Summary: Bearish TSLA for next 6-12 months absent a FSD/Dojo breakthrough.

@garyblack00 This list looked much more exciting the past few years. Expecting a 6-12 month slump without a FSD/Dojo breakthrough

$TSLA catalysts - 10/31/2023
1/ M-3 Highland launch 4Q
2/ Cybertruck delivs launch 4Q
3/ FSD OEM licensing deal 4Q
4/ Stable auto gross margins FY’24
5/ $7,500 EV instant rebate FY’24
6/ Fed’s pivot on int rates FY’24
7/ TSLA $10B share buyback FY’24
8/ FSD V12 L4 alpha release https://t.co/L17Hgd7bCD


Summary: Bearish TSLA: at $2.50-3 EPS, fair value is $100-150; current forward multiple too high vs Mag7.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

@gurgavin More details on the model? I presume you aren’t modeling for AI/robotics but curious if you modeled for FSD and robotaxi. Anyways, if 2024 EPS is $2.50-3, then $100-150 makes sense since the forward multiple is too high relative to Mag7

RAN SOME QUICK NUMBERS ON TESLA FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS

FAIR VALUE OF TESLA IS $315 5 YEARS OUT IN 2028 BASED ON MY MODEL

WITH A NAME LIKE $TSLA I WOULD WANT TO MAKE 30% A YEAR SO I WOULD NEED TO BUY TESLA AT ~ $85

$TSLA


Summary: Upcoming TSLA delivery report and earnings may disappoint to the downside.

@cryptocantoncat Also testing top of cloud on monthly right now. Upcoming delivery report and earnings may disappoint to downside though


I'm extremely hedged with $TSLA downside until Sept 2024

Summary: Holding TSLA downside hedge through Sept 2024, citing recession risk; may extend.

@garyblack00 @saxena_puru I agree. This is why I’m extremely hedged with $TSLA downside until Sept 2024. Might extend if needed.

Falling real GDI has correctly predicted 12 of 12 recessions since 1950.  It’s why there will be a Fed pivot by Spring of 2024. @saxena_puru


Summary: Bearish TSLA: China business in serious trouble, Xiaomi SU7 dealt a killing blow to sales.

@Tslachan I'll say this again, as I've said for 6+ months: $TSLA China is in serious trouble. It's a bloodbath. Xiaomi SU7 was the killing blow.

$TSLA 🇨🇳
NEWS: Tesla China insured units

<Apr 2024>
1-7 : 1,907
8-14 : 6,212
15-21 : 5,168 https://t.co/5mMQbHmdYx


Summary: Bearish TSLA on 60-70x+ forward PE with no compelling reason to own vs NVDA, which is preferred on sub-40 PE, larger TAM, and dominant datacenter share.

@Gfilche Let’s look at forward PE. 2024 EPS of 2.20-2.50 suggests 60-70x PE. 2025 EPS of 2.50-3.20 suggests even higher PE. Why would I buy $TSLA over other mag7 especially $NVDA with forward PE sub 40 and a larger TAM + 93%+ market share in accelerated datacenters?

$TSLA doing $8.3B in earnings annualizing Q4 2023 financials

$521B market cap implies 63X earnings

multiple needs to compress. either earnings will rise or stock may continue to fall https://t.co/Zwjs4RxIik


Summary: Would buy and hold NVDA for a year; anticipates a stock split this summer.

@gurgavin $NVDA - split coming this summer-ish

IF I GAVE YOU A MILLION DOLLARS RIGHT NOW AND YOU COULD ONLY BUY AND HOLD 1 STOCK FOR THE NEXT YEAR WHAT WOULD IT BE ?


Summary: Bullish TSLA into Q1 earnings; market already pricing in Shanghai headwinds, beat expected on removal of one-time Q4 hits.

@GerberKawasaki @realMeetKevin Market is pricing it in just like how they priced in q1 deliveries - huge q1 earnings beat in store w/ removal of one-time hits (payroll tax + Elon) in Q4 2021

@realMeetKevin Keep in mind. Shanghai is shut down at the moment. Q2 numbers are going to have some effect.


$NVDA dominance isn't visible on the streets (like other mega caps) so most retail missing out are calling it a bubble etc despite rock solid fundamentals and growth/forward PE

Summary: Long NVDA: rock-solid fundamentals and growth PE; retail misread it as a bubble, missing the dominance.

@GerberKawasaki $NVDA dominance isn’t visible on the streets (like other mega caps) so most retail missing out are calling it a bubble etc despite rock solid fundamentals and growth/forward PE

Tesla eps estimates for 2025 are $4.20 on Bloomberg. 40 times that is $168. Nvidia trades at 40 times 2024 eps with a massive growth rate. $tsla $nvda


Summary: Expects TSLA to re-test all-time high ~$1243 by end of Oct/early Nov after Q3 earnings, citing similar technical setup to prior year.

@garyblack00 We likely re-test all time high $1243 around end of Oct/early Nov post-Q3 earnings print. Same time as rally last year with similar technical setup.

$TSLA 2-yr forward P/E now 50x, same as at height of 2020 Covid crisis. With 50% long term vol growth for the foreseeable future as EV adoption surges, it’s difficult to see how TSLA P/E stays at 50x (avg 88x). At 50x P/E x 2023 EPS of $24, TSLA could be $1,200 by 2022 year-end. https://t.co/mSgEs3eZpG


Summary: Bearish TSLA: Wyckoff distribution pattern confirmed, technical setup amplifying downward move.

Lots of $TSLA investors are hearing bearish news, but should also be aware of the technical patterns showing bearish signs amplifying this move down. On Dec 5 I posted potential Wyckoff distribution pattern, it looked like the photo on the left. On the right, is what we see today https://t.co/cVFW0wimhM


Jensen Huang just announced that BYD 'the world's largest EV mfg' will be deploying $NVDA Thor

Summary: Bullish NVDA: BYD, world's largest EV maker, deploying NVDA Thor platform.

Jensen Huang just announced that BYD "the world's largest EV mfg" will be deploying $NVDA Thor - shade thrown at $TSLA


we're about to witness an unleashed @elonmusk with $TSLA pumping FCF and way past risk of insolvency. His earnings comments - shifting the paradigm towards FSD and Optimus - further support this

Summary: Bullish TSLA: Musk unleashed, FCF inflection, insolvency risk gone, FSD/Optimus as new growth drivers.

The $TSLA community is incredibly lucky to have great content being pushed out after a not-so-clear earnings by @robmaurer and @heydave7 - been watching both for years and recently the content has been next level

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After watching the latest content from both - it’s become more obvious to me that we’re about to witness an unleashed @elonmusk with $TSLA pumping FCF and way past risk of insolvency. His earnings comments - shifting the paradigm towards FSD and Optimus - further support this


Summary: Long TSLA into the stock split, then expects sell-off to $250 gap fill post-split.

@CheddarFlow Rally into split. Bull flag and potential cup+handle forming too. Expect sell off post split to $250 (gap fill)

$TSLA is receiving the majority of bullish flow today https://t.co/VPhrqdFBen


$NVDA price target $1020 by 2026. Likely reaches that by 2025 2H

Summary: NVDA price target $1020 by 2026, possibly as early as 2H 2025.


Summary: Bullish TSLA long-term; expects choppy near-term but smooth sailing from 2026+ on Giga Mexico ramp.

@farzyness Well said. 9-24 months of choppy waters ahead but smooth sailing 2026+ when Giga Mexico is ramped and profitable

My thoughts on Tesla's Q3 earnings.

What a weird day. Who would've thought Cybertruck's delivery event would be announced during one of the most somber days in Tesla's recent history?

The good:

Cybertruck delivery date is official for November 30th. It doesn't feel real, but


Summary: Bearish TSLA: expects only a brief bounce before dropping below $220 by Oct 20.

@Maverick0087367 @BCalusinski Yea it's sitting at 50ma, but it's one of the only - other than GOOG - of Mag7 that's still above 50ma. I don't expect this to last. If anything, next week will provide a short bounce upward until Oct 2 deliveries. Sub 220 likely by Oct 20

@mrwgreig @BCalusinski TSLA now sitting on strong support level and 50ma. Expect a st bounce tmw.


Summary: TSLA could re-test $100 on continued downward pressure; short-term bearish but long-term holders should stay in.

@farzyness No. We can easily re-test 100 with this downward pressure. Long term investors shouldn't waver (avoid margin though)


Summary: Author endorses below-consensus TSLA 4Q23 EPS estimate ~$0.57-0.60, down from prior $0.67; implied bearish into the print.

@alojoh Seems reasonable to me. I was at 0.67 EPS months ago but a revision downwards to sub 0.60ish seems warranted from the points you mentioned

I estimate Tesla's 4Q 2023 EPS to come in at $0.57 on the back of 484K deliveries. This represents -14% vs 3Q's EPS of $0.66.

Consideration (inter alia):
The reduction in EPS, despite a 11.2% increased in deliveries, is driven primarily by Tesla's singificnat inventory https://t.co/aydcyooRNM


Summary: Bearish TSLA: higher-for-longer rates will squeeze valuation/value proposition more than most Mag7 peers.

@AaronSmet Oversimplified view on a larger macro backdrop. $TSLA will get squeezed tighter on valuation/value proposition than most companies (being part of Mag7) due to higher for longer rates

Let me get this straight: I own the world's top EV business, $TSLA, and despite the high-interest-rate environment, it's still growing revenue and deliveries YoY.

They've also expanded their energy business to achieve a $0.5 billion quarterly profit, and they've exponentially


Summary: 2023 TSLA PT $220 on 4.40 EPS at 50x; expects large $75–$315 trading range for the year.

Didn't try forecasting a 2022 $TSLA price target, but for 2023 I'm expecting $220 (around 4.40 EPS at 50x). I expect an equally large trading range of $240 between $75-$315 which is mostly technical. My 2021 PT was within 1% of the ATH of $1243 presplit https://t.co/9qiAgVBWa7

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I also think we're near a short-term high - $195 and $207 were my options sell targets this week and next. Mid-Feb macro data (CPI, fed minutes) will likely determine next leg up/down before we head into March 1 $TSLA investor day which I'm stoked for

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Was within $25 on low/high end of these ranges. It’s a wide range, yes, but still accurately predicted the price volatility. I expect more in 2024. Will post my 2024 price target range after Q1 earnings.


Summary: Below-consensus TSLA valuation: lower deliveries + 50x multiple implies ~$215, below current $250 price.

Appreciate the analysis Gary. I think 2.4m next year seems like a stretch (@robmaurer and others are well below that), so discounting multiples to 50x would seem reasonable and at 4.30 EPS (which would come down if deliveries are closer to 2.2m) that's $215. This also assumes auto margins ex-RC have bottomed + no more price cuts

$TSLA @ $250 now trades at 58x my 2024 Adj EPS of $4.30.  Is that expensive or cheap? I think it’s cheap relative to +28% vol growth and +32% EPS growth between now and 2030 (TSLA 1.8x PEG vs $AAPL at 3.0x PEG).

I expect global EV adoption to grow from 13% currently to 60% by


Summary: Bearish TSLA; expects price to fill the $147 gap by EOY on unfinished margin deterioration.

@garyblack00 I’m at 0.66 eps and I do not think auto margins have bottomed yet. Unfortunately, we likely going to fill that $147 gap by EOY. Writing calls above $250 has been the best way to navigate these turbulent years.

There are three numbers that matter when $TSLA reports 4Q earnings on 1/24 (and WS consensus estimates):
- 4Q Adj EPS $.73E -39% YoY.
- 4Q Auto GM% ex-RC 17.0%E (16.3% 3Q).
- FY’24 delivs 2,195K Est +21.4%YoY.

I think WS’s 4Q auto GM% est is high at 17.0%.  I am at 16.0% for


Summary: More TSLA price cuts imminent, implying continued margin pressure ahead.

