.815, 0.8255, 0.8448, 0.911, 0.9055, 0.8675, 0.914, 0.9262, 0.9174, 1.0961, 1.15, 1.15, 1.3001, 1.3188, 1.2314, 1.2139, 1.3223, 1.3513, 1.4726, 1.4434, 1.4412, 1.4594, 1.4419, 1.5285, 1.6176, 1.6634, 1.6452, 1.7381, 1.7381, 1.6412, 1.5562, 1.3853, 1.5465]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1741562205504684530", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-12-31T20:49:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long $NVDA and short $TSLA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: long NVDA, short TSLA \u2014 author confirms this position aged well and remains in the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA investors expecting the fed to drop rates 2x more than the fed\u2019s guidance, ask yourself: the only way this happens is if we are approaching a hard landing, which inherently suggests a recession. Both a recession or elevated rates (450bps as guided by fed) outcome are not enough to stimulate demand to 2.3m+ and bearish if anything. A soft landing would be undeniably bullish for Tesla but this will take time to confirm (likely beyond 2024).\n\nMy take: 2024 is a demand pocket year for $TSLA with bad macro backdrop continuation. We have multiple model refreshes happening concurrently, CT ramp (challenging and slow like model X), EPS + vol growth decline, $TSLA energy bright spot, Optimus advancing faster than many expected, FSD many false dawns but improving. Bottom line: the bull narrative isn\u2019t as strong as it was 2020-21 *but* long term (2026+) is still intact. \n\nKeep an eye on $TSLA 2.1 PEG - currently not great vs $NVDA in mag7. Elon will sacrifice EPS for vol growth to sustain Tesla\u2019s mission. Nothing wrong with this plan, but at 2.1 PEG, don\u2019t expect much upside for the stock price.\n\n---\n\nThis aged nicely and profitably going long $NVDA and short $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002414583049958896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002414583049958896, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0053547953512853574, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009042153141866738, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005596253656281247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009283611446862627, "ret_p1w": -0.032316479867062875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032316479867062875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030822927265596878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014140679557455571, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014935526014659972, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018175800309607304, "ret_p1m": -0.22895202981260887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22895202981260887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26173075609242535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2025552247114012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.032778726279816484, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026396805101207677, "ret_p3m": -0.29253864975557875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29253864975557875, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39643981126172945, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3231889251993295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1039011615061507, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030650275443750763, "ret_p6m": -0.24601573838987467, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24601573838987467, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39954923816316, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2610219810626586, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15353349977328534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015006242672783943, "price_path": [0.051, 0.0466, 0.0485, 0.045, 0.0609, 0.0584, 0.0418, 0.0106, 0.0219, 0.0256, -0.0233, -0.1142, -0.1469, -0.1465, -0.1286, -0.1451, -0.1719, -0.1657, -0.2057, -0.1917, -0.1723, -0.1206, -0.1148, -0.1176, -0.1058, -0.1061, -0.1549, -0.1361, -0.0997, -0.0446, -0.0227, -0.0599, -0.0571, -0.0518, -0.0293, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0524, -0.0499, -0.0071, -0.0175, -0.0338, -0.0388, -0.0519, -0.0393, -0.0367, -0.0235, -0.0187, -0.0352, -0.0462, -0.037, 0.0103, 0.0202, 0.0145, 0.0352, -0.0054, 0.0242, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0327, 0.0522, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.0404, -0.0425, -0.0442, -0.0323, -0.0544, -0.0585, -0.0856, -0.1191, -0.1191, -0.115, -0.1325, -0.1473, -0.146, -0.1597, -0.1583, -0.1636, -0.265, -0.2625, -0.2316, -0.229, -0.2463, -0.2399, -0.2438, -0.2713, -0.2551, -0.2451, -0.2371, -0.221, -0.2429, -0.2594, -0.2405, -0.1933, -0.1953, -0.1953, -0.2202, -0.2162, -0.2055, -0.2274, -0.1975, -0.1962, -0.1869, -0.1875, -0.1845, -0.2428, -0.2726, -0.2895, -0.281, -0.2943, -0.2846, -0.2855, -0.3179, -0.346, -0.3417, -0.3005, -0.3105, -0.2931, -0.3045, -0.3125, -0.3053, -0.285, -0.2763, -0.2925, -0.2925, -0.2948, -0.3294, -0.3224, -0.3114, -0.3364, -0.3038, -0.2882, -0.3088, -0.2973, -0.3116, -0.3501, -0.3677, -0.3744, -0.3966, -0.4082, -0.4283, -0.4177, -0.3475, -0.3151, -0.3227, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.2708, -0.2564, -0.2844, -0.2968, -0.3079, -0.322, -0.3082, -0.2855, -0.2998, -0.2964, -0.2858, -0.2959, -0.249, -0.2752, -0.3008, -0.2787, -0.2787, -0.2887, -0.2909, -0.2805, -0.2833, -0.2905, -0.2966, -0.2957, -0.2839, -0.2857, -0.3006, -0.3132, -0.2865, -0.2657, -0.2836, -0.2457, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2693, -0.2635, -0.2652, -0.246]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1780332585203511397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-16T20:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "spectrum of probabilities favoring a quick dip and vicious reversal is set", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NVDA to dip to ~$830-850 then reverse sharply; plans to sell puts on the flush.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing some $NVDA crosscurrents going into tomorrow. Chance of a bottom channel test around ~$830 which is conveniently the same price target of the recently formed bear flag and recent low on Apr 9.\n\nDaily ichi cloud (850) and fib chans/exts/retrace suggest it may stop short at ~850 before a fast reversal but the spectrum of probabilities favoring a quick dip and vicious reversal is set. 50 SMA on daily is also fast approaching at ~838 tmr.\n\nI will likely sell $NVDA puts Jun 21 800p if this does happen.\n\n---\n\nupdate 2 sessions later, fulfilled target from bull flag. Also bounced off bottom of a large bull flag channel + fib channel https://t.co/vckdZMv9FX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016175601555016517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016175601555016517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01800268258354576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007962351257018607, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00821325029799791, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038666263448266625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038666263448266625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03274796122435575, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007821170142948475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03084509330531815, "ret_p1w": -0.05710695571825375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05710695571825375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061317250695922754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005272655435183848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518343002830699, "ret_p1m": 0.08253739761878176, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08253739761878176, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03040555475644169, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015280655908285201, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06725674171049656, "ret_p3m": 0.47858638708250334, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.47858638708250334, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3628701377948973, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22630496374147024, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2522814233410331, "ret_p6m": 0.5177284959816864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5177284959816864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3643158960137207, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.35351063092589174, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1642178650557946, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.3195, -0.3176, -0.3151, -0.2981, -0.2952, -0.3019, -0.2855, -0.2819, -0.2962, -0.279, -0.2432, -0.2069, -0.2196, -0.1981, -0.2034, -0.1749, -0.1735, -0.1749, -0.1546, -0.1689, -0.1694, -0.1694, -0.2055, -0.2282, -0.1016, -0.0984, -0.0953, -0.0997, -0.1116, -0.095, -0.0588, -0.025, -0.0166, 0.0147, 0.0601, 0.0013, -0.0188, 0.0515, 0.0397, 0.0061, 0.0048, 0.0119, 0.0227, 0.0338, 0.046, 0.0786, 0.0868, 0.0589, 0.0324, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0233, 0.0177, -0.0173, 0.0068, -0.0032, -0.0236, -0.0043, 0.0366, 0.0088, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0387, -0.0314, -0.1283, -0.0903, -0.0571, -0.0885, -0.0547, 0.0037, 0.0039, -0.0116, -0.05, -0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0541, 0.0359, 0.0343, 0.0152, 0.0282, 0.0341, 0.0451, 0.0825, 0.0794, 0.0579, 0.0843, 0.0912, 0.0862, 0.1874, 0.218, 0.218, 0.303, 0.3136, 0.2641, 0.2542, 0.3156, 0.332, 0.4007, 0.3842, 0.3829, 0.3932, 0.3833, 0.4324, 0.4828, 0.5088, 0.4985, 0.5511, 0.5511, 0.4962, 0.448, 0.3513, 0.4425, 0.4461, 0.4185, 0.4134, 0.4221, 0.4034, 0.4676, 0.4676, 0.4396, 0.4667, 0.5031, 0.5435, 0.4575, 0.4786, 0.4694, 0.4456, 0.3499, 0.3853, 0.3492, 0.4134, 0.4025, 0.3071, 0.2846, 0.2935, 0.2767, 0.1867, 0.3388, 0.2494, 0.2272, 0.1492, 0.1927, 0.1316, 0.2009, 0.1984, 0.2473, 0.3287, 0.3509, 0.4056, 0.4253, 0.4873, 0.4558, 0.4701, 0.4157, 0.4801, 0.4468, 0.4678, 0.4371, 0.3453, 0.3657, 0.3657, 0.2356, 0.2151, 0.2265, 0.1764, 0.2181, 0.2367, 0.3375, 0.3632, 0.3627, 0.3362, 0.3225, 0.2971, 0.3486, 0.3272, 0.3302, 0.3829, 0.4132, 0.4192, 0.389, 0.3895, 0.3387, 0.3598, 0.4056, 0.4293, 0.4613, 0.5205, 0.5177]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1763659527248105521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-01T20:16:13+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still expect ~$130-150 by August and as low as $108 by EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA to $130-150 by August and $108 by EOY; bear flag on chart and weak fundamentals vs NVDA on forward PE.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As a long-time $TSLA shareholder (7+ years), it's disappointing to see the direction this is going but the charts are clear. The massive bear flag needs to be prevented for more downside. Weak fundamentals (ex. $NVDA cheaper relative to $TSLA forward PE) are also not helping. I still expect ~$130-150 by August and as low as $108 by EOY. Hopefully next year will be a breakout year for the stock back above $300.\n\n$TSLA $NVDA $AMD $PLTR $TSM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0037504663892866663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0037504663892866663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00555048986350104, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004534795573994943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009300956252787707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003296986831887172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07155546804023882, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07155546804023882, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07048307329331605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05804336057068815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001072394746922778, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013512107469550672, "ret_p1w": -0.13472168937023987, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13472168937023987, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13251832446345457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.109264906800424, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002203364906785299, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025456782569815872, "ret_p1m": -0.13531384845802574, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13531384845802574, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15663089644064387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12395059411543963, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02131704798261813, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011363254342586115, "ret_p3m": -0.13052702836512808, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13052702836512808, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15955028946869998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07279777982498337, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029023261103571896, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05772924854014472, "ret_p6m": 0.05216150491539473, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05216150491539473, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04825222215314118, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04028204844883265, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10041372706853591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011879456466562077, "price_path": [0.178, 0.1813, 0.1974, 0.2033, 0.1831, 0.1696, 0.1809, 0.2389, 0.251, 0.244, 0.2693, 0.2196, 0.2559, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2663, 0.2902, 0.2494, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2259, 0.1767, 0.1742, 0.172, 0.1866, 0.1595, 0.1545, 0.1213, 0.0802, 0.0802, 0.0852, 0.0637, 0.0456, 0.0471, 0.0304, 0.0321, 0.0256, -0.0987, -0.0957, -0.0578, -0.0545, -0.0758, -0.068, -0.0727, -0.1065, -0.0866, -0.0743, -0.0645, -0.0448, -0.0716, -0.0919, -0.0687, -0.0108, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0438, -0.0388, -0.0258, -0.0527, -0.016, -0.0144, -0.003, -0.0038, 0.0, -0.0716, -0.1081, -0.1288, -0.1184, -0.1347, -0.1227, -0.1239, -0.1636, -0.1981, -0.1928, -0.1423, -0.1546, -0.1331, -0.1472, -0.157, -0.1481, -0.1232, -0.1126, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.1353, -0.1777, -0.1691, -0.1556, -0.1862, -0.1464, -0.1271, -0.1524, -0.1384, -0.1559, -0.2031, -0.2247, -0.2329, -0.2601, -0.2743, -0.299, -0.286, -0.1999, -0.1602, -0.1695, -0.0424, -0.0955, -0.1118, -0.1117, -0.1059, -0.0882, -0.1225, -0.1378, -0.1514, -0.1686, -0.1517, -0.1238, -0.1414, -0.1372, -0.1243, -0.1366, -0.0792, -0.1112, -0.1426, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1278, -0.1305, -0.1177, -0.1212, -0.13, -0.1375, -0.1364, -0.1219, -0.1242, -0.1424, -0.1578, -0.1251, -0.0995, -0.1215, -0.075, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.104, -0.0969, -0.099, -0.0755, -0.0309, -0.0258, -0.0235, 0.0356, 0.1412, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.2412, 0.2482, 0.2946, 0.2992, 0.1894, 0.225, 0.2467, 0.2661, 0.2263, 0.2299, 0.1804, 0.2412, 0.2159, 0.0659, 0.0869, 0.0847, 0.1454, 0.0986, 0.1452, 0.0702, 0.0248, -0.0186, -0.0099, -0.0537, -0.0188, -0.013, -0.0254, 0.0256, -0.0062, 0.0568, 0.0665, 0.0991, 0.0911, 0.1018, 0.0396, 0.0872, 0.0522]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1619060556668997634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-01-27T19:51:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "What can go down fast can go up fast too. $TSLA did a $106 reversal in 2 of the last reverse rallies, puts it around $208 next week which is a key resistance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects TSLA to reverse sharply upward ~$106 to ~$208 next week based on prior rally patterns.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@robmaurer Yep, this is mostly TA driven with maybe 30% fundamentals. What can go down fast can go up fast too. $TSLA did a $106 reversal in 2 of the last reverse rallies, puts it around $208 next week which is a key resistance", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Turns out tax loss harvesting, additional float, margin calls, stop losses, panic selling, and momentum shorting can add a lot of volatility and maybe cause stocks to drop a little too far sometimes... $TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robmaurer", "ret_m1d": -0.09910056340014206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09910056340014206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09680804153349332, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07692209973926223, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022925218666487446, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022178463660879832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06318150994943417, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06318150994943417, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05063467078112327, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046141866771548745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012546839168310897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017039643177885422, "ret_p1w": 0.06790332909220753, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06790332909220753, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05146183151946371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044507346565088035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016441497572743824, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023395982527119497, "ret_p1m": 0.16711642499339985, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16711642499339985, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18671307297566675, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1823303201501777, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0195966479822669, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015213895156777846, "ret_p3m": -0.13575039193388994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13575039193388994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13630055009945818, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11031580769537164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0005501581655682486, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0254345842385183, "ret_p6m": 0.5124227475530614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5124227475530614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3843735326054578, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3428207786511235, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12804921494760357, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1696019689019379, "price_path": [0.2806, 0.2084, 0.2103, 0.1662, 0.1078, 0.0753, -0.0017, 0.0721, 0.1016, 0.0734, 0.0929, 0.0507, 0.0296, 0.0129, -0.0564, -0.0449, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0279, 0.0282, 0.0165, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.0953, 0.0256, 0.0108, -0.0217, -0.0251, 0.0065, -0.0567, -0.0953, -0.1186, -0.1137, -0.1555, -0.1576, -0.2254, -0.2267, -0.2954, -0.3078, -0.3078, -0.3867, -0.3664, -0.3152, -0.3076, -0.3076, -0.3924, -0.3612, -0.3798, -0.3645, -0.3268, -0.3319, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.312, -0.312, -0.2609, -0.2761, -0.2852, -0.25, -0.192, -0.1912, -0.1881, -0.0991, 0.0, -0.0632, -0.0263, 0.0197, 0.0583, 0.0679, 0.0948, 0.1063, 0.1315, 0.1654, 0.1067, 0.0941, 0.1762, 0.2043, 0.1357, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.1094, 0.1291, 0.1359, 0.1067, 0.1671, 0.1563, 0.1398, 0.0731, 0.1118, 0.0894, 0.0551, 0.023, -0.028, -0.0251, -0.0192, 0.0301, 0.0143, 0.035, 0.0125, 0.0301, 0.1106, 0.0745, 0.0805, 0.0703, 0.0782, 0.0635, 0.0898, 0.0977, 0.1662, 0.0948, 0.0825, 0.0428, 0.0402, 0.0402, 0.0372, 0.05, 0.0148, 0.045, 0.0399, 0.0514, 0.036, 0.0151, -0.0838, -0.0721, -0.0863, -0.0969, -0.1358, -0.0996, -0.0764, -0.0903, -0.0989, -0.0972, -0.0939, -0.0441, -0.0343, -0.0492, -0.0526, -0.0327, -0.0558, -0.0649, -0.064, -0.0227, -0.0057, 0.0126, 0.0617, 0.0442, 0.0281, 0.0369, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.1307, 0.1463, 0.1665, 0.2028, 0.2232, 0.244, 0.2623, 0.3202, 0.3738, 0.4043, 0.4542, 0.4435, 0.4384, 0.4645, 0.4645, 0.5427, 0.4585, 0.4874, 0.4424, 0.355, 0.4065, 0.4404, 0.4474, 0.4714, 0.5729, 0.5729, 0.5879, 0.5545, 0.5426, 0.5155, 0.5165, 0.5289, 0.5621, 0.5817, 0.6323, 0.6489, 0.6372, 0.4778, 0.4616, 0.5124]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1755649563346825487", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-08T17:47:28+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $PLTR at 16.70 before earnings", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds PLTR long bought at $16.70; cites Munger 'good company at OK price' thesis as justification.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin Glad I sidestepped these two. Meanwhile I bought $PLTR at 16.70 before earnings. What\u2019s that Munger quote? Better to buy a good company at an OK price than an OK company at a good price? Seems \ud83c\udfaf for $BABA $PYPL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PYPL $BABA https://t.co/bEThW6XEv9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": -0.03712769640613034, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03712769640613034, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03668620583175908, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03668620583175908, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004414905743712616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004414905743712616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005304001097562017, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005304001097562017, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011083336733534566, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011083336733534566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005779335635972549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005779335635972549, "ret_p1w": 0.03671969033561018, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03671969033561018, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029314780867292223, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029314780867292223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007404909468317955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007404909468317955, "ret_p1m": 0.06242352804397777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06242352804397777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03553325336523039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03553325336523039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026890274678747383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026890274678747383, "ret_p3m": -0.12688700862135582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12688700862135582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16787836387597155, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16787836387597155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040991355254615724, "bench_c_p3m": 0.040991355254615724, "ret_p6m": 0.009383906164362354, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.009383906164362354, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06679253627362969, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06679253627362969, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07617644243799204, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07617644243799204, "price_path": [-0.1958, -0.1865, -0.186, -0.1934, -0.164, -0.1293, -0.1922, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2166, -0.2215, -0.1958, -0.1905, -0.182, -0.173, -0.2493, -0.2534, -0.3011, -0.2974, -0.275, -0.275, -0.286, -0.2709, -0.257, -0.2574, -0.2721, -0.2676, -0.2962, -0.2823, -0.2897, -0.2897, -0.2787, -0.2872, -0.2836, -0.2995, -0.2995, -0.3235, -0.3435, -0.337, -0.348, -0.3199, -0.3313, -0.315, -0.3195, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3256, -0.3313, -0.3309, -0.3154, -0.2819, -0.2929, -0.3166, -0.3284, -0.3329, -0.3027, -0.317, -0.3435, -0.3337, -0.3056, -0.3178, -0.1077, -0.0371, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.022, -0.0204, 0.0277, 0.0367, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.0453, -0.0722, -0.0375, -0.0628, -0.0388, 0.0008, -0.0037, 0.0233, 0.0171, -0.0192, -0.0286, 0.0673, 0.0796, 0.0624, 0.0343, 0.0078, 0.02, -0.0033, -0.0416, -0.0208, -0.029, 0.0024, -0.0008, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0155, 0.0, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0673, -0.073, -0.0738, -0.0828, -0.0632, -0.0616, -0.0694, -0.0853, -0.0681, -0.0751, -0.1065, -0.1073, -0.1306, -0.1379, -0.1648, -0.1444, -0.1171, -0.1191, -0.1142, -0.0812, -0.0685, -0.1036, -0.0975, -0.08, -0.0481, 0.0286, -0.1269, -0.1204, -0.1375, -0.1595, -0.1457, -0.1253, -0.1159, -0.1167, -0.1122, -0.1179, -0.1334, -0.1363, -0.1546, -0.1428, -0.1428, -0.1412, -0.1457, -0.1134, -0.1155, -0.1302, -0.0983, -0.0632, -0.0294, -0.049, -0.0563, -0.0269, -0.0302, -0.0506, -0.0384, 0.0208, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0428, -0.0273, -0.0143, 0.002, -0.0167, 0.029, 0.0335, 0.0559, 0.0539, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.111, 0.1302, 0.1175, 0.1595, 0.1277, 0.1452, 0.1697, 0.1697, 0.1514, 0.1685, 0.1661, 0.1612, 0.1754, 0.0853, 0.0865, 0.1089, 0.1049, 0.0759, 0.0971, 0.0641, 0.0094]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1525557902211108864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-14T19:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA will likely be $1400 before $UBER hits $50", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA to $1400 before UBER doubles; PTON could double via acquisition; U and AFRM also candidates to double first.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jason $TSLA will likely be $1400 before $UBER hits $50. $PTON could be first if acquired though. Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What public tech stock will be the first to double in value from today? Explain why for bonus points. \n\nI\u2019m talking my book and will say $uber, in &lt; 18 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jason", "ret_m1d": 0.06242666251435147, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06242666251435147, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05835259676972204, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04035060958558678, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004074065744629429, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02207605292876469, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05141017778952928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05141017778952928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030839861786250422, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02618035758595738, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020570316003278855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025229820203571895, "ret_p1w": -0.06829385095042351, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06829385095042351, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06037069507537196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017498513942623917, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007923155875051546, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05079533700779959, "ret_p1m": -0.08517746091658651, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08517746091658651, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019642249895344688, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009085312782697086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06553521102124182, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07609214813388943, "ret_p3m": 0.18708673805480558, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18708673805480558, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13281328555613747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06963257118762556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05427345249866811, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11745416686718002, "ret_p6m": -0.20772531575879427, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20772531575879427, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1705740309835978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1256663115958172, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03715128477519647, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08205900416297707, "price_path": [0.2747, 0.2098, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.1341, 0.0548, 0.1055, 0.118, 0.2016, 0.1933, 0.2147, 0.1586, 0.1573, 0.1107, 0.1381, 0.1858, 0.1573, 0.098, 0.058, 0.107, 0.1599, 0.2033, 0.2499, 0.2717, 0.3722, 0.3793, 0.3997, 0.3952, 0.5073, 0.518, 0.5103, 0.4876, 0.4973, 0.5813, 0.5065, 0.4437, 0.4596, 0.4157, 0.3473, 0.3625, 0.4114, 0.3598, 0.3598, 0.3864, 0.4194, 0.349, 0.3926, 0.3875, 0.3778, 0.2099, 0.2169, 0.2114, 0.2021, 0.2465, 0.2552, 0.3151, 0.2056, 0.195, 0.0866, 0.1045, 0.0133, 0.005, 0.0624, 0.0, 0.0514, -0.0201, -0.0206, -0.0835, -0.0683, -0.1328, -0.0905, -0.023, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0468, 0.0221, 0.0699, -0.0287, -0.0132, -0.0106, 0.0017, -0.0072, -0.0382, -0.1065, -0.0852, -0.035, -0.1174, -0.1023, -0.1023, -0.0183, -0.0222, -0.0265, 0.0176, 0.0143, -0.0364, -0.0537, -0.0703, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0347, -0.0403, 0.0128, 0.0385, -0.0295, -0.0347, -0.0183, -0.013, -0.0058, -0.0038, 0.0169, 0.025, 0.1253, 0.1275, 0.1117, 0.0721, 0.1382, 0.1634, 0.2307, 0.2312, 0.2449, 0.2731, 0.2782, 0.1935, 0.2028, 0.1734, 0.2191, 0.1871, 0.2426, 0.2811, 0.2696, 0.259, 0.2543, 0.2287, 0.2007, 0.2278, 0.2304, 0.2262, 0.1931, 0.1796, 0.1501, 0.1414, 0.1479, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.1365, 0.175, 0.198, 0.2411, 0.2608, 0.2099, 0.2533, 0.258, 0.2563, 0.28, 0.2786, 0.2458, 0.1952, 0.1403, 0.1431, 0.1718, 0.192, 0.1108, 0.0985, 0.0039, 0.0331, -0.0027, -0.0138, -0.0761, -0.0766, -0.1034, -0.1003, -0.0817, -0.151, -0.0916, -0.0881, -0.0804, -0.1415, -0.1119, -0.1251, -0.0788, -0.0696, -0.0678, -0.0536, -0.0576, -0.0565, -0.1097, -0.1083, -0.1408, -0.1838, -0.2077]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1525557902211108864", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-05-14T19:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PTON could be first if acquired though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA to $1400 before UBER doubles; PTON could double via acquisition; U and AFRM also candidates to double first.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jason $TSLA will likely be $1400 before $UBER hits $50. $PTON could be first if acquired though. Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What public tech stock will be the first to double in value from today? Explain why for bonus points. \n\nI\u2019m talking my book and will say $uber, in &lt; 18 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jason", "ret_m1d": 0.02519382137309889, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02519382137309889, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02111975562846946, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031177684443342013, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004074065744629429, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02207605292876469, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004522005850681188, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004522005850681188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016048310152597667, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020707814352890708, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020570316003278855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025229820203571895, "ret_p1w": -0.1201550201343572, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1201550201343572, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11223186425930565, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0693596831265576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007923155875051546, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05079533700779959, "ret_p1m": -0.381136937532359, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.381136937532359, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3156017265111172, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3050447893984696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06553521102124182, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07609214813388943, "ret_p3m": -0.2306201421442986, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2306201421442986, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2848935946429667, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3480743090114786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05427345249866811, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11745416686718002, "ret_p6m": -0.381136937532359, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.381136937532359, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34398565275716253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29907793336938193, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03715128477519647, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08205900416297707, "price_path": [1.0704, 0.9761, 0.9141, 0.9141, 0.8443, 0.7442, 0.8282, 0.8211, 0.8773, 0.7842, 0.7267, 0.584, 0.5174, 0.4548, 0.4567, 0.5142, 0.4606, 0.3656, 0.3049, 0.4606, 0.5058, 0.5956, 0.7196, 0.6957, 0.7784, 0.8547, 0.8695, 0.8359, 0.8133, 0.9955, 0.8372, 0.7067, 0.6996, 0.7965, 0.6925, 0.6092, 0.5543, 0.522, 0.562, 0.5317, 0.6169, 0.542, 0.542, 0.5446, 0.5846, 0.4063, 0.322, 0.3172, 0.3185, 0.2287, 0.2041, 0.1932, 0.1344, 0.2099, 0.1828, 0.2087, 0.0988, 0.0142, -0.0872, -0.1667, -0.2028, -0.1202, 0.0252, 0.0, 0.0045, -0.0685, -0.0484, -0.0627, -0.1202, -0.1912, -0.157, -0.1021, -0.0627, -0.0627, -0.0982, -0.1641, -0.1492, -0.1906, -0.1938, -0.197, -0.2125, -0.2817, -0.3211, -0.3643, -0.3811, -0.3456, -0.3895, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.3734, -0.3689, -0.3211, -0.2888, -0.303, -0.363, -0.3895, -0.407, -0.4102, -0.4102, -0.3275, -0.3443, -0.312, -0.3404, -0.4238, -0.4025, -0.4231, -0.4612, -0.4522, -0.4425, -0.3928, -0.2875, -0.2726, -0.3689, -0.3831, -0.4373, -0.4186, -0.3973, -0.387, -0.374, -0.3075, -0.2642, -0.3217, -0.2384, -0.2306, -0.2836, -0.23, -0.2306, -0.126, -0.126, -0.1156, -0.1641, -0.1822, -0.2435, -0.2519, -0.2765, -0.1292, -0.2888, -0.3146, -0.3236, -0.3811, -0.3417, -0.3359, -0.3902, -0.3902, -0.4386, -0.4205, -0.4121, -0.334, -0.2862, -0.3598, -0.3391, -0.3101, -0.3708, -0.3592, -0.3766, -0.4154, -0.4451, -0.4503, -0.469, -0.4703, -0.4677, -0.5446, -0.5523, -0.5174, -0.4276, -0.4516, -0.4296, -0.4386, -0.4128, -0.4328, -0.449, -0.4373, -0.5323, -0.4994, -0.4942, -0.5226, -0.5213, -0.5258, -0.5478, -0.5168, -0.5032, -0.4955, -0.4826, -0.4574, -0.4225, -0.4425, -0.3966, -0.3934, -0.3921, -0.3811]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1525557902211108864", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2022-05-14T19:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "U", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA to $1400 before UBER doubles; PTON could double via acquisition; U and AFRM also candidates to double first.", "resolved_tickers": ["U"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jason $TSLA will likely be $1400 before $UBER hits $50. $PTON could be first if acquired though. Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What public tech stock will be the first to double in value from today? Explain why for bonus points. \n\nI\u2019m talking my book and will say $uber, in &lt; 18 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jason", "ret_m1d": 0.08190368385342284, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08190368385342284, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07782961810879341, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07782961810879341, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004074065744629429, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004074065744629429, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06170447094349063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06170447094349063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041134154940211776, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041134154940211776, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020570316003278855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020570316003278855, "ret_p1w": 0.13530712430086744, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13530712430086744, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.143230280175919, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.143230280175919, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007923155875051546, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007923155875051546, "ret_p1m": -0.06585503896817824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06585503896817824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0003198279469364129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0003198279469364129, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06553521102124182, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06553521102124182, "ret_p3m": 0.501106832213694, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.501106832213694, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4468333797150259, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4468333797150259, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05427345249866811, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05427345249866811, "ret_p6m": -0.34255670641523583, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34255670641523583, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30540542164003937, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30540542164003937, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03715128477519647, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03715128477519647, "price_path": [2.0515, 1.8298, 1.7418, 1.7418, 1.6605, 1.6057, 1.855, 1.8788, 1.9455, 1.8771, 1.8049, 1.6265, 1.4629, 1.2634, 1.2435, 1.4314, 1.2999, 1.1821, 1.0573, 1.1384, 1.4275, 1.5664, 1.6882, 1.6049, 1.6951, 1.718, 1.7607, 1.6004, 1.7147, 1.8755, 1.8005, 1.7452, 1.7371, 2.0061, 1.7941, 1.598, 1.5971, 1.5094, 1.505, 1.4925, 1.6018, 1.4662, 1.4662, 1.4128, 1.5357, 1.3179, 1.1776, 1.0946, 1.1976, 1.0548, 0.8996, 0.935, 0.8376, 0.8996, 0.878, 0.9206, 0.7161, 0.5866, 0.394, 0.3318, -0.1616, -0.0291, 0.0819, 0.0, 0.0617, 0.0362, 0.1525, 0.1433, 0.1353, -0.0255, 0.0346, 0.0603, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.106, 0.0645, 0.2216, 0.1555, 0.1848, 0.2263, 0.2673, 0.1428, 0.021, -0.0495, -0.0659, 0.0008, -0.091, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0362, 0.0838, 0.2305, 0.2952, 0.2274, 0.1251, 0.0935, 0.0188, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.1713, 0.1425, 0.2316, 0.2515, 0.1439, 0.1002, -0.0919, -0.1004, -0.0672, -0.0238, -0.0136, 0.1212, 0.1176, 0.0091, -0.0166, -0.0725, 0.0299, 0.0396, 0.0346, 0.0775, 0.1334, 0.2468, 0.2546, 0.3298, 0.3769, 0.3932, 0.5376, 0.5011, 0.6179, 0.5025, 0.4842, 0.4416, 0.4151, 0.319, 0.2507, 0.2429, 0.2662, 0.3528, 0.2335, 0.2294, 0.1779, 0.1821, 0.1419, 0.1287, 0.1287, 0.07, 0.0822, 0.0722, 0.1428, 0.1707, 0.0144, 0.0462, 0.0526, -0.0166, 0.0199, -0.026, -0.0343, -0.078, -0.08, -0.0977, -0.0927, -0.0473, -0.1209, -0.1184, -0.0609, 0.005, -0.0091, -0.008, -0.0932, -0.1248, -0.1392, -0.1486, -0.1552, -0.1981, -0.1455, -0.132, -0.1843, -0.1558, -0.1937, -0.2078, -0.179, -0.212, -0.2286, -0.1912, -0.1837, -0.1995, -0.2643, -0.272, -0.3011, -0.3143, -0.3426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1525557902211108864", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2022-05-14T19:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "AFRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA to $1400 before UBER doubles; PTON could double via acquisition; U and AFRM also candidates to double first.", "resolved_tickers": ["AFRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jason $TSLA will likely be $1400 before $UBER hits $50. $PTON could be first if acquired though. Other choices are $U and $AFRM (even after recent boost)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What public tech stock will be the first to double in value from today? Explain why for bonus points. \n\nI\u2019m talking my book and will say $uber, in &lt; 18 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jason", "ret_m1d": 0.033115394172904766, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033115394172904766, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029041328428275337, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024694526143362205, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004074065744629429, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00842086802954256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09978208854252801, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09978208854252801, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07921177253924916, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07301534706075818, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020570316003278855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02676674148176983, "ret_p1w": 0.06840957048504825, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06840957048504825, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0763327263600998, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04615376436641383, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007923155875051546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022255806118634425, "ret_p1m": -0.2287581623299073, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2287581623299073, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1632229513086655, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16981079390885467, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06553521102124182, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05894736842105264, "ret_p3m": 0.6108932458252336, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6108932458252336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5566197933265655, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5523483713776938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05427345249866811, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05854487444753986, "ret_p6m": -0.3185185262137843, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3185185262137843, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2813672414385878, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3656110595229142, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03715128477519647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04709253330912988, "price_path": [0.8702, 0.6414, 0.6266, 0.6266, 0.5865, 0.5251, 0.6867, 0.7076, 0.8231, 0.8458, 0.8214, 0.7037, 0.5608, 0.4623, 0.4937, 0.6035, 0.5926, 0.3447, 0.1425, 0.2344, 0.4527, 0.6013, 0.7739, 0.8283, 0.8954, 0.922, 0.9521, 0.837, 0.8845, 1.098, 1.037, 1.0166, 1.0309, 1.0784, 0.9102, 0.7808, 0.6863, 0.6375, 0.6427, 0.6331, 0.6732, 0.5333, 0.5333, 0.5342, 0.6135, 0.5146, 0.4336, 0.3577, 0.4148, 0.315, 0.2793, 0.3599, 0.2505, 0.3229, 0.3115, 0.3839, 0.1773, 0.0871, -0.1028, -0.2074, -0.3625, -0.2139, 0.0331, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.0654, 0.1203, 0.0815, 0.0684, -0.0954, 0.0031, 0.2209, 0.3224, 0.3224, 0.2418, 0.0597, 0.1512, 0.0937, 0.0336, 0.061, 0.0166, -0.0771, -0.1094, -0.2192, -0.2288, -0.1895, -0.2715, -0.2026, -0.2026, -0.163, -0.1603, -0.0562, 0.0144, -0.0109, -0.105, -0.1712, -0.2131, -0.251, -0.251, -0.1359, -0.1211, 0.0288, 0.017, -0.0688, -0.0327, -0.0941, -0.0492, 0.0048, 0.0388, 0.1342, 0.2928, 0.2963, 0.1664, 0.1403, 0.0065, 0.1346, 0.1255, 0.1695, 0.1839, 0.2266, 0.3895, 0.4183, 0.4553, 0.5207, 0.4196, 0.6026, 0.6109, 0.7076, 0.6741, 0.739, 0.6292, 0.5577, 0.3473, 0.285, 0.2776, 0.3172, 0.3608, 0.0706, 0.0453, 0.0257, 0.0209, 0.0092, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0283, 0.0048, 0.0327, 0.1438, 0.1673, 0.054, 0.0601, 0.0453, -0.0283, -0.0109, -0.0353, -0.0706, -0.1285, -0.1599, -0.1704, -0.1551, -0.0998, -0.1695, -0.1826, -0.1717, -0.0584, -0.0885, -0.0871, -0.1765, -0.19, -0.1569, -0.1368, -0.1826, -0.2475, -0.1969, -0.149, -0.2196, -0.2144, -0.2026, -0.2135, -0.1015, -0.1041, -0.1015, -0.1146, -0.1255, -0.1521, -0.2331, -0.2736, -0.2976, -0.319, -0.3185]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1745839547966161037", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-12T16:05:59+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Puts with time, printed a bear flag", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish COIN: bear flag formation at 50dma, recommends buying puts with time.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives Puts with time, printed a bear flag", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$COIN 134 and dropping and near it\u2019s 50dma\u2026\n\nWhat to do here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.07936997231763021, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07936997231763021, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08006233765602555, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07750828907116203, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006923653383953399, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001861683246468182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.04610795867549322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04610795867549322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058170508769194496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05488445040603629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012062550093701274, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008776491730543068, "ret_p1m": 0.12639546515972033, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12639546515972033, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07541797028947328, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08224667668734864, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05097749487024705, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04414878847237169, "ret_p3m": 0.9191773041436748, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.9191773041436748, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8372831478255403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.827582845484238, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08189415631813457, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09159445865943683, "ret_p6m": 0.686496403252066, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.686496403252066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5142168300096148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5761068937904261, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17227957324245113, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11038950946163983, "price_path": [-0.4077, -0.4347, -0.441, -0.4291, -0.4096, -0.3725, -0.4052, -0.4295, -0.4588, -0.4372, -0.4103, -0.405, -0.3531, -0.3439, -0.3396, -0.3189, -0.3247, -0.29, -0.2895, -0.2916, -0.2958, -0.2495, -0.2589, -0.2426, -0.1887, -0.1934, -0.1646, -0.1646, -0.1165, -0.0842, -0.0192, -0.0226, -0.0463, 0.0228, 0.0788, 0.072, 0.0294, 0.0414, 0.1211, 0.0554, 0.0676, 0.1505, 0.1747, 0.1309, 0.1732, 0.2323, 0.2377, 0.2848, 0.3418, 0.3418, 0.3156, 0.4164, 0.425, 0.3299, 0.3299, 0.1996, 0.1641, 0.1898, 0.1774, 0.219, 0.1622, 0.1568, 0.0794, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0237, 0.0236, -0.0492, -0.0461, -0.0197, -0.0504, -0.0722, -0.0747, -0.0427, 0.0156, 0.0003, -0.0197, -0.014, -0.0119, -0.1031, -0.084, -0.0666, 0.0135, 0.0857, 0.1264, 0.0735, 0.2263, 0.2668, 0.3787, 0.3787, 0.3251, 0.2419, 0.3069, 0.2692, 0.4829, 0.5233, 0.5354, 0.5565, 0.5734, 0.7522, 0.6575, 0.8241, 0.8552, 0.9622, 0.9435, 0.9586, 0.9248, 0.7867, 0.8532, 0.8322, 0.7596, 0.9642, 1.0034, 0.9537, 1.1388, 1.0401, 0.9628, 1.0272, 1.0272, 0.9277, 0.8798, 0.9237, 0.9086, 0.842, 0.9651, 0.8577, 0.9192, 1.0111, 0.8791, 0.7083, 0.6733, 0.6347, 0.6675, 0.6135, 0.727, 0.8078, 0.7156, 0.7098, 0.807, 0.6681, 0.5593, 0.6064, 0.7499, 0.7071, 0.7352, 0.6389, 0.6149, 0.6092, 0.5363, 0.5255, 0.5526, 0.6815, 0.5229, 0.5874, 0.7219, 0.7264, 0.7702, 0.6735, 0.8172, 0.8172, 0.8734, 0.8095, 0.7951, 0.7275, 0.7693, 0.8673, 0.9223, 0.9657, 0.867, 0.9102, 0.8673, 0.9495, 0.8936, 0.8696, 0.8741, 0.8042, 0.8042, 0.7971, 0.727, 0.6234, 0.6953, 0.6408, 0.7128, 0.6993, 0.7844, 0.7396, 0.72, 0.72, 0.7104, 0.6865]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1787544860435914895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-06T18:08:00+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pattern canceled with today's 10%+ move. Good news for us longs. There's near-term resistance around ~1059", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish butterfly pattern canceled by 10%+ move; author is long NVDA with near-term resistance ~$1059.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One more day like this (~3%+) for $NVDA puts it at risk of forming a bearish butterfly if it sells off around 944-950 https://t.co/ysfi8BGZg9\n\n---\n\nI should add, this doesn't have to happen tomorrow. The formation holds if this occurs in the next few weeks\n\n---\n\nThis pattern is in the process of fulfilling today. It holds pattern up to $1000 (1.6 fib ext). Major event (earnings) May 22 will likely determine direction amplified by this pattern or the recent bull flag prints.\n\n---\n\nPattern canceled with today's 10%+ move. Good news for us longs. There's near-term resistance around ~1059", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036368525956818165, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036368525956818165, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02614722407503478, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014183190303502125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010221301881783385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02218533565331604, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017212859280596238, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017212859280596238, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018316352012098136, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008500426924224591, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011034927315018983, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008712432356371647, "ret_p1w": -0.018895023944169087, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018895023944169087, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027296334386417542, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021544670530225463, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008401310442248455, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026496465860563756, "ret_p1m": 0.2636966264413021, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2636966264413021, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2408149618308375, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1741919293185672, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02288166461046459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0895046971227349, "ret_p3m": 0.1853589040478496, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1853589040478496, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1307839115350795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1479044068741462, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05457499251277009, "bench_c_p3m": 0.037454497173703416, "ret_p6m": 0.5332503407990712, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5332503407990712, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3999344398470295, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3794352356731554, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1333159009520417, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15381510512591579, "price_path": [-0.2392, -0.2442, -0.2172, -0.2159, -0.2172, -0.198, -0.2115, -0.212, -0.212, -0.2463, -0.2678, -0.1477, -0.1446, -0.1417, -0.1459, -0.1572, -0.1414, -0.1071, -0.075, -0.067, -0.0373, 0.0057, -0.0501, -0.0691, -0.0025, -0.0136, -0.0455, -0.0467, -0.04, -0.0298, -0.0192, -0.0077, 0.0233, 0.0311, 0.0046, -0.0205, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0193, -0.0292, -0.0345, -0.0677, -0.0448, -0.0543, -0.0736, -0.0554, -0.0165, -0.0429, -0.0666, -0.0513, -0.088, -0.0811, -0.173, -0.137, -0.1055, -0.1353, -0.1032, -0.0478, -0.0476, -0.0623, -0.0988, -0.0686, -0.0364, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0188, -0.0368, -0.0245, -0.0189, -0.0085, 0.027, 0.0241, 0.0037, 0.0287, 0.0352, 0.0305, 0.1265, 0.1555, 0.1555, 0.2362, 0.2462, 0.1993, 0.1899, 0.2481, 0.2637, 0.3288, 0.3132, 0.312, 0.3218, 0.3124, 0.3589, 0.4068, 0.4314, 0.4216, 0.4716, 0.4716, 0.4195, 0.3738, 0.282, 0.3686, 0.3719, 0.3458, 0.3409, 0.3491, 0.3315, 0.3923, 0.3923, 0.3658, 0.3915, 0.426, 0.4643, 0.3828, 0.4028, 0.3941, 0.3715, 0.2807, 0.3143, 0.28, 0.3409, 0.3306, 0.2401, 0.2187, 0.2271, 0.2112, 0.1259, 0.2701, 0.1854, 0.1643, 0.0903, 0.1315, 0.0736, 0.1393, 0.137, 0.1833, 0.2606, 0.2816, 0.3335, 0.3522, 0.411, 0.3812, 0.3947, 0.3431, 0.4042, 0.3726, 0.3926, 0.3634, 0.2763, 0.2956, 0.2956, 0.1722, 0.1528, 0.1637, 0.1161, 0.1556, 0.1733, 0.2689, 0.2932, 0.2928, 0.2676, 0.2547, 0.2306, 0.2795, 0.2592, 0.262, 0.312, 0.3407, 0.3464, 0.3178, 0.3182, 0.27, 0.2901, 0.3335, 0.356, 0.3864, 0.4425, 0.4399, 0.4633, 0.4632, 0.4987, 0.4285, 0.4732, 0.4864, 0.498, 0.56, 0.5587, 0.5149, 0.5241, 0.5364, 0.5253, 0.5333]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1793377637576167841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-22T20:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My 2024 PT $1200 is looking likely by August", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NVDA PT $1200 likely by August 2024; bullish into the 10:1 stock split.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA stock split coming in June exactly within the window I predicted (sometime during summer) months ago. I thought 4:1 would happen but 10:1 is welcome news. \n\nMy 2024 PT $1200 is looking likely by August. https://t.co/DnqOIYoZym", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004591877999714722, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004591877999714722, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017045072877004408, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012707164519657477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002887370712014281, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008115286519942755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09319667226926964, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09319667226926964, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10050094490295669, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07954432806363365, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007304272633687048, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013652344205635991, "ret_p1w": 0.2093207365078058, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2093207365078058, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2163609225154155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17102666935181987, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0070401860076096945, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038294067155985934, "ret_p1m": 0.37746981773826027, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.37746981773826027, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34506327348758425, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24081985558057206, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03240654425067602, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1366499621576882, "ret_p3m": 0.3692545247062573, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3692545247062573, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3096405679050709, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30691033141681334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05961395680118642, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06234419328944396, "ret_p6m": 0.5459150013353951, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5459150013353951, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41896863098068815, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.49692735384314113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1269463703547069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04898764749225393, "price_path": [-0.1699, -0.1671, -0.1712, -0.1821, -0.1668, -0.1335, -0.1023, -0.0946, -0.0658, -0.024, -0.0782, -0.0966, -0.032, -0.0428, -0.0738, -0.0749, -0.0684, -0.0585, -0.0482, -0.037, -0.007, 0.0005, -0.0252, -0.0495, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.0483, -0.0579, -0.063, -0.0953, -0.0731, -0.0823, -0.1011, -0.0833, -0.0456, -0.0712, -0.0942, -0.0794, -0.115, -0.1083, -0.1975, -0.1625, -0.1319, -0.1609, -0.1297, -0.076, -0.0758, -0.09, -0.1254, -0.0962, -0.0649, -0.0296, -0.0463, -0.0478, -0.0653, -0.0534, -0.0479, -0.0379, -0.0034, -0.0062, -0.026, -0.0018, 0.0046, 0.0, 0.0932, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1996, 0.2093, 0.1638, 0.1546, 0.2112, 0.2263, 0.2895, 0.2743, 0.2732, 0.2827, 0.2735, 0.3187, 0.3651, 0.3891, 0.3796, 0.428, 0.428, 0.3775, 0.3331, 0.244, 0.3281, 0.3313, 0.306, 0.3012, 0.3092, 0.292, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.3253, 0.3503, 0.3838, 0.421, 0.3419, 0.3612, 0.3528, 0.3309, 0.2428, 0.2754, 0.2421, 0.3012, 0.2912, 0.2034, 0.1826, 0.1908, 0.1753, 0.0926, 0.2325, 0.1503, 0.1298, 0.058, 0.098, 0.0418, 0.1056, 0.1033, 0.1483, 0.2233, 0.2437, 0.2941, 0.3122, 0.3693, 0.3403, 0.3535, 0.3033, 0.3626, 0.332, 0.3513, 0.323, 0.2385, 0.2573, 0.2573, 0.1375, 0.1187, 0.1292, 0.0831, 0.1214, 0.1386, 0.2314, 0.255, 0.2546, 0.2301, 0.2176, 0.1942, 0.2416, 0.2219, 0.2246, 0.2732, 0.301, 0.3066, 0.2788, 0.2792, 0.2324, 0.2519, 0.2941, 0.3159, 0.3454, 0.3998, 0.3973, 0.42, 0.4199, 0.4544, 0.3862, 0.4296, 0.4424, 0.4536, 0.5138, 0.5125, 0.4701, 0.479, 0.4909, 0.4802, 0.4879, 0.4678, 0.3984, 0.4263, 0.4331, 0.4738, 0.5338, 0.5682, 0.5551, 0.5301, 0.562, 0.5408, 0.5459]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1747738243196707022", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-17T21:50:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2024 will be a demand pocket year and bumpy ride down to $150", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; sees 2024 as a demand trough with price falling to $150.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 I\u2019ll repeat it again. 2024 will be a demand pocket year and bumpy ride down to $150. Hedge if you can or buy the dips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA has cut M-Y prices by 4-9% (avg 6%) across several Europe countries.  M-3 prices were unchanged.  We estimate Europe M-Y accounts for just 11% of TSLA volume (54K/485K in 4Q). We expect European inventory discounts to be cut by about the same amount, at least for the time https://t.co/xSNMn2xahx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.020227327991754418, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020227327991754418, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01463758374828128, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011402486589995986, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005589744243473138, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008824841401758432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017026203279914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017026203279914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025919002356128873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022715778927544283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008892799076214875, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005689575647630285, "ret_p1w": -0.03581536122200568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03581536122200568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06355248349764431, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04045993856555763, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027737122275638626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004644577343551948, "ret_p1m": -0.07005337921470511, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07005337921470511, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1329808595367339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11562920848969838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06292748032202877, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04557582927499326, "ret_p3m": -0.25084670173368295, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25084670173368295, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3222590539596747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26419631808162747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07141235222599174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013349616347944515, "ret_p6m": 0.11820921070189372, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11820921070189372, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06752380202617769, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016030675878893952, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1857330127280714, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10217853482299977, "price_path": [-0.0165, -0.0161, 0.0045, -0.0145, -0.0454, -0.0383, -0.0844, -0.0682, -0.0459, 0.0137, 0.0205, 0.0173, 0.0308, 0.0304, -0.0258, -0.0042, 0.0379, 0.1014, 0.1266, 0.0837, 0.087, 0.093, 0.119, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.0923, 0.0952, 0.1446, 0.1326, 0.1138, 0.108, 0.0929, 0.1075, 0.1105, 0.1257, 0.1312, 0.1122, 0.0996, 0.1101, 0.1647, 0.1761, 0.1695, 0.1933, 0.1466, 0.1807, 0.1716, 0.1716, 0.1905, 0.2129, 0.1746, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1525, 0.1062, 0.1038, 0.1018, 0.1155, 0.09, 0.0853, 0.0541, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0202, 0.0, -0.017, -0.0156, -0.0313, -0.0297, -0.0358, -0.1527, -0.1498, -0.1142, -0.1112, -0.1311, -0.1238, -0.1282, -0.16, -0.1413, -0.1298, -0.1206, -0.102, -0.1272, -0.1463, -0.1245, -0.0701, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.1011, -0.0964, -0.0842, -0.1094, -0.0749, -0.0734, -0.0627, -0.0634, -0.0599, -0.1272, -0.1615, -0.181, -0.1712, -0.1865, -0.1753, -0.1763, -0.2137, -0.2461, -0.2412, -0.1937, -0.2052, -0.1851, -0.1982, -0.2075, -0.1991, -0.1757, -0.1657, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1871, -0.227, -0.2188, -0.2062, -0.235, -0.1975, -0.1794, -0.2032, -0.19, -0.2064, -0.2508, -0.2711, -0.2788, -0.3044, -0.3178, -0.341, -0.3288, -0.2478, -0.2105, -0.2193, -0.0997, -0.1497, -0.165, -0.1649, -0.1594, -0.1428, -0.1751, -0.1894, -0.2022, -0.2184, -0.2026, -0.1763, -0.1928, -0.1889, -0.1767, -0.1884, -0.1343, -0.1644, -0.194, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.18, -0.1826, -0.1705, -0.1738, -0.1821, -0.1892, -0.1881, -0.1745, -0.1766, -0.1937, -0.2083, -0.1775, -0.1535, -0.1742, -0.1304, -0.1424, -0.1424, -0.1576, -0.151, -0.153, -0.1308, -0.089, -0.0841, -0.082, -0.0264, 0.0729, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.1669, 0.1735, 0.217, 0.2213, 0.1182]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1780272779872665647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-16T16:31:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect the next support zone around $133", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; after hitting $157 target, expects next support at $133.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well we hit $157 as I predicted but it took a few weeks.  I expect the next support zone around $133", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Going into Q1 print, haven't changed my 414k estimate. Looking at $TSLA price movement:\n\n1) my short term price target is now $157 for technical reasons. A -10% drop from today's close is exactly there. A -5% drop puts the price at a key fib retrace level of $165. $160 is a potential double-bottom bullish reversal candidate\n\n2) a 'sell the rumor, buy the news' outcome is also possible. The short thesis has been obvious for 30+ days so unless $TSLA reports below 423k tomorrow, I can see minimal downside until earnings\n\nWill update once numbers are out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.027814875566231523, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027814875566231523, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02598779453770228, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02209799757799491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018270810285292427, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005716877988236613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010565868854054306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010565868854054306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004647566630143429, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005715160063866076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005918302223910876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0048507087901882295, "ret_p1w": -0.07911659274572835, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911659274572835, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08332688772339736, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07547853875293209, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004210294977669005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003638053992796264, "ret_p1m": 0.1074406773422183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1074406773422183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05530883447987822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07406301260856551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05213184286234007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03337766473365278, "ret_p3m": 0.5799757797924918, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5799757797924918, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4642595305048858, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4718048931307359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11571624928760604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1081708866617559, "ret_p6m": 0.5342753619458369, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5342753619458369, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3808627619778713, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3837465883641855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15341259996796563, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1505287735816514, "price_path": [0.3486, 0.3506, 0.329, 0.3312, 0.3228, 0.1624, 0.1664, 0.2153, 0.2195, 0.1921, 0.2021, 0.196, 0.1524, 0.1782, 0.1939, 0.2065, 0.2321, 0.1974, 0.1713, 0.2011, 0.2759, 0.2727, 0.2727, 0.2333, 0.2397, 0.2565, 0.2219, 0.2692, 0.2713, 0.286, 0.285, 0.2898, 0.1975, 0.1504, 0.1237, 0.1371, 0.116, 0.1315, 0.13, 0.0787, 0.0343, 0.0411, 0.1062, 0.0904, 0.1181, 0.1, 0.0873, 0.0988, 0.1309, 0.1446, 0.1189, 0.1189, 0.1153, 0.0606, 0.0717, 0.0891, 0.0496, 0.101, 0.1258, 0.0932, 0.1113, 0.0887, 0.0278, 0.0, -0.0106, -0.0457, -0.064, -0.0959, -0.0791, 0.032, 0.0832, 0.0712, 0.2351, 0.1666, 0.1456, 0.1458, 0.1533, 0.176, 0.1318, 0.1121, 0.0946, 0.0723, 0.0941, 0.1301, 0.1074, 0.1129, 0.1295, 0.1136, 0.1877, 0.1464, 0.1058, 0.1409, 0.1409, 0.125, 0.1214, 0.138, 0.1335, 0.1221, 0.1124, 0.1139, 0.1326, 0.1297, 0.1062, 0.0862, 0.1284, 0.1614, 0.133, 0.193, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.1557, 0.1649, 0.1621, 0.1925, 0.2499, 0.2566, 0.2595, 0.3358, 0.472, 0.5683, 0.5683, 0.6009, 0.61, 0.6697, 0.6756, 0.5341, 0.58, 0.608, 0.633, 0.5817, 0.5863, 0.5225, 0.6009, 0.5682, 0.3748, 0.4019, 0.399, 0.4773, 0.417, 0.4771, 0.3803, 0.3218, 0.2659, 0.2771, 0.2205, 0.2656, 0.273, 0.257, 0.3228, 0.2818, 0.363, 0.3756, 0.4176, 0.4073, 0.4211, 0.3408, 0.4023, 0.3571, 0.3316, 0.3096, 0.313, 0.3628, 0.3628, 0.3405, 0.3965, 0.465, 0.3413, 0.3766, 0.4396, 0.452, 0.4627, 0.4658, 0.4434, 0.4504, 0.4461, 0.5525, 0.5165, 0.5912, 0.6184, 0.6359, 0.6181, 0.6578, 0.6653, 0.6423, 0.585, 0.5318, 0.5918, 0.5329, 0.5562, 0.5343]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1585771498887081984", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-27T23:12:42+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT $AAPL $TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech and the gap will grow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT, AAPL, TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech with a growing gap over the rest of large-cap tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech $MSFT $AAPL $TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech and the gap will grow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Meta we view as a completely different situation than the rest of larger cap tech as the company is facing Apple iOS privacy issues, massive digital media headwinds, social media share losses, and transforming its biz model at the worst possible time with Zuckerberg as the pilot https://t.co/yESBE1iyWt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": 0.020154439731047358, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020154439731047358, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014785609213002537, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014785609213002537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00536883051804482, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00536883051804482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04022059725274363, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04022059725274363, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01642978764764491, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01642978764764491, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023790809605098717, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023790809605098717, "ret_p1w": -0.055126826208072965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.055126826208072965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.031520501506731025, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031520501506731025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02360632470134194, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02360632470134194, "ret_p1m": 0.09454226472600347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09454226472600347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035723141485458854, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.035723141485458854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05881912324054461, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05881912324054461, "ret_p3m": 0.07043927825407215, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07043927825407215, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012389319035167157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012389319035167157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05804995921890499, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05804995921890499, "ret_p6m": 0.2669599181418483, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2669599181418483, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17302520442042169, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17302520442042169, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09393471372142659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09393471372142659, "price_path": [0.2235, 0.2094, 0.2431, 0.2483, 0.245, 0.2336, 0.2423, 0.2725, 0.2631, 0.2846, 0.2915, 0.2882, 0.2848, 0.2797, 0.262, 0.2249, 0.2191, 0.2163, 0.2298, 0.1823, 0.1697, 0.1597, 0.1531, 0.1484, 0.1293, 0.1293, 0.1169, 0.1382, 0.1401, 0.1663, 0.176, 0.1113, 0.1123, 0.0822, 0.0793, 0.0784, 0.0692, 0.0538, 0.0628, 0.0493, 0.0472, 0.0426, 0.0632, 0.0474, 0.0271, 0.0617, 0.0976, 0.099, 0.0884, 0.033, 0.011, -0.0059, -0.0044, 0.033, 0.008, 0.0475, 0.0518, 0.0429, 0.0415, 0.0678, 0.0904, 0.1054, 0.0202, 0.0, 0.0402, 0.0237, 0.0063, -0.0293, -0.0551, -0.0236, 0.0049, 0.0093, -0.0099, 0.0716, 0.0898, 0.0653, 0.0671, 0.0691, 0.0688, 0.0668, 0.0705, 0.0837, 0.0949, 0.0949, 0.0945, 0.0692, 0.0629, 0.1284, 0.1264, 0.1278, 0.1065, 0.0841, 0.0807, 0.0941, 0.0854, 0.1167, 0.1362, 0.1376, 0.1013, 0.0822, 0.0634, 0.0694, 0.081, 0.0534, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.048, 0.0372, 0.0659, 0.0606, 0.0606, 0.0596, 0.0132, -0.0168, -0.0052, 0.0045, 0.0121, 0.0427, 0.0548, 0.058, 0.058, 0.063, 0.0429, 0.0257, 0.0624, 0.0728, 0.0704, 0.0641, 0.0968, 0.0975, 0.0734, 0.096, 0.1178, 0.1702, 0.1426, 0.1356, 0.1833, 0.1796, 0.1659, 0.1636, 0.1999, 0.2037, 0.1941, 0.1623, 0.1441, 0.1441, 0.1203, 0.1151, 0.1296, 0.105, 0.1091, 0.1058, 0.0919, 0.1133, 0.1319, 0.1389, 0.1268, 0.1248, 0.1187, 0.1022, 0.1258, 0.1563, 0.1769, 0.2246, 0.2389, 0.207, 0.2138, 0.2072, 0.231, 0.2439, 0.2254, 0.2203, 0.2437, 0.2594, 0.2782, 0.2735, 0.2733, 0.2607, 0.2929, 0.2929, 0.2831, 0.254, 0.2569, 0.285, 0.2686, 0.2804, 0.2785, 0.2789, 0.2685, 0.267]}
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{"unit_id": "reply:1585771498887081984", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2022-10-27T23:12:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT $AAPL $TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech and the gap will grow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSFT, AAPL, TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech with a growing gap over the rest of large-cap tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech $MSFT $AAPL $TSLA will be Tier 1 big tech and the gap will grow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Meta we view as a completely different situation than the rest of larger cap tech as the company is facing Apple iOS privacy issues, massive digital media headwinds, social media share losses, and transforming its biz model at the worst possible time with Zuckerberg as the pilot https://t.co/yESBE1iyWt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": -0.0019991867944529895, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019991867944529895, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00736801731249781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005865647568418342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00536883051804482, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038664607739653523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015238384603380561, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015238384603380561, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008552425001718156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014340753238190285, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023790809605098717, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008976313651902768, "ret_p1w": -0.04344928223560751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04344928223560751, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01984295753426557, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015032932370611873, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02360632470134194, "bench_c_p1w": -0.058482214606219385, "ret_p1m": -0.18761382742281496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18761382742281496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24643295066335957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17242359386056716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05881912324054461, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015190233562247801, "ret_p3m": -0.3607445833636692, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3607445833636692, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4187945425825742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3368987118598272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05804995921890499, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023845871503841987, "ret_p6m": -0.2666044492566111, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2666044492566111, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3605391629780377, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2900445079838119, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09393471372142659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023440058727200785, "price_path": [0.3207, 0.3354, 0.3657, 0.3712, 0.2802, 0.2903, 0.2588, 0.3077, 0.2734, 0.3329, 0.3742, 0.362, 0.3506, 0.3456, 0.318, 0.288, 0.317, 0.3199, 0.3153, 0.2799, 0.2654, 0.2337, 0.2244, 0.2313, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.2192, 0.2604, 0.2851, 0.3314, 0.3524, 0.2978, 0.3444, 0.3495, 0.3477, 0.3731, 0.3716, 0.3364, 0.2821, 0.2232, 0.2262, 0.257, 0.2786, 0.1916, 0.1784, 0.0769, 0.1082, 0.0698, 0.0579, -0.009, -0.0095, -0.0382, -0.0349, -0.015, -0.0893, -0.0255, -0.0218, -0.0136, -0.0791, -0.0473, -0.0615, -0.0119, -0.002, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0109, 0.0121, -0.0449, -0.0434, -0.0783, -0.1244, -0.1501, -0.211, -0.1527, -0.1294, -0.1517, -0.1363, -0.1696, -0.1862, -0.1995, -0.2542, -0.2451, -0.1861, -0.1861, -0.1876, -0.1873, -0.1966, -0.135, -0.135, -0.1343, -0.1894, -0.2011, -0.2268, -0.2295, -0.2045, -0.2544, -0.285, -0.3034, -0.2995, -0.3326, -0.3342, -0.3878, -0.3888, -0.4431, -0.4529, -0.4529, -0.5153, -0.4993, -0.4588, -0.4528, -0.4528, -0.5197, -0.4951, -0.5098, -0.4977, -0.4679, -0.472, -0.4526, -0.4511, -0.4562, -0.4562, -0.4158, -0.4279, -0.435, -0.4073, -0.3614, -0.3607, -0.3583, -0.288, -0.2096, -0.2596, -0.2304, -0.1941, -0.1636, -0.156, -0.1347, -0.1256, -0.1057, -0.0789, -0.1253, -0.1353, -0.0704, -0.0482, -0.1024, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.1232, -0.1076, -0.1023, -0.1253, -0.0776, -0.0861, -0.0992, -0.1519, -0.1213, -0.139, -0.1661, -0.1914, -0.2318, -0.2295, -0.2248, -0.1858, -0.1983, -0.182, -0.1997, -0.1859, -0.1222, -0.1508, -0.146, -0.1541, -0.1479, -0.1595, -0.1387, -0.1324, -0.0783, -0.1347, -0.1444, -0.1758, -0.1778, -0.1778, -0.1803, -0.1702, -0.1979, -0.1741, -0.1781, -0.169, -0.1812, -0.1977, -0.2759, -0.2666]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1722703426331754652", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-09T19:51:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA also just printed a massive diamond top and that has a large gap to fill at $147. Doubt we get there by EOY but within 6-9 months looking more likely than not", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: diamond top pattern targets gap fill at $147 within 6-9 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realMeetKevin $TSLA printed a massive head/shoulder last  year that contributed to the downward pressure as well. $TSLA also just printed a massive diamond top and that has a large gap to fill at $147. Doubt we get there by EOY but within 6-9 months looking more likely than not", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla stock is crashing $TSLA.\n\u2705Tax-loss harvesting season is upon us. \n\u2705\u2705However, that is predicated on people actually having gains to offset, so this tax-loss season may be LESS damaging than last year.\n\u2705Last year Tesla dropped ~$100 from Dec 1 - Dec 31. Buckle up.\n\u2705HSBC https://t.co/HmChegsUs1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realMeetKevin", "ret_m1d": 0.05776743084875502, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05776743084875502, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0499072517430037, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03874502619921327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00786017910575132, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019022404649541746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022240205086035525, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022240205086035525, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006635236036819814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0056112759124218314, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604969049215711, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016628929173613693, "ret_p1w": 0.11243928512593593, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11243928512593593, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07466014767516405, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06664690766779846, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03777913745077188, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04579237745813747, "ret_p1m": 0.1612534588975172, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1612534588975172, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10049359005798308, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07036163735602208, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.060759868839534104, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09089182154149511, "ret_p3m": -0.11848742799436296, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11848742799436296, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26172659917505603, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2283050045997076, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14323917118069307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10981757660534464, "ret_p6m": -0.13710826684409239, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13710826684409239, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3240852282729789, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26218068044230636, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18697696142888653, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12507241359821397, "price_path": [0.1418, 0.1094, 0.0744, 0.044, 0.0262, 0.1014, 0.1105, 0.128, 0.0955, 0.1363, 0.1373, 0.2248, 0.2234, 0.2291, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2215, 0.1997, 0.1977, 0.1834, 0.3029, 0.2738, 0.292, 0.3146, 0.3067, 0.2634, 0.2692, 0.2505, 0.2177, 0.1662, 0.1763, 0.1626, 0.1453, 0.1733, 0.1916, 0.1982, 0.1741, 0.2437, 0.2385, 0.2407, 0.2366, 0.2555, 0.2525, 0.2328, 0.1959, 0.2093, 0.2137, 0.1557, 0.0482, 0.0096, 0.01, 0.0311, 0.0116, -0.0201, -0.0128, -0.0601, -0.0435, -0.0206, 0.0406, 0.0475, 0.0442, 0.0581, 0.0578, 0.0, 0.0222, 0.0654, 0.1306, 0.1565, 0.1124, 0.1158, 0.122, 0.1487, 0.1154, 0.1154, 0.1213, 0.1243, 0.175, 0.1627, 0.1433, 0.1374, 0.1219, 0.1369, 0.14, 0.1555, 0.1613, 0.1417, 0.1287, 0.1396, 0.1956, 0.2073, 0.2005, 0.225, 0.177, 0.212, 0.2027, 0.2027, 0.2221, 0.2451, 0.2057, 0.1834, 0.1834, 0.1831, 0.1356, 0.1331, 0.131, 0.1451, 0.119, 0.1141, 0.0821, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0473, 0.0265, 0.009, 0.0105, -0.0056, -0.004, -0.0102, -0.1303, -0.1273, -0.0907, -0.0876, -0.1081, -0.1006, -0.1051, -0.1377, -0.1185, -0.1067, -0.0972, -0.0782, -0.1041, -0.1236, -0.1013, -0.0454, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.0772, -0.0724, -0.0599, -0.0858, -0.0504, -0.0488, -0.0378, -0.0386, -0.035, -0.104, -0.1393, -0.1593, -0.1492, -0.165, -0.1534, -0.1545, -0.1929, -0.2261, -0.221, -0.1723, -0.1841, -0.1634, -0.177, -0.1864, -0.1779, -0.1539, -0.1436, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.1655, -0.2064, -0.1981, -0.1851, -0.2147, -0.1762, -0.1576, -0.182, -0.1685, -0.1854, -0.231, -0.2518, -0.2597, -0.286, -0.2997, -0.3235, -0.311, -0.2279, -0.1895, -0.1985, -0.0759, -0.1272, -0.1428, -0.1427, -0.1371]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1781023274295754901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-18T18:13:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA can easily revisit 101-123 from here. Ex-FSD improvements, not much to cheer for.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still short TSLA; targets $101-123 on bad charts, weak fundamentals, and rate-cut thesis failing.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I closed half my remaining short (puts) today. I've been swinging the short position since $292 in Sept/Oct when it became clear the next 9-12 months were ominous.\n\nThe charts look horrible and fundamentals are equally as bad. The brightest 2024 bull narrative of 'rate cuts' isn't happening as expected. $TSLA can easily revisit 101-123 from here. Ex-FSD improvements, not much to cheer for.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With $TSLA at 52-week lows today, if you\u2019re still short, at what price are you hoping to cover your short and get clear?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ICannot_Enough", "ret_m1d": 0.03681721164622331, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03681721164622331, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0347553046212834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030569351502762077, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006247860143461237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0192088959161848, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0192088959161848, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010480585897687189, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010450240567379199, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0087586553488056, "ret_p1w": 0.13506303601168024, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13506303601168024, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12711548209501444, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11707868279671074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947553916665795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017984353214969495, "ret_p1m": 0.1836191248112624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1836191248112624, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12370166367290292, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14017637910499592, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043442745706266495, "ret_p3m": 0.7111986266376764, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7111986266376764, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5767449913218676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5718849626044169, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13445363531580878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1393136640332595, "ret_p6m": 0.4526780076801795, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4526780076801795, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28509067545418976, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29998971366826255, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758733222598976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15268829401191697, "price_path": [0.3926, 0.3949, 0.3862, 0.2181, 0.2222, 0.2735, 0.2779, 0.2492, 0.2597, 0.2533, 0.2076, 0.2346, 0.2511, 0.2643, 0.2911, 0.2548, 0.2274, 0.2587, 0.337, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.2923, 0.2991, 0.3167, 0.2804, 0.33, 0.3322, 0.3476, 0.3465, 0.3516, 0.2549, 0.2055, 0.1775, 0.1916, 0.1695, 0.1857, 0.1842, 0.1304, 0.0838, 0.091, 0.1592, 0.1427, 0.1716, 0.1527, 0.1394, 0.1514, 0.185, 0.1994, 0.1725, 0.1725, 0.1687, 0.1114, 0.1231, 0.1413, 0.0998, 0.1537, 0.1798, 0.1456, 0.1645, 0.1409, 0.077, 0.0479, 0.0368, 0.0, -0.0192, -0.0526, -0.035, 0.0814, 0.1351, 0.1225, 0.2943, 0.2224, 0.2005, 0.2006, 0.2085, 0.2323, 0.186, 0.1653, 0.147, 0.1237, 0.1465, 0.1842, 0.1605, 0.1661, 0.1836, 0.1669, 0.2446, 0.2013, 0.1588, 0.1955, 0.1955, 0.1789, 0.1751, 0.1925, 0.1878, 0.1758, 0.1657, 0.1672, 0.1868, 0.1838, 0.1591, 0.1383, 0.1825, 0.217, 0.1873, 0.2502, 0.233, 0.233, 0.211, 0.2206, 0.2178, 0.2496, 0.3097, 0.3167, 0.3198, 0.3997, 0.5425, 0.6434, 0.6434, 0.6776, 0.6871, 0.7497, 0.7559, 0.6076, 0.6556, 0.6851, 0.7112, 0.6574, 0.6623, 0.5954, 0.6775, 0.6433, 0.4406, 0.469, 0.466, 0.5481, 0.4848, 0.5479, 0.4464, 0.3851, 0.3265, 0.3382, 0.279, 0.3262, 0.334, 0.3172, 0.3862, 0.3432, 0.4283, 0.4415, 0.4855, 0.4747, 0.4892, 0.4051, 0.4695, 0.4221, 0.3954, 0.3723, 0.3758, 0.4281, 0.4281, 0.4047, 0.4634, 0.5352, 0.4055, 0.4425, 0.5085, 0.5216, 0.5328, 0.536, 0.5126, 0.5198, 0.5154, 0.6269, 0.5891, 0.6674, 0.6959, 0.7143, 0.6956, 0.7372, 0.745, 0.7209, 0.6609, 0.6051, 0.668, 0.6063, 0.6308, 0.6078, 0.5925, 0.4527]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1779916923272409195", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T16:57:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is very bearish - especially Zach and Drew as they were the two most prominent brass in my eyes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA on executive departures; author views Zach and Drew losses as significant and not spinnable positively.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. In the Isaacson book, Musk has had critical disagreement with many top brass over the years on robotaxi and model 2. \n\nWhen we heard of Guillen leaving ( $TSLA community downplayed it as \u2018he\u2019s been there for a while etc.\u2019) and Zach with a similar spin - it\u2019s clear in the book that Jerome (and very likely Drew/Zach) were due to underperformance or a lack of conviction.\n\nIt cannot be spun any other way. I\u2019ve followed the company for a decade. This is very bearish - especially Zach and Drew as they were the two most prominent brass in my eyes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Biggest executive loss since Zach and Jerome Guillen. This is no longer the Tesla of old.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1748852549996982662", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-20T23:38:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't hold much upside hope", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish TSLA into Wednesday earnings; little upside expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Right before earnings season. First up in Mag7 is $TSLA this Wednesday and I wouldn\u2019t hold much upside hope", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$QQQ Measured move complete. \u2705 https://t.co/Mg2Yb4dHWd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016235629023473308, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016235629023473308, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01834538703208277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011813291158075057, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021097580086094636, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044223378653982515, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016283349277841364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016283349277841364, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012882383379684281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004040308131376236, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029165732657525645, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024119732035920993, "ret_p1w": -0.08558433963023893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08558433963023893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10175975640587342, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08598639470142411, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0161754167756345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00040205507118518113, "ret_p1m": -0.07203069121217265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07203069121217265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09956190787323527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09046646121773905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02753121666106262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0184357700055664, "ret_p3m": -0.28194449001700317, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28194449001700317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3183951048025755, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2676616220372603, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03645061478557232, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014282867979742875, "ret_p6m": 0.22873560253252045, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22873560253252045, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.052930434763722944, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10569460515016504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1758051677687975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12304099738235541, "price_path": [0.0173, -0.0146, -0.0072, -0.0548, -0.0381, -0.015, 0.0465, 0.0534, 0.0501, 0.0641, 0.0637, 0.0057, 0.028, 0.0714, 0.137, 0.163, 0.1187, 0.1221, 0.1284, 0.1552, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1276, 0.1307, 0.1816, 0.1693, 0.1498, 0.1438, 0.1283, 0.1433, 0.1464, 0.1621, 0.1678, 0.1482, 0.1351, 0.146, 0.2023, 0.2141, 0.2073, 0.2319, 0.1836, 0.2189, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.229, 0.2521, 0.2125, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1898, 0.142, 0.1395, 0.1374, 0.1516, 0.1253, 0.1204, 0.0882, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0532, 0.0323, 0.0148, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0046, -0.1253, -0.1224, -0.0856, -0.0824, -0.103, -0.0955, -0.1, -0.1329, -0.1135, -0.1016, -0.0921, -0.0729, -0.099, -0.1187, -0.0962, -0.04, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.072, -0.0672, -0.0545, -0.0806, -0.045, -0.0434, -0.0324, -0.0331, -0.0295, -0.0989, -0.1344, -0.1545, -0.1444, -0.1602, -0.1486, -0.1497, -0.1883, -0.2217, -0.2166, -0.1676, -0.1795, -0.1587, -0.1723, -0.1818, -0.1732, -0.1491, -0.1387, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1608, -0.202, -0.1936, -0.1805, -0.2102, -0.1716, -0.1529, -0.1774, -0.1638, -0.1808, -0.2266, -0.2476, -0.2555, -0.2819, -0.2957, -0.3197, -0.3071, -0.2235, -0.185, -0.194, -0.0706, -0.1222, -0.138, -0.1379, -0.1322, -0.1151, -0.1484, -0.1632, -0.1764, -0.1932, -0.1768, -0.1497, -0.1667, -0.1626, -0.1501, -0.1621, -0.1063, -0.1374, -0.1679, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1535, -0.1562, -0.1437, -0.1471, -0.1557, -0.163, -0.1619, -0.1478, -0.15, -0.1677, -0.1827, -0.1509, -0.1261, -0.1475, -0.1023, -0.1147, -0.1147, -0.1304, -0.1235, -0.1256, -0.1027, -0.0595, -0.0545, -0.0523, 0.0051, 0.1076, 0.18, 0.18, 0.2046, 0.2114, 0.2564, 0.2608, 0.1544, 0.1888, 0.21, 0.2287]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1770106363819274391", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-19T15:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YoY vol decline not gunna go over well with the stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "YoY volume decline in China will pressure TSLA stock in Q1.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl YoY vol decline not gunna go over well with the stock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Very soft week in China especially considering all of the discounts available right now. Q1 looking very soft. My last fc of 430k may still be too high. Quarter now trending towards 420k.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.01447580913795865, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01447580913795865, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0200022312925765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023059825031324643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005526422154617849, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008584015893365993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025332688257929448, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025332688257929448, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016083352063843703, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010435579241950155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009249336194085744, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014897109015979293, "ret_p1w": 0.03706508623192728, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03706508623192728, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.031054039085522955, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02720734973046124, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006011047146404325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009857736501466041, "ret_p1m": -0.0926337245943667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0926337245943667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0632372636479277, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047000447515666344, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029396460946438996, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04563327707870035, "ret_p3m": 0.039049655011726525, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.039049655011726525, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013441020427612305, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051454746800726925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05249067543933883, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0124050917890004, "ret_p6m": 0.3316016526375829, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3316016526375829, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25307179452511197, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28238704063987896, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07852985811247093, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04921461199770394, "price_path": [0.4855, 0.4741, 0.4741, 0.4978, 0.526, 0.4778, 0.4504, 0.4504, 0.45, 0.3918, 0.3888, 0.3862, 0.4035, 0.3715, 0.3655, 0.3263, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.2836, 0.2582, 0.2367, 0.2386, 0.2188, 0.2208, 0.2131, 0.066, 0.0696, 0.1145, 0.1183, 0.0932, 0.1024, 0.0968, 0.0569, 0.0804, 0.0949, 0.1065, 0.1299, 0.0981, 0.0741, 0.1015, 0.17, 0.1671, 0.1671, 0.131, 0.1369, 0.1523, 0.1205, 0.1639, 0.1658, 0.1793, 0.1784, 0.1828, 0.0982, 0.055, 0.0305, 0.0428, 0.0235, 0.0376, 0.0363, -0.0107, -0.0515, -0.0452, 0.0145, 0.0, 0.0253, 0.0088, -0.0029, 0.0076, 0.0371, 0.0497, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0228, -0.0274, -0.0172, -0.0012, -0.0375, 0.0097, 0.0325, 0.0026, 0.0191, -0.0016, -0.0574, -0.0829, -0.0926, -0.1249, -0.1417, -0.1708, -0.1555, -0.0536, -0.0067, -0.0177, 0.1327, 0.0698, 0.0506, 0.0507, 0.0576, 0.0784, 0.0379, 0.0198, 0.0038, -0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0364, 0.0156, 0.0205, 0.0358, 0.0212, 0.0892, 0.0513, 0.0141, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0317, 0.0284, 0.0436, 0.0395, 0.029, 0.0201, 0.0215, 0.0386, 0.036, 0.0144, -0.0039, 0.0348, 0.0651, 0.039, 0.0941, 0.079, 0.079, 0.0598, 0.0682, 0.0657, 0.0936, 0.1462, 0.1523, 0.155, 0.225, 0.3499, 0.4382, 0.4382, 0.4681, 0.4764, 0.5312, 0.5367, 0.4069, 0.4489, 0.4747, 0.4975, 0.4505, 0.4548, 0.3962, 0.4681, 0.4381, 0.2607, 0.2856, 0.283, 0.3548, 0.2994, 0.3546, 0.2658, 0.2122, 0.1609, 0.1711, 0.1193, 0.1606, 0.1674, 0.1528, 0.2131, 0.1755, 0.2499, 0.2615, 0.3, 0.2906, 0.3032, 0.2296, 0.286, 0.2445, 0.2212, 0.201, 0.2041, 0.2498, 0.2498, 0.2293, 0.2807, 0.3435, 0.23, 0.2624, 0.3202, 0.3316]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1781597540166893872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-20T08:15:28+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is really bad news for the stock next 6-12 months.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: price-cut strategy for FSD market share will weigh on earnings and stock over 6\u201312 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today's $TSLA price cuts say more than it seems. It looked like $TSLA was going for the path of maximum earnings, throttled production and remove price cuts. \n\nHowever, it looks like it's decided to go down the other path: maximum user base for FSD. This means price cuts will keep happening. \n\nThis is really bad news for the stock next 6-12 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035198872879842025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035198872879842025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044323858280928774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0395974634235412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004398590543699177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018514534090260826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018514534090260826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006647799288034495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006609029031749758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011905505058511068, "ret_p1w": 0.36606827795035746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.36606827795035746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3453766369612008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3104115523755615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05565672557479595, "ret_p1m": 0.31362197884307985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31362197884307985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2503067659904563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667038313743191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046918147468760774, "ret_p3m": 0.7545229874914454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7545229874914454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.64501571856198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6407602229158194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11376276457562606, "ret_p6m": 0.5457233552062333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5457233552062333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37820052131743753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38036739942345665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16535595578277662, "price_path": [0.4631, 0.2857, 0.29, 0.3441, 0.3488, 0.3185, 0.3295, 0.3228, 0.2746, 0.3031, 0.3205, 0.3345, 0.3627, 0.3244, 0.2955, 0.3285, 0.4111, 0.4076, 0.4076, 0.364, 0.3711, 0.3897, 0.3514, 0.4037, 0.4061, 0.4223, 0.4212, 0.4265, 0.3245, 0.2724, 0.2428, 0.2577, 0.2344, 0.2515, 0.2498, 0.1931, 0.144, 0.1515, 0.2235, 0.2061, 0.2366, 0.2166, 0.2026, 0.2153, 0.2508, 0.266, 0.2375, 0.2375, 0.2335, 0.173, 0.1854, 0.2046, 0.1609, 0.2177, 0.2452, 0.2092, 0.2291, 0.2042, 0.1368, 0.106, 0.0943, 0.0555, 0.0352, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.1414, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.3661, 0.2902, 0.2671, 0.2672, 0.2755, 0.3007, 0.2517, 0.23, 0.2106, 0.186, 0.2101, 0.2499, 0.2249, 0.2308, 0.2493, 0.2316, 0.3136, 0.2679, 0.2231, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2443, 0.2403, 0.2586, 0.2536, 0.241, 0.2303, 0.232, 0.2527, 0.2494, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2481, 0.2845, 0.2532, 0.3195, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.2782, 0.2883, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.3824, 0.3898, 0.393, 0.4774, 0.628, 0.7345, 0.7345, 0.7706, 0.7806, 0.8467, 0.8533, 0.6968, 0.7475, 0.7785, 0.8061, 0.7494, 0.7545, 0.6839, 0.7706, 0.7345, 0.5205, 0.5505, 0.5473, 0.6339, 0.5672, 0.6337, 0.5266, 0.4619, 0.4001, 0.4125, 0.3499, 0.3998, 0.408, 0.3903, 0.4631, 0.4177, 0.5075, 0.5214, 0.5679, 0.5565, 0.5718, 0.483, 0.551, 0.501, 0.4728, 0.4484, 0.4522, 0.5073, 0.5073, 0.4826, 0.5446, 0.6203, 0.4835, 0.5225, 0.5922, 0.606, 0.6178, 0.6212, 0.5965, 0.6042, 0.5994, 0.7171, 0.6772, 0.7599, 0.79, 0.8094, 0.7897, 0.8336, 0.8418, 0.8164, 0.753, 0.6942, 0.7605, 0.6954, 0.7212, 0.6969, 0.6809, 0.5333, 0.5428, 0.5457]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1775983751916568638", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-04T20:28:17+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Re-entered and bought dip with a chunk of shares at $843 yesterday. I'm seeing Wyckoff distribution form + lots of support 800-830", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Re-entered NVDA long at $843 on dip, sees support 800-830; monitoring for further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Re-entered my $NVDA long position (sold 910-970) today around 865. I see a potential Wyckoff distribution + several key supports between 818-860\n\n---\n\nClosed at 885 today (4h ichi) for +25% 1-day gains due to some bearish pattern forming (rising wedge etc). Monitoring for re-entry to upside. Buying dips below 818-860\n\n---\n\nRe-entered and bought dip with a chunk of shares at $843 yesterday.\n\nI'm seeing Wyckoff distribution form + lots of support 800-830\n\n---\n\nTo those curious of my entry thesis and following\n\nhttps://t.co/3RQasfv751\n\n---\n\nSold $NVDA Jun 21 800p (cash covered) within 0.50 of session high today, spot $840", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03560918404224722, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03560918404224722, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02325221230548502, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008231818583699813, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012356971736762201, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02737736545854741, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024480714209737187, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024480714209737187, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014033832378195443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011974542262755072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010446881831541743, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012506171946982114, "ret_p1w": 0.054839746497699515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054839746497699515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04523104989187132, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021095644543777547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009608696605828193, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03374410195392197, "ret_p1m": 0.033572019948834964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.033572019948834964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03704137686695519, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04339518658867669, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0034693569181202255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00982316663984173, "ret_p3m": 0.42809006246918146, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42809006246918146, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35458894992558765, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22917235383709755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07350111254359382, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1989177086320839, "ret_p6m": 0.41342603548140033, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41342603548140033, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2925808922886317, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2867718103598178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12084514319276862, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12665422512158253, "price_path": [-0.3918, -0.3814, -0.3674, -0.3619, -0.3632, -0.3632, -0.3437, -0.3475, -0.3353, -0.3075, -0.3056, -0.3031, -0.2857, -0.2828, -0.2896, -0.2729, -0.2693, -0.2838, -0.2664, -0.2299, -0.193, -0.2059, -0.184, -0.1894, -0.1604, -0.159, -0.1604, -0.1398, -0.1542, -0.1548, -0.1548, -0.1916, -0.2146, -0.0858, -0.0826, -0.0794, -0.0839, -0.096, -0.0791, -0.0423, -0.0078, 0.0007, 0.0325, 0.0787, 0.0189, -0.0015, 0.0699, 0.058, 0.0237, 0.0225, 0.0297, 0.0407, 0.052, 0.0644, 0.0976, 0.1059, 0.0775, 0.0506, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0519, 0.0413, 0.0356, 0.0, 0.0245, 0.0143, -0.0064, 0.0132, 0.0548, 0.0266, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0218, -0.0144, -0.113, -0.0743, -0.0405, -0.0725, -0.0381, 0.0213, 0.0216, 0.0058, -0.0333, -0.001, 0.0336, 0.0726, 0.0541, 0.0525, 0.0331, 0.0462, 0.0523, 0.0635, 0.1016, 0.0984, 0.0765, 0.1033, 0.1104, 0.1053, 0.2083, 0.2394, 0.2394, 0.3259, 0.3367, 0.2863, 0.2762, 0.3387, 0.3554, 0.4253, 0.4085, 0.4072, 0.4177, 0.4076, 0.4575, 0.5089, 0.5353, 0.5248, 0.5784, 0.5784, 0.5225, 0.4735, 0.375, 0.4679, 0.4715, 0.4435, 0.4382, 0.4471, 0.4281, 0.4934, 0.4934, 0.4649, 0.4925, 0.5295, 0.5706, 0.4832, 0.5046, 0.4953, 0.471, 0.3736, 0.4097, 0.3729, 0.4382, 0.4272, 0.3301, 0.3071, 0.3162, 0.2991, 0.2076, 0.3623, 0.2714, 0.2488, 0.1694, 0.2136, 0.1515, 0.222, 0.2195, 0.2692, 0.3521, 0.3747, 0.4303, 0.4503, 0.5134, 0.4814, 0.496, 0.4405, 0.5061, 0.4722, 0.4936, 0.4623, 0.369, 0.3897, 0.3897, 0.2573, 0.2365, 0.2481, 0.1971, 0.2395, 0.2585, 0.361, 0.3871, 0.3866, 0.3596, 0.3458, 0.3199, 0.3723, 0.3506, 0.3536, 0.4073, 0.438, 0.4442, 0.4134]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1768325569555661113", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-14T17:17:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YoY decline for Q1 will be a disastrous narrative for the stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: YoY Q1 volume decline will be a disastrous narrative for the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 These numbers are actually respectable. I'm at $2.20 2024 EPS. Regardless, the vol decline is the real story here. YoY decline for Q1 will be a disastrous narrative for the stock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Another $TSLA 1Q and FY\u201924 delivs cut - UBS. https://t.co/KU3KZVR2iw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.04295381986177893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04295381986177893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04097305691364039, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036559010830155225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001980762948138537, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006394809031623705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006584660456730784, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006584660456730784, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013451199793856006, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016537780638986033, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068665393371252215, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009953120182255248, "ret_p1w": 0.06350773737980764, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06350773737980764, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04627787650148951, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03630831234021947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017229860878318126, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027199425039588165, "ret_p1m": 0.05261540339543269, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05261540339543269, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.057494968587274986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06565023737059883, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004879565191842294, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013034833975166138, "ret_p3m": 0.05021540715144224, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05021540715144224, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004252852753990677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05962803203560019, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04596255439745156, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00941262488415795, "ret_p6m": 0.29679997370793276, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29679997370793276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2407992722080199, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27816901172314346, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.056000701499912875, "bench_c_p6m": 0.018630961984789307, "price_path": [0.5513, 0.5829, 0.5209, 0.5662, 0.5541, 0.5541, 0.5791, 0.6089, 0.558, 0.5291, 0.5291, 0.5287, 0.4674, 0.4642, 0.4615, 0.4797, 0.4459, 0.4396, 0.3983, 0.347, 0.347, 0.3533, 0.3265, 0.3039, 0.3058, 0.2849, 0.287, 0.279, 0.1239, 0.1277, 0.175, 0.179, 0.1526, 0.1622, 0.1564, 0.1142, 0.1391, 0.1543, 0.1665, 0.1912, 0.1577, 0.1324, 0.1613, 0.2335, 0.2305, 0.2305, 0.1924, 0.1986, 0.2148, 0.1814, 0.2271, 0.2291, 0.2433, 0.2423, 0.247, 0.1578, 0.1122, 0.0864, 0.0994, 0.079, 0.094, 0.0926, 0.043, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0695, 0.0543, 0.081, 0.0635, 0.0513, 0.0623, 0.0934, 0.1066, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0783, 0.0254, 0.0362, 0.053, 0.0148, 0.0645, 0.0885, 0.057, 0.0745, 0.0526, -0.0063, -0.0332, -0.0434, -0.0774, -0.0951, -0.1258, -0.1097, -0.0023, 0.0473, 0.0356, 0.1942, 0.1279, 0.1076, 0.1078, 0.115, 0.137, 0.0942, 0.0752, 0.0583, 0.0367, 0.0578, 0.0926, 0.0707, 0.0759, 0.0921, 0.0766, 0.1483, 0.1084, 0.0692, 0.103, 0.103, 0.0877, 0.0842, 0.1002, 0.0959, 0.0849, 0.0755, 0.0769, 0.095, 0.0922, 0.0695, 0.0502, 0.091, 0.1229, 0.0954, 0.1535, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.1174, 0.1262, 0.1236, 0.1529, 0.2084, 0.2149, 0.2177, 0.2914, 0.4231, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5478, 0.5566, 0.6143, 0.6201, 0.4833, 0.5276, 0.5547, 0.5788, 0.5292, 0.5337, 0.472, 0.5478, 0.5162, 0.3292, 0.3554, 0.3526, 0.4283, 0.37, 0.4281, 0.3345, 0.278, 0.2239, 0.2347, 0.1801, 0.2236, 0.2308, 0.2153, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.3178, 0.33, 0.3706, 0.3606, 0.374, 0.2964, 0.3558, 0.3121, 0.2874, 0.2662, 0.2694, 0.3176, 0.3176, 0.296, 0.3502, 0.4164, 0.2968]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1745860241076666653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-12T17:28:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly recommend long-term investors hedge (sell calls/buy puts) throughout 2024 to smooth out the turbulence as we likely going to $130-150", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA to $130-150; recommends hedging via selling calls/buying puts through 2024 on no improvement in growth story since 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@teslashanghai These reasons are why I hedged hard from 250-400 the past 2 years. I haven't seen the growth story improve since 2022. I strongly recommend long-term investors hedge (sell calls/buy puts) throughout 2024 to smooth out the turbulence as we likely going to $130-150", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla seems to be facing a reality check. Let's think about the catalysts we still have:\n1. FSD? Delayed.\n2. Gross Margin? Continues to decrease with price cuts.\n3. New factories? Delayed.\n4. Model Q? Not visible in the next 2 years.\n5. Stock buyback? I think Elon doesn't", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "teslashanghai", "ret_m1d": 0.03805565285888801, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03805565285888801, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03874801819728335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025868848353517437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006923653383953399, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012186804505370574, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.030608967823675948, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030608967823675948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04267151791737722, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03595508626529964, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012062550093701274, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005346118441623693, "ret_p1m": -0.1405271807419568, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1405271807419568, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19150467561220386, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17381080837937257, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05097749487024705, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328362763741577, "ret_p3m": -0.21531365075713615, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21531365075713615, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2972078070752707, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24416524180124355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08189415631813457, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028851591044107394, "ret_p6m": 0.1555576003778274, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1555576003778274, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016721972864623735, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06214033050593293, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17227957324245113, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09341726987189447, "price_path": [0.1643, 0.1087, 0.0056, -0.0315, -0.0311, -0.0108, -0.0296, -0.06, -0.0529, -0.0984, -0.0825, -0.0604, -0.0017, 0.0049, 0.0017, 0.015, 0.0147, -0.0407, -0.0194, 0.022, 0.0846, 0.1094, 0.0672, 0.0704, 0.0763, 0.1019, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0757, 0.0785, 0.1271, 0.1154, 0.0968, 0.0911, 0.0762, 0.0906, 0.0936, 0.1085, 0.114, 0.0953, 0.0828, 0.0932, 0.1469, 0.1581, 0.1516, 0.1751, 0.1291, 0.1627, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1723, 0.1944, 0.1567, 0.1352, 0.1352, 0.1349, 0.0894, 0.087, 0.085, 0.0985, 0.0734, 0.0688, 0.0381, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0047, -0.0153, -0.032, -0.0306, -0.0461, -0.0445, -0.0505, -0.1657, -0.1628, -0.1277, -0.1247, -0.1444, -0.1372, -0.1415, -0.1728, -0.1544, -0.143, -0.134, -0.1157, -0.1405, -0.1593, -0.1379, -0.0842, -0.0865, -0.0865, -0.1148, -0.1102, -0.0981, -0.123, -0.089, -0.0875, -0.077, -0.0777, -0.0742, -0.1405, -0.1743, -0.1935, -0.1838, -0.199, -0.1879, -0.1889, -0.2257, -0.2576, -0.2527, -0.206, -0.2173, -0.1975, -0.2105, -0.2196, -0.2113, -0.1883, -0.1784, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.1995, -0.2388, -0.2308, -0.2183, -0.2467, -0.2097, -0.1919, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2186, -0.2623, -0.2822, -0.2898, -0.315, -0.3282, -0.351, -0.339, -0.2593, -0.2225, -0.2312, -0.1135, -0.1627, -0.1777, -0.1776, -0.1722, -0.1559, -0.1877, -0.2018, -0.2144, -0.2303, -0.2147, -0.1889, -0.2051, -0.2012, -0.1893, -0.2007, -0.1475, -0.1772, -0.2063, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.1925, -0.1951, -0.1832, -0.1864, -0.1946, -0.2016, -0.2005, -0.1871, -0.1892, -0.206, -0.2203, -0.19, -0.1664, -0.1868, -0.1437, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1705, -0.1639, -0.1659, -0.1441, -0.1029, -0.0981, -0.096, -0.0413, 0.0565, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1491, 0.1556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1621271246792167426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-02T22:16:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA can see $60-75 as a potential bottom if recession is worse than we think. Will be an amazing buy opp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA could bottom at $60-75 in a bad recession but would be an amazing buy opportunity at that level.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WR4NYGov Good advice, avoid margin unless you are 100% certain you know what you are doing. Agree, $TSLA can see $60-75 as a potential bottom if recession is worse than we think. Will be an amazing buy opp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Don\u2019t get carried away. Yes I see $TSLA going to $2000 and higher by 2030. \n\nBut margin is dangerous. Wall Street doesn\u2019t see 2030 or even 2025.\n\nIn a bad recession $TSLA could fall to $60 or lower this year. https://t.co/BOYcxaZRI8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WR4NYGov", "ret_m1d": -0.03643703433725898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03643703433725898, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02208905004237771, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006724035046961618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014347984294881266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02971299929029736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009082654784473565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009082654784473565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019711809710135197, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03988421303684131, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010629154925661632, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030801558252367744, "ret_p1w": 0.10118448302677563, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10118448302677563, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12443427000066831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1412073550185493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023249786973892683, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04002287199177368, "ret_p1m": 0.05056561745170374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05056561745170374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08077354437542339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11364197467019155, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.030207926923719652, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06307635721848781, "ret_p3m": -0.14851015073757567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14851015073757567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13802008528532328, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08983473354870941, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010490065452252395, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05867541718886626, "ret_p6m": 0.4152015530621602, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4152015530621602, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3106197884635704, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3032923082255836, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10458176459858981, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1119092448365766, "price_path": [0.0468, 0.0161, -0.0567, 0.013, 0.0409, 0.0142, 0.0327, -0.0072, -0.0271, -0.0429, -0.1084, -0.0975, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0287, -0.0284, -0.0395, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.035, -0.0309, -0.0449, -0.0756, -0.0788, -0.049, -0.1086, -0.1451, -0.1672, -0.1625, -0.2021, -0.204, -0.2681, -0.2693, -0.3342, -0.3459, -0.3459, -0.4205, -0.4013, -0.353, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.4258, -0.3964, -0.4139, -0.3995, -0.3638, -0.3687, -0.3455, -0.3437, -0.3499, -0.3499, -0.3016, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.2913, -0.2365, -0.2357, -0.2329, -0.1487, -0.0551, -0.1148, -0.0799, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0345, 0.0454, 0.0692, 0.1012, 0.0458, 0.0338, 0.1114, 0.1379, 0.0731, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0483, 0.0669, 0.0733, 0.0457, 0.1028, 0.0926, 0.077, 0.014, 0.0506, 0.0294, -0.003, -0.0333, -0.0815, -0.0788, -0.0732, -0.0266, -0.0415, -0.022, -0.0432, -0.0267, 0.0495, 0.0153, 0.021, 0.0114, 0.0188, 0.0049, 0.0298, 0.0372, 0.1019, 0.0345, 0.0229, -0.0146, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.02, -0.0079, -0.0411, -0.0126, -0.0174, -0.0065, -0.021, -0.0408, -0.1343, -0.1232, -0.1366, -0.1466, -0.1834, -0.1491, -0.1273, -0.1404, -0.1485, -0.1469, -0.1438, -0.0967, -0.0875, -0.1016, -0.1048, -0.086, -0.1078, -0.1164, -0.1155, -0.0765, -0.0604, -0.0432, 0.0032, -0.0133, -0.0285, -0.0202, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0685, 0.0832, 0.1022, 0.1365, 0.1558, 0.1755, 0.1928, 0.2475, 0.2981, 0.327, 0.3741, 0.3639, 0.3592, 0.3839, 0.3839, 0.4577, 0.3781, 0.4055, 0.3629, 0.2803, 0.329, 0.361, 0.3677, 0.3904, 0.4863, 0.4863, 0.5004, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.432, 0.433, 0.4447, 0.4761, 0.4946, 0.5424, 0.5581, 0.547, 0.3964, 0.3811, 0.4291, 0.409, 0.4041, 0.3582, 0.4152]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1768826598487433640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-16T02:28:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Robot has huge upside though", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA on robot upside, though skeptical FSD alone gets it to NVDA scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Even if $TSLA solves FSD it won\u2019t be 1/4 $NVDA. Robot has huge upside though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA flat/minimal growth in 2024 could be a massive buying opportunity before an Nvidia moment in 2025/26 with FSD, Robotaxi &amp; Teslabot", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.0588607338775049, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0588607338775049, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05295269504248712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05128068928788565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059080388350177815, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00758004458961925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014269250195585559, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014269250195585559, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01982638341433962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02292758941038142, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005557133218754062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008658339214795863, "ret_p1w": -0.0067318650656000845, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0067318650656000845, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0202053119577692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024048370149861942, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013473446892169116, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017316505084261857, "ret_p1m": -0.09602993180866604, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09602993180866604, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07783788019573445, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06335208361705214, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01819205161293158, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0326778481916139, "ret_p3m": 0.04988491379003812, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04988491379003812, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007811174151773459, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04580705157478704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05769608794181158, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004077862215251082, "ret_p6m": 0.30132332679874385, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30132332679874385, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22781314117960827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25349258325908597, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07351018561913558, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04783074353965788, "price_path": [0.422, 0.4643, 0.453, 0.453, 0.4765, 0.5043, 0.4567, 0.4297, 0.4297, 0.4293, 0.372, 0.369, 0.3665, 0.3835, 0.3519, 0.346, 0.3074, 0.2594, 0.2594, 0.2653, 0.2402, 0.2191, 0.2209, 0.2014, 0.2033, 0.1958, 0.0508, 0.0544, 0.0986, 0.1024, 0.0776, 0.0867, 0.0812, 0.0418, 0.065, 0.0793, 0.0907, 0.1138, 0.0825, 0.0588, 0.0858, 0.1533, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.1148, 0.1207, 0.1358, 0.1045, 0.1473, 0.1492, 0.1625, 0.1616, 0.1659, 0.0825, 0.0399, 0.0158, 0.0279, 0.0089, 0.0228, 0.0215, -0.0249, -0.065, -0.0589, 0.0, -0.0143, 0.0107, -0.0056, -0.0171, -0.0067, 0.0223, 0.0347, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0082, -0.0413, -0.0312, -0.0155, -0.0512, -0.0047, 0.0177, -0.0117, 0.0046, -0.0158, -0.0709, -0.096, -0.1056, -0.1373, -0.1539, -0.1827, -0.1675, -0.0671, -0.0208, -0.0317, 0.1165, 0.0545, 0.0356, 0.0357, 0.0425, 0.0631, 0.0231, 0.0053, -0.0105, -0.0307, -0.011, 0.0216, 0.0011, 0.006, 0.0211, 0.0066, 0.0736, 0.0363, -0.0003, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0287, 0.0246, 0.0143, 0.0056, 0.0069, 0.0238, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0181, 0.0201, 0.0499, 0.0242, 0.0785, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0447, 0.053, 0.0505, 0.078, 0.1299, 0.1359, 0.1386, 0.2075, 0.3306, 0.4177, 0.4177, 0.4472, 0.4554, 0.5094, 0.5147, 0.3868, 0.4283, 0.4536, 0.4762, 0.4298, 0.434, 0.3763, 0.4471, 0.4176, 0.2428, 0.2673, 0.2647, 0.3354, 0.2809, 0.3353, 0.2478, 0.1949, 0.1443, 0.1544, 0.1033, 0.1441, 0.1507, 0.1363, 0.1958, 0.1587, 0.2321, 0.2435, 0.2815, 0.2722, 0.2846, 0.2121, 0.2677, 0.2268, 0.2037, 0.1838, 0.1869, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2117, 0.2624, 0.3243, 0.2125, 0.2444, 0.3013]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1740097721158275383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-27T19:50:00+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A convincing weekly close above this would be considered a breakout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA at ~267\u2013265 Fibonacci channel resistance; a convincing weekly close above would signal a bullish breakout.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl This line is actually more accurately represented as a Fibonacci channel, and on the weekly it suggests 267 this week and 265 next week FYI. A convincing weekly close above this would be considered a breakout\n\n---\n\n@TSLAFanMtl This also explains your 'false breakout' on the daily", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018474667398789668, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018474667398789668, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016669860912068013, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015046562215319526, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018048064867216551, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034281051834701426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03159428430420175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03159428430420175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03197214468656717, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026396928808095077, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00037786038236542474, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00519735549610667, "ret_p1w": -0.08793606670163867, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08793606670163867, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07173505603369645, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047628575846447974, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016201010667942217, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0403074908551907, "ret_p1m": -0.3014458262799955, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3014458262799955, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.32562165204674387, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24637552441638455, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02417582576674837, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05507030186361095, "ret_p3m": -0.33969551992525626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33969551992525626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.43386968539638504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34885559030664925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09417416547112878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009160070381392993, "ret_p6m": -0.3055002844680891, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3055002844680891, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45699669910477614, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30889752363628864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15149641463668706, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0033972391681995617, "price_path": [-0.0429, -0.0376, -0.057, -0.0011, -0.0053, -0.0035, -0.0068, 0.0083, 0.0059, -0.0098, -0.0395, -0.0288, -0.0252, -0.0718, -0.1581, -0.1891, -0.1888, -0.1718, -0.1875, -0.213, -0.2071, -0.2451, -0.2318, -0.2134, -0.1642, -0.1587, -0.1613, -0.1502, -0.1504, -0.1968, -0.179, -0.1443, -0.0919, -0.0711, -0.1065, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.0774, -0.1042, -0.1042, -0.0994, -0.097, -0.0563, -0.0662, -0.0817, -0.0865, -0.0989, -0.0869, -0.0844, -0.0719, -0.0673, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0847, -0.0397, -0.0304, -0.0358, -0.0161, -0.0547, -0.0265, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0185, 0.0, -0.0316, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0498, -0.0879, -0.0899, -0.0916, -0.0803, -0.1013, -0.1052, -0.1309, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.1589, -0.1755, -0.1896, -0.1884, -0.2013, -0.2, -0.2051, -0.3014, -0.2991, -0.2697, -0.2672, -0.2836, -0.2776, -0.2812, -0.3075, -0.292, -0.2825, -0.2749, -0.2596, -0.2804, -0.2961, -0.2782, -0.2333, -0.2352, -0.2352, -0.2589, -0.255, -0.2449, -0.2657, -0.2373, -0.236, -0.2272, -0.2278, -0.2249, -0.2804, -0.3087, -0.3247, -0.3167, -0.3293, -0.32, -0.3209, -0.3517, -0.3784, -0.3743, -0.3352, -0.3447, -0.3281, -0.339, -0.3466, -0.3397, -0.3204, -0.3122, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.3298, -0.3626, -0.356, -0.3455, -0.3693, -0.3384, -0.3234, -0.343, -0.3322, -0.3457, -0.3823, -0.3991, -0.4054, -0.4265, -0.4375, -0.4567, -0.4466, -0.3799, -0.3491, -0.3563, -0.2578, -0.299, -0.3115, -0.3115, -0.307, -0.2933, -0.3199, -0.3317, -0.3422, -0.3556, -0.3425, -0.3209, -0.3345, -0.3312, -0.3212, -0.3308, -0.2863, -0.3111, -0.3354, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3239, -0.3261, -0.3161, -0.3188, -0.3257, -0.3315, -0.3306, -0.3194, -0.3211, -0.3353, -0.3472, -0.3219, -0.3021, -0.3191, -0.283, -0.2929, -0.2929, -0.3055]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1457803133946499081", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-08T20:12:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy. $1400 PT by EOY (higher if split announced)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA to $1400 EOY on Jefferies upgrade, China Q4 beat, and potential split catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thetradingchick It\u2019s $TSLA sold from overreaction of @elonmusk tweet proposal meanwhile Jeffries bumps to street high $1400 PT and China numbers come out swinging to start q4. Buy. $1400 PT by EOY (higher if split announced).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "pop-quiz: do you buy or sell here? https://t.co/h4hd7H5qBF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thetradingchick", "ret_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05086249014556765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05171533681468876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036506002113225744, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008528466691211101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014356488032341908, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11990303254359846, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11659770651303447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10141737857082345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003305326030563993, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018485653972775018, "ret_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12859650368599462, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12539779214284408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10626948911138923, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0031987115431505453, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022327014574605397, "ret_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09561109918861044, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0942250416220487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08778474159074345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.001386057566561738, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007826357597866984, "ret_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23371800586440084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18944502459241241, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09590885192004117, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04427298127198842, "bench_c_p3m": -0.13780915394435966, "ret_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21814536553153785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11196958981075811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.012069287389383287, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10617577572077974, "bench_c_p6m": -0.20607607814215456, "price_path": [-0.3914, -0.3789, -0.3833, -0.41, -0.4276, -0.4075, -0.4209, -0.4151, -0.3927, -0.3908, -0.3884, -0.3971, -0.3878, -0.3715, -0.3674, -0.3688, -0.3702, -0.3692, -0.3692, -0.3526, -0.3518, -0.3509, -0.3669, -0.3611, -0.3598, -0.3501, -0.3491, -0.3469, -0.3721, -0.3642, -0.3534, -0.352, -0.3341, -0.3195, -0.3314, -0.3282, -0.3332, -0.3334, -0.328, -0.3288, -0.3269, -0.3176, -0.3246, -0.319, -0.3072, -0.3026, -0.2963, -0.2751, -0.2518, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2313, -0.2178, -0.1187, -0.1243, -0.1076, -0.0739, -0.0421, 0.0393, 0.0078, 0.0438, 0.0576, 0.0509, 0.0, -0.1199, -0.0817, -0.0855, -0.1114, -0.1286, -0.093, -0.0636, -0.0572, -0.0223, -0.0052, -0.0464, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0697, -0.0223, -0.0156, -0.0584, -0.0674, -0.1272, -0.1324, -0.0956, -0.0808, -0.1368, -0.1255, -0.169, -0.1758, -0.1608, -0.203, -0.1981, -0.2262, -0.193, -0.1325, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0593, -0.064, -0.066, -0.0796, -0.0913, 0.0317, -0.0115, -0.0643, -0.0845, -0.1169, -0.0901, -0.0847, -0.0488, -0.113, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1139, -0.1439, -0.1433, -0.1884, -0.2003, -0.2103, -0.1939, -0.2871, -0.2722, -0.1945, -0.1992, -0.2212, -0.2337, -0.206, -0.2198, -0.2072, -0.1986, -0.2222, -0.2605, -0.2469, -0.2068, -0.206, -0.2464, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.2936, -0.343, -0.3114, -0.3036, -0.2515, -0.2567, -0.2434, -0.2783, -0.2792, -0.3082, -0.2911, -0.2614, -0.2792, -0.3161, -0.341, -0.3105, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2215, -0.2079, -0.1453, -0.1409, -0.1281, -0.131, -0.0611, -0.0545, -0.0593, -0.0734, -0.0674, -0.015, -0.0616, -0.1008, -0.0909, -0.1182, -0.1608, -0.1513, -0.1209, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1364, -0.1159, -0.1597, -0.1326, -0.1358, -0.1418, -0.2464, -0.242, -0.2454, -0.2512, -0.2236, -0.2181]}
{"unit_id": "orig:715284686323355648", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2016-03-30T21:08:53+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Opened some low 200 $tsla positions looking forward to the #model3 tomorrow", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSLA; opened positions in low $200s ahead of Model 3 event tomorrow.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Opened some low 200 $tsla positions looking forward to the #model3 tomorrow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014280020990165676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014280020990165676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01864836966300587, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020594208087960753, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004368348672840194, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0063141870977950765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012693337980441255, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012693337980441255, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015120256472193283, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013829838125300808, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002426918491752028, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011365001448595535, "ret_p1w": 0.16981801818966935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16981801818966935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16787606494701457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1737329747885329, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0019419532426547814, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003914956598863539, "ret_p1m": 0.09176249487650678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09176249487650678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08482138071178169, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0966875072800435, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006941114164725093, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0049250124035367104, "ret_p3m": -0.12490636483331408, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12490636483331408, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0987826651316771, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07244159954976936, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02612369970163697, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05246476528354471, "ret_p6m": -0.09017587491545964, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09017587491545964, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15518022286473132, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10594694235194135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06500434794927168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01577106743648171, "price_path": [0.0578, -0.0153, -0.0152, -0.0346, -0.0495, -0.07, -0.0839, -0.0746, -0.1171, -0.0913, -0.0965, -0.0965, -0.0977, -0.1242, -0.1186, -0.1073, -0.1345, -0.1469, -0.1711, -0.1639, -0.1573, -0.132, -0.1944, -0.2354, -0.2272, -0.2834, -0.3477, -0.3466, -0.3668, -0.3368, -0.3343, -0.3343, -0.3161, -0.2566, -0.265, -0.2658, -0.2166, -0.219, -0.2111, -0.1739, -0.1611, -0.1541, -0.1787, -0.1699, -0.1373, -0.1139, -0.0952, -0.1071, -0.0801, -0.0957, -0.0855, -0.0517, -0.0377, -0.0219, -0.0022, 0.0258, 0.0504, 0.0324, -0.019, 0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0149, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.0127, 0.0472, 0.0886, 0.126, 0.1698, 0.1336, 0.1022, 0.1015, 0.0922, 0.1218, 0.1101, 0.1217, 0.119, 0.0903, 0.1017, 0.0943, 0.1184, 0.1099, 0.1183, 0.1083, 0.0918, 0.0611, 0.0657, 0.0239, -0.0191, -0.0677, -0.0527, -0.0792, -0.0802, -0.079, -0.0864, -0.085, -0.082, -0.098, -0.0693, -0.0515, -0.0291, -0.047, -0.0396, -0.0322, -0.0078, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0323, -0.035, -0.0348, -0.0274, 0.024, 0.038, 0.0109, -0.0357, -0.0398, -0.0526, -0.0405, -0.0395, -0.0503, -0.0317, -0.0321, -0.1332, -0.1344, -0.1487, -0.1249, -0.1106, -0.0736, -0.0644, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0569, -0.0549, -0.0483, -0.0446, -0.0093, -0.0099, -0.0192, -0.0236, -0.0286, -0.0028, -0.0072, 0.0065, -0.0282, -0.0204, 0.0138, 0.0115, 0.0071, 0.0164, 0.0348, 0.0138, 0.0014, -0.0048, 0.0164, 0.0138, -0.0032, 0.0097, -0.0055, -0.0087, -0.0056, -0.0057, -0.0145, -0.0161, -0.0149, -0.0083, -0.0175, -0.009, -0.0188, -0.0261, -0.0304, -0.0515, -0.0685, -0.0656, -0.1151, -0.1283, -0.1283, -0.106, -0.111, -0.1302, -0.1429, -0.126, -0.1359, -0.1343, -0.1167, -0.0947, -0.0906, -0.0981, -0.0955, -0.0902]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1782656925509058747", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-23T06:25:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is awful news. $TSLA growth not only slowing, but going in reverse. Xiaomi SU7 is the epitome of what's wrong with $TSLA in China and how they misunderstand what the local consumer wants in their EV.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: China insured units declining, losing ground to Xiaomi SU7 as company misreads local consumer preferences.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is awful news. $TSLA growth not only slowing, but going in reverse. Xiaomi SU7 is the epitome of what's wrong with $TSLA in China and how they misunderstand what the local consumer wants in their EV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSLA \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf3\nNEWS: Tesla China insured units            \n\n&lt;Apr 2024&gt;       \n1-7 : 1,907 \n8-14 : 6,212\n15-21 : 5,168 https://t.co/5mMQbHmdYx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01817797730966908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01817797730966908, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006450410433438303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006412545657211943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011727566876230777, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011765431652457137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12061109407252757, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12061109407252757, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12108582502020038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11104808374360231, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004747309476728079, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009563010328925259, "ret_p1w": 0.2667957427259193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2667957427259193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2740537662600616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2489448080974821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01785093462843723, "ret_p1m": 0.24488533127014134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24488533127014134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19706566250981172, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22106481057748884, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023820520692652503, "ret_p3m": 0.6533039055667795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6533039055667795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.564089849574122, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5624610178561844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08921405599265753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09084288771059512, "ret_p6m": 0.5297899712162779, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5297899712162779, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37094421716808235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3720919821633668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15884575404819556, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1576979890529111, "price_path": [0.2623, 0.2666, 0.3197, 0.3242, 0.2945, 0.3054, 0.2988, 0.2515, 0.2794, 0.2965, 0.3102, 0.3379, 0.3003, 0.2719, 0.3043, 0.3855, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3392, 0.3462, 0.3645, 0.3269, 0.3782, 0.3805, 0.3965, 0.3954, 0.4006, 0.3004, 0.2492, 0.2202, 0.2348, 0.2119, 0.2287, 0.2271, 0.1714, 0.1232, 0.1306, 0.2013, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1945, 0.1807, 0.1932, 0.228, 0.243, 0.215, 0.215, 0.2111, 0.1517, 0.1638, 0.1827, 0.1398, 0.1956, 0.2226, 0.1872, 0.2068, 0.1823, 0.1161, 0.0859, 0.0744, 0.0363, 0.0164, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.1206, 0.1763, 0.1632, 0.3412, 0.2668, 0.2441, 0.2442, 0.2524, 0.277, 0.229, 0.2076, 0.1886, 0.1644, 0.1881, 0.2272, 0.2026, 0.2085, 0.2266, 0.2092, 0.2897, 0.2449, 0.2009, 0.2389, 0.2389, 0.2217, 0.2178, 0.2358, 0.2309, 0.2185, 0.208, 0.2096, 0.2299, 0.2267, 0.2012, 0.1796, 0.2254, 0.2612, 0.2304, 0.2955, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.255, 0.2649, 0.262, 0.2949, 0.3573, 0.3645, 0.3677, 0.4505, 0.5984, 0.703, 0.703, 0.7385, 0.7483, 0.8132, 0.8196, 0.666, 0.7157, 0.7462, 0.7733, 0.7176, 0.7226, 0.6533, 0.7384, 0.7029, 0.4929, 0.5223, 0.5192, 0.6042, 0.5387, 0.604, 0.4989, 0.4354, 0.3746, 0.3868, 0.3254, 0.3743, 0.3824, 0.365, 0.4365, 0.3919, 0.4801, 0.4938, 0.5394, 0.5282, 0.5432, 0.456, 0.5228, 0.4737, 0.446, 0.4221, 0.4258, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.4556, 0.5165, 0.5909, 0.4565, 0.4948, 0.5632, 0.5768, 0.5884, 0.5917, 0.5675, 0.575, 0.5704, 0.6859, 0.6467, 0.728, 0.7575, 0.7765, 0.7571, 0.8002, 0.8083, 0.7834, 0.7212, 0.6634, 0.7285, 0.6646, 0.6899, 0.6661, 0.6503, 0.5054, 0.5148, 0.5176, 0.5298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1121807555997552640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2019-04-26T16:05:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can't help but laugh at anyone driving an ICE vehicle - lining up to fill up at these astronomical prices $TSLA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High gas prices make EVs compelling; implicitly bullish on Tesla as the EV beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With gas flirting with $2 CAD/litre, which is around $5.30 USD/gallon, I can\u2019t help but laugh at anyone driving an ICE vehicle - lining up to fill up at these astronomical prices $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05311733668129248, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05311733668129248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.057752346407030974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.060990093147126556, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004635009725738493, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007872756465834074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026920128922461872, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026920128922461872, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025352303168530987, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030400770594150694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015678257539308849, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003480641671688822, "ret_p1w": 0.08458798147671942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08458798147671942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08247472462612682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08931147367584336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002113256850592604, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004723492199123935, "ret_p1m": -0.18929145878044418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18929145878044418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15306260679167005, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12929301630140433, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.036228851988774124, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05999844247903985, "ret_p3m": 0.1264778651857581, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1264778651857581, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09411292606009436, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09800022470605785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03236493912566374, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02847764047970025, "ret_p6m": 0.07808114347475592, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07808114347475592, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.045937886759251034, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.055202292332396485, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.032143256715504887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022878851142359435, "price_path": [0.265, 0.3131, 0.3057, 0.3278, 0.3307, 0.3666, 0.3491, 0.3078, 0.3005, 0.3304, 0.3261, 0.3106, 0.2919, 0.3093, 0.3093, 0.2998, 0.2867, 0.2385, 0.2533, 0.2706, 0.2667, 0.3385, 0.3604, 0.2537, 0.2136, 0.1761, 0.1748, 0.1763, 0.2084, 0.2372, 0.2051, 0.2289, 0.2331, 0.1713, 0.1461, 0.1375, 0.1636, 0.1653, 0.125, 0.1075, 0.1388, 0.1688, 0.1849, 0.1902, 0.2298, 0.2158, 0.241, 0.1388, 0.1693, 0.1619, 0.1581, 0.174, 0.1415, 0.1385, 0.1329, 0.1625, 0.1535, 0.1621, 0.1621, 0.1174, 0.1223, 0.1, 0.0531, 0.0, 0.0269, 0.0151, -0.0048, 0.0381, 0.0846, 0.0859, 0.0507, 0.0413, 0.0291, 0.0186, -0.0346, -0.012, -0.0136, -0.029, -0.1025, -0.1266, -0.1278, -0.1804, -0.1686, -0.1893, -0.1893, -0.1975, -0.1926, -0.1995, -0.2126, -0.2389, -0.1767, -0.1639, -0.1241, -0.1303, -0.0947, -0.0767, -0.1101, -0.0903, -0.086, -0.043, -0.0442, -0.037, -0.066, -0.0565, -0.0489, -0.0654, -0.0675, -0.0523, -0.0497, -0.0339, -0.045, -0.001, -0.001, -0.0087, -0.0204, -0.0216, 0.0161, 0.0147, 0.0423, 0.0781, 0.0733, 0.0839, 0.0783, 0.098, 0.0874, 0.1064, 0.1265, -0.0269, -0.0302, 0.0027, 0.0303, 0.0275, -0.0055, -0.0034, -0.029, -0.0187, -0.0073, 0.0134, -0.0006, -0.0261, -0.0006, -0.066, -0.0829, -0.0646, -0.0353, -0.0395, -0.0609, -0.0552, -0.101, -0.0857, -0.0896, -0.0831, -0.0571, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0431, -0.0615, -0.0236, -0.0327, -0.0142, 0.0017, 0.0509, 0.0456, 0.0428, 0.0326, 0.041, 0.0355, 0.0487, 0.0233, 0.0259, -0.0507, -0.0274, 0.0316, 0.0297, 0.0244, 0.0406, 0.034, -0.009, -0.0158, 0.011, 0.0209, 0.0399, 0.0408, 0.0542, 0.0928, 0.0968, 0.1047, 0.1141, 0.0928, 0.0781]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765579145000648795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-07T03:24:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Deliveries until 2030 reduced drastically, profit margins 65%+ evaporated. Both materially impact PEG and forward PE but hey nothings changed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on Tesla: drastically cut deliveries and evaporated margins compress PEG and forward PE, valuation no longer supported.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theartofvalue @sashayanshin Rose tinted glasses on retail left and right. Deliveries until 2030 reduced drastically, profit margins 65%+ evaporated. Both materially impact PEG and forward PE but hey nothings changed", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@sashayanshin 'No matter if the underlying numbers haven't changed one iota.' Have you looked at the growth numbers, for instance\" compared to a couple of years ago?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "johnguyjohnston", "ret_m1d": -0.011810807066549134, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011810807066549134, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001981960502844604, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004241187618212017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00982884656370453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007569619448337117, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018527834714126334, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018527834714126334, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01252557773100993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014825852607984968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006002256983116405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003701982106141366, "ret_p1w": -0.09040019282531975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09040019282531975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09067209795381959, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08410116965850367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002719051284998386, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006299023166816076, "ret_p1m": -0.07696613753016524, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07696613753016524, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08712676438843492, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06729420878941139, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010160626858269683, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009671928740753843, "ret_p3m": -0.02171838654677838, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02171838654677838, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05128605921978313, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0032922891083460026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029567672673004752, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02501067565512438, "ret_p6m": 0.19848870934982443, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19848870934982443, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09661522575845227, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1600808383203305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10187348359137216, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038407871029493945, "price_path": [0.342, 0.3267, 0.3394, 0.4053, 0.419, 0.411, 0.4398, 0.3834, 0.4246, 0.4136, 0.4136, 0.4364, 0.4634, 0.4172, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3905, 0.3347, 0.3318, 0.3294, 0.3459, 0.3152, 0.3095, 0.2719, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.231, 0.2065, 0.186, 0.1877, 0.1688, 0.1707, 0.1633, 0.0223, 0.0257, 0.0687, 0.0724, 0.0484, 0.0572, 0.0518, 0.0135, 0.0361, 0.05, 0.0611, 0.0835, 0.0531, 0.0301, 0.0563, 0.122, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.0846, 0.0902, 0.105, 0.0746, 0.1161, 0.118, 0.1309, 0.13, 0.1343, 0.0531, 0.0117, -0.0118, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0049, -0.0062, -0.0513, -0.0904, -0.0844, -0.0271, -0.041, -0.0167, -0.0326, -0.0438, -0.0337, -0.0055, 0.0066, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0673, -0.0575, -0.0422, -0.077, -0.0317, -0.0099, -0.0386, -0.0227, -0.0425, -0.0961, -0.1206, -0.1299, -0.1608, -0.1769, -0.2049, -0.1901, -0.0925, -0.0474, -0.058, 0.0862, 0.0259, 0.0075, 0.0076, 0.0142, 0.0342, -0.0047, -0.022, -0.0374, -0.057, -0.0378, -0.0062, -0.0261, -0.0213, -0.0067, -0.0207, 0.0445, 0.0082, -0.0275, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0106, -0.0138, 0.0008, -0.0032, -0.0132, -0.0217, -0.0204, -0.004, -0.0065, -0.0272, -0.0447, -0.0076, 0.0214, -0.0036, 0.0492, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0163, 0.0244, 0.022, 0.0487, 0.0992, 0.1051, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2945, 0.3792, 0.3792, 0.4079, 0.4158, 0.4684, 0.4736, 0.3492, 0.3895, 0.4142, 0.4361, 0.391, 0.3951, 0.3389, 0.4078, 0.3791, 0.209, 0.2329, 0.2303, 0.2992, 0.2461, 0.299, 0.2139, 0.1624, 0.1132, 0.1231, 0.0734, 0.113, 0.1195, 0.1055, 0.1633, 0.1272, 0.1987, 0.2097, 0.2467, 0.2376, 0.2498, 0.1792, 0.2332, 0.1935, 0.1711, 0.1517, 0.1547, 0.1985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775291167959310835", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T22:36:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if we break $160 it's going south fast. Q1 earnings likely next leg down. Until then, choppiness between 160-170.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: more bearish than bullish technical patterns, break of $160 triggers sharp downside, Q1 earnings seen as next leg lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Shows how much was priced in. Technical patterns are mostly all in tact still (and there are more bearish patterns than bullish) - if we break $160 it's going south fast.\n\nQ1 earnings likely next leg down. Until then, choppiness between 160-170.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Oddly bullish day tbh.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1805479939288011016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-25T05:55:36+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think we see a downward trend for a few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Near-term bearish on NVDA expecting downward trend for months, then buying the dip at $110-115.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Called the top for $NVDA and the resulting correction of -20%. I think we see a downward trend for a few months, but I'm buying the dip around 110-115 with the intention of writing calls https://t.co/maecrCQW85", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06328821815297192, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06328821815297192, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059452027102467775, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.040405539570573135, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038361910505041452, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022882678582398785, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002458577154997643, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002458577154997643, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012104253050631009, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005743892117787253, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012481518499345423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032853149627896094, "ret_p1w": -0.027123530713659916, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027123530713659916, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034795798431251024, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034229085890071786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007672267717591108, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007105555176411871, "ret_p1m": -0.09390114501543201, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09390114501543201, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08729355814637385, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014480309077852138, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006607586869058157, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07942083593757987, "ret_p3m": -0.07994349988352734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07994349988352734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12612854983362176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.011243459780595044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046185049950094426, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09118695966412238, "ret_p6m": 0.0225230439017019, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0225230439017019, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05685630252517737, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09808552297131257, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07937934642687927, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07556247906961067, "price_path": [-0.2835, -0.2835, -0.2834, -0.2906, -0.2945, -0.3188, -0.3021, -0.309, -0.3231, -0.3098, -0.2814, -0.3007, -0.318, -0.3068, -0.3336, -0.3285, -0.3957, -0.3694, -0.3464, -0.3681, -0.3447, -0.3042, -0.3041, -0.3148, -0.3415, -0.3195, -0.2959, -0.2693, -0.2819, -0.283, -0.2962, -0.2873, -0.2831, -0.2755, -0.2496, -0.2517, -0.2666, -0.2484, -0.2436, -0.247, -0.1769, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.0967, -0.0894, -0.1237, -0.1306, -0.088, -0.0766, -0.029, -0.0405, -0.0413, -0.0342, -0.0411, -0.0071, 0.0279, 0.0459, 0.0388, 0.0753, 0.0753, 0.0372, 0.0038, -0.0633, 0.0, 0.0025, -0.0167, -0.0202, -0.0142, -0.0271, 0.0174, 0.0174, -0.0021, 0.0167, 0.042, 0.07, 0.0104, 0.025, 0.0186, 0.0021, -0.0642, -0.0397, -0.0647, -0.0202, -0.0278, -0.0939, -0.1095, -0.1033, -0.115, -0.1773, -0.0719, -0.1339, -0.1493, -0.2033, -0.1732, -0.2156, -0.1675, -0.1692, -0.1354, -0.0789, -0.0635, -0.0256, -0.012, 0.031, 0.0092, 0.0191, -0.0186, 0.026, 0.0029, 0.0175, -0.0038, -0.0674, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.1435, -0.1577, -0.1497, -0.1845, -0.1556, -0.1427, -0.0728, -0.055, -0.0554, -0.0738, -0.0832, -0.1008, -0.0651, -0.0799, -0.0779, -0.0413, -0.0204, -0.0162, -0.0371, -0.0368, -0.072, -0.0573, -0.0256, -0.0092, 0.013, 0.054, 0.0521, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0951, 0.0438, 0.0765, 0.0861, 0.0945, 0.1398, 0.1389, 0.1069, 0.1137, 0.1226, 0.1145, 0.1203, 0.1052, 0.053, 0.0739, 0.0791, 0.1097, 0.1549, 0.1808, 0.1709, 0.1521, 0.1762, 0.1601, 0.164, 0.1261, 0.1116, 0.166, 0.1571, 0.1633, 0.1259, 0.0788, 0.086, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.0965, 0.0995, 0.1125, 0.1512, 0.1506, 0.1298, 0.1011, 0.0714, 0.105, 0.0894, 0.0649, 0.047, 0.0343, 0.0225]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1805479939288011016", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-06-25T05:55:36+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm buying the dip around 110-115 with the intention of writing calls", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Near-term bearish on NVDA expecting downward trend for months, then buying the dip at $110-115.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Called the top for $NVDA and the resulting correction of -20%. I think we see a downward trend for a few months, but I'm buying the dip around 110-115 with the intention of writing calls https://t.co/maecrCQW85", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06328821815297192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06328821815297192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.059452027102467775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040405539570573135, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038361910505041452, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022882678582398785, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002458577154997643, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002458577154997643, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012104253050631009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005743892117787253, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012481518499345423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032853149627896094, "ret_p1w": -0.027123530713659916, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027123530713659916, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034795798431251024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.034229085890071786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007672267717591108, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007105555176411871, "ret_p1m": -0.09390114501543201, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09390114501543201, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08729355814637385, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014480309077852138, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006607586869058157, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07942083593757987, "ret_p3m": -0.07994349988352734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07994349988352734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12612854983362176, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011243459780595044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046185049950094426, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09118695966412238, "ret_p6m": 0.0225230439017019, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0225230439017019, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05685630252517737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09808552297131257, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07937934642687927, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07556247906961067, "price_path": [-0.2835, -0.2835, -0.2834, -0.2906, -0.2945, -0.3188, -0.3021, -0.309, -0.3231, -0.3098, -0.2814, -0.3007, -0.318, -0.3068, -0.3336, -0.3285, -0.3957, -0.3694, -0.3464, -0.3681, -0.3447, -0.3042, -0.3041, -0.3148, -0.3415, -0.3195, -0.2959, -0.2693, -0.2819, -0.283, -0.2962, -0.2873, -0.2831, -0.2755, -0.2496, -0.2517, -0.2666, -0.2484, -0.2436, -0.247, -0.1769, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.0967, -0.0894, -0.1237, -0.1306, -0.088, -0.0766, -0.029, -0.0405, -0.0413, -0.0342, -0.0411, -0.0071, 0.0279, 0.0459, 0.0388, 0.0753, 0.0753, 0.0372, 0.0038, -0.0633, 0.0, 0.0025, -0.0167, -0.0202, -0.0142, -0.0271, 0.0174, 0.0174, -0.0021, 0.0167, 0.042, 0.07, 0.0104, 0.025, 0.0186, 0.0021, -0.0642, -0.0397, -0.0647, -0.0202, -0.0278, -0.0939, -0.1095, -0.1033, -0.115, -0.1773, -0.0719, -0.1339, -0.1493, -0.2033, -0.1732, -0.2156, -0.1675, -0.1692, -0.1354, -0.0789, -0.0635, -0.0256, -0.012, 0.031, 0.0092, 0.0191, -0.0186, 0.026, 0.0029, 0.0175, -0.0038, -0.0674, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.1435, -0.1577, -0.1497, -0.1845, -0.1556, -0.1427, -0.0728, -0.055, -0.0554, -0.0738, -0.0832, -0.1008, -0.0651, -0.0799, -0.0779, -0.0413, -0.0204, -0.0162, -0.0371, -0.0368, -0.072, -0.0573, -0.0256, -0.0092, 0.013, 0.054, 0.0521, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0951, 0.0438, 0.0765, 0.0861, 0.0945, 0.1398, 0.1389, 0.1069, 0.1137, 0.1226, 0.1145, 0.1203, 0.1052, 0.053, 0.0739, 0.0791, 0.1097, 0.1549, 0.1808, 0.1709, 0.1521, 0.1762, 0.1601, 0.164, 0.1261, 0.1116, 0.166, 0.1571, 0.1633, 0.1259, 0.0788, 0.086, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.0965, 0.0995, 0.1125, 0.1512, 0.1506, 0.1298, 0.1011, 0.0714, 0.105, 0.0894, 0.0649, 0.047, 0.0343, 0.0225]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1604897565530804225", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-19T17:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It'll follow technical patterns at least to $137 gap. I think its most likely bottom is around there as it's also -67% from ATH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA likely bottoms around $137 (gap fill, -67% from ATH); bearish with downside target.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@28delayslater It\u2019ll follow technical patterns at least to $137 gap. I think its most likely bottom is around there as it\u2019s also -67% from ATH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I thought $TSLA would bottom at about $166.  I was wrong! Share your guess below. Where does this end?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "28delayslater", "ret_m1d": 0.002402085955031108, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002402085955031108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006150003162745277, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013914399479687978, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008552089117776385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016316485434719086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08053641461716088, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08053641461716088, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08190470196521071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06889265290894209, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013682873480498348, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011643761708218792, "ret_p1w": -0.17828781251654469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17828781251654469, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1858925548962841, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16329532415881431, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007604742379739404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014992488357730371, "ret_p1m": -0.12263955576732766, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12263955576732766, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16934762847001172, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18656657979861468, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04670807270268407, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06392702403128703, "ret_p3m": 0.22859819097769463, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22859819097769463, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.186258434690999, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13902439341937822, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04233975628669562, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0895737975583164, "ret_p6m": 0.7262293980378502, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7262293980378502, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5727993519588848, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4615753692646676, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1534300460789655, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26465402877318267, "price_path": [1.0071, 0.9256, 0.8371, 0.8417, 0.8879, 0.9204, 0.7896, 0.7699, 0.6174, 0.6644, 0.6068, 0.5889, 0.4884, 0.4877, 0.4446, 0.4495, 0.4794, 0.3678, 0.4636, 0.4692, 0.4816, 0.3831, 0.4308, 0.4096, 0.4841, 0.4989, 0.5019, 0.5248, 0.5182, 0.5201, 0.4344, 0.4366, 0.3843, 0.315, 0.2764, 0.185, 0.2726, 0.3076, 0.2741, 0.2973, 0.2472, 0.2222, 0.2023, 0.1201, 0.1337, 0.2224, 0.2224, 0.2201, 0.2205, 0.2066, 0.2991, 0.2991, 0.3002, 0.2174, 0.1998, 0.1613, 0.1573, 0.1947, 0.1198, 0.0739, 0.0462, 0.052, 0.0024, 0.0, -0.0805, -0.0821, -0.1636, -0.1783, -0.1783, -0.272, -0.2479, -0.1872, -0.1781, -0.1781, -0.2787, -0.2417, -0.2638, -0.2456, -0.2008, -0.207, -0.1778, -0.1756, -0.1833, -0.1833, -0.1226, -0.1407, -0.1515, -0.1098, -0.0408, -0.0399, -0.0363, 0.0694, 0.187, 0.112, 0.1558, 0.2104, 0.2562, 0.2676, 0.2995, 0.3132, 0.3431, 0.3833, 0.3137, 0.2987, 0.3962, 0.4295, 0.3481, 0.3899, 0.3899, 0.3169, 0.3402, 0.3483, 0.3137, 0.3854, 0.3726, 0.353, 0.2738, 0.3197, 0.2932, 0.2525, 0.2144, 0.1538, 0.1573, 0.1642, 0.2228, 0.204, 0.2286, 0.2019, 0.2227, 0.3183, 0.2754, 0.2826, 0.2705, 0.2798, 0.2624, 0.2937, 0.303, 0.3843, 0.2996, 0.285, 0.2379, 0.2348, 0.2348, 0.2311, 0.2463, 0.2046, 0.2404, 0.2344, 0.248, 0.2298, 0.205, 0.0875, 0.1015, 0.0846, 0.0721, 0.0259, 0.0689, 0.0964, 0.0798, 0.0697, 0.0717, 0.0756, 0.1347, 0.1463, 0.1286, 0.1246, 0.1482, 0.1208, 0.11, 0.1111, 0.1601, 0.1803, 0.202, 0.2602, 0.2395, 0.2204, 0.2309, 0.2889, 0.2889, 0.3422, 0.3607, 0.3847, 0.4277, 0.452, 0.4767, 0.4984, 0.5671, 0.6307, 0.667, 0.7262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765933790747299864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-08T02:53:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Forward PE still reasonable below 50", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses NVDA bullish thesis; valuation still reasonable at sub-50 forward PE.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TickerSymbolYOU Forward PE still reasonable below 50", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA cracked $900 and its run has just begun. Still to come:\n\n\u2022 H200 server GPU\n\u2022 GH200 super chip\n\u2022 B100 Blackwell GPU\n\u2022 GB200 next-gen super chip\n\u2022 Next-gen Infiniband for AI networking\n\nThis is why it's so important to understand the science behind the stocks! https://t.co/nyubKQzrPQ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TickerSymbolYOU", "ret_m1d": 0.0587354839294858, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0587354839294858, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052696982307843365, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017933726146680984, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006038501621642434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.040801757782804815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020039161001147776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020039161001147776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01917930170506199, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00221601961695872, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008598592960857854, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017823141384189056, "ret_p1w": 0.0035302636952960764, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0035302636952960764, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0041280963130706505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03530954729152125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0005978326177745741, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03177928359622517, "ret_p1m": -0.00451282090640337, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00451282090640337, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021341723306919524, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004065424310584431, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016828902400516155, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008578245216987801, "ret_p3m": 0.3988666840106998, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3988666840106998, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3507716136725303, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2681053824287021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04809507033816951, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13076130158199772, "ret_p6m": 0.3639041831418266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3639041831418266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25537703473294315, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28181168088087816, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10852714840888344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08209250226094844, "price_path": [-0.4555, -0.4506, -0.4476, -0.4415, -0.4279, -0.4333, -0.4504, -0.4403, -0.4421, -0.4421, -0.437, -0.4354, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.4497, -0.4566, -0.4517, -0.4391, -0.403, -0.3929, -0.3791, -0.3737, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3559, -0.3596, -0.3476, -0.3204, -0.3185, -0.316, -0.299, -0.2961, -0.3028, -0.2864, -0.2828, -0.2971, -0.28, -0.2442, -0.2079, -0.2206, -0.1992, -0.2044, -0.1759, -0.1746, -0.176, -0.1557, -0.1699, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.2066, -0.2292, -0.1028, -0.0996, -0.0964, -0.1009, -0.1127, -0.0962, -0.06, -0.0262, -0.0179, 0.0134, 0.0587, 0.0, -0.02, 0.0501, 0.0384, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0106, 0.0214, 0.0325, 0.0446, 0.0772, 0.0854, 0.0575, 0.0311, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0324, 0.022, 0.0164, -0.0185, 0.0055, -0.0045, -0.0248, -0.0056, 0.0353, 0.0075, -0.0174, -0.0013, -0.0399, -0.0326, -0.1294, -0.0915, -0.0583, -0.0897, -0.0559, 0.0024, 0.0026, -0.0129, -0.0513, -0.0195, 0.0144, 0.0527, 0.0346, 0.0329, 0.0139, 0.0268, 0.0328, 0.0437, 0.0811, 0.078, 0.0566, 0.0829, 0.0898, 0.0848, 0.1859, 0.2164, 0.2164, 0.3013, 0.3119, 0.2625, 0.2525, 0.3139, 0.3303, 0.3989, 0.3824, 0.3811, 0.3914, 0.3815, 0.4305, 0.4809, 0.5068, 0.4966, 0.5491, 0.5491, 0.4943, 0.4462, 0.3495, 0.4407, 0.4442, 0.4167, 0.4116, 0.4202, 0.4016, 0.4657, 0.4657, 0.4377, 0.4648, 0.5011, 0.5415, 0.4557, 0.4767, 0.4675, 0.4438, 0.3481, 0.3836, 0.3475, 0.4116, 0.4007, 0.3054, 0.2829, 0.2918, 0.275, 0.1852, 0.3371, 0.2478, 0.2257, 0.1477, 0.1911, 0.1301, 0.1994, 0.1969, 0.2456, 0.327, 0.3492, 0.4038, 0.4234, 0.4854, 0.4539, 0.4682, 0.4138, 0.4782, 0.4449, 0.4659, 0.4352, 0.3436, 0.3639, 0.3639]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1738663964496757021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-23T20:52:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think this really rallies to 300+ until 2H '24 and can still fill the $147 gap before then", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish near-term: weak fundamentals into Q1/Q2 2024, expects gap fill at $147 before any rally to $300+.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Unfortunately the fundamentals (GM ex-RC + EPS) are not looking good going into q1/q2 \u201824 and will likely not breach ATH trendline or waste the breakout. It\u2019s possible with a delivery beat Jan 2 though. However, I don\u2019t think this really rallies to 300+ until 2H \u201824 and can still fill the $147 gap before then", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01611622781987765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01611622781987765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011893685730505421, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011881841717924058, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004222542089372228, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004234386101953591, "ret_p1w": -0.0160766518829899, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0160766518829899, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01958128038654261, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012343558042482106, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003504628503552709, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003733093840507795, "ret_p1m": -0.17185394412880706, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17185394412880706, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1955212591068386, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13964977175877846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02366731497803154, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032204172370028594, "ret_p3m": -0.3156727175152402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3156727175152402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42160012562077853, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34493229602253817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10592740810553836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02925957850729799, "ret_p6m": -0.2679971270890883, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2679971270890883, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4296020969259927, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27782526251146866, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16160496983690442, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009828135422380369, "price_path": [-0.0477, -0.0244, -0.0092, -0.0037, -0.0238, 0.0341, 0.0297, 0.0316, 0.0282, 0.0439, 0.0414, 0.0251, -0.0056, 0.0055, 0.0091, -0.039, -0.1284, -0.1606, -0.1602, -0.1426, -0.1589, -0.1852, -0.1791, -0.2185, -0.2047, -0.1856, -0.1348, -0.129, -0.1317, -0.1202, -0.1205, -0.1685, -0.15, -0.1142, -0.0599, -0.0384, -0.075, -0.0722, -0.0671, -0.0449, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.0677, -0.0652, -0.023, -0.0333, -0.0493, -0.0543, -0.0672, -0.0547, -0.0522, -0.0392, -0.0344, -0.0507, -0.0615, -0.0525, -0.0059, 0.0038, -0.0018, 0.0185, -0.0214, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0352, 0.0025, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0163, -0.0558, -0.0579, -0.0596, -0.0479, -0.0696, -0.0737, -0.1003, -0.1332, -0.1332, -0.1292, -0.1465, -0.161, -0.1598, -0.1732, -0.1719, -0.177, -0.2768, -0.2744, -0.244, -0.2413, -0.2584, -0.2522, -0.2559, -0.283, -0.267, -0.2572, -0.2494, -0.2335, -0.255, -0.2713, -0.2528, -0.2063, -0.2082, -0.2082, -0.2328, -0.2288, -0.2183, -0.2398, -0.2104, -0.2091, -0.2, -0.2006, -0.1976, -0.255, -0.2843, -0.3009, -0.2926, -0.3057, -0.2961, -0.297, -0.3289, -0.3565, -0.3523, -0.3118, -0.3216, -0.3044, -0.3157, -0.3236, -0.3164, -0.2965, -0.2879, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.3062, -0.3402, -0.3333, -0.3224, -0.347, -0.315, -0.2996, -0.3199, -0.3086, -0.3227, -0.3606, -0.3779, -0.3845, -0.4063, -0.4177, -0.4375, -0.4271, -0.358, -0.3261, -0.3336, -0.2316, -0.2743, -0.2873, -0.2872, -0.2825, -0.2684, -0.2959, -0.3081, -0.319, -0.3329, -0.3194, -0.2969, -0.311, -0.3077, -0.2973, -0.3072, -0.2611, -0.2868, -0.312, -0.2903, -0.2903, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.292, -0.2948, -0.3019, -0.308, -0.307, -0.2954, -0.2972, -0.3118, -0.3242, -0.298, -0.2775, -0.2951, -0.2578, -0.268]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1720916984710508652", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-04T21:32:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Car is worth $40k. Reason I invested in 2016.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA; Model 3 worth $40k at $28k net price implies significant value, author a long-term investor.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives Easily. Car is worth $40k. Reason I invested in 2016.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I know half of my followers love Tesla. Half my followers HATE Tesla.\n\nBut there is denying\u2026\n\nA Model 3 net fed tax credit and gas savings for just $28k\u2026.\n\nIs a GAME CHANGER.\n\nJust need those auto loan rates to chill.\n\nMy 2c. https://t.co/Z8YVPHV3dw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.0031468163814547534, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0031468163814547534, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0054420541064277295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004393464037343531, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002295237724972976, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012466476558887774, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013271256198382764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013271256198382764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010425225011419181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021129925402691985, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028460311869635824, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011158263658113565, "ret_p1w": 0.020249018811935526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020249018811935526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00992066584047624, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009838763168568132, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010328352971459287, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010410255643367394, "ret_p1m": 0.08870340935495213, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08870340935495213, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040710669249253595, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024372098223043093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04799274010569854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06433131113190904, "ret_p3m": -0.13868747694428118, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13868747694428118, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.266056550043144, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22659215918507747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1273690730988628, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08790468224079628, "ret_p6m": -0.16413556251152128, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16413556251152128, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3245505812661038, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2632341463360981, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16041501875458253, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09909858382457681, "price_path": [0.1045, 0.1189, 0.1066, 0.0934, 0.0624, 0.0289, -0.0002, -0.0172, 0.0548, 0.0635, 0.0802, 0.0491, 0.0881, 0.0892, 0.1729, 0.1716, 0.177, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.1697, 0.1489, 0.1469, 0.1333, 0.2477, 0.2199, 0.2373, 0.2589, 0.2514, 0.2098, 0.2154, 0.1976, 0.1661, 0.1168, 0.1264, 0.1133, 0.0968, 0.1236, 0.1412, 0.1474, 0.1243, 0.191, 0.186, 0.1882, 0.1842, 0.2023, 0.1994, 0.1806, 0.1453, 0.158, 0.1623, 0.1068, 0.0038, -0.0332, -0.0328, -0.0125, -0.0312, -0.0616, -0.0546, -0.0999, -0.0841, -0.0621, -0.0035, 0.0031, 0.0, 0.0133, 0.013, -0.0424, -0.0211, 0.0202, 0.0827, 0.1075, 0.0653, 0.0685, 0.0745, 0.1, 0.0681, 0.0681, 0.0738, 0.0767, 0.1252, 0.1134, 0.0949, 0.0892, 0.0744, 0.0887, 0.0917, 0.1066, 0.1121, 0.0934, 0.0809, 0.0913, 0.1449, 0.1561, 0.1496, 0.1731, 0.1271, 0.1607, 0.1517, 0.1517, 0.1703, 0.1923, 0.1546, 0.1332, 0.1332, 0.1329, 0.0875, 0.0851, 0.0831, 0.0966, 0.0716, 0.0669, 0.0363, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0029, -0.017, -0.0337, -0.0323, -0.0477, -0.0462, -0.0522, -0.1671, -0.1643, -0.1292, -0.1262, -0.1458, -0.1387, -0.143, -0.1743, -0.1558, -0.1445, -0.1355, -0.1172, -0.142, -0.1608, -0.1394, -0.0858, -0.0881, -0.0881, -0.1163, -0.1117, -0.0997, -0.1245, -0.0906, -0.0891, -0.0786, -0.0793, -0.0758, -0.142, -0.1757, -0.1949, -0.1853, -0.2003, -0.1893, -0.1903, -0.2271, -0.2589, -0.254, -0.2074, -0.2187, -0.1989, -0.2118, -0.2209, -0.2127, -0.1897, -0.1799, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.2009, -0.2401, -0.2321, -0.2196, -0.248, -0.2111, -0.1933, -0.2167, -0.2037, -0.2199, -0.2636, -0.2835, -0.2911, -0.3162, -0.3294, -0.3522, -0.3402, -0.2606, -0.2239, -0.2325, -0.115, -0.1641]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1779944588939260331", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T18:47:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The odds of the $TSLA Q1 earnings call going off the rails just spiked upwards. Brace yourself, long 2024 ahead.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: key departures raise risk of Q1 earnings chaos; today's -5% is just the start of a rough 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The odds of the $TSLA Q1 earnings call going off the rails just spiked upwards. Zach and Drew were the two most reasonable voices for investors for the past 5+ years. I'd argue that today's -5% movement is more in a response to key brass departures than the 10%+ company-wide layoffs.\n\nBrace yourself, long 2024 ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1489335459402563589", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-02-03T20:30:18+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hard miss - AWS losing market share, inflation not good for ecomm, logistic costs are up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Expects AMZN earnings hard miss: AWS losing share, inflation headwind for ecomm, rising logistics costs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@anyatrades hard miss - AWS losing market share, inflation not good for ecomm, logistic costs are up", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$AMZN earnings beat or miss after market close today?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "anyatrades", "ret_m1d": 0.08474886033431517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08474886033431517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.060678124541893474, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05318164221107469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024070735792421694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03156721812324048, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13535901735711864, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.13535901735711864, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1306569740051946, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10691509622698558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0047020433519240346, "bench_c_p1d": 0.028443921130133054, "ret_p1w": 0.14518287456759404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14518287456759404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13909242745478867, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10881917723903833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006090447112805375, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03636369732855571, "ret_p1m": 0.0489429003891364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0489429003891364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08125358468740318, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09188752813477175, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03231068429826678, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042944627745635344, "ret_p3m": -0.10509524880763843, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10509524880763843, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04032487689623376, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025916811098512738, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06477037191140467, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07917843770912569, "ret_p6m": -0.028056420113944047, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.028056420113944047, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04257694611070606, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06030219537145354, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07063336622465011, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08835861548539758, "price_path": [0.2564, 0.2878, 0.2539, 0.2505, 0.2695, 0.2768, 0.2751, 0.278, 0.331, 0.324, 0.2865, 0.2892, 0.2894, 0.2894, 0.262, 0.2826, 0.2629, 0.2401, 0.2378, 0.2207, 0.2342, 0.2688, 0.2687, 0.2544, 0.2403, 0.2213, 0.2178, 0.2483, 0.2163, 0.2245, 0.2033, 0.2274, 0.2319, 0.2321, 0.2321, 0.222, 0.2291, 0.2186, 0.2146, 0.2007, 0.2273, 0.2065, 0.1837, 0.1758, 0.1708, 0.1631, 0.191, 0.1899, 0.1611, 0.1678, 0.1678, 0.1446, 0.1257, 0.0923, 0.0274, 0.041, 0.0082, 0.0002, 0.0057, 0.037, 0.0773, 0.0889, 0.0847, 0.0, 0.1354, 0.1375, 0.1625, 0.1609, 0.1452, 0.1041, 0.1176, 0.1272, 0.1387, 0.1138, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0818, 0.0431, 0.0901, 0.1076, 0.106, 0.0886, 0.0951, 0.0652, 0.0489, -0.01, -0.0204, 0.0031, 0.0574, 0.0481, 0.0217, 0.0614, 0.1027, 0.1325, 0.1614, 0.1631, 0.1876, 0.1769, 0.1786, 0.1867, 0.2171, 0.2194, 0.1977, 0.1739, 0.178, 0.2125, 0.1816, 0.1434, 0.1364, 0.1125, 0.0884, 0.086, 0.1202, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1004, 0.1388, 0.1091, 0.0681, 0.0396, 0.0521, 0.0039, -0.0049, 0.0414, -0.1049, -0.1033, -0.1051, -0.093, -0.1616, -0.1734, -0.2165, -0.216, -0.2411, -0.2299, -0.1857, -0.2019, -0.1691, -0.2285, -0.2271, -0.2251, -0.2253, -0.2502, -0.231, -0.2, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1342, -0.1236, -0.096, -0.1188, -0.1012, -0.1141, -0.1272, -0.1635, -0.2103, -0.2533, -0.2631, -0.2245, -0.2534, -0.235, -0.235, -0.2173, -0.2153, -0.1902, -0.1612, -0.1846, -0.2265, -0.2155, -0.235, -0.2109, -0.2109, -0.1825, -0.1766, -0.1622, -0.1679, -0.1951, -0.2134, -0.2049, -0.2032, -0.1822, -0.1807, -0.1486, -0.1158, -0.1024, -0.1183, -0.1275, -0.1731, -0.1287, -0.1193, -0.0281]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1377879566245527554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-04-02T07:04:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expecting around 171k Q1 deliveries announced tomorrow $TSLA up from my previous 166k estimate mostly from China and some S/X", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Own Q1 delivery estimate of 171k above consensus, driven by China + S/X; Elon silence and no email leaks read as bullish signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Expecting around 171k Q1 deliveries announced tomorrow $TSLA up from my previous 166k estimate mostly from China and some S/X\n\n---\n\nI initially had 181k as my forecast but severely reduced it after seeing @garyblack00 @TroyTeslike @robmaurer post their estimates. To their defence, I think they know this more than I do. However, @elonmusk being silent + no email leaks were bullish signals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04427659122771899, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04427659122771899, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029923506501641883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02155173819620182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014353084726077103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022724853031517167, "ret_p1w": 0.02307523255328925, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02307523255328925, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0040834558274303046, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015645408340077216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027158688380719553, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038720640893366465, "ret_p1m": 0.03498303732204189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03498303732204189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008925280154225446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016074035442682266, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04390831747626733, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051057072764724154, "ret_p3m": 0.027125066295318412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027125066295318412, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04489116133520765, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02832818646608315, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07201622763052606, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05545325276140156, "ret_p6m": 0.19585956121509263, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19585956121509263, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08377831213776599, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09537402655711458, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11208124907732664, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10048553465797805, "price_path": [0.1109, 0.1424, 0.2332, 0.3298, 0.2258, 0.2836, 0.2911, 0.2769, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.2762, 0.2852, 0.2769, 0.2794, 0.331, 0.3345, 0.3059, 0.2625, 0.1991, 0.2691, 0.3189, 0.2916, 0.2845, 0.2878, 0.3048, 0.2837, 0.2162, 0.2265, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2032, 0.2061, 0.1898, 0.1807, 0.0797, 0.056, 0.1213, 0.0309, 0.0208, 0.0857, 0.0373, -0.0129, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.1492, 0.0179, 0.0095, 0.0572, 0.0483, 0.0698, 0.0229, 0.0605, -0.013, -0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0006, -0.0476, -0.0323, -0.065, -0.0763, -0.0395, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0443, 0.0451, 0.0139, 0.0333, 0.0231, 0.0608, 0.152, 0.1065, 0.1165, 0.1179, 0.0799, 0.0865, 0.1245, 0.0876, 0.1022, 0.1155, 0.065, 0.0493, 0.023, 0.0721, 0.035, 0.0179, 0.0139, 0.0027, 0.016, -0.0494, -0.0673, -0.1086, -0.1361, -0.1088, -0.1283, -0.1268, -0.1485, -0.1133, -0.1222, -0.0836, -0.0862, -0.0644, -0.0467, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0572, -0.0856, -0.1344, -0.0947, -0.0856, -0.0879, -0.0952, -0.078, -0.0784, -0.0666, -0.0943, -0.086, -0.0682, -0.0581, -0.0618, -0.0575, -0.0078, 0.0273, 0.0153, 0.0408, 0.0287, 0.0271, 0.0244, 0.0259, 0.0259, -0.0033, -0.0258, -0.0135, -0.0073, 0.0362, 0.0103, -0.0126, -0.0168, -0.0265, -0.0235, -0.0019, -0.0098, -0.0189, -0.0278, -0.0062, -0.0256, -0.0223, 0.0236, 0.0385, 0.0724, 0.0725, 0.0743, 0.0799, 0.0564, 0.0786, 0.0729, 0.0696, 0.0914, 0.0837, 0.0369, 0.006, 0.0412, 0.0177, 0.028, 0.0673, 0.0706, 0.0747, 0.0596, 0.0758, 0.1045, 0.1118, 0.1093, 0.1067, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.1378, 0.1392, 0.1407, 0.1126, 0.1228, 0.125, 0.1422, 0.1439, 0.1477, 0.1034, 0.1173, 0.1363, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1959]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1734674289251807593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-12T20:39:13+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $TSLA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long TSLA position while dismissing bearish valuation comparison as flawed analysis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dillonloomis @charliebilello Dangerous commentary, missing forest for the trees. I'm long $TSLA but this analysis is shoddy at best", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "In August of 2020, the market cap of $TSLA reached $780B\n\nTesla's TTM (trailing twelve month) figures at the time:\n\nDeliveries: 430,350\nOperating margin: 6.1%\nGAAP net income: $556M\nFCF: $1.9B\n\nCurrent $TSLA market cap: ~$755B\n\nCurrent TTM figures:\n\nDeliveries: 1.73M\nOperating https://t.co/z1UnjujyTB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DillonLoomis", "ret_m1d": 0.011518547949881386, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011518547949881386, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016065116921520572, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014618448951225549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004546568971639187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003099901001344163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009619842336358264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009619842336358264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004170198018944138, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0034693539322776523, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013790040355302402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013089196268635916, "ret_p1w": 0.08527069398874776, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08527069398874776, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05798096847888612, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041958558470587715, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02728972550986164, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043312135518160044, "ret_p1m": -0.01295300677854383, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01295300677854383, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0439638919779316, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02693435353586826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031010885199387772, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013981346757324431, "ret_p3m": -0.26019998986653115, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26019998986653115, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3672774928606496, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2971857803846599, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10707750299411845, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03698579051812878, "ret_p6m": -0.26163451307555474, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26163451307555474, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42195698644598034, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.282377816804683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1603224733704256, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02074330372912825, "price_path": [0.1647, 0.1577, 0.1193, 0.1244, 0.1079, 0.0789, 0.0332, 0.0421, 0.03, 0.0147, 0.0395, 0.0557, 0.0616, 0.0402, 0.1019, 0.0972, 0.0992, 0.0956, 0.1123, 0.1096, 0.0922, 0.0595, 0.0713, 0.0753, 0.0239, -0.0713, -0.1056, -0.1052, -0.0865, -0.1038, -0.1319, -0.1254, -0.1673, -0.1526, -0.1323, -0.0781, -0.0719, -0.0748, -0.0626, -0.0629, -0.114, -0.0943, -0.0561, 0.0017, 0.0246, -0.0144, -0.0114, -0.0059, 0.0177, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0066, -0.0039, 0.041, 0.0301, 0.013, 0.0077, -0.006, 0.0072, 0.01, 0.0238, 0.0288, 0.0115, 0.0, 0.0096, 0.0592, 0.0696, 0.0636, 0.0853, 0.0427, 0.0738, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0827, 0.1031, 0.0682, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0481, 0.0061, 0.0039, 0.002, 0.0145, -0.0086, -0.013, -0.0413, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0721, -0.0905, -0.106, -0.1047, -0.119, -0.1176, -0.1231, -0.2294, -0.2268, -0.1944, -0.1916, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.2072, -0.2361, -0.219, -0.2086, -0.2002, -0.1833, -0.2062, -0.2236, -0.2038, -0.1543, -0.1564, -0.1564, -0.1825, -0.1782, -0.1671, -0.19, -0.1587, -0.1573, -0.1475, -0.1482, -0.145, -0.2062, -0.2374, -0.2551, -0.2462, -0.2602, -0.2499, -0.2509, -0.2849, -0.3144, -0.3099, -0.2667, -0.2772, -0.2588, -0.2708, -0.2792, -0.2716, -0.2504, -0.2413, -0.2583, -0.2583, -0.2607, -0.2969, -0.2896, -0.278, -0.3042, -0.2702, -0.2537, -0.2753, -0.2633, -0.2783, -0.3187, -0.3371, -0.3441, -0.3674, -0.3796, -0.4007, -0.3896, -0.3159, -0.282, -0.2899, -0.1813, -0.2267, -0.2406, -0.2405, -0.2355, -0.2205, -0.2498, -0.2628, -0.2744, -0.2892, -0.2748, -0.2509, -0.2659, -0.2623, -0.2513, -0.2618, -0.2127, -0.2401, -0.267, -0.2437, -0.2437, -0.2543, -0.2566, -0.2456, -0.2486, -0.2562, -0.2626, -0.2616]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1484626892019814402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-21T20:40:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Q4 earnings featuring @elonmusk has the potential to be the most dramatic increase by market cap w/ earnings blowout + product updates and some Elon X-factor", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA into Q4 earnings on expected blowout results, product updates, and Musk factor driving market cap surge.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Absurd to witness this. Q4 earnings featuring @elonmusk has the potential to be the most dramatic increase by market cap w/ earnings blowout + product updates and some Elon X-factor", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Huge distinction between $NFLX and $TSLA:  NFLX growth has plunged because of Covid overhang and competition.  TSLA growth accelerating as EV adoption soars and competition still can\u2019t replicate TSLA. TSLA now trading at 47x 2023 EPS - lowest since mid-2020 at height of Covid.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.05548256749213509, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05548256749213509, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035458864902392584, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025275412596907687, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02002370258974251, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030207154895227406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014726129872195681, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014726129872195681, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018972726918198513, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026753553629542903, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004246597046002831, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012027423757347222, "ret_p1w": -0.10334780000397681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10334780000397681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11241217554340655, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09048889092639678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009064375539429737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012858909077580027, "ret_p1m": -0.09208600855197013, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09208600855197013, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08352397428034464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0897579899607932, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008562034271625496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002328018591176928, "ret_p3m": 0.03527918055500989, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03527918055500989, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01675895635170388, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.026304453166355213, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018520224203306013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00897472738865468, "ret_p6m": -0.2354698709638935, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2354698709638935, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1140296634979101, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.043692718851099155, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.12144020746598339, "bench_c_p6m": -0.19177715211279434, "price_path": [0.079, 0.0995, 0.1411, 0.1802, 0.2804, 0.2417, 0.286, 0.303, 0.2947, 0.2321, 0.0843, 0.1314, 0.1267, 0.0948, 0.0736, 0.1174, 0.1537, 0.1615, 0.2046, 0.2256, 0.1749, 0.1823, 0.1823, 0.1462, 0.2046, 0.2128, 0.1601, 0.1491, 0.0753, 0.069, 0.1143, 0.1325, 0.0635, 0.0775, 0.0238, 0.0155, 0.034, -0.018, -0.012, -0.0466, -0.0057, 0.0688, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.159, 0.1532, 0.1507, 0.134, 0.1196, 0.2711, 0.2179, 0.1528, 0.128, 0.088, 0.121, 0.1277, 0.172, 0.0929, 0.112, 0.112, 0.0918, 0.0548, 0.0555, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.027, -0.0069, -0.1216, -0.1033, -0.0076, -0.0134, -0.0405, -0.0559, -0.0218, -0.0387, -0.0232, -0.0126, -0.0417, -0.0889, -0.0722, -0.0227, -0.0217, -0.0716, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.1296, -0.1905, -0.1516, -0.142, -0.0778, -0.0843, -0.0678, -0.1108, -0.1119, -0.1476, -0.1266, -0.09, -0.1119, -0.1574, -0.1881, -0.1505, -0.1098, -0.0766, -0.0408, -0.0241, 0.0531, 0.0585, 0.0742, 0.0707, 0.1567, 0.1649, 0.159, 0.1416, 0.1491, 0.2135, 0.1561, 0.1079, 0.1201, 0.0864, 0.0339, 0.0456, 0.0831, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.064, 0.0893, 0.0353, 0.0687, 0.0648, 0.0573, -0.0715, -0.0661, -0.0703, -0.0775, -0.0434, -0.0367, 0.0092, -0.0748, -0.0829, -0.1661, -0.1524, -0.2224, -0.2287, -0.1847, -0.2326, -0.1931, -0.248, -0.2484, -0.2966, -0.285, -0.3345, -0.302, -0.2502, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.1967, -0.2156, -0.1789, -0.2546, -0.2427, -0.2407, -0.2313, -0.2381, -0.2619, -0.3143, -0.2979, -0.2595, -0.3227, -0.3111, -0.3111, -0.2466, -0.2496, -0.2529, -0.2191, -0.2216, -0.2605, -0.2738, -0.2866, -0.2777, -0.2777, -0.2592, -0.2635, -0.2228, -0.203, -0.2552, -0.2592, -0.2466, -0.2426, -0.237, -0.2355]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1714882904365625758", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-19T05:55:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "217 gap fill is very likely and sub 180 by EOY also likely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA: expects break below $235 key level, $217 gap fill likely, sub-$180 by EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl $235 is a key level, it coincides as a double key trendline (one being diagonal) this week. If we break that, which I expect ($230 bottom during AH), then 217 gap fill is very likely and sub 180 by EOY also likely.