I believe the company can do much more than 30%+ yearly growth… I wouldn't be surprised to see the Helio Strap alone generate more revenue than their entire current product lineup

Summary: Long ZEPP on Helio Strap as a Whoop-killer with superior price/value, strong emerging-market demand, and 30%+ annual growth potential over multi-year horizon.

Since this tweet, $ZEPP is already up 36%. I apologize for the delay in posting my full thesis, as I've been on a partial vacation since early September. However, I couldn't wait any longer to highlight the Helio Strap, the core driver of my positive $ZEPP outlook.

Launched in Q3, the Helio Strap is already seeing unprecedented demand. Zepp is struggling to keep it in stock, particularly in emerging markets with massive middle-class populations like India.

The market is currently being primed by Whoop, which, despite its asinine pricing, is generating immense advertising and awareness. Top athletes, cricketers and golfers are wearing Whoop on a global stage and are driving this phenomenal visibility. Yet, due to the high cost, Whoop isn't fully capitalizing on the insane awareness it's creating.

This is where Helio wins. Reviews and key opinion leaders (KOLs) have consistently concluded that the Helio Strap is a “WHOOP KILLER” and delivers 75-80% of the features for just 20% of the price (assuming a three-year lifespan). The community sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with the product's subreddit full of rave reviews and a passionate user base defending it.

Beyond the competitive pricing, Zepp stands out as the only company in this competitive space that provides regular, user feedback driven updates, meaning the product gets measurably better almost every month.

The biggest current weakness is the notoriously poor sleep tracking, which is a significant deal-breaker for many. However, Zepp is rolling out updates to address this, and if they can substantially improve this feature, I believe the company can do much more than 30%+ yearly growth especially with US representing less than 20% of their total sales. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Helio Strap alone generate more revenue than their entire current product lineup.
I still plan to release my complete thesis within the next week but wanted to get this note out.

Working on a thesis on $ZEPP and why it could be a multi year runner. I believe the revenue for the Helio lineup alone can exceed their total FY’25 estimated revenue within the next 3 years. High risk but a possible 5-10x in the making.


I don't think people still quite understand the RR for $BZFD... $BZFD is at $108M (300 times less) with influential people like @pulte @VivekGRamaswamy @patrickbetdavid supporting it

Summary: Bullish BZFD on meme-stock potential; influential backers + tiny $108M MC vs GME's $35B peak highlights significant upside risk/reward.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

industry='Internet Content & Information'

I don’t think people still quite understand the RR for $BZFD. $BZFD has such significant personalities behind it. $GME peak MC was $35 billion (approx.) $BZFD is at $108M (300 times less) with influential people like @pulte @VivekGRamaswamy @patrickbetdavid supporting it.

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Just for clarification, not saying it will 300x but wanted to highlight the potential.


Summary: Bullish INOD: surging contact/job-posting traffic confirms management's flagged inbound interest surge; under-followed AI play.

$INOD Contact Us page and Job Posting page traffic is exploding. On the last call, management flagged a surge in inbound interest—and it’s showing up. One of the most under-followed AI names IMO. https://t.co/cCNciY8zRo


Summary: Holds LGCY shares and looking to add more on a dip.

@KyleAdamsStocks Great find Kyle, scooped up some shares last week after your tweet. Looking for a dip hopefully to add in size.

Just re-read the $LGCY earnings call.

Extremely bullish for the future.

High demand programs.
Strong organic revenue growth.
Lots of M&A opportunities available.
Cash in excess of $21M at quarter end.

Stock has nearly doubled since its IPO recently, but still has a lot of https://t.co/Tm1klHONdf


Should be bullish for $AMZN as well with AWS. The traffic and credit card data I have analyzed makes me think that the Prime Day online sales will surprise to the upside as well.

Summary: Bullish AMZN on AWS cloud acceleration (MSFT read-through) and own data pointing to Prime Day upside surprise.

Biggest focus from MSFT call was that Azure growth will accelerate in the second half of the year off a 29% growth rate in FY1Q. AI spend accelerating and cloud story will grow. Clue to the big AI puzzle: MSFT expects significant monetization from cloud in 2025…very important 🏆


Summary: Bullish BBW into earnings on viral social trends driving strong web traffic data, historically a good earnings indicator.

$BBW data looks very promising for an earnings play. The company has had a couple of viral social trends over the last 30 days and the data seems to be reflecting that. Read the deep dive here: https://t.co/Nf02eDjewF

Historically, the web traffic for the company has been a good gauge for earnings.


Summary: CELH fairly priced in $40 range with favourable risk/reward; bullish from current levels.

@Patrykbh1 No doubt. Entry price is crucial for the returns. I was long at around $60. Cashed out close to $86 when the cyanide trend started to go viral. I think $CELH is priced right in the $40 range. Risk reward seems favourable.

@IamNGupta8 Timing is everyhing. I am already minus 40% here but remain LT investor


I have started adding to the $BZFD position again. I think the reaction is significantly overdone and we will see the share price bounce back significantly once the market realises that the sale of Hot Ones/First We Feast is actually margin accretive.

Summary: Re-adding to BZFD long; selloff overdone, sale of Hot Ones margin-accretive, debt reduced, content biz growing, trading at ~0.70x revenue with turnaround potential.

I have started adding to the $BZFD position again. I lucked out with the exit. I think the reaction is significantly overdone and we will see the share price bounce back significantly once the market realises that the sale of Hot Ones/First We Feast is actually margin accretive. The company lost 14% of its revenue and net income should improve ~11% due to the removal of the convertible debt. They not only reduced debt but also enhanced shareholder value by reducing the diluted shares outstanding. The content business is the growth business and is the reason behind the net income inflection.

I won't be surprised if @VivekGRamaswamy takes the business private or they continue to trim the fat from the company and make it leaner. We are again trading at ~0.70x revenue for a business that is growing again and growing positively with a very important public figure who will direct the ship in the right direction. The strategic update call from the management could be really interesting along with the next ER. Might make this position a full position again based on how much lower we go.

$BZFD, the thesis was simple. Took 50% of the position off for 125%. Got interested in the ticker after @24Fox614 mentioned it. Highly recommend following him if you like making money. One of the best on here.


Summary: Long CROX; adding at $114, sub-10x earnings, bullish on CEO Reilly's HeyDude turnaround and multiple expansion.

Added some $CROX in PM, will add a significant amount in the $114 range. Trading at <10 times earnings. I have utmost faith in Terence Reilly to turn around HeyDude. He did it with Crox and then with Stanley. Valuation allows a lot of scope for multiple realization and expansion.


$WIF looks ready. I think this will be a quick 45-55%.

Summary: Long WIF expecting a quick 45-55% move.


Earnings for $NXGL were amazing with raised guidance. Added to the starter position today. Will add more in the $2.30-2.40 range if given.

Summary: Long NXGL; added on strong earnings/raised guidance, plans to buy more in $2.30–2.40 range.

industry='Medical Instruments & Supplies'

Made a tracking position in $NXGL this morning, <20MMC with insider buys and projecting to be cash flow positive by the end of the year. Will publish the research at the usual place soon.


Summary: Bullish BROS after recent drop; risk/reward seen as highly attractive.

The risk reward on $BROS after this drop is extremely enticing.


Summary: Bullish VRA into next week's earnings; expects 20%+ pop on decent guidance, 50-60% conviction.

This is really well covered on $VRA. Earnings are next week and this could be one that soars 20%+ on earnings. My conviction is in the 50-60% range as i agree with everything covered and the risk reward seems compelling because I think the guide could be decent on this.

$VRA Vera Bradley, known for their iconic early 2000s duffel bags 👜, recently launched a full rebrand, from new logos to revamped bag styles. 🔥 While it initially sparked mixed reactions, with many YouTube comments critical of the change, some recent feedback shows a portion of https://t.co/I0cCzb4slU


Summary: Bearish ELF mid-to-long term: brand damage from social media backlash + core demo slowdown; pricing power limited.

industry='Household & Personal Products'

Very well put. The reaction on social media has been very damming. Core brand has faced a slowdown regardless and pricing can only take them so far. The $ELF chart itself looks good so very possible that it keeps going higher into earnings as momentum traders pile in but you are absolutely right, this could be a huge disaster for the brand mid to long term.

@nitinkinvests Agree, similar positioning initiated today I do not believe the market is appreciating the damage this can do to a core female and younger demo. No recourse of a right-wing pivot to support the brand (as the ad does a good job of disenfranchising both political views


Summary: Bullish FOUR for next 2 quarters on stadium acquisition tailwinds.

Nice PM move on $FOUR PM. Next 2 quarters should be really good especially with all the stadiums they have acquired.


Summary: IBIT first price target hit; implied continued bullish stance toward T2.

$BTC is getting ready here boys. My $IBIT targets for the year would be $45.69 and $50.69.


Summary: Bullish OLPX at current levels despite slowing hyper-growth; quarter expected decent with sequential improvement.

Just checked sequential revenue from Amazon for $OLPX, looks really good for the quarter and should be up around 25%+ but has slowed down since and is more in par with what they reported the prior year. I think the quarter should be decent and better sequentially but the hyper growth is still lacking. Looks really enticing and these levels regardless.

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@InvestorMexican This chart concerns me a little but and hence the position is small. https://t.co/F5r1rp49yE


Uggs and Crocs are not replaceable. The use case is not overlapping at all. cash flow the business operates is best in class. They will continue to aggressively repurchase shares. There is green shoots in HeyDudes already and I think it will turn around in the next 6 quarters.

Summary: Long CROX: Crocs brand irreplaceable, best-in-class cash flow, buybacks ongoing, HeyDude drag set to turn around within 6 quarters.

@Kainoscapital I don’t think crox is the issue. The revenue growth overseas is extremely strong as well. The issue is HeyDude which continues to be a drag. Uggs and Crocs are not replaceable. The use case is not overlapping at all.

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@Kainoscapital Also, the cash flow the business operates is best in class. They will continue to aggressively repurchase shares. There is green shoots in HeyDudes already and I think it will turn around in the next 6 quarters.


Summary: Holds a small long position; sees it as insanely cheap despite cash-use concerns and sector headwinds.

Have a small position as well, insanely cheap. I think the market is mostly concerned with use of cash IMO. Someone I know talked to the management and they don’t want to I initiate a buyback and said they rather would make accretive acquisitions. I feel that is the primary concern with the name. Another problem has been the entire sector being out of favour.

I keep coming back to $perf on my watchlist as it never really moves. Not sure if it isn’t moving cuz of geopolitical risk or what, but the downside seems limited with great upside. Considering a small position to get some exposure and plan to research more.