@heydave7 I think grow at any cost is still in play. Record cash balance and high FCF. More price cuts imminent to fulfill mission statement

TSLA stock a mess today. Here’s how I look at it. Two main issues:
1. Long limbo
2. Margins

Long Limbo - With the next-gen low cost vehicle not starting production until 2nd half of 2025 we have a long period where Model Y has finished ramping and Tesla doesn’t have new products https://t.co/RLBqbcvIT2


Summary: Bullish TSLA: 65 shares will reach ~$1M by 2030, ahead of parent's 2035 target.

@tesla4k Funny I just said this to a friend today. Same number (65 shares). Will probably be worth $1m by 2030.

If you own and hold 65 $TSLA stocks, you will be a millionaire by 2035.

Do not panic when the stock is volatile.
Do not try and time the market.
Have patience.
Hold.

Thank me in 2035.

(Not investment advice etc.)


Summary: Expects TSLA to fill the $146 gap by EOY based on harmonic bear bat patterns and diamond top formation.

Two large harmonic bear bat patterns formed in the past 2 years since $TSLA ATH in 2021. There is also a diamond top in between the two bear bat patterns. I'm expecting $146 gap fill by EOY still, will post price targets after Q1 earnings. Yellow arrow is the near-term top I predicted in 2023 from Wyckoff distribution


Summary: Short TSLA to sub-$150 by May–Aug on no near-term FOMC cuts; near-term bounce to 187–207 expected but medium-term trend remains down.

$TSLA hit my short-term target of $175 today - a relief bounce to 187-207 is likely in the next few weeks especially if China numbers tonight are above ~15k.

Still expect sub $150 by Aug, most likely by May with FOMC not cutting as soon as expected


Summary: Bearish TSLA; expects price to reach ~$165 very soon based on extended diamond top and other bearish patterns.

$TSLA forming a massive diamond top into Q3 deliveries (likely short 10k+). Not looking good fundamentally/technically for next ~3 months. Ex-CT delivery event, not many upside catalysts unless we surprise beat Q3 earnings (also unlikely imo). Long term bull case remains intact https://t.co/dbAVmoKryD

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Weekly update: $TSLA showing weakness into Q3 deliveries (Oct 2) and will likely disappoint with the report. Expect more downside pressure with the pattern projecting a $180 PT which is below the 200ma of approx $205. I'm a $TSLA bull but expect downward bias next 3-6 months as we head into a period of economic uncertainty and potential demand headwinds. Ex. CT-launch, not many upside catalysts near-term for $TSLA. Again, long term investors need not be phased. Not financial advice.

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Update almost 6 months later: the right side of the diamond was extended but the shape remained among other bearish patterns. We will likely see ~165 very soon https://t.co/ctsAbFSgl2


Summary: Expects NVDA pullback to $1200 within 30 days based on technical retracement signals.

@TickerSymbolYOU Expect a pull back anywhere from here to $1200. Technicals are lining up for a retracement within next 30 days. It's been a historic run up regardless

$NVDA is now worth $2.8 Trillion. With that, you could buy:

• 2.3 $META's
• 5 $TSLA's
• 10 $AMD's
• 21 $INTC's
• 43 $PYPL's
• 60 $PLTR's

No big deal 😅 https://t.co/H9VXtkWPUz


I do not think the bad news is 'nearly fully' priced in. A YoY decline below 423k would be a very negative headline and send the stock down 5-10%. A number below 400k would be a nose dive down 10-20%.

Summary: Disagrees that bad news is priced in; expects TSLA down 5-20% on a volume miss below 423k–400k.

@garyblack00 I believe the whisper number is around 430k as well. However, I do not think the bad news is ‘nearly fully’ priced in. A YoY decline below 423k would be a very negative headline and send the stock down 5-10%. A number below 400k would be a nose dive down 10-20%.

We believe TSLA’s likely 1Q volume miss next week may be nearly fully discounted by TSLA’s sharp YTD underperformance (TSLA -28% vs NDX +9%).  We expect TSLA’s IR-compiled consensus due out today or tomorrow may right-size 1Q expectations at ~430K (Bloomberg consensus still shows https://t.co/zMKkzh6JXO


Summary: Bullish short-term on growth/tech; QQQ rebounds from $423 if NFLX earnings are positive.

Seeing lots of resistance levels for US 2/5/10yr, $DXY, $VIX. This is bullish short-term. Especially for high-growth/growth names.

Can see $QQQ rebound off $423 if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note.


if $NFLX kicks off earnings on a positive note


Summary: Bearish TSLA: expects a 2024 demand gap year with more price cuts, rejecting the bullish delivery/GM scenario.

@EmmetPeppers Nope. 2024 demand gap year with more cuts to stimulate mission statement.

If for 2024 Q1 Tesla can deliver 505k+ with 18-19%+ GM $TSLA starts ticking back in the right direction IMO

What do you fellow Tesla investors think?  Likely or not?

Also:
+Cybertruck demand way higher than 250k per year IMO
-Next Gen and Optimus may not come until 2026+ IMO


Summary: Enthusiastic product endorsement of Model 3 Highland refresh; implied bullish on TSLA quality/execution.

Just test drove the new M3 highland. I’ve had a M3 for almost 6 years. The drive (suspension especially), overall feel and sound improvement is astounding. Closing the doors is an instant noticeable improvement. Driving felt like an actual luxury German/Japanese car.  Awesome job by the Tesla team! #model3 $TSLA


Summary: MSFT broke out of diamond top and heading to $423 5th-wave target.

Always good to revisit patterns. $MSFT broke out of the diamond top on daily and is heading towards my original $423 5th-wave target https://t.co/87pGJDkZrF

$MSFT (left) diamond top forming + potential 5th wave completion; potential market top with $NVDA (right) selling off at top end of its rising broadening pattern. Both daily views. https://t.co/57NvNgaaRh


Summary: Short-term TSLA price target $157 on technical basis, ~10% downside; watching $165 fib and $160 double-bottom as key levels into Q1 earnings.

Going into Q1 print, haven't changed my 414k estimate. Looking at $TSLA price movement:

1) my short term price target is now $157 for technical reasons. A -10% drop from today's close is exactly there. A -5% drop puts the price at a key fib retrace level of $165. $160 is a potential double-bottom bullish reversal candidate

2) a 'sell the rumor, buy the news' outcome is also possible. The short thesis has been obvious for 30+ days so unless $TSLA reports below 423k tomorrow, I can see minimal downside until earnings

Will update once numbers are out.

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Q1 results are out at 387k delivered. That is disastrous.

Price-wise, the stock is hugging the key $165 fib I outlined above. It is also holding all technical patterns so little changed for the outlook until we see decisive price movement. This may not happen until q1 earnings.


Summary: Bullish TSLA; sees cup-and-handle pattern targeting $1060 resistance or $1240 ATH.

@traderstewie Cup and handle to $1060 resistance or $1240 ATH

$TSLA ... starting to form a nice lil bullish flag here after the recent PEG.

First Target: $1000 https://t.co/nR0oJzgucI


Summary: Bearish TSLA: losing EV market share in China fast, with underappreciated competitive threat from Chinese EV makers.

@GerberKawasaki Should assign more blame to real competitive threat in China. It seems most investors have no access to China's EV landscape. They're losing ground there - fast.

Basically tesla can’t sell its cars due to Elon’s behavior. Let’s stop blaming the Houthi rebels or German environmental terrorists. Or a recession that never came. Or interest rates. Only one person responsible for this. $TSLA


Summary: Bullish TSLA: low-cost EV production starting in Austin is a positive catalyst for shareholders.

I actually expected this when Giga Texas was first announced, and was surprised to hear Giga Mexico would be the first production line especially given it's close proximity. Glad to hear this as the faster it's released, the better for the world + $TSLA shareholders @robmaurer

Elon Musk on Tesla’s upcoming “low cost & high volume” electric vehicle…

Notably, the first production line will be in Austin, TX https://t.co/8O7xxNERB2


Summary: Agrees TSLA will eventually rally to $1T+ but not until 2026+; expects further downside before then with a bottom still ahead in 2024.

@EmmetPeppers I agree with the thesis but not the timeline. The earliest I can see a $TSLA rally to 1T would be Q3 '24. I doubt the stock has yet to bottom for '24 (EPS + vol growth still too high) and I've been accurate the past 4 years.

2026+ looks like the next growth wave for the stock.

Not investment advice and could be very wrong:
I believe greater than 50% chance that a significant rally in $TSLA stock (back towards and above $1 trillion market cap) will occur once there are solid indications of increasing FSD take rates. This actual increased take rate I


Summary: Bearish TSLA with $108 target this year; advises hedging with covered calls.

@EvasTeslaSPlaid @Tesla Hope you aren’t buying on margin. Stock is on a crash course to $108 this year. I held thousands of shares like you until 2022-23. I’d highly suggest you learn to hedge with covered calls if you haven’t already

Another brutal day. $TSLA
What’s happening? @Tesla https://t.co/KK5vNKfTVQ


AI overhang is tapering off. Stock was significantly undervalued. That's why. Its forward PE was below McDonalds in April - never been that cheap.

Summary: Bullish GOOG: AI overhang tapering, stock historically undervalued on forward PE basis.

industry='Internet Content & Information'

@DeepIceValue AI overhang is tapering off. Stock was significantly undervalued. That’s why.

Its forward PE was below McDonalds in April - never been that cheap. Even a few months ago it was still historically low.

Using stock price vs multiples is not a fair comparison.

Why didnt $BRK.B buy $GOOG in 2022 when it was at $83 or just few months ago when it was at $150?

Risk of breaking the web search is long time gone, capex is up again, and risk of AI bubble is increasing, this makes no sense.. https://t.co/TZlaA73DyJ


Summary: TSLA bull flag target $310 hit; next target $325–338 expected next week.

@CheddarFlow Called it - target #1 at $310 bull flag reached today - expecting $325-338 next week https://t.co/m1Tg2SmrJ7


Summary: Live positions: short QQQ, long DIA/NVDA/PLTR/ONON; directional on TSLA leaning short via puts on poor earnings concern.

Position update:

Short $QQQ (shorted at $499, technicals)
Long $DIA (rotation)
Long $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)
Long $PLTR (hedged w/ covered calls)
Long $ONON (hedged w/ covered calls)

Directional on $TSLA (Sep 230p's and 300c's) - leaning downward from poor earnings but rate cuts will be a big boost for $TSLA

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FWIW, $TSLA is printing a diamond top but it doesn't mean anything if earnings go well. However, if earnings go poorly, looking at a drop to ~$213


Long $NVDA (re-entered today at $118 after selling at $135, 4h ichi cloud + $118 support + fib chan intersect)


Summary: Broadly bullish TSLA earnings reaction; beat on EPS, margins, operating income, and FCF despite revenue miss.

@CheddarFlow Crushed it except revenue did not beat estimates

$TSLA EARNINGS:

✅Adjusted EPS: 72 cents (Estimate: 60 cents)
✅Revenue: $25.18B (Estimate: $25.43B)
✅Gross Margin: 19.8% (Estimate: 16.8%)
✅Operating Income: $2.72B (Estimate: $1.96B)
✅Free Cash Flow: $2.74B (Estimate: $1.61B)
✅Capital Expenditure: $3.51B (Estimate:


Summary: Author thinks $404 PT is too low; implies TSLA worth $500+ on AI optionality analysts are underestimating.

@SawyerMerritt Too low. Anything below $500 is too low. Analysts slow to see beyond the AI curve

NEWS: Canaccord Genuity has raised its $TSLA price target to $404 (from $298). They maintain a BUY rating.