\n\n---\n\n@TSLAFanMtl Looking back at my projections, this aged well James, although about a month off. Not a 'told you so' tweet at any level. Trying to journal my thoughts vs projections", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10253960293873288, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10253960293873288, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09367537750633992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07631958338566314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008864225432392958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02622001955306974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036890623300491754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036890623300491754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02460254667970363, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02137889196411935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012288076620788124, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015511731336372403, "ret_p1w": -0.06519470293818519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06519470293818519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03264541304416857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025994033240489434, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03254928989401662, "bench_c_p1w": -0.039200669697695756, "ret_p1m": 0.06446777702993156, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06446777702993156, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007342333894338582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02029316293284289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05712544313559298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08476093996277445, "ret_p3m": -0.0009086227235818312, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0009086227235818312, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11915910882066993, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1306516322989243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1182504860970881, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12974300957534246, "ret_p6m": -0.22288854401232738, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22288854401232738, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4294520637133339, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3769206316715499, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2065635197010065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1540320876592225, "price_path": [0.2224, 0.2052, 0.201, 0.1617, 0.2105, 0.215, 0.1861, 0.1545, 0.1781, 0.1533, 0.1424, 0.1344, 0.1003, 0.1146, 0.1024, 0.0893, 0.0584, 0.0249, -0.004, -0.021, 0.0507, 0.0594, 0.0761, 0.0451, 0.084, 0.085, 0.1684, 0.1671, 0.1725, 0.1131, 0.1131, 0.1653, 0.1445, 0.1426, 0.129, 0.2429, 0.2152, 0.2326, 0.2541, 0.2466, 0.2052, 0.2108, 0.193, 0.1617, 0.1125, 0.1221, 0.1091, 0.0926, 0.1193, 0.1368, 0.1431, 0.12, 0.1865, 0.1815, 0.1836, 0.1797, 0.1977, 0.1948, 0.1761, 0.1409, 0.1536, 0.1578, 0.1025, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0365, -0.0163, -0.0349, -0.0652, -0.0582, -0.1034, -0.0875, -0.0656, -0.0073, -0.0007, -0.0038, 0.0094, 0.0091, -0.046, -0.0248, 0.0164, 0.0786, 0.1033, 0.0612, 0.0645, 0.0704, 0.0958, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0697, 0.0726, 0.1209, 0.1092, 0.0907, 0.085, 0.0703, 0.0845, 0.0875, 0.1024, 0.1078, 0.0892, 0.0768, 0.0871, 0.1406, 0.1517, 0.1452, 0.1686, 0.1228, 0.1562, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.1658, 0.1878, 0.1502, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.1286, 0.0833, 0.081, 0.079, 0.0924, 0.0675, 0.0628, 0.0323, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0009, -0.0207, -0.0374, -0.036, -0.0514, -0.0498, -0.0558, -0.1703, -0.1675, -0.1326, -0.1296, -0.1491, -0.142, -0.1463, -0.1774, -0.1591, -0.1478, -0.1388, -0.1206, -0.1453, -0.164, -0.1427, -0.0893, -0.0916, -0.0916, -0.1197, -0.1151, -0.1031, -0.1278, -0.0941, -0.0926, -0.0821, -0.0828, -0.0794, -0.1452, -0.1789, -0.1979, -0.1884, -0.2034, -0.1924, -0.1934, -0.23, -0.2617, -0.2569, -0.2104, -0.2217, -0.2019, -0.2148, -0.2239, -0.2157, -0.1928, -0.183, -0.2014, -0.2014, -0.2039, -0.243, -0.235, -0.2226, -0.2508, -0.2141, -0.1964, -0.2197, -0.2068, -0.2229]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1719033891171004676", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-30T16:49:52+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA printed a very bearish diamond top formation and a bearish pennant in past 2 months. Price targets are 160-175. We are oversold in short term but do not be surprised if we see sub 175 by Jan.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA with price targets 160-175 and sub-175 by January based on bearish diamond top and pennant formation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Again, while this news definitely contributes, $TSLA printed a very bearish diamond top formation and a bearish pennant in past 2 months. Price targets are 160-175. We are oversold in short term but do not be surprised if we see sub 175 by Jan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA weakness today could be due to big $ON guidance miss (-18%).  ON sells silicon carbide chips to EV makers and cited \u201cincreased risk to automotive demand due to high interest rates.\u201d ON sells to automotive players with over 50% share of global EV sales, including 4 of the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.05036482778002638, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036482778002638, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.062179317808972234, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05944008838187298, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011814490028945857, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009075260601846602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017632730628176496, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017632730628176496, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01135256352271563, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01008098613309616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006280167105460865, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007551744495080337, "ret_p1w": 0.11101542153603039, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11101542153603039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06265032410431015, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04834972858231312, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04836509743172024, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06266569295371727, "ret_p1m": 0.2501013399761949, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2501013399761949, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15544079642889486, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1274199062241217, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09466054354730002, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12268143375207319, "ret_p3m": -0.0746351625556616, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0746351625556616, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2537028429340429, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2087483330552138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17906768037838128, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13411317049955218, "ret_p6m": -0.2669234281093088, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2669234281093088, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49235625258675564, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4144140070031209, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22543282447744684, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14749057889381212, "price_path": [0.2875, 0.3139, 0.2863, 0.2741, 0.2652, 0.2271, 0.2431, 0.2295, 0.2148, 0.1804, 0.1431, 0.1108, 0.0919, 0.1719, 0.1815, 0.2001, 0.1656, 0.2089, 0.2101, 0.3031, 0.3017, 0.3077, 0.2414, 0.2414, 0.2996, 0.2764, 0.2743, 0.2591, 0.3862, 0.3553, 0.3746, 0.3987, 0.3903, 0.3441, 0.3503, 0.3305, 0.2956, 0.2408, 0.2515, 0.2369, 0.2186, 0.2484, 0.2678, 0.2748, 0.2491, 0.3233, 0.3176, 0.3201, 0.3157, 0.3357, 0.3325, 0.3117, 0.2724, 0.2866, 0.2913, 0.2296, 0.1153, 0.0741, 0.0746, 0.0971, 0.0763, 0.0426, 0.0504, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.0421, 0.1072, 0.1145, 0.111, 0.1258, 0.1254, 0.0639, 0.0876, 0.1335, 0.2029, 0.2304, 0.1836, 0.1872, 0.1938, 0.2221, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.193, 0.1962, 0.2501, 0.237, 0.2165, 0.2101, 0.1937, 0.2096, 0.2129, 0.2294, 0.2355, 0.2147, 0.2009, 0.2125, 0.272, 0.2845, 0.2773, 0.3033, 0.2522, 0.2895, 0.2796, 0.2796, 0.3002, 0.3247, 0.2828, 0.259, 0.259, 0.2587, 0.2082, 0.2056, 0.2033, 0.2183, 0.1905, 0.1853, 0.1513, 0.1091, 0.1091, 0.1143, 0.0922, 0.0736, 0.0751, 0.058, 0.0597, 0.0531, -0.0746, -0.0715, -0.0326, -0.0292, -0.051, -0.0431, -0.0479, -0.0826, -0.0621, -0.0496, -0.0395, -0.0192, -0.0468, -0.0676, -0.0438, 0.0157, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0182, -0.0131, 0.0003, -0.0273, 0.0103, 0.012, 0.0237, 0.0229, 0.0268, -0.0467, -0.0842, -0.1055, -0.0948, -0.1116, -0.0993, -0.1004, -0.1413, -0.1766, -0.1712, -0.1194, -0.1319, -0.11, -0.1243, -0.1344, -0.1253, -0.0998, -0.0888, -0.1093, -0.1093, -0.1122, -0.1557, -0.1468, -0.133, -0.1645, -0.1235, -0.1038, -0.1297, -0.1153, -0.1333, -0.1818, -0.2039, -0.2124, -0.2403, -0.2549, -0.2802, -0.2669]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1750311272619614249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-25T00:15:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will fill the $146 gap this year and that may not even be the bottom", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: expects gap fill at $146 this year, possibly not the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Hopefully you hedged. I\u2019ve been pounding the table for $TSLA investors to hedge since mid 2023. We will fill the $146 gap this year and that may not even be the bottom", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "3-day rule?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13798388147890694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14339347305641337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12546185884405592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005409591577506423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012522022634851027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033948152034783963, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004665161971329046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001169351131914187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012703467678506497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004564166335392583, "ret_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034112662547080674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03171525328088065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014744390409140662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023974092662000235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019368272137940012, "ret_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05114163110209513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010529471870479146, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009654170905785131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040612159231615985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06079580200788026, "ret_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20779724685098977, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24712081145263032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21959272612257574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03932356460164055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011795479271585974, "ret_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30975190578201395, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17770607049351428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20604200340087164, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13204583528849967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1037099023811423, "price_path": [0.0807, 0.0997, 0.1261, 0.1965, 0.2044, 0.2006, 0.2166, 0.2162, 0.1498, 0.1753, 0.2249, 0.3, 0.3297, 0.279, 0.2829, 0.29, 0.3207, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2892, 0.2927, 0.3509, 0.3368, 0.3146, 0.3077, 0.2899, 0.3071, 0.3107, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.3127, 0.2978, 0.3102, 0.3746, 0.3881, 0.3803, 0.4084, 0.3532, 0.3935, 0.3828, 0.3828, 0.4051, 0.4315, 0.3863, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3602, 0.3056, 0.3028, 0.3004, 0.3166, 0.2865, 0.281, 0.2442, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.2041, 0.1803, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.1433, 0.1452, 0.138, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0454, 0.0491, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0289, -0.0086, 0.0135, 0.0271, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0333, 0.0976, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0809, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.0936, 0.1063, 0.1054, 0.1096, 0.0302, -0.0103, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0399, -0.0266, -0.0279, -0.072, -0.1102, -0.1044, -0.0483, -0.0619, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0406, -0.0876, -0.078, -0.0631, -0.0971, -0.0528, -0.0315, -0.0595, -0.044, -0.0634, -0.1158, -0.1397, -0.1488, -0.1791, -0.1948, -0.2222, -0.2078, -0.1122, -0.0682, -0.0785, 0.0625, 0.0036, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.0079, 0.0117, -0.0264, -0.0433, -0.0584, -0.0775, -0.0588, -0.0278, -0.0473, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0421, 0.0217, -0.0138, -0.0487, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0322, -0.0353, -0.021, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.043, -0.0418, -0.0257, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0655, -0.0292, -0.0009, -0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0258, 0.0752, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.1491, 0.2663, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3772, 0.385, 0.4364, 0.4415, 0.3198, 0.3592, 0.3833, 0.4048, 0.3607, 0.3647, 0.3098]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775277860485476691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T21:43:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's thin upside to the 'long term growth story being in tact'", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: China EV share loss to Xiaomi, hybrid preference, aging lineup, and thin long-term upside beyond FSD/energy storage.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Blaming interest rates? They've been over 400bps since 2022 and lowered QoQ from Q4 2023.\n\nLet's try acknowledging China's EV competitive landscape (see Xiaomi SU7) where $TSLA is clearly losing market share fast, hybrid preference for non-early adopters and an aging product lineup that has belated ads (which should've began in early 2023 at latest). Outside of FSD and energy storage, there's thin upside to the 'long term growth story being in tact'", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I have a different explanation than $TSLA about why March deliveries were ugly. Big picture; I believe this will pass because Tesla is making the right decisions for the long-run. https://t.co/i87106Mfe3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munster_gene", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1754939880436793428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-06T18:47:27+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "diamond top forming + potential 5th wave completion; potential market top", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish MSFT (diamond top, 5th wave complete, MACD crossover) and NVDA (selling off at top of rising broadening wedge); both signal potential market top.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT (left) diamond top forming + potential 5th wave completion; potential market top with $NVDA (right) selling off at top end of its rising broadening pattern. Both daily views. https://t.co/57NvNgaaRh\n\n---\n\n$MSFT MACD crossover on daily as well https://t.co/u8xHZjsbRS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00039474126378880037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00039474126378880037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003289705878948279, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003289705878948279, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02111025641379749, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02111025641379749, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012769863674918502, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012769863674918502, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "ret_p1w": 0.002046977049152243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002046977049152243, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001844732618412337, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001844732618412337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "ret_p1m": -0.006551093790063911, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006551093790063911, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03847543431356981, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03847543431356981, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "ret_p3m": 0.004739887373297336, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.004739887373297336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03351789048347675, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03351789048347675, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "ret_p6m": 0.03548704780642775, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03548704780642775, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08663094525086246, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08663094525086246, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "price_path": [-0.1123, -0.0902, -0.0975, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.0723, -0.0879, -0.0692, -0.08, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0692, -0.0663, -0.0562, -0.0657, -0.0656, -0.0764, -0.0896, -0.0813, -0.0905, -0.0852, -0.0771, -0.0843, -0.0767, -0.0767, -0.0976, -0.0857, -0.081, -0.0795, -0.086, -0.0788, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.076, -0.0775, -0.0745, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.0854, -0.086, -0.0926, -0.0931, -0.076, -0.0732, -0.056, -0.0514, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0375, -0.0395, -0.0287, -0.0168, -0.0221, -0.0163, -0.0072, -0.0015, -0.0038, 0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0195, -0.0042, 0.0141, 0.0004, 0.0, 0.0211, 0.0213, 0.0371, 0.0241, 0.002, 0.0117, 0.0045, -0.0017, -0.0017, -0.0048, -0.0063, 0.0171, 0.0138, 0.0069, 0.0068, 0.0074, 0.022, 0.0266, 0.0251, -0.0052, -0.0066, 0.0109, 0.0037, -0.0005, 0.026, 0.0256, 0.0506, 0.0289, 0.0311, 0.0412, 0.0506, 0.0608, 0.0593, 0.0448, 0.0418, 0.0412, 0.0395, 0.0395, 0.049, 0.0413, 0.0388, 0.0325, 0.0513, 0.049, 0.0532, 0.0458, 0.0573, 0.0424, 0.022, 0.0243, 0.0175, -0.0012, -0.0139, -0.0093, 0.007, 0.0107, -0.0141, 0.0039, -0.0062, -0.0381, -0.0242, -0.0171, 0.0047, 0.0217, 0.0114, 0.0143, 0.0187, 0.0247, 0.0222, 0.0292, 0.0472, 0.042, 0.0401, 0.0528, 0.0619, 0.0656, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0647, 0.0651, 0.0623, 0.0264, 0.0275, 0.0235, 0.0298, 0.0495, 0.0508, 0.0491, 0.0591, 0.071, 0.0917, 0.093, 0.0954, 0.1098, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1032, 0.1133, 0.1081, 0.1162, 0.1192, 0.1209, 0.1063, 0.1305, 0.1368, 0.1405, 0.1405, 0.1573, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.154, 0.1255, 0.1226, 0.1236, 0.1126, 0.0978, 0.09, 0.0819, 0.0964, 0.1011, 0.0616, 0.0356, 0.0526, 0.0562, 0.0468, 0.0355]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1754939880436793428", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-02-06T18:47:27+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA (right) selling off at top end of its rising broadening pattern", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish MSFT (diamond top, 5th wave complete, MACD crossover) and NVDA (selling off at top of rising broadening wedge); both signal potential market top.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT (left) diamond top forming + potential 5th wave completion; potential market top with $NVDA (right) selling off at top end of its rising broadening pattern. Both daily views. https://t.co/57NvNgaaRh\n\n---\n\n$MSFT MACD crossover on daily as well https://t.co/u8xHZjsbRS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01625539644943541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01625539644943541, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01915036106459489, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00478918638490633, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028949646151594788, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011466210064529081, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027497847910344264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027497847910344264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019157455171465276, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007315202801143839, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008340392738878988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020182645109200426, "ret_p1w": 0.05723881498049099, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05723881498049099, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05703657054975109, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023203359609675456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00020224443073990628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03403545537081554, "ret_p1m": 0.30020892585968606, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30020892585968606, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26828458533618016, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12582893539651496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319243405235059, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1743799904631711, "ret_p3m": 0.30151355153484016, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30151355153484016, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2632557736780661, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17185710869543036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03825777785677409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1296564428394098, "ret_p6m": 0.7154785852392553, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7154785852392553, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5933605921819651, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4340113174769116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12211799305729021, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28146726776234376, "price_path": [-0.3119, -0.2916, -0.2874, -0.2722, -0.2835, -0.2748, -0.2775, -0.2612, -0.268, -0.286, -0.286, -0.2998, -0.2929, -0.2991, -0.2944, -0.3145, -0.3146, -0.333, -0.3174, -0.333, -0.317, -0.3037, -0.3166, -0.3015, -0.2951, -0.2913, -0.2834, -0.266, -0.2729, -0.2948, -0.2819, -0.2843, -0.2843, -0.2777, -0.2757, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.294, -0.3027, -0.2965, -0.2803, -0.2341, -0.2211, -0.2033, -0.1964, -0.1981, -0.1981, -0.1736, -0.1784, -0.1629, -0.128, -0.1256, -0.1224, -0.1006, -0.0968, -0.1054, -0.0844, -0.0799, -0.0981, -0.0762, -0.0302, 0.0163, 0.0, 0.0275, 0.0208, 0.0573, 0.059, 0.0572, 0.0832, 0.065, 0.0643, 0.0643, 0.018, -0.011, 0.1512, 0.1553, 0.1593, 0.1536, 0.1384, 0.1596, 0.206, 0.2494, 0.2601, 0.3002, 0.3584, 0.283, 0.2573, 0.3473, 0.3323, 0.2891, 0.2876, 0.2966, 0.3104, 0.3247, 0.3403, 0.3821, 0.3926, 0.3568, 0.3229, 0.3245, 0.3245, 0.3246, 0.3112, 0.3041, 0.2592, 0.2901, 0.2772, 0.2512, 0.2759, 0.3283, 0.2927, 0.2606, 0.2814, 0.2318, 0.2411, 0.117, 0.1656, 0.2082, 0.1679, 0.2113, 0.2861, 0.2864, 0.2665, 0.2173, 0.2579, 0.3015, 0.3506, 0.3274, 0.3253, 0.3009, 0.3175, 0.3251, 0.3391, 0.3871, 0.3832, 0.3556, 0.3893, 0.3982, 0.3918, 0.5215, 0.5607, 0.5607, 0.6696, 0.6832, 0.6198, 0.6071, 0.6857, 0.7068, 0.7948, 0.7736, 0.772, 0.7853, 0.7725, 0.8354, 0.9, 0.9333, 0.9201, 0.9876, 0.9876, 0.9172, 0.8555, 0.7315, 0.8484, 0.853, 0.8177, 0.8111, 0.8222, 0.7983, 0.8805, 0.8805, 0.8446, 0.8794, 0.926, 0.9777, 0.8676, 0.8946, 0.8829, 0.8524, 0.7297, 0.7751, 0.7288, 0.8111, 0.7971, 0.6749, 0.646, 0.6574, 0.6359, 0.5207, 0.7155]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1763321228750971087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-29T21:51:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "None of this is bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: erratic pricing, email spam, weak Q1 delivery signals all point negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Getting email spam from Tesla sales past month. Seeing product hero page changes. Price cuts left and right and telling people prices going up in a few weeks. Delivery numbers looking sub 450k for Q1. None of this is bullish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA appears likely to take M-Y RWD and LR prices back up tomorrow by the same $1,000 TSLA cut on 2/11. We don\u2019t like the strategy of dropping then raising the price three weeks later (since it trains would be buyers to wait for a deal), but on the TSLA website this morning TSLA https://t.co/QLXC7IVCIF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.0007924925671225491, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007924925671225491, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004374512737872593, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00751654866157947, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035820201707500443, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0067240560944569205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003764585340074067, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003764585340074067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005623690858929775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00045669242881718475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009388276199003842, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033078929112568822, "ret_p1w": -0.1150684090770292, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1150684090770292, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12831439737984074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09646843644815872, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01324598830281154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018599972628870476, "ret_p1m": -0.12923524353897475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12923524353897475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16193723185363607, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12858764565071723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03270198831466131, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0006475978882575228, "ret_p3m": -0.12447991021894411, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12447991021894411, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17048880197810667, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07611724933028974, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04600889175916256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.048362660888654374, "ret_p6m": 0.09134140080940822, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09134140080940822, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.022057659159481213, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06816338331735072, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11339905996888944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0231780174920575, "price_path": [0.1669, 0.1825, 0.1857, 0.2019, 0.2078, 0.1875, 0.174, 0.1853, 0.2436, 0.2557, 0.2487, 0.2741, 0.2242, 0.2606, 0.2509, 0.2509, 0.2711, 0.295, 0.2541, 0.2308, 0.2308, 0.2305, 0.1811, 0.1786, 0.1764, 0.1911, 0.1639, 0.1588, 0.1255, 0.0843, 0.0843, 0.0893, 0.0677, 0.0495, 0.0511, 0.0343, 0.036, 0.0295, -0.0954, -0.0923, -0.0542, -0.051, -0.0723, -0.0645, -0.0692, -0.1031, -0.0831, -0.0708, -0.061, -0.0412, -0.0681, -0.0885, -0.0652, -0.0071, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.0402, -0.0352, -0.0221, -0.0491, -0.0123, -0.0106, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0038, -0.0681, -0.1047, -0.1255, -0.1151, -0.1315, -0.1194, -0.1206, -0.1605, -0.1951, -0.1898, -0.1391, -0.1514, -0.1299, -0.1439, -0.1538, -0.1449, -0.1199, -0.1092, -0.1292, -0.1292, -0.1321, -0.1746, -0.1659, -0.1524, -0.1832, -0.1432, -0.1238, -0.1492, -0.1351, -0.1527, -0.2001, -0.2218, -0.23, -0.2573, -0.2716, -0.2964, -0.2833, -0.1969, -0.157, -0.1664, -0.0388, -0.0921, -0.1084, -0.1083, -0.1025, -0.0848, -0.1192, -0.1345, -0.1482, -0.1655, -0.1486, -0.1205, -0.1382, -0.1339, -0.121, -0.1334, -0.0757, -0.1078, -0.1394, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.1245, -0.1273, -0.1144, -0.1179, -0.1268, -0.1343, -0.1331, -0.1186, -0.1209, -0.1391, -0.1546, -0.1218, -0.0961, -0.1182, -0.0715, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.1006, -0.0935, -0.0956, -0.072, -0.0273, -0.0221, -0.0198, 0.0395, 0.1455, 0.2205, 0.2205, 0.2459, 0.2529, 0.2994, 0.304, 0.1939, 0.2296, 0.2514, 0.2709, 0.2309, 0.2345, 0.1849, 0.2458, 0.2204, 0.0699, 0.091, 0.0888, 0.1497, 0.1027, 0.1495, 0.0742, 0.0287, -0.0149, -0.0061, -0.0501, -0.0151, -0.0093, -0.0217, 0.0295, -0.0025, 0.0607, 0.0705, 0.1032, 0.0952, 0.106, 0.0435, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1715230724369113524", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-20T04:57:26+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's also a diamond top there suggesting 150-165", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Diamond top pattern on TSLA weekly chart targets 150\u2013165 downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider There\u2019s also a diamond top there suggesting 150-165", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA Weekly symmetrical triangle breakdown after missing EPS estimates for the first time since Q4 2020 \ud83e\udeab \n\nPrice is now testing multi-month lows. https://t.co/Uo1v6OQ860", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": 0.03830366954469144, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03830366954469144, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025862717552588732, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02254753325529868, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012440951992102711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015756136289392764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0004245310418349302, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0004245310418349302, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002157642493048395, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000762105957023973, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017331114512134649, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011866369988589032, "ret_p1w": -0.02212369602281783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02212369602281783, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002829446055543472, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008279631934355769, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0249531420783613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01384406408846206, "ret_p1m": 0.1113731779733027, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1113731779733027, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032857585501846254, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0038511317366671793, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07851559247145645, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10752204623663553, "ret_p3m": 0.016793233012622144, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.016793233012622144, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10907603245161335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12071185935969986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1258692654642355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.137505092372322, "ret_p6m": -0.23826599583372232, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23826599583372232, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4445362338437082, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39095634478304797, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2062702380099859, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15269034894932565, "price_path": [0.2514, 0.247, 0.2062, 0.2569, 0.2615, 0.2315, 0.1987, 0.2233, 0.1975, 0.1861, 0.1779, 0.1425, 0.1573, 0.1446, 0.131, 0.0989, 0.0642, 0.0341, 0.0165, 0.091, 0.1, 0.1173, 0.0851, 0.1255, 0.1266, 0.2132, 0.2118, 0.2174, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.2099, 0.1884, 0.1863, 0.1722, 0.2905, 0.2618, 0.2798, 0.3021, 0.2944, 0.2514, 0.2571, 0.2387, 0.2062, 0.1551, 0.1651, 0.1516, 0.1345, 0.1622, 0.1803, 0.1868, 0.1629, 0.2319, 0.2267, 0.229, 0.2249, 0.2435, 0.2406, 0.2211, 0.1846, 0.1978, 0.2022, 0.1448, 0.0383, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0214, 0.002, -0.0294, -0.0221, -0.069, -0.0526, -0.0299, 0.0308, 0.0376, 0.0343, 0.0481, 0.0477, -0.0095, 0.0125, 0.0553, 0.1199, 0.1455, 0.1019, 0.1052, 0.1114, 0.1378, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1107, 0.1136, 0.1638, 0.1517, 0.1325, 0.1266, 0.1113, 0.1261, 0.1292, 0.1446, 0.1502, 0.1309, 0.118, 0.1288, 0.1843, 0.1958, 0.1891, 0.2134, 0.1658, 0.2005, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2105, 0.2333, 0.1943, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.1718, 0.1248, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1343, 0.1084, 0.1035, 0.0718, 0.0325, 0.0325, 0.0374, 0.0168, -0.0005, 0.0009, -0.015, -0.0134, -0.0196, -0.1385, -0.1356, -0.0993, -0.0962, -0.1165, -0.1091, -0.1136, -0.1459, -0.1268, -0.1151, -0.1058, -0.0869, -0.1126, -0.1319, -0.1098, -0.0544, -0.0568, -0.0568, -0.086, -0.0812, -0.0688, -0.0944, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.0469, -0.0477, -0.0441, -0.1125, -0.1474, -0.1672, -0.1573, -0.1729, -0.1614, -0.1625, -0.2005, -0.2335, -0.2284, -0.1802, -0.1918, -0.1714, -0.1848, -0.1942, -0.1857, -0.1619, -0.1517, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1735, -0.214, -0.2057, -0.1928, -0.2221, -0.184, -0.1656, -0.1898, -0.1764, -0.1931, -0.2383]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1774636289100480956", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-01T03:13:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect it to act as resistance into earnings next week. I expect sub $150 after the print. $133ish for a rebound target but do not expect further upside anytime soon in 2024.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: Gann fan support breached, expects sub-$150 post-earnings, ~$133 rebound but no further upside in 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A simple Gann fan from 101.81 multi-year bottom is shown in this key $TSLA chart. A picture is worth a thousand words. https://t.co/f6iCWB6pLh\n\n---\n\nThis bottom blue line (8/1 Gann) was breached premarket today and is now being retested. I expect it to act as resistance into earnings next week. I expect sub $150 after the print. $133ish for a rebound target but do not expect further upside anytime soon in 2024.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003253007998280655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003253007998280655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015103323814609215, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004253090451677988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017426756168197333, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0075060984499586425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049024062767074494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049024062767074494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042665862077104544, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0342858551226638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006358200689969951, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014738207644410695, "ret_p1w": -0.012783960036289455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012783960036289455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006195809260634455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019358387499256446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0065881507756549995, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01084812128636381, "ret_p1m": 0.04599930089283344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04599930089283344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08464654063869703, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08380335734499134, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03864723974586359, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0378040564521579, "ret_p3m": 0.12669784724107824, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12669784724107824, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07695732684505652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11394956838751447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049740520396021726, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012748278853563777, "ret_p6m": 0.4511471435968559, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4511471435968559, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35014170316102233, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3484977448557782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1010054404358336, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1026493987410777, "price_path": [0.3609, 0.3579, 0.3554, 0.3723, 0.3409, 0.3351, 0.2968, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.2551, 0.2302, 0.2092, 0.211, 0.1916, 0.1936, 0.1861, 0.0423, 0.0458, 0.0897, 0.0934, 0.0689, 0.0778, 0.0724, 0.0333, 0.0564, 0.0705, 0.0818, 0.1047, 0.0737, 0.0502, 0.077, 0.144, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.1058, 0.1116, 0.1266, 0.0956, 0.138, 0.1399, 0.1531, 0.1522, 0.1565, 0.0737, 0.0315, 0.0075, 0.0196, 0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0132, -0.0328, -0.0726, -0.0665, -0.0081, -0.0223, 0.0025, -0.0137, -0.0251, -0.0148, 0.014, 0.0263, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.049, -0.039, -0.0235, -0.0589, -0.0128, 0.0095, -0.0197, -0.0035, -0.0238, -0.0784, -0.1034, -0.1128, -0.1443, -0.1608, -0.1893, -0.1743, -0.0747, -0.0288, -0.0396, 0.1075, 0.046, 0.0272, 0.0273, 0.0341, 0.0544, 0.0148, -0.0029, -0.0185, -0.0385, -0.019, 0.0133, -0.007, -0.0022, 0.0128, -0.0015, 0.0649, 0.0279, -0.0084, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0087, 0.0055, 0.0204, 0.0163, 0.0061, -0.0026, -0.0013, 0.0155, 0.0129, -0.0082, -0.026, 0.0118, 0.0414, 0.0159, 0.0697, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0362, 0.0445, 0.042, 0.0692, 0.1207, 0.1267, 0.1293, 0.1977, 0.3198, 0.4062, 0.4062, 0.4355, 0.4436, 0.4971, 0.5025, 0.3756, 0.4167, 0.4418, 0.4642, 0.4182, 0.4224, 0.3651, 0.4354, 0.4061, 0.2327, 0.257, 0.2544, 0.3246, 0.2705, 0.3244, 0.2376, 0.1852, 0.135, 0.1451, 0.0944, 0.1348, 0.1414, 0.1271, 0.1861, 0.1493, 0.2221, 0.2334, 0.2711, 0.2618, 0.2742, 0.2023, 0.2574, 0.2168, 0.194, 0.1742, 0.1773, 0.2219, 0.2219, 0.2019, 0.2522, 0.3136, 0.2027, 0.2343, 0.2908, 0.302, 0.3116, 0.3143, 0.2943, 0.3005, 0.2967, 0.3921, 0.3597, 0.4268, 0.4511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1758180019783024908", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-15T17:22:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upside targets are 206 and 213 which align perfectly with a gap fill and 50% fib retrace", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA upside targets 206 and 213 via inverse H&S pattern, gap fill, and 50% fib retrace.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Not true. The inverse head and shoulder neckline is around there but it can breakout/re-test it. Necklines almost always get re-tested. The next 5 days will be mixed. Upside targets are 206 and 213 which align perfectly with a gap fill and 50% fib retrace though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I think $TSLA needs to close over $194.60 at the end of the day for sustained bullish momentum.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": -0.05856817367478617, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05856817367478617, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05171571702382183, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047129225506443495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006852456650964345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011438948168342677, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0024943876658132247, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024943876658132247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002485656739639963, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0034471235352966367, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004980044405453188, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005941511201109861, "ret_p1w": -0.015165843514169608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015165843514169608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026101740441548338, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026382538702150904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01093589692737873, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011216695187981296, "ret_p1m": -0.18398598246696984, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18398598246696984, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20271872491440424, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1726583334795463, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018732742447434392, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011327648987423555, "ret_p3m": -0.11424292464517893, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11424292464517893, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15989121833956077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1085745238468987, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.045648293694381836, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005668400798280238, "ret_p6m": -0.002244933674697802, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.002244933674697802, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0706913580800198, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02548773104614721, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.068446424405322, "bench_c_p6m": -0.027732664720845013, "price_path": [0.1754, 0.2033, 0.1684, 0.1684, 0.1746, 0.1778, 0.2308, 0.218, 0.1977, 0.1915, 0.1753, 0.1909, 0.1942, 0.2105, 0.2165, 0.196, 0.1824, 0.1938, 0.2524, 0.2647, 0.2576, 0.2832, 0.2329, 0.2696, 0.2599, 0.2599, 0.2802, 0.3043, 0.2631, 0.2396, 0.2396, 0.2393, 0.1896, 0.187, 0.1848, 0.1996, 0.1722, 0.1671, 0.1335, 0.092, 0.092, 0.0971, 0.0753, 0.057, 0.0586, 0.0417, 0.0434, 0.0368, -0.0889, -0.0858, -0.0475, -0.0442, -0.0657, -0.0578, -0.0626, -0.0967, -0.0766, -0.0642, -0.0543, -0.0343, -0.0615, -0.082, -0.0586, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0334, -0.0283, -0.0152, -0.0423, -0.0052, -0.0036, 0.0079, 0.0071, 0.0109, -0.0614, -0.0983, -0.1193, -0.1088, -0.1253, -0.1131, -0.1143, -0.1545, -0.1893, -0.184, -0.133, -0.1453, -0.1237, -0.1378, -0.1478, -0.1388, -0.1136, -0.1029, -0.123, -0.123, -0.1259, -0.1687, -0.16, -0.1464, -0.1774, -0.137, -0.1176, -0.1431, -0.129, -0.1467, -0.1944, -0.2162, -0.2245, -0.252, -0.2664, -0.2913, -0.2782, -0.1912, -0.151, -0.1604, -0.0319, -0.0857, -0.1021, -0.102, -0.0961, -0.0783, -0.1129, -0.1284, -0.1421, -0.1595, -0.1425, -0.1142, -0.132, -0.1278, -0.1147, -0.1272, -0.0691, -0.1015, -0.1333, -0.1058, -0.1058, -0.1182, -0.121, -0.1081, -0.1116, -0.1205, -0.1281, -0.127, -0.1123, -0.1146, -0.133, -0.1486, -0.1155, -0.0897, -0.1119, -0.0649, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0942, -0.087, -0.0891, -0.0654, -0.0204, -0.0151, -0.0128, 0.0469, 0.1537, 0.2292, 0.2292, 0.2548, 0.2619, 0.3087, 0.3133, 0.2024, 0.2384, 0.2604, 0.2799, 0.2397, 0.2434, 0.1933, 0.2547, 0.2291, 0.0775, 0.0988, 0.0965, 0.1579, 0.1106, 0.1577, 0.0819, 0.036, -0.0078, 0.0009, -0.0434, -0.008, -0.0022]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1760408512063304098", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-21T20:57:50+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA large above ask opening 2026 call leaps", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Large above-ask opening buy on NVDA 2026 call LEAPS; still an open trade, currently up 2x within 30 days.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA large above ask opening 2026 call leaps https://t.co/qHHJROlLLk\n\n---\n\nGood to always revisit abnormal, large moves especially before an event (earnings in this case). This play was definitely bought and is currently still an open trade at 2x (or up 18m) within 30 days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029345505526127358, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030250765303645566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022882762450559202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009052597775182081, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006462743075568156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16400893068984979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14331364779080857, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09571724994400643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.020695282899041212, "bench_c_p1d": 0.06829168074584335, "ret_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1510403543130021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1328388558728315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09557237499634619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018201498440170605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.055467979316655924, "ret_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3552182679743259, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3016947363285152, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20357201940633374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.053523531645810696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15164624856799214, "ret_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4047968797573558, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33541603985741, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20892896393684146, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06938083989994581, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19586791582051433, "ret_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8211385305772487, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7017360650971363, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5674109682994335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11940246548011246, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25372756227781523, "price_path": [-0.292, -0.2851, -0.2913, -0.2866, -0.3069, -0.307, -0.3256, -0.3098, -0.3256, -0.3094, -0.2959, -0.3089, -0.2937, -0.2873, -0.2834, -0.2754, -0.2578, -0.2648, -0.2869, -0.2739, -0.2763, -0.2763, -0.2696, -0.2676, -0.266, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2861, -0.295, -0.2886, -0.2723, -0.2256, -0.2124, -0.1945, -0.1875, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1644, -0.1692, -0.1536, -0.1183, -0.1159, -0.1126, -0.0906, -0.0868, -0.0955, -0.0742, -0.0696, -0.0881, -0.0659, -0.0194, 0.0276, 0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0321, 0.0691, 0.0708, 0.069, 0.0953, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0293, 0.0, 0.164, 0.1681, 0.1722, 0.1664, 0.151, 0.1725, 0.2195, 0.2633, 0.2741, 0.3147, 0.3735, 0.2973, 0.2713, 0.3623, 0.3471, 0.3035, 0.3019, 0.311, 0.325, 0.3395, 0.3552, 0.3975, 0.4081, 0.3719, 0.3377, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.3393, 0.3258, 0.3186, 0.2733, 0.3044, 0.2915, 0.2651, 0.2901, 0.3431, 0.3071, 0.2747, 0.2956, 0.2455, 0.255, 0.1294, 0.1786, 0.2216, 0.1809, 0.2247, 0.3004, 0.3007, 0.2806, 0.2308, 0.272, 0.316, 0.3657, 0.3422, 0.3401, 0.3154, 0.3321, 0.3399, 0.354, 0.4026, 0.3986, 0.3707, 0.4048, 0.4138, 0.4073, 0.5385, 0.578, 0.578, 0.6882, 0.7019, 0.6378, 0.6249, 0.7045, 0.7258, 0.8148, 0.7934, 0.7918, 0.8051, 0.7922, 0.8558, 0.9212, 0.9548, 0.9415, 1.0097, 1.0097, 0.9385, 0.8761, 0.7507, 0.869, 0.8736, 0.8379, 0.8312, 0.8425, 0.8183, 0.9015, 0.9015, 0.8652, 0.9003, 0.9474, 0.9998, 0.8884, 0.9157, 0.9038, 0.873, 0.749, 0.7949, 0.7481, 0.8312, 0.8171, 0.6935, 0.6643, 0.6759, 0.6541, 0.5376, 0.7346, 0.6188, 0.59, 0.489, 0.5453, 0.4661, 0.556, 0.5527, 0.616, 0.7215, 0.7503, 0.8211]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1780513218554905068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-17T08:26:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "decent chance of a ~160.50 fib ext re-test then -5% intraday drop to ~152.50 tomorrow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bearish TSLA short-term: fib re-test at ~160.50 then -5% drop to ~152.50 tomorrow.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA charts showing decent chance of a ~160.50 fib ext re-test then -5% intraday drop to ~152.50 tomorrow. \n\nShort-term movement is tough to predict, but signals are aligning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01067869858281223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01067869858281223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004725161527305621, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005804345726376781, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005953537055506608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004874352856435449, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03550983840996058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03550983840996058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033452174097521326, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029300771647254087, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020576643124392557, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006209066762706494, "ret_p1w": 0.042972068611840886, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042972068611840886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03326273836446281, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03217883942172706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009709330247378078, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010793229190113829, "ret_p1m": 0.12473463988619082, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12473463988619082, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06851646301873937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0930512112633124, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05621817686745145, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03168342862287843, "ret_p3m": 0.625217139590978, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.625217139590978, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4997718108974025, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5129238878915228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1254453286935755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11229325169945525, "ret_p6m": 0.5359923381147478, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5359923381147478, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3777432887883849, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3855662813011702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15824904932636286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15042605681357757, "price_path": [0.365, 0.3432, 0.3454, 0.337, 0.1748, 0.1788, 0.2282, 0.2325, 0.2048, 0.2149, 0.2088, 0.1647, 0.1907, 0.2067, 0.2194, 0.2452, 0.2102, 0.1838, 0.214, 0.2895, 0.2863, 0.2863, 0.2464, 0.2529, 0.2699, 0.2349, 0.2827, 0.2849, 0.2997, 0.2987, 0.3036, 0.2103, 0.1627, 0.1357, 0.1492, 0.128, 0.1436, 0.1421, 0.0903, 0.0454, 0.0522, 0.118, 0.1021, 0.13, 0.1117, 0.0989, 0.1105, 0.1429, 0.1568, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.1272, 0.0719, 0.0832, 0.1007, 0.0608, 0.1128, 0.1379, 0.1049, 0.1232, 0.1004, 0.0388, 0.0107, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.054, -0.0862, -0.0693, 0.043, 0.0948, 0.0826, 0.2483, 0.179, 0.1579, 0.158, 0.1656, 0.1885, 0.1438, 0.124, 0.1063, 0.0838, 0.1058, 0.1422, 0.1193, 0.1247, 0.1416, 0.1254, 0.2004, 0.1586, 0.1177, 0.153, 0.153, 0.137, 0.1334, 0.1501, 0.1456, 0.1341, 0.1243, 0.1258, 0.1447, 0.1417, 0.118, 0.0978, 0.1405, 0.1738, 0.1451, 0.2058, 0.1892, 0.1892, 0.168, 0.1773, 0.1745, 0.2052, 0.2632, 0.27, 0.2729, 0.35, 0.4877, 0.585, 0.585, 0.618, 0.6271, 0.6876, 0.6935, 0.5505, 0.5968, 0.6252, 0.6504, 0.5986, 0.6033, 0.5388, 0.6179, 0.5849, 0.3895, 0.4169, 0.414, 0.4931, 0.4321, 0.4929, 0.395, 0.3359, 0.2794, 0.2907, 0.2336, 0.2791, 0.2866, 0.2704, 0.337, 0.2955, 0.3775, 0.3903, 0.4327, 0.4223, 0.4363, 0.3552, 0.4173, 0.3716, 0.3458, 0.3236, 0.327, 0.3774, 0.3774, 0.3548, 0.4115, 0.4807, 0.3556, 0.3913, 0.4549, 0.4675, 0.4784, 0.4814, 0.4589, 0.4659, 0.4616, 0.5691, 0.5326, 0.6082, 0.6357, 0.6534, 0.6354, 0.6755, 0.683, 0.6598, 0.6019, 0.5482, 0.6087, 0.5492, 0.5729, 0.5507, 0.536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1477072464634990592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-01T00:21:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I followed and grabbed some too. Let's go", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Followed parent's trade and bought TSLA Jan 07 1150 calls; bullish into next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fiilismies08 So this was the buyer I saw on my alerts. I followed and grabbed some too. Let\u2019s go", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bought 300 $TSLA Jan 07 1150 call options for around 300k. Fingers crossed for next week.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fiilismies08", "ret_m1d": -0.11918849258023612, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11918849258023612, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11343189820655097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09127740453904132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005756594373685142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027911088041194798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041832696836128, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041832696836128, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.041497822131073336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03574652693747893, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003348747050546663, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006086169898649074, "ret_p1w": -0.11807164964096739, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11807164964096739, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09253320395937137, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.060775155453269836, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025538445681596023, "bench_c_p1w": -0.057296494187697555, "ret_p1m": -0.2238160575856306, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2238160575856306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1719853764667333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10855775288595015, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.051830681118897326, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11525830469968046, "ret_p3m": -0.10183530504135241, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10183530504135241, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05019958939785496, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01715934812941322, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05163571564349745, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11899465317076563, "ret_p6m": -0.4182350172993905, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4182350172993905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2209854864795069, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08476506994017496, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1972495308198836, "bench_c_p6m": -0.33346994735921553, "price_path": [-0.3476, -0.3385, -0.3453, -0.3399, -0.3284, -0.324, -0.3179, -0.2973, -0.2748, -0.2796, -0.2784, -0.2549, -0.2418, -0.1458, -0.1512, -0.135, -0.1023, -0.0715, 0.0073, -0.0232, 0.0117, 0.0251, 0.0186, -0.0307, -0.1469, -0.1099, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1554, -0.1209, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.0523, -0.0358, -0.0756, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0982, -0.0523, -0.0459, -0.0873, -0.096, -0.154, -0.159, -0.1234, -0.109, -0.1633, -0.1523, -0.1945, -0.2011, -0.1865, -0.2274, -0.2227, -0.2499, -0.2177, -0.1591, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0882, -0.0928, -0.0947, -0.1079, -0.1192, 0.0, -0.0418, -0.0931, -0.1126, -0.144, -0.1181, -0.1128, -0.078, -0.1402, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1411, -0.1701, -0.1696, -0.2133, -0.2249, -0.2345, -0.2187, -0.309, -0.2946, -0.2193, -0.2238, -0.2451, -0.2572, -0.2304, -0.2437, -0.2315, -0.2232, -0.2461, -0.2832, -0.2701, -0.2312, -0.2304, -0.2696, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.3153, -0.3632, -0.3326, -0.325, -0.2745, -0.2796, -0.2666, -0.3005, -0.3013, -0.3294, -0.3129, -0.2841, -0.3013, -0.3371, -0.3612, -0.3316, -0.2997, -0.2735, -0.2454, -0.2322, -0.1715, -0.1673, -0.1549, -0.1576, -0.09, -0.0835, -0.0882, -0.1018, -0.096, -0.0453, -0.0904, -0.1284, -0.1188, -0.1453, -0.1866, -0.1774, -0.1479, -0.179, -0.179, -0.1629, -0.1431, -0.1855, -0.1592, -0.1623, -0.1682, -0.2695, -0.2653, -0.2686, -0.2742, -0.2474, -0.2422, -0.206, -0.2721, -0.2785, -0.344, -0.3332, -0.3882, -0.3932, -0.3586, -0.3962, -0.3652, -0.4084, -0.4087, -0.4466, -0.4375, -0.4764, -0.4509, -0.4101, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.368, -0.3829, -0.354, -0.4136, -0.4042, -0.4027, -0.3952, -0.4006, -0.4193, -0.4606, -0.4477, -0.4174, -0.4672, -0.458, -0.458, -0.4073, -0.4097, -0.4122, -0.3856, -0.3876, -0.4182]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1737743923483930858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-21T07:56:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Diamond top on Aug weekly rally to 299 as well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Diamond top pattern on TSLA weekly chart signals bearish reversal from Aug rally high of 299.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterLBrandt Diamond top on Aug weekly rally to 299 as well https://t.co/zIJYl1Cfq7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Diamonds are a girl's best friend $TSLA https://t.co/A8ceUrBGhw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterLBrandt", "ret_m1d": -0.028919452300006143, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028919452300006143, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01952669020358766, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013931362223027044, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009392762096418483, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0149880900769791, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007701401626197146, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007701401626197146, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009711141727849038, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0003456900619400738, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002009740101651891, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0073557115642570725, "ret_p1w": -0.00518666925036837, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00518666925036837, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013627697083570478, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00026445721168388836, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008441027833202108, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004922212038684481, "ret_p1m": -0.16624753461137032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16624753461137032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1868315161548768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13350597499583505, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02058398154350649, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032741559615535265, "ret_p3m": -0.32683690638813856, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32683690638813856, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42121468896870173, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3276849675565606, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09437778258056317, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0008480611684220651, "ret_p6m": -0.3005501198159688, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3005501198159688, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.45237253138999156, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2889825689187534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15182241157402276, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011567550897215395, "price_path": [-0.0295, -0.0408, -0.055, -0.0319, -0.0168, -0.0114, -0.0313, 0.0262, 0.0218, 0.0237, 0.0203, 0.0358, 0.0334, 0.0172, -0.0133, -0.0023, 0.0014, -0.0464, -0.1351, -0.167, -0.1667, -0.1492, -0.1653, -0.1915, -0.1855, -0.2245, -0.2108, -0.1919, -0.1414, -0.1357, -0.1384, -0.127, -0.1273, -0.1749, -0.1566, -0.121, -0.0672, -0.0458, -0.0822, -0.0794, -0.0743, -0.0523, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0749, -0.0724, -0.0306, -0.0407, -0.0567, -0.0616, -0.0743, -0.062, -0.0594, -0.0466, -0.0419, -0.058, -0.0687, -0.0598, -0.0136, -0.0039, -0.0095, 0.0107, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0083, 0.0273, -0.0052, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0239, -0.0631, -0.0651, -0.0668, -0.0552, -0.0768, -0.0808, -0.1072, -0.1399, -0.1399, -0.1359, -0.153, -0.1675, -0.1662, -0.1796, -0.1782, -0.1834, -0.2824, -0.28, -0.2498, -0.2472, -0.2641, -0.2579, -0.2617, -0.2886, -0.2727, -0.2629, -0.2552, -0.2394, -0.2608, -0.2769, -0.2585, -0.2124, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2387, -0.2347, -0.2243, -0.2457, -0.2165, -0.2152, -0.2061, -0.2068, -0.2038, -0.2607, -0.2898, -0.3063, -0.298, -0.311, -0.3015, -0.3024, -0.3341, -0.3615, -0.3573, -0.3171, -0.3268, -0.3098, -0.3209, -0.3288, -0.3217, -0.3019, -0.2934, -0.3093, -0.3093, -0.3115, -0.3453, -0.3384, -0.3277, -0.3521, -0.3203, -0.305, -0.3251, -0.3139, -0.3279, -0.3655, -0.3827, -0.3892, -0.4109, -0.4222, -0.4418, -0.4315, -0.3629, -0.3313, -0.3387, -0.2375, -0.2798, -0.2928, -0.2927, -0.2881, -0.274, -0.3013, -0.3135, -0.3243, -0.338, -0.3246, -0.3024, -0.3163, -0.313, -0.3027, -0.3126, -0.2668, -0.2923, -0.3173, -0.2957, -0.2957, -0.3055, -0.3077, -0.2975, -0.3003, -0.3073, -0.3133, -0.3124, -0.3008, -0.3026, -0.3171, -0.3294, -0.3034, -0.283, -0.3006]}
{"unit_id": "orig:716369823031111680", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2016-04-02T21:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The forward thinking buyers have spoken $tsla", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA on Model 3 preorder momentum surpassing 250k deposits.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#model3 preorder deposits surpass 250k. The forward thinking buyers have spoken $tsla", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03805824352021547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03805824352021547, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04130718817921952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045925268147296805, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0032489446590040494, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007867024627081332, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03433343457363125, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03433343457363125, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.044320956919377985, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04283454616228588, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009987522345746735, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00850111158865463, "ret_p1w": 0.011862837698365603, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011862837698365603, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02267448259176219, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027469832880316014, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010811644893396588, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015606995181950412, "ret_p1m": -0.05939509964524192, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05939509964524192, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05895909144616307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0690386220660899, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00043600819907885224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009643522420847983, "ret_p3m": -0.140531958689325, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.140531958689325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1614746333205359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13453061714463366, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02094267463121091, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006001341544691341, "ret_p6m": -0.16672736451117498, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16672736451117498, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22265841269247566, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18407341903038932, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05593104818130068, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017346054519214338, "price_path": [-0.1132, -0.1269, -0.1457, -0.1585, -0.1499, -0.189, -0.1652, -0.17, -0.17, -0.1711, -0.1955, -0.1904, -0.1799, -0.2049, -0.2163, -0.2386, -0.232, -0.2259, -0.2026, -0.26, -0.2976, -0.2901, -0.3417, -0.4008, -0.3998, -0.4183, -0.3908, -0.3885, -0.3885, -0.3718, -0.3171, -0.3248, -0.3256, -0.2804, -0.2825, -0.2753, -0.2411, -0.2294, -0.2229, -0.2455, -0.2375, -0.2075, -0.186, -0.1688, -0.1797, -0.1549, -0.1693, -0.1599, -0.1289, -0.116, -0.1015, -0.0834, -0.0577, -0.0351, -0.0516, -0.0988, -0.0779, -0.0779, -0.0677, -0.0683, -0.0814, -0.0697, -0.0381, 0.0, 0.0343, 0.0746, 0.0413, 0.0125, 0.0119, 0.0034, 0.0305, 0.0197, 0.0304, 0.0279, 0.0015, 0.0121, 0.0053, 0.0274, 0.0196, 0.0273, 0.0181, 0.0029, -0.0252, -0.021, -0.0594, -0.0989, -0.1436, -0.1298, -0.1541, -0.1551, -0.154, -0.1608, -0.1594, -0.1567, -0.1714, -0.145, -0.1287, -0.1081, -0.1246, -0.1177, -0.111, -0.0885, -0.097, -0.097, -0.0962, -0.1111, -0.1135, -0.1134, -0.1065, -0.0593, -0.0464, -0.0714, -0.1142, -0.1179, -0.1297, -0.1186, -0.1177, -0.1276, -0.1105, -0.1109, -0.2038, -0.2048, -0.218, -0.1961, -0.183, -0.149, -0.1405, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1336, -0.1318, -0.1257, -0.1223, -0.0899, -0.0904, -0.099, -0.1031, -0.1077, -0.084, -0.088, -0.0754, -0.1073, -0.1001, -0.0687, -0.0708, -0.0749, -0.0663, -0.0494, -0.0687, -0.0801, -0.0858, -0.0663, -0.0687, -0.0843, -0.0725, -0.0864, -0.0894, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0947, -0.0962, -0.0951, -0.089, -0.0974, -0.0897, -0.0987, -0.1054, -0.1093, -0.1287, -0.1443, -0.1416, -0.1871, -0.1992, -0.1992, -0.1788, -0.1833, -0.2009, -0.2126, -0.1971, -0.2062, -0.2048, -0.1886, -0.1684, -0.1646, -0.1715, -0.1691, -0.1642, -0.1601, -0.1539, -0.1667]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1745542796742971562", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-11T20:26:48+00:00", "symbol": "SNOW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still expect a rebound into earnings before sub $210", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish: Wyckoff distribution + bear bat + rising wedge fulfilled at 265; expects a bounce then decline below $210.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNOW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptocantoncat As I mentioned before, textbook Wyckoff distribution happening from a bear bat + rising wedge that fulfilled at 265. I still expect a rebound into earnings before sub $210 https://t.co/HM0cWIIjBV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009099268089801216, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009099268089801216, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008658414575806406, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008658414575806406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00044085351399481, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00044085351399481, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022288113276660027, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022288113276660027, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022980958316946132, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022980958316946132, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0006928450402861053, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006928450402861053, "ret_p1w": -0.04605865827487854, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04605865827487854, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04635251673187013, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04635251673187013, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002938584569915914, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0002938584569915914, "ret_p1m": 0.19251612617385505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19251612617385505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14034867977948973, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14034867977948973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052167446394365324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052167446394365324, "ret_p3m": -0.20468251858480302, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20468251858480302, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29827656879365383, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29827656879365383, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09359405020885081, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09359405020885081, "ret_p6m": -0.2688886216013664, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2688886216013664, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.44062815373314956, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44062815373314956, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17173953213178317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17173953213178317, "price_path": [-0.1712, -0.1852, -0.2167, -0.2157, -0.2451, -0.2404, -0.2275, -0.2721, -0.28, -0.267, -0.2631, -0.2581, -0.2625, -0.2703, -0.2333, -0.2629, -0.1843, -0.1893, -0.2007, -0.18, -0.1887, -0.1521, -0.1666, -0.1771, -0.1726, -0.1477, -0.148, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.125, -0.1294, -0.123, -0.1038, -0.0406, -0.0493, -0.0374, -0.0484, -0.057, -0.0425, -0.0253, -0.0134, -0.0109, 0.0048, 0.0268, 0.0173, 0.0171, 0.0174, -0.0068, 0.006, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.015, 0.0158, 0.0287, 0.0173, 0.0173, -0.0332, -0.0583, -0.0608, -0.0332, 0.0037, 0.0065, 0.0091, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0389, -0.0383, -0.0461, -0.0128, 0.0177, 0.0509, 0.0419, 0.0531, 0.0352, 0.0712, 0.0543, 0.0001, 0.0221, 0.1183, 0.1021, 0.0923, 0.1156, 0.1395, 0.1925, 0.1868, 0.1633, 0.2064, 0.188, 0.1773, 0.1773, 0.125, 0.1053, 0.1534, 0.1724, 0.1805, 0.1964, 0.1757, -0.0375, -0.0455, -0.0904, -0.1425, -0.1463, -0.1389, -0.1698, -0.1704, -0.1721, -0.1703, -0.1876, -0.1976, -0.201, -0.1938, -0.1665, -0.1903, -0.187, -0.1916, -0.1922, -0.1819, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.1794, -0.2016, -0.2178, -0.2264, -0.2135, -0.2084, -0.2047, -0.218, -0.1854, -0.1894, -0.2231, -0.2317, -0.2393, -0.2413, -0.2565, -0.2475, -0.2272, -0.2077, -0.2204, -0.1916, -0.1952, -0.2066, -0.2018, -0.1935, -0.1856, -0.1633, -0.1867, -0.1934, -0.2032, -0.1967, -0.1832, -0.1772, -0.1597, -0.1563, -0.1726, -0.1577, -0.1682, -0.165, -0.2098, -0.2017, -0.2017, -0.2294, -0.2425, -0.2795, -0.3039, -0.3, -0.2997, -0.3135, -0.325, -0.3293, -0.352, -0.3432, -0.3338, -0.3564, -0.3499, -0.332, -0.3477, -0.3477, -0.3527, -0.3467, -0.362, -0.365, -0.3399, -0.3154, -0.3094, -0.2702, -0.2745, -0.2697, -0.2697, -0.2689]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1757121569015628059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-12T19:16:42+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Opening long call spreads", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Opening long call spreads on NVDA into earnings; expects earnings to outweigh bearish technical signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA hitting fib chan upper resistance going into earnings today at ~750 - possible near-term top into earnings. Am bullish but can see pullback https://t.co/kYOBs5pKKO\n\n---\n\nMy rebound target is ~$680 or around -5% from here\n\n---\n\n680 target hit right on queue before earnings. I see MACD crossover and some other bearish technicals forming but earnings tmr will outweigh those heavily. Opening long call spreads\n\n---\n\nLarge above ask sweep call leap opening order about 25 mins ago on $NVDA https://t.co/uzrEloBu79", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001591626289570769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001591626289570769, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002030710148453796, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005482095038624291, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00043908385888302703, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038904687490535217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016608366208240577, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016608366208240577, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012112313316705814, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016855856393670265, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013773149937529872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018516693014494323, "ret_p1w": 0.005051931522981334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005051931522981334, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007986188432543284, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01150328798183331, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0029342569095619497, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006451356458851976, "ret_p1m": 0.2722471326582421, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2722471326582421, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24070883130750986, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14957399411712435, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03153830135073221, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12267313854111772, "ret_p3m": 0.2284237848964037, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2284237848964037, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1868928988364431, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14509862847510502, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04153088605996058, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08332515642129867, "ret_p6m": 0.4431327237540952, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4431327237540952, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39426441154425285, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37221769701256435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.048868312209842335, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07091502674153083, "price_path": [-0.3234, -0.3152, -0.3177, -0.3023, -0.3088, -0.3258, -0.3258, -0.3388, -0.3323, -0.3382, -0.3337, -0.3527, -0.3528, -0.3701, -0.3555, -0.3702, -0.3551, -0.3425, -0.3546, -0.3404, -0.3344, -0.3308, -0.3233, -0.3069, -0.3134, -0.3341, -0.3219, -0.3241, -0.3241, -0.3179, -0.316, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.3333, -0.3416, -0.3356, -0.3204, -0.2768, -0.2645, -0.2477, -0.2412, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.2196, -0.2242, -0.2096, -0.1766, -0.1743, -0.1713, -0.1507, -0.1471, -0.1553, -0.1354, -0.1311, -0.1484, -0.1276, -0.0843, -0.0404, -0.0557, -0.0297, -0.0361, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0017, 0.0229, 0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0051, -0.0387, -0.0661, 0.0871, 0.0909, 0.0947, 0.0893, 0.075, 0.095, 0.1388, 0.1798, 0.1899, 0.2278, 0.2827, 0.2116, 0.1873, 0.2722, 0.2581, 0.2173, 0.2158, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2509, 0.2656, 0.3051, 0.315, 0.2812, 0.2492, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2508, 0.2382, 0.2314, 0.1891, 0.2182, 0.2061, 0.1815, 0.2048, 0.2543, 0.2207, 0.1904, 0.21, 0.1632, 0.172, 0.0547, 0.1007, 0.1409, 0.1029, 0.1438, 0.2144, 0.2147, 0.196, 0.1494, 0.1879, 0.229, 0.2754, 0.2534, 0.2515, 0.2284, 0.2441, 0.2513, 0.2645, 0.3099, 0.3061, 0.2801, 0.3119, 0.3203, 0.3143, 0.4368, 0.4737, 0.4737, 0.5766, 0.5894, 0.5295, 0.5175, 0.5918, 0.6117, 0.6948, 0.6748, 0.6733, 0.6858, 0.6738, 0.7331, 0.7942, 0.8256, 0.8132, 0.8768, 0.8768, 0.8104, 0.7521, 0.635, 0.7455, 0.7498, 0.7164, 0.7102, 0.7207, 0.6981, 0.7758, 0.7758, 0.7419, 0.7747, 0.8187, 0.8676, 0.7636, 0.7891, 0.778, 0.7492, 0.6333, 0.6762, 0.6325, 0.7102, 0.697, 0.5816, 0.5543, 0.5651, 0.5447, 0.4359, 0.6199, 0.5118, 0.4849, 0.3905, 0.4431]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1704948235721408728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-21T19:58:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still holding $TSLA puts/covered calls into Oct/Nov. Q3 deliveries (Oct 2) likely a big miss + diamond top formation = strong bias to downside", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Half SPY short still open; bearish TSLA into Oct/Nov on likely Q3 delivery miss and diamond top formation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BCalusinski Nice trade. I just closed half my SPY short - still holding $TSLA puts/covered calls into Oct/Nov. Q3 deliveries (Oct 2) likely a big miss + diamond top formation = strong bias to downside. Any plans to open a position on $TSLA before Oct?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPX And just like that, the main target has been satisfied only 5 sessions later \n\n4510 \u2014&gt;4333 (August lows)\n\nNext up: I will be looking to catch a short-term bounce\n\nMore on that soon \ud83c\udfa5 https://t.co/C4YP8u2sP9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BCalusinski", "ret_m1d": 0.026945637355807683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026945637355807683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01013947768575929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011108056217334905, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016806159670048393, "bench_c_m1d": 0.028056442977541174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042315182614647506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.042315182614647506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04006669314517297, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03247090073253511, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002248489469474535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009844281882112393, "ret_p1w": -0.036448933033488506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036448933033488506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029795935287159847, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021682606055728137, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006652997746328659, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014766326977760369, "ret_p1m": -0.1709424793772123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1709424793772123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14729794273295727, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10424701436021122, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023644536644255032, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06669546501700108, "ret_p3m": 0.005944482951122598, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005944482951122598, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0992391800592185, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11221536572047919, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1051836630103411, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11815984867160179, "ret_p6m": -0.36030500869607773, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36030500869607773, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5506143022603605, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4577547732422478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19030929356428272, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09744976454617005, "price_path": [-0.0573, -0.0215, 0.0021, 0.007, 0.0237, 0.0943, 0.0943, 0.1047, 0.0815, 0.0732, 0.0544, 0.0551, 0.0637, 0.0868, 0.1004, 0.1356, 0.1472, 0.1391, 0.0282, 0.0169, 0.0522, 0.0375, 0.0338, 0.0, 0.042, 0.0459, 0.021, -0.0062, 0.0142, -0.0072, -0.0166, -0.0235, -0.0528, -0.0405, -0.051, -0.0623, -0.0889, -0.1177, -0.1427, -0.1573, -0.0955, -0.088, -0.0737, -0.1004, -0.0669, -0.066, 0.0058, 0.0047, 0.0093, -0.0418, -0.0418, 0.0031, -0.0148, -0.0165, -0.0282, 0.0699, 0.0461, 0.061, 0.0795, 0.0731, 0.0375, 0.0422, 0.0269, 0.0, -0.0423, -0.0341, -0.0453, -0.0594, -0.0364, -0.0214, -0.016, -0.0359, 0.0214, 0.017, 0.0189, 0.0155, 0.031, 0.0285, 0.0124, -0.0179, -0.007, -0.0033, -0.0509, -0.1392, -0.1709, -0.1706, -0.1532, -0.1693, -0.1953, -0.1893, -0.2282, -0.2145, -0.1957, -0.1454, -0.1398, -0.1425, -0.1311, -0.1314, -0.1788, -0.1605, -0.1251, -0.0715, -0.0503, -0.0865, -0.0837, -0.0786, -0.0567, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0792, -0.0767, -0.0351, -0.0452, -0.0611, -0.066, -0.0787, -0.0664, -0.0639, -0.0511, -0.0464, -0.0624, -0.0731, -0.0642, -0.0182, -0.0086, -0.0142, 0.0059, -0.0335, -0.0047, -0.0124, -0.0124, 0.0036, 0.0224, -0.0099, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.0285, -0.0675, -0.0695, -0.0712, -0.0596, -0.0811, -0.0851, -0.1114, -0.144, -0.144, -0.14, -0.157, -0.1714, -0.1702, -0.1834, -0.1821, -0.1872, -0.2858, -0.2833, -0.2533, -0.2507, -0.2675, -0.2614, -0.2651, -0.2919, -0.2761, -0.2664, -0.2587, -0.243, -0.2643, -0.2803, -0.262, -0.2161, -0.218, -0.218, -0.2422, -0.2383, -0.228, -0.2492, -0.2202, -0.2189, -0.2099, -0.2105, -0.2075, -0.2642, -0.2932, -0.3096, -0.3013, -0.3143, -0.3048, -0.3057, -0.3372, -0.3645, -0.3603]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1780443126483898806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-17T03:48:15+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So roughly $2.20 2024 EPS. A fair multiple is 50. Some argue that's too high given recent margin/growth trends. That's $110 fair value.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implied bearish: TSLA fair value ~$110 on $2.20 EPS \u00d7 50x, well below current price, with downside risk if multiple compresses further.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl So roughly $2.20 2024 EPS. A fair multiple is 50. Some argue that\u2019s too high given recent margin/growth trends. That\u2019s $110 fair value. \n\nHow far we\u2019ve fallen. I remember 2024 EPS was supposed to be over $7.00 not even a few years ago.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you can't be bothered to read Part 1 and Part 2 (with explanations), here is the TLDR version:\n\nRevenue $21.45B (-8% YoY)\nAuto Gross Margin Ex Credit = 15.8% (last quarter was 17.2%, last year was 19%)\nOperating Margin 6.1%  (last quarter was 8.2%, last year was 11.4%)\n$0.48", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.01067869858281223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01067869858281223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004725161527305621, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005804345726376781, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005953537055506608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004874352856435449, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03550983840996058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03550983840996058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033452174097521326, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029300771647254087, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020576643124392557, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006209066762706494, "ret_p1w": 0.042972068611840886, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042972068611840886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03326273836446281, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03217883942172706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009709330247378078, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010793229190113829, "ret_p1m": 0.12473463988619082, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12473463988619082, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06851646301873937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0930512112633124, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05621817686745145, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03168342862287843, "ret_p3m": 0.625217139590978, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.625217139590978, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4997718108974025, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5129238878915228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1254453286935755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11229325169945525, "ret_p6m": 0.5359923381147478, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5359923381147478, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3777432887883849, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3855662813011702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15824904932636286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15042605681357757, "price_path": [0.365, 0.3432, 0.3454, 0.337, 0.1748, 0.1788, 0.2282, 0.2325, 0.2048, 0.2149, 0.2088, 0.1647, 0.1907, 0.2067, 0.2194, 0.2452, 0.2102, 0.1838, 0.214, 0.2895, 0.2863, 0.2863, 0.2464, 0.2529, 0.2699, 0.2349, 0.2827, 0.2849, 0.2997, 0.2987, 0.3036, 0.2103, 0.1627, 0.1357, 0.1492, 0.128, 0.1436, 0.1421, 0.0903, 0.0454, 0.0522, 0.118, 0.1021, 0.13, 0.1117, 0.0989, 0.1105, 0.1429, 0.1568, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.1272, 0.0719, 0.0832, 0.1007, 0.0608, 0.1128, 0.1379, 0.1049, 0.1232, 0.1004, 0.0388, 0.0107, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.054, -0.0862, -0.0693, 0.043, 0.0948, 0.0826, 0.2483, 0.179, 0.1579, 0.158, 0.1656, 0.1885, 0.1438, 0.124, 0.1063, 0.0838, 0.1058, 0.1422, 0.1193, 0.1247, 0.1416, 0.1254, 0.2004, 0.1586, 0.1177, 0.153, 0.153, 0.137, 0.1334, 0.1501, 0.1456, 0.1341, 0.1243, 0.1258, 0.1447, 0.1417, 0.118, 0.0978, 0.1405, 0.1738, 0.1451, 0.2058, 0.1892, 0.1892, 0.168, 0.1773, 0.1745, 0.2052, 0.2632, 0.27, 0.2729, 0.35, 0.4877, 0.585, 0.585, 0.618, 0.6271, 0.6876, 0.6935, 0.5505, 0.5968, 0.6252, 0.6504, 0.5986, 0.6033, 0.5388, 0.6179, 0.5849, 0.3895, 0.4169, 0.414, 0.4931, 0.4321, 0.4929, 0.395, 0.3359, 0.2794, 0.2907, 0.2336, 0.2791, 0.2866, 0.2704, 0.337, 0.2955, 0.3775, 0.3903, 0.4327, 0.4223, 0.4363, 0.3552, 0.4173, 0.3716, 0.3458, 0.3236, 0.327, 0.3774, 0.3774, 0.3548, 0.4115, 0.4807, 0.3556, 0.3913, 0.4549, 0.4675, 0.4784, 0.4814, 0.4589, 0.4659, 0.4616, 0.5691, 0.5326, 0.6082, 0.6357, 0.6534, 0.6354, 0.6755, 0.683, 0.6598, 0.6019, 0.5482, 0.6087, 0.5492, 0.5729, 0.5507, 0.536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1368693618991505414", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-07T22:42:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Most, if not all, car mfrs are not fundamentally designed to build software. It will be drastically more difficult for legacy auto to build software than it was for TSLA to build cars", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: legacy automakers cannot replicate TSLA's software advantage, making autonomy lead more durable than parent's $960 PT implies.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 while I appreciate and respect your $TSLA analysis - I think you're far off the mark here. Most, if not all, car mfrs are not fundamentally designed to build software. It will be drastically more difficult for legacy auto to build software than it was for TSLA to build cars", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you look at the history of innovation in the auto industry, once one mfr comes up with something better, all other mfrs reverse engineer it and quickly copy it. $TSLA is way ahead of everyone on autonomy, but TSLA will not be the only one who can apply AI to autonomy. $960 PT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.062078118547453265, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.062078118547453265, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05707455929864924, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06328826909192475, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005003559248804024, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012101505444714888, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1964120760817838, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1964120760817838, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1821347178078594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15864365978431927, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014277358273924401, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037768416297464524, "ret_p1w": 0.2574422166884043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2574422166884043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21895887490888644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18101396633880196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03848334177951784, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07642825034960232, "ret_p1m": 0.2284546378573149, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2284546378573149, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16104910394466, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1183567897294342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06740553391265491, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1100978481278807, "ret_p3m": 0.01747779053499232, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01747779053499232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08317573890096996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06487063752638855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10065352943596229, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08234842806138087, "ret_p6m": 0.30678507378247666, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30678507378247666, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11606670495842164, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13351842156557048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.19071836882405502, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17326665221690618, "price_path": [0.0737, 0.1138, 0.0835, 0.1365, 0.1248, 0.1062, 0.165, 0.2345, 0.1543, 0.1374, 0.1474, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.1788, 0.1829, 0.2341, 0.2534, 0.2534, 0.2962, 0.3057, 0.3428, 0.4494, 0.5631, 0.4408, 0.5088, 0.5176, 0.5009, 0.4674, 0.4674, 0.5001, 0.5106, 0.5009, 0.5038, 0.5645, 0.5685, 0.5349, 0.4839, 0.4095, 0.4917, 0.5502, 0.5181, 0.5098, 0.5137, 0.5336, 0.5088, 0.4295, 0.4417, 0.4496, 0.4496, 0.4142, 0.4177, 0.3985, 0.3877, 0.2691, 0.2413, 0.318, 0.2118, 0.1998, 0.2761, 0.2193, 0.1602, 0.1038, 0.0621, 0.0, 0.1964, 0.1866, 0.2426, 0.2322, 0.2574, 0.2023, 0.2466, 0.1601, 0.1632, 0.1901, 0.1761, 0.1195, 0.1375, 0.099, 0.0858, 0.129, 0.1864, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.2274, 0.2285, 0.1918, 0.2146, 0.2025, 0.2469, 0.354, 0.3006, 0.3123, 0.314, 0.2693, 0.2771, 0.3217, 0.2783, 0.2956, 0.3112, 0.2518, 0.2334, 0.2025, 0.2601, 0.2165, 0.1964, 0.1917, 0.1786, 0.1943, 0.1173, 0.0963, 0.0478, 0.0154, 0.0475, 0.0246, 0.0264, 0.0008, 0.0422, 0.0318, 0.0772, 0.074, 0.0997, 0.1205, 0.1105, 0.1105, 0.1082, 0.0748, 0.0175, 0.064, 0.0748, 0.0721, 0.0636, 0.0837, 0.0833, 0.0971, 0.0646, 0.0744, 0.0952, 0.1071, 0.1027, 0.1078, 0.1662, 0.2075, 0.1934, 0.2233, 0.2092, 0.2073, 0.2041, 0.2059, 0.2059, 0.1715, 0.145, 0.1595, 0.1669, 0.2179, 0.1875, 0.1605, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1478, 0.1732, 0.1639, 0.1532, 0.1428, 0.1681, 0.1453, 0.1492, 0.2031, 0.2206, 0.2605, 0.2606, 0.2627, 0.2693, 0.2417, 0.2678, 0.2611, 0.2572, 0.2829, 0.2738, 0.2188, 0.1824, 0.2238, 0.1962, 0.2083, 0.2545, 0.2584, 0.2632, 0.2454, 0.2645, 0.2982, 0.3068]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1774566618418590083", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-31T22:37:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "technical direction is about 65/35 leaning bearish in my view", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-lean on TSLA into Q1 delivery print; expects sub-423k deliveries, -5-10% move, with re-entry considered at $115-137; technicals 65/35 bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA company compiled consensus is at 431k. I estimated 430k as the whisper number several weeks ago - now I wonder if it's actually lower (~420k). Regardless, any number below 423k is a YoY decline and will result in a negative reaction to the stock. How much depends on what the market has already priced in I think anything below 423k will result in -5-10% move w/ a potential sharp rebound. I believe ~$150 and $137 present the next best bounce candidates.\n\nI'm at 412k deliveries for Q1 2024. \n\nAlso, I'm considering re-entering my $TSLA position around 115-137. This will be about -50% less then when I sold. Will also closely monitor how the stock moves around 150 as this is a key level for many reasons.\n\nThere are 2 large bear flags + a massive diamond top (log chart) going into this Q1 print and a large descending wedge (bullish) + inverse head/shoulders (bullish) so the technical direction is about 65/35 leaning bearish in my view. \n\nTo be clear, I'm hoping the best for $TSLA as a business but I've been shrewd when it comes to an investment perspective (hence writing calls at 300-414 and mostly selling above $250). I identified 2023-24 as demand gap years (I still believe 2023 was propped up by IRA) back in 2022 and continue to believe 2026+ will present the next growth wave for $TSLA as a stock). Not trying to brag, just trying to help investors manage expectations. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\nI should add that the company compiled consensus *median* is 431k. The actual average is 443k.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003253007998280655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003253007998280655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015103323814609215, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004253090451677988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017426756168197333, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0075060984499586425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049024062767074494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049024062767074494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042665862077104544, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0342858551226638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006358200689969951, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014738207644410695, "ret_p1w": -0.012783960036289455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012783960036289455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006195809260634455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019358387499256446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0065881507756549995, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01084812128636381, "ret_p1m": 0.04599930089283344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04599930089283344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08464654063869703, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08380335734499134, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03864723974586359, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0378040564521579, "ret_p3m": 0.12669784724107824, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12669784724107824, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07695732684505652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11394956838751447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049740520396021726, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012748278853563777, "ret_p6m": 0.4511471435968559, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4511471435968559, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35014170316102233, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3484977448557782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1010054404358336, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1026493987410777, "price_path": [0.3609, 0.3579, 0.3554, 0.3723, 0.3409, 0.3351, 0.2968, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.2551, 0.2302, 0.2092, 0.211, 0.1916, 0.1936, 0.1861, 0.0423, 0.0458, 0.0897, 0.0934, 0.0689, 0.0778, 0.0724, 0.0333, 0.0564, 0.0705, 0.0818, 0.1047, 0.0737, 0.0502, 0.077, 0.144, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.1058, 0.1116, 0.1266, 0.0956, 0.138, 0.1399, 0.1531, 0.1522, 0.1565, 0.0737, 0.0315, 0.0075, 0.0196, 0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0132, -0.0328, -0.0726, -0.0665, -0.0081, -0.0223, 0.0025, -0.0137, -0.0251, -0.0148, 0.014, 0.0263, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.049, -0.039, -0.0235, -0.0589, -0.0128, 0.0095, -0.0197, -0.0035, -0.0238, -0.0784, -0.1034, -0.1128, -0.1443, -0.1608, -0.1893, -0.1743, -0.0747, -0.0288, -0.0396, 0.1075, 0.046, 0.0272, 0.0273, 0.0341, 0.0544, 0.0148, -0.0029, -0.0185, -0.0385, -0.019, 0.0133, -0.007, -0.0022, 0.0128, -0.0015, 0.0649, 0.0279, -0.0084, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0087, 0.0055, 0.0204, 0.0163, 0.0061, -0.0026, -0.0013, 0.0155, 0.0129, -0.0082, -0.026, 0.0118, 0.0414, 0.0159, 0.0697, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0362, 0.0445, 0.042, 0.0692, 0.1207, 0.1267, 0.1293, 0.1977, 0.3198, 0.4062, 0.4062, 0.4355, 0.4436, 0.4971, 0.5025, 0.3756, 0.4167, 0.4418, 0.4642, 0.4182, 0.4224, 0.3651, 0.4354, 0.4061, 0.2327, 0.257, 0.2544, 0.3246, 0.2705, 0.3244, 0.2376, 0.1852, 0.135, 0.1451, 0.0944, 0.1348, 0.1414, 0.1271, 0.1861, 0.1493, 0.2221, 0.2334, 0.2711, 0.2618, 0.2742, 0.2023, 0.2574, 0.2168, 0.194, 0.1742, 0.1773, 0.2219, 0.2219, 0.2019, 0.2522, 0.3136, 0.2027, 0.2343, 0.2908, 0.302, 0.3116, 0.3143, 0.2943, 0.3005, 0.2967, 0.3921, 0.3597, 0.4268, 0.4511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1752424845173043577", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-30T20:13:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $600 as my base case 2030 too. If FSD and Robotics flourish, bull case $1200-1500. Bear case is around $330 or lower.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Base case $600 by 2030, bull $1200-1500 on FSD/Robotics; bear $330 or lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Reasonable base case and I agree with most of this except GM ex-RC bottoming. I have $600 as my base case 2030 too. If FSD and Robotics flourish, bull case $1200-1500. Bear case is around $330 or lower.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Attached is my updated 2024-2030 $TSLA volume, margin, and EPS forecasts. I\u2019ve updated consensus ests for 2024-2030 volumes and eps.   \n\nI assume EV adoption continues to grow at 35% per year, to 60% by 2030.  I assume gross margins ex-RC stabilize at 17.3% in 2024 and expand to https://t.co/CJg9awpN0r", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.0034448753835005785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034448753835005785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004218957346119767, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0040193004537651955, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007740819626191886, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000574425070264617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02244377647032403, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02244377647032403, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006126476198386022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004234832231626129, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016317300271938007, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0182089442386979, "ret_p1w": -0.033874369008960015, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033874369008960015, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040169102856163263, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04415658669882272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006294733847203249, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010282217689862705, "ret_p1m": 0.05454354166703168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05454354166703168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02323301860468474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0023864419928936176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03131052306234694, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05215709967413806, "ret_p3m": -0.12161388118962968, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12161388118962968, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16021558178088435, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13426945427398773, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03860170059125467, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012655573084358052, "ret_p6m": 0.1273553401621308, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1273553401621308, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.017813288405444494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08142607653201805, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1095420517566863, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04592926363011274, "price_path": [0.1405, 0.1481, 0.1445, 0.1597, 0.1593, 0.096, 0.1204, 0.1676, 0.2392, 0.2675, 0.2192, 0.2229, 0.2297, 0.2589, 0.2225, 0.2225, 0.2289, 0.2322, 0.2877, 0.2743, 0.2531, 0.2466, 0.2296, 0.246, 0.2494, 0.2665, 0.2727, 0.2513, 0.2371, 0.249, 0.3104, 0.3231, 0.3157, 0.3426, 0.2899, 0.3284, 0.3181, 0.3181, 0.3394, 0.3646, 0.3215, 0.2969, 0.2969, 0.2966, 0.2446, 0.2419, 0.2396, 0.255, 0.2264, 0.221, 0.186, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.1478, 0.1251, 0.1059, 0.1075, 0.0898, 0.0916, 0.0848, -0.0468, -0.0435, -0.0034, 0.0, -0.0224, -0.0142, -0.0192, -0.055, -0.0339, -0.0209, -0.0106, 0.0103, -0.0181, -0.0395, -0.015, 0.0462, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0113, 0.0166, 0.0304, 0.002, 0.0408, 0.0425, 0.0545, 0.0537, 0.0577, -0.018, -0.0566, -0.0786, -0.0675, -0.0848, -0.0721, -0.0733, -0.1154, -0.1518, -0.1462, -0.0929, -0.1058, -0.0831, -0.098, -0.1084, -0.099, -0.0727, -0.0614, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0854, -0.1303, -0.1211, -0.1069, -0.1393, -0.0971, -0.0768, -0.1035, -0.0887, -0.1072, -0.1572, -0.18, -0.1886, -0.2174, -0.2325, -0.2586, -0.2448, -0.1538, -0.1117, -0.1216, 0.0128, -0.0434, -0.0605, -0.0604, -0.0543, -0.0356, -0.0719, -0.0881, -0.1024, -0.1207, -0.1028, -0.0733, -0.0919, -0.0874, -0.0738, -0.0869, -0.026, -0.0599, -0.0932, -0.0645, -0.0645, -0.0775, -0.0804, -0.0668, -0.0705, -0.0799, -0.0878, -0.0866, -0.0712, -0.0736, -0.0929, -0.1092, -0.0746, -0.0476, -0.0709, -0.0217, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0523, -0.0448, -0.047, -0.0221, 0.0249, 0.0304, 0.0328, 0.0954, 0.2071, 0.286, 0.286, 0.3128, 0.3202, 0.3692, 0.3741, 0.2581, 0.2956, 0.3186, 0.3391, 0.297, 0.3009, 0.2485, 0.3128, 0.286, 0.1274]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1750967046328971658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-26T19:40:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect the $146 gap to fill in 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects TSLA to fill the $146 gap in 2024, with potential confluences in mid-Feb, early May, and mid-Aug.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been fortunate enough to be very accurate on $TSLA movement the past 6 months. If I continue this trend, I expect the $146 gap to fill in 2024. The question is when. My charts have a few potential confluences around mid Feb, early May and mid Aug\nhttps://t.co/zfKmFNAWTy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003383329425306947, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003383329425306947, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00465529202673709, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00116009994271693, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012719626014301433, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004543429368023877, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04190991910385411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04190991910385411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033990631438938435, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02728982604516017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007919287664915675, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01462009305869394, "ret_p1w": 0.025429760775494525, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025429760775494525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011191384008475858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00742201783462848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014238376767018668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032851778610123006, "ret_p1m": 0.08813093531505789, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08813093531505789, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05001130147764887, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028892902168366597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03811963383740902, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059238033146691293, "ret_p3m": -0.115252360803206, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.115252360803206, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15540387946389, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13208266803674362, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040151518660684005, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016830307233537622, "ret_p6m": 0.37249655938246073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37249655938246073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22732465174865224, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26169157206252525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1451719076338085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11080498731993549, "price_path": [0.096, 0.1223, 0.1924, 0.2003, 0.1966, 0.2124, 0.2121, 0.1459, 0.1714, 0.2208, 0.2956, 0.3252, 0.2747, 0.2786, 0.2857, 0.3162, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.2849, 0.2883, 0.3464, 0.3323, 0.3101, 0.3033, 0.2856, 0.3027, 0.3062, 0.3241, 0.3306, 0.3083, 0.2934, 0.3058, 0.37, 0.3834, 0.3756, 0.4037, 0.3486, 0.3888, 0.3781, 0.3781, 0.4003, 0.4267, 0.3816, 0.356, 0.356, 0.3556, 0.3012, 0.2984, 0.296, 0.3121, 0.2822, 0.2766, 0.2399, 0.1945, 0.1945, 0.2001, 0.1763, 0.1562, 0.1579, 0.1394, 0.1413, 0.1341, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0455, 0.022, 0.0306, 0.0254, -0.012, 0.0101, 0.0236, 0.0344, 0.0563, 0.0266, 0.0042, 0.0298, 0.0939, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0574, 0.0629, 0.0773, 0.0476, 0.0881, 0.0899, 0.1025, 0.1017, 0.1058, 0.0267, -0.0137, -0.0366, -0.0251, -0.0432, -0.0299, -0.0312, -0.0751, -0.1132, -0.1074, -0.0516, -0.0651, -0.0414, -0.0569, -0.0678, -0.058, -0.0305, -0.0187, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0438, -0.0907, -0.0811, -0.0662, -0.1001, -0.056, -0.0348, -0.0627, -0.0472, -0.0666, -0.1188, -0.1426, -0.1517, -0.1818, -0.1975, -0.2248, -0.2105, -0.1153, -0.0713, -0.0816, 0.0589, 0.0002, -0.0178, -0.0177, -0.0112, 0.0082, -0.0297, -0.0465, -0.0616, -0.0807, -0.062, -0.0311, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.0316, -0.0453, 0.0183, -0.0171, -0.0519, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0355, -0.0385, -0.0243, -0.0282, -0.038, -0.0463, -0.045, -0.029, -0.0315, -0.0516, -0.0687, -0.0325, -0.0043, -0.0286, 0.0229, 0.0088, 0.0088, -0.0092, -0.0013, -0.0037, 0.0224, 0.0716, 0.0773, 0.0798, 0.1452, 0.262, 0.3446, 0.3446, 0.3726, 0.3803, 0.4315, 0.4366, 0.3153, 0.3546, 0.3787, 0.4001, 0.3561, 0.3601, 0.3053, 0.3725]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1744781884272583149", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-09T18:03:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bear flag into Wyckoff distribution. Everyone trying to justify it with fundamental reasoning is wasting their time.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short TSLA on technical bear flag and Wyckoff distribution pattern; dismisses fundamental explanations.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Technicals. Bear flag into Wyckoff distribution. Everyone trying to justify it with fundamental reasoning is wasting their time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "No clear reason why $TSLA weak today (-2.8% vs NDX -0.1%). China weekly ins registrations were 3,200 which is respectable (+220% QoQ, +52% YoY); always low the first week of the quarter since emphasis is on exports to Europe. Maybe investors feel other mega caps offer better", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.023365637033968323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023365637033968323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021846204214775344, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019649601235774528, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015194328191929785, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037160357981937953, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004341182513256769, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004341182513256769, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009996606488744786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012345252825536668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056554239754880165, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008004070312279898, "ret_p1w": -0.06405346706550619, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06405346706550619, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0662691577073431, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05747868232291853, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0022156906418369093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006574784742587658, "ret_p1m": -0.20165135992914562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20165135992914562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25276132935917905, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21846006760944192, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05110996943003343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016808707680296298, "ret_p3m": -0.2981784593779887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2981784593779887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39558871378273597, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.32287424167424617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09741025440474727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024695782296257462, "ret_p6m": 0.04864654557871462, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04864654557871462, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12244733355934434, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.029529872018398295, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17109387913805896, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07817641759711291, "price_path": [0.1018, 0.0688, 0.0807, 0.0847, 0.0329, -0.0632, -0.0978, -0.0974, -0.0785, -0.0959, -0.1243, -0.1177, -0.16, -0.1452, -0.1247, -0.07, -0.0638, -0.0668, -0.0544, -0.0547, -0.1063, -0.0864, -0.0479, 0.0104, 0.0335, -0.0058, -0.0028, 0.0027, 0.0266, -0.0032, -0.0032, 0.0021, 0.0048, 0.0501, 0.0391, 0.0218, 0.0165, 0.0026, 0.016, 0.0188, 0.0327, 0.0378, 0.0203, 0.0087, 0.0184, 0.0685, 0.0789, 0.0729, 0.0947, 0.0518, 0.0832, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0921, 0.1127, 0.0775, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0573, 0.0149, 0.0126, 0.0108, 0.0234, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0329, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.0641, -0.0826, -0.0982, -0.0969, -0.1113, -0.1099, -0.1155, -0.2227, -0.2201, -0.1874, -0.1846, -0.2029, -0.1962, -0.2002, -0.2294, -0.2122, -0.2017, -0.1932, -0.1762, -0.1993, -0.2168, -0.1968, -0.1469, -0.149, -0.149, -0.1753, -0.1711, -0.1598, -0.183, -0.1513, -0.1499, -0.1401, -0.1408, -0.1376, -0.1993, -0.2308, -0.2486, -0.2397, -0.2537, -0.2434, -0.2444, -0.2787, -0.3084, -0.3038, -0.2603, -0.2709, -0.2524, -0.2645, -0.2729, -0.2653, -0.2438, -0.2346, -0.2518, -0.2518, -0.2543, -0.2908, -0.2834, -0.2717, -0.2982, -0.2638, -0.2472, -0.269, -0.2569, -0.272, -0.3127, -0.3313, -0.3384, -0.3619, -0.3741, -0.3954, -0.3842, -0.31, -0.2757, -0.2838, -0.1741, -0.22, -0.234, -0.2339, -0.2288, -0.2137, -0.2432, -0.2564, -0.2681, -0.283, -0.2684, -0.2443, -0.2595, -0.2559, -0.2447, -0.2554, -0.2058, -0.2334, -0.2606, -0.2371, -0.2371, -0.2477, -0.2501, -0.2391, -0.2421, -0.2497, -0.2562, -0.2552, -0.2427, -0.2446, -0.2603, -0.2737, -0.2454, -0.2234, -0.2424, -0.2022, -0.2132, -0.2132, -0.2272, -0.2211, -0.2229, -0.2026, -0.1642, -0.1598, -0.1578, -0.1068, -0.0157, 0.0486]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1779917710417358979", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T17:00:26+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is very bearish. I've followed $TSLA for almost a decade as an investor. This ranks up there as one of the most concerning departures with Zach and Karpathy.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Calls Baglino's departure very bearish for TSLA, ranking it among the most concerning executive exits in company history.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is very bearish. I\u2019ve followed $TSLA for almost a decade as an investor. This ranks up there as one of the most concerning departures with Zach and Karpathy. \n\nWould like to thank Drew for all his efforts. Battery day was one of my fav events I\u2019ve ever seen. 18 years with Elon is no easy task.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSLA\n\nTESLA SENIOR VP DREW BAGLINO IS SAID TO LEAVE THE COMPANY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1769765889203929573", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-18T16:40:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Q1/Q2 2024 at risk of YoY volume decline (would be disastrous for the stock) + margin compression (forward multiples still high)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: Q1/Q2 2024 volume decline risk + margin compression with still-high forward multiples; advises waiting on any long entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You can wait on $TSLA Puru. I have some of the best price predictions/insights on the stock for the last 5+ years. 2024-25 ex-FSD level 5 breakthrough is looking bleak. FSD 12 is promising upside but Q1/Q2 2024 at risk of YoY volume decline (would be disastrous for the stock) + margin compression (forward multiples still high). I bought sub $40 and sold above $300 and shorted since $260 fwiw.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "After monster run, reduced position in $NVDA\n\nIncreased $MBLY and $GTLB\n\nWatching $TSLA for starter position for Optimus opportunity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saxena_puru", "ret_m1d": -0.0588607338775049, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0588607338775049, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05295269504248712, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05128068928788565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059080388350177815, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00758004458961925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014269250195585559, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014269250195585559, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01982638341433962, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02292758941038142, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005557133218754062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008658339214795863, "ret_p1w": -0.0067318650656000845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0067318650656000845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0202053119577692, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024048370149861942, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013473446892169116, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017316505084261857, "ret_p1m": -0.09602993180866604, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09602993180866604, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07783788019573445, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06335208361705214, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01819205161293158, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0326778481916139, "ret_p3m": 0.04988491379003812, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04988491379003812, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007811174151773459, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04580705157478704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05769608794181158, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004077862215251082, "ret_p6m": 0.30132332679874385, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30132332679874385, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22781314117960827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25349258325908597, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07351018561913558, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04783074353965788, "price_path": [0.422, 0.4643, 0.453, 0.453, 0.4765, 0.5043, 0.4567, 0.4297, 0.4297, 0.4293, 0.372, 0.369, 0.3665, 0.3835, 0.3519, 0.346, 0.3074, 0.2594, 0.2594, 0.2653, 0.2402, 0.2191, 0.2209, 0.2014, 0.2033, 0.1958, 0.0508, 0.0544, 0.0986, 0.1024, 0.0776, 0.0867, 0.0812, 0.0418, 0.065, 0.0793, 0.0907, 0.1138, 0.0825, 0.0588, 0.0858, 0.1533, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.1148, 0.1207, 0.1358, 0.1045, 0.1473, 0.1492, 0.1625, 0.1616, 0.1659, 0.0825, 0.0399, 0.0158, 0.0279, 0.0089, 0.0228, 0.0215, -0.0249, -0.065, -0.0589, 0.0, -0.0143, 0.0107, -0.0056, -0.0171, -0.0067, 0.0223, 0.0347, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0082, -0.0413, -0.0312, -0.0155, -0.0512, -0.0047, 0.0177, -0.0117, 0.0046, -0.0158, -0.0709, -0.096, -0.1056, -0.1373, -0.1539, -0.1827, -0.1675, -0.0671, -0.0208, -0.0317, 0.1165, 0.0545, 0.0356, 0.0357, 0.0425, 0.0631, 0.0231, 0.0053, -0.0105, -0.0307, -0.011, 0.0216, 0.0011, 0.006, 0.0211, 0.0066, 0.0736, 0.0363, -0.0003, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0287, 0.0246, 0.0143, 0.0056, 0.0069, 0.0238, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0181, 0.0201, 0.0499, 0.0242, 0.0785, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0447, 0.053, 0.0505, 0.078, 0.1299, 0.1359, 0.1386, 0.2075, 0.3306, 0.4177, 0.4177, 0.4472, 0.4554, 0.5094, 0.5147, 0.3868, 0.4283, 0.4536, 0.4762, 0.4298, 0.434, 0.3763, 0.4471, 0.4176, 0.2428, 0.2673, 0.2647, 0.3354, 0.2809, 0.3353, 0.2478, 0.1949, 0.1443, 0.1544, 0.1033, 0.1441, 0.1507, 0.1363, 0.1958, 0.1587, 0.2321, 0.2435, 0.2815, 0.2722, 0.2846, 0.2121, 0.2677, 0.2268, 0.2037, 0.1838, 0.1869, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2117, 0.2624, 0.3243, 0.2125, 0.2444, 0.3013]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1701321590099870051", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-11T19:47:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LT investors should be happy but WS still <12 month outlook", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TSLA long-term on Cybertruck ramp and AI milestones; near-term headwinds from deliveries and margins keep Wall Street cautious until 2024-25.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realMeetKevin While I agree - I think sentiment won\u2019t change until 2024-25 when CT ramps and more tangible milestones on the AI front are unlocked. Short term has many headwinds (deliveries likely down QoQ + margin pressure). LT investors should be happy but WS still &lt;12 month outlook", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A few months ago, I WARNED that $TSLA was HEAVILY under-capitalized by institutions, especially after Bank of America released THIS report, which we covered on YT.\n\nThis basically says: \n~Only 35% of funds have Tesla\n~Of those 35%, their allocation is relatively LOW\n\nCompared to https://t.co/c7g4QmbXDW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realMeetKevin", "ret_m1d": -0.09167332335415845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09167332335415845, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08513959658999548, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06547426994789696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006533726764162973, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026199053406261497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022296863386701782, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022296863386701782, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016811297564033545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013236709378132039, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005485565822668237, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009060154008569743, "ret_p1w": -0.03033843190417851, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03033843190417851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023079721871347103, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010900903857982258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258710032831406, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01943752804619625, "ret_p1m": -0.03640614059481728, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03640614059481728, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008806189603404402, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02396048549651353, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02759995099141288, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06036662609133081, "ret_p3m": -0.11309302105855779, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11309302105855779, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13850576305166717, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10972644188536707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02541274199310939, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00336657917319072, "ret_p6m": -0.339352239329751, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.339352239329751, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47890517758689266, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38323015598782506, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13955293825714166, "bench_c_p6m": 0.043877916658074056, "price_path": [-0.0614, -0.0646, -0.0477, -0.0477, 0.0032, -0.0516, -0.0328, -0.0621, -0.1189, -0.0854, -0.0634, -0.0588, -0.0432, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0325, 0.0108, 0.0031, -0.0145, -0.0139, -0.0058, 0.0158, 0.0285, 0.0614, 0.0722, 0.0646, -0.039, -0.0496, -0.0165, -0.0303, -0.0337, -0.0653, -0.0261, -0.0225, -0.0457, -0.0712, -0.0521, -0.0721, -0.0809, -0.0873, -0.1147, -0.1032, -0.1131, -0.1236, -0.1485, -0.1754, -0.1987, -0.2123, -0.1546, -0.1476, -0.1342, -0.1591, -0.1279, -0.1271, -0.0599, -0.061, -0.0567, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0625, -0.0792, -0.0807, -0.0917, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0083, 0.009, 0.003, -0.0303, -0.0259, -0.0402, -0.0654, -0.1049, -0.0972, -0.1077, -0.1209, -0.0994, -0.0854, -0.0803, -0.0989, -0.0454, -0.0495, -0.0477, -0.0508, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0538, -0.0821, -0.0719, -0.0685, -0.1129, -0.1954, -0.2251, -0.2248, -0.2086, -0.2236, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2786, -0.2659, -0.2483, -0.2013, -0.196, -0.1985, -0.1879, -0.1881, -0.2325, -0.2154, -0.1823, -0.1322, -0.1124, -0.1462, -0.1436, -0.1388, -0.1184, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.1394, -0.1371, -0.0982, -0.1076, -0.1225, -0.127, -0.1389, -0.1274, -0.125, -0.1131, -0.1087, -0.1237, -0.1337, -0.1253, -0.0824, -0.0734, -0.0786, -0.0598, -0.0966, -0.0697, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.062, -0.0444, -0.0746, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.092, -0.1284, -0.1303, -0.1319, -0.1211, -0.1412, -0.1449, -0.1695, -0.1999, -0.1999, -0.1962, -0.2121, -0.2255, -0.2244, -0.2368, -0.2355, -0.2403, -0.3324, -0.3302, -0.3021, -0.2997, -0.3154, -0.3097, -0.3131, -0.3382, -0.3234, -0.3144, -0.3071, -0.2925, -0.3123, -0.3274, -0.3102, -0.2673, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.2918, -0.2881, -0.2784, -0.2983, -0.2711, -0.2699, -0.2615, -0.2621, -0.2593, -0.3123, -0.3394]}
{"unit_id": "orig:688080873388814337", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2016-01-15T19:30:38+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm betting $fb widens the gap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Betting FB outperforms AMZN on market cap gap over the next year; long FB relative to AMZN.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$fb and $amzn only some $300m in market cap difference. Interesting to see how this compares next year. I'm betting $fb widens the gap", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03580070739297314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03580070739297314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01386356189986837, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02193714549310477, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.03127297134601004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03127297134601004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0168437855416943, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014429185804315736, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0741286626127391, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0741286626127391, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0804114410884218, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006282778475682704, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.1636305930255766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1636305930255766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05041629368245104, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11321429934312555, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.24112870350016613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24112870350016613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0930741184377839, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14805458506238223, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0214, 0.0225, 0.0495, 0.076, 0.0927, 0.0919, 0.0972, 0.1043, 0.0737, 0.0878, 0.0801, 0.0945, 0.1452, 0.1277, 0.1213, 0.1363, 0.1478, 0.1374, 0.0946, 0.0955, 0.107, 0.1348, 0.1189, 0.13, 0.1261, 0.1134, 0.1099, 0.1099, 0.1104, 0.0976, 0.1279, 0.1169, 0.0991, 0.118, 0.112, 0.1213, 0.1014, 0.11, 0.0753, 0.102, 0.1009, 0.1245, 0.1185, 0.0955, 0.1032, 0.111, 0.1017, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1154, 0.1294, 0.1185, 0.102, 0.102, 0.0763, 0.0817, 0.0842, 0.0311, 0.0248, 0.0267, 0.0463, 0.0049, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0031, -0.0065, -0.0085, 0.0313, 0.0215, 0.025, -0.0055, 0.1489, 0.1815, 0.2119, 0.2068, 0.1866, 0.1634, 0.0958, 0.0503, 0.0481, 0.0635, 0.0731, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.0699, 0.1077, 0.0895, 0.1011, 0.1284, 0.1105, 0.1254, 0.1379, 0.1364, 0.1258, 0.1564, 0.1577, 0.1538, 0.1413, 0.1133, 0.1154, 0.132, 0.13, 0.152, 0.1571, 0.1653, 0.1812, 0.169, 0.1735, 0.1777, 0.182, 0.185, 0.1904, 0.1904, 0.1971, 0.2229, 0.2077, 0.2014, 0.2221, 0.1851, 0.1816, 0.1973, 0.1966, 0.1649, 0.1476, 0.1647, 0.1636, 0.1671, 0.1545, 0.163, 0.1824, 0.1837, 0.1945, 0.1642, 0.1593, 0.1452, 0.1466, 0.2291, 0.2381, 0.2485, 0.2365, 0.2431, 0.2405, 0.2582, 0.2556, 0.2688, 0.2585, 0.2665, 0.2616, 0.2496, 0.2357, 0.2388, 0.23, 0.2357, 0.2211, 0.2393, 0.2413, 0.258, 0.257, 0.257, 0.251, 0.2507, 0.2523, 0.2474, 0.2508, 0.24, 0.2466, 0.2484, 0.228, 0.1999, 0.2103, 0.2067, 0.2045, 0.1901, 0.1937, 0.2044, 0.1994, 0.2118, 0.1802, 0.1474, 0.1867, 0.2021, 0.2033, 0.2024, 0.2024, 0.2025, 0.2288, 0.2199, 0.2345, 0.2411]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1779939088541561221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-15T18:25:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA critical multi-year diamond top on log chart. Earnings print is a breakpoint candidate", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: multi-year diamond top on log chart with earnings as the potential breakdown trigger; prior 2023 diamond top already fulfilled its target.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA critical multi-year diamond top on log chart. Earnings print is a breakpoint candidate. https://t.co/9scNz7boBo\n\n---\n\nSome context, $TSLA formed a diamond top in 2023 which fulfilled its price target recently\n\nhttps://t.co/I342RkRFrb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05926435210195313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05926435210195313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046577244327255185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042325869374840064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012687107774697948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01693848272711307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027062145360474688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027062145360474688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02523839646894588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021377764285283485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018237488915288091, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005684381075191203, "ret_p1w": -0.12032445621663856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12032445621663856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11094785857728728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09936670874395814, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00937659763935128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02095774747268042, "ret_p1m": 0.0995170160354304, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0995170160354304, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06214956006908201, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07356400866517476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037367455966348384, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025953007370255632, "ret_p3m": 0.4926306982691555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4926306982691555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3859297999039608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40497198992011607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1067008983651947, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08765870834903944, "ret_p6m": 0.5141194356515739, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5141194356515739, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37073001413877327, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3782608214007619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14338942151280065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13585861425081203, "price_path": [0.3348, 0.3121, 0.314, 0.293, 0.2951, 0.287, 0.131, 0.1348, 0.1824, 0.1865, 0.1598, 0.1696, 0.1637, 0.1213, 0.1463, 0.1616, 0.1739, 0.1987, 0.165, 0.1396, 0.1686, 0.2413, 0.2382, 0.2382, 0.1999, 0.2062, 0.2225, 0.1888, 0.2348, 0.2369, 0.2512, 0.2502, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.1193, 0.0933, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.1009, 0.0995, 0.0495, 0.0063, 0.0129, 0.0763, 0.0609, 0.0878, 0.0702, 0.0579, 0.069, 0.1003, 0.1136, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0851, 0.0319, 0.0427, 0.0596, 0.0212, 0.0712, 0.0954, 0.0637, 0.0812, 0.0593, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0373, -0.0715, -0.0894, -0.1203, -0.104, 0.004, 0.0539, 0.0422, 0.2017, 0.135, 0.1146, 0.1148, 0.1221, 0.1442, 0.1011, 0.082, 0.065, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0995, 0.0775, 0.0827, 0.099, 0.0834, 0.1556, 0.1154, 0.0759, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0946, 0.0911, 0.1072, 0.1028, 0.0917, 0.0823, 0.0837, 0.1019, 0.0991, 0.0762, 0.0568, 0.0979, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.1608, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1244, 0.1333, 0.1307, 0.1602, 0.2161, 0.2226, 0.2254, 0.2996, 0.4321, 0.5258, 0.5258, 0.5576, 0.5664, 0.6245, 0.6303, 0.4926, 0.5372, 0.5645, 0.5888, 0.5389, 0.5434, 0.4813, 0.5575, 0.5258, 0.3376, 0.3639, 0.3612, 0.4373, 0.3786, 0.4371, 0.343, 0.286, 0.2316, 0.2425, 0.1875, 0.2314, 0.2385, 0.223, 0.287, 0.2471, 0.3261, 0.3384, 0.3792, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3046, 0.3644, 0.3203, 0.2956, 0.2742, 0.2774, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3042, 0.3587, 0.4254, 0.305, 0.3393, 0.4006, 0.4127, 0.4231, 0.4261, 0.4044, 0.4111, 0.407, 0.5105, 0.4754, 0.5482, 0.5746, 0.5917, 0.5743, 0.613, 0.6202, 0.5978, 0.5421, 0.4903, 0.5487, 0.4914, 0.5141]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1768726046478926041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-15T19:48:45+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm leaning towards upside with long calls I've gotten since 600-730 and again today at 880. $1200 is my short-term PT; $1400 2025 PT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NVDA via calls with $1200 short-term PT and $1400 2025 PT, based on fundamentals, TA, dark pool, and options flow; still holding May calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA bull pennant into GTC next week - $1200 is my short-term PT; $1400 2025 PT. Months of research/planning. Based on fundamentals, TA, darkpool prints and option flow. Of course, $NVDA can sell off next week during the conference, as all things (especially trades) are a spectrum of probabilities. I'm leaning towards upside with long calls I've gotten since 600-730 and again today at 880\n\n---\n\nCall flow for $NVDA has also been extremely bullish this week, filtering above $1m and above ask (very likely long positions) https://t.co/2GPgF9reCo\n\n---\n\nUpdate: haven't opened/closed any $NVDA calls. Felt like the conference was within expectations but still bullish with platform potential and energy savings above expectations (I believe). Want to see $NVDA hold above 1h ichi cloud and break above 920 fib chan\n\n---\n\nToday we have $NVDA breaking above the 1h ichi cloud and the very resistant ~920 fib chan which it tested for more than a week (and through #GTC2024 )\n\nNext short term targets are $950-970 then $1000 (psychological number + fib chan) and $1080. \n\n$1240 PT 2024 remains unchanged.\n\n---\n\nClosed some call spreads today for 2.5x. Still holding April and May calls\n\n---\n\nClosed all my April calls at a loss - holding May still. I expect chop between 820-960 until next earnings. Will look to exit May calls around 920-950 unless I see a bullish pattern form (right now it's predominantly bearish)\n\nOverall net gains were exceptional for $NVDA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0012180965555312895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012180965555312895, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005695918135447009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006218627804979393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0069140146909782985, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0074367243605106825, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007035950273919678, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007035950273919678, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001092799070791406, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005016087014851234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005943151203128272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002019863259068444, "ret_p1w": 0.07345428144513733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07345428144513733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05113306665541728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0284671557797187, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022321214789720045, "bench_c_p1w": 0.044987125665418626, "ret_p1m": -0.020902140594380003, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020902140594380003, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010349625825562203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018698711146044045, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0105525147688178, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0022034294483359584, "ret_p3m": 0.42548462053154923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42548462053154923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3636405427773648, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21776335093386479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061844077754184434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20772126959768444, "ret_p6m": 0.21223125027756096, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21223125027756096, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1370242795831802, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20295836999772177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07520697069438076, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00927288027983919, "price_path": [-0.4353, -0.4523, -0.4423, -0.4441, -0.4441, -0.439, -0.4374, -0.4362, -0.4362, -0.4362, -0.4516, -0.4585, -0.4536, -0.4411, -0.4051, -0.395, -0.3813, -0.3759, -0.3772, -0.3772, -0.3581, -0.3619, -0.3499, -0.3227, -0.3209, -0.3184, -0.3014, -0.2985, -0.3052, -0.2889, -0.2854, -0.2996, -0.2825, -0.2468, -0.2107, -0.2233, -0.202, -0.2072, -0.1788, -0.1775, -0.1789, -0.1587, -0.1728, -0.1734, -0.1734, -0.2093, -0.2319, -0.1059, -0.1027, -0.0996, -0.1041, -0.1159, -0.0994, -0.0633, -0.0296, -0.0213, 0.0098, 0.055, -0.0035, -0.0235, 0.0464, 0.0347, 0.0012, 0.0, 0.007, 0.0178, 0.0289, 0.041, 0.0735, 0.0816, 0.0538, 0.0275, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0288, 0.0184, 0.0128, -0.022, 0.0019, -0.008, -0.0283, -0.0091, 0.0316, 0.004, -0.0209, -0.0048, -0.0433, -0.036, -0.1325, -0.0947, -0.0616, -0.0929, -0.0593, -0.0012, -0.0009, -0.0163, -0.0546, -0.023, 0.0108, 0.049, 0.0309, 0.0293, 0.0104, 0.0232, 0.0292, 0.0401, 0.0773, 0.0743, 0.0528, 0.079, 0.0859, 0.081, 0.1817, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.2967, 0.3073, 0.258, 0.2481, 0.3092, 0.3256, 0.3939, 0.3775, 0.3763, 0.3865, 0.3766, 0.4255, 0.4757, 0.5015, 0.4913, 0.5437, 0.5437, 0.489, 0.4411, 0.3448, 0.4356, 0.4391, 0.4117, 0.4066, 0.4152, 0.3967, 0.4606, 0.4606, 0.4327, 0.4596, 0.4958, 0.536, 0.4505, 0.4715, 0.4624, 0.4387, 0.3434, 0.3787, 0.3427, 0.4066, 0.3958, 0.3008, 0.2784, 0.2873, 0.2705, 0.181, 0.3323, 0.2434, 0.2213, 0.1437, 0.187, 0.1262, 0.1952, 0.1926, 0.2413, 0.3223, 0.3444, 0.3988, 0.4184, 0.4801, 0.4488, 0.4631, 0.4089, 0.473, 0.4398, 0.4608, 0.4302, 0.3388, 0.3591, 0.3591, 0.2297, 0.2093, 0.2207, 0.1708, 0.2122]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1736831989620388024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-18T19:33:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "84x is too high if rates stay elevated (4%+). 80x made sense during ZIRP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: current 84x P/E is too high in a 4%+ rate environment; valuation only made sense during ZIRP.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alojoh 84x is too high if rates stay elevated (4%+). 80x made sense during ZIRP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Based on my estimates, Tesla currently trades at 84.2x P/E. \n\nHistorically, Tesla traded around 70x-75x on later reported numbers (ie 100% forecast accuracy). Assuming my forecasts are broadly correct, Tesla enterred overvaluation territory with a P/E in the 80ies and based on https://t.co/AmE8ahKKRu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alojoh", "ret_m1d": 0.005633125034238073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005633125034238073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011226725643141977, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011799970669154947, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005593600608903904, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006166845634916873, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0203903496997484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0203903496997484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014309482436858811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012557069207402849, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006080867262889589, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007833280492345551, "ret_p1w": 0.0018247836073344015, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0018247836073344015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001734707937154134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004713702636223616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0035594915444885356, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002888919028889214, "ret_p1m": -0.1276182082484505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1276182082484505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13388975662627578, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09295152545592378, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006271548377825287, "bench_c_p1m": -0.034666682792526715, "ret_p3m": -0.3553633813883089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3553633813883089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4464284297591913, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3544742705768701, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09106504837088236, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008891108114388313, "ret_p6m": -0.32299269111999374, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32299269111999374, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46420587612778086, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3126993242909454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14121318500778712, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010293366829048356, "price_path": [0.0417, 0.0144, -0.0286, -0.0202, -0.0316, -0.0459, -0.0226, -0.0074, -0.0019, -0.022, 0.036, 0.0316, 0.0335, 0.0301, 0.0458, 0.0433, 0.0269, -0.0038, 0.0073, 0.011, -0.0373, -0.1268, -0.159, -0.1587, -0.1411, -0.1573, -0.1838, -0.1776, -0.2171, -0.2033, -0.1841, -0.1332, -0.1274, -0.1302, -0.1186, -0.1189, -0.167, -0.1485, -0.1125, -0.0582, -0.0367, -0.0733, -0.0705, -0.0654, -0.0432, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.066, -0.0635, -0.0213, -0.0315, -0.0476, -0.0526, -0.0655, -0.053, -0.0504, -0.0374, -0.0327, -0.049, -0.0598, -0.0507, -0.0041, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0204, -0.0196, 0.0096, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.018, 0.0371, 0.0044, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0145, -0.0541, -0.0561, -0.0579, -0.0461, -0.0679, -0.072, -0.0986, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1276, -0.1449, -0.1595, -0.1582, -0.1717, -0.1703, -0.1755, -0.2755, -0.273, -0.2426, -0.24, -0.257, -0.2508, -0.2546, -0.2817, -0.2657, -0.2559, -0.248, -0.2321, -0.2537, -0.27, -0.2514, -0.2048, -0.2068, -0.2068, -0.2314, -0.2273, -0.2169, -0.2385, -0.209, -0.2077, -0.1985, -0.1991, -0.1961, -0.2536, -0.283, -0.2997, -0.2913, -0.3044, -0.2948, -0.2957, -0.3277, -0.3554, -0.3511, -0.3105, -0.3204, -0.3032, -0.3144, -0.3223, -0.3152, -0.2952, -0.2866, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.3049, -0.339, -0.332, -0.3212, -0.3458, -0.3138, -0.2983, -0.3186, -0.3074, -0.3214, -0.3594, -0.3767, -0.3833, -0.4052, -0.4167, -0.4365, -0.4261, -0.3568, -0.3249, -0.3324, -0.2302, -0.2729, -0.286, -0.2859, -0.2812, -0.2671, -0.2946, -0.3069, -0.3178, -0.3317, -0.3181, -0.2957, -0.3098, -0.3064, -0.296, -0.306, -0.2598, -0.2855, -0.3108, -0.289, -0.289, -0.2988, -0.3011, -0.2907, -0.2936, -0.3007, -0.3067, -0.3058, -0.2941, -0.2959, -0.3106, -0.323]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1782079000497831962", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-21T16:08:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Forward PE is above 50. It's too high. That's what matters.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA forward PE above 50 is too high; implied overvaluation bearish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@oguzerkan @StockMarketNerd Forward PE is above 50. It\u2019s too high. That\u2019s what matters.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@StockMarketNerd $TSLA is currently trading at 34 PE which gives it $147 per share.\n\nIt looks hard for 2024 deliveries to pass 2023 deliveries.\n\nSo, if you subtract $0.60 from 2023 Full Year Eps of $4.30, you get $3.70 in annual eps.\n\nEven at 34 PE, it implies 17% overvaluation for $TSLA.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "oguzerkan", "ret_m1d": 0.035198872879842025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035198872879842025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044323858280928774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0395974634235412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00912498540108675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004398590543699177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018514534090260826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018514534090260826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006647799288034495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006609029031749758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01186673480222633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011905505058511068, "ret_p1w": 0.36606827795035746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.36606827795035746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3453766369612008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3104115523755615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020691640989156657, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05565672557479595, "ret_p1m": 0.31362197884307985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31362197884307985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2503067659904563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667038313743191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06331521285262354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046918147468760774, "ret_p3m": 0.7545229874914454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7545229874914454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.64501571856198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6407602229158194, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950726892946538, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11376276457562606, "ret_p6m": 0.5457233552062333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5457233552062333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37820052131743753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38036739942345665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16752283388879574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16535595578277662, "price_path": [0.4631, 0.2857, 0.29, 0.3441, 0.3488, 0.3185, 0.3295, 0.3228, 0.2746, 0.3031, 0.3205, 0.3345, 0.3627, 0.3244, 0.2955, 0.3285, 0.4111, 0.4076, 0.4076, 0.364, 0.3711, 0.3897, 0.3514, 0.4037, 0.4061, 0.4223, 0.4212, 0.4265, 0.3245, 0.2724, 0.2428, 0.2577, 0.2344, 0.2515, 0.2498, 0.1931, 0.144, 0.1515, 0.2235, 0.2061, 0.2366, 0.2166, 0.2026, 0.2153, 0.2508, 0.266, 0.2375, 0.2375, 0.2335, 0.173, 0.1854, 0.2046, 0.1609, 0.2177, 0.2452, 0.2092, 0.2291, 0.2042, 0.1368, 0.106, 0.0943, 0.0555, 0.0352, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.1414, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.3661, 0.2902, 0.2671, 0.2672, 0.2755, 0.3007, 0.2517, 0.23, 0.2106, 0.186, 0.2101, 0.2499, 0.2249, 0.2308, 0.2493, 0.2316, 0.3136, 0.2679, 0.2231, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.2443, 0.2403, 0.2586, 0.2536, 0.241, 0.2303, 0.232, 0.2527, 0.2494, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2481, 0.2845, 0.2532, 0.3195, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.2782, 0.2883, 0.2853, 0.3189, 0.3824, 0.3898, 0.393, 0.4774, 0.628, 0.7345, 0.7345, 0.7706, 0.7806, 0.8467, 0.8533, 0.6968, 0.7475, 0.7785, 0.8061, 0.7494, 0.7545, 0.6839, 0.7706, 0.7345, 0.5205, 0.5505, 0.5473, 0.6339, 0.5672, 0.6337, 0.5266, 0.4619, 0.4001, 0.4125, 0.3499, 0.3998, 0.408, 0.3903, 0.4631, 0.4177, 0.5075, 0.5214, 0.5679, 0.5565, 0.5718, 0.483, 0.551, 0.501, 0.4728, 0.4484, 0.4522, 0.5073, 0.5073, 0.4826, 0.5446, 0.6203, 0.4835, 0.5225, 0.5922, 0.606, 0.6178, 0.6212, 0.5965, 0.6042, 0.5994, 0.7171, 0.6772, 0.7599, 0.79, 0.8094, 0.7897, 0.8336, 0.8418, 0.8164, 0.753, 0.6942, 0.7605, 0.6954, 0.7212, 0.6969, 0.6809, 0.5333, 0.5428, 0.5457]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1679893655283453960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-14T16:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this trendline is on every noob to pro's charts and will likely start a reversal", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects TSLA to reverse at multi-year resistance trendline rather than break out to new ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl basic TA is not bogus, and is evident by the millions in salaries it pays out to traders annually. Yes, this trendline is on every noob to pro's charts and will likely start a reversal", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I know some of you think technical analysis is bogus, and that\u2019s fine. But I think there is some merit to it.\n\nRegardless, from a TA perspective, $TSLA is approaching multi-yr resistance. A break of this line would be very bullish and open up the prospects of new ATH. https://t.co/FZPTIiBtE9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": -0.01236765557587316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01236765557587316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012991016168808267, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009795234297950595, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006233605929351071, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025724212779225653, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03198521516746822, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03198521516746822, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028512849120901462, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02792602824493917, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003472366046566755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0040591869225290456, "ret_p1w": -0.0759116337283331, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0759116337283331, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08236641170921721, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05338729033855205, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006454777980884119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022524343389781043, "ret_p1m": -0.1479138874608742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1479138874608742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.145309823900879, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12115906461705239, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026040635599952067, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0267548228438218, "ret_p3m": -0.06535650838479612, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06535650838479612, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0399360687538306, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00044417937256091555, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02542043963096552, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06580068775735703, "ret_p6m": -0.14546167895482343, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14546167895482343, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.209842858894005, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15270423051766702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06438117993918158, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007242551562843591, "price_path": [-0.345, -0.3582, -0.4207, -0.4133, -0.4223, -0.429, -0.4536, -0.4307, -0.4161, -0.4249, -0.4303, -0.4292, -0.4271, -0.3956, -0.3895, -0.3989, -0.401, -0.3884, -0.403, -0.4088, -0.4082, -0.3821, -0.3713, -0.3598, -0.3288, -0.3398, -0.35, -0.3444, -0.3135, -0.3135, -0.2851, -0.2753, -0.2625, -0.2396, -0.2266, -0.2135, -0.2019, -0.1653, -0.1314, -0.1121, -0.0806, -0.0874, -0.0906, -0.0741, -0.0741, -0.0246, -0.0779, -0.0596, -0.0881, -0.1433, -0.1108, -0.0893, -0.0849, -0.0697, -0.0055, -0.0055, 0.0039, -0.0172, -0.0247, -0.0418, -0.0412, -0.0334, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.032, 0.0425, 0.0351, -0.0657, -0.0759, -0.0438, -0.0572, -0.0605, -0.0912, -0.0531, -0.0496, -0.0722, -0.0969, -0.0784, -0.0978, -0.1064, -0.1126, -0.1393, -0.1281, -0.1376, -0.1479, -0.1721, -0.1982, -0.2209, -0.2342, -0.1781, -0.1713, -0.1582, -0.1825, -0.1521, -0.1513, -0.086, -0.087, -0.0828, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.0885, -0.1047, -0.1062, -0.1169, -0.0277, -0.0494, -0.0358, -0.019, -0.0248, -0.0572, -0.0529, -0.0668, -0.0913, -0.1297, -0.1222, -0.1324, -0.1453, -0.1244, -0.1107, -0.1058, -0.1239, -0.0719, -0.0758, -0.0741, -0.0772, -0.0631, -0.0654, -0.08, -0.1075, -0.0976, -0.0943, -0.1375, -0.2177, -0.2466, -0.2463, -0.2305, -0.2451, -0.2687, -0.2633, -0.2986, -0.2862, -0.2691, -0.2234, -0.2183, -0.2207, -0.2104, -0.2106, -0.2537, -0.2372, -0.205, -0.1563, -0.137, -0.1698, -0.1673, -0.1627, -0.1428, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1632, -0.161, -0.1232, -0.1323, -0.1468, -0.1512, -0.1628, -0.1516, -0.1493, -0.1377, -0.1334, -0.148, -0.1577, -0.1496, -0.1078, -0.0991, -0.1041, -0.0859, -0.1217, -0.0955, -0.1025, -0.1025, -0.088, -0.0709, -0.1002, -0.1169, -0.1169, -0.1171, -0.1526, -0.1544, -0.156, -0.1455]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1719403452210794822", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-31T17:18:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expecting a 6-12 month slump without a FSD/Dojo breakthrough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA for next 6-12 months absent a FSD/Dojo breakthrough.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 This list looked much more exciting the past few years. Expecting a 6-12 month slump without a FSD/Dojo breakthrough", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA catalysts - 10/31/2023\n1/ M-3 Highland launch 4Q\n2/ Cybertruck delivs launch 4Q \n3/ FSD OEM licensing deal 4Q\n4/ Stable auto gross margins FY\u201924\n5/ $7,500 EV instant rebate FY\u201924\n6/ Fed\u2019s pivot on int rates FY\u201924\n7/ TSLA $10B share buyback FY\u201924\n8/ FSD V12 L4 alpha release https://t.co/L17Hgd7bCD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.017327204695245846, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017327204695245846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01108623194157854, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009832061605731468, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0062409727536673065, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007495143089514378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023999240251476817, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023999240251476817, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013334469784918923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011638942039374989, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010664770466557894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012360298212101828, "ret_p1w": 0.1062537180193357, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1062537180193357, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06146637989807191, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03978422619724742, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04478733812126379, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06646949182208828, "ret_p1m": 0.21559452221314745, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21559452221314745, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1285307803021436, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10435194072208076, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08706374191100386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1112425814910667, "ret_p3m": -0.08758213831221862, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08758213831221862, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25780281248965453, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21833245250457756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17022067417743592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13075031419235894, "ret_p6m": -0.19274045091074854, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19274045091074854, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40994726232453804, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34252164029538423, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2172068114137895, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1497811893846357, "price_path": [0.2912, 0.264, 0.252, 0.2433, 0.2059, 0.2216, 0.2082, 0.1938, 0.1599, 0.1233, 0.0915, 0.0729, 0.1516, 0.1611, 0.1793, 0.1454, 0.188, 0.1891, 0.2805, 0.2791, 0.285, 0.2199, 0.2199, 0.2771, 0.2543, 0.2522, 0.2373, 0.3622, 0.3318, 0.3508, 0.3744, 0.3662, 0.3209, 0.3269, 0.3075, 0.2732, 0.2193, 0.2298, 0.2155, 0.1975, 0.2267, 0.2459, 0.2527, 0.2275, 0.3003, 0.2948, 0.2972, 0.2929, 0.3126, 0.3095, 0.2889, 0.2503, 0.2643, 0.2689, 0.2083, 0.0959, 0.0555, 0.056, 0.0781, 0.0577, 0.0245, 0.0322, -0.0173, 0.0, 0.024, 0.088, 0.0952, 0.0918, 0.1063, 0.1059, 0.0455, 0.0688, 0.1139, 0.1821, 0.2091, 0.1631, 0.1666, 0.1731, 0.201, 0.1662, 0.1662, 0.1723, 0.1755, 0.2284, 0.2156, 0.1954, 0.1892, 0.173, 0.1886, 0.1918, 0.2081, 0.2141, 0.1937, 0.1801, 0.1914, 0.25, 0.2622, 0.2551, 0.2807, 0.2305, 0.2672, 0.2574, 0.2574, 0.2777, 0.3017, 0.2606, 0.2372, 0.2372, 0.2369, 0.1873, 0.1847, 0.1825, 0.1972, 0.1699, 0.1648, 0.1313, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.095, 0.0732, 0.055, 0.0565, 0.0396, 0.0413, 0.0348, -0.0907, -0.0876, -0.0493, -0.0461, -0.0675, -0.0596, -0.0644, -0.0985, -0.0784, -0.066, -0.0562, -0.0362, -0.0633, -0.0837, -0.0604, -0.0019, -0.0044, -0.0044, -0.0353, -0.0302, -0.0171, -0.0442, -0.0072, -0.0055, 0.006, 0.0052, 0.009, -0.0632, -0.1001, -0.121, -0.1105, -0.127, -0.1149, -0.116, -0.1561, -0.1909, -0.1856, -0.1346, -0.147, -0.1254, -0.1395, -0.1494, -0.1405, -0.1154, -0.1046, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1276, -0.1703, -0.1616, -0.148, -0.1789, -0.1387, -0.1193, -0.1448, -0.1307, -0.1483, -0.196, -0.2177, -0.226, -0.2535, -0.2678, -0.2927, -0.2796, -0.1927]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1751318542853755041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-27T18:57:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if 2024 EPS is $2.50-3, then $100-150 makes sense since the forward multiple is too high relative to Mag7", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: at $2.50-3 EPS, fair value is $100-150; current forward multiple too high vs Mag7.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin More details on the model? I presume you aren\u2019t modeling for AI/robotics but curious if you modeled for FSD and robotaxi. Anyways, if 2024 EPS is $2.50-3, then $100-150 makes sense since the forward multiple is too high relative to Mag7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "RAN SOME QUICK NUMBERS ON TESLA FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS\n\nFAIR VALUE OF TESLA IS $315 5 YEARS OUT IN 2028 BASED ON MY MODEL\n\nWITH A NAME LIKE $TSLA I WOULD WANT TO MAKE 30% A YEAR SO I WOULD NEED TO BUY TESLA AT ~ $85 \n\n$TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": -0.040224129106958384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040224129106958384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032367063802391516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025814703196004984, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007857065304566868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0144094259109534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034567835721344142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034567835721344142, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004230266795341997, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004030878867668508, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007734832232075828, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005740952955340939, "ret_p1w": -0.05169431464834218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05169431464834218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05429976205617448, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05531108822921049, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0026054474078323064, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0036167735808683155, "ret_p1m": 0.046090207873736855, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046090207873736855, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014213673617295974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013293850854676492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03187653425644088, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047419592959204504, "ret_p3m": -0.10867857746810705, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10867857746810705, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13673716330103225, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11171991670361503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028058585832925198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030413392355079782, "ret_p6m": 0.2904206480602085, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2904206480602085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1560285444060523, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2005227345408669, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13439210365415621, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08989791351934162, "price_path": [0.0771, 0.1445, 0.152, 0.1484, 0.1637, 0.1633, 0.0998, 0.1242, 0.1717, 0.2434, 0.2719, 0.2234, 0.2272, 0.234, 0.2633, 0.2267, 0.2267, 0.2332, 0.2365, 0.2922, 0.2787, 0.2574, 0.2509, 0.2339, 0.2503, 0.2537, 0.2708, 0.2771, 0.2556, 0.2413, 0.2533, 0.3149, 0.3277, 0.3203, 0.3472, 0.2944, 0.3329, 0.3227, 0.3227, 0.344, 0.3693, 0.326, 0.3014, 0.3014, 0.3011, 0.2489, 0.2462, 0.2439, 0.2594, 0.2306, 0.2253, 0.1901, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.1518, 0.1289, 0.1097, 0.1113, 0.0936, 0.0954, 0.0885, -0.0435, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0035, -0.0191, -0.0108, -0.0158, -0.0517, -0.0305, -0.0175, -0.0072, 0.0138, -0.0147, -0.0362, -0.0116, 0.0499, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0148, 0.0201, 0.0339, 0.0054, 0.0444, 0.0461, 0.0582, 0.0574, 0.0613, -0.0146, -0.0534, -0.0754, -0.0643, -0.0817, -0.0689, -0.0701, -0.1123, -0.1489, -0.1433, -0.0897, -0.1027, -0.08, -0.0949, -0.1053, -0.0958, -0.0694, -0.0581, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0823, -0.1273, -0.1181, -0.1038, -0.1363, -0.094, -0.0736, -0.1004, -0.0855, -0.1041, -0.1542, -0.1771, -0.1858, -0.2147, -0.2298, -0.256, -0.2422, -0.1508, -0.1087, -0.1186, 0.0163, -0.0401, -0.0573, -0.0572, -0.051, -0.0323, -0.0687, -0.0849, -0.0993, -0.1176, -0.0997, -0.0701, -0.0887, -0.0843, -0.0705, -0.0837, -0.0227, -0.0567, -0.09, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0743, -0.0772, -0.0636, -0.0673, -0.0767, -0.0846, -0.0834, -0.068, -0.0704, -0.0898, -0.1062, -0.0714, -0.0443, -0.0677, -0.0183, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.049, -0.0415, -0.0437, -0.0188, 0.0285, 0.034, 0.0364, 0.0991, 0.2112, 0.2905, 0.2905, 0.3173, 0.3248, 0.374, 0.3788, 0.2624, 0.3001, 0.3232, 0.3437, 0.3015, 0.3053, 0.2528, 0.3173, 0.2904]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1737295800722768177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-20T02:16:10+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upcoming delivery report and earnings may disappoint to downside though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Upcoming TSLA delivery report and earnings may disappoint to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptocantoncat Also testing top of cloud on monthly right now. Upcoming delivery report and earnings may disappoint to downside though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04078660619870855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04078660619870855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026734635107044102, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02220150560606471, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01405197109166445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018585100592643844, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029780693649462897, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029780693649462897, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020298871049118983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014564542528863411, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009481822600343914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015216151120599486, "ret_p1w": 0.05786195309166442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05786195309166442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04024358399568806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04236501252665259, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01761836909597636, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01549694056501183, "ret_p1m": -0.14267214774587722, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14267214774587722, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16024779265673694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11527177779530695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017575644910859722, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02740036995057027, "ret_p3m": -0.29675486169383924, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29675486169383924, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3954040006407912, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3041099560927011, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09864913894695193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007355094398861839, "ret_p6m": -0.2616735385961729, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2616735385961729, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4237104348810038, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27313648827182446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16203689628483087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011462949675651535, "price_path": [-0.0091, -0.0006, -0.0122, -0.0269, -0.0031, 0.0125, 0.018, -0.0025, 0.0567, 0.0522, 0.0542, 0.0507, 0.0667, 0.0641, 0.0475, 0.0161, 0.0274, 0.0312, -0.018, -0.1094, -0.1422, -0.1419, -0.1239, -0.1405, -0.1674, -0.1612, -0.2014, -0.1873, -0.1678, -0.1158, -0.11, -0.1128, -0.101, -0.1013, -0.1504, -0.1315, -0.0948, -0.0394, -0.0174, -0.0548, -0.052, -0.0467, -0.024, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0473, -0.0448, -0.0017, -0.0121, -0.0286, -0.0336, -0.0468, -0.0341, -0.0314, -0.0182, -0.0134, -0.0299, -0.041, -0.0318, 0.0158, 0.0257, 0.02, 0.0408, 0.0, 0.0298, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.0383, 0.0579, 0.0244, 0.0054, 0.0054, 0.0052, -0.0352, -0.0373, -0.039, -0.0271, -0.0493, -0.0534, -0.0806, -0.1143, -0.1143, -0.1102, -0.1278, -0.1427, -0.1414, -0.1551, -0.1538, -0.1591, -0.261, -0.2585, -0.2274, -0.2248, -0.2422, -0.2358, -0.2397, -0.2674, -0.251, -0.241, -0.233, -0.2168, -0.2388, -0.2554, -0.2364, -0.1889, -0.1909, -0.1909, -0.216, -0.2119, -0.2012, -0.2232, -0.1932, -0.1918, -0.1825, -0.1831, -0.1801, -0.2387, -0.2687, -0.2857, -0.2771, -0.2905, -0.2807, -0.2816, -0.3142, -0.3425, -0.3381, -0.2968, -0.3068, -0.2892, -0.3007, -0.3088, -0.3015, -0.2811, -0.2724, -0.2887, -0.2887, -0.291, -0.3258, -0.3187, -0.3076, -0.3328, -0.3001, -0.2843, -0.305, -0.2935, -0.3079, -0.3466, -0.3643, -0.371, -0.3933, -0.405, -0.4252, -0.4146, -0.344, -0.3114, -0.319, -0.2148, -0.2584, -0.2717, -0.2716, -0.2669, -0.2524, -0.2805, -0.293, -0.3042, -0.3183, -0.3045, -0.2816, -0.296, -0.2925, -0.2819, -0.2921, -0.245, -0.2712, -0.297, -0.2747, -0.2747, -0.2848, -0.2871, -0.2766, -0.2794, -0.2867, -0.2928, -0.2919, -0.28, -0.2819, -0.2968, -0.3095, -0.2826, -0.2617]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1738991262022382048", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-24T18:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm extremely hedged with $TSLA downside until Sept 2024", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding TSLA downside hedge through Sept 2024, citing recession risk; may extend.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 @saxena_puru I agree. This is why I\u2019m extremely hedged with $TSLA downside until Sept 2024. Might extend if needed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Falling real GDI has correctly predicted 12 of 12 recessions since 1950.  It\u2019s why there will be a Fed pivot by Spring of 2024. @saxena_puru", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01611622781987765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01611622781987765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011893685730505421, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011881841717924058, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004222542089372228, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004234386101953591, "ret_p1w": -0.0160766518829899, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0160766518829899, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01958128038654261, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012343558042482106, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003504628503552709, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003733093840507795, "ret_p1m": -0.17185394412880706, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17185394412880706, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1955212591068386, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13964977175877846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02366731497803154, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032204172370028594, "ret_p3m": -0.3156727175152402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3156727175152402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42160012562077853, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34493229602253817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10592740810553836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02925957850729799, "ret_p6m": -0.2679971270890883, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2679971270890883, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4296020969259927, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27782526251146866, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16160496983690442, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009828135422380369, "price_path": [-0.0477, -0.0244, -0.0092, -0.0037, -0.0238, 0.0341, 0.0297, 0.0316, 0.0282, 0.0439, 0.0414, 0.0251, -0.0056, 0.0055, 0.0091, -0.039, -0.1284, -0.1606, -0.1602, -0.1426, -0.1589, -0.1852, -0.1791, -0.2185, -0.2047, -0.1856, -0.1348, -0.129, -0.1317, -0.1202, -0.1205, -0.1685, -0.15, -0.1142, -0.0599, -0.0384, -0.075, -0.0722, -0.0671, -0.0449, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.0677, -0.0652, -0.023, -0.0333, -0.0493, -0.0543, -0.0672, -0.0547, -0.0522, -0.0392, -0.0344, -0.0507, -0.0615, -0.0525, -0.0059, 0.0038, -0.0018, 0.0185, -0.0214, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0352, 0.0025, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0163, -0.0558, -0.0579, -0.0596, -0.0479, -0.0696, -0.0737, -0.1003, -0.1332, -0.1332, -0.1292, -0.1465, -0.161, -0.1598, -0.1732, -0.1719, -0.177, -0.2768, -0.2744, -0.244, -0.2413, -0.2584, -0.2522, -0.2559, -0.283, -0.267, -0.2572, -0.2494, -0.2335, -0.255, -0.2713, -0.2528, -0.2063, -0.2082, -0.2082, -0.2328, -0.2288, -0.2183, -0.2398, -0.2104, -0.2091, -0.2, -0.2006, -0.1976, -0.255, -0.2843, -0.3009, -0.2926, -0.3057, -0.2961, -0.297, -0.3289, -0.3565, -0.3523, -0.3118, -0.3216, -0.3044, -0.3157, -0.3236, -0.3164, -0.2965, -0.2879, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.3062, -0.3402, -0.3333, -0.3224, -0.347, -0.315, -0.2996, -0.3199, -0.3086, -0.3227, -0.3606, -0.3779, -0.3845, -0.4063, -0.4177, -0.4375, -0.4271, -0.358, -0.3261, -0.3336, -0.2316, -0.2743, -0.2873, -0.2872, -0.2825, -0.2684, -0.2959, -0.3081, -0.319, -0.3329, -0.3194, -0.2969, -0.311, -0.3077, -0.2973, -0.3072, -0.2611, -0.2868, -0.312, -0.2903, -0.2903, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.292, -0.2948, -0.3019, -0.308, -0.307, -0.2954, -0.2972, -0.3118, -0.3242, -0.298, -0.2775, -0.2951, -0.2578, -0.268]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1782656472155127988", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-23T06:23:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA China is in serious trouble. It's a bloodbath. Xiaomi SU7 was the killing blow.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: China business in serious trouble, Xiaomi SU7 dealt a killing blow to sales.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tslachan I'll say this again, as I've said for 6+ months: $TSLA China is in serious trouble. It's a bloodbath. Xiaomi SU7 was the killing blow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf3\nNEWS: Tesla China insured units            \n\n&lt;Apr 2024&gt;       \n1-7 : 1,907 \n8-14 : 6,212\n15-21 : 5,168 https://t.co/5mMQbHmdYx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tslachan", "ret_m1d": -0.01817797730966908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01817797730966908, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006450410433438303, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006412545657211943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011727566876230777, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011765431652457137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12061109407252757, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12061109407252757, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12108582502020038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11104808374360231, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004747309476728079, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009563010328925259, "ret_p1w": 0.2667957427259193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2667957427259193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2740537662600616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2489448080974821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007258023534142288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01785093462843723, "ret_p1m": 0.24488533127014134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24488533127014134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19706566250981172, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22106481057748884, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047819668760329614, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023820520692652503, "ret_p3m": 0.6533039055667795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6533039055667795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.564089849574122, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5624610178561844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08921405599265753, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09084288771059512, "ret_p6m": 0.5297899712162779, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5297899712162779, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37094421716808235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3720919821633668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15884575404819556, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1576979890529111, "price_path": [0.2623, 0.2666, 0.3197, 0.3242, 0.2945, 0.3054, 0.2988, 0.2515, 0.2794, 0.2965, 0.3102, 0.3379, 0.3003, 0.2719, 0.3043, 0.3855, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3392, 0.3462, 0.3645, 0.3269, 0.3782, 0.3805, 0.3965, 0.3954, 0.4006, 0.3004, 0.2492, 0.2202, 0.2348, 0.2119, 0.2287, 0.2271, 0.1714, 0.1232, 0.1306, 0.2013, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1945, 0.1807, 0.1932, 0.228, 0.243, 0.215, 0.215, 0.2111, 0.1517, 0.1638, 0.1827, 0.1398, 0.1956, 0.2226, 0.1872, 0.2068, 0.1823, 0.1161, 0.0859, 0.0744, 0.0363, 0.0164, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.1206, 0.1763, 0.1632, 0.3412, 0.2668, 0.2441, 0.2442, 0.2524, 0.277, 0.229, 0.2076, 0.1886, 0.1644, 0.1881, 0.2272, 0.2026, 0.2085, 0.2266, 0.2092, 0.2897, 0.2449, 0.2009, 0.2389, 0.2389, 0.2217, 0.2178, 0.2358, 0.2309, 0.2185, 0.208, 0.2096, 0.2299, 0.2267, 0.2012, 0.1796, 0.2254, 0.2612, 0.2304, 0.2955, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.255, 0.2649, 0.262, 0.2949, 0.3573, 0.3645, 0.3677, 0.4505, 0.5984, 0.703, 0.703, 0.7385, 0.7483, 0.8132, 0.8196, 0.666, 0.7157, 0.7462, 0.7733, 0.7176, 0.7226, 0.6533, 0.7384, 0.7029, 0.4929, 0.5223, 0.5192, 0.6042, 0.5387, 0.604, 0.4989, 0.4354, 0.3746, 0.3868, 0.3254, 0.3743, 0.3824, 0.365, 0.4365, 0.3919, 0.4801, 0.4938, 0.5394, 0.5282, 0.5432, 0.456, 0.5228, 0.4737, 0.446, 0.4221, 0.4258, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.4556, 0.5165, 0.5909, 0.4565, 0.4948, 0.5632, 0.5768, 0.5884, 0.5917, 0.5675, 0.575, 0.5704, 0.6859, 0.6467, 0.728, 0.7575, 0.7765, 0.7571, 0.8002, 0.8083, 0.7834, 0.7212, 0.6634, 0.7285, 0.6646, 0.6899, 0.6661, 0.6503, 0.5054, 0.5148, 0.5176, 0.5298]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1768829904521752930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-16T02:41:27+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA with forward PE sub 40 and a larger TAM + 93%+ market share in accelerated datacenters", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA on 60-70x+ forward PE with no compelling reason to own vs NVDA, which is preferred on sub-40 PE, larger TAM, and dominant datacenter share.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Let\u2019s look at forward PE. 2024 EPS of 2.20-2.50 suggests 60-70x PE. 2025 EPS of 2.50-3.20 suggests even higher PE. Why would I buy $TSLA over other mag7 especially $NVDA with forward PE sub 40 and a larger TAM + 93%+ market share in accelerated datacenters?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA doing $8.3B in earnings annualizing Q4 2023 financials \n\n$521B market cap implies 63X earnings \n\nmultiple needs to compress. either earnings will rise or stock may continue to fall https://t.co/Zwjs4RxIik", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.0069867915559577165, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0069867915559577165, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001078752720939935, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004970999920351993, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059080388350177815, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020157916356057237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010660770855606128, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010660770855606128, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005103637636852065, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012859758649290454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005557133218754062, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002198987793684326, "ret_p1w": 0.07401482088013256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07401482088013256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06054137398796344, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03369962206475874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013473446892169116, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04031519881537382, "ret_p1m": -0.011757475942046236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011757475942046236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006434575670885345, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015789059213257683, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01819205161293158, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0040315832712114474, "ret_p3m": 0.465384922082849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.465384922082849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4076888341410374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2412233984317389, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05769608794181158, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22416152365111008, "ret_p6m": 0.22219039656400263, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22219039656400263, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14868021094486705, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2054229121423672, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07351018561913558, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016767484421635448, "price_path": [-0.4561, -0.4462, -0.448, -0.448, -0.4429, -0.4414, -0.4402, -0.4402, -0.4402, -0.4555, -0.4622, -0.4574, -0.445, -0.4093, -0.3993, -0.3856, -0.3803, -0.3815, -0.3815, -0.3626, -0.3663, -0.3544, -0.3275, -0.3256, -0.3232, -0.3063, -0.3034, -0.3101, -0.2939, -0.2904, -0.3045, -0.2875, -0.2521, -0.2162, -0.2288, -0.2076, -0.2127, -0.1846, -0.1833, -0.1846, -0.1646, -0.1786, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.2149, -0.2373, -0.1122, -0.109, -0.1059, -0.1103, -0.122, -0.1057, -0.0699, -0.0364, -0.0282, 0.0028, 0.0476, -0.0105, -0.0303, 0.0391, 0.0275, -0.0058, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0107, 0.0217, 0.0337, 0.066, 0.074, 0.0464, 0.0203, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0216, 0.0113, 0.0058, -0.0288, -0.0051, -0.0149, -0.0351, -0.016, 0.0244, -0.003, -0.0277, -0.0118, -0.05, -0.0428, -0.1385, -0.101, -0.0682, -0.0992, -0.0658, -0.0081, -0.0079, -0.0232, -0.0612, -0.0298, 0.0038, 0.0417, 0.0237, 0.0221, 0.0033, 0.0161, 0.022, 0.0328, 0.0698, 0.0667, 0.0455, 0.0715, 0.0784, 0.0734, 0.1735, 0.2037, 0.2037, 0.2877, 0.2981, 0.2492, 0.2394, 0.3001, 0.3163, 0.3842, 0.3679, 0.3667, 0.3769, 0.367, 0.4155, 0.4654, 0.491, 0.4809, 0.5329, 0.5329, 0.4786, 0.431, 0.3354, 0.4256, 0.4291, 0.4018, 0.3968, 0.4053, 0.3869, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.4226, 0.4494, 0.4854, 0.5253, 0.4404, 0.4612, 0.4522, 0.4286, 0.334, 0.3691, 0.3333, 0.3968, 0.386, 0.2917, 0.2695, 0.2783, 0.2616, 0.1728, 0.323, 0.2347, 0.2128, 0.1357, 0.1787, 0.1183, 0.1868, 0.1843, 0.2326, 0.3131, 0.335, 0.3891, 0.4085, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4528, 0.399, 0.4627, 0.4298, 0.4506, 0.4202, 0.3295, 0.3496, 0.3496, 0.2211, 0.2008, 0.2121, 0.1626, 0.2038, 0.2222]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1776724859026100345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-06T21:33:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA - split coming this summer-ish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Would buy and hold NVDA for a year; anticipates a stock split this summer.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin $NVDA - split coming this summer-ish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "IF I GAVE YOU A MILLION DOLLARS RIGHT NOW AND YOU COULD ONLY BUY AND HOLD 1 STOCK FOR THE NEXT YEAR WHAT WOULD IT BE ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": 0.010042267322746934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010042267322746934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010601278733124442, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011925192508606464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005590114103775079, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018829251858595297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02041718885726662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02041718885726662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02157390134225845, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025079666987792626, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011567124849918287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004662478130526004, "ret_p1w": -0.012991474257408875, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012991474257408875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014518504150504263, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012562175635814632, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027509978407913138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025553649893223507, "ret_p1m": 0.03926187035421935, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03926187035421935, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042307687052352994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04970745623556816, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003045816698133641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010445585881348807, "ret_p3m": 0.4723529481337152, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4723529481337152, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.40580630379616744, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2636197427594349, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06654664433754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2087332053742803, "ret_p6m": 0.3429999592614674, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3429999592614674, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23989206433415844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2720772480366722, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310789492730899, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07092271122479521, "price_path": [-0.3763, -0.3709, -0.3721, -0.3721, -0.353, -0.3567, -0.3446, -0.3173, -0.3154, -0.3129, -0.2958, -0.2929, -0.2996, -0.2831, -0.2796, -0.2939, -0.2767, -0.2407, -0.2043, -0.2171, -0.1955, -0.2008, -0.1722, -0.1709, -0.1722, -0.1519, -0.1662, -0.1667, -0.1667, -0.203, -0.2257, -0.0987, -0.0955, -0.0923, -0.0968, -0.1087, -0.0921, -0.0558, -0.0218, -0.0134, 0.018, 0.0635, 0.0045, -0.0156, 0.0549, 0.0431, 0.0093, 0.0081, 0.0152, 0.026, 0.0372, 0.0494, 0.0821, 0.0903, 0.0623, 0.0358, 0.037, 0.037, 0.0371, 0.0266, 0.021, -0.0141, 0.01, 0.0, -0.0204, -0.0011, 0.04, 0.0121, -0.013, 0.0032, -0.0356, -0.0283, -0.1255, -0.0874, -0.0541, -0.0856, -0.0517, 0.0069, 0.0072, -0.0084, -0.047, -0.0151, 0.019, 0.0575, 0.0393, 0.0376, 0.0185, 0.0315, 0.0375, 0.0485, 0.086, 0.0829, 0.0614, 0.0878, 0.0947, 0.0897, 0.1913, 0.2219, 0.2219, 0.3072, 0.3178, 0.2682, 0.2582, 0.3198, 0.3363, 0.4052, 0.3887, 0.3874, 0.3977, 0.3878, 0.437, 0.4876, 0.5137, 0.5033, 0.5561, 0.5561, 0.501, 0.4527, 0.3556, 0.4472, 0.4508, 0.4231, 0.4179, 0.4267, 0.408, 0.4724, 0.4724, 0.4442, 0.4714, 0.5079, 0.5484, 0.4623, 0.4834, 0.4742, 0.4503, 0.3542, 0.3898, 0.3536, 0.4179, 0.407, 0.3113, 0.2887, 0.2977, 0.2808, 0.1906, 0.3431, 0.2535, 0.2312, 0.1529, 0.1965, 0.1353, 0.2048, 0.2023, 0.2513, 0.333, 0.3553, 0.4101, 0.4299, 0.4921, 0.4605, 0.4749, 0.4202, 0.4849, 0.4515, 0.4726, 0.4417, 0.3497, 0.3701, 0.3701, 0.2396, 0.219, 0.2305, 0.1802, 0.222, 0.2407, 0.3419, 0.3676, 0.3671, 0.3405, 0.3268, 0.3013, 0.353, 0.3315, 0.3345, 0.3874, 0.4177, 0.4238, 0.3935, 0.394, 0.343]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1514352321114755073", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-13T21:18:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "huge q1 earnings beat in store w/ removal of one-time hits (payroll tax + Elon) in Q4 2021", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA into Q1 earnings; market already pricing in Shanghai headwinds, beat expected on removal of one-time Q4 hits.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GerberKawasaki @realMeetKevin Market is pricing it in just like how they priced in q1 deliveries - huge q1 earnings beat in store w/ removal of one-time hits (payroll tax + Elon) in Q4 2021", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@realMeetKevin Keep in mind. Shanghai is shut down at the moment. Q2 numbers are going to have some effect.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GerberKawasaki", "ret_m1d": -0.034645003804510965, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034645003804510965, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02332107174955822, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010381484498475757, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011323932054952746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02426351930603521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03655231880843268, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03655231880843268, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02410070766995187, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02256915856497499, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012451611138480811, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013983160243457693, "ret_p1w": -0.04418166837362958, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04418166837362958, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.047339766347633816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048769177980962475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003158097974004237, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004587509607332896, "ret_p1m": -0.2879290305808888, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2879290305808888, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17295319627587402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09791089549875531, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11497583430501479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.1900181350821335, "ret_p3m": -0.3123526742662559, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3123526742662559, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18282657156183402, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10099597961307116, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12952610270442189, "bench_c_p3m": -0.21135669465318474, "ret_p6m": -0.30124123679693227, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30124123679693227, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.150199823235451, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1098552218256017, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.15104141356148126, "bench_c_p6m": -0.19138601497133056, "price_path": [0.0266, 0.0266, 0.008, -0.0261, -0.0255, -0.0768, -0.0903, -0.1017, -0.0831, -0.189, -0.1722, -0.0838, -0.0891, -0.1142, -0.1284, -0.0969, -0.1125, -0.0982, -0.0884, -0.1152, -0.1588, -0.1434, -0.0978, -0.0968, -0.1428, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1964, -0.2527, -0.2168, -0.2079, -0.1486, -0.1545, -0.1394, -0.1791, -0.1801, -0.213, -0.1936, -0.1598, -0.18, -0.2221, -0.2504, -0.2157, -0.1782, -0.1475, -0.1144, -0.099, -0.0278, -0.0228, -0.0083, -0.0115, 0.0679, 0.0755, 0.0701, 0.054, 0.0609, 0.1204, 0.0674, 0.0229, 0.0341, 0.0031, -0.0454, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0177, 0.0057, -0.0442, -0.0133, -0.0169, -0.0238, -0.1428, -0.1378, -0.1417, -0.1483, -0.1168, -0.1106, -0.0682, -0.1458, -0.1533, -0.2301, -0.2175, -0.2821, -0.2879, -0.2472, -0.2915, -0.2551, -0.3057, -0.3061, -0.3506, -0.3399, -0.3856, -0.3556, -0.3078, -0.257, -0.257, -0.2583, -0.2758, -0.242, -0.3118, -0.3008, -0.299, -0.2903, -0.2966, -0.3186, -0.367, -0.3518, -0.3163, -0.3747, -0.3639, -0.3639, -0.3044, -0.3072, -0.3102, -0.279, -0.2813, -0.3173, -0.3295, -0.3413, -0.3331, -0.3331, -0.3161, -0.32, -0.2824, -0.2642, -0.3124, -0.3161, -0.3044, -0.3007, -0.2956, -0.2941, -0.2795, -0.2737, -0.2027, -0.2011, -0.2123, -0.2404, -0.1936, -0.1757, -0.1281, -0.1277, -0.118, -0.098, -0.0944, -0.1544, -0.1478, -0.1686, -0.1363, -0.1589, -0.1196, -0.0923, -0.1004, -0.108, -0.1113, -0.1295, -0.1493, -0.1301, -0.1282, -0.1312, -0.1546, -0.1642, -0.1851, -0.1913, -0.1867, -0.2071, -0.2071, -0.1948, -0.1675, -0.1512, -0.1206, -0.1067, -0.1428, -0.112, -0.1087, -0.1099, -0.0931, -0.0941, -0.1173, -0.1532, -0.1921, -0.1901, -0.1698, -0.1555, -0.213, -0.2217, -0.2887, -0.2681, -0.2934, -0.3012]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1766528823481553342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-09T18:17:46+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA dominance isn't visible on the streets (like other mega caps) so most retail missing out are calling it a bubble etc despite rock solid fundamentals and growth/forward PE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA: rock-solid fundamentals and growth PE; retail misread it as a bubble, missing the dominance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GerberKawasaki $NVDA dominance isn\u2019t visible on the streets (like other mega caps) so most retail missing out are calling it a bubble etc despite rock solid fundamentals and growth/forward PE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla eps estimates for 2025 are $4.20 on Bloomberg. 40 times that is $168. Nvidia trades at 40 times 2024 eps with a massive growth rate. $tsla $nvda", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GerberKawasaki", "ret_m1d": 0.02044894061442326, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02044894061442326, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019588341324037417, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002302370342642135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008605992903858439, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018146570271781126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07157169264068108, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07157169264068108, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.060814201510858146, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039939764055362925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010757491129822938, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03163192858531816, "ret_p1w": 0.03125656915175279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03125656915175279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02504960716599114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043474805261709215, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00620696198576165, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012218236109956426, "ret_p1m": -0.004896838174369922, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004896838174369922, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023778013711786006, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01901586194830407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018881175537416084, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014119023773934147, "ret_p3m": 0.41066042613937226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41066042613937226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.361682869246565, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26843028966962224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04897755689280725, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14223013646975002, "ret_p6m": 0.25922609273751074, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25922609273751074, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17257683227209397, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24017452462769207, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08664926046541677, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019051568109818673, "price_path": [-0.4394, -0.4363, -0.43, -0.4162, -0.4217, -0.4391, -0.4289, -0.4307, -0.4307, -0.4255, -0.4239, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4385, -0.4454, -0.4404, -0.4276, -0.3908, -0.3805, -0.3664, -0.3609, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.3427, -0.3465, -0.3342, -0.3065, -0.3046, -0.302, -0.2846, -0.2817, -0.2885, -0.2718, -0.2682, -0.2827, -0.2652, -0.2287, -0.1917, -0.2047, -0.1828, -0.1881, -0.1591, -0.1577, -0.1591, -0.1385, -0.153, -0.1535, -0.1535, -0.1903, -0.2134, -0.0844, -0.0812, -0.0779, -0.0825, -0.0946, -0.0777, -0.0408, -0.0063, 0.0022, 0.0341, 0.0804, 0.0204, 0.0, 0.0716, 0.0596, 0.0253, 0.0241, 0.0313, 0.0423, 0.0536, 0.066, 0.0993, 0.1076, 0.0791, 0.0522, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0535, 0.0429, 0.0372, 0.0015, 0.026, 0.0158, -0.0049, 0.0147, 0.0565, 0.0281, 0.0026, 0.0191, -0.0203, -0.0129, -0.1116, -0.0729, -0.0391, -0.0711, -0.0366, 0.0229, 0.0231, 0.0073, -0.0319, 0.0005, 0.0352, 0.0742, 0.0557, 0.0541, 0.0347, 0.0478, 0.0539, 0.0651, 0.1032, 0.1001, 0.0782, 0.105, 0.1121, 0.107, 0.2101, 0.2413, 0.2413, 0.3279, 0.3387, 0.2883, 0.2782, 0.3407, 0.3575, 0.4275, 0.4107, 0.4094, 0.4199, 0.4098, 0.4598, 0.5112, 0.5377, 0.5272, 0.5808, 0.5808, 0.5248, 0.4757, 0.3771, 0.4701, 0.4738, 0.4457, 0.4404, 0.4493, 0.4303, 0.4957, 0.4957, 0.4671, 0.4947, 0.5318, 0.573, 0.4854, 0.5069, 0.4975, 0.4733, 0.3757, 0.4118, 0.375, 0.4404, 0.4293, 0.3321, 0.3091, 0.3182, 0.3011, 0.2094, 0.3644, 0.2733, 0.2507, 0.1712, 0.2155, 0.1532, 0.2239, 0.2213, 0.2711, 0.3541, 0.3768, 0.4325, 0.4525, 0.5157, 0.4837, 0.4982, 0.4427, 0.5084, 0.4745, 0.4959, 0.4645, 0.371, 0.3918, 0.3918, 0.2592]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1557447781198901250", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-10T19:24:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We likely re-test all time high $1243 around end of Oct/early Nov post-Q3 earnings print", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects TSLA to re-test all-time high ~$1243 by end of Oct/early Nov after Q3 earnings, citing similar technical setup to prior year.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 We likely re-test all time high $1243 around end of Oct/early Nov post-Q3 earnings print. Same time as rally last year with similar technical setup.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA 2-yr forward P/E now 50x, same as at height of 2020 Covid crisis. With 50% long term vol growth for the foreseeable future as EV adoption surges, it\u2019s difficult to see how TSLA P/E stays at 50x (avg 88x). At 50x P/E x 2023 EPS of $24, TSLA could be $1,200 by 2022 year-end. https://t.co/mSgEs3eZpG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.037448840021319874, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037448840021319874, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01687692578934019, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010023804010500403, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020571914231979682, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02742503601081947, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026249292544206493, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026249292544206493, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026249292544206493, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021159599816084618, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005089692728121875, "ret_p1w": 0.032749436290307576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032749436290307576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016892068799868154, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008138732052407782, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015857367490439422, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024610704237899794, "ret_p1m": -0.017314536686047433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017314536686047433, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029377153120601296, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016098822787669387, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04669168980664873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03341335947371682, "ret_p3m": -0.3304720791989698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3304720791989698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23885265968871938, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14978869515682836, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09161941951025043, "bench_c_p3m": -0.18068338404214146, "ret_p6m": -0.3604017488400524, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3604017488400524, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.361410840142554, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3000174818049741, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0010090913025015968, "bench_c_p6m": -0.060384267035078265, "price_path": [-0.1285, -0.1797, -0.1375, -0.1962, -0.1966, -0.2482, -0.2357, -0.2887, -0.254, -0.1986, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1413, -0.1616, -0.1224, -0.2033, -0.1905, -0.1884, -0.1783, -0.1857, -0.2111, -0.2671, -0.2496, -0.2084, -0.276, -0.2636, -0.2636, -0.1947, -0.198, -0.2014, -0.1653, -0.1679, -0.2096, -0.2238, -0.2374, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2082, -0.2127, -0.1692, -0.1481, -0.2039, -0.2082, -0.1947, -0.1904, -0.1844, -0.1828, -0.1659, -0.1592, -0.0769, -0.0751, -0.0881, -0.1206, -0.0664, -0.0457, 0.0095, 0.0099, 0.0212, 0.0443, 0.0485, -0.021, -0.0134, -0.0374, 0.0, -0.0262, 0.0193, 0.0508, 0.0415, 0.0327, 0.0289, 0.0078, -0.0151, 0.0071, 0.0093, 0.0058, -0.0213, -0.0324, -0.0566, -0.0637, -0.0584, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0677, -0.0362, -0.0173, 0.0181, 0.0342, -0.0076, 0.028, 0.0319, 0.0306, 0.05, 0.0488, 0.0219, -0.0196, -0.0646, -0.0623, -0.0388, -0.0222, -0.0888, -0.0989, -0.1765, -0.1526, -0.1819, -0.191, -0.2422, -0.2426, -0.2645, -0.262, -0.2468, -0.3036, -0.2548, -0.252, -0.2457, -0.2958, -0.2715, -0.2823, -0.2444, -0.2368, -0.2353, -0.2237, -0.227, -0.226, -0.2697, -0.2685, -0.2952, -0.3305, -0.3501, -0.3967, -0.3521, -0.3342, -0.3513, -0.3395, -0.365, -0.3777, -0.3879, -0.4297, -0.4228, -0.3776, -0.3776, -0.3788, -0.3786, -0.3857, -0.3386, -0.3386, -0.338, -0.3802, -0.3891, -0.4087, -0.4108, -0.3917, -0.4299, -0.4532, -0.4673, -0.4644, -0.4896, -0.4909, -0.5319, -0.5326, -0.5742, -0.5816, -0.5816, -0.6294, -0.6171, -0.5861, -0.5815, -0.5815, -0.6328, -0.6139, -0.6251, -0.6159, -0.5931, -0.5962, -0.5814, -0.5802, -0.5842, -0.5842, -0.5533, -0.5625, -0.568, -0.5467, -0.5116, -0.5112, -0.5093, -0.4555, -0.3956, -0.4338, -0.4115, -0.3837, -0.3604]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1747692292411125968", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-17T18:48:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "technical patterns showing bearish signs amplifying this move down", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: Wyckoff distribution pattern confirmed, technical setup amplifying downward move.