{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below. $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03576093526681223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03576093526681223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03957426886505089, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01615677292607587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019604162340736364, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.061755811952239004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.061755811952239004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05228198853567978, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.036119666538382056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025636145413856948, "ret_p1w": 0.03854430907726858, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03854430907726858, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03548570745480584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03934540013184118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008010910545726002, "ret_p1m": 0.28847167382025796, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.28847167382025796, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23693135253142716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13738779914489285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1510838746753651, "ret_p3m": 0.48368743771728795, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.48368743771728795, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.38025625082116354, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28265067794766474, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2010367597696232, "ret_p6m": 0.6703352436983314, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6703352436983314, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5019408558843099, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4850854912272804, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18524975247105102, "price_path": [-0.2441, -0.2404, -0.2554, -0.2373, -0.1994, -0.161, -0.1744, -0.1517, -0.1573, -0.1271, -0.1257, -0.1272, -0.1057, -0.1207, -0.1213, -0.1213, -0.1595, -0.1835, -0.0496, -0.0462, -0.0429, -0.0476, -0.0602, -0.0426, -0.0043, 0.0315, 0.0403, 0.0734, 0.1215, 0.0593, 0.038, 0.1123, 0.0999, 0.0643, 0.063, 0.0705, 0.0819, 0.0937, 0.1065, 0.1411, 0.1497, 0.1202, 0.0922, 0.0935, 0.0935, 0.0936, 0.0825, 0.0766, 0.0396, 0.0651, 0.0545, 0.0329, 0.0533, 0.0966, 0.0672, 0.0408, 0.0579, 0.017, 0.0247, -0.0778, -0.0377, -0.0025, -0.0358, 0.0, 0.0618, 0.062, 0.0456, 0.0049, 0.0385, 0.0745, 0.1151, 0.0959, 0.0942, 0.074, 0.0877, 0.094, 0.1056, 0.1452, 0.1419, 0.1192, 0.147, 0.1543, 0.1491, 0.2562, 0.2885, 0.2885, 0.3784, 0.3896, 0.3373, 0.3268, 0.3917, 0.4091, 0.4818, 0.4643, 0.463, 0.4739, 0.4634, 0.5153, 0.5686, 0.5961, 0.5852, 0.6409, 0.6409, 0.5828, 0.5319, 0.4295, 0.526, 0.5298, 0.5006, 0.4952, 0.5044, 0.4847, 0.5526, 0.5526, 0.5229, 0.5516, 0.5901, 0.6328, 0.5419, 0.5642, 0.5545, 0.5293, 0.428, 0.4655, 0.4273, 0.4952, 0.4837, 0.3827, 0.3589, 0.3683, 0.3506, 0.2554, 0.4163, 0.3218, 0.2983, 0.2157, 0.2617, 0.1971, 0.2704, 0.2678, 0.3195, 0.4056, 0.4291, 0.487, 0.5078, 0.5734, 0.5401, 0.5552, 0.4976, 0.5657, 0.5305, 0.5528, 0.5202, 0.4232, 0.4447, 0.4447, 0.3071, 0.2854, 0.2975, 0.2445, 0.2886, 0.3083, 0.4149, 0.4421, 0.4416, 0.4135, 0.3991, 0.3722, 0.4267, 0.404, 0.4072, 0.463, 0.495, 0.5014, 0.4694, 0.4699, 0.4162, 0.4385, 0.487, 0.512, 0.5459, 0.6085, 0.6056, 0.6317, 0.6316, 0.6712, 0.5929, 0.6427, 0.6574, 0.6703]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02904791991384892, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02904791991384892, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032861253512087574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009443757573112554, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019604162340736364, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0383569215464743, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0383569215464743, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028883098129915075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01272077613261735, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025636145413856948, "ret_p1w": -0.04314677779785936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04314677779785936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0462053794203221, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04234568674328676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008010910545726002, "ret_p1m": 0.08762196950127188, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08762196950127188, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.036081648212441086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06346190517409322, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1510838746753651, "ret_p3m": 0.2692170585739293, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2692170585739293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1657858716778049, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0681802988043061, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2010367597696232, "ret_p6m": 0.39873257272460183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39873257272460183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23033818491058033, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2134828202535508, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18524975247105102, "price_path": [-0.0632, -0.0706, -0.0923, -0.0769, -0.0582, -0.0437, -0.0595, -0.033, -0.0194, -0.0127, -0.0269, -0.0371, -0.029, -0.0268, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0565, -0.0558, 0.0038, -0.0027, 0.0071, -0.0028, -0.0081, 0.0004, 0.0763, 0.0787, 0.0329, 0.0385, 0.0824, 0.0068, -0.0052, -0.0062, -0.0324, -0.029, -0.0496, -0.0482, -0.0476, -0.0142, 0.0414, 0.0456, 0.0442, 0.0286, 0.0188, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0431, 0.0343, 0.0531, 0.0178, 0.0348, 0.0322, 0.0306, 0.0216, 0.068, 0.0384, 0.0126, 0.0268, -0.0091, -0.0274, -0.0693, -0.054, -0.0349, -0.029, 0.0, 0.0384, 0.0341, 0.0045, -0.0398, -0.0431, -0.0126, 0.0123, 0.0067, 0.0239, 0.0087, 0.0297, 0.0333, 0.0661, 0.1095, 0.0909, 0.0779, 0.0924, 0.0809, 0.0756, 0.0764, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.0912, 0.0744, 0.0538, 0.0264, 0.0212, 0.0281, 0.0917, 0.0825, 0.0867, 0.1128, 0.1287, 0.1554, 0.2971, 0.3404, 0.4129, 0.3925, 0.3925, 0.34, 0.2814, 0.234, 0.2251, 0.2338, 0.2297, 0.2443, 0.2716, 0.2845, 0.3401, 0.3401, 0.3201, 0.353, 0.3433, 0.3521, 0.3221, 0.318, 0.3285, 0.3127, 0.2088, 0.244, 0.2195, 0.2482, 0.2692, 0.1729, 0.1568, 0.1751, 0.1642, 0.1123, 0.2453, 0.1394, 0.1146, 0.1011, 0.1154, 0.0561, 0.1295, 0.149, 0.1518, 0.2102, 0.2221, 0.2875, 0.2843, 0.2998, 0.2861, 0.2848, 0.2581, 0.2893, 0.2371, 0.2508, 0.2259, 0.2162, 0.2619, 0.2619, 0.1841, 0.1944, 0.1844, 0.0617, 0.0914, 0.1486, 0.2266, 0.2753, 0.2996, 0.2712, 0.2591, 0.2529, 0.3018, 0.3304, 0.3447, 0.3595, 0.3648, 0.3847, 0.3427, 0.3413, 0.3022, 0.327, 0.3365, 0.3735, 0.3613, 0.4053, 0.4459, 0.4438, 0.4111, 0.4175, 0.3683, 0.3749, 0.4115, 0.3987]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03897433645923465, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03897433645923465, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.042787670057473304, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019370174118498285, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019604162340736364, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031713033867538876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031713033867538876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022239210450979652, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006076888453681928, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025636145413856948, "ret_p1w": -0.012003556491375855, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012003556491375855, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015062158113838597, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011202465436803255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008010910545726002, "ret_p1m": 0.13633664326951522, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13633664326951522, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08479632198068443, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014747231405849881, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1510838746753651, "ret_p3m": 0.014328560975662485, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014328560975662485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08910262592046192, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18670819879396072, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2010367597696232, "ret_p6m": 0.1852784369454712, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1852784369454712, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016884049131449697, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.8684474420170858e-05, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18524975247105102, "price_path": [0.0385, 0.0191, 0.0024, -0.0099, -0.0001, -0.0077, -0.0068, 0.0271, 0.0516, 0.0191, 0.0427, 0.0088, 0.0211, -0.0014, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.037, -0.0299, 0.0345, 0.0006, 0.016, 0.0236, 0.0, 0.0611, 0.1492, 0.1749, 0.1657, 0.2048, 0.2599, 0.1167, 0.0714, 0.0627, 0.0014, -0.0216, -0.0099, -0.005, -0.0367, -0.0296, -0.014, -0.0148, -0.021, 0.0107, 0.0707, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0839, 0.0896, 0.0813, 0.0495, 0.0757, 0.0649, 0.0859, 0.0576, 0.06, 0.0397, 0.0059, 0.0119, -0.0148, -0.0332, -0.0793, -0.0682, -0.0536, -0.039, 0.0, 0.0317, 0.0188, -0.0233, -0.0542, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0347, 0.0178, 0.0093, 0.003, 0.0147, 0.0228, 0.008, 0.0396, 0.083, 0.0658, 0.1036, 0.0862, 0.0919, 0.1117, 0.1363, 0.1363, 0.1608, 0.123, 0.1389, 0.0197, 0.0108, -0.0163, 0.0344, 0.0092, 0.0076, 0.0295, 0.0433, 0.0871, 0.0799, 0.0858, 0.0643, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.0854, 0.0654, 0.0043, 0.0116, 0.0117, 0.0185, 0.0359, 0.0522, 0.0611, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.0682, 0.1101, 0.0943, 0.1097, 0.0697, 0.0915, 0.0916, 0.1213, 0.0075, 0.0117, -0.0136, 0.0235, 0.0143, -0.0456, -0.0509, -0.0253, -0.0437, -0.0686, -0.0066, -0.0647, -0.1212, -0.1447, -0.1365, -0.1672, -0.0929, -0.1018, -0.1025, -0.05, -0.0539, 0.0283, 0.0281, 0.0536, 0.0295, 0.0581, 0.0183, 0.0655, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0151, 0.0358, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.0385, 0.0511, 0.0366, -0.0182, 0.0223, 0.0619, 0.1107, 0.102, 0.1047, 0.0886, 0.0793, 0.0612, 0.1106, 0.0956, 0.0651, 0.056, 0.0557, 0.0894, 0.0529, 0.0697, 0.0428, 0.0685, 0.0714, 0.0888, 0.0934, 0.0843, 0.0803, 0.0759, 0.0986, 0.1531, 0.1787, 0.2124, 0.1862, 0.1853]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "VRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VRT $RELL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06397336183640989, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06397336183640989, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06778669543464855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06095188778871374, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003021474047696149, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034753701282858485, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034753701282858485, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02527987786629926, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03312044435785677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016332569250017137, "ret_p1w": 0.020143871006082836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020143871006082836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017085269383620094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024553498097027227, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00440962709094439, "ret_p1m": 0.1750968421148873, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1750968421148873, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1235565208260565, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15876504181822515, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016331800296662147, "ret_p3m": 0.007469613188576307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007469613188576307, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0959615737075481, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.024153016801065963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03162262998964227, "ret_p6m": 0.2430877189180367, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2430877189180367, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07469333110401521, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09820626973829216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14488144917974455, "price_path": [-0.3926, -0.3731, -0.3767, -0.3421, -0.3199, -0.3187, -0.3459, -0.328, -0.3177, -0.2972, -0.3215, -0.3081, -0.2812, -0.3047, -0.3033, -0.3033, -0.3138, -0.3522, -0.3041, -0.3063, -0.2663, -0.2668, -0.2686, -0.2518, -0.2192, -0.2068, -0.2253, -0.2035, -0.2024, -0.2325, -0.2587, -0.1998, -0.1882, -0.1821, -0.1795, -0.1462, -0.1471, -0.1385, -0.0912, -0.0869, -0.093, -0.085, -0.1034, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.1101, -0.106, -0.0553, -0.1069, -0.0555, -0.0686, -0.0946, -0.0618, -0.0444, -0.0715, -0.1071, -0.0884, -0.0937, -0.1034, -0.1698, -0.1581, -0.1237, -0.064, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0493, 0.0293, -0.0203, 0.0201, 0.0294, 0.0765, 0.0505, 0.0811, 0.084, 0.0559, 0.0493, 0.0928, 0.1577, 0.0768, 0.0715, 0.0993, 0.0972, 0.1082, 0.1205, 0.1751, 0.1751, 0.1639, 0.1423, 0.132, 0.0854, 0.0638, 0.0193, 0.0745, -0.026, -0.0296, 0.0105, -0.0116, -0.002, 0.0549, 0.0125, -0.0086, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0018, 0.0033, -0.0131, 0.0154, -0.0367, -0.0381, -0.0416, -0.0406, -0.0257, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0161, 0.0222, 0.027, 0.0418, 0.0281, -0.0073, -0.027, -0.0067, -0.0946, -0.086, -0.0555, -0.0274, 0.0075, -0.1299, -0.1533, -0.1462, -0.1365, -0.1915, -0.1287, -0.1807, -0.231, -0.2502, -0.2331, -0.2558, -0.2133, -0.2089, -0.1925, -0.1559, -0.1125, -0.0815, -0.1207, -0.1267, -0.153, -0.1366, -0.15, -0.1304, -0.1358, -0.112, -0.1086, -0.1152, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.1675, -0.169, -0.168, -0.2054, -0.1754, -0.1645, -0.0879, -0.0395, -0.0505, -0.0369, -0.0333, -0.0292, 0.0195, 0.047, 0.0639, 0.0785, 0.1156, 0.1143, 0.0898, 0.1018, 0.0811, 0.1327, 0.1372, 0.165, 0.182, 0.183, 0.1974, 0.1902, 0.2385, 0.2449, 0.1902, 0.2369, 0.2656, 0.2431]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "ETN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETN $HPS $POWL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005329526067209045, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005329526067209045, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015161924689703898, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008351000114905194, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003021474047696149, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022705356412179523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022705356412179523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013231532995620299, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02107209948717781, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016332569250017137, "ret_p1w": -0.005771360778674017, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005771360778674017, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00882996240113676, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001361733687729627, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00440962709094439, "ret_p1m": 0.07823848763293273, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07823848763293273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026698166344101937, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06190668733627058, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016331800296662147, "ret_p3m": 0.01829937869034648, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01829937869034648, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08513180820577793, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01332325129929579, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03162262998964227, "ret_p6m": 0.10500288503718092, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10500288503718092, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06339150277684058, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03987856414256363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14488144917974455, "price_path": [-0.2181, -0.2132, -0.2264, -0.1683, -0.1509, -0.153, -0.1477, -0.1422, -0.1411, -0.1262, -0.1385, -0.1437, -0.1335, -0.133, -0.1276, -0.1276, -0.132, -0.1287, -0.1054, -0.1043, -0.1062, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.0915, -0.0767, -0.0676, -0.0822, -0.0671, -0.0533, -0.0618, -0.0769, -0.0611, -0.0532, -0.053, -0.0605, -0.0579, -0.0446, -0.023, -0.005, -0.0016, -0.0165, -0.0158, -0.0085, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.016, -0.0074, 0.0121, 0.0096, 0.0423, 0.0275, -0.0102, -0.0086, 0.0005, 0.0044, -0.0057, -0.0055, -0.0218, -0.0257, -0.0444, -0.0284, -0.0134, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0227, 0.0297, 0.0037, -0.016, -0.0058, 0.0137, 0.0351, 0.0357, 0.0451, 0.0541, 0.0456, 0.0391, 0.0452, 0.069, 0.0444, 0.0446, 0.0541, 0.0651, 0.0633, 0.0704, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.0671, 0.0529, 0.0571, 0.0528, 0.0263, 0.0, 0.033, -0.0085, -0.0042, 0.0216, 0.0095, 0.0348, 0.0386, 0.0091, 0.029, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0224, 0.0124, 0.0187, 0.0209, -0.0028, -0.007, -0.0082, -0.012, -0.0091, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0081, 0.0345, 0.0401, 0.0453, 0.0344, 0.0516, -0.0147, -0.0224, -0.0135, 0.0132, 0.0183, -0.0524, -0.0736, -0.0581, -0.0618, -0.0915, -0.0359, -0.0578, -0.1135, -0.1351, -0.1188, -0.1187, -0.0876, -0.0744, -0.0846, -0.0625, -0.0533, -0.0401, -0.0584, -0.0573, -0.0598, -0.0489, -0.0552, -0.0479, -0.0577, -0.0605, -0.0682, -0.0444, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0805, -0.0835, -0.0932, -0.0956, -0.0816, -0.085, -0.057, -0.0372, -0.0295, -0.0271, -0.0107, -0.0014, 0.0439, 0.0492, 0.0466, 0.039, 0.0427, 0.0569, 0.0424, 0.0519, 0.0396, 0.0409, 0.0377, 0.057, 0.062, 0.065, 0.0735, 0.0693, 0.0835, 0.0968, 0.0728, 0.0825, 0.106, 0.105]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1783517473536430582", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2024-04-25T15:24:36+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALCC $LEU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Data center AI-driven re-architecture is in the first inning; names NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, VRT, ETN, LEU among beneficiaries of compute, cooling, power, and chiplet trends.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote an industry essay on the evolution of #datacenters. (link at the bottom)\n\nWe discuss:\n\n1. How data centers are evolving due to #AI workloads and new hardware requirements\n\n2. The trends that will be occurring due to this evolution from compute to chiplet architecture\n\n3. The industry participants that are poised to benefit from this inflection\n\n4. Potential headwinds that could inhibit the adoption of this new data center architecture\n\n1/N\n\n---\n\nThere are 5,500 data centers in the USA, making up half the global number of data centers. The average data center has about 100k servers and requires significant energy to run. Each rack typically consumes 15-20 kilowatts.\n\nWith data centers becoming “AI Factories”, we believe that this is the first inning of major technological changes and delve into the data center trends below.\n\n$NVDA\n\n2/N\n\n---\n\nWith the tsunami of AI demand for compute and storage, the data center industry faces a pivotal challenge. \n\nThe majority of data centers are structured around CPU-based servers, which are rapidly becoming inadequate for modern requirements.  To address this, a significant overhaul is necessary to integrate GPUs.\n\nNVIDIAs latest Blackwell data center platform reads like something out of a scifi novel compared to traditional data centers. \n\n3/N\n\n---\n\nGPU demand is driven by applications such such as LLMs and text-to-video generation. \n\nThese models are expanding rapidly: Chat GPT 1 contained 1.5 billion parameters, whereas Chat GPT 4 now boasts 1.7 trillion.\n\n4/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 1: Network debottlenecking\n\nWhile compute has gone up 1000x in a decade, other parts of the chain have not kept up: Namely data connectivity. \n\nIndustry reports estimate that 30 percent of the time spent training a LLM are due to network latency with the other 70 percent spent on compute.\n\nCabling, switches, and DPUs are all advancing to dramatically reduce lost data packets and latencies. \n\n$AVGO  $AWE.L $MRVL\n\n5/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 2: Change in Power Infrastructure\n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\n6/N\n\n---\n\nWithin the data center, to cope with the energy loads from GPUs, higher power equipment will be needed anywhere from Uninterruptible Power Supplies to batteries to switch gears to generators and dry type transformers.\n\n$ETN $HPS $POWL\n\n7/N https://t.co/lhxuI8IIm3\n\n---\n\nTrend 3: Cooling\n\nWith high power comes high heat.  The power usage of a single AI rack currently can be as high as 100 kilowatts and likely in a few years will exceed 200kw; Multiples of what traditional CPU racks consume.  \n\nNewer techniques such as liquid cooling and immersion cooling which cool directly at the chip level will be needed. A large benefit of liquid cooling is it also lowers the power consumption of servers by up to 20%.\n\nOther methods are being looked at to also increase the rate of heat transfer away from chips. This can be done by using a better conductor such as synthetic diamonds.\n\n$VRT $RELL\n\n8/N\n\n---\n\nTrend 4: The Rise of Chiplets\n\nWith semiconductor technology advancing to 2nm , the expenses with designing chips has exploded. Cost are almost doubling for every nm advance. \n\nCustom silicon is cheaper and can make AI workloads such as inference more efficient. Hyperscalers are rushing to build out their own custom silicon such as $GOOG $META and $AMZN. \n\n$AVGO has largely been a beneficiary building out GOOG's TPUs. Marvell and Alphawave are newer entrants in the space.\n\n9/N\n\n---\n\nTLDR:  The shift from CPUs to GPUs requires a re-architecture of data centers, spanning network infrastructure, cooling systems, and power management. \n\nWe believe this is the first inning of major technological changes in data centers. \n\n10/N\n\n---\n\nLink: https://t.co/wlVThWyHxw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026901592563831622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026901592563831622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006503492854621817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018631879984193356, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003813333598238655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004553347254802498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016629990592465616, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016629990592465616, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007156167175906392, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025840464856685674, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009473823416559224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009210474264220059, "ret_p1w": 0.10222549199240083, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10222549199240083, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09916689036993809, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14434483786852337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003058601622462742, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04211934587612254, "ret_p1m": 0.17314751618331004, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17314751618331004, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12160719489447924, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22758180710161358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05154032128883079, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05443429091830354, "ret_p3m": 0.06578631649691924, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06578631649691924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.037644870399205166, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1234763289791071, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1034311868961244, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05769001248218786, "ret_p6m": 1.4111029055884337, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.4111029055884337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2427085177744122, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.4609059933938495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683943878140215, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04980308780541587, "price_path": [0.2651, 0.2739, 0.2282, 0.2614, 0.2287, 0.18, 0.1617, 0.1651, 0.1382, 0.1174, 0.1489, 0.1108, 0.0961, 0.1125, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.0386, 0.0465, 0.0252, 0.0015, 0.0054, -0.0225, -0.0012, -0.0024, 0.0135, 0.0122, -0.0218, -0.0022, 0.0198, -0.0205, -0.0372, -0.021, -0.0543, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0518, -0.0445, 0.0039, 0.0098, -0.0127, -0.0005, -0.0384, 0.0044, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.068, 0.0934, 0.1543, 0.1123, 0.0951, 0.0858, 0.0641, 0.0599, 0.0805, 0.0616, 0.0237, 0.0188, -0.0049, -0.0064, 0.0117, 0.0271, 0.0254, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.0511, 0.0499, 0.0531, 0.1022, 0.1017, 0.1162, 0.0834, 0.0303, 0.0763, 0.0734, 0.0611, 0.0577, 0.0565, 0.0673, 0.1399, 0.2431, 0.1817, 0.1629, 0.1233, 0.1731, 0.1731, 0.2465, 0.2025, 0.2416, 0.2137, 0.1516, 0.103, 0.1098, 0.1482, 0.0653, 0.0932, 0.0267, 0.0416, 0.0562, 0.0203, 0.0235, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0426, 0.0699, 0.0712, 0.091, 0.0761, 0.0399, 0.0455, 0.0247, 0.0269, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.012, -0.0408, -0.0034, 0.0267, 0.1281, 0.1932, 0.1555, 0.1954, 0.1015, 0.0763, 0.0846, 0.0677, 0.0658, 0.0406, 0.0223, 0.044, 0.0174, 0.0406, 0.0685, -0.0039, -0.0805, -0.1079, -0.1196, 0.0345, -0.0054, -0.0247, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0988, -0.0922, -0.0873, -0.045, -0.0521, -0.0303, -0.0822, -0.0242, -0.056, -0.0347, -0.0707, -0.0377, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.1228, -0.101, -0.0895, -0.1352, -0.1233, -0.1118, -0.0245, -0.0364, -0.0333, -0.0252, -0.0252, -0.0262, 0.0137, 0.1008, 0.2301, 0.2971, 0.3461, 0.3399, 0.4116, 0.3414, 0.4622, 0.5725, 0.5865, 0.6586, 0.5813, 0.5957, 0.5419, 0.3646, 0.4541, 0.4458, 0.4991, 0.8926, 0.9821, 1.4111]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1765772699870044303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-07T16:13:12+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "coal royalties", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "disclosure: long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NRP: debt paydown progress, coal royalties shifting to met coal (70% revs), potential debt-free by EOY 2024 with $150-220mm/yr to unitholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NRP earnings highlights\n\nManagement continuing to pay down costly preferreds and warrants. Redeemed $178mm of preferreds and only .32mm warrants out of the original 4mm remain ( in 2024)\n\nIf coal prices stay at current levels, NRP could be completely debt free by end of 2024 leaving royalty streams to common unitholders ( likely around $150mm- $220mm/year)\n\nCoal prices still resilient with met coal now making up 70% of revenues. This royalty stream will be significantly more robust than thermal coal.\n\nSoda ash prices will see pressure in 2024 from new supply coming online. NRP saw about 70mm in royalties in 2023 from their stake in Sisecam Wyoming. \n\ndisclosure: long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009610050898115396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009610050898115396, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019438897461819926, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018032476582841683, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00982884656370453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008422425684726287, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028830703271612745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028830703271612745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022828507199143422, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03235887423486272, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0060021960724693235, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003528170963249977, "ret_p1w": -0.03347372136000293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03347372136000293, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033745565577855796, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07251316449726808, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00027184421785286794, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03903944313726515, "ret_p1m": 0.007180353421053054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007180353421053054, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002980151615922466, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11816256729009811, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01016050503697552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12534292071115116, "ret_p3m": 0.007222105530429346, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007222105530429346, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.022345445321281243, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02415097521940779, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02956755085171059, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031373080749837134, "ret_p6m": 0.008673794256432998, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.008673794256432998, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.093199567513645, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047058391737004435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.101873361770078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05573218599343743, "price_path": [-0.1448, -0.1705, -0.1534, -0.1235, -0.1192, -0.0852, -0.0497, -0.0258, -0.0477, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.025, -0.0153, -0.0003, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.0257, -0.0099, -0.0106, 0.0498, 0.0375, 0.0275, 0.04, 0.0471, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0552, 0.0464, 0.0422, 0.0351, 0.0534, 0.047, 0.0521, 0.0497, 0.0407, 0.0367, 0.0407, 0.0409, 0.0489, 0.0495, 0.033, -0.0646, -0.0292, -0.0394, -0.0431, -0.0517, -0.0706, -0.0698, -0.0844, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0918, -0.0552, -0.0517, -0.046, -0.0266, -0.0241, -0.0178, -0.0125, -0.0025, -0.0037, -0.0247, 0.0096, 0.0, -0.0288, -0.0023, -0.047, -0.0288, -0.0335, -0.0419, -0.0534, -0.0335, -0.0068, 0.0298, 0.0166, 0.0113, 0.0182, 0.0192, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0282, 0.0409, 0.0242, 0.0165, 0.0072, -0.0009, -0.0407, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0007, 0.0032, 0.016, -0.0004, -0.0063, -0.0066, -0.0196, -0.0075, -0.018, -0.0074, 0.0185, 0.0215, -0.0007, -0.0006, -0.0007, 0.005, -0.0038, 0.0032, -0.0015, -0.0044, -0.0028, 0.0023, -0.0073, -0.0006, 0.0011, 0.0022, 0.0072, 0.0086, 0.0068, 0.0021, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0091, 0.0073, 0.0045, 0.0116, 0.0189, 0.0072, 0.0044, 0.0015, -0.0024, 0.0006, 0.0049, 0.0077, 0.005, 0.0021, 0.0155, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0353, 0.0308, 0.0345, 0.0076, 0.0049, 0.0098, 0.0036, 0.1028, 0.0915, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.0703, 0.0587, 0.0642, 0.0612, 0.0921, 0.0954, 0.0747, 0.067, 0.0442, 0.035, 0.0199, 0.0161, 0.0261, 0.0296, 0.0087, 0.003, -0.0007, 0.0077, 0.0191, 0.0024, -0.0012, 0.0077, 0.0018, 0.0394, 0.0289, 0.0203, 0.0245, 0.0146, -0.0031, -0.0128, -0.0175, -0.0171, -0.0076, -0.0113, -0.0187, -0.0202, -0.0074, -0.02, -0.0105, -0.0136, 0.0087]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1410658597105770499", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-01T17:56:32+00:00", "symbol": "FC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "FC has significant tailwinds ahead. Up over 100% since our valuation with more room to run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long FC: SAAS growing 30%+ with 50% margins and 90%+ retention; international + on-site revenues provide tailwinds; more upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["FC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Education & Training Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$FC had solid earnings. AAP SAAS sales growing > 30% with 50% margins and 90% plus retention rate. With international licensee and on-site revenues picking up, FC has significant tailwinds ahead. \n\nUp over 100% since our valuation with more room to run\nhttps://t.co/fhv7PGyLdY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10138893127441406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10138893127441406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09588270116556818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09588270116556818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005506230108845878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005506230108845878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04749997456868493, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04749997456868493, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055143565037486186, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055143565037486186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0076435904688012535, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0076435904688012535, "ret_p1w": -0.01305558946397567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01305558946397567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014194107636456899, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014194107636456899, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011385181724812288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011385181724812288, "ret_p1m": 0.016388893127441406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016388893127441406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0023830750070639173, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0023830750070639173, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018771968134505324, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018771968134505324, "ret_p3m": 0.13833332061767578, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13833332061767578, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12746182267521045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12746182267521045, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.010871497942465336, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010871497942465336, "ret_p6m": 0.26777776082356763, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26777776082356763, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1670963447966034, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1670963447966034, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10068141602696423, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10068141602696423, "price_path": [-0.1619, -0.1586, -0.19, -0.1714, -0.1811, -0.1875, -0.185, -0.1808, -0.16, -0.16, -0.1572, -0.1678, -0.1758, -0.1583, -0.1483, -0.1419, -0.1561, -0.1469, -0.1533, -0.1517, -0.1447, -0.1439, -0.1356, -0.135, -0.1253, -0.1511, -0.1514, -0.1894, -0.1669, -0.1561, -0.155, -0.1536, -0.1531, -0.1475, -0.145, -0.1447, -0.17, -0.1719, -0.1639, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.1269, -0.13, -0.1356, -0.1297, -0.1211, -0.1058, -0.1019, -0.1364, -0.1308, -0.1464, -0.1156, -0.1214, -0.1056, -0.1253, -0.0953, -0.0944, -0.1028, -0.0833, -0.0919, -0.1175, -0.1042, -0.1014, 0.0, -0.0475, -0.0475, 0.0036, 0.0114, -0.0131, 0.0425, 0.0481, 0.0208, -0.0075, -0.0094, -0.0142, -0.0342, 0.0017, 0.0139, 0.0267, 0.0353, 0.0311, 0.0261, 0.0239, 0.0194, 0.0164, 0.0292, 0.0489, 0.0325, 0.0517, 0.0225, -0.01, 0.0047, 0.0086, 0.0083, 0.0122, 0.0144, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0283, 0.0422, 0.0761, 0.0664, 0.1153, 0.1172, 0.1606, 0.195, 0.2075, 0.19, 0.1606, 0.1572, 0.1572, 0.1536, 0.1522, 0.1706, 0.1581, 0.1392, 0.1181, 0.1425, 0.1558, 0.1278, 0.1089, 0.1111, 0.125, 0.1378, 0.1297, 0.1372, 0.1383, 0.1381, 0.1331, 0.1386, 0.1361, 0.1689, 0.1681, 0.1906, 0.1936, 0.1444, 0.1506, 0.1553, 0.1572, 0.1558, 0.1544, 0.1417, 0.1556, 0.1544, 0.16, 0.1703, 0.1686, 0.1547, 0.1658, 0.1736, 0.1775, 0.2031, 0.2125, 0.2203, 0.2544, 0.2336, 0.2717, 0.3028, 0.3858, 0.3978, 0.3664, 0.3642, 0.3489, 0.3381, 0.3306, 0.2994, 0.3025, 0.3031, 0.3031, 0.2542, 0.2361, 0.2217, 0.2092, 0.2494, 0.2194, 0.2467, 0.2967, 0.3189, 0.2689, 0.2431, 0.2306, 0.2086, 0.2281, 0.1983, 0.1978, 0.1847, 0.2328, 0.2531, 0.2678, 0.2678]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1791594786488750325", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-17T22:20:57+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I highly encourage any experienced investors following us to consider $RELY for their portfolio. We believe the valuation is currently very attractive.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong buy recommendation on RELY; valuation seen as attractive and author has added multiple times despite price weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I highly encourage any experienced investors following us to consider $RELY for their portfolio.\n\nWe believe the valuation is currently very attractive. \n\nWe have added multiple times since this initiation report (the price has continued to move against us for what we believe are non-justifiable reasons) \n\nhttps://t.co/8AXYpOmmfH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002808986130333757, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002808986130333757, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0013735341749319119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0013735341749319119, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014354519554018452, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014354519554018452, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012640471072258075, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012640471072258075, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011488189056725773, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011488189056725773, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0011522820155323021, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011522820155323021, "ret_p1w": -0.03792134624526222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03792134624526222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037902570590366835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037902570590366835, "bench_spy_p1w": -1.8775654895386573e-05, "bench_c_p1w": -1.8775654895386573e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.1509831217055876, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1509831217055876, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1843195921871289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1843195921871289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033336470481541314, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033336470481541314, "ret_p3m": -0.027387598027876492, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.027387598027876492, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05771016259812123, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05771016259812123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.030322564570244737, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030322564570244737, "ret_p6m": 0.3855336979887518, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3855336979887518, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24749579171280622, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24749579171280622, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1380379062759456, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1380379062759456, "price_path": [0.264, 0.2423, 0.4656, 0.4846, 0.4761, 0.4979, 0.4684, 0.448, 0.4389, 0.4466, 0.4382, 0.4649, 0.4537, 0.4712, 0.4494, 0.4431, 0.4508, 0.4185, 0.4136, 0.4143, 0.4136, 0.474, 0.5042, 0.4586, 0.4544, 0.4621, 0.4691, 0.4565, 0.4565, 0.4396, 0.4522, 0.4487, 0.434, 0.4501, 0.4726, 0.486, 0.4221, 0.3708, 0.3406, 0.3006, 0.2816, 0.3055, 0.3062, 0.2999, 0.2921, 0.323, 0.2942, 0.2479, 0.2683, 0.257, 0.2521, 0.2317, 0.0815, 0.0471, 0.0822, 0.0688, 0.0435, 0.0309, 0.0063, 0.0035, 0.0, -0.0007, -0.0028, 0.0, 0.0126, -0.0162, -0.0351, -0.0428, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0534, -0.0688, -0.0829, -0.0874, -0.0892, -0.092, -0.0744, -0.0513, -0.0688, -0.0808, -0.0878, -0.0808, -0.1187, -0.1348, -0.151, -0.1735, -0.1735, -0.1847, -0.1517, -0.1559, -0.165, -0.1538, -0.1454, -0.1489, -0.1524, -0.1257, -0.1257, -0.1257, -0.099, -0.1096, -0.1053, -0.1208, -0.0892, -0.0815, -0.0499, -0.0534, -0.0506, -0.0836, -0.0723, -0.0534, -0.04, -0.0674, -0.0449, -0.0225, -0.0456, -0.0492, -0.0723, -0.0351, -0.0576, -0.0758, -0.0948, -0.0688, -0.04, -0.0442, -0.0597, -0.0197, -0.0274, -0.0098, 0.0169, 0.0239, 0.0007, -0.0007, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0449, -0.0541, -0.0583, -0.0344, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.0562, -0.052, -0.0337, -0.0562, -0.0372, -0.0435, -0.033, 0.0154, 0.0218, 0.0154, 0.0021, -0.0014, 0.0007, -0.0077, -0.0169, -0.0323, -0.0351, -0.0309, -0.0414, -0.0597, -0.0597, -0.0871, -0.0948, -0.0688, -0.0878, -0.0962, -0.099, -0.1088, -0.0723, -0.0478, -0.0225, -0.0154, 0.0126, 0.0527, 0.0344, 0.019, 0.0119, 0.0169, 0.0372, 0.0639, 0.0471, 0.0716, 0.2626, 0.2605, 0.3294, 0.3596, 0.3855, 0.3673, 0.3694, 0.3855]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1457760741528940549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-08T17:23:39+00:00", "symbol": "S&P 500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it is more dangerous to be bearish than bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rising M2 signals market upside; more dangerous to be bearish than bullish from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 index proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "M2, a predictor of market returns, continues to grind higher. Despite highs, it is more dangerous to be bearish than bullish. https://t.co/glKbzK5d5p", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008530541825096938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008530541825096938, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008530541825096938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008530541825096938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0033054638044236473, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033054638044236473, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033054638044236473, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033054638044236473, "ret_p1w": -0.003198918569325304, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003198918569325304, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003198918569325304, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003198918569325304, "ret_p1m": -0.0013861957390352009, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0013861957390352009, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013861957390352009, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013861957390352009, "ret_p3m": -0.04427324899759899, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04427324899759899, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04427324899759899, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04427324899759899, "ret_p6m": -0.10617609981993925, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10617609981993925, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10617609981993925, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10617609981993925, "price_path": [-0.0567, -0.0538, -0.0521, -0.0499, -0.0561, -0.0664, -0.065, -0.0575, -0.0493, -0.0477, -0.0458, -0.0514, -0.0429, -0.0387, -0.0401, -0.0396, -0.0367, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0403, -0.0415, -0.0456, -0.0531, -0.0507, -0.0558, -0.0479, -0.0494, -0.0587, -0.0744, -0.0753, -0.0663, -0.0549, -0.0534, -0.0561, -0.0751, -0.0735, -0.0849, -0.074, -0.0859, -0.0764, -0.0726, -0.0646, -0.0663, -0.073, -0.0753, -0.072, -0.0564, -0.0492, -0.0464, -0.039, -0.0352, -0.0327, -0.0337, -0.0285, -0.0277, -0.032, -0.0226, -0.0206, -0.019, -0.015, -0.009, -0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0033, -0.0113, -0.011, -0.0035, -0.0032, 0.0007, -0.0017, 0.0017, -0.0001, -0.0029, -0.0016, 0.0011, 0.0011, -0.0212, -0.0092, -0.0285, -0.0393, -0.0246, -0.0331, -0.0216, -0.0014, 0.0013, -0.0055, 0.0039, -0.005, -0.0119, 0.0036, -0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0263, -0.009, 0.0009, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0213, 0.0205, 0.0218, 0.019, 0.0164, 0.0223, 0.022, 0.0023, 0.0014, -0.0026, -0.0038, 0.0053, 0.008, -0.0059, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0231, -0.0333, -0.044, -0.0627, -0.0587, -0.0702, -0.0726, -0.0771, -0.0542, -0.0372, -0.0307, -0.0213, -0.0443, -0.0398, -0.0429, -0.035, -0.0209, -0.0385, -0.0574, -0.0605, -0.0453, -0.0443, -0.0647, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0807, -0.097, -0.0834, -0.0632, -0.0656, -0.0798, -0.0629, -0.0676, -0.0752, -0.1024, -0.1092, -0.0853, -0.0895, -0.101, -0.1076, -0.088, -0.0678, -0.0561, -0.0458, -0.046, -0.0349, -0.0473, -0.033, -0.0282, -0.0213, -0.0092, -0.0153, -0.0305, -0.0277, -0.0194, -0.0318, -0.0415, -0.0366, -0.0392, -0.0556, -0.0591, -0.0484, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.0598, -0.0447, -0.0454, -0.0596, -0.0854, -0.0801, -0.1068, -0.1043, -0.0816, -0.1156, -0.1103, -0.1062]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1693692013231681922", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-21T18:30:17+00:00", "symbol": "TG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TG looking interesting around these levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TG looks attractive at current levels; cyclical with ~$30M normalized FCF and semi-market upside in PE film.", "resolved_tickers": ["TG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Metal Fabrication", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TG looking interesting around these levels. Cyclical name that recently suspended dividend. In normalized environment it should be able to generate about 30mm in FCF.  PE film segment has seen secular headwinds but growth market could be in semis. No position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005976137434728135, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005976137434728135, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00048796612900769976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00048796612900769976, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006464103563735835, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006464103563735835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01593623984263237, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01593623984263237, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018644814589205527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018644814589205527, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0027085747465731558, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027085747465731558, "ret_p1w": 0.013944257356044432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013944257356044432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006159846759615117, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006159846759615117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007784410596429314, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007784410596429314, "ret_p1m": 0.0517928744760372, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0517928744760372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04056799934210242, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04056799934210242, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011224875133934775, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011224875133934775, "ret_p3m": -0.04382465956723891, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04382465956723891, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07222661484997372, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07222661484997372, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028401955282734814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028401955282734814, "ret_p6m": -0.09760951652986416, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09760951652986416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23074808677664926, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23074808677664926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1331385702467851, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1331385702467851, "price_path": [0.4696, 0.4247, 0.4188, 0.4188, 0.4091, 0.372, 0.4169, 0.4949, 0.3681, 0.452, 0.5164, 0.4676, 0.4286, 0.3993, 0.333, 0.251, 0.2351, 0.1952, 0.1952, 0.1952, 0.253, 0.2948, 0.3207, 0.3227, 0.3267, 0.3267, 0.3586, 0.3287, 0.3685, 0.3685, 0.3088, 0.2669, 0.3147, 0.2908, 0.2968, 0.3127, 0.3247, 0.3367, 0.3108, 0.2888, 0.3227, 0.3068, 0.3367, 0.3665, 0.3944, 0.4104, 0.3506, 0.3705, 0.3785, 0.3506, 0.3147, 0.3028, 0.3088, 0.3068, 0.2689, 0.012, 0.0438, 0.0498, 0.0199, -0.006, 0.012, 0.0398, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0279, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.0139, 0.0219, 0.004, 0.002, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.1594, 0.1235, 0.1056, 0.1135, 0.1255, 0.0936, 0.0538, 0.0677, 0.0438, 0.0279, 0.0518, 0.0837, 0.0398, 0.0319, 0.0359, 0.0339, 0.0478, 0.0378, 0.0777, 0.0677, 0.0956, 0.0378, 0.0299, 0.0398, 0.0359, 0.0757, 0.0418, 0.0498, 0.0359, 0.0637, 0.0618, 0.0478, 0.0299, 0.002, -0.0319, -0.0259, -0.0299, -0.0618, -0.0996, -0.0837, -0.1076, -0.1315, -0.1036, -0.0478, -0.0618, -0.0558, -0.0916, -0.1135, -0.1215, -0.1016, -0.0299, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0279, -0.0219, -0.0418, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0279, -0.0697, -0.0677, -0.0498, -0.0637, -0.0279, -0.002, -0.0618, -0.0618, -0.0518, -0.0418, -0.0737, -0.1135, -0.0538, -0.0159, -0.0219, -0.0279, 0.0239, 0.0279, 0.0757, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.0876, 0.0956, 0.1016, 0.0777, 0.0777, 0.0857, 0.01, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0398, 0.0378, 0.0339, 0.0279, 0.0299, 0.0299, -0.0259, -0.0618, -0.0677, -0.0458, 0.0179, -0.0199, -0.0359, -0.0139, -0.0219, -0.0139, -0.004, -0.0578, -0.0398, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0956, -0.0857, -0.0618, -0.0478, -0.0139, -0.0976]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1324486934173868032", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-05T23:01:07+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "beat in revenue and margins, the continuing shift of their business to recurring SAAS also offers multiple ways to win", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish DFIN: beat on revenue/margins + shift to recurring SaaS creates multiple upside paths.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DFIN beat in revenue and margins, the continuing shift of their business to recurring SAAS also offers multiple ways to win", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02777775202268362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02777775202268362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008648007584752149, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008648007584752149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.019129744437931473, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019129744437931473, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03888885283175714, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03888885283175714, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038660346781939636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038660346781939636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00022850604981750067, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00022850604981750067, "ret_p1w": -0.020138886773291897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020138886773291897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028618707743360616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028618707743360616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008479820970068719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008479820970068719, "ret_p1m": 0.19375006871091172, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19375006871091172, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1377599767181923, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1377599767181923, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.055990091992719426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.055990091992719426, "ret_p3m": 0.363194422276667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.363194422276667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2691549240988875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2691549240988875, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09403949817777946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09403949817777946, "ret_p6m": 1.122222241354578, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.122222241354578, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9217558859800141, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9217558859800141, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2004663553745638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2004663553745638, "price_path": [-0.1965, -0.2083, -0.2062, -0.2097, -0.209, -0.2132, -0.2396, -0.2187, -0.2368, -0.266, -0.2444, -0.2236, -0.2292, -0.2299, -0.2361, -0.2431, -0.2187, -0.2014, -0.2368, -0.2479, -0.2479, -0.2479, -0.2271, -0.2319, -0.2486, -0.2271, -0.1958, -0.1854, -0.1931, -0.1625, -0.2104, -0.1993, -0.1812, -0.1778, -0.1486, -0.0729, -0.084, -0.0722, -0.0833, -0.0674, -0.075, -0.0312, 0.009, 0.025, -0.0035, -0.0243, -0.0208, -0.0722, -0.05, -0.0576, -0.0465, -0.0194, -0.0229, -0.0382, -0.0389, -0.0639, -0.0806, -0.0875, -0.0965, -0.1229, -0.0868, -0.025, -0.0278, 0.0, -0.0389, -0.0257, 0.0097, -0.0069, -0.0201, 0.0313, 0.0583, 0.0875, 0.0549, 0.0653, 0.0583, 0.0861, 0.0986, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.141, 0.1313, 0.1104, 0.1271, 0.1646, 0.1938, 0.2014, 0.2146, 0.2556, 0.291, 0.3611, 0.2611, 0.2944, 0.2097, 0.2542, 0.3361, 0.2694, 0.2493, 0.266, 0.2431, 0.2431, 0.2187, 0.191, 0.1924, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.2104, 0.2618, 0.284, 0.2979, 0.2375, 0.2604, 0.2736, 0.2743, 0.35, 0.3382, 0.3382, 0.35, 0.3764, 0.3382, 0.3229, 0.291, 0.259, 0.2361, 0.2549, 0.2424, 0.309, 0.3632, 0.3826, 0.416, 0.3951, 0.45, 0.4903, 0.5, 0.5972, 0.5576, 0.5576, 0.5625, 0.5444, 0.5194, 0.5389, 0.5451, 0.4931, 0.5771, 0.6632, 0.8049, 0.941, 0.9604, 0.9868, 0.8729, 0.9486, 0.9993, 0.9847, 1.016, 1.0215, 1.0688, 1.0556, 1.0208, 1.0042, 0.9514, 0.9972, 0.9243, 0.8361, 0.7944, 0.8528, 0.9063, 0.8597, 0.9326, 0.9326, 1.016, 1.016, 1.0486, 1.0486, 0.9931, 1.0194, 0.9979, 1.0139, 0.9792, 1.0139, 1.016, 1.0347, 1.0111, 0.9257, 0.9597, 1.0076, 1.084, 1.1257, 1.1042, 1.1306, 1.125, 1.1222]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1798811611479625949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-06T20:18:03+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$apld could be- the loi with the hyperscaler is for 400MW. Now it is just execution…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "APLD seen as a potential beneficiary of AI/HPC theme via 400MW hyperscaler LOI; bull case is execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ToffCap $apld could be- the loi with the hyperscaler is for 400MW. Now it is just execution…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What are other miners able to capitalise on this theme (ic AI HPC)? \n\n$IREN, $WULF, …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ToffCap", "ret_m1d": -0.050813007342129124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050813007342129124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05083183390910473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0541604053265925, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.882656697560492e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003347397984463374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0853658678416761, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0853658678416761, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08415009258177297, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08769061939822154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001215775259903129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023247515565454346, "ret_p1w": -0.11178865491993206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11178865491993206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12635878066619788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16627512728689053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014570125746265816, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05448647236695847, "ret_p1m": 0.4105690954476784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4105690954476784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36985284396917906, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3260104961550321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04071625147849933, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08455859929264631, "ret_p3m": -0.35975608810554927, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35975608810554927, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39566887549572516, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3387369862771925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03591278739017589, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021019101828356757, "ret_p6m": 1.0528455741565117, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0528455741565117, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9187638165737027, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9623730827707004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13408175758280905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09047249138581126, "price_path": [-0.1463, -0.126, -0.063, -0.1402, -0.0854, -0.1382, -0.1301, -0.0549, -0.0752, -0.1382, -0.1037, -0.1199, -0.1159, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1646, -0.2236, -0.3232, -0.3354, -0.3943, -0.3648, -0.4207, -0.3923, -0.376, -0.4492, -0.4888, -0.502, -0.5122, -0.5142, -0.498, -0.4492, -0.4045, -0.3943, -0.3902, -0.4024, -0.4492, -0.4502, -0.3902, -0.3984, -0.3841, -0.3333, -0.3699, -0.3293, -0.3211, -0.3272, -0.2927, -0.2724, -0.2276, -0.2561, -0.1585, -0.0691, -0.1016, -0.1382, -0.1362, -0.063, -0.063, -0.061, -0.1199, -0.1484, -0.1402, -0.1951, -0.1362, -0.0508, 0.0, -0.0854, -0.1606, -0.1585, -0.1606, -0.1118, -0.0549, 0.1098, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.2276, 0.122, 0.2358, 0.2866, 0.2256, 0.2683, 0.2093, 0.3211, 0.2886, 0.376, 0.376, 0.4106, 0.4512, 0.1118, 0.1911, 0.1951, 0.2602, 0.374, 0.3841, 0.2602, 0.1545, 0.1626, 0.0793, 0.0264, -0.0711, -0.0965, -0.0976, -0.1341, -0.1911, -0.0122, -0.0874, -0.1382, -0.1931, -0.1443, -0.2073, -0.1585, -0.2073, -0.1911, -0.1972, -0.2195, -0.187, -0.185, -0.1646, -0.1809, -0.1484, -0.1687, -0.0752, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.1037, -0.2236, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.3598, -0.3415, 0.0915, -0.0752, 0.3374, 0.3089, 0.1931, 0.2236, 0.2378, 0.1972, 0.1809, 0.2337, 0.1301, 0.2236, 0.3618, 0.439, 0.5589, 0.6768, 0.6646, 0.6768, 0.6423, 0.6646, 0.6341, 0.5142, 0.4431, 0.5955, 0.5041, 0.4004, 0.4797, 0.5346, 0.4837, 0.6362, 0.6159, 0.6626, 0.7703, 0.8557, 0.75, 0.6728, 0.6341, 0.6809, 0.5996, 0.4959, 0.374, 0.313, 0.2134, 0.2947, 0.437, 0.5833, 0.5366, 0.5407, 0.5427, 0.4573, 0.3943, 0.4695, 0.5752, 0.8618, 0.7805, 0.8598, 1.002, 1.1707, 0.9797, 0.9634, 0.9634, 1.0528]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1837218092767727736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-20T19:51:41+00:00", "symbol": "CARD.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "UBS upgraded from neutral to buy with a 180p target", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Shares UBS upgrade of CARD.L from neutral to buy with 180p target; bullish into 9/24 earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["CARD.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "nice up day on $CARD.L / UBS upgraded from neutral to buy with a 180p target. Looking forward to earnings release on 9/24", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05673751411961736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05673751411961736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05846903396917402, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05902526397991448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001731519849556662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002287749860297117, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014184513956888356, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014184513956888356, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011685689295549917, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020337701095405336, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002498824661338439, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012150743847347822, "ret_p1w": -0.25248215993255085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25248215993255085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2581486042870986, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.275688144244741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005666444354547773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02320598431219012, "ret_p1m": -0.3723404036330834, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3723404036330834, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3994057743294305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3808738688330019, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02706537069634707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008533465199918489, "ret_p3m": -0.32402417274156003, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32402417274156003, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3557530685792212, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.488860946515979, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03172889583766114, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16483677377441897, "ret_p6m": -0.40843245324572974, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40843245324572974, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40985576103139176, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41402820297283793, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0014233077856620202, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00559574972710819, "price_path": [-0.3348, -0.339, -0.3454, -0.3404, -0.3362, -0.334, -0.3333, -0.3078, -0.2986, -0.2979, -0.3149, -0.3121, -0.2922, -0.2837, -0.2908, -0.2879, -0.2879, -0.2837, -0.2908, -0.2482, -0.2028, -0.2213, -0.1986, -0.1887, -0.1433, -0.1433, -0.1518, -0.1362, -0.1461, -0.1759, -0.1716, -0.1589, -0.1603, -0.1489, -0.139, -0.1319, -0.1135, -0.0894, -0.0922, -0.0738, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0993, -0.1035, -0.1191, -0.1121, -0.122, -0.1291, -0.1333, -0.1248, -0.1007, -0.0922, -0.0823, -0.1135, -0.105, -0.0837, -0.078, -0.0823, -0.0638, -0.0567, 0.0, 0.0142, -0.2, -0.2199, -0.2553, -0.2525, -0.2511, -0.2809, -0.2979, -0.3149, -0.3071, -0.322, -0.3348, -0.3284, -0.3362, -0.344, -0.3475, -0.344, -0.3482, -0.3468, -0.3574, -0.3723, -0.3759, -0.3688, -0.3716, -0.3574, -0.3681, -0.383, -0.3553, -0.3999, -0.3978, -0.4006, -0.4184, -0.4162, -0.3971, -0.4127, -0.4127, -0.4233, -0.4354, -0.4297, -0.4311, -0.4297, -0.4325, -0.4226, -0.4191, -0.3872, -0.3623, -0.3645, -0.3666, -0.3886, -0.368, -0.3588, -0.3524, -0.3595, -0.3084, -0.3134, -0.2765, -0.2694, -0.2808, -0.268, -0.2694, -0.2878, -0.2971, -0.324, -0.3198, -0.3127, -0.3233, -0.3134, -0.3134, -0.3134, -0.3212, -0.3141, -0.3063, -0.3063, -0.3035, -0.3127, -0.3049, -0.329, -0.3524, -0.3425, -0.351, -0.3567, -0.3474, -0.3247, -0.3212, -0.3453, -0.3113, -0.3304, -0.3368, -0.3418, -0.3368, -0.3432, -0.3304, -0.3361, -0.3247, -0.3262, -0.3297, -0.3318, -0.3325, -0.3318, -0.3389, -0.334, -0.3425, -0.3403, -0.334, -0.341, -0.3403, -0.3332, -0.3439, -0.3226, -0.3283, -0.3453, -0.3496, -0.3496, -0.346, -0.3567, -0.3708, -0.4042, -0.4049, -0.407, -0.3971, -0.4028, -0.4134, -0.4169, -0.4233, -0.4162, -0.4084]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1405659293911642114", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-17T22:51:06+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As long as the bond buying program is still in effect and rates are near zero, cash is a very dangerous asset class to be attracted to", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish equities (SPY): while QE and near-zero rates persist, holding cash is dangerous — stay invested.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Fed announces that it is \"thinking about thinking about raising rates (in the distant future)\" and the market slides. ??. As long as the bond buying program is still in effect and rates are near zero, cash is a very dangerous asset class to be attracted to. $spy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0003318804722336477, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0003318804722336477, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003318804722336477, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003318804722336477, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013490329470738138, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013490329470738138, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013490329470738138, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013490329470738138, "ret_p1w": 0.01071325031623882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01071325031623882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01071325031623882, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01071325031623882, "ret_p1m": 0.025549608309803906, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025549608309803906, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025549608309803906, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025549608309803906, "ret_p3m": 0.05605419361872688, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05605419361872688, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05605419361872688, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05605419361872688, "ret_p6m": 0.12281219065270954, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12281219065270954, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12281219065270954, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12281219065270954, "price_path": [-0.0696, -0.0769, -0.0816, -0.0765, -0.0616, -0.0621, -0.0646, -0.0608, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.037, -0.0376, -0.0364, -0.0319, -0.0248, -0.0245, -0.0216, -0.0249, -0.0145, -0.0112, -0.016, -0.0232, -0.014, -0.023, -0.0124, -0.0103, -0.0105, -0.0108, -0.0045, -0.0111, -0.0089, -0.015, -0.0147, -0.0069, 0.0004, -0.0096, -0.0184, -0.0392, -0.0277, -0.0128, -0.0153, -0.0238, -0.0263, -0.0159, -0.0167, -0.0066, -0.0088, -0.0069, -0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0046, -0.0055, -0.0039, -0.0076, 0.0015, 0.0005, 0.0007, -0.0008, 0.0039, 0.0055, 0.0078, 0.0059, 0.0003, 0.0, -0.0135, 0.0006, 0.006, 0.0048, 0.0107, 0.0143, 0.0163, 0.0169, 0.0178, 0.0234, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0293, 0.033, 0.0246, 0.0355, 0.0392, 0.0357, 0.0372, 0.0337, 0.0255, 0.0104, 0.0249, 0.0332, 0.0353, 0.046, 0.0486, 0.0438, 0.0434, 0.0477, 0.0426, 0.0404, 0.0489, 0.0437, 0.0503, 0.0521, 0.0512, 0.0525, 0.0551, 0.0583, 0.0602, 0.0627, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0458, 0.0541, 0.0634, 0.0651, 0.0673, 0.061, 0.0705, 0.0752, 0.0736, 0.0742, 0.0775, 0.0772, 0.0772, 0.0734, 0.0721, 0.0675, 0.0591, 0.0618, 0.0561, 0.0649, 0.0632, 0.0528, 0.0353, 0.0343, 0.0444, 0.0571, 0.0588, 0.0558, 0.0345, 0.0363, 0.0236, 0.0358, 0.0224, 0.033, 0.0373, 0.0463, 0.0444, 0.0368, 0.0343, 0.038, 0.0555, 0.0635, 0.0666, 0.0749, 0.0791, 0.0819, 0.0808, 0.0866, 0.0876, 0.0827, 0.0932, 0.0954, 0.0973, 0.1017, 0.1085, 0.1137, 0.1175, 0.1185, 0.1148, 0.1058, 0.1062, 0.1145, 0.1149, 0.1193, 0.1166, 0.1204, 0.1184, 0.1153, 0.1167, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.0947, 0.1082, 0.0866, 0.0745, 0.091, 0.0815, 0.0943, 0.1169, 0.1199, 0.1123, 0.1228]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1784693122179481887", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-04-28T21:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "uranium plays... Finding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. $ALCC $LEU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on uranium plays ALCC and LEU as AI power demand drives modular nuclear reactor adoption for data centers.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote about some uranium plays in our data center essay. Link at bottom.\n\nSummary: \n\nTraining an LLM like Chat GPT-4 with 1.7 trillion parameters cost about $100 million and used about 60 GWhrs of energy; equivalent to the total energy usage of 70k homes for one month. \n\nBy 2027, AI power consumption could reach 200 Twhrs or 5% of US electricity needs, more than 2x the power needs of all the data centers in the US today.\n\nFinding utilities to power these massive data centers will prove difficult and could see the rise of modular nuclear reactors. \n\n$ALCC $LEU\n\nhttps://t.co/vrV5ewinfa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@variance_swap What’s the uranium thesis? Any good read you can link to? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "borrowed_ideas", "ret_m1d": -0.03280595305792189, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03280595305792189, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029276898418862496, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026062457910799863, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035290546390593924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006743495147122025, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011633140435800549, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011633140435800549, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014678023994097122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028611512114397164, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015841338037677177, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02977482615797722, "ret_p1w": 0.06188924792328421, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06188924792328421, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04912601137899242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.093946416426538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01276323654429179, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0320571685032538, "ret_p1m": 0.18590045983167225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18590045983167225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14717947032843726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22822846421190646, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03872098950323499, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04232800438023421, "ret_p3m": -0.02745463745331589, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02745463745331589, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08644167460350782, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011470399468416992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.058987037150191934, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03892503692173288, "ret_p6m": 1.1721731411050142, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1721731411050142, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0213343394489536, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2202429042161214, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15083880165606067, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04806976311110711, "price_path": [0.1685, 0.2001, 0.1689, 0.1226, 0.1052, 0.1084, 0.0828, 0.0631, 0.0931, 0.0568, 0.0428, 0.0584, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0119, -0.0044, -0.0247, -0.0472, -0.0435, -0.07, -0.0498, -0.051, -0.0358, -0.037, -0.0693, -0.0507, -0.0298, -0.0682, -0.084, -0.0686, -0.1003, -0.104, -0.1101, -0.098, -0.091, -0.0449, -0.0393, -0.0607, -0.0491, -0.0852, -0.0444, -0.0337, -0.0337, 0.0161, 0.0403, 0.0982, 0.0582, 0.0419, 0.033, 0.0123, 0.0084, 0.0279, 0.01, -0.0261, -0.0307, -0.0533, -0.0547, -0.0375, -0.0228, -0.0244, -0.0512, -0.0486, -0.0328, 0.0, -0.0012, 0.0019, 0.0486, 0.0482, 0.0619, 0.0307, -0.0198, 0.024, 0.0212, 0.0095, 0.0063, 0.0051, 0.0154, 0.0845, 0.1826, 0.1242, 0.1063, 0.0686, 0.1161, 0.1161, 0.1859, 0.144, 0.1812, 0.1547, 0.0956, 0.0493, 0.0558, 0.0924, 0.0135, 0.04, -0.0233, -0.0091, 0.0049, -0.0293, -0.0263, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0081, 0.0179, 0.0191, 0.0379, 0.0237, -0.0107, -0.0054, -0.0251, -0.023, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0372, -0.0875, -0.0519, -0.0233, 0.0733, 0.1352, 0.0993, 0.1373, 0.0479, 0.024, 0.0319, 0.0158, 0.014, -0.01, -0.0275, -0.0067, -0.0321, -0.01, 0.0165, -0.0523, -0.1252, -0.1512, -0.1624, -0.0158, -0.0537, -0.0721, -0.0886, -0.1228, -0.1426, -0.1363, -0.1317, -0.0914, -0.0982, -0.0775, -0.1268, -0.0717, -0.1019, -0.0817, -0.1159, -0.0845, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.1654, -0.1447, -0.1338, -0.1773, -0.1659, -0.155, -0.0719, -0.0833, -0.0803, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.0735, -0.0356, 0.0472, 0.1703, 0.2341, 0.2806, 0.2748, 0.343, 0.2762, 0.3911, 0.496, 0.5093, 0.5779, 0.5044, 0.5181, 0.467, 0.2983, 0.3834, 0.3755, 0.4262, 0.8006, 0.8858, 1.2939, 1.1982, 1.1722]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1806716077885575293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-28T15:47:34+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Xometry: The Future Digital Manufacturing Leviathan", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on XMTR ahead of Monday research piece; title frames it as a dominant future player in digital manufacturing.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Research piece dropping Monday on $XMTR\n\nHow is this for a bullish title?.....\"Xometry: The Future Digital Manufacturing Leviathan\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Very deep into digital manufacturing research rn. \n\n$PRLB $XMTR & private co Fictiv. Could be some interesting opportunities in the space.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09169545220289277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09169545220289277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08774491527500872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09210575023429646, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003950536927884052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004102980314036886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024221511806380325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024221511806380325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026279514927280423, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01347239641124609, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002058003120900098, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010749115395134234, "ret_p1w": -0.017301103432493137, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017301103432493137, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03644779249458219, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011967614039602004, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01914668906208905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005333489392891133, "ret_p1m": 0.3036331442731819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3036331442731819, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3026407864362288, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26908815477960935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009923578369530617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03454498949357254, "ret_p3m": 0.5830448592377584, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5830448592377584, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5323878888056934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4801895468536239, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05065697043206496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10285531238413448, "ret_p6m": 2.6435983912603835, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.6435983912603835, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.543819249852598, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.5422260296904087, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09977914140778554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10137236156997464, "price_path": [0.4412, 0.5061, 0.5112, 0.545, 0.5804, 0.5934, 0.5571, 0.583, 0.5017, 0.4334, 0.3971, 0.3953, 0.3884, 0.3901, 0.3971, 0.5035, 0.4611, 0.4637, 0.5164, 0.5277, 0.5458, 0.5337, 0.5519, 0.5865, 0.5216, 0.4178, 0.3382, 0.3625, 0.41, 0.4308, 0.4256, 0.4282, 0.3382, 0.404, 0.4022, 0.3581, 0.3607, 0.3478, 0.3711, 0.3711, 0.4109, 0.3408, 0.3123, 0.327, 0.3296, 0.3054, 0.282, 0.2941, 0.2881, 0.2301, 0.1912, 0.1946, 0.1393, 0.096, 0.0848, 0.0856, 0.0856, 0.0874, 0.0908, 0.0329, 0.0285, 0.0437, 0.0917, 0.0, -0.0242, 0.0087, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0173, 0.0346, 0.0458, 0.0623, 0.1349, 0.1912, 0.2292, 0.3651, 0.3279, 0.2396, 0.2284, 0.2292, 0.3365, 0.2915, 0.3054, 0.3149, 0.3036, 0.2699, 0.2656, 0.1799, 0.1047, 0.0804, 0.0337, -0.0147, 0.3841, 0.3875, 0.4057, 0.5787, 0.4862, 0.5285, 0.5856, 0.6358, 0.6185, 0.6479, 0.6548, 0.7457, 0.7716, 0.7561, 0.737, 0.7517, 0.699, 0.699, 0.5908, 0.6133, 0.6237, 0.5242, 0.545, 0.5147, 0.4983, 0.5355, 0.6272, 0.6003, 0.686, 0.6661, 0.6609, 0.6349, 0.6038, 0.6211, 0.583, 0.6012, 0.6254, 0.5891, 0.5164, 0.5242, 0.5147, 0.5043, 0.5026, 0.4931, 0.4853, 0.5061, 0.5536, 0.6272, 0.6618, 0.7993, 0.7621, 0.808, 0.8201, 0.7863, 0.7292, 0.686, 0.6782, 0.7275, 0.7699, 0.6964, 0.7024, 0.9446, 0.9083, 1.2353, 1.6488, 1.6471, 1.6462, 1.7837, 1.7111, 1.6773, 1.5597, 1.5164, 1.5701, 1.5779, 1.5649, 1.6877, 1.7163, 1.8296, 1.7042, 1.6817, 1.6817, 1.686, 1.7197, 1.7682, 1.7855, 1.7266, 1.7699, 1.8391, 1.846, 2.0078, 2.0061, 2.0069, 2.1773, 2.2197, 2.1851, 2.1661, 2.6047, 2.6436]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1835715927821684736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-16T16:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We also hold $NRP and believe its still undervalued, especially with potential upside from sequestration", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NRP; still undervalued with upside from carbon sequestration.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks for sharing, lots of great insights. We also hold $NRP and believe its still undervalued, especially with potential upside from sequestration. That said, solar and wind have gained market share much faster than previous energy sources, at roughly double the rate Vaclav Smil anticipated. (Natural gas is also taking share from met coal as a reducing agent)\n\n---\n\n@JohnHuber72 Some thoughts we wrote up about the coal industry\n\nhttps://t.co/ARQ0HXJWV4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02039668681522344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02039668681522344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01892207346110364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009076311584422903, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014746133541198025, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011320375230800539, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013856700389714982, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013856700389714982, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013448020566163787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00034172210973304473, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004086798235511946, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013514978279981937, "ret_p1w": 0.05742163028111458, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05742163028111458, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04218222428965346, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01946423374559947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015239405991461119, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03795739653551511, "ret_p1m": 0.09588743350683515, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09588743350683515, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06263035164243136, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0502431012390685, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03325708186440379, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04564433226776665, "ret_p3m": 0.19963780338245352, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19963780338245352, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12262894994471552, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1552746115365684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.077008853437738, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04436319184588511, "ret_p6m": 0.19488402907481328, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19488402907481328, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20081470298130966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16865420277251397, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005930673906496375, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02622982630229931, "price_path": [0.0221, 0.0163, 0.0119, 0.0155, -0.011, -0.0136, -0.0088, -0.0148, 0.0826, 0.0715, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0506, 0.0393, 0.0447, 0.0417, 0.072, 0.0753, 0.055, 0.0474, 0.025, 0.016, 0.0011, -0.0026, 0.0073, 0.0107, -0.0099, -0.0155, -0.0191, -0.0109, 0.0004, -0.016, -0.0195, -0.0109, -0.0166, 0.0203, 0.01, 0.0016, 0.0056, -0.004, -0.0214, -0.031, -0.0356, -0.0351, -0.0258, -0.0295, -0.0367, -0.0382, -0.0256, -0.038, -0.0287, -0.0317, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0194, -0.0328, -0.0488, -0.0466, -0.056, -0.0784, -0.0545, -0.0141, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.0139, 0.0232, 0.0402, 0.0712, 0.0574, 0.0615, 0.053, 0.1144, 0.108, 0.0841, 0.1074, 0.0994, 0.0956, 0.1137, 0.1109, 0.1019, 0.101, 0.1038, 0.1168, 0.1085, 0.0959, 0.0755, 0.0734, 0.0652, 0.0676, 0.0636, 0.0687, 0.0511, 0.0539, 0.0753, 0.0644, 0.0586, 0.0508, 0.042, 0.0406, 0.0974, 0.1396, 0.1513, 0.1971, 0.2305, 0.1859, 0.1633, 0.1914, 0.1713, 0.1695, 0.1699, 0.1613, 0.1918, 0.1832, 0.1991, 0.2169, 0.2225, 0.2225, 0.2224, 0.2279, 0.2305, 0.2168, 0.2182, 0.1946, 0.189, 0.2012, 0.2006, 0.1996, 0.203, 0.1623, 0.1611, 0.1416, 0.1527, 0.1648, 0.187, 0.1734, 0.1734, 0.1696, 0.1845, 0.2136, 0.2393, 0.2393, 0.1991, 0.2393, 0.231, 0.2383, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1659, 0.1946, 0.1983, 0.2169, 0.201, 0.1971, 0.1971, 0.1897, 0.1946, 0.2192, 0.204, 0.187, 0.1936, 0.2014, 0.1774, 0.1834, 0.1586, 0.1567, 0.1583, 0.1369, 0.1457, 0.1468, 0.1333, 0.1439, 0.1475, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1333, 0.1257, 0.1243, 0.1157, 0.1067, 0.1283, 0.1572, 0.1135, 0.1851, 0.1079, 0.0686, 0.1912, 0.1258, 0.1528, 0.1585, 0.1949]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1715777777688096819", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-21T17:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anyone that at least doesn't have some duration in their portfolio is probably making a mistake", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses adding Treasury duration; implied long on long-end rates/TLT.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@fkronawitter1 Anyone that at least doesn’t have some duration in their portfolio is probably making a mistake", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Some thoughts on Treasuries and TIPS:\n\nThe 30-Year Treasury ETF ($TLT) saw record trading volume yesterday, indicating forced liquidation which often occurs near a bottom (1/5)\n\nhttps://t.co/3JXOprUtKe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fkronawitter1", "ret_m1d": -0.011871135077867745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011871135077867745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013607405441528941, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013607405441528941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013176467358214206, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013176467358214206, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0056370538262680014, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0056370538262680014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "ret_p1w": -0.002967985645786153, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002967985645786153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008614488469468107, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008614488469468107, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "ret_p1m": 0.07859580081105833, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07859580081105833, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.000562178104323019, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.000562178104323019, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "ret_p3m": 0.12433764379650225, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12433764379650225, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01351587315252023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01351587315252023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "ret_p6m": 0.06879117267531343, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06879117267531343, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1373697229098183, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1373697229098183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "price_path": [0.1915, 0.1683, 0.1743, 0.1771, 0.1579, 0.1455, 0.119, 0.1389, 0.1277, 0.1407, 0.1466, 0.1278, 0.1252, 0.1227, 0.1159, 0.1071, 0.1024, 0.1063, 0.0915, 0.0999, 0.1272, 0.1197, 0.1234, 0.1246, 0.1363, 0.1351, 0.1402, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.1067, 0.1094, 0.1125, 0.1167, 0.1087, 0.1151, 0.1148, 0.1068, 0.1, 0.1063, 0.0981, 0.1016, 0.0733, 0.0819, 0.0553, 0.0516, 0.0462, 0.0494, 0.0495, 0.0319, 0.0097, 0.024, 0.0189, 0.0065, 0.0302, 0.0287, 0.0502, 0.0217, 0.04, 0.0233, 0.012, 0.0031, -0.0175, -0.0119, 0.0, 0.0132, -0.0094, 0.0058, 0.0015, -0.003, -0.0078, 0.0137, 0.0368, 0.0438, 0.0337, 0.0489, 0.0668, 0.0423, 0.0481, 0.0457, 0.0694, 0.0544, 0.0675, 0.0725, 0.0791, 0.0786, 0.0824, 0.0824, 0.0697, 0.0875, 0.0897, 0.1034, 0.0906, 0.1112, 0.1067, 0.1305, 0.1456, 0.139, 0.1297, 0.1273, 0.1306, 0.1572, 0.1873, 0.1886, 0.1791, 0.1855, 0.1935, 0.186, 0.1806, 0.1806, 0.1839, 0.2049, 0.1961, 0.1854, 0.1854, 0.1785, 0.1834, 0.1655, 0.1543, 0.1657, 0.1583, 0.1529, 0.1593, 0.1571, 0.1571, 0.1367, 0.1349, 0.1243, 0.1279, 0.1346, 0.1257, 0.1191, 0.1264, 0.1242, 0.1372, 0.1475, 0.1587, 0.1815, 0.1554, 0.132, 0.1431, 0.1376, 0.131, 0.1287, 0.13, 0.1106, 0.1163, 0.1221, 0.1156, 0.1156, 0.1165, 0.1086, 0.114, 0.1289, 0.1256, 0.1176, 0.1247, 0.1326, 0.1397, 0.1351, 0.1513, 0.158, 0.157, 0.1549, 0.1543, 0.1446, 0.1391, 0.1216, 0.1212, 0.1179, 0.121, 0.1206, 0.1231, 0.1338, 0.1281, 0.1313, 0.1425, 0.1415, 0.1415, 0.1202, 0.1141, 0.1138, 0.1218, 0.1062, 0.1061, 0.1164, 0.092, 0.0871, 0.0929, 0.0759, 0.0688]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1716566556732510534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-23T21:25:34+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Remitly $RELY. They are a digitally native X-border remittance provider that is eating Western Union $WU and Moneygram's lunch....Thesis: Growing market + taking share + good scale economics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RELY on 95%+ confidence in significantly higher earnings in 12-24 months; taking share from WU and MoneyGram on scale economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ClarkSquareCap Remitly $RELY. They are a digitally native X-border remittance provider that is eating Western Union $WU and Moneygram's lunch....Thesis: Growing market + taking share + good scale economics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What stocks (small, mid, large, international, anything goes) do you like where you have 95% plus confidence that earnings will be significantly higher in the next 12-24 months? And why?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ClarkSquareCap", "ret_m1d": -0.016485594801549652, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016485594801549652, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01822186516521085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01822186516521085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017984246258212933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017984246258212933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010444832726266728, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010444832726266728, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "ret_p1w": -0.02173098209443458, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02173098209443458, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010148507979180321, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010148507979180321, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "ret_p1m": -0.1918321744767315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1918321744767315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2698657971834668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2698657971834668, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "ret_p3m": -0.3945298042691593, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3945298042691593, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5323833212181818, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5323833212181818, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "ret_p6m": -0.31622331829060113, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31622331829060113, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5223842138757329, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5223842138757329, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "price_path": [-0.2701, -0.3121, -0.2971, -0.2776, -0.263, -0.3155, -0.1746, -0.1649, -0.1761, -0.1379, -0.1581, -0.1592, -0.1087, -0.1341, -0.1278, -0.1364, -0.1338, -0.1012, -0.0839, -0.0671, -0.0674, -0.0832, -0.0671, -0.0742, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0577, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0453, -0.0641, -0.0596, -0.0558, -0.0513, -0.0487, -0.0629, -0.054, -0.0259, -0.0262, -0.0161, -0.0528, -0.0686, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0963, -0.0734, -0.0491, -0.0551, -0.0573, -0.0809, -0.0686, -0.0307, -0.0019, -0.0094, -0.0315, -0.045, -0.0457, -0.0176, 0.0056, 0.0169, 0.0097, 0.0109, -0.0165, 0.0, 0.018, -0.0142, -0.0401, -0.0326, -0.0217, 0.009, 0.0337, -0.2956, -0.2881, -0.26, -0.2214, -0.2248, -0.2364, -0.2019, -0.2218, -0.1735, -0.1637, -0.184, -0.1727, -0.1858, -0.1918, -0.1885, -0.1885, -0.1641, -0.1813, -0.1911, -0.2031, -0.193, -0.2158, -0.2102, -0.2432, -0.2634, -0.2877, -0.278, -0.2683, -0.2701, -0.2589, -0.2829, -0.3305, -0.3181, -0.3031, -0.3241, -0.2975, -0.2907, -0.2907, -0.2881, -0.2761, -0.2709, -0.2724, -0.2724, -0.2881, -0.2979, -0.2982, -0.3031, -0.2941, -0.3106, -0.3151, -0.3192, -0.323, -0.323, -0.3305, -0.3855, -0.3945, -0.3938, -0.3818, -0.3945, -0.387, -0.3743, -0.3668, -0.3462, -0.3604, -0.3578, -0.3499, -0.3312, -0.3222, -0.3293, -0.3297, -0.3218, -0.3177, -0.3087, -0.338, -0.323, -0.3091, -0.3114, -0.3114, -0.3256, -0.3372, -0.2181, -0.2079, -0.2124, -0.2008, -0.2166, -0.2274, -0.2323, -0.2282, -0.2327, -0.2184, -0.2244, -0.2151, -0.2267, -0.23, -0.2259, -0.2432, -0.2458, -0.2454, -0.2458, -0.2136, -0.1975, -0.2218, -0.2241, -0.2199, -0.2162, -0.2229, -0.2229, -0.2319, -0.2252, -0.2271, -0.2349, -0.2263, -0.2143, -0.2072, -0.2413, -0.2686, -0.2848, -0.3061, -0.3162]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1716566556732510534", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-23T21:25:34+00:00", "symbol": "WU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "eating Western Union $WU and Moneygram's lunch", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RELY on 95%+ confidence in significantly higher earnings in 12-24 months; taking share from WU and MoneyGram on scale economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["WU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ClarkSquareCap Remitly $RELY. They are a digitally native X-border remittance provider that is eating Western Union $WU and Moneygram's lunch....Thesis: Growing market + taking share + good scale economics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What stocks (small, mid, large, international, anything goes) do you like where you have 95% plus confidence that earnings will be significantly higher in the next 12-24 months? And why?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ClarkSquareCap", "ret_m1d": -0.0022643868679462775, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0022643868679462775, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004000657231607474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008514378729855276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006249991861908999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0022640257936998864, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022640257936998864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005275387738246318, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0046109094503477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006874935244047586, "ret_p1w": -0.17207552878872046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17207552878872046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1604930546734662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17238796947753843, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00031244068881797205, "ret_p1m": -0.10113229272939095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10113229272939095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17916591543612626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19894470567119393, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09781241294180298, "ret_p3m": -0.079585818953401, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.079585818953401, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21743933590242348, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2519236757838884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1723378568304874, "ret_p6m": -0.005387227756788349, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005387227756788349, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21154812334192008, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2533807465501361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24799351879334774, "price_path": [-0.0785, -0.0859, -0.1111, -0.0978, -0.1008, -0.1119, -0.1193, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1319, -0.1252, -0.1089, -0.12, -0.1408, -0.1393, -0.1363, -0.1356, -0.1282, -0.1341, -0.1245, -0.1171, -0.1171, -0.1163, -0.0985, -0.0941, -0.0904, -0.0852, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0726, -0.063, -0.0622, -0.0533, -0.0467, -0.0333, -0.0608, -0.04, -0.0468, -0.0423, -0.0377, -0.0219, -0.0242, -0.0151, -0.0068, -0.0211, -0.0136, 0.0151, -0.0053, -0.0091, -0.0219, -0.0045, -0.0106, -0.0045, -0.0068, -0.0128, -0.0098, -0.0121, -0.0075, -0.003, 0.0091, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0023, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.0242, -0.1192, -0.1426, -0.1721, -0.1479, -0.1396, -0.1192, -0.114, -0.1185, -0.1155, -0.114, -0.1177, -0.1132, -0.1072, -0.0974, -0.0808, -0.0943, -0.0928, -0.0958, -0.1011, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0898, -0.0883, -0.0853, -0.1162, -0.1223, -0.12, -0.1215, -0.1283, -0.1087, -0.1072, -0.0989, -0.1049, -0.1034, -0.0921, -0.086, -0.0974, -0.0815, -0.0673, -0.0819, -0.0857, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.0811, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0665, -0.0896, -0.0957, -0.0796, -0.0527, -0.065, -0.068, -0.0727, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0588, -0.0727, -0.0796, -0.0711, -0.0627, -0.0465, -0.0496, -0.038, -0.0403, -0.0296, -0.0134, -0.0326, -0.0203, -0.0296, -0.0457, -0.035, -0.0888, -0.0704, -0.0403, -0.0311, -0.0296, -0.0149, 0.0066, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0057, -0.0065, -0.0034, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0057, 0.0112, 0.032, 0.0382, 0.0674, 0.0574, 0.0589, 0.0843, 0.0805, 0.082, 0.0628, 0.0428, 0.0432, 0.0557, 0.0612, 0.0549, 0.0745, 0.0831, 0.0745, 0.0714, 0.0706, 0.0737, 0.0949, 0.0949, 0.0761, 0.0768, 0.0729, 0.0526, 0.0573, 0.0557, 0.0659, 0.0471, 0.0416, 0.033, 0.0056, -0.0054]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1770876907464089687", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-21T18:15:30+00:00", "symbol": "RRGB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Speculative position initiated on overly indebted $RRGB Red Robin. Disclosure: long, as discussed in our Stock Sonar to subs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RRGB speculative position; company down ~45%, guiding $65M EBITDA, sale-leasebacks reducing debt despite challenging restaurant category.", "resolved_tickers": ["RRGB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Speculative position initiated on overly indebted $RRGB Red Robin.\n\n-We passed on this name towards the end of last year but since it’s down ~45%.\n\n-The company is guiding for 65mm EBITDA for FY 2024, with about ~30mm of that going to capital expenditure and ~22mm going towards interest payments.\n\n-Sale-leasebacks should continue to reduce debt this year and are in part responsible for lower EBITDA targets.\n\n-Restaurant category is challenged as consumers shift spend to grocery stores. Not to be attributed to RRGB mngmt – they are competent and taking the right steps.\n\nDisclosure: long, as discussed in our Stock Sonar to subs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009049764968910745, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009049764968910745, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012343648207861602, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01485461767459284, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032938832389508566, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005804852705682095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02564103670581619, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02564103670581619, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023745305853622667, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01690669510259568, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0018957308521935223, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008734341603220508, "ret_p1w": 0.15535440651467436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15535440651467436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15368848843062444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15774129770422096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0016659180840499221, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0023868911895466027, "ret_p1m": -0.03469080167472682, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03469080167472682, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01709004374532741, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044352283579949026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05178084542005423, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07904308525467585, "ret_p3m": 0.13876320669890752, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13876320669890752, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08841852645742398, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15764234091296747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05034468024148353, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018879134214059956, "ret_p6m": -0.5082956358684527, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5082956358684527, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5880028332104545, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5547561748903693, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07970719734200182, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0464605390219166, "price_path": [0.8356, 0.8914, 0.8627, 0.905, 0.8808, 0.8808, 0.7843, 0.6772, 0.6697, 0.7134, 0.7617, 0.6712, 0.6817, 0.6742, 0.6848, 0.6848, 0.6199, 0.635, 0.6109, 0.6275, 0.6531, 0.6244, 0.5249, 0.5686, 0.5701, 0.6003, 0.5535, 0.5354, 0.5928, 0.5852, 0.54, 0.5566, 0.5279, 0.5339, 0.5671, 0.6425, 0.5415, 0.54, 0.5913, 0.4842, 0.4842, 0.3846, 0.3047, 0.371, 0.3665, 0.3514, 0.3273, 0.2971, 0.1282, 0.1433, 0.1161, 0.1041, 0.1056, 0.0739, 0.083, 0.0694, 0.0166, 0.0241, -0.0347, -0.0287, -0.0603, -0.0468, 0.009, 0.0, -0.0256, -0.003, 0.0649, 0.1388, 0.1554, 0.1554, 0.1176, 0.0845, 0.0633, -0.0075, -0.0437, 0.0317, -0.0166, -0.0498, -0.0271, -0.095, -0.1297, -0.098, -0.1026, -0.095, -0.0347, 0.0015, -0.0045, -0.0196, 0.0407, 0.0573, 0.1463, 0.1388, 0.1373, 0.1342, 0.1041, 0.1584, 0.1554, 0.1735, 0.1795, 0.1463, 0.1735, 0.1584, 0.092, 0.0679, 0.0196, 0.0573, 0.0664, 0.0332, 0.0196, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0317, 0.0151, 0.1659, 0.2217, 0.2519, 0.2398, 0.3198, 0.3409, 0.273, 0.2368, 0.2142, 0.2338, 0.2006, 0.1704, 0.1719, 0.1388, 0.1388, 0.1463, 0.1297, 0.1554, 0.19, 0.1735, 0.175, 0.1418, 0.0377, -0.0015, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0045, -0.0136, -0.0799, -0.1086, -0.0875, -0.0694, -0.1071, -0.0407, -0.0694, -0.1071, -0.095, -0.0935, -0.083, -0.1463, -0.1327, -0.1297, -0.1252, -0.1207, -0.1538, -0.1554, -0.1433, -0.181, -0.1207, -0.1599, -0.181, -0.2534, -0.2881, -0.2851, -0.2911, -0.2564, -0.27, -0.2459, -0.267, -0.2383, -0.2866, -0.3454, -0.3952, -0.4163, -0.4887, -0.457, -0.4721, -0.4721, -0.4962, -0.4962, -0.5068, -0.5264, -0.5415, -0.5249, -0.5339, -0.5354, -0.5083]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1716585700089626887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-23T22:41:38+00:00", "symbol": "Remitly", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Remitly is cheaper and easier to use with less friction…It's a market ripe for switching", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Remitly over WU/MoneyGram: cheaper, less friction, sender controls pickup, and incumbents face switching as negative goodwill from high fees builds.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Remitly Global Inc, Nasdaq-listed RELY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes this is more accurate to say and a fair point (and one we thought of before investing)…. They do have a slightly more convenient network  (I wouldn’t say much more) but Remitly is cheaper and easier to use with less friction (agent networks like WU increase fraud and frictions when using the app)…Also, and more importantly the sender has more power than the receiver (“hey I don’t care walk an extra 10 minutes to pick up the cash”)…..also with branding, you are correct that WU and MG are better known but there is also a lot of negative goodwill that has built up from migrants getting scalped by them over the years. It’s a market ripe for switching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch @SleepwellCap @ClarkSquareCap I am a little dated on this name but when I looked at the actual pickup locations ~1 year ago, there was a huge difference in quality. for example, WU pick-ups were branded retail locations near places where people lived and Remitly was often claiming local bank branches in city", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LuisVSanchez777", "ret_m1d": -0.016485594801549652, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016485594801549652, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01822186516521085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01822186516521085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017984246258212933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017984246258212933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010444832726266728, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010444832726266728, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "ret_p1w": -0.02173098209443458, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02173098209443458, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010148507979180321, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010148507979180321, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "ret_p1m": -0.1918321744767315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1918321744767315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2698657971834668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2698657971834668, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "ret_p3m": -0.3945298042691593, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3945298042691593, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5323833212181818, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5323833212181818, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "ret_p6m": -0.31622331829060113, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31622331829060113, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5223842138757329, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5223842138757329, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "price_path": [-0.2701, -0.3121, -0.2971, -0.2776, -0.263, -0.3155, -0.1746, -0.1649, -0.1761, -0.1379, -0.1581, -0.1592, -0.1087, -0.1341, -0.1278, -0.1364, -0.1338, -0.1012, -0.0839, -0.0671, -0.0674, -0.0832, -0.0671, -0.0742, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0577, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0453, -0.0641, -0.0596, -0.0558, -0.0513, -0.0487, -0.0629, -0.054, -0.0259, -0.0262, -0.0161, -0.0528, -0.0686, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0963, -0.0734, -0.0491, -0.0551, -0.0573, -0.0809, -0.0686, -0.0307, -0.0019, -0.0094, -0.0315, -0.045, -0.0457, -0.0176, 0.0056, 0.0169, 0.0097, 0.0109, -0.0165, 0.0, 0.018, -0.0142, -0.0401, -0.0326, -0.0217, 0.009, 0.0337, -0.2956, -0.2881, -0.26, -0.2214, -0.2248, -0.2364, -0.2019, -0.2218, -0.1735, -0.1637, -0.184, -0.1727, -0.1858, -0.1918, -0.1885, -0.1885, -0.1641, -0.1813, -0.1911, -0.2031, -0.193, -0.2158, -0.2102, -0.2432, -0.2634, -0.2877, -0.278, -0.2683, -0.2701, -0.2589, -0.2829, -0.3305, -0.3181, -0.3031, -0.3241, -0.2975, -0.2907, -0.2907, -0.2881, -0.2761, -0.2709, -0.2724, -0.2724, -0.2881, -0.2979, -0.2982, -0.3031, -0.2941, -0.3106, -0.3151, -0.3192, -0.323, -0.323, -0.3305, -0.3855, -0.3945, -0.3938, -0.3818, -0.3945, -0.387, -0.3743, -0.3668, -0.3462, -0.3604, -0.3578, -0.3499, -0.3312, -0.3222, -0.3293, -0.3297, -0.3218, -0.3177, -0.3087, -0.338, -0.323, -0.3091, -0.3114, -0.3114, -0.3256, -0.3372, -0.2181, -0.2079, -0.2124, -0.2008, -0.2166, -0.2274, -0.2323, -0.2282, -0.2327, -0.2184, -0.2244, -0.2151, -0.2267, -0.23, -0.2259, -0.2432, -0.2458, -0.2454, -0.2458, -0.2136, -0.1975, -0.2218, -0.2241, -0.2199, -0.2162, -0.2229, -0.2229, -0.2319, -0.2252, -0.2271, -0.2349, -0.2263, -0.2143, -0.2072, -0.2413, -0.2686, -0.2848, -0.3061, -0.3162]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1716585700089626887", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-23T22:41:38+00:00", "symbol": "WU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a lot of negative goodwill that has built up from migrants getting scalped by them over the years. It's a market ripe for switching", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Remitly over WU/MoneyGram: cheaper, less friction, sender controls pickup, and incumbents face switching as negative goodwill from high fees builds.", "resolved_tickers": ["WU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes this is more accurate to say and a fair point (and one we thought of before investing)…. They do have a slightly more convenient network  (I wouldn’t say much more) but Remitly is cheaper and easier to use with less friction (agent networks like WU increase fraud and frictions when using the app)…Also, and more importantly the sender has more power than the receiver (“hey I don’t care walk an extra 10 minutes to pick up the cash”)…..also with branding, you are correct that WU and MG are better known but there is also a lot of negative goodwill that has built up from migrants getting scalped by them over the years. It’s a market ripe for switching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch @SleepwellCap @ClarkSquareCap I am a little dated on this name but when I looked at the actual pickup locations ~1 year ago, there was a huge difference in quality. for example, WU pick-ups were branded retail locations near places where people lived and Remitly was often claiming local bank branches in city", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LuisVSanchez777", "ret_m1d": -0.0022643868679462775, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0022643868679462775, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004000657231607474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008514378729855276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017362703636611965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006249991861908999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0022640257936998864, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022640257936998864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005275387738246318, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0046109094503477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007539413531946204, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006874935244047586, "ret_p1w": -0.17207552878872046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17207552878872046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1604930546734662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17238796947753843, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158247411525426, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00031244068881797205, "ret_p1m": -0.10113229272939095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10113229272939095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17916591543612626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19894470567119393, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0780336227067353, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09781241294180298, "ret_p3m": -0.079585818953401, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.079585818953401, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21743933590242348, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2519236757838884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785351694902248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1723378568304874, "ret_p6m": -0.005387227756788349, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.005387227756788349, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21154812334192008, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2533807465501361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616089558513173, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24799351879334774, "price_path": [-0.0785, -0.0859, -0.1111, -0.0978, -0.1008, -0.1119, -0.1193, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1319, -0.1252, -0.1089, -0.12, -0.1408, -0.1393, -0.1363, -0.1356, -0.1282, -0.1341, -0.1245, -0.1171, -0.1171, -0.1163, -0.0985, -0.0941, -0.0904, -0.0852, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0726, -0.063, -0.0622, -0.0533, -0.0467, -0.0333, -0.0608, -0.04, -0.0468, -0.0423, -0.0377, -0.0219, -0.0242, -0.0151, -0.0068, -0.0211, -0.0136, 0.0151, -0.0053, -0.0091, -0.0219, -0.0045, -0.0106, -0.0045, -0.0068, -0.0128, -0.0098, -0.0121, -0.0075, -0.003, 0.0091, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0023, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.0242, -0.1192, -0.1426, -0.1721, -0.1479, -0.1396, -0.1192, -0.114, -0.1185, -0.1155, -0.114, -0.1177, -0.1132, -0.1072, -0.0974, -0.0808, -0.0943, -0.0928, -0.0958, -0.1011, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0898, -0.0883, -0.0853, -0.1162, -0.1223, -0.12, -0.1215, -0.1283, -0.1087, -0.1072, -0.0989, -0.1049, -0.1034, -0.0921, -0.086, -0.0974, -0.0815, -0.0673, -0.0819, -0.0857, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.0811, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.0665, -0.0896, -0.0957, -0.0796, -0.0527, -0.065, -0.068, -0.0727, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0588, -0.0727, -0.0796, -0.0711, -0.0627, -0.0465, -0.0496, -0.038, -0.0403, -0.0296, -0.0134, -0.0326, -0.0203, -0.0296, -0.0457, -0.035, -0.0888, -0.0704, -0.0403, -0.0311, -0.0296, -0.0149, 0.0066, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0057, -0.0065, -0.0034, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0057, 0.0112, 0.032, 0.0382, 0.0674, 0.0574, 0.0589, 0.0843, 0.0805, 0.082, 0.0628, 0.0428, 0.0432, 0.0557, 0.0612, 0.0549, 0.0745, 0.0831, 0.0745, 0.0714, 0.0706, 0.0737, 0.0949, 0.0949, 0.0761, 0.0768, 0.0729, 0.0526, 0.0573, 0.0557, 0.0659, 0.0471, 0.0416, 0.033, 0.0056, -0.0054]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1873443567995392485", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-29T18:58:48+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great thread from Mario on Remitly's competitive advantage. Thesis: long runway to keep growing share + growing market + attractive unit economics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish RELY thesis: long runway for share + market growth + attractive unit economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY Great thread from Mario on Remitly's competitive advantage. Thesis: long runway to keep growing share + growing market + attractive unit economics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If Remitly becomes the Booking/Netflix/Uber of digital remittances it will have a lot to do with its proprietary global network. It's a not so obvious competitive advantage that runs quietly under the hood maximizing the # of fast & low friction transactions. $RELY (1/x)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004405218976219372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004405218976219372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007138117669887478, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007138117669887478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01154333664610685, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01154333664610685, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005726919107750694, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005726919107750694, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002088868509161901, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002088868509161901, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036380505985887934, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036380505985887934, "ret_p1w": 0.020704814870395216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020704814870395216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008566505365977584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008566505365977584, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012138309504417633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012138309504417633, "ret_p1m": 0.03524225595475072, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03524225595475072, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007531384552154741, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007531384552154741, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027710871402595982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027710871402595982, "ret_p3m": -0.06651983163573705, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06651983163573705, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033481047763628036, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033481047763628036, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03303878387210901, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03303878387210901, "ret_p6m": -0.10308370369785314, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10308370369785314, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14079837210522594, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14079837210522594, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03771466840737281, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03771466840737281, "price_path": [-0.4273, -0.4322, -0.4159, -0.4278, -0.433, -0.4348, -0.441, -0.4181, -0.4026, -0.3868, -0.3824, -0.3648, -0.3396, -0.3511, -0.3608, -0.3652, -0.3621, -0.3493, -0.3326, -0.3432, -0.3278, -0.2079, -0.2093, -0.1661, -0.1471, -0.1308, -0.1423, -0.141, -0.1308, -0.137, -0.1079, -0.1264, -0.1348, -0.1295, -0.1203, -0.0987, -0.089, -0.0731, -0.096, -0.0833, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0943, -0.0859, -0.0916, -0.0758, -0.0837, -0.0705, -0.074, -0.0775, -0.0432, -0.059, -0.0863, -0.0432, -0.0432, -0.0581, -0.048, -0.004, -0.0119, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0163, 0.0044, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0132, 0.0128, 0.0207, 0.0225, 0.0189, 0.0189, -0.0093, -0.0053, -0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0185, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0194, 0.0185, 0.0374, 0.0141, 0.0203, 0.0352, 0.048, 0.0454, 0.0352, 0.0502, 0.0665, 0.1194, 0.1242, 0.1189, 0.1322, 0.111, 0.1035, 0.1537, 0.1956, 0.1956, 0.1661, 0.1414, 0.1361, 0.0511, 0.089, 0.0586, 0.0502, 0.0423, 0.0573, 0.0273, 0.0132, -0.0211, -0.0485, -0.0709, -0.1154, -0.0978, -0.13, -0.1291, -0.1233, -0.1401, -0.1414, -0.107, -0.0934, -0.1044, -0.0767, -0.074, -0.0608, -0.0665, -0.078, -0.0837, -0.0775, -0.0581, -0.1132, -0.178, -0.1714, -0.1784, -0.1031, -0.1185, -0.1009, -0.1018, -0.1106, -0.126, -0.122, -0.122, -0.1586, -0.1476, -0.1352, -0.1198, -0.1167, -0.1185, -0.1009, -0.1093, -0.107, -0.0775, -0.0753, -0.0661, -0.0709, 0.0643, 0.0507, 0.0789, 0.067, 0.0189, 0.0048, 0.004, -0.007, 0.0044, -0.0159, -0.0018, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0225, -0.052, -0.0736, -0.059, -0.0507, -0.0767, -0.0841, -0.0802, -0.0511, -0.1053, -0.1251, -0.1163, -0.1225, -0.1476, -0.1396, -0.0907, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.1132, -0.1242, -0.1031]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1759406544372773138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-19T02:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long $DOCS Doc Martens. Australia represents a conversion market opportunity.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Doc Martens; Australia DTC conversion seen as a growth opportunity when distributor contract matures.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@guastywinds We are long $DOCS Doc Martens. Australia represents a conversion market opportunity. Will be DTC when distributor contract matures I am assuming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03066272032690942, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03066272032690942, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025157235526912625, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025157235526912625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005505484799996796, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005505484799996796, "ret_p1w": -0.0771513405365668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0771513405365668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0901239451312047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0901239451312047, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012972604594637893, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012972604594637893, "ret_p1m": -0.060995726545444495, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.060995726545444495, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09663523443169042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09663523443169042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035639507886245925, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035639507886245925, "ret_p3m": -0.21727662938228753, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21727662938228753, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2789823164601991, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2789823164601991, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061705687077911575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061705687077911575, "ret_p6m": 0.17309600793125002, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17309600793125002, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08106934983397185, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08106934983397185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09202665809727817, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09202665809727817, "price_path": [-0.1916, -0.1916, -0.1902, -0.2186, -0.2028, -0.2113, -0.2334, -0.1972, -0.1909, -0.2156, -0.2018, -0.2044, -0.1919, -0.2077, -0.2051, -0.1869, -0.1263, -0.124, -0.1131, -0.0996, -0.1032, -0.0752, -0.0795, -0.0795, -0.0689, -0.0676, -0.063, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0584, -0.0992, -0.0768, -0.0735, -0.0676, -0.0597, -0.0607, -0.0333, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0336, -0.0287, -0.0092, 0.0063, 0.0406, 0.0366, -0.0201, -0.0188, -0.0425, -0.0382, -0.1009, -0.1114, -0.0933, -0.0936, -0.1015, -0.095, -0.0966, -0.0689, -0.0574, 0.0043, -0.0432, -0.0307, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0307, -0.0432, -0.0435, -0.0673, -0.0772, -0.0551, -0.0788, -0.0692, -0.0752, -0.0561, -0.0854, -0.0732, -0.0541, -0.0798, -0.0867, -0.088, -0.0801, -0.0818, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.061, -0.0607, -0.0762, -0.0887, -0.1128, -0.1101, -0.1101, -0.1128, -0.1128, -0.1292, -0.1494, -0.1527, -0.156, -0.149, -0.15, -0.1289, -0.1477, -0.1289, -0.147, -0.1619, -0.1738, -0.1695, -0.1817, -0.1879, -0.1827, -0.1896, -0.2117, -0.2222, -0.2146, -0.1998, -0.1991, -0.2084, -0.1982, -0.2057, -0.1889, -0.1965, -0.2127, -0.2166, -0.2295, -0.242, -0.2249, -0.2136, -0.2173, -0.0758, -0.0452, -0.0715, -0.0758, -0.0963, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0537, -0.0597, -0.0851, -0.0857, -0.0887, -0.0864, -0.0607, -0.0373, -0.0284, -0.0254, -0.0152, -0.0224, -0.0241, -0.0155, -0.0742, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1048, -0.0926, -0.092, -0.0861, -0.0877, -0.0824, -0.0778, -0.0943, -0.1111, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.0933, -0.1039, -0.0976, -0.122, -0.1068, -0.0933, -0.0617, -0.0323, -0.0442, -0.0903, -0.0696, -0.0511, -0.0692, -0.0808, -0.0762, -0.0715, -0.0689, -0.0551, -0.0768, -0.0969, -0.1101, -0.1431, -0.1345, -0.1592, -0.154, 0.1738, 0.1523, 0.1731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1425171315770773506", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-08-10T19:04:54+00:00", "symbol": "PRG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we think $PRG is best poised to dominate this space", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "PRG best positioned to dominate virtual LTO space post-KPLT collapse; RCII also a consolidation beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["PRG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Rental & Leasing Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$KPLT got annihilated. Looks like the virtual LTO space will consolidate to $RCII and $PRG. ioo we think $PRG is best poised to dominate this space. will be interesting to see the next quarters play out. \n\nLTO industry recap: https://t.co/mPLu5m5cvy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013608573352628772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013608573352628772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01236604405177355, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01236604405177355, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0012425293008552218, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012425293008552218, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03696981665610277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03696981665610277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034484905195051985, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034484905195051985, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002484911461050787, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002484911461050787, "ret_p1w": 0.01020638502983151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01020638502983151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007134308766238995, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007134308766238995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003072076263592516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003072076263592516, "ret_p1m": 0.043547200808284, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.043547200808284, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024955978454910488, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024955978454910488, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018591222353373515, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018591222353373515, "ret_p3m": 0.05942389970944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05942389970944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0023612725731398942, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0023612725731398942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06178517228258418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06178517228258418, "ret_p6m": -0.11363120062654608, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11363120062654608, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1537214390503283, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1537214390503283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04009023842378223, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04009023842378223, "price_path": [0.222, 0.2518, 0.2461, 0.2302, 0.2057, 0.2146, 0.2003, 0.2003, 0.1753, 0.2021, 0.2207, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1853, 0.1835, 0.1794, 0.1826, 0.2089, 0.2468, 0.2692, 0.2395, 0.2493, 0.2062, 0.1812, 0.156, 0.1318, 0.0735, 0.1052, 0.093, 0.0944, 0.1005, 0.1191, 0.1007, 0.0891, 0.0916, 0.0851, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.051, 0.0313, 0.0066, 0.0449, 0.0281, 0.0261, 0.0186, 0.0036, -0.0215, -0.0381, -0.0129, 0.0018, -0.0186, 0.0014, 0.012, 0.0342, 0.0304, 0.0066, -0.0073, -0.0127, -0.0313, -0.0259, 0.0104, 0.0057, -0.0136, 0.0, 0.037, 0.0379, 0.0345, 0.0152, 0.0102, -0.0091, -0.0059, 0.0179, 0.0188, 0.0442, 0.056, 0.0372, 0.083, 0.0887, 0.0733, 0.0792, 0.0796, 0.0701, 0.0701, 0.0374, 0.0435, 0.0499, 0.0367, 0.0671, 0.061, 0.0236, 0.0011, 0.0261, -0.0107, -0.0422, -0.0297, -0.0388, -0.0347, 0.0023, -0.0181, -0.0288, -0.0472, -0.0215, -0.0116, -0.0009, 0.0064, 0.0379, 0.002, -0.0066, -0.0104, -0.0122, 0.0118, 0.0077, 0.0048, 0.0061, 0.0249, 0.0388, 0.0649, 0.0533, -0.0367, -0.076, -0.0649, -0.0826, -0.0336, -0.0655, 0.0794, 0.0558, 0.0594, 0.0649, 0.0696, 0.0807, 0.0946, 0.0851, 0.0735, 0.0982, 0.0866, 0.0946, 0.0778, 0.0748, 0.0776, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0583, 0.0569, 0.0234, 0.0236, 0.0597, 0.0238, -0.0127, -0.0329, -0.0007, -0.0454, -0.0154, 0.0268, 0.0202, 0.0247, 0.0122, 0.0458, 0.0029, 0.0297, 0.0154, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0243, 0.0274, 0.0193, 0.017, 0.0231, 0.0395, 0.0497, 0.0098, 0.0163, -0.0177, -0.0045, 0.0041, -0.0007, -0.0014, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.0658, -0.0987, -0.1257, -0.1402, -0.1043, -0.0991, -0.1193, -0.1538, -0.1295, -0.0971, -0.0792, -0.1136]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1834652021720596966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-13T17:55:02+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long $UPWK ... 70%+ upside from current levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long UPWK: undervalued at <10x fwd EV/EBITDA, AI fears overblown, 70%+ upside from revenue growth and margin expansion over 12-24 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are long $UPWK\n\nThe largest online freelance marketplace that has been sold of ~85% from ATH due to misplaced AI fears. \n\nThesis = undervalued + latent earnings potential + secular growth market.\n\nBusiness background &amp; Thesis below\n\n---\n\nUpwork marketplace connects millions of freelancers with 870k active buyers needing support across various verticals.\n\n---\n\nmobile and web development dominate the platform (~40%) creative design, marketing and customer support are popular verticals.\n\n---\n\n~85% of Upwork’s revenue was derived from its self-serve marketplace. This segment allows small businesses to easily create and post job listings.\n\n---\n\nThe other 15% of Upwork’s revenue is derived from their Enterprise segment. This segment caters to larger companies (&gt;100 employees) with complex hiring needs.\n\n---\n\nUpwork’s 18% take rate (Revenue/GSV) is still significantly lower than competitors like Fiverr (~30%) and Toptal (well over 20%). https://t.co/VaTjCpoc19\n\n---\n\nUpwork's freelancer pool is highly skilled, adaptable, and resilient, with 85% of its over $4 billion GSV coming from longer, more complex engagements rather than small gigs.\n\n---\n\nFears of AI disrupting Upwork’s business are significantly overblown. This contrasts with a platform like Fiverr, which is more vulnerable due to its focus on simpler, low-cost “gig” work.\n\n---\n\nWe expect Upwork’s GSV volumes to consolidate in the next 12-24 months before resuming mid-single-digit growth.