Summary: Bearish LBTYA/LBTYK: analyst Sunrise spin-off valuation implies ~$12/share vs $19.50 current price, with Sunrise only 20% of total EBITDA.

$LBTYA $LBTYK Spin off of Sunrise still on track. Analysts are estimating the value of the company at $12/share. Stock trades at $19.50. Posted at $16.80. Important to note that Sunrise only contributes 20% of the company’s total EBITDA. Substack: https://t.co/wBcjVqM4TZ


Summary: Expects fuboTV to beat top and bottom line and reiterate 2025 profitability guidance.

@FinancewithJohn The only potential downside I can see that many are not considering is the churn from Olympics and Euros this summer but I expect them to beat on top and bottom line and reiterate 2025 profitability.

I’m expecting solid beats across the board for $fubo tomorrow but I know there are going to be some surprises that we’re not anticipating 🤔


Gaming sales were near pandemic-high levels, thanks to an outstanding set of innovations launched ahead of the holidays. The data doesn't lie!

Summary: Logitech gaming sales near pandemic highs cited as confirmation of gaming sector replacement cycle thesis; bullish LOGI.

Logitech $LOGI earnings:  “Gaming sales were near pandemic-high levels, thanks to an outstanding
set of innovations launched ahead of the holidays.” The data doesn’t lie! 😄

Watching the trends in the gaming sector very closely. The replacement cycle is starting to take shape. With so many great titles planned this year, along with the potential release of GTA 6 and the new $NVDA GPU. I think it is worth watching $CRSR closely. https://t.co/0sJznGbs9V


Summary: Bullish SNAP; strong YouTube search data supports the parent's add.

@torovictorioso $SNAP Youtube search data also looking very strong. https://t.co/fORnwF3L1F


Summary: Plans to add GOOGL at $142, signaling a buy at or below current levels.

@DividendDude_X Eyeing $GOOGL @ $142. Will add at that level.

GOOGLE IS UNDER $150 PER SHARE NOW AND TRADING FOR 17X FORWARD EARNINGS…

WHAT THE HELLL????!!?! https://t.co/NaqawREmMH


Summary: Holds IBIT, ETH, SOL, and is mostly long DEFTF, calling it a better business model than crypto miners.

@DividendDude_X I do have some $IBIT and some Eth and Solana. My equity position is mostly in $DEFTF, super interesting company and way better business model than the miners.

Do you hold any % of crypto?? 🤔

I am 100% stocks right and thinking of allocating a small portion of my portfolio to crypto. 🤷♂


That $APP dip will most likely be bought up. The earnings print was stellar.

Summary: Expects the APP dip to be bought; earnings print seen as stellar and durable.


Summary: Bullish AMD: gaming division bottoming, AI chips the next story, stock beaten down with Su at the helm — starting to get interesting.

$AMD is starting to feel interesting here. The gaming division is starting to become immaterial and AI chips are going to be the story moving forward but with Su at the helm and the stock beaten down so badly with no one focusing on them, I think it is starting to get interesting.

The gaming division in my opinion is bottoming out and should stop being the reason for underperformance with the titles expected over the next 2 years.

The Steam November data shows the largest MoM increase in PC processor gains over the last 5 months. One to keep an eye on.


alt data continues to impress. website traffic has remained elevated and total visits are up almost 50% YoY

Summary: Bullish BBW into earnings: web traffic up ~50% YoY vs sandbagged guidance, tariff risk limited by inventory pull-forward.

$BBW alt data continues to impress. The management sandbagged guidance and mentioned they don't expect the sales to grow massively due to a slower release schedule and website traffic being underwhelming.

It appears however that the website traffic has remained elevated and total visits are up almost 50% YoY. My only concern is that the visits might have been driven by products that went viral (Mocha, Shadow, Sonic) but sold out leading to traffic not translating into revenue.

Tariff risks in the short term remain minimal due to the company pulling forward as much cheap inventory as they could.

$BBW data looks very promising for an earnings play. The company has had a couple of viral social trends over the last 30 days and the data seems to be reflecting that. Read the deep dive here: https://t.co/b7SHt5NwkO

Historically, the web traffic for the company has been a https://t.co/Qhf8GzmVBP


Amer Sports $AS appears to well-positioned for strong performance over the next 6-12 months... I am buying March 2026 OTM options for this trade

Summary: Long AS via March 2026 OTM calls; bullish on Arc'teryx and Salomon driving margin expansion, beat potential, and guidance raise over 6-12 months.

Amer Sports $AS appears to well-positioned for strong performance over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong trends in its key brands. The company's portfolio is aligned with a booming outdoor market, and its focus on high-margin segments like footwear and women's apparel should lead to continued growth and margin expansion.

Macro Trends:

The outdoor and sports markets are experiencing a significant tailwind, with search trends for activities like hiking, trekking, road running, mountain running, gravel running and trail running all on the rise. This is directly benefiting Amer Sports' product categories, including:

Footwear: There has been a surge in demand for hiking/trekking shoes, mountain running shoes, gravel running shoes, and road running shoes. Salomon, in particular, is positioned perfectly to capitalize on this with its modern outdoor sneakers that appeal to a younger, female demographic. A huge whitespace for the company especially in North America.

Apparel: A similar increase in interest for hiking/trekking jackets and pants, and athletic-specific apparel. Arc'teryx's women's line, exemplified by the runaway success of the Clarkia pant.

Segments:

1. Technical Apparel

The Technical Apparel segment, primarily driven by Arc'teryx, is set for continued strong performance. The brand saw another great quarter with strong growth across all regions, channels, and categories, especially footwear and women's, which continue to grow faster than the brand overall. The search trends for Arc'teryx products, including footwear, pants, and jackets, were surging in July.

Women's Growth: Management noted a "big opportunity to serve women in the outdoor differently through pinnacle design and performance." The explosive growth of the Clarkia pant and rising brand awareness in the U.S. and Europe suggest this strategy is working.

Footwear Expansion: The company understands the massive opportunity in footwear and as created a dedicated footwear business unit with its own P&L. New product launches like the Norvan LD 4 and Vertex Speed are helping to drive this momentum.

Margin Inflection: Arc'teryx is the highest-margin segment, and its strong growth is expected to continue to drive SG&A leverage and help the bottom line. This could potentially turn Q3, which is seasonally weaker for the brand, into a key growth driver, helping to justify a raised full-year guidance.

2. Outdoor Performance
Salomon is the engine behind this segment's success. The brand's products, especially its soft goods like footwear and apparel, are seeing massive growth, particularly in Greater China and APAC, while the Americas have also accelerated. The management pointed out that Salomon's soft goods are expected to "grow strong double digits annually."

Sneaker Market Opportunity: Despite surpassing $1 billion in sales, Salomon's sneaker market share is still small, offering a tremendous long-term growth opportunity. The company's unique modern outdoor sneakers are attracting a new group of consumers, especially younger women.

Geographic Expansion: Regional growth was led by Asia Pacific (up 49%) and China (up 43%), but the rising search trends in the United States suggest a significant growth lever is waiting to be pulled.

Margin Improvement: Salomon's shift to a higher-margin mix, with soft goods now making up over 67% of the segment, is helping to improve profitability and achieve SG&A leverage.

3. Ball & Racquet
This segment, led by Wilson, is also showing signs of strength. There appears to be a strong rebound in the segment. The search trends for Wilson products, including shoes, rackets, and golf equipment, are trending higher into Q3. The strong golf trends, in particular, could provide a boost to margins.

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Conservative Guidance Presents Opportunity

Despite the strong performance and positive trends, management has maintained a prudent and responsible tone, citing "meaningful uncertainty still left in the market." They noted that their guide "infers a slowdown in the back half". This conservative guidance, however, creates a significant opportunity.

With search trends only getting stronger and the company executing well on its strategic priorities, there is a strong chance that Amer Sports could beat its Q2 expectations and potentially raise its guidance for the rest of the year. The surging, high-margin sales from Salomon and Arc'teryx, coupled with the huge growth potential in the women's category and the U.S. market, provide a compelling case for a positive re-rating of the stock.

Risks:

The largest risk with the trade is that a substantial portion of Amer Sports' growth has been driven by its performance in China, APAC, and EMEA, with Salomon and Arc'teryx seeing particularly strong momentum in these regions. While search trends in the U.S. have started to inflect, they have not yet become the dominant growth driver. If a slowdown in consumer spending were to occur in these international markets, particularly in Greater China where a slowdown has been a concern for investors in the past, it could materially impact the company's financial performance and cause this thesis to falter. The company's future success is highly dependent on its ability to sustain this international momentum while simultaneously building a stronger presence in the Americas. I am buying March 2026 OTM options for this trade as the story could take until the next Q to play out $AS


Summary: Bullish AAVE at current prices; calls it a no-brainer buy.

$AAVE looks like a no-brainer at these levels.


Summary: Bullish LSF: management right-sized, H2 tailwinds, and market underappreciating Laird/Gabby social media impact.

@KyleAdamsStocks Exactly! The management has right sized and H2 is generally busy for $LSF. Market participants also underappreciating Laird and Gabby's social presence which is needle moving for such a small company.

@IamNGupta8 I may have to buy more. They have a lot more stores to break into, and the $AMZN sells are strong.


Big news for $FUBO, Disney agrees to allowing skinnier bundles. This would be huge for Fubo's margins and subscriber growth. They will now only have to pay for the channels they want, decreasing costs and expanding margins. This is a huge win for the company and consumers.

Summary: Bullish FUBO on Disney's skinnier-bundle deal; expects lower content costs, margin expansion, and subscriber growth to drive profitability.

Big news for $FUBO, Disney agrees to allowing skinnier bundles. This would be huge for Fubo’s margins and subscriber growth. They will  now only have to pay for the channels they want, decreasing costs and expanding margins. This is a huge win for the company and consumers. https://t.co/j7ArqHGSjT

1/n I think $FUBO's risk reward here is compelling. The position is only 3% of my portfolio but I will add more if it drops to $1.55 before earnings.

Financials:

$Fubo remains on track to be profitable and free cash flow positive in FY’25. I believe the company is inflecting.


Summary: Bullish on PC/laptop sector; earnings expansion just beginning driven by an upgrade cycle.

PC/laptop upgrade cycle basket of major PC hardware names

https://t.co/6gVceIs9Fi earnings expansion is only getting started. The PC/laptop upgrade cycle is well and truly upon us. https://t.co/BX7xgnEtmn


Summary: Added to BZFD position; views it as significantly mispriced (undervalued).

@_hustlerdoc Added more last week actually. Significantly misprized.

@IamNGupta8 Are you still in and being patient on $BZFD?