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lots of $TSLA investors are hearing bearish news, but should also be aware of the technical patterns showing bearish signs amplifying this move down. On Dec 5 I posted potential Wyckoff distribution pattern, it looked like the photo on the left. On the right, is what we see today https://t.co/cVFW0wimhM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020227327991754418, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020227327991754418, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01463758374828128, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011402486589995986, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005589744243473138, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008824841401758432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017026203279914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017026203279914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025919002356128873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022715778927544283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008892799076214875, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005689575647630285, "ret_p1w": -0.03581536122200568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03581536122200568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06355248349764431, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04045993856555763, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027737122275638626, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004644577343551948, "ret_p1m": -0.07005337921470511, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07005337921470511, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1329808595367339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11562920848969838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06292748032202877, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04557582927499326, "ret_p3m": -0.25084670173368295, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25084670173368295, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3222590539596747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26419631808162747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07141235222599174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013349616347944515, "ret_p6m": 0.11820921070189372, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11820921070189372, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06752380202617769, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016030675878893952, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1857330127280714, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10217853482299977, "price_path": [-0.0165, -0.0161, 0.0045, -0.0145, -0.0454, -0.0383, -0.0844, -0.0682, -0.0459, 0.0137, 0.0205, 0.0173, 0.0308, 0.0304, -0.0258, -0.0042, 0.0379, 0.1014, 0.1266, 0.0837, 0.087, 0.093, 0.119, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.0923, 0.0952, 0.1446, 0.1326, 0.1138, 0.108, 0.0929, 0.1075, 0.1105, 0.1257, 0.1312, 0.1122, 0.0996, 0.1101, 0.1647, 0.1761, 0.1695, 0.1933, 0.1466, 0.1807, 0.1716, 0.1716, 0.1905, 0.2129, 0.1746, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1525, 0.1062, 0.1038, 0.1018, 0.1155, 0.09, 0.0853, 0.0541, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0202, 0.0, -0.017, -0.0156, -0.0313, -0.0297, -0.0358, -0.1527, -0.1498, -0.1142, -0.1112, -0.1311, -0.1238, -0.1282, -0.16, -0.1413, -0.1298, -0.1206, -0.102, -0.1272, -0.1463, -0.1245, -0.0701, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.1011, -0.0964, -0.0842, -0.1094, -0.0749, -0.0734, -0.0627, -0.0634, -0.0599, -0.1272, -0.1615, -0.181, -0.1712, -0.1865, -0.1753, -0.1763, -0.2137, -0.2461, -0.2412, -0.1937, -0.2052, -0.1851, -0.1982, -0.2075, -0.1991, -0.1757, -0.1657, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1871, -0.227, -0.2188, -0.2062, -0.235, -0.1975, -0.1794, -0.2032, -0.19, -0.2064, -0.2508, -0.2711, -0.2788, -0.3044, -0.3178, -0.341, -0.3288, -0.2478, -0.2105, -0.2193, -0.0997, -0.1497, -0.165, -0.1649, -0.1594, -0.1428, -0.1751, -0.1894, -0.2022, -0.2184, -0.2026, -0.1763, -0.1928, -0.1889, -0.1767, -0.1884, -0.1343, -0.1644, -0.194, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.18, -0.1826, -0.1705, -0.1738, -0.1821, -0.1892, -0.1881, -0.1745, -0.1766, -0.1937, -0.2083, -0.1775, -0.1535, -0.1742, -0.1304, -0.1424, -0.1424, -0.1576, -0.151, -0.153, -0.1308, -0.089, -0.0841, -0.082, -0.0264, 0.0729, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.1669, 0.1735, 0.217, 0.2213, 0.1182]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1769843466572620165", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-18T21:48:59+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Jensen Huang just announced that BYD 'the world's largest EV mfg' will be deploying $NVDA Thor", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA: BYD, world's largest EV maker, deploying NVDA Thor platform.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang just announced that BYD \"the world's largest EV mfg\" will be deploying $NVDA Thor - shade thrown at $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0069867915559577165, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0069867915559577165, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001078752720939935, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004970999920351993, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059080388350177815, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020157916356057237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010660770855606128, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010660770855606128, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005103637636852065, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012859758649290454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005557133218754062, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002198987793684326, "ret_p1w": 0.07401482088013256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07401482088013256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06054137398796344, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03369962206475874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013473446892169116, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04031519881537382, "ret_p1m": -0.011757475942046236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011757475942046236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006434575670885345, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015789059213257683, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01819205161293158, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0040315832712114474, "ret_p3m": 0.465384922082849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.465384922082849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4076888341410374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2412233984317389, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05769608794181158, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22416152365111008, "ret_p6m": 0.22219039656400263, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22219039656400263, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14868021094486705, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2054229121423672, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07351018561913558, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016767484421635448, "price_path": [-0.4561, -0.4462, -0.448, -0.448, -0.4429, -0.4414, -0.4402, -0.4402, -0.4402, -0.4555, -0.4622, -0.4574, -0.445, -0.4093, -0.3993, -0.3856, -0.3803, -0.3815, -0.3815, -0.3626, -0.3663, -0.3544, -0.3275, -0.3256, -0.3232, -0.3063, -0.3034, -0.3101, -0.2939, -0.2904, -0.3045, -0.2875, -0.2521, -0.2162, -0.2288, -0.2076, -0.2127, -0.1846, -0.1833, -0.1846, -0.1646, -0.1786, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.2149, -0.2373, -0.1122, -0.109, -0.1059, -0.1103, -0.122, -0.1057, -0.0699, -0.0364, -0.0282, 0.0028, 0.0476, -0.0105, -0.0303, 0.0391, 0.0275, -0.0058, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0107, 0.0217, 0.0337, 0.066, 0.074, 0.0464, 0.0203, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0216, 0.0113, 0.0058, -0.0288, -0.0051, -0.0149, -0.0351, -0.016, 0.0244, -0.003, -0.0277, -0.0118, -0.05, -0.0428, -0.1385, -0.101, -0.0682, -0.0992, -0.0658, -0.0081, -0.0079, -0.0232, -0.0612, -0.0298, 0.0038, 0.0417, 0.0237, 0.0221, 0.0033, 0.0161, 0.022, 0.0328, 0.0698, 0.0667, 0.0455, 0.0715, 0.0784, 0.0734, 0.1735, 0.2037, 0.2037, 0.2877, 0.2981, 0.2492, 0.2394, 0.3001, 0.3163, 0.3842, 0.3679, 0.3667, 0.3769, 0.367, 0.4155, 0.4654, 0.491, 0.4809, 0.5329, 0.5329, 0.4786, 0.431, 0.3354, 0.4256, 0.4291, 0.4018, 0.3968, 0.4053, 0.3869, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.4226, 0.4494, 0.4854, 0.5253, 0.4404, 0.4612, 0.4522, 0.4286, 0.334, 0.3691, 0.3333, 0.3968, 0.386, 0.2917, 0.2695, 0.2783, 0.2616, 0.1728, 0.323, 0.2347, 0.2128, 0.1357, 0.1787, 0.1183, 0.1868, 0.1843, 0.2326, 0.3131, 0.335, 0.3891, 0.4085, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4528, 0.399, 0.4627, 0.4298, 0.4506, 0.4202, 0.3295, 0.3496, 0.3496, 0.2211, 0.2008, 0.2121, 0.1626, 0.2038, 0.2222]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1486955619919695872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-28T06:53:40+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're about to witness an unleashed @elonmusk with $TSLA pumping FCF and way past risk of insolvency. His earnings comments - shifting the paradigm towards FSD and Optimus - further support this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: Musk unleashed, FCF inflection, insolvency risk gone, FSD/Optimus as new growth drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $TSLA community is incredibly lucky to have great content being pushed out after a not-so-clear earnings by @robmaurer and @heydave7 - been watching both for years and recently the content has been next level\n\n---\n\nAfter watching the latest content from both - it\u2019s become more obvious to me that we\u2019re about to witness an unleashed @elonmusk with $TSLA pumping FCF and way past risk of insolvency. His earnings comments - shifting the paradigm towards FSD and Optimus - further support this", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020381638654930367, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020381638654930367, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0038518836595978767, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009546794745973752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024233522314528244, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021336318129527743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10677611383930952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10677611383930952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08876526803841944, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06831470521093874, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.018010845800890074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.038461408628370775, "ret_p1w": 0.09094349995061868, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09094349995061868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07567045613729584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05557028938479558, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01527304381332284, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0353732105658231, "ret_p1m": 0.028451606210419866, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028451606210419866, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04048938527195156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032213693080425765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012037779061531695, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037620868700058985, "ret_p3m": 0.041543100854906756, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.041543100854906756, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09445356546287598, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09596019947310597, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05291046460796922, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05441709861819921, "ret_p6m": -0.048502449969976436, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.048502449969976436, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04978267964117988, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0867529677460327, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.09828512961115632, "bench_c_p6m": -0.13525541771600913, "price_path": [0.3848, 0.4342, 0.4532, 0.444, 0.3741, 0.2093, 0.2618, 0.2566, 0.221, 0.1974, 0.2462, 0.2867, 0.2954, 0.3435, 0.3669, 0.3104, 0.3186, 0.3186, 0.2783, 0.3434, 0.3526, 0.2938, 0.2815, 0.1992, 0.1922, 0.2427, 0.263, 0.186, 0.2017, 0.1419, 0.1325, 0.1532, 0.0952, 0.1019, 0.0633, 0.1089, 0.192, 0.2607, 0.2607, 0.2925, 0.2861, 0.2834, 0.2647, 0.2486, 0.4176, 0.3583, 0.2857, 0.258, 0.2134, 0.2502, 0.2576, 0.307, 0.2188, 0.2402, 0.2402, 0.2176, 0.1764, 0.1771, 0.1153, 0.0988, 0.0851, 0.1076, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.1068, 0.1003, 0.0701, 0.0529, 0.0909, 0.0721, 0.0894, 0.1012, 0.0688, 0.0161, 0.0347, 0.0899, 0.091, 0.0354, 0.0126, 0.0126, -0.0293, -0.0973, -0.0539, -0.0431, 0.0285, 0.0213, 0.0396, -0.0083, -0.0095, -0.0494, -0.0259, 0.0149, -0.0095, -0.0603, -0.0945, -0.0525, -0.0072, 0.0298, 0.0698, 0.0884, 0.1744, 0.1805, 0.198, 0.1941, 0.2901, 0.2992, 0.2926, 0.2732, 0.2815, 0.3534, 0.2894, 0.2356, 0.2492, 0.2117, 0.1531, 0.1661, 0.208, 0.1638, 0.1638, 0.1866, 0.2148, 0.1546, 0.1919, 0.1875, 0.1792, 0.0355, 0.0415, 0.0368, 0.0288, 0.0669, 0.0743, 0.1256, 0.0318, 0.0228, -0.07, -0.0547, -0.1327, -0.1398, -0.0907, -0.1441, -0.1001, -0.1613, -0.1618, -0.2156, -0.2026, -0.2578, -0.2216, -0.1638, -0.1025, -0.1025, -0.1041, -0.1252, -0.0843, -0.1687, -0.1554, -0.1532, -0.1427, -0.1503, -0.1768, -0.2353, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.2446, -0.2317, -0.2317, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1668, -0.1291, -0.1318, -0.1753, -0.1901, -0.2043, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.1739, -0.1786, -0.1332, -0.1111, -0.1693, -0.1739, -0.1598, -0.1553, -0.1491, -0.1474, -0.1297, -0.1227, -0.0369, -0.035, -0.0485]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1558158011440320512", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-12T18:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rally into split. Bull flag and potential cup+handle forming too. Expect sell off post split to $250 (gap fill)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA into the stock split, then expects sell-off to $250 gap fill post-split.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CheddarFlow Rally into split. Bull flag and potential cup+handle forming too. Expect sell off post split to $250 (gap fill)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA is receiving the majority of bullish flow today https://t.co/VPhrqdFBen", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CheddarFlow", "ret_m1d": -0.04466218028531688, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04466218028531688, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028015073020474568, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022532942643443743, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01664710726484231, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022129237641873134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03096359891583922, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03096359891583922, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02684292954897516, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02407753522459677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00412066936686406, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00688606369124245, "ret_p1w": -0.011210019994135068, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011210019994135068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00040314458475432247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0027972485101261935, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01161316457888939, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014007268504261261, "ret_p1m": 0.014631919029092888, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014631919029092888, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052398142863082975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03411282761067713, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03776622383399009, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019480908581584244, "ret_p3m": -0.4080925338784991, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4080925338784991, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28766849597137834, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.186836982321837, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.12042403790712075, "bench_c_p3m": -0.2212555515566621, "ret_p6m": -0.35086492917629186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35086492917629186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3187954798040912, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2446411564552592, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03206944937220069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10622377272103267, "price_path": [-0.1539, -0.2114, -0.2118, -0.2624, -0.2502, -0.3021, -0.2681, -0.2137, -0.1561, -0.1561, -0.1576, -0.1774, -0.139, -0.2184, -0.2058, -0.2038, -0.1939, -0.2011, -0.226, -0.2809, -0.2638, -0.2234, -0.2897, -0.2775, -0.2775, -0.21, -0.2131, -0.2165, -0.1811, -0.1837, -0.2245, -0.2384, -0.2518, -0.2425, -0.2425, -0.2232, -0.2276, -0.1849, -0.1642, -0.2189, -0.2232, -0.2099, -0.2057, -0.1999, -0.1983, -0.1816, -0.1751, -0.0944, -0.0926, -0.1053, -0.1372, -0.084, -0.0638, -0.0096, -0.0092, 0.0019, 0.0246, 0.0287, -0.0395, -0.032, -0.0556, -0.0189, -0.0447, 0.0, 0.031, 0.0218, 0.0132, 0.0095, -0.0112, -0.0337, -0.0119, -0.0098, -0.0132, -0.0398, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0814, -0.0762, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0854, -0.0544, -0.0359, -0.0012, 0.0146, -0.0263, 0.0086, 0.0124, 0.0111, 0.0301, 0.029, 0.0026, -0.0381, -0.0823, -0.0801, -0.057, -0.0407, -0.1061, -0.1159, -0.1921, -0.1686, -0.1974, -0.2063, -0.2565, -0.2569, -0.2784, -0.2759, -0.261, -0.3168, -0.2689, -0.2661, -0.2599, -0.3091, -0.2853, -0.2959, -0.2587, -0.2513, -0.2498, -0.2383, -0.2416, -0.2407, -0.2835, -0.2824, -0.3085, -0.3431, -0.3624, -0.4081, -0.3643, -0.3468, -0.3636, -0.352, -0.377, -0.3895, -0.3994, -0.4405, -0.4337, -0.3894, -0.3894, -0.3905, -0.3903, -0.3973, -0.3511, -0.3511, -0.3505, -0.3919, -0.4007, -0.4199, -0.4219, -0.4032, -0.4407, -0.4636, -0.4774, -0.4745, -0.4993, -0.5005, -0.5407, -0.5415, -0.5822, -0.5895, -0.5895, -0.6364, -0.6243, -0.594, -0.5894, -0.5894, -0.6397, -0.6212, -0.6322, -0.6232, -0.6008, -0.6039, -0.5893, -0.5882, -0.592, -0.592, -0.5617, -0.5708, -0.5761, -0.5553, -0.5209, -0.5204, -0.5186, -0.4658, -0.4071, -0.4445, -0.4227, -0.3954, -0.3725, -0.3668, -0.3509]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1760571482911211949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-22T07:45:26+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA price target $1020 by 2026. Likely reaches that by 2025 2H", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "NVDA price target $1020 by 2026, possibly as early as 2H 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA price target $1020 by 2026. Likely reaches that by 2025 2H", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14090006216073436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14090006216073436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12062439003235814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07697399966611251, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02027567212837622, "bench_c_m1d": -0.06392606249462185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003552444656776954, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003552444656776954, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0028627669423944013, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009792606065514908, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0006896777143825528, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006240161408737954, "ret_p1w": 0.007308430482768635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007308430482768635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006165537750020489, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002313844508946783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011428927327481464, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009622274991715418, "ret_p1m": 0.20060877666800003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20060877666800003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17040290706701278, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.116247371957926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030205869600987256, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08436140471007403, "ret_p3m": 0.21457710531214258, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21457710531214258, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1643094118688817, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09672829418197026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.050267693443260875, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11784881113017232, "ret_p6m": 0.586442933384008, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.586442933384008, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48727818981751403, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4112415844053541, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09916474356649396, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17520134897865391, "price_path": [-0.3858, -0.3912, -0.3871, -0.4045, -0.4046, -0.4206, -0.4071, -0.4206, -0.4067, -0.3951, -0.4063, -0.3932, -0.3877, -0.3844, -0.3775, -0.3624, -0.3684, -0.3874, -0.3762, -0.3783, -0.3783, -0.3725, -0.3708, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3867, -0.3943, -0.3889, -0.3749, -0.3347, -0.3234, -0.308, -0.302, -0.3034, -0.3034, -0.2821, -0.2863, -0.2729, -0.2425, -0.2404, -0.2377, -0.2187, -0.2154, -0.2229, -0.2047, -0.2007, -0.2166, -0.1975, -0.1576, -0.1172, -0.1313, -0.1075, -0.1133, -0.0816, -0.0801, -0.0816, -0.0591, -0.0749, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.1157, -0.1409, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0071, 0.0021, -0.0111, 0.0073, 0.0476, 0.0853, 0.0946, 0.1294, 0.18, 0.1145, 0.0922, 0.1704, 0.1573, 0.1198, 0.1185, 0.1263, 0.1383, 0.1507, 0.1643, 0.2006, 0.2097, 0.1786, 0.1492, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.1506, 0.139, 0.1328, 0.0939, 0.1206, 0.1095, 0.0868, 0.1083, 0.1538, 0.1229, 0.0951, 0.1131, 0.07, 0.0781, -0.0297, 0.0125, 0.0495, 0.0146, 0.0522, 0.1172, 0.1174, 0.1002, 0.0574, 0.0927, 0.1306, 0.1732, 0.1531, 0.1512, 0.13, 0.1444, 0.1511, 0.1633, 0.205, 0.2015, 0.1776, 0.2069, 0.2146, 0.209, 0.3217, 0.3557, 0.3557, 0.4503, 0.4621, 0.407, 0.396, 0.4643, 0.4826, 0.5591, 0.5407, 0.5393, 0.5508, 0.5397, 0.5943, 0.6505, 0.6794, 0.6679, 0.7265, 0.7265, 0.6654, 0.6118, 0.5041, 0.6057, 0.6096, 0.5789, 0.5732, 0.5829, 0.5621, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.6024, 0.6325, 0.673, 0.718, 0.6224, 0.6458, 0.6356, 0.6091, 0.5025, 0.542, 0.5018, 0.5732, 0.5611, 0.4549, 0.4298, 0.4397, 0.421, 0.3209, 0.4902, 0.3907, 0.366, 0.2792, 0.3276, 0.2596, 0.3367, 0.3339, 0.3883, 0.479, 0.5037, 0.5645, 0.5864]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1715059600381358415", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-19T17:37:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "smooth sailing 2026+ when Giga Mexico is ramped and profitable", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TSLA long-term; expects choppy near-term but smooth sailing from 2026+ on Giga Mexico ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@farzyness Well said. 9-24 months of choppy waters ahead but smooth sailing 2026+ when Giga Mexico is ramped and profitable", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "My thoughts on Tesla's Q3 earnings.\n\nWhat a weird day. Who would've thought Cybertruck's delivery event would be announced during one of the most somber days in Tesla's recent history?\n\nThe good:\n\nCybertruck delivery date is official for November 30th. It doesn't feel real, but", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "farzyness", "ret_m1d": 0.10253960293873288, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10253960293873288, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09367537750633992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07631958338566314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008864225432392958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02622001955306974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036890623300491754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036890623300491754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02460254667970363, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02137889196411935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012288076620788124, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015511731336372403, "ret_p1w": -0.06519470293818519, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06519470293818519, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03264541304416857, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025994033240489434, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03254928989401662, "bench_c_p1w": -0.039200669697695756, "ret_p1m": 0.06446777702993156, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06446777702993156, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007342333894338582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02029316293284289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05712544313559298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08476093996277445, "ret_p3m": -0.0009086227235818312, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0009086227235818312, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11915910882066993, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1306516322989243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1182504860970881, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12974300957534246, "ret_p6m": -0.22288854401232738, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22288854401232738, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4294520637133339, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3769206316715499, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2065635197010065, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1540320876592225, "price_path": [0.2224, 0.2052, 0.201, 0.1617, 0.2105, 0.215, 0.1861, 0.1545, 0.1781, 0.1533, 0.1424, 0.1344, 0.1003, 0.1146, 0.1024, 0.0893, 0.0584, 0.0249, -0.004, -0.021, 0.0507, 0.0594, 0.0761, 0.0451, 0.084, 0.085, 0.1684, 0.1671, 0.1725, 0.1131, 0.1131, 0.1653, 0.1445, 0.1426, 0.129, 0.2429, 0.2152, 0.2326, 0.2541, 0.2466, 0.2052, 0.2108, 0.193, 0.1617, 0.1125, 0.1221, 0.1091, 0.0926, 0.1193, 0.1368, 0.1431, 0.12, 0.1865, 0.1815, 0.1836, 0.1797, 0.1977, 0.1948, 0.1761, 0.1409, 0.1536, 0.1578, 0.1025, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0365, -0.0163, -0.0349, -0.0652, -0.0582, -0.1034, -0.0875, -0.0656, -0.0073, -0.0007, -0.0038, 0.0094, 0.0091, -0.046, -0.0248, 0.0164, 0.0786, 0.1033, 0.0612, 0.0645, 0.0704, 0.0958, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0697, 0.0726, 0.1209, 0.1092, 0.0907, 0.085, 0.0703, 0.0845, 0.0875, 0.1024, 0.1078, 0.0892, 0.0768, 0.0871, 0.1406, 0.1517, 0.1452, 0.1686, 0.1228, 0.1562, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.1658, 0.1878, 0.1502, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.1286, 0.0833, 0.081, 0.079, 0.0924, 0.0675, 0.0628, 0.0323, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0009, -0.0207, -0.0374, -0.036, -0.0514, -0.0498, -0.0558, -0.1703, -0.1675, -0.1326, -0.1296, -0.1491, -0.142, -0.1463, -0.1774, -0.1591, -0.1478, -0.1388, -0.1206, -0.1453, -0.164, -0.1427, -0.0893, -0.0916, -0.0916, -0.1197, -0.1151, -0.1031, -0.1278, -0.0941, -0.0926, -0.0821, -0.0828, -0.0794, -0.1452, -0.1789, -0.1979, -0.1884, -0.2034, -0.1924, -0.1934, -0.23, -0.2617, -0.2569, -0.2104, -0.2217, -0.2019, -0.2148, -0.2239, -0.2157, -0.1928, -0.183, -0.2014, -0.2014, -0.2039, -0.243, -0.235, -0.2226, -0.2508, -0.2141, -0.1964, -0.2197, -0.2068, -0.2229]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1705267472046399593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-22T17:07:02+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't expect this to last. If anything, next week will provide a short bounce upward until Oct 2 deliveries. Sub 220 likely by Oct 20", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: expects only a brief bounce before dropping below $220 by Oct 20.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Maverick0087367 @BCalusinski Yea it's sitting at 50ma, but it's one of the only - other than GOOG - of Mag7 that's still above 50ma. I don't expect this to last. If anything, next week will provide a short bounce upward until Oct 2 deliveries. Sub 220 likely by Oct 20", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @BCalusinski TSLA now sitting on strong support level and 50ma. Expect a st bounce tmw.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Maverick0087367", "ret_m1d": 0.044184873610271236, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.044184873610271236, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04193131704258546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03424271834925352, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002253556567685777, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009942155261017716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008616467528091087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008616467528091087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004411384224840109, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024647408106517332, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205083303250978, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006151726717439354, "ret_p1w": 0.021806583761079468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021806583761079468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028637256503454056, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021496054756334537, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006830672742374588, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003105290047449305, "ret_p1m": -0.13394316562291098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13394316562291098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11080295509443927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.077645263765177, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023140210528471705, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05629790185773398, "ret_p3m": 0.009228987511322062, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009228987511322062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08309595094342481, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09944299957810543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09232493845474687, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10867198708942749, "ret_p6m": -0.2902646210950137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2902646210950137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49034647417860366, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40709099530685755, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20008185308358994, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11682637421184383, "price_path": [0.0218, 0.0464, 0.0515, 0.069, 0.1427, 0.1427, 0.1535, 0.1293, 0.1207, 0.101, 0.1017, 0.1107, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1858, 0.1979, 0.1894, 0.0736, 0.0618, 0.0987, 0.0833, 0.0795, 0.0442, 0.088, 0.0921, 0.0661, 0.0377, 0.059, 0.0367, 0.0268, 0.0197, -0.011, 0.0019, -0.0091, -0.0209, -0.0487, -0.0787, -0.1048, -0.12, -0.0555, -0.0477, -0.0328, -0.0606, -0.0257, -0.0247, 0.0502, 0.0491, 0.0539, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0474, 0.0287, 0.027, 0.0148, 0.1172, 0.0923, 0.1079, 0.1272, 0.1205, 0.0833, 0.0883, 0.0723, 0.0442, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0031, -0.0179, 0.0061, 0.0218, 0.0274, 0.0067, 0.0665, 0.0619, 0.0639, 0.0604, 0.0765, 0.074, 0.0571, 0.0255, 0.0369, 0.0407, -0.009, -0.1012, -0.1343, -0.1339, -0.1158, -0.1326, -0.1598, -0.1535, -0.1941, -0.1798, -0.1602, -0.1077, -0.1018, -0.1046, -0.0927, -0.093, -0.1425, -0.1234, -0.0865, -0.0305, -0.0083, -0.0461, -0.0432, -0.0379, -0.015, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0385, -0.0359, 0.0075, -0.003, -0.0196, -0.0247, -0.038, -0.0252, -0.0225, -0.0091, -0.0042, -0.021, -0.0321, -0.0228, 0.0252, 0.0352, 0.0294, 0.0504, 0.0092, 0.0393, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0479, 0.0676, 0.0339, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0145, -0.0263, -0.0284, -0.0302, -0.0181, -0.0405, -0.0447, -0.0721, -0.1061, -0.1061, -0.102, -0.1198, -0.1348, -0.1335, -0.1473, -0.1459, -0.1513, -0.2542, -0.2517, -0.2203, -0.2176, -0.2352, -0.2288, -0.2326, -0.2606, -0.2441, -0.234, -0.2259, -0.2095, -0.2317, -0.2485, -0.2294, -0.1814, -0.1835, -0.1835, -0.2088, -0.2046, -0.1939, -0.2161, -0.1857, -0.1844, -0.1749, -0.1756, -0.1725, -0.2317, -0.2619, -0.2791, -0.2705, -0.284, -0.2741, -0.275, -0.3079, -0.3364, -0.332, -0.2903]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1605999969348964358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-22T18:53:25+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We can easily re-test 100 with this downward pressure", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA could re-test $100 on continued downward pressure; short-term bearish but long-term holders should stay in.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@farzyness No. We can easily re-test 100 with this downward pressure. Long term investors shouldn't waver (avoid margin though)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Are we reaching maximum fear? $TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "farzyness", "ret_m1d": 0.09748710808816252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09748710808816252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08301456148519959, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0711160506580033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014472546602962932, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026371057430159217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017550833466474902, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017550833466474902, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023302977779717793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024396283447593703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005752144313242891, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006845449981118801, "ret_p1w": -0.028161139387852918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028161139387852918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03530539409999078, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035628969555295376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007144254712137865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467830167442457, "ret_p1m": 0.06437973508623762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06437973508623762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024560477823834637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01675577627271929, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039819257262402985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08113551135895691, "ret_p3m": 0.5762265994111337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5762265994111337, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5244500260646672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4414639024465945, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05177657334646657, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13476269696453924, "ret_p6m": 1.0785002929115408, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0785002929115408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9155043081161389, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7802684212138558, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1629959847954019, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29823187169768506, "price_path": [1.2019, 1.2572, 1.2961, 1.1397, 1.1161, 0.9338, 0.9899, 0.9211, 0.8997, 0.7796, 0.7787, 0.7272, 0.7331, 0.7688, 0.6353, 0.7499, 0.7566, 0.7714, 0.6536, 0.7107, 0.6853, 0.7744, 0.7921, 0.7957, 0.8231, 0.8152, 0.8175, 0.715, 0.7177, 0.6551, 0.5722, 0.5261, 0.4168, 0.5215, 0.5634, 0.5233, 0.551, 0.4912, 0.4613, 0.4375, 0.3392, 0.3555, 0.4615, 0.4615, 0.4588, 0.4593, 0.4426, 0.5533, 0.5533, 0.5545, 0.4555, 0.4345, 0.3884, 0.3836, 0.4284, 0.3388, 0.284, 0.2509, 0.2578, 0.1985, 0.1956, 0.0993, 0.0975, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.1296, -0.1008, -0.0282, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.1376, -0.0934, -0.1197, -0.098, -0.0445, -0.0519, -0.017, -0.0143, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.049, 0.0274, 0.0145, 0.0644, 0.1468, 0.1479, 0.1522, 0.2786, 0.4192, 0.3296, 0.3819, 0.4472, 0.502, 0.5156, 0.5537, 0.5701, 0.6058, 0.6539, 0.5707, 0.5528, 0.6693, 0.7091, 0.6118, 0.6618, 0.6618, 0.5746, 0.6024, 0.612, 0.5706, 0.6564, 0.6411, 0.6176, 0.5229, 0.5779, 0.5462, 0.4975, 0.4519, 0.3795, 0.3836, 0.3919, 0.462, 0.4396, 0.4689, 0.437, 0.4619, 0.5762, 0.5249, 0.5335, 0.519, 0.5302, 0.5093, 0.5467, 0.5579, 0.655, 0.5538, 0.5363, 0.48, 0.4763, 0.4763, 0.472, 0.4901, 0.4403, 0.483, 0.4759, 0.4921, 0.4704, 0.4407, 0.3003, 0.317, 0.2968, 0.2818, 0.2266, 0.2779, 0.3108, 0.291, 0.2789, 0.2813, 0.286, 0.3567, 0.3705, 0.3494, 0.3446, 0.3728, 0.3401, 0.3271, 0.3284, 0.387, 0.4112, 0.4371, 0.5067, 0.482, 0.4591, 0.4716, 0.541, 0.541, 0.6048, 0.6269, 0.6555, 0.707, 0.736, 0.7655, 0.7915, 0.8736, 0.9497, 0.9931, 1.0639, 1.0486, 1.0415, 1.0785]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1734321459135439196", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-11T21:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a revision downwards to sub 0.60ish seems warranted from the points you mentioned", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author endorses below-consensus TSLA 4Q23 EPS estimate ~$0.57-0.60, down from prior $0.67; implied bearish into the print.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alojoh Seems reasonable to me. I was at 0.67 EPS months ago but a revision downwards to sub 0.60ish seems warranted from the points you mentioned", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I estimate Tesla's 4Q 2023 EPS to come in at $0.57 on the back of 484K deliveries. This represents -14% vs 3Q's EPS of $0.66. \n\nConsideration (inter alia): \nThe reduction in EPS, despite a 11.2% increased in deliveries, is driven primarily by Tesla's singificnat inventory https://t.co/aydcyooRNM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alojoh", "ret_m1d": 0.017101821768513492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017101821768513492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020976276936033655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019750981785367827, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038744551675201633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002649160016854335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011387381846063915, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011387381846063915, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01595471651981395, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014496922114399569, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004567334673750034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031095402683356532, "ret_p1w": 0.051472412009444524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051472412009444524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025728125369002264, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01305030701134946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02574428664044226, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038422104998095064, "ret_p1m": -0.019938260906702032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019938260906702032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049833622948340706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028996053968290747, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029895362041638673, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057793061588715, "ret_p3m": -0.2548177617290561, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2548177617290561, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.37366728052638587, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29889325009588763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11884951879732975, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044075488366831506, "ret_p6m": -0.27100191762761794, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27100191762761794, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4229332127670957, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28896437259544117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15193129513947778, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017962454967823227, "price_path": [0.1316, 0.1514, 0.1445, 0.1065, 0.1116, 0.0953, 0.0666, 0.0214, 0.0302, 0.0183, 0.0032, 0.0277, 0.0437, 0.0495, 0.0283, 0.0893, 0.0847, 0.0867, 0.0831, 0.0996, 0.097, 0.0798, 0.0475, 0.0591, 0.063, 0.0123, -0.0819, -0.1158, -0.1154, -0.0969, -0.114, -0.1417, -0.1353, -0.1768, -0.1623, -0.1422, -0.0886, -0.0825, -0.0854, -0.0732, -0.0735, -0.1241, -0.1047, -0.0669, -0.0097, 0.0129, -0.0257, -0.0227, -0.0173, 0.0061, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0179, -0.0153, 0.0291, 0.0184, 0.0014, -0.0038, -0.0174, -0.0043, -0.0015, 0.0121, 0.0171, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0019, 0.0472, 0.0574, 0.0515, 0.0729, 0.0309, 0.0616, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0704, 0.0905, 0.0561, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0362, -0.0054, -0.0075, -0.0094, 0.003, -0.0199, -0.0242, -0.0522, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0827, -0.1009, -0.1162, -0.1149, -0.1291, -0.1276, -0.1331, -0.2382, -0.2356, -0.2036, -0.2008, -0.2188, -0.2122, -0.2162, -0.2448, -0.2279, -0.2176, -0.2093, -0.1926, -0.2153, -0.2324, -0.2129, -0.1639, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1918, -0.1876, -0.1766, -0.1993, -0.1683, -0.1669, -0.1573, -0.1579, -0.1548, -0.2152, -0.2461, -0.2636, -0.2548, -0.2686, -0.2585, -0.2594, -0.2931, -0.3222, -0.3177, -0.275, -0.2854, -0.2673, -0.2791, -0.2874, -0.2799, -0.2589, -0.2499, -0.2667, -0.2667, -0.2691, -0.305, -0.2977, -0.2863, -0.3122, -0.2785, -0.2622, -0.2836, -0.2717, -0.2865, -0.3264, -0.3447, -0.3516, -0.3746, -0.3866, -0.4075, -0.3965, -0.3237, -0.2901, -0.298, -0.1906, -0.2355, -0.2492, -0.2491, -0.2442, -0.2293, -0.2583, -0.2712, -0.2827, -0.2973, -0.283, -0.2594, -0.2743, -0.2707, -0.2598, -0.2703, -0.2217, -0.2487, -0.2753, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2627, -0.2651, -0.2542, -0.2572, -0.2647, -0.271]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1717211018403934255", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-25T16:06:25+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA will get squeezed tighter on valuation/value proposition than most companies (being part of Mag7) due to higher for longer rates", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: higher-for-longer rates will squeeze valuation/value proposition more than most Mag7 peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AaronSmet Oversimplified view on a larger macro backdrop. $TSLA will get squeezed tighter on valuation/value proposition than most companies (being part of Mag7) due to higher for longer rates", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Let me get this straight: I own the world's top EV business, $TSLA, and despite the high-interest-rate environment, it's still growing revenue and deliveries YoY.\n\nThey've also expanded their energy business to achieve a $0.5 billion quarterly profit, and they've exponentially", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AaronSmet", "ret_m1d": 0.01930141295008747, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01930141295008747, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004740253456186672, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0013118984237776576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145611594939008, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02061331137386513, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031352997455599385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031352997455599385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019378388982196126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01572707492487424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011974608473403259, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015625922530725145, "ret_p1w": -0.03182371982443699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03182371982443699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04406163576842814, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055695111920064266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012237915943991151, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023871392095627275, "ret_p1m": 0.10257983585703401, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10257983585703401, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012842131418614011, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015047816499724531, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08973770443842, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11762765235675854, "ret_p3m": -0.017041686980471482, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017041686980471482, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17956136152278623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17690257582102187, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16251967454231475, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15986088884055039, "ret_p6m": -0.29418136725273625, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29418136725273625, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4990755986324418, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.43747611614310977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20489423137970553, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14329474889037352, "price_path": [0.2543, 0.259, 0.229, 0.1963, 0.2208, 0.1951, 0.1837, 0.1755, 0.1401, 0.155, 0.1423, 0.1287, 0.0967, 0.062, 0.032, 0.0145, 0.0888, 0.0978, 0.1151, 0.0829, 0.1232, 0.1243, 0.2107, 0.2094, 0.215, 0.1534, 0.1534, 0.2075, 0.186, 0.1839, 0.1699, 0.2879, 0.2592, 0.2772, 0.2995, 0.2917, 0.2488, 0.2546, 0.2362, 0.2037, 0.1528, 0.1627, 0.1492, 0.1322, 0.1599, 0.1779, 0.1844, 0.1606, 0.2295, 0.2242, 0.2265, 0.2224, 0.241, 0.2381, 0.2187, 0.1822, 0.1954, 0.1997, 0.1425, 0.0362, -0.002, -0.0016, 0.0193, 0.0, -0.0314, -0.0241, -0.0709, -0.0545, -0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0355, 0.0322, 0.0459, 0.0456, -0.0115, 0.0105, 0.0531, 0.1176, 0.1432, 0.0997, 0.103, 0.1091, 0.1355, 0.1026, 0.1026, 0.1084, 0.1114, 0.1615, 0.1493, 0.1302, 0.1243, 0.109, 0.1238, 0.1269, 0.1423, 0.1479, 0.1286, 0.1158, 0.1265, 0.1819, 0.1934, 0.1867, 0.2109, 0.1634, 0.1981, 0.1889, 0.1889, 0.208, 0.2308, 0.1919, 0.1698, 0.1698, 0.1695, 0.1225, 0.1201, 0.118, 0.132, 0.1061, 0.1013, 0.0697, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0353, 0.0147, -0.0025, -0.0011, -0.017, -0.0154, -0.0216, -0.1402, -0.1373, -0.1012, -0.0981, -0.1183, -0.1109, -0.1154, -0.1476, -0.1286, -0.1169, -0.1076, -0.0887, -0.1143, -0.1337, -0.1116, -0.0564, -0.0587, -0.0587, -0.0878, -0.0831, -0.0707, -0.0963, -0.0613, -0.0597, -0.0489, -0.0496, -0.046, -0.1143, -0.1491, -0.1689, -0.159, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1642, -0.2021, -0.235, -0.23, -0.1818, -0.1935, -0.1731, -0.1864, -0.1958, -0.1873, -0.1636, -0.1534, -0.1724, -0.1724, -0.1751, -0.2156, -0.2073, -0.1945, -0.2237, -0.1857, -0.1673, -0.1914, -0.178, -0.1948, -0.2398, -0.2604, -0.2682, -0.2942]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1621265735824859136", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-02T21:54:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for 2023 I'm expecting $220 (around 4.40 EPS at 50x)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "2023 TSLA PT $220 on 4.40 EPS at 50x; expects large $75\u2013$315 trading range for the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Didn't try forecasting a 2022 $TSLA price target, but for 2023 I'm expecting $220 (around 4.40 EPS at 50x). I expect an equally large trading range of $240 between $75-$315 which is mostly technical. My 2021 PT was within 1% of the ATH of $1243 presplit https://t.co/9qiAgVBWa7\n\n---\n\nI also think we're near a short-term high - $195 and $207 were my options sell targets this week and next. Mid-Feb macro data (CPI, fed minutes) will likely determine next leg up/down before we head into March 1 $TSLA investor day which I'm stoked for\n\n---\n\nWas within $25 on low/high end of these ranges. It\u2019s a wide range, yes, but still accurately predicted the price volatility. I expect more in 2024. Will post my 2024 price target range after Q1 earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03643703433725898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03643703433725898, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02208905004237771, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006724035046961618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014347984294881266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02971299929029736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009082654784473565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009082654784473565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019711809710135197, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03988421303684131, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010629154925661632, "bench_c_p1d": -0.030801558252367744, "ret_p1w": 0.10118448302677563, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10118448302677563, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12443427000066831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1412073550185493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023249786973892683, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04002287199177368, "ret_p1m": 0.05056561745170374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05056561745170374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08077354437542339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11364197467019155, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.030207926923719652, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06307635721848781, "ret_p3m": -0.14851015073757567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14851015073757567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13802008528532328, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08983473354870941, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010490065452252395, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05867541718886626, "ret_p6m": 0.4152015530621602, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4152015530621602, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3106197884635704, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3032923082255836, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10458176459858981, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1119092448365766, "price_path": [0.0468, 0.0161, -0.0567, 0.013, 0.0409, 0.0142, 0.0327, -0.0072, -0.0271, -0.0429, -0.1084, -0.0975, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0287, -0.0284, -0.0395, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.035, -0.0309, -0.0449, -0.0756, -0.0788, -0.049, -0.1086, -0.1451, -0.1672, -0.1625, -0.2021, -0.204, -0.2681, -0.2693, -0.3342, -0.3459, -0.3459, -0.4205, -0.4013, -0.353, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.4258, -0.3964, -0.4139, -0.3995, -0.3638, -0.3687, -0.3455, -0.3437, -0.3499, -0.3499, -0.3016, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.2913, -0.2365, -0.2357, -0.2329, -0.1487, -0.0551, -0.1148, -0.0799, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0345, 0.0454, 0.0692, 0.1012, 0.0458, 0.0338, 0.1114, 0.1379, 0.0731, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0483, 0.0669, 0.0733, 0.0457, 0.1028, 0.0926, 0.077, 0.014, 0.0506, 0.0294, -0.003, -0.0333, -0.0815, -0.0788, -0.0732, -0.0266, -0.0415, -0.022, -0.0432, -0.0267, 0.0495, 0.0153, 0.021, 0.0114, 0.0188, 0.0049, 0.0298, 0.0372, 0.1019, 0.0345, 0.0229, -0.0146, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.02, -0.0079, -0.0411, -0.0126, -0.0174, -0.0065, -0.021, -0.0408, -0.1343, -0.1232, -0.1366, -0.1466, -0.1834, -0.1491, -0.1273, -0.1404, -0.1485, -0.1469, -0.1438, -0.0967, -0.0875, -0.1016, -0.1048, -0.086, -0.1078, -0.1164, -0.1155, -0.0765, -0.0604, -0.0432, 0.0032, -0.0133, -0.0285, -0.0202, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0685, 0.0832, 0.1022, 0.1365, 0.1558, 0.1755, 0.1928, 0.2475, 0.2981, 0.327, 0.3741, 0.3639, 0.3592, 0.3839, 0.3839, 0.4577, 0.3781, 0.4055, 0.3629, 0.2803, 0.329, 0.361, 0.3677, 0.3904, 0.4863, 0.4863, 0.5004, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.432, 0.433, 0.4447, 0.4761, 0.4946, 0.5424, 0.5581, 0.547, 0.3964, 0.3811, 0.4291, 0.409, 0.4041, 0.3582, 0.4152]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1735439092438225107", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-14T23:18:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "discounting multiples to 50x would seem reasonable and at 4.30 EPS (which would come down if deliveries are closer to 2.2m) that's $215", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Below-consensus TSLA valuation: lower deliveries + 50x multiple implies ~$215, below current $250 price.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate the analysis Gary. I think 2.4m next year seems like a stretch (@robmaurer and others are well below that), so discounting multiples to 50x would seem reasonable and at 4.30 EPS (which would come down if deliveries are closer to 2.2m) that's $215. This also assumes auto margins ex-RC have bottomed + no more price cuts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA @ $250 now trades at 58x my 2024 Adj EPS of $4.30.  Is that expensive or cheap? I think it\u2019s cheap relative to +28% vol growth and +32% EPS growth between now and 2030 (TSLA 1.8x PEG vs $AAPL at 3.0x PEG). \n\nI expect global EV adoption to grow from 13% currently to 60% by", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.04684329664477438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04684329664477438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04364414777672654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.033591229417230695, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003199148868047841, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013252067227543685, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009758999874367902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009758999874367902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011405499961081977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007690095570512145, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016465000867140756, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0020689043038557564, "ret_p1w": 0.013742270090834952, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013742270090834952, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00822018468414587, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.000918234008001173, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005522085406689081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012824036082833778, "ret_p1m": -0.1281019847487478, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1281019847487478, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14209043176645075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10255504082056643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013988447017702965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025546943928181354, "ret_p3m": -0.29281023251160754, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29281023251160754, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39209897702527496, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3087710731494453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09928874451366743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01596084063783776, "ret_p6m": -0.29304921899981484, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29304921899981484, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4325186622954831, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.29039601821270444, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13946944329566824, "bench_c_p6m": -0.002653200787110399, "price_path": [0.0567, 0.0615, 0.046, 0.0185, -0.0246, -0.0162, -0.0276, -0.042, -0.0186, -0.0033, 0.0022, -0.018, 0.0403, 0.0358, 0.0378, 0.0343, 0.0501, 0.0476, 0.0311, 0.0003, 0.0114, 0.0151, -0.0333, -0.1232, -0.1556, -0.1552, -0.1375, -0.1539, -0.1804, -0.1743, -0.2139, -0.2, -0.1808, -0.1296, -0.1238, -0.1266, -0.115, -0.1153, -0.1636, -0.145, -0.1089, -0.0543, -0.0327, -0.0695, -0.0667, -0.0615, -0.0392, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0621, -0.0596, -0.0172, -0.0275, -0.0437, -0.0487, -0.0616, -0.0491, -0.0465, -0.0335, -0.0287, -0.0451, -0.0559, -0.0468, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0041, 0.0246, -0.0156, 0.0137, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0221, 0.0414, 0.0085, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0105, -0.0502, -0.0523, -0.054, -0.0422, -0.0641, -0.0682, -0.0949, -0.1281, -0.1281, -0.124, -0.1414, -0.156, -0.1548, -0.1683, -0.1669, -0.1722, -0.2725, -0.2701, -0.2395, -0.2368, -0.254, -0.2477, -0.2515, -0.2788, -0.2627, -0.2528, -0.2449, -0.229, -0.2506, -0.267, -0.2483, -0.2016, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2282, -0.2242, -0.2137, -0.2353, -0.2057, -0.2044, -0.1952, -0.1959, -0.1928, -0.2506, -0.2801, -0.2968, -0.2884, -0.3016, -0.2919, -0.2928, -0.3249, -0.3527, -0.3485, -0.3077, -0.3176, -0.3003, -0.3116, -0.3195, -0.3124, -0.2923, -0.2837, -0.2998, -0.2998, -0.3021, -0.3363, -0.3293, -0.3184, -0.3432, -0.311, -0.2954, -0.3158, -0.3045, -0.3187, -0.3568, -0.3742, -0.3808, -0.4028, -0.4143, -0.4342, -0.4237, -0.3542, -0.3221, -0.3297, -0.227, -0.2699, -0.2831, -0.283, -0.2783, -0.2641, -0.2917, -0.304, -0.315, -0.3289, -0.3153, -0.2928, -0.307, -0.3036, -0.2931, -0.3031, -0.2567, -0.2826, -0.3079, -0.286, -0.286, -0.296, -0.2982, -0.2878, -0.2907, -0.2978, -0.3038, -0.3029, -0.2912, -0.293]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1745590326495158720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-11T23:35:39+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we likely going to fill that $147 gap by EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; expects price to fill the $147 gap by EOY on unfinished margin deterioration.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 I\u2019m at 0.66 eps and I do not think auto margins have bottomed yet. Unfortunately, we likely going to fill that $147 gap by EOY. Writing calls above $250 has been the best way to navigate these turbulent years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "There are three numbers that matter when $TSLA reports 4Q earnings on 1/24 (and WS consensus estimates):\n- 4Q Adj EPS $.73E -39% YoY.   \n- 4Q Auto GM% ex-RC 17.0%E (16.3% 3Q).\n- FY\u201924 delivs 2,195K Est +21.4%YoY. \n\nI think WS\u2019s 4Q auto GM% est is high at 17.0%.  I am at 16.0% for", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.02957486658129116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02957486658129116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02913401306729635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028268647083075082, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00044085351399481, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013062194982160769, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036660513098772496, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036660513098772496, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0373533581390586, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024620438627216967, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0006928450402861053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012040074471555529, "ret_p1w": -0.06751164622603179, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06751164622603179, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06780550468302338, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.051268990895771305, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002938584569915914, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01624265533026048, "ret_p1m": -0.148094330233717, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.148094330233717, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2002617766280823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16978891313630973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052167446394365324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02169458290259274, "ret_p3m": -0.22154738168931887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22154738168931887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3151414318981697, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2539480896671752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09359405020885081, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032400707977856325, "ret_p6m": 0.10694482405250394, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10694482405250394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06479470807927923, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02720582421164175, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17173953213178317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07973899984086219, "price_path": [0.1175, 0.1216, 0.068, -0.0313, -0.067, -0.0666, -0.0471, -0.0651, -0.0944, -0.0877, -0.1314, -0.1161, -0.0949, -0.0383, -0.032, -0.035, -0.0222, -0.0225, -0.0759, -0.0553, -0.0154, 0.0448, 0.0687, 0.028, 0.0312, 0.0369, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0362, 0.039, 0.0858, 0.0745, 0.0566, 0.0511, 0.0368, 0.0506, 0.0535, 0.0679, 0.0731, 0.0551, 0.0431, 0.0531, 0.1049, 0.1157, 0.1094, 0.132, 0.0877, 0.1201, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.1293, 0.1506, 0.1143, 0.0936, 0.0936, 0.0933, 0.0494, 0.0471, 0.0452, 0.0582, 0.0341, 0.0296, 0.0, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0514, -0.0675, -0.0661, -0.0811, -0.0796, -0.0853, -0.1962, -0.1935, -0.1597, -0.1568, -0.1757, -0.1688, -0.173, -0.2032, -0.1854, -0.1745, -0.1657, -0.1481, -0.172, -0.1901, -0.1695, -0.1178, -0.12, -0.12, -0.1473, -0.1428, -0.1312, -0.1551, -0.1224, -0.121, -0.1108, -0.1115, -0.1082, -0.172, -0.2046, -0.223, -0.2138, -0.2283, -0.2176, -0.2186, -0.2541, -0.2848, -0.2801, -0.2351, -0.246, -0.2269, -0.2394, -0.2482, -0.2403, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2289, -0.2667, -0.259, -0.2469, -0.2743, -0.2387, -0.2215, -0.2441, -0.2316, -0.2472, -0.2893, -0.3086, -0.3159, -0.3402, -0.3528, -0.3748, -0.3633, -0.2865, -0.251, -0.2594, -0.146, -0.1934, -0.2079, -0.2078, -0.2026, -0.1869, -0.2175, -0.2311, -0.2432, -0.2586, -0.2435, -0.2186, -0.2343, -0.2305, -0.219, -0.23, -0.1788, -0.2073, -0.2354, -0.2112, -0.2112, -0.2221, -0.2246, -0.2131, -0.2163, -0.2241, -0.2308, -0.2298, -0.2169, -0.2189, -0.2351, -0.2489, -0.2197, -0.1969, -0.2166, -0.1751, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.2009, -0.1946, -0.1965, -0.1755, -0.1358, -0.1312, -0.1291, -0.0764, 0.0178, 0.0844, 0.0844, 0.1069]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1750619874542670275", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-25T20:41:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "More price cuts imminent to fulfill mission statement", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "More TSLA price cuts imminent, implying continued margin pressure ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@heydave7 I think grow at any cost is still in play. Record cash balance and high FCF. More price cuts imminent to fulfill mission statement", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "TSLA stock a mess today. Here\u2019s how I look at it. Two main issues:\n1. Long limbo\n2. Margins\n\nLong Limbo - With the next-gen low cost vehicle not starting production until 2nd half of 2025 we have a long period where Model Y has finished ramping and Tesla doesn\u2019t have new products https://t.co/RLBqbcvIT2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "heydave7", "ret_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13798388147890694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14339347305641337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12546185884405592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005409591577506423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012522022634851027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033948152034783963, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004665161971329046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001169351131914187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012703467678506497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004564166335392583, "ret_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034112662547080674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03171525328088065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014744390409140662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023974092662000235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019368272137940012, "ret_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05114163110209513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010529471870479146, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009654170905785131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040612159231615985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06079580200788026, "ret_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20779724685098977, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24712081145263032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21959272612257574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03932356460164055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011795479271585974, "ret_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30975190578201395, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17770607049351428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20604200340087164, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13204583528849967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1037099023811423, "price_path": [0.0807, 0.0997, 0.1261, 0.1965, 0.2044, 0.2006, 0.2166, 0.2162, 0.1498, 0.1753, 0.2249, 0.3, 0.3297, 0.279, 0.2829, 0.29, 0.3207, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2892, 0.2927, 0.3509, 0.3368, 0.3146, 0.3077, 0.2899, 0.3071, 0.3107, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.3127, 0.2978, 0.3102, 0.3746, 0.3881, 0.3803, 0.4084, 0.3532, 0.3935, 0.3828, 0.3828, 0.4051, 0.4315, 0.3863, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3602, 0.3056, 0.3028, 0.3004, 0.3166, 0.2865, 0.281, 0.2442, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.2041, 0.1803, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.1433, 0.1452, 0.138, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0454, 0.0491, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0289, -0.0086, 0.0135, 0.0271, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0333, 0.0976, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0809, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.0936, 0.1063, 0.1054, 0.1096, 0.0302, -0.0103, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0399, -0.0266, -0.0279, -0.072, -0.1102, -0.1044, -0.0483, -0.0619, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0406, -0.0876, -0.078, -0.0631, -0.0971, -0.0528, -0.0315, -0.0595, -0.044, -0.0634, -0.1158, -0.1397, -0.1488, -0.1791, -0.1948, -0.2222, -0.2078, -0.1122, -0.0682, -0.0785, 0.0625, 0.0036, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.0079, 0.0117, -0.0264, -0.0433, -0.0584, -0.0775, -0.0588, -0.0278, -0.0473, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0421, 0.0217, -0.0138, -0.0487, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0322, -0.0353, -0.021, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.043, -0.0418, -0.0257, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0655, -0.0292, -0.0009, -0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0258, 0.0752, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.1491, 0.2663, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3772, 0.385, 0.4364, 0.4415, 0.3198, 0.3592, 0.3833, 0.4048, 0.3607, 0.3647, 0.3098]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1262162037032927232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-05-17T23:24:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Will probably be worth $1m by 2030", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: 65 shares will reach ~$1M by 2030, ahead of parent's 2035 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@tesla4k Funny I just said this to a friend today. Same number (65 shares). Will probably be worth $1m by 2030.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you own and hold 65 $TSLA stocks, you will be a millionaire by 2035.\n\nDo not panic when the stock is volatile.\nDo not try and time the market.\nHave patience.\nHold.\n\nThank me in 2035.\n\n(Not investment advice etc.)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tesla4k", "ret_m1d": -0.017772218789855798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017772218789855798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011787069719225496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01869008370383385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.029559288509081294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03646230249368965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006907343337870575, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006907343337870575, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00336420584834618, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003319478540430909, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010271549186216755, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003587864797439666, "ret_p1w": 0.003994453983570789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003994453983570789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0025029906501834454, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007520059327146944, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.001491463333387344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011514513310717733, "ret_p1m": 0.20709659429159766, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20709659429159766, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14621545040348005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12916575180561174, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.060881143888117606, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07793084248598592, "ret_p3m": 0.9923060450242858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9923060450242858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8454850800442455, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7913505997695294, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14682096498004027, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2009554452547564, "ret_p6m": 1.5217850633807846, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5217850633807846, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.3115430891258297, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2502169105223744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21024197425495483, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2715681528584102, "price_path": [0.1276, 0.1054, 0.1074, 0.0248, -0.0169, -0.0428, -0.1655, -0.179, -0.086, -0.0837, -0.0788, -0.1095, -0.1354, -0.2527, -0.2069, -0.2205, -0.3111, -0.3282, -0.453, -0.4713, -0.556, -0.4744, -0.4745, -0.4662, -0.3793, -0.3372, -0.3509, -0.3678, -0.3829, -0.356, -0.4081, -0.4414, -0.41, -0.3655, -0.3296, -0.3254, -0.2957, -0.2957, -0.1999, -0.1275, -0.103, -0.0841, -0.0734, -0.0827, -0.156, -0.1002, -0.1327, -0.1087, -0.0183, -0.0547, -0.0161, -0.039, -0.138, -0.0645, -0.0558, -0.0382, -0.0413, 0.0071, -0.0029, -0.0052, -0.0279, -0.0127, -0.0178, 0.0, -0.0069, 0.0024, 0.0172, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0064, 0.0081, -0.0096, 0.0263, 0.1038, 0.0835, 0.0852, 0.0624, 0.0885, 0.1675, 0.1561, 0.2598, 0.1957, 0.1495, 0.2179, 0.2071, 0.219, 0.2339, 0.2302, 0.2221, 0.2312, 0.1809, 0.2118, 0.1796, 0.2406, 0.3272, 0.3761, 0.4855, 0.4855, 0.6858, 0.7082, 0.6787, 0.7137, 0.8985, 0.84, 0.8642, 0.9001, 0.8444, 0.8446, 1.0193, 0.9276, 0.9571, 0.8597, 0.7416, 0.8923, 0.8147, 0.8425, 0.8282, 0.7585, 0.8252, 0.8276, 0.8252, 0.8308, 0.7855, 0.7435, 0.6892, 0.9109, 0.9923, 1.0288, 1.2561, 1.3193, 1.3088, 1.4604, 1.5195, 1.4756, 1.4868, 1.6464, 1.7516, 1.7204, 2.0623, 1.9193, 1.7492, 1.5011, 1.5707, 1.5707, 1.0292, 1.2509, 1.282, 1.2905, 1.5787, 1.7639, 1.7147, 1.6021, 1.7171, 1.7616, 1.607, 1.3374, 1.3831, 1.5032, 1.5884, 1.5753, 1.6364, 1.7541, 1.5509, 1.6159, 1.544, 1.6136, 1.6174, 1.6671, 1.7181, 1.7448, 1.8348, 1.7585, 1.7019, 1.6476, 1.5929, 1.5972, 1.6166, 1.5849, 1.5827, 1.6098, 1.4951, 1.5247, 1.3846, 1.4613, 1.605, 1.587, 1.6922, 1.6422, 1.5888, 1.5218]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1749511283639246972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-22T19:16:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting $146 gap fill by EOY still", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects TSLA to fill the $146 gap by EOY based on harmonic bear bat patterns and diamond top formation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Two large harmonic bear bat patterns formed in the past 2 years since $TSLA ATH in 2021. There is also a diamond top in between the two bear bat patterns. I'm expecting $146 gap fill by EOY still, will post price targets after Q1 earnings. Yellow arrow is the near-term top I predicted in 2023 from Wyckoff distribution", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016235629023473308, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016235629023473308, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01834538703208277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011813291158075057, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021097580086094636, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044223378653982515, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016283349277841364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016283349277841364, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012882383379684281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004040308131376236, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029165732657525645, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024119732035920993, "ret_p1w": -0.08558433963023893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08558433963023893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10175975640587342, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08598639470142411, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0161754167756345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00040205507118518113, "ret_p1m": -0.07203069121217265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07203069121217265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09956190787323527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09046646121773905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02753121666106262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0184357700055664, "ret_p3m": -0.28194449001700317, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28194449001700317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3183951048025755, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2676616220372603, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03645061478557232, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014282867979742875, "ret_p6m": 0.22873560253252045, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22873560253252045, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.052930434763722944, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10569460515016504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1758051677687975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12304099738235541, "price_path": [0.0173, -0.0146, -0.0072, -0.0548, -0.0381, -0.015, 0.0465, 0.0534, 0.0501, 0.0641, 0.0637, 0.0057, 0.028, 0.0714, 0.137, 0.163, 0.1187, 0.1221, 0.1284, 0.1552, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1276, 0.1307, 0.1816, 0.1693, 0.1498, 0.1438, 0.1283, 0.1433, 0.1464, 0.1621, 0.1678, 0.1482, 0.1351, 0.146, 0.2023, 0.2141, 0.2073, 0.2319, 0.1836, 0.2189, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.229, 0.2521, 0.2125, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1898, 0.142, 0.1395, 0.1374, 0.1516, 0.1253, 0.1204, 0.0882, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0532, 0.0323, 0.0148, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0046, -0.1253, -0.1224, -0.0856, -0.0824, -0.103, -0.0955, -0.1, -0.1329, -0.1135, -0.1016, -0.0921, -0.0729, -0.099, -0.1187, -0.0962, -0.04, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.072, -0.0672, -0.0545, -0.0806, -0.045, -0.0434, -0.0324, -0.0331, -0.0295, -0.0989, -0.1344, -0.1545, -0.1444, -0.1602, -0.1486, -0.1497, -0.1883, -0.2217, -0.2166, -0.1676, -0.1795, -0.1587, -0.1723, -0.1818, -0.1732, -0.1491, -0.1387, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1608, -0.202, -0.1936, -0.1805, -0.2102, -0.1716, -0.1529, -0.1774, -0.1638, -0.1808, -0.2266, -0.2476, -0.2555, -0.2819, -0.2957, -0.3197, -0.3071, -0.2235, -0.185, -0.194, -0.0706, -0.1222, -0.138, -0.1379, -0.1322, -0.1151, -0.1484, -0.1632, -0.1764, -0.1932, -0.1768, -0.1497, -0.1667, -0.1626, -0.1501, -0.1621, -0.1063, -0.1374, -0.1679, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1535, -0.1562, -0.1437, -0.1471, -0.1557, -0.163, -0.1619, -0.1478, -0.15, -0.1677, -0.1827, -0.1509, -0.1261, -0.1475, -0.1023, -0.1147, -0.1147, -0.1304, -0.1235, -0.1256, -0.1027, -0.0595, -0.0545, -0.0523, 0.0051, 0.1076, 0.18, 0.18, 0.2046, 0.2114, 0.2564, 0.2608, 0.1544, 0.1888, 0.21, 0.2287]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1754610187481272514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-05T20:57:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still expect sub $150 by Aug, most likely by May with FOMC not cutting as soon as expected", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short TSLA to sub-$150 by May\u2013Aug on no near-term FOMC cuts; near-term bounce to 187\u2013207 expected but medium-term trend remains down.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA hit my short-term target of $175 today - a relief bounce to 187-207 is likely in the next few weeks especially if China numbers tonight are above ~15k.\n\nStill expect sub $150 by Aug, most likely by May with FOMC not cutting as soon as expected", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03783279684016816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03783279684016816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034178326172765505, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023532314598159187, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003654470667402654, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014300482242008972, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0223130928940527, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0223130928940527, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019409723126150302, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016249577415984096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029033697679023973, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006063515478068604, "ret_p1w": 0.03904787042720903, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03904787042720903, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02193279053918018, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010847351111555659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01711507988802885, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028200519315653372, "ret_p1m": -0.0017673261335714452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0017673261335714452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03146987158765391, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03282797747693966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029702545454082463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031060651343368217, "ret_p3m": -0.005799199524555432, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005799199524555432, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.034322507653545165, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018869527017900234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028523308128989733, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013070327493344802, "ret_p6m": 0.22953715961000332, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22953715961000332, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1221613080323285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16884481108359162, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737585157767482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0606923485264117, "price_path": [0.2267, 0.1597, 0.1855, 0.2356, 0.3112, 0.3412, 0.2901, 0.294, 0.3012, 0.3322, 0.2935, 0.2935, 0.3004, 0.3039, 0.3626, 0.3484, 0.326, 0.3191, 0.3011, 0.3185, 0.322, 0.3401, 0.3467, 0.3241, 0.309, 0.3216, 0.3866, 0.4001, 0.3922, 0.4206, 0.365, 0.4056, 0.3948, 0.3948, 0.4173, 0.4439, 0.3983, 0.3724, 0.3724, 0.372, 0.317, 0.3141, 0.3117, 0.328, 0.2977, 0.2921, 0.2549, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.2146, 0.1905, 0.1702, 0.1719, 0.1532, 0.1551, 0.1479, 0.0087, 0.0121, 0.0545, 0.0582, 0.0344, 0.0431, 0.0378, 0.0, 0.0223, 0.036, 0.0469, 0.0691, 0.039, 0.0163, 0.0423, 0.1071, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.0701, 0.0757, 0.0903, 0.0603, 0.1013, 0.1031, 0.1159, 0.115, 0.1192, 0.0391, -0.0018, -0.025, -0.0133, -0.0316, -0.0182, -0.0194, -0.064, -0.1025, -0.0966, -0.0401, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0455, -0.0565, -0.0466, -0.0187, -0.0068, -0.0291, -0.0291, -0.0323, -0.0797, -0.07, -0.055, -0.0893, -0.0446, -0.0231, -0.0514, -0.0357, -0.0553, -0.1081, -0.1323, -0.1414, -0.1719, -0.1878, -0.2155, -0.2009, -0.1046, -0.0601, -0.0705, 0.0717, 0.0123, -0.0059, -0.0058, 0.0007, 0.0204, -0.0179, -0.035, -0.0502, -0.0695, -0.0506, -0.0194, -0.039, -0.0344, -0.0199, -0.0337, 0.0306, -0.0052, -0.0404, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0238, -0.0269, -0.0125, -0.0165, -0.0263, -0.0347, -0.0335, -0.0172, -0.0198, -0.0402, -0.0574, -0.0208, 0.0078, -0.0168, 0.0352, 0.021, 0.021, 0.0028, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0347, 0.0846, 0.0904, 0.0929, 0.1591, 0.2773, 0.3608, 0.3608, 0.3892, 0.397, 0.4489, 0.454, 0.3312, 0.371, 0.3953, 0.417, 0.3725, 0.3765, 0.3211, 0.3891, 0.3608, 0.1929, 0.2164, 0.214, 0.2819, 0.2295]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1702756542439891318", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-15T18:49:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will likely see ~165 very soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; expects price to reach ~$165 very soon based on extended diamond top and other bearish patterns.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA forming a massive diamond top into Q3 deliveries (likely short 10k+). Not looking good fundamentally/technically for next ~3 months. Ex-CT delivery event, not many upside catalysts unless we surprise beat Q3 earnings (also unlikely imo). Long term bull case remains intact https://t.co/dbAVmoKryD\n\n---\n\nWeekly update: $TSLA showing weakness into Q3 deliveries (Oct 2) and will likely disappoint with the report. Expect more downside pressure with the pattern projecting a $180 PT which is below the 200ma of approx $205. I'm a $TSLA bull but expect downward bias next 3-6 months as we head into a period of economic uncertainty and potential demand headwinds. Ex. CT-launch, not many upside catalysts near-term for $TSLA. Again, long term investors need not be phased. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\nUpdate almost 6 months later: the right side of the diamond was extended but the shape remained among other bearish patterns. We will likely see ~165 very soon https://t.co/ctsAbFSgl2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006013316113556266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006013316113556266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006181984233422089, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011391693277063908, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012195300346978355, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017405009390620174, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033200974462619715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033200974462619715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033787461777834316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02232547796337936, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005864873152146011, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010875496499240356, "ret_p1w": -0.10754768100229428, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10754768100229428, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07833970375223598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04599726347737565, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029207977250058303, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06155041752491863, "ret_p1m": -0.07460190016651813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07460190016651813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05806940575835051, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01660851788538087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01653249440816762, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05799338228113726, "ret_p3m": -0.12792018473149114, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12792018473149114, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18911064533316357, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15698982066611344, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061190460601672436, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029069635934622307, "ret_p6m": -0.35212655423985106, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35212655423985106, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5099697551269886, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40260744029654005, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15784320088713755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05048088605668899, "price_path": [0.0002, -0.0544, -0.0356, -0.0648, -0.1215, -0.0881, -0.0661, -0.0616, -0.046, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0295, 0.0078, 0.0001, -0.0174, -0.0168, -0.0087, 0.0128, 0.0255, 0.0583, 0.0691, 0.0615, -0.0419, -0.0524, -0.0194, -0.0332, -0.0366, -0.0681, -0.029, -0.0254, -0.0485, -0.0739, -0.0549, -0.0748, -0.0836, -0.09, -0.1174, -0.1059, -0.1157, -0.1262, -0.151, -0.1778, -0.2011, -0.2147, -0.1571, -0.1502, -0.1368, -0.1616, -0.1305, -0.1296, -0.0627, -0.0637, -0.0594, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.0652, -0.0819, -0.0835, -0.0944, -0.003, -0.0252, -0.0113, 0.006, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0288, -0.043, -0.0681, -0.1075, -0.0999, -0.1103, -0.1235, -0.1021, -0.0881, -0.0831, -0.1015, -0.0482, -0.0523, -0.0505, -0.0536, -0.0393, -0.0415, -0.0566, -0.0848, -0.0746, -0.0712, -0.1156, -0.1978, -0.2274, -0.2271, -0.2109, -0.2258, -0.2501, -0.2445, -0.2807, -0.268, -0.2505, -0.2037, -0.1984, -0.2009, -0.1903, -0.1905, -0.2347, -0.2177, -0.1847, -0.1348, -0.115, -0.1487, -0.1461, -0.1414, -0.121, -0.1464, -0.1464, -0.1419, -0.1396, -0.1008, -0.1102, -0.125, -0.1296, -0.1414, -0.13, -0.1276, -0.1157, -0.1113, -0.1263, -0.1362, -0.1279, -0.0851, -0.0761, -0.0813, -0.0626, -0.0993, -0.0725, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0648, -0.0472, -0.0773, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0946, -0.131, -0.1329, -0.1345, -0.1237, -0.1437, -0.1474, -0.1719, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.1985, -0.2144, -0.2278, -0.2267, -0.239, -0.2378, -0.2426, -0.3344, -0.3322, -0.3042, -0.3018, -0.3174, -0.3117, -0.3152, -0.3401, -0.3254, -0.3164, -0.3092, -0.2945, -0.3144, -0.3293, -0.3123, -0.2695, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.2939, -0.2902, -0.2805, -0.3004, -0.2733, -0.2721, -0.2637, -0.2643, -0.2615, -0.3143, -0.3413, -0.3566, -0.3489, -0.361, -0.3521]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1795564443331616970", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-28T21:14:57+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expect a pull back anywhere from here to $1200. Technicals are lining up for a retracement within next 30 days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NVDA pullback to $1200 within 30 days based on technical retracement signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TickerSymbolYOU Expect a pull back anywhere from here to $1200. Technicals are lining up for a retracement within next 30 days. It's been a historic run up regardless", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA is now worth $2.8 Trillion. With that, you could buy:\n\n\u2022 2.3 $META's\n\u2022 5 $TSLA's\n\u2022 10 $AMD's\n\u2022 21 $INTC's\n\u2022 43 $PYPL's\n\u2022 60 $PLTR's\n\nNo big deal \ud83d\ude05 https://t.co/H9VXtkWPUz", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TickerSymbolYOU", "ret_m1d": -0.06524966603694227, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06524966603694227, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06455130872250492, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.042954530521334244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006983573144373478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022295135515608022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008112226063836214, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008112226063836214, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015114916120162691, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024843623825331895, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007002690056326477, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01673139776149568, "ret_p1w": 0.02226494107693333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02226494107693333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024945202936145106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05120454968237309, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026802618592117744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02893960860543976, "ret_p1m": 0.10982679763004866, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10982679763004866, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07687183754663285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06547658744296436, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03295496008341581, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044350210187084294, "ret_p3m": 0.1359039977180867, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1359039977180867, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07147799834021229, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14166785797030623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06442599937787441, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005763860252219533, "ret_p6m": 0.2810639260115335, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2810639260115335, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15948815436092278, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31024378007595566, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12157577165061073, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02917985406442214, "price_path": [-0.3055, -0.2777, -0.2517, -0.2453, -0.2213, -0.1864, -0.2315, -0.2469, -0.193, -0.202, -0.2279, -0.2288, -0.2234, -0.2151, -0.2066, -0.1972, -0.1722, -0.1659, -0.1874, -0.2076, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2147, -0.2189, -0.2458, -0.2273, -0.235, -0.2506, -0.2358, -0.2044, -0.2258, -0.2449, -0.2325, -0.2622, -0.2566, -0.331, -0.3019, -0.2764, -0.3005, -0.2745, -0.2297, -0.2295, -0.2414, -0.2709, -0.2466, -0.2205, -0.1911, -0.205, -0.2062, -0.2208, -0.2109, -0.2063, -0.1979, -0.1692, -0.1716, -0.1881, -0.1679, -0.1626, -0.1664, -0.0887, -0.0652, -0.0652, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0299, -0.0375, 0.0096, 0.0223, 0.075, 0.0623, 0.0613, 0.0693, 0.0616, 0.0993, 0.138, 0.1579, 0.15, 0.1904, 0.1904, 0.1483, 0.1113, 0.037, 0.1071, 0.1098, 0.0887, 0.0847, 0.0914, 0.0771, 0.1263, 0.1263, 0.1048, 0.1256, 0.1536, 0.1845, 0.1186, 0.1348, 0.1277, 0.1095, 0.036, 0.0632, 0.0355, 0.0847, 0.0764, 0.0031, -0.0142, -0.0073, -0.0202, -0.0892, 0.0275, -0.0411, -0.0581, -0.118, -0.0847, -0.1315, -0.0783, -0.0803, -0.0428, 0.0197, 0.0368, 0.0787, 0.0938, 0.1414, 0.1173, 0.1283, 0.0865, 0.1359, 0.1104, 0.1265, 0.1029, 0.0325, 0.0481, 0.0481, -0.0517, -0.0674, -0.0587, -0.0971, -0.0652, -0.0509, 0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0458, 0.0254, 0.015, -0.0045, 0.035, 0.0186, 0.0209, 0.0614, 0.0845, 0.0892, 0.066, 0.0664, 0.0274, 0.0436, 0.0787, 0.0969, 0.1215, 0.1669, 0.1648, 0.1838, 0.1837, 0.2124, 0.1556, 0.1918, 0.2024, 0.2118, 0.2619, 0.2609, 0.2255, 0.2329, 0.2429, 0.2339, 0.2403, 0.2235, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.1947, 0.2286, 0.2786, 0.3073, 0.2963, 0.2755, 0.3021, 0.2844, 0.2887, 0.2467, 0.2307, 0.2909, 0.2811]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1773394116472385585", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-28T16:58:00+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do not think the bad news is 'nearly fully' priced in. A YoY decline below 423k would be a very negative headline and send the stock down 5-10%. A number below 400k would be a nose dive down 10-20%.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disagrees that bad news is priced in; expects TSLA down 5-20% on a volume miss below 423k\u2013400k.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 I believe the whisper number is around 430k as well. However, I do not think the bad news is \u2018nearly fully\u2019 priced in. A YoY decline below 423k would be a very negative headline and send the stock down 5-10%. A number below 400k would be a nose dive down 10-20%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We believe TSLA\u2019s likely 1Q volume miss next week may be nearly fully discounted by TSLA\u2019s sharp YTD underperformance (TSLA -28% vs NDX +9%).  We expect TSLA\u2019s IR-compiled consensus due out today or tomorrow may right-size 1Q expectations at ~430K (Bloomberg consensus still shows https://t.co/zMKkzh6JXO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.022982016606291955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022982016606291955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022790714933773826, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019882417069320812, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00019130167251812935, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030995995369711427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.026622634134604195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026622634134604195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007504778080716035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006223080060464792, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01911785605388816, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03284571419506899, "ret_p1m": -0.042664544549997685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042664544549997685, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014350940807775991, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0007309458722946083, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028313603742221694, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04339549042229229, "ret_p3m": 0.06576035757943632, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06576035757943632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0207995042006639, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08093915599796975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044960853378772425, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015178798418533423, "ret_p6m": 0.3553103652049252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3553103652049252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2620879426169609, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2834025247748575, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09322242258796432, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0719078404300677, "price_path": [0.4135, 0.4132, 0.3564, 0.3535, 0.351, 0.3678, 0.3366, 0.3308, 0.2926, 0.2452, 0.2452, 0.251, 0.2262, 0.2053, 0.2071, 0.1878, 0.1897, 0.1823, 0.0389, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.0899, 0.0654, 0.0744, 0.0689, 0.03, 0.053, 0.0671, 0.0783, 0.1011, 0.0702, 0.0468, 0.0735, 0.1403, 0.1374, 0.1374, 0.1022, 0.108, 0.123, 0.092, 0.1343, 0.1362, 0.1493, 0.1484, 0.1527, 0.0703, 0.0282, 0.0043, 0.0163, -0.0026, 0.0113, 0.01, -0.0359, -0.0756, -0.0695, -0.0113, -0.0254, -0.0007, -0.0169, -0.0282, -0.018, 0.0107, 0.023, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0521, -0.0422, -0.0266, -0.0619, -0.016, 0.0062, -0.0229, -0.0068, -0.027, -0.0814, -0.1063, -0.1157, -0.1471, -0.1635, -0.1919, -0.177, -0.0777, -0.0319, -0.0427, 0.1039, 0.0426, 0.0239, 0.024, 0.0307, 0.051, 0.0115, -0.0061, -0.0217, -0.0416, -0.0222, 0.01, -0.0102, -0.0054, 0.0095, -0.0048, 0.0615, 0.0246, -0.0117, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0055, 0.0023, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0028, -0.0058, -0.0045, 0.0122, 0.0096, -0.0114, -0.0292, 0.0085, 0.038, 0.0126, 0.0663, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0329, 0.0411, 0.0386, 0.0658, 0.1171, 0.123, 0.1257, 0.1938, 0.3155, 0.4016, 0.4016, 0.4308, 0.4389, 0.4923, 0.4976, 0.3711, 0.4121, 0.4372, 0.4595, 0.4136, 0.4178, 0.3607, 0.4307, 0.4016, 0.2287, 0.2529, 0.2504, 0.3203, 0.2664, 0.3202, 0.2336, 0.1814, 0.1313, 0.1414, 0.0908, 0.1311, 0.1377, 0.1234, 0.1823, 0.1456, 0.2182, 0.2294, 0.267, 0.2578, 0.2701, 0.1984, 0.2533, 0.2129, 0.1901, 0.1704, 0.1734, 0.218, 0.218, 0.198, 0.2481, 0.3093, 0.1988, 0.2303, 0.2866, 0.2977, 0.3073, 0.31, 0.2901, 0.2963, 0.2925, 0.3876, 0.3553]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1781036915929813128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-18T19:07:45+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can see $QQQ rebound off $423 if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish short-term on growth/tech; QQQ rebounds from $423 if NFLX earnings are positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing lots of resistance levels for US 2/5/10yr, $DXY, $VIX. This is bullish short-term. Especially for high-growth/growth names.\n\nCan see $QQQ rebound off $423 if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005738953576405859, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005738953576405859, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0036770465514659456, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0036770465514659456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020689204902918257, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020689204902918257, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011960894884420648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011960894884420648, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "ret_p1w": 0.0024561371805116305, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0024561371805116305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005491416736154164, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005491416736154164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947553916665795, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007947553916665795, "ret_p1m": 0.06695613433868797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06695613433868797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007038673200328471, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007038673200328471, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "ret_p3m": 0.17410745969966146, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17410745969966146, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.039653824383852676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.039653824383852676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13445363531580878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13445363531580878, "ret_p6m": 0.16869815766758278, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16869815766758278, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0011108254415930219, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0011108254415930219, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758733222598976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16758733222598976, "price_path": [-0.0053, -0.0012, 0.0044, 0.0056, -0.0004, 0.0099, 0.0031, -0.0165, -0.0049, 0.0119, 0.0106, 0.0085, 0.0189, 0.0208, 0.0309, 0.0268, 0.0108, 0.0218, 0.0249, 0.0156, 0.0156, 0.0079, 0.0039, 0.0333, 0.0302, 0.0297, 0.0321, 0.0267, 0.0355, 0.051, 0.0473, 0.0285, 0.035, 0.0507, 0.0355, 0.0317, 0.0464, 0.0384, 0.0358, 0.0235, 0.0332, 0.0358, 0.0481, 0.053, 0.0542, 0.0504, 0.047, 0.0506, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0509, 0.0418, 0.0441, 0.0282, 0.0403, 0.0406, 0.0444, 0.0353, 0.0519, 0.0351, 0.0181, 0.0182, 0.0057, 0.0, -0.0207, -0.0108, 0.0039, 0.0073, 0.0025, 0.0179, 0.0221, 0.0028, -0.0045, 0.0082, 0.0285, 0.0398, 0.0399, 0.0393, 0.0416, 0.044, 0.0465, 0.0532, 0.0696, 0.0675, 0.067, 0.0744, 0.0765, 0.0763, 0.0714, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0857, 0.078, 0.0665, 0.0645, 0.0702, 0.0731, 0.0948, 0.0944, 0.0934, 0.0978, 0.1054, 0.1198, 0.1259, 0.1317, 0.1456, 0.146, 0.146, 0.1371, 0.1341, 0.1212, 0.134, 0.1363, 0.1393, 0.1333, 0.14, 0.152, 0.1616, 0.1616, 0.1737, 0.1765, 0.1775, 0.1898, 0.1637, 0.1705, 0.1737, 0.1741, 0.1396, 0.1342, 0.1242, 0.1409, 0.1369, 0.0961, 0.0841, 0.0952, 0.0974, 0.0823, 0.1143, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0299, 0.0397, 0.0285, 0.0599, 0.0655, 0.0678, 0.0942, 0.0946, 0.1223, 0.1237, 0.1385, 0.1361, 0.1414, 0.1233, 0.1355, 0.1244, 0.1278, 0.115, 0.1134, 0.1266, 0.1266, 0.0924, 0.0896, 0.0906, 0.0614, 0.075, 0.085, 0.1085, 0.1194, 0.1244, 0.1195, 0.1201, 0.1152, 0.1434, 0.1412, 0.1443, 0.1498, 0.1508, 0.1595, 0.153, 0.1562, 0.1401, 0.1417, 0.1408, 0.1544, 0.142, 0.1591, 0.1682, 0.1669, 0.1687]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1781036915929813128", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-18T19:07:45+00:00", "symbol": "NFLX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish short-term on growth/tech; QQQ rebounds from $423 if NFLX earnings are positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFLX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Entertainment'", "bench_c_industry": "Entertainment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing lots of resistance levels for US 2/5/10yr, $DXY, $VIX. This is bullish short-term. Especially for high-growth/growth names.\n\nCan see $QQQ rebound off $423 if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005126436821825342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005126436821825342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003064529796885429, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009980347997097905, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004853911175272563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09093288392014132, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09093288392014132, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08220457390164371, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0799807182280482, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010952165692093119, "ret_p1w": -0.07494759289702568, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07494759289702568, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08289514681369148, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04520263467488128, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947553916665795, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029744958222144402, "ret_p1m": 0.017262854735107913, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017262854735107913, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04265460640325158, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010864068285729944, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028126923020837857, "ret_p3m": 0.07494765537568915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07494765537568915, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.059505979940119635, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008806275728519664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13445363531580878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08375393110420881, "ret_p6m": 0.18381485222796412, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18381485222796412, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01622752000197436, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.051963162399984775, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758733222598976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13185168982797935, "price_path": [-0.2045, -0.1939, -0.1076, -0.0795, -0.0657, -0.0569, -0.0781, -0.0761, -0.0705, -0.0752, -0.0794, -0.0896, -0.084, -0.0852, -0.0806, -0.0863, -0.0918, -0.0511, -0.028, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.058, -0.0609, -0.0362, -0.0442, -0.0375, -0.0146, -0.0231, -0.0125, 0.0144, 0.0086, -0.0198, -0.0211, -0.0034, -0.0094, -0.0158, 0.0009, -0.0018, 0.004, -0.0077, 0.0128, 0.0167, 0.0281, 0.0199, 0.0286, 0.0277, 0.0306, 0.0049, -0.0053, -0.0053, 0.0061, 0.006, 0.032, 0.0108, 0.042, 0.0292, 0.0125, 0.0131, 0.0298, 0.0201, -0.0056, 0.0114, 0.0051, 0.0, -0.0909, -0.0917, -0.0537, -0.0908, -0.0749, -0.0808, -0.0836, -0.0981, -0.0964, -0.0744, -0.0511, -0.0223, -0.0075, -0.0018, 0.0025, 0.0005, 0.0099, 0.0051, 0.0048, -0.0001, 0.0173, 0.0496, 0.0656, 0.049, 0.0411, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.063, 0.0722, 0.0608, 0.0509, 0.038, 0.0345, 0.065, 0.0622, 0.0506, 0.0556, 0.0622, 0.0647, 0.0699, 0.0963, 0.1069, 0.123, 0.123, 0.1121, 0.1238, 0.0957, 0.1013, 0.1099, 0.1208, 0.1053, 0.1033, 0.113, 0.1178, 0.1178, 0.1312, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.1099, 0.0691, 0.0607, 0.0752, 0.0749, 0.0604, 0.0532, 0.0373, 0.0605, 0.0527, 0.0417, 0.0385, 0.0341, 0.0269, 0.0197, 0.0291, 0.0234, 0.005, -0.0197, -0.0016, 0.0015, 0.0324, 0.0383, 0.037, 0.0614, 0.0837, 0.0862, 0.104, 0.1277, 0.1441, 0.1418, 0.1284, 0.1248, 0.1276, 0.1395, 0.12, 0.1342, 0.1487, 0.1487, 0.1061, 0.1132, 0.1197, 0.0904, 0.1062, 0.1033, 0.1161, 0.1249, 0.1417, 0.1408, 0.1578, 0.1309, 0.1536, 0.1482, 0.1553, 0.1829, 0.1818, 0.1652, 0.1585, 0.1617, 0.1565, 0.1647, 0.1576, 0.1788, 0.1496, 0.1821, 0.1914, 0.1961, 0.1838]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1750373260401975403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-25T04:21:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nope. 2024 demand gap year with more cuts to stimulate mission statement.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: expects a 2024 demand gap year with more price cuts, rejecting the bullish delivery/GM scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers Nope. 2024 demand gap year with more cuts to stimulate mission statement.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If for 2024 Q1 Tesla can deliver 505k+ with 18-19%+ GM $TSLA starts ticking back in the right direction IMO\n\nWhat do you fellow Tesla investors think?  Likely or not?\n\nAlso:\n+Cybertruck demand way higher than 250k per year IMO\n-Next Gen and Optimus may not come until 2026+ IMO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": 0.13798388147890694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13798388147890694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14339347305641337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12546185884405592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005409591577506423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012522022634851027, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033948152034783963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033948152034783963, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004665161971329046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001169351131914187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012703467678506497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004564166335392583, "ret_p1w": 0.034112662547080674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034112662547080674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03171525328088065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014744390409140662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0023974092662000235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019368272137940012, "ret_p1m": 0.05114163110209513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05114163110209513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010529471870479146, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009654170905785131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040612159231615985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06079580200788026, "ret_p3m": -0.20779724685098977, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20779724685098977, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24712081145263032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21959272612257574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03932356460164055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011795479271585974, "ret_p6m": 0.30975190578201395, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30975190578201395, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17770607049351428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20604200340087164, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13204583528849967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1037099023811423, "price_path": [0.0807, 0.0997, 0.1261, 0.1965, 0.2044, 0.2006, 0.2166, 0.2162, 0.1498, 0.1753, 0.2249, 0.3, 0.3297, 0.279, 0.2829, 0.29, 0.3207, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2892, 0.2927, 0.3509, 0.3368, 0.3146, 0.3077, 0.2899, 0.3071, 0.3107, 0.3286, 0.3352, 0.3127, 0.2978, 0.3102, 0.3746, 0.3881, 0.3803, 0.4084, 0.3532, 0.3935, 0.3828, 0.3828, 0.4051, 0.4315, 0.3863, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3602, 0.3056, 0.3028, 0.3004, 0.3166, 0.2865, 0.281, 0.2442, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.2041, 0.1803, 0.1602, 0.1619, 0.1433, 0.1452, 0.138, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0454, 0.0491, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0289, -0.0086, 0.0135, 0.0271, 0.0379, 0.0599, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0333, 0.0976, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0609, 0.0665, 0.0809, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.0936, 0.1063, 0.1054, 0.1096, 0.0302, -0.0103, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0399, -0.0266, -0.0279, -0.072, -0.1102, -0.1044, -0.0483, -0.0619, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.0646, -0.0548, -0.0272, -0.0153, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0406, -0.0876, -0.078, -0.0631, -0.0971, -0.0528, -0.0315, -0.0595, -0.044, -0.0634, -0.1158, -0.1397, -0.1488, -0.1791, -0.1948, -0.2222, -0.2078, -0.1122, -0.0682, -0.0785, 0.0625, 0.0036, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.0079, 0.0117, -0.0264, -0.0433, -0.0584, -0.0775, -0.0588, -0.0278, -0.0473, -0.0427, -0.0283, -0.0421, 0.0217, -0.0138, -0.0487, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0322, -0.0353, -0.021, -0.0249, -0.0347, -0.043, -0.0418, -0.0257, -0.0282, -0.0484, -0.0655, -0.0292, -0.0009, -0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0058, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0258, 0.0752, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.1491, 0.2663, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3772, 0.385, 0.4364, 0.4415, 0.3198, 0.3592, 0.3833, 0.4048, 0.3607, 0.3647, 0.3098]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1753958121385656668", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-04T01:46:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Awesome job by the Tesla team!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Enthusiastic product endorsement of Model 3 Highland refresh; implied bullish on TSLA quality/execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just test drove the new M3 highland. I\u2019ve had a M3 for almost 6 years. The drive (suspension especially), overall feel and sound improvement is astounding. Closing the doors is an instant noticeable improvement. Driving felt like an actual luxury German/Japanese car.  Awesome job by the Tesla team! #model3 $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03783279684016816, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03783279684016816, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034178326172765505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023532314598159187, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003654470667402654, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014300482242008972, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0223130928940527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0223130928940527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019409723126150302, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016249577415984096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029033697679023973, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006063515478068604, "ret_p1w": 0.03904787042720903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03904787042720903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02193279053918018, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010847351111555659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01711507988802885, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028200519315653372, "ret_p1m": -0.0017673261335714452, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0017673261335714452, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03146987158765391, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03282797747693966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029702545454082463, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031060651343368217, "ret_p3m": -0.005799199524555432, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005799199524555432, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.034322507653545165, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018869527017900234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028523308128989733, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013070327493344802, "ret_p6m": 0.22953715961000332, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22953715961000332, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1221613080323285, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16884481108359162, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10737585157767482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0606923485264117, "price_path": [0.2267, 0.1597, 0.1855, 0.2356, 0.3112, 0.3412, 0.2901, 0.294, 0.3012, 0.3322, 0.2935, 0.2935, 0.3004, 0.3039, 0.3626, 0.3484, 0.326, 0.3191, 0.3011, 0.3185, 0.322, 0.3401, 0.3467, 0.3241, 0.309, 0.3216, 0.3866, 0.4001, 0.3922, 0.4206, 0.365, 0.4056, 0.3948, 0.3948, 0.4173, 0.4439, 0.3983, 0.3724, 0.3724, 0.372, 0.317, 0.3141, 0.3117, 0.328, 0.2977, 0.2921, 0.2549, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.2146, 0.1905, 0.1702, 0.1719, 0.1532, 0.1551, 0.1479, 0.0087, 0.0121, 0.0545, 0.0582, 0.0344, 0.0431, 0.0378, 0.0, 0.0223, 0.036, 0.0469, 0.0691, 0.039, 0.0163, 0.0423, 0.1071, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.0701, 0.0757, 0.0903, 0.0603, 0.1013, 0.1031, 0.1159, 0.115, 0.1192, 0.0391, -0.0018, -0.025, -0.0133, -0.0316, -0.0182, -0.0194, -0.064, -0.1025, -0.0966, -0.0401, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0455, -0.0565, -0.0466, -0.0187, -0.0068, -0.0291, -0.0291, -0.0323, -0.0797, -0.07, -0.055, -0.0893, -0.0446, -0.0231, -0.0514, -0.0357, -0.0553, -0.1081, -0.1323, -0.1414, -0.1719, -0.1878, -0.2155, -0.2009, -0.1046, -0.0601, -0.0705, 0.0717, 0.0123, -0.0059, -0.0058, 0.0007, 0.0204, -0.0179, -0.035, -0.0502, -0.0695, -0.0506, -0.0194, -0.039, -0.0344, -0.0199, -0.0337, 0.0306, -0.0052, -0.0404, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0238, -0.0269, -0.0125, -0.0165, -0.0263, -0.0347, -0.0335, -0.0172, -0.0198, -0.0402, -0.0574, -0.0208, 0.0078, -0.0168, 0.0352, 0.021, 0.021, 0.0028, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0347, 0.0846, 0.0904, 0.0929, 0.1591, 0.2773, 0.3608, 0.3608, 0.3892, 0.397, 0.4489, 0.454, 0.3312, 0.371, 0.3953, 0.417, 0.3725, 0.3765, 0.3211, 0.3891, 0.3608, 0.1929, 0.2164, 0.214, 0.2819, 0.2295]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1755319131602342155", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-07T19:54:27+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT broke out of the diamond top on daily and is heading towards my original $423 5th-wave target", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "MSFT broke out of diamond top and heading to $423 5th-wave target.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Always good to revisit patterns. $MSFT broke out of the diamond top on daily and is heading towards my original $423 5th-wave target https://t.co/87pGJDkZrF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$MSFT (left) diamond top forming + potential 5th wave completion; potential market top with $NVDA (right) selling off at top end of its rising broadening pattern. Both daily views. https://t.co/57NvNgaaRh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.020673826632530368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020673826632530368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012402420667899094, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012402420667899094, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008271405964631273, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008271405964631273, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0001449394928334513, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0001449394928334513, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.000296746081555721, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.000296746081555721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00044168557438917233, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00044168557438917233, "ret_p1w": -0.009184159713853779, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009184159713853779, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010127777882970035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010127777882970035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.000943618169116256, "bench_c_p1w": 0.000943618169116256, "ret_p1m": -0.010031030125324247, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010031030125324247, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04357848485239557, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04357848485239557, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033547454727071324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033547454727071324, "ret_p3m": 0.000615222689124284, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.000615222689124284, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03968795643345113, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03968795643345113, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04030317912257542, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04030317912257542, "ret_p6m": 0.011073782992894632, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.011073782992894632, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08600393434130638, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08600393434130638, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09707771733420101, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09707771733420101, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1162, -0.1075, -0.1072, -0.0915, -0.1068, -0.0884, -0.099, -0.0874, -0.0874, -0.0884, -0.0856, -0.0757, -0.085, -0.0849, -0.0955, -0.1085, -0.1003, -0.1093, -0.1041, -0.0962, -0.1032, -0.0958, -0.0958, -0.1162, -0.1046, -0.1, -0.0985, -0.1049, -0.0978, -0.0953, -0.0953, -0.0951, -0.0966, -0.0936, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.1043, -0.1049, -0.1114, -0.1118, -0.0951, -0.0924, -0.0755, -0.0711, -0.0618, -0.0618, -0.0574, -0.0594, -0.0487, -0.0371, -0.0424, -0.0366, -0.0278, -0.0222, -0.0244, -0.0105, -0.0132, -0.0398, -0.0248, -0.0068, -0.0203, -0.0207, 0.0, 0.0001, 0.0157, 0.0029, -0.0187, -0.0092, -0.0163, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0254, -0.0269, -0.004, -0.0071, -0.0139, -0.014, -0.0135, 0.0009, 0.0054, 0.004, -0.0257, -0.0271, -0.01, -0.0171, -0.0212, 0.0048, 0.0044, 0.0289, 0.0076, 0.0098, 0.0197, 0.0289, 0.0389, 0.0374, 0.0232, 0.0202, 0.0197, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0273, 0.0197, 0.0173, 0.0111, 0.0296, 0.0274, 0.0314, 0.0241, 0.0354, 0.0208, 0.0009, 0.0031, -0.0035, -0.0218, -0.0343, -0.0298, -0.0138, -0.0102, -0.0345, -0.0169, -0.0267, -0.058, -0.0444, -0.0374, -0.016, 0.0006, -0.0095, -0.0066, -0.0023, 0.0035, 0.0011, 0.0079, 0.0255, 0.0205, 0.0186, 0.031, 0.04, 0.0436, 0.035, 0.0427, 0.0427, 0.0431, 0.0403, 0.0052, 0.0063, 0.0024, 0.0086, 0.0278, 0.029, 0.0274, 0.0372, 0.0488, 0.0691, 0.0704, 0.0728, 0.0868, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0804, 0.0903, 0.0852, 0.0931, 0.096, 0.0977, 0.0834, 0.1071, 0.1133, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1334, 0.1302, 0.1139, 0.1302, 0.1022, 0.0994, 0.1004, 0.0896, 0.0751, 0.0675, 0.0596, 0.0737, 0.0783, 0.0397, 0.0142, 0.0309, 0.0344, 0.0252, 0.0141, 0.0111]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1775027414974001264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T05:08:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my short term price target is now $157 for technical reasons. A -10% drop from today's close is exactly there.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term TSLA price target $157 on technical basis, ~10% downside; watching $165 fib and $160 double-bottom as key levels into Q1 earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Going into Q1 print, haven't changed my 414k estimate. Looking at $TSLA price movement:\n\n1) my short term price target is now $157 for technical reasons. A -10% drop from today's close is exactly there. A -5% drop puts the price at a key fib retrace level of $165. $160 is a potential double-bottom bullish reversal candidate\n\n2) a 'sell the rumor, buy the news' outcome is also possible. The short thesis has been obvious for 30+ days so unless $TSLA reports below 423k tomorrow, I can see minimal downside until earnings\n\nWill update once numbers are out.\n\n---\n\nQ1 results are out at 387k delivered. That is disastrous. \n\nPrice-wise, the stock is hugging the key $165 fib I outlined above. It is also holding all technical patterns so little changed for the outlook until we see decisive price movement. This may not happen until q1 earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1558350090145697798", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-13T07:09:48+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cup and handle to $1060 resistance or $1240 ATH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA; sees cup-and-handle pattern targeting $1060 resistance or $1240 ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@traderstewie Cup and handle to $1060 resistance or $1240 ATH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA ... starting to form a nice lil bullish flag here after the recent PEG. \n\nFirst Target: $1000 https://t.co/nR0oJzgucI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "traderstewie", "ret_m1d": -0.030033649052595535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030033649052595535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025929889920277005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023194678945095748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00410375913231853, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006838970107499787, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008912075793144236, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008912075793144236, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01087092124464828, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01995952242072052, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001958845451504043, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047446627576285, "ret_p1w": -0.06273980598271589, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06273980598271589, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0265742820819711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014808977443564797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03616552390074479, "bench_c_p1w": -0.047930828539151094, "ret_p1m": -0.055573522676754195, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055573522676754195, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02781027745197362, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020823642610348192, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08338380012872781, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07639716528710239, "ret_p3m": -0.3834217098643836, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3834217098643836, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3075260140979936, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21336482269988233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07589569576638999, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1700568871645013, "ret_p6m": -0.36373337353408186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36373337353408186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3402991844815727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25345273504104493, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.023434189052509158, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11028063849303693, "price_path": [-0.2351, -0.2355, -0.2846, -0.2727, -0.3231, -0.2901, -0.2373, -0.1814, -0.1814, -0.1829, -0.2022, -0.1648, -0.2418, -0.2297, -0.2277, -0.2181, -0.2251, -0.2492, -0.3025, -0.2859, -0.2467, -0.3111, -0.2992, -0.2992, -0.2337, -0.2368, -0.24, -0.2057, -0.2082, -0.2478, -0.2613, -0.2743, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.2465, -0.2508, -0.2094, -0.1893, -0.2424, -0.2465, -0.2337, -0.2296, -0.2239, -0.2223, -0.2062, -0.1999, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.1322, -0.1631, -0.1115, -0.0919, -0.0393, -0.0389, -0.0282, -0.0062, -0.0022, -0.0684, -0.0611, -0.084, -0.0484, -0.0734, -0.03, 0.0, -0.0089, -0.0172, -0.0209, -0.0409, -0.0627, -0.0416, -0.0395, -0.0428, -0.0686, -0.0792, -0.1022, -0.109, -0.104, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1128, -0.0828, -0.0649, -0.0312, -0.0158, -0.0556, -0.0217, -0.018, -0.0193, -0.0008, -0.0019, -0.0275, -0.067, -0.1099, -0.1077, -0.0853, -0.0695, -0.1329, -0.1425, -0.2163, -0.1936, -0.2215, -0.2302, -0.2788, -0.2792, -0.3001, -0.2977, -0.2832, -0.3373, -0.2909, -0.2881, -0.2822, -0.3299, -0.3067, -0.3171, -0.2809, -0.2738, -0.2723, -0.2612, -0.2644, -0.2635, -0.305, -0.3039, -0.3293, -0.3629, -0.3815, -0.4259, -0.3834, -0.3664, -0.3827, -0.3715, -0.3957, -0.4078, -0.4175, -0.4573, -0.4507, -0.4077, -0.4077, -0.4088, -0.4086, -0.4154, -0.3706, -0.3706, -0.37, -0.4102, -0.4187, -0.4373, -0.4393, -0.4211, -0.4575, -0.4797, -0.4931, -0.4903, -0.5143, -0.5155, -0.5545, -0.5553, -0.5948, -0.6019, -0.6019, -0.6473, -0.6356, -0.6062, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.6505, -0.6326, -0.6433, -0.6345, -0.6128, -0.6158, -0.6016, -0.6005, -0.6043, -0.6043, -0.5749, -0.5837, -0.5889, -0.5687, -0.5353, -0.5348, -0.5331, -0.4819, -0.4249, -0.4612, -0.44, -0.4135, -0.3913, -0.3858, -0.3704, -0.3637]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1775157427371192494", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T13:44:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're losing ground there - fast.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: losing EV market share in China fast, with underappreciated competitive threat from Chinese EV makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GerberKawasaki Should assign more blame to real competitive threat in China. It seems most investors have no access to China's EV landscape. They're losing ground there - fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Basically tesla can\u2019t sell its cars due to Elon\u2019s behavior. Let\u2019s stop blaming the Houthi rebels or German environmental terrorists. Or a recession that never came. Or interest rates. Only one person responsible for this. $TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GerberKawasaki", "ret_m1d": 0.051551317806968866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051551317806968866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045152431715034025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03659264615364699, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398886091934841, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014958671653321876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01050231020055925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01050231020055925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009403765968985844, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00977917845770726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010985442315734062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007231317428519901, "ret_p1w": 0.06151353117470415, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06151353117470415, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06058850788795245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052838538728717355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009250232867517028, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008674992445986796, "ret_p1m": 0.08017764039404174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08017764039404174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11581492618906286, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10970533294889961, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563728579502112, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029527692554857876, "ret_p3m": 0.18754125358141516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18754125358141516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13524071530498416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17106781031641116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300538276431, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016473443265003995, "ret_p6m": 0.5424592299233792, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5424592299233792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4368525753951453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273363285887133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560665452823392, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11512290133466596, "price_path": [0.4279, 0.4253, 0.443, 0.4101, 0.4039, 0.3636, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3198, 0.2936, 0.2716, 0.2734, 0.2531, 0.2551, 0.2473, 0.096, 0.0997, 0.1458, 0.1498, 0.124, 0.1334, 0.1277, 0.0866, 0.1108, 0.1257, 0.1376, 0.1617, 0.129, 0.1044, 0.1325, 0.203, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1628, 0.1689, 0.1847, 0.1521, 0.1967, 0.1986, 0.2125, 0.2115, 0.2161, 0.1291, 0.0847, 0.0595, 0.0721, 0.0523, 0.0669, 0.0655, 0.0171, -0.0248, -0.0184, 0.043, 0.0281, 0.0542, 0.0371, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0663, 0.0792, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0269, -0.0104, 0.0381, 0.0615, 0.0308, 0.0478, 0.0265, -0.0309, -0.0571, -0.0671, -0.1002, -0.1175, -0.1475, -0.1317, -0.027, 0.0213, 0.01, 0.1646, 0.0999, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0874, 0.1088, 0.0671, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.011, 0.0316, 0.0655, 0.0442, 0.0493, 0.065, 0.0499, 0.1198, 0.0809, 0.0427, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0607, 0.0574, 0.073, 0.0687, 0.058, 0.0489, 0.0502, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.043, 0.0242, 0.064, 0.0951, 0.0683, 0.1249, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0897, 0.0983, 0.0957, 0.1243, 0.1785, 0.1848, 0.1875, 0.2594, 0.3879, 0.4787, 0.4787, 0.5095, 0.518, 0.5743, 0.5799, 0.4465, 0.4897, 0.5162, 0.5397, 0.4913, 0.4957, 0.4355, 0.5094, 0.4786, 0.2962, 0.3218, 0.3191, 0.3929, 0.336, 0.3927, 0.3014, 0.2463, 0.1935, 0.2041, 0.1508, 0.1933, 0.2003, 0.1852, 0.2473, 0.2085, 0.2851, 0.297, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3399, 0.2642, 0.3222, 0.2795, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.238, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.2639, 0.3167, 0.3813, 0.2647, 0.2979, 0.3573, 0.3691, 0.3792, 0.382, 0.361, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.4638, 0.4298, 0.5003, 0.526, 0.5425]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1732115802999095700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-05T19:12:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the faster it's released, the better for the world + $TSLA shareholders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: low-cost EV production starting in Austin is a positive catalyst for shareholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually expected this when Giga Texas was first announced, and was surprised to hear Giga Mexico would be the first production line especially given it's close proximity. Glad to hear this as the faster it's released, the better for the world + $TSLA shareholders @robmaurer", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Elon Musk on Tesla\u2019s upcoming \u201clow cost &amp; high volume\u201d electric vehicle\u2026\n\nNotably, the first production line will be in Austin, TX https://t.co/8O7xxNERB2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013153482630663293, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013153482630663293, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013350554112585677, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011396264006664047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000197071481922384, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001757218623999246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002722829646282676, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002722829646282676, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006752520830167863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0012587545030160463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029691183885187, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00146407514326663, "ret_p1w": -0.007163231841165407, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007163231841165407, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02358911917309614, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027369147573317543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020205915732152135, "ret_p1m": -0.0011310500631713793, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0011310500631713793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03199121674509997, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019524275264606095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018393225201434715, "ret_p3m": -0.1511394170851137, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1511394170851137, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2788864887325264, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23671368315666164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12774707164741272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08557426607154794, "ret_p6m": -0.2619386664692842, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2619386664692842, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42241663583590827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2848435459260026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047796936662406, "bench_c_p6m": 0.022904879456718374, "price_path": [0.0535, 0.041, 0.146, 0.1205, 0.1365, 0.1563, 0.1494, 0.1113, 0.1164, 0.1, 0.0711, 0.0258, 0.0346, 0.0226, 0.0075, 0.0321, 0.0482, 0.054, 0.0327, 0.094, 0.0894, 0.0914, 0.0878, 0.1043, 0.1017, 0.0844, 0.0519, 0.0637, 0.0676, 0.0166, -0.078, -0.112, -0.1116, -0.093, -0.1102, -0.1381, -0.1316, -0.1733, -0.1587, -0.1385, -0.0847, -0.0786, -0.0815, -0.0693, -0.0696, -0.1204, -0.1008, -0.0629, -0.0055, 0.0173, -0.0215, -0.0185, -0.0131, 0.0104, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0137, -0.0111, 0.0335, 0.0227, 0.0057, 0.0005, -0.0132, 0.0, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0214, 0.0043, -0.0072, 0.0024, 0.0517, 0.0619, 0.056, 0.0775, 0.0353, 0.0661, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0749, 0.0952, 0.0606, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0406, -0.0011, -0.0033, -0.0052, 0.0072, -0.0158, -0.02, -0.0482, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0788, -0.0971, -0.1124, -0.1111, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.1294, -0.235, -0.2324, -0.2002, -0.1974, -0.2154, -0.2089, -0.2128, -0.2415, -0.2246, -0.2142, -0.2059, -0.1891, -0.2119, -0.2291, -0.2095, -0.1603, -0.1624, -0.1624, -0.1883, -0.1841, -0.173, -0.1958, -0.1647, -0.1633, -0.1537, -0.1543, -0.1511, -0.2119, -0.2429, -0.2605, -0.2516, -0.2655, -0.2553, -0.2563, -0.29, -0.3193, -0.3148, -0.272, -0.2823, -0.2642, -0.2761, -0.2844, -0.2769, -0.2557, -0.2467, -0.2636, -0.2636, -0.266, -0.302, -0.2947, -0.2832, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.259, -0.2805, -0.2686, -0.2835, -0.3236, -0.3419, -0.3488, -0.3719, -0.384, -0.405, -0.3939, -0.3208, -0.2871, -0.295, -0.1871, -0.2322, -0.246, -0.2459, -0.241, -0.226, -0.2552, -0.2681, -0.2796, -0.2943, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2712, -0.2676, -0.2566, -0.2671, -0.2183, -0.2455, -0.2722, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.2596, -0.2619]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1777383058074915054", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-08T17:08:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2026+ looks like the next growth wave for the stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Agrees TSLA will eventually rally to $1T+ but not until 2026+; expects further downside before then with a bottom still ahead in 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers I agree with the thesis but not the timeline. The earliest I can see a $TSLA rally to 1T would be Q3 '24. I doubt the stock has yet to bottom for '24 (EPS + vol growth still too high) and I've been accurate the past 4 years. \n\n2026+ looks like the next growth wave for the stock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Not investment advice and could be very wrong:\nI believe greater than 50% chance that a significant rally in $TSLA stock (back towards and above $1 trillion market cap) will occur once there are solid indications of increasing FSD take rates. This actual increased take rate I", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": -0.046710614120846095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046710614120846095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04615160271046859, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03729436096867367, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005590114103775079, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009416253152172427, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02254601255405486, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02254601255405486, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021389300069063033, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01783788597796865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011567124849918287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004708126576086213, "ret_p1w": -0.06648167582402797, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06648167582402797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03897169741611484, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03114322476002851, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.027509978407913138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035338451063999465, "ret_p1m": 0.027922314431446882, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027922314431446882, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030968131129580523, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03911096899975286, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003045816698133641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011188654568305978, "ret_p3m": 0.4243843535395708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4243843535395708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35783770920202307, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.382100337191847, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06654664433754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04228401634772383, "ret_p6m": 0.4916175013674955, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4916175013674955, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3885096064401865, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38160330874906645, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310789492730899, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11001419261842904, "price_path": [0.3524, 0.3136, 0.2654, 0.2654, 0.2713, 0.2461, 0.2249, 0.2267, 0.2071, 0.209, 0.2015, 0.0558, 0.0594, 0.1038, 0.1076, 0.0827, 0.0918, 0.0863, 0.0467, 0.0701, 0.0844, 0.0958, 0.119, 0.0876, 0.0638, 0.0909, 0.1588, 0.1559, 0.1559, 0.1201, 0.126, 0.1412, 0.1098, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.168, 0.1671, 0.1715, 0.0876, 0.0449, 0.0206, 0.0328, 0.0136, 0.0277, 0.0264, -0.0202, -0.0606, -0.0544, 0.0047, -0.0096, 0.0155, -0.0009, -0.0124, -0.002, 0.0271, 0.0396, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0129, -0.0367, -0.0266, -0.0108, -0.0467, 0.0, 0.0225, -0.0071, 0.0094, -0.0112, -0.0665, -0.0917, -0.1013, -0.1333, -0.1499, -0.1788, -0.1636, -0.0627, -0.0162, -0.0271, 0.1218, 0.0595, 0.0405, 0.0406, 0.0475, 0.0681, 0.0279, 0.0101, -0.0058, -0.0261, -0.0063, 0.0264, 0.0058, 0.0108, 0.0259, 0.0114, 0.0787, 0.0412, 0.0044, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0218, 0.0186, 0.0336, 0.0295, 0.0191, 0.0103, 0.0117, 0.0287, 0.026, 0.0047, -0.0134, 0.0249, 0.0549, 0.0291, 0.0836, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0497, 0.058, 0.0555, 0.0831, 0.1352, 0.1413, 0.1439, 0.2132, 0.3369, 0.4244, 0.4244, 0.454, 0.4623, 0.5165, 0.5219, 0.3934, 0.435, 0.4605, 0.4832, 0.4366, 0.4408, 0.3828, 0.454, 0.4243, 0.2486, 0.2733, 0.2707, 0.3418, 0.287, 0.3416, 0.2537, 0.2005, 0.1497, 0.1599, 0.1086, 0.1495, 0.1562, 0.1417, 0.2015, 0.1642, 0.2379, 0.2494, 0.2875, 0.2782, 0.2907, 0.2178, 0.2737, 0.2326, 0.2094, 0.1894, 0.1925, 0.2378, 0.2378, 0.2175, 0.2684, 0.3306, 0.2182, 0.2503, 0.3075, 0.3188, 0.3285, 0.3313, 0.311, 0.3173, 0.3134, 0.4101, 0.3773, 0.4453, 0.4699, 0.4858, 0.4696, 0.5057, 0.5125, 0.4916]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1768411439252066641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-14T22:58:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stock is on a crash course to $108 this year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA with $108 target this year; advises hedging with covered calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EvasTeslaSPlaid @Tesla Hope you aren\u2019t buying on margin. Stock is on a crash course to $108 this year. I held thousands of shares like you until 2022-23. I\u2019d highly suggest you learn to hedge with covered calls if you haven\u2019t already", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Another brutal day. $TSLA\nWhat\u2019s happening? @Tesla https://t.co/KK5vNKfTVQ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EvasTeslaSPlaid", "ret_m1d": 0.04295381986177893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04295381986177893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04097305691364039, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036559010830155225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001980762948138537, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006394809031623705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006584660456730784, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006584660456730784, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013451199793856006, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016537780638986033, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068665393371252215, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009953120182255248, "ret_p1w": 0.06350773737980764, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06350773737980764, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04627787650148951, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03630831234021947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017229860878318126, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027199425039588165, "ret_p1m": 0.05261540339543269, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05261540339543269, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.057494968587274986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06565023737059883, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004879565191842294, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013034833975166138, "ret_p3m": 0.05021540715144224, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05021540715144224, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004252852753990677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05962803203560019, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04596255439745156, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00941262488415795, "ret_p6m": 0.29679997370793276, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29679997370793276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2407992722080199, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27816901172314346, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.056000701499912875, "bench_c_p6m": 0.018630961984789307, "price_path": [0.5513, 0.5829, 0.5209, 0.5662, 0.5541, 0.5541, 0.5791, 0.6089, 0.558, 0.5291, 0.5291, 0.5287, 0.4674, 0.4642, 0.4615, 0.4797, 0.4459, 0.4396, 0.3983, 0.347, 0.347, 0.3533, 0.3265, 0.3039, 0.3058, 0.2849, 0.287, 0.279, 0.1239, 0.1277, 0.175, 0.179, 0.1526, 0.1622, 0.1564, 0.1142, 0.1391, 0.1543, 0.1665, 0.1912, 0.1577, 0.1324, 0.1613, 0.2335, 0.2305, 0.2305, 0.1924, 0.1986, 0.2148, 0.1814, 0.2271, 0.2291, 0.2433, 0.2423, 0.247, 0.1578, 0.1122, 0.0864, 0.0994, 0.079, 0.094, 0.0926, 0.043, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0695, 0.0543, 0.081, 0.0635, 0.0513, 0.0623, 0.0934, 0.1066, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0783, 0.0254, 0.0362, 0.053, 0.0148, 0.0645, 0.0885, 0.057, 0.0745, 0.0526, -0.0063, -0.0332, -0.0434, -0.0774, -0.0951, -0.1258, -0.1097, -0.0023, 0.0473, 0.0356, 0.1942, 0.1279, 0.1076, 0.1078, 0.115, 0.137, 0.0942, 0.0752, 0.0583, 0.0367, 0.0578, 0.0926, 0.0707, 0.0759, 0.0921, 0.0766, 0.1483, 0.1084, 0.0692, 0.103, 0.103, 0.0877, 0.0842, 0.1002, 0.0959, 0.0849, 0.0755, 0.0769, 0.095, 0.0922, 0.0695, 0.0502, 0.091, 0.1229, 0.0954, 0.1535, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.1174, 0.1262, 0.1236, 0.1529, 0.2084, 0.2149, 0.2177, 0.2914, 0.4231, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5478, 0.5566, 0.6143, 0.6201, 0.4833, 0.5276, 0.5547, 0.5788, 0.5292, 0.5337, 0.472, 0.5478, 0.5162, 0.3292, 0.3554, 0.3526, 0.4283, 0.37, 0.4281, 0.3345, 0.278, 0.2239, 0.2347, 0.1801, 0.2236, 0.2308, 0.2153, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.3178, 0.33, 0.3706, 0.3606, 0.374, 0.2964, 0.3558, 0.3121, 0.2874, 0.2662, 0.2694, 0.3176, 0.3176, 0.296, 0.3502, 0.4164, 0.2968]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990480733526503732", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:02:42+00:00", "symbol": "GOOG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI overhang is tapering off. Stock was significantly undervalued. That's why. Its forward PE was below McDonalds in April - never been that cheap.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOG: AI overhang tapering, stock historically undervalued on forward PE basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepIceValue AI overhang is tapering off. Stock was significantly undervalued. That\u2019s why. \n\nIts forward PE was below McDonalds in April - never been that cheap. Even a few months ago it was still historically low. \n\nUsing stock price vs multiples is not a fair comparison.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Why didnt $BRK.B buy $GOOG in 2022 when it was at $83 or just few months ago when it was at $150?\n\nRisk of breaking the web search is long time gone, capex is up again, and risk of AI bubble is increasing, this makes no sense.. https://t.co/TZlaA73DyJ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepIceValue", "ret_m1d": -0.0301820432694494, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0301820432694494, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03958608886343595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03153127473378137, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022408864678512552, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022408864678512552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006156666302249425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007907437613710377, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.11509102163472473, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11509102163472473, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11049416650292998, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09863117128504761, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": 0.07818899394437429, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07818899394437429, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05835928718188588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02898942330054588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.08393496368176057, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08393496368176057, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05747568279437232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04947610591780238, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 0.3457317709294656, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3457317709294656, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23048967966698508, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.29692793617274926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2997, -0.2982, -0.2768, -0.2683, -0.2725, -0.2716, -0.2571, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2584, -0.1915, -0.1861, -0.1773, -0.1801, -0.1599, -0.1612, -0.1569, -0.1548, -0.1185, -0.1197, -0.1252, -0.1165, -0.1063, -0.1146, -0.1165, -0.1322, -0.1367, -0.1345, -0.1444, -0.1472, -0.1403, -0.1371, -0.1371, -0.1194, -0.1347, -0.1405, -0.1519, -0.1685, -0.1434, -0.138, -0.1187, -0.1181, -0.1114, -0.1001, -0.12, -0.1158, -0.1116, -0.0879, -0.0549, -0.0601, -0.0365, -0.013, -0.0132, -0.0052, -0.0264, -0.003, -0.0009, -0.0207, 0.0175, 0.0215, 0.0064, -0.0227, -0.0302, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0259, 0.0153, 0.0492, 0.1151, 0.1332, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1209, 0.1034, 0.1065, 0.1226, 0.1148, 0.1278, 0.1017, 0.1133, 0.1247, 0.0991, 0.088, 0.0838, 0.0782, 0.0443, 0.0642, 0.0813, 0.0908, 0.106, 0.106, 0.106, 0.1035, 0.1015, 0.1021, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.1118, 0.1021, 0.1297, 0.1422, 0.1532, 0.1658, 0.1787, 0.1783, 0.1673, 0.1574, 0.1574, 0.1287, 0.1505, 0.1592, 0.1507, 0.1688, 0.1737, 0.1782, 0.1866, 0.1861, 0.2084, 0.1937, 0.1679, 0.1609, 0.132, 0.1366, 0.1164, 0.0908, 0.0839, 0.0722, 0.0722, 0.061, 0.0649, 0.0636, 0.1033, 0.0921, 0.0894, 0.0968, 0.0762, 0.0912, 0.0734, 0.0636, 0.0632, 0.0543, 0.0451, 0.0729, 0.0761, 0.0814, 0.0631, 0.057, 0.0673, 0.0848, 0.0739, 0.0719, 0.0476, 0.0484, 0.014, 0.0153, -0.0157, -0.0402, -0.0423, 0.0058, 0.034, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0436, 0.0656, 0.1035, 0.1092, 0.107, 0.1192, 0.1591, 0.1727, 0.1667, 0.19, 0.176, 0.1587, 0.1841, 0.1842, 0.2002, 0.222, 0.2184, 0.2177, 0.3391, 0.3436, 0.3311, 0.3473, 0.3854, 0.386, 0.3921, 0.3561, 0.3457]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854917319371391205", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-08T16:02:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expecting $325-338 next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA bull flag target $310 hit; next target $325\u2013338 expected next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CheddarFlow Called it - target #1 at $310 bull flag reached today - expecting $325-338 next week https://t.co/m1Tg2SmrJ7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA MORE??? https://t.co/V779Exh06w", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CheddarFlow", "ret_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07136715217015199, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06168816400649946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004313059106265005, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01399204726991754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0886430854567426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0694209691819272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009528259744473466, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02017494224926275, "ret_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0192395312116328, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006252945826855205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02079609679939165, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0078095114146140565, "ret_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20261815254849003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1347205032243579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010849274958011357, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07874692428214347, "ret_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.163812873973048, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10996141008475946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01347998447477372, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06733144836306226, "ret_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.075552717517546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0582375776483095, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05196110883019578, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06927624869943227, "price_path": [-0.353, -0.3731, -0.3334, -0.3272, -0.3066, -0.3117, -0.3049, -0.3442, -0.3141, -0.3362, -0.3487, -0.3595, -0.3578, -0.3334, -0.3334, -0.3444, -0.3169, -0.2835, -0.344, -0.3267, -0.2959, -0.2898, -0.2846, -0.2831, -0.294, -0.2906, -0.2927, -0.2406, -0.2583, -0.2217, -0.2084, -0.1999, -0.2086, -0.1892, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.2248, -0.2508, -0.2215, -0.2503, -0.2388, -0.2496, -0.2567, -0.322, -0.3177, -0.3164, -0.311, -0.3123, -0.3129, -0.3187, -0.3214, -0.3349, -0.1891, -0.162, -0.1828, -0.1921, -0.1982, -0.2222, -0.2249, -0.244, -0.2172, -0.1018, -0.0757, 0.0, 0.0896, 0.0226, 0.0281, -0.0313, -0.0016, 0.0545, 0.0771, 0.0648, 0.0573, 0.0976, 0.0541, 0.053, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0745, 0.1117, 0.094, 0.1143, 0.1503, 0.2117, 0.2135, 0.2483, 0.3224, 0.3016, 0.358, 0.4414, 0.4939, 0.3702, 0.3579, 0.3108, 0.3405, 0.4391, 0.4391, 0.4138, 0.3438, 0.2995, 0.2572, 0.2572, 0.1807, 0.2778, 0.2797, 0.2277, 0.2295, 0.2295, 0.2289, 0.2556, 0.2339, 0.3331, 0.2883, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.3202, 0.2923, 0.2838, 0.2657, 0.2364, 0.2393, 0.2113, 0.2461, 0.2596, 0.1944, 0.221, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.1258, 0.0919, 0.0227, 0.0476, 0.1081, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1024, 0.1225, 0.1033, 0.0516, 0.029, -0.0573, -0.0947, -0.1223, -0.0879, -0.1138, -0.1531, -0.1311, -0.1798, -0.1823, -0.3084, -0.2822, -0.2277, -0.2507, -0.2218, -0.259, -0.2986, -0.2657, -0.2645, -0.2257, -0.1333, -0.103, -0.153, -0.1497, -0.1795, -0.1932, -0.1642, -0.1197, -0.1679, -0.2546, -0.2737, -0.3093, -0.1526, -0.2142, -0.2145, -0.2144, -0.2089, -0.248, -0.2486, -0.2486, -0.2918, -0.2592, -0.2194, -0.1921, -0.1129, -0.11, -0.0909, -0.1216, -0.1267, -0.1059, -0.1275]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813628523137192092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-17T17:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Position update:\n\nShort $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)\nLong $DIA (rotation)\nLong $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)\nLong $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)\nLong $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)\n\nDirectional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA\n\n---\n\nFWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030242648865093535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030242648865093535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016022198880938143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016022198880938143, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047324911064384745, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0047324911064384745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029524331532110315, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0029524331532110315, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "ret_p1w": -0.038171694235140885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038171694235140885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009963874207319035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009963874207319035, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "ret_p1m": -0.015256235211764557, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015256235211764557, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0083073646480043, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0083073646480043, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "ret_p3m": 0.034101608660786153, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.034101608660786153, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01827793276142442, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01827793276142442, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "ret_p6m": 0.07276524769938764, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07276524769938764, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.007501185918321163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.007501185918321163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "price_path": [-0.1407, -0.132, -0.1191, -0.1161, -0.1204, -0.1068, -0.1032, -0.1201, -0.1264, -0.1153, -0.0975, -0.0876, -0.0875, -0.088, -0.086, -0.0839, -0.0818, -0.0759, -0.0614, -0.0633, -0.0638, -0.0573, -0.0554, -0.0556, -0.0598, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0642, -0.066, -0.0609, -0.0584, -0.0394, -0.0397, -0.0406, -0.0367, -0.0301, -0.0174, -0.0121, -0.0069, 0.0052, 0.0055, 0.0055, -0.0022, -0.0049, -0.0162, -0.005, -0.0029, -0.0003, -0.0055, 0.0003, 0.0108, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0299, 0.0323, 0.0332, 0.044, 0.0211, 0.0271, 0.0298, 0.0302, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.0136, 0.0011, -0.0024, -0.0382, -0.0488, -0.039, -0.0371, -0.0503, -0.0222, -0.0459, -0.0685, -0.0963, -0.0877, -0.0976, -0.07, -0.0651, -0.0631, -0.0398, -0.0395, -0.0153, -0.014, -0.001, -0.0031, 0.0015, -0.0144, -0.0037, -0.0133, -0.0104, -0.0216, -0.0231, -0.0114, -0.0114, -0.0414, -0.0439, -0.043, -0.0687, -0.0567, -0.048, -0.0273, -0.0177, -0.0133, -0.0177, -0.0172, -0.0214, 0.0033, 0.0014, 0.004, 0.0089, 0.0098, 0.0174, 0.0118, 0.0145, 0.0004, 0.0018, 0.001, 0.0129, 0.0021, 0.0171, 0.0251, 0.0239, 0.0255, 0.0341, 0.0203, 0.0204, 0.0211, 0.0278, 0.0298, 0.0309, 0.0151, 0.0233, 0.0296, 0.0297, 0.0396, 0.0318, 0.0057, 0.0132, 0.0102, 0.0231, 0.0509, 0.0674, 0.0687, 0.0681, 0.0661, 0.0648, 0.0574, 0.0322, 0.0393, 0.0465, 0.0459, 0.0496, 0.0513, 0.053, 0.0586, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0595, 0.0711, 0.0744, 0.0876, 0.0846, 0.0943, 0.0858, 0.0821, 0.1015, 0.0944, 0.1028, 0.1186, 0.1137, 0.0735, 0.0688, 0.0781, 0.0886, 0.1033, 0.1033, 0.1026, 0.0879, 0.0735, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.0623, 0.0797, 0.0921, 0.0726, 0.0728, 0.0728]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813628523137192092", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-17T17:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $DIA (rotation)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Position update:\n\nShort $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)\nLong $DIA (rotation)\nLong $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)\nLong $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)\nLong $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)\n\nDirectional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA\n\n---\n\nFWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005510297340528214, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005510297340528214, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019730747324683606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019730747324683606, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012647573569961157, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012647573569961157, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004962649310311651, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004962649310311651, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "ret_p1w": -0.0317279936396313, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0317279936396313, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0035201736118094518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0035201736118094518, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "ret_p1m": -0.014216554944604387, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014216554944604387, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0072676843808441305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0072676843808441305, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "ret_p3m": 0.050481463201834664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.050481463201834664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0018980782203759095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0018980782203759095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "ret_p6m": 0.04287136623852672, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04287136623852672, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.022392695542539753, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.022392695542539753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "price_path": [-0.0814, -0.0752, -0.0688, -0.0702, -0.0787, -0.0754, -0.0717, -0.0855, -0.0836, -0.0755, -0.0646, -0.0605, -0.0598, -0.0556, -0.0471, -0.0442, -0.046, -0.0433, -0.0343, -0.0345, -0.0312, -0.0357, -0.0341, -0.0392, -0.0537, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0587, -0.0685, -0.076, -0.0613, -0.0645, -0.0614, -0.0589, -0.057, -0.059, -0.0571, -0.0603, -0.0609, -0.0629, -0.0639, -0.0588, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0503, -0.05, -0.0436, -0.0508, -0.0502, -0.0495, -0.0505, -0.0497, -0.0453, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0443, -0.0448, -0.0461, -0.0356, -0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0232, -0.0055, 0.0, -0.0126, -0.0213, -0.0184, -0.02, -0.0317, -0.0297, -0.014, -0.0151, -0.0105, -0.0079, -0.0207, -0.0355, -0.0605, -0.0529, -0.0582, -0.0418, -0.0403, -0.0436, -0.0339, -0.0283, -0.0142, -0.0113, -0.0056, -0.0069, -0.0059, -0.0095, 0.001, 0.0032, 0.0036, -0.0001, 0.0061, 0.0117, 0.0117, -0.0028, -0.0024, -0.0072, -0.0168, -0.0057, -0.0076, -0.0052, 0.0014, 0.0086, 0.0145, 0.0142, 0.0116, 0.0243, 0.0253, 0.0266, 0.0291, 0.0218, 0.0279, 0.0311, 0.0315, 0.0276, 0.0286, 0.0239, 0.0322, 0.023, 0.0259, 0.0362, 0.0353, 0.0452, 0.0505, 0.0423, 0.0501, 0.0543, 0.0551, 0.0471, 0.047, 0.0369, 0.0335, 0.0271, 0.0342, 0.0304, 0.0286, 0.0186, 0.0253, 0.0195, 0.0299, 0.0663, 0.0667, 0.0733, 0.0804, 0.0716, 0.0726, 0.0675, 0.0603, 0.0595, 0.0562, 0.0598, 0.0712, 0.0814, 0.0922, 0.0954, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.0983, 0.095, 0.093, 0.1004, 0.0949, 0.0912, 0.0861, 0.0827, 0.0798, 0.0744, 0.0722, 0.0697, 0.0629, 0.0352, 0.036, 0.0488, 0.0496, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0602, 0.0523, 0.042, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0372, 0.0454, 0.0453, 0.0409, 0.0429, 0.0429]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813628523137192092", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-07-17T17:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Position update:\n\nShort $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)\nLong $DIA (rotation)\nLong $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)\nLong $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)\nLong $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)\n\nDirectional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA\n\n---\n\nFWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07093822043233766, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07093822043233766, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05671777044818227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0057276118725575476, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "bench_c_m1d": 0.07666583230489521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02627338861871853, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02627338861871853, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033958312878368035, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021081074076385597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005192314542332932, "ret_p1w": -0.03169753492944505, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03169753492944505, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0034897149016231976, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020383330873190553, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0520808658026356, "ret_p1m": 0.04127468376343946, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04127468376343946, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.048223554327199714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07215346748773654, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030878783724297088, "ret_p3m": 0.1702841011863836, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1702841011863836, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11790455976417302, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14251279597827882, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02777130520810478, "ret_p6m": 0.18765702497623837, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18765702497623837, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1223929631951719, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19108744322613125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003430418249892875, "price_path": [-0.3542, -0.3261, -0.3015, -0.3248, -0.2997, -0.2565, -0.2563, -0.2678, -0.2963, -0.2727, -0.2475, -0.2192, -0.2326, -0.2338, -0.2479, -0.2383, -0.2339, -0.2258, -0.198, -0.2003, -0.2163, -0.1968, -0.1916, -0.1953, -0.1203, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0347, -0.0269, -0.0636, -0.0709, -0.0254, -0.0132, 0.0376, 0.0254, 0.0245, 0.0321, 0.0247, 0.0611, 0.0985, 0.1177, 0.1101, 0.1491, 0.1491, 0.1084, 0.0727, 0.001, 0.0686, 0.0713, 0.0509, 0.047, 0.0535, 0.0397, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0664, 0.0865, 0.1135, 0.1434, 0.0798, 0.0953, 0.0886, 0.0709, 0.0, 0.0263, -0.0005, 0.047, 0.039, -0.0317, -0.0484, -0.0418, -0.0542, -0.1209, -0.0082, -0.0744, -0.0909, -0.1487, -0.1165, -0.1617, -0.1103, -0.1122, -0.076, -0.0157, 0.0008, 0.0413, 0.0559, 0.1018, 0.0785, 0.0891, 0.0487, 0.0964, 0.0718, 0.0874, 0.0646, -0.0034, 0.0117, 0.0117, -0.0847, -0.0998, -0.0914, -0.1285, -0.0976, -0.0838, -0.0092, 0.0098, 0.0095, -0.0102, -0.0203, -0.0391, -0.0009, -0.0168, -0.0146, 0.0245, 0.0469, 0.0514, 0.029, 0.0293, -0.0083, 0.0074, 0.0413, 0.0588, 0.0826, 0.1264, 0.1243, 0.1427, 0.1426, 0.1703, 0.1154, 0.1504, 0.1606, 0.1697, 0.2181, 0.2171, 0.1829, 0.1901, 0.1997, 0.1911, 0.1972, 0.181, 0.1253, 0.1477, 0.1532, 0.1859, 0.2342, 0.2619, 0.2513, 0.2312, 0.2569, 0.2398, 0.2439, 0.2034, 0.1879, 0.2461, 0.2366, 0.2432, 0.2032, 0.1529, 0.1605, 0.1471, 0.1471, 0.1718, 0.175, 0.1888, 0.2302, 0.2296, 0.2074, 0.1766, 0.1449, 0.1809, 0.1642, 0.138, 0.1189, 0.1053, 0.0927, 0.1077, 0.1418, 0.1839, 0.1886, 0.1886, 0.1861, 0.1614, 0.1654, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.1724, 0.2246, 0.2667, 0.1879, 0.1877, 0.1877]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813628523137192092", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-07-17T17:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Position update:\n\nShort $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)\nLong $DIA (rotation)\nLong $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)\nLong $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)\nLong $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)\n\nDirectional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA\n\n---\n\nFWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01594616491455758, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01594616491455758, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001725714930402189, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001725714930402189, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014883064724072748, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014883064724072748, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022567988983722254, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022567988983722254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "ret_p1w": -0.057406058515321656, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.057406058515321656, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029198238487499806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029198238487499806, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "ret_p1m": 0.10630758586093636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10630758586093636, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11325645642469662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11325645642469662, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "ret_p3m": 0.537916462859048, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.537916462859048, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.48553692143683747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.48553692143683747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "ret_p6m": 1.4177889800530665, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.4177889800530665, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.352524918272, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.352524918272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "price_path": [-0.2746, -0.2569, -0.2332, -0.2349, -0.2307, -0.202, -0.191, -0.2215, -0.2162, -0.2009, -0.1733, -0.1067, -0.2417, -0.236, -0.2509, -0.27, -0.258, -0.2403, -0.2321, -0.2328, -0.2289, -0.2339, -0.2473, -0.2498, -0.2658, -0.2555, -0.2555, -0.2541, -0.258, -0.23, -0.2318, -0.2445, -0.2169, -0.1864, -0.157, -0.174, -0.1804, -0.1549, -0.1577, -0.1754, -0.1648, -0.1134, -0.085, -0.085, -0.0943, -0.1552, -0.1439, -0.1297, -0.146, -0.1063, -0.1024, -0.0829, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0351, -0.0184, -0.0294, 0.0071, -0.0206, -0.0053, 0.0159, 0.0159, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0128, 0.0085, 0.0209, -0.0574, -0.0563, -0.0369, -0.0404, -0.0656, -0.0471, -0.0758, -0.1233, -0.1464, -0.0578, -0.0673, 0.0376, 0.0634, 0.0411, 0.0769, 0.0985, 0.1063, 0.1368, 0.1517, 0.1453, 0.1531, 0.1311, 0.1262, 0.0932, 0.0928, 0.0758, 0.0985, 0.1155, 0.1155, 0.0811, 0.084, 0.0687, 0.0748, 0.2261, 0.2318, 0.2349, 0.2371, 0.2612, 0.2867, 0.2916, 0.2892, 0.3051, 0.3182, 0.3448, 0.3076, 0.3154, 0.3147, 0.3055, 0.3182, 0.292, 0.3285, 0.3905, 0.4178, 0.3781, 0.4688, 0.5283, 0.5422, 0.5418, 0.5379, 0.5035, 0.4858, 0.4883, 0.5227, 0.5131, 0.5216, 0.5092, 0.5436, 0.5897, 0.5936, 0.5921, 0.5482, 0.4727, 0.4855, 0.4674, 0.8118, 0.9678, 0.9802, 1.0691, 1.1347, 1.1208, 1.151, 1.0971, 1.3306, 1.1708, 1.2318, 1.2013, 1.1743, 1.2803, 1.2909, 1.3296, 1.3405, 1.3405, 1.377, 1.3526, 1.5145, 1.4752, 1.5468, 1.7052, 1.5677, 1.512, 1.5695, 1.5939, 1.6956, 1.6843, 1.6361, 1.534, 1.6297, 1.8544, 1.8593, 1.9192, 1.9192, 1.9107, 1.8023, 1.7349, 1.68, 1.68, 1.6644, 1.831, 1.6903, 1.4802, 1.4178, 1.4178]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813628523137192092", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-07-17T17:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Position update:\n\nShort $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)\nLong $DIA (rotation)\nLong $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)\nLong $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)\nLong $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)\n\nDirectional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA\n\n---\n\nFWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028741323832254695, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028741323832254695, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04296177381641009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04571720643670596, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220449984155392, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016975882604451265, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005946523162470907, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005946523162470907, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001738401097178599, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004238666740214114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684924259649506, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010185189902685021, "ret_p1w": -0.046085247329617385, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046085247329617385, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017877427301795534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006930985910689524, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02820782002782185, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05301623324030691, "ret_p1m": 0.0587214790892967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0587214790892967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06567034965305696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10442515632108718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006948870563760257, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045703677231790474, "ret_p3m": 0.22918731070652054, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22918731070652054, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17680776928430997, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19577164217520138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052379541422210574, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033415668531319165, "ret_p6m": 0.3761149671856645, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3761149671856645, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31085090540459803, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20665188794307077, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06526406178106647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16946307924259374, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.2089, -0.1933, -0.1982, -0.2086, -0.1876, -0.192, -0.2133, -0.2247, -0.1888, -0.1757, -0.1566, -0.1573, -0.1829, -0.2245, -0.2468, -0.2396, -0.1006, -0.0976, -0.0922, -0.0555, -0.0496, -0.0756, -0.0686, -0.0483, -0.0032, -0.0032, 0.0362, 0.0567, 0.0555, 0.054, 0.0218, 0.0114, 0.0406, 0.0456, 0.0493, 0.0587, 0.085, 0.081, 0.0629, 0.0406, 0.0315, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.0339, -0.0159, -0.033, -0.0396, -0.0436, -0.033, -0.0387, -0.0577, -0.0778, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0785, -0.0602, -0.0783, -0.0924, -0.0825, -0.0706, -0.0686, -0.0287, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0074, 0.0055, 0.004, -0.0461, -0.0535, -0.0035, -0.0131, -0.0382, 0.0263, -0.0027, -0.0419, -0.0773, -0.0627, -0.0845, -0.0327, -0.0032, -0.0201, 0.0225, 0.005, 0.0587, 0.054, 0.0518, 0.0339, 0.0768, 0.0701, 0.1043, 0.1373, 0.1873, 0.1489, 0.1625, 0.164, 0.164, 0.1415, 0.1323, 0.1095, 0.1011, 0.0991, 0.1214, 0.1501, 0.2153, 0.2049, 0.2359, 0.2203, 0.2621, 0.2322, 0.2376, 0.249, 0.253, 0.2438, 0.2778, 0.2668, 0.2426, 0.2227, 0.2193, 0.2307, 0.2812, 0.2488, 0.2822, 0.2624, 0.2376, 0.2389, 0.2292, 0.2237, 0.2173, 0.1933, 0.1975, 0.197, 0.2056, 0.1739, 0.1791, 0.255, 0.254, 0.2366, 0.2094, 0.1749, 0.1521, 0.1472, 0.1863, 0.1786, 0.2483, 0.2758, 0.306, 0.3038, 0.306, 0.3219, 0.2864, 0.2758, 0.3231, 0.3315, 0.3922, 0.4403, 0.4487, 0.4366, 0.4346, 0.4346, 0.4452, 0.4502, 0.4752, 0.4618, 0.471, 0.4281, 0.3632, 0.3672, 0.442, 0.4272, 0.4197, 0.4341, 0.4034, 0.3568, 0.3662, 0.4158, 0.4036, 0.3987, 0.3987, 0.3972, 0.3783, 0.3674, 0.357, 0.357, 0.3719, 0.4029, 0.3533, 0.3697, 0.3761, 0.3761]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849266908840992877", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T01:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Crushed it except revenue did not beat estimates", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Broadly bullish TSLA earnings reaction; beat on EPS, margins, operating income, and FCF despite revenue miss.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CheddarFlow Crushed it except revenue did not beat estimates", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA EARNINGS: \n\n\u2705Adjusted EPS: 72 cents (Estimate: 60 cents)\n\u2705Revenue: $25.18B (Estimate: $25.43B)\n\u2705Gross Margin: 19.8% (Estimate: 16.8%)\n\u2705Operating Income: $2.72B (Estimate: $1.96B)\n\u2705Free Cash Flow: $2.74B (Estimate: $1.61B)\n\u2705Capital Expenditure: $3.51B (Estimate:", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CheddarFlow", "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762547505065163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580596340952107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378350168798361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03029108045445561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003452680895702498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031471531439577483, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509439904721318, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374150547236906, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299852303771513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435141661255925, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126000794002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02808856196216092, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834231979009077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04460962395918133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039414597716513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038405030367065773, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540403016564069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0695241125312176, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1875082123260068244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-03T07:29:50+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too low. Anything below $500 is too low. Analysts slow to see beyond the AI curve", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author thinks $404 PT is too low; implies TSLA worth $500+ on AI optionality analysts are underestimating.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt Too low. Anything below $500 is too low. Analysts slow to see beyond the AI curve", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEWS: Canaccord Genuity has raised its $TSLA price target to $404 (from $298). They maintain a BUY rating.\n\n\"Despite weaker-than-expected deliveries, we are sticking with our BUY and raising our target from $298 to $404. This target is based on ~40x (from ~34x) our 2027E (from", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": -0.0759185349302246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0759185349302246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06356957185755108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05608494726498192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012348963072673524, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01983358766524268, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014861742226248698, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014861742226248698, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004274387862625462, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002453984736923598, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005760562085250331, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003940158959548468, "ret_p1w": -0.03825166190830187, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03825166190830187, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018892010048347396, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01585035858556494, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019359651859954474, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022401303322736932, "ret_p1m": -0.06519834715536821, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06519834715536821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07503032012643851, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07945367855003937, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009831972971070302, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014255331394671167, "ret_p3m": -0.31108077165068393, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31108077165068393, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26761127935526574, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2136379116705558, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04346949229541819, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09744285998012814, "ret_p6m": -0.22605008826482986, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22605008826482986, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2760386288572315, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19289775149610977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.049988540592401653, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03315233676872009, "price_path": [-0.4043, -0.4127, -0.4183, -0.4693, -0.466, -0.465, -0.4607, -0.4618, -0.4623, -0.4668, -0.4689, -0.4795, -0.3654, -0.3441, -0.3604, -0.3677, -0.3725, -0.3913, -0.3934, -0.4083, -0.3874, -0.297, -0.2766, -0.2174, -0.1473, -0.1997, -0.1954, -0.2418, -0.2186, -0.1747, -0.157, -0.1667, -0.1725, -0.141, -0.1751, -0.1759, -0.1889, -0.1889, -0.159, -0.13, -0.1438, -0.1279, -0.0998, -0.0517, -0.0503, -0.023, 0.0349, 0.0187, 0.0628, 0.1281, 0.1691, 0.0723, 0.0627, 0.0259, 0.0491, 0.1263, 0.1263, 0.1064, 0.0517, 0.017, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.0392, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0383, -0.0174, -0.0343, 0.0433, 0.0082, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.0332, 0.0114, 0.0047, -0.0094, -0.0324, -0.0301, -0.052, -0.0248, -0.0142, -0.0652, -0.0444, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.1189, -0.1455, -0.1996, -0.1801, -0.1328, -0.133, -0.133, -0.1372, -0.1215, -0.1365, -0.177, -0.1947, -0.2623, -0.2915, -0.3131, -0.2862, -0.3065, -0.3372, -0.32, -0.3581, -0.36, -0.4588, -0.4382, -0.3956, -0.4136, -0.3909, -0.4201, -0.4511, -0.4253, -0.4244, -0.394, -0.3217, -0.298, -0.3372, -0.3345, -0.3579, -0.3686, -0.3459, -0.3111, -0.3488, -0.4167, -0.4316, -0.4595, -0.3368, -0.3851, -0.3853, -0.3852, -0.3809, -0.4115, -0.4119, -0.4119, -0.4457, -0.4202, -0.3891, -0.3677, -0.3057, -0.3035, -0.2885, -0.3125, -0.3165, -0.3002, -0.3172, -0.3291, -0.327, -0.3061, -0.2733, -0.2243, -0.1861, -0.1529, -0.1648, -0.1473, -0.1665, -0.1623, -0.1847, -0.1691, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.1159, -0.1304, -0.1267, -0.1559, -0.1651, -0.1612, -0.191, -0.3064, -0.2809, -0.2482, -0.2055, -0.2047, -0.2225, -0.2074, -0.1981, -0.2292, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.2151, -0.1505, -0.1705, -0.202, -0.2063, -0.2115, -0.2261]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988886716136968568", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T08:28:39+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fundamentals and technicals align for a massive breakout in the next 1-2 years (2-3x)\u2026 price will send to ~390-480 for 2-3x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BABA; cup/handle setup with Qwen catalyst targets $250 then $390-480 (2-3x) over 1-2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing a similar setup for $BABA that $TSLA formed around ~6 months ago. With tonight's Qwen news, I'm seeing the fundamentals and technicals align for a massive breakout in the next 1-2 years (2-3x).\n\nI called the monthly cloud breakout to ~190 around 5 months ago (although I did not capitalize on it unfortunately). It looks like we're getting another entry opportunity.\n\nSeeing massive confluence at several 5-10 year old fib levels and *if* the monthly cloud is breached with a full candle, followed by a golden zone breach around ~220, we will quickly see $250. I expect price to pull back around here and form a potential handle. If the cup/handle fulfills, price will send to ~390-480 for 2-3x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012074529029025838, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012074529029025838, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028948556965985084, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03767797660470662, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025603447575680782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03778774664987283, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03778774664987283, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03762397788953564, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03300323300642172, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004784513643451116, "ret_p1w": -0.04104102670727272, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04104102670727272, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012010022623009542, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005683127288086065, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046724153995358786, "ret_p1m": -0.026026049533406037, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026026049533406037, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040489489002535906, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0665431990921811, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040517149558775056, "ret_p3m": 0.041729218729744, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.041729218729744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.008806948333911269, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019621445539304228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022107773190439772, "ret_p6m": -0.12374874394693636, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12374874394693636, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22758179151459113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16409480105166774, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04034605710473138, "price_path": [-0.2405, -0.2493, -0.2524, -0.2612, -0.2309, -0.222, -0.223, -0.2353, -0.2519, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1332, -0.1463, -0.1809, -0.1518, -0.1166, -0.0797, -0.0995, -0.0275, -0.0299, -0.0113, 0.0148, 0.0396, 0.0165, 0.0186, 0.0276, 0.0203, 0.1039, 0.0978, 0.0755, 0.1255, 0.1182, 0.1435, 0.1846, 0.1764, 0.1713, 0.1344, 0.1331, 0.0866, -0.0052, 0.0436, 0.0189, 0.038, 0.0328, 0.0451, 0.0853, 0.0427, 0.0377, 0.0755, 0.093, 0.1227, 0.1056, 0.1259, 0.0882, 0.0663, 0.0491, 0.0279, 0.0312, 0.0486, 0.0407, 0.0379, 0.006, -0.0121, 0.0, -0.0378, -0.0133, -0.0008, -0.0059, -0.041, -0.0432, 0.0056, -0.0177, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0159, 0.0277, 0.0081, -0.011, -0.015, -0.0095, -0.0107, -0.0243, -0.0064, -0.0184, -0.026, -0.061, -0.066, -0.0798, -0.0783, -0.0629, -0.0556, -0.0539, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0475, -0.071, -0.0781, -0.083, -0.083, -0.0257, -0.0224, -0.0559, -0.0819, -0.0336, -0.0556, 0.0405, 0.0449, 0.0629, 0.0694, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.016, 0.0552, 0.1085, 0.0838, 0.0721, 0.0806, 0.099, 0.0902, 0.0608, 0.0535, 0.0238, -0.0044, -0.013, 0.0167, 0.0198, 0.0417, 0.028, -0.0069, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0276, -0.0255, -0.0348, -0.0337, -0.0442, -0.0421, -0.0473, -0.0738, -0.0984, -0.1081, -0.1517, -0.1662, -0.1845, -0.1817, -0.1702, -0.1438, -0.1473, -0.1604, -0.1541, -0.1447, -0.1456, -0.159, -0.2186, -0.2342, -0.2113, -0.215, -0.1875, -0.2154, -0.2324, -0.2369, -0.2151, -0.2259, -0.2364, -0.2364, -0.2348, -0.251, -0.216, -0.2012, -0.2034, -0.1991, -0.1782, -0.1662, -0.1329, -0.1178, -0.1231, -0.153, -0.1465, -0.1761, -0.1503, -0.1709, -0.1814, -0.184, -0.1749, -0.1773, -0.1662, -0.1725, -0.1151, -0.1179, -0.1237]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1869827899483881646", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-19T19:31:25+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Post-earnings thrust is a textbook UTAD and suggests more chop downwards to go. Short-term expecting ~125-135 range until early Q1", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term bearish NVDA on Wyckoff Distribution / UTAD setup; expects chop down to ~125-135 range until early Q1.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lots of $NVDA charts showing the h/s setup - but haven't seen people point out the Wyckoff Distribution. \n\nPost-earnings thrust is a textbook UTAD and suggests more chop downwards to go (likely within 1d cloud). Short-term expecting ~125-135 range until early Q1 possibly when Jensen speaks Jan 6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013544104803901447, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013544104803901447, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013851198433537104, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02660562872065808, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00030709362963565745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013061523916756634, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03076235916937775, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03076235916937775, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018751362312926734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014686706738409105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012010996856451017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016075652430968645, "ret_p1w": 0.07078391162605069, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07078391162605069, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04132825814045327, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01564024670554165, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02945565348559742, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05514366492050904, "ret_p1m": 0.05379587562228161, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05379587562228161, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030776997897382197, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032127865529657296, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02301887772489941, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0859237411519389, "ret_p3m": -0.11661576205022595, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11661576205022595, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07704626555339356, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06449163203702724, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03956949649683239, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05212413001319871, "ret_p6m": 0.08656981298817001, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08656981298817001, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06146954644107594, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.005944337072718131, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.025100266547094074, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08062547591545188, "price_path": [-0.1104, -0.0751, -0.0549, -0.0509, -0.0711, -0.0708, -0.1047, -0.0906, -0.06, -0.0441, -0.0227, 0.0168, 0.015, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0565, 0.007, 0.0385, 0.0478, 0.0559, 0.0996, 0.0987, 0.0679, 0.0744, 0.083, 0.0752, 0.0808, 0.0662, 0.0158, 0.036, 0.041, 0.0706, 0.1142, 0.1392, 0.1296, 0.1115, 0.1347, 0.1192, 0.123, 0.0864, 0.0724, 0.1249, 0.1163, 0.1223, 0.0862, 0.0408, 0.0477, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0579, 0.0608, 0.0732, 0.1106, 0.11, 0.09, 0.0622, 0.0336, 0.066, 0.051, 0.0273, 0.0101, -0.0022, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0308, 0.0688, 0.073, 0.073, 0.0708, 0.0484, 0.0521, 0.0276, 0.0276, 0.0584, 0.1055, 0.1435, 0.0724, 0.0722, 0.0722, 0.04, 0.0195, 0.0083, 0.0425, 0.0221, 0.0538, 0.0538, 0.0777, 0.1254, 0.1266, 0.0914, -0.0938, -0.0129, -0.0534, -0.0461, -0.0812, -0.1073, -0.0921, -0.0448, -0.0153, -0.0064, 0.0221, 0.0162, 0.0035, 0.0353, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.0667, 0.0654, 0.0722, 0.0287, -0.0031, -0.031, 0.0046, -0.0806, -0.0441, -0.1272, -0.1124, -0.1024, -0.1539, -0.1377, -0.1814, -0.1677, -0.1142, -0.1155, -0.0689, -0.0852, -0.1166, -0.1006, -0.0929, -0.0992, -0.0709, -0.0764, -0.1294, -0.1472, -0.1607, -0.1706, -0.157, -0.155, -0.2209, -0.2782, -0.2528, -0.263, -0.125, -0.1768, -0.1511, -0.1527, -0.1413, -0.2003, -0.2233, -0.2233, -0.2583, -0.2432, -0.214, -0.1855, -0.1504, -0.1679, -0.1657, -0.1664, -0.1459, -0.1237, -0.1289, -0.1311, -0.1041, -0.1018, -0.1073, -0.0587, -0.0056, 0.0358, 0.0319, 0.0362, 0.0375, 0.0284, 0.0087, 0.0165, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.037, 0.0317, 0.0652, 0.0341, 0.0514, 0.0808, 0.0861, 0.0713, 0.0846, 0.0915, 0.1017, 0.0932, 0.1098, 0.0866]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1989030824889708694", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T18:01:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a cloud-bottom test at ~385 is on deck for the next 3-5 sessions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "TSLA likely tests cloud bottom ~$385 in 3-5 sessions; bearish near-term despite possible brief relief bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing *potential* short-term relief around here for $TSLA - especially if daily candle can wick up above $404. Closing within daily cloud is not good for bulls and a cloud-bottom test at ~385 is on deck for the next 3-5 sessions. https://t.co/QBzuhJbOEe\n\n---\n\nEarlier today someone likely bought $TSLA puts as flow aligns with price movement and key ~415 level was broken which exacerbated this sell off https://t.co/sANTEamXYn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07117096585529392, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07117096585529392, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054296937918334676, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04556751827961314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025603447575680782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005870832424868633, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005870832424868633, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060346011852058234, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010655346068319749, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004784513643451116, "ret_p1w": -0.016816287500356797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016816287500356797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012214716583906382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02990786649500199, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046724153995358786, "ret_p1m": 0.14171994976165325, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14171994976165325, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12725651029252338, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1012028002028782, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040517149558775056, "ret_p3m": 0.057762635351106706, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057762635351106706, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024840364955273975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.035654862160666934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022107773190439772, "ret_p6m": 0.06557381156125741, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06557381156125741, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03825923600639736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02522775445652603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04034605710473138, "price_path": [-0.1662, -0.1808, -0.1943, -0.2037, -0.1542, -0.1378, -0.1252, -0.1303, -0.1393, -0.1695, -0.1695, -0.1807, -0.1689, -0.1579, -0.1272, -0.1383, -0.1369, -0.1348, -0.0825, -0.0151, 0.02, 0.0488, 0.0594, 0.037, 0.0599, 0.0802, 0.0594, 0.1015, 0.0532, 0.0955, 0.1025, 0.1063, 0.143, 0.0846, 0.0693, 0.1275, 0.0774, 0.0913, 0.0835, 0.0286, 0.0844, 0.0678, 0.0825, 0.0666, 0.0928, 0.113, 0.101, 0.092, 0.1169, 0.0789, 0.1255, 0.1457, 0.1481, 0.0948, 0.1357, 0.1651, 0.1052, 0.1495, 0.1093, 0.0685, 0.1076, 0.0936, 0.0712, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0172, -0.0018, 0.005, -0.0168, -0.0271, 0.0393, 0.0433, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.0701, 0.07, 0.0678, 0.1113, 0.1307, 0.1319, 0.0935, 0.1074, 0.123, 0.1117, 0.1417, 0.1824, 0.2186, 0.1624, 0.2024, 0.197, 0.2158, 0.2079, 0.2075, 0.2075, 0.1821, 0.1434, 0.1305, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.0898, 0.1236, 0.077, 0.0732, 0.0841, 0.107, 0.1168, 0.1125, 0.0926, 0.091, 0.0883, 0.0883, 0.0429, 0.0733, 0.1178, 0.1171, 0.0826, 0.0719, 0.0733, 0.0362, 0.0707, 0.0493, 0.0497, 0.01, -0.0119, 0.0227, 0.0381, 0.0578, 0.0654, 0.0375, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0215, 0.0232, 0.0242, 0.0245, -0.0054, 0.0184, 0.0383, 0.0164, 0.0013, 0.0033, -0.0238, 0.0098, 0.0089, -0.0131, -0.0082, -0.0068, 0.0145, -0.0174, -0.0268, -0.016, -0.0068, -0.0229, -0.054, -0.0847, -0.0526, -0.0472, -0.0399, -0.0743, -0.0999, -0.1162, -0.0752, -0.0516, -0.103, -0.103, -0.1223, -0.1377, -0.1461, -0.1402, -0.1319, -0.1233, -0.094, -0.025, -0.0326, -0.0034, -0.0236, -0.0387, -0.036, -0.0703, -0.0639, -0.058, -0.0646, -0.0726, -0.0506, -0.0278, -0.0236, -0.0314, -0.0081, 0.0244, 0.0656]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966887478163632484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-13T15:31:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "technicals and sentiment are strong and aligned to upside. Easiest trade setup in months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bullish TSLA; technicals and sentiment aligned for upside, calls it the easiest trade setup in months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@herbertong Yes - technicals and sentiment are strong and aligned to upside. Easiest trade setup in months. Predicted 15x of the last 16x 10%+ moves on $TSLA since 2020 (which I called 414 high to the dollar) - all posted on X for the deniers to head scratch. \n\nhttps://t.co/a30uXZTTPn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\ud83d\udea8 $TSLA has momentum and can pretty easily back to old highs: Renaissance Macro's deGraaf\n\nJeff deGraaf says Tesla stock just broke out after 4 months of consolidation, charts point to more upside \ud83d\udcc8\n\nYes, sales are a concern, but momentum looks strong! https://t.co/L0qG6jBE6L", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "herbertong", "ret_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029091145195562218, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02578704186436953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008599861388196572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029617906654532344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02209239883382308, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006148715035427577, "ret_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04717549132032084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05934583158940743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040040576150734974, "ret_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04204941956878261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07148882044138494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024664166043423585, "ret_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04421906238383433, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.089520596747656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0003486973104591673, "ret_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05683327288720619, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01920288189458319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04554181976767535, "price_path": [-0.2146, -0.2146, -0.2143, -0.1496, -0.1697, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2107, -0.2253, -0.2666, -0.2302, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2831, -0.2737, -0.2784, -0.2443, -0.2354, -0.2271, -0.2421, -0.2155, -0.221, -0.1961, -0.1989, -0.1901, -0.189, -0.2554, -0.2292, -0.206, -0.2167, -0.2219, -0.2482, -0.262, -0.2458, -0.2471, -0.2198, -0.2141, -0.1961, -0.1732, -0.1688, -0.1723, -0.1816, -0.1938, -0.1826, -0.1969, -0.2101, -0.2193, -0.1708, -0.1547, -0.1424, -0.1474, -0.1562, -0.1858, -0.1858, -0.1968, -0.1852, -0.1744, -0.1444, -0.1552, -0.1538, -0.1518, -0.1006, -0.0344, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0386, 0.0166, 0.0391, 0.0589, 0.0386, 0.0799, 0.0326, 0.074, 0.0809, 0.0846, 0.1205, 0.0633, 0.0483, 0.1054, 0.0562, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0084, 0.0631, 0.0468, 0.0612, 0.0456, 0.0714, 0.0912, 0.0794, 0.0706, 0.095, 0.0578, 0.1034, 0.1232, 0.1255, 0.0733, 0.1135, 0.1423, 0.0835, 0.1269, 0.0875, 0.0475, 0.0858, 0.0721, 0.0501, -0.0196, -0.0139, -0.0027, -0.0214, -0.0148, -0.0361, -0.0462, 0.0189, 0.0228, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0491, 0.049, 0.0468, 0.0895, 0.1085, 0.1096, 0.072, 0.0857, 0.101, 0.0899, 0.1193, 0.1592, 0.1947, 0.1395, 0.1788, 0.1735, 0.1919, 0.1842, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1589, 0.121, 0.1083, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.0684, 0.1015, 0.0559, 0.0521, 0.0628, 0.0853, 0.0949, 0.0906, 0.0711, 0.0696, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0225, 0.0522, 0.0959, 0.0952, 0.0614, 0.0509, 0.0522, 0.0159, 0.0497, 0.0287, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0313, 0.0026, 0.0178, 0.037, 0.0445, 0.0171, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0041, 0.0043, -0.0249, -0.0016, 0.0179, -0.0036, -0.0184, -0.0164, -0.0429, -0.01, -0.011, -0.0325, -0.0277, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1915792934722740663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-25T15:40:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "which would suggest 292-325 by next week or mid May. Several months coiling around 220-250 will justify such a move regardless of weak earnings or upcoming Robotaxi", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: technical breakout targets 292-325 by next week or mid-May, supported by $1.2B dark pool print at 227.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "100% technical Emmet. There are many, many technicals that were breached today. Many traders had the downward fib channel around 260 marked and the momentum from that broke thru key levels (265, 272 and 275) which would suggest 292-325 by next week or mid May. Several months coiling around 220-250 will justify such a move regardless of weak earnings or upcoming Robotaxi.\n\n---\n\n@EmmetPeppers Called the move here. Notably a massive $1.2 billion darkpool print at 227 last week supported the thesis with risk favoring upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08927882558896938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08927882558896938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08210539156767793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07161703977831224, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007173434021291447, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017661785810657138, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032637046356942534, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032637046356942534, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0028824025850493484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029094182018059023, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00038130205064490497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003542864338883511, "ret_p1w": 0.007931142836396399, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007931142836396399, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021343795786418207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011451485033415087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029274938622814606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019382627869811486, "ret_p1m": 0.19087552834123822, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19087552834123822, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13917227080416028, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1248329412750746, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05170325753707794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06604258706616362, "ret_p3m": 0.16708188563603676, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16708188563603676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011908095538499142, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018136039547185456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15517379009753762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1489458460888513, "ret_p6m": 0.5702052062054299, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5702052062054299, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3440844573421047, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3698002673965033, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22612074886332523, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20040493880892662, "price_path": [0.3971, 0.3655, 0.4047, 0.4199, 0.3465, 0.3764, 0.3271, 0.3136, 0.2691, 0.2308, 0.1528, 0.1809, 0.2491, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2427, 0.2653, 0.2437, 0.1855, 0.16, 0.0626, 0.0205, -0.0105, 0.0282, -0.0011, -0.0453, -0.0205, -0.0755, -0.0782, -0.2204, -0.1908, -0.1294, -0.1554, -0.1227, -0.1647, -0.2093, -0.1723, -0.1709, -0.1272, -0.023, 0.0112, -0.0452, -0.0415, -0.0751, -0.0905, -0.0579, -0.0077, -0.062, -0.1597, -0.1813, -0.2214, -0.0447, -0.1142, -0.1145, -0.1144, -0.1082, -0.1523, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.2016, -0.1649, -0.1201, -0.0893, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0248, -0.0098, -0.0155, 0.0079, -0.0165, -0.0337, -0.0306, -0.0005, 0.0467, 0.1173, 0.1724, 0.2201, 0.2031, 0.2282, 0.2005, 0.2066, 0.1743, 0.1968, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.2735, 0.2525, 0.2579, 0.2159, 0.2026, 0.2082, 0.1653, -0.0009, 0.0358, 0.0829, 0.1444, 0.1456, 0.1199, 0.1416, 0.155, 0.1102, 0.1302, 0.1302, 0.1306, 0.2237, 0.1948, 0.1495, 0.1433, 0.1357, 0.1148, 0.0553, 0.1077, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.0315, 0.0451, 0.0384, 0.0875, 0.1002, 0.1121, 0.0906, 0.1289, 0.1209, 0.1569, 0.1528, 0.1655, 0.1671, 0.0714, 0.1092, 0.1426, 0.1272, 0.1196, 0.0818, 0.062, 0.0853, 0.0834, 0.1227, 0.131, 0.1569, 0.1898, 0.1961, 0.191, 0.1777, 0.1601, 0.1762, 0.1557, 0.1367, 0.1234, 0.1932, 0.2164, 0.2341, 0.2269, 0.2142, 0.1717, 0.1717, 0.1559, 0.1725, 0.188, 0.2312, 0.2157, 0.2177, 0.2205, 0.2943, 0.3895, 0.439, 0.4796, 0.4945, 0.4629, 0.4952, 0.5238, 0.4945, 0.5539, 0.4858, 0.5455, 0.5554, 0.5607, 0.6124, 0.5301, 0.5084, 0.5906, 0.5199, 0.5395, 0.5285, 0.4511, 0.5297, 0.5064, 0.5271, 0.5046, 0.5417, 0.5702]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986820908120678528", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:39:52+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see further downside (but am not short) and Wyckoff distribution forming. Target entry is ~350", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Sees further TSLA downside near-term with Wyckoff distribution forming; target entry ~$350 before a longer-term $600 PT.