\n\n---\n\nUpwk is an incredible marketplace business trading at less than 10x fwd EV/EBITDA. Revenue growth and margin expansion opps give us confidence to estimate 70%+ upside from current levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09082025120005577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09082025120005577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08562453702110973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08126583574683044, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005195714178946043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009554415453225329, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011718739086063357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011718739086063357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01319553013598651, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022194266265809448, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001476791049923154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010475527179746091, "ret_p1w": 0.04589846460294278, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04589846460294278, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031694081068397884, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022530153357398053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014204383534544895, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023368311245544726, "ret_p1m": 0.017578155195224765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017578155195224765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0253077770560155, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031411697957809404, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.042885932251240266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04898985315303417, "ret_p3m": 0.6894530882564132, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6894530882564132, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6052673492365952, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5120672914028468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08418573901981796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17738579685356637, "ret_p6m": 0.3222656508296502, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3222656508296502, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31838305871206396, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1902085772368498, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0038825921175862366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1320570735928004, "price_path": [-0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0117, 0.0234, 0.0186, 0.0313, 0.041, 0.0342, 0.0498, 0.043, 0.0488, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.0654, 0.0928, 0.1113, 0.0527, 0.0918, 0.1123, 0.1221, 0.1689, 0.1445, 0.1094, 0.1172, 0.127, 0.1377, 0.1162, 0.1152, 0.1084, 0.123, 0.1279, 0.1836, 0.085, 0.0449, 0.0791, 0.0537, 0.0215, -0.085, -0.0889, -0.1201, -0.0869, -0.0771, -0.0244, -0.0449, -0.0547, -0.083, -0.0527, -0.0684, -0.0215, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0889, -0.0615, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0918, -0.0635, -0.041, -0.0713, -0.083, -0.1074, -0.1016, -0.0908, 0.0, -0.0117, 0.0205, 0.0195, 0.0518, 0.0459, 0.0313, 0.04, 0.0176, 0.0068, 0.0303, 0.0205, 0.0059, 0.0029, 0.0186, 0.0586, 0.0225, 0.0156, 0.0137, 0.0166, 0.0195, 0.0176, 0.0078, 0.0127, 0.002, 0.0049, -0.0186, -0.0186, 0.2432, 0.2354, 0.207, 0.2275, 0.3232, 0.333, 0.3242, 0.3652, 0.3281, 0.4053, 0.4238, 0.5869, 0.5557, 0.5518, 0.5361, 0.5352, 0.4746, 0.4561, 0.4756, 0.458, 0.4619, 0.502, 0.5645, 0.6309, 0.6436, 0.6514, 0.6514, 0.6572, 0.6914, 0.6982, 0.7041, 0.6152, 0.6562, 0.708, 0.6836, 0.6895, 0.6621, 0.6494, 0.6602, 0.6641, 0.6191, 0.5859, 0.6055, 0.6172, 0.6348, 0.6348, 0.6602, 0.6543, 0.6221, 0.5967, 0.5967, 0.6025, 0.5732, 0.582, 0.5605, 0.5674, 0.5674, 0.5273, 0.5439, 0.5596, 0.6631, 0.5986, 0.6494, 0.6494, 0.5645, 0.5654, 0.5332, 0.5889, 0.6426, 0.6787, 0.6553, 0.5654, 0.5391, 0.4873, 0.5195, 0.5381, 0.54, 0.54, 0.5381, 0.4873, 0.5166, 0.6172, 0.5762, 0.5762, 0.6475, 0.7031, 0.6367, 0.5264, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5215, 0.5244, 0.5557, 0.4375, 0.4287, 0.458, 0.3877, 0.3838, 0.3223]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1687516079176765447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-04T17:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long $NRP … we believe NRP is undervalued by at least 30%", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NRP; undervalued by 30%+ with royalty downside protection, soda ash stake, and carbon capture upside; distribution inflection ahead as preferreds pay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$nrp continuing to perform. common unit holders should see an inflection in distributions as preferreds get paid down. good example of the benefits of having a longer investing time horizon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are long $NRP, an MLP that owns mineral rights to ~13mm acres in US. The low-cost business of collecting royalties with a protected downside, a stake in a low-cost producer of soda ash, and potential upside in carbon capture, we believe NRP is undervalued by at least 30%.\n\n1/n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06617661130700991, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06617661130700991, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07071996854747731, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06479589936926244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004543357240467394, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013807119377474697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00102944359462942, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00102944359462942, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009757851598716671, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0021799089613239175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008728408004087251, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011504653666944975, "ret_p1w": -0.03647062970232162, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03647062970232162, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033874587196297656, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0707550156846033, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0025960425060239656, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03428438598228167, "ret_p1m": -0.015873767636615743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015873767636615743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025676670788857048, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059822273758488254, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009802903152241305, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04394850612187251, "ret_p3m": 0.008372283816361792, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008372283816361792, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05908541411878676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02336123965583692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05071313030242497, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014988955839475127, "ret_p6m": 0.455993316091313, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.455993316091313, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3481361366145592, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4715840789058777, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10785717947675377, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01559076281456473, "price_path": [-0.2824, -0.2614, -0.266, -0.255, -0.2496, -0.2706, -0.2722, -0.26, -0.2713, -0.2781, -0.2941, -0.2909, -0.2872, -0.2937, -0.2937, -0.3172, -0.3372, -0.3162, -0.3206, -0.3132, -0.301, -0.2862, -0.2947, -0.2897, -0.2759, -0.265, -0.2684, -0.266, -0.2943, -0.2943, -0.2844, -0.2707, -0.261, -0.2631, -0.2512, -0.2674, -0.2626, -0.229, -0.2244, -0.2246, -0.2246, -0.2172, -0.2176, -0.2022, -0.23, -0.2304, -0.2196, -0.195, -0.2122, -0.2146, -0.186, -0.1791, -0.1413, -0.1535, -0.1403, -0.1224, -0.0853, -0.0978, -0.085, -0.0676, -0.0662, -0.0593, -0.0662, 0.0, -0.001, 0.0031, -0.01, -0.0362, -0.0365, -0.0296, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.027, -0.0197, -0.0116, -0.0135, -0.0254, -0.0367, -0.0428, -0.0382, -0.0366, -0.0367, -0.0416, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0302, -0.0361, -0.0368, -0.0389, -0.0428, -0.031, 0.0366, 0.1332, 0.1104, 0.1702, 0.1598, 0.1305, 0.1412, 0.1561, 0.1488, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.1983, 0.1732, 0.1318, 0.1263, 0.1308, 0.139, 0.1251, 0.1473, 0.1604, 0.124, 0.1159, 0.1126, 0.1305, 0.0941, 0.1007, 0.1065, 0.0753, 0.024, 0.0228, -0.0019, -0.0145, -0.0065, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0084, 0.0636, 0.0304, 0.0338, 0.0206, 0.0279, 0.0624, 0.0682, 0.0763, 0.0912, 0.0551, 0.0635, 0.1086, 0.1723, 0.1451, 0.1561, 0.1561, 0.1725, 0.1499, 0.1333, 0.1567, 0.1463, 0.2122, 0.2251, 0.2137, 0.212, 0.1926, 0.1857, 0.2011, 0.165, 0.189, 0.231, 0.237, 0.2848, 0.3347, 0.3682, 0.3374, 0.35, 0.35, 0.3693, 0.3829, 0.404, 0.3914, 0.3914, 0.3684, 0.3905, 0.3896, 0.4743, 0.457, 0.4431, 0.4607, 0.4706, 0.5206, 0.5206, 0.482, 0.4695, 0.4637, 0.4537, 0.4794, 0.4704, 0.4776, 0.4742, 0.4616, 0.456]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1760690444088848754", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-22T15:38:08+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we expect a long runway of continued growth and attractive scale economics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RELY post-earnings; LTV/CAC bear case resolved, long runway of growth and scale economics ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY up 18% on earnings. \n\nManagement has added clarity to LTV/CAC economics that was the major argument for the bears. We sound like a broken record but will keep saying it -- we expect a long runway of continued growth and attractive scale economics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$RELY Remitly Q4 Earnings will report on 2/21 and will be a battleground earnings report. \n\nsentiment exceedingly negative - their increased marketing spend is viewed by the street as defensive. \n\nWe believe increased marketing spend is a positive given attractive LTV/CAC", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15237183408242694, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15237183408242694, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1320960408836419, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1320960408836419, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02027579319878503, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02027579319878503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012937160496298228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012937160496298228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012247482867143278, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012247482867143278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00068967762915495, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00068967762915495, "ret_p1w": -0.01197891662419226, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01197891662419226, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013121747427708663, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013121747427708663, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011428308035164036, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011428308035164036, "ret_p1m": -0.004791584928053094, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004791584928053094, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03499738900832239, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03499738900832239, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030205804080269294, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030205804080269294, "ret_p3m": -0.3287015014132384, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3287015014132384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37896931222061414, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37896931222061414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.050267810807375746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.050267810807375746, "ret_p6m": -0.306181171060834, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.306181171060834, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4053457787969508, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4053457787969508, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0991646077361168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0991646077361168, "price_path": [0.047, 0.0345, 0.0192, 0.0321, 0.0029, 0.0101, -0.0321, -0.058, -0.0891, -0.0767, -0.0642, -0.0666, -0.0522, -0.0829, -0.1437, -0.1279, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1016, -0.093, -0.093, -0.0896, -0.0743, -0.0676, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0896, -0.1021, -0.1025, -0.1088, -0.0973, -0.1184, -0.1241, -0.1294, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.1437, -0.2142, -0.2257, -0.2247, -0.2094, -0.2257, -0.2161, -0.1998, -0.1902, -0.1639, -0.1821, -0.1787, -0.1687, -0.1447, -0.1332, -0.1423, -0.1428, -0.1327, -0.1275, -0.116, -0.1533, -0.1342, -0.1164, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.1375, -0.1524, 0.0, 0.0129, 0.0072, 0.022, 0.0019, -0.012, -0.0182, -0.0129, -0.0187, -0.0005, -0.0081, 0.0038, -0.011, -0.0153, -0.0101, -0.0321, -0.0355, -0.035, -0.0355, 0.0057, 0.0264, -0.0048, -0.0077, -0.0024, 0.0024, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0177, -0.0091, -0.0115, -0.0216, -0.0105, 0.0048, 0.0139, -0.0297, -0.0647, -0.0853, -0.1126, -0.1255, -0.1092, -0.1088, -0.1131, -0.1184, -0.0973, -0.1169, -0.1485, -0.1346, -0.1423, -0.1457, -0.1596, -0.2621, -0.2856, -0.2616, -0.2707, -0.288, -0.2966, -0.3134, -0.3153, -0.3177, -0.3182, -0.3196, -0.3177, -0.3091, -0.3287, -0.3416, -0.3469, -0.3436, -0.3436, -0.3541, -0.3646, -0.3742, -0.3773, -0.3785, -0.3805, -0.3685, -0.3527, -0.3646, -0.3728, -0.3776, -0.3728, -0.3987, -0.4097, -0.4207, -0.436, -0.436, -0.4437, -0.4212, -0.4241, -0.4303, -0.4226, -0.4169, -0.4193, -0.4217, -0.4034, -0.4034, -0.4034, -0.3852, -0.3924, -0.3896, -0.4001, -0.3785, -0.3733, -0.3517, -0.3541, -0.3522, -0.3747, -0.367, -0.3541, -0.345, -0.3637, -0.3483, -0.333, -0.3488, -0.3512, -0.367, -0.3416, -0.357, -0.3694, -0.3824, -0.3646, -0.345, -0.3479, -0.3584, -0.3311, -0.3364, -0.3244, -0.3062]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1765085942052733207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-05T18:44:16+00:00", "symbol": "BAYN.DE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "at some point it will be attractive enough. Think at the current valuation, the market is ascribing little value to the 32 pharma drugs in the pipeline which cost BAYN roughly ten billion dollars", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bayer at current levels; pipeline of 32 drugs (~$10B cost) unrecognized by market, making it attractively valued.", "resolved_tickers": ["BAYN.DE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='DE')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ToffCap Likely it does go below that but at some point it will be attractive enough. Think at the current valuation, the market is ascribing little value to the 32 pharma drugs in the pipeline which cost BAYN roughly ten billion dollars.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We could easily see Bayer $BAYN below EUR 20 imo in the near-term.\n\n- no breakup in the next 2-3 years\n- even if break-up, markets are horrible\n- what is even a real number for the litigation?\n- not tangible catalysts for 2024. who's going to buy?\n- just a 💩show\n\nBut, doesn't https://t.co/x52BwfEfkD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ToffCap", "ret_m1d": 0.08187257028447181, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08187257028447181, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07177739814979556, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517038296421497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010095172134676256, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006702187320256847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026584555382922925, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026584555382922925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021517277420478154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014363022976844997, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005067277962444772, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012221532406077928, "ret_p1w": 0.020612679208887874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020612679208887874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001684347381968987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009152816471371228, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018928331826918887, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029765495680259102, "ret_p1m": 0.10826433580024553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10826433580024553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08096858696817266, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07120686797819986, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027295748832072864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037057467822045664, "ret_p3m": 0.09242270393996921, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09242270393996921, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04938351682139919, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.047070254628817754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04303918711857002, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045352449311151455, "ret_p6m": 0.0680520721490614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0680520721490614, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.039722937222363974, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013962043319925899, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10777500937142537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054090028829135495, "price_path": [0.2264, 0.2289, 0.2133, 0.2075, 0.1967, 0.2289, 0.2369, 0.2371, 0.2404, 0.2543, 0.2566, 0.2601, 0.2601, 0.2601, 0.2893, 0.2903, 0.2957, 0.2957, 0.3225, 0.3256, 0.3575, 0.357, 0.3577, 0.3714, 0.3392, 0.3019, 0.3196, 0.2926, 0.2919, 0.2793, 0.2529, 0.2479, 0.2658, 0.2529, 0.257, 0.257, 0.245, 0.1846, 0.1589, 0.1135, 0.0894, 0.1054, 0.1015, 0.1252, 0.1058, 0.069, 0.0705, 0.0913, 0.0753, 0.0815, 0.0809, 0.1023, 0.1135, 0.1083, 0.1146, 0.1139, 0.1102, 0.1013, 0.1225, 0.1004, 0.0823, 0.0915, 0.0819, 0.0, 0.0266, 0.0173, 0.0123, 0.0333, 0.0206, 0.0156, 0.0027, 0.0108, 0.01, -0.0033, 0.01, 0.0202, 0.0304, 0.0341, 0.0524, 0.095, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.0786, 0.1083, 0.1004, 0.057, 0.0528, 0.0555, 0.0624, 0.041, 0.0389, 0.0195, 0.0048, 0.0114, 0.011, 0.0143, 0.0524, 0.0536, 0.0391, 0.0362, 0.0557, 0.0673, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0882, 0.0839, 0.0855, 0.1019, 0.1015, 0.1098, 0.1201, 0.1365, 0.1303, 0.1344, 0.1083, 0.1056, 0.1089, 0.0953, 0.0984, 0.0671, 0.0688, 0.0936, 0.0754, 0.0416, 0.0853, 0.0924, 0.1073, 0.0961, 0.1062, 0.098, 0.0866, 0.0628, 0.0475, 0.0764, 0.0578, 0.047, 0.0108, 0.0112, -0.0089, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0311, 0.0116, 0.0052, 0.01, 0.0205, 0.0123, 0.0002, 0.0145, 0.0137, 0.0122, 0.0079, -0.0194, 0.0106, 0.0305, 0.0419, 0.0207, 0.0079, 0.0321, 0.0433, 0.0158, 0.0564, 0.0433, 0.0435, 0.065, 0.0624, 0.0613, 0.0677, 0.0636, 0.0549, 0.0582, 0.0423, -0.0207, 0.0102, 0.0193, 0.0044, 0.0042, 0.0052, -0.0006, 0.0164, 0.1218, 0.1251, 0.0936, 0.0874, 0.0719, 0.0779, 0.0659, 0.0653, 0.0681]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1438183177797898244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-15T16:49:24+00:00", "symbol": "PAYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We see about one hundred percent upside from today's levels.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long PAYS with ~100% upside on plasma-center payment processing share gains + inflationary tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["PAYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Newest position: Paysign\n\nWe see about one hundred percent upside from today's levels.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZxB3WfxqmG\n\n$PAYS\n\n---\n\nRapidly taking share from its competitor (formerly Wirecard), it's dominating the niche payment processing for plasma centers. Coupled with inflationary tailwinds and stimulus checks tapering off, PAYS has significant upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031914863936120086, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031914863936120086, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02363140358100202, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02363140358100202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008283460355118066, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008283460355118066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05673762043203312, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05673762043203312, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05832305067495669, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05832305067495669, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001585430242923569, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001585430242923569, "ret_p1w": -0.028368767943217854, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028368767943217854, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009128365220812396, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009128365220812396, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01924040272240546, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01924040272240546, "ret_p1m": -0.0780141963894464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0780141963894464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06916704043082689, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06916704043082689, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008847155958619513, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008847155958619513, "ret_p3m": -0.40425532364604244, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40425532364604244, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44932261262722584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.44932261262722584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.045067288981183395, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045067288981183395, "ret_p6m": -0.25177306913285047, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25177306913285047, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20815123180367978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20815123180367978, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04362183732917069, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04362183732917069, "price_path": [0.1277, 0.117, 0.1383, 0.1135, 0.1241, 0.1418, 0.1702, 0.1525, 0.1277, 0.1241, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0674, 0.0248, 0.0213, 0.0319, 0.0035, -0.0213, -0.0177, -0.0532, -0.0745, -0.1135, -0.0816, -0.0355, -0.0603, -0.0426, -0.0745, -0.1135, -0.0603, -0.0745, -0.0567, -0.0709, -0.1383, -0.1383, -0.1277, -0.1241, -0.1064, -0.1206, -0.1277, -0.0355, -0.0567, -0.0709, -0.1099, -0.1241, -0.0993, -0.0993, -0.0851, -0.0745, -0.1135, -0.0957, -0.1064, -0.1206, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1135, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.1241, -0.1631, 0.0426, 0.1773, 0.0496, -0.0319, 0.0, 0.0567, 0.0248, 0.0, -0.0106, -0.0284, 0.0071, 0.0213, 0.0248, -0.0532, -0.0319, -0.0426, -0.078, -0.0957, -0.0922, -0.0638, -0.0461, -0.0709, -0.1028, -0.1135, -0.0816, -0.078, -0.0638, -0.1099, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0887, -0.0851, -0.0887, -0.0993, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.1064, -0.0248, -0.0426, -0.0177, -0.0709, -0.0957, -0.0496, -0.0284, -0.1348, -0.2128, -0.1879, -0.2163, -0.2305, -0.2766, -0.2979, -0.305, -0.3156, -0.3475, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.305, -0.344, -0.3582, -0.3794, -0.3652, -0.3865, -0.3759, -0.3475, -0.3298, -0.3617, -0.3865, -0.4043, -0.4468, -0.4397, -0.4787, -0.4681, -0.4716, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4823, -0.4681, -0.4326, -0.4007, -0.4326, -0.3369, -0.3404, -0.3617, -0.344, -0.3582, -0.3475, -0.3156, -0.273, -0.3085, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3333, -0.3617, -0.3404, -0.3404, -0.2908, -0.2518, -0.2021, -0.2695, -0.2482, -0.2128, -0.1844, -0.1986, -0.2021, -0.1596, -0.1383, -0.1667, -0.156, -0.1738, -0.195, -0.1986, -0.1525, -0.1383, -0.1667, -0.2092, -0.2092, -0.227, -0.2553, -0.2092, -0.2163, -0.2305, -0.2553, -0.2376, -0.2624, -0.2801, -0.2908, -0.2411, -0.227, -0.2518]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1666910412980334593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-08T20:49:46+00:00", "symbol": "SNBR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fragile balance sheet + lack of sound capital allocation + deteriorating market is a bad combination. Lack of sound capital allocation plus a more fragile balance sheet leaves us unable to invest.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SNBR: excessive debt, poor capital allocation (buybacks at 5x current price), and deteriorating market make it uninvestable.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNBR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNBR is a vertically integrated mattress and has been aggressively pursuing growth with high advertising budgets, spending almost as much as TempurSealy, a company with 2.5x the revenues of SNBR. SNBR is a solid brand however its ~$470mm revolver debt level gives us pause. \n\n1/n\n\n---\n\nThe last three years, it repurchased $700mm of stock at avg share price of $100; the share price today is 1/5 of that. Repurchases have tapered off while share prices have plummeted. Lack of sound capital allocation plus a more fragile balance sheet leaves us unable to invest.\n\n---\n\n$SNBR  down 40% AH. Fragile balance sheet + lack of sound capital allocation + deteriorating market is a bad combination.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01933299218005513, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01933299218005513, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0253453232340477, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0253453232340477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00601233105399257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00601233105399257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014499813275275164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014499813275275164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016293972024108427, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016293972024108427, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017941587488332633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0017941587488332633, "ret_p1w": 0.020299664835802478, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020299664835802478, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011089319097468131, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011089319097468131, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03138898393327061, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03138898393327061, "ret_p1m": 0.37361040805736323, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.37361040805736323, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34786306977219716, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34786306977219716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025747338285166066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025747338285166066, "ret_p3m": 0.2324794268624928, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2324794268624928, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18172863372431114, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18172863372431114, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05075079313818165, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05075079313818165, "ret_p6m": -0.4494925060744305, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4494925060744305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5270931605381376, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5270931605381376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07760065446370712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07760065446370712, "price_path": [0.3828, 0.3712, 0.3731, 0.3847, 0.3407, 0.3398, 0.3818, 0.3731, 0.3552, 0.3929, 0.376, 0.3567, 0.3997, 0.4224, 0.4698, 0.4152, 0.3852, 0.3664, 0.3446, 0.3446, 0.3383, 0.3847, 0.3011, 0.2765, 0.275, 0.2885, 0.2687, 0.2687, 0.2151, 0.2025, 0.1861, 0.2136, 0.2388, 0.0913, 0.0899, 0.0817, 0.0928, 0.1054, 0.0986, 0.117, 0.1406, 0.0681, 0.0198, -0.0072, 0.0222, 0.0251, -0.0527, -0.0372, -0.0541, -0.0725, -0.0507, -0.0633, -0.0909, -0.1228, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.0797, -0.1232, -0.1252, -0.0411, -0.1073, -0.0672, 0.0193, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0193, 0.0203, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.044, 0.0561, 0.0986, 0.0831, 0.1663, 0.2798, 0.2678, 0.2963, 0.3185, 0.3659, 0.3659, 0.305, 0.3137, 0.3736, 0.4089, 0.465, 0.4944, 0.4949, 0.4717, 0.622, 0.7405, 0.8956, 0.8492, 0.8502, 0.8444, 0.8565, 0.8705, 0.8589, 0.3132, 0.3383, 0.3175, 0.3581, 0.3799, 0.3958, 0.4616, 0.4741, 0.4248, 0.3697, 0.3567, 0.3702, 0.3185, 0.2006, 0.2127, 0.2112, 0.1141, 0.0947, 0.1015, 0.0382, 0.0749, 0.1344, 0.2513, 0.2412, 0.2363, 0.2629, 0.2629, 0.2325, 0.2112, 0.1957, 0.2185, 0.2165, 0.2547, 0.2354, 0.3427, 0.3122, 0.2566, 0.2252, 0.2301, 0.2001, 0.1793, 0.1909, 0.1692, 0.1696, 0.175, 0.1885, 0.0947, 0.0382, 0.0063, 0.0198, -0.0778, -0.1416, -0.0957, -0.0841, -0.1358, -0.1242, -0.0619, 0.0256, 0.0232, 0.0048, 0.0493, 0.0295, 0.0068, -0.0836, -0.1701, -0.1996, -0.2209, -0.2136, -0.2518, -0.2513, -0.1914, -0.2141, -0.2252, -0.4505, -0.5162, -0.5239, -0.5143, -0.4524, -0.4369, -0.4843, -0.4529, -0.434, -0.4587, -0.508, -0.508, -0.4978, -0.5312, -0.5481, -0.5239, -0.5099, -0.4495]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1757061220446691823", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-12T15:16:54+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this coming earnings could mark a meaningful shift in sentiment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish RELY into Q4 earnings 2/21; author argues increased marketing spend is positive given LTV/CAC, expects sentiment reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY Remitly Q4 Earnings will report on 2/21 and will be a battleground earnings report. \n\nsentiment exceedingly negative - their increased marketing spend is viewed by the street as defensive. \n\nWe believe increased marketing spend is a positive given attractive LTV/CAC economics and this coming earnings could mark a meaningful shift in sentiment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013008220517198521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013008220517198521, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01344749217999508, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01344749217999508, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004392716627965587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004392716627965587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042276458232581526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042276458232581526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028503557801534463, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028503557801534463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013772900431047064, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013772900431047064, "ret_p1w": -0.0037941246221226965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0037941246221226965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008599927131862639, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008599927131862639, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0029341319089364326, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029341319089364326, "ret_p1m": 0.11382105080122074, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11382105080122074, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08228268488429524, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08228268488429524, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03153836591692549, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03153836591692549, "ret_p3m": -0.20433605972182278, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20433605972182278, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2458671987498645, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2458671987498645, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04153113902804173, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04153113902804173, "ret_p6m": -0.30135502383203594, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30135502383203594, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35022365206136796, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35022365206136796, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04886862822933202, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04886862822933202, "price_path": [0.2098, 0.1805, 0.1967, 0.1778, 0.1691, 0.174, 0.174, 0.2092, 0.1843, 0.1702, 0.1528, 0.1675, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.0949, 0.0656, 0.0304, 0.0444, 0.0585, 0.0558, 0.0721, 0.0374, -0.0314, -0.0136, 0.0081, -0.0222, 0.0163, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0298, 0.0472, 0.0547, 0.0526, 0.0526, 0.0298, 0.0157, 0.0152, 0.0081, 0.0211, -0.0027, -0.0092, -0.0152, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0314, -0.1111, -0.1241, -0.123, -0.1057, -0.1241, -0.1133, -0.0949, -0.084, -0.0542, -0.0748, -0.071, -0.0596, -0.0325, -0.0195, -0.0298, -0.0304, -0.019, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0423, -0.0206, -0.0005, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0244, -0.0412, 0.1312, 0.1458, 0.1393, 0.1561, 0.1333, 0.1176, 0.1106, 0.1165, 0.11, 0.1306, 0.122, 0.1355, 0.1187, 0.1138, 0.1198, 0.0949, 0.0911, 0.0916, 0.0911, 0.1377, 0.161, 0.1257, 0.1225, 0.1285, 0.1339, 0.1241, 0.1241, 0.1111, 0.1209, 0.1182, 0.1068, 0.1192, 0.1366, 0.1469, 0.0976, 0.058, 0.0347, 0.0038, -0.0108, 0.0076, 0.0081, 0.0033, -0.0027, 0.0211, -0.0011, -0.0369, -0.0211, -0.0298, -0.0336, -0.0493, -0.1653, -0.1919, -0.1648, -0.1751, -0.1946, -0.2043, -0.2233, -0.2255, -0.2282, -0.2287, -0.2304, -0.2282, -0.2184, -0.2407, -0.2553, -0.2612, -0.2575, -0.2575, -0.2694, -0.2813, -0.2921, -0.2957, -0.297, -0.2992, -0.2856, -0.2678, -0.2813, -0.2905, -0.2959, -0.2905, -0.3198, -0.3322, -0.3447, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3707, -0.3453, -0.3485, -0.3556, -0.3469, -0.3404, -0.3431, -0.3458, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3046, -0.3127, -0.3095, -0.3214, -0.297, -0.2911, -0.2667, -0.2694, -0.2672, -0.2927, -0.284, -0.2694, -0.2591, -0.2802, -0.2629, -0.2455, -0.2634, -0.2661, -0.284, -0.2553, -0.2726, -0.2867, -0.3014]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1712504569656197173", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-12T16:24:40+00:00", "symbol": "DG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are Passing on Dollar General … overweighting their amazing operating history and not looking forward … Both avenues are under pressure … Higher prices and higher for longer rates will put LT pressure on low income customer base", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish DG: store-count growth saturated, SSS under pressure, low-income customer squeeze from rates/prices, and grocer pivot hurts FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["DG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DG We are Passing on Dollar General\n\nWe believe most investors in $DG are overweighting their amazing operating history and not looking forward:\n\nTheir growth has come from added store count and SSS increases. Both avenues are under pressure\n\nHigher prices and higher for longer rates will put LT pressure on low income customer base\n\nStore growth in U.S. has saturated (~19,000 more than any other retailer)\n\nIncreased fixturization investments to become more of a grocer invites competition and decreases from fcff\n\nUpside risks:\nInternational expansion", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017971130610981545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017971130610981545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011837139407430364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006947349343161102, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006133991203551181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011023781267820443, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09162327802266401, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09162327802266401, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09660398769193324, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08286455848133567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004980709669269223, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008758719541328341, "ret_p1w": 0.1343416326487361, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1343416326487361, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15101364765700542, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1145590085407262, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016672015008269314, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019782624108009905, "ret_p1m": 0.1582048464855712, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1582048464855712, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14217833516765754, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11682759820790212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01602651131791366, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04137724827766909, "ret_p3m": 0.34819420420184377, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34819420420184377, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25101812856806527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24155918424284062, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0971760756337785, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10663501995900315, "ret_p6m": 0.5736660650958556, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5736660650958556, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3696139340116331, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.43435968283856163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2040521310842225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13930638225729397, "price_path": [0.5736, 0.6064, 0.6236, 0.6484, 0.6318, 0.6374, 0.6083, 0.6102, 0.6402, 0.666, 0.6491, 0.645, 0.6395, 0.6489, 0.6384, 0.6305, 0.614, 0.6314, 0.6316, 0.6099, 0.5975, 0.5874, 0.5985, 0.5674, 0.5917, 0.5848, 0.5609, 0.548, 0.494, 0.5135, 0.529, 0.5136, 0.5397, 0.3526, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.2424, 0.235, 0.2082, 0.2422, 0.2367, 0.2099, 0.1719, 0.1503, 0.1297, 0.11, 0.124, 0.1295, 0.0719, 0.0561, 0.0533, 0.0332, 0.019, 0.029, 0.0332, 0.0135, 0.0312, 0.0452, 0.0389, 0.0181, 0.0017, 0.0347, 0.018, 0.0, 0.0916, 0.1153, 0.1522, 0.1393, 0.1343, 0.1315, 0.1457, 0.1445, 0.1732, 0.1877, 0.1718, 0.1777, 0.169, 0.1427, 0.1532, 0.171, 0.1742, 0.188, 0.1731, 0.1588, 0.1582, 0.1528, 0.1915, 0.2078, 0.1569, 0.1893, 0.1959, 0.2107, 0.2272, 0.2272, 0.2322, 0.2342, 0.2521, 0.2656, 0.2876, 0.3227, 0.3241, 0.3099, 0.3151, 0.2992, 0.2493, 0.2355, 0.218, 0.28, 0.2867, 0.2764, 0.2381, 0.2768, 0.2659, 0.2775, 0.2983, 0.2983, 0.3067, 0.3202, 0.3311, 0.3351, 0.3351, 0.3791, 0.2892, 0.3234, 0.3332, 0.3238, 0.3482, 0.3223, 0.3203, 0.328, 0.328, 0.3593, 0.3528, 0.3413, 0.3041, 0.3298, 0.3219, 0.2888, 0.3106, 0.3162, 0.3186, 0.3011, 0.3026, 0.3416, 0.343, 0.3237, 0.3247, 0.3344, 0.3379, 0.3336, 0.3428, 0.2997, 0.3019, 0.3319, 0.3956, 0.3956, 0.4054, 0.3978, 0.3953, 0.3848, 0.3689, 0.4233, 0.4131, 0.4332, 0.4722, 0.4641, 0.5273, 0.5387, 0.5676, 0.5516, 0.5715, 0.5901, 0.5601, 0.4801, 0.4987, 0.5362, 0.5191, 0.5392, 0.5215, 0.4864, 0.4872, 0.486, 0.521, 0.5392, 0.5392, 0.552, 0.5277, 0.57, 0.5686, 0.5737]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1518040642554777600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-24T01:34:27+00:00", "symbol": "SES", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sesimagotag is crushing it with digitization of retailers. Just signed nationwide partnership with walmart. Growing about 40% yoy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SES Imagotag on Walmart nationwide partnership and ~40% YoY growth in retail digitization.", "resolved_tickers": ["SES"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MadThunderdome @sesimagotag is crushing it with digitization of retailers. Just signed nationwide partnership with walmart. Growing about 40% yoy\n\n---\n\n@MadThunderdome @sesimagotag Write up https://t.co/aCF8UzWJxX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02564100056083385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02564100056083385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03140504654224685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032812283458948044, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005764045981413002, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007171282898114195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06794874318566091, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06794874318566091, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038988000217015095, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01735289952003838, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.028960742968645814, "bench_c_p1d": -0.05059584366562253, "ret_p1w": -0.22435896887268236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22435896887268236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19161776977320022, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15755675553644932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03274119909948214, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06680221333623304, "ret_p1m": -0.16025640633763027, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16025640633763027, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07946493321509962, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0614951322104349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08079147312253065, "bench_c_p1m": -0.22175153854806517, "ret_p3m": -0.34358977431297855, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34358977431297855, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27825345852029637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22455377499555862, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06533631579268218, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11903599931741993, "ret_p6m": -0.2602564307908173, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2602564307908173, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1336649246887347, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06961589472464236, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.12659150610208258, "bench_c_p6m": -0.19064053606617493, "price_path": [0.2795, 0.05, 0.1128, 0.0487, 0.0423, 0.0064, -0.0154, -0.0923, -0.091, -0.2205, -0.2962, -0.2833, -0.3064, -0.359, -0.3551, -0.359, -0.3513, -0.3654, -0.3654, -0.3705, -0.3731, -0.4385, -0.3564, -0.3974, -0.3962, -0.4077, -0.4244, -0.4359, -0.2718, -0.2218, -0.1782, -0.1128, -0.1231, -0.2397, -0.1808, -0.1051, -0.1064, -0.0769, -0.0436, 0.0077, 0.0654, 0.2833, 0.2692, 0.2218, 0.1692, 0.1231, 0.1603, 0.1974, 0.1141, 0.1449, 0.109, 0.0615, 0.0526, 0.0679, 0.0885, 0.1551, 0.1474, 0.1474, 0.1667, 0.0526, 0.0359, 0.0667, 0.0256, 0.0, -0.0679, -0.0551, -0.1628, -0.1744, -0.2244, -0.1936, -0.1628, -0.2013, -0.2321, -0.3321, -0.391, -0.4051, -0.3244, -0.2359, -0.2231, -0.1077, -0.1231, -0.0859, -0.0397, -0.0705, -0.1603, -0.1333, -0.1282, -0.1026, -0.1026, -0.1308, -0.1692, -0.1513, -0.2205, -0.3641, -0.3179, -0.35, -0.3846, -0.4474, -0.5231, -0.5244, -0.4667, -0.4872, -0.4154, -0.4154, -0.3615, -0.3603, -0.3795, -0.4167, -0.3974, -0.4538, -0.441, -0.4962, -0.4859, -0.4859, -0.459, -0.4692, -0.4346, -0.3872, -0.4333, -0.4564, -0.4077, -0.4295, -0.3782, -0.3808, -0.3897, -0.3564, -0.3436, -0.4, -0.4026, -0.4577, -0.4551, -0.4167, -0.409, -0.4333, -0.4103, -0.3397, -0.359, -0.3731, -0.3564, -0.3462, -0.2821, -0.2679, -0.2846, -0.3423, -0.3615, -0.3833, -0.3692, -0.3936, -0.3833, -0.3974, -0.3769, -0.3577, -0.4192, -0.4154, -0.4103, -0.3923, -0.4103, -0.4, -0.4, -0.3372, -0.3615, -0.3346, -0.3333, -0.3423, -0.3231, -0.3128, -0.2923, -0.2641, -0.3051, -0.35, -0.4141, -0.3641, -0.4282, -0.3474, -0.3718, -0.3397, -0.3859, -0.3744, -0.3333, -0.2936, -0.2987, -0.3051, -0.3385, -0.3667, -0.3615, -0.3218, -0.2949, -0.2949, -0.2949, -0.2603]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1372295733395742720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-17T21:16:13+00:00", "symbol": "AOUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe there is at least a 60% upside from here.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "New long position in AOUT with at least 60% upside target after earnings beat.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AOUT crushes revenues and earnings estimates", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Our newest position: https://t.co/dtbFPLAlRD\n\nWe believe there is at least a 60% upside from here. \n\n#Americanoutdoorbands", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029285030918845156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029285030918845156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025886549573936435, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015429842209985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033984813449087214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013855188708860156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11972440865003176, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11972440865003176, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1342740743884645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14419190461719356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014549665738432749, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0244674959671618, "ret_p1w": 0.060723509436160006, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.060723509436160006, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08204645478005734, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09663291972349408, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.021322945343897337, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035909410287334076, "ret_p1m": 0.15848408329018793, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15848408329018793, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10820959881812175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10445658031453564, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05027448447206617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054027502975652286, "ret_p3m": 0.3346253526069194, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3346253526069194, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2606365089075193, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31148250637712227, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07398884369940006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02314284622979712, "ret_p6m": 0.12962964332004523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12962964332004523, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.007973367781957563, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04127498967958587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1376030111020028, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08835465364045936, "price_path": [-0.2313, -0.2433, -0.2179, -0.2188, -0.2472, -0.2472, -0.2485, -0.2761, -0.2627, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.2808, -0.2524, -0.2037, -0.1628, -0.1813, -0.1628, -0.1258, -0.1447, -0.14, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1417, -0.1611, -0.1761, -0.1456, -0.112, -0.1283, -0.1645, -0.1481, -0.1826, -0.1563, -0.1576, -0.1671, -0.1425, -0.1606, -0.1529, -0.1318, -0.0956, -0.031, 0.0039, 0.0039, 0.0013, -0.0168, -0.0422, 0.0047, -0.0323, -0.0633, -0.0693, -0.0999, -0.1382, -0.0896, -0.1055, -0.1301, -0.1068, -0.0814, -0.0676, -0.0306, -0.0301, -0.0125, -0.0224, -0.056, -0.0293, 0.0, 0.1197, 0.1258, 0.121, 0.0947, 0.0607, 0.0874, 0.124, 0.078, 0.0659, 0.0853, 0.1227, 0.1227, 0.1352, 0.112, 0.0952, 0.1473, 0.1443, 0.2429, 0.2283, 0.1761, 0.1585, 0.1339, 0.1146, 0.0913, 0.1214, 0.1158, 0.146, 0.1619, 0.1714, 0.1464, 0.1576, 0.1133, 0.1387, 0.1438, 0.1701, 0.1576, 0.186, 0.1727, 0.174, 0.1891, 0.2033, 0.2812, 0.3475, 0.3523, 0.3549, 0.3325, 0.3592, 0.3385, 0.3277, 0.3682, 0.4078, 0.3794, 0.3794, 0.3958, 0.3953, 0.3734, 0.3488, 0.373, 0.4014, 0.3997, 0.3635, 0.3829, 0.3346, 0.3217, 0.3497, 0.3118, 0.3932, 0.4737, 0.3794, 0.3747, 0.4208, 0.4009, 0.4298, 0.4668, 0.5134, 0.5517, 0.4643, 0.4643, 0.4729, 0.4419, 0.4057, 0.4552, 0.472, 0.4423, 0.4599, 0.5474, 0.2076, 0.239, 0.2489, 0.2842, 0.2244, 0.1787, 0.2291, 0.1688, 0.1886, 0.1925, 0.1619, 0.1998, 0.2205, 0.1813, 0.211, 0.2343, 0.2468, 0.2532, 0.2782, 0.2123, 0.1848, 0.1865, 0.1451, 0.1339, 0.1374, 0.1667, 0.1525, 0.1568, 0.1718, 0.1559, 0.1718, 0.1852, 0.1985, 0.18, 0.09, 0.1266, 0.1266, 0.1051, 0.0896, 0.1296]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1395140578178846721", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-19T22:13:28+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the stock has more room to run as a result", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "DFIN has more room to run after premature analyst downgrade to hold; pullback post-earnings was overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DFIN continues to grind higher this week after the stock was down following a spectacular earnings report. The lead analyst on the stock took it from a \"buy\" to a \"hold\" b/c the price had ran up a lot. Rank premature profit taking and the stock has more room to run as a result.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01635261635962737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01635261635962737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018981397822594448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018981397822594448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002628781462967078, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002628781462967078, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037682239776580584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037682239776580584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026924157416789773, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026924157416789773, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01075808235979081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01075808235979081, "ret_p1w": 0.065055100543991, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.065055100543991, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04507230552301689, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04507230552301689, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01998279502097411, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01998279502097411, "ret_p1m": 0.09491646484006444, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09491646484006444, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06787544527208489, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06787544527208489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027041019567979552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027041019567979552, "ret_p3m": 0.14077501279645865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14077501279645865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049326898962069654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049326898962069654, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.091448113834389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.091448113834389, "ret_p6m": 0.7906150172281796, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7906150172281796, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6545150759751428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6545150759751428, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13609994125303682, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13609994125303682, "price_path": [-0.2122, -0.209, -0.2357, -0.1927, -0.1486, -0.0761, -0.0064, 0.0036, 0.0171, -0.0412, -0.0025, 0.0235, 0.016, 0.032, 0.0348, 0.059, 0.0523, 0.0345, 0.026, -0.0011, 0.0224, -0.0149, -0.0601, -0.0814, -0.0515, -0.0242, -0.048, -0.0107, -0.0107, 0.032, 0.032, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0203, 0.0338, 0.0228, 0.0309, 0.0132, 0.0309, 0.032, 0.0416, 0.0295, -0.0142, 0.0032, 0.0277, 0.0668, 0.0882, 0.0771, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0864, 0.1102, 0.0896, 0.07, -0.0896, -0.0519, -0.0647, -0.0654, -0.1205, -0.0946, -0.0405, -0.0313, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0551, 0.0508, 0.0348, 0.0651, 0.0608, 0.0597, 0.0597, 0.1045, 0.101, 0.1106, 0.102, 0.1266, 0.1347, 0.1116, 0.1145, 0.1369, 0.129, 0.1312, 0.1351, 0.0949, 0.0423, 0.1127, 0.1237, 0.1351, 0.1731, 0.1777, 0.1418, 0.1447, 0.1731, 0.1692, 0.1689, 0.1689, 0.1472, 0.1557, 0.1301, 0.1664, 0.1777, 0.1504, 0.1305, 0.1365, 0.1017, 0.0857, 0.1379, 0.1657, 0.1234, 0.1166, 0.1561, 0.1013, 0.1177, 0.1518, 0.145, 0.1468, 0.1269, 0.123, 0.2446, 0.2222, 0.1991, 0.1934, 0.1792, 0.1678, 0.1486, 0.1408, 0.1504, 0.1482, 0.0999, 0.1102, 0.1681, 0.1603, 0.1639, 0.1376, 0.1905, 0.1838, 0.1856, 0.1831, 0.192, 0.1866, 0.1866, 0.198, 0.2001, 0.2325, 0.2304, 0.2304, 0.2179, 0.2108, 0.2357, 0.2325, 0.176, 0.1916, 0.23, 0.2368, 0.2325, 0.2616, 0.2289, 0.2478, 0.2307, 0.2584, 0.2375, 0.2513, 0.284, 0.3153, 0.3054, 0.3039, 0.305, 0.3143, 0.3313, 0.3423, 0.3502, 0.3455, 0.3455, 0.3335, 0.3107, 0.3214, 0.3167, 0.3267, 0.3498, 0.3622, 0.4216, 0.407, 0.5176, 0.6239, 0.7337, 0.7312, 0.7782, 0.7991, 0.7906]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1734226888371884410", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-11T15:01:25+00:00", "symbol": "GIL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think this could end up being good for the stock as the CEO has made a series of missteps and we view him as more a promoter than anything", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on GIL: CEO departure seen as a positive catalyst given his perceived missteps; author had a non-buy rating prior.", "resolved_tickers": ["GIL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Manufacturing'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Manufacturing", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CDInewsletter We wrote our research report on Gildan in April. We were one of the few non-buy ratings on the name. I think this could end up being good for the stock as the CEO has made a series of missteps and we view him as more a promoter than anything.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Gildan’s CEO leaves abruptly over the weekend, stock down 9% in early trading. \n\nThis probably isn’t good. \n\n$GIL\n\nhttps://t.co/60oE2CVbs3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CDInewsletter", "ret_m1d": 0.12093295354410794, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12093295354410794, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12480747659742808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12358211356096227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038745230533201447, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002649160016854335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04174315969299225, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04174315969299225, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037175893480349, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038633619424656596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004567266212643251, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031095402683356532, "ret_p1w": 0.036832286011942994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036832286011942994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01108800112596997, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0015898189861520695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025744284885973023, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038422104998095064, "ret_p1m": -0.03499083061556196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03499083061556196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06488612246999281, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04404853396938546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02989529185443085, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057703353823499, "ret_p3m": 0.055862532696070444, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.055862532696070444, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06298690985183963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0117869546214735, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11884944254791008, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044075578074596944, "ret_p6m": 0.15316618484056232, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15316618484056232, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0012351045047089837, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13520381958050454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15193108033585334, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01796236526005779, "price_path": [-0.1352, -0.1404, -0.1337, -0.1401, -0.1481, -0.1462, -0.1652, -0.1679, -0.1551, -0.171, -0.1554, -0.153, -0.1447, -0.153, -0.1527, -0.1423, -0.145, -0.1374, -0.1298, -0.1191, -0.0983, -0.1178, -0.1065, -0.105, -0.0873, -0.1004, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1258, -0.1246, -0.1346, -0.1438, -0.167, -0.1426, -0.1325, -0.1469, -0.0125, 0.015, 0.026, 0.0183, 0.0199, 0.0196, 0.0348, 0.0406, 0.0663, 0.0843, 0.0767, 0.091, 0.0986, 0.0942, 0.0918, 0.0918, 0.1019, 0.1022, 0.097, 0.0985, 0.1114, 0.14, 0.1443, 0.1363, 0.1357, 0.1421, 0.1209, 0.0, 0.0417, 0.0322, 0.015, 0.0583, 0.0368, 0.0589, 0.0175, 0.0187, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0123, 0.0101, 0.0178, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0052, -0.0052, -0.0135, -0.0236, -0.0331, -0.035, -0.0344, -0.0316, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0298, -0.0144, -0.0147, -0.0055, -0.0107, -0.0132, 0.0006, 0.0239, 0.0279, 0.0405, 0.0132, 0.0399, 0.0341, 0.019, 0.0316, 0.0393, 0.0414, 0.0506, 0.0632, 0.0322, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0396, 0.0792, 0.0902, 0.0884, 0.0718, 0.0657, 0.0715, 0.0691, 0.0623, 0.0592, 0.0482, 0.0537, 0.0559, 0.0457, 0.0399, 0.0468, 0.0845, 0.0641, 0.0552, 0.0438, 0.1494, 0.1688, 0.1599, 0.1559, 0.1546, 0.1321, 0.1305, 0.1466, 0.1466, 0.1457, 0.129, 0.1361, 0.1126, 0.1173, 0.1256, 0.1426, 0.133, 0.1185, 0.099, 0.091, 0.1108, 0.0873, 0.0845, 0.087, 0.0774, 0.1031, 0.1006, 0.083, 0.0901, 0.0941, 0.0703, 0.0682, 0.0354, 0.0221, 0.0215, 0.0079, 0.0259, 0.0079, 0.0373, 0.0499, 0.0672, 0.0848, 0.0984, 0.0926, 0.1055, 0.1108, 0.1069, 0.1041, 0.1684, 0.1684, 0.155, 0.1218, 0.1591, 0.1886, 0.1699, 0.1532]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821214362264084711", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-07T15:58:35+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With NRP an investor gets a well aligned management team whose primary objective is to maximize the royalties for common unit holder, ~20% yield, and a call option on mineral deposits/carbon sequestration across roughly 13mm acres", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NRP: aligned management, ~20% yield, and upside optionality on 13mm acres of mineral/carbon assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NRP earnings today. Even with significant pricing pressure on soda ash and metallurgical coal, it still threw off about $60mm in FCF.\n\nWith NRP an investor gets a well aligned management team whose primary objective is to maximize the royalties for common unit holder,  ~20% yield, and a call option on mineral deposits/carbon sequestration across roughly 13mm acres.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036087372858326194, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036087372858326194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04281646558219232, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032079592892551134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006729092723866126, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00400777996577506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010018330402458364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010018330402458364, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03313576507696436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03154581574064874, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023117434674506, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021527485338190377, "ret_p1w": -0.040827303100029355, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040827303100029355, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08920213051259174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06567555736580799, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837482741256238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024848254265778635, "ret_p1m": -0.06765703695162639, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06765703695162639, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12733002588668552, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06502318667235951, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059672988935059124, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026338502792668805, "ret_p3m": 0.019916588811161873, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.019916588811161873, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08207277916586153, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014203173214718756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1019893679770234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03411976202588063, "ret_p6m": 0.15404839501708278, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15404839501708278, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.020012381474090013, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10438403815864117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1740607764911728, "bench_c_p6m": 0.049664356858441616, "price_path": [-0.0406, -0.0357, -0.0448, -0.0384, -0.0368, -0.0358, -0.0309, -0.0296, -0.0313, -0.0359, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0291, -0.0308, -0.0335, -0.0267, -0.0197, -0.0309, -0.0336, -0.0364, -0.0402, -0.0373, -0.0332, -0.0305, -0.0331, -0.0359, -0.0229, 0.0018, 0.0018, -0.0039, -0.0082, -0.0046, -0.0306, -0.0332, -0.0284, -0.0344, 0.0611, 0.0502, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0297, 0.0186, 0.0239, 0.021, 0.0507, 0.054, 0.034, 0.0266, 0.0046, -0.0042, -0.0187, -0.0224, -0.0127, -0.0094, -0.0295, -0.035, -0.0386, -0.0305, -0.0195, -0.0355, -0.039, -0.0305, -0.0361, 0.0, -0.01, -0.0183, -0.0143, -0.0238, -0.0408, -0.0502, -0.0547, -0.0543, -0.0452, -0.0488, -0.0558, -0.0573, -0.0449, -0.0571, -0.048, -0.0509, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0389, -0.052, -0.0677, -0.0655, -0.0747, -0.0967, -0.0733, -0.0336, -0.0398, -0.0199, -0.0063, 0.0029, 0.0196, 0.0499, 0.0364, 0.0405, 0.0321, 0.0923, 0.086, 0.0626, 0.0854, 0.0776, 0.0738, 0.0916, 0.0888, 0.08, 0.0791, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0865, 0.0741, 0.0541, 0.0521, 0.044, 0.0464, 0.0425, 0.0475, 0.0302, 0.033, 0.0539, 0.0433, 0.0376, 0.0299, 0.0213, 0.0199, 0.0757, 0.1169, 0.1285, 0.1733, 0.206, 0.1624, 0.1402, 0.1678, 0.148, 0.1463, 0.1467, 0.1383, 0.1682, 0.1597, 0.1753, 0.1928, 0.1983, 0.1983, 0.1981, 0.2035, 0.206, 0.1927, 0.194, 0.1709, 0.1654, 0.1774, 0.1768, 0.1758, 0.1791, 0.1393, 0.1381, 0.1189, 0.1299, 0.1417, 0.1635, 0.1501, 0.1501, 0.1464, 0.1609, 0.1895, 0.2147, 0.2147, 0.1753, 0.2147, 0.2066, 0.2137, 0.1404, 0.1404, 0.1428, 0.1709, 0.1745, 0.1928, 0.1771, 0.1733, 0.1733, 0.1661, 0.1709, 0.195, 0.1801, 0.1635, 0.1699, 0.1776, 0.154]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821317544567030173", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-07T22:48:35+00:00", "symbol": "FOSL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very close to initiating a spec position but no cigar", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Near-miss on a FOSL spec long — bullish on cost cuts and proprietary brands, held back by licensed-brand revenue freefall and looming license expirations.", "resolved_tickers": ["FOSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fossil Group $FOSL $FOSLL, very close to initiating a spec position but no cigar. \n\nPros\n\nCurrent liquidity looks good ($100mm+) and debt of 200mm maturing ~’26\n\nDeep cost cutting showing signs of working. 300bps of GM improvement + 20% yoy opex reduction. EBIT loss improvement 19mm->6mm. \n\nMoney losing smart watch segment finally discontinued.\n\nAfter a 24 year reign, founder/CEO (“charismatic but distracted leader”) ousted. \n\n~50% of revenue—proprietary brands and jewelry—is showing signs of revenue stability. \n\nCons\n\nThe other half of the business—licensed fashion brands like Armani and Kors— appears to be in free fall. \n\nSignificant amount of licensed deals have came due or will come due in the next 12 months. No renewals announced. (In an alternate universe if these licenses all expired several years from now, we would have initiated a position)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045871514481795606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045871514481795606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03914242175792948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028112009976114072, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006729092723866126, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017759504505681534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045871514481795606, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045871514481795606, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022754079807289607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0240544245858616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023117434674506, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021817089895934005, "ret_p1w": -0.018348605792718242, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018348605792718242, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06672343320528062, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05951290745418403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837482741256238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041164301661465785, "ret_p1m": -0.06422022964083118, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06422022964083118, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12389321857589031, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16466124223714584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059672988935059124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10044101259631466, "ret_p3m": 0.21100918534889446, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21100918534889446, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10901981737187105, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03599345896189732, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1019893679770234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17501572638699714, "ret_p6m": 0.5412843083504573, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5412843083504573, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36722353185928447, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1644890897183966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1740607764911728, "bench_c_p6m": 0.37679521863206067, "price_path": [-0.1101, -0.055, 0.1193, 0.0367, 0.1468, 0.2018, 0.3303, 0.2936, 0.3119, 0.1651, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.2661, 0.156, 0.1193, 0.1009, 0.1376, 0.1009, 0.1101, 0.0917, 0.1193, 0.2844, 0.3119, 0.2477, 0.367, 0.3303, 0.3211, 0.4312, 0.4312, 0.3119, 0.3578, 0.4679, 0.4404, 0.3761, 0.3761, 0.3211, 0.3028, 0.2385, 0.2569, 0.2569, 0.2294, 0.2385, 0.211, 0.1376, 0.3028, 0.2661, 0.1927, 0.3119, 0.1927, 0.1284, 0.1468, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.1284, 0.0917, 0.1835, 0.1835, 0.1376, 0.1101, 0.1284, 0.0183, 0.0, 0.0459, 0.0, 0.0459, 0.0183, -0.0275, -0.0092, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0642, 0.1193, 0.1743, 0.1101, 0.1284, 0.0734, 0.0275, 0.0183, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0183, -0.0459, -0.0642, -0.0275, -0.0642, -0.0826, -0.0459, -0.0642, -0.0183, -0.055, -0.0459, -0.0275, -0.0092, -0.055, -0.0734, 0.0092, -0.0459, 0.0275, 0.1376, 0.0734, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.156, 0.1835, 0.1651, 0.0917, 0.0734, 0.0917, 0.0734, 0.1009, 0.1101, 0.1009, 0.055, 0.0642, 0.055, 0.0367, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0183, 0.0734, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1743, 0.211, 0.2752, 0.1927, 0.1651, 0.0642, 0.156, 0.1101, 0.1743, 0.2018, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.0917, 0.1009, 0.055, 0.0734, 0.1835, 0.3028, 0.367, 0.367, 0.3394, 1.156, 0.9358, 0.8165, 0.7798, 0.8073, 0.9358, 0.8624, 0.7706, 0.7248, 0.8257, 0.7156, 0.6972, 0.6697, 0.6239, 0.6972, 0.5688, 0.6606, 0.6606, 0.6789, 0.7339, 0.6239, 0.5321, 0.5321, 0.6147, 0.7248, 0.7248, 0.7339, 0.844, 0.844, 0.7339, 0.5321, 0.5138, 0.5505, 0.5963, 0.6239, 0.6239, 0.6147, 0.5688, 0.633, 0.5872, 0.5505, 0.5596, 0.5321, 0.5413]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1710302317419896969", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-06T14:33:43+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RELY has significant upside from these levels", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY with significant upside ahead; growing market, share gains, and scale economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY has significant upside from these levels\n\nThe position is up ~40% since we initiated our starter position on 7/26. \n\nThesis: Growing market + taking share + good scale economics \n\nOur long-form thoughts below:\n\nhttps://t.co/lS3IcCkLBc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028903850152272814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028903850152272814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017170334843743862, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017170334843743862, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011733515308528952, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011733515308528952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007507464721209223, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007507464721209223, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013909556360917286, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013909556360917286, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006402091639708063, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006402091639708063, "ret_p1w": -0.015765768990863682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015765768990863682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02032873349580533, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02032873349580533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004562964504941647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004562964504941647, "ret_p1m": -0.25863361664811824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25863361664811824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27295111620924484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27295111620924484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014317499561126601, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014317499561126601, "ret_p3m": -0.2965465390213182, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2965465390213182, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39234827010678885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.39234827010678885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09580173108547063, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09580173108547063, "ret_p6m": -0.2304804628499455, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2304804628499455, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4548272927176751, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4548272927176751, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22434682986772958, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22434682986772958, "price_path": [-0.289, -0.2827, -0.2511, -0.2699, -0.2628, -0.2635, -0.2894, -0.2992, -0.2827, -0.2436, -0.2654, -0.2688, -0.3108, -0.2958, -0.2763, -0.2616, -0.3142, -0.173, -0.1633, -0.1745, -0.1363, -0.1565, -0.1577, -0.107, -0.1325, -0.1261, -0.1348, -0.1321, -0.0995, -0.0822, -0.0653, -0.0657, -0.0815, -0.0653, -0.0724, -0.0679, -0.0679, -0.0559, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0435, -0.0623, -0.0578, -0.0541, -0.0495, -0.0469, -0.0612, -0.0522, -0.024, -0.0244, -0.0143, -0.0511, -0.0668, -0.0743, -0.0751, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0473, -0.0533, -0.0556, -0.0792, -0.0668, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0075, -0.0297, -0.0432, -0.0439, -0.0158, 0.0075, 0.0188, 0.0116, 0.0128, -0.0146, 0.0019, 0.0199, -0.0124, -0.0383, -0.0308, -0.0199, 0.0109, 0.0357, -0.2943, -0.2868, -0.2586, -0.22, -0.2233, -0.235, -0.2005, -0.2203, -0.1719, -0.1622, -0.1824, -0.1712, -0.1843, -0.1903, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1625, -0.1798, -0.1896, -0.2016, -0.1914, -0.2143, -0.2087, -0.2417, -0.262, -0.2864, -0.2767, -0.2669, -0.2688, -0.2575, -0.2815, -0.3292, -0.3168, -0.3018, -0.3228, -0.2962, -0.2894, -0.2894, -0.2868, -0.2748, -0.2695, -0.271, -0.271, -0.2868, -0.2965, -0.2969, -0.3018, -0.2928, -0.3093, -0.3138, -0.3179, -0.3217, -0.3217, -0.3292, -0.3844, -0.3934, -0.3926, -0.3806, -0.3934, -0.3859, -0.3731, -0.3656, -0.345, -0.3592, -0.3566, -0.3487, -0.33, -0.3209, -0.3281, -0.3285, -0.3206, -0.3164, -0.3074, -0.3367, -0.3217, -0.3078, -0.3101, -0.3101, -0.3243, -0.336, -0.2166, -0.2065, -0.211, -0.1993, -0.2151, -0.226, -0.2309, -0.2267, -0.2312, -0.217, -0.223, -0.2136, -0.2252, -0.2286, -0.2245, -0.2417, -0.2444, -0.244, -0.2444, -0.2121, -0.1959, -0.2203, -0.2226, -0.2185, -0.2147, -0.2215, -0.2215, -0.2305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1798780434043531279", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-06T18:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We wrote about $WULF to subscribers yesterday. There are likely some gold nuggets among the detritus of bitcoin miners due to long term access to low cost power.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WULF and APLD among bitcoin miners; APLD's 400MW hyperscaler LOI seen as a potential large windfall.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote about $WULF to subscribers yesterday. There are likely some gold nuggets among the detritus of bitcoin miners due to long term access to low cost power. However all data center locations are not equal. The type of power source and the proximity to data sources are important factors when assessing the viability.\n\n$CORZ demonstrated that Bitcoin miners possess assets of significant worth. Beyond $WULF, another compelling player to watch is $APLD. They've secured a Letter of Intent with a major hyperscaler for a massive 400MW capacity, which is approximately twice the size of the recent $CORZ deal with CoreWeave. Although $APLD does have some hair on it, this agreement could be a large windfall for them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13084114370802236, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13084114370802236, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13085997027499796, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1313257152123788, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.882656697560492e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004845715043564347, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03738321574816339, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03738321574816339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03616744048826026, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041984739528324266, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001215775259903129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004601523780160877, "ret_p1w": 0.2679128109951221, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2679128109951221, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2533426852488563, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28026443002702517, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014570125746265816, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012351619031903072, "ret_p1m": 0.7383177125839553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7383177125839553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.697601461105456, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.728279479453994, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04071625147849933, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010038233129961327, "ret_p3m": 0.1900311177092564, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1900311177092564, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1541183303190805, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08613750087650374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03591278739017589, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10389361683275267, "ret_p6m": 1.4579438544306789, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.4579438544306789, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.3238620968478698, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2050928047178917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13408175758280905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25285104971278716, "price_path": [-0.433, -0.4517, -0.4579, -0.4798, -0.4455, -0.4611, -0.4642, -0.2741, -0.2586, -0.2336, -0.1994, -0.2336, -0.1589, -0.1807, -0.1807, -0.243, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.2617, -0.2679, -0.3053, -0.3084, -0.3209, -0.3333, -0.3645, -0.3956, -0.4143, -0.3894, -0.3364, -0.2866, -0.1963, -0.1558, -0.215, -0.2243, -0.2305, -0.2741, -0.324, -0.3396, -0.324, -0.3178, -0.2461, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.2648, -0.3053, -0.3022, -0.3645, -0.3396, -0.3707, -0.3925, -0.3364, -0.3645, -0.3271, -0.3801, -0.3551, -0.3551, -0.3551, -0.3022, -0.2897, -0.3209, -0.3614, -0.2181, -0.1308, 0.0, -0.0374, -0.0374, 0.0841, 0.1963, 0.2679, 0.2212, 0.3676, 0.405, 0.405, 0.4424, 0.296, 0.3146, 0.4953, 0.4299, 0.3738, 0.3863, 0.6231, 0.5732, 0.6231, 0.6231, 0.7383, 0.704, 0.567, 0.5202, 0.4798, 0.6542, 0.8692, 0.9875, 0.838, 0.6667, 0.7414, 0.7819, 0.7196, 0.5857, 0.4112, 0.3769, 0.2897, 0.1994, 0.296, 0.2804, 0.1433, 0.1153, 0.1277, 0.0405, 0.2087, 0.1807, 0.1121, 0.0312, 0.0436, 0.1215, 0.2555, 0.3551, 0.4766, 0.4953, 0.4984, 0.5358, 0.4891, 0.405, 0.3022, 0.3084, 0.3583, 0.3583, 0.19, 0.2181, 0.3115, 0.162, 0.243, 0.3209, 0.3769, 0.3427, 0.3209, 0.2274, 0.2679, 0.2648, 0.3894, 0.4019, 0.5234, 0.6729, 0.6012, 0.5794, 0.5389, 0.4579, 0.3489, 0.3583, 0.4673, 0.3707, 0.2555, 0.2181, 0.19, 0.2243, 0.3115, 0.3988, 0.4361, 0.6199, 0.5794, 0.6324, 0.9346, 1.0343, 0.9938, 0.9346, 0.9875, 1.134, 1.0841, 1.1464, 1.0312, 0.9315, 0.8629, 0.9346, 1.3894, 1.5576, 1.5701, 1.7477, 1.6573, 1.2897, 1.1651, 1.2368, 1.1931, 1.2991, 1.243, 1.1776, 1.3209, 1.1776, 1.0467, 1.271, 1.271, 1.4579]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1798780434043531279", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-06-06T18:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "another compelling player to watch is $APLD. They've secured a Letter of Intent with a major hyperscaler for a massive 400MW capacity... this agreement could be a large windfall for them.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WULF and APLD among bitcoin miners; APLD's 400MW hyperscaler LOI seen as a potential large windfall.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We wrote about $WULF to subscribers yesterday. There are likely some gold nuggets among the detritus of bitcoin miners due to long term access to low cost power. However all data center locations are not equal. The type of power source and the proximity to data sources are important factors when assessing the viability.\n\n$CORZ demonstrated that Bitcoin miners possess assets of significant worth. Beyond $WULF, another compelling player to watch is $APLD. They've secured a Letter of Intent with a major hyperscaler for a massive 400MW capacity, which is approximately twice the size of the recent $CORZ deal with CoreWeave. Although $APLD does have some hair on it, this agreement could be a large windfall for them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050813007342129124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050813007342129124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05083183390910473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0541604053265925, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.882656697560492e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003347397984463374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0853658678416761, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0853658678416761, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08415009258177297, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08769061939822154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001215775259903129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023247515565454346, "ret_p1w": -0.11178865491993206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11178865491993206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12635878066619788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16627512728689053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014570125746265816, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05448647236695847, "ret_p1m": 0.4105690954476784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4105690954476784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36985284396917906, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3260104961550321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04071625147849933, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08455859929264631, "ret_p3m": -0.35975608810554927, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35975608810554927, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39566887549572516, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3387369862771925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03591278739017589, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021019101828356757, "ret_p6m": 1.0528455741565117, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0528455741565117, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9187638165737027, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9623730827707004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13408175758280905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09047249138581126, "price_path": [-0.1463, -0.126, -0.063, -0.1402, -0.0854, -0.1382, -0.1301, -0.0549, -0.0752, -0.1382, -0.1037, -0.1199, -0.1159, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1646, -0.2236, -0.3232, -0.3354, -0.3943, -0.3648, -0.4207, -0.3923, -0.376, -0.4492, -0.4888, -0.502, -0.5122, -0.5142, -0.498, -0.4492, -0.4045, -0.3943, -0.3902, -0.4024, -0.4492, -0.4502, -0.3902, -0.3984, -0.3841, -0.3333, -0.3699, -0.3293, -0.3211, -0.3272, -0.2927, -0.2724, -0.2276, -0.2561, -0.1585, -0.0691, -0.1016, -0.1382, -0.1362, -0.063, -0.063, -0.061, -0.1199, -0.1484, -0.1402, -0.1951, -0.1362, -0.0508, 0.0, -0.0854, -0.1606, -0.1585, -0.1606, -0.1118, -0.0549, 0.1098, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.2276, 0.122, 0.2358, 0.2866, 0.2256, 0.2683, 0.2093, 0.3211, 0.2886, 0.376, 0.376, 0.4106, 0.4512, 0.1118, 0.1911, 0.1951, 0.2602, 0.374, 0.3841, 0.2602, 0.1545, 0.1626, 0.0793, 0.0264, -0.0711, -0.0965, -0.0976, -0.1341, -0.1911, -0.0122, -0.0874, -0.1382, -0.1931, -0.1443, -0.2073, -0.1585, -0.2073, -0.1911, -0.1972, -0.2195, -0.187, -0.185, -0.1646, -0.1809, -0.1484, -0.1687, -0.0752, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.1037, -0.2236, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.3598, -0.3415, 0.0915, -0.0752, 0.3374, 0.3089, 0.1931, 0.2236, 0.2378, 0.1972, 0.1809, 0.2337, 0.1301, 0.2236, 0.3618, 0.439, 0.5589, 0.6768, 0.6646, 0.6768, 0.6423, 0.6646, 0.6341, 0.5142, 0.4431, 0.5955, 0.5041, 0.4004, 0.4797, 0.5346, 0.4837, 0.6362, 0.6159, 0.6626, 0.7703, 0.8557, 0.75, 0.6728, 0.6341, 0.6809, 0.5996, 0.4959, 0.374, 0.313, 0.2134, 0.2947, 0.437, 0.5833, 0.5366, 0.5407, 0.5427, 0.4573, 0.3943, 0.4695, 0.5752, 0.8618, 0.7805, 0.8598, 1.002, 1.1707, 0.9797, 0.9634, 0.9634, 1.0528]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1768028193015968074", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-13T21:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "ARQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If ARQ can lock in offtake agreements, showcasing commercial viability, we expect to see further rerating", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects further re-rating higher in ARQ if it locks in offtake agreements proving GAC commercial viability.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Pollution & Treatment Controls'", "bench_c_industry": "Pollution & Treatment Controls", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "ADES (now $ARQ) up almost 50% on earnings today as pruning of unprofitable contract continue(with more headway made this quarter) Although capex costs are running above initial estimates, GAC facility will be completed on time with about ~ 3yr payback period.  If ARQ can lock in offtake agreements, showcasing commercial viability,  we expect to see further rerating.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@ragnarisapirate @danban__ $ADES is turning the bend to profitability with legacy business while trying to capture long term agreements for GAC. There is  risk to the commercial viability of their technology that they obtained via ARQ acquisition.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3182711346588094, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3182711346588094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3198410409791834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3155781889842655, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001569906320374015, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002692945674543923, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029469472305223787, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029469472305223787, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03144650166834273, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0337129991795343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001977029363118943, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00424352687431051, "ret_p1w": 0.27701371417351095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27701371417351095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2651388970643762, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2586156979205114, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011874817109134739, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018398016252999527, "ret_p1m": 0.3555991922434991, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3555991922434991, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3485456138422305, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3386746103316176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007053578401268634, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01692458191188151, "ret_p3m": 0.2278978020899145, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2278978020899145, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1865112135701279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22341576873253777, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041386588519786605, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004482033357376736, "ret_p6m": 0.17878189000631783, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17878189000631783, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10682770851719803, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1341327440914175, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0719541814891198, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04464914591490032, "price_path": [-0.4892, -0.4971, -0.4853, -0.4951, -0.4912, -0.4892, -0.4892, -0.4853, -0.4813, -0.4499, -0.4145, -0.4145, -0.4401, -0.4558, -0.4912, -0.4479, -0.4499, -0.4676, -0.4735, -0.4794, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4813, -0.4813, -0.4637, -0.4283, -0.3969, -0.4126, -0.4067, -0.3694, -0.3772, -0.2927, -0.3595, -0.3399, -0.3497, -0.3811, -0.4165, -0.391, -0.3929, -0.3654, -0.3458, -0.3576, -0.387, -0.3595, -0.3418, -0.3045, -0.3045, -0.3222, -0.3418, -0.3576, -0.3458, -0.3301, -0.3026, -0.336, -0.3222, -0.332, -0.3045, -0.3045, -0.3261, -0.3536, -0.3379, -0.279, -0.3183, 0.0, 0.0295, 0.112, 0.1415, 0.2063, 0.277, 0.169, 0.2259, 0.2986, 0.2731, 0.2927, 0.2731, 0.2731, 0.2829, 0.3831, 0.4853, 0.3261, 0.2534, 0.2711, 0.3242, 0.3242, 0.3556, 0.4361, 0.4833, 0.4145, 0.4263, 0.4126, 0.3615, 0.2986, 0.3517, 0.446, 0.5403, 0.5462, 0.4833, 0.5246, 0.5383, 0.5442, 0.5658, 0.5658, 0.5462, 0.5756, 0.4931, 0.4656, 0.4833, 0.4224, 0.4244, 0.4794, 0.444, 0.3615, 0.4126, 0.3733, 0.3674, 0.4086, 0.4086, 0.3595, 0.3929, 0.3477, 0.3674, 0.3301, 0.279, 0.277, 0.2593, 0.224, 0.2279, 0.2495, 0.2475, 0.222, 0.1847, 0.1336, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.1277, 0.1159, 0.0864, 0.0491, 0.1532, 0.167, 0.1925, 0.112, 0.0727, 0.1257, 0.1257, 0.0884, 0.1316, 0.1591, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1768, 0.3281, 0.3281, 0.2692, 0.2515, 0.2397, 0.279, 0.2908, 0.2161, 0.2436, 0.2613, 0.2475, 0.2868, 0.2849, 0.2181, 0.1454, 0.0806, 0.1139, 0.0727, 0.1041, 0.0688, 0.1081, 0.1591, 0.1729, 0.2534, 0.2711, 0.3301, 0.277, 0.2967, 0.275, 0.3772, 0.3281, 0.3183, 0.2986, 0.3202, 0.3399, 0.3399, 0.2358, 0.2299, 0.1788]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1343392799346057217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-12-28T03:06:17+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expect prices to grind higher over the next few weeks. Cash is a dangerous asset right now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Prices expected to grind higher over coming weeks; cash is dangerous, implying broad market upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 index proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump signs bill. Expect prices to grind higher over the next few weeks. Cash is a dangerous asset right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008517759116412171, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008517759116412171, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008517759116412171, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008517759116412171, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0019076038673878637, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0019076038673878637, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019076038673878637, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019076038673878637, "ret_p1w": -0.009081663625763348, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009081663625763348, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009081663625763348, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009081663625763348, "ret_p1m": 0.031222446676143267, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031222446676143267, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031222446676143267, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031222446676143267, "ret_p3m": 0.05053190411755981, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05053190411755981, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05053190411755981, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05053190411755981, "ret_p6m": 0.1443280208396276, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1443280208396276, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1443280208396276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1443280208396276, "price_path": [-0.104, -0.0982, -0.1068, -0.091, -0.1039, -0.0883, -0.0802, -0.072, -0.0571, -0.0632, -0.0691, -0.0702, -0.0708, -0.0849, -0.0813, -0.083, -0.078, -0.0749, -0.0919, -0.0951, -0.126, -0.1171, -0.1263, -0.1165, -0.1009, -0.0808, -0.0629, -0.0631, -0.0514, -0.0528, -0.0457, -0.055, -0.0419, -0.0299, -0.0351, -0.0468, -0.0427, -0.0493, -0.0436, -0.0282, -0.0297, -0.0297, -0.027, -0.0313, -0.0207, -0.0186, -0.0189, -0.0105, -0.0125, -0.0096, -0.0185, -0.0188, -0.0199, -0.0243, -0.0111, -0.0096, -0.0041, -0.008, -0.0116, -0.0132, -0.0124, -0.0085, -0.0085, 0.0, -0.0019, -0.0005, 0.0046, 0.0046, -0.0091, -0.0023, 0.0037, 0.0186, 0.0244, 0.0175, 0.0177, 0.0205, 0.0169, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0174, 0.0315, 0.0324, 0.0288, 0.0328, 0.0312, 0.006, 0.0147, -0.0056, 0.0109, 0.0252, 0.026, 0.0377, 0.0418, 0.0493, 0.0486, 0.0481, 0.0498, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0541, 0.0543, 0.0498, 0.048, 0.0399, 0.0412, 0.0527, 0.0273, 0.022, 0.0468, 0.0386, 0.0249, 0.0122, 0.0308, 0.0257, 0.0403, 0.0468, 0.0574, 0.0588, 0.0651, 0.0638, 0.0674, 0.0519, 0.0499, 0.0583, 0.05, 0.0447, 0.0505, 0.0675, 0.0669, 0.0641, 0.0684, 0.0799, 0.0799, 0.0954, 0.0948, 0.0961, 0.1013, 0.1093, 0.1097, 0.113, 0.1092, 0.1211, 0.1248, 0.1193, 0.1111, 0.1216, 0.1114, 0.1234, 0.1258, 0.1255, 0.1252, 0.1324, 0.1249, 0.1274, 0.1204, 0.1208, 0.1297, 0.1379, 0.1267, 0.1166, 0.0929, 0.106, 0.123, 0.1201, 0.1105, 0.1076, 0.1195, 0.1186, 0.13, 0.1275, 0.1297, 0.1303, 0.1323, 0.1323, 0.1313, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1392, 0.1381, 0.1384, 0.1367, 0.1419, 0.1438, 0.1464, 0.1443, 0.1379, 0.1375, 0.1222, 0.1382, 0.1443]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1786410549464707230", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-03T15:00:39+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have added to our position. Currently, we don't find evidence that challenges our thesis.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to RELY position at 52-week lows after AH drop; thesis intact on strong customer/revenue growth and EBITDA ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Remitly $RELY was down as much as 23% AH following Q1 earnings. This marks 52-week lows. \n\nWe have added to our position. \n\nCritics highlight high SBC but this is typical for early-to-mid stage tech cos. \n\nQ1 2024 highlights (yoy): \nactive customers are up 36% to 6.2M, send volume rose 34% to $11.5B, and revenue up 32% to $269.1M. EBITDA grew to $19.3M from $5.4M last year...(capital light and low debt will see growing EBITDA convert nicely to cash flow). \n\nCEO remarks from the earnings call: \"From just over $5M in adjusted EBITDA a year ago to $19M this quarter, guiding to $85M to $95M for the year—this ramp shows how the business is gaining leverage.\"\n\nCurrently, we don't find evidence that challenges our thesis.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03286383475068999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03286383475068999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04510749069402886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04510749069402886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012243655943338871, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012243655943338871, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03353454091998431, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03353454091998431, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023207746899062576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023207746899062576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010326794020921737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010326794020921737, "ret_p1w": -0.03890006235021681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03890006235021681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05757839975007484, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05757839975007484, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018678337399858025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018678337399858025, "ret_p1m": -0.13011399062623208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13011399062623208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1624046644681285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1624046644681285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03229067384189643, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03229067384189643, "ret_p3m": -0.11401742633553424, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11401742633553424, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1947876120648544, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1947876120648544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08077018572932015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08077018572932015, "ret_p6m": 0.016096564290697835, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.016096564290697835, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12707288179111043, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12707288179111043, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14316944608180826, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14316944608180826, "price_path": [0.2005, 0.1999, 0.214, 0.2213, 0.2374, 0.1851, 0.2119, 0.2368, 0.2327, 0.2327, 0.2072, 0.1865, 0.3997, 0.4178, 0.4098, 0.4306, 0.4024, 0.383, 0.3742, 0.3816, 0.3736, 0.3991, 0.3883, 0.4051, 0.3843, 0.3783, 0.3856, 0.3548, 0.3501, 0.3508, 0.3501, 0.4078, 0.4366, 0.393, 0.389, 0.3964, 0.4031, 0.391, 0.391, 0.3749, 0.387, 0.3836, 0.3696, 0.385, 0.4064, 0.4192, 0.3581, 0.3092, 0.2803, 0.2421, 0.224, 0.2468, 0.2475, 0.2414, 0.2341, 0.2636, 0.2361, 0.1918, 0.2113, 0.2005, 0.1958, 0.1764, 0.0329, 0.0, 0.0335, 0.0208, -0.0034, -0.0154, -0.0389, -0.0416, -0.0449, -0.0456, -0.0476, -0.0449, -0.0329, -0.0604, -0.0785, -0.0858, -0.0812, -0.0812, -0.0959, -0.1107, -0.1241, -0.1284, -0.1301, -0.1328, -0.116, -0.0939, -0.1107, -0.1221, -0.1288, -0.1221, -0.1583, -0.1737, -0.1891, -0.2106, -0.2106, -0.2213, -0.1898, -0.1938, -0.2025, -0.1918, -0.1838, -0.1871, -0.1905, -0.165, -0.165, -0.165, -0.1395, -0.1496, -0.1455, -0.1603, -0.1301, -0.1227, -0.0926, -0.0959, -0.0932, -0.1247, -0.114, -0.0959, -0.0832, -0.1093, -0.0879, -0.0664, -0.0885, -0.0919, -0.114, -0.0785, -0.0999, -0.1174, -0.1355, -0.1107, -0.0832, -0.0872, -0.1019, -0.0637, -0.0711, -0.0543, -0.0288, -0.0221, -0.0443, -0.0456, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.0879, -0.0966, -0.1006, -0.0778, -0.0845, -0.0845, -0.0986, -0.0946, -0.0771, -0.0986, -0.0805, -0.0865, -0.0765, -0.0302, -0.0241, -0.0302, -0.0429, -0.0463, -0.0443, -0.0523, -0.061, -0.0758, -0.0785, -0.0744, -0.0845, -0.1019, -0.1019, -0.1281, -0.1355, -0.1107, -0.1288, -0.1368, -0.1395, -0.1489, -0.114, -0.0905, -0.0664, -0.0597, -0.0329, 0.0054, -0.0121, -0.0268, -0.0335, -0.0288, -0.0094, 0.0161]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1753444806078902606", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-02T15:46:33+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $meta", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long META on Reels engagement, ad impression growth, political ad tailwinds, and family-of-apps expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "thoughts on $meta earnings\n\nHeadcount will increase from base of 67k employees, up 2% from previous quarter.\n\nOnline commerce was largest revenue driver followed by gaming. The political ad market will be a tailwind in 2024. \n\nAd impressions up 21% yoy and ad prices up 2%- showcasing the increased engagement from Reels. \n\nReality labs crossed the 1B revenue mark for the first time although expenses increased in proportion. \n\nRevenue from China advertisers was 10% of revenues. \n\n$meta continues to drive engagement to their family of apps while serving better ads. Headwinds include regulation and Reality Labs (especially with aapl entering the ring). \n\nLong $meta", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "notes on $meta earnings\n\nmeta should see significant tailwinds from reels, click to messaging, and ai driven content increasing engagement. headwinds include choppy ad environment and reality lab expenses. \n\nq3 ad revenue growth driven by online commerce(chinese companies), CPG,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16886652317383355, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16886652317383355, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1584488977649614, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1302412618757678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010417625408872144, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03862526129806576, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03280054496195106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03280054496195106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029159380822092795, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018755031116517773, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003641164139858266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014045513845433288, "ret_p1w": -0.014484422998223168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014484422998223168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028341119469072917, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007336235146105596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01385669647084975, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007148187852117571, "ret_p1m": 0.04995609740935869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04995609740935869, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013645629412916138, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05961231451075111, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03631046799644255, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009656217101392417, "ret_p3m": -0.07438886039753212, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07438886039753212, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08967086492236198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06250847887534483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015282004524829862, "bench_c_p3m": -0.011880381522187289, "ret_p6m": -0.017522313912588516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.017522313912588516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12648467252275897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.082137413832026, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10896235861017045, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06461509991943748, "price_path": [-0.3288, -0.3268, -0.3251, -0.3078, -0.307, -0.292, -0.2995, -0.2964, -0.2946, -0.2843, -0.2906, -0.2811, -0.2811, -0.2879, -0.2954, -0.2863, -0.3006, -0.3112, -0.3162, -0.3263, -0.3299, -0.3317, -0.3124, -0.2995, -0.3152, -0.2964, -0.2953, -0.2986, -0.2949, -0.2745, -0.2624, -0.2647, -0.2545, -0.256, -0.256, -0.253, -0.2467, -0.2456, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.271, -0.2748, -0.2692, -0.259, -0.2449, -0.2475, -0.22, -0.2217, -0.2116, -0.2116, -0.2264, -0.2245, -0.2081, -0.1927, -0.1962, -0.189, -0.1775, -0.1722, -0.1702, -0.1557, -0.1578, -0.1786, -0.1689, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0427, -0.0114, -0.0105, -0.0145, -0.0128, -0.0313, -0.0036, 0.019, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0068, -0.0136, 0.0245, 0.0201, 0.0153, 0.0265, 0.0201, 0.033, 0.0586, 0.05, 0.0332, 0.0455, 0.0795, 0.0663, 0.0192, 0.0532, 0.0444, 0.0366, 0.0203, 0.0474, 0.0458, 0.0654, 0.0701, 0.074, 0.0601, 0.0451, 0.0408, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0355, 0.0482, 0.068, 0.0768, 0.1114, 0.0943, 0.0894, 0.0956, 0.1026, 0.0789, 0.0543, 0.0533, 0.0415, 0.0576, 0.0139, 0.0153, 0.0456, 0.0401, -0.0698, -0.0657, -0.0882, -0.0934, -0.0744, -0.0691, -0.0475, -0.0186, -0.0132, -0.004, 0.002, 0.0036, -0.0136, -0.0056, 0.0149, -0.0026, -0.0054, -0.0119, -0.0208, -0.0141, -0.0183, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0115, -0.0003, -0.0157, -0.0161, 0.0063, 0.0053, 0.0434, 0.0406, 0.0389, 0.0593, 0.0695, 0.0724, 0.0624, 0.0636, 0.0688, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.0584, 0.0438, 0.0525, 0.0772, 0.0825, 0.0961, 0.0637, 0.0647, 0.0749, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.139, 0.1167, 0.1181, 0.128, 0.0816, 0.0524, 0.0467, 0.0333, -0.0254, 0.0039, 0.0059, 0.0282, 0.031, -0.0269, -0.0435, -0.0175, -0.0175]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1851983997896630625", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-31T13:46:07+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Incredible stuff and it is only accelerating.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META on accelerating AI compute scale (Llama training GPUs 2K→100K) and AI-driven engagement/ad gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "# of gpus used to train $META Llama Models\n\nllama1: 2k gpus\nllama2: 4k gpus\nllama3: 16k gpus \nllama 4: 100k gpus (2025 release) \n\nAI driven feed has increased time spent on apps by more than 6% and more than 1mm advertisers are using Gen AI tools to create ads. \n\nIncredible stuff and it is only accelerating.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04267226964305881, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04267226964305881, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022677024588551697, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.033871865799660617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.019995245054507116, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008800403843398197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007401720548850799, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007401720548850799, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0049609509918749906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004651518910086305, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004220778936989911, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003911346855201225, "ret_p1w": 0.04249614111029043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04249614111029043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004932910557786441, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007590617373028463, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04742905166807687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.050086758483318894, "ret_p1m": 0.011874953063907068, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011874953063907068, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04775875005967256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057225339270241316, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05963370312357963, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06910029233414838, "ret_p3m": 0.18903756562273588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18903756562273588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12236136429974231, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0842609798985865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06667620132299357, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10477658572414938, "ret_p6m": -0.034147216439815664, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.034147216439815664, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.008674715583226189, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06506078048438624, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.025472500856589475, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030913564044570574, "price_path": [-0.1626, -0.1303, -0.1394, -0.103, -0.0886, -0.0918, -0.0697, -0.0728, -0.0542, -0.0716, -0.0684, -0.0729, -0.058, -0.0637, -0.0706, -0.0827, -0.0863, -0.0904, -0.0878, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0992, -0.0975, -0.0902, -0.1194, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.0991, -0.0748, -0.0766, -0.0604, -0.0551, -0.0522, -0.0149, -0.011, -0.0056, -0.0075, 0.0013, 0.0005, -0.0004, 0.0086, 0.0157, 0.0092, 0.0268, 0.05, 0.0303, 0.0446, 0.0404, 0.0286, 0.0394, 0.0402, 0.0329, 0.0162, 0.0165, 0.0157, 0.0134, 0.0254, -0.0069, 0.0004, 0.01, 0.0186, 0.0453, 0.0427, 0.0, -0.0007, -0.0122, 0.0085, 0.0079, 0.0425, 0.0383, 0.0275, 0.0304, 0.0219, 0.0169, -0.0238, -0.0232, -0.0114, -0.0036, -0.0079, -0.0149, -0.0044, 0.0105, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0119, 0.0445, 0.0812, 0.0814, 0.0729, 0.099, 0.081, 0.0912, 0.1147, 0.1114, 0.093, 0.1007, 0.0923, 0.053, 0.0502, 0.032, 0.0577, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0639, 0.0576, 0.0425, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0566, 0.0661, 0.1112, 0.0895, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0859, 0.0727, 0.0478, 0.0882, 0.0779, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.087, 0.0994, 0.1222, 0.1417, 0.1636, 0.189, 0.1928, 0.2114, 0.2152, 0.2298, 0.2417, 0.2429, 0.2554, 0.2599, 0.265, 0.2692, 0.2791, 0.2847, 0.299, 0.299, 0.2632, 0.2409, 0.2252, 0.2053, 0.1781, 0.1594, 0.1879, 0.1607, 0.1782, 0.155, 0.1285, 0.1575, 0.1072, 0.1032, 0.0544, 0.068, 0.0925, 0.0415, 0.0723, 0.0676, 0.0278, 0.0308, 0.0342, 0.0523, 0.0922, 0.1053, 0.0783, 0.0635, 0.0179, 0.0172, 0.0342, 0.0306, -0.0618, -0.1092, -0.0889, -0.0991, 0.0338, -0.0359, -0.0407, -0.062, -0.0796, -0.1135, -0.115, -0.115, -0.1446, -0.1171, -0.0818, -0.0591, -0.0341]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1422651800088457222", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-08-03T20:13:15+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rate pressure continues which only bode well for stocks in this environment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Falling rate pressure is bullish for equities broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 index proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rate pressure continues which only bode well for stocks in this environment https://t.co/NIZuGEHiAo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008069790483997696, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008069790483997696, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008069790483997696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008069790483997696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0049186970952697084, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0049186970952697084, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049186970952697084, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049186970952697084, "ret_p1w": 0.0034682476936731543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0034682476936731543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034682476936731543, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034682476936731543, "ret_p1m": 0.024141304350233428, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024141304350233428, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024141304350233428, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024141304350233428, "ret_p3m": 0.04436446847086817, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04436446847086817, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04436446847086817, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04436446847086817, "ret_p6m": -0.01100332015376082, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01100332015376082, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01100332015376082, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01100332015376082, "price_path": [-0.0531, -0.0463, -0.0557, -0.0641, -0.084, -0.073, -0.0588, -0.0612, -0.0693, -0.0717, -0.0617, -0.0625, -0.0529, -0.055, -0.0531, -0.0527, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0518, -0.0503, -0.0538, -0.0452, -0.0461, -0.0459, -0.0473, -0.0429, -0.0413, -0.0392, -0.0409, -0.0463, -0.0466, -0.0595, -0.046, -0.0409, -0.042, -0.0364, -0.033, -0.031, -0.0305, -0.0297, -0.0243, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0186, -0.0152, -0.0232, -0.0128, -0.0092, -0.0126, -0.0111, -0.0145, -0.0222, -0.0367, -0.0229, -0.015, -0.0129, -0.0027, -0.0003, -0.0049, -0.0053, -0.0011, -0.006, -0.0081, 0.0, -0.0049, 0.0014, 0.003, 0.0022, 0.0035, 0.006, 0.009, 0.0108, 0.0132, 0.0066, -0.0045, -0.0029, 0.005, 0.0139, 0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0116, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0236, 0.0241, 0.0273, 0.027, 0.027, 0.0234, 0.0221, 0.0177, 0.0097, 0.0123, 0.0068, 0.0153, 0.0136, 0.0038, -0.013, -0.0139, -0.0043, 0.0078, 0.0095, 0.0066, -0.0137, -0.012, -0.0241, -0.0125, -0.0252, -0.0151, -0.011, -0.0025, -0.0043, -0.0115, -0.0139, -0.0104, 0.0063, 0.0139, 0.0169, 0.0248, 0.0288, 0.0315, 0.0304, 0.036, 0.0369, 0.0323, 0.0422, 0.0444, 0.0462, 0.0504, 0.0568, 0.0618, 0.0655, 0.0664, 0.0629, 0.0543, 0.0546, 0.0626, 0.063, 0.0672, 0.0646, 0.0682, 0.0663, 0.0633, 0.0647, 0.0675, 0.0675, 0.0437, 0.0565, 0.036, 0.0245, 0.0402, 0.0311, 0.0433, 0.0649, 0.0677, 0.0605, 0.0705, 0.061, 0.0537, 0.0702, 0.0607, 0.0494, 0.0383, 0.0567, 0.0673, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.0891, 0.0882, 0.0896, 0.0866, 0.0839, 0.0902, 0.0898, 0.0689, 0.0679, 0.0636, 0.0623, 0.072, 0.0749, 0.0601, 0.0605, 0.0605, 0.0417, 0.0309, 0.0195, -0.0005, 0.0037, -0.0085, -0.011]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1683874008104685569", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-25T16:17:03+00:00", "symbol": "WOOF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WOOF could be a compounder", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "WOOF has durable competitive advantages and retail presence; potential compounder on bundled services and tiered memberships.", "resolved_tickers": ["WOOF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With durable competitive advantages and a substantial retail presence, $WOOF could be a compounder. Gone are the days of selling non differentiated durable items. More work needs to be done understanding the unit economics of their bundled add-on services and tiered memberships.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027500033378601074, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027500033378601074, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03022281604472621, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025170484407311733, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002722782666125134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0023295489712893414, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00625002384185791, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00625002384185791, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006096430261986363, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006483060538139185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001535935798715471, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00023303669628127466, "ret_p1w": -0.0012500286102294922, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0012500286102294922, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003533397665285598, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0016577519407747765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002283369055056106, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0004077233305452843, "ret_p1m": -0.18250000476837158, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18250000476837158, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15525143534272068, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1498266057890978, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027248569425650904, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03267339897927379, "ret_p3m": -0.5699999928474426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5699999928474426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.49805999285437996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4550309206525105, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07193999999306266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11496907219493213, "ret_p6m": -0.6699999868869781, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6699999868869781, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.714874286775321, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6767268765132914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.044874299888342906, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006726889626313293, "price_path": [0.2162, 0.245, 0.2337, 0.2375, 0.2725, 0.2675, 0.265, 0.275, 0.2437, 0.27, 0.3212, 0.3412, 0.3362, 0.2337, 0.2687, 0.2637, 0.2125, 0.245, 0.2725, 0.0412, 0.0075, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.015, -0.045, -0.0625, -0.0038, 0.0, 0.0213, 0.0688, 0.065, 0.0912, 0.0938, 0.11, 0.0712, 0.1087, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0987, 0.08, 0.085, 0.095, 0.0812, 0.1125, 0.095, 0.0987, 0.1125, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1325, 0.095, 0.1375, 0.1575, 0.1838, 0.1862, 0.1575, 0.0975, 0.0375, 0.0362, 0.0888, 0.0475, 0.04, 0.0275, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0087, 0.0362, 0.02, -0.0013, -0.0425, -0.045, -0.05, -0.0663, -0.0888, -0.0913, -0.1, -0.1037, -0.1075, -0.1212, -0.145, -0.1625, -0.1438, -0.1625, -0.1662, -0.1825, -0.3512, -0.3225, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3438, -0.3637, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3562, -0.3687, -0.3825, -0.385, -0.385, -0.4013, -0.405, -0.4212, -0.4625, -0.4925, -0.4837, -0.5012, -0.5263, -0.5112, -0.5238, -0.5325, -0.5225, -0.5112, -0.4887, -0.5025, -0.53, -0.5288, -0.5525, -0.5613, -0.5712, -0.5437, -0.5737, -0.5938, -0.605, -0.565, -0.5425, -0.555, -0.5675, -0.57, -0.5838, -0.5975, -0.595, -0.5725, -0.5888, -0.5687, -0.5675, -0.5838, -0.5437, -0.5238, -0.53, -0.54, -0.5513, -0.5675, -0.56, -0.5588, -0.5275, -0.5325, -0.5475, -0.5112, -0.5012, -0.5137, -0.5163, -0.5163, -0.5, -0.53, -0.52, -0.6587, -0.6225, -0.5675, -0.5475, -0.5788, -0.565, -0.57, -0.5838, -0.5875, -0.595, -0.565, -0.5938, -0.6163, -0.6387, -0.62, -0.6387, -0.6188, -0.625, -0.625, -0.615, -0.6012, -0.5913, -0.605, -0.605, -0.605, -0.635, -0.6387, -0.6287, -0.6362, -0.6325, -0.6312, -0.6337, -0.6425, -0.6425, -0.655, -0.67]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1751096155251851734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-27T04:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RELY digital remittance provider. growing market, growing share, attractive scale economics.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RELY is best idea: growing remittance market, gaining share, attractive scale economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jay_21_ @stockthoughts81 $RELY digital remittance provider. growing market, growing share, attractive scale economics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What is your current best idea (with a 1-2 sentence pitch)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jay_21_", "ret_m1d": -0.03151868884597875, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03151868884597875, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023661623039901047, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023661623039901047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007857065806077701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007857065806077701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021776564555933242, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021776564555933242, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0210032089419242, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0210032089419242, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007733556140090414, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007733556140090414, "ret_p1w": 0.03667618118433991, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03667618118433991, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034070669780918994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034070669780918994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0026055114034209126, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026055114034209126, "ret_p1m": 0.22234951238552347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22234951238552347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1904729122651414, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1904729122651414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03187660012038207, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03187660012038207, "ret_p3m": 0.018338090592169953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.018338090592169953, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009720624690284119, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009720624690284119, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028058715282454072, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028058715282454072, "ret_p6m": -0.21661894105320179, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21661894105320179, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.351010989456225, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.351010989456225, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1343920484030232, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1343920484030232, "price_path": [0.5811, 0.0774, 0.0888, 0.1318, 0.1908, 0.1857, 0.1679, 0.2206, 0.1903, 0.2642, 0.2791, 0.2481, 0.2653, 0.2453, 0.2361, 0.2413, 0.2413, 0.2785, 0.2521, 0.2372, 0.2189, 0.2344, 0.1994, 0.208, 0.1576, 0.1266, 0.0894, 0.1043, 0.1192, 0.1163, 0.1335, 0.0968, 0.0241, 0.043, 0.0659, 0.0338, 0.0745, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.0888, 0.1072, 0.1152, 0.1129, 0.1129, 0.0888, 0.0739, 0.0734, 0.0659, 0.0797, 0.0544, 0.0476, 0.0413, 0.0355, 0.0355, 0.0241, -0.0602, -0.0739, -0.0728, -0.0544, -0.0739, -0.0625, -0.043, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.0218, -0.0178, -0.0057, 0.0229, 0.0367, 0.0258, 0.0252, 0.0372, 0.0436, 0.0573, 0.0126, 0.0355, 0.0567, 0.0533, 0.0533, 0.0315, 0.0138, 0.196, 0.2115, 0.2046, 0.2223, 0.1983, 0.1817, 0.1742, 0.1805, 0.1736, 0.1954, 0.1862, 0.2006, 0.1828, 0.1777, 0.184, 0.1576, 0.1536, 0.1542, 0.1536, 0.2029, 0.2275, 0.1903, 0.1868, 0.1931, 0.1989, 0.1885, 0.1885, 0.1748, 0.1851, 0.1822, 0.1702, 0.1834, 0.2017, 0.2126, 0.1605, 0.1186, 0.094, 0.0613, 0.0458, 0.0653, 0.0659, 0.0607, 0.0544, 0.0797, 0.0562, 0.0183, 0.035, 0.0258, 0.0218, 0.0052, -0.1175, -0.1456, -0.1169, -0.1278, -0.1484, -0.1587, -0.1788, -0.1811, -0.184, -0.1845, -0.1862, -0.184, -0.1736, -0.1971, -0.2126, -0.2189, -0.2149, -0.2149, -0.2275, -0.2401, -0.2516, -0.2553, -0.2567, -0.259, -0.2447, -0.2258, -0.2401, -0.2499, -0.2556, -0.2499, -0.2808, -0.294, -0.3072, -0.3255, -0.3255, -0.3347, -0.3077, -0.3112, -0.3186, -0.3095, -0.3026, -0.3054, -0.3083, -0.2865, -0.2865, -0.2865, -0.2648, -0.2734, -0.2699, -0.2825, -0.2567, -0.2504, -0.2246, -0.2275, -0.2252, -0.2521, -0.243, -0.2275, -0.2166]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1720277867118907575", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-03T03:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $RELY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY: fundamentals will keep improving, economies of scale will emerge, price will re-rate regardless of near-term catalyst concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A reader asked me a Remitly $RELY question:\n\nQ: The market clearly disapproved of the \"wide funnel\" direction expressed in yesterday's conference call, as RELY indicates it will be working on growing revenue without a primary focus on expense control to bring about positive earnings (which was the direction RELY indicated it was heading at the Q4 2022 earnings call). If they hold to this recent direction expressed in yesterday's call, what is the catalyst for upward price movement?\n\nA: I never care about a catalyst. Every brain cell spent trying to think about the potential triggers to a re-rating here is a brain cell wasted. All I care about is this: Will the fundamentals continue to improve? And the answer is a resounding yes. They will keep penetrating and the economies of scale will become apparent. Then at some point, like magic, the price will re-rate\n\nLong $RELY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01052635594418172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01052635594418172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001485441247529251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001485441247529251, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009040914696652469, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009040914696652469, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03947368421052633, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03947368421052633, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03717331127632595, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03717331127632595, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023003729342003787, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023003729342003787, "ret_p1w": 0.1210525914242393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1210525914242393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10743374627084479, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10743374627084479, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01361884515339451, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01361884515339451, "ret_p1m": 0.10947368019505554, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10947368019505554, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058862868167031346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.058862868167031346, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0506108120280242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0506108120280242, "ret_p3m": -0.09789476896587168, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09789476896587168, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2132592683446769, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2132592683446769, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11536449937880522, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11536449937880522, "ret_p6m": -0.057894756919459334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.057894756919459334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23970055981298943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23970055981298943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1818058028935301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1818058028935301, "price_path": [0.2111, 0.1826, 0.1811, 0.2521, 0.2163, 0.2253, 0.2132, 0.2168, 0.2626, 0.2868, 0.3105, 0.31, 0.2879, 0.3105, 0.3005, 0.3068, 0.3068, 0.3237, 0.3358, 0.3358, 0.3411, 0.3147, 0.3211, 0.3263, 0.3326, 0.3363, 0.3163, 0.3289, 0.3684, 0.3679, 0.3821, 0.3305, 0.3084, 0.2979, 0.2968, 0.2695, 0.3016, 0.3358, 0.3274, 0.3242, 0.2911, 0.3084, 0.3616, 0.4021, 0.3916, 0.3605, 0.3416, 0.3405, 0.38, 0.4126, 0.4284, 0.4184, 0.42, 0.3816, 0.4047, 0.43, 0.3847, 0.3484, 0.3589, 0.3742, 0.4174, 0.4521, -0.0105, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0937, 0.0889, 0.0726, 0.1211, 0.0932, 0.1611, 0.1747, 0.1463, 0.1621, 0.1437, 0.1353, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1742, 0.15, 0.1363, 0.1195, 0.1337, 0.1016, 0.1095, 0.0632, 0.0347, 0.0005, 0.0142, 0.0279, 0.0253, 0.0411, 0.0074, -0.0595, -0.0421, -0.0211, -0.0505, -0.0132, -0.0037, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0168, 0.0242, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.0, -0.0137, -0.0142, -0.0211, -0.0084, -0.0316, -0.0379, -0.0437, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0595, -0.1368, -0.1495, -0.1484, -0.1316, -0.1495, -0.1389, -0.1211, -0.1105, -0.0816, -0.1016, -0.0979, -0.0868, -0.0605, -0.0479, -0.0579, -0.0584, -0.0474, -0.0416, -0.0289, -0.07, -0.0489, -0.0295, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0526, -0.0689, 0.0984, 0.1126, 0.1063, 0.1226, 0.1005, 0.0853, 0.0784, 0.0842, 0.0779, 0.0979, 0.0895, 0.1026, 0.0863, 0.0816, 0.0874, 0.0632, 0.0595, 0.06, 0.0595, 0.1047, 0.1274, 0.0932, 0.09, 0.0958, 0.1011, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.0789, 0.0884, 0.0858, 0.0747, 0.0868, 0.1037, 0.1137, 0.0658, 0.0274, 0.0047, -0.0253, -0.0395, -0.0216, -0.0211, -0.0258, -0.0316, -0.0084, -0.03, -0.0647, -0.0495, -0.0579]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1522315910400266240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-05T20:42:50+00:00", "symbol": "AOUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "American Outdoors is almost a net-net at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AOUT trading near net-net valuation; implied deep-value long.