Summary: Long NetEase on expected repricing; Marvel Rivals catalyst for top- and bottom-line growth.

industry='Electronic Gaming & Multimedia'

@LogicalThesis $NTES seems ripe for a repricing. Marvel Rivals should drive top line and bottom-line growth. Has held up relatively well over the last few years even with the China basket getting killed.

Also looking to replace $KWEB with individual names
Best I got is $BABA
Thoughts on best China name?


Guided for 25%+ top line growth for H2 and plans to grow revenue at 20%+ for the next couple of years. A lot of room to grow geographically and increase distribution networks. Have bought some back since.

Summary: Long WALD (SPAC owning Milk + Obagi brands); 25%+ H2 revenue growth guided, 20%+ multi-year target, geographic expansion runway, rebought after post-earnings pump.

Checkout $WALD, been posting about it for a while, SPAC 😬, owns Milk and Obagi. Milk is a GenZ social media influenced brand and Obagi is medical skin care. Guided for 25%+ top line growth for H2 and plans to grow revenue at 20%+ for the next couple of years. A lot of room to grow geographically and increase distribution networks. Popped 50% on earnings last quarter but has settled down since. Was a core position, shared publicly here on a thread but sold a lot on the post earnings pump. Have bought some back since. There were some governance issues which tanked the stock but have since been resolved.

I don't know, paying P/E of 27x for 5-6% forward revenue growth is pretty meh. Undisputed leader of the sector but I don't see L'Oreal appealing for an investment

$OR https://t.co/Cy8JEz6hoC


I don't see a scenario where this doesn't impact the company and the stock atleast in the short term. Oct 17 $100 puts up 41% today.

Summary: Bearish RBLX short-term as predator-catching controversy grows and major outlets pick up the story; holding Oct 17 puts.

The $RBLX situation is getting bigger by the day. Major news outlets are starting to pick up on the story. I don’t see a scenario where this doesn’t impact the company and the stock atleast in the short term. Oct 17 $100 puts up 41% today.

$RBLX could be a potential SOCIAL ARB SHORT candidate.

Schlep, a Roblox YouTuber known for his predator catching investigations on the Roblox had his account terminated. He has since posted screenshots of what the cease and desist notice from Roblox Corporation. According to


Summary: Long CELH; well-priced, sees materially higher in ~6 months on Alani momentum, possible $30 before then.

@LohiaVasumann I believe $CELH is very well priced and should be materially higher in about 6 months time based on the Alani momentum. Won’t be surprised if we see $30 before that but midterm outlook is very good imo.

@nitininvests Anything for long term at a good/cheap price rn?


Summary: Bearish GME: 47M shares still to issue + Roaring Kitty's expiring calls create massive sell pressure over ~8 market days.

$GME Another piece of this puzzle is how fast can GameStop’s management issue these 75 million shares. There is a lot of people who would not touch the stock again. Assuming that they are able to sell shares at a rate 10% of daily volume, they would have sold 28M shares today.

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This implies that $GME still has 47M shares to issue. Assuming that the volume next week will be around 60M per day, it will take them at least 8 market days to issue those shares. RT’s calls expire on the 21st. You are buying from 2 huge sellers maybe!? 🤷♂


Summary: Long HOOD as the best/safest crypto beta play this quarter; also long DEFTF and DEFI on FOMO-driven crypto inflows.

The stock has almost 2x’d from this. Got a couple of messages on the weekend from people wanting to finally get involved in crypto. Could be a top signal but I don’t think we are there yet.

These people are only still considering crypto but have not really made any purchases and I believe will start to FOMO.

Price is the biggest narrative for crypto and always leads to new entrants into this market. Based on this weekend PA in crypto, I believe $HOOD will make an obscene amount of money this quarter. Great beta play on crypto along with $DEFTF $DEFI.

I am sitting on a 2x in Hood and bought some more shares post the earnings drop. Market conditions seem euphoric too and there is no better and safer play to bet on this than $HOOD.

As expected, strong numbers for $HOOD. Deposits up significantly. Once the market conditions improve $HOOD should do really well. Crypto is key for them.


Great beta play on crypto along with $DEFTF $DEFI


Summary: Bullish CELH; expects big pops on upcoming scanner data reports + improved analyst modeling after earnings visibility on Alani.

@Hypertonx That makes sense but I also think there is a possibility of big pops when the next 2 four week scanner data reports hit the Wall Street desks. I feel after the earnings call there is more visibility into Alani and how analysts should model $CELH which should help.

Looks like $CELH is going to be a slow burn higher - just like when it recaptured $40


Summary: Bullish AEO: Aerie/OFFLINE division gaining share with GenZ, could drive Q3 growth.

Thanks for the chart for $AEO. Q3 could be interesting. I think Aerie might be the growth driver as GenZ seems to be resonating with the brand well and the OFFLINE by Aerie division seems to be taking market share especially with (Back to school) from the likes of $LULU albeit on a smaller scale.

@IamNGupta8 It's an interesting one, AE website traffic still rising year-over-year but you're right that it may not be enough. https://t.co/FHjnvL6HVb


Summary: Speculative long PONY on rumours Travis Kalanick (Uber-backed) may buy its US arm and diversify into autonomous food prep.

Worth keeping an eye on $PONY from a pure speculation point of view. Chinese company but rumors are circulating that the founder of Uber, Travis Kalanick (later forced to step down) is planning to buy the US arm with Uber’s backing. He is planning to diversify the business into other autonomous areas like food preparation etc. Very speculative but risk reward looks favourable.


Summary: Long HAS to $100 EOY on AAA game announcements and strong MTG demand outlook.

$HAS big beat and raise driven mostly by MTG. I believe the management will share positive outlook for MTG in the call. Web traffic data for various Magic Cards websites is surging in July. Unlike myself, won't be taking profits on my calls. I believe the announcements around the AAA games can push the stock to $100 by end of this year. There are 2 more Universes Beyond sets that are slated to be released in 2025.

Really like the setup for $HAS going into earnings tomorrow. The stock is almost at 3 year highs but has gotten multiple analyst upgrades since this post owing mostly to the strong demand outlook for MTG. It is highly likely that they raise guidance for Magic huge part of Wizards


Summary: Long ENS: same bullish weekly setup as DOGE call, recent D100 tag as support.

Ethereum Name Service token, ENS-USD on Yahoo Finance

@docXBT @docXBT $ENS with the same set up as your $DOGE call. Looks decent here with D100 tag recently.

$DOGE - 6 weekly candle closes holding the line.

Looks great for a 2x. Just needs a spark. https://t.co/Y54AzXjdjr


Summary: Holding ETH with scale-out targets $4,200/$6,900; bought SOL expecting rotation into Solana within 2 weeks.

Good call in hindsight, I do believe we still have a little ways to go but starting to scale out of some positions. Sold some $HOOD shares and $ETHA calls. $HOOD has been a great gift. ~7x from the August lows when I shared it as my highest conviction idea, continued to average up however. $ETHA I do believe has some more room to run but a 200% gain in a short time is something I can live with. The sentiment on $ETH on this platform was so bearish 3 weeks ago and now everyone wants in and calling for $15k. Still have 30% of my original position and will scale out at $4,200 and $6,900 (best case), don’t have to overthink this. Bought $SOL & $DEFT for the inevitable rotation into Solana as the narrative will switch I believe sometime during the next 2 weeks. 0.0455 on SOL/ETH is that number IMO.

For what it’s worth, I think the market top is going to hit when the altcoins really go wild. This cycle feels different.

In Q4 last year, it was all about memecoins in crypto. This year, it's about “shitcos" – those low-market-cap stocks – that seem to be drawing a lot of the


Bought $SOL for the inevitable rotation into Solana as the narrative will switch I believe sometime during the next 2 weeks


Summary: Long HOOD anticipating S&P 500 index inclusion in the near future.

@mc_khristina That is a very good point. Betting on $HOOD getting included in the index at some point in the near future.

@nitininvests would be hesitant to short $COIN into its addition to the S&P 500 on Monday


Summary: Bullish CELH: $850M+ quarter possible, analyst estimates off, insider selling negligible.

@Hypertonx Very good point! Analyst expectations here make no sense whatsoever. Pricing seemed pretty robust too. This could be a $850M+ quarter, realistically! Also interesting to see that insiders have sold a negligible amount of shares in September.

A plausible scenario for $CELH, esp with a little Rockstar in Sept '25

In fairness to the analysts though, they've been consistently off

It's hard to imagine forecasting a revenue decline q/o/q but here we are

The Q3 y/o/y comp is v easy, the AI algos are going to love it https://t.co/3GFsKlrcEv


Summary: WALD still undervalued; Google Holiday 100 inclusion of Milk's Jelly Tint should drive strong organic reach.

Nice to see Milk’s Jelly Tint being part of Google’s Holiday 100. Should lead to some really strong organic reach for $WALD. Stock is still undervalued IMO. https://t.co/SuuwWmleKx


Summary: Five 2025 longs to Dec 31: GOOGL (35%+ returns), TSLA ($3T on robotics/Trump), AMD (underestimated MI300), QLD (tech/M&A tailwinds), CRSR (gaming comeback + GTA6 catalyst).

Assuming if I have to hold till Dec 31, 2025 and I can’t make any moves:

1. $GOOGL: Narrative around the stock has changed, even the staunchest of critics are becoming fans. A lot of money will move into the stock during this year and believe one can easily realize 35%+ returns this year.

2. $TSLA: Probably will become a $3 trillion company this year driven by the Robotics narrative and the proximity to the Trump administration.

3. $AMD: Most hated Semi stock. I think the market is underestimating the MI300 and Lisa Su. Risk reward seems compelling.

4. $QLD: Tech should continue to do well and M&A should restart which should help the hyper scalers. Great way to diversify.

5. $CRSR: Medium conviction right now but I believe the gaming sector is about to make a huge comeback next year with the release slate looking promising. The upgrade cycle has already started and GTA6 will be an extra catalyst for the sector.

You get 5 stocks for 2025.

What are your picks right now?


Probably will become a $3 trillion company this year driven by the Robotics narrative and the proximity to the Trump administration


I think the market is underestimating the MI300 and Lisa Su. Risk reward seems compelling


Medium conviction right now but I believe the gaming sector is about to make a huge comeback next year with the release slate looking promising


Summary: Expects CELH to bounce back; reasonable valuation at 25x despite soft October category trends.

$CELH Revenue came in a little lower than I expected but net income was much better than the market feared. EPS being impacted by the one-time distributor termination expenses. As I had shared the category seems to be slowing down in October after a strong summer but expect the stock to bounce back as valuation is reasonable here @ 25 times.

$CELH Q3 Earnings Preview: Expecting a Top & Bottom Line Beat.