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I've been saying for 2+ weeks - $TSLA short-term upside risk/reward is not good. I opened a very minor long position ytday and exited today for a very minor loss. \n\nI see further downside (but am not short) and Wyckoff distribution forming. Target entry is ~350 and 12month PT remains ~$600.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038158910103519794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038158910103519794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03914244938301936, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03972758253742248, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015686724339026847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03657576451501576, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03657576451501576, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020971421207021335, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023432327734346448, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013143436780669315, "ret_p1w": -0.058600259717726644, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058600259717726644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060031061906488103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03752843769537395, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021071822022352693, "ret_p1m": 0.023421488675521296, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.023421488675521296, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004553196487051769, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022912714249006427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0005087744265148686, "ret_p3m": -0.054735471804313485, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.054735471804313485, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08044105900452536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07515445433210466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020418982527791174, "ret_p6m": -0.08616590658105283, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08616590658105283, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16236664373692722, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08837267424872064, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0022067676676678083, "price_path": [-0.2065, -0.2099, -0.2187, -0.2304, -0.2197, -0.2333, -0.2459, -0.2547, -0.2084, -0.1931, -0.1812, -0.1861, -0.1945, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2332, -0.2222, -0.2118, -0.1832, -0.1935, -0.1922, -0.1903, -0.1413, -0.0782, -0.0454, -0.0184, -0.0085, -0.0295, -0.008, 0.0109, -0.0085, 0.0309, -0.0143, 0.0253, 0.0319, 0.0354, 0.0697, 0.0151, 0.0007, 0.0552, 0.0083, 0.0213, 0.014, -0.0373, 0.0149, -0.0007, 0.0131, -0.0018, 0.0228, 0.0417, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0453, 0.0098, 0.0533, 0.0722, 0.0745, 0.0246, 0.063, 0.0904, 0.0343, 0.0758, 0.0382, 0.0, 0.0366, 0.0235, 0.0025, -0.0641, -0.0586, -0.048, -0.0658, -0.0594, -0.0798, -0.0895, -0.0273, -0.0236, -0.0068, -0.0068, 0.0015, 0.0014, -0.0007, 0.0401, 0.0582, 0.0593, 0.0234, 0.0364, 0.0511, 0.0404, 0.0685, 0.1066, 0.1405, 0.0879, 0.1254, 0.1203, 0.1379, 0.1305, 0.1301, 0.1301, 0.1063, 0.0701, 0.058, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0199, 0.0516, 0.008, 0.0044, 0.0146, 0.0361, 0.0453, 0.0412, 0.0225, 0.0211, 0.0186, 0.0186, -0.0239, 0.0045, 0.0462, 0.0455, 0.0132, 0.0032, 0.0045, -0.0302, 0.0021, -0.018, -0.0176, -0.0547, -0.0752, -0.0429, -0.0284, -0.01, -0.0029, -0.029, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.044, -0.0424, -0.0415, -0.0412, -0.0691, -0.0469, -0.0282, -0.0488, -0.0629, -0.061, -0.0864, -0.0549, -0.0558, -0.0763, -0.0718, -0.0705, -0.0505, -0.0803, -0.0892, -0.0791, -0.0704, -0.0855, -0.1146, -0.1433, -0.1133, -0.1082, -0.1014, -0.1337, -0.1576, -0.1728, -0.1345, -0.1124, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1786, -0.1929, -0.2009, -0.1953, -0.1876, -0.1795, -0.1521, -0.0875, -0.0946, -0.0673, -0.0862, -0.1003, -0.0978, -0.1299, -0.1239, -0.1184, -0.1246, -0.1321, -0.1115, -0.0901, -0.0862]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987776239495688452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T06:56:01+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "moving further down to 10+ year fib chan looking like a plausible scenario ... A poor Q1 earnings in Jan can send price to the 3rd gap around ~507", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish META: double fib golden zone + cloud retest signals further downside; poor Q1 earnings could send price to ~507.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META double fib golden zone overlap into 1d/2d cloud retest before moving further down to 10+ year fib chan looking like a plausible scenario. \n\nThis suggests strong technical symmetry *if* price falls through the golden zone. Two resulting points of interest shown with yellow arrows. A poor Q1 earnings in Jan can send price to the 3rd gap around ~507.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0159080092522611, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0159080092522611, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005434202656006137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00557962852298477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010328380729276332, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007407866899360238, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007407866899360238, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009697106885917073, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01552928348036553, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008121416581005292, "ret_p1w": -0.047090746055005295, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047090746055005295, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02394856014699165, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028552559013793943, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01853818704121135, "ret_p1m": 0.039888618290421896, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039888618290421896, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03754064750701169, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012434523842876244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02745409444754565, "ret_p3m": 0.061726966168396125, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.061726966168396125, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06439435321812936, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.032540731242183485, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02918623492621264, "ret_p6m": -0.04081967013223242, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04081967013223242, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10898585774956449, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06813711297122371, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02731744283899129, "price_path": [0.2339, 0.2372, 0.2421, 0.2138, 0.1887, 0.1828, 0.1691, 0.1939, 0.1916, 0.1928, 0.1822, 0.1881, 0.1685, 0.1685, 0.1628, 0.1659, 0.1842, 0.1902, 0.19, 0.2112, 0.1895, 0.1878, 0.1952, 0.2096, 0.2322, 0.227, 0.2342, 0.2313, 0.2112, 0.1957, 0.204, 0.1854, 0.1773, 0.1767, 0.1624, 0.1355, 0.1508, 0.1247, 0.1328, 0.1287, 0.1363, 0.1611, 0.1164, 0.1329, 0.1217, 0.1358, 0.1271, 0.1348, 0.1589, 0.1607, 0.1609, 0.1618, 0.1687, 0.1885, 0.1894, 0.1898, 0.0549, 0.0263, 0.0094, -0.007, 0.0066, -0.0203, -0.0159, 0.0, -0.0074, -0.036, -0.0346, -0.0353, -0.0471, -0.0539, -0.0656, -0.0674, -0.0594, -0.0296, 0.0071, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0256, 0.0144, 0.0243, 0.0124, 0.0471, 0.0659, 0.0555, 0.0399, 0.0291, 0.0332, 0.0197, 0.0258, 0.041, 0.0289, 0.0526, 0.0436, 0.0479, 0.0534, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0508, 0.0435, 0.055, 0.0457, 0.0457, 0.0304, 0.0436, 0.0465, 0.0276, 0.0235, 0.0346, 0.017, -0.0002, -0.0249, -0.0165, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.043, -0.029, 0.026, 0.0436, 0.0651, 0.0661, 0.0594, 0.1696, 0.1351, 0.1191, 0.0958, 0.0598, 0.0617, 0.0479, 0.0728, 0.0625, 0.0593, 0.0294, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0127, 0.019, 0.0214, 0.0387, 0.0095, 0.0128, 0.0356, 0.0408, 0.0268, 0.0354, 0.0378, 0.0578, 0.0465, 0.0216, 0.0256, 0.0362, 0.0374, 0.011, -0.0278, -0.0052, -0.0128, -0.0238, -0.0381, -0.0587, -0.0422, -0.0599, -0.0568, -0.1319, -0.1665, -0.1496, -0.0929, -0.0816, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0915, -0.0882, -0.029, -0.0037, -0.0013, 0.0061, 0.0504, 0.0648, 0.0732, 0.0917, 0.0637, 0.0605, 0.0698, 0.0451, 0.0703, 0.076, 0.0644, 0.0609, -0.0298, -0.0348, -0.0322, -0.0408]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849286386844864535", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T03:06:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For the first time in 2+ years I might go long with $TSLA stock and buy any dips to ~180", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author considers going long TSLA for first time in 2+ years, buying dips to ~$180.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's the final update for this pattern. I shorted 260-265 and closed 35% of my puts at ~217 yesterday before earnings. 100% of my 2024 $TSLA plays (posted 10 on X) have all been very profitable. \n\nTomorrow, we likely see an island reversal pattern just like April 2024 Q1 print. $250-260 looks like a near-term target. \n\nFor the first time in 2+ years I might go long with $TSLA stock and buy any dips to ~180.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Played out as expected. What happens from here is completely fundamental from tonight's robotaxi unveil. If investors aren't impressed, I can see a swift move to low 200's before earnings https://t.co/z0A6ltMlE6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762547505065163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580596340952107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378350168798361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03029108045445561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003452680895702498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031471531439577483, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509439904721318, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374150547236906, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299852303771513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435141661255925, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126000794002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02808856196216092, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834231979009077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04460962395918133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039414597716513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038405030367065773, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540403016564069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0695241125312176, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1854193545806246205", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-06T16:06:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All his 'startups' (X, xAI, SpaceX and $TSLA most notably) will benefit immensely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long TSLA: Elon's unprecedented political influence under Trump will immensely benefit his ventures over the next 4 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick note on @elonmusk who I've followed closely since 2013. Elon has always been influential and powerful - note how world leaders would visit/communicate with him on the regular. But now, in my opinion, Elon is the most powerful/influential person in the world. Look at how long Trump spoke about Elon and the landing of Starship + Starlink in NC during his victory speech (longer than anything else). He was critical in the red wave victory.\n\nElon has always lived at the intersection of innovation and regulation with a proven record of breakneck innovation pace that will ripple through Trump's administration. I have no doubts he will be energized like never before in his new US Govt capacity. Perhaps most interesting to consider, Elon has the potential to be today's Henry Kissinger equivalent with China. \n\nAll his 'startups' (X, xAI, SpaceX and $TSLA most notably) will benefit immensely and he will get revenge on those who had it coming. \n\nI expect this tweet to age very well in the next 4 years.\n\n---\n\n@elonmusk For those who missed the speech https://t.co/WxaNQoLc5V", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10428575355130221, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09755763596775924, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024262392204112304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030990509787655274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021311730569032017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01619881418204172, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007732060087975334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01284497647496563, "ret_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1341550125594253, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1017755394832629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010405316111920415, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04278478918808282, "ret_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2541669923998833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19187355727871092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026427718020527013, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08872115314169937, "ret_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31498441785072373, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23372800972762509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014790629108142994, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09604703723124164, "ret_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021312790973026186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020691987822314073, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04907423622833229, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04845343307762018, "price_path": [-0.3068, -0.3155, -0.2797, -0.302, -0.2578, -0.251, -0.2281, -0.2337, -0.2262, -0.2699, -0.2364, -0.261, -0.2749, -0.2869, -0.2851, -0.2579, -0.2579, -0.2701, -0.2396, -0.2023, -0.2696, -0.2504, -0.2161, -0.2093, -0.2035, -0.2019, -0.214, -0.2102, -0.2126, -0.1546, -0.1743, -0.1335, -0.1187, -0.1092, -0.1189, -0.0973, -0.0932, -0.1057, -0.1369, -0.1659, -0.1333, -0.1653, -0.1526, -0.1646, -0.1725, -0.2451, -0.2404, -0.239, -0.2329, -0.2344, -0.2351, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2595, -0.0972, -0.067, -0.0902, -0.1005, -0.1074, -0.1341, -0.1371, -0.1584, -0.1285, 0.0, 0.029, 0.1133, 0.213, 0.1385, 0.1446, 0.0785, 0.1116, 0.174, 0.1992, 0.1854, 0.1771, 0.2219, 0.1735, 0.1723, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1963, 0.2376, 0.218, 0.2405, 0.2806, 0.349, 0.351, 0.3898, 0.4722, 0.4491, 0.5119, 0.6048, 0.6631, 0.5254, 0.5117, 0.4593, 0.4924, 0.6022, 0.6022, 0.5739, 0.4961, 0.4467, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3145, 0.4225, 0.4246, 0.3668, 0.3688, 0.3688, 0.3681, 0.3978, 0.3737, 0.4841, 0.4342, 0.4782, 0.4782, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4292, 0.4091, 0.3765, 0.3797, 0.3486, 0.3873, 0.4023, 0.3298, 0.3593, 0.3107, 0.2973, 0.2533, 0.2156, 0.1385, 0.1663, 0.2336, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2273, 0.2496, 0.2283, 0.1708, 0.1456, 0.0495, 0.0079, -0.0228, 0.0154, -0.0134, -0.0572, -0.0327, -0.0869, -0.0896, -0.2301, -0.2008, -0.1402, -0.1658, -0.1336, -0.1751, -0.2191, -0.1825, -0.1812, -0.138, -0.0351, -0.0014, -0.0571, -0.0534, -0.0866, -0.1018, -0.0696, -0.02, -0.0736, -0.1702, -0.1915, -0.2311, -0.0566, -0.1252, -0.1255, -0.1254, -0.1193, -0.1628, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.2115, -0.1752, -0.131, -0.1006, -0.0124, -0.0092, 0.0121, -0.0221, -0.0278]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855140137568813140", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-09T06:47:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yea if Optimus and FSD go according to plan - I'd say 2026-27 look reasonable", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Conditionally bullish TSLA to $1000 by 2026-27 if Optimus and FSD execute on plan.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jasondebolt Yea if Optimus and FSD go according to plan - I'd say 2026-27 look reasonable", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA is going to $1000/share.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jasondebolt", "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127664897951281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245260460971458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019775963331133628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835072320448553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106242895773255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350927863155282, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451589808276988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013716983797620985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454472675593303, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1389384133972491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654056622226891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914512016165974, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345149352279677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107371386455574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378363825597905, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1525057645522565, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1849847503593857138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-25T16:16:28+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "imo worth $60", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "After closing short at a loss, author now bullish PLTR with a $60 fair value target.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last short entry into $PLTR today at $45 ATH. I think it's overbought and can retrace to form a potential cup/handle setup. If this happens, strong chance it ends up somewhere in the 2 parallel channel overlap for a 20-30% correction to ~$30-36 before a potential rally to break ATH.\n\nEarnings next week will likely determine this. My $PLTR short is also a proxy hedge to my $NVDA $TSLA upside\n\n---\n\nClosed this trade for -50% loss. $PLTR is overextended short term but imo worth $60. The short entry loss is less than 5% of the gains I made from long $PLTR stock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028979028519241057, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028979028519241057, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029324415860038533, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029324415860038533, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002452086688696564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002452086688696564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006392319430887916, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006392319430887916, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "ret_p1w": -0.06553728045932827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06553728045932827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05172125034507147, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05172125034507147, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "ret_p1m": 0.44115025961370025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.44115025961370025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4092181860053168, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4092181860053168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "ret_p3m": 0.7135533147728954, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7135533147728954, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6627087359646566, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6627087359646566, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "ret_p6m": 1.0240749401774525, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0240749401774525, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1309405087505735, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1309405087505735, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "price_path": [-0.4122, -0.4006, -0.4186, -0.4485, -0.463, -0.4073, -0.4133, -0.3473, -0.331, -0.3451, -0.3226, -0.309, -0.3041, -0.2849, -0.2755, -0.2795, -0.2746, -0.2885, -0.2916, -0.3123, -0.3125, -0.3232, -0.309, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.3199, -0.3181, -0.3277, -0.3239, -0.2287, -0.2251, -0.2231, -0.2218, -0.2066, -0.1906, -0.1875, -0.189, -0.179, -0.1708, -0.154, -0.1774, -0.1725, -0.173, -0.1788, -0.1708, -0.1872, -0.1643, -0.1253, -0.1081, -0.1331, -0.076, -0.0386, -0.0299, -0.0301, -0.0325, -0.0542, -0.0653, -0.0638, -0.0421, -0.0481, -0.0428, -0.0506, -0.029, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0016, -0.0261, -0.0736, -0.0655, -0.0769, 0.1398, 0.2379, 0.2457, 0.3016, 0.3428, 0.3342, 0.3531, 0.3192, 0.4661, 0.3656, 0.4039, 0.3848, 0.3678, 0.4345, 0.4412, 0.4654, 0.4724, 0.4724, 0.4953, 0.4799, 0.5818, 0.5571, 0.6021, 0.7017, 0.6152, 0.5802, 0.6164, 0.6317, 0.6957, 0.6886, 0.6583, 0.5941, 0.6543, 0.7956, 0.7987, 0.8364, 0.8364, 0.831, 0.7628, 0.7205, 0.6859, 0.6859, 0.6761, 0.7809, 0.6924, 0.5602, 0.521, 0.521, 0.4993, 0.4485, 0.4692, 0.5189, 0.5435, 0.5999, 0.5999, 0.6288, 0.7136, 0.7606, 0.7606, 0.6817, 0.7885, 0.778, 0.8105, 0.8388, 0.8667, 1.3145, 1.2595, 1.4806, 1.471, 1.6003, 1.5105, 1.6168, 1.6284, 1.6563, 1.6563, 1.778, 1.498, 1.3689, 1.2593, 1.0214, 0.9581, 0.9909, 0.8897, 0.893, 0.8596, 0.8814, 1.0091, 0.7936, 0.8928, 0.7026, 0.7399, 0.8647, 0.7749, 0.9224, 0.9472, 0.87, 0.9193, 0.9481, 1.0276, 1.1567, 1.1511, 1.0571, 1.0082, 0.9137, 0.8814, 0.8877, 0.9494, 0.8636, 0.6498, 0.7352, 0.7236, 1.051, 0.9748, 0.9739, 1.0646, 1.1935, 1.0667, 1.0905, 1.0905, 1.0241]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983975919971922059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T19:14:54+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My 12+ month PT still remains at $610.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "12-month TSLA PT $610; also holding heavy AAPL position anchored at $202, calling it less risky and outperforming.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been saying for over a month now that $TSLA hit its key multi-decade fib channel at ~470 and now again at ~465. You won't see this elsewhere on X because it's esoteric.\n\nPrice can rally to 488 or 500/525 if Nov 6 shareholder approval goes well - but if this is the yearly high, this is why. Don't be surprised if it's a sell the news event shortly after if it does rally.\n\nI currently hold no $TSLA after taking large profits weeks ago. Rotated in $NVDA last week (nice ~6x in a week). Anchored my portfolio into heavy $AAPL back in June around $202. $TSLA remains a swing trade for now. $AAPL (+33%) has outperformed $TSLA (+31%) since then and is extremely less risky. I also captured every single $TSLA move higher via calls and avoided months of sideways chop. This is how you trade efficiently. \n\nMy 12+ month PT still remains at $610.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04864804218401564, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04864804218401564, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0375275939566897, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025546461317734304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023101580866281335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03740057084027071, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03740057084027071, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03412047110819194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0109620716572143, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026438499183056408, "ret_p1w": 0.013201539372910576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013201539372910576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027205076802642503, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005757619458950147, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007443919913960428, "ret_p1m": -0.022563036896313116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022563036896313116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027799566957468325, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03415668983714648, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011593652940833366, "ret_p3m": -0.020904367369782184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020904367369782184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.046962415780868794, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07273877128272277, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051834403912940585, "ret_p6m": -0.1449670925374641, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1449670925374641, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20112101307739116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16455316130491793, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019586068767453835, "price_path": [-0.2973, -0.2985, -0.2731, -0.2677, -0.251, -0.2297, -0.2255, -0.2289, -0.2375, -0.2489, -0.2384, -0.2517, -0.264, -0.2726, -0.2274, -0.2125, -0.2009, -0.2056, -0.2139, -0.2414, -0.2414, -0.2516, -0.2409, -0.2308, -0.2028, -0.2129, -0.2116, -0.2097, -0.162, -0.1003, -0.0683, -0.042, -0.0324, -0.0528, -0.0319, -0.0134, -0.0324, 0.0061, -0.038, 0.0007, 0.0071, 0.0105, 0.044, -0.0093, -0.0233, 0.0299, -0.0159, -0.0032, -0.0104, -0.0605, -0.0095, -0.0247, -0.0112, -0.0258, -0.0018, 0.0167, 0.0057, -0.0026, 0.0202, -0.0145, 0.028, 0.0465, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0374, 0.0642, 0.0095, 0.0499, 0.0132, -0.024, 0.0117, -0.0011, -0.0216, -0.0866, -0.0812, -0.0708, -0.0883, -0.082, -0.102, -0.1114, -0.0507, -0.047, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0226, -0.0226, -0.0247, 0.0151, 0.0328, 0.0339, -0.0012, 0.0115, 0.0258, 0.0154, 0.0429, 0.08, 0.1131, 0.0617, 0.0983, 0.0934, 0.1105, 0.1033, 0.1029, 0.1029, 0.0797, 0.0444, 0.0326, 0.0219, 0.0219, -0.0046, 0.0263, -0.0162, -0.0197, -0.0098, 0.0112, 0.0201, 0.0161, -0.002, -0.0035, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0474, -0.0197, 0.021, 0.0204, -0.0111, -0.0209, -0.0196, -0.0535, -0.022, -0.0416, -0.0412, -0.0775, -0.0975, -0.0659, -0.0518, -0.0338, -0.0269, -0.0523, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.067, -0.0654, -0.0645, -0.0643, -0.0915, -0.0698, -0.0516, -0.0716, -0.0854, -0.0836, -0.1083, -0.0776, -0.0785, -0.0985, -0.0941, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1025, -0.1111, -0.1012, -0.0928, -0.1075, -0.1359, -0.1639, -0.1346, -0.1297, -0.123, -0.1545, -0.1778, -0.1927, -0.1553, -0.1337, -0.1807, -0.1807, -0.1983, -0.2123, -0.2201, -0.2147, -0.2071, -0.1992, -0.1725, -0.1094, -0.1163, -0.0897, -0.1082, -0.122, -0.1195, -0.1508, -0.145]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983975919971922059", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-30T19:14:54+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anchored my portfolio into heavy $AAPL back in June around $202. $AAPL (+33%) has outperformed $TSLA (+31%) since then and is extremely less risky.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "12-month TSLA PT $610; also holding heavy AAPL position anchored at $202, calling it less risky and outperforming.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been saying for over a month now that $TSLA hit its key multi-decade fib channel at ~470 and now again at ~465. You won't see this elsewhere on X because it's esoteric.\n\nPrice can rally to 488 or 500/525 if Nov 6 shareholder approval goes well - but if this is the yearly high, this is why. Don't be surprised if it's a sell the news event shortly after if it does rally.\n\nI currently hold no $TSLA after taking large profits weeks ago. Rotated in $NVDA last week (nice ~6x in a week). Anchored my portfolio into heavy $AAPL back in June around $202. $TSLA remains a swing trade for now. $AAPL (+33%) has outperformed $TSLA (+31%) since then and is extremely less risky. I also captured every single $TSLA move higher via calls and avoided months of sideways chop. This is how you trade efficiently. \n\nMy 12+ month PT still remains at $610.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006263766970007079, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006263766970007079, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01738421519733302, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018714169717828244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012450402747821165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0037950435186790976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0037950435186790976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007075143250757865, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004760297630610699, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009652541119316016, "ret_p1w": -0.0060058776659743796, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0060058776659743796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007997659763757548, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03137894892650639, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03738482659248077, "ret_p1m": 0.02844630658990055, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02844630658990055, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02320977652874534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07561835144533557, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": -0.047172044855435025, "ret_p3m": -0.047456367993941484, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.047456367993941484, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0735144164050281, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03466998550351863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012786382490422854, "ret_p6m": 0.000650868851279629, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.000650868851279629, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05550305168864744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06904200613695388, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06969287498823351, "price_path": [-0.2516, -0.2532, -0.2152, -0.1902, -0.1559, -0.1629, -0.1538, -0.1403, -0.1423, -0.1467, -0.1493, -0.1505, -0.1672, -0.1713, -0.1608, -0.163, -0.1551, -0.1507, -0.1431, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1536, -0.1213, -0.1165, -0.1168, -0.1235, -0.1365, -0.1644, -0.1524, -0.1375, -0.1279, -0.1225, -0.1194, -0.1235, -0.0954, -0.0564, -0.0625, -0.0703, -0.0535, -0.0587, -0.0625, -0.0618, -0.0588, -0.0526, -0.0493, -0.0542, -0.055, -0.0492, -0.064, -0.0963, -0.0875, -0.0871, -0.0813, -0.0882, -0.0704, -0.0338, -0.0318, -0.0477, -0.0436, -0.0316, -0.0095, -0.0088, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0087, -0.005, -0.0046, -0.006, -0.0108, -0.0063, 0.0152, 0.0086, 0.0067, 0.0047, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0095, -0.018, 0.0013, 0.0176, 0.0215, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0284, 0.0441, 0.0555, 0.048, 0.0353, 0.0282, 0.0249, 0.0223, 0.0282, 0.0254, 0.0263, 0.011, 0.0128, 0.0026, 0.0039, 0.0093, -0.0006, 0.0045, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0083, 0.0097, 0.0072, 0.0027, 0.0027, -0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0324, -0.0399, -0.0446, -0.0434, -0.0402, -0.0372, -0.0412, -0.0477, -0.0576, -0.0576, -0.0901, -0.0866, -0.084, -0.0852, -0.058, -0.0475, -0.0542, -0.0474, -0.043, -0.0042, -0.0061, 0.0197, 0.0176, 0.0258, 0.0138, 0.0103, 0.017, -0.0338, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0259, -0.0241, -0.038, -0.0233, -0.0174, 0.0046, 0.0124, 0.0076, -0.0247, -0.0228, -0.0263, -0.0309, -0.0391, -0.0496, -0.0406, -0.0371, -0.0372, -0.0558, -0.0767, -0.0667, -0.0615, -0.0773, -0.0809, -0.0845, -0.0716, -0.071, -0.0674, -0.0664, -0.0815, -0.0895, -0.0631, -0.0563, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0444, -0.0642, -0.0442, -0.0384, -0.0384, -0.0431, -0.0445, -0.0164, -0.0276, -0.0024, 0.008, -0.0174, 0.0084, 0.0094, 0.0007]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1823406905177596034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-13T17:10:58+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd put AI/robotics/FSD at near $100 though", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees AI/robotics/FSD worth ~$100 vs parent's $50, implying higher fair value for TSLA than parent's bearish breakdown suggests.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@teslashanghai Fair assessment, I'd put AI/robotics/FSD at near $100 though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla's valuation composition: $80 for the automotive business + $20 for the energy business + $50 for the FSD + Elon's commitment $50 = $200, and the current FSD and Elon's commitments are in a seriously overvalued position. $TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "teslashanghai", "ret_m1d": -0.0497521832593546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0497521832593546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03357272271803802, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025313840325796644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01617946054131658, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024438342933557955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0310349655555765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0310349655555765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03418968730219707, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025697825185627354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00315472174662057, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005337140369949145, "ret_p1w": 0.06385028222849232, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06385028222849232, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03311442346216231, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023344762599481816, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030735858766330004, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0405055196290105, "ret_p1m": 0.09767599900354962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09767599900354962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07483619986455325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03559750383723714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022839799138996364, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062078495166312475, "ret_p3m": 0.5455901380486121, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5455901380486121, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4386148446510967, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3345574210884936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10697529339751544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2110327169601185, "ret_p6m": 0.819612231612014, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.819612231612014, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6977149284455422, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5270389278039163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12189730316647185, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29257330380809776, "price_path": [-0.1587, -0.1461, -0.1582, -0.1022, -0.1334, -0.164, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1495, -0.1522, -0.1397, -0.1431, -0.1518, -0.1591, -0.158, -0.1438, -0.146, -0.1638, -0.1788, -0.1469, -0.122, -0.1435, -0.0981, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1264, -0.1194, -0.1215, -0.0985, -0.0551, -0.0501, -0.0479, 0.0098, 0.1127, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.2102, 0.2171, 0.2622, 0.2667, 0.1597, 0.1944, 0.2156, 0.2345, 0.1957, 0.1992, 0.1509, 0.2102, 0.1855, 0.0393, 0.0598, 0.0576, 0.1168, 0.0712, 0.1166, 0.0434, -0.0008, -0.0431, -0.0346, -0.0773, -0.0433, -0.0377, -0.0498, 0.0, -0.031, 0.0304, 0.0399, 0.0716, 0.0639, 0.0743, 0.0136, 0.0601, 0.0259, 0.0066, -0.01, -0.0075, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0133, 0.0557, 0.1075, 0.014, 0.0406, 0.0882, 0.0977, 0.1058, 0.1081, 0.0912, 0.0964, 0.0932, 0.1737, 0.1464, 0.2029, 0.2235, 0.2367, 0.2232, 0.2532, 0.2589, 0.2415, 0.1982, 0.158, 0.2033, 0.1588, 0.1764, 0.1598, 0.1489, 0.048, 0.0545, 0.0565, 0.065, 0.0628, 0.0619, 0.053, 0.0488, 0.028, 0.2533, 0.2952, 0.2631, 0.2487, 0.2392, 0.2022, 0.198, 0.1685, 0.2098, 0.3883, 0.4286, 0.5456, 0.6841, 0.5806, 0.589, 0.4973, 0.5432, 0.6299, 0.6648, 0.6457, 0.6342, 0.6964, 0.6292, 0.6274, 0.6017, 0.6017, 0.6608, 0.7182, 0.6909, 0.7222, 0.7778, 0.8728, 0.8755, 0.9294, 1.0438, 1.0117, 1.099, 1.2279, 1.3089, 1.1177, 1.0987, 1.026, 1.0719, 1.2243, 1.2243, 1.1851, 1.077, 1.0084, 0.9431, 0.9431, 0.825, 0.9749, 0.9778, 0.8975, 0.9003, 0.9003, 0.8993, 0.9406, 0.9071, 1.0604, 0.9911, 1.0522, 1.0522, 1.0405, 0.9974, 0.9842, 0.9563, 0.9109, 0.9155, 0.8722, 0.926, 0.9468, 0.8461, 0.8872, 0.8196]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1815849706557431852", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-23T20:41:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't know what you're seeing from this expanding forward PE valuation (90-100+). The core EV business is slowing and China is a growing concern.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Skeptical of TSLA's expanding 90-100x forward PE with no AI/autonomy returns yet; favors NVDA on growing EPS and shrinking forward PE.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Alright $TSLA retail, we got 4 consecutive EPS misses. And this Q had 890m RC (very high). I'm not saying $TSLA won't be 3T+ by ~2027 but until we see some real returns from AI/autonomy/Optimus, I don't know what you're seeing from this expanding forward PE valuation (90-100+). The core EV business is slowing and China is a growing concern.\n\nWhy own this company now over other growth prospects (like $NVDA) with growing EPS/shrinking forward PE?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020821452724881118, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020821452724881118, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019250467251095138, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01632469062129638, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015709854737859796, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004496762103584739, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12334604589403697, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12334604589403697, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10068345508691279, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08245312151451945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022662590807124183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.040892924379517526, "ret_p1w": -0.09643643678360236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09643643678360236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07516421313468924, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07315968708561305, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021272223648913124, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02327674969798932, "ret_p1m": -0.09379819852403826, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09379819852403826, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10614945287041266, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08596881485671792, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012351254346374407, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007829383667320333, "ret_p3m": -0.10422926952527933, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10422926952527933, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1631028504336196, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16184787847521287, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05887358090834027, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057618608949933536, "ret_p6m": 0.7380468899023704, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7380468899023704, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6607249204807699, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5309339772797468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07732196942160052, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20711291262262366, "price_path": [-0.3093, -0.3169, -0.2124, -0.2561, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.2646, -0.2501, -0.2783, -0.2909, -0.302, -0.3162, -0.3023, -0.2794, -0.2938, -0.2904, -0.2797, -0.2899, -0.2426, -0.269, -0.2948, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2826, -0.2849, -0.2743, -0.2772, -0.2845, -0.2906, -0.2897, -0.2778, -0.2796, -0.2946, -0.3073, -0.2804, -0.2594, -0.2775, -0.2392, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.263, -0.2572, -0.2589, -0.2396, -0.203, -0.1987, -0.1969, -0.1482, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0209, 0.0266, 0.0647, 0.0685, -0.0217, 0.0075, 0.0254, 0.0413, 0.0086, 0.0116, -0.0291, 0.0208, 0.0, -0.1233, -0.1061, -0.1079, -0.058, -0.0964, -0.0581, -0.1198, -0.1571, -0.1928, -0.1856, -0.2217, -0.193, -0.1882, -0.1984, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1309, -0.1228, -0.096, -0.1026, -0.0938, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.1346, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1452, -0.1095, -0.0658, -0.1447, -0.1222, -0.082, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0653, -0.0796, -0.0751, -0.0778, -0.01, -0.033, 0.0147, 0.032, 0.0432, 0.0318, 0.0571, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0107, -0.0232, 0.015, -0.0225, -0.0076, -0.0216, -0.0309, -0.116, -0.1105, -0.1088, -0.1017, -0.1035, -0.1042, -0.1117, -0.1153, -0.1328, 0.0572, 0.0926, 0.0655, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.0141, 0.0106, -0.0144, 0.0205, 0.1711, 0.2051, 0.3038, 0.4206, 0.3333, 0.3404, 0.263, 0.3017, 0.3749, 0.4043, 0.3882, 0.3785, 0.431, 0.3743, 0.3728, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.4009, 0.4493, 0.4263, 0.4528, 0.4997, 0.5798, 0.5821, 0.6275, 0.724, 0.697, 0.7706, 0.8793, 0.9476, 0.7864, 0.7703, 0.709, 0.7477, 0.8763, 0.8763, 0.8432, 0.752, 0.6942, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5394, 0.6659, 0.6684, 0.6006, 0.603, 0.603, 0.6022, 0.6369, 0.6087, 0.738]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1815849706557431852", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-23T20:41:21+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why own this company now over other growth prospects (like $NVDA) with growing EPS/shrinking forward PE?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Skeptical of TSLA's expanding 90-100x forward PE with no AI/autonomy returns yet; favors NVDA on growing EPS and shrinking forward PE.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Alright $TSLA retail, we got 4 consecutive EPS misses. And this Q had 890m RC (very high). I'm not saying $TSLA won't be 3T+ by ~2027 but until we see some real returns from AI/autonomy/Optimus, I don't know what you're seeing from this expanding forward PE valuation (90-100+). The core EV business is slowing and China is a growing concern.\n\nWhy own this company now over other growth prospects (like $NVDA) with growing EPS/shrinking forward PE?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0077495091645449765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0077495091645449765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006178523690758997, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034723355584034277, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015709854737859796, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011221844722948404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06803154995413552, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06803154995413552, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045368959147011334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013570310642673111, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022662590807124183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.054461239311462406, "ret_p1w": -0.15384612510843465, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15384612510843465, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13257390145952153, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05422279258484697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021272223648913124, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09962333252358768, "ret_p1m": 0.04820946862252007, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04820946862252007, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03585821427614566, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06480682230441881, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012351254346374407, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01659735368189874, "ret_p3m": 0.12579995033738944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12579995033738944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06692636942904917, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13894449368394912, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05887358090834027, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013144543346559678, "ret_p6m": 0.11151858748975418, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11151858748975418, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03419661806815366, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12147140165565085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07732196942160052, "bench_c_p6m": -0.009952814165896662, "price_path": [-0.326, -0.2844, -0.2842, -0.2953, -0.3227, -0.3, -0.2758, -0.2485, -0.2614, -0.2625, -0.2761, -0.2669, -0.2627, -0.2548, -0.2281, -0.2304, -0.2457, -0.2269, -0.222, -0.2255, -0.1534, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.071, -0.0634, -0.0987, -0.1058, -0.062, -0.0503, -0.0013, -0.0131, -0.014, -0.0066, -0.0137, 0.0213, 0.0573, 0.0758, 0.0684, 0.106, 0.106, 0.0668, 0.0325, -0.0365, 0.0286, 0.0311, 0.0114, 0.0077, 0.0139, 0.0007, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0264, 0.0458, 0.0717, 0.1005, 0.0392, 0.0542, 0.0477, 0.0308, -0.0375, -0.0122, -0.038, 0.0077, 0.0, -0.068, -0.0841, -0.0777, -0.0897, -0.1538, -0.0454, -0.1091, -0.125, -0.1806, -0.1496, -0.1932, -0.1437, -0.1455, -0.1107, -0.0526, -0.0368, 0.0022, 0.0162, 0.0604, 0.038, 0.0482, 0.0094, 0.0553, 0.0316, 0.0466, 0.0246, -0.0408, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.119, -0.1336, -0.1255, -0.1612, -0.1315, -0.1182, -0.0463, -0.0281, -0.0284, -0.0473, -0.057, -0.0751, -0.0384, -0.0537, -0.0516, -0.0139, 0.0076, 0.0119, -0.0096, -0.0093, -0.0455, -0.0304, 0.0022, 0.0191, 0.0419, 0.0841, 0.0822, 0.0998, 0.0997, 0.1264, 0.0736, 0.1072, 0.1171, 0.1258, 0.1724, 0.1714, 0.1385, 0.1455, 0.1547, 0.1464, 0.1523, 0.1367, 0.0831, 0.1046, 0.1099, 0.1414, 0.1879, 0.2146, 0.2044, 0.185, 0.2097, 0.1933, 0.1973, 0.1583, 0.1433, 0.1993, 0.1902, 0.1965, 0.158, 0.1096, 0.117, 0.1041, 0.1041, 0.1278, 0.1309, 0.1442, 0.184, 0.1835, 0.1621, 0.1325, 0.102, 0.1366, 0.1205, 0.0953, 0.0769, 0.0638, 0.0517, 0.0662, 0.099, 0.1395, 0.144, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1178, 0.1217, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.1284, 0.1787, 0.2191, 0.1433, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.1088, 0.087, 0.075, 0.1115]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986896271282741514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:39:20+00:00", "symbol": "CELH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Big red flag after listening to the $CELH CEO speak. Sounds more like a salesman than a CEO. Growth stocks need vision, not persuasion.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CELH: CEO sounds like a salesman lacking vision, a red flag for a growth stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["CELH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Big red flag after listening to the $CELH CEO speak. Sounds more like a salesman than a CEO. Growth stocks need vision, not persuasion. https://t.co/PPtulv77dE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.085260136717205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.085260136717205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08624367599670457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08624367599670457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0732177476399547, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0732177476399547, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05761340433196027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05761340433196027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": 0.030587679281352198, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030587679281352198, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02915687709259074, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02915687709259074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": 0.06695565386914759, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06695565386914759, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.048087361680678065, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048087361680678065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": 0.1873795446416504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1873795446416504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16167395744143853, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16167395744143853, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": -0.19147400470350695, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19147400470350695, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26767474185938134, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26767474185938134, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [0.3179, 0.3504, 0.3649, 0.3801, 0.474, 0.4564, 0.4921, 0.4949, 0.4817, 0.4497, 0.4347, 0.4393, 0.4376, 0.5145, 0.5145, 0.479, 0.4716, 0.4634, 0.4058, 0.3401, 0.3497, 0.354, 0.395, 0.3926, 0.3504, 0.3312, 0.3569, 0.3292, 0.3182, 0.2365, 0.2286, 0.2495, 0.2478, 0.31, 0.3704, 0.3846, 0.3849, 0.4186, 0.4138, 0.4237, 0.4706, 0.5152, 0.5477, 0.4619, 0.4725, 0.4899, 0.5197, 0.5484, 0.5621, 0.5523, 0.527, 0.4836, 0.4921, 0.5258, 0.4986, 0.4908, 0.4783, 0.4482, 0.4506, 0.427, 0.4345, 0.4432, 0.0853, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.0532, 0.0816, 0.06, 0.0306, -0.0328, -0.0212, -0.0077, -0.0556, -0.0609, -0.0867, -0.027, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.014, 0.0265, -0.0166, 0.0116, 0.0275, 0.013, 0.067, 0.0407, 0.0665, 0.0585, 0.0559, 0.0552, 0.0393, -0.0166, 0.0036, 0.0308, 0.0684, 0.0744, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.098, 0.1185, 0.1113, 0.1016, 0.1016, 0.15, 0.1582, 0.1727, 0.2365, 0.2351, 0.2741, 0.2787, 0.2671, 0.2796, 0.2893, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3654, 0.3593, 0.3304, 0.3473, 0.3136, 0.3369, 0.2984, 0.2854, 0.264, 0.236, 0.2129, 0.1874, 0.1553, 0.218, 0.1513, 0.1163, 0.0682, 0.0691, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0576, 0.046, 0.0629, 0.1638, 0.1855, 0.2216, 0.2189, 0.3035, 0.2912, 0.1862, 0.1346, 0.0975, 0.0523, 0.0337, 0.0431, 0.0845, 0.1012, 0.052, 0.0735, 0.0503, 0.0588, -0.0005, 0.0347, -0.0002, -0.045, -0.1077, -0.1346, -0.1428, -0.1826, -0.1857, -0.1455, -0.1732, -0.1792, -0.1792, -0.1298, -0.1696, -0.1325, -0.1238, -0.1604, -0.1893, -0.1688, -0.1503, -0.1606, -0.151, -0.1864, -0.2127, -0.1989, -0.1828, -0.1669, -0.2018, -0.2144, -0.2134, -0.1915, -0.1876, -0.1915]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995257928937599088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T22:25:35+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Elon name dropping GOOGL (I have 40% allocation) is not common. I've followed him for 10+ years and I can count on 2 hands how many times he's said something like this.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds 40% allocation in GOOGL and highlights rarity of Elon endorsing it as bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt Elon name dropping GOOGL (I have 40% allocation) is not common. I\u2019ve followed him for 10+ years and I can count on 2 hands how many times he\u2019s said something like this.  \n\nhttps://t.co/sK4j9SQwZv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Elon Musk on where people should invest:\n\n\"I don't really buy stocks. I don't look for things to invest in. I just try to build things and then there happens to be stock of the company that I built, but I don't have like a portfolio or anything; Google is gonna be pretty valuable https://t.co/dGJsvvfr3L", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012213018896410688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012097615946650153, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010692913445202734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003870919391864014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00800311674066212, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015340800837334245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01554284046059562, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03593719806012363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03947930695475366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04278328294843736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12699529883246496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22407562968799977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.2681, -0.2629, -0.2544, -0.2568, -0.239, -0.2405, -0.2367, -0.2353, -0.201, -0.2024, -0.2076, -0.1996, -0.1911, -0.198, -0.2008, -0.2152, -0.2194, -0.2171, -0.225, -0.228, -0.2223, -0.2198, -0.2208, -0.2047, -0.2195, -0.2232, -0.233, -0.2487, -0.2246, -0.2205, -0.2028, -0.2014, -0.1956, -0.1853, -0.2046, -0.2007, -0.1963, -0.1746, -0.1449, -0.1506, -0.128, -0.1061, -0.107, -0.099, -0.1186, -0.0971, -0.0957, -0.1145, -0.0787, -0.0749, -0.0895, -0.1153, -0.1222, -0.0949, -0.0972, -0.0701, -0.0808, -0.0484, 0.0117, 0.0272, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0168, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0151, 0.0087, 0.0203, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0176, -0.0072, -0.0171, -0.0205, -0.0258, -0.0571, -0.0388, -0.0239, -0.0156, -0.0011, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0037, -0.0036, -0.0027, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0015, 0.0059, -0.0011, 0.0232, 0.0342, 0.0441, 0.0546, 0.0676, 0.0672, 0.0575, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0232, 0.0435, 0.0504, 0.0421, 0.059, 0.0631, 0.0678, 0.0749, 0.0741, 0.0922, 0.0795, 0.0583, 0.0526, 0.026, 0.0306, 0.0124, -0.0118, -0.0181, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0376, 0.0009, -0.0102, -0.012, -0.0057, -0.0232, -0.0093, -0.0259, -0.0353, -0.0367, -0.0439, -0.0514, -0.0258, -0.0236, -0.0183, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0283, -0.0113, -0.0215, -0.0233, -0.0428, -0.0394, -0.0764, -0.0748, -0.1067, -0.1276, -0.1303, -0.0856, -0.0543, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.046, -0.0286, 0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0088, 0.0218, 0.0587, 0.0721, 0.0686, 0.0866, 0.073, 0.0567, 0.079, 0.0777, 0.0952, 0.1141, 0.1123, 0.1128, 0.2237, 0.2265, 0.2187, 0.2352, 0.2658, 0.2656, 0.2746, 0.2359, 0.2318, 0.2803, 0.2754, 0.2618, 0.2623, 0.2328, 0.2367, 0.2328, 0.2179, 0.2179, 0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995601406615847367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T21:10:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "85% of my port is AAPL GOOGL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% of portfolio in AAPL and GOOGL; endorses parent's bullish thesis on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@munster_gene Agreed. 85% of my port is AAPL GOOGL \n\nhttps://t.co/zQSL5SlfpT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\u2019Tis the prediction season. I\u2019ve got:\n\n$AAPL as the top Mag 7 performer for the next six months. \n\n$GOOG for the next year. Below is more on GOOG. \n\nhttps://t.co/RKECDnIQ8q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munster_gene", "ret_m1d": -0.01501239062757509, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01501239062757509, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019598835489897826, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01455841216034659, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00045397846722849966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010914832876105063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010914832876105063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00906253320202599, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006127918538925137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01030204102221255, "ret_p1w": -0.018403424491690523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018403424491690523, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023342679745948502, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04951922405378506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031115799562094537, "ret_p1m": -0.035393909206820506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.035393909206820506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04828601599918758, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05254463433269052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017150725125870014, "ret_p3m": -0.03495090080175667, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03495090080175667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05121915941628552, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.021323317890839855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013627582910916813, "ret_p6m": 0.09114384942984533, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09114384942984533, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.018509530150824682, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20553054456019804, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29667439399004336, "price_path": [-0.1585, -0.1538, -0.1542, -0.1605, -0.173, -0.1997, -0.1882, -0.174, -0.1647, -0.1596, -0.1566, -0.1605, -0.1337, -0.0963, -0.1021, -0.1096, -0.0935, -0.0985, -0.1021, -0.1014, -0.0985, -0.0926, -0.0895, -0.0942, -0.0949, -0.0893, -0.1035, -0.1345, -0.126, -0.1256, -0.1201, -0.1268, -0.1097, -0.0746, -0.0727, -0.088, -0.084, -0.0725, -0.0514, -0.0507, -0.0483, -0.0423, -0.0459, -0.0505, -0.0471, -0.0467, -0.048, -0.0526, -0.0483, -0.0277, -0.034, -0.0359, -0.0378, -0.0552, -0.0553, -0.0514, -0.0595, -0.041, -0.0254, -0.0217, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0037, -0.0085, -0.0153, -0.0184, -0.0209, -0.0153, -0.0179, -0.017, -0.0318, -0.03, -0.0398, -0.0385, -0.0333, -0.0428, -0.0379, -0.0328, -0.0328, -0.0343, -0.033, -0.0354, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0427, -0.056, -0.0733, -0.0804, -0.085, -0.0838, -0.0807, -0.0779, -0.0817, -0.0879, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1286, -0.1252, -0.1227, -0.1238, -0.0978, -0.0877, -0.0942, -0.0877, -0.0834, -0.0462, -0.0481, -0.0233, -0.0254, -0.0176, -0.029, -0.0324, -0.0259, -0.0746, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.067, -0.0654, -0.0787, -0.0645, -0.0589, -0.0378, -0.0304, -0.035, -0.066, -0.064, -0.0675, -0.0718, -0.0797, -0.0897, -0.0812, -0.0778, -0.0779, -0.0957, -0.1157, -0.1061, -0.1011, -0.1163, -0.1198, -0.1232, -0.1108, -0.1103, -0.1068, -0.1059, -0.1203, -0.128, -0.1027, -0.0962, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.0848, -0.1037, -0.0846, -0.079, -0.079, -0.0836, -0.0849, -0.058, -0.0687, -0.0446, -0.0346, -0.0589, -0.0342, -0.0333, -0.0416, -0.0538, -0.0429, -0.0448, -0.0406, -0.0095, -0.0212, 0.0048, 0.0165, 0.0163, 0.0371, 0.0358, 0.0433, 0.0577, 0.0553, 0.0625, 0.054, 0.058, 0.0696, 0.0793, 0.0929, 0.0929, 0.0911]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995601406615847367", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-01T21:10:26+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "85% of my port is AAPL GOOGL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% of portfolio in AAPL and GOOGL; endorses parent's bullish thesis on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@munster_gene Agreed. 85% of my port is AAPL GOOGL \n\nhttps://t.co/zQSL5SlfpT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\u2019Tis the prediction season. I\u2019ve got:\n\n$AAPL as the top Mag 7 performer for the next six months. \n\n$GOOG for the next year. Below is more on GOOG. \n\nhttps://t.co/RKECDnIQ8q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munster_gene", "ret_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012213018896410688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012097615946650153, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010692913445202734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003870919391864014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00800311674066212, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015340800837334245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01554284046059562, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03593719806012363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03947930695475366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04278328294843736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12699529883246496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22407562968799977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.2681, -0.2629, -0.2544, -0.2568, -0.239, -0.2405, -0.2367, -0.2353, -0.201, -0.2024, -0.2076, -0.1996, -0.1911, -0.198, -0.2008, -0.2152, -0.2194, -0.2171, -0.225, -0.228, -0.2223, -0.2198, -0.2208, -0.2047, -0.2195, -0.2232, -0.233, -0.2487, -0.2246, -0.2205, -0.2028, -0.2014, -0.1956, -0.1853, -0.2046, -0.2007, -0.1963, -0.1746, -0.1449, -0.1506, -0.128, -0.1061, -0.107, -0.099, -0.1186, -0.0971, -0.0957, -0.1145, -0.0787, -0.0749, -0.0895, -0.1153, -0.1222, -0.0949, -0.0972, -0.0701, -0.0808, -0.0484, 0.0117, 0.0272, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0168, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0151, 0.0087, 0.0203, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0176, -0.0072, -0.0171, -0.0205, -0.0258, -0.0571, -0.0388, -0.0239, -0.0156, -0.0011, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0037, -0.0036, -0.0027, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0015, 0.0059, -0.0011, 0.0232, 0.0342, 0.0441, 0.0546, 0.0676, 0.0672, 0.0575, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0232, 0.0435, 0.0504, 0.0421, 0.059, 0.0631, 0.0678, 0.0749, 0.0741, 0.0922, 0.0795, 0.0583, 0.0526, 0.026, 0.0306, 0.0124, -0.0118, -0.0181, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0376, 0.0009, -0.0102, -0.012, -0.0057, -0.0232, -0.0093, -0.0259, -0.0353, -0.0367, -0.0439, -0.0514, -0.0258, -0.0236, -0.0183, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0283, -0.0113, -0.0215, -0.0233, -0.0428, -0.0394, -0.0764, -0.0748, -0.1067, -0.1276, -0.1303, -0.0856, -0.0543, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.046, -0.0286, 0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0088, 0.0218, 0.0587, 0.0721, 0.0686, 0.0866, 0.073, 0.0567, 0.079, 0.0777, 0.0952, 0.1141, 0.1123, 0.1128, 0.2237, 0.2265, 0.2187, 0.2352, 0.2658, 0.2656, 0.2746, 0.2359, 0.2318, 0.2803, 0.2754, 0.2618, 0.2623, 0.2328, 0.2367, 0.2328, 0.2179, 0.2179, 0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1967592905704677583", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T14:14:39+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the upside bias is still intact especially after Musk's enormous $1b stock purchase", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA upside bias intact after Musk's ~$1B purchase; expects possible retrace to ~400 but bullish overall into FOMC.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Exactly where I expected price target #1 (first arrow) at around ~430. \n\nFriday had someone buying ~$1b in $TSLA around 397 via darkpool was possibly Musk.\n\nPrice can retrace to ~400 this week but the upside bias is still intact especially after Musk's enormous $1b stock purchase. Eyes on FOMC Wednesday.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/iGnK3ryuXY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029091145195562218, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02578704186436953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008599861388196572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029617906654532344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02209239883382308, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006148715035427577, "ret_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04717549132032084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05934583158940743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040040576150734974, "ret_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04204941956878261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07148882044138494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024664166043423585, "ret_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04421906238383433, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.089520596747656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0003486973104591673, "ret_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05683327288720619, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01920288189458319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04554181976767535, "price_path": [-0.2146, -0.2146, -0.2143, -0.1496, -0.1697, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2107, -0.2253, -0.2666, -0.2302, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2831, -0.2737, -0.2784, -0.2443, -0.2354, -0.2271, -0.2421, -0.2155, -0.221, -0.1961, -0.1989, -0.1901, -0.189, -0.2554, -0.2292, -0.206, -0.2167, -0.2219, -0.2482, -0.262, -0.2458, -0.2471, -0.2198, -0.2141, -0.1961, -0.1732, -0.1688, -0.1723, -0.1816, -0.1938, -0.1826, -0.1969, -0.2101, -0.2193, -0.1708, -0.1547, -0.1424, -0.1474, -0.1562, -0.1858, -0.1858, -0.1968, -0.1852, -0.1744, -0.1444, -0.1552, -0.1538, -0.1518, -0.1006, -0.0344, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0386, 0.0166, 0.0391, 0.0589, 0.0386, 0.0799, 0.0326, 0.074, 0.0809, 0.0846, 0.1205, 0.0633, 0.0483, 0.1054, 0.0562, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0084, 0.0631, 0.0468, 0.0612, 0.0456, 0.0714, 0.0912, 0.0794, 0.0706, 0.095, 0.0578, 0.1034, 0.1232, 0.1255, 0.0733, 0.1135, 0.1423, 0.0835, 0.1269, 0.0875, 0.0475, 0.0858, 0.0721, 0.0501, -0.0196, -0.0139, -0.0027, -0.0214, -0.0148, -0.0361, -0.0462, 0.0189, 0.0228, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0491, 0.049, 0.0468, 0.0895, 0.1085, 0.1096, 0.072, 0.0857, 0.101, 0.0899, 0.1193, 0.1592, 0.1947, 0.1395, 0.1788, 0.1735, 0.1919, 0.1842, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1589, 0.121, 0.1083, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.0684, 0.1015, 0.0559, 0.0521, 0.0628, 0.0853, 0.0949, 0.0906, 0.0711, 0.0696, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0225, 0.0522, 0.0959, 0.0952, 0.0614, 0.0509, 0.0522, 0.0159, 0.0497, 0.0287, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0313, 0.0026, 0.0178, 0.037, 0.0445, 0.0171, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0041, 0.0043, -0.0249, -0.0016, 0.0179, -0.0036, -0.0184, -0.0164, -0.0429, -0.01, -0.011, -0.0325, -0.0277, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1856237533623091352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-12T07:28:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see it - whether it happens during this rally is the question. Many fib channel/extensions conveniently crossover at ~500. If not this rally, prob Q1 '25 with the new Model Y launch", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses $500 TSLA target; sees it happening either in current rally or by Q1 '25 on new Model Y launch.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TradingWarz @TrendSpider I can see it - whether it happens during this rally is the question. Many fib channel/extensions conveniently crossover at ~500. If not this rally, prob Q1 '25 with the new Model Y launch", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@TrendSpider My projection is $500 using the Measured Move \n\nGiven at 144! LFG https://t.co/kkYwI0fsTy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TradingWarz", "ret_m1d": 0.06548147707720942, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06548147707720942, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.062365349435675066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051949889970721363, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031161276415343497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013531587106488052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005327407385385952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005327407385385952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0048415337855902685, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0032163907026008243, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004858735997956831, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008543798087986776, "ret_p1w": 0.05330454591061273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05330454591061273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06436170923106954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05773803307793257, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011057163320456809, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004433487167319838, "ret_p1m": 0.2930987294638776, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2930987294638776, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27540733060276623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20077892840743594, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017691398861111374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09231980105644166, "ret_p3m": 0.10085544725175488, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10085544725175488, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09098434427184454, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057085580992775053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00987110297991034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04376986625897983, "ret_p6m": -0.15912201457456177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15912201457456177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1052308467219909, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08285691586095167, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.053891167852570865, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07626509871361009, "price_path": [-0.3481, -0.3421, -0.322, -0.3269, -0.3203, -0.3587, -0.3293, -0.3509, -0.3631, -0.3736, -0.372, -0.3482, -0.3482, -0.3589, -0.3321, -0.2993, -0.3585, -0.3416, -0.3115, -0.3055, -0.3004, -0.2989, -0.3096, -0.3063, -0.3084, -0.2575, -0.2747, -0.2389, -0.2259, -0.2176, -0.2261, -0.2071, -0.2035, -0.2145, -0.2419, -0.2674, -0.2387, -0.2669, -0.2557, -0.2662, -0.2731, -0.337, -0.3328, -0.3316, -0.3262, -0.3276, -0.3281, -0.3338, -0.3364, -0.3496, -0.207, -0.1805, -0.2009, -0.21, -0.216, -0.2394, -0.242, -0.2607, -0.2346, -0.1216, -0.0961, -0.0221, 0.0655, 0.0, 0.0053, -0.0527, -0.0237, 0.0312, 0.0533, 0.0412, 0.0339, 0.0733, 0.0307, 0.0297, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.0507, 0.0871, 0.0698, 0.0896, 0.1248, 0.1849, 0.1866, 0.2207, 0.2931, 0.2728, 0.328, 0.4095, 0.4608, 0.3399, 0.3278, 0.2818, 0.3108, 0.4073, 0.4073, 0.3825, 0.3141, 0.2707, 0.2294, 0.2294, 0.1546, 0.2495, 0.2513, 0.2005, 0.2023, 0.2023, 0.2017, 0.2278, 0.2066, 0.3036, 0.2598, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.291, 0.2637, 0.2554, 0.2377, 0.209, 0.2119, 0.1845, 0.2185, 0.2317, 0.168, 0.194, 0.1512, 0.1395, 0.1009, 0.0677, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.0836, 0.0833, 0.0833, 0.078, 0.0976, 0.0789, 0.0283, 0.0062, -0.0782, -0.1147, -0.1417, -0.1081, -0.1335, -0.1718, -0.1504, -0.198, -0.2004, -0.3237, -0.2981, -0.2448, -0.2673, -0.239, -0.2754, -0.3141, -0.282, -0.2808, -0.2429, -0.1525, -0.1228, -0.1718, -0.1685, -0.1977, -0.2111, -0.1827, -0.1392, -0.1863, -0.2711, -0.2898, -0.3246, -0.1714, -0.2316, -0.2319, -0.2318, -0.2264, -0.2647, -0.2652, -0.2652, -0.3074, -0.2756, -0.2367, -0.21, -0.1325, -0.1297, -0.111, -0.141, -0.146, -0.1257, -0.1468, -0.1618, -0.1591]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986528579497435291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T20:18:15+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seeing $ONON risk/reward skew greatly in favor around $35. Likely holds $30 (-15% downside) and should revisit $45-50 (30-50% upside) before Q2 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long ONON at ~$35; targets $45-50 by Q2 2026 on growth/margin expansion, oversold technicals, with $25 bear case.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing $ONON risk/reward skew greatly in favor around $35. Likely holds $30 (-15% downside) and should revisit $45-50 (30-50% upside) before Q2 2026. My bear case is $25 (-25% downside).\n\nFundamentally, I expect further growth/margin expansion despite cyclical weakness from the consumer ( $LULU + $NKE proxy downdraft ) and tariff pressure. If demand holds up, looking at USD/CHF headwinds (~-6% EPS impact) to counter balance price action.\n\nNot to mention, the stock is very oversold (RSI on multiple long-term intervals sub 30) and the technicals should begin to reverse to the upside soon.\n\nOf course, this is all contingent on a decent/solid earnings report + guidance next week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016051915980402454, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016051915980402454, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005206215634803835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007600881666177228, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014362104918037688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014362104918037688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015346612499414491, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01593324195129442, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": 0.19402995015540792, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19402995015540792, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19144904031692533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20885013560045063, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": 0.3556745047902867, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3556745047902867, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3327299196277711, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3388160892765526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": 0.24274861036405282, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24274861036405282, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21103567156634062, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21315273691634018, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.0273161771854451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0273161771854451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10853736584717044, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03885695317139848, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [0.2875, 0.4027, 0.3571, 0.245, 0.2768, 0.2734, 0.2681, 0.274, 0.2554, 0.3112, 0.2839, 0.2723, 0.2723, 0.2557, 0.2695, 0.2695, 0.2613, 0.2616, 0.2968, 0.2819, 0.2729, 0.2501, 0.2067, 0.2194, 0.2078, 0.2016, 0.2115, 0.2346, 0.267, 0.2737, 0.2839, 0.2915, 0.2887, 0.2368, 0.196, 0.2275, 0.1926, 0.1535, 0.1929, 0.1856, 0.1988, 0.1746, 0.2284, 0.2194, 0.1788, 0.2101, 0.1878, 0.167, 0.1822, 0.1777, 0.1678, 0.2084, 0.1904, 0.2174, 0.1743, 0.1887, 0.1594, 0.1064, 0.0484, 0.0462, 0.0268, 0.0194, 0.0161, 0.0, -0.0144, -0.0155, -0.0093, 0.169, 0.194, 0.194, 0.1659, 0.2014, 0.2194, 0.1664, 0.1625, 0.1487, 0.176, 0.2163, 0.2163, 0.2388, 0.2582, 0.2715, 0.3255, 0.3098, 0.3557, 0.3241, 0.3323, 0.372, 0.394, 0.3731, 0.3458, 0.3599, 0.3545, 0.3647, 0.3678, 0.3557, 0.3486, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.3174, 0.3365, 0.3362, 0.3089, 0.3089, 0.3222, 0.3799, 0.381, 0.3703, 0.4258, 0.3833, 0.3774, 0.3309, 0.2692, 0.2954, 0.2687, 0.2687, 0.2425, 0.3039, 0.3129, 0.2943, 0.3086, 0.2819, 0.2633, 0.2678, 0.2743, 0.2937, 0.2427, 0.2354, 0.2087, 0.2242, 0.2487, 0.2757, 0.2754, 0.2467, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.314, 0.3329, 0.3523, 0.3917, 0.336, 0.3177, 0.3137, 0.3405, 0.3089, 0.3168, 0.2366, 0.2174, 0.2213, 0.1676, 0.1597, 0.1552, 0.1107, 0.069, 0.0698, 0.1053, 0.1205, 0.0997, 0.0946, 0.0605, 0.1225, 0.1149, -0.0099, -0.0957, -0.0879, -0.1022, -0.042, -0.0208, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0518, -0.0929, -0.0479, -0.0301, -0.0552, -0.0372, 0.002, -0.0023, -0.0025, 0.0406, 0.049, 0.0344, 0.0307, 0.02, 0.0208, 0.0118, -0.0023, -0.0051, 0.0028, -0.0273]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1884850236482527347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-30T06:24:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if $TSLA can break ~420-440 and print a weekly candle above the breakout flag, we're going to see a fast ATH retest, likely pit stop 480-510 and then $600-690 would be next on deck by end of Feb", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting ATH retest, $480-510 then $600-690 by end of February on Elliott wave 5 + smart money skewed risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The path for $TSLA to rally (5th elliott wave) is set. Market consolidated into earnings/FOMC and the new Trump administration as one would expect. Now, if $TSLA can break ~420-440 and print a weekly candle above the breakout flag, we're going to see a fast ATH retest, likely pit stop 480-510 (possibly print another bull flag) and then $600-690 would be next on deck by end of Feb.\n\nMany other technical/option flow factors are lining up but I won't go into detail (High Tight Flag posted below). Basically, I've followed $TSLA for over 10 years and I've only seen setups like this a handful of times. \n\nMany are trying to explain why $TSLA dropped after the earnings print before rallying 10%+ from $365. The 1H new model confirmation + cybercab news were catalysts, but the real reason is smart money sees the skewed risk/reward to the upside. $TSLA never rallies on rev/EPS misses. This is how you read price movement between the lines.\n\nNot financial advice.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/ryXbiAqJtK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027930430473358636, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027930430473358636, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022592003820667728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01823927829128702, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0053384266526909085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009691152182071616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010792463618949588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010792463618949588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016114310989050695, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015209280044541584, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005321847370101107, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004416816425591996, "ret_p1w": -0.06485458062917537, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06485458062917537, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0669701789606445, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05147557289020721, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021155983314691262, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013379007738968163, "ret_p1m": -0.26806232667181296, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26806232667181296, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2501132064432563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1941343332981288, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01794912022855666, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07392799337368416, "ret_p3m": -0.27043569583821747, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27043569583821747, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18936259460869997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12643037891416387, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0810731012295175, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1440053169240536, "ret_p6m": -0.21040272178860397, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21040272178860397, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26968082093496526, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1793924235547949, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059278099146361285, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031010298233809075, "price_path": [-0.3933, -0.3718, -0.2792, -0.2582, -0.1975, -0.1256, -0.1793, -0.175, -0.2226, -0.1988, -0.1537, -0.1356, -0.1455, -0.1515, -0.1192, -0.1541, -0.155, -0.1684, -0.1684, -0.1377, -0.1079, -0.1221, -0.1058, -0.0769, -0.0276, -0.0262, 0.0018, 0.0612, 0.0445, 0.0898, 0.1567, 0.1988, 0.0996, 0.0897, 0.0519, 0.0757, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1345, 0.0784, 0.0428, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0525, 0.0254, 0.0269, -0.0148, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0138, 0.0076, -0.0098, 0.0698, 0.0338, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0594, 0.037, 0.0302, 0.0157, -0.0078, -0.0055, -0.0279, 0.0, 0.0108, -0.0415, -0.0202, -0.0552, -0.0649, -0.0966, -0.1238, -0.1793, -0.1593, -0.1108, -0.111, -0.111, -0.1153, -0.0992, -0.1146, -0.1561, -0.1743, -0.2435, -0.2735, -0.2956, -0.2681, -0.2889, -0.3204, -0.3027, -0.3418, -0.3438, -0.445, -0.424, -0.3802, -0.3987, -0.3755, -0.4054, -0.4371, -0.4108, -0.4098, -0.3787, -0.3045, -0.2802, -0.3203, -0.3177, -0.3416, -0.3526, -0.3293, -0.2936, -0.3323, -0.4018, -0.4172, -0.4457, -0.32, -0.3694, -0.3697, -0.3696, -0.3652, -0.3965, -0.397, -0.397, -0.4316, -0.4055, -0.3736, -0.3517, -0.2881, -0.2858, -0.2704, -0.2951, -0.2992, -0.2825, -0.2998, -0.3121, -0.3099, -0.2884, -0.2549, -0.2046, -0.1654, -0.1314, -0.1435, -0.1257, -0.1454, -0.1411, -0.164, -0.148, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.0934, -0.1084, -0.1046, -0.1345, -0.1439, -0.1399, -0.1705, -0.2887, -0.2627, -0.2291, -0.1853, -0.1845, -0.2028, -0.1873, -0.1778, -0.2097, -0.1954, -0.1954, -0.1952, -0.1289, -0.1494, -0.1817, -0.1861, -0.1915, -0.2064, -0.2488, -0.2114, -0.2122, -0.2122, -0.2657, -0.256, -0.2608, -0.2259, -0.2168, -0.2083, -0.2236, -0.1964, -0.202, -0.1765, -0.1793, -0.1703, -0.1692, -0.2373, -0.2104]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1901056023420694777", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-15T23:40:50+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're thin and can be retested within a few weeks or months and dip below", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA support at 215-220 is thin and could be retested and broken below within weeks or months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy My charts have 10+ years of work, I\u2019ve never seen price pivot at a key level without technical explanation. \n\nThe obvious ones I can point out: 2week/monthly clouds supported TSLA at 215-220. However, they\u2019re thin and can be retested within a few weeks or months and dip below.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig Curious what made you see 220 ish region as the target. Weekly suggested a lot of demand should have appeared at 270ish and the monday 'black swan' 15% drop ruined that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": 0.05029201082713075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05029201082713075, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05794421812029382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051865416790762064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007652207293163071, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015734059636313136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05335909096824687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05335909096824687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04255086267002639, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035542812494491316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01080822829822048, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017816278473755554, "ret_p1w": 0.16965682565251172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16965682565251172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15439280708693737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1298500461671579, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015264018565574355, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03980677948535383, "ret_p1m": 0.06764424383469825, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06764424383469825, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11687760378573386, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10617030217721757, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.049233359951035616, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03852605834251932, "ret_p3m": 0.3407419550291082, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3407419550291082, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2730064533247236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2529887208187851, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06773550170438458, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0877532342103231, "ret_p6m": 0.4577959297030181, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4577959297030181, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3042832991774702, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2556168642059635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15351263052554787, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20217906549705456, "price_path": [0.8492, 0.8326, 0.7691, 0.8092, 0.9423, 0.9423, 0.908, 0.8136, 0.7537, 0.6967, 0.6967, 0.5935, 0.7245, 0.727, 0.6569, 0.6593, 0.6593, 0.6585, 0.6945, 0.6653, 0.7992, 0.7387, 0.7919, 0.7919, 0.7817, 0.7441, 0.7326, 0.7082, 0.6686, 0.6726, 0.6348, 0.6818, 0.6999, 0.612, 0.6479, 0.5889, 0.5727, 0.5193, 0.4736, 0.3802, 0.4138, 0.4955, 0.4951, 0.4951, 0.4878, 0.5149, 0.489, 0.4193, 0.3887, 0.2722, 0.2218, 0.1846, 0.231, 0.196, 0.143, 0.1726, 0.1069, 0.1036, -0.0666, -0.0312, 0.0424, 0.0112, 0.0503, 0.0, -0.0534, -0.009, -0.0074, 0.045, 0.1697, 0.2106, 0.1431, 0.1476, 0.1073, 0.0889, 0.1279, 0.188, 0.123, 0.006, -0.0198, -0.0679, 0.1436, 0.0605, 0.0601, 0.0602, 0.0676, 0.0149, 0.0141, 0.0141, -0.0442, -0.0002, 0.0535, 0.0903, 0.1972, 0.2011, 0.227, 0.1855, 0.1786, 0.2067, 0.1775, 0.1569, 0.1605, 0.1967, 0.2531, 0.3377, 0.4036, 0.4608, 0.4404, 0.4704, 0.4373, 0.4446, 0.4059, 0.4329, 0.4257, 0.4257, 0.5247, 0.4995, 0.5059, 0.4557, 0.4398, 0.4465, 0.3951, 0.1962, 0.24, 0.2965, 0.3701, 0.3715, 0.3407, 0.3668, 0.3828, 0.3291, 0.3531, 0.3531, 0.3536, 0.465, 0.4305, 0.3762, 0.3688, 0.3597, 0.3346, 0.2634, 0.3262, 0.3249, 0.3249, 0.235, 0.2512, 0.2431, 0.3019, 0.3172, 0.3315, 0.3057, 0.3515, 0.342, 0.385, 0.3802, 0.3954, 0.3973, 0.2827, 0.3279, 0.368, 0.3495, 0.3404, 0.2952, 0.2715, 0.2994, 0.2971, 0.3441, 0.354, 0.385, 0.4244, 0.432, 0.4259, 0.4099, 0.3888, 0.4082, 0.3836, 0.3609, 0.3449, 0.4286, 0.4562, 0.4775, 0.4688, 0.4536, 0.4028, 0.4028, 0.3838, 0.4037, 0.4223, 0.4741, 0.4554, 0.4578]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986533950639251875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T20:39:36+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One reason I entered $SPY puts a week ago. Technical downside is more likely than upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds SPY puts; technicals favor downside over upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One reason I entered $SPY puts a week ago. Technical downside is more likely than upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Well that's a little ominous. $SPY https://t.co/sEPt6u20Qj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010845700345598619, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0009845075813768034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "ret_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0025809098384825813, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "ret_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02294458516251563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "ret_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0317129387977122, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "ret_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08122118866172534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "price_path": [-0.0539, -0.0439, -0.0406, -0.0405, -0.0427, -0.0429, -0.0481, -0.0507, -0.0545, -0.04, -0.0442, -0.0402, -0.038, -0.0346, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0475, -0.0423, -0.0343, -0.0371, -0.0347, -0.0325, -0.0297, -0.0216, -0.022, -0.0167, -0.0181, -0.0193, -0.0147, -0.0099, -0.0052, -0.0106, -0.0137, -0.0183, -0.0127, -0.0099, -0.0062, -0.0028, -0.0016, -0.0016, 0.0019, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0013, -0.0258, -0.0108, -0.0121, -0.0077, -0.0144, -0.0088, 0.0015, 0.0015, -0.0037, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0223, 0.025, 0.0255, 0.0142, 0.0175, 0.0194, 0.0074, 0.0108, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0166, 0.0189, 0.0195, 0.0026, 0.0024, -0.0069, -0.0153, -0.0115, -0.0265, -0.0168, -0.0024, 0.007, 0.014, 0.014, 0.0195, 0.0149, 0.0167, 0.0203, 0.021, 0.0229, 0.0199, 0.019, 0.0257, 0.0281, 0.0171, 0.0155, 0.0128, 0.0016, 0.0092, 0.0183, 0.0247, 0.0294, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0329, 0.0292, 0.0279, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0222, 0.029, 0.0351, 0.0318, 0.0317, 0.0385, 0.0401, 0.0381, 0.033, 0.0358, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0138, 0.0255, 0.0309, 0.0313, 0.0365, 0.0406, 0.0405, 0.0385, 0.0354, 0.0405, 0.0317, 0.0267, 0.0139, 0.0333, 0.0383, 0.0356, 0.0353, 0.0194, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0217, 0.0269, 0.0242, 0.0316, 0.021, 0.0285, 0.0371, 0.0314, 0.0264, 0.027, 0.0179, 0.0251, 0.0194, 0.0061, 0.0149, 0.0132, 0.012, -0.0034, -0.009, 0.001, 0.0037, -0.0103, -0.0128, -0.0269, -0.0167, -0.02, -0.0145, -0.0321, -0.0486, -0.0518, -0.0243, -0.0169, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0114, -0.0109, 0.0142, 0.0201, 0.0194, 0.0294, 0.0419, 0.0501, 0.0527, 0.0655, 0.0633, 0.0564, 0.0671, 0.0629, 0.0712, 0.073, 0.0678, 0.0676, 0.0782, 0.0812]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993611649107038326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T09:23:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see price retesting ~460 if it can first reclaim the ~423 level with a full candle print above", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA could retest ~460 if it reclaims ~423; expects range-bound action between fib channels for ~3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA continues to be range bound between 2 converging 10+ year fib channels. I can see price retesting ~460 if it can first reclaim the ~423 level with a full candle print above.\n\nI would not be surprised to see price bounce between these two significant channels for the next ~3 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016831527267547775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016831527267547775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009975375149602117, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010022977625977592, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006808549641570183, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04725960967860399, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04725960967860399, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04106552865378177, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030280837495291646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01697877218331234, "ret_p1m": 0.13788740488474427, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13788740488474427, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1191433242166513, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09250061595219528, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045386788932548994, "ret_p3m": -0.06270805204657293, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06270805204657293, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0696619208365633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0432858136223655, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019422238424207428, "ret_p6m": -0.020465049330838925, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020465049330838925, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11943659490424197, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03471319160026254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014248142269423614, "price_path": [-0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2279, -0.2168, -0.2064, -0.1776, -0.188, -0.1866, -0.1847, -0.1354, -0.0718, -0.0388, -0.0116, -0.0017, -0.0228, -0.0012, 0.0179, -0.0017, 0.038, -0.0075, 0.0324, 0.039, 0.0425, 0.0771, 0.0221, 0.0076, 0.0625, 0.0153, 0.0284, 0.021, -0.0307, 0.0218, 0.0062, 0.0201, 0.0051, 0.0298, 0.0489, 0.0376, 0.029, 0.0525, 0.0167, 0.0606, 0.0796, 0.0819, 0.0317, 0.0703, 0.098, 0.0414, 0.0832, 0.0453, 0.0069, 0.0437, 0.0306, 0.0094, -0.0576, -0.0521, -0.0414, -0.0594, -0.053, -0.0735, -0.0832, -0.0206, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0083, 0.0062, 0.0473, 0.0655, 0.0666, 0.0305, 0.0436, 0.0583, 0.0476, 0.0759, 0.1142, 0.1484, 0.0954, 0.1331, 0.128, 0.1457, 0.1383, 0.1379, 0.1379, 0.114, 0.0775, 0.0653, 0.0542, 0.0542, 0.0269, 0.0588, 0.015, 0.0113, 0.0216, 0.0432, 0.0525, 0.0483, 0.0296, 0.0281, 0.0256, 0.0256, -0.0172, 0.0114, 0.0534, 0.0527, 0.0202, 0.0101, 0.0114, -0.0235, 0.009, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.0482, -0.0688, -0.0363, -0.0217, -0.0032, 0.004, -0.0223, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0374, -0.0358, -0.0349, -0.0346, -0.0627, -0.0403, -0.0215, -0.0422, -0.0564, -0.0545, -0.0801, -0.0484, -0.0493, -0.07, -0.0654, -0.0641, -0.044, -0.074, -0.0829, -0.0727, -0.064, -0.0792, -0.1085, -0.1374, -0.1072, -0.1021, -0.0952, -0.1277, -0.1518, -0.1671, -0.1285, -0.1062, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1729, -0.1874, -0.1953, -0.1898, -0.182, -0.1738, -0.1462, -0.0812, -0.0883, -0.0609, -0.0799, -0.0941, -0.0916, -0.1239, -0.1179, -0.1123, -0.1185, -0.1261, -0.1054, -0.0838, -0.0799, -0.0872, -0.0653, -0.0347, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0161, 0.0438, 0.0392, -0.0102, -0.0389, -0.0527, -0.0218, -0.0205]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1816135833247965240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T15:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c\u2019s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today. \n\nListening to @realMeetKevin and other \u2018influencers\u2019 should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out. \n\nSold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open. \n\nStill long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03720484037651617, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03720484037651617, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014016747304503419, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014016747304503419, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011027681915303678, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011027681915303678, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005817404923161518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005817404923161518, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "ret_p1w": 0.016595534842140713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016595534842140713, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0011048987565347446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0011048987565347446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "ret_p1m": 0.02475297085773409, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02475297085773409, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002943249613093002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002943249613093002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "ret_p3m": 0.0706465255978177, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0706465255978177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011001220758759311, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011001220758759311, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "ret_p6m": 0.11059936201394382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11059936201394382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010416271153276258, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010416271153276258, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "price_path": [-0.0714, -0.0676, -0.0852, -0.0918, -0.0802, -0.0617, -0.0514, -0.0513, -0.0518, -0.0498, -0.0475, -0.0453, -0.0392, -0.0242, -0.0261, -0.0266, -0.0198, -0.0179, -0.0181, -0.0225, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0096, -0.0165, -0.0271, -0.0289, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0013, -0.0016, -0.0025, 0.0015, 0.0084, 0.0216, 0.0272, 0.0325, 0.0451, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0374, 0.0346, 0.0228, 0.0345, 0.0367, 0.0393, 0.0339, 0.04, 0.0509, 0.0597, 0.0597, 0.0707, 0.0733, 0.0742, 0.0854, 0.0616, 0.0678, 0.0707, 0.0711, 0.0397, 0.0348, 0.0256, 0.0409, 0.0372, 0.0, -0.011, -0.0009, 0.0011, -0.0126, 0.0166, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0604, -0.0515, -0.0617, -0.033, -0.028, -0.0259, -0.0017, -0.0014, 0.0238, 0.0251, 0.0386, 0.0364, 0.0413, 0.0248, 0.0359, 0.0258, 0.0289, 0.0172, 0.0157, 0.0278, 0.0278, -0.0034, -0.006, -0.005, -0.0317, -0.0192, -0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0212, 0.0258, 0.0213, 0.0218, 0.0174, 0.0431, 0.0411, 0.0439, 0.0489, 0.0499, 0.0578, 0.0519, 0.0548, 0.0401, 0.0415, 0.0408, 0.0531, 0.0419, 0.0574, 0.0657, 0.0645, 0.0662, 0.0751, 0.0608, 0.0609, 0.0616, 0.0686, 0.0706, 0.0718, 0.0554, 0.0639, 0.0704, 0.0706, 0.0809, 0.0727, 0.0456, 0.0534, 0.0503, 0.0637, 0.0926, 0.1098, 0.1111, 0.1105, 0.1084, 0.107, 0.0993, 0.0731, 0.0806, 0.088, 0.0874, 0.0913, 0.0931, 0.0948, 0.1007, 0.092, 0.092, 0.1016, 0.1136, 0.117, 0.1308, 0.1277, 0.1378, 0.1289, 0.1251, 0.1452, 0.1378, 0.1465, 0.163, 0.1579, 0.1161, 0.1112, 0.1209, 0.1318, 0.1471, 0.1471, 0.1464, 0.1311, 0.1161, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.1044, 0.1225, 0.1354, 0.1151, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.0978, 0.0943, 0.0933, 0.1184, 0.1106]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1816135833247965240", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-24T15:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c\u2019s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today. \n\nListening to @realMeetKevin and other \u2018influencers\u2019 should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out. \n\nSold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open. \n\nStill long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1407009519734943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407009519734943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11751285890148155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09806449831886743, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04263645365462687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01972310939623889, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01972310939623889, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02493338638838105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023639249329260537, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003916139933021645, "ret_p1w": 0.07444789769017168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07444789769017168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056747464091496225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04030556581189426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03414233187827742, "ret_p1m": -0.02467707623269344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02467707623269344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05237329670352053, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04127940190246682, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016602325669773377, "ret_p3m": 0.013241356255449865, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013241356255449865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06840639010112715, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08090339241328715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09414474866873701, "ret_p6m": 0.915922018610791, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.915922018610791, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8157389277501235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6641531713814106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2517688472293804, "price_path": [-0.2208, -0.1016, -0.1514, -0.1667, -0.1666, -0.1611, -0.1446, -0.1768, -0.1911, -0.2038, -0.22, -0.2042, -0.178, -0.1945, -0.1905, -0.1784, -0.19, -0.1361, -0.1661, -0.1956, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1817, -0.1843, -0.1722, -0.1755, -0.1838, -0.1908, -0.1898, -0.1762, -0.1783, -0.1954, -0.2099, -0.1792, -0.1552, -0.1758, -0.1322, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1594, -0.1527, -0.1547, -0.1326, -0.0908, -0.086, -0.0838, -0.0284, 0.0707, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1645, 0.1711, 0.2145, 0.2189, 0.1159, 0.1493, 0.1697, 0.1878, 0.1505, 0.1539, 0.1075, 0.1645, 0.1407, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0176, 0.0746, 0.0307, 0.0744, 0.004, -0.0385, -0.0792, -0.0711, -0.1122, -0.0794, -0.074, -0.0857, -0.0378, -0.0676, -0.0086, 0.0006, 0.0312, 0.0237, 0.0337, -0.0247, 0.02, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0474, -0.045, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.025, 0.0158, 0.0657, -0.0244, 0.0013, 0.0471, 0.0562, 0.064, 0.0662, 0.05, 0.055, 0.0519, 0.1293, 0.1031, 0.1575, 0.1772, 0.19, 0.177, 0.2059, 0.2113, 0.1946, 0.1529, 0.1142, 0.1578, 0.115, 0.132, 0.116, 0.1055, 0.0084, 0.0147, 0.0166, 0.0247, 0.0227, 0.0218, 0.0132, 0.0092, -0.0108, 0.206, 0.2463, 0.2154, 0.2015, 0.1924, 0.1568, 0.1527, 0.1243, 0.1641, 0.3358, 0.3746, 0.4872, 0.6204, 0.5209, 0.529, 0.4407, 0.4849, 0.5683, 0.6019, 0.5835, 0.5725, 0.6323, 0.5676, 0.566, 0.5412, 0.5412, 0.598, 0.6533, 0.627, 0.6572, 0.7107, 0.802, 0.8047, 0.8565, 0.9666, 0.9357, 1.0197, 1.1437, 1.2217, 1.0377, 1.0194, 0.9494, 0.9936, 1.1403, 1.1403, 1.1026, 0.9985, 0.9325, 0.8697, 0.8697, 0.756, 0.9003, 0.9031, 0.8258, 0.8285, 0.8285, 0.8276, 0.8673, 0.8351, 0.9826, 0.9159]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1816135833247965240", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-07-24T15:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c\u2019s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today. \n\nListening to @realMeetKevin and other \u2018influencers\u2019 should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out. \n\nSold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open. \n\nStill long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07299769638209064, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07299769638209064, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04980960331007789, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01539959297720861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05759810340488203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017242927465432323, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017242927465432323, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012032650473290163, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001098885190295329, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018341812655727652, "ret_p1w": 0.024245044014602035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024245044014602035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006544610415926577, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006947862373278824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024939830251929918, "ret_p1m": 0.08306339759589942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08306339759589942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05536717712507233, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07708785976846677, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005975537827432653, "ret_p3m": 0.2579631153893436, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2579631153893436, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17631536903276657, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2087474673312515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04921564805809209, "ret_p6m": 0.16928331293393262, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16928331293393262, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06910022207326505, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11770980822992638, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051573504704006234, "price_path": [-0.2321, -0.2319, -0.2438, -0.2732, -0.2489, -0.2229, -0.1936, -0.2075, -0.2087, -0.2233, -0.2134, -0.2088, -0.2005, -0.1718, -0.1742, -0.1906, -0.1705, -0.1652, -0.169, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0031, 0.005, -0.0329, -0.0405, 0.0065, 0.0191, 0.0716, 0.059, 0.058, 0.0659, 0.0583, 0.0958, 0.1344, 0.1543, 0.1464, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.1447, 0.1078, 0.0338, 0.1036, 0.1063, 0.0853, 0.0813, 0.088, 0.0737, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1014, 0.1221, 0.1499, 0.1808, 0.1151, 0.1312, 0.1242, 0.106, 0.0327, 0.0599, 0.0322, 0.0813, 0.073, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0104, -0.0233, -0.0921, 0.0242, -0.0441, -0.0611, -0.1208, -0.0875, -0.1343, -0.0812, -0.0832, -0.0458, 0.0165, 0.0335, 0.0754, 0.0904, 0.1379, 0.1138, 0.1247, 0.0831, 0.1323, 0.1069, 0.123, 0.0994, 0.0292, 0.0448, 0.0448, -0.0547, -0.0704, -0.0616, -0.1, -0.0681, -0.0538, 0.0233, 0.0429, 0.0425, 0.0222, 0.0118, -0.0076, 0.0318, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.058, 0.0811, 0.0858, 0.0627, 0.063, 0.0242, 0.0404, 0.0754, 0.0935, 0.118, 0.1633, 0.1611, 0.1801, 0.18, 0.2086, 0.152, 0.188, 0.1986, 0.208, 0.258, 0.2569, 0.2216, 0.2291, 0.239, 0.23, 0.2364, 0.2197, 0.1621, 0.1852, 0.1909, 0.2247, 0.2746, 0.3032, 0.2923, 0.2715, 0.2981, 0.2804, 0.2847, 0.2428, 0.2268, 0.2868, 0.277, 0.2839, 0.2426, 0.1906, 0.1985, 0.1847, 0.1847, 0.2102, 0.2135, 0.2278, 0.2705, 0.2699, 0.2469, 0.2152, 0.1824, 0.2195, 0.2023, 0.1752, 0.1555, 0.1414, 0.1285, 0.144, 0.1792, 0.2227, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.225, 0.1994, 0.2036, 0.1756, 0.1756, 0.2108, 0.2647, 0.3081, 0.2268, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.1898, 0.1663, 0.1534, 0.1927, 0.1693]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1816135833247965240", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-07-24T15:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c\u2019s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today. \n\nListening to @realMeetKevin and other \u2018influencers\u2019 should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out. \n\nSold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open. \n\nStill long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08308267115711021, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08308267115711021, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05989457808509746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05989457808509746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011277736416039907, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011277736416039907, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006338050633746151, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006338050633746151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "ret_p1w": 0.010902218196234825, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010902218196234825, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006798215402440633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006798215402440633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "ret_p1m": 0.1999999856590331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1999999856590331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.172303765188206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.172303765188206, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "ret_p3m": 0.6052631635556449, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6052631635556449, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5236154171990679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5236154171990679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "ret_p6m": 1.6030074011579325, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.6030074011579325, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.502824310297265, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.502824310297265, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "price_path": [-0.1534, -0.1417, -0.1741, -0.1684, -0.1523, -0.1229, -0.0523, -0.1955, -0.1895, -0.2053, -0.2256, -0.2128, -0.194, -0.1853, -0.1861, -0.182, -0.1872, -0.2015, -0.2041, -0.2211, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2086, -0.2128, -0.1831, -0.185, -0.1985, -0.1692, -0.1368, -0.1056, -0.1237, -0.1305, -0.1034, -0.1064, -0.1252, -0.1139, -0.0594, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0391, -0.1038, -0.0917, -0.0767, -0.094, -0.0519, -0.0477, -0.0271, -0.0289, -0.0282, -0.0282, 0.0237, 0.0414, 0.0297, 0.0684, 0.0391, 0.0553, 0.0778, 0.0778, 0.0609, 0.0767, 0.0744, 0.0699, 0.0831, 0.0, 0.0011, 0.0218, 0.018, -0.0086, 0.0109, -0.0195, -0.0699, -0.0944, -0.0004, -0.0105, 0.1008, 0.1282, 0.1045, 0.1425, 0.1654, 0.1737, 0.206, 0.2218, 0.215, 0.2233, 0.2, 0.1947, 0.1598, 0.1594, 0.1414, 0.1654, 0.1835, 0.1835, 0.147, 0.15, 0.1338, 0.1402, 0.3008, 0.3068, 0.3102, 0.3124, 0.338, 0.365, 0.3703, 0.3677, 0.3846, 0.3985, 0.4267, 0.3872, 0.3955, 0.3947, 0.385, 0.3985, 0.3707, 0.4094, 0.4752, 0.5041, 0.462, 0.5583, 0.6214, 0.6361, 0.6357, 0.6316, 0.5951, 0.5763, 0.5789, 0.6154, 0.6053, 0.6143, 0.6011, 0.6376, 0.6865, 0.6906, 0.6891, 0.6425, 0.5624, 0.5759, 0.5568, 0.9222, 1.0876, 1.1008, 1.1951, 1.2647, 1.25, 1.282, 1.2248, 1.4726, 1.303, 1.3677, 1.3353, 1.3068, 1.4192, 1.4305, 1.4714, 1.4831, 1.4831, 1.5218, 1.4959, 1.6677, 1.6259, 1.7019, 1.8699, 1.7241, 1.665, 1.7259, 1.7519, 1.8598, 1.8477, 1.7966, 1.6883, 1.7898, 2.0282, 2.0335, 2.097, 2.097, 2.088, 1.9729, 1.9015, 1.8432, 1.8432, 1.8267, 2.0034, 1.8541, 1.6312, 1.565, 1.565, 1.5286, 1.4429, 1.4778, 1.5617, 1.603]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1816135833247965240", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-07-24T15:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c\u2019s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today. \n\nListening to @realMeetKevin and other \u2018influencers\u2019 should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out. \n\nSold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open. \n\nStill long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05246754435749801, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05246754435749801, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02927945128548526, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009831090702871137, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04263645365462687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007792187975598663, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007792187975598663, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0025819109834565035, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038760480425770183, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003916139933021645, "ret_p1w": 0.07584410828429378, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07584410828429378, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05814367468561832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041701776406016355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03414233187827742, "ret_p1m": 0.12181814614828523, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12181814614828523, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09412192567745814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10521582047851186, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016602325669773377, "ret_p3m": 0.2548052304750914, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2548052304750914, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1731574841185144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1606604818063544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09414474866873701, "ret_p6m": 0.4631169306767451, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4631169306767451, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3629338398160775, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21134808344736467, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2517688472293804, "price_path": [-0.1483, -0.153, -0.1753, -0.1873, -0.1496, -0.1358, -0.1158, -0.1166, -0.1434, -0.187, -0.2104, -0.2029, -0.0571, -0.054, -0.0483, -0.0099, -0.0036, -0.0309, -0.0236, -0.0023, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0862, 0.1078, 0.1065, 0.1049, 0.0712, 0.0603, 0.0909, 0.0961, 0.1, 0.1099, 0.1374, 0.1332, 0.1143, 0.0909, 0.0813, 0.0969, 0.0969, 0.0839, 0.0317, 0.0138, 0.0068, 0.0026, 0.0138, 0.0078, -0.0122, -0.0332, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.034, -0.0148, -0.0338, -0.0486, -0.0382, -0.0257, -0.0236, 0.0182, 0.0483, 0.0421, 0.0405, 0.054, 0.0525, 0.0, -0.0078, 0.0447, 0.0345, 0.0083, 0.0758, 0.0455, 0.0044, -0.0327, -0.0174, -0.0403, 0.014, 0.0449, 0.0273, 0.0719, 0.0535, 0.1099, 0.1049, 0.1026, 0.0839, 0.1288, 0.1218, 0.1577, 0.1922, 0.2447, 0.2044, 0.2187, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.1966, 0.187, 0.1631, 0.1543, 0.1522, 0.1756, 0.2057, 0.274, 0.2631, 0.2956, 0.2792, 0.3231, 0.2917, 0.2974, 0.3094, 0.3135, 0.3039, 0.3395, 0.3281, 0.3026, 0.2818, 0.2782, 0.2901, 0.3431, 0.3091, 0.3442, 0.3234, 0.2974, 0.2987, 0.2886, 0.2829, 0.2761, 0.2509, 0.2553, 0.2548, 0.2639, 0.2306, 0.2361, 0.3156, 0.3145, 0.2964, 0.2678, 0.2317, 0.2078, 0.2026, 0.2436, 0.2356, 0.3086, 0.3374, 0.3691, 0.3668, 0.3691, 0.3857, 0.3486, 0.3374, 0.387, 0.3958, 0.4595, 0.5099, 0.5187, 0.506, 0.5039, 0.5039, 0.5151, 0.5203, 0.5465, 0.5325, 0.5421, 0.4971, 0.4291, 0.4332, 0.5117, 0.4961, 0.4883, 0.5034, 0.4712, 0.4223, 0.4322, 0.4842, 0.4714, 0.4662, 0.4662, 0.4647, 0.4449, 0.4335, 0.4226, 0.4226, 0.4382, 0.4706, 0.4187, 0.4358, 0.4426, 0.4426, 0.4709, 0.4384, 0.4156, 0.4213, 0.4631]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1843342605939290244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-07T17:28:19+00:00", "symbol": "ABNB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Horrible stock to own. Below IPO price 4 years ago. Forward guidance disappoints, no upcoming products/services to be excited about - what's there to like about this 'growth' story. It was a VC play - not a public markets play.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ABNB: below IPO price, disappointing guidance, no growth catalysts; characterizes it as a VC play unfit for public markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["ABNB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Travel Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Travel Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche @Airbnb Horrible stock to own. Below IPO price 4 years ago. Forward guidance disappoints, no upcoming products/services to be excited about - what's there to like about this 'growth' story. It was a VC play - not a public markets play.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "no properties to deal with.. no debt ... globally decentralized network (no geographic dependance) ...\n\n$80B in gross bookings &amp; growing.. $4.3B in cashflow..\n\nthe best asset in real estate is @Airbnb equity. prove me wrong \ud83d\ude4f\ud83d\ude4f\ud83d\ude4f", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.0029178348805173338, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029178348805173338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012040767366877758, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01870538235938446, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009122932486360424, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015787547478867126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017430732910489688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017430732910489688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007973302018002615, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007691541072304853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009457430892487073, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009739191838184835, "ret_p1w": 0.03501495591026482, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03501495591026482, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0059201598060278915, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022969169646603227, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02909479610423693, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012045786263661595, "ret_p1m": 0.058281592917803327, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058281592917803327, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04260710921560085, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01809510122622382, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01567448370220248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04018649169157951, "ret_p3m": 0.009598403140665068, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009598403140665068, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023525364442795738, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1274131790141, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033123767583460806, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13701158215476505, "ret_p6m": -0.06949240358801245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06949240358801245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06377058786895085, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09695841193068655, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005721815719061607, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027466008342674098, "price_path": [0.1659, 0.1211, 0.1271, 0.1305, 0.1615, 0.1365, 0.1279, 0.1364, 0.1532, 0.1422, 0.1075, 0.0753, 0.0758, 0.0772, 0.0673, 0.0716, 0.0373, -0.0154, -0.0378, 0.0018, -0.1322, -0.1197, -0.1163, -0.1275, -0.1024, -0.1074, -0.0872, -0.1069, -0.0852, -0.0987, -0.0964, -0.1135, -0.1027, -0.1115, -0.1036, -0.0975, -0.1047, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.1171, -0.1153, -0.108, -0.1225, -0.1065, -0.116, -0.1096, -0.0988, -0.0958, -0.0974, -0.0623, -0.06, -0.0114, 0.0073, -0.0092, 0.0096, 0.0037, -0.0075, -0.0152, -0.0263, -0.0366, -0.0311, -0.0379, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0404, 0.0198, 0.032, 0.035, 0.0233, 0.0378, 0.0445, 0.0478, 0.0534, 0.0412, 0.013, 0.0194, 0.0334, 0.0426, 0.058, 0.0481, 0.035, 0.0478, 0.051, 0.0583, 0.082, 0.1316, 0.0336, 0.0551, 0.0228, 0.0194, 0.0332, 0.0174, 0.0151, 0.0093, 0.0385, 0.0233, 0.0546, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0618, 0.0618, 0.0452, 0.0557, 0.0555, 0.0679, 0.0468, 0.0514, 0.0541, 0.062, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0055, 0.0151, 0.0154, -0.0207, -0.0068, 0.0306, 0.0329, 0.0366, 0.0366, 0.0391, 0.0242, 0.0121, 0.0091, 0.0091, 0.0096, 0.0421, 0.0382, 0.0081, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0046, -0.0106, -0.0202, 0.0176, 0.0148, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0218, 0.0174, 0.0231, -0.0241, -0.0098, 0.0063, 0.018, 0.012, 0.0072, -0.0035, 0.0039, -0.0048, 0.018, 0.0365, 0.0385, 0.0329, 0.079, 0.083, 0.2395, 0.2395, 0.2332, 0.2131, 0.1926, 0.1216, 0.112, 0.0869, 0.106, 0.0708, 0.0663, 0.0825, 0.0859, 0.0948, 0.0349, 0.0319, 0.0147, -0.0368, -0.0283, -0.0833, -0.0566, -0.0253, -0.0435, -0.0325, -0.0313, -0.011, -0.0031, -0.0027, -0.0122, -0.0352, -0.0733, -0.0827, -0.0695]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988850201252229460", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T06:03:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~15% upside and ~30% downside skews risk against anyone long $TSLA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: trapped between fib channels, Wyckoff distribution forming, risk/reward skews ~30% down vs ~15% up toward 330-350.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Haven't posted $TSLA charts for many weeks now because price has been caught between two multi-decade fib channels for over 2 months (as I suggested back in Sept). Every week it fails to break above 460-470 (moving target) suggests more downside is to come. \n\nWyckoff distribution is also on deck. I can still see a rally to ~500-525 but that window is fast closing and extending the window for downside to 330-350. \n\nTL;DR: ~15% upside and ~30% downside skews risk against anyone long $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07117096585529392, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07117096585529392, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054296937918334676, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04556751827961314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025603447575680782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005870832424868633, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005870832424868633, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060346011852058234, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010655346068319749, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004784513643451116, "ret_p1w": -0.016816287500356797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016816287500356797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012214716583906382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02990786649500199, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046724153995358786, "ret_p1m": 0.14171994976165325, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14171994976165325, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12725651029252338, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1012028002028782, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040517149558775056, "ret_p3m": 0.057762635351106706, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057762635351106706, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024840364955273975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.035654862160666934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022107773190439772, "ret_p6m": 0.06557381156125741, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06557381156125741, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03825923600639736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02522775445652603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04034605710473138, "price_path": [-0.1662, -0.1808, -0.1943, -0.2037, -0.1542, -0.1378, -0.1252, -0.1303, -0.1393, -0.1695, -0.1695, -0.1807, -0.1689, -0.1579, -0.1272, -0.1383, -0.1369, -0.1348, -0.0825, -0.0151, 0.02, 0.0488, 0.0594, 0.037, 0.0599, 0.0802, 0.0594, 0.1015, 0.0532, 0.0955, 0.1025, 0.1063, 0.143, 0.0846, 0.0693, 0.1275, 0.0774, 0.0913, 0.0835, 0.0286, 0.0844, 0.0678, 0.0825, 0.0666, 0.0928, 0.113, 0.101, 0.092, 0.1169, 0.0789, 0.1255, 0.1457, 0.1481, 0.0948, 0.1357, 0.1651, 0.1052, 0.1495, 0.1093, 0.0685, 0.1076, 0.0936, 0.0712, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.0172, -0.0018, 0.005, -0.0168, -0.0271, 0.0393, 0.0433, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.0701, 0.07, 0.0678, 0.1113, 0.1307, 0.1319, 0.0935, 0.1074, 0.123, 0.1117, 0.1417, 0.1824, 0.2186, 0.1624, 0.2024, 0.197, 0.2158, 0.2079, 0.2075, 0.2075, 0.1821, 0.1434, 0.1305, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.0898, 0.1236, 0.077, 0.0732, 0.0841, 0.107, 0.1168, 0.1125, 0.0926, 0.091, 0.0883, 0.0883, 0.0429, 0.0733, 0.1178, 0.1171, 0.0826, 0.0719, 0.0733, 0.0362, 0.0707, 0.0493, 0.0497, 0.01, -0.0119, 0.0227, 0.0381, 0.0578, 0.0654, 0.0375, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0215, 0.0232, 0.0242, 0.0245, -0.0054, 0.0184, 0.0383, 0.0164, 0.0013, 0.0033, -0.0238, 0.0098, 0.0089, -0.0131, -0.0082, -0.0068, 0.0145, -0.0174, -0.0268, -0.016, -0.0068, -0.0229, -0.054, -0.0847, -0.0526, -0.0472, -0.0399, -0.0743, -0.0999, -0.1162, -0.0752, -0.0516, -0.103, -0.103, -0.1223, -0.1377, -0.1461, -0.1402, -0.1319, -0.1233, -0.094, -0.025, -0.0326, -0.0034, -0.0236, -0.0387, -0.036, -0.0703, -0.0639, -0.058, -0.0646, -0.0726, -0.0506, -0.0278, -0.0236, -0.0314, -0.0081, 0.0244, 0.0656]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1857303900426252316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-15T06:05:31+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Net win for $TSLA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Calls TrendSpider's post near-sighted; DOGE role exit is a net positive for Tesla.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider What a dumb near-sighted post - Elon has said publicly he wants it gone for 2+ years. Net win for $TSLA.\n\n---\n\n@TrendSpider https://t.co/iy1PdOyju5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029745598991679167, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029745598991679167, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.042720393571043735, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03836625120367565, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012974794579364568, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008620652211996482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.056186046847983784, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.056186046847983784, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.052088665141716506, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0469563039980303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004097381706267278, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009229742849953482, "ret_p1w": 0.09927661579166669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09927661579166669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08261417767666157, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07744374956777667, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016662438115005118, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021832866223890024, "ret_p1m": 0.4436891595514967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4436891595514967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40776945168643297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32543573962411276, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03591970786506371, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11825341992738392, "ret_p3m": 0.04923300225998695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04923300225998695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01570214323749508, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0010108222095597252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033530859022491866, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05024382446954667, "ret_p6m": -0.0072960723652540915, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0072960723652540915, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.008937994933543414, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.007383302483953691, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0016419225682893224, "bench_c_p6m": 8.72301186995994e-05, "price_path": [-0.3106, -0.3038, -0.3432, -0.313, -0.3352, -0.3477, -0.3585, -0.3568, -0.3324, -0.3324, -0.3434, -0.3159, -0.2823, -0.3429, -0.3257, -0.2948, -0.2887, -0.2835, -0.282, -0.2929, -0.2895, -0.2916, -0.2395, -0.2571, -0.2205, -0.2072, -0.1986, -0.2073, -0.1879, -0.1842, -0.1955, -0.2236, -0.2496, -0.2203, -0.2491, -0.2377, -0.2484, -0.2555, -0.3209, -0.3167, -0.3154, -0.3099, -0.3113, -0.3119, -0.3176, -0.3204, -0.3338, -0.1878, -0.1607, -0.1815, -0.1908, -0.197, -0.221, -0.2237, -0.2428, -0.216, -0.1004, -0.0742, 0.0016, 0.0913, 0.0242, 0.0297, -0.0297, 0.0, 0.0562, 0.0788, 0.0664, 0.059, 0.0993, 0.0557, 0.0546, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0762, 0.1134, 0.0957, 0.116, 0.1521, 0.2136, 0.2154, 0.2503, 0.3244, 0.3036, 0.3602, 0.4437, 0.4962, 0.3723, 0.36, 0.3129, 0.3426, 0.4414, 0.4414, 0.416, 0.3459, 0.3015, 0.2592, 0.2592, 0.1826, 0.2797, 0.2816, 0.2296, 0.2314, 0.2314, 0.2308, 0.2575, 0.2358, 0.3352, 0.2903, 0.3298, 0.3298, 0.3222, 0.2943, 0.2858, 0.2677, 0.2383, 0.2412, 0.2132, 0.2481, 0.2615, 0.1963, 0.2229, 0.1791, 0.1671, 0.1275, 0.0936, 0.0243, 0.0492, 0.1098, 0.1095, 0.1095, 0.1041, 0.1242, 0.105, 0.0533, 0.0306, -0.0559, -0.0933, -0.1209, -0.0865, -0.1125, -0.1518, -0.1298, -0.1786, -0.181, -0.3073, -0.2811, -0.2265, -0.2496, -0.2206, -0.2579, -0.2975, -0.2646, -0.2633, -0.2245, -0.132, -0.1016, -0.1517, -0.1484, -0.1783, -0.1919, -0.1629, -0.1184, -0.1666, -0.2535, -0.2726, -0.3082, -0.1513, -0.213, -0.2133, -0.2132, -0.2077, -0.2469, -0.2474, -0.2474, -0.2907, -0.258, -0.2182, -0.1909, -0.1115, -0.1086, -0.0895, -0.1202, -0.1253, -0.1045, -0.1262, -0.1415, -0.1388, -0.1119, -0.07, -0.0073]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993607371772641627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T09:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also expect $380 and $410 within 3 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects GOOGL to pull back to $300-312 short-term then continue to $380 and $410 within 3 months; $330-340 near-term resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL price is exactly where I projected 2 weeks ago, reaching my PT #1 at $330 (overnight trading). If price can't breach the 20+ year fib channel, I expect price to retrace and gap fill to ~300-312 before retesting the channel upper limit.\n\nWithin the last 3 months: \n- My remaining Jan 250c's are up over 8x (I took profit on the way up at planned targets).\n- My stock (now 40% allocation) is also up over +40%.\n- Completely side stepped the recent market repricing/correcting AI growth names. 85% of my port is  $AAPL $GOOGL $ONON stock \n\nI expect $330-340 to be hard resistance near-term, but I also expect $380 and $410 within 3 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010907841613371883, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010907841613371883, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01776399373131754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01230561923014628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.001000200670512652, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001000200670512652, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00719428169533487, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006853813720372748, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.0176733319012915, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0176733319012915, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036417412569384466, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052727522953260775, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": -0.025804928968273688, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025804928968273688, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03275879775826407, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03693079872191174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 0.21327273548675119, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21327273548675119, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11430118991334814, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19241347390188768, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.3351, -0.3351, -0.34, -0.2797, -0.2746, -0.2662, -0.2685, -0.251, -0.2525, -0.2487, -0.2474, -0.2136, -0.215, -0.2201, -0.2123, -0.2039, -0.2107, -0.2134, -0.2276, -0.2318, -0.2294, -0.2372, -0.2402, -0.2346, -0.2321, -0.2332, -0.2173, -0.2319, -0.2354, -0.2451, -0.2606, -0.2369, -0.2328, -0.2154, -0.2141, -0.2083, -0.1982, -0.2172, -0.2133, -0.209, -0.1876, -0.1584, -0.164, -0.1418, -0.1202, -0.1211, -0.1132, -0.1326, -0.1114, -0.11, -0.1285, -0.0933, -0.0895, -0.1039, -0.1293, -0.1361, -0.1092, -0.1115, -0.0848, -0.0953, -0.0634, -0.0043, 0.0109, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0158, -0.0129, -0.001, -0.0073, 0.0041, -0.0188, -0.0083, 0.0015, -0.0229, -0.0327, -0.036, -0.0412, -0.072, -0.054, -0.0393, -0.0312, -0.0169, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0195, -0.0193, -0.0184, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0144, -0.01, -0.0169, 0.007, 0.0178, 0.0276, 0.0379, 0.0508, 0.0504, 0.0408, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0071, 0.027, 0.0338, 0.0256, 0.0423, 0.0463, 0.0509, 0.0579, 0.0571, 0.0749, 0.0625, 0.0416, 0.036, 0.0098, 0.0143, -0.0036, -0.0275, -0.0336, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0554, -0.0513, -0.0528, -0.0149, -0.0258, -0.0277, -0.0214, -0.0387, -0.025, -0.0413, -0.0505, -0.052, -0.059, -0.0664, -0.0412, -0.039, -0.0339, -0.05, -0.0539, -0.0437, -0.0269, -0.037, -0.0388, -0.058, -0.0546, -0.091, -0.0895, -0.1208, -0.1414, -0.144, -0.1, -0.0692, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0611, -0.044, -0.0069, -0.0032, -0.0071, 0.0056, 0.0419, 0.0551, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.056, 0.04, 0.062, 0.0606, 0.0779, 0.0965, 0.0947, 0.0952, 0.2043, 0.2071, 0.1995, 0.2157, 0.2458, 0.2456, 0.2544, 0.2163, 0.2123, 0.2601, 0.2552, 0.2418, 0.2423, 0.2133, 0.2172, 0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1832253663089193209", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-07T03:04:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$160 is 4T and I think that's the top for 1+ year(s). There's a rising wedge on the log weekly too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: $160 marks 4T market cap ceiling and top for 1+ year, confirmed by rising wedge on log weekly chart.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@2kaykim $160 is 4T and I think that\u2019s the top for 1+ year(s). There\u2019s a rising wedge on the log weekly too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Nothin but a G thang \n\nPonzi Leeches work in segments \nSo we are resting before the LEG #3\n\nMARK IT!\n\n$NVDA https://t.co/dxfOjmQKIf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "2kaykim", "ret_m1d": -0.03418795024071031, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03418795024071031, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023115603097233484, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012083035686381138, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072347143476824, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02210491455432917, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015309304340800356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015309304340800356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010953632917871214, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005848696002699105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0043556714229291416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00946060833810125, "ret_p1w": 0.09692855387933519, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09692855387933519, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06685959421417564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033524513815746504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030068959665159545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06340404006358868, "ret_p1m": 0.24825165926312853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24825165926312853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19606001747610113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09970256371750841, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521916417870274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14854909554562012, "ret_p3m": 0.3626598566685719, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3626598566685719, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24898937832369517, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23330476229744268, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367047834487676, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12935509437112924, "ret_p6m": 0.08958311034059485, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08958311034059485, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027053392492070616, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.060618025777400275, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252971784852424, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028965084563194576, "price_path": [0.1759, 0.2173, 0.2387, 0.2302, 0.2734, 0.2734, 0.2283, 0.1888, 0.1093, 0.1843, 0.1872, 0.1646, 0.1603, 0.1675, 0.1522, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.1818, 0.2041, 0.234, 0.2671, 0.1966, 0.2139, 0.2063, 0.1868, 0.1082, 0.1373, 0.1076, 0.1603, 0.1514, 0.0731, 0.0546, 0.0619, 0.0481, -0.0257, 0.0991, 0.0257, 0.0075, -0.0565, -0.0209, -0.071, -0.0141, -0.0162, 0.024, 0.0908, 0.109, 0.1539, 0.1701, 0.221, 0.1952, 0.2069, 0.1622, 0.2151, 0.1878, 0.205, 0.1798, 0.1044, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.0144, -0.0024, 0.007, -0.0342, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0981, 0.1191, 0.1187, 0.0969, 0.0858, 0.0649, 0.1072, 0.0896, 0.092, 0.1353, 0.1601, 0.1651, 0.1403, 0.1407, 0.099, 0.1164, 0.1539, 0.1734, 0.1997, 0.2483, 0.246, 0.2663, 0.2662, 0.2969, 0.2361, 0.2748, 0.2862, 0.2963, 0.3499, 0.3488, 0.3109, 0.3189, 0.3295, 0.3199, 0.3268, 0.3088, 0.247, 0.2718, 0.2779, 0.3142, 0.3677, 0.3984, 0.3867, 0.3644, 0.3929, 0.3739, 0.3785, 0.3336, 0.3164, 0.3809, 0.3704, 0.3777, 0.3334, 0.2777, 0.2861, 0.2713, 0.2713, 0.2986, 0.3022, 0.3175, 0.3633, 0.3627, 0.338, 0.3039, 0.2688, 0.3086, 0.2901, 0.2611, 0.24, 0.2249, 0.211, 0.2276, 0.2653, 0.312, 0.3172, 0.3172, 0.3145, 0.287, 0.2915, 0.2615, 0.2615, 0.2993, 0.3571, 0.4037, 0.3164, 0.3162, 0.3162, 0.2767, 0.2515, 0.2377, 0.2798, 0.2547, 0.2936, 0.2936, 0.3229, 0.3815, 0.383, 0.3397, 0.1124, 0.2117, 0.162, 0.1709, 0.1279, 0.0959, 0.1146, 0.1726, 0.2088, 0.2197, 0.2547, 0.2475, 0.2319, 0.2709, 0.3043, 0.3043, 0.3095, 0.3079, 0.3162, 0.2628, 0.2238, 0.1895, 0.2332, 0.1287, 0.1735, 0.0715, 0.0896]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968011537555263595", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:58:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$425-430 is a significant resistance zone \u2026 it's going to take a FOMC catalyst tomorrow alongside some short term bullish pattern prints \u2026 I expected price to stall out around ~$415-430 \u2026 and it's done exactly that", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "TSLA stalling at $425-430 resistance; needs FOMC catalyst + bullish patterns to break higher, otherwise resistance holds.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm feeling generous. \n\nThis single chart has been extremely profitable and a key leading $TSLA indicator for years. I won't share the coordinates, but you can see this is why ~$425-430 is a significant resistance zone (which I indicated in my last post). It also predicted the $488 ATH, $101 5-year low and many other high/lows. \n\nCan it rally further? Yes, but it's going to take a FOMC catalyst tomorrow alongside some short term bullish pattern prints (bullish pennant/flags etc). I mentioned that I expected price to stall out around ~$415-430 (my first of 3 price targets) and it's done exactly that. \n\nLots of people on X are saying $TSLA will just rocket to ATH but haven't seen a single post showing this chart below because it's known by very, very few (the algos know).\n\nDo your own research. Don't blind trust these discord pumpers. They pump their own tires after things are going their way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027465458722011116, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027465458722011116, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028844149679055686, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02135431934117804, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006111139380833075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01005642588937583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01005642588937583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0112989544438441, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012575163064629913, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012425285544682696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002518737175254082, "ret_p1w": 0.01003275706872575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01003275706872575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002383134639607043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02589021227285171, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01585745520412596, "ret_p1m": 0.03209050551678949, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03209050551678949, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021463123257631445, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06130866787600597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029218162359216482, "ret_p3m": 0.08856315348021426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08856315348021426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05272959243236075, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09002584227381416, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0014626887935998978, "ret_p6m": -0.03273086654520052, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03273086654520052, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06335071324125707, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02113057927343409, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05386144581863461, "price_path": [-0.2362, -0.2359, -0.173, -0.1925, -0.2231, -0.2273, -0.2324, -0.2466, -0.2868, -0.2513, -0.2521, -0.2521, -0.3028, -0.2937, -0.2982, -0.265, -0.2564, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2371, -0.2424, -0.2181, -0.2209, -0.2123, -0.2112, -0.2759, -0.2504, -0.2278, -0.2382, -0.2433, -0.2688, -0.2822, -0.2665, -0.2678, -0.2412, -0.2356, -0.2181, -0.1959, -0.1916, -0.1951, -0.2041, -0.216, -0.2051, -0.2189, -0.2318, -0.2408, -0.1936, -0.1779, -0.1659, -0.1708, -0.1794, -0.2081, -0.2081, -0.2188, -0.2076, -0.1971, -0.1679, -0.1784, -0.1771, -0.1751, -0.1253, -0.0609, -0.0275, 0.0, 0.0101, -0.0113, 0.0106, 0.0299, 0.01, 0.0502, 0.0042, 0.0445, 0.0512, 0.0548, 0.0897, 0.0341, 0.0195, 0.075, 0.0272, 0.0405, 0.033, -0.0193, 0.0339, 0.0181, 0.0321, 0.0169, 0.042, 0.0612, 0.0498, 0.0412, 0.0649, 0.0287, 0.0731, 0.0923, 0.0946, 0.0438, 0.0829, 0.1109, 0.0537, 0.0959, 0.0576, 0.0187, 0.056, 0.0427, 0.0213, -0.0466, -0.041, -0.0301, -0.0483, -0.0418, -0.0626, -0.0724, -0.0091, -0.0053, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0203, 0.0202, 0.0181, 0.0596, 0.0781, 0.0792, 0.0426, 0.0559, 0.0708, 0.0599, 0.0886, 0.1273, 0.1619, 0.1082, 0.1465, 0.1413, 0.1592, 0.1517, 0.1513, 0.1513, 0.1271, 0.0902, 0.0778, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.039, 0.0713, 0.0269, 0.0232, 0.0336, 0.0555, 0.0648, 0.0607, 0.0417, 0.0402, 0.0377, 0.0377, -0.0056, 0.0233, 0.0658, 0.0651, 0.0322, 0.022, 0.0233, -0.012, 0.0208, 0.0005, 0.0008, -0.037, -0.0579, -0.0249, -0.0102, 0.0085, 0.0158, -0.0108, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0261, -0.0244, -0.0235, -0.0232, -0.0517, -0.029, -0.01, -0.0309, -0.0453, -0.0434, -0.0692, -0.0372, -0.0381, -0.059, -0.0544, -0.0531, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1810066570531782786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-07T21:41:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TSLA can 3-5x but expecting another 10-20x is a moonshot", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "TSLA can 3-5x from here but a repeat 10-20x is unrealistic; modest long with tempered expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BullTradeFinder I said this back in 2016 for $TSLA and it came true for me. TSLA can 3-5x but expecting another 10-20x is a moonshot", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "These are the top stocks I believe you can become a millionaire off of over the next decade or so:\n\n1. $TSLA \n\n2. $PLTR\n\n3. $HOOD\n\n4. $CAVA \n\nWhat would you add?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BullTradeFinder", "ret_m1d": -0.0056139723066312985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0056139723066312985, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004461249885130858, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005138671671213069, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011527224215004406, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00047530063541822987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03712336538398886, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03712336538398886, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03615088560769619, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03379699669555869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009724797762926674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00332636868843017, "ret_p1w": -0.0011860640818460721, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0011860640818460721, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012441689790373078, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011112849471755282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011255625708527006, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00992678538990921, "ret_p1m": -0.20676841364336251, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20676841364336251, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14710467504053926, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12059707880068671, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05966373860282326, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861713348426758, "ret_p3m": -0.048549057724238565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.048549057724238565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07426876290293738, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08336372562937922, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025719705178698815, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03481466790514065, "ret_p6m": 0.5965841402703413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5965841402703413, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5343160301212102, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4072975833648216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06226811014913114, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18928655690551976, "price_path": [-0.3209, -0.3097, -0.3238, -0.3616, -0.3789, -0.3854, -0.4073, -0.4186, -0.4384, -0.428, -0.359, -0.3272, -0.3347, -0.2328, -0.2754, -0.2884, -0.2883, -0.2837, -0.2696, -0.297, -0.3092, -0.3201, -0.334, -0.3204, -0.2981, -0.3121, -0.3088, -0.2984, -0.3083, -0.2623, -0.2879, -0.3131, -0.2914, -0.2914, -0.3012, -0.3034, -0.2932, -0.296, -0.303, -0.309, -0.3081, -0.2965, -0.2983, -0.3129, -0.3253, -0.2991, -0.2786, -0.2962, -0.259, -0.2692, -0.2692, -0.2822, -0.2765, -0.2782, -0.2593, -0.2236, -0.2195, -0.2177, -0.1703, -0.0857, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0056, 0.0, 0.0371, 0.0408, -0.0471, -0.0186, -0.0012, 0.0143, -0.0176, -0.0147, -0.0543, -0.0057, -0.0259, -0.1461, -0.1292, -0.131, -0.0824, -0.1199, -0.0825, -0.1426, -0.179, -0.2137, -0.2068, -0.2419, -0.2139, -0.2093, -0.2192, -0.1783, -0.2038, -0.1534, -0.1456, -0.1195, -0.1259, -0.1173, -0.1672, -0.129, -0.1571, -0.1729, -0.1866, -0.1845, -0.1535, -0.1535, -0.1674, -0.1326, -0.09, -0.1669, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.0981, -0.0914, -0.0895, -0.1034, -0.0991, -0.1018, -0.0357, -0.0581, -0.0116, 0.0053, 0.0161, 0.0051, 0.0297, 0.0344, 0.0201, -0.0155, -0.0485, -0.0113, -0.0479, -0.0334, -0.047, -0.056, -0.1389, -0.1335, -0.1319, -0.125, -0.1267, -0.1275, -0.1348, -0.1383, -0.1553, 0.0298, 0.0642, 0.0378, 0.026, 0.0182, -0.0122, -0.0157, -0.0399, -0.0059, 0.1407, 0.1738, 0.2699, 0.3837, 0.2987, 0.3056, 0.2303, 0.268, 0.3392, 0.3679, 0.3522, 0.3428, 0.3938, 0.3386, 0.3372, 0.3161, 0.3161, 0.3646, 0.4118, 0.3893, 0.4151, 0.4608, 0.5388, 0.541, 0.5853, 0.6793, 0.653, 0.7246, 0.8306, 0.8971, 0.7401, 0.7244, 0.6647, 0.7024, 0.8276, 0.8276, 0.7954, 0.7066, 0.6502, 0.5966]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1854588546117779703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-07T18:15:40+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long. Tomorrow/wednesday has the potential to gap fill at $329 and I have limits set to buy that dip if it comes. Otherwise 400+ is in play this week. Leaving $TSLA stock open", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA (stock + calls open) targeting 400\u2013450 by December, buying dips to ~$303; also holding dry powder for NVDA earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick recap on my positions in the last 3 months:\n\n- Closed my $PLTR (entered $8 and $16) at $28 - yes I know I missed significant upside; price target was $30\n- Closed $PTON (entered $3 closed at $5) - same upside miss; price target was $6\n- Closed $NVDA from $70 to 135 exact top, re-entered $102 and $118 and sold again at $134 \n- Closed $ONON (entered $27 and $36 closed at $49)\n- Closed $TSLA puts (shorts entered $260-265 closed at $213-235)\n- Moved 80% allocation from $NVDA $PLTR $PTON $ONON into $TSLA at $242 and $277. I have about 60% allocated into $TSLA stock/long calls/short puts (cash secured puts) and plan to increase up to 80% but I want powder for $NVDA earnings. Targets $310, $325 short term; $400 2-6 months.\n\nThese are all my large moves since July. Zero misses. Goal is to open/close within 5% of targets.\n\nI stopped sharing my charts since I get requests for expanded commentary (I ignore most don't take it personally), but here's 2 that I think are important. Fib chan/bull flag ext on left; anchored vwap/parallel channels on right.\n\nFundamentals are strongest I've seen since 2021.\n\n---\n\nI'm taking some $TSLA profits here at $318 with my December calls (up 6x+) and writing some calls to hedge downside. Still expect more rallying to continue and plan to buy dips down to ~$303\n\n---\n\nMy remaining December calls are now up 10x+. I added some stock and weekly calls at $343 today. The uptrend is continuing to be strong and can go as high as 420-450 by December. Until I see the uptrend break, I\u2019m long. \n\nTomorrow/wednesday has the potential to gap fill at $329 and I have limits set to buy that dip if it comes. Otherwise 400+ is in play this week. CPI data Wednesday.\n\n---\n\nClosed my $TSLA December calls today for ~8x gains and bought Nov 29 calls to reduce upside exposure into CPI tmr. Leaving $TSLA stock open", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551323005200905, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01554198153914077, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012682075513342883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07754491156299181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06768605087338764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014190602855865375, "ret_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0518560984194133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03311668881111185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014944975793195203, "ret_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29041905662363354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21335856821931687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09754371334760781, "ret_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3072129150344767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22607236448005752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09490027577298821, "ret_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009693098447020931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013262813828543107, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04593268714837273, "price_path": [-0.3348, -0.3, -0.3217, -0.2788, -0.2721, -0.2499, -0.2553, -0.248, -0.2905, -0.258, -0.2819, -0.2954, -0.307, -0.3052, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2907, -0.261, -0.2248, -0.2903, -0.2716, -0.2383, -0.2317, -0.226, -0.2244, -0.2362, -0.2325, -0.2348, -0.1785, -0.1976, -0.158, -0.1436, -0.1344, -0.1438, -0.1228, -0.1188, -0.131, -0.1613, -0.1895, -0.1577, -0.1889, -0.1765, -0.1881, -0.1958, -0.2664, -0.2619, -0.2605, -0.2546, -0.256, -0.2567, -0.2629, -0.2659, -0.2804, -0.1227, -0.0934, -0.1159, -0.1259, -0.1326, -0.1585, -0.1614, -0.1821, -0.1531, -0.0282, 0.0, 0.0819, 0.1788, 0.1064, 0.1123, 0.0481, 0.0802, 0.1409, 0.1653, 0.152, 0.1439, 0.1874, 0.1404, 0.1392, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.1625, 0.2027, 0.1836, 0.2055, 0.2445, 0.3109, 0.3128, 0.3505, 0.4306, 0.4082, 0.4692, 0.5595, 0.6162, 0.4824, 0.469, 0.4181, 0.4503, 0.557, 0.557, 0.5295, 0.4538, 0.4058, 0.3601, 0.3601, 0.2774, 0.3824, 0.3844, 0.3282, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.3295, 0.3584, 0.3349, 0.4423, 0.3938, 0.4365, 0.4365, 0.4283, 0.3981, 0.3889, 0.3694, 0.3376, 0.3408, 0.3105, 0.3482, 0.3627, 0.2922, 0.321, 0.2737, 0.2607, 0.2179, 0.1813, 0.1064, 0.1334, 0.1988, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.1927, 0.2144, 0.1936, 0.1377, 0.1132, 0.0198, -0.0206, -0.0504, -0.0132, -0.0413, -0.0838, -0.06, -0.1127, -0.1153, -0.2518, -0.2234, -0.1644, -0.1894, -0.1581, -0.1984, -0.2412, -0.2056, -0.2043, -0.1623, -0.0624, -0.0295, -0.0837, -0.0801, -0.1124, -0.1271, -0.0958, -0.0477, -0.0998, -0.1936, -0.2143, -0.2528, -0.0832, -0.1499, -0.1502, -0.1501, -0.1442, -0.1865, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.2338, -0.1985, -0.1555, -0.126, -0.0403, -0.0371, -0.0164, -0.0497, -0.0552, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1854588546117779703", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-07T18:15:40+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want powder for $NVDA earnings", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA (stock + calls open) targeting 400\u2013450 by December, buying dips to ~$303; also holding dry powder for NVDA earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick recap on my positions in the last 3 months:\n\n- Closed my $PLTR (entered $8 and $16) at $28 - yes I know I missed significant upside; price target was $30\n- Closed $PTON (entered $3 closed at $5) - same upside miss; price target was $6\n- Closed $NVDA from $70 to 135 exact top, re-entered $102 and $118 and sold again at $134 \n- Closed $ONON (entered $27 and $36 closed at $49)\n- Closed $TSLA puts (shorts entered $260-265 closed at $213-235)\n- Moved 80% allocation from $NVDA $PLTR $PTON $ONON into $TSLA at $242 and $277. I have about 60% allocated into $TSLA stock/long calls/short puts (cash secured puts) and plan to increase up to 80% but I want powder for $NVDA earnings. Targets $310, $325 short term; $400 2-6 months.\n\nThese are all my large moves since July. Zero misses. Goal is to open/close within 5% of targets.\n\nI stopped sharing my charts since I get requests for expanded commentary (I ignore most don't take it personally), but here's 2 that I think are important. Fib chan/bull flag ext on left; anchored vwap/parallel channels on right.\n\nFundamentals are strongest I've seen since 2021.\n\n---\n\nI'm taking some $TSLA profits here at $318 with my December calls (up 6x+) and writing some calls to hedge downside. Still expect more rallying to continue and plan to buy dips down to ~$303\n\n---\n\nMy remaining December calls are now up 10x+. I added some stock and weekly calls at $343 today. The uptrend is continuing to be strong and can go as high as 420-450 by December. Until I see the uptrend break, I\u2019m long. \n\nTomorrow/wednesday has the potential to gap fill at $329 and I have limits set to buy that dip if it comes. Otherwise 400+ is in play this week. CPI data Wednesday.\n\n---\n\nClosed my $TSLA December calls today for ~8x gains and bought Nov 29 calls to reduce upside exposure into CPI tmr. Leaving $TSLA stock open", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02196391662043362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02196391662043362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014291182573150873, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001827373394688414, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023791290015122035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00839617382434954, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00839617382434954, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012727915990610739, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001959922072512721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006436251751836819, "ret_p1w": -0.014239731991760984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014239731991760984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010445298176654738, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034951940426502404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04919167241826339, "ret_p1m": -0.04319042916773508, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04319042916773508, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06367365411102621, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0043538068841568744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04754423605189195, "ret_p3m": -0.2029946684824251, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2029946684824251, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21675439370099414, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13219648821342356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07079818026900153, "ret_p6m": -0.230800554037354, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.230800554037354, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18843758227050345, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07365090991777123, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.15714964411958277, "price_path": [-0.2678, -0.22, -0.2069, -0.1748, -0.1633, -0.1269, -0.1454, -0.137, -0.1689, -0.1311, -0.1507, -0.1383, -0.1564, -0.2102, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.2746, -0.2867, -0.28, -0.3094, -0.2849, -0.274, -0.2148, -0.1998, -0.2, -0.2156, -0.2236, -0.2385, -0.2083, -0.2208, -0.2191, -0.1881, -0.1704, -0.1668, -0.1846, -0.1843, -0.2141, -0.2017, -0.1748, -0.1609, -0.1421, -0.1074, -0.109, -0.0945, -0.0946, -0.0726, -0.1161, -0.0884, -0.0803, -0.0731, -0.0347, -0.0355, -0.0626, -0.0569, -0.0493, -0.0562, -0.0512, -0.0641, -0.1083, -0.0905, -0.0862, -0.0602, -0.022, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0243, -0.004, -0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0463, -0.0586, -0.0126, -0.0201, -0.0148, -0.0465, -0.0864, -0.0803, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.0714, -0.0688, -0.0579, -0.0251, -0.0256, -0.0432, -0.0676, -0.0927, -0.0642, -0.0774, -0.0982, -0.1133, -0.1241, -0.1341, -0.1222, -0.0952, -0.0618, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0601, -0.0797, -0.0764, -0.0979, -0.0979, -0.0709, -0.0296, 0.0038, -0.0586, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0871, -0.1051, -0.1149, -0.0848, -0.1028, -0.075, -0.075, -0.054, -0.0121, -0.0111, -0.042, -0.2045, -0.1335, -0.1691, -0.1627, -0.1935, -0.2164, -0.203, -0.1615, -0.1356, -0.1278, -0.1028, -0.1079, -0.1191, -0.0912, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0636, -0.0648, -0.0588, -0.097, -0.1249, -0.1494, -0.1182, -0.1929, -0.1609, -0.2338, -0.2209, -0.2121, -0.2573, -0.243, -0.2814, -0.2694, -0.2225, -0.2235, -0.1826, -0.197, -0.2246, -0.2105, -0.2037, -0.2093, -0.1844, -0.1892, -0.2358, -0.2514, -0.2632, -0.2719, -0.26, -0.2582, -0.3161, -0.3664, -0.3441, -0.3531, -0.2319, -0.2774, -0.2548, -0.2563, -0.2463, -0.298, -0.3182, -0.3182, -0.349, -0.3357, -0.31, -0.285, -0.2542, -0.2696, -0.2676, -0.2683, -0.2502, -0.2308]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1815940282569179407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T02:41:16+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Diamond top confirmed, fib channel rejection. Looking very weak next 30-60 days.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish on TSLA: diamond top + fib channel rejection signal weakness over next 30-60 days.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Diamond top confirmed, fib channel rejection. Looking very weak next 30-60 days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Chart dump coming. Hope you like charts.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.1407009519734943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407009519734943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11751285890148155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09806449831886743, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04263645365462687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01972310939623889, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01972310939623889, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02493338638838105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023639249329260537, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003916139933021645, "ret_p1w": 0.07444789769017168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07444789769017168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056747464091496225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04030556581189426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03414233187827742, "ret_p1m": -0.02467707623269344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02467707623269344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05237329670352053, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04127940190246682, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016602325669773377, "ret_p3m": 0.013241356255449865, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013241356255449865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06840639010112715, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08090339241328715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09414474866873701, "ret_p6m": 0.915922018610791, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.915922018610791, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8157389277501235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6641531713814106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2517688472293804, "price_path": [-0.2208, -0.1016, -0.1514, -0.1667, -0.1666, -0.1611, -0.1446, -0.1768, -0.1911, -0.2038, -0.22, -0.2042, -0.178, -0.1945, -0.1905, -0.1784, -0.19, -0.1361, -0.1661, -0.1956, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1817, -0.1843, -0.1722, -0.1755, -0.1838, -0.1908, -0.1898, -0.1762, -0.1783, -0.1954, -0.2099, -0.1792, -0.1552, -0.1758, -0.1322, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1594, -0.1527, -0.1547, -0.1326, -0.0908, -0.086, -0.0838, -0.0284, 0.0707, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1645, 0.1711, 0.2145, 0.2189, 0.1159, 0.1493, 0.1697, 0.1878, 0.1505, 0.1539, 0.1075, 0.1645, 0.1407, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0176, 0.0746, 0.0307, 0.0744, 0.004, -0.0385, -0.0792, -0.0711, -0.1122, -0.0794, -0.074, -0.0857, -0.0378, -0.0676, -0.0086, 0.0006, 0.0312, 0.0237, 0.0337, -0.0247, 0.02, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0474, -0.045, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.025, 0.0158, 0.0657, -0.0244, 0.0013, 0.0471, 0.0562, 0.064, 0.0662, 0.05, 0.055, 0.0519, 0.1293, 0.1031, 0.1575, 0.1772, 0.19, 0.177, 0.2059, 0.2113, 0.1946, 0.1529, 0.1142, 0.1578, 0.115, 0.132, 0.116, 0.1055, 0.0084, 0.0147, 0.0166, 0.0247, 0.0227, 0.0218, 0.0132, 0.0092, -0.0108, 0.206, 0.2463, 0.2154, 0.2015, 0.1924, 0.1568, 0.1527, 0.1243, 0.1641, 0.3358, 0.3746, 0.4872, 0.6204, 0.5209, 0.529, 0.4407, 0.4849, 0.5683, 0.6019, 0.5835, 0.5725, 0.6323, 0.5676, 0.566, 0.5412, 0.5412, 0.598, 0.6533, 0.627, 0.6572, 0.7107, 0.802, 0.8047, 0.8565, 0.9666, 0.9357, 1.0197, 1.1437, 1.2217, 1.0377, 1.0194, 0.9494, 0.9936, 1.1403, 1.1403, 1.1026, 0.9985, 0.9325, 0.8697, 0.8697, 0.756, 0.9003, 0.9031, 0.8258, 0.8285, 0.8285, 0.8276, 0.8673, 0.8351, 0.9826, 0.9159]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1865465108115476506", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-07T18:35:15+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$500-600 in 2025 in terms of risk/reward is 10/10", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA to $500-600 in 2025; rates risk/reward 10/10 despite near-term potential pullback at $400.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 Yup but I see a potential sell off at $400 before upward movement resumes this/next week. $500-600 in 2025 in terms of risk/reward is 10/10. \n\nhttps://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA It's been 36 months since touching ATH at 414, TSLA is setting up to test this key resistance level again this week. TSLA above 414 will run to 500+ next year. We\u2019re about to see a short squeeze similar to 2021. If you catch this trade, you can easily 5x your account.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006638730115564595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004651142174291856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0051763854896811345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031887975484083952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03184238940014317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027095929108661876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003109016445658197, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016374438458230944, "ret_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18438084955239908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15934327329292364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003489487971428229, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028527064230903676, "ret_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03499081156220407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05162142384125523, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023266609539427052, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03989722181847821, "ret_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27444020333230934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21372277435713027, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049683026017553256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11040045499273232, "ret_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10886844732232615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04948115718149959, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.007912430928440961, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06729972106926752, "price_path": [-0.4147, -0.4104, -0.4092, -0.4182, -0.4154, -0.4171, -0.3742, -0.3888, -0.3586, -0.3477, -0.3406, -0.3478, -0.3318, -0.3288, -0.3381, -0.3611, -0.3826, -0.3584, -0.3822, -0.3727, -0.3816, -0.3874, -0.4412, -0.4377, -0.4367, -0.4322, -0.4333, -0.4338, -0.4385, -0.4408, -0.4519, -0.3317, -0.3094, -0.3265, -0.3342, -0.3393, -0.359, -0.3612, -0.377, -0.3549, -0.2598, -0.2383, -0.1759, -0.1021, -0.1573, -0.1528, -0.2017, -0.1772, -0.131, -0.1123, -0.1225, -0.1287, -0.0955, -0.1314, -0.1323, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1145, -0.0839, -0.0984, -0.0817, -0.0521, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.0897, 0.0726, 0.1191, 0.1879, 0.2311, 0.1291, 0.119, 0.0802, 0.1047, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1651, 0.1074, 0.0709, 0.036, 0.036, -0.027, 0.053, 0.0545, 0.0117, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0127, 0.0347, 0.0169, 0.0986, 0.0616, 0.0942, 0.0942, 0.0879, 0.065, 0.058, 0.0431, 0.0189, 0.0213, -0.0018, 0.0269, 0.038, -0.0157, 0.0062, -0.0298, -0.0397, -0.0723, -0.1002, -0.1572, -0.1367, -0.0868, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.075, -0.0908, -0.1334, -0.152, -0.2232, -0.254, -0.2767, -0.2484, -0.2697, -0.3021, -0.284, -0.3241, -0.3261, -0.4301, -0.4085, -0.3635, -0.3825, -0.3587, -0.3894, -0.422, -0.3949, -0.3939, -0.3619, -0.2858, -0.2608, -0.302, -0.2993, -0.3239, -0.3351, -0.3113, -0.2746, -0.3143, -0.3857, -0.4015, -0.4308, -0.3017, -0.3525, -0.3527, -0.3526, -0.3481, -0.3803, -0.3808, -0.3808, -0.4164, -0.3895, -0.3567, -0.3342, -0.269, -0.2666, -0.2508, -0.2761, -0.2803, -0.2632, -0.281, -0.2936, -0.2914, -0.2693, -0.2348, -0.1832, -0.1429, -0.108, -0.1205, -0.1021, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1415, -0.1251, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.069, -0.0844, -0.0805, -0.1112, -0.1208, -0.1168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855359926073544779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-09T21:20:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buying dips around 303-310", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA; sold 50% of longs but still buying dips at 303-310, targeting continuation to 348+ with 325 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 I agree. However continuation to 348 and holding above 325 is also possible which is why I sold 50% of my longs. Buying dips around 303-310", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you missed the 90 pt run in $TSLA last week.. Read below if you want to catch the next run to 372-384. TSLA ripped from 238 to 328 in 5 days. TSLA needs to back test the 300 level next and turn this previous resistance into support in order to see a sustained run to 372 next.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127664897951281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245260460971458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019775963331133628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835072320448553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106242895773255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350927863155282, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451589808276988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013716983797620985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454472675593303, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1389384133972491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654056622226891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914512016165974, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345149352279677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107371386455574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378363825597905, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1525057645522565, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993159204220330248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T03:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "next PT is $380 and $410. I would not be surprised if $GOOGL goes to $800+ to be the first $10T company by 2030", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long GOOGL (40% of portfolio) with PTs $380/$410 and $800+ by 2030; long AAPL as AI consumer layer play alongside GOOGL.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL is now at 4T market cap in overnight trading, on pace to dethrone $NVDA within the next 30 days (likely by next earnings) to become the largest company in the world. \n\nAlmost 3 months ago, I allocated 20%+ of my portfolio at ~$230. In the last 2 weeks, I've doubled that to near 40% (trimmed $ONON after massive +20% earnings beat). My first price target was $330 (4T); next PT is $380 and $410. I would not be surprised if $GOOGL goes to $800+ to be the first $10T company by 2030.\n\nI still believe $AAPL and $GOOGL (now 85%+ of my portfolio) are best positioned to capitalize on AI's consumer utility layer in the next few years. Essentially, the consumer counterpart to $PLTR's commercial utility layer.\n\nThe $GOOGL narrative went from 'AI victim' to 'AI winner' within about 3 months this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005707682165620009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003739879548509184, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011286145802906988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017693627877603868, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01218987856079301, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013997341338161107, "ret_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033234351853908994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031726598037802645, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008136408108623039, "ret_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054049742093956965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06477577025808157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036502991733533996, "ret_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04988478589499912, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05069974458560633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025180435107986954, "ret_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09968309412850562, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1817631090827061, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02228819313912611, "price_path": [-0.3462, -0.3423, -0.3423, -0.3471, -0.2875, -0.2824, -0.2741, -0.2764, -0.2591, -0.2605, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2221, -0.2235, -0.2285, -0.2208, -0.2125, -0.2192, -0.2219, -0.2359, -0.2401, -0.2378, -0.2455, -0.2484, -0.2428, -0.2404, -0.2414, -0.2257, -0.2402, -0.2437, -0.2532, -0.2686, -0.2451, -0.2411, -0.2239, -0.2225, -0.2169, -0.2068, -0.2256, -0.2218, -0.2175, -0.1964, -0.1675, -0.173, -0.1511, -0.1297, -0.1306, -0.1228, -0.1419, -0.121, -0.1196, -0.1379, -0.1031, -0.0993, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1454, -0.1188, -0.1211, -0.0947, -0.1051, -0.0735, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0101, -0.0264, -0.0236, -0.0118, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.0294, -0.019, -0.0093, -0.0334, -0.0431, -0.0464, -0.0515, -0.082, -0.0643, -0.0497, -0.0416, -0.0275, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0301, -0.0299, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.025, -0.0207, -0.0275, -0.0039, 0.0068, 0.0165, 0.0267, 0.0394, 0.039, 0.0296, 0.0209, 0.0209, -0.0038, 0.0159, 0.0226, 0.0145, 0.031, 0.035, 0.0395, 0.0465, 0.0457, 0.0633, 0.051, 0.0304, 0.0248, -0.0011, 0.0034, -0.0144, -0.038, -0.044, -0.0542, -0.0542, -0.0656, -0.0616, -0.063, -0.0255, -0.0363, -0.0381, -0.032, -0.049, -0.0355, -0.0517, -0.0608, -0.0622, -0.0691, -0.0764, -0.0515, -0.0494, -0.0443, -0.0602, -0.0642, -0.054, -0.0374, -0.0474, -0.0491, -0.0681, -0.0648, -0.1008, -0.0993, -0.1303, -0.1507, -0.1533, -0.1097, -0.0793, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.0712, -0.0543, -0.0176, -0.014, -0.0178, -0.0052, 0.0307, 0.0437, 0.0403, 0.0578, 0.0446, 0.0288, 0.0505, 0.0492, 0.0662, 0.0846, 0.0829, 0.0834, 0.1913, 0.1941, 0.1865, 0.2026, 0.2323, 0.2322, 0.2409, 0.2032, 0.1992, 0.2465, 0.2417, 0.2284, 0.2289, 0.2002, 0.2041]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993159204220330248", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-25T03:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still believe $AAPL and $GOOGL (now 85%+ of my portfolio) are best positioned to capitalize on AI's consumer utility layer in the next few years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long GOOGL (40% of portfolio) with PTs $380/$410 and $800+ by 2030; long AAPL as AI consumer layer play alongside GOOGL.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL is now at 4T market cap in overnight trading, on pace to dethrone $NVDA within the next 30 days (likely by next earnings) to become the largest company in the world. \n\nAlmost 3 months ago, I allocated 20%+ of my portfolio at ~$230. In the last 2 weeks, I've doubled that to near 40% (trimmed $ONON after massive +20% earnings beat). My first price target was $330 (4T); next PT is $380 and $410. I would not be surprised if $GOOGL goes to $800+ to be the first $10T company by 2030.\n\nI still believe $AAPL and $GOOGL (now 85%+ of my portfolio) are best positioned to capitalize on AI's consumer utility layer in the next few years. Essentially, the consumer counterpart to $PLTR's commercial utility layer.\n\nThe $GOOGL narrative went from 'AI victim' to 'AI winner' within about 3 months this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0037910687617059846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0037910687617059846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005527274424090178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001116815095504875, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026742536662011096, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002093957526739132, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002093957526739132, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004809525923887836, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009743725783316837, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011837683310055969, "ret_p1w": 0.03328872538159344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03328872538159344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023644563456864054, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0017691068410905508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03151961854050289, "ret_p1m": -0.01140930329135148, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01140930329135148, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.037186266860760875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05627782197151909, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04486851868016761, "ret_p3m": -0.043840310818405226, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.043840310818405226, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06820578723578496, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04999941958237175, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006159108763966525, "ret_p6m": 0.09330082615781143, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09330082615781143, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.011067381935515153, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17339861081844554, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.266699436976257, "price_path": [-0.1612, -0.1627, -0.1627, -0.1714, -0.1398, -0.1351, -0.1354, -0.142, -0.1547, -0.182, -0.1703, -0.1557, -0.1462, -0.141, -0.138, -0.142, -0.1145, -0.0763, -0.0823, -0.0899, -0.0735, -0.0786, -0.0823, -0.0815, -0.0786, -0.0725, -0.0693, -0.0741, -0.0749, -0.0692, -0.0837, -0.1153, -0.1067, -0.1063, -0.1006, -0.1074, -0.09, -0.0541, -0.0522, -0.0678, -0.0637, -0.052, -0.0304, -0.0297, -0.0272, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0295, -0.026, -0.0256, -0.0269, -0.0316, -0.0272, -0.0062, -0.0126, -0.0145, -0.0165, -0.0343, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0387, -0.0198, -0.0038, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0021, 0.0068, 0.0221, 0.0333, 0.0259, 0.0135, 0.0065, 0.0033, 0.0008, 0.0065, 0.0038, 0.0047, -0.0103, -0.0085, -0.0185, -0.0173, -0.0119, -0.0217, -0.0166, -0.0114, -0.0114, -0.0129, -0.0116, -0.014, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0215, -0.0351, -0.0527, -0.0601, -0.0647, -0.0635, -0.0604, -0.0575, -0.0614, -0.0677, -0.0774, -0.0774, -0.1093, -0.1059, -0.1033, -0.1045, -0.0778, -0.0675, -0.0741, -0.0675, -0.0631, -0.0251, -0.027, -0.0017, -0.0038, 0.0042, -0.0076, -0.011, -0.0044, -0.0541, -0.0756, -0.0756, -0.0464, -0.0447, -0.0583, -0.0438, -0.0381, -0.0165, -0.009, -0.0136, -0.0453, -0.0433, -0.0468, -0.0513, -0.0593, -0.0696, -0.0608, -0.0574, -0.0575, -0.0757, -0.0961, -0.0863, -0.0812, -0.0967, -0.1003, -0.1038, -0.0911, -0.0906, -0.0871, -0.0861, -0.1009, -0.1087, -0.0828, -0.0762, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0645, -0.0839, -0.0644, -0.0586, -0.0587, -0.0633, -0.0646, -0.0372, -0.0481, -0.0234, -0.0132, -0.0381, -0.0128, -0.0119, -0.0204, -0.0329, -0.0217, -0.0236, -0.0194, 0.0124, 0.0004, 0.027, 0.039, 0.0388, 0.06, 0.0587, 0.0664, 0.0811, 0.0787, 0.086, 0.0773, 0.0814, 0.0933]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1959115453185630643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T04:48:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "high likelihood of a 347-365 retest next week and enough momentum to retest prior ATH by end of Sept around 414 with a pit stop at ~375-385", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA: expects 347-365 retest next week, then rally to prior ATH ~414 by end of September, with stop at 375-385.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost 4 months ago I projected the likely path $TSLA would trade and was spot on. Cup/handle setup was canceled but price traded within the 2d cloud nonetheless. \n\nLooking forward, I'm seeing a high likelihood of a 347-365 retest next week and enough momentum to retest prior ATH by end of Sept around 414 with a pit stop at ~375-385. Remember, $TSLA benefits the most of MAG7 from dovish policy.\n\nKeeping the chart simple (lots behind the scenes).\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/xZH7T2eYf6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019013260882408844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019013260882408844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023433585908223864, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021033613369101478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0044203250258150195, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020203524866926337, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01462783391499567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01462783391499567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010440989579455717, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010028225226760945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186844335539952, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004599608688234724, "ret_p1w": -0.036728248015454934, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036728248015454934, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04074398175894278, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03290254153200034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015733743487848, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003825706483454594, "ret_p1m": 0.2286497363082307, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2286497363082307, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19350605418840616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20410586757829985, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514368211982455, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024543868729930862, "ret_p3m": 0.14030583966085874, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14030583966085874, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12183164411536751, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18793476717661484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474195545491234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04762892751575609, "ret_p6m": 0.18473744273441728, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18473744273441728, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11579031705704068, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18336149198127605, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0689471256773766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0013759507531412307, "price_path": [0.0297, 0.0341, -0.0004, -0.0113, -0.0067, -0.042, -0.1786, -0.1485, -0.1097, -0.0592, -0.0582, -0.0793, -0.0614, -0.0504, -0.0873, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.0705, 0.006, -0.0177, -0.055, -0.0601, -0.0663, -0.0835, -0.1324, -0.0893, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.1519, -0.1408, -0.1463, -0.106, -0.0955, -0.0857, -0.1033, -0.0719, -0.0784, -0.0489, -0.0523, -0.0418, -0.0405, -0.1192, -0.0881, -0.0606, -0.0733, -0.0795, -0.1106, -0.1269, -0.1077, -0.1093, -0.077, -0.0702, -0.0489, -0.0218, -0.0166, -0.0208, -0.0318, -0.0463, -0.033, -0.0499, -0.0655, -0.0764, -0.019, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.0087, -0.0018, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0497, -0.0361, -0.0233, 0.0122, -0.0006, 0.0011, 0.0034, 0.0641, 0.1424, 0.183, 0.2164, 0.2287, 0.2027, 0.2293, 0.2528, 0.2286, 0.2775, 0.2216, 0.2706, 0.2787, 0.2831, 0.3256, 0.2579, 0.2401, 0.3077, 0.2495, 0.2657, 0.2566, 0.193, 0.2576, 0.2384, 0.2555, 0.237, 0.2675, 0.2909, 0.277, 0.2665, 0.2954, 0.2514, 0.3053, 0.3288, 0.3315, 0.2698, 0.3173, 0.3513, 0.2818, 0.3332, 0.2865, 0.2392, 0.2846, 0.2684, 0.2424, 0.1598, 0.1666, 0.1798, 0.1577, 0.1656, 0.1403, 0.1284, 0.2054, 0.21, 0.2308, 0.2308, 0.2411, 0.241, 0.2384, 0.2889, 0.3114, 0.3128, 0.2683, 0.2844, 0.3025, 0.2894, 0.3242, 0.3714, 0.4134, 0.3481, 0.3946, 0.3883, 0.4101, 0.4009, 0.4005, 0.4005, 0.371, 0.3261, 0.3111, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.2639, 0.3031, 0.2492, 0.2447, 0.2574, 0.2839, 0.2953, 0.2902, 0.2672, 0.2653, 0.2623, 0.2623, 0.2096, 0.2448, 0.2965, 0.2956, 0.2556, 0.2432, 0.2448, 0.2018, 0.2418, 0.217, 0.2174, 0.1714, 0.146, 0.1861, 0.204, 0.2268, 0.2356, 0.2033, 0.2044, 0.2044, 0.1847]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986474583403470929", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T16:43:42+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June ... anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding 70%+ in AAPL/GOOGL as safe anchors amid risk-off signals; momentum trading TSLA into shareholder vote with 20-30% of remaining portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing many signals of risk-off from the market overall. Lots of pre-market and overnight key prices for megacaps hit and immediately sold off. Lots of my price targets for key leading stock names (GOLD, BTCUSD, NVDA, PLTR, TSLA etc.) were hit in the past 2-4 weeks. \n\nFactor in companies beating earnings + guidance and still trading down w/ VIX spiking and $AAPL rising suggests it's time to rotate into safer positions (I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June) or trim positions - especially winners - and buy downside protection if you can (covered calls are generally best for retail).\n\nMy positioning remains the same. I'm momentum trading volatility (long/short) in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today) and anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0013716571458390892, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0013716571458390892, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00947404319975953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019136124762610063, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020507781908449152, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004818894404181151, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004818894404181151, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005803401985557954, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013605741585195341, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003458320245661617, "ret_p1w": 0.012768742870723715, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012768742870723715, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010187833032241134, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021656577220168338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008887834349444623, "ret_p1m": 0.034400562230817444, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.034400562230817444, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011455977068301815, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020429066968201903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01397149526261554, "ret_p3m": -0.00010652436191738168, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00010652436191738168, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03181946315962958, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0156943522510411, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01580087661295848, "ret_p6m": 0.040419472290336156, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.040419472290336156, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.040801716371389185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08226062324472871, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12268009553506487, "price_path": [-0.1579, -0.1487, -0.1351, -0.1371, -0.1415, -0.1441, -0.1453, -0.1622, -0.1663, -0.1557, -0.1579, -0.15, -0.1456, -0.1379, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1485, -0.116, -0.1112, -0.1115, -0.1182, -0.1313, -0.1593, -0.1473, -0.1323, -0.1226, -0.1172, -0.1141, -0.1182, -0.09, -0.0507, -0.0569, -0.0647, -0.0478, -0.053, -0.0569, -0.0561, -0.0531, -0.0469, -0.0436, -0.0485, -0.0493, -0.0434, -0.0583, -0.0908, -0.082, -0.0816, -0.0757, -0.0827, -0.0648, -0.0279, -0.0259, -0.042, -0.0378, -0.0258, -0.0036, -0.0029, -0.0003, 0.006, 0.0022, -0.0027, 0.001, 0.0014, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0003, 0.0213, 0.0147, 0.0128, 0.0108, -0.0076, -0.0077, -0.0035, -0.0121, 0.0074, 0.0238, 0.0277, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0347, 0.0504, 0.0619, 0.0543, 0.0415, 0.0344, 0.0311, 0.0285, 0.0344, 0.0316, 0.0325, 0.0171, 0.0189, 0.0087, 0.0099, 0.0154, 0.0054, 0.0106, 0.016, 0.016, 0.0144, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0056, -0.0083, -0.0265, -0.0341, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.0344, -0.0314, -0.0354, -0.0419, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0846, -0.0811, -0.0785, -0.0797, -0.0523, -0.0417, -0.0485, -0.0417, -0.0372, 0.0019, -0.0001, 0.0259, 0.0238, 0.032, 0.0199, 0.0164, 0.0232, -0.028, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.02, -0.0182, -0.0322, -0.0174, -0.0114, 0.0107, 0.0185, 0.0137, -0.0189, -0.0168, -0.0205, -0.025, -0.0333, -0.0438, -0.0348, -0.0313, -0.0314, -0.0501, -0.0711, -0.061, -0.0558, -0.0717, -0.0754, -0.079, -0.066, -0.0654, -0.0618, -0.0608, -0.076, -0.084, -0.0574, -0.0506, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0386, -0.0585, -0.0385, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0374, -0.0387, -0.0105, -0.0218, 0.0036, 0.0141, -0.0115, 0.0145, 0.0155, 0.0067, -0.0061, 0.0054, 0.0034, 0.0078, 0.0404]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986474583403470929", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-06T16:43:42+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June ... anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding 70%+ in AAPL/GOOGL as safe anchors amid risk-off signals; momentum trading TSLA into shareholder vote with 20-30% of remaining portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing many signals of risk-off from the market overall. Lots of pre-market and overnight key prices for megacaps hit and immediately sold off. Lots of my price targets for key leading stock names (GOLD, BTCUSD, NVDA, PLTR, TSLA etc.) were hit in the past 2-4 weeks. \n\nFactor in companies beating earnings + guidance and still trading down w/ VIX spiking and $AAPL rising suggests it's time to rotate into safer positions (I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June) or trim positions - especially winners - and buy downside protection if you can (covered calls are generally best for retail).\n\nMy positioning remains the same. I'm momentum trading volatility (long/short) in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today) and anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0015452837134029007, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0015452837134029007, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01239098405900152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010620077477871526, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009074793764468625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02079033873039693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02079033873039693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021774846311773732, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018210315272657263, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025800234577396663, "ret_p1w": -0.02170329994644793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02170329994644793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02428420978493051, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01752185435043052, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004181445596017408, "ret_p1m": 0.12825264567725148, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12825264567725148, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10530806051473585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08617073951353871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04208190616371277, "ret_p3m": 0.19379160616568103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19379160616568103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16207866736796883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14289149447874938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05090011168693165, "ret_p6m": 0.3563263908787586, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3563263908787586, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2751052022170333, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3112058678431666, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.045120523035592, "price_path": [-0.2947, -0.2865, -0.2914, -0.2879, -0.2846, -0.286, -0.2927, -0.3006, -0.2991, -0.2769, -0.2685, -0.2732, -0.272, -0.2574, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2584, -0.1907, -0.1849, -0.1755, -0.1781, -0.1585, -0.1601, -0.1559, -0.1543, -0.1164, -0.118, -0.1237, -0.1149, -0.1055, -0.1132, -0.1162, -0.1321, -0.1368, -0.1342, -0.1429, -0.1463, -0.1399, -0.1372, -0.1384, -0.1205, -0.1369, -0.1409, -0.1518, -0.1692, -0.1426, -0.138, -0.1184, -0.1169, -0.1104, -0.099, -0.1204, -0.1161, -0.1112, -0.0872, -0.0544, -0.0607, -0.0358, -0.0115, -0.0125, -0.0036, -0.0253, -0.0015, 0.0, -0.0208, 0.0188, 0.023, 0.0069, -0.0217, -0.0293, 0.0009, -0.0017, 0.0283, 0.0165, 0.0524, 0.1188, 0.1359, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1244, 0.1058, 0.1091, 0.1225, 0.1154, 0.1283, 0.1025, 0.1143, 0.1253, 0.0979, 0.0869, 0.0831, 0.0773, 0.0427, 0.0629, 0.0794, 0.0886, 0.1047, 0.1038, 0.1038, 0.1017, 0.1019, 0.1029, 0.0999, 0.0999, 0.1075, 0.1124, 0.1046, 0.1315, 0.1436, 0.1546, 0.1662, 0.1806, 0.1802, 0.1694, 0.1597, 0.1597, 0.1316, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1524, 0.1711, 0.1757, 0.1808, 0.1887, 0.1878, 0.2078, 0.1938, 0.1704, 0.1641, 0.1346, 0.1397, 0.1195, 0.0928, 0.0859, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0613, 0.0659, 0.0643, 0.1069, 0.0946, 0.0925, 0.0996, 0.0802, 0.0956, 0.0772, 0.0668, 0.0652, 0.0573, 0.049, 0.0774, 0.0797, 0.0856, 0.0675, 0.063, 0.0745, 0.0934, 0.082, 0.0801, 0.0585, 0.0622, 0.0214, 0.0231, -0.0121, -0.0352, -0.0382, 0.0112, 0.0458, 0.0401, 0.0401, 0.055, 0.0742, 0.1159, 0.12, 0.1156, 0.1299, 0.1707, 0.1855, 0.1817, 0.2016, 0.1866, 0.1685, 0.1933, 0.1917, 0.2111, 0.232, 0.23, 0.2306, 0.3532, 0.3563]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986474583403470929", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-06T16:43:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long/short ... in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holding 70%+ in AAPL/GOOGL as safe anchors amid risk-off signals; momentum trading TSLA into shareholder vote with 20-30% of remaining portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing many signals of risk-off from the market overall. Lots of pre-market and overnight key prices for megacaps hit and immediately sold off. Lots of my price targets for key leading stock names (GOLD, BTCUSD, NVDA, PLTR, TSLA etc.) were hit in the past 2-4 weeks. \n\nFactor in companies beating earnings + guidance and still trading down w/ VIX spiking and $AAPL rising suggests it's time to rotate into safer positions (I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June) or trim positions - especially winners - and buy downside protection if you can (covered calls are generally best for retail).\n\nMy positioning remains the same. I'm momentum trading volatility (long/short) in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today) and anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025394804530705306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012587707229724243, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037740836243734255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03832746569561418, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10107615118098223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08367505589745694, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0025593140018833616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0035268556468981416, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08542335572116722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08330629037116766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20476628943420172, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13508587675842976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [-0.2397, -0.2356, -0.2389, -0.2474, -0.2587, -0.2484, -0.2615, -0.2736, -0.2821, -0.2375, -0.2227, -0.2113, -0.216, -0.2241, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2614, -0.2508, -0.2408, -0.2132, -0.2232, -0.2219, -0.22, -0.1729, -0.1121, -0.0804, -0.0545, -0.045, -0.0652, -0.0445, -0.0262, -0.045, -0.007, -0.0505, -0.0124, -0.0061, -0.0027, 0.0304, -0.0222, -0.0361, 0.0165, -0.0288, -0.0162, -0.0233, -0.0727, -0.0224, -0.0374, -0.0241, -0.0385, -0.0148, 0.0034, -0.0074, -0.0156, 0.0069, -0.0273, 0.0146, 0.0328, 0.035, -0.013, 0.0239, 0.0504, -0.0037, 0.0362, 0.0, -0.0368, -0.0015, -0.0141, -0.0343, -0.0985, -0.0932, -0.083, -0.1002, -0.094, -0.1137, -0.1229, -0.0631, -0.0595, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0353, -0.0354, -0.0374, 0.0019, 0.0193, 0.0204, -0.0142, -0.0017, 0.0124, 0.0022, 0.0293, 0.0659, 0.0986, 0.0479, 0.084, 0.0791, 0.096, 0.0889, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0657, 0.0308, 0.0191, 0.0085, 0.0085, -0.0176, 0.0129, -0.029, -0.0325, -0.0227, -0.002, 0.0068, 0.0029, -0.015, -0.0165, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0598, -0.0325, 0.0077, 0.0071, -0.024, -0.0337, -0.0324, -0.0658, -0.0348, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0895, -0.1092, -0.078, -0.0641, -0.0464, -0.0396, -0.0647, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0791, -0.0776, -0.0767, -0.0765, -0.1033, -0.0819, -0.0639, -0.0837, -0.0973, -0.0955, -0.1199, -0.0896, -0.0905, -0.1103, -0.1059, -0.1047, -0.0854, -0.1141, -0.1227, -0.1129, -0.1046, -0.1191, -0.1471, -0.1748, -0.1459, -0.141, -0.1345, -0.1655, -0.1886, -0.2032, -0.1663, -0.145, -0.1913, -0.1913, -0.2088, -0.2226, -0.2302, -0.2249, -0.2174, -0.2097, -0.1832, -0.121, -0.1279, -0.1016, -0.1198, -0.1334, -0.131, -0.1619, -0.1561, -0.1508, -0.1567, -0.164, -0.1442, -0.1235]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001768798680990106", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-18T21:37:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA showing signs (bull flag, technical confluence) of 500 and 510 over the next few trading sessions with an increased likelihood of tomorrow being the breakout above $500 day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting $500\u2013$510 breakout over next few sessions, with possible +5% Friday move; conditional bear case to $390\u2013415 if rejected at $510\u2013515.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Haven't posted in a while - $TSLA showing signs (bull flag, technical confluence) of 500 and 510 over the next few trading sessions with an increased likelihood of tomorrow being the breakout above $500 day. I think $TSLA may resume it's repetitive +5% Fridays as it did last few rallies. \n\nKeep in mind BoJ rate hike is tonight and with the yen carry trade still unwinding (IMO) - expect volatility into OpEx tomorrow.