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "American Outdoors is almost a net-net at this point \n\n$AOUT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040963874433339376, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040963874433339376, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004111075671570319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01840696041832901, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.03685279876176906, "bench_c_m1d": 0.059370834851668386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017670704449737173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017670704449737173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0117018987018771, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004997460166853984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005968805747860073, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01267324428288319, "ret_p1w": -0.10281122510689766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10281122510689766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05092765372119046, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0177194420646819, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.051883571385707206, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08509178304221576, "ret_p1m": -0.07550197548467141, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07550197548467141, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0676001486109783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03067747199870574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007901826873693119, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04482450348596567, "ret_p3m": -0.41044174578014425, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.41044174578014425, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4008062554405738, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.427396670091864, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.009635490339570452, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016954924311719743, "ret_p6m": -0.28032127105102034, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28032127105102034, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22835407543969455, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18929523491374345, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05196719561132579, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09102603613727689, "price_path": [0.3422, 0.3647, 0.392, 0.388, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.3831, 0.3871, 0.3558, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.3422, 0.3189, 0.3221, 0.3478, 0.2554, 0.2418, 0.3076, 0.2755, 0.2193, 0.2217, 0.2048, 0.253, 0.2353, 0.1494, 0.0771, 0.102, 0.1847, 0.1807, 0.1904, 0.1317, 0.1518, 0.1084, 0.0948, 0.1044, 0.1141, 0.1341, 0.0851, 0.0546, 0.098, 0.1221, 0.0948, 0.0683, 0.0723, 0.0964, 0.0843, 0.0667, 0.094, 0.1052, 0.1052, 0.0932, 0.1213, 0.1165, 0.0691, 0.0562, 0.0707, 0.0329, 0.0289, 0.0361, 0.012, 0.0201, 0.0265, 0.041, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0723, -0.0643, -0.1157, -0.1028, -0.0795, -0.1036, -0.0707, -0.1181, -0.1245, -0.1502, -0.1173, -0.1598, -0.1012, -0.0378, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0707, -0.0908, -0.0594, -0.0755, -0.0851, -0.0699, -0.0948, -0.0876, -0.102, -0.1325, -0.1582, -0.1598, -0.208, -0.1968, -0.1968, -0.2193, -0.2361, -0.1582, -0.1365, -0.1719, -0.2, -0.2209, -0.2361, -0.2337, -0.2337, -0.2321, -0.2562, -0.241, -0.2426, -0.2651, -0.2795, -0.2554, -0.2434, -0.3277, -0.355, -0.3574, -0.3606, -0.3566, -0.3751, -0.3598, -0.3775, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.3655, -0.3944, -0.4104, -0.4129, -0.4145, -0.4161, -0.3582, -0.3518, -0.3165, -0.2924, -0.2715, -0.2859, -0.2779, -0.29, -0.2867, -0.302, -0.3253, -0.3253, -0.3373, -0.3229, -0.3574, -0.3759, -0.2691, -0.31, -0.3325, -0.3341, -0.3341, -0.3478, -0.3229, -0.3221, -0.3205, -0.2707, -0.249, -0.2458, -0.2386, -0.2361, -0.2249, -0.2924, -0.3277, -0.3261, -0.3229, -0.3116, -0.3574, -0.3542, -0.3534, -0.2956, -0.3245, -0.2859, -0.2884, -0.261, -0.2819, -0.2763, -0.2924, -0.29, -0.3004, -0.2988, -0.2675, -0.2474, -0.2691, -0.2635, -0.31, -0.306, -0.2851, -0.2707, -0.2827, -0.2803]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1688636777861419008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-07T19:42:35+00:00", "symbol": "AGX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Worth a closer examination", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish lean on AGX: half market cap in cash, potential demand inflection from coal-to-gas conversions; warrants closer look.", "resolved_tickers": ["AGX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AGX is a power generation company with a market cap of $512mm, roughly half its market cap in cash. The majority of revenues come from converting coal power plants into natural gas ones. Coal makes up about 20% of US energy generation and is forecasted to go to 5% by 2030\n\n1/n\n\n---\n\nNatural gas fired generation makes about 35% of the energy needs of the USA, but it is set to decline about 1% per year as energy from renewable becomes more widespread. AGX could see an inflection in demand from the retiring of coal plants over the next decade. \n\n2/n\n\n---\n\nBeing that a large part of its value is in cash, capital allocation is paramount. Worth a closer examination. \n\n3/n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006789013115762521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006789013115762521, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001863869002782792, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005349385149461483, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008652882118545313, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012138398265224004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015085701697372667, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015085701697372667, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002840058126259093, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003054652380087175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00434862829599636, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004563222549824442, "ret_p1w": 0.022881654335327406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022881654335327406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028650195679788437, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028722431245035485, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005768541344461031, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005840776909708079, "ret_p1m": 0.030425201064816942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030425201064816942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03368661971042386, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.054154132387512544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003261418645606917, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0237289313226956, "ret_p3m": 0.17581358904103062, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17581358904103062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21670568279973634, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2529308752037063, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04089209375870573, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07711728616267566, "ret_p6m": 0.14943891130840115, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14943891130840115, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05201724347033254, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09711901691859448, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0974216678380686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.052319894389806665, "price_path": [0.0238, 0.0301, 0.0418, 0.0583, 0.0723, 0.0558, 0.0428, 0.0396, 0.0333, 0.0555, 0.0451, 0.0433, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0276, 0.0106, -0.0054, 0.0261, 0.0238, 0.0883, 0.1105, 0.1053, -0.0459, -0.0147, 0.0163, 0.0043, 0.0076, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0003, 0.0206, -0.0012, -0.0341, -0.0097, -0.0012, -0.0097, 0.0026, -0.0154, 0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0179, -0.0306, -0.0189, -0.0064, 0.0136, 0.0021, 0.0146, 0.0091, -0.0097, -0.0077, -0.0256, -0.0236, -0.0274, -0.0332, -0.0319, -0.042, -0.0553, -0.0543, -0.0435, -0.0395, -0.0287, -0.0075, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0018, 0.0083, 0.0171, 0.0229, 0.0103, 0.0083, 0.0018, 0.0156, 0.0231, 0.0083, 0.0269, 0.0191, 0.0375, 0.0432, 0.045, 0.0583, 0.0681, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0304, 0.0267, 0.1209, 0.1139, 0.1363, 0.1177, 0.1066, 0.1308, 0.1096, 0.1272, 0.1182, 0.1247, 0.1496, 0.1594, 0.1577, 0.1396, 0.1619, 0.1556, 0.1446, 0.1451, 0.1305, 0.1504, 0.1665, 0.1939, 0.1914, 0.1743, 0.182, 0.1617, 0.1541, 0.1574, 0.173, 0.137, 0.1302, 0.127, 0.1138, 0.1039, 0.1297, 0.1335, 0.1287, 0.1394, 0.1578, 0.1738, 0.1758, 0.1424, 0.1389, 0.1199, 0.111, 0.1153, 0.1244, 0.1191, 0.1487, 0.1556, 0.1442, 0.1604, 0.1708, 0.1596, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.169, 0.1849, 0.1599, 0.1578, 0.1806, 0.1897, 0.1935, 0.2042, 0.2085, 0.0589, 0.0705, 0.1052, 0.0872, 0.1065, 0.1062, 0.1133, 0.1366, 0.1596, 0.1758, 0.2069, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.2102, 0.209, 0.1996, 0.1844, 0.1844, 0.1951, 0.1849, 0.1852, 0.1654, 0.1482, 0.1497, 0.1546, 0.1568, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1583, 0.1682, 0.17, 0.1568, 0.1474, 0.1206, 0.1135, 0.126, 0.1342, 0.1339, 0.1494]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1366764993325064192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-02T14:59:02+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Our price target is still well over a billion in market cap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DFIN with price target implying market cap well over $1B.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DFIN finally takes a breather after going on a 30% tear since earnings. Our price target is still well over a billion in market cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009918483309854675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009918483309854675, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017782981866125924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017782981866125924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007864498556271249, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007864498556271249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01346089529851735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01346089529851735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026706545094303924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026706545094303924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013245649795786574, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013245649795786574, "ret_p1w": 0.012398171701918592, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012398171701918592, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010768247103846829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010768247103846829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0016299245980717636, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0016299245980717636, "ret_p1m": -0.01416931013164957, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01416931013164957, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04285450739883112, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04285450739883112, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02868519726718155, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02868519726718155, "ret_p3m": 0.05596882569346606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05596882569346606, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03425660494662308, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03425660494662308, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09022543064008914, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09022543064008914, "ret_p6m": 0.1597591997648753, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1597591997648753, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.009210865816288827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.009210865816288827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16897006558116412, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16897006558116412, "price_path": [-0.406, -0.3911, -0.3872, -0.3804, -0.3595, -0.3415, -0.3057, -0.3567, -0.3397, -0.3829, -0.3603, -0.3185, -0.3525, -0.3627, -0.3542, -0.3659, -0.3659, -0.3783, -0.3925, -0.3918, -0.3989, -0.3989, -0.3826, -0.3564, -0.345, -0.3379, -0.3688, -0.3571, -0.3503, -0.35, -0.3114, -0.3174, -0.3174, -0.3114, -0.2979, -0.3174, -0.3252, -0.3415, -0.3578, -0.3695, -0.3599, -0.3663, -0.3323, -0.3046, -0.2947, -0.2777, -0.2883, -0.2604, -0.2398, -0.2349, -0.1853, -0.2055, -0.2055, -0.203, -0.2122, -0.2249, -0.215, -0.2118, -0.2384, -0.1955, -0.1516, -0.0793, -0.0099, 0.0, 0.0135, -0.0446, -0.006, 0.0198, 0.0124, 0.0283, 0.0312, 0.0553, 0.0485, 0.0308, 0.0223, -0.0046, 0.0188, -0.0184, -0.0634, -0.0847, -0.0549, -0.0276, -0.0514, -0.0142, -0.0142, 0.0283, 0.0283, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0166, 0.0301, 0.0191, 0.0273, 0.0096, 0.0273, 0.0283, 0.0379, 0.0259, -0.0177, -0.0004, 0.0241, 0.0631, 0.0843, 0.0733, 0.0868, 0.084, 0.0825, 0.1063, 0.0857, 0.0662, -0.0928, -0.0553, -0.068, -0.0687, -0.1236, -0.0978, -0.0439, -0.0347, -0.0198, -0.0035, 0.034, 0.0514, 0.0471, 0.0312, 0.0613, 0.057, 0.056, 0.056, 0.1006, 0.0971, 0.1066, 0.0981, 0.1226, 0.1307, 0.1077, 0.1105, 0.1328, 0.125, 0.1272, 0.1311, 0.091, 0.0386, 0.1087, 0.1197, 0.1311, 0.169, 0.1736, 0.1378, 0.1406, 0.169, 0.1651, 0.1647, 0.1647, 0.1431, 0.1516, 0.1261, 0.1622, 0.1736, 0.1463, 0.1265, 0.1325, 0.0978, 0.0818, 0.1339, 0.1615, 0.1194, 0.1126, 0.152, 0.0974, 0.1137, 0.1477, 0.141, 0.1428, 0.1229, 0.119, 0.2402, 0.2179, 0.1948, 0.1892, 0.175, 0.1637, 0.1445, 0.1367, 0.1463, 0.1442, 0.096, 0.1063, 0.164, 0.1562, 0.1598]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1811125747588968584", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-10T19:50:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good dip buy imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses TSSI dip as a buy; trim was sizing-driven, no negative fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mike10947310 This presumption is correct 👍 no other concerns", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$TSSI\n\nSeems this dip is from Pernas mentioning trimming their position based, I assume, on sizing concerns (as they didn’t mention any negative developments).\n\nDon’t worry, the company didn’t suddenly get 20% worse :) Good dip buy imo.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mike10947310", "ret_m1d": 0.06642068790533351, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06642068790533351, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07621914757006576, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08072568627273702, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00979845966473225, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01430499836740351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09963098786933333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09963098786933333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10825371231097014, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12466465388544923, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008622724441636809, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025033666016115896, "ret_p1w": 0.1033210211986666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1033210211986666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1111240616788195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1593627933437466, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007803040480152901, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05604177214507999, "ret_p1m": -0.1254613091520006, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1254613091520006, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0708223731091101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013254554215083925, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.054638936042890496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.13871586336708452, "ret_p3m": 1.1033209332213323, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1033209332213323, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0886739813065713, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1602802823789857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014646951914760953, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05695934915765355, "ret_p6m": 4.044280399951999, "ret_signed_p6m": 4.044280399951999, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.9960246292459027, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.064949182363389, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04825577070609621, "bench_c_p6m": -0.020668782411389586, "price_path": [-0.797, -0.7934, -0.7786, -0.7454, -0.7196, -0.7343, -0.7048, -0.6937, -0.6937, -0.7011, -0.7048, -0.6937, -0.6937, -0.7011, -0.69, -0.6937, -0.6679, -0.6827, -0.6642, -0.6642, -0.6605, -0.6568, -0.4834, -0.5277, -0.4613, -0.4834, -0.4539, -0.5092, -0.4834, -0.4539, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2583, -0.1624, -0.1181, -0.2288, -0.3911, -0.2804, -0.3358, -0.2804, -0.3063, -0.2804, -0.3026, -0.2694, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2657, -0.2657, -0.2657, -0.2657, -0.2694, -0.2325, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.1882, -0.1919, -0.1882, -0.1587, -0.1697, -0.1697, -0.0775, 0.0221, 0.0664, 0.0, 0.0996, 0.2546, 0.1513, 0.1587, 0.1033, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.0517, -0.0037, 0.0185, 0.0664, 0.059, 0.0701, 0.0369, 0.0295, -0.0185, -0.0996, -0.155, -0.1255, -0.1402, -0.1255, -0.0996, -0.1734, -0.0554, 0.0148, 0.1993, 0.4022, 0.6052, 0.679, 0.6753, 0.5387, 0.6458, 0.6974, 0.8192, 0.9151, 0.8118, 0.7675, 0.7675, 0.8598, 0.8635, 0.8192, 0.7823, 0.845, 0.797, 0.7823, 0.8081, 0.9041, 0.9557, 1.0111, 1.0517, 1.1845, 1.214, 1.4871, 1.4502, 1.572, 1.6125, 1.6384, 1.631, 1.428, 1.3911, 1.3247, 1.1513, 1.1033, 1.4354, 1.3985, 1.3616, 1.3801, 1.2288, 1.1734, 1.2546, 1.214, 1.214, 1.3506, 1.321, 1.214, 1.5351, 1.631, 1.7306, 1.7565, 1.893, 1.8782, 1.9151, 2.1292, 2.1292, 2.1956, 2.1919, 2.321, 2.3137, 2.4207, 3.1771, 3.4207, 2.3432, 1.738, 1.9631, 1.7786, 1.6974, 1.7269, 1.9889, 2.4834, 2.5793, 2.5793, 2.7601, 3.0627, 2.9889, 2.4133, 2.6753, 2.6531, 2.5424, 2.3764, 2.417, 2.4723, 2.2878, 2.5387, 2.4465, 2.4945, 2.738, 2.7122, 2.7343, 2.9779, 2.9779, 3.4982, 3.417, 3.3764, 3.3764, 3.3764, 4.0443]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1689661566419939329", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-10T15:34:44+00:00", "symbol": "TPR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Unless $TPR can turnaround the declining Kors brand, this $CPRI acquisition is going to be a significant drag on performance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Skeptical on TPR: Kors brand decline risks making the CPRI acquisition a material drag on performance unless turned around.", "resolved_tickers": ["TPR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Luxury Goods", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Unless $TPR can turnaround the declining Kors brand, this $CPRI acquisition is going to be a significant drag on performance. $TPR did have success with making the Coach brand relevant again so it's possible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18950087573526608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18950087573526608, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18985948031069488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18985948031069488, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003586045754288003, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003586045754288003, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012979335857099539, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012979335857099539, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013562130291579155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013562130291579155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005827944344796165, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005827944344796165, "ret_p1w": -0.002019075973043072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002019075973043072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019554521433836958, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019554521433836958, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02157359740688003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02157359740688003, "ret_p1m": -0.0702022403342284, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0702022403342284, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06932772982841096, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06932772982841096, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0008745105058174385, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0008745105058174385, "ret_p3m": -0.19907355185103204, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19907355185103204, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1823913888752079, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1823913888752079, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.016682162975824144, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016682162975824144, "ret_p6m": 0.17924349310526622, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17924349310526622, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06219038235760155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06219038235760155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11705311074766467, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11705311074766467, "price_path": [0.2331, 0.2005, 0.2446, 0.264, 0.2317, 0.2082, 0.2013, 0.1718, 0.1658, 0.1941, 0.1941, 0.1624, 0.1463, 0.138, 0.2145, 0.1873, 0.209, 0.2403, 0.227, 0.2313, 0.246, 0.2481, 0.2593, 0.253, 0.2509, 0.2509, 0.2538, 0.2466, 0.238, 0.2377, 0.2345, 0.2518, 0.2336, 0.2354, 0.2345, 0.2556, 0.2556, 0.2368, 0.2221, 0.2284, 0.2518, 0.2804, 0.2755, 0.2824, 0.2593, 0.2388, 0.2506, 0.2227, 0.2062, 0.1984, 0.2129, 0.2132, 0.225, 0.2106, 0.2406, 0.2446, 0.2359, 0.2123, 0.2403, 0.2137, 0.2227, 0.1999, 0.1895, 0.0, 0.013, 0.0254, 0.0208, -0.0098, -0.002, -0.0023, -0.0248, -0.0436, -0.0361, -0.0456, -0.0485, -0.0424, -0.0404, -0.0361, -0.0389, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0479, -0.0597, -0.0731, -0.0702, -0.0746, -0.081, -0.1093, -0.0953, -0.0964, -0.1145, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1443, -0.1594, -0.169, -0.1795, -0.1851, -0.179, -0.1618, -0.1667, -0.1851, -0.1883, -0.1959, -0.1781, -0.1781, -0.1938, -0.1827, -0.2014, -0.1956, -0.174, -0.1527, -0.1661, -0.1714, -0.1801, -0.1865, -0.186, -0.1877, -0.1836, -0.1953, -0.1819, -0.1964, -0.2247, -0.2032, -0.1854, -0.1994, -0.1991, -0.1994, -0.1755, -0.1801, -0.1688, -0.1104, -0.0997, -0.1224, -0.1139, -0.1031, -0.1145, -0.1139, -0.1139, -0.1084, -0.0985, -0.0956, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0466, -0.0373, -0.0547, -0.0521, -0.0232, -0.0117, -0.0032, -0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0761, 0.0634, 0.0566, 0.0876, 0.0779, 0.1067, 0.092, 0.092, 0.1085, 0.1023, 0.0929, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.125, 0.0861, 0.0876, 0.1003, 0.1227, 0.1041, 0.105, 0.1103, 0.0711, 0.0711, 0.0749, 0.0563, 0.056, 0.0799, 0.1038, 0.11, 0.1064, 0.1277, 0.1486, 0.1686, 0.163, 0.1433, 0.1795, 0.1792]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1354865952467238912", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-28T18:56:29+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We bought some way OTM puts on GME yesterday that expire in two weeks", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought far OTM puts on GME expiring in two weeks; bearish via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We bought some way OTM puts on GME yesterday that expire in two weeks. Most expensive options ever but still worth it. So weird to have an option play that is way out of the money, expires in two weeks but also feel like it’s massively positive theta.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.7949896632741609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.7949896632741609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.803516476488295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.7981244886906103, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008526813214134177, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031348254164493827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.6787189553404578, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.6787189553404578, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.6987383241626959, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.7020492186834489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020019368822238093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.023330263342991153, "ret_p1w": -0.7236570335054939, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.7236570335054939, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.7463247710478829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7521113147986207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022667737542388933, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02845428129312677, "ret_p1m": -0.47448349867628437, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47448349867628437, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4817125174638336, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.44596886031110317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007229018787549224, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0285146383651812, "ret_p3m": -0.08176653580574045, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08176653580574045, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19102025279314905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1588906873282836, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1092537169874086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07712415152254315, "ret_p6m": -0.06838845596980403, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06838845596980403, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2410309668191919, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1766198171973805, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17264251084938786, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10823136122757648, "price_path": [-0.9445, -0.9402, -0.9436, -0.9409, -0.9387, -0.9407, -0.9427, -0.9393, -0.9425, -0.9431, -0.9377, -0.9399, -0.9402, -0.9356, -0.9343, -0.9282, -0.9294, -0.9238, -0.9238, -0.9169, -0.9145, -0.9184, -0.9144, -0.9167, -0.9127, -0.9155, -0.9125, -0.9294, -0.9271, -0.9313, -0.9343, -0.9285, -0.9285, -0.9234, -0.9193, -0.9198, -0.8995, -0.8938, -0.8959, -0.8959, -0.8916, -0.8999, -0.9005, -0.9027, -0.9027, -0.9109, -0.9103, -0.9052, -0.9066, -0.9086, -0.897, -0.897, -0.8378, -0.7939, -0.8166, -0.8166, -0.7967, -0.7979, -0.7777, -0.6642, -0.6034, -0.2356, 0.795, 0.0, 0.6787, 0.1622, -0.5351, -0.5227, -0.7237, -0.6706, -0.6901, -0.7401, -0.7355, -0.7361, -0.7293, -0.7293, -0.7443, -0.7627, -0.7898, -0.7903, -0.7624, -0.7677, -0.5263, -0.4384, -0.4745, -0.3781, -0.3896, -0.3586, -0.3164, -0.2885, 0.0046, 0.2753, 0.3688, 0.343, 0.3662, 0.1371, 0.0753, 0.0837, 0.0421, 0.0345, 0.0046, -0.0612, -0.3784, -0.0509, -0.0651, -0.0635, 0.0044, -0.0195, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.0343, -0.047, -0.0807, -0.1206, -0.182, -0.2712, -0.2717, -0.1398, -0.1919, -0.201, -0.151, -0.1811, -0.1813, -0.2192, -0.2191, -0.1274, -0.0818, -0.0776, -0.0899, -0.1034, -0.1622, -0.1698, -0.1762, -0.1683, -0.1678, -0.2602, -0.2411, -0.2521, -0.1503, -0.174, -0.0671, -0.0668, -0.1279, -0.1194, -0.0868, -0.0702, 0.0818, 0.2529, 0.3127, 0.1467, 0.1467, 0.2863, 0.4579, 0.3336, 0.2829, 0.4463, 0.5496, 0.5628, 0.1384, 0.2053, 0.1851, 0.1493, 0.1517, 0.1549, 0.1044, 0.035, 0.1384, 0.133, 0.0966, 0.0822, 0.1015, 0.0893, 0.1061, 0.0556, 0.0477, 0.0477, 0.0308, -0.0152, -0.0115, -0.0122, -0.0225, -0.0699, -0.1342, -0.1383, -0.1269, -0.1039, -0.0125, -0.0402, -0.0762, -0.0684]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1810399321298448508", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-08T19:43:28+00:00", "symbol": "RRGB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "full service restaurants (FSRs) like $RRGB benefit as spend at QSRs is now comparable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RRGB: as QSR prices rise to FSR levels, spend shifts to full-service restaurants.", "resolved_tickers": ["RRGB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Contrarian view: full service restaurants (FSRs) like $RRGB benefit as spend at QSRs is now comparable", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Walked into a McDonalds for the first time in many years and Big Macs cost $8? https://t.co/nnyGC9KZ1G", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009174303230812475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009174303230812475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010326913550883443, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009649603866230705, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001152610320070968, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00047530063541822987, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06727829660350493, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06727829660350493, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06825066425813942, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07060482879404562, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009723676546344873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033265321905406875, "ret_p1w": -0.09480120629594202, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09480120629594202, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1060569454984972, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10472799168585123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011255739202555182, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00992678538990921, "ret_p1m": -0.10856269759760107, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10856269759760107, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04889928899106988, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02239136275492526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05966340860653119, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861713348426758, "ret_p3m": -0.3042813123433601, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3042813123433601, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33000113263940256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.339096061999556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025719820296042473, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03481474965619591, "ret_p6m": -0.16055048881641876, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16055048881641876, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2228187181847502, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3498370457219385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06226822936833143, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18928655690551976, "price_path": [-0.0367, -0.0138, -0.0826, -0.1177, -0.0856, -0.0902, -0.0826, -0.0214, 0.0153, 0.0092, -0.0061, 0.055, 0.0719, 0.1621, 0.1544, 0.1529, 0.1498, 0.1193, 0.1743, 0.1713, 0.1896, 0.1957, 0.1621, 0.1896, 0.1743, 0.107, 0.0826, 0.0336, 0.0719, 0.081, 0.0474, 0.0336, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0459, 0.0291, 0.182, 0.2385, 0.2691, 0.2569, 0.3379, 0.3593, 0.2905, 0.2538, 0.2309, 0.2508, 0.2171, 0.1865, 0.1881, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1621, 0.1453, 0.1713, 0.2064, 0.1896, 0.1911, 0.1575, 0.052, 0.0122, 0.0046, 0.0046, 0.0092, 0.0, -0.0673, -0.0963, -0.0749, -0.0566, -0.0948, -0.0275, -0.0566, -0.0948, -0.0826, -0.081, -0.0703, -0.1346, -0.1208, -0.1177, -0.1131, -0.1086, -0.1422, -0.1437, -0.1315, -0.1697, -0.1086, -0.1483, -0.1697, -0.2431, -0.2783, -0.2752, -0.2813, -0.2462, -0.2599, -0.2355, -0.2569, -0.2278, -0.2768, -0.3364, -0.3869, -0.4083, -0.4817, -0.4495, -0.4648, -0.4648, -0.4893, -0.4893, -0.5, -0.5199, -0.5352, -0.5183, -0.5275, -0.5291, -0.5015, -0.5046, -0.4251, -0.4327, -0.3976, -0.3945, -0.3303, -0.2905, -0.3364, -0.3028, -0.3287, -0.3257, -0.3318, -0.3043, -0.3043, -0.2661, -0.2676, -0.2768, -0.2706, -0.159, -0.1743, -0.1468, -0.1193, -0.1101, -0.0719, -0.0153, -0.0031, -0.0765, -0.0841, -0.0994, -0.1055, -0.0703, -0.0872, -0.0765, -0.1269, -0.0933, -0.1009, -0.0703, -0.0642, -0.2049, -0.1896, -0.2309, -0.2125, -0.2125, -0.2156, -0.2018, -0.1927, -0.1988, -0.2401, -0.2477, -0.2049, -0.1621, -0.208, -0.1758, -0.1758, -0.1758, -0.1957, -0.156, -0.0933, -0.1131, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1728, -0.1774, -0.2202, -0.2202, -0.1896, -0.208, -0.263, -0.2339, -0.1881, -0.1575, -0.1942, -0.1942, -0.1911, -0.1758, -0.1682, -0.1606]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1275544999258550272", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-06-23T21:43:20+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Taking those into account justifies a share price > $15", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Valuation analysis concludes DFIN share price justified above $15 on IPO market position and stable compliance share.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Check out our @DFINSolutions valuation at https://t.co/MmXaaP1oHf. DFIN has an immovable position in the IPO space and has stabilized market share in the compliance segment. Taking those into account justifies a share price &gt; $15", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001199068189313257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001199068189313257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005781498928269624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005781498928269624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004582430738956367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004582430738956367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08273381829691606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08273381829691606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05722496797309429, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05722496797309429, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.025508850323821775, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025508850323821775, "ret_p1w": 0.007194180437007036, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007194180437007036, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01901918628129573, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01901918628129573, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011825005844288694, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011825005844288694, "ret_p1m": 0.014388475223450214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014388475223450214, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03307159745439692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03307159745439692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04746007267784713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04746007267784713, "ret_p3m": 0.44604318932470255, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44604318932470255, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3821960172348431, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3821960172348431, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06384717208985946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06384717208985946, "ret_p6m": 1.0887289877193278, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0887289877193278, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.897728207174459, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.897728207174459, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1910007805448688, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1910007805448688, "price_path": [-0.3573, -0.3681, -0.3657, -0.3681, -0.4556, -0.4472, -0.4844, -0.4341, -0.47, -0.4293, -0.3237, -0.3237, -0.3034, -0.2662, -0.2854, -0.3118, -0.2842, -0.3393, -0.3237, -0.3213, -0.295, -0.2938, -0.265, -0.2422, -0.1319, -0.1271, -0.1247, -0.1283, -0.1391, -0.1655, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0755, -0.1631, -0.2314, -0.229, -0.199, -0.1307, -0.1595, -0.1067, -0.1403, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.0588, 0.0348, -0.0192, -0.0228, 0.0072, 0.012, 0.0384, 0.0767, 0.1319, 0.2014, 0.0863, 0.0779, 0.0012, 0.0216, 0.0468, 0.0671, -0.0012, -0.042, -0.0132, 0.0012, 0.0, -0.0827, -0.0396, -0.0612, -0.0192, 0.0072, 0.0504, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.0468, 0.0156, 0.0168, -0.0252, 0.0012, -0.0276, -0.0516, 0.0048, 0.0024, -0.0036, 0.0012, 0.0372, 0.0144, 0.0132, -0.0072, -0.0192, -0.024, 0.0048, 0.0024, 0.0372, 0.0839, 0.1811, 0.4041, 0.4544, 0.4185, 0.3873, 0.3669, 0.3705, 0.3645, 0.3657, 0.3585, 0.3129, 0.3489, 0.3177, 0.2674, 0.3046, 0.3405, 0.3309, 0.3297, 0.3189, 0.307, 0.3489, 0.3789, 0.3177, 0.2986, 0.2986, 0.2986, 0.3345, 0.3261, 0.2974, 0.3345, 0.3885, 0.4065, 0.3933, 0.446, 0.3633, 0.3825, 0.4137, 0.4197, 0.47, 0.6007, 0.5815, 0.6019, 0.5827, 0.6103, 0.5971, 0.6727, 0.7422, 0.7698, 0.7206, 0.6847, 0.6906, 0.6019, 0.6403, 0.6271, 0.6463, 0.693, 0.6871, 0.6607, 0.6595, 0.6163, 0.5875, 0.5755, 0.56, 0.5144, 0.5767, 0.6835, 0.6787, 0.7266, 0.6595, 0.6823, 0.7434, 0.7146, 0.6918, 0.7806, 0.8273, 0.8777, 0.8213, 0.8393, 0.8273, 0.8753, 0.8969, 0.9257, 0.9257, 0.97, 0.9532, 0.9173, 0.946, 1.0108, 1.0612, 1.0743, 1.0971, 1.1679, 1.229, 1.3501, 1.1775, 1.235, 1.0887]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1724497782973633013", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-14T18:41:25+00:00", "symbol": "REX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe it has significant upside from these levels", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long REX: no-debt ethanol producer with $250M cash, poised to benefit from IRA 45Q/45Z credits and carbon capture economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["REX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Chemicals", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our latest holding is $REX. We believe it has significant upside from these levels.\n\nREX is an ethanol producer with about 3% market share in the USA. REX is run by sound operators, having never lost money in the last decade despite volatile commodity cycles.\n\nREX stands out due to no debt, 250mm in cash, and disciplined capital allocation: lean HQ, strategic capacity expansion, timely share repurchases, and carbon sequestration efforts.\n\nREX stands to gain from the Inflation Reduction Act (45Q and 45Z credits) , being among the few ethanol producers that can take advantage of these subsidies due to its capital structure, being in the later innings of permitting, and ownership of carbon capture economics. This positions them for a significant boost in future earnings.\n\nhttps://t.co/HQVX3kZNNW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.032343615620921806, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.032343615620921806, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013312139564521708, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003675336388738404, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0190314760564001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028668279232183402, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0029162409011584955, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0029162409011584955, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005033219324916072, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007317242940745539, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002116978423757576, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004401002039587043, "ret_p1w": -0.022004289612777894, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022004289612777894, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03212168116025804, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03696747487503349, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010117391547480148, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014963185262255596, "ret_p1m": 0.11161184910465871, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11161184910465871, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06309717552958305, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05540652489777709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04851467357507566, "bench_c_p1m": 0.056205324206881624, "ret_p3m": 0.15880163493955135, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15880163493955135, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037343049996353406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10610508160186116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12145858494319794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05269655333769019, "ret_p6m": 0.5328737493011781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5328737493011781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37204141445542005, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38007500501453073, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1608323348457581, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15279874428664741, "price_path": [-0.0363, -0.0217, -0.0276, -0.0408, -0.049, -0.0422, 0.0589, 0.0753, 0.096, 0.0294, 0.0469, 0.0456, 0.0456, 0.0294, 0.0156, 0.0337, 0.0475, 0.0644, 0.0538, 0.0512, 0.0737, 0.039, 0.0554, 0.0445, 0.0376, 0.0437, 0.048, 0.0565, 0.0493, 0.0737, 0.0793, 0.0795, 0.057, 0.0483, 0.0204, 0.0143, 0.0066, 0.0117, 0.0315, 0.0154, -0.0265, -0.0472, -0.0056, 0.0106, -0.0056, -0.0138, -0.0085, -0.0374, -0.0159, -0.0215, -0.0167, -0.0225, 0.0, 0.0077, -0.0053, 0.0061, 0.0133, 0.0093, -0.0252, -0.0411, -0.039, -0.0225, -0.0323, 0.0, -0.0029, -0.0164, -0.0262, -0.0072, -0.022, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0196, -0.0228, -0.0284, -0.022, 0.2996, 0.2503, 0.1943, 0.1389, 0.1063, 0.0925, 0.1243, 0.0997, 0.0809, 0.1116, 0.1702, 0.1638, 0.1874, 0.2609, 0.2367, 0.2556, 0.267, 0.267, 0.277, 0.2776, 0.2699, 0.254, 0.254, 0.2442, 0.2466, 0.25, 0.2468, 0.2253, 0.2129, 0.189, 0.1583, 0.1922, 0.1922, 0.1911, 0.1829, 0.179, 0.1628, 0.1729, 0.1135, 0.1129, 0.1021, 0.1103, 0.1198, 0.1302, 0.0973, 0.1116, 0.0944, 0.0846, 0.0872, 0.1151, 0.1466, 0.1588, 0.1744, 0.1172, 0.1482, 0.1755, 0.1681, 0.1681, 0.1137, 0.1477, 0.1318, 0.1487, 0.1567, 0.1535, 0.1307, 0.166, 0.1479, 0.1479, 0.1418, 0.1495, 0.1686, 0.1638, 0.1599, 0.1535, 0.1607, 0.154, 0.1771, 0.1901, 0.2039, 0.2121, 0.1991, 0.1813, 0.1946, 0.1612, 0.1644, 0.5565, 0.5565, 0.5618, 0.588, 0.5809, 0.5376, 0.5589, 0.5485, 0.54, 0.5323, 0.5143, 0.5037, 0.4504, 0.4488, 0.5151, 0.4661, 0.491, 0.4918, 0.5061, 0.4838, 0.4905, 0.5122, 0.5164, 0.4669, 0.4563, 0.474, 0.5146, 0.5268, 0.5273, 0.5329]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1394770333530345472", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-18T21:42:15+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Ten Yields rising much from here in a sustained way is not a concern for us. $SPY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses sustained yield-rise risk and delayed Fed hike as bullish backdrop for equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This differential is why the US Ten Year Yield has downward pressure. US Ten Yields rising much from here in a sustained way is not a concern for us. Also next fed rate hike end of 2022 at the earliest. $SPY https://t.co/4ZQX5u7ICk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008690505406302673, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008690505406302673, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008690505406302673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008690505406302673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621889089530649, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621889089530649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002621889089530649, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002621889089530649, "ret_p1w": 0.015293493733244956, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015293493733244956, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015293493733244956, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015293493733244956, "ret_p1m": 0.024688193099216438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024688193099216438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024688193099216438, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024688193099216438, "ret_p3m": 0.08602921381717699, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08602921381717699, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08602921381717699, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08602921381717699, "ret_p6m": 0.1327543629011776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1327543629011776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1327543629011776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1327543629011776, "price_path": [-0.0546, -0.0563, -0.0635, -0.0624, -0.0521, -0.0749, -0.0797, -0.0574, -0.0647, -0.0771, -0.0885, -0.0718, -0.0764, -0.0632, -0.0574, -0.0478, -0.0465, -0.0408, -0.0421, -0.0388, -0.0528, -0.0545, -0.047, -0.0545, -0.0593, -0.054, -0.0387, -0.0392, -0.0418, -0.0379, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0135, -0.0141, -0.013, -0.0083, -0.0011, -0.0007, 0.0022, -0.0012, 0.0095, 0.0129, 0.0079, 0.0006, 0.01, 0.0008, 0.0117, 0.0138, 0.0135, 0.0133, 0.0197, 0.013, 0.0152, 0.0089, 0.0092, 0.0173, 0.0247, 0.0146, 0.0055, -0.0159, -0.004, 0.0113, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0026, 0.0081, 0.0073, 0.0176, 0.0153, 0.0173, 0.0178, 0.0197, 0.0197, 0.0188, 0.0204, 0.0166, 0.0259, 0.0249, 0.0251, 0.0236, 0.0283, 0.03, 0.0323, 0.0304, 0.0247, 0.0243, 0.0105, 0.025, 0.0305, 0.0292, 0.0353, 0.039, 0.0411, 0.0417, 0.0425, 0.0483, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0544, 0.0581, 0.0495, 0.0607, 0.0645, 0.0609, 0.0625, 0.0588, 0.0505, 0.035, 0.0498, 0.0583, 0.0606, 0.0715, 0.0741, 0.0692, 0.0688, 0.0732, 0.068, 0.0657, 0.0744, 0.0691, 0.0759, 0.0777, 0.0768, 0.0781, 0.0808, 0.0841, 0.086, 0.0886, 0.0815, 0.0696, 0.0713, 0.0798, 0.0893, 0.091, 0.0933, 0.0869, 0.0966, 0.1014, 0.0998, 0.1003, 0.1037, 0.1035, 0.1035, 0.0995, 0.0982, 0.0935, 0.0849, 0.0876, 0.0818, 0.0908, 0.0891, 0.0785, 0.0605, 0.0595, 0.0698, 0.0828, 0.0846, 0.0815, 0.0597, 0.0615, 0.0485, 0.061, 0.0473, 0.0582, 0.0626, 0.0718, 0.0698, 0.0621, 0.0595, 0.0633, 0.0812, 0.0894, 0.0926, 0.101, 0.1054, 0.1082, 0.1071, 0.113, 0.114, 0.1091, 0.1198, 0.1221, 0.124, 0.1286, 0.1354, 0.1408, 0.1448, 0.1457, 0.1419, 0.1328]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1749219461716975983", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-21T23:56:33+00:00", "symbol": "BRK-B", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe Berkshire is at risk of underperforming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish Berkshire; believes it is at risk of underperforming.", "resolved_tickers": ["BRK-B"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Insurance - Diversified", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are posting a small write-up tomorrow on why we believe Berkshire is at risk of underperforming. $BRK\n\nHope bulls can chime in to tell us what we might be missing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0029071546251053793, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0029071546251053793, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007972020312582151, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0007972020312582151, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002109952593847164, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002109952593847164, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011085195666215242, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011085195666215242, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008168622400462677, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008168622400462677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029165732657525645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029165732657525645, "ret_p1w": 0.04108024565962354, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04108024565962354, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024904893745735013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024904893745735013, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016175351913888525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016175351913888525, "ret_p1m": 0.10620550072591795, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10620550072591795, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07867421920310935, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07867421920310935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027531281522808593, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027531281522808593, "ret_p3m": 0.0864805121474157, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0864805121474157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05002989736184338, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05002989736184338, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03645061478557232, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03645061478557232, "ret_p6m": 0.19246861057377784, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19246861057377784, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01666357252847228, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01666357252847228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17580503804530556, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17580503804530556, "price_path": [-0.0847, -0.0867, -0.0988, -0.0833, -0.0726, -0.066, -0.0517, -0.0442, -0.0582, -0.0595, -0.0591, -0.054, -0.0475, -0.049, -0.0375, -0.0306, -0.0223, -0.0248, -0.0183, -0.0192, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0146, -0.0183, -0.0218, -0.0255, -0.0219, -0.0299, -0.031, -0.0354, -0.0426, -0.0417, -0.0407, -0.0299, -0.0218, -0.0164, -0.027, -0.0314, -0.0228, -0.017, -0.0345, -0.0324, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0305, -0.0302, -0.0285, -0.031, -0.031, -0.0152, -0.0036, -0.0119, -0.0067, 0.0003, -0.0032, -0.0004, -0.0128, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0189, -0.0238, -0.0154, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0232, 0.0347, 0.0471, 0.0411, 0.0519, 0.0426, 0.0499, 0.0616, 0.0617, 0.0698, 0.0804, 0.08, 0.0823, 0.0806, 0.0727, 0.0832, 0.0962, 0.1031, 0.1031, 0.1062, 0.1119, 0.128, 0.1336, 0.1116, 0.111, 0.1198, 0.1123, 0.1061, 0.096, 0.0888, 0.0975, 0.0933, 0.0953, 0.0997, 0.1003, 0.1089, 0.1051, 0.1089, 0.1096, 0.1187, 0.1305, 0.1242, 0.1183, 0.1137, 0.1182, 0.1328, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.1417, 0.1382, 0.1418, 0.1284, 0.1374, 0.1302, 0.1267, 0.1115, 0.1075, 0.0956, 0.0875, 0.0784, 0.0806, 0.0865, 0.1006, 0.1106, 0.1105, 0.1029, 0.1001, 0.0925, 0.0894, 0.0779, 0.0829, 0.0884, 0.0891, 0.1001, 0.1035, 0.1041, 0.1107, 0.1195, 0.1173, 0.1146, 0.1214, 0.1224, 0.1328, 0.1221, 0.1258, 0.1248, 0.1028, 0.1069, 0.1069, 0.0974, 0.0979, 0.1102, 0.1259, 0.127, 0.1127, 0.1135, 0.1169, 0.1241, 0.1161, 0.1099, 0.1106, 0.1029, 0.1018, 0.1067, 0.1084, 0.1084, 0.1116, 0.1129, 0.1248, 0.1166, 0.1147, 0.1084, 0.1053, 0.1009, 0.1061, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.1171, 0.1114, 0.1154, 0.1242, 0.1378, 0.1532, 0.1803, 0.1925]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1313961128368586752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-07T21:55:19+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Should bode well for @DFINSolutions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IPO activity at highest since '99 should benefit DFIN.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#IPOs in September hit highest levels since '99! Should bode well for @DFINSolutions", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.039917407733320864, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039917407733320864, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02280872464697381, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02280872464697381, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017108683086347054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017108683086347054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015829353072094765, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015829353072094765, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006966964998002423, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006966964998002423, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008862388074092342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008862388074092342, "ret_p1w": -0.08052306247735186, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08052306247735186, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10156451963743618, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10156451963743618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02104145716008432, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02104145716008432, "ret_p1m": -0.0089470142346888, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0089470142346888, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03676723408629501, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03676723408629501, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02782021985160621, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02782021985160621, "ret_p3m": 0.19958710430145188, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19958710430145188, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11271643679452081, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11271643679452081, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08687066750693107, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08687066750693107, "ret_p6m": 0.9979353902375647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9979353902375647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8134203971100409, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8134203971100409, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18451499312752384, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18451499312752384, "price_path": [-0.4253, -0.4418, -0.4556, -0.4233, -0.4246, -0.4281, -0.4253, -0.4047, -0.4178, -0.4184, -0.4301, -0.437, -0.4398, -0.4233, -0.4246, -0.4047, -0.3778, -0.3221, -0.1941, -0.1652, -0.1858, -0.2037, -0.2154, -0.2134, -0.2168, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.2464, -0.2257, -0.2436, -0.2725, -0.2512, -0.2306, -0.2361, -0.2368, -0.2429, -0.2498, -0.2257, -0.2085, -0.2436, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.234, -0.2388, -0.2553, -0.234, -0.203, -0.1927, -0.2003, -0.17, -0.2175, -0.2065, -0.1886, -0.1851, -0.1562, -0.0812, -0.0922, -0.0805, -0.0915, -0.0757, -0.0833, -0.0399, 0.0, 0.0158, -0.0124, -0.033, -0.0296, -0.0805, -0.0585, -0.0661, -0.0551, -0.0282, -0.0317, -0.0468, -0.0475, -0.0723, -0.0888, -0.0957, -0.1046, -0.1308, -0.095, -0.0337, -0.0365, -0.0089, -0.0475, -0.0344, 0.0007, -0.0158, -0.0289, 0.022, 0.0489, 0.0778, 0.0454, 0.0557, 0.0489, 0.0764, 0.0888, 0.1053, 0.1053, 0.1308, 0.1211, 0.1005, 0.117, 0.1542, 0.1831, 0.1906, 0.2037, 0.2443, 0.2794, 0.3489, 0.2498, 0.2829, 0.1989, 0.2429, 0.3242, 0.2581, 0.2381, 0.2546, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2078, 0.1803, 0.1817, 0.1679, 0.1679, 0.1996, 0.2505, 0.2725, 0.2863, 0.2264, 0.2491, 0.2622, 0.2629, 0.3379, 0.3262, 0.3262, 0.3379, 0.3641, 0.3262, 0.3111, 0.2794, 0.2478, 0.2251, 0.2436, 0.2312, 0.2973, 0.351, 0.3703, 0.4033, 0.3827, 0.437, 0.4769, 0.4866, 0.5829, 0.5437, 0.5437, 0.5485, 0.5306, 0.5058, 0.5251, 0.5313, 0.4797, 0.563, 0.6483, 0.7887, 0.9236, 0.9429, 0.969, 0.8562, 0.9312, 0.9814, 0.967, 0.9979, 1.0034, 1.0502, 1.0372, 1.0028, 0.9862, 0.9339, 0.9794, 0.9071, 0.8197, 0.7784, 0.8362, 0.8892, 0.8431, 0.9153, 0.9153, 0.9979]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1290792632671600640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-04T23:32:00+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Currently one of our highest conviction ideas", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Highest-conviction long on DFIN into earnings tomorrow.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DFIN catching a bid today! Earnings coming out tomorrow before market open. Currently one of our highest conviction ideas. \n\nCheck out our valuation at https://t.co/5cWgejpiuI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08223354195401955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08223354195401955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07838574730325831, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07838574730325831, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003847794650761238, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003847794650761238, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18883244514146047, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18883244514146047, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18262157602035556, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18262157602035556, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006210869121104912, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006210869121104912, "ret_p1w": 0.15736032254135512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15736032254135512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14905876792135775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14905876792135775, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008301554619997376, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008301554619997376, "ret_p1m": 0.1675126451400275, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1675126451400275, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0837703611585019, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0837703611585019, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08374228398152561, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08374228398152561, "ret_p3m": 0.2822334644982405, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822334644982405, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2889379384870966, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2889379384870966, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.006704473988856097, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006704473988856097, "ret_p6m": 0.8071064515435677, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8071064515435677, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6633412548426789, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6633412548426789, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14376519670088883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14376519670088883, "price_path": [-0.2102, -0.201, -0.2173, -0.2914, -0.3492, -0.3472, -0.3218, -0.264, -0.2883, -0.2437, -0.2721, -0.266, -0.266, -0.203, -0.1239, -0.1695, -0.1726, -0.1472, -0.1431, -0.1208, -0.0883, -0.0416, 0.0173, -0.0802, -0.0873, -0.1523, -0.135, -0.1137, -0.0964, -0.1543, -0.1888, -0.1645, -0.1523, -0.1533, -0.2234, -0.1868, -0.2051, -0.1695, -0.1472, -0.1107, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.1137, -0.1401, -0.1391, -0.1746, -0.1523, -0.1766, -0.197, -0.1492, -0.1513, -0.1563, -0.1523, -0.1218, -0.1411, -0.1421, -0.1594, -0.1695, -0.1736, -0.1492, -0.1513, -0.1218, -0.0822, 0.0, 0.1888, 0.2315, 0.201, 0.1746, 0.1574, 0.1604, 0.1553, 0.1563, 0.1503, 0.1117, 0.1421, 0.1157, 0.0731, 0.1046, 0.135, 0.1269, 0.1259, 0.1168, 0.1066, 0.1421, 0.1675, 0.1157, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.1299, 0.1228, 0.0985, 0.1299, 0.1756, 0.1909, 0.1797, 0.2244, 0.1543, 0.1706, 0.197, 0.202, 0.2447, 0.3553, 0.3391, 0.3563, 0.3401, 0.3635, 0.3523, 0.4162, 0.4751, 0.4985, 0.4569, 0.4264, 0.4315, 0.3563, 0.3888, 0.3777, 0.3939, 0.4335, 0.4284, 0.4061, 0.4051, 0.3685, 0.3442, 0.334, 0.3208, 0.2822, 0.335, 0.4254, 0.4213, 0.4619, 0.4051, 0.4244, 0.4761, 0.4518, 0.4325, 0.5076, 0.5472, 0.5898, 0.5421, 0.5574, 0.5472, 0.5878, 0.6061, 0.6305, 0.6305, 0.668, 0.6538, 0.6234, 0.6477, 0.7025, 0.7452, 0.7563, 0.7756, 0.8355, 0.8873, 0.9898, 0.8437, 0.8924, 0.7685, 0.8335, 0.9533, 0.8558, 0.8264, 0.8508, 0.8173, 0.8173, 0.7817, 0.7411, 0.7431, 0.7228, 0.7228, 0.7695, 0.8447, 0.8772, 0.8975, 0.8091, 0.8426, 0.8619, 0.8629, 0.9736, 0.9563, 0.9563, 0.9736, 1.0122, 0.9563, 0.934, 0.8873, 0.8406, 0.8071]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1879086959093833847", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-14T08:43:37+00:00", "symbol": "CARD.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We expect Card's market position to strengthen", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CARD.L: minimum wage policies benefit scaled players like Card Factory, reinforcing market position vs smaller rivals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CARD.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CARD.L up 8% on heavily positive trading update. Unfortunately (or fortunately for CARD shareholders) onerous minimum wage policies help scaled players like Card Factory at the expense of smaller competition along with disincentivizing potential entrants. We expect Card’s market position to strengthen.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014130411322790803, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014130411322790803, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01275647887776643, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01607044249743994, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013739324450243728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019400311746491372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03478255094840832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03478255094840832, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01659246391673319, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0093359409097038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01819008703167513, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02544661003870452, "ret_p1w": 0.026086996222969283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026086996222969283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009743200702029942, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015692419129202495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035830196924999225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04177941535217178, "ret_p1m": 0.010869630183040657, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010869630183040657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02549331388680498, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013947745373077414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03636294406984564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009474855645732916, "ret_p3m": -0.06304345660565314, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06304345660565314, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.017074311463531444, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07861785355622208, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08011776806918458, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14166131016187522, "ret_p6m": -0.04965052089818622, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04965052089818622, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12797168989155783, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.042338978832936025, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0783211689933716, "bench_c_p6m": -0.007311542065250198, "price_path": [0.001, -0.0153, -0.0382, -0.0436, -0.0327, -0.0371, -0.0153, -0.0316, -0.0545, -0.0121, -0.0804, -0.0772, -0.0815, -0.1087, -0.1054, -0.0761, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1163, -0.1348, -0.1261, -0.1283, -0.1261, -0.1304, -0.1152, -0.1098, -0.0609, -0.0228, -0.0261, -0.0293, -0.063, -0.0315, -0.0174, -0.0076, -0.0185, 0.0598, 0.0522, 0.1087, 0.1196, 0.1022, 0.1217, 0.1196, 0.0913, 0.0772, 0.0359, 0.0424, 0.0533, 0.037, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0402, 0.0511, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0674, 0.0533, 0.0652, 0.0283, -0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0054, -0.0141, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0402, 0.0033, 0.0554, 0.0261, 0.0163, 0.0087, 0.0163, 0.0065, 0.0261, 0.0174, 0.0348, 0.0326, 0.0272, 0.0239, 0.0228, 0.0239, 0.013, 0.0207, 0.0076, 0.0109, 0.0207, 0.0098, 0.0109, 0.0217, 0.0054, 0.038, 0.0293, 0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0022, -0.0141, -0.0359, -0.087, -0.088, -0.0913, -0.0761, -0.0848, -0.1011, -0.1065, -0.1163, -0.1054, -0.0935, -0.0891, -0.088, -0.0859, -0.1022, -0.1011, -0.087, -0.063, -0.0793, -0.0783, -0.0989, -0.0815, -0.0739, -0.0826, -0.113, -0.1304, -0.0989, -0.113, -0.0848, -0.063, -0.0337, -0.0196, 0.0043, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0141, 0.012, 0.0185, 0.0174, 0.0348, 0.0359, 0.0446, 0.025, 0.0674, 0.0804, 0.0804, 0.0826, 0.0337, 0.0043, 0.0511, -0.0011, 0.0152, 0.0217, 0.0098, 0.038, 0.0348, 0.0543, 0.0554, 0.0522, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0696, 0.0641, 0.033, 0.0384, 0.0515, 0.0493, 0.0406, 0.0004, 0.0091, 0.0276, 0.0515, 0.0395, 0.0363, 0.0341, 0.021, 0.0221, 0.0265, -0.0007, 0.0102, -0.0007, -0.0105, -0.0214, -0.0279, -0.0062, -0.0149, -0.0301, -0.0257, -0.0181, -0.0323, -0.041, -0.042, -0.0497]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709647820301431218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-04T19:12:58+00:00", "symbol": "INMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For those that can't seem to find a bear case this should help", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares bear case for INMD: fading Morpheus8 momentum, weak product breadth, poor retention, and customer service issues.", "resolved_tickers": ["INMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Medical Devices'", "bench_c_industry": "Medical Devices", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Researching $INMD currently….\n\nSnippet of my talk with a cosmetic professional below. For those that can’t seem to find a bear case this should help:\n\n“They are a multi modality company and going through a hard time right now because they gained a lot of\nMomentum with the Morpheus 8 but the rest of their technologies aren’t as popular. \n\nThey have treatments prompted by Kim kardashian which is how they got popular in the first place.  \n\nInternally they can’t keep team members, their customer service is sub par and their sales reps are different every quarter. “", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007798696485042278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007798696485042278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015028071998048897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012018707492144953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0072293755130066195, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004220011007102675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010634770513699987, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0010634770513699987, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014401854268182301, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004407001987609016, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00037670837544823144, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005470479038979015, "ret_p1w": -0.007798628872539903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007798628872539903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03525593185854514, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027648588871861057, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02745730298600524, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019849959999321154, "ret_p1m": -0.22864229226937582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22864229226937582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24300681059607898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2194206577985569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014364518326703157, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009221634470818918, "ret_p3m": -0.2116270651224692, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2116270651224692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33543696952039315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2822008947381649, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12380990439792394, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0705738296156957, "ret_p6m": -0.2339595423012213, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2339595423012213, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4745342891092277, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3978174789375848, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2405747468080064, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1638579366363635, "price_path": [0.3495, 0.4116, 0.4442, 0.603, 0.6019, 0.5931, 0.5938, 0.6232, 0.632, 0.604, 0.6026, 0.5821, 0.5516, 0.5962, 0.5619, 0.519, 0.5211, 0.5541, 0.5381, 0.5243, 0.5136, 0.5232, 0.53, 0.4959, 0.4424, 0.4399, 0.4555, 0.3846, 0.3502, 0.3169, 0.3279, 0.3304, 0.34, 0.3846, 0.34, 0.3485, 0.3437, 0.3758, 0.4204, 0.3857, 0.3999, 0.3999, 0.3793, 0.3967, 0.3538, 0.3438, 0.3396, 0.2992, 0.2219, 0.2375, 0.2049, 0.2021, 0.1957, 0.1723, 0.1432, 0.1443, 0.1489, 0.1429, 0.1542, 0.0971, 0.0798, 0.0681, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0011, 0.0177, -0.0135, 0.0291, -0.0078, -0.206, -0.2644, -0.2442, -0.2474, -0.2648, -0.296, -0.3017, -0.2935, -0.2815, -0.3017, -0.3176, -0.3219, -0.3258, -0.3229, -0.3254, -0.2286, -0.2386, -0.2744, -0.3024, -0.2914, -0.302, -0.3088, -0.2974, -0.2566, -0.2138, -0.2304, -0.2169, -0.1989, -0.2024, -0.178, -0.178, -0.1875, -0.1932, -0.1709, -0.1563, -0.1581, -0.1301, -0.1248, -0.1627, -0.2464, -0.2644, -0.2294, -0.2364, -0.2591, -0.2194, -0.1815, -0.1907, -0.2077, -0.1868, -0.2269, -0.1939, -0.1946, -0.1946, -0.1847, -0.2024, -0.201, -0.2116, -0.2116, -0.2123, -0.2556, -0.2552, -0.257, -0.2425, -0.2173, -0.2223, -0.2488, -0.2634, -0.2634, -0.2354, -0.2244, -0.1882, -0.1992, -0.1822, -0.185, -0.1946, -0.1741, -0.1758, -0.1397, -0.1482, -0.1602, -0.145, -0.1492, -0.1655, -0.1205, -0.1134, -0.101, -0.0798, -0.061, -0.1609, -0.1882, -0.1574, -0.1918, -0.1918, -0.2566, -0.2613, -0.2666, -0.2432, -0.24, -0.2205, -0.2315, -0.2201, -0.1872, -0.1769, -0.1868, -0.1932, -0.1964, -0.2212, -0.2364, -0.2393, -0.223, -0.2439, -0.2588, -0.2641, -0.2701, -0.2471, -0.2474, -0.2751, -0.2751, -0.2673, -0.2485, -0.234]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1296921992998748160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-21T21:27:53+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A plus for DFIN given more companies will go standard IPO route. We are long!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DFIN: standard IPO revival benefits revenue more than SPACs; reduced uncertainty drives companies to traditional route.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rsosa8 Their rev is lower on SPACs vs standard IPOs that are more involved and take longer. Also, expect SPAC issuance to die down because of reduced uncertainty around capital market financing. A plus for DFIN given more companies will go standard IPO route. We are long!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "SPACs, SPACs and more SPACs. We've already seen more SPAC issuance on a dollar basis than we've seen over the last few years combined. September will be a huge month for IPO's and I'm participating via $DFIN. \n\nHow about you?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rsosa8", "ret_m1d": 0.03973510770294597, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03973510770294597, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04327001218282833, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04327001218282833, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035349044798823614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035349044798823614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029328328152033567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029328328152033567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01919514951093393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01919514951093393, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010133178641099638, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010133178641099638, "ret_p1w": 0.040681203177928005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.040681203177928005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007984456427263309, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007984456427263309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032696746750664696, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032696746750664696, "ret_p1m": 0.07568592373059357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07568592373059357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10868099437610645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10868099437610645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03299507064551288, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03299507064551288, "ret_p3m": 0.43708609450777414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43708609450777414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3833977245830289, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3833977245830289, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05368836992474524, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05368836992474524, "ret_p6m": 1.122043609533784, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.122043609533784, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9558715529799857, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9558715529799857, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1661720565537983, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1661720565537983, "price_path": [-0.2573, -0.1835, -0.2261, -0.2289, -0.2053, -0.2015, -0.1807, -0.1504, -0.1069, -0.052, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.21, -0.1939, -0.1741, -0.158, -0.2119, -0.2441, -0.2214, -0.21, -0.211, -0.2763, -0.2422, -0.2592, -0.2261, -0.2053, -0.1712, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1741, -0.1987, -0.1977, -0.2308, -0.21, -0.2327, -0.2517, -0.2072, -0.2091, -0.2138, -0.21, -0.1816, -0.1996, -0.2006, -0.2167, -0.2261, -0.2299, -0.2072, -0.2091, -0.1816, -0.1447, -0.0681, 0.1079, 0.1476, 0.1192, 0.0946, 0.0785, 0.0814, 0.0766, 0.0776, 0.0719, 0.036, 0.0643, 0.0397, 0.0, 0.0293, 0.0577, 0.0501, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0312, 0.0643, 0.088, 0.0397, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.053, 0.0464, 0.0237, 0.053, 0.0956, 0.1097, 0.0993, 0.141, 0.0757, 0.0908, 0.1154, 0.1202, 0.1599, 0.263, 0.2479, 0.264, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2602, 0.3198, 0.3746, 0.3964, 0.3576, 0.3292, 0.334, 0.264, 0.2942, 0.2838, 0.299, 0.3359, 0.3311, 0.3103, 0.3094, 0.2753, 0.2526, 0.2431, 0.2308, 0.1949, 0.2441, 0.3283, 0.3245, 0.3623, 0.3094, 0.3273, 0.3756, 0.3529, 0.3349, 0.4049, 0.4418, 0.4816, 0.4371, 0.4513, 0.4418, 0.4797, 0.4967, 0.5194, 0.5194, 0.5544, 0.5412, 0.5128, 0.5355, 0.5866, 0.6263, 0.6367, 0.6547, 0.7105, 0.7588, 0.8543, 0.7181, 0.7635, 0.6481, 0.7086, 0.8202, 0.7294, 0.702, 0.7247, 0.6935, 0.6935, 0.6604, 0.6225, 0.6244, 0.6055, 0.6055, 0.649, 0.719, 0.7493, 0.7682, 0.6859, 0.7171, 0.7351, 0.736, 0.8392, 0.8231, 0.8231, 0.8392, 0.8751, 0.8231, 0.8023, 0.7588, 0.7152, 0.684, 0.7096, 0.6925, 0.7833, 0.8571, 0.8836, 0.929, 0.9007, 0.9754, 1.0303, 1.0435, 1.176, 1.122, 1.122]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1645505372982067200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-10T19:13:47+00:00", "symbol": "GPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still not attractive at these levels. unit sales have been declining and software offerings are still subpar compared to competitors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish GPRO: declining unit sales, subpar software, heavy hardware discounting, opaque churn disclosure all make it unattractive at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["GPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$gpro still not attractive at these levels. unit sales have been declining and software offerings are still subpar compared to competitors.  gpro promotes video editing software by heavily discounting their hardware.  Their lack of disclosure around churn rates is not helping.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0010252267565137307, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005366999571203568, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010252267565137307, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005366999571203568, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0083333250549108, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0083333250549108, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008601903186488014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001063367940689508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0002685781315772129, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396692995600309, "ret_p1w": -0.016666749450892193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016666749450892193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027237919674999778, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018008969857974955, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010571170224107584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0013422204070827615, "ret_p1m": -0.08333334989017849, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08333334989017849, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08655582293500674, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09011220598213088, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0032224730448282557, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00677885609195239, "ret_p3m": -0.16041665631863844, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16041665631863844, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23776630656704412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31700527303069936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07734965024840568, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15658861671206092, "ret_p6m": -0.36041670598917386, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36041670598917386, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39713123592673205, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45827405714224234, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036714529937558193, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09785735115306848, "price_path": [0.1542, 0.1625, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1646, 0.1417, 0.1521, 0.1729, 0.2042, 0.2167, 0.2354, 0.25, 0.2833, 0.2667, 0.2812, 0.3125, 0.3458, 0.1854, 0.1479, 0.1875, 0.1708, 0.1542, 0.1396, 0.1833, 0.1833, 0.2479, 0.2062, 0.1833, 0.1833, 0.1375, 0.1062, 0.1167, 0.0708, 0.0854, 0.0812, 0.0917, 0.1042, 0.1187, 0.0917, 0.0792, 0.0792, 0.0771, 0.0479, 0.0375, 0.0646, 0.0583, 0.0542, 0.0271, 0.025, 0.0458, 0.0146, 0.0167, 0.0125, 0.0083, -0.0021, 0.0167, 0.0229, 0.0479, 0.0312, 0.0333, 0.0083, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0083, -0.0396, -0.0063, -0.0292, -0.0167, -0.0396, -0.0479, -0.0562, -0.0604, -0.075, -0.1146, -0.1156, -0.1063, -0.1083, -0.1292, -0.1458, -0.1354, -0.1333, -0.0938, -0.1063, -0.0833, -0.1646, -0.2031, -0.1917, -0.1667, -0.2021, -0.1667, -0.1521, -0.1604, -0.1292, -0.1375, -0.1417, -0.1813, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1208, -0.125, -0.1396, -0.1063, -0.1188, -0.0896, -0.1021, -0.1208, -0.1292, -0.1188, -0.1104, -0.1354, -0.1167, -0.125, -0.125, -0.1333, -0.1271, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.1521, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.125, -0.1375, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1542, -0.1604, -0.1417, -0.1375, -0.1292, -0.1146, -0.1021, -0.1125, -0.0917, -0.1, -0.0958, -0.1271, -0.1396, -0.1438, -0.1458, -0.1333, -0.1521, -0.1521, -0.1479, -0.1438, -0.1625, -0.1417, -0.226, -0.2188, -0.2063, -0.2063, -0.1854, -0.1771, -0.1656, -0.2208, -0.2667, -0.2333, -0.2188, -0.2146, -0.225, -0.1875, -0.2063, -0.2229, -0.2354, -0.2313, -0.2479, -0.2427, -0.2417, -0.2417, -0.2583, -0.2583, -0.2708, -0.2833, -0.2875, -0.2833, -0.275, -0.2583, -0.2625, -0.2667, -0.275, -0.2729, -0.3, -0.3167, -0.3229, -0.3438, -0.3354, -0.3458, -0.3458, -0.3708, -0.3604]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821320928485429345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-07T23:02:02+00:00", "symbol": "FOSL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we thought the potential upside for FOSL could be huge", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FOSL on huge potential upside; also finds MOV interesting.", "resolved_tickers": ["FOSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigBoyBern80872 Because we thought the potential upside for FOSL could be huge. But $mov does look interesting", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Why not just look at $mov.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigBoyBern80872", "ret_m1d": 0.045871514481795606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045871514481795606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03914242175792948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028112009976114072, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006729092723866126, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017759504505681534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045871514481795606, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045871514481795606, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022754079807289607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0240544245858616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023117434674506, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021817089895934005, "ret_p1w": -0.018348605792718242, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018348605792718242, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06672343320528062, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05951290745418403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837482741256238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041164301661465785, "ret_p1m": -0.06422022964083118, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06422022964083118, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12389321857589031, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16466124223714584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059672988935059124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10044101259631466, "ret_p3m": 0.21100918534889446, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21100918534889446, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10901981737187105, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03599345896189732, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1019893679770234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17501572638699714, "ret_p6m": 0.5412843083504573, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5412843083504573, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36722353185928447, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1644890897183966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1740607764911728, "bench_c_p6m": 0.37679521863206067, "price_path": [-0.1101, -0.055, 0.1193, 0.0367, 0.1468, 0.2018, 0.3303, 0.2936, 0.3119, 0.1651, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.2661, 0.156, 0.1193, 0.1009, 0.1376, 0.1009, 0.1101, 0.0917, 0.1193, 0.2844, 0.3119, 0.2477, 0.367, 0.3303, 0.3211, 0.4312, 0.4312, 0.3119, 0.3578, 0.4679, 0.4404, 0.3761, 0.3761, 0.3211, 0.3028, 0.2385, 0.2569, 0.2569, 0.2294, 0.2385, 0.211, 0.1376, 0.3028, 0.2661, 0.1927, 0.3119, 0.1927, 0.1284, 0.1468, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.1284, 0.0917, 0.1835, 0.1835, 0.1376, 0.1101, 0.1284, 0.0183, 0.0, 0.0459, 0.0, 0.0459, 0.0183, -0.0275, -0.0092, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0642, 0.1193, 0.1743, 0.1101, 0.1284, 0.0734, 0.0275, 0.0183, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0183, -0.0459, -0.0642, -0.0275, -0.0642, -0.0826, -0.0459, -0.0642, -0.0183, -0.055, -0.0459, -0.0275, -0.0092, -0.055, -0.0734, 0.0092, -0.0459, 0.0275, 0.1376, 0.0734, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.156, 0.1835, 0.1651, 0.0917, 0.0734, 0.0917, 0.0734, 0.1009, 0.1101, 0.1009, 0.055, 0.0642, 0.055, 0.0367, 0.0275, 0.0367, 0.0183, 0.0734, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1743, 0.211, 0.2752, 0.1927, 0.1651, 0.0642, 0.156, 0.1101, 0.1743, 0.2018, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.0917, 0.1009, 0.055, 0.0734, 0.1835, 0.3028, 0.367, 0.367, 0.3394, 1.156, 0.9358, 0.8165, 0.7798, 0.8073, 0.9358, 0.8624, 0.7706, 0.7248, 0.8257, 0.7156, 0.6972, 0.6697, 0.6239, 0.6972, 0.5688, 0.6606, 0.6606, 0.6789, 0.7339, 0.6239, 0.5321, 0.5321, 0.6147, 0.7248, 0.7248, 0.7339, 0.844, 0.844, 0.7339, 0.5321, 0.5138, 0.5505, 0.5963, 0.6239, 0.6239, 0.6147, 0.5688, 0.633, 0.5872, 0.5505, 0.5596, 0.5321, 0.5413]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1821320928485429345", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-07T23:02:02+00:00", "symbol": "MOV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$mov does look interesting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FOSL on huge potential upside; also finds MOV interesting.", "resolved_tickers": ["MOV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Luxury Goods", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigBoyBern80872 Because we thought the potential upside for FOSL could be huge. But $mov does look interesting", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Why not just look at $mov.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigBoyBern80872", "ret_m1d": -0.0071429042111705865, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0071429042111705865, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013871996935036712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013871996935036712, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006729092723866126, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006729092723866126, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015125977818063685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015125977818063685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007991456856442314, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007991456856442314, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023117434674506, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023117434674506, "ret_p1w": -0.014285808422341284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014285808422341284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06266063583490367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06266063583490367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837482741256238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04837482741256238, "ret_p1m": -0.1903360750800266, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1903360750800266, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2500090640150857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2500090640150857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059672988935059124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059672988935059124, "ret_p3m": -0.1945064453256562, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1945064453256562, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2964958133026796, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2964958133026796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1019893679770234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1019893679770234, "ret_p6m": -0.13551062896655142, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13551062896655142, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3095714054577242, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3095714054577242, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1740607764911728, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1740607764911728, "price_path": [0.0899, 0.1065, 0.1309, 0.1313, 0.138, 0.1405, 0.1201, 0.1185, 0.1052, 0.1044, 0.1139, 0.1139, 0.1297, 0.109, 0.0891, 0.0982, 0.1114, 0.0779, 0.0899, 0.0804, 0.0857, 0.0543, 0.058, 0.0462, 0.0513, 0.0529, 0.0739, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0563, 0.0433, 0.0618, 0.0546, 0.0571, 0.0265, 0.0445, 0.0307, 0.0277, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0193, 0.037, 0.0277, 0.0311, 0.0731, 0.0685, 0.0433, 0.0786, 0.0929, 0.0798, 0.0521, 0.0651, 0.0723, 0.05, 0.0697, 0.0718, 0.0777, 0.0891, 0.0882, 0.0534, 0.0197, -0.0235, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0151, 0.0109, -0.0126, 0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0034, 0.0143, 0.0223, 0.0071, 0.0256, 0.0004, 0.0382, 0.0357, 0.0336, 0.0139, 0.0172, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0273, -0.0513, -0.1903, -0.2059, -0.2172, -0.2214, -0.2303, -0.2273, -0.1962, -0.1611, -0.1744, -0.1611, -0.1487, -0.15, -0.1795, -0.2039, -0.2091, -0.2026, -0.1881, -0.2039, -0.1718, -0.1705, -0.174, -0.165, -0.1851, -0.1915, -0.2005, -0.2095, -0.2022, -0.2091, -0.1962, -0.1598, -0.1479, -0.1526, -0.1731, -0.1996, -0.2026, -0.2129, -0.2095, -0.1966, -0.1881, -0.18, -0.2095, -0.2061, -0.1945, -0.174, -0.153, -0.1393, -0.1504, -0.1538, -0.1735, -0.1723, -0.1688, -0.1594, -0.1735, -0.1911, -0.1975, -0.1838, -0.1611, -0.1402, -0.1547, -0.1282, -0.1282, -0.129, -0.1051, -0.1128, -0.1072, -0.1098, -0.1072, -0.1106, -0.1033, -0.0879, -0.1025, -0.1059, -0.1198, -0.1225, -0.1338, -0.1481, -0.1377, -0.1499, -0.1281, -0.1281, -0.1211, -0.1351, -0.1468, -0.1433, -0.1433, -0.149, -0.1316, -0.1359, -0.1477, -0.1638, -0.1638, -0.169, -0.1673, -0.1756, -0.1708, -0.1799, -0.1677, -0.1677, -0.1525, -0.1616, -0.1507, -0.1516, -0.1412, -0.1425, -0.1338, -0.1355]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:1714807805763567856", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-19T00:56:55+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The U.S. is still the nicest house in the neighborhood and Treasury markets are not broken", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish US assets: Treasuries not broken, US still the best macro destination; long TLT and SPY.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The U.S. is still the nicest house in the neighborhood and Treasury markets are not broken. $TLT $SPY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008864373752593746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008864373752593746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008864373752593746, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008864373752593746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012288003695187233, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012288003695187233, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012288003695187233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012288003695187233, "ret_p1w": -0.03254929229722392, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03254929229722392, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03254929229722392, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03254929229722392, "ret_p1m": 0.05712552118619296, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05712552118619296, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05712552118619296, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05712552118619296, "ret_p3m": 0.11825064249358985, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11825064249358985, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11825064249358985, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11825064249358985, "ret_p6m": 0.20656360878504776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20656360878504776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20656360878504776, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20656360878504776, "price_path": [0.0614, 0.0643, 0.0644, 0.0574, 0.0677, 0.0698, 0.0667, 0.0519, 0.0489, 0.0441, 0.0532, 0.0486, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0414, 0.0471, 0.0349, 0.0274, 0.0195, 0.02, 0.0267, 0.0239, 0.0353, 0.0209, 0.0281, 0.0346, 0.0496, 0.0539, 0.0524, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0498, 0.0427, 0.0395, 0.0411, 0.0479, 0.0422, 0.0434, 0.0524, 0.0397, 0.0403, 0.0382, 0.0286, 0.0116, 0.0094, 0.0136, -0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0049, 0.0025, 0.0021, -0.0114, -0.0042, -0.0045, 0.0073, 0.0137, 0.019, 0.0232, 0.017, 0.0119, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.0123, -0.014, -0.0066, -0.0208, -0.0325, -0.0369, -0.0254, -0.0193, -0.0088, 0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0217, 0.0246, 0.0254, 0.0174, 0.0333, 0.0323, 0.0523, 0.0545, 0.0558, 0.0571, 0.0653, 0.0629, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0677, 0.0658, 0.0668, 0.0661, 0.0703, 0.0766, 0.071, 0.0708, 0.0664, 0.0746, 0.0792, 0.0834, 0.0883, 0.1033, 0.1069, 0.1051, 0.1113, 0.118, 0.1025, 0.113, 0.1152, 0.1152, 0.1199, 0.122, 0.1224, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.1129, 0.1038, 0.1002, 0.1017, 0.1175, 0.1158, 0.1221, 0.1216, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.1183, 0.112, 0.1219, 0.1359, 0.1383, 0.1416, 0.1429, 0.1491, 0.1476, 0.1567, 0.1558, 0.137, 0.1519, 0.164, 0.1597, 0.1631, 0.1728, 0.1733, 0.1801, 0.1796, 0.1633, 0.1739, 0.182, 0.1761, 0.1761, 0.1697, 0.1707, 0.1949, 0.1958, 0.1914, 0.1936, 0.192, 0.1963, 0.2075, 0.2062, 0.1942, 0.2002, 0.2122, 0.2049, 0.2038, 0.2168, 0.2149, 0.2125, 0.2042, 0.2113, 0.218, 0.2293, 0.2334, 0.231, 0.2276, 0.2254, 0.2357, 0.2354, 0.2354, 0.2333, 0.2254, 0.2268, 0.2118, 0.2245, 0.2252, 0.2266, 0.2143, 0.2235, 0.2066]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1666172570364723201", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-06-06T19:57:51+00:00", "symbol": "ZUMZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Our newest core holding is Zumiez $ZUMZ … potential upside of 70% from today's levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "New core long ZUMZ: 70% upside over 12-24 months as earnings fundamentals improve from post-2021 selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZUMZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "fr", "tweet_text": "Our newest core holding is Zumiez $ZUMZ\n1/n\n\nhttps://t.co/PXwTbohr1W\n\n---\n\n$ZUMZ is a lifestyle retailer that has sold off 70% from 2021 highs due to recessionary fears. Despite facing several challenges, Zumiez has a proven track record of surviving and thriving through business cycles.\n\n2/n\n\n---\n\n$ZUMZ has survived due to selling exclusive apparel, managing inventory effectively, and negotiating intelligent leases.\n\n3/n\n\n---\n\n$ZUMZ earnings fundamentals are expected to improve significantly in the next 12-24 months, with a potential upside of 70% from today's levels.\n\n4/4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0661612696763515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0661612696763515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06398856495273952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05585378361423832, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0021727047236119734, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01030748606211318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14679525342300725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14679525342300725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.15025298425834388, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.153583047776071, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0034577308353366254, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0067877943530637586, "ret_p1w": 0.0344589932538224, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0344589932538224, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01429688614292468, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006770164778802323, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02016210711089772, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041229158032624724, "ret_p1m": 0.1454169935953311, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1454169935953311, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10629341637425638, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06267033287507684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039123577221074735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08274666072025427, "ret_p3m": 0.29772568068092475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29772568068092475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23970160985393663, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22921149199128799, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05802407082698813, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06851418868963677, "ret_p6m": 0.31013093928440116, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31013093928440116, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2403270672837894, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2438171721440361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06980387200061178, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06631376714036508, "price_path": [0.552, 0.4921, 0.4238, 0.408, 0.3439, 0.3267, 0.2777, 0.2481, 0.2784, 0.235, 0.2054, 0.2143, 0.1861, 0.1985, 0.2219, 0.2316, 0.2708, 0.306, 0.2757, 0.2619, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.2977, 0.3432, 0.2895, 0.266, 0.2819, 0.2791, 0.2543, 0.2157, 0.2371, 0.2336, 0.213, 0.1502, 0.1799, 0.1937, 0.2054, 0.1688, 0.133, 0.1178, 0.1116, 0.1351, 0.1392, 0.1123, 0.093, 0.1137, 0.102, 0.1172, 0.0986, 0.1606, 0.1985, 0.1213, 0.1241, 0.1551, 0.1943, 0.1399, 0.1695, 0.1695, 0.1433, 0.1075, 0.082, 0.0662, -0.0662, 0.0, 0.1468, 0.0944, 0.0131, 0.0145, 0.0345, 0.0062, 0.0434, 0.0034, 0.0034, 0.0827, 0.1151, 0.1309, 0.1626, 0.1744, 0.184, 0.1427, 0.1702, 0.1482, 0.1881, 0.1881, 0.1454, 0.1502, 0.2006, 0.193, 0.2219, 0.2336, 0.2033, 0.2164, 0.2578, 0.2578, 0.2777, 0.2529, 0.2405, 0.286, 0.2771, 0.2984, 0.2929, 0.3039, 0.2998, 0.2943, 0.2943, 0.3115, 0.2901, 0.2895, 0.2653, 0.2447, 0.2736, 0.3198, 0.2633, 0.275, 0.2398, 0.2826, 0.3081, 0.2771, 0.2901, 0.3143, 0.2474, 0.244, 0.2171, 0.2598, 0.2509, 0.3088, 0.2977, 0.2977, 0.2564, 0.2895, 0.286, 0.1551, 0.2026, 0.1358, 0.133, 0.1813, 0.1427, 0.1358, 0.1682, 0.2178, 0.1902, 0.1999, 0.2274, 0.1978, 0.1999, 0.2192, 0.2267, 0.193, 0.1757, 0.2006, 0.1626, 0.1592, 0.1585, 0.1771, 0.1799, 0.1371, 0.0896, 0.162, 0.2192, 0.1819, 0.1868, 0.1723, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1558, 0.1509, 0.1027, 0.1241, 0.1323, 0.1068, 0.1433, 0.1654, 0.1385, 0.1344, 0.0965, 0.0572, 0.0848, 0.0841, 0.2205, 0.2929, 0.2171, 0.244, 0.2695, 0.2571, 0.2702, 0.2702, 0.2612, 0.2702, 0.266, 0.3101]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1442936714515804169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-28T19:38:15+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the last period of tapering was from the summer of 2013 to the end of QE in the fall 2014--the S&P 500 went up over 20%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Despite QE taper concerns starting Nov FOMC, author implies S&P 500 will rise as it did 20%+ during the last taper cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The November FOMC meeting will most likely mark the beginning of the QE taper. A period of concern for markets however keep in mind the last period of tapering was from the summer of 2013 to the end of QE in the fall 2014--the S&amp;P 500 went up over 20%.\n\n$SPY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020566343535018072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020566343535018072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020566343535018072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020566343535018072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001683235674776018, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001683235674776018, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001683235674776018, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001683235674776018, "ret_p1w": -0.001429343136140182, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001429343136140182, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001429343136140182, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001429343136140182, "ret_p1m": 0.04661996950145819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04661996950145819, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04661996950145819, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04661996950145819, "ret_p3m": 0.08884405017581232, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08884405017581232, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08884405017581232, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08884405017581232, "ret_p6m": 0.0300257867094591, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0300257867094591, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0300257867094591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0300257867094591, "price_path": [-0.0108, -0.0032, -0.0032, -0.005, -0.0015, -0.0096, 0.0009, 0.0045, 0.0011, 0.0026, -0.0008, -0.0087, -0.0233, -0.0093, -0.0013, 0.0008, 0.0111, 0.0136, 0.009, 0.0086, 0.0127, 0.0078, 0.0057, 0.0139, 0.0089, 0.0153, 0.017, 0.0161, 0.0174, 0.0199, 0.023, 0.0248, 0.0273, 0.0205, 0.0094, 0.0109, 0.019, 0.0279, 0.0296, 0.0317, 0.0256, 0.0348, 0.0393, 0.0378, 0.0384, 0.0416, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0376, 0.0363, 0.0319, 0.0237, 0.0264, 0.0208, 0.0294, 0.0277, 0.0177, 0.0007, -0.0002, 0.0095, 0.0218, 0.0235, 0.0206, 0.0, 0.0017, -0.0106, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0014, 0.0027, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0022, -0.0002, 0.0034, 0.0202, 0.028, 0.0311, 0.039, 0.0431, 0.0458, 0.0447, 0.0503, 0.0513, 0.0466, 0.0567, 0.0589, 0.0607, 0.065, 0.0715, 0.0765, 0.0803, 0.0812, 0.0776, 0.0689, 0.0693, 0.0774, 0.0777, 0.082, 0.0794, 0.083, 0.0811, 0.078, 0.0795, 0.0824, 0.0824, 0.0582, 0.0712, 0.0504, 0.0387, 0.0546, 0.0454, 0.0578, 0.0797, 0.0825, 0.0752, 0.0854, 0.0757, 0.0683, 0.085, 0.0755, 0.064, 0.0527, 0.0714, 0.0821, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.1043, 0.1034, 0.1048, 0.1017, 0.0989, 0.1053, 0.1049, 0.0837, 0.0827, 0.0784, 0.0771, 0.0869, 0.0898, 0.0748, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0562, 0.0452, 0.0337, 0.0134, 0.0177, 0.0052, 0.0027, -0.0022, 0.0226, 0.041, 0.048, 0.0582, 0.0333, 0.0382, 0.0348, 0.0434, 0.0586, 0.0396, 0.0191, 0.0158, 0.0322, 0.0333, 0.0112, 0.0047, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0237, -0.009, 0.0128, 0.0102, -0.0051, 0.0132, 0.0081, -0.0001, -0.0295, -0.0369, -0.0111, -0.0156, -0.0281, -0.0352, -0.014, 0.0079, 0.0205, 0.0317, 0.0314, 0.0435, 0.03]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1854971277876089095", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-08T19:36:31+00:00", "symbol": "AKAM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We were unable to assign a buy rating for three key reasons... high capital demands and strategic risks make it challenging to justify a position without clearer scaling success", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "No buy rating on AKAM: CDN stabilization uncertain, compute ROI unclear, acquisition cadence opaque — high capex and strategic risk make position hard to justify.", "resolved_tickers": ["AKAM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AKAM down on Q3 earnings\n\nAkamai is at the nexus of several interesting trends: edge computing, cybersecurity, cloud services, IoT/5G, and AI\n\nWe were unable to assign a buy rating for three key reasons:\n\n-Uncertainty on whether CDN business has stabilized\n-Uncertainty on whether their large foray into compute will be value enhancing\n-Uncertainty on cadence of future acquisitions to support security business\n\nCompany Background + Thesis + Full write-up below 1/n\n\n---\n\nThesis: Akamai's transformation from a CDN provider to an edge computing and security firm is intriguing, yet its heavy reliance on capital expenditures and acquisitions adds uncertainty to its growth strategy.\n\n---\n\nFounded in 1998, Akamai pioneered content delivery solutions, evolving into a CDN leader by positioning servers closer to end users to reduce latency.\n\n---\n\nCloudflare’s entry in 2010, offering bundled security and CDN at lower costs, pressured Akamai to expand its security offerings through acquisitions.\n\n---\n\nRecent years saw hyperscalers like AWS enter the CDN market, bundling services and challenging Akamai’s market share.\n\n---\n\nCompetitive Advantage 1: Akamai maintains the largest global edge network, enabling low-latency content delivery, especially in underserved regions.\n\n---\n\nCompetitive Advantage 2: Known for custom, performance-driven solutions, Akamai serves major clients in media, finance, and e-commerce.\n\n---\n\nGrowth Opportunity: Upselling edge compute and advanced security features to existing clients, and expanding in cybersecurity, are key revenue paths.\n\n---\n\nEdge Computing Potential: Akamai’s distributed network could leverage the demand from IoT and AI for edge computing but requires substantial infrastructure investments.\n\n---\n\nChallenges: CDN growth is hindered by pricing pressures from hyperscalers, while compute expansion brings high costs and uncertain ROI.\n\n---\n\nConclusion: While Akamai could lead in edge computing, high capital demands and strategic risks make it challenging to justify a position without clearer scaling success.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/DpNFOGWbLD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16817722185727124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16817722185727124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17249028096353625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17249028096353625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004313059106265005, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004313059106265005, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019022008459177453, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019022008459177453, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018069182484730106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018069182484730106, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009528259744473466, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009528259744473466, "ret_p1w": -0.021707534763172442, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021707534763172442, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0009114379637807923, 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{"unit_id": "reply:1815776425947058444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-23T15:50:10+00:00", "symbol": "RRGB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "risk/reward skew is very attractive. Challenged category but management is taking the right steps and there is small evidence they are starting to comp positive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RRGB on attractive risk/reward; management executing and early comps turning positive despite category headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["RRGB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@capitalemployed $RRGB Red Robin. Not without its risks but risk/reward skew is very attractive. Challenged category but management is taking the right steps and there is small evidence they are starting to comp positive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Our usual quarterly post.\n\nWhat's your favorite small/microcap (sub $500m) idea right now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capitalemployed", "ret_m1d": -0.011513107845822268, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011513107845822268, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01308420603118765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016009705767619065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015710981853653827, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004496597921796797, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06907896078359399, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06907896078359399, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04641647996092868, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028185957846746046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02266248082266531, "bench_c_p1d": -0.040893002936847944, "ret_p1w": -0.041118421568599794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041118421568599794, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019846533130187693, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017841673777133082, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0212718884384121, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023276747791466712, "ret_p1m": -0.16940785294341854, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16940785294341854, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18175933374931608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16157830610390467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012351480805897541, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007829546839513868, "ret_p3m": 0.059210549018389846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.059210549018389846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00033673641514631036, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0015920266945450567, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.058873812603243536, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05761852232384479, "ret_p6m": -0.0970394999985883, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0970394999985883, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.174361590656389, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30415239565726926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07732209065780071, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20711289565868096, "price_path": [0.1349, 0.153, 0.25, 0.2418, 0.2401, 0.2368, 0.2039, 0.2632, 0.2599, 0.2796, 0.2862, 0.25, 0.2796, 0.2632, 0.1908, 0.1645, 0.1118, 0.153, 0.1628, 0.1266, 0.1118, 0.1168, 0.1168, 0.125, 0.1069, 0.2714, 0.3322, 0.3651, 0.352, 0.4391, 0.4622, 0.3882, 0.3487, 0.324, 0.3454, 0.3092, 0.2763, 0.278, 0.2418, 0.2418, 0.25, 0.2319, 0.2599, 0.2977, 0.2796, 0.2813, 0.2451, 0.1316, 0.0888, 0.0806, 0.0806, 0.0855, 0.0757, 0.0033, -0.028, -0.0049, 0.0148, -0.0263, 0.0461, 0.0148, -0.0263, -0.0132, -0.0115, 0.0, -0.0691, -0.0543, -0.051, -0.0461, -0.0411, -0.0773, -0.0789, -0.0658, -0.1069, -0.0411, -0.0839, -0.1069, -0.1859, -0.2237, -0.2204, -0.227, -0.1891, -0.2039, -0.1776, -0.2007, -0.1694, -0.222, -0.2862, -0.3405, -0.3635, -0.4424, -0.4079, -0.4243, -0.4243, -0.4507, -0.4507, -0.4622, -0.4836, -0.5, -0.4819, -0.4918, -0.4934, -0.4638, -0.4671, -0.3816, -0.3898, -0.352, -0.3487, -0.2796, -0.2368, -0.2862, -0.25, -0.278, -0.2747, -0.2813, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2105, -0.2122, -0.222, -0.2155, -0.0954, -0.1118, -0.0822, -0.0526, -0.0428, -0.0016, 0.0592, 0.0724, -0.0066, -0.0148, -0.0313, -0.0378, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0066, -0.0609, -0.0247, -0.0329, 0.0, 0.0066, -0.1447, -0.1283, -0.1727, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1562, -0.1414, -0.1316, -0.1382, -0.1826, -0.1908, -0.1447, -0.0987, -0.148, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1349, -0.0921, -0.0247, -0.0461, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.1102, -0.1151, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1283, -0.148, -0.2072, -0.176, -0.1266, -0.0937, -0.1332, -0.1332, -0.1299, -0.1135, -0.1053, -0.097, -0.097, -0.0674, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0855, -0.125, -0.125, -0.1184, -0.1003, -0.0543, -0.097]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1731937333434347979", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-05T07:23:32+00:00", "symbol": "YELLQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we re-entered the position at open. shareholder recovery should be around 600mm, indicating more than 500% upside", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Re-entered long YELLQ; calculates 600mm shareholder recovery vs current price, implying 500%+ upside from auction results beating stalking horse by 400mm.", "resolved_tickers": ["YELLQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Trucking'", "bench_c_industry": "Trucking", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HUGE news for Yellow Corporation shareholders. Auction results came in 400mm above stalking horse bid.  By our calculations, shareholder recovery should be around 600mm, indicating more than 500% upside. $yellq \n\n(either we totally missed something or the pop on open will be gargantuan)\n\n---\n\nwe re-entered the position at open. For those interested, there is a good piece on SA from Wyco Researcher: https://t.co/eOjfwmOA1o", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.31906613017228014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.31906613017228014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3192634085171997, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.32721129786652137, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001972783449195603, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008145167694241229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07782103224857195, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07782103224857195, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08185065447812478, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07337825346361715, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004029622229552832, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004442778784954804, "ret_p1w": 0.4396887719040117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4396887719040117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.42326288457208094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.41691938412080365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016425887331930733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022769387783208028, "ret_p1m": 1.3735408805772438, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.3735408805772438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.3426807138953152, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.3390333061404807, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03086016668192859, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03450757443676311, "ret_p3m": 1.0817120792225068, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0817120792225068, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9539649386207616, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9507896561411546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1277471406017452, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13092242308135216, "ret_p6m": 1.8793775438080234, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8793775438080234, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7188994365327346, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.747947096210221, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16047810727528877, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1314304475978023, "price_path": [-0.3444, -0.3161, -0.3113, -0.3152, -0.3307, -0.3191, -0.3074, -0.2957, -0.3074, -0.3735, -0.3774, -0.4047, -0.3969, -0.3969, -0.4007, -0.428, -0.4514, -0.4475, -0.4514, -0.4514, -0.4553, -0.4358, -0.4163, -0.3852, -0.3969, -0.4163, -0.3891, -0.4163, -0.4202, -0.4553, -0.4825, -0.4825, -0.5058, -0.537, -0.5477, -0.5642, -0.5681, -0.428, -0.4412, -0.4475, -0.4591, -0.4942, -0.3774, -0.2996, -0.3346, -0.2802, -0.2802, -0.2646, -0.2996, -0.2996, -0.3339, -0.284, -0.2996, -0.2695, -0.2412, -0.2412, -0.2335, -0.2996, -0.3191, -0.3726, -0.3774, -0.4319, -0.3191, 0.0, 0.0778, 0.07, -0.0739, 0.1829, 0.4397, 0.5354, 0.4903, 0.4708, 0.4436, 0.4514, 0.5136, 0.786, 0.7969, 0.7969, 1.1128, 1.1167, 1.0817, 1.2218, 1.2218, 1.0428, 1.3735, 1.4319, 1.2957, 1.3152, 1.0817, 0.9455, 0.8187, 0.751, 0.751, 0.7471, 0.5837, 0.751, 0.6342, 0.5564, 0.6148, 0.6732, 0.6537, 0.751, 0.9455, 0.8482, 0.6732, 0.751, 0.751, 0.751, 0.6693, 0.6148, 0.6342, 0.7315, 0.8482, 0.7432, 0.751, 0.821, 0.751, 0.751, 0.7704, 0.7315, 0.7899, 0.7704, 0.8482, 0.8191, 1.0233, 1.0428, 1.0817, 1.1401, 1.2179, 1.3346, 1.2957, 1.2374, 1.2082, 1.1401, 1.2335, 1.2023, 1.179, 1.2296, 1.4125, 1.3502, 1.3346, 1.2957, 1.3346, 1.2374, 1.5486, 1.4125, 1.4125, 1.4319, 1.4319, 1.4125, 1.393, 1.5292, 1.5292, 1.5097, 1.6848, 1.9183, 2.035, 1.9183, 1.7821, 1.7821, 1.9008, 2.035, 2.0739, 2.1712, 2.1907, 2.1907, 2.2763, 2.2626, 2.2685, 2.2685, 2.251, 2.2179, 2.2101, 2.1518, 2.2218, 2.1673, 2.0856, 2.0739, 1.9961, 1.9202, 1.6654, 1.6459, 1.4125, 1.5292, 1.642, 1.7237, 1.9086, 1.9086, 1.9611, 1.8794]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1859010022623375369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-19T23:05:02+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it accelerates domestic uranium enrichment, benefiting LEU significantly", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Despite short-term headwinds from TENEX cancellation, net long LEU as disruption accelerates domestic enrichment build-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@quakes99 Interesting times for $LEU. TENEX supplies over half of Centrus' orders through 2025, but Orano and other suppliers could make up the shortfall. While short-term impacts are negative, it accelerates domestic uranium enrichment, benefiting LEU significantly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Game on!🏒🥅 US #Nuclear fuel importer Centrus Energy $LEU has now been notified by #Russia's enrichment services provider TENEX that its license to export low-enriched #Uranium from Russia to the #USA has been cancelled🧾✂️ effective through Dec. 31, 2025.🇷🇺⚛️🚢⛔️🇺🇸😱🤠🐂 https://t.co/mFUHVwcPQJ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "quakes99", "ret_m1d": 0.11620436619668117, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11620436619668117, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1198466402782794, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10980888414481438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003642274081598229, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0063954820518667965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09693429765910122, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09693429765910122, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09659549859915018, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08686922445982725, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033879905995104487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010065073199273966, "ret_p1w": 0.18905105033930192, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18905105033930192, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17151769905035508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19072836677395744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01753335128894684, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001677316434655518, "ret_p1m": 0.011970798464587151, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011970798464587151, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01878098584393806, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13075864704868856, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006810187379350907, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11878784858410141, "ret_p3m": 0.6640875600550296, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6640875600550296, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6277468088220546, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.711837215039798, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03634075123297498, "bench_c_p3m": -0.047749654984768464, "ret_p6m": 0.41489048421817976, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41489048421817976, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4131267083105503, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5065695197511619, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.001763775907629439, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09167903553298218, "price_path": [-0.4521, -0.4175, -0.4365, -0.4238, -0.4453, -0.4255, -0.4219, -0.4219, -0.4764, -0.4634, -0.4565, -0.4838, -0.4766, -0.4698, -0.4177, -0.4248, -0.4229, -0.4181, -0.4181, -0.4187, -0.3949, -0.3429, -0.2657, -0.2257, -0.1965, -0.2001, -0.1574, -0.1993, -0.1272, -0.0613, -0.053, -0.0099, -0.0561, -0.0474, -0.0796, -0.1854, -0.132, -0.1369, -0.1051, 0.1298, 0.1832, 0.4393, 0.3793, 0.3629, 0.3216, 0.2457, 0.2553, 0.3705, 0.5321, 0.5079, 0.5155, 0.599, 0.1387, 0.1055, 0.2714, 0.2642, 0.3396, 0.3371, 0.3359, 0.1912, 0.1582, 0.0242, 0.1162, 0.0, 0.0969, 0.1664, 0.2679, 0.2142, 0.1891, 0.2042, 0.2042, 0.3285, 0.2039, 0.1229, 0.1175, 0.1504, 0.1429, 0.06, 0.0448, 0.0965, 0.0882, 0.0572, 0.1203, 0.0496, 0.012, -0.0039, -0.0248, -0.0038, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0603, 0.0323, -0.0093, -0.0276, -0.0276, 0.081, 0.1796, 0.1909, 0.0752, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.034, 0.0184, 0.0199, 0.0747, 0.0812, 0.1362, 0.1362, 0.2924, 0.3257, 0.3752, 0.3431, 0.1415, 0.1521, 0.188, 0.2464, 0.2015, 0.1952, 0.1737, 0.2321, 0.1943, 0.5899, 0.6699, 0.6642, 0.733, 0.7193, 0.6641, 0.6641, 0.6301, 0.5474, 0.5206, 0.4346, 0.3077, 0.2793, 0.365, 0.3069, 0.3245, 0.2263, 0.2964, 0.2345, 0.1638, 0.1651, 0.0804, 0.0797, 0.0838, 0.0505, 0.115, 0.1102, 0.0672, 0.1091, 0.0844, 0.0806, 0.1222, 0.0764, 0.0218, 0.0088, -0.0328, -0.0918, -0.0524, -0.0801, -0.1575, -0.2054, -0.1451, -0.1905, -0.0606, -0.1185, -0.0607, -0.053, -0.0707, -0.0489, -0.0181, -0.0181, -0.0857, -0.0477, -0.018, 0.0036, 0.0155, 0.0273, 0.0359, 0.0115, 0.0378, 0.0718, 0.0461, 0.087, 0.0584, 0.2914, 0.3664, 0.3826, 0.3514, 0.4149]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1293286529075261440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-11T20:41:51+00:00", "symbol": "HSW.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we think Hostelworld is a great #COVID19 pick", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long HSW.L: despite -70% revenues, solvency >1yr + recovering European hostel traffic make it a COVID recovery play.", "resolved_tickers": ["HSW.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Travel Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Travel Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hostelworld's earnings tomorrow could be surprising, web traffic has increased roughly 100% since May, with the majority of hits coming from UK and Germany. \n\nDisclosure: Long HSW.L\n\n---\n\nUpdate:\n\n@hostelworld revenues down ~70%—but with predicted solvency &gt;1 year, an eager-to-travel customer base, and hostel traffic picking up in Europe where #COVID19 not blocking tourism, we think Hostelworld is a great #COVID19 pick.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04610488806045676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04610488806045676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05442817615454165, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04807944559691946, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00832328809408489, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019745575364626955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01430944461613437, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01430944461613437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02825177651732791, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027569233064127396, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013942331901193539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013259788447993026, "ret_p1w": 0.001589876765323961, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001589876765323961, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015958114185171013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030572484660311483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017547990950494974, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032162361425635444, "ret_p1m": -0.01430944461613437, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01430944461613437, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0353131236715597, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05796860474048715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02100367905542533, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04365916012435278, "ret_p3m": -0.22599629703482849, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22599629703482849, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28237146752745923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30573604949488165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056375170492630744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07973975246005316, "ret_p6m": 0.2577561172971099, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2577561172971099, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10086694373931149, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06243080730859685, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1568891735577984, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19532530998851305, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0429, -0.0429, -0.0207, -0.0429, -0.0684, -0.0779, -0.0779, 0.089, 0.1526, 0.1669, 0.213, 0.2162, 0.2544, 0.4467, 0.3498, 0.3514, 0.2973, 0.3196, 0.3466, 0.248, 0.256, 0.2353, 0.2782, 0.2846, 0.248, 0.248, 0.2242, 0.2242, 0.2321, 0.0334, 0.0254, 0.0334, 0.0143, 0.0127, 0.0032, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0652, 0.0238, 0.0175, 0.0254, 0.0541, 0.0334, 0.0493, 0.0334, 0.0175, 0.0016, 0.0302, -0.0159, -0.0254, -0.0827, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0668, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0684, -0.0254, -0.0461, -0.0477, -0.0461, -0.0461, 0.0, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0191, 0.0016, 0.0016, -0.0175, 0.0016, 0.0032, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0143, 0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0223, 0.0016, -0.0143, 0.0334, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0286, -0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0302, 0.0016, 0.0016, -0.0583, -0.1647, -0.2091, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1196, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1599, -0.1615, -0.1292, -0.1413, -0.1244, -0.1333, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1454, -0.1276, -0.2824, -0.2421, -0.1881, -0.1841, -0.1905, -0.1812, -0.1998, -0.1615, -0.1937, -0.1937, -0.2075, -0.1937, -0.2204, -0.1937, -0.2099, -0.226, -0.226, -0.0277, 0.003, 0.0159, 0.1352, 0.1933, 0.29, 0.3352, 0.3126, 0.3223, 0.2997, 0.2997, 0.3747, 0.3545, 0.3464, 0.3303, 0.29, 0.3311, 0.2957, 0.3206, 0.3077, 0.29, 0.3223, 0.2594, 0.2755, 0.3223, 0.2739, 0.2545, 0.2739, 0.2739, 0.2416, 0.1675, 0.19, 0.1739, 0.2126, 0.2126, 0.2126, 0.2739, 0.269, 0.2658, 0.2658, 0.2094, 0.2578, 0.2529, 0.2223, 0.2739, 0.2295, 0.2739, 0.2094, 0.2005, 0.1965, 0.1844, 0.2094, 0.1933, 0.2094, 0.2086, 0.1804, 0.2094, 0.2029, 0.1836, 0.2045, 0.1908, 0.1449, 0.2578]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1722665606300811305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-09T17:21:00+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RELY taking share + growing market + attractive scale economics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RELY on market share gains, growing market, and attractive scale economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KoyfinCharts $RELY taking share + growing market + attractive scale economics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Which $500m to $25b companies are you finding interesting at the moment?