"Despite weaker-than-expected deliveries, we are sticking with our BUY and raising our target from $298 to $404. This target is based on ~40x (from ~34x) our 2027E (from


fundamentals and technicals align for a massive breakout in the next 1-2 years (2-3x)… price will send to ~390-480 for 2-3x

Summary: Long BABA; cup/handle setup with Qwen catalyst targets $250 then $390-480 (2-3x) over 1-2 years.

Seeing a similar setup for $BABA that $TSLA formed around ~6 months ago. With tonight's Qwen news, I'm seeing the fundamentals and technicals align for a massive breakout in the next 1-2 years (2-3x).

I called the monthly cloud breakout to ~190 around 5 months ago (although I did not capitalize on it unfortunately). It looks like we're getting another entry opportunity.

Seeing massive confluence at several 5-10 year old fib levels and *if* the monthly cloud is breached with a full candle, followed by a golden zone breach around ~220, we will quickly see $250. I expect price to pull back around here and form a potential handle. If the cup/handle fulfills, price will send to ~390-480 for 2-3x.


Post-earnings thrust is a textbook UTAD and suggests more chop downwards to go. Short-term expecting ~125-135 range until early Q1

Summary: Short-term bearish NVDA on Wyckoff Distribution / UTAD setup; expects chop down to ~125-135 range until early Q1.

Lots of $NVDA charts showing the h/s setup - but haven't seen people point out the Wyckoff Distribution.

Post-earnings thrust is a textbook UTAD and suggests more chop downwards to go (likely within 1d cloud). Short-term expecting ~125-135 range until early Q1 possibly when Jensen speaks Jan 6


Summary: TSLA likely tests cloud bottom ~$385 in 3-5 sessions; bearish near-term despite possible brief relief bounce.

Seeing *potential* short-term relief around here for $TSLA - especially if daily candle can wick up above $404. Closing within daily cloud is not good for bulls and a cloud-bottom test at ~385 is on deck for the next 3-5 sessions. https://t.co/QBzuhJbOEe

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Earlier today someone likely bought $TSLA puts as flow aligns with price movement and key ~415 level was broken which exacerbated this sell off https://t.co/sANTEamXYn


Summary: Strongly bullish TSLA; technicals and sentiment aligned for upside, calls it the easiest trade setup in months.

@herbertong Yes - technicals and sentiment are strong and aligned to upside. Easiest trade setup in months. Predicted 15x of the last 16x 10%+ moves on $TSLA since 2020 (which I called 414 high to the dollar) - all posted on X for the deniers to head scratch.

https://t.co/a30uXZTTPn

🚨 $TSLA has momentum and can pretty easily back to old highs: Renaissance Macro's deGraaf

Jeff deGraaf says Tesla stock just broke out after 4 months of consolidation, charts point to more upside 📈

Yes, sales are a concern, but momentum looks strong! https://t.co/L0qG6jBE6L


Summary: Bullish TSLA: technical breakout targets 292-325 by next week or mid-May, supported by $1.2B dark pool print at 227.

100% technical Emmet. There are many, many technicals that were breached today. Many traders had the downward fib channel around 260 marked and the momentum from that broke thru key levels (265, 272 and 275) which would suggest 292-325 by next week or mid May. Several months coiling around 220-250 will justify such a move regardless of weak earnings or upcoming Robotaxi.

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@EmmetPeppers Called the move here. Notably a massive $1.2 billion darkpool print at 227 last week supported the thesis with risk favoring upside


Summary: Sees further TSLA downside near-term with Wyckoff distribution forming; target entry ~$350 before a longer-term $600 PT.

As I've been saying for 2+ weeks - $TSLA short-term upside risk/reward is not good. I opened a very minor long position ytday and exited today for a very minor loss.

I see further downside (but am not short) and Wyckoff distribution forming. Target entry is ~350 and 12month PT remains ~$600.


moving further down to 10+ year fib chan looking like a plausible scenario ... A poor Q1 earnings in Jan can send price to the 3rd gap around ~507

Summary: Bearish META: double fib golden zone + cloud retest signals further downside; poor Q1 earnings could send price to ~507.

$META double fib golden zone overlap into 1d/2d cloud retest before moving further down to 10+ year fib chan looking like a plausible scenario.

This suggests strong technical symmetry *if* price falls through the golden zone. Two resulting points of interest shown with yellow arrows. A poor Q1 earnings in Jan can send price to the 3rd gap around ~507.


Summary: Author considers going long TSLA for first time in 2+ years, buying dips to ~$180.

Here's the final update for this pattern. I shorted 260-265 and closed 35% of my puts at ~217 yesterday before earnings. 100% of my 2024 $TSLA plays (posted 10 on X) have all been very profitable.

Tomorrow, we likely see an island reversal pattern just like April 2024 Q1 print. $250-260 looks like a near-term target.

For the first time in 2+ years I might go long with $TSLA stock and buy any dips to ~180.

Played out as expected. What happens from here is completely fundamental from tonight's robotaxi unveil. If investors aren't impressed, I can see a swift move to low 200's before earnings https://t.co/z0A6ltMlE6


Summary: Long TSLA: Elon's unprecedented political influence under Trump will immensely benefit his ventures over the next 4 years.

Quick note on @elonmusk who I've followed closely since 2013. Elon has always been influential and powerful - note how world leaders would visit/communicate with him on the regular. But now, in my opinion, Elon is the most powerful/influential person in the world. Look at how long Trump spoke about Elon and the landing of Starship + Starlink in NC during his victory speech (longer than anything else). He was critical in the red wave victory.

Elon has always lived at the intersection of innovation and regulation with a proven record of breakneck innovation pace that will ripple through Trump's administration. I have no doubts he will be energized like never before in his new US Govt capacity. Perhaps most interesting to consider, Elon has the potential to be today's Henry Kissinger equivalent with China.

All his 'startups' (X, xAI, SpaceX and $TSLA most notably) will benefit immensely and he will get revenge on those who had it coming.

I expect this tweet to age very well in the next 4 years.

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@elonmusk For those who missed the speech https://t.co/WxaNQoLc5V


Summary: Conditionally bullish TSLA to $1000 by 2026-27 if Optimus and FSD execute on plan.

@jasondebolt Yea if Optimus and FSD go according to plan - I'd say 2026-27 look reasonable


Summary: After closing short at a loss, author now bullish PLTR with a $60 fair value target.

Last short entry into $PLTR today at $45 ATH. I think it's overbought and can retrace to form a potential cup/handle setup. If this happens, strong chance it ends up somewhere in the 2 parallel channel overlap for a 20-30% correction to ~$30-36 before a potential rally to break ATH.

Earnings next week will likely determine this. My $PLTR short is also a proxy hedge to my $NVDA $TSLA upside

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Closed this trade for -50% loss. $PLTR is overextended short term but imo worth $60. The short entry loss is less than 5% of the gains I made from long $PLTR stock


Summary: 12-month TSLA PT $610; also holding heavy AAPL position anchored at $202, calling it less risky and outperforming.

I've been saying for over a month now that $TSLA hit its key multi-decade fib channel at ~470 and now again at ~465. You won't see this elsewhere on X because it's esoteric.

Price can rally to 488 or 500/525 if Nov 6 shareholder approval goes well - but if this is the yearly high, this is why. Don't be surprised if it's a sell the news event shortly after if it does rally.

I currently hold no $TSLA after taking large profits weeks ago. Rotated in $NVDA last week (nice ~6x in a week). Anchored my portfolio into heavy $AAPL back in June around $202. $TSLA remains a swing trade for now. $AAPL (+33%) has outperformed $TSLA (+31%) since then and is extremely less risky. I also captured every single $TSLA move higher via calls and avoided months of sideways chop. This is how you trade efficiently.

My 12+ month PT still remains at $610.


Anchored my portfolio into heavy $AAPL back in June around $202. $AAPL (+33%) has outperformed $TSLA (+31%) since then and is extremely less risky.


Summary: Author sees AI/robotics/FSD worth ~$100 vs parent's $50, implying higher fair value for TSLA than parent's bearish breakdown suggests.

@teslashanghai Fair assessment, I'd put AI/robotics/FSD at near $100 though.

Tesla's valuation composition: $80 for the automotive business + $20 for the energy business + $50 for the FSD + Elon's commitment $50 = $200, and the current FSD and Elon's commitments are in a seriously overvalued position. $TSLA


Summary: Skeptical of TSLA's expanding 90-100x forward PE with no AI/autonomy returns yet; favors NVDA on growing EPS and shrinking forward PE.

Alright $TSLA retail, we got 4 consecutive EPS misses. And this Q had 890m RC (very high). I'm not saying $TSLA won't be 3T+ by ~2027 but until we see some real returns from AI/autonomy/Optimus, I don't know what you're seeing from this expanding forward PE valuation (90-100+). The core EV business is slowing and China is a growing concern.

Why own this company now over other growth prospects (like $NVDA) with growing EPS/shrinking forward PE?


Why own this company now over other growth prospects (like $NVDA) with growing EPS/shrinking forward PE?


Summary: Bearish CELH: CEO sounds like a salesman lacking vision, a red flag for a growth stock.

Big red flag after listening to the $CELH CEO speak. Sounds more like a salesman than a CEO. Growth stocks need vision, not persuasion. https://t.co/PPtulv77dE


Elon name dropping GOOGL (I have 40% allocation) is not common. I've followed him for 10+ years and I can count on 2 hands how many times he's said something like this.

Summary: Author holds 40% allocation in GOOGL and highlights rarity of Elon endorsing it as bullish signal.

@SawyerMerritt Elon name dropping GOOGL (I have 40% allocation) is not common. I’ve followed him for 10+ years and I can count on 2 hands how many times he’s said something like this.

https://t.co/sK4j9SQwZv

Elon Musk on where people should invest:

"I don't really buy stocks. I don't look for things to invest in. I just try to build things and then there happens to be stock of the company that I built, but I don't have like a portfolio or anything; Google is gonna be pretty valuable https://t.co/dGJsvvfr3L


Summary: 85% of portfolio in AAPL and GOOGL; endorses parent's bullish thesis on both.

@munster_gene Agreed. 85% of my port is AAPL GOOGL

https://t.co/zQSL5SlfpT

’Tis the prediction season. I’ve got:

$AAPL as the top Mag 7 performer for the next six months.

$GOOG for the next year. Below is more on GOOG.

https://t.co/RKECDnIQ8q


Summary: TSLA upside bias intact after Musk's ~$1B purchase; expects possible retrace to ~400 but bullish overall into FOMC.

Exactly where I expected price target #1 (first arrow) at around ~430.

Friday had someone buying ~$1b in $TSLA around 397 via darkpool was possibly Musk.

Price can retrace to ~400 this week but the upside bias is still intact especially after Musk's enormous $1b stock purchase. Eyes on FOMC Wednesday.

---

https://t.co/iGnK3ryuXY


Summary: Endorses $500 TSLA target; sees it happening either in current rally or by Q1 '25 on new Model Y launch.

@TradingWarz @TrendSpider I can see it - whether it happens during this rally is the question. Many fib channel/extensions conveniently crossover at ~500. If not this rally, prob Q1 '25 with the new Model Y launch

@TrendSpider My projection is $500 using the Measured Move

Given at 144! LFG https://t.co/kkYwI0fsTy


Summary: Long ONON at ~$35; targets $45-50 by Q2 2026 on growth/margin expansion, oversold technicals, with $25 bear case.

Seeing $ONON risk/reward skew greatly in favor around $35. Likely holds $30 (-15% downside) and should revisit $45-50 (30-50% upside) before Q2 2026. My bear case is $25 (-25% downside).

Fundamentally, I expect further growth/margin expansion despite cyclical weakness from the consumer ( $LULU + $NKE proxy downdraft ) and tariff pressure. If demand holds up, looking at USD/CHF headwinds (~-6% EPS impact) to counter balance price action.