\n\nIf $TSLA does reject at $510-515 range, I expect it to fall to ~390-415 in the next few quarters before reloading for a push to $607 by Dec 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0333284761451873, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0333284761451873, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025833738821683938, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01845189686808779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007494737323503364, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014876579277099511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00448927929345333, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00448927929345333, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013552724772905145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004840319623868883, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063445479451815, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004005247331066442, "ret_p1w": 0.0041996789205021035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0041996789205021035, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019378672507690986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00017032622406976117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02357835142819309, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004029352696432342, "ret_p1m": -0.09489624010705677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09489624010705677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1203723218900341, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09655049428454787, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025476081782977333, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001654254177491099, "ret_p3m": -0.1739868153858548, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1739868153858548, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16852038286394322, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10094693221360374, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466432521911591, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07303988317225107, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1017, -0.119, -0.084, -0.1241, -0.0889, -0.0831, -0.08, -0.0495, -0.098, -0.1108, -0.0623, -0.104, -0.0924, -0.099, -0.1446, -0.0982, -0.112, -0.0998, -0.113, -0.0912, -0.0744, -0.0843, -0.0919, -0.0711, -0.1027, -0.064, -0.0472, -0.0452, -0.0895, -0.0555, -0.031, -0.0809, -0.0441, -0.0775, -0.1114, -0.0789, -0.0905, -0.1092, -0.1684, -0.1635, -0.154, -0.1699, -0.1642, -0.1823, -0.1909, -0.1357, -0.1323, -0.1175, -0.1175, -0.1101, -0.1101, -0.112, -0.0758, -0.0597, -0.0587, -0.0906, -0.079, -0.066, -0.0755, -0.0505, -0.0167, 0.0135, -0.0333, 0.0, -0.0045, 0.0111, 0.0045, 0.0042, 0.0042, -0.0169, -0.0491, -0.0599, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0937, -0.0656, -0.1043, -0.1075, -0.0984, -0.0794, -0.0712, -0.0748, -0.0914, -0.0927, -0.0949, -0.0949, -0.1327, -0.1074, -0.0704, -0.071, -0.0997, -0.1086, -0.1074, -0.1382, -0.1096, -0.1274, -0.127, -0.16, -0.1782, -0.1495, -0.1366, -0.1203, -0.114, -0.1372, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1505, -0.1491, -0.1483, -0.148, -0.1728, -0.1531, -0.1365, -0.1547, -0.1673, -0.1656, -0.1881, -0.1602, -0.161, -0.1792, -0.1752, -0.174, -0.1563, -0.1828, -0.1907, -0.1817, -0.174, -0.1874, -0.2132, -0.2388, -0.2121, -0.2076, -0.2015, -0.2302, -0.2514, -0.265, -0.2309, -0.2112, -0.254, -0.254, -0.2701, -0.2828, -0.2899, -0.285, -0.2781, -0.2709, -0.2465, -0.1891, -0.1954, -0.1712, -0.188, -0.2006, -0.1983, -0.2268, -0.2215, -0.2166, -0.2221, -0.2287, -0.2105, -0.1915, -0.188, -0.1945, -0.1751, -0.1481, -0.1138, -0.0794, -0.1033, -0.0788, -0.0829, -0.1265, -0.1518, -0.164, -0.1368, -0.1355, -0.1187, -0.1187, -0.103, -0.089, -0.0854, -0.0984, -0.1396, -0.1289, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992892196392227110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T09:45:00+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The 243 gap likely fills in next 6-9 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects TSLA to fill the $243 gap within 6-9 months, implying downside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@msezng The 243 gap likely fills in next 6-9 months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA My projection for Tesla going into 2026 purely based on EWT. I can already tell what the comments are going to be like before posting this. Yeah... sounds absurd, I know. Let's see how this ends up \ud83e\udd37\u200d\u2642\ufe0f https://t.co/OuPxFy2XPI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "msezng", "ret_m1d": -0.06388530451288055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06388530451288055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04938028961491292, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05071304781511066, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01317225669776989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0038776272725380423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0038776272725380423, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005528364169517852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017521876228624222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021399503501162265, "ret_p1w": 0.029584987087115433, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029584987087115433, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012328384888507404, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005818360730171612, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035403347817287045, "ret_p1m": 0.16223849628355103, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16223849628355103, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13044254974605618, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09084451368212854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07139398260142249, "ret_p3m": -0.014529195610020973, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014529195610020973, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04110578206848847, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03391885025511565, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01938965464509468, "ret_p6m": -0.032720602871550875, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.032720602871550875, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13616723284487942, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04352540926563109, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.010804806394080213, "price_path": [-0.1632, -0.1719, -0.2008, -0.2008, -0.2116, -0.2003, -0.1897, -0.1602, -0.1709, -0.1695, -0.1675, -0.1172, -0.0523, -0.0185, 0.0092, 0.0193, -0.0022, 0.0198, 0.0393, 0.0193, 0.0599, 0.0134, 0.0541, 0.0609, 0.0645, 0.0998, 0.0436, 0.0288, 0.0849, 0.0366, 0.0501, 0.0425, -0.0103, 0.0434, 0.0274, 0.0416, 0.0263, 0.0515, 0.071, 0.0594, 0.0507, 0.0747, 0.0382, 0.0829, 0.1024, 0.1047, 0.0534, 0.0928, 0.1211, 0.0634, 0.106, 0.0673, 0.0281, 0.0657, 0.0523, 0.0307, -0.0378, -0.0321, -0.0212, -0.0396, -0.033, -0.054, -0.0639, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0297, 0.0296, 0.0274, 0.0693, 0.088, 0.0891, 0.0522, 0.0656, 0.0806, 0.0697, 0.0986, 0.1377, 0.1726, 0.1184, 0.157, 0.1518, 0.1698, 0.1622, 0.1619, 0.1619, 0.1374, 0.1002, 0.0877, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.0486, 0.0811, 0.0363, 0.0326, 0.0431, 0.0652, 0.0746, 0.0704, 0.0513, 0.0498, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0035, 0.0327, 0.0756, 0.0749, 0.0417, 0.0314, 0.0327, -0.0029, 0.0302, 0.0096, 0.01, -0.0282, -0.0492, -0.016, -0.0011, 0.0178, 0.0251, -0.0017, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.0171, -0.0155, -0.0145, -0.0143, -0.043, -0.0201, -0.0009, -0.022, -0.0366, -0.0346, -0.0607, -0.0283, -0.0293, -0.0504, -0.0457, -0.0444, -0.0238, -0.0545, -0.0636, -0.0532, -0.0443, -0.0598, -0.0897, -0.1192, -0.0884, -0.0832, -0.0762, -0.1093, -0.1339, -0.1496, -0.1102, -0.0874, -0.1369, -0.1369, -0.1555, -0.1703, -0.1784, -0.1727, -0.1648, -0.1564, -0.1282, -0.0618, -0.0691, -0.0411, -0.0605, -0.0751, -0.0725, -0.1055, -0.0993, -0.0936, -0.1, -0.1077, -0.0865, -0.0645, -0.0605, -0.068, -0.0456, -0.0143, 0.0253, 0.0652, 0.0375, 0.0658, 0.0611, 0.0107, -0.0186, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1814020800472842463", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-18T19:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now we have a diamond top forming which suggests $207-213", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Diamond top pattern on TSLA daily chart targets $207-213 downside from $265 wick.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In case anyone needs a reminder, basically all 'influencers' aren't good at trading/short-term movement which is why they sell courses/clicks. \n\nDaily chart attached shows how $TSLA price wicked off $265 due to its technical significance.\n\nNow we have a diamond top forming which suggests $207-213\n\n---\n\nRevisiting this old post. $207 price target fulfilled Aug 2 (day before the yen carry trade unwinding began).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029290042934362326, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029290042934362326, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010673443985553144, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013218999753984662, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007744439692116911, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010289995460548429, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040243947162209914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040243947162209914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03360334299690815, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03132567330418923, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006640604165301767, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008918273858020687, "ret_p1w": -0.1162781215115869, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1162781215115869, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09049376850703772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06925966532383077, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025784353004549176, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04701845618775613, "ret_p1m": -0.13284918018675318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13284918018675318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1358346893713437, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09923436163899202, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002985509184590507, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03361481854776116, "ret_p3m": -0.11900649565369703, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11900649565369703, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17129598179226757, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16532981768252142, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05228948613857054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04632332202882439, "ret_p6m": 0.5838382096908954, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5838382096908954, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5267140164104109, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.413943924334238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05712419328048446, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1698942853566574, "price_path": [-0.43, -0.4195, -0.3495, -0.3172, -0.3248, -0.2214, -0.2646, -0.2778, -0.2777, -0.273, -0.2587, -0.2866, -0.299, -0.31, -0.324, -0.3103, -0.2876, -0.3019, -0.2985, -0.288, -0.298, -0.2513, -0.2773, -0.3029, -0.2808, -0.2808, -0.2908, -0.2931, -0.2826, -0.2855, -0.2927, -0.2988, -0.2978, -0.286, -0.2879, -0.3027, -0.3153, -0.2886, -0.2679, -0.2858, -0.2479, -0.2583, -0.2583, -0.2715, -0.2657, -0.2674, -0.2483, -0.2121, -0.2079, -0.206, -0.158, -0.0721, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0092, 0.0149, 0.0526, 0.0563, -0.0329, -0.004, 0.0137, 0.0294, -0.0029, 0.0, -0.0402, 0.0091, -0.0114, -0.1334, -0.1163, -0.1181, -0.0687, -0.1068, -0.0689, -0.1299, -0.1668, -0.202, -0.195, -0.2306, -0.2022, -0.1975, -0.2076, -0.1661, -0.192, -0.1408, -0.1328, -0.1064, -0.1129, -0.1042, -0.1548, -0.116, -0.1445, -0.1606, -0.1745, -0.1723, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.155, -0.1196, -0.0765, -0.1545, -0.1322, -0.0925, -0.0847, -0.0779, -0.076, -0.0901, -0.0857, -0.0884, -0.0213, -0.0441, 0.0031, 0.0202, 0.0313, 0.02, 0.0451, 0.0498, 0.0353, -0.0008, -0.0344, 0.0034, -0.0337, -0.019, -0.0328, -0.042, -0.1261, -0.1207, -0.119, -0.1119, -0.1137, -0.1145, -0.1219, -0.1254, -0.1428, 0.0451, 0.0801, 0.0533, 0.0413, 0.0334, 0.0025, -0.001, -0.0256, 0.0089, 0.1577, 0.1913, 0.2888, 0.4043, 0.318, 0.325, 0.2486, 0.2868, 0.3591, 0.3883, 0.3723, 0.3628, 0.4146, 0.3585, 0.3571, 0.3357, 0.3357, 0.3849, 0.4328, 0.41, 0.4361, 0.4825, 0.5617, 0.564, 0.6089, 0.7043, 0.6776, 0.7503, 0.8578, 0.9254, 0.766, 0.7501, 0.6894, 0.7277, 0.8548, 0.8548, 0.8221, 0.732, 0.6748, 0.6204, 0.6204, 0.5218, 0.6468, 0.6493, 0.5823, 0.5846, 0.5846, 0.5838]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1809392493760507945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-06T01:02:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think we end the year closer to 215 than 300", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author expects TSLA to end the year closer to $215 than $300, below parent's $270 PT.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Yeah I\u2019m around $250 expecting around 3.25 with 80x 2025. I still think we end the year closer to 215 than 300", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We have increased our $TSLA PT to $270 from $200.  Attached is our updated forecast of $TSLA delivs, margins, and earnings vs WS ests. \n\nWe\u2019ve increased our $TSLA 2024 Adj EPS to $2.40 (from $2.20). Our 2024 volume forecast is now 1,707 (-6% vs 2023).  We are slightly below WS https://t.co/xZ8rzeaUGf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.0056139723066312985, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0056139723066312985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004461249885130858, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005138671671213069, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011527224215004406, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00047530063541822987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03712336538398886, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03712336538398886, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03615088560769619, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03379699669555869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009724797762926674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00332636868843017, "ret_p1w": -0.0011860640818460721, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0011860640818460721, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012441689790373078, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011112849471755282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011255625708527006, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00992678538990921, "ret_p1m": -0.20676841364336251, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20676841364336251, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14710467504053926, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12059707880068671, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05966373860282326, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861713348426758, "ret_p3m": -0.048549057724238565, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.048549057724238565, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07426876290293738, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08336372562937922, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025719705178698815, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03481466790514065, "ret_p6m": 0.5965841402703413, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5965841402703413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5343160301212102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4072975833648216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06226811014913114, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18928655690551976, "price_path": [-0.3209, -0.3097, -0.3238, -0.3616, -0.3789, -0.3854, -0.4073, -0.4186, -0.4384, -0.428, -0.359, -0.3272, -0.3347, -0.2328, -0.2754, -0.2884, -0.2883, -0.2837, -0.2696, -0.297, -0.3092, -0.3201, -0.334, -0.3204, -0.2981, -0.3121, -0.3088, -0.2984, -0.3083, -0.2623, -0.2879, -0.3131, -0.2914, -0.2914, -0.3012, -0.3034, -0.2932, -0.296, -0.303, -0.309, -0.3081, -0.2965, -0.2983, -0.3129, -0.3253, -0.2991, -0.2786, -0.2962, -0.259, -0.2692, -0.2692, -0.2822, -0.2765, -0.2782, -0.2593, -0.2236, -0.2195, -0.2177, -0.1703, -0.0857, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0056, 0.0, 0.0371, 0.0408, -0.0471, -0.0186, -0.0012, 0.0143, -0.0176, -0.0147, -0.0543, -0.0057, -0.0259, -0.1461, -0.1292, -0.131, -0.0824, -0.1199, -0.0825, -0.1426, -0.179, -0.2137, -0.2068, -0.2419, -0.2139, -0.2093, -0.2192, -0.1783, -0.2038, -0.1534, -0.1456, -0.1195, -0.1259, -0.1173, -0.1672, -0.129, -0.1571, -0.1729, -0.1866, -0.1845, -0.1535, -0.1535, -0.1674, -0.1326, -0.09, -0.1669, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.0981, -0.0914, -0.0895, -0.1034, -0.0991, -0.1018, -0.0357, -0.0581, -0.0116, 0.0053, 0.0161, 0.0051, 0.0297, 0.0344, 0.0201, -0.0155, -0.0485, -0.0113, -0.0479, -0.0334, -0.047, -0.056, -0.1389, -0.1335, -0.1319, -0.125, -0.1267, -0.1275, -0.1348, -0.1383, -0.1553, 0.0298, 0.0642, 0.0378, 0.026, 0.0182, -0.0122, -0.0157, -0.0399, -0.0059, 0.1407, 0.1738, 0.2699, 0.3837, 0.2987, 0.3056, 0.2303, 0.268, 0.3392, 0.3679, 0.3522, 0.3428, 0.3938, 0.3386, 0.3372, 0.3161, 0.3161, 0.3646, 0.4118, 0.3893, 0.4151, 0.4608, 0.5388, 0.541, 0.5853, 0.6793, 0.653, 0.7246, 0.8306, 0.8971, 0.7401, 0.7244, 0.6647, 0.7024, 0.8276, 0.8276, 0.7954, 0.7066, 0.6502, 0.5966]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1873248273617899662", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-29T06:02:46+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anything 520+ will likely result in a 10%+ move", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "TSLA likely up 10%+ if Q4 deliveries exceed 520k; market more forgiving than usual on this print.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt I actually think the street doesn\u2019t care (this time) as much as before. Anything 500+ will be fine. Anything 520+ will likely result in a 10%+ move", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Whether Tesla hits 515k deliveries in Q4 is largely irrelevant if you\u2019re a long term investor.\n\nWill Wall Street care? Or course. Will $TSLA stock react negatively if the delivery numbers are below consensus? It usually does.\n\nWhile the vast majority of Tesla\u2019s revenue and profit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.034139095553481935, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034139095553481935, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02259565242455608, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017815263494115108, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011543443128925857, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016323832059366827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03251001941775111, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03251001941775111, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028872073703872014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02498956661600482, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036379457138790983, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007520452801746291, "ret_p1w": -0.015236855401982718, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015236855401982718, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027375166184172017, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018422033299980822, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012138310782189299, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003185177897998104, "ret_p1m": -0.04628544393933154, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04628544393933154, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07399610772362875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07083760675344386, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027710663784297207, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02455216281411232, "ret_p3m": -0.34565534489702976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34565534489702976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31261655754700457, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24775553746221002, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03303878735002519, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09789980743481974, "ret_p6m": -0.18432716457770537, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18432716457770537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22204204749057155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1427127280153998, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03771488291286618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04161443656230557, "price_path": [-0.4034, -0.4234, -0.4009, -0.423, -0.4142, -0.4225, -0.428, -0.4782, -0.475, -0.474, -0.4698, -0.4708, -0.4713, -0.4757, -0.4778, -0.4882, -0.376, -0.3551, -0.3711, -0.3783, -0.383, -0.4014, -0.4035, -0.4182, -0.3976, -0.3088, -0.2887, -0.2304, -0.1615, -0.213, -0.2088, -0.2545, -0.2316, -0.1885, -0.1711, -0.1806, -0.1863, -0.1554, -0.1888, -0.1897, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.1731, -0.1445, -0.1581, -0.1425, -0.1148, -0.0675, -0.0662, -0.0393, 0.0176, 0.0017, 0.0451, 0.1093, 0.1496, 0.0544, 0.0449, 0.0087, 0.0316, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.088, 0.0341, 0.0, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0913, -0.0167, -0.0152, -0.0552, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0543, -0.0338, -0.0504, 0.0259, -0.0086, 0.0218, 0.0218, 0.016, -0.0055, -0.0121, -0.0259, -0.0485, -0.0463, -0.0678, -0.041, -0.0307, -0.0808, -0.0604, -0.094, -0.1032, -0.1337, -0.1597, -0.213, -0.1938, -0.1473, -0.1475, -0.1475, -0.1516, -0.1362, -0.151, -0.1907, -0.2081, -0.2746, -0.3033, -0.3245, -0.2981, -0.3181, -0.3483, -0.3314, -0.3688, -0.3707, -0.4678, -0.4476, -0.4056, -0.4234, -0.4011, -0.4298, -0.4602, -0.4349, -0.434, -0.4042, -0.3331, -0.3097, -0.3482, -0.3457, -0.3686, -0.3791, -0.3568, -0.3226, -0.3597, -0.4264, -0.4411, -0.4685, -0.3479, -0.3953, -0.3955, -0.3954, -0.3912, -0.4213, -0.4217, -0.4217, -0.455, -0.4299, -0.3993, -0.3783, -0.3173, -0.3151, -0.3004, -0.324, -0.328, -0.3119, -0.3286, -0.3403, -0.3383, -0.3176, -0.2855, -0.2372, -0.1997, -0.1671, -0.1787, -0.1615, -0.1804, -0.1763, -0.1983, -0.183, -0.187, -0.187, -0.1306, -0.145, -0.1413, -0.17, -0.179, -0.1752, -0.2045, -0.3179, -0.2929, -0.2607, -0.2188, -0.218, -0.2355, -0.2206, -0.2115, -0.2421, -0.2285, -0.2285, -0.2282, -0.1647, -0.1843]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990298160116519319", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T05:57:13+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL $GOOGL are two my largest holdings (over 70% allocation)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAPL and GOOGL as 70%+ of portfolio; exited TSLA 100% and NVDA in Q3.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So Thiel added $AAPL and trimmed 76%  $TSLA and exited $NVDA. Exactly what I did in Q3 (except I exited $TSLA 100%). \n\nBuffett (or Abel) added $GOOGL - $AAPL $GOOGL are two my largest holdings (over 70% allocation). \n\nGuess I\u2019m doing something right.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Peter Thiel sold his entire stake in NVIDIA and 76% of $TSLA  \ud83d\udc40\n\nSo Michael Burry's entire portfolio is shorting $NVDA and $PLTR, now we find out Thiel sold everything https://t.co/TnqisAHMmr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0185074639832572, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0185074639832572, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009103418389270646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002607095474825183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900368508432017, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -7.464669137968727e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -7.464669137968727e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008322906078720993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01617841360305594, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01625306029443563, "ret_p1w": 0.03163099248320389, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03163099248320389, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027034137351409138, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045486741219059046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013855748735855156, "ret_p1m": 0.026733003531371535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026733003531371535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006903296768883127, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02151523658285348, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0052177669485180544, "ret_p3m": -0.020507949586848317, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020507949586848317, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.046967230474236565, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0035932010930979086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691474849375041, "ret_p6m": 0.10426873906305945, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10426873906305945, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010973352199421083, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1345120154664785, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878075452953795, "price_path": [-0.1558, -0.1599, -0.1493, -0.1515, -0.1435, -0.1391, -0.1313, -0.1329, -0.1329, -0.1419, -0.1093, -0.1044, -0.1047, -0.1115, -0.1246, -0.1529, -0.1408, -0.1257, -0.1159, -0.1104, -0.1073, -0.1115, -0.083, -0.0435, -0.0496, -0.0576, -0.0405, -0.0458, -0.0496, -0.0489, -0.0458, -0.0396, -0.0362, -0.0412, -0.042, -0.0361, -0.0511, -0.0839, -0.0749, -0.0745, -0.0687, -0.0757, -0.0576, -0.0205, -0.0185, -0.0346, -0.0304, -0.0183, 0.0041, 0.0048, 0.0074, 0.0137, 0.0099, 0.005, 0.0087, 0.009, 0.0077, 0.0028, 0.0074, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.0205, 0.0185, 0.0, -0.0001, 0.0041, -0.0045, 0.0151, 0.0316, 0.0356, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0426, 0.0585, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0495, 0.0423, 0.039, 0.0363, 0.0423, 0.0395, 0.0405, 0.0249, 0.0267, 0.0164, 0.0177, 0.0232, 0.0131, 0.0183, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0222, 0.0236, 0.021, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0133, -0.0007, -0.0191, -0.0267, -0.0315, -0.0302, -0.027, -0.024, -0.028, -0.0346, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0776, -0.0741, -0.0714, -0.0726, -0.0451, -0.0344, -0.0412, -0.0343, -0.0298, 0.0095, 0.0076, 0.0338, 0.0316, 0.0399, 0.0277, 0.0242, 0.031, -0.0205, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0125, -0.0107, -0.0248, -0.0098, -0.0039, 0.0185, 0.0263, 0.0215, -0.0113, -0.0093, -0.0129, -0.0176, -0.0259, -0.0365, -0.0274, -0.0239, -0.024, -0.0429, -0.064, -0.0539, -0.0486, -0.0646, -0.0683, -0.0719, -0.0588, -0.0583, -0.0546, -0.0536, -0.0689, -0.077, -0.0502, -0.0433, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.0312, -0.0513, -0.0311, -0.0251, -0.0252, -0.03, -0.0314, -0.0029, -0.0143, 0.0113, 0.0219, -0.0039, 0.0223, 0.0233, 0.0144, 0.0015, 0.0131, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0484, 0.036, 0.0635, 0.076, 0.0757, 0.0977, 0.0963, 0.1043]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990298160116519319", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-17T05:57:13+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL $GOOGL are two my largest holdings (over 70% allocation)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAPL and GOOGL as 70%+ of portfolio; exited TSLA 100% and NVDA in Q3.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So Thiel added $AAPL and trimmed 76%  $TSLA and exited $NVDA. Exactly what I did in Q3 (except I exited $TSLA 100%). \n\nBuffett (or Abel) added $GOOGL - $AAPL $GOOGL are two my largest holdings (over 70% allocation). \n\nGuess I\u2019m doing something right.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Peter Thiel sold his entire stake in NVIDIA and 76% of $TSLA  \ud83d\udc40\n\nSo Michael Burry's entire portfolio is shorting $NVDA and $PLTR, now we find out Thiel sold everything https://t.co/TnqisAHMmr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030208331546380474, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030208331546380474, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03961237714036703, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03155756301071244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0025962638674692506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0025962638674692506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00580128890263143, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008262815013328373, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.11774611487848441, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11774611487848441, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11314925974668966, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10128626452880729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": 0.07631235965271932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07631235965271932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05648265289023091, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027112789008890914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.08484363018480812, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08484363018480812, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05838434929741987, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05038477242084993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 0.3608738156790965, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3608738156790965, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24563172441661596, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31206998092238014, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.3013, -0.2998, -0.2776, -0.2692, -0.2739, -0.2727, -0.2581, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2591, -0.1914, -0.1857, -0.1762, -0.1789, -0.1593, -0.1609, -0.1567, -0.1551, -0.1172, -0.1188, -0.1245, -0.1157, -0.1063, -0.114, -0.117, -0.1329, -0.1376, -0.135, -0.1437, -0.1471, -0.1408, -0.138, -0.1392, -0.1214, -0.1377, -0.1417, -0.1526, -0.17, -0.1434, -0.1388, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1113, -0.0999, -0.1213, -0.1169, -0.1121, -0.0881, -0.0553, -0.0616, -0.0367, -0.0124, -0.0134, -0.0046, -0.0262, -0.0025, -0.0009, -0.0217, 0.0178, 0.0221, 0.0059, -0.0226, -0.0302, 0.0, -0.0026, 0.0273, 0.0155, 0.0514, 0.1177, 0.1348, 0.1226, 0.1226, 0.1234, 0.1048, 0.108, 0.1214, 0.1144, 0.1272, 0.1014, 0.1132, 0.1242, 0.0969, 0.0859, 0.0821, 0.0763, 0.0417, 0.0619, 0.0784, 0.0876, 0.1036, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.1007, 0.1009, 0.1019, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.1064, 0.1113, 0.1036, 0.1304, 0.1426, 0.1536, 0.1651, 0.1795, 0.1791, 0.1683, 0.1586, 0.1586, 0.1305, 0.1529, 0.1605, 0.1513, 0.17, 0.1745, 0.1797, 0.1875, 0.1867, 0.2066, 0.1927, 0.1692, 0.163, 0.1335, 0.1386, 0.1185, 0.0917, 0.0848, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.0603, 0.0649, 0.0633, 0.1058, 0.0936, 0.0915, 0.0985, 0.0792, 0.0945, 0.0761, 0.0658, 0.0642, 0.0563, 0.0481, 0.0763, 0.0787, 0.0846, 0.0665, 0.062, 0.0735, 0.0924, 0.081, 0.079, 0.0575, 0.0612, 0.0204, 0.0221, -0.013, -0.0362, -0.0391, 0.0103, 0.0448, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.054, 0.0732, 0.1148, 0.1189, 0.1146, 0.1289, 0.1696, 0.1844, 0.1805, 0.2004, 0.1855, 0.1674, 0.1921, 0.1906, 0.21, 0.2308, 0.2289, 0.2294, 0.3519, 0.355, 0.3465, 0.3647, 0.3984, 0.3983, 0.4081, 0.3654, 0.3609]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1981240650629861433", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T06:05:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I firmly believe ~350 will be hit by Q2 2026 - likely sooner... expect chop downwards into the Nov shareholder vote", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: expects chop down into Nov shareholder vote, targeting ~350 by Q2 2026 or sooner after closing longs at 430-445.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Exactly 1 month ago I said $TSLA can rally to ~475 post Q3 deliveries print - it went to 480 premarket and 470 during the session.  \n\nI expected a muted result from today's earnings call (although it was more disappointing than I expected) and as result, I expect chop downwards into the Nov shareholder vote.  \n\nI firmly believe ~350 will be hit by Q2 2026 - likely sooner. All my longs (heavy allocation) were closed for 5x+ gains weeks ago at the 430-445 range. That makes my large $TSLA trades 16 for 17 since 2021.\n\nThe multi-year fib chan I shared 1+ month ago continues to prove its weight in gold.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/D0p3xZCdkK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022295000936978893, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022295000936978893, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016400066068822494, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017806278464169267, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004488722472809625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03398817183887881, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03398817183887881, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04216074294350958, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03100963650960653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029785353292722805, "ret_p1w": -0.019778174229415524, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019778174229415524, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03179145809547956, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000396582303987314, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01938159192542821, "ret_p1m": -0.12893673043765042, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12893673043765042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10998655206271268, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07494506570922221, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0539916647284282, "ret_p3m": -0.06621678083399896, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06621678083399896, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07786108872626529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06765215914976042, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0014353783157614597, "ret_p6m": -0.10771084388122842, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10771084388122842, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17086366773531503, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12202471614361254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01431387226238412, "price_path": [-0.2748, -0.2846, -0.2894, -0.3134, -0.326, -0.3112, -0.3124, -0.2875, -0.2822, -0.2658, -0.2449, -0.2409, -0.2441, -0.2526, -0.2638, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.2786, -0.287, -0.2427, -0.228, -0.2167, -0.2213, -0.2294, -0.2564, -0.2564, -0.2664, -0.2559, -0.246, -0.2186, -0.2285, -0.2272, -0.2254, -0.1786, -0.1181, -0.0867, -0.0609, -0.0515, -0.0716, -0.051, -0.0329, -0.0515, -0.0138, -0.057, -0.0191, -0.0129, -0.0095, 0.0233, -0.0289, -0.0427, 0.0095, -0.0354, -0.0229, -0.0299, -0.079, -0.0291, -0.044, -0.0308, -0.0451, -0.0215, -0.0035, -0.0142, -0.0223, 0.0, -0.034, 0.0077, 0.0258, 0.0279, -0.0198, 0.0169, 0.0432, -0.0105, 0.0292, -0.0068, -0.0433, -0.0084, -0.0208, -0.0409, -0.1047, -0.0994, -0.0892, -0.1063, -0.1002, -0.1197, -0.1289, -0.0695, -0.0659, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0419, -0.042, -0.044, -0.005, 0.0124, 0.0134, -0.0209, -0.0085, 0.0055, -0.0047, 0.0222, 0.0586, 0.0911, 0.0407, 0.0766, 0.0718, 0.0885, 0.0815, 0.0811, 0.0811, 0.0584, 0.0237, 0.0121, 0.0016, 0.0016, -0.0243, 0.006, -0.0357, -0.0391, -0.0294, -0.0088, -0.0, -0.004, -0.0218, -0.0232, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0662, -0.0391, 0.0008, 0.0002, -0.0307, -0.0403, -0.039, -0.0722, -0.0414, -0.0605, -0.0602, -0.0957, -0.1153, -0.0843, -0.0705, -0.0529, -0.0461, -0.0711, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0854, -0.0839, -0.083, -0.0828, -0.1095, -0.0882, -0.0703, -0.09, -0.1035, -0.1017, -0.126, -0.0959, -0.0967, -0.1164, -0.112, -0.1108, -0.0917, -0.1202, -0.1287, -0.119, -0.1107, -0.1252, -0.153, -0.1805, -0.1517, -0.1469, -0.1404, -0.1712, -0.1941, -0.2087, -0.172, -0.1508, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.2142, -0.2279, -0.2355, -0.2302, -0.2228, -0.2151, -0.1888, -0.127, -0.1338, -0.1077]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1865487064814481796", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-07T20:02:29+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my portfolio being 80% $TSLA $NVDA and 10% LEAPs of both", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "80% portfolio in TSLA + NVDA plus 10% LEAPs on both; strongly long both names on xAI/Colossus scaling thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HansCNelson @elonmusk @xai Yep. Hence my portfolio being 80% $TSLA $NVDA and 10% LEAPs of both", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Wow \ud83e\udd2f \n\nIf I\u2019m hearing this correctly, @elonmusk personally solved the flaw in the cluster design that allowed @xAI to scale colossus to 100k Hoppers.\n\nThat\u2019s ~3x the size of the next largest cluster.\n\nAnd they\u2019re about to add another 100k Hoppers, followed by Blackwell.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HansCNelson", "ret_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006638730115564595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004651142174291856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0051763854896811345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031887975484083952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03184238940014317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027095929108661876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003109016445658197, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016374438458230944, "ret_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18438084955239908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15934327329292364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003489487971428229, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028527064230903676, "ret_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03499081156220407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05162142384125523, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023266609539427052, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03989722181847821, "ret_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27444020333230934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21372277435713027, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049683026017553256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11040045499273232, "ret_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10886844732232615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04948115718149959, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.007912430928440961, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06729972106926752, "price_path": [-0.4147, -0.4104, -0.4092, -0.4182, -0.4154, -0.4171, -0.3742, -0.3888, -0.3586, -0.3477, -0.3406, -0.3478, -0.3318, -0.3288, -0.3381, -0.3611, -0.3826, -0.3584, -0.3822, -0.3727, -0.3816, -0.3874, -0.4412, -0.4377, -0.4367, -0.4322, -0.4333, -0.4338, -0.4385, -0.4408, -0.4519, -0.3317, -0.3094, -0.3265, -0.3342, -0.3393, -0.359, -0.3612, -0.377, -0.3549, -0.2598, -0.2383, -0.1759, -0.1021, -0.1573, -0.1528, -0.2017, -0.1772, -0.131, -0.1123, -0.1225, -0.1287, -0.0955, -0.1314, -0.1323, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1145, -0.0839, -0.0984, -0.0817, -0.0521, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.0897, 0.0726, 0.1191, 0.1879, 0.2311, 0.1291, 0.119, 0.0802, 0.1047, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1651, 0.1074, 0.0709, 0.036, 0.036, -0.027, 0.053, 0.0545, 0.0117, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0127, 0.0347, 0.0169, 0.0986, 0.0616, 0.0942, 0.0942, 0.0879, 0.065, 0.058, 0.0431, 0.0189, 0.0213, -0.0018, 0.0269, 0.038, -0.0157, 0.0062, -0.0298, -0.0397, -0.0723, -0.1002, -0.1572, -0.1367, -0.0868, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.075, -0.0908, -0.1334, -0.152, -0.2232, -0.254, -0.2767, -0.2484, -0.2697, -0.3021, -0.284, -0.3241, -0.3261, -0.4301, -0.4085, -0.3635, -0.3825, -0.3587, -0.3894, -0.422, -0.3949, -0.3939, -0.3619, -0.2858, -0.2608, -0.302, -0.2993, -0.3239, -0.3351, -0.3113, -0.2746, -0.3143, -0.3857, -0.4015, -0.4308, -0.3017, -0.3525, -0.3527, -0.3526, -0.3481, -0.3803, -0.3808, -0.3808, -0.4164, -0.3895, -0.3567, -0.3342, -0.269, -0.2666, -0.2508, -0.2761, -0.2803, -0.2632, -0.281, -0.2936, -0.2914, -0.2693, -0.2348, -0.1832, -0.1429, -0.108, -0.1205, -0.1021, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1415, -0.1251, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.069, -0.0844, -0.0805, -0.1112, -0.1208, -0.1168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1865487064814481796", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-07T20:02:29+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my portfolio being 80% $TSLA $NVDA and 10% LEAPs of both", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "80% portfolio in TSLA + NVDA plus 10% LEAPs on both; strongly long both names on xAI/Colossus scaling thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HansCNelson @elonmusk @xai Yep. Hence my portfolio being 80% $TSLA $NVDA and 10% LEAPs of both", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Wow \ud83e\udd2f \n\nIf I\u2019m hearing this correctly, @elonmusk personally solved the flaw in the cluster design that allowed @xAI to scale colossus to 100k Hoppers.\n\nThat\u2019s ~3x the size of the next largest cluster.\n\nAnd they\u2019re about to add another 100k Hoppers, followed by Blackwell.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HansCNelson", "ret_m1d": 0.026150991547021052, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026150991547021052, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020974606057339917, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01582877755045331, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0051763854896811345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010322213996567742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02694326589892848, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02694326589892848, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023834249453270284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017878207111206024, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003109016445658197, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02515544518780788, "ret_p1w": -0.049059871089650486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.049059871089650486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052549359061078715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07823850058538395, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003489487971428229, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029178629495733466, "ret_p1m": 0.009581406437072504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009581406437072504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.032848015976499556, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02738343079587291, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023266609539427052, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03696483723294541, "ret_p3m": -0.20344351793124138, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20344351793124138, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15376049191368812, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10056263606333626, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049683026017553256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10288088186790512, "ret_p6m": 0.01745543690439222, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01745543690439222, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02536786783283318, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0019205085882734174, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.007912430928440961, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015534928316118801, "price_path": [-0.1579, -0.1418, -0.1421, -0.1588, -0.1673, -0.1833, -0.1509, -0.1644, -0.1625, -0.1293, -0.1103, -0.1065, -0.1255, -0.1252, -0.1572, -0.1439, -0.115, -0.1001, -0.08, -0.0427, -0.0444, -0.0289, -0.029, -0.0054, -0.052, -0.0223, -0.0136, -0.0059, 0.0352, 0.0344, 0.0053, 0.0115, 0.0196, 0.0122, 0.0175, 0.0037, -0.0437, -0.0246, -0.02, 0.0079, 0.0489, 0.0725, 0.0635, 0.0464, 0.0682, 0.0537, 0.0572, 0.0228, 0.0096, 0.059, 0.0509, 0.0566, 0.0226, -0.0202, -0.0137, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0041, -0.0014, 0.0104, 0.0455, 0.045, 0.0262, 0.0, -0.0269, 0.0036, -0.0106, -0.0329, -0.0491, -0.0607, -0.0713, -0.0586, -0.0296, 0.0062, 0.0102, 0.0102, 0.0081, -0.013, -0.0095, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0036, 0.0408, 0.0765, 0.0096, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0209, -0.0402, -0.0508, -0.0185, -0.0377, -0.0079, -0.0079, 0.0146, 0.0595, 0.0606, 0.0274, -0.1469, -0.0707, -0.1089, -0.102, -0.135, -0.1596, -0.1452, -0.1007, -0.073, -0.0646, -0.0377, -0.0433, -0.0553, -0.0254, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0043, 0.003, 0.0094, -0.0316, -0.0615, -0.0877, -0.0542, -0.1344, -0.1001, -0.1783, -0.1644, -0.155, -0.2034, -0.1882, -0.2293, -0.2165, -0.1661, -0.1673, -0.1234, -0.1388, -0.1684, -0.1533, -0.146, -0.152, -0.1253, -0.1305, -0.1804, -0.1972, -0.2099, -0.2191, -0.2064, -0.2045, -0.2666, -0.3205, -0.2965, -0.3062, -0.1763, -0.225, -0.2008, -0.2024, -0.1916, -0.2472, -0.2688, -0.2688, -0.3018, -0.2875, -0.26, -0.2332, -0.2002, -0.2166, -0.2145, -0.2153, -0.1959, -0.1751, -0.18, -0.182, -0.1566, -0.1544, -0.1596, -0.1138, -0.0639, -0.0249, -0.0286, -0.0245, -0.0233, -0.0318, -0.0504, -0.043, -0.0541, -0.0541, -0.0238, -0.0287, 0.0028, -0.0264, -0.0102, 0.0175]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1899190814397575233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-10T20:09:10+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Multi year (some multi-decade) bearish patterns forming near ATH = amplified and justified move", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish SPY/QQQ: multi-year log-chart bearish patterns near ATH justify amplified continued selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@saxena_puru Obvious/warranted sell off. Check SPY/QQQ log charts. Multi year (some multi-decade) bearish patterns forming near ATH = amplified and justified move", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks are long-duration assets - their NPV is derived from free cash flows far into the future. \n\nA 1-2 quarter economic slowdown shouldn\u2019t send mega-cap stocks down 15-20% in a single session. That\u2019s insane!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saxena_puru", "ret_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02736442247312132, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008312847977210325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "ret_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011719924910653212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "ret_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11168165121451334, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "ret_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.061104480562982344, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "ret_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14897878819844657, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "price_path": [0.08, 0.0744, 0.0742, 0.0788, 0.0744, 0.0423, 0.042, 0.0545, 0.0608, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0727, 0.0614, 0.0493, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0429, 0.056, 0.062, 0.05, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0355, 0.0371, 0.0385, 0.0574, 0.0554, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0758, 0.0818, 0.0877, 0.0845, 0.0692, 0.0784, 0.0735, 0.0793, 0.0736, 0.0663, 0.0735, 0.0778, 0.0816, 0.0717, 0.079, 0.0798, 0.0763, 0.0877, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.0908, 0.0934, 0.0888, 0.0702, 0.0653, 0.06, 0.0606, 0.0437, 0.0599, 0.0414, 0.029, 0.0401, 0.0216, 0.0274, 0.0, -0.0083, -0.0031, -0.0163, 0.004, 0.0117, 0.0008, 0.0117, 0.0088, 0.0091, 0.0272, 0.0296, 0.0173, 0.0146, -0.0058, 0.0009, 0.0037, 0.0101, -0.0397, -0.0959, -0.0975, -0.1117, -0.0184, -0.0614, -0.0447, -0.0354, -0.0381, -0.0595, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0805, -0.0566, -0.042, -0.0218, -0.0148, -0.0144, -0.0082, -0.0078, -0.0008, 0.0141, 0.0083, -0.0002, 0.004, 0.011, 0.0097, 0.0431, 0.05, 0.0513, 0.0565, 0.0632, 0.0643, 0.0607, 0.0429, 0.0433, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0577, 0.0516, 0.0557, 0.0546, 0.0605, 0.0665, 0.0663, 0.0611, 0.072, 0.073, 0.0791, 0.076, 0.0802, 0.0682, 0.0783, 0.0691, 0.069, 0.069, 0.0664, 0.077, 0.0889, 0.0895, 0.098, 0.1035, 0.1087, 0.1084, 0.1134, 0.1222, 0.1222, 0.1138, 0.1132, 0.1199, 0.123, 0.1191, 0.1212, 0.1164, 0.1202, 0.127, 0.1262, 0.1283, 0.1285, 0.1381, 0.1385, 0.1433, 0.143, 0.14, 0.1386, 0.1343, 0.1157, 0.1326, 0.1269, 0.1355, 0.1346, 0.1434, 0.1412, 0.1533, 0.1573, 0.1574, 0.1547, 0.1544, 0.1482, 0.1451, 0.1405, 0.158, 0.1529, 0.1578, 0.1604, 0.1645, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.149]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1899190814397575233", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-03-10T20:09:10+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Multi year (some multi-decade) bearish patterns forming near ATH = amplified and justified move", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish SPY/QQQ: multi-year log-chart bearish patterns near ATH justify amplified continued selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@saxena_puru Obvious/warranted sell off. Check SPY/QQQ log charts. Multi year (some multi-decade) bearish patterns forming near ATH = amplified and justified move", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks are long-duration assets - their NPV is derived from free cash flows far into the future. \n\nA 1-2 quarter economic slowdown shouldn\u2019t send mega-cap stocks down 15-20% in a single session. That\u2019s insane!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saxena_puru", "ret_m1d": 0.040318997601677564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040318997601677564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012954575128556245, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012954575128556245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002390396627835467, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002390396627835467, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005922451349374858, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005922451349374858, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "ret_p1w": 0.021238246891753576, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021238246891753576, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009518321981100364, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009518321981100364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "ret_p1m": -0.11856568666360079, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11856568666360079, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0068840354490874445, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0068840354490874445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "ret_p3m": 0.11178162474599396, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11178162474599396, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05067714418301161, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05067714418301161, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "ret_p6m": 0.19962712541146566, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19962712541146566, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05064833721301909, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05064833721301909, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "price_path": [0.1192, 0.112, 0.1205, 0.1366, 0.1316, 0.0908, 0.0859, 0.0954, 0.1061, 0.1211, 0.1211, 0.1203, 0.1054, 0.0907, 0.0814, 0.0814, 0.0793, 0.097, 0.1096, 0.0898, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0729, 0.0694, 0.0684, 0.093, 0.0854, 0.1037, 0.1037, 0.1101, 0.1243, 0.1267, 0.1204, 0.0877, 0.1038, 0.1017, 0.1064, 0.1048, 0.096, 0.1094, 0.1145, 0.1203, 0.1062, 0.1196, 0.1169, 0.1176, 0.1336, 0.1384, 0.1384, 0.141, 0.1413, 0.1364, 0.1129, 0.0997, 0.0859, 0.0885, 0.0583, 0.075, 0.0514, 0.0483, 0.0619, 0.0327, 0.0403, 0.0, -0.0024, 0.0089, -0.0093, 0.0147, 0.0212, 0.0038, 0.0173, 0.0138, 0.0172, 0.0395, 0.0454, 0.0262, 0.0203, -0.0065, -0.0066, 0.0014, 0.0087, -0.0453, -0.1046, -0.1024, -0.1186, -0.0128, -0.0548, -0.0373, -0.0308, -0.0297, -0.059, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0824, -0.0584, -0.037, -0.0099, 0.0011, 0.0008, 0.0074, 0.0073, 0.0205, 0.0356, 0.0295, 0.0199, 0.0239, 0.0345, 0.0338, 0.0759, 0.0923, 0.0988, 0.1, 0.1048, 0.1059, 0.1022, 0.0869, 0.0889, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.1042, 0.0993, 0.1015, 0.0997, 0.1084, 0.1171, 0.1202, 0.1118, 0.1226, 0.1243, 0.1317, 0.1279, 0.1306, 0.1164, 0.1319, 0.1209, 0.1207, 0.1207, 0.1161, 0.1276, 0.1448, 0.1477, 0.1585, 0.1624, 0.17, 0.1601, 0.1682, 0.1797, 0.1797, 0.1708, 0.1715, 0.1798, 0.1781, 0.1754, 0.1797, 0.1808, 0.182, 0.1915, 0.1904, 0.1966, 0.1904, 0.1958, 0.1983, 0.2012, 0.205, 0.2031, 0.2047, 0.1983, 0.1747, 0.1964, 0.1883, 0.2032, 0.2073, 0.2186, 0.215, 0.2302, 0.2308, 0.2299, 0.2245, 0.224, 0.2074, 0.2002, 0.1947, 0.2131, 0.2096, 0.2145, 0.2163, 0.2239, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.1996]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1808659370303238425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-04T00:29:31+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tesla is not worth more than $1T FMV unless you like 100 forward PE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA overvalued above $1T FMV at 100x forward PE; implied bearish on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider Seeing all these chart sites go for the click bait posts. \n\nThis monthly candle has yet to close. Also, log chart (which has been more accurate) is not breached on daily/weekly/monthly. Chill out everyone. Tesla is not worth more than $1T FMV unless you like 100 forward PE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Monthly chart says it all. \u26a1  $TSLA https://t.co/yOslH0mb4n", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02082067005771515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02082067005771515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01505419907986738, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012672579751177748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005766470977847771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008148090306537403, "ret_p1w": -0.02175413216294997, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02175413216294997, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03085728415461264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02841116407859179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009103151991662672, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00665703191564182, "ret_p1m": -0.15714924029635702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15714924029635702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1234931290881216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09531826544859823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03365611120823542, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06183097484775879, "ret_p3m": 0.04720154897858264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04720154897858264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012921519329743392, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.017780908018157016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03428002964883925, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06498245699673966, "ret_p6m": 0.7519380036990442, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7519380036990442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6660136647435138, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.523571811368096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08592433895553042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22836619233094813, "price_path": [-0.2979, -0.2821, -0.3029, -0.2914, -0.3058, -0.3446, -0.3624, -0.3691, -0.3915, -0.4032, -0.4235, -0.4128, -0.342, -0.3093, -0.317, -0.2124, -0.2561, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.2646, -0.2501, -0.2783, -0.2909, -0.302, -0.3162, -0.3024, -0.2794, -0.2938, -0.2904, -0.2798, -0.2899, -0.2427, -0.269, -0.2949, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2826, -0.2849, -0.2744, -0.2772, -0.2845, -0.2907, -0.2897, -0.2778, -0.2797, -0.2947, -0.3074, -0.2804, -0.2594, -0.2775, -0.2393, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2631, -0.2572, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.203, -0.1987, -0.1969, -0.1483, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0266, 0.0647, 0.0685, -0.0218, 0.0075, 0.0254, 0.0413, 0.0086, 0.0115, -0.0292, 0.0208, -0.0, -0.1234, -0.1061, -0.1079, -0.058, -0.0965, -0.0581, -0.1199, -0.1571, -0.1928, -0.1857, -0.2217, -0.193, -0.1883, -0.1985, -0.1565, -0.1827, -0.1309, -0.1229, -0.0961, -0.1026, -0.0938, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.1347, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1453, -0.1095, -0.0658, -0.1447, -0.1222, -0.0821, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0653, -0.0796, -0.0752, -0.0779, -0.01, -0.033, 0.0147, 0.032, 0.0431, 0.0318, 0.0571, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0107, -0.0233, 0.015, -0.0226, -0.0077, -0.0217, -0.0309, -0.116, -0.1105, -0.1089, -0.1017, -0.1035, -0.1043, -0.1118, -0.1153, -0.1329, 0.0572, 0.0925, 0.0654, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.014, 0.0105, -0.0144, 0.0205, 0.171, 0.205, 0.3037, 0.4205, 0.3332, 0.3403, 0.263, 0.3017, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3882, 0.3785, 0.4309, 0.3742, 0.3727, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.4009, 0.4493, 0.4263, 0.4527, 0.4996, 0.5797, 0.582, 0.6275, 0.724, 0.6969, 0.7705, 0.8792, 0.9476, 0.7863, 0.7702, 0.7089, 0.7476, 0.8762, 0.8762, 0.8431, 0.7519]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960760166967861289", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T17:43:47+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am long $NVDA (hedged into earnings) expecting ~190 tomorrow to upside and ~173 to downside. If we see a solid print, the likelihood $NVDA sees ~200 (~5T market cap) by mid Sep is high", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NVDA into earnings targeting ~190 upside / ~200 by mid-Sep; also holds hedged long TSLA with 355-365 as key resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA earnings are today and will set the tone for the market going into next FOMC Sep 17. Many aren't aware that $NVDA charts against $TSLA (shown below) and $SPY (not shown). NVDA/TSLA suggests $NVDA likely outperforms but the $SPY chart is less bullish leaning, so if a temp rotation out of the AI trade occurs this year, it'll likely occur very soon.\n\nI am long $NVDA (hedged into earnings) expecting ~190 tomorrow to upside and ~173 to downside. If we see a solid print, the likelihood $NVDA sees ~200 (~5T market cap) by mid Sep is high. I have hedged $TSLA long exposure as well as of last week. If $TSLA can't breach 355-365, a large factor will be the NVDA/TSLA chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009361007650832143, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009361007650832143, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0032095294168523747, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0039932407749171395, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022734286517691604, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003057140009833925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00787445711365986, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00787445711365986, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011415819845802644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011973098061379361, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541362732142783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004098640947719501, "ret_p1w": -0.060462495461940824, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.060462495461940824, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05599312301886983, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02273490303014669, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03772759243179413, "ret_p1m": -0.021475608772236532, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021475608772236532, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041957789253324274, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10008882358543025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07861321481319372, "ret_p3m": 0.0052880154899086484, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0052880154899086484, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03175631594044481, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1339984139287338, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13928642941864244, "ret_p6m": 0.034807586290355186, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.034807586290355186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.029797843475520613, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3475629200321324, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054297658758, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3823705063224876, "price_path": [-0.2559, -0.2436, -0.2224, -0.2186, -0.2292, -0.2197, -0.2146, -0.2073, -0.2135, -0.2015, -0.2182, -0.2032, -0.2064, -0.1989, -0.1989, -0.2079, -0.2061, -0.1856, -0.1503, -0.1464, -0.1313, -0.13, -0.1558, -0.1341, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1286, -0.1189, -0.1031, -0.0964, -0.0919, -0.0965, -0.06, -0.0563, -0.0474, -0.0506, -0.0563, -0.0802, -0.0596, -0.0433, -0.0446, -0.0267, -0.0335, -0.0128, -0.0205, -0.0434, -0.0088, -0.0184, -0.012, -0.0046, 0.0061, 0.0025, 0.0086, -0.0001, 0.0023, -0.0063, 0.0023, -0.0328, -0.0341, -0.0365, -0.0199, -0.0099, 0.0009, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0596, -0.0605, -0.0547, -0.0803, -0.0732, -0.0597, -0.0235, -0.0243, -0.0208, -0.0211, -0.037, -0.0622, -0.0295, -0.0271, 0.0111, -0.0174, -0.0254, -0.0215, -0.0187, 0.0014, 0.0275, 0.0311, 0.0402, 0.0332, 0.0218, 0.019, 0.0414, 0.0605, 0.0086, 0.0371, -0.0086, -0.0097, 0.0012, 0.009, 0.0058, -0.0024, -0.0072, 0.0031, 0.0257, 0.0545, 0.1071, 0.1402, 0.1173, 0.1151, 0.1393, 0.0942, 0.075, 0.0357, 0.0361, 0.0962, 0.0637, 0.0672, 0.029, 0.0473, 0.0276, -0.0013, 0.0272, -0.0052, -0.0149, 0.0053, -0.0208, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0253, -0.0092, -0.0007, -0.011, 0.0099, 0.0046, 0.0219, 0.0187, 0.0121, -0.0036, -0.0361, -0.0291, -0.0213, -0.0586, -0.041, -0.0032, 0.0116, 0.042, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0493, 0.0366, 0.0328, 0.0271, 0.0271, 0.04, 0.036, 0.0312, 0.0415, 0.0191, 0.0181, 0.0185, 0.0233, 0.0086, 0.0301, 0.0256, 0.0256, -0.0193, 0.0096, 0.018, 0.0335, 0.0269, 0.0382, 0.0547, 0.0602, 0.0526, 0.0222, -0.0068, -0.0407, -0.0534, 0.0211, 0.0466, 0.0383, 0.0466, 0.0295, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0187, 0.0352, 0.0348]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960760166967861289", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-27T17:43:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have hedged $TSLA long exposure as well as of last week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NVDA into earnings targeting ~190 upside / ~200 by mid-Sep; also holds hedged long TSLA with 355-365 as key resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA earnings are today and will set the tone for the market going into next FOMC Sep 17. Many aren't aware that $NVDA charts against $TSLA (shown below) and $SPY (not shown). NVDA/TSLA suggests $NVDA likely outperforms but the $SPY chart is less bullish leaning, so if a temp rotation out of the AI trade occurs this year, it'll likely occur very soon.\n\nI am long $NVDA (hedged into earnings) expecting ~190 tomorrow to upside and ~173 to downside. If we see a solid print, the likelihood $NVDA sees ~200 (~5T market cap) by mid Sep is high. I have hedged $TSLA long exposure as well as of last week. If $TSLA can't breach 355-365, a large factor will be the NVDA/TSLA chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005921073478488026, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005921073478488026, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008194502130257186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006134976154477445, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022734286517691604, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00021390267598941914, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010354676927882056, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010354676927882056, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01389603966002484, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012065898335797631, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541362732142783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0017112214079155752, "ret_p1w": -0.044365015717512724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044365015717512724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03989564327444173, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03234365906506731, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469372443070996, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012021356652445414, "ret_p1m": 0.21106981480736264, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21106981480736264, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1905876343262749, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19872057909908802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02048218048108774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01234923570827462, "ret_p3m": 0.19502285894009197, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19502285894009197, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1579785275097385, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2157158090676785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03704433143035346, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02069295012758654, "ret_p6m": 0.17766013806410497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17766013806410497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11305470829822917, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17936466270315898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054297658758, "bench_c_p6m": -0.001704524639054017, "price_path": [-0.009, -0.0198, -0.0152, -0.0502, -0.1856, -0.1558, -0.1173, -0.0672, -0.0663, -0.0872, -0.0695, -0.0586, -0.0951, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.0785, -0.0026, -0.0261, -0.0631, -0.0681, -0.0743, -0.0914, -0.1398, -0.0971, -0.098, -0.098, -0.1592, -0.1481, -0.1537, -0.1136, -0.1032, -0.0935, -0.111, -0.0799, -0.0864, -0.0571, -0.0604, -0.05, -0.0487, -0.1267, -0.0959, -0.0687, -0.0812, -0.0874, -0.1182, -0.1344, -0.1154, -0.1169, -0.0849, -0.0782, -0.0571, -0.0302, -0.0251, -0.0292, -0.0401, -0.0545, -0.0413, -0.058, -0.0735, -0.0844, -0.0274, -0.0086, 0.0059, 0.0, -0.0104, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0579, -0.0444, -0.0317, 0.0035, -0.0092, -0.0075, -0.0052, 0.0549, 0.1326, 0.1729, 0.206, 0.2181, 0.1924, 0.2187, 0.242, 0.2181, 0.2666, 0.2111, 0.2597, 0.2678, 0.2721, 0.3142, 0.2471, 0.2295, 0.2965, 0.2388, 0.2548, 0.2458, 0.1828, 0.2469, 0.2278, 0.2447, 0.2264, 0.2566, 0.2798, 0.266, 0.2556, 0.2843, 0.2406, 0.2941, 0.3174, 0.3201, 0.2589, 0.3059, 0.3397, 0.2708, 0.3217, 0.2755, 0.2286, 0.2735, 0.2575, 0.2317, 0.1499, 0.1566, 0.1697, 0.1477, 0.1556, 0.1305, 0.1187, 0.195, 0.1997, 0.2202, 0.2202, 0.2305, 0.2304, 0.2278, 0.2779, 0.3001, 0.3015, 0.2574, 0.2734, 0.2913, 0.2783, 0.3128, 0.3596, 0.4013, 0.3366, 0.3826, 0.3764, 0.398, 0.3889, 0.3884, 0.3884, 0.3592, 0.3148, 0.2999, 0.2864, 0.2864, 0.2531, 0.292, 0.2384, 0.234, 0.2466, 0.2729, 0.2842, 0.2792, 0.2563, 0.2545, 0.2514, 0.2514, 0.1992, 0.2341, 0.2854, 0.2845, 0.2449, 0.2326, 0.2342, 0.1915, 0.2311, 0.2066, 0.207, 0.1614, 0.1362, 0.1759, 0.1937, 0.2163, 0.225, 0.193, 0.1941, 0.1941, 0.1746, 0.1765, 0.1777]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1816188122419667139", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T19:06:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$215 was the target from bearish patterns. -10% drop par for course for $TSLA earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: $215 target from bearish patterns, overbought, -10% drop expected around earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ChrisDungeon GM ex RC not bottoming as many expected + overbought on many levels. $215 was the target from bearish patterns. -10% drop par for course for $TSLA earnings", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can anyone reasonably explain why $TSLA lost over $70B from its market cap in one day?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChrisDungeon", "ret_m1d": 0.1407009519734943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407009519734943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11751285890148155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09806449831886743, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04263645365462687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01972310939623889, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01972310939623889, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02493338638838105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023639249329260537, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003916139933021645, "ret_p1w": 0.07444789769017168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07444789769017168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056747464091496225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04030556581189426, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03414233187827742, "ret_p1m": -0.02467707623269344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02467707623269344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05237329670352053, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04127940190246682, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016602325669773377, "ret_p3m": 0.013241356255449865, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.013241356255449865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06840639010112715, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08090339241328715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09414474866873701, "ret_p6m": 0.915922018610791, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.915922018610791, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8157389277501235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6641531713814106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2517688472293804, "price_path": [-0.2208, -0.1016, -0.1514, -0.1667, -0.1666, -0.1611, -0.1446, -0.1768, -0.1911, -0.2038, -0.22, -0.2042, -0.178, -0.1945, -0.1905, -0.1784, -0.19, -0.1361, -0.1661, -0.1956, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1817, -0.1843, -0.1722, -0.1755, -0.1838, -0.1908, -0.1898, -0.1762, -0.1783, -0.1954, -0.2099, -0.1792, -0.1552, -0.1758, -0.1322, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1594, -0.1527, -0.1547, -0.1326, -0.0908, -0.086, -0.0838, -0.0284, 0.0707, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1645, 0.1711, 0.2145, 0.2189, 0.1159, 0.1493, 0.1697, 0.1878, 0.1505, 0.1539, 0.1075, 0.1645, 0.1407, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0176, 0.0746, 0.0307, 0.0744, 0.004, -0.0385, -0.0792, -0.0711, -0.1122, -0.0794, -0.074, -0.0857, -0.0378, -0.0676, -0.0086, 0.0006, 0.0312, 0.0237, 0.0337, -0.0247, 0.02, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0474, -0.045, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.025, 0.0158, 0.0657, -0.0244, 0.0013, 0.0471, 0.0562, 0.064, 0.0662, 0.05, 0.055, 0.0519, 0.1293, 0.1031, 0.1575, 0.1772, 0.19, 0.177, 0.2059, 0.2113, 0.1946, 0.1529, 0.1142, 0.1578, 0.115, 0.132, 0.116, 0.1055, 0.0084, 0.0147, 0.0166, 0.0247, 0.0227, 0.0218, 0.0132, 0.0092, -0.0108, 0.206, 0.2463, 0.2154, 0.2015, 0.1924, 0.1568, 0.1527, 0.1243, 0.1641, 0.3358, 0.3746, 0.4872, 0.6204, 0.5209, 0.529, 0.4407, 0.4849, 0.5683, 0.6019, 0.5835, 0.5725, 0.6323, 0.5676, 0.566, 0.5412, 0.5412, 0.598, 0.6533, 0.627, 0.6572, 0.7107, 0.802, 0.8047, 0.8565, 0.9666, 0.9357, 1.0197, 1.1437, 1.2217, 1.0377, 1.0194, 0.9494, 0.9936, 1.1403, 1.1403, 1.1026, 0.9985, 0.9325, 0.8697, 0.8697, 0.756, 0.9003, 0.9031, 0.8258, 0.8285, 0.8285, 0.8276, 0.8673, 0.8351, 0.9826, 0.9159]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983585040266322346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T17:21:41+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Went heavy long at ~202 when multiple charts aligned into a product supercycle. AAPL/SPY has been must-watch and called the bottom with a 20 year fib chan test. 10% upside would retest AAPL/SPY ATH.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavy long AAPL from ~202 on product supercycle thesis; sees 10% upside to retest AAPL/SPY ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BCalusinski Yep. Went heavy long at ~202 when multiple charts aligned into a product supercycle. AAPL/SPY has been must-watch and called the bottom with a 20 year fib chan test. 10% upside would retest AAPL/SPY ATH. https://t.co/lgdDeLu5Fu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$AAPL is about to have a run for the ages to complete this melt-up \n\n300 by end of Q1 is not out of question https://t.co/84J8sk7P6R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BCalusinski", "ret_m1d": -0.002595488867187634, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002595488867187634, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002115332488193622, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004539647769104205, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007135136636291839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006303249053230431, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006303249053230431, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017301392990307307, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0186005455074868, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012297296454256368, "ret_p1w": 0.001631527955774148, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001631527955774148, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01590298642296173, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03135557885310225, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029724050897328103, "ret_p1m": 0.03010394891495105, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03010394891495105, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04132033763355325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09701611743663319, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06691216852168214, "ret_p3m": -0.05206676850572334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05206676850572334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06281300224284825, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014165751005917993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037901017499805345, "ret_p6m": 0.015762548115777042, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.015762548115777042, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.020743445802123173, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.011892936001095533, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027655484116872575, "price_path": [-0.2505, -0.2469, -0.2485, -0.2102, -0.1851, -0.1506, -0.1577, -0.1485, -0.1349, -0.1369, -0.1413, -0.1439, -0.1451, -0.162, -0.1661, -0.1555, -0.1577, -0.1498, -0.1454, -0.1377, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1482, -0.1158, -0.1109, -0.1113, -0.118, -0.1311, -0.1591, -0.1471, -0.1321, -0.1224, -0.117, -0.1139, -0.118, -0.0897, -0.0505, -0.0566, -0.0645, -0.0476, -0.0528, -0.0566, -0.0559, -0.0528, -0.0466, -0.0433, -0.0482, -0.049, -0.0432, -0.0581, -0.0906, -0.0817, -0.0813, -0.0755, -0.0825, -0.0646, -0.0277, -0.0257, -0.0417, -0.0375, -0.0255, -0.0033, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0025, -0.0024, 0.0013, 0.0016, 0.0003, -0.0046, -0.0, 0.0216, 0.015, 0.013, 0.011, -0.0073, -0.0074, -0.0033, -0.0118, 0.0076, 0.0241, 0.028, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0349, 0.0507, 0.0622, 0.0546, 0.0418, 0.0347, 0.0314, 0.0287, 0.0347, 0.0319, 0.0328, 0.0173, 0.0192, 0.0089, 0.0102, 0.0157, 0.0057, 0.0108, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0147, 0.016, 0.0135, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0058, -0.0081, -0.0263, -0.0338, -0.0386, -0.0374, -0.0341, -0.0311, -0.0352, -0.0417, -0.0516, -0.0516, -0.0844, -0.0809, -0.0783, -0.0794, -0.0521, -0.0415, -0.0482, -0.0414, -0.037, 0.0021, 0.0002, 0.0262, 0.024, 0.0322, 0.0202, 0.0167, 0.0235, -0.0277, -0.0498, -0.0498, -0.0197, -0.018, -0.032, -0.0171, -0.0112, 0.011, 0.0187, 0.014, -0.0186, -0.0166, -0.0202, -0.0248, -0.0331, -0.0436, -0.0346, -0.031, -0.0311, -0.0499, -0.0708, -0.0608, -0.0556, -0.0715, -0.0751, -0.0787, -0.0657, -0.0652, -0.0615, -0.0605, -0.0757, -0.0838, -0.0572, -0.0504, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0384, -0.0583, -0.0382, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0371, -0.0385, -0.0102, -0.0215, 0.0039, 0.0144, -0.0112, 0.0148, 0.0158]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1868418392186900814", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-15T22:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "now with a street high PT of $515", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses Wedbush $515 PT on TSLA; cites analyst's track record on PLTR and NVDA as credentials for the new street-high call.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt @DivesTech @DivesTech is the \ud83d\udc10- I've repeatedly said since 2018 he's the best tech analyst - now with a street high PT of $515. His track record speaks for itself. He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's for those", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEWS: Wedbush analyst @DivesTech has increased his $TSLA price target to $515 (from $400), citing Trump's upcoming second term as a \"total game changer\" for the autonomous and AI story for Tesla. Dan's bull case for 2025 is $650/share. https://t.co/lCOFgEhLvn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": -0.05785922565548829, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05785922565548829, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.053607397336546514, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04449397192307836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013365253732409932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036369912179738284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036369912179738284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04048986276244748, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322767506875279, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031422371109854907, "ret_p1w": -0.07001853846357153, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07001853846357153, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05337603914292621, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031994038465416486, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03802449999815505, "ret_p1m": -0.14396787448444492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14396787448444492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10665589496890726, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07433501970894685, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06963285477549808, "ret_p3m": -0.4801952434311113, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4801952434311113, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39200313361054084, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.288662750310662, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1915324931204493, "ret_p6m": -0.29573235697117606, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29573235697117606, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2959632453991299, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2067304004851397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08900195648603637, "price_path": [-0.5093, -0.4732, -0.4854, -0.4601, -0.4508, -0.4449, -0.451, -0.4375, -0.4349, -0.4427, -0.4622, -0.4802, -0.4599, -0.4799, -0.4719, -0.4794, -0.4843, -0.5296, -0.5267, -0.5258, -0.522, -0.5229, -0.5233, -0.5273, -0.5292, -0.5386, -0.4374, -0.4186, -0.433, -0.4395, -0.4438, -0.4604, -0.4623, -0.4755, -0.457, -0.3769, -0.3588, -0.3063, -0.2441, -0.2905, -0.2868, -0.3279, -0.3073, -0.2684, -0.2527, -0.2613, -0.2665, -0.2386, -0.2687, -0.2695, -0.281, -0.281, -0.2545, -0.2288, -0.241, -0.227, -0.202, -0.1594, -0.1582, -0.134, -0.0826, -0.097, -0.0579, 0.0, 0.0364, -0.0494, -0.058, -0.0906, -0.07, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0192, -0.0677, -0.0985, -0.1278, -0.1278, -0.1809, -0.1136, -0.1122, -0.1483, -0.147, -0.147, -0.1475, -0.129, -0.144, -0.0752, -0.1063, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0841, -0.1035, -0.1094, -0.1219, -0.1423, -0.1402, -0.1596, -0.1355, -0.1262, -0.1714, -0.1529, -0.1833, -0.1916, -0.219, -0.2425, -0.2905, -0.2732, -0.2313, -0.2315, -0.2315, -0.2352, -0.2213, -0.2346, -0.2704, -0.2861, -0.346, -0.3719, -0.3911, -0.3672, -0.3852, -0.4125, -0.3972, -0.431, -0.4327, -0.5202, -0.502, -0.4642, -0.4802, -0.4601, -0.486, -0.5134, -0.4906, -0.4897, -0.4629, -0.3988, -0.3777, -0.4124, -0.4101, -0.4308, -0.4403, -0.4202, -0.3893, -0.4227, -0.4829, -0.4962, -0.5208, -0.4121, -0.4549, -0.4551, -0.455, -0.4512, -0.4783, -0.4787, -0.4787, -0.5087, -0.486, -0.4585, -0.4395, -0.3846, -0.3826, -0.3693, -0.3906, -0.3942, -0.3797, -0.3947, -0.4053, -0.4034, -0.3849, -0.3558, -0.3124, -0.2785, -0.2491, -0.2596, -0.2441, -0.2612, -0.2574, -0.2773, -0.2634, -0.2671, -0.2671, -0.2163, -0.2292, -0.2259, -0.2517, -0.2599, -0.2565, -0.2829, -0.3851, -0.3626, -0.3335, -0.2957]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1868418392186900814", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-15T22:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses Wedbush $515 PT on TSLA; cites analyst's track record on PLTR and NVDA as credentials for the new street-high call.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt @DivesTech @DivesTech is the \ud83d\udc10- I've repeatedly said since 2018 he's the best tech analyst - now with a street high PT of $515. His track record speaks for itself. He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's for those", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEWS: Wedbush analyst @DivesTech has increased his $TSLA price target to $515 (from $400), citing Trump's upcoming second term as a \"total game changer\" for the autonomous and AI story for Tesla. Dan's bull case for 2025 is $650/share. https://t.co/lCOFgEhLvn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.004224418413520947, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004224418413520947, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008476246732462722, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008476246732462722, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017953803436984273, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017953803436984273, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013833852854275075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013833852854275075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "ret_p1w": 0.06521455368193063, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06521455368193063, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08185705300257595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08185705300257595, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "ret_p1m": -0.12990094175433164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12990094175433164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09258896223879398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09258896223879398, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "ret_p3m": 0.051089145169399774, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.051089145169399774, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13928125498997024, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13928125498997024, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "ret_p6m": 0.7532672945028878, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7532672945028878, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7530364060749339, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7530364060749339, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "price_path": [-0.5197, -0.5138, -0.5089, -0.499, -0.5129, -0.51, -0.5102, -0.5137, -0.5089, -0.5187, -0.5051, -0.482, -0.4718, -0.4866, -0.4528, -0.4306, -0.4255, -0.4256, -0.4271, -0.4399, -0.4465, -0.4455, -0.4327, -0.4363, -0.4331, -0.4378, -0.425, -0.4078, -0.4063, -0.4069, -0.4232, -0.4514, -0.4466, -0.4533, -0.325, -0.2669, -0.2623, -0.2292, -0.2048, -0.2099, -0.1987, -0.2187, -0.1317, -0.1913, -0.1686, -0.1799, -0.19, -0.1505, -0.1465, -0.1321, -0.1281, -0.1281, -0.1145, -0.1236, -0.0632, -0.0779, -0.0512, 0.0078, -0.0434, -0.0642, -0.0428, -0.0337, 0.0042, 0.0, -0.018, -0.056, -0.0203, 0.0634, 0.0652, 0.0875, 0.0875, 0.0844, 0.044, 0.0189, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0074, 0.0547, 0.0022, -0.076, -0.0993, -0.0993, -0.1121, -0.1422, -0.1299, -0.1005, -0.0859, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0354, 0.0148, 0.0426, 0.0426, -0.0041, 0.0591, 0.0529, 0.0722, 0.089, 0.1055, 0.3707, 0.3381, 0.469, 0.4634, 0.5399, 0.4867, 0.5497, 0.5566, 0.5731, 0.5731, 0.6451, 0.4793, 0.4029, 0.338, 0.1971, 0.1596, 0.179, 0.1191, 0.1211, 0.1013, 0.1142, 0.1898, 0.0622, 0.1209, 0.0083, 0.0304, 0.1043, 0.0511, 0.1385, 0.1531, 0.1075, 0.1366, 0.1537, 0.2008, 0.2772, 0.2739, 0.2182, 0.1893, 0.1333, 0.1142, 0.1179, 0.1545, 0.1036, -0.023, 0.0276, 0.0207, 0.2147, 0.1695, 0.169, 0.2227, 0.299, 0.2239, 0.238, 0.238, 0.1987, 0.2408, 0.331, 0.4228, 0.4888, 0.5135, 0.5324, 0.5636, 0.534, 0.6407, 0.6339, 0.4371, 0.4585, 0.5729, 0.5485, 0.5638, 0.6911, 0.7185, 0.6914, 0.7098, 0.6677, 0.658, 0.5918, 0.6144, 0.6279, 0.6279, 0.6289, 0.6338, 0.6148, 0.7397, 0.7431, 0.758, 0.7163, 0.583, 0.6861, 0.7434, 0.7533]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1868418392186900814", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-15T22:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses Wedbush $515 PT on TSLA; cites analyst's track record on PLTR and NVDA as credentials for the new street-high call.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt @DivesTech @DivesTech is the \ud83d\udc10- I've repeatedly said since 2018 he's the best tech analyst - now with a street high PT of $515. His track record speaks for itself. He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's for those", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEWS: Wedbush analyst @DivesTech has increased his $TSLA price target to $515 (from $400), citing Trump's upcoming second term as a \"total game changer\" for the autonomous and AI story for Tesla. Dan's bull case for 2025 is $650/share. https://t.co/lCOFgEhLvn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.017045490024304222, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017045490024304222, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021297318343245997, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031892417621628755, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014846927597324533, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01219692416139928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01219692416139928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008076973578690083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007941223094488636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012991046470848144, "ret_p1w": 0.058106124503030765, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058106124503030765, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07474862382367609, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06965755941281582, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011551434909785052, "ret_p1m": -0.0018181254725125884, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0018181254725125884, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035493854043025075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024725388052666553, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02654351352517914, "ret_p3m": -0.12431333183316495, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12431333183316495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03612122201259449, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0049142978057865605, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1292276296389515, "ret_p6m": 0.09070645674484878, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09070645674484878, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09047556831689496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05129258274795245, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03941387399689633, "price_path": [-0.1412, -0.1071, -0.1213, -0.1193, -0.0844, -0.0644, -0.0604, -0.0804, -0.0801, -0.1137, -0.0997, -0.0694, -0.0537, -0.0325, 0.0067, 0.0049, 0.0212, 0.0211, 0.0459, -0.0031, 0.0281, 0.0373, 0.0454, 0.0886, 0.0877, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0722, 0.0645, 0.07, 0.0555, 0.0057, 0.0257, 0.0306, 0.0599, 0.103, 0.1278, 0.1183, 0.1004, 0.1233, 0.108, 0.1117, 0.0755, 0.0617, 0.1136, 0.1052, 0.1111, 0.0753, 0.0304, 0.0372, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0473, 0.0502, 0.0625, 0.0995, 0.0989, 0.0791, 0.0516, 0.0233, 0.0554, 0.0405, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0234, -0.01, 0.0205, 0.0581, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.038, 0.0416, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0478, 0.0945, 0.132, 0.0617, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0296, 0.0093, -0.0018, 0.0321, 0.0119, 0.0433, 0.0433, 0.0669, 0.1142, 0.1153, 0.0805, -0.1029, -0.0228, -0.0629, -0.0557, -0.0904, -0.1162, -0.1011, -0.0543, -0.0252, -0.0164, 0.0119, 0.0061, -0.0065, 0.0249, 0.0519, 0.0519, 0.0561, 0.0548, 0.0614, 0.0184, -0.013, -0.0407, -0.0055, -0.0898, -0.0536, -0.1359, -0.1213, -0.1114, -0.1623, -0.1463, -0.1895, -0.1761, -0.1231, -0.1243, -0.0782, -0.0944, -0.1254, -0.1096, -0.102, -0.1083, -0.0801, -0.0856, -0.1381, -0.1558, -0.1691, -0.1789, -0.1655, -0.1634, -0.2287, -0.2855, -0.2602, -0.2704, -0.1338, -0.185, -0.1595, -0.1612, -0.1499, -0.2083, -0.2311, -0.2311, -0.2658, -0.2508, -0.2218, -0.1936, -0.1589, -0.1762, -0.174, -0.1748, -0.1544, -0.1325, -0.1376, -0.1398, -0.1131, -0.1108, -0.1162, -0.0681, -0.0156, 0.0254, 0.0215, 0.0259, 0.0271, 0.0181, -0.0014, 0.0064, -0.0053, -0.0053, 0.0266, 0.0214, 0.0546, 0.0238, 0.0409, 0.0699, 0.0753, 0.0606, 0.0737, 0.0806, 0.0907]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1833944838720684073", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-11T19:04:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Charts suggest a visit to 150-165 sometime next 3-4 months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Cautious on TSLA; charts point to 150\u2013165 in next 3\u20134 months, with robotaxi/Q3 earnings likely not both bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy Tough to say - nothing obviously clear right now. 200-250 seems like fair value. I'd be cautious of a robotaxi day sell off into Q3 earnings. The likelihood both are bullish events is low.\n\nCharts suggest a visit to 150-165 sometime next 3-4 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig impressive calls - you don't think TSLA will follow the market upwards?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": -0.00859162175915451, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00859162175915451, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015632597992627506, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0013000287148962064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010154881558417261, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009891650474050717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007364189890953776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007364189890953776, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010589821050341897, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0039026931941272824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008423171995987966, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011266883085081059, "ret_p1w": -0.0040766576717869984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0040766576717869984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016666453714258456, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02364817017705101, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012589796042471457, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01957151250526401, "ret_p1m": 0.04664006996849923, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04664006996849923, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0042946792260976085, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00021130958935033917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04234539074240162, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04642876037914889, "ret_p3m": 0.7086310445885979, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7086310445885979, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6146325771167152, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.47859218722410124, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09399846747188279, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2300388573644967, "ret_p6m": 0.15482403264911238, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15482403264911238, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11517871949979863, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06058202479639663, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03964531314931374, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09424200785271575, "price_path": [-0.2197, -0.1784, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.2041, -0.1978, -0.1997, -0.1788, -0.1392, -0.1346, -0.1326, -0.0801, 0.0137, 0.08, 0.08, 0.1025, 0.1088, 0.1499, 0.154, 0.0565, 0.0881, 0.1074, 0.1246, 0.0893, 0.0925, 0.0485, 0.1025, 0.08, -0.0532, -0.0345, -0.0365, 0.0174, -0.0242, 0.0173, -0.0494, -0.0897, -0.1282, -0.1205, -0.1594, -0.1284, -0.1233, -0.1343, -0.089, -0.1173, -0.0613, -0.0526, -0.0237, -0.0308, -0.0213, -0.0766, -0.0342, -0.0654, -0.0829, -0.0981, -0.0958, -0.0615, -0.0615, -0.0768, -0.0382, 0.0089, -0.0763, -0.052, -0.0086, 0.0, 0.0074, 0.0095, -0.0059, -0.0011, -0.0041, 0.0692, 0.0444, 0.0959, 0.1146, 0.1266, 0.1144, 0.1417, 0.1468, 0.131, 0.0916, 0.0549, 0.0962, 0.0557, 0.0718, 0.0566, 0.0466, -0.0453, -0.0393, -0.0375, -0.0298, -0.0317, -0.0326, -0.0407, -0.0445, -0.0635, 0.1418, 0.18, 0.1507, 0.1376, 0.129, 0.0952, 0.0914, 0.0645, 0.1022, 0.2648, 0.3015, 0.4081, 0.5342, 0.4399, 0.4476, 0.364, 0.4059, 0.4849, 0.5167, 0.4993, 0.4888, 0.5454, 0.4842, 0.4826, 0.4592, 0.4592, 0.513, 0.5653, 0.5404, 0.569, 0.6196, 0.7061, 0.7086, 0.7577, 0.862, 0.8327, 0.9122, 1.0296, 1.1034, 0.9293, 0.9119, 0.8457, 0.8875, 1.0264, 1.0264, 0.9907, 0.8922, 0.8297, 0.7702, 0.7702, 0.6626, 0.7991, 0.8018, 0.7287, 0.7312, 0.7312, 0.7303, 0.7679, 0.7374, 0.8771, 0.814, 0.8695, 0.8695, 0.8589, 0.8196, 0.8077, 0.7822, 0.7409, 0.745, 0.7056, 0.7546, 0.7736, 0.6818, 0.7192, 0.6577, 0.6408, 0.5851, 0.5374, 0.44, 0.4751, 0.5603, 0.5598, 0.5598, 0.5522, 0.5805, 0.5535, 0.4807, 0.4489, 0.3273, 0.2747, 0.2359, 0.2843, 0.2478, 0.1925, 0.2234, 0.1548]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989406876497551605", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T18:55:35+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "repeat bull-flag setup that has played out perfectly. $330 is roughly 4T market cap and not by coincidence the PT of the current bull flag and 4.618 fib ext. I expect the 4H cloud + flag to hold price above ~263", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL targeting $330 (~4T mkt cap) on bull-flag + 4.618 fib extension, with support expected above ~$263.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL repeat bull-flag setup that has played out perfectly. $330 is roughly 4T market cap and not by coincidence the PT of the current bull flag and 4.618 fib ext.\n\nI expect the 4H cloud + flag to hold price above ~263. https://t.co/wjW1TpEz1T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007814494343079126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007814494343079126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0076506987581421715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024251162596533593, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031149299925982143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031149299925982143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04046573335522674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0324967134176356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": 0.08411413232446474, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08411413232446474, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10331247306514046, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07899422314521032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": 0.11581201565707011, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11581201565707011, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10271540302832993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0687448263756838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.1257312925264078, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1257312925264078, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09287853891068654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.073742347165763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 0.40793743363130264, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40793743363130264, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.301409097040785, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.363077999564281, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.2714, -0.2795, -0.278, -0.2551, -0.2464, -0.2513, -0.25, -0.235, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2361, -0.1663, -0.1603, -0.1506, -0.1533, -0.1331, -0.1347, -0.1304, -0.1288, -0.0897, -0.0913, -0.0972, -0.0882, -0.0785, -0.0864, -0.0895, -0.1059, -0.1108, -0.1081, -0.1171, -0.1205, -0.114, -0.1111, -0.1124, -0.094, -0.1109, -0.115, -0.1262, -0.1441, -0.1167, -0.112, -0.0918, -0.0903, -0.0836, -0.0718, -0.0939, -0.0894, -0.0844, -0.0597, -0.0258, -0.0323, -0.0067, 0.0183, 0.0173, 0.0264, 0.0041, 0.0286, 0.0302, 0.0088, 0.0495, 0.0539, 0.0373, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0311, 0.0285, 0.0593, 0.0472, 0.0841, 0.1526, 0.1701, 0.1575, 0.1575, 0.1584, 0.1392, 0.1425, 0.1564, 0.1491, 0.1623, 0.1357, 0.1479, 0.1592, 0.1311, 0.1197, 0.1158, 0.1098, 0.0742, 0.095, 0.112, 0.1215, 0.138, 0.1371, 0.1371, 0.135, 0.1351, 0.1362, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.1409, 0.1459, 0.138, 0.1656, 0.1782, 0.1895, 0.2014, 0.2163, 0.2158, 0.2047, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1657, 0.1888, 0.1966, 0.1872, 0.2065, 0.2111, 0.2164, 0.2245, 0.2236, 0.2442, 0.2298, 0.2057, 0.1992, 0.1688, 0.1741, 0.1533, 0.1257, 0.1186, 0.1068, 0.1068, 0.0934, 0.0981, 0.0964, 0.1403, 0.1277, 0.1255, 0.1328, 0.1128, 0.1286, 0.1097, 0.099, 0.0974, 0.0892, 0.0807, 0.1099, 0.1123, 0.1183, 0.0997, 0.0951, 0.107, 0.1264, 0.1147, 0.1126, 0.0904, 0.0943, 0.0522, 0.054, 0.0177, -0.0061, -0.0092, 0.0418, 0.0774, 0.0715, 0.0715, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.1496, 0.1538, 0.1493, 0.164, 0.206, 0.2213, 0.2173, 0.2378, 0.2224, 0.2038, 0.2293, 0.2277, 0.2477, 0.2692, 0.2672, 0.2677, 0.394, 0.3973, 0.3884, 0.4072, 0.442, 0.4418, 0.452, 0.4079]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971616777684840945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:44:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA has the highest ceiling of the mega caps going forward. It's a solid long term investment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Agrees TSLA is the highest-ceiling mega cap and a solid long-term investment, despite execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanBTC916 Agree that $TSLA has the highest ceiling of the mega caps going forward. It's a solid long term investment. That said, it also has the lowest floor, so while I agree with the bullish sentiment, I think regular people should be aware of the investment (execution) risk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA road to $3T+ market cap.\n\nHow EACH Robotaxi can add $1,575,000 to $TSLA market cap.\n\nAssumptions\n#Tesla Robotaxi driving 70,000 miles per year generating $0.65 profit per mile makes roughly $45,000 in annual profit.\n\nApply 35x PE multiple so $45,000 x 35 = $1,575,000\n\n1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanBTC916", "ret_m1d": -0.03862393161623212, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03862393161623212, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03292742336738319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02406458617196794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014559345444264182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00638055766924972, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00638055766924972, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0035701912281098647, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020003939433987927, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004380163725850927, "ret_p1w": -0.024000925228675696, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024000925228675696, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.035167079368199516, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016283153051640298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007717772177035398, "ret_p1m": 0.027293414391089454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027293414391089454, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008093774545002042, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021578245630450077, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0057151687606393775, "ret_p3m": 0.1021798379283747, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1021798379283747, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05594378680995993, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07733368720886902, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02484615071950569, "ret_p6m": -0.13521795780716095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13521795780716095, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13112571701920106, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.057664895686895035, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07755306212026591, "price_path": [-0.3172, -0.2833, -0.2839, -0.2839, -0.3326, -0.3238, -0.3282, -0.2964, -0.2881, -0.2804, -0.2943, -0.2696, -0.2747, -0.2515, -0.2541, -0.2459, -0.2449, -0.3068, -0.2823, -0.2607, -0.2707, -0.2756, -0.3, -0.3128, -0.2978, -0.299, -0.2736, -0.2682, -0.2515, -0.2302, -0.2261, -0.2294, -0.238, -0.2494, -0.239, -0.2522, -0.2645, -0.2731, -0.228, -0.213, -0.2015, -0.2062, -0.2144, -0.2419, -0.2419, -0.2521, -0.2414, -0.2313, -0.2034, -0.2134, -0.2121, -0.2103, -0.1626, -0.101, -0.0689, -0.0426, -0.033, -0.0535, -0.0325, -0.0141, -0.033, 0.0054, -0.0386, 0.0, 0.0064, 0.0098, 0.0433, -0.01, -0.024, 0.0292, -0.0166, -0.0039, -0.011, -0.0611, -0.0102, -0.0253, -0.0119, -0.0265, -0.0025, 0.016, 0.005, -0.0032, 0.0195, -0.0152, 0.0273, 0.0458, 0.0479, -0.0007, 0.0367, 0.0635, 0.0088, 0.0492, 0.0125, -0.0247, 0.011, -0.0018, -0.0223, -0.0872, -0.0819, -0.0715, -0.0889, -0.0827, -0.1026, -0.112, -0.0514, -0.0477, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0232, -0.0233, -0.0253, 0.0144, 0.0321, 0.0332, -0.0019, 0.0108, 0.0251, 0.0147, 0.0421, 0.0793, 0.1124, 0.061, 0.0976, 0.0926, 0.1097, 0.1025, 0.1022, 0.1022, 0.079, 0.0437, 0.0319, 0.0212, 0.0212, -0.0053, 0.0256, -0.0169, -0.0204, -0.0104, 0.0105, 0.0194, 0.0154, -0.0027, -0.0042, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.048, -0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0197, -0.0118, -0.0216, -0.0203, -0.0541, -0.0227, -0.0422, -0.0419, -0.0781, -0.0981, -0.0665, -0.0524, -0.0345, -0.0275, -0.053, -0.0521, -0.0521, -0.0676, -0.066, -0.0651, -0.0649, -0.0921, -0.0704, -0.0522, -0.0723, -0.086, -0.0842, -0.1089, -0.0782, -0.0791, -0.0992, -0.0947, -0.0935, -0.074, -0.1031, -0.1117, -0.1018, -0.0934, -0.1081, -0.1365, -0.1645, -0.1352]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1902035198369501619", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-18T16:31:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "went short at $360", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author disclosed going short TSLA at $360, implying bearish position still held.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 $350 isn't a flex Gary. I closed at $450+ and went short at $360. Most 'bulls' on here haven't a clue what they're doing so you're comparing yourself to a low benchmark.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA bulls no longer criticizing us for taking some $TSLA profits off the table at $350 after the election.  While we are sometimes overly disciplined, $TSLA \u2018s mid-November forward P/E of 120x made no sense unless one assumed TSLA long-term earnings growth of 60%+ per year (2x https://t.co/br4ORRR3ze", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": 0.056366770608745176, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.056366770608745176, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045440448122634924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03822731453420314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010926322486110251, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018139456074542037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046824389357219776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.046824389357219776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03593371681820856, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027651159623877763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010890672539011215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019173229733342012, "ret_p1w": 0.27886031587881166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.27886031587881166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2500360643786994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2117450456925698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.028824251500112252, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06711527018624186, "ret_p1m": 0.07207849482551576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07207849482551576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13228816507785335, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11731292657358072, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06020967025233759, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04523443174806496, "ret_p3m": 0.44383294609017154, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44383294609017154, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3764988049856943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3465573234310262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06733414110447722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09727562265914536, "ret_p6m": 0.5436066411321858, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5436066411321858, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3741192873714696, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33426568200127305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16948735376071622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20934095913091277, "price_path": [0.9359, 0.8688, 0.9111, 1.0518, 1.0518, 1.0156, 0.9158, 0.8526, 0.7924, 0.7924, 0.6834, 0.8217, 0.8244, 0.7503, 0.7529, 0.7529, 0.752, 0.79, 0.7592, 0.9006, 0.8367, 0.8929, 0.8929, 0.8822, 0.8424, 0.8303, 0.8045, 0.7627, 0.7669, 0.727, 0.7766, 0.7957, 0.7029, 0.7408, 0.6784, 0.6614, 0.605, 0.5567, 0.458, 0.4935, 0.5798, 0.5793, 0.5793, 0.5717, 0.6003, 0.5729, 0.4993, 0.467, 0.3439, 0.2907, 0.2514, 0.3003, 0.2634, 0.2074, 0.2387, 0.1693, 0.1658, -0.014, 0.0234, 0.1011, 0.0682, 0.1095, 0.0564, 0.0, 0.0468, 0.0486, 0.1039, 0.2356, 0.2789, 0.2075, 0.2122, 0.1697, 0.1502, 0.1915, 0.255, 0.1863, 0.0627, 0.0354, -0.0153, 0.2081, 0.1202, 0.1198, 0.12, 0.1278, 0.0721, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0097, 0.0562, 0.1129, 0.1518, 0.2647, 0.2688, 0.2961, 0.2523, 0.245, 0.2747, 0.2439, 0.2221, 0.226, 0.2641, 0.3238, 0.4131, 0.4827, 0.5431, 0.5215, 0.5533, 0.5183, 0.526, 0.4852, 0.5136, 0.5061, 0.5061, 0.6106, 0.584, 0.5908, 0.5377, 0.521, 0.528, 0.4737, 0.2636, 0.3099, 0.3696, 0.4473, 0.4488, 0.4163, 0.4438, 0.4608, 0.4041, 0.4294, 0.4294, 0.4299, 0.5476, 0.5111, 0.4538, 0.4459, 0.4364, 0.4099, 0.3347, 0.401, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3046, 0.3218, 0.3132, 0.3753, 0.3915, 0.4065, 0.3793, 0.4277, 0.4176, 0.4631, 0.4579, 0.474, 0.476, 0.355, 0.4028, 0.4451, 0.4256, 0.416, 0.3682, 0.3432, 0.3726, 0.3702, 0.4199, 0.4303, 0.4631, 0.5047, 0.5128, 0.5063, 0.4894, 0.4671, 0.4876, 0.4616, 0.4376, 0.4208, 0.5091, 0.5383, 0.5608, 0.5516, 0.5356, 0.4818, 0.4818, 0.4618, 0.4828, 0.5025, 0.5571, 0.5374, 0.54, 0.5436]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011151912624931055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T19:02:36+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~380/415 next tier 1 targets by June", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GOOGL with next targets at $380\u2013$415 by June despite short-term pullback expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL hitting my short-term resistance at ~338-340 as projected. Closed half my Jan 16 250c's for more than 6x net and assigning the remaining half.\n\nI expect short term pull backs, but ~380/415 next tier 1 targets by June.\n\nhttps://t.co/Jyr0zsaa3f https://t.co/OwokWmyaWb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012233349067807375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012233349067807375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01423683008409482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017879726456368483, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00038695353039874814, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00038695353039874814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004528283811219835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017518247913569374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.041581097397303424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041581097397303424, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01824479117372968, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012322840438776628, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": -0.07444124210174397, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07444124210174397, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07183233242908826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07315800129995087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.05508438486614475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05508438486614475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03713262684705998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033043391614977824, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.252, -0.2466, -0.2369, -0.255, -0.2513, -0.2472, -0.2269, -0.1991, -0.2044, -0.1833, -0.1627, -0.1636, -0.1561, -0.1745, -0.1543, -0.153, -0.1706, -0.1371, -0.1335, -0.1472, -0.1714, -0.1778, -0.1522, -0.1544, -0.129, -0.139, -0.1087, -0.0524, -0.0379, -0.0483, -0.0483, -0.0476, -0.0634, -0.0606, -0.0493, -0.0552, -0.0444, -0.0662, -0.0562, -0.0469, -0.0701, -0.0794, -0.0826, -0.0875, -0.1168, -0.0997, -0.0858, -0.078, -0.0644, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0669, -0.0667, -0.0658, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.062, -0.0578, -0.0644, -0.0416, -0.0313, -0.022, -0.0122, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0095, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0416, -0.0226, -0.0162, -0.0239, -0.0081, -0.0042, 0.0001, 0.0068, 0.006, 0.023, 0.0111, -0.0087, -0.014, -0.039, -0.0347, -0.0518, -0.0744, -0.0803, -0.09, -0.09, -0.1011, -0.0972, -0.0986, -0.0625, -0.0729, -0.0746, -0.0687, -0.0851, -0.0721, -0.0877, -0.0964, -0.0977, -0.1044, -0.1115, -0.0875, -0.0855, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0996, -0.0899, -0.0739, -0.0835, -0.0852, -0.1035, -0.1003, -0.1349, -0.1335, -0.1633, -0.1829, -0.1854, -0.1435, -0.1142, -0.119, -0.119, -0.1065, -0.0902, -0.0548, -0.0514, -0.0551, -0.043, -0.0084, 0.0041, 0.0009, 0.0177, 0.005, -0.0103, 0.0107, 0.0094, 0.0258, 0.0435, 0.0418, 0.0423, 0.1461, 0.1488, 0.1415, 0.157, 0.1856, 0.1854, 0.1938, 0.1576, 0.1537, 0.1992, 0.1946, 0.1818, 0.1823, 0.1547, 0.1584, 0.1547, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1583, 0.1582, 0.162, 0.1329, 0.121, 0.0845, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1815949805488923115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T03:19:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This earnings call basically said buy $NVDA", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Interprets Tesla's Dojo/Nvidia commentary as a bullish signal for NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@heydave7 This earnings call basically said buy $NVDA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Elon Musk shares an update on Dojo:\n\n- Nvidia execution is impressive. Often hard to get Nvidia state-of-art GPUs.\n- Tesla will double down with Dojo to ensure training capability.\n- Elon sees a path to be competitive with Nvidia with Dojo.\n- \u201cWe really got to make Dojo work. https://t.co/n3iCrymsnO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "heydave7", "ret_m1d": 0.07299769638209064, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07299769638209064, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04980960331007789, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01539959297720861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05759810340488203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017242927465432323, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017242927465432323, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012032650473290163, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001098885190295329, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018341812655727652, "ret_p1w": 0.024245044014602035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024245044014602035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006544610415926577, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006947862373278824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024939830251929918, "ret_p1m": 0.08306339759589942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08306339759589942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05536717712507233, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07708785976846677, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005975537827432653, "ret_p3m": 0.2579631153893436, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2579631153893436, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17631536903276657, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2087474673312515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04921564805809209, "ret_p6m": 0.16928331293393262, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16928331293393262, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06910022207326505, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11770980822992638, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051573504704006234, "price_path": [-0.2321, -0.2319, -0.2438, -0.2732, -0.2489, -0.2229, -0.1936, -0.2075, -0.2087, -0.2233, -0.2134, -0.2088, -0.2005, -0.1718, -0.1742, -0.1906, -0.1705, -0.1652, -0.169, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0031, 0.005, -0.0329, -0.0405, 0.0065, 0.0191, 0.0716, 0.059, 0.058, 0.0659, 0.0583, 0.0958, 0.1344, 0.1543, 0.1464, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.1447, 0.1078, 0.0338, 0.1036, 0.1063, 0.0853, 0.0813, 0.088, 0.0737, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1014, 0.1221, 0.1499, 0.1808, 0.1151, 0.1312, 0.1242, 0.106, 0.0327, 0.0599, 0.0322, 0.0813, 0.073, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0104, -0.0233, -0.0921, 0.0242, -0.0441, -0.0611, -0.1208, -0.0875, -0.1343, -0.0812, -0.0832, -0.0458, 0.0165, 0.0335, 0.0754, 0.0904, 0.1379, 0.1138, 0.1247, 0.0831, 0.1323, 0.1069, 0.123, 0.0994, 0.0292, 0.0448, 0.0448, -0.0547, -0.0704, -0.0616, -0.1, -0.0681, -0.0538, 0.0233, 0.0429, 0.0425, 0.0222, 0.0118, -0.0076, 0.0318, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.058, 0.0811, 0.0858, 0.0627, 0.063, 0.0242, 0.0404, 0.0754, 0.0935, 0.118, 0.1633, 0.1611, 0.1801, 0.18, 0.2086, 0.152, 0.188, 0.1986, 0.208, 0.258, 0.2569, 0.2216, 0.2291, 0.239, 0.23, 0.2364, 0.2197, 0.1621, 0.1852, 0.1909, 0.2247, 0.2746, 0.3032, 0.2923, 0.2715, 0.2981, 0.2804, 0.2847, 0.2428, 0.2268, 0.2868, 0.277, 0.2839, 0.2426, 0.1906, 0.1985, 0.1847, 0.1847, 0.2102, 0.2135, 0.2278, 0.2705, 0.2699, 0.2469, 0.2152, 0.1824, 0.2195, 0.2023, 0.1752, 0.1555, 0.1414, 0.1285, 0.144, 0.1792, 0.2227, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.225, 0.1994, 0.2036, 0.1756, 0.1756, 0.2108, 0.2647, 0.3081, 0.2268, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.1898, 0.1663, 0.1534, 0.1927, 0.1693]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986865447292313878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T18:36:51+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QBTS $OKLO zero-revenue $10-15b companies with head/shoulder setups not by coincidence", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish both QBTS and OKLO: zero-revenue companies at $10-15B valuations with head-and-shoulders technical setups signaling downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$QBTS $OKLO zero-revenue $10-15b companies with head/shoulder setups not by coincidence.\n\nLive by the sword, die by the sword? https://t.co/Qp5ByngysW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03762713933395123, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03762713933395123, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036643600054451664, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0410974610635092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003470321729557968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0044067512124271735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0044067512124271735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020011094520421602, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0299829310294234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025576179816996225, "ret_p1w": -0.19966099625926903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19966099625926903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2010917984480305, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19962637587601928, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -3.4620383249750475e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.03593218528618247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03593218528618247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.054800477474652, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060571384608047785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024639199321865313, "ret_p3m": -0.3183050640558792, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3183050640558792, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3440106512560911, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.27839317824112464, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03991188581475458, "ret_p6m": -0.29084745504088316, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29084745504088316, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36704819219675755, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41867642355098955, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1278289685101064, "price_path": [-0.3725, -0.3678, -0.3837, -0.4234, -0.4386, -0.4807, -0.4895, -0.498, -0.4732, -0.4908, -0.4763, -0.4837, -0.4603, -0.4705, -0.4705, -0.4627, -0.4814, -0.4817, -0.479, -0.4773, -0.4525, -0.4563, -0.44, -0.398, -0.379, -0.3566, -0.2359, -0.1858, -0.0888, -0.1298, -0.0671, -0.0603, -0.1071, -0.0929, -0.142, -0.1624, -0.1312, -0.0098, 0.1085, 0.1871, 0.2108, 0.161, 0.1888, 0.1193, 0.3769, 0.4597, 0.518, 0.3715, 0.2993, 0.1661, 0.0912, -0.0749, 0.0529, 0.1068, 0.1878, 0.0847, 0.1614, 0.2241, 0.2563, 0.1217, 0.0081, 0.0515, -0.0376, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0173, -0.1051, -0.2071, -0.1997, -0.2261, -0.2227, -0.2054, -0.3047, -0.3081, -0.2166, -0.2342, -0.2403, -0.2403, -0.2315, -0.2739, -0.2373, -0.1498, -0.0261, -0.0847, -0.0359, -0.0397, -0.0915, -0.0515, -0.1153, -0.1953, -0.1349, -0.1932, -0.1563, -0.0908, 0.0912, -0.0129, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.1427, -0.1136, -0.1102, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.0464, 0.0386, 0.06, 0.0237, -0.0075, -0.0471, -0.0237, -0.0231, 0.022, -0.0264, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0834, -0.1173, -0.0702, -0.1312, -0.1949, -0.1631, -0.1536, -0.2129, -0.2807, -0.2892, -0.2746, -0.3183, -0.4166, -0.2976, -0.281, -0.3071, -0.3342, -0.362, -0.3332, -0.3332, -0.3749, -0.3536, -0.3431, -0.3878, -0.3881, -0.3675, -0.3339, -0.3173, -0.3634, -0.358, -0.3817, -0.359, -0.3617, -0.3698, -0.3546, -0.3641, -0.359, -0.3956, -0.4051, -0.4081, -0.4078, -0.441, -0.4542, -0.4668, -0.4471, -0.46, -0.4512, -0.5034, -0.5288, -0.56, -0.5108, -0.5356, -0.5146, -0.5146, -0.5207, -0.5342, -0.5061, -0.5298, -0.5169, -0.5034, -0.4247, -0.2946, -0.2705, -0.2647, -0.2658, -0.3098, -0.28, -0.3454, -0.3732, -0.3627, -0.3861, -0.3807, -0.3125, -0.3054, -0.2908]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986865447292313878", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T18:36:51+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QBTS $OKLO zero-revenue $10-15b companies with head/shoulder setups not by coincidence", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish both QBTS and OKLO: zero-revenue companies at $10-15B valuations with head-and-shoulders technical setups signaling downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$QBTS $OKLO zero-revenue $10-15b companies with head/shoulder setups not by coincidence.\n\nLive by the sword, die by the sword? https://t.co/Qp5ByngysW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052374624464816444, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.052374624464816444, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.051391085185316876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051391085185316876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010031112893974625, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010031112893974625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025635456201969054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025635456201969054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": -0.13386597094355457, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13386597094355457, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13529677313231603, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13529677313231603, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": -0.07137151182088819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07137151182088819, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09023980400935772, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09023980400935772, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": -0.394318664600646, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.394318664600646, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4200242518008579, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4200242518008579, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": -0.3910341984472878, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3910341984472878, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4672349356031622, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4672349356031622, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [-0.3034, -0.3127, -0.3461, -0.3692, -0.3876, -0.4194, -0.4091, -0.4036, -0.3752, -0.368, -0.3403, -0.3502, -0.3086, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.3467, -0.3588, -0.3821, -0.3805, -0.3722, -0.3434, -0.3453, -0.2901, -0.2658, -0.1506, -0.1493, -0.1541, -0.0682, 0.2004, 0.2455, 0.2663, 0.1644, 0.0575, -0.0188, 0.0343, -0.0091, 0.0291, 0.1434, 0.1306, 0.23, 0.1906, 0.1964, 0.2262, 0.3063, 0.5181, 0.5458, 0.5229, 0.4393, 0.4504, 0.4119, 0.2378, 0.0663, 0.107, 0.2077, 0.22, 0.1743, 0.2731, 0.2196, 0.1786, 0.1245, -0.0037, 0.0762, -0.0524, 0.0, -0.01, -0.0748, -0.0131, -0.0977, -0.1339, -0.1535, -0.1422, -0.0869, -0.2188, -0.2173, -0.2051, -0.2386, -0.2124, -0.2124, -0.1888, -0.2245, -0.1847, -0.1426, -0.0089, -0.0708, -0.0714, -0.0774, -0.107, -0.0857, -0.224, -0.2692, -0.2587, -0.3259, -0.3101, -0.2612, -0.2593, -0.2731, -0.2782, -0.2782, -0.3172, -0.3423, -0.3642, -0.363, -0.363, -0.3094, -0.2069, -0.1514, -0.1336, -0.1336, -0.0652, -0.0901, -0.1381, -0.1481, -0.1882, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.2017, -0.1941, -0.1928, -0.2221, -0.2693, -0.2431, -0.1621, -0.2362, -0.2932, -0.3465, -0.3076, -0.3943, -0.4484, -0.3688, -0.3338, -0.3833, -0.4121, -0.4326, -0.4169, -0.4169, -0.3996, -0.4018, -0.3996, -0.4334, -0.4399, -0.4225, -0.4113, -0.3869, -0.4412, -0.4258, -0.4381, -0.4172, -0.4494, -0.4829, -0.4516, -0.4551, -0.4429, -0.471, -0.4818, -0.4701, -0.4627, -0.4967, -0.5145, -0.5209, -0.5006, -0.5121, -0.5094, -0.5401, -0.5541, -0.5954, -0.5598, -0.5733, -0.5727, -0.5727, -0.5672, -0.5864, -0.5543, -0.5761, -0.5539, -0.5212, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.43, -0.4069, -0.3952, -0.4442, -0.3572, -0.3213, -0.3697, -0.326, -0.3867, -0.4232, -0.3564, -0.3751, -0.391]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986556461326213513", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T22:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ONON likely better r/r setup. One is growing and it isn't $LULU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONON preferred over LULU: better risk/reward and growing; LULU implicitly bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blakestonks $ONON likely better r/r setup. One is growing and it isn't $LULU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Lululemon.\n\nSitting at a multi-year pivot at $150.00 - $165.00 *&amp; starting to find demand.\n\nGreat r/r here to grab some commons in the long-term with risk being a close below which is about 10%.\n\nAlso, highest volume ever without going lower makes me believe its capitulation https://t.co/0VjZldhVSh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blakestonks", "ret_m1d": 0.016051915980402454, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016051915980402454, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005206215634803835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007600881666177228, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014362104918037688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014362104918037688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015346612499414491, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01593324195129442, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": 0.19402995015540792, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19402995015540792, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19144904031692533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20885013560045063, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": 0.3556745047902867, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3556745047902867, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3327299196277711, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3388160892765526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": 0.24274861036405282, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24274861036405282, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21103567156634062, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21315273691634018, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.0273161771854451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0273161771854451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10853736584717044, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03885695317139848, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [0.2875, 0.4027, 0.3571, 0.245, 0.2768, 0.2734, 0.2681, 0.274, 0.2554, 0.3112, 0.2839, 0.2723, 0.2723, 0.2557, 0.2695, 0.2695, 0.2613, 0.2616, 0.2968, 0.2819, 0.2729, 0.2501, 0.2067, 0.2194, 0.2078, 0.2016, 0.2115, 0.2346, 0.267, 0.2737, 0.2839, 0.2915, 0.2887, 0.2368, 0.196, 0.2275, 0.1926, 0.1535, 0.1929, 0.1856, 0.1988, 0.1746, 0.2284, 0.2194, 0.1788, 0.2101, 0.1878, 0.167, 0.1822, 0.1777, 0.1678, 0.2084, 0.1904, 0.2174, 0.1743, 0.1887, 0.1594, 0.1064, 0.0484, 0.0462, 0.0268, 0.0194, 0.0161, 0.0, -0.0144, -0.0155, -0.0093, 0.169, 0.194, 0.194, 0.1659, 0.2014, 0.2194, 0.1664, 0.1625, 0.1487, 0.176, 0.2163, 0.2163, 0.2388, 0.2582, 0.2715, 0.3255, 0.3098, 0.3557, 0.3241, 0.3323, 0.372, 0.394, 0.3731, 0.3458, 0.3599, 0.3545, 0.3647, 0.3678, 0.3557, 0.3486, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.3174, 0.3365, 0.3362, 0.3089, 0.3089, 0.3222, 0.3799, 0.381, 0.3703, 0.4258, 0.3833, 0.3774, 0.3309, 0.2692, 0.2954, 0.2687, 0.2687, 0.2425, 0.3039, 0.3129, 0.2943, 0.3086, 0.2819, 0.2633, 0.2678, 0.2743, 0.2937, 0.2427, 0.2354, 0.2087, 0.2242, 0.2487, 0.2757, 0.2754, 0.2467, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.314, 0.3329, 0.3523, 0.3917, 0.336, 0.3177, 0.3137, 0.3405, 0.3089, 0.3168, 0.2366, 0.2174, 0.2213, 0.1676, 0.1597, 0.1552, 0.1107, 0.069, 0.0698, 0.1053, 0.1205, 0.0997, 0.0946, 0.0605, 0.1225, 0.1149, -0.0099, -0.0957, -0.0879, -0.1022, -0.042, -0.0208, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0518, -0.0929, -0.0479, -0.0301, -0.0552, -0.0372, 0.002, -0.0023, -0.0025, 0.0406, 0.049, 0.0344, 0.0307, 0.02, 0.0208, 0.0118, -0.0023, -0.0051, 0.0028, -0.0273]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821749427578753451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-09T03:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the outlook is bullish for tmr and next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish NVDA outlook for tomorrow and next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Banana3Stocks This is not an inverse HS but the outlook is bullish for tmr and next week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA\n\nInverse Head and Shoulders after a protracted downtrend going into the few weeks leading up to earnings with divergences in relative strength and momentum \ud83e\udd14 https://t.co/iB2dVXee6o", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Banana3Stocks", "ret_m1d": 0.002100242837389965, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002100242837389965, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006490402155028718, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018333753853867485, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004390159317638753, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002668674520032166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040763744541624014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040763744541624014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0402382864231734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031379692124835934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005254581184506169, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00938405241678808, "ret_p1w": 0.18930779502556816, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18930779502556816, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1493070326786763, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0920873600487151, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04000076234689187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09722043497685307, "ret_p1m": 0.01642010686302542, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01642010686302542, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008758620805735307, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03861270297667496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025178727668760725, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022192596113649543, "ret_p3m": 0.3901908268312544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3901908268312544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27787549864267125, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2569464994568895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11231532818858314, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13324432737436487, "ret_p6m": 0.11387131622237567, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11387131622237567, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.014895855436747318, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04721209330921683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.128767171659123, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06665922291315884, "price_path": [-0.1279, -0.0967, -0.0993, -0.1172, -0.0953, -0.0895, -0.0936, -0.0092, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0873, 0.0961, 0.0548, 0.0465, 0.0978, 0.1115, 0.1688, 0.155, 0.154, 0.1626, 0.1543, 0.1952, 0.2373, 0.259, 0.2504, 0.2943, 0.2943, 0.2485, 0.2083, 0.1275, 0.2037, 0.2067, 0.1837, 0.1794, 0.1866, 0.1711, 0.2246, 0.2246, 0.2012, 0.2239, 0.2542, 0.2879, 0.2162, 0.2338, 0.2262, 0.2063, 0.1264, 0.156, 0.1258, 0.1794, 0.1703, 0.0907, 0.0719, 0.0793, 0.0653, -0.0097, 0.1171, 0.0426, 0.0241, -0.0411, -0.0048, -0.0558, 0.0021, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.1087, 0.1273, 0.1729, 0.1893, 0.2411, 0.2148, 0.2267, 0.1813, 0.235, 0.2073, 0.2248, 0.1991, 0.1226, 0.1396, 0.1396, 0.031, 0.0139, 0.0235, -0.0183, 0.0164, 0.032, 0.1161, 0.1375, 0.1371, 0.1149, 0.1036, 0.0824, 0.1253, 0.1075, 0.11, 0.154, 0.1792, 0.1843, 0.159, 0.1594, 0.117, 0.1347, 0.1729, 0.1927, 0.2194, 0.2687, 0.2665, 0.2871, 0.287, 0.3182, 0.2564, 0.2958, 0.3073, 0.3175, 0.3721, 0.3709, 0.3324, 0.3405, 0.3513, 0.3416, 0.3486, 0.3303, 0.2675, 0.2927, 0.2989, 0.3358, 0.3902, 0.4214, 0.4095, 0.3868, 0.4158, 0.3965, 0.4012, 0.3555, 0.3381, 0.4036, 0.3929, 0.4003, 0.3552, 0.2986, 0.3072, 0.2921, 0.2921, 0.3199, 0.3235, 0.3391, 0.3857, 0.385, 0.36, 0.3254, 0.2897, 0.3301, 0.3113, 0.2818, 0.2603, 0.245, 0.2308, 0.2477, 0.2861, 0.3336, 0.3388, 0.3388, 0.3361, 0.3082, 0.3128, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.3206, 0.3794, 0.4268, 0.3381, 0.3378, 0.3378, 0.2977, 0.2721, 0.258, 0.3008, 0.2753, 0.3149, 0.3149, 0.3446, 0.4042, 0.4057, 0.3617, 0.1307, 0.2316, 0.1811, 0.1902, 0.1464, 0.1139]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1809729839240446342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-06T23:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It likely creeps up to $150-160 by EOY but a mini correction ($100-110) is healthy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NVDA grinds to $150-160 by EOY despite a possible mini correction to $100-110; net bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech @LastCallCNBC Agreed $NVDA is far from slowing down. However, technicals will dominate. The 135-140 call was seen miles away (I posted about it weeks prior) due to multi decade pattern precedence. It likely creeps up to $150-160 by EOY but a mini correction ($100-110) is healthy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We cannot disagree more with this negative Nvidia call as discussed on @LastCallCNBC last night as the AI Revolution is just starting in our view being led by Nvidia and the Godfather of AI Jensen in this 9 pm party \ud83d\udd25\ud83d\udd7a\ud83d\udcfa\ud83d\udc02\ud83d\udc47", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": -0.01848662693736891, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01848662693736891, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01733390451586847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0021122838313850645, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011527224215004406, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016374343105983846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024805228596282314, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024805228596282314, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023832748819989646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02261716109395695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009724797762926674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021880675023253637, "ret_p1w": 0.0018720680093811115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0018720680093811115, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009383557699145895, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0032579300634598685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011255625708527006, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001385862054078757, "ret_p1m": -0.18681734744122325, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18681734744122325, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1271536088384, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020140781224501914, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05966373860282326, "bench_c_p1m": -0.20695812866572516, "ret_p3m": -0.04164955377476953, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04164955377476953, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06736925895346835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06651569561368054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025719705178698815, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10816524938845007, "ret_p6m": 0.04766586902430614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04766586902430614, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.014602241124825, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1605963017543781, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06226811014913114, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11293043273007197, "price_path": [-0.3211, -0.2932, -0.3122, -0.3292, -0.3182, -0.3446, -0.3396, -0.4057, -0.3798, -0.3571, -0.3785, -0.3555, -0.3157, -0.3155, -0.3261, -0.3523, -0.3307, -0.3075, -0.2813, -0.2937, -0.2948, -0.3078, -0.299, -0.2949, -0.2875, -0.2619, -0.264, -0.2787, -0.2607, -0.256, -0.2594, -0.1904, -0.1696, -0.1696, -0.1116, -0.1044, -0.1381, -0.1449, -0.103, -0.0918, -0.045, -0.0563, -0.0571, -0.0501, -0.0569, -0.0234, 0.011, 0.0287, 0.0217, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.0201, -0.0127, -0.0787, -0.0165, -0.014, -0.0328, -0.0363, -0.0304, -0.0431, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.0185, 0.0, 0.0248, 0.0523, -0.0062, 0.0081, 0.0019, -0.0144, -0.0796, -0.0555, -0.0801, -0.0363, -0.0438, -0.1088, -0.1242, -0.1181, -0.1296, -0.1909, -0.0872, -0.1481, -0.1633, -0.2165, -0.1868, -0.2285, -0.1812, -0.1829, -0.1496, -0.0941, -0.0789, -0.0417, -0.0282, 0.014, -0.0074, 0.0023, -0.0348, 0.0091, -0.0136, 0.0008, -0.0202, -0.0828, -0.0689, -0.0689, -0.1576, -0.1715, -0.1637, -0.1979, -0.1695, -0.1568, -0.0881, -0.0706, -0.0709, -0.089, -0.0983, -0.1156, -0.0805, -0.0951, -0.0931, -0.0571, -0.0365, -0.0324, -0.053, -0.0526, -0.0873, -0.0729, -0.0416, -0.0255, -0.0037, 0.0367, 0.0348, 0.0517, 0.0516, 0.0771, 0.0266, 0.0587, 0.0682, 0.0765, 0.1211, 0.1201, 0.0887, 0.0953, 0.1042, 0.0962, 0.1019, 0.087, 0.0357, 0.0563, 0.0613, 0.0914, 0.1359, 0.1614, 0.1517, 0.1332, 0.1568, 0.141, 0.1449, 0.1076, 0.0933, 0.1468, 0.1381, 0.1442, 0.1073, 0.0611, 0.0681, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0785, 0.0814, 0.0942, 0.1322, 0.1317, 0.1112, 0.0829, 0.0538, 0.0868, 0.0715, 0.0474, 0.0298, 0.0172, 0.0057, 0.0195, 0.0509, 0.0896, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.0917, 0.0689, 0.0726, 0.0477]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989831919308337363", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T23:04:33+00:00", "symbol": "SNOW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SNOW looks undervalued as they've been 1:1 with DABR for many years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SNOW looks undervalued relative to Databricks given their historical 1:1 valuation relationship.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNOW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MartinShkreli Databricks above Stripe. Interesting. SNOW looks undervalued as they\u2019ve been 1:1 with DABR for many years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "privates. institutional trading coming soon!? https://t.co/zgjKZNxaX8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MartinShkreli", "ret_m1d": 0.016733240396707982, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016733240396707982, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007329194802721428, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007329194802721428, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0068040716261907885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0068040716261907885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015201624396291469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015201624396291469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": -0.04272316183316738, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04272316183316738, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04732001696496213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04732001696496213, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": -0.1273388505777654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1273388505777654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1471685573402538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1471685573402538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": -0.3159934797482562, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3159934797482562, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34245276063564445, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34245276063564445, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": -0.3987895100123168, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3987895100123168, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5140316012747973, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5140316012747973, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [-0.2294, -0.2299, -0.2214, -0.2299, -0.2312, -0.2073, -0.0466, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0759, -0.0928, -0.1222, -0.1076, -0.1039, -0.1077, -0.1066, -0.1118, -0.1252, -0.1068, -0.1457, -0.1378, -0.1214, -0.0883, -0.092, -0.1157, -0.1195, -0.1234, -0.1114, -0.1089, -0.1078, -0.088, -0.0485, -0.07, -0.0406, -0.0711, -0.0102, -0.0084, -0.042, -0.0218, -0.0473, -0.0472, -0.0504, -0.0477, -0.0282, -0.0208, -0.044, 0.0008, 0.0204, 0.0521, 0.0564, 0.0669, 0.0727, 0.0874, 0.0963, 0.05, 0.0475, 0.0472, 0.0398, 0.0622, 0.0731, 0.0674, 0.0163, 0.0167, 0.0, 0.0068, 0.0008, -0.0322, -0.0742, -0.0427, -0.0098, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0061, -0.0031, 0.0273, 0.0483, -0.0713, -0.0949, -0.1087, -0.1194, -0.1434, -0.1277, -0.1379, -0.1484, -0.1273, -0.1444, -0.1245, -0.12, -0.1027, -0.1095, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1144, -0.1182, -0.1216, -0.1322, -0.1322, -0.1427, -0.1125, -0.0722, -0.0763, -0.1147, -0.1333, -0.1286, -0.1717, -0.1845, -0.1782, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1843, -0.1831, -0.1648, -0.1705, -0.1642, -0.1584, -0.1455, -0.2113, -0.2377, -0.2457, -0.3147, -0.3461, -0.3801, -0.3337, -0.304, -0.2777, -0.2926, -0.316, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2994, -0.3035, -0.2911, -0.3176, -0.3766, -0.3629, -0.3306, -0.3154, -0.3338, -0.3262, -0.3442, -0.3344, -0.298, -0.286, -0.2767, -0.3065, -0.2902, -0.2988, -0.2932, -0.3101, -0.3093, -0.3146, -0.3061, -0.3353, -0.3109, -0.3618, -0.3647, -0.3578, -0.3955, -0.3921, -0.4034, -0.3943, -0.3993, -0.3993, -0.4091, -0.4096, -0.4067, -0.4769, -0.5209, -0.469, -0.4641, -0.4285, -0.4321, -0.4304, -0.4049, -0.4033, -0.3846, -0.4209, -0.4449, -0.4294, -0.4361, -0.4414, -0.4601, -0.4422, -0.4295, -0.4394, -0.4472, -0.3919, -0.3969, -0.4007, -0.3988]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921649800694350164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-11T19:33:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rectangle + bull flag breakout amplifies this move", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Endorses bullish TSLA setup; bull flag + rectangle breakout signals further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blondebroker1 Nice share - didn\u2019t catch this. Rectangle + bull flag breakout amplifies this move", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Thanks so much for your support on $TSLA \ud83e\ude77 \nWe are in phase E Wyckoff acccumulation.\nHolding $299 is key. Looks like it\u2019s bull flagging. $305,  $317 and $321 \nSome nice targets above once it holds $321-329.\nNotice how the prior dips in purple acted as support on this current https://t.co/pIgJBIcHbt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blondebroker1", "ret_m1d": -0.06319490799867644, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06319490799867644, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031204699333455266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015847055000672294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.031990208665221176, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04734785299800415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.049280740626853614, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049280740626853614, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04267679961036941, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03605541940372037, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006603941016484205, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013225321223133246, "ret_p1w": 0.07447073023258843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07447073023258843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05412721601765935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052397065357686845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034351421492908, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02207366487490159, "ret_p1m": 0.0242163180376731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0242163180376731, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010244067846641336, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005578496229135643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03446038588431444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018637821808537458, "ret_p3m": 0.012218054121492905, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012218054121492905, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0754834558771813, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.041412859736615015, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770150999867421, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05363091385810792, "ret_p6m": 0.3953766032799255, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3953766032799255, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2304957948636812, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27010097471868644, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648808084162443, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12527562856123908, "price_path": [0.0569, 0.118, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1122, 0.1325, 0.1131, 0.061, 0.0382, -0.0489, -0.0866, -0.1144, -0.0798, -0.1059, -0.1455, -0.1234, -0.1725, -0.175, -0.3022, -0.2758, -0.2208, -0.244, -0.2148, -0.2524, -0.2923, -0.2592, -0.2579, -0.2188, -0.1256, -0.095, -0.1455, -0.1421, -0.1722, -0.186, -0.1568, -0.1119, -0.1605, -0.248, -0.2673, -0.3032, -0.145, -0.2072, -0.2075, -0.2074, -0.2019, -0.2413, -0.2419, -0.2419, -0.2854, -0.2526, -0.2125, -0.1849, -0.105, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1138, -0.1189, -0.0979, -0.1197, -0.1352, -0.1324, -0.1054, -0.0632, 0.0, 0.0493, 0.092, 0.0768, 0.0993, 0.0745, 0.0799, 0.051, 0.0712, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.1398, 0.121, 0.1258, 0.0882, 0.0764, 0.0813, 0.0429, -0.1058, -0.073, -0.0308, 0.0242, 0.0253, 0.0023, 0.0218, 0.0338, -0.0064, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0119, 0.0952, 0.0694, 0.0288, 0.0232, 0.0165, -0.0023, -0.0555, -0.0086, -0.0095, -0.0095, -0.0768, -0.0646, -0.0707, -0.0267, -0.0153, -0.0046, -0.0239, 0.0103, 0.0032, 0.0354, 0.0318, 0.0431, 0.0445, -0.0411, -0.0073, 0.0226, 0.0089, 0.0021, -0.0318, -0.0495, -0.0286, -0.0303, 0.0048, 0.0122, 0.0354, 0.0649, 0.0705, 0.066, 0.054, 0.0383, 0.0527, 0.0343, 0.0173, 0.0054, 0.0679, 0.0886, 0.1046, 0.0981, 0.0867, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0345, 0.0493, 0.0633, 0.102, 0.088, 0.0898, 0.0924, 0.1584, 0.2436, 0.2879, 0.3243, 0.3376, 0.3093, 0.3382, 0.3638, 0.3376, 0.3908, 0.3298, 0.3833, 0.3921, 0.3968, 0.4431, 0.3694, 0.3501, 0.4236, 0.3603, 0.3779, 0.368, 0.2987, 0.3691, 0.3482, 0.3668, 0.3467, 0.3798, 0.4053, 0.3902, 0.3788, 0.4102, 0.3623, 0.421, 0.4465, 0.4496, 0.3823, 0.434, 0.4711, 0.3954]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1864386084995789272", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-04T19:07:35+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA (entries $133-137 via calls/LEAPs/stock), TSLA (50% portfolio), SNOW and SQ (LEAPs); PLTR pullback expected after hitting $69 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. $133 was BB + daily cloud + fib extension (rally continuation). I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.\n\nI added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well and $SQ last week.\n\n$TSLA around 50% of portfolio; $NVDA 30%; LEAPs 15%\n\nSide note: $PLTR hit my $69 price target like 6 months earlier than expected - I missed the entire move from ~30-70. I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.\n\nRemaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.033622615775730336, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.033622615775730336, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027451435508620614, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01695786912292918, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016664746652801155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00048232437860507016, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00048232437860507016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001163480465154909, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016657405102091127, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017139729480696198, "ret_p1w": -0.040102022228569956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040102022228569956, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03977290215699991, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012868436019369267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02723358620920069, "ret_p1m": -0.04699244561808402, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04699244561808402, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012347624862764195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0202534987971128, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02673894682097122, "ret_p3m": -0.2140839244418773, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2140839244418773, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17800248792836204, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1007498571824832, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1133340672593941, "ret_p6m": -0.0408405485666784, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0408405485666784, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.018059489074059076, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.011278724941768958, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029561823624909445, "price_path": [-0.2916, -0.2665, -0.2553, -0.1946, -0.1791, -0.1794, -0.1954, -0.2036, -0.2189, -0.1879, -0.2008, -0.199, -0.1672, -0.149, -0.1454, -0.1636, -0.1633, -0.1939, -0.1811, -0.1536, -0.1393, -0.12, -0.0844, -0.0861, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0487, -0.0933, -0.0649, -0.0566, -0.0492, -0.0099, -0.0107, -0.0384, -0.0326, -0.0248, -0.0318, -0.0268, -0.04, -0.0853, -0.0671, -0.0626, -0.036, 0.0032, 0.0258, 0.0172, 0.0008, 0.0217, 0.0078, 0.0112, -0.0218, -0.0344, 0.0129, 0.0052, 0.0105, -0.022, -0.0628, -0.0566, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0475, -0.0449, -0.0336, 0.0, -0.0005, -0.0185, -0.0435, -0.0693, -0.0401, -0.0537, -0.075, -0.0905, -0.1016, -0.1118, -0.0996, -0.0719, -0.0376, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0358, -0.0559, -0.0526, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.047, -0.0045, 0.0296, -0.0344, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0635, -0.082, -0.0921, -0.0613, -0.0797, -0.0511, -0.0511, -0.0296, 0.0134, 0.0144, -0.0173, -0.184, -0.1112, -0.1477, -0.1411, -0.1727, -0.1962, -0.1825, -0.1399, -0.1133, -0.1054, -0.0797, -0.085, -0.0964, -0.0678, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0395, -0.0407, -0.0346, -0.0737, -0.1023, -0.1275, -0.0954, -0.1721, -0.1393, -0.2141, -0.2008, -0.1918, -0.2381, -0.2235, -0.2629, -0.2506, -0.2024, -0.2035, -0.1616, -0.1763, -0.2046, -0.1902, -0.1832, -0.1889, -0.1634, -0.1683, -0.2161, -0.2321, -0.2443, -0.2532, -0.241, -0.2391, -0.2985, -0.3501, -0.3272, -0.3364, -0.2122, -0.2587, -0.2356, -0.2371, -0.2268, -0.28, -0.3006, -0.3006, -0.3322, -0.3185, -0.2922, -0.2666, -0.235, -0.2507, -0.2487, -0.2494, -0.2309, -0.211, -0.2157, -0.2176, -0.1933, -0.1912, -0.1962, -0.1524, -0.1047, -0.0674, -0.0709, -0.067, -0.0658, -0.074, -0.0918, -0.0847, -0.0953, -0.0953, -0.0663, -0.071, -0.0408]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1864386084995789272", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-12-04T19:07:35+00:00", "symbol": "SNOW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA (entries $133-137 via calls/LEAPs/stock), TSLA (50% portfolio), SNOW and SQ (LEAPs); PLTR pullback expected after hitting $69 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNOW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. $133 was BB + daily cloud + fib extension (rally continuation). I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.\n\nI added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well and $SQ last week.\n\n$TSLA around 50% of portfolio; $NVDA 30%; LEAPs 15%\n\nSide note: $PLTR hit my $69 price target like 6 months earlier than expected - I missed the entire move from ~30-70. I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.\n\nRemaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.05667252360056385, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05667252360056385, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05050134333345413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05050134333345413, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018497651867743437, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018497651867743437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016851847023983457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016851847023983457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "ret_p1w": -0.07801183969492564, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07801183969492564, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0776827196233556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0776827196233556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "ret_p1m": -0.15548764599281084, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15548764599281084, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12084282523749101, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12084282523749101, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "ret_p3m": -0.06895073180585087, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06895073180585087, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03286929529233562, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03286929529233562, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "ret_p6m": 0.0847139752136914, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0847139752136914, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10749503470631072, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10749503470631072, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "bench_c_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "price_path": [-0.4179, -0.4104, -0.4088, -0.3995, -0.3942, -0.3905, -0.395, -0.4015, -0.406, -0.3887, -0.4088, -0.3927, -0.3968, -0.3962, -0.3969, -0.3892, -0.3842, -0.409, -0.4121, -0.4077, -0.3849, -0.3897, -0.3913, -0.3584, -0.3363, -0.335, -0.3397, -0.3419, -0.3625, -0.3618, -0.3591, -0.359, -0.3807, -0.3909, -0.3838, -0.3778, -0.3709, -0.3652, -0.362, -0.3844, -0.3808, -0.3902, -0.3754, -0.349, -0.3376, -0.3518, -0.3378, -0.3273, -0.2991, -0.3069, -0.3246, -0.3168, -0.3017, -0.3077, -0.0813, -0.1022, -0.0809, -0.0817, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0628, -0.0755, -0.0567, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0154, -0.0308, -0.0802, -0.078, -0.0885, -0.101, -0.0753, -0.0842, -0.1283, -0.1196, -0.1084, -0.1344, -0.1257, -0.1257, -0.1235, -0.1494, -0.1691, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1555, -0.1302, -0.1256, -0.1484, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1289, -0.1291, -0.1239, -0.1115, -0.1012, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.0696, -0.0484, -0.062, -0.0664, -0.0589, 0.0081, -0.0195, -0.0387, -0.0268, -0.0213, 0.0139, 0.013, -0.0008, -0.0133, -0.0021, -0.0159, 0.0039, 0.033, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0336, 0.0003, -0.0083, -0.0462, -0.0836, -0.1196, -0.1089, -0.0687, -0.0505, -0.069, -0.0692, -0.0493, -0.1624, -0.148, -0.2087, -0.1963, -0.183, -0.1967, -0.163, -0.1615, -0.1724, -0.1638, -0.1572, -0.1508, -0.1251, -0.127, -0.1435, -0.1583, -0.1924, -0.2163, -0.1982, -0.1748, -0.2499, -0.3001, -0.2974, -0.2842, -0.1896, -0.2255, -0.2228, -0.225, -0.2143, -0.2168, -0.231, -0.231, -0.2655, -0.2481, -0.2097, -0.1493, -0.1507, -0.1477, -0.1403, -0.1449, -0.1134, -0.1011, -0.0999, -0.0968, -0.0855, -0.0672, -0.0663, -0.032, -0.0294, -0.0271, -0.019, -0.0184, -0.0239, -0.0195, -0.0396, 0.0894, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.1064, 0.0959, 0.0847]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1864386084995789272", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-12-04T19:07:35+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA around 50% of portfolio", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA (entries $133-137 via calls/LEAPs/stock), TSLA (50% portfolio), SNOW and SQ (LEAPs); PLTR pullback expected after hitting $69 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. $133 was BB + daily cloud + fib extension (rally continuation). I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.\n\nI added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well and $SQ last week.\n\n$TSLA around 50% of portfolio; $NVDA 30%; LEAPs 15%\n\nSide note: $PLTR hit my $69 price target like 6 months earlier than expected - I missed the entire move from ~30-70. I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.\n\nRemaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.018187856232388167, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018187856232388167, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012016675965278445, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00899052679065837, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009197329441729796, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03229681165351517, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03229681165351517, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033942616497275147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024116450587040816, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008180361066474351, "ret_p1w": 0.18674041769513106, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18674041769513106, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1870695377667011, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1408858363157981, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04585458137933296, "ret_p1m": 0.05964855290250792, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05964855290250792, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09429337365782775, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0787970050062694, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019148452103761482, "ret_p3m": -0.20473276975611, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20473276975611, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16865133324259474, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14385158391017816, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06088118584593183, "ret_p6m": 0.0013969212142914689, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0013969212142914689, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.024177980706910795, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.046410394251819254, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "bench_c_p6m": -0.045013473037527785, "price_path": [-0.4113, -0.3958, -0.3681, -0.3626, -0.3579, -0.3566, -0.3664, -0.3634, -0.3652, -0.3185, -0.3344, -0.3015, -0.2896, -0.2819, -0.2897, -0.2723, -0.269, -0.2791, -0.3043, -0.3276, -0.3013, -0.3272, -0.3169, -0.3265, -0.3329, -0.3915, -0.3877, -0.3866, -0.3816, -0.3829, -0.3834, -0.3886, -0.391, -0.4031, -0.2723, -0.2479, -0.2666, -0.2749, -0.2804, -0.302, -0.3044, -0.3215, -0.2975, -0.1939, -0.1705, -0.1026, -0.0222, -0.0823, -0.0774, -0.1306, -0.104, -0.0536, -0.0333, -0.0444, -0.0511, -0.015, -0.054, -0.055, -0.07, -0.07, -0.0357, -0.0023, -0.0182, 0.0, 0.0323, 0.0874, 0.089, 0.1203, 0.1867, 0.1681, 0.2188, 0.2936, 0.3407, 0.2297, 0.2186, 0.1764, 0.203, 0.2915, 0.2915, 0.2688, 0.206, 0.1662, 0.1283, 0.1283, 0.0596, 0.1467, 0.1484, 0.1018, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1028, 0.1268, 0.1074, 0.1964, 0.1561, 0.1916, 0.1916, 0.1848, 0.1598, 0.1521, 0.1359, 0.1096, 0.1122, 0.0871, 0.1183, 0.1304, 0.0719, 0.0958, 0.0565, 0.0458, 0.0103, -0.0201, -0.0822, -0.0598, -0.0056, -0.0058, -0.0058, -0.0107, 0.0073, -0.0099, -0.0562, -0.0766, -0.154, -0.1876, -0.2123, -0.1815, -0.2047, -0.24, -0.2202, -0.264, -0.2661, -0.3793, -0.3558, -0.3069, -0.3276, -0.3016, -0.335, -0.3705, -0.341, -0.3399, -0.3051, -0.2222, -0.195, -0.2399, -0.2369, -0.2637, -0.2759, -0.25, -0.21, -0.2533, -0.3311, -0.3482, -0.3802, -0.2395, -0.2948, -0.2951, -0.295, -0.2901, -0.3251, -0.3257, -0.3257, -0.3644, -0.3351, -0.2995, -0.275, -0.2039, -0.2013, -0.1841, -0.2117, -0.2163, -0.1976, -0.217, -0.2307, -0.2283, -0.2043, -0.1667, -0.1105, -0.0667, -0.0286, -0.0422, -0.0222, -0.0443, -0.0394, -0.0651, -0.0472, -0.0519, -0.0519, 0.0139, -0.0029, 0.0014]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1864386084995789272", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-12-04T19:07:35+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA (entries $133-137 via calls/LEAPs/stock), TSLA (50% portfolio), SNOW and SQ (LEAPs); PLTR pullback expected after hitting $69 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. $133 was BB + daily cloud + fib extension (rally continuation). I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.\n\nI added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well and $SQ last week.\n\n$TSLA around 50% of portfolio; $NVDA 30%; LEAPs 15%\n\nSide note: $PLTR hit my $69 price target like 6 months earlier than expected - I missed the entire move from ~30-70. I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.\n\nRemaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.015891204503931444, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015891204503931444, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022062384771041166, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022062384771041166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0061711802671097216, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02891917418164769, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02891917418164769, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030564979025407668, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030564979025407668, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016458048437599793, "ret_p1w": 0.03808165669602537, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03808165669602537, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03841077676759541, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03841077676759541, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00032912007157004375, "ret_p1m": 0.07644959318450928, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07644959318450928, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1110944139398291, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1110944139398291, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03464482075531983, "ret_p3m": 0.1942734429672437, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1942734429672437, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23035487948075895, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23035487948075895, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03608143651351525, "ret_p6m": 0.7511811362478822, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7511811362478822, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7739621957405015, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7739621957405015, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "bench_c_p6m": -0.022781059492619327, "price_path": [-0.5658, -0.5047, -0.5024, -0.5011, -0.5002, -0.4905, -0.4802, -0.4782, -0.4792, -0.4727, -0.4674, -0.4567, -0.4717, -0.4686, -0.4689, -0.4726, -0.4674, -0.478, -0.4633, -0.4382, -0.4272, -0.4432, -0.4066, -0.3825, -0.377, -0.3771, -0.3787, -0.3926, -0.3997, -0.3987, -0.3848, -0.3887, -0.3853, -0.3903, -0.3764, -0.3578, -0.3562, -0.3568, -0.3745, -0.405, -0.3999, -0.4072, -0.268, -0.205, -0.2, -0.1641, -0.1376, -0.1432, -0.131, -0.1528, -0.0584, -0.123, -0.0984, -0.1107, -0.1215, -0.0787, -0.0744, -0.0588, -0.0544, -0.0544, -0.0397, -0.0495, 0.0159, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.0929, 0.0374, 0.0149, 0.0381, 0.048, 0.089, 0.0845, 0.065, 0.0238, 0.0624, 0.1532, 0.1552, 0.1794, 0.1794, 0.1759, 0.1321, 0.1049, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0764, 0.1437, 0.0869, 0.002, -0.0232, -0.0232, -0.0371, -0.0697, -0.0564, -0.0245, -0.0087, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0461, 0.1005, 0.1307, 0.1307, 0.08, 0.1486, 0.1419, 0.1628, 0.181, 0.1989, 0.4865, 0.4511, 0.5931, 0.587, 0.67, 0.6123, 0.6806, 0.688, 0.7059, 0.7059, 0.7841, 0.6043, 0.5214, 0.451, 0.2982, 0.2576, 0.2786, 0.2136, 0.2157, 0.1943, 0.2083, 0.2903, 0.1519, 0.2156, 0.0935, 0.1174, 0.1976, 0.1399, 0.2346, 0.2505, 0.201, 0.2326, 0.2511, 0.3022, 0.3851, 0.3815, 0.3211, 0.2898, 0.2291, 0.2083, 0.2123, 0.252, 0.1969, 0.0596, 0.1144, 0.1069, 0.3173, 0.2683, 0.2677, 0.326, 0.4087, 0.3273, 0.3426, 0.3426, 0.2999, 0.3456, 0.4434, 0.543, 0.6146, 0.6414, 0.6618, 0.6956, 0.6636, 0.7792, 0.7719, 0.5585, 0.5817, 0.7058, 0.6793, 0.6959, 0.8339, 0.8637, 0.8342, 0.8543, 0.8086, 0.798, 0.7263, 0.7508, 0.7654, 0.7654, 0.7665, 0.7718, 0.7512]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986510145556521289", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T19:05:00+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Risk is skewed to downside into earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Closed NVDA calls at $207 with 0 exposure; risk skewed to downside into earnings after hitting key fib channel and $210/$5T cap confluence.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA hit ~$210 + 5T market cap + this key NVDA/SPY 20+ year fib channel all in the same week. This sell off is technical/risk-off more so than fundamental.\n\nI closed my NVDA calls for ~6x last week at 207 and have 0 exposure at this time. Risk is skewed to downside into earnings.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/wrVMUMVnFt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03790944949547481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03790944949547481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027063749149876193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013955482434664601, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02395396706081021, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0003721807128440613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003721807128440613, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006123268685327421, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008831543310479306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008459362597635245, "ret_p1w": -0.006486670867459354, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006486670867459354, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009067580705941936, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011371993193420082, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017858664060879437, "ret_p1m": -0.030092762006053264, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030092762006053264, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.053037347168568894, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06806027587036956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037967513864316293, "ret_p3m": -0.04109939602380852, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04109939602380852, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07281233482152072, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17732487532505548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13622547930124695, "ret_p6m": 0.05525191855222267, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05525191855222267, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.025969270109502673, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4013727365673794, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.45662465511960204, "price_path": [-0.0321, -0.0262, -0.0346, -0.0323, -0.0406, -0.0323, -0.0662, -0.0675, -0.0697, -0.0537, -0.044, -0.0336, -0.0345, -0.0421, -0.074, -0.074, -0.092, -0.0929, -0.0874, -0.112, -0.1052, -0.0921, -0.0572, -0.058, -0.0546, -0.0549, -0.0702, -0.0946, -0.063, -0.0607, -0.0238, -0.0513, -0.0591, -0.0552, -0.0526, -0.0331, -0.008, -0.0045, 0.0043, -0.0024, -0.0135, -0.0162, 0.0055, 0.0239, -0.0262, 0.0013, -0.0428, -0.0439, -0.0333, -0.0258, -0.0289, -0.0368, -0.0415, -0.0315, -0.0097, 0.0181, 0.0689, 0.1008, 0.0787, 0.0766, 0.1, 0.0564, 0.0379, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0583, 0.027, 0.0304, -0.0065, 0.0111, -0.0079, -0.0357, -0.0083, -0.0396, -0.0489, -0.0294, -0.0546, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0589, -0.0434, -0.0352, -0.0451, -0.0249, -0.0301, -0.0134, -0.0165, -0.0228, -0.038, -0.0694, -0.0626, -0.055, -0.0911, -0.0741, -0.0376, -0.0233, 0.0061, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0131, 0.0008, -0.0028, -0.0083, -0.0083, 0.0041, 0.0003, -0.0044, 0.0055, -0.0161, -0.0171, -0.0166, -0.012, -0.0262, -0.0054, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0532, -0.0253, -0.0172, -0.0021, -0.0085, 0.0024, 0.0183, 0.0236, 0.0163, -0.0131, -0.0411, -0.0738, -0.0861, -0.0141, 0.0105, 0.0025, 0.0105, -0.006, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0165, -0.0005, -0.0009, 0.0093, 0.0185, 0.0254, 0.0398, -0.0169, -0.0578, -0.0297, -0.0426, -0.0267, -0.0251, -0.0545, -0.0288, -0.0175, -0.0108, -0.0262, -0.0415, -0.0257, -0.0326, -0.0407, -0.0505, -0.0817, -0.066, -0.0684, -0.0499, -0.0894, -0.1092, -0.1217, -0.0726, -0.0655, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.0554, -0.053, -0.0318, -0.0221, 0.003, 0.0067, 0.0449, 0.0575, 0.0547, 0.0724, 0.0744, 0.0629, 0.0768, 0.0616, 0.1075, 0.1518, 0.1335, 0.1127, 0.0612, 0.0553]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989062381750935626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T20:06:41+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PTON showing bull flag formation into 3 year inverse H/S setup with fib ext lining up perfectly with 4h cloud (~8) and $9 flag target", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long PTON on bull flag + 3-year inverse H&S setup; targets $9\u2013$10 via fib extensions and cloud levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PTON showing bull flag formation into 3 year inverse H/S setup with fib ext lining up perfectly with 4h cloud (~8) and $9 flag target. Fib ext 2.0 suggesting $10 on the dot is intriguing as well as it aligns with the 2w cloud top.\n\nZooming out to the 2W chart we can clearly see a inverse H/S forming with attempted breakouts. Profit taking at the neckline ~8-9 is prudent risk management.\n\nIf the bull flag is canceled, ~$6.85 needs to hold for more upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020519849048096672, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020519849048096672, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003645821111137426, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00508359852758411, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025603447575680782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02325582457245612, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02325582457245612, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02341959333279331, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028040338215907235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004784513643451116, "ret_p1w": -0.12585500458213772, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12585500458213772, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09682400049787454, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07913085058677893, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046724153995358786, "ret_p1m": -0.10533515553404094, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10533515553404094, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1197985950031708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.145852305092816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040517149558775056, "ret_p3m": -0.4049247689900074, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4049247689900074, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.43784703938584013, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.42703254218044717, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022107773190439772, "ret_p6m": -0.22161421316551966, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22161421316551966, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3254472607331744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26196027027025104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04034605710473138, "price_path": [0.156, 0.0725, 0.0575, 0.052, 0.0821, 0.0274, 0.0356, 0.0506, 0.0369, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0075, 0.0397, 0.1108, 0.0971, 0.1081, 0.0862, 0.0739, 0.0465, 0.0369, 0.1204, 0.0862, 0.1122, 0.0848, 0.1313, 0.1395, 0.0985, 0.1286, 0.1518, 0.1717, 0.186, 0.2312, 0.186, 0.1874, 0.1737, 0.1409, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0055, -0.0479, 0.0082, 0.0547, 0.0424, 0.0287, 0.026, 0.0219, 0.0752, 0.0643, 0.026, 0.0698, 0.0561, 0.0315, 0.0219, -0.0096, -0.0068, -0.0055, -0.0328, -0.0246, -0.0821, 0.0479, 0.0178, 0.0219, 0.0205, 0.0, 0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0274, -0.0588, -0.1259, -0.1176, -0.0971, -0.078, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0711, -0.0889, -0.1176, -0.0876, -0.1026, -0.1218, -0.1245, -0.0739, -0.0862, -0.0711, -0.1053, -0.145, -0.1532, -0.1614, -0.145, -0.1518, -0.156, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.171, -0.1423, -0.1477, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1628, -0.1491, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.0807, -0.0643, -0.0958, -0.0424, -0.1012, -0.0834, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1984, -0.1984, -0.2052, -0.2066, -0.1847, -0.197, -0.2011, -0.2161, -0.2353, -0.212, -0.2175, -0.1915, -0.3995, -0.3673, -0.3981, -0.4049, -0.409, -0.4213, -0.4186, -0.4186, -0.4268, -0.409, -0.3953, -0.3967, -0.435, -0.4473, -0.4364, -0.4419, -0.4501, -0.4665, -0.4651, -0.4733, -0.4761, -0.4761, -0.472, -0.4925, -0.472, -0.4843, -0.4925, -0.4706, -0.435, -0.446, -0.4446, -0.4747, -0.4624, -0.4378, -0.4405, -0.4432, -0.394, -0.4528, -0.4131, -0.4118, -0.3735, -0.3735, -0.3639, -0.342, -0.3653, -0.3516, -0.368, -0.3529, -0.3475, -0.3352, -0.3119, -0.3023, -0.2914, -0.316, -0.3133, -0.3228, -0.2914, -0.2736, -0.2804, -0.238, -0.2544, -0.2668, -0.2969, -0.2941, -0.2886, -0.2257, -0.2216]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854999876612055411", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-08T21:30:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm back to 65% allocation", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses 65% portfolio allocation to TSLA; strongly bullish position disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Have you increased $TSLA allocation Gary? Hopefully you did - don\u2019t want to see you left behind. I\u2019m back to 65% allocation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Many of us believe that 2025 is a similar set-up to 2020, when $TSLA launched Model Y which vaulted them into the CUV category. Next year\u2019s Model 3 hatchback ($25-$30K vehicle) should have the same effect, with analysts tripping over each other to raise volume and earnings https://t.co/Yzf6YSc0wx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07136715217015199, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06168816400649946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004313059106265005, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01399204726991754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0886430854567426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0694209691819272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009528259744473466, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02017494224926275, "ret_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0192395312116328, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006252945826855205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02079609679939165, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0078095114146140565, "ret_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20261815254849003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1347205032243579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010849274958011357, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07874692428214347, "ret_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.163812873973048, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10996141008475946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01347998447477372, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06733144836306226, "ret_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.075552717517546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0582375776483095, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05196110883019578, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06927624869943227, "price_path": [-0.353, -0.3731, -0.3334, -0.3272, -0.3066, -0.3117, -0.3049, -0.3442, -0.3141, -0.3362, -0.3487, -0.3595, -0.3578, -0.3334, -0.3334, -0.3444, -0.3169, -0.2835, -0.344, -0.3267, -0.2959, -0.2898, -0.2846, -0.2831, -0.294, -0.2906, -0.2927, -0.2406, -0.2583, -0.2217, -0.2084, -0.1999, -0.2086, -0.1892, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.2248, -0.2508, -0.2215, -0.2503, -0.2388, -0.2496, -0.2567, -0.322, -0.3177, -0.3164, -0.311, -0.3123, -0.3129, -0.3187, -0.3214, -0.3349, -0.1891, -0.162, -0.1828, -0.1921, -0.1982, -0.2222, -0.2249, -0.244, -0.2172, -0.1018, -0.0757, 0.0, 0.0896, 0.0226, 0.0281, -0.0313, -0.0016, 0.0545, 0.0771, 0.0648, 0.0573, 0.0976, 0.0541, 0.053, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0745, 0.1117, 0.094, 0.1143, 0.1503, 0.2117, 0.2135, 0.2483, 0.3224, 0.3016, 0.358, 0.4414, 0.4939, 0.3702, 0.3579, 0.3108, 0.3405, 0.4391, 0.4391, 0.4138, 0.3438, 0.2995, 0.2572, 0.2572, 0.1807, 0.2778, 0.2797, 0.2277, 0.2295, 0.2295, 0.2289, 0.2556, 0.2339, 0.3331, 0.2883, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.3202, 0.2923, 0.2838, 0.2657, 0.2364, 0.2393, 0.2113, 0.2461, 0.2596, 0.1944, 0.221, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.1258, 0.0919, 0.0227, 0.0476, 0.1081, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1024, 0.1225, 0.1033, 0.0516, 0.029, -0.0573, -0.0947, -0.1223, -0.0879, -0.1138, -0.1531, -0.1311, -0.1798, -0.1823, -0.3084, -0.2822, -0.2277, -0.2507, -0.2218, -0.259, -0.2986, -0.2657, -0.2645, -0.2257, -0.1333, -0.103, -0.153, -0.1497, -0.1795, -0.1932, -0.1642, -0.1197, -0.1679, -0.2546, -0.2737, -0.3093, -0.1526, -0.2142, -0.2145, -0.2144, -0.2089, -0.248, -0.2486, -0.2486, -0.2918, -0.2592, -0.2194, -0.1921, -0.1129, -0.11, -0.0909, -0.1216, -0.1267, -0.1059, -0.1275]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989632837235216641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T09:53:28+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Next supp around ~66", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "CRWV hit $78 target; next support ~$66, implying further downside from current level.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Destination arrival.\n\n4 days ago I posted that $CRWV can visit $78 despite all the bulls claiming it's going to $110 first. Next supp around ~66.\n\nFib channels, they're useful.\n\nhttps://t.co/Jjwkui0QET https://t.co/w11uC4ULRc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026948078188682834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026948078188682834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005708221090186094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005708221090186094, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": -0.022965661952505156, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022965661952505156, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": -0.07739282741728648, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07739282741728648, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": 0.2704101237495258, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2704101237495258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": 0.43037299058686895, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43037299058686895, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [0.2149, 0.2052, 0.2477, 0.2263, 0.2132, 0.2867, 0.3645, 0.3678, 0.3678, 0.2391, 0.1932, 0.1613, 0.1827, 0.2419, 0.3304, 0.555, 0.496, 0.4863, 0.5992, 0.5764, 0.6044, 0.6114, 0.6575, 0.7686, 0.7376, 0.7709, 0.6814, 0.5975, 0.6264, 0.8167, 0.8193, 0.8319, 0.7893, 0.7768, 0.7102, 0.8582, 0.8994, 0.8376, 0.88, 0.7796, 0.8484, 0.8816, 0.8169, 0.6867, 0.6602, 0.6133, 0.6373, 0.7596, 0.8062, 0.7895, 0.8576, 0.7398, 0.775, 0.6769, 0.5366, 0.5189, 0.4195, 0.3807, 0.402, 0.1734, 0.1341, 0.04, 0.0269, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0054, -0.0812, -0.0489, -0.023, -0.0536, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0293, 0.023, 0.0093, 0.0535, 0.1383, 0.1722, 0.1448, 0.2035, 0.1703, 0.16, 0.0433, -0.0396, -0.0774, -0.1431, -0.1016, 0.1018, 0.1261, 0.0654, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0145, -0.0054, -0.019, -0.0494, -0.0494, 0.053, 0.0203, 0.0346, 0.0246, 0.0234, 0.0639, 0.1938, 0.1613, 0.1921, 0.2613, 0.3438, 0.3438, 0.264, 0.2485, 0.2185, 0.2343, 0.3051, 0.4451, 0.4074, 0.3213, 0.2371, 0.1807, 0.1955, 0.0947, -0.009, 0.1941, 0.2849, 0.2626, 0.2631, 0.2704, 0.2749, 0.2749, 0.208, 0.2671, 0.2895, 0.1848, 0.2059, 0.3182, 0.3011, 0.296, 0.0562, 0.0361, -0.0206, 0.0554, -0.0068, -0.0311, -0.0122, -0.0054, 0.088, 0.0601, 0.0767, 0.1398, 0.0901, 0.0994, 0.0708, 0.0815, 0.088, 0.1021, 0.1626, 0.068, -0.0069, -0.082, 0.0284, 0.0413, 0.0917, 0.0917, 0.0745, 0.1316, 0.1801, 0.2213, 0.354, 0.4638, 0.5558, 0.5756, 0.5871, 0.5512, 0.5589, 0.5287, 0.6267, 0.5587, 0.4621, 0.4876, 0.4009, 0.5159, 0.4815, 0.5798, 0.6651, 0.6977, 0.8317, 0.7103, 0.5153, 0.5226, 0.4304]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821626586178973813", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-08T19:16:36+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed on the fundamentals front - for 2-4 quarters in my opinion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NVDA fundamentals for 2-4 quarters; Blackwell delay is short-term noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EdwardDiGi Blackwell delay is just short-term noise. Technicals are in driver seat with the Yen carry trade unwinding + bond/VIX volatility. Agreed on the fundamentals front - for 2-4 quarters in my opinion", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig I wonder if the market is rightfully ignoring the Blackwell issue or if there wj be a follow up to the story. So far Nvidia business is the soundest of the market (at least for the next quarter)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EdwardDiGi", "ret_m1d": -0.057730815386303536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057730815386303536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035135662602800544, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0020264184799911877, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.022595152783502992, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05975723386629472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020958410622108348, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020958410622108348, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006505358865520061, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018290448094437917, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004409517803309226, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002667962527670431, "ret_p1w": 0.17042964741775313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17042964741775313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1281798033192867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07501372381704408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04224984409846644, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09541592360070905, "ret_p1m": -0.02038663911866767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02038663911866767, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03868472285100333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02367541483241531, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018298083732335657, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04406205395108298, "ret_p3m": 0.3329710586760599, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3329710586760599, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24285738854843797, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22892947482639991, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09011367012762195, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10404158384966, "ret_p6m": 0.14402730018047571, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14402730018047571, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0026014147713324665, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.056037581577038864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14142588540914325, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08798971860343685, "price_path": [-0.1389, -0.1298, -0.0986, -0.1012, -0.1191, -0.0971, -0.0914, -0.0955, -0.0112, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.085, 0.0938, 0.0526, 0.0443, 0.0955, 0.1091, 0.1663, 0.1526, 0.1515, 0.1601, 0.1519, 0.1927, 0.2347, 0.2564, 0.2478, 0.2916, 0.2916, 0.2459, 0.2058, 0.1252, 0.2012, 0.2042, 0.1812, 0.1769, 0.1841, 0.1686, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.1987, 0.2213, 0.2516, 0.2852, 0.2137, 0.2312, 0.2236, 0.2038, 0.124, 0.1536, 0.1235, 0.1769, 0.1679, 0.0884, 0.0696, 0.0771, 0.0631, -0.0118, 0.1148, 0.0404, 0.0219, -0.0431, -0.0069, -0.0577, 0.0, -0.0021, 0.0386, 0.1064, 0.1249, 0.1704, 0.1868, 0.2384, 0.2123, 0.2242, 0.1788, 0.2324, 0.2047, 0.2223, 0.1966, 0.1202, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.0289, 0.0118, 0.0213, -0.0204, 0.0143, 0.0298, 0.1137, 0.1351, 0.1347, 0.1126, 0.1013, 0.0801, 0.123, 0.1052, 0.1076, 0.1516, 0.1767, 0.1818, 0.1566, 0.157, 0.1147, 0.1323, 0.1704, 0.1902, 0.2168, 0.2661, 0.2638, 0.2844, 0.2843, 0.3154, 0.2538, 0.2931, 0.3046, 0.3148, 0.3692, 0.368, 0.3296, 0.3377, 0.3485, 0.3388, 0.3457, 0.3275, 0.2649, 0.29, 0.2962, 0.333, 0.3873, 0.4184, 0.4065, 0.3839, 0.4128, 0.3936, 0.3982, 0.3527, 0.3353, 0.4006, 0.3899, 0.3974, 0.3524, 0.2959, 0.3045, 0.2894, 0.2894, 0.3172, 0.3208, 0.3363, 0.3828, 0.3821, 0.3572, 0.3226, 0.2869, 0.3273, 0.3086, 0.2791, 0.2577, 0.2424, 0.2283, 0.2451, 0.2834, 0.3308, 0.336, 0.336, 0.3333, 0.3054, 0.31, 0.2795, 0.2795, 0.3178, 0.3765, 0.4238, 0.3353, 0.335, 0.335, 0.295, 0.2694, 0.2554, 0.2981, 0.2727, 0.3121, 0.3121, 0.3418, 0.4013, 0.4027, 0.3589, 0.1283, 0.229, 0.1786, 0.1877, 0.144]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849547240337178894", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T20:23:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm looking past that and 4Q being a challenge for EPS. Instead, I'm focused on all time low COGS + 20-30% '25 guidance... MAG7 leaving $TSLA in dust for past 1-2 years favouring rotation back in. Technicals are also favourable. A Trump victory is bearish on EVs but bullish for Tesla imo.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA: bullish on low COGS, 20-30% 2025 guidance implying new model volume, MAG7 rotation, favourable technicals, and Trump tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I\u2019m aware that EPS was inflated by credits and CT foundation series FSD recognition and I know WS is aware too. I\u2019m looking past that and 4Q being a challenge for EPS. Instead, I\u2019m focused on all time low COGS + 20-30% \u201825 guidance. This tells me they have another model they expect to push volume in 2025 in addition to refreshed MY. \n\nOther factors in play too, such as MAG7 leaving $TSLA in dust for past 1-2 years favouring rotation back in. Technicals are also favourable. A Trump victory is bearish on EVs but bullish for Tesla imo. Ives echoes this in an interview yesterday with Yahoo finance. \n\nContrast to $NVDA is only because $NVDA is at ATH.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig I mean, more than half of profits today come from regulatory credits (whose fate is uncertain), the cheap model is nowhere to be found (did you get if it is a new vehicle or not?)\n\n$NVDA has a 55% net margin and revenues growing double digit.. while $TSLA core auto rev was down..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EdwardDiGi", "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762547505065163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580596340952107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378350168798361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03029108045445561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003452680895702498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031471531439577483, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509439904721318, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374150547236906, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299852303771513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435141661255925, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126000794002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02808856196216092, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834231979009077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04460962395918133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039414597716513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038405030367065773, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540403016564069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0695241125312176, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849879587599360154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-25T18:23:57+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm adding $SPY puts to hedge my $NVDA $TSLA long positions. SPY is rejecting at a key 585 double fib confluence level and forming a dangerous rising wedge", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPY via puts on election uncertainty + technical rejection; long TSLA even amid broader market weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm adding $SPY puts to hedge my $NVDA $TSLA long positions. Next week + Nov 5 elections = huge uncertainty and SPY is rejecting at a key 585 double fib confluence level and forming a dangerous rising wedge. I think $TSLA still rallies even in the face of a market sell off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.\n\nI think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).\n\nI have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00034538734079747613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003091318631785356, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "ret_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013816030114256805, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "ret_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03193207360838346, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "ret_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05084457880823878, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "ret_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10686556857312113, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "price_path": [-0.0668, -0.0517, -0.0651, -0.0825, -0.1092, -0.101, -0.107, -0.0864, -0.0823, -0.0819, -0.0668, -0.0638, -0.0478, -0.0456, -0.0365, -0.0381, -0.0348, -0.0423, -0.0322, -0.0345, -0.0332, -0.0388, -0.0387, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0495, -0.0514, -0.0537, -0.0697, -0.0592, -0.0551, -0.0454, -0.0374, -0.0324, -0.0309, -0.0306, -0.0334, -0.0169, -0.0186, -0.0162, -0.0134, -0.0155, -0.0116, -0.0131, -0.0091, -0.018, -0.0176, -0.0194, -0.0105, -0.0194, -0.0101, -0.0033, -0.005, 0.0009, 0.0091, 0.0013, 0.0056, 0.0057, 0.0096, 0.0079, 0.0074, -0.0018, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0031, 0.0047, 0.0017, -0.018, -0.0138, -0.0159, -0.004, 0.0207, 0.0286, 0.0331, 0.0341, 0.0308, 0.0313, 0.0247, 0.0116, 0.0157, 0.0194, 0.0198, 0.0253, 0.0284, 0.0319, 0.0373, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.0406, 0.0425, 0.043, 0.0494, 0.0477, 0.0497, 0.0443, 0.041, 0.0491, 0.0437, 0.0435, 0.0479, 0.0436, 0.0125, 0.0122, 0.0243, 0.0305, 0.0419, 0.0419, 0.042, 0.031, 0.0193, 0.0156, 0.0156, 0.0131, 0.0257, 0.0316, 0.02, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0059, 0.0074, 0.0088, 0.0272, 0.0252, 0.0355, 0.0355, 0.045, 0.0508, 0.0566, 0.0535, 0.0386, 0.0475, 0.0428, 0.0484, 0.0428, 0.0358, 0.0428, 0.047, 0.0506, 0.041, 0.0481, 0.0489, 0.0455, 0.0565, 0.0565, 0.0565, 0.0596, 0.0621, 0.0577, 0.0396, 0.0349, 0.0297, 0.0302, 0.0138, 0.0296, 0.0116, -0.0004, 0.0103, -0.0076, -0.002, -0.0286, -0.0367, -0.0316, -0.0445, -0.0248, -0.0172, -0.0279, -0.0173, -0.0201, -0.0198, -0.0022, 0.0002, -0.0118, -0.0144, -0.0343, -0.0278, -0.025, -0.0189, -0.0672, -0.1218, -0.1234, -0.1371, -0.0465, -0.0883, -0.072, -0.063, -0.0656, -0.0864, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.1069]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849879587599360154", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-25T18:23:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $TSLA still rallies even in the face of a market sell off", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPY via puts on election uncertainty + technical rejection; long TSLA even amid broader market weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm adding $SPY puts to hedge my $NVDA $TSLA long positions. Next week + Nov 5 elections = huge uncertainty and SPY is rejecting at a key 585 double fib confluence level and forming a dangerous rising wedge. I think $TSLA still rallies even in the face of a market sell off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.\n\nI think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).\n\nI have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.03235629620744929, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03235629620744929, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03270168354824676, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029219016562988198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00034538734079747613, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031372796444610884, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024815158866218545, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024815158866218545, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0279064774980039, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027155769225381543, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003091318631785356, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002340610359162998, "ret_p1w": -0.07507710736124473, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07507710736124473, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06126107724698793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07149171086169603, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013816030114256805, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035853964995486987, "ret_p1m": 0.25781044343052995, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25781044343052995, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22587836982214649, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1606039411195428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193207360838346, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09720650231098715, "ret_p3m": 0.5420705880112253, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5420705880112253, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.49122600920298654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.39438884638783267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05084457880823878, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14768174162339265, "ret_p6m": -0.15487203114269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15487203114269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.048006462569568864, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05766383608259351, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10686556857312113, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09720819506009648, "price_path": [-0.173, -0.1379, -0.1944, -0.2285, -0.2612, -0.2547, -0.2876, -0.2613, -0.257, -0.2664, -0.2279, -0.2519, -0.2045, -0.1971, -0.1726, -0.1786, -0.1706, -0.2174, -0.1815, -0.208, -0.2228, -0.2357, -0.2337, -0.2046, -0.2046, -0.2177, -0.1849, -0.145, -0.2172, -0.1966, -0.1598, -0.1525, -0.1463, -0.1445, -0.1575, -0.1535, -0.156, -0.0939, -0.1149, -0.0713, -0.0554, -0.0452, -0.0556, -0.0324, -0.0281, -0.0415, -0.0749, -0.106, -0.071, -0.1054, -0.0917, -0.1045, -0.113, -0.1909, -0.1859, -0.1843, -0.1778, -0.1794, -0.1801, -0.187, -0.1903, -0.2063, -0.0324, 0.0, -0.0248, -0.0359, -0.0432, -0.0718, -0.0751, -0.0979, -0.0659, 0.0718, 0.103, 0.1933, 0.3002, 0.2203, 0.2268, 0.156, 0.1914, 0.2584, 0.2853, 0.2706, 0.2617, 0.3097, 0.2578, 0.2565, 0.2366, 0.2366, 0.2822, 0.3265, 0.3055, 0.3297, 0.3726, 0.4459, 0.448, 0.4896, 0.578, 0.5532, 0.6205, 0.72, 0.7826, 0.635, 0.6203, 0.5642, 0.5996, 0.7173, 0.7173, 0.687, 0.6036, 0.5506, 0.5002, 0.5002, 0.409, 0.5247, 0.527, 0.465, 0.4671, 0.4671, 0.4664, 0.4982, 0.4724, 0.5908, 0.5373, 0.5844, 0.5844, 0.5754, 0.5421, 0.5319, 0.5104, 0.4754, 0.4788, 0.4454, 0.487, 0.503, 0.4253, 0.457, 0.4048, 0.3905, 0.3434, 0.3029, 0.2203, 0.2501, 0.3223, 0.3219, 0.3219, 0.3155, 0.3394, 0.3165, 0.2549, 0.2279, 0.1249, 0.0803, 0.0474, 0.0884, 0.0574, 0.0106, 0.0368, -0.0213, -0.0242, -0.1747, -0.1434, -0.0784, -0.1059, -0.0714, -0.1158, -0.163, -0.1238, -0.1223, -0.0761, 0.0342, 0.0704, 0.0107, 0.0146, -0.021, -0.0373, -0.0027, 0.0504, -0.0071, -0.1106, -0.1334, -0.1758, 0.0112, -0.0624, -0.0627, -0.0626, -0.056, -0.1027, -0.1033, -0.1033, -0.1549]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1816188539119493176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T19:07:45+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "QQQ at 500 was an obvious short", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "QQQ at 500 was an obvious short; market super overbought.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jimcramer For a hedge fund manager at one point you sure have a weak understanding of market dynamics and technicals. Market super overbought. QQQ at 500 was an  obvious short", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This sell-off has a mind of its own.. There was nothing wrong with Google and Tesla has a lot of things going for it no one cares about but will matter years down the road.. Somehow these are what's ailing the market? Give me a break", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jimcramer", "ret_m1d": 0.03720484037651617, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03720484037651617, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014016747304503419, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014016747304503419, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011027681915303678, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011027681915303678, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005817404923161518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005817404923161518, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "ret_p1w": 0.016595534842140713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016595534842140713, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0011048987565347446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0011048987565347446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "ret_p1m": 0.02475297085773409, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02475297085773409, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002943249613093002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002943249613093002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "ret_p3m": 0.0706465255978177, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0706465255978177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011001220758759311, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011001220758759311, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "ret_p6m": 0.11059936201394382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11059936201394382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010416271153276258, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010416271153276258, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "price_path": [-0.0714, -0.0676, -0.0852, -0.0918, -0.0802, -0.0617, -0.0514, -0.0513, -0.0518, -0.0498, -0.0475, -0.0453, -0.0392, -0.0242, -0.0261, -0.0266, -0.0198, -0.0179, -0.0181, -0.0225, -0.0133, -0.0133, -0.0096, -0.0165, -0.0271, -0.0289, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0013, -0.0016, -0.0025, 0.0015, 0.0084, 0.0216, 0.0272, 0.0325, 0.0451, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0374, 0.0346, 0.0228, 0.0345, 0.0367, 0.0393, 0.0339, 0.04, 0.0509, 0.0597, 0.0597, 0.0707, 0.0733, 0.0742, 0.0854, 0.0616, 0.0678, 0.0707, 0.0711, 0.0397, 0.0348, 0.0256, 0.0409, 0.0372, 0.0, -0.011, -0.0009, 0.0011, -0.0126, 0.0166, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0604, -0.0515, -0.0617, -0.033, -0.028, -0.0259, -0.0017, -0.0014, 0.0238, 0.0251, 0.0386, 0.0364, 0.0413, 0.0248, 0.0359, 0.0258, 0.0289, 0.0172, 0.0157, 0.0278, 0.0278, -0.0034, -0.006, -0.005, -0.0317, -0.0192, -0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0212, 0.0258, 0.0213, 0.0218, 0.0174, 0.0431, 0.0411, 0.0439, 0.0489, 0.0499, 0.0578, 0.0519, 0.0548, 0.0401, 0.0415, 0.0408, 0.0531, 0.0419, 0.0574, 0.0657, 0.0645, 0.0662, 0.0751, 0.0608, 0.0609, 0.0616, 0.0686, 0.0706, 0.0718, 0.0554, 0.0639, 0.0704, 0.0706, 0.0809, 0.0727, 0.0456, 0.0534, 0.0503, 0.0637, 0.0926, 0.1098, 0.1111, 0.1105, 0.1084, 0.107, 0.0993, 0.0731, 0.0806, 0.088, 0.0874, 0.0913, 0.0931, 0.0948, 0.1007, 0.092, 0.092, 0.1016, 0.1136, 0.117, 0.1308, 0.1277, 0.1378, 0.1289, 0.1251, 0.1452, 0.1378, 0.1465, 0.163, 0.1579, 0.1161, 0.1112, 0.1209, 0.1318, 0.1471, 0.1471, 0.1464, 0.1311, 0.1161, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.1044, 0.1225, 0.1354, 0.1151, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.0978, 0.0943, 0.0933, 0.1184, 0.1106]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1874200374871224707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-31T21:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Want to see it break above to see a move back to 150+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Conditionally bullish NVDA; wants break above daily cloud for a move back to 150+.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy Stuck in the daily cloud. Want to see it break above to see a move back to 150+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig what are your thoughts on $NVDA here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": 0.02382885461801476, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02382885461801476, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020177625932388477, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013546786192919047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0036512286856262843, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010282068425095714, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.043562321982617114, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043562321982617114, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039211465519676025, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005452816920334724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004350856462941088, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04901513890295184, "ret_p1m": -0.07885924977724912, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07885924977724912, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10569856454773108, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06795783903693442, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02683931477048196, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010901410740314699, "ret_p3m": -0.183259458144042, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.183259458144042, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1342072255739073, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05937955505951631, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04905223257013469, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12387990308452568, "ret_p6m": 0.14926584577060997, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14926584577060997, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10717851231915776, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01287401438947855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.042087333451452213, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13639183138113142, "price_path": [-0.0853, -0.0698, -0.049, -0.0105, -0.0123, 0.0038, 0.0037, 0.0281, -0.0201, 0.0106, 0.0196, 0.0276, 0.0701, 0.0692, 0.0392, 0.0455, 0.0539, 0.0463, 0.0518, 0.0375, -0.0115, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0418, 0.0842, 0.1086, 0.0993, 0.0816, 0.1042, 0.0891, 0.0928, 0.0572, 0.0436, 0.0946, 0.0863, 0.0921, 0.057, 0.0128, 0.0195, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0294, 0.0322, 0.0444, 0.0807, 0.0802, 0.0607, 0.0337, 0.0058, 0.0374, 0.0227, -0.0003, -0.0171, -0.029, -0.0401, -0.0269, 0.0031, 0.0401, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.042, 0.0203, 0.0238, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0299, 0.0758, 0.1127, 0.0436, 0.0433, 0.0433, 0.0121, -0.0079, -0.0188, 0.0145, -0.0054, 0.0255, 0.0255, 0.0487, 0.0952, 0.0963, 0.062, -0.1182, -0.0395, -0.0789, -0.0718, -0.1059, -0.1313, -0.1165, -0.0704, -0.0418, -0.0331, -0.0054, -0.0111, -0.0235, 0.0074, 0.034, 0.034, 0.0381, 0.0368, 0.0433, 0.001, -0.0299, -0.057, -0.0224, -0.1053, -0.0698, -0.1506, -0.1363, -0.1265, -0.1766, -0.1608, -0.2034, -0.1901, -0.1381, -0.1392, -0.0939, -0.1098, -0.1404, -0.1248, -0.1173, -0.1235, -0.0958, -0.1012, -0.1528, -0.1702, -0.1833, -0.1929, -0.1797, -0.1777, -0.2419, -0.2976, -0.2729, -0.2828, -0.1486, -0.1989, -0.1739, -0.1755, -0.1644, -0.2218, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2783, -0.2635, -0.2351, -0.2074, -0.1733, -0.1903, -0.1881, -0.1888, -0.1688, -0.1473, -0.1524, -0.1544, -0.1282, -0.1259, -0.1313, -0.084, -0.0324, 0.0079, 0.0041, 0.0084, 0.0096, 0.0008, -0.0185, -0.0108, -0.0222, -0.0222, 0.0091, 0.004, 0.0366, 0.0063, 0.0231, 0.0517, 0.0569, 0.0425, 0.0554, 0.0622, 0.0721, 0.0638, 0.0799, 0.0574, 0.0776, 0.0734, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0714, 0.0737, 0.1015, 0.1493]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990519065497186778", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T20:35:01+00:00", "symbol": "MDB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Back in $MDB long at ~335 into NVDA earnings + MDB reports Dec 1. I expect ~325 to hold, next level ~308. If 308 fails to hold, cut losses.