\n\n👇", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KoyfinCharts", "ret_m1d": 0.015211059178441788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015211059178441788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007351026357124146, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007351026357124146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007860032821317642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007860032821317642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04514230197148539, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04514230197148539, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02953748033080994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02953748033080994, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604821640675448, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604821640675448, "ret_p1w": 0.06869487652256834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06869487652256834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03091603484235428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03091603484235428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03777884168021406, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03777884168021406, "ret_p1m": -0.05446510052560649, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05446510052560649, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1152248154026565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1152248154026565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06075971487705001, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06075971487705001, "ret_p3m": -0.1216879118920946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1216879118920946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2649269171389623, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2649269171389623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14323900524686772, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14323900524686772, "ret_p6m": -0.26840036990211225, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26840036990211225, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45537723162070365, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45537723162070365, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1869768617185914, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1869768617185914, "price_path": [0.134, 0.1423, 0.131, 0.1344, 0.1771, 0.1997, 0.2218, 0.2213, 0.2007, 0.2218, 0.2125, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.2341, 0.2453, 0.2453, 0.2502, 0.2257, 0.2316, 0.2365, 0.2424, 0.2458, 0.2272, 0.239, 0.2758, 0.2753, 0.2885, 0.2404, 0.2198, 0.21, 0.209, 0.1835, 0.2134, 0.2453, 0.2375, 0.2345, 0.2036, 0.2198, 0.2694, 0.3072, 0.2974, 0.2684, 0.2507, 0.2498, 0.2866, 0.317, 0.3317, 0.3224, 0.3238, 0.288, 0.3096, 0.3332, 0.291, 0.2571, 0.2669, 0.2812, 0.3214, 0.3538, -0.0775, -0.0677, -0.0309, 0.0196, 0.0152, 0.0, 0.0451, 0.0191, 0.0824, 0.0952, 0.0687, 0.0834, 0.0662, 0.0584, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0947, 0.0721, 0.0594, 0.0437, 0.0569, 0.027, 0.0343, -0.0088, -0.0353, -0.0672, -0.0545, -0.0417, -0.0442, -0.0294, -0.0608, -0.1232, -0.107, -0.0873, -0.1148, -0.08, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0677, -0.052, -0.0451, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0677, -0.0805, -0.081, -0.0873, -0.0756, -0.0972, -0.103, -0.1084, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1232, -0.1953, -0.2071, -0.2061, -0.1904, -0.2071, -0.1973, -0.1806, -0.1708, -0.1438, -0.1624, -0.159, -0.1487, -0.1241, -0.1124, -0.1217, -0.1222, -0.1119, -0.1065, -0.0947, -0.133, -0.1133, -0.0952, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1168, -0.132, 0.024, 0.0373, 0.0314, 0.0466, 0.026, 0.0118, 0.0054, 0.0108, 0.0049, 0.0236, 0.0157, 0.028, 0.0128, 0.0083, 0.0137, -0.0088, -0.0123, -0.0118, -0.0123, 0.0299, 0.051, 0.0191, 0.0162, 0.0216, 0.0265, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0059, 0.0147, 0.0123, 0.002, 0.0132, 0.0289, 0.0383, -0.0064, -0.0422, -0.0633, -0.0913, -0.1045, -0.0878, -0.0873, -0.0918, -0.0972, -0.0756, -0.0957, -0.1281, -0.1138, -0.1217, -0.1251, -0.1394, -0.2444, -0.2684]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1714381633388716342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-17T20:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "RELL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Despite a 25% drop in revenue, RELL still maintained profitability and its growth prospects have grown. Disclosure: We are Long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long RELL: semi fab market recovery, expanding GES backlog/TAM, laser/RF capacity ramp, profitability maintained despite revenue decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "notes on $RELL earnings\n\nCY 2025 semi fab market will be larger than 2022 market. This will provide a significant boost to earnings. \n\nIncreased market share in GES side, increasing backlog to 12k units. In beta testing with Suzlon- potential TAM of 42k modules or about $25mm. \n\nSales increased in laser and RF business. Currently bottlenecked by manufacturing capacity which they are increasing and expect to be done withing 6 months. \n\nNew markets for their GES include train starters, refrigerated trucks- TAM in the hundreds of millions\n\nDespite a 25% drop in revenue, RELL still maintained profitability and its growth prospects have grown. \n\nDisclosure: We are Long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016528769616366068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016528769616366068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016574622298989983, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021190670361371344, "bench_spy_m1d": 4.585268262391473e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004661900745005276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026629885854382973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026629885854382973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01330480744810092, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01636202360321959, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013325078406282054, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010267862251163384, "ret_p1w": -0.0009180635062270293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0009180635062270293, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027498107572370367, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02386634635510232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028416171078597396, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02478440986132935, "ret_p1m": 0.10797749112482813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10797749112482813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07664877208775467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03238424921944194, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03132871903707346, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559324190538619, "ret_p3m": -0.0397529960039642, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0397529960039642, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13743805652842211, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17668281667086672, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09768506052445791, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1369298206669025, "ret_p6m": -0.1310951540790083, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1310951540790083, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31867443499196624, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34377346992880253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18757928091295795, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21267831584979424, "price_path": [0.2532, 0.2267, 0.2404, 0.3391, 0.3053, 0.2432, 0.2642, 0.2614, 0.2304, 0.2048, 0.2094, 0.2259, 0.2287, 0.1928, 0.1598, 0.1543, 0.1579, 0.1276, 0.0992, 0.0836, 0.0725, 0.0808, 0.0781, 0.0725, 0.0744, 0.056, 0.0854, 0.1249, 0.1543, 0.1478, 0.1561, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1139, 0.101, 0.0468, 0.0698, 0.0624, 0.079, 0.0689, 0.0882, 0.0588, 0.0468, 0.0266, 0.0165, 0.0275, 0.0257, 0.0395, 0.0092, 0.0248, 0.0294, 0.0037, -0.0055, -0.0202, 0.0055, -0.0266, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0239, 0.0257, -0.0358, -0.0083, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.0266, -0.0092, -0.011, 0.022, -0.0009, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0285, 0.0716, 0.0533, 0.0083, 0.0367, 0.0606, 0.0404, 0.0174, 0.0092, -0.0139, 0.0092, 0.0129, 0.0914, 0.108, 0.0877, 0.0969, 0.0941, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0821, 0.0886, 0.0867, 0.1606, 0.2022, 0.2465, 0.2908, 0.2594, 0.2945, 0.2843, 0.2382, 0.1237, 0.1458, 0.2335, 0.3028, 0.2326, 0.2179, 0.2363, 0.2299, 0.2225, 0.2419, 0.2419, 0.2649, 0.2548, 0.2492, 0.2326, 0.2326, 0.2003, 0.168, 0.1717, 0.1698, 0.1929, 0.1661, 0.1541, -0.0656, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0684, -0.0628, -0.061, -0.0804, -0.0582, -0.049, -0.0407, -0.0444, -0.0545, -0.0647, -0.0804, -0.0915, -0.0841, -0.1127, -0.1358, -0.145, -0.1413, -0.1237, -0.0893, -0.106, -0.1478, -0.146, -0.1534, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1692, -0.1831, -0.1738, -0.1785, -0.1738, -0.1608, -0.1934, -0.1831, -0.1869, -0.2017, -0.2194, -0.2138, -0.2092, -0.2166, -0.2092, -0.2166, -0.2203, -0.2398, -0.2194, -0.2185, -0.2277, -0.1952, -0.1831, -0.1869, -0.1608, -0.1636, -0.1469, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.1395, -0.1497, -0.1367, -0.1571, -0.1506, -0.1441, -0.1311, -0.1311]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1391819561649983490", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-05-10T18:16:56+00:00", "symbol": "AOUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AOUT's brand equity is on the rise and firearm accessories will continue to benefit from the blue wave. Despite outdoor accessories at risk of decline, we think the valuation is compelling.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AOUT: brand equity rising, firearm accessories benefit from blue wave, compelling valuation despite outdoor accessories risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mascarosergi Thanks Sergi. AOUT's brand equity is on the rise and firearm accessories will continue to benefit from the blue wave. Despite outdoor accessories at risk of decline, we think the valuation is compelling. Good luck to you as well!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@allcapbros I was researching Aout when trading at $20 but finally I did not like them. Too much post-covid risk/unknowns imho...\nIn the short term for sure but longer term... Good luck to you!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mascarosergi", "ret_m1d": 0.011384553011474452, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011384553011474452, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0013832653826324481, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006728524530125846, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010001287628842004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018113077541600298, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011017512724880163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011017512724880163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010026574934962618, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012393582328352859, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008924823662474601, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011291831055864843, "ret_p1w": 0.14910031000895052, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14910031000895052, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15489088714577526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17220019770005401, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005790577136824737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023099887691103493, "ret_p1m": 0.1950055623414424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1950055623414424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1846215041715782, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20675604802800196, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010384058169864208, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011750485686559564, "ret_p3m": 0.03268458729191659, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03268458729191659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02776720234408625, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013517101049028035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06045178963600284, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046201688340944624, "ret_p6m": -0.17186927594018697, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17186927594018697, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28421962231390907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3415737666290426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1123503463737221, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16970449068885562, "price_path": [-0.2288, -0.1737, -0.144, -0.144, -0.1462, -0.1616, -0.1833, -0.1432, -0.1748, -0.2012, -0.2064, -0.2325, -0.2651, -0.2237, -0.2372, -0.2582, -0.2383, -0.2167, -0.2049, -0.1733, -0.173, -0.1579, -0.1664, -0.195, -0.1722, -0.1473, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0665, -0.0955, -0.0727, -0.0415, -0.0808, -0.0911, -0.0746, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.032, -0.0518, -0.0661, -0.0217, -0.0242, 0.0599, 0.0474, 0.0029, -0.0121, -0.0331, -0.0496, -0.0694, -0.0437, -0.0485, -0.0228, -0.0092, -0.0011, -0.0224, -0.0129, -0.0507, -0.029, -0.0246, -0.0022, -0.0129, 0.0114, 0.0, 0.0011, 0.014, 0.0261, 0.0925, 0.1491, 0.1531, 0.1553, 0.1362, 0.159, 0.1414, 0.1322, 0.1667, 0.2005, 0.1763, 0.1763, 0.1902, 0.1899, 0.1711, 0.1502, 0.1708, 0.195, 0.1935, 0.1627, 0.1792, 0.1381, 0.1271, 0.1509, 0.1186, 0.188, 0.2567, 0.1763, 0.1722, 0.2115, 0.1946, 0.2192, 0.2508, 0.2905, 0.3232, 0.2486, 0.2486, 0.256, 0.2295, 0.1987, 0.2409, 0.2552, 0.2299, 0.245, 0.3195, 0.0297, 0.0566, 0.065, 0.0951, 0.0441, 0.0051, 0.0481, -0.0033, 0.0136, 0.0169, -0.0092, 0.0231, 0.0408, 0.0073, 0.0327, 0.0525, 0.0632, 0.0687, 0.09, 0.0338, 0.0103, 0.0118, -0.0235, -0.0331, -0.0301, -0.0051, -0.0173, -0.0136, -0.0007, -0.0143, -0.0007, 0.0107, 0.022, 0.0062, -0.0705, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.0577, -0.0709, -0.0367, -0.0488, -0.1094, -0.0841, -0.079, -0.0709, -0.0455, -0.0569, -0.0775, -0.0812, -0.0573, -0.0632, -0.0558, -0.0727, -0.0635, -0.0981, -0.1017, -0.0977, -0.0848, -0.1021, -0.0867, -0.0992, -0.1201, -0.1127, -0.1227, -0.1175, -0.1421, -0.116, -0.1186, -0.1194, -0.1219, -0.1311, -0.1267, -0.1583, -0.1998, -0.1847, -0.1634, -0.1656, -0.1719]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1728850070538473715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-26T18:55:51+00:00", "symbol": "RELL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses active long position in RELL.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LogicalThesis we're long. we wrote about it here:\n\nhttps://t.co/Hh5nXwqNzo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Idk this stock well but $RELL just had an insider purchase and the chart on daily, weekly, and monthly time frames all look good. Worth diving into. Anyone long? https://t.co/26yaygXJxr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LogicalThesis", "ret_m1d": -0.005937124818855999, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005937124818855999, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00774127900805377, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00599146908337822, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018041541891977708, "bench_c_m1d": 5.434426452222141e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001696357985434993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001696357985434993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002686519480892713, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003594537528285313, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009901614954577198, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00189817954285032, "ret_p1w": 0.18575072959452354, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18575072959452354, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18088797188010686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19160754389840506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004862757714416688, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005856814303881519, "ret_p1m": 0.1620018032185444, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1620018032185444, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11117790059673283, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1138701144469696, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05082390262181158, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04813168877157481, "ret_p3m": -0.24107485834142328, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24107485834142328, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3622630604490893, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3594263191884417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12118820210766601, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11835146084701842, "ret_p6m": -0.10035487785137664, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10035487785137664, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27790275638205253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.268949714355479, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17754787853067588, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16859483650410234, "price_path": [0.0544, 0.062, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.0232, 0.0114, -0.0384, -0.0173, -0.024, -0.0088, -0.0181, -0.0004, -0.0274, -0.0384, -0.0569, -0.0662, -0.0561, -0.0578, -0.0451, -0.0729, -0.0586, -0.0544, -0.078, -0.0864, -0.0999, -0.0763, -0.1058, -0.0738, -0.0713, -0.0594, -0.0578, -0.1143, -0.089, -0.0966, -0.0814, -0.1058, -0.0898, -0.0915, -0.0611, -0.0822, -0.0729, -0.0729, -0.0552, -0.0156, -0.0325, -0.0738, -0.0476, -0.0257, -0.0443, -0.0654, -0.0729, -0.0941, -0.0729, -0.0696, 0.0025, 0.0178, -0.0008, 0.0076, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0017, 0.0662, 0.1043, 0.145, 0.1858, 0.1569, 0.1891, 0.1798, 0.1374, 0.0322, 0.0526, 0.1332, 0.1968, 0.1323, 0.1187, 0.1357, 0.1298, 0.123, 0.1408, 0.1408, 0.162, 0.1527, 0.1476, 0.1323, 0.1323, 0.1026, 0.0729, 0.0763, 0.0746, 0.0958, 0.0712, 0.0602, -0.1416, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.1442, -0.1391, -0.1374, -0.1552, -0.1349, -0.1264, -0.1187, -0.1221, -0.1315, -0.1408, -0.1552, -0.1654, -0.1586, -0.1849, -0.2061, -0.2146, -0.2112, -0.195, -0.1634, -0.1788, -0.2172, -0.2155, -0.2223, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.2368, -0.2496, -0.2411, -0.2453, -0.2411, -0.2291, -0.259, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.2667, -0.2829, -0.2778, -0.2735, -0.2803, -0.2735, -0.2803, -0.2838, -0.3017, -0.2829, -0.2821, -0.2906, -0.2607, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.2291, -0.2317, -0.2163, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2095, -0.2189, -0.2069, -0.2257, -0.2197, -0.2138, -0.2018, -0.2018, -0.0814, -0.1642, -0.1549, -0.1549, -0.1583, -0.1352, -0.107, -0.1361, -0.1199, -0.1395, -0.1497, -0.1472, -0.078, -0.1011, -0.0874, -0.09, -0.0814, -0.0934, -0.0857, -0.0755, -0.0746, -0.1081, -0.1004, -0.0943, -0.0961, -0.1175, -0.1252, -0.1089, -0.1004]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1730272474976149925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-30T17:07:59+00:00", "symbol": "REX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we remain long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding REX long; reaffirms position after 35% earnings-driven move, citing operating leadership in ethanol.", "resolved_tickers": ["REX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Chemicals", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$REX up 35% on earnings. Demonstrating their operating leadership in the ethanol industry. we remain long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Our latest holding is $REX. We believe it has significant upside from these levels.\n\nREX is an ethanol producer with about 3% market share in the USA. REX is run by sound operators, having never lost money in the last decade despite volatile commodity cycles.\n\nREX stands out due", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2474500398784495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2474500398784495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2435278547185561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2376210392653585, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003922185159893399, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009829000613090999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037943708547170774, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037943708547170774, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0438596159757092, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.049350215090616434, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005915907428538425, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01140650654344566, "ret_p1w": -0.15932275194530499, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15932275194530499, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16333234052080237, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14985771636317724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00400958857549738, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009465035582127745, "ret_p1m": -0.03508774387273017, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03508774387273017, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08074309392409962, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08032141127014691, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04565535005136945, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045233667397416744, "ret_p3m": -0.11240314330429202, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11240314330429202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22762064363421053, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17095551931138275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11521750032991851, "bench_c_p3m": 0.058552376007090734, "ret_p6m": 0.14279885627563993, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14279885627563993, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.025558403081613168, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.022439130858716183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1683572593572531, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12035972541692375, "price_path": [-0.1954, -0.2079, -0.2185, -0.2046, -0.194, -0.1809, -0.1891, -0.1911, -0.1738, -0.2005, -0.1879, -0.1962, -0.2016, -0.1969, -0.1936, -0.1871, -0.1926, -0.1738, -0.1695, -0.1693, -0.1867, -0.1934, -0.2148, -0.2195, -0.2254, -0.2215, -0.2062, -0.2187, -0.2509, -0.2668, -0.2348, -0.2224, -0.2348, -0.2411, -0.237, -0.2593, -0.2428, -0.247, -0.2434, -0.2479, -0.2305, -0.2246, -0.2346, -0.2258, -0.2203, -0.2234, -0.2499, -0.2621, -0.2605, -0.2479, -0.2554, -0.2305, -0.2328, -0.2432, -0.2507, -0.236, -0.2475, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2456, -0.2481, -0.2523, -0.2475, 0.0, -0.0379, -0.081, -0.1236, -0.1487, -0.1593, -0.1348, -0.1538, -0.1683, -0.1446, -0.0996, -0.1044, -0.0863, -0.0298, -0.0483, -0.0339, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0173, -0.0169, -0.0228, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0426, -0.0408, -0.0381, -0.0406, -0.0571, -0.0667, -0.0851, -0.1087, -0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0834, -0.0898, -0.0928, -0.1053, -0.0975, -0.1432, -0.1436, -0.152, -0.1457, -0.1383, -0.1304, -0.1557, -0.1446, -0.1579, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.142, -0.1177, -0.1083, -0.0963, -0.1404, -0.1165, -0.0955, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.143, -0.1169, -0.1291, -0.1161, -0.11, -0.1124, -0.1299, -0.1028, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.1214, -0.1155, -0.1008, -0.1044, -0.1075, -0.1124, -0.1069, -0.112, -0.0942, -0.0843, -0.0736, -0.0673, -0.0773, -0.091, -0.0808, -0.1065, -0.104, 0.1977, 0.1977, 0.2018, 0.222, 0.2164, 0.1832, 0.1995, 0.1916, 0.185, 0.1791, 0.1652, 0.1571, 0.1161, 0.1149, 0.1659, 0.1281, 0.1473, 0.1479, 0.1589, 0.1418, 0.1469, 0.1636, 0.1669, 0.1287, 0.1206, 0.1342, 0.1654, 0.1748, 0.1752, 0.1795, 0.2144, 0.2071, 0.1812, 0.1865, 0.1632, 0.1495, 0.1546, 0.1363, 0.1461, 0.182, 0.1355, 0.1428]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1519453457463226368", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-27T23:08:28+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DAU at all time high 1.96B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FB on ATH DAUs, Reels growth, AI-driven feed, and Shops closing the data loop.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FB earnings:\n\nDAU at all time high 1.96B\n\nReels make up 20% of the time people spend on time on IG\n\nFB to increase content served by AI versus relying on following.\n\nMedium-term to drive more business onto Shops, closing the data loop.\n\n$FB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03429522030546095, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03429522030546095, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037099100848927424, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011498268964139191, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002803880543466475, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02279695134132176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.17593591912976603, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.17593591912976603, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1506763391337278, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1359562344919043, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02525957999603823, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03997968463786172, "ret_p1w": 0.2769932974398417, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2769932974398417, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24873816085017442, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20622087351240825, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.028255136589667273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07077242392743344, "ret_p1m": 0.09534134710471376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09534134710471376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12400364072351666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09227894169811868, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028662293618802903, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003062405406595081, "ret_p3m": -0.0474422590924074, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0474422590924074, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00046732422318174205, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0009573982551511762, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.047909583315589144, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04839965734755858, "ret_p6m": -0.2481852104164377, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2481852104164377, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13129698143589996, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0997711291617609, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.11688822898053775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1484140812546768, "price_path": [0.7245, 0.7906, 0.8234, 0.8462, 0.359, 0.3552, 0.2856, 0.2585, 0.3261, 0.3036, 0.2549, 0.2444, 0.2632, 0.2377, 0.1873, 0.1784, 0.1784, 0.1551, 0.1343, 0.1866, 0.2031, 0.2062, 0.1631, 0.1895, 0.1602, 0.1435, 0.0716, 0.0877, 0.1346, 0.1158, 0.0724, 0.0668, 0.0976, 0.1639, 0.188, 0.2374, 0.2089, 0.2384, 0.2201, 0.255, 0.2679, 0.278, 0.3139, 0.3024, 0.271, 0.2852, 0.3369, 0.3252, 0.2764, 0.2744, 0.2708, 0.2373, 0.224, 0.2289, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.2047, 0.2421, 0.1456, 0.075, 0.0524, 0.0688, 0.0343, 0.0, 0.1759, 0.1459, 0.2068, 0.2119, 0.277, 0.1905, 0.1647, 0.1215, 0.1298, 0.0788, 0.0931, 0.1353, 0.1434, 0.1582, 0.0988, 0.0934, 0.1063, 0.1216, 0.0362, 0.0508, 0.0953, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.1068, 0.0783, 0.1367, 0.0905, 0.1103, 0.1183, 0.124, 0.0517, 0.0035, -0.0611, -0.0641, -0.032, -0.0805, -0.0641, -0.0641, -0.1023, -0.1092, -0.0926, -0.0274, -0.0312, -0.0816, -0.0629, -0.0783, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.0386, -0.0296, -0.0158, -0.0233, -0.069, -0.0668, -0.0655, -0.0966, -0.0586, -0.0441, 0.0047, 0.0465, 0.047, -0.0325, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0307, -0.0813, -0.0906, -0.0859, -0.0844, -0.0352, -0.025, -0.0448, -0.0269, -0.0367, 0.0194, 0.0145, 0.0317, 0.034, 0.0258, -0.0006, -0.0017, -0.04, -0.068, -0.0791, -0.0668, -0.0353, -0.0753, -0.0902, -0.1017, -0.0687, -0.0548, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.0938, -0.0832, -0.0737, -0.0332, -0.0342, -0.1247, -0.1342, -0.1452, -0.1638, -0.1539, -0.165, -0.1877, -0.1837, -0.1974, -0.2205, -0.2318, -0.1906, -0.2203, -0.2245, -0.2077, -0.1982, -0.2056, -0.2051, -0.2372, -0.2353, -0.2653, -0.2712, -0.2553, -0.2755, -0.2338, -0.2409, -0.2385, -0.2482]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1720544675159822692", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-03T20:53:11+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The core of my conviction is from an understanding of the scale economics of their business. They will continue to spread fixed costs over a larger customer base.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY: scale economics will eventually drive profitability as fixed costs spread over growing customer base; defends growth-mode lack of margin guidance.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "More concerned Remitly $RELY questions:\n\nQ: May be I'm not being very clear, revenues are up hugely, and I mean big year-over-year, and the stock plummeted. Investors want profits and nothing IN THE CALL suggests profits are coming. Note, I am specifically referring to the direction management gave IN THE CALL. I agree this is a very strong company, growing revenues very well, but investors want management to provide visibility toward growing positive earnings. You must have a very keen eye, because no one else saw it today.\n\nA: The core of my conviction is from an understanding of the scale economics of their business. Management has mentioned multiple times how their business scales. They used to have a high cash burn and now are roughly breakeven. Is this not some evidence of scale? Yes, they stay away from hard forecasts about profitability because it isn't their primary focus yet (and it shouldn't be). This is common for companies in growth mode. Their lack of margins comes from growth expenses/capex and the fact that they are not done scaling/growing - they will continue to spread fixed costs over a larger customer base. 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{"unit_id": "thread:1552442373757898757", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-27T23:54:39+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ad spend consolidating to META, GOOG, AMZN on IDFA migration; Reels flywheel + AI-driven engagement adding to META bull case.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META revenue up 4% from q1 2022 while $GOOG ad revenues were up 3%. Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms. About 13% of digital ad spend is not on these platforms\n\n---\n\non costs\n\ncosts higher than expected growing 25% . However guidance suggests a more cost conscientious tone going forward.\n\n\"slowing the pace of these investments and pushing expenses off to a longer timeline\"\n\n\"getting more done with fewer resources\"\n\n---\n\non reels-\n\nReels does not yet monetize at same rate as stories however has reached a 1B dollar revenue run rate much faster.\n\nMore than half of shared content in messages is reels  Mark sees reels as a flywheel that gets communication started more and results in more content\n\n---\n\nReels made up 20% of time people spend on ig last quarter and now it is at 30%.\n\nAI tweaks led to 15% more time on reels. Pretty incredible. 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{"unit_id": "thread:1552442373757898757", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-07-27T23:54:39+00:00", "symbol": "GOOG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ad spend consolidating to META, GOOG, AMZN on IDFA migration; Reels flywheel + AI-driven engagement adding to META bull case.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META revenue up 4% from q1 2022 while $GOOG ad revenues were up 3%. Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms. About 13% of digital ad spend is not on these platforms\n\n---\n\non costs\n\ncosts higher than expected growing 25% . However guidance suggests a more cost conscientious tone going forward.\n\n\"slowing the pace of these investments and pushing expenses off to a longer timeline\"\n\n\"getting more done with fewer resources\"\n\n---\n\non reels-\n\nReels does not yet monetize at same rate as stories however has reached a 1B dollar revenue run rate much faster.\n\nMore than half of shared content in messages is reels  Mark sees reels as a flywheel that gets communication started more and results in more content\n\n---\n\nReels made up 20% of time people spend on ig last quarter and now it is at 30%.\n\nAI tweaks led to 15% more time on reels. Pretty incredible. About 15% of content is ai recommended and this is expected to double by next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07183098601086135, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07183098601086135, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04652191911715686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03129743662568729, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02530906689370449, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04053354938517406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008714882843105176, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008714882843105176, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038273914834341394, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020120452379182474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012542274326539316, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011405569536077298, "ret_p1w": 0.045598718734953136, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045598718734953136, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012160554173171745, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03577256842159504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03343816456178139, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009826150313358095, "ret_p1m": 0.03609161074877543, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03609161074877543, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009963774314019513, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.036267194675070336, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04605538506279494, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00017558392629490882, "ret_p3m": -0.09357370662982079, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09357370662982079, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04217336218168688, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018432673476910577, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.051400344448133906, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11200638010673136, "ret_p6m": -0.17332741805226504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17332741805226504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15085717772886909, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08095821884526333, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02247024032339595, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0923691992070017, "price_path": [0.012, 0.0313, 0.0399, 0.079, 0.0277, 0.0181, -0.0045, 0.0087, 0.0032, -0.0039, 0.0257, 0.0105, 0.0273, -0.0106, -0.0251, -0.0377, -0.017, -0.0676, -0.0683, -0.0467, -0.0071, -0.0071, 0.0039, 0.0047, 0.0365, 0.0085, 0.03, 0.0319, 0.032, 0.0116, -0.0191, -0.0592, -0.0564, -0.0283, -0.0613, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.014, -0.0138, -0.0081, 0.0435, 0.0266, -0.0091, -0.0118, -0.0372, -0.0398, -0.0398, 0.0025, 0.0142, 0.0502, 0.0578, 0.0257, 0.011, -0.0124, -0.019, -0.0073, -0.0325, 0.009, 0.0097, 0.0127, -0.0461, -0.0474, -0.0718, 0.0, 0.0087, 0.0268, 0.0165, 0.0202, 0.0456, 0.0464, 0.0407, 0.04, 0.0343, 0.0621, 0.0548, 0.0797, 0.0817, 0.0784, 0.0592, 0.0639, 0.0398, 0.0129, 0.0103, 0.0097, 0.0361, -0.0202, -0.0287, -0.0325, -0.0392, -0.0268, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0539, -0.0275, -0.0368, -0.016, -0.0152, -0.073, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0878, -0.0858, -0.1036, -0.1196, -0.1147, -0.127, -0.1302, -0.1365, -0.1132, -0.1365, -0.1536, -0.1259, -0.0985, -0.1002, -0.1, -0.1235, -0.1311, -0.1369, -0.1347, -0.1223, -0.1445, -0.1129, -0.1075, -0.1172, -0.1151, -0.1067, -0.0936, -0.0763, -0.1653, -0.1849, -0.1498, -0.1667, -0.2033, -0.2335, -0.2651, -0.2368, -0.2196, -0.2173, -0.2306, -0.171, -0.1485, -0.1547, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1329, -0.1391, -0.1564, -0.1432, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1408, -0.1527, -0.1599, -0.107, -0.1085, -0.1124, -0.1209, -0.1434, -0.1624, -0.173, -0.1807, -0.1764, -0.1562, -0.161, -0.1972, -0.2002, -0.2152, -0.211, -0.2055, -0.2231, -0.2094, -0.2094, -0.226, -0.2389, -0.217, -0.2189, -0.2189, -0.2104, -0.2191, -0.2362, -0.2239, -0.2183, -0.2144, -0.1879, -0.1909, -0.1831, -0.1831, -0.1887, -0.1921, -0.1733]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1552442373757898757", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2022-07-27T23:54:39+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ad spend consolidating to META, GOOG, AMZN on IDFA migration; Reels flywheel + AI-driven engagement adding to META bull case.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META revenue up 4% from q1 2022 while $GOOG ad revenues were up 3%. Ad revenues will likely consolidate further to GOOG, META, and AMZN as IDFA expedites advertisers to migrate to those platforms. About 13% of digital ad spend is not on these platforms\n\n---\n\non costs\n\ncosts higher than expected growing 25% . However guidance suggests a more cost conscientious tone going forward.\n\n\"slowing the pace of these investments and pushing expenses off to a longer timeline\"\n\n\"getting more done with fewer resources\"\n\n---\n\non reels-\n\nReels does not yet monetize at same rate as stories however has reached a 1B dollar revenue run rate much faster.\n\nMore than half of shared content in messages is reels  Mark sees reels as a flywheel that gets communication started more and results in more content\n\n---\n\nReels made up 20% of time people spend on ig last quarter and now it is at 30%.\n\nAI tweaks led to 15% more time on reels. Pretty incredible. About 15% of content is ai recommended and this is expected to double by next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050921745886988834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050921745886988834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025612678993284343, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014451922664195704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02530906689370449, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03646982322279313, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010829110898360028, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010829110898360028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017131634281792874, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0063675110191663276, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012542274326539316, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017196621917526356, "ret_p1w": 0.15334382792899492, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15334382792899492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11990566336721353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07300646968898183, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03343816456178139, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08033735824001309, "ret_p1m": 0.13482679502364436, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13482679502364436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08877140996084942, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.057604101316445, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04605538506279494, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07722269370719936, "ret_p3m": -0.009506501729968475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009506501729968475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04189384271816543, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.060646576453286416, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.051400344448133906, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07015307818325489, "ret_p6m": -0.22559312755348526, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22559312755348526, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2031228872300893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1103874608972506, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02247024032339595, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11520566665623466, "price_path": [0.0274, 0.0292, 0.0271, 0.041, -0.0377, -0.0512, -0.1007, -0.1001, -0.1289, -0.1161, -0.0654, -0.084, -0.0463, -0.1146, -0.1128, -0.1106, -0.1109, -0.1395, -0.1173, -0.0818, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0063, 0.0059, 0.0375, 0.0114, 0.0316, 0.0168, 0.0017, -0.0398, -0.0936, -0.143, -0.1543, -0.1099, -0.1431, -0.1219, -0.1219, -0.1016, -0.0994, -0.0705, -0.0373, -0.0641, -0.1122, -0.0996, -0.122, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.0618, -0.0549, -0.0384, -0.0449, -0.0762, -0.0971, -0.0874, -0.0855, -0.0613, -0.0596, -0.0228, 0.0149, 0.0303, 0.012, 0.0014, -0.0509, 0.0, 0.0108, 0.1156, 0.1192, 0.109, 0.1533, 0.1786, 0.1639, 0.1524, 0.1394, 0.1795, 0.1626, 0.1867, 0.1836, 0.1968, 0.1747, 0.1763, 0.1427, 0.1013, 0.1046, 0.1061, 0.1348, 0.0808, 0.0729, 0.0641, 0.0479, 0.0566, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.0425, 0.0703, 0.0732, 0.1017, 0.128, 0.0484, 0.0627, 0.0439, 0.0212, 0.0305, 0.0101, -0.0201, -0.0303, -0.0594, -0.0481, -0.0542, -0.0245, -0.051, -0.0659, -0.0421, 0.001, -0.0002, -0.0055, -0.053, -0.0603, -0.0724, -0.0667, -0.0698, -0.1163, -0.0594, -0.0381, -0.0488, -0.0473, -0.0136, -0.0095, -0.0031, -0.0439, -0.0827, -0.1452, -0.1532, -0.1999, -0.2385, -0.2618, -0.2479, -0.2516, -0.2562, -0.2879, -0.2012, -0.1668, -0.1858, -0.1821, -0.1972, -0.2159, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2296, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.2278, -0.2234, -0.236, -0.202, -0.2105, -0.2219, -0.2477, -0.2705, -0.2687, -0.2531, -0.2635, -0.2515, -0.2354, -0.243, -0.2688, -0.2737, -0.298, -0.2958, -0.2827, -0.3073, -0.2953, -0.2953, -0.3135, -0.3236, -0.3041, -0.3056, -0.3056, -0.2906, -0.2962, -0.3129, -0.2884, -0.2778, -0.2571, -0.2139, -0.2124, -0.1889, -0.1889, -0.206, -0.2109, -0.2256]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1694738975611584969", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-24T15:50:33+00:00", "symbol": "CATO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We took a small position in $CATO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Took a small long position in CATO amid broad US specialty retail sector vulnerabilities.", "resolved_tickers": ["CATO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We took a small position in $CATO. The U.S. specialty retail sector is displaying pronounced vulnerabilities. While some entities with strong customer loyalty provide clearer trajectories, the future of many remains uncertain, hence our recent focus here.\n\n1/n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00909091883682489, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00909091883682489, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00496282905226364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01086718485247129, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01405374788908853, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01995810368929618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077923080359136865, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0077923080359136865, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0007425450155913449, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0033845136960413136, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007049763020322342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011176821731955, "ret_p1w": 0.006493554294903392, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006493554294903392, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02431506938316219, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041836127637942644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030808623678065583, "bench_c_p1w": 0.048329681932846036, "ret_p1m": 0.058495162371018816, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.058495162371018816, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06982919628604811, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06846678715111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011334033915029296, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009971624780098942, "ret_p3m": -0.09290806271496854, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09290806271496854, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13405987282864218, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12378538878773138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04115181011367364, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030877326072762834, "ret_p6m": -0.054328029660070554, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.054328029660070554, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20634418117548292, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1576146350976977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15201615151541237, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10328660543762713, "price_path": [0.0916, 0.0687, 0.0254, 0.0101, 0.0547, 0.014, 0.0687, 0.0916, 0.061, 0.0455, 0.0494, 0.0636, 0.0519, 0.0532, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.0364, 0.0234, 0.0455, 0.0649, 0.0416, 0.0597, 0.0429, 0.0442, 0.0429, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0714, 0.0636, 0.0766, 0.0701, 0.0545, 0.0481, 0.0532, 0.061, 0.0571, 0.0714, 0.0727, 0.0818, 0.0805, 0.0818, 0.0948, 0.0896, 0.074, 0.0857, 0.1039, 0.1039, 0.0961, 0.1065, 0.0896, 0.0779, 0.0545, 0.0455, 0.0351, 0.0286, 0.0338, 0.026, 0.0156, 0.013, 0.0273, 0.0156, -0.0052, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0078, 0.0117, 0.0156, 0.013, 0.0065, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0065, -0.0078, -0.0026, -0.0013, -0.0013, -0.0159, -0.0292, -0.0026, -0.0132, -0.0212, -0.0252, -0.0225, 0.0492, 0.0585, 0.0598, 0.0651, 0.1129, 0.0386, 0.0173, -0.0172, -0.0066, -0.0146, -0.0318, -0.0079, -0.0305, -0.0119, -0.0252, -0.0345, -0.0371, -0.0478, -0.0132, -0.0066, -0.0238, -0.0371, -0.061, -0.0491, -0.057, -0.0557, -0.0743, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0624, -0.0597, -0.0478, -0.0703, -0.0597, -0.057, -0.0756, -0.0663, -0.0743, -0.0424, -0.0278, -0.069, -0.0717, -0.0916, -0.0929, -0.0995, -0.0995, -0.1062, -0.1035, -0.1022, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0531, -0.0823, -0.0982, -0.1075, -0.0995, -0.0942, -0.1128, -0.1142, -0.0903, -0.057, -0.0557, -0.0543, -0.0285, -0.0516, -0.0448, -0.0312, -0.0312, -0.0271, -0.0298, 0.0123, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0053, -0.0394, -0.0475, -0.0421, -0.0162, -0.023, -0.0353, -0.0489, -0.0448, -0.0448, -0.0679, -0.0543, -0.0312, -0.0217, -0.0081, -0.0298, -0.0462, -0.0312, -0.057, -0.0339, -0.0639, -0.0802, -0.0475, -0.0639, -0.0775, -0.0679, -0.072, -0.0679, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0924, -0.0679, -0.0475, -0.0543]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1700170217903554590", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-08T15:32:22+00:00", "symbol": "ZUMZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are holding.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding ZUMZ despite Q3 guidance-driven selloff; beat on rev and EPS but macro remains challenging.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZUMZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ZUMZ reported FQ2 earnings (Rev $194 vs $190est and EPS -$.44 vs -$.67est). Beat on both top and bottom but macro environment remains challenging in the short term. Primarily due to a heavy promotional environment. Q3 guidance sees shares sell off ~12%. We are holding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11336513082237798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11336513082237798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1148690282186483, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11336513082237798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015038973962703261, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04116948237677032, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04116948237677032, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034592785737115106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014265764402870307, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006576696639655211, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02690371797390001, "ret_p1w": -0.010739874863819776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010739874863819776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009424407882615449, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02875444624683976, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013154669812043274, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018014571383019984, "ret_p1m": 0.0029832479938982637, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0029832479938982637, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029256277353583826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04851845002424471, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.026273029359685562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045535202030346444, "ret_p3m": 0.15930787827155513, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15930787827155513, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1349674485509229, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1442316644489381, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024340429720632217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015076213822617035, "ret_p6m": 0.0089498577853111, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0089498577853111, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14967720572985166, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07651192137197382, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15862706351516276, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08546177915728492, "price_path": [-0.1044, -0.1289, -0.0967, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.0626, -0.0346, -0.0209, 0.0066, 0.0167, 0.0251, -0.0107, 0.0131, -0.006, 0.0286, 0.0286, -0.0084, -0.0042, 0.0394, 0.0328, 0.0579, 0.068, 0.0418, 0.0531, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.1062, 0.0847, 0.074, 0.1134, 0.1056, 0.1241, 0.1193, 0.1289, 0.1253, 0.1205, 0.1205, 0.1354, 0.1169, 0.1163, 0.0955, 0.0776, 0.1026, 0.1426, 0.0937, 0.1038, 0.0734, 0.1104, 0.1325, 0.1056, 0.1169, 0.1378, 0.08, 0.077, 0.0537, 0.0907, 0.0829, 0.1331, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.0877, 0.1163, 0.1134, 0.0, 0.0412, -0.0167, -0.0191, 0.0227, -0.0107, -0.0167, 0.0113, 0.0543, 0.0304, 0.0388, 0.0626, 0.037, 0.0388, 0.0555, 0.0621, 0.0328, 0.0179, 0.0394, 0.0066, 0.0036, 0.003, 0.0191, 0.0215, -0.0155, -0.0567, 0.006, 0.0555, 0.0233, 0.0274, 0.0149, -0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0006, -0.0036, -0.0453, -0.0268, -0.0197, -0.0418, -0.0101, 0.0089, -0.0143, -0.0179, -0.0507, -0.0847, -0.0609, -0.0615, 0.0567, 0.1193, 0.0537, 0.077, 0.099, 0.0883, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.0919, 0.0996, 0.0961, 0.1342, 0.1265, 0.2613, 0.2053, 0.1695, 0.1593, 0.1617, 0.1545, 0.1319, 0.108, 0.1736, 0.1891, 0.1569, 0.1372, 0.1611, 0.1247, 0.1712, 0.1742, 0.1742, 0.1814, 0.1915, 0.2214, 0.2136, 0.2136, 0.2058, 0.1295, 0.1098, 0.0913, 0.1199, 0.0865, 0.1199, 0.1014, 0.08, 0.08, 0.065, 0.0609, 0.0519, 0.0382, 0.068, 0.0621, 0.0644, 0.0752, 0.0591, 0.0674, 0.0585, 0.0245, 0.0674, 0.0561, 0.0257, 0.0525, 0.0352, 0.0722, 0.0937, 0.1337, 0.0662, 0.074, 0.1026, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.0704, 0.0328, 0.0173, 0.0394, 0.0298, 0.0555, 0.0298, 0.0513, 0.0442, 0.0089]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1646612717854158848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-13T20:33:59+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are long $NRP... we believe NRP is undervalued by at least 30%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NRP; sum-of-parts valuation ($1.3B minus $400M debt/prefs) implies ~30% upside from coal royalties, soda ash stake, and carbon capture optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are long $NRP, an MLP that owns mineral rights to ~13mm acres in US. The low-cost business of collecting royalties with a protected downside, a stake in a low-cost producer of soda ash, and potential upside in carbon capture, we believe NRP is undervalued by at least 30%.\n\n1/n\n\n---\n\nNRP collects a royalty on coal revenues generated. Even when coal prices are low, NRP's agreements have minimum payment obligations. This results in NRP’s FCF being stable even when coal prices fluctuate.\n\n2/n https://t.co/BwCsNYf1Su\n\n---\n\nAround 80% of NRP’s coal royalties come from metallurgical coal lessees, which is a more resilient revenue stream than thermal coal. Historically, NRP's revenue was derived from thermal coal lessees.\n\n3/n https://t.co/o7FrIKN6Uc\n\n---\n\n$NRP also has a 49% equity stake in Sisecam Wyoming, a low cost producer of soda ash. Demand for soda ash has grown consistently at an annual rate of 3-4% for the last 20 years. Distributions from alone amounted to about $60 mm in 2022, about 10% of NRP's market cap.\n\n4/n\n\n---\n\nWith discounted coal royalties adding up to $750mm, NRP’s soda ash holding at $500mm, and sequestrations being worth $60mm, we arrive at a $1.3B valuation. Subtracting out net debt, preferreds, and warrants of about $400mm leaves a valuation of about $900mm or a 30% upside\n\n5/n\n\n---\n\nLink to full write up:\n\nhttps://t.co/5WZcJ8JOqR\n\n6/6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0022709187753969795, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0022709187753969795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010837651074478205, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003931142395008469, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013108569849875185, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0062020611704054485, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008705328891916886, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008705328891916886, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006262601034948134, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01054274047771575, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024427278569687516, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018374115857988649, "ret_p1w": 0.0030280319534243816, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0030280319534243816, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006873441518765677, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021289205643792775, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0038454095653412956, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018261173690368393, "ret_p1m": -0.027062693717298636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027062693717298636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022515866598202705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07113428940320943, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004546827119095931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09819698312050806, "ret_p3m": 0.00501005781560937, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00501005781560937, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06907888745257562, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04092470097536216, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07408894526818499, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03591464315975279, "ret_p6m": 0.46938441994544267, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46938441994544267, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42298102761556833, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4687720782359679, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04640339232987434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.000612341709474773, "price_path": [-0.1256, -0.1055, -0.1098, -0.1147, -0.088, -0.0823, -0.0709, -0.0601, -0.0315, -0.0324, -0.0524, -0.031, -0.043, -0.0433, -0.0347, -0.0333, -0.0317, -0.0299, -0.0213, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0193, 0.0336, 0.0218, 0.0155, 0.0155, -0.0206, -0.0133, 0.0148, 0.0222, 0.0246, 0.0266, 0.0336, 0.1067, 0.1491, 0.09, 0.0844, 0.0938, 0.0768, 0.0539, 0.0288, 0.0202, -0.025, -0.0045, -0.0301, -0.0078, 0.0157, 0.0034, -0.0288, -0.0254, 0.0013, -0.0216, -0.0168, -0.0095, -0.0121, -0.0021, -0.0049, 0.01, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.003, 0.003, -0.0023, 0.0, -0.0087, -0.0202, -0.0057, -0.0026, 0.003, 0.0106, -0.0157, -0.0159, -0.014, -0.0202, -0.0148, -0.025, -0.0628, -0.0842, -0.0634, -0.0464, -0.06, -0.0628, -0.0354, -0.0414, -0.0271, -0.02, -0.0474, -0.0495, -0.0336, -0.0484, -0.0572, -0.0781, -0.0739, -0.0691, -0.0776, -0.0776, -0.1083, -0.1344, -0.107, -0.1127, -0.1031, -0.0872, -0.0678, -0.0789, -0.0724, -0.0543, -0.0401, -0.0445, -0.0415, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0655, -0.0476, -0.0349, -0.0376, -0.0221, -0.0432, -0.037, 0.0069, 0.0129, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0223, 0.0217, 0.0419, 0.0056, 0.005, 0.0192, 0.0513, 0.0288, 0.0258, 0.063, 0.072, 0.1214, 0.1055, 0.1227, 0.1462, 0.1946, 0.1782, 0.1949, 0.2176, 0.2195, 0.2286, 0.2195, 0.306, 0.3046, 0.31, 0.2929, 0.2587, 0.2583, 0.2674, 0.2623, 0.2623, 0.2707, 0.2802, 0.2909, 0.2883, 0.2728, 0.258, 0.2501, 0.2561, 0.2582, 0.258, 0.2516, 0.2852, 0.2852, 0.2666, 0.2588, 0.2578, 0.2551, 0.2501, 0.2654, 0.3538, 0.4799, 0.4502, 0.5282, 0.5146, 0.4764, 0.4904, 0.5098, 0.5003, 0.5063, 0.5174, 0.565, 0.5321, 0.4781, 0.4709, 0.4768, 0.4875, 0.4694]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1759810644184854762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-20T05:22:07+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this warped thinking has something to do with PayPal's $PYPL woes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish PYPL: misplaced priorities under former CEO Schulman hurt shareholder value and left firm uncompetitive.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Perhaps this warped thinking has something to do with PayPal’s $PYPL woes: \n\nFormer CEO Schulman: “everything I do puts employees first.”…. Paypal tries to honestly serve community, suppliers, shareholders, environment and the nation (note the order)… “if I put employees first, then everything follows from there”\n\nNo, it doesn’t. What you put first is shareholders and you do your damn best to maximize the intrinsic value of your firm for their benefit. This is, in fact, what is most ethical and ultimately best for employees. This way you don’t get outcompeted and end up with lethargic employees waiting to be put out to pasture. \n\nSay no to ruinous empathy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008698588309294042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008698588309294042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0031626253493679535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005915187398446431, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0055359629599260884, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002783400910847611, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019614570289135713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019614570289135713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02052058712338667, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022650762394456736, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009060168342509556, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003036192105321023, "ret_p1w": 0.02609583033965457, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02609583033965457, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005623182825652329, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008636451786339538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02047264751400224, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01745937855331503, "ret_p1m": 0.10950022266167303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10950022266167303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05849550850831142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05392163057873356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05100471415336161, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05557859208293947, "ret_p3m": 0.09977820176235008, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09977820176235008, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030660283920711517, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02057852069890842, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06911791784163857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07919968106344166, "ret_p6m": 0.12809142577255228, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12809142577255228, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02655511083395501, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.030338969301597185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10153631493859727, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0977524564709551, "price_path": [-0.0391, -0.049, -0.0382, -0.0027, -0.0113, -0.0174, 0.0174, 0.0208, -0.0121, 0.0154, -0.0026, 0.0053, 0.007, 0.0044, 0.0529, 0.0553, 0.0449, 0.0484, 0.0747, 0.053, 0.0585, 0.0548, 0.0548, 0.067, 0.0691, 0.0759, 0.0474, 0.0474, 0.0483, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.0254, 0.053, 0.0413, 0.0397, 0.0464, 0.0404, 0.0404, -0.0031, 0.0215, 0.059, 0.1226, 0.0872, 0.1049, 0.0749, 0.0355, 0.0537, 0.0875, 0.0861, 0.0464, 0.0578, 0.0646, 0.0496, 0.0866, 0.0786, -0.0426, 0.0048, 0.0249, -0.0063, 0.0041, 0.0183, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0048, 0.009, 0.0119, 0.0261, 0.0276, 0.0292, 0.0326, 0.023, -0.0061, -0.0087, -0.0022, 0.0065, 0.0247, 0.0239, 0.0652, 0.0745, 0.072, 0.0955, 0.0747, 0.1095, 0.1281, 0.1047, 0.1257, 0.1371, 0.1354, 0.1426, 0.1426, 0.1092, 0.1028, 0.1144, 0.1008, 0.1112, 0.1315, 0.1428, 0.1237, 0.1223, 0.1017, 0.0832, 0.0819, 0.079, 0.0592, 0.0628, 0.0778, 0.0989, 0.1059, 0.0933, 0.125, 0.1426, 0.1585, 0.1281, 0.1424, 0.1206, 0.1191, 0.1243, 0.0884, 0.0993, 0.0733, 0.0907, 0.1015, 0.0899, 0.0933, 0.0998, 0.1047, 0.0933, 0.0607, 0.0503, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.0604, 0.0413, 0.0662, 0.0744, 0.0824, 0.0802, 0.0836, 0.1431, 0.1479, 0.1443, 0.1047, 0.0819, 0.0496, 0.0342, 0.0256, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.02, 0.0338, 0.0147, 0.0119, -0.0063, -0.0044, -0.0102, -0.014, 0.0058, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0193, 0.0078, 0.0063, 0.0046, 0.0232, 0.028, 0.0314, 0.0542, 0.0445, 0.0234, 0.0119, 0.0365, 0.0184, -0.0096, -0.024, -0.0058, 0.0053, 0.0916, 0.122, 0.1139, 0.0571, 0.0312, 0.0703, 0.0701, 0.0964, 0.1039, 0.0824, 0.1105, 0.1281]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1749826531474460742", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-23T16:08:49+00:00", "symbol": "BRK-B", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We do not believe bulls are taking Berkshire's vulnerabilities seriously... The prudent course of action is for Berkshire to officially de-emphasize its equity portfolio as a core driver of BRKB's total return... The prospect of entrusting a $380 billion concentrated equity portfolio to a two-person team and hoping for a favorable outcome presents a significant and unaddressed risk.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BRK: succession risk, Apple concentration, unknown successors, and loss of crisis-liquidity role are unaddressed vulnerabilities bulls are ignoring.", "resolved_tickers": ["BRK-B"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Insurance - Diversified", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is NOT a Berkshire Hathaway hit piece, but some might thinks so. $BRK\n\nWe do not believe bulls (@ChrisBloomstran) are taking Berkshire’s vulnerabilities seriously.\n\nOur thesis &amp; prescription:\n🧵👇\n\n---\n\nWe understand that BRK’s investment portfolio is less than 50% of its overall asset base (mtm) but it has been an outsized driver of BRK’s total return.\n\n---\n\nBuffett's strategic investment in Apple, has yielded ~$140 billion in unrealized gains since 2018. This accounts for roughly half of the Berkshire stock performance since his Apple purchase.\n\n---\n\nWarren Buffett's investment portfolio successors, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, manage roughly $17 billion each (as of his 2021 letter) but have yet to make any significant investments.\n\n---\n\nA $380 billion investment portfolio makes BRK one of the largest active equity managers in the world.\n\n---\n\nManaging a $380 billion portfolio with high concentration and large embedded gains is a daunting task, and so far it has been totally unclear how this transition will be executed.\n\n---\n\nAn accounting change in 2018 brought all unrealized gains and losses in the portfolio directly into Berkshire's GAAP earnings, subjecting it to heightened scrutiny\n\n---\n\nIf a core holding like Apple, which represents ~50%of the investment portfolio encounters difficulties and Buffett is not around, it's unclear who will have the authority to make crucial decisions.\n\n---\n\nWe do not believe the same patience with portfolio fluctuations that has been extended to the greatest investor of all time will be extended to his relatively unknown successors.\n\n---\n\nAdditionally, Berkshire should no longer be relied upon as the steadfast provider of liquidity it once was during times of crises. (who will have the ability/courage to write 40B worth of derivative contracts like Buffett did in the GFC?).\n\n---\n\nPrescription: The prudent course of action is for Berkshire to officially de-emphasize its equity portfolio as a core driver of BRKB’s total return.\n\n---\n\n$BRK should diversify and sell down its concentrated positions and pay the capital gains tax owed. Then return a portion of the proceeds to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.\n\n---\n\nWe think Berkshire should go even further and strive to continue to diversify its holdings and even consider direct indexing strategies.\n\n---\n\nDe-emphasizing the portfolio will also help Berkshire focus on what it needs to most: fixing, right sizing and enhancing its wholly owned subsidiaries. This will mark its full maturation from an investment manager to a pure conglomerate.\n\n---\n\nThe prospect of entrusting a $380 billion concentrated equity portfolio to a two-person team and hoping for a favorable outcome presents a significant and unaddressed risk. The need to address this has become even more pressing since the passing of Charlie Munger.\n\n---\n\nHere is a link to the short write-up: https://t.co/MIjTkKtkD7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01096366133509763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01096366133509763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008055569731570289, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008055569731570289, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0029080916035273408, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029080916035273408, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011957815645428527, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011957815645428527, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010864645864384626, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010864645864384626, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010931697810439012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010931697810439012, "ret_p1w": 0.040334225445298744, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040334225445298744, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027897584086087113, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027897584086087113, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012436641359211631, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012436641359211631, "ret_p1m": 0.09972049199444588, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09972049199444588, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07424911224383313, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07424911224383313, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025471379750612755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025471379750612755, "ret_p3m": 0.08851499604240809, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08851499604240809, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0640986289308636, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0640986289308636, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02441636711154449, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02441636711154449, "ret_p6m": 0.19742561350875532, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19742561350875532, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04147802098512354, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04147802098512354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15594759252363177, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15594759252363177, "price_path": [-0.0967, -0.1086, -0.0933, -0.0828, -0.0763, -0.0621, -0.0546, -0.0685, -0.0698, -0.0694, -0.0644, -0.058, -0.0595, -0.0481, -0.0412, -0.033, -0.0355, -0.029, -0.0299, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0254, -0.029, -0.0325, -0.0361, -0.0326, -0.0405, -0.0416, -0.046, -0.0531, -0.0522, -0.0512, -0.0405, -0.0326, -0.0272, -0.0377, -0.042, -0.0336, -0.0278, -0.0451, -0.043, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.0411, -0.0408, -0.0392, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.026, -0.0145, -0.0227, -0.0176, -0.0106, -0.0141, -0.0113, -0.0236, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0297, -0.0345, -0.0262, -0.0138, -0.011, 0.0, 0.012, 0.0234, 0.0356, 0.0297, 0.0403, 0.0312, 0.0384, 0.05, 0.05, 0.058, 0.0686, 0.0681, 0.0705, 0.0687, 0.0609, 0.0713, 0.0841, 0.091, 0.091, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.1156, 0.1211, 0.0994, 0.0988, 0.1075, 0.1001, 0.094, 0.084, 0.0769, 0.0855, 0.0813, 0.0833, 0.0877, 0.0882, 0.0967, 0.0929, 0.0967, 0.0975, 0.1065, 0.1182, 0.1119, 0.106, 0.1015, 0.106, 0.1204, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1291, 0.1257, 0.1293, 0.116, 0.1249, 0.1178, 0.1143, 0.0993, 0.0953, 0.0836, 0.0756, 0.0666, 0.0688, 0.0746, 0.0885, 0.0985, 0.0984, 0.0909, 0.0881, 0.0805, 0.0774, 0.0661, 0.071, 0.0765, 0.0772, 0.0881, 0.0914, 0.092, 0.0986, 0.1072, 0.105, 0.1024, 0.1092, 0.1101, 0.1204, 0.1098, 0.1135, 0.1125, 0.0907, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0853, 0.0859, 0.098, 0.1136, 0.1146, 0.1005, 0.1013, 0.1046, 0.1117, 0.1039, 0.0977, 0.0984, 0.0908, 0.0898, 0.0945, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0995, 0.1007, 0.1124, 0.1043, 0.1024, 0.0962, 0.0931, 0.0888, 0.0939, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.1049, 0.0993, 0.1031, 0.1119, 0.1253, 0.1405, 0.1674, 0.1794, 0.1974]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1892598417693544578", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-20T15:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I highly encourage any experienced investors following us to consider $RELY for their portfolio. We believe the valuation is currently very attractive.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY: attractive valuation, all Q4 growth KPIs >30%, EBITDA scaling, best-in-class management.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Remitly $RELY continues to execute. \n\nQ4 2024 results were impressive with all growth KPIs > 30%. (Rev, customers, volume) \n\nCompany continues to scale with adj EBITDA at $44mm vs $8mm yoy\n\nStreet communication around KPIs, scale and SBC much improved.\n\nProbably the most focused management team we have come across.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I highly encourage any experienced investors following us to consider $RELY for their portfolio.\n\nWe believe the valuation is currently very attractive. \n\nWe have added multiple times since this initiation report (the price has continued to move against us for what we believe are", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004652924684950932, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004652924684950932, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00047518012731995185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00047518012731995185, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00417774455763098, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00417774455763098, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07483521662125214, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07483521662125214, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05773113557491494, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05773113557491494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017104081046337205, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017104081046337205, "ret_p1w": -0.08259018970537635, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08259018970537635, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04109131453738191, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04109131453738191, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04149887516799444, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04149887516799444, "ret_p1m": -0.2117099960447848, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2117099960447848, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13847123868387112, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13847123868387112, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07323875736091368, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07323875736091368, "ret_p3m": -0.11593647042744426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11593647042744426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09013827389186191, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09013827389186191, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02579819653558235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02579819653558235, "ret_p6m": -0.24001552207510057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24001552207510057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30047534382250185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30047534382250185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06045982174740128, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06045982174740128, "price_path": [-0.2043, -0.1931, -0.1923, -0.1923, -0.2028, -0.1954, -0.2005, -0.1865, -0.1935, -0.1819, -0.185, -0.1881, -0.1578, -0.1718, -0.1958, -0.1578, -0.1578, -0.171, -0.1621, -0.1233, -0.1303, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1055, -0.1159, -0.1198, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1314, -0.1086, -0.1016, -0.1, -0.1031, -0.1031, -0.128, -0.1245, -0.1314, -0.1082, -0.1035, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1028, -0.1035, -0.0869, -0.1074, -0.102, -0.0888, -0.0775, -0.0799, -0.0888, -0.0756, -0.0613, -0.0147, -0.0105, -0.0151, -0.0035, -0.0221, -0.0287, 0.0155, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.0264, 0.0047, 0.0, -0.0748, -0.0415, -0.0682, -0.0756, -0.0826, -0.0694, -0.0958, -0.1082, -0.1384, -0.1625, -0.1822, -0.2214, -0.2059, -0.2342, -0.2334, -0.2284, -0.2431, -0.2443, -0.214, -0.202, -0.2117, -0.1873, -0.185, -0.1733, -0.1784, -0.1884, -0.1935, -0.1881, -0.171, -0.2195, -0.2765, -0.2706, -0.2769, -0.2105, -0.2241, -0.2086, -0.2094, -0.2171, -0.2307, -0.2272, -0.2272, -0.2594, -0.2497, -0.2389, -0.2253, -0.2226, -0.2241, -0.2086, -0.216, -0.214, -0.1881, -0.1861, -0.178, -0.1822, -0.0632, -0.0752, -0.0504, -0.0609, -0.1031, -0.1155, -0.1163, -0.126, -0.1159, -0.1338, -0.1214, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.1396, -0.1656, -0.1846, -0.1718, -0.1644, -0.1873, -0.1939, -0.1904, -0.1648, -0.2125, -0.2299, -0.2222, -0.2276, -0.2497, -0.2427, -0.1997, -0.204, -0.204, -0.2195, -0.2292, -0.2105, -0.2396, -0.2714, -0.2668, -0.2722, -0.2842, -0.292, -0.2827, -0.2827, -0.2819, -0.2885, -0.2838, -0.2916, -0.3269, -0.3269, -0.323, -0.3234, -0.3339, -0.3402, -0.3304, -0.3319, -0.3249, -0.3346, -0.3416, -0.3327, -0.3459, -0.3412, -0.3602, -0.3877, -0.3753, -0.3668, -0.3614, -0.2652, -0.2633, -0.2633, -0.2478, -0.2257, -0.2381, -0.24]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1732459816851833293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-06T17:59:42+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are happy to continue holding for risk reduction benefits and decent carry. $TLT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Continuing to hold TLT for risk-reduction and carry; easy money made but position maintained.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From our Quarterly Letter published 10/14. The easy money has probably been made but we are happy to continue holding for risk reduction benefits and decent carry. $TLT https://t.co/BpfkHqQscP\n\n---\n\nQ3 Letter here: https://t.co/hvm7y5XtGo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013142877634921724, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013142877634921724, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017188803416944842, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017188803416944842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004045925782023119, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004045925782023119, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005737249413864665, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005737249413864665, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013367522456910641, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013367522456910641, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007630273043045976, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007630273043045976, "ret_p1w": 0.010117591849606145, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010117591849606145, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02449394312710007, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02449394312710007, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034611534976706215, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034611534976706215, "ret_p1m": 0.017348584380361798, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017348584380361798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014348227972357241, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014348227972357241, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03169681235271904, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03169681235271904, "ret_p3m": -0.009133481847095837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009133481847095837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14022918977610366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14022918977610366, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13109570792900782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13109570792900782, "ret_p6m": -0.04743456029737758, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04743456029737758, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20487825301416418, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20487825301416418, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1574436927167866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1574436927167866, "price_path": [-0.0252, -0.0322, -0.0266, -0.0269, -0.0339, -0.0398, -0.0343, -0.0414, -0.0384, -0.0631, -0.0556, -0.0788, -0.082, -0.0868, -0.084, -0.0839, -0.0992, -0.1186, -0.1061, -0.1106, -0.1214, -0.1008, -0.102, -0.0832, -0.1081, -0.0922, -0.1068, -0.1166, -0.1244, -0.1423, -0.1374, -0.1271, -0.1156, -0.1353, -0.122, -0.1257, -0.1297, -0.1339, -0.1151, -0.095, -0.0888, -0.0977, -0.0844, -0.0688, -0.0902, -0.0851, -0.0872, -0.0665, -0.0796, -0.0681, -0.0638, -0.0581, -0.0585, -0.0551, -0.0551, -0.0663, -0.0507, -0.0488, -0.0368, -0.048, -0.03, -0.0339, -0.0131, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0139, -0.016, -0.013, 0.0101, 0.0364, 0.0375, 0.0293, 0.0348, 0.0418, 0.0352, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0335, 0.0518, 0.0441, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.0288, 0.033, 0.0173, 0.0076, 0.0176, 0.0111, 0.0064, 0.012, 0.01, 0.01, -0.0078, -0.0093, -0.0185, -0.0154, -0.0095, -0.0174, -0.0231, -0.0168, -0.0186, -0.0073, 0.0017, 0.0115, 0.0313, 0.0085, -0.0118, -0.0022, -0.007, -0.0128, -0.0148, -0.0136, -0.0305, -0.0256, -0.0205, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.0254, -0.0323, -0.0276, -0.0145, -0.0175, -0.0244, -0.0182, -0.0113, -0.0051, -0.0091, 0.005, 0.0109, 0.0099, 0.0081, 0.0076, -0.0008, -0.0057, -0.0209, -0.0212, -0.0242, -0.0215, -0.0218, -0.0197, -0.0103, -0.0152, -0.0125, -0.0027, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0221, -0.0275, -0.0277, -0.0208, -0.0344, -0.0345, -0.0255, -0.0467, -0.0511, -0.046, -0.0608, -0.067, -0.0567, -0.0614, -0.0581, -0.0596, -0.0593, -0.066, -0.0725, -0.0677, -0.0598, -0.0679, -0.061, -0.057, -0.0474, -0.0437, -0.0379, -0.0437, -0.0391, -0.0445, -0.042, -0.0366, -0.0235, -0.0244, -0.031, -0.0339, -0.0289, -0.0277, -0.034, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.045, -0.0566, -0.0474]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1710051982751248667", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-05T21:58:58+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TLT risk/reward skew starting to look juicy. I'm feeling comfortable swapping out of some money market funds for duration here…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Moving out of money market funds into TLT; risk/reward looks attractive for long duration.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TLT risk/reward skew starting to look juicy. \n\nI’m feeling comfortable swapping out of some money market funds for duration here…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005010279821364039, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005010279821364039, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004633429483237084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004633429483237084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000376850338126955, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000376850338126955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012116943778843092, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012116943778843092, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02398976906461825, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02398976906461825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011872825285775157, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011872825285775157, "ret_p1w": 0.002796598827011554, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002796598827011554, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018781550409875836, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018781550409875836, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02157814923688739, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02157814923688739, "ret_p1m": 0.024477595557064413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024477595557064413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0004728742846527023, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0004728742846527023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02400472127241171, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02400472127241171, "ret_p3m": 0.15669047310756534, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15669047310756534, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03874870341956416, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03874870341956416, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11794176968800119, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11794176968800119, "ret_p6m": 0.1203660930051147, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1203660930051147, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12067616481569798, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12067616481569798, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24104225782081268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24104225782081268, "price_path": [0.1456, 0.1515, 0.1643, 0.1766, 0.1697, 0.1702, 0.1755, 0.1888, 0.1744, 0.1747, 0.1705, 0.1683, 0.1694, 0.1467, 0.1526, 0.1553, 0.1364, 0.1242, 0.0983, 0.1178, 0.1068, 0.1196, 0.1254, 0.1069, 0.1043, 0.1019, 0.0952, 0.0866, 0.082, 0.0858, 0.0713, 0.0795, 0.1063, 0.099, 0.1026, 0.1038, 0.1152, 0.1141, 0.119, 0.1016, 0.1016, 0.0862, 0.0888, 0.0918, 0.096, 0.0881, 0.0944, 0.0942, 0.0863, 0.0797, 0.0858, 0.0778, 0.0812, 0.0534, 0.0619, 0.0358, 0.0321, 0.0268, 0.0299, 0.0301, 0.0128, -0.009, 0.005, 0.0, -0.0121, 0.0111, 0.0097, 0.0308, 0.0028, 0.0207, 0.0043, -0.0068, -0.0155, -0.0357, -0.0302, -0.0185, -0.0056, -0.0277, -0.0128, -0.017, -0.0214, -0.0262, -0.0051, 0.0176, 0.0245, 0.0145, 0.0295, 0.047, 0.023, 0.0287, 0.0263, 0.0496, 0.0349, 0.0477, 0.0527, 0.0591, 0.0586, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.0498, 0.0674, 0.0695, 0.0829, 0.0704, 0.0906, 0.0862, 0.1096, 0.1244, 0.1179, 0.1088, 0.1064, 0.1097, 0.1357, 0.1653, 0.1666, 0.1573, 0.1635, 0.1714, 0.164, 0.1587, 0.1587, 0.162, 0.1826, 0.174, 0.1634, 0.1634, 0.1567, 0.1615, 0.1439, 0.1329, 0.1441, 0.1368, 0.1315, 0.1379, 0.1356, 0.1356, 0.1156, 0.1139, 0.1035, 0.107, 0.1136, 0.1048, 0.0983, 0.1055, 0.1034, 0.1161, 0.1262, 0.1373, 0.1596, 0.134, 0.1111, 0.1219, 0.1165, 0.11, 0.1078, 0.1091, 0.0901, 0.0956, 0.1013, 0.0949, 0.0949, 0.0958, 0.0881, 0.0934, 0.108, 0.1047, 0.0969, 0.1039, 0.1117, 0.1186, 0.1141, 0.13, 0.1366, 0.1355, 0.1335, 0.1329, 0.1234, 0.118, 0.1008, 0.1005, 0.0972, 0.1002, 0.0999, 0.1022, 0.1128, 0.1072, 0.1103, 0.1213, 0.1204, 0.1204]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1641873246114000896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-31T18:41:01+00:00", "symbol": "BUR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "wonder how much multiple expansion $BUR will see as summary judgement in Petersen case helps dispel short reports. If damages awarded are sizeable, BURs open cases should see a halo effect", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BUR: Petersen summary judgement expected to drive multiple expansion and halo effect on open cases, dispelling short thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BUR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "wonder how much multiple expansion  $BUR will see as summary judgement in Petersen case helps dispel short reports. If damages awarded are sizeable, BURs open cases should see a halo effect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.347197121901475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.347197121901475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3332984607188436, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3363104048942839, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013898661182631389, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010886717007191127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038105296606016914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018662089462830878, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038105296606016914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018662089462830878, "ret_p1w": 0.10940339445820713, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10940339445820713, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10989172726259067, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11438020072523192, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00048833280438354, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0049768062670247915, "ret_p1m": 0.20253166935656197, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20253166935656197, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1875825968751612, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1736049325353004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01494907248140076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028926736821261567, "ret_p3m": 0.08205335120154023, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08205335120154023, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012141739903917426, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05569602978736854, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0699116112976228, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026357321414171686, "ret_p6m": 0.29828227901248083, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29828227901248083, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23483209155357065, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23940553504582485, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06345018745891018, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05887674396665599, "price_path": [-0.245, -0.2333, -0.2288, -0.2134, -0.2143, -0.179, -0.1664, -0.1709, -0.1745, -0.1745, -0.1935, -0.2007, -0.2107, -0.1971, -0.1745, -0.1646, -0.1555, -0.1664, -0.1835, -0.1727, -0.1745, -0.1772, -0.1944, -0.2242, -0.236, -0.2414, -0.2432, -0.255, -0.2541, -0.2459, -0.2441, -0.2441, -0.2523, -0.2541, -0.2541, -0.2712, -0.274, -0.2667, -0.2731, -0.264, -0.2631, -0.264, -0.2505, -0.2523, -0.2396, -0.2631, -0.2577, -0.2722, -0.2857, -0.2993, -0.2939, -0.3065, -0.3644, -0.3897, -0.3996, -0.3707, -0.359, -0.3644, -0.3599, -0.3463, -0.3508, -0.359, -0.3472, 0.0, 0.0, 0.057, 0.0606, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1537, 0.1302, 0.1347, 0.1447, 0.1465, 0.141, 0.1311, 0.1447, 0.1627, 0.1736, 0.1655, 0.1392, 0.16, 0.1709, 0.2043, 0.2025, 0.1763, 0.2179, 0.1863, 0.2134, 0.2269, 0.2378, 0.2297, 0.2161, 0.2161, 0.2342, 0.2387, 0.2432, 0.2495, 0.2224, 0.1808, 0.2251, 0.1854, 0.2229, 0.2283, 0.2283, 0.1938, 0.2047, 0.2283, 0.2183, 0.2074, 0.2238, 0.2065, 0.1993, 0.1947, 0.1838, 0.1856, 0.1575, 0.1511, 0.1511, 0.1511, 0.1756, 0.1502, 0.152, 0.122, 0.1075, 0.1048, 0.0821, 0.0911, 0.1066, 0.1248, 0.1248, 0.1229, 0.1011, 0.112, 0.1029, 0.092, 0.0948, 0.1057, 0.0857, 0.1211, 0.1111, 0.1129, 0.1447, 0.1393, 0.162, 0.182, 0.2156, 0.1938, 0.2338, 0.2247, 0.2619, 0.2292, 0.2447, 0.2547, 0.2638, 0.2392, 0.2401, 0.3065, 0.2656, 0.291, 0.2783, 0.2583, 0.2165, 0.1802, 0.1874, 0.2029, 0.2129, 0.2138, 0.2429, 0.2465, 0.2628, 0.261, 0.251, 0.2565, 0.2565, 0.2238, 0.2311, 0.2601, 0.4455, 0.4854, 0.4655, 0.4427, 0.4037, 0.3492, 0.3219, 0.3428, 0.3192, 0.2956, 0.3074, 0.2983]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1854283353119449592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-06T22:02:56+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are long. Revenue and earnings surprise to upside, we expect more of this to continue and GSV improvement could be another upside catalyst", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long UPWK; Q3 beat on rev/FCF, buyback announced, expects continued upside surprises and GSV improvement as catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Q3 Earnings $UPWK \n\nDisc. we are long\n\nUp 11% AH which might be surprising given most of the information was prelim released two weeks ago.... Market liked the 100mm buyback announcement + favorable guidance. \n\nRevenue and earnings surprise to upside, we expect more of this to continue and GSV improvement could be another upside catalyst... Rev 10% yoy, FCF $98mm vs $33mm, active clients grew 2%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are long $UPWK\n\nThe largest online freelance marketplace that has been sold of ~85% from ATH due to misplaced AI fears. \n\nThesis = undervalued + latent earnings potential + secular growth market.\n\nBusiness background &amp; Thesis below", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013031521356483333, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013031521356483333, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01123066316200838, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010972576753253804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024262184518491714, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024004098109737138, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11454047222446428, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11454047222446428, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1068083062056926, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10143777263049758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007732166018771691, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013102699593966705, "ret_p1w": 0.07818932436818415, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07818932436818415, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06778390204445994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059321378334010744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010405422323724212, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01886794603417341, "ret_p1m": 0.13443079575291805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13443079575291805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10800286471832665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08610784881340883, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0264279310345914, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048322946939509226, "ret_p3m": 0.044581592725074115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044581592725074115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029790856944151844, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03368598544317769, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01479073578092227, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0782675781682518, "ret_p6m": -0.08710559058538991, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08710559058538991, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03803155943450631, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.098259131620547, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0490740311508836, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011153541035157089, "price_path": [-0.3601, -0.382, -0.3587, -0.3519, -0.3148, -0.3292, -0.3361, -0.356, -0.3347, -0.3457, -0.3128, -0.3299, -0.3299, -0.3601, -0.3409, -0.3388, -0.3388, -0.3621, -0.3422, -0.3265, -0.3477, -0.356, -0.3731, -0.369, -0.3615, -0.2977, -0.3059, -0.2833, -0.284, -0.2613, -0.2654, -0.2757, -0.2695, -0.2853, -0.2929, -0.2764, -0.2833, -0.2936, -0.2956, -0.2846, -0.2565, -0.2819, -0.2867, -0.2881, -0.286, -0.284, -0.2853, -0.2922, -0.2888, -0.2963, -0.2942, -0.3107, -0.3107, -0.1269, -0.1324, -0.1523, -0.1379, -0.0706, -0.0638, -0.07, -0.0412, -0.0672, -0.013, 0.0, 0.1145, 0.0926, 0.0898, 0.0789, 0.0782, 0.0357, 0.0226, 0.0364, 0.024, 0.0267, 0.0549, 0.0988, 0.1454, 0.1543, 0.1598, 0.1598, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1927, 0.1968, 0.1344, 0.1632, 0.1996, 0.1824, 0.1866, 0.1674, 0.1584, 0.166, 0.1687, 0.1372, 0.1139, 0.1276, 0.1358, 0.1481, 0.1481, 0.166, 0.1619, 0.1392, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1255, 0.1049, 0.1111, 0.096, 0.1008, 0.1008, 0.0727, 0.0844, 0.0953, 0.168, 0.1228, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.0988, 0.0995, 0.0768, 0.1159, 0.1536, 0.179, 0.1626, 0.0995, 0.0809, 0.0446, 0.0672, 0.0802, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0802, 0.0446, 0.0652, 0.1358, 0.107, 0.107, 0.1571, 0.1962, 0.1495, 0.072, 0.0782, 0.0802, 0.0686, 0.0706, 0.0926, 0.0096, 0.0034, 0.024, -0.0254, -0.0281, -0.0713, -0.0816, -0.07, -0.1536, -0.1358, -0.0988, -0.094, -0.0796, -0.0775, -0.0693, -0.0535, -0.0466, -0.0583, -0.0631, -0.094, -0.1049, -0.1022, -0.0816, -0.1406, -0.1859, -0.1797, -0.1907, -0.0947, -0.1337, -0.1152, -0.1269, -0.1221, -0.1317, -0.1262, -0.1262, -0.1447, -0.1193, -0.0974, -0.07, -0.0713, -0.0782, -0.085, -0.0981, -0.0871]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1585676896796278793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-27T16:56:47+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We find this pessimistic given previous capital allocation and execution. However, we are hesitant to add as we believe the next shoe to drop is ad revenues falling given a mild recession", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Cautiously bullish META on cheap valuation vs. core EBIT, but hesitant to add near-term given ad revenue risk from recession and leadership uncertainty.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On $META, a doozy of an earnings \n\n1/n\n\n---\n\nSome positives: \n\nReels engagement growing, now at a 3B run rate from 1B a quarter ago. Although this is a less profitable rev stream than Stories. Zuckerberg even mentioned they were taking share from TikTok.\n\n---\n\nBusiness message ads at a 9B run rate, with Whats App generating 1.5B, up 80% yoy.\n\n---\n\nTime and engagement on core apps have all increased yoy\n\n---\n\nSome negatives\n\nRL is almost 20% of operating expenses and generates only 2% of the revenue! \n\nOp ex guide of 100B from 88B in '22  \n\nCapex guide of 37B  from 32B in '22\n\nGargantuan is an understatement\n\n---\n\nHad thought Zuckerberg would have been significantly more measured in costs going into \"one of the worst downturns that we've seen in recent history\"\n\n---\n\nWhat market thinks of $META cap allocation, roughly. \n\nCore biz earns about $32B in EBIT (using maint capex of $15B) \n\nAdding RL and growth capex is $27B \n\n10x core EBIT is $320B, META currently has an EV of $250B. Market believes growth capex &amp; RL worth roughly negative $70B\n\n---\n\nWe find this pessimistic given previous capital allocation and execution. However, we are hesitant to add as we believe the next shoe to drop is ad revenues falling given a mild recession (or worse). META is also in limbo until market believes in leadership again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.325505523686181, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.325505523686181, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.3201369465602686, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.27573537084612654, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005368577125912433, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04977015284005448, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012864956505088232, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012864956505088232, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010925764932601112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012438159434713159, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.023790721437689344, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02530311593980139, "ret_p1w": -0.09219935218289488, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09219935218289488, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0685930314551021, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04180201576996234, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023606320727792784, "bench_c_p1w": -0.050397336412932536, "ret_p1m": 0.13753328135450404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13753328135450404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07871442050314514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08776312851444956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0588188608513589, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04977015284005448, "ret_p3m": 0.4615070756711208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4615070756711208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4034572945491246, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3320079615917404, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05804978112199621, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12949911407938042, "ret_p6m": 1.173677697918316, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.173677697918316, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0797432524969286, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9610022259334685, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09393444542138751, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2126754719848476, "price_path": [0.6329, 0.6356, 0.7235, 0.7416, 0.7062, 0.7383, 0.7207, 0.8209, 0.8122, 0.843, 0.8469, 0.8324, 0.7853, 0.7833, 0.7149, 0.6648, 0.645, 0.6669, 0.7233, 0.6518, 0.6252, 0.6047, 0.6636, 0.6884, 0.6369, 0.6369, 0.6187, 0.6376, 0.6547, 0.7271, 0.7251, 0.5635, 0.5466, 0.527, 0.4937, 0.5113, 0.4916, 0.4511, 0.4582, 0.4336, 0.3924, 0.3723, 0.4459, 0.3928, 0.3853, 0.4153, 0.4323, 0.419, 0.42, 0.3626, 0.366, 0.3124, 0.3018, 0.3303, 0.2943, 0.3686, 0.3559, 0.3603, 0.343, 0.3274, 0.3245, 0.404, 0.3255, 0.0, 0.0129, -0.0488, -0.028, -0.0756, -0.0922, -0.073, -0.0125, -0.015, 0.036, 0.1422, 0.154, 0.1662, 0.1954, 0.1561, 0.1379, 0.1441, 0.1217, 0.1378, 0.146, 0.146, 0.1375, 0.1107, 0.1176, 0.2058, 0.2297, 0.2609, 0.2501, 0.1652, 0.1633, 0.1776, 0.1834, 0.1712, 0.2268, 0.2415, 0.1859, 0.2194, 0.1689, 0.1955, 0.2228, 0.1958, 0.2052, 0.2052, 0.1934, 0.1805, 0.2279, 0.2287, 0.2287, 0.2736, 0.3005, 0.2961, 0.3275, 0.3219, 0.3579, 0.3569, 0.3959, 0.3986, 0.3986, 0.3821, 0.3582, 0.3901, 0.423, 0.4628, 0.4615, 0.4448, 0.504, 0.5493, 0.5015, 0.521, 0.5634, 0.9274, 0.9045, 0.8997, 0.9565, 0.8729, 0.8166, 0.7781, 0.832, 0.8326, 0.8089, 0.7607, 0.7652, 0.7652, 0.757, 0.7472, 0.7566, 0.7397, 0.7311, 0.7862, 0.7707, 0.782, 0.8915, 0.8879, 0.8839, 0.8886, 0.8551, 0.8329, 0.847, 0.981, 1.0191, 1.0924, 0.9972, 1.0197, 1.0641, 1.0401, 1.0858, 1.1034, 1.0711, 1.049, 1.0967, 1.1221, 1.164, 1.1755, 1.1924, 1.1593, 1.2065, 1.2065, 1.1927, 1.1835, 1.185, 1.2498, 1.2615, 1.2346, 1.2247, 1.2024, 1.1755, 1.1737]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1817968176346579161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-29T16:59:24+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For small caps to meaningfully outperform two conditions must be met", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Small caps can outperform if economy stays stable and AI optimism fades but doesn't pop.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "IWM is the Russell 2000 small-cap ETF, pass-through", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For small caps to meaningfully outperform two conditions must be met:\n\n1. Economy remains stable\n2. AI optimism slightly fades but doesn’t pop", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011229921273874677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011229921273874677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011817355579328837, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011817355579328837, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005874343054541598, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005874343054541598, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0037883733645556195, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0037883733645556195, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008854722553581662, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008854722553581662, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005066349189026043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005066349189026043, "ret_p1w": -0.08808010168747349, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08808010168747349, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037819405549794016, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037819405549794016, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05026069613767947, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05026069613767947, "ret_p1m": -0.01348473168927733, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01348473168927733, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0443239459435566, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0443239459435566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030839214254279268, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030839214254279268, "ret_p3m": -0.005683612450723796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005683612450723796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07223894687472865, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07223894687472865, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06655533442400485, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06655533442400485, "ret_p6m": 0.042974351584144976, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042974351584144976, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0711593864439497, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0711593864439497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11413373802809468, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11413373802809468, "price_path": [-0.1171, -0.1009, -0.092, -0.0802, -0.0782, -0.0835, -0.0742, -0.0811, -0.0792, -0.0697, -0.0581, -0.0648, -0.0642, -0.0621, -0.063, -0.0709, -0.0862, -0.076, -0.076, -0.0773, -0.0909, -0.0823, -0.0746, -0.0798, -0.0917, -0.0778, -0.0844, -0.0951, -0.092, -0.0951, -0.0812, -0.0893, -0.1037, -0.0962, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.0985, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.0955, -0.0979, -0.0887, -0.085, -0.0926, -0.0895, -0.0897, -0.0897, -0.0941, -0.0877, -0.0917, -0.0828, -0.0498, -0.0387, -0.0205, 0.0129, 0.0023, -0.017, -0.0221, -0.0065, 0.0041, -0.0175, -0.0052, 0.0112, 0.0, 0.0038, 0.0096, -0.0232, -0.0578, -0.0881, -0.0782, -0.0891, -0.0669, -0.0689, -0.0773, -0.0621, -0.0679, -0.0437, -0.0412, -0.0295, -0.0408, -0.0283, -0.0368, -0.0061, -0.0058, -0.0135, -0.0202, -0.0132, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0378, -0.0394, -0.0442, -0.0624, -0.0598, -0.0605, -0.0578, -0.0456, -0.0221, -0.0186, -0.0105, -0.0103, 0.0101, -0.0007, -0.0044, -0.0027, -0.0149, -0.0096, -0.0029, -0.0004, -0.014, -0.0153, -0.0219, -0.0083, -0.016, -0.0154, -0.0132, -0.0187, 0.0013, 0.0087, 0.0095, 0.0261, 0.0233, 0.0212, 0.0051, 0.0013, -0.0079, -0.0057, -0.0094, 0.0067, 0.0035, 0.0021, -0.0146, -0.009, -0.004, 0.0147, 0.0735, 0.0697, 0.0776, 0.0938, 0.0746, 0.064, 0.0496, 0.034, 0.036, 0.0437, 0.045, 0.0609, 0.0805, 0.097, 0.0889, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.0946, 0.094, 0.0862, 0.0901, 0.0774, 0.0812, 0.0758, 0.0712, 0.076, 0.062, 0.0547, 0.0609, 0.0488, 0.0024, -0.0021, 0.0073, 0.0049, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0243, 0.0094, 0.0016, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0037, 0.0186, 0.0191, 0.0109, 0.0063, 0.0063, -0.0158, -0.0139, -0.0027, 0.0169, 0.0189, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.043]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1712482096835604563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-12T14:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "INMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "too many negatives for us... we are passing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Passing on INMD: one-product risk, crowded RF microneedling market, higher financing costs, poor customer service.", "resolved_tickers": ["INMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Medical Devices'", "bench_c_industry": "Medical Devices", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$INMD we are passing\n\nThey are in danger of becoming a one product company with the Morphues8 as their flagship\n\nThe Radio Frequency Microneedling space has heated up dramatically since 2018 with strong competitors like BTL, Candela, Sciton, Alma, Cutera, Lumins, Lutronic and BENEV having competing products.\n\nInmode is now charging for demos\n\nContending with higher financing costs for longer is a headwind\n\nPoor customer service\n\ntoo many negatives for us...\n\nUpside risks:\nMorpheus8 still has an advantage in the marketing department (clients request treatments directly). This may have more staying power than we believe.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.24955358249040294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24955358249040294, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24341959128685176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24089699274715382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006133991203551181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008656589743249121, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07366069851025003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07366069851025003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867998884098081, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07992133210658581, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004980709669269223, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006260633596335774, "ret_p1w": -0.11339281479618912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11339281479618912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09672079978791981, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10713218119985335, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016672015008269314, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006260633596335774, "ret_p1m": -0.12946427088915058, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12946427088915058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14549078220706424, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10542644074042407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01602651131791366, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024037830148726513, "ret_p3m": -0.014285700905079524, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014285700905079524, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11146177653885803, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10377625234450993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0971760756337785, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08949055143943041, "ret_p6m": -0.12723216205379217, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12723216205379217, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33128429313801466, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2431750678495357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2040521310842225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11594290579574351, "price_path": [1.0071, 1.0442, 1.0554, 1.0201, 1.0183, 0.9924, 0.954, 1.0103, 0.967, 0.9129, 0.9156, 0.9571, 0.9371, 0.9196, 0.9063, 0.9183, 0.9268, 0.8839, 0.8165, 0.8134, 0.833, 0.7438, 0.7004, 0.6585, 0.6723, 0.6754, 0.6875, 0.7438, 0.6875, 0.6982, 0.6922, 0.7326, 0.7888, 0.7451, 0.7629, 0.7629, 0.7371, 0.7589, 0.7049, 0.6924, 0.6871, 0.6362, 0.5388, 0.5585, 0.5174, 0.5138, 0.5058, 0.4763, 0.4397, 0.4411, 0.4469, 0.4393, 0.4536, 0.3817, 0.3598, 0.3451, 0.2692, 0.2594, 0.2607, 0.2817, 0.2424, 0.296, 0.2496, 0.0, -0.0737, -0.0482, -0.0522, -0.0741, -0.1134, -0.1205, -0.1103, -0.0951, -0.1205, -0.1406, -0.146, -0.1509, -0.1473, -0.1504, -0.0286, -0.0411, -0.0862, -0.1214, -0.1076, -0.121, -0.1295, -0.1152, -0.0638, -0.0098, -0.0308, -0.0138, 0.0089, 0.0045, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0232, 0.0161, 0.0442, 0.0625, 0.0603, 0.0955, 0.1022, 0.0545, -0.0509, -0.0737, -0.0295, -0.0384, -0.067, -0.017, 0.0308, 0.0192, -0.0022, 0.0241, -0.0263, 0.0152, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0268, 0.0045, 0.0063, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.008, -0.0625, -0.0621, -0.0643, -0.046, -0.0143, -0.0205, -0.054, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0371, -0.0232, 0.0223, 0.0085, 0.0299, 0.0263, 0.0143, 0.0402, 0.0379, 0.0835, 0.0728, 0.0576, 0.0768, 0.0714, 0.0509, 0.1076, 0.1165, 0.1321, 0.1589, 0.1826, 0.0567, 0.0223, 0.0612, 0.0179, 0.0179, -0.0638, -0.0696, -0.0763, -0.0469, -0.0429, -0.0183, -0.0321, -0.0179, 0.0237, 0.0366, 0.0241, 0.0161, 0.0121, -0.0192, -0.0384, -0.042, -0.0214, -0.0478, -0.0665, -0.0732, -0.0808, -0.0518, -0.0522, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0772, -0.0536, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0625, -0.0799, -0.0795, -0.1147, -0.1272]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1750929824749674821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-26T17:12:55+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we expect this name to reward the patient", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish Dr Martens: destocking in final innings, expects the stock to reward patient investors despite challenged category.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DOCS.LON (Doc Martens) - Sentiment was exceedingly pessimistic to the extent that even after a ~20% rev decline the stock rallies. Wholesale segment has struggled but destocking looks to be in final innings. The category overall remains very challenged but we expect this name to reward the patient.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pernas Research on Dr Martens $DOCS:\n(extract from their weekly report) https://t.co/qrv2fN8eSB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040909146900988125, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040909146900988125, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04218117391901699, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036365808108088205, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001272027018028865, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00454333879289992, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017045550165419754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017045550165419754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024964838339820994, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03166564322411369, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00791928817440124, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01462009305869394, "ret_p1w": -0.04659096804012475, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04659096804012475, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0608294100579333, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0794428372253716, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01423844201780855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03285186918524685, "ret_p1m": 0.11136362492867136, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11136362492867136, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07324385996930993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05212559178198006, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038119764959361424, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059238033146691293, "ret_p3m": -0.17045472092211056, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17045472092211056, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21060630650070045, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18728493758052434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04015158557858989, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016830216658413777, "ret_p6m": -0.18636369866447966, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18636369866447966, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3315356799726563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2971685954092913, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14517198130817666, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11080489674481164, "price_path": [0.3225, 0.3361, 0.3736, 0.3997, 0.3873, 0.377, 0.3941, 0.4066, 0.3498, 0.2305, 0.3179, 0.3089, 0.277, 0.2918, 0.3157, 0.2873, 0.2793, 0.2555, 0.2327, 0.2611, 0.2691, 0.3043, 0.0248, 0.085, 0.0674, 0.0867, 0.068, 0.0305, 0.0498, 0.0453, 0.022, 0.0055, 0.0509, 0.0396, 0.0163, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.022, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0191, 0.0214, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0038, -0.0098, -0.025, -0.0415, -0.0375, -0.0739, -0.0813, -0.1045, -0.0966, -0.0909, -0.1011, -0.1193, -0.1557, -0.1619, -0.1261, -0.129, -0.1438, -0.0409, 0.0, -0.017, -0.004, 0.0125, -0.0313, -0.0466, -0.0523, -0.0267, -0.0426, -0.0119, -0.0358, -0.0017, -0.0045, 0.0216, 0.0631, 0.0801, 0.0807, 0.0983, 0.0847, 0.1102, 0.1091, 0.1114, 0.0903, 0.0909, 0.0807, 0.0994, 0.0795, 0.0335, 0.0261, 0.033, 0.0273, 0.0437, 0.0398, 0.025, 0.0295, 0.017, 0.0227, 0.021, -0.0165, -0.0108, -0.0136, 0.0, -0.029, 0.0091, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0233, 0.0545, 0.1023, 0.0568, 0.0909, 0.0835, 0.0807, 0.0903, 0.0682, 0.079, -0.2386, -0.2386, -0.2063, -0.2352, -0.1807, -0.1585, -0.1705, -0.1892, -0.1739, -0.133, -0.1364, -0.1267, -0.1057, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.1159, -0.1045, -0.1091, -0.0994, -0.1153, -0.0955, -0.0847, -0.0585, -0.0341, -0.0295, -0.0148, -0.0244, -0.0295, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0324, -0.0466, -0.0455, -0.0068, -0.0074, -0.0455, -0.046, -0.025, -0.0301, -0.0278, -0.0523, -0.0335, -0.0443, -0.0875, -0.0784, -0.0824, -0.079, -0.0614, -0.1097, -0.0881, -0.1119, -0.1193, -0.1256, -0.1511, -0.158, -0.179, -0.1614, -0.1619, -0.1523, -0.1449, -0.1722, -0.1631, -0.1494, -0.1307, -0.1545, -0.1739, -0.1886, -0.1563, -0.1784, -0.1864]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1724699351342088305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-15T08:02:23+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Unfortunately China has become a police state where free enterprise goes to die. Save your money.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BABA; China's political environment kills free enterprise — avoid.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EquityBrian Unfortunately China has become a police state where free enterprise goes to die. Save your money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Don’t be surprised when $BABA reports above par earnings Thursday morning. \n\nCurrent restructuring plans + cost cutting + improving cloud/e-commerce margins will continue to be a massive tailwind over the next few quarters/years.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EquityBrian", "ret_m1d": -0.0367519515910929, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0367519515910929, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034639445297578786, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03555959183126611, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002112506293514116, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011923597598267888, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09142067564615086, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09142067564615086, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09264384563646288, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08116731034073688, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001223169990312023, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010253365305413986, "ret_p1w": -0.09314335706145294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09314335706145294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10501853827020124, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0951103792135285, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011875181208748309, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0019670221520755593, "ret_p1m": -0.16722179493235867, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16722179493235867, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2168795558899348, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23333201466271825, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049657760957576125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06611021973035958, "ret_p3m": -0.14869413533590392, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14869413533590392, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26729226350073376, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22214591097688552, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11859812816482984, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0734517756409816, "ret_p6m": -0.07513321233074888, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07513321233074888, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24018799487289932, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14679366244470105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16505478254215045, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07166045011395217, "price_path": [0.011, 0.0172, 0.0116, 0.0318, 0.0234, 0.0316, 0.0594, 0.0799, 0.0756, 0.067, 0.0912, 0.0912, 0.0871, 0.0848, 0.0333, 0.0342, 0.0188, 0.0141, 0.0065, 0.0107, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0005, -0.0153, -0.034, 0.0141, 0.0017, -0.0133, -0.0101, -0.0176, -0.0038, -0.0062, -0.0291, -0.0343, -0.039, -0.0116, -0.0255, 0.0011, 0.0082, -0.0294, -0.035, -0.0317, -0.0363, -0.0466, -0.0627, -0.0819, -0.0753, -0.0482, -0.0694, -0.0524, -0.0488, -0.0451, -0.052, -0.0527, -0.042, -0.0202, -0.0196, -0.0191, -0.0261, -0.0498, -0.0496, -0.0552, -0.0368, 0.0, -0.0914, -0.1088, -0.0989, -0.0934, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0985, -0.1096, -0.1186, -0.1424, -0.14, -0.1502, -0.1612, -0.1687, -0.1789, -0.1693, -0.1715, -0.1803, -0.1801, -0.1793, -0.1672, -0.1443, -0.1519, -0.1341, -0.1462, -0.1124, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1172, -0.1141, -0.101, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.1298, -0.1085, -0.131, -0.1502, -0.1517, -0.1617, -0.1688, -0.1575, -0.1638, -0.1638, -0.1915, -0.1977, -0.2079, -0.192, -0.2012, -0.1385, -0.1247, -0.1404, -0.1386, -0.1436, -0.1582, -0.16, -0.1566, -0.1637, -0.1314, -0.0894, -0.1429, -0.1762, -0.1617, -0.1487, -0.1666, -0.1458, -0.1408, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1487, -0.1203, -0.114, -0.1159, -0.1095, -0.0959, -0.1318, -0.1383, -0.1315, -0.162, -0.1611, -0.1421, -0.1557, -0.1439, -0.1287, -0.1147, -0.1109, -0.1457, -0.1454, -0.1443, -0.1454, -0.1366, -0.1407, -0.1604, -0.1682, -0.168, -0.1667, -0.1578, -0.1578, -0.146, -0.1517, -0.1568, -0.1625, -0.1659, -0.1653, -0.1504, -0.1318, -0.1288, -0.1702, -0.178, -0.1898, -0.199, -0.1983, -0.1961, -0.1773, -0.156, -0.1314, -0.1258, -0.1206, -0.1106, -0.1288, -0.1211, -0.065, -0.0534, -0.0508, -0.0762, -0.0868, -0.0751]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1843403617950412872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-07T21:30:45+00:00", "symbol": "EAF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the range of outcomes doesn't seem too positive for $EAF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish EAF; range of outcomes skews negative.", "resolved_tickers": ["EAF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OSA_Rochester Interesting, didn't know about the history with $GFP, thanks for sharing. Yea, the range of outcomes doesn't seem too positive for $EAF.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch The cost advantage for India/HEG, I believe, comes from access to lower costs of energy &amp; labor. Graftech's plants aren't getting access to this. I think HEG wants Seadrift. That said, the timing of HEG's investment is probably not the best. Graftech is awaiting approval of a DOE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OSA_Rochester", "ret_m1d": -0.14736838089792348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14736838089792348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15649120396380434, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14980975206534042, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009122823065880858, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002441371167416939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09999997992264598, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09999997992264598, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10945752023561262, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10221946067832344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009457540312966639, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002219480755677461, "ret_p1w": -0.231578927291067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.231578927291067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2606737233953039, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26168717267649033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02909479610423693, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030108245385423338, "ret_p1m": -0.06842101247687093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06842101247687093, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08409560559955298, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07522695881698804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015674593122682046, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006805946340117108, "ret_p3m": -0.09473680195055512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09473680195055512, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12786046011353636, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07092210212595695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03312365816298124, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023814699824598162, "ret_p6m": -0.5200000060232062, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5200000060232062, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5142782997246241, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5029872160707362, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.005721706298582041, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01701278995247002, "price_path": [-0.4884, -0.4053, -0.4, -0.3789, -0.4263, -0.4742, -0.5274, -0.5563, -0.5116, -0.5032, -0.4947, -0.5563, -0.5774, -0.5721, -0.5895, -0.5958, -0.6316, -0.6626, -0.7111, -0.6721, -0.6984, -0.6789, -0.7053, -0.7126, -0.6595, -0.6479, -0.6205, -0.6389, -0.6389, -0.6474, -0.6142, -0.6568, -0.6142, -0.56, -0.5579, -0.5511, -0.5258, -0.6389, -0.6389, -0.6568, -0.6595, -0.6832, -0.6421, -0.6474, -0.5947, -0.5853, -0.5937, -0.5842, -0.5716, -0.5763, -0.5637, -0.5395, -0.5353, -0.4742, -0.4737, -0.4526, -0.4579, -0.4053, -0.3053, -0.2842, -0.2316, -0.2316, -0.1474, 0.0, -0.1, -0.1789, -0.2053, -0.2105, -0.2316, -0.2421, -0.1684, -0.1105, -0.0842, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0895, -0.0421, 0.0368, 0.1, 0.0684, -0.0368, -0.1053, -0.0158, -0.0368, -0.0684, 0.0737, 0.0895, 0.1211, 0.0895, 0.1474, 0.1316, 0.1316, 0.1158, 0.1053, 0.1316, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.1263, 0.1105, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0316, -0.0211, 0.1316, 0.0526, 0.0684, 0.0842, 0.1895, 0.0526, 0.0105, 0.0105, 0.0684, 0.0526, 0.0211, -0.0579, -0.1, -0.1684, -0.1684, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.0789, -0.1211, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0947, -0.1053, -0.0789, -0.0895, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.1579, -0.1526, -0.2053, -0.1789, -0.1211, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.0684, -0.1263, -0.1316, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.2053, -0.2211, -0.2368, -0.2105, -0.2316, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2158, -0.2895, -0.4, -0.4211, -0.4632, -0.4211, -0.4, -0.4, -0.4316, -0.4263, -0.4632, -0.3421, -0.3684, -0.3737, -0.3895, -0.3789, -0.3842, -0.3947, -0.4105, -0.4053, -0.3789, -0.3895, -0.4211, -0.4316, -0.4526, -0.4368, -0.4211, -0.4263, -0.4632, -0.4474, -0.4632, -0.4789, -0.4684, -0.4316, -0.4526, -0.4737, -0.5, -0.54, -0.52]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1347260292472864768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-07T19:14:19+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Market will continue to grind higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market continues to grind higher; warns complacency risk when VIX drops below 15.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 index proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market will continue to grind higher. Complacency risk starts setting in when VIX is lower than 15.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014639947161915856, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014639947161915856, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014639947161915856, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014639947161915856, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005697838173163605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005697838173163605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005697838173163605, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005697838173163605, "ret_p1w": -0.0016882003073920293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0016882003073920293, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016882003073920293, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016882003073920293, "ret_p1m": 0.022711711629134435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022711711629134435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022711711629134435, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022711711629134435, "ret_p3m": 0.07478278570085783, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07478278570085783, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07478278570085783, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07478278570085783, "ret_p6m": 0.15158055083944788, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15158055083944788, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15158055083944788, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15158055083944788, "price_path": [-0.0743, -0.0803, -0.0861, -0.0872, -0.0878, -0.1017, -0.0981, -0.0998, -0.0948, -0.0918, -0.1085, -0.1116, -0.142, -0.1333, -0.1423, -0.1327, -0.1174, -0.0976, -0.08, -0.0803, -0.0687, -0.0701, -0.0632, -0.0722, -0.0594, -0.0477, -0.0528, -0.0642, -0.0602, -0.0667, -0.0611, -0.046, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.0448, -0.049, -0.0386, -0.0366, -0.0368, -0.0285, -0.0305, -0.0277, -0.0364, -0.0367, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0292, -0.0277, -0.0223, -0.0262, -0.0296, -0.0313, -0.0304, -0.0266, -0.0266, -0.0183, -0.0202, -0.0188, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0272, -0.0205, -0.0146, 0.0, 0.0057, -0.0011, -0.0009, 0.0018, -0.0017, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0012, 0.0126, 0.0136, 0.01, 0.014, 0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0039, -0.0238, -0.0076, 0.0065, 0.0073, 0.0187, 0.0227, 0.0301, 0.0294, 0.029, 0.0306, 0.0357, 0.0357, 0.0348, 0.0351, 0.0307, 0.0288, 0.0209, 0.0222, 0.0334, 0.0085, 0.0033, 0.0276, 0.0196, 0.0061, -0.0063, 0.0119, 0.0069, 0.0213, 0.0276, 0.0381, 0.0395, 0.0457, 0.0443, 0.0479, 0.0327, 0.0307, 0.039, 0.0308, 0.0256, 0.0313, 0.0479, 0.0474, 0.0446, 0.0489, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0754, 0.0748, 0.076, 0.0811, 0.089, 0.0894, 0.0926, 0.0889, 0.1006, 0.1043, 0.0988, 0.0908, 0.1011, 0.0911, 0.1029, 0.1052, 0.105, 0.1046, 0.1117, 0.1044, 0.1068, 0.0999, 0.1003, 0.1091, 0.1171, 0.1061, 0.0962, 0.0729, 0.0858, 0.1025, 0.0997, 0.0902, 0.0873, 0.099, 0.0981, 0.1093, 0.1069, 0.1091, 0.1096, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.1106, 0.1124, 0.1083, 0.1184, 0.1173, 0.1175, 0.1159, 0.1211, 0.1229, 0.1254, 0.1234, 0.1171, 0.1167, 0.1017, 0.1174, 0.1234, 0.1221, 0.1287, 0.1327, 0.135, 0.1356, 0.1366, 0.1428, 0.1516]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1547319641055186944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-07-13T20:38:44+00:00", "symbol": "AOUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AOUT has more than 100% upside from today's levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AOUT: severely undervalued near-net-net at EV/EBITDA <2, 40%+ gross margins, no debt, buybacks; 100%+ upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AOUT earnings are tomorrow. AOUT is severely undervalued, perhaps due to its spinoff status and being lumped in with gun stocks even though 50% of revenues come from outdoor accessories which have grown yoy.  AOUT is almost a net-net that trades at about EV/EBITDA &lt; 2\n\n---\n\n$AOUT share price has declined more than most gun stocks while revenues have fallen at half the rate. AOUT has resonant brands that have historical gross margins of &gt;40%. With no debt, and a shareholder-aligned management team (repurchased 7% of shares in Jan)...