I believe $CELH is positioned for a beat tomorrow. Analyst expectations for QoQ revenue being down are too conservative given the energy category grew 20%+ YoY in Q3.

Nielsen MULO data might be flattish QoQ but


Summary: Plans to aggressively add to Casio position on any weakness from Nikkei removal; structurally bullish on brand strength.

Casio was removed from the Nikkei yesterday. The stock might face pressure until the next earnings. The brand heat for both their brands is palpable, and I plan to triple down if the stock indeed comes under pressure.

8050.T reported great numbers as expected. You are not bullish enough on Casio. https://t.co/avMLKxQOvz


Summary: Long VSCO into holiday season; strong organic traction pre-show, already a 2x in ~2 months, expects continued momentum.

$VSCO momentum feels truly unstoppable. The difference between the trade this year and last year was that this year they already had very good organic traction going into the show. $VSCO will be one of the biggest winners of the holiday season imo and has been a 2x in about 2 months. Sold 20% more here. Congrats to all longs. 🍻

$VSCO - bought some options on first tease of the Victoria Secret show this morning. Was a very rewarding trade last year, as I publicly shared on this platform. Over half a million views and 115k+ likes in 3 hours on a working day is very bullish. The momentum could really start https://t.co/MsbYlMSYCS


the risk/reward ratio doesn't seem favorable. They also have a ATM facility in place which they tap into as soon as CMP > NAV so there is that overhead risk as well

Summary: Bearish GAIN: operational upside capped ~30%, ATM overhang when CMP > NAV, and unfavorable risk/reward after Schylling/Needoh gains.

Great analysis! Thanks for sharing. I looked at it briefly after their podcast as well. $GAIN saw a $0.70 NAV increase from Schylling last quarter. Even if we get extremely optimistic and assume Needoh continues its viral ascent, we might see ~$2.00 in Q1 and another $2.00 in Q2. In the previous quarter, Schylling was the primary driver of the NAV increase. So the operational upside is around 30%, after which you're relying on a sale for further gains (capital gains), and with all the risks you highlighted, which Chris should have addressed, the risk/reward ratio doesn’t seem favorable. They also have a ATM facility in place which they tap into as soon as CMP > NAV so there is that overhead risk as well.

@nitininvests @DumbMoneyTV @ChrisCamillo And someone goes on a podcast, admits he hasn't
researched the portfolio, and tells retail to buy it because of a toy company that makes cheap stuff.
All numbers straight from the SEC filing. Go read it yourself.


Summary: Highest-conviction long on Ubiquiti; demand is robust and growing, constrained by supply not demand, market consensus is wrong.

$UI The data was there for everybody to see. Crazy how much edge there is with social arbitrage in retail names that no one is focused on.

Ubiquiti $UI is my highest conviction idea since $DBO.TO, which we covered extensively back in July.

The consensus view is that $UI's growth story is dead. In my view, demand is not only robust but still growing. The issue for Ubiquiti is a supply cap, not a demand cap. The https://t.co/WISnAw9tTm


Summary: Long SIFCO Industries on aerospace/defense tailwinds, Boeing/F-35 exposure, expanding backlog, cheap EV, and hidden earnings power from LIFO accounting.

Looking deep into $SIF (SIFCO Industries). It looks incredibly enticing optically with a highly relevant thematic tailwind and a great setup! Well positioned for the aerospace and defense recovery, driven by surging Boeing 737 MAX/787 production and record, stable F-35 contracts from Lockheed. The chart looks great with a low Float and Peter Abrahmson acquiring 6.4% of the float. The backlog is expanding rapidly and jumped $20 million from $119.2M at the end of Q4 2025 to $139.5M by Q1 2026.

Important to note that the earnings quality is high but is currently being masked by LIFO accounting; if FIFO had been used, inventory values would have been $11.1 million higher in Q1 2026, meaning the company's true earnings power is significantly depressed on paper.

Valuation appears cheap too with Enterprise Value below $100M. Given its recent return to profitability and a Q1 sales run-rate pacing near $96M annualized.
Could do really well here as throughput and margins continue to inflect!


Ubiquiti $UI is my highest conviction idea since $DBO.TO... demand is not only robust but still growing... the risk/reward feels quite asymmetric at the moment

Summary: Highest-conviction long UI: demand robust/growing, supply-capped not demand-capped, inventory flat masks AOV mix shift; decline narrative will be proven wrong.

Ubiquiti $UI is my highest conviction idea since $DBO.TO, which we covered extensively back in July.

The consensus view is that $UI's growth story is dead. In my view, demand is not only robust but still growing. The issue for Ubiquiti is a supply cap, not a demand cap. The market seems to be confusing "can't produce enough" with "can't sell enough."

Consensus also appears to be misreading inventory data as a demand stall. I believe the flat inventory QoQ masks a powerful shift to higher AOV products, which should aid this quarter's numbers.

Expecting the decline narrative to be proven wrong this year, the risk/reward feels quite asymmetric at the moment.


Summary: Long Casio on global G-SHOCK brand inflection, China recovery, high-margin pivot, buyback, and earnings beat pointing to major re-rating.

$6952.T (Casio) continues to show powerful global inflection. Seeing G-SHOCK in particular show up on multiple "Top 10" lists across major tracking channels.

The stock recently hit a 4-year high on the back of a significant Q3 '26 earnings beat and a newly announced ¥5 billion share buyback.

Amazon search trends for January are up a whopping 44% for G-SHOCK and 47% for the Casio brand (overall). Management is successfully pivoting toward high-margin metal models, I believe we are in the very early innings of a major re-rating story.

Casio 6952.T posted really good numbers, as we expected, and is finally returning to growth. China, which has been a drag for a while, is also returning to growth. The topline here has been stagnant for years, and I believe we are in the very early stages of a material inflection https://t.co/bAcuahZ3TL


Summary: Bullish SIF: thesis confirmed by 39% revenue growth, gross margin tripling to 21%, and backlog expansion; asymmetric setup remains intact.

Been talking about how asymmetric this $SIF setup is over the last few days, and they just delivered in a big way.

- Revenue: up 39% YoY
- Gross margin going from 8.25% to 21.41%
- Backlog growing from $139M to $158M

Couldn't be more excited about these numbers. The thesis is playing out beautifully. Will share more thoughts on the weekend. Congrats to all longs, I can see Fintwit getting very excited about this stock.

Looking deep into $SIF (SIFCO Industries). It looks incredibly enticing optically with a highly relevant thematic tailwind and a great setup! Well positioned for the aerospace and defense recovery, driven by surging Boeing 737 MAX/787 production and record, stable F-35 contracts


Summary: Long PENG as the single best way to play the CXL memory optimization theme, which is gaining material revenue traction.

$ALAB talking about CXL in their TD Cowen presentation today. It’s clear everyone is increasingly looking to get the most from every penny spent on memory. CXL was part of conversations in 2025 but didn’t generate material revenue last year, though that is clearly changing. $PENG remains the absolute best way to play this theme.


Summary: Bullish MSGM: v1.3 community reception strong, performance improvements solid, expecting a new 24-hour DAU peak imminently.

$MSGM watching the DAU numbers closely this week. The community is very happy with the v1.3 update and all I've heard are good things, along with some material improvements in performance from the optimizations needed for the console port. Expecting a new 24-hour peak this week.

Shout out to @LeMansUltimate with their latest Barcelona track release. They engaged heavily with real drivers like myself and a few others to make sure curbs and track grip were accurate.

Here's a back to back between real life and the sim... it's pretty close! https://t.co/UGoDMK6Tod


Summary: Bullish MSGM into earnings: strong alt data, console port funding catalyst could de-risk cash flow and lift long-term revenue projections.

$MSGM earnings today. Looking forward to the results and commentary for Q1, which might actually be even better than Q4 given the phenomenal alt data.

I don't think the stock needs it to rerate, but any update on the funding structure for the console port alone could be a material catalyst for the stock. If they receive a sizable upfront payment to cover all development costs, it could provide an immediate cash injection, fully de-risk the cash flow uncertainty of the port, and fundamentally alter long-term revenue projections without risking the $4.5 million cash reserves or triggering dilutive equity offerings.

$MSGM some important charts for anyone interested and some analysis regarding the same.

1. DAUs & MAUs: DAU and MAU numbers have maintained the elevated levels observed since the Version 1.0 release, and the baseline lifted significantly following the v1.2 update in December. https://t.co/0aboDvb58h


Summary: Bullish FNKO; expects debt resolution, brand too big to fail, potential acquirer interest, and upside from viral collaboration strategy.

I really like $FNKO. I think their debt situation will get resolved. The brand is too big to fail, and someone will want it. The new strategy of being fast to market with viral collaborations can do wonders for them, but execution risks remain given the history. The other one I was referring to is in the watch market as well.

@nitinkinvest The other one is $FNKO I guess? also passed - financials a bit scary)


Summary: Long VFC; brand turnaround in early innings, YoY declines improving, growth expected over next 2–3 years.

@NolanAntonucci I agree, I think this is very early innings for the brand. Bracken Darrell mentioned that too. Google Trends on this one are accurate IMO. The story for $VFC right now is that the YoY decline percentages are looking better and growth should start coming, over the next 2–3 years.

@nitinkinvest Google Trends probably isn't as important a data source as the ones you mentioned, but I wish the yr/yr data looked better.

https://t.co/Ie4EnqPUe1 $VFC $GoTr https://t.co/BhhqcRVCbg


I am honestly just betting on sequential growth to restart and announcements to come through. The float is only around 5% so it's very illiquid which can move the price very quickly on $UI

Summary: Long Ubiquiti on sequential growth restart, enterprise TAM expansion, and low float as a catalyst for quick price moves.

My bad, sorry! Same general thought process here. They introduced some important interesting products on their conference in November that MSPs are super excited about. I think they will probably try to tackle the enterprise segment more which is where they have lacked over the last few years. Could open up a massive TAM that no one is factoring in right now. I am honestly just betting on sequential growth to restart and announcements to come through. The float is only around 5% so it’s very illiquid which can move the price very quickly on $UI

@nitinkinvest I apologize. I was referring to Ubiquiti.


Summary: Author surprised BE isn't moving higher on BAM's bullish commentary about expanding their $5B partnership by multiples; implied long.

Surprised to see no movement in $BE after $BAM said this on their call today:

“The first deal we did in our AI infrastructure fund was our partnership with Bloom Energy. That was announced, I wanna say, 6 or 9 months ago, a $5 billion partnership. We are already in conversations to expand that partnership, not by percentages, but by multiples. That's very reflective of the opportunity set and the scale that we expect to play.”


Hit #36 today. DLC is selling extremely well... Momentum continues to build.