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long MDB at ~335 with -8% stop (~308) and +35% upside target into NVDA earnings and MDB's Dec 1 report.", "resolved_tickers": ["MDB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Back in $MDB long at ~335 into NVDA earnings + MDB reports Dec 1. I expect ~325 to hold, next level ~308. If 308 fails to hold, cut losses.\n\n-8% downside; +35% upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03830971441172837, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03830971441172837, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028905668817741814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028905668817741814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005123735926620521, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005123735926620521, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032738168434801596, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0032738168434801596, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": -0.02641343068165003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02641343068165003, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.031010285813444782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031010285813444782, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": 0.24116605543145941, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24116605543145941, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.221336348668971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.221336348668971, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": 0.050471094884594336, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.050471094884594336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02401181399720609, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02401181399720609, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": -0.09093051922207496, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09093051922207496, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20617261048455549, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20617261048455549, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [-0.3737, -0.3759, -0.3549, -0.3568, -0.3688, -0.1293, -0.0633, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.0628, -0.0787, -0.0517, -0.0438, -0.048, -0.0251, -0.0139, -0.0221, -0.028, -0.0166, -0.036, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0476, -0.0471, -0.0608, -0.0716, -0.0715, -0.0624, -0.0665, -0.086, -0.0532, -0.0392, -0.0542, -0.052, -0.0622, -0.0378, -0.0239, -0.0741, -0.06, -0.0759, -0.0641, -0.0744, -0.062, -0.0359, -0.0408, -0.0427, -0.0282, -0.0178, 0.0017, -0.0092, 0.0027, 0.0234, 0.0595, 0.0867, 0.0478, 0.0314, 0.0478, 0.0631, 0.101, 0.0937, 0.0759, 0.034, 0.0383, 0.0, -0.0051, -0.0071, -0.0309, -0.0542, -0.0264, -0.0231, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.0213, -0.0316, 0.1837, 0.1953, 0.1682, 0.2062, 0.233, 0.2193, 0.2586, 0.2379, 0.2338, 0.225, 0.2412, 0.2142, 0.2521, 0.2681, 0.2947, 0.2872, 0.2824, 0.2824, 0.2834, 0.246, 0.2404, 0.2358, 0.2358, 0.1768, 0.2392, 0.2835, 0.2974, 0.2177, 0.2018, 0.2314, 0.2108, 0.1393, 0.1461, 0.1771, 0.1771, 0.1332, 0.1232, 0.1915, 0.174, 0.211, 0.2129, 0.2104, 0.1014, 0.0934, 0.0974, 0.019, -0.0059, -0.0386, 0.014, 0.0535, 0.1109, 0.0732, 0.0505, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.0435, 0.0691, 0.048, 0.0146, -0.1008, -0.0798, -0.0725, -0.0088, -0.0328, -0.043, -0.2558, -0.2697, -0.2228, -0.2036, -0.1998, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.2324, -0.2329, -0.2139, -0.1983, -0.2093, -0.2045, -0.231, -0.1954, -0.2528, -0.274, -0.2895, -0.3065, -0.3074, -0.2792, -0.2657, -0.2547, -0.2547, -0.2491, -0.2518, -0.2629, -0.3242, -0.3347, -0.3047, -0.3121, -0.2813, -0.2605, -0.2244, -0.2223, -0.2302, -0.2063, -0.24, -0.2533, -0.2215, -0.2397, -0.2394, -0.2614, -0.2242, -0.2206, -0.2147, -0.2189, -0.136, -0.1182, -0.1324, -0.0909]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1811189912139677992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-11T00:04:59+00:00", "symbol": "GM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If true, GM can get smashed this quarter", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bearish GM this quarter if revenue/loan-cost recognition logic holds.", "resolved_tickers": ["GM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl @garyblack00 @micah68wellness This is exactly my thinking and confirmed by ChatGPT. Logic checks out. If true, GM can get smashed this quarter", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@garyblack00 @micah68wellness Are you sure about this? This doesn't seem to make sense. If they recognize the entirety of the revenue for the car up front, they would also need to recognize the entirety of the loan cost, since it is fixed. Right? It's not like they can pay for costs over time like", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": -0.029209473656248708, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029209473656248708, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03790697023667122, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04206508957389721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008697496580422515, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0128556159176485, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022532749493183735, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022532749493183735, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016225205458635594, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009465311529971432, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00630754403454814, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013067437963212303, "ret_p1w": 0.03588571189775691, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03588571189775691, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04275028812213588, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03334622277223054, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006864576224378971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002539489125526373, "ret_p1m": -0.09284389802385418, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09284389802385418, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050632079310394706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015180155937590478, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04221181871345947, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0776637420862637, "ret_p3m": -0.03766013544901414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03766013544901414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07081138995852243, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08197542068672947, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03315125450950829, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04431528523771533, "ret_p6m": 0.08525461317728555, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08525461317728555, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.014660806112003044, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11448636761448494, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07059380706528251, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1997409807917705, "price_path": [-0.1117, -0.1123, -0.1165, -0.1169, -0.1183, -0.1008, -0.0615, -0.0619, -0.0507, -0.0461, -0.042, -0.0734, -0.0746, -0.0705, -0.0665, -0.0624, -0.0578, -0.0626, -0.0561, -0.0592, -0.0601, -0.063, -0.0534, -0.0455, -0.0478, -0.0613, -0.0653, -0.085, -0.09, -0.0821, -0.0821, -0.1033, -0.1127, -0.0967, -0.0638, -0.0482, -0.0582, -0.0507, -0.0509, -0.0461, -0.0075, 0.0058, 0.0194, -0.0058, -0.0242, -0.0111, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0033, -0.0044, 0.0038, -0.0317, -0.0451, -0.049, -0.0307, -0.0261, -0.0204, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0294, -0.0288, -0.0348, -0.0292, 0.0, 0.0225, 0.0286, 0.0384, 0.0411, 0.0359, 0.0077, 0.034, -0.0323, -0.03, -0.0793, -0.0795, -0.0789, -0.0772, -0.0753, -0.0951, -0.141, -0.1665, -0.1527, -0.1519, -0.1085, -0.0928, -0.1031, -0.0962, -0.0901, -0.0641, -0.0545, -0.0453, -0.0407, -0.0286, -0.0307, 0.0134, 0.0171, 0.0275, 0.0234, 0.0321, 0.0386, 0.0386, 0.01, 0.0108, 0.0046, -0.014, -0.0086, -0.0626, -0.0657, -0.0354, -0.0316, -0.0197, -0.0061, 0.0178, 0.0169, 0.0224, 0.0048, 0.0054, -0.0435, -0.0418, -0.0278, -0.0621, -0.0613, -0.0626, -0.0592, -0.0446, -0.0383, -0.0377, 0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0012, 0.0171, 0.0008, 0.0251, 0.0328, 0.0286, 0.0234, 0.1238, 0.1069, 0.1027, 0.0891, 0.1029, 0.078, 0.087, 0.0617, 0.0659, 0.0834, 0.1232, 0.1514, 0.1585, 0.1625, 0.206, 0.2008, 0.2071, 0.2052, 0.193, 0.1765, 0.1527, 0.1477, 0.1646, 0.2242, 0.2591, 0.146, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1627, 0.1512, 0.1223, 0.1161, 0.1167, 0.1196, 0.105, 0.1056, 0.0909, 0.0964, 0.1012, 0.0951, 0.0723, 0.0479, 0.0553, 0.0861, 0.1018, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1358, 0.1379, 0.1249, 0.1167, 0.1167, 0.0769, 0.0853]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1917714023698817254", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-30T22:53:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the upside trade is on and I'm seeing good risk/reward into end of month for 325-365 (as high as 400 gap fill)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA into end of month targeting 325-365 (up to 400 gap fill) on rectangle breakout, bull flag, and key support hold around 275.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing $TSLA rectangle breakout + bull flag forming between ~270 and ~292 (which was expected resistance) and a potential rally next ~2 weeks into ~350-365 (around 2day ichimoku cloud)\n\nIf this happens, a retrace from ~365 to 280-300 would also form a potential bullish cup and handle setup (targeting ~480-520) into summer. \n\nLots of ifs here, but I can see it if Robotaxi + new MY compact launches go well.\n\n---\n\n$TSLA retested the 1w cloud + many key support levels around 275 and bounced nicely as expected.\n\nWe can still see 265-270 (2h cloud test) but we need 270 to hold a 2h or 1d candle for this uptrend to remain intact\n\nTakeaway: the upside trade is on and I'm seeing good risk/reward into end of month for 325-365 (as high as 400 gap fill). FOMC Wednesday will be pivotal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.034980135345500596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034980135345500596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03537690194265142, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02580434637391149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00039676659715082163, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009175788971589105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005812356915055328, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005812356915055328, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01289916051815021, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011338054441394685, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007086803603094882, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005525697526339357, "ret_p1w": -0.021051893834391544, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021051893834391544, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03297159067977429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03032895945308267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011919696845382743, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009277065618691127, "ret_p1m": 0.2703075844335694, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2703075844335694, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20627263958290176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18052766895707872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06403494485066763, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08977991547649067, "ret_p3m": 0.15391973388187674, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15391973388187674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.001932522145779103, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0048732546838192725, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15198721173609764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14904647919805747, "ret_p6m": 0.5912248552561974, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5912248552561974, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3728929025533585, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37811454261152333, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2183319527028389, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21311031264467406, "price_path": [0.4339, 0.3598, 0.39, 0.3403, 0.3266, 0.2816, 0.243, 0.1642, 0.1926, 0.2615, 0.2611, 0.2611, 0.255, 0.2779, 0.256, 0.1972, 0.1714, 0.0731, 0.0306, -0.0007, 0.0383, 0.0088, -0.0359, -0.0108, -0.0663, -0.0691, -0.2127, -0.1828, -0.1207, -0.147, -0.114, -0.1565, -0.2015, -0.1641, -0.1627, -0.1185, -0.0134, 0.0212, -0.0358, -0.032, -0.066, -0.0815, -0.0486, 0.0021, -0.0527, -0.1514, -0.1732, -0.2137, -0.0353, -0.1055, -0.1058, -0.1056, -0.0994, -0.1439, -0.1446, -0.1446, -0.1937, -0.1566, -0.1114, -0.0803, 0.0099, 0.0132, 0.035, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0179, -0.0067, -0.0241, -0.0211, 0.0094, 0.0571, 0.1284, 0.184, 0.2322, 0.215, 0.2404, 0.2124, 0.2185, 0.1859, 0.2087, 0.2027, 0.2027, 0.2861, 0.2649, 0.2703, 0.2279, 0.2145, 0.2201, 0.1768, 0.009, 0.046, 0.0936, 0.1557, 0.1569, 0.131, 0.1529, 0.1665, 0.1212, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.1418, 0.2358, 0.2067, 0.1609, 0.1546, 0.147, 0.1258, 0.0657, 0.1187, 0.1176, 0.1176, 0.0417, 0.0555, 0.0486, 0.0982, 0.1111, 0.1231, 0.1014, 0.14, 0.132, 0.1683, 0.1642, 0.177, 0.1786, 0.082, 0.1201, 0.1539, 0.1384, 0.1307, 0.0925, 0.0725, 0.096, 0.0941, 0.1338, 0.1422, 0.1683, 0.2016, 0.208, 0.2028, 0.1893, 0.1715, 0.1878, 0.1671, 0.1479, 0.1345, 0.205, 0.2284, 0.2463, 0.239, 0.2262, 0.1833, 0.1833, 0.1673, 0.184, 0.1998, 0.2434, 0.2277, 0.2297, 0.2326, 0.3071, 0.4032, 0.4532, 0.4943, 0.5093, 0.4774, 0.51, 0.5389, 0.5093, 0.5693, 0.5005, 0.5608, 0.5708, 0.5761, 0.6284, 0.5452, 0.5234, 0.6064, 0.5349, 0.5548, 0.5436, 0.4654, 0.5449, 0.5213, 0.5422, 0.5195, 0.557, 0.5857, 0.5686, 0.5557, 0.5912]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1868889801090580621", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-17T05:23:45+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PE is in the back seat Gary. Buckle up TA, sentiment and momentum is driving the stock.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses TSLA going higher driven by TA, sentiment and momentum, not valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 PE is in the back seat Gary. Buckle up TA, sentiment and momentum is driving the stock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Reiterating my posts from the weekend. Despite a stretched valuation (TSLA FY\u201925 P/E 140x), $TSLA likely going higher into year-end, as 1/ Analysts raise their price targets, which remain below TSLA\u2019s stock (not good look to argue for higher year-end bonuses);  2/ Investors sell https://t.co/zPp9aOAS8W", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.035093562397275235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035093562397275235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039230557194108284, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03196116801217286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004136994796833049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031323943851023772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0827949436951747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0827949436951747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052991267426584, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03772957157943457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.029803676268590706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04506537211574013, "ret_p1w": -0.03663565854399364, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03663565854399364, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.035036708718446996, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017775727488936188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0015989498255466472, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018859931055057455, "ret_p1m": -0.10761469117502287, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10761469117502287, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09186906566815412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058668092691388285, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015745625506868755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.048946598483634585, "ret_p3m": -0.47905638444848697, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.47905638444848697, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41354848346493545, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3021477969963787, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550790098355153, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17690858745210825, "ret_p6m": -0.31973908506535087, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31973908506535087, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.321243343996522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22070837850133262, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0015042589311711208, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09903070656401824, "price_path": [-0.4917, -0.5035, -0.479, -0.4701, -0.4644, -0.4702, -0.4572, -0.4548, -0.4623, -0.4811, -0.4985, -0.4788, -0.4981, -0.4905, -0.4977, -0.5024, -0.5461, -0.5433, -0.5424, -0.5388, -0.5397, -0.5401, -0.5439, -0.5458, -0.5548, -0.4572, -0.439, -0.4529, -0.4592, -0.4633, -0.4793, -0.4811, -0.4939, -0.476, -0.3987, -0.3813, -0.3306, -0.2706, -0.3154, -0.3118, -0.3515, -0.3316, -0.2941, -0.279, -0.2872, -0.2922, -0.2653, -0.2944, -0.2951, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.2807, -0.2558, -0.2677, -0.2541, -0.23, -0.1889, -0.1877, -0.1644, -0.1148, -0.1287, -0.0909, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0828, -0.091, -0.1225, -0.1027, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0536, -0.1004, -0.1301, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.2096, -0.1447, -0.1434, -0.1782, -0.177, -0.177, -0.1774, -0.1595, -0.174, -0.1076, -0.1376, -0.1112, -0.1112, -0.1163, -0.1349, -0.1406, -0.1527, -0.1724, -0.1704, -0.1891, -0.1658, -0.1568, -0.2004, -0.1827, -0.2119, -0.2199, -0.2464, -0.2691, -0.3154, -0.2987, -0.2582, -0.2585, -0.2585, -0.2621, -0.2486, -0.2615, -0.296, -0.3112, -0.369, -0.394, -0.4124, -0.3894, -0.4068, -0.4331, -0.4184, -0.451, -0.4526, -0.5371, -0.5195, -0.483, -0.4984, -0.4791, -0.504, -0.5305, -0.5085, -0.5076, -0.4817, -0.4199, -0.3995, -0.433, -0.4308, -0.4508, -0.4599, -0.4405, -0.4107, -0.443, -0.501, -0.5138, -0.5377, -0.4328, -0.474, -0.4742, -0.4741, -0.4704, -0.4966, -0.497, -0.497, -0.5259, -0.5041, -0.4775, -0.4592, -0.4062, -0.4042, -0.3914, -0.412, -0.4154, -0.4015, -0.416, -0.4262, -0.4244, -0.4065, -0.3784, -0.3365, -0.3038, -0.2755, -0.2856, -0.2707, -0.2871, -0.2835, -0.3027, -0.2893, -0.2928, -0.2928, -0.2438, -0.2562, -0.2531, -0.278, -0.2859, -0.2826, -0.308, -0.4067, -0.3849, -0.3569, -0.3204, -0.3197]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1988343510144344167", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T20:30:09+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long at w/ stock and LEAPs at ~35 and hedge with weekly far OTM covered calls. Targets are ~40, ~45, ~60. $ONON at $15b is worth more than $LULU (currently at 20b).", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long ONON via stock and LEAPs with targets of $40/$45/$60; post-earnings valuation of $15B seen as more compelling than LULU at $20B.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rarely do I post any non-tech names, but $ONON into tomorrow's earnings looks like an optimal asymmetrical setup (30%+ upside; 10-15% downside). Fib chan/golden retracement and <30 RSI on 1d/2d/1w suggest technical symmetry to upside.\n\nFundamentals also look solid ex-tariff opaqueness. As a higher-end brand, I suspect all recent consumer cyclical weakness to be significantly overblown, though USD/CHF FX headwinds likely remain near-term.\n\n1. Long at w/ stock and LEAPs at ~35 and hedge with weekly far OTM covered calls\n2. 2nd entry at ~30-31 (if we go there)\n\nTargets are ~40, ~45, ~60.\n\n---\n\nUpdated price targets post-earnings. $ONON at $15b is worth more than $LULU (currently at 20b). Easier to get into apparel market than it is sneakers. \n\nMarket will figure it out. https://t.co/UdCM875qmp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006253587799735172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006253587799735172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003969576463259572, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0037906619894276794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024629258103074925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.17993172147375258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.17993172147375258, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17937523299514013, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18665264643694968, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006720924963197095, "ret_p1w": 0.21262079242039822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21262079242039822, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24617861145649222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.27544695246312334, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06282616004272512, "ret_p1m": 0.38487779414644585, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38487779414644585, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37818663132188934, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3854204922256489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0005426980792030411, "ret_p3m": 0.23564527696458537, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23564527696458537, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22150074543900078, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2485960382095984, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012950761245013043, "ret_p6m": 0.025014242765249994, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025014242765249994, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0555252418987382, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020223330214528712, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004790912550721282, "price_path": [0.2567, 0.2888, 0.2854, 0.28, 0.286, 0.2672, 0.3235, 0.2959, 0.2843, 0.2843, 0.2675, 0.2814, 0.2814, 0.2732, 0.2735, 0.309, 0.2939, 0.2848, 0.2618, 0.218, 0.2308, 0.2192, 0.2129, 0.2229, 0.2462, 0.2789, 0.2857, 0.2959, 0.3036, 0.3007, 0.2484, 0.2072, 0.2391, 0.2038, 0.1643, 0.2041, 0.1967, 0.2101, 0.1856, 0.2399, 0.2308, 0.1899, 0.2214, 0.199, 0.1779, 0.1933, 0.1887, 0.1788, 0.2197, 0.2015, 0.2288, 0.1853, 0.1998, 0.1703, 0.1168, 0.0583, 0.056, 0.0364, 0.029, 0.0256, 0.0094, -0.0051, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.1799, 0.2052, 0.2052, 0.1768, 0.2126, 0.2308, 0.1774, 0.1734, 0.1595, 0.187, 0.2277, 0.2277, 0.2504, 0.27, 0.2834, 0.338, 0.3221, 0.3684, 0.3366, 0.3448, 0.3849, 0.407, 0.386, 0.3584, 0.3727, 0.3673, 0.3775, 0.3806, 0.3684, 0.3613, 0.3215, 0.3215, 0.3297, 0.3491, 0.3488, 0.3212, 0.3212, 0.3346, 0.3928, 0.394, 0.3832, 0.4392, 0.3962, 0.3903, 0.3434, 0.2811, 0.3076, 0.2806, 0.2806, 0.2541, 0.3161, 0.3252, 0.3064, 0.3209, 0.2939, 0.2752, 0.2797, 0.2862, 0.3059, 0.2544, 0.247, 0.22, 0.2356, 0.2604, 0.2877, 0.2874, 0.2584, 0.2874, 0.2874, 0.3263, 0.3454, 0.365, 0.4048, 0.3485, 0.33, 0.326, 0.353, 0.3212, 0.3292, 0.2482, 0.2288, 0.2328, 0.1785, 0.1706, 0.166, 0.1211, 0.079, 0.0799, 0.1157, 0.131, 0.11, 0.1049, 0.0705, 0.133, 0.1254, -0.0006, -0.0873, -0.0793, -0.0938, -0.033, -0.0117, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0429, -0.0844, -0.0389, -0.021, -0.0463, -0.0281, 0.0114, 0.0071, 0.0068, 0.0503, 0.0588, 0.0441, 0.0404, 0.0296, 0.0304, 0.0213, 0.0071, 0.0043, 0.0122, -0.0182, -0.0253, -0.0168, 0.025]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1865132855212544254", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-06T20:34:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. My PT for 2025 is $607.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA: $400 next week, $400-430 EOY range, PT $607 for 2025; $400-430 seen as strong resistance depending on Q4 deliveries.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. I expect this range to be strong resistance for at least a few weeks depending on the Q4 delivery print Jan 3.\n\nMy PT for 2025 is $607. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\nFor what it's worth, I called the $414 ATH (2021) top within $1 ($413 post-split). \n\nhttps://t.co/q5QR2MNJUU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050691153908969944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050691153908969944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048798899558583964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030072563680793696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018922543503859801, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020618590228176248, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014644862094215227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014644862094215227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006614214719169009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00464314765002094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051497285097474865, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031786614405994174, "ret_p1w": 0.12078004629306927, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12078004629306927, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12670294960328776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10922515101640107, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005922903310218497, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011554895276668198, "ret_p1m": 0.05608649736344651, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05608649736344651, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0732732818394376, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.080142459538882, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01718678447599109, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024055962175435486, "ret_p3m": -0.28292481057453445, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28292481057453445, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24543349908035672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19276433174373075, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.037491311494177726, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09016047883080369, "ret_p6m": -0.11954678236823835, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11954678236823835, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1009288476567376, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04436250920604867, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01861793471150075, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07518427316218967, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.4139, -0.4096, -0.4083, -0.4173, -0.4145, -0.4163, -0.3733, -0.3879, -0.3577, -0.3467, -0.3397, -0.3468, -0.3308, -0.3278, -0.3371, -0.3602, -0.3817, -0.3575, -0.3812, -0.3718, -0.3807, -0.3865, -0.4404, -0.4369, -0.4359, -0.4313, -0.4325, -0.433, -0.4377, -0.44, -0.4511, -0.3308, -0.3084, -0.3255, -0.3332, -0.3383, -0.3581, -0.3603, -0.3761, -0.354, -0.2587, -0.2372, -0.1747, -0.1008, -0.156, -0.1515, -0.2005, -0.176, -0.1297, -0.111, -0.1212, -0.1274, -0.0942, -0.1301, -0.131, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1132, -0.0825, -0.0971, -0.0804, -0.0507, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0302, 0.0913, 0.0742, 0.1208, 0.1896, 0.2329, 0.1308, 0.1206, 0.0818, 0.1063, 0.1877, 0.1877, 0.1668, 0.109, 0.0724, 0.0376, 0.0376, -0.0255, 0.0545, 0.0561, 0.0132, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0142, 0.0362, 0.0183, 0.1002, 0.0632, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0895, 0.0665, 0.0595, 0.0446, 0.0204, 0.0228, -0.0003, 0.0284, 0.0395, -0.0142, 0.0077, -0.0284, -0.0383, -0.0709, -0.0989, -0.156, -0.1354, -0.0855, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0902, -0.0736, -0.0895, -0.1321, -0.1508, -0.222, -0.2529, -0.2756, -0.2473, -0.2687, -0.3011, -0.2829, -0.3231, -0.3251, -0.4292, -0.4076, -0.3626, -0.3816, -0.3577, -0.3885, -0.4211, -0.394, -0.393, -0.361, -0.2847, -0.2597, -0.301, -0.2983, -0.3229, -0.3342, -0.3103, -0.2735, -0.3133, -0.3848, -0.4006, -0.43, -0.3007, -0.3515, -0.3518, -0.3517, -0.3471, -0.3794, -0.3799, -0.3799, -0.4155, -0.3886, -0.3558, -0.3333, -0.2679, -0.2655, -0.2497, -0.2751, -0.2793, -0.2621, -0.2799, -0.2926, -0.2903, -0.2682, -0.2337, -0.182, -0.1417, -0.1067, -0.1192, -0.1008, -0.1211, -0.1166, -0.1403, -0.1238, -0.1282, -0.1282, -0.0676, -0.083, -0.0791, -0.1099, -0.1195]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993375088293691498", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T17:43:50+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$380 after that until 410 for 5T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL: 330-340 near-term resistance, then $380 target and $410 for 5T market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SixSigmaCapital Write some calls. 330-340 likely resistance near term. $380 after that until 410 for 5T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$GOOGL my largest position since Jan 23 and I\u2019ve been bullish the whole way despite the comments from the peanut gallery who do no work.\n\nIssue now is it\u2019s getting frothy but don\u2019t want to exit. However, I will sell a little to Gene Munster and Altcap at $340 tho haha", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SixSigmaCapital", "ret_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005707682165620009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003739879548509184, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011286145802906988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017693627877603868, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01218987856079301, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013997341338161107, "ret_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033234351853908994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031726598037802645, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008136408108623039, "ret_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054049742093956965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06477577025808157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036502991733533996, "ret_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04988478589499912, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05069974458560633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025180435107986954, "ret_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09968309412850562, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1817631090827061, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02228819313912611, "price_path": [-0.3462, -0.3423, -0.3423, -0.3471, -0.2875, -0.2824, -0.2741, -0.2764, -0.2591, -0.2605, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2221, -0.2235, -0.2285, -0.2208, -0.2125, -0.2192, -0.2219, -0.2359, -0.2401, -0.2378, -0.2455, -0.2484, -0.2428, -0.2404, -0.2414, -0.2257, -0.2402, -0.2437, -0.2532, -0.2686, -0.2451, -0.2411, -0.2239, -0.2225, -0.2169, -0.2068, -0.2256, -0.2218, -0.2175, -0.1964, -0.1675, -0.173, -0.1511, -0.1297, -0.1306, -0.1228, -0.1419, -0.121, -0.1196, -0.1379, -0.1031, -0.0993, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1454, -0.1188, -0.1211, -0.0947, -0.1051, -0.0735, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0101, -0.0264, -0.0236, -0.0118, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.0294, -0.019, -0.0093, -0.0334, -0.0431, -0.0464, -0.0515, -0.082, -0.0643, -0.0497, -0.0416, -0.0275, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0301, -0.0299, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.025, -0.0207, -0.0275, -0.0039, 0.0068, 0.0165, 0.0267, 0.0394, 0.039, 0.0296, 0.0209, 0.0209, -0.0038, 0.0159, 0.0226, 0.0145, 0.031, 0.035, 0.0395, 0.0465, 0.0457, 0.0633, 0.051, 0.0304, 0.0248, -0.0011, 0.0034, -0.0144, -0.038, -0.044, -0.0542, -0.0542, -0.0656, -0.0616, -0.063, -0.0255, -0.0363, -0.0381, -0.032, -0.049, -0.0355, -0.0517, -0.0608, -0.0622, -0.0691, -0.0764, -0.0515, -0.0494, -0.0443, -0.0602, -0.0642, -0.054, -0.0374, -0.0474, -0.0491, -0.0681, -0.0648, -0.1008, -0.0993, -0.1303, -0.1507, -0.1533, -0.1097, -0.0793, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.0712, -0.0543, -0.0176, -0.014, -0.0178, -0.0052, 0.0307, 0.0437, 0.0403, 0.0578, 0.0446, 0.0288, 0.0505, 0.0492, 0.0662, 0.0846, 0.0829, 0.0834, 0.1913, 0.1941, 0.1865, 0.2026, 0.2323, 0.2322, 0.2409, 0.2032, 0.1992, 0.2465, 0.2417, 0.2284, 0.2289, 0.2002, 0.2041]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1851314955892760987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-29T17:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm targeting $365 by end of Nov and ~$400-420 by end of year (instead of Nov)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting $365 end-Nov and $400-420 EOY; also bullish BTC and COIN as Trump-trade beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA update: price is moving as I expected. $265 will continue to provide selling pressure for many technical reasons. $273 has key fib chan + trendline resistance so we're likely retracing to form a higher low. $252.50-257 were my retrace candidates and it looks like $257 might hold into next leg up. \n\nEach support candidate is simply a spectrum of reversal probability, but the continued move up seems likely from here. I added at $257 today. The lowest I can see us going w/o breaking uptrend is $247.\n\n---\n\nIf macro/big tech earnings are favorable, 283-290 is my target for this week.\n\n---\n\nMacro/big tech earnings didn't go favorably, ~243 needs to hold for this current uptrend to continue. Still expect $300 by EOY\n\n---\n\n$TSLA formed a bull flag and broke out of the parallel channel today, suggesting $310. If Trump wins I think this happens by Nov 15-22.\n\nI mentioned it needed to hold ~243 and it did so the bullish continuation is still in play. I added to my position yesterday at $242.\n\nKeep in mind the election and FOMC are wild cards that will affect the technicals.\n\n---\n\nWith Trumps decisive victory today, I'm confident $TSLA hits $300 this week and likely tests 310-330 by end of next week and $400 by Feb w/o any unexpected bearish catalysts (like some EV negative x-factor). $TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)\n\nHopefully you positioned yourself accordingly.\n\n---\n\n$TSLA hit $300 today as predicted. FOMC is in about an hour which could change the sentiment - but I doubt it will as 25bps cut is priced in. \n\n$310 bull flag target and $325 key channel target are up next and likely happen next week if FOMC comes in within line. \n\n$400 by next earnings if it's a good print (I can see it before EOY but <35% chance)\n\n---\n\n$310 bull flag target hit today - $325 and $338 new targets for next week\n\n---\n\nSo far movement within ranges (went bit higher than I expected intitially).\n\n$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days.   Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month.   I positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)\n\n---\n\nDead-on $TSLA predictions for the past 2 weeks. We hit ~$303 premarket today and a close above 317 is nice to see.\n\nNext week has breakout potential. Mon/Tues will be important to watch where price wants to go. If we do breakout above the bull flag + 30m/1h clouds (around $337) then I can see a fast $350 retest. \n\nI'm targeting $365 by end of Nov and ~$400-420 by end of year (instead of Nov)\n\n---\n\n$348 retest today (as predicted) created a new flag/parallel channel. Looks like we can see chop between 325-345 if it doesn't break above this channel.\n\nI took some profits at $347 but still holding all my stock w/ hedged covered calls (Dec 20 400 strike)\n\n---\n\n9 days ago I said this week's range is 330-365. Was very close (330-361.50) https://t.co/haLGqDZCvn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01152135048755576, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01152135048755576, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013137021546368643, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0062773797189676905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016156710588128842, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005243970768588069, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007590942139718337, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007590942139718337, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004565710481707064, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0061925396459596715, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030252316580112737, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013984024937586659, "ret_p1w": -0.03113435155023825, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03113435155023825, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022419616862990543, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044618726551443944, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008714734687247705, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013484375001205695, "ret_p1m": 0.28271435242277376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.28271435242277376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.253390066875848, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18377810906647807, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029324285546925788, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0989362433562957, "ret_p3m": 0.5666615435578122, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5666615435578122, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5181092879885314, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4157556107028928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04855225556928078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15090593285491938, "ret_p6m": -0.033831627204813364, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.033831627204813364, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03996360643207186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01123880337305283, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07379523363688523, "bench_c_p6m": -0.045070430577866194, "price_path": [-0.1644, -0.1998, -0.2337, -0.2269, -0.2611, -0.2338, -0.2293, -0.239, -0.1992, -0.224, -0.1749, -0.1672, -0.1418, -0.148, -0.1397, -0.1883, -0.151, -0.1784, -0.1939, -0.2072, -0.2051, -0.175, -0.175, -0.1885, -0.1546, -0.1131, -0.188, -0.1667, -0.1285, -0.121, -0.1145, -0.1126, -0.1262, -0.122, -0.1245, -0.0601, -0.082, -0.0367, -0.0202, -0.0096, -0.0204, 0.0036, 0.0081, -0.0058, -0.0405, -0.0727, -0.0364, -0.072, -0.0579, -0.0712, -0.08, -0.1608, -0.1555, -0.1539, -0.1472, -0.1489, -0.1496, -0.1567, -0.1601, -0.1767, 0.0037, 0.0373, 0.0115, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0373, -0.0406, -0.0643, -0.0311, 0.1118, 0.1441, 0.2377, 0.3486, 0.2658, 0.2725, 0.1991, 0.2358, 0.3053, 0.3332, 0.3179, 0.3087, 0.3585, 0.3047, 0.3033, 0.2827, 0.2827, 0.33, 0.376, 0.3541, 0.3792, 0.4237, 0.4998, 0.502, 0.5451, 0.6368, 0.6111, 0.6809, 0.7841, 0.849, 0.6959, 0.6807, 0.6225, 0.6592, 0.7813, 0.7813, 0.7499, 0.6633, 0.6084, 0.5561, 0.5561, 0.4615, 0.5815, 0.5839, 0.5196, 0.5218, 0.5218, 0.521, 0.5541, 0.5273, 0.65, 0.5946, 0.6434, 0.6434, 0.6341, 0.5995, 0.589, 0.5667, 0.5303, 0.5339, 0.4993, 0.5424, 0.559, 0.4784, 0.5113, 0.4572, 0.4424, 0.3934, 0.3515, 0.2658, 0.2967, 0.3715, 0.3711, 0.3711, 0.3645, 0.3893, 0.3656, 0.3016, 0.2736, 0.1668, 0.1205, 0.0864, 0.1289, 0.0968, 0.0482, 0.0754, 0.0151, 0.0121, -0.144, -0.1115, -0.044, -0.0726, -0.0368, -0.0829, -0.1318, -0.0912, -0.0896, -0.0417, 0.0727, 0.1103, 0.0483, 0.0524, 0.0155, -0.0014, 0.0344, 0.0896, 0.0299, -0.0774, -0.1011, -0.1451, 0.0489, -0.0274, -0.0278, -0.0276, -0.0208, -0.0692, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.1234, -0.083, -0.0338]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1851314955892760987", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-10-29T17:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting $365 end-Nov and $400-420 EOY; also bullish BTC and COIN as Trump-trade beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA update: price is moving as I expected. $265 will continue to provide selling pressure for many technical reasons. $273 has key fib chan + trendline resistance so we're likely retracing to form a higher low. $252.50-257 were my retrace candidates and it looks like $257 might hold into next leg up. \n\nEach support candidate is simply a spectrum of reversal probability, but the continued move up seems likely from here. I added at $257 today. The lowest I can see us going w/o breaking uptrend is $247.\n\n---\n\nIf macro/big tech earnings are favorable, 283-290 is my target for this week.\n\n---\n\nMacro/big tech earnings didn't go favorably, ~243 needs to hold for this current uptrend to continue. Still expect $300 by EOY\n\n---\n\n$TSLA formed a bull flag and broke out of the parallel channel today, suggesting $310. If Trump wins I think this happens by Nov 15-22.\n\nI mentioned it needed to hold ~243 and it did so the bullish continuation is still in play. I added to my position yesterday at $242.\n\nKeep in mind the election and FOMC are wild cards that will affect the technicals.\n\n---\n\nWith Trumps decisive victory today, I'm confident $TSLA hits $300 this week and likely tests 310-330 by end of next week and $400 by Feb w/o any unexpected bearish catalysts (like some EV negative x-factor). $TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)\n\nHopefully you positioned yourself accordingly.\n\n---\n\n$TSLA hit $300 today as predicted. FOMC is in about an hour which could change the sentiment - but I doubt it will as 25bps cut is priced in. \n\n$310 bull flag target and $325 key channel target are up next and likely happen next week if FOMC comes in within line. \n\n$400 by next earnings if it's a good print (I can see it before EOY but <35% chance)\n\n---\n\n$310 bull flag target hit today - $325 and $338 new targets for next week\n\n---\n\nSo far movement within ranges (went bit higher than I expected intitially).\n\n$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days.   Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month.   I positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)\n\n---\n\nDead-on $TSLA predictions for the past 2 weeks. We hit ~$303 premarket today and a close above 317 is nice to see.\n\nNext week has breakout potential. Mon/Tues will be important to watch where price wants to go. If we do breakout above the bull flag + 30m/1h clouds (around $337) then I can see a fast $350 retest. \n\nI'm targeting $365 by end of Nov and ~$400-420 by end of year (instead of Nov)\n\n---\n\n$348 retest today (as predicted) created a new flag/parallel channel. Looks like we can see chop between 325-345 if it doesn't break above this channel.\n\nI took some profits at $347 but still holding all my stock w/ hedged covered calls (Dec 20 400 strike)\n\n---\n\n9 days ago I said this week's range is 330-365. Was very close (330-361.50) https://t.co/haLGqDZCvn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038678703765476996, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038678703765476996, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03706303270666411, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016156710588128842, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.005238593875544262, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005238593875544262, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002213362217532988, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030252316580112737, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.046217092134556714, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046217092134556714, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03750235744730901, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008714734687247705, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.31960783492187494, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31960783492187494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29028354937494916, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029324285546925788, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.44140229558316335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44140229558316335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3928500400138826, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04855225556928078, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 0.28848288228591, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28848288228591, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36227811592279524, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07379523363688523, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1013, -0.1555, -0.2575, -0.2295, -0.2433, -0.1514, -0.1628, -0.1838, -0.1665, -0.1923, -0.2085, -0.1901, -0.1819, -0.1885, -0.1588, -0.1697, -0.1186, -0.1353, -0.1817, -0.1883, -0.1833, -0.187, -0.1871, -0.2102, -0.2028, -0.2277, -0.2581, -0.2159, -0.2073, -0.2115, -0.2007, -0.1671, -0.1998, -0.1707, -0.1522, -0.1345, -0.131, -0.1291, -0.1158, -0.1317, -0.1037, -0.0953, -0.1291, -0.1634, -0.1662, -0.1645, -0.1465, -0.1442, -0.1456, -0.1669, -0.1711, -0.1413, -0.0918, -0.0781, -0.0702, -0.0732, -0.0592, -0.0736, -0.0737, -0.0865, -0.0627, -0.0836, -0.0387, 0.0, -0.0052, -0.0345, -0.0445, -0.0675, -0.0462, 0.0401, 0.0438, 0.0526, 0.2198, 0.2095, 0.2456, 0.1998, 0.2523, 0.2451, 0.2698, 0.2973, 0.3546, 0.3613, 0.2803, 0.2649, 0.3196, 0.3153, 0.3402, 0.3183, 0.3202, 0.3582, 0.3283, 0.374, 0.3398, 0.3294, 0.3913, 0.3757, 0.3952, 0.458, 0.4596, 0.3757, 0.3406, 0.3443, 0.3021, 0.3569, 0.3655, 0.3173, 0.2949, 0.274, 0.2848, 0.2984, 0.3323, 0.3491, 0.4037, 0.3328, 0.307, 0.2718, 0.3023, 0.2997, 0.3275, 0.3821, 0.3718, 0.4365, 0.4029, 0.4596, 0.4254, 0.4296, 0.4414, 0.4038, 0.3935, 0.4261, 0.4402, 0.4082, 0.3945, 0.3459, 0.3286, 0.3283, 0.3274, 0.3399, 0.3166, 0.3461, 0.3287, 0.3409, 0.317, 0.3138, 0.3289, 0.3522, 0.3218, 0.2571, 0.2202, 0.1599, 0.1648, 0.1602, 0.1835, 0.1994, 0.2462, 0.2371, 0.1928, 0.0799, 0.1395, 0.1513, 0.1148, 0.1547, 0.1561, 0.1375, 0.1944, 0.1574, 0.1557, 0.2032, 0.2028, 0.195, 0.1988, 0.16, 0.1352, 0.1712, 0.1343, 0.1428, 0.153, 0.0896, 0.0488, 0.1355, 0.095, 0.1469, 0.1626, 0.1506, 0.1556, 0.1674, 0.1613, 0.2035, 0.2849, 0.2885]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1851314955892760987", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-10-29T17:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting $365 end-Nov and $400-420 EOY; also bullish BTC and COIN as Trump-trade beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA update: price is moving as I expected. $265 will continue to provide selling pressure for many technical reasons. $273 has key fib chan + trendline resistance so we're likely retracing to form a higher low. $252.50-257 were my retrace candidates and it looks like $257 might hold into next leg up. \n\nEach support candidate is simply a spectrum of reversal probability, but the continued move up seems likely from here. I added at $257 today. The lowest I can see us going w/o breaking uptrend is $247.\n\n---\n\nIf macro/big tech earnings are favorable, 283-290 is my target for this week.\n\n---\n\nMacro/big tech earnings didn't go favorably, ~243 needs to hold for this current uptrend to continue. Still expect $300 by EOY\n\n---\n\n$TSLA formed a bull flag and broke out of the parallel channel today, suggesting $310. If Trump wins I think this happens by Nov 15-22.\n\nI mentioned it needed to hold ~243 and it did so the bullish continuation is still in play. I added to my position yesterday at $242.\n\nKeep in mind the election and FOMC are wild cards that will affect the technicals.\n\n---\n\nWith Trumps decisive victory today, I'm confident $TSLA hits $300 this week and likely tests 310-330 by end of next week and $400 by Feb w/o any unexpected bearish catalysts (like some EV negative x-factor). $TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)\n\nHopefully you positioned yourself accordingly.\n\n---\n\n$TSLA hit $300 today as predicted. FOMC is in about an hour which could change the sentiment - but I doubt it will as 25bps cut is priced in. \n\n$310 bull flag target and $325 key channel target are up next and likely happen next week if FOMC comes in within line. \n\n$400 by next earnings if it's a good print (I can see it before EOY but <35% chance)\n\n---\n\n$310 bull flag target hit today - $325 and $338 new targets for next week\n\n---\n\nSo far movement within ranges (went bit higher than I expected intitially).\n\n$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days.   Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month.   I positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)\n\n---\n\nDead-on $TSLA predictions for the past 2 weeks. We hit ~$303 premarket today and a close above 317 is nice to see.\n\nNext week has breakout potential. Mon/Tues will be important to watch where price wants to go. If we do breakout above the bull flag + 30m/1h clouds (around $337) then I can see a fast $350 retest. \n\nI'm targeting $365 by end of Nov and ~$400-420 by end of year (instead of Nov)\n\n---\n\n$348 retest today (as predicted) created a new flag/parallel channel. Looks like we can see chop between 325-345 if it doesn't break above this channel.\n\nI took some profits at $347 but still holding all my stock w/ hedged covered calls (Dec 20 400 strike)\n\n---\n\n9 days ago I said this week's range is 330-365. Was very close (330-361.50) https://t.co/haLGqDZCvn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016206853770565743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016206853770565743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01459118271175286, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022387672786708945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016156710588128842, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006180819016143202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03605571354322745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03605571354322745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03303048188521618, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04053145895229748, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030252316580112737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004475745409070031, "ret_p1w": -0.11699898260848185, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11699898260848185, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10828424792123414, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11252340362111968, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008714734687247705, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004475578987362172, "ret_p1m": 0.4157334325856208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4157334325856208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.386409147038695, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32323541529224187, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029324285546925788, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09249801729337892, "ret_p3m": 0.35664206060196846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.35664206060196846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3080898050326877, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26826065067226756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04855225556928078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0883814099297009, "ret_p6m": -0.1131749075657501, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1131749075657501, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03937967392886488, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13827246605112287, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.07379523363688523, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025097558485372762, "price_path": [-0.032, -0.0693, -0.1374, -0.116, -0.1855, -0.1245, -0.1064, -0.1271, -0.0989, -0.1079, -0.1026, -0.0653, -0.0692, -0.102, -0.0611, -0.0966, -0.0376, -0.0713, -0.0972, -0.1341, -0.1429, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.23, -0.2569, -0.273, -0.3292, -0.2941, -0.2786, -0.2846, -0.2584, -0.2577, -0.2648, -0.2604, -0.2596, -0.2341, -0.2257, -0.2251, -0.2184, -0.2394, -0.1809, -0.1294, -0.1889, -0.2488, -0.2513, -0.2575, -0.2219, -0.231, -0.2366, -0.2399, -0.2522, -0.197, -0.1061, -0.1062, -0.0418, -0.0704, 0.0025, -0.027, -0.0407, -0.0944, -0.0478, -0.0666, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0361, -0.184, -0.1674, -0.152, -0.117, 0.1577, 0.1635, 0.2325, 0.4761, 0.4528, 0.2962, 0.2694, 0.3924, 0.4814, 0.4776, 0.4568, 0.344, 0.3869, 0.4214, 0.3352, 0.4157, 0.4157, 0.3484, 0.3767, 0.4083, 0.5066, 0.4594, 0.5643, 0.4136, 0.3768, 0.4286, 0.4247, 0.4139, 0.4354, 0.4187, 0.2741, 0.247, 0.2688, 0.2208, 0.273, 0.273, 0.2492, 0.2096, 0.1634, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.1709, 0.2321, 0.31, 0.2034, 0.1837, 0.1837, 0.1781, 0.1436, 0.1626, 0.2516, 0.2821, 0.3452, 0.3452, 0.3393, 0.3469, 0.3476, 0.3566, 0.2655, 0.283, 0.3248, 0.3717, 0.3263, 0.2948, 0.2765, 0.2526, 0.2309, 0.2496, 0.2757, 0.2151, 0.2515, 0.3571, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2047, 0.1776, 0.1681, 0.0716, 0.0337, -0.0326, -0.0305, -0.0514, -0.0184, -0.0633, -0.0324, 0.0127, -0.025, -0.0101, -0.1841, -0.1273, -0.1272, -0.192, -0.1663, -0.1398, -0.1754, -0.1362, -0.1333, -0.1357, -0.0757, -0.0702, -0.117, -0.1415, -0.2082, -0.2159, -0.2055, -0.1671, -0.2226, -0.2691, -0.284, -0.3104, -0.1938, -0.2278, -0.201, -0.1961, -0.2007, -0.216, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.2033, -0.135, -0.1132]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854195968419491856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-06T16:15:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA is likely going to $325 before EOY (maybe even EOM) and for the first time since 2022 I'm back in long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA targeting $325 by EOY/EOM; first long since 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. Not to brag, but I bought sub-$40 mostly and sold mostly above $300. I caught the top at $414 and went short most of 2022-24 with 90%+ win rates. \n\n$TSLA is likely going to $325 before EOY (maybe even EOM) and for the first time since 2022 I'm back in long https://t.co/NOjmDRxewT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Might as well get in on $TSLA while it\u2019s still below $300/share. Not sure how much longer this discount will last. A significant amount of risk just vanished overnight.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jasondebolt", "ret_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10428575355130221, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09755763596775924, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024262392204112304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030990509787655274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021311730569032017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01619881418204172, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007732060087975334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01284497647496563, "ret_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1341550125594253, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1017755394832629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010405316111920415, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04278478918808282, "ret_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2541669923998833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19187355727871092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026427718020527013, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08872115314169937, "ret_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31498441785072373, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23372800972762509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014790629108142994, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09604703723124164, "ret_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021312790973026186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020691987822314073, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04907423622833229, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04845343307762018, "price_path": [-0.3068, -0.3155, -0.2797, -0.302, -0.2578, -0.251, -0.2281, -0.2337, -0.2262, -0.2699, -0.2364, -0.261, -0.2749, -0.2869, -0.2851, -0.2579, -0.2579, -0.2701, -0.2396, -0.2023, -0.2696, -0.2504, -0.2161, -0.2093, -0.2035, -0.2019, -0.214, -0.2102, -0.2126, -0.1546, -0.1743, -0.1335, -0.1187, -0.1092, -0.1189, -0.0973, -0.0932, -0.1057, -0.1369, -0.1659, -0.1333, -0.1653, -0.1526, -0.1646, -0.1725, -0.2451, -0.2404, -0.239, -0.2329, -0.2344, -0.2351, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2595, -0.0972, -0.067, -0.0902, -0.1005, -0.1074, -0.1341, -0.1371, -0.1584, -0.1285, 0.0, 0.029, 0.1133, 0.213, 0.1385, 0.1446, 0.0785, 0.1116, 0.174, 0.1992, 0.1854, 0.1771, 0.2219, 0.1735, 0.1723, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1963, 0.2376, 0.218, 0.2405, 0.2806, 0.349, 0.351, 0.3898, 0.4722, 0.4491, 0.5119, 0.6048, 0.6631, 0.5254, 0.5117, 0.4593, 0.4924, 0.6022, 0.6022, 0.5739, 0.4961, 0.4467, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3145, 0.4225, 0.4246, 0.3668, 0.3688, 0.3688, 0.3681, 0.3978, 0.3737, 0.4841, 0.4342, 0.4782, 0.4782, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4292, 0.4091, 0.3765, 0.3797, 0.3486, 0.3873, 0.4023, 0.3298, 0.3593, 0.3107, 0.2973, 0.2533, 0.2156, 0.1385, 0.1663, 0.2336, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2273, 0.2496, 0.2283, 0.1708, 0.1456, 0.0495, 0.0079, -0.0228, 0.0154, -0.0134, -0.0572, -0.0327, -0.0869, -0.0896, -0.2301, -0.2008, -0.1402, -0.1658, -0.1336, -0.1751, -0.2191, -0.1825, -0.1812, -0.138, -0.0351, -0.0014, -0.0571, -0.0534, -0.0866, -0.1018, -0.0696, -0.02, -0.0736, -0.1702, -0.1915, -0.2311, -0.0566, -0.1252, -0.1255, -0.1254, -0.1193, -0.1628, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.2115, -0.1752, -0.131, -0.1006, -0.0124, -0.0092, 0.0121, -0.0221, -0.0278]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1867042877144174898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-12T03:04:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$607 is my target for 2025 (near 2T). I agree it can be the largest by market cap in 5-10 years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA to $607 (~$2T market cap) by 2025, with potential to become largest company by market cap in 5-10 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 $607 is my target for 2025 (near 2T). I agree it can be the largest by market cap in 5-10 years. I also called the $414 ATH top in 2021. This is coming from a guys who\u2019s invested/traded it since 2015 with insane success. \n\nhttps://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm calling it now. $TSLA will become the most valuable company in the world.\n\nIt will surpass every other American company. $TSLA will trade between $600-700 within the next 2 years. We've seen a 3.5 year consolidation in this stock and it is setting up to present some life", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": 0.015953080154954336, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015953080154954336, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010773903123696638, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007596812911704998, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005179177031257698, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008356267243249338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04336284290396253, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04336284290396253, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04356146472349465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03939793717117568, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00019862181953211877, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00396490573278685, "ret_p1w": 0.04321934240714853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04321934240714853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07338508265175359, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06977961953357958, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030165740244605055, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026560277126431053, "ret_p1m": -0.05587183814428598, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05587183814428598, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019656048490961253, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009216768295222666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.036215789653324726, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056793514973808246, "ret_p3m": -0.4485051459818291, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4485051459818291, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3714959094503829, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2873617096164549, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0770092365314462, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1611434363653742, "ret_p6m": -0.2940922976801751, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2940922976801751, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2918334371114587, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20284584596153654, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.002258860568716381, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09124645171863854, "price_path": [-0.4576, -0.455, -0.4566, -0.4166, -0.4302, -0.4021, -0.3918, -0.3853, -0.392, -0.377, -0.3742, -0.3829, -0.4044, -0.4244, -0.4019, -0.424, -0.4152, -0.4235, -0.4289, -0.4791, -0.4758, -0.4748, -0.4706, -0.4717, -0.4721, -0.4766, -0.4787, -0.489, -0.377, -0.3562, -0.3721, -0.3793, -0.384, -0.4024, -0.4045, -0.4192, -0.3986, -0.3099, -0.2899, -0.2317, -0.1629, -0.2143, -0.2101, -0.2557, -0.2329, -0.1898, -0.1724, -0.1819, -0.1877, -0.1568, -0.1902, -0.191, -0.2038, -0.2038, -0.1745, -0.1459, -0.1595, -0.1439, -0.1163, -0.0691, -0.0677, -0.0409, 0.016, 0.0, 0.0434, 0.1074, 0.1477, 0.0527, 0.0432, 0.0071, 0.0299, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.0862, 0.0324, -0.0017, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0928, -0.0183, -0.0169, -0.0568, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0559, -0.0354, -0.052, 0.0242, -0.0102, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0143, -0.0072, -0.0137, -0.0276, -0.0501, -0.0479, -0.0694, -0.0426, -0.0323, -0.0823, -0.0619, -0.0955, -0.1047, -0.1351, -0.1611, -0.2143, -0.1951, -0.1487, -0.1489, -0.1489, -0.153, -0.1376, -0.1524, -0.1921, -0.2094, -0.2758, -0.3045, -0.3256, -0.2993, -0.3192, -0.3493, -0.3325, -0.3699, -0.3718, -0.4687, -0.4485, -0.4066, -0.4243, -0.4021, -0.4307, -0.4611, -0.4359, -0.4349, -0.4051, -0.3342, -0.3108, -0.3493, -0.3467, -0.3696, -0.3801, -0.3579, -0.3237, -0.3607, -0.4273, -0.442, -0.4694, -0.349, -0.3963, -0.3965, -0.3964, -0.3922, -0.4223, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4559, -0.4308, -0.4003, -0.3793, -0.3185, -0.3162, -0.3015, -0.3251, -0.3291, -0.3131, -0.3297, -0.3414, -0.3393, -0.3188, -0.2866, -0.2385, -0.201, -0.1684, -0.1801, -0.1629, -0.1818, -0.1777, -0.1997, -0.1843, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.132, -0.1464, -0.1427, -0.1713, -0.1804, -0.1766, -0.2058, -0.3191, -0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987967324905931200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T19:35:19+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every hospital in the world should be running Foundry/AIP. Once people experience an emergency visit reduced 50-90% wait time they'll have a lightbulb moment.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PLTR: hospital use-case for Foundry/AIP is a massive untapped opportunity with clear value demonstration.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TradexWhisperer Yup. IMO, the easiest use-case understanding for PLTR ontology\u2019s value proposition is a hospital. Every hospital in the world should be running Foundry/AIP. Once people experience an emergency visit reduced  50-90% wait time they\u2019ll have a lightbulb moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PLTR valuation makes ZERO sense \n\nBut then why do institutions keep buying it?\nWhat do they know that you don't?\n\nI work in BIG DATA analytics and let me share the secrets of Palantir in the most basic way\n\nPalantir has monopoly on Automated Governance, serving as the ultimate https://t.co/XGLRmO7rq8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TradexWhisperer", "ret_m1d": -0.0809875930227747, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0809875930227747, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06562300403611421, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06562300403611421, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013687277971852319, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013687277971852319, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015976517958409153, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015976517958409153, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "ret_p1w": -0.11548990516947533, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11548990516947533, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09234771926146168, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09234771926146168, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "ret_p1m": -0.060792336322277984, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.060792336322277984, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06314030710568819, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06314030710568819, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "ret_p3m": -0.3284954594443361, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3284954594443361, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3258280723946029, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3258280723946029, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "ret_p6m": -0.2980217796929091, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2980217796929091, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36618796731024117, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36618796731024117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "price_path": [-0.0477, -0.065, -0.0849, -0.1011, -0.1852, -0.1942, -0.1933, -0.1801, -0.1882, -0.1691, -0.1905, -0.1833, -0.1906, -0.1906, -0.1886, -0.1999, -0.1935, -0.2092, -0.1937, -0.1614, -0.1388, -0.1511, -0.1146, -0.1157, -0.1206, -0.1306, -0.0859, -0.058, -0.0738, -0.0571, -0.0726, -0.0748, -0.0828, -0.0762, -0.0578, -0.0447, -0.0339, -0.1061, -0.0727, -0.0591, -0.0519, -0.042, -0.0938, -0.0847, -0.0716, -0.0723, -0.08, -0.0799, -0.0621, -0.0625, -0.0936, -0.0678, -0.0464, -0.0229, -0.0207, 0.0269, 0.0049, 0.0354, 0.0701, -0.0148, -0.0295, -0.0959, -0.081, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.0488, -0.1109, -0.1012, -0.1155, -0.1357, -0.1456, -0.1956, -0.2002, -0.162, -0.1553, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.13, -0.1349, -0.1184, -0.0905, -0.081, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0608, -0.0294, -0.0314, -0.0519, -0.0535, -0.0303, -0.0843, -0.0409, -0.0012, 0.0019, 0.0027, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0253, -0.0487, -0.066, -0.0819, -0.0819, -0.133, -0.1011, -0.0718, -0.0616, -0.0865, -0.0833, -0.0733, -0.0757, -0.0786, -0.0854, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1295, -0.1461, -0.1431, -0.124, -0.135, -0.1442, -0.1873, -0.2156, -0.2429, -0.2368, -0.1845, -0.2793, -0.3285, -0.2981, -0.2619, -0.2794, -0.2992, -0.333, -0.3213, -0.3213, -0.3129, -0.3008, -0.3033, -0.3015, -0.3254, -0.3345, -0.3069, -0.2979, -0.2914, -0.2502, -0.2396, -0.2088, -0.2115, -0.1883, -0.192, -0.2194, -0.217, -0.2072, -0.2203, -0.2112, -0.199, -0.2109, -0.1959, -0.2217, -0.1693, -0.2006, -0.1996, -0.2378, -0.2611, -0.2896, -0.2445, -0.2434, -0.2332, -0.2332, -0.2359, -0.2249, -0.273, -0.326, -0.3386, -0.3163, -0.2991, -0.2658, -0.2626, -0.2439, -0.2465, -0.2461, -0.2117, -0.2688, -0.2609, -0.2609, -0.2708, -0.2874, -0.2815, -0.2559, -0.2458, -0.298]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1887251808273506700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-05T21:27:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Limping back into $NVDA today after exiting north of $135. things are starting to look less bearish from a technical standpoint", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Re-entering NVDA long after prior exit at $135; technicals looking less bearish, watching earnings as key catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Limping back into $NVDA today after exiting north of $135. Was targeting $110-113 for a potential 'bottom' - might still chop downward to $100-110 before earnings but things are starting to look less bearish from a technical standpoint. \n\nFundamentally, upcoming earnings will be most critical in over a year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04950735365415704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04950735365415704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04546912405582482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026564920805966064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004038229598332221, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022942432848190975, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030842196043886938, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030842196043886938, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02736668484993099, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025946159632879162, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003475511193955949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004896036411007776, "ret_p1w": 0.05054878353726422, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05054878353726422, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05197213008950974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04500535526757621, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001423346552245519, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005543428269688011, "ret_p1m": -0.11423533282898313, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11423533282898313, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06208555073761168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003528847650868916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.052149782091371444, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11070648517811421, "ret_p3m": -0.08811600968870947, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08811600968870947, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02354532816816257, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.031370924986088955, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0645706815205469, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11948693467479843, "ret_p6m": 0.4251278921627908, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4251278921627908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3727700754036205, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25664039847537246, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052357816759170284, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16848749368741833, "price_path": [0.1826, 0.1636, 0.1879, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.1373, 0.1226, 0.1776, 0.1686, 0.1749, 0.1371, 0.0896, 0.0968, 0.0841, 0.0841, 0.1074, 0.1105, 0.1235, 0.1626, 0.1621, 0.1411, 0.112, 0.082, 0.116, 0.1002, 0.0755, 0.0574, 0.0445, 0.0327, 0.0469, 0.0791, 0.1189, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.121, 0.0976, 0.1014, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.108, 0.1573, 0.1971, 0.1226, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.0888, 0.0673, 0.0555, 0.0914, 0.07, 0.1032, 0.1032, 0.1282, 0.1782, 0.1794, 0.1425, -0.0513, 0.0333, -0.0091, -0.0014, -0.0381, -0.0654, -0.0495, 0.0, 0.0308, 0.0401, 0.07, 0.0638, 0.0505, 0.0838, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1167, 0.1154, 0.1224, 0.0769, 0.0437, 0.0144, 0.0517, -0.0375, 0.0007, -0.0863, -0.0708, -0.0603, -0.1142, -0.0973, -0.143, -0.1287, -0.0727, -0.074, -0.0252, -0.0424, -0.0752, -0.0585, -0.0504, -0.057, -0.0273, -0.0331, -0.0886, -0.1073, -0.1214, -0.1317, -0.1175, -0.1154, -0.1844, -0.2444, -0.2177, -0.2285, -0.084, -0.1382, -0.1113, -0.113, -0.1011, -0.1629, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.2236, -0.2077, -0.1771, -0.1473, -0.1106, -0.1289, -0.1266, -0.1274, -0.1058, -0.0827, -0.0881, -0.0904, -0.0622, -0.0597, -0.0654, -0.0146, 0.041, 0.0843, 0.0802, 0.0848, 0.0861, 0.0766, 0.0559, 0.0642, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0856, 0.08, 0.1151, 0.0826, 0.1006, 0.1314, 0.137, 0.1215, 0.1354, 0.1427, 0.1534, 0.1444, 0.1618, 0.1375, 0.1593, 0.1547, 0.1656, 0.1656, 0.1526, 0.1551, 0.185, 0.2364, 0.242, 0.2639, 0.2658, 0.2283, 0.2599, 0.2767, 0.2767, 0.2678, 0.282, 0.305, 0.3148, 0.3214, 0.3146, 0.3677, 0.373, 0.3861, 0.3814, 0.3731, 0.3383, 0.3683, 0.392, 0.3901, 0.4162, 0.4062, 0.4363, 0.4251]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001544123439030512", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-18T06:44:40+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Smart move.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's $1M+ Google buy as a smart move; implied bullish on Google.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@levelsio Smart move. \n\nhttps://t.co/aln70mKnXn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "So I bought over $1M in Google today\n\nKinda crazy but also not so crazy\n\nI've been the biggest Google hater for years, it was completely mismanaged, destroyed by politics and lack of any leadership, fumbled inventing Transformers etc.\n\nThen Sergey returned and suddenly Google is https://t.co/739wVi5sEn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "levelsio", "ret_m1d": -0.01897771585465602, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01897771585465602, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011482978531152654, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013310959747013018, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007494737323503364, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005666756107643001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015539319976288546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015539319976288546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006475874496836731, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015110069216974109, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063445479451815, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004292507593144368, "ret_p1w": 0.03845139108426188, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03845139108426188, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014873039656068787, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02125986850656858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02357835142819309, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017191522577693297, "ret_p1m": 0.09105337550738146, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09105337550738146, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06557729372440413, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09901386413200564, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025476081782977333, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007960488624624174, "ret_p3m": 0.028694359683834048, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.028694359683834048, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03416079220574564, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03493204369435865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466432521911591, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006237684010524602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1656, -0.1685, -0.1834, -0.1879, -0.1854, -0.1936, -0.1968, -0.1908, -0.1882, -0.1893, -0.1726, -0.188, -0.1918, -0.202, -0.2184, -0.1933, -0.189, -0.1706, -0.1692, -0.1631, -0.1523, -0.1725, -0.1684, -0.1638, -0.1412, -0.1103, -0.1163, -0.0928, -0.07, -0.0709, -0.0626, -0.083, -0.0606, -0.0592, -0.0787, -0.0415, -0.0375, -0.0527, -0.0796, -0.0867, -0.0583, -0.0607, -0.0325, -0.0436, -0.0099, 0.0526, 0.0687, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0579, 0.0404, 0.0435, 0.0561, 0.0494, 0.0615, 0.0372, 0.0483, 0.0587, 0.033, 0.0226, 0.019, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0, 0.0155, 0.0242, 0.0393, 0.0385, 0.0385, 0.0365, 0.0367, 0.0377, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.042, 0.0466, 0.0393, 0.0645, 0.076, 0.0863, 0.0972, 0.1108, 0.1104, 0.1002, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0646, 0.0857, 0.0928, 0.0842, 0.1018, 0.1061, 0.1109, 0.1183, 0.1175, 0.1363, 0.1232, 0.1011, 0.0952, 0.0674, 0.0723, 0.0533, 0.0281, 0.0216, 0.0108, 0.0108, -0.0015, 0.0029, 0.0013, 0.0414, 0.0299, 0.0279, 0.0345, 0.0163, 0.0307, 0.0134, 0.0037, 0.0022, -0.0052, -0.013, 0.0136, 0.0159, 0.0213, 0.0043, 0.0001, 0.011, 0.0287, 0.018, 0.0162, -0.0041, -0.0006, -0.0391, -0.0374, -0.0706, -0.0923, -0.0951, -0.0486, -0.0161, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0075, 0.0106, 0.0499, 0.0537, 0.0496, 0.0631, 0.1014, 0.1154, 0.1117, 0.1305, 0.1164, 0.0994, 0.1227, 0.1212, 0.1395, 0.1591, 0.1573, 0.1578, 0.2731, 0.2761, 0.268, 0.2851, 0.3169, 0.3168, 0.3261, 0.2858, 0.2816, 0.3321, 0.327, 0.3128, 0.3133, 0.2826, 0.2867, 0.2826, 0.2671, 0.2671, 0.2866, 0.2865, 0.2908, 0.2584, 0.2452, 0.2046, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1866961962288157158", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-11T21:43:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my $607 2025 PT for TSLA is roughly ~$2T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA with $607 price target for 2025, implying ~$2T market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech Thanks for sharing Dan as always. Most interesting is #10 to me - I see Musk as our gen\u2019s potential Kissinger to navigate these geopolitical tensions. \n\nOther than that, my $607 2025 PT for TSLA is roughly ~$2T so glad to see we agree there as we usually do \ud83d\ude0e", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We just published our annual Top 10 Christmas Wish List for the Tech Sector in 2025 \ud83d\udd25\ud83c\udfc6\ud83d\udc02\ud83c\udf7f\ud83d\udccd\ud83d\udc47\ud83c\udf84 https://t.co/3udicr0J7h", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": -0.055983236561779504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055983236561779504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04831197897055339, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03873300780580635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0076712575912261105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01725022875597315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015702575706076027, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015702575706076027, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010550084339756571, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007415557005736595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005152491366319456, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008287018700339432, "ret_p1w": 0.03616078411002399, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03616078411002399, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07102729164791288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06947733514607446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03486650753788889, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03331655103605047, "ret_p1m": -0.07022621028743514, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07022621028743514, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04391013013284195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01489316661041229, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02631608015459319, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05533304367702285, "ret_p3m": -0.4770110891960069, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4770110891960069, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40294328429969795, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31713387106984536, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07406780489630893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1598772181261615, "ret_p6m": -0.3297548801220329, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3297548801220329, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31226568104407704, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21942391610415368, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017489199077955875, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11033096401787923, "price_path": [-0.4578, -0.4661, -0.4635, -0.4651, -0.4258, -0.4391, -0.4114, -0.4014, -0.3949, -0.4015, -0.3868, -0.3841, -0.3926, -0.4138, -0.4334, -0.4113, -0.433, -0.4244, -0.4325, -0.4379, -0.4873, -0.4841, -0.4831, -0.4789, -0.48, -0.4804, -0.4848, -0.4869, -0.497, -0.3868, -0.3663, -0.382, -0.389, -0.3937, -0.4118, -0.4138, -0.4283, -0.4081, -0.3207, -0.301, -0.2438, -0.176, -0.2267, -0.2225, -0.2674, -0.245, -0.2025, -0.1854, -0.1948, -0.2004, -0.17, -0.2029, -0.2037, -0.2163, -0.2163, -0.1874, -0.1593, -0.1727, -0.1574, -0.1301, -0.0837, -0.0824, -0.056, 0.0, -0.0157, 0.027, 0.09, 0.1297, 0.0362, 0.0268, -0.0087, 0.0137, 0.0883, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0162, -0.0173, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.1071, -0.0337, -0.0323, -0.0716, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0707, -0.0505, -0.0669, 0.0081, -0.0258, 0.0041, 0.0041, -0.0016, -0.0227, -0.0292, -0.0428, -0.065, -0.0628, -0.084, -0.0577, -0.0475, -0.0967, -0.0767, -0.1097, -0.1188, -0.1487, -0.1743, -0.2266, -0.2078, -0.162, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1663, -0.1512, -0.1657, -0.2047, -0.2219, -0.2871, -0.3154, -0.3362, -0.3103, -0.3299, -0.3596, -0.3429, -0.3798, -0.3816, -0.477, -0.4572, -0.4159, -0.4334, -0.4115, -0.4397, -0.4696, -0.4447, -0.4438, -0.4145, -0.3446, -0.3217, -0.3595, -0.357, -0.3795, -0.3899, -0.368, -0.3343, -0.3708, -0.4363, -0.4508, -0.4777, -0.3592, -0.4058, -0.406, -0.4059, -0.4018, -0.4313, -0.4318, -0.4318, -0.4644, -0.4398, -0.4097, -0.3891, -0.3292, -0.327, -0.3125, -0.3357, -0.3396, -0.3238, -0.3402, -0.3518, -0.3497, -0.3295, -0.2978, -0.2505, -0.2135, -0.1815, -0.1929, -0.1761, -0.1946, -0.1906, -0.2122, -0.1971, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.1457, -0.1598, -0.1562, -0.1844, -0.1932, -0.1895, -0.2183, -0.3298]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain heavily long $AAPL", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004842228592448983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004842228592448983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005825767871948551, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0013719068628910147, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003470321729557968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00454869456011342, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00454869456011342, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011055648747881008, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021027485256882805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025576179816996225, "ret_p1w": 0.015659328163866615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015659328163866615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014228525975105155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015693948547116365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -3.4620383249750475e-05, "ret_p1m": 0.03609112071521525, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03609112071521525, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017222828526745726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01145192139334994, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024639199321865313, "ret_p3m": 0.030871230666794203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030871230666794203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005165643466582326, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07078311648154878, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03991188581475458, "ret_p6m": 0.03310471116992186, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03310471116992186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.043096025985952524, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09472425734018453, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1278289685101064, "price_path": [-0.1446, -0.1309, -0.1329, -0.1374, -0.14, -0.1412, -0.1582, -0.1623, -0.1516, -0.1539, -0.1459, -0.1415, -0.1338, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.1443, -0.1117, -0.1069, -0.1072, -0.1139, -0.1271, -0.1553, -0.1432, -0.1281, -0.1183, -0.1129, -0.1098, -0.1139, -0.0856, -0.0462, -0.0523, -0.0602, -0.0432, -0.0485, -0.0523, -0.0516, -0.0485, -0.0422, -0.0389, -0.0439, -0.0447, -0.0388, -0.0537, -0.0864, -0.0775, -0.0771, -0.0713, -0.0783, -0.0603, -0.0232, -0.0212, -0.0373, -0.0331, -0.021, 0.0013, 0.002, 0.0046, 0.0109, 0.0071, 0.0022, 0.0058, 0.0062, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0262, 0.0196, 0.0177, 0.0157, -0.0028, -0.0029, 0.0013, -0.0073, 0.0122, 0.0287, 0.0327, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0397, 0.0555, 0.067, 0.0594, 0.0466, 0.0394, 0.0361, 0.0334, 0.0394, 0.0366, 0.0375, 0.022, 0.0239, 0.0135, 0.0148, 0.0204, 0.0103, 0.0155, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0194, 0.0207, 0.0182, 0.0136, 0.0136, 0.0104, -0.0035, -0.0218, -0.0294, -0.0342, -0.033, -0.0297, -0.0267, -0.0308, -0.0373, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0802, -0.0767, -0.074, -0.0752, -0.0477, -0.0371, -0.0439, -0.037, -0.0325, 0.0067, 0.0047, 0.0309, 0.0287, 0.0369, 0.0249, 0.0213, 0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0455, -0.0455, -0.0152, -0.0135, -0.0275, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.0156, 0.0234, 0.0186, -0.0141, -0.0121, -0.0157, -0.0203, -0.0286, -0.0392, -0.0302, -0.0266, -0.0267, -0.0455, -0.0666, -0.0565, -0.0512, -0.0672, -0.0709, -0.0745, -0.0615, -0.0609, -0.0572, -0.0562, -0.0715, -0.0796, -0.0529, -0.046, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.034, -0.054, -0.0338, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0327, -0.0341, -0.0057, -0.017, 0.0085, 0.019, -0.0067, 0.0194, 0.0204, 0.0116, -0.0013, 0.0103, 0.0083, 0.0127, 0.0455, 0.0331]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Today's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02123175408976352, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02123175408976352, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02221529336926309, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018645056892577117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04041896889680907, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04041896889680907, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024814625588814643, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02998279943598625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.008679017196378203, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008679017196378203, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010109819385139662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017215708891629156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": 0.125866134461748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.125866134461748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10699784227327847, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08884890652555533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": 0.19520094955177414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19520094955177414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16949536235156226, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1499941918524339, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.3763608296741505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3763608296741505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30016009251827613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3341028122621106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.2714, -0.2763, -0.2728, -0.2694, -0.2708, -0.2777, -0.2858, -0.2843, -0.2615, -0.2529, -0.2578, -0.2566, -0.2416, -0.2371, -0.2371, -0.2427, -0.1735, -0.1676, -0.1579, -0.1606, -0.1406, -0.1422, -0.1379, -0.1364, -0.0976, -0.0992, -0.1051, -0.0961, -0.0865, -0.0943, -0.0974, -0.1137, -0.1185, -0.1158, -0.1247, -0.1281, -0.1217, -0.1189, -0.1201, -0.1019, -0.1186, -0.1227, -0.1338, -0.1516, -0.1244, -0.1197, -0.0997, -0.0982, -0.0916, -0.0799, -0.1017, -0.0973, -0.0924, -0.0678, -0.0343, -0.0407, -0.0153, 0.0095, 0.0085, 0.0175, -0.0046, 0.0197, 0.0212, 0.0, 0.0404, 0.0448, 0.0283, -0.0009, -0.0087, 0.0222, 0.0195, 0.0501, 0.0381, 0.0747, 0.1426, 0.16, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1483, 0.1293, 0.1326, 0.1463, 0.1391, 0.1522, 0.1259, 0.1379, 0.1492, 0.1212, 0.11, 0.1061, 0.1002, 0.0649, 0.0855, 0.1023, 0.1117, 0.1281, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.1251, 0.1253, 0.1263, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.131, 0.136, 0.1281, 0.1555, 0.1679, 0.1792, 0.191, 0.2057, 0.2052, 0.1943, 0.1843, 0.1843, 0.1556, 0.1785, 0.1862, 0.1769, 0.196, 0.2006, 0.2059, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2334, 0.2191, 0.1952, 0.1888, 0.1587, 0.1639, 0.1433, 0.116, 0.1089, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0839, 0.0886, 0.0869, 0.1304, 0.1179, 0.1157, 0.1229, 0.1031, 0.1188, 0.1, 0.0895, 0.0879, 0.0798, 0.0713, 0.1002, 0.1027, 0.1086, 0.0901, 0.0856, 0.0974, 0.1166, 0.105, 0.103, 0.081, 0.0848, 0.0431, 0.0448, 0.0089, -0.0148, -0.0178, 0.0327, 0.068, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0774, 0.097, 0.1396, 0.1438, 0.1393, 0.1539, 0.1956, 0.2107, 0.2067, 0.2271, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2186, 0.2171, 0.2368, 0.2582, 0.2562, 0.2567, 0.3819, 0.3851, 0.3764]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1240208652988537, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1240208652988537, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12303732601935413, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12245219286495101, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015686724339026847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02872059981384678, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02872059981384678, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04432494312184121, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041864036594516096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013143436780669315, "ret_p1w": -0.023498672574965518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023498672574965518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024929474763726978, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002426850552612825, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021071822022352693, "ret_p1m": -0.1644908325253247, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1644908325253247, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18335912471379423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16499960695183957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0005087744265148686, "ret_p3m": -0.22845953457704415, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22845953457704415, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25416512177725603, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24887851710483533, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020418982527791174, "ret_p6m": -0.32898172730093234, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32898172730093234, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4051824644568067, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33118849496860014, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0022067676676678083, "price_path": [0.0627, 0.1384, 0.1084, 0.1123, 0.1031, 0.0235, 0.0091, 0.0039, 0.0326, -0.0196, -0.0117, 0.0026, -0.0104, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0385, -0.0078, 0.0601, 0.047, 0.0574, 0.0366, 0.0248, -0.0013, -0.0104, 0.0692, 0.0366, 0.0614, 0.0352, 0.0796, 0.0875, 0.0483, 0.077, 0.0992, 0.1181, 0.1319, 0.1749, 0.1319, 0.1332, 0.1201, 0.0888, -0.0457, -0.0418, -0.0405, -0.0914, -0.0379, 0.0065, -0.0052, -0.0183, -0.0209, -0.0248, 0.0261, 0.0157, -0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0078, -0.0157, -0.0248, -0.0548, -0.0522, -0.0509, -0.077, -0.0692, -0.124, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0248, -0.0261, -0.0457, -0.0235, -0.0679, -0.0718, -0.1018, -0.1658, -0.158, -0.1384, -0.1201, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.1136, -0.1305, -0.158, -0.1292, -0.1436, -0.1619, -0.1645, -0.1162, -0.1279, -0.1136, -0.1462, -0.1841, -0.1919, -0.1997, -0.1841, -0.1906, -0.1945, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2089, -0.1815, -0.1867, -0.1958, -0.1958, -0.201, -0.188, -0.1384, -0.1384, -0.1227, -0.107, -0.1371, -0.0862, -0.1423, -0.1253, -0.1736, -0.1736, -0.235, -0.235, -0.2415, -0.2428, -0.2219, -0.2337, -0.2376, -0.252, -0.2702, -0.248, -0.2533, -0.2285, -0.4269, -0.3962, -0.4256, -0.4321, -0.436, -0.4478, -0.4452, -0.4452, -0.453, -0.436, -0.423, -0.4243, -0.4608, -0.4726, -0.4621, -0.4674, -0.4752, -0.4909, -0.4896, -0.4974, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4961, -0.5157, -0.4961, -0.5078, -0.5157, -0.4948, -0.4608, -0.4713, -0.47, -0.4987, -0.4869, -0.4634, -0.4661, -0.4687, -0.4217, -0.4778, -0.4399, -0.4386, -0.4021, -0.4021, -0.393, -0.3721, -0.3943, -0.3812, -0.3969, -0.3825, -0.3773, -0.3655, -0.3433, -0.3342, -0.3238, -0.3473, -0.3446, -0.3538, -0.3238, -0.3068, -0.3133, -0.2728, -0.2885, -0.3003, -0.329]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ONON ($35.80)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01457138061523433, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01457138061523433, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015554919894733898, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016140053049137015, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015686724339026847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011428833007812722, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011428833007812722, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0167472266087757, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014286320081450588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013143436780669315, "ret_p1w": 0.21142861502511168, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21142861502511168, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20999781283635022, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23250043704746437, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021071822022352693, "ret_p1m": 0.34342858450753355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34342858450753355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.324560292319064, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3429198100810187, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0005087744265148686, "ret_p3m": 0.2534285409109933, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2534285409109933, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22772295371078144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23300955838320214, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020418982527791174, "ret_p6m": -0.02028568812779019, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02028568812779019, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09648642528366458, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.022492455795458, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0022067676676678083, "price_path": [0.4231, 0.3769, 0.2631, 0.2954, 0.292, 0.2866, 0.2926, 0.2737, 0.3303, 0.3026, 0.2909, 0.2909, 0.274, 0.288, 0.288, 0.2797, 0.28, 0.3157, 0.3006, 0.2914, 0.2683, 0.2243, 0.2371, 0.2254, 0.2191, 0.2291, 0.2526, 0.2854, 0.2923, 0.3026, 0.3103, 0.3074, 0.2549, 0.2134, 0.2454, 0.21, 0.1703, 0.2103, 0.2029, 0.2163, 0.1917, 0.2463, 0.2371, 0.196, 0.2277, 0.2051, 0.184, 0.1994, 0.1949, 0.1849, 0.226, 0.2077, 0.2351, 0.1914, 0.206, 0.1763, 0.1226, 0.0637, 0.0614, 0.0417, 0.0343, 0.0309, 0.0146, 0.0, -0.0011, 0.0051, 0.186, 0.2114, 0.2114, 0.1829, 0.2189, 0.2371, 0.1834, 0.1794, 0.1654, 0.1931, 0.234, 0.234, 0.2569, 0.2766, 0.29, 0.3449, 0.3289, 0.3754, 0.3434, 0.3517, 0.392, 0.4143, 0.3931, 0.3654, 0.3797, 0.3743, 0.3846, 0.3877, 0.3754, 0.3683, 0.3283, 0.3283, 0.3366, 0.356, 0.3557, 0.328, 0.328, 0.3414, 0.4, 0.4011, 0.3903, 0.4466, 0.4034, 0.3974, 0.3503, 0.2877, 0.3143, 0.2871, 0.2871, 0.2606, 0.3229, 0.332, 0.3131, 0.3277, 0.3006, 0.2817, 0.2863, 0.2929, 0.3126, 0.2609, 0.2534, 0.2263, 0.242, 0.2669, 0.2943, 0.294, 0.2649, 0.294, 0.294, 0.3331, 0.3523, 0.372, 0.412, 0.3554, 0.3369, 0.3329, 0.36, 0.328, 0.336, 0.2546, 0.2351, 0.2391, 0.1846, 0.1766, 0.172, 0.1269, 0.0846, 0.0854, 0.1214, 0.1369, 0.1157, 0.1106, 0.076, 0.1389, 0.1311, 0.0046, -0.0826, -0.0746, -0.0891, -0.028, -0.0066, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.038, -0.0797, -0.034, -0.016, -0.0414, -0.0231, 0.0166, 0.0123, 0.012, 0.0557, 0.0643, 0.0494, 0.0457, 0.0349, 0.0357, 0.0266, 0.0123, 0.0094, 0.0174, -0.0131, -0.0203]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA ($183)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0003720422458958206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0003720422458958206, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006114970336037473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008903576182615835, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008531533936720015, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.057932501138553194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.057932501138553194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042328157830558766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027282152715628172, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.030650348422925022, "ret_p1w": 0.010736018304446038, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010736018304446038, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009305216115684578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019755864921678246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009019846617232208, "ret_p1m": -0.013763859830833058, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013763859830833058, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032632152019302585, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0724504614032121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05868660157237904, "ret_p3m": -0.07414460496161768, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07414460496161768, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09985019216182955, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17493935957064566, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10079475460902798, "ret_p6m": 0.05501877852212367, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05501877852212367, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02118195863375072, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4053021448276468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4603209233497705, "price_path": [-0.0266, -0.0349, -0.0326, -0.041, -0.0327, -0.0665, -0.0678, -0.07, -0.0541, -0.0444, -0.034, -0.0349, -0.0425, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0924, -0.0932, -0.0877, -0.1124, -0.1055, -0.0925, -0.0576, -0.0584, -0.0549, -0.0553, -0.0705, -0.0949, -0.0633, -0.061, -0.0241, -0.0517, -0.0594, -0.0556, -0.0529, -0.0335, -0.0083, -0.0048, 0.0039, -0.0028, -0.0139, -0.0165, 0.0051, 0.0235, -0.0265, 0.0009, -0.0432, -0.0442, -0.0337, -0.0262, -0.0293, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0318, -0.01, 0.0178, 0.0685, 0.1004, 0.0783, 0.0762, 0.0995, 0.056, 0.0375, -0.0004, 0.0, 0.0579, 0.0266, 0.03, -0.0069, 0.0107, -0.0082, -0.0361, -0.0087, -0.0399, -0.0493, -0.0298, -0.0549, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0593, -0.0437, -0.0356, -0.0455, -0.0253, -0.0305, -0.0138, -0.0168, -0.0232, -0.0383, -0.0697, -0.063, -0.0554, -0.0914, -0.0744, -0.038, -0.0237, 0.0057, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0127, 0.0004, -0.0032, -0.0087, -0.0087, 0.0038, -0.0001, -0.0048, 0.0052, -0.0165, -0.0174, -0.017, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.0058, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0535, -0.0256, -0.0175, -0.0025, -0.0089, 0.002, 0.018, 0.0232, 0.0159, -0.0134, -0.0415, -0.0741, -0.0864, -0.0145, 0.0101, 0.0021, 0.0102, -0.0064, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0168, -0.0008, -0.0013, 0.0089, 0.0181, 0.025, 0.0394, -0.0173, -0.0582, -0.0301, -0.043, -0.0271, -0.0255, -0.0549, -0.0292, -0.0179, -0.0112, -0.0265, -0.0419, -0.0261, -0.033, -0.0411, -0.0509, -0.082, -0.0664, -0.0687, -0.0502, -0.0898, -0.1095, -0.122, -0.073, -0.0658, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0558, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0224, 0.0027, 0.0063, 0.0445, 0.0571, 0.0543, 0.072, 0.074, 0.0625, 0.0764, 0.0612, 0.1071, 0.1514, 0.1331, 0.1123, 0.0608, 0.0549, 0.055]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986819265992016156", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.\n\nToday's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016186082968436155, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016186082968436155, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015202543688936587, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015202543688936587, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08812459158103803, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08812459158103803, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0725202482730436, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0725202482730436, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": -0.02203112645594396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02203112645594396, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02346192864470542, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02346192864470542, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": 0.020007941122494044, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020007941122494044, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0011396489340245175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0011396489340245175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": -0.21575901180191448, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21575901180191448, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24146459900212636, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24146459900212636, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": -0.17928396116225098, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17928396116225098, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25548469831812537, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25548469831812537, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [0.0508, 0.0362, 0.0174, -0.0043, -0.0219, -0.1134, -0.1232, -0.1222, -0.1079, -0.1167, -0.0959, -0.1192, -0.1113, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.1171, -0.1294, -0.1225, -0.1395, -0.1227, -0.0875, -0.0629, -0.0763, -0.0365, -0.0378, -0.0431, -0.054, -0.0054, 0.0251, 0.0079, 0.026, 0.0092, 0.0067, -0.002, 0.0052, 0.0252, 0.0395, 0.0513, -0.0273, 0.009, 0.0238, 0.0316, 0.0424, -0.014, -0.004, 0.0102, 0.0095, 0.0011, 0.0012, 0.0206, 0.0201, -0.0137, 0.0143, 0.0377, 0.0632, 0.0656, 0.1173, 0.0934, 0.1267, 0.1644, 0.072, 0.056, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0881, 0.0732, 0.0351, -0.0325, -0.022, -0.0375, -0.0596, -0.0703, -0.1247, -0.1297, -0.0881, -0.0808, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0533, -0.0587, -0.0407, -0.0104, -0.0001, 0.0215, 0.02, 0.022, 0.0561, 0.054, 0.0317, 0.0299, 0.0552, -0.0036, 0.0436, 0.0868, 0.0902, 0.091, 0.0913, 0.0913, 0.0606, 0.0351, 0.0164, -0.001, -0.001, -0.0566, -0.0219, 0.01, 0.0211, -0.006, -0.0025, 0.0083, 0.0058, 0.0026, -0.0048, -0.0392, -0.0392, -0.0528, -0.0708, -0.0676, -0.0468, -0.0588, -0.0687, -0.1157, -0.1465, -0.1761, -0.1696, -0.1127, -0.2158, -0.2693, -0.2362, -0.1968, -0.2159, -0.2375, -0.2743, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.2524, -0.2391, -0.2419, -0.2399, -0.266, -0.2759, -0.2458, -0.236, -0.229, -0.1841, -0.1726, -0.139, -0.142, -0.1167, -0.1208, -0.1506, -0.148, -0.1373, -0.1516, -0.1417, -0.1284, -0.1414, -0.125, -0.1532, -0.096, -0.1301, -0.1291, -0.1707, -0.196, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1767, -0.1656, -0.1656, -0.1686, -0.1566, -0.2089, -0.2666, -0.2803, -0.2561, -0.2373, -0.2011, -0.1977, -0.1773, -0.1801, -0.1796, -0.1422, -0.2043, -0.1958, -0.1958, -0.2065, -0.2246, -0.2182, -0.1903, -0.1793]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989080855944556695", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T21:20:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS longs won't want to see this. Bear butterfly confirmation. Gap filling time?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish NBIS on bear butterfly technical confirmation; expects gap fill to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS longs won't want to see this. Bear butterfly confirmation.\n\nGap filling time? https://t.co/G7RaRjqcXM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06465083532102467, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06465083532102467, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04777680738406542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05026683528809617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014384000032928501, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057429724648833114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.057429724648833114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05726595588849592, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05206923626402493, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005360488384808182, "ret_p1w": -0.04501859401350328, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04501859401350328, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015987589929240098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027507619555743323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017510974457759954, "ret_p1m": -0.010605831446931169, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010605831446931169, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025069270916061037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05188166061103383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04127582916410266, "ret_p3m": 0.03565388423824545, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03565388423824545, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0027316138424127168, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018224855120869465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05387873935911491, "ret_p6m": 0.9976306954576823, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.9976306954576823, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8937976478900276, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.9461435269466756, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051487168511006765, "price_path": [-0.1815, -0.2419, -0.2387, -0.2533, -0.2217, -0.21, -0.2048, -0.2091, -0.1872, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.2585, -0.2593, -0.2676, -0.2613, -0.2772, 0.08, 0.0537, 0.0063, 0.0201, 0.0263, 0.009, 0.0615, 0.0619, 0.1205, 0.2028, 0.2163, 0.2776, 0.2179, 0.2152, 0.2436, 0.2667, 0.3044, 0.4202, 0.444, 0.4097, 0.328, 0.3765, 0.4966, 0.462, 0.5284, 0.4459, 0.4197, 0.3882, 0.2799, 0.2298, 0.1766, 0.1127, 0.1978, 0.323, 0.4152, 0.3746, 0.4115, 0.4011, 0.476, 0.3592, 0.2472, 0.3201, 0.2348, 0.2556, 0.2406, 0.1533, 0.0647, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0299, 0.0216, 0.0727, -0.045, -0.0606, 0.0369, 0.0028, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0704, 0.13, 0.0882, 0.1161, 0.1599, 0.1062, 0.132, 0.0878, 0.056, 0.0637, -0.0106, -0.0845, -0.0867, -0.1487, -0.1189, 0.0094, 0.0519, 0.0158, 0.0282, 0.0282, -0.0117, -0.0292, -0.039, -0.0556, -0.0556, 0.0149, 0.0474, 0.131, 0.0855, 0.0978, 0.1049, 0.211, 0.1896, 0.1506, 0.1721, 0.2268, 0.2268, 0.1203, 0.1155, 0.0927, 0.0662, 0.0319, 0.1043, 0.1331, 0.0709, -0.0388, -0.0053, 0.0149, -0.0704, -0.1665, -0.0285, 0.048, 0.0357, -0.0002, 0.0124, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1003, 0.1486, 0.2141, 0.1048, 0.1352, 0.1574, 0.1973, 0.1833, 0.0289, 0.0269, -0.0206, 0.1032, 0.0792, 0.0079, 0.0712, 0.088, 0.2636, 0.219, 0.2744, 0.4651, 0.3125, 0.3377, 0.3711, 0.3271, 0.2879, 0.2965, 0.2985, 0.1956, 0.1375, 0.041, 0.1707, 0.1503, 0.2278, 0.2278, 0.2698, 0.3246, 0.4104, 0.5382, 0.6357, 0.7439, 0.8271, 0.8816, 0.8655, 0.773, 0.7958, 0.7663, 0.7617, 0.7723, 0.6604, 0.6356, 0.5289, 0.593, 0.5596, 0.7431, 0.9905, 0.9849, 1.2012, 1.0847, 0.9976]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1881430886207648004", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-20T19:57:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a high tight flag", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Identifies TSLA weekly pattern as a high tight flag, a bullish continuation signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Said this twice to you, it\u2019s a high tight flag", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA #TSLA Bull flag breakout on the weekly candle chart. https://t.co/gmyTyp7IRp", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00569752092797482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00569752092797482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01485100071753731, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013026641331262079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00915347978956249, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007329120403287259, "ret_p1w": -0.06881595803872365, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06881595803872365, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07181126742173982, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0779774931011129, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002995309383016176, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009161535062389259, "ret_p1m": -0.16973039776890386, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16973039776890386, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1930074343036582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15729687628721267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.023277036534754325, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01243352148169119, "ret_p3m": -0.4340680067592321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4340680067592321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31762075640910403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24512429733191754, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.11644725035012804, "bench_c_p3m": -0.18894370942731453, "ret_p6m": -0.27132473908722887, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27132473908722887, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31864258651804156, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23171246338915397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04731784743081269, "bench_c_p6m": -0.039612275698074906, "price_path": [-0.4991, -0.3893, -0.3688, -0.3845, -0.3915, -0.3961, -0.4142, -0.4162, -0.4306, -0.4105, -0.3235, -0.3038, -0.2468, -0.1794, -0.2298, -0.2257, -0.2704, -0.248, -0.2058, -0.1887, -0.1981, -0.2037, -0.1734, -0.2061, -0.207, -0.2195, -0.2195, -0.1907, -0.1627, -0.176, -0.1608, -0.1337, -0.0874, -0.0861, -0.0598, -0.0041, -0.0197, 0.0228, 0.0856, 0.1251, 0.032, 0.0227, -0.0128, 0.0096, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.0648, 0.0121, -0.0213, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.1107, -0.0377, -0.0362, -0.0754, -0.074, -0.074, -0.0745, -0.0544, -0.0707, 0.004, -0.0297, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0267, -0.0331, -0.0467, -0.0688, -0.0666, -0.0877, -0.0615, -0.0513, -0.1004, -0.0804, -0.1133, -0.1223, -0.1521, -0.1777, -0.2298, -0.211, -0.1654, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1697, -0.1546, -0.1691, -0.208, -0.225, -0.29, -0.3182, -0.3389, -0.3131, -0.3326, -0.3622, -0.3456, -0.3823, -0.3841, -0.4791, -0.4594, -0.4183, -0.4357, -0.4139, -0.4419, -0.4717, -0.447, -0.446, -0.4169, -0.3473, -0.3244, -0.3621, -0.3596, -0.3821, -0.3924, -0.3706, -0.337, -0.3733, -0.4386, -0.453, -0.4798, -0.3618, -0.4082, -0.4084, -0.4083, -0.4042, -0.4336, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4666, -0.442, -0.4121, -0.3915, -0.3319, -0.3297, -0.3153, -0.3384, -0.3423, -0.3266, -0.3429, -0.3544, -0.3524, -0.3322, -0.3007, -0.2535, -0.2167, -0.1848, -0.1962, -0.1794, -0.1979, -0.1939, -0.2154, -0.2004, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.1491, -0.1632, -0.1596, -0.1877, -0.1965, -0.1928, -0.2215, -0.3325, -0.308, -0.2765, -0.2354, -0.2346, -0.2518, -0.2373, -0.2283, -0.2583, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2446, -0.1825, -0.2017, -0.232, -0.2362, -0.2412, -0.2552, -0.2949, -0.2599, -0.2606, -0.2606, -0.3108, -0.3017, -0.3063, -0.2735, -0.2649, -0.257, -0.2713]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985804351361986896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T20:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of the reasons why I went heavy into $AAPL at ~202 back in June", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds heavy AAPL position from ~$202; also long GOOGL, both underestimated on AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@johncoogan Well said. One of the reasons why I went heavy into $AAPL at ~202 back in June. Both AAPL and GOOGL have been underestimated in relation to the AI boom.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is this the good ending for Apple? Not that it\u2019s at all over, but after watching the total vibe reversal on Google over the past few months, I have to wonder if one is coming for Apple. The popular narrative is still that they horribly missed AI, and to be clear, they did. I\u2019m", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "johncoogan", "ret_m1d": -0.0036662591282485835, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0036662591282485835, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015661990957067884, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030780571899036602, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02711431277078802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00037036583712879434, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00037036583712879434, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030950233598674437, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0035420591417578695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003912424978886664, "ret_p1w": 0.020281496169184177, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020281496169184177, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008789377995603642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023445375762275344, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003163879593091168, "ret_p1m": 0.053271481785208685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.053271481785208685, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04046124122878281, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06670958926258364, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01343810747737495, "ret_p3m": -0.03817386069439288, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03817386069439288, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06597824333313929, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018634119285070305, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804382638746405, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019539741409322575, "ret_p6m": 0.0023883383266989355, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0023883383266989355, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05742996441165027, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0832037142243105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059818302738349205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08559205255100943, "price_path": [-0.1861, -0.1516, -0.1587, -0.1496, -0.1359, -0.138, -0.1424, -0.145, -0.1462, -0.163, -0.1672, -0.1566, -0.1588, -0.1508, -0.1465, -0.1388, -0.1403, -0.1403, -0.1493, -0.1169, -0.1121, -0.1124, -0.1191, -0.1322, -0.1602, -0.1482, -0.1332, -0.1235, -0.1181, -0.115, -0.1191, -0.0909, -0.0517, -0.0578, -0.0657, -0.0488, -0.054, -0.0578, -0.0571, -0.054, -0.0478, -0.0445, -0.0494, -0.0502, -0.0444, -0.0593, -0.0917, -0.0829, -0.0825, -0.0767, -0.0837, -0.0657, -0.0289, -0.0269, -0.0429, -0.0387, -0.0267, -0.0046, -0.0039, -0.0013, 0.005, 0.0012, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0004, -0.001, -0.0058, -0.0013, 0.0203, 0.0137, 0.0118, 0.0098, -0.0086, -0.0087, -0.0045, -0.0131, 0.0063, 0.0228, 0.0267, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0336, 0.0494, 0.0608, 0.0533, 0.0405, 0.0334, 0.0301, 0.0274, 0.0334, 0.0306, 0.0315, 0.0161, 0.0179, 0.0076, 0.0089, 0.0144, 0.0044, 0.0096, 0.0149, 0.0149, 0.0134, 0.0148, 0.0122, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0046, -0.0093, -0.0275, -0.035, -0.0398, -0.0386, -0.0353, -0.0324, -0.0364, -0.0429, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0855, -0.082, -0.0794, -0.0806, -0.0533, -0.0427, -0.0494, -0.0426, -0.0382, 0.0009, -0.0011, 0.0249, 0.0227, 0.0309, 0.0189, 0.0154, 0.0222, -0.0289, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0209, -0.0192, -0.0332, -0.0184, -0.0124, 0.0097, 0.0175, 0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0178, -0.0214, -0.026, -0.0343, -0.0448, -0.0358, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0511, -0.072, -0.062, -0.0568, -0.0727, -0.0763, -0.0799, -0.0669, -0.0664, -0.0627, -0.0617, -0.0769, -0.085, -0.0584, -0.0516, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.0396, -0.0595, -0.0394, -0.0335, -0.0336, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0115, -0.0227, 0.0026, 0.0131, -0.0125, 0.0135, 0.0145, 0.0057, -0.0071, 0.0044, 0.0024]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985804351361986896", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-04T20:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both AAPL and GOOGL have been underestimated in relation to the AI boom", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds heavy AAPL position from ~$202; also long GOOGL, both underestimated on AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@johncoogan Well said. One of the reasons why I went heavy into $AAPL at ~202 back in June. Both AAPL and GOOGL have been underestimated in relation to the AI boom.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is this the good ending for Apple? Not that it\u2019s at all over, but after watching the total vibe reversal on Google over the past few months, I have to wonder if one is coming for Apple. The popular narrative is still that they horribly missed AI, and to be clear, they did. I\u2019m", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "johncoogan", "ret_m1d": 0.02226700387234537, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02226700387234537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01027127204352607, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01535272918474262, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0069142746876027505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024392835440024685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024392835440024685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020927446243028447, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018985472678834325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00540736276119036, "ret_p1w": 0.04961433449316144, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04961433449316144, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.038122216319580904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037292765110311876, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012321569382849562, "ret_p1m": 0.1516538093146591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1516538093146591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13884356875823323, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13108822896910866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02056558034555045, "ret_p3m": 0.21863902957170778, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21863902957170778, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19083464693296137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15074835572907563, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804382638746405, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06789067384263214, "ret_p6m": 0.26257614847150323, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26257614847150323, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20275784573315403, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23401186682415775, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059818302738349205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02856428164734548, "price_path": [-0.2926, -0.2749, -0.2764, -0.268, -0.273, -0.2694, -0.266, -0.2674, -0.2744, -0.2825, -0.2809, -0.2581, -0.2495, -0.2543, -0.2531, -0.2381, -0.2336, -0.2336, -0.2392, -0.1697, -0.1638, -0.154, -0.1567, -0.1366, -0.1383, -0.1339, -0.1324, -0.0934, -0.095, -0.1009, -0.0919, -0.0822, -0.0901, -0.0932, -0.1095, -0.1144, -0.1117, -0.1207, -0.1241, -0.1176, -0.1148, -0.116, -0.0977, -0.1145, -0.1186, -0.1297, -0.1476, -0.1203, -0.1156, -0.0955, -0.094, -0.0873, -0.0756, -0.0976, -0.0931, -0.0881, -0.0635, -0.0298, -0.0363, -0.0107, 0.0142, 0.0132, 0.0223, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.026, 0.0046, 0.0453, 0.0496, 0.033, 0.0037, -0.0041, 0.027, 0.0243, 0.055, 0.0429, 0.0797, 0.1479, 0.1654, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1536, 0.1346, 0.1379, 0.1517, 0.1444, 0.1576, 0.1311, 0.1432, 0.1545, 0.1264, 0.1151, 0.1113, 0.1053, 0.0698, 0.0905, 0.1074, 0.1169, 0.1334, 0.1324, 0.1324, 0.1303, 0.1305, 0.1316, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1363, 0.1413, 0.1333, 0.1609, 0.1734, 0.1846, 0.1965, 0.2113, 0.2109, 0.1998, 0.1898, 0.1898, 0.161, 0.184, 0.1917, 0.1823, 0.2015, 0.2062, 0.2115, 0.2195, 0.2186, 0.2392, 0.2248, 0.2008, 0.1943, 0.1641, 0.1693, 0.1486, 0.1211, 0.1141, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0889, 0.0936, 0.0919, 0.1356, 0.1231, 0.1209, 0.1281, 0.1082, 0.124, 0.1051, 0.0945, 0.0929, 0.0848, 0.0763, 0.1053, 0.1078, 0.1138, 0.0952, 0.0906, 0.1025, 0.1218, 0.1101, 0.1081, 0.086, 0.0898, 0.0479, 0.0497, 0.0136, -0.0102, -0.0132, 0.0375, 0.073, 0.0671, 0.0671, 0.0824, 0.1021, 0.1449, 0.1491, 0.1446, 0.1593, 0.2011, 0.2163, 0.2124, 0.2328, 0.2174, 0.1989, 0.2243, 0.2227, 0.2426, 0.264, 0.262, 0.2626]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1880561518556917821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-18T10:22:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High tight flag pole is 276 and the breakout (414 ish) sets target to 690", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "TSLA technical breakout from high tight flag targets $690.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MrMikeInvesting High tight flag pole is 276 and the breakout (414 ish) sets target to 690. Most ironic outcome is most likely.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It\u2019s happening\u2026\n\n$TSLA is breaking out and is coming for ATH\u2019s by the end of this month.\n\nThe whales loaded over $60+ million worth of $500 calls for January.\n\nThis breakout is a once in a lifetime opportunity.\n\n$500+ incoming by February.\n\nMark my words\u2026 https://t.co/UPVELRRjrA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MrMikeInvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00569752092797482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00569752092797482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01485100071753731, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013026641331262079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00915347978956249, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007329120403287259, "ret_p1w": -0.06881595803872365, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06881595803872365, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07181126742173982, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0779774931011129, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002995309383016176, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009161535062389259, "ret_p1m": -0.16973039776890386, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16973039776890386, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1930074343036582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15729687628721267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.023277036534754325, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01243352148169119, "ret_p3m": -0.4340680067592321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4340680067592321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31762075640910403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24512429733191754, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.11644725035012804, "bench_c_p3m": -0.18894370942731453, "ret_p6m": -0.27132473908722887, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27132473908722887, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31864258651804156, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23171246338915397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04731784743081269, "bench_c_p6m": -0.039612275698074906, "price_path": [-0.4991, -0.3893, -0.3688, -0.3845, -0.3915, -0.3961, -0.4142, -0.4162, -0.4306, -0.4105, -0.3235, -0.3038, -0.2468, -0.1794, -0.2298, -0.2257, -0.2704, -0.248, -0.2058, -0.1887, -0.1981, -0.2037, -0.1734, -0.2061, -0.207, -0.2195, -0.2195, -0.1907, -0.1627, -0.176, -0.1608, -0.1337, -0.0874, -0.0861, -0.0598, -0.0041, -0.0197, 0.0228, 0.0856, 0.1251, 0.032, 0.0227, -0.0128, 0.0096, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.0648, 0.0121, -0.0213, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.1107, -0.0377, -0.0362, -0.0754, -0.074, -0.074, -0.0745, -0.0544, -0.0707, 0.004, -0.0297, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0267, -0.0331, -0.0467, -0.0688, -0.0666, -0.0877, -0.0615, -0.0513, -0.1004, -0.0804, -0.1133, -0.1223, -0.1521, -0.1777, -0.2298, -0.211, -0.1654, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1697, -0.1546, -0.1691, -0.208, -0.225, -0.29, -0.3182, -0.3389, -0.3131, -0.3326, -0.3622, -0.3456, -0.3823, -0.3841, -0.4791, -0.4594, -0.4183, -0.4357, -0.4139, -0.4419, -0.4717, -0.447, -0.446, -0.4169, -0.3473, -0.3244, -0.3621, -0.3596, -0.3821, -0.3924, -0.3706, -0.337, -0.3733, -0.4386, -0.453, -0.4798, -0.3618, -0.4082, -0.4084, -0.4083, -0.4042, -0.4336, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4666, -0.442, -0.4121, -0.3915, -0.3319, -0.3297, -0.3153, -0.3384, -0.3423, -0.3266, -0.3429, -0.3544, -0.3524, -0.3322, -0.3007, -0.2535, -0.2167, -0.1848, -0.1962, -0.1794, -0.1979, -0.1939, -0.2154, -0.2004, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.1491, -0.1632, -0.1596, -0.1877, -0.1965, -0.1928, -0.2215, -0.3325, -0.308, -0.2765, -0.2354, -0.2346, -0.2518, -0.2373, -0.2283, -0.2583, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2446, -0.1825, -0.2017, -0.232, -0.2362, -0.2412, -0.2552, -0.2949, -0.2599, -0.2606, -0.2606, -0.3108, -0.3017, -0.3063, -0.2735, -0.2649, -0.257, -0.2713]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1816519961743098178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-25T17:04:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Better to deploy that capital elsewhere until we're closer to realizing that growth. Markets can give $TSLA a multiple haircut at anytime at your expense.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Tactically bearish TSLA near-term; advises deploying capital elsewhere while between growth waves, risks multiple compression.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA obviously worth more in 3-5+ years. But as I\u2019ve said for 2 years and TSLA management now states, they\u2019re between growth waves. Better to deploy that capital elsewhere until we\u2019re closer to realizing that growth. Markets can give $TSLA a multiple haircut at anytime at your expense. Same thing from 2012-2020. If you want to hold for 5+ years and don\u2019t mind the drops, that\u2019s fine too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "At 100x P/E, the market is clearly not valuing $TSLA as just a car company. But for $TSLA to go higher the main driver of earnings - the EV business which accounts for 80% of profits - has to stabilize and most importantly auto gross margins have to stabilize.  Only then will https://t.co/rfO4XpwRMY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.01934163226713248, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01934163226713248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02457919842974654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023273168646768427, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00523756616261406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003931536379635947, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020431189477511102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0020431189477511102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013242597992220051, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013228668740410288, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01119947904446894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011185549792659177, "ret_p1w": -0.015391597682853253, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015391597682853253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023935254504091508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028127573885642687, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008543656821238255, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012735976202789434, "ret_p1m": 0.00031785391245753303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00031785391245753303, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04373789045912657, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03999426156738939, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044055744371584105, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04031211547984692, "ret_p3m": -0.010351867329384201, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010351867329384201, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09708712045545875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10435928578196185, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08673525312607455, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09400741845257765, "ret_p6m": 0.9364358683314415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.9364358683314415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8193867397293415, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6621225347329023, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11704912860210004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.27431333359853927, "price_path": [-0.119, -0.1679, -0.1828, -0.1827, -0.1773, -0.1611, -0.1927, -0.2067, -0.2192, -0.2351, -0.2196, -0.1939, -0.21, -0.2062, -0.1943, -0.2057, -0.1528, -0.1822, -0.2112, -0.1862, -0.1862, -0.1975, -0.2, -0.1882, -0.1915, -0.1996, -0.2065, -0.2054, -0.1921, -0.1942, -0.2109, -0.2252, -0.1951, -0.1715, -0.1918, -0.149, -0.1607, -0.1607, -0.1756, -0.1691, -0.171, -0.1494, -0.1084, -0.1037, -0.1016, -0.0472, 0.05, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.142, 0.1484, 0.1911, 0.1953, 0.0943, 0.127, 0.1471, 0.1649, 0.1283, 0.1316, 0.086, 0.1419, 0.1186, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.002, 0.0538, 0.0108, 0.0537, -0.0154, -0.0571, -0.097, -0.089, -0.1294, -0.0972, -0.0919, -0.1033, -0.0564, -0.0857, -0.0277, -0.0188, 0.0112, 0.0039, 0.0137, -0.0435, 0.0003, -0.032, -0.0501, -0.0658, -0.0634, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0438, -0.0038, 0.045, -0.0432, -0.0181, 0.0269, 0.0358, 0.0434, 0.0456, 0.0296, 0.0346, 0.0316, 0.1075, 0.0817, 0.1351, 0.1545, 0.1669, 0.1542, 0.1826, 0.1879, 0.1715, 0.1306, 0.0927, 0.1354, 0.0934, 0.1101, 0.0944, 0.0841, -0.0111, -0.0049, -0.0031, 0.0049, 0.0029, 0.002, -0.0064, -0.0104, -0.03, 0.1827, 0.2222, 0.1919, 0.1783, 0.1694, 0.1344, 0.1304, 0.1026, 0.1416, 0.31, 0.3481, 0.4584, 0.5891, 0.4914, 0.4994, 0.4128, 0.4562, 0.538, 0.5709, 0.5529, 0.5421, 0.6007, 0.5373, 0.5357, 0.5114, 0.5114, 0.5671, 0.6213, 0.5956, 0.6251, 0.6776, 0.7672, 0.7698, 0.8206, 0.9286, 0.8983, 0.9806, 1.1022, 1.1787, 0.9983, 0.9803, 0.9117, 0.9551, 1.0989, 1.0989, 1.0619, 0.9599, 0.8952, 0.8336, 0.8336, 0.722, 0.8635, 0.8663, 0.7905, 0.7931, 0.7931, 0.7922, 0.8311, 0.7996, 0.9442, 0.8789, 0.9364]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1874193830461026453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-31T20:40:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm back in $TSLA long at 403.50 (hedged). price can quickly retest 430-450 and setup an unexpected move up to ~500 before earnings and my $600 PT before April", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Re-entered TSLA long at 403.50; targets 430-450, then ~500 pre-earnings, $600 PT by April on Q4 deliveries + MY refresh catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA held ~403 nicely (triple fib crossover) and I'm finally seeing some bullish option flow today into the Q4 print + falling wedge. \n\nIf $TSLA Q4 deliveries + MY refresh are well received, price can quickly retest 430-450 and setup an unexpected move up to ~500 before earnings and my $600 PT before April. If not, I see 350-372 as strong support zones and everything mentioned above is pushed to a later date in 2025.\n\nI'm back in $TSLA long at 403.50 (hedged).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03360243523988338, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03360243523988338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029951206554257093, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026024996669006706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0036512286856262843, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007577438570876671, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0234746708406669, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0234746708406669, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02782552730360799, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01469380848892099, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004350856462941088, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00878086235174591, "ret_p1m": -0.03649957995255659, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03649957995255659, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06333889472303855, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0658733761507081, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02683931477048196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029373796198151503, "ret_p3m": -0.3473900797768976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3473900797768976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29833784720676293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22807810795462513, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04905223257013469, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11931197182227249, "ret_p6m": -0.18891147295150645, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18891147295150645, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23099880640295867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14318226289298153, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.042087333451452213, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04572921005852493, "price_path": [-0.4041, -0.3807, -0.4036, -0.3946, -0.4031, -0.4088, -0.4607, -0.4573, -0.4563, -0.4519, -0.453, -0.4535, -0.4581, -0.4603, -0.471, -0.355, -0.3334, -0.35, -0.3574, -0.3622, -0.3813, -0.3835, -0.3987, -0.3774, -0.2855, -0.2648, -0.2046, -0.1333, -0.1866, -0.1823, -0.2294, -0.2058, -0.1612, -0.1432, -0.1531, -0.159, -0.127, -0.1616, -0.1625, -0.1757, -0.1757, -0.1453, -0.1158, -0.1298, -0.1137, -0.0851, -0.0362, -0.0348, -0.0071, 0.0518, 0.0353, 0.0802, 0.1465, 0.1882, 0.0899, 0.0801, 0.0426, 0.0663, 0.1447, 0.1447, 0.1245, 0.0689, 0.0336, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0608, 0.0163, 0.0179, -0.0235, -0.022, -0.022, -0.0225, -0.0013, -0.0185, 0.0604, 0.0247, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0501, 0.0279, 0.0211, 0.0068, -0.0166, -0.0142, -0.0365, -0.0088, 0.0019, -0.0499, -0.0288, -0.0636, -0.0731, -0.1045, -0.1315, -0.1866, -0.1667, -0.1186, -0.1189, -0.1189, -0.1231, -0.1072, -0.1224, -0.1635, -0.1815, -0.2502, -0.2799, -0.3018, -0.2745, -0.2951, -0.3264, -0.3089, -0.3476, -0.3496, -0.4499, -0.429, -0.3857, -0.404, -0.381, -0.4106, -0.4421, -0.416, -0.415, -0.3841, -0.3106, -0.2865, -0.3263, -0.3237, -0.3474, -0.3583, -0.3352, -0.2998, -0.3382, -0.4071, -0.4223, -0.4506, -0.326, -0.375, -0.3752, -0.3751, -0.3708, -0.4019, -0.4023, -0.4023, -0.4367, -0.4107, -0.3791, -0.3574, -0.2944, -0.2921, -0.2769, -0.3013, -0.3054, -0.2888, -0.306, -0.3182, -0.316, -0.2947, -0.2614, -0.2116, -0.1728, -0.1391, -0.1511, -0.1334, -0.1529, -0.1486, -0.1714, -0.1555, -0.1597, -0.1597, -0.1014, -0.1162, -0.1124, -0.1421, -0.1514, -0.1475, -0.1778, -0.295, -0.2692, -0.2359, -0.1925, -0.1917, -0.2098, -0.1945, -0.185, -0.2166, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.2023, -0.1366, -0.1569, -0.1889]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1865504722985390142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-07T21:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's multiple fib level confluence at 607 by no coincidence.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses TSLA upside to ~$607 by February based on Fibonacci confluence.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Yep. There\u2019s multiple fib level confluence at 607 by no coincidence. \n\nhttps://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA If this follows the same pattern as $PLTR recently, this will be $610-$620 by February. https://t.co/wFC0PgWxVg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006638730115564595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004651142174291856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0051763854896811345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031887975484083952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03184238940014317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027095929108661876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003109016445658197, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016374438458230944, "ret_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18438084955239908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15934327329292364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003489487971428229, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028527064230903676, "ret_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03499081156220407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05162142384125523, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023266609539427052, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03989722181847821, "ret_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27444020333230934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21372277435713027, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049683026017553256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11040045499273232, "ret_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10886844732232615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04948115718149959, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.007912430928440961, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06729972106926752, "price_path": [-0.4147, -0.4104, -0.4092, -0.4182, -0.4154, -0.4171, -0.3742, -0.3888, -0.3586, -0.3477, -0.3406, -0.3478, -0.3318, -0.3288, -0.3381, -0.3611, -0.3826, -0.3584, -0.3822, -0.3727, -0.3816, -0.3874, -0.4412, -0.4377, -0.4367, -0.4322, -0.4333, -0.4338, -0.4385, -0.4408, -0.4519, -0.3317, -0.3094, -0.3265, -0.3342, -0.3393, -0.359, -0.3612, -0.377, -0.3549, -0.2598, -0.2383, -0.1759, -0.1021, -0.1573, -0.1528, -0.2017, -0.1772, -0.131, -0.1123, -0.1225, -0.1287, -0.0955, -0.1314, -0.1323, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1145, -0.0839, -0.0984, -0.0817, -0.0521, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.0897, 0.0726, 0.1191, 0.1879, 0.2311, 0.1291, 0.119, 0.0802, 0.1047, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1651, 0.1074, 0.0709, 0.036, 0.036, -0.027, 0.053, 0.0545, 0.0117, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0127, 0.0347, 0.0169, 0.0986, 0.0616, 0.0942, 0.0942, 0.0879, 0.065, 0.058, 0.0431, 0.0189, 0.0213, -0.0018, 0.0269, 0.038, -0.0157, 0.0062, -0.0298, -0.0397, -0.0723, -0.1002, -0.1572, -0.1367, -0.0868, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.075, -0.0908, -0.1334, -0.152, -0.2232, -0.254, -0.2767, -0.2484, -0.2697, -0.3021, -0.284, -0.3241, -0.3261, -0.4301, -0.4085, -0.3635, -0.3825, -0.3587, -0.3894, -0.422, -0.3949, -0.3939, -0.3619, -0.2858, -0.2608, -0.302, -0.2993, -0.3239, -0.3351, -0.3113, -0.2746, -0.3143, -0.3857, -0.4015, -0.4308, -0.3017, -0.3525, -0.3527, -0.3526, -0.3481, -0.3803, -0.3808, -0.3808, -0.4164, -0.3895, -0.3567, -0.3342, -0.269, -0.2666, -0.2508, -0.2761, -0.2803, -0.2632, -0.281, -0.2936, -0.2914, -0.2693, -0.2348, -0.1832, -0.1429, -0.108, -0.1205, -0.1021, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1415, -0.1251, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.069, -0.0844, -0.0805, -0.1112, -0.1208, -0.1168]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1849534776019239121", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T19:33:47+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA\u2026 The risk/reward to the upside is very appealing\u2026 I think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is likely 1H 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA with targets $290-315 by Dec/Jan and ATH retest likely in 1H 2025; holds calls and short puts, will add on dips to $235-250.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.\n\nI think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).\n\nI have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\n$TSLA always moves faster than people expect. I think $290+ can happen next week if big tech earnings go well + Friday macro news (NFP PMI unemployment)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762547505065163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580596340952107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378350168798361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03029108045445561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003452680895702498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031471531439577483, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509439904721318, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374150547236906, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299852303771513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435141661255925, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126000794002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02808856196216092, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834231979009077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04460962395918133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039414597716513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038405030367065773, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540403016564069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0695241125312176, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855539489239924920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-10T09:14:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA ($350+) and NVDA ($165+) on strong risk/reward and fundamentals; short-term bearish PLTR expecting retrace sub-$50 despite long-term AI upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy. I trade all 3 at a high level and extremely profitably. \n\n$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. The regulatory risk and key-man risk basically went to 0 overnight post-election. Upside is highest. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon. \n\n$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3 but least adjusted post-election. They\u2019ll continue to beat earnings etc and are worth $165+ \n\n$PLTR is misunderstood and being more understood. Trump trade winner but not close to $TSLA. Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon. \n\nAll 3 have different AI upside based on what part of the tech stacks they\u2019re after. NVDA is foundational; TSLA is physical operational and PLTR is digital operational (application layer)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Comparing and contrasting $NVDA $PLTR and $TSLA: \nWhere are they at their bull cycle, what price targets do I have for each, and what I'm doing with these 3 positions that I have? https://t.co/xzGYZur8b7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127664897951281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245260460971458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019775963331133628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835072320448553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106242895773255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350927863155282, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451589808276988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013716983797620985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454472675593303, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1389384133972491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654056622226891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914512016165974, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345149352279677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107371386455574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378363825597905, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1525057645522565, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855539489239924920", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-10T09:14:23+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3\u2026 worth $165+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA ($350+) and NVDA ($165+) on strong risk/reward and fundamentals; short-term bearish PLTR expecting retrace sub-$50 despite long-term AI upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy. I trade all 3 at a high level and extremely profitably. \n\n$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. The regulatory risk and key-man risk basically went to 0 overnight post-election. Upside is highest. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon. \n\n$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3 but least adjusted post-election. They\u2019ll continue to beat earnings etc and are worth $165+ \n\n$PLTR is misunderstood and being more understood. Trump trade winner but not close to $TSLA. Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon. \n\nAll 3 have different AI upside based on what part of the tech stacks they\u2019re after. NVDA is foundational; TSLA is physical operational and PLTR is digital operational (application layer)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Comparing and contrasting $NVDA $PLTR and $TSLA: \nWhere are they at their bull cycle, what price targets do I have for each, and what I'm doing with these 3 positions that I have? https://t.co/xzGYZur8b7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.016315599488649912, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016315599488649912, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01726751844998531, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006600815521205394, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022916415009855307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02085911232520865, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02085911232520865, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023965559879651654, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027446092923741894, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006586980598533243, "ret_p1w": -0.035178386683039076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.035178386683039076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017458520018101775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012113870922332959, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.047292257605372034, "ret_p1m": -0.07008596587741578, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07008596587741578, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07683323886409532, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016246204440796164, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": -0.053839761436619615, "ret_p3m": -0.11407888936352883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11407888936352883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13011313105278555, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09798904436471978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016089844998809055, "ret_p6m": -0.21824120151513482, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21824120151513482, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15746126922029313, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07236314603760297, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.14587805547753185, "price_path": [-0.1872, -0.1543, -0.1424, -0.1051, -0.1241, -0.1155, -0.1482, -0.1095, -0.1295, -0.1168, -0.1353, -0.1906, -0.1783, -0.1783, -0.2566, -0.2689, -0.262, -0.2922, -0.2671, -0.2559, -0.1952, -0.1798, -0.1801, -0.1961, -0.2043, -0.2195, -0.1886, -0.2014, -0.1996, -0.1679, -0.1497, -0.1461, -0.1643, -0.164, -0.1945, -0.1818, -0.1543, -0.14, -0.1207, -0.0852, -0.0868, -0.0719, -0.072, -0.0495, -0.094, -0.0657, -0.0573, -0.05, -0.0107, -0.0115, -0.0392, -0.0334, -0.0256, -0.0326, -0.0276, -0.0408, -0.0861, -0.0679, -0.0634, -0.0368, 0.0024, 0.0249, 0.0163, 0.0, 0.0209, 0.007, 0.0103, -0.0226, -0.0352, 0.012, 0.0043, 0.0097, -0.0228, -0.0636, -0.0574, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0483, -0.0456, -0.0344, -0.0008, -0.0013, -0.0193, -0.0443, -0.0701, -0.0409, -0.0545, -0.0757, -0.0912, -0.1023, -0.1125, -0.1003, -0.0726, -0.0384, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0366, -0.0567, -0.0534, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0478, -0.0054, 0.0288, -0.0352, -0.0354, -0.0354, -0.0643, -0.0828, -0.0929, -0.062, -0.0804, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0304, 0.0125, 0.0136, -0.0181, -0.1847, -0.1119, -0.1484, -0.1418, -0.1734, -0.1968, -0.1831, -0.1406, -0.1141, -0.1061, -0.0804, -0.0857, -0.0971, -0.0686, -0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0403, -0.0414, -0.0354, -0.0745, -0.1031, -0.1282, -0.0962, -0.1728, -0.14, -0.2147, -0.2014, -0.1924, -0.2388, -0.2242, -0.2635, -0.2512, -0.2031, -0.2042, -0.1623, -0.177, -0.2052, -0.1908, -0.1839, -0.1896, -0.1641, -0.169, -0.2167, -0.2328, -0.2449, -0.2538, -0.2416, -0.2397, -0.2991, -0.3506, -0.3277, -0.3369, -0.2128, -0.2593, -0.2362, -0.2377, -0.2275, -0.2806, -0.3012, -0.3012, -0.3327, -0.3191, -0.2928, -0.2672, -0.2357, -0.2514, -0.2494, -0.2501, -0.2315, -0.2116, -0.2163, -0.2182]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855539489239924920", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-10T09:14:23+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA ($350+) and NVDA ($165+) on strong risk/reward and fundamentals; short-term bearish PLTR expecting retrace sub-$50 despite long-term AI upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Easy. I trade all 3 at a high level and extremely profitably. \n\n$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. The regulatory risk and key-man risk basically went to 0 overnight post-election. Upside is highest. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon. \n\n$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3 but least adjusted post-election. They\u2019ll continue to beat earnings etc and are worth $165+ \n\n$PLTR is misunderstood and being more understood. Trump trade winner but not close to $TSLA. Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon. \n\nAll 3 have different AI upside based on what part of the tech stacks they\u2019re after. NVDA is foundational; TSLA is physical operational and PLTR is digital operational (application layer)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Comparing and contrasting $NVDA $PLTR and $TSLA: \nWhere are they at their bull cycle, what price targets do I have for each, and what I'm doing with these 3 positions that I have? https://t.co/xzGYZur8b7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.030710528507167267, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030710528507167267, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02975860954583187, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02975860954583187, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006474156598257785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006474156598257785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033677090438147816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033677090438147816, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "ret_p1w": 0.0169322147185631, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0169322147185631, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0346520813835004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0346520813835004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "ret_p1m": 0.17679278576428992, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17679278576428992, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17004551277761037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17004551277761037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "ret_p3m": 0.8472774847062243, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.8472774847062243, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8312432430169676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.8312432430169676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "ret_p6m": 0.8071048734592634, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8071048734592634, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8678848057541051, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8678848057541051, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "price_path": [-0.4854, -0.4817, -0.4675, -0.4605, -0.4635, -0.4598, -0.4701, -0.4724, -0.4879, -0.488, -0.496, -0.4854, -0.4774, -0.4774, -0.4935, -0.4922, -0.4993, -0.4965, -0.4256, -0.423, -0.4215, -0.4205, -0.4092, -0.3972, -0.3949, -0.3961, -0.3886, -0.3825, -0.37, -0.3875, -0.3838, -0.3841, -0.3884, -0.3825, -0.3948, -0.3777, -0.3486, -0.3358, -0.3544, -0.3119, -0.284, -0.2776, -0.2777, -0.2795, -0.2957, -0.304, -0.3028, -0.2867, -0.2912, -0.2872, -0.293, -0.2769, -0.2553, -0.2535, -0.2542, -0.2747, -0.3101, -0.3041, -0.3126, -0.1512, -0.0782, -0.0724, -0.0307, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0076, -0.0176, 0.0918, 0.0169, 0.0455, 0.0312, 0.0186, 0.0682, 0.0732, 0.0913, 0.0964, 0.0964, 0.1135, 0.1021, 0.178, 0.1595, 0.1931, 0.2673, 0.2029, 0.1768, 0.2037, 0.2151, 0.2628, 0.2575, 0.2349, 0.1871, 0.2319, 0.3372, 0.3395, 0.3675, 0.3675, 0.3635, 0.3127, 0.2812, 0.2555, 0.2555, 0.2482, 0.3262, 0.2603, 0.1619, 0.1326, 0.1326, 0.1165, 0.0787, 0.0941, 0.1311, 0.1494, 0.1914, 0.1914, 0.213, 0.2761, 0.3111, 0.3111, 0.2523, 0.3318, 0.324, 0.3483, 0.3694, 0.3901, 0.7236, 0.6826, 0.8473, 0.8401, 0.9364, 0.8695, 0.9487, 0.9573, 0.9781, 0.9781, 1.0687, 0.8602, 0.7641, 0.6824, 0.5053, 0.4582, 0.4826, 0.4072, 0.4097, 0.3848, 0.4011, 0.4962, 0.3357, 0.4095, 0.2679, 0.2957, 0.3886, 0.3217, 0.4316, 0.45, 0.3926, 0.4293, 0.4507, 0.51, 0.6061, 0.6019, 0.5319, 0.4955, 0.4251, 0.4011, 0.4057, 0.4517, 0.3878, 0.2286, 0.2922, 0.2835, 0.5274, 0.4706, 0.47, 0.5375, 0.6335, 0.539, 0.5568, 0.5568, 0.5073, 0.5603, 0.6736, 0.7892, 0.8722, 0.9032, 0.927, 0.9661, 0.929, 1.0631, 1.0546, 0.8071]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1909072710942278130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-07T02:36:17+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if $217 fails to hold it's going to $200 fast - and a failed $200 hold leads to 147-165", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: $217 failure targets $200, and a $200 breakdown opens 147\u2013165.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers @IBKR Emmet if $217 fails to hold it\u2019s going to $200 fast - and a failed $200 hold leads to 147-165. Hope you\u2019re hedged or have a downside protection plan", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just bought some $TSLA stock at 220 in overnight session on @IBKR with some cash I had reserved for something else, but that can wait!\n\nHard to catch falling knife so buy at your own risk.  Not investment advice", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": 0.026319171701966848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026319171701966848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024534861490003834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014361083885751968, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843102119630139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01195808781621488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048994783337158565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048994783337158565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033331947221486136, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025244466392105314, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566283611567243, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02375031694505325, "ret_p1w": 0.08170094460076349, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08170094460076349, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012824342785168419, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02833225078560675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887660181559507, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05336869381515674, "ret_p1m": 0.1802906855323012, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1802906855323012, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07239585334901433, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08661858611381135, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789483218328688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09367209941848986, "ret_p3m": 0.351751104543671, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.351751104543671, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1082666886782182, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12448911303720234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348441586545277, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22726199150646864, "ret_p6m": 0.9062969438009671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.9062969438009671, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5779298875186971, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5744412967128343, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.32836705628227003, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33185564708813287, "price_path": [0.6929, 0.6929, 0.6921, 0.7288, 0.699, 0.8356, 0.7738, 0.8282, 0.8282, 0.8178, 0.7794, 0.7677, 0.7428, 0.7024, 0.7064, 0.6679, 0.7158, 0.7343, 0.6446, 0.6812, 0.621, 0.6045, 0.5501, 0.5034, 0.4081, 0.4425, 0.5257, 0.5253, 0.5253, 0.5179, 0.5455, 0.5191, 0.448, 0.4168, 0.298, 0.2465, 0.2086, 0.2559, 0.2202, 0.1661, 0.1964, 0.1293, 0.1259, -0.0478, -0.0116, 0.0634, 0.0317, 0.0715, 0.0202, -0.0342, 0.011, 0.0127, 0.0661, 0.1933, 0.2351, 0.1662, 0.1708, 0.1297, 0.1109, 0.1508, 0.2121, 0.1457, 0.0263, 0.0, -0.049, 0.1668, 0.0819, 0.0815, 0.0817, 0.0892, 0.0354, 0.0346, 0.0346, -0.0248, 0.0201, 0.0748, 0.1124, 0.2214, 0.2254, 0.2518, 0.2095, 0.2025, 0.2311, 0.2013, 0.1803, 0.184, 0.2209, 0.2785, 0.3647, 0.432, 0.4903, 0.4695, 0.5002, 0.4664, 0.4738, 0.4344, 0.4619, 0.4546, 0.4546, 0.5555, 0.5299, 0.5364, 0.4851, 0.4689, 0.4757, 0.4233, 0.2204, 0.2651, 0.3227, 0.3978, 0.3992, 0.3679, 0.3944, 0.4108, 0.356, 0.3805, 0.3805, 0.3809, 0.4946, 0.4594, 0.404, 0.3965, 0.3872, 0.3617, 0.289, 0.353, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.26, 0.2766, 0.2683, 0.3283, 0.3439, 0.3584, 0.3322, 0.3788, 0.3692, 0.413, 0.4081, 0.4236, 0.4255, 0.3087, 0.3548, 0.3956, 0.3768, 0.3676, 0.3214, 0.2972, 0.3256, 0.3233, 0.3713, 0.3814, 0.413, 0.4533, 0.461, 0.4548, 0.4385, 0.4169, 0.4367, 0.4116, 0.3884, 0.3722, 0.4575, 0.4857, 0.5074, 0.4986, 0.483, 0.4311, 0.4311, 0.4118, 0.4321, 0.4511, 0.5039, 0.4848, 0.4873, 0.4908, 0.5809, 0.6972, 0.7576, 0.8073, 0.8255, 0.7868, 0.8264, 0.8612, 0.8254, 0.898, 0.8149, 0.8878, 0.8998, 0.9063]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1876820568307077487", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-08T02:37:47+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Entered with Feb calls other day during the pattern break. Upside risk/reward is solid.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long OKLO via Feb calls on pattern break; also long CEG, both with solid upside risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 Entered with Feb calls other day during the pattern break. Upside risk/reward is solid. Same with $CEG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is $OKLO The Future Energy Source for the AI Revolution? \n\nThis company can trade above $100+ in the next 2 years.. It's currently at $29.50\n\nRead my analysis below \ud83d\udc47 \n\nThe AI boom the past few years is requiring massive amounts of energy and we believe nuclear energy will play https://t.co/MDNuVDK6kG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": 0.12940272022080856, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12940272022080856, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13086163300778153, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13086163300778153, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014589127869729657, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014589127869729657, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07465546325750749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07465546325750749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0802366003523477, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0802366003523477, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581137094840205, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005581137094840205, "ret_p1m": 0.8284837973586727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8284837973586727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7999336860836161, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7999336860836161, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550111275056578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028550111275056578, "ret_p3m": -0.16041349155563778, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16041349155563778, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.018608408144250355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018608408144250355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180508341138742, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14180508341138742, "ret_p6m": 1.0566615426755002, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0566615426755002, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9895095381226082, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9895095381226082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715200455289194, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06715200455289194, "price_path": [-0.6497, -0.6156, -0.554, -0.3668, -0.3978, -0.3021, -0.1459, -0.2025, -0.2994, -0.3086, -0.2684, -0.062, -0.049, -0.1237, -0.1401, -0.1704, -0.1941, -0.2121, -0.1685, 0.0168, -0.0632, -0.0789, -0.1351, -0.1164, -0.0858, -0.3109, -0.2087, -0.1654, -0.1979, -0.0341, -0.0352, -0.1229, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1596, -0.0988, -0.1489, -0.2293, -0.2213, -0.2312, -0.1612, -0.2309, -0.2948, -0.2623, -0.2967, -0.2906, -0.2925, -0.2688, -0.2963, -0.1975, -0.1761, -0.157, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0796, -0.1279, -0.0946, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1635, 0.0433, 0.1485, 0.1294, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0337, -0.124, -0.1267, -0.0747, -0.0724, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.1964, 0.3082, 0.4847, 0.6011, 0.191, 0.3063, 0.3515, 0.6045, 0.593, 0.7584, 0.7952, 0.9334, 0.8285, 1.1244, 1.057, 0.9173, 1.0819, 1.1068, 1.0145, 1.0145, 0.9215, 0.7274, 0.6332, 0.4851, 0.3047, 0.2278, 0.3472, 0.24, 0.2783, 0.1248, 0.1838, 0.1596, -0.0057, 0.0057, -0.093, -0.0249, 0.0027, -0.0831, 0.0613, 0.072, -0.0038, 0.0739, 0.0632, 0.0398, 0.1834, 0.1076, 0.0096, -0.0881, -0.1428, -0.1719, -0.1374, -0.1309, -0.1619, -0.242, -0.1604, -0.2255, -0.0781, -0.1302, -0.1386, -0.1367, -0.1194, -0.1746, -0.1585, -0.1585, -0.2194, -0.1757, -0.1053, -0.0689, -0.0911, -0.0624, -0.0643, -0.0911, 0.0073, 0.0046, -0.0249, 0.0972, 0.0383, 0.0318, 0.0754, 0.1045, 0.2263, 0.4169, 0.4322, 0.4441, 0.5211, 0.4384, 0.4093, 0.5207, 0.871, 0.871, 1.0636, 1.1149, 1.0264, 1.0184, 1.0077, 0.9054, 0.8794, 0.8055, 0.9253, 1.0773, 1.0115, 1.6045, 1.4686, 1.4372, 1.5057, 1.4031, 1.3744, 1.3744, 1.2186, 1.1099, 1.3243, 1.1275, 1.1382, 1.1156, 1.1436, 0.9809, 0.9652, 1.0567]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1876820568307077487", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-08T02:37:47+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same with $CEG", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long OKLO via Feb calls on pattern break; also long CEG, both with solid upside risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 Entered with Feb calls other day during the pattern break. Upside risk/reward is solid. Same with $CEG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is $OKLO The Future Energy Source for the AI Revolution? \n\nThis company can trade above $100+ in the next 2 years.. It's currently at $29.50\n\nRead my analysis below \ud83d\udc47 \n\nThe AI boom the past few years is requiring massive amounts of energy and we believe nuclear energy will play https://t.co/MDNuVDK6kG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": 0.04835143766177419, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04835143766177419, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049810350448747154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.049810350448747154, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014589127869729657, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014589127869729657, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.23347281876826953, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23347281876826953, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22789168167342932, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22789168167342932, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005581137094840205, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005581137094840205, "ret_p1m": 0.278707323054755, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.278707323054755, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2501572117796984, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2501572117796984, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028550111275056578, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028550111275056578, "ret_p3m": -0.26129221750539056, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26129221750539056, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11948713409400313, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11948713409400313, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14180508341138742, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14180508341138742, "ret_p6m": 0.2831801719895424, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2831801719895424, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21602816743665043, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21602816743665043, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06715200455289194, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06715200455289194, "price_path": [0.0901, 0.1127, 0.0898, 0.1457, 0.1105, 0.1062, 0.1208, 0.0892, 0.0894, 0.083, 0.0827, 0.0932, 0.0851, 0.0719, 0.0767, 0.0568, -0.0748, -0.0429, -0.0378, -0.0108, -0.0199, -0.0285, -0.0636, -0.0748, -0.0772, -0.0802, -0.0556, -0.038, -0.0345, 0.0328, 0.0248, 0.0209, 0.0939, 0.0392, 0.0392, 0.0522, 0.0235, 0.0151, 0.0425, 0.0502, 0.0401, -0.0164, -0.0472, -0.0297, -0.0198, -0.0196, -0.0186, -0.0394, -0.0741, -0.0766, -0.069, -0.0638, -0.0576, -0.0576, -0.0623, -0.0709, -0.0719, -0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0051, 0.0351, 0.0838, 0.0484, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2516, 0.1452, 0.1847, 0.2335, 0.2928, 0.2974, 0.2974, 0.3273, 0.3635, 0.4199, 0.4249, 0.1278, 0.1434, 0.1971, 0.2654, 0.2302, 0.2562, 0.2563, 0.287, 0.2787, 0.2705, 0.3198, 0.286, 0.2869, 0.2774, 0.3013, 0.3013, 0.3353, 0.3192, 0.2689, 0.1665, 0.0979, 0.0839, 0.1079, 0.0242, 0.0275, -0.0474, -0.05, -0.0595, -0.1483, -0.1267, -0.1692, -0.143, -0.1152, -0.1377, -0.1106, -0.1021, -0.1337, -0.1041, -0.0984, -0.0859, -0.0607, -0.0679, -0.1085, -0.1405, -0.1561, -0.1716, -0.1497, -0.1188, -0.2184, -0.2976, -0.2613, -0.2401, -0.1148, -0.1598, -0.1444, -0.1507, -0.1437, -0.161, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.2086, -0.1746, -0.138, -0.104, -0.0838, -0.0763, -0.0696, -0.0819, -0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0201, 0.1251, 0.1016, 0.1118, 0.115, 0.1721, 0.1978, 0.1839, 0.1685, 0.1978, 0.2097, 0.203, 0.1813, 0.1992, 0.224, 0.224, 0.2716, 0.2674, 0.2482, 0.2596, 0.2896, 0.2879, 0.2324, 0.1927, 0.2294, 0.2329, 0.1974, 0.2022, 0.2359, 0.2215, 0.2673, 0.2578, 0.2608, 0.2608, 0.2545, 0.2969, 0.3193, 0.2966, 0.3269, 0.3173, 0.3279, 0.2669, 0.2616, 0.2832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821334734951346296", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-07T23:56:54+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Huang sold a dinky portion. $NVDA top ain't in yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NVDA top not yet in; Huang's sales too small to signal a peak.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TSLAFanMtl Bezos and Elon sold chunks of their wealth. Huang sold a dinky portion. $NVDA top ain\u2019t in yet", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Elon sold the top. Bezos sold the top. Jensen sold the top. Gotta pay attention when these fkers sell and do the same.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TSLAFanMtl", "ret_m1d": 0.0539885413606318, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0539885413606318, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04725962846480036, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02566301709822838, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00672891289583144, "bench_c_m1d": 0.028325524262403423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.061267858833748745, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.061267858833748745, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038150362692972895, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002287252695603925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02311749614077585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.06355511152935267, "ret_p1w": 0.19381261873380495, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19381261873380495, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1454379686473084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07597084489597616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837465008649655, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11784177383782879, "ret_p1m": 0.08391465002963794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08391465002963794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024241597432145046, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023433269661967904, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05967305259749289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.060481380367670035, "ret_p3m": 0.375610574496243, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.375610574496243, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27362138062426133, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2205058354293301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10198919387198169, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551047390669129, "ret_p6m": 0.2604313462107011, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604313462107011, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08637037903010203, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09593216686107953, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17406096718059905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16449917934962155, "price_path": [-0.0914, -0.0861, -0.0764, -0.0434, -0.0461, -0.0651, -0.0418, -0.0357, -0.0401, 0.0493, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.1515, 0.1608, 0.1171, 0.1083, 0.1626, 0.1771, 0.2378, 0.2232, 0.2221, 0.2312, 0.2224, 0.2658, 0.3104, 0.3333, 0.3242, 0.3707, 0.3707, 0.3222, 0.2796, 0.1941, 0.2748, 0.2779, 0.2536, 0.249, 0.2567, 0.2402, 0.2969, 0.2969, 0.2722, 0.2961, 0.3283, 0.364, 0.288, 0.3066, 0.2986, 0.2775, 0.1929, 0.2242, 0.1923, 0.249, 0.2394, 0.1551, 0.1352, 0.1431, 0.1282, 0.0487, 0.1831, 0.1041, 0.0845, 0.0156, 0.054, 0.0, 0.0613, 0.059, 0.1022, 0.1742, 0.1938, 0.2421, 0.2595, 0.3143, 0.2865, 0.2992, 0.251, 0.308, 0.2785, 0.2971, 0.2699, 0.1889, 0.2069, 0.2069, 0.0919, 0.0738, 0.0839, 0.0396, 0.0764, 0.0929, 0.182, 0.2046, 0.2042, 0.1808, 0.1687, 0.1463, 0.1918, 0.1729, 0.1755, 0.2221, 0.2488, 0.2542, 0.2275, 0.2279, 0.183, 0.2017, 0.2421, 0.2631, 0.2914, 0.3437, 0.3412, 0.3631, 0.363, 0.396, 0.3306, 0.3723, 0.3845, 0.3953, 0.4531, 0.4518, 0.4111, 0.4197, 0.4311, 0.4208, 0.4282, 0.4089, 0.3423, 0.369, 0.3756, 0.4146, 0.4723, 0.5053, 0.4927, 0.4687, 0.4994, 0.4789, 0.4839, 0.4356, 0.4171, 0.4864, 0.4751, 0.483, 0.4353, 0.3753, 0.3844, 0.3684, 0.3684, 0.3979, 0.4017, 0.4182, 0.4675, 0.4668, 0.4403, 0.4036, 0.3658, 0.4087, 0.3887, 0.3575, 0.3348, 0.3185, 0.3035, 0.3214, 0.3621, 0.4123, 0.4179, 0.4179, 0.4149, 0.3854, 0.3903, 0.3579, 0.3579, 0.3986, 0.4608, 0.511, 0.4171, 0.4168, 0.4168, 0.3743, 0.3472, 0.3323, 0.3776, 0.3506, 0.3925, 0.3925, 0.424, 0.4871, 0.4887, 0.4421, 0.1974, 0.3043, 0.2508, 0.2604]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990833287829291127", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:23:38+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another reason to be long $GOOGL is as a contrarian AI dark horse play", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL as a contrarian AI dark horse play despite the stock already doubling from April lows.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another reason to be long $GOOGL is as a contrarian AI dark horse play (even though the cats out of the bag now with the stock up 2x from Apr lows) https://t.co/xdH3Y3xdA1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002603021999432631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002603021999432631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005865646864344098, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008237644270007949, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030005646778675565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030005646778675565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026142446635838645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03555078590744898, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": 0.1377515157241771, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1377515157241771, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1151178106676003, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11548154474198724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": 0.044442394849037115, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044442394849037115, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027292940530823095, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008667474274768328, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.0761220809255514, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0761220809255514, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04024080670092545, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04803034909917914, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 0.41820378259998847, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41820378259998847, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28722462414768635, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3672083496052809, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2757, -0.2673, -0.272, -0.2708, -0.2562, -0.2517, -0.2517, -0.2572, -0.1893, -0.1836, -0.1741, -0.1767, -0.1571, -0.1587, -0.1545, -0.1529, -0.1149, -0.1165, -0.1222, -0.1134, -0.104, -0.1117, -0.1147, -0.1306, -0.1354, -0.1328, -0.1415, -0.1449, -0.1385, -0.1357, -0.1369, -0.1191, -0.1355, -0.1395, -0.1504, -0.1678, -0.1412, -0.1366, -0.117, -0.1154, -0.109, -0.0975, -0.119, -0.1146, -0.1098, -0.0857, -0.0528, -0.0591, -0.0342, -0.0098, -0.0109, -0.002, -0.0237, 0.0001, 0.0017, -0.0192, 0.0205, 0.0247, 0.0085, -0.0201, -0.0277, 0.0026, 0.0, 0.03, 0.0182, 0.0541, 0.1207, 0.1378, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.1263, 0.1077, 0.1109, 0.1243, 0.1173, 0.1301, 0.1043, 0.1161, 0.1271, 0.0997, 0.0887, 0.0849, 0.0791, 0.0444, 0.0646, 0.0812, 0.0904, 0.1065, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.1035, 0.1037, 0.1047, 0.1017, 0.1017, 0.1093, 0.1142, 0.1065, 0.1334, 0.1455, 0.1566, 0.1681, 0.1826, 0.1821, 0.1714, 0.1616, 0.1616, 0.1334, 0.1559, 0.1635, 0.1543, 0.1731, 0.1776, 0.1827, 0.1906, 0.1897, 0.2098, 0.1958, 0.1723, 0.166, 0.1365, 0.1416, 0.1214, 0.0946, 0.0877, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0631, 0.0677, 0.066, 0.1087, 0.0964, 0.0944, 0.1014, 0.082, 0.0974, 0.0789, 0.0686, 0.067, 0.0591, 0.0508, 0.0791, 0.0815, 0.0874, 0.0692, 0.0648, 0.0763, 0.0952, 0.0838, 0.0818, 0.0603, 0.064, 0.0231, 0.0248, -0.0105, -0.0337, -0.0366, 0.0129, 0.0475, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0567, 0.076, 0.1177, 0.1219, 0.1175, 0.1318, 0.1727, 0.1875, 0.1836, 0.2035, 0.1885, 0.1705, 0.1952, 0.1937, 0.2131, 0.2341, 0.2321, 0.2326, 0.3554, 0.3586, 0.35, 0.3682, 0.4021, 0.4019, 0.4118, 0.369, 0.3644, 0.4182]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854916721087553760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-08T15:59:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "New targets are $325-338 next week. An ATH re-test is in play for 2024", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Raises TSLA targets to $325-338 next week with ATH re-test in play for 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$315 target reached today, must faster than expected but that's $TSLA for you. New targets are $325-338 next week. An ATH re-test is in play for 2024", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.\n\nI think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).\n\nI have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.075680211276417, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07136715217015199, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06168816400649946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004313059106265005, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01399204726991754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08959591143118995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0886430854567426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0694209691819272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009528259744473466, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02017494224926275, "ret_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0015565655877588513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0192395312116328, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006252945826855205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02079609679939165, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0078095114146140565, "ret_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21346742750650138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20261815254849003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1347205032243579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010849274958011357, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07874692428214347, "ret_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17729285844782172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.163812873973048, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10996141008475946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01347998447477372, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06733144836306226, "ret_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12751382634774178, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.075552717517546, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0582375776483095, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05196110883019578, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06927624869943227, "price_path": [-0.353, -0.3731, -0.3334, -0.3272, -0.3066, -0.3117, -0.3049, -0.3442, -0.3141, -0.3362, -0.3487, -0.3595, -0.3578, -0.3334, -0.3334, -0.3444, -0.3169, -0.2835, -0.344, -0.3267, -0.2959, -0.2898, -0.2846, -0.2831, -0.294, -0.2906, -0.2927, -0.2406, -0.2583, -0.2217, -0.2084, -0.1999, -0.2086, -0.1892, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.2248, -0.2508, -0.2215, -0.2503, -0.2388, -0.2496, -0.2567, -0.322, -0.3177, -0.3164, -0.311, -0.3123, -0.3129, -0.3187, -0.3214, -0.3349, -0.1891, -0.162, -0.1828, -0.1921, -0.1982, -0.2222, -0.2249, -0.244, -0.2172, -0.1018, -0.0757, 0.0, 0.0896, 0.0226, 0.0281, -0.0313, -0.0016, 0.0545, 0.0771, 0.0648, 0.0573, 0.0976, 0.0541, 0.053, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0745, 0.1117, 0.094, 0.1143, 0.1503, 0.2117, 0.2135, 0.2483, 0.3224, 0.3016, 0.358, 0.4414, 0.4939, 0.3702, 0.3579, 0.3108, 0.3405, 0.4391, 0.4391, 0.4138, 0.3438, 0.2995, 0.2572, 0.2572, 0.1807, 0.2778, 0.2797, 0.2277, 0.2295, 0.2295, 0.2289, 0.2556, 0.2339, 0.3331, 0.2883, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.3202, 0.2923, 0.2838, 0.2657, 0.2364, 0.2393, 0.2113, 0.2461, 0.2596, 0.1944, 0.221, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.1258, 0.0919, 0.0227, 0.0476, 0.1081, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1024, 0.1225, 0.1033, 0.0516, 0.029, -0.0573, -0.0947, -0.1223, -0.0879, -0.1138, -0.1531, -0.1311, -0.1798, -0.1823, -0.3084, -0.2822, -0.2277, -0.2507, -0.2218, -0.259, -0.2986, -0.2657, -0.2645, -0.2257, -0.1333, -0.103, -0.153, -0.1497, -0.1795, -0.1932, -0.1642, -0.1197, -0.1679, -0.2546, -0.2737, -0.3093, -0.1526, -0.2142, -0.2145, -0.2144, -0.2089, -0.248, -0.2486, -0.2486, -0.2918, -0.2592, -0.2194, -0.1921, -0.1129, -0.11, -0.0909, -0.1216, -0.1267, -0.1059, -0.1275]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1902046945017000358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-18T17:18:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think 2030+ it'll be above $600 but high variance from bottom/top predictions until then", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Expects TSLA above $600 by 2030+, with near-term bottom around $150 in 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jocljoma @garyblack00 Bottom ~150ish for 2025 but can be exacerbated by any recession coalescing. I think 2030+ it'll be above $600 but high variance from bottom/top predictions until then", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @garyblack00 what do you think tsla could reach by the end of this year.. and ultimately in 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Latebloomtrader", "ret_m1d": 0.056366770608745176, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.056366770608745176, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045440448122634924, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03822731453420314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010926322486110251, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018139456074542037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046824389357219776, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046824389357219776, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03593371681820856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027651159623877763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010890672539011215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019173229733342012, "ret_p1w": 0.27886031587881166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27886031587881166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2500360643786994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2117450456925698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.028824251500112252, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06711527018624186, "ret_p1m": 0.07207849482551576, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07207849482551576, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13228816507785335, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11731292657358072, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06020967025233759, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04523443174806496, "ret_p3m": 0.44383294609017154, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44383294609017154, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3764988049856943, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3465573234310262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06733414110447722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09727562265914536, "ret_p6m": 0.5436066411321858, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5436066411321858, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3741192873714696, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33426568200127305, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16948735376071622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20934095913091277, "price_path": [0.9359, 0.8688, 0.9111, 1.0518, 1.0518, 1.0156, 0.9158, 0.8526, 0.7924, 0.7924, 0.6834, 0.8217, 0.8244, 0.7503, 0.7529, 0.7529, 0.752, 0.79, 0.7592, 0.9006, 0.8367, 0.8929, 0.8929, 0.8822, 0.8424, 0.8303, 0.8045, 0.7627, 0.7669, 0.727, 0.7766, 0.7957, 0.7029, 0.7408, 0.6784, 0.6614, 0.605, 0.5567, 0.458, 0.4935, 0.5798, 0.5793, 0.5793, 0.5717, 0.6003, 0.5729, 0.4993, 0.467, 0.3439, 0.2907, 0.2514, 0.3003, 0.2634, 0.2074, 0.2387, 0.1693, 0.1658, -0.014, 0.0234, 0.1011, 0.0682, 0.1095, 0.0564, 0.0, 0.0468, 0.0486, 0.1039, 0.2356, 0.2789, 0.2075, 0.2122, 0.1697, 0.1502, 0.1915, 0.255, 0.1863, 0.0627, 0.0354, -0.0153, 0.2081, 0.1202, 0.1198, 0.12, 0.1278, 0.0721, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0097, 0.0562, 0.1129, 0.1518, 0.2647, 0.2688, 0.2961, 0.2523, 0.245, 0.2747, 0.2439, 0.2221, 0.226, 0.2641, 0.3238, 0.4131, 0.4827, 0.5431, 0.5215, 0.5533, 0.5183, 0.526, 0.4852, 0.5136, 0.5061, 0.5061, 0.6106, 0.584, 0.5908, 0.5377, 0.521, 0.528, 0.4737, 0.2636, 0.3099, 0.3696, 0.4473, 0.4488, 0.4163, 0.4438, 0.4608, 0.4041, 0.4294, 0.4294, 0.4299, 0.5476, 0.5111, 0.4538, 0.4459, 0.4364, 0.4099, 0.3347, 0.401, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3046, 0.3218, 0.3132, 0.3753, 0.3915, 0.4065, 0.3793, 0.4277, 0.4176, 0.4631, 0.4579, 0.474, 0.476, 0.355, 0.4028, 0.4451, 0.4256, 0.416, 0.3682, 0.3432, 0.3726, 0.3702, 0.4199, 0.4303, 0.4631, 0.5047, 0.5128, 0.5063, 0.4894, 0.4671, 0.4876, 0.4616, 0.4376, 0.4208, 0.5091, 0.5383, 0.5608, 0.5516, 0.5356, 0.4818, 0.4818, 0.4618, 0.4828, 0.5025, 0.5571, 0.5374, 0.54, 0.5436]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986841599792624018", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T17:02:05+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL has a much better value prop across its product portfolio and the AI-risk discount is tapering off", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers GOOGL over META at current valuations; better product portfolio and AI-risk discount fading.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DividendTalks Easy. $GOOGL has a much better value prop across its product portfolio and the AI-risk discount is tapering off", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Would you rather buy $GOOGL at 26x or $META at 20x? https://t.co/8TdjweeGGn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DividendTalks", "ret_m1d": 0.02123175408976352, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02123175408976352, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02221529336926309, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018645056892577117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04041896889680907, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04041896889680907, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024814625588814643, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02998279943598625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.008679017196378203, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008679017196378203, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010109819385139662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017215708891629156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": 0.125866134461748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.125866134461748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10699784227327847, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08884890652555533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": 0.19520094955177414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19520094955177414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16949536235156226, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1499941918524339, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.3763608296741505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3763608296741505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30016009251827613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3341028122621106, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.2714, -0.2763, -0.2728, -0.2694, -0.2708, -0.2777, -0.2858, -0.2843, -0.2615, -0.2529, -0.2578, -0.2566, -0.2416, -0.2371, -0.2371, -0.2427, -0.1735, -0.1676, -0.1579, -0.1606, -0.1406, -0.1422, -0.1379, -0.1364, -0.0976, -0.0992, -0.1051, -0.0961, -0.0865, -0.0943, -0.0974, -0.1137, -0.1185, -0.1158, -0.1247, -0.1281, -0.1217, -0.1189, -0.1201, -0.1019, -0.1186, -0.1227, -0.1338, -0.1516, -0.1244, -0.1197, -0.0997, -0.0982, -0.0916, -0.0799, -0.1017, -0.0973, -0.0924, -0.0678, -0.0343, -0.0407, -0.0153, 0.0095, 0.0085, 0.0175, -0.0046, 0.0197, 0.0212, 0.0, 0.0404, 0.0448, 0.0283, -0.0009, -0.0087, 0.0222, 0.0195, 0.0501, 0.0381, 0.0747, 0.1426, 0.16, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1483, 0.1293, 0.1326, 0.1463, 0.1391, 0.1522, 0.1259, 0.1379, 0.1492, 0.1212, 0.11, 0.1061, 0.1002, 0.0649, 0.0855, 0.1023, 0.1117, 0.1281, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.1251, 0.1253, 0.1263, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.131, 0.136, 0.1281, 0.1555, 0.1679, 0.1792, 0.191, 0.2057, 0.2052, 0.1943, 0.1843, 0.1843, 0.1556, 0.1785, 0.1862, 0.1769, 0.196, 0.2006, 0.2059, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2334, 0.2191, 0.1952, 0.1888, 0.1587, 0.1639, 0.1433, 0.116, 0.1089, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0839, 0.0886, 0.0869, 0.1304, 0.1179, 0.1157, 0.1229, 0.1031, 0.1188, 0.1, 0.0895, 0.0879, 0.0798, 0.0713, 0.1002, 0.1027, 0.1086, 0.0901, 0.0856, 0.0974, 0.1166, 0.105, 0.103, 0.081, 0.0848, 0.0431, 0.0448, 0.0089, -0.0148, -0.0178, 0.0327, 0.068, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0774, 0.097, 0.1396, 0.1438, 0.1393, 0.1539, 0.1956, 0.2107, 0.2067, 0.2271, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2186, 0.2171, 0.2368, 0.2582, 0.2562, 0.2567, 0.3819, 0.3851, 0.3764]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1922746396983128524", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-14T20:10:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A breach above would suggest $400", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: expects pullback to 350-365, breach above targets $400.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA textbook breakout exactly as I expected weeks ago. Yellow arrow is where I bought my stock back ($224) which I sold at 450 and 350.\n\nPull back from 350-365 is warranted - a breach above would suggest $400\n\nhttps://t.co/xZH7T2eYf6 https://t.co/CItFtWWWba", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03914514967288929, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03914514967288929, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03786872136074482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03530446482987026, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001276428312144473, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038406848430190266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013978329078298546, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013978329078298546, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018862671477120174, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01175720927553281, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004884342398821628, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022211198027657364, "ret_p1w": -0.037563270345476796, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037563270345476796, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02951344036606418, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016925593831354613, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008049829979412615, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020637676514122183, "ret_p1m": -0.08217328556740067, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08217328556740067, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10967538291699164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07106775771821905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02750209734959097, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011105527849181618, "ret_p3m": -0.02487918223281449, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02487918223281449, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11032980114137314, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06526149010374538, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08545061890855865, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04038230787093089, "ret_p6m": 0.28252995011401083, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28252995011401083, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13520696668215337, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18861047817846543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14732298343185746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0939194719355454, "price_path": [0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0185, 0.037, 0.0193, -0.0284, -0.0493, -0.1291, -0.1636, -0.1891, -0.1573, -0.1813, -0.2176, -0.1973, -0.2423, -0.2445, -0.3611, -0.3368, -0.2864, -0.3078, -0.281, -0.3154, -0.352, -0.3216, -0.3205, -0.2847, -0.1993, -0.1712, -0.2175, -0.2144, -0.242, -0.2546, -0.2279, -0.1867, -0.2312, -0.3113, -0.329, -0.3619, -0.2171, -0.274, -0.2743, -0.2742, -0.2691, -0.3053, -0.3058, -0.3058, -0.3457, -0.3155, -0.2788, -0.2536, -0.1804, -0.1777, -0.1601, -0.1884, -0.1932, -0.1739, -0.1939, -0.208, -0.2055, -0.1808, -0.1421, -0.0843, -0.0391, 0.0, -0.014, 0.0066, -0.0161, -0.0111, -0.0376, -0.0191, -0.024, -0.024, 0.0437, 0.0265, 0.0309, -0.0035, -0.0144, -0.0098, -0.045, -0.1811, -0.1511, -0.1125, -0.0621, -0.0611, -0.0822, -0.0643, -0.0534, -0.0901, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0734, 0.0029, -0.0207, -0.0579, -0.063, -0.0692, -0.0863, -0.1351, -0.0921, -0.093, -0.093, -0.1546, -0.1434, -0.149, -0.1087, -0.0983, -0.0885, -0.1061, -0.0748, -0.0813, -0.0519, -0.0552, -0.0448, -0.0435, -0.1219, -0.0909, -0.0635, -0.0762, -0.0824, -0.1134, -0.1296, -0.1105, -0.1121, -0.0799, -0.0731, -0.0519, -0.0249, -0.0197, -0.0239, -0.0348, -0.0492, -0.036, -0.0528, -0.0684, -0.0793, -0.0221, -0.0031, 0.0115, 0.0055, -0.0049, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0527, -0.0391, -0.0263, 0.0091, -0.0037, -0.002, 0.0003, 0.0608, 0.1388, 0.1794, 0.2127, 0.2249, 0.1989, 0.2255, 0.2489, 0.2248, 0.2736, 0.2178, 0.2667, 0.2748, 0.2791, 0.3215, 0.254, 0.2363, 0.3036, 0.2457, 0.2618, 0.2527, 0.1893, 0.2537, 0.2346, 0.2516, 0.2332, 0.2635, 0.2869, 0.273, 0.2626, 0.2914, 0.2475, 0.3013, 0.3246, 0.3274, 0.2658, 0.3132, 0.3471, 0.2778, 0.329, 0.2825]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1816239165736116526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-24T22:28:55+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we can expect ~95 by mid August before earnings. I presume this would have to coincide with poor tech results next week from $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL etc. I have covered calls on 100% of my $NVDA atm, going to add more puts around $123-125 expecting $95 as mentioned above. Aug 16 110p's", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short NVDA to ~$95 by mid-August via covered calls and puts; expects poor earnings from AMZN, MSFT, AAPL next week to catalyze the move.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Normally I don't like to look at historical patterns to suggest future outcomes, but $NVDA has an uncanny resemblance of its recent high at $97 back in March.\n\nLeft you see what happened, and if you use the Bars Pattern tool and overlay it correctly, you get the right which is the current price levels.\n\nAdd in the key fib channels and you have yourself a decent chart.\n\n---\n\nUsing the previous pattern, today's gap fill at 106 was predicted shown in the right image. If we are to apply more weight to this, we can expect ~95 by mid August before earnings. I presume this would have to coincide with poor tech results next week from $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL etc\n\n---\n\nI have covered calls on 100% of my $NVDA atm, going to add more puts around $123-125 expecting $95 as mentioned above. Aug 16 110p's", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07299769638209064, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07299769638209064, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04980960331007789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01539959297720861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02318809307201275, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05759810340488203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017242927465432323, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017242927465432323, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012032650473290163, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001098885190295329, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00521027699214216, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018341812655727652, "ret_p1w": 0.024245044014602035, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024245044014602035, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006544610415926577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0006947862373278824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017700433598675458, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024939830251929918, "ret_p1m": 0.08306339759589942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08306339759589942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05536717712507233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07708785976846677, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027696220470827093, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005975537827432653, "ret_p3m": 0.2579631153893436, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2579631153893436, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17631536903276657, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2087474673312515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08164774635657701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04921564805809209, "ret_p6m": 0.16928331293393262, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16928331293393262, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06910022207326505, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11770980822992638, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10018309086066757, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051573504704006234, "price_path": [-0.2321, -0.2319, -0.2438, -0.2732, -0.2489, -0.2229, -0.1936, -0.2075, -0.2087, -0.2233, -0.2134, -0.2088, -0.2005, -0.1718, -0.1742, -0.1906, -0.1705, -0.1652, -0.169, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0031, 0.005, -0.0329, -0.0405, 0.0065, 0.0191, 0.0716, 0.059, 0.058, 0.0659, 0.0583, 0.0958, 0.1344, 0.1543, 0.1464, 0.1867, 0.1867, 0.1447, 0.1078, 0.0338, 0.1036, 0.1063, 0.0853, 0.0813, 0.088, 0.0737, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1014, 0.1221, 0.1499, 0.1808, 0.1151, 0.1312, 0.1242, 0.106, 0.0327, 0.0599, 0.0322, 0.0813, 0.073, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0104, -0.0233, -0.0921, 0.0242, -0.0441, -0.0611, -0.1208, -0.0875, -0.1343, -0.0812, -0.0832, -0.0458, 0.0165, 0.0335, 0.0754, 0.0904, 0.1379, 0.1138, 0.1247, 0.0831, 0.1323, 0.1069, 0.123, 0.0994, 0.0292, 0.0448, 0.0448, -0.0547, -0.0704, -0.0616, -0.1, -0.0681, -0.0538, 0.0233, 0.0429, 0.0425, 0.0222, 0.0118, -0.0076, 0.0318, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.058, 0.0811, 0.0858, 0.0627, 0.063, 0.0242, 0.0404, 0.0754, 0.0935, 0.118, 0.1633, 0.1611, 0.1801, 0.18, 0.2086, 0.152, 0.188, 0.1986, 0.208, 0.258, 0.2569, 0.2216, 0.2291, 0.239, 0.23, 0.2364, 0.2197, 0.1621, 0.1852, 0.1909, 0.2247, 0.2746, 0.3032, 0.2923, 0.2715, 0.2981, 0.2804, 0.2847, 0.2428, 0.2268, 0.2868, 0.277, 0.2839, 0.2426, 0.1906, 0.1985, 0.1847, 0.1847, 0.2102, 0.2135, 0.2278, 0.2705, 0.2699, 0.2469, 0.2152, 0.1824, 0.2195, 0.2023, 0.1752, 0.1555, 0.1414, 0.1285, 0.144, 0.1792, 0.2227, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.225, 0.1994, 0.2036, 0.1756, 0.1756, 0.2108, 0.2647, 0.3081, 0.2268, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.1898, 0.1663, 0.1534, 0.1927, 0.1693]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1989403061077635421", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T18:40:25+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My pound-the-table buy at $35 (now up 25% since my post) is still a buy at ~$40. Short-term PT at $51\n1yr PT remains $60\n2y PT at $75 (25b market cap)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Reiterates ONON as a buy at $40 with ST PT $51, 1yr $60, 2yr $75; no tariff headwind and worth more than LULU.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like $ONON doesn't have a tariff headwind afterall. My pound-the-table buy at $35 (now up 25% since my post) is still a buy at ~$40. \n\nShort-term PT at $51\n1yr PT remains $60\n2y PT at $75 (25b market cap). \n\nThis company is easily worth more than $LULU at 20b.