\n\n---\n\nAOUT has more than 100% upside from today's levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03236247852432539, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03236247852432539, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03764190194547623, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024231347254076496, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005279423421150842, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008131131270248892, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01618118782342104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01618118782342104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018609622574357054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017022461238496156, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002428434750936015, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008412734150751167, "ret_p1w": -0.1413161116426448, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1413161116426448, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18339307307902641, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20797777743692059, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04207696143638162, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06666166579427579, "ret_p1m": -0.049622439636636706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.049622439636636706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1582728770117301, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21427958785343537, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10865043737509339, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16465714821679867, "ret_p3m": -0.028047488246247587, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.028047488246247587, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.017701496416443807, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009911113793296233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045748984662691394, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018136374452951354, "ret_p6m": 0.16073351645525347, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16073351645525347, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15055009414825493, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25182729783729274, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.010183422306998535, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09109378138203927, "price_path": [0.4844, 0.4682, 0.5059, 0.4995, 0.4358, 0.4186, 0.438, 0.3873, 0.3819, 0.3916, 0.3592, 0.37, 0.3786, 0.3981, 0.343, 0.3193, 0.246, 0.2567, 0.1877, 0.205, 0.2362, 0.2039, 0.2481, 0.1845, 0.1758, 0.1413, 0.1855, 0.1284, 0.2071, 0.2923, 0.2557, 0.2557, 0.2481, 0.2211, 0.2632, 0.2416, 0.2287, 0.2492, 0.2157, 0.2255, 0.206, 0.165, 0.1305, 0.1284, 0.0636, 0.0787, 0.0787, 0.0485, 0.0259, 0.1305, 0.1597, 0.1122, 0.0744, 0.0464, 0.0259, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0313, -0.0011, 0.0194, 0.0173, -0.0129, -0.0324, 0.0, 0.0162, -0.0971, -0.1338, -0.137, -0.1413, -0.1359, -0.1607, -0.1402, -0.164, -0.1435, -0.1435, -0.1478, -0.1866, -0.2082, -0.2114, -0.2136, -0.2157, -0.1381, -0.1294, -0.082, -0.0496, -0.0216, -0.041, -0.0302, -0.0464, -0.0421, -0.0626, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.11, -0.0906, -0.137, -0.1618, -0.0183, -0.0734, -0.1036, -0.1057, -0.1057, -0.1241, -0.0906, -0.0895, -0.0874, -0.0205, 0.0086, 0.0129, 0.0227, 0.0259, 0.041, -0.0496, -0.0971, -0.0949, -0.0906, -0.0755, -0.137, -0.1327, -0.1316, -0.0539, -0.0928, -0.041, -0.0442, -0.0076, -0.0356, -0.028, -0.0496, -0.0464, -0.0604, -0.0583, -0.0162, 0.0108, -0.0183, -0.0108, -0.0734, -0.068, -0.0399, -0.0205, -0.0367, -0.0334, -0.0378, -0.0442, -0.0378, -0.0432, -0.0324, 0.0119, -0.0086, -0.0777, -0.0755, -0.0658, -0.0777, -0.0507, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1143, -0.0992, -0.0507, -0.0216, -0.0216, 0.0162, 0.0205, 0.0388, 0.0205, 0.0302, 0.2125, 0.1823, 0.1575, 0.1499, 0.1855, 0.1413, 0.1025, 0.0895, 0.0949, 0.0971, 0.0647, 0.0378, 0.0356, 0.0302, 0.055, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0507, 0.0464, 0.082, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.1068, 0.1564, 0.1607]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1315781178297741312", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-12T22:27:33+00:00", "symbol": "MGM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail casino operators such as @MGMGrand could have serious upside. Wide geographic footprint, brand, and loyalty program give them a large competitive advantage in the growing online gambling industry", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long MGM and retail casino operators: competitive moat in online gambling via partnerships, geographic scale, and loyalty programs; >1-year horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["MGM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Resorts & Casinos", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail casino operators such as @MGMGrand could have serious upside. Wide geographic footprint, brand, and loyalty program give them a large competitive advantage in the growing online gambling industry\n\n---\n\nOnline gambling operators have crushed it so far but retail operators have been left behind even though they share the upside in the online gambling market (online operators have to partner with retail operators). Think looking out &gt;1 year presents awesome opportunities currently", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0018692185628200741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018692185628200741, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0139635720430058, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0139635720430058, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015832790605825875, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015832790605825875, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020093586690329013, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020093586690329013, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013567592004387952, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013567592004387952, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006525994685941061, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006525994685941061, "ret_p1w": -0.0280375648979716, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0280375648979716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015284735499285773, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015284735499285773, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029566038447900178, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029566038447900178, "ret_p1m": 0.15794383995842898, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15794383995842898, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15337530739272354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15337530739272354, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004568532565705441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004568532565705441, "ret_p3m": 0.4300501345164849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4300501345164849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34979017084279684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34979017084279684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08025996367368804, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08025996367368804, "ret_p6m": 0.9405355346413731, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9405355346413731, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7794907216030593, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7794907216030593, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16104481303831375, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16104481303831375, "price_path": [-0.1496, -0.1777, -0.2146, -0.237, -0.2202, -0.237, -0.2576, -0.2622, -0.301, -0.28, -0.2408, -0.2225, -0.2482, -0.2375, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.1375, -0.1109, 0.0116, 0.0045, -0.0127, -0.0029, 0.019, -0.0011, -0.0212, -0.0235, -0.0268, -0.0113, 0.0405, 0.0321, 0.0274, 0.0657, 0.1148, 0.0513, 0.0639, 0.1083, 0.0779, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0826, 0.0799, 0.0673, 0.0621, 0.0776, 0.1093, 0.0752, 0.0523, 0.029, -0.0145, 0.0103, -0.0009, -0.0098, 0.0327, 0.0575, 0.015, 0.0164, 0.0196, 0.0121, 0.007, -0.0164, 0.0047, 0.0248, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0201, -0.0145, -0.0112, -0.0075, -0.028, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.057, 0.0916, 0.0341, -0.0168, -0.0607, -0.0051, -0.0388, -0.0201, 0.0164, 0.0019, 0.0206, 0.029, 0.1822, 0.1579, 0.1206, 0.107, 0.2103, 0.2388, 0.2346, 0.2575, 0.2729, 0.2248, 0.222, 0.3294, 0.3266, 0.3266, 0.3374, 0.3201, 0.3463, 0.3715, 0.3977, 0.4355, 0.3939, 0.3967, 0.3992, 0.4455, 0.4104, 0.3791, 0.4375, 0.4478, 0.4544, 0.4801, 0.4249, 0.4184, 0.4478, 0.4366, 0.4366, 0.4623, 0.438, 0.4576, 0.4726, 0.4726, 0.388, 0.4188, 0.4572, 0.4301, 0.4656, 0.4389, 0.4156, 0.4039, 0.4151, 0.3927, 0.3927, 0.4268, 0.4515, 0.4735, 0.467, 0.4011, 0.3828, 0.3254, 0.3814, 0.3347, 0.3679, 0.4319, 0.4436, 0.5179, 0.6006, 0.6637, 0.674, 0.7044, 0.6497, 0.6791, 0.6791, 0.6352, 0.6338, 0.6375, 0.702, 0.7534, 0.8502, 0.8053, 0.7151, 0.7661, 0.7899, 0.8011, 0.8147, 0.7427, 0.7357, 0.7689, 0.7517, 0.7583, 0.8316, 0.8218, 0.9144, 0.8653, 0.927, 0.8466, 0.8709, 0.8242, 0.7452, 0.7246, 0.7742, 0.7611, 0.7368, 0.7858, 0.7756, 0.8555, 0.8555, 0.9489, 0.9405]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1886222228879978986", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-03T01:16:38+00:00", "symbol": "HAI.TO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we think defense spending has significant inertia and HAI's technology is in significant demand (Navy contract, partnership with Shield AI). HAI is a play on defense spending ramping up and we don't think tariffs will effect them significantly here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish HAI.TO: defense spending inertia + strong demand (Navy/Shield AI) offset tariff concerns for H2 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["HAI.TO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "likely good amount of uncertainty but we think defense spending has significant inertia and HAI's technology is in significant demand (Navy contract, partnership with Shield AI). HAI is a play on defense spending ramping up and we don't think tariffs will effect them significantly here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I know $HAI.TO has tailwinds for H2 2025, but isn't there a decent chance they get smoked the next two quarters?\n\nPulled guidance b/c tariffs, exports, and uncertainty around rev timing for Navy/control room/government spend. Plus lapping two of their best Qs ever.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "joinyellowbrick", "ret_m1d": -0.007858538438882068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007858538438882068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014633678194396538, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014633678194396538, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00677513975551447, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00677513975551447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015717076877764025, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015717076877764025, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022425403724030013, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022425403724030013, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006708326846265988, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006708326846265988, "ret_p1w": 0.003929269219441034, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003929269219441034, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007914743251058898, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007914743251058898, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011844012470499932, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011844012470499932, "ret_p1m": -0.12377212093414369, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12377212093414369, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08879209281471367, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08879209281471367, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03498002811943002, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03498002811943002, "ret_p3m": -0.16110022535941715, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16110022535941715, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09816629752585315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09816629752585315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.062933927833564, "bench_c_p3m": -0.062933927833564, "ret_p6m": -0.03339883520583253, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03339883520583253, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10246328770304536, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10246328770304536, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06906445249721282, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06906445249721282, "price_path": [-0.0177, 0.0314, 0.002, 0.0196, 0.0354, 0.0236, -0.0157, -0.0196, 0.0079, 0.0177, 0.002, -0.0157, -0.0334, -0.0295, -0.0354, -0.0275, -0.0157, -0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0255, 0.0491, 0.055, 0.1159, 0.11, 0.0825, 0.0727, 0.0923, 0.1061, 0.0825, 0.0589, 0.0118, 0.0295, 0.0373, 0.0187, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0118, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0629, 0.0815, 0.0609, 0.0334, 0.0452, 0.0295, 0.053, 0.0314, 0.0059, 0.053, -0.0766, -0.0334, -0.0648, -0.0442, -0.057, -0.0373, -0.0196, 0.0138, -0.0216, -0.0177, -0.0236, -0.0079, 0.0, -0.0157, 0.0295, 0.0079, -0.0118, 0.0039, 0.002, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.002, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0275, -0.0354, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0747, -0.0982, -0.1297, -0.1238, -0.1198, -0.1139, -0.1395, -0.1454, -0.1297, -0.112, -0.1729, -0.1415, -0.1081, -0.0884, -0.0963, -0.1002, -0.1532, -0.165, -0.1513, -0.1631, -0.1631, -0.1709, -0.1906, -0.1493, -0.1513, -0.1611, -0.2259, -0.2633, -0.2692, -0.2338, -0.2495, -0.1984, -0.2417, -0.2083, -0.2475, -0.2083, -0.2083, -0.2534, -0.2318, -0.22, -0.2161, -0.22, -0.2181, -0.1827, -0.2024, -0.1611, -0.1297, -0.1395, -0.1532, -0.1316, -0.1179, -0.1297, -0.1552, -0.1159, -0.1336, -0.1513, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1179, -0.1297, -0.1572, -0.1454, -0.165, -0.11, -0.112, -0.1061, -0.1159, -0.0982, -0.112, -0.1218, -0.1159, -0.112, -0.0609, -0.0648, -0.0766, -0.1356, -0.1316, -0.11, -0.0707, -0.0668, -0.0668, -0.0963, -0.0786, -0.0923, -0.1061, -0.1081, -0.1139, -0.0177, -0.0177, 0.0216, 0.0079, 0.0314, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0157, 0.0138, 0.0118, -0.0766, -0.0727, -0.0589, -0.0943, -0.0845, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0668, -0.0629, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.0334]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1559999420439023616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-17T20:23:39+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We think it has more than 100% upside from today's levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long PTON with >100% upside from current levels per detailed write-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PTON write-up. We think it has more than 100% upside from today's levels. \n\nhttps://t.co/aGgJzgFCeq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05795981640810721, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05795981640810721, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05081120476512768, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047089494308797164, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00714861164297953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010870322099310048, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021638310823105744, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021638310823105744, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024544645194485515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021346330607758812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0029063343713797707, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00029198021534693197, "ret_p1w": 0.04173106486584843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04173106486584843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07215405976232081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08304948909375875, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.030422994896472377, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04131842422791032, "ret_p1m": -0.1746521907646441, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1746521907646441, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08903157265735684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10516467591233825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08562061810728727, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06948751485230586, "ret_p3m": -0.15455951042161908, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15455951042161908, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08446239828610946, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009200863165684803, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07009711213550962, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1637603735873039, "ret_p6m": 0.14374039185992515, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14374039185992515, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18126691503051884, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26339673943612096, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.037526523170593684, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11965634757619581, "price_path": [0.1213, 0.0526, -0.0325, 0.0085, 0.0742, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.0788, 0.0, 0.0178, -0.0317, -0.0355, -0.0394, -0.058, -0.1406, -0.1878, -0.2396, -0.2597, -0.2172, -0.2697, -0.2473, -0.2473, -0.2504, -0.245, -0.1878, -0.1491, -0.1662, -0.238, -0.2697, -0.2906, -0.2944, -0.2944, -0.1955, -0.2156, -0.177, -0.211, -0.3107, -0.2852, -0.3099, -0.3555, -0.3447, -0.3331, -0.2736, -0.1476, -0.1298, -0.245, -0.262, -0.3269, -0.3045, -0.279, -0.2666, -0.2512, -0.1716, -0.1198, -0.1886, -0.0889, -0.0796, -0.143, -0.0788, -0.0796, 0.0456, 0.0456, 0.058, 0.0, -0.0216, -0.0951, -0.1051, -0.1345, 0.0417, -0.1491, -0.1801, -0.1909, -0.2597, -0.2125, -0.2056, -0.2705, -0.2705, -0.3284, -0.3068, -0.2968, -0.2032, -0.1461, -0.2342, -0.2094, -0.1747, -0.2473, -0.2334, -0.2543, -0.3006, -0.3362, -0.3423, -0.3648, -0.3663, -0.3632, -0.4552, -0.4645, -0.4227, -0.3153, -0.3439, -0.3176, -0.3284, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3408, -0.3269, -0.4405, -0.4011, -0.3949, -0.4289, -0.4274, -0.4328, -0.459, -0.4219, -0.4057, -0.3964, -0.381, -0.3509, -0.3091, -0.3331, -0.2782, -0.2743, -0.2728, -0.2597, -0.3381, -0.2303, -0.2017, -0.1546, -0.085, -0.1546, -0.1584, -0.2032, -0.2457, -0.2543, -0.2249, -0.2249, -0.2226, -0.2164, -0.1893, -0.1206, -0.0904, 0.0278, -0.0015, -0.0371, -0.0842, -0.0286, -0.1105, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0603, -0.1221, -0.1723, -0.1901, -0.1924, -0.2365, -0.2883, -0.313, -0.313, -0.3709, -0.391, -0.3748, -0.3864, -0.3864, -0.3725, -0.3168, -0.3369, -0.3107, -0.279, -0.2427, -0.1638, -0.1422, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.0773, -0.143, -0.1932, -0.1453, -0.0989, -0.1453, -0.1182, -0.0881, -0.0224, -0.034, -0.0008, 0.2643, 0.3122, 0.2581, 0.2202, 0.2179, 0.1924, 0.1437]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1822698516910911859", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-11T18:16:05+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great thread on $RELY", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish thesis on Remitly as a potential dominant digital remittance platform.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great thread on $RELY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Mixing it up a bit with an old school/fintwit 1.0 thread on a small cap challenger co that I believe has some real potential. This is an incomplete thread but here’s the punchline: Remitly has a shot at being the booking .com of the digital remittance space $RELY (1/x)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01643012006823441, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01643012006823441, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016955302286831286, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016955302286831286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005251822185968757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005251822185968757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.042569057521231635, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.042569057521231635, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026123281358240602, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026123281358240602, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016445776162991033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016445776162991033, "ret_p1w": 0.08887225913901653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08887225913901653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03947895328406448, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03947895328406448, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04939330585495205, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04939330585495205, "ret_p1m": 0.017176963132119916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017176963132119916, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011926475794703961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011926475794703961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103438926823877, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029103438926823877, "ret_p3m": 0.4540701130798459, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4540701130798459, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33374284999908066, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33374284999908066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032726308076525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12032726308076525, "ret_p6m": 0.8080656059538904, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8080656059538904, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6723229475782624, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6723229475782624, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13574265837562804, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13574265837562804, "price_path": [0.0627, 0.0605, 0.0635, 0.0769, 0.0463, 0.0261, 0.0179, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0067, -0.0097, -0.0246, -0.0295, -0.0314, -0.0344, -0.0157, 0.009, -0.0097, -0.0224, -0.0299, -0.0224, -0.0627, -0.0799, -0.0971, -0.121, -0.121, -0.1329, -0.0978, -0.1023, -0.112, -0.1001, -0.0911, -0.0948, -0.0986, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0418, -0.053, -0.0485, -0.065, -0.0314, -0.0232, 0.0105, 0.0067, 0.0097, -0.0254, -0.0134, 0.0067, 0.0209, -0.0082, 0.0157, 0.0396, 0.0149, 0.0112, -0.0134, 0.0261, 0.0022, -0.0172, -0.0373, -0.0097, 0.0209, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.0426, 0.0344, 0.053, 0.0814, 0.0889, 0.0642, 0.0627, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0157, 0.006, 0.0015, 0.0269, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0037, 0.0082, 0.0276, 0.0037, 0.0239, 0.0172, 0.0284, 0.0799, 0.0866, 0.0799, 0.0657, 0.062, 0.0642, 0.0553, 0.0456, 0.0291, 0.0261, 0.0306, 0.0194, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0373, -0.0097, -0.0299, -0.0388, -0.0418, -0.0523, -0.0134, 0.0127, 0.0396, 0.0471, 0.0769, 0.1195, 0.1001, 0.0836, 0.0762, 0.0814, 0.1031, 0.1314, 0.1135, 0.1397, 0.3428, 0.3406, 0.4137, 0.4459, 0.4735, 0.4541, 0.4563, 0.4735, 0.463, 0.5123, 0.481, 0.4668, 0.4757, 0.4914, 0.528, 0.5444, 0.5713, 0.5325, 0.5541, 0.5556, 0.5556, 0.5355, 0.5497, 0.54, 0.5668, 0.5534, 0.5758, 0.5698, 0.5639, 0.6221, 0.5952, 0.5489, 0.6221, 0.6221, 0.5967, 0.6139, 0.6886, 0.6751, 0.6908, 0.6908, 0.7229, 0.7028, 0.6953, 0.6856, 0.6856, 0.6729, 0.717, 0.7304, 0.7334, 0.7274, 0.7274, 0.6796, 0.6863, 0.6729, 0.7177, 0.7267, 0.7371, 0.7371, 0.7282, 0.7267, 0.7588, 0.7192, 0.7296, 0.755, 0.7767, 0.7722, 0.755, 0.7804, 0.8081]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1773414229330059449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-28T18:17:55+00:00", "symbol": "REX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long REX; holding confirmed after 30% earnings jump, with carbon sequestration facility nearing completion as additional catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["REX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Chemicals", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$REX up 30% on another great earnings as they capitalized on high crush spreads. They are also making good headway on their carbon sequestration facility and expect it to be done in Q2 2024. Surprising how underfollowed this company was. \n\nDisclosure: We are long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Our latest holding is $REX. We believe it has significant upside from these levels.\n\nREX is an ethanol producer with about 3% market share in the USA. REX is run by sound operators, having never lost money in the last decade despite volatile commodity cycles.\n\nREX stands out due", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2519162177851052, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2519162177851052, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2521073401911774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2492248090632473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00019112240607221942, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002691408721857913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.012093324741005329, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012093324741005329, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007024533597967619, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018661593964544032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01911785833897295, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010227165344550926, "ret_p1m": -0.028444867909851235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028444867909851235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0001313205465156564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007834560223201947, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02831354736333558, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03627942813305318, "ret_p3m": -0.24033385846335853, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24033385846335853, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2852948367423389, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19923492305042423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04496097827898038, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0410989354129343, "ret_p6m": -0.2078010722736675, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2078010722736675, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3010236255303623, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22532864856403745, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09322255325669482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01752757629036994, "price_path": [-0.1943, -0.2006, -0.1991, -0.1969, -0.1989, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2361, -0.2558, -0.234, -0.234, -0.2347, -0.24, -0.2425, -0.2529, -0.2465, -0.2846, -0.285, -0.2919, -0.2867, -0.2805, -0.2739, -0.295, -0.2858, -0.2969, -0.3032, -0.3015, -0.2836, -0.2633, -0.2555, -0.2454, -0.2822, -0.2623, -0.2448, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.2844, -0.2626, -0.2729, -0.262, -0.2569, -0.2589, -0.2735, -0.2509, -0.2625, -0.2625, -0.2664, -0.2615, -0.2492, -0.2523, -0.2548, -0.2589, -0.2543, -0.2586, -0.2437, -0.2354, -0.2265, -0.2213, -0.2296, -0.241, -0.2325, -0.254, -0.2519, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0203, 0.0157, -0.0121, 0.0015, -0.0051, -0.0106, -0.0155, -0.0271, -0.0339, -0.0681, -0.0692, -0.0266, -0.0581, -0.0421, -0.0416, -0.0324, -0.0467, -0.0424, -0.0284, -0.0257, -0.0576, -0.0644, -0.053, -0.0269, -0.0191, -0.0187, -0.0152, 0.014, 0.0078, -0.0138, -0.0094, -0.0288, -0.0402, -0.0359, -0.0513, -0.0431, -0.0131, -0.052, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0819, -0.1036, -0.1441, -0.1485, -0.1635, -0.1949, -0.186, -0.2034, -0.2037, -0.1984, -0.2221, -0.2071, -0.2153, -0.219, -0.2226, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.2359, -0.2494, -0.2454, -0.2403, -0.2362, -0.2376, -0.2235, -0.2272, -0.2439, -0.2374, -0.2374, -0.2724, -0.2592, -0.2608, -0.2487, -0.2161, -0.2061, -0.1981, -0.1739, -0.1891, -0.2049, -0.2163, -0.2115, -0.2047, -0.2168, -0.1787, -0.1732, -0.1756, -0.1475, -0.1346, -0.1637, -0.2032, -0.2277, -0.2529, -0.2521, -0.2356, -0.2548, -0.2461, -0.2305, -0.2332, -0.2071, -0.1995, -0.2063, -0.2177, -0.2073, -0.2163, -0.1872, -0.1909, -0.2361, -0.2407, -0.219, -0.2276, -0.2276, -0.2724, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2703, -0.2819, -0.2759, -0.2795, -0.2638, -0.2545, -0.2475, -0.226, -0.2368, -0.2185, -0.2078]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1684314327333888003", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-26T21:26:43+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "disclosure: long $meta", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long META position alongside earnings highlights.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$meta earnings highlights\n\nFamily of Apps has 3.07B DAUs\n\nReels exceeded more than 200B views per day \nMore than 75% of advertisers now using Reels\n\nAd impressions up 34%\nAd prices down 16%\n\nCapex of $6.5B\nRL losses were $ 3.7B\n\ndisclosure: long $meta", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013732150794783182, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013732150794783182, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013578580802276474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001659314600457762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000153569992506708, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015391465395240944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.044009574173836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.044009574173836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05063951120805821, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035641495878404594, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006629937034222211, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008368078295431403, "ret_p1w": 0.052717910576145055, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052717910576145055, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06452885800797137, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045395709745088775, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011810947431826313, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00732220083105628, "ret_p1m": -0.039588910069828454, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039588910069828454, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0012883144667720225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015530140977742302, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040877224536600476, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024058769092086152, "ret_p3m": 0.0517130034772566, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0517130034772566, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12540384877047162, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049967286728914484, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07369084529321501, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0017457167483421188, "ret_p6m": 0.25977152399235015, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25977152399235015, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20576739452715875, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15104531617560402, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0540041294651914, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10872620781674613, "price_path": [-0.1951, -0.1855, -0.1987, -0.2061, -0.2179, -0.2204, -0.2187, -0.2184, -0.2193, -0.2103, -0.2169, -0.2, -0.2001, -0.1878, -0.1732, -0.1773, -0.1683, -0.1736, -0.1653, -0.1537, -0.1223, -0.1223, -0.1207, -0.1134, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.091, -0.0919, -0.1171, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.0922, -0.0913, -0.0845, -0.0561, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0477, -0.0567, -0.0459, -0.033, -0.0673, -0.0386, -0.0445, -0.0571, -0.0388, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0141, -0.022, -0.0269, -0.015, -0.0009, 0.0361, 0.0497, 0.0345, 0.0404, 0.0451, 0.0584, 0.0132, -0.0144, -0.0233, -0.0137, 0.0, 0.044, 0.0901, 0.0671, 0.0809, 0.0527, 0.049, 0.0407, 0.0603, 0.0471, 0.0222, 0.024, 0.0103, 0.0255, 0.0113, -0.0143, -0.0451, -0.0513, -0.029, -0.0367, -0.0145, -0.0396, -0.0438, -0.0278, -0.0019, -0.0116, -0.009, -0.0073, -0.0073, 0.0053, 0.002, 0.0003, -0.0023, 0.0301, 0.0103, 0.0217, 0.044, 0.0058, 0.0133, 0.0218, 0.0037, -0.0095, 0.0017, 0.0076, 0.0013, -0.0028, 0.0181, 0.0055, 0.0276, 0.0079, 0.0235, 0.0208, 0.0565, 0.0663, 0.0779, 0.098, 0.0857, 0.054, 0.0756, 0.0852, 0.0616, 0.0477, 0.0338, 0.0517, 0.0468, 0.0032, -0.0342, -0.0062, 0.0137, 0.009, 0.0445, 0.0412, 0.0537, 0.0577, 0.0678, 0.071, 0.0736, 0.1011, 0.1026, 0.1264, 0.1143, 0.1193, 0.1221, 0.1387, 0.1286, 0.1438, 0.1438, 0.1328, 0.121, 0.1354, 0.1126, 0.0957, 0.0879, 0.0718, 0.066, 0.0632, 0.0938, 0.1145, 0.0895, 0.1194, 0.1211, 0.1159, 0.1217, 0.1542, 0.1735, 0.1698, 0.186, 0.1836, 0.1836, 0.1884, 0.1985, 0.2001, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.1598, 0.1537, 0.1626, 0.1788, 0.2013, 0.1971, 0.2408, 0.2381, 0.2543, 0.2543, 0.2307, 0.2338, 0.2598]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1679171096577179650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-12T16:49:21+00:00", "symbol": "TITN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We expect continued substantial cash flows and project a potential 30% upside from its current valuation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "New long position in TITN; 30% upside thesis on overlooked margin improvements, favorable crop prices, and durable CNHI dealership arrangements.", "resolved_tickers": ["TITN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our newest holding is Titan Machinery $TITN - a leading dealer of CNH Industrial with a global network of approximately 120 dealerships. CNHI is the second largest agricultural OEM worldwide, following industry giant John Deere.\n\n1/n\n\nhttps://t.co/aknUGPz8Zm\n\n---\n\nOperating mainly in the United States, $TITN offers a comprehensive range of CNHI equipment, supported by dedicated parts and service provisions. These semi-exclusive dealership arrangements with CNHI equipment are extremely durable.\n\n2/n\n\n---\n\nOver the years, $TITN  has made significant operational changes to increase inventory turnover and margins, which we believe the market is overlooking. It has recently benefited from higher crop prices and favorable regulations.\n\n3/n\n\n---\n\nWe believe the sustainability of this favorable business environment for $TITN is underestimated. We expect continued substantial cash flows and project a potential 30% upside from its current valuation.\n\n4/4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0016281714718273665, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0016281714718273665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009610024225643055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0001182239761492454, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007981852753815688, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001746395447976612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0022794400605581355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0022794400605581355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005657359102861914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000992507025488143, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00793679916342005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012869330350699926, "ret_p1w": 0.029306465408980076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029306465408980076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00872434185191695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022044840936886967, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020582123557063126, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007261624472093109, "ret_p1m": -0.015304439184829821, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015304439184829821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015057636183353984, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01456893409173643, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002468030014758371, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007355050930933915, "ret_p3m": -0.17551284761755936, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17551284761755936, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14814817521454116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12024098027465757, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02736467240301821, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05527186734290179, "ret_p6m": -0.10029306465408983, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10029306465408983, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15591703492098707, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13315280838363308, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05562397026689725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.032859743729543256, "price_path": [-0.041, 0.0182, 0.0293, 0.0205, 0.0147, -0.001, 0.0427, 0.014, 0.0078, 0.0251, 0.0208, 0.0176, 0.0199, 0.0101, -0.0068, 0.028, 0.0554, 0.0628, 0.0622, 0.0716, 0.0821, 0.0918, 0.0684, 0.1166, 0.1345, 0.1267, 0.1436, 0.1228, 0.1316, -0.0785, -0.111, -0.111, -0.1674, -0.1778, -0.1381, -0.0925, -0.1283, -0.0863, -0.0355, -0.0619, -0.0889, -0.0837, -0.0599, -0.0795, -0.0723, -0.1042, -0.1042, -0.0876, -0.0609, -0.0661, -0.0576, -0.0606, -0.0397, -0.0374, -0.0521, -0.0394, -0.0208, -0.0208, -0.0498, -0.0505, -0.0329, -0.0134, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0023, 0.0404, 0.03, 0.0459, 0.0293, 0.0218, -0.0039, 0.0186, 0.0446, 0.0436, 0.0352, 0.0287, 0.0394, 0.0335, 0.0134, 0.0137, 0.0358, 0.0697, 0.0091, -0.0166, -0.0153, -0.0264, -0.0401, -0.0557, -0.069, -0.0612, -0.0501, -0.0681, -0.0726, -0.0733, -0.07, -0.0788, -0.0619, -0.0655, -0.0531, 0.0101, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0622, -0.0554, -0.0664, -0.0856, -0.0736, -0.0511, -0.0795, -0.069, -0.1052, -0.113, -0.126, -0.1283, -0.1231, -0.1364, -0.1443, -0.1459, -0.1426, -0.1293, -0.1345, -0.1534, -0.1902, -0.1872, -0.1941, -0.1872, -0.1755, -0.156, -0.1635, -0.1768, -0.1661, -0.167, -0.1289, -0.1657, -0.182, -0.1924, -0.212, -0.2397, -0.2345, -0.227, -0.2302, -0.2055, -0.1911, -0.1885, -0.1579, -0.1508, -0.1661, -0.1928, -0.2006, -0.21, -0.1781, -0.1742, -0.1394, -0.1397, -0.1495, -0.1469, -0.1117, -0.1358, -0.1338, -0.1338, -0.1257, -0.1524, -0.182, -0.1703, -0.2556, -0.198, -0.1644, -0.1876, -0.1615, -0.1517, -0.153, -0.1407, -0.1654, -0.1443, -0.1198, -0.0918, -0.0785, -0.0658, -0.071, -0.0716, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0554, -0.0511, -0.0518, -0.0596, -0.0596, -0.0664, -0.0948, -0.1003]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1838617729529741527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-24T16:33:21+00:00", "symbol": "CARD.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long #CARD $CARD.L … We are holding.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Card Factory; holding on LFL growth, online expansion, steady margins, and management's cost control despite labor headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["CARD.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are long #CARD $CARD.L \n\nCard Factory HY25 earnings\n\nPositives\n1. LFL growth 3.7% yoy\n2. online +8.8% yoy\n3. Product Margin steady at ~70% despite more sales of higher ASP non-card items.\n\nNegatives\n1. labor cost pressures (see pic below, consecutive years of 10% increases but set to slow)\n2. Volume declines in Cards (less store space dedicated to cards, ASP increases, weather has certainly not helped)\n\nIn sum: \nManagement retains levers for expense management. They have done a good job of controlling all non-labor costs. We expect CARD to continue to show growth in this value-seeking environment. We are holding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.2677305222666655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2677305222666655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.27058369077249633, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.27641284341679395, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028531685058308387, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008682321150128458, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024822748101703263, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024822748101703263, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022617295391753278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02122996512311104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0022054527099499843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003592782978592224, "ret_p1w": -0.10106386688557989, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10106386688557989, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0963728211214574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09682239233423451, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004691045764122492, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004241474551345381, "ret_p1m": -0.21099291872682124, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21099291872682124, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22270291561547995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17930779703932886, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011709996888658702, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03168512168749238, "ret_p3m": -0.14084404995169664, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14084404995169664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17907211442443083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2830522919736346, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03822806447273419, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14220824202193794, "ret_p6m": -0.2561075024713729, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2561075024713729, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.252149323857761, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24200497543452648, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.003958178613611918, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014102527036846446, "price_path": [-0.1817, -0.1755, -0.1702, -0.1676, -0.1667, -0.1348, -0.1232, -0.1223, -0.1436, -0.1401, -0.1152, -0.1046, -0.1135, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1046, -0.1135, -0.0603, -0.0035, -0.0266, 0.0018, 0.0142, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.0603, 0.0798, 0.0674, 0.0301, 0.0355, 0.0514, 0.0496, 0.0638, 0.0762, 0.0851, 0.1082, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1578, 0.1436, 0.1525, 0.1543, 0.1543, 0.1543, 0.1259, 0.1206, 0.1011, 0.1099, 0.0975, 0.0887, 0.0833, 0.094, 0.1241, 0.1348, 0.1472, 0.1082, 0.1188, 0.1454, 0.1525, 0.1472, 0.1702, 0.1791, 0.25, 0.2677, 0.0, -0.0248, -0.0691, -0.0656, -0.0638, -0.1011, -0.1223, -0.1436, -0.1339, -0.1525, -0.1684, -0.1605, -0.1702, -0.18, -0.1844, -0.18, -0.1853, -0.1835, -0.1968, -0.2154, -0.2199, -0.211, -0.2145, -0.1968, -0.2101, -0.2287, -0.1941, -0.2499, -0.2472, -0.2508, -0.273, -0.2703, -0.2464, -0.2659, -0.2659, -0.2792, -0.2942, -0.2871, -0.2889, -0.2871, -0.2907, -0.2783, -0.2738, -0.2339, -0.2029, -0.2056, -0.2082, -0.2357, -0.21, -0.1985, -0.1905, -0.1994, -0.1355, -0.1417, -0.0956, -0.0868, -0.1009, -0.085, -0.0868, -0.1098, -0.1213, -0.155, -0.1497, -0.1408, -0.1541, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.1515, -0.1426, -0.1329, -0.1329, -0.1293, -0.1408, -0.1311, -0.1612, -0.1905, -0.1781, -0.1887, -0.1958, -0.1843, -0.1559, -0.1515, -0.1816, -0.1391, -0.163, -0.171, -0.1772, -0.171, -0.179, -0.163, -0.1701, -0.1559, -0.1577, -0.1621, -0.1648, -0.1657, -0.1648, -0.1736, -0.1674, -0.1781, -0.1754, -0.1674, -0.1763, -0.1754, -0.1666, -0.1799, -0.1533, -0.1604, -0.1816, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1825, -0.1958, -0.2135, -0.2552, -0.2561, -0.2588, -0.2464, -0.2534, -0.2667, -0.2712, -0.2792, -0.2703, -0.2605, -0.257, -0.2561]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1321554650408112132", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-10-28T20:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin replacing gold as a store of value would value each coin at 430k. The way things are going in the stock market value investors are going to start investing in BTC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC to $430K as it displaces gold as store of value; value investors rotating in from equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin replacing gold as a store of value would value each coin at 430k. The way things are going in the stock market value investors are going to start investing in BTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin is eating the world...\n\nIt has become a supermassive black hole that is sucking in everything around it and destroying it. This narrative is only going to grow over the next 18 months.\n\nYou see, gold is breaking down versus bitcoin...and gold investors will flip to BTC https://t.co/ox7KRY5VRo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028854296267581958, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028854296267581958, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006534269458460029, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.03538856572604199, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.012553242153156674, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012553242153156674, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023893848498834913, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010163857303273183, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.06498405126905515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06498405126905515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013309226977305189, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.051674824291749966, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.29231064248499394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29231064248499394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1821041947395159, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11020644774547805, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 1.43882880949795, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.43882880949795, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2570845283179872, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18174428117996277, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": 2.900321093856008, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.900321093856008, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.628713096044185, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2716079978118229, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1468, -0.1526, -0.1556, -0.1149, -0.1124, -0.1258, -0.105, -0.1402, -0.1271, -0.1121, -0.1132, -0.0766, -0.0965, -0.114, -0.105, -0.1265, -0.1128, -0.1436, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1303, -0.1198, -0.098, -0.1399, -0.228, -0.2079, -0.2186, -0.2366, -0.2282, -0.2191, -0.2163, -0.1952, -0.1864, -0.173, -0.175, -0.1753, -0.2117, -0.2059, -0.2279, -0.1892, -0.1943, -0.193, -0.1828, -0.1874, -0.1998, -0.2031, -0.1867, -0.201, -0.1961, -0.1775, -0.1663, -0.1293, -0.1391, -0.1388, -0.1338, -0.1469, -0.1152, -0.1021, -0.0337, -0.023, -0.0256, -0.0148, 0.0289, 0.0, 0.0126, 0.0207, 0.021, 0.0512, 0.065, 0.174, 0.1729, 0.1553, 0.1522, 0.1831, 0.2264, 0.2296, 0.2596, 0.3296, 0.3415, 0.3425, 0.4031, 0.3837, 0.4398, 0.4115, 0.2923, 0.2891, 0.4788, 0.4168, 0.4468, 0.4652, 0.409, 0.4461, 0.3805, 0.398, 0.3763, 0.3608, 0.4502, 0.4631, 0.6058, 0.7184, 0.7435, 0.7182, 0.7921, 0.7513, 0.7885, 0.8585, 1.0409, 1.0618, 1.1732, 1.1853, 1.2134, 1.4091, 1.5614, 1.7747, 1.9666, 2.0741, 1.68, 1.5561, 1.8118, 1.9528, 1.7748, 1.7601, 1.7179, 1.6785, 1.3227, 1.487, 1.4388, 1.4542, 1.2931, 1.5217, 1.5858, 1.527, 1.6757, 1.8235, 1.7824, 1.8742, 2.4809, 2.5024, 2.3846, 2.61, 2.5795, 2.6127, 2.7072, 2.9295, 2.8941, 3.2112, 3.0846, 2.679, 2.7453, 2.5486, 2.4917, 2.7397, 2.6454, 2.8081, 2.6591, 2.6867, 2.9368, 3.131, 3.2203, 3.3557, 3.32, 3.2126, 3.2803, 3.436, 3.3597, 3.3965, 3.1088, 3.1246, 2.9766, 2.8959, 3.1546, 3.3515, 3.4395, 3.4396, 3.4529, 3.4746, 3.45, 3.3848, 3.2233, 3.3947, 3.3888, 3.513, 3.785, 3.7554, 3.7708, 3.6395, 3.1989, 3.2553, 3.0619, 2.9003]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1760704567111520527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-22T16:34:15+00:00", "symbol": "BRBY.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "could mark a turning point in the brand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on Burberry: new designs embrace British heritage USP and could mark a brand turning point.", "resolved_tickers": ["BRBY.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='L')", "bench_c_industry": "Luxury Goods", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BRBY runway show was well received. Lee's designs were in line with the strategy, namely embracing its USP which is British heritage. It will take some time for these designs to reach stores and potentially could mark a turning point in the brand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001908405486243936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001908405486243936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018367387712541094, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01375371440943618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02027579319878503, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015662119895680116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004580135877053637, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004580135877053637, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005269813506208587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0051750777552219684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00068967762915495, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005949418781683313, "ret_p1w": -0.019083961637609725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019083961637609725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02022679244112613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024436832976752365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011428308035164036, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00535287133914264, "ret_p1m": -0.0965648887697268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0965648887697268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1267706928499961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124243003092495, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030205804080269294, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03467754126119815, "ret_p3m": -0.190458047148644, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.190458047148644, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24072585795601975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2509577196536511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.050267810807375746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.060499672505007096, "ret_p6m": -0.4756451064981808, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4756451064981808, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5748097142342976, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5104331908664141, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0991646077361168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03478808436823333, "price_path": [0.148, 0.1098, 0.1067, 0.117, 0.1438, 0.1209, 0.1293, 0.1556, 0.1304, 0.159, 0.143, 0.1548, 0.1399, 0.1977, 0.163, 0.1561, 0.1324, 0.1385, 0.0908, 0.0844, 0.0844, 0.0844, 0.0859, 0.0775, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.0687, 0.037, 0.0378, 0.0519, 0.0622, 0.0542, 0.071, 0.0385, -0.0187, -0.0748, -0.0634, -0.0573, -0.0611, -0.0592, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0149, -0.024, 0.024, 0.0252, 0.0107, -0.0015, -0.0198, -0.021, -0.0149, -0.0011, -0.0134, -0.0107, -0.0298, 0.0195, -0.0092, -0.0103, 0.0031, 0.0218, 0.0073, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0046, -0.0176, 0.0011, -0.026, -0.0191, -0.0176, -0.0412, -0.0328, -0.0313, -0.0408, -0.0397, -0.0477, -0.0401, -0.0385, -0.0382, -0.0309, -0.0412, -0.0611, -0.092, -0.0916, -0.0966, -0.0844, -0.0695, -0.0599, -0.074, -0.074, -0.074, -0.1057, -0.095, -0.0977, -0.1149, -0.0916, -0.0927, -0.0847, -0.0916, -0.1073, -0.1103, -0.1336, -0.1252, -0.1435, -0.1359, -0.1164, -0.1111, -0.134, -0.1263, -0.1206, -0.1179, -0.1218, -0.1282, -0.1221, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.1214, -0.1218, -0.1137, -0.1031, -0.1107, -0.0927, -0.1588, -0.1298, -0.1603, -0.1855, -0.1905, -0.1992, -0.1977, -0.2095, -0.2095, -0.2107, -0.2168, -0.1954, -0.2099, -0.2019, -0.2084, -0.216, -0.2042, -0.2122, -0.2218, -0.2294, -0.213, -0.2187, -0.2518, -0.2475, -0.2521, -0.264, -0.2579, -0.2481, -0.2229, -0.2576, -0.2658, -0.3128, -0.3296, -0.3412, -0.3527, -0.3301, -0.3292, -0.3212, -0.314, -0.3452, -0.3426, -0.3313, -0.3229, -0.4318, -0.4619, -0.4382, -0.4257, -0.4672, -0.4503, -0.4506, -0.4619, -0.4523, -0.4294, -0.4382, -0.4175, -0.4081, -0.4139, -0.4423, -0.4549, -0.4685, -0.4715, -0.465, -0.477, -0.4876, -0.4911, -0.4911, -0.4873, -0.4756]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1773101543228670330", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-27T21:35:25+00:00", "symbol": "VU.PA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Disclosure: We are long.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Vusion Group on strong 2023 earnings: 30% revenue growth, EBIT +62%, Walmart rollout continuing, first dividend initiated.", "resolved_tickers": ["VU.PA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='PA')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VU.PA (Vusion Group) 2023 earnings were great across most metrics. \n\nRevenues grew by 30% to €802mm. Maintaining their revenue guide for €1B in 2024 as the US nationwide Walmart contract continues rolling out. \n\nEBIT was €52mm, up 62% yoy due to gross margin expansion. 2024 should see a similar growth rate in EBIT.\n\nWorking capital needs continue to decrease in terms of days of inventory, DSO.\n\nBy the end of December, Vusion Group had 82mm ESLs (shelf labels) being cloud managed and 17k stores ( a 22 and 30% increase in 8 months time respectively)\n\nAnd they are initiating their first ever dividend at €.3 per share.  \n\nDisclosure: We are long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026479710426945968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026479710426945968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01814608331449985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01833423208421836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008333627112446118, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008145478342727608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11059193192359063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11059193192359063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11078301780886857, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11513837895007573, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001910858852779418, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004546447026485101, "ret_p1w": 0.15264795313538992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15264795313538992, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15983470642606457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1579521796123785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007186753290674641, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005304226476988583, "ret_p1m": 0.039719714867957556, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.039719714867957556, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07733638749983396, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0713544422051613, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0376166726318764, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03163472733720374, "ret_p3m": 0.03037389258243617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03037389258243617, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010379743456911505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05397767360943939, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040753636039347674, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023603781027003223, "ret_p6m": 0.21771462203052128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21771462203052128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12280839333573113, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19758753128501572, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09490622869479015, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02012709074550556, "price_path": [0.0576, 0.0576, 0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0125, -0.028, 0.0016, -0.0156, -0.0452, -0.053, -0.0498, -0.0374, -0.0483, -0.0514, -0.0327, -0.0576, -0.0514, -0.0498, -0.014, 0.0514, 0.109, 0.1449, 0.1262, 0.0748, 0.0483, 0.053, 0.0748, 0.053, 0.0685, 0.095, 0.1231, 0.1168, 0.0935, 0.1308, 0.1558, 0.2072, 0.1885, 0.1963, 0.1838, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2227, 0.1651, 0.1246, 0.1184, 0.1262, 0.1168, 0.1168, 0.1215, 0.1215, 0.0639, -0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0125, 0.0156, -0.0093, -0.0109, 0.0062, -0.0047, -0.0187, -0.0218, -0.0202, -0.0265, 0.0, 0.1106, 0.1106, 0.1106, 0.1433, 0.1526, 0.1893, 0.183, 0.176, 0.1636, 0.1316, 0.1433, 0.0639, 0.0631, 0.0826, 0.0709, 0.0389, -0.0304, -0.0491, 0.0, 0.0537, 0.0397, -0.0148, 0.0405, 0.2017, 0.2017, 0.1659, 0.1254, 0.1791, 0.1597, 0.2142, 0.2243, 0.2212, 0.2165, 0.2827, 0.2111, 0.2593, 0.2368, 0.2656, 0.2547, 0.2298, 0.2422, 0.1176, 0.1589, 0.1371, 0.1121, 0.0942, 0.134, 0.1215, 0.1036, 0.1371, 0.1246, 0.1456, 0.0997, 0.0693, 0.0903, 0.0475, 0.046, 0.0265, 0.0413, 0.0171, 0.0576, 0.0288, 0.0304, -0.0118, 0.0023, 0.0038, 0.0171, 0.0538, 0.0397, 0.0858, 0.117, 0.1319, 0.1451, 0.0842, 0.0733, 0.1045, 0.1139, 0.0991, 0.1092, 0.0756, 0.0998, 0.0858, 0.0936, 0.0413, 0.0288, 0.0327, 0.0733, 0.0351, 0.0796, 0.053, 0.0109, -0.0118, -0.0094, 0.0405, 0.0483, 0.046, 0.0444, 0.046, 0.053, 0.0507, 0.0593, 0.0835, 0.078, 0.0678, 0.0452, 0.071, 0.0866, 0.0842, 0.0577, 0.0694, 0.1147, 0.1037, 0.0944, 0.0702, 0.078, 0.1061, 0.0725, 0.1053, 0.1233, 0.1459, 0.1748, 0.1709, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.1756, 0.2177]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1523716508047659008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-05-09T17:28:19+00:00", "symbol": "defense", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We think there is a significant upside with countries increasing defense spending by 50%+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on global defense sector; significant upside as geopolitical tensions drive sustained 50%+ spending increases.", "resolved_tickers": ["ITA", "DFEN", "XAR"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Global defense basket: ITA (US), XAR (US aerospace), DFEN (defense)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Currently looking at companies in the defense industry. We think there is a significant upside with countries increasing defense spending by 50%+. As geopolitical tensions rise, defense spending will likely beget more spending. https://t.co/ME9JLaENjt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08815145596291796, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08815145596291796, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055075107460773154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055075107460773154, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0330763485021448, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0330763485021448, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0025729257586692977, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0025729257586692977, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.000262184379138386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000262184379138386, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023107413795309117, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023107413795309117, "ret_p1w": -0.0005021901917128258, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005021901917128258, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005324381602969996, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005324381602969996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004822191411257171, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004822191411257171, "ret_p1m": 0.13887186615227112, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13887186615227112, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09474487832260228, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09474487832260228, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04412698782966884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04412698782966884, "ret_p3m": 0.08395951841122873, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08395951841122873, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03928224221069043, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03928224221069043, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.044677276200538296, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044677276200538296, "ret_p6m": 0.09772551305919985, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09772551305919985, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.123851494267751, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.123851494267751, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02612598120855114, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02612598120855114, "price_path": [0.1618, 0.1436, 0.1393, 0.1177, 0.1545, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.0961, 0.0727, 0.1306, 0.1867, 0.2724, 0.249, 0.2678, 0.2346, 0.2265, 0.1869, 0.1447, 0.1918, 0.1886, 0.1578, 0.1461, 0.1812, 0.1774, 0.211, 0.2264, 0.2516, 0.2797, 0.2667, 0.2947, 0.2992, 0.2669, 0.284, 0.2877, 0.2561, 0.277, 0.2703, 0.242, 0.2302, 0.259, 0.2264, 0.2328, 0.2458, 0.267, 0.2714, 0.2714, 0.2643, 0.2871, 0.2842, 0.2144, 0.1927, 0.1825, 0.149, 0.1343, 0.1474, 0.0912, 0.0926, 0.1062, 0.1575, 0.1042, 0.0882, 0.0, 0.0026, -0.0188, -0.0282, 0.0053, -0.0005, 0.0409, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0403, -0.0121, -0.0036, 0.012, 0.0409, 0.0798, 0.0798, 0.0583, 0.0562, 0.094, 0.0899, 0.0985, 0.1389, 0.1034, 0.0631, 0.0213, -0.0453, -0.0605, -0.0381, -0.0946, -0.0863, -0.0863, -0.0494, -0.0558, -0.0665, -0.0184, -0.0161, -0.0282, -0.0399, -0.0121, 0.0062, 0.0062, -0.0425, -0.0237, -0.0064, -0.0056, -0.0234, -0.02, -0.0437, -0.0601, -0.0445, -0.0608, -0.0047, 0.0172, 0.0222, 0.0043, 0.0132, -0.0113, 0.0031, 0.039, 0.0722, 0.0875, 0.0863, 0.0949, 0.084, 0.0766, 0.0705, 0.0715, 0.1082, 0.1062, 0.1453, 0.1582, 0.1622, 0.1459, 0.15, 0.1197, 0.077, 0.0782, 0.0963, 0.1357, 0.0778, 0.0664, 0.04, 0.0234, 0.002, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0077, 0.022, 0.0262, 0.0482, 0.0544, -0.0213, 0.0024, -0.0144, -0.0349, -0.0242, -0.0284, -0.044, -0.0636, -0.104, -0.1251, -0.133, -0.1045, -0.1381, -0.1492, -0.1096, -0.0605, -0.0704, -0.0804, -0.09, -0.0777, -0.0804, -0.1127, -0.085, -0.1266, -0.0878, -0.0317, -0.0261, -0.0292, 0.0064, 0.0251, 0.0352, 0.0262, 0.054, 0.0995, 0.0936, 0.0977]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1699095792458379279", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-05T16:22:59+00:00", "symbol": "TG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$tg looking even more interesting after selling its commodity division for $116mm", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TG after commodity division sale for $116M; builds on prior 'interesting at these levels' thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["TG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Metal Fabrication", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$tg looking even more interesting after selling its commodity division for $116mm.\n\nhttps://t.co/rRvgsL3vBJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TG looking interesting around these levels. Cyclical name that recently suspended dividend. In normalized environment it should be able to generate about 30mm in FCF.  PE film segment has seen secular headwinds but growth market could be in semis. No position.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10652926874729884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10652926874729884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11087004214048679, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11087004214048679, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004340773393187947, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004340773393187947, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030927886575027097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030927886575027097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024205345963311364, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024205345963311364, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006722540611715733, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006722540611715733, "ret_p1w": -0.0567010980772894, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0567010980772894, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.049466616417776166, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049466616417776166, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007234481659513237, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007234481659513237, "ret_p1m": -0.10481101641278368, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10481101641278368, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.053430744858265045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.053430744858265045, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05138027155451863, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05138027155451863, "ret_p3m": -0.16151203255929225, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16151203255929225, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1870650575970707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1870650575970707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025553025037778454, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025553025037778454, "ret_p6m": -0.254295528422812, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.254295528422812, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3897811944251298, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3897811944251298, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13548566600231782, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13548566600231782, "price_path": [0.2659, 0.2322, 0.207, 0.1497, 0.079, 0.0653, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0808, 0.1168, 0.1392, 0.1409, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.1718, 0.146, 0.1804, 0.1804, 0.1289, 0.0928, 0.134, 0.1134, 0.1186, 0.1323, 0.1426, 0.1529, 0.1306, 0.1117, 0.1409, 0.1271, 0.1529, 0.1787, 0.2027, 0.2165, 0.1649, 0.1821, 0.189, 0.1649, 0.134, 0.1237, 0.1289, 0.1271, 0.0945, -0.1271, -0.0997, -0.0945, -0.1203, -0.1426, -0.1271, -0.1031, -0.1426, -0.1375, -0.1237, -0.1134, -0.122, -0.122, -0.1254, -0.1186, -0.134, -0.1357, -0.1065, -0.1065, 0.0, -0.0309, -0.0464, -0.0395, -0.0292, -0.0567, -0.0911, -0.079, -0.0997, -0.1134, -0.0928, -0.0653, -0.1031, -0.11, -0.1065, -0.1082, -0.0962, -0.1048, -0.0704, -0.079, -0.055, -0.1048, -0.1117, -0.1031, -0.1065, -0.0722, -0.1014, -0.0945, -0.1065, -0.0825, -0.0842, -0.0962, -0.1117, -0.1357, -0.1649, -0.1598, -0.1632, -0.1907, -0.2234, -0.2096, -0.2302, -0.2509, -0.2268, -0.1787, -0.1907, -0.1856, -0.2165, -0.2354, -0.2423, -0.2251, -0.1632, -0.1753, -0.1753, -0.1615, -0.1564, -0.1735, -0.1753, -0.1753, -0.1615, -0.1976, -0.1959, -0.1804, -0.1924, -0.1615, -0.1392, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1821, -0.1735, -0.201, -0.2354, -0.1838, -0.1512, -0.1564, -0.1615, -0.1168, -0.1134, -0.0722, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0619, -0.055, -0.0498, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0636, -0.1289, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1031, -0.1048, -0.1082, -0.1134, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.1598, -0.1907, -0.1959, -0.177, -0.122, -0.1546, -0.1684, -0.1495, -0.1564, -0.1495, -0.1409, -0.1873, -0.1718, -0.201, -0.201, -0.2199, -0.2113, -0.1907, -0.1787, -0.1495, -0.2216, -0.2268, -0.1787, -0.2027, -0.2027, -0.2371, -0.2474, -0.2474, -0.2388, -0.2509, -0.2371, -0.2543]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1325934037735624705", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-11-09T22:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "FC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for a timeless brand with a growing saas offering, 15x 2021 earnings seems cheap given the environment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long FranklinCovey: 15x 2021 earnings seen as cheap for a timeless brand with growing SaaS offering.", "resolved_tickers": ["FC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Education & Training Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@franklincovey catchin a bid today. most recent quarter showed continued growth in their saas offering even in #covid times. for a timeless brand with a growing saas offering, 15x 2021 earnings seems cheap given the environment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1255755578336224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1255755578336224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11316549838270129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11316549838270129, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012410059450921107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012410059450921107, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027208101401649865, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027208101401649865, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028674875627426655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028674875627426655, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0014667742257767902, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014667742257767902, "ret_p1w": -0.01716198651682521, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01716198651682521, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039753020855888166, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039753020855888166, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022591034339062954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022591034339062954, "ret_p1m": -0.027626616336293708, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027626616336293708, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07165277741571763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07165277741571763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04402616107942392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04402616107942392, "ret_p3m": 0.1636668039893847, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1636668039893847, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06981498077704429, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06981498077704429, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09385182321234042, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09385182321234042, "ret_p6m": 0.29007955136987396, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29007955136987396, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10901413307227181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10901413307227181, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18106541829760214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18106541829760214, "price_path": [-0.1118, -0.1231, -0.1239, -0.1398, -0.1586, -0.157, -0.1599, -0.1737, -0.1674, -0.154, -0.1586, -0.1411, -0.1452, -0.1737, -0.1762, -0.1624, -0.1859, -0.1959, -0.1959, -0.1896, -0.1992, -0.2223, -0.2244, -0.2277, -0.2168, -0.2068, -0.2315, -0.2357, -0.265, -0.2641, -0.2825, -0.275, -0.2679, -0.2445, -0.2482, -0.2574, -0.2717, -0.2779, -0.2671, -0.2524, -0.2327, -0.2394, -0.2223, -0.2252, -0.2223, -0.2302, -0.2332, -0.2219, -0.247, -0.2503, -0.2499, -0.2294, -0.2332, -0.2612, -0.28, -0.3068, -0.2809, -0.2918, -0.2989, -0.2591, -0.2486, -0.211, -0.1256, 0.0, 0.0272, -0.0147, -0.0218, -0.0448, -0.0172, -0.0553, -0.0607, -0.077, -0.0816, -0.0799, -0.0486, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0594, -0.0804, -0.0377, -0.0691, -0.072, -0.0536, -0.067, -0.0276, -0.0419, -0.0218, -0.0188, -0.0096, 0.0042, -0.0159, -0.0142, -0.01, -0.0423, -0.0666, -0.0553, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0611, -0.0699, -0.0611, -0.0678, -0.0678, -0.062, -0.028, 0.0013, 0.0347, 0.0494, 0.01, 0.0326, 0.0347, 0.0301, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0218, 0.0276, 0.0251, 0.0448, 0.0481, 0.0473, 0.0465, 0.0109, 0.0067, 0.0343, 0.0783, 0.0712, 0.1637, 0.1595, 0.1616, 0.1762, 0.1804, 0.1494, 0.1256, 0.1256, 0.1009, 0.0712, 0.0737, 0.1139, 0.113, 0.0875, 0.1113, 0.1155, 0.0762, 0.1009, 0.0921, 0.0992, 0.1, 0.121, 0.1704, 0.1545, 0.1792, 0.1871, 0.1854, 0.1653, 0.1599, 0.1419, 0.1151, 0.131, 0.1586, 0.0879, 0.0883, 0.1226, 0.1436, 0.1352, 0.1628, 0.1842, 0.2285, 0.2285, 0.2629, 0.2679, 0.2206, 0.2486, 0.234, 0.2244, 0.2281, 0.2344, 0.2658, 0.2658, 0.27, 0.2541, 0.2419, 0.2683, 0.2834, 0.293, 0.2717, 0.2855, 0.2758, 0.2784, 0.2888, 0.2901]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1441093943869915144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-09-23T17:35:45+00:00", "symbol": "SES", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The digitization of retailers is a massive and overlooked trend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SES-imagotag as a play on the massive and overlooked retailer digitization trend.", "resolved_tickers": ["SES"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SESimagotag partnering with Coca-Cola in Japan for advertising at the shelf. The digitization of retailers is a massive and overlooked trend. \n\nhttps://t.co/TMf26pqkpT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003024166606901746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003024166606901746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015028518107405353, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013067489954140643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012004351500503607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010043323347238897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010080875811415702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010080875811415702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006391447908460357, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0027373644651762508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016472323719876059, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003745452046317821, "ret_p1w": -0.0020161751622832513, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020161751622832513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029663911756382833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023824123765114003, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.031680086918666084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025840298927397254, "ret_p1m": 0.006048333213803492, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048333213803492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016380529854502557, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040311613639037125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02242886306830605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04635994685284062, "ret_p3m": 0.0, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04852856300346997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07005433503130476, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04852856300346997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07005433503130476, "ret_p6m": -0.27419357319652204, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27419357319652204, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2838680508666599, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2630232768401233, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009674477670137849, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011170296356398768, "price_path": [0.0232, 0.0222, 0.0252, 0.0262, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0353, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0544, 0.0091, 0.004, 0.0, -0.001, -0.0071, -0.006, -0.005, -0.005, 0.0, -0.001, -0.003, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.005, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0071, -0.0045, -0.003, -0.004, -0.006, -0.006, -0.005, -0.006, -0.004, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.0081, -0.0076, -0.0071, -0.006, -0.004, 0.0, -0.0035, -0.001, -0.001, -0.001, 0.0, -0.003, -0.003, -0.003, -0.002, -0.003, 0.004, 0.005, 0.0, 0.0, 0.001, 0.004, 0.0, 0.005, 0.003, 0.0, 0.001, -0.002, -0.002, -0.001, -0.002, -0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.002, 0.002, 0.003, 0.0025, 0.0015, 0.002, 0.0015, 0.003, 0.002, 0.0071, 0.006, 0.0091, 0.0141, 0.0101, 0.0202, 0.0403, 0.0534, 0.0403, 0.1008, 0.0877, 0.0554, 0.0988, 0.0827, 0.0353, 0.0423, 0.0625, 0.0988, 0.123, 0.0927, 0.0615, 0.0665, 0.0504, 0.0353, 0.0433, 0.0433, 0.0333, 0.0444, 0.0282, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0192, 0.0131, 0.0262, 0.0302, 0.0292, 0.0212, 0.0101, 0.006, 0.005, 0.003, 0.004, 0.0, 0.0, 0.002, 0.002, 0.002, 0.004, 0.003, 0.002, 0.002, 0.003, 0.004, 0.003, 0.004, 0.002, 0.004, 0.004, 0.005, 0.004, 0.004, 0.004, 0.004, 0.004, 0.003, 0.004, 0.005, 0.006, 0.005, 0.006, -0.1744, -0.125, -0.1754, -0.1804, -0.2087, -0.2258, -0.2863, -0.2853, -0.3871, -0.4466, -0.4365, -0.4546, -0.496, -0.4929, -0.496, -0.4899, -0.501, -0.501, -0.505, -0.5071, -0.5585, -0.494, -0.5262, -0.5252, -0.5343, -0.5474, -0.5565, -0.4274, -0.3881, -0.3538, -0.3024, -0.3105, -0.4022, -0.3558, -0.2964, -0.2974, -0.2742]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1291106357236469760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-08-05T20:18:37+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe DFIN still has an additional 50% upside from current prices.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Post-earnings DFIN bullish: crushed expectations on transactional activity + capital markets; 50% upside seen from current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DFINSolutions earnings crushed expectations all the way around! Transactional activity significantly better than expected and capital markets are roaring and open for business. We believe DFIN still has an additional 50% upside from current prices. 🚀🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@DFIN catching a bid today! Earnings coming out tomorrow before market open. Currently one of our highest conviction ideas. \n\nCheck out our valuation at https://t.co/5cWgejpiuI.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15883856965141208, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15883856965141208, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15266603732075856, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15266603732075856, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006172532330653513, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006172532330653513, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03586678692790235, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03586678692790235, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029182497724559164, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029182497724559164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066842892033431855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066842892033431855, "ret_p1w": -0.023911164138262442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023911164138262442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03996024582230284, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03996024582230284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0160490816840404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0160490816840404, "ret_p1m": -0.061485932082263606, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.061485932082263606, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10147273508472976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10147273508472976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039986803002466154, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039986803002466154, "ret_p3m": 0.12297178272350973, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12297178272350973, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1247428277545316, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1247428277545316, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0017710450310218784, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0017710450310218784, "ret_p6m": 0.5431255026437791, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5431255026437791, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39664440341151397, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39664440341151397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14648109923226516, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14648109923226516, "price_path": [-0.3279, -0.3416, -0.4039, -0.4526, -0.4509, -0.4295, -0.3809, -0.4014, -0.3638, -0.3877, -0.3826, -0.3826, -0.3296, -0.263, -0.3015, -0.304, -0.2827, -0.2792, -0.2605, -0.2331, -0.1939, -0.1443, -0.2263, -0.2323, -0.2869, -0.2724, -0.2545, -0.24, -0.2886, -0.3177, -0.2972, -0.2869, -0.2878, -0.3467, -0.316, -0.3313, -0.3015, -0.2827, -0.2519, -0.2434, -0.2434, -0.2545, -0.2767, -0.2758, -0.3057, -0.2869, -0.3074, -0.3245, -0.2844, -0.2861, -0.2904, -0.2869, -0.2613, -0.2775, -0.2784, -0.2929, -0.3015, -0.3049, -0.2844, -0.2861, -0.2613, -0.228, -0.1588, 0.0, 0.0359, 0.0102, -0.012, -0.0265, -0.0239, -0.0282, -0.0273, -0.0325, -0.0649, -0.0393, -0.0615, -0.0974, -0.0709, -0.0453, -0.0521, -0.0529, -0.0606, -0.0692, -0.0393, -0.0179, -0.0615, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0495, -0.0555, -0.076, -0.0495, -0.0111, 0.0017, -0.0077, 0.0299, -0.029, -0.0154, 0.0068, 0.0111, 0.047, 0.1401, 0.1264, 0.1409, 0.1272, 0.1469, 0.1375, 0.1913, 0.2408, 0.2605, 0.2254, 0.1998, 0.2041, 0.1409, 0.1682, 0.1588, 0.1725, 0.2058, 0.2015, 0.1827, 0.1819, 0.1512, 0.1307, 0.1221, 0.111, 0.0786, 0.123, 0.199, 0.1956, 0.2297, 0.1819, 0.1981, 0.2417, 0.2212, 0.205, 0.2681, 0.3015, 0.3373, 0.2972, 0.31, 0.3015, 0.3356, 0.351, 0.3715, 0.3715, 0.4031, 0.3911, 0.3655, 0.386, 0.4321, 0.468, 0.4774, 0.4936, 0.544, 0.5875, 0.6738, 0.5508, 0.5918, 0.4876, 0.5423, 0.643, 0.5611, 0.5363, 0.5568, 0.5286, 0.5286, 0.4987, 0.4646, 0.4663, 0.4492, 0.4492, 0.4885, 0.5517, 0.579, 0.5961, 0.5218, 0.55, 0.5662, 0.567, 0.6601, 0.6456, 0.6456, 0.6601, 0.6926, 0.6456, 0.6268, 0.5875, 0.5482, 0.5201, 0.5431]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1647000880753917953", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-14T22:16:24+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "continuing to perform. revenues up 6% yoy on cc. reels increasing time spent on IG by 24% and will be revenue neutral by end of year. every dollar spent on ads across their platform generates over 3 dollars of revenue in the economy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META on continued revenue growth, Reels engagement gains, and strong ad ROI.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our Q1 2023 Investment Letter\n\n$META @fanatec \n\nhttps://t.co/kqmdgZWz5a\n\n---\n\n@fanatec $meta continuing to perform. revenues up 6% yoy on cc. reels increasing time spent on IG by 24% and will be revenue neutral by end of year. every dollar spent on ads across their platform generates over 3 dollars of revenue in  the economy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005146937215128489, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005146937215128489, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007595646602732042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005484562644173296, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024487093876035537, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033762542904480775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011874150584209153, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011874150584209153, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015462561656453766, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006133653096167646, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035884110722446128, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005740497488041507, "ret_p1w": -0.038827996105688545, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.038827996105688545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03819767333629731, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012827443845524922, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0006303227693912339, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026000552260163623, "ret_p1m": 0.07842328710493263, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07842328710493263, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07708967543927137, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06559205662629441, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0013336116656612607, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012831230478638211, "ret_p3m": 0.3966318177355588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3966318177355588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31124937796817376, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2668246568952102, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08538243976738502, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1298071608403486, "ret_p6m": 0.43735586749731614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43735586749731614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3816745626261544, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2908284944474391, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05568130487116174, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14652737304987706, "price_path": [-0.3889, -0.3994, -0.3853, -0.3708, -0.3532, -0.3537, -0.3611, -0.335, -0.3149, -0.336, -0.3274, -0.3087, -0.1477, -0.1578, -0.16, -0.1349, -0.1718, -0.1967, -0.2137, -0.1899, -0.1897, -0.2001, -0.2215, -0.2195, -0.2195, -0.2231, -0.2274, -0.2233, -0.2307, -0.2345, -0.2102, -0.217, -0.212, -0.1636, -0.1652, -0.167, -0.1649, -0.1797, -0.1895, -0.1833, -0.124, -0.1072, -0.0748, -0.1168, -0.1069, -0.0873, -0.0979, -0.0777, -0.0699, -0.0842, -0.094, -0.0729, -0.0616, -0.0431, -0.038, -0.0306, -0.0452, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0304, -0.0345, -0.0338, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0119, -0.0163, -0.0261, -0.038, -0.0388, -0.0393, -0.0629, -0.0546, 0.0771, 0.085, 0.0979, 0.0801, 0.0702, 0.0543, 0.051, 0.0532, 0.0536, 0.0523, 0.0646, 0.0556, 0.0784, 0.0782, 0.0948, 0.1145, 0.109, 0.1211, 0.114, 0.1252, 0.1409, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.1852, 0.1952, 0.2308, 0.2308, 0.2253, 0.2241, 0.1901, 0.1945, 0.1962, 0.2238, 0.225, 0.2341, 0.2724, 0.2687, 0.2687, 0.2837, 0.2716, 0.2862, 0.3036, 0.2573, 0.296, 0.288, 0.2711, 0.2957, 0.2913, 0.2913, 0.329, 0.3183, 0.3117, 0.3278, 0.3467, 0.3966, 0.415, 0.3945, 0.4024, 0.4089, 0.4267, 0.3658, 0.3285, 0.3166, 0.3295, 0.348, 0.4073, 0.4695, 0.4384, 0.457, 0.4191, 0.414, 0.4029, 0.4292, 0.4115, 0.378, 0.3804, 0.3619, 0.3824, 0.3633, 0.3287, 0.2871, 0.2788, 0.3089, 0.2985, 0.3285, 0.2946, 0.289, 0.3105, 0.3454, 0.3323, 0.3359, 0.3381, 0.3381, 0.3551, 0.3507, 0.3485, 0.3449, 0.3886, 0.362, 0.3773, 0.4074, 0.3559, 0.366, 0.3774, 0.353, 0.3352, 0.3503, 0.3582, 0.3498, 0.3443, 0.3723, 0.3554, 0.3853, 0.3587, 0.3797, 0.3761, 0.4241, 0.4374]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1781108987770925320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-18T23:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still first innings as META continues to drive down the costs to create content while increasing engagement", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META: Llama 3 competitive with GPT-4, early innings of cost reduction and engagement growth via AI integration.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META's chat gpt (Llama 3): https://t.co/HtMz6YkJNJ\n\nInitial impressions: definitely better than ChatGPT-4 in several areas, likely due to a much different and unique training dataset. It's now being integrated across platforms, enabling users to generate and search for unique content.\n\nStill first innings as META continues to drive down the costs to create content while increasing engagement.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015205302535233445, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015205302535233445, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017267209560173358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010351585316757173, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004853717218476272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04131136021995241, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04131136021995241, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0325830502014548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030359387891817913, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010951972328134496, "ret_p1w": -0.12040664542323376, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12040664542323376, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12835426192054267, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09066178152378601, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947616497308907, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02974486389944775, "ret_p1m": -0.059565719704611664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.059565719704611664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11948318084297116, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08769264545978961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028126925755177945, "ret_p3m": -0.02296479061107448, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02296479061107448, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15741830076559726, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10671872985736586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13445351015452278, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08375393924629138, "ret_p6m": 0.17795764126502256, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17795764126502256, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.010370183877746797, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.046105744190503284, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758745738727576, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13185189707451928, "price_path": [-0.24, -0.2332, -0.2222, -0.2173, -0.2154, -0.2017, -0.2036, -0.2233, -0.2141, -0.0544, -0.0854, -0.0948, -0.0652, -0.0644, -0.0681, -0.0666, -0.084, -0.0578, -0.0364, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0609, -0.0673, -0.0312, -0.0354, -0.04, -0.0294, -0.0354, -0.0233, 0.001, -0.0072, -0.0231, -0.0114, 0.0207, 0.0083, -0.0363, -0.0041, -0.0124, -0.0199, -0.0353, -0.0096, -0.0111, 0.0074, 0.0119, 0.0155, 0.0024, -0.0118, -0.0158, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0208, -0.0088, 0.0098, 0.0182, 0.0509, 0.0348, 0.0301, 0.0359, 0.0426, 0.0201, -0.0031, -0.0041, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.0413, -0.04, -0.0114, -0.0165, -0.1204, -0.1166, -0.1379, -0.1427, -0.1248, -0.1198, -0.0993, -0.072, -0.0669, -0.0582, -0.0526, -0.051, -0.0673, -0.0597, -0.0404, -0.0569, -0.0596, -0.0657, -0.0741, -0.0678, -0.0718, -0.047, -0.047, -0.0436, -0.0547, -0.0693, -0.0697, -0.0484, -0.0494, -0.0134, -0.016, -0.0176, 0.0016, 0.0113, 0.014, 0.0046, 0.0057, 0.0106, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0008, -0.013, -0.0048, 0.0185, 0.0236, 0.0364, 0.0058, 0.0067, 0.0164, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.077, 0.0559, 0.0572, 0.0666, 0.0227, -0.0049, -0.0103, -0.023, -0.0784, -0.0508, -0.0489, -0.0277, -0.0252, -0.0799, -0.0955, -0.071, -0.071, -0.076, -0.0528, -0.0071, -0.0263, -0.051, -0.0144, -0.0247, 0.0166, 0.0328, 0.0292, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0719, 0.0521, 0.0558, 0.0507, 0.0675, 0.0611, 0.0533, 0.0395, 0.0355, 0.0309, 0.0337, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0209, 0.0228, 0.031, -0.0021, 0.007, 0.007, 0.021, 0.0485, 0.0465, 0.0648, 0.0709, 0.0741, 0.1164, 0.1209, 0.127, 0.1248, 0.1347, 0.1338, 0.1329, 0.143, 0.151, 0.1437, 0.1636, 0.1899, 0.1676, 0.1838, 0.1791, 0.1657, 0.178]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1516874860831686658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-20T20:22:03+00:00", "symbol": "SES AI Corporation", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "flying under the radar even after partnering with Walmart almost nationwide. It is an incredibly strong signal of the strength of SES's offerings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SES-imagotag: Walmart near-nationwide partnership signals strong product offerings, yet stock remains underappreciated.", "resolved_tickers": ["SES"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SES AI Corp NYSE-listed SES; Walmart partnership context confirms", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sesimagotag flying under the radar even after partnering with Walmart almost nationwide. It is an incredibly strong signal of the strength of SES's offerings when the largest low-cost retailer partners  with them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016089123226289637, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016089123226289637, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015347246020238403, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030498767718425412, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007418772060512335, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013039246454447095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029702942250534603, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029702942250534603, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04465666303667204, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03938586250636911, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014953720786137437, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009682920255834504, "ret_p1w": -0.08787129267958171, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08787129267958171, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026168067348485424, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012992400884294875, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.06170322533109629, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07487889179528684, "ret_p1m": -0.1175742349301162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1175742349301162, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006664017447951975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09622412632958122, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.12423825237806818, "bench_c_p1m": -0.21379836125969742, "ret_p3m": -0.4022277265702401, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4022277265702401, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2648122701134282, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2032614972886102, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.13741545645681186, "bench_c_p3m": -0.19896622928162988, "ret_p6m": -0.31930692426574747, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31930692426574747, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14919759926812615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09582468673001299, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.17010932499762133, "bench_c_p6m": -0.22348223753573448, "price_path": [0.2339, 0.2351, 0.2339, 0.2351, 0.0136, 0.0743, 0.0124, 0.0062, -0.0285, -0.0495, -0.1238, -0.1225, -0.2475, -0.3205, -0.3082, -0.3304, -0.3812, -0.3775, -0.3812, -0.3738, -0.3874, -0.3874, -0.3923, -0.3948, -0.4579, -0.3787, -0.4183, -0.4171, -0.4282, -0.4443, -0.4554, -0.297, -0.2488, -0.2067, -0.1436, -0.1535, -0.2661, -0.2092, -0.1361, -0.1374, -0.1089, -0.0767, -0.0272, 0.0285, 0.2389, 0.2252, 0.1795, 0.1287, 0.0842, 0.12, 0.1559, 0.0755, 0.1052, 0.0705, 0.0248, 0.0161, 0.0309, 0.0507, 0.1151, 0.1077, 0.1077, 0.1262, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0297, -0.0099, -0.0347, -0.1002, -0.0879, -0.1918, -0.203, -0.2512, -0.2215, -0.1918, -0.229, -0.2587, -0.3552, -0.4121, -0.4257, -0.3478, -0.2624, -0.25, -0.1386, -0.1535, -0.1176, -0.073, -0.1027, -0.1894, -0.1634, -0.1584, -0.1337, -0.1337, -0.1609, -0.198, -0.1807, -0.2475, -0.3861, -0.3416, -0.3725, -0.4059, -0.4666, -0.5396, -0.5408, -0.4851, -0.505, -0.4356, -0.4356, -0.3837, -0.3824, -0.401, -0.4369, -0.4183, -0.4728, -0.4604, -0.5136, -0.5037, -0.5037, -0.4777, -0.4876, -0.4542, -0.4084, -0.453, -0.4752, -0.4282, -0.4493, -0.3998, -0.4022, -0.4109, -0.3787, -0.3663, -0.4208, -0.4233, -0.4765, -0.474, -0.4369, -0.4295, -0.453, -0.4307, -0.3626, -0.3812, -0.3948, -0.3787, -0.3688, -0.3069, -0.2933, -0.3094, -0.3651, -0.3837, -0.4047, -0.3911, -0.4146, -0.4047, -0.4183, -0.3985, -0.38, -0.4394, -0.4356, -0.4307, -0.4134, -0.4307, -0.4208, -0.4208, -0.3601, -0.3837, -0.3577, -0.3564, -0.3651, -0.3465, -0.3366, -0.3168, -0.2896, -0.3292, -0.3725, -0.4344, -0.3861, -0.448, -0.37, -0.3936, -0.3626, -0.4072, -0.396, -0.3564, -0.3181, -0.323, -0.3292, -0.3614, -0.3886, -0.3837, -0.3453, -0.3193]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1717338046411022711", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-26T00:31:11+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $Meta", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long META on reels/click-to-message/AI content tailwinds despite choppy ad environment and Reality Labs losses.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "notes on $meta earnings\n\nmeta should see significant tailwinds from reels, click to messaging, and ai driven content increasing engagement. headwinds include choppy ad environment and reality lab expenses. \n\nq3 ad revenue growth driven by online commerce(chinese companies), CPG, and gaming\n\nAd impressions grew 31% while price per ad dropped 6%\n\nAI driven feed rec improvements have driven time spent on ig and fb by 7%\n\nClick to message is now at a multibillion dollar run rate\n\nReels is now revenue neutral. Should be interesting to see the true growth of reels on ad impressions and prices. \n\nLlama had 30mm downloads in September\n\nReality Labs had losses of 3.75B \n\nLong $Meta", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03877213673734947, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03877213673734947, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026652321909687915, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016504221287799714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012119814827661557, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022267915449549758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029061716040273966, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029061716040273966, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03359433095658526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032694048617530114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004532614916311295, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036323325772561477, "ret_p1w": 0.07809925522792716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07809925522792716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03395899479030917, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027246289151583447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.044140260437617984, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05085296607634371, "ret_p1m": 0.1729840685143802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1729840685143802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06936025845744243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052327102823670035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10362381005693777, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12065696569071016, "ret_p3m": 0.33587638637439254, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33587638637439254, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15583552171277004, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1371088015342521, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1800408646616225, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19876758484014045, "ret_p6m": 0.6701244138318563, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6701244138318563, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4612712382120312, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4085832624927255, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20885317561982508, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2615411513391308, "price_path": [0.1049, 0.1192, 0.09, 0.0861, 0.0776, 0.0978, 0.0842, 0.0585, 0.0603, 0.0461, 0.0619, 0.0472, 0.0206, -0.0113, -0.0177, 0.0054, -0.0026, 0.0204, -0.0055, -0.0099, 0.0066, 0.0334, 0.0234, 0.0261, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0409, 0.0375, 0.0358, 0.0331, 0.0666, 0.0462, 0.058, 0.081, 0.0415, 0.0492, 0.058, 0.0393, 0.0256, 0.0372, 0.0433, 0.0368, 0.0326, 0.0541, 0.0411, 0.0641, 0.0437, 0.0598, 0.057, 0.0939, 0.1041, 0.1161, 0.1369, 0.1242, 0.0913, 0.1138, 0.1236, 0.0993, 0.0848, 0.0704, 0.089, 0.0839, 0.0388, 0.0, 0.0291, 0.0496, 0.0448, 0.0815, 0.0781, 0.091, 0.0952, 0.1057, 0.109, 0.1117, 0.1402, 0.1416, 0.1663, 0.1538, 0.159, 0.1619, 0.179, 0.1686, 0.1843, 0.1843, 0.173, 0.1607, 0.1756, 0.1521, 0.1346, 0.1265, 0.1098, 0.1038, 0.1009, 0.1326, 0.154, 0.1281, 0.1591, 0.1609, 0.1554, 0.1615, 0.1951, 0.2151, 0.2113, 0.228, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.2306, 0.241, 0.2427, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.2009, 0.1946, 0.2038, 0.2206, 0.2438, 0.2396, 0.2848, 0.282, 0.2987, 0.2987, 0.2744, 0.2775, 0.3044, 0.3298, 0.324, 0.3359, 0.355, 0.3636, 0.3669, 0.3907, 0.3874, 0.353, 0.3691, 0.6473, 0.5932, 0.577, 0.6285, 0.63, 0.6234, 0.6261, 0.5957, 0.6413, 0.6786, 0.6415, 0.6415, 0.636, 0.6249, 0.6877, 0.6804, 0.6725, 0.6909, 0.6804, 0.7016, 0.7438, 0.7296, 0.7019, 0.7223, 0.7782, 0.7565, 0.6789, 0.735, 0.7205, 0.7075, 0.6806, 0.7254, 0.7228, 0.755, 0.7628, 0.7691, 0.7463, 0.7216, 0.7145, 0.6858, 0.6858, 0.7058, 0.7267, 0.7592, 0.7738, 0.8308, 0.8027, 0.7945, 0.8047, 0.8162, 0.7772, 0.7366, 0.735, 0.7156, 0.7421, 0.6701]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1365308455318290432", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-02-26T14:31:16+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We still believe DFIN has 30% more room to the upside and remains our largest position", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DFIN with 30% upside target; largest position, backed by strong software growth and earnings momentum.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DFIN Q4 2020 Earnings was a great one. ex print revenue increased 20% y/y. Software growth grew 8% q/q. They have substantially paid down their debt along with increased share buy backs. This company is a shareholder’s dream.\n\n---\n\n$DFIN Q1 2021 is another great earnings quarter. Both for the top line and bottom line. Most important metric is that Software Sales up ~28% q/q. We still believe DFIN has 30% more room to the upside and remains our largest position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0784916901171232, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0784916901171232, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08367137963912652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08367137963912652, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005179689522003317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005179689522003317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07541365944909995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07541365944909995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0511732571813408, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0511732571813408, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.024240402267759142, "bench_c_p1d": 0.024240402267759142, "ret_p1w": 0.0796460066584741, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0796460066584741, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07104869940064296, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07104869940064296, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008597307257831144, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008597307257831144, "ret_p1m": 0.030396341765468016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030396341765468016, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01355246067642124, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01355246067642124, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043948802441889256, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043948802441889256, "ret_p3m": 0.15275103302487225, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15275103302487225, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.047370004500683516, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.047370004500683516, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10538102852418874, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10538102852418874, "ret_p6m": 0.26433247017061556, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26433247017061556, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08073536329512265, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08073536329512265, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1835971068754929, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1835971068754929, "price_path": [-0.3848, -0.3755, -0.3548, -0.3386, -0.3344, -0.327, -0.3043, -0.2847, -0.2459, -0.3013, -0.2828, -0.3297, -0.3051, -0.2597, -0.2967, -0.3078, -0.2986, -0.3113, -0.3113, -0.3247, -0.3401, -0.3394, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3294, -0.3009, -0.2886, -0.2809, -0.3144, -0.3017, -0.2943, -0.294, -0.252, -0.2586, -0.2586, -0.252, -0.2374, -0.2586, -0.267, -0.2847, -0.3024, -0.3151, -0.3047, -0.3117, -0.2747, -0.2447, -0.2339, -0.2155, -0.227, -0.1966, -0.1743, -0.1689, -0.115, -0.137, -0.137, -0.1343, -0.1443, -0.1581, -0.1474, -0.1439, -0.1728, -0.1262, -0.0785, 0.0, 0.0754, 0.0862, 0.1008, 0.0377, 0.0796, 0.1077, 0.0997, 0.117, 0.12, 0.1462, 0.1389, 0.1197, 0.1104, 0.0812, 0.1066, 0.0662, 0.0173, -0.0058, 0.0265, 0.0562, 0.0304, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.117, 0.117, 0.1351, 0.1351, 0.1043, 0.1189, 0.107, 0.1158, 0.0966, 0.1158, 0.117, 0.1274, 0.1143, 0.0669, 0.0858, 0.1124, 0.1547, 0.1778, 0.1658, 0.1805, 0.1774, 0.1758, 0.2016, 0.1793, 0.1581, -0.0146, 0.0262, 0.0123, 0.0115, -0.0481, -0.02, 0.0385, 0.0485, 0.0646, 0.0823, 0.1231, 0.142, 0.1374, 0.12, 0.1528, 0.1481, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1955, 0.1916, 0.202, 0.1928, 0.2193, 0.2282, 0.2032, 0.2062, 0.2305, 0.222, 0.2243, 0.2285, 0.1851, 0.1281, 0.2043, 0.2162, 0.2285, 0.2697, 0.2747, 0.2359, 0.2389, 0.2697, 0.2655, 0.2651, 0.2651, 0.2416, 0.2509, 0.2232, 0.2624, 0.2747, 0.2451, 0.2235, 0.2301, 0.1924, 0.1751, 0.2316, 0.2616, 0.2159, 0.2085, 0.2513, 0.192, 0.2097, 0.2466, 0.2393, 0.2412, 0.2197, 0.2155, 0.3471, 0.3228, 0.2978, 0.2917, 0.2763, 0.2639, 0.2432, 0.2347, 0.2451, 0.2428, 0.1905, 0.2016, 0.2643]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1679560210271051794", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-07-13T18:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "ZUMZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Our activist letter to Zumiez board $ZUMZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Activist engagement with Zumiez board; implied bullish/long stance via shareholder activism.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZUMZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "fr", "tweet_text": "Our activist letter to Zumiez board $ZUMZ\n\nhttps://t.co/lzwRpsaLOL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02520049009904657, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02520049009904657, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03307479250571277, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03448577038508438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0078743024066662, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009285280286037811, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010882047194755273, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010882047194755273, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011504949213947402, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008302723164233416, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006229020191921286, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025793240305218568, "ret_p1w": 0.04123718547863087, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04123718547863087, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03540933021117665, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06146972267140649, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005827855267454218, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020232537192775624, "ret_p1m": 0.09679270462050305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09679270462050305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10548992925922618, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12401795857931419, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008697224638723133, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027225253958811146, "ret_p3m": -0.021763985148460785, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.021763985148460785, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.008237008627298148, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04495765438463295, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.030000993775758933, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06672163953309374, "ret_p6m": 0.047537335313655005, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.047537335313655005, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0012089118475127059, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0546081375212637, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04874624716116771, "bench_c_p6m": -0.007070802207608695, "price_path": [0.063, 0.0424, 0.0103, 0.0281, 0.0252, 0.008, -0.0441, -0.0195, -0.008, 0.0017, -0.0286, -0.0584, -0.071, -0.0762, -0.0567, -0.0533, -0.0756, -0.0916, -0.0745, -0.0842, -0.0716, -0.0871, -0.0355, -0.004, -0.0682, -0.0659, -0.0401, -0.0074, -0.0527, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0498, -0.0796, -0.1008, -0.114, -0.2239, -0.169, -0.047, -0.0905, -0.1581, -0.1569, -0.1403, -0.1638, -0.1329, -0.1661, -0.1661, -0.1002, -0.0733, -0.0601, -0.0338, -0.0241, -0.016, -0.0504, -0.0275, -0.0458, -0.0126, -0.0126, -0.0481, -0.0441, -0.0023, -0.0086, 0.0155, 0.0252, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0619, 0.0412, 0.0309, 0.0687, 0.0613, 0.079, 0.0745, 0.0836, 0.0802, 0.0756, 0.0756, 0.0899, 0.0722, 0.0716, 0.0515, 0.0344, 0.0584, 0.0968, 0.0498, 0.0596, 0.0304, 0.0659, 0.0871, 0.0613, 0.0722, 0.0922, 0.0367, 0.0338, 0.0115, 0.047, 0.0395, 0.0876, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0441, 0.0716, 0.0687, -0.0401, -0.0006, -0.0561, -0.0584, -0.0183, -0.0504, -0.0561, -0.0292, 0.012, -0.0109, -0.0029, 0.02, -0.0046, -0.0029, 0.0132, 0.0195, -0.0086, -0.0229, -0.0023, -0.0338, -0.0367, -0.0372, -0.0218, -0.0195, -0.055, -0.0945, -0.0344, 0.0132, -0.0178, -0.0137, -0.0258, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0395, -0.0435, -0.0836, -0.0659, -0.059, -0.0802, -0.0498, -0.0315, -0.0538, -0.0573, -0.0888, -0.1214, -0.0985, -0.0991, 0.0143, 0.0745, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.055, 0.0447, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0481, 0.0556, 0.0521, 0.0888, 0.0813, 0.2108, 0.1569, 0.1226, 0.1128, 0.1151, 0.1082, 0.0865, 0.0636, 0.1266, 0.1415, 0.1105, 0.0916, 0.1145, 0.0796, 0.1243, 0.1271, 0.1271, 0.134, 0.1438, 0.1724, 0.1649, 0.1649, 0.1575, 0.0842, 0.0653, 0.0475]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1883631964617351317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-26T21:43:51+00:00", "symbol": "hyperscalers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers will likely be the beneficiaries in the short term", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hyperscalers seen as near-term beneficiaries of DeepSeek efficiency shift; longer-term outlook uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT", "AMZN", "GOOGL", "META", "ORCL"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US hyperscalers: Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Oracle", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Although DeepSeek represents a significant shift in AI development, the rate of demand for intelligence is unlimited:  DeepSeek is only bullish for AI developments long term. \n\nHowever short term it could cause ripples as investment consternation rises: there could be a pause on spending as the theme of efficiency raises its head, questioning the use of multi gigawatt data centers and spending hundreds of millions to billions of dollars for a training run.\n\nWhat is fundamental and more unclear now is where the profits will accumulate. We wrote about what we know about DeepSeek below:\n\n---\n\nDeep Seek R1 is an open- source model built on a fine-tuned version of Deep Seek V3 with 671 billion parameters. Why It’s Different:\n\nNo Supervised Fine-Tuning:\n\nDeep Seek eliminates the need for traditional supervised fine-tuning, a process typically used to teach models chain-of-thought reasoning by including step-by-step logic in the training data. Instead, Deep Seek uses an in-house system called Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), which provides feedback based on accuracy and efficiency. This approach enables the model to teach itself how to reason without explicit instruction.\n\n---\n\nTraining Efficiency: \n\nWith its MLA (Masked Latent Attention) technique, Deep Seek reduces computational intensity. It can compress tokens while maintaining predictive accuracy. This means less memory and less GPUs. It requires just one-tenth the training  of Meta's Llama models and one thirtieth that of Chat GPT.\n\n---\n\nLower Inference Costs: \n\nLeveraging a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture, Deep Seek activates only the most relevant components during inference, minimizing energy and cost. It activates < 37B parameters out of 670B during inference. This results in costs of $0.55 per million tokens vs $15 for GPT—a 96% drop in inference costs. ChatGPT also uses this architecture however it is significantly larger\n\n---\n\nDeepSeek has upturned the AI ecosystem. Capital is now less of a moat and the threat of new entrants has gone up significantly.\n\nHyperscalers will likely be the beneficiaries in the short term however the future has become more uncertain.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040885379776018624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040885379776018624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02653704819171325, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02653704819171325, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348331584305374, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014348331584305374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023382953657765704, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023382953657765704, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01479040156245497, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01479040156245497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008592552095310735, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008592552095310735, "ret_p1w": 0.025071469783125667, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025071469783125667, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02774088117373006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02774088117373006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026694113906043926, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026694113906043926, "ret_p1m": -0.04056856039469834, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04056856039469834, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03200958385192241, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03200958385192241, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558976542775931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008558976542775931, "ret_p3m": -0.16053354117115248, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16053354117115248, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07538511346778842, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07538511346778842, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514842770336406, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08514842770336406, "ret_p6m": 0.14323140351210922, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14323140351210922, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08776242122739714, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08776242122739714, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05546898228471209, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05546898228471209, "price_path": [-0.0566, -0.0933, -0.0789, -0.0862, -0.0749, -0.0455, -0.0238, -0.0263, -0.0294, -0.023, -0.0218, -0.0308, -0.0582, -0.0531, -0.0407, -0.0418, -0.0538, -0.0573, -0.0534, -0.0366, -0.0516, -0.0516, -0.0456, -0.0358, -0.0254, -0.0087, -0.01, 0.0095, 0.0061, -0.0001, 0.0227, 0.0136, 0.0034, 0.0158, 0.011, -0.0254, -0.0193, -0.0172, -0.0105, 0.0015, 0.0015, -0.0023, -0.016, -0.0275, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0318, -0.0218, -0.0046, -0.0216, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0391, -0.0444, -0.0483, -0.0231, -0.0291, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0046, 0.0336, 0.0405, 0.0409, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0185, 0.0233, 0.0294, 0.0251, 0.0362, 0.0209, 0.0276, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0224, 0.0117, 0.0192, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.017, 0.0193, 0.0067, -0.0212, -0.0288, -0.0406, -0.0313, -0.0583, -0.0467, -0.0693, -0.0765, -0.0545, -0.0857, -0.0824, -0.117, -0.1205, -0.1014, -0.1251, -0.107, -0.1049, -0.1261, -0.1141, -0.1153, -0.1085, -0.0876, -0.0805, -0.1049, -0.1125, -0.1475, -0.1523, -0.1394, -0.1319, -0.1844, -0.2216, -0.2156, -0.2283, -0.1377, -0.1758, -0.167, -0.1684, -0.1783, -0.2035, -0.2107, -0.2107, -0.2353, -0.2125, -0.1873, -0.1605, -0.148, -0.148, -0.1452, -0.1503, -0.1158, -0.0944, -0.098, -0.1071, -0.1113, -0.1017, -0.1038, -0.0568, -0.042, -0.0332, -0.0477, -0.0442, -0.0423, -0.0472, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0315, -0.0318, -0.0317, -0.0275, -0.0198, -0.0211, -0.0123, -0.007, 0.0124, 0.022, 0.0272, 0.0191, 0.0498, 0.0623, 0.0706, 0.0629, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0402, 0.0489, 0.0707, 0.0683, 0.086, 0.0948, 0.1017, 0.0944, 0.1087, 0.1271, 0.1271, 0.1172, 0.1142, 0.1278, 0.1256, 0.1229, 0.1241, 0.1305, 0.1345, 0.1475, 0.1469, 0.1551, 0.1432]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1887573787371061704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-06T18:47:14+00:00", "symbol": "PSFE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long $PSFE Paysafe", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long PSFE on CEO-led platform transformation, iGaming regulatory moat, and U.S. iGaming market set to double by 2029.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSFE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are long $PSFE Paysafe\n\nStock is up 18% on takeover rumors. Our deep dive was released yesterday (epic timing).\n\nBusiness background + Thesis:🧵\n\n---\n\nPaysafe is a global payments provider specializing in high-risk verticals: iGaming, travel, crypto, forex trading etc.\n\n---\n\nThe company went public via SPAC in 2021 and has since declined ~80%, largely due to SPAC bubble imploding.\n\n---\n\nUnder new CEO, Paysafe is successfully transitioning into a unified, growth-oriented payments platform after years of fragmented operations from M&amp;A.\n\n---\n\nTwo business segments:\n\nMerchant Solutions: Payment processing driven by direct and distribution partners (ISOs, ISVs).\n\nDigital Wallets: Primarily Skrill and Neteller which are heavily used in iGaming throughout Europe\n\n---\n\nPaysafe’s edge comes from deep regulatory expertise, merchant underwriting in high-risk industries, and global banking relationships that competitors struggle to match.\n\n---\n\nThe U.S. iGaming market is still in its early stages and set to double by 2029.\n\n---\n\nFull write-up that also includes a brief industry background: https://t.co/hSLIJo4rng", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1413090711749433, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1413090711749433, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13784539342646862, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13784539342646862, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034636777484746695, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034636777484746695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0078023540336744635, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0078023540336744635, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016956038546921293, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016956038546921293, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00915368451324683, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00915368451324683, "ret_p1w": -0.14087559787567494, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14087559787567494, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1464996317714321, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1464996317714321, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005624033895757163, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005624033895757163, "ret_p1m": -0.30862592023165314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30862592023165314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25848725465650046, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25848725465650046, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.050138665575152674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.050138665575152674, "ret_p3m": -0.35240573133882147, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35240573133882147, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.276803580827542, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.276803580827542, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0756021505112795, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0756021505112795, "ret_p6m": -0.5049848189267191, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5049848189267191, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5365089229212027, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5365089229212027, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03152410399448358, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03152410399448358, "price_path": [0.1149, 0.104, -0.1756, -0.2163, -0.2341, -0.2605, -0.2432, -0.2635, -0.2414, -0.238, -0.2068, -0.1864, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.1383, -0.1235, -0.1413, -0.1495, -0.1391, -0.1318, -0.1599, -0.1673, -0.1586, -0.1782, -0.1916, -0.1985, -0.2154, -0.2601, -0.2505, -0.251, -0.2536, -0.2432, -0.2432, -0.2345, -0.2466, -0.2579, -0.2588, -0.2588, -0.2497, -0.2427, -0.2414, -0.2471, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2531, -0.2462, -0.2371, -0.215, -0.2206, -0.2189, -0.2189, -0.205, -0.1899, -0.2133, -0.2133, -0.1868, -0.1808, -0.1721, -0.1461, -0.1591, -0.1621, -0.1487, -0.1413, 0.0, 0.0078, -0.0121, -0.1782, -0.1717, -0.1409, -0.1504, -0.1504, -0.0915, -0.1144, -0.1495, -0.1664, -0.1847, -0.1565, -0.1556, -0.166, -0.1417, -0.1669, -0.3216, -0.2969, -0.3203, -0.3086, -0.3723, -0.371, -0.3407, -0.3403, -0.3147, -0.29, -0.2835, -0.254, -0.2514, -0.2488, -0.2228, -0.2241, -0.2471, -0.2544, -0.3021, -0.3199, -0.3013, -0.2883, -0.3515, -0.3862, -0.4001, -0.4244, -0.3325, -0.3849, -0.3654, -0.358, -0.3567, -0.3745, -0.3767, -0.3767, -0.4018, -0.3832, -0.3619, -0.3394, -0.3268, -0.3346, -0.3212, -0.3398, -0.3338, -0.326, -0.3381, -0.3524, -0.3528, -0.3333, -0.3294, -0.2956, -0.4023, -0.4326, -0.4586, -0.4491, -0.4495, -0.4608, -0.4907, -0.4798, -0.479, -0.479, -0.4603, -0.4452, -0.4582, -0.4647, -0.4603, -0.4655, -0.4586, -0.4599, -0.4525, -0.4356, -0.4413, -0.4426, -0.4404, -0.4759, -0.4573, -0.4686, -0.4729, -0.4729, -0.4863, -0.4725, -0.4369, -0.4508, -0.4564, -0.4551, -0.453, -0.4296, -0.4304, -0.417, -0.417, -0.4218, -0.4109, -0.4044, -0.4057, -0.4326, -0.4235, -0.4374, -0.417, -0.3932, -0.404, -0.4044, -0.4049, -0.4031, -0.4131, -0.404, -0.4265, -0.4534, -0.4751, -0.4733, -0.505]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1400554262581547011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-03T20:45:31+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The good news keeps on comin. #DFIN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish DFIN: capital structure improvement via revolver terms + term loan refinance saves ~$14M annualized.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Donnelley Financial Solutions has been able to improve its capital structure by bettering the terms on their revolver along with refinancing roughly 200mm worth of their term loan. Savings will be ~14mm annualized. The good news keeps on comin. #DFIN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008642780401467598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008642780401467598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012367943090104583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012367943090104583, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003725162688636985, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003725162688636985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007682451116406419, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007682451116406419, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016828344647896953, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016828344647896953, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009145893531490534, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009145893531490534, "ret_p1w": 0.0035211463238633556, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0035211463238633556, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00803627566662013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00803627566662013, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011557421990483485, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011557421990483485, "ret_p1m": 0.052496840877485296, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.052496840877485296, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01340857606455459, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01340857606455459, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.039088264812930706, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039088264812930706, "ret_p3m": 0.067541572293917, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.067541572293917, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01428693227364608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01428693227364608, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08182850456756308, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08182850456756308, "ret_p6m": 0.5124840059596709, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5124840059596709, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40938018227441497, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40938018227441497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310382368525595, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10310382368525595, "price_path": [-0.0784, -0.0851, -0.0707, -0.0682, -0.0464, -0.0525, -0.0685, -0.0762, -0.1005, -0.0794, -0.113, -0.1536, -0.1729, -0.146, -0.1213, -0.1428, -0.1092, -0.1092, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0813, -0.0691, -0.0791, -0.0717, -0.0877, -0.0717, -0.0707, -0.0621, -0.073, -0.1124, -0.0967, -0.0746, -0.0394, -0.0202, -0.0301, -0.0179, -0.0205, -0.0218, -0.0003, -0.0189, -0.0365, -0.1802, -0.1463, -0.1578, -0.1585, -0.2081, -0.1847, -0.136, -0.1277, -0.1143, -0.0996, -0.0656, -0.0499, -0.0538, -0.0682, -0.041, -0.0448, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0054, -0.0086, 0.0, -0.0077, 0.0144, 0.0218, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0237, 0.0166, 0.0186, 0.0221, -0.0141, -0.0615, 0.0019, 0.0118, 0.0221, 0.0563, 0.0605, 0.0282, 0.0307, 0.0563, 0.0528, 0.0525, 0.0525, 0.033, 0.0407, 0.0176, 0.0503, 0.0605, 0.0359, 0.0179, 0.0234, -0.008, -0.0224, 0.0246, 0.0496, 0.0115, 0.0054, 0.041, -0.0083, 0.0064, 0.0371, 0.031, 0.0327, 0.0147, 0.0112, 0.1207, 0.1005, 0.0797, 0.0746, 0.0618, 0.0515, 0.0343, 0.0272, 0.0359, 0.0339, -0.0096, -0.0003, 0.0519, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0243, 0.072, 0.0659, 0.0675, 0.0653, 0.0733, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0787, 0.0807, 0.1098, 0.1079, 0.1079, 0.0967, 0.0903, 0.1127, 0.1098, 0.0589, 0.073, 0.1076, 0.1136, 0.1098, 0.136, 0.1066, 0.1236, 0.1082, 0.1332, 0.1143, 0.1268, 0.1562, 0.1844, 0.1754, 0.1741, 0.1751, 0.1834, 0.1988, 0.2087, 0.2157, 0.2116, 0.2116, 0.2007, 0.1802, 0.1898, 0.1857, 0.1946, 0.2154, 0.2266, 0.2801, 0.267, 0.3665, 0.4622, 0.5611, 0.5589, 0.6012, 0.62, 0.6124, 0.6056, 0.6485, 0.5643, 0.5528, 0.5339, 0.4776, 0.4792, 0.5359, 0.5551, 0.5551, 0.5125]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1486042357455900678", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-01-25T18:24:42+00:00", "symbol": "AOUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are looking to add to $AOUT. Fundamentals are strong and they continue to buy back shares", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Looking to add to AOUT on strong fundamentals and ongoing buybacks; benefits from rotation away from high-flying tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "significant re-pricing of high-flying tech names could bode well for value names. We are looking to add to $AOUT. Fundamentals are strong and they continue to buy back shares", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004291826923133124, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004291826923133124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008068015955247754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012922785061703967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012359842878380878, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01721461198483709, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02391167396803484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02391167396803484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021402833010264244, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019065010046647624, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0025088409577705972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004846663921387218, "ret_p1w": 0.041692233442172766, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041692233442172766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008422781990606865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0050902606486440405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04253451164123345, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036601972793528725, "ret_p1m": 0.006744366275502234, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006744366275502234, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035561041289087436, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06574157892371912, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028816675013585202, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05899721264821689, "ret_p3m": -0.19374616498367414, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19374616498367414, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1773894809783506, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17474997123839842, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01635668400532353, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018996193745275725, "ret_p6m": -0.5119558369840174, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5119558369840174, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4273399746818136, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36296534415935044, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.08461586230220375, "bench_c_p6m": -0.14899049282466692, "price_path": [0.3611, 0.3967, 0.393, 0.3826, 0.4384, 0.4249, 0.4402, 0.4212, 0.4323, 0.4163, 0.4329, 0.4862, 0.515, 0.5377, 0.5175, 0.5021, 0.5064, 0.4825, 0.4697, 0.4715, 0.4715, 0.4372, 0.4114, 0.4464, 0.412, 0.4261, 0.3581, 0.3023, 0.3262, 0.3262, 0.2888, 0.1165, 0.122, 0.1895, 0.2023, 0.13, 0.133, 0.1496, 0.1324, 0.1557, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.1803, 0.1987, 0.1754, 0.2097, 0.2219, 0.2275, 0.1858, 0.1306, 0.1226, 0.1245, 0.1263, 0.0956, 0.0576, 0.0472, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0178, 0.0172, 0.0135, -0.0098, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0239, -0.0233, -0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0417, 0.0527, 0.0147, 0.0196, 0.0245, 0.0417, 0.0625, 0.0595, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0558, 0.0589, 0.0349, 0.0386, 0.0386, 0.0245, 0.0067, 0.0092, 0.0288, -0.0417, -0.0521, -0.0018, -0.0264, -0.0693, -0.0674, -0.0803, -0.0435, -0.057, -0.1226, -0.1778, -0.1588, -0.0956, -0.0987, -0.0914, -0.1361, -0.1208, -0.1539, -0.1643, -0.157, -0.1496, -0.1343, -0.1717, -0.195, -0.1619, -0.1435, -0.1643, -0.1845, -0.1815, -0.1631, -0.1723, -0.1858, -0.1649, -0.1563, -0.1563, -0.1655, -0.1441, -0.1478, -0.1839, -0.1937, -0.1827, -0.2115, -0.2146, -0.2091, -0.2275, -0.2213, -0.2164, -0.2054, -0.2367, -0.2502, -0.2918, -0.2857, -0.325, -0.3151, -0.2974, -0.3158, -0.2906, -0.3268, -0.3317, -0.3513, -0.3262, -0.3587, -0.3139, -0.2655, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2906, -0.3059, -0.282, -0.2943, -0.3017, -0.29, -0.309, -0.3035, -0.3145, -0.3378, -0.3574, -0.3587, -0.3955, -0.3869, -0.3869, -0.404, -0.4169, -0.3574, -0.3409, -0.3679, -0.3893, -0.4053, -0.4169, -0.4151, -0.4151, -0.4139, -0.4323, -0.4206, -0.4218, -0.439, -0.45, -0.4316, -0.4224, -0.4868, -0.5077, -0.5095, -0.512]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1418304636038127618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-22T20:19:10+00:00", "symbol": "PRG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PRG moving more heavily into the e-commerce space. Convenience is king.