Summary: Bullish MSGM: Steam rank hit #36, DLC sales strong, ~$500k revenue unlock, seasonally strong Q2 ahead with Le Mans in June.

$MSGM Update: Hit #36 today. DLC is selling extremely well and of course is probably helping the SaaS business as well with Barcelona being added today.

With the ELMS Pack 3 release, they’re realizing nearly $500k in previously unrealized revenue. The recent European Series pack sale over the last couple weeks is clearly working, and today’s free Genesis car drop is generating strong free advertising.

They also ran a very tight PR campaign for the v1.3 release, great to see. Q2 remains their busiest quarter seasonally, with the 24 Hours of Le Mans coming in June. Momentum continues to build.

$MSGM is finally cracking the top 100 seller list on Steam! It’s been hovering around #200 for weeks, so this is a solid step up and should translate nicely into stronger revenue.

DAUs remain strong and within 10% of the all-time peak from 2 months ago. The v1.3 update dropped https://t.co/JHCuQIKjt5


Summary: Long SIFCO: revenue optically compressed by customer-supplied materials, but earnings quality inflecting — gross margins supercharged, commodity risk offloaded, working capital freed.

Got a couple of questions regarding this in DMs so I think I might have not done the best job explaining this. Basically, the top-line is artificially understated, but the underlying earnings quality is actually the best it has been in years.

With $SIF's customers starting to supply their own raw materials, SIFCO no longer bills for the metal, so it doesn't hit their Revenue or their COGS. They only bill for their labor and services. This makes revenue look smaller, but it mathematically supercharges their Gross Margin %. SIFCO makes the exact same profit in dollar terms but on a leaner revenue base.

This is drastically reducing $SIF's working capital needs. They no longer have to tie up their own cash to finance the massive metal inventories. My supply chain data confirms this thesis. Historically, $SIF got burned by this. They had fixed-price contracts but were forced to buy their own materials. When commodity prices spiked or supply chains choked, SIFCO ate the costs, creating wild margin uncertainty and crushing profits.

This new dynamic fixes that historical overhang. By letting massive aerospace customers use their own purchasing power to buy the metal, $SIF completely offloads commodity price risk and supply chain bottlenecks. $SIF has essentially traded it's low-quality, high risk revenue for high quality, stable, and predictable margins. The top line is understated, but the fixed-cost absorption and margin quality appear to be inflecting. Very bullish long-term setup IMO.

$SIF appears to be offering a massive info arb right now. the more I research this, the more excited I get. Top-line revenue numbers appear to be optically compressed too with some customers now starting to supply their own raw materials. The value of these materials is being https://t.co/1C3IQBrEtR


Summary: Bullish SIF: expects continued gross margin expansion on customer-supplied materials and backlog growth to drive further upside.

$SIF nice action today. If we see another report with expanding gross margins on customer-supplied materials and incremental backlog growth, this stock has much more room to the upside.

Got a couple of questions regarding this in DMs so I think I might have not done the best job explaining this. Basically, the top-line is artificially understated, but the underlying earnings quality is actually the best it has been in years.

With $SIF's customers starting to https://t.co/l57ywh28lI


Was able to initiate a position in $9697.T today, capitalizing on what I view as a highly compelling entry point. Looking ahead on a three to six horizon, this setup is incredibly compelling.

Summary: Initiated long Capcom on RE9 record Steam sales driving digital margin inflection, Switch 2 TAM expansion, and franchise back-catalog halo effect over 3–6 months.

Was able to initiate a position in $9697.T today, capitalizing on what I view as a highly compelling entry point. I personally anticipated a more significant gap-up at the open, the stock has traded near flat on exceptionally strong volume.

Looking ahead on a three to six horizon, this setup is incredibly compelling. My thesis is based on the record-breaking performance of Resident Evil 9 and several structural tailwinds the company will have over the next few months:

• Digital Margin Inflection: I anticipate a  margin lift driven by the current sales mix. With Steam accounting for upwards of 94% of RE9 sales, the shift toward high-margin digital distribution is accelerating at a rapid pace. This bottom-line impact will further be complemented by excellent sell-through of the premium, limited-edition physical versions.

• Switch 2 TAM Expansion: The game being on Nintendo Switch 2 presents a completely distinct growth avenue. This will materially expand the TAM for the game.

• Franchise Halo Effect: The momentum is not isolated to the new release. Management has explicitly noted that the record engagement with RE9 is driving accelerated sell-through across the broader franchise back-catalog.

The convergence of an immediate digital margin expansion, downstream catalog sales, and a new console creates an excellent risk/reward profile. Love the setup here and expect sustained outperformance as the upcoming quarterly financials reflect these catalysts.

RE9 eclipsed the previous franchise Steam peak of 168,000 set by RE4 Remake. The stock could continue to perform exceptionally well here. The early signs were definitely there. https://t.co/iOZjopCnhO


Summary: Bullish GAIN: Schylling (Needoh owner) drove NAV growth last quarter and trends accelerated in February.

Needoh is owned by Schylling. Schylling was the primary driver of NAV appreciation for $GAIN last quarter, and the trends accelerated in February. @DumbMoneyTV and @ChrisCamillo might be discussing this on their episode today. https://t.co/THpvWVHfHd

I wonder if today's @DumbMoneyTV episode is on $GAIN and the viral success Needoh is currently experiencing.


$500M secondary offering announced today might offer a great entry point tomorrow. This is a great company in a very hot thematic at a reasonable valuation, those opportunities generally don't come along too often.

Summary: Bullish VIAV: secondary offering dip is an entry point; debt-for-equity swap lifts EPS ~5%, operating leverage + NOL shield means market is mispricing top-line growth.

Viavi Solutions $VIAV $500M secondary offering announced today might offer a great entry point tomorrow. They are essentially doing a debt for equity swap. Viavi is eliminating roughly $35-$40 million in annual interest expenses and as per my math, this should immediately lift baseline EPS by approximately 5%.

In my opinion the market is currently mispricing Viavi by assuming top-line growth to stall, ignoring confirmed demand across their target markets. Due to their tremendous operating leverage, even marginal revenue growth will trigger significant bottom-line expansion.

Also, substantial past Net Operating Losses (NOLs) reduce their tax burden to zero. If algos sell the news it could push the price down tomorrow potentially below 30x NTM earnings. This is a great company in a very hot thematic at a reasonable valuation, those opportunities generally don't come along too often.


Summary: Bullish AAPL into next earnings print on record iPhone search trends and T-Mobile's biggest iPhone sales weekend ever.

$AAPL: T-Mobile CEO: "Had the biggest weekend ever in terms of iPhone sales".

$AAPL might continue to rise into the next print. iPhone search trends hitting 6 year highs in the US and 8 year highs worldwide. Might be priced in already though. https://t.co/iOZkmtZdcy


Back in $ZVIA after the call on Wednesday… Q1 2026 represents a clear inflection… the biggest catalysts are still ahead. Low conviction position due to the chart looking ugly but risk/reward appears asymmetric

Summary: Re-entered ZVIA long on Q1 inflection (21% volume-driven growth, near-breakeven, Cardi B campaign, channel expansion); biggest catalysts still ahead.

Back in $ZVIA after the call on Wednesday. We traded this very well in Q4 2024 and were lucky to take profits on time. The call was extremely encouraging and the company is showing signs of a real inflection here:

1. Revenue & Volume:

This was Zevia’s best quarter since going public as they recorded first quarter growth of 21%. The growth was entirely volume driven (20.4%) which is a great sign.

2. Channel Expansion:

They executed a successful national Costco rotation and saw acceleration in velocity at Walmart. The e-commerce business is also outperforming expectations. They have expanded in Kroger as well adding incremental flavors along with regional players like HEB and Publix. This quote was particularly interesting to me about Costco:

“The advantage of the national rotation… strengthens our velocities in the markets in which we have permanent distribution as well as helps to spur discussions about future rotations… the hope is that we would get another national rotation in the balance of the year.” — Amy Taylor

3. Cardi B Campaign upside:

This is arguably the most exciting social arb development. Zevia signed Cardi B as a brand ambassador who has the 25th most followed Instagram account. Thisc ould be a step change in reach and awareness for Zevia which they have lacked for years.

This awareness seems to be translating already as the management said that between Cardi B and other marketing programs during the month of March, Zevia saw its highest ever organic social media reach and the highest level of social media engagement of any month since the brand’s launch.

4. Profitability:

Adjusted net loss was just -$0.1M in Q1 2026, compared to -$4.2M a year ago. Selling and marketing as a % of net sales improved dramatically from 40.3% → 31.5%, demonstrating strong operating leverage as revenues scale.

5. The Setup for the Rest of 2026

Net sales guidance raised to 7% growth at midpoint, which I believe is being sandbagged massively after the impressive Q1 results. Q2 comps might be a little harder to lap but comps will get easier in Q3 and Q4.

TLDR: Q1 2026 represents a clear inflection driven by and record revenue growth, a near break-even EBITDA result, broad channel distribution gains, and the launch of the highest-reach marketing campaign in the company’s history. The packaging refresh is still rolling out and the Cardi B summer campaign hasn’t fully hit yet, meaning the biggest catalysts are still ahead. Low conviction position due to the chart looking ugly but risk/reward appears asymmetric

$ZVIA Investment Thesis: Asymmetric Upside Potential Amid Emerging Trends

After recent analysis, I’ve shifted my stance on Zevia, due to the October Amazon data showing a significant surge in e-commerce sales. While the upcoming Q3 results may still underperform based on


Summary: Bearish ELF: expects continued revenue stagnation as value proposition erodes amid competition on price and quality from L'Oréal, Covergirl, and others.

This is a pretty good post https://t.co/yY5EWZai3V with a lot of insightful information on $ELF.

I visited a few Walmarts, Shoppers Drug Marts and Sephora (for Rhode) and noticed competitors either beating e.l.f. on price or just straight-up offering superior quality.

While the brand still holds onto its loyal user base, I fully expect that revenue stagnation we're seeing for the core line is going to continue. The value proposition is slipping: for example, their lip tints have shrunk and on par with some of L'Oréal's products which are often discounted or other companies like Covergirl, which has a much more established reputation for quality.

@nitinkinvest @Michell03744053 Interesting. What stores did you visit and what is the far superior product you can get for the same price? Thanks


Summary: Holds long MSGM; EV ~$14M post-share retirement is compelling given growing game + upcoming catalysts; no plans to reduce.

Revenue for $MSGM came in at $4M. The prior DLC was released on December 9, 2025, whereas this quarter’s release occurred on the final day of the reporting period which probably led to the revenue realization bumping into Q2. The market doesn't seem to be liking the development cost repayment, which was an expected, structured event rather than a negative surprise.