Not to mention, the stock is very oversold (RSI on multiple long-term intervals sub 30) and the technicals should begin to reverse to the upside soon.

Of course, this is all contingent on a decent/solid earnings report + guidance next week.


if $TSLA can break ~420-440 and print a weekly candle above the breakout flag, we're going to see a fast ATH retest, likely pit stop 480-510 and then $600-690 would be next on deck by end of Feb

Summary: Long TSLA targeting ATH retest, $480-510 then $600-690 by end of February on Elliott wave 5 + smart money skewed risk/reward.

The path for $TSLA to rally (5th elliott wave) is set. Market consolidated into earnings/FOMC and the new Trump administration as one would expect. Now, if $TSLA can break ~420-440 and print a weekly candle above the breakout flag, we're going to see a fast ATH retest, likely pit stop 480-510 (possibly print another bull flag) and then $600-690 would be next on deck by end of Feb.

Many other technical/option flow factors are lining up but I won't go into detail (High Tight Flag posted below). Basically, I've followed $TSLA for over 10 years and I've only seen setups like this a handful of times.

Many are trying to explain why $TSLA dropped after the earnings print before rallying 10%+ from $365. The 1H new model confirmation + cybercab news were catalysts, but the real reason is smart money sees the skewed risk/reward to the upside. $TSLA never rallies on rev/EPS misses. This is how you read price movement between the lines.

Not financial advice.

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https://t.co/ryXbiAqJtK


they're thin and can be retested within a few weeks or months and dip below

Summary: TSLA support at 215-220 is thin and could be retested and broken below within weeks or months.

@redmercy My charts have 10+ years of work, I’ve never seen price pivot at a key level without technical explanation.

The obvious ones I can point out: 2week/monthly clouds supported TSLA at 215-220. However, they’re thin and can be retested within a few weeks or months and dip below.

@mrwgreig Curious what made you see 220 ish region as the target. Weekly suggested a lot of demand should have appeared at 270ish and the monday 'black swan' 15% drop ruined that


One reason I entered $SPY puts a week ago. Technical downside is more likely than upside

Summary: Holds SPY puts; technicals favor downside over upside.

Well that's a little ominous. $SPY https://t.co/sEPt6u20Qj


Summary: TSLA could retest ~460 if it reclaims ~423; expects range-bound action between fib channels for ~3 months.

$TSLA continues to be range bound between 2 converging 10+ year fib channels. I can see price retesting ~460 if it can first reclaim the ~423 level with a full candle print above.

I would not be surprised to see price bounce between these two significant channels for the next ~3 months.


Summary: Holds long-term puts on QQQ and TSLA; remains long NVDA, PLTR, ONON while hedging hard on market risk-off into EOY.

Tried to warn all the $TSLA retail going hard into earnings with those Sep 300c’s that I said were sold not bought. The OI skew for call/put ratio was absurdly high for calls - lots of pain for most retail today.

Listening to @realMeetKevin and other ‘influencers’ should be avoided. Kevin famously told his followers that $295 was assured after breaking $258 despite missing the key $265 resistance and ultimate sell off which has wiped every long call out.

Sold half my weekly puts at 226 and 218 for very nice gains. Keeping my long term $QQQ $TSLA puts open.

Still long $NVDA $PLTR $ONON but hedging hard as I see more market risk-off into EOY


Summary: Bearish ABNB: below IPO price, disappointing guidance, no growth catalysts; characterizes it as a VC play unfit for public markets.

@Gfilche @Airbnb Horrible stock to own. Below IPO price 4 years ago. Forward guidance disappoints, no upcoming products/services to be excited about - what's there to like about this 'growth' story. It was a VC play - not a public markets play.

no properties to deal with.. no debt ... globally decentralized network (no geographic dependance) ...

$80B in gross bookings & growing.. $4.3B in cashflow..

the best asset in real estate is @Airbnb equity. prove me wrong 🙏🙏🙏


Summary: Bearish TSLA: trapped between fib channels, Wyckoff distribution forming, risk/reward skews ~30% down vs ~15% up toward 330-350.

Haven't posted $TSLA charts for many weeks now because price has been caught between two multi-decade fib channels for over 2 months (as I suggested back in Sept). Every week it fails to break above 460-470 (moving target) suggests more downside is to come.

Wyckoff distribution is also on deck. I can still see a rally to ~500-525 but that window is fast closing and extending the window for downside to 330-350.

TL;DR: ~15% upside and ~30% downside skews risk against anyone long $TSLA


Summary: Calls TrendSpider's post near-sighted; DOGE role exit is a net positive for Tesla.

@TrendSpider What a dumb near-sighted post - Elon has said publicly he wants it gone for 2+ years. Net win for $TSLA.

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@TrendSpider https://t.co/iy1PdOyju5


Summary: Expects GOOGL to pull back to $300-312 short-term then continue to $380 and $410 within 3 months; $330-340 near-term resistance.

$GOOGL price is exactly where I projected 2 weeks ago, reaching my PT #1 at $330 (overnight trading). If price can't breach the 20+ year fib channel, I expect price to retrace and gap fill to ~300-312 before retesting the channel upper limit.

Within the last 3 months:
- My remaining Jan 250c's are up over 8x (I took profit on the way up at planned targets).
- My stock (now 40% allocation) is also up over +40%.
- Completely side stepped the recent market repricing/correcting AI growth names. 85% of my port is  $AAPL $GOOGL $ONON stock

I expect $330-340 to be hard resistance near-term, but I also expect $380 and $410 within 3 months.


$160 is 4T and I think that's the top for 1+ year(s). There's a rising wedge on the log weekly too

Summary: Bearish NVDA: $160 marks 4T market cap ceiling and top for 1+ year, confirmed by rising wedge on log weekly chart.

@2kaykim $160 is 4T and I think that’s the top for 1+ year(s). There’s a rising wedge on the log weekly too

Nothin but a G thang

Ponzi Leeches work in segments
So we are resting before the LEG #3

MARK IT!

$NVDA https://t.co/dxfOjmQKIf


~$425-430 is a significant resistance zone … it's going to take a FOMC catalyst tomorrow alongside some short term bullish pattern prints … I expected price to stall out around ~$415-430 … and it's done exactly that

Summary: TSLA stalling at $425-430 resistance; needs FOMC catalyst + bullish patterns to break higher, otherwise resistance holds.

I'm feeling generous.

This single chart has been extremely profitable and a key leading $TSLA indicator for years. I won't share the coordinates, but you can see this is why ~$425-430 is a significant resistance zone (which I indicated in my last post). It also predicted the $488 ATH, $101 5-year low and many other high/lows.

Can it rally further? Yes, but it's going to take a FOMC catalyst tomorrow alongside some short term bullish pattern prints (bullish pennant/flags etc). I mentioned that I expected price to stall out around ~$415-430 (my first of 3 price targets) and it's done exactly that.

Lots of people on X are saying $TSLA will just rocket to ATH but haven't seen a single post showing this chart below because it's known by very, very few (the algos know).

Do your own research. Don't blind trust these discord pumpers. They pump their own tires after things are going their way.


Summary: TSLA can 3-5x from here but a repeat 10-20x is unrealistic; modest long with tempered expectations.

@BullTradeFinder I said this back in 2016 for $TSLA and it came true for me. TSLA can 3-5x but expecting another 10-20x is a moonshot

These are the top stocks I believe you can become a millionaire off of over the next decade or so:

1. $TSLA

2. $PLTR

3. $HOOD

4. $CAVA

What would you add?


I'm long. Tomorrow/wednesday has the potential to gap fill at $329 and I have limits set to buy that dip if it comes. Otherwise 400+ is in play this week. Leaving $TSLA stock open

Summary: Long TSLA (stock + calls open) targeting 400–450 by December, buying dips to ~$303; also holding dry powder for NVDA earnings.

Quick recap on my positions in the last 3 months:

- Closed my $PLTR (entered $8 and $16) at $28 - yes I know I missed significant upside; price target was $30
- Closed $PTON (entered $3 closed at $5) - same upside miss; price target was $6
- Closed $NVDA from $70 to 135 exact top, re-entered $102 and $118 and sold again at $134
- Closed $ONON (entered $27 and $36 closed at $49)
- Closed $TSLA puts (shorts entered $260-265 closed at $213-235)
- Moved 80% allocation from $NVDA $PLTR $PTON $ONON into $TSLA at $242 and $277. I have about 60% allocated into $TSLA stock/long calls/short puts (cash secured puts) and plan to increase up to 80% but I want powder for $NVDA earnings. Targets $310, $325 short term; $400 2-6 months.

These are all my large moves since July. Zero misses. Goal is to open/close within 5% of targets.

I stopped sharing my charts since I get requests for expanded commentary (I ignore most don't take it personally), but here's 2 that I think are important. Fib chan/bull flag ext on left; anchored vwap/parallel channels on right.

Fundamentals are strongest I've seen since 2021.

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I'm taking some $TSLA profits here at $318 with my December calls (up 6x+) and writing some calls to hedge downside. Still expect more rallying to continue and plan to buy dips down to ~$303

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My remaining December calls are now up 10x+. I added some stock and weekly calls at $343 today. The uptrend is continuing to be strong and can go as high as 420-450 by December. Until I see the uptrend break, I’m long.

Tomorrow/wednesday has the potential to gap fill at $329 and I have limits set to buy that dip if it comes. Otherwise 400+ is in play this week. CPI data Wednesday.

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Closed my $TSLA December calls today for ~8x gains and bought Nov 29 calls to reduce upside exposure into CPI tmr. Leaving $TSLA stock open


Summary: Bearish on TSLA: diamond top + fib channel rejection signal weakness over next 30-60 days.

@TSLAFanMtl Diamond top confirmed, fib channel rejection. Looking very weak next 30-60 days.

Chart dump coming. Hope you like charts.


Summary: Long TSLA to $500-600 in 2025; rates risk/reward 10/10 despite near-term potential pullback at $400.

@EliteOptions2 Yup but I see a potential sell off at $400 before upward movement resumes this/next week. $500-600 in 2025 in terms of risk/reward is 10/10.

https://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y

$TSLA It's been 36 months since touching ATH at 414, TSLA is setting up to test this key resistance level again this week. TSLA above 414 will run to 500+ next year. We’re about to see a short squeeze similar to 2021. If you catch this trade, you can easily 5x your account.


Summary: Long TSLA; sold 50% of longs but still buying dips at 303-310, targeting continuation to 348+ with 325 as support.

@EliteOptions2 I agree. However continuation to 348 and holding above 325 is also possible which is why I sold 50% of my longs. Buying dips around 303-310

If you missed the 90 pt run in $TSLA last week.. Read below if you want to catch the next run to 372-384. TSLA ripped from 238 to 328 in 5 days. TSLA needs to back test the 300 level next and turn this previous resistance into support in order to see a sustained run to 372 next.


Summary: Long GOOGL (40% of portfolio) with PTs $380/$410 and $800+ by 2030; long AAPL as AI consumer layer play alongside GOOGL.

$GOOGL is now at 4T market cap in overnight trading, on pace to dethrone $NVDA within the next 30 days (likely by next earnings) to become the largest company in the world.

Almost 3 months ago, I allocated 20%+ of my portfolio at ~$230. In the last 2 weeks, I've doubled that to near 40% (trimmed $ONON after massive +20% earnings beat). My first price target was $330 (4T); next PT is $380 and $410. I would not be surprised if $GOOGL goes to $800+ to be the first $10T company by 2030.

I still believe $AAPL and $GOOGL (now 85%+ of my portfolio) are best positioned to capitalize on AI's consumer utility layer in the next few years. Essentially, the consumer counterpart to $PLTR's commercial utility layer.

The $GOOGL narrative went from 'AI victim' to 'AI winner' within about 3 months this year.