\n\nhttps://t.co/xuUpf3zoFB\n\n---\n\nRight before earnings, someone bought ~2.5m worth of $ONON March 50c's at ~0.80. They're worth ~2.50+ for over 3x (so he's up 5m+) and so far hasn't liquidated any https://t.co/JgBsw5bFGC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00016379558493695434, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004807515265831563, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004807515265831563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023584904811610685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023584904811610685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014268471382366088, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014186509718599138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009398395093011547, "ret_p1w": -0.02641515816687967, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02641515816687967, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0072168174262039475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003070682539759839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02334447562711983, "ret_p1m": 0.1271226225394979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1271226225394979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11402600991075773, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07268110836858765, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054441514170910255, "ret_p3m": 0.06816036051047125, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06816036051047125, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03530760689474999, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.046085972346343373, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02207438816412788, "ret_p6m": -0.19716981862014848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19716981862014848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3036981552106661, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23529911554094607, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038129296920797584, "price_path": [0.062, 0.067, 0.0514, 0.0981, 0.0752, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.0517, 0.0632, 0.0632, 0.0564, 0.0566, 0.0861, 0.0736, 0.066, 0.0469, 0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0116, 0.0064, 0.0146, 0.034, 0.0611, 0.0667, 0.0752, 0.0816, 0.0792, 0.0358, 0.0017, 0.0281, -0.0012, -0.034, -0.0009, -0.0071, 0.004, -0.0163, 0.0288, 0.0212, -0.0127, 0.0134, -0.0052, -0.0226, -0.0099, -0.0137, -0.0219, 0.012, -0.0031, 0.0196, -0.0165, -0.0045, -0.029, -0.0733, -0.1219, -0.1238, -0.1401, -0.1462, -0.1491, -0.1625, -0.1745, -0.1755, -0.1703, -0.021, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0236, 0.0061, 0.0212, -0.0231, -0.0264, -0.038, -0.0151, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.0375, 0.0538, 0.0649, 0.1101, 0.0969, 0.1354, 0.109, 0.1158, 0.1491, 0.1675, 0.15, 0.1271, 0.1389, 0.1344, 0.1429, 0.1455, 0.1354, 0.1295, 0.0965, 0.0965, 0.1033, 0.1193, 0.1191, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.1073, 0.1557, 0.1566, 0.1476, 0.1941, 0.1585, 0.1535, 0.1146, 0.063, 0.0849, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.0406, 0.092, 0.0995, 0.084, 0.096, 0.0736, 0.058, 0.0618, 0.0672, 0.0835, 0.0408, 0.0347, 0.0123, 0.0252, 0.0458, 0.0684, 0.0682, 0.0441, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.1005, 0.1163, 0.1325, 0.1656, 0.1189, 0.1035, 0.1002, 0.1226, 0.0962, 0.1028, 0.0356, 0.0196, 0.0229, -0.0222, -0.0288, -0.0325, -0.0698, -0.1047, -0.104, -0.0743, -0.0616, -0.079, -0.0833, -0.1118, -0.0599, -0.0663, -0.1708, -0.2427, -0.2361, -0.2481, -0.1976, -0.18, -0.221, -0.221, -0.2059, -0.2403, -0.2026, -0.1877, -0.2087, -0.1936, -0.1608, -0.1644, -0.1646, -0.1285, -0.1215, -0.1337, -0.1368, -0.1458, -0.145, -0.1526, -0.1644, -0.1667, -0.1601, -0.1854, -0.1913, -0.1842, -0.1495, -0.1592, -0.1689, -0.1972]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982839852770214163", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T16:00:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We saw some cyberSUV prototypes in the back of a recent Tesla clip (believe with Jay Leno) and we know the roadster/cybercab is one of these", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA on pipeline of new vehicles including cyberSUV and cybercab/roadster prototypes.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanBTC916 We saw some cyberSUV prototypes in the back of a recent Tesla clip (believe with Jay Leno) and we know the roadster/cybercab is one of these", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\u201cOther vehicles coming out\u201d. Did you guys hear that?\n\nAlso interesting how CNBC invited the $TSLA Board Chair Robyn for an interview right after Tesla earnings.\n\nEver since September, have you noticed media change their tune on Tesla?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanBTC916", "ret_m1d": -0.0413333001459234, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0413333001459234, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029673151202159964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027147097546854404, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014186202599068998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017969970655449252, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017969970655449252, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015313971698858175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017721123353517054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00024884730193219795, "ret_p1w": 0.03525481016767795, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03525481016767795, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03802752975295154, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030692058897673347, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004562751270004606, "ret_p1m": -0.07298532016980352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07298532016980352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05807087827177382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04112860792053019, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03185671224927333, "ret_p3m": -0.006763688575551208, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.006763688575551208, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0151926557869978, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.026035374289797075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019271685714245868, "ret_p6m": -0.14588214057984472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14588214057984472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17922670704198596, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1367999766148913, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.009082163964953427, "price_path": [-0.2948, -0.3186, -0.3311, -0.3164, -0.3176, -0.2929, -0.2877, -0.2714, -0.2506, -0.2466, -0.2499, -0.2583, -0.2694, -0.2592, -0.2721, -0.2841, -0.2924, -0.2485, -0.2339, -0.2227, -0.2273, -0.2353, -0.262, -0.262, -0.272, -0.2615, -0.2517, -0.2245, -0.2343, -0.2331, -0.2313, -0.1848, -0.1248, -0.0937, -0.0681, -0.0587, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.0403, -0.0587, -0.0213, -0.0642, -0.0266, -0.0204, -0.017, 0.0156, -0.0363, -0.0499, 0.0018, -0.0427, -0.0303, -0.0373, -0.086, -0.0365, -0.0512, -0.0382, -0.0523, -0.029, -0.011, -0.0217, -0.0297, -0.0076, -0.0413, 0.0, 0.018, 0.0201, -0.0272, 0.0092, 0.0353, -0.018, 0.0213, -0.0144, -0.0506, -0.0159, -0.0283, -0.0482, -0.1115, -0.1063, -0.0961, -0.1131, -0.107, -0.1264, -0.1356, -0.0766, -0.073, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0512, -0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0057, -0.0284, -0.016, -0.0021, -0.0122, 0.0145, 0.0506, 0.0828, 0.0328, 0.0684, 0.0636, 0.0803, 0.0733, 0.0729, 0.0729, 0.0503, 0.016, 0.0044, -0.006, -0.006, -0.0317, -0.0017, -0.043, -0.0464, -0.0367, -0.0164, -0.0076, -0.0115, -0.0292, -0.0306, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0733, -0.0464, -0.0068, -0.0074, -0.0381, -0.0476, -0.0463, -0.0793, -0.0486, -0.0677, -0.0673, -0.1026, -0.122, -0.0913, -0.0776, -0.0601, -0.0534, -0.0781, -0.0773, -0.0773, -0.0924, -0.0908, -0.09, -0.0897, -0.1162, -0.0951, -0.0774, -0.0969, -0.1103, -0.1085, -0.1326, -0.1027, -0.1036, -0.1231, -0.1188, -0.1175, -0.0986, -0.1269, -0.1353, -0.1257, -0.1175, -0.1318, -0.1594, -0.1867, -0.1582, -0.1534, -0.1469, -0.1775, -0.2002, -0.2147, -0.1783, -0.1573, -0.203, -0.203, -0.2201, -0.2338, -0.2413, -0.2361, -0.2287, -0.221, -0.195, -0.1337, -0.1404, -0.1145, -0.1324, -0.1459]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1889231555610259824", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-11T08:34:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it rebounds around 345-348 it'll print a bullish Gartley. The 2 ATH fib ext downward also point to 347ish + the gap at 346", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish TSLA if it rebounds at 345-348, forming a bullish Gartley pattern supported by fib extensions and gap fill.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow If it rebounds around 345-348 it\u2019ll print a bullish Gartley. The 2 ATH fib ext downward also point to 347ish + the gap at 346", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA daily chart\nBack-testing the 0.786 linear fib after breaking all time highs is not bearish. Let's see how it reacts here. https://t.co/orwBnA5sK9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.06767126632063358, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06767126632063358, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06843122029579951, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.056186705859418096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007599539751659279, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011484560461215487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0243835913717656, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0243835913717656, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027605084249127887, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024562287105168945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032214928773622864, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00017869573340334455, "ret_p1w": 0.07796038158770924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07796038158770924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0677507697299311, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0663865766317937, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010209611857778134, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011573804955915534, "ret_p1m": -0.24477931099576677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24477931099576677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16805833082392652, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12747655390598078, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07672098017184026, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11730275708978599, "ret_p3m": -0.09205476479261798, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09205476479261798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02717501121861443, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0009510924717357483, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06487975357400355, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09300585726435373, "ret_p6m": -0.026149151713517838, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026149151713517838, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07777528340968509, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02959674579564997, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.051626131696167255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0034475940821321327, "price_path": [-0.0527, -0.0237, 0.0312, 0.0533, 0.0412, 0.0339, 0.0732, 0.0307, 0.0296, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.0507, 0.087, 0.0698, 0.0896, 0.1248, 0.1848, 0.1866, 0.2207, 0.2931, 0.2728, 0.3279, 0.4095, 0.4608, 0.3398, 0.3278, 0.2818, 0.3108, 0.4072, 0.4072, 0.3824, 0.314, 0.2707, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.1546, 0.2494, 0.2513, 0.2005, 0.2023, 0.2023, 0.2016, 0.2277, 0.2066, 0.3036, 0.2597, 0.2983, 0.2983, 0.2909, 0.2637, 0.2553, 0.2377, 0.209, 0.2118, 0.1845, 0.2185, 0.2317, 0.168, 0.1939, 0.1512, 0.1395, 0.1008, 0.0677, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.0835, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.078, 0.0976, 0.0788, 0.0283, 0.0062, -0.0782, -0.1148, -0.1417, -0.1081, -0.1335, -0.1719, -0.1504, -0.198, -0.2004, -0.3237, -0.2981, -0.2448, -0.2673, -0.239, -0.2755, -0.3141, -0.282, -0.2808, -0.2429, -0.1525, -0.1229, -0.1718, -0.1686, -0.1977, -0.2111, -0.1828, -0.1392, -0.1864, -0.2711, -0.2898, -0.3246, -0.1714, -0.2317, -0.2319, -0.2318, -0.2265, -0.2647, -0.2652, -0.2652, -0.3075, -0.2756, -0.2367, -0.21, -0.1326, -0.1297, -0.111, -0.1411, -0.1461, -0.1257, -0.1468, -0.1618, -0.1591, -0.133, -0.0921, -0.0308, 0.017, 0.0584, 0.0436, 0.0654, 0.0414, 0.0466, 0.0186, 0.0382, 0.033, 0.033, 0.1047, 0.0865, 0.0911, 0.0547, 0.0432, 0.048, 0.0108, -0.1333, -0.1016, -0.0606, -0.0073, -0.0063, -0.0286, -0.0097, 0.0019, -0.037, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0193, 0.0614, 0.0364, -0.0029, -0.0083, -0.0148, -0.033, -0.0846, -0.0391, -0.04, -0.04, -0.1052, -0.0934, -0.0993, -0.0567, -0.0456, -0.0353, -0.0539, -0.0208, -0.0277, 0.0035, -0.0, 0.011, 0.0124, -0.0706, -0.0379, -0.0089, -0.0222, -0.0288, -0.0616, -0.0788, -0.0586, -0.0602, -0.0261]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1820346380365558158", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-05T06:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short QQQ via puts (up 10x+), long NVDA buying ~$86-96 into Aug earnings, long ONON and PLTR (PLTR exit contingent on earnings).", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tomorrow is expected to be one of the worst days ever for $QQQ and $SPY amid a global rout that has seen the Nikkei225 suffer its worst day ever at -12% in yen domination. \n\nHopefully you're hedged accordingly. Mag7 (ex TSLA) being responsible for over 95%+ of the SP500 earnings growth + Fed likely behind recession curve = risk-off time. \n\nBuying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). They report end of August and it's gunna be a long 3 weeks until then. Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR and short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week). Might exit $PLTR contingent on earnings tomorrow.\n\n---\n\n$VIX opening at 42 is crazy - highest since covid 2020 https://t.co/pwBBUH95df", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03073245440069372, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03073245440069372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0007351790276355352, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0007351790276355352, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009555063522833196, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009555063522833196, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0003355980748849241, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003355980748849241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "ret_p1w": 0.03677335336683529, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03677335336683529, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006060833308546121, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006060833308546121, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "ret_p1m": 0.06072992568519764, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06072992568519764, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006338898487711964, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006338898487711964, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "ret_p3m": 0.11291528350268565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11291528350268565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010467985520764556, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010467985520764556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "ret_p6m": 0.20216337483190827, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20216337483190827, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0262095687015218, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0262095687015218, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "price_path": [0.0092, 0.0114, 0.0138, 0.0161, 0.0226, 0.0386, 0.0365, 0.036, 0.0432, 0.0453, 0.0451, 0.0404, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.0542, 0.0467, 0.0355, 0.0336, 0.0391, 0.042, 0.063, 0.0626, 0.0617, 0.066, 0.0733, 0.0873, 0.0932, 0.0989, 0.1124, 0.1127, 0.1127, 0.1041, 0.1012, 0.0886, 0.1011, 0.1034, 0.1062, 0.1005, 0.1069, 0.1185, 0.1279, 0.1279, 0.1396, 0.1423, 0.1433, 0.1552, 0.1299, 0.1366, 0.1396, 0.14, 0.1066, 0.1013, 0.0916, 0.1078, 0.1039, 0.0643, 0.0526, 0.0634, 0.0655, 0.0509, 0.082, 0.0558, 0.0307, 0.0, 0.0096, -0.0014, 0.0292, 0.0345, 0.0368, 0.0625, 0.0628, 0.0897, 0.0911, 0.1054, 0.1031, 0.1083, 0.0907, 0.1025, 0.0918, 0.0951, 0.0826, 0.0811, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.0607, 0.058, 0.059, 0.0306, 0.0438, 0.0535, 0.0764, 0.0869, 0.0918, 0.087, 0.0876, 0.0828, 0.1102, 0.1081, 0.1111, 0.1164, 0.1174, 0.1258, 0.1196, 0.1226, 0.107, 0.1085, 0.1077, 0.1209, 0.1089, 0.1255, 0.1343, 0.133, 0.1348, 0.1443, 0.129, 0.1292, 0.1299, 0.1373, 0.1395, 0.1408, 0.1233, 0.1324, 0.1393, 0.1395, 0.1504, 0.1417, 0.1129, 0.1211, 0.1179, 0.1321, 0.1629, 0.1812, 0.1826, 0.1819, 0.1798, 0.1782, 0.1701, 0.1422, 0.1501, 0.158, 0.1574, 0.1615, 0.1634, 0.1652, 0.1715, 0.1623, 0.1623, 0.1725, 0.1852, 0.1889, 0.2036, 0.2002, 0.211, 0.2015, 0.1974, 0.2189, 0.211, 0.2203, 0.2379, 0.2324, 0.1879, 0.1827, 0.193, 0.2046, 0.2209, 0.2209, 0.2201, 0.2039, 0.1879, 0.1778, 0.1778, 0.1755, 0.1947, 0.2085, 0.1869, 0.1871, 0.1871, 0.1685, 0.1647, 0.1636, 0.1904, 0.1821, 0.202, 0.202, 0.2091, 0.2245, 0.2271, 0.2202, 0.1847, 0.2022]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1820346380365558158", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-05T06:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). Still long $NVDA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short QQQ via puts (up 10x+), long NVDA buying ~$86-96 into Aug earnings, long ONON and PLTR (PLTR exit contingent on earnings).", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tomorrow is expected to be one of the worst days ever for $QQQ and $SPY amid a global rout that has seen the Nikkei225 suffer its worst day ever at -12% in yen domination. \n\nHopefully you're hedged accordingly. Mag7 (ex TSLA) being responsible for over 95%+ of the SP500 earnings growth + Fed likely behind recession curve = risk-off time. \n\nBuying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). They report end of August and it's gunna be a long 3 weeks until then. Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR and short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week). Might exit $PLTR contingent on earnings tomorrow.\n\n---\n\n$VIX opening at 42 is crazy - highest since covid 2020 https://t.co/pwBBUH95df", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06789453911127774, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06789453911127774, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037897263738219555, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043891872372537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02400266673874074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037829878731011624, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037829878731011624, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028610413283063352, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018374578137301922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0194553005937097, "ret_p1w": 0.0853161847913606, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0853161847913606, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05460366473307143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021324761599742725, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06399142319161788, "ret_p1m": 0.07516187891703208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07516187891703208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008093054744122474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019468265576130905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05569361334090117, "ret_p3m": 0.3217657119739181, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3217657119739181, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21931841399199703, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18876680209347096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13299890988044716, "ret_p6m": 0.2843198045933095, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2843198045933095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10836599846292305, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1520910056167606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13222879897654893, "price_path": [-0.1, -0.1166, -0.1053, -0.1001, -0.0906, -0.058, -0.0607, -0.0794, -0.0565, -0.0505, -0.0548, 0.0333, 0.0598, 0.0598, 0.1338, 0.143, 0.1, 0.0913, 0.1448, 0.1591, 0.2188, 0.2045, 0.2034, 0.2123, 0.2037, 0.2464, 0.2903, 0.3129, 0.3039, 0.3497, 0.3497, 0.3019, 0.26, 0.1758, 0.2553, 0.2583, 0.2343, 0.2299, 0.2374, 0.2212, 0.2771, 0.2771, 0.2527, 0.2763, 0.3079, 0.3431, 0.2683, 0.2866, 0.2786, 0.2579, 0.1746, 0.2055, 0.174, 0.2299, 0.2204, 0.1374, 0.1178, 0.1255, 0.1109, 0.0327, 0.165, 0.0872, 0.0679, 0.0, 0.0378, -0.0153, 0.045, 0.0428, 0.0853, 0.1562, 0.1755, 0.2231, 0.2402, 0.2942, 0.2668, 0.2792, 0.2319, 0.2879, 0.2589, 0.2773, 0.2505, 0.1706, 0.1884, 0.1884, 0.0752, 0.0573, 0.0673, 0.0237, 0.0599, 0.0762, 0.1639, 0.1862, 0.1858, 0.1627, 0.1508, 0.1287, 0.1735, 0.1549, 0.1575, 0.2034, 0.2297, 0.2349, 0.2087, 0.2091, 0.1649, 0.1833, 0.2231, 0.2437, 0.2716, 0.3231, 0.3207, 0.3422, 0.3421, 0.3746, 0.3102, 0.3512, 0.3633, 0.3739, 0.4308, 0.4296, 0.3895, 0.3979, 0.4092, 0.399, 0.4063, 0.3873, 0.3218, 0.348, 0.3545, 0.393, 0.4497, 0.4823, 0.4698, 0.4462, 0.4764, 0.4563, 0.4612, 0.4136, 0.3953, 0.4636, 0.4525, 0.4603, 0.4133, 0.3542, 0.3632, 0.3475, 0.3475, 0.3764, 0.3802, 0.3964, 0.445, 0.4443, 0.4182, 0.3821, 0.3449, 0.3871, 0.3675, 0.3367, 0.3143, 0.2983, 0.2835, 0.3011, 0.3412, 0.3907, 0.3961, 0.3961, 0.3932, 0.3642, 0.369, 0.3371, 0.3371, 0.3771, 0.4385, 0.4878, 0.3953, 0.395, 0.395, 0.3532, 0.3265, 0.3119, 0.3565, 0.3299, 0.3711, 0.3711, 0.4022, 0.4643, 0.4658, 0.42, 0.1791, 0.2843]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1820346380365558158", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-08-05T06:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short QQQ via puts (up 10x+), long NVDA buying ~$86-96 into Aug earnings, long ONON and PLTR (PLTR exit contingent on earnings).", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tomorrow is expected to be one of the worst days ever for $QQQ and $SPY amid a global rout that has seen the Nikkei225 suffer its worst day ever at -12% in yen domination. \n\nHopefully you're hedged accordingly. Mag7 (ex TSLA) being responsible for over 95%+ of the SP500 earnings growth + Fed likely behind recession curve = risk-off time. \n\nBuying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). They report end of August and it's gunna be a long 3 weeks until then. Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR and short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week). Might exit $PLTR contingent on earnings tomorrow.\n\n---\n\n$VIX opening at 42 is crazy - highest since covid 2020 https://t.co/pwBBUH95df", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03839947438308999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03839947438308999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008402199010031808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009307253307643704, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02909222107544629, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015843182760355345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015843182760355345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006623717312407074, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0048021454775553085, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011041037282800037, "ret_p1w": 0.062030006833470486, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.062030006833470486, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031317486775181314, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04760079990666255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014429206926807936, "ret_p1m": 0.23711056977377032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23711056977377032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17004174560086072, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15900548097993794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07810508879383238, "ret_p3m": 0.2733618698079938, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2733618698079938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17091457182607273, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12079582876483186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15256604104316196, "ret_p6m": 0.6691728530010983, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6691728530010983, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.49321904687071183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31084994451523484, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.35832290848586346, "price_path": [-0.1144, -0.1595, -0.1837, -0.1759, -0.0252, -0.022, -0.0161, 0.0236, 0.0301, 0.0019, 0.0094, 0.0314, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.123, 0.1453, 0.1439, 0.1423, 0.1074, 0.0961, 0.1278, 0.1332, 0.1372, 0.1474, 0.1759, 0.1716, 0.152, 0.1278, 0.1179, 0.134, 0.134, 0.1206, 0.0666, 0.0481, 0.0408, 0.0365, 0.0481, 0.0419, 0.0212, -0.0005, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0013, 0.0185, -0.0011, -0.0164, -0.0056, 0.0073, 0.0094, 0.0526, 0.0838, 0.0773, 0.0757, 0.0897, 0.0881, 0.0338, 0.0258, 0.08, 0.0695, 0.0424, 0.1122, 0.0808, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0158, -0.0078, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.062, 0.1082, 0.0892, 0.1474, 0.1423, 0.1399, 0.1206, 0.167, 0.1598, 0.1968, 0.2325, 0.2868, 0.2452, 0.2599, 0.2615, 0.2615, 0.2371, 0.2272, 0.2025, 0.1933, 0.1912, 0.2154, 0.2465, 0.3171, 0.3059, 0.3394, 0.3225, 0.3679, 0.3354, 0.3413, 0.3537, 0.3579, 0.348, 0.3848, 0.373, 0.3467, 0.3252, 0.3214, 0.3338, 0.3886, 0.3534, 0.3896, 0.3682, 0.3413, 0.3426, 0.3322, 0.3263, 0.3193, 0.2932, 0.2978, 0.2973, 0.3067, 0.2723, 0.2779, 0.3601, 0.359, 0.3402, 0.3107, 0.2734, 0.2487, 0.2433, 0.2857, 0.2774, 0.3528, 0.3827, 0.4154, 0.413, 0.4154, 0.4326, 0.3942, 0.3827, 0.4339, 0.4431, 0.5089, 0.561, 0.5701, 0.5569, 0.5548, 0.5548, 0.5663, 0.5717, 0.5988, 0.5843, 0.5943, 0.5478, 0.4774, 0.4817, 0.5628, 0.5467, 0.5387, 0.5542, 0.5209, 0.4705, 0.4807, 0.5344, 0.5212, 0.5158, 0.5158, 0.5142, 0.4938, 0.482, 0.4707, 0.4707, 0.4868, 0.5204, 0.4667, 0.4844, 0.4914, 0.4914, 0.5207, 0.4871, 0.4635, 0.4694, 0.5126, 0.5569, 0.5569, 0.6098, 0.5725, 0.6233, 0.6152, 0.6085, 0.6692]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1820346380365558158", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-08-05T06:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short QQQ via puts (up 10x+), long NVDA buying ~$86-96 into Aug earnings, long ONON and PLTR (PLTR exit contingent on earnings).", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tomorrow is expected to be one of the worst days ever for $QQQ and $SPY amid a global rout that has seen the Nikkei225 suffer its worst day ever at -12% in yen domination. \n\nHopefully you're hedged accordingly. Mag7 (ex TSLA) being responsible for over 95%+ of the SP500 earnings growth + Fed likely behind recession curve = risk-off time. \n\nBuying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). They report end of August and it's gunna be a long 3 weeks until then. Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR and short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week). Might exit $PLTR contingent on earnings tomorrow.\n\n---\n\n$VIX opening at 42 is crazy - highest since covid 2020 https://t.co/pwBBUH95df", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026982134263724644, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026982134263724644, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003015141109333541, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003015141109333541, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.029997275373058185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10377750038044042, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10377750038044042, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09455803493249215, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09455803493249215, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219465447948272, "ret_p1w": 0.2195931496335184, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2195931496335184, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18888062957522922, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18888062957522922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030712520058289172, "ret_p1m": 0.2665006241440091, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2665006241440091, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1994317999710995, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1994317999710995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0670688241729096, "ret_p3m": 0.7251972233311255, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7251972233311255, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6227499253492044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6227499253492044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10244729798192109, "ret_p6m": 2.3304276815587652, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.3304276815587652, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.154473875428379, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.154473875428379, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17595380613038647, "price_path": [-0.105, -0.1225, -0.1449, -0.1308, -0.11, -0.1005, -0.1013, -0.0967, -0.1025, -0.1183, -0.1212, -0.1399, -0.1279, -0.1279, -0.1262, -0.1308, -0.098, -0.1, -0.115, -0.0826, -0.0469, -0.0125, -0.0324, -0.0399, -0.01, -0.0133, -0.034, -0.0216, 0.0386, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.061, -0.0104, 0.0029, 0.0195, 0.0004, 0.0469, 0.0515, 0.0743, 0.0722, 0.0731, 0.0731, 0.1303, 0.1499, 0.137, 0.1797, 0.1474, 0.1652, 0.1901, 0.1901, 0.1714, 0.1889, 0.1864, 0.1814, 0.1959, 0.1042, 0.1054, 0.1283, 0.1241, 0.0946, 0.1162, 0.0826, 0.027, 0.0, 0.1038, 0.0926, 0.2154, 0.2457, 0.2196, 0.2615, 0.2868, 0.296, 0.3317, 0.3491, 0.3416, 0.3508, 0.325, 0.3192, 0.2806, 0.2802, 0.2603, 0.2868, 0.3068, 0.3068, 0.2665, 0.2698, 0.252, 0.259, 0.4363, 0.4429, 0.4467, 0.4491, 0.4774, 0.5073, 0.5131, 0.5102, 0.5289, 0.5442, 0.5753, 0.5318, 0.5409, 0.5401, 0.5293, 0.5442, 0.5135, 0.5562, 0.6289, 0.6609, 0.6144, 0.7206, 0.7904, 0.8066, 0.8061, 0.8016, 0.7613, 0.7406, 0.7435, 0.7837, 0.7725, 0.7825, 0.768, 0.8082, 0.8622, 0.8667, 0.8651, 0.8136, 0.7252, 0.7401, 0.719, 1.1225, 1.3051, 1.3196, 1.4238, 1.5006, 1.4844, 1.5197, 1.4566, 1.7302, 1.543, 1.6144, 1.5787, 1.5471, 1.6712, 1.6837, 1.7289, 1.7418, 1.7418, 1.7846, 1.7559, 1.9456, 1.8995, 1.9834, 2.1689, 2.0079, 1.9427, 2.01, 2.0386, 2.1577, 2.1445, 2.088, 1.9685, 2.0805, 2.3437, 2.3495, 2.4197, 2.4197, 2.4097, 2.2827, 2.2038, 2.1395, 2.1395, 2.1212, 2.3163, 2.1515, 1.9054, 1.8323, 1.8323, 1.792, 1.6974, 1.736, 1.8286, 1.8742, 1.9792, 1.9792, 2.0332, 2.191, 2.2785, 2.2785, 2.1316, 2.3304]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1919123974673613207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T20:16:25+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If we break 292-300 convincingly, I see a fast move to 325-365 and will add another 1/3 likely hedged by covered calls into Jun 20 for robotaxi launch", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA; expects fast move to 325-365 on break of 292-300, with potential for 400 around Jun 20 robotaxi launch despite expected sharp retrace at 350-365.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2 month update: looks like $TSLA 220-225 as a bottom call was \ud83c\udfaf \n\nI rebought 1/3 my shares (which were near 100% of portfolio from the Trump rally) at $224. \n\nIf we break 292-300 convincingly, I see a fast move to 325-365 and will add another 1/3 likely hedged by covered calls into Jun 20 for robotaxi launch (I expect a sharp retrace if we hit 350-365 but 400 might be in play)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024798335286098094, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024798335286098094, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019030858857487676, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014060233247774834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0057674764286104185, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01073810203832326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017519458684867262, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017519458684867262, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009161246524776678, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008788495111007877, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358212160090583, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008730963573859385, "ret_p1w": 0.13601653389317425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13601653389317425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10144749951739329, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06988167261677813, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03456903437578096, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06613486127639612, "ret_p1m": 0.2283949797246383, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2283949797246383, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1705786715208646, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1473571790156074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0578163082037737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08103780070903088, "ret_p3m": 0.09994283262699866, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09994283262699866, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025056989347563174, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013514008648392695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499982197456183, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11345684127539135, "ret_p6m": 0.6432954104944053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6432954104944053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170498377131693, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.42858854693591053, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624557278123603, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21470686355849478, "price_path": [0.3494, 0.3356, 0.2903, 0.2514, 0.1721, 0.2007, 0.27, 0.2697, 0.2697, 0.2635, 0.2865, 0.2645, 0.2053, 0.1794, 0.0804, 0.0376, 0.006, 0.0454, 0.0157, -0.0293, -0.0041, -0.06, -0.0628, -0.2073, -0.1773, -0.1148, -0.1412, -0.108, -0.1508, -0.1961, -0.1584, -0.157, -0.1126, -0.0067, 0.0281, -0.0293, -0.0254, -0.0596, -0.0753, -0.0421, 0.0089, -0.0463, -0.1457, -0.1676, -0.2084, -0.0288, -0.0994, -0.0997, -0.0996, -0.0933, -0.1381, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1883, -0.1509, -0.1053, -0.074, 0.0167, 0.0201, 0.042, 0.0068, 0.0009, 0.0248, 0.0, -0.0175, -0.0144, 0.0163, 0.0642, 0.136, 0.192, 0.2406, 0.2232, 0.2488, 0.2206, 0.2268, 0.194, 0.2169, 0.2108, 0.2108, 0.2948, 0.2735, 0.2789, 0.2362, 0.2228, 0.2284, 0.1848, 0.0158, 0.0531, 0.101, 0.1635, 0.1647, 0.1386, 0.1607, 0.1744, 0.1288, 0.1491, 0.1491, 0.1495, 0.2441, 0.2148, 0.1687, 0.1624, 0.1547, 0.1334, 0.073, 0.1263, 0.1252, 0.1252, 0.0488, 0.0626, 0.0557, 0.1057, 0.1186, 0.1307, 0.1089, 0.1478, 0.1397, 0.1762, 0.1721, 0.185, 0.1866, 0.0893, 0.1277, 0.1617, 0.1461, 0.1384, 0.0999, 0.0798, 0.1035, 0.1015, 0.1415, 0.1499, 0.1762, 0.2097, 0.2162, 0.2109, 0.1974, 0.1795, 0.1959, 0.175, 0.1557, 0.1422, 0.2132, 0.2367, 0.2548, 0.2474, 0.2345, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1752, 0.1921, 0.2079, 0.2518, 0.236, 0.238, 0.241, 0.316, 0.4128, 0.4631, 0.5044, 0.5195, 0.4874, 0.5203, 0.5493, 0.5195, 0.5799, 0.5107, 0.5714, 0.5814, 0.5868, 0.6394, 0.5557, 0.5337, 0.6172, 0.5453, 0.5653, 0.5541, 0.4754, 0.5553, 0.5316, 0.5527, 0.5298, 0.5675, 0.5965, 0.5792, 0.5663, 0.602, 0.5476, 0.6143, 0.6433]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023872424920633634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T21:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I allocated almost 65% of my port into $AAPL around $203 last year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "65% portfolio allocation into AAPL at ~$203; still-held long position disclosed with bullish thesis on Apple's AI FCF strategy.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptopunk7213 Yup. This is 1/3 of the reason why I allocated almost 65% of my port into $AAPL around $203 last year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Apple's genius move to win AI was... do nothing.\n\n&gt; didn't spend $100Bs on ai capex = saved $100Bs while their competitors burned cash in a race to zero.\n\n&gt; *laughs in free cash flow and positive earnings*\n\n&gt; pick the winning model (in this case gemini) and build the greatest AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cryptopunk7213", "ret_m1d": -0.03069582899875345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03069582899875345, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02908496160855134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031269347473255604, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005735184745021549, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0017811375828364895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017811375828364895, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003256620958780543, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008471217117966612, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010252354700803101, "ret_p1w": 0.0313021589304423, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0313021589304423, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02471214910462627, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025279776813353028, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0060223821170892755, "ret_p1m": -0.05282704513939973, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05282704513939973, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02145855534752006, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041929427387929485, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010897617751470245, "ret_p3m": 0.13880024230046062, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13880024230046062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05336610264911168, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12646464853277317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2652648908332338, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.008, 0.0279, 0.0446, 0.0486, 0.0508, 0.0508, 0.0557, 0.0718, 0.0835, 0.0758, 0.0627, 0.0555, 0.0521, 0.0494, 0.0555, 0.0526, 0.0536, 0.0378, 0.0397, 0.0292, 0.0305, 0.0361, 0.0259, 0.0312, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0351, 0.0365, 0.0339, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0261, 0.0119, -0.0067, -0.0144, -0.0193, -0.018, -0.0147, -0.0116, -0.0158, -0.0224, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.066, -0.0624, -0.0597, -0.0609, -0.033, -0.0222, -0.0291, -0.0221, -0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0203, 0.0468, 0.0446, 0.053, 0.0407, 0.0371, 0.044, -0.0081, -0.0307, -0.0307, 0.0, 0.0018, -0.0125, 0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0313, 0.0392, 0.0344, 0.0011, 0.0032, -0.0005, -0.0052, -0.0136, -0.0243, -0.0152, -0.0116, -0.0116, -0.0308, -0.0521, -0.0419, -0.0366, -0.0528, -0.0565, -0.0602, -0.047, -0.0464, -0.0427, -0.0416, -0.0571, -0.0654, -0.0382, -0.0313, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0393, -0.0189, -0.0128, -0.0129, -0.0177, -0.0191, 0.0097, -0.0018, 0.0241, 0.0348, 0.0087, 0.0352, 0.0362, 0.0272, 0.0141, 0.0259, 0.0238, 0.0283, 0.0616, 0.0491, 0.0769, 0.0895, 0.0893, 0.1116, 0.1102, 0.1182, 0.1336, 0.1311, 0.1388, 0.1297, 0.134, 0.1465, 0.1569, 0.1714, 0.1714, 0.1695, 0.1791, 0.1854, 0.1837, 0.1619, 0.1954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1867703876146864435", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-13T22:51:18+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can see a fakeout to ~130 before ripping back to 145-152 by EOY or early next year unless h/s fulfills to ~110-118", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NVDA likely fakeout to ~130 then rip to 145-152 by EOY/early next year; bearish only if H&S pattern fulfills to 110-118.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy @CheddarFlow Oversold, testing h/s neckline past week. Can see a fakeout to ~130 before ripping back to 145-152 by EOY or early next year unless h/s fulfills to ~110-118", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @CheddarFlow whats your thoughts on the $NVDA chart here? Looks like it can get a huge reversal in this low 130s area if it recaptures 140ish but curious how you see it, thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": 0.02301677049833062, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02301677049833062, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022818109220333893, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04754688163448084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00019866127799672562, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024530111136150223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01675981083589173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01675981083589173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021029794391838053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031830491741463574, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004269983555946322, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015070680905571843, "ret_p1w": 0.0033518939491270494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033518939491270494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02167397529413384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03052738204117178, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01832208134500679, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02717548809204473, "ret_p1m": -0.007597785460141004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007597785460141004, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02693195080158839, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007495880504587826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.034529736261729393, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01509366596472883, "ret_p3m": -0.13779773484234692, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13779773484234692, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06587073278498934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025598417775903548, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07192700205735758, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11219931706644337, "ret_p6m": 0.06251866047944099, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06251866047944099, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06367998577638412, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02801278718060507, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0011613252969431276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03450587329883592, "price_path": [-0.1391, -0.1556, -0.1221, -0.136, -0.1341, -0.0997, -0.0801, -0.0761, -0.0958, -0.0955, -0.1286, -0.1148, -0.085, -0.0696, -0.0487, -0.0102, -0.012, 0.0041, 0.004, 0.0284, -0.0198, 0.0109, 0.0199, 0.0279, 0.0704, 0.0695, 0.0395, 0.0458, 0.0542, 0.0466, 0.0521, 0.0378, -0.0112, 0.0085, 0.0133, 0.0421, 0.0845, 0.1089, 0.0996, 0.0819, 0.1045, 0.0895, 0.0931, 0.0575, 0.0439, 0.095, 0.0866, 0.0924, 0.0573, 0.0131, 0.0198, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0297, 0.0326, 0.0447, 0.081, 0.0805, 0.061, 0.034, 0.0061, 0.0377, 0.023, 0.0, -0.0168, -0.0288, -0.0398, -0.0266, 0.0034, 0.0404, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0423, 0.0206, 0.0241, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0302, 0.0761, 0.1131, 0.0439, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0124, -0.0076, -0.0185, 0.0148, -0.0051, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.049, 0.0955, 0.0966, 0.0623, -0.1179, -0.0392, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.1056, -0.131, -0.1162, -0.0702, -0.0415, -0.0328, -0.0051, -0.0108, -0.0232, 0.0077, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0384, 0.0371, 0.0437, 0.0013, -0.0296, -0.0568, -0.0221, -0.105, -0.0695, -0.1504, -0.136, -0.1263, -0.1764, -0.1606, -0.2031, -0.1899, -0.1378, -0.139, -0.0936, -0.1096, -0.1401, -0.1245, -0.117, -0.1232, -0.0956, -0.1009, -0.1525, -0.1699, -0.183, -0.1926, -0.1794, -0.1774, -0.2416, -0.2974, -0.2726, -0.2826, -0.1483, -0.1987, -0.1736, -0.1753, -0.1642, -0.2216, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2781, -0.2633, -0.2349, -0.2072, -0.173, -0.19, -0.1879, -0.1886, -0.1686, -0.147, -0.1521, -0.1542, -0.128, -0.1257, -0.131, -0.0837, -0.0321, 0.0082, 0.0044, 0.0087, 0.0099, 0.0011, -0.0182, -0.0105, -0.022, -0.022, 0.0094, 0.0043, 0.0369, 0.0066, 0.0234, 0.052, 0.0572, 0.0429, 0.0557, 0.0625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1856792913080193056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-13T20:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA with near-term dip to 305-317 then rally to 330-365 next week and 400-420 by month-end; positioned via Nov 29 calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days. \n\nBest projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month. \n\nI positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I should point out that the chart on the left had a target of $311 (hit Friday) and on the right target is $325 (yellow arrow) which was also hit Friday and showed resistance. \n\nUptrend is still very strong. Buy dips down to $300-305. Doubt $TSLA trades below $271 for next 6+ months (or ever).", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.005299176513292703, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005299176513292703, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0048135388720059735, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0031722434728143067, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00048563764128672915, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00847141998610701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05771559508909463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05771559508909463, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05128547390336058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04352007822797388, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00643012118573405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01419551686112075, "ret_p1w": 0.03570133507015427, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03570133507015427, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046903771997341415, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05291904885865972, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011202436927187143, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01721771378850545, "ret_p1m": 0.2660489900292977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2660489900292977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25409292005295026, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19195807945901633, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011956069976347461, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07409091057028139, "ret_p3m": 0.062045849557502475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.062045849557502475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04581027992941378, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02358544857992806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016235569628088697, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038460400977574416, "ret_p6m": -0.13753628952665964, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13753628952665964, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08977484705386096, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0642570526810875, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047761442472798676, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07327923684557214, "price_path": [-0.3456, -0.3256, -0.3305, -0.3239, -0.3621, -0.3328, -0.3544, -0.3665, -0.377, -0.3754, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3623, -0.3356, -0.303, -0.3619, -0.3451, -0.3151, -0.3092, -0.3041, -0.3027, -0.3133, -0.31, -0.312, -0.2614, -0.2786, -0.243, -0.23, -0.2217, -0.2302, -0.2113, -0.2078, -0.2187, -0.2459, -0.2713, -0.2427, -0.2707, -0.2596, -0.2701, -0.277, -0.3405, -0.3364, -0.3351, -0.3298, -0.3311, -0.3317, -0.3373, -0.34, -0.353, -0.2112, -0.1849, -0.2051, -0.2141, -0.2201, -0.2434, -0.2461, -0.2647, -0.2386, -0.1263, -0.1009, -0.0273, 0.0598, -0.0053, 0.0, -0.0577, -0.0288, 0.0257, 0.0477, 0.0357, 0.0285, 0.0676, 0.0253, 0.0242, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0452, 0.0813, 0.0641, 0.0838, 0.1189, 0.1786, 0.1803, 0.2142, 0.2862, 0.266, 0.3209, 0.4021, 0.4531, 0.3328, 0.3208, 0.275, 0.3039, 0.3998, 0.3998, 0.3752, 0.3071, 0.264, 0.2229, 0.2229, 0.1485, 0.2429, 0.2447, 0.1942, 0.1959, 0.1959, 0.1953, 0.2213, 0.2002, 0.2967, 0.2531, 0.2915, 0.2915, 0.2841, 0.257, 0.2487, 0.2312, 0.2026, 0.2055, 0.1782, 0.2121, 0.2252, 0.1618, 0.1877, 0.1451, 0.1335, 0.095, 0.062, -0.0053, 0.019, 0.0778, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0732, 0.0229, 0.0009, -0.0831, -0.1194, -0.1462, -0.1128, -0.1381, -0.1762, -0.1549, -0.2022, -0.2046, -0.3273, -0.3018, -0.2488, -0.2712, -0.243, -0.2793, -0.3177, -0.2858, -0.2846, -0.2469, -0.157, -0.1275, -0.1762, -0.1729, -0.2019, -0.2152, -0.1871, -0.1438, -0.1906, -0.275, -0.2936, -0.3282, -0.1758, -0.2357, -0.236, -0.2359, -0.2305, -0.2686, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.3111, -0.2794, -0.2407, -0.2142, -0.1371, -0.1343, -0.1157, -0.1456, -0.1506, -0.1303, -0.1513, -0.1662, -0.1636, -0.1375]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1914741885471740211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T18:03:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also bought stock at $224 ytday for first time since selling at ~450 and ~350. Approx ~30% of what I had before. I think the odds of holding ~215-220 are better than options market implying.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought TSLA stock and selling puts into earnings; expects 215-220 support to hold, poor EPS largely priced in, with upcoming catalysts.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm selling puts into $TSLA earnings w/ some downside protection (May long puts). I think the odds of holding ~215-220 are better than options market implying. Collecting premium here has a solid risk/reward setup with extremely high IV (highest I've seen for past 6+ earnings). Option flow is extremely aligned past few days with put selling holding 200-215 assignment levels. Yesterday we also had the largest darkpool $TSLA print of the year at 1.2b at $227 (shown below).\n\nI also bought stock at $224 ytday for first time since selling at ~450 and ~350. Approx ~30% of what I had before. \n\nGood chance poor EPS print is mostly expected (I'm at 0.35 EPS) and all eyes on China/US tension + upcoming Cybercab/optimus ramp. I also expect Elon to announce some investor relief comments by returning back to $TSLA within ~30 days. New model (to expand TAM) rather than nerfed Model Y would be very nice to hear as well although I'm expecting the latter.\n\n---\n\nCalled it https://t.co/JNsKI59dRD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04399714740091465, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04399714740091465, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018639088285580363, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013324610414903848, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.025358059115334286, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0306725369860108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0536622440095611, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0536622440095611, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03816677117224443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03131577791167972, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01549547283731667, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02234646609788138, "ret_p1w": 0.2271714807802867, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2271714807802867, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17582964238305765, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15782244729202222, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.051341838397229056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06934903348826449, "ret_p1m": 0.40614360381856374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40614360381856374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3006718191262503, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2692183472881253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10547178469231344, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1369252565304384, "ret_p3m": 0.38525861329367084, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38525861329367084, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19145069041649143, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18928527806792972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1938079228771794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19597333522574112, "ret_p6m": 0.8285918042791807, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8285918042791807, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5597706416363137, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5629932574897156, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882116264286693, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26559854678946504, "price_path": [0.7329, 0.7085, 0.6689, 0.6729, 0.6351, 0.6821, 0.7002, 0.6123, 0.6481, 0.5891, 0.573, 0.5196, 0.4738, 0.3804, 0.4141, 0.4957, 0.4953, 0.4953, 0.488, 0.5151, 0.4893, 0.4195, 0.389, 0.2724, 0.222, 0.1848, 0.2312, 0.1962, 0.1432, 0.1728, 0.1071, 0.1038, -0.0665, -0.0311, 0.0425, 0.0114, 0.0505, 0.0002, -0.0532, -0.0089, -0.0072, 0.0451, 0.1699, 0.2108, 0.1433, 0.1477, 0.1075, 0.089, 0.1281, 0.1882, 0.1232, 0.0061, -0.0197, -0.0677, 0.1438, 0.0606, 0.0603, 0.0604, 0.0678, 0.015, 0.0143, 0.0143, -0.044, 0.0, 0.0537, 0.0905, 0.1974, 0.2013, 0.2272, 0.1857, 0.1788, 0.2069, 0.1777, 0.1571, 0.1607, 0.1969, 0.2534, 0.3379, 0.4038, 0.461, 0.4406, 0.4707, 0.4375, 0.4448, 0.4061, 0.4331, 0.426, 0.426, 0.5249, 0.4998, 0.5062, 0.4559, 0.4401, 0.4467, 0.3953, 0.1964, 0.2402, 0.2967, 0.3703, 0.3717, 0.341, 0.367, 0.3831, 0.3294, 0.3533, 0.3533, 0.3538, 0.4652, 0.4307, 0.3764, 0.369, 0.36, 0.3349, 0.2636, 0.3264, 0.3252, 0.3252, 0.2352, 0.2515, 0.2434, 0.3021, 0.3174, 0.3317, 0.306, 0.3517, 0.3422, 0.3853, 0.3804, 0.3956, 0.3975, 0.2829, 0.3282, 0.3682, 0.3498, 0.3407, 0.2954, 0.2717, 0.2996, 0.2973, 0.3443, 0.3542, 0.3853, 0.4247, 0.4323, 0.4261, 0.4102, 0.3891, 0.4084, 0.3838, 0.3611, 0.3452, 0.4288, 0.4565, 0.4778, 0.4691, 0.4539, 0.403, 0.403, 0.384, 0.4039, 0.4226, 0.4743, 0.4556, 0.458, 0.4615, 0.5498, 0.6638, 0.7231, 0.7717, 0.7896, 0.7517, 0.7904, 0.8246, 0.7895, 0.8607, 0.7792, 0.8507, 0.8625, 0.8688, 0.9307, 0.8322, 0.8062, 0.9047, 0.8199, 0.8435, 0.8302, 0.7376, 0.8317, 0.8038, 0.8286]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011154545741873341", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T19:13:03+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If price cannot overcome ~450 with a full candle print, further price discovery below 430 will very likely happen", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: failure to reclaim ~450 on a full candle likely leads to price discovery below 430.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA didn't hit $515 but hit the lower end of my range (500-515) and sold off as I suggested. I exited all my calls for ~2x gains. \n\nRespect for the crossing multi-decade fib channels remains strong. If price cannot overcome ~450 with a full candle print, further price discovery below 430 will very likely happen.\n\nhttps://t.co/CKNzhBkEsH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003935552772820872, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003935552772820872, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019320717565334267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001439832425456089, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024957203473647827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017889087168218576, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017889087168218576, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012973849826599992, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021093644313630033, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015779722736855573, "ret_p1w": -0.06250002559054446, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06250002559054446, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03916371936697072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021521036047705056, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.040978989542839406, "ret_p1m": -0.042330104375300714, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042330104375300714, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03972119470264501, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009598050390626556, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05192815476592727, "ret_p3m": -0.2197003517846846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2197003517846846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20174859376559984, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13039012211317313, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08931022967151148, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0413, -0.0176, 0.0005, -0.0103, -0.0184, 0.004, -0.0301, 0.0117, 0.0299, 0.032, -0.0159, 0.0209, 0.0473, -0.0066, 0.0333, -0.0029, -0.0395, -0.0044, -0.0169, -0.0371, -0.1011, -0.0958, -0.0856, -0.1028, -0.0966, -0.1162, -0.1255, -0.0658, -0.0622, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0381, -0.0381, -0.0402, -0.001, 0.0164, 0.0174, -0.017, -0.0045, 0.0095, -0.0007, 0.0263, 0.0629, 0.0954, 0.0449, 0.0809, 0.076, 0.0929, 0.0858, 0.0854, 0.0854, 0.0626, 0.0278, 0.0162, 0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0204, 0.01, -0.0318, -0.0353, -0.0255, -0.0049, 0.0039, 0.0, -0.0179, -0.0193, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0625, -0.0352, 0.0048, 0.0042, -0.0268, -0.0364, -0.0352, -0.0685, -0.0375, -0.0568, -0.0564, -0.0921, -0.1118, -0.0807, -0.0668, -0.0492, -0.0423, -0.0674, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0818, -0.0802, -0.0794, -0.0791, -0.1059, -0.0846, -0.0666, -0.0864, -0.0999, -0.0981, -0.1225, -0.0923, -0.0931, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1072, -0.0881, -0.1167, -0.1252, -0.1155, -0.1072, -0.1217, -0.1496, -0.1772, -0.1484, -0.1435, -0.137, -0.1679, -0.1909, -0.2055, -0.1687, -0.1475, -0.1937, -0.1937, -0.211, -0.2248, -0.2324, -0.2271, -0.2197, -0.2119, -0.1856, -0.1235, -0.1304, -0.1042, -0.1223, -0.1359, -0.1335, -0.1643, -0.1585, -0.1532, -0.1592, -0.1664, -0.1466, -0.1261, -0.1223, -0.1293, -0.1084, -0.0792, -0.0422, -0.0049, -0.0307, -0.0043, -0.0087, -0.0558, -0.0832, -0.0964, -0.0669, -0.0656, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.0304, -0.0153, -0.0114, -0.0255, -0.07, -0.0584, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987953684114985032", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T18:41:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm leaning outperformance - went long w/ calls at $181 last Friday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NVDA calls from $181; expects outperformance vs SPY over ~3 months, with support at 0.25/0.22 ratio levels as add zones.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA / $SPY suggests $NVDA can move \u00b120% relative to $SPY in the next ~3 months. I'm leaning outperformance - went long w/ calls at $181 last Friday (+9% in 2 days already). \n\nDownside suggests ~0.25 and 0.22 are strong support areas where I'd look at adding stock/LEAPs ex-fundamental breakdowns", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054760110948671836, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054760110948671836, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03939552196201135, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025021268411214326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02973884253745751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02959058026486583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02959058026486583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031879820251422664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008018038392865634, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": -0.021572541872000195, "ret_p1w": -0.06254712593060652, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06254712593060652, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03940494002259287, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011012710867317477, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05153441506328904, "ret_p1m": -0.07068427675405442, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07068427675405442, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07303224753746462, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09914099165757018, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028456714903515756, "ret_p3m": -0.1364503217654084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1364503217654084, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13378293471567515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20185273851669983, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06540241675129144, "ret_p6m": -0.012702486731139606, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.012702486731139606, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08086867434847167, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4740486465169893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4613461597858497, "price_path": [-0.0878, -0.0856, -0.0935, -0.0857, -0.1177, -0.1189, -0.121, -0.1059, -0.0967, -0.0869, -0.0877, -0.0949, -0.125, -0.125, -0.1421, -0.1429, -0.1377, -0.161, -0.1545, -0.1422, -0.1092, -0.1099, -0.1067, -0.107, -0.1214, -0.1445, -0.1146, -0.1124, -0.0776, -0.1036, -0.1109, -0.1073, -0.1048, -0.0864, -0.0626, -0.0593, -0.051, -0.0574, -0.0679, -0.0704, -0.0499, -0.0326, -0.0798, -0.0539, -0.0956, -0.0966, -0.0866, -0.0795, -0.0824, -0.0899, -0.0943, -0.0849, -0.0643, -0.038, 0.0099, 0.0401, 0.0193, 0.0173, 0.0393, -0.0018, -0.0193, -0.0551, -0.0548, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0264, -0.0612, -0.0446, -0.0625, -0.0889, -0.0629, -0.0925, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.1067, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.1108, -0.0961, -0.0884, -0.0978, -0.0787, -0.0835, -0.0678, -0.0707, -0.0767, -0.091, -0.1207, -0.1143, -0.1071, -0.1412, -0.1251, -0.0907, -0.0771, -0.0494, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0428, -0.0544, -0.0578, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0512, -0.0549, -0.0593, -0.0499, -0.0703, -0.0712, -0.0708, -0.0665, -0.0799, -0.0602, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.1054, -0.079, -0.0713, -0.0571, -0.0631, -0.0528, -0.0378, -0.0328, -0.0397, -0.0675, -0.0939, -0.1248, -0.1365, -0.0685, -0.0452, -0.0527, -0.0452, -0.0608, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0707, -0.0556, -0.056, -0.0463, -0.0376, -0.0311, -0.0175, -0.0711, -0.1098, -0.0832, -0.0954, -0.0804, -0.0789, -0.1066, -0.0823, -0.0717, -0.0653, -0.0798, -0.0943, -0.0794, -0.0859, -0.0936, -0.1028, -0.1323, -0.1175, -0.1197, -0.1022, -0.1396, -0.1583, -0.1701, -0.1237, -0.117, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1075, -0.1052, -0.0852, -0.076, -0.0522, -0.0488, -0.0127, -0.0008, -0.0034, 0.0133, 0.0152, 0.0043, 0.0174, 0.0031, 0.0464, 0.0883, 0.0711, 0.0514, 0.0027, -0.0029, -0.0028, -0.0127]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969229477851877659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-20T02:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It is. Gotta pay a premium for exquisite growth. $420 is $1T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses Palantir reaching $1T market cap (~$420/share); bullish on premium valuation for exquisite growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@brewmarkets @DivesTech It is. Gotta pay a premium for exquisite growth. $420 is $1T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Dan Ives (@DivesTech) says Palantir is going to a $1 trillion market cap.\n\nFull interview: https://t.co/rE8dvx4rGP https://t.co/KHNLUXcFgC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "brewmarkets", "ret_m1d": 0.01706350040344362, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01706350040344362, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021772322944670575, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021772322944670575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017955730707774453, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017955730707774453, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023399297096603267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023399297096603267, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.0026208733391187566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0026208733391187566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0021179575326416566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0021179575326416566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": 0.012156318817388989, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012156318817388989, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005483147277437039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005483147277437039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": 0.0354653462633836, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0354653462633836, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02102425141956954, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02102425141956954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.13522556043269174, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13522556043269174, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14412128148408798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14412128148408798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.2031, -0.1956, -0.271, -0.2398, -0.2713, -0.2633, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.2242, -0.2209, -0.2019, -0.2054, -0.2076, -0.1683, -0.1715, -0.1585, -0.1413, -0.1439, -0.1536, -0.1687, -0.1377, -0.1365, -0.1145, -0.1196, -0.1288, -0.1155, -0.117, -0.1397, -0.1041, -0.0338, 0.0012, 0.016, 0.0425, 0.0187, 0.0426, 0.0281, 0.0094, -0.012, -0.0296, -0.1203, -0.13, -0.1291, -0.1148, -0.1236, -0.1029, -0.1261, -0.1183, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.124, -0.1362, -0.1293, -0.1462, -0.1295, -0.0946, -0.0702, -0.0835, -0.0441, -0.0453, -0.0506, -0.0613, -0.0132, 0.0171, 0.0, 0.018, 0.0013, -0.0012, -0.0098, -0.0026, 0.0172, 0.0313, 0.043, -0.0349, 0.0011, 0.0158, 0.0236, 0.0342, -0.0217, -0.0118, 0.0023, 0.0016, -0.0067, -0.0066, 0.0126, 0.0122, -0.0214, 0.0064, 0.0296, 0.0549, 0.0573, 0.1086, 0.0849, 0.1179, 0.1553, 0.0636, 0.0478, -0.0239, -0.0078, 0.0796, 0.0649, 0.027, -0.0401, -0.0297, -0.0451, -0.0669, -0.0776, -0.1315, -0.1365, -0.0952, -0.088, -0.0756, -0.0756, -0.0607, -0.066, -0.0482, -0.0181, -0.0079, 0.0136, 0.012, 0.014, 0.0478, 0.0458, 0.0236, 0.0219, 0.047, -0.0114, 0.0355, 0.0783, 0.0817, 0.0825, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0523, 0.027, 0.0084, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.064, -0.0295, 0.0021, 0.0131, -0.0138, -0.0103, 0.0004, -0.0021, -0.0052, -0.0126, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0602, -0.0781, -0.0749, -0.0543, -0.0661, -0.076, -0.1226, -0.1532, -0.1826, -0.176, -0.1196, -0.2219, -0.275, -0.2422, -0.2031, -0.222, -0.2434, -0.2799, -0.2672, -0.2672, -0.2582, -0.2451, -0.2478, -0.2459, -0.2717, -0.2815, -0.2517, -0.242, -0.235, -0.1905, -0.1791, -0.1458, -0.1487, -0.1236, -0.1277, -0.1572, -0.1546, -0.144, -0.1583, -0.1484, -0.1352]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1813105573782822925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-16T06:57:09+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also recently entered short QQQ at 497-502. The 1.6 fib ext is one technical among many others but nothing compares to the multi year double fib channel conveniently crossing at 500ish.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short QQQ entered at 497-502; multi-year double fib channel confluence at ~500 as key technical resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@freshjiva I also recently entered short QQQ at 497-502. The 1.6 fib ext is one technical among many others but nothing compares to the multi year double fib channel conveniently crossing at 500ish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "today i initiated a 2x short Nasdaq position via $qid. just 5% of my money, which I\u2019ll triple if it turns out to be the right move.\n\nequity risk premiums are at 22-yr lows just as cyclical unemployment has crossed a key threshold from which there is no return.\n\nnasdaq reached the https://t.co/bqpaCNEExM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "freshjiva", "ret_m1d": -0.0003827974500030251, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0003827974500030251, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0055123249107732475, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0055123249107732475, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895122360776273, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005895122360776273, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029354879550374302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029354879550374302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015333815407585938, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015333815407585938, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014021064142788364, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014021064142788364, "ret_p1w": -0.03167183434949261, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03167183434949261, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012056510583895896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012056510583895896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019615323765596715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019615323765596715, "ret_p1m": -0.067715677318134, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.067715677318134, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030343494334453824, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030343494334453824, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03737218298368017, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03737218298368017, "ret_p3m": -0.004607160943737254, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.004607160943737254, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03381390494694814, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03381390494694814, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029206744003210883, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029206744003210883, "ret_p6m": 0.041274353067344505, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.041274353067344505, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009053572974482282, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009053572974482282, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05032792604182679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05032792604182679, "price_path": [-0.1483, -0.1659, -0.1575, -0.145, -0.1421, -0.1462, -0.133, -0.1295, -0.1459, -0.1521, -0.1413, -0.124, -0.1144, -0.1143, -0.1148, -0.1129, -0.1108, -0.1087, -0.103, -0.089, -0.0908, -0.0913, -0.0849, -0.0831, -0.0833, -0.0874, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.0753, -0.0818, -0.0917, -0.0934, -0.0885, -0.086, -0.0676, -0.0679, -0.0687, -0.065, -0.0586, -0.0462, -0.0411, -0.0361, -0.0243, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0315, -0.0341, -0.0451, -0.0342, -0.0322, -0.0297, -0.0347, -0.0291, -0.0189, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.0004, 0.002, 0.0029, 0.0133, -0.0089, -0.0031, -0.0004, 0.0, -0.0294, -0.0339, -0.0425, -0.0282, -0.0317, -0.0664, -0.0767, -0.0672, -0.0654, -0.0782, -0.0509, -0.0739, -0.0959, -0.1228, -0.1145, -0.124, -0.0973, -0.0925, -0.0906, -0.068, -0.0677, -0.0442, -0.0429, -0.0304, -0.0324, -0.0279, -0.0433, -0.0329, -0.0423, -0.0394, -0.0503, -0.0517, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0696, -0.072, -0.0711, -0.096, -0.0844, -0.0759, -0.0558, -0.0466, -0.0423, -0.0465, -0.046, -0.0502, -0.0262, -0.028, -0.0254, -0.0207, -0.0198, -0.0125, -0.0179, -0.0153, -0.029, -0.0276, -0.0284, -0.0168, -0.0273, -0.0128, -0.005, -0.0062, -0.0046, 0.0037, -0.0097, -0.0096, -0.0089, -0.0024, -0.0005, 0.0006, -0.0147, -0.0067, -0.0007, -0.0005, 0.0091, 0.0015, -0.0238, -0.0166, -0.0194, -0.0069, 0.02, 0.0361, 0.0373, 0.0367, 0.0348, 0.0335, 0.0263, 0.0019, 0.0088, 0.0158, 0.0152, 0.0188, 0.0205, 0.0221, 0.0276, 0.0195, 0.0195, 0.0284, 0.0396, 0.0428, 0.0557, 0.0528, 0.0622, 0.0539, 0.0504, 0.0692, 0.0623, 0.0704, 0.0858, 0.081, 0.042, 0.0374, 0.0464, 0.0566, 0.071, 0.071, 0.0702, 0.056, 0.042, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0311, 0.048, 0.06, 0.0411, 0.0413]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986489880059502744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:44:29+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect movement to re-test the neckline at ~$9 and a potential breach to the upper 2w cloud at $10 before a rally to ~$14-17 if the pattern fulfills", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long PTON into earnings on inverse H&S setup; targets $9 neckline re-test, $10 cloud breach, then $14-17 if pattern fulfills.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost 3 years ago to the month, $PTON broke an inverse h/s setup and rallied ~30% in 2 days.\n\nToday, it's showing signs of doing the same. This is not a high conviction name although the risk/reward setup is skewed in favor into earnings later today.\n\n$PTON has been the target of M&A talks for years, and a profitability/cost cutting inflection point is at hand.\n\nI expect movement to re-test the neckline at ~$9 and a potential breach to the upper 2w cloud at $10 before a rally to ~$14-17 if the pattern fulfills.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06259315557469547, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06259315557469547, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05174745522909685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03894035792811579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14157970251330854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14157970251330854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14059519493193173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1400085654800518, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": 0.08941876322228226, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08941876322228226, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08683785338379968, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10423894866732497, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": -0.04321907007516401, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04321907007516401, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06616365523767964, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06007748558889814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": -0.1475410197208762, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1475410197208762, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17925395851858839, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17713689316858883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.20119223501604977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20119223501604977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2824134236777751, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21273301100200315, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [0.2295, 0.2131, 0.2996, 0.2653, 0.2697, 0.2593, 0.1684, 0.152, 0.1461, 0.1788, 0.1192, 0.1282, 0.1446, 0.1297, 0.1326, 0.1326, 0.0976, 0.1326, 0.2101, 0.1952, 0.2072, 0.1833, 0.1699, 0.1401, 0.1297, 0.2206, 0.1833, 0.2116, 0.1818, 0.2325, 0.2414, 0.1967, 0.2295, 0.2548, 0.2765, 0.2921, 0.3413, 0.2921, 0.2936, 0.2787, 0.2429, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.0954, 0.0373, 0.0984, 0.149, 0.1356, 0.1207, 0.1177, 0.1133, 0.1714, 0.1595, 0.1177, 0.1654, 0.1505, 0.1237, 0.1133, 0.079, 0.082, 0.0835, 0.0537, 0.0626, 0.0, 0.1416, 0.1088, 0.1133, 0.1118, 0.0894, 0.1148, 0.0641, 0.0596, 0.0253, -0.0477, -0.0387, -0.0164, 0.0045, 0.0015, 0.0015, 0.0119, -0.0075, -0.0387, -0.006, -0.0224, -0.0432, -0.0462, 0.0089, -0.0045, 0.0119, -0.0253, -0.0686, -0.0775, -0.0864, -0.0686, -0.076, -0.0805, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0969, -0.0656, -0.0715, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0879, -0.073, -0.0164, -0.0164, 0.0015, 0.0194, -0.0149, 0.0432, -0.0209, -0.0015, -0.0566, -0.0566, -0.1267, -0.1267, -0.1341, -0.1356, -0.1118, -0.1252, -0.1297, -0.1461, -0.1669, -0.1416, -0.1475, -0.1192, -0.3458, -0.3107, -0.3443, -0.3517, -0.3562, -0.3696, -0.3666, -0.3666, -0.3756, -0.3562, -0.3413, -0.3428, -0.3845, -0.3979, -0.386, -0.392, -0.4009, -0.4188, -0.4173, -0.4262, -0.4292, -0.4292, -0.4247, -0.4471, -0.4247, -0.4382, -0.4471, -0.4232, -0.3845, -0.3964, -0.3949, -0.4277, -0.4143, -0.3875, -0.3905, -0.3934, -0.3398, -0.4039, -0.3607, -0.3592, -0.3174, -0.3174, -0.307, -0.2832, -0.3085, -0.2936, -0.3115, -0.2951, -0.2891, -0.2757, -0.2504, -0.2399, -0.228, -0.2548, -0.2519, -0.2623, -0.228, -0.2086, -0.2161, -0.1699, -0.1878, -0.2012]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1967372067709542474", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-14T23:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm seeing a similar extension as Apr 2023 where price rallied about 85% in a few months to ~500-525 with moonshot priced at ~610", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: targets 500-525 base case and ~610 moonshot (~$2T mkt cap) on fib extension analogous to Apr 2023 85% rally, with resistance at 415-430.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I predicted 2+ weeks ago, $TSLA hit 347-365 resistance and sold off into CPI (rate cut confirmation) to retest the breakout. Everyone sees the obvious 4-month pennant breakout, but no one is posting the key fib channels (you can see 397 Friday close to the penny).\n\nNormally I don't post my advanced insight charts, but I'll post this one which offers a clear picture into $TSLA previous highs and lows since 2023. \n\nI'm seeing a similar extension as Apr 2023 where price rallied about 85% in a few months to ~500-525 with moonshot priced at ~610 (~2T market cap). However, there's a major resistance area around 415-430 (technicals not shown on this chart) that can end the rally.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/X2lsCq9DDc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0343869032525661, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029091145195562218, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02578704186436953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008599861388196572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028241113869250656, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029617906654532344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02209239883382308, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006148715035427577, "ret_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05894542582790008, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04717549132032084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05934583158940743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040040576150734974, "ret_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04682465439796135, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04204941956878261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07148882044138494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024664166043423585, "ret_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08986929405811517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04421906238383433, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.089520596747656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0003486973104591673, "ret_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02633893787309216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05683327288720619, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01920288189458319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04554181976767535, "price_path": [-0.2146, -0.2146, -0.2143, -0.1496, -0.1697, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2107, -0.2253, -0.2666, -0.2302, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2831, -0.2737, -0.2784, -0.2443, -0.2354, -0.2271, -0.2421, -0.2155, -0.221, -0.1961, -0.1989, -0.1901, -0.189, -0.2554, -0.2292, -0.206, -0.2167, -0.2219, -0.2482, -0.262, -0.2458, -0.2471, -0.2198, -0.2141, -0.1961, -0.1732, -0.1688, -0.1723, -0.1816, -0.1938, -0.1826, -0.1969, -0.2101, -0.2193, -0.1708, -0.1547, -0.1424, -0.1474, -0.1562, -0.1858, -0.1858, -0.1968, -0.1852, -0.1744, -0.1444, -0.1552, -0.1538, -0.1518, -0.1006, -0.0344, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0386, 0.0166, 0.0391, 0.0589, 0.0386, 0.0799, 0.0326, 0.074, 0.0809, 0.0846, 0.1205, 0.0633, 0.0483, 0.1054, 0.0562, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0084, 0.0631, 0.0468, 0.0612, 0.0456, 0.0714, 0.0912, 0.0794, 0.0706, 0.095, 0.0578, 0.1034, 0.1232, 0.1255, 0.0733, 0.1135, 0.1423, 0.0835, 0.1269, 0.0875, 0.0475, 0.0858, 0.0721, 0.0501, -0.0196, -0.0139, -0.0027, -0.0214, -0.0148, -0.0361, -0.0462, 0.0189, 0.0228, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0491, 0.049, 0.0468, 0.0895, 0.1085, 0.1096, 0.072, 0.0857, 0.101, 0.0899, 0.1193, 0.1592, 0.1947, 0.1395, 0.1788, 0.1735, 0.1919, 0.1842, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1589, 0.121, 0.1083, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.0684, 0.1015, 0.0559, 0.0521, 0.0628, 0.0853, 0.0949, 0.0906, 0.0711, 0.0696, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0225, 0.0522, 0.0959, 0.0952, 0.0614, 0.0509, 0.0522, 0.0159, 0.0497, 0.0287, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0313, 0.0026, 0.0178, 0.037, 0.0445, 0.0171, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0041, 0.0043, -0.0249, -0.0016, 0.0179, -0.0036, -0.0184, -0.0164, -0.0429, -0.01, -0.011, -0.0325, -0.0277, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989060808622707176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T20:00:26+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RGTI and $QBTS both printed bearish head and shoulder patterns which suggest even further downside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Both RGTI and QBTS in bearish H&S patterns pointing to further downside; quantum stocks in an AI-FOMO bubble.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RGTI and $QBTS both printed bearish head and shoulder patterns which suggest even further downside. However, I think a minor short-term relief is possible before further bloodshed. Quantum is in an obvious bubble and fueled by AI FOMO. https://t.co/rCuybOrkVs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12301580874077311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12301580874077311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10614178080381387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09743907790759798, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025576730833175132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011111062334119293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011111062334119293, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011274831094456483, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005667668906126799, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005443393427992493, "ret_p1w": -0.09523815290547466, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09523815290547466, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06620714882121148, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04485264772102093, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05038550518445373, "ret_p1m": 0.025396800407627707, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025396800407627707, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010933360938497838, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02264018687361191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002756613534015795, "ret_p3m": -0.32658734922295984, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32658734922295984, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3595096196187926, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3228972713445699, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00369007787838993, "ret_p6m": -0.2484126999745233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2484126999745233, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3522457475421781, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4766816778001002, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22826897782557687, "price_path": [-0.3401, -0.3984, -0.4143, -0.4337, -0.4119, -0.4258, -0.3929, -0.3893, -0.3421, -0.356, -0.356, -0.3841, -0.4032, -0.4, -0.4008, -0.3988, -0.3452, -0.3575, -0.3377, -0.2425, -0.2377, -0.2063, -0.1274, -0.0183, 0.1317, 0.1258, 0.2484, 0.2556, 0.2738, 0.2373, 0.1766, 0.1821, 0.1845, 0.4048, 0.5897, 0.6552, 0.7425, 0.7155, 0.8694, 0.7429, 1.179, 1.227, 1.2357, 0.9036, 0.8405, 0.7187, 0.5873, 0.431, 0.5712, 0.5413, 0.5968, 0.471, 0.5639, 0.6873, 0.7567, 0.5524, 0.396, 0.4798, 0.3635, 0.3401, 0.3127, 0.246, 0.123, 0.0, 0.0111, -0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0103, -0.0952, -0.0639, 0.0544, 0.0349, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0694, -0.0524, 0.0333, 0.1929, 0.1155, 0.1214, 0.1198, 0.0365, 0.0667, 0.0254, -0.0663, -0.0492, -0.1083, -0.0944, -0.0571, 0.0667, -0.0036, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.1119, -0.1163, -0.1107, -0.121, -0.121, -0.0635, -0.0075, 0.0071, 0.0004, 0.002, -0.019, 0.0131, -0.029, 0.0206, -0.0198, 0.0167, 0.0167, -0.0083, -0.0607, -0.0095, -0.0694, -0.1365, -0.1147, -0.1266, -0.2123, -0.279, -0.2972, -0.2774, -0.3179, -0.4058, -0.2972, -0.302, -0.3266, -0.348, -0.4052, -0.3615, -0.3615, -0.3813, -0.3579, -0.3413, -0.3683, -0.3643, -0.346, -0.3004, -0.2603, -0.3087, -0.298, -0.327, -0.2952, -0.3266, -0.325, -0.3016, -0.3258, -0.3278, -0.3623, -0.3583, -0.3595, -0.3563, -0.3782, -0.3885, -0.4095, -0.3698, -0.381, -0.3992, -0.4282, -0.4714, -0.4881, -0.4429, -0.4643, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4365, -0.4508, -0.4234, -0.4321, -0.4175, -0.3996, -0.3306, -0.2417, -0.2282, -0.2139, -0.2206, -0.2758, -0.2706, -0.331, -0.3409, -0.329, -0.3496, -0.3619, -0.3075, -0.3056, -0.2976, -0.275, -0.2028, -0.2722, -0.2484]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989060808622707176", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-13T20:00:26+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RGTI and $QBTS both printed bearish head and shoulder patterns which suggest even further downside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Both RGTI and QBTS in bearish H&S patterns pointing to further downside; quantum stocks in an AI-FOMO bubble.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RGTI and $QBTS both printed bearish head and shoulder patterns which suggest even further downside. However, I think a minor short-term relief is possible before further bloodshed. Quantum is in an obvious bubble and fueled by AI FOMO. https://t.co/rCuybOrkVs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12868748642267835, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12868748642267835, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11181345848571911, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10311075558950322, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025576730833175132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009405781378535982, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009405781378535982, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009569550138873173, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003962387950543489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005443393427992493, "ret_p1w": -0.12312950987254767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12312950987254767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09409850578828449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07274400468809394, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05038550518445373, "ret_p1m": 0.1158615246916439, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1158615246916439, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10139808522251403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11310491115762811, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002756613534015795, "ret_p3m": -0.1261222288400906, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1261222288400906, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15904449923592334, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12243215096170068, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00369007787838993, "ret_p6m": -0.035057704840604664, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.035057704840604664, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13889075240825943, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26332668266618153, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22826897782557687, "price_path": [-0.292, -0.345, -0.3561, -0.3668, -0.3356, -0.3578, -0.3395, -0.3489, -0.3194, -0.3322, -0.3322, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3463, -0.3429, -0.3407, -0.3095, -0.3142, -0.2937, -0.2407, -0.2168, -0.1885, -0.0363, 0.0269, 0.1492, 0.0975, 0.1766, 0.1851, 0.1261, 0.1441, 0.0821, 0.0564, 0.0958, 0.2488, 0.398, 0.4972, 0.5271, 0.4643, 0.4994, 0.4117, 0.7366, 0.841, 0.9145, 0.7298, 0.6387, 0.4707, 0.3762, 0.1667, 0.3279, 0.3959, 0.4981, 0.3681, 0.4647, 0.5438, 0.5844, 0.4147, 0.2715, 0.3262, 0.2138, 0.2612, 0.2557, 0.2394, 0.1287, 0.0, 0.0094, -0.0239, -0.0197, 0.0021, -0.1231, -0.1274, -0.012, -0.0342, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0308, -0.0842, -0.0381, 0.0723, 0.2283, 0.1543, 0.2159, 0.2112, 0.1458, 0.1962, 0.1159, 0.015, 0.0911, 0.0175, 0.0641, 0.1466, 0.3762, 0.245, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.0812, 0.118, 0.1223, 0.118, 0.118, 0.2027, 0.31, 0.3369, 0.2912, 0.2518, 0.2018, 0.2313, 0.2322, 0.289, 0.2279, 0.2326, 0.2326, 0.156, 0.1133, 0.1727, 0.0958, 0.0154, 0.0556, 0.0676, -0.0073, -0.0928, -0.1035, -0.0851, -0.1402, -0.2642, -0.1142, -0.0932, -0.1261, -0.1603, -0.1954, -0.159, -0.159, -0.2116, -0.1847, -0.1714, -0.2279, -0.2283, -0.2022, -0.1599, -0.1389, -0.1971, -0.1903, -0.2202, -0.1915, -0.195, -0.2052, -0.186, -0.1979, -0.1915, -0.2377, -0.2497, -0.2535, -0.2531, -0.295, -0.3117, -0.3275, -0.3027, -0.3189, -0.3078, -0.3737, -0.4057, -0.4451, -0.3831, -0.4143, -0.3878, -0.3878, -0.3955, -0.4126, -0.3771, -0.407, -0.3908, -0.3737, -0.2745, -0.1103, -0.0799, -0.0727, -0.074, -0.1295, -0.0919, -0.1744, -0.2095, -0.1962, -0.2257, -0.2189, -0.133, -0.124, -0.1056, -0.0791, 0.0188, -0.0599, -0.0351]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995750770344673538", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T07:03:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think 1T is ballpark fair atm and 2T once they reach FSD milestones", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSLA; current ~$1T valuation fair, upside to $2T on FSD milestones; massive TAM offsets overvaluation concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I\u2019ve been a $TSLA investor from 2015-22 and on and off since. He\u2019s not wrong. The narrative has conveniently changed many times. \n\nHowever, the TAM upside is still massive and trying to assign a fair value based on current fundamentals is pointless since the company is essentially multiple pre revenue startups being funded by a legacy business. To that end, I think 1T is ballpark fair atm and 2T once they reach FSD milestones.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Short seller Michael Burry says $TSLA is \"ridiculously overvalued.\"\n\nhttps://t.co/A0crKPHX09 https://t.co/E8yWBk6q7w", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YahooFinance", "ret_m1d": 0.0020967860277210093, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020967860277210093, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003945661031233616, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0014200193719395848, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006767666557814245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04076973347810542, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04076973347810542, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03730696568484504, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029984684157398966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010785049320706452, "ret_p1w": 0.03711215999390283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03711215999390283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03489662627354995, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03914220078780295, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002030040793900123, "ret_p1m": 0.04771226225950098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04771226225950098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0441834760826878, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0356444987708191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012067763488681882, "ret_p3m": -0.06227281026205134, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06227281026205134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07179107600865176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05272784107777384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009544969184277496, "ret_p6m": 0.02590624212603232, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02590624212603232, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08150368646243167, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.006368756448513757, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03227499857454608, "price_path": [-0.2113, -0.1826, -0.193, -0.1917, -0.1898, -0.1408, -0.0776, -0.0447, -0.0178, -0.0079, -0.0289, -0.0074, 0.0116, -0.0079, 0.0316, -0.0136, 0.026, 0.0325, 0.0361, 0.0704, 0.0157, 0.0014, 0.0559, 0.009, 0.022, 0.0147, -0.0367, 0.0155, 0.0, 0.0138, -0.0011, 0.0235, 0.0424, 0.0311, 0.0227, 0.046, 0.0104, 0.054, 0.0729, 0.0752, 0.0253, 0.0636, 0.0912, 0.035, 0.0765, 0.0388, 0.0007, 0.0373, 0.0242, 0.0032, -0.0635, -0.058, -0.0473, -0.0652, -0.0588, -0.0792, -0.0889, -0.0267, -0.0229, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0022, 0.0021, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.0589, 0.06, 0.0241, 0.0371, 0.0517, 0.0411, 0.0692, 0.1073, 0.1413, 0.0886, 0.1261, 0.1211, 0.1386, 0.1312, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.107, 0.0708, 0.0587, 0.0477, 0.0477, 0.0206, 0.0523, 0.0087, 0.0051, 0.0153, 0.0367, 0.0459, 0.0418, 0.0232, 0.0217, 0.0192, 0.0192, -0.0233, 0.0051, 0.0469, 0.0462, 0.0139, 0.0039, 0.0052, -0.0295, 0.0027, -0.0173, -0.017, -0.0541, -0.0746, -0.0422, -0.0278, -0.0094, -0.0023, -0.0284, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0434, -0.0417, -0.0408, -0.0406, -0.0685, -0.0463, -0.0276, -0.0481, -0.0623, -0.0604, -0.0858, -0.0543, -0.0552, -0.0757, -0.0712, -0.0699, -0.0499, -0.0797, -0.0886, -0.0785, -0.0698, -0.0849, -0.114, -0.1428, -0.1127, -0.1077, -0.1009, -0.1331, -0.157, -0.1723, -0.1339, -0.1118, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.178, -0.1924, -0.2003, -0.1948, -0.1871, -0.179, -0.1515, -0.0869, -0.094, -0.0667, -0.0856, -0.0998, -0.0972, -0.1293, -0.1233, -0.1178, -0.124, -0.1315, -0.1109, -0.0895, -0.0856, -0.0929, -0.0711, -0.0407, -0.0021, 0.0367, 0.0098, 0.0373, 0.0328, -0.0163, -0.0448, -0.0585, -0.0279, -0.0265, -0.0075, -0.0075, 0.0101, 0.0259]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1867124513303134213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-12T08:29:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "odds of $450-460 by xmas and $500 by Jan 2 have gone up considerably", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Raised near-term TSLA targets to $450-460 by Christmas and $500 by Jan 2 on strong close.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Worth noting, with today's strong close, odds of $450-460 by xmas and $500 by Jan 2 have gone up considerably. Let's see how price action behaves around 420-430.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. I expect this range to be strong resistance for at least a few weeks depending on the Q4 delivery print Jan 3.\n\nMy PT for 2025 is $607. Not financial advice.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.015953080154954336, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015953080154954336, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010773903123696638, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007596812911704998, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005179177031257698, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008356267243249338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04336284290396253, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04336284290396253, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04356146472349465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03939793717117568, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00019862181953211877, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00396490573278685, "ret_p1w": 0.04321934240714853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04321934240714853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07338508265175359, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06977961953357958, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030165740244605055, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026560277126431053, "ret_p1m": -0.05587183814428598, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05587183814428598, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019656048490961253, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009216768295222666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.036215789653324726, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056793514973808246, "ret_p3m": -0.4485051459818291, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4485051459818291, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3714959094503829, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2873617096164549, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0770092365314462, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1611434363653742, "ret_p6m": -0.2940922976801751, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2940922976801751, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2918334371114587, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20284584596153654, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.002258860568716381, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09124645171863854, "price_path": [-0.4576, -0.455, -0.4566, -0.4166, -0.4302, -0.4021, -0.3918, -0.3853, -0.392, -0.377, -0.3742, -0.3829, -0.4044, -0.4244, -0.4019, -0.424, -0.4152, -0.4235, -0.4289, -0.4791, -0.4758, -0.4748, -0.4706, -0.4717, -0.4721, -0.4766, -0.4787, -0.489, -0.377, -0.3562, -0.3721, -0.3793, -0.384, -0.4024, -0.4045, -0.4192, -0.3986, -0.3099, -0.2899, -0.2317, -0.1629, -0.2143, -0.2101, -0.2557, -0.2329, -0.1898, -0.1724, -0.1819, -0.1877, -0.1568, -0.1902, -0.191, -0.2038, -0.2038, -0.1745, -0.1459, -0.1595, -0.1439, -0.1163, -0.0691, -0.0677, -0.0409, 0.016, 0.0, 0.0434, 0.1074, 0.1477, 0.0527, 0.0432, 0.0071, 0.0299, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.0862, 0.0324, -0.0017, -0.0341, -0.0341, -0.0928, -0.0183, -0.0169, -0.0568, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0559, -0.0354, -0.052, 0.0242, -0.0102, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0143, -0.0072, -0.0137, -0.0276, -0.0501, -0.0479, -0.0694, -0.0426, -0.0323, -0.0823, -0.0619, -0.0955, -0.1047, -0.1351, -0.1611, -0.2143, -0.1951, -0.1487, -0.1489, -0.1489, -0.153, -0.1376, -0.1524, -0.1921, -0.2094, -0.2758, -0.3045, -0.3256, -0.2993, -0.3192, -0.3493, -0.3325, -0.3699, -0.3718, -0.4687, -0.4485, -0.4066, -0.4243, -0.4021, -0.4307, -0.4611, -0.4359, -0.4349, -0.4051, -0.3342, -0.3108, -0.3493, -0.3467, -0.3696, -0.3801, -0.3579, -0.3237, -0.3607, -0.4273, -0.442, -0.4694, -0.349, -0.3963, -0.3965, -0.3964, -0.3922, -0.4223, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4559, -0.4308, -0.4003, -0.3793, -0.3185, -0.3162, -0.3015, -0.3251, -0.3291, -0.3131, -0.3297, -0.3414, -0.3393, -0.3188, -0.2866, -0.2385, -0.201, -0.1684, -0.1801, -0.1629, -0.1818, -0.1777, -0.1997, -0.1843, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.132, -0.1464, -0.1427, -0.1713, -0.1804, -0.1766, -0.2058, -0.3191, -0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1813019399189897280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-16T01:14:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tesla will suffer the least. EV transition inevitable so this is a net positive for Tesla", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: disagrees EVs policy hurts Tesla most; EV transition inevitable makes this net positive for Tesla.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ElectrekCo @fredlambert Disagree. Net negative for EVs but Tesla will suffer the least. EV transition inevitable so this is a net positive for Tesla. The real threat to Tesla from an EV standpoint is and will remain China.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Elon Musk supports new VP candidate that would crush Tesla's sales in the US https://t.co/9qxlPKnMPs by @fredlambert", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ElectrekCo", "ret_m1d": -0.015279070027470087, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015279070027470087, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009383947666693815, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0023376410612194753, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895122360776273, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017616711088689563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031415644041518975, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031415644041518975, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01739457989873061, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0147231315691716, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014021064142788364, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016692512472347376, "ret_p1w": -0.039678799394501585, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039678799394501585, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02006347562890487, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010557079923850576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019615323765596715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02912171947065101, "ret_p1m": -0.21507636888396497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21507636888396497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1777041859002848, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12442411066086767, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03737218298368017, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0906522582230973, "ret_p3m": -0.15107575177608834, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15107575177608834, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18028249577929922, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.162814950910513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029206744003210883, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011739199134424672, "ret_p6m": 0.5393670338307863, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5393670338307863, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48903910778895954, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38942523162439935, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05032792604182679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14994180220638698, "price_path": [-0.4156, -0.4268, -0.4463, -0.4361, -0.3681, -0.3367, -0.3441, -0.2436, -0.2856, -0.2984, -0.2984, -0.2938, -0.2799, -0.3069, -0.319, -0.3297, -0.3434, -0.33, -0.308, -0.3218, -0.3185, -0.3083, -0.3181, -0.2727, -0.298, -0.3228, -0.3014, -0.3014, -0.3111, -0.3133, -0.3031, -0.3059, -0.3129, -0.3188, -0.3179, -0.3064, -0.3082, -0.3226, -0.3348, -0.309, -0.2888, -0.3062, -0.2694, -0.2795, -0.2795, -0.2923, -0.2867, -0.2884, -0.2698, -0.2346, -0.2305, -0.2287, -0.182, -0.0986, -0.0396, -0.0396, -0.0196, -0.0141, 0.0225, 0.0261, -0.0605, -0.0325, -0.0153, 0.0, -0.0314, -0.0286, -0.0677, -0.0197, -0.0397, -0.1581, -0.1415, -0.1433, -0.0953, -0.1323, -0.0955, -0.1547, -0.1906, -0.2248, -0.218, -0.2526, -0.225, -0.2205, -0.2302, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.1653, -0.1576, -0.1319, -0.1382, -0.1298, -0.1789, -0.1413, -0.169, -0.1846, -0.198, -0.196, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1791, -0.1448, -0.1029, -0.1786, -0.157, -0.1185, -0.1108, -0.1043, -0.1024, -0.1161, -0.1118, -0.1144, -0.0493, -0.0714, -0.0256, -0.0089, 0.0018, -0.0091, 0.0152, 0.0198, 0.0057, -0.0294, -0.062, -0.0253, -0.0613, -0.047, -0.0605, -0.0693, -0.1511, -0.1458, -0.1442, -0.1373, -0.139, -0.1398, -0.147, -0.1504, -0.1673, 0.0153, 0.0492, 0.0232, 0.0115, 0.0039, -0.0262, -0.0295, -0.0535, -0.02, 0.1246, 0.1573, 0.252, 0.3642, 0.2804, 0.2872, 0.2129, 0.2501, 0.3203, 0.3486, 0.3331, 0.3238, 0.3742, 0.3197, 0.3183, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.3453, 0.3918, 0.3697, 0.3951, 0.4402, 0.5171, 0.5193, 0.5629, 0.6556, 0.6296, 0.7003, 0.8047, 0.8704, 0.7155, 0.7001, 0.6412, 0.6784, 0.8018, 0.8018, 0.7701, 0.6825, 0.6269, 0.5741, 0.5741, 0.4783, 0.5998, 0.6022, 0.5371, 0.5394]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1818344441410982018", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-30T17:54:32+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still see a decent chance of ~$95 before $NVDA earnings, buying the dip with my hedges removed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying NVDA dip with hedges removed, targeting ~$95 before earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Should add that I still see a decent chance of ~$95 before $NVDA earnings, buying the dip with my hedges removed (profited from this downswing w/ those hedges as I outlined above)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Closed remaining Sep 20 $TSLA puts for gains. Can see a vicious upside squeeze in next week or two if things align (lots of macro events + big tech earnings). Long $NVDA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.07577361304049446, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07577361304049446, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07068123412031468, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.035986247011212, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005092378920179774, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039787366029282456, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12812113075742193, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12812113075742193, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11186642833544602, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05177122978431803, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01625470242197591, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0763499009731039, "ret_p1w": 0.005013044585889803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005013044585889803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04163663029489628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0573510085988036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03662358570900648, "bench_c_p1w": -0.052337964012913796, "ret_p1m": 0.21093221215778657, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21093221215778657, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18085844285914332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16116530943140295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03007376929864325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04976690272638362, "ret_p3m": 0.3646207165419655, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3646207165419655, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2930042009943943, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26225435528276386, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0716165155475712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10236636125920162, "ret_p6m": 0.4180345686309168, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4180345686309168, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2919321627063769, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2485824348242447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12610240592453992, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16945213380667212, "price_path": [-0.1728, -0.1441, -0.1118, -0.1271, -0.1285, -0.1445, -0.1336, -0.1286, -0.1194, -0.0878, -0.0904, -0.1085, -0.0864, -0.0805, -0.0847, 0.0006, 0.0263, 0.0263, 0.098, 0.1069, 0.0652, 0.0568, 0.1086, 0.1224, 0.1803, 0.1664, 0.1653, 0.174, 0.1656, 0.207, 0.2495, 0.2714, 0.2627, 0.307, 0.307, 0.2608, 0.2202, 0.1386, 0.2156, 0.2185, 0.1953, 0.191, 0.1983, 0.1826, 0.2367, 0.2367, 0.2131, 0.2359, 0.2666, 0.3006, 0.2282, 0.2459, 0.2382, 0.2182, 0.1375, 0.1674, 0.1369, 0.191, 0.1818, 0.1014, 0.0824, 0.0899, 0.0758, 0.0, 0.1281, 0.0528, 0.0341, -0.0316, 0.005, -0.0465, 0.012, 0.0098, 0.051, 0.1196, 0.1383, 0.1844, 0.201, 0.2533, 0.2267, 0.2388, 0.1929, 0.2472, 0.2191, 0.2369, 0.2109, 0.1336, 0.1508, 0.1508, 0.0412, 0.0239, 0.0335, -0.0087, 0.0264, 0.0421, 0.1271, 0.1487, 0.1483, 0.1259, 0.1144, 0.093, 0.1364, 0.1184, 0.1209, 0.1653, 0.1908, 0.1959, 0.1704, 0.1708, 0.128, 0.1459, 0.1844, 0.2044, 0.2314, 0.2812, 0.2789, 0.2997, 0.2996, 0.3312, 0.2688, 0.3085, 0.3202, 0.3305, 0.3855, 0.3844, 0.3455, 0.3537, 0.3646, 0.3548, 0.3618, 0.3434, 0.28, 0.3054, 0.3117, 0.3489, 0.4039, 0.4354, 0.4233, 0.4005, 0.4297, 0.4102, 0.4149, 0.3689, 0.3512, 0.4174, 0.4066, 0.4141, 0.3686, 0.3114, 0.3201, 0.3048, 0.3048, 0.3329, 0.3366, 0.3523, 0.3993, 0.3987, 0.3734, 0.3384, 0.3023, 0.3432, 0.3242, 0.2944, 0.2727, 0.2572, 0.2429, 0.26, 0.2988, 0.3467, 0.352, 0.352, 0.3492, 0.321, 0.3257, 0.2948, 0.2948, 0.3336, 0.393, 0.4408, 0.3512, 0.3509, 0.3509, 0.3104, 0.2846, 0.2704, 0.3136, 0.2879, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.3579, 0.418]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986475260431245783", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T16:46:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I entered a light (<1%) position into TSLA long calls at 437 spot just now. It bounced off my fib channel. Upside targets 1/2/3 are 488/500/523", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Entered light TSLA long calls at $437 spot; upside targets $488/$500/$523, but watching $414 support for potential drop to $350-$370.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA has failed to print a daily candle above $465 (moving target) key multi-decade fib channel that has called every single top and bottom for the past 5+ years. \n\nDoesn't mean it can't go higher with today's SH vote, but every day failing to breach it increases the odds of further downside. There are many gaps to fill (near term 397/369/339).\n\n---\n\nI entered a light (<1%) position into TSLA long calls at 437 spot just now. It bounced off my fib channel. Upside targets 1/2/3 are 488/500/523\n\nIf price cannot hold ~414 it's going to gap fill 396-400 fast. I would expect a rebound there before further downside to ~350-370 within 2-3 weeks following.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025394804530705306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012587707229724243, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037740836243734255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03832746569561418, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10107615118098223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08367505589745694, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0025593140018833616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0035268556468981416, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08542335572116722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08330629037116766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20476628943420172, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13508587675842976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [-0.2397, -0.2356, -0.2389, -0.2474, -0.2587, -0.2484, -0.2615, -0.2736, -0.2821, -0.2375, -0.2227, -0.2113, -0.216, -0.2241, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2614, -0.2508, -0.2408, -0.2132, -0.2232, -0.2219, -0.22, -0.1729, -0.1121, -0.0804, -0.0545, -0.045, -0.0652, -0.0445, -0.0262, -0.045, -0.007, -0.0505, -0.0124, -0.0061, -0.0027, 0.0304, -0.0222, -0.0361, 0.0165, -0.0288, -0.0162, -0.0233, -0.0727, -0.0224, -0.0374, -0.0241, -0.0385, -0.0148, 0.0034, -0.0074, -0.0156, 0.0069, -0.0273, 0.0146, 0.0328, 0.035, -0.013, 0.0239, 0.0504, -0.0037, 0.0362, 0.0, -0.0368, -0.0015, -0.0141, -0.0343, -0.0985, -0.0932, -0.083, -0.1002, -0.094, -0.1137, -0.1229, -0.0631, -0.0595, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0353, -0.0354, -0.0374, 0.0019, 0.0193, 0.0204, -0.0142, -0.0017, 0.0124, 0.0022, 0.0293, 0.0659, 0.0986, 0.0479, 0.084, 0.0791, 0.096, 0.0889, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0657, 0.0308, 0.0191, 0.0085, 0.0085, -0.0176, 0.0129, -0.029, -0.0325, -0.0227, -0.002, 0.0068, 0.0029, -0.015, -0.0165, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0598, -0.0325, 0.0077, 0.0071, -0.024, -0.0337, -0.0324, -0.0658, -0.0348, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0895, -0.1092, -0.078, -0.0641, -0.0464, -0.0396, -0.0647, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0791, -0.0776, -0.0767, -0.0765, -0.1033, -0.0819, -0.0639, -0.0837, -0.0973, -0.0955, -0.1199, -0.0896, -0.0905, -0.1103, -0.1059, -0.1047, -0.0854, -0.1141, -0.1227, -0.1129, -0.1046, -0.1191, -0.1471, -0.1748, -0.1459, -0.141, -0.1345, -0.1655, -0.1886, -0.2032, -0.1663, -0.145, -0.1913, -0.1913, -0.2088, -0.2226, -0.2302, -0.2249, -0.2174, -0.2097, -0.1832, -0.121, -0.1279, -0.1016, -0.1198, -0.1334, -0.131, -0.1619, -0.1561, -0.1508, -0.1567, -0.164, -0.1442, -0.1235]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988716822947078391", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T21:13:33+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can't regain 2d cloud + fundamentals aren't good w/ extreme cash burn. Golden retrace on watch otherwise it'll go fill those gaps in the 500s", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish META: can't regain key technical level, poor fundamentals with extreme cash burn, downside gap-fill target in the 500s.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SixSigmaCapital Can\u2019t regain 2d cloud + fundamentals aren\u2019t good w/ extreme cash burn. Golden retrace on watch otherwise it\u2019ll go fill those gaps in the 500s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Been buying $META sub 620...How cooked am I out of 10? \n\n(Actually feel like this time decent chance I am cooked and we see mid 500's..) https://t.co/a5y6Gu8GsN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SixSigmaCapital", "ret_m1d": 0.029671149320976253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029671149320976253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030227328292399047, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02385829282677121, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014449834159191433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0014449834159191433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018039003396145725, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01562501783332082, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": -0.030689183003124065, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030689183003124065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0003253321931031561, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009991605057096065, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": 0.07175576427315145, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07175576427315145, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06328328664404026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04295536748430617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": 0.11290827758458688, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11290827758458688, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09444047699666469, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08015879301378392, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.01450153392709419, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01450153392709419, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.062125772358563536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.025975702855729477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [0.2885, 0.2592, 0.2331, 0.2269, 0.2128, 0.2385, 0.2361, 0.2374, 0.2264, 0.2325, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.2062, 0.2094, 0.2285, 0.2347, 0.2345, 0.2564, 0.2339, 0.2322, 0.2398, 0.2548, 0.2783, 0.2729, 0.2803, 0.2772, 0.2564, 0.2404, 0.249, 0.2297, 0.2212, 0.2207, 0.2059, 0.1779, 0.1938, 0.1667, 0.1751, 0.1709, 0.1787, 0.2044, 0.1581, 0.1752, 0.1636, 0.1782, 0.1692, 0.1772, 0.2022, 0.204, 0.2043, 0.2052, 0.2124, 0.2329, 0.2339, 0.2342, 0.0943, 0.0646, 0.0471, 0.0301, 0.0442, 0.0163, 0.0209, 0.0374, 0.0297, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0007, -0.0115, -0.0186, -0.0307, -0.0326, -0.0242, 0.0066, 0.0447, 0.0404, 0.0404, 0.0639, 0.0523, 0.0625, 0.0502, 0.0862, 0.1058, 0.0949, 0.0787, 0.0675, 0.0718, 0.0578, 0.0641, 0.0799, 0.0674, 0.0919, 0.0826, 0.0871, 0.0927, 0.097, 0.097, 0.09, 0.0825, 0.0944, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.0689, 0.0826, 0.0856, 0.066, 0.0617, 0.0732, 0.055, 0.0371, 0.0115, 0.0202, 0.0193, 0.0193, -0.0072, 0.0073, 0.0643, 0.0826, 0.1049, 0.1059, 0.099, 0.2133, 0.1775, 0.1609, 0.1367, 0.0994, 0.1014, 0.087, 0.1129, 0.1022, 0.0989, 0.0679, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0506, 0.057, 0.0596, 0.0775, 0.0472, 0.0506, 0.0742, 0.0797, 0.0652, 0.074, 0.0765, 0.0973, 0.0855, 0.0597, 0.0639, 0.0749, 0.0762, 0.0488, 0.0085, 0.032, 0.0241, 0.0126, -0.0021, -0.0236, -0.0065, -0.0248, -0.0216, -0.0994, -0.1353, -0.1178, -0.059, -0.0473, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0575, -0.0542, 0.0073, 0.0335, 0.036, 0.0436, 0.0896, 0.1046, 0.1133, 0.1325, 0.1035, 0.1001, 0.1097, 0.0841, 0.1103, 0.1162, 0.1042, 0.1005, 0.0064, 0.0012, 0.004, -0.005, 0.008, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1899170442835038408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-10T18:48:13+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "went short since $360. I see $220-225 as a potential near term bottom. I originally targeted $185-200.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short TSLA from $360; targets $220-225 near-term bottom, originally $185-200; PT of $607 pushed to 2026-27 implying rough stretch ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Friendly reminder that almost every single $TSLA \u2018trader\u2019 on X (especially those with discords) got this move extremely wrong. Any that are actually good wouldn\u2019t need a discord to capitalize on their skill set. A broken clock is right twice a day. \n\nBefore anyone questions me, I moved my entire portfolio into $TSLA calls/stock 225-277. Isold 100% of my shares/calls at ~$450 (doing about 14x), re-entered 1/3 hedged in the 390s post Q1 earnings and closed those with less than a -15% loss of that 1/3, then went short since $360.\n\nI would have posted but my short $TSLA plays generate nothing but negative feedback and aren\u2019t worth the burden. The purpose of this post is to highlight how misleading many posts on X can be. \n\nI see $220-225 as a potential near term bottom. I originally targeted $185-200. A sharp relief rally is warranted around these prices ($225). \n\n2025 PT of $607 moved to 2026-27. Expecting a rough bumpy year or two for the market overall. Obviously solving autonomy accelerates this timeline.\n\n---\n\nWell this post aged well too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18239937269649986, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18239937269649986, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15503495022337854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14539034290441433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02736442247312132, "bench_c_m1d": 0.037009029792085535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037947369642955975, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037947369642955975, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0462602176201663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04772908065741743, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312847977210325, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009781711014461458, "ret_p1w": 0.07139320749989242, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07139320749989242, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05967328258923921, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07804889526893966, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011719924910653212, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006655687769047236, "ret_p1m": -0.0013053940765263006, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0013053940765263006, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11037625713798704, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10712310391525914, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168165121451334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10842849799178544, "ret_p3m": 0.28156659927568306, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28156659927568306, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22046211871270072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2225915837454857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061104480562982344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05897501553019735, "ret_p6m": 0.4826018203945346, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4826018203945346, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.333623032196088, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3172032166621086, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14897878819844657, "bench_c_p6m": 0.165398603732426, "price_path": [0.9121, 0.8821, 0.9637, 1.0843, 1.1601, 0.9812, 0.9634, 0.8954, 0.9383, 1.0809, 1.0809, 1.0442, 0.9431, 0.879, 0.8179, 0.8179, 0.7073, 0.8476, 0.8503, 0.7752, 0.7778, 0.7778, 0.7769, 0.8155, 0.7842, 0.9276, 0.8628, 0.9199, 0.9199, 0.9089, 0.8686, 0.8563, 0.8302, 0.7878, 0.792, 0.7515, 0.8018, 0.8213, 0.7271, 0.7655, 0.7023, 0.685, 0.6278, 0.5788, 0.4787, 0.5148, 0.6023, 0.6018, 0.6018, 0.594, 0.623, 0.5953, 0.5206, 0.4879, 0.363, 0.309, 0.2692, 0.3188, 0.2813, 0.2246, 0.2564, 0.1859, 0.1824, 0.0, 0.0379, 0.1168, 0.0834, 0.1253, 0.0714, 0.0142, 0.0617, 0.0635, 0.1196, 0.2532, 0.2971, 0.2247, 0.2295, 0.1864, 0.1666, 0.2085, 0.2728, 0.2032, 0.0778, 0.0501, -0.0013, 0.2253, 0.1362, 0.1358, 0.1359, 0.1439, 0.0873, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0241, 0.0712, 0.1287, 0.1682, 0.2827, 0.2869, 0.3146, 0.2701, 0.2628, 0.2929, 0.2616, 0.2395, 0.2434, 0.2821, 0.3426, 0.4332, 0.5038, 0.5651, 0.5432, 0.5754, 0.5399, 0.5477, 0.5063, 0.5352, 0.5275, 0.5275, 0.6335, 0.6066, 0.6135, 0.5596, 0.5426, 0.5497, 0.4947, 0.2816, 0.3286, 0.3891, 0.4679, 0.4694, 0.4365, 0.4644, 0.4816, 0.424, 0.4497, 0.4497, 0.4502, 0.5696, 0.5326, 0.4745, 0.4665, 0.4568, 0.4299, 0.3536, 0.4209, 0.4195, 0.4195, 0.3232, 0.3406, 0.3319, 0.3949, 0.4113, 0.4265, 0.399, 0.448, 0.4378, 0.4839, 0.4787, 0.495, 0.497, 0.3743, 0.4227, 0.4656, 0.4459, 0.4361, 0.3877, 0.3623, 0.3921, 0.3897, 0.4401, 0.4507, 0.4839, 0.5261, 0.5343, 0.5277, 0.5106, 0.488, 0.5087, 0.4824, 0.458, 0.441, 0.5305, 0.5602, 0.583, 0.5737, 0.5574, 0.5029, 0.5029, 0.4826]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1889570338088067541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-12T07:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the h/s suggests $328 or $310 but I wouldn't be surprised to see $295-300. If I had to target a bottom, $147 triple gap re-fill looks like a strong candidate for 2025. If not, $176-185 or $200-213.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: H&S pattern targets $295-310; longer-term bottom candidates at $147, $176-185, or $200-213 in 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seeing lots of fear among $TSLA traders/investors blaming BYD/DOGE/Elon etc. and while those might have a minor role to play, they are not the main reason. \n\n$TSLA moved almost 100% since election night and is now retracing into a head/shoulders pattern after attempting a high tight flag and bullish pennant. When bullish patterns fail, the opposite effect is often amplified. This is why you're seeing massive downward pressure. The h/s suggests $328 or $310 but I wouldn't be surprised to see $295-300.\n\nTechnicals matter. Look at $NVDA - the Wyckoff distribution (which I called before anyone back in December) amplified the Deepseek news. \n\nLet's see how CPI comes in tomorrow.\n\n---\n\nWell this aged well. If I had to target a bottom, $147 triple gap re-fill looks like a strong candidate for 2025. If not, $176-185 or $200-213.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023803184253579523, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023803184253579523, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02703508868805793, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023981911924855215, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0032319044344784054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017872767127569134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05773971683431944, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05773971683431944, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718225129106757, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04272231897411638, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010557465543251876, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015017397860203063, "ret_p1w": 0.07146886302050648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07146886302050648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05560767522481469, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.060295247387976536, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01586118779569179, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011173615632529943, "ret_p1m": -0.2847761264414932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2847761264414932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19869152139844148, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14559676009277756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08608460504305171, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13917936634871564, "ret_p3m": -0.05387656936398366, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05387656936398366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023022206210896123, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006119474123571167, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03085436315308754, "bench_c_p3m": -0.047757095240412495, "ret_p6m": -0.04231678208286027, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04231678208286027, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09645795468987384, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.045629344039603614, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054141172607013566, "bench_c_p6m": 0.003312561956743343, "price_path": [-0.0469, 0.0066, 0.0282, 0.0164, 0.0093, 0.0477, 0.0062, 0.0051, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0257, 0.0612, 0.0443, 0.0637, 0.098, 0.1566, 0.1583, 0.1916, 0.2623, 0.2425, 0.2963, 0.3759, 0.426, 0.3079, 0.2962, 0.2513, 0.2796, 0.3737, 0.3737, 0.3495, 0.2828, 0.2404, 0.2001, 0.2001, 0.1271, 0.2197, 0.2215, 0.1719, 0.1736, 0.1736, 0.173, 0.1985, 0.1779, 0.2725, 0.2297, 0.2674, 0.2674, 0.2602, 0.2336, 0.2255, 0.2082, 0.1802, 0.183, 0.1563, 0.1895, 0.2023, 0.1402, 0.1655, 0.1238, 0.1124, 0.0746, 0.0423, -0.0238, 0.0, 0.0577, 0.0574, 0.0574, 0.0523, 0.0715, 0.0532, 0.0038, -0.0178, -0.1002, -0.1358, -0.1621, -0.1294, -0.1541, -0.1916, -0.1706, -0.2171, -0.2194, -0.3398, -0.3148, -0.2628, -0.2848, -0.2571, -0.2927, -0.3305, -0.2991, -0.2979, -0.2609, -0.1727, -0.1437, -0.1915, -0.1883, -0.2168, -0.2299, -0.2022, -0.1597, -0.2057, -0.2885, -0.3067, -0.3407, -0.1911, -0.2499, -0.2502, -0.2501, -0.2449, -0.2822, -0.2827, -0.2827, -0.3239, -0.2928, -0.2549, -0.2288, -0.1532, -0.1505, -0.1322, -0.1615, -0.1664, -0.1465, -0.1672, -0.1817, -0.1792, -0.1536, -0.1137, -0.0539, -0.0073, 0.0332, 0.0188, 0.04, 0.0166, 0.0217, -0.0056, 0.0135, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0784, 0.0606, 0.0651, 0.0296, 0.0184, 0.0231, -0.0133, -0.154, -0.1229, -0.083, -0.031, -0.03, -0.0517, -0.0333, -0.0219, -0.0599, -0.043, -0.043, -0.0426, 0.0362, 0.0118, -0.0266, -0.0319, -0.0383, -0.056, -0.1064, -0.062, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.1265, -0.115, -0.1207, -0.0792, -0.0683, -0.0583, -0.0765, -0.0441, -0.0508, -0.0204, -0.0238, -0.0131, -0.0117, -0.0927, -0.0608, -0.0325, -0.0455, -0.0519, -0.0839, -0.1007, -0.081, -0.0826, -0.0493, -0.0423]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1811828419598123412", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-12T18:22:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I closed all my weekly calls between 225-265 and added more Sep 20 puts. The trade is going very well. However, that said, tough to predict movement for the next 30 days due to earnings season (esp w/ robotaxi pushed). If I had to pick: $225.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds Sep 20 puts on TSLA, targeting ~$225 downside despite possible rally to ~$288 if earnings surprise.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rob was the best. Losing him and several key brass (Zach, Drew, Karpathy etc.) within a few quarters of each other was a lot to digest. \n\nI closed all my weekly calls between 225-265 and added more Sep 20 puts. The trade is going very well. However, that said, tough to predict movement for the next 30 days due to earnings season (esp w/ robotaxi pushed). If I had to pick: $225. Tesla can still rally to ~288 if earnings go well though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig @dannyle1022 I miss Rob, curious what your target is for this move down setting up potentially here", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": -0.029005346139332033, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029005346139332033, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022737337843121153, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016106463524484083, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006268008296210881, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01289888261484795, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01776579679334911, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01776579679334911, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01501567657574765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018914577753857076, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027501202176014594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011487809605079669, "ret_p1w": -0.03637754878426669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03637754878426669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01673430988782698, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01715980490501423, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019643238896439708, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019217743879252458, "ret_p1m": -0.20440716717438112, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20440716717438112, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15669204722219887, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11124295561465947, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04771511995218225, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09316421155972165, "ret_p3m": -0.028924758487536395, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.028924758487536395, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06271144099254522, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06714800314206248, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033786682505008825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03822324465452609, "ret_p6m": 0.6559239208308385, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6559239208308385, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5859120387356769, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46699206315710207, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07001188209516163, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18893185767373644, "price_path": [-0.3671, -0.3738, -0.396, -0.4076, -0.4277, -0.4172, -0.3469, -0.3144, -0.322, -0.2183, -0.2617, -0.2749, -0.2748, -0.2701, -0.2557, -0.2837, -0.2961, -0.3072, -0.3213, -0.3075, -0.2847, -0.2991, -0.2957, -0.2851, -0.2952, -0.2483, -0.2744, -0.3001, -0.2779, -0.2779, -0.288, -0.2902, -0.2797, -0.2826, -0.2898, -0.2959, -0.295, -0.2832, -0.285, -0.2999, -0.3125, -0.2858, -0.2649, -0.2829, -0.2449, -0.2553, -0.2553, -0.2685, -0.2627, -0.2645, -0.2453, -0.2089, -0.2047, -0.2028, -0.1546, -0.0684, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0133, 0.019, 0.0568, 0.0605, -0.029, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0336, 0.0011, 0.004, -0.0364, 0.0132, -0.0075, -0.1299, -0.1127, -0.1145, -0.065, -0.1032, -0.0651, -0.1264, -0.1634, -0.1988, -0.1917, -0.2275, -0.199, -0.1943, -0.2044, -0.1628, -0.1887, -0.1373, -0.1294, -0.1028, -0.1093, -0.1006, -0.1514, -0.1124, -0.1411, -0.1572, -0.1711, -0.169, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1516, -0.1161, -0.0728, -0.1511, -0.1288, -0.0889, -0.081, -0.0742, -0.0723, -0.0864, -0.082, -0.0847, -0.0174, -0.0402, 0.0071, 0.0243, 0.0354, 0.0241, 0.0493, 0.054, 0.0394, 0.0032, -0.0305, 0.0075, -0.0298, -0.015, -0.0289, -0.0381, -0.1226, -0.1171, -0.1155, -0.1084, -0.1101, -0.1109, -0.1184, -0.1219, -0.1393, 0.0493, 0.0844, 0.0575, 0.0455, 0.0375, 0.0065, 0.003, -0.0217, 0.0129, 0.1623, 0.1961, 0.294, 0.41, 0.3233, 0.3304, 0.2536, 0.292, 0.3646, 0.3939, 0.3779, 0.3682, 0.4203, 0.364, 0.3626, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.3905, 0.4385, 0.4157, 0.4419, 0.4885, 0.568, 0.5703, 0.6154, 0.7112, 0.6843, 0.7574, 0.8653, 0.9331, 0.7731, 0.7571, 0.6962, 0.7347, 0.8623, 0.8623, 0.8295, 0.739, 0.6815, 0.6269, 0.6269, 0.5279, 0.6535, 0.6559]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1915479571333603526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T18:54:52+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seeing ~292-325 by mid May if macro news doesn't derail", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA targeting 292\u2013325 by mid-May contingent on breaching ~275 and no macro disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy Seeing ~292-325 by mid May if macro news doesn't derail\n\n---\n\n@redmercy I should add that I want to see TSLA breach ~275 (daily cloud + several key fib levels) to greatly increase those chances", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03379447397956448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03379447397956448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01317938418463016, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014269437367248727, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020615089794934316, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01952503661231575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09803091011549903, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09803091011549903, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09080564613979147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08005157717747191, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007225263975707552, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017979332938027115, "ret_p1w": 0.08096018826796669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08096018826796669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05941256592670929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05911703191079787, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0215476223412574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021843156357168825, "ret_p1m": 0.3076181402188056, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3076181402188056, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2483160490219105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2224088185536639, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05930209119689511, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08520932166514172, "ret_p3m": 0.27975790086673635, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27975790086673635, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12605286820607686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11567878974182166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1537050326606595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1640791111249147, "ret_p6m": 0.6928441332777648, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6928441332777648, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4705765027607558, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4804762220511818, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22226763051700904, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21236791122658305, "price_path": [0.5304, 0.534, 0.4994, 0.5424, 0.5591, 0.4785, 0.5113, 0.4572, 0.4424, 0.3935, 0.3515, 0.2658, 0.2967, 0.3716, 0.3712, 0.3712, 0.3645, 0.3894, 0.3657, 0.3017, 0.2737, 0.1668, 0.1206, 0.0865, 0.129, 0.0969, 0.0483, 0.0755, 0.0152, 0.0122, -0.144, -0.1115, -0.044, -0.0726, -0.0367, -0.0828, -0.1318, -0.0911, -0.0896, -0.0416, 0.0728, 0.1103, 0.0484, 0.0525, 0.0156, -0.0013, 0.0345, 0.0896, 0.0299, -0.0774, -0.101, -0.1451, 0.0489, -0.0274, -0.0277, -0.0276, -0.0208, -0.0692, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.1233, -0.083, -0.0338, 0.0, 0.098, 0.1016, 0.1253, 0.0873, 0.081, 0.1067, 0.08, 0.061, 0.0644, 0.0975, 0.1493, 0.2269, 0.2873, 0.3398, 0.321, 0.3486, 0.3182, 0.3249, 0.2894, 0.3142, 0.3076, 0.3076, 0.3984, 0.3753, 0.3812, 0.3351, 0.3205, 0.3266, 0.2795, 0.0971, 0.1373, 0.1891, 0.2566, 0.2579, 0.2297, 0.2536, 0.2683, 0.219, 0.241, 0.241, 0.2414, 0.3436, 0.312, 0.2622, 0.2554, 0.2471, 0.2241, 0.1588, 0.2163, 0.2152, 0.2152, 0.1327, 0.1476, 0.1401, 0.1941, 0.2081, 0.2211, 0.1976, 0.2395, 0.2308, 0.2703, 0.2658, 0.2798, 0.2815, 0.1764, 0.2179, 0.2546, 0.2377, 0.2294, 0.1879, 0.1662, 0.1917, 0.1896, 0.2327, 0.2418, 0.2703, 0.3064, 0.3134, 0.3078, 0.2931, 0.2738, 0.2915, 0.269, 0.2481, 0.2335, 0.3102, 0.3356, 0.3551, 0.3472, 0.3332, 0.2865, 0.2865, 0.2692, 0.2874, 0.3045, 0.3519, 0.3348, 0.337, 0.3402, 0.4212, 0.5257, 0.5801, 0.6247, 0.641, 0.6063, 0.6418, 0.6732, 0.641, 0.7063, 0.6315, 0.697, 0.7079, 0.7137, 0.7705, 0.6801, 0.6563, 0.7466, 0.6689, 0.6905, 0.6783, 0.5933, 0.6797, 0.654, 0.6768, 0.6522, 0.6928]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1969077792940978515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T16:35:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see this for another week w/ a possible price break down (rising wedge forming on 4h)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA likely stays below $430 for another week with possible breakdown from rising wedge on 4h; hedged with puts.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As the week passes, many $TSLA \"traders\" kept pumping that it was going to keep rallying. Saw very few, if any, highlight the ~430 resistance wall. The reasoning? Very few can chart advanced technicals (like I posted several times prior) and simply use amateur trendlines to justify core/root cause technical movement (such as fib channels).\n\nPrice has remained below $430 as I suggested. I can see this for another week w/ a possible price break down (rising wedge forming on 4h). I am holding 1/3 of my Oct ITM calls (which did 5x) and hedged with 1:1 higher strike puts. \n\nSensitivity is high, any positive unexpected news headlines will send the stock higher. I still see ~475 or ~525 during this rally. Each yellow arrow is a potential pivot/top (spectrum of possibilities).\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/WZHne0bKPX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021639639172459146, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021639639172459146, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016711266951246584, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017869799529876773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0049283722212125625, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0037698396425823733, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019104804353584193, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019104804353584193, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014373703899896118, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022362534270029877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003257729916445684, "ret_p1w": 0.03363293901455311, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03363293901455311, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036465495237700485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.038841072677544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005208133662990888, "ret_p1m": 0.05013257207590427, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05013257207590427, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03868165348588404, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06957525809682186, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019442686020917588, "ret_p3m": 0.09667425947225294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09667425947225294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0850726818530263, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09636305188573036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0003112075865225883, "ret_p6m": -0.07160797343430081, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07160797343430081, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08261736580858636, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004709086781825689, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06689888665247512, "price_path": [-0.2009, -0.2312, -0.2354, -0.2404, -0.2544, -0.2942, -0.2592, -0.2599, -0.2599, -0.3101, -0.301, -0.3056, -0.2727, -0.2642, -0.2562, -0.2706, -0.245, -0.2503, -0.2263, -0.229, -0.2205, -0.2195, -0.2835, -0.2582, -0.2358, -0.2461, -0.2512, -0.2765, -0.2897, -0.2742, -0.2754, -0.2492, -0.2436, -0.2263, -0.2043, -0.2, -0.2035, -0.2124, -0.2242, -0.2134, -0.2271, -0.2398, -0.2487, -0.202, -0.1865, -0.1746, -0.1795, -0.188, -0.2164, -0.2164, -0.227, -0.2159, -0.2055, -0.1766, -0.187, -0.1857, -0.1837, -0.1344, -0.0707, -0.0376, -0.0104, -0.0005, -0.0216, 0.0, 0.0191, -0.0005, 0.0392, -0.0063, 0.0336, 0.0402, 0.0438, 0.0784, 0.0233, 0.0088, 0.0638, 0.0165, 0.0296, 0.0222, -0.0295, 0.0231, 0.0074, 0.0213, 0.0063, 0.0311, 0.0501, 0.0388, 0.0303, 0.0538, 0.018, 0.0618, 0.0809, 0.0832, 0.0329, 0.0716, 0.0993, 0.0427, 0.0845, 0.0466, 0.0081, 0.045, 0.0318, 0.0106, -0.0565, -0.051, -0.0403, -0.0583, -0.0518, -0.0724, -0.0821, -0.0195, -0.0157, 0.0012, 0.0012, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0074, 0.0485, 0.0668, 0.0679, 0.0317, 0.0448, 0.0596, 0.0489, 0.0772, 0.1156, 0.1498, 0.0967, 0.1345, 0.1294, 0.1471, 0.1396, 0.1392, 0.1392, 0.1153, 0.0788, 0.0666, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0282, 0.0601, 0.0162, 0.0125, 0.0228, 0.0445, 0.0537, 0.0496, 0.0308, 0.0293, 0.0268, 0.0268, -0.016, 0.0126, 0.0547, 0.054, 0.0214, 0.0113, 0.0127, -0.0223, 0.0102, -0.01, -0.0096, -0.0471, -0.0677, -0.0351, -0.0205, -0.002, 0.0052, -0.0211, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0362, -0.0346, -0.0337, -0.0334, -0.0616, -0.0392, -0.0203, -0.041, -0.0553, -0.0534, -0.079, -0.0472, -0.0482, -0.0689, -0.0643, -0.063, -0.0428, -0.0729, -0.0818, -0.0716]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1857115163104870500", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-14T17:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a net positive for Tesla as they are the only profitable EV maker ex-BYD (who is unlikely to sell cars in the US due to tariffs)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: selloff is overreaction; net positive as only profitable US EV maker, BYD blocked by tariffs.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA selling off on this news is hysterical. This is a net positive for Tesla as they are the only profitable EV maker ex-BYD (who is unlikely to sell cars in the US due to tariffs). \n\nI assigned 100% chance this would happen since Elon himself wanted it. Not sure how the market assigned any lower probability and is now digesting the news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.061250716650194104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.061250716650194104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05477898142266513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046850785321092214, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006471735227528974, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01439993132910189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030657525449785616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030657525449785616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04346613100324581, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039204497190935994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012808605553460195, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008546971741150378, "ret_p1w": 0.09145839270684974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09145839270684974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09091914251800737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09275896267243244, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005392501888423773, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013005699655826986, "ret_p1m": 0.4018575141520637, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4018575141520637, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38355462978133525, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3079797744753423, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018302884370728467, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09387773967672142, "ret_p3m": 0.055659128902495025, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.055659128902495025, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.032068870252974335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.014205605420823053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02359025864952069, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04145352348167197, "ret_p6m": -0.04151932390980417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04151932390980417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0013007011826065007, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013888430360918469, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042820025092410674, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05540775427072264, "price_path": [-0.2843, -0.2895, -0.2825, -0.323, -0.292, -0.3148, -0.3277, -0.3388, -0.3371, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3232, -0.2949, -0.2603, -0.3228, -0.305, -0.2732, -0.2669, -0.2615, -0.2599, -0.2712, -0.2677, -0.2699, -0.2161, -0.2344, -0.1966, -0.1829, -0.174, -0.183, -0.163, -0.1592, -0.1708, -0.1998, -0.2266, -0.1963, -0.2261, -0.2143, -0.2254, -0.2327, -0.3001, -0.2957, -0.2944, -0.2887, -0.2902, -0.2908, -0.2967, -0.2995, -0.3134, -0.1629, -0.1349, -0.1564, -0.166, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1999, -0.2196, -0.192, -0.0728, -0.0459, 0.0323, 0.1248, 0.0556, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0307, 0.0886, 0.1119, 0.0991, 0.0915, 0.133, 0.0881, 0.0869, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.1092, 0.1475, 0.1293, 0.1502, 0.1874, 0.2508, 0.2526, 0.2886, 0.365, 0.3436, 0.4019, 0.4879, 0.5421, 0.4144, 0.4017, 0.3531, 0.3838, 0.4856, 0.4856, 0.4594, 0.3872, 0.3414, 0.2978, 0.2978, 0.2188, 0.319, 0.3209, 0.2673, 0.2692, 0.2692, 0.2685, 0.2961, 0.2737, 0.3761, 0.3298, 0.3706, 0.3706, 0.3628, 0.334, 0.3252, 0.3066, 0.2763, 0.2793, 0.2504, 0.2863, 0.3002, 0.233, 0.2604, 0.2153, 0.2029, 0.1621, 0.1271, 0.0557, 0.0814, 0.1438, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.138, 0.1587, 0.1389, 0.0855, 0.0622, -0.0269, -0.0655, -0.0939, -0.0585, -0.0853, -0.1258, -0.1031, -0.1534, -0.1559, -0.2861, -0.259, -0.2027, -0.2266, -0.1967, -0.2351, -0.2759, -0.242, -0.2408, -0.2008, -0.1054, -0.074, -0.1257, -0.1223, -0.1531, -0.1672, -0.1373, -0.0913, -0.1411, -0.2306, -0.2503, -0.287, -0.1253, -0.1889, -0.1892, -0.1891, -0.1834, -0.2238, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.2689, -0.2353, -0.1942, -0.166, -0.0843, -0.0813, -0.0615, -0.0933, -0.0985, -0.077, -0.0994, -0.1151, -0.1123, -0.0847, -0.0415]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1864884062424649907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-06T04:06:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "400 lining up by Dec 20 on my charts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSLA to 400 by Dec 20 based on author's own chart analysis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 Yep. 400 lining up by Dec 20 on my charts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday \ud83d\udcc8\n\n$SPX consolidation day after failing to get through 6100. I'd wait for 6100+ for calls tomorrow- 6110C can work OR if SPX backtests 6071 and holds, calls can also work\n\n$TSLA setting up for a run to 400+ this month. IF TSLA can gap through 372 we", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": -0.050691153908969944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050691153908969944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048798899558583964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030072563680793696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018922543503859801, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020618590228176248, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014644862094215227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014644862094215227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006614214719169009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00464314765002094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051497285097474865, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031786614405994174, "ret_p1w": 0.12078004629306927, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12078004629306927, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12670294960328776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10922515101640107, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005922903310218497, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011554895276668198, "ret_p1m": 0.05608649736344651, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05608649736344651, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0732732818394376, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.080142459538882, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01718678447599109, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024055962175435486, "ret_p3m": -0.28292481057453445, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28292481057453445, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24543349908035672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19276433174373075, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.037491311494177726, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09016047883080369, "ret_p6m": -0.11954678236823835, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11954678236823835, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1009288476567376, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04436250920604867, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01861793471150075, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07518427316218967, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.4139, -0.4096, -0.4083, -0.4173, -0.4145, -0.4163, -0.3733, -0.3879, -0.3577, -0.3467, -0.3397, -0.3468, -0.3308, -0.3278, -0.3371, -0.3602, -0.3817, -0.3575, -0.3812, -0.3718, -0.3807, -0.3865, -0.4404, -0.4369, -0.4359, -0.4313, -0.4325, -0.433, -0.4377, -0.44, -0.4511, -0.3308, -0.3084, -0.3255, -0.3332, -0.3383, -0.3581, -0.3603, -0.3761, -0.354, -0.2587, -0.2372, -0.1747, -0.1008, -0.156, -0.1515, -0.2005, -0.176, -0.1297, -0.111, -0.1212, -0.1274, -0.0942, -0.1301, -0.131, -0.1447, -0.1447, -0.1132, -0.0825, -0.0971, -0.0804, -0.0507, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0302, 0.0913, 0.0742, 0.1208, 0.1896, 0.2329, 0.1308, 0.1206, 0.0818, 0.1063, 0.1877, 0.1877, 0.1668, 0.109, 0.0724, 0.0376, 0.0376, -0.0255, 0.0545, 0.0561, 0.0132, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0142, 0.0362, 0.0183, 0.1002, 0.0632, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0895, 0.0665, 0.0595, 0.0446, 0.0204, 0.0228, -0.0003, 0.0284, 0.0395, -0.0142, 0.0077, -0.0284, -0.0383, -0.0709, -0.0989, -0.156, -0.1354, -0.0855, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0902, -0.0736, -0.0895, -0.1321, -0.1508, -0.222, -0.2529, -0.2756, -0.2473, -0.2687, -0.3011, -0.2829, -0.3231, -0.3251, -0.4292, -0.4076, -0.3626, -0.3816, -0.3577, -0.3885, -0.4211, -0.394, -0.393, -0.361, -0.2847, -0.2597, -0.301, -0.2983, -0.3229, -0.3342, -0.3103, -0.2735, -0.3133, -0.3848, -0.4006, -0.43, -0.3007, -0.3515, -0.3518, -0.3517, -0.3471, -0.3794, -0.3799, -0.3799, -0.4155, -0.3886, -0.3558, -0.3333, -0.2679, -0.2655, -0.2497, -0.2751, -0.2793, -0.2621, -0.2799, -0.2926, -0.2903, -0.2682, -0.2337, -0.182, -0.1417, -0.1067, -0.1192, -0.1008, -0.1211, -0.1166, -0.1403, -0.1238, -0.1282, -0.1282, -0.0676, -0.083, -0.0791, -0.1099, -0.1195]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985148875293012276", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T00:55:48+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PT 1 at ~488 ATH retest *if* price can hold above ~465 (moving target) with a daily candle print. After that, ~525 remains PT 2.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "TSLA targets ~488 ATH retest then ~525 (PT2) contingent on holding ~465; downside support at 414.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Key $TSLA multi-decade fib channel (that's called every single annual top within 0.5% since 2020) suggests PT 1 at ~488 ATH retest *if* price can hold above ~465 (moving target) with a daily candle print. After that, ~525 remains PT 2. These targets line up with the Nov 6 shareholder vote. To the downside, key prior ATH support at 414 w/ fib overlap will continue to be critical.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02521510276429828, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02521510276429828, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02334184120608851, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015924512216006104, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009290590548292177, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05147636612701911, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05147636612701911, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03962282618457158, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034877174306994774, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01659919182002434, "ret_p1w": -0.04940535126523138, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04940535126523138, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04662483250274818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03610953816380913, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01329581310142225, "ret_p1m": -0.08354507182515414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08354507182515414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08089632992590545, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059843688506454384, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023701383318699754, "ret_p3m": -0.11061767000174882, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11061767000174882, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1292771660428288, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11342694306992296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002809273068174134, "ret_p6m": -0.19717319014086154, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19717319014086154, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24459076335359864, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1673392921274054, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02983389801345615, "price_path": [-0.317, -0.3119, -0.2962, -0.2761, -0.2723, -0.2754, -0.2835, -0.2942, -0.2844, -0.2969, -0.3085, -0.3165, -0.2741, -0.26, -0.2492, -0.2536, -0.2613, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.2968, -0.2867, -0.2772, -0.2509, -0.2604, -0.2592, -0.2574, -0.2126, -0.1546, -0.1245, -0.0998, -0.0908, -0.11, -0.0903, -0.0729, -0.0908, -0.0546, -0.096, -0.0597, -0.0537, -0.0505, -0.019, -0.0691, -0.0823, -0.0323, -0.0753, -0.0634, -0.0701, -0.1172, -0.0693, -0.0835, -0.0709, -0.0846, -0.062, -0.0447, -0.055, -0.0628, -0.0414, -0.074, -0.0341, -0.0167, -0.0146, -0.0604, -0.0252, 0.0, -0.0515, -0.0135, -0.048, -0.0829, -0.0494, -0.0614, -0.0806, -0.1417, -0.1367, -0.1269, -0.1433, -0.1375, -0.1562, -0.165, -0.108, -0.1046, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0816, -0.0816, -0.0835, -0.0462, -0.0295, -0.0285, -0.0615, -0.0495, -0.0361, -0.0459, -0.0201, 0.0148, 0.0459, -0.0024, 0.032, 0.0274, 0.0435, 0.0367, 0.0364, 0.0364, 0.0146, -0.0186, -0.0298, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0647, -0.0357, -0.0756, -0.0789, -0.0695, -0.0499, -0.0414, -0.0452, -0.0623, -0.0636, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.1049, -0.0788, -0.0406, -0.0412, -0.0708, -0.08, -0.0788, -0.1106, -0.081, -0.0994, -0.0991, -0.1331, -0.1519, -0.1223, -0.109, -0.0921, -0.0856, -0.1095, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1233, -0.1218, -0.121, -0.1207, -0.1463, -0.1259, -0.1088, -0.1277, -0.1406, -0.1389, -0.1621, -0.1333, -0.1341, -0.153, -0.1488, -0.1476, -0.1293, -0.1566, -0.1648, -0.1555, -0.1475, -0.1614, -0.188, -0.2144, -0.1869, -0.1822, -0.176, -0.2055, -0.2275, -0.2415, -0.2063, -0.186, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2467, -0.2599, -0.2671, -0.2621, -0.255, -0.2476, -0.2224, -0.1632, -0.1697, -0.1447, -0.162, -0.175, -0.1726, -0.2021, -0.1966, -0.1915, -0.1972]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990541327839433136", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T22:03:29+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV can go down to ~42-50 if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CRWV targets $42-50 downside if NVDA earnings fail to refuel AI trade; NVDA earnings are the key catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV can go down to ~42-50 if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade.\n\nI exited calls around $135 before the bullish channel structure broke and Wyckoff confirmation down. \n\nThis downward pressure was visible miles away. https://t.co/vD51xpFwZK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026948078188682834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026948078188682834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005708221090186094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005708221090186094, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": -0.022965661952505156, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022965661952505156, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": -0.07739282741728648, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07739282741728648, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": 0.2704101237495258, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2704101237495258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": 0.43037299058686895, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43037299058686895, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [0.2149, 0.2052, 0.2477, 0.2263, 0.2132, 0.2867, 0.3645, 0.3678, 0.3678, 0.2391, 0.1932, 0.1613, 0.1827, 0.2419, 0.3304, 0.555, 0.496, 0.4863, 0.5992, 0.5764, 0.6044, 0.6114, 0.6575, 0.7686, 0.7376, 0.7709, 0.6814, 0.5975, 0.6264, 0.8167, 0.8193, 0.8319, 0.7893, 0.7768, 0.7102, 0.8582, 0.8994, 0.8376, 0.88, 0.7796, 0.8484, 0.8816, 0.8169, 0.6867, 0.6602, 0.6133, 0.6373, 0.7596, 0.8062, 0.7895, 0.8576, 0.7398, 0.775, 0.6769, 0.5366, 0.5189, 0.4195, 0.3807, 0.402, 0.1734, 0.1341, 0.04, 0.0269, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0054, -0.0812, -0.0489, -0.023, -0.0536, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0293, 0.023, 0.0093, 0.0535, 0.1383, 0.1722, 0.1448, 0.2035, 0.1703, 0.16, 0.0433, -0.0396, -0.0774, -0.1431, -0.1016, 0.1018, 0.1261, 0.0654, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0145, -0.0054, -0.019, -0.0494, -0.0494, 0.053, 0.0203, 0.0346, 0.0246, 0.0234, 0.0639, 0.1938, 0.1613, 0.1921, 0.2613, 0.3438, 0.3438, 0.264, 0.2485, 0.2185, 0.2343, 0.3051, 0.4451, 0.4074, 0.3213, 0.2371, 0.1807, 0.1955, 0.0947, -0.009, 0.1941, 0.2849, 0.2626, 0.2631, 0.2704, 0.2749, 0.2749, 0.208, 0.2671, 0.2895, 0.1848, 0.2059, 0.3182, 0.3011, 0.296, 0.0562, 0.0361, -0.0206, 0.0554, -0.0068, -0.0311, -0.0122, -0.0054, 0.088, 0.0601, 0.0767, 0.1398, 0.0901, 0.0994, 0.0708, 0.0815, 0.088, 0.1021, 0.1626, 0.068, -0.0069, -0.082, 0.0284, 0.0413, 0.0917, 0.0917, 0.0745, 0.1316, 0.1801, 0.2213, 0.354, 0.4638, 0.5558, 0.5756, 0.5871, 0.5512, 0.5589, 0.5287, 0.6267, 0.5587, 0.4621, 0.4876, 0.4009, 0.5159, 0.4815, 0.5798, 0.6651, 0.6977, 0.8317, 0.7103, 0.5153, 0.5226, 0.4304]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990541327839433136", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-17T22:03:29+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CRWV targets $42-50 downside if NVDA earnings fail to refuel AI trade; NVDA earnings are the key catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV can go down to ~42-50 if $NVDA earnings doesn't refuel the AI trade.\n\nI exited calls around $135 before the bullish channel structure broke and Wyckoff confirmation down. \n\nThis downward pressure was visible miles away. https://t.co/vD51xpFwZK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01913176462410071, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01913176462410071, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009727719030114157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0053790614011033355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013752703222997376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028081462747415187, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028081462747415187, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019683909977314507, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007482093889263797, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02059936885815139, "ret_p1w": -0.021704126091018905, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021704126091018905, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026300981222813657, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018236624138941115, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0034675019520777894, "ret_p1m": -0.04753536547217685, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04753536547217685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06736507223466526, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08174053694917105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0342051714769942, "ret_p3m": 0.0018778713042340023, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0018778713042340023, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.024581409583154246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19522369791446703, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19710156921870103, "ret_p6m": 0.18330246755822355, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18330246755822355, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06806037629574302, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4711095881866425, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.654412055744866, "price_path": [-0.0601, -0.0623, -0.0462, -0.0364, -0.0259, -0.0269, -0.0345, -0.0666, -0.0666, -0.0848, -0.0857, -0.0801, -0.105, -0.0981, -0.0849, -0.0497, -0.0505, -0.0471, -0.0474, -0.0628, -0.0874, -0.0555, -0.0532, -0.016, -0.0438, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.0451, -0.0255, -0.0001, 0.0034, 0.0123, 0.0055, -0.0057, -0.0084, 0.0135, 0.032, -0.0184, 0.0092, -0.0352, -0.0363, -0.0257, -0.0181, -0.0212, -0.0292, -0.0339, -0.0238, -0.0018, 0.0262, 0.0773, 0.1095, 0.0873, 0.0852, 0.1087, 0.0648, 0.0461, 0.0079, 0.0083, 0.0667, 0.0352, 0.0386, 0.0014, 0.0191, 0.0, -0.0281, -0.0004, -0.0319, -0.0414, -0.0217, -0.0471, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0514, -0.0358, -0.0275, -0.0376, -0.0172, -0.0224, -0.0056, -0.0087, -0.0151, -0.0303, -0.062, -0.0552, -0.0475, -0.0839, -0.0667, -0.03, -0.0155, 0.014, 0.0108, 0.0108, 0.0211, 0.0087, 0.0051, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0121, 0.0082, 0.0035, 0.0135, -0.0083, -0.0093, -0.0088, -0.0042, -0.0185, 0.0025, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0457, -0.0175, -0.0094, 0.0058, -0.0006, 0.0103, 0.0264, 0.0317, 0.0243, -0.0053, -0.0335, -0.0665, -0.0788, -0.0063, 0.0185, 0.0105, 0.0185, 0.0019, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0087, 0.0075, 0.007, 0.0173, 0.0266, 0.0336, 0.0481, -0.0091, -0.0504, -0.022, -0.035, -0.019, -0.0174, -0.047, -0.0211, -0.0098, -0.0029, -0.0184, -0.0339, -0.018, -0.0249, -0.0331, -0.043, -0.0744, -0.0586, -0.061, -0.0423, -0.0822, -0.1022, -0.1147, -0.0653, -0.058, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0479, -0.0454, -0.0241, -0.0143, 0.011, 0.0146, 0.0532, 0.0659, 0.0631, 0.0809, 0.083, 0.0713, 0.0853, 0.07, 0.1163, 0.161, 0.1425, 0.1215, 0.0696, 0.0636, 0.0638, 0.0532, 0.1139, 0.1336, 0.1534, 0.1761, 0.1833]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991581486009712739", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T18:56:42+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$QQQ can find support around $585", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "QQQ finds support around $585 after market correction/overextension.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been saying for weeks the market can correct - and it should. Still don't think there's an AI 'bubble' but there is market over extension and too much easy money being made.\n\n$QQQ can find support around $585 https://t.co/r6GijXxxN9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024245755574457073, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024245755574457073, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008767588086538769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008767588086538769, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00751285026821602, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00751285026821602, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024483727084168017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024483727084168017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "ret_p1w": 0.04883305658297221, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04883305658297221, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007225786497834452, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007225786497834452, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "ret_p1m": 0.05357979630769427, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05357979630769427, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007495982173261417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007495982173261417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "ret_p3m": 0.02801017343591461, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02801017343591461, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02154722365145334, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02154722365145334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "ret_p6m": 0.2135477042013849, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2135477042013849, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07432227387914869, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07432227387914869, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "price_path": [-0.0273, -0.0234, -0.0219, -0.0158, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0354, -0.0278, -0.019, -0.0175, -0.0128, -0.01, -0.0096, -0.0039, 0.0005, 0.0091, 0.0082, 0.0062, 0.0153, 0.0222, 0.0282, 0.0214, 0.0178, 0.0134, 0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.0343, 0.0299, 0.0376, 0.0322, 0.044, 0.0427, 0.0065, 0.0279, 0.0211, 0.0283, 0.0245, 0.0312, 0.0442, 0.0439, 0.0338, 0.0425, 0.0537, 0.0724, 0.0807, 0.0855, 0.0689, 0.0741, 0.0792, 0.0573, 0.0642, 0.0444, 0.0411, 0.0641, 0.0613, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0396, 0.0307, 0.0182, 0.0242, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0333, 0.0396, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.0573, 0.0538, 0.062, 0.0646, 0.0636, 0.068, 0.0659, 0.0672, 0.0716, 0.0681, 0.0477, 0.0425, 0.0445, 0.0252, 0.04, 0.0536, 0.0586, 0.0636, 0.0667, 0.0667, 0.0666, 0.0615, 0.059, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0482, 0.0565, 0.0658, 0.0669, 0.0608, 0.0713, 0.0722, 0.0706, 0.0592, 0.063, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.0396, 0.0536, 0.0613, 0.0646, 0.0693, 0.079, 0.0826, 0.0761, 0.0632, 0.0705, 0.054, 0.0356, 0.0207, 0.0423, 0.0503, 0.0454, 0.0482, 0.0269, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.028, 0.0357, 0.0317, 0.0408, 0.0282, 0.0392, 0.0543, 0.0416, 0.0383, 0.0396, 0.0285, 0.0442, 0.041, 0.0254, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.0389, 0.0211, 0.0151, 0.0264, 0.0314, 0.0171, 0.0139, -0.0049, 0.0065, -0.0003, 0.0062, -0.0178, -0.037, -0.0443, -0.012, 0.0002, 0.0014, 0.0014, 0.0074, 0.0075, 0.0375, 0.0445, 0.046, 0.0568, 0.076, 0.0911, 0.0964, 0.1107, 0.1072, 0.103, 0.1214, 0.1151, 0.1364, 0.137, 0.1256, 0.1325, 0.143, 0.154, 0.1518, 0.1668, 0.191, 0.1896, 0.2175, 0.221, 0.2107, 0.2234, 0.2321, 0.2135]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988633354766586130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T15:41:53+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have significant allocation to the stock and LEAPs.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Significantly long ONON via stock and LEAPs; ONON taking share from NKE/LULU with Rule-of-40 score of 49-57, no comparable public consumer brand above $10B cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ONON (20%+ today) is executing like a SaaS tech name in sneakers.\n\nAt ~$11b market cap prior to today, lots of attention was given to $LULU and it's justified sell off due to reduced growth and profitability. As a byproduct, $ONON sell off was exacerbated. Today's earnings confirmed this.\n\nTheir shoe line is flat out dominating. Beyond taking market-share from $NKE $LULU etc., the company is fast growing its DTC and apparel line (which IMO is better than Vuori, $LULU and Alo). \n\nWe can take a SaaS-lens and apply the Rule of 40. *No* other public consumer brand above $10b market cap has a score above 40. $ONON is 49-57 depending on how you look at it.\n\nI have significant allocation to the stock and LEAPs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1524933334693428, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1524933334693428, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15193715449792, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.159259734908886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006766401439543213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021440694780370917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021440694780370917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0380347147605975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04640497082312611, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024964276042755196, "ret_p1w": 0.043122163042796036, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043122163042796036, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07348601385281694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09956498533135183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.056442822288555794, "ret_p1m": 0.19248378707647418, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19248378707647418, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.184011309447363, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18231322763486113, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010170559441613047, "ret_p3m": 0.06817638991776676, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06817638991776676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049708589329844566, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07815405222338712, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00997766230562036, "ret_p6m": -0.14117073073005737, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14117073073005737, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2177980370157151, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15284480616622953, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01167407543617216, "price_path": [0.0923, 0.0894, 0.0848, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.1217, 0.0983, 0.0884, 0.0884, 0.0742, 0.086, 0.086, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.1094, 0.0966, 0.0889, 0.0694, 0.0323, 0.0431, 0.0332, 0.0279, 0.0364, 0.0561, 0.0838, 0.0896, 0.0983, 0.1048, 0.1024, 0.0581, 0.0231, 0.0501, 0.0202, -0.0132, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0255, 0.0048, 0.0508, 0.0431, 0.0084, 0.0352, 0.0161, -0.0017, 0.0113, 0.0075, -0.001, 0.0337, 0.0183, 0.0414, 0.0046, 0.0169, -0.0082, -0.0535, -0.1031, -0.105, -0.1217, -0.1279, -0.1308, -0.1445, -0.1568, -0.1578, -0.1525, 0.0, 0.0214, 0.0214, -0.0026, 0.0277, 0.0431, -0.0022, -0.0055, -0.0173, 0.006, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0597, 0.0764, 0.0877, 0.1339, 0.1205, 0.1597, 0.1327, 0.1397, 0.1737, 0.1925, 0.1747, 0.1513, 0.1633, 0.1588, 0.1674, 0.1701, 0.1597, 0.1537, 0.12, 0.12, 0.127, 0.1433, 0.1431, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1311, 0.1804, 0.1814, 0.1722, 0.2197, 0.1833, 0.1783, 0.1385, 0.0858, 0.1082, 0.0853, 0.0853, 0.0629, 0.1154, 0.1231, 0.1072, 0.1195, 0.0966, 0.0807, 0.0846, 0.0901, 0.1067, 0.0631, 0.0569, 0.034, 0.0472, 0.0682, 0.0913, 0.0911, 0.0665, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.1241, 0.1402, 0.1568, 0.1906, 0.1429, 0.1272, 0.1238, 0.1467, 0.1197, 0.1265, 0.0578, 0.0414, 0.0448, -0.0012, -0.0079, -0.0118, -0.0499, -0.0855, -0.0848, -0.0544, -0.0414, -0.0593, -0.0636, -0.0927, -0.0397, -0.0463, -0.153, -0.2265, -0.2197, -0.232, -0.1804, -0.1624, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.1889, -0.224, -0.1855, -0.1703, -0.1918, -0.1763, -0.1429, -0.1465, -0.1467, -0.1099, -0.1026, -0.1152, -0.1183, -0.1274, -0.1267, -0.1344, -0.1465, -0.1489, -0.1421, -0.1679, -0.1739, -0.1667, -0.1313, -0.1412]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854181472372207939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-06T15:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you have yourself a record delivery vol for 2025 and Musk's 10%+ growth projection looks more realistic", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long TSLA: EV credit phase-out + new Model Y drive record 2025 deliveries; 10%+ growth projection increasingly credible.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt We know the EV tax credits will be tapered out - next few Q's have a demand tailwind due to this. Factor in new Model Y, you have yourself a record delivery vol for 2025 and Musk's 10%+ growth projection looks more realistic", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Dan Ives on Trump winning: \u201cIt\u2019s a dream scenario for any Tesla bull. We could now be talking about a $1.5 trillion market cap for Tesla; He will fast track autonomous regulation. Musk will have a big voice in a Trump administration; Tesla is the most undervalued AI name on the https://t.co/AcMbEWSRf0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10428575355130221, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09755763596775924, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024262392204112304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030990509787655274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021311730569032017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01619881418204172, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007732060087975334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01284497647496563, "ret_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1341550125594253, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1017755394832629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010405316111920415, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04278478918808282, "ret_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2541669923998833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19187355727871092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026427718020527013, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08872115314169937, "ret_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31498441785072373, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23372800972762509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014790629108142994, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09604703723124164, "ret_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021312790973026186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020691987822314073, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04907423622833229, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04845343307762018, "price_path": [-0.3068, -0.3155, -0.2797, -0.302, -0.2578, -0.251, -0.2281, -0.2337, -0.2262, -0.2699, -0.2364, -0.261, -0.2749, -0.2869, -0.2851, -0.2579, -0.2579, -0.2701, -0.2396, -0.2023, -0.2696, -0.2504, -0.2161, -0.2093, -0.2035, -0.2019, -0.214, -0.2102, -0.2126, -0.1546, -0.1743, -0.1335, -0.1187, -0.1092, -0.1189, -0.0973, -0.0932, -0.1057, -0.1369, -0.1659, -0.1333, -0.1653, -0.1526, -0.1646, -0.1725, -0.2451, -0.2404, -0.239, -0.2329, -0.2344, -0.2351, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2595, -0.0972, -0.067, -0.0902, -0.1005, -0.1074, -0.1341, -0.1371, -0.1584, -0.1285, 0.0, 0.029, 0.1133, 0.213, 0.1385, 0.1446, 0.0785, 0.1116, 0.174, 0.1992, 0.1854, 0.1771, 0.2219, 0.1735, 0.1723, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1963, 0.2376, 0.218, 0.2405, 0.2806, 0.349, 0.351, 0.3898, 0.4722, 0.4491, 0.5119, 0.6048, 0.6631, 0.5254, 0.5117, 0.4593, 0.4924, 0.6022, 0.6022, 0.5739, 0.4961, 0.4467, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3145, 0.4225, 0.4246, 0.3668, 0.3688, 0.3688, 0.3681, 0.3978, 0.3737, 0.4841, 0.4342, 0.4782, 0.4782, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4292, 0.4091, 0.3765, 0.3797, 0.3486, 0.3873, 0.4023, 0.3298, 0.3593, 0.3107, 0.2973, 0.2533, 0.2156, 0.1385, 0.1663, 0.2336, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2273, 0.2496, 0.2283, 0.1708, 0.1456, 0.0495, 0.0079, -0.0228, 0.0154, -0.0134, -0.0572, -0.0327, -0.0869, -0.0896, -0.2301, -0.2008, -0.1402, -0.1658, -0.1336, -0.1751, -0.2191, -0.1825, -0.1812, -0.138, -0.0351, -0.0014, -0.0571, -0.0534, -0.0866, -0.1018, -0.0696, -0.02, -0.0736, -0.1702, -0.1915, -0.2311, -0.0566, -0.1252, -0.1255, -0.1254, -0.1193, -0.1628, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.2115, -0.1752, -0.131, -0.1006, -0.0124, -0.0092, 0.0121, -0.0221, -0.0278]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921088870776533369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-10T06:24:13+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a rectangle + bull flag break out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "TSLA rectangle + bull flag breakout signals continued upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider This is a rectangle + bull flag break out", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA bulls secured the close above the breakout level. \u2705 https://t.co/BAmZSaf4Xa", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": -0.06319490799867644, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06319490799867644, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031204699333455266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015847055000672294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.031990208665221176, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04734785299800415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.049280740626853614, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049280740626853614, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04267679961036941, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03605541940372037, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006603941016484205, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013225321223133246, "ret_p1w": 0.07447073023258843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07447073023258843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05412721601765935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052397065357686845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034351421492908, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02207366487490159, "ret_p1m": 0.0242163180376731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0242163180376731, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010244067846641336, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005578496229135643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03446038588431444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018637821808537458, "ret_p3m": 0.012218054121492905, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012218054121492905, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0754834558771813, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.041412859736615015, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770150999867421, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05363091385810792, "ret_p6m": 0.3953766032799255, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3953766032799255, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2304957948636812, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27010097471868644, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648808084162443, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12527562856123908, "price_path": [0.0569, 0.118, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1122, 0.1325, 0.1131, 0.061, 0.0382, -0.0489, -0.0866, -0.1144, -0.0798, -0.1059, -0.1455, -0.1234, -0.1725, -0.175, -0.3022, -0.2758, -0.2208, -0.244, -0.2148, -0.2524, -0.2923, -0.2592, -0.2579, -0.2188, -0.1256, -0.095, -0.1455, -0.1421, -0.1722, -0.186, -0.1568, -0.1119, -0.1605, -0.248, -0.2673, -0.3032, -0.145, -0.2072, -0.2075, -0.2074, -0.2019, -0.2413, -0.2419, -0.2419, -0.2854, -0.2526, -0.2125, -0.1849, -0.105, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1138, -0.1189, -0.0979, -0.1197, -0.1352, -0.1324, -0.1054, -0.0632, 0.0, 0.0493, 0.092, 0.0768, 0.0993, 0.0745, 0.0799, 0.051, 0.0712, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.1398, 0.121, 0.1258, 0.0882, 0.0764, 0.0813, 0.0429, -0.1058, -0.073, -0.0308, 0.0242, 0.0253, 0.0023, 0.0218, 0.0338, -0.0064, 0.0115, 0.0115, 0.0119, 0.0952, 0.0694, 0.0288, 0.0232, 0.0165, -0.0023, -0.0555, -0.0086, -0.0095, -0.0095, -0.0768, -0.0646, -0.0707, -0.0267, -0.0153, -0.0046, -0.0239, 0.0103, 0.0032, 0.0354, 0.0318, 0.0431, 0.0445, -0.0411, -0.0073, 0.0226, 0.0089, 0.0021, -0.0318, -0.0495, -0.0286, -0.0303, 0.0048, 0.0122, 0.0354, 0.0649, 0.0705, 0.066, 0.054, 0.0383, 0.0527, 0.0343, 0.0173, 0.0054, 0.0679, 0.0886, 0.1046, 0.0981, 0.0867, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0345, 0.0493, 0.0633, 0.102, 0.088, 0.0898, 0.0924, 0.1584, 0.2436, 0.2879, 0.3243, 0.3376, 0.3093, 0.3382, 0.3638, 0.3376, 0.3908, 0.3298, 0.3833, 0.3921, 0.3968, 0.4431, 0.3694, 0.3501, 0.4236, 0.3603, 0.3779, 0.368, 0.2987, 0.3691, 0.3482, 0.3668, 0.3467, 0.3798, 0.4053, 0.3902, 0.3788, 0.4102, 0.3623, 0.421, 0.4465, 0.4496, 0.3823, 0.434, 0.4711, 0.3954]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988355379206705403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T21:17:18+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Key $CRWV fib IPO fib chan (that called both tops at 185 and $150 and the Sept low at $86) is suggesting a retest at ~78. If this fails to hold, ~65 is the next support target", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Technical setup on CRWV points to retest of ~$78; if that fails, next support at ~$65.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Key $CRWV fib IPO fib chan (that called both tops at 185 and $150 and the Sept low at $86) is suggesting a retest at ~78. If this fails to hold, ~65 is the next support target. Will continue to monitor how price handles $92 key 0.618 fib level.\n\nYesterday, saw an overwhelming amount of bullish posts on $CRWV to rally post-earnings from 'traders' who lack fundamental understandings. Technical analysis is in the back seat during earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.19481843352880257, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19481843352880257, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.19710244486527817, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.19710244486527817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03348794099911834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03348794099911834, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03404442947773079, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03404442947773079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "ret_p1w": -0.15261905144157495, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15261905144157495, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11906123240548094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11906123240548094, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "ret_p1m": -0.002602055991936081, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002602055991936081, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009293218816492588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009293218816492588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "ret_p3m": 0.01764902782402822, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01764902782402822, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0035044962984436268, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0035044962984436268, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "ret_p6m": 0.5610362787681864, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5610362787681864, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4804967941041982, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4804967941041982, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "price_path": [0.1257, 0.131, 0.0951, 0.0509, 0.0354, 0.0272, 0.0634, 0.0451, 0.0339, 0.0966, 0.1629, 0.1657, 0.1657, 0.056, 0.0169, -0.0103, 0.0079, 0.0584, 0.1338, 0.3253, 0.2749, 0.2667, 0.3629, 0.3435, 0.3673, 0.3733, 0.4126, 0.5073, 0.4808, 0.5092, 0.433, 0.3615, 0.3861, 0.5483, 0.5505, 0.5613, 0.5249, 0.5143, 0.4575, 0.5837, 0.6187, 0.5661, 0.6022, 0.5167, 0.5753, 0.6036, 0.5485, 0.4375, 0.4149, 0.3749, 0.3954, 0.4996, 0.5393, 0.5251, 0.5831, 0.4827, 0.5127, 0.4291, 0.3095, 0.2945, 0.2098, 0.1767, 0.1948, 0.0, -0.0335, -0.1137, -0.1248, -0.1478, -0.1526, -0.1524, -0.217, -0.1894, -0.1673, -0.1935, -0.1595, -0.1595, -0.1728, -0.1282, -0.1398, -0.1022, -0.0299, -0.001, -0.0243, 0.0257, -0.0026, -0.0114, -0.1109, -0.1815, -0.2137, -0.2697, -0.2343, -0.061, -0.0403, -0.092, -0.1077, -0.1077, -0.1354, -0.1524, -0.1639, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.1026, -0.1304, -0.1182, -0.1268, -0.1278, -0.0933, 0.0174, -0.0103, 0.016, 0.0749, 0.1453, 0.1453, 0.0773, 0.064, 0.0385, 0.0519, 0.1122, 0.2316, 0.1995, 0.126, 0.0543, 0.0062, 0.0189, -0.0671, -0.1554, 0.0176, 0.095, 0.076, 0.0765, 0.0827, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0295, 0.0799, 0.099, 0.0097, 0.0277, 0.1234, 0.1088, 0.1045, -0.0999, -0.117, -0.1653, -0.1006, -0.1535, -0.1742, -0.1582, -0.1524, -0.0727, -0.0965, -0.0824, -0.0286, -0.0709, -0.063, -0.0875, -0.0783, -0.0727, -0.0608, -0.0092, -0.0898, -0.1536, -0.2177, -0.1235, -0.1126, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0843, -0.0356, 0.0058, 0.0408, 0.154, 0.2475, 0.3259, 0.3428, 0.3526, 0.322, 0.3285, 0.3029, 0.3864, 0.3284, 0.2461, 0.2678, 0.1939, 0.2919, 0.2626, 0.3464, 0.4191, 0.4469, 0.561]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821625144240173291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-08T19:10:53+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~109-110 is the target for $NVDA and $120-125 for next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Pattern-based target of ~109-110 near-term and $120-125 for NVDA next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If this pattern holds (which it has for over a 1.5 months) then ~109-110 is the target for $NVDA and $120-125 for next week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Uncanny forecasting update https://t.co/hxPNOvgjYV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.057730815386303536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057730815386303536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035135662602800544, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0020264184799911877, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.022595152783502992, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05975723386629472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020958410622108348, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020958410622108348, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006505358865520061, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018290448094437917, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004409517803309226, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002667962527670431, "ret_p1w": 0.17042964741775313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17042964741775313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1281798033192867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07501372381704408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04224984409846644, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09541592360070905, "ret_p1m": -0.02038663911866767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02038663911866767, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03868472285100333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02367541483241531, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018298083732335657, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04406205395108298, "ret_p3m": 0.3329710586760599, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3329710586760599, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24285738854843797, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22892947482639991, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09011367012762195, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10404158384966, "ret_p6m": 0.14402730018047571, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14402730018047571, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0026014147713324665, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.056037581577038864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14142588540914325, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08798971860343685, "price_path": [-0.1389, -0.1298, -0.0986, -0.1012, -0.1191, -0.0971, -0.0914, -0.0955, -0.0112, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.085, 0.0938, 0.0526, 0.0443, 0.0955, 0.1091, 0.1663, 0.1526, 0.1515, 0.1601, 0.1519, 0.1927, 0.2347, 0.2564, 0.2478, 0.2916, 0.2916, 0.2459, 0.2058, 0.1252, 0.2012, 0.2042, 0.1812, 0.1769, 0.1841, 0.1686, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.1987, 0.2213, 0.2516, 0.2852, 0.2137, 0.2312, 0.2236, 0.2038, 0.124, 0.1536, 0.1235, 0.1769, 0.1679, 0.0884, 0.0696, 0.0771, 0.0631, -0.0118, 0.1148, 0.0404, 0.0219, -0.0431, -0.0069, -0.0577, 0.0, -0.0021, 0.0386, 0.1064, 0.1249, 0.1704, 0.1868, 0.2384, 0.2123, 0.2242, 0.1788, 0.2324, 0.2047, 0.2223, 0.1966, 0.1202, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.0289, 0.0118, 0.0213, -0.0204, 0.0143, 0.0298, 0.1137, 0.1351, 0.1347, 0.1126, 0.1013, 0.0801, 0.123, 0.1052, 0.1076, 0.1516, 0.1767, 0.1818, 0.1566, 0.157, 0.1147, 0.1323, 0.1704, 0.1902, 0.2168, 0.2661, 0.2638, 0.2844, 0.2843, 0.3154, 0.2538, 0.2931, 0.3046, 0.3148, 0.3692, 0.368, 0.3296, 0.3377, 0.3485, 0.3388, 0.3457, 0.3275, 0.2649, 0.29, 0.2962, 0.333, 0.3873, 0.4184, 0.4065, 0.3839, 0.4128, 0.3936, 0.3982, 0.3527, 0.3353, 0.4006, 0.3899, 0.3974, 0.3524, 0.2959, 0.3045, 0.2894, 0.2894, 0.3172, 0.3208, 0.3363, 0.3828, 0.3821, 0.3572, 0.3226, 0.2869, 0.3273, 0.3086, 0.2791, 0.2577, 0.2424, 0.2283, 0.2451, 0.2834, 0.3308, 0.336, 0.336, 0.3333, 0.3054, 0.31, 0.2795, 0.2795, 0.3178, 0.3765, 0.4238, 0.3353, 0.335, 0.335, 0.295, 0.2694, 0.2554, 0.2981, 0.2727, 0.3121, 0.3121, 0.3418, 0.4013, 0.4027, 0.3589, 0.1283, 0.229, 0.1786, 0.1877, 0.144]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1861157690204135527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-25T21:19:06+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Trimmed TSLA (bearish EOY $400 odds), rotated into NVDA; next NVDA add target ~$126.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.\n\nRemaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I said last week that this week's trading range is 330-365 this week. $TSLA did 330-361.50 \ud83c\udfaf https://t.co/izhtHrmCyn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": 0.043596594780214604, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043596594780214604, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04697707200436363, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03965671924196945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033804772241490255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003939875538245152, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006616559714401005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006616559714401005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0013950782539458029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01580972883009768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221481460455202, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009193169115696675, "ret_p1w": 0.01918833740167547, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01918833740167547, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008979633067933257, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019102271891435763, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208704333742213, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017278110212531894, "ret_p1m": 0.03094884078901794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03094884078901794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021252531625077786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005265998967166841, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696309163940153, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03621483975618478, "ret_p3m": 0.030140147663369588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030140147663369588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005196858932746462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03258086381995229, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943288730623125, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06272101148332188, "ret_p6m": -0.011898091199172067, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011898091199172067, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010399792823188148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.024080081370746798, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0014982983759839197, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01218199017157473, "price_path": [-0.0766, -0.1356, -0.1225, -0.1225, -0.2061, -0.2192, -0.2119, -0.2441, -0.2173, -0.2053, -0.1406, -0.1241, -0.1244, -0.1414, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.1334, -0.1472, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.092, -0.0881, -0.1075, -0.1072, -0.1398, -0.1262, -0.0968, -0.0816, -0.061, -0.023, -0.0248, -0.0089, -0.009, 0.0151, -0.0325, -0.0022, 0.0067, 0.0146, 0.0565, 0.0557, 0.026, 0.0323, 0.0406, 0.0331, 0.0385, 0.0244, -0.024, -0.0046, 0.0002, 0.0286, 0.0705, 0.0945, 0.0854, 0.0679, 0.0902, 0.0754, 0.079, 0.0438, 0.0304, 0.0808, 0.0726, 0.0783, 0.0436, 0.0, 0.0066, -0.005, -0.005, 0.0164, 0.0192, 0.0312, 0.067, 0.0665, 0.0473, 0.0206, -0.0069, 0.0243, 0.0098, -0.0129, -0.0295, -0.0413, -0.0522, -0.0392, -0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0288, 0.0073, 0.0109, -0.0127, -0.0127, 0.0169, 0.0622, 0.0987, 0.0304, 0.0301, 0.0301, -0.0007, -0.0204, -0.0313, 0.0017, -0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0354, 0.0813, 0.0824, 0.0486, -0.1293, -0.0516, -0.0905, -0.0835, -0.1172, -0.1423, -0.1276, -0.0822, -0.0539, -0.0454, -0.0179, -0.0236, -0.0358, -0.0053, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0249, 0.0237, 0.0301, -0.0116, -0.0421, -0.069, -0.0348, -0.1166, -0.0815, -0.1614, -0.1472, -0.1376, -0.187, -0.1715, -0.2134, -0.2004, -0.149, -0.1501, -0.1054, -0.1211, -0.1512, -0.1359, -0.1284, -0.1345, -0.1073, -0.1126, -0.1635, -0.1807, -0.1936, -0.2031, -0.1901, -0.1881, -0.2515, -0.3065, -0.282, -0.2919, -0.1593, -0.209, -0.1843, -0.1859, -0.175, -0.2317, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2874, -0.2729, -0.2448, -0.2174, -0.1837, -0.2005, -0.1984, -0.1991, -0.1793, -0.1581, -0.1631, -0.1651, -0.1393, -0.137, -0.1423, -0.0956, -0.0446, -0.0048, -0.0086, -0.0044, -0.0031, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1815484295525580820", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-22T20:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Re-entered my QQQ puts (-30% less than what I sold for) and plan to buy more around 487 if we form a head/shoulders setup", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Re-entered QQQ puts with plan to add more near 487 on a potential head/shoulders formation.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Re-entered my QQQ puts (-30% less than what I sold for) and plan to buy more around 487 if we form a head/shoulders setup", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Closing $QQQ puts (pt hit at 478 fib chan + 4h ichi cloud)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.014679054001192071, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014679054001192071, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004474339493425794, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004474339493425794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010204714507766277, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010204714507766277, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035246283630397945, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0035246283630397945, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001956107013509234, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001956107013509234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015685213495305605, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015685213495305605, "ret_p1w": -0.03819043531025168, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03819043531025168, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020359291352575637, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020359291352575637, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017831143957676043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017831143957676043, "ret_p1m": -0.004270964650828435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004270964650828435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01157279107933451, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01157279107933451, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007301826428506075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007301826428506075, "ret_p3m": 0.019945942669800543, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019945942669800543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03321591996952655, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03321591996952655, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053161862639327095, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053161862639327095, "ret_p6m": 0.050351067367547575, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.050351067367547575, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.006064915280741268, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.006064915280741268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05641598264828884, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05641598264828884, "price_path": [-0.1171, -0.1214, -0.1078, -0.1042, -0.1211, -0.1274, -0.1163, -0.0985, -0.0887, -0.0885, -0.0891, -0.0871, -0.0849, -0.0828, -0.0769, -0.0625, -0.0644, -0.0648, -0.0583, -0.0565, -0.0567, -0.0609, -0.052, -0.052, -0.0485, -0.0552, -0.0653, -0.067, -0.062, -0.0594, -0.0405, -0.0408, -0.0417, -0.0378, -0.0312, -0.0185, -0.0132, -0.0081, 0.0041, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0033, -0.006, -0.0173, -0.0061, -0.004, -0.0015, -0.0067, -0.0008, 0.0097, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0287, 0.0311, 0.032, 0.0428, 0.0199, 0.0259, 0.0287, 0.0291, -0.0011, -0.0059, -0.0147, 0.0, -0.0035, -0.0393, -0.0499, -0.0401, -0.0382, -0.0514, -0.0233, -0.047, -0.0696, -0.0973, -0.0887, -0.0986, -0.071, -0.0662, -0.0641, -0.0409, -0.0406, -0.0164, -0.0151, -0.0022, -0.0043, 0.0004, -0.0155, -0.0048, -0.0145, -0.0115, -0.0227, -0.0242, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0425, -0.045, -0.0441, -0.0697, -0.0578, -0.0491, -0.0284, -0.0189, -0.0145, -0.0188, -0.0183, -0.0226, 0.0022, 0.0002, 0.0029, 0.0077, 0.0087, 0.0163, 0.0106, 0.0133, -0.0008, 0.0006, -0.0001, 0.0118, 0.0009, 0.0159, 0.0239, 0.0227, 0.0243, 0.0329, 0.0191, 0.0192, 0.0199, 0.0266, 0.0286, 0.0297, 0.0139, 0.0222, 0.0284, 0.0286, 0.0384, 0.0306, 0.0046, 0.012, 0.0091, 0.0219, 0.0497, 0.0662, 0.0675, 0.0668, 0.0649, 0.0635, 0.0562, 0.031, 0.0382, 0.0453, 0.0447, 0.0485, 0.0501, 0.0518, 0.0574, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0583, 0.0699, 0.0731, 0.0864, 0.0834, 0.0931, 0.0846, 0.0809, 0.1002, 0.0931, 0.1015, 0.1174, 0.1124, 0.0723, 0.0675, 0.0769, 0.0873, 0.1021, 0.1021, 0.1013, 0.0867, 0.0722, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0611, 0.0784, 0.0908, 0.0714, 0.0715, 0.0715, 0.0547, 0.0513, 0.0504]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1866531464957071430", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-10T17:12:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still long $TSLA (over 50% portfolio) with stock/LEAPs but hedged with short term covered calls for ~425 breakeven. I think $TSLA hits by $420 Thurs/Fri this week and has a tough time remaining above 420-430 until EOY", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still long TSLA via stock/LEAPs (>50% portfolio); expects $420 by Thurs/Fri but resistance above 420-430 through EOY.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$400 and $407 targets hit today. Closed my Dec 20 350c's (grabbed Nov 29 at 340 spot) for ~4x ROI. 15 for 15 for large TSLA trades in 2024 \ud83c\udfaf\n\nI'm still long $TSLA (over 50% portfolio) with stock/LEAPs but hedged with short term covered calls for ~425 breakeven. I think $TSLA hits by $420 Thurs/Fri this week and has a tough time remaining above 420-430 until EOY. \n\nOf course CPI tmr can ruin those plans but I think it's unlikely to derail.