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PRG on its expansion into e-commerce, citing convenience as a tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["PRG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Rental & Leasing Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PRG moving more heavily into the e-commerce space. Convenience is king. \n\nhttps://t.co/lFx7YBEm2e", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020799608660871716, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020799608660871716, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022889543936748913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022889543936748913, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002089935275877197, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002089935275877197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020337386986250428, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020337386986250428, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010049406858884335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010049406858884335, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010287980127366092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010287980127366092, "ret_p1w": 0.02565293624439491, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02565293624439491, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013734755744559068, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013734755744559068, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01191818049983584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01191818049983584, "ret_p1m": 0.03720838643565494, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03720838643565494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019066844776320924, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019066844776320924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018141541659334015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018141541659334015, "ret_p3m": 0.02519071456977362, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02519071456977362, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012984184981478242, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012984184981478242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03817489955125186, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03817489955125186, "ret_p6m": -0.022186182010464406, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.022186182010464406, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0965595772480835, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0965595772480835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0743733952376191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0743733952376191, "price_path": [0.0044, 0.0839, 0.1421, 0.1756, 0.1773, 0.2036, 0.2376, 0.2454, 0.2653, 0.2898, 0.2521, 0.2371, 0.2022, 0.2452, 0.2755, 0.2697, 0.2535, 0.2286, 0.2376, 0.223, 0.223, 0.1976, 0.2249, 0.2438, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2018, 0.205, 0.2318, 0.2704, 0.2933, 0.263, 0.2729, 0.229, 0.2036, 0.178, 0.1532, 0.0938, 0.1262, 0.1137, 0.1151, 0.1213, 0.1403, 0.1216, 0.1098, 0.1123, 0.1056, 0.1095, 0.1095, 0.0709, 0.0508, 0.0257, 0.0647, 0.0476, 0.0455, 0.0379, 0.0226, -0.003, -0.0199, 0.0058, 0.0208, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0312, 0.0538, 0.0499, 0.0257, 0.0116, 0.006, -0.0129, -0.0074, 0.0296, 0.0247, 0.0051, 0.019, 0.0566, 0.0575, 0.0541, 0.0344, 0.0294, 0.0097, 0.0129, 0.0372, 0.0381, 0.064, 0.076, 0.0569, 0.1035, 0.1093, 0.0936, 0.0996, 0.1001, 0.0904, 0.0904, 0.0571, 0.0633, 0.0698, 0.0564, 0.0874, 0.0811, 0.043, 0.0201, 0.0455, 0.0081, -0.024, -0.0113, -0.0206, -0.0164, 0.0213, 0.0005, -0.0104, -0.0291, -0.003, 0.0072, 0.018, 0.0254, 0.0575, 0.021, 0.0122, 0.0083, 0.0065, 0.031, 0.0268, 0.0238, 0.0252, 0.0444, 0.0585, 0.085, 0.0733, -0.0185, -0.0585, -0.0471, -0.0652, -0.0153, -0.0478, 0.0998, 0.0758, 0.0795, 0.085, 0.0899, 0.1012, 0.1153, 0.1056, 0.0938, 0.119, 0.1072, 0.1153, 0.0982, 0.0952, 0.098, 0.0971, 0.0971, 0.0783, 0.077, 0.0428, 0.043, 0.0797, 0.0432, 0.006, -0.0146, 0.0183, -0.0273, 0.0032, 0.0462, 0.0395, 0.0441, 0.0314, 0.0656, 0.022, 0.0492, 0.0347, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0437, 0.0469, 0.0386, 0.0363, 0.0425, 0.0592, 0.0696, 0.0289, 0.0356, 0.0009, 0.0143, 0.0231, 0.0183, 0.0176, -0.0222]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1367122698946506759", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-03-03T14:40:25+00:00", "symbol": "DFIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This has been the largest position in our account since May 2020", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Largest held position since May 2020; ongoing long with momentum noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["DFIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DFIN catching a another bid today. Momentum surge. This has been the largest position in our account since May 2020.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013282106256850001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013282106256850001, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026705558398758766, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026705558398758766, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013423452141908765, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013423452141908765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057322658581268615, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.057322658581268615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044947752488451176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044947752488451176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01237490609281744, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01237490609281744, "ret_p1w": 0.014680184108139427, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014680184108139427, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006713335310031043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006713335310031043, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02139351941817047, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02139351941817047, "ret_p1m": 0.014680184108139427, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014680184108139427, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039071638277785814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039071638277785814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05375182238592524, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05375182238592524, "ret_p3m": 0.04194333554668428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04194333554668428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06291668398549399, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06291668398549399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10486001953217827, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10486001953217827, "ret_p6m": 0.11849001458678332, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11849001458678332, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05917829230958138, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05917829230958138, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1776683068963647, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1776683068963647, "price_path": [-0.3992, -0.3953, -0.3887, -0.3681, -0.3502, -0.3149, -0.3653, -0.3485, -0.3911, -0.3688, -0.3275, -0.3611, -0.3712, -0.3628, -0.3743, -0.3743, -0.3866, -0.4006, -0.3999, -0.4069, -0.4069, -0.3908, -0.3649, -0.3537, -0.3467, -0.3771, -0.3656, -0.359, -0.3586, -0.3205, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3205, -0.3072, -0.3265, -0.3341, -0.3502, -0.3663, -0.3778, -0.3684, -0.3747, -0.3411, -0.3139, -0.3041, -0.2873, -0.2978, -0.2702, -0.2499, -0.245, -0.1961, -0.216, -0.216, -0.2136, -0.2226, -0.2352, -0.2254, -0.2223, -0.2485, -0.2062, -0.1629, -0.0916, -0.0231, -0.0133, 0.0, -0.0573, -0.0192, 0.0063, -0.001, 0.0147, 0.0175, 0.0412, 0.0346, 0.0171, 0.0087, -0.0178, 0.0052, -0.0315, -0.0758, -0.0968, -0.0675, -0.0405, -0.064, -0.0273, -0.0273, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0031, 0.0164, 0.0056, 0.0136, -0.0038, 0.0136, 0.0147, 0.0241, 0.0122, -0.0308, -0.0136, 0.0105, 0.0489, 0.0699, 0.0591, 0.0724, 0.0696, 0.0682, 0.0916, 0.0713, 0.0521, -0.1049, -0.0678, -0.0804, -0.0811, -0.1353, -0.1098, -0.0566, -0.0475, -0.0329, -0.0168, 0.0203, 0.0374, 0.0332, 0.0175, 0.0472, 0.043, 0.0419, 0.0419, 0.086, 0.0825, 0.0919, 0.0835, 0.1077, 0.1157, 0.093, 0.0958, 0.1178, 0.1101, 0.1122, 0.116, 0.0765, 0.0248, 0.094, 0.1049, 0.116, 0.1534, 0.158, 0.1227, 0.1255, 0.1534, 0.1496, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1279, 0.1363, 0.1111, 0.1468, 0.158, 0.1311, 0.1115, 0.1174, 0.0832, 0.0675, 0.1188, 0.1461, 0.1045, 0.0979, 0.1367, 0.0828, 0.0989, 0.1325, 0.1258, 0.1276, 0.108, 0.1042, 0.2237, 0.2017, 0.179, 0.1734, 0.1594, 0.1482, 0.1293, 0.1216, 0.1311, 0.129, 0.0814, 0.0916, 0.1485, 0.1409, 0.1444, 0.1185]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1456696544342724616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-11-05T18:54:54+00:00", "symbol": "PAYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Should bode well for $PAYS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CSL plasma raising donor rewards 200% is a positive catalyst for PAYS.", "resolved_tickers": ["PAYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CSL plasma increasing rewards for first time donors 10% to $1100/month.CSL has increased rewards by almost 200% since last year to incent new plasma donors! Should bode well for $PAYS.\n\nhttps://t.co/8BH3zONTWj https://t.co/zEyxQKEf9R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027450954726180976, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027450954726180976, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030908628364942792, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030908628364942792, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034576736387618157, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034576736387618157, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05098043798896268, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05098043798896268, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050126655483715865, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.050126655483715865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000853782505246814, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000853782505246814, "ret_p1w": -0.10196078248044149, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10196078248044149, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09927145766497791, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09927145766497791, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026893248154635785, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026893248154635785, "ret_p1m": -0.3098039124022075, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3098039124022075, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.289015465530421, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.289015465530421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020788446871786492, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020788446871786492, "ret_p3m": -0.11372547736309047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11372547736309047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0932929695214495, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0932929695214495, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.020432507841640968, "bench_c_p3m": -0.020432507841640968, "ret_p6m": -0.26666665108375276, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26666665108375276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15717164313384724, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15717164313384724, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.10949500794990552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10949500794990552, "price_path": [-0.0275, -0.0353, 0.0667, 0.0431, 0.0275, -0.0157, -0.0314, -0.0039, -0.0039, 0.0118, 0.0235, -0.0196, 0.0, -0.0118, -0.0275, -0.0235, -0.0235, -0.0196, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0314, -0.0745, 0.1529, 0.302, 0.1608, 0.0706, 0.1059, 0.1686, 0.1333, 0.1059, 0.0941, 0.0745, 0.1137, 0.1294, 0.1333, 0.0471, 0.0706, 0.0588, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0353, 0.0549, 0.0275, -0.0078, -0.0196, 0.0157, 0.0196, 0.0353, -0.0157, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0078, 0.0118, 0.0078, -0.0039, -0.0275, -0.0078, -0.0118, 0.0784, 0.0588, 0.0863, 0.0275, 0.0, 0.051, 0.0745, -0.0431, -0.1294, -0.102, -0.1333, -0.149, -0.2, -0.2235, -0.2314, -0.2431, -0.2784, -0.2118, -0.2118, -0.2314, -0.2745, -0.2902, -0.3137, -0.298, -0.3216, -0.3098, -0.2784, -0.2588, -0.2941, -0.3216, -0.3412, -0.3882, -0.3804, -0.4235, -0.4118, -0.4157, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.4275, -0.4118, -0.3725, -0.3373, -0.3725, -0.2667, -0.2706, -0.2941, -0.2745, -0.2902, -0.2784, -0.2431, -0.1961, -0.2353, -0.2392, -0.2392, -0.2627, -0.2941, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2157, -0.1725, -0.1176, -0.1922, -0.1686, -0.1294, -0.098, -0.1137, -0.1176, -0.0706, -0.0471, -0.0784, -0.0667, -0.0863, -0.1098, -0.1137, -0.0627, -0.0471, -0.0784, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.1451, -0.1765, -0.1255, -0.1333, -0.149, -0.1765, -0.1569, -0.1843, -0.2039, -0.2157, -0.1608, -0.1451, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.1804, -0.1529, -0.1294, -0.1098, -0.0745, -0.102, -0.0196, -0.1608, -0.2471, -0.251, -0.2549, -0.1922, -0.2157, -0.2275, -0.2275, -0.2, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2627, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.3098, -0.2902, -0.2627, -0.2941, -0.3333, -0.2431, -0.2549, -0.2824, -0.2706, -0.2667, -0.2667]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1734229222393028640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-11T15:10:41+00:00", "symbol": "GIL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this could be a positive as we view the CEO as more a promotor that has made a series of missteps", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the CEO departure despite stock's -12% reaction; sees founder's exit as a positive catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["GIL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Apparel Manufacturing'", "bench_c_industry": "Apparel Manufacturing", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GIL CEO/founder abruptly handed his walking papers. Stock is reacting negatively (-12%) but this could be a positive as we view the CEO as more a promotor that has made a series of missteps. We covered Gildan earlier this year and assigned it a neutral rating.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12093295354410794, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12093295354410794, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12480747659742808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12358211356096227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038745230533201447, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002649160016854335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04174315969299225, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04174315969299225, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037175893480349, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038633619424656596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004567266212643251, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031095402683356532, "ret_p1w": 0.036832286011942994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036832286011942994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01108800112596997, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0015898189861520695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025744284885973023, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038422104998095064, "ret_p1m": -0.03499083061556196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03499083061556196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06488612246999281, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04404853396938546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02989529185443085, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057703353823499, "ret_p3m": 0.055862532696070444, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.055862532696070444, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06298690985183963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0117869546214735, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11884944254791008, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044075578074596944, "ret_p6m": 0.15316618484056232, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15316618484056232, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0012351045047089837, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13520381958050454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15193108033585334, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01796236526005779, "price_path": [-0.1352, -0.1404, -0.1337, -0.1401, -0.1481, -0.1462, -0.1652, -0.1679, -0.1551, -0.171, -0.1554, -0.153, -0.1447, -0.153, -0.1527, -0.1423, -0.145, -0.1374, -0.1298, -0.1191, -0.0983, -0.1178, -0.1065, -0.105, -0.0873, -0.1004, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1258, -0.1246, -0.1346, -0.1438, -0.167, -0.1426, -0.1325, -0.1469, -0.0125, 0.015, 0.026, 0.0183, 0.0199, 0.0196, 0.0348, 0.0406, 0.0663, 0.0843, 0.0767, 0.091, 0.0986, 0.0942, 0.0918, 0.0918, 0.1019, 0.1022, 0.097, 0.0985, 0.1114, 0.14, 0.1443, 0.1363, 0.1357, 0.1421, 0.1209, 0.0, 0.0417, 0.0322, 0.015, 0.0583, 0.0368, 0.0589, 0.0175, 0.0187, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0123, 0.0101, 0.0178, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0052, -0.0052, -0.0135, -0.0236, -0.0331, -0.035, -0.0344, -0.0316, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0298, -0.0144, -0.0147, -0.0055, -0.0107, -0.0132, 0.0006, 0.0239, 0.0279, 0.0405, 0.0132, 0.0399, 0.0341, 0.019, 0.0316, 0.0393, 0.0414, 0.0506, 0.0632, 0.0322, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0396, 0.0792, 0.0902, 0.0884, 0.0718, 0.0657, 0.0715, 0.0691, 0.0623, 0.0592, 0.0482, 0.0537, 0.0559, 0.0457, 0.0399, 0.0468, 0.0845, 0.0641, 0.0552, 0.0438, 0.1494, 0.1688, 0.1599, 0.1559, 0.1546, 0.1321, 0.1305, 0.1466, 0.1466, 0.1457, 0.129, 0.1361, 0.1126, 0.1173, 0.1256, 0.1426, 0.133, 0.1185, 0.099, 0.091, 0.1108, 0.0873, 0.0845, 0.087, 0.0774, 0.1031, 0.1006, 0.083, 0.0901, 0.0941, 0.0703, 0.0682, 0.0354, 0.0221, 0.0215, 0.0079, 0.0259, 0.0079, 0.0373, 0.0499, 0.0672, 0.0848, 0.0984, 0.0926, 0.1055, 0.1108, 0.1069, 0.1041, 0.1684, 0.1684, 0.155, 0.1218, 0.1591, 0.1886, 0.1699, 0.1532]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1283564728007057408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-07-16T00:50:53+00:00", "symbol": "FC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe @franklincovey has roughly 100% upside from today's price", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long FranklinCovey with ~100% upside on brand strength, competitive pricing, and multi-modal offerings.", "resolved_tickers": ["FC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Education & Training Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We believe @franklincovey has roughly 100% upside from today's price. The combination of a relevant brand,  extremely competitive pricing , and offerings in a convenient range of modalities should provide a bed rock for growth. Check out our valuation at https://t.co/XK1HjMCUzp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0351161323875111, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0351161323875111, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03181194646368524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03181194646368524, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003304185923825864, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003304185923825864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02971372974652875, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02971372974652875, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03261256867570783, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03261256867570783, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028988389291790817, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028988389291790817, "ret_p1w": 0.0032414621934344634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0032414621934344634, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0035229074554108397, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0035229074554108397, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006764369648845303, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006764369648845303, "ret_p1m": 0.1307401429697408, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1307401429697408, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.080707918192777, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.080707918192777, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.050032224776963785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050032224776963785, "ret_p3m": 0.0037817230663776957, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0037817230663776957, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09204883900482796, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09204883900482796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09583056207120566, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09583056207120566, "ret_p6m": 0.3544029921569949, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3544029921569949, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1560557033400487, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1560557033400487, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1983472888169462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1983472888169462, "price_path": [-0.0351, -0.0827, -0.0319, -0.0281, 0.0124, 0.0729, 0.0497, 0.1534, 0.121, 0.0648, 0.0891, 0.0962, 0.0697, 0.0735, 0.1194, 0.1118, 0.0756, 0.034, 0.0324, 0.0205, 0.0643, 0.0249, 0.0713, 0.0967, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0886, 0.1907, 0.127, 0.1507, 0.121, 0.0978, 0.175, 0.201, 0.322, 0.383, 0.3117, 0.2885, 0.1599, 0.2134, 0.1988, 0.235, 0.2588, 0.2663, 0.2021, 0.2026, 0.1815, 0.1437, 0.1556, 0.1183, 0.1345, 0.1561, 0.1561, 0.1761, 0.1761, 0.1502, 0.0891, 0.0956, 0.0362, 0.0049, -0.0405, 0.0184, 0.0351, 0.0, -0.0297, -0.04, -0.0092, -0.0065, 0.0032, -0.0097, -0.0151, -0.0167, 0.0194, -0.0092, -0.0227, -0.0189, 0.0216, 0.0475, 0.0692, 0.0929, 0.1194, 0.1442, 0.1464, 0.1318, 0.1307, 0.1102, 0.0859, 0.0881, 0.0843, 0.0665, 0.0746, 0.0918, 0.0859, 0.1086, 0.1032, 0.0665, 0.0632, 0.081, 0.0508, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0459, 0.0335, 0.0038, 0.0011, -0.0032, 0.0108, 0.0238, -0.0081, -0.0135, -0.0513, -0.0502, -0.074, -0.0643, -0.0551, -0.0249, -0.0297, -0.0416, -0.06, -0.0681, -0.054, -0.0351, -0.0097, -0.0184, 0.0038, 0.0, 0.0038, -0.0065, -0.0103, 0.0043, -0.0281, -0.0324, -0.0319, -0.0054, -0.0103, -0.0465, -0.0708, -0.1053, -0.0719, -0.0859, -0.0951, -0.0438, -0.0303, 0.0184, 0.1286, 0.2907, 0.3258, 0.2717, 0.2626, 0.2328, 0.2685, 0.2193, 0.2123, 0.1912, 0.1853, 0.1875, 0.228, 0.2253, 0.2253, 0.2139, 0.1869, 0.242, 0.2015, 0.1977, 0.2215, 0.2042, 0.255, 0.2366, 0.2626, 0.2663, 0.2782, 0.2961, 0.2701, 0.2723, 0.2777, 0.2361, 0.2048, 0.2193, 0.2021, 0.2021, 0.2118, 0.2004, 0.2118, 0.2031, 0.2031, 0.2107, 0.2545, 0.2923, 0.3355, 0.3544]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1686404684876001280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-01T15:53:03+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We suspect they will crush earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish RELY into earnings tomorrow; expects a crush despite stock not reacting to peers' strong comps.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We don't usually consider earnings plays but despite recent great comps in the remittance market-- $WU and $EEFT-- Remitly stock ( $RELY) hasn't responded. We suspect they will crush earnings. They report after close tomorrow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019827116834557623, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019827116834557623, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022696940214654626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022696940214654626, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002869823380097003, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002869823380097003, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07117435755465684, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07117435755465684, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05726358399183362, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05726358399183362, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01391077356282322, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01391077356282322, "ret_p1w": 0.16980173561937195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16980173561937195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18673564544606336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18673564544606336, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016933909826691407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016933909826691407, "ret_p1m": 0.26232841013716524, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26232841013716524, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2743113174464106, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2743113174464106, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011982907309245339, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011982907309245339, "ret_p3m": 0.3126588507715453, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3126588507715453, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4098182433590508, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4098182433590508, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0971593925875055, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0971593925875055, "ret_p6m": -0.16827653549079313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16827653549079313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23968628517965107, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23968628517965107, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07140974968885794, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07140974968885794, "price_path": [-0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0757, -0.0808, -0.0737, -0.0803, -0.0661, -0.0341, -0.0585, -0.0381, -0.0341, -0.0427, -0.0468, -0.0666, -0.0956, -0.1103, -0.1312, -0.1312, -0.1164, -0.0676, -0.0569, -0.0244, -0.0041, 0.0163, 0.0036, -0.0127, -0.0239, 0.0137, 0.0168, -0.0275, -0.0254, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0554, -0.0635, -0.0407, -0.0829, -0.0605, -0.0493, -0.0402, -0.0432, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.0529, -0.0819, -0.0778, -0.059, -0.0371, -0.0285, 0.0142, -0.0112, -0.0015, -0.0025, -0.0376, -0.0508, -0.0285, 0.0244, -0.0051, -0.0097, -0.0666, -0.0463, -0.0198, 0.0, -0.0712, 0.12, 0.1332, 0.1179, 0.1698, 0.1423, 0.1408, 0.2095, 0.1749, 0.1835, 0.1718, 0.1754, 0.2196, 0.243, 0.2659, 0.2654, 0.244, 0.2659, 0.2562, 0.2623, 0.2623, 0.2786, 0.2903, 0.2903, 0.2954, 0.27, 0.2761, 0.2811, 0.2872, 0.2908, 0.2715, 0.2837, 0.3218, 0.3213, 0.335, 0.2852, 0.2639, 0.2537, 0.2527, 0.2262, 0.2572, 0.2903, 0.2822, 0.2791, 0.2471, 0.2639, 0.3152, 0.3543, 0.3442, 0.3142, 0.2959, 0.2949, 0.333, 0.3645, 0.3798, 0.3701, 0.3716, 0.3345, 0.3569, 0.3813, 0.3376, 0.3025, 0.3127, 0.3274, 0.3691, 0.4026, -0.0442, -0.0341, 0.0041, 0.0564, 0.0519, 0.0361, 0.0829, 0.0559, 0.1215, 0.1347, 0.1073, 0.1225, 0.1047, 0.0966, 0.1012, 0.1012, 0.1342, 0.1108, 0.0976, 0.0813, 0.0951, 0.0641, 0.0717, 0.0269, -0.0005, -0.0336, -0.0203, -0.0071, -0.0097, 0.0056, -0.0269, -0.0915, -0.0747, -0.0544, -0.0829, -0.0468, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0341, -0.0178, -0.0107, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0341, -0.0473, -0.0478, -0.0544, -0.0422, -0.0646, -0.0707, -0.0763, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0915, -0.1662, -0.1784, -0.1774, -0.1612, -0.1784, -0.1683]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1717539076797075656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-26T13:50:00+00:00", "symbol": "TOM.OL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another ESG darling coming back down to reality", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish Tomra Systems; framing it as an ESG darling declining back to reality.", "resolved_tickers": ["TOM.OL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Waste Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Waste Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another ESG darling coming back down to reality (Tomra Systems)\n#ESG $TOM.OL https://t.co/ImSXOHSdoX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03923880028023896, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03923880028023896, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05135861510790052, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04345259325354156, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012119814827661557, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004213792973302599, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01033821727368256, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033821727368256, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014870832189993854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019176901005923397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004532614916311295, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008838683732240837, "ret_p1w": 0.08341158358645173, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08341158358645173, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03927132314883375, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048365538031546196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.044140260437617984, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035046045554905536, "ret_p1m": 0.19125936238507513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19125936238507513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08763555232813736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0983510188081893, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10362381005693777, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09290834357688582, "ret_p3m": 0.22885331423090038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22885331423090038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04881244956927788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05876579448942176, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1800408646616225, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17008751974147862, "ret_p6m": 0.7575186779137115, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7575186779137115, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5486655022938864, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5087676700978105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20885317561982508, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24875100781590098, "price_path": [0.8339, 0.8304, 0.7857, 0.808, 0.7916, 0.7887, 0.8004, 0.8145, 0.8227, 0.7975, 0.7857, 0.7704, 0.7687, 0.7305, 0.707, 0.6841, 0.6359, 0.6218, 0.6248, 0.6195, 0.6582, 0.69, 0.7287, 0.717, 0.6718, 0.6571, 0.6377, 0.6212, 0.5836, 0.5772, 0.5813, 0.5543, 0.5355, 0.5372, 0.6013, 0.566, 0.5437, 0.5648, 0.5249, 0.5361, 0.4891, 0.4656, 0.4521, 0.4438, 0.435, 0.3781, 0.3176, 0.3528, 0.3645, 0.4198, 0.4098, 0.4215, 0.4086, 0.3904, 0.3111, 0.3129, 0.2829, 0.2711, 0.2976, 0.0045, -0.0087, 0.0021, -0.0392, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0012, 0.0374, 0.0247, 0.0834, 0.086, 0.0811, 0.0684, 0.1393, 0.132, 0.1245, 0.1224, 0.2001, 0.2224, 0.1824, 0.1807, 0.2336, 0.1877, 0.1936, 0.1842, 0.1913, 0.2171, 0.1883, 0.2159, 0.2488, 0.2923, 0.3346, 0.3275, 0.3886, 0.3851, 0.398, 0.4115, 0.3504, 0.354, 0.4297, 0.435, 0.4656, 0.4368, 0.4368, 0.4145, 0.3974, 0.3974, 0.3974, 0.4115, 0.438, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.3804, 0.2952, 0.3534, 0.3575, 0.3534, 0.3452, 0.3469, 0.3493, 0.327, 0.3017, 0.3252, 0.2647, 0.2453, 0.1783, 0.233, 0.2289, 0.2529, 0.2412, 0.2741, 0.2758, 0.2377, 0.2512, 0.2412, 0.2177, 0.1889, 0.183, 0.1995, 0.2106, 0.2189, 0.2071, 0.1405, 0.1706, 0.5325, 0.5543, 0.6306, 0.6136, 0.6929, 0.6982, 0.717, 0.7058, 0.7052, 0.6964, 0.66, 0.556, 0.5208, 0.707, 0.6054, 0.7417, 0.7704, 0.7152, 0.8239, 0.885, 0.8727, 0.8744, 0.821, 0.8339, 0.8198, 0.8897, 0.9831, 0.9684, 1.0031, 0.9919, 0.9919, 0.9919, 0.9919, 0.9314, 0.8362, 0.8456, 0.8492, 0.8127, 0.7422, 0.7434, 0.7399, 0.7375, 0.7434, 0.734, 0.7293, 0.7094, 0.7575]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1646218526108315649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-12T18:27:36+00:00", "symbol": "MED", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are not confident cash flows will stay healthy. we do not believe in MLM as a reliable distribution mechanism. Recent price increases won't help as this is a price elastic category", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish MED: doubts on cash flow health, MLM distribution unreliable, price hikes backfire in elastic category.", "resolved_tickers": ["MED"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Personal Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Although valuation is tempting  for $med, we are not  confident cash flows will stay healthy. While they fit the health and wellness trend nicely, we do not believe in MLM as a reliable distribution mechanism. Recent price increases won't help as this is a price elastic category", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0218647544388344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0218647544388344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01777202868161476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01777202868161476, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00409272575721964, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00409272575721964, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01412955909951319, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01412955909951319, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008468722208956336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0008468722208956336, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013282686878617556, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013282686878617556, "ret_p1w": -0.002165857968924212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002165857968924212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017090500318816093, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017090500318816093, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014924642349891881, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014924642349891881, "ret_p1m": -0.0944719057643072, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0944719057643072, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10447083713706584, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10447083713706584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009998931372758646, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009998931372758646, "ret_p3m": -0.019945504060431274, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.019945504060431274, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10141399218603975, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10141399218603975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08146848812560847, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08146848812560847, "ret_p6m": -0.22308099721136165, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22308099721136165, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2709423632278496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2709423632278496, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04786136601648794, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04786136601648794, "price_path": [0.2814, 0.2814, 0.187, 0.182, 0.1818, 0.1986, 0.2134, 0.1494, 0.1638, 0.1637, 0.158, 0.1005, 0.13, 0.166, 0.1792, 0.1745, 0.1364, 0.1657, 0.1345, 0.1097, 0.0851, 0.1215, 0.1348, 0.1691, 0.1467, 0.1691, 0.1691, 0.069, 0.0432, 0.1013, 0.1152, 0.1328, 0.1369, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.134, 0.0717, 0.0807, 0.0882, 0.1145, 0.0843, 0.0627, 0.0833, 0.0444, 0.0591, 0.0418, 0.0262, 0.0445, 0.0148, -0.0097, -0.0128, 0.0221, 0.0013, 0.011, 0.0174, 0.0692, 0.057, 0.0291, -0.0059, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0153, 0.0219, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.0116, 0.0041, -0.0005, -0.0022, -0.0027, -0.0059, -0.0295, -0.0637, -0.0595, -0.0729, -0.0548, -0.0659, -0.0908, -0.1213, -0.0912, -0.0618, -0.0753, -0.0976, -0.1029, -0.0945, -0.0832, -0.0572, -0.0732, -0.0685, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.0741, -0.0968, -0.1298, -0.1467, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1654, -0.1883, -0.1823, -0.1379, -0.1757, -0.1557, -0.1446, -0.1544, -0.18, -0.1774, -0.1557, -0.1705, -0.174, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1462, -0.1241, -0.0926, -0.0895, -0.0532, -0.0227, -0.0623, -0.0378, -0.0314, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.0066, -0.0196, -0.0318, -0.0199, -0.0191, -0.0363, -0.0265, -0.0394, -0.0107, 0.0002, -0.0104, -0.0068, -0.014, 0.0288, 0.0421, 0.1035, 0.1066, 0.1252, 0.0709, 0.0503, 0.0641, 0.0546, 0.0382, 0.0099, -0.0602, -0.0253, -0.039, -0.013, -0.0281, -0.0584, -0.0993, -0.1127, -0.1145, -0.1029, -0.1082, -0.113, -0.1135, -0.1156, -0.107, -0.1067, -0.0977, -0.1136, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.1292, -0.1541, -0.1648, -0.1464, -0.1296, -0.1388, -0.1479, -0.1323, -0.1466, -0.1374, -0.1321, -0.1193, -0.1458, -0.1684, -0.1658, -0.176, -0.178, -0.1798, -0.197, -0.1878, -0.2022, -0.212, -0.2231]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1764374858723455393", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-03T19:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We see significant potential upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Doc Martens; sees significant potential upside per new write-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "New write-up on $DOCS (Doc Martens). We see significant potential upside.\n\nI will be discussing tomorrow on Woodstock III with host @evfcfaddict along with @augustusville, @Symmetry_Invest, @SharogradskyM, @diegobmilano, @ToffCap \nhttps://t.co/m46FNKpXQL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02025846806523357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02025846806523357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021331952736768578, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021331952736768578, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0010734846715350077, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0010734846715350077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031086252732695052, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031086252732695052, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021091974556568638, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021091974556568638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009994278176126414, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009994278176126414, "ret_p1w": -0.032483354002384335, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032483354002384335, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030492222951806536, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030492222951806536, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001991131050577799, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001991131050577799, "ret_p1m": -0.09884736313873776, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09884736313873776, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11475988509443125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11475988509443125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01591252195569348, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01591252195569348, "ret_p3m": -0.030736960760114784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030736960760114784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05403117415256131, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05403117415256131, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.023294213392446528, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023294213392446528, "ret_p6m": 0.2832693941819535, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2832693941819535, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18016185865988188, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18016185865988188, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310753552207164, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10310753552207164, "price_path": [-0.1544, -0.1572, -0.1439, -0.1607, -0.1579, -0.1387, -0.0744, -0.072, -0.0604, -0.0461, -0.0499, -0.0203, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.0136, -0.0122, -0.0073, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0024, -0.0458, -0.022, -0.0185, -0.0122, -0.0038, -0.0049, 0.0241, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0238, 0.029, 0.0496, 0.066, 0.1023, 0.0981, 0.0381, 0.0395, 0.0143, 0.0189, -0.0475, -0.0587, -0.0395, -0.0398, -0.0482, -0.0412, -0.043, -0.0136, -0.0014, 0.0639, 0.0136, 0.0269, 0.0597, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0269, 0.0136, 0.0133, -0.0119, -0.0224, 0.001, -0.0241, -0.014, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.0311, -0.0182, 0.0021, -0.0251, -0.0325, -0.0339, -0.0255, -0.0272, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.0052, -0.0049, -0.0213, -0.0346, -0.0601, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0775, -0.0988, -0.1023, -0.1058, -0.0985, -0.0995, -0.0772, -0.0971, -0.0772, -0.0964, -0.1121, -0.1247, -0.1202, -0.1331, -0.1397, -0.1341, -0.1415, -0.1649, -0.176, -0.168, -0.1523, -0.1516, -0.1614, -0.1505, -0.1586, -0.1408, -0.1488, -0.1659, -0.1701, -0.1837, -0.197, -0.1788, -0.167, -0.1708, -0.021, 0.0115, -0.0164, -0.021, -0.0426, -0.0279, -0.0279, 0.0024, -0.0038, -0.0307, -0.0314, -0.0346, -0.0321, -0.0049, 0.0199, 0.0293, 0.0325, 0.0433, 0.0356, 0.0339, 0.043, -0.0192, -0.0374, -0.0374, -0.0517, -0.0388, -0.0381, -0.0318, -0.0335, -0.0279, -0.0231, -0.0405, -0.0583, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0395, -0.0506, -0.044, -0.0699, -0.0538, -0.0395, -0.0059, 0.0251, 0.0126, -0.0363, -0.0143, 0.0052, -0.014, -0.0262, -0.0213, -0.0164, -0.0136, 0.001, -0.022, -0.0433, -0.0573, -0.0922, -0.0831, -0.1093, -0.1037, 0.2435, 0.2207, 0.2428, 0.2396, 0.2214, 0.2487, 0.2585, 0.2655, 0.2724, 0.2665, 0.2752, 0.2798, 0.2833]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1851738594731528612", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-10-30T21:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "39% y/y revenue growth with an exceedingly long runway. GAAP earnings profitability reached. should throw cold water on the 'business-doesn't-scale' crew.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RELY after Q3 beat: GAAP profitability reached, 39% y/y growth, long runway refutes scaling concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY Q3 earnings: beat, beat\n\nwell received by market (finally). Up 18% AH.\n\nGAAP earnings profitability reached. should throw cold water on the \"business-doesn't-scale\" crew.\n\n39% y/y revenue growth with an exceedingly long runway", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I highly encourage any experienced investors following us to consider $RELY for their portfolio.\n\nWe believe the valuation is currently very attractive. \n\nWe have added multiple times since this initiation report (the price has continued to move against us for what we believe are", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022935804470520127, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022935804470520127, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02597021560109325, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02597021560109325, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030344111305731225, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030344111305731225, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.178243726904177, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.178243726904177, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1978469997149621, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1978469997149621, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01960327281078511, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01960327281078511, "ret_p1w": 0.2929226242666989, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2929226242666989, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27390581717675144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.27390581717675144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019016807089947463, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019016807089947463, "ret_p1m": 0.36500652760687124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36500652760687124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.33255885213204284, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33255885213204284, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03244767547482841, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03244767547482841, "ret_p3m": 0.5176932830956542, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5176932830956542, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4808366708044467, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4808366708044467, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03685661229120751, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03685661229120751, "ret_p6m": 0.30930532388991616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30930532388991616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36073542188914154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36073542188914154, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05143009799922538, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05143009799922538, "price_path": [-0.1206, -0.1376, -0.1553, -0.1311, -0.1042, -0.1081, -0.1225, -0.0852, -0.0924, -0.076, -0.0511, -0.0446, -0.0662, -0.0675, -0.097, -0.097, -0.1088, -0.1173, -0.1212, -0.099, -0.1055, -0.1055, -0.1193, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1193, -0.1016, -0.1075, -0.0976, -0.0524, -0.0465, -0.0524, -0.0649, -0.0682, -0.0662, -0.074, -0.0826, -0.097, -0.0996, -0.0957, -0.1055, -0.1225, -0.1225, -0.1481, -0.1553, -0.1311, -0.1488, -0.1566, -0.1592, -0.1684, -0.1343, -0.1114, -0.0878, -0.0813, -0.055, -0.0177, -0.0347, -0.0491, -0.0557, -0.0511, -0.0321, -0.0072, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.1782, 0.1763, 0.2405, 0.2687, 0.2929, 0.2759, 0.2779, 0.2929, 0.2837, 0.327, 0.2995, 0.287, 0.2949, 0.3087, 0.3408, 0.3552, 0.3788, 0.3447, 0.3637, 0.365, 0.365, 0.3473, 0.3598, 0.3512, 0.3748, 0.363, 0.3827, 0.3775, 0.3722, 0.4233, 0.3997, 0.3591, 0.4233, 0.4233, 0.401, 0.4161, 0.4817, 0.4699, 0.4836, 0.4836, 0.5118, 0.4941, 0.4875, 0.479, 0.479, 0.4679, 0.5066, 0.5183, 0.521, 0.5157, 0.5157, 0.4738, 0.4797, 0.4679, 0.5072, 0.5151, 0.5242, 0.5242, 0.5164, 0.5151, 0.5433, 0.5085, 0.5177, 0.54, 0.559, 0.555, 0.54, 0.5623, 0.5865, 0.6651, 0.6723, 0.6645, 0.6841, 0.6527, 0.6415, 0.7163, 0.7785, 0.7785, 0.7346, 0.6979, 0.69, 0.5636, 0.6199, 0.5747, 0.5623, 0.5505, 0.5727, 0.5282, 0.5072, 0.4561, 0.4155, 0.382, 0.3159, 0.3421, 0.2942, 0.2955, 0.3041, 0.2792, 0.2772, 0.3283, 0.3486, 0.3322, 0.3735, 0.3775, 0.3971, 0.3886, 0.3716, 0.363, 0.3722, 0.401, 0.3191, 0.2228, 0.2326, 0.2221, 0.3342, 0.3113, 0.3375, 0.3362, 0.3231, 0.3001, 0.306, 0.306, 0.2516, 0.268, 0.2864, 0.3093]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1723008428136620296", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-10T16:03:15+00:00", "symbol": "Thry", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think they are very promotional", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on THRY: promotional sales culture, questionable product-market fit, and puzzling international expansion despite large domestic TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["THRY"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Thryv Holdings Inc, Nasdaq-listed THRY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can’t speak for $HUBS valuation I haven’t done the work. But there is substantial anecdotal evidence that people love the product. With $Thry not so much imo, I think they are very promotional. Also, if the opportunity set was so large in the U.S., as the CEO stated, why look to expand in Australia?\n\n---\n\nWe published this on 5/24/2023: “PASS. THRY owns online business directories like yp..com (formerly known as the Yellow Pages) that are heavily cash flow generative but deteriorating quickly. THRY has seen success upselling small businesses on its all-in-one SAAS solution Thryv: payments, reviews, task automation, payroll etc. all in one place. Subscriber growth has been trending at double digits per annum but online reviews seem to indicate a heavily promotional sales team. Disaggregating their subscriber base from the different tiers in their offering has also proven difficult. They have begun to expand internationally and it is curious with such a massive TAM domestically (400k+ small businesses in U.S.) why management would divert resources to expanding elsewhere. Even still, if we had spoken to long time SAAS users that loved the product we might have reconsidered this but still haven’t come across them. Ultimately, we cannot fully get behind the product-market fit and are passing”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027685493620467794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027685493620467794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04305054635374095, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04305054635374095, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015365052733273155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015365052733273155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008305626963784896, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008305626963784896, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009258859612217507, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009258859612217507, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0009532326484326115, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009532326484326115, "ret_p1w": 0.04485057570563722, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04485057570563722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02174625996983126, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02174625996983126, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023104315735805958, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023104315735805958, "ret_p1m": 0.08028797374406738, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08028797374406738, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031764358905793655, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031764358905793655, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04852361483827372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04852361483827372, "ret_p3m": 0.14341086540296533, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14341086540296533, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.008349232195312473, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008349232195312473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13506163320765285, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13506163320765285, "ret_p6m": 0.16666668426862952, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16666668426862952, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01414154125735445, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.01414154125735445, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18080822552598397, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18080822552598397, "price_path": [0.3007, 0.3184, 0.2901, 0.2946, 0.2702, 0.2364, 0.2309, 0.2137, 0.1689, 0.1689, 0.1567, 0.1434, 0.129, 0.129, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.077, 0.0731, 0.077, 0.0515, 0.0316, 0.0615, 0.0952, 0.0897, 0.0615, 0.0476, 0.0482, 0.0216, 0.0177, 0.0144, 0.0055, 0.0066, 0.0404, 0.0393, 0.0166, 0.0332, 0.0493, 0.0753, 0.113, 0.0764, 0.0543, 0.0725, 0.0493, 0.0194, 0.0454, 0.0415, 0.0028, -0.015, -0.0183, -0.0255, -0.005, 0.0238, -0.0033, -0.046, -0.0554, -0.0349, -0.0842, -0.0393, 0.026, 0.0277, 0.0377, 0.0437, 0.0277, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.0316, 0.0443, 0.0432, 0.0449, 0.0532, 0.0233, 0.0133, 0.0133, 0.0233, 0.0072, -0.0138, -0.0094, -0.015, 0.0299, 0.0692, 0.0487, 0.031, 0.0327, 0.062, 0.0803, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0925, 0.0903, 0.1002, 0.1096, 0.1118, 0.1384, 0.1406, 0.1406, 0.155, 0.1357, 0.1368, 0.1268, 0.1268, 0.1268, 0.0869, 0.0664, 0.0094, 0.0388, 0.015, 0.0587, 0.036, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0127, 0.0133, 0.01, 0.0515, 0.093, 0.0997, 0.1318, 0.1512, 0.1717, 0.196, 0.1672, 0.1318, 0.1694, 0.1484, 0.1323, 0.16, 0.1434, 0.1838, 0.1899, 0.2043, 0.1213, 0.1849, 0.211, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1855, 0.1711, 0.0615, 0.1019, 0.0786, 0.1274, 0.134, 0.1595, 0.206, 0.2126, 0.1772, 0.1633, 0.2027, 0.2071, 0.2182, 0.237, 0.2215, 0.2126, 0.2254, 0.2126, 0.2209, 0.2265, 0.2159, 0.2254, 0.2065, 0.1844, 0.2143, 0.2309, 0.2309, 0.2492, 0.2065, 0.2076, 0.2032, 0.2099, 0.2326, 0.2996, 0.2586, 0.2647, 0.237, 0.2054, 0.2265, 0.2076, 0.2076, 0.2309, 0.2226, 0.3056, 0.268, 0.2669, 0.2652, 0.2957, 0.2741, 0.3112, 0.3383, 0.1902, 0.1667]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1796616486385250755", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-31T18:55:24+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DTC stability gives us confidence that the brand health is intact and we look forward to the second half of FY 2025 when the cost efforts will reach fruition and DTC & wholesale will begin to comp positive", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long Dr. Martens: DTC stability confirms brand health, cost savings and wholesale recovery expected to drive positive comps in H2 FY2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DOCS.L Dr. Martens releases FY 24 results\n\nLargely as expected, revenue declined yoy by 12.3% (this was actually slightly better than we anticipated).\n\nEBITDA down ~20% due to deleveraging effects.\n\nThe below chart beautifully explains the revenue decline. \n\nWholesale, primarily U.S., explains over 100% of the yoy rev decline. DTC largely doing well in what is a tough macro environment for boots.\n\nThe wholesale malaise has likely reached bottom and DOCS has plans to help their wholesale accounts and DTC grow. (mainly by increasing marketing spend by 1% of revenue and focusing more on products than brand story).\n\nThe new CFO, Giles Wilson, announced cost saving reductions of £20- £25mm that the market seemed to like. Cost reductions will be across the board - mainly support costs and supply chain.\n\nAll in all, we think DOCS is getting better (or less worse) at communicating expectations with the street.\n\nDTC stability gives us confidence that the brand health is intact and we look forward to the second half of FY 2025 when the cost efforts will reach fruition and DTC & wholesale will begin to comp positive.\n\nWe are happy with our add on April 16 as the stock has recovered meaningfully since.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03890159203699384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03890159203699384, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02987542828995693, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03333246440256987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009026163747036908, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005569127634423965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0005721002183326496, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005721002183326496, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013872610721176182, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00011747035634579461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0008151608537849686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00045462986198685496, "ret_p1w": -0.02345532285973595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02345532285973595, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03604585924055692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03305933460675081, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012590536380820971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009604011747014862, "ret_p1m": -0.15217385418152418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15217385418152418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18958447367887732, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1944749761015082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03741061949735314, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04230112191998403, "ret_p3m": -0.16247130873733284, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16247130873733284, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2245359205489852, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2110369938467236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06206461181165235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048565685109390744, "ret_p6m": -0.31398039119950893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31398039119950893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45415972421630957, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5713515054853089, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14017933301680063, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25737111428579995, "price_path": [0.0406, 0.0332, 0.04, 0.0343, 0.0509, 0.0469, 0.032, 0.0366, 0.024, 0.0297, 0.028, -0.0097, -0.004, -0.0069, 0.0069, -0.0223, 0.016, 0.004, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0303, 0.0618, 0.1098, 0.0641, 0.0984, 0.091, 0.0881, 0.0978, 0.0755, 0.0864, -0.2334, -0.2334, -0.2008, -0.23, -0.1751, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.1836, -0.1682, -0.127, -0.1304, -0.1207, -0.0995, -0.0744, -0.0744, -0.1098, -0.0984, -0.103, -0.0932, -0.1093, -0.0892, -0.0784, -0.0521, -0.0275, -0.0229, -0.008, -0.0177, -0.0229, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0257, -0.04, -0.0389, 0.0, -0.0006, -0.0389, -0.0395, -0.0183, -0.0235, -0.0212, -0.0458, -0.0269, -0.0378, -0.0812, -0.0721, -0.0761, -0.0727, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.0818, -0.1058, -0.1133, -0.1196, -0.1453, -0.1522, -0.1733, -0.1556, -0.1562, -0.1465, -0.139, -0.1665, -0.1573, -0.1436, -0.1247, -0.1487, -0.1682, -0.1831, -0.1505, -0.1728, -0.1808, -0.1871, -0.2071, -0.2134, -0.1802, -0.1854, -0.1779, -0.1876, -0.2031, -0.218, -0.234, -0.2294, -0.2128, -0.226, -0.1997, -0.2237, -0.2105, -0.1997, -0.1928, -0.1934, -0.1739, -0.1831, -0.1539, -0.143, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1625, -0.1824, -0.1767, -0.1984, -0.207, -0.2264, -0.2304, -0.2276, -0.2299, -0.2476, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.2676, -0.2688, -0.2665, -0.2751, -0.2665, -0.409, -0.4215, -0.3866, -0.3718, -0.3701, -0.3523, -0.3557, -0.3638, -0.3752, -0.358, -0.3529, -0.3495, -0.3643, -0.3649, -0.3678, -0.3695, -0.3649, -0.3695, -0.3678, -0.3752, -0.3678, -0.3786, -0.3706, -0.3723, -0.3746, -0.3483, -0.358, -0.3529, -0.3683, -0.3741, -0.3609, -0.35, -0.3557, -0.3701, -0.3517, -0.358, -0.3517, -0.3792, -0.3781, -0.3397, -0.3352, -0.33, -0.3397, -0.3609, -0.3809, -0.3546, -0.314]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1781012128310399175", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-18T17:29:15+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have added to our position. We believe the challenges DOCS faces are category challenges that are compounded by operational issues that are temporary in nature. We think the brand is not impaired and still healthy. This could mark DOCS taking its last bath.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Added to DOCS.L long; challenges are temporary/category-level, brand intact, this may be the last washout before recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DOCS.L stock price getting hammered. Not a lot of bulls left in the rodeo.\n\nWe have added to our position.\n\nWe believe the challenges DOCS faces are category challenges that are compounded by operational issues that are temporary in nature.\n\nChallenges are primarily wholesale related and will continue into FY 2025. (Double digit declines in rev forecasted).\n\nKenny Wilson will step down as CEO and assist in transition efforts. Will be succeeded internally by CBO Ije Nwokorie. (Primera Advisers has ~40% ownership and should provide continuity).\n\nWe think the brand is not impaired and still healthy - it’s safe to say not a lot agree with us.\n\nThis could mark DOCS taking its last bath. Definitely a name that requires patience.\n\nWrite-up below in comments.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/eEoGOxXjs6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040801677365133515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040801677365133515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04286358439007343, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04704944634264108, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002061907024939913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006247768977507562, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03650673519805592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03650673519805592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027778425179558308, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027747990042885418, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00872831001849761, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0087587451551705, "ret_p1w": 0.021474601546546346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021474601546546346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013526985049237439, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0034903405608557314, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947616497308907, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017984260985690614, "ret_p1m": 0.2168935411934232, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2168935411934232, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1569760800550637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1734508900229632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917461138359496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04344265117045998, "ret_p3m": 0.04080178665397449, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04080178665397449, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09365172350054829, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09851177415758317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13445351015452278, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13931356081155766, "ret_p6m": -0.2110600853655138, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2110600853655138, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37864754275278956, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3637481843440906, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758745738727576, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15268809897857683, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.0974, 0.0787, 0.2083, 0.2598, 0.2384, 0.2548, 0.2756, 0.2205, 0.2011, 0.194, 0.2262, 0.2062, 0.2448, 0.2147, 0.2577, 0.2541, 0.287, 0.3393, 0.3608, 0.3615, 0.3837, 0.3665, 0.3987, 0.3973, 0.4001, 0.3737, 0.3744, 0.3615, 0.3851, 0.3601, 0.3021, 0.2928, 0.3014, 0.2942, 0.315, 0.31, 0.2913, 0.2971, 0.2813, 0.2885, 0.2863, 0.2391, 0.2462, 0.2427, 0.2598, 0.2233, 0.2713, 0.2563, 0.2563, 0.2563, 0.2892, 0.3286, 0.3887, 0.3314, 0.3744, 0.3651, 0.3615, 0.3737, 0.3457, 0.3593, -0.0408, -0.0408, 0.0, -0.0365, 0.0322, 0.0601, 0.0451, 0.0215, 0.0408, 0.0923, 0.088, 0.1002, 0.1267, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.1138, 0.1281, 0.1224, 0.1346, 0.1145, 0.1396, 0.1532, 0.1861, 0.2169, 0.2226, 0.2412, 0.2291, 0.2226, 0.2334, 0.2334, 0.219, 0.2011, 0.2026, 0.2513, 0.2505, 0.2026, 0.2019, 0.2283, 0.2219, 0.2248, 0.194, 0.2176, 0.204, 0.1496, 0.1611, 0.156, 0.1603, 0.1825, 0.1217, 0.1489, 0.1188, 0.1095, 0.1016, 0.0694, 0.0608, 0.0344, 0.0565, 0.0558, 0.068, 0.0773, 0.0429, 0.0544, 0.0716, 0.0952, 0.0651, 0.0408, 0.0222, 0.063, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.0172, -0.0079, -0.0157, 0.0258, 0.0193, 0.0286, 0.0165, -0.0029, -0.0215, -0.0415, -0.0358, -0.015, -0.0315, 0.0014, -0.0286, -0.0122, 0.0014, 0.01, 0.0093, 0.0336, 0.0222, 0.0587, 0.0723, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.048, 0.023, 0.0302, 0.003, -0.0077, -0.0321, -0.0371, -0.0335, -0.0364, -0.0586, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0836, -0.0851, -0.0822, -0.0929, -0.0822, -0.2605, -0.2762, -0.2325, -0.2139, -0.2118, -0.1896, -0.1939, -0.2039, -0.2182, -0.1967, -0.1903, -0.186, -0.2046, -0.2053, -0.2089, -0.2111]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1721917536189428013", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-07T15:48:26+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on remittance-exposed equities as remittances surpass FDI in EM inflows and the trend persists as developed world ages.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances – when migrants send money back home to loved ones. 💸\n\nRemittances play a crucial role in helping emerging markets tackle soaring food and energy prices. 🌍\n\nThey now surpass Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as the main source of inflows for EMs! \n\nAnd as the developed world grays, this trend is set to persist. \n\n$RELY $WU $EEFT $PYPL  #Remittances #EmergingMarkets", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.049566922647286016, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049566922647286016, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046728896308153356, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.046728896308153356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0043310947841176395, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0043310947841176395, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005063497975965947, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005063497975965947, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "ret_p1w": 0.06159762930708079, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06159762930708079, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03459101822254329, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03459101822254329, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "ret_p1m": -0.053898017431403655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053898017431403655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09470557193541662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09470557193541662, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "ret_p3m": -0.14100097249076504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14100097249076504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2770050890521134, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2770050890521134, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "ret_p6m": -0.15591913686511016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15591913686511016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3092836734759742, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3092836734759742, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "price_path": [0.0799, 0.1449, 0.1121, 0.1203, 0.1092, 0.1126, 0.1545, 0.1766, 0.1983, 0.1978, 0.1776, 0.1983, 0.1891, 0.1949, 0.1949, 0.2103, 0.2214, 0.2214, 0.2262, 0.2021, 0.2079, 0.2127, 0.2185, 0.2218, 0.2036, 0.2151, 0.2512, 0.2507, 0.2637, 0.2166, 0.1963, 0.1867, 0.1858, 0.1607, 0.1901, 0.2214, 0.2137, 0.2108, 0.1805, 0.1963, 0.2449, 0.282, 0.2724, 0.244, 0.2267, 0.2257, 0.2618, 0.2916, 0.3061, 0.2969, 0.2984, 0.2632, 0.2844, 0.3075, 0.2661, 0.2329, 0.2425, 0.2565, 0.296, 0.3277, -0.0953, -0.0857, -0.0496, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0192, 0.025, -0.0005, 0.0616, 0.0741, 0.0481, 0.0626, 0.0457, 0.038, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0736, 0.0515, 0.039, 0.0236, 0.0366, 0.0072, 0.0144, -0.0279, -0.0539, -0.0852, -0.0727, -0.0602, -0.0626, -0.0481, -0.0789, -0.14, -0.1242, -0.1049, -0.1319, -0.0977, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0857, -0.0703, -0.0635, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0857, -0.0982, -0.0987, -0.1049, -0.0934, -0.1145, -0.1203, -0.1256, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.14, -0.2108, -0.2223, -0.2214, -0.206, -0.2223, -0.2127, -0.1963, -0.1867, -0.1603, -0.1785, -0.1752, -0.1651, -0.141, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1391, -0.129, -0.1237, -0.1121, -0.1497, -0.1304, -0.1126, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1338, -0.1487, 0.0043, 0.0173, 0.0115, 0.0265, 0.0063, -0.0077, -0.014, -0.0087, -0.0144, 0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0082, -0.0067, -0.0111, -0.0058, -0.0279, -0.0313, -0.0308, -0.0313, 0.0101, 0.0308, -0.0005, -0.0034, 0.0019, 0.0067, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0135, -0.0048, -0.0072, -0.0173, -0.0063, 0.0091, 0.0183, -0.0255, -0.0606, -0.0813, -0.1088, -0.1218, -0.1054, -0.1049, -0.1092, -0.1145, -0.0934, -0.1131, -0.1449, -0.1309, -0.1386, -0.142, -0.1559]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1721917536189428013", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-11-07T15:48:26+00:00", "symbol": "WU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on remittance-exposed equities as remittances surpass FDI in EM inflows and the trend persists as developed world ages.", "resolved_tickers": ["WU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances – when migrants send money back home to loved ones. 💸\n\nRemittances play a crucial role in helping emerging markets tackle soaring food and energy prices. 🌍\n\nThey now surpass Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as the main source of inflows for EMs! \n\nAnd as the developed world grays, this trend is set to persist. \n\n$RELY $WU $EEFT $PYPL  #Remittances #EmergingMarkets", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0034129511715199623, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034129511715199623, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005749248323873024, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0048996139222106105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014866627506906482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001706322506587865, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001706322506587865, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009739193147395575, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000516779908785514, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001189542597802351, "ret_p1w": 0.02047760497633866, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02047760497633866, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006529006108198843, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005392380059095148, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025869985035433807, "ret_p1m": 0.007679165649115305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007679165649115305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03312838885489766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05595457842116658, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06363374407028188, "ret_p3m": 0.09712373420108134, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09712373420108134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03888038236026703, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06769877367708665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.164822507878168, "ret_p6m": 0.15898619134018865, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15898619134018865, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.005621654729324632, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.051615357790953276, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21060154913114193, "price_path": [0.0074, -0.0051, -0.0286, -0.0269, -0.0236, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.021, -0.0102, -0.0018, -0.0018, -0.0009, 0.0192, 0.0242, 0.0284, 0.0342, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0485, 0.0593, 0.0602, 0.0702, 0.0778, 0.0928, 0.0619, 0.0853, 0.0776, 0.0828, 0.0879, 0.1058, 0.1032, 0.1135, 0.1229, 0.1067, 0.1152, 0.1476, 0.1246, 0.1203, 0.1058, 0.1254, 0.1186, 0.1254, 0.1229, 0.116, 0.1195, 0.1169, 0.122, 0.1271, 0.1408, 0.1305, 0.1297, 0.128, 0.1305, 0.1331, 0.1032, -0.0043, -0.0307, -0.064, -0.0367, -0.0273, -0.0043, 0.0017, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0017, -0.0026, 0.0026, 0.0094, 0.0205, 0.0392, 0.0239, 0.0256, 0.0222, 0.0162, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.029, 0.0307, 0.0341, -0.0009, -0.0077, -0.0051, -0.0068, -0.0145, 0.0077, 0.0094, 0.0188, 0.0119, 0.0137, 0.0265, 0.0333, 0.0205, 0.0384, 0.0545, 0.038, 0.0336, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0388, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0554, 0.0293, 0.0223, 0.0406, 0.071, 0.0571, 0.0536, 0.0484, 0.0606, 0.0606, 0.0641, 0.0484, 0.0406, 0.0501, 0.0597, 0.078, 0.0745, 0.0876, 0.0849, 0.0971, 0.1154, 0.0936, 0.1076, 0.0971, 0.0789, 0.091, 0.0301, 0.051, 0.0849, 0.0954, 0.0971, 0.1137, 0.138, 0.1128, 0.1128, 0.1241, 0.1232, 0.1267, 0.1276, 0.1137, 0.1241, 0.1432, 0.1667, 0.1737, 0.2067, 0.1954, 0.1972, 0.2259, 0.2215, 0.2233, 0.2015, 0.1789, 0.1794, 0.1935, 0.1997, 0.1926, 0.2148, 0.2245, 0.2148, 0.2112, 0.2103, 0.2139, 0.2378, 0.2378, 0.2165, 0.2174, 0.213, 0.19, 0.1953, 0.1935, 0.205, 0.1838, 0.1776, 0.1678, 0.1369, 0.1245, 0.1333, 0.1448, 0.1528, 0.1776, 0.1864, 0.2033, 0.1767, 0.1926, 0.1962, 0.19, 0.159]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1721917536189428013", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2023-11-07T15:48:26+00:00", "symbol": "EEFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on remittance-exposed equities as remittances surpass FDI in EM inflows and the trend persists as developed world ages.", "resolved_tickers": ["EEFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances – when migrants send money back home to loved ones. 💸\n\nRemittances play a crucial role in helping emerging markets tackle soaring food and energy prices. 🌍\n\nThey now surpass Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as the main source of inflows for EMs! \n\nAnd as the developed world grays, this trend is set to persist. \n\n$RELY $WU $EEFT $PYPL  #Remittances #EmergingMarkets", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0011151962985617159, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011151962985617159, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001722830040570944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001722830040570944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007187135724759486, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007187135724759486, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006454732532911178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006454732532911178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "ret_p1w": 0.030607203396640692, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030607203396640692, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00360059231210319, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00360059231210319, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "ret_p1m": 0.11425032923627576, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11425032923627576, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0734427747322628, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0734427747322628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "ret_p3m": 0.27657993232811884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27657993232811884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14057581576677047, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14057581576677047, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "ret_p6m": 0.29330863312821265, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29330863312821265, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13994409651734863, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13994409651734863, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "price_path": [0.059, 0.0499, 0.0512, 0.048, 0.0511, 0.0327, 0.0356, 0.0388, 0.0493, 0.0491, 0.0522, 0.0502, 0.0628, 0.0968, 0.0872, 0.0825, 0.0813, 0.0813, 0.0623, 0.0542, 0.0405, 0.0266, 0.0248, 0.0285, 0.0238, 0.0397, 0.0368, 0.0257, 0.0207, 0.0079, -0.0071, 0.0068, 0.0102, -0.0211, -0.0263, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0188, -0.045, -0.0411, -0.0468, -0.0447, -0.0705, -0.0398, -0.0597, -0.0778, -0.0839, -0.0546, -0.0393, -0.0517, -0.0465, 0.0387, -0.0037, 0.0093, -0.0295, -0.0183, -0.0394, -0.056, -0.0478, -0.0574, -0.016, 0.002, -0.0011, 0.0, 0.0072, -0.0063, 0.0099, -0.0108, 0.0306, 0.0388, 0.0232, 0.0494, 0.084, 0.0706, 0.0844, 0.0844, 0.0829, 0.0809, 0.0896, 0.0796, 0.0808, 0.1043, 0.1078, 0.1031, 0.1143, 0.1144, 0.1254, 0.1354, 0.1358, 0.1639, 0.1673, 0.1766, 0.1844, 0.2414, 0.2456, 0.267, 0.2636, 0.2636, 0.2743, 0.2774, 0.2705, 0.2576, 0.2576, 0.2465, 0.1986, 0.2053, 0.2172, 0.2421, 0.2296, 0.2268, 0.2287, 0.233, 0.233, 0.228, 0.2139, 0.2238, 0.2353, 0.2535, 0.2446, 0.2128, 0.2278, 0.2318, 0.2545, 0.2511, 0.2348, 0.2912, 0.2766, 0.2668, 0.2756, 0.283, 0.2527, 0.2875, 0.3304, 0.3005, 0.3585, 0.3685, 0.3436, 0.3436, 0.3351, 0.3183, 0.328, 0.3393, 0.3315, 0.3441, 0.3508, 0.3561, 0.3482, 0.3589, 0.3477, 0.3779, 0.3902, 0.3825, 0.386, 0.3564, 0.319, 0.3498, 0.3369, 0.3248, 0.3367, 0.3461, 0.3631, 0.3467, 0.3481, 0.3522, 0.3776, 0.3622, 0.3622, 0.3467, 0.3295, 0.3249, 0.3221, 0.3398, 0.3497, 0.3677, 0.3143, 0.3156, 0.2907, 0.261, 0.2591, 0.2543, 0.2616, 0.2768, 0.2874, 0.3112, 0.3094, 0.2839, 0.2866, 0.2968, 0.2724, 0.2933]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1721917536189428013", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2023-11-07T15:48:26+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this trend is set to persist", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on remittance-exposed equities as remittances surpass FDI in EM inflows and the trend persists as developed world ages.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sleeper trend alert: 🚀 Remittances – when migrants send money back home to loved ones. 💸\n\nRemittances play a crucial role in helping emerging markets tackle soaring food and energy prices. 🌍\n\nThey now surpass Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as the main source of inflows for EMs! \n\nAnd as the developed world grays, this trend is set to persist. \n\n$RELY $WU $EEFT $PYPL  #Remittances #EmergingMarkets", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0001830847648764955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0001830847648764955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0026549415742561644, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0016697475155671437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00283802633913266, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014866627506906482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00823726999274399, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00823726999274399, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007504866800895682, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007047727394941639, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007324031918483076, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001189542597802351, "ret_p1w": 0.037525216275898554, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037525216275898554, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010518605191361052, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011655231240464747, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027006611084537502, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025869985035433807, "ret_p1m": 0.0896943354921611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0896943354921611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04888678098814814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02606059142187922, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040807554504012966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06363374407028188, "ret_p3m": 0.14259558316428889, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14259558316428889, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006591466602940521, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022226924713879104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13600411656134836, "bench_c_p3m": 0.164822507878168, "ret_p6m": 0.21069012847383695, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21069012847383695, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.057325591862972924, "alpha_c_p6m": 8.857934269501655e-05, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15336453661086402, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21060154913114193, "price_path": [0.1494, 0.1265, 0.1582, 0.0886, 0.0924, 0.0727, 0.0877, 0.0893, 0.1162, 0.1305, 0.1113, 0.1201, 0.1289, 0.1441, 0.1609, 0.1442, 0.1636, 0.1636, 0.1668, 0.1496, 0.1285, 0.1162, 0.1336, 0.1497, 0.1503, 0.1796, 0.1754, 0.1521, 0.1384, 0.114, 0.073, 0.0595, 0.0774, 0.0787, 0.0496, 0.065, 0.0701, 0.0719, 0.0489, 0.0721, 0.0522, 0.0575, 0.061, 0.0566, 0.063, 0.0316, 0.0205, 0.0434, 0.0463, 0.0214, 0.0033, -0.0227, -0.0216, -0.0071, -0.0575, -0.0527, -0.0776, -0.0655, -0.0518, -0.0544, 0.0079, 0.0269, -0.0002, 0.0, 0.0082, -0.0064, 0.0026, -0.0044, 0.0375, 0.0663, 0.0401, 0.035, 0.0432, 0.0141, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0207, 0.0322, 0.0703, 0.0611, 0.0545, 0.0919, 0.0956, 0.0602, 0.0897, 0.0705, 0.0789, 0.0807, 0.078, 0.13, 0.1325, 0.1214, 0.1252, 0.1534, 0.1301, 0.136, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1452, 0.1474, 0.1547, 0.1241, 0.1241, 0.125, 0.0732, 0.0699, 0.1005, 0.1301, 0.1175, 0.1159, 0.123, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.0699, 0.0963, 0.1366, 0.2048, 0.1668, 0.1858, 0.1536, 0.1113, 0.1309, 0.1671, 0.1657, 0.123, 0.1353, 0.1426, 0.1265, 0.1662, 0.1576, 0.0275, 0.0783, 0.0999, 0.0664, 0.0776, 0.0928, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.0732, 0.0522, 0.0681, 0.0829, 0.086, 0.1012, 0.1029, 0.1045, 0.1082, 0.0979, 0.0666, 0.0639, 0.0708, 0.0802, 0.0998, 0.0988, 0.1431, 0.1532, 0.1505, 0.1757, 0.1534, 0.1907, 0.2107, 0.1856, 0.2081, 0.2204, 0.2186, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.1904, 0.1836, 0.196, 0.1814, 0.1926, 0.2144, 0.2264, 0.2059, 0.2045, 0.1823, 0.1625, 0.1611, 0.158, 0.1367, 0.1406, 0.1567, 0.1794, 0.1869, 0.1733, 0.2074, 0.2262, 0.2433, 0.2107]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1853864447007510791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-05T18:18:21+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Results align with our thesis that Xometry is a major lever on the large digitization trend underway in manufacturing. Disc. We are long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XMTR; Q3 results reinforce thesis on manufacturing digitization with 19% revenue growth and enterprise account expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$XMTR Q3 results\n\nResults align with our thesis that Xometry is a major lever on the large digitization trend underway in manufacturing.\n\nGrowth & Scale\n\n-Achieved 19% revenue growth in a challenging environment and gross margin enhancement of 250bps\n\n-Non-gaap operating expenses grew slower than revenue\n\nEnterprise Opp:\n\n-Increased the number of accounts spending over $50,000 annually by 23% YoY to 1,506. (one of our main KPIs)\n\n-Introduced more integrations with client ERPs along with more service verticals (Expanded to 4,200 active suppliers)\n\nDisc. We are long\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/eXOBqnohB5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1462848554305035, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1462848554305035, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1343375035434513, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12982636266060454, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011947351887052204, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01645849276989897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18498454560445454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18498454560445454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1601190703368811, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14582217133955222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.024865475267573434, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03916237426490232, "ret_p1w": 0.21284829595673105, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21284829595673105, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17782144703079572, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16979163167151823, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03502684892593533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04305666428521282, "ret_p1m": 0.24613005312674519, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24613005312674519, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19244545227100973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1980037212908985, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.053684600855735454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04812633183584669, "ret_p3m": 0.2852166752462908, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2852166752462908, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2381463776435826, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2635694995028941, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0470702976027082, "bench_c_p3m": 0.021647175743396696, "ret_p6m": -0.007739967560310701, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.007739967560310701, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.024546937808483382, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02028787815400579, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.03228690536879408, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02802784571431649, "price_path": [-0.3808, -0.3793, -0.3711, -0.2937, -0.3351, -0.3162, -0.2906, -0.2682, -0.2759, -0.2628, -0.2597, -0.219, -0.2074, -0.2144, -0.2229, -0.2163, -0.2399, -0.2399, -0.2883, -0.2783, -0.2736, -0.3181, -0.3088, -0.3224, -0.3297, -0.3131, -0.2721, -0.2841, -0.2457, -0.2546, -0.257, -0.2686, -0.2825, -0.2748, -0.2918, -0.2837, -0.2728, -0.2891, -0.3216, -0.3181, -0.3224, -0.327, -0.3278, -0.332, -0.3355, -0.3262, -0.305, -0.2721, -0.2566, -0.195, -0.2117, -0.1912, -0.1858, -0.2009, -0.2264, -0.2457, -0.2492, -0.2272, -0.2082, -0.2411, -0.2384, -0.13, -0.1463, 0.0, 0.185, 0.1842, 0.1838, 0.2454, 0.2128, 0.1978, 0.1451, 0.1258, 0.1498, 0.1533, 0.1474, 0.2024, 0.2152, 0.2659, 0.2098, 0.1997, 0.1997, 0.2016, 0.2167, 0.2384, 0.2461, 0.2198, 0.2392, 0.2701, 0.2732, 0.3456, 0.3448, 0.3452, 0.4214, 0.4404, 0.4249, 0.4164, 0.6126, 0.63, 0.6912, 0.6912, 0.7283, 0.7098, 0.6981, 0.6509, 0.6509, 0.6111, 0.6718, 0.6254, 0.5081, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.298, 0.274, 0.2883, 0.3216, 0.3069, 0.286, 0.286, 0.3181, 0.2775, 0.2868, 0.2639, 0.3015, 0.3181, 0.3204, 0.3518, 0.2852, 0.3754, 0.3506, 0.4199, 0.4013, 0.3804, 0.4156, 0.356, 0.3676, 0.4853, 0.4493, 0.4493, 0.4768, 0.4373, 0.3522, 0.2488, 0.2117, 0.1004, 0.0457, 0.0584, 0.0573, -0.0228, -0.0313, -0.0015, -0.0437, -0.0468, -0.1084, -0.0851, -0.0077, -0.0859, -0.0402, -0.0054, -0.0163, 0.0166, -0.0081, -0.0046, 0.0534, 0.0375, 0.0255, 0.0294, 0.0019, -0.0356, -0.0298, -0.0275, -0.1618, -0.2268, -0.1908, -0.2515, -0.1459, -0.1892, -0.1687, -0.1683, -0.1676, -0.154, -0.1471, -0.1471, -0.1416, -0.0967, -0.0789, -0.0379, -0.0263, 0.0364, 0.0039, -0.0077]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1883597464261087385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-26T19:26:45+00:00", "symbol": "BRBY.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still holding 💪", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Confirms still holding Burberry long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BRBY.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='L')", "bench_c_industry": "Luxury Goods", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@joinyellowbrick @LionCubsFund @valuedontlie Still holding 💪", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Some $BRBY.L $BURBY pitches from last year (unsure if they are all still holding)\n\n@pernasresearch @LionCubsFund @valuedontlie\n  \nhttps://t.co/9vfv5EpDlh https://t.co/YPpP1tFqNQ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "joinyellowbrick", "ret_m1d": 0.037952338923212814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.037952338923212814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02360400733890744, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039483823094924486, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014348331584305374, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015314841717116723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017210944395410377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017210944395410377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02580349649072111, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011085309181826042, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008592552095310735, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006125635213584335, "ret_p1w": 0.05119152691968232, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05119152691968232, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05386093831028671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07186550808137182, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026694113906043926, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020673981161689503, "ret_p1m": -0.09311562224183578, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09311562224183578, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08455664569905985, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14346014965423415, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008558976542775931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050344527412398365, "ret_p3m": -0.3811120810176246, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3811120810176246, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29596365331426056, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.457040759980632, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.08514842770336406, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07592867896300737, "ret_p6m": 0.17696381288614305, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17696381288614305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12149483060143096, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.014910177024391125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05546898228471209, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16205363586175192, "price_path": [-0.329, -0.3086, -0.2833, -0.2489, -0.2787, -0.2819, -0.2316, -0.2897, -0.3133, -0.3545, -0.3545, -0.2339, -0.2002, -0.2011, -0.2415, -0.2475, -0.2258, -0.2168, -0.2049, -0.1829, -0.2019, -0.2125, -0.2072, -0.1944, -0.1945, -0.2046, -0.209, -0.1793, -0.1439, -0.1492, -0.1297, -0.1387, -0.1477, -0.159, -0.1548, -0.156, -0.1606, -0.155, -0.1437, -0.1449, -0.1449, -0.1449, -0.1456, -0.1506, -0.135, -0.135, -0.1368, -0.1509, -0.1583, -0.1426, -0.1601, -0.1555, -0.1493, -0.1456, -0.1566, -0.1509, -0.1165, -0.1232, -0.1414, -0.1033, -0.0865, -0.0552, 0.038, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0185, 0.0388, 0.0521, 0.0512, 0.0688, 0.0684, 0.09, 0.0644, 0.0455, 0.0274, 0.0203, 0.0512, 0.0499, 0.0194, 0.0115, -0.0194, -0.0247, -0.0618, -0.098, -0.0931, -0.0221, -0.0331, -0.0415, -0.0221, -0.0472, -0.0477, -0.0556, -0.1195, -0.1134, -0.0852, -0.0962, -0.1174, -0.1631, -0.1988, -0.1984, -0.2208, -0.2184, -0.2471, -0.2621, -0.2824, -0.2966, -0.2713, -0.2891, -0.3188, -0.3319, -0.3193, -0.3875, -0.4168, -0.436, -0.4129, -0.4459, -0.4166, -0.4034, -0.3942, -0.4217, -0.4154, -0.4226, -0.4226, -0.4226, -0.4002, -0.3804, -0.3811, -0.376, -0.3576, -0.3479, -0.3613, -0.3509, -0.3585, -0.3585, -0.359, -0.3516, -0.3308, -0.3214, -0.2966, -0.2703, -0.146, -0.1476, -0.1134, -0.1077, -0.075, -0.113, -0.1379, -0.1511, -0.1511, -0.1059, -0.1143, -0.1068, -0.0865, -0.0777, -0.0697, -0.0357, -0.0212, -0.049, -0.0503, -0.0419, -0.0252, -0.0084, -0.0296, -0.0194, -0.0512, -0.068, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.1174, -0.105, -0.0622, -0.0521, 0.015, 0.0432, 0.068, 0.1103, 0.1077, 0.1147, 0.1086, 0.0891, 0.0627, 0.0777, 0.0755, 0.0905, 0.0896, 0.079, 0.1015, 0.1628, 0.1527, 0.177]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1795531366656045388", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-28T19:03:31+00:00", "symbol": "CARD.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we believe FCFF will continue to markedly improve", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CARD.L: FCFF improving on competitive advantages, reinvestment, and value macro; dismisses one-year card volume decline as insufficient evidence of structural decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["CARD.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CARD.L We have posted our quick calculation on \"steady state\" FCFF..... (est ~£50mm)\n\nWhether the true figure is closer to £40 or £50 is far less important to us than the future contours of the business. \n\nThis is a business that has suffered from severe underinvestment since it went public in '14. \n\nGiven CARD's competitive advantages, a value-seeking macro environment, and competent management making the right investments we believe FCFF will continue to markedly improve.\n\nRegarding @david_katunaric citing volume of greeting cards declining in 2023 by 8%: If volumes have indeed accelerated (structurally) to the downside this would be bad, but we certainly need more than one data point. I would hardly be surprised if volumes were up/flat next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thanks to the feedback I’ve received from one of my followers, I sold my $CARD.L position\n\nCard Factory’s accounting for reporting discounted leases on the balance sheet is super aggressive, and I should have taken the approach of calculating annual lease cash costs instead of https://t.co/CTal1aWqR8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019419103575600838, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019419103575600838, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001243553043122736, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00439750270707806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0006983573144373478, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024555923495179766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02912628129916217, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02912628129916217, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022123709248465073, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022558925250765194, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007002572050697098, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006567356048396977, "ret_p1w": -0.09376693143665382, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09376693143665382, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09108655157181278, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0992491944272007, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026803798648410426, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005482262990546882, "ret_p1m": -0.09473844303673973, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09473844303673973, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12769328511452627, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14393278403631538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03295484207778654, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04919434099957565, "ret_p3m": 0.2646465111085805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2646465111085805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2002206297363356, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18947001291636, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06442588137224492, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0751764981922205, "ret_p6m": -0.20924861237799997, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20924861237799997, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3308243840286107, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4400492171804804, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12157577165061073, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23080060480248044, "price_path": [-0.1146, -0.0883, -0.0922, -0.0786, -0.0485, -0.0485, -0.0476, -0.0437, -0.0505, -0.0922, -0.0903, -0.1019, -0.1136, -0.1126, -0.1262, -0.1097, -0.1117, -0.1155, -0.1146, -0.1068, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.0796, -0.0816, -0.0835, -0.0932, -0.0806, -0.0922, -0.0796, -0.0874, -0.0864, -0.0845, -0.0874, -0.0883, -0.0786, -0.0194, 0.0019, 0.0, -0.0466, -0.0117, -0.0408, -0.0233, 0.0621, 0.0447, 0.0117, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0039, 0.0058, -0.0019, -0.0136, -0.0155, -0.0058, -0.0058, -0.0078, 0.0117, -0.0097, -0.0019, -0.0175, -0.0291, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0539, -0.051, -0.0792, -0.0938, -0.1035, -0.0967, -0.0977, -0.1015, -0.1132, -0.1122, -0.1171, -0.1122, -0.1006, -0.087, -0.087, -0.0918, -0.1006, -0.0656, -0.0889, -0.0947, -0.1035, -0.0967, -0.0909, -0.0879, -0.087, -0.052, -0.0394, -0.0384, -0.0617, -0.0578, -0.0306, -0.019, -0.0287, -0.0248, -0.0248, -0.019, -0.0287, 0.0296, 0.0918, 0.0665, 0.0976, 0.1112, 0.1733, 0.1733, 0.1617, 0.1831, 0.1695, 0.1287, 0.1345, 0.152, 0.15, 0.1656, 0.1792, 0.1889, 0.2141, 0.2472, 0.2433, 0.2685, 0.253, 0.2627, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.2336, 0.2277, 0.2064, 0.2161, 0.2025, 0.1928, 0.1869, 0.1986, 0.2316, 0.2433, 0.2569, 0.2141, 0.2258, 0.2549, 0.2627, 0.2569, 0.2821, 0.2918, 0.3695, 0.389, 0.0956, 0.0684, 0.0199, 0.0238, 0.0257, -0.0151, -0.0384, -0.0617, -0.051, -0.0714, -0.0889, -0.0802, -0.0909, -0.1015, -0.1064, -0.1015, -0.1074, -0.1054, -0.12, -0.1404, -0.1452, -0.1355, -0.1394, -0.12, -0.1346, -0.155, -0.1171, -0.1782, -0.1752, -0.1791, -0.2034, -0.2005, -0.1743, -0.1956, -0.1956, -0.2102, -0.2267, -0.219, -0.2209, -0.219, -0.2228, -0.2092]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1648065820650504193", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-17T20:48:05+00:00", "symbol": "TFF Group", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "trading at 20x earnings with likely volatility ahead will keep us sidelined", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Passing on TFF Group: 20x earnings looks rich given expected bourbon distillery retracement and volatility ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TFF.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "TFF Group SA, French barrel/spirits company, Euronext Paris", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='PA')", "bench_c_industry": "Packaging & Containers", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Passing on TFF Group. $TFF produces barrels for wineries and distilleries, with three segments focused on wine, bourbon, and whiskey. Industry structure is an oligopoly with two other companies, Oeneo and Independent Stave Co.\n\n1/n\n\n---\n\nTFF Group is expected to make $350mm in revenue for 2023 with the majority of its revenue coming from the wine and bourbon segments. Unlike wine and whiskey, bourbon has seen a boom in production with # of distilleries in USA going from 50 in 2006 to 2100 today. \n\n2/n\n\n---\n\nWe believe a significant retracement in distilleries will occur, similar to what happened with vodka distilleries in the early 2000s. Although $TFF has significant competitive advantages, trading at 20x earnings with likely volatility ahead will keep us sidelined.\n\n3/3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009925542309966895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009925542309966895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006349961890090738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017986694102468892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035755804198761565, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008061151792501997, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012407028654385588, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012407028654385588, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011754826727827128, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004128100854554173, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00065220192655846, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008278927799831415, "ret_p1w": 0.012407028654385588, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012407028654385588, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015571659804432203, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003932869910510339, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003164631150046615, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016339898564895927, "ret_p1m": 0.037220884429302936, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.037220884429302936, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.046135281183508514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047242744397519965, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008914396754205578, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010021859968217028, "ret_p3m": 0.06699751135920384, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06699751135920384, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02308771694517997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01679706420333038, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09008522830438381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05020044715587346, "ret_p6m": 0.05955325385980159, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05955325385980159, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0021716657048242993, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11549263283974642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05738158815497729, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05593937897994483, "price_path": [0.0447, 0.0471, 0.0372, 0.0074, -0.0174, -0.005, -0.0074, -0.005, 0.0025, -0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0298, 0.0, -0.0124, -0.0074, -0.0025, -0.0124, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0347, 0.0323, 0.0298, 0.0174, 0.0124, -0.005, -0.0074, -0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0223, 0.0174, 0.0074, 0.0174, 0.0248, 0.0298, 0.0323, 0.0223, 0.0149, -0.005, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0099, 0.005, 0.0149, 0.0323, 0.0149, 0.0248, 0.0, 0.0099, 0.0149, -0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.005, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.005, -0.0099, 0.0, 0.0124, 0.0149, 0.0347, 0.0372, 0.0124, 0.0074, 0.0124, 0.0174, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0323, 0.0372, 0.0347, 0.0471, 0.0372, 0.0323, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0397, 0.0298, 0.0124, 0.005, 0.0124, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0323, -0.0199, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.0447, -0.0422, -0.0323, -0.0422, -0.0323, -0.0546, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.0323, -0.0347, -0.0372, -0.0174, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0174, 0.0099, 0.0174, 0.0149, 0.0174, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0074, 0.0099, 0.067, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.072, 0.0968, 0.0868, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.067, 0.0868, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0868, 0.0943, 0.062, 0.0496, 0.0347, 0.0397, 0.0347, 0.0298, 0.0223, 0.0174, 0.0223, 0.0422, 0.0422, 0.0372, 0.0397, 0.0422, 0.0422, 0.0397, 0.0323, 0.0273, 0.0248, 0.0298, 0.0422, 0.067, 0.0571, 0.0546, 0.0496, 0.0347, 0.0298, 0.0025, 0.0273, 0.0571, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0521, 0.0546, 0.0744, 0.062, 0.0571, 0.0447, 0.0397, 0.0546, 0.0769, 0.072, 0.0596, 0.0571, 0.0744, 0.0695, 0.0571, 0.0496, 0.0546, 0.0596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1723997866790646240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-13T09:34:56+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "less supply than intended so good for $TLT 🚀", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Less supply than expected is bullish for TLT.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gavin_pyott @VPatelFX Oh man my bad I snoozed on this, less supply than intended so good for $TLT 🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@VPatelFX @pernasresearch this good or bad for TLT?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gavin_pyott", "ret_m1d": 0.002278087923518246, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002278087923518246, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001323945755620004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001323945755620004, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000954142167898242, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000954142167898242, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022667269240436605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022667269240436605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032665692262388024, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0032665692262388024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019400700014197803, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019400700014197803, "ret_p1w": 0.03189419617984712, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03189419617984712, "alpha_spy_p1w": -6.920882024408215e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -6.920882024408215e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031963405000091205, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031963405000091205, "ret_p1m": 0.08121184123094927, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08121184123094927, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02689433003998465, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02689433003998465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05431751119096462, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05431751119096462, "ret_p3m": 0.08151502644207476, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08151502644207476, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.055131507157283544, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.055131507157283544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1366465335993583, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1366465335993583, "ret_p6m": 0.0539850177664023, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0539850177664023, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12925390865915154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12925390865915154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18323892642555384, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18323892642555384, "price_path": [0.0587, 0.0542, 0.0579, 0.0438, 0.0518, 0.0779, 0.0708, 0.0743, 0.0754, 0.0866, 0.0855, 0.0903, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.0583, 0.0609, 0.0638, 0.0679, 0.0602, 0.0663, 0.0661, 0.0584, 0.0519, 0.0579, 0.0501, 0.0534, 0.0264, 0.0346, 0.0092, 0.0057, 0.0004, 0.0035, 0.0036, -0.0132, -0.0344, -0.0208, -0.0257, -0.0375, -0.0149, -0.0162, 0.0043, -0.0229, -0.0055, -0.0215, -0.0323, -0.0408, -0.0604, -0.0551, -0.0437, -0.0311, -0.0527, -0.0382, -0.0422, -0.0466, -0.0512, -0.0306, -0.0085, -0.0018, -0.0115, 0.0031, 0.0202, -0.0033, 0.0023, 0.0, 0.0227, 0.0083, 0.0208, 0.0256, 0.0319, 0.0314, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0229, 0.04, 0.042, 0.0551, 0.0429, 0.0626, 0.0584, 0.0811, 0.0955, 0.0892, 0.0803, 0.078, 0.0812, 0.1066, 0.1354, 0.1366, 0.1276, 0.1336, 0.1413, 0.1341, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.1322, 0.1522, 0.1438, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.127, 0.1317, 0.1145, 0.1038, 0.1147, 0.1076, 0.1025, 0.1087, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.087, 0.0853, 0.0752, 0.0786, 0.085, 0.0764, 0.0701, 0.0771, 0.0751, 0.0874, 0.0973, 0.1081, 0.1298, 0.1049, 0.0826, 0.0931, 0.0878, 0.0815, 0.0793, 0.0806, 0.0621, 0.0675, 0.073, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0677, 0.0601, 0.0653, 0.0796, 0.0763, 0.0687, 0.0755, 0.0831, 0.0899, 0.0855, 0.1009, 0.1074, 0.1064, 0.1044, 0.1038, 0.0946, 0.0893, 0.0726, 0.0722, 0.069, 0.072, 0.0716, 0.074, 0.0842, 0.0788, 0.0818, 0.0925, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.0713, 0.0654, 0.0651, 0.0728, 0.0578, 0.0577, 0.0676, 0.0443, 0.0395, 0.0451, 0.0289, 0.0221, 0.0334, 0.0282, 0.0319, 0.0302, 0.0305, 0.0232, 0.016, 0.0214, 0.0299, 0.0211, 0.0287, 0.0331, 0.0435, 0.0476, 0.054]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1400894443738251264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-06-04T19:17:17+00:00", "symbol": "cybersecurity", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Should be a good tailwind for the cybersecurity industry", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on cybersecurity sector; crypto-enabled ransomware creating a structural tailwind for the industry.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIBR"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CIBR First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "two trends interacting with each other leads to a cambrian explosion of sorts. Cybersecurity and cryptos are an example as cryptos have made ransomware and other security threats more feasible. Should be a good tailwind for the cybersecurity industry. \n\n#cybersecurity #cryptos", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010884354343224545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010884354343224545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001821350083766382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001821350083766382, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009063004259458163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009063004259458163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012244865465874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012244865465874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013215053897992934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013215053897992934, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0009701884321189347, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009701884321189347, "ret_p1w": 0.04671203177975669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04671203177975669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.042665662525173564, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.042665662525173564, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0040463692545831265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0040463692545831265, "ret_p1m": 0.06855141521992758, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06855141521992758, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03888041177694945, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03888041177694945, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029671003442978128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029671003442978128, "ret_p3m": 0.17247930397308875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17247930397308875, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09988589008968307, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09988589008968307, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07259341388340568, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07259341388340568, "ret_p6m": 0.2031134042321705, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2031134042321705, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09659842035687549, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09659842035687549, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10651498387529501, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10651498387529501, "price_path": [-0.0481, -0.0512, -0.0229, -0.032, -0.0238, -0.0304, -0.0263, -0.058, -0.0508, -0.0342, -0.0422, -0.0635, -0.0651, -0.0478, -0.0556, -0.0628, -0.0517, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0274, -0.0218, -0.032, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0147, 0.0025, -0.0029, 0.0145, 0.0084, 0.0052, -0.0102, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0068, 0.0327, 0.0245, 0.0113, 0.0077, -0.0016, -0.0077, -0.0213, -0.0306, -0.0358, -0.0247, -0.0333, -0.0236, -0.0485, -0.0474, -0.0229, -0.0329, -0.0297, -0.0342, -0.0161, -0.0102, 0.0018, -0.0023, 0.0127, 0.0107, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0027, 0.0088, -0.0109, 0.0, 0.0122, 0.0213, 0.0197, 0.0424, 0.0467, 0.0488, 0.0429, 0.0465, 0.0608, 0.0522, 0.0531, 0.0694, 0.0646, 0.0692, 0.0726, 0.0769, 0.0751, 0.0611, 0.062, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0869, 0.0912, 0.0869, 0.0983, 0.0885, 0.0851, 0.0781, 0.069, 0.0701, 0.0686, 0.0894, 0.0951, 0.1096, 0.1237, 0.1171, 0.1094, 0.1167, 0.1201, 0.1128, 0.1178, 0.1185, 0.1207, 0.1226, 0.1049, 0.108, 0.0951, 0.0908, 0.1049, 0.1099, 0.0985, 0.0922, 0.0826, 0.0881, 0.099, 0.1139, 0.14, 0.1555, 0.1598, 0.1709, 0.1772, 0.1698, 0.1725, 0.1834, 0.1918, 0.1918, 0.1788, 0.172, 0.1695, 0.1539, 0.1546, 0.1548, 0.1605, 0.1643, 0.1527, 0.1328, 0.1323, 0.1482, 0.1591, 0.1595, 0.1482, 0.1096, 0.1069, 0.1055, 0.1212, 0.0983, 0.1114, 0.121, 0.1387, 0.13, 0.1271, 0.1416, 0.1654, 0.1872, 0.1879, 0.2022, 0.2031, 0.2065, 0.2149, 0.2129, 0.2206, 0.209, 0.1983, 0.2077, 0.2256, 0.2238, 0.2288, 0.2331, 0.249, 0.2453, 0.2655, 0.2712, 0.2499, 0.2553, 0.2732, 0.2535, 0.2685, 0.2596, 0.2517, 0.2408, 0.2054, 0.19, 0.2056, 0.2056, 0.1875, 0.2031]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1813605678956924940", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-17T16:04:23+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are long Xometry $XMTR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XMTR as leading digital manufacturing disruptor in second inning of secular growth, mispriced by market due to mischaracterization of its marketplace model.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are long Xometry $XMTR\n\nThe leading disruptor in digital manufacturing and is in the ~second inning of a large secular growth story.\n\nBusiness background &amp; Thesis below 🧵\n\n---\n\nXometry is the leading disruptor in digital manufacturing, connecting businesses needing custom parts with a global network of manufacturers capable of producing those parts.\n\n---\n\nThey focus on the market for non-contract manufacturing. This involves local relationships with smaller manufacturers and entails lower volume runs—anything from a single prototype to a few thousand units. (Global TAM ranges from 100B to 2 Trillion)\n\n---\n\nBelow is an example of your garden variety automotive company (a potential Xometry customer). Companies like this have to manage the “long-tail” of smaller suppliers. https://t.co/RSq5WUCgMY\n\n---\n\nTraditionally, customers spend significant time searching for local manufacturing shops with the capacity, expertise, and willingness to produce custom parts. The process is painfully analog.\n\n---\n\nTo solve this problem, Xometry connects customers through its digital platform to over 3,400 active small-to-medium-sized manufacturers. Their platform reduces high search costs, long lead times, and quoting frictions.\n\n---\n\nUltimate goal: Xometry aims to be the one-stop shop for all non-contract processes-- CNC machining, sheet metal fabrication, prototyping, low-volume injection molding, 3D printing, tubing, and others https://t.co/vzOJ0g04Po\n\n---\n\nSecular growth opportunity: The industry has been slow to change but digital marketplaces like Xometry are beginning to gain respect for their staying power. This change will be gradual but inevitable, as digital marketplaces continue to grow stronger with enhanced traceability, quality, and efficiency.\n\n---\n\nXometry is misunderstood by the market: The mischaracterization of Xometry’s business model as “not a marketplace” even though it enjoys network effects is a contributing factor to its mispricing. https://t.co/CKNcbS5Mu9\n\n---\n\nAI leadership: Xometry leads the industry in using AI and machine learning for pricing, leveraging is partnership with Google and the largest data sets to train its models.\n\n---\n\nWrite-up https://t.co/eXOBqnoPqD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028012986372335957, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028012986372335957, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013792534796964961, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015053590649767079, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014220451575370996, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012959395722568878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06644953957102173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06644953957102173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05876461445145775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.058626578640282645, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007684925119563979, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007822960930739087, "ret_p1w": -0.02736156780823029, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02736156780823029, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0008461434796546152, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.000810787063220797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028207711287884907, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026550780745009495, "ret_p1m": 0.15114004150937244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15114004150937244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15808880095439815, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1463988549391111, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0069487594450257095, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0047411865702613465, "ret_p3m": 0.2254071008786105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2254071008786105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17302744169903628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12147881803809324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05237965917957421, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10392828284051725, "ret_p6m": 1.3804560265443278, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3804560265443278, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.3151917336678804, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.322204126127105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0652642928764473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.058251900417222835, "price_path": [0.0469, 0.0521, 0.1322, 0.1003, 0.1023, 0.142, 0.1505, 0.1642, 0.155, 0.1687, 0.1948, 0.1459, 0.0678, 0.0078, 0.0261, 0.0619, 0.0775, 0.0736, 0.0756, 0.0078, 0.0573, 0.056, 0.0228, 0.0248, 0.015, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0625, 0.0098, -0.0117, -0.0007, 0.0013, -0.0169, -0.0345, -0.0254, -0.03, -0.0736, -0.1029, -0.1003, -0.142, -0.1746, -0.1831, -0.1824, -0.1824, -0.1811, -0.1785, -0.2221, -0.2254, -0.214, -0.1779, -0.2469, -0.2651, -0.2404, -0.2358, -0.2358, -0.2599, -0.2208, -0.2124, -0.2, -0.1453, -0.1029, -0.0743, 0.028, 0.0, -0.0664, -0.0749, -0.0743, 0.0065, -0.0274, -0.0169, -0.0098, -0.0182, -0.0436, -0.0469, -0.1114, -0.1681, -0.1863, -0.2215, -0.258, 0.0423, 0.045, 0.0586, 0.1889, 0.1192, 0.1511, 0.1941, 0.2319, 0.2189, 0.241, 0.2463, 0.3147, 0.3342, 0.3225, 0.3081, 0.3192, 0.2795, 0.2795, 0.198, 0.215, 0.2228, 0.1479, 0.1635, 0.1407, 0.1283, 0.1564, 0.2254, 0.2052, 0.2697, 0.2547, 0.2508, 0.2313, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1922, 0.2059, 0.2241, 0.1967, 0.142, 0.1479, 0.1407, 0.1329, 0.1316, 0.1244, 0.1186, 0.1342, 0.17, 0.2254, 0.2515, 0.355, 0.327, 0.3616, 0.3707, 0.3453, 0.3023, 0.2697, 0.2638, 0.301, 0.3329, 0.2775, 0.2821, 0.4645, 0.4371, 0.6834, 0.9948, 0.9935, 0.9928, 1.0964, 1.0417, 1.0163, 0.9277, 0.8951, 0.9355, 0.9414, 0.9316, 1.0241, 1.0456, 1.1309, 1.0365, 1.0195, 1.0195, 1.0228, 1.0482, 1.0847, 1.0977, 1.0534, 1.086, 1.1381, 1.1433, 1.2651, 1.2638, 1.2645, 1.3928, 1.4248, 1.3987, 1.3844, 1.7147, 1.744, 1.8469, 1.8469, 1.9094, 1.8782, 1.8586, 1.7792, 1.7792, 1.7121, 1.8143, 1.7362, 1.5388, 1.3805, 1.3805]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1421181589527179268", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-07-30T18:51:09+00:00", "symbol": "PRG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still a long runway for the LTO players", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "LTO sector has long runway; PRG and KPLT should become significantly more profitable as buyouts and delinquencies normalize.", "resolved_tickers": ["PRG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Rental & Leasing Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PRG earnings a bit underwhelming on the e-commerce side (only 13% of GMV). Although recent offerings such as one click integration should help with future quarters. Should be interesting to see $KPLT earnings. Still a long runway for the LTO players.\n\nhttps://t.co/W0YGhnS2Qi\n\n---\n\nThese businesses should become significantly more profitable as early buyouts become less common and delinquency rates lower.\n\nMore info: https://t.co/mPLu5m5cvy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013936536056784687, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013936536056784687, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009056555533333066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009056555533333066, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004879980523451621, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004879980523451621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005483207987070027, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005483207987070027, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0033850822483626475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0033850822483626475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020981257387073793, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020981257387073793, "ret_p1w": 0.013022743581475593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013022743581475593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003946585850546969, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003946585850546969, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009076157730928625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009076157730928625, "ret_p1m": 0.09664150678696859, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09664150678696859, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06535388442167611, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06535388442167611, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03128762236529248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03128762236529248, "ret_p3m": -0.06922537622457525, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06922537622457525, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10772891719239286, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10772891719239286, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03850354096781761, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03850354096781761, "ret_p6m": -0.09778367941082267, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09778367941082267, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10756517873964522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10756517873964522, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009781499328822552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009781499328822552, "price_path": [0.2234, 0.2312, 0.2509, 0.2751, 0.2378, 0.223, 0.1885, 0.231, 0.2609, 0.2552, 0.2392, 0.2145, 0.2234, 0.209, 0.209, 0.1839, 0.2109, 0.2296, 0.2045, 0.2045, 0.194, 0.1921, 0.188, 0.1912, 0.2177, 0.2559, 0.2785, 0.2486, 0.2584, 0.215, 0.1899, 0.1645, 0.1401, 0.0813, 0.1133, 0.101, 0.1024, 0.1085, 0.1273, 0.1088, 0.0971, 0.0996, 0.093, 0.0969, 0.0969, 0.0587, 0.0388, 0.0139, 0.0525, 0.0356, 0.0336, 0.026, 0.011, -0.0144, -0.0311, -0.0057, 0.0091, -0.0114, 0.0087, 0.0194, 0.0418, 0.0379, 0.0139, 0.0, -0.0055, -0.0242, -0.0187, 0.0178, 0.013, -0.0064, 0.0073, 0.0446, 0.0455, 0.042, 0.0226, 0.0176, -0.0018, 0.0014, 0.0254, 0.0263, 0.0519, 0.0637, 0.0448, 0.0909, 0.0966, 0.0811, 0.087, 0.0875, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.045, 0.0512, 0.0576, 0.0443, 0.0749, 0.0688, 0.0311, 0.0085, 0.0336, -0.0034, -0.0352, -0.0226, -0.0318, -0.0276, 0.0096, -0.011, -0.0217, -0.0402, -0.0144, -0.0043, 0.0064, 0.0137, 0.0455, 0.0094, 0.0007, -0.0032, -0.005, 0.0192, 0.0151, 0.0121, 0.0135, 0.0324, 0.0464, 0.0727, 0.061, -0.0297, -0.0692, -0.058, -0.0759, -0.0265, -0.0587, 0.0873, 0.0635, 0.0672, 0.0727, 0.0775, 0.0886, 0.1026, 0.093, 0.0813, 0.1062, 0.0946, 0.1026, 0.0857, 0.0827, 0.0854, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.066, 0.0647, 0.0308, 0.0311, 0.0674, 0.0313, -0.0055, -0.0258, 0.0066, -0.0384, -0.0082, 0.0343, 0.0276, 0.0322, 0.0196, 0.0535, 0.0103, 0.0372, 0.0228, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0318, 0.035, 0.0267, 0.0244, 0.0306, 0.0471, 0.0573, 0.0171, 0.0238, -0.0105, 0.0027, 0.0114, 0.0066, 0.0059, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0589, -0.0921, -0.1193, -0.1339, -0.0978]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1421181589527179268", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2021-07-30T18:51:09+00:00", "symbol": "KPLT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Should be interesting to see $KPLT earnings. Still a long runway for the LTO players", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "LTO sector has long runway; PRG and KPLT should become significantly more profitable as buyouts and delinquencies normalize.", "resolved_tickers": ["KPLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PRG earnings a bit underwhelming on the e-commerce side (only 13% of GMV). Although recent offerings such as one click integration should help with future quarters. Should be interesting to see $KPLT earnings. Still a long runway for the LTO players.\n\nhttps://t.co/W0YGhnS2Qi\n\n---\n\nThese businesses should become significantly more profitable as early buyouts become less common and delinquency rates lower.