I still believe $AAPL and $GOOGL (now 85%+ of my portfolio) are best positioned to capitalize on AI's consumer utility layer in the next few years


Summary: Long TSLA: expects 347-365 retest next week, then rally to prior ATH ~414 by end of September, with stop at 375-385.

Almost 4 months ago I projected the likely path $TSLA would trade and was spot on. Cup/handle setup was canceled but price traded within the 2d cloud nonetheless.

Looking forward, I'm seeing a high likelihood of a 347-365 retest next week and enough momentum to retest prior ATH by end of Sept around 414 with a pit stop at ~375-385. Remember, $TSLA benefits the most of MAG7 from dovish policy.

Keeping the chart simple (lots behind the scenes).

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https://t.co/xZH7T2eYf6


I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June ... anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL

Summary: Holding 70%+ in AAPL/GOOGL as safe anchors amid risk-off signals; momentum trading TSLA into shareholder vote with 20-30% of remaining portfolio.

Seeing many signals of risk-off from the market overall. Lots of pre-market and overnight key prices for megacaps hit and immediately sold off. Lots of my price targets for key leading stock names (GOLD, BTCUSD, NVDA, PLTR, TSLA etc.) were hit in the past 2-4 weeks.

Factor in companies beating earnings + guidance and still trading down w/ VIX spiking and $AAPL rising suggests it's time to rotate into safer positions (I've been 70%+ into AAPL GOOGL since June) or trim positions - especially winners - and buy downside protection if you can (covered calls are generally best for retail).

My positioning remains the same. I'm momentum trading volatility (long/short) in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today) and anchoring portfolio with $AAPL $GOOGL.


long/short ... in my top conviction names w/ 20-30% of remaining portfolio (like $TSLA into shareholder vote later today)


Summary: Long TSLA targeting $500–$510 breakout over next few sessions, with possible +5% Friday move; conditional bear case to $390–415 if rejected at $510–515.

Haven't posted in a while - $TSLA showing signs (bull flag, technical confluence) of 500 and 510 over the next few trading sessions with an increased likelihood of tomorrow being the breakout above $500 day. I think $TSLA may resume it's repetitive +5% Fridays as it did last few rallies.

Keep in mind BoJ rate hike is tonight and with the yen carry trade still unwinding (IMO) - expect volatility into OpEx tomorrow.

If $TSLA does reject at $510-515 range, I expect it to fall to ~390-415 in the next few quarters before reloading for a push to $607 by Dec 2026.


Summary: Expects TSLA to fill the $243 gap within 6-9 months, implying downside from current levels.

@msezng The 243 gap likely fills in next 6-9 months

$TSLA My projection for Tesla going into 2026 purely based on EWT. I can already tell what the comments are going to be like before posting this. Yeah... sounds absurd, I know. Let's see how this ends up 🤷♂ https://t.co/OuPxFy2XPI


Summary: Diamond top pattern on TSLA daily chart targets $207-213 downside from $265 wick.

In case anyone needs a reminder, basically all 'influencers' aren't good at trading/short-term movement which is why they sell courses/clicks.

Daily chart attached shows how $TSLA price wicked off $265 due to its technical significance.

Now we have a diamond top forming which suggests $207-213

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Revisiting this old post. $207 price target fulfilled Aug 2 (day before the yen carry trade unwinding began).


Summary: Author expects TSLA to end the year closer to $215 than $300, below parent's $270 PT.

@garyblack00 Yeah I’m around $250 expecting around 3.25 with 80x 2025. I still think we end the year closer to 215 than 300

We have increased our $TSLA PT to $270 from $200.  Attached is our updated forecast of $TSLA delivs, margins, and earnings vs WS ests.

We’ve increased our $TSLA 2024 Adj EPS to $2.40 (from $2.20). Our 2024 volume forecast is now 1,707 (-6% vs 2023).  We are slightly below WS https://t.co/xZ8rzeaUGf


Summary: TSLA likely up 10%+ if Q4 deliveries exceed 520k; market more forgiving than usual on this print.

@SawyerMerritt I actually think the street doesn’t care (this time) as much as before. Anything 500+ will be fine. Anything 520+ will likely result in a 10%+ move

Whether Tesla hits 515k deliveries in Q4 is largely irrelevant if you’re a long term investor.

Will Wall Street care? Or course. Will $TSLA stock react negatively if the delivery numbers are below consensus? It usually does.

While the vast majority of Tesla’s revenue and profit


Summary: Long AAPL and GOOGL as 70%+ of portfolio; exited TSLA 100% and NVDA in Q3.

So Thiel added $AAPL and trimmed 76%  $TSLA and exited $NVDA. Exactly what I did in Q3 (except I exited $TSLA 100%).

Buffett (or Abel) added $GOOGL - $AAPL $GOOGL are two my largest holdings (over 70% allocation).

Guess I’m doing something right.

Peter Thiel sold his entire stake in NVIDIA and 76% of $TSLA  👀

So Michael Burry's entire portfolio is shorting $NVDA and $PLTR, now we find out Thiel sold everything https://t.co/TnqisAHMmr


I firmly believe ~350 will be hit by Q2 2026 - likely sooner... expect chop downwards into the Nov shareholder vote

Summary: Bearish TSLA: expects chop down into Nov shareholder vote, targeting ~350 by Q2 2026 or sooner after closing longs at 430-445.

Exactly 1 month ago I said $TSLA can rally to ~475 post Q3 deliveries print - it went to 480 premarket and 470 during the session.

I expected a muted result from today's earnings call (although it was more disappointing than I expected) and as result, I expect chop downwards into the Nov shareholder vote.

I firmly believe ~350 will be hit by Q2 2026 - likely sooner. All my longs (heavy allocation) were closed for 5x+ gains weeks ago at the 430-445 range. That makes my large $TSLA trades 16 for 17 since 2021.

The multi-year fib chan I shared 1+ month ago continues to prove its weight in gold.

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https://t.co/D0p3xZCdkK


Summary: 80% portfolio in TSLA + NVDA plus 10% LEAPs on both; strongly long both names on xAI/Colossus scaling thesis.

@HansCNelson @elonmusk @xai Yep. Hence my portfolio being 80% $TSLA $NVDA and 10% LEAPs of both

Wow 🤯

If I’m hearing this correctly, @elonmusk personally solved the flaw in the cluster design that allowed @xAI to scale colossus to 100k Hoppers.

That’s ~3x the size of the next largest cluster.

And they’re about to add another 100k Hoppers, followed by Blackwell.


Summary: Bearish SPY/QQQ: multi-year log-chart bearish patterns near ATH justify amplified continued selloff.

@saxena_puru Obvious/warranted sell off. Check SPY/QQQ log charts. Multi year (some multi-decade) bearish patterns forming near ATH = amplified and justified move

Stocks are long-duration assets - their NPV is derived from free cash flows far into the future.

A 1-2 quarter economic slowdown shouldn’t send mega-cap stocks down 15-20% in a single session. That’s insane!


Summary: TSLA overvalued above $1T FMV at 100x forward PE; implied bearish on fundamentals.

@TrendSpider Seeing all these chart sites go for the click bait posts.

This monthly candle has yet to close. Also, log chart (which has been more accurate) is not breached on daily/weekly/monthly. Chill out everyone. Tesla is not worth more than $1T FMV unless you like 100 forward PE

Monthly chart says it all. ⚡  $TSLA https://t.co/yOslH0mb4n


Summary: Long NVDA into earnings targeting ~190 upside / ~200 by mid-Sep; also holds hedged long TSLA with 355-365 as key resistance.

$NVDA earnings are today and will set the tone for the market going into next FOMC Sep 17. Many aren't aware that $NVDA charts against $TSLA (shown below) and $SPY (not shown). NVDA/TSLA suggests $NVDA likely outperforms but the $SPY chart is less bullish leaning, so if a temp rotation out of the AI trade occurs this year, it'll likely occur very soon.

I am long $NVDA (hedged into earnings) expecting ~190 tomorrow to upside and ~173 to downside. If we see a solid print, the likelihood $NVDA sees ~200 (~5T market cap) by mid Sep is high. I have hedged $TSLA long exposure as well as of last week. If $TSLA can't breach 355-365, a large factor will be the NVDA/TSLA chart.


I have hedged $TSLA long exposure as well as of last week


Summary: Bearish TSLA: $215 target from bearish patterns, overbought, -10% drop expected around earnings.

@ChrisDungeon GM ex RC not bottoming as many expected + overbought on many levels. $215 was the target from bearish patterns. -10% drop par for course for $TSLA earnings

Can anyone reasonably explain why $TSLA lost over $70B from its market cap in one day?


Summary: Heavy long AAPL from ~202 on product supercycle thesis; sees 10% upside to retest AAPL/SPY ATH.

@BCalusinski Yep. Went heavy long at ~202 when multiple charts aligned into a product supercycle. AAPL/SPY has been must-watch and called the bottom with a 20 year fib chan test. 10% upside would retest AAPL/SPY ATH. https://t.co/lgdDeLu5Fu

$AAPL is about to have a run for the ages to complete this melt-up

300 by end of Q1 is not out of question https://t.co/84J8sk7P6R


Summary: Endorses Wedbush $515 PT on TSLA; cites analyst's track record on PLTR and NVDA as credentials for the new street-high call.

@SawyerMerritt @DivesTech @DivesTech is the 🐐- I've repeatedly said since 2018 he's the best tech analyst - now with a street high PT of $515. His track record speaks for itself. He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's for those

NEWS: Wedbush analyst @DivesTech has increased his $TSLA price target to $515 (from $400), citing Trump's upcoming second term as a "total game changer" for the autonomous and AI story for Tesla. Dan's bull case for 2025 is $650/share. https://t.co/lCOFgEhLvn


He called $PLTR and $NVDA against consensus for 2024 and was proven even too cautious with his street high PT's


Summary: Cautious on TSLA; charts point to 150–165 in next 3–4 months, with robotaxi/Q3 earnings likely not both bullish.

@redmercy Tough to say - nothing obviously clear right now. 200-250 seems like fair value. I'd be cautious of a robotaxi day sell off into Q3 earnings. The likelihood both are bullish events is low.

Charts suggest a visit to 150-165 sometime next 3-4 months.

@mrwgreig impressive calls - you don't think TSLA will follow the market upwards?


Summary: Long GOOGL targeting $330 (~4T mkt cap) on bull-flag + 4.618 fib extension, with support expected above ~$263.

$GOOGL repeat bull-flag setup that has played out perfectly. $330 is roughly 4T market cap and not by coincidence the PT of the current bull flag and 4.618 fib ext.

I expect the 4H cloud + flag to hold price above ~263. https://t.co/wjW1TpEz1T


Summary: Agrees TSLA is the highest-ceiling mega cap and a solid long-term investment, despite execution risk.

@DanBTC916 Agree that $TSLA has the highest ceiling of the mega caps going forward. It's a solid long term investment. That said, it also has the lowest floor, so while I agree with the bullish sentiment, I think regular people should be aware of the investment (execution) risk

$TSLA road to $3T+ market cap.

How EACH Robotaxi can add $1,575,000 to $TSLA market cap.

Assumptions
#Tesla Robotaxi driving 70,000 miles per year generating $0.65 profit per mile makes roughly $45,000 in annual profit.

Apply 35x PE multiple so $45,000 x 35 = $1,575,000

1


Summary: Author disclosed going short TSLA at $360, implying bearish position still held.

@garyblack00 $350 isn't a flex Gary. I closed at $450+ and went short at $360. Most 'bulls' on here haven't a clue what they're doing so you're comparing yourself to a low benchmark.