With the enterprise value now standing at roughly $14M post-share retirement, a rapidly growing game, and several upcoming catalysts this year, the underlying valuation remains compelling. I have no plans to reduce my position.

With Motorsport Games $MSGM scheduled to report their Q1 earnings on Wednesday, May 13th, I wanted to walk through my updated earnings model and share my expectations for the quarter.

Overall, the underlying metrics are pointing in a highly positive direction, but I am keeping https://t.co/0FR8JaD5dC


Summary: Alt data signals bullish for UI; author tracking for a year and leans long.

The alt data for $UI looks incredibly bullish. I've been tracking this stock for a year but never felt comfortable opening a position due to the limited management commentary available. Will share more data over the coming days. https://t.co/LbVHAfwU93


Summary: Bullish MSGM: Q1'26 may beat Q4 on growing RaceControl subs and flat deferred revenue despite a major monetization event.

$MSGM came in at $3.8M as we projected. Recall, Q1'26 might be better than this. RaceControl subscriptions continue to grow as the deferred revenue is flat eventhough we had a huge monetization event in Q4. Full commentary after reviewing the 10-Q and earnings call. Congratulations to anyone who believed in the thesis.


Summary: Best AI energy plays: BE as top pick on DC partnerships and 3-4x revenue path by 2027; LBRT solid risk/reward on LPI scale; CGEH could do multiples.

$BE is probably the best play here, especially as they are DC/DC with partnerships with $AEP and $BN, and management said there's a path to 3-4x revenue by 2027, though valuation is a bit uncomfortable. $LBRT could be a solid risk/reward if they scale LPI. $CGEH is also very interesting and could do multiples.

#HotTake
I think people have forgotten something about this AI buildout. Right now, the real constraint is energy, which we all know and is being talked about.

Great $OKLA $NNE and the other nuclear ran with this obvious narrative, but that’s more of a theme with a long runway


$LBRT could be a solid risk/reward if they scale LPI

industry='Oil & Gas Equipment & Services'


$CGEH is also very interesting and could do multiples


Summary: Bullish TPR: Coach collections selling out instantly with strong brand heat and margin execution.

Revisiting the $TPR data. Coach is operating with Labubu scarcity right now. All the recent collections like the Empire, Brooklyn, Juliet, and Kisslock lines are instantly selling out, forcing buyers to hunt for unannounced digital restocks. Just screening the setup, but the brand heat and margin execution has been exemplary.

$TPR surprised no one really talks about this. https://t.co/n2m049HlnV


A $4.2M quarter is coming, with SaaS reaching close to a $4M ARR exit rate. This could be the quarter where we rerate, hopefully for $MSGM. I have been adding over the last few days.

Summary: Long MSGM; adding shares, expects $4.2M quarter + SaaS ARR re-rate catalyst with Le Mans race as potential upside.

Warrants will most likely be exercised, and the increase in the employee stock-based comp pool would lead to some dilution. But you are right; in the worst case, we still got rid of a minimum of 400k outstanding shares. A $4.2M quarter is coming, with SaaS reaching close to a $4M ARR exit rate. This could be the quarter where we rerate, hopefully for $MSGM. The game is definitely catching more attention, and GT3 trends picking up with Max Verstappen are making it more popular. This makes the 24 Hours of Le Mans race an even bigger catalyst for the company possibly. I have been adding over the last few days.

---

@schinskytrades Also important to note that $MSGM had $6M in cash as of February 2026 and the fact they were comfortable paying $4M for these shares indicates that they probably had >$8M in cash before yesterday which bodes extremely well for the upcoming quarter.


these are things we should be wary of, but they shouldn't be impacting the stock here given how ludicrous the valuation is

Summary: Bullish MSGM: execution/capital-destruction risks don't justify the selloff given the extremely low valuation.

That is a legitimate risk, and something I didn’t quite like either. I was hoping $MSGM could get a third party to come in and foot the bill for the development, but given the reception and feedback LMU is receiving, we should give some leeway to management. Price always impacts sentiment; I’m sure if the stock were up 50% today, it would have been accepted and justified by all of us. I think the risks around execution and capital destruction should weigh on the stock if we were trading at, say, 10x EBITDA or something. So these are things we should be wary of, but they shouldn’t be impacting the stock here given how ludicrous the valuation is.

@nitininvests Is the sell-off  based on uncertainty regarding future capital allocation?  I am invested, but my biggest fear is empire building instead of good capital allocation.


The valuation disconnect is baffling... the stock is priced as if bankruptcy is imminent. The core business is scaling rapidly... Once that clears, the strong fundamentals should drive a dramatic rerating. The turnaround appears complete and hopefully aggressive growth should follow from here.

Summary: Strongly bullish MSGM: 2.4x EV/EBITDA, zero debt, $3M ARR approaching, selling overhang clearing; expects dramatic rerating once Mike Zoi overhang resolves.

$MSGM delivered a brilliant quarter across all metrics imo.

The valuation disconnect is baffling. The company has roughly 5.1 million shares o/s and a market cap of around $23 million. With a $6 million cash position (as of February 2026), the enterprise value is just $17 million. EBITDA for the year was $7.3 million, putting the stock at 2.4x EV/EBITDA. They carry zero debt, maintains a clean balance sheet, and generated consistent positive operating cash flow (~$300K/month in 2025).

Deferred revenue grew sequentially from $1.11 million to $1.13 million. Since the v1.2 DLC was fully delivered in Q4, that revenue should have been recognized in Q4, implying the remaining balance is almost entirely driven by RaceControl subscriptions. Management confirmed ~26,000 subscribers generating $200,000 in monthly recurring revenue (MRR) at year-end implying an ARPU of ~$7.50/month, heavily suggesting widespread adoption of the sticky $84 annual package.

Management also noted that January and February 2026 saw the largest subscription revenue jumps yet. The company appears on track to hit a $3 million ARR run rate for RaceControl sooner than I expected, potentially as early as March. I was expecting to happen in June driven by the Le Mans 24 hour race. This segment along with the licensing segment has over 90%+ margins and significantly enhances the profitability profile. Q1 is shaping up to be even stronger, with a $1M+ per quarter high-margin baseline from RaceControl and licensing, plus immediate top-line contribution from the new DLC pack launched on March 23rd.

The core business is scaling rapidly, yet the stock is priced as if bankruptcy is imminent. The ongoing selling overhang from Mike Zoi remains the primary artificial drag on the share price imo. Once that clears, the strong fundamentals should drive a dramatic rerating. I don’t see another reason for the current valuation. The presence of the Sidoti analyst on today’s call (first time in a long while) suggests institutional interest is building, and we may see coverage initiations soon.

The turnaround appears complete and hopefully aggressive growth should follow from here.

$MSGM came in at $3.8M as we projected. Recall, Q1'26 might be better than this. RaceControl subscriptions continue to grow as the deferred revenue is flat eventhough we had a huge monetization event in Q4. Full commentary after reviewing the 10-Q and earnings call. https://t.co/VYYbtms5rs


Medium-risk play but could be a potential multibagger. The current quarter is shaping up to be a material turning point... the market's pessimistic view of MSGM is a textbook mispricing.

Summary: Long MSGM into earnings: alt data signals blowout Q4, SaaS pivot, DLC/sub margins, console port catalyst, and market mispricing of turnaround.

Not my idea, but one I'm really liking for earnings is $MSGM. Working on an SS post and hoping to share it this weekend, link in the bio (no paywall). Medium-risk play but could be a potential multibagger.

The current quarter is shaping up to be a material turning point, as significant revenue tailwinds from the Q4 "Track and Pack" release suggest a potential blowout performance. The December 2025 update, which introduced the Paul Ricard circuit and the innovative "Team Online" feature, has acted as a massive catalyst for both high-margin DLC sales and recurring "RaceControl Pro" subscriptions.

Alternative data and web traffic metrics support this narrative, showing a 126% spike in traffic between community hubs and the storefront, while traffic to the "Pro" subscription paywall has soared by 60%. This momentum has carried directly into January 2026, which saw the game hit an all-time peak of 8,740 concurrent players, a 4x increase over the previous year an This suggests to me that the market is missing a surge in deferred revenue and ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) that could make the next earnings report a landmark event for the company's valuation. The company could post revenue numbers close to $3.5M which would represent a significant QoQ growth and a material lift in the bottom line owing to the 80% margins from DLC and RaceControl Pro subscription.

Motorsport Games $MSGM is a possible turnaround story with great social traction, where a company has successfully pruned its distractions and is now focusing on its high margin business. Historically, MSGM was a bloated license collector and burdened by expensive, underperforming contracts for NASCAR and IndyCar that drained cash at a rate of $2 million per month.

Under the leadership of returning CEO Stephen Hood, the company has cleaned up its act materially and is divesting the NASCAR license and refocusing entirely on its crown jewel: Studio 397 and the Le Mans Ultimate (LMU) platform. The company has shrunk its footprint to a boutique team of 41 people who develop the industry-leading rFactor 2 physics engine, one $FWONK & $DBO.TO $DBOXF use for their F1 Arcades. MSGM has reduced its monthly cash burn to less than $100,000 and I believe will be cash flow positive in Q4 creating a lean foundation for a possible multi-bagger opportunity.

The story today is about their pivot towards a technology centric SaaS model via the RaceControl platform. The broader market is incorrectly focused on a perceived slowdown, alternative data and social sentiment analysis from community hubs like Reddit and Discord reveal a thriving, highly engaged ecosystem.

MSGM has teased a potential new game, as noted they provide the physics engine for the F1 Arcade, MSGM has established a strategic moat that could realistically lead to a full-scale F1 simulation title in the future. This is currently ignored by Wall Street, yet it provides a free lottery ticket on future high-profile developments. In the near term, the return of the Le Mans Virtual championship serves as a material catalyst, likely driving peak user numbers and lucrative sponsorships that will lift ARPU.

Finally, the most significant catalyst is the impending console port for PS5 and Xbox. Management is in late-stage negotiations with a funding partner to foot the entire bill for development, effectively eliminating MSGM’s financial risk while opening the door to a user base 4X larger than the current PC market. With growing deferred revenue and material catalysts in the current quarter, the market’s pessimistic view of MSGM is a textbook mispricing. MSGM offers the rare combination of a "boring" niche business, a proven tech moat, and massive multi-platform growth potential that is currently underfollowed by the institutional crowd.


Summary: Author says the market is underestimating Casio after strong numbers; decisively bullish on the stock.