\n\n---\n\nThis aged well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027930826110913243, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027930826110913243, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031049538685254285, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02629605910426447, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031187125743410427, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001634767006648774, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05930322291934931, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05930322291934931, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051572662205563, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041750200511481594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007730560713786305, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017553022407867713, "ret_p1w": 0.1966881893263437, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1966881893263437, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19421632694918567, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16661593465871927, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024718623771580184, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03007225466762442, "ret_p1m": -0.015087627971542616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015087627971542616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0037013295246483002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02366365545317095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018788957496190917, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03875128342471357, "ret_p3m": -0.3449462085719244, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3449462085719244, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3035698523483463, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23145357436289093, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04137635622357805, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11349263420903344, "ret_p6m": -0.17192449717039426, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17192449717039426, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16683895185022046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10063627843427458, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005085545320173801, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07128821873611968, "price_path": [-0.4269, -0.4257, -0.4344, -0.4317, -0.4334, -0.3917, -0.4058, -0.3765, -0.3659, -0.359, -0.366, -0.3505, -0.3475, -0.3565, -0.379, -0.3998, -0.3763, -0.3994, -0.3903, -0.3989, -0.4045, -0.4568, -0.4535, -0.4524, -0.448, -0.4491, -0.4496, -0.4542, -0.4564, -0.4672, -0.3504, -0.3287, -0.3453, -0.3528, -0.3577, -0.3769, -0.3791, -0.3944, -0.373, -0.2805, -0.2596, -0.1989, -0.1272, -0.1808, -0.1764, -0.224, -0.2002, -0.1552, -0.1371, -0.147, -0.153, -0.1208, -0.1556, -0.1565, -0.1698, -0.1698, -0.1392, -0.1095, -0.1236, -0.1074, -0.0786, -0.0294, -0.0279, 0.0, 0.0593, 0.0427, 0.0879, 0.1547, 0.1967, 0.0976, 0.0877, 0.0501, 0.0738, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1325, 0.0765, 0.0409, 0.0071, 0.0071, -0.0541, 0.0236, 0.0251, -0.0165, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0156, 0.0058, -0.0115, 0.0679, 0.032, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0576, 0.0352, 0.0284, 0.0139, -0.0096, -0.0072, -0.0297, -0.0018, 0.009, -0.0432, -0.0219, -0.0569, -0.0665, -0.0982, -0.1253, -0.1808, -0.1608, -0.1123, -0.1126, -0.1126, -0.1169, -0.1008, -0.1162, -0.1576, -0.1757, -0.2449, -0.2748, -0.2969, -0.2694, -0.2901, -0.3216, -0.304, -0.343, -0.3449, -0.446, -0.425, -0.3813, -0.3998, -0.3766, -0.4064, -0.4381, -0.4118, -0.4108, -0.3798, -0.3057, -0.2814, -0.3215, -0.3189, -0.3428, -0.3537, -0.3305, -0.2948, -0.3334, -0.4029, -0.4182, -0.4467, -0.3212, -0.3706, -0.3708, -0.3707, -0.3663, -0.3976, -0.3981, -0.3981, -0.4327, -0.4065, -0.3747, -0.3528, -0.2894, -0.2871, -0.2717, -0.2963, -0.3004, -0.2837, -0.3011, -0.3133, -0.3112, -0.2897, -0.2562, -0.206, -0.1669, -0.1329, -0.1451, -0.1272, -0.1469, -0.1426, -0.1655, -0.1495, -0.1537, -0.1537, -0.095, -0.11, -0.1061, -0.136, -0.1454, -0.1414, -0.1719]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1849535810955247885", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-24T19:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Auto GM% ex-RC + guidance was substantially above street estimates for FY 2024/25", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish TSLA: auto gross margin ex-regulatory credits and FY2024/25 guidance came in substantially above street estimates.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TrendSpider If this is what you interpret from the earnings call you are hopeless. Auto GM% ex-RC + guidance was substantially above street estimates for FY 2024/25", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Ya gotta love it.  $TSLA https://t.co/n1kLl6NniO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrendSpider", "ret_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17978353468474684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17762547505065163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14921113472537717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021580596340952107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030572399959369667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03343823359841336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378350168798361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03029108045445561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003452680895702498, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031471531439577483, "ret_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04080929220849283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022509439904721318, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024374150547236906, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018299852303771513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016435141661255925, "ret_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3535011620415611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3254126000794002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.263981659016052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02808856196216092, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08951950302550915, "ret_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.628032821860089, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5834231979009077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47238497327663986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04460962395918133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15564784858344916, "ret_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07336461556792417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.012039414597716513, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0038405030367065773, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08540403016564069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0695241125312176, "price_path": [-0.109, -0.1453, -0.1091, -0.1675, -0.2027, -0.2365, -0.2297, -0.2638, -0.2366, -0.2322, -0.2418, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.1779, -0.1703, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1429, -0.1913, -0.1542, -0.1815, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2081, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1915, -0.1577, -0.1164, -0.191, -0.1697, -0.1317, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1252, -0.1278, -0.0636, -0.0853, -0.0402, -0.0238, -0.0133, -0.024, -0.0001, 0.0044, -0.0094, -0.044, -0.0761, -0.0399, -0.0754, -0.0613, -0.0746, -0.0833, -0.1639, -0.1586, -0.1571, -0.1503, -0.152, -0.1527, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1798, 0.0, 0.0334, 0.0078, -0.0037, -0.0112, -0.0408, -0.0441, -0.0677, -0.0347, 0.1077, 0.1399, 0.2332, 0.3437, 0.2611, 0.2678, 0.1946, 0.2313, 0.3004, 0.3283, 0.3131, 0.3039, 0.3535, 0.2999, 0.2985, 0.278, 0.278, 0.3251, 0.3709, 0.3491, 0.3741, 0.4185, 0.4942, 0.4964, 0.5394, 0.6307, 0.6051, 0.6747, 0.7776, 0.8422, 0.6897, 0.6745, 0.6165, 0.6531, 0.7747, 0.7747, 0.7434, 0.6572, 0.6025, 0.5504, 0.5504, 0.4561, 0.5757, 0.578, 0.514, 0.5162, 0.5162, 0.5154, 0.5483, 0.5217, 0.644, 0.5887, 0.6374, 0.6374, 0.628, 0.5936, 0.5832, 0.5609, 0.5247, 0.5283, 0.4938, 0.5367, 0.5533, 0.473, 0.5057, 0.4518, 0.437, 0.3883, 0.3465, 0.2611, 0.2919, 0.3665, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3595, 0.3842, 0.3606, 0.2968, 0.2689, 0.1625, 0.1164, 0.0824, 0.1248, 0.0928, 0.0444, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0084, -0.1472, -0.1148, -0.0476, -0.076, -0.0403, -0.0863, -0.135, -0.0945, -0.093, -0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1062, 0.0445, 0.0486, 0.0118, -0.0051, 0.0306, 0.0855, 0.0261, -0.0808, -0.1044, -0.1483, 0.045, -0.031, -0.0314, -0.0312, -0.0245, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986840072650694760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T16:56:01+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$515 (5% upside) upper 2d cloud supp flipped into resistance suggests mediocre risk/reward", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disagrees with bounce thesis; 15yr fib and cloud resistance capping MSFT at ~$515, poor risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@great_martis Yes but missing lots of context. 15+ year fib chan on log suggests otherwise. $515 (5% upside) upper 2d cloud supp flipped into resistance suggests mediocre risk/reward https://t.co/yQf9PSAlFt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Microsoft \n\nHigh probability of a bounce. https://t.co/XNnixIzGXu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "great_martis", "ret_m1d": 0.0005635659700111706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0005635659700111706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015471052495107385, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015471052495107385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018477508945690335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018477508945690335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002873165637695907, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002873165637695907, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": 0.026891066103994943, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026891066103994943, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025460263915233483, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025460263915233483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": -0.00982448106589573, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00982448106589573, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028692773254365256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028692773254365256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": -0.16475740175627107, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16475740175627107, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19046298895648295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19046298895648295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": -0.16400313697991076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16400313697991076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24020387413578514, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24020387413578514, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [0.0635, 0.0461, 0.0499, 0.0453, 0.0391, 0.0244, 0.0162, 0.0149, 0.021, 0.015, 0.0105, 0.02, 0.0258, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0167, 0.0172, 0.0224, -0.0037, 0.0028, 0.0032, 0.0071, 0.0084, 0.0263, 0.0373, 0.0246, 0.0266, 0.0234, 0.0425, 0.0355, 0.025, 0.0268, 0.0206, 0.0295, 0.0358, 0.0425, 0.0461, 0.0381, 0.0413, 0.0639, 0.0547, 0.0564, 0.0515, 0.0285, 0.0347, 0.0337, 0.0334, 0.0298, 0.0337, 0.0402, 0.0419, 0.0477, 0.0478, 0.0539, 0.0698, 0.0911, 0.09, 0.0583, 0.0422, 0.0407, 0.0352, 0.0208, 0.0006, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.0239, 0.0288, 0.013, 0.0269, 0.0215, -0.0061, -0.0195, -0.0352, -0.0479, -0.0441, -0.0381, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0078, -0.0185, -0.0119, -0.0366, -0.0304, -0.0257, -0.0098, -0.0078, -0.035, -0.025, -0.035, -0.0425, -0.0393, -0.0399, -0.024, -0.0201, -0.0221, -0.0182, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0165, -0.0177, -0.017, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0463, -0.0465, -0.0351, -0.025, -0.0359, -0.0335, -0.0377, -0.0509, -0.0736, -0.0791, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0834, -0.1044, -0.0902, -0.0604, -0.0516, -0.0309, -0.0288, -0.1258, -0.1323, -0.1462, -0.1708, -0.1648, -0.2061, -0.1911, -0.1659, -0.1666, -0.1846, -0.1897, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1997, -0.1942, -0.1946, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.2138, -0.1903, -0.1881, -0.2062, -0.1945, -0.1836, -0.181, -0.1699, -0.1734, -0.1725, -0.1799, -0.1817, -0.1878, -0.2005, -0.1916, -0.1927, -0.2081, -0.2137, -0.2282, -0.2259, -0.2466, -0.2501, -0.2603, -0.2789, -0.2745, -0.2518, -0.2534, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2463, -0.2475, -0.2434, -0.246, -0.2504, -0.2231, -0.2055, -0.1689, -0.1506, -0.1455, -0.155, -0.1427, -0.125, -0.1597, -0.1418, -0.1414, -0.1324, -0.1421, -0.1758, -0.1623, -0.164]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988720845020332149", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T21:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The downside risk outweighs the upside. $415 needs to hold otherwise Wyckoff distribution final phase will unfold and suggests $350-360.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish TSLA: $415 must hold or Wyckoff distribution targets $350-360; downside outweighs upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All the \u2018traders\u2019 on X suggesting $TSLA going to $500 by now and referencing the bullish flow got faked out as I suggested. Option flow cannot always be taken at face value. I have opened 6 figure positions and seen the flow mislabel my position many times. \n\nThose millions in Nov 21 500cs and Dec 21 500cs have been bled dry, down -95% and -65% respectively. Screenshots show their value and OI. \n\nI haven\u2019t missed a single 20% $TSLA move since 2023 (up or down) and I suggested this move was likely done several times in the past few weeks. The downside risk outweighs the upside. \n\n$415 needs to hold otherwise Wyckoff distribution final phase will unfold and suggests $350-360.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02094748928429757, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02094748928429757, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021503668255720365, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014181087844754359, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006766401439543213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06644220962287406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06644220962287406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04984818964264748, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041477933580118864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024964276042755196, "ret_p1w": -0.061797527849415834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.061797527849415834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031433677039394925, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00535470556086004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.056442822288555794, "ret_p1m": 0.037830952889038594, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.037830952889038594, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029358475259927408, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027660393447425546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010170559441613047, "ret_p3m": -0.03084068414087382, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03084068414087382, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04930848472879601, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02086302183525346, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00997766230562036, "ret_p6m": -0.0436832264095971, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0436832264095971, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12031053269525482, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05535730184576926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01167407543617216, "price_path": [-0.2323, -0.2216, -0.2352, -0.2478, -0.2566, -0.2104, -0.1951, -0.1833, -0.1881, -0.1965, -0.2246, -0.2246, -0.2351, -0.2241, -0.2138, -0.1852, -0.1955, -0.1942, -0.1923, -0.1435, -0.0805, -0.0477, -0.0209, -0.011, -0.0319, -0.0105, 0.0084, -0.011, 0.0283, -0.0167, 0.0228, 0.0293, 0.0328, 0.067, 0.0125, -0.0018, 0.0526, 0.0058, 0.0188, 0.0115, -0.0397, 0.0123, -0.0032, 0.0106, -0.0043, 0.0202, 0.0391, 0.0279, 0.0194, 0.0427, 0.0072, 0.0507, 0.0696, 0.0718, 0.0221, 0.0603, 0.0877, 0.0317, 0.0731, 0.0356, -0.0025, 0.034, 0.0209, 0.0, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0503, -0.0682, -0.0618, -0.0821, -0.0918, -0.0298, -0.026, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.001, -0.0011, -0.0032, 0.0375, 0.0556, 0.0567, 0.0209, 0.0338, 0.0484, 0.0378, 0.0659, 0.1038, 0.1377, 0.0851, 0.1225, 0.1175, 0.135, 0.1276, 0.1273, 0.1273, 0.1036, 0.0674, 0.0553, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0173, 0.0489, 0.0055, 0.0019, 0.0121, 0.0335, 0.0426, 0.0386, 0.02, 0.0185, 0.016, 0.016, -0.0264, 0.002, 0.0436, 0.0429, 0.0107, 0.0007, 0.002, -0.0326, -0.0004, -0.0204, -0.0201, -0.0571, -0.0775, -0.0453, -0.0308, -0.0125, -0.0054, -0.0314, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.0464, -0.0448, -0.0439, -0.0436, -0.0715, -0.0493, -0.0307, -0.0511, -0.0652, -0.0634, -0.0886, -0.0573, -0.0582, -0.0787, -0.0741, -0.0728, -0.0529, -0.0827, -0.0915, -0.0814, -0.0728, -0.0878, -0.1168, -0.1455, -0.1155, -0.1105, -0.1037, -0.1358, -0.1597, -0.1749, -0.1367, -0.1146, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.1806, -0.195, -0.2029, -0.1974, -0.1896, -0.1816, -0.1542, -0.0898, -0.0968, -0.0696, -0.0885, -0.1026, -0.1001, -0.1321, -0.1261, -0.1206, -0.1268, -0.1342, -0.1137, -0.0924, -0.0885, -0.0958, -0.074, -0.0437]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1853255943703953849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-04T02:00:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think model Y juniper release in q4 China will be the gap filler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Model Y Juniper Q4 China launch will close the delivery gap vs last year.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TroyTeslike @TraderStevee I think model Y juniper release in q4 China will be the gap filler", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@TraderStevee Tesla needs 514,925 deliveries this quarter to match last year\u2019s total. Even if they sell out all U.S. production and inventory, that still wouldn\u2019t be enough. They would also need much higher sales in China compared to Q3, but right now, China is trending below Q3. Plus, U.S.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TroyTeslike", "ret_m1d": 0.025284135571741473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025284135571741473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02312536102384488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021823789072168198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0021587745478965914, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034603464995732747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03541429020427711, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03541429020427711, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023322361452232876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017711328914177038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012091928752044234, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017702961290100072, "ret_p1w": 0.4412782296084603, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4412782296084603, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3904716303592939, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3406764251637162, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05080659924916642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10060180444474409, "ret_p1m": 0.4471257565774467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4471257565774467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3872810675346423, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32340447963465824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05984468904280438, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12372127694278845, "ret_p3m": 0.6483281371094334, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6483281371094334, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5829266125669068, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47660329885430586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06540152454252657, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17172483825512752, "ret_p6m": 0.2025613703805309, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2025613703805309, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2235352514873229, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19957113880611854, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02097388110679199, "bench_c_p6m": 0.002990231574412361, "price_path": [-0.2103, -0.1812, -0.1764, -0.1867, -0.1442, -0.1707, -0.1182, -0.11, -0.0829, -0.0895, -0.0806, -0.1325, -0.0927, -0.122, -0.1385, -0.1527, -0.1506, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.1328, -0.0965, -0.0522, -0.1322, -0.1094, -0.0686, -0.0606, -0.0537, -0.0517, -0.0661, -0.0616, -0.0644, 0.0044, -0.0189, 0.0295, 0.0471, 0.0584, 0.0469, 0.0726, 0.0774, 0.0625, 0.0254, -0.009, 0.0298, -0.0083, 0.0068, -0.0074, -0.0168, -0.1031, -0.0975, -0.0958, -0.0886, -0.0904, -0.0912, -0.0988, -0.1024, -0.1202, 0.0726, 0.1085, 0.081, 0.0687, 0.0606, 0.0289, 0.0253, 0.0, 0.0354, 0.1881, 0.2227, 0.3228, 0.4413, 0.3527, 0.3599, 0.2814, 0.3207, 0.3949, 0.4248, 0.4085, 0.3986, 0.4518, 0.3943, 0.3928, 0.3708, 0.3708, 0.4213, 0.4705, 0.4471, 0.4739, 0.5215, 0.6028, 0.6051, 0.6513, 0.7492, 0.7217, 0.7964, 0.9067, 0.976, 0.8124, 0.7961, 0.7339, 0.7732, 0.9036, 0.9036, 0.8701, 0.7775, 0.7189, 0.663, 0.663, 0.5619, 0.6902, 0.6927, 0.6239, 0.6263, 0.6263, 0.6255, 0.6608, 0.6322, 0.7634, 0.7041, 0.7563, 0.7563, 0.7463, 0.7094, 0.6982, 0.6743, 0.6354, 0.6393, 0.6023, 0.6483, 0.6661, 0.58, 0.6151, 0.5573, 0.5414, 0.4891, 0.4443, 0.3527, 0.3857, 0.4657, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.4582, 0.4848, 0.4594, 0.391, 0.3611, 0.2469, 0.1975, 0.1611, 0.2065, 0.1722, 0.1202, 0.1493, 0.0849, 0.0817, -0.0852, -0.0505, 0.0216, -0.0089, 0.0294, -0.0199, -0.0722, -0.0287, -0.0271, 0.0242, 0.1464, 0.1865, 0.1203, 0.1247, 0.0853, 0.0672, 0.1055, 0.1644, 0.1006, -0.014, -0.0393, -0.0864, 0.1209, 0.0394, 0.039, 0.0392, 0.0464, -0.0053, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.0632, -0.0201, 0.0325, 0.0686, 0.1734, 0.1772, 0.2026]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1870534382811050449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-21T18:18:44+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rotated massive $TSLA gains back into $NVDA over past few days as well. Jan 6 Jensen keynote - mark it down.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Rotated into NVDA; bullish into Jan 6 Jensen keynote as near-term catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EliteOptions2 Rotated massive $TSLA gains back into $NVDA over past few days as well. Jan 6 Jensen keynote - mark it down.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA is one of the few stocks that has yet to participate in the market rally the past 2 months. NVDA has been in a 6 month consolidation is getting ready for a breakout higher.\nThis may be the best trade if you want to grow your account  \ud83d\udc47 \n\nTrigger: NVDA above 136 \u2705 \nTrade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EliteOptions2", "ret_m1d": -0.035583959853186964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035583959853186964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029631386150403727, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005165069748656936, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005952573702783237, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030418890104530028, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003937854184755452, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003937854184755452, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007177316543188317, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004689041733233035, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011115170727943768, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008626895917988486, "ret_p1w": -0.015608363117956991, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015608363117956991, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004728717267406535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0026887140984271918, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010879645850550457, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018297077216384183, "ret_p1m": 0.00830519708668942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00830519708668942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005752681017420658, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.044539691736197096, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014057878104110078, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052844888822886515, "ret_p3m": -0.1512787671378839, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1512787671378839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10217766105600057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06232123076292562, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04910110608188334, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08895753637495829, "ret_p6m": 0.0320272905655099, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0320272905655099, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.024229043132986128, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.017607593330529303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.007798247432523775, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049634883896039206, "price_path": [-0.1158, -0.112, -0.1309, -0.1306, -0.1624, -0.1491, -0.1205, -0.1057, -0.0856, -0.0486, -0.0503, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0115, -0.0578, -0.0283, -0.0197, -0.012, 0.0289, 0.028, -0.0009, 0.0052, 0.0133, 0.006, 0.0112, -0.0024, -0.0495, -0.0306, -0.026, 0.0016, 0.0425, 0.0659, 0.0569, 0.04, 0.0616, 0.0472, 0.0507, 0.0165, 0.0034, 0.0525, 0.0445, 0.05, 0.0163, -0.0262, -0.0198, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0102, -0.0075, 0.0042, 0.0391, 0.0386, 0.0198, -0.0062, -0.0329, -0.0026, -0.0167, -0.0388, -0.0549, -0.0664, -0.077, -0.0644, -0.0356, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0039, 0.0019, -0.019, -0.0156, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0097, 0.0344, 0.0699, 0.0034, 0.0032, 0.0032, -0.0269, -0.0461, -0.0566, -0.0246, -0.0437, -0.014, -0.014, 0.0083, 0.053, 0.0541, 0.0211, -0.1521, -0.0765, -0.1143, -0.1075, -0.1403, -0.1647, -0.1505, -0.1063, -0.0787, -0.0704, -0.0437, -0.0492, -0.0611, -0.0314, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0019, -0.0032, 0.0032, -0.0375, -0.0672, -0.0934, -0.0601, -0.1398, -0.1056, -0.1834, -0.1695, -0.1602, -0.2083, -0.1932, -0.2341, -0.2213, -0.1713, -0.1724, -0.1288, -0.1441, -0.1735, -0.1585, -0.1513, -0.1572, -0.1307, -0.1358, -0.1854, -0.2021, -0.2147, -0.224, -0.2113, -0.2093, -0.2711, -0.3247, -0.3009, -0.3105, -0.1814, -0.2298, -0.2057, -0.2073, -0.1966, -0.2518, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.3061, -0.2919, -0.2646, -0.2379, -0.2051, -0.2215, -0.2194, -0.2201, -0.2008, -0.1801, -0.185, -0.187, -0.1618, -0.1596, -0.1647, -0.1193, -0.0697, -0.0309, -0.0346, -0.0305, -0.0293, -0.0378, -0.0563, -0.0489, -0.0599, -0.0599, -0.0298, -0.0347, -0.0033, -0.0324, -0.0163, 0.0112, 0.0162, 0.0024, 0.0148, 0.0213, 0.0308, 0.0228, 0.0383, 0.0166, 0.0361, 0.032]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855313969227161864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-09T18:18:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy dips down to $300-305. Doubt $TSLA trades below $271 for next 6+ months (or ever).", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA; buy dips to $300-305, floor at $271 for 6+ months, uptrend still very strong.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I should point out that the chart on the left had a target of $311 (hit Friday) and on the right target is $325 (yellow arrow) which was also hit Friday and showed resistance. \n\nUptrend is still very strong. Buy dips down to $300-305. Doubt $TSLA trades below $271 for next 6+ months (or ever).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Quick recap on my positions in the last 3 months:\n\n- Closed my $PLTR (entered $8 and $16) at $28 - yes I know I missed significant upside; price target was $30\n- Closed $PTON (entered $3 closed at $5) - same upside miss; price target was $6\n- Closed $NVDA from $70 to 135 exact top, re-entered $102 and $118 and sold again at $134 \n- Closed $ONON (entered $27 and $36 closed at $49)\n- Closed $TSLA puts (shorts entered $260-265 closed at $213-235)\n- Moved 80% allocation from $NVDA $PLTR $PTON $ONON into $TSLA at $242 and $277. I have about 60% allocated into $TSLA stock/long calls/short puts (cash secured puts) and plan to increase up to 80% but I want powder for $NVDA earnings. Targets $310, $325 short term; $400 2-6 months.\n\nThese are all my large moves since July. Zero misses. Goal is to open/close within 5% of targets.\n\nI stopped sharing my charts since I get requests for expanded commentary (I ignore most don't take it personally), but here's 2 that I think are important. Fib chan/bull flag ext on left; anchored vwap/parallel channels on right.\n\nFundamentals are strongest I've seen since 2021.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrwgreig", "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127664897951281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245260460971458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019775963331133628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835072320448553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106242895773255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350927863155282, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451589808276988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013716983797620985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454472675593303, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1389384133972491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654056622226891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914512016165974, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345149352279677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107371386455574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378363825597905, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1525057645522565, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010821794018775040", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T21:10:49+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "now formed a diamond bottom suggesting ~$108 into upper daily cloud", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Diamond bottom pattern on CRWV targets ~$108 into upper daily cloud.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost 2 months ago I posted this suggesting $CRWV will go further to ~65 and ~49. It found a double bottom at 65 and now formed a diamond bottom suggesting ~$108 into upper daily cloud.\n\nhttps://t.co/oYOdCHJE0R https://t.co/r5dd7Ib8Vu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10886245838213227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10886245838213227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10729446702835876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10729446702835876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027243377515046907, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027243377515046907, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025243902409176622, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025243902409176622, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "ret_p1w": 0.1256533193974365, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1256533193974365, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13068814755799774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13068814755799774, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "ret_p1m": 0.05760035903032956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05760035903032956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.061973478992409015, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.061973478992409015, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "ret_p3m": 0.02301789934170695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02301789934170695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.042284207926455264, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.042284207926455264, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5483, 0.5761, 0.522, 0.4129, 0.3906, 0.3514, 0.3715, 0.4739, 0.513, 0.4989, 0.556, 0.4574, 0.4868, 0.4046, 0.2871, 0.2723, 0.189, 0.1566, 0.1744, -0.0171, -0.05, -0.1289, -0.1398, -0.1623, -0.1671, -0.1669, -0.2304, -0.2033, -0.1816, -0.2073, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.1869, -0.1431, -0.1546, -0.1175, -0.0465, -0.0181, -0.041, 0.0081, -0.0197, -0.0284, -0.1261, -0.1955, -0.2272, -0.2822, -0.2474, -0.0771, -0.0567, -0.1075, -0.123, -0.123, -0.1502, -0.1669, -0.1782, -0.2037, -0.2037, -0.118, -0.1453, -0.1333, -0.1418, -0.1428, -0.1089, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0014, 0.0565, 0.1257, 0.1257, 0.0588, 0.0458, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0932, 0.2105, 0.1789, 0.1067, 0.0363, -0.011, 0.0014, -0.0831, -0.1699, 0.0002, 0.0763, 0.0576, 0.058, 0.0642, 0.0679, 0.0679, 0.0119, 0.0614, 0.0802, -0.0076, 0.0101, 0.1042, 0.0898, 0.0856, -0.1153, -0.1321, -0.1796, -0.116, -0.168, -0.1884, -0.1726, -0.1669, -0.0886, -0.112, -0.0981, -0.0453, -0.0868, -0.0791, -0.1031, -0.0941, -0.0886, -0.0768, -0.0261, -0.1054, -0.1681, -0.2311, -0.1386, -0.1278, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.1, -0.0522, -0.0115, 0.023, 0.1342, 0.2262, 0.3032, 0.3198, 0.3295, 0.2993, 0.3058, 0.2806, 0.3626, 0.3057, 0.2247, 0.2461, 0.1735, 0.2698, 0.241, 0.3234, 0.3948, 0.4221, 0.5343, 0.4327, 0.2693, 0.2754, 0.1982, 0.2377, 0.27, 0.1932, 0.1539, 0.1099, 0.1262, 0.1963, 0.173, 0.173, 0.1775, 0.1595, 0.1883, 0.2179, 0.388, 0.3298, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057698103294042532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T05:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "DRAM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "By far best way to get exposure to the memory trade", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DRAM ETF as best memory exposure; supplement with extra SNDK weighting given low ETF allocation; memory is no longer boom-bust.", "resolved_tickers": ["DRAM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "By far best way to get exposure to the memory trade. \n\nThis isn\u2019t a boom and bust cycle anymore. \n\nMix in some extra $SNDK (since the ETF only has 5%) and you\u2019re golden.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "History was made today. The Roundhill Memory ETF $DRAM has surpassed $10 billion in AUM faster than any ETF ever launched. This is what the memory trade looks like. Learn more: https://t.co/EJX0CAVG1I https://t.co/fxqw83j5kP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02877698725001343, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02877698725001343, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03269314503117715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03269314503117715, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.19651649239089952, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19651649239089952, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18197869183385262, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18197869183385262, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.4744, -0.4744, -0.4479, -0.4426, -0.3853, -0.387, -0.386, -0.3648, -0.3266, -0.3474, -0.3366, -0.3262, -0.336, -0.3387, -0.2938, -0.3116, -0.2957, -0.2698, -0.2933, -0.2762, -0.2554, -0.2349, -0.1959, -0.1236, -0.0784, -0.1187, -0.0004, 0.0428, -0.0288, 0.0326, 0.0184, -0.0326, -0.0663, -0.0577, -0.0248, 0.0288, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1456, 0.1498, 0.1846, 0.1965, 0.2874, 0.3132, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057698103294042532", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-22T05:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mix in some extra $SNDK (since the ETF only has 5%) and you're golden", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DRAM ETF as best memory exposure; supplement with extra SNDK weighting given low ETF allocation; memory is no longer boom-bust.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "By far best way to get exposure to the memory trade. \n\nThis isn\u2019t a boom and bust cycle anymore. \n\nMix in some extra $SNDK (since the ETF only has 5%) and you\u2019re golden.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "History was made today. The Roundhill Memory ETF $DRAM has surpassed $10 billion in AUM faster than any ETF ever launched. This is what the memory trade looks like. Learn more: https://t.co/EJX0CAVG1I https://t.co/fxqw83j5kP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04297726456953388, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04297726456953388, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0468934223506976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.052900172115347255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009922907545813375, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1462713940265299, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1462713940265299, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.131733593469483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08734348827355443, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05892790575297546, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5682, -0.5723, -0.5591, -0.5703, -0.5813, -0.6176, -0.5949, -0.6175, -0.6434, -0.6019, -0.5815, -0.5567, -0.5815, -0.5526, -0.5242, -0.513, -0.4903, -0.4779, -0.52, -0.5249, -0.5249, -0.5416, -0.5921, -0.5835, -0.6128, -0.5703, -0.5315, -0.5255, -0.5255, -0.51, -0.5193, -0.4719, -0.4241, -0.424, -0.3558, -0.3613, -0.397, -0.3782, -0.3772, -0.3825, -0.389, -0.3379, -0.3694, -0.3306, -0.2763, -0.3221, -0.2803, -0.2585, -0.1973, -0.1507, -0.0489, -0.0465, -0.0938, 0.0566, 0.0466, -0.018, -0.0213, -0.0649, -0.0481, -0.0985, -0.0645, -0.0582, 0.043, 0.0, 0.0, 0.075, 0.0752, 0.1102, 0.1463, 0.1912, 0.1719, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1878965108656992444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-14T00:39:26+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my risk/reward targets for $TSLA around ~385 is more appealing than $NVDA. If $TSLA can break its high tight flag in the next few weeks (likely earnings), it can run to 600 or even 690", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotated from NVDA into TSLA; TSLA target 600\u2013690 before Q2 on flag breakout; NVDA still seen with solid 2025 outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rotated my $NVDA with modest gains back into $TSLA today. Both have a solid 2025 outlook but my risk/reward targets for $TSLA around ~385 is more appealing than $NVDA. \n\nIf $TSLA can break its high tight flag in the next few weeks (likely earnings), it can run to 600 or even 690 (the pole is 276 + 414 ATH = 690) before 2Q.\n\nOf course, the fed and earnings can derail this bullish projection.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017534595983160983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017534595983160983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01890863464003001, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015594425513398846, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013740386568690255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001940170469762137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08038151439752794, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08038151439752794, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.062191535658486785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.054934902588246626, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.018189978739041157, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025446611809281316, "ret_p1w": 0.06991124986564445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06991124986564445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03408095039349912, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02813183160645827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03583029947214533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041779418259186185, "ret_p1m": -0.15099903571964235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15099903571964235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18736176320605236, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16047396160469896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03636272748641001, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009474925885056606, "ret_p3m": -0.3634322159569151, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3634322159569151, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28331445640889397, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22177096551829978, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08011775954802114, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14166125043861533, "ret_p6m": -0.25350687299987285, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25350687299987285, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3318279273051905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24619540000594786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07832105430531766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.007311472993924983, "price_path": [-0.4427, -0.4432, -0.4479, -0.4501, -0.461, -0.3428, -0.3208, -0.3377, -0.3452, -0.3502, -0.3696, -0.3718, -0.3873, -0.3656, -0.2721, -0.2509, -0.1896, -0.117, -0.1712, -0.1668, -0.2149, -0.1908, -0.1454, -0.1271, -0.1371, -0.1431, -0.1105, -0.1458, -0.1467, -0.1601, -0.1601, -0.1292, -0.0991, -0.1134, -0.097, -0.0678, -0.018, -0.0166, 0.0117, 0.0717, 0.0548, 0.1006, 0.1682, 0.2107, 0.1104, 0.1004, 0.0623, 0.0864, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.1458, 0.0891, 0.0531, 0.0189, 0.0189, -0.0431, 0.0355, 0.0371, -0.005, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0041, 0.0175, 0.0, 0.0804, 0.0441, 0.076, 0.076, 0.0699, 0.0473, 0.0404, 0.0258, 0.002, 0.0044, -0.0183, 0.0099, 0.0208, -0.032, -0.0105, -0.0459, -0.0556, -0.0876, -0.1151, -0.1712, -0.151, -0.102, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.1066, -0.0903, -0.1059, -0.1477, -0.1661, -0.236, -0.2663, -0.2887, -0.2608, -0.2818, -0.3137, -0.2958, -0.3353, -0.3373, -0.4395, -0.4183, -0.3741, -0.3928, -0.3693, -0.3995, -0.4316, -0.4049, -0.4039, -0.3725, -0.2976, -0.273, -0.3136, -0.3109, -0.3351, -0.3461, -0.3227, -0.2866, -0.3257, -0.3959, -0.4114, -0.4403, -0.3133, -0.3632, -0.3634, -0.3633, -0.3589, -0.3906, -0.391, -0.391, -0.426, -0.3996, -0.3674, -0.3453, -0.2811, -0.2787, -0.2632, -0.2881, -0.2923, -0.2754, -0.2929, -0.3053, -0.3031, -0.2814, -0.2475, -0.1967, -0.1572, -0.1228, -0.1351, -0.117, -0.1369, -0.1326, -0.1558, -0.1396, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.0844, -0.0996, -0.0957, -0.1259, -0.1354, -0.1314, -0.1623, -0.2817, -0.2554, -0.2215, -0.1773, -0.1764, -0.1949, -0.1793, -0.1696, -0.2019, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.1872, -0.1203, -0.141, -0.1736, -0.1781, -0.1835, -0.1986, -0.2413, -0.2036, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.2584, -0.2486, -0.2535]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1878965108656992444", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-01-14T00:39:26+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both have a solid 2025 outlook", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotated from NVDA into TSLA; TSLA target 600\u2013690 before Q2 on flag breakout; NVDA still seen with solid 2025 outlook.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rotated my $NVDA with modest gains back into $TSLA today. Both have a solid 2025 outlook but my risk/reward targets for $TSLA around ~385 is more appealing than $NVDA. \n\nIf $TSLA can break its high tight flag in the next few weeks (likely earnings), it can run to 600 or even 690 (the pole is 276 + 414 ATH = 690) before 2Q.\n\nOf course, the fed and earnings can derail this bullish projection.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011156606170273031, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011156606170273031, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012530644827142057, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014416110334252608, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013740386568690255, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032595041639795763, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034001317162089206, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034001317162089206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01581133842304805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010492501184600656, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.018189978739041157, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02350881597748855, "ret_p1w": 0.0688371845168001, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688371845168001, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033006885044654766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00022243353369488794, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03583029947214533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06905961805049499, "ret_p1m": -0.004705523913674292, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004705523913674292, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0410682514000843, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017213645858181414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03636272748641001, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012508121944507122, "ret_p3m": -0.15801299669435176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15801299669435176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07789523714633062, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02178657127027317, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08011775954802114, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17979956796462493, "ret_p6m": 0.23638657375094052, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23638657375094052, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15806551944562286, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07349536792647648, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07832105430531766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16289120582446404, "price_path": [0.0392, 0.0473, 0.0906, 0.0897, 0.0591, 0.0656, 0.0742, 0.0664, 0.072, 0.0575, 0.0075, 0.0276, 0.0325, 0.0618, 0.105, 0.1299, 0.1204, 0.1024, 0.1254, 0.11, 0.1138, 0.0775, 0.0636, 0.1157, 0.1072, 0.1131, 0.0773, 0.0323, 0.0391, 0.0271, 0.0271, 0.0492, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.1015, 0.1009, 0.0811, 0.0535, 0.0251, 0.0573, 0.0423, 0.0189, 0.0018, -0.0104, -0.0216, -0.0082, 0.0223, 0.06, 0.0642, 0.0642, 0.062, 0.0398, 0.0435, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0497, 0.0965, 0.1341, 0.0636, 0.0634, 0.0634, 0.0315, 0.0112, 0.0, 0.034, 0.0137, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0688, 0.1162, 0.1173, 0.0824, -0.1012, -0.021, -0.0612, -0.054, -0.0887, -0.1146, -0.0995, -0.0526, -0.0234, -0.0146, 0.0137, 0.0079, -0.0047, 0.0268, 0.0538, 0.0538, 0.058, 0.0567, 0.0634, 0.0203, -0.0112, -0.0389, -0.0036, -0.0881, -0.0519, -0.1343, -0.1197, -0.1097, -0.1608, -0.1447, -0.1881, -0.1746, -0.1215, -0.1227, -0.0765, -0.0927, -0.1239, -0.108, -0.1003, -0.1066, -0.0785, -0.0839, -0.1365, -0.1542, -0.1676, -0.1774, -0.1639, -0.1619, -0.2273, -0.2842, -0.2589, -0.2691, -0.1322, -0.1835, -0.158, -0.1597, -0.1484, -0.2069, -0.2297, -0.2297, -0.2644, -0.2494, -0.2204, -0.1922, -0.1574, -0.1747, -0.1725, -0.1733, -0.1529, -0.1309, -0.1361, -0.1382, -0.1115, -0.1091, -0.1146, -0.0664, -0.0138, 0.0273, 0.0234, 0.0277, 0.029, 0.02, 0.0004, 0.0082, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0285, 0.0232, 0.0565, 0.0257, 0.0427, 0.0719, 0.0772, 0.0626, 0.0757, 0.0826, 0.0927, 0.0842, 0.1007, 0.0777, 0.0983, 0.094, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.0919, 0.0944, 0.1227, 0.1713, 0.1767, 0.1974, 0.1993, 0.1637, 0.1937, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.2012, 0.2145, 0.2364]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1855098223398207849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-09T04:00:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA should be second and it's abundantly clear right after the election", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA should be the second-largest holding; bullish post-election reallocation case.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 $GOOGL as second weighting is criminal Gary. From a risk/reward and ethical POV. Look how they conveniently suppressed Trump/Rogan and messed up voting locations for Trump. \n\n$TSLA should be second and it\u2019s abundantly clear right after the election. Hopefully you\u2019ve reallocated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We\u2019re doing just fine with our top 6 positions all up &gt;+22% YTD:\n1. $NVDA +198%\n2. $GOOGL +28%\n3. $LLY +43%\n4. $CRM +22%\n5. $NFLX +63%\n6. $TSLA +29% https://t.co/HroWs5xpcw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08222856794084821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08127664897951281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06245260460971458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009519189613353962, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019775963331133628, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06145717075892854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05835072320448553, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048106242895773255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031064475544430037, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013350927863155282, "ret_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03217145647321429, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014451589808276988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013716983797620985, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177198666649373, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018454472675593303, "ret_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14568568638392865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1389384133972491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08654056622226891, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006747272986679542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05914512016165974, "ret_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06948573521205348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05345149352279677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019107371386455574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016034241689256712, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050378363825597905, "ret_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132856968470982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1525057645522565, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11763807595622477, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.06077993229484169, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09564762089087342, "price_path": [-0.4246, -0.3882, -0.3825, -0.3637, -0.3683, -0.3621, -0.3981, -0.3705, -0.3908, -0.4023, -0.4121, -0.4106, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3983, -0.3731, -0.3424, -0.3979, -0.3821, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3434, -0.342, -0.3521, -0.3489, -0.3509, -0.3031, -0.3193, -0.2857, -0.2735, -0.2657, -0.2737, -0.2558, -0.2525, -0.2628, -0.2885, -0.3124, -0.2855, -0.3119, -0.3014, -0.3113, -0.3178, -0.3777, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3676, -0.3689, -0.3694, -0.3747, -0.3772, -0.3896, -0.2558, -0.2309, -0.25, -0.2585, -0.2641, -0.2861, -0.2886, -0.3062, -0.2816, -0.1756, -0.1517, -0.0822, 0.0, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.1109, -0.0837, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0228, -0.0296, 0.0073, -0.0326, -0.0336, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0138, 0.0203, 0.0041, 0.0227, 0.0557, 0.1121, 0.1137, 0.1457, 0.2136, 0.1946, 0.2464, 0.3229, 0.371, 0.2575, 0.2462, 0.203, 0.2303, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2975, 0.2333, 0.1926, 0.1538, 0.1538, 0.0837, 0.1727, 0.1744, 0.1267, 0.1284, 0.1284, 0.1278, 0.1523, 0.1325, 0.2235, 0.1823, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2116, 0.186, 0.1782, 0.1617, 0.1347, 0.1374, 0.1117, 0.1437, 0.156, 0.0962, 0.1206, 0.0805, 0.0695, 0.0332, 0.0021, -0.0614, -0.0385, 0.017, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0302, 0.0126, -0.0349, -0.0556, -0.1349, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.1629, -0.1867, -0.2227, -0.2026, -0.2473, -0.2495, -0.3653, -0.3412, -0.2912, -0.3123, -0.2858, -0.32, -0.3563, -0.3261, -0.325, -0.2894, -0.2046, -0.1767, -0.2227, -0.2196, -0.247, -0.2595, -0.233, -0.1921, -0.2363, -0.3159, -0.3335, -0.3661, -0.2223, -0.2789, -0.2791, -0.279, -0.274, -0.3099, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.35, -0.3201, -0.2836, -0.2585, -0.1859, -0.1832, -0.1656, -0.1938, -0.1985, -0.1794, -0.1993, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989616464878604697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T08:48:25+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL is my second largest position ($230 avg)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds GOOGL as second-largest position at $230 avg and AAPL as largest, validating both as live long positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL is my second largest position ($230 avg) after $AAPL which is Berkshire\u2019s largest holding. Looks like I\u2019m doing something right.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warren Buffett just bought Alphabet, $GOOGL, with the stock up +90% since April 7th.\n\nThe stock is up +4% after hours on the news.\n\nBuffett is officially buying-in to the AI Revolution.\n\nWe are still early.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030208331546380474, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030208331546380474, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03961237714036703, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03155756301071244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0025962638674692506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0025962638674692506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00580128890263143, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008262815013328373, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.11774611487848441, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11774611487848441, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11314925974668966, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10128626452880729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": 0.07631235965271932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07631235965271932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05648265289023091, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027112789008890914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.08484363018480812, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08484363018480812, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05838434929741987, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05038477242084993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 0.3608738156790965, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3608738156790965, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24563172441661596, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31206998092238014, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.3013, -0.2998, -0.2776, -0.2692, -0.2739, -0.2727, -0.2581, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2591, -0.1914, -0.1857, -0.1762, -0.1789, -0.1593, -0.1609, -0.1567, -0.1551, -0.1172, -0.1188, -0.1245, -0.1157, -0.1063, -0.114, -0.117, -0.1329, -0.1376, -0.135, -0.1437, -0.1471, -0.1408, -0.138, -0.1392, -0.1214, -0.1377, -0.1417, -0.1526, -0.17, -0.1434, -0.1388, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1113, -0.0999, -0.1213, -0.1169, -0.1121, -0.0881, -0.0553, -0.0616, -0.0367, -0.0124, -0.0134, -0.0046, -0.0262, -0.0025, -0.0009, -0.0217, 0.0178, 0.0221, 0.0059, -0.0226, -0.0302, 0.0, -0.0026, 0.0273, 0.0155, 0.0514, 0.1177, 0.1348, 0.1226, 0.1226, 0.1234, 0.1048, 0.108, 0.1214, 0.1144, 0.1272, 0.1014, 0.1132, 0.1242, 0.0969, 0.0859, 0.0821, 0.0763, 0.0417, 0.0619, 0.0784, 0.0876, 0.1036, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.1007, 0.1009, 0.1019, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.1064, 0.1113, 0.1036, 0.1304, 0.1426, 0.1536, 0.1651, 0.1795, 0.1791, 0.1683, 0.1586, 0.1586, 0.1305, 0.1529, 0.1605, 0.1513, 0.17, 0.1745, 0.1797, 0.1875, 0.1867, 0.2066, 0.1927, 0.1692, 0.163, 0.1335, 0.1386, 0.1185, 0.0917, 0.0848, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.0603, 0.0649, 0.0633, 0.1058, 0.0936, 0.0915, 0.0985, 0.0792, 0.0945, 0.0761, 0.0658, 0.0642, 0.0563, 0.0481, 0.0763, 0.0787, 0.0846, 0.0665, 0.062, 0.0735, 0.0924, 0.081, 0.079, 0.0575, 0.0612, 0.0204, 0.0221, -0.013, -0.0362, -0.0391, 0.0103, 0.0448, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.054, 0.0732, 0.1148, 0.1189, 0.1146, 0.1289, 0.1696, 0.1844, 0.1805, 0.2004, 0.1855, 0.1674, 0.1921, 0.1906, 0.21, 0.2308, 0.2289, 0.2294, 0.3519, 0.355, 0.3465, 0.3647, 0.3984, 0.3983, 0.4081, 0.3654, 0.3609]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989616464878604697", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-15T08:48:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAPL which is Berkshire's largest holding. Looks like I'm doing something right", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds GOOGL as second-largest position at $230 avg and AAPL as largest, validating both as live long positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL is my second largest position ($230 avg) after $AAPL which is Berkshire\u2019s largest holding. Looks like I\u2019m doing something right.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warren Buffett just bought Alphabet, $GOOGL, with the stock up +90% since April 7th.\n\nThe stock is up +4% after hours on the news.\n\nBuffett is officially buying-in to the AI Revolution.\n\nWe are still early.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0185074639832572, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0185074639832572, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009103418389270646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002607095474825183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900368508432017, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -7.464669137968727e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -7.464669137968727e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008322906078720993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01617841360305594, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01625306029443563, "ret_p1w": 0.03163099248320389, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03163099248320389, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027034137351409138, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045486741219059046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013855748735855156, "ret_p1m": 0.026733003531371535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026733003531371535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006903296768883127, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02151523658285348, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0052177669485180544, "ret_p3m": -0.020507949586848317, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020507949586848317, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.046967230474236565, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0035932010930979086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691474849375041, "ret_p6m": 0.10426873906305945, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10426873906305945, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010973352199421083, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1345120154664785, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878075452953795, "price_path": [-0.1558, -0.1599, -0.1493, -0.1515, -0.1435, -0.1391, -0.1313, -0.1329, -0.1329, -0.1419, -0.1093, -0.1044, -0.1047, -0.1115, -0.1246, -0.1529, -0.1408, -0.1257, -0.1159, -0.1104, -0.1073, -0.1115, -0.083, -0.0435, -0.0496, -0.0576, -0.0405, -0.0458, -0.0496, -0.0489, -0.0458, -0.0396, -0.0362, -0.0412, -0.042, -0.0361, -0.0511, -0.0839, -0.0749, -0.0745, -0.0687, -0.0757, -0.0576, -0.0205, -0.0185, -0.0346, -0.0304, -0.0183, 0.0041, 0.0048, 0.0074, 0.0137, 0.0099, 0.005, 0.0087, 0.009, 0.0077, 0.0028, 0.0074, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.0205, 0.0185, 0.0, -0.0001, 0.0041, -0.0045, 0.0151, 0.0316, 0.0356, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0426, 0.0585, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0495, 0.0423, 0.039, 0.0363, 0.0423, 0.0395, 0.0405, 0.0249, 0.0267, 0.0164, 0.0177, 0.0232, 0.0131, 0.0183, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0222, 0.0236, 0.021, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0133, -0.0007, -0.0191, -0.0267, -0.0315, -0.0302, -0.027, -0.024, -0.028, -0.0346, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0776, -0.0741, -0.0714, -0.0726, -0.0451, -0.0344, -0.0412, -0.0343, -0.0298, 0.0095, 0.0076, 0.0338, 0.0316, 0.0399, 0.0277, 0.0242, 0.031, -0.0205, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0125, -0.0107, -0.0248, -0.0098, -0.0039, 0.0185, 0.0263, 0.0215, -0.0113, -0.0093, -0.0129, -0.0176, -0.0259, -0.0365, -0.0274, -0.0239, -0.024, -0.0429, -0.064, -0.0539, -0.0486, -0.0646, -0.0683, -0.0719, -0.0588, -0.0583, -0.0546, -0.0536, -0.0689, -0.077, -0.0502, -0.0433, -0.0423, -0.0423, -0.0312, -0.0513, -0.0311, -0.0251, -0.0252, -0.03, -0.0314, -0.0029, -0.0143, 0.0113, 0.0219, -0.0039, 0.0223, 0.0233, 0.0144, 0.0015, 0.0131, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0484, 0.036, 0.0635, 0.076, 0.0757, 0.0977, 0.0963, 0.1043]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995257441970421823", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T22:23:38+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "More validation for my 40% GOOGL position", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a 40% GOOGL position and cites Musk's bullish comment as validation.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "More validation for my 40% GOOGL position", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Elon Musk on where people should invest:\n\n\"I don't really buy stocks. I don't look for things to invest in. I just try to build things and then there happens to be stock of the company that I built, but I don't have like a portfolio or anything; Google is gonna be pretty valuable https://t.co/dGJsvvfr3L", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012213018896410688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012097615946650153, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010692913445202734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003870919391864014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00800311674066212, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015340800837334245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01554284046059562, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03593719806012363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03947930695475366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04278328294843736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12699529883246496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22407562968799977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.2681, -0.2629, -0.2544, -0.2568, -0.239, -0.2405, -0.2367, -0.2353, -0.201, -0.2024, -0.2076, -0.1996, -0.1911, -0.198, -0.2008, -0.2152, -0.2194, -0.2171, -0.225, -0.228, -0.2223, -0.2198, -0.2208, -0.2047, -0.2195, -0.2232, -0.233, -0.2487, -0.2246, -0.2205, -0.2028, -0.2014, -0.1956, -0.1853, -0.2046, -0.2007, -0.1963, -0.1746, -0.1449, -0.1506, -0.128, -0.1061, -0.107, -0.099, -0.1186, -0.0971, -0.0957, -0.1145, -0.0787, -0.0749, -0.0895, -0.1153, -0.1222, -0.0949, -0.0972, -0.0701, -0.0808, -0.0484, 0.0117, 0.0272, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0168, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0151, 0.0087, 0.0203, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0176, -0.0072, -0.0171, -0.0205, -0.0258, -0.0571, -0.0388, -0.0239, -0.0156, -0.0011, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0037, -0.0036, -0.0027, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0015, 0.0059, -0.0011, 0.0232, 0.0342, 0.0441, 0.0546, 0.0676, 0.0672, 0.0575, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0232, 0.0435, 0.0504, 0.0421, 0.059, 0.0631, 0.0678, 0.0749, 0.0741, 0.0922, 0.0795, 0.0583, 0.0526, 0.026, 0.0306, 0.0124, -0.0118, -0.0181, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0376, 0.0009, -0.0102, -0.012, -0.0057, -0.0232, -0.0093, -0.0259, -0.0353, -0.0367, -0.0439, -0.0514, -0.0258, -0.0236, -0.0183, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0283, -0.0113, -0.0215, -0.0233, -0.0428, -0.0394, -0.0764, -0.0748, -0.1067, -0.1276, -0.1303, -0.0856, -0.0543, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.046, -0.0286, 0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0088, 0.0218, 0.0587, 0.0721, 0.0686, 0.0866, 0.073, 0.0567, 0.079, 0.0777, 0.0952, 0.1141, 0.1123, 0.1128, 0.2237, 0.2265, 0.2187, 0.2352, 0.2658, 0.2656, 0.2746, 0.2359, 0.2318, 0.2803, 0.2754, 0.2618, 0.2623, 0.2328, 0.2367, 0.2328, 0.2179, 0.2179, 0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986495714021810516", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T18:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2d cloud test looking likely if 0.5 retrace (106ish) fails to hold and h/s pattern fulfills ... confluence at ~85 post-earnings for a move down of around -20%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short OKLO: H&S pattern fulfilling with neckline break targets ~85, a ~20% decline from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$OKLO 2d cloud test looking likely if 0.5 retrace (106ish) fails to hold and h/s pattern fulfills (looking likely after today) https://t.co/ZdG24c3AOf\n\n---\n\nZooming into the 2h chart we can clearly see the fib channels call the neckline for the H/S setup and confluence at ~85 post-earnings for a move down of around -20% https://t.co/aw4W2Djy2H", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13564405954972925, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13564405954972925, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12479835920413063, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12479835920413063, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05526933513703902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05526933513703902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05428482755566222, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05428482755566222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "ret_p1w": -0.047868858176595475, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047868858176595475, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050449768015078056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050449768015078056, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "ret_p1m": -0.01948479467030151, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01948479467030151, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04242937983281714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04242937983281714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "ret_p3m": -0.26932084309133486, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26932084309133486, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30103378188904706, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30103378188904706, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "ret_p6m": -0.340515208188488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.340515208188488, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42173639685021336, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.42173639685021336, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "price_path": [-0.3268, -0.2649, -0.2748, -0.31, -0.3343, -0.3537, -0.3873, -0.3764, -0.3706, -0.3407, -0.3331, -0.3039, -0.3143, -0.2704, -0.3102, -0.3102, -0.3106, -0.3234, -0.3479, -0.3462, -0.3375, -0.3071, -0.3091, -0.2509, -0.2252, -0.1037, -0.1023, -0.1074, -0.0167, 0.2668, 0.3143, 0.3363, 0.2288, 0.116, 0.0354, 0.0914, 0.0457, 0.086, 0.2066, 0.1931, 0.298, 0.2564, 0.2625, 0.294, 0.3785, 0.602, 0.6313, 0.6071, 0.5189, 0.5306, 0.4899, 0.3062, 0.1252, 0.1681, 0.2745, 0.2874, 0.2392, 0.3435, 0.287, 0.2437, 0.1866, 0.0513, 0.1356, 0.0, 0.0553, 0.0447, -0.0237, 0.0414, -0.0479, -0.086, -0.1067, -0.0948, -0.0364, -0.1756, -0.1741, -0.1611, -0.1965, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.144, -0.1816, -0.1397, -0.0952, 0.0459, -0.0195, -0.02, -0.0264, -0.0576, -0.0351, -0.1811, -0.2288, -0.2177, -0.2886, -0.2719, -0.2203, -0.2184, -0.233, -0.2383, -0.2383, -0.2794, -0.3059, -0.3291, -0.3278, -0.3278, -0.2712, -0.1631, -0.1044, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0135, -0.0398, -0.0905, -0.101, -0.1433, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1576, -0.1496, -0.1482, -0.1791, -0.2289, -0.2012, -0.1158, -0.194, -0.2541, -0.3104, -0.2693, -0.3608, -0.4179, -0.334, -0.297, -0.3492, -0.3796, -0.4012, -0.3846, -0.3846, -0.3664, -0.3687, -0.3664, -0.4021, -0.409, -0.3905, -0.3787, -0.353, -0.4103, -0.3941, -0.407, -0.385, -0.4189, -0.4543, -0.4213, -0.425, -0.4121, -0.4418, -0.4532, -0.4408, -0.433, -0.4689, -0.4877, -0.4944, -0.473, -0.4852, -0.4822, -0.5147, -0.5295, -0.573, -0.5355, -0.5497, -0.5491, -0.5491, -0.5432, -0.5636, -0.5296, -0.5527, -0.5293, -0.4947, -0.4512, -0.4066, -0.3985, -0.3741, -0.3618, -0.4135, -0.3217, -0.2837, -0.3349, -0.2887, -0.3528, -0.3913, -0.3208, -0.3405]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1813793361125601434", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-18T04:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Went short $QQQ and long $DIA last week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds live short QQQ / long DIA rotation trade initiated last week.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin Gurg behind the curve as per usual. Went short $QQQ and long $DIA last week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "INTERESTING SECTOR ROTATIONS OVER THE LAST 5 DAYS https://t.co/yiPXNTB3hf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": 0.004754994073602914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004754994073602914, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0029894456185139973, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0029894456185139973, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007744439692116911, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007744439692116911, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008863641473857986, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008863641473857986, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0022230373085562194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0022230373085562194, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006640604165301767, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006640604165301767, "ret_p1w": -0.04425537792425138, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04425537792425138, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018471024919702206, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018471024919702206, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025784353004549176, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025784353004549176, "ret_p1m": -0.009301584548325081, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009301584548325081, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012287093732915588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012287093732915588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002985509184590507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002985509184590507, "ret_p3m": 0.02513036467417673, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02513036467417673, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02715912146439381, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02715912146439381, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05228948613857054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05228948613857054, "ret_p6m": 0.06096415573736258, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06096415573736258, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003839962456878121, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003839962456878121, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05712419328048446, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05712419328048446, "price_path": [-0.1279, -0.1149, -0.1119, -0.1162, -0.1026, -0.0989, -0.1159, -0.1223, -0.1111, -0.0932, -0.0833, -0.0831, -0.0837, -0.0817, -0.0795, -0.0774, -0.0715, -0.057, -0.0589, -0.0593, -0.0528, -0.0509, -0.0511, -0.0554, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0428, -0.0496, -0.0598, -0.0615, -0.0565, -0.0539, -0.0348, -0.0352, -0.036, -0.0321, -0.0255, -0.0127, -0.0074, -0.0022, 0.01, 0.0103, 0.0103, 0.0025, -0.0002, -0.0115, -0.0002, 0.0018, 0.0044, -0.0008, 0.0051, 0.0156, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0348, 0.0372, 0.0381, 0.0489, 0.0259, 0.032, 0.0347, 0.0351, 0.0048, 0.0, -0.0089, 0.0059, 0.0024, -0.0336, -0.0443, -0.0345, -0.0325, -0.0458, -0.0176, -0.0414, -0.0641, -0.092, -0.0833, -0.0933, -0.0655, -0.0606, -0.0586, -0.0353, -0.035, -0.0106, -0.0093, 0.0037, 0.0016, 0.0063, -0.0097, 0.0011, -0.0087, -0.0057, -0.017, -0.0184, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0369, -0.0394, -0.0385, -0.0642, -0.0522, -0.0434, -0.0227, -0.0131, -0.0087, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0168, 0.0081, 0.0062, 0.0088, 0.0137, 0.0146, 0.0222, 0.0166, 0.0193, 0.0051, 0.0065, 0.0058, 0.0178, 0.0069, 0.0219, 0.0299, 0.0288, 0.0304, 0.039, 0.0251, 0.0253, 0.026, 0.0327, 0.0347, 0.0358, 0.0199, 0.0282, 0.0345, 0.0346, 0.0446, 0.0367, 0.0105, 0.018, 0.015, 0.028, 0.0559, 0.0725, 0.0738, 0.0731, 0.0712, 0.0698, 0.0624, 0.0371, 0.0443, 0.0515, 0.0509, 0.0546, 0.0563, 0.058, 0.0637, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0646, 0.0762, 0.0795, 0.0928, 0.0898, 0.0995, 0.091, 0.0873, 0.1067, 0.0996, 0.108, 0.124, 0.119, 0.0786, 0.0738, 0.0832, 0.0938, 0.1086, 0.1086, 0.1078, 0.0931, 0.0786, 0.0694, 0.0694, 0.0673, 0.0848, 0.0973, 0.0777, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.061]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1813793361125601434", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-18T04:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "DIA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Went short $QQQ and long $DIA last week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds live short QQQ / long DIA rotation trade initiated last week.", "resolved_tickers": ["DIA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gurgavin Gurg behind the curve as per usual. Went short $QQQ and long $DIA last week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "INTERESTING SECTOR ROTATIONS OVER THE LAST 5 DAYS https://t.co/yiPXNTB3hf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gurgavin", "ret_m1d": 0.012809583722491968, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012809583722491968, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005065144030375057, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005065144030375057, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007744439692116911, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007744439692116911, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008796477117473112, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008796477117473112, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002155872952171345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002155872952171345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006640604165301767, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006640604165301767, "ret_p1w": -0.01730766558860075, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01730766558860075, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008476687415948425, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008476687415948425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025784353004549176, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025784353004549176, "ret_p1m": 0.0013331995399565866, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0013331995399565866, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0016523096446339203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0016523096446339203, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002985509184590507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002985509184590507, "ret_p3m": 0.0556660208563291, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0556660208563291, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0033765347177585614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0033765347177585614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05228948613857054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05228948613857054, "ret_p6m": 0.03937508201276696, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03937508201276696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0177491112677175, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0177491112677175, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05712419328048446, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05712419328048446, "price_path": [-0.0634, -0.0569, -0.0583, -0.0669, -0.0635, -0.0599, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0637, -0.0526, -0.0485, -0.0478, -0.0435, -0.0349, -0.032, -0.0337, -0.031, -0.0219, -0.0221, -0.0188, -0.0234, -0.0217, -0.0269, -0.0416, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0467, -0.0565, -0.0641, -0.0493, -0.0525, -0.0494, -0.0469, -0.0449, -0.047, -0.045, -0.0482, -0.0489, -0.0509, -0.0519, -0.0467, -0.0454, -0.0454, -0.0382, -0.0378, -0.0313, -0.0386, -0.0381, -0.0373, -0.0383, -0.0375, -0.033, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.032, -0.0326, -0.0339, -0.0233, -0.0223, -0.0157, -0.0107, 0.0072, 0.0128, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0058, -0.0075, -0.0193, -0.0173, -0.0014, -0.0025, 0.0022, 0.0048, -0.0081, -0.0231, -0.0485, -0.0408, -0.0461, -0.0295, -0.028, -0.0314, -0.0215, -0.0158, -0.0016, 0.0013, 0.0072, 0.0058, 0.0069, 0.0032, 0.0139, 0.0161, 0.0165, 0.0127, 0.019, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.01, 0.0104, 0.0056, -0.0043, 0.007, 0.0051, 0.0076, 0.0142, 0.0215, 0.0275, 0.0272, 0.0246, 0.0374, 0.0385, 0.0398, 0.0423, 0.0349, 0.041, 0.0443, 0.0448, 0.0408, 0.0418, 0.037, 0.0455, 0.0361, 0.039, 0.0495, 0.0486, 0.0586, 0.0639, 0.0557, 0.0635, 0.0678, 0.0686, 0.0605, 0.0604, 0.0502, 0.0467, 0.0402, 0.0475, 0.0436, 0.0417, 0.0317, 0.0384, 0.0326, 0.0431, 0.08, 0.0804, 0.0871, 0.0942, 0.0853, 0.0863, 0.0811, 0.0739, 0.0731, 0.0698, 0.0734, 0.0849, 0.0953, 0.1062, 0.1094, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.1124, 0.1091, 0.107, 0.1145, 0.1089, 0.1051, 0.1, 0.0966, 0.0937, 0.0881, 0.0859, 0.0834, 0.0765, 0.0485, 0.0492, 0.0622, 0.0631, 0.072, 0.072, 0.0738, 0.0658, 0.0553, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.0505, 0.0588, 0.0587, 0.0542, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0394]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989398022711808096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T18:20:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA rebounded off $385 - daily cloud bottom + multi-decade fib chan + golden fib retrace confluence", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA found technical support at $385 via cloud bottom + fib confluence; implies the rebound holds from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For those wondering why $TSLA rebounded off $385 - daily cloud bottom + multi-decade fib chan + golden fib retrace confluence. I mentioned this yesterday.\n\nhttps://t.co/zASmXDRO0p https://t.co/bDOv6GaRuz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0058365669185533875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0058365669185533875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006000362503490342, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010644082184384951, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004807515265831563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011302107716671506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011302107716671506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020618541145916103, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020700502809683052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009398395093011547, "ret_p1w": -0.03279339573505624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03279339573505624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013595054994380518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00944892010793641, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02334447562711983, "ret_p1m": 0.175491505833963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.175491505833963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16239489320522282, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12104999166305275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054441514170910255, "ret_p3m": 0.05915662804276711, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05915662804276711, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.026303874427045848, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.037082239878639234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02207438816412788, "ret_p6m": 0.10053170095928676, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10053170095928676, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.005996635631230873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06240240403848918, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038129296920797584, "price_path": [-0.1856, -0.199, -0.2083, -0.1591, -0.1428, -0.1303, -0.1354, -0.1444, -0.1743, -0.1743, -0.1855, -0.1738, -0.1628, -0.1323, -0.1433, -0.1419, -0.1399, -0.0879, -0.0208, 0.0141, 0.0427, 0.0532, 0.0309, 0.0537, 0.0738, 0.0532, 0.0951, 0.0471, 0.0892, 0.0961, 0.0998, 0.1363, 0.0783, 0.063, 0.1209, 0.0711, 0.0849, 0.0771, 0.0226, 0.078, 0.0616, 0.0762, 0.0603, 0.0865, 0.1065, 0.0946, 0.0856, 0.1104, 0.0726, 0.1189, 0.139, 0.1414, 0.0884, 0.1291, 0.1583, 0.0987, 0.1427, 0.1028, 0.0622, 0.1011, 0.0872, 0.0649, -0.0058, 0.0, 0.0113, -0.0077, -0.0009, -0.0226, -0.0328, 0.0332, 0.0372, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0639, 0.0638, 0.0616, 0.1048, 0.1241, 0.1253, 0.0871, 0.101, 0.1165, 0.1052, 0.1351, 0.1755, 0.2115, 0.1556, 0.1954, 0.1901, 0.2087, 0.2008, 0.2004, 0.2004, 0.1752, 0.1367, 0.1239, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.0834, 0.117, 0.0708, 0.0669, 0.0778, 0.1006, 0.1103, 0.106, 0.0862, 0.0846, 0.082, 0.082, 0.0368, 0.067, 0.1113, 0.1106, 0.0763, 0.0657, 0.067, 0.0302, 0.0644, 0.0432, 0.0436, 0.0041, -0.0177, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.0516, 0.0592, 0.0315, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0155, 0.0172, 0.0182, 0.0185, -0.0112, 0.0124, 0.0323, 0.0105, -0.0046, -0.0025, -0.0295, 0.0039, 0.003, -0.0188, -0.014, -0.0126, 0.0086, -0.0231, -0.0325, -0.0217, -0.0126, -0.0286, -0.0595, -0.09, -0.0581, -0.0527, -0.0455, -0.0797, -0.1052, -0.1214, -0.0806, -0.0571, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1274, -0.1427, -0.1511, -0.1452, -0.137, -0.1284, -0.0993, -0.0307, -0.0382, -0.0092, -0.0293, -0.0443, -0.0416, -0.0758, -0.0694, -0.0635, -0.0701, -0.078, -0.0562, -0.0335, -0.0293, -0.037, -0.0139, 0.0184, 0.0594, 0.1005]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1808668134041420159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-04T01:04:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will be closing my remaining long positions at 258-265 with a couple runners to 288", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA to 258-265 (runners to 288) then short via long-dated puts targeting 195-215 by EOY on post-print spike/chop thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA rally/short squeeze has been warranted.  It can keep going. The q2 report wasn\u2019t as bad as expected and energy storage was much higher than any lofty expectations (even though this does not mean q3 will repeat this growth due to energy storage lumpy demand). \n\nThat said, technicals will continue to drive short term price movement. 225-235 was a key area that was decisively breached, so the following are my most likely near-term (potentially 2024) highs: \n\n258 (diamond bottom/inverse head shoulder target/cloud/fib chan)\n265 (fib ext/retrace/cloud/fib chan)\n288 (gap/fib ext)\n300 (psych level/previous supply level)\n\nThis is the confluence of key technicals, patterns and options flow. I will be closing my remaining (sold half at 225 and 246) long positions at 258-265 with a couple runners to 288. I also have long dated 90+ day short positions as I expected a spike upwards post print and downwards chop back to 195-215 by EOY. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\n258 rejection was strong. 265 still on table for tmr/wednesday. Thurs is CPI https://t.co/5QxidTz38Y\n\n---\n\nWell this aged well. Above targets remain. Also adding ~272-275 to the list.\n\n---\n\nFor anyone wondering what resistance was at 270, monthly ichi cloud https://t.co/4tnk75KFpw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02082067005771515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02082067005771515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01505419907986738, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012672579751177748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005766470977847771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008148090306537403, "ret_p1w": -0.02175413216294997, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02175413216294997, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03085728415461264, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02841116407859179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009103151991662672, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00665703191564182, "ret_p1m": -0.15714924029635702, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15714924029635702, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1234931290881216, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09531826544859823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03365611120823542, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06183097484775879, "ret_p3m": 0.04720154897858264, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04720154897858264, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012921519329743392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.017780908018157016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03428002964883925, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06498245699673966, "ret_p6m": 0.7519380036990442, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7519380036990442, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6660136647435138, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.523571811368096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08592433895553042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22836619233094813, "price_path": [-0.2979, -0.2821, -0.3029, -0.2914, -0.3058, -0.3446, -0.3624, -0.3691, -0.3915, -0.4032, -0.4235, -0.4128, -0.342, -0.3093, -0.317, -0.2124, -0.2561, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.2646, -0.2501, -0.2783, -0.2909, -0.302, -0.3162, -0.3024, -0.2794, -0.2938, -0.2904, -0.2798, -0.2899, -0.2427, -0.269, -0.2949, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2826, -0.2849, -0.2744, -0.2772, -0.2845, -0.2907, -0.2897, -0.2778, -0.2797, -0.2947, -0.3074, -0.2804, -0.2594, -0.2775, -0.2393, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2631, -0.2572, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.203, -0.1987, -0.1969, -0.1483, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0266, 0.0647, 0.0685, -0.0218, 0.0075, 0.0254, 0.0413, 0.0086, 0.0115, -0.0292, 0.0208, -0.0, -0.1234, -0.1061, -0.1079, -0.058, -0.0965, -0.0581, -0.1199, -0.1571, -0.1928, -0.1857, -0.2217, -0.193, -0.1883, -0.1985, -0.1565, -0.1827, -0.1309, -0.1229, -0.0961, -0.1026, -0.0938, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.1347, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1453, -0.1095, -0.0658, -0.1447, -0.1222, -0.0821, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0653, -0.0796, -0.0752, -0.0779, -0.01, -0.033, 0.0147, 0.032, 0.0431, 0.0318, 0.0571, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0107, -0.0233, 0.015, -0.0226, -0.0077, -0.0217, -0.0309, -0.116, -0.1105, -0.1089, -0.1017, -0.1035, -0.1043, -0.1118, -0.1153, -0.1329, 0.0572, 0.0925, 0.0654, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.014, 0.0105, -0.0144, 0.0205, 0.171, 0.205, 0.3037, 0.4205, 0.3332, 0.3403, 0.263, 0.3017, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3882, 0.3785, 0.4309, 0.3742, 0.3727, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.4009, 0.4493, 0.4263, 0.4527, 0.4996, 0.5797, 0.582, 0.6275, 0.724, 0.6969, 0.7705, 0.8792, 0.9476, 0.7863, 0.7702, 0.7089, 0.7476, 0.8762, 0.8762, 0.8431, 0.7519]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1808668134041420159", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-04T01:04:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also have long dated 90+ day short positions as I expected a spike upwards post print and downwards chop back to 195-215 by EOY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSLA to 258-265 (runners to 288) then short via long-dated puts targeting 195-215 by EOY on post-print spike/chop thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA rally/short squeeze has been warranted.  It can keep going. The q2 report wasn\u2019t as bad as expected and energy storage was much higher than any lofty expectations (even though this does not mean q3 will repeat this growth due to energy storage lumpy demand). \n\nThat said, technicals will continue to drive short term price movement. 225-235 was a key area that was decisively breached, so the following are my most likely near-term (potentially 2024) highs: \n\n258 (diamond bottom/inverse head shoulder target/cloud/fib chan)\n265 (fib ext/retrace/cloud/fib chan)\n288 (gap/fib ext)\n300 (psych level/previous supply level)\n\nThis is the confluence of key technicals, patterns and options flow. I will be closing my remaining (sold half at 225 and 246) long positions at 258-265 with a couple runners to 288. I also have long dated 90+ day short positions as I expected a spike upwards post print and downwards chop back to 195-215 by EOY. Not financial advice.\n\n---\n\n258 rejection was strong. 265 still on table for tmr/wednesday. Thurs is CPI https://t.co/5QxidTz38Y\n\n---\n\nWell this aged well. Above targets remain. Also adding ~272-275 to the list.\n\n---\n\nFor anyone wondering what resistance was at 270, monthly ichi cloud https://t.co/4tnk75KFpw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02082067005771515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02082067005771515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01505419907986738, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012672579751177748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005766470977847771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008148090306537403, "ret_p1w": -0.02175413216294997, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02175413216294997, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03085728415461264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02841116407859179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009103151991662672, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00665703191564182, "ret_p1m": -0.15714924029635702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15714924029635702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1234931290881216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09531826544859823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03365611120823542, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06183097484775879, "ret_p3m": 0.04720154897858264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04720154897858264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012921519329743392, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.017780908018157016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03428002964883925, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06498245699673966, "ret_p6m": 0.7519380036990442, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7519380036990442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6660136647435138, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.523571811368096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08592433895553042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22836619233094813, "price_path": [-0.2979, -0.2821, -0.3029, -0.2914, -0.3058, -0.3446, -0.3624, -0.3691, -0.3915, -0.4032, -0.4235, -0.4128, -0.342, -0.3093, -0.317, -0.2124, -0.2561, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.2646, -0.2501, -0.2783, -0.2909, -0.302, -0.3162, -0.3024, -0.2794, -0.2938, -0.2904, -0.2798, -0.2899, -0.2427, -0.269, -0.2949, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2826, -0.2849, -0.2744, -0.2772, -0.2845, -0.2907, -0.2897, -0.2778, -0.2797, -0.2947, -0.3074, -0.2804, -0.2594, -0.2775, -0.2393, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2631, -0.2572, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.203, -0.1987, -0.1969, -0.1483, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0266, 0.0647, 0.0685, -0.0218, 0.0075, 0.0254, 0.0413, 0.0086, 0.0115, -0.0292, 0.0208, -0.0, -0.1234, -0.1061, -0.1079, -0.058, -0.0965, -0.0581, -0.1199, -0.1571, -0.1928, -0.1857, -0.2217, -0.193, -0.1883, -0.1985, -0.1565, -0.1827, -0.1309, -0.1229, -0.0961, -0.1026, -0.0938, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.1347, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1453, -0.1095, -0.0658, -0.1447, -0.1222, -0.0821, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0653, -0.0796, -0.0752, -0.0779, -0.01, -0.033, 0.0147, 0.032, 0.0431, 0.0318, 0.0571, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0107, -0.0233, 0.015, -0.0226, -0.0077, -0.0217, -0.0309, -0.116, -0.1105, -0.1089, -0.1017, -0.1035, -0.1043, -0.1118, -0.1153, -0.1329, 0.0572, 0.0925, 0.0654, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.014, 0.0105, -0.0144, 0.0205, 0.171, 0.205, 0.3037, 0.4205, 0.3332, 0.3403, 0.263, 0.3017, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3882, 0.3785, 0.4309, 0.3742, 0.3727, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.4009, 0.4493, 0.4263, 0.4527, 0.4996, 0.5797, 0.582, 0.6275, 0.724, 0.6969, 0.7705, 0.8792, 0.9476, 0.7863, 0.7702, 0.7089, 0.7476, 0.8762, 0.8762, 0.8431, 0.7519]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1865468277692211359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-07T18:47:50+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let the technicals drive us to $500-600 after 3+ years of consolidation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA to $500\u2013600 on technical breakout after 3+ years of consolidation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 Fundamentals back seat Gary. Let the technicals drive us to $500-600 after 3+ years of consolidation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "As a fundamentals-based analyst, I generally don\u2019t look at price charts, but two I look at are TSLA\u2019s P/E trend on a forward one-year basis, and TSLA Adj EPS est on both near-term FY\u201925 and longer-term FY\u201929 ests.   We know that $TSLA is up +51% YTD (vs NDX +28%), all of which is https://t.co/fqH4ky4jwn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garyblack00", "ret_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0014623446258834605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006638730115564595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004651142174291856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0051763854896811345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031887975484083952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02873337295448497, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03184238940014317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027095929108661876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003109016445658197, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016374438458230944, "ret_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1878703375238273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18438084955239908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15934327329292364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003489487971428229, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028527064230903676, "ret_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01172420202277702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03499081156220407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05162142384125523, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.023266609539427052, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03989722181847821, "ret_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3241232293498626, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27444020333230934, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21372277435713027, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049683026017553256, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11040045499273232, "ret_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1167808782507671, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10886844732232615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04948115718149959, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.007912430928440961, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06729972106926752, "price_path": [-0.4147, -0.4104, -0.4092, -0.4182, -0.4154, -0.4171, -0.3742, -0.3888, -0.3586, -0.3477, -0.3406, -0.3478, -0.3318, -0.3288, -0.3381, -0.3611, -0.3826, -0.3584, -0.3822, -0.3727, -0.3816, -0.3874, -0.4412, -0.4377, -0.4367, -0.4322, -0.4333, -0.4338, -0.4385, -0.4408, -0.4519, -0.3317, -0.3094, -0.3265, -0.3342, -0.3393, -0.359, -0.3612, -0.377, -0.3549, -0.2598, -0.2383, -0.1759, -0.1021, -0.1573, -0.1528, -0.2017, -0.1772, -0.131, -0.1123, -0.1225, -0.1287, -0.0955, -0.1314, -0.1323, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1145, -0.0839, -0.0984, -0.0817, -0.0521, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.0897, 0.0726, 0.1191, 0.1879, 0.2311, 0.1291, 0.119, 0.0802, 0.1047, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1651, 0.1074, 0.0709, 0.036, 0.036, -0.027, 0.053, 0.0545, 0.0117, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0127, 0.0347, 0.0169, 0.0986, 0.0616, 0.0942, 0.0942, 0.0879, 0.065, 0.058, 0.0431, 0.0189, 0.0213, -0.0018, 0.0269, 0.038, -0.0157, 0.0062, -0.0298, -0.0397, -0.0723, -0.1002, -0.1572, -0.1367, -0.0868, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.075, -0.0908, -0.1334, -0.152, -0.2232, -0.254, -0.2767, -0.2484, -0.2697, -0.3021, -0.284, -0.3241, -0.3261, -0.4301, -0.4085, -0.3635, -0.3825, -0.3587, -0.3894, -0.422, -0.3949, -0.3939, -0.3619, -0.2858, -0.2608, -0.302, -0.2993, -0.3239, -0.3351, -0.3113, -0.2746, -0.3143, -0.3857, -0.4015, -0.4308, -0.3017, -0.3525, -0.3527, -0.3526, -0.3481, -0.3803, -0.3808, -0.3808, -0.4164, -0.3895, -0.3567, -0.3342, -0.269, -0.2666, -0.2508, -0.2761, -0.2803, -0.2632, -0.281, -0.2936, -0.2914, -0.2693, -0.2348, -0.1832, -0.1429, -0.108, -0.1205, -0.1021, -0.1224, -0.1179, -0.1415, -0.1251, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.069, -0.0844, -0.0805, -0.1112, -0.1208, -0.1168]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1988639928310444164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T16:08:00+00:00", "symbol": "ONON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My 1-yr PT is $61 (~50% upside)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ONON with 1-yr PT $61 (~50% upside); near-term resistance $45-50, expects climb to ~$51 by early 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ONON follow up to yesterday's 20%+ high conviction post.\n\nOutlook suggests ~$45-50 will act as resistance for the next few weeks/months. I expect it to climb the 2w cloud back to ~$51 by early 2026.\n\nMy 1-yr PT is $61 (~50% upside). https://t.co/JDQ0x2jbI9\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/9u1iuYsiBN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1524933334693428, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1524933334693428, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15193715449792, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.159259734908886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006766401439543213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021440694780370917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021440694780370917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0380347147605975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04640497082312611, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024964276042755196, "ret_p1w": 0.043122163042796036, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043122163042796036, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07348601385281694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09956498533135183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.056442822288555794, "ret_p1m": 0.19248378707647418, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19248378707647418, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.184011309447363, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18231322763486113, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010170559441613047, "ret_p3m": 0.06817638991776676, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06817638991776676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049708589329844566, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07815405222338712, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00997766230562036, "ret_p6m": -0.14117073073005737, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14117073073005737, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2177980370157151, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15284480616622953, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01167407543617216, "price_path": [0.0923, 0.0894, 0.0848, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.1217, 0.0983, 0.0884, 0.0884, 0.0742, 0.086, 0.086, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.1094, 0.0966, 0.0889, 0.0694, 0.0323, 0.0431, 0.0332, 0.0279, 0.0364, 0.0561, 0.0838, 0.0896, 0.0983, 0.1048, 0.1024, 0.0581, 0.0231, 0.0501, 0.0202, -0.0132, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0255, 0.0048, 0.0508, 0.0431, 0.0084, 0.0352, 0.0161, -0.0017, 0.0113, 0.0075, -0.001, 0.0337, 0.0183, 0.0414, 0.0046, 0.0169, -0.0082, -0.0535, -0.1031, -0.105, -0.1217, -0.1279, -0.1308, -0.1445, -0.1568, -0.1578, -0.1525, 0.0, 0.0214, 0.0214, -0.0026, 0.0277, 0.0431, -0.0022, -0.0055, -0.0173, 0.006, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.0597, 0.0764, 0.0877, 0.1339, 0.1205, 0.1597, 0.1327, 0.1397, 0.1737, 0.1925, 0.1747, 0.1513, 0.1633, 0.1588, 0.1674, 0.1701, 0.1597, 0.1537, 0.12, 0.12, 0.127, 0.1433, 0.1431, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1311, 0.1804, 0.1814, 0.1722, 0.2197, 0.1833, 0.1783, 0.1385, 0.0858, 0.1082, 0.0853, 0.0853, 0.0629, 0.1154, 0.1231, 0.1072, 0.1195, 0.0966, 0.0807, 0.0846, 0.0901, 0.1067, 0.0631, 0.0569, 0.034, 0.0472, 0.0682, 0.0913, 0.0911, 0.0665, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.1241, 0.1402, 0.1568, 0.1906, 0.1429, 0.1272, 0.1238, 0.1467, 0.1197, 0.1265, 0.0578, 0.0414, 0.0448, -0.0012, -0.0079, -0.0118, -0.0499, -0.0855, -0.0848, -0.0544, -0.0414, -0.0593, -0.0636, -0.0927, -0.0397, -0.0463, -0.153, -0.2265, -0.2197, -0.232, -0.1804, -0.1624, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.1889, -0.224, -0.1855, -0.1703, -0.1918, -0.1763, -0.1429, -0.1465, -0.1467, -0.1099, -0.1026, -0.1152, -0.1183, -0.1274, -0.1267, -0.1344, -0.1465, -0.1489, -0.1421, -0.1679, -0.1739, -0.1667, -0.1313, -0.1412]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1823022068629467484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-12T15:41:45+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Massive amount of $ARM leap calls being bought the past week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavy LEAP call buying in ARM over the past week signals bullish positioning.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Massive amount of $ARM leap calls being bought the past week https://t.co/Pagb5imJLW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0011098544904488694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011098544904488694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005846723332263437, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008186956167813064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005251821572225257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009296810658261934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05685993185588534, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05685993185588534, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04041439134072311, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016191973717138763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016445540515162227, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040667958138746574, "ret_p1w": 0.1295995958433509, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1295995958433509, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08020641262361039, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022179786626987497, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04939318321974051, "bench_c_p1w": 0.1074198092163634, "ret_p1m": 0.08614363701772154, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08614363701772154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05704031835497503, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10826207211555938, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103318662746513, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02211843509783784, "ret_p3m": 0.28617772926728424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28617772926728424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16585059711128292, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13610730073094457, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032713215600133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15007042853633967, "ret_p6m": 0.38478614148101187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.38478614148101187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24904361583163648, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3161386064662359, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1357425256493754, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06864753501477594, "price_path": [-0.0295, -0.0244, -0.0579, -0.0569, -0.0201, -0.0401, -0.0393, -0.0213, -0.0213, 0.0667, 0.0301, 0.0307, 0.0289, 0.0853, 0.0745, 0.1668, 0.1707, 0.166, 0.1945, 0.2287, 0.3284, 0.3494, 0.348, 0.3685, 0.4866, 0.4866, 0.3726, 0.3686, 0.2898, 0.3712, 0.4063, 0.4252, 0.3969, 0.356, 0.3955, 0.4364, 0.4364, 0.5469, 0.5769, 0.5562, 0.5919, 0.4786, 0.5468, 0.5157, 0.5263, 0.3805, 0.3517, 0.395, 0.3963, 0.4659, 0.3462, 0.2733, 0.2721, 0.2075, 0.1351, 0.2309, 0.0374, -0.0314, -0.057, -0.0319, -0.0857, 0.0111, -0.0011, 0.0, 0.0569, 0.075, 0.1136, 0.1124, 0.1296, 0.1095, 0.1201, 0.1075, 0.1579, 0.1005, 0.1201, 0.0699, 0.1264, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.0564, 0.0326, 0.0509, 0.0014, 0.0718, 0.0861, 0.198, 0.1883, 0.2582, 0.1816, 0.1683, 0.1813, 0.2003, 0.1859, 0.2099, 0.2234, 0.2501, 0.2735, 0.2429, 0.221, 0.1618, 0.1699, 0.1802, 0.1999, 0.2067, 0.226, 0.2672, 0.2749, 0.2931, 0.3815, 0.2863, 0.302, 0.3199, 0.3065, 0.3007, 0.3027, 0.2158, 0.2041, 0.2273, 0.2808, 0.3418, 0.3182, 0.2064, 0.2079, 0.1742, 0.2008, 0.2352, 0.2862, 0.2591, 0.212, 0.1946, 0.1533, 0.1641, 0.099, 0.0984, 0.136, 0.1415, 0.1367, 0.161, 0.1925, 0.1673, 0.1386, 0.1386, 0.1465, 0.1982, 0.1985, 0.2064, 0.1778, 0.2029, 0.1922, 0.1721, 0.2222, 0.2636, 0.2969, 0.2379, 0.2192, 0.1659, 0.1278, 0.1282, 0.0832, 0.1252, 0.1252, 0.1072, 0.103, 0.075, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.0945, 0.2045, 0.2585, 0.2326, 0.2396, 0.2396, 0.1994, 0.1702, 0.1958, 0.2584, 0.2595, 0.2743, 0.2743, 0.325, 0.5362, 0.422, 0.3875, 0.2461, 0.2761, 0.2601, 0.3082, 0.3622, 0.3289, 0.3848]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1823377884763095477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-13T15:15:39+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "woops I meant $NVDA not $TSLA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds NVDA and TSLA as only two longs; targets $60-80 by 2026 on the unnamed company (NVDA corrected).", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 My only other long position next to $TSLA after closing $PLTR this week. This company is worth $60-80 by 2026\n\n---\n\n@garyblack00 woops I meant $NVDA not $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.061305327785082575, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.061305327785082575, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045125867243765994, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02222662086353777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01617946054131658, "bench_c_m1d": -0.039078706921544804, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016703968869365315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016703968869365315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013549247122744745, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015857185442184285, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00315472174662057, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008467834271810304, "ret_p1w": 0.0956604001507424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0956604001507424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0649245413844124, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04540426915622975, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030735858766330004, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05025613099451265, "ret_p1m": 0.006630008111536689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006630008111536689, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016209791027459675, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018442536027920897, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022839799138996364, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011812527916384208, "ret_p3m": 0.2712469749331039, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2712469749331039, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16427168153558847, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17323268825359506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10697529339751544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09801428667950884, "ret_p6m": 0.07498945473937324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07498945473937324, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04690784842709861, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.023990817898611683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12189730316647185, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05099863684076156, "price_path": [-0.1876, -0.2038, -0.184, -0.1788, -0.1825, -0.1063, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0194, -0.0114, -0.0486, -0.0561, -0.0099, 0.0025, 0.0542, 0.0417, 0.0408, 0.0486, 0.0411, 0.078, 0.116, 0.1355, 0.1278, 0.1674, 0.1674, 0.1261, 0.0898, 0.017, 0.0857, 0.0883, 0.0676, 0.0637, 0.0703, 0.0562, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.0834, 0.1038, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.097, 0.1128, 0.1059, 0.088, 0.0159, 0.0426, 0.0154, 0.0637, 0.0555, -0.0163, -0.0332, -0.0265, -0.0392, -0.1069, 0.0076, -0.0597, -0.0764, -0.1351, -0.1024, -0.1484, -0.0962, -0.0981, -0.0613, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.0579, 0.0727, 0.1193, 0.0957, 0.1064, 0.0654, 0.1139, 0.0889, 0.1047, 0.0815, 0.0125, 0.0278, 0.0278, -0.0701, -0.0855, -0.0769, -0.1146, -0.0833, -0.0692, 0.0066, 0.0259, 0.0256, 0.0056, -0.0047, -0.0238, 0.015, -0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0408, 0.0635, 0.0681, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.0075, 0.0234, 0.0579, 0.0757, 0.0998, 0.1443, 0.1423, 0.1609, 0.1608, 0.1889, 0.1332, 0.1687, 0.1791, 0.1883, 0.2375, 0.2365, 0.2018, 0.2091, 0.2188, 0.21, 0.2163, 0.1999, 0.1432, 0.1659, 0.1715, 0.2048, 0.2539, 0.282, 0.2712, 0.2508, 0.2769, 0.2595, 0.2638, 0.2226, 0.2068, 0.2659, 0.2563, 0.263, 0.2223, 0.1713, 0.179, 0.1654, 0.1654, 0.1905, 0.1937, 0.2078, 0.2498, 0.2492, 0.2266, 0.1954, 0.1632, 0.1997, 0.1827, 0.1561, 0.1367, 0.1229, 0.1101, 0.1254, 0.16, 0.2028, 0.2075, 0.2075, 0.205, 0.1799, 0.184, 0.1565, 0.1565, 0.1911, 0.2441, 0.2868, 0.2068, 0.2066, 0.2066, 0.1704, 0.1473, 0.1347, 0.1732, 0.1503, 0.1859, 0.1859, 0.2128, 0.2665, 0.2678, 0.2282, 0.0198, 0.1108, 0.0653, 0.0734, 0.034, 0.0046, 0.0218, 0.075]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1823377884763095477", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-13T15:15:39+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My only other long position next to $TSLA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds NVDA and TSLA as only two longs; targets $60-80 by 2026 on the unnamed company (NVDA corrected).", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@garyblack00 My only other long position next to $TSLA after closing $PLTR this week. This company is worth $60-80 by 2026\n\n---\n\n@garyblack00 woops I meant $NVDA not $TSLA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0497521832593546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0497521832593546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03357272271803802, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025313840325796644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01617946054131658, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024438342933557955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0310349655555765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0310349655555765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03418968730219707, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025697825185627354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00315472174662057, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005337140369949145, "ret_p1w": 0.06385028222849232, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06385028222849232, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03311442346216231, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023344762599481816, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030735858766330004, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0405055196290105, "ret_p1m": 0.09767599900354962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09767599900354962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07483619986455325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03559750383723714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022839799138996364, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062078495166312475, "ret_p3m": 0.5455901380486121, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5455901380486121, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4386148446510967, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3345574210884936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10697529339751544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2110327169601185, "ret_p6m": 0.819612231612014, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.819612231612014, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6977149284455422, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5270389278039163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12189730316647185, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29257330380809776, "price_path": [-0.1587, -0.1461, -0.1582, -0.1022, -0.1334, -0.164, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1495, -0.1522, -0.1397, -0.1431, -0.1518, -0.1591, -0.158, -0.1438, -0.146, -0.1638, -0.1788, -0.1469, -0.122, -0.1435, -0.0981, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1264, -0.1194, -0.1215, -0.0985, -0.0551, -0.0501, -0.0479, 0.0098, 0.1127, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.2102, 0.2171, 0.2622, 0.2667, 0.1597, 0.1944, 0.2156, 0.2345, 0.1957, 0.1992, 0.1509, 0.2102, 0.1855, 0.0393, 0.0598, 0.0576, 0.1168, 0.0712, 0.1166, 0.0434, -0.0008, -0.0431, -0.0346, -0.0773, -0.0433, -0.0377, -0.0498, 0.0, -0.031, 0.0304, 0.0399, 0.0716, 0.0639, 0.0743, 0.0136, 0.0601, 0.0259, 0.0066, -0.01, -0.0075, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0133, 0.0557, 0.1075, 0.014, 0.0406, 0.0882, 0.0977, 0.1058, 0.1081, 0.0912, 0.0964, 0.0932, 0.1737, 0.1464, 0.2029, 0.2235, 0.2367, 0.2232, 0.2532, 0.2589, 0.2415, 0.1982, 0.158, 0.2033, 0.1588, 0.1764, 0.1598, 0.1489, 0.048, 0.0545, 0.0565, 0.065, 0.0628, 0.0619, 0.053, 0.0488, 0.028, 0.2533, 0.2952, 0.2631, 0.2487, 0.2392, 0.2022, 0.198, 0.1685, 0.2098, 0.3883, 0.4286, 0.5456, 0.6841, 0.5806, 0.589, 0.4973, 0.5432, 0.6299, 0.6648, 0.6457, 0.6342, 0.6964, 0.6292, 0.6274, 0.6017, 0.6017, 0.6608, 0.7182, 0.6909, 0.7222, 0.7778, 0.8728, 0.8755, 0.9294, 1.0438, 1.0117, 1.099, 1.2279, 1.3089, 1.1177, 1.0987, 1.026, 1.0719, 1.2243, 1.2243, 1.1851, 1.077, 1.0084, 0.9431, 0.9431, 0.825, 0.9749, 0.9778, 0.8975, 0.9003, 0.9003, 0.8993, 0.9406, 0.9071, 1.0604, 0.9911, 1.0522, 1.0522, 1.0405, 0.9974, 0.9842, 0.9563, 0.9109, 0.9155, 0.8722, 0.926, 0.9468, 0.8461, 0.8872, 0.8196]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1903499061212414054", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-22T17:28:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I except a relief rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects a relief rally in TSLA; 213-225 was buy zone #1 though could go lower first.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Honeystocks1 @elonmusk 213-225 was buy zone candidate #1 but it can definitely go lower still. I except a relief rally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA is probably getting ready to rally to the upside amidst a sea of negativity.\n\n- terrorist attacks\n- media attacks\n- department of government efficiency\n- crazy lunatics\n\n@elonmusk is telling employees not to sell their stock and the chart tells us it's probably good advice. https://t.co/Xgqp8LOVOC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Honeystocks1", "ret_m1d": -0.10661304778496261, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10661304778496261, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08901956641907938, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07047821170923807, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017593481365883235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03613483607572454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03502280788451673, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03502280788451673, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.032619033594330826, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027043952536257354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024037742901859005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007978855348259373, "ret_p1w": -0.06907579286064758, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06907579286064758, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04348704398252723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0356430594684386, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02558874887812035, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03343273339220898, "ret_p1m": -0.14519203743273068, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14519203743273068, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06361802714402187, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05644565935170465, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08157401028870881, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08874637808102603, "ret_p3m": 0.15683024119836664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15683024119836664, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1161391052787113, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1267748914935216, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04069113591965534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030055349704845025, "ret_p6m": 0.5144939578728309, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5144939578728309, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36142968064935843, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32650174897446416, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1530642772234725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18799220889836676, "price_path": [0.6605, 0.6313, 0.5506, 0.4994, 0.4506, 0.4506, 0.3624, 0.4743, 0.4765, 0.4166, 0.4187, 0.4187, 0.4179, 0.4487, 0.4238, 0.5382, 0.4865, 0.532, 0.532, 0.5233, 0.4911, 0.4813, 0.4605, 0.4266, 0.43, 0.3977, 0.4378, 0.4534, 0.3782, 0.4089, 0.3584, 0.3446, 0.299, 0.2599, 0.18, 0.2088, 0.2786, 0.2782, 0.2782, 0.272, 0.2952, 0.273, 0.2134, 0.1873, 0.0877, 0.0446, 0.0128, 0.0524, 0.0225, -0.0228, 0.0026, -0.0537, -0.0565, -0.202, -0.1717, -0.1088, -0.1355, -0.1021, -0.145, -0.1907, -0.1528, -0.1513, -0.1066, 0.0, 0.035, -0.0227, -0.0189, -0.0533, -0.0691, -0.0357, 0.0157, -0.0399, -0.1399, -0.162, -0.2031, -0.0222, -0.0934, -0.0937, -0.0935, -0.0872, -0.1323, -0.133, -0.133, -0.1828, -0.1452, -0.0993, -0.0678, 0.0236, 0.0269, 0.049, 0.0135, 0.0077, 0.0317, 0.0067, -0.0109, -0.0078, 0.0231, 0.0714, 0.1436, 0.2, 0.2489, 0.2314, 0.2572, 0.2288, 0.235, 0.202, 0.225, 0.2189, 0.2189, 0.3035, 0.282, 0.2875, 0.2445, 0.231, 0.2366, 0.1928, 0.0227, 0.0602, 0.1084, 0.1713, 0.1726, 0.1463, 0.1685, 0.1823, 0.1364, 0.1568, 0.1568, 0.1572, 0.2525, 0.223, 0.1766, 0.1702, 0.1625, 0.1411, 0.0802, 0.1338, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.0559, 0.0698, 0.0628, 0.1131, 0.1262, 0.1383, 0.1163, 0.1555, 0.1473, 0.1841, 0.18, 0.193, 0.1946, 0.0967, 0.1353, 0.1695, 0.1538, 0.146, 0.1073, 0.0871, 0.1109, 0.1089, 0.1491, 0.1576, 0.1841, 0.2178, 0.2243, 0.2191, 0.2054, 0.1874, 0.2039, 0.1829, 0.1635, 0.1499, 0.2213, 0.245, 0.2632, 0.2558, 0.2428, 0.1993, 0.1993, 0.1831, 0.2001, 0.216, 0.2602, 0.2443, 0.2463, 0.2493, 0.3248, 0.4222, 0.4729, 0.5145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1869080046104928752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-17T17:59:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Using forward PE during multi year breakout and right before next growth wave is not smart", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSLA; dismisses 136x forward P/E concern as irrelevant given multi-year breakout and incoming growth wave.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SpecialSitsNews $TSLA PE was over 1000 pre 2021. Using forward PE during multi year breakout and right before next growth wave is not smart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSLA forward P/E now 136x but still cheaper than $PLTR\n\nThis market has become a clown show", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SpecialSitsNews", "ret_m1d": -0.035093562397275235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035093562397275235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039230557194108284, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03196116801217286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004136994796833049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031323943851023772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0827949436951747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0827949436951747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052991267426584, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03772957157943457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.029803676268590706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04506537211574013, "ret_p1w": -0.03663565854399364, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03663565854399364, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.035036708718446996, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017775727488936188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0015989498255466472, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018859931055057455, "ret_p1m": -0.10761469117502287, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10761469117502287, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09186906566815412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058668092691388285, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015745625506868755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.048946598483634585, "ret_p3m": -0.47905638444848697, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.47905638444848697, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41354848346493545, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3021477969963787, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06550790098355153, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17690858745210825, "ret_p6m": -0.31973908506535087, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31973908506535087, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.321243343996522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22070837850133262, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0015042589311711208, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09903070656401824, "price_path": [-0.4917, -0.5035, -0.479, -0.4701, -0.4644, -0.4702, -0.4572, -0.4548, -0.4623, -0.4811, -0.4985, -0.4788, -0.4981, -0.4905, -0.4977, -0.5024, -0.5461, -0.5433, -0.5424, -0.5388, -0.5397, -0.5401, -0.5439, -0.5458, -0.5548, -0.4572, -0.439, -0.4529, -0.4592, -0.4633, -0.4793, -0.4811, -0.4939, -0.476, -0.3987, -0.3813, -0.3306, -0.2706, -0.3154, -0.3118, -0.3515, -0.3316, -0.2941, -0.279, -0.2872, -0.2922, -0.2653, -0.2944, -0.2951, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.2807, -0.2558, -0.2677, -0.2541, -0.23, -0.1889, -0.1877, -0.1644, -0.1148, -0.1287, -0.0909, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0828, -0.091, -0.1225, -0.1027, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0536, -0.1004, -0.1301, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.2096, -0.1447, -0.1434, -0.1782, -0.177, -0.177, -0.1774, -0.1595, -0.174, -0.1076, -0.1376, -0.1112, -0.1112, -0.1163, -0.1349, -0.1406, -0.1527, -0.1724, -0.1704, -0.1891, -0.1658, -0.1568, -0.2004, -0.1827, -0.2119, -0.2199, -0.2464, -0.2691, -0.3154, -0.2987, -0.2582, -0.2585, -0.2585, -0.2621, -0.2486, -0.2615, -0.296, -0.3112, -0.369, -0.394, -0.4124, -0.3894, -0.4068, -0.4331, -0.4184, -0.451, -0.4526, -0.5371, -0.5195, -0.483, -0.4984, -0.4791, -0.504, -0.5305, -0.5085, -0.5076, -0.4817, -0.4199, -0.3995, -0.433, -0.4308, -0.4508, -0.4599, -0.4405, -0.4107, -0.443, -0.501, -0.5138, -0.5377, -0.4328, -0.474, -0.4742, -0.4741, -0.4704, -0.4966, -0.497, -0.497, -0.5259, -0.5041, -0.4775, -0.4592, -0.4062, -0.4042, -0.3914, -0.412, -0.4154, -0.4015, -0.416, -0.4262, -0.4244, -0.4065, -0.3784, -0.3365, -0.3038, -0.2755, -0.2856, -0.2707, -0.2871, -0.2835, -0.3027, -0.2893, -0.2928, -0.2928, -0.2438, -0.2562, -0.2531, -0.278, -0.2859, -0.2826, -0.308, -0.4067, -0.3849, -0.3569, -0.3204, -0.3197]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1861170461511684541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-25T22:09:51+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more upside inversely next ~6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Relative pair: more downside in TSLA vs NVDA over next ~6 months; NVDA better positioned on the upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@redmercy The rising wedge break will provide short term downside but I see more downside to $TSLA than $NVDA and more upside inversely next ~6 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mrwgreig The lower low on NVDA today not concerning? I Think it sees a bounce to 145 soon but that could just be to set a lower high. First break of structure we've seen since september", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "redmercy", "ret_m1d": 0.043596594780214604, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043596594780214604, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04697707200436363, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03965671924196945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033804772241490255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003939875538245152, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006616559714401005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006616559714401005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0013950782539458029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01580972883009768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005221481460455202, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009193169115696675, "ret_p1w": 0.01918833740167547, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01918833740167547, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008979633067933257, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0019102271891435763, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010208704333742213, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017278110212531894, "ret_p1m": 0.03094884078901794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03094884078901794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021252531625077786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005265998967166841, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696309163940153, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03621483975618478, "ret_p3m": 0.030140147663369588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030140147663369588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005196858932746462, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03258086381995229, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024943288730623125, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06272101148332188, "ret_p6m": -0.011898091199172067, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011898091199172067, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010399792823188148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.024080081370746798, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0014982983759839197, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01218199017157473, "price_path": [-0.0766, -0.1356, -0.1225, -0.1225, -0.2061, -0.2192, -0.2119, -0.2441, -0.2173, -0.2053, -0.1406, -0.1241, -0.1244, -0.1414, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.1334, -0.1472, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.092, -0.0881, -0.1075, -0.1072, -0.1398, -0.1262, -0.0968, -0.0816, -0.061, -0.023, -0.0248, -0.0089, -0.009, 0.0151, -0.0325, -0.0022, 0.0067, 0.0146, 0.0565, 0.0557, 0.026, 0.0323, 0.0406, 0.0331, 0.0385, 0.0244, -0.024, -0.0046, 0.0002, 0.0286, 0.0705, 0.0945, 0.0854, 0.0679, 0.0902, 0.0754, 0.079, 0.0438, 0.0304, 0.0808, 0.0726, 0.0783, 0.0436, 0.0, 0.0066, -0.005, -0.005, 0.0164, 0.0192, 0.0312, 0.067, 0.0665, 0.0473, 0.0206, -0.0069, 0.0243, 0.0098, -0.0129, -0.0295, -0.0413, -0.0522, -0.0392, -0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0288, 0.0073, 0.0109, -0.0127, -0.0127, 0.0169, 0.0622, 0.0987, 0.0304, 0.0301, 0.0301, -0.0007, -0.0204, -0.0313, 0.0017, -0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0354, 0.0813, 0.0824, 0.0486, -0.1293, -0.0516, -0.0905, -0.0835, -0.1172, -0.1423, -0.1276, -0.0822, -0.0539, -0.0454, -0.0179, -0.0236, -0.0358, -0.0053, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0249, 0.0237, 0.0301, -0.0116, -0.0421, -0.069, -0.0348, -0.1166, -0.0815, -0.1614, -0.1472, -0.1376, -0.187, -0.1715, -0.2134, -0.2004, -0.149, -0.1501, -0.1054, -0.1211, -0.1512, -0.1359, -0.1284, -0.1345, -0.1073, -0.1126, -0.1635, -0.1807, -0.1936, -0.2031, -0.1901, -0.1881, -0.2515, -0.3065, -0.282, -0.2919, -0.1593, -0.209, -0.1843, -0.1859, -0.175, -0.2317, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2874, -0.2729, -0.2448, -0.2174, -0.1837, -0.2005, -0.1984, -0.1991, -0.1793, -0.1581, -0.1631, -0.1651, -0.1393, -0.137, -0.1423, -0.0956, -0.0446, -0.0048, -0.0086, -0.0044, -0.0031, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1808698739231764805", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-04T03:05:58+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highly doubt it even breaches 315 next 12 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA; doubts it breaches $315 over the next 12 months, dismissing the new-ATH call.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SimonHale007 All time highs without a time frame is meaningless. Highly doubt it even breaches 315 next 12 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Rich Ross is the best technical analysts on Wall Street. Been following him for some time. When his technicals and our fundamentals lign up, watch out. \nThis should not be ignored. Please pay attention when he says $TSLA is going to new all time highs. https://t.co/aDgN9rFZHA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SimonHale007", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02082067005771515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02082067005771515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01505419907986738, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012672579751177748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005766470977847771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008148090306537403, "ret_p1w": -0.02175413216294997, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02175413216294997, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03085728415461264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02841116407859179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009103151991662672, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00665703191564182, "ret_p1m": -0.15714924029635702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15714924029635702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1234931290881216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09531826544859823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03365611120823542, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06183097484775879, "ret_p3m": 0.04720154897858264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04720154897858264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012921519329743392, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.017780908018157016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03428002964883925, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06498245699673966, "ret_p6m": 0.7519380036990442, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7519380036990442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6660136647435138, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.523571811368096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08592433895553042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22836619233094813, "price_path": [-0.2979, -0.2821, -0.3029, -0.2914, -0.3058, -0.3446, -0.3624, -0.3691, -0.3915, -0.4032, -0.4235, -0.4128, -0.342, -0.3093, -0.317, -0.2124, -0.2561, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.2646, -0.2501, -0.2783, -0.2909, -0.302, -0.3162, -0.3024, -0.2794, -0.2938, -0.2904, -0.2798, -0.2899, -0.2427, -0.269, -0.2949, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2826, -0.2849, -0.2744, -0.2772, -0.2845, -0.2907, -0.2897, -0.2778, -0.2797, -0.2947, -0.3074, -0.2804, -0.2594, -0.2775, -0.2393, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2631, -0.2572, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.203, -0.1987, -0.1969, -0.1483, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.0266, 0.0647, 0.0685, -0.0218, 0.0075, 0.0254, 0.0413, 0.0086, 0.0115, -0.0292, 0.0208, -0.0, -0.1234, -0.1061, -0.1079, -0.058, -0.0965, -0.0581, -0.1199, -0.1571, -0.1928, -0.1857, -0.2217, -0.193, -0.1883, -0.1985, -0.1565, -0.1827, -0.1309, -0.1229, -0.0961, -0.1026, -0.0938, -0.145, -0.1058, -0.1347, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1453, -0.1095, -0.0658, -0.1447, -0.1222, -0.0821, -0.0741, -0.0673, -0.0653, -0.0796, -0.0752, -0.0779, -0.01, -0.033, 0.0147, 0.032, 0.0431, 0.0318, 0.0571, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0107, -0.0233, 0.015, -0.0226, -0.0077, -0.0217, -0.0309, -0.116, -0.1105, -0.1089, -0.1017, -0.1035, -0.1043, -0.1118, -0.1153, -0.1329, 0.0572, 0.0925, 0.0654, 0.0533, 0.0453, 0.014, 0.0105, -0.0144, 0.0205, 0.171, 0.205, 0.3037, 0.4205, 0.3332, 0.3403, 0.263, 0.3017, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3882, 0.3785, 0.4309, 0.3742, 0.3727, 0.3511, 0.3511, 0.4009, 0.4493, 0.4263, 0.4527, 0.4996, 0.5797, 0.582, 0.6275, 0.724, 0.6969, 0.7705, 0.8792, 0.9476, 0.7863, 0.7702, 0.7089, 0.7476, 0.8762, 0.8762, 0.8431, 0.7519]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1819096624096072045", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-01T19:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a rising wedge on the log charts that also coincides with $96 gap in the next few weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: rising wedge on log chart points to $96 gap fill in coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheChartress There's a rising wedge on the log charts that also coincides with $96 gap in the next few weeks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Nvidia's chart still points to sub-$100 $NVDA https://t.co/xMfUijnlgp", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheChartress", "ret_m1d": 0.07151367180537949, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07151367180537949, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.057149345547265806, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00233909729871562, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01436432625811368, "bench_c_m1d": 0.06917457450666387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017763932333548227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017763932333548227, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008545693125519005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036692532901737684, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.018618501646100127, "bench_c_p1d": -0.05445646523528591, "ret_p1w": -0.0388242536732899, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0388242536732899, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016062326591976928, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012418533580844215, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02276192708131297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026405720092445684, "ret_p1m": 0.09303179582922882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09303179582922882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05496629107685069, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039137958710135035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03806550475237813, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05389383711909379, "ret_p3m": 0.2934903813209795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2934903813209795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21882436989617493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18133065935803172, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07466601142480456, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11215972196294777, "ret_p6m": 0.3061261547635872, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3061261547635872, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17928268450046603, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16899283885349026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12684347026312115, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13713331591009692, "price_path": [-0.1564, -0.1709, -0.1722, -0.1874, -0.1771, -0.1723, -0.1636, -0.1336, -0.1361, -0.1533, -0.1322, -0.1267, -0.1306, -0.0496, -0.0252, -0.0252, 0.0429, 0.0513, 0.0117, 0.0038, 0.0529, 0.0661, 0.1211, 0.1078, 0.1068, 0.1151, 0.1071, 0.1464, 0.1868, 0.2076, 0.1993, 0.2415, 0.2415, 0.1975, 0.159, 0.0815, 0.1546, 0.1574, 0.1353, 0.1312, 0.1382, 0.1232, 0.1746, 0.1746, 0.1522, 0.1739, 0.203, 0.2353, 0.1666, 0.1834, 0.1761, 0.157, 0.0804, 0.1088, 0.0798, 0.1312, 0.1225, 0.0461, 0.0281, 0.0353, 0.0218, -0.0502, 0.0715, 0.0, -0.0178, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0943, -0.0388, -0.0408, -0.0017, 0.0635, 0.0812, 0.125, 0.1407, 0.1904, 0.1652, 0.1766, 0.133, 0.1846, 0.158, 0.1748, 0.1502, 0.0767, 0.093, 0.093, -0.0111, -0.0275, -0.0183, -0.0584, -0.0251, -0.0102, 0.0705, 0.091, 0.0907, 0.0694, 0.0585, 0.0382, 0.0794, 0.0623, 0.0646, 0.1069, 0.131, 0.1359, 0.1117, 0.1121, 0.0714, 0.0884, 0.125, 0.1439, 0.1696, 0.2169, 0.2147, 0.2345, 0.2344, 0.2644, 0.2051, 0.2428, 0.2539, 0.2637, 0.316, 0.3149, 0.278, 0.2858, 0.2961, 0.2868, 0.2935, 0.276, 0.2157, 0.2399, 0.2459, 0.2812, 0.3334, 0.3634, 0.3519, 0.3302, 0.358, 0.3395, 0.3439, 0.3002, 0.2834, 0.3462, 0.336, 0.3431, 0.2999, 0.2456, 0.2538, 0.2394, 0.2394, 0.266, 0.2695, 0.2844, 0.3291, 0.3285, 0.3045, 0.2712, 0.237, 0.2758, 0.2578, 0.2295, 0.2089, 0.1941, 0.1806, 0.1968, 0.2336, 0.2791, 0.2841, 0.2841, 0.2815, 0.2547, 0.2591, 0.2298, 0.2298, 0.2667, 0.3231, 0.3685, 0.2834, 0.2831, 0.2831, 0.2447, 0.2201, 0.2067, 0.2477, 0.2232, 0.2612, 0.2612, 0.2897, 0.3469, 0.3483, 0.3061]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854636677257740440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-07T21:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "ABNB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ABNB on poor risk/reward; reallocate into NVDA, TSLA, PLTR instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["ABNB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Travel Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Travel Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint when you could simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc https://t.co/n860WUpcym", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ABNB just popped 11% after hours .. \ud83e\udd2f bro what!?!?!? https://t.co/1ZorAZhe7q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.043835188091993826, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043835188091993826, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03616245404471108, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031153112578650943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012682075513342883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08658475218574369, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08658475218574369, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09091649435200488, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10077535504160906, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014190602855865375, "ret_p1w": -0.08692405498424116, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08692405498424116, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08312962116913492, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10186903077743636, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014944975793195203, "ret_p1m": -0.07090993617752672, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07090993617752672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09139316112081786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16845364952513453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09754371334760781, "ret_p3m": -0.11284515284674734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11284515284674734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1266048780653164, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20774542861973555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09490027577298821, "ret_p6m": -0.15003049272937363, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15003049272937363, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10766752096252308, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1040978055810009, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04593268714837273, "price_path": [-0.229, -0.2068, -0.2112, -0.1933, -0.2108, -0.1916, -0.2035, -0.2015, -0.2166, -0.2071, -0.2148, -0.2078, -0.2025, -0.2088, -0.204, -0.204, -0.2198, -0.2182, -0.2118, -0.2245, -0.2104, -0.2188, -0.2131, -0.2036, -0.201, -0.2023, -0.1713, -0.1693, -0.1263, -0.1099, -0.1244, -0.1078, -0.113, -0.123, -0.1297, -0.1395, -0.1486, -0.1438, -0.1498, -0.1189, -0.1163, -0.1009, -0.0806, -0.0988, -0.088, -0.0854, -0.0957, -0.0829, -0.077, -0.0741, -0.0691, -0.0799, -0.1048, -0.0992, -0.0868, -0.0786, -0.0651, -0.0738, -0.0854, -0.074, -0.0712, -0.0648, -0.0438, 0.0, -0.0866, -0.0677, -0.0962, -0.0991, -0.0869, -0.1009, -0.103, -0.1081, -0.0822, -0.0957, -0.0681, -0.0437, -0.0522, -0.0617, -0.0617, -0.0764, -0.067, -0.0672, -0.0563, -0.075, -0.0709, -0.0685, -0.0615, -0.0579, -0.0672, -0.1114, -0.1029, -0.1027, -0.1346, -0.1223, -0.0893, -0.0872, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0818, -0.0949, -0.1056, -0.1083, -0.1083, -0.1078, -0.0791, -0.0826, -0.1091, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.1204, -0.1257, -0.1342, -0.1008, -0.1032, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.097, -0.1009, -0.0959, -0.1376, -0.1249, -0.1107, -0.1004, -0.1057, -0.1099, -0.1194, -0.1128, -0.1206, -0.1004, -0.0841, -0.0823, -0.0872, -0.0465, -0.043, 0.0953, 0.0953, 0.0898, 0.072, 0.0539, -0.0088, -0.0173, -0.0395, -0.0227, -0.0537, -0.0577, -0.0434, -0.0404, -0.0325, -0.0855, -0.0881, -0.1033, -0.1488, -0.1413, -0.1899, -0.1663, -0.1386, -0.1548, -0.145, -0.144, -0.126, -0.1191, -0.1187, -0.1271, -0.1474, -0.181, -0.1894, -0.1777, -0.1667, -0.2266, -0.2762, -0.2787, -0.2828, -0.1768, -0.227, -0.2228, -0.2317, -0.2221, -0.2357, -0.2353, -0.2353, -0.2427, -0.2203, -0.1974, -0.1741, -0.1687, -0.1633, -0.1485, -0.1727, -0.1585, -0.15]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854636677257740440", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-07T21:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ABNB on poor risk/reward; reallocate into NVDA, TSLA, PLTR instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint when you could simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc https://t.co/n860WUpcym", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ABNB just popped 11% after hours .. \ud83e\udd2f bro what!?!?!? https://t.co/1ZorAZhe7q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.02196391662043362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02196391662043362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014291182573150873, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001827373394688414, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023791290015122035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00839617382434954, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00839617382434954, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012727915990610739, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001959922072512721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006436251751836819, "ret_p1w": -0.014239731991760984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014239731991760984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010445298176654738, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034951940426502404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04919167241826339, "ret_p1m": -0.04319042916773508, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04319042916773508, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06367365411102621, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0043538068841568744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04754423605189195, "ret_p3m": -0.2029946684824251, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2029946684824251, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21675439370099414, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13219648821342356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07079818026900153, "ret_p6m": -0.230800554037354, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.230800554037354, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18843758227050345, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07365090991777123, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.15714964411958277, "price_path": [-0.2678, -0.22, -0.2069, -0.1748, -0.1633, -0.1269, -0.1454, -0.137, -0.1689, -0.1311, -0.1507, -0.1383, -0.1564, -0.2102, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.2746, -0.2867, -0.28, -0.3094, -0.2849, -0.274, -0.2148, -0.1998, -0.2, -0.2156, -0.2236, -0.2385, -0.2083, -0.2208, -0.2191, -0.1881, -0.1704, -0.1668, -0.1846, -0.1843, -0.2141, -0.2017, -0.1748, -0.1609, -0.1421, -0.1074, -0.109, -0.0945, -0.0946, -0.0726, -0.1161, -0.0884, -0.0803, -0.0731, -0.0347, -0.0355, -0.0626, -0.0569, -0.0493, -0.0562, -0.0512, -0.0641, -0.1083, -0.0905, -0.0862, -0.0602, -0.022, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0243, -0.004, -0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0463, -0.0586, -0.0126, -0.0201, -0.0148, -0.0465, -0.0864, -0.0803, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.0714, -0.0688, -0.0579, -0.0251, -0.0256, -0.0432, -0.0676, -0.0927, -0.0642, -0.0774, -0.0982, -0.1133, -0.1241, -0.1341, -0.1222, -0.0952, -0.0618, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0601, -0.0797, -0.0764, -0.0979, -0.0979, -0.0709, -0.0296, 0.0038, -0.0586, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0871, -0.1051, -0.1149, -0.0848, -0.1028, -0.075, -0.075, -0.054, -0.0121, -0.0111, -0.042, -0.2045, -0.1335, -0.1691, -0.1627, -0.1935, -0.2164, -0.203, -0.1615, -0.1356, -0.1278, -0.1028, -0.1079, -0.1191, -0.0912, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0636, -0.0648, -0.0588, -0.097, -0.1249, -0.1494, -0.1182, -0.1929, -0.1609, -0.2338, -0.2209, -0.2121, -0.2573, -0.243, -0.2814, -0.2694, -0.2225, -0.2235, -0.1826, -0.197, -0.2246, -0.2105, -0.2037, -0.2093, -0.1844, -0.1892, -0.2358, -0.2514, -0.2632, -0.2719, -0.26, -0.2582, -0.3161, -0.3664, -0.3441, -0.3531, -0.2319, -0.2774, -0.2548, -0.2563, -0.2463, -0.298, -0.3182, -0.3182, -0.349, -0.3357, -0.31, -0.285, -0.2542, -0.2696, -0.2676, -0.2683, -0.2502, -0.2308]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854636677257740440", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-11-07T21:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ABNB on poor risk/reward; reallocate into NVDA, TSLA, PLTR instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint when you could simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc https://t.co/n860WUpcym", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ABNB just popped 11% after hours .. \ud83e\udd2f bro what!?!?!? https://t.co/1ZorAZhe7q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551323005200905, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01554198153914077, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012682075513342883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07754491156299181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06768605087338764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014190602855865375, "ret_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0518560984194133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03311668881111185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014944975793195203, "ret_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29041905662363354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21335856821931687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09754371334760781, "ret_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3072129150344767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22607236448005752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09490027577298821, "ret_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009693098447020931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013262813828543107, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04593268714837273, "price_path": [-0.3348, -0.3, -0.3217, -0.2788, -0.2721, -0.2499, -0.2553, -0.248, -0.2905, -0.258, -0.2819, -0.2954, -0.307, -0.3052, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2907, -0.261, -0.2248, -0.2903, -0.2716, -0.2383, -0.2317, -0.226, -0.2244, -0.2362, -0.2325, -0.2348, -0.1785, -0.1976, -0.158, -0.1436, -0.1344, -0.1438, -0.1228, -0.1188, -0.131, -0.1613, -0.1895, -0.1577, -0.1889, -0.1765, -0.1881, -0.1958, -0.2664, -0.2619, -0.2605, -0.2546, -0.256, -0.2567, -0.2629, -0.2659, -0.2804, -0.1227, -0.0934, -0.1159, -0.1259, -0.1326, -0.1585, -0.1614, -0.1821, -0.1531, -0.0282, 0.0, 0.0819, 0.1788, 0.1064, 0.1123, 0.0481, 0.0802, 0.1409, 0.1653, 0.152, 0.1439, 0.1874, 0.1404, 0.1392, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.1625, 0.2027, 0.1836, 0.2055, 0.2445, 0.3109, 0.3128, 0.3505, 0.4306, 0.4082, 0.4692, 0.5595, 0.6162, 0.4824, 0.469, 0.4181, 0.4503, 0.557, 0.557, 0.5295, 0.4538, 0.4058, 0.3601, 0.3601, 0.2774, 0.3824, 0.3844, 0.3282, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.3295, 0.3584, 0.3349, 0.4423, 0.3938, 0.4365, 0.4365, 0.4283, 0.3981, 0.3889, 0.3694, 0.3376, 0.3408, 0.3105, 0.3482, 0.3627, 0.2922, 0.321, 0.2737, 0.2607, 0.2179, 0.1813, 0.1064, 0.1334, 0.1988, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.1927, 0.2144, 0.1936, 0.1377, 0.1132, 0.0198, -0.0206, -0.0504, -0.0132, -0.0413, -0.0838, -0.06, -0.1127, -0.1153, -0.2518, -0.2234, -0.1644, -0.1894, -0.1581, -0.1984, -0.2412, -0.2056, -0.2043, -0.1623, -0.0624, -0.0295, -0.0837, -0.0801, -0.1124, -0.1271, -0.0958, -0.0477, -0.0998, -0.1936, -0.2143, -0.2528, -0.0832, -0.1499, -0.1502, -0.1501, -0.1442, -0.1865, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.2338, -0.1985, -0.1555, -0.126, -0.0403, -0.0371, -0.0164, -0.0497, -0.0552, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1854636677257740440", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-11-07T21:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ABNB on poor risk/reward; reallocate into NVDA, TSLA, PLTR instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Gfilche Still one of the worst performing growth tech stocks you could invest in last 4 years. Don't see the appeal from a risk/reward standpoint when you could simply reallocate into $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR etc https://t.co/n860WUpcym", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ABNB just popped 11% after hours .. \ud83e\udd2f bro what!?!?!? https://t.co/1ZorAZhe7q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gfilche", "ret_m1d": -0.00626346245755649, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00626346245755649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0014092715897262575, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0014092715897262575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04491764984889013, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04491764984889013, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04058590768262893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04058590768262893, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "ret_p1w": 0.05905510332825514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05905510332825514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06284953714336139, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06284953714336139, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "ret_p1m": 0.3661416406351812, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3661416406351812, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34565841569189004, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34565841569189004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "ret_p3m": 0.8580887588833532, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8580887588833532, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8443290336647842, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8443290336647842, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "ret_p6m": 1.2240514746555764, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2240514746555764, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.266414446422427, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.266414446422427, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "price_path": [-0.4742, -0.4562, -0.4452, -0.4413, -0.4259, -0.4184, -0.4216, -0.4177, -0.4288, -0.4313, -0.4479, -0.4481, -0.4567, -0.4452, -0.4366, -0.4366, -0.454, -0.4526, -0.4603, -0.4572, -0.3808, -0.378, -0.3763, -0.3753, -0.3631, -0.3502, -0.3477, -0.349, -0.3409, -0.3343, -0.3209, -0.3397, -0.3357, -0.3361, -0.3407, -0.3343, -0.3475, -0.3291, -0.2978, -0.284, -0.304, -0.2582, -0.2282, -0.2212, -0.2214, -0.2233, -0.2407, -0.2496, -0.2484, -0.231, -0.2359, -0.2316, -0.2378, -0.2205, -0.1972, -0.1952, -0.196, -0.2181, -0.2563, -0.2498, -0.2589, -0.085, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0449, 0.078, 0.071, 0.0863, 0.0591, 0.177, 0.0963, 0.1271, 0.1117, 0.0981, 0.1516, 0.1569, 0.1764, 0.182, 0.182, 0.2004, 0.1881, 0.2699, 0.25, 0.2861, 0.3661, 0.2967, 0.2686, 0.2976, 0.3099, 0.3613, 0.3556, 0.3312, 0.2797, 0.328, 0.4415, 0.444, 0.4742, 0.4742, 0.4699, 0.4152, 0.3812, 0.3534, 0.3534, 0.3456, 0.4297, 0.3586, 0.2525, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2037, 0.1628, 0.1795, 0.2194, 0.2391, 0.2844, 0.2844, 0.3076, 0.3756, 0.4134, 0.4134, 0.35, 0.4358, 0.4273, 0.4535, 0.4762, 0.4986, 0.8581, 0.8139, 0.9914, 0.9837, 1.0875, 1.0154, 1.1008, 1.1101, 1.1324, 1.1324, 1.2301, 1.0054, 0.9018, 0.8137, 0.6228, 0.5719, 0.5982, 0.517, 0.5197, 0.4928, 0.5104, 0.6129, 0.4399, 0.5195, 0.3669, 0.3967, 0.497, 0.4248, 0.5433, 0.5632, 0.5013, 0.5408, 0.5639, 0.6278, 0.7314, 0.7269, 0.6514, 0.6122, 0.5363, 0.5104, 0.5154, 0.565, 0.4961, 0.3244, 0.393, 0.3837, 0.6466, 0.5854, 0.5846, 0.6575, 0.7609, 0.6591, 0.6782, 0.6782, 0.6249, 0.682, 0.8042, 0.9288, 1.0183, 1.0517, 1.0773, 1.1195, 1.0795, 1.2241]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986523802361278830", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T19:59:16+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Currently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holding AAPL and GOOGL at 70%+ allocation; added TSLA calls at $438 into shareholder meeting with lighter sizing due to less compelling risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been hitting every single position for months. Feels like I'm playing whack-a-mole with 100% success.\n\nCurrently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning) and was long $FIG $MDB until recently. \n\nToday I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting but risk/reward setup isn't as appealing as it was during the past 2x 25%+ run ups this year. As result, I'm not as heavily allocated - risk management is always paramount.\n\n---\n\nBefore anyone points out $FIG being down, I bought the stock yesterday at $44 into earnings and wrote 100% covered calls at 45c strike for 3.30 for a nice 1-day 5% hedged gain.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0013716571458390892, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0013716571458390892, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00947404319975953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019136124762610063, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020507781908449152, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004818894404181151, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004818894404181151, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005803401985557954, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013605741585195341, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003458320245661617, "ret_p1w": 0.012768742870723715, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012768742870723715, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010187833032241134, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021656577220168338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008887834349444623, "ret_p1m": 0.034400562230817444, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.034400562230817444, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011455977068301815, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020429066968201903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01397149526261554, "ret_p3m": -0.00010652436191738168, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00010652436191738168, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03181946315962958, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0156943522510411, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01580087661295848, "ret_p6m": 0.040419472290336156, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.040419472290336156, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.040801716371389185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08226062324472871, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12268009553506487, "price_path": [-0.1579, -0.1487, -0.1351, -0.1371, -0.1415, -0.1441, -0.1453, -0.1622, -0.1663, -0.1557, -0.1579, -0.15, -0.1456, -0.1379, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1485, -0.116, -0.1112, -0.1115, -0.1182, -0.1313, -0.1593, -0.1473, -0.1323, -0.1226, -0.1172, -0.1141, -0.1182, -0.09, -0.0507, -0.0569, -0.0647, -0.0478, -0.053, -0.0569, -0.0561, -0.0531, -0.0469, -0.0436, -0.0485, -0.0493, -0.0434, -0.0583, -0.0908, -0.082, -0.0816, -0.0757, -0.0827, -0.0648, -0.0279, -0.0259, -0.042, -0.0378, -0.0258, -0.0036, -0.0029, -0.0003, 0.006, 0.0022, -0.0027, 0.001, 0.0014, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0003, 0.0213, 0.0147, 0.0128, 0.0108, -0.0076, -0.0077, -0.0035, -0.0121, 0.0074, 0.0238, 0.0277, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0347, 0.0504, 0.0619, 0.0543, 0.0415, 0.0344, 0.0311, 0.0285, 0.0344, 0.0316, 0.0325, 0.0171, 0.0189, 0.0087, 0.0099, 0.0154, 0.0054, 0.0106, 0.016, 0.016, 0.0144, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0056, -0.0083, -0.0265, -0.0341, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.0344, -0.0314, -0.0354, -0.0419, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0846, -0.0811, -0.0785, -0.0797, -0.0523, -0.0417, -0.0485, -0.0417, -0.0372, 0.0019, -0.0001, 0.0259, 0.0238, 0.032, 0.0199, 0.0164, 0.0232, -0.028, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.02, -0.0182, -0.0322, -0.0174, -0.0114, 0.0107, 0.0185, 0.0137, -0.0189, -0.0168, -0.0205, -0.025, -0.0333, -0.0438, -0.0348, -0.0313, -0.0314, -0.0501, -0.0711, -0.061, -0.0558, -0.0717, -0.0754, -0.079, -0.066, -0.0654, -0.0618, -0.0608, -0.076, -0.084, -0.0574, -0.0506, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0386, -0.0585, -0.0385, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0374, -0.0387, -0.0105, -0.0218, 0.0036, 0.0141, -0.0115, 0.0145, 0.0155, 0.0067, -0.0061, 0.0054, 0.0034, 0.0078, 0.0404]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986523802361278830", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-06T19:59:16+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Currently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holding AAPL and GOOGL at 70%+ allocation; added TSLA calls at $438 into shareholder meeting with lighter sizing due to less compelling risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been hitting every single position for months. Feels like I'm playing whack-a-mole with 100% success.\n\nCurrently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning) and was long $FIG $MDB until recently. \n\nToday I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting but risk/reward setup isn't as appealing as it was during the past 2x 25%+ run ups this year. As result, I'm not as heavily allocated - risk management is always paramount.\n\n---\n\nBefore anyone points out $FIG being down, I bought the stock yesterday at $44 into earnings and wrote 100% covered calls at 45c strike for 3.30 for a nice 1-day 5% hedged gain.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0015452837134029007, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0015452837134029007, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01239098405900152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010620077477871526, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009074793764468625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02079033873039693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02079033873039693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021774846311773732, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018210315272657263, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025800234577396663, "ret_p1w": -0.02170329994644793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02170329994644793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02428420978493051, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01752185435043052, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004181445596017408, "ret_p1m": 0.12825264567725148, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12825264567725148, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10530806051473585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08617073951353871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04208190616371277, "ret_p3m": 0.19379160616568103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19379160616568103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16207866736796883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14289149447874938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05090011168693165, "ret_p6m": 0.3563263908787586, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3563263908787586, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2751052022170333, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3112058678431666, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.045120523035592, "price_path": [-0.2947, -0.2865, -0.2914, -0.2879, -0.2846, -0.286, -0.2927, -0.3006, -0.2991, -0.2769, -0.2685, -0.2732, -0.272, -0.2574, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2584, -0.1907, -0.1849, -0.1755, -0.1781, -0.1585, -0.1601, -0.1559, -0.1543, -0.1164, -0.118, -0.1237, -0.1149, -0.1055, -0.1132, -0.1162, -0.1321, -0.1368, -0.1342, -0.1429, -0.1463, -0.1399, -0.1372, -0.1384, -0.1205, -0.1369, -0.1409, -0.1518, -0.1692, -0.1426, -0.138, -0.1184, -0.1169, -0.1104, -0.099, -0.1204, -0.1161, -0.1112, -0.0872, -0.0544, -0.0607, -0.0358, -0.0115, -0.0125, -0.0036, -0.0253, -0.0015, 0.0, -0.0208, 0.0188, 0.023, 0.0069, -0.0217, -0.0293, 0.0009, -0.0017, 0.0283, 0.0165, 0.0524, 0.1188, 0.1359, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1244, 0.1058, 0.1091, 0.1225, 0.1154, 0.1283, 0.1025, 0.1143, 0.1253, 0.0979, 0.0869, 0.0831, 0.0773, 0.0427, 0.0629, 0.0794, 0.0886, 0.1047, 0.1038, 0.1038, 0.1017, 0.1019, 0.1029, 0.0999, 0.0999, 0.1075, 0.1124, 0.1046, 0.1315, 0.1436, 0.1546, 0.1662, 0.1806, 0.1802, 0.1694, 0.1597, 0.1597, 0.1316, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1524, 0.1711, 0.1757, 0.1808, 0.1887, 0.1878, 0.2078, 0.1938, 0.1704, 0.1641, 0.1346, 0.1397, 0.1195, 0.0928, 0.0859, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.0613, 0.0659, 0.0643, 0.1069, 0.0946, 0.0925, 0.0996, 0.0802, 0.0956, 0.0772, 0.0668, 0.0652, 0.0573, 0.049, 0.0774, 0.0797, 0.0856, 0.0675, 0.063, 0.0745, 0.0934, 0.082, 0.0801, 0.0585, 0.0622, 0.0214, 0.0231, -0.0121, -0.0352, -0.0382, 0.0112, 0.0458, 0.0401, 0.0401, 0.055, 0.0742, 0.1159, 0.12, 0.1156, 0.1299, 0.1707, 0.1855, 0.1817, 0.2016, 0.1866, 0.1685, 0.1933, 0.1917, 0.2111, 0.232, 0.23, 0.2306, 0.3532, 0.3563]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986523802361278830", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-06T19:59:16+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Today I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holding AAPL and GOOGL at 70%+ allocation; added TSLA calls at $438 into shareholder meeting with lighter sizing due to less compelling risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been hitting every single position for months. Feels like I'm playing whack-a-mole with 100% success.\n\nCurrently long $AAPL $GOOGL (70%+ positioning) and was long $FIG $MDB until recently. \n\nToday I added $TSLA calls at $438 into the SH meeting but risk/reward setup isn't as appealing as it was during the past 2x 25%+ run ups this year. As result, I'm not as heavily allocated - risk management is always paramount.\n\n---\n\nBefore anyone points out $FIG being down, I bought the stock yesterday at $44 into earnings and wrote 100% covered calls at 45c strike for 3.30 for a nice 1-day 5% hedged gain.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036240504876303925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025394804530705306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012587707229724243, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023652797646579682, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03675632866235745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037740836243734255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03832746569561418, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001571137033256731, "ret_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09849524134249965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10107615118098223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08367505589745694, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01482018544504271, "ret_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020385271160632268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0025593140018833616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0035268556468981416, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016858415513734126, "ret_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05371041692345502, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08542335572116722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08330629037116766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02959587344771264, "ret_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12354510077247638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20476628943420172, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13508587675842976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011540775985953378, "price_path": [-0.2397, -0.2356, -0.2389, -0.2474, -0.2587, -0.2484, -0.2615, -0.2736, -0.2821, -0.2375, -0.2227, -0.2113, -0.216, -0.2241, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2614, -0.2508, -0.2408, -0.2132, -0.2232, -0.2219, -0.22, -0.1729, -0.1121, -0.0804, -0.0545, -0.045, -0.0652, -0.0445, -0.0262, -0.045, -0.007, -0.0505, -0.0124, -0.0061, -0.0027, 0.0304, -0.0222, -0.0361, 0.0165, -0.0288, -0.0162, -0.0233, -0.0727, -0.0224, -0.0374, -0.0241, -0.0385, -0.0148, 0.0034, -0.0074, -0.0156, 0.0069, -0.0273, 0.0146, 0.0328, 0.035, -0.013, 0.0239, 0.0504, -0.0037, 0.0362, 0.0, -0.0368, -0.0015, -0.0141, -0.0343, -0.0985, -0.0932, -0.083, -0.1002, -0.094, -0.1137, -0.1229, -0.0631, -0.0595, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0353, -0.0354, -0.0374, 0.0019, 0.0193, 0.0204, -0.0142, -0.0017, 0.0124, 0.0022, 0.0293, 0.0659, 0.0986, 0.0479, 0.084, 0.0791, 0.096, 0.0889, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0657, 0.0308, 0.0191, 0.0085, 0.0085, -0.0176, 0.0129, -0.029, -0.0325, -0.0227, -0.002, 0.0068, 0.0029, -0.015, -0.0165, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0598, -0.0325, 0.0077, 0.0071, -0.024, -0.0337, -0.0324, -0.0658, -0.0348, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0895, -0.1092, -0.078, -0.0641, -0.0464, -0.0396, -0.0647, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0791, -0.0776, -0.0767, -0.0765, -0.1033, -0.0819, -0.0639, -0.0837, -0.0973, -0.0955, -0.1199, -0.0896, -0.0905, -0.1103, -0.1059, -0.1047, -0.0854, -0.1141, -0.1227, -0.1129, -0.1046, -0.1191, -0.1471, -0.1748, -0.1459, -0.141, -0.1345, -0.1655, -0.1886, -0.2032, -0.1663, -0.145, -0.1913, -0.1913, -0.2088, -0.2226, -0.2302, -0.2249, -0.2174, -0.2097, -0.1832, -0.121, -0.1279, -0.1016, -0.1198, -0.1334, -0.131, -0.1619, -0.1561, -0.1508, -0.1567, -0.164, -0.1442, -0.1235]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1884501372625903774", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-29T07:18:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $TSLA responds favorably to earnings, and increased volume flows in, we can see $600-690 by March", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Conditional TSLA long to $600-690 by March if earnings reaction is positive and volume flows in; bearish scenario to $300-330 on sell-off.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSLA rare high tight flag (HTF) is intact going into earnings tmrw (as predicted weeks ago). $TSLA has only ever printed one HTF in its history back in Aug 2020 (second screenshot). Key HTF characteristics are 90-130% move on weekly chart in a quick time frame, doesn't retrace more than -25% from top of flag and consolidates with decreasing vol for ~3-5 weeks.\n\nIf $TSLA responds favorably to earnings, and increased volume flows in, we can see $600-690 by March. \n\nBig if, otherwise any earnings sell off can see ~300-330 really fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023104574899398322, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023104574899398322, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01860167400396273, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02024667458834606, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004502900895435591, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002857900311052264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028732954254456988, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028732954254456988, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023365875847350503, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018946964556974866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005367078407106485, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009785989697482123, "ret_p1w": -0.028090445911926998, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028090445911926998, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03209504799928753, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020426061719093336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0040046020873605315, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007664384192833662, "ret_p1m": -0.2753790599221382, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2753790599221382, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2475296817718876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19522823501285613, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02784937815025057, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08015082490928205, "ret_p3m": -0.26527884760105247, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26527884760105247, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1833544285106623, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12357134615530763, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08192441909039017, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14170750144574484, "ret_p6m": -0.21536884347478735, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21536884347478735, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27585231781615427, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18483391120776593, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.060483474341366916, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03053493226702142, "price_path": [-0.3601, -0.3759, -0.3538, -0.2585, -0.2369, -0.1745, -0.1005, -0.1558, -0.1513, -0.2003, -0.1757, -0.1294, -0.1108, -0.121, -0.1271, -0.0939, -0.1298, -0.1307, -0.1445, -0.1445, -0.1129, -0.0823, -0.0968, -0.0801, -0.0504, 0.0003, 0.0018, 0.0306, 0.0917, 0.0745, 0.1211, 0.19, 0.2333, 0.1311, 0.121, 0.0821, 0.1067, 0.1881, 0.1881, 0.1671, 0.1094, 0.0728, 0.0379, 0.0379, -0.0252, 0.0548, 0.0564, 0.0135, 0.015, 0.015, 0.0145, 0.0365, 0.0187, 0.1005, 0.0635, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.0899, 0.0668, 0.0598, 0.0449, 0.0207, 0.0231, 0.0, 0.0287, 0.0398, -0.0139, 0.008, -0.0281, -0.038, -0.0706, -0.0986, -0.1557, -0.1352, -0.0852, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.0899, -0.0733, -0.0892, -0.1318, -0.1505, -0.2218, -0.2526, -0.2754, -0.247, -0.2684, -0.3008, -0.2827, -0.3229, -0.3249, -0.4291, -0.4074, -0.3624, -0.3814, -0.3575, -0.3883, -0.4209, -0.3938, -0.3928, -0.3608, -0.2845, -0.2595, -0.3008, -0.298, -0.3227, -0.334, -0.31, -0.2733, -0.3131, -0.3847, -0.4004, -0.4298, -0.3004, -0.3513, -0.3516, -0.3515, -0.3469, -0.3792, -0.3797, -0.3797, -0.4153, -0.3884, -0.3556, -0.3331, -0.2677, -0.2653, -0.2495, -0.2748, -0.2791, -0.2619, -0.2797, -0.2923, -0.2901, -0.268, -0.2335, -0.1818, -0.1414, -0.1065, -0.1189, -0.1005, -0.1208, -0.1164, -0.14, -0.1235, -0.1279, -0.1279, -0.0674, -0.0828, -0.0788, -0.1096, -0.1193, -0.1152, -0.1466, -0.2683, -0.2415, -0.2069, -0.1619, -0.1611, -0.1799, -0.1639, -0.1541, -0.187, -0.1723, -0.1723, -0.172, -0.1039, -0.125, -0.1582, -0.1627, -0.1683, -0.1836, -0.2272, -0.1888, -0.1895, -0.1895, -0.2446, -0.2346, -0.2396, -0.2036, -0.1943, -0.1856, -0.2013, -0.1733, -0.1791, -0.1528, -0.1558, -0.1465, -0.1453, -0.2154]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1895201894735475182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-27T19:58:37+00:00", "symbol": "Xiaomi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "their stock is crushing it too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Xiaomi stock on strong product momentum with the SU7 Ultra launch.", "resolved_tickers": ["1810.HK"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Xiaomi Corp listed on HKEX as 1810.HK", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SawyerMerritt Yep they're crushing it. And their stock is crushing it too. https://t.co/tFudnJFPCv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEWS: Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi has launched their new flagship SU7 Ultra EV, and it's quicker than a Model S Plaid.\n\n\u2022 Starting price: $72,990 USD (RMB 529,900)\n\u2022\u00a01,526 hp\n\u2022\u00a00-60 mph: 1.98s\n\u2022 Top speed: 201 mph (with proper equipment)\n\u2022\u00a093.7kWh CATL\u2019s Qilin 2 battery https://t.co/CmlGqoGZNq", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SawyerMerritt", "ret_m1d": 0.060263669583700885, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.060263669583700885, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04404282452615771, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022481154175370444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016220845057543176, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03778251540833044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023540490318642915, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023540490318642915, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03914609880380615, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03674868629825334, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015605608485163236, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013208195979610426, "ret_p1w": 0.033898363530745934, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033898363530745934, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.054990404742388366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06610997699967203, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02109204121164243, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03221161346892609, "ret_p1m": -0.03860638975459929, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03860638975459929, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008771589030798999, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03259014174548325, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04737797878539829, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07119653150008254, "ret_p3m": -0.029190193627142147, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029190193627142147, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04265628597422566, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07419534337737588, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013466092347083514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04500514975023373, "ret_p6m": -0.01035780137222786, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01035780137222786, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11994611465030958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19332404507541256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10958831327808172, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1829662437031847, "price_path": [-0.4623, -0.452, -0.452, -0.4454, -0.4369, -0.4171, -0.4171, -0.4266, -0.4049, -0.4096, -0.4284, -0.436, -0.42, -0.42, -0.404, -0.4021, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.3569, -0.3512, -0.3475, -0.3475, -0.3597, -0.3173, -0.3164, -0.3569, -0.3823, -0.3644, -0.3682, -0.3823, -0.3644, -0.3672, -0.3531, -0.3418, -0.3465, -0.3239, -0.3352, -0.3503, -0.306, -0.3013, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2853, -0.2552, -0.2533, -0.2363, -0.2006, -0.1761, -0.1987, -0.1695, -0.2156, -0.1582, -0.1497, -0.0885, -0.0687, -0.0744, -0.0264, -0.0282, 0.0019, 0.0603, 0.0, -0.0235, -0.0405, -0.048, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0235, -0.0047, 0.0151, -0.0198, -0.0047, 0.0141, 0.0508, 0.0857, 0.096, 0.064, 0.0301, 0.0734, 0.0056, 0.016, -0.0264, -0.0386, -0.0734, -0.1243, -0.161, -0.1356, -0.1356, -0.3136, -0.2674, -0.2109, -0.1893, -0.1667, -0.1864, -0.1883, -0.2232, -0.21, -0.21, -0.21, -0.1638, -0.1064, -0.0923, -0.1017, -0.1055, -0.1064, -0.0593, -0.0593, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0292, -0.0565, -0.0433, -0.033, -0.0471, -0.0838, -0.0508, -0.0556, -0.0395, -0.0141, 0.032, 0.0254, 0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0339, -0.0292, -0.0254, -0.0264, -0.0405, -0.0282, 0.0019, 0.0066, 0.0217, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0066, 0.0188, -0.0169, -0.0217, 0.0198, 0.0169, 0.0132, -0.0009, 0.0179, 0.033, 0.0716, 0.0669, 0.0716, 0.1102, 0.129, 0.129, 0.1328, 0.0942, 0.0829, 0.0791, 0.1045, 0.081, 0.0716, 0.08, 0.0791, 0.0857, 0.0791, 0.0574, 0.0734, 0.0876, 0.0913, 0.0998, 0.1008, 0.081, 0.0697, 0.0414, 0.0311, 0.0009, 0.0056, 0.0273, 0.0226, 0.0169, -0.0235, -0.0348, -0.0433, -0.0264, 0.0028, 0.0019, -0.0047, -0.0009, -0.0132, -0.0104, -0.033, -0.0104]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1854674821881512027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-07T23:58:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$310-325 still my <14 day targets but I can see some further rejection tomorrow at $300", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Targets $310-325 for TSLA within 14 days despite possible short-term rejection at $300.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's another $TSLA chart showing a simple trendline from Jan 2024's upper wedge extending to today's $300 touch which conveniently overlaps with the 1.0 fib extension - both shown. \n\n$310-325 still my &lt;14 day targets but I can see some further rejection tomorrow at $300 https://t.co/Euvt4N9b6f", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028224057052483653, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551323005200905, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01554198153914077, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007672734047282748, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012682075513342883, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08187665372925301, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07754491156299181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06768605087338764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004331742166261199, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014190602855865375, "ret_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04806166460430705, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0518560984194133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03311668881111185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0037944338151062462, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014944975793195203, "ret_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3109022815669247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29041905662363354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21335856821931687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020483224943291134, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09754371334760781, "ret_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3209726402530457, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3072129150344767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22607236448005752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013759725218569052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09490027577298821, "ret_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03266987331982962, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009693098447020931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013262813828543107, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.042362971766850555, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04593268714837273, "price_path": [-0.3348, -0.3, -0.3217, -0.2788, -0.2721, -0.2499, -0.2553, -0.248, -0.2905, -0.258, -0.2819, -0.2954, -0.307, -0.3052, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2907, -0.261, -0.2248, -0.2903, -0.2716, -0.2383, -0.2317, -0.226, -0.2244, -0.2362, -0.2325, -0.2348, -0.1785, -0.1976, -0.158, -0.1436, -0.1344, -0.1438, -0.1228, -0.1188, -0.131, -0.1613, -0.1895, -0.1577, -0.1889, -0.1765, -0.1881, -0.1958, -0.2664, -0.2619, -0.2605, -0.2546, -0.256, -0.2567, -0.2629, -0.2659, -0.2804, -0.1227, -0.0934, -0.1159, -0.1259, -0.1326, -0.1585, -0.1614, -0.1821, -0.1531, -0.0282, 0.0, 0.0819, 0.1788, 0.1064, 0.1123, 0.0481, 0.0802, 0.1409, 0.1653, 0.152, 0.1439, 0.1874, 0.1404, 0.1392, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.1625, 0.2027, 0.1836, 0.2055, 0.2445, 0.3109, 0.3128, 0.3505, 0.4306, 0.4082, 0.4692, 0.5595, 0.6162, 0.4824, 0.469, 0.4181, 0.4503, 0.557, 0.557, 0.5295, 0.4538, 0.4058, 0.3601, 0.3601, 0.2774, 0.3824, 0.3844, 0.3282, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.3295, 0.3584, 0.3349, 0.4423, 0.3938, 0.4365, 0.4365, 0.4283, 0.3981, 0.3889, 0.3694, 0.3376, 0.3408, 0.3105, 0.3482, 0.3627, 0.2922, 0.321, 0.2737, 0.2607, 0.2179, 0.1813, 0.1064, 0.1334, 0.1988, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.1927, 0.2144, 0.1936, 0.1377, 0.1132, 0.0198, -0.0206, -0.0504, -0.0132, -0.0413, -0.0838, -0.06, -0.1127, -0.1153, -0.2518, -0.2234, -0.1644, -0.1894, -0.1581, -0.1984, -0.2412, -0.2056, -0.2043, -0.1623, -0.0624, -0.0295, -0.0837, -0.0801, -0.1124, -0.1271, -0.0958, -0.0477, -0.0998, -0.1936, -0.2143, -0.2528, -0.0832, -0.1499, -0.1502, -0.1501, -0.1442, -0.1865, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.2338, -0.1985, -0.1555, -0.126, -0.0403, -0.0371, -0.0164, -0.0497, -0.0552, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1853965333754970598", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-06T00:59:15+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA is the real trump trade. Bull flag + Trump win = $310 by Nov 15", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSLA to $310 by Nov 15 on bull flag + Trump win catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmetPeppers $TSLA is the real trump trade. Bull flag + Trump win = $310 by Nov 15", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Trump and Elon are besties now.\n\nTrump win = major confidence boost for investing in al Elon companies (less lawfare and less risk of regulatory hurdles to stop/slow his companies down)\n$TSLA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmetPeppers", "ret_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1285481457554145, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10428575355130221, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09755763596775924, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024262392204112304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030990509787655274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02904379065700735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021311730569032017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01619881418204172, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007732060087975334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01284497647496563, "ret_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14456032867134572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1341550125594253, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1017755394832629, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010405316111920415, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04278478918808282, "ret_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2805947104204103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2541669923998833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19187355727871092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026427718020527013, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08872115314169937, "ret_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3297750469588667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31498441785072373, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23372800972762509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014790629108142994, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09604703723124164, "ret_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027761445255306105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021312790973026186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020691987822314073, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04907423622833229, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04845343307762018, "price_path": [-0.3068, -0.3155, -0.2797, -0.302, -0.2578, -0.251, -0.2281, -0.2337, -0.2262, -0.2699, -0.2364, -0.261, -0.2749, -0.2869, -0.2851, -0.2579, -0.2579, -0.2701, -0.2396, -0.2023, -0.2696, -0.2504, -0.2161, -0.2093, -0.2035, -0.2019, -0.214, -0.2102, -0.2126, -0.1546, -0.1743, -0.1335, -0.1187, -0.1092, -0.1189, -0.0973, -0.0932, -0.1057, -0.1369, -0.1659, -0.1333, -0.1653, -0.1526, -0.1646, -0.1725, -0.2451, -0.2404, -0.239, -0.2329, -0.2344, -0.2351, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2595, -0.0972, -0.067, -0.0902, -0.1005, -0.1074, -0.1341, -0.1371, -0.1584, -0.1285, 0.0, 0.029, 0.1133, 0.213, 0.1385, 0.1446, 0.0785, 0.1116, 0.174, 0.1992, 0.1854, 0.1771, 0.2219, 0.1735, 0.1723, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1963, 0.2376, 0.218, 0.2405, 0.2806, 0.349, 0.351, 0.3898, 0.4722, 0.4491, 0.5119, 0.6048, 0.6631, 0.5254, 0.5117, 0.4593, 0.4924, 0.6022, 0.6022, 0.5739, 0.4961, 0.4467, 0.3996, 0.3996, 0.3145, 0.4225, 0.4246, 0.3668, 0.3688, 0.3688, 0.3681, 0.3978, 0.3737, 0.4841, 0.4342, 0.4782, 0.4782, 0.4698, 0.4387, 0.4292, 0.4091, 0.3765, 0.3797, 0.3486, 0.3873, 0.4023, 0.3298, 0.3593, 0.3107, 0.2973, 0.2533, 0.2156, 0.1385, 0.1663, 0.2336, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2273, 0.2496, 0.2283, 0.1708, 0.1456, 0.0495, 0.0079, -0.0228, 0.0154, -0.0134, -0.0572, -0.0327, -0.0869, -0.0896, -0.2301, -0.2008, -0.1402, -0.1658, -0.1336, -0.1751, -0.2191, -0.1825, -0.1812, -0.138, -0.0351, -0.0014, -0.0571, -0.0534, -0.0866, -0.1018, -0.0696, -0.02, -0.0736, -0.1702, -0.1915, -0.2311, -0.0566, -0.1252, -0.1255, -0.1254, -0.1193, -0.1628, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.2115, -0.1752, -0.131, -0.1006, -0.0124, -0.0092, 0.0121, -0.0221, -0.0278]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1973847323349561641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T20:27:28+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA potentially printed it's 6th bearish bat (in yellow) which suggests ~350 ... the bear bat is undefeated since 2022 ... price suggests ~350 by early November", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish TSLA to ~$350 by early November based on 6th bearish bat harmonic pattern, which has fulfilled all 5 prior instances since 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Manufacturers'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Manufacturers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't normally post harmonics since they're esoteric but this is an eerie repeat of 2023. Since 2022, every single bear bat harmonic (there's been 5) has fulfilled and retraced to the 0.618 fib retracement. $TSLA potentially printed it's 6th bearish bat (in yellow) which suggests ~350. \n\nTimeline uncertain, may take weeks or months, but the bear bat is undefeated since 2022. If we overlay a repeat of 2023, price suggests ~350 by early November.\n\nOver 2 weeks ago I posted the extension of this rally reminded me of 2023 (white ovals). Post below.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/WZHne0ciFv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05380731985109666, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05380731985109666, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05495779826318514, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0465391453353019, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007268174515794756, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014151406944344913, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014151406944344913, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0141366395821233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0077186511089726295, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006432755835372284, "ret_p1w": -0.001055026273114934, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001055026273114934, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003954015405895572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01640525614383359, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017460282416948525, "ret_p1m": 0.04715595770319658, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04715595770319658, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02796939354464878, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04494208220201745, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00221387550117913, "ret_p3m": 0.04227062540316795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04227062540316795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012653809101540903, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03476407979701901, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00750654560614894, "ret_p6m": -0.17011470969663844, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17011470969663844, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12301599648422445, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0565153030326786, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11359940666395985, "price_path": [-0.3258, -0.3169, -0.3214, -0.2893, -0.2809, -0.2732, -0.2872, -0.2622, -0.2674, -0.2439, -0.2466, -0.2383, -0.2372, -0.2998, -0.2751, -0.2532, -0.2633, -0.2683, -0.293, -0.3059, -0.2907, -0.2919, -0.2663, -0.2608, -0.2439, -0.2224, -0.2183, -0.2216, -0.2303, -0.2418, -0.2313, -0.2447, -0.2571, -0.2658, -0.2202, -0.205, -0.1934, -0.1982, -0.2065, -0.2342, -0.2342, -0.2446, -0.2337, -0.2236, -0.1953, -0.2055, -0.2042, -0.2023, -0.1541, -0.0919, -0.0595, -0.033, -0.0233, -0.0439, -0.0228, -0.0041, -0.0233, 0.0156, -0.0289, 0.0101, 0.0165, 0.02, 0.0538, 0.0, -0.0142, 0.0396, -0.0067, 0.0062, -0.0011, -0.0516, -0.0002, -0.0155, -0.0019, -0.0166, 0.0076, 0.0262, 0.0151, 0.0068, 0.0298, -0.0052, 0.0377, 0.0563, 0.0585, 0.0094, 0.0472, 0.0742, 0.0189, 0.0598, 0.0227, -0.0149, 0.0212, 0.0083, -0.0124, -0.078, -0.0726, -0.0621, -0.0797, -0.0734, -0.0935, -0.103, -0.0418, -0.0381, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0155, 0.0246, 0.0425, 0.0436, 0.0082, 0.021, 0.0354, 0.025, 0.0527, 0.0902, 0.1236, 0.0717, 0.1086, 0.1037, 0.1209, 0.1137, 0.1133, 0.1133, 0.0899, 0.0542, 0.0423, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0047, 0.0359, -0.007, -0.0105, -0.0005, 0.0207, 0.0297, 0.0257, 0.0073, 0.0059, 0.0034, 0.0034, -0.0384, -0.0105, 0.0306, 0.03, -0.0018, -0.0117, -0.0104, -0.0446, -0.0128, -0.0325, -0.0322, -0.0688, -0.089, -0.0571, -0.0428, -0.0247, -0.0177, -0.0434, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0582, -0.0566, -0.0557, -0.0555, -0.083, -0.0611, -0.0427, -0.0629, -0.0768, -0.075, -0.0999, -0.0689, -0.0698, -0.0901, -0.0856, -0.0843, -0.0646, -0.094, -0.1028, -0.0928, -0.0842, -0.0991, -0.1278, -0.1561, -0.1265, -0.1215, -0.1148, -0.1465, -0.1701]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1867766979710660998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-14T03:02:04+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Smart money seems to disagree. As do I.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disagrees with bullish UBER thesis; bearish on UBER, references smart money selling.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@QualityInvest5 Go long. Buy leaps. Leverage yourself if you\u2019re so confident. \n\nSmart money seems to disagree. As do I. Listen to @altcap recent pod on him selling all their $UBER", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is a joke of a valuation for $UBER\n\n- 19x P/FCF\n- 30-40% Future FCF Growth \n- Wide moat driven from MASSIVE NETWORK EFFECTS, Scale and Brand\n\nThis remains the most obvious large cap long in the market. Once robo-taxi turns out to be a nothing burger \u2026 \ud83d\udcc8 \ud83d\udc40 https://t.co/tm6VBn68dO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ariaradnia", "ret_m1d": -0.005311198254343896, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005311198254343896, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010593699354021213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010593699354021213, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251828318941775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012946037830653623, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012946037830653623, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01706598841336282, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01706598841336282, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0041199505827091976, "ret_p1w": 0.0268879490769256, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0268879490769256, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04353044839757092, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04353044839757092, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01664249932064532, "ret_p1m": 0.07618251183220948, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07618251183220948, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11349449134774714, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11349449134774714, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03731197951553766, "ret_p3m": 0.15369298151419875, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15369298151419875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2418850913347692, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2418850913347692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08819210982057046, "ret_p6m": 0.4338589110315094, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4338589110315094, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4336280226035556, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4336280226035556, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002308884279538237, "price_path": [0.2199, 0.2495, 0.2272, 0.24, 0.2853, 0.2803, 0.2729, 0.2573, 0.2475, 0.2322, 0.2095, 0.2106, 0.2329, 0.238, 0.2642, 0.2924, 0.2933, 0.433, 0.4098, 0.3809, 0.3593, 0.3261, 0.3139, 0.3354, 0.3346, 0.325, 0.3009, 0.2883, 0.2895, 0.3147, 0.3183, 0.1959, 0.2158, 0.2158, 0.2307, 0.2342, 0.2138, 0.1957, 0.1892, 0.1846, 0.1811, 0.1857, 0.2158, 0.1507, 0.1474, 0.1552, 0.1559, 0.1869, 0.2186, 0.1877, 0.1887, 0.1887, 0.1944, 0.2128, 0.1829, 0.1977, 0.0827, 0.0969, 0.0911, 0.0782, 0.0154, 0.0193, -0.0053, 0.0, 0.0129, 0.0163, -0.0007, 0.008, 0.0269, 0.0242, 0.0242, 0.0217, 0.0146, 0.0086, 0.0012, 0.0012, 0.0485, 0.072, 0.1006, 0.0979, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0949, 0.0905, 0.0762, 0.1124, 0.1383, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1243, 0.1256, 0.1336, 0.1379, 0.1414, 0.1298, 0.1079, 0.1052, 0.1095, 0.1168, 0.1577, 0.0702, 0.1617, 0.2382, 0.3051, 0.2772, 0.317, 0.3326, 0.3182, 0.3182, 0.3525, 0.3471, 0.3487, 0.3094, 0.2684, 0.244, 0.2593, 0.2317, 0.2616, 0.2355, 0.2491, 0.2694, 0.2441, 0.2659, 0.2126, 0.1726, 0.1817, 0.1537, 0.1876, 0.2071, 0.1876, 0.212, 0.234, 0.2588, 0.2699, 0.2549, 0.2312, 0.2425, 0.2075, 0.2093, 0.2115, 0.2365, 0.1593, 0.0725, 0.0895, 0.08, 0.2063, 0.1774, 0.1997, 0.2133, 0.2285, 0.2126, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2103, 0.2355, 0.2244, 0.2963, 0.2905, 0.3001, 0.3182, 0.3446, 0.3426, 0.3988, 0.4179, 0.4246, 0.3884, 0.366, 0.3744, 0.4622, 0.5223, 0.5006, 0.4964, 0.5235, 0.5346, 0.5248, 0.4717, 0.4606, 0.4564, 0.4564, 0.4772, 0.4649, 0.3992, 0.3968, 0.3882, 0.3698, 0.3851, 0.4053, 0.4207, 0.446, 0.4339]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1981807074121330916", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T19:36:41+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "today I'm going long with calls: seeing massive option flow and technical upside pointing into MAG7 earnings week where capex spend will likely exceed/meet the street's guidance floor. Target 1 is 190, but I see 200-203 with a solid risk/reward setup", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NVDA calls into MAG7 earnings week on option flow + capex beat thesis; targets $190/$195/$200-203.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been selling cash covered puts on $NVDA the past few weeks - but today I'm going long with calls: seeing massive option flow and technical upside pointing into MAG7 earnings week where capex spend will likely exceed/meet the street's guidance floor.\n\nTarget 1 is 190, but I see 200-203 with a solid risk/reward setup\n\n---\n\n$190 PT1 hit overnight. $195 and $200-203 next 2 targets for the week. Unexpected capex bullish sentiment can send the stock higher than 5T market cap ($203) https://t.co/ryEZBKqRBS\n\n---\n\nProfit target #1 hit - sold 1/3 of my calls for ~2x", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022012152987441413, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022012152987441413, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013905831372604927, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003956564133807294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01805558885363412, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028079142713459238, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028079142713459238, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016281430690310295, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003017996543709378, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02506114616974986, "ret_p1w": 0.08713639231965797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08713639231965797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08003421808091882, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330384934951682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007102174238739156, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033832542970141155, "ret_p1m": -0.019918242704823785, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019918242704823785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007337895733340094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014313237884672758, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "bench_c_p1m": -0.034231480589496543, "ret_p3m": -0.015729438967721943, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.015729438967721943, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030753854730959707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16393415429530467, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024415763237764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14820471532758273, "ret_p6m": 0.08494686857302591, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08494686857302591, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03252102198814666, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2404606890107337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052425846584879254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3254075575837596, "price_path": [-0.0578, -0.0376, -0.0451, -0.0674, -0.0337, -0.043, -0.0368, -0.0295, -0.0192, -0.0226, -0.0167, -0.0251, -0.0228, -0.0312, -0.0229, -0.0571, -0.0584, -0.0606, -0.0445, -0.0347, -0.0242, -0.0251, -0.0328, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0832, -0.084, -0.0784, -0.1033, -0.0964, -0.0833, -0.048, -0.0488, -0.0453, -0.0457, -0.0611, -0.0857, -0.0538, -0.0515, -0.0142, -0.042, -0.0499, -0.046, -0.0433, -0.0237, 0.0017, 0.0053, 0.0141, 0.0073, -0.0039, -0.0065, 0.0153, 0.0339, -0.0166, 0.0111, -0.0334, -0.0345, -0.0239, -0.0163, -0.0194, -0.0274, -0.0321, -0.022, 0.0, 0.0281, 0.0793, 0.1116, 0.0893, 0.0871, 0.1107, 0.0667, 0.0481, 0.0098, 0.0101, 0.0687, 0.037, 0.0405, 0.0032, 0.021, 0.0018, -0.0263, 0.0014, -0.0302, -0.0396, -0.0199, -0.0453, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0497, -0.034, -0.0258, -0.0358, -0.0154, -0.0206, -0.0038, -0.0069, -0.0133, -0.0286, -0.0603, -0.0535, -0.0458, -0.0822, -0.065, -0.0282, -0.0137, 0.0159, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.023, 0.0106, 0.0069, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.014, 0.01, 0.0053, 0.0154, -0.0065, -0.0075, -0.007, -0.0024, -0.0167, 0.0043, -0.0001, -0.0001, -0.0439, -0.0157, -0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0012, 0.0122, 0.0283, 0.0336, 0.0262, -0.0034, -0.0317, -0.0647, -0.0772, -0.0045, 0.0204, 0.0123, 0.0204, 0.0037, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0069, 0.0093, 0.0089, 0.0192, 0.0285, 0.0354, 0.05, -0.0073, -0.0486, -0.0202, -0.0333, -0.0172, -0.0156, -0.0453, -0.0193, -0.0079, -0.0011, -0.0166, -0.0322, -0.0162, -0.0231, -0.0314, -0.0412, -0.0727, -0.0569, -0.0593, -0.0406, -0.0805, -0.1005, -0.1131, -0.0636, -0.0563, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0462, -0.0437, -0.0223, -0.0125, 0.0128, 0.0165, 0.0551, 0.0678, 0.065, 0.0829, 0.0849]}