$TSLA bulls no longer criticizing us for taking some $TSLA profits off the table at $350 after the election.  While we are sometimes overly disciplined, $TSLA ‘s mid-November forward P/E of 120x made no sense unless one assumed TSLA long-term earnings growth of 60%+ per year (2x https://t.co/br4ORRR3ze


Summary: Long GOOGL with next targets at $380–$415 by June despite short-term pullback expected.

$GOOGL hitting my short-term resistance at ~338-340 as projected. Closed half my Jan 16 250c's for more than 6x net and assigning the remaining half.

I expect short term pull backs, but ~380/415 next tier 1 targets by June.

https://t.co/Jyr0zsaa3f https://t.co/OwokWmyaWb


Summary: Interprets Tesla's Dojo/Nvidia commentary as a bullish signal for NVDA.

@heydave7 This earnings call basically said buy $NVDA

Elon Musk shares an update on Dojo:

- Nvidia execution is impressive. Often hard to get Nvidia state-of-art GPUs.
- Tesla will double down with Dojo to ensure training capability.
- Elon sees a path to be competitive with Nvidia with Dojo.
- “We really got to make Dojo work. https://t.co/n3iCrymsnO


Summary: Bearish both QBTS and OKLO: zero-revenue companies at $10-15B valuations with head-and-shoulders technical setups signaling downside.

$QBTS $OKLO zero-revenue $10-15b companies with head/shoulder setups not by coincidence.

Live by the sword, die by the sword? https://t.co/Qp5ByngysW


Summary: ONON preferred over LULU: better risk/reward and growing; LULU implicitly bearish.

@blakestonks $ONON likely better r/r setup. One is growing and it isn't $LULU

Lululemon.

Sitting at a multi-year pivot at $150.00 - $165.00 *& starting to find demand.

Great r/r here to grab some commons in the long-term with risk being a close below which is about 10%.

Also, highest volume ever without going lower makes me believe its capitulation https://t.co/0VjZldhVSh


Summary: Bullish NVDA outlook for tomorrow and next week.

@Banana3Stocks This is not an inverse HS but the outlook is bullish for tmr and next week

$NVDA

Inverse Head and Shoulders after a protracted downtrend going into the few weeks leading up to earnings with divergences in relative strength and momentum 🤔 https://t.co/iB2dVXee6o


Summary: NVDA grinds to $150-160 by EOY despite a possible mini correction to $100-110; net bullish.

@DivesTech @LastCallCNBC Agreed $NVDA is far from slowing down. However, technicals will dominate. The 135-140 call was seen miles away (I posted about it weeks prior) due to multi decade pattern precedence. It likely creeps up to $150-160 by EOY but a mini correction ($100-110) is healthy.

We cannot disagree more with this negative Nvidia call as discussed on @LastCallCNBC last night as the AI Revolution is just starting in our view being led by Nvidia and the Godfather of AI Jensen in this 9 pm party 🔥🕺📺🐂👇


SNOW looks undervalued as they've been 1:1 with DABR for many years

Summary: SNOW looks undervalued relative to Databricks given their historical 1:1 valuation relationship.

@MartinShkreli Databricks above Stripe. Interesting. SNOW looks undervalued as they’ve been 1:1 with DABR for many years.

privates. institutional trading coming soon!? https://t.co/zgjKZNxaX8


Summary: Endorses bullish TSLA setup; bull flag + rectangle breakout signals further upside.

@blondebroker1 Nice share - didn’t catch this. Rectangle + bull flag breakout amplifies this move

Thanks so much for your support on $TSLA 🩷
We are in phase E Wyckoff acccumulation.
Holding $299 is key. Looks like it’s bull flagging. $305,  $317 and $321
Some nice targets above once it holds $321-329.
Notice how the prior dips in purple acted as support on this current https://t.co/pIgJBIcHbt


Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.

Summary: Long NVDA (entries $133-137 via calls/LEAPs/stock), TSLA (50% portfolio), SNOW and SQ (LEAPs); PLTR pullback expected after hitting $69 target.

Easy upside entries on $NVDA around $133-137. $133 was BB + daily cloud + fib extension (rally continuation). I grabbed calls and LEAPs around $133-135 to complement the stock buy at $137.

I added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well and $SQ last week.

$TSLA around 50% of portfolio; $NVDA 30%; LEAPs 15%

Side note: $PLTR hit my $69 price target like 6 months earlier than expected - I missed the entire move from ~30-70. I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here.

Today's price movement (rejected several key TA levels) and flag retest puts $400 by EOY at a much lower chance. As result, I sold approx 40% of my $TSLA position at $350, moving majority of that into $NVDA around $136.50. Next entry target for $NVDA is ~$126.

Remaining $TSLA is hedged with covered calls.


I added $SNOW $TSLA LEAPs yesterday as well


I think some healthy pullback is warranted around here


Summary: Closed NVDA calls at $207 with 0 exposure; risk skewed to downside into earnings after hitting key fib channel and $210/$5T cap confluence.

$NVDA hit ~$210 + 5T market cap + this key NVDA/SPY 20+ year fib channel all in the same week. This sell off is technical/risk-off more so than fundamental.

I closed my NVDA calls for ~6x last week at 207 and have 0 exposure at this time. Risk is skewed to downside into earnings.

---

https://t.co/wrVMUMVnFt


Summary: Long PTON on bull flag + 3-year inverse H&S setup; targets $9–$10 via fib extensions and cloud levels.

$PTON showing bull flag formation into 3 year inverse H/S setup with fib ext lining up perfectly with 4h cloud (~8) and $9 flag target. Fib ext 2.0 suggesting $10 on the dot is intriguing as well as it aligns with the 2w cloud top.

Zooming out to the 2W chart we can clearly see a inverse H/S forming with attempted breakouts. Profit taking at the neckline ~8-9 is prudent risk management.

If the bull flag is canceled, ~$6.85 needs to hold for more upside.


Summary: Author discloses 65% portfolio allocation to TSLA; strongly bullish position disclosure.

@garyblack00 Have you increased $TSLA allocation Gary? Hopefully you did - don’t want to see you left behind. I’m back to 65% allocation

Many of us believe that 2025 is a similar set-up to 2020, when $TSLA launched Model Y which vaulted them into the CUV category. Next year’s Model 3 hatchback ($25-$30K vehicle) should have the same effect, with analysts tripping over each other to raise volume and earnings https://t.co/Yzf6YSc0wx


Summary: CRWV hit $78 target; next support ~$66, implying further downside from current level.

Destination arrival.

4 days ago I posted that $CRWV can visit $78 despite all the bulls claiming it's going to $110 first. Next supp around ~66.

Fib channels, they're useful.

https://t.co/Jjwkui0QET https://t.co/w11uC4ULRc


Summary: Bullish NVDA fundamentals for 2-4 quarters; Blackwell delay is short-term noise.

@EdwardDiGi Blackwell delay is just short-term noise. Technicals are in driver seat with the Yen carry trade unwinding + bond/VIX volatility. Agreed on the fundamentals front - for 2-4 quarters in my opinion

@mrwgreig I wonder if the market is rightfully ignoring the Blackwell issue or if there wj be a follow up to the story. So far Nvidia business is the soundest of the market (at least for the next quarter)


I'm looking past that and 4Q being a challenge for EPS. Instead, I'm focused on all time low COGS + 20-30% '25 guidance... MAG7 leaving $TSLA in dust for past 1-2 years favouring rotation back in. Technicals are also favourable. A Trump victory is bearish on EVs but bullish for Tesla imo.

Summary: Long TSLA: bullish on low COGS, 20-30% 2025 guidance implying new model volume, MAG7 rotation, favourable technicals, and Trump tailwind.

I’m aware that EPS was inflated by credits and CT foundation series FSD recognition and I know WS is aware too. I’m looking past that and 4Q being a challenge for EPS. Instead, I’m focused on all time low COGS + 20-30% ‘25 guidance. This tells me they have another model they expect to push volume in 2025 in addition to refreshed MY.

Other factors in play too, such as MAG7 leaving $TSLA in dust for past 1-2 years favouring rotation back in. Technicals are also favourable. A Trump victory is bearish on EVs but bullish for Tesla imo. Ives echoes this in an interview yesterday with Yahoo finance.

Contrast to $NVDA is only because $NVDA is at ATH.

@mrwgreig I mean, more than half of profits today come from regulatory credits (whose fate is uncertain), the cheap model is nowhere to be found (did you get if it is a new vehicle or not?)

$NVDA has a 55% net margin and revenues growing double digit.. while $TSLA core auto rev was down..


I'm adding $SPY puts to hedge my $NVDA $TSLA long positions. SPY is rejecting at a key 585 double fib confluence level and forming a dangerous rising wedge

Summary: Short SPY via puts on election uncertainty + technical rejection; long TSLA even amid broader market weakness.

I'm adding $SPY puts to hedge my $NVDA $TSLA long positions. Next week + Nov 5 elections = huge uncertainty and SPY is rejecting at a key 585 double fib confluence level and forming a dangerous rising wedge. I think $TSLA still rallies even in the face of a market sell off.

For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.

I think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).

I have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.


I think $TSLA still rallies even in the face of a market sell off


Summary: QQQ at 500 was an obvious short; market super overbought.

@jimcramer For a hedge fund manager at one point you sure have a weak understanding of market dynamics and technicals. Market super overbought. QQQ at 500 was an  obvious short

This sell-off has a mind of its own.. There was nothing wrong with Google and Tesla has a lot of things going for it no one cares about but will matter years down the road.. Somehow these are what's ailing the market? Give me a break


Summary: Conditionally bullish NVDA; wants break above daily cloud for a move back to 150+.

@redmercy Stuck in the daily cloud. Want to see it break above to see a move back to 150+

@mrwgreig what are your thoughts on $NVDA here?


Summary: Long MDB at ~335 with -8% stop (~308) and +35% upside target into NVDA earnings and MDB's Dec 1 report.

Back in $MDB long at ~335 into NVDA earnings + MDB reports Dec 1. I expect ~325 to hold, next level ~308. If 308 fails to hold, cut losses.

-8% downside; +35% upside


Summary: Bearish GM this quarter if revenue/loan-cost recognition logic holds.

@TSLAFanMtl @garyblack00 @micah68wellness This is exactly my thinking and confirmed by ChatGPT. Logic checks out. If true, GM can get smashed this quarter

@garyblack00 @micah68wellness Are you sure about this? This doesn't seem to make sense. If they recognize the entirety of the revenue for the car up front, they would also need to recognize the entirety of the loan cost, since it is fixed. Right? It's not like they can pay for costs over time like


Summary: Long TSLA into end of month targeting 325-365 (up to 400 gap fill) on rectangle breakout, bull flag, and key support hold around 275.

Seeing $TSLA rectangle breakout + bull flag forming between ~270 and ~292 (which was expected resistance) and a potential rally next ~2 weeks into ~350-365 (around 2day ichimoku cloud)

If this happens, a retrace from ~365 to 280-300 would also form a potential bullish cup and handle setup (targeting ~480-520) into summer.

Lots of ifs here, but I can see it if Robotaxi + new MY compact launches go well.

---

$TSLA retested the 1w cloud + many key support levels around 275 and bounced nicely as expected.

We can still see 265-270 (2h cloud test) but we need 270 to hold a 2h or 1d candle for this uptrend to remain intact

Takeaway: the upside trade is on and I'm seeing good risk/reward into end of month for 325-365 (as high as 400 gap fill). FOMC Wednesday will be pivotal.


Summary: Endorses TSLA going higher driven by TA, sentiment and momentum, not valuation.

@garyblack00 PE is in the back seat Gary. Buckle up TA, sentiment and momentum is driving the stock.

Reiterating my posts from the weekend. Despite a stretched valuation (TSLA FY’25 P/E 140x), $TSLA likely going higher into year-end, as 1/ Analysts raise their price targets, which remain below TSLA’s stock (not good look to argue for higher year-end bonuses);  2/ Investors sell https://t.co/zPp9aOAS8W


Long at w/ stock and LEAPs at ~35 and hedge with weekly far OTM covered calls. Targets are ~40, ~45, ~60. $ONON at $15b is worth more than $LULU (currently at 20b).