Casio Computer Co. Ltd on Tokyo Stock Exchange

8050.T reported great numbers as expected. You are not bullish enough on Casio. https://t.co/avMLKxQOvz

The brand-velocity is undeniable. We’re seeing a persistent shift in consumer heat on StockX and $ZUMZ coupled with a major spike in Reddit mentions. Market is still lagging the social inflection here. Still very early to this trade. Citizen ($7762.T) and Seiko ($8050.T) also https://t.co/Pic1wQJPEV


Summary: Long TAC: MSFT's CAD $7.5B Canadian cloud buildout forces hyperscalers to use TransAlta's shovel-ready 230MW AESO-approved grid capacity; market mispricing it as a merchant generator rather than critical digital infrastructure.

$TAC https://t.co/4LLHGSyHNo Surprised that the stock is not up after yesterday’s $MSFT announcement of a CAD 19 billion investment in Canadian cloud and AI infrastructure including the immediate CAD 7.5 billion deployment over the next two years. Market seems to be fixating on short-term spot power weakness rather than the structural shift occurring that benefits them massively.

The most important part of the announcement is the sheer velocity of Microsoft's capital deployment. You simply cannot spend $7.5 billion on physical data centers in 24 months if you are starting from scratch on power permitting. Greenfield development is a 5-7 years game and sometimes even longer in Canada. Microsoft’s timeline forces them to seek out players who possess existing land, existing cooling water licenses, and, most importantly, approved grid access, which TransAlta possess. This reality fundamentally shifts leverage away from the hyperscaler and toward the incumbent utility that can actually turn the lights on today.

This is where TransAlta’s competitive moat comes in. The Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) has effectively capped new data center connections due to grid congestion, locking out latecomers. In this constrained environment, TransAlta holds the golden ticket, a fully secured, AESO approved allocation for 230 MW of capacity at its Keephills site. TransAlta is sitting on permitted capacity in a market where supply is limited and in the most regualtory-friendly province of Canada, Alberta. In any other sector, owning the only available inventory during a demand shock would command a massive premium, yet the stock remains depressed.

TransAlta’s acquisition of 310 MW of gas generation in Ontario (via Far North Power) could be a huge asset. The market is currently pricing TransAlta as a merchant generator exposed to next month’s weather, completely missing its transformation into a critical infrastructure partner for the digital economy. They mentioned on the call that a MOU is in the works with a hyperscaler, good chance this is Microsoft.


Summary: CPO-enabled lateral HBM expansion would be bullish for memory sector overall as more memory gets installed per system.

Memory sector basket: Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix

An executive at a domestic developer of co-packaged optics (CPO) components explained, "As HBM stack heights approach their limit, the industry is discussing spreading the memory out laterally to maximize how much can physically be mounted."

It appears that the whole point of this is to allow more memory to be installed per system, which would be bullish for memory players overall.

Breaking the "Memory Wall": Optical Interconnects Emerge in GPU–HBM Packaging

As a solution to the "memory wall," one of the chronic challenges in AI semiconductors, the memory and packaging industries at home and abroad are weighing an approach that decouples the GPU and https://t.co/PsE0sBdPYd


Summary: Bullish DUOT: $50.4M APR Energy sale provides capital runway; sole pure-play modular data center company.

$DUOT receives $50.4M from the sale of new APR Energy. Gives them good additional capital runway to execute. Pretty much the only pure-play modular data center company on the market. https://t.co/LPOa6V0yY2

The setup for $DUOT looks good from a risk/reward prespective as several massive catalysts start to converge. The biggest immediate one is the recent FTC filing confirming Elon Musk is acquiring the parent company of APR Energy. Since DUOS holds a 5% equity stake in that entity, https://t.co/AQUwmexa3W


Summary: Long OSS on defense edge-computing tailwinds + earnings beat; initiated small spec long in GSIT on same theme, NOK customer exposure, LEO satellites, and rising SRAM ASPs.

$OSS EARNINGS:

- Revenue: $8.1M (+55% YoY)
- Gross margin: 51.6% (+610 bps YoY)
- 2026 revenue growth: +20% to +25%

President and CEO, Mike Knowles: "We are seeing increased demand for our enterprise-class, ruggedized compute platforms across both defense and commercial markets, which we believe supports OSS's role as a critical enabler of next-generation AI, autonomy, and sensor-driven applications at the edge"

Can see this name do really well in this market environment as per this tweet last week. |

Started a small spec position in $GSIT as well for the same theme. $GSIT seems really interesting coz I could see the market getting excited that $NOK is one of their largest customer and their SRAM ASPs are probably rising. Although they have explicitly mentioned that their product doesn’t have a data center use case, they have exposure to multiple themes with their products being used in LEO satellites and basically no competitors in that space. Although important to note that the business is lumpy and the market is more so focued on their Gemini-II project so high risk.

Feel like the $40M DoD contract awarded to $MRAM today validates the massive thematic tailwinds for $OSS. To me the deal confirms the Pentagon’s aggressive capital allocation edge computing, a direct read-through for OSS. DoDs requirements for systems (OSS) should naturally dwarf


Started a small spec position in $GSIT as well for the same theme


Summary: Bullish BW; expects the base electron controversy overhang to resolve higher, noting strong relative strength in a weak tape.

@Venu_7_ Great relative strength today in a weak tape as well. Many are positioned offside after the base electron controversy. It should resolve higher.

$BW - look at how well this name has respected the 50 day moving average and pay attention to the volume patterns.

upcoming small cap leader currently in a strong Stage 2 uptrend.

Also printed a Power Earnings Gap candle with 3x volume after earnings. https://t.co/4LieFMLnC1


Summary: Bullish VFC on Vans turnaround thesis for 2026: top-brand mentions, LatAm repositioning, and sequential improvement in numbers.

Vans $VFC setup looks interesting. The turnaround thesis for 2026 is picking up steam across various data points:

1. Caleres $CAL CEO on their Q3 call mentioned that while fashion declined, Timberland was among their "top growth brands" alongside heavy hitters like Adidas and New Balance.

2. Azzas 2154 (Vans' partner in LatAm) mentioned they are stopping brand reduction as of 2026 and repositioning Vans toward casual wear instead of just "skatewear."

3. Sequential improvements are already showing up in the numbers. As with most turnarounds, the most significant returns are often realized in Year 1 of the recovery.

Keeping an eye on this one for 2026.


the valuation and the catalysts ahead present a classic heads I win, tails I don't lose much scenario at this point, which I get extremely excited about given the market backdrop

Summary: Long MSGM: insider selling is noise; valuation + upcoming catalysts create asymmetric upside with limited downside.

That’s a genuine question. From what I have read about Driven, it appears that this is a very small position for them and they are only selling the Class A shares. There is no mention of $MSGM on their website either. Even if they sell their entire Class A shares, they will still retain majority voting rights for the company through their Class B shareholding, which implies they probably still see upside in the business. I also think their capital allocation with this specific venture has been pretty poor, given that they went long near $20, bought at the wrong time, and perhaps are selling at the wrong time too. Additionally, there could be myriad reasons for selling, but I think the valuation and the catalysts ahead present a classic heads I win, tails I don’t lose much scenario at this point, which I get extremely excited about given the market backdrop.

@nitininvests Thank you for all the work you shared with us. Just curious why Mike Zoi is selling the stock if the turnaround is happening. Probably wont get any thing meaningful from the company side but any color would be great. Thank you!


Summary: Expects CELH Q3 top & bottom line beat; analyst revenue estimates too conservative given energy category growth, Rockstar tailwind, international expansion, and non-tracked channel momentum.

$CELH Q3 Earnings Preview: Expecting a Top & Bottom Line Beat.

I believe $CELH is positioned for a beat tomorrow. Analyst expectations for QoQ revenue being down are too conservative given the energy category grew 20%+ YoY in Q3.

Nielsen MULO data might be flattish QoQ but several major tailwinds are being missed imo. The estimated $20M QoQ tailwind from Rockstar is being missed and offers a good cushion for comps. International expansion for Celsius particularly is clearly evident as well with new coolers noted across Canada, Europe, and Australia.

I think the untracked channels are a big blind spot for market. Non-Nielsen channels had massive momentum during the Q with Alani website traffic +150% YoY in August and cumulative Amazon search trends +50% for Q3 over Q2, with Alani hitting Top 10 BSR in Grocery. This non-tracked revenue will materially boost the top line.

Also important to note that the previous quarter's net income was artificially suppressed by a one-time 33% headwind from Alani performance payouts and inventory fair value accounting. The removal of these non-recurring charges, combined with better margins on LTOs, should translate to a strong EPS surprise, despite minor tariff/margin pressures.

I’m very positive on the numbers, but forward-looking comps get tougher in Q1’25. If the stock reacts favorably tomorrow, I plan to take some profit at the open, as the market appears to be reaching a point of efficiency in pricing this story and October seems to be showing early signs of a potential slowdown for the category as a whole.


the stock is extremely cheap with multiple catalysts that could play out over the next 12 months. Max Verstappen's GT3 and Le Mans appearance could be another potential tailwind for $MSGM in Q2

Summary: Bullish MSGM: cheap at ~5x EBITDA, Q1 revenue >$4.2M catalyst expected, Verstappen GT3/Le Mans tailwind in Q2.

Yes! Very well summarized. Q1 print could be a massive catalyst for the stock. Expecting revenue to come in excess of $4.2M. Ultimately, the stock is extremely cheap with multiple catalysts that could play out over the next 12 months. Max Verstappen’s GT3 and Le Mans appearance could be another potential tailwind for $MSGM in Q2.

@nitininvests Must say they have some weird accounting practices. Putting the settlement proceeds in other operating income? And then not adjusting out the 3.3mm in Fx paper gains for Adjusted EBITDA?

Nonetheless, when you back that out you are still talking about a 5x EBITDA valuation. WAUs


Summary: Bullish TAC on underappreciated regulatory moat; market has not priced it in.

@SteveeMaddenn Agree! Really like the risk/reward here. I don't think the market realises the regulatory MOAT for $TAC.

@nitinkinvest The timeline is lining up too perfectly atm. I see a hyperscaler name drop + MOU update very close on the horizon $TAC ...👀


Summary: Bullish UI on strong brand loyalty and demand evidenced by new Wi-Fi router selling out and trading at 2x retail on eBay.

$UI released their new Wi-Fi router this morning and it’s already sold out. While this specific product won't be needle-moving on its own, the fact that they are selling for >2x retail on eBay tells you everything you need to know about this company's traction and loyal fanbase. https://t.co/H0ksG0lWpQ

$UI Webstore traffic is up over 50% YoY both for the Americas (52% of total revenue) and the EU (36% of total revenue). Webstore accounted for 43% of total sales in the prior quarter, with the share increasing YoY. Margins are much higher on the Webstore. The market is estimating https://t.co/9EO0cecVH3


Feels like $SBUX is worth watching… easier comps could help the stock… I have a negligible-sized tracker position

Summary: Holding a tracker position in SBUX; cautiously optimistic on Niccol's execution and easier comps, but not convinced on near-term earnings expansion.