\n\nMore info: https://t.co/mPLu5m5cvy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04868913857677892, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04868913857677892, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0438091580533273, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0438091580533273, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004879980523451621, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004879980523451621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08489388264669162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08489388264669162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.086992008385399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.086992008385399, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0020981257387073793, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020981257387073793, "ret_p1w": 0.17353308364544318, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17353308364544318, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16445692591451455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16445692591451455, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009076157730928625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009076157730928625, "ret_p1m": -0.3645443196004994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3645443196004994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.39583194196579186, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39583194196579186, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03128762236529248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03128762236529248, "ret_p3m": -0.4357053682896379, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4357053682896379, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4742089092574555, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4742089092574555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03850354096781761, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03850354096781761, "ret_p6m": -0.7053682896379525, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7053682896379525, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7151497889667751, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7151497889667751, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.009781499328822552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009781499328822552, "price_path": [0.6704, 0.6392, 0.5605, 0.5044, 0.4332, 0.3995, 0.3533, 0.3333, 0.4195, 0.3895, 0.5243, 0.5156, 0.5506, 0.5194, 0.5094, 0.5531, 0.5605, 0.5918, 0.6392, 0.6392, 0.6567, 0.7016, 0.6941, 0.7241, 0.7428, 0.8127, 0.8127, 0.6991, 0.7179, 0.5506, 0.4032, 0.3758, 0.3333, 0.3346, 0.2797, 0.2547, 0.2659, 0.3009, 0.4057, 0.3371, 0.3046, 0.3496, 0.4295, 0.412, 0.412, 0.3421, 0.2747, 0.2834, 0.3945, 0.3795, 0.3908, 0.2622, 0.1798, 0.1174, 0.0974, 0.1298, 0.1673, 0.1573, 0.1586, 0.1586, 0.0949, 0.0662, 0.0487, 0.0, 0.0849, 0.0936, 0.1174, 0.196, 0.1735, 0.2147, -0.4682, -0.5131, -0.5331, -0.5818, -0.603, -0.5755, -0.5818, -0.5993, -0.603, -0.5805, -0.5568, -0.5468, -0.573, -0.5481, -0.3645, -0.3951, -0.392, -0.2959, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.191, -0.2335, -0.2135, -0.1948, -0.1561, -0.176, -0.1885, -0.2097, -0.1973, -0.2335, -0.3134, -0.3184, -0.2222, -0.2672, -0.2322, -0.2996, -0.3346, -0.3221, -0.3508, -0.397, -0.4207, -0.382, -0.4145, -0.432, -0.3958, -0.3858, -0.3546, -0.3533, -0.3945, -0.3883, -0.3883, -0.3845, -0.3908, -0.432, -0.4132, -0.4232, -0.4357, -0.4694, -0.4494, -0.4295, -0.4307, -0.4457, -0.4694, -0.4669, -0.4819, -0.2821, -0.377, -0.3695, -0.3645, -0.3808, -0.4195, -0.437, -0.4657, -0.4719, -0.5119, -0.5169, -0.4906, -0.4906, -0.5106, -0.5056, -0.5094, -0.5431, -0.6042, -0.6429, -0.6442, -0.5918, -0.5531, -0.5368, -0.5243, -0.5231, -0.5006, -0.5268, -0.5618, -0.5743, -0.6055, -0.5893, -0.5955, -0.5855, -0.5855, -0.598, -0.623, -0.6205, -0.598, -0.5793, -0.5755, -0.598, -0.6404, -0.6404, -0.638, -0.6592, -0.6429, -0.6529, -0.6629, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6854, -0.6742, -0.6717, -0.7029, -0.7054]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1563151951457529856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-08-26T13:10:41+00:00", "symbol": "PTON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we still like the risk-reward setup here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish PTON despite elevated churn; brand intact, cost saves on track, and risk-reward remains attractive.", "resolved_tickers": ["PTON"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PTON earnings highlights\n\n-monthly churn a bit higher than expected at 1.4% vs .8% previous quarter. mostly due to price increases and seasonality. Recent churn rates are trending lower (expect it to be around 1%)\n\n1/n\n\n---\n\n-live in-studio classes oversold every time. brand is alive and well.\n\n\"People lined up around the block for hours, classes oversold, crashing our reservation system. I mean it's just insane. And that's not what the industry is experiencing generally\"\n\n2/n\n\n---\n\n$PTON will make their self-assembly bike available on $AMZN. PTONs premium models will only be sold on their website.\n\nThere are 500k searches per month for peloton on amazon.\n\n3/n\n\n---\n\nPTON is tracking ahead of their 500mm in cost savings in opex. Aiming to be cash flow neutral by end of FY 23 with 1B in cash on balance sheet.\n\n4/n\n\n---\n\nEarnings were in line with expectations although churn was higher than expected. With the brand still being intact, cost savings continuing on schedule, and the many operational changes PTON is making, we still like the risk-reward setup here. \n\n5/n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03770033790273075, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03770033790273075, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0026654672699382154, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018790324022743832, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.035034870632792536, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039579370305005135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013195041864146662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013195041864146662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006582745607604745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007872225786594966, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006612296256541916, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005322816077551695, "ret_p1w": -0.1102733378089813, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1102733378089813, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07802623219390903, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08403372689401534, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03224710561507227, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02623961091496596, "ret_p1m": -0.22525913920688267, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22525913920688267, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1277942409848266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14206700507930037, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.09746489822205606, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0831921341275823, "ret_p3m": -0.05466540456870239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05466540456870239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051613417072961854, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05074222479771873, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003051987495740538, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10540762936642112, "ret_p6m": 0.2818096910032195, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2818096910032195, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2682380044343018, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3342971049697464, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.013571686568917718, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0524874139665269, "price_path": [0.3157, 0.2196, 0.2413, 0.181, 0.1762, 0.1715, 0.1489, 0.0481, -0.0094, -0.0726, -0.0971, -0.0452, -0.1093, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0858, -0.0792, -0.0094, 0.0377, 0.017, -0.0707, -0.1093, -0.1348, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.0189, -0.0434, 0.0038, -0.0377, -0.1593, -0.1282, -0.1583, -0.2139, -0.2008, -0.1866, -0.114, 0.0396, 0.0613, -0.0792, -0.0999, -0.1791, -0.1517, -0.1206, -0.1056, -0.0867, 0.0104, 0.0735, -0.0104, 0.1112, 0.1225, 0.0452, 0.1235, 0.1225, 0.2752, 0.2752, 0.2903, 0.2196, 0.1932, 0.1037, 0.0914, 0.0556, 0.2705, 0.0377, 0.0, -0.0132, -0.0971, -0.0396, -0.0311, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.181, -0.1546, -0.1423, -0.0283, 0.0415, -0.066, -0.0358, 0.0066, -0.082, -0.065, -0.0905, -0.147, -0.1904, -0.1979, -0.2253, -0.2271, -0.2234, -0.3355, -0.3468, -0.2959, -0.1649, -0.1998, -0.1678, -0.181, -0.1433, -0.1725, -0.196, -0.1791, -0.3176, -0.2696, -0.262, -0.3035, -0.3016, -0.3082, -0.3402, -0.295, -0.2752, -0.2639, -0.2451, -0.2083, -0.1574, -0.1866, -0.1197, -0.115, -0.1131, -0.0971, -0.1927, -0.0613, -0.0264, 0.0311, 0.1159, 0.0311, 0.0264, -0.0283, -0.0801, -0.0905, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0518, -0.0443, -0.0113, 0.0726, 0.1093, 0.2535, 0.2177, 0.1744, 0.1169, 0.1847, 0.0848, 0.1037, 0.1037, 0.1461, 0.0707, 0.0094, -0.0123, -0.0151, -0.0688, -0.132, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.2328, -0.2573, -0.2375, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2347, -0.1668, -0.1913, -0.1593, -0.1206, -0.0763, 0.0198, 0.0462, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.1254, 0.0452, -0.016, 0.0424, 0.099, 0.0424, 0.0754, 0.1122, 0.1923, 0.1781, 0.2187, 0.5419, 0.6004, 0.5344, 0.4882, 0.4854, 0.4543, 0.3949, 0.3035, 0.2846, 0.278, 0.3487, 0.2959, 0.2818, 0.2818]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1354576948316446720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-01-27T23:48:05+00:00", "symbol": "American Outdoor Brands", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We believe there is at least a 60% upside from here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "New long position in American Outdoor Brands; 60%+ upside thesis based on cheap valuation (10x earnings), 50% YoY growth, trading 40% below acquisition price.", "resolved_tickers": ["AOUT"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "American Outdoor Brands Inc, US-listed AOUT", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Leisure'", "bench_c_industry": "Leisure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our newest position: https://t.co/dtbFPLAlRD\n\nWe believe there is at least a 60% upside from here. \n\n#Americanoutdoorbands\n\n---\n\n-Recent spinoff trading at about 10x 2021 Earnings.\n\n-Growing at about 50% yoy\n \n-At a 40% discount below what it got acquired for 3 years ago in a much more depressed environment (pandemic and political)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043298977788924775, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043298977788924775, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018246267151913464, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011489632104285441, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02505271063701131, "bench_c_m1d": 0.031809345684639334, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019587684308626008, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019587684308626008, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01098753926408258, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016443000858570755, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008600145044543428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0031446834500552523, "ret_p1w": -0.003092756037225586, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003092756037225586, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022963928534903033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02389575777614339, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019871172497677447, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020803001738917803, "ret_p1m": 0.0773195891492311, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0773195891492311, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05616625300653166, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10683094505753288, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02115333614269943, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029511355908301784, "ret_p3m": 0.39072165323476993, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.39072165323476993, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2716870653732453, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3089382252708728, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11903458786152465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08178342796389715, "ret_p6m": 0.4654639620724701, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4654639620724701, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29478052349589245, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36357435086715895, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17068343857657764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10188961120531115, "price_path": [-0.2201, -0.1985, -0.1881, -0.2093, -0.2077, -0.233, -0.266, -0.249, -0.2485, -0.2711, -0.268, -0.2722, -0.2789, -0.233, -0.2289, -0.266, -0.2552, -0.2593, -0.2794, -0.2794, -0.2665, -0.2843, -0.2804, -0.2835, -0.2954, -0.2866, -0.2876, -0.2835, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.283, -0.2747, -0.1835, -0.0933, -0.0448, -0.0799, -0.0943, -0.0639, -0.0649, -0.099, -0.099, -0.1005, -0.1335, -0.1175, -0.1222, -0.1222, -0.1392, -0.1052, -0.0469, 0.0021, -0.0201, 0.0021, 0.0464, 0.0237, 0.0294, 0.017, 0.017, 0.0273, 0.0041, -0.0139, 0.0227, 0.0629, 0.0433, 0.0, 0.0196, -0.0216, 0.0098, 0.0082, -0.0031, 0.0263, 0.0046, 0.0139, 0.0392, 0.0825, 0.1598, 0.2015, 0.2015, 0.1985, 0.1768, 0.1464, 0.2026, 0.1582, 0.1211, 0.1139, 0.0773, 0.0314, 0.0897, 0.0706, 0.0412, 0.0691, 0.0995, 0.116, 0.1603, 0.1608, 0.182, 0.1701, 0.1299, 0.1619, 0.1969, 0.3402, 0.3474, 0.3418, 0.3103, 0.2696, 0.3015, 0.3454, 0.2902, 0.2758, 0.299, 0.3438, 0.3438, 0.3588, 0.3309, 0.3108, 0.3732, 0.3696, 0.4876, 0.4701, 0.4077, 0.3866, 0.3572, 0.334, 0.3062, 0.3423, 0.3356, 0.3716, 0.3907, 0.4021, 0.3722, 0.3856, 0.3325, 0.3629, 0.3691, 0.4005, 0.3856, 0.4196, 0.4036, 0.4052, 0.4232, 0.4402, 0.5335, 0.6129, 0.6186, 0.6216, 0.5948, 0.6268, 0.6021, 0.5892, 0.6376, 0.6851, 0.651, 0.651, 0.6706, 0.6701, 0.6438, 0.6144, 0.6433, 0.6773, 0.6753, 0.632, 0.6552, 0.5974, 0.582, 0.6155, 0.5701, 0.6675, 0.7639, 0.651, 0.6454, 0.7005, 0.6768, 0.7113, 0.7557, 0.8113, 0.8572, 0.7526, 0.7526, 0.7629, 0.7258, 0.6825, 0.7418, 0.7619, 0.7263, 0.7474, 0.8521, 0.4454, 0.483, 0.4948, 0.5371, 0.4655]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1276623650381127682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2020-06-26T21:09:31+00:00", "symbol": "Hostelworld", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We value @hostelworld to have about a 60% upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Hostelworld with ~60% upside on brand strength and hostel-industry growth initiatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["HSW.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Hostelworld Group plc, LSE-listed HSW.L", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Travel Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Travel Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We value @hostelworld to have about a 60% upside . Their brand and recent initiatives they have taken make them well poised to grow in line with the hostel industry. Our valuation is found on https://t.co/XK1HjMCUzp. Let us know what you think!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00775086916257095, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00775086916257095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01657840040634384, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0162491675127161, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02432926956891479, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02400003667528705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00775086916257095, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00775086916257095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0069466508285283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011239181245286556, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01469751999109925, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018990050407857506, "ret_p1w": 0.00775086916257095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00775086916257095, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03284238095667624, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03879446084656957, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04059325011924719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04654533000914052, "ret_p1m": -0.06976748232500274, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06976748232500274, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14698781899284818, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1718284784929518, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07722033666784545, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10206099616794906, "ret_p3m": -0.13512088777130482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13512088777130482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21471283691311127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28609431962513465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07959194914180645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15097343185382983, "ret_p6m": 0.13849547951464292, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13849547951464292, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09765472885104964, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14247221601435545, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23615020836569256, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28096769552899836, "price_path": [-0.1736, -0.1876, -0.1473, -0.1628, -0.1318, -0.1008, -0.0977, 0.0016, 0.0016, 0.0016, -0.0155, -0.0698, -0.0698, 0.0155, 0.0465, 0.0, 0.062, 0.0233, 0.0202, 0.0698, 0.155, 0.2264, 0.186, 0.1628, 0.1054, 0.0698, 0.0775, 0.0853, 0.0853, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0124, -0.0543, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.045, -0.0667, -0.0915, -0.1008, -0.1008, 0.062, 0.124, 0.138, 0.1829, 0.186, 0.2233, 0.4109, 0.3163, 0.3178, 0.2651, 0.2868, 0.3132, 0.2171, 0.2248, 0.2047, 0.2465, 0.2527, 0.2171, 0.2171, 0.1938, 0.1938, 0.2015, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0078, -0.0109, -0.0124, -0.0217, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.0388, -0.0016, -0.0078, 0.0, 0.0279, 0.0078, 0.0233, 0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0233, 0.0047, -0.0403, -0.0496, -0.1054, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0899, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0915, -0.0496, -0.0698, -0.0713, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0248, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0434, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0419, -0.0233, -0.0217, -0.0248, -0.0147, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0388, -0.0465, -0.0233, -0.0388, 0.0078, -0.045, -0.0388, -0.0527, -0.0264, -0.0233, 0.0047, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0817, -0.1854, -0.2287, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1414, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1807, -0.1823, -0.1508, -0.1626, -0.1461, -0.1548, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1666, -0.1493, -0.3002, -0.2609, -0.2082, -0.2043, -0.2106, -0.2016, -0.2196, -0.1823, -0.2137, -0.2137, -0.2271, -0.2137, -0.2397, -0.2137, -0.2295, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.0518, -0.0219, -0.0093, 0.107, 0.1637, 0.258, 0.302, 0.28, 0.2895, 0.2674, 0.2674, 0.3406, 0.3209, 0.313, 0.2973, 0.258, 0.2981, 0.2635, 0.2879, 0.2753, 0.258, 0.2895, 0.2281, 0.2439, 0.2895, 0.2423, 0.2234, 0.2423, 0.2423, 0.2108, 0.1385]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1448052597546496003", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-10-12T22:26:57+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We still see significant upside with global sentiment on uranium changing along with their monopoly on HALEU production starting in 2022", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish LEU: significant upside on shifting global uranium sentiment and HALEU production monopoly.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Uranium'", "bench_c_industry": "Uranium", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LEU up about 400% since our write-up. We still see significant upside with global sentiment on uranium changing along with their monopoly on HALEU production starting in 2022.\n\nhttps://t.co/1DJwp82mpb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13333332810055232, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13333332810055232, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1358009656258622, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13244714011650383, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024676375253098737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008861879840484921, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05432105529286124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05432105529286124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05072351529388697, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055207243276909734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003597539998974275, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008861879840484921, "ret_p1w": 0.06625517123046287, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06625517123046287, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027004236975858298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037714141251973476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.039250934254604575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028541029978489396, "ret_p1m": 0.43312764840860396, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43312764840860396, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3639429083808805, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.41433643682802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06918474002772346, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018791211580583944, "ret_p3m": 0.06646097650915639, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06646097650915639, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012196616698252116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03501482845819104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786575932074085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10147580496734743, "ret_p6m": -0.3316872312345538, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3316872312345538, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36826471681223816, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7167170120683375, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036577485577684365, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3850297808337837, "price_path": [-0.5138, -0.5449, -0.5315, -0.5243, -0.5029, -0.5086, -0.5095, -0.4934, -0.5216, -0.4792, -0.4728, -0.5228, -0.5247, -0.5325, -0.5395, -0.5249, -0.4967, -0.506, -0.4829, -0.4924, -0.4926, -0.5243, -0.5202, -0.5387, -0.513, -0.5294, -0.5218, -0.4924, -0.4811, -0.4967, -0.5088, -0.4856, -0.456, -0.4051, -0.394, -0.3601, -0.3494, -0.3494, -0.3115, -0.349, -0.3619, -0.3117, -0.2288, -0.2471, -0.1862, -0.2237, -0.2434, -0.3407, -0.2949, -0.2778, -0.2632, -0.2712, -0.1936, -0.2471, -0.2391, -0.2045, -0.1496, -0.1726, -0.2002, -0.2294, -0.1823, -0.2002, -0.1333, 0.0, 0.0543, 0.0685, 0.0175, 0.0274, 0.0663, 0.0905, 0.078, 0.0029, 0.0185, 0.0802, 0.0934, 0.08, 0.166, 0.2459, 0.3521, 0.4562, 0.4463, 0.321, 0.578, 0.5224, 0.4331, 0.6463, 0.7611, 0.5379, 0.5226, 0.3979, 0.4387, 0.3206, 0.2759, 0.286, 0.2488, 0.2488, 0.2156, 0.2484, 0.1418, 0.107, 0.1066, -0.0039, 0.0399, 0.1623, 0.2218, 0.1543, 0.1928, -0.0321, -0.0481, 0.0142, 0.0027, -0.0064, -0.0317, 0.1187, 0.1117, 0.1093, 0.1093, 0.1072, 0.0121, 0.0138, -0.0128, 0.027, 0.0846, 0.0823, 0.0543, 0.0035, 0.0665, 0.0023, 0.0208, 0.008, -0.0533, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0809, -0.107, -0.1189, -0.1745, -0.1412, -0.1333, -0.1442, -0.2235, -0.1842, -0.106, -0.1099, -0.1142, -0.1856, -0.1327, -0.1198, -0.1158, -0.0377, -0.077, -0.0889, -0.122, -0.0792, -0.0852, -0.1337, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.2263, -0.2331, -0.1601, -0.1611, -0.0685, -0.1144, -0.1078, -0.113, -0.1648, -0.1325, -0.0724, 0.0243, -0.0228, -0.1831, -0.3239, -0.3473, -0.2747, -0.2416, -0.2461, -0.223, -0.2265, -0.2564, -0.242, -0.2922, -0.3414, -0.2934, -0.3002, -0.3066, -0.3253, -0.3126, -0.3037, -0.3317]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1798072554076491806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-06-04T19:21:18+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$apld also could be interesting with loi signed with hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "APLD could be interesting given LOI signed with hyperscaler.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PaulBieber @KevinLMak Difficult to make apples to apples comparison as data center locations matter significantly. $apld also could be interesting with loi signed with hyperscaler", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@KevinLMak What are your thoughts on $WULF and $IREN given today’s news?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PaulBieber", "ret_m1d": -0.06823528514188881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06823528514188881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06711867307329666, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06615109455745916, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011166120685921488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002084190584429657, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09882354736328125, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09882354736328125, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08693826082455614, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07660974700028245, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011885286538725115, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022213800362998803, "ret_p1w": -0.02588238435633039, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02588238435633039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04208254768909503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06869956067478433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01620016333276464, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04281717631845394, "ret_p1m": 0.5929411719827091, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5929411719827091, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5459130733990092, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4913578136546053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04702809858369994, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10158335832810383, "ret_p3m": -0.14117644814883956, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14117644814883956, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21140575059582556, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18658224831158732, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.070229302446986, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045405800162747756, "ret_p6m": 1.2729411405675553, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2729411405675553, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1324867952936393, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1721835245548586, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14045434527391598, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10075761601269662, "price_path": [-0.0212, 0.08, -0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0847, -0.0047, 0.0588, -0.0024, 0.0071, 0.0941, 0.0706, -0.0024, 0.0376, 0.0188, 0.0235, 0.0071, 0.0071, -0.0329, -0.1012, -0.2165, -0.2306, -0.2988, -0.2647, -0.3294, -0.2965, -0.2776, -0.3624, -0.4082, -0.4235, -0.4353, -0.4376, -0.4188, -0.3624, -0.3106, -0.2988, -0.2941, -0.3082, -0.3624, -0.3635, -0.2941, -0.3035, -0.2871, -0.2282, -0.2706, -0.2235, -0.2141, -0.2212, -0.1812, -0.1576, -0.1059, -0.1388, -0.0259, 0.0776, 0.04, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0847, 0.0847, 0.0871, 0.0188, -0.0141, -0.0047, -0.0682, 0.0, 0.0988, 0.1576, 0.0588, -0.0282, -0.0259, -0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0941, 0.2847, 0.2141, 0.2141, 0.4212, 0.2988, 0.4306, 0.4894, 0.4188, 0.4682, 0.4, 0.5294, 0.4918, 0.5929, 0.5929, 0.6329, 0.68, 0.2871, 0.3788, 0.3835, 0.4588, 0.5906, 0.6024, 0.4588, 0.3365, 0.3459, 0.2494, 0.1882, 0.0753, 0.0459, 0.0447, 0.0024, -0.0635, 0.1435, 0.0565, -0.0024, -0.0659, -0.0094, -0.0824, -0.0259, -0.0824, -0.0635, -0.0706, -0.0965, -0.0588, -0.0565, -0.0329, -0.0518, -0.0141, -0.0376, 0.0706, 0.1576, 0.1129, 0.0376, -0.1012, -0.1412, -0.1412, -0.2588, -0.2376, 0.2635, 0.0706, 0.5482, 0.5153, 0.3812, 0.4165, 0.4329, 0.3859, 0.3671, 0.4282, 0.3082, 0.4165, 0.5765, 0.6659, 0.8047, 0.9412, 0.9271, 0.9412, 0.9012, 0.9271, 0.8918, 0.7529, 0.6706, 0.8471, 0.7412, 0.6212, 0.7129, 0.7765, 0.7176, 0.8941, 0.8706, 0.9247, 1.0494, 1.1482, 1.0259, 0.9365, 0.8918, 0.9459, 0.8518, 0.7318, 0.5906, 0.52, 0.4047, 0.4988, 0.6635, 0.8329, 0.7788, 0.7835, 0.7859, 0.6871, 0.6141, 0.7012, 0.8235, 1.1553, 1.0612, 1.1529, 1.3176, 1.5129, 1.2918, 1.2729]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1719845978704957764", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-01T22:36:49+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $RELY", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY despite AH selloff; management right to keep investing in growth given large market opportunity and strong liquidity.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Remitly $RELY earnings update:\n\nDespite revenue beat, market is hammering the stock AH, down 22%\n\nRevenue totaled $241.6 million, compared to $169.3 million, up 43%. y/y (slight beat on estimates)\n\nNet loss was $35.7 million, compared to a net loss of $33.1 million. y/y (slight miss on estimates, mostly non cash SBC)\n\nAdjusted EBITDA was $10.5 million, compared to $(3.7) million. y/y\n\nThoughts after call: \n\nManagement made it clear that they are focused on more growth expenditures and market clearly wants them to pare back and focus on profitability.\n\nRemitly cash burn is ~breakeven and they have ample liquidity (over 400mm) and no debt. They are internally funding growth.\n\nShifting gears to focus on profitability now is not the right move given they are in the ~second inning of a large and scalable market opportunity.\n\nLong $RELY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023921705101919044, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023921705101919044, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013369324370884006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013369324370884006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010552380731035038, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010552380731035038, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.3185937247884668, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.3185937247884668, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.3377581336200509, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.3377581336200509, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0191644088315841, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0191644088315841, "ret_p1w": -0.2500905973312605, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2500905973312605, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.28461007251831594, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.28461007251831594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03451947518705545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03451947518705545, "ret_p1m": -0.219282319811552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.219282319811552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.29911008669868344, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.29911008669868344, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07982776688713145, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07982776688713145, "ret_p3m": -0.36752444123119454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36752444123119454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5345659487469324, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5345659487469324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16704150751573787, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16704150751573787, "ret_p6m": -0.3559260471371589, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3559260471371589, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5557132400350869, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5557132400350869, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.199787192897928, "bench_c_p6m": 0.199787192897928, "price_path": [-0.1921, -0.203, -0.166, -0.1856, -0.1867, -0.1377, -0.1624, -0.1562, -0.1646, -0.162, -0.1305, -0.1138, -0.0975, -0.0979, -0.1131, -0.0975, -0.1044, -0.1, -0.1, -0.0884, -0.0801, -0.0801, -0.0765, -0.0946, -0.0903, -0.0866, -0.0823, -0.0797, -0.0935, -0.0848, -0.0576, -0.058, -0.0482, -0.0837, -0.0989, -0.1062, -0.1069, -0.1258, -0.1037, -0.0801, -0.0859, -0.0881, -0.1109, -0.0989, -0.0623, -0.0344, -0.0417, -0.0631, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0497, -0.0272, -0.0163, -0.0232, -0.0221, -0.0486, -0.0326, -0.0152, -0.0464, -0.0714, -0.0642, -0.0536, -0.0239, 0.0, -0.3186, -0.3113, -0.2842, -0.2468, -0.2501, -0.2613, -0.228, -0.2472, -0.2004, -0.191, -0.2106, -0.1997, -0.2124, -0.2182, -0.2149, -0.2149, -0.1914, -0.208, -0.2175, -0.2291, -0.2193, -0.2414, -0.236, -0.2679, -0.2874, -0.311, -0.3016, -0.2921, -0.2939, -0.2831, -0.3063, -0.3523, -0.3403, -0.3258, -0.3461, -0.3204, -0.3139, -0.3139, -0.3113, -0.2997, -0.2947, -0.2961, -0.2961, -0.3113, -0.3208, -0.3211, -0.3258, -0.3171, -0.3331, -0.3374, -0.3414, -0.3451, -0.3451, -0.3523, -0.4056, -0.4143, -0.4136, -0.402, -0.4143, -0.407, -0.3947, -0.3875, -0.3675, -0.3813, -0.3788, -0.3711, -0.353, -0.3443, -0.3512, -0.3516, -0.344, -0.34, -0.3313, -0.3596, -0.3451, -0.3316, -0.3338, -0.3338, -0.3476, -0.3588, -0.2436, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2269, -0.2421, -0.2526, -0.2573, -0.2534, -0.2577, -0.2439, -0.2497, -0.2407, -0.2519, -0.2552, -0.2512, -0.2679, -0.2704, -0.27, -0.2704, -0.2392, -0.2236, -0.2472, -0.2494, -0.2454, -0.2418, -0.2483, -0.2483, -0.257, -0.2505, -0.2523, -0.2599, -0.2515, -0.2399, -0.2331, -0.266, -0.2925, -0.3081, -0.3287, -0.3385, -0.3262, -0.3258, -0.3291, -0.3331, -0.3171, -0.332, -0.3559]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1514466098086830081", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-04-14T04:50:29+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We see about 50% upside from today's price", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META with ~50% upside from current price based on their write-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Our write up on Facebook \nhttps://t.co/fZcXgJqLke\n\n$FB  $META\n\n---\n\nWe see about 50% upside from today's price", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022885096945190364, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022885096945190364, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01027641372016097, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0055866975041307665, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012608683225029393, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017298399441059598, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.10519551179240316, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10519551179240316, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10581209673394032, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049991050280535076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0006165849415371571, "bench_c_p1w": -0.055204461511868086, "ret_p1m": -0.05500053266588156, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05500053266588156, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027390538064440806, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05736401102492461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08239107073032237, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11236454369080617, "ret_p3m": -0.22318978475615614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22318978475615614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09683937533491505, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05190556730708851, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.1263504094212411, "bench_c_p3m": -0.17128421744906763, "ret_p6m": -0.36506804952973215, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36506804952973215, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20075162491501297, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10139808922711924, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.16431642461471918, "bench_c_p6m": -0.2636699603026129, "price_path": [0.5791, 0.5137, 0.5206, 0.5061, 0.4424, 0.4688, 0.4281, 0.4018, 0.4018, 0.4355, 0.4904, 0.5177, 0.5368, 0.1312, 0.128, 0.0701, 0.0476, 0.1038, 0.0851, 0.0446, 0.0358, 0.0515, 0.0303, -0.0118, -0.0191, -0.0191, -0.0385, -0.0558, -0.0123, 0.0014, 0.004, -0.0318, -0.0098, -0.0343, -0.0481, -0.1081, -0.0946, -0.0556, -0.0712, -0.1074, -0.112, -0.0864, -0.0312, -0.0111, 0.03, 0.0062, 0.0308, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0554, 0.0638, 0.0936, 0.0841, 0.058, 0.0698, 0.1128, 0.1031, 0.0624, 0.0608, 0.0578, 0.0299, 0.0188, 0.0229, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0339, -0.0464, -0.1052, -0.124, -0.1103, -0.1391, -0.1676, -0.0212, -0.0462, 0.0045, 0.0088, 0.0629, -0.009, -0.0305, -0.0665, -0.0596, -0.102, -0.0901, -0.055, -0.0482, -0.036, -0.0854, -0.0899, -0.0792, -0.0664, -0.1375, -0.1254, -0.0883, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.1025, -0.0539, -0.0923, -0.0758, -0.0691, -0.0644, -0.1246, -0.1647, -0.2185, -0.221, -0.1943, -0.2346, -0.221, -0.221, -0.2528, -0.2585, -0.2447, -0.1904, -0.1936, -0.2355, -0.22, -0.2328, -0.2386, -0.2386, -0.1998, -0.1923, -0.1807, -0.187, -0.225, -0.2232, -0.2221, -0.248, -0.2164, -0.2043, -0.1637, -0.1289, -0.1285, -0.1946, -0.2071, -0.2428, -0.1932, -0.2353, -0.243, -0.2391, -0.2378, -0.1969, -0.1885, -0.2049, -0.19, -0.1982, -0.1515, -0.1555, -0.1412, -0.1394, -0.1461, -0.1681, -0.169, -0.2009, -0.2242, -0.2335, -0.2232, -0.197, -0.2303, -0.2427, -0.2523, -0.2248, -0.2132, -0.2372, -0.2372, -0.2457, -0.2369, -0.2289, -0.1952, -0.1961, -0.2714, -0.2793, -0.2885, -0.304, -0.2957, -0.3049, -0.3238, -0.3205, -0.332, -0.3512, -0.3605, -0.3262, -0.351, -0.3545, -0.3405, -0.3326, -0.3388, -0.3383, -0.3651]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1759661316078195192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-02-19T19:28:45+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Do we think it is a good brand that is undervalued? Yes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "DOCS viewed as undervalued good brand despite not being luxury-tier.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@hasilp89 @guastywinds Do we think $DOCS is on par with Louis V? No. Do with think it is a good brand that is undervalued? Yes", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch @guastywinds Discounting seasonal products: imo it shouldn’t matter. You don’t find lvmh discounting seasonal products. \n\nConsumer doesn’t see sales and say oh that’s not core black product. They see a discount and think this brand discounts.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MrBlobby89", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03066272032690942, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03066272032690942, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025157235526912625, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025157235526912625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005505484799996796, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005505484799996796, "ret_p1w": -0.0771513405365668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0771513405365668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0901239451312047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0901239451312047, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012972604594637893, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012972604594637893, "ret_p1m": -0.060995726545444495, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.060995726545444495, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09663523443169042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09663523443169042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035639507886245925, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035639507886245925, "ret_p3m": -0.21727662938228753, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21727662938228753, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2789823164601991, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2789823164601991, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061705687077911575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061705687077911575, "ret_p6m": 0.17309600793125002, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17309600793125002, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08106934983397185, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08106934983397185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09202665809727817, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09202665809727817, "price_path": [-0.1916, -0.1916, -0.1902, -0.2186, -0.2028, -0.2113, -0.2334, -0.1972, -0.1909, -0.2156, -0.2018, -0.2044, -0.1919, -0.2077, -0.2051, -0.1869, -0.1263, -0.124, -0.1131, -0.0996, -0.1032, -0.0752, -0.0795, -0.0795, -0.0689, -0.0676, -0.063, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0584, -0.0992, -0.0768, -0.0735, -0.0676, -0.0597, -0.0607, -0.0333, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0336, -0.0287, -0.0092, 0.0063, 0.0406, 0.0366, -0.0201, -0.0188, -0.0425, -0.0382, -0.1009, -0.1114, -0.0933, -0.0936, -0.1015, -0.095, -0.0966, -0.0689, -0.0574, 0.0043, -0.0432, -0.0307, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0307, -0.0432, -0.0435, -0.0673, -0.0772, -0.0551, -0.0788, -0.0692, -0.0752, -0.0561, -0.0854, -0.0732, -0.0541, -0.0798, -0.0867, -0.088, -0.0801, -0.0818, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.061, -0.0607, -0.0762, -0.0887, -0.1128, -0.1101, -0.1101, -0.1128, -0.1128, -0.1292, -0.1494, -0.1527, -0.156, -0.149, -0.15, -0.1289, -0.1477, -0.1289, -0.147, -0.1619, -0.1738, -0.1695, -0.1817, -0.1879, -0.1827, -0.1896, -0.2117, -0.2222, -0.2146, -0.1998, -0.1991, -0.2084, -0.1982, -0.2057, -0.1889, -0.1965, -0.2127, -0.2166, -0.2295, -0.242, -0.2249, -0.2136, -0.2173, -0.0758, -0.0452, -0.0715, -0.0758, -0.0963, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0537, -0.0597, -0.0851, -0.0857, -0.0887, -0.0864, -0.0607, -0.0373, -0.0284, -0.0254, -0.0152, -0.0224, -0.0241, -0.0155, -0.0742, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1048, -0.0926, -0.092, -0.0861, -0.0877, -0.0824, -0.0778, -0.0943, -0.1111, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.0933, -0.1039, -0.0976, -0.122, -0.1068, -0.0933, -0.0617, -0.0323, -0.0442, -0.0903, -0.0696, -0.0511, -0.0692, -0.0808, -0.0762, -0.0715, -0.0689, -0.0551, -0.0768, -0.0969, -0.1101, -0.1431, -0.1345, -0.1592, -0.154, 0.1738, 0.1523, 0.1731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1471900231080058887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2021-12-17T17:48:56+00:00", "symbol": "PAYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Helpful to zoom out to see how strong plasma trends are $PAYS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on PAYS citing strong plasma trends visible on a longer time frame.", "resolved_tickers": ["PAYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Helpful to zoom out to see how strong plasma trends are $PAYS https://t.co/Qt3YzrnsIp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019999980926513672, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019999980926513672, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030757225765632557, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030757225765632557, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010757244839118885, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010757244839118885, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006666660308837891, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006666660308837891, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003966703548037853, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003966703548037853, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010633363856875744, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010633363856875744, "ret_p1w": 0.039999961853027344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039999961853027344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01666721450980302, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01666721450980302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023332747343224325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023332747343224325, "ret_p1m": 0.2933333714803059, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2933333714803059, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28278695645594154, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28278695645594154, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010546415024364375, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010546415024364375, "ret_p3m": 0.48000001907348633, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.48000001907348633, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5327323052361636, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5327323052361636, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05273228616267722, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05273228616267722, "ret_p6m": -0.006666660308837891, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.006666660308837891, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1753521382257226, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1753521382257226, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.1820187985345605, "bench_c_p6m": -0.1820187985345605, "price_path": [0.86, 0.8267, 0.8933, 0.92, 0.9267, 0.78, 0.82, 0.8, 0.7333, 0.7, 0.7067, 0.76, 0.7933, 0.7467, 0.6867, 0.6667, 0.7267, 0.7333, 0.76, 0.6733, 0.74, 0.74, 0.7133, 0.72, 0.7133, 0.6933, 0.6533, 0.6867, 0.68, 0.8333, 0.8, 0.8467, 0.7467, 0.7, 0.7867, 0.8267, 0.6267, 0.48, 0.5267, 0.4733, 0.4467, 0.36, 0.32, 0.3067, 0.2867, 0.2267, 0.34, 0.34, 0.3067, 0.2333, 0.2067, 0.1667, 0.1933, 0.1533, 0.1733, 0.2267, 0.26, 0.2, 0.1533, 0.12, 0.04, 0.0533, -0.02, 0.0, -0.0067, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, -0.0267, 0.0, 0.0667, 0.1267, 0.0667, 0.2467, 0.24, 0.2, 0.2333, 0.2067, 0.2267, 0.2867, 0.3667, 0.3, 0.2933, 0.2933, 0.2533, 0.2, 0.24, 0.24, 0.3333, 0.4067, 0.5, 0.3733, 0.4133, 0.48, 0.5333, 0.5067, 0.5, 0.58, 0.62, 0.5667, 0.5867, 0.5533, 0.5133, 0.5067, 0.5933, 0.62, 0.5667, 0.4867, 0.4867, 0.4533, 0.4, 0.4867, 0.4733, 0.4467, 0.4, 0.4333, 0.3867, 0.3533, 0.3333, 0.4267, 0.4533, 0.4067, 0.4067, 0.3933, 0.44, 0.48, 0.5133, 0.5733, 0.5267, 0.6667, 0.4267, 0.28, 0.2733, 0.2667, 0.3733, 0.3333, 0.3133, 0.3133, 0.36, 0.3333, 0.3267, 0.2533, 0.22, 0.22, 0.24, 0.24, 0.2267, 0.2267, 0.1733, 0.2067, 0.2533, 0.2, 0.1333, 0.2867, 0.2667, 0.22, 0.24, 0.2467, 0.2467, 0.26, 0.2467, 0.1933, 0.1667, 0.0267, 0.12, -0.0133, -0.1733, -0.0533, -0.1067, -0.0333, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0667, -0.0933, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.12, -0.0733, -0.0733, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0933, 0.16, 0.1267, 0.2067, 0.2133, 0.1867, 0.0933, -0.0067]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1818698571484741754", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-31T17:21:43+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of our largest positions, $RELY Remitly reports after close today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RELY is one of the author's largest positions; bullish on digital cross-border remittance growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "One of our largest positions, $RELY Remitly reports after close today. \n\nDigital x-border remittance markets are strong this year with $WU and $EEFT reporting healthy YoY transaction and revenue growth.\n\n---\n\nThere level of dilution is standard for a tech firm with their growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024981069095617148, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024981069095617148, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04097566726426238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04097566726426238, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015994598168645235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015994598168645235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04012110003336056, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04012110003336056, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05428201269666344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05428201269666344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014160912663302883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014160912663302883, "ret_p1w": 0.0037850257827762857, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0037850257827762857, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06215374602937063, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06215374602937063, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05836872024659434, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05836872024659434, "ret_p1m": 0.04087811962858834, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04087811962858834, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027189346757584776, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027189346757584776, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013688772871003563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013688772871003563, "ret_p3m": 0.14685840838615416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14685840838615416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08912248896829933, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08912248896829933, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773591941785483, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773591941785483, "ret_p6m": 0.7827402853182741, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7827402853182741, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6686015936602929, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6686015936602929, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11413869165798118, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11413869165798118, "price_path": [0.1287, 0.1665, 0.1522, 0.1249, 0.1113, 0.0848, 0.0818, 0.078, 0.0772, 0.0749, 0.078, 0.0916, 0.0606, 0.0401, 0.0318, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0204, 0.0038, -0.0114, -0.0163, -0.0182, -0.0212, -0.0023, 0.0227, 0.0038, -0.0091, -0.0167, -0.0091, -0.05, -0.0674, -0.0848, -0.109, -0.109, -0.1211, -0.0855, -0.0901, -0.0999, -0.0878, -0.0787, -0.0825, -0.0863, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0288, -0.0401, -0.0356, -0.0522, -0.0182, -0.0098, 0.0242, 0.0204, 0.0235, -0.0121, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.0348, 0.0053, 0.0295, 0.0537, 0.0288, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0401, 0.0159, -0.0038, -0.0242, 0.0038, 0.0348, 0.0303, 0.0136, 0.0568, 0.0484, 0.0674, 0.0961, 0.1037, 0.0787, 0.0772, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0295, 0.0197, 0.0151, 0.0409, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0174, 0.022, 0.0416, 0.0174, 0.0379, 0.031, 0.0424, 0.0946, 0.1014, 0.0946, 0.0802, 0.0765, 0.0787, 0.0696, 0.0598, 0.0431, 0.0401, 0.0447, 0.0333, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.0159, -0.0242, 0.0038, -0.0167, -0.0257, -0.0288, -0.0394, 0.0, 0.0265, 0.0537, 0.0613, 0.0916, 0.1347, 0.1151, 0.0984, 0.0908, 0.0961, 0.1181, 0.1469, 0.1287, 0.1552, 0.3611, 0.3588, 0.433, 0.4656, 0.4936, 0.4739, 0.4762, 0.4936, 0.483, 0.5329, 0.5011, 0.4868, 0.4958, 0.5117, 0.5488, 0.5655, 0.5927, 0.5534, 0.5753, 0.5768, 0.5768, 0.5564, 0.5708, 0.5609, 0.5882, 0.5746, 0.5973, 0.5912, 0.5852, 0.6442, 0.617, 0.57, 0.6442, 0.6442, 0.6185, 0.6359, 0.7116, 0.698, 0.7139, 0.7139, 0.7464, 0.726, 0.7184, 0.7086, 0.7086, 0.6957, 0.7403, 0.754, 0.757, 0.7509, 0.7509, 0.7025, 0.7093, 0.6957, 0.7411, 0.7502, 0.7608, 0.7608, 0.7517, 0.7502, 0.7827]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1821579071123554802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-08T16:07:48+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XMTR beat beat, +42% on earnings", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long XMTR after beat-beat earnings with 25% marketplace revenue growth and EBITDA improvement.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$XMTR beat beat, +42% on earnings\n\n-Q2 market place rev growth 25% YoY\n-Big adj. EBITDA improvement to ~3mm\n-# Accounts with &gt;50k spend increases 24%", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are long Xometry $XMTR\n\nThe leading disruptor in digital manufacturing and is in the ~second inning of a large secular growth story.\n\nBusiness background &amp; Thesis below 🧵", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2881249785423279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2881249785423279, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2655298844787999, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2655915427508164, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.022595094063528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022533435791511458, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0025000572204589844, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0025000572204589844, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001909343142900255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002339195363410873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004409400363359239, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001608618570481113, "ret_p1w": 0.10437500476837158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10437500476837158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.062125160669905144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08111743888014789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04224984409846644, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023257565888223697, "ret_p1m": 0.1012500524520874, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1012500524520874, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08295185127980176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08813238477279661, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018298201172285644, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01311766767929079, "ret_p3m": 0.6150000095367432, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6150000095367432, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5248862219691712, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5161598386304602, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09011378756757193, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09884017090628294, "ret_p6m": 1.075624942779541, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.075624942779541, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9341991748103478, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9529979855797457, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14142576796919326, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12262695719979533, "price_path": [0.0338, 0.03, 0.0319, -0.0331, 0.0144, 0.0131, -0.0188, -0.0169, -0.0263, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.0194, -0.0312, -0.0519, -0.0412, -0.0394, -0.0569, -0.0738, -0.065, -0.0694, -0.1112, -0.1394, -0.1369, -0.1769, -0.2081, -0.2163, -0.2156, -0.2156, -0.2144, -0.2119, -0.2538, -0.2569, -0.2459, -0.2113, -0.2775, -0.295, -0.2713, -0.2669, -0.2669, -0.29, -0.2525, -0.2444, -0.2325, -0.18, -0.1394, -0.1119, -0.0138, -0.0406, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.1119, -0.0344, -0.0669, -0.0569, -0.05, -0.0581, -0.0825, -0.0856, -0.1475, -0.2019, -0.2194, -0.2531, -0.2881, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0156, 0.1406, 0.0738, 0.1044, 0.1456, 0.1819, 0.1694, 0.1906, 0.1956, 0.2613, 0.28, 0.2687, 0.255, 0.2656, 0.2275, 0.2275, 0.1494, 0.1656, 0.1731, 0.1013, 0.1163, 0.0944, 0.0825, 0.1094, 0.1756, 0.1562, 0.2181, 0.2038, 0.2, 0.1812, 0.1588, 0.1712, 0.1437, 0.1569, 0.1744, 0.1481, 0.0956, 0.1013, 0.0944, 0.0869, 0.0856, 0.0788, 0.0731, 0.0881, 0.1225, 0.1756, 0.2006, 0.3, 0.2731, 0.3062, 0.315, 0.2906, 0.2494, 0.2181, 0.2125, 0.2481, 0.2787, 0.2256, 0.23, 0.405, 0.3787, 0.615, 0.9138, 0.9125, 0.9119, 1.0113, 0.9588, 0.9344, 0.8494, 0.8181, 0.8569, 0.8625, 0.8531, 0.9419, 0.9625, 1.0444, 0.9538, 0.9375, 0.9375, 0.9406, 0.965, 1.0, 1.0125, 0.97, 1.0013, 1.0512, 1.0563, 1.1731, 1.1719, 1.1725, 1.2956, 1.3263, 1.3012, 1.2875, 1.6044, 1.6325, 1.7313, 1.7313, 1.7912, 1.7613, 1.7425, 1.6662, 1.6662, 1.6019, 1.7, 1.625, 1.4356, 1.2838, 1.2838, 1.0963, 1.0575, 1.0806, 1.1344, 1.1106, 1.0769, 1.0769, 1.1288, 1.0631, 1.0781, 1.0412, 1.1019, 1.1288, 1.1325, 1.1831, 1.0756]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1911898150258049389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-14T21:43:35+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expect significantly more QE in our future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Expects significantly more QE under next Fed chair with single mandate to keep borrowing rates low; bullish on long-duration Treasuries.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "buybacks of treasuries are the province of the Fed, not the Treasury. \n\nthe next Fed chair Trump appoints in 2026 will have marching orders to operate under a single mandate: keep borrowing rates low. \n\nexpect significantly more QE in our future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who took a dim view of his predecessor’s debt issuance policy by alleging it inappropriately influenced financial conditions, said Treasury could increase buybacks of off-the-run securities if needed to stabilize markets https://t.co/0txeGybDkJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0070848850662613705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0070848850662613705, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002523338245489004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002523338245489004, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608223311750375, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608223311750375, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0035423053195684506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0035423053195684506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006343114953831441, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006343114953831441, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028008096342629907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028008096342629907, "ret_p1w": -0.017255154290247265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017255154290247265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029561788941913858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029561788941913858, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04681694323216112, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04681694323216112, "ret_p1m": -0.014900935467181076, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014900935467181076, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10341574944734233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10341574944734233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851481398016126, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851481398016126, "ret_p3m": 0.005165450283684425, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005165450283684425, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15908390204554856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15908390204554856, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.164249352329233, "bench_c_p3m": 0.164249352329233, "ret_p6m": 0.041957071547908065, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.041957071547908065, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20629698853248746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20629698853248746, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24825406008039552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24825406008039552, "price_path": [-0.0187, -0.0156, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.005, -0.0102, -0.0179, -0.0135, -0.0019, -0.0025, -0.0046, -0.0009, -0.0074, 0.0007, 0.0037, 0.0203, 0.0199, 0.0133, 0.0102, 0.0037, -0.0099, 0.0066, 0.0119, 0.0119, -0.0, 0.0012, 0.005, 0.0171, 0.0201, 0.0377, 0.0438, 0.0364, 0.0491, 0.054, 0.0411, 0.0327, 0.0293, 0.026, 0.0367, 0.0293, 0.0232, 0.0322, 0.0267, 0.0318, 0.0329, 0.0382, 0.0389, 0.0327, 0.0222, 0.022, 0.0153, 0.0124, 0.0264, 0.0365, 0.0455, 0.0448, 0.0496, 0.061, 0.029, 0.0096, 0.0155, -0.0125, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.0091, 0.0002, 0.0002, -0.0173, -0.0118, -0.0022, 0.0083, 0.0158, 0.0222, 0.0307, 0.0224, 0.0172, 0.0062, 0.0006, 0.0039, 0.0082, -0.0031, -0.0016, -0.0109, -0.0149, -0.0214, -0.0128, -0.0102, -0.0131, -0.0202, -0.0369, -0.0319, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0167, -0.021, -0.0119, -0.0104, -0.0196, -0.0214, -0.0055, -0.0048, -0.0175, -0.0164, -0.0113, -0.0084, 0.0035, -0.0062, -0.0162, -0.0042, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0043, -0.0011, 0.0061, 0.0074, 0.0125, 0.006, 0.0159, 0.0185, 0.012, 0.0049, 0.0049, -0.0047, -0.0059, 0.0045, 0.0052, -0.0087, -0.0108, -0.0177, -0.0163, -0.0166, -0.0151, -0.0063, -0.0003, -0.0058, -0.0075, -0.0013, -0.0078, 0.009, 0.0038, 0.0044, 0.0186, 0.0214, 0.0246, 0.0186, 0.0169, 0.0125, 0.0136, 0.0085, 0.0169, 0.0094, 0.0022, -0.0007, 0.0051, 0.0073, 0.0023, 0.0097, 0.0068, 0.0062, 0.0051, 0.0117, 0.0045, 0.0045, -0.003, 0.008, 0.0156, 0.0311, 0.0449, 0.0389, 0.0449, 0.0518, 0.0473, 0.0498, 0.052, 0.0493, 0.0385, 0.0365, 0.0328, 0.04, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0351, 0.0436, 0.0406, 0.0432, 0.0463, 0.0443, 0.036, 0.042]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055074848271990966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T23:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "FISV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We threw the towel in here. And no, the buybacks don't impress us.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exiting/bearish on FISV; dismisses the $13.5B buyback thesis as unimpressive.", "resolved_tickers": ["FISV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We threw the towel in here. And no, the buybacks don’t impress us. $FISV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today, $FISV said they will generate $13.5 in free cash flow during 2027-29, and it will all go to share repurchases. That is 47% of the current market cap.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020389079148048106, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020389079148048106, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012556654050252969, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012556654050252969, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03497947584374672, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03497947584374672, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.047008827736471304, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047008827736471304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "ret_p1w": 0.044145167429249454, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044145167429249454, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05142962461347422, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05142962461347422, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1104, 0.1869, 0.1786, 0.151, 0.1498, 0.0924, 0.1061, 0.1525, 0.1577, 0.1652, 0.1569, 0.1764, 0.171, 0.1945, 0.1803, 0.1465, 0.112, 0.0943, 0.0488, 0.0614, 0.0769, 0.0889, 0.0673, 0.0666, 0.0675, 0.0795, 0.0539, 0.0595, 0.0389, 0.0082, 0.02, 0.0438, 0.0372, 0.0505, 0.0505, 0.0535, 0.0348, 0.0593, 0.0552, 0.0492, 0.0997, 0.104, 0.1465, 0.168, 0.1966, 0.1998, 0.1833, 0.1833, 0.1513, 0.138, 0.1461, 0.1523, 0.1601, 0.1719, 0.1624, 0.1749, 0.0715, 0.0496, 0.0627, 0.0378, 0.0174, 0.0266, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.035, 0.0599, 0.0481, 0.0552, 0.0441, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.0402, 0.0404, 0.0443, 0.058, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052065282793914386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-06T16:37:43+00:00", "symbol": "DNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With only ~220mm in EV the risk/reward skew appears favorable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DNA at ~$220M EV; pivoting to robotics/AI dark-lab automation with viable differentiated tech, risk/reward skewed favorable despite early-stage traction.", "resolved_tickers": ["DNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DNA could be interesting. The company is transitioning from a synthetic biology play that was an utter failure (stock is down ~99% since highs) into more of a robotics/AI play focused on the future of “dark labs.” Multiple expert calls seem to verify the underlying automation tech is viable and differentiated.\n\nThe company is burning roughly ~$150mm annually so has a few years of runway. With only ~220mm in EV the risk/reward skew appears favorable but highly non-concrete given traction is in early stages.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03670633813090807, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03670633813090807, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022997444621088436, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036018643158941654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006876949719664127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023809501283202916, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023809501283202916, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02687560644052922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028486204889293543, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004676703606090626, "ret_p1w": -0.14781743872973607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14781743872973607, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15937322177385183, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15682715587123364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009009717141497564, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.002, 0.0069, -0.0843, -0.0724, -0.128, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1071, -0.1121, -0.0387, -0.0853, -0.121, -0.121, -0.0694, -0.0367, -0.3304, -0.3006, -0.3353, -0.3363, -0.3214, -0.3552, -0.3442, -0.371, -0.3224, -0.3651, -0.3254, -0.3304, -0.3224, -0.3562, -0.3145, -0.3343, -0.3065, -0.2887, -0.2698, -0.3641, -0.4117, -0.4563, -0.3919, -0.3264, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3185, -0.3234, -0.3175, -0.3621, -0.3601, -0.3373, -0.2341, -0.2272, -0.2113, -0.2034, -0.2083, -0.1855, -0.1627, -0.2361, -0.2192, -0.2242, -0.2212, -0.256, -0.1607, -0.0377, -0.0169, -0.0367, 0.0, 0.0238, -0.1141, -0.1399, -0.1726, -0.1478, -0.2212, -0.2351, -0.2688, -0.2698, -0.2341, -0.1984, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1379, -0.1359, -0.0615, -0.0704, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913918474503741832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-20T11:31:37+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "our favorite player in the EM space is $RELY. I think they will grow revenues at +20% for the next decade.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish RELY as top EM payments pick; expects +20% revenue growth for the next decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Eyal__Weiss Thanks Eyal, our favorite player in the EM space is $RELY. I think they will grow revenues at +20% for the next decade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Nice write-up. As a shareholder I agree that they are fairly priced (which is a good thing BTW).\n\nRegarding EM, indeed that there are other players growing very fast in the EM space. Attached is a slide from the latest investors presentation of $DLO, showing that the growth in https://t.co/TYxe2AFkSH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Eyal__Weiss", "ret_m1d": 0.04345549251984826, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04345549251984826, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019072406889313553, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019072406889313553, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383085630534707, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383085630534707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013089004974185414, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013089004974185414, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012928753942439641, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012928753942439641, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.026017758916625056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026017758916625056, "ret_p1w": 0.047643970117140055, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047643970117140055, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024298893804748367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024298893804748367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.07194286392188842, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07194286392188842, "ret_p1m": 0.19371721370123396, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19371721370123396, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04004332843891234, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04004332843891234, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367388526232162, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367388526232162, "ret_p3m": -0.10052356219619107, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10052356219619107, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32628957878379405, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32628957878379405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576601658760298, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576601658760298, "ret_p6m": -0.19842931341142678, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19842931341142678, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49450838609143744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49450838609143744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607907268001066, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607907268001066, "price_path": [0.2105, 0.233, 0.2052, 0.2126, 0.2304, 0.2455, 0.2424, 0.2304, 0.2482, 0.2675, 0.3304, 0.3361, 0.3298, 0.3455, 0.3204, 0.3115, 0.3712, 0.4209, 0.4209, 0.3859, 0.3565, 0.3503, 0.2492, 0.2942, 0.2581, 0.2482, 0.2387, 0.2565, 0.2209, 0.2042, 0.1634, 0.1309, 0.1042, 0.0513, 0.0723, 0.034, 0.0351, 0.0419, 0.022, 0.0204, 0.0613, 0.0775, 0.0644, 0.0974, 0.1005, 0.1162, 0.1094, 0.0958, 0.089, 0.0963, 0.1194, 0.0539, -0.023, -0.0152, -0.0236, 0.066, 0.0476, 0.0686, 0.0675, 0.0571, 0.0387, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0277, 0.0461, 0.0497, 0.0476, 0.0686, 0.0586, 0.0613, 0.0963, 0.099, 0.1099, 0.1042, 0.2649, 0.2487, 0.2822, 0.2681, 0.211, 0.1942, 0.1932, 0.1801, 0.1937, 0.1696, 0.1864, 0.1691, 0.1691, 0.1618, 0.1267, 0.101, 0.1183, 0.1283, 0.0974, 0.0885, 0.0932, 0.1277, 0.0634, 0.0398, 0.0503, 0.0429, 0.0131, 0.0225, 0.0806, 0.0749, 0.0749, 0.0539, 0.0408, 0.066, 0.0267, -0.0162, -0.0099, -0.0173, -0.0335, -0.044, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0304, -0.0393, -0.033, -0.0435, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.0859, -0.0864, -0.1005, -0.1092, -0.0958, -0.0979, -0.0885, -0.1016, -0.111, -0.099, -0.1168, -0.1105, -0.1361, -0.1733, -0.1565, -0.145, -0.1377, -0.0079, -0.0052, -0.0052, 0.0157, 0.0455, 0.0288, 0.0262, 0.0403, -0.0131, -0.0141, -0.0251, -0.0026, -0.0188, -0.0497, -0.0372, -0.0325, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0094, 0.0183, 0.0304, 0.0204, 0.0435, 0.0602, -0.012, -0.0241, -0.0492, -0.1272, -0.0995, -0.0874, -0.0937, -0.1042, -0.1079, -0.1298, -0.1471, -0.1492, -0.1414, -0.1351, -0.1466, -0.1529, -0.1581, -0.1602, -0.177, -0.1712, -0.1665, -0.1895, -0.2152, -0.2225, -0.1984]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046586066644189440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-21T13:45:16+00:00", "symbol": "SPT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are bullish, because it screens bad and the SBC problem (which is huge) is likely going to see big structural changes soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish SPT: SBC overhang screens bad but structural changes imminent as super-voting rights expire in December.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@joinyellowbrick @maxwiethe Yes that is in part why we are bullish, because it screens bad and the SBC problem (which is huge) is likely going to see big structural changes soon. It’s just not sustainable at this rev growth rate. Super voting rights expire in Dec.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@maxwiethe @pernasresearch @pernasresearch re: $SPT https://t.co/FEaYidYQ0L", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "joinyellowbrick", "ret_m1d": -0.031825726475813054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031825726475813054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03841582064218274, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03841582064218274, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04020104797149715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04020104797149715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03007435113342649, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03007435113342649, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "ret_p1w": 0.016750483246920966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016750483246920966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005942073454214825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005942073454214825, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "ret_p1m": 0.13902854769054662, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13902854769054662, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08623627691457725, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08623627691457725, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6432, 0.6415, 0.6583, 0.5846, 0.5595, 0.4573, 0.5159, 0.4539, 0.3417, 0.3484, 0.3216, 0.34, 0.2982, 0.3333, 0.2194, 0.1508, 0.1977, 0.1977, 0.1709, 0.2127, 0.2178, 0.1876, 0.0871, 0.134, 0.1323, 0.191, 0.0804, 0.0905, 0.1474, 0.1307, 0.1792, 0.0804, 0.0469, -0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0017, -0.0184, -0.0436, -0.0503, -0.0536, -0.0302, -0.0352, -0.0117, -0.0787, -0.067, -0.0385, -0.0737, -0.072, -0.0452, -0.062, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0318, -0.062, -0.0771, -0.1022, -0.1642, -0.1122, -0.1223, -0.067, -0.0553, -0.0754, -0.0318, 0.0, 0.0402, -0.062, 0.0034, 0.0067, 0.0168, -0.0084, 0.005, 0.0888, 0.1307, 0.1223, 0.067, 0.139, 0.2395, 0.0988, 0.0972, 0.057, 0.005, 0.0469, 0.0913, 0.1256, 0.139, 0.1206, 0.1424, 0.1424, 0.1457, 0.1307, 0.1709, 0.2529, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1964000303683875306", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T16:18:56+00:00", "symbol": "Remitly", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why I view Remitly as a generational hold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author views Remitly as a generational hold in digital payments/remittances.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Remitly Global Inc, Nasdaq-listed RELY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I sat down with @TIP_Network  to discuss a few things: \n\n· Our investment philosophy and track record\n· Why portfolio management is a critical driver of returns\n· The role of working capital and why investors should understand it deeply\n· Digital payments and remittances, including why I view Remitly as a generational hold\n· Where I see opportunities in AI for public equity investors\n\nThanks to @Clay_Finck for the interview!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "On today’s episode of We Study Billionaires, @Clay_Finck is joined by Deiya Pernas @pernasresearch to discuss his investing philosophy, why he sees opportunity for investors in the digital payments space, and why he is closely following developments in AI.\n\nTune in to the https://t.co/9rn4vbmMvp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009748616536115806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009748616536115806, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006843770431143925, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006843770431143925, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002904846104971881, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002904846104971881, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022575707502554554, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022575707502554554, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02011888005859186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02011888005859186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024568274439626947, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024568274439626947, "ret_p1w": -0.0682401200269358, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0682401200269358, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0839530122465415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0839530122465415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "ret_p1m": -0.19343250632953013, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19343250632953013, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.233961600105989, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.233961600105989, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "ret_p3m": -0.3170856554169631, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3170856554169631, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3766402786490558, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3766402786490558, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "ret_p6m": -0.13134938409470864, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13134938409470864, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1979040730412771, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1979040730412771, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "price_path": [0.019, 0.0292, 0.0221, -0.0072, 0.0021, 0.059, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0328, 0.02, 0.0446, 0.0062, -0.0359, -0.0298, -0.0369, -0.0528, -0.0631, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0498, -0.0585, -0.0523, -0.0626, -0.1093, -0.1093, -0.1042, -0.1047, -0.1185, -0.127, -0.1139, -0.116, -0.1067, -0.1195, -0.1288, -0.117, -0.1344, -0.1283, -0.1534, -0.1898, -0.1734, -0.1621, -0.155, -0.0277, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0046, 0.0246, 0.0082, 0.0056, 0.0195, -0.0328, -0.0339, -0.0446, -0.0226, -0.0385, -0.0688, -0.0564, -0.0518, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0292, -0.0021, 0.0097, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.039, -0.0318, -0.0436, -0.0682, -0.1447, -0.1175, -0.1057, -0.1119, -0.1221, -0.1257, -0.1473, -0.1642, -0.1662, -0.1585, -0.1524, -0.1637, -0.1698, -0.175, -0.177, -0.1934, -0.1878, -0.1832, -0.2057, -0.2309, -0.2381, -0.2145, -0.2057, -0.215, -0.2004, -0.1775, -0.1514, -0.1432, -0.1298, -0.1175, -0.1303, -0.1462, -0.1647, -0.1909, -0.177, -0.1555, -0.1698, -0.1565, -0.3684, -0.3479, -0.3504, -0.3592, -0.374, -0.3592, -0.3633, -0.3535, -0.3433, -0.353, -0.3638, -0.3592, -0.3592, -0.3356, -0.315, -0.315, -0.305, -0.3212, -0.3366, -0.3171, -0.3099, -0.3109, -0.3068, -0.274, -0.2186, -0.2335, -0.2483, -0.256, -0.2771, -0.2581, -0.255, -0.2499, -0.2499, -0.2596, -0.2663, -0.2663, -0.2699, -0.2791, -0.2889, -0.2919, -0.2919, -0.3217, -0.3273, -0.3084, -0.3012, -0.3007, -0.295, -0.3191, -0.3181, -0.3063, -0.2925, -0.2945, -0.2945, -0.2991, -0.274, -0.2673, -0.273, -0.2617, -0.2899, -0.3017, -0.312, -0.3217, -0.3161, -0.3653, -0.3397, -0.3433, -0.3325, -0.3099, -0.3007, -0.3202, -0.3438, -0.3453, -0.3453, -0.3289, -0.3017, -0.1206, -0.1201, -0.1637, -0.1693, -0.1662, -0.136, -0.1432, -0.1313]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920268566680461748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T00:04:37+00:00", "symbol": "WU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The only player that is vulnerable to this is WU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "WU is the only remittance player vulnerable to a US ban on undocumented-worker remittances; implied bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["WU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PD13158196 The only player that is vulnerable to this is WU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "25% of all remittance payments are sent by an undocumented worker\n\n$WU $RELY $EFFT $IDT $IMXI $TIGO\n\n“The White House announced that the United States will prohibit illegal immigrants from sending remittances abroad” (translation) https://t.co/0A6Zc29uwN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PD13158196", "ret_m1d": -0.023541604942692973, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023541604942692973, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01662202858879791, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015318626455332884, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006919576353895063, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008222978487360089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0010235055744208799, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010235055744208799, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00025060983473879084, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010235055744208799, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012741154091596707, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.0010235055744209909, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010235055744209909, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04392757449021789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027456260362338947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04495108006463888, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028479765936759938, "ret_p1m": -0.031729758063728464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031729758063728464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.092041893395718, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0602095240004884, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.060312135331989536, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028479765936759938, "ret_p3m": -0.15508882283293235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15508882283293235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2697075327075016, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19554576201012952, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11461870987456924, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04045693917719717, "ret_p6m": 0.009985555233596122, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.009985555233596122, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20399689448762692, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0474244986557979, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21398244972122304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05741005388939402, "price_path": [0.0461, 0.027, 0.025, 0.0371, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.0871, 0.0801, 0.0751, 0.0671, 0.0651, 0.0921, 0.0751, 0.0781, 0.0841, 0.0751, 0.0651, 0.0701, 0.1071, 0.1632, 0.1622, 0.0991, 0.0651, 0.0551, 0.0691, 0.0901, 0.1013, 0.0952, 0.0993, 0.089, 0.0737, 0.0696, 0.0829, 0.087, 0.0727, 0.0829, 0.0798, 0.088, 0.0747, 0.0368, -0.0082, -0.0696, 0.0225, -0.0287, -0.0051, 0.0082, 0.0072, -0.002, 0.0041, 0.0041, -0.0061, 0.0235, 0.0348, 0.042, 0.0379, 0.0399, 0.0348, 0.0143, -0.0113, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0113, -0.0235, 0.0, -0.001, 0.0225, -0.0061, -0.0123, 0.001, 0.0174, 0.0092, 0.0113, -0.0113, -0.0143, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0307, -0.0409, -0.0461, -0.0502, -0.0502, -0.0368, -0.0471, -0.0481, -0.0317, -0.0502, -0.0502, -0.0532, -0.0655, -0.1167, -0.0899, -0.113, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1077, -0.1109, -0.0993, -0.1046, -0.1098, -0.1193, -0.1141, -0.0877, -0.0814, -0.093, -0.093, -0.1035, -0.0867, -0.0899, -0.0962, -0.1214, -0.1256, -0.1456, -0.1456, -0.1477, -0.1561, -0.1477, -0.0951, -0.072, -0.0804, -0.0972, -0.1119, -0.1488, -0.1477, -0.153, -0.1667, -0.1551, -0.1551, -0.153, -0.1582, -0.154, -0.1319, -0.1246, -0.1056, -0.1288, -0.1204, -0.1098, -0.1141, -0.1267, -0.1056, -0.0867, -0.1119, -0.0972, -0.1004, -0.1046, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.0793, -0.0825, -0.0825, -0.0699, -0.0804, -0.0909, -0.1109, -0.1067, -0.1162, -0.1172, -0.1123, -0.0972, -0.1123, -0.1188, -0.1221, -0.121, -0.1167, -0.147, -0.1394, -0.134, -0.1351, -0.1253, -0.1275, -0.1329, -0.1264, -0.1156, -0.1242, -0.1264, -0.1416, -0.1188, -0.1037, -0.1167, -0.1253, -0.1026, -0.1232, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1188, -0.029, -0.0355, 0.0273, 0.0327, 0.0197, 0.01]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022339084900032901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T15:56:25+00:00", "symbol": "ADSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Autodesk very defensible", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Autodesk seen as defensible against AI threat; implied bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["ADSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ErikZeleny Autodesk very defensible", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch What about Autodesk/Rand AI threat?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ErikZeleny", "ret_m1d": -0.03343134541445081, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03343134541445081, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032727355871056574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032727355871056574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.018337537716371255, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018337537716371255, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029602716985934974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029602716985934974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "ret_p1m": 0.08026986186579044, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08026986186579044, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09892764951446353, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09892764951446353, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "ret_p3m": -0.0008217387786659813, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0008217387786659813, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0926255840589647, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0926255840589647, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2639, 0.2594, 0.241, 0.2577, 0.2536, 0.2734, 0.3034, 0.3034, 0.3119, 0.3196, 0.3418, 0.3288, 0.3228, 0.3266, 0.3035, 0.3007, 0.2979, 0.3015, 0.2873, 0.2729, 0.2714, 0.2671, 0.2942, 0.2978, 0.2995, 0.287, 0.2897, 0.2897, 0.3005, 0.3028, 0.2955, 0.2802, 0.2802, 0.2401, 0.2484, 0.2679, 0.2706, 0.1962, 0.1938, 0.2018, 0.1704, 0.13, 0.1342, 0.1491, 0.1491, 0.098, 0.1134, 0.1667, 0.1677, 0.1778, 0.1595, 0.1605, 0.1058, 0.0936, 0.1053, 0.0414, 0.0527, 0.0296, 0.0397, 0.0489, 0.0535, 0.0059, -0.0334, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0255, -0.0064, -0.0092, -0.0183, -0.0544, -0.0446, -0.0277, 0.0096, 0.0634, 0.068, 0.0959, 0.1153, 0.1423, 0.1288, 0.1277, 0.0979, 0.0891, 0.0807, 0.0863, 0.0803, 0.0938, 0.0746, 0.0711, 0.0725, 0.0701, 0.0353, 0.0182, 0.0372, -0.006, 0.0193, 0.0354, 0.0288, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0281, 0.0162, 0.0408, -0.0263, -0.0552, -0.0176, -0.0114, 0.035, 0.0516, 0.0467, 0.0609, 0.0617, 0.0707, 0.0033, 0.0269, 0.0165, 0.0157, 0.0201, 0.025, 0.0568, 0.0706, 0.0788, 0.0513, 0.0857, 0.0574, 0.021, 0.0158, -0.0008, 0.0114, 0.0234, 0.0531, 0.056, 0.0537, 0.0388, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0303, 0.025, 0.0421, 0.0004, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2027086592112779455", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T18:21:19+00:00", "symbol": "THRY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If this were a respectable product company this might make for a good entry (we don't think it is)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish THRY despite 45% drop; dismisses it as not a respectable product company, rejecting entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["THRY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$THRY down ~45% on admission of higher churn and guidance of ~0% growth in '26. If this were a respectable product company this might make for a good entry (we don't think it is).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I know lots of $THRY bulls out there. We passed on the company on our Stock Sonar 5/24/2023. Is it worth another look? https://t.co/L4UZJS88Qa", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.8666667877681726, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.8666667877681726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.8610812868435302, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.8610812868435302, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1047619231433834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1047619231433834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10956386640191074, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10956386640191074, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": 0.5809524209591286, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.5809524209591286, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5925438359017908, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5925438359017908, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": 0.18571434410251175, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18571434410251175, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26329774038682363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26329774038682363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 0.7333334620036835, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.7333334620036835, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6414432350143526, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6414432350143526, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.6619, 1.7714, 1.9095, 1.7381, 1.8143, 1.781, 1.8381, 1.9381, 1.9048, 1.7714, 1.7286, 1.7571, 1.8762, 1.8571, 1.9095, 1.8429, 1.8905, 1.9143, 1.9143, 1.9048, 1.919, 1.9048, 1.881, 1.881, 1.7, 1.7667, 1.8476, 1.7429, 1.7571, 1.6286, 1.6714, 1.5333, 1.6143, 1.5524, 1.4667, 1.4667, 1.3667, 1.4048, 1.5571, 1.3857, 1.3095, 1.1524, 1.1952, 1.2714, 1.2905, 1.2381, 1.1095, 1.0143, 0.8524, 0.8571, 0.8714, 0.9619, 0.819, 0.7238, 0.7238, 0.7238, 0.7095, 0.8143, 0.8095, 0.8571, 0.7786, 0.7857, 0.8667, 0.0, 0.1048, 0.2714, 0.4, 0.519, 0.581, 0.5143, 0.5, 0.519, 0.5286, 0.4143, 0.4, 0.2667, 0.2857, 0.219, 0.3095, 0.3238, 0.4143, 0.3524, 0.2429, 0.2381, 0.1857, 0.2143, 0.3048, 0.3143, 0.3333, 0.3333, 0.3429, 0.4095, 0.4095, 0.4095, 0.381, 0.4048, 0.4714, 0.6143, 0.5667, 0.5429, 0.5571, 0.6143, 0.619, 0.5048, 0.581, 0.8, 0.8381, 0.7429, 0.7048, 0.8238, 0.7667, 0.8143, 0.7286, 0.7714, 0.8143, 0.6667, 0.6524, 0.6381, 0.5667, 0.6238, 0.6286, 0.6905, 0.8, 0.8286, 0.8905, 0.8905, 0.7333, 0.7429, 0.8619, 0.8476, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016915977183670410", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T16:46:56+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have been long $VPG for a while now hah", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ongoing long position in VPG as Tesla robot supplier play.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SingularityRes We have been long $VPG for a while now hah. Agreed with the other areas. Will be interesting to see what TSLA insources vs not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Metals, Chips, electricity equipment manufacturers, grid upgrade etc.  \n\nI know $VPG is a supplier to Tesla robots- nice place to start", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SingularityRes", "ret_m1d": -0.11929341025826434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11929341025826434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1212817383105238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.135362054188628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01606864393036367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005954728676066057, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005954728676066057, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029721484156628453, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014403276712083413, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02035800538814947, "ret_p1w": 0.032949579440614496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032949579440614496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05660810834769281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10947975595925497, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07653017651864047, "ret_p1m": -0.08554984680257882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08554984680257882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07395109013370382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03033093645538243, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05521891034719639, "ret_p3m": 0.1355696282563208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1355696282563208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10733833282990735, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05947322492257112, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07609640333374967, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2455, -0.2916, -0.2836, -0.3428, -0.3458, -0.3214, -0.3329, -0.3341, -0.3638, -0.3658, -0.3962, -0.3988, -0.3926, -0.4188, -0.3821, -0.3561, -0.3319, -0.3241, -0.3241, -0.3224, -0.316, -0.3055, -0.2709, -0.2592, -0.2257, -0.2479, -0.2699, -0.239, -0.2261, -0.2473, -0.2445, -0.2344, -0.2447, -0.2418, -0.2306, -0.2312, -0.2185, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.2122, -0.2221, -0.2273, -0.2358, -0.2358, -0.2203, -0.2191, -0.1794, -0.2054, -0.1985, -0.1729, -0.1753, -0.1761, -0.1697, -0.1326, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1322, -0.0709, -0.0514, -0.1239, -0.1475, -0.1072, -0.1193, 0.0, -0.006, 0.0052, 0.0484, 0.0699, 0.0329, 0.1112, 0.0931, 0.0637, -0.0784, -0.0734, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.0987, -0.0863, -0.0689, -0.0502, -0.0709, -0.0713, -0.0411, -0.0619, -0.0855, -0.023, -0.0556, -0.0675, -0.107, -0.1374, -0.1352, -0.1159, -0.129, -0.1721, -0.186, -0.183, -0.1898, -0.1842, -0.1407, -0.1933, -0.1634, -0.1511, -0.0969, -0.156, -0.1753, -0.1925, -0.1382, -0.1272, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.0846, -0.0724, -0.0258, -0.0228, -0.0095, 0.0314, 0.0282, 0.0083, 0.0198, 0.0564, 0.0552, 0.0802, 0.1376, 0.1471, 0.2033, 0.1628, 0.1356, 0.1169, 0.1993, 0.1953, 0.1915, 0.2694, 0.2618, 0.2392, 0.3347, 0.322, 0.6985, 0.977, 0.9917, 0.9317, 1.0883, 0.9442, 0.999, 1.0651, 1.258, 1.258, 1.4496, 1.4994, 1.4861, 1.4873, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028856745393864982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T15:35:17+00:00", "symbol": "PSFE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Growing company trading at <7x EV/EBITDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PSFE: strong Q4 beat, 10% TPV growth, Digital Wallets worth more than entire EV, trading at under 7x EV/EBITDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSFE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PSFE Q4/FY earnings were strong and surpassed our expectations: +10% TPV growth, +5% organic rev growth.  \n\nthe only thing we didn't like to see was the buybacks which will take a back seat to deleveraging in '26. Growing company trading at &lt;7x EV/EBITDA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We don’t understand Paysafe’s valuation $PSFE. The space is deeply out of favor since $FISV blow-up.\n\nPaysafe has a single asset that is worth significantly more than the entire EV of the company: Digital Wallets.\n\nDigital Wallets carries a 45% EBITDA margin and ~$825mm of fwd https://t.co/BpAx3lP8Jw", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16756032085899208, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16756032085899208, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17645304280303586, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17645304280303586, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006702438402035549, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006702438402035549, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013757746755120204, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013757746755120204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.005361925153952618, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005361925153952618, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0007317328637850284, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007317328637850284, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.10053619251539525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10053619251539525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06628725297516336, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06628725297516336, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.03619302674877467, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03619302674877467, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.078774548861132, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.078774548861132, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0979, 0.1019, 0.0617, 0.0684, 0.1421, 0.1233, 0.1367, 0.0965, 0.0912, 0.0643, 0.0322, 0.0764, 0.0952, 0.0938, 0.1032, 0.1032, 0.0764, 0.0697, 0.0643, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.0697, 0.1126, 0.1126, 0.0912, 0.13, 0.1327, 0.1126, 0.0617, 0.0871, 0.0349, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0737, -0.0416, 0.0134, -0.0054, -0.0228, -0.0563, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0804, -0.0657, -0.1126, -0.0952, -0.1233, -0.0469, -0.055, -0.0349, -0.0643, -0.1501, -0.181, -0.181, -0.1635, -0.1327, -0.1542, -0.1595, -0.193, -0.1944, -0.1408, -0.1273, -0.1609, -0.1676, 0.0, -0.0067, 0.0335, 0.0121, 0.0134, -0.0054, -0.0188, -0.063, -0.0724, -0.063, -0.0308, -0.0643, -0.071, -0.0737, -0.0442, -0.067, -0.0791, -0.0777, -0.1126, -0.1059, -0.0871, -0.1005, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0871, -0.122, -0.0362, -0.0161, -0.008, 0.0603, 0.1059, 0.1381, 0.1555, 0.1863, 0.2306, 0.2078, 0.2386, 0.1475, 0.1676, 0.1796, 0.2091, 0.2024, 0.2118, 0.2614, 0.2185, 0.2225, 0.2413, 0.2601, 0.244, 0.1689, 0.1649, 0.252, 0.0925, 0.0335, 0.0027, -0.0751, -0.0496, -0.0174, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0134, 0.0442, 0.0255, 0.0362, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011205568447361281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T22:35:48+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are long $XMTR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses active long position in Xometry.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@trackdalf 💯 we are long $XMTR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Not exactly pure product but your statement remind me of $XMTR.\n\ninstant manufacturing quotes + supplier matching with intelligence layer on top of it.\n\nquoting algorithms, tolerance and DFM logic,&amp; supplier reliability, capacity, and lead-time prediction.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "trackdalf", "ret_m1d": -0.020339529644730847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020339529644730847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022343010661018292, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015217982583922263, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027985900496079852, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027985900496079852, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02307066315446127, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02957129896960775, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": -0.07309984437855144, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07309984437855144, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04976353815497769, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07017329937074668, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": -0.02722126924470747, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02722126924470747, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024612359572051767, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09325391335778332, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": -0.3820155952806261, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3820155952806261, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36406383726154135, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4307441370526992, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2803, -0.2809, -0.261, -0.2575, -0.2554, -0.2315, -0.2389, -0.2288, -0.2447, -0.2274, -0.258, -0.2554, -0.2572, -0.0424, -0.0416, -0.0515, -0.0089, 0.0153, 0.0031, 0.0041, -0.0944, -0.0736, -0.1384, -0.1077, -0.0769, -0.1529, -0.1442, -0.1517, -0.1179, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.1058, -0.1561, -0.1311, -0.1379, -0.1071, -0.0856, -0.1095, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0577, -0.113, -0.111, -0.0685, -0.095, -0.0934, -0.0593, -0.0113, -0.0321, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0408, -0.0164, -0.0344, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0402, 0.037, 0.0381, 0.0437, -0.0421, -0.0382, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0731, -0.0745, -0.0457, -0.0587, -0.0208, -0.0026, -0.008, -0.0655, -0.1263, -0.0991, -0.0541, -0.0717, -0.0769, 0.0098, 0.1026, 0.0489, -0.0272, -0.1722, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1462, -0.1185, -0.0994, -0.1332, -0.126, -0.3204, -0.3605, -0.3078, -0.3728, -0.3579, -0.369, -0.3161, -0.3195, -0.3364, -0.3299, -0.3693, -0.3527, -0.4479, -0.4354, -0.429, -0.4069, -0.3908, -0.3892, -0.4005, -0.3657, -0.3661, -0.3634, -0.3733, -0.4244, -0.4279, -0.3754, -0.361, -0.3523, -0.3523, -0.3455, -0.3539, -0.3215, -0.3788, -0.382, -0.3484, -0.3317, -0.2965, -0.2823, -0.2445, -0.2389, -0.2825, -0.2603, -0.2831, -0.2704, -0.2719, -0.2898, -0.3074, -0.2159, -0.1792, -0.1896, -0.1522, -0.1375, 0.2005, 0.2236, 0.2347, 0.2834, 0.3181, 0.3761, 0.317, 0.3452, 0.3328, 0.4037, 0.3288, 0.3643, 0.3643, 0.4167, 0.4461, 0.4577, 0.4573, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918056376837996884", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T21:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "DUOL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Way too rich", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Endorses bearish view on DUOL as overvalued at 20x FY25 revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["DUOL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stockgutter Way too rich", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Was a great report from $DUOL.  But ah it is trading at 20x FY25 revenue after today's increase in guidance.  Shorted a bit ~453.  Will either cover ah (or pm tomorrow) under 430 or will sell puts against it in reg hours tomw.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stockgutter", "ret_m1d": -0.026299972534179705, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026299972534179705, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01926292853704059, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01926292853704059, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007037043997139114, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007037043997139114, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21605003356933583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.21605003356933583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.2012059044420822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.2012059044420822, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844129127253636, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844129127253636, "ret_p1w": 0.25892501831054693, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25892501831054693, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2471249062201495, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2471249062201495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800112090397441, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800112090397441, "ret_p1m": 0.29902496337890616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29902496337890616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2436593817635, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2436593817635, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558161540617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558161540617, "ret_p3m": -0.16572502136230471, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16572502136230471, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3065884932684053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3065884932684053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1408634719061006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1408634719061006, "ret_p6m": -0.21999999999999997, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21999999999999997, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.43964533448592613, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.43964533448592613, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964533448592616, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964533448592616, "price_path": [-0.0889, -0.0346, -0.02, -0.0266, -0.0155, 0.0036, -0.0408, -0.0047, 0.0758, 0.0817, 0.0817, 0.1035, 0.0813, 0.0544, -0.0366, -0.0253, -0.0355, -0.0336, -0.0606, -0.2198, -0.2619, -0.2646, -0.2682, -0.3181, -0.2611, -0.3071, -0.3127, -0.2725, -0.3188, -0.2911, -0.2646, -0.278, -0.2472, -0.2346, -0.2268, -0.175, -0.1488, -0.1719, -0.1676, -0.2125, -0.2236, -0.1815, -0.1561, -0.2153, -0.2678, -0.2587, -0.2668, -0.1565, -0.2076, -0.1766, -0.1833, -0.1871, -0.184, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.2098, -0.1592, -0.075, -0.0625, -0.0454, -0.0392, -0.0372, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.2161, 0.2353, 0.2264, 0.2389, 0.2589, 0.2819, 0.2946, 0.3287, 0.3517, 0.3263, 0.3226, 0.3006, 0.3143, 0.2857, 0.2945, 0.3005, 0.3005, 0.3125, 0.311, 0.2835, 0.299, 0.3171, 0.2834, 0.297, 0.3075, 0.2824, 0.2448, 0.215, 0.1844, 0.2037, 0.1962, 0.1872, 0.1907, 0.1968, 0.1968, 0.1789, 0.1214, 0.057, -0.0058, -0.0033, 0.0282, 0.025, 0.0076, -0.0075, -0.0204, -0.0204, -0.0089, -0.0264, -0.0231, -0.0489, -0.0729, -0.0589, -0.0542, -0.0966, -0.0951, -0.0738, -0.1104, -0.1094, -0.1005, -0.0976, -0.0898, -0.1488, -0.1657, -0.1467, -0.1336, -0.1525, -0.1191, -0.1492, -0.141, -0.0229, -0.0742, -0.1485, -0.1927, -0.1802, -0.1753, -0.1827, -0.077, -0.1483, -0.1528, -0.1362, -0.1703, -0.1964, -0.21, -0.2052, -0.1931, -0.2554, -0.2554, -0.275, -0.2937, -0.3182, -0.3221, -0.3218, -0.3163, -0.2852, -0.2267, -0.2302, -0.2872, -0.2982, -0.3021, -0.2758, -0.2728, -0.2267, -0.2512, -0.2471, -0.2163, -0.184, -0.1781, -0.1954, -0.2407, -0.2175, -0.1934, -0.1992, -0.2, -0.1318, -0.157, -0.1875, -0.175, -0.1685, -0.1473, -0.1736, -0.19, -0.2182, -0.206, -0.2311, -0.2164, -0.22]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052802881925849177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T17:28:40+00:00", "symbol": "SPT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have added aggressively at recent prices and made our research on Sprout Social public", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aggressively added to SPT; bullish on defensible moat via deep API integrations, premium network partnerships, and .8x EV/Sales valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPT with a double beat and raise. At .8 EV/SALES, it trades at the rock bottom of the SaaS Application cohort. Stock reaction +9%\n\nI noticed on the call that management is getting better at articulating why it's moat is defensible: \n\nDeep API integrations and “premium network partnerships” across major social platforms are positioned as a core differentiator for Sprout.\n\n90%+ of customers operate across five or more social networks simultaneously, increasing the need for a centralized orchestration and data normalization layer across fragmented ecosystems.\n\nMaintaining integrations across dozens of evolving social APIs is a significant engineering challenge, requiring continuous adaptation to changing schemas, permissions, endpoints, rate limits, compliance requirements, and platform policies.\n\nThe company also spends a significant amount on data feeds from networks for social listening (~9mm annually)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Deep value SaaS small cap $SPT. We have added aggressively at recent prices and made our research on Sprout Social public…link in the comments.\n\nHad fun doing this pod with @AndrewRangeley .\nhttps://t.co/Dlv5a6eA7v", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08108106714865881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08108106714865881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07289259874036391, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07289259874036391, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11351353267059416, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11351353267059416, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11579111826602573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11579111826602573, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": -0.1554054162901103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1554054162901103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15750675275499615, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15750675275499615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0757, -0.0162, -0.0716, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0554, -0.0216, -0.0176, -0.0419, -0.123, -0.0851, -0.0865, -0.0392, -0.1284, -0.1203, -0.0743, -0.0878, -0.0486, -0.1284, -0.1554, -0.1986, -0.1878, -0.1919, -0.2081, -0.2284, -0.2338, -0.2365, -0.2176, -0.2216, -0.2027, -0.2568, -0.2473, -0.2243, -0.2527, -0.2514, -0.2297, -0.2432, -0.2351, -0.2351, -0.2189, -0.2432, -0.2554, -0.2757, -0.3257, -0.2838, -0.2919, -0.2473, -0.2378, -0.2541, -0.2189, -0.1932, -0.1608, -0.2432, -0.1905, -0.1878, -0.1797, -0.2, -0.1892, -0.1216, -0.0878, -0.0946, -0.1392, -0.0811, 0.0, -0.1135, -0.1149, -0.1473, -0.1892, -0.1554, -0.1196, -0.0919, -0.0811, -0.0959, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0757, -0.0878, -0.0554, 0.0108, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1909891762015043734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-09T08:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We trimmed TLT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trimmed TLT (bearish); rotated into GLD on thesis that countries will reduce USD/US asset dependency.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@orrdavid We trimmed TLT and recycled some of that capital into GLD. It seems the more the US looks like a gangster on the world stage the more countries are going to try and look for ways to reduce dependency.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The most talented portfolio manager I know had a 30% long $TLT position last weekend.  He sold it first thing when the premarket opened on Monday.\n\nI asked him how he knew to sell.\n\nHe replied, \"A hunch.\"", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "orrdavid", "ret_m1d": -0.005851235980034564, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005851235980034564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08918713364942132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08918713364942132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027568429033350328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027568429033350328, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0162504574934611, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0162504574934611, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "ret_p1w": -0.006301525064906444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006301525064906444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03554880524833859, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03554880524833859, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "ret_p1m": -0.018343312684649837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018343312684649837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04830950041924165, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04830950041924165, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02996618773459181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02996618773459181, "ret_p3m": -0.019888293357528952, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.019888293357528952, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15458068141178882, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15458068141178882, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13469238805425987, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13469238805425987, "ret_p6m": 0.030268542177602997, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.030268542177602997, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19655371702365865, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19655371702365865, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682225920126164, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682225920126164, "price_path": [-0.0482, -0.0486, -0.0501, -0.0337, -0.0306, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0203, -0.0254, -0.033, -0.0286, -0.0171, -0.0178, -0.0198, -0.0161, -0.0226, -0.0146, -0.0116, 0.0047, 0.0042, -0.0022, -0.0053, -0.0116, -0.025, -0.0088, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0153, -0.0141, -0.0104, 0.0016, 0.0045, 0.0218, 0.0278, 0.0206, 0.0331, 0.0379, 0.0251, 0.0169, 0.0136, 0.0103, 0.0209, 0.0136, 0.0075, 0.0164, 0.011, 0.016, 0.017, 0.0223, 0.023, 0.0169, 0.0065, 0.0064, -0.0002, -0.0031, 0.0107, 0.0206, 0.0295, 0.0288, 0.0335, 0.0448, 0.0133, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0276, -0.0223, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.0063, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0323, -0.0269, -0.0174, -0.0071, 0.0002, 0.0065, 0.015, 0.0068, 0.0016, -0.0092, -0.0147, -0.0115, -0.0073, -0.0183, -0.0169, -0.026, -0.03, -0.0364, -0.0279, -0.0253, -0.0282, -0.0352, -0.0517, -0.0467, -0.0451, -0.0451, -0.0318, -0.036, -0.027, -0.0256, -0.0346, -0.0363, -0.0207, -0.02, -0.0325, -0.0315, -0.0265, -0.0235, -0.0119, -0.0214, -0.0312, -0.0195, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0196, -0.0164, -0.0092, -0.008, -0.003, -0.0094, 0.0004, 0.0029, -0.0035, -0.0104, -0.0104, -0.0199, -0.0211, -0.0109, -0.0102, -0.0239, -0.0259, -0.0327, -0.0314, -0.0316, -0.0301, -0.0215, -0.0156, -0.021, -0.0227, -0.0166, -0.023, -0.0065, -0.0116, -0.011, 0.003, 0.0058, 0.0089, 0.003, 0.0013, -0.003, -0.0019, -0.0069, 0.0013, -0.0061, -0.0132, -0.016, -0.0103, -0.0081, -0.0131, -0.0057, -0.0086, -0.0092, -0.0103, -0.0038, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0182, -0.0075, 0.0001, 0.0153, 0.0289, 0.023, 0.0289, 0.0358, 0.0313, 0.0337, 0.0359, 0.0332, 0.0226, 0.0206, 0.0169, 0.0241, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0192, 0.0276, 0.0246, 0.0273, 0.0303]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1909891762015043734", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-09T08:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "recycled some of that capital into GLD. It seems the more the US looks like a gangster on the world stage the more countries are going to try and look for ways to reduce dependency", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trimmed TLT (bearish); rotated into GLD on thesis that countries will reduce USD/US asset dependency.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@orrdavid We trimmed TLT and recycled some of that capital into GLD. It seems the more the US looks like a gangster on the world stage the more countries are going to try and look for ways to reduce dependency.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The most talented portfolio manager I know had a 30% long $TLT position last weekend.  He sold it first thing when the premarket opened on Monday.\n\nI asked him how he knew to sell.\n\nHe replied, \"A hunch.\"", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "orrdavid", "ret_m1d": -0.035671709655907824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035671709655907824, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059366659973548064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059366659973548064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503836962945589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0244235794430141, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0244235794430141, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06824246596982553, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06824246596982553, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04381888652681143, "ret_p1w": 0.07740555035368213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07740555035368213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11925588066692716, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11925588066692716, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04185033031324503, "ret_p1m": 0.06745391993354533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06745391993354533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.037487732198953516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.037487732198953516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02996618773459181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02996618773459181, "ret_p3m": 0.07705511899267403, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07705511899267403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05763726906158584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05763726906158584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13469238805425987, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13469238805425987, "ret_p6m": 0.24321957556420837, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24321957556420837, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016397316362946723, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.016397316362946723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22682225920126164, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22682225920126164, "price_path": [-0.1302, -0.1389, -0.1344, -0.1279, -0.1219, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.113, -0.1085, -0.1097, -0.1042, -0.1135, -0.1058, -0.1093, -0.0958, -0.094, -0.0891, -0.0802, -0.0745, -0.0769, -0.0753, -0.0596, -0.063, -0.0621, -0.0528, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0514, -0.0509, -0.0504, -0.0513, -0.0461, -0.0587, -0.0573, -0.0717, -0.0775, -0.0653, -0.0572, -0.0552, -0.06, -0.0595, -0.0678, -0.0568, -0.0527, -0.0359, -0.0355, -0.0303, -0.019, -0.015, -0.0162, -0.0241, -0.0285, -0.0242, -0.025, -0.0119, -0.0046, 0.0097, 0.0077, 0.0097, 0.0036, -0.0198, -0.0409, -0.0357, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.044, 0.038, 0.0435, 0.0774, 0.0727, 0.0727, 0.1059, 0.0902, 0.064, 0.0795, 0.0678, 0.083, 0.0725, 0.0644, 0.0423, 0.0442, 0.0753, 0.1055, 0.0889, 0.0675, 0.0752, 0.0449, 0.0493, 0.0273, 0.0437, 0.031, 0.0443, 0.0638, 0.0716, 0.0621, 0.0854, 0.0854, 0.067, 0.0646, 0.0709, 0.0638, 0.0921, 0.0825, 0.0894, 0.0839, 0.0694, 0.0744, 0.0747, 0.0806, 0.094, 0.1083, 0.0925, 0.0931, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.0867, 0.0901, 0.0729, 0.0762, 0.075, 0.0555, 0.0682, 0.0777, 0.0836, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0771, 0.0658, 0.0706, 0.073, 0.0833, 0.0793, 0.0748, 0.0802, 0.0778, 0.0806, 0.0972, 0.1076, 0.0939, 0.0872, 0.0772, 0.0702, 0.0731, 0.0546, 0.0616, 0.0832, 0.0895, 0.0903, 0.088, 0.0972, 0.097, 0.0812, 0.0802, 0.0835, 0.0766, 0.0773, 0.0756, 0.0697, 0.0805, 0.0768, 0.0883, 0.0857, 0.0936, 0.0958, 0.1039, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.1409, 0.1498, 0.1448, 0.16, 0.1732, 0.1706, 0.1748, 0.173, 0.1753, 0.1876, 0.19, 0.1808, 0.176, 0.1885, 0.2091, 0.214, 0.203, 0.208, 0.215, 0.2351, 0.2456, 0.2476, 0.2432]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998401903063900442", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T14:38:36+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UPWK quietly disproving the core bear thesis-- GSV is finally showing growth despite all the macro doom", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish UPWK: GSV growth disproving bear thesis despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UPWK quietly disproving the core bear thesis-- GSV is finally showing growth despite all the macro doom. https://t.co/g3tB4uxbrN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05243090588516164, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05243090588516164, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.053294796514972265, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051313994413887065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008638906298106264, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011169114712745731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023832221683008803, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023832221683008803, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030464489692023533, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02967459888756474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663226800901473, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0058423772045559375, "ret_p1w": 0.021925691222977717, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021925691222977717, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02803062018947411, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019691802308102968, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006104928966496392, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0022338889148747487, "ret_p1m": -0.0057196822928040625, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0057196822928040625, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018277864378625885, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014990773199963892, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558182085821823, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009271090907159829, "ret_p3m": -0.3684461254002659, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3684461254002659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3557482901324275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.38090651644066986, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012697835267838409, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012460391040403973, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2197, -0.1964, -0.1997, -0.1849, -0.1354, -0.0658, -0.0434, -0.0786, -0.0629, -0.0505, -0.0801, -0.0872, -0.0939, -0.1149, -0.1559, -0.1344, -0.1768, -0.1706, -0.1854, -0.1487, -0.1692, -0.1992, -0.1849, -0.1926, -0.1988, -0.2021, -0.2278, -0.2054, -0.2059, -0.2369, -0.2316, -0.2374, -0.2316, -0.1721, -0.1954, -0.2226, -0.2402, -0.255, -0.1563, -0.2193, -0.2302, -0.1683, -0.1611, -0.1444, -0.1878, -0.1873, -0.2145, -0.2283, -0.1859, -0.1344, -0.1821, -0.1482, -0.1158, -0.0615, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.0591, -0.0524, -0.0214, -0.0596, -0.0667, -0.0429, -0.0524, 0.0, -0.0238, 0.0448, 0.0462, 0.0191, 0.0219, -0.0377, -0.0243, -0.0181, 0.0148, -0.0076, -0.0005, -0.0005, -0.0062, -0.0324, -0.0682, -0.0553, -0.0553, -0.0543, -0.0172, -0.0338, -0.0057, -0.0267, -0.0443, -0.0276, -0.0348, -0.0419, -0.0396, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.071, -0.0615, 0.0071, 0.0539, 0.0424, 0.0153, -0.0224, 0.0019, -0.0453, -0.0491, -0.1301, -0.1873, -0.1506, -0.0977, -0.1044, -0.275, -0.3089, -0.3751, -0.3694, -0.3694, -0.3918, -0.3456, -0.3651, -0.3723, -0.4037, -0.3794, -0.3813, -0.3398, -0.3603, -0.3746, -0.3742, -0.3599, -0.3656, -0.3684, -0.3646, -0.4099, -0.4085, -0.4347, -0.418, -0.4304, -0.4113, -0.4237, -0.459, -0.4623, -0.4557, -0.4685, -0.4604, -0.4666, -0.4819, -0.4962, -0.4776, -0.4671, -0.4786, -0.4786, -0.46, -0.4771, -0.4728, -0.5024, -0.4919, -0.4752, -0.4728, -0.4614, -0.4728, -0.4628, -0.4714, -0.4719, -0.4595, -0.5005, -0.4933, -0.4924, -0.5052, -0.5067, -0.5067, -0.5, -0.4986, -0.5086, -0.5195, -0.4943, -0.5796, -0.5801, -0.602, -0.6001, -0.6149, -0.6106, -0.5829, -0.5972, -0.5872, -0.5977, -0.5806, -0.5806, -0.5906, -0.5882, -0.5906, -0.5796, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055108549928222769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T02:10:35+00:00", "symbol": "FIG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We like FIG, wish it was cheaper", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on FIG; likes the stock but wants a better entry price.", "resolved_tickers": ["FIG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invesquotes We like FIG, wish it was cheaper", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If $FIG reports good earnings that’s bad for $ADBE because they are eating their lunch\n\nIf $FIG reports bad earnings that’s bad for $ADBE because AI is eating their lunch\n\nNo way to win in this market!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invesquotes", "ret_m1d": -0.11692845969698284, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11692845969698284, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12910427880230757, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12910427880230757, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0628272482226997, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0628272482226997, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06353068384389016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06353068384389016, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "ret_p1w": -0.00916234690760287, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00916234690760287, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01791545091327207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01791545091327207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0079, 0.0554, 0.1283, 0.1383, 0.0798, 0.1968, 0.363, 0.3185, 0.2823, 0.2779, 0.3412, 0.2932, 0.322, 0.2701, 0.3298, 0.2369, 0.2147, 0.1418, 0.1357, 0.185, 0.1976, 0.1021, 0.0567, 0.0353, 0.0122, -0.0458, -0.0798, -0.0336, -0.1191, -0.1204, -0.0777, -0.1091, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0654, -0.0755, -0.1209, -0.1675, -0.2077, -0.1632, -0.1963, -0.1126, -0.1134, -0.1745, -0.1706, -0.1832, -0.1636, -0.2443, -0.2378, -0.2448, -0.2504, -0.2644, -0.2277, -0.1824, -0.1291, -0.1527, -0.1584, -0.103, -0.0986, -0.1252, -0.1566, -0.1736, -0.1169, 0.0, 0.0628, 0.0153, -0.0148, -0.058, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0419, -0.0689, 0.0236, 0.1126, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1895514242951889364", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-28T16:39:47+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even with weak commodity prices, NRP is yielding ~20%. It could dip lower, but with this balance sheet not concerned.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NRP: clean balance sheet, ~20% yield, thermal coal comeback potential, soda ash profits expected in 2026-27.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on $NRP earnings:\n\nManagement remains focused on increasing distributions.\n\nOnly ~$140M LT debt left—over $1B in costly preferreds & warrants paid off in the last decade.\n\nThermal coal could make a comeback in 2025 as plant retirements get postponed (onshoring & data centers demand more baseload power—see Duke Energy).\n\nSoda ash is volatile, but as a low-cost producer, $NRP is positioned to benefit once supply/demand normalizes—expecting larger profits in 2026-27.\n\nEven with weak commodity prices, NRP is yielding ~20%. It could dip lower, but with this balance sheet not concerned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06045368710555288, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06045368710555288, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04508797413290688, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04517903045525273, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015365712972645995, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015274656650300145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0651988144592196, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0651988144592196, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04767893997187633, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030253707593045354, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017519874487343268, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03494510686617425, "ret_p1w": -0.02723741560014492, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02723741560014492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0034940103451470694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011993343635473441, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03073142594529199, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03923075923561836, "ret_p1m": -0.0022294064733505703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0022294064733505703, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05348970945651277, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.037161781261429105, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.05571911592986334, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034932374788078535, "ret_p3m": -0.06375105315742013, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06375105315742013, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.055871392741896564, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03199827280549339, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.00787966041552357, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09574932596291352, "ret_p6m": -0.00042023688773884516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00042023688773884516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08815070773215128, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.012945567314352702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08773047084441243, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013365804202091547, "price_path": [0.0383, 0.0268, 0.0279, 0.008, 0.0033, 0.0136, 0.0131, 0.0122, 0.0151, -0.0192, -0.0203, -0.0367, -0.0273, -0.0171, 0.0016, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0131, -0.0006, 0.024, 0.0457, 0.0457, 0.0118, 0.0457, 0.0387, 0.0448, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0162, 0.008, 0.0111, 0.0269, 0.0134, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0039, 0.008, 0.0287, 0.0159, 0.0016, 0.0072, 0.0138, -0.0065, -0.0014, -0.0224, -0.024, -0.0226, -0.0407, -0.0333, -0.0323, -0.0437, -0.0348, -0.0317, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0438, -0.0501, -0.0513, -0.0586, -0.0661, -0.0479, -0.0235, -0.0605, 0.0, -0.0652, -0.0983, 0.0051, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0225, 0.0082, 0.0036, 0.0029, 0.0426, 0.0173, 0.035, 0.0535, 0.0443, 0.0472, 0.0083, 0.0123, 0.0238, 0.0179, 0.0083, -0.0022, -0.0133, 0.0046, -0.0445, -0.1051, -0.144, -0.1413, -0.0733, -0.1358, -0.0915, -0.0504, -0.0283, -0.0407, 0.0129, 0.0129, -0.0365, -0.0183, -0.0375, -0.0243, -0.0114, -0.016, -0.0096, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0107, -0.0205, -0.0589, -0.0534, -0.0589, -0.08, -0.0675, -0.0685, -0.0755, -0.0805, -0.108, -0.1039, -0.0888, -0.0755, -0.0851, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0706, -0.0638, -0.0627, -0.0513, -0.0707, -0.0711, -0.0635, -0.0565, -0.0556, -0.059, -0.0779, -0.0726, -0.0648, -0.0812, -0.0735, -0.066, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0785, -0.0736, -0.0859, -0.0944, -0.0991, -0.0871, -0.0754, -0.0783, -0.0367, -0.056, -0.056, -0.0492, -0.0514, -0.0447, -0.0489, -0.0485, -0.0607, -0.0588, -0.0561, -0.053, -0.055, -0.0464, -0.0183, -0.0234, -0.018, -0.0304, 0.0165, 0.0128, 0.0052, -0.0085, -0.006, -0.015, -0.0028, 0.0084, 0.0096, -0.0004, 0.0075, 0.003, 0.001, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0028, 0.0029, 0.0082, -0.012, 0.0103, -0.0004]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024290017258983642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T01:08:44+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Similar to what is happening with $RELY. Obv patience is key here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RELY as an example of buying cheap with strong thesis and adding along the way.