Summary: Long ONON via stock and LEAPs with targets of $40/$45/$60; post-earnings valuation of $15B seen as more compelling than LULU at $20B.

Rarely do I post any non-tech names, but $ONON into tomorrow's earnings looks like an optimal asymmetrical setup (30%+ upside; 10-15% downside). Fib chan/golden retracement and <30 RSI on 1d/2d/1w suggest technical symmetry to upside.

Fundamentals also look solid ex-tariff opaqueness. As a higher-end brand, I suspect all recent consumer cyclical weakness to be significantly overblown, though USD/CHF FX headwinds likely remain near-term.

1. Long at w/ stock and LEAPs at ~35 and hedge with weekly far OTM covered calls
2. 2nd entry at ~30-31 (if we go there)

Targets are ~40, ~45, ~60.

---

Updated price targets post-earnings. $ONON at $15b is worth more than $LULU (currently at 20b). Easier to get into apparel market than it is sneakers.

Market will figure it out. https://t.co/UdCM875qmp


$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. My PT for 2025 is $607.

Summary: Long TSLA: $400 next week, $400-430 EOY range, PT $607 for 2025; $400-430 seen as strong resistance depending on Q4 deliveries.

$TSLA showing strong signs for $400 next week as predicted, $400-430 range by EOY. I expect this range to be strong resistance for at least a few weeks depending on the Q4 delivery print Jan 3.

My PT for 2025 is $607. Not financial advice.

---

For what it's worth, I called the $414 ATH (2021) top within $1 ($413 post-split).

https://t.co/q5QR2MNJUU


Summary: Bullish GOOGL: 330-340 near-term resistance, then $380 target and $410 for 5T market cap.

@SixSigmaCapital Write some calls. 330-340 likely resistance near term. $380 after that until 410 for 5T

$GOOGL my largest position since Jan 23 and I’ve been bullish the whole way despite the comments from the peanut gallery who do no work.

Issue now is it’s getting frothy but don’t want to exit. However, I will sell a little to Gene Munster and Altcap at $340 tho haha


Summary: Long TSLA targeting $365 end-Nov and $400-420 EOY; also bullish BTC and COIN as Trump-trade beneficiaries.

$TSLA update: price is moving as I expected. $265 will continue to provide selling pressure for many technical reasons. $273 has key fib chan + trendline resistance so we're likely retracing to form a higher low. $252.50-257 were my retrace candidates and it looks like $257 might hold into next leg up.

Each support candidate is simply a spectrum of reversal probability, but the continued move up seems likely from here. I added at $257 today. The lowest I can see us going w/o breaking uptrend is $247.

---

If macro/big tech earnings are favorable, 283-290 is my target for this week.

---

Macro/big tech earnings didn't go favorably, ~243 needs to hold for this current uptrend to continue. Still expect $300 by EOY

---

$TSLA formed a bull flag and broke out of the parallel channel today, suggesting $310. If Trump wins I think this happens by Nov 15-22.

I mentioned it needed to hold ~243 and it did so the bullish continuation is still in play. I added to my position yesterday at $242.

Keep in mind the election and FOMC are wild cards that will affect the technicals.

---

With Trumps decisive victory today, I'm confident $TSLA hits $300 this week and likely tests 310-330 by end of next week and $400 by Feb w/o any unexpected bearish catalysts (like some EV negative x-factor). $TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)

Hopefully you positioned yourself accordingly.

---

$TSLA hit $300 today as predicted. FOMC is in about an hour which could change the sentiment - but I doubt it will as 25bps cut is priced in.

$310 bull flag target and $325 key channel target are up next and likely happen next week if FOMC comes in within line.

$400 by next earnings if it's a good print (I can see it before EOY but <35% chance)

---

$310 bull flag target hit today - $325 and $338 new targets for next week

---

So far movement within ranges (went bit higher than I expected intitially).

$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days.   Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month.   I positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)

---

Dead-on $TSLA predictions for the past 2 weeks. We hit ~$303 premarket today and a close above 317 is nice to see.

Next week has breakout potential. Mon/Tues will be important to watch where price wants to go. If we do breakout above the bull flag + 30m/1h clouds (around $337) then I can see a fast $350 retest.

I'm targeting $365 by end of Nov and ~$400-420 by end of year (instead of Nov)

---

$348 retest today (as predicted) created a new flag/parallel channel. Looks like we can see chop between 325-345 if it doesn't break above this channel.

I took some profits at $347 but still holding all my stock w/ hedged covered calls (Dec 20 400 strike)

---

9 days ago I said this week's range is 330-365. Was very close (330-361.50) https://t.co/haLGqDZCvn


$TSLA should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Trump Trade (along $BTC $COIN $DXY $DJT and the US10Y)


industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'


Summary: Long TSLA targeting $325 by EOY/EOM; first long since 2022.

Agreed. Not to brag, but I bought sub-$40 mostly and sold mostly above $300. I caught the top at $414 and went short most of 2022-24 with 90%+ win rates.

$TSLA is likely going to $325 before EOY (maybe even EOM) and for the first time since 2022 I'm back in long https://t.co/NOjmDRxewT

Might as well get in on $TSLA while it’s still below $300/share. Not sure how much longer this discount will last. A significant amount of risk just vanished overnight.


Summary: Long TSLA to $607 (~$2T market cap) by 2025, with potential to become largest company by market cap in 5-10 years.

@EliteOptions2 $607 is my target for 2025 (near 2T). I agree it can be the largest by market cap in 5-10 years. I also called the $414 ATH top in 2021. This is coming from a guys who’s invested/traded it since 2015 with insane success.

https://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y

I'm calling it now. $TSLA will become the most valuable company in the world.

It will surpass every other American company. $TSLA will trade between $600-700 within the next 2 years. We've seen a 3.5 year consolidation in this stock and it is setting up to present some life


Every hospital in the world should be running Foundry/AIP. Once people experience an emergency visit reduced 50-90% wait time they'll have a lightbulb moment.

Summary: Bullish PLTR: hospital use-case for Foundry/AIP is a massive untapped opportunity with clear value demonstration.

@TradexWhisperer Yup. IMO, the easiest use-case understanding for PLTR ontology’s value proposition is a hospital. Every hospital in the world should be running Foundry/AIP. Once people experience an emergency visit reduced  50-90% wait time they’ll have a lightbulb moment.

$PLTR valuation makes ZERO sense

But then why do institutions keep buying it?
What do they know that you don't?

I work in BIG DATA analytics and let me share the secrets of Palantir in the most basic way

Palantir has monopoly on Automated Governance, serving as the ultimate https://t.co/XGLRmO7rq8


Limping back into $NVDA today after exiting north of $135. things are starting to look less bearish from a technical standpoint

Summary: Re-entering NVDA long after prior exit at $135; technicals looking less bearish, watching earnings as key catalyst.

Limping back into $NVDA today after exiting north of $135. Was targeting $110-113 for a potential 'bottom' - might still chop downward to $100-110 before earnings but things are starting to look less bearish from a technical standpoint.

Fundamentally, upcoming earnings will be most critical in over a year


Summary: Endorses parent's $1M+ Google buy as a smart move; implied bullish on Google.

@levelsio Smart move.

https://t.co/aln70mKnXn

So I bought over $1M in Google today

Kinda crazy but also not so crazy

I've been the biggest Google hater for years, it was completely mismanaged, destroyed by politics and lack of any leadership, fumbled inventing Transformers etc.

Then Sergey returned and suddenly Google is https://t.co/739wVi5sEn


Summary: Long TSLA with $607 price target for 2025, implying ~$2T market cap.

@DivesTech Thanks for sharing Dan as always. Most interesting is #10 to me - I see Musk as our gen’s potential Kissinger to navigate these geopolitical tensions.

Other than that, my $607 2025 PT for TSLA is roughly ~$2T so glad to see we agree there as we usually do 😎

We just published our annual Top 10 Christmas Wish List for the Tech Sector in 2025 🔥🏆🐂🍿📍👇🎄 https://t.co/3udicr0J7h


Summary: Heavily long AAPL; long GOOGL targeting $330 Jan/Feb; long PTON, ONON, NVDA; sold PLTR puts seeing 165-170 as support.

I remain heavily long $AAPL $GOOGL and entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25) $ONON ($35.80) $NVDA ($183). I also sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum.

Today's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb.

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https://t.co/Xc6fU6QUoq


Today's $GOOGL drop (due to consumer report coming in below expectations) is a buying opp into a bull flag targeting $330 by Jan/Feb


entered long positions recently in $PTON ($6.55 w/ 1/2 closed today at 7.25)


sold puts for $PLTR at ~172 as I see 165-170 holding for a week+ at minimum


Summary: Bearish NBIS on bear butterfly technical confirmation; expects gap fill to the downside.

$NBIS longs won't want to see this. Bear butterfly confirmation.

Gap filling time? https://t.co/G7RaRjqcXM


Summary: Identifies TSLA weekly pattern as a high tight flag, a bullish continuation signal.

@Jake__Wujastyk Said this twice to you, it’s a high tight flag

$TSLA #TSLA Bull flag breakout on the weekly candle chart. https://t.co/gmyTyp7IRp


Summary: Holds heavy AAPL position from ~$202; also long GOOGL, both underestimated on AI.

@johncoogan Well said. One of the reasons why I went heavy into $AAPL at ~202 back in June. Both AAPL and GOOGL have been underestimated in relation to the AI boom.

Is this the good ending for Apple? Not that it’s at all over, but after watching the total vibe reversal on Google over the past few months, I have to wonder if one is coming for Apple. The popular narrative is still that they horribly missed AI, and to be clear, they did. I’m


Both AAPL and GOOGL have been underestimated in relation to the AI boom


Summary: TSLA technical breakout from high tight flag targets $690.

@MrMikeInvesting High tight flag pole is 276 and the breakout (414 ish) sets target to 690. Most ironic outcome is most likely.

It’s happening…

$TSLA is breaking out and is coming for ATH’s by the end of this month.

The whales loaded over $60+ million worth of $500 calls for January.

This breakout is a once in a lifetime opportunity.

$500+ incoming by February.

Mark my words… https://t.co/UPVELRRjrA


Better to deploy that capital elsewhere until we're closer to realizing that growth. Markets can give $TSLA a multiple haircut at anytime at your expense.

Summary: Tactically bearish TSLA near-term; advises deploying capital elsewhere while between growth waves, risks multiple compression.

$TSLA obviously worth more in 3-5+ years. But as I’ve said for 2 years and TSLA management now states, they’re between growth waves. Better to deploy that capital elsewhere until we’re closer to realizing that growth. Markets can give $TSLA a multiple haircut at anytime at your expense. Same thing from 2012-2020. If you want to hold for 5+ years and don’t mind the drops, that’s fine too

At 100x P/E, the market is clearly not valuing $TSLA as just a car company. But for $TSLA to go higher the main driver of earnings - the EV business which accounts for 80% of profits - has to stabilize and most importantly auto gross margins have to stabilize.  Only then will https://t.co/rfO4XpwRMY


I'm back in $TSLA long at 403.50 (hedged). price can quickly retest 430-450 and setup an unexpected move up to ~500 before earnings and my $600 PT before April

Summary: Re-entered TSLA long at 403.50; targets 430-450, then ~500 pre-earnings, $600 PT by April on Q4 deliveries + MY refresh catalyst.

$TSLA held ~403 nicely (triple fib crossover) and I'm finally seeing some bullish option flow today into the Q4 print + falling wedge.