Feels like $SBUX is worth watching. They face multiple headwinds, including the significant rise of $BROS and consumers' attraction to the value of energy drinks. However, easier comps could help the stock. Brian Niccol seems to be executing his playbook, as several initiatives like the Bear Cup, Hello Kitty merch, and Red Cup Day appear to be bringing customers back through the door.

I have a negligible-sized tracker position, not entirely convinced these tailwinds can lead to sustainable meaningful earnings expansion in the short term.


The rerating will happen when they secure additional MWs from ERCOT and sign a second customer, preferably a hyperscaler until then it's hard to see anything change

Summary: GLXY rerating contingent on securing more ERCOT MWs and a second hyperscaler tenant; implied long once catalysts arrive.

I see a lot of people concerned about the price action for $GLXY on here. It’s straightforward, it’s due to $CRWV concentration. The market is nervous about single-tenant risk at Helios, where the tenant isn’t a hyperscaler (unlike $WULF to some extent). The rerating will happen when they secure additional MWs from ERCOT and sign a second customer, preferably a hyperscaler until then it’s hard to see anything change.

I give up.  Nothing is real at this point.  Short interest barely up....  Nothing makes sense.  $GLXY https://t.co/SIIMBpAlZ3


Summary: Long TBTG.L: business mispriced vs earnings power, analysts clueless, social arb on first earnings call with Dec-2025 results.

I agree but there are a couple of nuances that we need to keep in mind.

1. $TBTG.L is anticipating growth only from Tria this year as per their last update, so if there is any increase in the revenue for Currentbody, this will be incremental in nature against the guide they have put out.

2. Red Light Therapy trends tend to decelarate going into the summer and start picking up during the end of the year and sustain into January and February (new year resolutions) as it is a pretty high ticket item and most people like to buy it at a discount during the holiday season. I think there is a lot of latent demand that will convert slowly during the year.

3. This is their first earnings call and so I am just trying to play the social arb here. They are listed in the UK and will be reporting December 31, 2025 numbers. I am in this trade for the market to realize the earnings power of the business. I believe the short-term opportunity here exists because the analysts are clueless about this business and even if we  account for the fad nature, the business appears mispriced.

@nitininvests The LED mask trends already seem to be dying based on Google Trends, kind of a scary business to invest in since these fads can die quite fast. Could see it doing well shorter term but the sustainability is worrying


Summary: Long VFC as top risk/reward in footwear on Vans brand revival and TNF/Timberland expansion; implicitly less attractive than NKE.

Unpopular opinion but $VFC is a better risk/reward in footwear right now compared to $NKE.

The new StockX index shows Vans resale prices surging +42%, signaling the brand heat is finally returning.

Combined with Darell Bracken’s comments at ICR regarding TNF and Timberland expansion, the setup is perfect. Sentiment is low, but the data is turning. Buying VFC feels like buying a stable portfolio with a lottery ticket attached to the Vans turnaround.

Vans $VFC setup looks interesting. The turnaround thesis for 2026 is picking up steam across various data points:

1. Caleres $CAL CEO on their Q3 call mentioned that while fashion declined, Timberland was among their "top growth brands" alongside heavy hitters like Adidas and


$VFC is a better risk/reward in footwear right now compared to $NKE


Summary: Long RDDT on LLM licensing upside + irreplaceable conversational data; bearish PINS as a cautionary tale of AI content embrace leading to demise.

As someone who uses $RDDT daily for at least one hour, I wholeheartedly agree with the sentiment. The conversational data on the platform is extremely valuable and frankly irreplaceable.

Management mentioned that, per Profound, Reddit is the #1 cited source in AI LLM queries. I think their licensing deals with LLMs will change materially as they capture significant upside through this vector in addition to ads.

Also, unlike $PINS which embraced AI content (proved to be their demise), Reddit is openly trying to discourage it, which makes me think they know where the moat lies and are proactively protecting it.


unlike $PINS which embraced AI content (proved to be their demise)


Summary: DBO.TO will bounce back on Q3 earnings; AMC/NFLX partnership may hurt CNK and dragged DBO down today.

@KairosPraxis Feel like the $AMC $NFLX partnership might have caused the drop today as it might impact $CNK and thereby $DBO $DBO.TO. Will pop right back up when the Q3 earnings are announced and hopefully some exciting updates.

If you missed the opportunity last week, $DBO.TO trading at $0.4 CAD again (~14 PE).

My thesis below


Summary: Long OLED: depleted gaming monitor inventory signals strong demand; well-positioned to benefit from iPhone, Switch 2, Legion Go 2; forward guidance should confirm long-term growth.

As I shared in this post $OLED continues to exhibit strength. I believe that management will position premium gaming segment as the dominant growth vector as my channel checks show depleted inventory for OLED monitors particulary gaming monitors across all major retailers. Additionally, I believe the firm is well-positioned to capture ancillary benefits from the continued robustness of the new iPhone model, Switch 2 and Legion Go 2.

It is crucial to note that due to the intrinsic demand to revenue recognition lag, these powerful demand signals are unlikely to fully materialize on the Q3 income statement. Nevertheless, the forthcoming forward guidance and accompanying executive commentary should show positive long-term trajectory.

After the decent success of my $SNDK trade I have decided to try to expand my circle of competence and hence wanted to shared an idea that will most likely beat the market over the next 3 years. However, due to the nature of the business, it might not move up as violently as https://t.co/YaAHuVzDn0


I don't think the market is pricing in what revenue growth could mean for the bottom line. $SHMD basically said they can reach 14% EBIT margins as early as next year.

Summary: Market underpricing SHMD's earnings leverage; 14% EBIT margins achievable next year implies upside.

@pennycheck I don’t think the market is pricing in what revenue growth could mean for the bottom line. $SHMD basically said they can reach 14% EBIT margins as early as next year.


Nintendo is executing perfectly again with Tomodachi Life! Following up Pokopia's success last month. What a month for Nintendo.

Summary: Bullish Nintendo on back-to-back viral game hits (Pokopia + Tomodachi Life) driving strong community momentum.

$7974.T $NTDOY Nintendo is executing perfectly again with Tomodachi Life! Following up Pokopia's success last month. The Subreddit had its biggest growth day yesterday and there's a very good chance this gets trumped today. What a month for Nintendo. https://t.co/CtBnLX3pQB

$7974.T $NTDOY Pokopia seems to be a viral hit in the Nintendo community. Some people believe it is helping Nintendo sell more Switch 2 units. It's being talked about on all platforms, a trend worth monitoring. https://t.co/t5EFXxc7RI


Summary: Still holding full Casio position; web-scraper data on SKU availability and search traffic supports continued upside thesis ahead of Wall Street recognition.

Casio $6952.T is hitting 5-year highs today. Honestly, this trade could not have been any simpler. We backed the truck up and sized our position the second it got removed from the Nikkei, Mr. Market just handed us the alpha.

My web scrapers are showing available SKUs increasing everywhere including at Costco, and Casio search traffic is completely outpacing G-Shock. Wall Street analysts with their rearview mirrors haven't even figured this out yet.

Haven't sold a single share and don't plan to for a while. Congrats to the longs who rode this with us.

Casio 6952.T posted really good numbers, as we expected, and is finally returning to growth. China, which has been a drag for a while, is also returning to growth. The topline here has been stagnant for years, and I believe we are in the very early stages of a material inflection https://t.co/bAcuahZ3TL


$ZEPP remains a compelling social arbitrage opportunity this year. I believe the significant pricing delta between $ZEPP and its closest competitors provides ample runway for higher pricing on the second-generation model, which would further expand margins and support the bottom line.

Summary: Long ZEPP on viral Helio Strap demand, persistent stockouts, pricing power vs Whoop, and margin expansion potential in 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks resolve.

$ZEPP remains a compelling social arbitrage opportunity this year. I have observed viral consumer reception of the Amazfit Helio Strap over the last 6 months. The product has experienced persistent global stockouts due to high demand and will likely sell out immediately upon restocking.

The Helio Strap compares very favorably against the Whoop strap in terms of performance, especially given its disruptive price point. The critical metric to gauge moving forward will be the company's manufacturing capacity and supply chain throughput.

Management confirmed this in the last earnings call:

"Helio has been one of the most popular products in our portfolio if not the most popular. I think on the other hand, we didn't manufacture enough of the Helio Strap to cater for the Q3 and Q4 high seasons. Actually resolving the supply chain on that in 2026, you should see more of the manufacturing of those devices, and you should see the to be satisfied on the Helio Strap. On the other hand, we're also working on the next generation of those as we stay tuned for the second half of this year."

Given the strong market reception and the product's better gross margins, management possesses the leverage to increase prices. This pricing power could be the key to achieving the bottom-line profitability that has historically eluded the company. I believe the significant pricing delta between $ZEPP and its closest competitors provides ample runway for higher pricing on the second-generation model, which would further expand margins and support the bottom line.

My strategy is to track the supply and availability of the Helio Strap and execute the trade when the supply-side bottlenecks have been resolved.


I've sold most of the position for $MSGM (~21% allocation) ... I'm more comfortable with its margin of safety and upside potential

Summary: Holds small DBO.TO long on blockbuster-driven seat occupancy; shifted bulk of capital to MSGM (~21%) on better margin of safety and upside.

Hey Abel, I now have a small allocation (~2% down from around 30%) because I really like the stock and think the industry is poised for a huge year with all the blockbuster releases scheduled. I was mostly positioned this way due to the F1 movie, as it was obvious that the seat occupancy would rise driven by the movie massively. Their installed base is still increasing rapidly, which should bode well for royalty revenue this year. However, I've sold most of the position for $MSGM (~21% allocation), not because it's a better company but because I'm more comfortable with its margin of safety and upside potential compared to $DBO.TO. It's essentially a capital allocation and opportunity cost decision.

@nitininvests Hey Nitin! What are your thoughts on D-Box $DBO.TO now? You were one of the first to discover it, and it seems to be at a turning point.


Summary: New female-focused FLRT line could be a significant tailwind for Monster Energy.

This could be a huge tailwind for $MNST. It will be interesting to see how it's received. Alani and Bloom could have a genuine competitor.

Monster Energy is set to release a new female-focused energy drink called 'FLRT' with four flavors late Q1 2026

- Berry Tempting
- Guava Lava
- Strawberry Fling
- Sunset Squeeze https://t.co/tER3s7alTQ