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MaaizKhan If it’s not working, valuation is cheap, no terminal value risk + strong thesis. We would buy immediately an add along the way. Similar to what is happening with $RELY. Obv patience is key here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Surprisingly this is worth considering for stocks you’re not in yet… waiting for a stock to start to work has saved me some headache especially in larger cap names. \n\nNot as true for special situations or microcaps.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaaizKhan", "ret_m1d": -0.20595098358656339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.20595098358656339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20859539197942834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20859539197942834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005834439462042429, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005834439462042429, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0066484206429187065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0066484206429187065, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": -0.01750287326391209, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01750287326391209, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024544733868763102, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024544733868763102, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.10443401819837672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10443401819837672, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0545586429293311, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0545586429293311, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": 0.2176196955898182, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2176196955898182, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14273970657696622, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14273970657696622, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2713, -0.2445, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.2097, -0.2281, -0.2456, -0.2235, -0.2153, -0.2165, -0.2118, -0.1744, -0.1114, -0.1284, -0.1453, -0.154, -0.1779, -0.1564, -0.1529, -0.147, -0.147, -0.1581, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1698, -0.1803, -0.1914, -0.1949, -0.1949, -0.2287, -0.2351, -0.2135, -0.2054, -0.2048, -0.1984, -0.2258, -0.2246, -0.2112, -0.1954, -0.1978, -0.1978, -0.203, -0.1744, -0.1669, -0.1733, -0.1604, -0.1925, -0.206, -0.2176, -0.2287, -0.2223, -0.2783, -0.2491, -0.2532, -0.241, -0.2153, -0.2048, -0.227, -0.2538, -0.2555, -0.2555, -0.2369, -0.206, 0.0, 0.0006, -0.049, -0.0554, -0.0519, -0.0175, -0.0257, -0.0123, 0.0257, 0.0134, 0.0105, -0.0058, -0.0128, -0.0035, -0.0093, -0.0939, -0.1103, -0.11, -0.0858, -0.0939, -0.0846, -0.1044, -0.0537, -0.0572, -0.0601, -0.0671, -0.1243, -0.1062, -0.0858, -0.0811, -0.0653, -0.0653, -0.0543, -0.0653, -0.0274, -0.0023, -0.0163, 0.0099, 0.0455, 0.1004, 0.1453, 0.1674, 0.2042, 0.2135, 0.2217, 0.1937, 0.2299, 0.2404, 0.2608, 0.2771, 0.2771, 0.3296, 0.3874, 0.3851, 0.3845, 0.3296, 0.402, 0.4166, 0.3921, 0.3856, 0.36, 0.318, 0.2509, 0.2176, 0.259, 0.2585, 0.259, 0.259, 0.1896, 0.1739, 0.1669, 0.168, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052414095194763344", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T15:43:46+00:00", "symbol": "XMTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It is looking more and more like a generational hold.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XMTR; author calls it a generational hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["XMTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@trackdalf Yuup. It is looking more and more like a generational hold.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch bump :) $XMTR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "trackdalf", "ret_m1d": -0.2815286429824343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2815286429824343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2846041780537042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.29802286779385667, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016494224811422376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019235696002935843, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019235696002935843, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01097962300169364, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02383341469119915, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004597718688263308, "ret_p1w": 0.14624208098004576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14624208098004576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12356518244158399, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14331107806719556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029310029128502, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0815, -0.1262, -0.1897, -0.3104, -0.294, -0.294, -0.2888, -0.2657, -0.2498, -0.278, -0.272, -0.4339, -0.4673, -0.4234, -0.4775, -0.4651, -0.4744, -0.4303, -0.4331, -0.4473, -0.4418, -0.4746, -0.4608, -0.5401, -0.5297, -0.5243, -0.506, -0.4925, -0.4912, -0.5006, -0.4716, -0.472, -0.4697, -0.478, -0.5205, -0.5234, -0.4797, -0.4677, -0.4605, -0.4605, -0.4548, -0.4618, -0.4348, -0.4825, -0.4852, -0.4572, -0.4433, -0.414, -0.4022, -0.3707, -0.366, -0.4023, -0.3838, -0.4028, -0.3922, -0.3935, -0.4084, -0.4231, -0.3469, -0.3163, -0.325, -0.2938, -0.2815, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0285, 0.069, 0.098, 0.1462, 0.0971, 0.1205, 0.1102, 0.1693, 0.1069, 0.1364, 0.1364, 0.1801, 0.2046, 0.2143, 0.2139, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004340181126861192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-25T23:55:12+00:00", "symbol": "Remitly", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still bullish obv.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Remitly.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Remitly Global Inc, Nasdaq-listed RELY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TraderOver1 We will post something the week of the 5th on it. On X. Still bullish obv.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch Do you guys have any open/free updated look on Remitly by any chance? (I guess not) Where could I find your latest piece of analysis on it? \n\nThanks! Nice content👍", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TraderOver1", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004895150179360819, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004895150179360819, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004793735147117673, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004793735147117673, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010141503224314619, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010141503224314619, "ret_p1w": -0.034965034498667724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034965034498667724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022710924951461875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022710924951461875, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "ret_p1m": -0.009090916972514962, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009090916972514962, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007425104148318207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007425104148318207, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0016658128241967551, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0016658128241967551, "ret_p3m": 0.13006990432646015, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13006990432646015, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18136942183380633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18136942183380633, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05129951750734618, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05129951750734618, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1552, 0.1399, 0.1315, 0.1245, 0.1217, 0.0993, 0.107, 0.1133, 0.0825, 0.0483, 0.0385, 0.0706, 0.0825, 0.0699, 0.0899, 0.121, 0.1566, 0.1678, 0.186, 0.2028, 0.1853, 0.1636, 0.1385, 0.1028, 0.1217, 0.151, 0.1315, 0.1497, -0.1392, -0.1112, -0.1147, -0.1266, -0.1469, -0.1266, -0.1322, -0.1189, -0.1049, -0.1182, -0.1329, -0.1266, -0.1266, -0.0944, -0.0664, -0.0664, -0.0528, -0.0748, -0.0958, -0.0692, -0.0594, -0.0608, -0.0552, -0.0105, 0.065, 0.0448, 0.0245, 0.014, -0.0147, 0.0112, 0.0154, 0.0224, 0.0224, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0175, -0.0308, -0.035, -0.035, -0.0755, -0.0832, -0.0573, -0.0476, -0.0469, -0.0392, -0.072, -0.0706, -0.0545, -0.0357, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0448, -0.0105, -0.0014, -0.0091, 0.0063, -0.0322, -0.0483, -0.0622, -0.0755, -0.0678, -0.135, -0.1, -0.1049, -0.0902, -0.0594, -0.0469, -0.0734, -0.1056, -0.1077, -0.1077, -0.0853, -0.0483, 0.1986, 0.1993, 0.1399, 0.1322, 0.1364, 0.1776, 0.1678, 0.1839, 0.2294, 0.2147, 0.2112, 0.1916, 0.1832, 0.1944, 0.1874, 0.086, 0.0664, 0.0668, 0.0958, 0.086, 0.0972, 0.0734, 0.1343, 0.1301, 0.1266, 0.1182, 0.0497, 0.0713, 0.0958, 0.1014, 0.1203, 0.1203, 0.1336, 0.1203, 0.1657, 0.1958, 0.179, 0.2105, 0.2531, 0.3189, 0.3727, 0.3993, 0.4434, 0.4545, 0.4643, 0.4308, 0.4741, 0.4867, 0.5112, 0.5308, 0.5308, 0.5937, 0.6629, 0.6601, 0.6594, 0.5937, 0.6804, 0.6979, 0.6685, 0.6608, 0.6301, 0.5797, 0.4993, 0.4594, 0.5091, 0.5084, 0.5091, 0.5091, 0.4259, 0.407, 0.3986, 0.4, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044471443128193065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T17:42:31+00:00", "symbol": "VITL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We can't touch it unless the perception issue is adequately addressed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid VITL until social-media perception problem is resolved; premium brand highly vulnerable to reputational damage.", "resolved_tickers": ["VITL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Farm Products", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VITL Vital Farms. Down 62% YTD. As investors, sometimes you don’t have to worry about perception problems affecting fundamentals too much, and sometimes you absolutely do. This is a perfect example of when you do.\n\nVital Farms hasn’t taken the social media backlash seriously enough. Given the premium nature of their product, they’re highly vulnerable. We can't touch it unless the perception issue is adequately addressed. They should fire their PR department.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03996735415745212, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03996735415745212, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04779656873246674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04779656873246674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017128877179974245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017128877179974245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014671565557369926, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014671565557369926, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.019575837409266716, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019575837409266716, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0034744294429553957, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0034744294429553957, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": -0.30587275122278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30587275122278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3747786292987906, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3747786292987906, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.3858, 1.3858, 1.2398, 1.2268, 1.456, 1.3148, 1.2431, 1.2675, 1.2194, 1.2945, 1.3206, 1.2382, 1.1794, 1.1876, 1.1362, 1.19, 1.1305, 1.133, 1.1044, 1.2602, 1.3173, 1.3173, 1.3034, 1.2406, 1.2471, 1.2162, 1.0856, 1.1011, 1.022, 0.8034, 0.7202, 0.6411, 0.6558, 0.6321, 0.6223, 0.6223, 0.5579, 0.4731, 0.4372, 0.425, 0.4038, 0.3222, 0.2806, 0.2365, 0.2504, 0.1835, 0.1166, 0.1256, 0.1044, 0.0612, 0.0718, 0.0767, 0.1517, 0.093, 0.0269, 0.0269, 0.0693, 0.1052, 0.0416, 0.0595, 0.0636, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.0024, 0.044, 0.071, 0.0196, 0.0383, 0.031, 0.0742, 0.0571, -0.0131, 0.1134, 0.1566, 0.0604, 0.044, -0.0212, -0.2235, -0.2708, -0.2871, -0.2945, -0.3206, -0.3059, -0.3083, -0.3246, -0.252, -0.2308, -0.2463, -0.1737, -0.1737, -0.1949, -0.1688, -0.1476, -0.1835, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050306830480396530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T20:10:15+00:00", "symbol": "INMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, still bearish. Even with attractive optics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bearish on INMD despite 60% cash/mcap and 30% FCF yield to EV.", "resolved_tickers": ["INMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Medical Devices'", "bench_c_industry": "Medical Devices", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@IfkovicsA Yes, still bearish. Even with attractive optics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch You are still bearis on $INMD?\n\n60% mcap in cash, 30% fcf yield relative to EV…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IfkovicsA", "ret_m1d": 0.004163804320058695, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004163804320058695, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006925271331940541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001554036752656529, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005717841072715224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0069395856248651855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0069395856248651855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0032762059551232348, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003977282485418843, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002962303139446343, "ret_p1w": -0.031228300765454353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031228300765454353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05477644498000944, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01972376696265432, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011504533802800032, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1034, 0.0423, 0.0285, 0.0465, 0.0493, 0.0146, -0.0118, -0.0076, -0.0076, -0.0076, 0.0049, 0.0035, 0.0475, 0.0562, -0.0146, -0.0298, -0.0312, -0.025, -0.0458, -0.0534, -0.0562, -0.059, -0.0666, -0.0819, -0.0777, -0.0791, -0.0881, -0.1145, -0.0604, -0.068, -0.0527, -0.0666, -0.043, -0.0611, -0.0472, -0.0493, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0701, -0.0694, -0.0507, -0.0493, -0.043, -0.043, -0.0486, -0.0527, -0.0437, -0.05, -0.0611, -0.0291, -0.0187, -0.0111, -0.0056, 0.0167, 0.0111, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.0035, -0.0007, -0.0069, -0.0139, -0.0312, 0.0042, 0.0, -0.0069, -0.0007, -0.0569, -0.034, -0.0312, -0.0444, -0.0402, -0.0257, -0.025, -0.0354, -0.0215, -0.0305, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.025, -0.0333, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924867652926775736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T16:39:45+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's the best and largest freelancer market place. Tons of potential", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish UPWK as best/largest freelancer marketplace with significant potential, though GMV consolidation taking longer than expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@k_ristovski It’s the best and largest freelancer market place. Tons of potential but GMV will probably take longer to consolidate than we originally thought.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The only other account I’ve seen bullish on $UPWK was @pernasresearch", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "k_ristovski", "ret_m1d": 0.005467810303391385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005467810303391385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0020942357315860693, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003007880026876242, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033735745718053156, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002459930276515143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014580788849773652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014580788849773652, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0022699021774676975, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007102728491154453, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01685069102724135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0074780603586191985, "ret_p1w": -0.03888210359939648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03888210359939648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036014820337530895, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040751580688459965, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867283261865583, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001869477089063487, "ret_p1m": -0.18712023944990486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18712023944990486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19486258111698207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2052250891613664, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.007742341667077213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018104849711461535, "ret_p3m": -0.16160382999334866, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16160382999334866, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25014607860779003, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2611864314986281, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08854224861444138, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09958260150527942, "ret_p6m": 0.03523705123421461, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03523705123421461, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12407903688546518, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08857009120492165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1593160881196798, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12380714243913626, "price_path": [0.0182, -0.0504, -0.045, -0.0431, -0.0535, -0.0516, -0.0322, -0.1057, -0.1112, -0.093, -0.1367, -0.1391, -0.1774, -0.1865, -0.1762, -0.2503, -0.2345, -0.2017, -0.1974, -0.1847, -0.1829, -0.1756, -0.1616, -0.1555, -0.1659, -0.1701, -0.1974, -0.2072, -0.2047, -0.1865, -0.2388, -0.2789, -0.2734, -0.2831, -0.1981, -0.2327, -0.2163, -0.2266, -0.2224, -0.2309, -0.226, -0.226, -0.2424, -0.2199, -0.2005, -0.1762, -0.1774, -0.1835, -0.1896, -0.2011, -0.1914, -0.181, -0.1908, -0.045, -0.0115, -0.0006, 0.0255, 0.0571, 0.0632, 0.0565, 0.0383, 0.0474, 0.0055, 0.0, -0.0146, -0.0146, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0389, -0.0522, -0.0516, -0.0589, -0.0468, -0.0826, -0.0735, -0.0832, -0.0644, -0.0595, -0.0668, -0.1148, -0.1209, -0.1598, -0.1659, -0.1762, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.2017, -0.206, -0.1902, -0.1871, -0.1756, -0.1719, -0.1835, -0.1786, -0.1823, -0.1713, -0.1713, -0.1829, -0.1798, -0.1677, -0.1853, -0.2151, -0.2126, -0.2145, -0.1908, -0.1859, -0.1962, -0.1871, -0.1689, -0.1628, -0.1962, -0.2035, -0.2187, -0.2315, -0.2667, -0.2734, -0.2861, -0.2685, -0.2783, -0.274, -0.175, -0.1999, -0.1853, -0.1695, -0.144, -0.1677, -0.1616, -0.1501, -0.158, -0.1367, -0.1015, -0.0936, -0.0942, -0.0832, -0.1009, -0.0942, -0.065, -0.065, -0.0304, -0.0006, 0.0194, -0.0164, -0.0304, -0.0279, -0.0334, -0.0055, 0.0243, 0.02, 0.0389, 0.1021, 0.1908, 0.2193, 0.1744, 0.1944, 0.2102, 0.1725, 0.1634, 0.1549, 0.1282, 0.0759, 0.1033, 0.0492, 0.0571, 0.0383, 0.0851, 0.0589, 0.0207, 0.0389, 0.0292, 0.0213, 0.017, -0.0158, 0.0128, 0.0122, -0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0279, -0.0207, 0.0553, 0.0255, -0.0091, -0.0316, -0.0504, 0.0753, -0.0049, -0.0188, 0.0601, 0.0693, 0.0905, 0.0352]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052444602645245996", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:45:00+00:00", "symbol": "TXN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We like $TXN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses TXN as a favored holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["TXN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bizalmanac We like $TXN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch BKNG, MUSA, CME, WRB, TXN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bizalmanac", "ret_m1d": 0.014724485874439308, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014724485874439308, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011648950803169411, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0031611549630883307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01788564083752764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008974890079368913, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008974890079368913, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00071881707812671, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03997901408017546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04895390415954437, "ret_p1w": 0.08038852888235737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08038852888235737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05771163034389559, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009586727367654868, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0708018015147025, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2369, -0.2294, -0.2097, -0.2222, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.2128, -0.221, -0.2394, -0.2336, -0.2331, -0.2558, -0.2539, -0.2583, -0.2601, -0.2681, -0.2931, -0.294, -0.3094, -0.326, -0.3156, -0.3112, -0.307, -0.3371, -0.3345, -0.3229, -0.3217, -0.3345, -0.3432, -0.3471, -0.342, -0.3211, -0.3136, -0.3254, -0.3361, -0.3497, -0.3228, -0.3153, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3044, -0.3033, -0.2713, -0.2501, -0.251, -0.2441, -0.2366, -0.2456, -0.2218, -0.1984, -0.1848, -0.1868, -0.1757, -0.0156, -0.0333, -0.06, -0.0757, -0.0609, -0.0196, -0.0198, -0.0202, -0.0149, 0.0147, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0439, 0.0348, 0.074, 0.0804, 0.0613, 0.0538, 0.0598, 0.0689, 0.0461, 0.084, 0.084, 0.139, 0.1129, 0.1077, 0.0717, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047338033691668926", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T15:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "SaaS", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more value exists in smaller-cap SaaS names, but selectivity is important", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish smaller-cap SaaS sector: incumbents will adapt to agentic AI threat, market underestimates their resilience; more value in smaller names.", "resolved_tickers": ["WCLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WCLD WisdomTree Cloud Computing ETF proxies US SaaS sector", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on SaaS\n\n-No, SaaS is not dead.\n\n-“Vibe coding” replacing enterprise SaaS is not a serious argument. Building a competing SaaS product still requires making something meaningfully better, and in that delta, human ingenuity remains the bottleneck.\n\n-AI tools are not the sole province of new entrants. The same advantage applies to incumbents.\n\n-It is now easier to build a SaaS tool, but harder to build a SaaS company.\n\n-The real threat is agents, but SaaS will adapt.\n\n-The market is overlooking SaaS companies’ ability to make advances in the agentic layer.\n\n-SaaS companies are not dinosaurs and, by and large, will respond well to the existential agentic threat.\n\n-One of the reasons this shift is different for incumbents (SaaS) is that the adaptation response (implementing agents) doesn't have to cannibalize their economics and could even improve them.\n\n-Most SaaS companies will retain important touchpoints with customers even in an agentic world.\n\n-GUIs will still be a destination. This is a form factor optimized for our visual cortex. Even if part of the interaction layer is absorbed by agents, there will still be a need to go into applications. Just as fears that Alexa voice would replace online search proved wrong, there is a visual, low-friction nature to GUIs that give them staying power. \n\n-From an investing standpoint, more value exists in smaller-cap SaaS names, but selectivity is important.\n\n-While the future is uncertain, it is clear that some of the selling pressure is being fueled by narratives designed to provoke fear.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06820769935732685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06820769935732685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06431185671766526, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06431185671766526, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028040916568131236, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028040916568131236, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02029161860810702, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02029161860810702, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.02690416855787392, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02690416855787392, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012492479996117911, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012492479996117911, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.14475179170798413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14475179170798413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09225690597067082, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09225690597067082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2512, 0.23, 0.222, 0.1573, 0.1409, 0.1406, 0.0667, 0.0667, 0.0218, 0.0565, 0.0656, 0.0837, 0.0455, 0.0413, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0474, 0.0599, 0.0549, 0.0337, -0.0413, -0.0099, 0.0148, 0.0549, 0.0337, 0.0512, 0.0716, 0.0792, 0.1178, 0.1271, 0.122, 0.0908, 0.0926, 0.0712, 0.0716, 0.0705, 0.084, 0.0792, 0.0781, 0.0595, 0.0807, 0.0269, 0.0279, 0.0383, -0.0072, 0.0063, 0.0352, 0.0407, 0.0531, 0.0531, 0.0517, 0.0435, 0.0186, -0.039, -0.0872, -0.0375, -0.0477, 0.008, 0.0243, 0.028, 0.0513, 0.0553, 0.0682, 0.0, 0.028, 0.0318, 0.0322, 0.036, 0.0269, 0.0925, 0.1182, 0.1288, 0.0934, 0.1266, 0.1277, 0.0981, 0.0686, 0.0417, 0.0576, 0.0846, 0.1175, 0.1243, 0.1383, 0.1213, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1425, 0.1156, 0.1565, 0.2486, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046945017734771179", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T13:31:37+00:00", "symbol": "ADBE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if anything this would worry me as an ADBE investor", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ADBE; buyback is a warning sign, not reassurance, for investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["ADBE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invesquotes Agreed, if anything this would worry me as an ADBE investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Seen a lot of posts claiming that Adobe's $ADBE buyback is not something a dying business would do.\n\nWhile one can debate if Adobe is a \"dying\" business or not, I don't think that's the correct way to view this. Many companies that ended up being in secular decline (again, not https://t.co/L1WFWfcRmG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invesquotes", "ret_m1d": -0.034226809729090646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034226809729090646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024201634798292737, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024201634798292737, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06626555658391042, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06626555658391042, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06238483263408523, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06238483263408523, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": -0.048331620689186394, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048331620689186394, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.048851853961717095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.048851853961717095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": -0.046260827635184576, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.046260827635184576, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09056553054568472, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09056553054568472, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1763, 0.1906, 0.1621, 0.1705, 0.1395, 0.1458, 0.1463, 0.0625, 0.0929, 0.0526, 0.0486, 0.0428, 0.0341, 0.0048, 0.0256, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0176, 0.0282, 0.0128, 0.0104, -0.0362, -0.003, 0.0073, 0.0121, 0.0253, 0.0193, 0.0588, 0.0671, 0.1008, 0.1082, 0.1035, 0.075, 0.0694, 0.0541, -0.0259, -0.0159, -0.0068, -0.0388, -0.0389, -0.0304, -0.0324, -0.0667, -0.073, -0.0588, -0.0824, -0.0579, -0.0502, -0.0569, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0452, -0.0617, -0.065, -0.1016, -0.1195, -0.0619, -0.079, -0.0441, -0.0304, -0.0449, -0.0286, -0.0342, 0.0, -0.0663, -0.041, -0.065, -0.0498, -0.0483, -0.0384, -0.0204, -0.0077, -0.0013, -0.0225, 0.0022, -0.0113, -0.0383, -0.059, -0.0776, -0.074, -0.0326, -0.0012, -0.0037, -0.01, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0604, -0.0692, -0.0567, 0.0128, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2003137383366300092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T16:15:43+00:00", "symbol": "DXCM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We see vulnerabilities regarding new CMS bidding putting pricing pressure on CGM devices along with GLP-1 penetration presenting headwinds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish DXCM on CMS bidding pricing pressure on CGM devices and GLP-1 headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["DXCM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Medical Devices'", "bench_c_industry": "Medical Devices", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Accidently deleted this tweet:\n\n$DXCM still no bulls have commented. We see vulnerabilities regarding new CMS bidding putting pricing pressure on CGM devices along with GLP-1 penetration presenting headwinds. https://t.co/MyKfBO5chY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02031740679788896, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02031740679788896, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01412608578255481, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013768814798937101, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006548591998951858, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008453206172986838, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008453206172986838, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013023660991419717, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006457068024007584, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001996138148979254, "ret_p1w": 0.0005932213457853219, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005932213457853219, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0038165499295022, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0026906937645256868, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0032839151103110087, "ret_p1m": 0.048939686145967665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.048939686145967665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05952630083147836, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0482958469940753, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.000643839151892367, "ret_p3m": -0.0023728853831413987, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0023728853831413987, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03417636492714404, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05358330750893747, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05595619289207887, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.001, 0.0129, -0.0049, -0.0144, -0.0021, -0.02, -0.0147, -0.0056, -0.0159, -0.0208, 0.0052, 0.0096, -0.0343, -0.0331, -0.0181, -0.03, -0.0163, -0.0123, 0.0148, 0.0344, 0.0485, 0.0538, 0.043, 0.0475, 0.0267, 0.0111, 0.0114, -0.1366, -0.1038, -0.0927, -0.1209, -0.1396, -0.1843, -0.1867, -0.1379, -0.116, -0.1143, -0.139, -0.1326, -0.1077, -0.1142, -0.1336, -0.1068, -0.0774, -0.0851, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0587, -0.058, -0.0442, -0.0383, -0.0323, -0.0288, -0.0268, -0.0163, 0.0019, 0.0224, -0.007, -0.0252, -0.0157, -0.0249, -0.0225, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.0085, -0.0001, -0.0001, 0.0021, 0.0006, -0.0055, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0132, 0.0033, 0.0365, 0.0396, 0.0148, -0.0004, 0.0526, 0.0418, 0.0337, 0.0268, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0489, 0.0694, 0.0962, 0.0805, 0.0876, 0.0925, 0.0879, 0.0974, 0.0832, 0.0756, 0.0623, 0.0503, 0.0365, 0.0377, 0.0405, 0.0108, 0.0107, -0.0349, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0445, 0.0796, 0.0718, 0.0838, 0.0865, 0.0839, 0.085, 0.1031, 0.089, 0.0942, 0.0838, 0.0811, 0.0483, 0.0099, 0.0194, 0.0053, -0.0166, -0.0322, -0.0473, -0.0162, -0.0016, 0.0034, -0.0024, -0.0071, -0.0221, -0.0123, -0.0087, -0.0199, -0.0768, -0.082, -0.0687, -0.075, -0.0773, -0.0773, -0.0626, -0.0641, -0.0242, -0.026, -0.0506, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0873, -0.0919, -0.0512, -0.0417, -0.0716, -0.0596, -0.0701, -0.0869, -0.0893, -0.1203, -0.1464, -0.1169, -0.0902, -0.1096, -0.1179, -0.1048, -0.0967, -0.1011, -0.1201, -0.0933, -0.1314, -0.1425, -0.086, -0.0347, -0.0071, 0.0595, 0.0663, 0.0693, 0.0693, 0.0679, 0.042, 0.0728, 0.0936, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016600648507097375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T19:53:55+00:00", "symbol": "CVNA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it will be making new highs in a week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects CVNA to hit new highs within a week.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVNA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@atelicinvest it will be making new highs in a week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is there a polymarket bet on which year we finish arguing about whether CVNA is a complete fraud or the next trillion dollar co?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "atelicinvest", "ret_m1d": 0.16505700601723716, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16505700601723716, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16495632597813747, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15750174658797889, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007555259429258276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04243483062955056, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04243483062955056, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04441921307852037, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047197886657124544, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004763056027573986, "ret_p1w": -0.041459386788648134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041459386788648134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02818687100480788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02774503241097659, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013714354377671545, "ret_p1m": -0.13691352078662922, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13691352078662922, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12811308208920014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0981519542774002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03876156650922902, "ret_p3m": -0.008072414122566207, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008072414122566207, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03928111407484003, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022257546899213443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03032996102177965, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2524, -0.1895, -0.2445, -0.2448, -0.2924, -0.2586, -0.214, -0.2028, -0.1996, -0.2231, -0.2237, -0.212, -0.2264, -0.1958, -0.2361, -0.2443, -0.193, -0.1434, -0.1285, -0.1285, -0.0867, -0.0848, -0.0679, -0.0367, -0.0273, -0.025, 0.0925, 0.1129, 0.1405, 0.1529, 0.1113, 0.0924, 0.1101, 0.0883, 0.1358, 0.098, 0.0574, 0.0666, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0693, 0.0573, 0.0476, 0.0292, 0.0292, -0.0239, 0.0488, 0.0741, 0.0994, 0.0794, 0.1294, 0.1329, 0.1427, 0.1185, 0.124, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.0787, 0.1097, 0.1668, 0.1543, 0.1553, 0.1651, 0.0, 0.0424, -0.0218, -0.0052, 0.0008, -0.0415, -0.0643, -0.0155, 0.0038, -0.0448, -0.1121, -0.1607, -0.1638, -0.1638, -0.1441, -0.1183, -0.1884, -0.1791, -0.2072, -0.207, -0.1833, -0.1369, -0.1851, -0.212, -0.2221, -0.2287, -0.1924, -0.2252, -0.1994, -0.2226, -0.2452, -0.2863, -0.268, -0.2538, -0.2324, -0.2899, -0.2826, -0.314, -0.2693, -0.266, -0.2475, -0.265, -0.2634, -0.2908, -0.2333, -0.2389, -0.2344, -0.2344, -0.2273, -0.2191, -0.1737, -0.2027, -0.1798, -0.1238, -0.0874, -0.095, -0.1166, -0.0549, -0.0196, -0.0222, 0.0165, -0.0171, -0.0023, -0.0081, -0.0088, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0669, -0.0817, -0.0755, -0.0504, -0.0244, -0.0496, -0.0705, -0.1011, -0.1476, -0.1522, -0.1809, -0.195, -0.2275, -0.2085, -0.2148, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.1446, -0.1098, -0.1039, -0.1098, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993400235012362270", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T19:23:46+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "New Blackwell chips dramatically changes things: even if it's 2× the cost, it is 5x the throughput. Revenue grows way faster than cost, so margins climb sharply.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Blackwell's 5x throughput vs 2x cost drives sharply higher AI inference margins, implying strong demand for NVDA's latest chips.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Model-layer economics already look strong.\n\nAn H200 at $2.50/hr TCO can conservatively push about 3M tokens/hr. With mini-model API pricing around $2 per 1M tokens, that’s ~$6/hr revenue. This is ~50% gross margins.\n\nNew Blackwell chips dramatically changes things: even if it’s 2× the cost, it is 5x the throughput. Revenue grows way faster than cost, so margins climb sharply.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026599997322424462, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026599997322424462, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035918250420953646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029217652240705827, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318253098529183, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026176549182813647, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013721716820289664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013721716820289664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006818141807270139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008924590588230252, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903575013019525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022646307408519917, "ret_p1w": 0.020470151382573132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020470151382573132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010825897646228544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.036645757231973164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644253736344588, "bench_c_p1w": 0.057115908614546296, "ret_p1m": 0.06073839983275442, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06073839983275442, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03496134298469955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013651024099493814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02577705684805487, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07438942393224823, "ret_p3m": 0.06754347541762451, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06754347541762451, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04317790584995218, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15689517922623253, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436556956767233, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22443865464385704, "ret_p6m": 0.2568582838182092, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2568582838182092, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15248997529957165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4090249050642212, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436830851863754, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6658831888824304, "price_path": [0.0132, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0396, -0.0405, -0.0347, -0.0608, -0.0535, -0.0398, -0.0028, -0.0037, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0165, -0.0423, -0.0089, -0.0065, 0.0326, 0.0034, -0.0048, -0.0007, 0.0021, 0.0227, 0.0493, 0.053, 0.0623, 0.0551, 0.0434, 0.0406, 0.0635, 0.0829, 0.03, 0.059, 0.0124, 0.0113, 0.0224, 0.0304, 0.0271, 0.0188, 0.0138, 0.0244, 0.0475, 0.0769, 0.1305, 0.1643, 0.141, 0.1387, 0.1634, 0.1174, 0.0978, 0.0577, 0.0581, 0.1194, 0.0863, 0.0899, 0.0508, 0.0695, 0.0494, 0.0199, 0.0489, 0.0159, 0.006, 0.0266, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0137, -0.0046, 0.0118, 0.0205, 0.01, 0.0313, 0.0259, 0.0435, 0.0403, 0.0336, 0.0175, -0.0157, -0.0085, -0.0005, -0.0386, -0.0206, 0.0179, 0.0331, 0.0641, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0715, 0.0585, 0.0547, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0621, 0.058, 0.053, 0.0636, 0.0407, 0.0396, 0.0401, 0.045, 0.03, 0.052, 0.0474, 0.0474, 0.0015, 0.031, 0.0395, 0.0555, 0.0487, 0.0602, 0.0771, 0.0827, 0.0749, 0.0439, 0.0142, -0.0204, -0.0334, 0.0427, 0.0688, 0.0603, 0.0688, 0.0513, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0403, 0.0572, 0.0567, 0.0675, 0.0773, 0.0846, 0.0998, 0.0398, -0.0035, 0.0263, 0.0126, 0.0294, 0.0311, 0.0001, 0.0272, 0.0391, 0.0463, 0.03, 0.0138, 0.0305, 0.0232, 0.0146, 0.0043, -0.0287, -0.0122, -0.0146, 0.0049, -0.0369, -0.0578, -0.071, -0.0191, -0.0115, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0009, 0.0017, 0.0241, 0.0344, 0.0609, 0.0647, 0.1052, 0.1185, 0.1156, 0.1343, 0.1364, 0.1242, 0.1389, 0.1228, 0.1714, 0.2183, 0.1989, 0.1769, 0.1224, 0.1161, 0.1163, 0.1052, 0.1689, 0.1895, 0.2103, 0.2342, 0.2417, 0.2701, 0.3259, 0.2673, 0.2504, 0.2408, 0.2569]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987957374943195229", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T18:55:47+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We added after the sell off. Overdone, thesis still intact. Trading at ~1.5x EV to sales.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to Remitly position post-selloff; views decline as overdone, thesis intact at ~1.5x EV/sales.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TraderOver1 We added after the sell off. Overdone, thesis still intact. Trading at ~1.5x EV to sales.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch U guys got any thoughts on recent action on Remitly? Earnings and pa?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TraderOver1", "ret_m1d": 0.003949462190955932, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003949462190955932, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019314139871507652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019314139871507652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01536467768055172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01536467768055172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013428126251415096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013428126251415096, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015717275953860854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015717275953860854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022891497024457585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022891497024457585, "ret_p1w": -0.004739294365366686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004739294365366686, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018402979535948605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018402979535948605, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02314227390131529, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02314227390131529, "ret_p1m": 0.11769350624619013, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11769350624619013, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11534571583008257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11534571583008257, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023477904161075536, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023477904161075536, "ret_p3m": 0.011058479068731808, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011058479068731808, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013725955956093494, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013725955956093494, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667476887361686, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667476887361686, "ret_p6m": 0.875197476876034, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.875197476876034, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8070313854768703, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8070313854768703, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816609139916374, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816609139916374, "price_path": [0.5774, 0.5521, 0.5482, 0.5695, 0.4889, 0.4874, 0.4708, 0.5047, 0.4803, 0.4336, 0.4526, 0.4597, 0.4637, 0.4637, 0.4945, 0.5363, 0.5545, 0.5395, 0.5742, 0.5995, 0.4905, 0.4724, 0.4344, 0.3167, 0.3586, 0.3768, 0.3673, 0.3515, 0.346, 0.3128, 0.2867, 0.2836, 0.2954, 0.3049, 0.2875, 0.278, 0.2701, 0.267, 0.2417, 0.2504, 0.2575, 0.2227, 0.184, 0.173, 0.2093, 0.2227, 0.2085, 0.231, 0.2662, 0.3065, 0.3191, 0.3397, 0.3586, 0.3389, 0.3144, 0.2859, 0.2457, 0.267, 0.3002, 0.278, 0.2986, -0.0276, 0.0039, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0363, -0.0134, -0.0197, -0.0047, 0.0111, -0.0039, -0.0205, -0.0134, -0.0134, 0.0229, 0.0545, 0.0545, 0.0699, 0.045, 0.0213, 0.0513, 0.0624, 0.0608, 0.0671, 0.1177, 0.203, 0.1801, 0.1572, 0.1453, 0.113, 0.1422, 0.1469, 0.1548, 0.1548, 0.1398, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.124, 0.1098, 0.0948, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0442, 0.0355, 0.0648, 0.0758, 0.0766, 0.0853, 0.0482, 0.0498, 0.0679, 0.0893, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.079, 0.1177, 0.128, 0.1193, 0.1367, 0.0932, 0.075, 0.0592, 0.0442, 0.0529, -0.0229, 0.0166, 0.0111, 0.0276, 0.0624, 0.0766, 0.0466, 0.0103, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0332, 0.075, 0.3539, 0.3547, 0.2875, 0.2788, 0.2836, 0.3302, 0.3191, 0.3373, 0.3886, 0.372, 0.3681, 0.346, 0.3365, 0.3491, 0.3412, 0.2267, 0.2046, 0.205, 0.2378, 0.2267, 0.2393, 0.2125, 0.2812, 0.2765, 0.2725, 0.263, 0.1856, 0.2101, 0.2378, 0.2441, 0.2654, 0.2654, 0.2804, 0.2654, 0.3167, 0.3507, 0.3318, 0.3673, 0.4155, 0.4897, 0.5506, 0.5806, 0.6303, 0.643, 0.654, 0.6161, 0.6651, 0.6793, 0.707, 0.7291, 0.7291, 0.8002, 0.8784, 0.8752]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1999189539412177233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T18:48:23+00:00", "symbol": "PSFE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the equity could re-rate sharply. Disc: long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long PSFE: Digital Wallets segment alone worth ~$3.75B vs ~$2.7B total EV; levered to 'good enough' economy for sharp re-rate.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSFE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We don’t understand Paysafe’s valuation $PSFE. The space is deeply out of favor since $FISV blow-up.\n\nPaysafe has a single asset that is worth significantly more than the entire EV of the company: Digital Wallets.\n\nDigital Wallets carries a 45% EBITDA margin and ~$825mm of fwd revenue, ~$375mm of EBITDA, on LDD TPV growth. It’s highly portable/salable. At a ~10× EBITDA, the Digital Wallets segment alone is worth ~$3.75B vs. Paysafe’s current EV of ~$2.7B. \n\nIt’s a highly levered name, but if the economy continues its state of \"good enough\", we think the equity could re-rate sharply. Disc: long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0167064846552325, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0167064846552325, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019028030668604035, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019028030668604035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011933105779209363, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011933105779209363, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022685163774305628, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022685163774305628, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010752057995096265, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010752057995096265, "ret_p1w": -0.08114562003453485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08114562003453485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06271763044617662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06271763044617662, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.008353185425808096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008353185425808096, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0017327362702663773, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0017327362702663773, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.11455847554138376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11455847554138376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10006424391299362, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10006424391299362, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6647, 0.6527, 0.6671, 0.6802, 0.6539, 0.6313, 0.5823, 0.58, 0.5179, 0.5406, 0.5406, 0.5418, 0.5227, 0.5513, 0.5835, 0.5334, 0.5143, 0.494, 0.4928, 0.3974, 0.4356, 0.4785, 0.4749, 0.4093, 0.4308, 0.4773, 0.4797, 0.463, 0.4582, 0.5143, 0.4881, 0.4666, 0.3532, 0.2912, 0.3138, 0.2757, 0.2411, 0.2649, 0.2267, 0.2148, 0.216, 0.2613, 0.2124, -0.1217, -0.1671, -0.1933, -0.2041, -0.2136, -0.2315, -0.1456, -0.1563, -0.148, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.0823, -0.0525, -0.0513, -0.037, -0.0227, -0.0191, -0.0549, -0.0489, 0.0167, 0.0, 0.0119, -0.0239, -0.0286, -0.0525, -0.0811, -0.0418, -0.0251, -0.0263, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0477, -0.0525, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0477, -0.0095, -0.0095, -0.0286, 0.006, 0.0084, -0.0095, -0.0549, -0.0322, -0.0788, -0.1456, -0.1456, -0.1754, -0.1468, -0.0979, -0.1146, -0.1301, -0.1599, -0.1742, -0.1742, -0.1814, -0.1683, -0.21, -0.1945, -0.2196, -0.1516, -0.1587, -0.1408, -0.1671, -0.2434, -0.2709, -0.2709, -0.2554, -0.2279, -0.247, -0.2518, -0.2816, -0.2828, -0.2351, -0.2232, -0.253, -0.2589, -0.1098, -0.1158, -0.08, -0.099, -0.0979, -0.1146, -0.1265, -0.1659, -0.1742, -0.1659, -0.1372, -0.1671, -0.173, -0.1754, -0.1492, -0.1695, -0.1802, -0.179, -0.21, -0.2041, -0.1874, -0.1993, -0.1838, -0.1838, -0.1874, -0.2184, -0.142, -0.1241, -0.1169, -0.0561, -0.0155, 0.0131, 0.0286, 0.0561, 0.0955, 0.0752, 0.1026, 0.0215, 0.0394, 0.0501, 0.0764, 0.0704, 0.0788, 0.1229, 0.0847, 0.0883, 0.105, 0.1217, 0.1074, 0.0406, 0.037, 0.1146, -0.0274, -0.08, -0.1074, -0.1766, -0.1539, -0.1253, -0.1086, -0.1086, -0.0979, -0.0704, -0.0871, -0.0776, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1897355028270342297", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-05T18:34:24+00:00", "symbol": "PSFE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PSFE we have added to our position. Organic rev growth of ~8% guided for '25. Cash flow is strong and the company continues to pay down debt. Volumes continue to increase and take rates remain solid. We like Paysafe's positioning.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Added to long PSFE on ~8% organic rev growth guide, strong cash flow, debt paydown, and solid volumes/take rates despite post-earnings drop.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSFE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PSFE we have added to our position. \n\nPrice dropped ~20% post-earnings. Surprising given the company pre-released the results on 2/11.\n\nOrganic rev growth of ~8% guided for '25. Cash flow is strong and the company continues to pay down debt. \n\nVolumes continue to increase and take rates remain solid. We like Paysafe's positioning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are long $PSFE Paysafe\n\nStock is up 18% on takeover rumors. Our deep dive was released yesterday (epic timing).\n\nBusiness background + Thesis:🧵", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.035141782919492326, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035141782919492326, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024508261755038507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024508261755038507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010633521164453819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03329217207389834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03329217207389834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015540962995134633, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015540962995134633, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017751209078763708, "ret_p1w": -0.06226876189667607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06226876189667607, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020780846312356993, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020780846312356993, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04148791558431908, "ret_p1m": -0.07768183283276209, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07768183283276209, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0009392620031545285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0009392620031545285, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07674257082960756, "ret_p3m": -0.23242907914215405, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23242907914215405, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.252037819767413, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.252037819767413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01960874062525897, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01960874062525897, "ret_p6m": -0.13008629753393453, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13008629753393453, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2496902591917478, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2496902591917478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11960396165781328, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11960396165781328, "price_path": [0.2349, 0.1948, 0.1843, 0.1967, 0.1689, 0.1498, 0.14, 0.1159, 0.0524, 0.066, 0.0654, 0.0617, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0888, 0.0715, 0.0555, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0672, 0.0771, 0.0789, 0.0709, 0.0573, 0.0573, 0.0623, 0.0721, 0.0851, 0.1165, 0.1085, 0.111, 0.111, 0.1307, 0.1523, 0.119, 0.119, 0.1566, 0.1652, 0.1776, 0.2146, 0.1961, 0.1917, 0.2109, 0.2213, 0.4223, 0.4334, 0.4051, 0.1689, 0.1782, 0.2219, 0.2084, 0.2084, 0.2922, 0.2596, 0.2096, 0.1856, 0.1597, 0.1998, 0.201, 0.1862, 0.2207, 0.185, -0.0351, 0.0, -0.0333, -0.0166, -0.1073, -0.1054, -0.0623, -0.0617, -0.0253, 0.0099, 0.0191, 0.061, 0.0647, 0.0684, 0.1054, 0.1036, 0.0709, 0.0604, -0.0074, -0.0327, -0.0062, 0.0123, -0.0777, -0.127, -0.1467, -0.1813, -0.0506, -0.1252, -0.0974, -0.0869, -0.0851, -0.1104, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.1492, -0.1227, -0.0925, -0.0604, -0.0425, -0.0536, -0.0345, -0.061, -0.0524, -0.0413, -0.0586, -0.0789, -0.0795, -0.0518, -0.0462, 0.0018, -0.1498, -0.193, -0.23, -0.2164, -0.217, -0.233, -0.2756, -0.2602, -0.2589, -0.2589, -0.2324, -0.2109, -0.2293, -0.2386, -0.2324, -0.2398, -0.23, -0.2318, -0.2213, -0.1973, -0.2053, -0.2072, -0.2041, -0.2546, -0.2281, -0.2441, -0.2503, -0.2503, -0.2694, -0.2497, -0.1991, -0.2189, -0.2269, -0.225, -0.2219, -0.1887, -0.1899, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1776, -0.1621, -0.1529, -0.1547, -0.193, -0.18, -0.1998, -0.1708, -0.1369, -0.1523, -0.1529, -0.1535, -0.151, -0.1652, -0.1523, -0.1843, -0.2226, -0.2534, -0.2509, -0.2959, -0.2688, -0.2904, -0.27, -0.2836, -0.2996, -0.2744, -0.1486, -0.1067, -0.1492, -0.1554, -0.1658, -0.1535, -0.1702, -0.1825, -0.127, -0.1418, -0.1406, -0.1338, -0.1301]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930997194401665259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-06T14:36:21+00:00", "symbol": "DOCS.L", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is a unique brand that cannot be replicated. The issues were cyclical, not structural. The brand is in no way impaired.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Dr. Martens: issues cyclical not structural, brand intact, inventory rightsized, D2C Americas recovering — rerating thesis remains.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCS.L"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$DOCS.L For our call on Dr. Martens...it's taken a while for a rerating and we missed the collapse in the sandals segment, but this is a unique brand that cannot be replicated.\n\nThe issues were cyclical, not structural. The brand is in no way impaired. We saw signs of a category rebound as other boot brands posted sequential improvements.\n\n-Revenue down 8% YoY\n-£83M in debt repaid\n-D2C growth returns in the Americas\n-Inventory reduced by £67M, ahead of expectations\n-Rightsized inventory has management positioned for growth", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07992661956421732, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07992661956421732, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06976201977575658, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06710664202623351, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010164599788460738, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012819977537983807, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05491146778379463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05491146778379463, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055812750671938915, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06292387219808682, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009012828881442836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008012404414292185, "ret_p1w": -0.09456983285174203, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09456983285174203, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09099818900222234, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09254311937640247, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00357164384951969, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002026713475339559, "ret_p1m": -0.05369113016450344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05369113016450344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09270523157866328, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08524298525246043, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03901410141415984, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03155185508795699, "ret_p3m": 0.11063649398045006, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11063649398045006, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03302013838019846, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01985538729921088, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0776163556002516, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09078110668123918, "ret_p6m": -0.06023060879425357, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06023060879425357, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20215520376048512, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17971616860571415, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14192459496623155, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11948555981146058, "price_path": [-0.3392, -0.3307, -0.3539, -0.3435, -0.3325, -0.3289, -0.3392, -0.3478, -0.3514, -0.3539, -0.3441, -0.3392, -0.3545, -0.3642, -0.3783, -0.3777, -0.3533, -0.3952, -0.4006, -0.4201, -0.4018, -0.4023, -0.3728, -0.3899, -0.36, -0.3716, -0.3777, -0.3557, -0.3557, -0.3557, -0.3594, -0.3624, -0.3606, -0.3581, -0.3356, -0.3124, -0.3289, -0.3295, -0.3411, -0.3411, -0.316, -0.3313, -0.3246, -0.3197, -0.2965, -0.2709, -0.2746, -0.2587, -0.255, -0.3026, -0.291, -0.3136, -0.3228, -0.3325, -0.3325, -0.316, -0.3295, -0.2953, -0.2727, -0.2813, -0.2733, -0.2685, -0.0799, 0.0, -0.0549, -0.011, -0.0329, -0.0665, -0.0946, -0.0995, -0.108, -0.1104, -0.108, -0.0903, -0.1123, -0.0897, -0.0885, -0.0866, -0.0598, -0.0842, -0.061, -0.0665, -0.0513, -0.0616, -0.0537, -0.061, -0.0708, -0.0397, -0.036, -0.0262, -0.0317, -0.0421, -0.0384, -0.0342, -0.0329, -0.0244, -0.0085, 0.0079, 0.0226, -0.0018, -0.0165, -0.011, -0.0134, -0.0494, -0.0519, -0.061, -0.0561, -0.0464, -0.0616, -0.083, -0.0775, -0.0769, -0.0799, -0.0885, -0.011, 0.0305, 0.0702, 0.0732, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1165, 0.1336, 0.0929, 0.1064, 0.1045, 0.0984, 0.1106, 0.1039, 0.1235, 0.1198, 0.0997, 0.0984, 0.1058, 0.1228, 0.1003, 0.1131, 0.1448, 0.1332, 0.1021, 0.1137, 0.1289, 0.132, 0.1167, 0.1546, 0.1662, 0.2125, 0.1924, 0.1546, 0.1393, 0.1222, 0.1009, 0.1173, 0.1039, 0.0667, 0.085, 0.0801, 0.0978, 0.1112, 0.0899, 0.1198, 0.1473, 0.1418, 0.1558, 0.1595, 0.1466, 0.143, 0.135, 0.1228, 0.1094, 0.0942, 0.0844, 0.0862, 0.06, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0533, 0.0545, 0.0496, 0.0466, 0.0252, 0.0118, -0.0041, -0.0993, -0.0981, -0.1078, -0.0987, -0.0798, -0.0676, -0.0566, -0.0602]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049901358744998346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T17:19:03+00:00", "symbol": "CGEH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CGEH now up +600% since our initiation. We still own in size", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding CGEH in size; ongoing long position with implied continued upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CGEH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CGEH now up +600% since our initiation. We still own in size", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Capstone $CGEH up ~150% since our research note in August with still plenty of potential upside: https://t.co/o5G7lLgYTM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08580855004156718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08580855004156718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07595694243956197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05917314445958444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02663540558198274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06710667177531149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06710667177531149, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06433755794694052, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07638605715849645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009279385383184957, "ret_p1w": 0.07260724272091568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07260724272091568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05462927758007141, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07592951231062484, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003322269589709159, "ret_p1m": 0.4906490608668721, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4906490608668721, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4380233286186497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4989546911397219, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008305630272849807, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4345, -0.4664, -0.4774, -0.4774, -0.473, -0.4169, -0.4103, -0.4362, -0.4543, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3421, -0.418, -0.4213, -0.3729, -0.3784, -0.341, -0.3531, -0.374, -0.3839, -0.4037, -0.4279, -0.4103, -0.4246, -0.4334, -0.3795, -0.3586, -0.308, -0.3069, -0.3124, -0.3366, -0.385, -0.4059, -0.4334, -0.4392, -0.4444, -0.4598, -0.4391, -0.484, -0.4609, -0.4713, -0.4004, -0.3399, -0.3124, -0.3124, -0.3476, -0.3333, -0.4015, -0.3784, -0.3806, -0.3311, -0.3102, -0.2904, -0.2926, -0.2904, -0.3465, -0.3377, -0.3069, -0.3025, -0.2871, -0.1146, -0.1749, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.0671, 0.2849, 0.3421, 0.1595, 0.0726, 0.1001, 0.1034, 0.1221, 0.3058, 0.1573, 0.0792, -0.0154, -0.0165, 0.0209, 0.1001, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.1661, 0.2849, 0.3696, 0.4906, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1910680887311692251", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T13:06:36+00:00", "symbol": "NRP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Would add that thermal coal could see a new lease on life with coal plant retirements being pushed out due to EPA stance and power demand", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish NRP view; adds thermal coal tailwind from deferred plant retirements and rising power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["NRP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Thermal Coal'", "bench_c_industry": "Thermal Coal", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@InvestSpecial Great points, thanks for sharing. Would add that thermal coal could see a new lease on life with coal plant retirements being pushed out due to EPA stance and power demand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NRP is starting to look interesting.\n\nThis is a cheap coal (80% met coal) royalty business that has been on a deleveraging path for the last 10 years. The company will likely pay off its remaining debt this year and begin paying dividends. Considering that it trades at less than", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "InvestSpecial", "ret_m1d": -0.04873132367236732, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04873132367236732, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03120139943322775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02452041890358969, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01752992423913957, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02421090476877763, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04524326590502392, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04524326590502392, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03554182902124925, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0416939768108906, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009701436883774672, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035492890941333233, "ret_p1w": 0.11501061242684263, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11501061242684263, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1291132899272256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08192653482977486, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014102677500382965, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033084077597067774, "ret_p1m": 0.026427197597288732, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026427197597288732, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06543705142787903, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045698560964813506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09186424902516777, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07212575856210224, "ret_p3m": 0.051581355761896486, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.051581355761896486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12065692818668672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07373692640573815, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1722382839485832, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12531828216763463, "ret_p6m": 0.148606102975805, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.148606102975805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11644799334252354, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0029407259007294684, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26505409631832855, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15154682887653448, "price_path": [0.113, 0.1303, 0.1155, 0.1119, 0.1119, 0.105, 0.1096, 0.1324, 0.1183, 0.1025, 0.1086, 0.1159, 0.0936, 0.0992, 0.0761, 0.0743, 0.0759, 0.056, 0.0642, 0.0652, 0.0526, 0.0625, 0.0658, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0526, 0.0456, 0.0442, 0.0363, 0.0279, 0.048, 0.0749, 0.0342, 0.1008, 0.029, -0.0075, 0.1064, 0.0457, 0.0708, 0.076, 0.1098, 0.1048, 0.1039, 0.1477, 0.1198, 0.1393, 0.1596, 0.1496, 0.1527, 0.1099, 0.1143, 0.127, 0.1205, 0.1099, 0.0983, 0.0862, 0.1058, 0.0518, -0.0149, -0.0577, -0.0548, 0.0201, -0.0487, 0.0, 0.0452, 0.0697, 0.0559, 0.115, 0.115, 0.0606, 0.0807, 0.0595, 0.074, 0.0883, 0.0832, 0.0902, 0.0794, 0.0831, 0.089, 0.0782, 0.0359, 0.042, 0.0359, 0.0127, 0.0264, 0.0254, 0.0177, 0.0122, -0.0181, -0.0136, 0.003, 0.0177, 0.007, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.023, 0.0306, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0229, 0.0225, 0.0309, 0.0386, 0.0395, 0.0358, 0.015, 0.0209, 0.0294, 0.0114, 0.0198, 0.0281, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.0144, 0.0197, 0.0062, -0.0032, -0.0083, 0.0049, 0.0178, 0.0146, 0.0603, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.0466, 0.0442, 0.0516, 0.0469, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.036, 0.039, 0.0424, 0.0402, 0.0497, 0.0807, 0.075, 0.081, 0.0674, 0.1189, 0.1149, 0.1065, 0.0914, 0.0942, 0.0843, 0.0977, 0.11, 0.1114, 0.1003, 0.109, 0.104, 0.1019, 0.1008, 0.1016, 0.0977, 0.1039, 0.1097, 0.0875, 0.1121, 0.1003, 0.1071, 0.1117, 0.1211, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.1123, 0.1134, 0.116, 0.0998, 0.087, 0.0904, 0.1047, 0.1028, 0.0932, 0.096, 0.1058, 0.098, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.0944, 0.0995, 0.1072, 0.1074, 0.1169, 0.1111, 0.1271, 0.1389, 0.1489, 0.1596, 0.1486]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996237110282494006", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T15:16:30+00:00", "symbol": "FISV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fiserv rebounding aggressively which could be just what the sector needs. disc: long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long FISV; insider buying $1.5mm worth of shares, stock rebounding aggressively, seen as positive for the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["FISV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CFO and Chief Admin buy ~$1.5mm worth of shares of $FISV. Fiserv rebounding aggressively which could be just what the sector needs. disc: long https://t.co/tEpmXf91Az", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.055414420297039246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055414420297039246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05196360188663085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05196360188663085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013293494103315373, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013293494103315373, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01402455025731375, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01402455025731375, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": -0.005675836754880481, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005675836754880481, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011056840873298168, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011056840873298168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": 0.003286052736838796, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.003286052736838796, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003220262170739341, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003220262170739341, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.0761762316145258, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0761762316145258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08278284307276507, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08278284307276507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": -0.16609403471346185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16609403471346185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2757704986096545, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2757704986096545, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [1.0172, 1.0196, 1.0375, 0.9737, 1.0269, 1.0063, 0.9813, 0.9828, 1.0042, 0.9846, 0.9686, 0.9489, 0.9391, 0.9506, 0.9217, 0.9352, 0.9485, 0.9258, 0.8833, 0.8784, 0.9053, 0.8678, 0.8923, 0.8896, 0.8814, 0.8317, 0.8305, 0.8539, 0.809, 0.7625, 0.817, 0.8542, 0.883, 0.8708, 0.8515, 0.8696, 0.8901, 0.8845, 0.0545, -0.0263, -0.0039, -0.027, -0.0373, -0.0441, -0.0795, -0.0485, -0.0471, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0527, -0.0635, -0.0838, -0.0863, -0.1072, -0.0913, -0.0938, -0.0925, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0819, -0.0636, -0.0554, 0.0, -0.0133, -0.01, -0.0182, -0.0111, -0.0057, 0.0181, 0.0269, 0.0302, 0.0112, 0.0206, 0.0157, 0.0148, 0.0249, 0.0115, 0.0149, 0.0149, 0.0082, 0.0049, 0.0088, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0203, 0.0006, 0.027, 0.0263, 0.0381, 0.0433, 0.0187, -0.003, 0.0082, -0.0025, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0367, -0.0182, 0.0067, 0.0091, 0.003, -0.0099, -0.0299, -0.0526, -0.0481, -0.0599, -0.1319, -0.108, -0.1271, -0.1038, -0.1017, -0.0651, -0.0723, -0.1214, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.0523, -0.0588, -0.081, -0.0819, -0.1277, -0.1168, -0.0798, -0.0756, -0.0696, -0.0762, -0.0606, -0.065, -0.0462, -0.0575, -0.0845, -0.112, -0.1262, -0.1625, -0.1525, -0.1401, -0.1305, -0.1477, -0.1483, -0.1476, -0.138, -0.1585, -0.154, -0.1704, -0.1949, -0.1855, -0.1665, -0.1718, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1588, -0.1737, -0.1541, -0.1574, -0.1622, -0.1219, -0.1184, -0.0845, -0.0674, -0.0445, -0.042, -0.0551, -0.0551, -0.0807, -0.0913, -0.0848, -0.0799, -0.0736, -0.0642, -0.0718, -0.0618, -0.1444, -0.1619, -0.1515, -0.1713, -0.1876, -0.1803, -0.2178, -0.2015, -0.1736, -0.1537, -0.1631, -0.1574, -0.1662, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.1694, -0.1692, -0.1661]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2049859055003255030", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T14:30:57+00:00", "symbol": "SPT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have added aggressively at recent prices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SPT aggressively, framing it as a deep-value SaaS small cap and publishing research.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Deep value SaaS small cap $SPT. We have added aggressively at recent prices and made our research on Sprout Social public…link in the comments.\n\nHad fun doing this pod with @AndrewRangeley .\nhttps://t.co/Dlv5a6eA7v\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/yWd2PjuHra", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013333320617675781, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013333320617675781, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034817130156705733, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034817130156705733, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08333333333333326, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08333333333333326, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08056421950496229, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08056421950496229, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": 0.1333333651224773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1333333651224773, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11535539998163302, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11535539998163302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.24666666984558105, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24666666984558105, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19404093759735863, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19404093759735863, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4467, 0.335, 0.3417, 0.315, 0.3333, 0.2917, 0.3267, 0.2133, 0.145, 0.1917, 0.1917, 0.165, 0.2067, 0.2117, 0.1817, 0.0817, 0.1283, 0.1267, 0.185, 0.075, 0.085, 0.1417, 0.125, 0.1733, 0.075, 0.0417, -0.0117, 0.0017, -0.0033, -0.0233, -0.0483, -0.055, -0.0583, -0.035, -0.04, -0.0167, -0.0833, -0.0717, -0.0433, -0.0783, -0.0767, -0.05, -0.0667, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.0367, -0.0667, -0.0817, -0.1067, -0.1683, -0.1167, -0.1267, -0.0717, -0.06, -0.08, -0.0367, -0.005, 0.035, -0.0667, -0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0117, -0.0133, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.125, 0.1167, 0.0617, 0.1333, 0.2333, 0.0933, 0.0917, 0.0517, 0.0, 0.0417, 0.0858, 0.12, 0.1333, 0.115, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.14, 0.125, 0.165, 0.2467, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953469510414987752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-07T14:53:19+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pretty much smashed Q2. This one feels great. We had a few conversation with bears and strongly felt that none of the below fears would impact Remitly", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RELY after Q2 beat; author dismisses all four bear-case fears (remittance tax, OBBB KYC burden, stablecoins, US/MEX corridor slowdown) as non-applicable.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RELY pretty much smashed Q2. This one feels great. We had a few conversation with bears and strongly felt that none of the below fears would impact Remitly. \n\n1. Remittance tax\n\n2. Onerous operational layers (KYC etc) as a result of OBBB regs\n\n3. Stablecoins\n\n4. US/MEX corridor slowdown – (this was mainly attributable to illegal immigrants that were afraid to show up at their local cash remittance business. Not applicable to $RELY).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13087078362736027, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13087078362736027, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1317091098255262, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1317091098255262, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008383261981659285, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008383261981659285, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002638482060556502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002638482060556502, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005159090639001773, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005159090639001773, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007797572699558275, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007797572699558275, "ret_p1w": 0.03693925210598459, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03693925210598459, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016852232074749063, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016852232074749063, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.020087020031235525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020087020031235525, "ret_p1m": 0.028495988730237398, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028495988730237398, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004787158081865028, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004787158081865028, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02370883064837237, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02370883064837237, "ret_p3m": -0.14617416075153755, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14617416075153755, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21713037833588478, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21713037833588478, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07095621758434723, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07095621758434723, "ret_p6m": -0.3023746841803202, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3023746841803202, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40310817822772715, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40310817822772715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10073349404740695, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10073349404740695, "price_path": [0.2923, 0.2781, 0.2206, 0.2037, 0.2026, 0.1894, 0.2032, 0.1789, 0.1958, 0.1784, 0.1784, 0.171, 0.1356, 0.1098, 0.1272, 0.1372, 0.1061, 0.0971, 0.1018, 0.1367, 0.0718, 0.048, 0.0586, 0.0512, 0.0211, 0.0306, 0.0892, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0623, 0.0491, 0.0744, 0.0348, -0.0084, -0.0021, -0.0095, -0.0259, -0.0364, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0227, -0.0317, -0.0253, -0.0359, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.0786, -0.0792, -0.0934, -0.1021, -0.0887, -0.0908, -0.0813, -0.0945, -0.104, -0.0918, -0.1098, -0.1034, -0.1293, -0.1668, -0.1499, -0.1383, -0.1309, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0026, 0.0237, 0.0538, 0.0369, 0.0343, 0.0485, -0.0053, -0.0063, -0.0174, 0.0053, -0.0111, -0.0422, -0.0296, -0.0248, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0016, 0.0264, 0.0385, 0.0285, 0.0517, 0.0686, -0.0042, -0.0164, -0.0417, -0.1203, -0.0923, -0.0802, -0.0865, -0.0971, -0.1008, -0.123, -0.1404, -0.1425, -0.1346, -0.1282, -0.1398, -0.1462, -0.1515, -0.1536, -0.1704, -0.1646, -0.1599, -0.1831, -0.209, -0.2164, -0.1921, -0.1831, -0.1926, -0.1776, -0.1541, -0.1272, -0.1187, -0.105, -0.0923, -0.1055, -0.1219, -0.1409, -0.1678, -0.1536, -0.1314, -0.1462, -0.1325, -0.3504, -0.3293, -0.3319, -0.3409, -0.3562, -0.3409, -0.3451, -0.3351, -0.3245, -0.3346, -0.3456, -0.3409, -0.3409, -0.3166, -0.2955, -0.2955, -0.2852, -0.3018, -0.3177, -0.2976, -0.2902, -0.2913, -0.2871, -0.2533, -0.1963, -0.2116, -0.2269, -0.2348, -0.2565, -0.2369, -0.2338, -0.2285, -0.2285, -0.2385, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2491, -0.2586, -0.2686, -0.2718, -0.2718, -0.3024, -0.3082, -0.2887, -0.2813, -0.2807, -0.2749, -0.2997, -0.2987, -0.2865, -0.2723, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2792, -0.2533, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.2406, -0.2697, -0.2818, -0.2923, -0.3024]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036287526781046838", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T03:42:33+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish LT for remittance providers $rely $wise", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term bullish on remittance providers on structural immigration tailwinds from low birth rates in western countries.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Birth rates in many western countries are lower than replacement rates. \n\nThis is why, even with the rise of nationalism globally,  immigration trends will continue to gain momentum. \n\nbullish LT for remittance providers $rely $wise", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Germany has a shortage of workers - so it's turning to India for help https://t.co/FE8FWs9mAE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0037128382740665433, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0037128382740665433, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00034468212767446715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00034468212767446715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0030940122235554313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0030940122235554313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00866677117094139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00866677117094139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.030321768301045715, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030321768301045715, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025973861365503392, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025973861365503392, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.2957921244913244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2957921244913244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20694979933198754, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20694979933198754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1151, -0.1194, -0.1306, -0.1423, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1819, -0.1887, -0.1658, -0.1572, -0.1566, -0.1498, -0.1788, -0.1776, -0.1634, -0.1467, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1547, -0.1244, -0.1163, -0.1231, -0.1095, -0.1436, -0.1578, -0.1702, -0.1819, -0.1751, -0.2345, -0.2036, -0.2079, -0.1949, -0.1677, -0.1566, -0.1801, -0.2085, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.1906, -0.1578, 0.0606, 0.0613, 0.0087, 0.0019, 0.0056, 0.0421, 0.0334, 0.0476, 0.0879, 0.0749, 0.0718, 0.0545, 0.047, 0.0569, 0.0507, -0.039, -0.0563, -0.056, -0.0303, -0.039, -0.0291, -0.0501, 0.0037, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.0105, -0.0712, -0.052, -0.0303, -0.0254, -0.0087, -0.0087, 0.0031, -0.0087, 0.0316, 0.0582, 0.0433, 0.0712, 0.1089, 0.1671, 0.2147, 0.2382, 0.2772, 0.2871, 0.2958, 0.2661, 0.3045, 0.3156, 0.3373, 0.3546, 0.3546, 0.4103, 0.4715, 0.4691, 0.4684, 0.4103, 0.487, 0.5025, 0.4765, 0.4697, 0.4425, 0.3979, 0.3267, 0.2915, 0.3354, 0.3348, 0.3354, 0.3354, 0.2618, 0.245, 0.2376, 0.2389, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036287526781046838", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T03:42:33+00:00", "symbol": "Wise", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish LT for remittance providers $rely $wise", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term bullish on remittance providers on structural immigration tailwinds from low birth rates in western countries.", "resolved_tickers": ["WISE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Wise plc, LSE-listed WISE.L; remittance context confirms", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Birth rates in many western countries are lower than replacement rates. \n\nThis is why, even with the rise of nationalism globally,  immigration trends will continue to gain momentum. \n\nbullish LT for remittance providers $rely $wise", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Germany has a shortage of workers - so it's turning to India for help https://t.co/FE8FWs9mAE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00914285714285712, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00914285714285712, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005774700996465043, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0032669622649912355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005875894877865884, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030857142857142916, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030857142857142916, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025284383909756958, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026376785621024634, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004480357236118282, "ret_p1w": 0.03200000000000003, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03200000000000003, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03634790693554235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05587073188171421, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02387073188171418, "ret_p1m": 0.23657142857142865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23657142857142865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14772910341209178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07542560833667089, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16114582023475776, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0217, 0.0223, 0.0183, 0.0183, -0.004, -0.012, -0.0086, -0.0349, -0.0143, -0.0189, -0.0429, -0.0611, -0.072, -0.0743, -0.0486, -0.0469, 0.1057, 0.1206, 0.1137, 0.1143, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.088, 0.0806, 0.0777, 0.0863, 0.0257, 0.0463, 0.0246, 0.0274, 0.028, 0.0251, 0.0211, 0.0046, -0.0154, -0.0383, 0.0034, -0.0137, -0.0211, -0.0143, -0.0497, -0.048, -0.0457, -0.0297, -0.0166, -0.0069, -0.0029, 0.0263, 0.012, 0.0154, 0.0206, 0.0257, 0.0309, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0103, 0.0291, 0.0177, -0.0011, -0.0154, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0206, 0.0303, 0.0371, 0.032, 0.0491, 0.0669, 0.0669, 0.0669, 0.067, 0.1077, 0.1026, 0.1109, 0.1829, 0.1937, 0.2383, 0.2411, 0.2463, 0.2371, 0.2457, 0.2366, 0.204, 0.2063, 0.2046, 0.2063, 0.1863, 0.2017, 0.2377, 0.2377, 0.2314, 0.2057, 0.2091, 0.2114, 0.2359, 0.1886, 0.1543, 0.144, 0.0729, 0.0606, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0446, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0789, 0.0697, 0.0491, 0.0674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936502446102372617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-21T19:12:16+00:00", "symbol": "V", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If this narrative continues it's a generational buying opp for $V", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long V as a generational buying opportunity if the stablecoin-disrupting-payments narrative persists, given author sees no real headway in remittances.", "resolved_tickers": ["V"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ll continue looking for evidence to the contrary but I don’t see this going anywhere beyond crypto use cases. In no way are stablecoins making headway in remittances—like, zero. Perhaps there are some treasury functions that could benefit. If this narrative continues it’s a generational buying opp for $V.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CRCL IPO will likely perform well. This likely will bring attention to the fact that stablecoins are a real crypto use case solving real problems (remittances etc.). I believe they can be a meaningful tailwind for banks and companies that can take advantage. Which is why we see", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mike10947310", "ret_m1d": -0.01506908812903962, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01506908812903962, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005288422100585111, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00263301844511854, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00978066602845451, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01243606968392108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022923432446357417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022923432446357417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01187611975775793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007968700681932006, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047312688599487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01495473176442541, "ret_p1w": 0.032872674222685916, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032872674222685916, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003380011850378839, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00237291232463388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029492662372307077, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030499761898052036, "ret_p1m": 0.023592561234947906, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023592561234947906, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024245554963011617, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013007153042714492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047838116197959524, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0365997142776624, "ret_p3m": -0.014472616812545303, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.014472616812545303, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11796349500790515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.079604457078156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349087819535985, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0651318402656107, "ret_p6m": 0.0077149350297243124, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0077149350297243124, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1265884821265586, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07099164079991604, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1343034171562829, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07870657582964036, "price_path": [-0.0004, 0.0161, -0.0043, 0.0178, 0.0059, 0.0058, -0.0143, -0.0906, -0.0929, -0.1047, -0.0345, -0.0572, -0.0317, -0.0265, -0.0247, -0.0377, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0703, -0.0375, -0.0289, -0.025, -0.0266, -0.0198, -0.0081, 0.0034, -0.0054, 0.0095, 0.0125, 0.0098, 0.0161, 0.0202, 0.0239, 0.0335, 0.036, 0.037, 0.054, 0.0622, 0.0703, 0.0672, 0.0423, 0.0414, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0452, 0.0465, 0.0543, 0.0624, 0.0627, 0.0643, 0.0705, 0.067, 0.077, 0.0666, 0.0784, 0.086, 0.0804, 0.0265, 0.0341, 0.041, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0151, 0.0, 0.0229, 0.0044, 0.0066, 0.0141, 0.0329, 0.0341, 0.0305, 0.044, 0.044, 0.0375, 0.0314, 0.0408, 0.0353, 0.0122, 0.0196, 0.0095, 0.0179, 0.0176, 0.0154, 0.0209, 0.0236, 0.0336, 0.0297, 0.0387, 0.0341, 0.0219, 0.0208, 0.005, -0.0128, -0.0047, -0.0184, -0.0117, -0.0339, -0.0203, -0.0228, -0.0187, -0.0017, 0.0068, 0.0039, -0.0012, -0.002, 0.0023, 0.0016, 0.0201, 0.0165, 0.0234, 0.021, 0.0196, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0202, 0.0225, 0.0229, 0.0002, -0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0146, 0.001, -0.0108, -0.0119, -0.0091, 0.0089, -0.0145, -0.0045, 0.0035, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0239, -0.0168, -0.0087, -0.0051, 0.0136, 0.0082, 0.0195, 0.0179, 0.027, 0.0239, 0.0113, 0.0015, 0.0004, 0.0153, 0.0074, -0.0226, -0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0118, 0.0065, 0.0082, 0.0123, 0.0136, 0.0109, -0.0054, 0.0055, -0.007, -0.0182, -0.0083, -0.0091, -0.018, -0.0208, -0.0242, -0.0123, -0.0105, -0.0187, -0.0363, -0.0488, -0.0622, -0.0536, -0.0546, -0.0423, -0.0385, -0.0232, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0234, -0.0353, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0449, -0.0328, -0.0456, -0.0466, -0.0489, 0.0092, 0.0157, 0.0129, 0.0077]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1899166617717866867", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-10T18:33:01+00:00", "symbol": "BILL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rising competition and slowing growth. Valuation was also far too rich", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BILL: rising competition, slowing growth, and stretched valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BILL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RagingVentures rising competition and slowing growth. Valuation was also far too rich", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Was $BILL quarter that bad?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RagingVentures", "ret_m1d": 0.08373483627212619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08373483627212619, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05637052727960912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05637052727960912, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364308992517072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027364308992517072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01835281565175806, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01835281565175806, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026665773168733198, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026665773168733198, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312957516975139, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312957516975139, "ret_p1w": 0.06859375242028487, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06859375242028487, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05687393926217621, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05687393926217621, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01171981315810866, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01171981315810866, "ret_p1m": -0.13259919153622035, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13259919153622035, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02091744219985192, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02091744219985192, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168174933636843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168174933636843, "ret_p3m": 0.04794678011635223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04794678011635223, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013157583239167048, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013157583239167048, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061104363355519276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061104363355519276, "ret_p6m": 0.07203485612885507, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07203485612885507, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07694380515570942, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07694380515570942, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1489786612845645, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1489786612845645, "price_path": [1.0626, 1.0603, 1.0151, 1.0181, 1.0064, 0.9199, 1.0289, 1.0537, 1.0521, 0.9968, 0.9968, 1.0411, 0.9945, 0.9617, 0.9433, 0.9433, 0.9282, 1.0243, 1.0073, 0.9215, 0.8924, 0.8924, 0.9087, 0.8589, 0.8883, 0.9979, 1.0243, 1.0395, 1.0395, 1.0736, 1.1081, 1.1179, 1.1537, 1.131, 1.2269, 1.1861, 1.2051, 1.22, 1.198, 1.2058, 1.226, 1.2104, 0.4253, 0.4905, 0.4106, 0.4012, 0.3967, 0.3723, 0.3723, 0.3772, 0.3294, 0.2969, 0.2097, 0.2218, 0.2299, 0.239, 0.2462, 0.2663, 0.1831, 0.1519, 0.1342, 0.0934, 0.0837, 0.0, 0.0184, 0.0523, 0.0101, 0.0649, 0.0686, 0.0769, 0.1021, 0.1, 0.0993, 0.1666, 0.1539, 0.1142, 0.1117, 0.061, 0.0528, 0.0498, 0.072, -0.0227, -0.0929, -0.0812, -0.1326, 0.0092, -0.0514, -0.0461, -0.0548, -0.0317, -0.0615, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.0856, -0.0631, -0.0234, 0.0282, 0.0376, 0.0397, 0.064, 0.0454, 0.0436, 0.0392, 0.0367, 0.034, 0.0652, 0.0913, 0.0259, 0.0867, 0.095, 0.1019, 0.0743, 0.0613, 0.0638, 0.0716, 0.0229, 0.0106, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.0369, 0.0204, -0.0044, 0.0021, -0.0135, 0.0346, 0.0461, 0.0479, 0.0466, 0.0457, 0.0408, 0.0064, 0.0087, -0.0502, -0.0367, -0.0401, -0.0211, -0.0211, 0.0025, 0.0161, 0.0388, 0.0278, 0.0392, 0.0454, 0.0613, 0.0564, 0.0681, 0.106, 0.106, 0.0895, 0.1097, 0.0947, 0.0642, 0.0262, 0.0622, 0.0427, 0.053, 0.0876, 0.0521, 0.039, 0.0569, 0.0677, 0.0379, 0.0535, 0.0569, 0.033, 0.0388, -0.017, -0.0427, -0.0273, -0.0424, -0.0314, -0.0477, -0.0654, -0.1025, -0.1048, -0.073, -0.0943, -0.0723, -0.0445, -0.0516, -0.0445, -0.0537, -0.0298, -0.058, -0.0679, -0.045, 0.1287, 0.0649, 0.0649, 0.072]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996607068170801576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T15:46:34+00:00", "symbol": "CGEH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "up ~150% since our research note in August with still plenty of potential upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still sees plenty of upside in CGEH after 150% gain since August research note.", "resolved_tickers": ["CGEH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Capstone $CGEH up ~150% since our research note in August with still plenty of potential upside: https://t.co/o5G7lLgYTM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10891472352438614, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10891472352438614, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1081842014230655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10375390839650778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00516081512787836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1317830087760219, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1317830087760219, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1298834719333124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13455696424138275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027739554653608556, "ret_p1w": 0.5529716812933696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5529716812933696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5459873698048445, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5354243947874024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017547286505967152, "ret_p1m": 0.3311370484247247, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3311370484247247, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32997000685537126, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3084862979858247, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02265075043889997, "ret_p3m": 0.3436692410945421, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3436692410945421, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3466640677962236, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20799483660597406, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13567440448856805, "ret_p6m": 2.501292142487326, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.501292142487326, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.389663701544365, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.3774218817860286, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12387026070129714, "price_path": [-0.3437, -0.3075, -0.2997, -0.2972, -0.3075, -0.2946, -0.3514, -0.323, -0.3204, -0.2894, -0.3282, -0.323, -0.3359, -0.3023, -0.2791, -0.2894, -0.2907, -0.2894, -0.3023, -0.2894, -0.3152, -0.3307, -0.2842, -0.2868, -0.3075, -0.3075, -0.3222, -0.3514, -0.3437, -0.3747, -0.3824, -0.2636, -0.3282, -0.295, -0.3023, -0.3023, -0.3028, -0.3359, -0.3178, -0.3669, -0.3049, -0.3075, -0.2558, -0.2248, -0.2377, -0.2455, -0.23, -0.23, -0.2377, -0.2416, -0.2145, -0.199, -0.2016, -0.3566, -0.522, -0.3798, -0.2661, -0.2506, -0.2506, -0.2739, -0.292, -0.1395, -0.1089, 0.0, 0.1318, 0.2791, 0.2867, 0.4212, 0.553, 0.5039, 0.4858, 0.292, 0.2274, 0.2791, 0.292, 0.354, 0.3127, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2558, 0.2739, 0.292, 0.3023, 0.3023, 0.3311, 0.3256, 0.3152, 0.2145, 0.199, 0.2119, 0.2946, 0.292, 0.4212, 0.5426, 0.5581, 0.5581, 0.5762, 0.6641, 0.7132, 0.5504, 0.478, 0.5171, 0.4806, 0.4044, 0.3488, 0.3282, 0.2532, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2377, 0.3695, 0.385, 0.3243, 0.2817, 0.5116, 0.5116, 0.5452, 0.3669, 0.3592, 0.4729, 0.4599, 0.5478, 0.5194, 0.4703, 0.447, 0.4005, 0.3437, 0.385, 0.3514, 0.3307, 0.4574, 0.5065, 0.6253, 0.6279, 0.615, 0.5581, 0.4444, 0.3953, 0.3307, 0.3173, 0.3049, 0.2687, 0.3174, 0.2119, 0.2661, 0.2419, 0.4083, 0.5504, 0.615, 0.615, 0.5323, 0.5659, 0.4057, 0.4599, 0.4548, 0.5711, 0.6202, 0.6667, 0.6615, 0.6667, 0.5349, 0.5556, 0.6279, 0.6382, 0.6744, 1.0796, 0.938, 1.1473, 1.3488, 1.5065, 2.0181, 2.1525, 1.7235, 1.5194, 1.584, 1.5917, 1.6357, 2.0672, 1.7183, 1.5349, 1.3127, 1.3101, 1.3979, 1.584, 1.5891, 1.5891, 1.739, 2.0181, 2.2171, 2.5013]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036464043980906655", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:23:58+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree, lots of optionality and valuation support", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish view on RELY: optionality from product expansion and valuation support.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Uzocapital Agree, lots of optionality and valuation support", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pernasresearch surprised theres been less spotlight on fact $RELY is undergoing the same transition as $WISE in 2018….expanding beyond just sending (interchange / interest etc) can double the earnings power vs remaining siloed to remittances….all while headcount now is kept flat", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Uzocapital", "ret_m1d": 0.0037128382740665433, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0037128382740665433, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00034468212767446715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00034468212767446715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0030940122235554313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0030940122235554313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00866677117094139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00866677117094139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.030321768301045715, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030321768301045715, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025973861365503392, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025973861365503392, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.2957921244913244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2957921244913244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20694979933198754, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20694979933198754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1151, -0.1194, -0.1306, -0.1423, -0.146, -0.146, -0.1819, -0.1887, -0.1658, -0.1572, -0.1566, -0.1498, -0.1788, -0.1776, -0.1634, -0.1467, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1547, -0.1244, -0.1163, -0.1231, -0.1095, -0.1436, -0.1578, -0.1702, -0.1819, -0.1751, -0.2345, -0.2036, -0.2079, -0.1949, -0.1677, -0.1566, -0.1801, -0.2085, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.1906, -0.1578, 0.0606, 0.0613, 0.0087, 0.0019, 0.0056, 0.0421, 0.0334, 0.0476, 0.0879, 0.0749, 0.0718, 0.0545, 0.047, 0.0569, 0.0507, -0.039, -0.0563, -0.056, -0.0303, -0.039, -0.0291, -0.0501, 0.0037, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.0105, -0.0712, -0.052, -0.0303, -0.0254, -0.0087, -0.0087, 0.0031, -0.0087, 0.0316, 0.0582, 0.0433, 0.0712, 0.1089, 0.1671, 0.2147, 0.2382, 0.2772, 0.2871, 0.2958, 0.2661, 0.3045, 0.3156, 0.3373, 0.3546, 0.3546, 0.4103, 0.4715, 0.4691, 0.4684, 0.4103, 0.487, 0.5025, 0.4765, 0.4697, 0.4425, 0.3979, 0.3267, 0.2915, 0.3354, 0.3348, 0.3354, 0.3354, 0.2618, 0.245, 0.2376, 0.2389, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052056079542980844", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-06T16:01:09+00:00", "symbol": "CERT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It is not clear to us how SaaS businesses built around mechanistic models maintain strong pricing power in an AI world. The problem is that the primary customers are large pharmaceutical companies that increasingly possess the data, compute, and now AI tooling to internalize more of these capabilities themselves.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CERT and SLP: AI erodes pricing power as pharma customers internalize mechanistic modeling capabilities; moat weaker than perceived.", "resolved_tickers": ["CERT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CERT $SLP It is not clear to us how SaaS businesses built around mechanistic models maintain strong pricing power in an AI world.\n\nMechanistic drug development modeling (physics based) becomes more important in an AI world, not less. Drug development becomes increasingly simulation driven. What we do not buy is the argument that AI and mechanistic modeling remain separate layers.\n\nAI is getting very good at building mechanistic models, refining them, and calling them autonomously during simulations.\n\nThe “secret sauce” behind companies like Certara and Simulations Plus is not the formulas themselves. Most of the underlying science already exists in academic literature. The moat is parameterization: the correct biological assumptions, distributions, calibration, validation, and real-world refinement.\n\nThe problem is that the primary customers are large pharmaceutical companies that increasingly possess the data, compute, and now AI tooling to internalize more of these capabilities themselves.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012779616232937885, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012779616232937885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009292772768817459, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009292772768817459, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007987174452010581, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007987174452010581, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011053279609336886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011053279609336886, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "ret_p1w": -0.234824315220733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.234824315220733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24638009826484875, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24638009826484875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.155, 0.1454, 0.1182, 0.107, 0.0655, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0399, 0.0431, 0.0623, 0.0319, 0.0367, 0.0687, 0.0527, 0.0863, 0.131, 0.1262, 0.1565, 0.1741, 0.1422, 0.1278, 0.1246, 0.107, 0.0639, 0.0479, 0.0623, 0.0367, 0.0591, 0.0383, 0.0192, -0.0176, 0.0144, -0.0016, -0.0256, -0.0192, -0.0815, -0.0927, -0.0895, -0.1214, -0.1358, -0.1358, -0.1278, -0.1022, -0.1326, -0.1358, -0.1134, -0.0751, -0.0703, -0.0176, -0.016, -0.0064, -0.0112, -0.0096, 0.0192, -0.0415, 0.0096, -0.0032, -0.0192, -0.0575, -0.0208, -0.0128, -0.0112, -0.0128, 0.0, 0.008, 0.008, -0.1805, -0.1869, -0.2348, -0.2636, -0.2843, -0.2716, -0.2668, -0.254, -0.1741, -0.1629, -0.1629, -0.1677, -0.1454, -0.0942, -0.0703, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052056079542980844", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-06T16:01:09+00:00", "symbol": "SLP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It is not clear to us how SaaS businesses built around mechanistic models maintain strong pricing power in an AI world. The problem is that the primary customers are large pharmaceutical companies that increasingly possess the data, compute, and now AI tooling to internalize more of these capabilities themselves.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CERT and SLP: AI erodes pricing power as pharma customers internalize mechanistic modeling capabilities; moat weaker than perceived.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CERT $SLP It is not clear to us how SaaS businesses built around mechanistic models maintain strong pricing power in an AI world.\n\nMechanistic drug development modeling (physics based) becomes more important in an AI world, not less. Drug development becomes increasingly simulation driven. What we do not buy is the argument that AI and mechanistic modeling remain separate layers.\n\nAI is getting very good at building mechanistic models, refining them, and calling them autonomously during simulations.\n\nThe “secret sauce” behind companies like Certara and Simulations Plus is not the formulas themselves. Most of the underlying science already exists in academic literature. The moat is parameterization: the correct biological assumptions, distributions, calibration, validation, and real-world refinement.\n\nThe problem is that the primary customers are large pharmaceutical companies that increasingly possess the data, compute, and now AI tooling to internalize more of these capabilities themselves.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010705294399799836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010705294399799836, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0030035991100197945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0030035991100197945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011334971675332595, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334971675332595, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014401076832658899, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014401076832658899, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "ret_p1w": -0.1454660203381256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1454660203381256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15702180338224137, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15702180338224137, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0825, -0.1121, -0.1203, -0.1921, -0.2374, -0.2261, -0.2261, -0.238, -0.233, -0.2311, -0.2657, -0.2802, -0.2702, -0.2563, -0.2387, -0.2298, -0.2361, -0.2531, -0.2223, -0.2179, -0.2305, -0.2173, -0.228, -0.2147, -0.2236, -0.2166, -0.2368, -0.2494, -0.2676, -0.2626, -0.2651, -0.2481, -0.2714, -0.2733, -0.2632, -0.2809, -0.2846, -0.2557, -0.2469, -0.245, -0.245, -0.2154, -0.2034, -0.1814, -0.182, -0.1788, -0.1845, -0.1581, -0.0781, -0.1108, -0.0951, -0.0573, -0.0359, -0.0435, -0.1008, -0.0831, -0.08, -0.0636, -0.119, -0.1077, -0.0611, -0.046, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0504, -0.0749, -0.1209, -0.1455, -0.1574, -0.1599, -0.1322, -0.1121, -0.0888, -0.0485, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0378, -0.0208, 0.0523, 0.0775, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052445231853764947", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:47:30+00:00", "symbol": "RELY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "surprised $RELY is down on the great print... $RELY trades at ~13x '28 EV/FCF. Still cheap for a secular grower with optionality from adjacent services", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RELY: 25% rev growth, record EBITDA, trades at ~13x '28 EV/FCF — cheap for a secular compounder with adjacent optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["RELY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "surprised $RELY is down on the great print\n\nQ1 recap: Rev grew 25% YoY to $453mm with send volume +37%. Adj EBITDA reached a record $102mm (~22% margin) while FCF exceeded $70mm. SBC trended down to 6% of revenue.\n\nAfter adding back ~80% of RELY’s net cash for regulatory/operational WC needs, we get to ~5.4B EV. We think the company can comfortably sustain ~22% rev CAGR through ’28 while scaling to ~25% adj EBITDA margins. Assuming SBC is ~5% of rev by ’28 and haircutting FCF for ongoing WC requirements, $RELY trades at ~13x ’28 EV/FCF. Still cheap for a secular grower with optionality from adjacent services.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041246098681309906, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041246098681309906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03817056361004001, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03817056361004001, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05440981664346167, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05440981664346167, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04615374364221947, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04615374364221947, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.022816960488174054, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022816960488174054, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00014006194971227792, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00014006194971227792, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4098, -0.4019, -0.4186, -0.4388, -0.4401, -0.4401, -0.4261, -0.4028, -0.2479, -0.2475, -0.2848, -0.2896, -0.287, -0.2611, -0.2672, -0.2571, -0.2286, -0.2378, -0.24, -0.2523, -0.2576, -0.2505, -0.2549, -0.3186, -0.3308, -0.3306, -0.3124, -0.3186, -0.3115, -0.3265, -0.2883, -0.2909, -0.2931, -0.2984, -0.3414, -0.3278, -0.3124, -0.3089, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.2887, -0.2971, -0.2685, -0.2497, -0.2602, -0.2405, -0.2137, -0.1724, -0.1387, -0.122, -0.0943, -0.0873, -0.0812, -0.1022, -0.075, -0.0671, -0.0518, -0.0395, -0.0395, 0.0, 0.0434, 0.0417, 0.0412, 0.0, 0.0544, 0.0654, 0.047, 0.0421, 0.0228, -0.0088, -0.0592, -0.0842, -0.0531, -0.0535, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.1053, -0.1172, -0.1224, -0.1215, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1929564748749693293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-02T15:44:20+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expect more deals like the one below. Even with efficiency gains from players like DeepSeek, a major short-term supply/demand imbalance in compute remains. $apld", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long APLD: video AI compute demand (1000x vs text) keeps supply/demand imbalance favorable for more data-center deals.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Expect more deals like the one below. Video generation models like Veo 2 require ~1000x more compute than text. Even with efficiency gains from players like DeepSeek, a major short-term supply/demand imbalance in compute remains. $apld\n\nhttps://t.co/uBzdmytngQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.32643001060609955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.32643001060609955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.32082855715917824, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3176728152169458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005601453446921312, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00875719538915376, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010848092007184285, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010848092007184285, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005145606375887901, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004176618365638651, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005702485631296383, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015024710372822936, "ret_p1w": 0.28402367030859255, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28402367030859255, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27226425314555747, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.25577723061810786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01175941716303508, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02824643969048468, "ret_p1m": -0.03747535518488909, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03747535518488909, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08263392936454161, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11661659891177456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04515857417965252, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07914124372688547, "ret_p3m": 0.6370808500416785, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6370808500416785, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5390087003548938, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4909903063871257, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09807214968678468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14609054365455276, "ret_p6m": 1.3412227778425159, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3412227778425159, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.19581871628621, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1337281105662695, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14540406155630592, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20749466727624633, "price_path": [-0.2416, -0.3097, -0.284, -0.3846, -0.3713, -0.3471, -0.3807, -0.3097, -0.2761, -0.3087, -0.284, -0.2811, -0.3028, -0.212, -0.2663, -0.356, -0.3984, -0.4359, -0.4458, -0.3994, -0.3846, -0.4418, -0.5148, -0.4813, -0.499, -0.4556, -0.4941, -0.4783, -0.4704, -0.6607, -0.5976, -0.6105, -0.6105, -0.6105, -0.6026, -0.5976, -0.5523, -0.5365, -0.5355, -0.5582, -0.5523, -0.4862, -0.4773, -0.4901, -0.4862, -0.4822, -0.4576, -0.4684, -0.4763, -0.4467, -0.4103, -0.4487, -0.3264, -0.3274, -0.3363, -0.3314, -0.2623, -0.2742, -0.2742, -0.2515, -0.283, -0.3057, -0.3264, 0.0, 0.0108, 0.3067, 0.2594, 0.3669, 0.284, 0.2308, 0.1884, 0.2337, 0.1026, 0.1391, 0.0838, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0187, -0.0266, 0.0178, -0.0316, 0.0414, 0.0237, -0.0069, -0.0375, 0.0414, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0473, -0.0907, -0.0621, -0.0799, -0.0947, -0.0611, -0.0168, -0.0079, 0.0759, 0.1765, 0.0937, 0.0799, 0.0779, 0.1045, 0.0602, 0.0434, -0.002, -0.0108, 0.2959, 0.2347, 0.3757, 0.4684, 0.4586, 0.4043, 0.4004, 0.3836, 0.4763, 0.4596, 0.4349, 0.3895, 0.6114, 0.5128, 0.5503, 0.5552, 0.5828, 0.573, 0.6243, 0.6469, 0.6371, 0.5759, 0.5759, 0.5049, 0.4181, 0.4132, 0.3698, 0.3718, 0.499, 0.6746, 0.6943, 0.8422, 0.9083, 0.9191, 0.9556, 0.9635, 1.0197, 1.4112, 1.4329, 1.3126, 1.2278, 1.141, 1.1844, 1.2623, 1.4655, 1.6105, 1.6164, 1.7327, 1.6923, 1.7554, 1.8886, 2.3521, 2.3767, 2.4556, 2.7239, 2.6134, 2.3767, 2.5404, 2.2091, 2.0197, 2.2919, 2.2968, 2.3876, 2.3856, 2.3945, 2.3481, 2.4181, 2.2416, 2.0631, 2.2633, 2.0651, 2.0552, 2.1006, 1.8176, 1.6045, 1.2742, 1.3323, 1.2618, 1.2525, 1.2771, 1.1075, 1.0799, 1.3462, 1.3412]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1955007834162385327", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T20:46:04+00:00", "symbol": "DLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We couldn't get there with $DLO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish DLO: take rates under merciless pressure and couldn't gain confidence they decline asymptotically rather than collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["DLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "this is instructive and can be generalized: \n\nThe argument: “it’s acceptable that take rates decline as long as TPV growth is robust” is only a good argument if you can gain confidence that take rates are asymptotically declining. We couldn’t get there with $DLO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$DLO dLocal reports earnings this week. It’s a beloved name on here and we gave it a hard look - but passed.\n\nGiven competitive dynamics and market structure, we think take rates are going to be under merciless pressure.\n\nGood luck to those long the name and thanks for suggesting", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03004696502844495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03004696502844495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0280655069691782, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0280655069691782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814580592667497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814580592667497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03004696502844495, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03004696502844495, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019400947366162713, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019400947366162713, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010646017662282237, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010646017662282237, "ret_p1w": 0.4319249287967193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.4319249287967193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.42031959156893506, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.42031959156893506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01160533722778423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01160533722778423, "ret_p1m": 0.28356806742276897, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28356806742276897, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26090795392861477, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26090795392861477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0226601134941542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0226601134941542, "ret_p3m": 0.2769953308129922, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2769953308129922, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21999378376379286, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21999378376379286, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700154704919935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700154704919935, "ret_p6m": 0.23943660176423887, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23943660176423887, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14891442934438115, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14891442934438115, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052217241985772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052217241985772, "price_path": [-0.0878, 0.0062, 0.0532, 0.0554, 0.0438, 0.0259, 0.0447, 0.008, 0.008, 0.0413, 0.0376, 0.015, 0.0197, -0.0009, -0.0047, -0.0282, -0.0376, -0.015, -0.0085, -0.0291, -0.0244, -0.0357, -0.0789, -0.0338, -0.0469, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0423, -0.0366, 0.0479, 0.0319, 0.0648, 0.0779, 0.0648, 0.0507, 0.0479, 0.0751, 0.0751, 0.0864, 0.0648, 0.0685, 0.0704, 0.031, 0.0357, 0.031, 0.0507, 0.0469, 0.0216, 0.0235, 0.0113, 0.0498, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0319, -0.0122, -0.0235, -0.0366, -0.0601, -0.0329, -0.0352, -0.0272, 0.0038, 0.03, 0.0, 0.03, 0.0977, 0.4413, 0.4704, 0.4319, 0.3869, 0.3352, 0.3535, 0.3728, 0.3756, 0.3718, 0.3596, 0.3671, 0.3577, 0.3577, 0.3315, 0.308, 0.2056, 0.2601, 0.2545, 0.2836, 0.2854, 0.2789, 0.2892, 0.3315, 0.3746, 0.3681, 0.3981, 0.4075, 0.4291, 0.3962, 0.3709, 0.3624, 0.3662, 0.3709, 0.3408, 0.3202, 0.3174, 0.3183, 0.3305, 0.3286, 0.3249, 0.3981, 0.2779, 0.3333, 0.4723, 0.4864, 0.446, 0.4188, 0.4131, 0.4385, 0.4113, 0.4272, 0.4207, 0.4441, 0.4563, 0.4469, 0.4047, 0.3756, 0.3531, 0.3221, 0.3305, 0.277, 0.2761, 0.3296, 0.3634, 0.3953, 0.3005, 0.2845, 0.1944, 0.1897, 0.1934, 0.1568, 0.1869, 0.2113, 0.2141, 0.2254, 0.2254, 0.262, 0.2263, 0.2338, 0.2394, 0.2648, 0.2479, 0.2638, 0.293, 0.3136, 0.3455, 0.3268, 0.292, 0.3249, 0.3146, 0.3221, 0.3371, 0.3484, 0.3399, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.3249, 0.3352, 0.3437, 0.3277, 0.3277, 0.3211, 0.3869, 0.4216, 0.4066, 0.37, 0.3455, 0.3634, 0.3474, 0.3352, 0.37, 0.3192, 0.3192, 0.2676, 0.2685, 0.308, 0.3512, 0.3831, 0.3653, 0.3577, 0.3183, 0.2638, 0.2977, 0.2394]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001384676355613091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T20:11:05+00:00", "symbol": "lab automation", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "lab automation looking like the first big beneficiary", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Lab automation sector named as the first big beneficiary of Gen AI in biotech discovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["TMO", "DHR", "A", "RGEN", "AZTA"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Lab automation basket: TMO, DHR, Agilent, Repligen, Azenta", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Diagnostics & Research'", "bench_c_industry": "Diagnostics & Research", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gen AI transforms biotech discovery, slashing early drug design from years to months. However clinical trials remain the bottleneck: slow, expensive, and uncertain. AI accelerated the start but not yet the finish. Early days yet with lab automation looking like the first big beneficiary", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00825115165555379, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00825115165555379, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002874895239761144, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006430433103044142, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001820718552509648, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024506414232485564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024506414232485564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005100691154366311, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016703477650980903, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000780293658150466, "ret_p1w": 0.027050512616112087, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027050512616112087, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004257219362962129, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009666642453615214, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017383870162496873, "ret_p1m": 0.08718685721949489, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08718685721949489, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05310063053890608, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06222806550907696, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024958791710417927, "ret_p3m": -0.22893020174087314, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22893020174087314, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22834480798700535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21503499160736078, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013895210133512359, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1361, -0.1339, -0.1463, -0.1542, -0.1747, -0.1635, -0.1668, -0.1252, -0.0489, -0.0543, -0.0293, -0.034, -0.0544, -0.0406, -0.0481, -0.0742, -0.061, -0.0598, -0.047, -0.0341, -0.0394, -0.0307, -0.0064, -0.005, 0.017, 0.0191, 0.0031, -0.0189, -0.0382, -0.0422, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.0314, -0.0303, -0.0381, -0.0414, -0.0306, -0.0062, 0.0071, -0.0155, -0.0145, -0.0292, -0.017, -0.0136, -0.0143, 0.0433, 0.0624, 0.0891, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.062, 0.0426, 0.0412, 0.0481, 0.0398, 0.0327, 0.0197, 0.0171, 0.0407, 0.0465, 0.0159, 0.0234, 0.0083, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0109, 0.024, 0.0288, 0.0271, 0.0271, 0.0291, 0.0292, 0.0254, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0224, 0.061, 0.0834, 0.0805, 0.0698, 0.0842, 0.0826, 0.0782, 0.0841, 0.0872, 0.0749, 0.0749, 0.0668, 0.0991, 0.0978, 0.0706, 0.0733, 0.0739, 0.0442, 0.0284, 0.0142, 0.016, -0.0037, -0.0556, -0.0839, -0.0748, -0.0684, -0.0654, -0.0719, -0.1106, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.1162, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.1074, -0.1098, -0.1115, -0.1163, -0.1206, -0.1271, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1511, -0.1579, -0.1834, -0.172, -0.1903, -0.1948, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2289, -0.2114, -0.2242, -0.2286, -0.2357, -0.2281, -0.2156, -0.2192, -0.2214, -0.2508, -0.2399, -0.2143, -0.2104, -0.2021, -0.2021, -0.2046, -0.2137, -0.1905, -0.1946, -0.2019, -0.1765, -0.1491, -0.1437, -0.1652, -0.1459, -0.1379, -0.1374, -0.1625, -0.2142, -0.2035, -0.2044, -0.2126, -0.2314, -0.2055, -0.2134, -0.2222, -0.2013, -0.2344, -0.2299, -0.2418, -0.2735, -0.2746, -0.291, -0.2968, -0.3101, -0.3035, -0.2871, -0.2679, -0.2576, -0.2531, -0.2531, -0.2502, -0.2437, -0.1783, -0.1705, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}