If $TSLA Q4 deliveries + MY refresh are well received, price can quickly retest 430-450 and setup an unexpected move up to ~500 before earnings and my $600 PT before April. If not, I see 350-372 as strong support zones and everything mentioned above is pushed to a later date in 2025.

I'm back in $TSLA long at 403.50 (hedged).


There's multiple fib level confluence at 607 by no coincidence.

Summary: Endorses TSLA upside to ~$607 by February based on Fibonacci confluence.

@Jake__Wujastyk Yep. There’s multiple fib level confluence at 607 by no coincidence.

https://t.co/RWiQJcMi6Y

$TSLA If this follows the same pattern as $PLTR recently, this will be $610-$620 by February. https://t.co/wFC0PgWxVg


I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA… The risk/reward to the upside is very appealing… I think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is likely 1H 2025

Summary: Long TSLA with targets $290-315 by Dec/Jan and ATH retest likely in 1H 2025; holds calls and short puts, will add on dips to $235-250.

For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.

I think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).

I have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.

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$TSLA always moves faster than people expect. I think $290+ can happen next week if big tech earnings go well + Friday macro news (NFP PMI unemployment)


$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon.

Summary: Long TSLA ($350+) and NVDA ($165+) on strong risk/reward and fundamentals; short-term bearish PLTR expecting retrace sub-$50 despite long-term AI upside.

Easy. I trade all 3 at a high level and extremely profitably.

$TSLA is currently the best risk/reward of the 3. The regulatory risk and key-man risk basically went to 0 overnight post-election. Upside is highest. Worth $350 but will likely surpass that soon.

$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3 but least adjusted post-election. They’ll continue to beat earnings etc and are worth $165+

$PLTR is misunderstood and being more understood. Trump trade winner but not close to $TSLA. Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon.

All 3 have different AI upside based on what part of the tech stacks they’re after. NVDA is foundational; TSLA is physical operational and PLTR is digital operational (application layer)

Comparing and contrasting $NVDA $PLTR and $TSLA:
Where are they at their bull cycle, what price targets do I have for each, and what I'm doing with these 3 positions that I have? https://t.co/xzGYZur8b7


$NVDA is the best fundamentally sound of the 3… worth $165+


Worth $60 but overextended and likely retraces sub-$50 soon.


if $217 fails to hold it's going to $200 fast - and a failed $200 hold leads to 147-165

Summary: Bearish TSLA: $217 failure targets $200, and a $200 breakdown opens 147–165.

@EmmetPeppers @IBKR Emmet if $217 fails to hold it’s going to $200 fast - and a failed $200 hold leads to 147-165. Hope you’re hedged or have a downside protection plan

Just bought some $TSLA stock at 220 in overnight session on @IBKR with some cash I had reserved for something else, but that can wait!

Hard to catch falling knife so buy at your own risk.  Not investment advice


Summary: Long OKLO via Feb calls on pattern break; also long CEG, both with solid upside risk/reward.

@EliteOptions2 Entered with Feb calls other day during the pattern break. Upside risk/reward is solid. Same with $CEG

Is $OKLO The Future Energy Source for the AI Revolution?

This company can trade above $100+ in the next 2 years.. It's currently at $29.50

Read my analysis below 👇

The AI boom the past few years is requiring massive amounts of energy and we believe nuclear energy will play https://t.co/MDNuVDK6kG


Huang sold a dinky portion. $NVDA top ain't in yet

Summary: NVDA top not yet in; Huang's sales too small to signal a peak.

@TSLAFanMtl Bezos and Elon sold chunks of their wealth. Huang sold a dinky portion. $NVDA top ain’t in yet

Elon sold the top. Bezos sold the top. Jensen sold the top. Gotta pay attention when these fkers sell and do the same.


Summary: Long GOOGL as a contrarian AI dark horse play despite the stock already doubling from April lows.

Another reason to be long $GOOGL is as a contrarian AI dark horse play (even though the cats out of the bag now with the stock up 2x from Apr lows) https://t.co/xdH3Y3xdA1


Summary: Raises TSLA targets to $325-338 next week with ATH re-test in play for 2024.

$315 target reached today, must faster than expected but that's $TSLA for you. New targets are $325-338 next week. An ATH re-test is in play for 2024

For the first time in 2+ years, I'm no longer bearish on $TSLA after being bullish for the 8 years prior. The risk/reward to the upside (from both fundamentals and technicals) is very appealing, even more so than $NVDA at current price levels. Today's 20%+ move underscores this sentiment.

I think $290-315 is reached by Dec/Jan and the potential for a ATH re-test is  likely 1H 2025 if things continue according to plan (as per Elon on the call).

I have long-only $TSLA exposure via short-term and longer-term (30+ DTE) calls and sold cash covered puts for Dec 20. I plan to add more exposure on any dips down to ~235-250. Not financial advice.


Summary: Expects TSLA above $600 by 2030+, with near-term bottom around $150 in 2025.

@jocljoma @garyblack00 Bottom ~150ish for 2025 but can be exacerbated by any recession coalescing. I think 2030+ it'll be above $600 but high variance from bottom/top predictions until then

@mrwgreig @garyblack00 what do you think tsla could reach by the end of this year.. and ultimately in 5 years?


Summary: Prefers GOOGL over META at current valuations; better product portfolio and AI-risk discount fading.

@DividendTalks Easy. $GOOGL has a much better value prop across its product portfolio and the AI-risk discount is tapering off

Would you rather buy $GOOGL at 26x or $META at 20x? https://t.co/8TdjweeGGn


Summary: Bullish TSLA: expects pullback to 350-365, breach above targets $400.

$TSLA textbook breakout exactly as I expected weeks ago. Yellow arrow is where I bought my stock back ($224) which I sold at 450 and 350.

Pull back from 350-365 is warranted - a breach above would suggest $400

https://t.co/xZH7T2eYf6 https://t.co/CItFtWWWba


we can expect ~95 by mid August before earnings. I presume this would have to coincide with poor tech results next week from $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL etc. I have covered calls on 100% of my $NVDA atm, going to add more puts around $123-125 expecting $95 as mentioned above. Aug 16 110p's

Summary: Short NVDA to ~$95 by mid-August via covered calls and puts; expects poor earnings from AMZN, MSFT, AAPL next week to catalyze the move.

Normally I don't like to look at historical patterns to suggest future outcomes, but $NVDA has an uncanny resemblance of its recent high at $97 back in March.

Left you see what happened, and if you use the Bars Pattern tool and overlay it correctly, you get the right which is the current price levels.

Add in the key fib channels and you have yourself a decent chart.

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Using the previous pattern, today's gap fill at 106 was predicted shown in the right image. If we are to apply more weight to this, we can expect ~95 by mid August before earnings. I presume this would have to coincide with poor tech results next week from $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL etc

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I have covered calls on 100% of my $NVDA atm, going to add more puts around $123-125 expecting $95 as mentioned above. Aug 16 110p's


Summary: Reiterates ONON as a buy at $40 with ST PT $51, 1yr $60, 2yr $75; no tariff headwind and worth more than LULU.

Looks like $ONON doesn't have a tariff headwind afterall. My pound-the-table buy at $35 (now up 25% since my post) is still a buy at ~$40.

Short-term PT at $51
1yr PT remains $60
2y PT at $75 (25b market cap).

This company is easily worth more than $LULU at 20b.

https://t.co/xuUpf3zoFB

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Right before earnings, someone bought ~2.5m worth of $ONON March 50c's at ~0.80. They're worth ~2.50+ for over 3x (so he's up 5m+) and so far hasn't liquidated any https://t.co/JgBsw5bFGC


Summary: Bullish TSLA on pipeline of new vehicles including cyberSUV and cybercab/roadster prototypes.

@DanBTC916 We saw some cyberSUV prototypes in the back of a recent Tesla clip (believe with Jay Leno) and we know the roadster/cybercab is one of these

“Other vehicles coming out”. Did you guys hear that?

Also interesting how CNBC invited the $TSLA Board Chair Robyn for an interview right after Tesla earnings.

Ever since September, have you noticed media change their tune on Tesla?


If it rebounds around 345-348 it'll print a bullish Gartley. The 2 ATH fib ext downward also point to 347ish + the gap at 346

Summary: Bullish TSLA if it rebounds at 345-348, forming a bullish Gartley pattern supported by fib extensions and gap fill.

@cantonmeow If it rebounds around 345-348 it’ll print a bullish Gartley. The 2 ATH fib ext downward also point to 347ish + the gap at 346

$TSLA daily chart
Back-testing the 0.786 linear fib after breaking all time highs is not bearish. Let's see how it reacts here. https://t.co/orwBnA5sK9


Summary: Short QQQ via puts (up 10x+), long NVDA buying ~$86-96 into Aug earnings, long ONON and PLTR (PLTR exit contingent on earnings).

Tomorrow is expected to be one of the worst days ever for $QQQ and $SPY amid a global rout that has seen the Nikkei225 suffer its worst day ever at -12% in yen domination.

Hopefully you're hedged accordingly. Mag7 (ex TSLA) being responsible for over 95%+ of the SP500 earnings growth + Fed likely behind recession curve = risk-off time.

Buying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). They report end of August and it's gunna be a long 3 weeks until then. Still long $NVDA $ONON $PLTR and short $QQQ (my puts are up over 10x, likely 20x this week). Might exit $PLTR contingent on earnings tomorrow.

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$VIX opening at 42 is crazy - highest since covid 2020 https://t.co/pwBBUH95df


Buying $NVDA around $86/96 with full hedges (covered calls/protective puts). Still long $NVDA


Summary: Long TSLA; expects fast move to 325-365 on break of 292-300, with potential for 400 around Jun 20 robotaxi launch despite expected sharp retrace at 350-365.

2 month update: looks like $TSLA 220-225 as a bottom call was 🎯

I rebought 1/3 my shares (which were near 100% of portfolio from the Trump rally) at $224.

If we break 292-300 convincingly, I see a fast move to 325-365 and will add another 1/3 likely hedged by covered calls into Jun 20 for robotaxi launch (I expect a sharp retrace if we hit 350-365 but 400 might be in play)


Summary: 65% portfolio allocation into AAPL at ~$203; still-held long position disclosed with bullish thesis on Apple's AI FCF strategy.

@cryptopunk7213 Yup. This is 1/3 of the reason why I allocated almost 65% of my port into $AAPL around $203 last year

Apple's genius move to win AI was... do nothing.

> didn't spend $100Bs on ai capex = saved $100Bs while their competitors burned cash in a race to zero.

> *laughs in free cash flow and positive earnings*

> pick the winning model (in this case gemini) and build the greatest AI


Summary: NVDA likely fakeout to ~130 then rip to 145-152 by EOY/early next year; bearish only if H&S pattern fulfills to 110-118.

@redmercy @CheddarFlow Oversold, testing h/s neckline past week. Can see a fakeout to ~130 before ripping back to 145-152 by EOY or early next year unless h/s fulfills to ~110-118

@mrwgreig @CheddarFlow whats your thoughts on the $NVDA chart here? Looks like it can get a huge reversal in this low 130s area if it recaptures 140ish but curious how you see it, thanks


Summary: Long TSLA with near-term dip to 305-317 then rally to 330-365 next week and 400-420 by month-end; positioned via Nov 29 calls.

$TSLA uptrend intact, however it broke one bullish channel today which may lead to more downside the next 2 days.

Best projection is ~305-317 low this week then 330-365 next week and ~400-420 by end of month.

I positioned myself by selling calls (100% of stock) with Nov 15 and buying Nov 29 calls (staggered entries at 323/317/305)

I should point out that the chart on the left had a target of $311 (hit Friday) and on the right target is $325 (yellow arrow) which was also hit Friday and showed resistance.

Uptrend is still very strong. Buy dips down to $300-305. Doubt $TSLA trades below $271 for next 6+ months (or ever).